Favian personal page - To The Moon

Favian

Favian

Gains for days

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2023-02-25

Excited over the new look for the tiger coins feature! looks clean

2023-01-26

$TSLA 20230217 105.0 PUT$ $TSLA 20230217 105.0 PUT$ Short put ftw!! monthly income

2022-11-22

$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ yikes

2022-10-28

$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$bottom soon

2022-10-27

$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$founda bottom?

2022-10-21

$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$yeeted

2022-10-20

$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$yeeted LOL

2022-10-18

$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$uppp

2022-10-15

$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$not looking g

2022-10-12

$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$here we go

2022-10-10

$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$nope

2022-10-09

$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$nice

2022-10-08

$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$yeaboi

2022-10-07

$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$nopee

2022-10-06

$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$lit

2022-10-04

$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ex game

2022-10-03

$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$gogo

2022-10-02

$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$gogo

2022-10-01

$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$wow. green?

2022-09-29

$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$gogogo

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Inc.(COIN)$lit","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9915277107","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":319,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9912462121,"gmtCreate":1664884499563,"gmtModify":1676537523181,"author":{"id":"3562815822807212","authorId":"3562815822807212","name":"Favian","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3c9db4d731960e756da0c07d6b32f34a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3562815822807212","authorIdStr":"3562815822807212"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>ex game","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>ex game","text":"$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ex game","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9912462121","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":244,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9912886069,"gmtCreate":1664797972252,"gmtModify":1676537509790,"author":{"id":"3562815822807212","authorId":"3562815822807212","name":"Favian","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3c9db4d731960e756da0c07d6b32f34a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3562815822807212","authorIdStr":"3562815822807212"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>gogo","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>gogo","text":"$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$gogo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9912886069","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":514,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9912936494,"gmtCreate":1664731914719,"gmtModify":1676537499136,"author":{"id":"3562815822807212","authorId":"3562815822807212","name":"Favian","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3c9db4d731960e756da0c07d6b32f34a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3562815822807212","authorIdStr":"3562815822807212"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>gogo","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>gogo","text":"$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$gogo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9912936494","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":479,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9916661921,"gmtCreate":1664587226264,"gmtModify":1676537480602,"author":{"id":"3562815822807212","authorId":"3562815822807212","name":"Favian","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3c9db4d731960e756da0c07d6b32f34a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3562815822807212","authorIdStr":"3562815822807212"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>wow. green?","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>wow. green?","text":"$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$wow. green?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9916661921","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":190,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9916900364,"gmtCreate":1664494591458,"gmtModify":1676537464184,"author":{"id":"3562815822807212","authorId":"3562815822807212","name":"Favian","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3c9db4d731960e756da0c07d6b32f34a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3562815822807212","authorIdStr":"3562815822807212"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>gogogo","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>gogogo","text":"$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$gogogo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9916900364","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":297,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":365951568,"gmtCreate":1614692565854,"gmtModify":1704774088897,"author":{"id":"3562815822807212","authorId":"3562815822807212","name":"Favian","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3c9db4d731960e756da0c07d6b32f34a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3562815822807212","idStr":"3562815822807212"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISWH\">$INTL SPIRITS &amp; WELLNESS(ISWH)$</a>they just announced that they have tripled their crypto mining fleet!!! last chance to get in! <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SOS\">$SOS Limited(SOS)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MARA\">$Marathon Digital Holdings Inc(MARA)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RIOT\">$Riot Blockchain, Inc.(RIOT)$</a>","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISWH\">$INTL SPIRITS &amp; WELLNESS(ISWH)$</a>they just announced that they have tripled their crypto mining fleet!!! last chance to get in! <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SOS\">$SOS Limited(SOS)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MARA\">$Marathon Digital Holdings Inc(MARA)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RIOT\">$Riot Blockchain, Inc.(RIOT)$</a>","text":"$INTL SPIRITS & WELLNESS(ISWH)$they just announced that they have tripled their crypto mining fleet!!! last chance to get in! $SOS Limited(SOS)$$Marathon Digital Holdings Inc(MARA)$$Riot Blockchain, Inc.(RIOT)$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c0d4dd47edab7557aabe9eb4cf4f346e","width":"1125","height":"1949"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/365951568","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2865,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3575256910067021","authorId":"3575256910067021","name":"Cinnamoon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a2795c1e4a72d648f0a19fab08a62589","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3575256910067021","idStr":"3575256910067021"},"content":"Blockchain fintech have been sustaining losses due to high accumulation of operational costs amd expansion while holding mined cryptocoins. They recently dumped alot of coins into the market which may have caused the recent drop in bitcoin. Even if bitcoin drop, soon these companies will report their huge revenue in march quarterly report. SOS will be sustainable and woll continue the good business. Good in short term, good in long term if bitcoin doesn't crash forever.","text":"Blockchain fintech have been sustaining losses due to high accumulation of operational costs amd expansion while holding mined cryptocoins. They recently dumped alot of coins into the market which may have caused the recent drop in bitcoin. Even if bitcoin drop, soon these companies will report their huge revenue in march quarterly report. SOS will be sustainable and woll continue the good business. Good in short term, good in long term if bitcoin doesn't crash forever.","html":"Blockchain fintech have been sustaining losses due to high accumulation of operational costs amd expansion while holding mined cryptocoins. They recently dumped alot of coins into the market which may have caused the recent drop in bitcoin. Even if bitcoin drop, soon these companies will report their huge revenue in march quarterly report. SOS will be sustainable and woll continue the good business. Good in short term, good in long term if bitcoin doesn't crash forever."}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":835394652,"gmtCreate":1629686627676,"gmtModify":1676530099059,"author":{"id":"3562815822807212","authorId":"3562815822807212","name":"Favian","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3c9db4d731960e756da0c07d6b32f34a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3562815822807212","idStr":"3562815822807212"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"buy the dip","listText":"buy the dip","text":"buy the dip","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":7,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/835394652","repostId":"2161747692","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2161747692","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1629673828,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2161747692?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2021-08-23 07:10","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Fed's Jackson Hole Symposium, personal income and spending: What to know this week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2161747692","media":"Yahoo Finance","summary":"Traders this week are poised to focus closely on Federal Reserve policymakers' virtual appearance at","content":"<p>Traders this week are poised to focus closely on Federal Reserve policymakers' virtual appearance at the bank's annual Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium.</p>\n<p>The event, which takes place from Thursday to Saturday this week, is set to serve as a forum for more discussions around Fed policymakers' plans to announce and implement a shift in the central bank's monetary policy stance. Namely, investors have been closely watching for months to hear when officials will begin tapering their purchases of Treasury and mortgage securities, which have been taking place at a pace of $120 billion per month for more than a year during the pandemic.</p>\n<p>This asset purchase program had been a major policy underpinning U.S. equity markets this year, providing liquidity throughout the economic crisis induced by the virus. But as the economy makes headway in recovering, Fed officials' talk around pulling in the reins on this program has started to increase.</p>\n<p>Last week, Federal Reserve officials signaled the announcement of the start of tapering was edging closer. According to the meeting minutes from the Federal Reserve's July meeting, most monetary policymakers believed the economy will have made enough progress toward recovering to warrant tapering.</p>\n<p>\"Most participants noted that, provided that the economy were to evolve broadly as they anticipated, they judged that it could be appropriate to start reducing the pace of asset purchases this year because they saw the Committee’s 'substantial further progress' criterion as satisfied with respect to the price-stability goal and as close to being satisfied with respect to the maximum employment goal,\" according to the FOMC minutes.</p>\n<p>But as many pundits have noted, the central bank still has a host of meetings left in 2021 to serve as a platform for further discussing or announcing tapering. As a result, Jackson Hole this week may cause few ripples, with policymakers like Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell sticking to their previously telegraphed language about waiting to see further improvements in the labor market before escalating talk of tapering further.</p>\n<p>\"Jackson Hole next week is certainly a target for when we might hear some actual firm language around taper. I'm not really expecting much out of Jackson Hole,\" Garrett Melson, Natixis Investment Managers Solutions portfolio strategist, told Yahoo Finance last week. \"We're more in the camp that we probably start to hear something around the November meeting. Perhaps they're as quick as December to start actually implementing the taper. But I'm still more in the camp that January is probably when we begin to see a slow taper, probably in the ballpark of $15 billion per month.\"</p>\n<p>\"They're still very, very dovish. They're slightly less dovish,\" he added. \"But that's a little semantics at this point. Taper is very well documented and well known. We know it's coming. It's just a matter of timing and really shouldn't surprise many investors out there.