BurdBurdGod personal page - To The Moon

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2023-11-03

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@TigerEvents:Join Tiger's Halloween Fun! Win Big!

2021-06-18

Disbsg

@小虎活动:【老虎7週年】集卡瓜分百萬獎金

2021-06-18

$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$To the moon

2021-05-24

$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$[Smile]

2021-01-26

Why

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2021-01-24

Hellooo

Apple Could Show Dramatic Fall In iPhone 12 Margins

2021-01-24

Hi

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2021-01-05

Harlo

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<a href=\"https://www.itiger.com/activity/market/2021/7th-anniversary?lang=zh_CN\" target=\"_blank\">戳我即可參與活動</a> &#x1;如何參與？ 用戶可通過完成活動頁面展示的當日任務列表來獲得字母卡，每完成一個任務即可隨機獲得一個字母，用戶集齊“TIGER”五個字母即可參與瓜分百萬股票代金券，每個用戶單日最多可獲得20張字母卡（不包括好友贈予和魔法卡）。 用戶在活動期間邀請累計7名好友完成註冊並開戶（註冊時間和開戶時間均在活動期間），即可獲得一張魔法卡（每人僅可獲得一張魔法卡）。魔法卡可用於兌換TIGER中的任意一個字母。&#x1;如果用戶的某一字母卡數量爲0，則字母卡爲灰色，用戶可通過點擊灰色的字母卡向好友索要卡片；如果用戶的字母卡數量大於0，則字母卡爲彩色，用戶可通過點擊彩色的字母卡向好友贈送卡片。當用戶集齊TIGER之後將無法再索要卡片或者贈送卡片。 &#x1; &#x1;如何獲得獎勵？ 用戶可在2021年7月1日至2021年7月2日期間進行開獎，所有集齊TIGER的客戶可點擊活動頁面的“開獎”按鈕，即可查看自己瓜分到的股票代金券獎勵。在開獎時間段內未點擊開獎的用戶將無法獲得獎勵。&#x1; 獎勵發放： 股票代金券將在開獎後的1個工作日內發放至用戶的獎勵中心，用戶需要在獎勵發放後的20天內前往【Tiger Trade APP &gt; 我的 &gt; 活動獎勵】領取，過期未領取的獎勵將自動失效。 重要提示： 本次7週年活動涉及不同國家和地區，由於各地區的監管要求不同，不同地區的活動獎勵會有所區別。欲知詳情，請點擊下方活動鏈接，登陸您的賬號，並點擊“活動規則“查看詳情。","listText":"老虎7週年給大家發福利了，集齊TIGER五個字母即有機會瓜分百萬獎金，你準備好了嗎？ <a href=\"https://www.itiger.com/activity/market/2021/7th-anniversary?lang=zh_CN\" target=\"_blank\">戳我即可參與活動</a> &#x1;如何參與？ 用戶可通過完成活動頁面展示的當日任務列表來獲得字母卡，每完成一個任務即可隨機獲得一個字母，用戶集齊“TIGER”五個字母即可參與瓜分百萬股票代金券，每個用戶單日最多可獲得20張字母卡（不包括好友贈予和魔法卡）。 用戶在活動期間邀請累計7名好友完成註冊並開戶（註冊時間和開戶時間均在活動期間），即可獲得一張魔法卡（每人僅可獲得一張魔法卡）。魔法卡可用於兌換TIGER中的任意一個字母。&#x1;如果用戶的某一字母卡數量爲0，則字母卡爲灰色，用戶可通過點擊灰色的字母卡向好友索要卡片；如果用戶的字母卡數量大於0，則字母卡爲彩色，用戶可通過點擊彩色的字母卡向好友贈送卡片。當用戶集齊TIGER之後將無法再索要卡片或者贈送卡片。 &#x1; &#x1;如何獲得獎勵？ 用戶可在2021年7月1日至2021年7月2日期間進行開獎，所有集齊TIGER的客戶可點擊活動頁面的“開獎”按鈕，即可查看自己瓜分到的股票代金券獎勵。在開獎時間段內未點擊開獎的用戶將無法獲得獎勵。&#x1; 獎勵發放： 股票代金券將在開獎後的1個工作日內發放至用戶的獎勵中心，用戶需要在獎勵發放後的20天內前往【Tiger Trade APP &gt; 我的 &gt; 活動獎勵】領取，過期未領取的獎勵將自動失效。 重要提示： 本次7週年活動涉及不同國家和地區，由於各地區的監管要求不同，不同地區的活動獎勵會有所區別。欲知詳情，請點擊下方活動鏈接，登陸您的賬號，並點擊“活動規則“查看詳情。","text":"老虎7週年給大家發福利了，集齊TIGER五個字母即有機會瓜分百萬獎金，你準備好了嗎？ 戳我即可參與活動 \u0001如何參與？ 用戶可通過完成活動頁面展示的當日任務列表來獲得字母卡，每完成一個任務即可隨機獲得一個字母，用戶集齊“TIGER”五個字母即可參與瓜分百萬股票代金券，每個用戶單日最多可獲得20張字母卡（不包括好友贈予和魔法卡）。 用戶在活動期間邀請累計7名好友完成註冊並開戶（註冊時間和開戶時間均在活動期間），即可獲得一張魔法卡（每人僅可獲得一張魔法卡）。魔法卡可用於兌換TIGER中的任意一個字母。\u0001如果用戶的某一字母卡數量爲0，則字母卡爲灰色，用戶可通過點擊灰色的字母卡向好友索要卡片；如果用戶的字母卡數量大於0，則字母卡爲彩色，用戶可通過點擊彩色的字母卡向好友贈送卡片。當用戶集齊TIGER之後將無法再索要卡片或者贈送卡片。 \u0001 \u0001如何獲得獎勵？ 用戶可在2021年7月1日至2021年7月2日期間進行開獎，所有集齊TIGER的客戶可點擊活動頁面的“開獎”按鈕，即可查看自己瓜分到的股票代金券獎勵。在開獎時間段內未點擊開獎的用戶將無法獲得獎勵。\u0001 獎勵發放： 股票代金券將在開獎後的1個工作日內發放至用戶的獎勵中心，用戶需要在獎勵發放後的20天內前往【Tiger Trade APP > 我的 > 活動獎勵】領取，過期未領取的獎勵將自動失效。 重要提示： 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$</a>To the moon","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$</a>To the moon","text":"$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$To the moon","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d2c8b00c1562740872646e695f180861","width":"1242","height":"2151"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/168989079","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":278,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":131569234,"gmtCreate":1621867698528,"gmtModify":1704363609893,"author":{"id":"3570573751246627","authorId":"3570573751246627","name":"BurdBurdGod","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6e4fe4d46c6ba7c4d80e98a361af60ae","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570573751246627","authorIdStr":"3570573751246627"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$</a>[Smile]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$</a>[Smile]&nbsp;","text":"$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$[Smile]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ddc009d1622f86ec0a7d57df0a50268","width":"1242","height":"2151"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/131569234","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":236,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":319494827,"gmtCreate":1611592478169,"gmtModify":1704861274054,"author":{"id":"3570573751246627","authorId":"3570573751246627","name":"BurdBurdGod","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6e4fe4d46c6ba7c4d80e98a361af60ae","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570573751246627","authorIdStr":"3570573751246627"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Why","listText":"Why","text":"Why","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/319494827","repostId":"2105349950","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":181,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":319946373,"gmtCreate":1611498241392,"gmtModify":1704860430313,"author":{"id":"3570573751246627","authorId":"3570573751246627","name":"BurdBurdGod","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6e4fe4d46c6ba7c4d80e98a361af60ae","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570573751246627","authorIdStr":"3570573751246627"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hellooo","listText":"Hellooo","text":"Hellooo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/319946373","repostId":"1106179554","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1106179554","pubTimestamp":1611309447,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1106179554?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-01-22 17:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Could Show Dramatic Fall In iPhone 12 Margins","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1106179554","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nThe bill of materials for the latest iPhones has increased significantly due to 5G feature ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>The bill of materials for the latest iPhones has increased significantly due to 5G feature and a better screen.</li>\n</ul>\n<ul>\n <li>Even if there is growth in unit iPhone sales within this cycle, the overall margins for the iPhone segment would be negatively impacted by higher bill of materials.</li>\n</ul>\n<ul>\n <li>Apple needs to show its capacity for EPS growth in order to sustain the current bullish momentum in the stock.</li>\n</ul>\n<ul>\n <li>A significant drop in iPhones margin can bring down the overall operating margin and could also lead to a drop in EPS hurting the stock sentiment.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL)will face margin pressures due to the higher production cost of new iPhones. The iPhone bill of material or BoM has increased massively due to the 5G feature and better screens. This would end up hurting the margins. The buyback pacewill also fallas the company reaches a neutral cash position. Together, these two factors can negatively impact EPS in the next few quarters.