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jamiengan

jamiengan

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2021-09-22

Wow$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$

2021-09-01

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2021-08-19

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恒瑞医药：上半年实现净利润26.68亿元同比增长0.21%

2021-08-18

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港股异动 | 江南布衣(3306.HK)升超9% 股价有望挑战历史高位

2021-08-17

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2021-08-17

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大行评级丨招银国际：监管风险未除，腾讯(0700.HK)股价低位料约于402港元

2021-08-17

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江南布衣(03306.HK)8月31日举行董事会会议审批中期业绩

2021-08-11

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@石头Stone:2021Q2財報 | 英特爾老了嗎，股價還能翻盤嗎？

2021-08-10

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@美股指南针:不到一年將本金翻8倍，我是如何做到的

2021-07-24

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2021-07-16

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缺“芯”的拐点要来了？

2021-07-16

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缺“芯”的拐点要来了？

2021-07-15

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小鹏P5：下一枚“销量火箭”？

2021-07-14

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医脉通一手中签率5%，认购90手稳中一手

2021-07-13

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美联储七月会议如何表态？关注今晚CPI

2021-07-13

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百事可乐Q2财报超预期，盘前涨近2%

2021-07-11

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Sorry, the original content has been removed

2021-07-10

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索普和西蒙斯：两位教父级投资大佬的传奇人生

2021-07-08

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上半年IPO盘点：A股95%上涨，港股募资翻倍，美股超7成下跌

