Yeong personal page - To The Moon

Yeong

Yeong

No personal profile

424Follow

28Followers

0Topic

0Badge

2022-09-21

Y

今晚美联储会议后，美股会大幅反弹吗？

2022-09-17

Y

@Alvin Chow:No salaries for Sea executives is a signal

2022-09-09

Y

英国女王伊丽莎白二世去世，享年96岁

2022-09-06

Y

英国女首相“第一把火”：砸1300亿英镑能源补贴

2022-09-04

Y

突发利空！郭广昌罕见出手，拟减持千亿白马股

2022-09-02

Y

林俊杰“炒房”翻车，已浮亏86.5%，元宇宙房地产凉了吗？

2022-08-29

Y

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2022-08-27

Y

中金：中美签署审计监管合作协议，后续影响如何解读

2022-08-26

Y

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2022-08-25

Y

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2022-08-24

Y

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2022-08-23

Y

鲍威尔周五会说什么？华尔街猜测是“抗通胀第一，扶经济第二”

2022-08-20

Y

纳指跌2%，明星科技股普遍走低

2022-08-18

Y

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2022-08-17

Y

夜读 | 华尔街秃鹰的猎食之道

2022-08-16

Y

中东土豪“抄底”美股！大手笔建仓了这些股

2022-08-15

Y

挺过危机：比巴菲特还相信可乐的人们

2022-08-14

Y

盘前 | 瑞银Q2减持苹果、亚马逊‌！两药企发公告安抚投资者‌

2022-08-13

Y

千亿景林资产“抄底”零售地产？贝壳成其美股头号持仓

2022-08-09

Y

@步步為營:$Jumia Technologies AG(JMIA)$😃😃😃

Go to Tiger App to see more news

{"i18n":{"language":"en_US"},"userPageInfo":{"id":"3570864790458781","uuid":"3570864790458781","gmtCreate":1607786757329,"gmtModify":1618281028428,"name":"Yeong","pinyin":"yeong","introduction":"","introductionEn":"","signature":"","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93092185d223c6e53fcfd64303836612","hat":null,"hatId":null,"hatName":null,"vip":1,"status":2,"fanSize":28,"headSize":424,"tweetSize":505,"questionSize":0,"limitLevel":999,"accountStatus":4,"level":{"id":2,"name":"无畏虎","nameTw":"無畏虎","represent":"初生牛犊","factor":"发布3条非转发主帖,1条获得他人回复或点赞","iconColor":"3C9E83","bgColor":"A2F1D9"},"themeCounts":0,"badgeCounts":0,"badges":[],"moderator":false,"superModerator":false,"manageSymbols":null,"badgeLevel":null,"boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"favoriteSize":2,"symbols":null,"coverImage":null,"realNameVerified":"success","userBadges":[{"badgeId":"1026c425416b44e0aac28c11a0848493-2","templateUuid":"1026c425416b44e0aac28c11a0848493","name":"Senior Tiger","description":"Join the tiger community for 1000 days","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0063fb68ea29c9ae6858c58630e182d5","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/96c699a93be4214d4b49aea6a5a5d1a4","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/35b0e542a9ff77046ed69ef602bc105d","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2023.09.09","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001},{"badgeId":"972123088c9646f7b6091ae0662215be-2","templateUuid":"972123088c9646f7b6091ae0662215be","name":"Master Trader","description":"Total number of securities or futures transactions reached 100","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad22cfbe2d05aa393b18e9226e4b0307","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/36702e6ff3ffe46acafee66cc85273ca","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d52eb88fa385cf5abe2616ed63781765","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.03.23","exceedPercentage":"80.31%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100},{"badgeId":"7a9f168ff73447fe856ed6c938b61789-1","templateUuid":"7a9f168ff73447fe856ed6c938b61789","name":"Knowledgeable Investor","description":"Traded more than 10 stocks","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e74cc24115c4fbae6154ec1b1041bf47","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d48265cbfd97c57f9048db29f22227b0","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76c6d6898b073c77e1c537ebe9ac1c57","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.02.19","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1102},{"badgeId":"a83d7582f45846ffbccbce770ce65d84-1","templateUuid":"a83d7582f45846ffbccbce770ce65d84","name":"Real Trader","description":"Completed a transaction","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e08a1cc2087a1de93402c2c290fa65b","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4504a6397ce1137932d56e5f4ce27166","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b22c79415b4cd6e3d8ebc4a0fa32604","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100}],"userBadgeCount":4,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"972123088c9646f7b6091ae0662215be-2","templateUuid":"972123088c9646f7b6091ae0662215be","name":"Master Trader","description":"Total number of securities or futures transactions reached 