</p>\n<p>According to Counterpoint Research,the bill of materialsfor iPhone 12 is 21% higher than iPhone 11. A shift from LCD to OLED ended by costing $23 more. 5G modem and RF system led to an increase in the cost by $34. Both these items are intrinsic to the iPhone 12’s attraction but the margins on iPhone 12 will be much lower than iPhone 11 due to these features. The iPhone segment still contributes over 50% of the revenue to Apple and a big drop in margins in this segment will have a negative impact on the overall margins and EPS over the next few quarters. Investors should closely look at the margin trajectory reported by the company over the next few quarters.</p>\n<p><b>Importance of Bill of Materials</b></p>\n<p>The flagship iPhones are not only expensive to buy, but they are also expensive to build. The bill of materials for iPhones has always been quite high due to higher-end components. The BoM does not count the R&amp;D expense and marketing costs that Apple has to bear.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5eb120e231572c55de63b9fd8f40ce5\" tg-width=\"822\" tg-height=\"404\"><span>Figure 1: Features in iPhone 12 which led to cost increase and savings over iPhone 11. Source. Counterpoint Research</span></p>\n<p>We can clearly see three big red bars in the above chart. They show the reasons for BoM increase in iPhone 12 compared to iPhone 11. The display system, RF components for 5G, and better A14 bionic chip led to a massive BoM increase in iPhone 12. After counting all the cost increases and savings, the BoM of the iPhone 12 increased by $72.5 according to this research note. This is a massive jump of 21% in BoM for iPhone 12 compared to iPhone 11.</p>\n<p><b>Impact on Margins</b></p>\n<p>Apple has moved to a major revision once in three years. After iPhone X made a significant change in design in 2017, Apple was looking forward to a big change in 2020. This has been brought about by 5G features which are available on all flagship iPhones. However, this feature along with OLED screen has led to a big jump in BoM and the retail price increase has not kept up with the BoM growth. Compared to iPhone 11 which had a retail price of $699 with contract, iPhone 12 has a retail price of $799 with contract. This is a price growth of 14.2% which is lower than the growth in BoM.</p>\n<p>In addition to BoM, Apple’s R&amp;D expense has been increasing which is due to higher design costs for the latest chips. Theincreasing competition with other tech giantsis also forcing Apple to invest heavily in R&amp;D compared to a decade back.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95bcae5f57407febfd836a95f97026bd\" tg-width=\"1073\" tg-height=\"551\"><span>Figure 2: Apple's R&amp;D to Revenue expense has increased continuously over the past few years, squeezing the margins.</span></p>\n<p>This trend will have a significant negative impact on the operating margin for Apple. The company’s operating margin has been declining for the past 20 quarters. With the recent jump in valuation multiple, a big drop in margins and EPS can bring about a correction in the stock.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5600e70d2db88a215f8932bbbf00fb8\" tg-width=\"1077\" tg-height=\"551\"><span>Figure 3: Price growth in Apple stock has mostly been on the back of higher PE valuation instead of fundamental metrics like EPS.</span></p>\n<p>We can see in the above chart that Apple’s operating margin has been declining over the past three years. The growth in EPS has mostly been supported by a fall in outstanding shares due to massive buybacks. The net cash position of Apple is down to $79 billion. If the company continues to run a buyback program of $20 billion per quarter, the net cash position will fall rapidly in the near term.</p>\n<p>At the same time, Apple’s PE ratio has increased by over 120% compared to three years ago. Currently, Apple’s PE ratio is over 40 which is the highest level it had been since the Great Recession.</p>\n<p>iPhone 12 Pricing and Impact on Unit ShipmentsApple has increased the price of iPhone 12 to $799 with a contract. This is a 14.2% increase from iPhone 11 pricing. On the other hand, the BoM has increased by 21%. Apple has also increased its research expenses for building its own chips. Hence, we should ideally have seen a higher jump in retail price compared to BoM in order to maintain the margins. However, the inverse has happened where BoM has increased at a faster pace compared to the retail price. One of the reasons could be the more aggressive pricing by competitors like Google's Pixel.</p>\n<p>Apple does not provide unit shipment figures and so we have to depend on third-party estimates.According to estimatesby Cinda Securities, the unit shipments for recent iPhones will be in the range of 230 million to 240 million. If this is true, it will be higher than iPhone 6 unit shipments of 222.4 million. According toanother model created by Cowen, iPhone shipments for 2020 stood at 193 million, down by 3% year-on-year while shipments for the calendar year 2021 will be 215 million.</p>\n<p>With the latest pricing, Apple should certainly get a tailwind in terms of higher unit sales. However, the margins on each iPhone could dip significantly because of the rapid jump in BoM. Hence, even a 5-7% jump in unit shipments in 2021 will not be able to make up for the decline in margins due to higher BoM.</p>\n<p><b>Can We See a Correction in the Stock?</b></p>\n<p>This is a trillion-dollar question in front of investors and Wall Street. Will Apple move to a market cap of $3 trillion as predicted byanalysts like Gene Munsteror will we see a correction to $1 trillion. Most of the price growth in Apple stock in 2020 was supported by a PE jump. This is unlike other tech majors like Amazon (AMZN) and Facebook (FB) who have shown a bull run in the stock price but have also delivered good growth in fundamental metrics of revenue and EPS.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f8fe5668a43f7874f4c2a823628a46bd\" tg-width=\"1077\" tg-height=\"559\"><span>Fig: Comparison of Price change, PE ratio, EPS, and revenue between Apple, Amazon, and Facebook in 2020. Apple's stock growth was supported by only a higher PE ratio while Amazon and FB reported trailing twelve-month EPS growth of 48% and 36% respectively.</span></p>\n<p>It is highly unlikely that Apple’s current valuation will be supported even if the EPS starts to fall. We should also see the pandemic being brought under control in the next few months as vaccination levels increase. Apple will not be able to gain a big tailwind due to buybacks as it is nearing the neutral cash position and with the current market cap the buybacks will not have a significant impact on the outstanding shares.</p>\n<p>Given this situation, the massive jump in iPhone BoM becomes very important. A significant negative dip in iPhone margins will pull down the overall margins and EPS for the company. This will certainly hurt the sentiments around Apple stock and make it difficult for the company to sustain the current valuation levels.