2021-07-07

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康诺亚-B一手中签率6.5%，认购70手稳中一手

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0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n恒瑞医药：上半年实现净利润26.68亿元 同比增长0.21%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-19 17:23 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/s/2021-08-19/doc-ikqcfncc3815076.shtml><strong>新浪财经</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>投资研报\n【主力资金】总龙头霸气打出8+1板！重磅利好盘后来袭，这类个股值得关注（附受益股）\n牛市旗手爆发涨停潮：财富管理赛道三大投资机遇受益股曝光！3股上涨目标价明确（名单）\n揭秘：1个月暴涨60%！为什么东方证券能成为龙一？\n【机构调研】袁芳、杨瑨、归凯等大佬齐出手调研1股！这一类股投资机会值得重视（受益股）\n　　8月19日消息，恒瑞医药：上半年实现净利润26.68亿元，同比增长0.21%。\n...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/s/2021-08-19/doc-ikqcfncc3815076.shtml\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d8fb95e65f042f352c6313989391357","relate_stocks":{"600276":"恒瑞医药"},"source_url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/s/2021-08-19/doc-ikqcfncc3815076.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/b0d1b7e8843deea78cc308b15114de44","article_id":"2160763716","content_text":"投资研报\n【主力资金】总龙头霸气打出8+1板！重磅利好盘后来袭，这类个股值得关注（附受益股）\n牛市旗手爆发涨停潮：财富管理赛道三大投资机遇受益股曝光！3股上涨目标价明确（名单）\n揭秘：1个月暴涨60%！为什么东方证券能成为龙一？\n【机构调研】袁芳、杨瑨、归凯等大佬齐出手调研1股！这一类股投资机会值得重视（受益股）\n　　8月19日消息，恒瑞医药：上半年实现净利润26.68亿元，同比增长0.21%。\n \n\n股民福利！金牛、茅台、手机……任务“豪”礼，等你来拿>>\n\n\n\n\n海量资讯、精准解读，尽在新浪财经APP\n\n责任编辑：张熠","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":245,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":831926848,"gmtCreate":1629281413884,"gmtModify":1676529989822,"author":{"id":"3569299384564621","authorId":"3569299384564621","name":"jamiengan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/889f4395dbbcc2004e91811498c78b43","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569299384564621","authorIdStr":"3569299384564621"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"???","listText":"???","text":"???","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/831926848","repostId":"2160787920","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2160787920","pubTimestamp":1629270616,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2160787920?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-08-18 15:10","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"港股异动 | 江南布衣(3306.HK)升超9% 股价有望挑战历史高位","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2160787920","media":"格隆汇","summary":"格隆汇8月18日丨江南布衣(3306.HK)大涨超9%，报18.5港元，成交额为2045万港元，总市值96亿港元。江南布衣将于8月31日举行董事会会议审批业绩。此前发盈喜称，预计截至今年6月30日止年度净利润较上年度净利润增加超过80%。花旗研报指，江南布衣复苏步伐理想，公司对品牌及会员制度持续投入，预期6月底止全财年收入将按年升30%。因发布盈喜影响，此前股价4日累计大涨50%并创下历史新高价，市值一度冲上百亿港元，近期股价高位震荡徘徊有望伺机再冲高价。","content":"<html><body><p>格隆汇8月18日丨<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03306\">江南布衣</a>(3306.HK)大涨超9%，报18.5港元，成交额为2045万港元，总市值96亿港元。</p><div><br/></div><div><br/></div><div>江南布衣将于8月31日举行董事会会议审批业绩。此前发盈喜称，预计截至今年6月30日止年度净利润较上年度净利润增加超过80%。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C\">花旗</a>研报指，江南布衣复苏步伐理想，公司对品牌及会员制度持续投入，预期6月底止全财年收入将按年升30%。</div><div><br/></div><div>因发布盈喜影响，此前股价4日累计大涨50%并创下历史新高价，市值一度冲上百亿港元，近期股价高位震荡徘徊有望伺机再冲高价。<p><img src=\"https://img3.gelonghui.com/ad0eb-77d70b28-fc44-471b-813f-28c9de154003.png\"/></p></div></body></html>","source":"stock_gelonghui","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>港股异动 | 江南布衣(3306.HK)升超9% 股价有望挑战历史高位</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ 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{color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n港股异动 | 江南布衣(3306.HK)升超9% 股价有望挑战历史高位\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-18 15:10 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.gelonghui.com/news/detail.html?id=601533><strong>格隆汇</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>格隆汇8月18日丨江南布衣(3306.HK)大涨超9%，报18.5港元，成交额为2045万港元，总市值96亿港元。江南布衣将于8月31日举行董事会会议审批业绩。此前发盈喜称，预计截至今年6月30日止年度净利润较上年度净利润增加超过80%。花旗研报指，江南布衣复苏步伐理想，公司对品牌及会员制度持续投入，预期6月底止全财年收入将按年升30%。因发布盈喜影响，此前股价4日累计大涨50%并创下历史新高价，...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.gelonghui.com/news/detail.html?id=601533\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/753c9aba3202037bc97463c545d5d015","relate_stocks":{"03306":"江南布衣"},"source_url":"https://www.gelonghui.com/news/detail.html?id=601533","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2160787920","content_text":"格隆汇8月18日丨江南布衣(3306.HK)大涨超9%，报18.5港元，成交额为2045万港元，总市值96亿港元。江南布衣将于8月31日举行董事会会议审批业绩。此前发盈喜称，预计截至今年6月30日止年度净利润较上年度净利润增加超过80%。花旗研报指，江南布衣复苏步伐理想，公司对品牌及会员制度持续投入，预期6月底止全财年收入将按年升30%。因发布盈喜影响，此前股价4日累计大涨50%并创下历史新高价，市值一度冲上百亿港元，近期股价高位震荡徘徊有望伺机再冲高价。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":291,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":833901749,"gmtCreate":1629193706981,"gmtModify":1676529961209,"author":{"id":"3569299384564621","authorId":"3569299384564621","name":"jamiengan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/889f4395dbbcc2004e91811498c78b43","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569299384564621","authorIdStr":"3569299384564621"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"???","listText":"???","text":"???","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/833901749","repostId":"1110577100","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":273,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":833072960,"gmtCreate":1629193163150,"gmtModify":1676529961003,"author":{"id":"3569299384564621","authorId":"3569299384564621","name":"jamiengan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/889f4395dbbcc2004e91811498c78b43","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569299384564621","authorIdStr":"3569299384564621"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"???","listText":"???","text":"???","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/833072960","repostId":"2160018277","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2160018277","pubTimestamp":1629187491,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2160018277?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-08-17 16:04","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"大行评级丨招银国际：监管风险未除，腾讯(0700.HK)股价低位料约于402港元","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2160018277","media":"格隆汇","summary":"格隆汇8月17日丨腾讯 将于明天公布中期业绩，招银国际发研报称，：估计第二季收入/盈利同比增18%/8%，较市场预期略低2%/1%，其中增值服务/广告/其他收入料同比升11%/21%/32%，相信游戏增长放缓和利润率下跌已被市场充份预期，目前忧虑集中于监管的不明朗，包括防止未成年人沉迷网络游戏、税率改变和反垄断。短期内监管风险令行业气氛疲弱，或将令股价受压。若以过往估值低位24倍预测市盈率推算，腾讯的股价低位料约于402港元。","content":"<html><body><p>格隆汇8月17日丨<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">腾讯</a>(0700.HK)将于明天公布中期业绩，招银国际发研报称，：估计第二季收入/盈利同比增18%/8%，较市场预期略低2%/1%，其中增值服务/广告/其他收入料同比升11%/21%/32%，相信游戏增长放缓和利润率下跌已被市场充份预期，目前忧虑集中于监管的不明朗，包括防止未成年人沉迷网络游戏、税率改变和反垄断。短期内监管风险令行业气氛疲弱，或将令股价受压。若以过往估值低位24倍预测市盈率推算，腾讯的股价低位料约于402港元。下调21-23年盈利预测8%-11%，以反映投资增加和税率可能上调，目标价下调至640港元，维持“买入”评级，仍看好其长线增长前景和盈利能见度。注：腾讯现跌超4%报435.4港元，市值4.17万亿港元。</p></body></html>","source":"stock_gelonghui","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>大行评级丨招银国际：监管风险未除，腾讯(0700.HK)股价低位料约于402港元</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; 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width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n大行评级丨招银国际：监管风险未除，腾讯(0700.HK)股价低位料约于402港元\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-17 16:04 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.gelonghui.com/news/detail.html?id=600827><strong>格隆汇</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>格隆汇8月17日丨腾讯(0700.HK)将于明天公布中期业绩，招银国际发研报称，：估计第二季收入/盈利同比增18%/8%，较市场预期略低2%/1%，其中增值服务/广告/其他收入料同比升11%/21%/32%，相信游戏增长放缓和利润率下跌已被市场充份预期，目前忧虑集中于监管的不明朗，包括防止未成年人沉迷网络游戏、税率改变和反垄断。短期内监管风险令行业气氛疲弱，或将令股价受压。若以过往估值低位24倍...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.gelonghui.com/news/detail.html?id=600827\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed7ef7d1b9da30ca68a0ddeac63f4a0e","relate_stocks":{"00700":"腾讯控股","TCEHY":"腾讯控股ADR"},"source_url":"https://www.gelonghui.com/news/detail.html?id=600827","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2160018277","content_text":"格隆汇8月17日丨腾讯(0700.HK)将于明天公布中期业绩，招银国际发研报称，：估计第二季收入/盈利同比增18%/8%，较市场预期略低2%/1%，其中增值服务/广告/其他收入料同比升11%/21%/32%，相信游戏增长放缓和利润率下跌已被市场充份预期，目前忧虑集中于监管的不明朗，包括防止未成年人沉迷网络游戏、税率改变和反垄断。短期内监管风险令行业气氛疲弱，或将令股价受压。若以过往估值低位24倍预测市盈率推算，腾讯的股价低位料约于402港元。下调21-23年盈利预测8%-11%，以反映投资增加和税率可能上调，目标价下调至640港元，维持“买入”评级，仍看好其长线增长前景和盈利能见度。注：腾讯现跌超4%报435.4港元，市值4.17万亿港元。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":316,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":833076645,"gmtCreate":1629193132787,"gmtModify":1676529960986,"author":{"id":"3569299384564621","authorId":"3569299384564621","name":"jamiengan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/889f4395dbbcc2004e91811498c78b43","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569299384564621","authorIdStr":"3569299384564621"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"??????","listText":"??????","text":"??????","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/833076645","repostId":"2160527000","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2160527000","pubTimestamp":1629190252,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2160527000?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-08-17 16:50","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"江南布衣(03306.HK)8月31日举行董事会会议审批中期业绩","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2160527000","media":"格隆汇","summary":"格隆汇8月17日丨江南布衣(03306.HK)宣布，公司将于2021年8月31日（星期二）举行董事会会议，藉以（其中包括）考虑及批准公司及其附属公司截至2021年6月30日止年度的全年业绩及其发布，并考虑派发末期股息和特别股息。","content":"<html><body><p>格隆汇8月17日丨<span><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03306\">江南布衣</a>(03306.HK)宣布，公司将于2021年8月31日（星期二）举行董事会会议，藉以（其中包括）考虑及批准公司及其附属公司截至2021年6月30日止年度的全年业绩及其发布，并考虑派发末期股息和特别股息。</span></p></body></html>","source":"stock_gelonghui","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>江南布衣(03306.HK)8月31日举行董事会会议审批中期业绩</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n江南布衣(03306.HK)8月31日举行董事会会议审批中期业绩\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-17 16:50 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.gelonghui.com/news/detail.html?id=600927><strong>格隆汇</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>格隆汇8月17日丨江南布衣(03306.HK)宣布，公司将于2021年8月31日（星期二）举行董事会会议，藉以（其中包括）考虑及批准公司及其附属公司截至2021年6月30日止年度的全年业绩及其发布，并考虑派发末期股息和特别股息。</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.gelonghui.com/news/detail.html?id=600927\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8906c2117cf409a3cc5087f96741bce","relate_stocks":{"03306":"江南布衣"},"source_url":"https://www.gelonghui.com/news/detail.html?id=600927","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2160527000","content_text":"格隆汇8月17日丨江南布衣(03306.HK)宣布，公司将于2021年8月31日（星期二）举行董事会会议，藉以（其中包括）考虑及批准公司及其附属公司截至2021年6月30日止年度的全年业绩及其发布，并考虑派发末期股息和特别股息。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":316,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":892208557,"gmtCreate":1628660587479,"gmtModify":1676529812573,"author":{"id":"3569299384564621","authorId":"3569299384564621","name":"jamiengan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/889f4395dbbcc2004e91811498c78b43","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569299384564621","authorIdStr":"3569299384564621"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"...","listText":"...","text":"...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/892208557","repostId":"896638890","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":896638890,"gmtCreate":1628575784410,"gmtModify":1703508401476,"author":{"id":"3516096698306373","authorId":"3516096698306373","name":"石头Stone","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/242aa40803bef9293cb83c26e2fd02cc","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3516096698306373","authorIdStr":"3516096698306373"},"themes":[],"title":"2021Q2財報 | 英特爾老了嗎，股價還能翻盤嗎？","htmlText":"起初我並沒準備寫<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">$英特爾(INTC)$</a>&nbsp;公司的財報解讀，原因有2點；1是這是一家巨頭公司，分析起來非常耗時耗精力，2是因爲這種公司有不少機構或者專業投資人會進行分析併發布財報解讀的，他們發佈的資訊足夠詳細，足夠說明問題。但自從英特爾在7月23日發佈財報後，我發現了個問題——絕大多數的分析都在唱空英特爾，不少報告都用英特爾對比<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">$AMD(AMD)$</a>&nbsp;、<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英偉達(NVDA)$</a>&nbsp;、甚至<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">$臺積電(TSM)$</a>&nbsp;，而且得出結論，是因爲英特爾老了，沒什麼潛力，因此股價出現了下跌。那麼真的是這樣嗎？還是有什麼其他問題引起的因特爾股價下跌呢？在開始之前，我們簡單的梳理下英特爾、英偉達、AMD和臺積電這幾家公司的關係。評估英特爾到底是跟其自身比較，還是要找對標公司呢？簡單來說，在之前如果裝一臺電腦的話，CPU是英特爾，顯卡是英偉達，要是預算不夠多，咱們就AMD和ATI，代工就是臺積電，後面隨着時間演變，AMD和ATI合併成爲了AMD，但是在顯卡和CPU的爭端上AMD也越來越中流化，這三家公司曾經三分天下，大家互爲競爭，又各守一方，具體的三方大戰，錯綜複雜，誰都想把對方弄死，但是又弄不死，三方僵持很長時間都未能一決生死。臺積電呢，就在後面代工，就好像如今的某個國家，你們打你們的，你們誰要武器，我就賣給誰，故事的精彩程度不比","listText":"起初我並沒準備寫<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">$英特爾(INTC)$</a>&nbsp;公司的財報解讀，原因有2點；1是這是一家巨頭公司，分析起來非常耗時耗精力，2是因爲這種公司有不少機構或者專業投資人會進行分析併發布財報解讀的，他們發佈的資訊足夠詳細，足夠說明問題。但自從英特爾在7月23日發佈財報後，我發現了個問題——絕大多數的分析都在唱空英特爾，不少報告都用英特爾對比<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">$AMD(AMD)$</a>&nbsp;、<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英偉達(NVDA)$</a>&nbsp;、甚至<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">$臺積電(TSM)$</a>&nbsp;，而且得出結論，是因爲英特爾老了，沒什麼潛力，因此股價出現了下跌。那麼真的是這樣嗎？還是有什麼其他問題引起的因特爾股價下跌呢？在開始之前，我們簡單的梳理下英特爾、英偉達、AMD和臺積電這幾家公司的關係。評估英特爾到底是跟其自身比較，還是要找對標公司呢？簡單來說，在之前如果裝一臺電腦的話，CPU是英特爾，顯卡是英偉達，要是預算不夠多，咱們就AMD和ATI，代工就是臺積電，後面隨着時間演變，AMD和ATI合併成爲了AMD，但是在顯卡和CPU的爭端上AMD也越來越中流化，這三家公司曾經三分天下，大家互爲競爭，又各守一方，具體的三方大戰，錯綜複雜，誰都想把對方弄死，但是又弄不死，三方僵持很長時間都未能一決生死。臺積電呢，就在後面代工，就好像如今的某個國家，你們打你們的，你們誰要武器，我就賣給誰，故事的精彩程度不比","text":"起初我並沒準備寫$英特爾(INTC)$ 公司的財報解讀，原因有2點；1是這是一家巨頭公司，分析起來非常耗時耗精力，2是因爲這種公司有不少機構或者專業投資人會進行分析併發布財報解讀的，他們發佈的資訊足夠詳細，足夠說明問題。但自從英特爾在7月23日發佈財報後，我發現了個問題——絕大多數的分析都在唱空英特爾，不少報告都用英特爾對比$AMD(AMD)$ 、$英偉達(NVDA)$ 、甚至$臺積電(TSM)$ ，而且得出結論，是因爲英特爾老了，沒什麼潛力，因此股價出現了下跌。那麼真的是這樣嗎？還是有什麼其他問題引起的因特爾股價下跌呢？在開始之前，我們簡單的梳理下英特爾、英偉達、AMD和臺積電這幾家公司的關係。評估英特爾到底是跟其自身比較，還是要找對標公司呢？簡單來說，在之前如果裝一臺電腦的話，CPU是英特爾，顯卡是英偉達，要是預算不夠多，咱們就AMD和ATI，代工就是臺積電，後面隨着時間演變，AMD和ATI合併成爲了AMD，但是在顯卡和CPU的爭端上AMD也越來越中流化，這三家公司曾經三分天下，大家互爲競爭，又各守一方，具體的三方大戰，錯綜複雜，誰都想把對方弄死，但是又弄不死，三方僵持很長時間都未能一決生死。臺積電呢，就在後面代工，就好像如今的某個國家，你們打你們的，你們誰要武器，我就賣給誰，故事的精彩程度不比","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78380f844c5ae7dcd4264120daa341b8","width":"636","height":"321"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d831ae6462a89654e9617c55716d9f4d","width":"367","height":"276"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32cb22133e502050b9545f72000a310c","width":"688","height":"310"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/896638890","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":20,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":411,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":898771020,"gmtCreate":1628525110660,"gmtModify":1703507644260,"author":{"id":"3569299384564621","authorId":"3569299384564621","name":"jamiengan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/889f4395dbbcc2004e91811498c78b43","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569299384564621","authorIdStr":"3569299384564621"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"...","listText":"...","text":"...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/898771020","repostId":"805151775","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":805151775,"gmtCreate":1627866792297,"gmtModify":1703496764618,"author":{"id":"3521199454361115","authorId":"3521199454361115","name":"美股指南针","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ccd1af51d377a6091f715591c5b1088d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3521199454361115","authorIdStr":"3521199454361115"},"themes":[],"title":"不到一年將本金翻8倍，我是如何做到的","htmlText":"大學開始到畢業期間1年有餘在模擬盤操作到後面用自己攢的小金庫實盤操作，在18年bilibili上市10塊all in bilibili 賺到第一桶金至今我陸陸續續炒股已有4年。疫情股市崩盤促使我回到股市抄底，當時的目標很明確，撿石油，撿航空！當時沙特打價格戰，石油暴跌瀕臨破產夕陽行業，但是石油畢竟還是有需求的，當時沒有可以全面替代石油的。奔着這個邏輯我接了瀕臨破產的石油行業的飛刀，逢低加倉堅持拿了幾個月nbr反向拆股50合1， 我在45的價位清倉了。航空行業的佼佼者達美有雄厚的資金儲備加上他們的擴展業務（我是他們的忠實顧客），我當時認爲疫情過後人們出門旅遊的需求會有一個爆發的階段。加上在沒有任何收入來源的情況下，航空的飛機和其擴展的業務還能值點錢。於是在黃金坑20塊附近開始建倉，加倉達美航空，共買了1w美金。隨後在33塊清倉。在石油和航空之後我開始尋找下一個目標，當時國家在宣傳環保。我發現了新能源賽道的nio，符合國家的規劃，去調查了一番nio的情況，對比它和當初的ofo小黃車的迅速發展到消失的區別，最終促使我買入的理由是創始人，政策的方向，加上和zf的對賭協議。（圖片太多了，我就隨便挑了幾個）我從11塊開始買入nio的正股，隨後發現了nio的上升趨勢的走勢規律，我開始每次突破新高後清倉，回落時逢低建倉期權和正股 當時幾乎每次操作都是滿倉。nio漲到57的時候我已經賺了20多w美金。11月回調的時候我在黃金坑40附近再次握着nio的期權看好1月份的nio day大日子，這是因爲近一年來nio被資本看好，賽道明朗 銷量明顯增長。我買到了1月底的看漲期權，在64附近開盤清倉。收益擴大至30w美金。最後一次操作nio因爲這時的nio走勢很像茶杯柄，於是我在54附近開始建倉nio的看漲70的期權，但是當時沒有注意大環境的趨勢趕上了科技股泡沫破滅 nio並沒有突破茶杯柄的走勢，跌破支","listText":"大學開始到畢業期間1年有餘在模擬盤操作到後面用自己攢的小金庫實盤操作，在18年bilibili上市10塊all in bilibili 賺到第一桶金至今我陸陸續續炒股已有4年。疫情股市崩盤促使我回到股市抄底，當時的目標很明確，撿石油，撿航空！當時沙特打價格戰，石油暴跌瀕臨破產夕陽行業，但是石油畢竟還是有需求的，當時沒有可以全面替代石油的。奔着這個邏輯我接了瀕臨破產的石油行業的飛刀，逢低加倉堅持拿了幾個月nbr反向拆股50合1， 我在45的價位清倉了。航空行業的佼佼者達美有雄厚的資金儲備加上他們的擴展業務（我是他們的忠實顧客），我當時認爲疫情過後人們出門旅遊的需求會有一個爆發的階段。加上在沒有任何收入來源的情況下，航空的飛機和其擴展的業務還能值點錢。於是在黃金坑20塊附近開始建倉，加倉達美航空，共買了1w美金。隨後在33塊清倉。在石油和航空之後我開始尋找下一個目標，當時國家在宣傳環保。我發現了新能源賽道的nio，符合國家的規劃，去調查了一番nio的情況，對比它和當初的ofo小黃車的迅速發展到消失的區別，最終促使我買入的理由是創始人，政策的方向，加上和zf的對賭協議。（圖片太多了，我就隨便挑了幾個）我從11塊開始買入nio的正股，隨後發現了nio的上升趨勢的走勢規律，我開始每次突破新高後清倉，回落時逢低建倉期權和正股 當時幾乎每次操作都是滿倉。nio漲到57的時候我已經賺了20多w美金。11月回調的時候我在黃金坑40附近再次握着nio的期權看好1月份的nio day大日子，這是因爲近一年來nio被資本看好，賽道明朗 銷量明顯增長。我買到了1月底的看漲期權，在64附近開盤清倉。收益擴大至30w美金。最後一次操作nio因爲這時的nio走勢很像茶杯柄，於是我在54附近開始建倉nio的看漲70的期權，但是當時沒有注意大環境的趨勢趕上了科技股泡沫破滅 nio並沒有突破茶杯柄的走勢，跌破支","text":"大學開始到畢業期間1年有餘在模擬盤操作到後面用自己攢的小金庫實盤操作，在18年bilibili上市10塊all in bilibili 賺到第一桶金至今我陸陸續續炒股已有4年。疫情股市崩盤促使我回到股市抄底，當時的目標很明確，撿石油，撿航空！當時沙特打價格戰，石油暴跌瀕臨破產夕陽行業，但是石油畢竟還是有需求的，當時沒有可以全面替代石油的。奔着這個邏輯我接了瀕臨破產的石油行業的飛刀，逢低加倉堅持拿了幾個月nbr反向拆股50合1， 我在45的價位清倉了。航空行業的佼佼者達美有雄厚的資金儲備加上他們的擴展業務（我是他們的忠實顧客），我當時認爲疫情過後人們出門旅遊的需求會有一個爆發的階段。加上在沒有任何收入來源的情況下，航空的飛機和其擴展的業務還能值點錢。於是在黃金坑20塊附近開始建倉，加倉達美航空，共買了1w美金。隨後在33塊清倉。在石油和航空之後我開始尋找下一個目標，當時國家在宣傳環保。我發現了新能源賽道的nio，符合國家的規劃，去調查了一番nio的情況，對比它和當初的ofo小黃車的迅速發展到消失的區別，最終促使我買入的理由是創始人，政策的方向，加上和zf的對賭協議。（圖片太多了，我就隨便挑了幾個）我從11塊開始買入nio的正股，隨後發現了nio的上升趨勢的走勢規律，我開始每次突破新高後清倉，回落時逢低建倉期權和正股 當時幾乎每次操作都是滿倉。nio漲到57的時候我已經賺了20多w美金。11月回調的時候我在黃金坑40附近再次握着nio的期權看好1月份的nio day大日子，這是因爲近一年來nio被資本看好，賽道明朗 銷量明顯增長。我買到了1月底的看漲期權，在64附近開盤清倉。收益擴大至30w美金。最後一次操作nio因爲這時的nio走勢很像茶杯柄，於是我在54附近開始建倉nio的看漲70的期權，但是當時沒有注意大環境的趨勢趕上了科技股泡沫破滅 nio並沒有突破茶杯柄的走勢，跌破支","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c54dddcb485e0e85571fa71af686d9d5","width":"688","height":"405"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e10f949d91cb08c5dd152794b49fb661","width":"688","height":"397"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f17623c99c383857433f34d5b5d946eb","width":"688","height":"402"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/805151775","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":23,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":362,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":174402739,"gmtCreate":1627119420721,"gmtModify":1703484537222,"author":{"id":"3569299384564621","authorId":"3569299384564621","name":"jamiengan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/889f4395dbbcc2004e91811498c78b43","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569299384564621","authorIdStr":"3569299384564621"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"???","listText":"???","text":"???","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/174402739","repostId":"1170350340","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":173,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":170198995,"gmtCreate":1626410014717,"gmtModify":1703759628058,"author":{"id":"3569299384564621","authorId":"3569299384564621","name":"jamiengan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/889f4395dbbcc2004e91811498c78b43","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569299384564621","authorIdStr":"3569299384564621"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/170198995","repostId":"2151261135","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2151261135","pubTimestamp":1626409687,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2151261135?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-16 12:28","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"缺“芯”的拐点要来了？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2151261135","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"销量暴涨的新能源车因为缺芯几乎要面临停工停产的危机，最近屡屡传出汽车厂商都有自己建设晶圆厂了念头了，全球的分析师都在关注半导体供需平衡与库存修正将在何时发生，更有一个指标历史上7次准确预言了半导体景气","content":"<p>销量暴涨的新能源车因为缺芯几乎要面临停工停产的危机，最近屡屡传出汽车厂商都有自己建设晶圆厂了念头了，全球的分析师都在关注半导体供需平衡与库存修正将在何时发生，更有一个指标历史上7次准确预言了半导体景气度的拐点。</p>\n<p><b>华尔街见闻·见智研究所通过分析半导体的周期来解答以下问题：缺芯何时缓解？当下是国产替代的机遇？预示危机的指标又是什么？</b></p>\n<h2>一、从供需错配到再平衡</h2>\n<p><b>1、为什么缺芯？</b></p>\n<p>缺芯缺产能的底层逻辑就是芯片的供给小于需求。从2021年开始全球半导体的供给进入瓶颈期，而伴随着下游需求的爆发式增长，导致半导体行业出现严重缺货的现象。</p>\n<p>国际半导体产业协会SEMI预测，今年是由于云端服务器笔记本电脑、游戏及医疗科技需求成长，5G、物联网汽车及人工智能快速发展，带动了产业的景气度。<b>这其中新能源车和物联网市场是两个增长最快速的变量，新能源车行业五年的复合增速高达41.53%，</b>而手机和电脑依旧是半导体需求端体量最大的，但预期近五年增速较新兴行业低很多。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b0897af5cb718219f5e303f10173b62\" tg-width=\"376\" tg-height=\"193\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>2、2022年缺芯将缓解?</b></p>\n<p><b>Gartner预测：全球半导体供应短缺将持续整个2021年，并在2022年第二季度恢复至正常水平，而基板产能限制可能会延长到2022年第四季度。</b>也就是说在此之前，半导体还会伴随着长时间的芯片短缺，涨价函依旧会接踵而至。</p>\n<p>从半导体的供需周期来看，在2021年下半年伴随着晶圆厂的设备安装，龙头厂商预期最快2022年开始才能够释放出新产能，这其中包括<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UMC\">联电</a>、格芯、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SMI\">中芯国际</a>等晶圆代工厂，而<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">台积电</a>的大批量产能预期在2023年后才能逐步落地，所以半导体行业还需要一个较长的时间周期才重新达到供需平衡。</p>\n<p><b>3、产业链延续涨价？</b></p>\n<p><b>因为供需的错配，产能的紧缺以及扩产带来的成本增加都会相继增加产品的溢价。</b>而涨价直接的好处是给了厂商定价权，出厂价格高了，企业的盈利能力会很大程度提高。但是有一点不能忽略：厂商处于产业链什么位置很关键。如果是处于生产加工的下游，那么原材料成本的提价也要考虑进去。在21年全球大多数晶圆厂、材料以及封测都相继提高了两成左右的价格，龙头厂的订单都排至了2022年。从今年6月份开始10多家厂商陆续发布下半年涨价函，<b>消息指出预计涨价将持续到2022年。</b></p>\n<p>台媒《经济日报》6月24日报道称，IC设计业者透露，明年初晶圆代工价格已经敲定，不仅联电8英寸和12英寸的晶圆代工价格续涨，晶圆代工龙头台积电也涨价，部分8英寸和12英寸制程价格上涨一到两成，<b>且12英寸制程涨幅高于8英寸。</b></p>\n<h2>二、全球扩张下的国产替代机遇</h2>\n<p>世界半导体贸易统计组织（WSTS）预测，2021年全球半导体市场增速将达19.7%， 2022年半导体市场将增长8.8%，连续两年创历史新高。</p>\n<p><b>Gartner预测：中国半导体企业到2025年市场的市场份额将从当下的15%提升至30%，近五年中国半导体将会快速渗透。</b></p>\n<p><b>全球晶圆厂最新扩建计划，中国是首位？</b>今年6月份国际半导体产业协会SEMI发布报告称2021-2022年全球半导体制造商新增29座晶圆厂，<b>分别于2021年建设19座，2022年再增加10座。</b></p>\n<p>从SEMI给出的数据来看，<b>中国大陆和台湾地区两年间增加的晶圆厂数量是全球首位，共计16座，</b>其次是美国4座，欧洲和中东一共增加3座，日本和韩国各两座。全部投产后，每月可生产260万片等效200mm晶圆。<b>考虑到新增的晶圆厂建设周期较长，预计从2023年开始新增晶圆厂开始大幅采购半导体设备。</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/228b84b60813b81b51450594568779e2\" tg-width=\"724\" tg-height=\"361\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>那么国内半导体行业有存在怎样的机遇呢？华尔街见闻·见智研究所对四大行业的格局进行了分析。</p>\n<p><b>1、晶圆厂格局</b></p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SMSN.UK\">三星</a>是全球市占率最大的晶圆厂，达到14.7%，折算约310万片/月的产能；其次是台积电市占率为13.1%，约270万片/月产能。美光和SK海力士位居第三、第四，市占率在9%左右，每家产能约为190万片/月。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/688981\">中芯国际</a>的产能约为54万片/月，在全球排名前十二。（产能按8英寸折算）</p>\n<p>行业内5家最大的纯晶圆代工厂——台积电、联电、格芯、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00981\">中芯国际</a>和力晶（包括Nexchip）约占全球晶圆代工厂总产能的24％，行业集中度非常高。<b>国内晶圆厂预计21年新增的产能75万片/月（按 8 英寸折算），其中新增产能的前三位分别是长江存储、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01347\">华虹半导体</a>和中芯国际。</b></p>\n<p><b>2、设备厂格局</b></p>\n<p>从设备类型的市场占比情况来看，<b>前道晶圆制造设备占主要比重，高达80%，这其中主要包括刻蚀机、薄膜沉积设备和光刻机；其次封装和测试设备的占比比较小，分别为10%和8%。</b>前道晶圆设备龙头包括泛林半导体、TEL、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMAT\">应用材料</a>、ASML几乎是垄断了全球九成的份额。</p>\n<p>在国内的公司中，<b>刻蚀机设备</b>主要是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002371\">北方华创</a>和中微半导体。两个公司目前是差异化的布局，不存在直接竞争关系。北方华创的优势在于长硅刻蚀和金属刻蚀，而<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/688012\">中微公司</a>的优势在于长介质刻蚀。</p>\n<p><b>沉积设备：</b>主要是北方华创和沈阳拓荆，两者在ALD和PVD方面存在一定程度的竞争，而在化学气相沉积方面只有沈阳拓荆在做，在今年7月12日沈阳拓荆在科创板IPO申请也已经获受理了。</p>\n<p><b>光刻设备：</b>上海微电子已经突破了光刻机90/65的技术节点；沈阳芯源突破涂胶显影机90/65的技术节点。</p>\n<p><b>3、封测厂格局</b></p>\n<p>全球封测市场中CR3占比约六成，集中度很高，日月光占比就达到三成以上，其次是安靠和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600584\">长电科技</a>约一成以上，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002156\">通富微电</a>位居第五，市占率约4.4%。长电科技背靠中芯国际，通富微电背靠<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">AMD</a>。</p>\n<p><b>4、光刻胶格局</b></p>\n<p>半导体光刻胶主要分为四种类型，g线、i线、KrF线和ArF线。<b>就占比情况来看ArF线占比最大，约四成，其次是KrF线两成，g线和i线共计两成。</b></p>\n<p>光刻胶九成份额被外国龙头垄断，<b>今年由于日本信越化学的KrF光刻胶无限期断供，给国内公司很大的发展机遇，哪些厂商率先进入晶圆代工厂的生产线中，未来成长空间会非常大。</b></p>\n<p>ArF线：北京科华（现被<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/603650\">彤程新材</a>收购）、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300655\">晶瑞股份</a>正在研发中；<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300346\">南大光电</a>通过客户认证。</p>\n<p>KrF线：北京科华、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300236\">上海新阳</a>已经实现量产，晶瑞股份已完成测试。</p>\n<p>g线/i线：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300576\">容大感光</a>产能扩建中，北京科华可供应。</p>\n<h2>三、产能过剩后的危机</h2>\n<p>随着未来五年内半导体产能的大量投放，而需求增速的逐渐放缓，伴随而来的是半导体产能过剩，高库存的情况，必然会导致半导体市场价格的下跌。<b>观测这一重要转折点要看什么？</b>通过复盘半导体的历史周期，华尔街见闻·见智研究所观察到<b>资本开支可作为预测拐点的领先指标。</b></p>\n<p>从历史规律来看，在资本开支大幅增长的一到两年后将会伴随半导体市场的大幅下跌。如1984年全球半导体行业资本开支增长106%，而后的第二年半导体市场下跌了17%。此后的四个周期也是出现相同的规律。直到2008年的下跌是由金融危机导致的，而后2010年资本开支出现大幅回升，达到107%，第二年半导体市场同样出现了暴跌。</p>\n<p><b>通过复盘历史得到非常重要的指标，那就是资本开始危险临界线。当资本开支增长超过40%的时候，通常预测未来会出现产能过剩和半导体增速下跌的情况。</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f918d3c3c08f3fdc0888508005f63b8d\" tg-width=\"674\" tg-height=\"460\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>危机来临了吗？</b></p>\n<p>根据IC Insights的预测来看，2021年半导体资本开支的增速预计在16%-23%之间。<b>总体上看半导体市场还处于景气周期中，目前没有达到产能过剩的临界点。但需要特别注意的是，台积电21年的资本开支增速同比达到74%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">英特尔</a>资本开支同比增速达到37%，已经达到高水位线，而三星的资本开支几乎与去年齐平。</b></p>","source":"wallstreetcn_api","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>缺“芯”的拐点要来了？ </title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n缺“芯”的拐点要来了？ \n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-16 12:28 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3635357><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>销量暴涨的新能源车因为缺芯几乎要面临停工停产的危机，最近屡屡传出汽车厂商都有自己建设晶圆厂了念头了，全球的分析师都在关注半导体供需平衡与库存修正将在何时发生，更有一个指标历史上7次准确预言了半导体景气度的拐点。\n华尔街见闻·见智研究所通过分析半导体的周期来解答以下问题：缺芯何时缓解？当下是国产替代的机遇？预示危机的指标又是什么？\n一、从供需错配到再平衡\n1、为什么缺芯？\n缺芯缺产能的底层逻辑就是...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3635357\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03e38a3a3c63bd5a9d8d8ca2d384d1c5","relate_stocks":{"00981":"中芯国际","TSM":"台积电"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3635357","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2151261135","content_text":"销量暴涨的新能源车因为缺芯几乎要面临停工停产的危机，最近屡屡传出汽车厂商都有自己建设晶圆厂了念头了，全球的分析师都在关注半导体供需平衡与库存修正将在何时发生，更有一个指标历史上7次准确预言了半导体景气度的拐点。\n华尔街见闻·见智研究所通过分析半导体的周期来解答以下问题：缺芯何时缓解？当下是国产替代的机遇？预示危机的指标又是什么？\n一、从供需错配到再平衡\n1、为什么缺芯？\n缺芯缺产能的底层逻辑就是芯片的供给小于需求。从2021年开始全球半导体的供给进入瓶颈期，而伴随着下游需求的爆发式增长，导致半导体行业出现严重缺货的现象。\n国际半导体产业协会SEMI预测，今年是由于云端服务器笔记本电脑、游戏及医疗科技需求成长，5G、物联网汽车及人工智能快速发展，带动了产业的景气度。这其中新能源车和物联网市场是两个增长最快速的变量，新能源车行业五年的复合增速高达41.53%，而手机和电脑依旧是半导体需求端体量最大的，但预期近五年增速较新兴行业低很多。\n\n2、2022年缺芯将缓解?\nGartner预测：全球半导体供应短缺将持续整个2021年，并在2022年第二季度恢复至正常水平，而基板产能限制可能会延长到2022年第四季度。也就是说在此之前，半导体还会伴随着长时间的芯片短缺，涨价函依旧会接踵而至。\n从半导体的供需周期来看，在2021年下半年伴随着晶圆厂的设备安装，龙头厂商预期最快2022年开始才能够释放出新产能，这其中包括联电、格芯、中芯国际等晶圆代工厂，而台积电的大批量产能预期在2023年后才能逐步落地，所以半导体行业还需要一个较长的时间周期才重新达到供需平衡。\n3、产业链延续涨价？\n因为供需的错配，产能的紧缺以及扩产带来的成本增加都会相继增加产品的溢价。而涨价直接的好处是给了厂商定价权，出厂价格高了，企业的盈利能力会很大程度提高。但是有一点不能忽略：厂商处于产业链什么位置很关键。如果是处于生产加工的下游，那么原材料成本的提价也要考虑进去。在21年全球大多数晶圆厂、材料以及封测都相继提高了两成左右的价格，龙头厂的订单都排至了2022年。从今年6月份开始10多家厂商陆续发布下半年涨价函，消息指出预计涨价将持续到2022年。\n台媒《经济日报》6月24日报道称，IC设计业者透露，明年初晶圆代工价格已经敲定，不仅联电8英寸和12英寸的晶圆代工价格续涨，晶圆代工龙头台积电也涨价，部分8英寸和12英寸制程价格上涨一到两成，且12英寸制程涨幅高于8英寸。\n二、全球扩张下的国产替代机遇\n世界半导体贸易统计组织（WSTS）预测，2021年全球半导体市场增速将达19.7%， 2022年半导体市场将增长8.8%，连续两年创历史新高。\nGartner预测：中国半导体企业到2025年市场的市场份额将从当下的15%提升至30%，近五年中国半导体将会快速渗透。\n全球晶圆厂最新扩建计划，中国是首位？今年6月份国际半导体产业协会SEMI发布报告称2021-2022年全球半导体制造商新增29座晶圆厂，分别于2021年建设19座，2022年再增加10座。\n从SEMI给出的数据来看，中国大陆和台湾地区两年间增加的晶圆厂数量是全球首位，共计16座，其次是美国4座，欧洲和中东一共增加3座，日本和韩国各两座。全部投产后，每月可生产260万片等效200mm晶圆。考虑到新增的晶圆厂建设周期较长，预计从2023年开始新增晶圆厂开始大幅采购半导体设备。\n\n那么国内半导体行业有存在怎样的机遇呢？华尔街见闻·见智研究所对四大行业的格局进行了分析。\n1、晶圆厂格局\n三星是全球市占率最大的晶圆厂，达到14.7%，折算约310万片/月的产能；其次是台积电市占率为13.1%，约270万片/月产能。美光和SK海力士位居第三、第四，市占率在9%左右，每家产能约为190万片/月。中芯国际的产能约为54万片/月，在全球排名前十二。（产能按8英寸折算）\n行业内5家最大的纯晶圆代工厂——台积电、联电、格芯、中芯国际和力晶（包括Nexchip）约占全球晶圆代工厂总产能的24％，行业集中度非常高。国内晶圆厂预计21年新增的产能75万片/月（按 8 英寸折算），其中新增产能的前三位分别是长江存储、华虹半导体和中芯国际。\n2、设备厂格局\n从设备类型的市场占比情况来看，前道晶圆制造设备占主要比重，高达80%，这其中主要包括刻蚀机、薄膜沉积设备和光刻机；其次封装和测试设备的占比比较小，分别为10%和8%。前道晶圆设备龙头包括泛林半导体、TEL、应用材料、ASML几乎是垄断了全球九成的份额。\n在国内的公司中，刻蚀机设备主要是北方华创和中微半导体。两个公司目前是差异化的布局，不存在直接竞争关系。北方华创的优势在于长硅刻蚀和金属刻蚀，而中微公司的优势在于长介质刻蚀。\n沉积设备：主要是北方华创和沈阳拓荆，两者在ALD和PVD方面存在一定程度的竞争，而在化学气相沉积方面只有沈阳拓荆在做，在今年7月12日沈阳拓荆在科创板IPO申请也已经获受理了。\n光刻设备：上海微电子已经突破了光刻机90/65的技术节点；沈阳芯源突破涂胶显影机90/65的技术节点。\n3、封测厂格局\n全球封测市场中CR3占比约六成，集中度很高，日月光占比就达到三成以上，其次是安靠和长电科技约一成以上，通富微电位居第五，市占率约4.4%。长电科技背靠中芯国际，通富微电背靠AMD。\n4、光刻胶格局\n半导体光刻胶主要分为四种类型，g线、i线、KrF线和ArF线。就占比情况来看ArF线占比最大，约四成，其次是KrF线两成，g线和i线共计两成。\n光刻胶九成份额被外国龙头垄断，今年由于日本信越化学的KrF光刻胶无限期断供，给国内公司很大的发展机遇，哪些厂商率先进入晶圆代工厂的生产线中，未来成长空间会非常大。\nArF线：北京科华（现被彤程新材收购）、晶瑞股份正在研发中；南大光电通过客户认证。\nKrF线：北京科华、上海新阳已经实现量产，晶瑞股份已完成测试。\ng线/i线：容大感光产能扩建中，北京科华可供应。\n三、产能过剩后的危机\n随着未来五年内半导体产能的大量投放，而需求增速的逐渐放缓，伴随而来的是半导体产能过剩，高库存的情况，必然会导致半导体市场价格的下跌。观测这一重要转折点要看什么？通过复盘半导体的历史周期，华尔街见闻·见智研究所观察到资本开支可作为预测拐点的领先指标。\n从历史规律来看，在资本开支大幅增长的一到两年后将会伴随半导体市场的大幅下跌。如1984年全球半导体行业资本开支增长106%，而后的第二年半导体市场下跌了17%。此后的四个周期也是出现相同的规律。直到2008年的下跌是由金融危机导致的，而后2010年资本开支出现大幅回升，达到107%，第二年半导体市场同样出现了暴跌。\n通过复盘历史得到非常重要的指标，那就是资本开始危险临界线。当资本开支增长超过40%的时候，通常预测未来会出现产能过剩和半导体增速下跌的情况。\n\n危机来临了吗？\n根据IC Insights的预测来看，2021年半导体资本开支的增速预计在16%-23%之间。总体上看半导体市场还处于景气周期中，目前没有达到产能过剩的临界点。但需要特别注意的是，台积电21年的资本开支增速同比达到74%，英特尔资本开支同比增速达到37%，已经达到高水位线，而三星的资本开支几乎与去年齐平。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":118,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":170193924,"gmtCreate":1626409839768,"gmtModify":1703759623748,"author":{"id":"3569299384564621","authorId":"3569299384564621","name":"jamiengan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/889f4395dbbcc2004e91811498c78b43","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569299384564621","authorIdStr":"3569299384564621"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/170193924","repostId":"2151261135","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2151261135","pubTimestamp":1626409687,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2151261135?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-16 12:28","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"缺“芯”的拐点要来了？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2151261135","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"销量暴涨的新能源车因为缺芯几乎要面临停工停产的危机，最近屡屡传出汽车厂商都有自己建设晶圆厂了念头了，全球的分析师都在关注半导体供需平衡与库存修正将在何时发生，更有一个指标历史上7次准确预言了半导体景气","content":"<p>销量暴涨的新能源车因为缺芯几乎要面临停工停产的危机，最近屡屡传出汽车厂商都有自己建设晶圆厂了念头了，全球的分析师都在关注半导体供需平衡与库存修正将在何时发生，更有一个指标历史上7次准确预言了半导体景气度的拐点。</p>\n<p><b>华尔街见闻·见智研究所通过分析半导体的周期来解答以下问题：缺芯何时缓解？当下是国产替代的机遇？预示危机的指标又是什么？</b></p>\n<h2>一、从供需错配到再平衡</h2>\n<p><b>1、为什么缺芯？</b></p>\n<p>缺芯缺产能的底层逻辑就是芯片的供给小于需求。从2021年开始全球半导体的供给进入瓶颈期，而伴随着下游需求的爆发式增长，导致半导体行业出现严重缺货的现象。</p>\n<p>国际半导体产业协会SEMI预测，今年是由于云端服务器笔记本电脑、游戏及医疗科技需求成长，5G、物联网汽车及人工智能快速发展，带动了产业的景气度。<b>这其中新能源车和物联网市场是两个增长最快速的变量，新能源车行业五年的复合增速高达41.53%，</b>而手机和电脑依旧是半导体需求端体量最大的，但预期近五年增速较新兴行业低很多。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b0897af5cb718219f5e303f10173b62\" tg-width=\"376\" tg-height=\"193\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>2、2022年缺芯将缓解?</b></p>\n<p><b>Gartner预测：全球半导体供应短缺将持续整个2021年，并在2022年第二季度恢复至正常水平，而基板产能限制可能会延长到2022年第四季度。</b>也就是说在此之前，半导体还会伴随着长时间的芯片短缺，涨价函依旧会接踵而至。</p>\n<p>从半导体的供需周期来看，在2021年下半年伴随着晶圆厂的设备安装，龙头厂商预期最快2022年开始才能够释放出新产能，这其中包括<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UMC\">联电</a>、格芯、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SMI\">中芯国际</a>等晶圆代工厂，而<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">台积电</a>的大批量产能预期在2023年后才能逐步落地，所以半导体行业还需要一个较长的时间周期才重新达到供需平衡。</p>\n<p><b>3、产业链延续涨价？</b></p>\n<p><b>因为供需的错配，产能的紧缺以及扩产带来的成本增加都会相继增加产品的溢价。</b>而涨价直接的好处是给了厂商定价权，出厂价格高了，企业的盈利能力会很大程度提高。但是有一点不能忽略：厂商处于产业链什么位置很关键。如果是处于生产加工的下游，那么原材料成本的提价也要考虑进去。在21年全球大多数晶圆厂、材料以及封测都相继提高了两成左右的价格，龙头厂的订单都排至了2022年。从今年6月份开始10多家厂商陆续发布下半年涨价函，<b>消息指出预计涨价将持续到2022年。</b></p>\n<p>台媒《经济日报》6月24日报道称，IC设计业者透露，明年初晶圆代工价格已经敲定，不仅联电8英寸和12英寸的晶圆代工价格续涨，晶圆代工龙头台积电也涨价，部分8英寸和12英寸制程价格上涨一到两成，<b>且12英寸制程涨幅高于8英寸。</b></p>\n<h2>二、全球扩张下的国产替代机遇</h2>\n<p>世界半导体贸易统计组织（WSTS）预测，2021年全球半导体市场增速将达19.7%， 2022年半导体市场将增长8.8%，连续两年创历史新高。</p>\n<p><b>Gartner预测：中国半导体企业到2025年市场的市场份额将从当下的15%提升至30%，近五年中国半导体将会快速渗透。</b></p>\n<p><b>全球晶圆厂最新扩建计划，中国是首位？</b>今年6月份国际半导体产业协会SEMI发布报告称2021-2022年全球半导体制造商新增29座晶圆厂，<b>分别于2021年建设19座，2022年再增加10座。</b></p>\n<p>从SEMI给出的数据来看，<b>中国大陆和台湾地区两年间增加的晶圆厂数量是全球首位，共计16座，</b>其次是美国4座，欧洲和中东一共增加3座，日本和韩国各两座。全部投产后，每月可生产260万片等效200mm晶圆。<b>考虑到新增的晶圆厂建设周期较长，预计从2023年开始新增晶圆厂开始大幅采购半导体设备。</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/228b84b60813b81b51450594568779e2\" tg-width=\"724\" tg-height=\"361\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>那么国内半导体行业有存在怎样的机遇呢？华尔街见闻·见智研究所对四大行业的格局进行了分析。</p>\n<p><b>1、晶圆厂格局</b></p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SMSN.UK\">三星</a>是全球市占率最大的晶圆厂，达到14.7%，折算约310万片/月的产能；其次是台积电市占率为13.1%，约270万片/月产能。美光和SK海力士位居第三、第四，市占率在9%左右，每家产能约为190万片/月。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/688981\">中芯国际</a>的产能约为54万片/月，在全球排名前十二。（产能按8英寸折算）</p>\n<p>行业内5家最大的纯晶圆代工厂——台积电、联电、格芯、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00981\">中芯国际</a>和力晶（包括Nexchip）约占全球晶圆代工厂总产能的24％，行业集中度非常高。<b>国内晶圆厂预计21年新增的产能75万片/月（按 8 英寸折算），其中新增产能的前三位分别是长江存储、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01347\">华虹半导体</a>和中芯国际。</b></p>\n<p><b>2、设备厂格局</b></p>\n<p>从设备类型的市场占比情况来看，<b>前道晶圆制造设备占主要比重，高达80%，这其中主要包括刻蚀机、薄膜沉积设备和光刻机；其次封装和测试设备的占比比较小，分别为10%和8%。</b>前道晶圆设备龙头包括泛林半导体、TEL、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMAT\">应用材料</a>、ASML几乎是垄断了全球九成的份额。</p>\n<p>在国内的公司中，<b>刻蚀机设备</b>主要是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002371\">北方华创</a>和中微半导体。两个公司目前是差异化的布局，不存在直接竞争关系。北方华创的优势在于长硅刻蚀和金属刻蚀，而<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/688012\">中微公司</a>的优势在于长介质刻蚀。</p>\n<p><b>沉积设备：</b>主要是北方华创和沈阳拓荆，两者在ALD和PVD方面存在一定程度的竞争，而在化学气相沉积方面只有沈阳拓荆在做，在今年7月12日沈阳拓荆在科创板IPO申请也已经获受理了。</p>\n<p><b>光刻设备：</b>上海微电子已经突破了光刻机90/65的技术节点；沈阳芯源突破涂胶显影机90/65的技术节点。</p>\n<p><b>3、封测厂格局</b></p>\n<p>全球封测市场中CR3占比约六成，集中度很高，日月光占比就达到三成以上，其次是安靠和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600584\">长电科技</a>约一成以上，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002156\">通富微电</a>位居第五，市占率约4.4%。长电科技背靠中芯国际，通富微电背靠<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">AMD</a>。</p>\n<p><b>4、光刻胶格局</b></p>\n<p>半导体光刻胶主要分为四种类型，g线、i线、KrF线和ArF线。<b>就占比情况来看ArF线占比最大，约四成，其次是KrF线两成，g线和i线共计两成。</b></p>\n<p>光刻胶九成份额被外国龙头垄断，<b>今年由于日本信越化学的KrF光刻胶无限期断供，给国内公司很大的发展机遇，哪些厂商率先进入晶圆代工厂的生产线中，未来成长空间会非常大。</b></p>\n<p>ArF线：北京科华（现被<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/603650\">彤程新材</a>收购）、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300655\">晶瑞股份</a>正在研发中；<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300346\">南大光电</a>通过客户认证。</p>\n<p>KrF线：北京科华、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300236\">上海新阳</a>已经实现量产，晶瑞股份已完成测试。</p>\n<p>g线/i线：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300576\">容大感光</a>产能扩建中，北京科华可供应。</p>\n<h2>三、产能过剩后的危机</h2>\n<p>随着未来五年内半导体产能的大量投放，而需求增速的逐渐放缓，伴随而来的是半导体产能过剩，高库存的情况，必然会导致半导体市场价格的下跌。<b>观测这一重要转折点要看什么？</b>通过复盘半导体的历史周期，华尔街见闻·见智研究所观察到<b>资本开支可作为预测拐点的领先指标。</b></p>\n<p>从历史规律来看，在资本开支大幅增长的一到两年后将会伴随半导体市场的大幅下跌。如1984年全球半导体行业资本开支增长106%，而后的第二年半导体市场下跌了17%。此后的四个周期也是出现相同的规律。直到2008年的下跌是由金融危机导致的，而后2010年资本开支出现大幅回升，达到107%，第二年半导体市场同样出现了暴跌。</p>\n<p><b>通过复盘历史得到非常重要的指标，那就是资本开始危险临界线。当资本开支增长超过40%的时候，通常预测未来会出现产能过剩和半导体增速下跌的情况。</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f918d3c3c08f3fdc0888508005f63b8d\" tg-width=\"674\" tg-height=\"460\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>危机来临了吗？</b></p>\n<p>根据IC Insights的预测来看，2021年半导体资本开支的增速预计在16%-23%之间。<b>总体上看半导体市场还处于景气周期中，目前没有达到产能过剩的临界点。但需要特别注意的是，台积电21年的资本开支增速同比达到74%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">英特尔</a>资本开支同比增速达到37%，已经达到高水位线，而三星的资本开支几乎与去年齐平。