100","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad22cfbe2d05aa393b18e9226e4b0307","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/36702e6ff3ffe46acafee66cc85273ca","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d52eb88fa385cf5abe2616ed63781765","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.03.23","exceedPercentage":"80.38%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100},"individualDisplayBadges":null,"crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"location":null,"starInvestorFollowerNum":0,"starInvestorFlag":false,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":0,"subscribeStarInvestorNum":3,"ror":null,"winRationPercentage":null,"showRor":false,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"baikeInfo":{},"tab":"post","tweets":[{"id":9919818068,"gmtCreate":1663770471654,"gmtModify":1676537333119,"author":{"id":"3570864790458781","authorId":"3570864790458781","name":"Yeong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93092185d223c6e53fcfd64303836612","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570864790458781","authorIdStr":"3570864790458781"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Y","listText":"Y","text":"Y","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9919818068","repostId":"1187317494","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1187317494","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"港股挖掘机将每天为您推送最具价值的港股、美股、A股投资资讯！第一时间把握全球政策动向，先人一步了解主流资金流向，监测主力行踪，解读公司公告，追踪活跃个股，让您畅享投资财富盛宴!","home_visible":1,"media_name":"智通财经APP","id":"12","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/361f7f1ca0d64e919035653d64c723ab"},"pubTimestamp":1663763564,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1187317494?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-21 20:32","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"今晚美联储会议后，美股会大幅反弹吗？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1187317494","media":"智通财经APP","summary":"对于陷入悲观情绪的股票投资者来说，美联储今晚的加息实际上可能会让他们松一口气。由于美联储可能会采取更强硬的立场来对抗灼热的通货膨胀，在美联储会议之前，美国股市已经感受到了压力，标普500指数和纳斯达克","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>对于陷入悲观情绪的股票投资者来说，美联储今晚的加息实际上可能会让他们松一口气。</p><p>由于美联储可能会采取更强硬的立场来对抗灼热的通货膨胀，在美联储会议之前，美国股市已经感受到了压力，标普500指数和纳斯达克100指数在过去6天分别下跌了6.2%和7%。</p><p>智通财经APP注意到，从历史经验来看，一旦议息会议结束，市场可能会出现反弹。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dfbbfcdf5880736eefc8f6afe2773297\" tg-width=\"577\" tg-height=\"322\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>在过去18个月里，美联储10次做出利率决议后，标普500指数有8次上涨。在美联储1月、3月和6月召开会议后的几天里，股市上涨了6%至9%。</p><p>联邦金融网络的首席投资官Brad McMillan表示，“市场预期非常强硬，美联储可能会像预期的那样公布结果，但仍比预期的更为鸽派。”“这可能限制了此次会议带来的市场下行，并可能为未来提供一些上行空间。”</p><p>今晚将是美联储今年连续第五次加息，在这次加息后基准借贷利率可能将升至3.25%。这可能推动10年期美国国债收益率突破3.5%，达到2011年以来的最高水平，迫使许多投资者抛售股票。</p><p>但这种极度看跌的仓位也可能成为支撑股市的一个来源。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">美国银行</a>最新月度调查显示，基金经理对股票的减持程度达到有史以来的最低水平，而现金水平则处于有记录以来的最高水平。</p><p>AJ Bell金融分析师Danni Hewson表示，“市场对美联储下一步举措的猜测太多，最终做出决定应该会给投资者带来一些急需的宽慰。”“如果美联储按照原定计划再次加息75个基点，市场可能会有所反弹，部分原因是加息整整一个百分点的担忧并没有发生。”</p><p>另一个指标CFTC的标准普尔500净非商业性期货，也显示出极为负面的看法，已达到2008年、2011年、2015年和2020年衰退期间的水平。这种悲观情绪通常被视为一个反向指标，预示着反弹。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/68dbbf9d1d33d436769f38fdfdbbd7dd\" tg-width=\"569\" tg-height=\"333\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">摩根大通</a>策略师 Marko Kolanovic 周一表示，“强劲的收益、低投资者头寸和稳定的长期通胀预期应该会缓解风险资产的任何下行空间。”</p><p>市场技术面也可能预示着底部即将到来，尤其是在科技股方面。以科技股为主的纳斯达克 100 指数今年下跌了 27%，目前约有 16% 的成分股交易价格略高于 200 天移动平均线。</p><p>分析显示，这种低迷的技术面与此前的市场底部相吻合——2008年除外。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1aa0b2bdc23c00457ac3b3845e668f41\" tg-width=\"577\" tg-height=\"340\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>不过，并非所有人都相信股市即将反弹。与历史和以往经济低迷时期相比，美国股市估值仍处于高位，这使得一些投资者在美联储继续加息之际，不愿增加风险敞口。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLK\">贝莱德</a>全球首席投资策略师Wei Li周一表示，“我们预计政策过度紧缩会导致衰退。”她的策略立场是减持股票，因为“衰退风险仍未被考虑在内”。</p><p>野村证券的量化分析师Yoshitaka <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SUD.AU\">Suda</a>表示，投机投资者之间的供需动态，正促使美国股市进一步走软，宏观基金在美国最新通胀数据出炉后立即建立起空头头寸。Suda在一份报告中表示，至少在10月7日就业数据发布之前，宏观基金“将继续做空美国股市”。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>今晚美联储会议后，美股会大幅反弹吗？</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n今晚美联储会议后，美股会大幅反弹吗？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/12\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/361f7f1ca0d64e919035653d64c723ab);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">智通财经APP </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-09-21 20:32</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>对于陷入悲观情绪的股票投资者来说，美联储今晚的加息实际上可能会让他们松一口气。