</p>\n<p><b>Investor Takeaway</b></p>\n<p>The latest iPhone cycle has seen a big jump in the bill of materials. New features like 5G, better chips, and expensive screens have increased the BoM of iPhones by 21% compared to iPhone 11. This increase in bill of materials will be a major headwind for Apple’s margins in the next few quarters. Even if the company is able to improve its unit shipments and revenue, we could see a dip in margins and even EPS.</p>\n<p>Apple stock is trading at over 40 times its PE ratio, which is the highest valuation multiple it has seen in over a decade. Any negative EPS or margin numbers could reduce the bullish sentiment towards the stock and push the stock into correction territory. Investors need to weigh this aspect carefully before jumping into the stock at the current valuation level.</p>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Could Show Dramatic Fall In iPhone 12 Margins</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Could Show Dramatic Fall In iPhone 12 Margins\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-01-22 17:57 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4400322-apple-show-dramatic-fall-in-iphone-12-margins><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nThe bill of materials for the latest iPhones has increased significantly due to 5G feature and a better screen.\n\n\nEven if there is growth in unit iPhone sales within this cycle, the overall ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4400322-apple-show-dramatic-fall-in-iphone-12-margins\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4400322-apple-show-dramatic-fall-in-iphone-12-margins","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1106179554","content_text":"Summary\n\nThe bill of materials for the latest iPhones has increased significantly due to 5G feature and a better screen.\n\n\nEven if there is growth in unit iPhone sales within this cycle, the overall margins for the iPhone segment would be negatively impacted by higher bill of materials.\n\n\nApple needs to show its capacity for EPS growth in order to sustain the current bullish momentum in the stock.\n\n\nA significant drop in iPhones margin can bring down the overall operating margin and could also lead to a drop in EPS hurting the stock sentiment.\n\nApple(NASDAQ:AAPL)will face margin pressures due to the higher production cost of new iPhones. The iPhone bill of material or BoM has increased massively due to the 5G feature and better screens. This would end up hurting the margins. The buyback pacewill also fallas the company reaches a neutral cash position. Together, these two factors can negatively impact EPS in the next few quarters.\nAccording to Counterpoint Research,the bill of materialsfor iPhone 12 is 21% higher than iPhone 11. A shift from LCD to OLED ended by costing $23 more. 5G modem and RF system led to an increase in the cost by $34. Both these items are intrinsic to the iPhone 12’s attraction but the margins on iPhone 12 will be much lower than iPhone 11 due to these features. The iPhone segment still contributes over 50% of the revenue to Apple and a big drop in margins in this segment will have a negative impact on the overall margins and EPS over the next few quarters. Investors should closely look at the margin trajectory reported by the company over the next few quarters.\nImportance of Bill of Materials\nThe flagship iPhones are not only expensive to buy, but they are also expensive to build. The bill of materials for iPhones has always been quite high due to higher-end components. The BoM does not count the R&D expense and marketing costs that Apple has to bear.\nFigure 1: Features in iPhone 12 which led to cost increase and savings over iPhone 11. Source. Counterpoint Research\nWe can clearly see three big red bars in the above chart. They show the reasons for BoM increase in iPhone 12 compared to iPhone 11. The display system, RF components for 5G, and better A14 bionic chip led to a massive BoM increase in iPhone 12. After counting all the cost increases and savings, the BoM of the iPhone 12 increased by $72.5 according to this research note. This is a massive jump of 21% in BoM for iPhone 12 compared to iPhone 11.\nImpact on Margins\nApple has moved to a major revision once in three years. After iPhone X made a significant change in design in 2017, Apple was looking forward to a big change in 2020. This has been brought about by 5G features which are available on all flagship iPhones. However, this feature along with OLED screen has led to a big jump in BoM and the retail price increase has not kept up with the BoM growth. Compared to iPhone 11 which had a retail price of $699 with contract, iPhone 12 has a retail price of $799 with contract. This is a price growth of 14.2% which is lower than the growth in BoM.\nIn addition to BoM, Apple’s R&D expense has been increasing which is due to higher design costs for the latest chips. Theincreasing competition with other tech giantsis also forcing Apple to invest heavily in R&D compared to a decade back.\nFigure 2: Apple's R&D to Revenue expense has increased continuously over the past few years, squeezing the margins.\nThis trend will have a significant negative impact on the operating margin for Apple. The company’s operating margin has been declining for the past 20 quarters. With the recent jump in valuation multiple, a big drop in margins and EPS can bring about a correction in the stock.\nFigure 3: Price growth in Apple stock has mostly been on the back of higher PE valuation instead of fundamental metrics like EPS.\nWe can see in the above chart that Apple’s operating margin has been declining over the past three years. The growth in EPS has mostly been supported by a fall in outstanding shares due to massive buybacks. The net cash position of Apple is down to $79 billion. If the company continues to run a buyback program of $20 billion per quarter, the net cash position will fall rapidly in the near term.\nAt the same time, Apple’s PE ratio has increased by over 120% compared to three years ago. Currently, Apple’s PE ratio is over 40 which is the highest level it had been since the Great Recession.\niPhone 12 Pricing and Impact on Unit ShipmentsApple has increased the price of iPhone 12 to $799 with a contract. This is a 14.2% increase from iPhone 11 pricing. On the other hand, the BoM has increased by 21%. Apple has also increased its research expenses for building its own chips. Hence, we should ideally have seen a higher jump in retail price compared to BoM in order to maintain the margins. However, the inverse has happened where BoM has increased at a faster pace compared to the retail price. One of the reasons could be the more aggressive pricing by competitors like Google's Pixel.\nApple does not provide unit shipment figures and so we have to depend on third-party estimates.According to estimatesby Cinda Securities, the unit shipments for recent iPhones will be in the range of 230 million to 240 million. If this is true, it will be higher than iPhone 6 unit shipments of 222.4 million. According toanother model created by Cowen, iPhone shipments for 2020 stood at 193 million, down by 3% year-on-year while shipments for the calendar year 2021 will be 215 million.