\"</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffd135dd0d8cdc399e0982d54e39f5bd\" tg-width=\"6000\" tg-height=\"4000\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Federal Reserve Board Chair Jerome Powell testifies before Senate Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs hearing to examine the Semiannual Monetary Policy Report to Congress, July 15, 2021, on Capitol Hill. (AP Photo/Jose Luis Magana, file)ASSOCIATED PRESS</span></p>\n<p>As for the ultimate market impact of tapering, if the outcome is anything like the response from the last announcement of tapering in 2023, investors might brace for a momentary bout of volatility and some sector rotation beneath the surface.</p>\n<p>\"In 2013, Fed Chair Bernanke's comments about tapering catalyzed a five-day, 40 bp backup in 10-year yields and a 5% drop in the S&amp;P 500,\" said David Kostin, Goldman Sachs' chief U.S. equity strategist, in a note last week. \"The initial signal from the taper tantrum ultimately proved fleeting during a year with extremely strong returns for equities.\"</p>\n<p>\"The S&amp;P 500 rebounded 5% in the roughly two months following the tantrum, led higher by the materials, consumer discretionary, and health care sectors,\" he added. \"By December, the S&amp;P 500 had posted a full-year return of 32%. As the Fed reiterated its commitment to accommodative policy, growth outperformed value and cyclical stocks outperformed defensives.\"</p>\n<h2>Personal spending, income</h2>\n<p>New economic data on consumer spending and income will also be in focus later this week, with reports on both metrics due for release on Friday.</p>\n<p>Consensus economists expect to see personal spending slow to just a 0.4% monthly clip in July, decelerating from June's 1.0% increase.</p>\n<p>Just last week, the Commerce Department's data showed retail sales fell more than expected in July, dipping by 1.1%. The print pointed to more moderation in spending as the impact of stimulus checks earlier this year waned further, and lowered the bar for the Bureau of Economic Analysis' monthly personal spending data.</p>\n<p>Other data has also underscored the slowdown in consumer spending, especially given the recent spread of the Delta variant starting in the middle of summer.</p>\n<p>\"Although services spending started strong in July boosted by the holiday, our aggregated BAC credit and debit card data suggest services spending, particularly for travel and leisure, slowed down noticeably in the second half of the month, potentially due to rising Delta concerns,\" Bank of America economist Michelle Meyer wrote in a note Friday.</p>\n<p>Friday's consumer spending report will also come with data on personal income, which is also expected to have ticked up only slightly on a monthly basis. Economists look for a 0.1% increase in July, which would match the pace from the prior month.</p>\n<p>Even with the deceleration in income, however, the personal savings rate may have increased as an early round of child tax credit payments helped offset a slowing pace of income growth, some economists noted.</p>\n<p>\"The advance child tax credit payments delivered this month translated into a lower tax burden and therefore a 1% month-over-month boost to disposable income, consequently leading to a rise in the savings rate to 10.0% from 9.4% in June,\" Meyer predicted.</p>\n<h2>Economic calendar</h2>\n<ul>\n <li><p><b>Monday: </b>Chicago Fed National Activity Index, July (0.09 in June); <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRKT\">Markit</a> U.S. Manufacturing PMI, August preliminary (62.8 expected, 63.4 in July); Markit U.S. Services PMI, August preliminary (59.0 expected, 59.9 in July); Markit U.S. Composite PMI, August preliminary (59.9 in July); Existing home sales, month-on-month, July (-0.3% expected, 1.4% in June)</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Tuesday: </b>Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index, August (25 expected, 27 in July); New home sales, month-on-month, July (3.6% expected, -6.6% in June)</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Wednesday: </b>MBA Mortgage Applications, week ended August 20 (-3.9% during prior week); Durable goods orders, July preliminary (-0.2% expected, 0.9% in June); Non-defense capital goods orders excluding aircraft, July preliminary (0.5% expected, 0.7% in June); Non-defense capital goods shipments excluding aircraft, July preliminary (0.6% in June)</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Thursday: </b>Initial jobless claims, week ended August 21 (352,000 expected, 348,000 during prior week); Continuing claims, week ended August 14 (2.780 million expected, 2.820 million during prior week); GDP annualized quarter-over-quarter, Q2 second estimate (6.6% expected, 6.5% in prior print); Personal consumption, Q2 second estimate (12.3% expected, 11.8% in prior print); Core PCE quarter-over-quarter Q2 second estimate (6.1% expected, 6.1% in prior print); Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity Index, August (30 in prior print)</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Friday: </b>Advanced goods trade balance, July (-$90.9 billion expected, -$91.2 billion in June); Wholesale inventories, month-over-month, July preliminary (1.0% expected, 1.1% in June); Personal income, July (0.2% expected, 0.1% in June); Personal spending, July (0.4% expected, 1.0% in June); PCE core deflator, month-on-month, July (0.3% expected, 0.4% in June); PCE core deflator, year-on-year, July (3.6% expected, 3.5% in June); University of Michigan Sentiment, August final (71.0 expected, 70.2 in prior print)</p></li>\n</ul>\n<h2>Earnings calendar</h2>\n<ul>\n <li><p><b>Monday: </b><i>No notable reports scheduled for release</i></p></li>\n <li><p><b>Tuesday: </b>Advance Auto Parts (AAP) before market open; Intuit (INTU) after market close</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Wednesday: </b>Best Buy (BBY) before market open; <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRM\">Salesforce</a> (CRM), Autodesk (ADSK), Ulta Beauty (ULTA) after market close</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Thursday: </b>The JM Smucker Co. (SJM), Dollar General (DG), Dollar Tree (DLTR) before market open; The Gap (GPS), HP Inc. (HPQ) after market close</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Friday: </b><i>No notable reports scheduled for release </i></p></li>\n</ul>","source":"yahoofinance","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Fed's Jackson Hole Symposium, personal income and spending: What to know this week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFed's Jackson Hole Symposium, personal income and spending: What to know this week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-23 07:10 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/fed-heads-to-jackson-hole-personal-income-and-spending-what-to-know-this-week-150228513.html><strong>Yahoo Finance</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Traders this week are poised to focus closely on Federal Reserve policymakers' virtual appearance at the bank's annual Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium.\nThe event, which takes place from ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/fed-heads-to-jackson-hole-personal-income-and-spending-what-to-know-this-week-150228513.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"WMT":"沃尔玛",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","BBY":"百思买","XRT":"零售指数ETF-SPDR标普",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","TGT":"塔吉特","SPY.AU":"SPDR® S&P 500® ETF Trust"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/fed-heads-to-jackson-hole-personal-income-and-spending-what-to-know-this-week-150228513.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5f26f4a48f9cb3e29be4d71d3ba8c038","article_id":"2161747692","content_text":"Traders this week are poised to focus closely on Federal Reserve policymakers' virtual appearance at the bank's annual Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium.\nThe event, which takes place from Thursday to Saturday this week, is set to serve as a forum for more discussions around Fed policymakers' plans to announce and implement a shift in the central bank's monetary policy stance. Namely, investors have been closely watching for months to hear when officials will begin tapering their purchases of Treasury and mortgage securities, which have been taking place at a pace of $120 billion per month for more than a year during the pandemic.\nThis asset purchase program had been a major policy underpinning U.S. equity markets this year, providing liquidity throughout the economic crisis induced by the virus. But as the economy makes headway in recovering, Fed officials' talk around pulling in the reins on this program has started to increase.\nLast week, Federal Reserve officials signaled the announcement of the start of tapering was edging closer. According to the meeting minutes from the Federal Reserve's July meeting, most monetary policymakers believed the economy will have made enough progress toward recovering to warrant tapering.\n\"Most participants noted that, provided that the economy were to evolve broadly as they anticipated, they judged that it could be appropriate to start reducing the pace of asset purchases this year because they saw the Committee’s 'substantial further progress' criterion as satisfied with respect to the price-stability goal and as close to being satisfied with respect to the maximum employment goal,\" according to the FOMC minutes.\nBut as many pundits have noted, the central bank still has a host of meetings left in 2021 to serve as a platform for further discussing or announcing tapering. As a result, Jackson Hole this week may cause few ripples, with policymakers like Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell sticking to their previously telegraphed language about waiting to see further improvements in the labor market before escalating talk of tapering further.\n\"Jackson Hole next week is certainly a target for when we might hear some actual firm language around taper. I'm not really expecting much out of Jackson Hole,\" Garrett Melson, Natixis Investment Managers Solutions portfolio strategist, told Yahoo Finance last week. \"We're more in the camp that we probably start to hear something around the November meeting. Perhaps they're as quick as December to start actually implementing the taper. But I'm still more in the camp that January is probably when we begin to see a slow taper, probably in the ballpark of $15 billion per month.\"\n\"They're still very, very dovish. They're slightly less dovish,\" he added. \"But that's a little semantics at this point. Taper is very well documented and well known. We know it's coming. It's just a matter of timing and really shouldn't surprise many investors out there.\"\nFederal Reserve Board Chair Jerome Powell testifies before Senate Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs hearing to examine the Semiannual Monetary Policy Report to Congress, July 15, 2021, on Capitol Hill. (AP Photo/Jose Luis Magana, file)ASSOCIATED PRESS\nAs for the ultimate market impact of tapering, if the outcome is anything like the response from the last announcement of tapering in 2023, investors might brace for a momentary bout of volatility and some sector rotation beneath the surface.\n\"In 2013, Fed Chair Bernanke's comments about tapering catalyzed a five-day, 40 bp backup in 10-year yields and a 5% drop in the S&P 500,\" said David Kostin, Goldman Sachs' chief U.S. equity strategist, in a note last week. \"The initial signal from the taper tantrum ultimately proved fleeting during a year with extremely strong returns for equities.\"\n\"The S&P 500 rebounded 5% in the roughly two months following the tantrum, led higher by the materials, consumer discretionary, and health care sectors,\" he added. \"By December, the S&P 500 had posted a full-year return of 32%. As the Fed reiterated its commitment to accommodative policy, growth outperformed value and cyclical stocks outperformed defensives.\"\nPersonal spending, income\nNew economic data on consumer spending and income will also be in focus later this week, with reports on both metrics due for release on Friday.\nConsensus economists expect to see personal spending slow to just a 0.4% monthly clip in July, decelerating from June's 1.0% increase.\nJust last week, the Commerce Department's data showed retail sales fell more than expected in July, dipping by 1.1%. The print pointed to more moderation in spending as the impact of stimulus checks earlier this year waned further, and lowered the bar for the Bureau of Economic Analysis' monthly personal spending data.\nOther data has also underscored the slowdown in consumer spending, especially given the recent spread of the Delta variant starting in the middle of summer.\n\"Although services spending started strong in July boosted by the holiday, our aggregated BAC credit and debit card data suggest services spending, particularly for travel and leisure, slowed down noticeably in the second half of the month, potentially due to rising Delta concerns,\" Bank of America economist Michelle Meyer wrote in a note Friday.