</p><p>由于美联储可能会采取更强硬的立场来对抗灼热的通货膨胀，在美联储会议之前，美国股市已经感受到了压力，标普500指数和纳斯达克100指数在过去6天分别下跌了6.2%和7%。</p><p>智通财经APP注意到，从历史经验来看，一旦议息会议结束，市场可能会出现反弹。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dfbbfcdf5880736eefc8f6afe2773297\" tg-width=\"577\" tg-height=\"322\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>在过去18个月里，美联储10次做出利率决议后，标普500指数有8次上涨。在美联储1月、3月和6月召开会议后的几天里，股市上涨了6%至9%。</p><p>联邦金融网络的首席投资官Brad McMillan表示，“市场预期非常强硬，美联储可能会像预期的那样公布结果，但仍比预期的更为鸽派。”“这可能限制了此次会议带来的市场下行，并可能为未来提供一些上行空间。”</p><p>今晚将是美联储今年连续第五次加息，在这次加息后基准借贷利率可能将升至3.25%。这可能推动10年期美国国债收益率突破3.5%，达到2011年以来的最高水平，迫使许多投资者抛售股票。</p><p>但这种极度看跌的仓位也可能成为支撑股市的一个来源。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">美国银行</a>最新月度调查显示，基金经理对股票的减持程度达到有史以来的最低水平，而现金水平则处于有记录以来的最高水平。</p><p>AJ Bell金融分析师Danni Hewson表示，“市场对美联储下一步举措的猜测太多，最终做出决定应该会给投资者带来一些急需的宽慰。”“如果美联储按照原定计划再次加息75个基点，市场可能会有所反弹，部分原因是加息整整一个百分点的担忧并没有发生。”</p><p>另一个指标CFTC的标准普尔500净非商业性期货，也显示出极为负面的看法，已达到2008年、2011年、2015年和2020年衰退期间的水平。这种悲观情绪通常被视为一个反向指标，预示着反弹。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/68dbbf9d1d33d436769f38fdfdbbd7dd\" tg-width=\"569\" tg-height=\"333\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">摩根大通</a>策略师 Marko Kolanovic 周一表示，“强劲的收益、低投资者头寸和稳定的长期通胀预期应该会缓解风险资产的任何下行空间。”</p><p>市场技术面也可能预示着底部即将到来，尤其是在科技股方面。以科技股为主的纳斯达克 100 指数今年下跌了 27%，目前约有 16% 的成分股交易价格略高于 200 天移动平均线。</p><p>分析显示，这种低迷的技术面与此前的市场底部相吻合——2008年除外。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1aa0b2bdc23c00457ac3b3845e668f41\" tg-width=\"577\" tg-height=\"340\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>不过，并非所有人都相信股市即将反弹。与历史和以往经济低迷时期相比，美国股市估值仍处于高位，这使得一些投资者在美联储继续加息之际，不愿增加风险敞口。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLK\">贝莱德</a>全球首席投资策略师Wei Li周一表示，“我们预计政策过度紧缩会导致衰退。”她的策略立场是减持股票，因为“衰退风险仍未被考虑在内”。</p><p>野村证券的量化分析师Yoshitaka <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SUD.AU\">Suda</a>表示，投机投资者之间的供需动态，正促使美国股市进一步走软，宏观基金在美国最新通胀数据出炉后立即建立起空头头寸。Suda在一份报告中表示，至少在10月7日就业数据发布之前，宏观基金“将继续做空美国股市”。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/55eb327f580527889cf30bafa92692ae","relate_stocks":{"QLD":"纳指两倍做多ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","SPY":"标普500ETF","DJX":"1/100道琼斯","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","UDOW":"道指三倍做多ETF-ProShares","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","QID":"纳指两倍做空ETF","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓",".DJI":"道琼斯","DXD":"道指两倍做空ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","DDM":"道指两倍做多ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","OEX":"标普100","SDOW":"道指三倍做空ETF-ProShares","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1187317494","content_text":"对于陷入悲观情绪的股票投资者来说，美联储今晚的加息实际上可能会让他们松一口气。由于美联储可能会采取更强硬的立场来对抗灼热的通货膨胀，在美联储会议之前，美国股市已经感受到了压力，标普500指数和纳斯达克100指数在过去6天分别下跌了6.2%和7%。智通财经APP注意到，从历史经验来看，一旦议息会议结束，市场可能会出现反弹。在过去18个月里，美联储10次做出利率决议后，标普500指数有8次上涨。在美联储1月、3月和6月召开会议后的几天里，股市上涨了6%至9%。联邦金融网络的首席投资官Brad McMillan表示，“市场预期非常强硬，美联储可能会像预期的那样公布结果，但仍比预期的更为鸽派。”“这可能限制了此次会议带来的市场下行，并可能为未来提供一些上行空间。”今晚将是美联储今年连续第五次加息，在这次加息后基准借贷利率可能将升至3.25%。这可能推动10年期美国国债收益率突破3.5%，达到2011年以来的最高水平，迫使许多投资者抛售股票。但这种极度看跌的仓位也可能成为支撑股市的一个来源。美国银行最新月度调查显示，基金经理对股票的减持程度达到有史以来的最低水平，而现金水平则处于有记录以来的最高水平。AJ Bell金融分析师Danni Hewson表示，“市场对美联储下一步举措的猜测太多，最终做出决定应该会给投资者带来一些急需的宽慰。”“如果美联储按照原定计划再次加息75个基点，市场可能会有所反弹，部分原因是加息整整一个百分点的担忧并没有发生。”另一个指标CFTC的标准普尔500净非商业性期货，也显示出极为负面的看法，已达到2008年、2011年、2015年和2020年衰退期间的水平。这种悲观情绪通常被视为一个反向指标，预示着反弹。摩根大通策略师 Marko Kolanovic 周一表示，“强劲的收益、低投资者头寸和稳定的长期通胀预期应该会缓解风险资产的任何下行空间。”市场技术面也可能预示着底部即将到来，尤其是在科技股方面。以科技股为主的纳斯达克 100 指数今年下跌了 27%，目前约有 16% 的成分股交易价格略高于 200 天移动平均线。分析显示，这种低迷的技术面与此前的市场底部相吻合——2008年除外。不过，并非所有人都相信股市即将反弹。与历史和以往经济低迷时期相比，美国股市估值仍处于高位，这使得一些投资者在美联储继续加息之际，不愿增加风险敞口。贝莱德全球首席投资策略师Wei Li周一表示，“我们预计政策过度紧缩会导致衰退。”她的策略立场是减持股票，因为“衰退风险仍未被考虑在内”。野村证券的量化分析师Yoshitaka Suda表示，投机投资者之间的供需动态，正促使美国股市进一步走软，宏观基金在美国最新通胀数据出炉后立即建立起空头头寸。Suda在一份报告中表示，至少在10月7日就业数据发布之前，宏观基金“将继续做空美国股市”。