\nWith the latest pricing, Apple should certainly get a tailwind in terms of higher unit sales. However, the margins on each iPhone could dip significantly because of the rapid jump in BoM. Hence, even a 5-7% jump in unit shipments in 2021 will not be able to make up for the decline in margins due to higher BoM.\nCan We See a Correction in the Stock?\nThis is a trillion-dollar question in front of investors and Wall Street. Will Apple move to a market cap of $3 trillion as predicted byanalysts like Gene Munsteror will we see a correction to $1 trillion. Most of the price growth in Apple stock in 2020 was supported by a PE jump. This is unlike other tech majors like Amazon (AMZN) and Facebook (FB) who have shown a bull run in the stock price but have also delivered good growth in fundamental metrics of revenue and EPS.\nFig: Comparison of Price change, PE ratio, EPS, and revenue between Apple, Amazon, and Facebook in 2020. Apple's stock growth was supported by only a higher PE ratio while Amazon and FB reported trailing twelve-month EPS growth of 48% and 36% respectively.\nIt is highly unlikely that Apple’s current valuation will be supported even if the EPS starts to fall. We should also see the pandemic being brought under control in the next few months as vaccination levels increase. Apple will not be able to gain a big tailwind due to buybacks as it is nearing the neutral cash position and with the current market cap the buybacks will not have a significant impact on the outstanding shares.\nGiven this situation, the massive jump in iPhone BoM becomes very important. A significant negative dip in iPhone margins will pull down the overall margins and EPS for the company. This will certainly hurt the sentiments around Apple stock and make it difficult for the company to sustain the current valuation levels.\nInvestor Takeaway\nThe latest iPhone cycle has seen a big jump in the bill of materials. New features like 5G, better chips, and expensive screens have increased the BoM of iPhones by 21% compared to iPhone 11. This increase in bill of materials will be a major headwind for Apple’s margins in the next few quarters. Even if the company is able to improve its unit shipments and revenue, we could see a dip in margins and even EPS.\nApple stock is trading at over 40 times its PE ratio, which is the highest valuation multiple it has seen in over a decade. Any negative EPS or margin numbers could reduce the bullish sentiment towards the stock and push the stock into correction territory. Investors need to weigh this aspect carefully before jumping into the stock at the current valuation level.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":155,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":319948688,"gmtCreate":1611497956344,"gmtModify":1704860429338,"author":{"id":"3570573751246627","authorId":"3570573751246627","name":"BurdBurdGod","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6e4fe4d46c6ba7c4d80e98a361af60ae","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570573751246627","authorIdStr":"3570573751246627"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/319948688","repostId":"2105593894","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":124,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":338910577,"gmtCreate":1609805949999,"gmtModify":1704980125235,"author":{"id":"3570573751246627","authorId":"3570573751246627","name":"BurdBurdGod","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6e4fe4d46c6ba7c4d80e98a361af60ae","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570573751246627","authorIdStr":"3570573751246627"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Harlo","listText":"Harlo","text":"Harlo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/338910577","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":422,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3527667803686145","authorId":"3527667803686145","name":"社区成长助手","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b7c7106b5c0c8b0037faa67439d898f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3527667803686145","authorIdStr":"3527667803686145"},"content":"Finally, when you first post [compare heart] [compare heart] post, you can get more exposure by related stocks or related topics. If you want to create high-quality articles, please checkGuidelines for Tiger Community Creation","text":"Finally, when you first post [compare heart] [compare heart] post, you can get more exposure by related stocks or related topics. If you want to create high-quality articles, please checkGuidelines for Tiger Community Creation","html":"Finally, when you first post [compare heart] [compare heart] post, you can get more exposure by related stocks or related topics. If you want to create high-quality articles, please checkGuidelines for Tiger Community Creation"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":319494827,"gmtCreate":1611592478169,"gmtModify":1704861274054,"author":{"id":"3570573751246627","authorId":"3570573751246627","name":"BurdBurdGod","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6e4fe4d46c6ba7c4d80e98a361af60ae","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570573751246627","authorIdStr":"3570573751246627"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Why","listText":"Why","text":"Why","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/319494827","repostId":"2105349950","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2105349950","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1611573575,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2105349950?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-01-25 19:19","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Get ready for Apple's first $100 billion quarter in history","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2105349950","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Apple earnings preview: Successful iPhone 12 holiday sales are expected to help drive record revenue above milestone mark. Even a pandemic can't stop Apple Inc. from hitting new records.The smartphone giant is expected to post its first-ever quarter with more than $100 billion in revenue Wednesday, driven by a strong early performance for its new iPhone 12 line as well as continued demand for Macs and iPads for remote work and school needs.Apple's $$ fiscal first-quarter results will be the firs","content":"<p>Apple earnings preview: Successful iPhone 12 holiday sales are expected to help drive record revenue above milestone mark</p><p>Even a pandemic can't stop Apple Inc. from hitting new records.</p><p>The smartphone giant is expected to post its first-ever quarter with more than $100 billion in revenue Wednesday, driven by a strong early performance for its new iPhone 12 line as well as continued demand for Macs and iPads for remote work and school needs.