\nFriday's consumer spending report will also come with data on personal income, which is also expected to have ticked up only slightly on a monthly basis. Economists look for a 0.1% increase in July, which would match the pace from the prior month.\nEven with the deceleration in income, however, the personal savings rate may have increased as an early round of child tax credit payments helped offset a slowing pace of income growth, some economists noted.\n\"The advance child tax credit payments delivered this month translated into a lower tax burden and therefore a 1% month-over-month boost to disposable income, consequently leading to a rise in the savings rate to 10.0% from 9.4% in June,\" Meyer predicted.\nEconomic calendar\n\nMonday: Chicago Fed National Activity Index, July (0.09 in June); Markit U.S. Manufacturing PMI, August preliminary (62.8 expected, 63.4 in July); Markit U.S. Services PMI, August preliminary (59.0 expected, 59.9 in July); Markit U.S. Composite PMI, August preliminary (59.9 in July); Existing home sales, month-on-month, July (-0.3% expected, 1.4% in June)\nTuesday: Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index, August (25 expected, 27 in July); New home sales, month-on-month, July (3.6% expected, -6.6% in June)\nWednesday: MBA Mortgage Applications, week ended August 20 (-3.9% during prior week); Durable goods orders, July preliminary (-0.2% expected, 0.9% in June); Non-defense capital goods orders excluding aircraft, July preliminary (0.5% expected, 0.7% in June); Non-defense capital goods shipments excluding aircraft, July preliminary (0.6% in June)\nThursday: Initial jobless claims, week ended August 21 (352,000 expected, 348,000 during prior week); Continuing claims, week ended August 14 (2.780 million expected, 2.820 million during prior week); GDP annualized quarter-over-quarter, Q2 second estimate (6.6% expected, 6.5% in prior print); Personal consumption, Q2 second estimate (12.3% expected, 11.8% in prior print); Core PCE quarter-over-quarter Q2 second estimate (6.1% expected, 6.1% in prior print); Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity Index, August (30 in prior print)\nFriday: Advanced goods trade balance, July (-$90.9 billion expected, -$91.2 billion in June); Wholesale inventories, month-over-month, July preliminary (1.0% expected, 1.1% in June); Personal income, July (0.2% expected, 0.1% in June); Personal spending, July (0.4% expected, 1.0% in June); PCE core deflator, month-on-month, July (0.3% expected, 0.4% in June); PCE core deflator, year-on-year, July (3.6% expected, 3.5% in June); University of Michigan Sentiment, August final (71.0 expected, 70.2 in prior print)\n\nEarnings calendar\n\nMonday: No notable reports scheduled for release\nTuesday: Advance Auto Parts (AAP) before market open; Intuit (INTU) after market close\nWednesday: Best Buy (BBY) before market open; Salesforce (CRM), Autodesk (ADSK), Ulta Beauty (ULTA) after market close\nThursday: The JM Smucker Co. (SJM), Dollar General (DG), Dollar Tree (DLTR) before market open; The Gap (GPS), HP Inc. (HPQ) after market close\nFriday: No notable reports scheduled for release","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":243,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":314681040,"gmtCreate":1612344440080,"gmtModify":1704869949147,"author":{"id":"3562815822807212","authorId":"3562815822807212","name":"Favian","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3c9db4d731960e756da0c07d6b32f34a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3562815822807212","idStr":"3562815822807212"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"gamestock go brrrrrr","listText":"gamestock go brrrrrr","text":"gamestock go brrrrrr","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/314681040","repostId":"1172180017","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":180,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3567511757211423","authorId":"3567511757211423","name":"Money Sprout","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a90f46b85a1738ed3c9b09de55cb7371","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"authorIdStr":"3567511757211423","idStr":"3567511757211423"},"content":"What is br? U mean go down?","text":"What is br? U mean go down?","html":"What is br? U mean go down?"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":897888035,"gmtCreate":1628905742727,"gmtModify":1676529889815,"author":{"id":"3562815822807212","authorId":"3562815822807212","name":"Favian","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3c9db4d731960e756da0c07d6b32f34a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3562815822807212","idStr":"3562815822807212"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"yup agree","listText":"yup agree","text":"yup agree","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/897888035","repostId":"2159215280","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":223,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":349836537,"gmtCreate":1617586596529,"gmtModify":1704700574976,"author":{"id":"3562815822807212","authorId":"3562815822807212","name":"Favian","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3c9db4d731960e756da0c07d6b32f34a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3562815822807212","idStr":"3562815822807212"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"interesting&nbsp;","listText":"interesting&nbsp;","text":"interesting","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/349836537","repostId":"1191998262","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":253,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9042678229,"gmtCreate":1656473652161,"gmtModify":1676535836812,"author":{"id":"3562815822807212","authorId":"3562815822807212","name":"Favian","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3c9db4d731960e756da0c07d6b32f34a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3562815822807212","idStr":"3562815822807212"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"swee","listText":"swee","text":"swee","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9042678229","repostId":"1165982577","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1165982577","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1656467732,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1165982577?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2022-06-29 09:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla: Sniffing The Growth Cliff, Reiterating Sell","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1165982577","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryWe view TSLA's product, technology, and business model through a generally rosy and optimisti","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>We view TSLA&#39;s product, technology, and business model through a generally rosy and optimistic lens. We think they are the top dog in all three categories relative to traditional auto OEMs.</li><li>We look at extended wait times on TSLA vehicles as a sign of high, continued demand for product, demand that could stretch into early next year.</li><li>Our pessimism comes from the idea of a growth cliff. Supply constraints and high demand have caused a massive uplift in wait times. A consumer downturn would reign in growth materially.</li><li>Massive ASP hikes will likely be enough to keep unit margins juiced for now, but underlying cost improvements need to accelerate when inflation returns to normal to keep margins steady. Until then, you could see TSLA&#39;s gross margins be materially higher than what would be considered steady-state.</li><li>Reiterating Sell rating. PT reduced from $875 to $545. Bear Case PT of $279. Bull Case PT of $1,085. R/r skews downward, hence our continued Sell rating.</li></ul><p>Our Tesla Pitch - Tesla Needs A &#39;Soft Landing&#39; (To Use Fed Speak) In Order to Sustain Growth Rates; If They Can&#39;t, The Stock Has Room to Negatively Re-rate</p><p>We&#39;ve been in the bull camp or at least neutral on Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) since Q4 of 2018. That changed in January, as we called out market risk driving negative real returns in the stock.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/12137b01489bb9223b3aec14de942d03\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Data by YCharts</p><p>That was our call then. At the time the Fed was set to taper bond purchases at an accelerated rate, and rate hikes were likely on the horizon as inflation accelerated. We made the call in spite of our fundamental business optimism.</p><p>The call now is different. We still love the business, it&#39;s hard not to. The problem is we think growth is going to run into a wall, at least over the medium-term. If our call in January was a macro-market call, this call is more of a macro-economic call.</p><p>Consensus sell-side expectations are calling for EPS growth of ~79% and ~30% in &#39;22 and &#39;23. Expectations are calling for top-line growth of ~59% and ~33% in &#39;22 and &#39;23 from $85.64B to $114.39B.</p><p>These are high expectations against a high base. Now, if Tesla can navigate the long lead times on product mix before the macro environment overly-devolves, maybe they can navigate a soft-landing and the stock can stay stable. This is the pervasive &#39;Musk&#39; factor that has enabled Tesla to pull a rabbit out of the hat many-a-time.</p><p>This factor is our reason for caution and pessimism, but not outright taking a short position, at least not right now.</p><p><b>Core Thesis - As The Economy Slows, And Tesla Raises ASPs to Boost Margins &amp; Offset Inflation, New Order-flow Could Decelerate</b></p><p>The heading of our thesis seems pretty self-explanatory, but it&#39;s worth delving into each component of this a little deeper. At this point in time, our base case is that the US economy is already in a recession or will enter one this year. Economic productivity and growth are likely to slow from here, not speed up. Growth in labor and input costs is net-constrictive on the economy. We think Tesla is recognizing both of these factors, leading to massive price hikes to cushion margins.</p><p>They can do this for two reasons: (a.) a massive order backlog, and (b.) an incredibly strong brand. On the first note, Model Y LR lead times are six to nine months out. That is incredibly long and highlights one of two things: either (a.) Tesla is facing a massive surplus of demand, or (b.) supply is constrained. We think the real answer is both.</p><p>The secular theme of BEV adoption is in full-swing, and Tesla has the technology, the design-appeal, and the brand to capitalize on the shift in demand trends. And while debatable, some see high maintenance and gasoline prices have likely accelerated the value prop transition towards EVs somewhat.</p><p>Additionally, autos have been one of the primary verticals negatively impacted by disrupted supply chains. Component shortages, overseas shipping, factory closures etc. have disrupted Tesla and many other auto OEMs in getting new builds off production lines. We think with time, and with the ramp-up in Shanghai, Berlin, and Texas, Tesla&#39;s overall supply will increase, and this dynamic will fade a bit.</p><p>Nonetheless, tight supply resulting from mostly existential factors is allowing Tesla to lift prices and thus bolster margins, a dynamic that we question the long-term validity of.</p><p>We think that as interest rates rise and consumer spending weakens (or at least shifts), demand for big ticket items (like housing and autos) will slow materially. While Tesla can lean into their current order backlog to sustain deliveries, we question the ability of Tesla to refill this backlog over time if consumer-end trends are weakening. Simply put, where is the deliveries growth in $50K+ cars going to be when the consumer is backed against the wall?</p><p>This begs a few questions, how long will weak consumer trends in medium to luxury autos last? Additionally, how long before Tesla depletes its order backlog? What is the rate that this backlog refills? Will Tesla resort to price cuts (hurting unit margins) to generate incremental demand? These are all questions, questions that are difficult to answer with any degree of certainty.</p><p>When going long a name, and backing up a Buy rating, we need a degree of valuation support to reflect uncertainty.</p><p>If the economy slows, we question Tesla&#39;s ability to hit the aforementioned consensus revenue and earnings growth estimates, and even against those estimates, we question the valuation support you have. Tesla&#39;s trading at ~6.5x cons. &#39;23E sales, and ~45x cons. &#39;23E earnings.</p><p>We like the business, but are these multiples reflective of safety in the current environment? No. Too much uncertainty with too little valuation support gets us to where we are now.</p><p><b>Musk Knows This, Hence The Layoffs</b></p><p>Additionally, we think that management is well aware of these problems. Musk&#39;s &#39;bad feeling&#39; about the economy? The layoffs? A potential cost-cutting measure to support cash generation through a tougher time. Tesla isn&#39;t unique in laying off employees. If you&#39;ve been tracking the news, Big Tech in general has been finding reasons to reduce headcount.