</b></p>","source":"wallstreetcn_api","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>缺“芯”的拐点要来了？ </title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n缺“芯”的拐点要来了？ \n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-16 12:28 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3635357><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>销量暴涨的新能源车因为缺芯几乎要面临停工停产的危机，最近屡屡传出汽车厂商都有自己建设晶圆厂了念头了，全球的分析师都在关注半导体供需平衡与库存修正将在何时发生，更有一个指标历史上7次准确预言了半导体景气度的拐点。\n华尔街见闻·见智研究所通过分析半导体的周期来解答以下问题：缺芯何时缓解？当下是国产替代的机遇？预示危机的指标又是什么？\n一、从供需错配到再平衡\n1、为什么缺芯？\n缺芯缺产能的底层逻辑就是...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3635357\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03e38a3a3c63bd5a9d8d8ca2d384d1c5","relate_stocks":{"00981":"中芯国际","TSM":"台积电"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3635357","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2151261135","content_text":"销量暴涨的新能源车因为缺芯几乎要面临停工停产的危机，最近屡屡传出汽车厂商都有自己建设晶圆厂了念头了，全球的分析师都在关注半导体供需平衡与库存修正将在何时发生，更有一个指标历史上7次准确预言了半导体景气度的拐点。\n华尔街见闻·见智研究所通过分析半导体的周期来解答以下问题：缺芯何时缓解？当下是国产替代的机遇？预示危机的指标又是什么？\n一、从供需错配到再平衡\n1、为什么缺芯？\n缺芯缺产能的底层逻辑就是芯片的供给小于需求。从2021年开始全球半导体的供给进入瓶颈期，而伴随着下游需求的爆发式增长，导致半导体行业出现严重缺货的现象。\n国际半导体产业协会SEMI预测，今年是由于云端服务器笔记本电脑、游戏及医疗科技需求成长，5G、物联网汽车及人工智能快速发展，带动了产业的景气度。这其中新能源车和物联网市场是两个增长最快速的变量，新能源车行业五年的复合增速高达41.53%，而手机和电脑依旧是半导体需求端体量最大的，但预期近五年增速较新兴行业低很多。\n\n2、2022年缺芯将缓解?\nGartner预测：全球半导体供应短缺将持续整个2021年，并在2022年第二季度恢复至正常水平，而基板产能限制可能会延长到2022年第四季度。也就是说在此之前，半导体还会伴随着长时间的芯片短缺，涨价函依旧会接踵而至。\n从半导体的供需周期来看，在2021年下半年伴随着晶圆厂的设备安装，龙头厂商预期最快2022年开始才能够释放出新产能，这其中包括联电、格芯、中芯国际等晶圆代工厂，而台积电的大批量产能预期在2023年后才能逐步落地，所以半导体行业还需要一个较长的时间周期才重新达到供需平衡。\n3、产业链延续涨价？\n因为供需的错配，产能的紧缺以及扩产带来的成本增加都会相继增加产品的溢价。而涨价直接的好处是给了厂商定价权，出厂价格高了，企业的盈利能力会很大程度提高。但是有一点不能忽略：厂商处于产业链什么位置很关键。如果是处于生产加工的下游，那么原材料成本的提价也要考虑进去。在21年全球大多数晶圆厂、材料以及封测都相继提高了两成左右的价格，龙头厂的订单都排至了2022年。从今年6月份开始10多家厂商陆续发布下半年涨价函，消息指出预计涨价将持续到2022年。\n台媒《经济日报》6月24日报道称，IC设计业者透露，明年初晶圆代工价格已经敲定，不仅联电8英寸和12英寸的晶圆代工价格续涨，晶圆代工龙头台积电也涨价，部分8英寸和12英寸制程价格上涨一到两成，且12英寸制程涨幅高于8英寸。\n二、全球扩张下的国产替代机遇\n世界半导体贸易统计组织（WSTS）预测，2021年全球半导体市场增速将达19.7%， 2022年半导体市场将增长8.8%，连续两年创历史新高。\nGartner预测：中国半导体企业到2025年市场的市场份额将从当下的15%提升至30%，近五年中国半导体将会快速渗透。\n全球晶圆厂最新扩建计划，中国是首位？今年6月份国际半导体产业协会SEMI发布报告称2021-2022年全球半导体制造商新增29座晶圆厂，分别于2021年建设19座，2022年再增加10座。\n从SEMI给出的数据来看，中国大陆和台湾地区两年间增加的晶圆厂数量是全球首位，共计16座，其次是美国4座，欧洲和中东一共增加3座，日本和韩国各两座。全部投产后，每月可生产260万片等效200mm晶圆。考虑到新增的晶圆厂建设周期较长，预计从2023年开始新增晶圆厂开始大幅采购半导体设备。\n\n那么国内半导体行业有存在怎样的机遇呢？华尔街见闻·见智研究所对四大行业的格局进行了分析。\n1、晶圆厂格局\n三星是全球市占率最大的晶圆厂，达到14.7%，折算约310万片/月的产能；其次是台积电市占率为13.1%，约270万片/月产能。美光和SK海力士位居第三、第四，市占率在9%左右，每家产能约为190万片/月。中芯国际的产能约为54万片/月，在全球排名前十二。（产能按8英寸折算）\n行业内5家最大的纯晶圆代工厂——台积电、联电、格芯、中芯国际和力晶（包括Nexchip）约占全球晶圆代工厂总产能的24％，行业集中度非常高。国内晶圆厂预计21年新增的产能75万片/月（按 8 英寸折算），其中新增产能的前三位分别是长江存储、华虹半导体和中芯国际。\n2、设备厂格局\n从设备类型的市场占比情况来看，前道晶圆制造设备占主要比重，高达80%，这其中主要包括刻蚀机、薄膜沉积设备和光刻机；其次封装和测试设备的占比比较小，分别为10%和8%。前道晶圆设备龙头包括泛林半导体、TEL、应用材料、ASML几乎是垄断了全球九成的份额。\n在国内的公司中，刻蚀机设备主要是北方华创和中微半导体。两个公司目前是差异化的布局，不存在直接竞争关系。北方华创的优势在于长硅刻蚀和金属刻蚀，而中微公司的优势在于长介质刻蚀。\n沉积设备：主要是北方华创和沈阳拓荆，两者在ALD和PVD方面存在一定程度的竞争，而在化学气相沉积方面只有沈阳拓荆在做，在今年7月12日沈阳拓荆在科创板IPO申请也已经获受理了。\n光刻设备：上海微电子已经突破了光刻机90/65的技术节点；沈阳芯源突破涂胶显影机90/65的技术节点。\n3、封测厂格局\n全球封测市场中CR3占比约六成，集中度很高，日月光占比就达到三成以上，其次是安靠和长电科技约一成以上，通富微电位居第五，市占率约4.4%。长电科技背靠中芯国际，通富微电背靠AMD。\n4、光刻胶格局\n半导体光刻胶主要分为四种类型，g线、i线、KrF线和ArF线。就占比情况来看ArF线占比最大，约四成，其次是KrF线两成，g线和i线共计两成。\n光刻胶九成份额被外国龙头垄断，今年由于日本信越化学的KrF光刻胶无限期断供，给国内公司很大的发展机遇，哪些厂商率先进入晶圆代工厂的生产线中，未来成长空间会非常大。\nArF线：北京科华（现被彤程新材收购）、晶瑞股份正在研发中；南大光电通过客户认证。\nKrF线：北京科华、上海新阳已经实现量产，晶瑞股份已完成测试。\ng线/i线：容大感光产能扩建中，北京科华可供应。\n三、产能过剩后的危机\n随着未来五年内半导体产能的大量投放，而需求增速的逐渐放缓，伴随而来的是半导体产能过剩，高库存的情况，必然会导致半导体市场价格的下跌。观测这一重要转折点要看什么？通过复盘半导体的历史周期，华尔街见闻·见智研究所观察到资本开支可作为预测拐点的领先指标。\n从历史规律来看，在资本开支大幅增长的一到两年后将会伴随半导体市场的大幅下跌。如1984年全球半导体行业资本开支增长106%，而后的第二年半导体市场下跌了17%。此后的四个周期也是出现相同的规律。直到2008年的下跌是由金融危机导致的，而后2010年资本开支出现大幅回升，达到107%，第二年半导体市场同样出现了暴跌。\n通过复盘历史得到非常重要的指标，那就是资本开始危险临界线。当资本开支增长超过40%的时候，通常预测未来会出现产能过剩和半导体增速下跌的情况。\n\n危机来临了吗？\n根据IC Insights的预测来看，2021年半导体资本开支的增速预计在16%-23%之间。总体上看半导体市场还处于景气周期中，目前没有达到产能过剩的临界点。但需要特别注意的是，台积电21年的资本开支增速同比达到74%，英特尔资本开支同比增速达到37%，已经达到高水位线，而三星的资本开支几乎与去年齐平。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":262,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":147392987,"gmtCreate":1626332933349,"gmtModify":1703758071793,"author":{"id":"3569299384564621","authorId":"3569299384564621","name":"jamiengan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/889f4395dbbcc2004e91811498c78b43","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569299384564621","authorIdStr":"3569299384564621"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/147392987","repostId":"1188379078","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1188379078","pubTimestamp":1626332901,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1188379078?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-15 15:08","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"小鹏P5：下一枚“销量火箭”？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1188379078","media":"亿欧汽车","summary":"中国智能电动汽车市场一片欣欣向荣。\n近日，中汽协公布了2021年上半年中国新能源汽车销量，后者同比增长近2倍，达到120.6万辆，接近同期汽车总销量1289.1万辆的10%，涨势十分迅猛。\n可以说，智","content":"<p>中国智能电动汽车市场一片欣欣向荣。</p>\n<p>近日，中汽协公布了2021年上半年中国新能源汽车销量，后者同比增长近2倍，达到120.6万辆，接近同期汽车总销量1289.1万辆的10%，涨势十分迅猛。</p>\n<p>可以说，智能电动汽车正在动摇燃油车的市场主导地位。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6eae735e2db4d5d0cefd600305ca9962\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"687\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>值此变革之际，主流车企纷纷推出最新的智能电动汽车产品，意欲抢占市场份额与用户心智，获得先发制人的优势。</p>\n<p>小鹏汽车近期即将推出的高性能智能轿车P5无疑是一款极具竞争力的车型。</p>\n<p>据悉，小鹏P5搭载包括激光雷达在内的前沿科技硬件，续航、空间等产品力表现十分均衡，预计销售价格将突破20万元。继P7立足中高级智能电动汽车市场后，P5或将成为小鹏汽车抢夺主流价位轿车市场的利器。</p>\n<p>不过，外界对于小鹏P5仍然充满好奇。小鹏P5的核心竞争力是什么？基于20万元以上的售价，新车销售前景如何？其能否引领中国智能电动汽车市场新潮流？</p>\n<p></p>\n<p></p>\n<p></p>\n<p><b>01</b></p>\n<p></p>\n<p></p>\n<p></p>\n<p></p>\n<p><b>从城市NGP到智能第三空间</b></p>\n<p></p>\n<p></p>\n<p></p>\n<p>随着汽车智能电动化进程的不断推进，汽车智能化功能水平、特别是自动驾驶水平，正在成为衡量汽车产品力高低的新参数。</p>\n<p>之于小鹏P5，领先同级的自动驾驶能力无疑是核心亮点。</p>\n<p>小鹏P5搭载最新XPILOT 3.5自动驾驶辅助系统，后者融合了包括2个激光雷达在内的32个传感器与1套高精定位单元，形成了视觉+雷达360°双重感知，不仅提升了对行人、静态障碍物、细小物体的检测能力，也实现了对黑夜、弱光、逆光、隧道明暗交替等疑难场景的全覆盖，大大提升了安全冗余。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3acd9bd8fa596a69d4057857826005e\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"600\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>基于出色的感知能力，小鹏P5将NGP的适用场景从高速路况拓展到城市路况，可覆盖红绿灯路口通行（包括红绿灯识别、直行、右转及无保护的左转），城市路况超车、城市路况定制化跟车，自动限速调节（与高速不同的是，可以根据地面/道路路况进行动态调节），环岛通行能力等典型城市场景。</p>\n<p>此外，小鹏P5的停车场记忆泊车功能也得到了性能强化。</p>\n<p>可以说，城市NGP功能的实现进一步巩固了小鹏汽车的自动驾驶领先地位。因为涉及到复杂的交通标识、道路参与者、道路交叉口、交通规则等，城市一般道路的路况最为复杂，被公认是最难攻克的自动驾驶落地场景。</p>\n<p>作为全球首款具备城市NGP功能的智能汽车，小鹏P5反映的是小鹏汽车领先的自动驾驶技术与坚实的研发制造体系。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fb48499ef45bd2274408f1f7f3c68c84\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"593\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>借助XPILOT 3.5自动驾驶辅助系统，小鹏P5用户在复杂城市道路的驾驶体验更加游刃有余。</p>\n<p>结合全新一代智能数字座舱提供的智能车机软硬件系统、新一代中央域设计理念、全场景语音等，小鹏P5用户与车辆之间的交互更加顺畅无阻。</p>\n<p>此外，小鹏P5长达4808mm的车身长度与991mm第二排腿部有效空间，以及多达26处的全车储物空间及可以轻松存放5个20寸行李箱的后备箱空间，给到了用户超越同级车的空间享受。</p>\n<p>从各方面来看，小鹏P5的各项产品力十分均衡，堪称20万元级别智能电动汽车中的“六边形战士”。</p>\n<p>除了现有车辆的使用场景外，小鹏P5还突破了对车辆空间原有的功能定义，将智能交互座舱立体打造成为除居住空间（第一空间）、工作空间（第二空间）之外的智能第三空间，为用户及其家人、朋友提供了新的解决方案。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b7898d78e21969f26e5cc17ea1df4e1b\" tg-width=\"958\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>从服务用户使用场景出发，小鹏P5智能第三空间提供了X-Paly娱乐场景、X-Sleep睡眠场景、X-GO户外场景、X-Life生活场景、X-DIY场景的5大场景功能，用户可以在车内观影、看球、唱K、休息。</p>\n<p>小鹏P5不止是一款帮助用户从A点移动到B点的交通工具，更是未来汽车移动智能空间理念的践行者。</p>\n<p></p>\n<p></p>\n<p></p>\n<p><b>02</b></p>\n<p></p>\n<p></p>\n<p></p>\n<p></p>\n<p><b>平价不平常的高性能智能轿车</b></p>\n<p></p>\n<p></p>\n<p></p>\n<p>超20万元的定价对于小鹏P5颇具意义。</p>\n<p>目前，中国纯电动乘用车市场主要由三个级别的车型主导：A00级、A级、B级。2021年上半年，中国A级与B级纯电动乘用车的市场份额总和超过52%，占据了纯电动乘用车半壁江山。</p>\n<p>从燃油车的成熟经验来看，A级与B级车型拥有统治性的市场份额优势。2021年上半年，中国A级与B级乘用车的市场份额超过79%。</p>\n<p>换言之，随着技术水平、市场份额与用户认知的不断提升，纯电动乘用车的市场份额仍有大约27个百分点的增长幅度。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e8bcb6c134e61d050c99722101e1246\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"621\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>对于小鹏汽车而言，定位为中型纯电动轿跑的小鹏P7可以归属到B级别，车型尺寸比P7稍小的小鹏P5可以归属到A级别，二者共同组成了小鹏汽车在主流销量区间的车型矩阵。</p>\n<p>如同Model 3点燃了特斯拉的“销量火箭”一般，20万元级别的小鹏P5或将成为小鹏汽车下一个“销量引擎”。</p>\n<p>实际上，智能电动汽车行业的发展态势愈加火热，以小鹏汽车为代表的新势力销量前景颇为光明。</p>\n<p>根据亿欧智库的观察，中国智能电动汽车市场远未到天花板，预计未来市场销量将持续增长，并将于2025年达到接近600万辆年销量。</p>\n<p>作为头部造车新势力之一，小鹏汽车若想在智能电动汽车市场中发挥不俗，势必要倚仗小鹏P5的出色表现。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5c51a2a1c131d1cb42737c287fedc25\" tg-width=\"980\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>2021年上半年，小鹏汽车销量为3.1万辆，超越去年全年的2.7万辆销量。其中，小鹏汽车6月交付量达到6565台，同比增长高达617%，销量井喷之势渐显。若按此趋势延续到年底，小鹏汽车今年销量有望逼近10万辆。</p>\n<p>在整车生产制造行业中，10万辆是产生规模效应的一大临界点。</p>\n<p>依靠更亲民的价格与更先进的科技，小鹏P5成为小鹏汽车推广“AI+互联网+汽车”智能汽车理念的出色载体，预计第三季度将正式上市。</p>\n<p>小鹏汽车志在通过数据驱动智能电动汽车的变革，引领未来出行方式，随着P5在第三季度交付，其距离发展目标又近了一步。</p>\n<p></p>\n<p></p>\n<p></p>\n<p><b>03</b></p>\n<p></p>\n<p></p>\n<p></p>\n<p></p>\n<p><b>结语</b></p>\n<p></p>\n<p></p>\n<p></p>\n<p>近日，小鹏汽车“动作频频”，除了小鹏P5外，小鹏G3中期改款G3i也将于近期上市。至此，小鹏汽车基本完成了从15万元到40万元、从轿车到SUV的产品布局，打赢中国智能电动汽车抢滩战的底气更足。</p>\n<p>当然，汽车市场是一个唯销量论成败的市场，小鹏P5的种种优势仍然有待市场检验。但随着小鹏发力、P5入场，20万元以上智能电动汽车的形态，无疑得到了新的定义。</p>","source":"lsy1582080587274","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>小鹏P5：下一枚“销量火箭”？</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n小鹏P5：下一枚“销量火箭”？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-15 15:08 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/M8cxP3DCbVLfLl0bQDXMYw><strong>亿欧汽车</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>中国智能电动汽车市场一片欣欣向荣。\n近日，中汽协公布了2021年上半年中国新能源汽车销量，后者同比增长近2倍，达到120.6万辆，接近同期汽车总销量1289.1万辆的10%，涨势十分迅猛。\n可以说，智能电动汽车正在动摇燃油车的市场主导地位。\n\n值此变革之际，主流车企纷纷推出最新的智能电动汽车产品，意欲抢占市场份额与用户心智，获得先发制人的优势。\n小鹏汽车近期即将推出的高性能智能轿车P5无疑是一款...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/M8cxP3DCbVLfLl0bQDXMYw\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/42655a31418f10ba8b36b20684267bda","relate_stocks":{"XPEV":"小鹏汽车","09868":"小鹏汽车-W"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/M8cxP3DCbVLfLl0bQDXMYw","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1188379078","content_text":"中国智能电动汽车市场一片欣欣向荣。\n近日，中汽协公布了2021年上半年中国新能源汽车销量，后者同比增长近2倍，达到120.6万辆，接近同期汽车总销量1289.1万辆的10%，涨势十分迅猛。\n可以说，智能电动汽车正在动摇燃油车的市场主导地位。\n\n值此变革之际，主流车企纷纷推出最新的智能电动汽车产品，意欲抢占市场份额与用户心智，获得先发制人的优势。\n小鹏汽车近期即将推出的高性能智能轿车P5无疑是一款极具竞争力的车型。\n据悉，小鹏P5搭载包括激光雷达在内的前沿科技硬件，续航、空间等产品力表现十分均衡，预计销售价格将突破20万元。继P7立足中高级智能电动汽车市场后，P5或将成为小鹏汽车抢夺主流价位轿车市场的利器。\n不过，外界对于小鹏P5仍然充满好奇。小鹏P5的核心竞争力是什么？基于20万元以上的售价，新车销售前景如何？其能否引领中国智能电动汽车市场新潮流？\n\n\n\n01\n\n\n\n\n从城市NGP到智能第三空间\n\n\n\n随着汽车智能电动化进程的不断推进，汽车智能化功能水平、特别是自动驾驶水平，正在成为衡量汽车产品力高低的新参数。\n之于小鹏P5，领先同级的自动驾驶能力无疑是核心亮点。\n小鹏P5搭载最新XPILOT 3.5自动驾驶辅助系统，后者融合了包括2个激光雷达在内的32个传感器与1套高精定位单元，形成了视觉+雷达360°双重感知，不仅提升了对行人、静态障碍物、细小物体的检测能力，也实现了对黑夜、弱光、逆光、隧道明暗交替等疑难场景的全覆盖，大大提升了安全冗余。\n\n基于出色的感知能力，小鹏P5将NGP的适用场景从高速路况拓展到城市路况，可覆盖红绿灯路口通行（包括红绿灯识别、直行、右转及无保护的左转），城市路况超车、城市路况定制化跟车，自动限速调节（与高速不同的是，可以根据地面/道路路况进行动态调节），环岛通行能力等典型城市场景。\n此外，小鹏P5的停车场记忆泊车功能也得到了性能强化。\n可以说，城市NGP功能的实现进一步巩固了小鹏汽车的自动驾驶领先地位。因为涉及到复杂的交通标识、道路参与者、道路交叉口、交通规则等，城市一般道路的路况最为复杂，被公认是最难攻克的自动驾驶落地场景。\n作为全球首款具备城市NGP功能的智能汽车，小鹏P5反映的是小鹏汽车领先的自动驾驶技术与坚实的研发制造体系。\n\n借助XPILOT 3.5自动驾驶辅助系统，小鹏P5用户在复杂城市道路的驾驶体验更加游刃有余。\n结合全新一代智能数字座舱提供的智能车机软硬件系统、新一代中央域设计理念、全场景语音等，小鹏P5用户与车辆之间的交互更加顺畅无阻。\n此外，小鹏P5长达4808mm的车身长度与991mm第二排腿部有效空间，以及多达26处的全车储物空间及可以轻松存放5个20寸行李箱的后备箱空间，给到了用户超越同级车的空间享受。\n从各方面来看，小鹏P5的各项产品力十分均衡，堪称20万元级别智能电动汽车中的“六边形战士”。\n除了现有车辆的使用场景外，小鹏P5还突破了对车辆空间原有的功能定义，将智能交互座舱立体打造成为除居住空间（第一空间）、工作空间（第二空间）之外的智能第三空间，为用户及其家人、朋友提供了新的解决方案。\n\n从服务用户使用场景出发，小鹏P5智能第三空间提供了X-Paly娱乐场景、X-Sleep睡眠场景、X-GO户外场景、X-Life生活场景、X-DIY场景的5大场景功能，用户可以在车内观影、看球、唱K、休息。\n小鹏P5不止是一款帮助用户从A点移动到B点的交通工具，更是未来汽车移动智能空间理念的践行者。\n\n\n\n02\n\n\n\n\n平价不平常的高性能智能轿车\n\n\n\n超20万元的定价对于小鹏P5颇具意义。\n目前，中国纯电动乘用车市场主要由三个级别的车型主导：A00级、A级、B级。2021年上半年，中国A级与B级纯电动乘用车的市场份额总和超过52%，占据了纯电动乘用车半壁江山。\n从燃油车的成熟经验来看，A级与B级车型拥有统治性的市场份额优势。2021年上半年，中国A级与B级乘用车的市场份额超过79%。\n换言之，随着技术水平、市场份额与用户认知的不断提升，纯电动乘用车的市场份额仍有大约27个百分点的增长幅度。\n\n对于小鹏汽车而言，定位为中型纯电动轿跑的小鹏P7可以归属到B级别，车型尺寸比P7稍小的小鹏P5可以归属到A级别，二者共同组成了小鹏汽车在主流销量区间的车型矩阵。\n如同Model 3点燃了特斯拉的“销量火箭”一般，20万元级别的小鹏P5或将成为小鹏汽车下一个“销量引擎”。\n实际上，智能电动汽车行业的发展态势愈加火热，以小鹏汽车为代表的新势力销量前景颇为光明。\n根据亿欧智库的观察，中国智能电动汽车市场远未到天花板，预计未来市场销量将持续增长，并将于2025年达到接近600万辆年销量。\n作为头部造车新势力之一，小鹏汽车若想在智能电动汽车市场中发挥不俗，势必要倚仗小鹏P5的出色表现。\n\n2021年上半年，小鹏汽车销量为3.1万辆，超越去年全年的2.7万辆销量。其中，小鹏汽车6月交付量达到6565台，同比增长高达617%，销量井喷之势渐显。若按此趋势延续到年底，小鹏汽车今年销量有望逼近10万辆。\n在整车生产制造行业中，10万辆是产生规模效应的一大临界点。\n依靠更亲民的价格与更先进的科技，小鹏P5成为小鹏汽车推广“AI+互联网+汽车”智能汽车理念的出色载体，预计第三季度将正式上市。\n小鹏汽车志在通过数据驱动智能电动汽车的变革，引领未来出行方式，随着P5在第三季度交付，其距离发展目标又近了一步。\n\n\n\n03\n\n\n\n\n结语\n\n\n\n近日，小鹏汽车“动作频频”，除了小鹏P5外，小鹏G3中期改款G3i也将于近期上市。至此，小鹏汽车基本完成了从15万元到40万元、从轿车到SUV的产品布局，打赢中国智能电动汽车抢滩战的底气更足。\n当然，汽车市场是一个唯销量论成败的市场，小鹏P5的种种优势仍然有待市场检验。但随着小鹏发力、P5入场，20万元以上智能电动汽车的形态，无疑得到了新的定义。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":198,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":145459404,"gmtCreate":1626239860508,"gmtModify":1703756154420,"author":{"id":"3569299384564621","authorId":"3569299384564621","name":"jamiengan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/889f4395dbbcc2004e91811498c78b43","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569299384564621","authorIdStr":"3569299384564621"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/145459404","repostId":"1126251044","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1126251044","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1626218657,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1126251044?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-14 07:24","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"医脉通一手中签率5%，认购90手稳中一手","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1126251044","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"7月14日，医脉通发布公告，公司全球发售约1.55亿股股份，其中香港发售股份7754.8万股，国际发售股份7754.8万股，另有15%超额配股权；发售价已厘定为每股发售股份27.20港元，每手买卖单位","content":"<p>7月14日，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02192\">医脉通</a>发布公告，公司全球发售约1.55亿股股份，其中香港发售股份7754.8万股，国际发售股份7754.8万股，另有15%超额配股权；发售价已厘定为每股发售股份27.20港元，每手买卖单位500股；<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">高盛</a>及<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00665\">海通国际</a>为联席保荐人，预期股份将于2021年7月15日于联交所主板挂牌上市。</p>\n<p><b>老虎资讯整理相关数据如下：</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa9b3e669a6b601bd6f663db62eb0518\" tg-width=\"1059\" tg-height=\"824\"></p>\n<p><b>分配结果：</b></p>\n<p>甲组每手500股，一手中签率5%，认购90手稳中一手。</p>\n<p>乙组头为20万股（400手），获配1000股（2手）。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/836a351342d5d77d292efd488168758f\" tg-width=\"863\" tg-height=\"585\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/21001441e923fa8b5c5f3e75ed77dcb8\" tg-width=\"873\" tg-height=\"538\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4701c7bcc7cc26514d87a7f555b281bc\" tg-width=\"856\" tg-height=\"740\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>国际发售初步提呈发售的发售股份获大幅超额认购，相当于国际发售初步可供认购发售股份总数约31.2倍。根据香港公开发售初步提呈发售的香港公开发售股份获大幅超额认购。公司合共接获626,195份有效申请，认购合共91.88亿股香港公开发售股份，相当于香港公开发售初步可供认购香港公开发售股份总数约592.41倍。</p>\n<p>根据发售价每股27.20港元及基石投资协议，基石投资者认购合共6278.45万股发售股份，相当于全球发售完成后已发行股本约9.10%(假设并无行使超额配股权且并无计及可能因根据购股权计划已授出或将授出的购股权获行使而发行的任何股份)；及全球发售的发售股份数目约40.48%(假设并无行使超额配股权)。</p>\n<p>按发售价每股发售股份27.20港元计算，公司估计自全球发售收取所得款项净额约40.01亿港元。其中，所得款项净额约40%拟用于在未来三至五年内扩展业务；约30%拟用于在未来三至五年内投资技术及提高研发能力；约20%拟用于精心挑选战略投资或收购机会；及约10%拟用作一般补充营运资金及其他一般企业用途。</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>医脉通一手中签率5%，认购90手稳中一手</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ 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margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n医脉通一手中签率5%，认购90手稳中一手\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-07-14 07:24</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>7月14日，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02192\">医脉通</a>发布公告，公司全球发售约1.55亿股股份，其中香港发售股份7754.8万股，国际发售股份7754.8万股，另有15%超额配股权；发售价已厘定为每股发售股份27.20港元，每手买卖单位500股；<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">高盛</a>及<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00665\">海通国际</a>为联席保荐人，预期股份将于2021年7月15日于联交所主板挂牌上市。</p>\n<p><b>老虎资讯整理相关数据如下：</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa9b3e669a6b601bd6f663db62eb0518\" tg-width=\"1059\" tg-height=\"824\"></p>\n<p><b>分配结果：</b></p>\n<p>甲组每手500股，一手中签率5%，认购90手稳中一手。</p>\n<p>乙组头为20万股（400手），获配1000股（2手）。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/836a351342d5d77d292efd488168758f\" tg-width=\"863\" tg-height=\"585\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/21001441e923fa8b5c5f3e75ed77dcb8\" tg-width=\"873\" tg-height=\"538\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4701c7bcc7cc26514d87a7f555b281bc\" tg-width=\"856\" tg-height=\"740\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>国际发售初步提呈发售的发售股份获大幅超额认购，相当于国际发售初步可供认购发售股份总数约31.2倍。根据香港公开发售初步提呈发售的香港公开发售股份获大幅超额认购。公司合共接获626,195份有效申请，认购合共91.88亿股香港公开发售股份，相当于香港公开发售初步可供认购香港公开发售股份总数约592.41倍。</p>\n<p>根据发售价每股27.20港元及基石投资协议，基石投资者认购合共6278.45万股发售股份，相当于全球发售完成后已发行股本约9.10%(假设并无行使超额配股权且并无计及可能因根据购股权计划已授出或将授出的购股权获行使而发行的任何股份)；及全球发售的发售股份数目约40.48%(假设并无行使超额配股权)。</p>\n<p>按发售价每股发售股份27.20港元计算，公司估计自全球发售收取所得款项净额约40.01亿港元。其中，所得款项净额约40%拟用于在未来三至五年内扩展业务；约30%拟用于在未来三至五年内投资技术及提高研发能力；约20%拟用于精心挑选战略投资或收购机会；及约10%拟用作一般补充营运资金及其他一般企业用途。</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b69e234a63c2c0a69ccede7b0faaa18","relate_stocks":{"02192":"医脉通"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1126251044","content_text":"7月14日，医脉通发布公告，公司全球发售约1.55亿股股份，其中香港发售股份7754.8万股，国际发售股份7754.8万股，另有15%超额配股权；发售价已厘定为每股发售股份27.20港元，每手买卖单位500股；高盛及海通国际为联席保荐人，预期股份将于2021年7月15日于联交所主板挂牌上市。\n老虎资讯整理相关数据如下：\n\n分配结果：\n甲组每手500股，一手中签率5%，认购90手稳中一手。\n乙组头为20万股（400手），获配1000股（2手）。\n\n国际发售初步提呈发售的发售股份获大幅超额认购，相当于国际发售初步可供认购发售股份总数约31.2倍。根据香港公开发售初步提呈发售的香港公开发售股份获大幅超额认购。公司合共接获626,195份有效申请，认购合共91.88亿股香港公开发售股份，相当于香港公开发售初步可供认购香港公开发售股份总数约592.41倍。\n根据发售价每股27.20港元及基石投资协议，基石投资者认购合共6278.45万股发售股份，相当于全球发售完成后已发行股本约9.10%(假设并无行使超额配股权且并无计及可能因根据购股权计划已授出或将授出的购股权获行使而发行的任何股份)；及全球发售的发售股份数目约40.48%(假设并无行使超额配股权)。\n按发售价每股发售股份27.20港元计算，公司估计自全球发售收取所得款项净额约40.01亿港元。其中，所得款项净额约40%拟用于在未来三至五年内扩展业务；约30%拟用于在未来三至五年内投资技术及提高研发能力；约20%拟用于精心挑选战略投资或收购机会；及约10%拟用作一般补充营运资金及其他一般企业用途。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":196,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":142470589,"gmtCreate":1626172402441,"gmtModify":1703754766154,"author":{"id":"3569299384564621","authorId":"3569299384564621","name":"jamiengan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/889f4395dbbcc2004e91811498c78b43","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569299384564621","authorIdStr":"3569299384564621"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/142470589","repostId":"1126789765","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1126789765","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"中国大陆领先的金融数据、信息和软件服务企业，总部位于上海陆家嘴金融中心。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Wind万得","id":"99","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c71e30d1317b4a5cb20a41998e10ac68"},"pubTimestamp":1626133747,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1126789765?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-13 07:49","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"美联储七月会议如何表态？关注今晚CPI","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1126789765","media":"Wind万得","summary":"今晚美国公布的CPI数据至关重要，这个数据在一定程度上将显示近期的价格大幅上涨是一个暂时现象，还是通胀压力会更持久。如果今晚通胀超市场预期，那么美联储提前收紧预期可能又会卷土重来；反之市场对美联储收紧的恐慌会继续减弱。市场预计6月份CPI环比增幅将从5月份的0.6%和4月份的0.8%降至0.5%，并预计CPI年率将从5月份的5%降至4.9%。美联储的通胀目标是基于美国商务部的个人消费支出价格指数，该指数往往略低于CPI。","content":"<p>今晚美国公布的CPI数据至关重要，这个数据在一定程度上将显示近期的价格大幅上涨是一个暂时现象，还是通胀压力会更持久。如果今晚通胀超市场预期，那么美联储提前收紧预期可能又会卷土重来；反之市场对美联储收紧的恐慌会继续减弱。</p>\n<p>在过去的六个月里，美国消费者价格指数(CPI)几乎翻了三倍，从一月份的1.7%上升到五月份的5%。核心通胀从1.4%上升到3.8%。市场预计6月份CPI环比增幅将从5月份的0.6%和4月份的0.8%降至0.5%，并预计CPI年率将从5月份的5%降至4.9%。</p>\n<p>过去几个月，美联储成功地降低了市场对通胀的敏感性。这一努力始于去年9月美联储对未来政策引导采用了平均通胀率，并坚持认为当前的飙升是暂时的。但是有一个重要且尚未解决的问题是，疫情导致的经济问题造成会造成多少通胀?这个问题的答案在第四季度基数效应完全消失之前也许很难判断。</p>\n<p>市场一些经济学家认为疫情后强劲的经济复苏将在一段时间内推动物价快速上涨。他们认为，市场应该做好准备，迎接几十年来最高的通胀水平。如果经济学家的预测是正确的，美联储官员可能不得不提前或超过他们预期的上调利率，以控制通胀。</p>\n<p>一些调查显示经济学家认为从2021年到2023年通胀平均年增长率为2.58%，这个水平将达到1993年的水平。\"我们现在正处于一个过渡阶段，\" Naroff Economics LLC首席经济学家Joel Naroff说，\"我们正过渡到通胀率和利率高于过去20年的时期。\"</p>\n<p>Grant Thornton首席经济学家黛安•斯旺克(Diane Swonk)表示:“预计通胀飙升的时间会比美联储此前预计的更长。”“美联储现在可能会在2023年上半年加息，尽管一些美联储官员会尽快采取行动。”</p>\n<p>一些分析师也担心美联储的行动可能过于缓慢。American Chemistry Council首席经济学家凯文•斯威夫特(KevinSwift)表示:“危险在于，货币当局跟不上形势。”“我并不是说恶性通货膨胀即将到来，只是说去年发生了很多事情，整体价格的增长趋势比过去5年或10年更快。”</p>\n<p>随着经济复苏的加快，上次公布的美国5月份消费者价格指数继续快速上涨，较上年同期飙升5%，创下近13年来的最高年通胀率，也反映出需求激增以及劳动力和材料短缺。</p>\n<p>价格上涨反映出，随着广泛接种疫苗、放宽商业限制、数万亿美元的联邦大流行救援计划和充足的家庭储蓄推动了强劲的消费者需求。经季节性因素调整后，美国第一季度国内生产总值(GDP)按年率计算增长6.4%。经济学家预计，第二季度美国经济折合成年率将增长8.1%，这将是上世纪80年代初以来经济增长最好的一年。</p>\n<p>政策制定者也非常关注最近的通胀数据。在疫情最严重时期的一年里，价格压力非常疲弱。随着美联储和其它一些政策制定者继续采取财政和货币政策措施支持经济后，通胀上升是否只是暂时的，是美国经济和金融市场的一个关键问题。</p>\n<p>美联储预计目前还是预计今年通货膨胀率将暂时上升。通货膨胀率的持续大幅上升可能迫使央行提前收紧其宽松货币政策，或者晚些时候采取更激进的应对措施，以实现2%的平均通货膨胀目标。</p>\n<p>美联储的通胀目标是基于美国商务部的个人消费支出价格指数，该指数往往略低于CPI。美联储曾表示，在个人消费支出(PCE)通胀率达到平均2%并实现充分就业之前，它将把利率维持在接近于零的水平。</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美联储七月会议如何表态？关注今晚CPI</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ 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hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美联储七月会议如何表态？关注今晚CPI\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/99\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/c71e30d1317b4a5cb20a41998e10ac68);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Wind万得 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-07-13 07:49</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>今晚美国公布的CPI数据至关重要，这个数据在一定程度上将显示近期的价格大幅上涨是一个暂时现象，还是通胀压力会更持久。如果今晚通胀超市场预期，那么美联储提前收紧预期可能又会卷土重来；反之市场对美联储收紧的恐慌会继续减弱。</p>\n<p>在过去的六个月里，美国消费者价格指数(CPI)几乎翻了三倍，从一月份的1.7%上升到五月份的5%。核心通胀从1.4%上升到3.8%。市场预计6月份CPI环比增幅将从5月份的0.6%和4月份的0.8%降至0.5%，并预计CPI年率将从5月份的5%降至4.9%。</p>\n<p>过去几个月，美联储成功地降低了市场对通胀的敏感性。这一努力始于去年9月美联储对未来政策引导采用了平均通胀率，并坚持认为当前的飙升是暂时的。但是有一个重要且尚未解决的问题是，疫情导致的经济问题造成会造成多少通胀?这个问题的答案在第四季度基数效应完全消失之前也许很难判断。</p>\n<p>市场一些经济学家认为疫情后强劲的经济复苏将在一段时间内推动物价快速上涨。他们认为，市场应该做好准备，迎接几十年来最高的通胀水平。如果经济学家的预测是正确的，美联储官员可能不得不提前或超过他们预期的上调利率，以控制通胀。</p>\n<p>一些调查显示经济学家认为从2021年到2023年通胀平均年增长率为2.58%，这个水平将达到1993年的水平。\"我们现在正处于一个过渡阶段，\" Naroff Economics LLC首席经济学家Joel Naroff说，\"我们正过渡到通胀率和利率高于过去20年的时期。\"</p>\n<p>Grant Thornton首席经济学家黛安•斯旺克(Diane Swonk)表示:“预计通胀飙升的时间会比美联储此前预计的更长。”“美联储现在可能会在2023年上半年加息，尽管一些美联储官员会尽快采取行动。”</p>\n<p>一些分析师也担心美联储的行动可能过于缓慢。American Chemistry Council首席经济学家凯文•斯威夫特(KevinSwift)表示:“危险在于，货币当局跟不上形势。”“我并不是说恶性通货膨胀即将到来，只是说去年发生了很多事情，整体价格的增长趋势比过去5年或10年更快。”</p>\n<p>随着经济复苏的加快，上次公布的美国5月份消费者价格指数继续快速上涨，较上年同期飙升5%，创下近13年来的最高年通胀率，也反映出需求激增以及劳动力和材料短缺。</p>\n<p>价格上涨反映出，随着广泛接种疫苗、放宽商业限制、数万亿美元的联邦大流行救援计划和充足的家庭储蓄推动了强劲的消费者需求。经季节性因素调整后，美国第一季度国内生产总值(GDP)按年率计算增长6.4%。经济学家预计，第二季度美国经济折合成年率将增长8.1%，这将是上世纪80年代初以来经济增长最好的一年。</p>\n<p>政策制定者也非常关注最近的通胀数据。在疫情最严重时期的一年里，价格压力非常疲弱。随着美联储和其它一些政策制定者继续采取财政和货币政策措施支持经济后，通胀上升是否只是暂时的，是美国经济和金融市场的一个关键问题。</p>\n<p>美联储预计目前还是预计今年通货膨胀率将暂时上升。通货膨胀率的持续大幅上升可能迫使央行提前收紧其宽松货币政策，或者晚些时候采取更激进的应对措施，以实现2%的平均通货膨胀目标。</p>\n<p>美联储的通胀目标是基于美国商务部的个人消费支出价格指数，该指数往往略低于CPI。美联储曾表示，在个人消费支出(PCE)通胀率达到平均2%并实现充分就业之前，它将把利率维持在接近于零的水平。</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/627bc890436e46f74a0fe8143398a725","relate_stocks":{"513500":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","SH":"标普500反向ETF","SDOW":"道指三倍做空ETF-ProShares","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","QID":"纳指两倍做空ETF","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯","DDM":"道指两倍做多ETF","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","DXD":"道指两倍做空ETF","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","UDOW":"道指三倍做多ETF-ProShares","QQQ":"纳指100ETF"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1126789765","content_text":"今晚美国公布的CPI数据至关重要，这个数据在一定程度上将显示近期的价格大幅上涨是一个暂时现象，还是通胀压力会更持久。如果今晚通胀超市场预期，那么美联储提前收紧预期可能又会卷土重来；反之市场对美联储收紧的恐慌会继续减弱。\n在过去的六个月里，美国消费者价格指数(CPI)几乎翻了三倍，从一月份的1.7%上升到五月份的5%。核心通胀从1.4%上升到3.8%。市场预计6月份CPI环比增幅将从5月份的0.6%和4月份的0.8%降至0.5%，并预计CPI年率将从5月份的5%降至4.9%。\n过去几个月，美联储成功地降低了市场对通胀的敏感性。这一努力始于去年9月美联储对未来政策引导采用了平均通胀率，并坚持认为当前的飙升是暂时的。但是有一个重要且尚未解决的问题是，疫情导致的经济问题造成会造成多少通胀?这个问题的答案在第四季度基数效应完全消失之前也许很难判断。\n市场一些经济学家认为疫情后强劲的经济复苏将在一段时间内推动物价快速上涨。他们认为，市场应该做好准备，迎接几十年来最高的通胀水平。如果经济学家的预测是正确的，美联储官员可能不得不提前或超过他们预期的上调利率，以控制通胀。\n一些调查显示经济学家认为从2021年到2023年通胀平均年增长率为2.58%，这个水平将达到1993年的水平。\"我们现在正处于一个过渡阶段，\" Naroff Economics LLC首席经济学家Joel Naroff说，\"我们正过渡到通胀率和利率高于过去20年的时期。\"\nGrant Thornton首席经济学家黛安•斯旺克(Diane Swonk)表示:“预计通胀飙升的时间会比美联储此前预计的更长。”“美联储现在可能会在2023年上半年加息，尽管一些美联储官员会尽快采取行动。”\n一些分析师也担心美联储的行动可能过于缓慢。American Chemistry Council首席经济学家凯文•斯威夫特(KevinSwift)表示:“危险在于，货币当局跟不上形势。”“我并不是说恶性通货膨胀即将到来，只是说去年发生了很多事情，整体价格的增长趋势比过去5年或10年更快。”\n随着经济复苏的加快，上次公布的美国5月份消费者价格指数继续快速上涨，较上年同期飙升5%，创下近13年来的最高年通胀率，也反映出需求激增以及劳动力和材料短缺。\n价格上涨反映出，随着广泛接种疫苗、放宽商业限制、数万亿美元的联邦大流行救援计划和充足的家庭储蓄推动了强劲的消费者需求。经季节性因素调整后，美国第一季度国内生产总值(GDP)按年率计算增长6.4%。经济学家预计，第二季度美国经济折合成年率将增长8.1%，这将是上世纪80年代初以来经济增长最好的一年。\n政策制定者也非常关注最近的通胀数据。在疫情最严重时期的一年里，价格压力非常疲弱。随着美联储和其它一些政策制定者继续采取财政和货币政策措施支持经济后，通胀上升是否只是暂时的，是美国经济和金融市场的一个关键问题。\n美联储预计目前还是预计今年通货膨胀率将暂时上升。通货膨胀率的持续大幅上升可能迫使央行提前收紧其宽松货币政策，或者晚些时候采取更激进的应对措施，以实现2%的平均通货膨胀目标。\n美联储的通胀目标是基于美国商务部的个人消费支出价格指数，该指数往往略低于CPI。美联储曾表示，在个人消费支出(PCE)通胀率达到平均2%并实现充分就业之前，它将把利率维持在接近于零的水平。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":97,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":142447669,"gmtCreate":1626172312951,"gmtModify":1703754763879,"author":{"id":"3569299384564621","authorId":"3569299384564621","name":"jamiengan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/889f4395dbbcc2004e91811498c78b43","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569299384564621","authorIdStr":"3569299384564621"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/142447669","repostId":"1129606632","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1129606632","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1626170852,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1129606632?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-13 18:07","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"百事可乐Q2财报超预期，盘前涨近2%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1129606632","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"7月13日美股盘前，百事可乐公布2021年第二季度财报。财报显示，百事可乐Q2营收192.2亿美元，市场预期179.59亿美元，去年同期159.45亿美元；净利润23.58亿美元，市场预期21.12亿","content":"<p>7月13日美股盘前，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PEP\">百事可乐</a>公布2021年第二季度财报。财报显示，百事可乐Q2营收192.2亿美元，市场预期179.59亿美元，去年同期159.45亿美元；净利润23.58亿美元，市场预期21.12亿美元，去年同期16.46亿美元；每股盈利1.7美元，市场预期1.52美元，去年同期1.18美元；预计2021财年有机营收将增长6%。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/01ce274cdc1fe7015a8e11ef8d4d2fc3\" tg-width=\"896\" tg-height=\"380\"></p>\n<p>财报公布后，百事可乐盘前涨近2%。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cae80f9ef9b26887ae4d099f25d7f501\" tg-width=\"899\" tg-height=\"640\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>百事可乐Q2财报超预期，盘前涨近2%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ 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margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n百事可乐Q2财报超预期，盘前涨近2%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-07-13 18:07</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>7月13日美股盘前，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PEP\">百事可乐</a>公布2021年第二季度财报。财报显示，百事可乐Q2营收192.2亿美元，市场预期179.59亿美元，去年同期159.45亿美元；净利润23.58亿美元，市场预期21.12亿美元，去年同期16.46亿美元；每股盈利1.7美元，市场预期1.52美元，去年同期1.18美元；预计2021财年有机营收将增长6%。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/01ce274cdc1fe7015a8e11ef8d4d2fc3\" tg-width=\"896\" tg-height=\"380\"></p>\n<p>财报公布后，百事可乐盘前涨近2%。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cae80f9ef9b26887ae4d099f25d7f501\" tg-width=\"899\" tg-height=\"640\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da6f1eec5f0f1446b3ce577db826367e","relate_stocks":{"PEP":"百事可乐"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1129606632","content_text":"7月13日美股盘前，百事可乐公布2021年第二季度财报。财报显示，百事可乐Q2营收192.2亿美元，市场预期179.59亿美元，去年同期159.45亿美元；净利润23.58亿美元，市场预期21.12亿美元，去年同期16.46亿美元；每股盈利1.7美元，市场预期1.52美元，去年同期1.18美元；预计2021财年有机营收将增长6%。\n\n财报公布后，百事可乐盘前涨近2%。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":157,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":148460023,"gmtCreate":1626006077162,"gmtModify":1703751853778,"author":{"id":"3569299384564621","authorId":"3569299384564621","name":"jamiengan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/889f4395dbbcc2004e91811498c78b43","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569299384564621","authorIdStr":"3569299384564621"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/148460023","repostId":"1155854665","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":191,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":148931389,"gmtCreate":1625912209441,"gmtModify":1703750838781,"author":{"id":"3569299384564621","authorId":"3569299384564621","name":"jamiengan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/889f4395dbbcc2004e91811498c78b43","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569299384564621","authorIdStr":"3569299384564621"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/148931389","repostId":"1124741749","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1124741749","pubTimestamp":1625910991,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1124741749?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-10 17:56","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"索普和西蒙斯：两位教父级投资大佬的传奇人生","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1124741749","media":"SMARTMATRIX","summary":"他们都出生于30年代，自幼天赋异禀、身在学术圈但都一心向钱，有两个共同的母校。","content":"<p>A Man for All Markets是Edward Thorp的个人传记，中文翻译《战胜一切市场的人》，从Thorp的经历来看，从打败赌场到进入华尔街，OTC期权、可转债、股票、期货等衍生品，全部涉猎，名副其实的All Markets。塔勒布在序言里说，他的回忆录读起来像一部惊悚小说。</p>\n<p>作为一个数学天才、量化投资教父级人物，他开创性的将概率论、信息论、计算机编程引入金融交易，影响了后世无数Quant大佬：Bill Gross、David Shaw、Ken Griffin...其中也包括大名鼎鼎的James Simons，后者的文艺复兴科技公司创造了金融史上的回报率神话，同样，讲述Simons的传记The Man Who Solved The Market，详细记录了他和他的团队征服金融市场的起起落落，虽是一位华尔街日报作家根据采访汇编而成，但其中不少以前从未披露过的精彩故事。</p>\n<p><b>学术源流</b></p>\n<p>文化兴，则人杰出，所谓的人杰地灵，比如中国明末以来的湖湘学派让湖南成为革命党人的摇篮。在学术圈，也有类似的现象。仔细研究两位大佬的背景，会发现很多共通点，他们都出生于30年代，自幼天赋异禀、身在学术圈但都一心向钱，有两个共同的母校：加州大学伯克利分校和MIT。两校的学术在战后都达到了巅峰，主要一个原因就是二战催生的大规军事科研活动（著名的曼哈顿计划、密码学、信息论和现代计算机），Thorp和Simons都恰好赶上了这波学术红利。50年代，Thorp醉心于和香农一起研究轮盘赌，而Simons仍埋头于理论数学问题，这也使得其在学术上的成就更高（Chern-Simons Theroy）。60年代，MIT成为计算机革命的中心，而数学和计算机正是通向华尔街的两把钥匙，Thorp正是手握这两把钥匙的幸运儿。</p>\n<p><b>赌场vs华尔街</b></p>\n<p>如今为人津津乐道的故事是Thorp利用大数定律和凯利公式打败了赌场，他也成了历史上第一个被拉斯维加斯赌场“拉黑”的人。相比之下，他创设的对冲基金PNP（Princeton Newport Partners）知名度黯淡不少。实际上，从1969年到1988年，PNP两支基金的年化收益率分别达到19.1%和15.1%，同期标普指数年均增长率为10.2%。19年间历经70年代两次石油危机、87年股灾，两只基金从未发生单季亏损，更没有年度亏损。在世间最大的赌场，其业绩冠绝其时，其投资模式，领先此后鱼贯进入华尔街的宽客们20年。</p>\n<p>1988年，Thorp的基金因为受到垃圾债券之王米尔肯一案的牵连被迫关闭。正是在这一年，Simons成立大奖章基金，已年过半百的他，可谓大器晚成，在此前为了寻找成功的投资模型已经摸索了10年之久，一直在主观和量化之间摇摆。尽管外界一直都把Simons视作量化投资大师，但实际上他点角色和Thorp完全不同，他的主要工作并不是开发量化模型，而是从学术圈挖掘各类科学家来帮助公司开发量化模型，并且作为精神领袖塑造公司企业文化。作为一名世界级的数学家+卓越的销售，他与不同的人都能融洽的打交道，这是一种罕见的能力。</p>\n<p><b>量化之路</b></p>\n<p>作为量化交易的先驱，Thorp擅长各种衍生品的对冲套利，70年代的熊市和波动率让这种策略运行的非常完美。依靠自己的数学天赋和市场嗅觉发现了新的蓝海：统计套利（Statistical Arbitrage）和因子模型（factors model）——早期的quant原型。这种模式下的风险理论上是无穷的，尤其是做空那些价格高估的股票的损失上限是无穷大，Thorp主要风控策略是分散化投资。此后的LTCM采用类似的套利模式，但缺少Thorp这样的风控策略，被黑天鹅击败。为了提升投资效率，Thorp将投资策略变成程序，再次成为程序化交易（Algorithm Trading）的先驱。</p>\n<p>相比之下，Simons就没那么幸运了。从早期尝试直觉投资到基于趋势的动量交易、反转交易再到持续收集挖掘海量数据包括数据清洗、信号机制和回溯测试。1986年使用识别隐藏价格趋势的模型框架——1989年利用异常交易信号进行短期高频交易——1992年改为只用单一模型（关键性突破），而后语音识别专家帮助进行各种技术突破（金融模型与语音识别有相似之处），模型经历了漫长迭代改进的过程。最终练就了模型重要核心能力：识别出“交易的价值”，包括：价格趋势的确定性大小、交易信号之间的权重取舍、根据信号进行交易对市场造成的影响的判断。这项能力对于高频全品种交易尤为重要。</p>\n<p><b>取胜系统：概率思考&amp;对人类行为建模</b></p>\n<p>对Thorp来说，赌博和投资都是以概率统计为基础的游戏，根据胜率的大小来分配下注金额的大小（基于凯利法则的资金管理），而大奖章基金的第一次重大突破也来自于对凯利法则的运用以及缩短交易频率使其交易更体现大数定律。大奖章的系统只要胜率略高于50%就能赚钱，而不在乎每一笔买卖的盈亏。本质上，是在利用其他交易者的疏忽和错误赚钱（市场无效）。人类在高压下的行为具有很高的可预测性，他们会本能地表现出恐慌。建模的前提是人类会不断重复过去的行为。索罗斯曾以反身性的哲学理论对人类行为建模，而Simons的团队利用数据和算法对人类行为建模，以此印证行为金融学的理论。</p>\n<p>与传统的价值投资把市场面简化成一位市场先生不同，量化投资的经验是，影响金融市场和投资的因素和变量远远比大多数人意识到的更多，导致市场无效的因素甚至可以说是加密的（Thorp在书中对有效市场假说也不遗余力的进行驳斥）。投资者努力寻找最基本的推动因素，但是遗漏的也许是一整个维度的信息。大奖章基金无法对每一条盈利的规律背后的逻辑进行解释，就如同人类无法理解阿尔法围棋一样，也许是更高纬度的存在。</p>\n<p>模型是对世界的抽象和简化，但模型并不是万能的。当数据和欲望相冲突，即便是理性的科学家，也无法做到完全理性。Simons的初心是创建的算法驱动的自动交易系统，完全屏蔽人类的主观判断，但每一次危机，他仍忍不住会手动干预，减少对信号的依赖，主动缩减交易头寸，可干预的结果并不十分理想。他的同事帕特森也说：”<b>永远不要对交易模型过于信任。长期资本管理公司的基本错误是认为模型就是事实真相，我们从未相信我们的模型能够反映全部事实，它只反映事实的一部分</b>。”</p>\n<p><b>宽客人生</b></p>\n<p>其实很多大佬的交集，远远超过我们想象。比如Thorp和巴菲特在桥牌桌上过过招，在确认巴菲特最终会成为全美最富有的人之后，果断投资了BRK的股票。很多人以为，学霸不一定会拥有好人生，毕竟，book smart和street smart之间的有极大的鸿沟，现实世界的规则比学校要复杂太多，但Thorp践行了将抽象思维运用到现实生活中的思维方式，真正诠释了“彪悍的人生不需要解释”，学术、财富、家庭圆满，很早就意识到在生活本身高于赚钱。相比较Thorp精彩纷呈的人生，Simons的人生曲折太多，离过婚，他的两个儿子先后遭受不幸，还遭遇过伙伴背叛。但最终还是选择和生活讲和，并投身慈善事业，从学术生涯到宽客人生，在跌宕起伏中探寻命运的真谛，而经历本身就是意义所在。就像Thorp在自传末尾所说：生活像是读一本小说或者跑一场马拉松，到达终点往往不是那么重要，旅途本身和沿途的体验更为珍贵。<b>No body can take away the dance you have danced.</b></p>","source":"lsy1625911325017","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>索普和西蒙斯：两位教父级投资大佬的传奇人生</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n索普和西蒙斯：两位教父级投资大佬的传奇人生\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-10 17:56 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/g5Zdx-uS3wl9QbsHZm1DVw><strong>SMARTMATRIX</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>A Man for All Markets是Edward Thorp的个人传记，中文翻译《战胜一切市场的人》，从Thorp的经历来看，从打败赌场到进入华尔街，OTC期权、可转债、股票、期货等衍生品，全部涉猎，名副其实的All Markets。塔勒布在序言里说，他的回忆录读起来像一部惊悚小说。\n作为一个数学天才、量化投资教父级人物，他开创性的将概率论、信息论、计算机编程引入金融交易，影响了后世无数...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/g5Zdx-uS3wl9QbsHZm1DVw\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/388d882133df2db2363aa871ff756c47","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/g5Zdx-uS3wl9QbsHZm1DVw","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1124741749","content_text":"A Man for All Markets是Edward Thorp的个人传记，中文翻译《战胜一切市场的人》，从Thorp的经历来看，从打败赌场到进入华尔街，OTC期权、可转债、股票、期货等衍生品，全部涉猎，名副其实的All Markets。塔勒布在序言里说，他的回忆录读起来像一部惊悚小说。\n作为一个数学天才、量化投资教父级人物，他开创性的将概率论、信息论、计算机编程引入金融交易，影响了后世无数Quant大佬：Bill Gross、David Shaw、Ken Griffin...其中也包括大名鼎鼎的James Simons，后者的文艺复兴科技公司创造了金融史上的回报率神话，同样，讲述Simons的传记The Man Who Solved The Market，详细记录了他和他的团队征服金融市场的起起落落，虽是一位华尔街日报作家根据采访汇编而成，但其中不少以前从未披露过的精彩故事。\n学术源流\n文化兴，则人杰出，所谓的人杰地灵，比如中国明末以来的湖湘学派让湖南成为革命党人的摇篮。在学术圈，也有类似的现象。仔细研究两位大佬的背景，会发现很多共通点，他们都出生于30年代，自幼天赋异禀、身在学术圈但都一心向钱，有两个共同的母校：加州大学伯克利分校和MIT。两校的学术在战后都达到了巅峰，主要一个原因就是二战催生的大规军事科研活动（著名的曼哈顿计划、密码学、信息论和现代计算机），Thorp和Simons都恰好赶上了这波学术红利。50年代，Thorp醉心于和香农一起研究轮盘赌，而Simons仍埋头于理论数学问题，这也使得其在学术上的成就更高（Chern-Simons Theroy）。60年代，MIT成为计算机革命的中心，而数学和计算机正是通向华尔街的两把钥匙，Thorp正是手握这两把钥匙的幸运儿。\n赌场vs华尔街\n如今为人津津乐道的故事是Thorp利用大数定律和凯利公式打败了赌场，他也成了历史上第一个被拉斯维加斯赌场“拉黑”的人。相比之下，他创设的对冲基金PNP（Princeton Newport Partners）知名度黯淡不少。实际上，从1969年到1988年，PNP两支基金的年化收益率分别达到19.1%和15.1%，同期标普指数年均增长率为10.2%。19年间历经70年代两次石油危机、87年股灾，两只基金从未发生单季亏损，更没有年度亏损。在世间最大的赌场，其业绩冠绝其时，其投资模式，领先此后鱼贯进入华尔街的宽客们20年。\n1988年，Thorp的基金因为受到垃圾债券之王米尔肯一案的牵连被迫关闭。正是在这一年，Simons成立大奖章基金，已年过半百的他，可谓大器晚成，在此前为了寻找成功的投资模型已经摸索了10年之久，一直在主观和量化之间摇摆。尽管外界一直都把Simons视作量化投资大师，但实际上他点角色和Thorp完全不同，他的主要工作并不是开发量化模型，而是从学术圈挖掘各类科学家来帮助公司开发量化模型，并且作为精神领袖塑造公司企业文化。作为一名世界级的数学家+卓越的销售，他与不同的人都能融洽的打交道，这是一种罕见的能力。\n量化之路\n作为量化交易的先驱，Thorp擅长各种衍生品的对冲套利，70年代的熊市和波动率让这种策略运行的非常完美。依靠自己的数学天赋和市场嗅觉发现了新的蓝海：统计套利（Statistical Arbitrage）和因子模型（factors model）——早期的quant原型。这种模式下的风险理论上是无穷的，尤其是做空那些价格高估的股票的损失上限是无穷大，Thorp主要风控策略是分散化投资。此后的LTCM采用类似的套利模式，但缺少Thorp这样的风控策略，被黑天鹅击败。为了提升投资效率，Thorp将投资策略变成程序，再次成为程序化交易（Algorithm Trading）的先驱。\n相比之下，Simons就没那么幸运了。从早期尝试直觉投资到基于趋势的动量交易、反转交易再到持续收集挖掘海量数据包括数据清洗、信号机制和回溯测试。1986年使用识别隐藏价格趋势的模型框架——1989年利用异常交易信号进行短期高频交易——1992年改为只用单一模型（关键性突破），而后语音识别专家帮助进行各种技术突破（金融模型与语音识别有相似之处），模型经历了漫长迭代改进的过程。最终练就了模型重要核心能力：识别出“交易的价值”，包括：价格趋势的确定性大小、交易信号之间的权重取舍、根据信号进行交易对市场造成的影响的判断。这项能力对于高频全品种交易尤为重要。\n取胜系统：概率思考&对人类行为建模\n对Thorp来说，赌博和投资都是以概率统计为基础的游戏，根据胜率的大小来分配下注金额的大小（基于凯利法则的资金管理），而大奖章基金的第一次重大突破也来自于对凯利法则的运用以及缩短交易频率使其交易更体现大数定律。大奖章的系统只要胜率略高于50%就能赚钱，而不在乎每一笔买卖的盈亏。本质上，是在利用其他交易者的疏忽和错误赚钱（市场无效）。人类在高压下的行为具有很高的可预测性，他们会本能地表现出恐慌。建模的前提是人类会不断重复过去的行为。索罗斯曾以反身性的哲学理论对人类行为建模，而Simons的团队利用数据和算法对人类行为建模，以此印证行为金融学的理论。\n与传统的价值投资把市场面简化成一位市场先生不同，量化投资的经验是，影响金融市场和投资的因素和变量远远比大多数人意识到的更多，导致市场无效的因素甚至可以说是加密的（Thorp在书中对有效市场假说也不遗余力的进行驳斥）。投资者努力寻找最基本的推动因素，但是遗漏的也许是一整个维度的信息。