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":384,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9937305248,"gmtCreate":1663367085784,"gmtModify":1676537258165,"author":{"id":"3570864790458781","authorId":"3570864790458781","name":"Yeong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93092185d223c6e53fcfd64303836612","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570864790458781","authorIdStr":"3570864790458781"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Y","listText":"Y","text":"Y","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9937305248","repostId":"9934468580","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9934468580,"gmtCreate":1663290784441,"gmtModify":1676537244822,"author":{"id":"3558908080415665","authorId":"3558908080415665","name":"Alvin Chow","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2abf7014742f3e282e9781e945db75b0","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3558908080415665","authorIdStr":"3558908080415665"},"themes":[],"title":"No salaries for Sea executives is a signal","htmlText":"Forrest Li, CEO of Sea Ltd, wrote a memo to rally its staff to achieve positive cash flow for the company as fast as possible. The bearish sentiment has made fund raising difficult. To achieve the goal, the management will forgo salaries and rein in expenses. The message was specific to cash-based compensation and that could mean share grants may continue for the executives. That could be limited in scope too considering that Forrest didn't receive any stock options since 2020. About 10,000 stock options were given to the management in 2021. Estimated to cost just US$150,000.In FY21, the directors and executives received US$6.4m in compensation. Compared to the cash flow from operations of US$209m, it is a mere 3% difference. Unlikely to move the needle for Sea. The signalling is more impo","listText":"Forrest Li, CEO of Sea Ltd, wrote a memo to rally its staff to achieve positive cash flow for the company as fast as possible. The bearish sentiment has made fund raising difficult. To achieve the goal, the management will forgo salaries and rein in expenses. The message was specific to cash-based compensation and that could mean share grants may continue for the executives. That could be limited in scope too considering that Forrest didn't receive any stock options since 2020. About 10,000 stock options were given to the management in 2021. Estimated to cost just US$150,000.In FY21, the directors and executives received US$6.4m in compensation. Compared to the cash flow from operations of US$209m, it is a mere 3% difference. Unlikely to move the needle for Sea. The signalling is more impo","text":"Forrest Li, CEO of Sea Ltd, wrote a memo to rally its staff to achieve positive cash flow for the company as fast as possible. The bearish sentiment has made fund raising difficult. To achieve the goal, the management will forgo salaries and rein in expenses. The message was specific to cash-based compensation and that could mean share grants may continue for the executives. That could be limited in scope too considering that Forrest didn't receive any stock options since 2020. About 10,000 stock options were given to the management in 2021. Estimated to cost just US$150,000.In FY21, the directors and executives received US$6.4m in compensation. Compared to the cash flow from operations of US$209m, it is a mere 3% difference. Unlikely to move the needle for Sea. The signalling is more impo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9934468580","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":237,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9938764161,"gmtCreate":1662678847553,"gmtModify":1676537113950,"author":{"id":"3570864790458781","authorId":"3570864790458781","name":"Yeong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93092185d223c6e53fcfd64303836612","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570864790458781","authorIdStr":"3570864790458781"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Y","listText":"Y","text":"Y","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9938764161","repostId":"1190604661","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1190604661","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1662658477,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1190604661?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-09 01:34","market":"other","language":"zh","title":"英国女王伊丽莎白二世去世，享年96岁","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1190604661","media":"央视新闻客户端","summary":"见证英国兴衰的史上最长待机女王当地时间9月8日，英国女王伊丽莎白二世在苏格兰巴尔莫勒尔城堡去世，享年96岁。当天稍早，英国白金汉宫发表声明表示，由于医生担心其身体健康情况，英国女王伊丽莎白二世处于医疗监护状态。皇室的正式讣告英国王室官方账号称，在伊丽莎白二世去世后，查尔斯王子随即成为英国的新君主。同月，英国白金汉宫宣布，英国女王伊丽莎白二世新冠病毒检测阳性，症状轻微。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>》》》</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1193358135\" target=\"_blank\"><b>伊丽莎白二世！见证英国兴衰的史上最长待机女王</b></a></p><p>当地时间9月8日，英国女王伊丽莎白二世在苏格兰巴尔莫勒尔城堡去世，享年96岁。