</p><p>We think fundamentally, management is planning ahead of the growth cliff by reducing headcount now, a move that we think will save money and agony over the medium term.</p><p><b>Long-Term Story Intact, But We Question Terminal Margins</b></p><p>Over the long haul, the story is still pretty clear on Tesla. We continue to believe they have the best product, technology, infrastructure, and brand in the BEV market. A BEV market that is still very early in its adoption curve, and a market Tesla is very early in fully capturing across the use-case spectrum (trucks, semis, compacts, etc.)</p><p>We think that as new order flow cools, and Tesla works through its existing backlog, investors will have to digest a period of materially slower revenue and deliveries growth. This is to be expected when you sell $50,000+ electric vehicles into a slower demand environment.</p><p>Over the long-haul, we continue to applaud Tesla&#39;s technology lead (particularly in manufacturing and cell tech, as well as cell-to-pack integration), solid brand (default name in BEVs), infrastructure (massive supercharging grid), and product design.</p><p>On the margin front, as a thought exercise however, we are slightly concerned. Based on prior work we have done, and work we have seen float around the sell-side and third-party shops, teardown analyses of your average Model 3 indicate that cost of manufacturing is ~$35K-~$36K per unit (prior to input cost inflation). While Tesla is able to sell at a ripe markup right now because of (a.) tight supply, (b.) the built-in excuse (to the consumer) of inflation, and (c.) a massive order backlog, we question the long-term strategic direction. Assuming Tesla cannot materially reduce cost per unit of manufacturing, would they maintain margins and sacrifice volume and thus deliveries and revenue growth, or reduce margins to &#39;normalized&#39; levels to pick up growth volume. Our bet would be on the latter, considering how mission-driven Musk &amp; Co. are on accelerating broader market adoption at least over the long-term. Over the short-term, we think Musk&#39;s recent strategic direction would emphasize a more defensive strategy.</p><p>We think to fuel mass market EV adopt, long-term, Tesla needs to move down market. Additionally, we think gross margins might have to come in as inflation comes in and the supply-demand dynamic rebalances.</p><p><b>Valuation</b></p><p>In terms of valuation, we think the stock is difficult to price. In the environment we are in, where the macro picture is uncertain and rates are rising at all durations of the yield curve, multiples are compressing pretty materially. When we explore what a base case valuation for the stock is, you have to keep in mind the uncertainty profile on the business right now: we don&#39;t know what steady-state gross margins are, we don&#39;t know where optionality stands (autonomy+energy in particular), and there&#39;s a lot of value creation already priced in.</p><p>It&#39;s hard to give reasonable estimates for out-year numbers because there are a lot of moving parts to juggle. We&#39;ll use the year 2030 as a basic reference number. What does 2030 BEV adoption look like relative to the overall auto market? What use cases (semis, pickups, etc.) are yet to be covered. What is Tesla&#39;s market share within BEVs? Terminal CapEx requirements?</p><p>It&#39;s a lot, and hard to predict reasonably.</p><p>For our part, we think the environment is fundamentally too uncertain. We&#39;re going to use average consensus estimates and the high and low estimates on the street to give investors a general valuation framework for what we would consider the reasonable base case, bull case, and bear case.</p><p><b>Base Case:</b> Our base case look takes cons. &#39;22 earnings and puts a 45x multiple on them. Pretty simple, we think the multiple is relatively warranted assuming Tesla can continue to grow as viciously as they have been. If Tesla can hit a high 70s growth pace for full year, in-line with consensus, then you&#39;re looking at ~$545 on the share price assuming 45x.</p><p><b>Bear Case:</b> Our bear case look implies the bottom end of the sell-side earnings range for &#39;22, which implies closer to high 30s earnings growth for the full year. You put a multiple closer to 30x to reflect a higher medium-term risk profile, and you&#39;re looking at ~$279/share.</p><p><b>Bull Case:</b> Our bull case looks at the top end of &#39;22 sell-side earnings estimates, which implies earnings growth of ~113% y/y. We use a 75x multiple to reflect this more optimistic long-term view, and to reflect the optimism of a soft-landing scenario. That gets us to $1,085/share in the bull case.</p><p>These are some pretty loose scenarios, and these aren&#39;t driven by any proprietary model work. Right now, because of the supply chain dynamics and the backlog depletion dynamics, it seems nearly impossible to make accurate forecasts to fit the reality of the company right now. As a result, we are using our base, bear, and bull case multiples and price targets to reflect our <i>qualitative</i> sentiment on the state of the company and the risks it faces medium term.</p><p><b>Conclusion</b></p><p>In conclusion, while we have generally liked the business model, the product, and the technology, we are very cautious on the stock. We see a growth cliff emerging on the horizon, and would wait to buy shares until after growth decelerates. That, according to some checks, could be as soon as the next couple weeks when Tesla reports 2Q deliveries. Maybe it&#39;s later on as the company works through its massive order backlog. Nevertheless, we are cautious. Reiterating Sell, all targets reduced.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla: Sniffing The Growth Cliff, Reiterating Sell</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla: Sniffing The Growth Cliff, Reiterating Sell\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-06-29 09:55 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4520728-tesla-sniffing-growth-cliff-reiterating-sell?source=content_type%3Aall%7Cfirst_level_url%3Aportfolio%7Csection%3Aportfolio_content_unit%7Csection_asset%3Alatest%7Cline%3A21><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryWe view TSLA's product, technology, and business model through a generally rosy and optimistic lens. We think they are the top dog in all three categories relative to traditional auto OEMs.We ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4520728-tesla-sniffing-growth-cliff-reiterating-sell?source=content_type%3Aall%7Cfirst_level_url%3Aportfolio%7Csection%3Aportfolio_content_unit%7Csection_asset%3Alatest%7Cline%3A21\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4520728-tesla-sniffing-growth-cliff-reiterating-sell?source=content_type%3Aall%7Cfirst_level_url%3Aportfolio%7Csection%3Aportfolio_content_unit%7Csection_asset%3Alatest%7Cline%3A21","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1165982577","content_text":"SummaryWe view TSLA's product, technology, and business model through a generally rosy and optimistic lens. We think they are the top dog in all three categories relative to traditional auto OEMs.We look at extended wait times on TSLA vehicles as a sign of high, continued demand for product, demand that could stretch into early next year.Our pessimism comes from the idea of a growth cliff. Supply constraints and high demand have caused a massive uplift in wait times. A consumer downturn would reign in growth materially.Massive ASP hikes will likely be enough to keep unit margins juiced for now, but underlying cost improvements need to accelerate when inflation returns to normal to keep margins steady. Until then, you could see TSLA's gross margins be materially higher than what would be considered steady-state.Reiterating Sell rating. PT reduced from $875 to $545. Bear Case PT of $279. Bull Case PT of $1,085. R/r skews downward, hence our continued Sell rating.Our Tesla Pitch - Tesla Needs A 'Soft Landing' (To Use Fed Speak) In Order to Sustain Growth Rates; If They Can't, The Stock Has Room to Negatively Re-rateWe've been in the bull camp or at least neutral on Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) since Q4 of 2018. That changed in January, as we called out market risk driving negative real returns in the stock.Data by YChartsThat was our call then. At the time the Fed was set to taper bond purchases at an accelerated rate, and rate hikes were likely on the horizon as inflation accelerated. We made the call in spite of our fundamental business optimism.The call now is different. We still love the business, it's hard not to. The problem is we think growth is going to run into a wall, at least over the medium-term. If our call in January was a macro-market call, this call is more of a macro-economic call.Consensus sell-side expectations are calling for EPS growth of ~79% and ~30% in '22 and '23. Expectations are calling for top-line growth of ~59% and ~33% in '22 and '23 from $85.64B to $114.39B.These are high expectations against a high base. Now, if Tesla can navigate the long lead times on product mix before the macro environment overly-devolves, maybe they can navigate a soft-landing and the stock can stay stable. This is the pervasive 'Musk' factor that has enabled Tesla to pull a rabbit out of the hat many-a-time.This factor is our reason for caution and pessimism, but not outright taking a short position, at least not right now.Core Thesis - As The Economy Slows, And Tesla Raises ASPs to Boost Margins & Offset Inflation, New Order-flow Could DecelerateThe heading of our thesis seems pretty self-explanatory, but it's worth delving into each component of this a little deeper. At this point in time, our base case is that the US economy is already in a recession or will enter one this year. Economic productivity and growth are likely to slow from here, not speed up. Growth in labor and input costs is net-constrictive on the economy. We think Tesla is recognizing both of these factors, leading to massive price hikes to cushion margins.They can do this for two reasons: (a.) a massive order backlog, and (b.) an incredibly strong brand. On the first note, Model Y LR lead times are six to nine months out. That is incredibly long and highlights one of two things: either (a.) Tesla is facing a massive surplus of demand, or (b.) supply is constrained. We think the real answer is both.The secular theme of BEV adoption is in full-swing, and Tesla has the technology, the design-appeal, and the brand to capitalize on the shift in demand trends. And while debatable, some see high maintenance and gasoline prices have likely accelerated the value prop transition towards EVs somewhat.Additionally, autos have been one of the primary verticals negatively impacted by disrupted supply chains. Component shortages, overseas shipping, factory closures etc. have disrupted Tesla and many other auto OEMs in getting new builds off production lines. We think with time, and with the ramp-up in Shanghai, Berlin, and Texas, Tesla's overall supply will increase, and this dynamic will fade a bit.Nonetheless, tight supply resulting from mostly existential factors is allowing Tesla to lift prices and thus bolster margins, a dynamic that we question the long-term validity of.We think that as interest rates rise and consumer spending weakens (or at least shifts), demand for big ticket items (like housing and autos) will slow materially. While Tesla can lean into their current order backlog to sustain deliveries, we question the ability of Tesla to refill this backlog over time if consumer-end trends are weakening. Simply put, where is the deliveries growth in $50K+ cars going to be when the consumer is backed against the wall?This begs a few questions, how long will weak consumer trends in medium to luxury autos last? Additionally, how long before Tesla depletes its order backlog? What is the rate that this backlog refills? Will Tesla resort to price cuts (hurting unit margins) to generate incremental demand? These are all questions, questions that are difficult to answer with any degree of certainty.When going long a name, and backing up a Buy rating, we need a degree of valuation support to reflect uncertainty.If the economy slows, we question Tesla's ability to hit the aforementioned consensus revenue and earnings growth estimates, and even against those estimates, we question the valuation support you have. Tesla's trading at ~6.5x cons. '23E sales, and ~45x cons. '23E earnings.We like the business, but are these multiples reflective of safety in the current environment? No. Too much uncertainty with too little valuation support gets us to where we are now.Musk Knows This, Hence The LayoffsAdditionally, we think that management is well aware of these problems. Musk's 'bad feeling' about the economy? The layoffs? A potential cost-cutting measure to support cash generation through a tougher time. Tesla isn't unique in laying off employees. If you've been tracking the news, Big Tech in general has been finding reasons to reduce headcount.We think