大奖章基金无法对每一条盈利的规律背后的逻辑进行解释，就如同人类无法理解阿尔法围棋一样，也许是更高纬度的存在。\n模型是对世界的抽象和简化，但模型并不是万能的。当数据和欲望相冲突，即便是理性的科学家，也无法做到完全理性。Simons的初心是创建的算法驱动的自动交易系统，完全屏蔽人类的主观判断，但每一次危机，他仍忍不住会手动干预，减少对信号的依赖，主动缩减交易头寸，可干预的结果并不十分理想。他的同事帕特森也说：”永远不要对交易模型过于信任。长期资本管理公司的基本错误是认为模型就是事实真相，我们从未相信我们的模型能够反映全部事实，它只反映事实的一部分。”\n宽客人生\n其实很多大佬的交集，远远超过我们想象。比如Thorp和巴菲特在桥牌桌上过过招，在确认巴菲特最终会成为全美最富有的人之后，果断投资了BRK的股票。很多人以为，学霸不一定会拥有好人生，毕竟，book smart和street smart之间的有极大的鸿沟，现实世界的规则比学校要复杂太多，但Thorp践行了将抽象思维运用到现实生活中的思维方式，真正诠释了“彪悍的人生不需要解释”，学术、财富、家庭圆满，很早就意识到在生活本身高于赚钱。相比较Thorp精彩纷呈的人生，Simons的人生曲折太多，离过婚，他的两个儿子先后遭受不幸，还遭遇过伙伴背叛。但最终还是选择和生活讲和，并投身慈善事业，从学术生涯到宽客人生，在跌宕起伏中探寻命运的真谛，而经历本身就是意义所在。就像Thorp在自传末尾所说：生活像是读一本小说或者跑一场马拉松，到达终点往往不是那么重要，旅途本身和沿途的体验更为珍贵。No body can take away the dance you have danced.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":200,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":149694944,"gmtCreate":1625720329988,"gmtModify":1703747093173,"author":{"id":"3569299384564621","authorId":"3569299384564621","name":"jamiengan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/889f4395dbbcc2004e91811498c78b43","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569299384564621","authorIdStr":"3569299384564621"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/149694944","repostId":"1155545983","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1155545983","pubTimestamp":1625720148,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1155545983?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-08 12:55","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"上半年IPO盘点：A股95%上涨，港股募资翻倍，美股超7成下跌","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1155545983","media":"亿欧网","summary":"320家中资企业全球资本市场征战。\n\n6月30日，奈雪的茶高调登陆港股，首日破发，当日收报17.12港元，较发行价跌13.54%，引发二级市场“骚动”。滴滴出行则低调在美国纽交所挂牌，当日盘中一度上涨","content":"<blockquote>\n 320家中资企业全球资本市场征战。\n</blockquote>\n<p>6月30日，奈雪的茶高调登陆港股，首日破发，当日收报17.12港元，较发行价跌13.54%，引发二级市场“骚动”。滴滴出行则低调在美国纽交所挂牌，当日盘中一度上涨28.6%，最后收于14.14美元，市值678亿美元。</p>\n<p>一高一低之间，上半年中资企业IPO热潮终于迎来完美收官。而这两家企业的上市表现，也多少成了这次IPO热潮的缩影——在资本市场里，总是有人高歌狂欢，也有人失望落寞。</p>\n<p>在全球经济稳步复苏的大背景之下，2021年全球IPO市场表现活跃。</p>\n<p>毕马威近期发布报告指出，上半年全球资本市场募资总额和上市总数分别为2100亿美元和1047家，较去年同期分别增长196%和134%。</p>\n<p><b>这其中，中国A股和中国香港市场贡献了关键力量。</b>截至6月23日，在IPO募资总额排名前五的证券交易所中，港交所以260亿美元位列第三，上交所以206亿美元排名第四，仅次于纳斯达克和纽交所。</p>\n<p>在这排名前四的交易所里，随处可见中资企业身影。<b>据亿欧EqualOcean统计，上半年IPO热潮中，共有320家中资企业在A股（245家）、港股（39家）、美股（36家）成功上市。</b></p>\n<p><b>A股：七成企业在科创板和创业板上市</b></p>\n<p><b>整体概况——IPO总数较去年翻倍</b></p>\n<p>2021年上半年，A股沪深两市共有245家企业上市，较2020年同期增加了126家，同比增长105.88%。首发募资总额达到2109.50亿元人民币，较2020年同期增长51.46%。</p>\n<p>从IPO数量和融资额度来看，在过去两年半，A股市场2021年上半年的表现仅次于2020年下半年。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a0572a4b80c984d8a1948c93e228acc\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"646\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>对于这场中资企业IPO热潮的成因，市场普遍认为是<b>国内经济稳步复苏以及资本市场制度完善</b>带来的积极影响。</p>\n<p>德勤中国全国A股市场华东区合伙人赵海舟指出，上半年A股市场IPO较去年同期活跃主要是新证券法实施、创业板注册制改革带来的成果。</p>\n<p>由于注册制审核程序相对简单，可以有效加快企业上市进度，同时，注册制之下企业上市门槛相对较低，一些营收少、利润低甚至亏损的企业，也可以在其他条件满足的情况下在科创板完成上市。因而，科创板和创业板也成为了众多企业的上市首选。</p>\n<p>从上半年IPO的245家企业分布板块来看，科创板和创业板在推动企业进入资本市场方面发挥了关键作用。<b>在科创板和创业板上市的企业分别有86家和85家，合计171家，占IPO企业总数近七成（69.80%）；募集总额1235.57亿元，占比58.57%。</b></p>\n<p>值得一提的是，245家企业中，募资规模前十的企业有6家是在科创板和创业板上市。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51729fa42b4afdd80142689e60d97a78\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"849\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed0408c842328128cdbd7b8dc50cd270\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"573\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>其实自2020年第三季度以来，科创板和创业板就成为企业A股IPO的主要发力板块。2020年Q3-2021年Q2，科创板和创业板IPO总数为118家，60家，69家和102家。占比分别为67.05%、59.41%、69.00%、70.34%。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75e25c534d0a1bceae1c477e792df331\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"922\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>其中，科创板更是从2019年6月13日正式开板以来就表现亮眼，至今年6月30日已迎来301家企业上市。</p>\n<p>2019年全年有70家公司登陆科创板，包括金山办公、传音控股、澜起科技、华熙生物等；2020年145家，包括中芯国际、福昕软件、寒武纪、华润微、凯赛生物等；2021年上半年86家，包括天能股份、中网软件、生益电子等。</p>\n<p>2020年第二季度以来，科创板上市企业数量在整个A股市场上市企业数量占比一直维持在30%-40%上下，已然成为我国资本市场的重要组成部分。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e0a0f2f0a2c9de752697740e80f69462\" tg-width=\"1023\" tg-height=\"779\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>业内人士指出，科创板在上市条件更加多样化也更具包容性，发行定价环节也更加市场化，能够很好地适应不同类型、不同发展阶段科创企业的差异化融资需求。预计在下半年，科创板将持续保持活力，为整个A股市场贡献力量。</p>\n<p>国盛策略张启尧团队认为，随着市场资金由增量入场转向存量博弈，2021年下半年高增速是制胜关键，而眼下科创板就是A股增速最高的板块。</p>\n<p>另据德勤报告预计，下半年科创板和创业板均将会有180-210只的新股发行数量。其中，科创板融资额或达1300亿-1700亿元，创业板融资额或达1600亿-2000亿元。</p>\n<p><b>行业分布——食品饮料、医疗保健等板块态势见好</b></p>\n<p>亿欧EqualOcean统计发现，2021年上半年A股245家上市企业主要分布在<b>资本货物、材料II、技术硬件与设备</b>等领域。</p>\n<p>其中，资本货物的IPO数量和筹资额均列第一。该板块主要覆盖建筑与工程、工业机械、航天航空与国防、电气部件与设备等领域，包括天能股份、东威科技、科汇股份等共63家企业，IPO募资总额369.15亿元，占2021年上半年A股IPO募资总额17.50%。</p>\n<p>材料II板块覆盖多元化工、工业气体、建材等领域，包括联科科技、晶雪节能、江苏博云等共27家企业，募资总额160.56亿元，占比7.61%。</p>\n<p>技术硬件与设备板块覆盖电子元件、电子设备与仪器等领域，包括和辉光电、生益电子、达瑞电子等27家企业，募资总额267.66亿元，占比12.69%。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/532863e70d224c14b7a8113ab096afa8\" tg-width=\"1034\" tg-height=\"883\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51d20aedb320b2e59a99f133d166c8e0\" tg-width=\"1021\" tg-height=\"883\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>2020年，A股食品、饮料与烟草，医疗保健设备与服务，制药、生物科技与生命科学，汽车与汽车零部件，耐用消费品服装等板块涨势喜人。尤其是食品、饮料与烟草板块，医疗保健设备与服务板块，年度涨幅分别达到77.01%和73.93%。</p>\n<p>今年上半年，上述相关板块的态势依然见好。</p>\n<p><b>食品、饮料与烟草板块共有15家企业IPO，募资总额达到143.49亿元，占比6.80%。</b>其中，东鹏饮料和立高食品截至6月30日，股价涨幅均超过400%。</p>\n<p><b>医疗保健与服务，制药、生物科技与生命科学</b>，也依然是备受资本关注的赛道。特别是在全球疫情肆虐的大背景下，更多资本进入推高相关企业市值。这两大赛道<b>共有18家上市企业，共募集资金141.04亿元，占A股IPO募资总额6.69%。</b></p>\n<p><b>企业表现——涨幅最高达1356.01%</b></p>\n<p><b>截至6月30日，2021年上半年在A股上市的245家企业中，95%的企业股价上涨。</b>其中，涨幅超100%共有137家，占比超过55.92%；涨幅超500%的企业有11家，占比4.50%。仅有12家企业出现股价下跌。</p>\n<p>在涨幅100%以上的137家企业中，来自创业板和科创板的企业共有108家，占比78.83%，在245家上市企业中占比44.08%。</p>\n<p>其中，6月23日登陆科创板的微纳科技上市以来涨幅高达1356.01%，该企业属于制药、生物科技与生命科学板块。该板块2021上半年有18家企业上市，其中有17家来自科创板，上市以来平均涨幅超281%。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c221b7f2a7d818ce77684c3a47c51a9c\" tg-width=\"1020\" tg-height=\"883\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/644688fcab1b023fafd1dcfb1d51c4ae\" tg-width=\"1067\" tg-height=\"921\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>而上市以来股价跌幅前十的企业主要分布在沪深两市主板和创业板，仅一家企业聚石化学来自科创板。</p>\n<p>可见，<b>科创板与创业板上市企业整体表现较主板强。</b></p>\n<p><b>港股：中概股二次上市热潮持续</b></p>\n<p>2021年上半年港股市场IPO数量46家，同比下降22%；募资总额约2129.5亿港元，同比增长138%，创下历史新高。</p>\n<p>其中，<b>39家中资企业赴港上市，共募资2097.13亿港元，约合1817.063 亿人民币（按7月1日汇率）。</b>相比2020年同期的38家和约826亿元人民币，IPO数量基本持平，募资总额增长119.98%。</p>\n<p>综合IPO数量和首发募资总额来看，<b>制药、生物科技与生命科学</b>和<b>软件与服务</b>两大板块表现较突出，分别有7家和5家企业成功IPO，募得资金202.71亿港元和1024.84亿港元。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/431a49b8ff0d6098d54e99717216c2a0\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"933\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/23ed6805ab60f06b4055dff26f680d2e\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"933\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>在软件与服务赛道，快手、百度集团、哔哩哔哩、汽车之家4家企业募资规模在39家赴港上市中资企业中排名前十。<b>快手、百度集团、哔哩哔哩与京东物流，</b>还位列上半年全球融资规模前十榜单。</p>\n<p>这些巨头企业可观的募资额，推动了港股市场2021年上半年融资总额增长翻倍。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e41f3c53b400ae5b3383da998081a9b6\" tg-width=\"1021\" tg-height=\"883\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>近年来的港股热潮，源于一系列利好新经济成分的改革措施。港交所在2018年4月修改了上市机制，接受个人股东同股不同权架构的公司在港上市之后，陆续迎来了小米、美团、阿里巴巴等新经济公司入驻。</p>\n<p>2020年香港市场出现中概股二次上市浪潮并延续至今。Wind数据统计显示，2020年港股IPO发行规模达到3975.28亿港元，仅次于美股和A股，排名全球第三；前十大IPO中，中概股回归公司占据6席。</p>\n<p>而今，越来越多巨头企业选择赴港二次上市，比如全球最大的旅游零售运营商、免税巨头中国中免。中国中免于6月28日发布公告称，公司已于6月25日向港交所递交招股书。</p>\n<p>毕马威中国合伙人朱雅仪预计，<b>未来几个季度，港股医疗保健、生命科学、物流和供应链、及金融科技等新经济板块，新股上市活动势头将维持强劲。</b></p>\n<p><b>美股：超7成IPO中概股股价下跌</b></p>\n<p>2021年上半年，中资企业赴美上市热情空前，IPO数量和募资额度都较去年同期大幅上涨。这是<b>2019年至今，赴美IPO中资企业数量最多、融资额最大的一个半年度。</b></p>\n<p>截至6月30日，今年上半年赴美IPO的中资企业共有36家，其中有23家登陆纳斯达克，13家在纽交所登陆。首发募资总额为136.62亿美元，约合833.1亿元人民币（按7月1日汇率）。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3701e108f4e550347e3b116ca79250f4\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"653\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>这些上市企业中不乏备受资本市场关注的明星企业。比如6月30日上市的国内出行巨头滴滴出行，汽车领域的满帮集团、图森未来等，生鲜电商平台叮咚买菜、每日优鲜，再往前还有BOSS直聘、水滴公司、电子烟巨头悦刻的母公司雾芯科技、知乎等。</p>\n<p>上述明星企业均位列2021年上半年中概股募资额前十。从行业分布来看，融资额前十主要集中在软件与服务行业，共有7家；食品、饮料与烟草，多元金融，零售业各1家。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20cf6bf7560df89ae0e5891e6f7c7915\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"574\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>从首发募资总额来看，排名前三的行业分别为<b>软件与服务，食品、饮料与烟草，零售业。</b>值得注意的是，食品、饮料与烟草行业仅有雾芯科技1家企业IPO，但其首发募资额高达13.98亿美元。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e1ce0323249135e57f22e0d7025eaf3\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"922\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/470970f31dcf9aef7c957de60c5e3168\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"922\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>从企业上市后股价表现来看，<b>截至6月30日，36家中概股中6家股价上涨、28家下跌（6月30日上市滴滴出行和普普文化未录得股价涨跌数据）。</b></p>\n<p>涨幅超50%的企业仅有3家，其中图森未来涨幅最大，为78.10%，其次是叮咚买菜62.84%，知乎59.53%。</p>\n<p>有16家企业下跌幅度超30%，包括5月7日上市的保险科技平台水滴公司（-33.20%）和跨境电商平台洋葱集团（-38.14%），1月份上市的雾芯科技（-70.42%）等。</p>\n<p>尽管中资企业赴美融资热情不减，但目前来看市场表现不尽如人意。眼下，国内加强对赴美上市企业存在的数据泄露风险的管控，也给下半年赴美上市的企业带来了更多的不确定因素。</p>\n<p><b>结语</b></p>\n<p>回顾上半年IPO热潮，中资企业在全球范围内的资本市场表现出强劲实力。<b>2021年上半年上市企业融资额全球前十的企业中，半数企业来自中国香港和内地。</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3ce3186d8fcfbc58b32caf953225e9b3\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"573\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>展望2021年下半年，虽然美股由于监管加强存在较大不确定性，但A股和港股资本市场仍可期待。</p>\n<p>安永报告提到，截至6月21日，A股共有633家排队企业；其中科创板和创业板是上市的主力军，有55%的排队企业计划在创业板上市，23%的排队企业计划在科创板上市。</p>\n<p>德勤报告也指出，A股方面，随着科创板的稳定发行以及创业板的注册制改革， IPO数量会有较大增长，中小规模的制造和科技行业会在发行数量上处于领先。港股方面，预期2021年香港新股市场可融资超过4000亿港元，而中概股回港二次上市热潮仍将持续。</p>\n<p>*注：中资企业包括A股+美股中概股+港股中资股；其中，港股中资股包括H股、红筹股、中资民营股。</p>","source":"yow","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>上半年IPO盘点：A股95%上涨，港股募资翻倍，美股超7成下跌</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n上半年IPO盘点：A股95%上涨，港股募资翻倍，美股超7成下跌\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-08 12:55 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/c7tv_xfpLn8IjfDer9tHpg><strong>亿欧网</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>320家中资企业全球资本市场征战。\n\n6月30日，奈雪的茶高调登陆港股，首日破发，当日收报17.12港元，较发行价跌13.54%，引发二级市场“骚动”。滴滴出行则低调在美国纽交所挂牌，当日盘中一度上涨28.6%，最后收于14.14美元，市值678亿美元。\n一高一低之间，上半年中资企业IPO热潮终于迎来完美收官。而这两家企业的上市表现，也多少成了这次IPO热潮的缩影——在资本市场里，总是有人高歌狂欢...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/c7tv_xfpLn8IjfDer9tHpg\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/266ab84342c6ca65b538d0b42bc1dc4e","relate_stocks":{"399001":"深证成指","399006":"创业板指","HSI":"恒生指数",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","000001.SH":"上证指数",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/c7tv_xfpLn8IjfDer9tHpg","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1155545983","content_text":"320家中资企业全球资本市场征战。\n\n6月30日，奈雪的茶高调登陆港股，首日破发，当日收报17.12港元，较发行价跌13.54%，引发二级市场“骚动”。滴滴出行则低调在美国纽交所挂牌，当日盘中一度上涨28.6%，最后收于14.14美元，市值678亿美元。\n一高一低之间，上半年中资企业IPO热潮终于迎来完美收官。而这两家企业的上市表现，也多少成了这次IPO热潮的缩影——在资本市场里，总是有人高歌狂欢，也有人失望落寞。\n在全球经济稳步复苏的大背景之下，2021年全球IPO市场表现活跃。\n毕马威近期发布报告指出，上半年全球资本市场募资总额和上市总数分别为2100亿美元和1047家，较去年同期分别增长196%和134%。\n这其中，中国A股和中国香港市场贡献了关键力量。截至6月23日，在IPO募资总额排名前五的证券交易所中，港交所以260亿美元位列第三，上交所以206亿美元排名第四，仅次于纳斯达克和纽交所。\n在这排名前四的交易所里，随处可见中资企业身影。据亿欧EqualOcean统计，上半年IPO热潮中，共有320家中资企业在A股（245家）、港股（39家）、美股（36家）成功上市。\nA股：七成企业在科创板和创业板上市\n整体概况——IPO总数较去年翻倍\n2021年上半年，A股沪深两市共有245家企业上市，较2020年同期增加了126家，同比增长105.88%。首发募资总额达到2109.50亿元人民币，较2020年同期增长51.46%。\n从IPO数量和融资额度来看，在过去两年半，A股市场2021年上半年的表现仅次于2020年下半年。\n\n对于这场中资企业IPO热潮的成因，市场普遍认为是国内经济稳步复苏以及资本市场制度完善带来的积极影响。\n德勤中国全国A股市场华东区合伙人赵海舟指出，上半年A股市场IPO较去年同期活跃主要是新证券法实施、创业板注册制改革带来的成果。\n由于注册制审核程序相对简单，可以有效加快企业上市进度，同时，注册制之下企业上市门槛相对较低，一些营收少、利润低甚至亏损的企业，也可以在其他条件满足的情况下在科创板完成上市。因而，科创板和创业板也成为了众多企业的上市首选。\n从上半年IPO的245家企业分布板块来看，科创板和创业板在推动企业进入资本市场方面发挥了关键作用。在科创板和创业板上市的企业分别有86家和85家，合计171家，占IPO企业总数近七成（69.80%）；募集总额1235.57亿元，占比58.57%。\n值得一提的是，245家企业中，募资规模前十的企业有6家是在科创板和创业板上市。\n\n\n其实自2020年第三季度以来，科创板和创业板就成为企业A股IPO的主要发力板块。2020年Q3-2021年Q2，科创板和创业板IPO总数为118家，60家，69家和102家。占比分别为67.05%、59.41%、69.00%、70.34%。\n\n其中，科创板更是从2019年6月13日正式开板以来就表现亮眼，至今年6月30日已迎来301家企业上市。\n2019年全年有70家公司登陆科创板，包括金山办公、传音控股、澜起科技、华熙生物等；2020年145家，包括中芯国际、福昕软件、寒武纪、华润微、凯赛生物等；2021年上半年86家，包括天能股份、中网软件、生益电子等。\n2020年第二季度以来，科创板上市企业数量在整个A股市场上市企业数量占比一直维持在30%-40%上下，已然成为我国资本市场的重要组成部分。\n\n业内人士指出，科创板在上市条件更加多样化也更具包容性，发行定价环节也更加市场化，能够很好地适应不同类型、不同发展阶段科创企业的差异化融资需求。预计在下半年，科创板将持续保持活力，为整个A股市场贡献力量。\n国盛策略张启尧团队认为，随着市场资金由增量入场转向存量博弈，2021年下半年高增速是制胜关键，而眼下科创板就是A股增速最高的板块。\n另据德勤报告预计，下半年科创板和创业板均将会有180-210只的新股发行数量。其中，科创板融资额或达1300亿-1700亿元，创业板融资额或达1600亿-2000亿元。\n行业分布——食品饮料、医疗保健等板块态势见好\n亿欧EqualOcean统计发现，2021年上半年A股245家上市企业主要分布在资本货物、材料II、技术硬件与设备等领域。\n其中，资本货物的IPO数量和筹资额均列第一。该板块主要覆盖建筑与工程、工业机械、航天航空与国防、电气部件与设备等领域，包括天能股份、东威科技、科汇股份等共63家企业，IPO募资总额369.15亿元，占2021年上半年A股IPO募资总额17.50%。\n材料II板块覆盖多元化工、工业气体、建材等领域，包括联科科技、晶雪节能、江苏博云等共27家企业，募资总额160.56亿元，占比7.61%。\n技术硬件与设备板块覆盖电子元件、电子设备与仪器等领域，包括和辉光电、生益电子、达瑞电子等27家企业，募资总额267.66亿元，占比12.69%。\n\n\n2020年，A股食品、饮料与烟草，医疗保健设备与服务，制药、生物科技与生命科学，汽车与汽车零部件，耐用消费品服装等板块涨势喜人。尤其是食品、饮料与烟草板块，医疗保健设备与服务板块，年度涨幅分别达到77.01%和73.93%。\n今年上半年，上述相关板块的态势依然见好。\n食品、饮料与烟草板块共有15家企业IPO，募资总额达到143.49亿元，占比6.80%。其中，东鹏饮料和立高食品截至6月30日，股价涨幅均超过400%。\n医疗保健与服务，制药、生物科技与生命科学，也依然是备受资本关注的赛道。特别是在全球疫情肆虐的大背景下，更多资本进入推高相关企业市值。这两大赛道共有18家上市企业，共募集资金141.04亿元，占A股IPO募资总额6.69%。\n企业表现——涨幅最高达1356.01%\n截至6月30日，2021年上半年在A股上市的245家企业中，95%的企业股价上涨。其中，涨幅超100%共有137家，占比超过55.92%；涨幅超500%的企业有11家，占比4.50%。仅有12家企业出现股价下跌。\n在涨幅100%以上的137家企业中，来自创业板和科创板的企业共有108家，占比78.83%，在245家上市企业中占比44.08%。\n其中，6月23日登陆科创板的微纳科技上市以来涨幅高达1356.01%，该企业属于制药、生物科技与生命科学板块。该板块2021上半年有18家企业上市，其中有17家来自科创板，上市以来平均涨幅超281%。\n\n\n而上市以来股价跌幅前十的企业主要分布在沪深两市主板和创业板，仅一家企业聚石化学来自科创板。\n可见，科创板与创业板上市企业整体表现较主板强。\n港股：中概股二次上市热潮持续\n2021年上半年港股市场IPO数量46家，同比下降22%；募资总额约2129.5亿港元，同比增长138%，创下历史新高。\n其中，39家中资企业赴港上市，共募资2097.13亿港元，约合1817.063 亿人民币（按7月1日汇率）。相比2020年同期的38家和约826亿元人民币，IPO数量基本持平，募资总额增长119.98%。\n综合IPO数量和首发募资总额来看，制药、生物科技与生命科学和软件与服务两大板块表现较突出，分别有7家和5家企业成功IPO，募得资金202.71亿港元和1024.84亿港元。\n\n\n在软件与服务赛道，快手、百度集团、哔哩哔哩、汽车之家4家企业募资规模在39家赴港上市中资企业中排名前十。快手、百度集团、哔哩哔哩与京东物流，还位列上半年全球融资规模前十榜单。\n这些巨头企业可观的募资额，推动了港股市场2021年上半年融资总额增长翻倍。\n\n近年来的港股热潮，源于一系列利好新经济成分的改革措施。港交所在2018年4月修改了上市机制，接受个人股东同股不同权架构的公司在港上市之后，陆续迎来了小米、美团、阿里巴巴等新经济公司入驻。\n2020年香港市场出现中概股二次上市浪潮并延续至今。Wind数据统计显示，2020年港股IPO发行规模达到3975.28亿港元，仅次于美股和A股，排名全球第三；前十大IPO中，中概股回归公司占据6席。\n而今，越来越多巨头企业选择赴港二次上市，比如全球最大的旅游零售运营商、免税巨头中国中免。中国中免于6月28日发布公告称，公司已于6月25日向港交所递交招股书。\n毕马威中国合伙人朱雅仪预计，未来几个季度，港股医疗保健、生命科学、物流和供应链、及金融科技等新经济板块，新股上市活动势头将维持强劲。\n美股：超7成IPO中概股股价下跌\n2021年上半年，中资企业赴美上市热情空前，IPO数量和募资额度都较去年同期大幅上涨。这是2019年至今，赴美IPO中资企业数量最多、融资额最大的一个半年度。\n截至6月30日，今年上半年赴美IPO的中资企业共有36家，其中有23家登陆纳斯达克，13家在纽交所登陆。首发募资总额为136.62亿美元，约合833.1亿元人民币（按7月1日汇率）。\n\n这些上市企业中不乏备受资本市场关注的明星企业。比如6月30日上市的国内出行巨头滴滴出行，汽车领域的满帮集团、图森未来等，生鲜电商平台叮咚买菜、每日优鲜，再往前还有BOSS直聘、水滴公司、电子烟巨头悦刻的母公司雾芯科技、知乎等。\n上述明星企业均位列2021年上半年中概股募资额前十。从行业分布来看，融资额前十主要集中在软件与服务行业，共有7家；食品、饮料与烟草，多元金融，零售业各1家。\n\n从首发募资总额来看，排名前三的行业分别为软件与服务，食品、饮料与烟草，零售业。值得注意的是，食品、饮料与烟草行业仅有雾芯科技1家企业IPO，但其首发募资额高达13.98亿美元。\n\n\n从企业上市后股价表现来看，截至6月30日，36家中概股中6家股价上涨、28家下跌（6月30日上市滴滴出行和普普文化未录得股价涨跌数据）。\n涨幅超50%的企业仅有3家，其中图森未来涨幅最大，为78.10%，其次是叮咚买菜62.84%，知乎59.53%。\n有16家企业下跌幅度超30%，包括5月7日上市的保险科技平台水滴公司（-33.20%）和跨境电商平台洋葱集团（-38.14%），1月份上市的雾芯科技（-70.42%）等。\n尽管中资企业赴美融资热情不减，但目前来看市场表现不尽如人意。眼下，国内加强对赴美上市企业存在的数据泄露风险的管控，也给下半年赴美上市的企业带来了更多的不确定因素。\n结语\n回顾上半年IPO热潮，中资企业在全球范围内的资本市场表现出强劲实力。2021年上半年上市企业融资额全球前十的企业中，半数企业来自中国香港和内地。\n\n展望2021年下半年，虽然美股由于监管加强存在较大不确定性，但A股和港股资本市场仍可期待。\n安永报告提到，截至6月21日，A股共有633家排队企业；其中科创板和创业板是上市的主力军，有55%的排队企业计划在创业板上市，23%的排队企业计划在科创板上市。\n德勤报告也指出，A股方面，随着科创板的稳定发行以及创业板的注册制改革， IPO数量会有较大增长，中小规模的制造和科技行业会在发行数量上处于领先。港股方面，预期2021年香港新股市场可融资超过4000亿港元，而中概股回港二次上市热潮仍将持续。\n*注：中资企业包括A股+美股中概股+港股中资股；其中，港股中资股包括H股、红筹股、中资民营股。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":92,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":140153677,"gmtCreate":1625640217999,"gmtModify":1703745455893,"author":{"id":"3569299384564621","authorId":"3569299384564621","name":"jamiengan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/889f4395dbbcc2004e91811498c78b43","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569299384564621","authorIdStr":"3569299384564621"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/140153677","repostId":"1120175170","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1120175170","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1625616736,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1120175170?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-07 08:12","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"康诺亚-B一手中签率6.5%，认购70手稳中一手","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1120175170","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"7月7日，康诺亚-B发布公告，公司全球发售5826.45万股股份，其中香港发售股份2913.3万股，国际发售股份2913.15万股，另有15%超额配股权；发售价已厘定为每股发售股份53.3港元，每手买","content":"<p>7月7日，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02162\">康诺亚-B</a>发布公告，公司全球发售5826.45万股股份，其中香港发售股份2913.3万股，国际发售股份2913.15万股，另有15%超额配股权；发售价已厘定为每股发售股份53.3港元，每手买卖单位500股；摩根士丹利、中金公司及华泰国际为联席保荐人，预期股份将于2021年7月8日于联交所主板挂牌上市。</p>\n<p><b>老虎资讯整理相关数据如下：</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffe520ea4c4648301be1073719bc59d2\" tg-width=\"1059\" tg-height=\"824\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>分配结果：</b></p>\n<p>甲组每手500股，一手中签率6.5%，认购70手稳中一手。</p>\n<p>乙组头为10万股（200手），获配1000股（2手）。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e8bc94bdf351e1dd77892b82b696c82\" tg-width=\"584\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b7f4b3aff70b5b331701d85b7ec3616\" tg-width=\"579\" tg-height=\"716\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>国际发售项下初步提呈发售的发售股份已获大幅超额认购，相当于国际发售项下初步可供认购发售股份总数的约21.9倍。香港公开发售项下初步提呈发售的香港发售股份已获极大幅超额认购。合共接获249,663份有效申请，认购合共25.05亿股香港发售股份，相当于香港公开发售项下初步可供认购香港发售股份总数约429.97倍。</p>\n<p>根据相关基石投资协议及按发售价每股发售股份53.3港元计算，基石投资者已认购合共2767.15万股发售股份，合计占紧随全球发售完成后公司已发行股本约10.21%；及全球发售项下发售股份数目约47.49%(假设于各情况下超额配售权均未获行使)。</p>\n<p>按发售价每股发售股份53.3港元计算，并假设超额配售权未获行使，公司将收取的全球发售所得款项净额估计约为29.42亿港元。公司拟将全球发售所得款项约60%于未来三至五年内，将主要用于公司核心及主要产品的研发及商业化；约15%将用于公司其他在研产品的临床前评估及临床开发；约15%将用于集团新生产及研发设施的租赁付款，及购买机械及设备；及约10%将用于公司的一般企业及营运资金用途。</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>康诺亚-B一手中签率6.5%，认购70手稳中一手</title>\n<style 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}\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n康诺亚-B一手中签率6.5%，认购70手稳中一手\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-07-07 08:12</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>7月7日，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02162\">康诺亚-B</a>发布公告，公司全球发售5826.45万股股份，其中香港发售股份2913.3万股，国际发售股份2913.15万股，另有15%超额配股权；发售价已厘定为每股发售股份53.3港元，每手买卖单位500股；摩根士丹利、中金公司及华泰国际为联席保荐人，预期股份将于2021年7月8日于联交所主板挂牌上市。</p>\n<p><b>老虎资讯整理相关数据如下：</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffe520ea4c4648301be1073719bc59d2\" tg-width=\"1059\" tg-height=\"824\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>分配结果：</b></p>\n<p>甲组每手500股，一手中签率6.5%，认购70手稳中一手。</p>\n<p>乙组头为10万股（200手），获配1000股（2手）。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e8bc94bdf351e1dd77892b82b696c82\" tg-width=\"584\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b7f4b3aff70b5b331701d85b7ec3616\" tg-width=\"579\" tg-height=\"716\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>国际发售项下初步提呈发售的发售股份已获大幅超额认购，相当于国际发售项下初步可供认购发售股份总数的约21.9倍。香港公开发售项下初步提呈发售的香港发售股份已获极大幅超额认购。合共接获249,663份有效申请，认购合共25.05亿股香港发售股份，相当于香港公开发售项下初步可供认购香港发售股份总数约429.97倍。</p>\n<p>根据相关基石投资协议及按发售价每股发售股份53.3港元计算，基石投资者已认购合共2767.15万股发售股份，合计占紧随全球发售完成后公司已发行股本约10.21%；及全球发售项下发售股份数目约47.49%(假设于各情况下超额配售权均未获行使)。</p>\n<p>按发售价每股发售股份53.3港元计算，并假设超额配售权未获行使，公司将收取的全球发售所得款项净额估计约为29.42亿港元。公司拟将全球发售所得款项约60%于未来三至五年内，将主要用于公司核心及主要产品的研发及商业化；约15%将用于公司其他在研产品的临床前评估及临床开发；约15%将用于集团新生产及研发设施的租赁付款，及购买机械及设备；及约10%将用于公司的一般企业及营运资金用途。</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03b737852f586e2640047e4e68a010a4","relate_stocks":{"02162":"康诺亚-B"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1120175170","content_text":"7月7日，康诺亚-B发布公告，公司全球发售5826.45万股股份，其中香港发售股份2913.3万股，国际发售股份2913.15万股，另有15%超额配股权；发售价已厘定为每股发售股份53.3港元，每手买卖单位500股；摩根士丹利、中金公司及华泰国际为联席保荐人，预期股份将于2021年7月8日于联交所主板挂牌上市。\n老虎资讯整理相关数据如下：\n\n分配结果：\n甲组每手500股，一手中签率6.5%，认购70手稳中一手。\n乙组头为10万股（200手），获配1000股（2手）。\n\n国际发售项下初步提呈发售的发售股份已获大幅超额认购，相当于国际发售项下初步可供认购发售股份总数的约21.9倍。香港公开发售项下初步提呈发售的香港发售股份已获极大幅超额认购。合共接获249,663份有效申请，认购合共25.05亿股香港发售股份，相当于香港公开发售项下初步可供认购香港发售股份总数约429.97倍。\n根据相关基石投资协议及按发售价每股发售股份53.3港元计算，基石投资者已认购合共2767.15万股发售股份，合计占紧随全球发售完成后公司已发行股本约10.21%；及全球发售项下发售股份数目约47.49%(假设于各情况下超额配售权均未获行使)。\n按发售价每股发售股份53.3港元计算，并假设超额配售权未获行使，公司将收取的全球发售所得款项净额估计约为29.42亿港元。公司拟将全球发售所得款项约60%于未来三至五年内，将主要用于公司核心及主要产品的研发及商业化；约15%将用于公司其他在研产品的临床前评估及临床开发；约15%将用于集团新生产及研发设施的租赁付款，及购买机械及设备；及约10%将用于公司的一般企业及营运资金用途。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":50,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":159714839,"gmtCreate":1624979993021,"gmtModify":1703849462101,"author":{"id":"3569299384564621","authorId":"3569299384564621","name":"jamiengan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/889f4395dbbcc2004e91811498c78b43","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569299384564621","authorIdStr":"3569299384564621"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/159714839","repostId":"2147343850","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":35,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":140153677,"gmtCreate":1625640217999,"gmtModify":1703745455893,"author":{"id":"3569299384564621","authorId":"3569299384564621","name":"jamiengan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/889f4395dbbcc2004e91811498c78b43","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569299384564621","authorIdStr":"3569299384564621"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/140153677","repostId":"1120175170","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1120175170","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1625616736,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1120175170?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-07 08:12","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"康诺亚-B一手中签率6.5%，认购70手稳中一手","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1120175170","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"7月7日，康诺亚-B发布公告，公司全球发售5826.45万股股份，其中香港发售股份2913.3万股，国际发售股份2913.15万股，另有15%超额配股权；发售价已厘定为每股发售股份53.3港元，每手买","content":"<p>7月7日，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02162\">康诺亚-B</a>发布公告，公司全球发售5826.45万股股份，其中香港发售股份2913.3万股，国际发售股份2913.15万股，另有15%超额配股权；发售价已厘定为每股发售股份53.3港元，每手买卖单位500股；摩根士丹利、中金公司及华泰国际为联席保荐人，预期股份将于2021年7月8日于联交所主板挂牌上市。</p>\n<p><b>老虎资讯整理相关数据如下：</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffe520ea4c4648301be1073719bc59d2\" tg-width=\"1059\" tg-height=\"824\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>分配结果：</b></p>\n<p>甲组每手500股，一手中签率6.5%，认购70手稳中一手。</p>\n<p>乙组头为10万股（200手），获配1000股（2手）。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e8bc94bdf351e1dd77892b82b696c82\" tg-width=\"584\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b7f4b3aff70b5b331701d85b7ec3616\" tg-width=\"579\" tg-height=\"716\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>国际发售项下初步提呈发售的发售股份已获大幅超额认购，相当于国际发售项下初步可供认购发售股份总数的约21.9倍。香港公开发售项下初步提呈发售的香港发售股份已获极大幅超额认购。合共接获249,663份有效申请，认购合共25.05亿股香港发售股份，相当于香港公开发售项下初步可供认购香港发售股份总数约429.97倍。</p>\n<p>根据相关基石投资协议及按发售价每股发售股份53.3港元计算，基石投资者已认购合共2767.15万股发售股份，合计占紧随全球发售完成后公司已发行股本约10.21%；及全球发售项下发售股份数目约47.49%(假设于各情况下超额配售权均未获行使)。</p>\n<p>按发售价每股发售股份53.3港元计算，并假设超额配售权未获行使，公司将收取的全球发售所得款项净额估计约为29.42亿港元。公司拟将全球发售所得款项约60%于未来三至五年内，将主要用于公司核心及主要产品的研发及商业化；约15%将用于公司其他在研产品的临床前评估及临床开发；约15%将用于集团新生产及研发设施的租赁付款，及购买机械及设备；及约10%将用于公司的一般企业及营运资金用途。</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>康诺亚-B一手中签率6.5%，认购70手稳中一手</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n康诺亚-B一手中签率6.5%，认购70手稳中一手\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-07-07 08:12</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>7月7日，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02162\">康诺亚-B</a>发布公告，公司全球发售5826.45万股股份，其中香港发售股份2913.3万股，国际发售股份2913.15万股，另有15%超额配股权；发售价已厘定为每股发售股份53.3港元，每手买卖单位500股；摩根士丹利、中金公司及华泰国际为联席保荐人，预期股份将于2021年7月8日于联交所主板挂牌上市。</p>\n<p><b>老虎资讯整理相关数据如下：</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffe520ea4c4648301be1073719bc59d2\" tg-width=\"1059\" tg-height=\"824\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>分配结果：</b></p>\n<p>甲组每手500股，一手中签率6.5%，认购70手稳中一手。</p>\n<p>乙组头为10万股（200手），获配1000股（2手）。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e8bc94bdf351e1dd77892b82b696c82\" tg-width=\"584\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b7f4b3aff70b5b331701d85b7ec3616\" tg-width=\"579\" tg-height=\"716\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>国际发售项下初步提呈发售的发售股份已获大幅超额认购，相当于国际发售项下初步可供认购发售股份总数的约21.9倍。香港公开发售项下初步提呈发售的香港发售股份已获极大幅超额认购。合共接获249,663份有效申请，认购合共25.05亿股香港发售股份，相当于香港公开发售项下初步可供认购香港发售股份总数约429.97倍。</p>\n<p>根据相关基石投资协议及按发售价每股发售股份53.3港元计算，基石投资者已认购合共2767.15万股发售股份，合计占紧随全球发售完成后公司已发行股本约10.21%；及全球发售项下发售股份数目约47.49%(假设于各情况下超额配售权均未获行使)。</p>\n<p>按发售价每股发售股份53.3港元计算，并假设超额配售权未获行使，公司将收取的全球发售所得款项净额估计约为29.42亿港元。公司拟将全球发售所得款项约60%于未来三至五年内，将主要用于公司核心及主要产品的研发及商业化；约15%将用于公司其他在研产品的临床前评估及临床开发；约15%将用于集团新生产及研发设施的租赁付款，及购买机械及设备；及约10%将用于公司的一般企业及营运资金用途。</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03b737852f586e2640047e4e68a010a4","relate_stocks":{"02162":"康诺亚-B"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1120175170","content_text":"7月7日，康诺亚-B发布公告，公司全球发售5826.45万股股份，其中香港发售股份2913.3万股，国际发售股份2913.15万股，另有15%超额配股权；发售价已厘定为每股发售股份53.3港元，每手买卖单位500股；摩根士丹利、中金公司及华泰国际为联席保荐人，预期股份将于2021年7月8日于联交所主板挂牌上市。\n老虎资讯整理相关数据如下：\n\n分配结果：\n甲组每手500股，一手中签率6.5%，认购70手稳中一手。\n乙组头为10万股（200手），获配1000股（2手）。\n\n国际发售项下初步提呈发售的发售股份已获大幅超额认购，相当于国际发售项下初步可供认购发售股份总数的约21.9倍。香港公开发售项下初步提呈发售的香港发售股份已获极大幅超额认购。合共接获249,663份有效申请，认购合共25.05亿股香港发售股份，相当于香港公开发售项下初步可供认购香港发售股份总数约429.97倍。\n根据相关基石投资协议及按发售价每股发售股份53.3港元计算，基石投资者已认购合共2767.15万股发售股份，合计占紧随全球发售完成后公司已发行股本约10.21%；及全球发售项下发售股份数目约47.49%(假设于各情况下超额配售权均未获行使)。\n按发售价每股发售股份53.3港元计算，并假设超额配售权未获行使，公司将收取的全球发售所得款项净额估计约为29.42亿港元。公司拟将全球发售所得款项约60%于未来三至五年内，将主要用于公司核心及主要产品的研发及商业化；约15%将用于公司其他在研产品的临床前评估及临床开发；约15%将用于集团新生产及研发设施的租赁付款，及购买机械及设备；及约10%将用于公司的一般企业及营运资金用途。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":50,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":152597418,"gmtCreate":1625307934234,"gmtModify":1703740287782,"author":{"id":"3569299384564621","authorId":"3569299384564621","name":"jamiengan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/889f4395dbbcc2004e91811498c78b43","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569299384564621","authorIdStr":"3569299384564621"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/152597418","repostId":"1188153141","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1188153141","pubTimestamp":1625276221,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1188153141?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-03 09:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Suze Orman worries about a market crash — here's what you should do","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1188153141","media":"MoneyWise","summary":"As stock markets continue setting records, fallout from COVID-19 continues to create problems for th","content":"<p>As stock markets continue setting records, fallout from COVID-19 continues to create problems for the economy.</p>\n<p>That clash has worried investing experts, including Suze Orman, who's gone so far as to say she’s now preparing for an inevitable market crash.</p>\n<p>And a famous measurement popularized by Warren Buffett — known as the Buffett Indicator — shows Orman might be onto something.</p>\n<p>Here’s an explanation of where the concern is coming from and some techniques you can use tokeep your investment portfolio growingeven if the market goes south.</p>\n<p><b>What does Suze Orman think?</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be8dc3ad363faad96bc575a22235562d\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Mediapunch/Shutterstock</p>\n<p>Suze Orman has avidly watched the market for decades. She knows ups and downs are to be expected, but what she’s seeing happen with investment fads like GameStop has her concerned.</p>\n<p>“I don’t like what I see happening in the market right now,” Orman said in a video for CNBC. “The economy has been horrible, but the stock market has been going.”</p>\n<p>While investing is as easy now asusing a smartphone app, Orman is concerned about where we can go from these record highs.</p>\n<p>And even with stimulus checks, which are still going out, and the real estate market breaking its own records last year, Orman worries about what will come with the coronavirus — especially as new variants continue to pop up.</p>\n<p>What's more, she feels it’s just been too long since the last crash to stay this high much longer.</p>\n<p>“This reminds me of 2000 all over again,” Orman says.</p>\n<p><b>The Buffett Indicator</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44ada32ecadcc4581fed208f4f4e4d53\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Larry W Smith/EPA/Shutterstock</p>\n<p>One metric Warren Buffett uses to assess the market so regularly that it’s been named after him has been flashing red for long enough that market watchers are starting to wonder if it’s an outdated tool.</p>\n<p>But the Buffett Indicator, a measurement of the ratio of the stock market’s total value against U.S. economic output, continues to climb to previously unseen levels.</p>\n<p>And those in the know are wondering if it's a sign that we’re about to see a hard fall.</p>\n<p>How to prepare for a crash<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1ad912a6b4611d9e39b46d2851c78c9e\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Freedomz / Shutterstock</p>\n<p>Orman has three recommendations for setting up a simple investment strategy to help you successfully navigate any sharp turns in the market.</p>\n<p><b>1. Buy low</b></p>\n<p>Part of what upsets Orman so much about the furor over meme stocks like GameStop is it goes completely against the average investor’s interests.</p>\n<p>“All of you have your heads screwed on backwards,” she says. “All you want is for these markets to go up and up and up. What good is that going to do you?”</p>\n<p>She points out the only extra money most people have goes towardinvesting for retirementin their 401(k) or IRA plans.</p>\n<p>Because you probably don’t plan to touch that money for decades, the best long-term strategy is to buy low. That way, your dollar will go much further now, leaving plenty of room for growth over the next 20, 30 or 40 years.</p>\n<p><b>2. Invest on a schedule</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4102f8a6d5002090743b1cbded32ef9\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">katjen / Shutterstock</p>\n<p>While she prefers to buy low, Orman doesn’t recommend you stop investing completely when the market goes up.</p>\n<p>She wants casual investors to not get caught up in the daily ups and downs of the market.</p>\n<p>In fact, cheering for downturns now may be your best bet at getting a larger piece of very profitable investments — like some lucky investors were able to do back in 2007 and 2008.</p>\n<p>“When the market went down, down, down you could buy things at nothing,” says Orman. “And now look at them 15 years later.”</p>\n<p>She suggests you set up a dollar-cost averaging strategy, which means you invest your money in equal portions at regular intervals, regardless of the market’s fluctuations.</p>\n<p>This kind of approach is easy to implement with any of the many investing apps currently available to DIY investors.</p>\n<p>There are even apps that willautomatically invest your spare changeby rounding up your debit and credit card purchases to the nearest dollar.</p>\n<p><b>3. Diversify with fractional shares</b></p>\n<p>To help weather dips in specific corners of the market, Orman suggests you diversify your investments — balance your portfolio with investments in many different types of assets and sectors of the economy.</p>\n<p>Orman particularly recommends fractional-share investing. This approach allows you to buy a slice of a share for a big-name company that you otherwise wouldn’t be able to afford.</p>\n<p>With the help of apopular stock-trading tool, anyone at any budget can afford the fractional share strategy.</p>\n<p>“The sooner you begin, the more money you will have,” says Orman. “Just don’t stop, and when these markets go down, you should be so happy because your dollars find more shares.”</p>\n<p>“And the more shares you have, the more money you’ll have 20, 40, 50 years from now.”</p>\n<p><b>What else you can do</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e79c6fd1f8fa6e3a7c3a6c94f1e14b5\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">goodluz / Shutterstock</p>\n<p>Whether or not a big crash is around the corner, investors who are still decades out from retirement can make that work for them, Orman said in theCNBC video.</p>\n<p>First, prepare for the worst and hope for the best. Since the onset of the pandemic, Orman now recommends everyone have an emergency fund that can cover their expenses for a full year.</p>\n<p>Then, to set yourself up fora comfortable retirement, she suggests you opt for a Roth account, whether that’s a 401(k) or IRA.</p>\n<p>That will help you avoid paying tax when you take money out of your retirement account because your contributions to a Roth account are made after tax. Traditional IRAs, on the other hand, aren’t taxed when you make contributions, so you’ll end up paying later.</p>\n<p>If you find you need a little more guidance, working with aprofessional financial adviser, can help point you in the right direction so you can confidently ride out any market volatility.</p>\n<p>While everyone else is veering off course or overcorrecting, you’ll be firmly in the driver’s seat with your sunset years planned for.</p>","source":"lsy1621813427262","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Suze Orman worries about a market crash — here's what you should do</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSuze Orman worries about a market crash — here's what you should do\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-03 09:37 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/suze-orman-worries-market-crash-220000108.html><strong>MoneyWise</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>As stock markets continue setting records, fallout from COVID-19 continues to create problems for the economy.\nThat clash has worried investing experts, including Suze Orman, who's gone so far as to ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/suze-orman-worries-market-crash-220000108.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/suze-orman-worries-market-crash-220000108.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1188153141","content_text":"As stock markets continue setting records, fallout from COVID-19 continues to create problems for the economy.\nThat clash has worried investing experts, including Suze Orman, who's gone so far as to say she’s now preparing for an inevitable market crash.\nAnd a famous measurement popularized by Warren Buffett — known as the Buffett Indicator — shows Orman might be onto something.\nHere’s an explanation of where the concern is coming from and some techniques you can use tokeep your investment portfolio growingeven if the market goes south.\nWhat does Suze Orman think?\nMediapunch/Shutterstock\nSuze Orman has avidly watched the market for decades. She knows ups and downs are to be expected, but what she’s seeing happen with investment fads like GameStop has her concerned.\n“I don’t like what I see happening in the market right now,” Orman said in a video for CNBC. “The economy has been horrible, but the stock market has been going.”