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c30b37cc5e316e5c1e37637eca3323cd\" tg-width=\"595\" tg-height=\"682\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>当天稍早，英国白金汉宫发表声明表示，由于医生担心其身体健康情况，英国女王伊丽莎白二世处于医疗监护状态。声明称，目前女王情况尚好，并在苏格兰巴尔莫勒尔城堡接受医疗监护。</p><p>随后，女王最亲密的家人都赶往巴尔莫勒尔城堡。自去年年底以来，由于身体健康等情况，英国女王已减少在公开场合露面。6日，96岁的女王伊丽莎白二世在巴尔莫勒尔城堡接受约翰逊的辞职并正式任命特拉斯为新任首相。</p><p>伊丽莎白二世于1926年4月21日出生于伦敦。1952年，伊丽莎白公主在25岁时成为女王，当时她的父亲乔治六世国王去世。从温斯顿·丘吉尔爵士到利兹·特拉斯，女王在位期间见证了15位英国首相。2015年，她成为历史上在位时间最长的英国君主，打破了她的曾曾祖母维多利亚女王创下的纪录。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/daa6e93ce943bb2e91bf835f5641a16e\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"494\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>皇室的正式讣告</span></p><p>英国王室官方账号称，在伊丽莎白二世去世后，查尔斯王子随即成为英国的新君主。国王和王后今晚将留在巴尔莫勒尔，明天返回伦敦。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dd9972679a6bb7b97091f3604492c912\" tg-width=\"828\" tg-height=\"882\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b82f18dd18fe6f971fe56092e5b087c\" tg-width=\"828\" tg-height=\"503\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>伊丽莎白二世于1926年4月21日出生，于1952年登基，2015年9月成为英国在位时间最长的君主。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d0a97c7554c4f9811c2d53ec6f6eb176\" tg-width=\"518\" tg-height=\"766\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>2月16日，女王会见即将离任的国防部长时略显憔悴，行动不便</p><p>9月8日，白金汉宫表示，英国女王的医生对女王健康状况表示“担忧”，并建议女王“继续接受医学监护”。</p><p>自去年10月以来，英国女王一直受到健康问题困扰。今年2月，伊丽莎白二世女王迎来了在位70周年庆典。</p><p>同月，英国白金汉宫宣布，英国女王伊丽莎白二世新冠病毒检测阳性，症状轻微。</p><p>此前，英国查尔斯王储及妻子卡米拉新冠病毒检测结果呈阳性。</p><p>新冠康复后，女王没有回归众人的视野，站立和走路都很困难。</p><p>今年3月14日的英联邦纪念日活动，女王意外缺席，全英惊讶不已。</p><p>那个”不惜一切也要参加纪念日“的女王，身体着实不行了。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d98fe269af81e6b196ea4ee2db5ea0de\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"234\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d80f44187cbf0d3f78089d883ca06fa2\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"653\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>女王一向以硬朗示人，能站着就绝不坐轮椅，但在她生命的最后一段时间，工作人员还是在她住所安置了电梯，外加一部安全轮椅。</p><p>大家还记得，去年4月9日，<b>和女王携手走完74年的菲利普亲王去世，</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d41ea99bf9b4d18885d045d6af44b01\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"759\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>全英国默哀一分钟，30名王室成员在温莎城堡内为他举办了50分钟的葬礼。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/817cb15c8788101c3c5394f20be3736a\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"810\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>女王一袭黑衣，坐在车内默默垂泪。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cf8f9794a86bf4e8f4b9f3fff0464544\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>之后，女王的健康也频频曝出问题。</b></p><p>菲利普去世1个月后，王室全面复工，</p><p>女王在出席国会开幕仪式时，整个人暴瘦，可以看出心情低沉，失去了昔日的笑容和神采。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ea7bbff6e680751ac6e578566788a1d0\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1350\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>9月份，女王拒绝了紧急的膝盖手术，导致行走困难，</p><p>10月12日，她在出席皇家英国退伍军人协会百年纪念仪式时，首次拄着拐杖出现，</p><p>这一幕引发轩然大波，引发对女王健康状况的猜测。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1f1a766c221106dbf3b5e383617baef5\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1171\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>虽然家里养了两只宠物狗，女王还是面容憔悴，失去了精神支柱。</p><p>10月20日，白金汉宫发表声明，<b>表示女王在医生的建议下，取消了原定与周三、周四的北爱尔兰之访。</b></p><p>女王未来几天将遵医嘱好好休息，虽然她不太情愿。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b3a1d61c0a8142adc1a80738295f5703\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"217\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f87fc8b57d6574fb9642d049c8554b62\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"716\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>然而当天晚上，女王直接住进了医院，</p><p>这是她过去八年来，第一次住院，上一次还是患胃病。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4d382739be0011a9a7385fa46e70fb5f\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"157\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c9c8afcd7359483057de627ffc517cbd\" tg-width=\"931\" tg-height=\"524\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>这份爆炸性新闻一出，连逐渐背离皇室的英国人都急了，</p><p>“女王没事吧？”</p><p>报道透露，<b>女王的健康问题与新冠无关。</b></p><p>一连串健康事故发生后，女王的医生提醒她，“该戒酒了。”</p><p>女王喜欢饮酒，每晚都喝马天尼，数十年如一日。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad3d5ef8a4270bc76657e20ea04eb947\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"105\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6ce473187a5551cdb7b3d4f38aa86420\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"624\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>虽然身体每况愈下，那时候女王的精神状况还是很好，</p><p>10月份，她还拒绝了某杂志要赋予她的“年度最佳老人”称号，</p><p>因为她认为自己还很年轻。