fundamentally, management is planning ahead of the growth cliff by reducing headcount now, a move that we think will save money and agony over the medium term.Long-Term Story Intact, But We Question Terminal MarginsOver the long haul, the story is still pretty clear on Tesla. We continue to believe they have the best product, technology, infrastructure, and brand in the BEV market. A BEV market that is still very early in its adoption curve, and a market Tesla is very early in fully capturing across the use-case spectrum (trucks, semis, compacts, etc.)We think that as new order flow cools, and Tesla works through its existing backlog, investors will have to digest a period of materially slower revenue and deliveries growth. This is to be expected when you sell $50,000+ electric vehicles into a slower demand environment.Over the long-haul, we continue to applaud Tesla's technology lead (particularly in manufacturing and cell tech, as well as cell-to-pack integration), solid brand (default name in BEVs), infrastructure (massive supercharging grid), and product design.On the margin front, as a thought exercise however, we are slightly concerned. Based on prior work we have done, and work we have seen float around the sell-side and third-party shops, teardown analyses of your average Model 3 indicate that cost of manufacturing is ~$35K-~$36K per unit (prior to input cost inflation). While Tesla is able to sell at a ripe markup right now because of (a.) tight supply, (b.) the built-in excuse (to the consumer) of inflation, and (c.) a massive order backlog, we question the long-term strategic direction. Assuming Tesla cannot materially reduce cost per unit of manufacturing, would they maintain margins and sacrifice volume and thus deliveries and revenue growth, or reduce margins to 'normalized' levels to pick up growth volume. Our bet would be on the latter, considering how mission-driven Musk & Co. are on accelerating broader market adoption at least over the long-term. Over the short-term, we think Musk's recent strategic direction would emphasize a more defensive strategy.We think to fuel mass market EV adopt, long-term, Tesla needs to move down market. Additionally, we think gross margins might have to come in as inflation comes in and the supply-demand dynamic rebalances.ValuationIn terms of valuation, we think the stock is difficult to price. In the environment we are in, where the macro picture is uncertain and rates are rising at all durations of the yield curve, multiples are compressing pretty materially. When we explore what a base case valuation for the stock is, you have to keep in mind the uncertainty profile on the business right now: we don't know what steady-state gross margins are, we don't know where optionality stands (autonomy+energy in particular), and there's a lot of value creation already priced in.It's hard to give reasonable estimates for out-year numbers because there are a lot of moving parts to juggle. We'll use the year 2030 as a basic reference number. What does 2030 BEV adoption look like relative to the overall auto market? What use cases (semis, pickups, etc.) are yet to be covered. What is Tesla's market share within BEVs? Terminal CapEx requirements?It's a lot, and hard to predict reasonably.For our part, we think the environment is fundamentally too uncertain. We're going to use average consensus estimates and the high and low estimates on the street to give investors a general valuation framework for what we would consider the reasonable base case, bull case, and bear case.Base Case: Our base case look takes cons. '22 earnings and puts a 45x multiple on them. Pretty simple, we think the multiple is relatively warranted assuming Tesla can continue to grow as viciously as they have been. If Tesla can hit a high 70s growth pace for full year, in-line with consensus, then you're looking at ~$545 on the share price assuming 45x.Bear Case: Our bear case look implies the bottom end of the sell-side earnings range for '22, which implies closer to high 30s earnings growth for the full year. You put a multiple closer to 30x to reflect a higher medium-term risk profile, and you're looking at ~$279/share.Bull Case: Our bull case looks at the top end of '22 sell-side earnings estimates, which implies earnings growth of ~113% y/y. We use a 75x multiple to reflect this more optimistic long-term view, and to reflect the optimism of a soft-landing scenario. That gets us to $1,085/share in the bull case.These are some pretty loose scenarios, and these aren't driven by any proprietary model work. Right now, because of the supply chain dynamics and the backlog depletion dynamics, it seems nearly impossible to make accurate forecasts to fit the reality of the company right now. As a result, we are using our base, bear, and bull case multiples and price targets to reflect our qualitative sentiment on the state of the company and the risks it faces medium term.ConclusionIn conclusion, while we have generally liked the business model, the product, and the technology, we are very cautious on the stock. We see a growth cliff emerging on the horizon, and would wait to buy shares until after growth decelerates. That, according to some checks, could be as soon as the next couple weeks when Tesla reports 2Q deliveries. Maybe it's later on as the company works through its massive order backlog. Nevertheless, we are cautious. Reiterating Sell, all targets reduced.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":126,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":814586872,"gmtCreate":1630844691496,"gmtModify":1676530404661,"author":{"id":"3562815822807212","authorId":"3562815822807212","name":"Favian","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3c9db4d731960e756da0c07d6b32f34a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3562815822807212","idStr":"3562815822807212"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"okie","listText":"okie","text":"okie","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/814586872","repostId":"1157895022","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1157895022","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1630810619,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1157895022?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2021-09-05 10:56","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Beat the market with this quant system that’s very bullish on stocks at record highs","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1157895022","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Vance Howard’s HCM Tactical Growth Fund moves you in and out of the stock market when prudent to do ","content":"<blockquote>\n <b>Vance Howard’s HCM Tactical Growth Fund moves you in and out of the stock market when prudent to do so. So far his team of computer scientists’ strategy has paid off.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>Imagine you had a money-making machine to harvest gains in the stock market while you sat back to enjoy life.</p>\n<p>That’s everyone’s dream, right? Investor Vance Howard thinks he’s found it.</p>\n<p>Howard and his small army of computer programmers atHoward Capital Managementin Roswell, Ga., have a quantitative system that posts great returns.</p>\n<p>His HCM Tactical Growth Fund&nbsp;HCMGX,+0.35%beats its Russell 1000&nbsp;benchmark index and large-blend fund category by 8.5-10.4 percentage points annualized over the past five years, according to Morningstar. That is no small feat, and not only because it has to overcome a 2.22% fee. Beating the market is simply not easy. His HCM Dividend Sector PlusHCMQX,-0.05%) and HCM Income PlusHCMLX,+0.30%funds post similar outperformance.</p>\n<p>There are drawbacks, which I detail below. (Among them: Potentially long stretches of underperformance and regular tax bills.) But first, what can we learn from this winner?</p>\n<p>So-called quants never share all the details of their proprietary systems, but Howard shares a lot, as you’ll see. And this Texas rancher has a lot of good advice based on “horse sense” — not surprising, given his infectious passion for the markets, and his three decades of experience as a pro.</p>\n<p>Here are five lessons, 12 exchange traded funds (ETFs) and four stocks to consider, from a recent interview with him.</p>\n<p><b>Lesson #1: Don’t be emotional</b></p>\n<p>It’s no surprise so many people do poorly in the market. Evolution has programmed us to fail. For survival, we’ve learned to run from things that frightens us. And crave more of things that are pleasurable — like sweets or fats to store calories ahead of what might be a long stretch without food. But in the market, acting on the emotions of fear and greed invariably make us do the wrong thing at the wrong time. Sell at the bottom, buy at the top.</p>\n<p>Likewise, we’re programmed to believe being with the crowd brings safety. If you’re a zebra on the Savanna, you are more likely to get picked off by a predator if you go it alone. The problem here is being part of a crowd — and crowd psychology — dumb us down to a purely emotional level. This is why people in crowds do terrible things they would never do on their own. It doesn’t matter how smart you are. When you join a crowd, you lose a lot of IQ points. Base emotions take over.</p>\n<p>To do well in the market, you have to counteract these tendencies. “One of the biggest mistakes individual investors and money managers make is getting emotional,” says Howard. “Let your emotions go.”</p>\n<p><b>Lesson #2: Have a system and stick to it</b></p>\n<p>To exorcise emotion, have a system. “And don’t second guess it,” says Howard. “This keeps you from letting the pandemic or Afghanistan scare you out of the market.” He calls his system the HCM-BuyLine. It is basically a momentum and trend-following system — which often works well in the markets.</p>\n<p>The HCM-BuyLine basically works like this. First, rather than use the S&amp;P 500SPX,-0.03%or the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,-0.21%,Howard blends several stock indices to create his own index. Then he uses a moving average that tells him whether the market is in an uptrend or downtrend.</p>\n<p>When the moving average drops 3.5%, he sells 35%. If it drops 6.5%, he sells another 35%. He rarely goes to 100% cash.</p>\n<p>“If the BuyLine is positive, we will stay long no matter what,” he says. “We take all the emotion out of the equation by letting the math decide.”</p>\n<p>Right now, it’s bullish. (More on this below.)</p>\n<p>Your system also has to tell you when to get back in.</p>\n<p>“That’s where most people screw up,” he says. “They get out of the market, and they don’t know when to get back in.” The HCM-BuyLine gives a buy signal when his custom index trades above its moving average for six consecutive sessions, and then goes on to trade above the high hit during those six days.</p>\n<p>You don’t need a system that calls exact market tops or bottoms. Instead, the BuyLine keeps Howard out of down markets 85% of the time, and in for 85% of the good times.</p>\n<p>“If we can do that consistently, we have superior returns and a less stressful life,” he says. “Being all in during a bad tape is no fun.”</p>\n<p>His system is slow to get him out of the market, but quick to get him back in. Not even a 10% correction will necessarily move him out. He’s often buying those pullbacks. Getting back in fast makes sense, because recoveries off bottoms tend to happen fast.</p>\n<p>“The HCM-BuyLine takes all the emotion out of the process,” says Howard.</p>\n<p><b>Lesson #3: Don’t fight the tape</b></p>\n<p>This concept is one of the core pieces of wisdom from Marty Zweig’s classic book, “Winning on Wall Street.”</p>\n<p>“You have to stay on the right side of market,” agrees Howard. “If you try to trade long in a bad market, it is painful.”</p>\n<p>In other words, don’t try to be a hero.</p>\n<p>“Sometimes, not losing money is where you want to be,” he says.</p>\n<p>Likewise, don’t turn cautious just because the market hits new highs — like now. You should love new highs, because it is a sign of market strength that may likely endure.</p>\n<p><b>Lesson #4: Keep it simple</b></p>\n<p>As you’ll see below, Howard doesn’t use esoteric instruments such as derivatives, swaps or index options. He doesn’t even trade foreign stocks or currencies. This is refreshing for individual investors, because we have a harder time accessing those tools.</p>\n<p>“You don’t have to trade crazy stuff,” he says. “You can trade plain-vanilla ETFs and beat everybody out there.”</p>\n<p><b>Lesson #5: How to trade the current market</b></p>\n<p>First, be long.</p>\n<p>“The HCM-BuyLine is very positive. We are 100% in,” says Howard. “The market is broadening out. It is getting pretty exciting. We do not see it turn around any time soon. We are buying pullbacks.”</p>\n<p>One bullish signal is all the cash on the sidelines. “If there is any relief in Covid, we may see a big rally. We may end up with a great fall [season].”</p>\n<p>Howard uses momentum indicators to select stocks and ETFs, too. For sectors he favors the following.