\nWhile investing is as easy now asusing a smartphone app, Orman is concerned about where we can go from these record highs.\nAnd even with stimulus checks, which are still going out, and the real estate market breaking its own records last year, Orman worries about what will come with the coronavirus — especially as new variants continue to pop up.\nWhat's more, she feels it’s just been too long since the last crash to stay this high much longer.\n“This reminds me of 2000 all over again,” Orman says.\nThe Buffett Indicator\nLarry W Smith/EPA/Shutterstock\nOne metric Warren Buffett uses to assess the market so regularly that it’s been named after him has been flashing red for long enough that market watchers are starting to wonder if it’s an outdated tool.\nBut the Buffett Indicator, a measurement of the ratio of the stock market’s total value against U.S. economic output, continues to climb to previously unseen levels.\nAnd those in the know are wondering if it's a sign that we’re about to see a hard fall.\nHow to prepare for a crashFreedomz / Shutterstock\nOrman has three recommendations for setting up a simple investment strategy to help you successfully navigate any sharp turns in the market.\n1. Buy low\nPart of what upsets Orman so much about the furor over meme stocks like GameStop is it goes completely against the average investor’s interests.\n“All of you have your heads screwed on backwards,” she says. “All you want is for these markets to go up and up and up. What good is that going to do you?”\nShe points out the only extra money most people have goes towardinvesting for retirementin their 401(k) or IRA plans.\nBecause you probably don’t plan to touch that money for decades, the best long-term strategy is to buy low. That way, your dollar will go much further now, leaving plenty of room for growth over the next 20, 30 or 40 years.\n2. Invest on a schedule\nkatjen / Shutterstock\nWhile she prefers to buy low, Orman doesn’t recommend you stop investing completely when the market goes up.\nShe wants casual investors to not get caught up in the daily ups and downs of the market.\nIn fact, cheering for downturns now may be your best bet at getting a larger piece of very profitable investments — like some lucky investors were able to do back in 2007 and 2008.\n“When the market went down, down, down you could buy things at nothing,” says Orman. “And now look at them 15 years later.”\nShe suggests you set up a dollar-cost averaging strategy, which means you invest your money in equal portions at regular intervals, regardless of the market’s fluctuations.\nThis kind of approach is easy to implement with any of the many investing apps currently available to DIY investors.\nThere are even apps that willautomatically invest your spare changeby rounding up your debit and credit card purchases to the nearest dollar.\n3. Diversify with fractional shares\nTo help weather dips in specific corners of the market, Orman suggests you diversify your investments — balance your portfolio with investments in many different types of assets and sectors of the economy.\nOrman particularly recommends fractional-share investing. This approach allows you to buy a slice of a share for a big-name company that you otherwise wouldn’t be able to afford.\nWith the help of apopular stock-trading tool, anyone at any budget can afford the fractional share strategy.\n“The sooner you begin, the more money you will have,” says Orman. “Just don’t stop, and when these markets go down, you should be so happy because your dollars find more shares.”\n“And the more shares you have, the more money you’ll have 20, 40, 50 years from now.”\nWhat else you can do\ngoodluz / Shutterstock\nWhether or not a big crash is around the corner, investors who are still decades out from retirement can make that work for them, Orman said in theCNBC video.\nFirst, prepare for the worst and hope for the best. Since the onset of the pandemic, Orman now recommends everyone have an emergency fund that can cover their expenses for a full year.\nThen, to set yourself up fora comfortable retirement, she suggests you opt for a Roth account, whether that’s a 401(k) or IRA.\nThat will help you avoid paying tax when you take money out of your retirement account because your contributions to a Roth account are made after tax. Traditional IRAs, on the other hand, aren’t taxed when you make contributions, so you’ll end up paying later.\nIf you find you need a little more guidance, working with aprofessional financial adviser, can help point you in the right direction so you can confidently ride out any market volatility.\nWhile everyone else is veering off course or overcorrecting, you’ll be firmly in the driver’s seat with your sunset years planned for.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":29,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":156344606,"gmtCreate":1625198747705,"gmtModify":1703738200563,"author":{"id":"3569299384564621","authorId":"3569299384564621","name":"jamiengan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/889f4395dbbcc2004e91811498c78b43","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569299384564621","authorIdStr":"3569299384564621"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow..........","listText":"Wow..........","text":"Wow..........","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/156344606","repostId":"2148873174","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":31,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":158082919,"gmtCreate":1625113825931,"gmtModify":1703736438755,"author":{"id":"3569299384564621","authorId":"3569299384564621","name":"jamiengan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/889f4395dbbcc2004e91811498c78b43","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569299384564621","authorIdStr":"3569299384564621"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/158082919","repostId":"1178516480","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1178516480","pubTimestamp":1625094708,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1178516480?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-01 07:11","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P 500 notches fifth straight record closing high, fifth straight quarterly gain","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1178516480","media":"Reuters","summary":"NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&P 500 nabbed its fifth straight record closing high on Wednesday as inves","content":"<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 nabbed its fifth straight record closing high on Wednesday as investors ended the month and the quarter by largely shrugging off positive economic data and looking toward Friday’s highly anticipated employment report.</p>\n<p>In the last session of 2021’s first half, the indexes were languid and range-bound, with the blue-chip Dow posting gains, while the Nasdaq edged lower.</p>\n<p>All three indexes posted their fifth consecutive quarterly gains, with the S&amp;P rising 8.2%, the Nasdaq advancing 9.5% and the Dow rising 4.6%. The S&amp;P 500 registered its second-best first-half performance since 1998, rising 14.5%.</p>\n<p>“It’s been a good quarter,” said Robert Pavlik, senior portfolio manager at Dakota Wealth in Fairfield, Connecticut. “As of last night’s close, the S&amp;P has gained more than 14% year-to-date, topping the Dow and the Nasdaq. That indicates that the stock market is having a broad rally.”</p>\n<p>For the month, the bellwether S&amp;P 500 notched its fifth consecutive advance, while the Dow snapped its four-month winning streak to end slightly lower. The Nasdaq also gained ground in June.</p>\n<p>This month, investor appetite shifted away from economically sensitive cyclicals in favor of growth stocks.</p>\n<p>“Leading sectors year-to-date are what you’d expect,” Pavlik added. “Energy, financials and industrials, and that speaks to an economic environment that’s in the early stages of a cycle.”</p>\n<p>“(Investors) started the switch back to growth (stocks) after people started to buy in to (Fed Chair Jerome) Powell’s comments that focus on transitory inflation,” Pavlik added.</p>\n<p>“Some of the reopening trades have gotten a bit long in the tooth and that’s leading people back to growth.”</p>\n<p>(Graphic: Growths stocks outperform value in June, narrow YTD gap, )</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5b82b4dfdc765d913811f9d8572e60f6\" tg-width=\"964\" tg-height=\"723\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">“The overall stock market continues to be on a tear, with very consistent gains for quite some time,” said Tim Ghriskey, chief investment strategist at Inverness Counsel in New York. “Valuations, while certainly high by historical standards, have been at a fairly consistent level, benefiting from the economic recovery.”</p>\n<p>The private sector added 692,000 jobs in June, breezing past expectations, according to payroll processor ADP. The number is 92,000 higher than the private payroll adds economists predict from the Labor Department’s more comprehensive employment report due on Friday.</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 210.22 points, or 0.61%, to 34,502.51, the S&amp;P 500 gained 5.7 points, or 0.13%, to 4,297.5 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 24.38 points, or 0.17%, to 14,503.95.</p>\n<p>Among the 11 major sectors in the S&amp;P, six ended the session higher, with energy enjoying the biggest percentage gain. Real estate was the day’s biggest loser.</p>\n<p>Boeing Co gained 1.6% after Germany’s defense ministry announced it would buy five of the planemaker’s P-8A maritime control aircraft, coming on the heels of United Airlines unveiling its largest-ever order for new planes.</p>\n<p>Walmart jumped 2.7% after announcing on Tuesday that it would start selling a prescription-only insulin analog.</p>\n<p>Micron Technology advanced 2.5% ahead of its quarterly earnings release, but was relatively unchanged in after-hours trading following the chipmaker’s quarterly results.</p>\n<p>Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.35-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.19-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 20 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 70 new highs and 36 new lows.</p>\n<p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.85 billion shares, compared with the 11.05 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P 500 notches fifth straight record closing high, fifth straight quarterly gain</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500 notches fifth straight record closing high, fifth straight quarterly gain\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-01 07:11 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-stocks/sp-500-notches-fifth-straight-record-closing-high-fifth-straight-quarterly-gain-idUSKCN2E619R><strong>Reuters</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&P 500 nabbed its fifth straight record closing high on Wednesday as investors ended the month and the quarter by largely shrugging off positive economic data and looking ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-stocks/sp-500-notches-fifth-straight-record-closing-high-fifth-straight-quarterly-gain-idUSKCN2E619R\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-stocks/sp-500-notches-fifth-straight-record-closing-high-fifth-straight-quarterly-gain-idUSKCN2E619R","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1178516480","content_text":"NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&P 500 nabbed its fifth straight record closing high on Wednesday as investors ended the month and the quarter by largely shrugging off positive economic data and looking toward Friday’s highly anticipated employment report.\nIn the last session of 2021’s first half, the indexes were languid and range-bound, with the blue-chip Dow posting gains, while the Nasdaq edged lower.\nAll three indexes posted their fifth consecutive quarterly gains, with the S&P rising 8.2%, the Nasdaq advancing 9.5% and the Dow rising 4.6%. The S&P 500 registered its second-best first-half performance since 1998, rising 14.5%.\n“It’s been a good quarter,” said Robert Pavlik, senior portfolio manager at Dakota Wealth in Fairfield, Connecticut. “As of last night’s close, the S&P has gained more than 14% year-to-date, topping the Dow and the Nasdaq. That indicates that the stock market is having a broad rally.”\nFor the month, the bellwether S&P 500 notched its fifth consecutive advance, while the Dow snapped its four-month winning streak to end slightly lower. The Nasdaq also gained ground in June.\nThis month, investor appetite shifted away from economically sensitive cyclicals in favor of growth stocks.\n“Leading sectors year-to-date are what you’d expect,” Pavlik added. “Energy, financials and industrials, and that speaks to an economic environment that’s in the early stages of a cycle.”\n“(Investors) started the switch back to growth (stocks) after people started to buy in to (Fed Chair Jerome) Powell’s comments that focus on transitory inflation,” Pavlik added.\n“Some of the reopening trades have gotten a bit long in the tooth and that’s leading people back to growth.”\n(Graphic: Growths stocks outperform value in June, narrow YTD gap, )\n“The overall stock market continues to be on a tear, with very consistent gains for quite some time,” said Tim Ghriskey, chief investment strategist at Inverness Counsel in New York. “Valuations, while certainly high by historical standards, have been at a fairly consistent level, benefiting from the economic recovery.”\nThe private sector added 692,000 jobs in June, breezing past expectations, according to payroll processor ADP. The number is 92,000 higher than the private payroll adds economists predict from the Labor Department’s more comprehensive employment report due on Friday.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 210.22 points, or 0.61%, to 34,502.51, the S&P 500 gained 5.7 points, or 0.13%, to 4,297.5 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 24.38 points, or 0.17%, to 14,503.95.\nAmong the 11 major sectors in the S&P, six ended the session higher, with energy enjoying the biggest percentage gain. Real estate was the day’s biggest loser.\nBoeing Co gained 1.6% after Germany’s defense ministry announced it would buy five of the planemaker’s P-8A maritime control aircraft, coming on the heels of United Airlines unveiling its largest-ever order for new planes.\nWalmart jumped 2.7% after announcing on Tuesday that it would start selling a prescription-only insulin analog.\nMicron Technology advanced 2.5% ahead of its quarterly earnings release, but was relatively unchanged in after-hours trading following the chipmaker’s quarterly results.\nAdvancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.35-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.19-to-1 ratio favored decliners.\nThe S&P 500 posted 20 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 70 new highs and 36 new lows.\nVolume on U.S. exchanges was 10.85 billion shares, compared with the 11.05 billion average over the last 20 trading days.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":23,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":869599925,"gmtCreate":1632300000067,"gmtModify":1676530746555,"author":{"id":"3569299384564621","authorId":"3569299384564621","name":"jamiengan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/889f4395dbbcc2004e91811498c78b43","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569299384564621","authorIdStr":"3569299384564621"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>","listText":"Wow<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>","text":"Wow$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/869599925","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":356,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":147392987,"gmtCreate":1626332933349,"gmtModify":1703758071793,"author":{"id":"3569299384564621","authorId":"3569299384564621","name":"jamiengan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/889f4395dbbcc2004e91811498c78b43","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569299384564621","authorIdStr":"3569299384564621"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/147392987","repostId":"1188379078","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":198,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":158277023,"gmtCreate":1625153287062,"gmtModify":1703737368955,"author":{"id":"3569299384564621","authorId":"3569299384564621","name":"jamiengan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/889f4395dbbcc2004e91811498c78b43","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569299384564621","authorIdStr":"3569299384564621"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/158277023","repostId":"1199212665","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1199212665","pubTimestamp":1625146084,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1199212665?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-01 21:28","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Expensive Tech Stocks to Buy in the Next Market Crash","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1199212665","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Get ready to buy Snowflake and two other hot tech stocks if this frothy market collapses.","content":"<p>Many high-growth tech stocks have seen price pullbacks over the past few months, due to concerns about higher bond yields, inflation, and decelerating growth for companies that benefited from the pandemic.</p>\n<p>That sell-off created some buying opportunities -- but some of the sector's pricier names merely pulled back slightly, held onto their gains, or even rallied. That relative strength is admirable, but it's a bit frustrating for investors who don't want to pay the wrong price for the right company.</p>\n<p>That's why I'm making a shopping list of expensive tech stocks which I'd eagerly buy during the next market crash. Let's take a look at three of those companies:<b>Snowflake</b>(NYSE:SNOW),<b>Twilio</b>(NYSE:TWLO), and&nbsp;<b>CrowdStrike</b>(NASDAQ:CRWD).</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fde232ce39d9cd52a01fd6ec018cae53\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p>\n<p><b>1. Snowflake</b></p>\n<p>Snowflake was one of the hottest tech IPOs of 2020, thanks to its jaw-dropping growth rates and big investments from&nbsp;<b>Berkshire Hathaway</b>&nbsp;and&nbsp;<b>salesforce.com</b>.</p>\n<p>Snowflake'scloud-baseddata warehouse pulls all of a company's data onto a single platform, where it can then be fed into third-party data visualization apps. Its service breaks down the silos between different departments and computing platforms, which makes it easier for large companies to make data-driven decisions.</p>\n<p>Snowflake's number of customers jumped 73% to 4,139 in fiscal 2021 (which ended this January), including 186 of the Fortune 500 companies. Its revenue surged 124% to $592 million, as its net retention rate -- which gauges its year-over-year revenue growth per existing customer -- hit 165%.</p>\n<p>That growth continued in the first quarter of 2022. Its revenue rose 110% year over year to $228.9 million, its number of customers increased 67% to 4,532, and it achieved a net retention rate of 168%.</p>\n<p>But Snowflake isn't profitable yet. ItsGAAPnet loss widened from $348.5 million in fiscal 2020 to $539.1 million in fiscal 2021, and<i>more than doubled</i>from $93.6 million to $203.2 million in the first quarter of 2022. It's also unprofitable on a non-GAAP basis, which excludes its stock-based compensation expenses.</p>\n<p>Analysts expect Snowflake's revenue to rise 88% this year, with a narrower loss. However, its stock still trades at 65 times this year's sales -- which indicates there's still far too much growth baked into the stock. But if Snowflake gets cut in half in a crash, I'd considerstarting a big position.</p>\n<p><b>2. Twilio</b></p>\n<p>Twilio's cloud platform processes text messages, calls, and videos within apps. For example, it helps&nbsp;<b>Lyft</b>'s passengers contact their drivers, and&nbsp;<b>Airbnb</b>'s guests reach their hosts.</p>\n<p>In the past, developers built those tools from scratch, which was generally time-consuming, buggy, and difficult to scale. However, developers can now outsource those features to Twilio's cloud service by simply adding a few lines of code to their apps.</p>\n<p>Twilio's revenue rose 55% to $1.76 billion in 2020. Its net expansion rate, which is comparable to Snowflake's net retention rate, reached 137%. In the first quarter of 2021, its revenue jumped 62% year over year to $590 million as it integrated its recent purchase of the customer data firm Segment.</p>\n<p>Twilio remains unprofitable on a GAAP basis, but its non-GAAP net income rose 62% to $35.9 million in 2020. In the first quarter of 2021, its non-GAAP net income rose another 15% to $9.6 million.</p>\n<p>Analysts expect its revenue to rise 44% this year, but for its non-GAAP earnings to dip into the red again amid higher investments and rising A2P (application-to-person) fees, which are now charged by carriers whenever an app accesses an SMS network.</p>\n<p>That near-term outlook doesn't look great for a stock that trades at nearly 30 times this year's sales. However, I still think Twilio has great growth potential, and I'd definitely buy its stock at a lower price.</p>\n<p><b>3. CrowdStrike</b></p>\n<p>CrowdStrike is a cybersecurity company that differs from its industry peers in one major way. Most cybersecurity companies install on-site appliances to support their services, which can be expensive to maintain and difficult to scale as an organization expands. CrowdStrike eliminates those appliances by offering its end-to-end security platform as a cloud-based service.</p>\n<p>CrowdStrike's growth clearly reflects its disruptive potential. Its revenue rose 82% to $874.4 million in fiscal 2021 (which ended this January), its number of subscription customers increased 82% to 9,896, and its net retention rate stayed above 120%.</p>\n<p>In the first quarter of fiscal 2022, its revenue rose 70% year over year to $302.8 million, its subscriber base expanded 82% year over year to 11,420, and it kept its retention rate above 120%.</p>\n<p>CrowdStrike also turned profitable on a non-GAAP basis in 2021, with a net profit of $62.6 million. Its non-GAAP net income rose more than fivefold year over year to $23.3 million in the first quarter of 2022.</p>\n<p>Those&nbsp;numbers are impressive, but CrowdStrike still trades at about 350 times forward earnings and more than 40 times this year's sales. Therefore, this is another stock I won't buy unless the market crashes.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Expensive Tech Stocks to Buy in the Next Market Crash</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Expensive Tech Stocks to Buy in the Next Market Crash\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-01 21:28 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/01/expensive-tech-stocks-to-buy-in-next-market-crash/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Many high-growth tech stocks have seen price pullbacks over the past few months, due to concerns about higher bond yields, inflation, and decelerating growth for companies that benefited from the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/01/expensive-tech-stocks-to-buy-in-next-market-crash/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CRWD":"CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.","SNOW":"Snowflake","TWLO":"Twilio Inc"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/01/expensive-tech-stocks-to-buy-in-next-market-crash/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1199212665","content_text":"Many high-growth tech stocks have seen price pullbacks over the past few months, due to concerns about higher bond yields, inflation, and decelerating growth for companies that benefited from the pandemic.\nThat sell-off created some buying opportunities -- but some of the sector's pricier names merely pulled back slightly, held onto their gains, or even rallied. That relative strength is admirable, but it's a bit frustrating for investors who don't want to pay the wrong price for the right company.\nThat's why I'm making a shopping list of expensive tech stocks which I'd eagerly buy during the next market crash. Let's take a look at three of those companies:Snowflake(NYSE:SNOW),Twilio(NYSE:TWLO), and CrowdStrike(NASDAQ:CRWD).\nIMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.\n1. Snowflake\nSnowflake was one of the hottest tech IPOs of 2020, thanks to its jaw-dropping growth rates and big investments from Berkshire Hathaway and salesforce.com.\nSnowflake'scloud-baseddata warehouse pulls all of a company's data onto a single platform, where it can then be fed into third-party data visualization apps. Its service breaks down the silos between different departments and computing platforms, which makes it easier for large companies to make data-driven decisions.\nSnowflake's number of customers jumped 73% to 4,139 in fiscal 2021 (which ended this January), including 186 of the Fortune 500 companies. Its revenue surged 124% to $592 million, as its net retention rate -- which gauges its year-over-year revenue growth per existing customer -- hit 165%.\nThat growth continued in the first quarter of 2022. Its revenue rose 110% year over year to $228.9 million, its number of customers increased 67% to 4,532, and it achieved a net retention rate of 168%.\nBut Snowflake isn't profitable yet. ItsGAAPnet loss widened from $348.5 million in fiscal 2020 to $539.1 million in fiscal 2021, andmore than doubledfrom $93.6 million to $203.2 million in the first quarter of 2022. It's also unprofitable on a non-GAAP basis, which excludes its stock-based compensation expenses.\nAnalysts expect Snowflake's revenue to rise 88% this year, with a narrower loss. However, its stock still trades at 65 times this year's sales -- which indicates there's still far too much growth baked into the stock. But if Snowflake gets cut in half in a crash, I'd considerstarting a big position.\n2. Twilio\nTwilio's cloud platform processes text messages, calls, and videos within apps. For example, it helps Lyft's passengers contact their drivers, and Airbnb's guests reach their hosts.\nIn the past, developers built those tools from scratch, which was generally time-consuming, buggy, and difficult to scale. However, developers can now outsource those features to Twilio's cloud service by simply adding a few lines of code to their apps.\nTwilio's revenue rose 55% to $1.76 billion in 2020. Its net expansion rate, which is comparable to Snowflake's net retention rate, reached 137%. In the first quarter of 2021, its revenue jumped 62% year over year to $590 million as it integrated its recent purchase of the customer data firm Segment.\nTwilio remains unprofitable on a GAAP basis, but its non-GAAP net income rose 62% to $35.9 million in 2020. In the first quarter of 2021, its non-GAAP net income rose another 15% to $9.6 million.\nAnalysts expect its revenue to rise 44% this year, but for its non-GAAP earnings to dip into the red again amid higher investments and rising A2P (application-to-person) fees, which are now charged by carriers whenever an app accesses an SMS network.\nThat near-term outlook doesn't look great for a stock that trades at nearly 30 times this year's sales. However, I still think Twilio has great growth potential, and I'd definitely buy its stock at a lower price.\n3. CrowdStrike\nCrowdStrike is a cybersecurity company that differs from its industry peers in one major way. Most cybersecurity companies install on-site appliances to support their services, which can be expensive to maintain and difficult to scale as an organization expands. CrowdStrike eliminates those appliances by offering its end-to-end security platform as a cloud-based service.\nCrowdStrike's growth clearly reflects its disruptive potential. Its revenue rose 82% to $874.4 million in fiscal 2021 (which ended this January), its number of subscription customers increased 82% to 9,896, and its net retention rate stayed above 120%.\nIn the first quarter of fiscal 2022, its revenue rose 70% year over year to $302.8 million, its subscriber base expanded 82% year over year to 11,420, and it kept its retention rate above 120%.\nCrowdStrike also turned profitable on a non-GAAP basis in 2021, with a net profit of $62.6 million. Its non-GAAP net income rose more than fivefold year over year to $23.3 million in the first quarter of 2022.\nThose numbers are impressive, but CrowdStrike still trades at about 350 times forward earnings and more than 40 times this year's sales. Therefore, this is another stock I won't buy unless the market crashes.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":50,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":158139633,"gmtCreate":1625134801522,"gmtModify":1703736837301,"author":{"id":"3569299384564621","authorId":"3569299384564621","name":"jamiengan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/889f4395dbbcc2004e91811498c78b43","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569299384564621","authorIdStr":"3569299384564621"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yes........","listText":"Yes........","text":"Yes........","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/158139633","repostId":"1106223449","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1106223449","pubTimestamp":1625122086,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1106223449?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-01 14:48","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The S&P 500 Notches Its Second-Best First Half Since the Dot-Com Bubble. What Comes Next.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1106223449","media":"Barrons","summary":"Since 1979, the S&P 500 has gained 10% or more 14 times during the first half of the year.\nThe S&P 5","content":"<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d70d0323609e9ce596a9a90e475422d1\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\"><span>Since 1979, the S&amp;P 500 has gained 10% or more 14 times during the first half of the year.</span></p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 closed its second-best first half since the dot-com bubble. Don’t be surprised if the stock market keeps on rising.</p>\n<p>With June coming to an end, the S&amp;P 500 finished the first half of 2021 with a gain of 14.4%. Since 1998, only 2019’s 17.4% first-half surge has been larger.</p>\n<p>The market got a boost from Covid-19 vaccinations, which have helped the U.S. economy reopen, while trillions of dollars of fiscal stimulus have helped shore up demand. The gains continued even as concerns about inflation have increased speculation that the Federal Reserve would be forced to take steps to slow the economy.</p>\n<p>The combination of big gains and a more hawkish Fed have raised concerns that the market has become too complacent. If inflation continues to run hot for long enough, the central bank could be forced to act more quickly than the market expects—and&nbsp;cause stocks to tumble. Others worry that&nbsp;U.S. economic growth could slow faster than investors anticipate, causing a pullback in the process.</p>\n<p>For those who take that view, there is no better time to back away from the stock market than the present. History suggests otherwise.</p>\n<p>Since 1979, the S&amp;P 500 has gained 10% or more 14 times during the first half of the year, and the index has gone on to average a 6.3% gain over the second half of the year. What’s more, the index finished the second half of the year higher In 11 of those instances, or 79% of the time.</p>\n<p>Even the losses, when they occurred, weren’t all that bad. The S&amp;P 500 dropped 1.9% in the second half of 1983 and 3.5% during the last six months of 1986.</p>\n<p>The one exception was the last six months of 1987 when the index fell 19% during the second half of the year. That period included Black Monday, when the S&amp;P 500 dropped 20% in one day, still a record loss. While selling linked to so-called&nbsp;portfolio insurance&nbsp;was ultimately blamed for the size and speed of the loss, the second half of 1987 was&nbsp;a period of rising bond yields and high stock-market valuations, just like the first half of 2021.</p>\n<p>Still, the market has been acting like it wants to go higher, not lower. Pullbacks, a normal event in the midst of bull runs, have been mild in 2021, with the largest drops being less than 4%. “What the [S&amp;P 500] has done throughout 2021 is pick itself up when and where it has needed to, maintaining an uptrend all along,” writes Frank&nbsp;Cappelleri, chief market technician at Instinet.</p>\n<p>That 6.3% average second-half rise would push the S&amp;P 500’s full-year gain to around 23%. That would represent a “textbook [market] recovery” from a recession, says Fundstrat’s Tom Lee.</p>\n<p>For now, at least, the path of least resistance is higher.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3cb229b2e05d59b9c126d464a7d771bb\" tg-width=\"958\" tg-height=\"647\"></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The S&P 500 Notches Its Second-Best First Half Since the Dot-Com Bubble. What Comes Next.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe S&P 500 Notches Its Second-Best First Half Since the Dot-Com Bubble. What Comes Next.\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-01 14:48 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/stock-market-futures-crash-gains-51625071996?mod=hp_LEAD_1><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Since 1979, the S&P 500 has gained 10% or more 14 times during the first half of the year.\nThe S&P 500 closed its second-best first half since the dot-com bubble. Don’t be surprised if the stock ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stock-market-futures-crash-gains-51625071996?mod=hp_LEAD_1\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stock-market-futures-crash-gains-51625071996?mod=hp_LEAD_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1106223449","content_text":"Since 1979, the S&P 500 has gained 10% or more 14 times during the first half of the year.\nThe S&P 500 closed its second-best first half since the dot-com bubble. Don’t be surprised if the stock market keeps on rising.\nWith June coming to an end, the S&P 500 finished the first half of 2021 with a gain of 14.4%. Since 1998, only 2019’s 17.4% first-half surge has been larger.\nThe market got a boost from Covid-19 vaccinations, which have helped the U.S. economy reopen, while trillions of dollars of fiscal stimulus have helped shore up demand. The gains continued even as concerns about inflation have increased speculation that the Federal Reserve would be forced to take steps to slow the economy.\nThe combination of big gains and a more hawkish Fed have raised concerns that the market has become too complacent. If inflation continues to run hot for long enough, the central bank could be forced to act more quickly than the market expects—and cause stocks to tumble. Others worry that U.S. economic growth could slow faster than investors anticipate, causing a pullback in the process.