</p><p>Apple's <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$(AAPL)$</a> fiscal first-quarter results will be the first to include sales from the iPhone 12 family of devices, which began to roll out in October , in the view of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">Morgan Stanley</a> analyst Katy Huberty.</p><p>Customers seem to be increasingly opting for higher-priced iPhone models and more expensive storage configurations, which would boost the average selling price of devices and help the company's profit margin. Apple no longer provides unit-sales metrics that shed light on its average selling prices, but the company usually offers some qualitative comments about which devices are performing best.</p><p>Apple has also seen strong sales of Macs and iPads amid the pandemic, with more people working and studying from home, and that momentum is expected to have continued into the fiscal first quarter. The company launched new iPads late last year as well as its first computers to feature the company's own custom chip .</p><p>Analysts expect record performance for the company's services category as well, though <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> area may not hold up as well. Apple has done a good job of transitioning sales to its online store given the COVID-19 crisis, but it's \"overly reliant on in-store customer purchases\" to drive sales of its AppleCare insurance product, Huberty wrote.</p><p>Earnings: Analysts tracked by FactSet expect that Apple earned $1.41 a share in the December quarter, up from $1.25 a year earlier. On Estimize, which crowdsources estimates from hedge funds, academics and others, the average projection calls for $1.45 a share.</p><p>Revenue: The FactSet consensus models a record $102.54 billion in revenue for Apple's fiscal first quarter, up from $91.82 billion a year prior. The Estimize consensus is for $103.76 billion.</p><p>Analysts tracked by FactSet model $59.58 billion in iPhone revenue for Apple, up from $55.96 billion a year earlier. Apple declined to give formal guidance for the quarter on the last earnings call, but Chief Financial Officer Luca Maestri said at the time to expect growth in iPhone revenue even though devices would begin shipping later in the quarter than they did a year prior.</p><p>The FactSet consensus calls for $7.38 billion in Pad revenue, up from $5.98 billion; $8.63 billion in Mac revenue, up from $7.16 billion; $15.17 billion in services revenue, up from $12.72 billion; and $11.49 billion in revenue for the wearables, home, and accessories category, up from $10.01 billion.</p><p>Stock movement: Apple shares have gained following three of the past five earnings reports, and the shares are up 72% over the past year as the Dow Jones Industrial Average , which counts Apple as a component, has gained 7%.</p><p>Of the 41 analysts tracked by FactSet who cover Apple's stock, 28 have buy ratings, 10 have hold ratings and three have sell ratings, with an average price target of $132.71.</p><p>Apple has declined to give a quantitative financial forecast in each of its last three earnings reports because of uncertainty related to the COVID-19 pandemic, and the trend will likely continue this quarter.</p><p>\"Given lingering uncertainty, we expect Apple is more likely to provide 'guidelines' rather than 'guidance' for Q2,\" Bernstein analyst Toni Sacconaghi wrote in a note to clients. In addition to the many unknowns around the pandemic, Apple's late launch timing of the latest batch of iPhones means that the March quarter could be stronger than usual, since there were fewer iPhone 12 \"selling days\" leading up to it.</p><p>Sacconaghi will also be watching for commentary on Apple's ongoing dispute with app developers led by Epic Games, which sued Apple and claimed that the company's App Store rules around in-app purchases are monopolistic. Apple lowered commission rates for smaller developers that make up the bulk of those on the App Store, even as these developers don't contribute too much to Apple's overall revenue from the platform.</p><p>More on Apple and Epic: 'Fortnite' dispute might open floodgates to serious scrutiny of Apple</p><p>\"We believe that Apple's decision to lower commissions was politically astute, allowing the company to portray itself as a promoter of small business, while also superficially addressing the complaint that its high app store fees are stifling competition and innovation,\" wrote Sacconaghi, who has a market perform rating and $120 price target on the stock. \"It remains to be seen if Apple will provide further commentary on this issue; that said, we continue to believe that the legal risk to App Store revenue is low.\"</p><p>Morgan Stanley's Huberty is interested in the company's China momentum. She suspects that the company is benefiting from weakness at Huawei, citing data that suggest customers are switching from Huawei to Apple devices at the highest rate in 15 months. She has an overweight rating and $152 price target on the stock.</p><p>Goldman Sachs analyst Rod Hall echoed the point about Huawei's challenges, though he's concerned \"that Apple has already begun cutting iPhone orders\" and that build orders for the first half of 2021 suggest a move toward models with lower average selling prices.</p><p>For more: Apple bear throws cold water on 'supercycle' story</p><p>\"These changes are consistent, in our opinion, with a normal iPhone redesign cycle but are not consistent with a supercycle,\" he wrote. \"As a result we continue to expect iPhone replacement rates to resume their ongoing decline in 2021.\" Hall has a sell rating and $85 target price on Apple shares .</p><p>Monness, Crespi, Hardt &amp; Co. analyst Brian White highlights several new products and services that Apple could shed light on during the quarterly call. During the December quarter, the company began selling its AirPods Max over-the-ear headphones and rolled out both a subscription fitness offering and a way to bundle service together for a discount.</p><p>Read: Apple is getting an earful over the AirPods Max's $549 price tag</p><p>\"In our view, Apple's portfolio was positioned better-than-ever heading into the recent holiday season, while product and service updates position Planet Apple well in 2021,\" he wrote. White has a buy rating and $144 price target on Apple shares.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Get ready for Apple's first $100 billion quarter in history</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGet ready for Apple's first $100 billion quarter in history\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-01-25 19:19</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Apple earnings preview: Successful iPhone 12 holiday sales are expected to help drive record revenue above milestone mark</p><p>Even a pandemic can't stop Apple Inc. from hitting new records.