</p>\n<p>He likes health care, tradable through the iShares US HealthcareIYH,-0.04%and ProShares Ultra Health CareRXL,+0.12%ETFs. He’s turning more bullish on biotech, which he plays via the iShares Biotechnology ETFIBB,-0.11%.</p>\n<p>He likes consumer discretionary tradable through the iShares US Consumer ServicesIYC,-0.30%,and airlines via US Global JetsJETS,-1.17%.He also likes tech exposure via the Invesco QQQ TrustQQQ,+0.31%,iShares US TechnologyIYW,+0.50%and&nbsp;iShares SemiconductorSOXX,+0.75%.</p>\n<p>He likes small-caps via the Vanguard Small-Cap Growth Index FundVBK,+0.07%.And convertible bonds via SPDR Bloomberg Barclays Convertible SecuritiesCWB,+0.64%and iShares Convertible BondICVT,+0.37%.</p>\n<p>As for individual names, he singles out MicrosoftMSFT,-0.00%and AppleAAPL,+0.42%in tech, as well as Amazon.comAMZN,+0.43%and TeslaTSLA,+0.16%.</p>\n<p>Also consider Howard’s two ETFs: The HCM Defender 100 IndexQQH,+0.62%and HCM Defender 500 IndexLGH,+1.32%.</p>\n<p>He prefers to add to holdings on 1%-3% dips.</p>\n<p><b>A few drawbacks</b></p>\n<p>His HCM Tactical Growth fund has a history of posting two-year stretches of underperformance of 1.5% to 8.8%, since it was launched in 2015. The fund then came roaring back to net the very positive five-year outperformance cited above. Investing in his system can require patience.</p>\n<p>Every manager, including Warren Buffett, can have a stretch of underperformance, says Howard.</p>\n<p>“We are in the odds game,” he says. “Even in the odds game, you can have a bad hand or two thrown at you.”</p>\n<p>Another challenge is the high turnover, which is 140% a year for Tactical Growth. This means Uncle Sam takes a big cut in the good years. So if you buy Howard’s funds, you may want to do so in a tax-protected account.</p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Beat the market with this quant system that’s very bullish on stocks at record highs</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBeat the market with this quant system that’s very bullish on stocks at record highs\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-09-05 10:56 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/beat-the-market-with-this-quant-system-thats-very-bullish-on-stocks-at-record-highs-11630761531?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Vance Howard’s HCM Tactical Growth Fund moves you in and out of the stock market when prudent to do so. So far his team of computer scientists’ strategy has paid off.\n\nImagine you had a money-making ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/beat-the-market-with-this-quant-system-thats-very-bullish-on-stocks-at-record-highs-11630761531?mod=home-page\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/beat-the-market-with-this-quant-system-thats-very-bullish-on-stocks-at-record-highs-11630761531?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1157895022","content_text":"Vance Howard’s HCM Tactical Growth Fund moves you in and out of the stock market when prudent to do so. So far his team of computer scientists’ strategy has paid off.\n\nImagine you had a money-making machine to harvest gains in the stock market while you sat back to enjoy life.\nThat’s everyone’s dream, right? Investor Vance Howard thinks he’s found it.\nHoward and his small army of computer programmers atHoward Capital Managementin Roswell, Ga., have a quantitative system that posts great returns.\nHis HCM Tactical Growth Fund HCMGX,+0.35%beats its Russell 1000 benchmark index and large-blend fund category by 8.5-10.4 percentage points annualized over the past five years, according to Morningstar. That is no small feat, and not only because it has to overcome a 2.22% fee. Beating the market is simply not easy. His HCM Dividend Sector PlusHCMQX,-0.05%) and HCM Income PlusHCMLX,+0.30%funds post similar outperformance.\nThere are drawbacks, which I detail below. (Among them: Potentially long stretches of underperformance and regular tax bills.) But first, what can we learn from this winner?\nSo-called quants never share all the details of their proprietary systems, but Howard shares a lot, as you’ll see. And this Texas rancher has a lot of good advice based on “horse sense” — not surprising, given his infectious passion for the markets, and his three decades of experience as a pro.\nHere are five lessons, 12 exchange traded funds (ETFs) and four stocks to consider, from a recent interview with him.\nLesson #1: Don’t be emotional\nIt’s no surprise so many people do poorly in the market. Evolution has programmed us to fail. For survival, we’ve learned to run from things that frightens us. And crave more of things that are pleasurable — like sweets or fats to store calories ahead of what might be a long stretch without food. But in the market, acting on the emotions of fear and greed invariably make us do the wrong thing at the wrong time. Sell at the bottom, buy at the top.\nLikewise, we’re programmed to believe being with the crowd brings safety. If you’re a zebra on the Savanna, you are more likely to get picked off by a predator if you go it alone. The problem here is being part of a crowd — and crowd psychology — dumb us down to a purely emotional level. This is why people in crowds do terrible things they would never do on their own. It doesn’t matter how smart you are. When you join a crowd, you lose a lot of IQ points. Base emotions take over.\nTo do well in the market, you have to counteract these tendencies. “One of the biggest mistakes individual investors and money managers make is getting emotional,” says Howard. “Let your emotions go.”\nLesson #2: Have a system and stick to it\nTo exorcise emotion, have a system. “And don’t second guess it,” says Howard. “This keeps you from letting the pandemic or Afghanistan scare you out of the market.” He calls his system the HCM-BuyLine. It is basically a momentum and trend-following system — which often works well in the markets.\nThe HCM-BuyLine basically works like this. First, rather than use the S&P 500SPX,-0.03%or the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,-0.21%,Howard blends several stock indices to create his own index. Then he uses a moving average that tells him whether the market is in an uptrend or downtrend.\nWhen the moving average drops 3.5%, he sells 35%. If it drops 6.5%, he sells another 35%. He rarely goes to 100% cash.\n“If the BuyLine is positive, we will stay long no matter what,” he says. “We take all the emotion out of the equation by letting the math decide.”\nRight now, it’s bullish. (More on this below.)\nYour system also has to tell you when to get back in.\n“That’s where most people screw up,” he says. “They get out of the market, and they don’t know when to get back in.” The HCM-BuyLine gives a buy signal when his custom index trades above its moving average for six consecutive sessions, and then goes on to trade above the high hit during those six days.\nYou don’t need a system that calls exact market tops or bottoms. Instead, the BuyLine keeps Howard out of down markets 85% of the time, and in for 85% of the good times.\n“If we can do that consistently, we have superior returns and a less stressful life,” he says. “Being all in during a bad tape is no fun.”\nHis system is slow to get him out of the market, but quick to get him back in. Not even a 10% correction will necessarily move him out. He’s often buying those pullbacks. Getting back in fast makes sense, because recoveries off bottoms tend to happen fast.\n“The HCM-BuyLine takes all the emotion out of the process,” says Howard.\nLesson #3: Don’t fight the tape\nThis concept is one of the core pieces of wisdom from Marty Zweig’s classic book, “Winning on Wall Street.”\n“You have to stay on the right side of market,” agrees Howard. “If you try to trade long in a bad market, it is painful.”\nIn other words, don’t try to be a hero.\n“Sometimes, not losing money is where you want to be,” he says.\nLikewise, don’t turn cautious just because the market hits new highs — like now. You should love new highs, because it is a sign of market strength that may likely endure.\nLesson #4: Keep it simple\nAs you’ll see below, Howard doesn’t use esoteric instruments such as derivatives, swaps or index options. He doesn’t even trade foreign stocks or currencies. This is refreshing for individual investors, because we have a harder time accessing those tools.\n“You don’t have to trade crazy stuff,” he says. “You can trade plain-vanilla ETFs and beat everybody out there.”\nLesson #5: How to trade the current market\nFirst, be long.\n“The HCM-BuyLine is very positive. We are 100% in,” says Howard. “The market is broadening out. It is getting pretty exciting. We do not see it turn around any time soon. We are buying pullbacks.”\nOne bullish signal is all the cash on the sidelines. “If there is any relief in Covid, we may see a big rally. We may end up with a great fall [season].”\nHoward uses momentum indicators to select stocks and ETFs, too. For sectors he favors the following.\nHe likes health care, tradable through the iShares US HealthcareIYH,-0.04%and ProShares Ultra Health CareRXL,+0.12%ETFs. He’s turning more bullish on biotech, which he plays via the iShares Biotechnology ETFIBB,-0.11%.\nHe likes consumer discretionary tradable through the iShares US Consumer ServicesIYC,-0.30%,and airlines via US Global JetsJETS,-1.17%.He also likes tech exposure via the Invesco QQQ TrustQQQ,+0.31%,iShares US TechnologyIYW,+0.50%and iShares SemiconductorSOXX,+0.75%.\nHe likes small-caps via the Vanguard Small-Cap Growth Index FundVBK,+0.07%.And convertible bonds via SPDR Bloomberg Barclays Convertible SecuritiesCWB,+0.64%and iShares Convertible BondICVT,+0.37%.\nAs for individual names, he singles out MicrosoftMSFT,-0.00%and AppleAAPL,+0.42%in tech, as well as Amazon.comAMZN,+0.43%and TeslaTSLA,+0.16%.\nAlso consider Howard’s two ETFs: The HCM Defender 100 IndexQQH,+0.62%and HCM Defender 500 IndexLGH,+1.32%.\nHe prefers to add to holdings on 1%-3% dips.\nA few drawbacks\nHis HCM Tactical Growth fund has a history of posting two-year stretches of underperformance of 1.5% to 8.8%, since it was launched in 2015. The fund then came roaring back to net the very positive five-year outperformance cited above. Investing in his system can require patience.\nEvery manager, including Warren Buffett, can have a stretch of underperformance, says Howard.\n“We are in the odds game,” he says. “Even in the odds game, you can have a bad hand or two thrown at you.”\nAnother challenge is the high turnover, which is 140% a year for Tactical Growth. This means Uncle Sam takes a big cut in the good years. So if you buy Howard’s funds, you may want to do so in a tax-protected account.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":228,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":830274020,"gmtCreate":1629078642760,"gmtModify":1676529922535,"author":{"id":"3562815822807212","authorId":"3562815822807212","name":"Favian","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3c9db4d731960e756da0c07d6b32f34a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3562815822807212","idStr":"3562815822807212"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"okay","listText":"okay","text":"okay","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/830274020","repostId":"1129589874","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":207,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":107892205,"gmtCreate":1620460889207,"gmtModify":1704344077312,"author":{"id":"3562815822807212","authorId":"3562815822807212","name":"Favian","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3c9db4d731960e756da0c07d6b32f34a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3562815822807212","idStr":"3562815822807212"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"cool","listText":"cool","text":"cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/107892205","repostId":"1122089368","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":110,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":386717797,"gmtCreate":1613274468919,"gmtModify":1704879689084,"author":{"id":"3562815822807212","authorId":"3562815822807212","name":"Favian","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3c9db4d731960e756da0c07d6b32f34a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3562815822807212","idStr":"3562815822807212"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"huat ahhhh ??? happy chinese new year!!","listText":"huat ahhhh ??? happy chinese new year!!","text":"huat ahhhh ??? happy chinese new year!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/386717797","repostId":"2110904027","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":289,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3562815822807212","authorId":"3562815822807212","name":"Favian","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3c9db4d731960e756da0c07d6b32f34a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"authorIdStr":"3562815822807212","idStr":"3562815822807212"},"content":"likeeee for quest!","text":"likeeee for quest!","html":"likeeee for quest!"