\nFor those who take that view, there is no better time to back away from the stock market than the present. History suggests otherwise.\nSince 1979, the S&P 500 has gained 10% or more 14 times during the first half of the year, and the index has gone on to average a 6.3% gain over the second half of the year. What’s more, the index finished the second half of the year higher In 11 of those instances, or 79% of the time.\nEven the losses, when they occurred, weren’t all that bad. The S&P 500 dropped 1.9% in the second half of 1983 and 3.5% during the last six months of 1986.\nThe one exception was the last six months of 1987 when the index fell 19% during the second half of the year. That period included Black Monday, when the S&P 500 dropped 20% in one day, still a record loss. While selling linked to so-called portfolio insurance was ultimately blamed for the size and speed of the loss, the second half of 1987 was a period of rising bond yields and high stock-market valuations, just like the first half of 2021.\nStill, the market has been acting like it wants to go higher, not lower. Pullbacks, a normal event in the midst of bull runs, have been mild in 2021, with the largest drops being less than 4%. “What the [S&P 500] has done throughout 2021 is pick itself up when and where it has needed to, maintaining an uptrend all along,” writes Frank Cappelleri, chief market technician at Instinet.\nThat 6.3% average second-half rise would push the S&P 500’s full-year gain to around 23%. That would represent a “textbook [market] recovery” from a recession, says Fundstrat’s Tom Lee.\nFor now, at least, the path of least resistance is higher.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":7,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":127431135,"gmtCreate":1624861819727,"gmtModify":1703846451085,"author":{"id":"3569299384564621","authorId":"3569299384564621","name":"jamiengan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/889f4395dbbcc2004e91811498c78b43","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569299384564621","authorIdStr":"3569299384564621"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"???","listText":"???","text":"???","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/127431135","repostId":"1163833569","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1163833569","pubTimestamp":1624860588,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1163833569?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-28 14:09","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is Another Housing Bubble Building?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1163833569","media":"thestreet","summary":"The price of housing has dominated financial news recently. For renters, the price of an average apa","content":"<p>The price of housing has dominated financial news recently. For renters, the price of an average apartment takes up an ever-greater share of personal income every year. This is particularly true in big cities, where a one-bedroom apartment can often cost between $2,500 and $3,000.</p>\n<p>But the real headlines have been in the market for single-family housing. In many communities home prices have increased by between 30% and 50% in just the past two years. This has led median prices for a starter home over $280,000 nationwide, and to nearly $500,000 in the towns and suburbs near major cities.</p>\n<p>OnReal Money, contributor Doug Kass takes a quick aim at spiraling home prices. “We need more lower cost homes to ease the intense upward price pressures but we know how difficult it is right now to deliver enough of them. More than 10 years of underinvestment because of the Fed-induced housing boom and bust means we need a lot more homes,” he writes.</p>\n<p>“I have been warning that much higher home prices (and reduced affordability) would create a cyclical peak in residential real estate (homebuilder stocks have begun to roll over recently),” Kass says.</p>\n<p>Is another bubble building?</p>\n<p>While there’s no way of knowing, one warning sign is the ratio of house prices to incomes. Credit standards have remained tight, and banks haven’t weakened their standards on down payments. That isn’t necessarily a good thing though.</p>\n<p>One of the biggest causes behind the housing crash of 2008 was the growing degree to which people struggled to keep up with their own mortgages in a highly overheated market that had sent prices climbing.</p>\n<p>As Kass points out in his diary, today prices aren’t just climbing, they’re soaring. Compared to 2008, buyers now have to spend more of their income keeping up with the minimum mortgage it takes to buy even a small house. They have to lay out more of their savings on the down payment.</p>\n<p>The ratio of house prices-to-household income is higher than it was going into the Great Recession. That isn’t necessarily a warning sign. But it isn’t good, either.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is Another Housing Bubble Building?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs Another Housing Bubble Building?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-28 14:09 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.thestreet.com/investing/is-another-housing-bubble-building><strong>thestreet</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The price of housing has dominated financial news recently. For renters, the price of an average apartment takes up an ever-greater share of personal income every year. This is particularly true in ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/is-another-housing-bubble-building\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/is-another-housing-bubble-building","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1163833569","content_text":"The price of housing has dominated financial news recently. For renters, the price of an average apartment takes up an ever-greater share of personal income every year. This is particularly true in big cities, where a one-bedroom apartment can often cost between $2,500 and $3,000.\nBut the real headlines have been in the market for single-family housing. In many communities home prices have increased by between 30% and 50% in just the past two years. This has led median prices for a starter home over $280,000 nationwide, and to nearly $500,000 in the towns and suburbs near major cities.\nOnReal Money, contributor Doug Kass takes a quick aim at spiraling home prices. “We need more lower cost homes to ease the intense upward price pressures but we know how difficult it is right now to deliver enough of them. More than 10 years of underinvestment because of the Fed-induced housing boom and bust means we need a lot more homes,” he writes.\n“I have been warning that much higher home prices (and reduced affordability) would create a cyclical peak in residential real estate (homebuilder stocks have begun to roll over recently),” Kass says.\nIs another bubble building?\nWhile there’s no way of knowing, one warning sign is the ratio of house prices to incomes. Credit standards have remained tight, and banks haven’t weakened their standards on down payments. That isn’t necessarily a good thing though.\nOne of the biggest causes behind the housing crash of 2008 was the growing degree to which people struggled to keep up with their own mortgages in a highly overheated market that had sent prices climbing.\nAs Kass points out in his diary, today prices aren’t just climbing, they’re soaring. Compared to 2008, buyers now have to spend more of their income keeping up with the minimum mortgage it takes to buy even a small house. They have to lay out more of their savings on the down payment.\nThe ratio of house prices-to-household income is higher than it was going into the Great Recession. That isn’t necessarily a warning sign. But it isn’t good, either.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":199,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":148460023,"gmtCreate":1626006077162,"gmtModify":1703751853778,"author":{"id":"3569299384564621","authorId":"3569299384564621","name":"jamiengan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/889f4395dbbcc2004e91811498c78b43","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569299384564621","authorIdStr":"3569299384564621"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/148460023","repostId":"1155854665","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1155854665","pubTimestamp":1625984095,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1155854665?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-11 14:14","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"盘点车圈上半年名场面：怒怼、维权、坐牢、割韭菜","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1155854665","media":"汽车公社","summary":"今年上半年，车圈都诞生了哪些印象深刻的名场面。","content":"<p>文/张之栋 北岸</p>\n<p>时间过得飞快，嗖的一下，就到了2021的下半年。正当我抱着瓜狂啃的时候，主编告诉我，眼下就要半年盘点了。</p>\n<p>刹那间，灵光闪现、思如泉涌，二话不说就接下了这个选题。心里暗想，这个我太熟悉了，毕竟加入公社半年，虽说文章没写多少，但该吃的瓜，一个都没落下！</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a35d833d633967eac4554e42050cf03d\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"259\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>什么？不能说吃瓜！那好吧，咱们就换一种思路，用更轻松的方式，来扒一扒今年上半年，车圈都诞生了哪些印象深刻的名场面。</p>\n<p><b>周鸿祎隔空“怼”了何小鹏</b></p>\n<p>时间轴拉回6月上旬，也就是合肥汽车蓝皮书论坛的那段时间。何小鹏在现场演讲时表示，“15万元是智能汽车的基础分水岭。在智能汽车领域，如果没有15万，是不可能真正把智能化做好的。”</p>\n<p>就因为这句话，何小鹏不仅上了热搜，还被360老总周鸿祎隔空怼了。大家都知道，红衣教主昔日一向爱开炮，怼天怼地怼同行，还说过 “马化腾在我眼里就是渣渣”、“我怼过的人，比你吃过的米都多”之类的犀利话。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a67dd47ec576bb7599f0a952922a5ec2\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"365\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>但是最近几年，他却不怎么爱怼人了。“那都是年少气盛的事儿”，虽然周鸿祎已经试着让自己不那么高调，但就在下场造车两个月以后，却被何小鹏的一番话刺激了神经。</p>\n<p>“15万元以下造不了智能车，这像外行说的，不像是做软件、互联网、IT出身的人说的话。” 7月2日，周鸿祎在一次小规模访谈中略带气愤的怼到，“你做不出来，不等于行业做不出来，不要太小看中国的制造业和中国的互联网行业这两个行业的结合！”</p>\n<p>红衣教主的意思显而易见，15万元以下的智能车，小鹏造不出来，但是360可以造出来。毕竟，他的360上半年才宣布与哪吒汽车联手造车，而据周鸿祎自己所言，其目的，就是要为人民造出10万元的智能车。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad696e141ee6dbcb1a8aba805d52e578\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"333\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>就这样，周鸿祎祭出了自己在汽车圈的第一场骂战。其实，何小鹏的言论想强调的，一是“智能化”的质量有高低之分，另一方面，则是低价后的“利润”，按照目前的造车成本，智能车的售价越低，意味着厂商很难从中赚到钱，遑论实现更健康的造车现金流。</p>\n<p>当然，周鸿祎之所以“怼”得如此理直气壮，也是有自己的底气的，原因之一，则是基于他对未来硬件成本缩减的行业预见。</p>\n<p><b>雷军造车1000亿，王传福：浪费啊！</b></p>\n<p>啊哈，终于到了本次盘点的励志环节了。为发烧而生的小米，从手机到造车的雷军，雷布斯的人生足够励志，那么他这人生中最后一次创业，又将会变成神马模样呢？</p>\n<p>在宣布造车计划之初，小米官方就给出了小米造车的既定目标：三年内造出第一款小米汽车，售价在10~30万元。</p>\n<p>但其所要面临的问题可能就是：米粉们会等待这三年吗？小米汽车会成为年轻人的第一台车吗？如何应对三年后竞争更加激烈的造车赛道？</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3545a7a91718aa76cb4b163aed4e554e\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"359\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>米粉有“粘性”，所以米粉们应该可以等待3年，但3年之后会不会买，还需要打个问号。至于会不会成为年轻人的第一台车，那得看是不是足够的标新立异。</p>\n<p>不出意外的话，小米造车势必也是会造一款智能电动汽车，而且在核心竞争力方面，肯定还是会延续小米手机的标签，主打性价比的牌子。总而言之，只要价钱合适，就肯定会有人买单，无论这个人是不是米粉。</p>\n<p>当然，面对雷总的“再创业”，还是有人泼冷水的，毕竟和华为相比，小米在品牌效应上也要弱上一些。6月10日，王传福就在亚布力中国企业家论坛上表示，“现在具有造车优势的企业并不多，雷总投1000亿进来，可能既亏了钱还浪费了时间。”</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2d9365e5dda3177c2e3f4cd006bcb519\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"314\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>这种“会亏钱，浪费时间”的论调，后来也容易被大家自然而然地解读为：王传福在劝雷军别去造车。虽然之后王传福也做出了相关澄清，但说者无意，听者有心。</p>\n<p>但是，小米从手机领域跨到造车领域，肯定会面临各种各样的问题。小米雷总说自己涉足汽车业，将会是人生中最后一次创业，希望三年之后，小米依旧是那个坚挺的小米。</p>\n<p><b>理想</b><b>：谢邀，座位没水银，没割韭菜</b></p>\n<p>虽说这次的座椅水银事件，比不了上次的割韭菜，但李想童鞋的言辞却是意外走红，以至于成为人们的饭后谈资。</p>\n<p>宝，你脑子里装的都是汞吗？</p>\n<p>是人为投毒，还是车主对理想的嫁祸，公安机关目前并未给出定论，甚至都没有立案。但，如果非要说一辆车在生产的过程中应用了水银，而且还在销售之后依旧被保留在车内，那么这个水银是被用来做什么的？车内温度计？保鲜？还是炼丹？</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be097b2bd180490639ae58110f64e395\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"125\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>“理想炒作论”认为，本次的座椅水银事件是理想主动进行的一次自我炒作，负负得正之下，借助一个弱者、受害者的身份，抵消掉刚刚不久前“割韭菜”所带来的负面影响。</p>\n<p>但关于本次事件是否真的是理想的自我炒作，这其中也并没有能够站住脚的证据，所以各位看官吃瓜，还是坐等后续比较好。</p>\n<p>另外，理想的割韭菜事件也是值得一提。一直想不通，为什么当初卖车的销售会坚定地表示不会有新版理想ONE发布，是真的不知道具体详情？还是为了清库存，故意做了隐瞒？</p>\n<p>而且，当消费者们维权上门的时候，理想就应该意识到“大事不妙”，以及“挨打要立正”。大方承认，认真改错，快速给出一个说法，提出可行性解决方案，似乎并不是一件很难的事，反而一拖再拖更容易造成较大的损失。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/065cf8711a361a64811dbffa1d7da21a\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"335\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>华为坚决不造车之灵魂论</b></p>\n<p>已经记不得华为说了多少次坚决不造车的话。但自打华为发布激光雷达开始，人们就对其想要造车的心思多有猜疑。</p>\n<p>今年的上海车展上，或许可以称得上是华为造车的首次亮剑。无论是华为自动驾驶技术加持下的极狐阿尔法S，还是华为试水卖车的赛力斯，两者都在华为的带动下，备受关注。</p>\n<p>或许正是因为华为的技术足够强，才让一些车企有了忌惮或是戒备之心。而上汽之所以讲出“没有灵魂”的话，可能也是因为不想把“核心地位”让出来。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e77babe9d9e5351bee1e98277d34ef3\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"271\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>首先需要明确的是，上汽陈虹的意思，并不是说与华为合作就没有灵魂，而是在这个软件定义汽车的时代，使用华为的全栈自动驾驶解决方案没有灵魂。而这也传递出一个信息，那就是传统车企们对技术供应商掌握核心技术的担忧。</p>\n<p>尽管国企、央企的体量足够大，但在技术爆炸的现在，落后就有可能被取代。而被新技术重新定义的汽车，软件成了核心，三电系统成了关键，自动驾驶成了闪光点，变得太多、太快，车企做得好的显然已经不是绝对的优势。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aeaa997e96f64f0a4b7b430eb9e8df1b\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"348\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>但话又说回来，车企如何才能保证自己是有灵魂的呢？难道要像通用那样，全资收购一家像Cruise的自动驾驶公司？</p>\n<p>又或者是牺牲掉一部分灵魂，就像上汽和阿里的合作一样，成立一家像智己汽车这样的全新品牌？借鸡生蛋？</p>\n<p><b>眼见她站车顶，眼见她被抬走！</b></p>\n<p>老调重弹，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>车顶维权事件恐怕是今年，甚至明年都难得一遇的名场面。</p>\n<p>今年4月份的上海车展上，身穿印有“刹车失灵”字样T恤的张女士，一跃站上了特斯拉车顶。据说就这么一站，特斯拉跌掉了近241亿美元，合人民币约1565亿元。</p>\n<p>然而，张女士站是站了，但抬也是真的被抬走了。这幅画面，在业界人士的心里，恐怕没个几年是不会抹平的。而特斯拉官方的接连回应，亦是惊呆了在座的各位吃瓜小伙伴。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b7d86daef1a559da8f5e0dc80e62942\" tg-width=\"540\" tg-height=\"405\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>特斯拉全球副总裁陶琳在接受媒体采访时表示：在车辆的使用环节，还需要加强消费者的教育，比方说我们现在其实需要去跟驾校、交通部门去合作，让大家了解新型汽车的使用方法，避免在使用环节当中的误操作。</p>\n<p>乍听，话没错。但仔细推敲，这似乎就有甩锅的嫌疑了。诚然，用户们不熟悉新型汽车的逻辑，但特斯拉就能保证自己的逻辑没有错吗？</p>\n<p>6月26日，国家市场监督管理总局发布公告称，特斯拉将召回部分进口和国产Model 3、Model Y电动汽车，总计约28.6万辆。而且公告显示，特斯拉本次召回车辆的原因是因为其主动巡航控制系统问题，易造成驾驶员误激活主动巡航功能，以至于在极端情况下存在安全隐患。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f01374a2ae5a8dbab8e8cd689496541b\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"419\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>这不恰好说明了，特斯拉“加速门”的真相，是源于特斯拉汽车在设计上的失误，导致驾驶者容易发生误操作所致的吗？科技滥用，要适可而止啊！把试错的成本放在用户身上，似乎并不算得上光明磊落吧。</p>\n<p><b>拿着芯片喊话的美国总统</b></p>\n<p>入主白宫不久，美国总统拜登就因一张照片上了全球热搜。照片里的他，手里拿着一枚芯片，向在场的所有媒体和白宫官员坦言，美国已出现了较为严重的缺芯危机，“而我手里捏着的，就是当下最紧缺的半导体。”</p>\n<p>今年第一季度，美国的汽车制造可谓屋漏偏逢连夜雨。就在全球持续闹“芯慌”的当下，美国中南部迎来了百年一见的致命暴风雪，导致大部分地区遭遇极端恶劣天气，部分半导体公司产能闲置，或将加剧芯片短缺。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e676b34d35d2ad83be0a6b7520bf2883\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"285\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>大半个美国被“冻住”了，拜登政府直接宣布德克萨斯等地进入紧急状态。此后，白宫签署了一项行政命令，政府将对关键商品进行全供应链审查，这一为期100天的审查，重点将聚焦到芯片等供应链的瓶颈问题。</p>\n<p>行至第二季度，拜登政府制定了长期的芯片供应计划，将为亚利桑那州的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">台积电</a>工厂以及<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SMSN.UK\">三星</a>在美投资120亿美元的工厂制定税收优惠措施。为了重振半导体芯片产业、为汽车、消费电子等行业提供生产端的芯片补给，拜登的首席经济顾问布赖恩·迪思甚至向台湾方面寻求帮助，试图解决半导体供应短缺的危机。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e884e343e78e98b9350fd4a070d9d274\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"367\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>美国，成了此次芯片危机的代表，今年上半年，拜登政府与国际伙伴和盟国进行频繁接触，鼓励他们采取措施解决短缺问题，但各方都承认，这并不是一场短期危机，未来必须采取更多措施，防止出现类似的短缺瓶颈。</p>\n<p><b>他，终于还是被逮捕了</b></p>\n<p>很难相信，昔日叱咤车圈多年、一度登上行业巅峰的祁玉民，隐退江湖之后，还是被难逃被逮捕的命运。说到上半年车圈的名场面，祁玉民被捕事件，其实也早在吃瓜群众的预料之中。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/174a7572471e0d100f484f75a6337edb\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"346\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>6月下旬，华晨汽车集团控股有限公司原党委书记、董事长祁玉民涉嫌受贿、挪用公款、国有公司人员滥用职权一案，由辽宁省监察委员会调查终结，移送检察机关审查起诉。朝阳市人民检察院依法以涉嫌受贿罪、挪用公款罪、国有公司人员滥用职权罪对祁玉民作出逮捕决定。</p>\n<p>被逮捕的前几天，祁玉民刚刚被开除党籍。</p>\n<p>实际上，自去年下半年开始，祁玉民及华晨集团就已经四面楚歌，现金流短缺、债务违约，高达一千多亿的负债，不断爆雷。及至后来，辽宁省政府决定亲自出手，对华晨进行司法重整，试图力挽狂澜，可惜华晨积弊已久，当真是无力回天。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d5436dac4cd7f7bcda2700d4d9b19daf\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"325\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>眼看他起高楼，眼看他宴宾客，眼看他楼塌了，最后，黯然离场。华晨是我国最先冲出国门在纽交所上市的汽车企业，经历高光无数，只可惜昨日的辉煌无法重现，千亿债务和基本面的一地鸡毛，祁玉民难辞其咎。</p>","source":"lsy1586587355866","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>盘点车圈上半年名场面：怒怼、维权、坐牢、割韭菜</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; 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}\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n盘点车圈上半年名场面：怒怼、维权、坐牢、割韭菜\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-11 14:14 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/vkYWx9n9hzJ0okxsEVzDKg><strong>汽车公社</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>文/张之栋 北岸\n时间过得飞快，嗖的一下，就到了2021的下半年。正当我抱着瓜狂啃的时候，主编告诉我，眼下就要半年盘点了。\n刹那间，灵光闪现、思如泉涌，二话不说就接下了这个选题。心里暗想，这个我太熟悉了，毕竟加入公社半年，虽说文章没写多少，但该吃的瓜，一个都没落下！\n\n什么？不能说吃瓜！那好吧，咱们就换一种思路，用更轻松的方式，来扒一扒今年上半年，车圈都诞生了哪些印象深刻的名场面。\n周鸿祎隔空“怼...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/vkYWx9n9hzJ0okxsEVzDKg\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a156941a54325800bb408656e08271ac","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉","XPEV":"小鹏汽车","01810":"小米集团-W"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/vkYWx9n9hzJ0okxsEVzDKg","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1155854665","content_text":"文/张之栋 北岸\n时间过得飞快，嗖的一下，就到了2021的下半年。正当我抱着瓜狂啃的时候，主编告诉我，眼下就要半年盘点了。\n刹那间，灵光闪现、思如泉涌，二话不说就接下了这个选题。心里暗想，这个我太熟悉了，毕竟加入公社半年，虽说文章没写多少，但该吃的瓜，一个都没落下！\n\n什么？不能说吃瓜！那好吧，咱们就换一种思路，用更轻松的方式，来扒一扒今年上半年，车圈都诞生了哪些印象深刻的名场面。\n周鸿祎隔空“怼”了何小鹏\n时间轴拉回6月上旬，也就是合肥汽车蓝皮书论坛的那段时间。何小鹏在现场演讲时表示，“15万元是智能汽车的基础分水岭。在智能汽车领域，如果没有15万，是不可能真正把智能化做好的。”\n就因为这句话，何小鹏不仅上了热搜，还被360老总周鸿祎隔空怼了。大家都知道，红衣教主昔日一向爱开炮，怼天怼地怼同行，还说过 “马化腾在我眼里就是渣渣”、“我怼过的人，比你吃过的米都多”之类的犀利话。\n\n但是最近几年，他却不怎么爱怼人了。“那都是年少气盛的事儿”，虽然周鸿祎已经试着让自己不那么高调，但就在下场造车两个月以后，却被何小鹏的一番话刺激了神经。\n“15万元以下造不了智能车，这像外行说的，不像是做软件、互联网、IT出身的人说的话。” 7月2日，周鸿祎在一次小规模访谈中略带气愤的怼到，“你做不出来，不等于行业做不出来，不要太小看中国的制造业和中国的互联网行业这两个行业的结合！”\n红衣教主的意思显而易见，15万元以下的智能车，小鹏造不出来，但是360可以造出来。毕竟，他的360上半年才宣布与哪吒汽车联手造车，而据周鸿祎自己所言，其目的，就是要为人民造出10万元的智能车。\n\n就这样，周鸿祎祭出了自己在汽车圈的第一场骂战。其实，何小鹏的言论想强调的，一是“智能化”的质量有高低之分，另一方面，则是低价后的“利润”，按照目前的造车成本，智能车的售价越低，意味着厂商很难从中赚到钱，遑论实现更健康的造车现金流。\n当然，周鸿祎之所以“怼”得如此理直气壮，也是有自己的底气的，原因之一，则是基于他对未来硬件成本缩减的行业预见。\n雷军造车1000亿，王传福：浪费啊！\n啊哈，终于到了本次盘点的励志环节了。为发烧而生的小米，从手机到造车的雷军，雷布斯的人生足够励志，那么他这人生中最后一次创业，又将会变成神马模样呢？\n在宣布造车计划之初，小米官方就给出了小米造车的既定目标：三年内造出第一款小米汽车，售价在10~30万元。\n但其所要面临的问题可能就是：米粉们会等待这三年吗？小米汽车会成为年轻人的第一台车吗？如何应对三年后竞争更加激烈的造车赛道？\n\n米粉有“粘性”，所以米粉们应该可以等待3年，但3年之后会不会买，还需要打个问号。至于会不会成为年轻人的第一台车，那得看是不是足够的标新立异。\n不出意外的话，小米造车势必也是会造一款智能电动汽车，而且在核心竞争力方面，肯定还是会延续小米手机的标签，主打性价比的牌子。总而言之，只要价钱合适，就肯定会有人买单，无论这个人是不是米粉。\n当然，面对雷总的“再创业”，还是有人泼冷水的，毕竟和华为相比，小米在品牌效应上也要弱上一些。6月10日，王传福就在亚布力中国企业家论坛上表示，“现在具有造车优势的企业并不多，雷总投1000亿进来，可能既亏了钱还浪费了时间。”\n\n这种“会亏钱，浪费时间”的论调，后来也容易被大家自然而然地解读为：王传福在劝雷军别去造车。虽然之后王传福也做出了相关澄清，但说者无意，听者有心。\n但是，小米从手机领域跨到造车领域，肯定会面临各种各样的问题。小米雷总说自己涉足汽车业，将会是人生中最后一次创业，希望三年之后，小米依旧是那个坚挺的小米。\n理想：谢邀，座位没水银，没割韭菜\n虽说这次的座椅水银事件，比不了上次的割韭菜，但李想童鞋的言辞却是意外走红，以至于成为人们的饭后谈资。\n宝，你脑子里装的都是汞吗？\n是人为投毒，还是车主对理想的嫁祸，公安机关目前并未给出定论，甚至都没有立案。但，如果非要说一辆车在生产的过程中应用了水银，而且还在销售之后依旧被保留在车内，那么这个水银是被用来做什么的？车内温度计？保鲜？还是炼丹？\n\n“理想炒作论”认为，本次的座椅水银事件是理想主动进行的一次自我炒作，负负得正之下，借助一个弱者、受害者的身份，抵消掉刚刚不久前“割韭菜”所带来的负面影响。\n但关于本次事件是否真的是理想的自我炒作，这其中也并没有能够站住脚的证据，所以各位看官吃瓜，还是坐等后续比较好。\n另外，理想的割韭菜事件也是值得一提。一直想不通，为什么当初卖车的销售会坚定地表示不会有新版理想ONE发布，是真的不知道具体详情？还是为了清库存，故意做了隐瞒？\n而且，当消费者们维权上门的时候，理想就应该意识到“大事不妙”，以及“挨打要立正”。大方承认，认真改错，快速给出一个说法，提出可行性解决方案，似乎并不是一件很难的事，反而一拖再拖更容易造成较大的损失。\n\n华为坚决不造车之灵魂论\n已经记不得华为说了多少次坚决不造车的话。但自打华为发布激光雷达开始，人们就对其想要造车的心思多有猜疑。\n今年的上海车展上，或许可以称得上是华为造车的首次亮剑。无论是华为自动驾驶技术加持下的极狐阿尔法S，还是华为试水卖车的赛力斯，两者都在华为的带动下，备受关注。\n或许正是因为华为的技术足够强，才让一些车企有了忌惮或是戒备之心。而上汽之所以讲出“没有灵魂”的话，可能也是因为不想把“核心地位”让出来。\n\n首先需要明确的是，上汽陈虹的意思，并不是说与华为合作就没有灵魂，而是在这个软件定义汽车的时代，使用华为的全栈自动驾驶解决方案没有灵魂。而这也传递出一个信息，那就是传统车企们对技术供应商掌握核心技术的担忧。\n尽管国企、央企的体量足够大，但在技术爆炸的现在，落后就有可能被取代。而被新技术重新定义的汽车，软件成了核心，三电系统成了关键，自动驾驶成了闪光点，变得太多、太快，车企做得好的显然已经不是绝对的优势。\n\n但话又说回来，车企如何才能保证自己是有灵魂的呢？难道要像通用那样，全资收购一家像Cruise的自动驾驶公司？\n又或者是牺牲掉一部分灵魂，就像上汽和阿里的合作一样，成立一家像智己汽车这样的全新品牌？借鸡生蛋？\n眼见她站车顶，眼见她被抬走！\n老调重弹，特斯拉车顶维权事件恐怕是今年，甚至明年都难得一遇的名场面。\n今年4月份的上海车展上，身穿印有“刹车失灵”字样T恤的张女士，一跃站上了特斯拉车顶。据说就这么一站，特斯拉跌掉了近241亿美元，合人民币约1565亿元。\n然而，张女士站是站了，但抬也是真的被抬走了。这幅画面，在业界人士的心里，恐怕没个几年是不会抹平的。而特斯拉官方的接连回应，亦是惊呆了在座的各位吃瓜小伙伴。\n\n特斯拉全球副总裁陶琳在接受媒体采访时表示：在车辆的使用环节，还需要加强消费者的教育，比方说我们现在其实需要去跟驾校、交通部门去合作，让大家了解新型汽车的使用方法，避免在使用环节当中的误操作。\n乍听，话没错。但仔细推敲，这似乎就有甩锅的嫌疑了。诚然，用户们不熟悉新型汽车的逻辑，但特斯拉就能保证自己的逻辑没有错吗？\n6月26日，国家市场监督管理总局发布公告称，特斯拉将召回部分进口和国产Model 3、Model Y电动汽车，总计约28.6万辆。而且公告显示，特斯拉本次召回车辆的原因是因为其主动巡航控制系统问题，易造成驾驶员误激活主动巡航功能，以至于在极端情况下存在安全隐患。\n\n这不恰好说明了，特斯拉“加速门”的真相，是源于特斯拉汽车在设计上的失误，导致驾驶者容易发生误操作所致的吗？科技滥用，要适可而止啊！把试错的成本放在用户身上，似乎并不算得上光明磊落吧。\n拿着芯片喊话的美国总统\n入主白宫不久，美国总统拜登就因一张照片上了全球热搜。照片里的他，手里拿着一枚芯片，向在场的所有媒体和白宫官员坦言，美国已出现了较为严重的缺芯危机，“而我手里捏着的，就是当下最紧缺的半导体。”\n今年第一季度，美国的汽车制造可谓屋漏偏逢连夜雨。就在全球持续闹“芯慌”的当下，美国中南部迎来了百年一见的致命暴风雪，导致大部分地区遭遇极端恶劣天气，部分半导体公司产能闲置，或将加剧芯片短缺。\n\n大半个美国被“冻住”了，拜登政府直接宣布德克萨斯等地进入紧急状态。此后，白宫签署了一项行政命令，政府将对关键商品进行全供应链审查，这一为期100天的审查，重点将聚焦到芯片等供应链的瓶颈问题。\n行至第二季度，拜登政府制定了长期的芯片供应计划，将为亚利桑那州的台积电工厂以及三星在美投资120亿美元的工厂制定税收优惠措施。为了重振半导体芯片产业、为汽车、消费电子等行业提供生产端的芯片补给，拜登的首席经济顾问布赖恩·迪思甚至向台湾方面寻求帮助，试图解决半导体供应短缺的危机。\n\n美国，成了此次芯片危机的代表，今年上半年，拜登政府与国际伙伴和盟国进行频繁接触，鼓励他们采取措施解决短缺问题，但各方都承认，这并不是一场短期危机，未来必须采取更多措施，防止出现类似的短缺瓶颈。\n他，终于还是被逮捕了\n很难相信，昔日叱咤车圈多年、一度登上行业巅峰的祁玉民，隐退江湖之后，还是被难逃被逮捕的命运。说到上半年车圈的名场面，祁玉民被捕事件，其实也早在吃瓜群众的预料之中。\n\n6月下旬，华晨汽车集团控股有限公司原党委书记、董事长祁玉民涉嫌受贿、挪用公款、国有公司人员滥用职权一案，由辽宁省监察委员会调查终结，移送检察机关审查起诉。朝阳市人民检察院依法以涉嫌受贿罪、挪用公款罪、国有公司人员滥用职权罪对祁玉民作出逮捕决定。\n被逮捕的前几天，祁玉民刚刚被开除党籍。\n实际上，自去年下半年开始，祁玉民及华晨集团就已经四面楚歌，现金流短缺、债务违约，高达一千多亿的负债，不断爆雷。及至后来，辽宁省政府决定亲自出手，对华晨进行司法重整，试图力挽狂澜，可惜华晨积弊已久，当真是无力回天。\n\n眼看他起高楼，眼看他宴宾客，眼看他楼塌了，最后，黯然离场。华晨是我国最先冲出国门在纽交所上市的汽车企业，经历高光无数，只可惜昨日的辉煌无法重现，千亿债务和基本面的一地鸡毛，祁玉民难辞其咎。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":191,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":833901749,"gmtCreate":1629193706981,"gmtModify":1676529961209,"author":{"id":"3569299384564621","authorId":"3569299384564621","name":"jamiengan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/889f4395dbbcc2004e91811498c78b43","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569299384564621","authorIdStr":"3569299384564621"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"???","listText":"???","text":"???","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/833901749","repostId":"1110577100","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":273,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":170198995,"gmtCreate":1626410014717,"gmtModify":1703759628058,"author":{"id":"3569299384564621","authorId":"3569299384564621","name":"jamiengan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/889f4395dbbcc2004e91811498c78b43","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569299384564621","authorIdStr":"3569299384564621"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/170198995","repostId":"2151261135","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2151261135","pubTimestamp":1626409687,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2151261135?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-16 12:28","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"缺“芯”的拐点要来了？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2151261135","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"销量暴涨的新能源车因为缺芯几乎要面临停工停产的危机，最近屡屡传出汽车厂商都有自己建设晶圆厂了念头了，全球的分析师都在关注半导体供需平衡与库存修正将在何时发生，更有一个指标历史上7次准确预言了半导体景气","content":"<p>销量暴涨的新能源车因为缺芯几乎要面临停工停产的危机，最近屡屡传出汽车厂商都有自己建设晶圆厂了念头了，全球的分析师都在关注半导体供需平衡与库存修正将在何时发生，更有一个指标历史上7次准确预言了半导体景气度的拐点。</p>\n<p><b>华尔街见闻·见智研究所通过分析半导体的周期来解答以下问题：缺芯何时缓解？当下是国产替代的机遇？预示危机的指标又是什么？</b></p>\n<h2>一、从供需错配到再平衡</h2>\n<p><b>1、为什么缺芯？</b></p>\n<p>缺芯缺产能的底层逻辑就是芯片的供给小于需求。从2021年开始全球半导体的供给进入瓶颈期，而伴随着下游需求的爆发式增长，导致半导体行业出现严重缺货的现象。</p>\n<p>国际半导体产业协会SEMI预测，今年是由于云端服务器笔记本电脑、游戏及医疗科技需求成长，5G、物联网汽车及人工智能快速发展，带动了产业的景气度。<b>这其中新能源车和物联网市场是两个增长最快速的变量，新能源车行业五年的复合增速高达41.53%，</b>而手机和电脑依旧是半导体需求端体量最大的，但预期近五年增速较新兴行业低很多。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b0897af5cb718219f5e303f10173b62\" tg-width=\"376\" tg-height=\"193\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>2、2022年缺芯将缓解?</b></p>\n<p><b>Gartner预测：全球半导体供应短缺将持续整个2021年，并在2022年第二季度恢复至正常水平，而基板产能限制可能会延长到2022年第四季度。</b>也就是说在此之前，半导体还会伴随着长时间的芯片短缺，涨价函依旧会接踵而至。</p>\n<p>从半导体的供需周期来看，在2021年下半年伴随着晶圆厂的设备安装，龙头厂商预期最快2022年开始才能够释放出新产能，这其中包括<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UMC\">联电</a>、格芯、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SMI\">中芯国际</a>等晶圆代工厂，而<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">台积电</a>的大批量产能预期在2023年后才能逐步落地，所以半导体行业还需要一个较长的时间周期才重新达到供需平衡。</p>\n<p><b>3、产业链延续涨价？</b></p>\n<p><b>因为供需的错配，产能的紧缺以及扩产带来的成本增加都会相继增加产品的溢价。</b>而涨价直接的好处是给了厂商定价权，出厂价格高了，企业的盈利能力会很大程度提高。但是有一点不能忽略：厂商处于产业链什么位置很关键。如果是处于生产加工的下游，那么原材料成本的提价也要考虑进去。在21年全球大多数晶圆厂、材料以及封测都相继提高了两成左右的价格，龙头厂的订单都排至了2022年。从今年6月份开始10多家厂商陆续发布下半年涨价函，<b>消息指出预计涨价将持续到2022年。</b></p>\n<p>台媒《经济日报》6月24日报道称，IC设计业者透露，明年初晶圆代工价格已经敲定，不仅联电8英寸和12英寸的晶圆代工价格续涨，晶圆代工龙头台积电也涨价，部分8英寸和12英寸制程价格上涨一到两成，<b>且12英寸制程涨幅高于8英寸。</b></p>\n<h2>二、全球扩张下的国产替代机遇</h2>\n<p>世界半导体贸易统计组织（WSTS）预测，2021年全球半导体市场增速将达19.7%， 2022年半导体市场将增长8.8%，连续两年创历史新高。</p>\n<p><b>Gartner预测：中国半导体企业到2025年市场的市场份额将从当下的15%提升至30%，近五年中国半导体将会快速渗透。</b></p>\n<p><b>全球晶圆厂最新扩建计划，中国是首位？</b>今年6月份国际半导体产业协会SEMI发布报告称2021-2022年全球半导体制造商新增29座晶圆厂，<b>分别于2021年建设19座，2022年再增加10座。</b></p>\n<p>从SEMI给出的数据来看，<b>中国大陆和台湾地区两年间增加的晶圆厂数量是全球首位，共计16座，</b>其次是美国4座，欧洲和中东一共增加3座，日本和韩国各两座。全部投产后，每月可生产260万片等效200mm晶圆。<b>考虑到新增的晶圆厂建设周期较长，预计从2023年开始新增晶圆厂开始大幅采购半导体设备。</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/228b84b60813b81b51450594568779e2\" tg-width=\"724\" tg-height=\"361\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>那么国内半导体行业有存在怎样的机遇呢？华尔街见闻·见智研究所对四大行业的格局进行了分析。</p>\n<p><b>1、晶圆厂格局</b></p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SMSN.UK\">三星</a>是全球市占率最大的晶圆厂，达到14.7%，折算约310万片/月的产能；其次是台积电市占率为13.1%，约270万片/月产能。美光和SK海力士位居第三、第四，市占率在9%左右，每家产能约为190万片/月。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/688981\">中芯国际</a>的产能约为54万片/月，在全球排名前十二。（产能按8英寸折算）</p>\n<p>行业内5家最大的纯晶圆代工厂——台积电、联电、格芯、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00981\">中芯国际</a>和力晶（包括Nexchip）约占全球晶圆代工厂总产能的24％，行业集中度非常高。<b>国内晶圆厂预计21年新增的产能75万片/月（按 8 英寸折算），其中新增产能的前三位分别是长江存储、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01347\">华虹半导体</a>和中芯国际。</b></p>\n<p><b>2、设备厂格局</b></p>\n<p>从设备类型的市场占比情况来看，<b>前道晶圆制造设备占主要比重，高达80%，这其中主要包括刻蚀机、薄膜沉积设备和光刻机；其次封装和测试设备的占比比较小，分别为10%和8%。</b>前道晶圆设备龙头包括泛林半导体、TEL、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMAT\">应用材料</a>、ASML几乎是垄断了全球九成的份额。</p>\n<p>在国内的公司中，<b>刻蚀机设备</b>主要是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002371\">北方华创</a>和中微半导体。两个公司目前是差异化的布局，不存在直接竞争关系。北方华创的优势在于长硅刻蚀和金属刻蚀，而<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/688012\">中微公司</a>的优势在于长介质刻蚀。</p>\n<p><b>沉积设备：</b>主要是北方华创和沈阳拓荆，两者在ALD和PVD方面存在一定程度的竞争，而在化学气相沉积方面只有沈阳拓荆在做，在今年7月12日沈阳拓荆在科创板IPO申请也已经获受理了。</p>\n<p><b>光刻设备：</b>上海微电子已经突破了光刻机90/65的技术节点；沈阳芯源突破涂胶显影机90/65的技术节点。</p>\n<p><b>3、封测厂格局</b></p>\n<p>全球封测市场中CR3占比约六成，集中度很高，日月光占比就达到三成以上，其次是安靠和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600584\">长电科技</a>约一成以上，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002156\">通富微电</a>位居第五，市占率约4.4%。长电科技背靠中芯国际，通富微电背靠<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">AMD</a>。</p>\n<p><b>4、光刻胶格局</b></p>\n<p>半导体光刻胶主要分为四种类型，g线、i线、KrF线和ArF线。<b>就占比情况来看ArF线占比最大，约四成，其次是KrF线两成，g线和i线共计两成。</b></p>\n<p>光刻胶九成份额被外国龙头垄断，<b>今年由于日本信越化学的KrF光刻胶无限期断供，给国内公司很大的发展机遇，哪些厂商率先进入晶圆代工厂的生产线中，未来成长空间会非常大。</b></p>\n<p>ArF线：北京科华（现被<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/603650\">彤程新材</a>收购）、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300655\">晶瑞股份</a>正在研发中；<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300346\">南大光电</a>通过客户认证。</p>\n<p>KrF线：北京科华、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300236\">上海新阳</a>已经实现量产，晶瑞股份已完成测试。</p>\n<p>g线/i线：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300576\">容大感光</a>产能扩建中，北京科华可供应。</p>\n<h2>三、产能过剩后的危机</h2>\n<p>随着未来五年内半导体产能的大量投放，而需求增速的逐渐放缓，伴随而来的是半导体产能过剩，高库存的情况，必然会导致半导体市场价格的下跌。<b>观测这一重要转折点要看什么？</b>通过复盘半导体的历史周期，华尔街见闻·见智研究所观察到<b>资本开支可作为预测拐点的领先指标。</b></p>\n<p>从历史规律来看，在资本开支大幅增长的一到两年后将会伴随半导体市场的大幅下跌。如1984年全球半导体行业资本开支增长106%，而后的第二年半导体市场下跌了17%。此后的四个周期也是出现相同的规律。直到2008年的下跌是由金融危机导致的，而后2010年资本开支出现大幅回升，达到107%，第二年半导体市场同样出现了暴跌。</p>\n<p><b>通过复盘历史得到非常重要的指标，那就是资本开始危险临界线。当资本开支增长超过40%的时候，通常预测未来会出现产能过剩和半导体增速下跌的情况。</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f918d3c3c08f3fdc0888508005f63b8d\" tg-width=\"674\" tg-height=\"460\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>危机来临了吗？</b></p>\n<p>根据IC Insights的预测来看，2021年半导体资本开支的增速预计在16%-23%之间。<b>总体上看半导体市场还处于景气周期中，目前没有达到产能过剩的临界点。但需要特别注意的是，台积电21年的资本开支增速同比达到74%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">英特尔</a>资本开支同比增速达到37%，已经达到高水位线，而三星的资本开支几乎与去年齐平。</b></p>","source":"wallstreetcn_api","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>缺“芯”的拐点要来了？ </title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n缺“芯”的拐点要来了？ \n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-16 12:28 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3635357><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>销量暴涨的新能源车因为缺芯几乎要面临停工停产的危机，最近屡屡传出汽车厂商都有自己建设晶圆厂了念头了，全球的分析师都在关注半导体供需平衡与库存修正将在何时发生，更有一个指标历史上7次准确预言了半导体景气度的拐点。\n华尔街见闻·见智研究所通过分析半导体的周期来解答以下问题：缺芯何时缓解？当下是国产替代的机遇？预示危机的指标又是什么？\n一、从供需错配到再平衡\n1、为什么缺芯？\n缺芯缺产能的底层逻辑就是...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3635357\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03e38a3a3c63bd5a9d8d8ca2d384d1c5","relate_stocks":{"00981":"中芯国际","TSM":"台积电"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3635357","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2151261135","content_text":"销量暴涨的新能源车因为缺芯几乎要面临停工停产的危机，最近屡屡传出汽车厂商都有自己建设晶圆厂了念头了，全球的分析师都在关注半导体供需平衡与库存修正将在何时发生，更有一个指标历史上7次准确预言了半导体景气度的拐点。\n华尔街见闻·见智研究所通过分析半导体的周期来解答以下问题：缺芯何时缓解？当下是国产替代的机遇？预示危机的指标又是什么？\n一、从供需错配到再平衡\n1、为什么缺芯？\n缺芯缺产能的底层逻辑就是芯片的供给小于需求。从2021年开始全球半导体的供给进入瓶颈期，而伴随着下游需求的爆发式增长，导致半导体行业出现严重缺货的现象。\n国际半导体产业协会SEMI预测，今年是由于云端服务器笔记本电脑、游戏及医疗科技需求成长，5G、物联网汽车及人工智能快速发展，带动了产业的景气度。这其中新能源车和物联网市场是两个增长最快速的变量，新能源车行业五年的复合增速高达41.53%，而手机和电脑依旧是半导体需求端体量最大的，但预期近五年增速较新兴行业低很多。\n\n2、2022年缺芯将缓解?\nGartner预测：全球半导体供应短缺将持续整个2021年，并在2022年第二季度恢复至正常水平，而基板产能限制可能会延长到2022年第四季度。也就是说在此之前，半导体还会伴随着长时间的芯片短缺，涨价函依旧会接踵而至。\n从半导体的供需周期来看，在2021年下半年伴随着晶圆厂的设备安装，龙头厂商预期最快2022年开始才能够释放出新产能，这其中包括联电、格芯、中芯国际等晶圆代工厂，而台积电的大批量产能预期在2023年后才能逐步落地，所以半导体行业还需要一个较长的时间周期才重新达到供需平衡。\n3、产业链延续涨价？\n因为供需的错配，产能的紧缺以及扩产带来的成本增加都会相继增加产品的溢价。而涨价直接的好处是给了厂商定价权，出厂价格高了，企业的盈利能力会很大程度提高。但是有一点不能忽略：厂商处于产业链什么位置很关键。如果是处于生产加工的下游，那么原材料成本的提价也要考虑进去。在21年全球大多数晶圆厂、材料以及封测都相继提高了两成左右的价格，龙头厂的订单都排至了2022年。从今年6月份开始10多家厂商陆续发布下半年涨价函，消息指出预计涨价将持续到2022年。\n台媒《经济日报》6月24日报道称，IC设计业者透露，明年初晶圆代工价格已经敲定，不仅联电8英寸和12英寸的晶圆代工价格续涨，晶圆代工龙头台积电也涨价，部分8英寸和12英寸制程价格上涨一到两成，且12英寸制程涨幅高于8英寸。\n二、全球扩张下的国产替代机遇\n世界半导体贸易统计组织（WSTS）预测，2021年全球半导体市场增速将达19.7%， 2022年半导体市场将增长8.8%，连续两年创历史新高。\nGartner预测：中国半导体企业到2025年市场的市场份额将从当下的15%提升至30%，近五年中国半导体将会快速渗透。\n全球晶圆厂最新扩建计划，中国是首位？今年6月份国际半导体产业协会SEMI发布报告称2021-2022年全球半导体制造商新增29座晶圆厂，分别于2021年建设19座，2022年再增加10座。\n从SEMI给出的数据来看，中国大陆和台湾地区两年间增加的晶圆厂数量是全球首位，共计16座，其次是美国4座，欧洲和中东一共增加3座，日本和韩国各两座。全部投产后，每月可生产260万片等效200mm晶圆。考虑到新增的晶圆厂建设周期较长，预计从2023年开始新增晶圆厂开始大幅采购半导体设备。\n\n那么国内半导体行业有存在怎样的机遇呢？华尔街见闻·见智研究所对四大行业的格局进行了分析。\n1、晶圆厂格局\n三星是全球市占率最大的晶圆厂，达到14.7%，折算约310万片/月的产能；其次是台积电市占率为13.1%，约270万片/月产能。美光和SK海力士位居第三、第四，市占率在9%左右，每家产能约为190万片/月。中芯国际的产能约为54万片/月，在全球排名前十二。（产能按8英寸折算）\n行业内5家最大的纯晶圆代工厂——台积电、联电、格芯、中芯国际和力晶（包括Nexchip）约占全球晶圆代工厂总产能的24％，行业集中度非常高。国内晶圆厂预计21年新增的产能75万片/月（按 8 英寸折算），其中新增产能的前三位分别是长江存储、华虹半导体和中芯国际。\n2、设备厂格局\n从设备类型的市场占比情况来看，前道晶圆制造设备占主要比重，高达80%，这其中主要包括刻蚀机、薄膜沉积设备和光刻机；其次封装和测试设备的占比比较小，分别为10%和8%。前道晶圆设备龙头包括泛林半导体、TEL、应用材料、ASML几乎是垄断了全球九成的份额。\n在国内的公司中，刻蚀机设备主要是北方华创和中微半导体。两个公司目前是差异化的布局，不存在直接竞争关系。北方华创的优势在于长硅刻蚀和金属刻蚀，而中微公司的优势在于长介质刻蚀。\n沉积设备：主要是北方华创和沈阳拓荆，两者在ALD和PVD方面存在一定程度的竞争，而在化学气相沉积方面只有沈阳拓荆在做，在今年7月12日沈阳拓荆在科创板IPO申请也已经获受理了。\n光刻设备：上海微电子已经突破了光刻机90/65的技术节点；沈阳芯源突破涂胶显影机90/65的技术节点。\n3、封测厂格局\n全球封测市场中CR3占比约六成，集中度很高，日月光占比就达到三成以上，其次是安靠和长电科技约一成以上，通富微电位居第五，市占率约4.4%。长电科技背靠中芯国际，通富微电背靠AMD。\n4、光刻胶格局\n半导体光刻胶主要分为四种类型，g线、i线、KrF线和ArF线。就占比情况来看ArF线占比最大，约四成，其次是KrF线两成，g线和i线共计两成。\n光刻胶九成份额被外国龙头垄断，今年由于日本信越化学的KrF光刻胶无限期断供，给国内公司很大的发展机遇，哪些厂商率先进入晶圆代工厂的生产线中，未来成长空间会非常大。\nArF线：北京科华（现被彤程新材收购）、晶瑞股份正在研发中；南大光电通过客户认证。\nKrF线：北京科华、上海新阳已经实现量产，晶瑞股份已完成测试。\ng线/i线：容大感光产能扩建中，北京科华可供应。\n三、产能过剩后的危机\n随着未来五年内半导体产能的大量投放，而需求增速的逐渐放缓，伴随而来的是半导体产能过剩，高库存的情况，必然会导致半导体市场价格的下跌。观测这一重要转折点要看什么？通过复盘半导体的历史周期，华尔街见闻·见智研究所观察到资本开支可作为预测拐点的领先指标。\n从历史规律来看，在资本开支大幅增长的一到两年后将会伴随半导体市场的大幅下跌。如1984年全球半导体行业资本开支增长106%，而后的第二年半导体市场下跌了17%。此后的四个周期也是出现相同的规律。直到2008年的下跌是由金融危机导致的，而后2010年资本开支出现大幅回升，达到107%，第二年半导体市场同样出现了暴跌。\n通过复盘历史得到非常重要的指标，那就是资本开始危险临界线。当资本开支增长超过40%的时候，通常预测未来会出现产能过剩和半导体增速下跌的情况。\n\n危机来临了吗？\n根据IC Insights的预测来看，2021年半导体资本开支的增速预计在16%-23%之间。总体上看半导体市场还处于景气周期中，目前没有达到产能过剩的临界点。但需要特别注意的是，台积电21年的资本开支增速同比达到74%，英特尔资本开支同比增速达到37%，已经达到高水位线，而三星的资本开支几乎与去年齐平。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":118,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":170193924,"gmtCreate":1626409839768,"gmtModify":1703759623748,"author":{"id":"3569299384564621","authorId":"3569299384564621","name":"jamiengan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/889f4395dbbcc2004e91811498c78b43","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569299384564621","authorIdStr":"3569299384564621"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/170193924","repostId":"2151261135","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2151261135","pubTimestamp":1626409687,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2151261135?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-16 12:28","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"缺“芯”的拐点要来了？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2151261135","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"销量暴涨的新能源车因为缺芯几乎要面临停工停产的危机，最近屡屡传出汽车厂商都有自己建设晶圆厂了念头了，全球的分析师都在关注半导体供需平衡与库存修正将在何时发生，更有一个指标历史上7次准确预言了半导体景气","content":"<p>销量暴涨的新能源车因为缺芯几乎要面临停工停产的危机，最近屡屡传出汽车厂商都有自己建设晶圆厂了念头了，全球的分析师都在关注半导体供需平衡与库存修正将在何时发生，更有一个指标历史上7次准确预言了半导体景气度的拐点。</p>\n<p><b>华尔街见闻·见智研究所通过分析半导体的周期来解答以下问题：缺芯何时缓解？当下是国产替代的机遇？预示危机的指标又是什么？</b></p>\n<h2>一、从供需错配到再平衡</h2>\n<p><b>1、为什么缺芯？</b></p>\n<p>缺芯缺产能的底层逻辑就是芯片的供给小于需求。从2021年开始全球半导体的供给进入瓶颈期，而伴随着下游需求的爆发式增长，导致半导体行业出现严重缺货的现象。</p>\n<p>国际半导体产业协会SEMI预测，今年是由于云端服务器笔记本电脑、游戏及医疗科技需求成长，5G、物联网汽车及人工智能快速发展，带动了产业的景气度。<b>这其中新能源车和物联网市场是两个增长最快速的变量，新能源车行业五年的复合增速高达41.53%，</b>而手机和电脑依旧是半导体需求端体量最大的，但预期近五年增速较新兴行业低很多。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b0897af5cb718219f5e303f10173b62\" tg-width=\"376\" tg-height=\"193\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>2、2022年缺芯将缓解?</b></p>\n<p><b>Gartner预测：全球半导体供应短缺将持续整个2021年，并在2022年第二季度恢复至正常水平，而基板产能限制可能会延长到2022年第四季度。</b>也就是说在此之前，半导体还会伴随着长时间的芯片短缺，涨价函依旧会接踵而至。</p>\n<p>从半导体的供需周期来看，在2021年下半年伴随着晶圆厂的设备安装，龙头厂商预期最快2022年开始才能够释放出新产能，这其中包括<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UMC\">联电</a>、格芯、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SMI\">中芯国际</a>等晶圆代工厂，而<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">台积电</a>的大批量产能预期在2023年后才能逐步落地，所以半导体行业还需要一个较长的时间周期才重新达到供需平衡。</p>\n<p><b>3、产业链延续涨价？</b></p>\n<p><b>因为供需的错配，产能的紧缺以及扩产带来的成本增加都会相继增加产品的溢价。</b>而涨价直接的好处是给了厂商定价权，出厂价格高了，企业的盈利能力会很大程度提高。但是有一点不能忽略：厂商处于产业链什么位置很关键。如果是处于生产加工的下游，那么原材料成本的提价也要考虑进去。在21年全球大多数晶圆厂、材料以及封测都相继提高了两成左右的价格，龙头厂的订单都排至了2022年。从今年6月份开始10多家厂商陆续发布下半年涨价函，<b>消息指出预计涨价将持续到2022年。</b></p>\n<p>台媒《经济日报》6月24日报道称，IC设计业者透露，明年初晶圆代工价格已经敲定，不仅联电8英寸和12英寸的晶圆代工价格续涨，晶圆代工龙头台积电也涨价，部分8英寸和12英寸制程价格上涨一到两成，<b>且12英寸制程涨幅高于8英寸。</b></p>\n<h2>二、全球扩张下的国产替代机遇</h2>\n<p>世界半导体贸易统计组织（WSTS）预测，2021年全球半导体市场增速将达19.7%， 2022年半导体市场将增长8.8%，连续两年创历史新高。</p>\n<p><b>Gartner预测：中国半导体企业到2025年市场的市场份额将从当下的15%提升至30%，近五年中国半导体将会快速渗透。</b></p>\n<p><b>全球晶圆厂最新扩建计划，中国是首位？</b>今年6月份国际半导体产业协会SEMI发布报告称2021-2022年全球半导体制造商新增29座晶圆厂，<b>分别于2021年建设19座，2022年再增加10座。