</p><p>The smartphone giant is expected to post its first-ever quarter with more than $100 billion in revenue Wednesday, driven by a strong early performance for its new iPhone 12 line as well as continued demand for Macs and iPads for remote work and school needs.</p><p>Apple's <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$(AAPL)$</a> fiscal first-quarter results will be the first to include sales from the iPhone 12 family of devices, which began to roll out in October , in the view of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">Morgan Stanley</a> analyst Katy Huberty.</p><p>Customers seem to be increasingly opting for higher-priced iPhone models and more expensive storage configurations, which would boost the average selling price of devices and help the company's profit margin. Apple no longer provides unit-sales metrics that shed light on its average selling prices, but the company usually offers some qualitative comments about which devices are performing best.</p><p>Apple has also seen strong sales of Macs and iPads amid the pandemic, with more people working and studying from home, and that momentum is expected to have continued into the fiscal first quarter. The company launched new iPads late last year as well as its first computers to feature the company's own custom chip .</p><p>Analysts expect record performance for the company's services category as well, though <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> area may not hold up as well. Apple has done a good job of transitioning sales to its online store given the COVID-19 crisis, but it's \"overly reliant on in-store customer purchases\" to drive sales of its AppleCare insurance product, Huberty wrote.</p><p>Earnings: Analysts tracked by FactSet expect that Apple earned $1.41 a share in the December quarter, up from $1.25 a year earlier. On Estimize, which crowdsources estimates from hedge funds, academics and others, the average projection calls for $1.45 a share.</p><p>Revenue: The FactSet consensus models a record $102.54 billion in revenue for Apple's fiscal first quarter, up from $91.82 billion a year prior. The Estimize consensus is for $103.76 billion.</p><p>Analysts tracked by FactSet model $59.58 billion in iPhone revenue for Apple, up from $55.96 billion a year earlier. Apple declined to give formal guidance for the quarter on the last earnings call, but Chief Financial Officer Luca Maestri said at the time to expect growth in iPhone revenue even though devices would begin shipping later in the quarter than they did a year prior.</p><p>The FactSet consensus calls for $7.38 billion in Pad revenue, up from $5.98 billion; $8.63 billion in Mac revenue, up from $7.16 billion; $15.17 billion in services revenue, up from $12.72 billion; and $11.49 billion in revenue for the wearables, home, and accessories category, up from $10.01 billion.</p><p>Stock movement: Apple shares have gained following three of the past five earnings reports, and the shares are up 72% over the past year as the Dow Jones Industrial Average , which counts Apple as a component, has gained 7%.</p><p>Of the 41 analysts tracked by FactSet who cover Apple's stock, 28 have buy ratings, 10 have hold ratings and three have sell ratings, with an average price target of $132.71.</p><p>Apple has declined to give a quantitative financial forecast in each of its last three earnings reports because of uncertainty related to the COVID-19 pandemic, and the trend will likely continue this quarter.</p><p>\"Given lingering uncertainty, we expect Apple is more likely to provide 'guidelines' rather than 'guidance' for Q2,\" Bernstein analyst Toni Sacconaghi wrote in a note to clients. In addition to the many unknowns around the pandemic, Apple's late launch timing of the latest batch of iPhones means that the March quarter could be stronger than usual, since there were fewer iPhone 12 \"selling days\" leading up to it.</p><p>Sacconaghi will also be watching for commentary on Apple's ongoing dispute with app developers led by Epic Games, which sued Apple and claimed that the company's App Store rules around in-app purchases are monopolistic. Apple lowered commission rates for smaller developers that make up the bulk of those on the App Store, even as these developers don't contribute too much to Apple's overall revenue from the platform.</p><p>More on Apple and Epic: 'Fortnite' dispute might open floodgates to serious scrutiny of Apple</p><p>\"We believe that Apple's decision to lower commissions was politically astute, allowing the company to portray itself as a promoter of small business, while also superficially addressing the complaint that its high app store fees are stifling competition and innovation,\" wrote Sacconaghi, who has a market perform rating and $120 price target on the stock. \"It remains to be seen if Apple will provide further commentary on this issue; that said, we continue to believe that the legal risk to App Store revenue is low.\"</p><p>Morgan Stanley's Huberty is interested in the company's China momentum. She suspects that the company is benefiting from weakness at Huawei, citing data that suggest customers are switching from Huawei to Apple devices at the highest rate in 15 months. She has an overweight rating and $152 price target on the stock.</p><p>Goldman Sachs analyst Rod Hall echoed the point about Huawei's challenges, though he's concerned \"that Apple has already begun cutting iPhone orders\" and that build orders for the first half of 2021 suggest a move toward models with lower average selling prices.</p><p>For more: Apple bear throws cold water on 'supercycle' story</p><p>\"These changes are consistent, in our opinion, with a normal iPhone redesign cycle but are not consistent with a supercycle,\" he wrote. \"As a result we continue to expect iPhone replacement rates to resume their ongoing decline in 2021.\" Hall has a sell rating and $85 target price on Apple shares .</p><p>Monness, Crespi, Hardt &amp; Co. analyst Brian White highlights several new products and services that Apple could shed light on during the quarterly call. During the December quarter, the company began selling its AirPods Max over-the-ear headphones and rolled out both a subscription fitness offering and a way to bundle service together for a discount.</p><p>Read: Apple is getting an earful over the AirPods Max's $549 price tag</p><p>\"In our view, Apple's portfolio was positioned better-than-ever heading into the recent holiday season, while product and service updates position Planet Apple well in 2021,\" he wrote. White has a buy rating and $144 price target on Apple shares.