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":386221710,"gmtCreate":1613187648130,"gmtModify":1704879322923,"author":{"id":"3562815822807212","authorId":"3562815822807212","name":"Favian","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3c9db4d731960e756da0c07d6b32f34a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3562815822807212","idStr":"3562815822807212"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"cheaper oil = cheaper to drive a car","listText":"cheaper oil = cheaper to drive a car","text":"cheaper oil = cheaper to drive a 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISWH\">$INTL SPIRITS &amp; WELLNESS(ISWH)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SOS\">$SOS Limited(SOS)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MARA\">$Marathon Patent(MARA)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RIOT\">$Riot Blockchain, Inc.(RIOT)$</a>move your money here!! u wont be disappointed!","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISWH\">$INTL SPIRITS &amp; WELLNESS(ISWH)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SOS\">$SOS Limited(SOS)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MARA\">$Marathon Patent(MARA)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RIOT\">$Riot Blockchain, Inc.(RIOT)$</a>move your money here!! u wont be disappointed!","text":"$INTL SPIRITS & WELLNESS(ISWH)$$SOS Limited(SOS)$$Marathon Patent(MARA)$$Riot Blockchain, Inc.(RIOT)$move your money here!! u wont be disappointed!","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05574838a4e1f7cbc8ddbbb7e6c0bc4a","width":"1125","height":"1949"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/366855152","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1230,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3574945429048502","authorId":"3574945429048502","name":"Dddc","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e8d62822ea593cb52359cc7a8ef399eb","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3574945429048502","idStr":"3574945429048502"},"content":"Good stuff mate","text":"Good stuff mate","html":"Good stuff mate"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9020640765,"gmtCreate":1652637086857,"gmtModify":1676535131855,"author":{"id":"3562815822807212","authorId":"3562815822807212","name":"Favian","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3c9db4d731960e756da0c07d6b32f34a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3562815822807212","idStr":"3562815822807212"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"i hope not","listText":"i hope not","text":"i hope not","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9020640765","repostId":"2235487417","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":180,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":882755471,"gmtCreate":1631725472293,"gmtModify":1676530619999,"author":{"id":"3562815822807212","authorId":"3562815822807212","name":"Favian","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3c9db4d731960e756da0c07d6b32f34a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3562815822807212","idStr":"3562815822807212"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"cool","listText":"cool","text":"cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/882755471","repostId":"1148341685","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1148341685","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1631660884,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1148341685?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2021-09-15 07:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. stocks close lower on worries over recovery, corporate tax hikes","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1148341685","media":"Reuters","summary":"NEW YORK (Reuters) - Wall Street lost ground on Tuesday as economic uncertainties and the increasing","content":"<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - Wall Street lost ground on Tuesday as economic uncertainties and the increasing likelihood of a corporate tax rate hike dampened investor sentiment and prompted a broad sell-off despite signs of easing inflation.</p>\n<p>Optimism faded throughout the session, reversing an initial rally following the Labor Department’s consumer price index report. All three major U.S. stock indexes ended in negative territory in a reminder that September is a historically rough month for stocks.</p>\n<p>So far this month the S&amp;P 500 is down nearly 1.8% even as the benchmark index has gained over 18% since the beginning of the year.</p>\n<p>“There is a possibility that the market is simply ready to go through an overdue correction,” said Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA Research in New York. “From a seasonality perspective, September tends to be the window dressing period for fund managers.”</p>\n<p>The advent of the highly contagious Delta COVID variant has driven an increase in bearish sentiment regarding the recovery from the global health crisis, and many now expect a substantial correction in stock markets by the end of the year.</p>\n<p>“We’re still in a corrective mode that people have been calling for months,” said Paul Nolte, portfolio manager at Kingsview Asset Management in Chicago. “Economic data points have been missing estimates, and that has coincided with the rise in the Delta variant.”</p>\n<p>The CPI report delivered a lower-than-consensus August reading, a deceleration that supports Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s assertion that spiking inflation is transitory and calms market fears that the central bank will begin tightening monetary policy sooner than expected.</p>\n<p>U.S. Treasury yields dropped on the data, which pressured financial stocks, and investor favor pivoted back to growth at the expense of value. [US/]</p>\n<p>The long expected corporate tax hikes, to 26.5% from 21% if Democrats prevail, are coming nearer to fruition with U.S. President Joe Biden’s $3.5 trillion budget package inching closer to passage.</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 292.06 points, or 0.84%, to 34,577.57; the S&amp;P 500 lost 25.68 points, or 0.57%, at 4,443.05; and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 67.82 points, or 0.45%, to 15,037.76.</p>\n<p>All 11 major sectors in the S&amp;P 500 ended the session red, with energy and financials suffering the largest percentage drops.</p>\n<p>Apple Inc unveiled its iPhone 13 and added new features to its iPad and Apple Watch gadgets in its biggest product launch event of the year as the company faces increased scrutiny in the courts over its business practices. Its shares closed down 1.0% and were the heaviest drag on the S&amp;P 500 and the Nasdaq.</p>\n<p>Intuit Inc gained 1.9% following the TurboTax maker’s announcement that it would acquire digital marketing company Mailchimp for $12 billion.</p>\n<p>CureVac slid 8.0% after the German biotechnology company canceled manufacturing deals for its experimental COVID-19 vaccine.</p>\n<p>Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 2.25-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.40-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 posted two new 52-week highs and two new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 50 new highs and 107 new lows.</p>\n<p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.07 billion shares, compared with the 9.38 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. stocks close lower on worries over recovery, corporate tax hikes</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. stocks close lower on worries over recovery, corporate tax hikes\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-09-15 07:08 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/u-s-stocks-close-lower-on-worries-over-recovery-corporate-tax-hikes-idUSKBN2GA0W9><strong>Reuters</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - Wall Street lost ground on Tuesday as economic uncertainties and the increasing likelihood of a corporate tax rate hike dampened investor sentiment and prompted a broad sell-off ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/u-s-stocks-close-lower-on-worries-over-recovery-corporate-tax-hikes-idUSKBN2GA0W9\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/u-s-stocks-close-lower-on-worries-over-recovery-corporate-tax-hikes-idUSKBN2GA0W9","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1148341685","content_text":"NEW YORK (Reuters) - Wall Street lost ground on Tuesday as economic uncertainties and the increasing likelihood of a corporate tax rate hike dampened investor sentiment and prompted a broad sell-off despite signs of easing inflation.\nOptimism faded throughout the session, reversing an initial rally following the Labor Department’s consumer price index report. All three major U.S. stock indexes ended in negative territory in a reminder that September is a historically rough month for stocks.\nSo far this month the S&P 500 is down nearly 1.8% even as the benchmark index has gained over 18% since the beginning of the year.\n“There is a possibility that the market is simply ready to go through an overdue correction,” said Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA Research in New York. “From a seasonality perspective, September tends to be the window dressing period for fund managers.”\nThe advent of the highly contagious Delta COVID variant has driven an increase in bearish sentiment regarding the recovery from the global health crisis, and many now expect a substantial correction in stock markets by the end of the year.\n“We’re still in a corrective mode that people have been calling for months,” said Paul Nolte, portfolio manager at Kingsview Asset Management in Chicago. “Economic data points have been missing estimates, and that has coincided with the rise in the Delta variant.”\nThe CPI report delivered a lower-than-consensus August reading, a deceleration that supports Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s assertion that spiking inflation is transitory and calms market fears that the central bank will begin tightening monetary policy sooner than expected.\nU.S. Treasury yields dropped on the data, which pressured financial stocks, and investor favor pivoted back to growth at the expense of value. [US/]\nThe long expected corporate tax hikes, to 26.5% from 21% if Democrats prevail, are coming nearer to fruition with U.S. President Joe Biden’s $3.5 trillion budget package inching closer to passage.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 292.06 points, or 0.84%, to 34,577.57; the S&P 500 lost 25.68 points, or 0.57%, at 4,443.05; and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 67.82 points, or 0.45%, to 15,037.76.\nAll 11 major sectors in the S&P 500 ended the session red, with energy and financials suffering the largest percentage drops.\nApple Inc unveiled its iPhone 13 and added new features to its iPad and Apple Watch gadgets in its biggest product launch event of the year as the company faces increased scrutiny in the courts over its business practices. Its shares closed down 1.0% and were the heaviest drag on the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq.\nIntuit Inc gained 1.9% following the TurboTax maker’s announcement that it would acquire digital marketing company Mailchimp for $12 billion.\nCureVac slid 8.0% after the German biotechnology company canceled manufacturing deals for its experimental COVID-19 vaccine.\nDeclining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 2.25-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.40-to-1 ratio favored decliners.\nThe S&P 500 posted two new 52-week highs and two new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 50 new highs and 107 new lows.\nVolume on U.S. exchanges was 10.07 billion shares, compared with the 9.38 billion average over the last 20 trading days.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":278,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":810077237,"gmtCreate":1629937248529,"gmtModify":1676530176064,"author":{"id":"3562815822807212","authorId":"3562815822807212","name":"Favian","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3c9db4d731960e756da0c07d6b32f34a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3562815822807212","idStr":"3562815822807212"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"okay","listText":"okay","text":"okay","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/810077237","repostId":"2162203050","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2162203050","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1629935160,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2162203050?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2021-08-26 07:46","market":"us","language":"en","title":"After-Hours Stock Movers: Autodesk,Guess,Ulta Salon,American Software and more","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2162203050","media":"StreetInsider","summary":"After-Hours Stock Movers:\nWilliams-Sonoma 15.4% HIGHER; reported Q2 EPS of $3.24, $0.64 better than ","content":"<p>After-Hours Stock Movers:</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WSM\">Williams-Sonoma</a> 15.4% HIGHER; reported Q2 EPS of $3.24, $0.64 better than the analyst estimate of $2.60. Revenue for the quarter came in at $1.95 billion versus the consensus estimate of $1.81 billion. Given the strength of our business year-to-date and the macro trends that we believe will continue to benefit our business, we are raising our fiscal year 2021 outlook to high-teens to low-twenties net revenue growth and non-GAAP operating margin between 16% to 17%.