</p><p>根据《英国报联社》的报道，虽然被困在家，她仍坚持办一些“轻松的公务”。</p><p>11月14日，病痛再次袭来——</p><p><b>女王因背部扭伤，缺席当天的国殇纪念日仪式。</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/072c46829b7b8df7af01648534014275\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"228\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f46acebbe50e509ea2a532fa12fa52a\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"809\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>白金汉宫发言人说，她的健康状况进一步恶化，无法出席。</p><p>而英国著名主持人皮尔斯摩根则表示，“女王的真实健康状况，比白金汉宫所说的更严重。”</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0966939f0b964f6675f9ad4c4ba5c855\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"509\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>女王伊丽莎白二世是目前全世界在位时间最久、年纪最长的君主。</b></p><p><b>可谓“超长待机”。</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa2aa4e15ed67331b08db897080c2e69\" tg-width=\"554\" tg-height=\"366\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>自1952年继位以来，她一共耗走了13位美国总统。从杜鲁门一路经历到特朗普。见证了肯尼迪遇刺，水门事件，王妃戴安娜之死，等一系列历史大事。</p><p>几乎见证了整个新中国的发展历程……</p><p><b>简直就是个会走路的古董。</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/67339ced152b73a21c814b5318297538\" tg-width=\"366\" tg-height=\"508\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ada706993caad15eb689654f31f230c\" tg-width=\"632\" tg-height=\"99\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>伊丽莎白二世（Her Majesty Queen Elizabeth II），即现任英国女王，英联邦元首、国会最高首领。</p><p>全称是“承上帝洪恩的大不列颠及北爱尔兰联合王国及其他领土和属地女王，英联邦元首，国教（圣公会）的捍卫者伊丽莎白二世。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e418c94537d04a028f77d55f708b2066\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"366\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>她在年轻的时候爱上了自己的表哥。</b>那个时候咱们的女王才21岁，天真纯良年少无知。就这样悄悄地陷入了爱情。</p><p>但严格说起来，女王大人的婚姻实际上算是亲族联姻。因为她和她的丈夫菲利普亲王其实都是维多利亚女王的玄孙，所以他们在结婚以前一直是以表兄妹相称。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa6559dbe9b2b9cee3568816458dd9d7\" tg-width=\"400\" tg-height=\"522\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>而实际上，当年早在菲利普还不是亲王的时候，咱们的女王大人就早已经对他芳心暗动。</b>那时候菲利普亲王还是 “菲利普·蒙巴顿上尉”。</p><p><b>没错，他就是著名的蒙巴顿将军路易斯·蒙巴顿的外甥。</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b1c738ec21b8e63735fdcab8698cca5\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"699\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>说到这里，简直不得不说一下欧洲皇室混乱的血缘关系。</p><p>因为在欧洲各国在地理上非常相近，又有长期通婚的历史。因此到了后来，简直随便抓一个出来就是几十年前同一家。想不沾亲带故都难。</p><p>说到这里就不得不提一下千古浪漫的爱德华八世，他简直是英国史上最著名的爱美人不爱江山的典范。</p><p><b>不过话说如果当年爱德华八世爱的不是美人的话，现在坐在王位上的或许就不会是伊丽莎白二世了。</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8a96f31829e14a74ebd964f794b69ac5\" tg-width=\"363\" tg-height=\"463\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>关于这段旷世奇恋，麦当娜曾导过一部电影叫“《倾国之恋》（W.E.）”。 电影的英文名就是辛普森夫人与爱德华王子名字首字母的缩写。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/585cbc5c8c4663cde43bb833347b76b8\" tg-width=\"472\" tg-height=\"564\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>爱德华八世和让他放弃了江山的“美人”辛普森夫人</p><p>话说爱德华八世和乔治六世分别是乔治五世（George V）的长子与次子。</p><p>爱德华于1936年初继位，还没来得及加冕，就在1936年12月因为违抗教会和内阁，执意要娶离异的辛普森夫人为妻而签署了退位声明，并以温莎公爵的身份在之后的全国广播中说到：</p><p><b>“I have found it impossible to carry the heavy burden of responsibility and to discharge my duties as king as I would wish to do without the help and support of the woman I love.”</b></p><p><b>此后爱德华夫妻在法国度过了他们余生大部分时光，直至死后才回到英国。</b></p><p>当然对于爱德华八世退位的原因众说纷纭，有人说因为他偏向纳粹，这里就不一一细说了。</p><p>话说在爱德华八世退位以后，他的弟弟艾伯特，就是乔治六世，本来顺理成章地回国继承王位。</p><p>乔治六世就是《国王的演讲》里面带有口吃的国王的原型。他曾发表全国广播鼓励民众在二战中抵抗德军。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/209f14c516e2d7fbcbbc83ee11a0323a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>《国王的演讲》剧照</p><p>乔治六世本名叫Albert，这是一个德国名字。后来在二战期间为了与德国划清关系改名为George。</p><p>乔治六世之前之所以取名为 Albert ，是因为维多利亚女王的丈夫叫 Albert。维多利亚女王的一生挚爱的丈夫是萨克森•科堡•哥达的阿尔伯特王子，出生在德国。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/db119832a2011a15ffe0bc8647463645\" tg-width=\"580\" tg-height=\"386\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>乔治六世</p><p>而维多利亚女王曾经要求，在她之后的历代君主中，必须有人的名字中带有 Albert，一次来缅怀她对自己丈夫的爱。</p><p>这个不成文的规定在伊丽莎白二世继位后被免除。伊丽莎白二世是维多利亚女王的重重孙女，<b>也就是说，伊丽莎白喊维多利亚女王叫：祖太奶奶。</b></p><p><b>所以伊丽莎白二世女王也算得上是改了祖训。</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f8ec51d5d1521a424b7860cfae36101b\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"291\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>伊丽莎白女王二世于1947年结婚，丈夫是爱丁堡公爵菲利普亲王，从此开始了一段长达74年的秀恩爱旅程。