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果","03086":"华夏纳指","09086":"华夏纳指-U"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2105349950","content_text":"Apple earnings preview: Successful iPhone 12 holiday sales are expected to help drive record revenue above milestone markEven a pandemic can't stop Apple Inc. from hitting new records.The smartphone giant is expected to post its first-ever quarter with more than $100 billion in revenue Wednesday, driven by a strong early performance for its new iPhone 12 line as well as continued demand for Macs and iPads for remote work and school needs.Apple's $(AAPL)$ fiscal first-quarter results will be the first to include sales from the iPhone 12 family of devices, which began to roll out in October , in the view of Morgan Stanley analyst Katy Huberty.Customers seem to be increasingly opting for higher-priced iPhone models and more expensive storage configurations, which would boost the average selling price of devices and help the company's profit margin. Apple no longer provides unit-sales metrics that shed light on its average selling prices, but the company usually offers some qualitative comments about which devices are performing best.Apple has also seen strong sales of Macs and iPads amid the pandemic, with more people working and studying from home, and that momentum is expected to have continued into the fiscal first quarter. The company launched new iPads late last year as well as its first computers to feature the company's own custom chip .Analysts expect record performance for the company's services category as well, though one area may not hold up as well. Apple has done a good job of transitioning sales to its online store given the COVID-19 crisis, but it's \"overly reliant on in-store customer purchases\" to drive sales of its AppleCare insurance product, Huberty wrote.Earnings: Analysts tracked by FactSet expect that Apple earned $1.41 a share in the December quarter, up from $1.25 a year earlier. On Estimize, which crowdsources estimates from hedge funds, academics and others, the average projection calls for $1.45 a share.Revenue: The FactSet consensus models a record $102.54 billion in revenue for Apple's fiscal first quarter, up from $91.82 billion a year prior. The Estimize consensus is for $103.76 billion.Analysts tracked by FactSet model $59.58 billion in iPhone revenue for Apple, up from $55.96 billion a year earlier. Apple declined to give formal guidance for the quarter on the last earnings call, but Chief Financial Officer Luca Maestri said at the time to expect growth in iPhone revenue even though devices would begin shipping later in the quarter than they did a year prior.The FactSet consensus calls for $7.38 billion in Pad revenue, up from $5.98 billion; $8.63 billion in Mac revenue, up from $7.16 billion; $15.17 billion in services revenue, up from $12.72 billion; and $11.49 billion in revenue for the wearables, home, and accessories category, up from $10.01 billion.Stock movement: Apple shares have gained following three of the past five earnings reports, and the shares are up 72% over the past year as the Dow Jones Industrial Average , which counts Apple as a component, has gained 7%.Of the 41 analysts tracked by FactSet who cover Apple's stock, 28 have buy ratings, 10 have hold ratings and three have sell ratings, with an average price target of $132.71.Apple has declined to give a quantitative financial forecast in each of its last three earnings reports because of uncertainty related to the COVID-19 pandemic, and the trend will likely continue this quarter.\"Given lingering uncertainty, we expect Apple is more likely to provide 'guidelines' rather than 'guidance' for Q2,\" Bernstein analyst Toni Sacconaghi wrote in a note to clients. In addition to the many unknowns around the pandemic, Apple's late launch timing of the latest batch of iPhones means that the March quarter could be stronger than usual, since there were fewer iPhone 12 \"selling days\" leading up to it.Sacconaghi will also be watching for commentary on Apple's ongoing dispute with app developers led by Epic Games, which sued Apple and claimed that the company's App Store rules around in-app purchases are monopolistic. Apple lowered commission rates for smaller developers that make up the bulk of those on the App Store, even as these developers don't contribute too much to Apple's overall revenue from the platform.More on Apple and Epic: 'Fortnite' dispute might open floodgates to serious scrutiny of Apple\"We believe that Apple's decision to lower commissions was politically astute, allowing the company to portray itself as a promoter of small business, while also superficially addressing the complaint that its high app store fees are stifling competition and innovation,\" wrote Sacconaghi, who has a market perform rating and $120 price target on the stock. \"It remains to be seen if Apple will provide further commentary on this issue; that said, we continue to believe that the legal risk to App Store revenue is low.\"Morgan Stanley's Huberty is interested in the company's China momentum. She suspects that the company is benefiting from weakness at Huawei, citing data that suggest customers are switching from Huawei to Apple devices at the highest rate in 15 months. She has an overweight rating and $152 price target on the stock.Goldman Sachs analyst Rod Hall echoed the point about Huawei's challenges, though he's concerned \"that Apple has already begun cutting iPhone orders\" and that build orders for the first half of 2021 suggest a move toward models with lower average selling prices.For more: Apple bear throws cold water on 'supercycle' story\"These changes are consistent, in our opinion, with a normal iPhone redesign cycle but are not consistent with a supercycle,\" he wrote. \"As a result we continue to expect iPhone replacement rates to resume their ongoing decline in 2021.\" Hall has a sell rating and $85 target price on Apple shares .Monness, Crespi, Hardt & Co. analyst Brian White highlights several new products and services that Apple could shed light on during the quarterly call. During the December quarter, the company began selling its AirPods Max over-the-ear headphones and rolled out both a subscription fitness offering and a way to bundle service together for a discount.Read: Apple is getting an earful over the AirPods Max's $549 price tag\"In our view, Apple's portfolio was positioned better-than-ever heading into the recent holiday season, while product and service updates position Planet Apple well in 2021,\" he wrote. White has a buy rating and $144 price target on Apple shares.