</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMRX\">Amneal Pharmaceuticals, Inc.</a>&nbsp;12.6% HIGHER; announced positive topline results from the pivotal Phase 3 RISE-PD clinical trial that evaluated the novel formulation, IPX-203, in patients with Parkinsons disease (PD) who have motor fluctuations. The trial met its primary endpoint, demonstrating superior Good On time from baseline in hours per day at the end of the 13-week double-blind treatment period with IPX-203 CD/LD extended-release capsules compared with immediate-release CD/LD. Based on these topline results plus other supportive data, Amneal plans to submit a New Drug Application (NDA) for IPX-203 with the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) in mid-2022.</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZUO\">Zuora</a>, Inc. (NYSE: ZUO) 11.3% HIGHER; reported Q2 EPS of ($0.04), in-line with the analyst estimate of ($0.04). Revenue for the quarter came in at $86.5 million versus the consensus estimate of $83.41 million. Zuora, Inc. sees FY2022 EPS of ($0.13)-($0.11), versus the consensus of ($0.09). Zuora, Inc. sees FY2022 revenue of $340-342 million, versus the consensus of $339 million.</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LCI\">Lannett</a> (NYSE: LCI) 10.5% LOWER; reported Q4 EPS of ($0.19), $0.07 worse than the analyst estimate of ($0.12). Revenue for the quarter came in at $106 million versus the consensus estimate of $110.63 million. Lannett sees FY2022 revenue of $400-440 million, versus the consensus of $483 million.</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PSTG\">Pure Storage</a> (NYSE: PSTG) 10% HIGHER; reported Q2 EPS of $0.14, $0.09 better than the analyst estimate of $0.05. Revenue for the quarter came in at $496.8 million versus the consensus estimate of $469.48 million. Pure Storage, Inc. sees Q3 2022 revenue of $530 million, versus the consensus of $495.15 million. Pure Storage, Inc. sees FY2022 revenue of $2.04 billion, versus the consensus of $1.96 billion.</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SLQT\">SelectQuote, Inc.</a> (NYSE: SLQT) 7.8% LOWER; reported Q4 EPS of $0.02, $0.02 worse than the analyst estimate of $0.04. Revenue for the quarter came in at $188.4 million versus the consensus estimate of $184.93 million.</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ADSK\">Autodesk</a> (NASDAQ: ADSK) 7% LOWER; reported Q2 EPS of $1.21, $0.08 better than the analyst estimate of $1.13. Revenue for the quarter came in at $1.06 billion versus the consensus estimate of $1.05 billion. Autodesk sees Q3 2022 EPS of $1.22-$1.28, versus the consensus of $1.26. Autodesk sees Q3 2022 revenue of $1.11-1.125 billion, versus the consensus of $1.11 billion. Autodesk sees FY2022 EPS of $4.91-$5.06, versus the consensus of $4.90. Autodesk sees FY2022 revenue of $4.345-4.385 billion, versus the consensus of $4.36 billion.</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RMBL\">Rumbleon Inc.</a> (Nasdaq: RMBL) 5.7% LOWER; announced that it is proposing to offer and sell, subject to market conditions, shares of its Class B Common Stock in an underwritten public offering. The Company expects to grant the underwriters a 30-day option to purchase up to an additional 15 percent of the shares of Class B Common Stock offered in the public offering to cover over-allotments, if any. All of the Class B Common Stock is being offered by the Company.</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GES\">Guess?</a> &nbsp;(NYSE: GES) 5% LOWER; reported Q2 EPS of $0.96, $0.26 better than the analyst estimate of $0.70. Revenue for the quarter came in at $629 million versus the consensus estimate of $648.6 million.</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ULTA\">Ulta Salon</a> (NASDAQ: ULTA) 4.6% HIGHER; reported Q2 EPS of $4.56, topping the analyst estimate of $2.42. Revenue for the quarter came in at $2 billion versus the consensus estimate of $1.72 billion. Diluted earnings per share was $4.56, including a $0.04 benefit due to income tax accounting for share-based compensation. Ulta Salon sees FY2021 EPS of $14.50-$14.70, versus the consensus of $12.28. Ulta Salon sees FY2021 revenue of $8.1-8.3 billion, versus the consensus of $7.88 billion.</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ESTC\">Elastic N.V.</a> (NYSE: ESTC) 4.2% HIGHER; reported Q1 EPS of $0.04, $0.14 better than the analyst estimate of ($0.10). Revenue for the quarter came in at $193.1 million versus the consensus estimate of $173.17 million. Elastic N.V. sees FY2022 EPS of ($0.67)-($0.57), versus the consensus of ($0.50). Elastic N.V. sees FY2022 revenue of $808-814 million, versus the consensus of $789 million.</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PHX\">Panhandle Oil and Gas</a> (NYSE: PHX) 3.8% LOWER; announced today that it has filed a prospectus supplement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission and entered into an At-The-Market Equity Offering Sales Agreement.</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTAP\">NetApp</a> (NASDAQ: NTAP) 3.7% HIGHER; reported Q1 EPS of $1.15, $0.20 better than the analyst estimate of $0.95. Revenue for the quarter came in at $1.46 billion versus the consensus estimate of $1.43 billion. NetApp sees Q2 2022 EPS of $1.14-$1.24, versus the consensus of $1.13. NetApp sees Q2 2022 revenue of $1.49-1.59 billion, versus the consensus of $1.52 billion. NetApp sees FY2022 EPS of $4.85-$5.05, versus the consensus of $4.59.</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMSWA\">American</a> (NASDAQ: AMSWA) 2.5% HIGHER; reported Q1 EPS of $0.11, $0.06 better than the analyst estimate of $0.05. Revenue for the quarter came in at $29.3 versus the consensus estimate of $28.4 million.</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRM\">Salesforce</a> (NYSE: CRM) 1.8% HIGHER; reported Q2 EPS of $1.48, $0.56 better than the analyst estimate of $0.92. Revenue for the quarter came in at $6.34 billion versus the consensus estimate of $6.24 billion.</p>","source":"highlight_streetinsider","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>After-Hours Stock Movers: Autodesk,Guess,Ulta Salon,American Software and more</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAfter-Hours Stock Movers: Autodesk,Guess,Ulta Salon,American Software and more\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-26 07:46 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.streetinsider.com/dr/news.php?id=18864546><strong>StreetInsider</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>After-Hours Stock Movers:\nWilliams-Sonoma 15.4% HIGHER; reported Q2 EPS of $3.24, $0.64 better than the analyst estimate of $2.60. Revenue for the quarter came in at $1.95 billion versus the consensus...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.streetinsider.com/dr/news.php?id=18864546\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ZUO":"祖睿","ADSK":"欧特克","WSM":"Williams-Sonoma Inc","SLQT":"SelectQuote, Inc.","AMRX":"Amneal Pharmaceuticals, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.streetinsider.com/dr/news.php?id=18864546","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2162203050","content_text":"After-Hours Stock Movers:\nWilliams-Sonoma 15.4% HIGHER; reported Q2 EPS of $3.24, $0.64 better than the analyst estimate of $2.60. Revenue for the quarter came in at $1.95 billion versus the consensus estimate of $1.81 billion. Given the strength of our business year-to-date and the macro trends that we believe will continue to benefit our business, we are raising our fiscal year 2021 outlook to high-teens to low-twenties net revenue growth and non-GAAP operating margin between 16% to 17%.\nAmneal Pharmaceuticals, Inc. 12.6% HIGHER; announced positive topline results from the pivotal Phase 3 RISE-PD clinical trial that evaluated the novel formulation, IPX-203, in patients with Parkinsons disease (PD) who have motor fluctuations. The trial met its primary endpoint, demonstrating superior Good On time from baseline in hours per day at the end of the 13-week double-blind treatment period with IPX-203 CD/LD extended-release capsules compared with immediate-release CD/LD. Based on these topline results plus other supportive data, Amneal plans to submit a New Drug Application (NDA) for IPX-203 with the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) in mid-2022.\nZuora, Inc. (NYSE: ZUO) 11.3% HIGHER; reported Q2 EPS of ($0.04), in-line with the analyst estimate of ($0.04). Revenue for the quarter came in at $86.5 million versus the consensus estimate of $83.41 million. Zuora, Inc. sees FY2022 EPS of ($0.13)-($0.11), versus the consensus of ($0.09). Zuora, Inc. sees FY2022 revenue of $340-342 million, versus the consensus of $339 million.\nLannett (NYSE: LCI) 10.5% LOWER; reported Q4 EPS of ($0.19), $0.07 worse than the analyst estimate of ($0.12). Revenue for the quarter came in at $106 million versus the consensus estimate of $110.63 million. Lannett sees FY2022 revenue of $400-440 million, versus the consensus of $483 million.\nPure Storage (NYSE: PSTG) 10% HIGHER; reported Q2 EPS of $0.14, $0.09 better than the analyst estimate of $0.05. Revenue for the quarter came in at $496.8 million versus the consensus estimate of $469.48 million. Pure Storage, Inc. sees Q3 2022 revenue of $530 million, versus the consensus of $495.15 million. Pure Storage, Inc. sees FY2022 revenue of $2.04 billion, versus the consensus of $1.96 billion.\nSelectQuote, Inc. (NYSE: SLQT) 7.8% LOWER; reported Q4 EPS of $0.02, $0.02 worse than the analyst estimate of $0.04. Revenue for the quarter came in at $188.4 million versus the consensus estimate of $184.93 million.\nAutodesk (NASDAQ: ADSK) 7% LOWER; reported Q2 EPS of $1.21, $0.08 better than the analyst estimate of $1.13. Revenue for the quarter came in at $1.06 billion versus the consensus estimate of $1.05 billion. Autodesk sees Q3 2022 EPS of $1.22-$1.28, versus the consensus of $1.26. Autodesk sees Q3 2022 revenue of $1.11-1.125 billion, versus the consensus of $1.11 billion. Autodesk sees FY2022 EPS of $4.91-$5.06, versus the consensus of $4.90. Autodesk sees FY2022 revenue of $4.345-4.385 billion, versus the consensus of $4.36 billion.\nRumbleon Inc. (Nasdaq: RMBL) 5.7% LOWER; announced that it is proposing to offer and sell, subject to market conditions, shares of its Class B Common Stock in an underwritten public offering. The Company expects to grant the underwriters a 30-day option to purchase up to an additional 15 percent of the shares of Class B Common Stock offered in the public offering to cover over-allotments, if any. All of the Class B Common Stock is being offered by the Company.\nGuess?  (NYSE: GES) 5% LOWER; reported Q2 EPS of $0.96, $0.26 better than the analyst estimate of $0.70. Revenue for the quarter came in at $629 million versus the consensus estimate of $648.6 million.\nUlta Salon (NASDAQ: ULTA) 4.6% HIGHER; reported Q2 EPS of $4.56, topping the analyst estimate of $2.42. Revenue for the quarter came in at $2 billion versus the consensus estimate of $1.72 billion. Diluted earnings per share was $4.56, including a $0.04 benefit due to income tax accounting for share-based compensation. Ulta Salon sees FY2021 EPS of $14.50-$14.70, versus the consensus of $12.28. Ulta Salon sees FY2021 revenue of $8.1-8.3 billion, versus the consensus of $7.88 billion.\nElastic N.V. (NYSE: ESTC) 4.2% HIGHER; reported Q1 EPS of $0.04, $0.14 better than the analyst estimate of ($0.10). Revenue for the quarter came in at $193.1 million versus the consensus estimate of $173.17 million. Elastic N.V. sees FY2022 EPS of ($0.67)-($0.57), versus the consensus of ($0.50). Elastic N.V. sees FY2022 revenue of $808-814 million, versus the consensus of $789 million.\nPanhandle Oil and Gas (NYSE: PHX) 3.8% LOWER; announced today that it has filed a prospectus supplement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission and entered into an At-The-Market Equity Offering Sales Agreement.\nNetApp (NASDAQ: NTAP) 3.7% HIGHER; reported Q1 EPS of $1.15, $0.20 better than the analyst estimate of $0.95. Revenue for the quarter came in at $1.46 billion versus the consensus estimate of $1.43 billion. NetApp sees Q2 2022 EPS of $1.14-$1.24, versus the consensus of $1.13. NetApp sees Q2 2022 revenue of $1.49-1.59 billion, versus the consensus of $1.52 billion. NetApp sees FY2022 EPS of $4.85-$5.05, versus the consensus of $4.59.\nAmerican (NASDAQ: AMSWA) 2.5% HIGHER; reported Q1 EPS of $0.11, $0.06 better than the analyst estimate of $0.05. Revenue for the quarter came in at $29.3 versus the consensus estimate of $28.4 million.\nSalesforce (NYSE: CRM) 1.8% HIGHER; reported Q2 EPS of $1.48, $0.56 better than the analyst estimate of $0.92. Revenue for the quarter came in at $6.34 billion versus the consensus estimate of $6.24 billion.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":200,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}