</b></p>\n<p>从SEMI给出的数据来看，<b>中国大陆和台湾地区两年间增加的晶圆厂数量是全球首位，共计16座，</b>其次是美国4座，欧洲和中东一共增加3座，日本和韩国各两座。全部投产后，每月可生产260万片等效200mm晶圆。<b>考虑到新增的晶圆厂建设周期较长，预计从2023年开始新增晶圆厂开始大幅采购半导体设备。</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/228b84b60813b81b51450594568779e2\" tg-width=\"724\" tg-height=\"361\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>那么国内半导体行业有存在怎样的机遇呢？华尔街见闻·见智研究所对四大行业的格局进行了分析。</p>\n<p><b>1、晶圆厂格局</b></p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SMSN.UK\">三星</a>是全球市占率最大的晶圆厂，达到14.7%，折算约310万片/月的产能；其次是台积电市占率为13.1%，约270万片/月产能。美光和SK海力士位居第三、第四，市占率在9%左右，每家产能约为190万片/月。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/688981\">中芯国际</a>的产能约为54万片/月，在全球排名前十二。（产能按8英寸折算）</p>\n<p>行业内5家最大的纯晶圆代工厂——台积电、联电、格芯、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00981\">中芯国际</a>和力晶（包括Nexchip）约占全球晶圆代工厂总产能的24％，行业集中度非常高。<b>国内晶圆厂预计21年新增的产能75万片/月（按 8 英寸折算），其中新增产能的前三位分别是长江存储、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01347\">华虹半导体</a>和中芯国际。</b></p>\n<p><b>2、设备厂格局</b></p>\n<p>从设备类型的市场占比情况来看，<b>前道晶圆制造设备占主要比重，高达80%，这其中主要包括刻蚀机、薄膜沉积设备和光刻机；其次封装和测试设备的占比比较小，分别为10%和8%。</b>前道晶圆设备龙头包括泛林半导体、TEL、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMAT\">应用材料</a>、ASML几乎是垄断了全球九成的份额。</p>\n<p>在国内的公司中，<b>刻蚀机设备</b>主要是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002371\">北方华创</a>和中微半导体。两个公司目前是差异化的布局，不存在直接竞争关系。北方华创的优势在于长硅刻蚀和金属刻蚀，而<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/688012\">中微公司</a>的优势在于长介质刻蚀。</p>\n<p><b>沉积设备：</b>主要是北方华创和沈阳拓荆，两者在ALD和PVD方面存在一定程度的竞争，而在化学气相沉积方面只有沈阳拓荆在做，在今年7月12日沈阳拓荆在科创板IPO申请也已经获受理了。</p>\n<p><b>光刻设备：</b>上海微电子已经突破了光刻机90/65的技术节点；沈阳芯源突破涂胶显影机90/65的技术节点。</p>\n<p><b>3、封测厂格局</b></p>\n<p>全球封测市场中CR3占比约六成，集中度很高，日月光占比就达到三成以上，其次是安靠和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600584\">长电科技</a>约一成以上，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002156\">通富微电</a>位居第五，市占率约4.4%。长电科技背靠中芯国际，通富微电背靠<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">AMD</a>。</p>\n<p><b>4、光刻胶格局</b></p>\n<p>半导体光刻胶主要分为四种类型，g线、i线、KrF线和ArF线。<b>就占比情况来看ArF线占比最大，约四成，其次是KrF线两成，g线和i线共计两成。</b></p>\n<p>光刻胶九成份额被外国龙头垄断，<b>今年由于日本信越化学的KrF光刻胶无限期断供，给国内公司很大的发展机遇，哪些厂商率先进入晶圆代工厂的生产线中，未来成长空间会非常大。</b></p>\n<p>ArF线：北京科华（现被<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/603650\">彤程新材</a>收购）、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300655\">晶瑞股份</a>正在研发中；<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300346\">南大光电</a>通过客户认证。</p>\n<p>KrF线：北京科华、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300236\">上海新阳</a>已经实现量产，晶瑞股份已完成测试。</p>\n<p>g线/i线：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300576\">容大感光</a>产能扩建中，北京科华可供应。</p>\n<h2>三、产能过剩后的危机</h2>\n<p>随着未来五年内半导体产能的大量投放，而需求增速的逐渐放缓，伴随而来的是半导体产能过剩，高库存的情况，必然会导致半导体市场价格的下跌。<b>观测这一重要转折点要看什么？</b>通过复盘半导体的历史周期，华尔街见闻·见智研究所观察到<b>资本开支可作为预测拐点的领先指标。</b></p>\n<p>从历史规律来看，在资本开支大幅增长的一到两年后将会伴随半导体市场的大幅下跌。如1984年全球半导体行业资本开支增长106%，而后的第二年半导体市场下跌了17%。此后的四个周期也是出现相同的规律。直到2008年的下跌是由金融危机导致的，而后2010年资本开支出现大幅回升，达到107%，第二年半导体市场同样出现了暴跌。</p>\n<p><b>通过复盘历史得到非常重要的指标，那就是资本开始危险临界线。当资本开支增长超过40%的时候，通常预测未来会出现产能过剩和半导体增速下跌的情况。</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f918d3c3c08f3fdc0888508005f63b8d\" tg-width=\"674\" tg-height=\"460\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>危机来临了吗？</b></p>\n<p>根据IC Insights的预测来看，2021年半导体资本开支的增速预计在16%-23%之间。<b>总体上看半导体市场还处于景气周期中，目前没有达到产能过剩的临界点。但需要特别注意的是，台积电21年的资本开支增速同比达到74%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">英特尔</a>资本开支同比增速达到37%，已经达到高水位线，而三星的资本开支几乎与去年齐平。</b></p>","source":"wallstreetcn_api","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n缺“芯”的拐点要来了？ \n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-16 12:28 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3635357><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>销量暴涨的新能源车因为缺芯几乎要面临停工停产的危机，最近屡屡传出汽车厂商都有自己建设晶圆厂了念头了，全球的分析师都在关注半导体供需平衡与库存修正将在何时发生，更有一个指标历史上7次准确预言了半导体景气度的拐点。\n华尔街见闻·见智研究所通过分析半导体的周期来解答以下问题：缺芯何时缓解？当下是国产替代的机遇？预示危机的指标又是什么？\n一、从供需错配到再平衡\n1、为什么缺芯？\n缺芯缺产能的底层逻辑就是...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3635357\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03e38a3a3c63bd5a9d8d8ca2d384d1c5","relate_stocks":{"00981":"中芯国际","TSM":"台积电"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3635357","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2151261135","content_text":"销量暴涨的新能源车因为缺芯几乎要面临停工停产的危机，最近屡屡传出汽车厂商都有自己建设晶圆厂了念头了，全球的分析师都在关注半导体供需平衡与库存修正将在何时发生，更有一个指标历史上7次准确预言了半导体景气度的拐点。\n华尔街见闻·见智研究所通过分析半导体的周期来解答以下问题：缺芯何时缓解？当下是国产替代的机遇？预示危机的指标又是什么？\n一、从供需错配到再平衡\n1、为什么缺芯？\n缺芯缺产能的底层逻辑就是芯片的供给小于需求。从2021年开始全球半导体的供给进入瓶颈期，而伴随着下游需求的爆发式增长，导致半导体行业出现严重缺货的现象。\n国际半导体产业协会SEMI预测，今年是由于云端服务器笔记本电脑、游戏及医疗科技需求成长，5G、物联网汽车及人工智能快速发展，带动了产业的景气度。这其中新能源车和物联网市场是两个增长最快速的变量，新能源车行业五年的复合增速高达41.53%，而手机和电脑依旧是半导体需求端体量最大的，但预期近五年增速较新兴行业低很多。\n\n2、2022年缺芯将缓解?\nGartner预测：全球半导体供应短缺将持续整个2021年，并在2022年第二季度恢复至正常水平，而基板产能限制可能会延长到2022年第四季度。也就是说在此之前，半导体还会伴随着长时间的芯片短缺，涨价函依旧会接踵而至。\n从半导体的供需周期来看，在2021年下半年伴随着晶圆厂的设备安装，龙头厂商预期最快2022年开始才能够释放出新产能，这其中包括联电、格芯、中芯国际等晶圆代工厂，而台积电的大批量产能预期在2023年后才能逐步落地，所以半导体行业还需要一个较长的时间周期才重新达到供需平衡。\n3、产业链延续涨价？\n因为供需的错配，产能的紧缺以及扩产带来的成本增加都会相继增加产品的溢价。而涨价直接的好处是给了厂商定价权，出厂价格高了，企业的盈利能力会很大程度提高。但是有一点不能忽略：厂商处于产业链什么位置很关键。如果是处于生产加工的下游，那么原材料成本的提价也要考虑进去。在21年全球大多数晶圆厂、材料以及封测都相继提高了两成左右的价格，龙头厂的订单都排至了2022年。从今年6月份开始10多家厂商陆续发布下半年涨价函，消息指出预计涨价将持续到2022年。\n台媒《经济日报》6月24日报道称，IC设计业者透露，明年初晶圆代工价格已经敲定，不仅联电8英寸和12英寸的晶圆代工价格续涨，晶圆代工龙头台积电也涨价，部分8英寸和12英寸制程价格上涨一到两成，且12英寸制程涨幅高于8英寸。\n二、全球扩张下的国产替代机遇\n世界半导体贸易统计组织（WSTS）预测，2021年全球半导体市场增速将达19.7%， 2022年半导体市场将增长8.8%，连续两年创历史新高。\nGartner预测：中国半导体企业到2025年市场的市场份额将从当下的15%提升至30%，近五年中国半导体将会快速渗透。\n全球晶圆厂最新扩建计划，中国是首位？今年6月份国际半导体产业协会SEMI发布报告称2021-2022年全球半导体制造商新增29座晶圆厂，分别于2021年建设19座，2022年再增加10座。\n从SEMI给出的数据来看，中国大陆和台湾地区两年间增加的晶圆厂数量是全球首位，共计16座，其次是美国4座，欧洲和中东一共增加3座，日本和韩国各两座。全部投产后，每月可生产260万片等效200mm晶圆。考虑到新增的晶圆厂建设周期较长，预计从2023年开始新增晶圆厂开始大幅采购半导体设备。\n\n那么国内半导体行业有存在怎样的机遇呢？华尔街见闻·见智研究所对四大行业的格局进行了分析。\n1、晶圆厂格局\n三星是全球市占率最大的晶圆厂，达到14.7%，折算约310万片/月的产能；其次是台积电市占率为13.1%，约270万片/月产能。美光和SK海力士位居第三、第四，市占率在9%左右，每家产能约为190万片/月。中芯国际的产能约为54万片/月，在全球排名前十二。（产能按8英寸折算）\n行业内5家最大的纯晶圆代工厂——台积电、联电、格芯、中芯国际和力晶（包括Nexchip）约占全球晶圆代工厂总产能的24％，行业集中度非常高。国内晶圆厂预计21年新增的产能75万片/月（按 8 英寸折算），其中新增产能的前三位分别是长江存储、华虹半导体和中芯国际。\n2、设备厂格局\n从设备类型的市场占比情况来看，前道晶圆制造设备占主要比重，高达80%，这其中主要包括刻蚀机、薄膜沉积设备和光刻机；其次封装和测试设备的占比比较小，分别为10%和8%。前道晶圆设备龙头包括泛林半导体、TEL、应用材料、ASML几乎是垄断了全球九成的份额。\n在国内的公司中，刻蚀机设备主要是北方华创和中微半导体。两个公司目前是差异化的布局，不存在直接竞争关系。北方华创的优势在于长硅刻蚀和金属刻蚀，而中微公司的优势在于长介质刻蚀。\n沉积设备：主要是北方华创和沈阳拓荆，两者在ALD和PVD方面存在一定程度的竞争，而在化学气相沉积方面只有沈阳拓荆在做，在今年7月12日沈阳拓荆在科创板IPO申请也已经获受理了。\n光刻设备：上海微电子已经突破了光刻机90/65的技术节点；沈阳芯源突破涂胶显影机90/65的技术节点。\n3、封测厂格局\n全球封测市场中CR3占比约六成，集中度很高，日月光占比就达到三成以上，其次是安靠和长电科技约一成以上，通富微电位居第五，市占率约4.4%。长电科技背靠中芯国际，通富微电背靠AMD。\n4、光刻胶格局\n半导体光刻胶主要分为四种类型，g线、i线、KrF线和ArF线。就占比情况来看ArF线占比最大，约四成，其次是KrF线两成，g线和i线共计两成。\n光刻胶九成份额被外国龙头垄断，今年由于日本信越化学的KrF光刻胶无限期断供，给国内公司很大的发展机遇，哪些厂商率先进入晶圆代工厂的生产线中，未来成长空间会非常大。\nArF线：北京科华（现被彤程新材收购）、晶瑞股份正在研发中；南大光电通过客户认证。\nKrF线：北京科华、上海新阳已经实现量产，晶瑞股份已完成测试。\ng线/i线：容大感光产能扩建中，北京科华可供应。\n三、产能过剩后的危机\n随着未来五年内半导体产能的大量投放，而需求增速的逐渐放缓，伴随而来的是半导体产能过剩，高库存的情况，必然会导致半导体市场价格的下跌。观测这一重要转折点要看什么？通过复盘半导体的历史周期，华尔街见闻·见智研究所观察到资本开支可作为预测拐点的领先指标。\n从历史规律来看，在资本开支大幅增长的一到两年后将会伴随半导体市场的大幅下跌。如1984年全球半导体行业资本开支增长106%，而后的第二年半导体市场下跌了17%。此后的四个周期也是出现相同的规律。直到2008年的下跌是由金融危机导致的，而后2010年资本开支出现大幅回升，达到107%，第二年半导体市场同样出现了暴跌。\n通过复盘历史得到非常重要的指标，那就是资本开始危险临界线。当资本开支增长超过40%的时候，通常预测未来会出现产能过剩和半导体增速下跌的情况。\n\n危机来临了吗？\n根据IC Insights的预测来看，2021年半导体资本开支的增速预计在16%-23%之间。总体上看半导体市场还处于景气周期中，目前没有达到产能过剩的临界点。但需要特别注意的是，台积电21年的资本开支增速同比达到74%，英特尔资本开支同比增速达到37%，已经达到高水位线，而三星的资本开支几乎与去年齐平。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":262,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":148931389,"gmtCreate":1625912209441,"gmtModify":1703750838781,"author":{"id":"3569299384564621","authorId":"3569299384564621","name":"jamiengan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/889f4395dbbcc2004e91811498c78b43","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569299384564621","authorIdStr":"3569299384564621"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/148931389","repostId":"1124741749","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":200,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":149694944,"gmtCreate":1625720329988,"gmtModify":1703747093173,"author":{"id":"3569299384564621","authorId":"3569299384564621","name":"jamiengan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/889f4395dbbcc2004e91811498c78b43","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569299384564621","authorIdStr":"3569299384564621"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/149694944","repostId":"1155545983","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":92,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":156344949,"gmtCreate":1625198691581,"gmtModify":1703738199915,"author":{"id":"3569299384564621","authorId":"3569299384564621","name":"jamiengan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/889f4395dbbcc2004e91811498c78b43","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569299384564621","authorIdStr":"3569299384564621"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/156344949","repostId":"1175817125","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1175817125","pubTimestamp":1625180880,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1175817125?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-02 07:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P 500 winning streak extends to sixth straight record close","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1175817125","media":"Reuters","summary":"NEW YORK  - The S&P 500 reached its sixth consecutive all-time closing high on Thursday, as a new quarter and the second half of the year began with upbeat economic data and a broad-based rally.Investors now eye Friday’s much-anticipated employment report.The bellwether index is enjoying its longest winning streak since early February, and the last time it logged six straight all-time highs was last August.“Historical data shows if you have a strong first half, the second half of the year was ac","content":"<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 reached its sixth consecutive all-time closing high on Thursday, as a new quarter and the second half of the year began with upbeat economic data and a broad-based rally.</p>\n<p>Investors now eye Friday’s much-anticipated employment report.</p>\n<p>The bellwether index is enjoying its longest winning streak since early February, and the last time it logged six straight all-time highs was last August.</p>\n<p>“Historical data shows if you have a strong first half, the second half of the year was actually going even stronger,” said Ross Mayfield, investment strategy analyst with Baird Private Wealth.</p>\n<p>All three major U.S. stock indexes ended the session in positive territory, but a decline in tech shares - led by microchips - tempered the Nasdaq’s gain.</p>\n<p>The Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index slid 1.5%</p>\n<p>“For markets so far this year, boring is beautiful,” said David Carter, chief investment officer at Lenox Wealth Advisors in New York. “Economic growth has been strong enough to support prices and many asset classes are trading with historically low volatility.”</p>\n<p>“It feels like investors left for the Fourth of July weekend about three months ago.”</p>\n<p>The ongoing worker shortage, attributed to federal emergency unemployment benefits, a childcare shortage and lingering pandemic fears, was a common theme in the day’s economic data.</p>\n<p>Jobless claims continued their downward trajectory according to the Labor Department, touching their lowest level since the pandemic shutdown, and a report from Challenger, Gray &amp; Christmas showed planned layoffs by U.S. firms were down 88% from last year, hitting a 21-year low.</p>\n<p>Activity at U.S. factories expanded at a slightly decelerated pace in June, according to the Institute for Supply Management’s (ISM) purchasing managers’ index (PMI), with the employment component dipping into contraction for the first time since November. The prices paid index, driven higher by the current demand/supply imbalance, soared to its highest level since 1979, according to ISM.</p>\n<p>“The employment and manufacturing data released today supported the idea of continued growth but at a decelerated rate,” Carter added.</p>\n<p>Friday’s hotly anticipated jobs report is expected to show payrolls growing by 700,000 and unemployment inching down to 5.7%. A robust upside surprise could lead the U.S. Federal Reserve to adjust its timetable for tapering its securities purchases and raising key interest rates.</p>\n<p>“Too-strong economic data could perversely be a bad thing for markets if it caused the Fed to raise rates faster than expected,” Carter said. “Weak employment data may actually be welcomed.”</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 131.02 points, or 0.38%, to 34,633.53, the S&amp;P 500 gained 22.44 points, or 0.52%, to 4,319.94 and the Nasdaq Composite added 18.42 points, or 0.13%, to 14,522.38.</p>\n<p>Of the 11 major sectors in the S&amp;P 500, consumer staples was the sole loser, shedding 0.3%.</p>\n<p>Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc dropped 7.4% after it said it expects to administer fewer COVID-19 vaccine shots in the fourth quarter.</p>\n<p>Didi Global Inc jumped 16.0%, on its second day of trading as a U.S.-listed company.</p>\n<p>Micron Technology Inc slid by 5.7% following a report that Texas Instruments would buy Micron’s Lehi, Utah, factory for $900 million.</p>\n<p>Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.78-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.32-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 36 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 78 new highs and 30 new lows.</p>\n<p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.53 billion shares, compared with the 10.9 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P 500 winning streak extends to sixth straight record close</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500 winning streak extends to sixth straight record close\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-02 07:08 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-500-winning-streak-extends-to-sixth-straight-record-close-idUSL2N2OD332><strong>Reuters</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&P 500 reached its sixth consecutive all-time closing high on Thursday, as a new quarter and the second half of the year began with upbeat economic data and a broad-based ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-500-winning-streak-extends-to-sixth-straight-record-close-idUSL2N2OD332\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-500-winning-streak-extends-to-sixth-straight-record-close-idUSL2N2OD332","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1175817125","content_text":"NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&P 500 reached its sixth consecutive all-time closing high on Thursday, as a new quarter and the second half of the year began with upbeat economic data and a broad-based rally.\nInvestors now eye Friday’s much-anticipated employment report.\nThe bellwether index is enjoying its longest winning streak since early February, and the last time it logged six straight all-time highs was last August.\n“Historical data shows if you have a strong first half, the second half of the year was actually going even stronger,” said Ross Mayfield, investment strategy analyst with Baird Private Wealth.\nAll three major U.S. stock indexes ended the session in positive territory, but a decline in tech shares - led by microchips - tempered the Nasdaq’s gain.\nThe Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index slid 1.5%\n“For markets so far this year, boring is beautiful,” said David Carter, chief investment officer at Lenox Wealth Advisors in New York. “Economic growth has been strong enough to support prices and many asset classes are trading with historically low volatility.”\n“It feels like investors left for the Fourth of July weekend about three months ago.”\nThe ongoing worker shortage, attributed to federal emergency unemployment benefits, a childcare shortage and lingering pandemic fears, was a common theme in the day’s economic data.\nJobless claims continued their downward trajectory according to the Labor Department, touching their lowest level since the pandemic shutdown, and a report from Challenger, Gray & Christmas showed planned layoffs by U.S. firms were down 88% from last year, hitting a 21-year low.\nActivity at U.S. factories expanded at a slightly decelerated pace in June, according to the Institute for Supply Management’s (ISM) purchasing managers’ index (PMI), with the employment component dipping into contraction for the first time since November. The prices paid index, driven higher by the current demand/supply imbalance, soared to its highest level since 1979, according to ISM.\n“The employment and manufacturing data released today supported the idea of continued growth but at a decelerated rate,” Carter added.\nFriday’s hotly anticipated jobs report is expected to show payrolls growing by 700,000 and unemployment inching down to 5.7%. A robust upside surprise could lead the U.S. Federal Reserve to adjust its timetable for tapering its securities purchases and raising key interest rates.\n“Too-strong economic data could perversely be a bad thing for markets if it caused the Fed to raise rates faster than expected,” Carter said. “Weak employment data may actually be welcomed.”\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 131.02 points, or 0.38%, to 34,633.53, the S&P 500 gained 22.44 points, or 0.52%, to 4,319.94 and the Nasdaq Composite added 18.42 points, or 0.13%, to 14,522.38.\nOf the 11 major sectors in the S&P 500, consumer staples was the sole loser, shedding 0.3%.\nWalgreens Boots Alliance Inc dropped 7.4% after it said it expects to administer fewer COVID-19 vaccine shots in the fourth quarter.\nDidi Global Inc jumped 16.0%, on its second day of trading as a U.S.-listed company.\nMicron Technology Inc slid by 5.7% following a report that Texas Instruments would buy Micron’s Lehi, Utah, factory for $900 million.\nAdvancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.78-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.32-to-1 ratio favored advancers.\nThe S&P 500 posted 36 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 78 new highs and 30 new lows.\nVolume on U.S. exchanges was 9.53 billion shares, compared with the 10.9 billion average over the last 20 trading days.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":28,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":124732722,"gmtCreate":1624790532566,"gmtModify":1703845190762,"author":{"id":"3569299384564621","authorId":"3569299384564621","name":"jamiengan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/889f4395dbbcc2004e91811498c78b43","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569299384564621","authorIdStr":"3569299384564621"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/124732722","repostId":"1137119316","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1137119316","pubTimestamp":1624754401,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1137119316?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-27 08:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Ford Or NIO? The Final Verdict","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1137119316","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"I am comparing Ford against NIO in different categories.The comparison is intended to improve the understanding of Ford's and NIO's growth potential while highlighting differences in market position and opportunities.NIO is growing a lot faster than Ford and the high valuation may be justified.With Ford  launching a major offensive in the market for electric vehicles, Chinese EV maker NIO  will face one more rival competing for sales in the future. Which vehicle maker offers the best deal based ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>I am comparing Ford against NIO in different categories.</li>\n <li>The comparison is intended to improve the understanding of Ford's and NIO's growth potential while highlighting differences in market position and opportunities.</li>\n <li>NIO is growing a lot faster than Ford and the high valuation may be justified.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5033fa117d7852799244b8275bc1000f\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"886\"><span>peterschreiber.media/iStock via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p>With Ford (F) launching a major offensive in the market for electric vehicles, Chinese EV maker NIO (NIO) will face one more rival competing for sales in the future. Which vehicle maker offers the best deal based on market opportunity, scale, revenue model, growth prospects and valuation? I will compare Ford against NIO in each category and issue a final verdict at the end.</p>\n<p><b>Ford vs. NIO: The battle for the global electric vehicle market is heating up</b></p>\n<p>Although there is a world of difference between Ford and NIO, both companies are set to go toe-to-toe in the rapidly growing global electric vehicle market. Ford’s fleet is not yet EV-focused but this is going to change: Feeling that the EV race is heating up, Ford said it is accelerating its electrification plan by investing&nbsp;$30B into its EV manufacturing capabilities until 2025. Ford’s previous capital plan called for a $22B investment in zero-emission vehicles. Ford also set an ambitious sales goal: 40% of its global sales will be electric within the next decade and 33% of pickup truck sales. Electric vehicle sales account for just 1% of Ford's sales today. As Ford is phasing out combustion engines, it is set to evolve into an all-electric vehicle maker by 2040.</p>\n<p><b>Market opportunity</b></p>\n<p>In 2020, 3.2m electric vehicles were sold in the world which represented a small market share of just 4.2%. China, however, was responsible for buying 41% of all electric vehicles in the world in 2020. Chinese buyers purchased 1.3m electric vehicles last year and sales are set to grow fast as Beijing seeks to boost EV adoption. The second largest market for electric vehicles was Europe which accounted for 42% of global EV sales. The US is only the third-largest market for plug-in electric vehicles in the world.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b48c23b32134542f51227d9b1b612887\" tg-width=\"1083\" tg-height=\"863\"><span>(Source: Wikipedia)</span></p>\n<p>China, by far, is the fastest growing EV market in the world, although Europe is catching up fast, in part due to a legislative efforts to increase adoption of zero-emission passenger vehicles and because of massive investments in a Europe-wide charging station network. NIO is&nbsp;on the cusp of entering the European market&nbsp;in a bid to grow market share in the world’s second-largest EV market before the competition is ready.</p>\n<p>Beijing is a driver behind the electrification of the Chinese auto industry: The government wants to see a&nbsp;twenty percent share&nbsp;of electric vehicles for new car sales by 2025 which will drive EV penetration in NIO’s home market.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9871e44eaf69adb27151425887870ace\" tg-width=\"739\" tg-height=\"454\"><span>(Source:Schroders)</span></p>\n<p>Turning to growth projections.</p>\n<p>With more favorable government policies for EV makers in places like China and Europe, these markets are poised to see the fastest sales growth and the highest EV adoption rates in the world. China is not only the largest market due to population size but is also expected to outperform all other markets in the world in EV sales until 2030.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/61d19dff2f34e2d8828aca854e85d84a\" tg-width=\"825\" tg-height=\"565\"><span>(Source:McKinsey)</span></p>\n<p>Since China has a larger total market size, a higher EV adoption rate, stronger expected sales growth and a more favorable regulatory framework, the winner here would be: NIO.</p>\n<p><b>Scale and manufacturing competence</b></p>\n<p>Ford has a century’s worth of manufacturing experience. But Ford, so far, has only one all-electric vehicle in its product line-up that compares to NIO: The Mustang Mach-E SUV. In 2022, Ford will begin to sell the all-electric F-150 Lightening which builds on the success of Ford’s best-selling pick-up truck. NIO already has a stronger product catalog including the 5-seater ES6 SUV, the 5-seater coupe SUV EC6 and the ES8, a 6-seater and 7-seater full-sized SUV.</p>\n<p>Since NIO is solely focused on producing EVs and occupies a very small and defined niche, the Chinese firm has an advantage as far as EV-manufacturing expertise goes. The question is how long this advantage can last. Ford has extensive experience in building cars and can leverage a global manufacturing base to ramp up EV production faster than any niche EV maker could ever hope to achieve. This makes Ford a very serious rival not only to Tesla (TSLA) in the US, but also to NIO abroad. Ford is accelerating its electrification plans and it has the resources and the ambition to become a leader in EVs within the next decade. Ford’s proposed $30B spending on the electrification of its fleet will accelerate its transformation and turn Ford into a long term threat to other EV makers.</p>\n<p>Winner here: Ford.</p>\n<p><b>Differentiation and BaaS revenue model</b></p>\n<p>Both Ford and NIO know about the importance of differentiation in a market that will only get more competitive over time, which is why both companies are investing heavily in a related field that can break or solidify dominance in the EV market: Battery technology.</p>\n<p>Ford is&nbsp;forming a joint venture&nbsp;with South Korean battery technology company SK Innovation to secure supply of traction battery cells and array modules. The joint venture is meant to accelerate battery deliveries and will produce approximately 60 GWh annually, enough to cover 25% of Ford’s estimated annual energy demand by 2030. NIO is also investing in battery technology and has&nbsp;formed its own joint venture&nbsp;to secure battery supply.</p>\n<p>The difference to Ford is that NIO’s battery investment strategy revolves around a battery subscription model, also called “battery-as-a-service”, which creates a strong, long term revenue opportunity for the Chinese vehicle maker. Under this “BaaS” model, users who buy a NIO electric vehicle get a 70,000 RMB initial discount, equivalent to $10,800, and can sign up for a monthly subscription to rent a rechargeable 70 kWh battery. Batteries can then be exchanged at one of NIO’s battery-swapping stations which can be found in most big Chinese cities. A battery subscription costs 980 RMB monthly which is the equivalent of $150.</p>\n<p>The BaaS model has a couple of benefits for both the vehicle maker and the user: Purchasing an electric vehicle from NIO gets a lot more affordable due to the up-front discount and the subscription model ensures that users benefit from advancement in battery technology and better performance over time. Decoupling battery costs from vehicle prices creates an entirely new revenue stream on a subscription basis for NIO. Revenues from “BaaS” subscriptions could be used to increase the density of NIO’s network of charging/replacement stations. The battery subscription model also binds customers to NIO, potentially increasing customer lifetime value.</p>\n<p>Ford and NIO are primed to benefit from falling battery costs for electric vehicles as they ramp up capital allocations. As more investments flow into developing more efficient batteries, performance will go up and costs will go down which should drive EV adoption and benefit all EV makers. This is because lower battery prices make EVs more competitive to passenger vehicles with combustion engines. But since NIO is structuring a part of its business model explicitly around battery subscriptions, NIO could benefit more than Ford.</p>\n<p>Battery costs for EVs have decreased 70% since 2014, based on information provided by investment firm Schroders, and are set to decrease more this decade.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c42acb75905affe7570a2f399ea3192f\" tg-width=\"758\" tg-height=\"449\"><span>(Source: Schroders)</span></p>\n<p>The “BaaS” model is genius and could develop into a $500M a year revenue opportunity for NIO long term. Although Ford is ramping up its investments in battery technology, the winner in this category is: NIO.</p>\n<p><b>Sales growth and valuation</b></p>\n<p>Ford’s sales in May grew 4.1% Y/Y but electrified vehicle sales (including hybrids) surged 184% Y/Y as Ford sold a record 10,364 EVs/hybrids in May. Escape electrified sales and Explorer Hybrid grew sales at 125% and 132% Y/Y showing strong customer uptake. NIO delivered 6,711 vehicles last month including 3,017 ES6s, 1,412 ES8s and 2,282 EC6s. Total Y/Y delivery growth for May was 95.3%.</p>\n<p>Ford's sales are fifty-four times larger than NIO's which creates more sales growth and revaluation potential for NIO.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df5a0a393e44ed74241c5effcdd92350\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>The difference in valuation between Ford and NIO is like the difference between night and day. This is because Ford is still seen as a mature vehicle maker with expected enterprise sales growth in the low-to-mid digits, despite explosive growth in the EV category. Ford is expected to grow revenues by 33% until FY 2025 (base year: FY 2020) and NIO by 808%!</p>\n<p>Due to these differences in sales growth, NIO is the complete opposite of Ford, at least as far as valuation goes. The Chinese EV-maker is expected to see sales and delivery growth close to 100% this year and since NIO is only dealing in EVs, NIO gets a much higher market-cap-to-sales ratio than Ford.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/817605c6b1e82c03d0473ea570d32b8f\" tg-width=\"506\" tg-height=\"406\"><span>(Source: Author)</span></p>\n<p><b>NIO has larger risks...</b></p>\n<p>NIO is the more risky venture, but also the one that offers the most promise. Government policy favors EV-makers like NIO. The potential for total global sales growth is larger for NIO as it operates from a smaller revenue base compared to Ford. But there are also a few things that work against NIO. For example, recalls due to production defects would be a much bigger challenge for NIO to overcome than for Ford which can rely on a global service and distribution network. NIO’s valuation is also not without risk as an unexpected slowing of sales growth due to production setbacks would leave a much larger dent in the financials.</p>\n<p><b>Final verdict</b></p>\n<p>NIO is definitely the more “sexy” vehicle maker. Strong adoption and sales growth in China and Europe support NIO. Its super smart BaaS model which decouples vehicle purchase prices from battery costs is genius. You pay a high price for this growth but the market opportunity for NIO is immense.</p>\n<p>Ford’s EV sales are booming and the percentage of EV sales will increase as the vehicle maker electrifies its fleet. Ford has a lot of potential in the EV market but since EV sales are still a relatively low percentage of total sales, it will take a long time for Ford to complete its transformation.</p>\n<p>If you believe in the potential of the global EV market, buy NIO. If you believe in the potential of the global EV market and don’t like much risk, buy Ford.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Ford Or NIO? The Final Verdict</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFord Or NIO? The Final Verdict\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-27 08:40 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4436600-ford-or-nio-the-final-verdict><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nI am comparing Ford against NIO in different categories.\nThe comparison is intended to improve the understanding of Ford's and NIO's growth potential while highlighting differences in market ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4436600-ford-or-nio-the-final-verdict\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来","F":"福特汽车"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4436600-ford-or-nio-the-final-verdict","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1137119316","content_text":"Summary\n\nI am comparing Ford against NIO in different categories.\nThe comparison is intended to improve the understanding of Ford's and NIO's growth potential while highlighting differences in market position and opportunities.\nNIO is growing a lot faster than Ford and the high valuation may be justified.\n\npeterschreiber.media/iStock via Getty Images\nWith Ford (F) launching a major offensive in the market for electric vehicles, Chinese EV maker NIO (NIO) will face one more rival competing for sales in the future. Which vehicle maker offers the best deal based on market opportunity, scale, revenue model, growth prospects and valuation? I will compare Ford against NIO in each category and issue a final verdict at the end.\nFord vs. NIO: The battle for the global electric vehicle market is heating up\nAlthough there is a world of difference between Ford and NIO, both companies are set to go toe-to-toe in the rapidly growing global electric vehicle market. Ford’s fleet is not yet EV-focused but this is going to change: Feeling that the EV race is heating up, Ford said it is accelerating its electrification plan by investing $30B into its EV manufacturing capabilities until 2025. Ford’s previous capital plan called for a $22B investment in zero-emission vehicles. Ford also set an ambitious sales goal: 40% of its global sales will be electric within the next decade and 33% of pickup truck sales. Electric vehicle sales account for just 1% of Ford's sales today. As Ford is phasing out combustion engines, it is set to evolve into an all-electric vehicle maker by 2040.\nMarket opportunity\nIn 2020, 3.2m electric vehicles were sold in the world which represented a small market share of just 4.2%. China, however, was responsible for buying 41% of all electric vehicles in the world in 2020. Chinese buyers purchased 1.3m electric vehicles last year and sales are set to grow fast as Beijing seeks to boost EV adoption. The second largest market for electric vehicles was Europe which accounted for 42% of global EV sales. The US is only the third-largest market for plug-in electric vehicles in the world.\n(Source: Wikipedia)\nChina, by far, is the fastest growing EV market in the world, although Europe is catching up fast, in part due to a legislative efforts to increase adoption of zero-emission passenger vehicles and because of massive investments in a Europe-wide charging station network. NIO is on the cusp of entering the European market in a bid to grow market share in the world’s second-largest EV market before the competition is ready.\nBeijing is a driver behind the electrification of the Chinese auto industry: The government wants to see a twenty percent share of electric vehicles for new car sales by 2025 which will drive EV penetration in NIO’s home market.\n(Source:Schroders)\nTurning to growth projections.\nWith more favorable government policies for EV makers in places like China and Europe, these markets are poised to see the fastest sales growth and the highest EV adoption rates in the world. China is not only the largest market due to population size but is also expected to outperform all other markets in the world in EV sales until 2030.