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":181,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":338910577,"gmtCreate":1609805949999,"gmtModify":1704980125235,"author":{"id":"3570573751246627","authorId":"3570573751246627","name":"BurdBurdGod","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6e4fe4d46c6ba7c4d80e98a361af60ae","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570573751246627","authorIdStr":"3570573751246627"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Harlo","listText":"Harlo","text":"Harlo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/338910577","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":422,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3527667803686145","authorId":"3527667803686145","name":"社区成长助手","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b7c7106b5c0c8b0037faa67439d898f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3527667803686145","authorIdStr":"3527667803686145"},"content":"Finally, when you first post [compare heart] [compare heart] post, you can get more exposure by related stocks or related topics. If you want to create high-quality articles, please checkGuidelines for Tiger Community Creation","text":"Finally, when you first post [compare heart] [compare heart] post, you can get more exposure by related stocks or related topics. If you want to create high-quality articles, please checkGuidelines for Tiger Community Creation","html":"Finally, when you first post [compare heart] [compare heart] post, you can get more exposure by related stocks or related topics. If you want to create high-quality articles, please checkGuidelines for Tiger Community Creation"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":319948688,"gmtCreate":1611497956344,"gmtModify":1704860429338,"author":{"id":"3570573751246627","authorId":"3570573751246627","name":"BurdBurdGod","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6e4fe4d46c6ba7c4d80e98a361af60ae","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570573751246627","authorIdStr":"3570573751246627"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/319948688","repostId":"2105593894","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":124,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":237342973030592,"gmtCreate":1698980753329,"gmtModify":1698980756457,"author":{"id":"3570573751246627","authorId":"3570573751246627","name":"BurdBurdGod","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6e4fe4d46c6ba7c4d80e98a361af60ae","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570573751246627","authorIdStr":"3570573751246627"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/237342973030592","repostId":"234641357262864","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":234641357262864,"gmtCreate":1698311576543,"gmtModify":1698655637693,"author":{"id":"3527667667103859","authorId":"3527667667103859","name":"TigerEvents","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c266ef25181ace18bec1262357bbe1a8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667667103859","authorIdStr":"3527667667103859"},"themes":[],"title":"Join Tiger's Halloween Fun! Win Big!","htmlText":"Hey there, spooky squad! 🎃Halloween is coming, and it's time for some fang-tastic fun with our new game - Trick Or Trade! Get ready for some fun, and earn points to win a USD 100 stock voucher and AAPL stock!*In this thrilling game, you'll have just 60 seconds to fend off a gang of mischievous Halloween spirits. It's your job to give them a fright and chase them away with a tap – the more, the merrier!Now, here's the twist: each ghostly friend will require different taps and will reward you with various points.Airy the Apparition - Just one tap, and poof, they vanish. Spooktacularly easy!Bubbles the Water Pixie - Disappears with zero taps - A true magic trick!Rocky the Earth Spirit - You'll need to tap twice to send it packing. He's grounded, you see.Flicker the Embergeist - Another one-ta","listText":"Hey there, spooky squad! 🎃Halloween is coming, and it's time for some fang-tastic fun with our new game - Trick Or Trade! 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活動獎勵】領取，過期未領取的獎勵將自動失效。 重要提示： 本次7週年活動涉及不同國家和地區，由於各地區的監管要求不同，不同地區的活動獎勵會有所區別。欲知詳情，請點擊下方活動鏈接，登陸您的賬號，並點擊“活動規則“查看詳情。","text":"老虎7週年給大家發福利了，集齊TIGER五個字母即有機會瓜分百萬獎金，你準備好了嗎？ 戳我即可參與活動 \u0001如何參與？ 用戶可通過完成活動頁面展示的當日任務列表來獲得字母卡，每完成一個任務即可隨機獲得一個字母，用戶集齊“TIGER”五個字母即可參與瓜分百萬股票代金券，每個用戶單日最多可獲得20張字母卡（不包括好友贈予和魔法卡）。 用戶在活動期間邀請累計7名好友完成註冊並開戶（註冊時間和開戶時間均在活動期間），即可獲得一張魔法卡（每人僅可獲得一張魔法卡）。魔法卡可用於兌換TIGER中的任意一個字母。\u0001如果用戶的某一字母卡數量爲0，則字母卡爲灰色，用戶可通過點擊灰色的字母卡向好友索要卡片；如果用戶的字母卡數量大於0，則字母卡爲彩色，用戶可通過點擊彩色的字母卡向好友贈送卡片。當用戶集齊TIGER之後將無法再索要卡片或者贈送卡片。 \u0001 \u0001如何獲得獎勵？ 用戶可在2021年7月1日至2021年7月2日期間進行開獎，所有集齊TIGER的客戶可點擊活動頁面的“開獎”按鈕，即可查看自己瓜分到的股票代金券獎勵。在開獎時間段內未點擊開獎的用戶將無法獲得獎勵。\u0001 獎勵發放： 股票代金券將在開獎後的1個工作日內發放至用戶的獎勵中心，用戶需要在獎勵發放後的20天內前往【Tiger Trade APP > 我的 > 活動獎勵】領取，過期未領取的獎勵將自動失效。 重要提示： 本次7週年活動涉及不同國家和地區，由於各地區的監管要求不同，不同地區的活動獎勵會有所區別。欲知詳情，請點擊下方活動鏈接，登陸您的賬號，並點擊“活動規則“查看詳情。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd956a9c2fc9ee609753ae5f967072a7","width":"415","height":"616"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92e88357b534f504b3088bc22f577a83","width":"415","height":"326"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe0400cc487fb56f85d401ab03df4d5e","width":"415","height":"356"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/114899451","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":8,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":202,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":168989079,"gmtCreate":1623946683291,"gmtModify":1703824420718,"author":{"id":"3570573751246627","authorId":"3570573751246627","name":"BurdBurdGod","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6e4fe4d46c6ba7c4d80e98a361af60ae","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570573751246627","authorIdStr":"3570573751246627"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$</a>To the moon","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$</a>To the moon","text":"$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$To the moon","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d2c8b00c1562740872646e695f180861","width":"1242","height":"2151"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/168989079","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":278,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":131569234,"gmtCreate":1621867698528,"gmtModify":1704363609893,"author":{"id":"3570573751246627","authorId":"3570573751246627","name":"BurdBurdGod","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6e4fe4d46c6ba7c4d80e98a361af60ae","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570573751246627","authorIdStr":"3570573751246627"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$</a>[Smile]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$</a>[Smile]&nbsp;","text":"$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$[Smile]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ddc009d1622f86ec0a7d57df0a50268","width":"1242","height":"2151"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/131569234","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":236,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":319946373,"gmtCreate":1611498241392,"gmtModify":1704860430313,"author":{"id":"3570573751246627","authorId":"3570573751246627","name":"BurdBurdGod","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6e4fe4d46c6ba7c4d80e98a361af60ae","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570573751246627","authorIdStr":"3570573751246627"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hellooo","listText":"Hellooo","text":"Hellooo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/319946373","repostId":"1106179554","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":155,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}