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/734640b192a9381a18ada9df6362120f\" tg-width=\"634\" tg-height=\"487\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/931734d7126c991f07d910b9c9bfcd80\" tg-width=\"468\" tg-height=\"328\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>女王和菲利普亲王，两张照片中的两人姿态神情几乎一致，而拍摄时间却差距整整半个世纪。恩，你也想秀恩爱半个世纪？</p><p>女王和爱丁堡公爵菲利普亲王育有四个孩子，其中三个是儿子，一个是女儿，分别是长子查尔斯、次子安德鲁、小儿子爱德华以及女儿安妮。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/224ef879b62e5222674bebaac5232a1b\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"477\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>伊丽莎白二世女王是一位恪守教律的虔诚的基督教徒，因此她对于查尔斯的情妇卡米拉多年以来都不肯承认。</p><p>然而她的儿子却并不像她一样重视诺言，她的儿子查尔斯王子与儿媳妇戴安娜王妃之间的八卦简直举世闻名。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/83f8dd6d0d48c4b494558244ea79f0d1\" tg-width=\"399\" tg-height=\"448\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>让皇室颇为“头疼”的儿媳戴安娜王妃</p><p>女王最宠爱的儿子安德鲁王子也绝非省油的灯，深陷性侵丑闻之后被女王剥夺了军衔和王室赞助人身份。</p><p>不过话说女王的孙子们还算得上低调，除了戴安娜王妃的小儿子哈利王子各种绯闻缠身。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ef3f7600a8afa7645a9b64e3f207a644\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"333\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>哈利王子</p><p>女王的生日是在4月21日，但是在4月20日的时候，女王走访了英国皇家邮政局，收到了一系列邮票。</p><p>以上传奇属于女王大人一生的哪个阶段，就请大家自行对应吧。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ff3e3715fff3a16a4104cc760e47ead\" tg-width=\"637\" tg-height=\"419\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8acea7ea1c709f3da485a4a8953078db\" tg-width=\"788\" tg-height=\"102\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>关于被伊丽莎白二世耗走的13位美国总统，他们是：</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/43db9874d9df2a1d1405ef6373fc93a4\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"323\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>33 Harry S. Truman哈里·S·杜鲁门 1945-1953</p><p>34 Dwight D Eisenhower德怀特·戴维·艾森豪威尔 1953-1961</p><p>35 John F Kennedy约翰·肯尼迪 1961-1963</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a384c4865d841bc4e217c64cd1164f6d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"505\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>36 Lyndon Johnson林登·约翰逊 1963-1969</p><p>37 Richard Nixon理查德·尼克松 1969-1974</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/42e0b0d12e101ad1eb5eb5067e8f0ed8\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"323\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>38 Gerald Ford杰拉尔德·福特 1974-1977</p><p>39 Jimmy Carter吉米·卡特 1977-1981</p><p>40 Ronald Reagan罗纳德·里根 1981-1989</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cc1b642bba6dc8afece372959f65ff40\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"427\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>41 George H W Bush乔治·赫伯特·沃克·布什 1989-1993</p><p>42 Bill Clinton比尔·克林顿 1993-2001<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c5457af4dfb6b92539779f8c74a24c0\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"480\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>43 George W Bush乔治·沃克·布什 2001-2009</p><p>44 Barack Obama贝拉克·奥巴马 2009-2017</p><p>以及美国第45任总统，Donald Trump唐纳德·特朗普 2017-2021 。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2bb80971ac82c0002bb4886ec201c4d2\" tg-width=\"637\" tg-height=\"106\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>根据英国历史上的传统，作为加冕君主，女王不会生前退位。</p><p>但是，关于她的身后事其实很久以前就有过安排和预演了，这个方案代号为<b>“伦敦桥”（London Bridge）</b>。</p><p>英国国王的驾崩，与别国不同，首先要定一个暗号。</p><p>先代英王乔治六世，去世时的暗号就是“海德公园一角（Hyde Park Corner）”，相应的，伊丽莎白二世的暗号则是“London Bridge is down（伦敦大桥垮下来）”，这个暗号从女王登基后就已存在，正如古代帝王提前修建陵墓一般。</p><p><b>根据这个计划，女王一旦去世，英国上下将会降半旗致哀，全国进入12天的哀悼日。</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e68487f4f3e4d0d8303545cc0ee21a8\" tg-width=\"602\" tg-height=\"600\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>紧接着收到报告的是英国外交部，他们负责向英联邦国家传达消息。</p><p>与王室合作的媒体也会在第一时间收到消息，但不是通过电话或者简讯，而是悬于演播厅上方的<b>一盏蓝灯</b>。</p><p>这顶蓝灯设计于冷战期间，原本的目的是第一时间报道苏联发动核战争，争分夺秒让民众进入避难程序。</p><p>但是在和平年代，一旦蓝灯亮起，不意味着别的，意味着女王驾崩，电视台要迅速准备好，停止一切娱乐节目，播放哀悼音乐。</p><p>为宣读讣闻的准备的黑色丧服也随时准备在办公室。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f00f9f2c03753eceb5457b6ebbb2c93e\" tg-width=\"469\" tg-height=\"264\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>理论上来说，英国的王位不能有真空期，所以一旦女王去世，史上“最长待机”的查尔斯王子作为王储将自动成为新一任英国国王。</p><p>但是，他正式继位还需要一系列官方程序，他将在议会和英格兰教堂当众宣誓忠诚，圣詹姆斯宫才会正式宣布他为国王。</p><p>查尔斯王储成为国王后，英国的国歌《上帝佑我女王》的歌词也得发生相应的改变。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e22da8ed08c9c815af0d2adafb0a0a18\" tg-width=\"629\" tg-height=\"361\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>英国人对王室的葬礼流程已经非常熟悉，甚至英女王本人也参加预演，指出不足之处。</p><p>但是，她本人也并不是毫不在乎。</p><p>前几年，十分喜欢养柯基的女王宣布不再饲养任何宠物。外媒报道，英国女王正在和自己的父母、童年、回忆慢慢告别。