\n(Source:McKinsey)\nSince China has a larger total market size, a higher EV adoption rate, stronger expected sales growth and a more favorable regulatory framework, the winner here would be: NIO.\nScale and manufacturing competence\nFord has a century’s worth of manufacturing experience. But Ford, so far, has only one all-electric vehicle in its product line-up that compares to NIO: The Mustang Mach-E SUV. In 2022, Ford will begin to sell the all-electric F-150 Lightening which builds on the success of Ford’s best-selling pick-up truck. NIO already has a stronger product catalog including the 5-seater ES6 SUV, the 5-seater coupe SUV EC6 and the ES8, a 6-seater and 7-seater full-sized SUV.\nSince NIO is solely focused on producing EVs and occupies a very small and defined niche, the Chinese firm has an advantage as far as EV-manufacturing expertise goes. The question is how long this advantage can last. Ford has extensive experience in building cars and can leverage a global manufacturing base to ramp up EV production faster than any niche EV maker could ever hope to achieve. This makes Ford a very serious rival not only to Tesla (TSLA) in the US, but also to NIO abroad. Ford is accelerating its electrification plans and it has the resources and the ambition to become a leader in EVs within the next decade. Ford’s proposed $30B spending on the electrification of its fleet will accelerate its transformation and turn Ford into a long term threat to other EV makers.\nWinner here: Ford.\nDifferentiation and BaaS revenue model\nBoth Ford and NIO know about the importance of differentiation in a market that will only get more competitive over time, which is why both companies are investing heavily in a related field that can break or solidify dominance in the EV market: Battery technology.\nFord is forming a joint venture with South Korean battery technology company SK Innovation to secure supply of traction battery cells and array modules. The joint venture is meant to accelerate battery deliveries and will produce approximately 60 GWh annually, enough to cover 25% of Ford’s estimated annual energy demand by 2030. NIO is also investing in battery technology and has formed its own joint venture to secure battery supply.\nThe difference to Ford is that NIO’s battery investment strategy revolves around a battery subscription model, also called “battery-as-a-service”, which creates a strong, long term revenue opportunity for the Chinese vehicle maker. Under this “BaaS” model, users who buy a NIO electric vehicle get a 70,000 RMB initial discount, equivalent to $10,800, and can sign up for a monthly subscription to rent a rechargeable 70 kWh battery. Batteries can then be exchanged at one of NIO’s battery-swapping stations which can be found in most big Chinese cities. A battery subscription costs 980 RMB monthly which is the equivalent of $150.\nThe BaaS model has a couple of benefits for both the vehicle maker and the user: Purchasing an electric vehicle from NIO gets a lot more affordable due to the up-front discount and the subscription model ensures that users benefit from advancement in battery technology and better performance over time. Decoupling battery costs from vehicle prices creates an entirely new revenue stream on a subscription basis for NIO. Revenues from “BaaS” subscriptions could be used to increase the density of NIO’s network of charging/replacement stations. The battery subscription model also binds customers to NIO, potentially increasing customer lifetime value.\nFord and NIO are primed to benefit from falling battery costs for electric vehicles as they ramp up capital allocations. As more investments flow into developing more efficient batteries, performance will go up and costs will go down which should drive EV adoption and benefit all EV makers. This is because lower battery prices make EVs more competitive to passenger vehicles with combustion engines. But since NIO is structuring a part of its business model explicitly around battery subscriptions, NIO could benefit more than Ford.\nBattery costs for EVs have decreased 70% since 2014, based on information provided by investment firm Schroders, and are set to decrease more this decade.\n(Source: Schroders)\nThe “BaaS” model is genius and could develop into a $500M a year revenue opportunity for NIO long term. Although Ford is ramping up its investments in battery technology, the winner in this category is: NIO.\nSales growth and valuation\nFord’s sales in May grew 4.1% Y/Y but electrified vehicle sales (including hybrids) surged 184% Y/Y as Ford sold a record 10,364 EVs/hybrids in May. Escape electrified sales and Explorer Hybrid grew sales at 125% and 132% Y/Y showing strong customer uptake. NIO delivered 6,711 vehicles last month including 3,017 ES6s, 1,412 ES8s and 2,282 EC6s. Total Y/Y delivery growth for May was 95.3%.\nFord's sales are fifty-four times larger than NIO's which creates more sales growth and revaluation potential for NIO.\nData by YCharts\nThe difference in valuation between Ford and NIO is like the difference between night and day. This is because Ford is still seen as a mature vehicle maker with expected enterprise sales growth in the low-to-mid digits, despite explosive growth in the EV category. Ford is expected to grow revenues by 33% until FY 2025 (base year: FY 2020) and NIO by 808%!\nDue to these differences in sales growth, NIO is the complete opposite of Ford, at least as far as valuation goes. The Chinese EV-maker is expected to see sales and delivery growth close to 100% this year and since NIO is only dealing in EVs, NIO gets a much higher market-cap-to-sales ratio than Ford.\n(Source: Author)\nNIO has larger risks...\nNIO is the more risky venture, but also the one that offers the most promise. Government policy favors EV-makers like NIO. The potential for total global sales growth is larger for NIO as it operates from a smaller revenue base compared to Ford. But there are also a few things that work against NIO. For example, recalls due to production defects would be a much bigger challenge for NIO to overcome than for Ford which can rely on a global service and distribution network. NIO’s valuation is also not without risk as an unexpected slowing of sales growth due to production setbacks would leave a much larger dent in the financials.\nFinal verdict\nNIO is definitely the more “sexy” vehicle maker. Strong adoption and sales growth in China and Europe support NIO. Its super smart BaaS model which decouples vehicle purchase prices from battery costs is genius. You pay a high price for this growth but the market opportunity for NIO is immense.\nFord’s EV sales are booming and the percentage of EV sales will increase as the vehicle maker electrifies its fleet. Ford has a lot of potential in the EV market but since EV sales are still a relatively low percentage of total sales, it will take a long time for Ford to complete its transformation.\nIf you believe in the potential of the global EV market, buy NIO. If you believe in the potential of the global EV market and don’t like much risk, buy Ford.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":77,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":125624878,"gmtCreate":1624672467394,"gmtModify":1703843270668,"author":{"id":"3569299384564621","authorId":"3569299384564621","name":"jamiengan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/889f4395dbbcc2004e91811498c78b43","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569299384564621","authorIdStr":"3569299384564621"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Baba go go go...","listText":"Baba go go go...","text":"Baba go go go...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/125624878","repostId":"1164137597","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1164137597","pubTimestamp":1624671774,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1164137597?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-26 09:42","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alibaba: Can BABA Get Back To $300? Yes, It Can","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1164137597","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"The recent downturn in Alibaba's share price has created an investment opportunity for long-term capital appreciation.The Chinese economy is expected to become the world's largest economy by 2028 and more than 500 million people will be part of the middle class by end of 2023.Alibaba will experience tailwinds from individuals and businesses spending more money during this period of growth in China.Alibaba is the dominant force in cloud services in China which could become a significant revenue g","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>The recent downturn in Alibaba's share price has created an investment opportunity for long-term capital appreciation.</li>\n <li>The Chinese economy is expected to become the world's largest economy by 2028 and more than 500 million people will be part of the middle class by end of 2023.</li>\n <li>Alibaba will experience tailwinds from individuals and businesses spending more money during this period of growth in China.</li>\n <li>Alibaba is the dominant force in cloud services in China which could become a significant revenue growth machine as the economy expands.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/814b0a9a0d17977f43665e2eba205b1e\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\"><span>Andrew Braun/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p>Alibaba(NYSE:BABA)operates a printing press that keeps spitting out tens of billions from total revenue down to net income. Many companies faced adversity throughout the pandemic, and some are still recovering, but not BABA. Through the worst economic environment for businesses to navigate in recent times, BABA generated over $100 billion in revenue and $20 billion in net income during their recent fiscal year. While BABA didn't get the memo about businesses facing challenges amidst the pandemic, the market must not have read BABA's earnings report or crunched the numbers.</p>\n<p>There are two Chinese companies I am bullish on, and BABA is my biggest conviction for appreciation. BABA smashed through the $300 share price level at the end of October 2020, but shareholders have been left confused and disappointed since then. It looked like BABA would turn the corner after a horrible end to 2020 as shares appreciated from $222.36 from the close of 2020 to $270.83 in the middle of February 2021. Still, the markets had other plans, and all shares of BABA have done is disappoint shareholders. If you missed the BABA train, it's time to grab your tickets and climb aboard, and if you purchased BABA during its run to $300 or early 2021 rebound, it might be time to add to your holdings. BABA is going to experience tremendous tailwinds from China's population and economic growth over the next several years, and their printing press is going to need more ink.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86da7b532f25f563d08490ddc43cbede\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"337\"><span>(Source: Alibaba)</span></p>\n<p><b>The Alibaba printing press is open for business, and it spits out billions</b></p>\n<p>How many companies can say their annual revenue through the pandemic exceeded $100 billion? The $100 billion revenue mark is a prestigious club that companies such as&nbsp;Facebook (FB),PepsiCo (PEP),Procter &amp; Gamble (PG),Target (TGT), and&nbsp;Johnson &amp; Johnson (JNJ)&nbsp;are not part of. BABA, on the other hand, witnessed its revenue increase by 52.11% and smash through $100 billion as they generated $109.47 billion in their recent fiscal year. For the year ending March 2019, BABA's revenue increased by $16.25 billion (40.74%) to $56.15 billion, then for the March 2020 fiscal year, revenue increased another $15.82 billion (28.17%) to $71.97 billion. BABA is in the same boat as Alphabet(NASDAQ:GOOG)(GOOGL), FB, and Amazon (AMZN) as they watched the pandemic push more people to go digital which accelerated their businesses. For BABA, the forced transition to digital helped them achieve $37.5 billion (52.11%) in additional revenue as they finished their March 2021 fiscal year with $109.47 billion in revenue.</p>\n<p>Since 2013 BABA has not had a year where their annual revenue increase didn't exceed 25% Year over Year (YoY). When you think about that as a growth rate, it's remarkable for a company of BABA's size as this isn't a company chasing its first billion-dollar revenue year. Over the past 5 fiscal years, BABA's annual revenue has increased by $93.8 billion (408.08%) at an average annual rate of 48.25%. Smaller companies considered growth companies would be jealous of these rates, while many large caps are probably envious.</p>\n<p>BABA isn't a one-trick pony that can only generate tens of billions in revenue. BABA can convert right down to the bottom line. Each year BABA has increased its YoY gross profit by a minimum of 10% since 2013. In 2016 BABA generated $10.35 billion in gross profit and, over the next 5 fiscal years, increased its annual gross profit by $34.84 billion (336.68%). BABA has also never fallen below a 40% gross profit margin, Warren Buffett's magic number, as he indicates in<i>Warren Buffett and the Interpretation of Financial Statements. On page 34 of the Kindle edition,it says:</i></p>\n<blockquote>\n As a very general rule (and there are exceptions): Companies with gross profit margins of 40% or better tend to be companies with some sort of durable competitive advantage. Companies with gross profit margins below 40% tend to be companies in highly competitive industries, where competition is hurting overall profit margins (there are exceptions here, too).\n</blockquote>\n<p>The gross profit margin is important for investors to evaluate because it reveals how much of a company's revenue goes directly to producing it and if they have a moat around their business. BABA's numbers indicate they have a sufficient moat around their business that is hard to penetrate. With close to a decade of generating over 40% in gross profit margins, investors can expect that BABA's moat will protect its business operations for years to come.</p>\n<p>Moving to the bottom line BABA does a great job at generating profits. In their most recent fiscal year, BABA generated $22.98 billion in net income, converting more than 1/5th (20.99%) of their revenue to pure profits. Since 2013 BABA has only had 1 year where net income decreases YoY. With that track record, many options open up for BABA in the future as their cash stockpile continues to increase.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/41a5e036f023fa4ced7666e06aa1de6b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"444\"><span>(Source: Alibaba)</span></p>\n<p><b>Alibaba will continue to experience tailwinds as China's population and economy expands</b></p>\n<p>Alibaba&nbsp;achieved one billion annual active consumers globally in the fiscal year that ended in March 2021. BABA has 891 million consumers across China's retail marketplace, local consumer services and digital media and entertainment platforms, and approximately 240 million consumers outside China. BABA's annual active consumers in the China retail marketplaces were 811 million as it grew by 85 million YoY. BABA will focus on developing a digital commerce infrastructure that offers an upgraded consumer experience by seamlessly integrating online and offline. Through BABA's infrastructure, countless retailers have digitally transformed their businesses and created multiple retail formats that have enabled new consumption experiences by leveraging consumer insights and technology. BABA's ecosystem, supply chain, and diversified fulfillment services have facilitated an immense digital transformation. By investing in its infrastructure, BABA's customers can now leverage a full range of high-frequency fulfillment services that include on-demand delivery, same-or-next day delivery, and next-day pick-up services for a full range of consumable and physical products.</p>\n<p>BABA will continue to be one of the cornerstones that supports growth within China's economy, which is benefiting from the acceleration of digitalization in all aspects of life and work. China is projected to be the world's largest economy by 2028. The per-capita income in China is expected to grow by roughly 50% from 2020 to 2025.China's average economic growth&nbsp;has been projected to increase at a rate of 5.7% from 2021 to 2025, then slow to 4.5% from 2026 to 2030. As a result,China&nbsp;is on track to join the top 1/3rd of nations and overtake 56 countries in the per capita income rankings by 2025. By the end of 2022, McKinsey&nbsp;predicts&nbsp;that the middle class could expand to 550 million people which is larger than the entire U.S population.</p>\n<p>If the projections for China are correct, this should mean a windfall of cash lining BABA's coffers. It's a simple recipe; when people make more money, they tend to spend more money to enhance their lives and increase their standard of living. As BABA is a dominant force in China's retail sector, they stand to benefit from a growing economy and a larger middle class. At the end of next year, if China has anywhere close to 550 million individuals in the middle class, I believe BABA's revenue and profits will increase significantly. This trend can provide tailwinds throughout the decade for BABA, and eventually, the market will reward shareholders based on BABA's value proposition.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bbde4a092d19118a2d16daabf5c027d7\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"463\"><span>(Source: Blomberg)</span></p>\n<p><b>Alibaba has tremendous growth prospects in Cloud as China continues its digitization</b></p>\n<p>Cloud computing has been red hot in the U.S. as the transition from on-prem to cloud has increased the technological capabilities for many organizations. As digitization progresses across the business landscape, cloud providers continue to increase revenue generated from their cloud segments within their overall revenue mix. For example, AWS, the cloud computing division from&nbsp;AMZN, generated $45.37 billion in 2020. Cloud continues to be an exciting sector because the digital transformation is far from being over. Hence, the prospects of new customers are enormous while reoccurring revenue is generated after the transition occurs.</p>\n<p>In China, cloud infrastructure services are still in the early innings as the entire spend was around $15 billion in 2020. In Q1 of 2021, cloud infrastructure services in&nbsp;China&nbsp;grew by 55% YoY as it reached $6 billion. China was the 2nd largest market behind the U.S, accounting for 14% of global investment, up from 12% in Q1 of 2020. With cloud spending and digitization in China increasing, this serves as a major runway for growth in Alibaba Cloud.</p>\n<p>As China's economy expands, businesses will need to become more efficient to support both operations and customer demands. Chinese companies will need to implement infrastructure that can support a digital age of the workforce while supporting cloud services used by consumers for consumption. If China passes the U.S. as the world's largest economy in the second half of this decade, the amount of growth needed in cloud services will be immense. BABA is already the leader in cloud infrastructure services in China as their 39.8% market share accounted for $2.39 billion of the $6 billion spent in Q1 2021. Over the previous 6 quarters, cloud infrastructure spending has increased by roughly $2.3 billion (76.67%) in China. Based on cloud's current trajectory, quarterly revenue is on track to double over the next 2 years, putting Q1 2023 revenue at $10.6 billion. If BABA has a 35% market share, their Q1 2023 would be $3.71 billion, placing their 2023 revenue for cloud at $14.84 billion without factoring in any growth in 2023. From a cloud aspect, China's future spending is very exciting, and BABA will be one of the major benefactors.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1759b81ce463d503a165d901e2e50d7c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"728\"><span>(Source: Canalys)</span></p>\n<p><b>Alibaba has stellar financial metrics and is undervalued compared to the U.S. tech conglomerates</b></p>\n<p>For this comparison, I am going to use AMZN and GOOGL as they have been establishing their dominance in the U.S. for more than a decade. First, here are the raw numbers for AMZN, BABA, and GOOGL:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>AMZN</li>\n <li>BABA</li>\n <li>GOOGL</li>\n</ul>\n<p>The market currently places a multiple of 17.03x on AMZN's equity compared to its market cap, while its revenue multiple is 4.2x. GOOGL has a multiple of 7.17x on its equity and 8.39x on its revenue compared to market cap. AMZN and GOOGL's market caps exceed $1.5 trillion, while BABA's sits at $575.57 billion. The market is placing a 3.5x multiple on BABA's equity and 5.26x on its revenue compared to the market cap. Thus, the market is severely discounting BABA's equity and revenue generation. BABA's equity is worth 28.58% of its market cap, while AMZN's equity is equivalent to 5.87%, and GOOGL's is 13.94% of its market cap. The current discount placed on BABA's equity could create an additional tailwind for shareholders in the future.</p>\n<p><b>Conclusion</b></p>\n<p>It's hard to dismiss the growth opportunities some companies in China are presenting, especially after the recent decline in share prices. However, I believe shares of BABA are currently undervalued based on their current financial metrics and growth rates. China's economy and the amount of capital allocated to cloud service infrastructure are expected to grow substantially over the years. These will create powerful tailwinds for BABA throughout this decade. As a result, I think shareholders have been allowed to establish a BABA or dollar cost average position at a discounted price. I plan on continuing to add shares to my position while the market is discounting BABA.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba: Can BABA Get Back To $300? 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Yes, It Can\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-26 09:42 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4436373-alibaba-can-get-back-to-300><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nThe recent downturn in Alibaba's share price has created an investment opportunity for long-term capital appreciation.\nThe Chinese economy is expected to become the world's largest economy by...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4436373-alibaba-can-get-back-to-300\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4436373-alibaba-can-get-back-to-300","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1164137597","content_text":"Summary\n\nThe recent downturn in Alibaba's share price has created an investment opportunity for long-term capital appreciation.\nThe Chinese economy is expected to become the world's largest economy by 2028 and more than 500 million people will be part of the middle class by end of 2023.\nAlibaba will experience tailwinds from individuals and businesses spending more money during this period of growth in China.\nAlibaba is the dominant force in cloud services in China which could become a significant revenue growth machine as the economy expands.\n\nAndrew Braun/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nAlibaba(NYSE:BABA)operates a printing press that keeps spitting out tens of billions from total revenue down to net income. Many companies faced adversity throughout the pandemic, and some are still recovering, but not BABA. Through the worst economic environment for businesses to navigate in recent times, BABA generated over $100 billion in revenue and $20 billion in net income during their recent fiscal year. While BABA didn't get the memo about businesses facing challenges amidst the pandemic, the market must not have read BABA's earnings report or crunched the numbers.\nThere are two Chinese companies I am bullish on, and BABA is my biggest conviction for appreciation. BABA smashed through the $300 share price level at the end of October 2020, but shareholders have been left confused and disappointed since then. It looked like BABA would turn the corner after a horrible end to 2020 as shares appreciated from $222.36 from the close of 2020 to $270.83 in the middle of February 2021. Still, the markets had other plans, and all shares of BABA have done is disappoint shareholders. If you missed the BABA train, it's time to grab your tickets and climb aboard, and if you purchased BABA during its run to $300 or early 2021 rebound, it might be time to add to your holdings. BABA is going to experience tremendous tailwinds from China's population and economic growth over the next several years, and their printing press is going to need more ink.\n(Source: Alibaba)\nThe Alibaba printing press is open for business, and it spits out billions\nHow many companies can say their annual revenue through the pandemic exceeded $100 billion? The $100 billion revenue mark is a prestigious club that companies such as Facebook (FB),PepsiCo (PEP),Procter & Gamble (PG),Target (TGT), and Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) are not part of. BABA, on the other hand, witnessed its revenue increase by 52.11% and smash through $100 billion as they generated $109.47 billion in their recent fiscal year. For the year ending March 2019, BABA's revenue increased by $16.25 billion (40.74%) to $56.15 billion, then for the March 2020 fiscal year, revenue increased another $15.82 billion (28.17%) to $71.97 billion. BABA is in the same boat as Alphabet(NASDAQ:GOOG)(GOOGL), FB, and Amazon (AMZN) as they watched the pandemic push more people to go digital which accelerated their businesses. For BABA, the forced transition to digital helped them achieve $37.5 billion (52.11%) in additional revenue as they finished their March 2021 fiscal year with $109.47 billion in revenue.\nSince 2013 BABA has not had a year where their annual revenue increase didn't exceed 25% Year over Year (YoY). When you think about that as a growth rate, it's remarkable for a company of BABA's size as this isn't a company chasing its first billion-dollar revenue year. Over the past 5 fiscal years, BABA's annual revenue has increased by $93.8 billion (408.08%) at an average annual rate of 48.25%. Smaller companies considered growth companies would be jealous of these rates, while many large caps are probably envious.\nBABA isn't a one-trick pony that can only generate tens of billions in revenue. BABA can convert right down to the bottom line. Each year BABA has increased its YoY gross profit by a minimum of 10% since 2013. In 2016 BABA generated $10.35 billion in gross profit and, over the next 5 fiscal years, increased its annual gross profit by $34.84 billion (336.68%). BABA has also never fallen below a 40% gross profit margin, Warren Buffett's magic number, as he indicates inWarren Buffett and the Interpretation of Financial Statements. On page 34 of the Kindle edition,it says:\n\n As a very general rule (and there are exceptions): Companies with gross profit margins of 40% or better tend to be companies with some sort of durable competitive advantage. Companies with gross profit margins below 40% tend to be companies in highly competitive industries, where competition is hurting overall profit margins (there are exceptions here, too).\n\nThe gross profit margin is important for investors to evaluate because it reveals how much of a company's revenue goes directly to producing it and if they have a moat around their business. BABA's numbers indicate they have a sufficient moat around their business that is hard to penetrate. With close to a decade of generating over 40% in gross profit margins, investors can expect that BABA's moat will protect its business operations for years to come.\nMoving to the bottom line BABA does a great job at generating profits. In their most recent fiscal year, BABA generated $22.98 billion in net income, converting more than 1/5th (20.99%) of their revenue to pure profits. Since 2013 BABA has only had 1 year where net income decreases YoY. With that track record, many options open up for BABA in the future as their cash stockpile continues to increase.\n(Source: Alibaba)\nAlibaba will continue to experience tailwinds as China's population and economy expands\nAlibaba achieved one billion annual active consumers globally in the fiscal year that ended in March 2021. BABA has 891 million consumers across China's retail marketplace, local consumer services and digital media and entertainment platforms, and approximately 240 million consumers outside China. BABA's annual active consumers in the China retail marketplaces were 811 million as it grew by 85 million YoY. BABA will focus on developing a digital commerce infrastructure that offers an upgraded consumer experience by seamlessly integrating online and offline. Through BABA's infrastructure, countless retailers have digitally transformed their businesses and created multiple retail formats that have enabled new consumption experiences by leveraging consumer insights and technology. BABA's ecosystem, supply chain, and diversified fulfillment services have facilitated an immense digital transformation. By investing in its infrastructure, BABA's customers can now leverage a full range of high-frequency fulfillment services that include on-demand delivery, same-or-next day delivery, and next-day pick-up services for a full range of consumable and physical products.\nBABA will continue to be one of the cornerstones that supports growth within China's economy, which is benefiting from the acceleration of digitalization in all aspects of life and work. China is projected to be the world's largest economy by 2028. The per-capita income in China is expected to grow by roughly 50% from 2020 to 2025.China's average economic growth has been projected to increase at a rate of 5.7% from 2021 to 2025, then slow to 4.5% from 2026 to 2030. As a result,China is on track to join the top 1/3rd of nations and overtake 56 countries in the per capita income rankings by 2025. By the end of 2022, McKinsey predicts that the middle class could expand to 550 million people which is larger than the entire U.S population.\nIf the projections for China are correct, this should mean a windfall of cash lining BABA's coffers. It's a simple recipe; when people make more money, they tend to spend more money to enhance their lives and increase their standard of living. As BABA is a dominant force in China's retail sector, they stand to benefit from a growing economy and a larger middle class. At the end of next year, if China has anywhere close to 550 million individuals in the middle class, I believe BABA's revenue and profits will increase significantly. This trend can provide tailwinds throughout the decade for BABA, and eventually, the market will reward shareholders based on BABA's value proposition.\n(Source: Blomberg)\nAlibaba has tremendous growth prospects in Cloud as China continues its digitization\nCloud computing has been red hot in the U.S. as the transition from on-prem to cloud has increased the technological capabilities for many organizations. As digitization progresses across the business landscape, cloud providers continue to increase revenue generated from their cloud segments within their overall revenue mix. For example, AWS, the cloud computing division from AMZN, generated $45.37 billion in 2020. Cloud continues to be an exciting sector because the digital transformation is far from being over. Hence, the prospects of new customers are enormous while reoccurring revenue is generated after the transition occurs.\nIn China, cloud infrastructure services are still in the early innings as the entire spend was around $15 billion in 2020. In Q1 of 2021, cloud infrastructure services in China grew by 55% YoY as it reached $6 billion. China was the 2nd largest market behind the U.S, accounting for 14% of global investment, up from 12% in Q1 of 2020. With cloud spending and digitization in China increasing, this serves as a major runway for growth in Alibaba Cloud.\nAs China's economy expands, businesses will need to become more efficient to support both operations and customer demands. Chinese companies will need to implement infrastructure that can support a digital age of the workforce while supporting cloud services used by consumers for consumption. If China passes the U.S. as the world's largest economy in the second half of this decade, the amount of growth needed in cloud services will be immense. BABA is already the leader in cloud infrastructure services in China as their 39.8% market share accounted for $2.39 billion of the $6 billion spent in Q1 2021. Over the previous 6 quarters, cloud infrastructure spending has increased by roughly $2.3 billion (76.67%) in China. Based on cloud's current trajectory, quarterly revenue is on track to double over the next 2 years, putting Q1 2023 revenue at $10.6 billion. If BABA has a 35% market share, their Q1 2023 would be $3.71 billion, placing their 2023 revenue for cloud at $14.84 billion without factoring in any growth in 2023. From a cloud aspect, China's future spending is very exciting, and BABA will be one of the major benefactors.\n(Source: Canalys)\nAlibaba has stellar financial metrics and is undervalued compared to the U.S. tech conglomerates\nFor this comparison, I am going to use AMZN and GOOGL as they have been establishing their dominance in the U.S. for more than a decade. First, here are the raw numbers for AMZN, BABA, and GOOGL:\n\nAMZN\nBABA\nGOOGL\n\nThe market currently places a multiple of 17.03x on AMZN's equity compared to its market cap, while its revenue multiple is 4.2x. GOOGL has a multiple of 7.17x on its equity and 8.39x on its revenue compared to market cap. AMZN and GOOGL's market caps exceed $1.5 trillion, while BABA's sits at $575.57 billion. The market is placing a 3.5x multiple on BABA's equity and 5.26x on its revenue compared to the market cap. Thus, the market is severely discounting BABA's equity and revenue generation. BABA's equity is worth 28.58% of its market cap, while AMZN's equity is equivalent to 5.87%, and GOOGL's is 13.94% of its market cap. The current discount placed on BABA's equity could create an additional tailwind for shareholders in the future.\nConclusion\nIt's hard to dismiss the growth opportunities some companies in China are presenting, especially after the recent decline in share prices. However, I believe shares of BABA are currently undervalued based on their current financial metrics and growth rates. China's economy and the amount of capital allocated to cloud service infrastructure are expected to grow substantially over the years. These will create powerful tailwinds for BABA throughout this decade. As a result, I think shareholders have been allowed to establish a BABA or dollar cost average position at a discounted price. I plan on continuing to add shares to my position while the market is discounting BABA.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":39,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}