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c206b0a1f195ce48824124518e3e43fb\" tg-width=\"625\" tg-height=\"356\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>当然，这其中最难受的还是女王的家人。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b185e0dd3b0b2fd630e2a2501ddf5104\" tg-width=\"631\" tg-height=\"368\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>她传奇的一生已经落幕，是是非非，也只能留给后世评说。</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1568181200495","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>英国女王伊丽莎白二世去世，享年96岁</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n英国女王伊丽莎白二世去世，享年96岁\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-09 01:34 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://content-static.cctvnews.cctv.com/snow-book/index.html?item_id=15791184010480910310&share_to=copy_url&t=1662658270158&toc_style_id=feeds_default&track_id=BC45B176-442A-40A4-BED7-5731F250FD9F_684351287200><strong>央视新闻客户端</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>》》》伊丽莎白二世！见证英国兴衰的史上最长待机女王当地时间9月8日，英国女王伊丽莎白二世在苏格兰巴尔莫勒尔城堡去世，享年96岁。当天稍早，英国白金汉宫发表声明表示，由于医生担心其身体健康情况，英国女王伊丽莎白二世处于医疗监护状态。声明称，目前女王情况尚好，并在苏格兰巴尔莫勒尔城堡接受医疗监护。随后，女王最亲密的家人都赶往巴尔莫勒尔城堡。自去年年底以来，由于身体健康等情况，英国女王已减少在公开场合...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://content-static.cctvnews.cctv.com/snow-book/index.html?item_id=15791184010480910310&share_to=copy_url&t=1662658270158&toc_style_id=feeds_default&track_id=BC45B176-442A-40A4-BED7-5731F250FD9F_684351287200\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f2c32b0f1b76a429c3243349d4088def","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://content-static.cctvnews.cctv.com/snow-book/index.html?item_id=15791184010480910310&share_to=copy_url&t=1662658270158&toc_style_id=feeds_default&track_id=BC45B176-442A-40A4-BED7-5731F250FD9F_684351287200","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1190604661","content_text":"》》》伊丽莎白二世！见证英国兴衰的史上最长待机女王当地时间9月8日，英国女王伊丽莎白二世在苏格兰巴尔莫勒尔城堡去世，享年96岁。当天稍早，英国白金汉宫发表声明表示，由于医生担心其身体健康情况，英国女王伊丽莎白二世处于医疗监护状态。声明称，目前女王情况尚好，并在苏格兰巴尔莫勒尔城堡接受医疗监护。随后，女王最亲密的家人都赶往巴尔莫勒尔城堡。自去年年底以来，由于身体健康等情况，英国女王已减少在公开场合露面。6日，96岁的女王伊丽莎白二世在巴尔莫勒尔城堡接受约翰逊的辞职并正式任命特拉斯为新任首相。伊丽莎白二世于1926年4月21日出生于伦敦。1952年，伊丽莎白公主在25岁时成为女王，当时她的父亲乔治六世国王去世。从温斯顿·丘吉尔爵士到利兹·特拉斯，女王在位期间见证了15位英国首相。2015年，她成为历史上在位时间最长的英国君主，打破了她的曾曾祖母维多利亚女王创下的纪录。皇室的正式讣告英国王室官方账号称，在伊丽莎白二世去世后，查尔斯王子随即成为英国的新君主。国王和王后今晚将留在巴尔莫勒尔，明天返回伦敦。伊丽莎白二世于1926年4月21日出生，于1952年登基，2015年9月成为英国在位时间最长的君主。2月16日，女王会见即将离任的国防部长时略显憔悴，行动不便9月8日，白金汉宫表示，英国女王的医生对女王健康状况表示“担忧”，并建议女王“继续接受医学监护”。自去年10月以来，英国女王一直受到健康问题困扰。今年2月，伊丽莎白二世女王迎来了在位70周年庆典。同月，英国白金汉宫宣布，英国女王伊丽莎白二世新冠病毒检测阳性，症状轻微。此前，英国查尔斯王储及妻子卡米拉新冠病毒检测结果呈阳性。新冠康复后，女王没有回归众人的视野，站立和走路都很困难。今年3月14日的英联邦纪念日活动，女王意外缺席，全英惊讶不已。那个”不惜一切也要参加纪念日“的女王，身体着实不行了。女王一向以硬朗示人，能站着就绝不坐轮椅，但在她生命的最后一段时间，工作人员还是在她住所安置了电梯，外加一部安全轮椅。大家还记得，去年4月9日，和女王携手走完74年的菲利普亲王去世，全英国默哀一分钟，30名王室成员在温莎城堡内为他举办了50分钟的葬礼。女王一袭黑衣，坐在车内默默垂泪。之后，女王的健康也频频曝出问题。菲利普去世1个月后，王室全面复工，女王在出席国会开幕仪式时，整个人暴瘦，可以看出心情低沉，失去了昔日的笑容和神采。9月份，女王拒绝了紧急的膝盖手术，导致行走困难，10月12日，她在出席皇家英国退伍军人协会百年纪念仪式时，首次拄着拐杖出现，这一幕引发轩然大波，引发对女王健康状况的猜测。虽然家里养了两只宠物狗，女王还是面容憔悴，失去了精神支柱。10月20日，白金汉宫发表声明，表示女王在医生的建议下，取消了原定与周三、周四的北爱尔兰之访。女王未来几天将遵医嘱好好休息，虽然她不太情愿。然而当天晚上，女王直接住进了医院，这是她过去八年来，第一次住院，上一次还是患胃病。这份爆炸性新闻一出，连逐渐背离皇室的英国人都急了，“女王没事吧？”报道透露，女王的健康问题与新冠无关。一连串健康事故发生后，女王的医生提醒她，“该戒酒了。”女王喜欢饮酒，每晚都喝马天尼，数十年如一日。虽然身体每况愈下，那时候女王的精神状况还是很好，10月份，她还拒绝了某杂志要赋予她的“年度最佳老人”称号，因为她认为自己还很年轻。根据《英国报联社》的报道，虽然被困在家，她仍坚持办一些“轻松的公务”。11月14日，病痛再次袭来——女王因背部扭伤，缺席当天的国殇纪念日仪式。白金汉宫发言人说，她的健康状况进一步恶化，无法出席。而英国著名主持人皮尔斯摩根则表示，“女王的真实健康状况，比白金汉宫所说的更严重。”女王伊丽莎白二世是目前全世界在位时间最久、年纪最长的君主。可谓“超长待机”。自1952年继位以来，她一共耗走了13位美国总统。从杜鲁门一路经历到特朗普。见证了肯尼迪遇刺，水门事件，王妃戴安娜之死，等一系列历史大事。几乎见证了整个新中国的发展历程……简直就是个会走路的古董。伊丽莎白二世（Her Majesty Queen Elizabeth II），即现任英国女王，英联邦元首、国会最高首领。全称是“承上帝洪恩的大不列颠及北爱尔兰联合王国及其他领土和属地女王，英联邦元首，国教（圣公会）的捍卫者伊丽莎白二世。她在年轻的时候爱上了自己的表哥。那个时候咱们的女王才21岁，天真纯良年少无知。就这样悄悄地陷入了爱情。但严格说起来，女王大人的婚姻实际上算是亲族联姻。因为她和她的丈夫菲利普亲王其实都是维多利亚女王的玄孙，所以他们在结婚以前一直是以表兄妹相称。而实际上，当年早在菲利普还不是亲王的时候，咱们的女王大人就早已经对他芳心暗动。那时候菲利普亲王还是 “菲利普·蒙巴顿上尉”。没错，他就是著名的蒙巴顿将军路易斯·蒙巴顿的外甥。说到这里，简直不得不说一下欧洲皇室混乱的血缘关系。因为在欧洲各国在地理上非常相近，又有长期通婚的历史。因此到了后来，简直随便抓一个出来就是几十年前同一家。想不沾亲带故都难。说到这里就不得不提一下千古浪漫的爱德华八世，他简直是英国史上最著名的爱美人不爱江山的典范。不过话说如果当年爱德华八世爱的不是美人的话，现在坐在王位上的或许就不会是伊丽莎白二世了。关于这段旷世奇恋，麦当娜曾导过一部电影叫“《倾国之恋》（W.E.）”。 电影的英文名就是辛普森夫人与爱德华王子名字首字母的缩写。爱德华八世和让他放弃了江山的“美人”辛普森夫人话说爱德华八世和乔治六世分别是乔治五世（George V）的长子与次子。爱德华于1936年初继位，还没来得及加冕，就在1936年12月因为违抗教会和内阁，执意要娶离异的辛普森夫人为妻而签署了退位声明，并以温莎公爵的身份在之后的全国广播中说到：“I have found it impossible to carry the heavy burden of responsibility and to discharge my duties as king as I would wish to do without the help and support of the woman I love.”此后爱德华夫妻在法国度过了他们余生大部分时光，直至死后才回到英国。当然对于爱德华八世退位的原因众说纷纭，有人说因为他偏向纳粹，这里就不一一细说了。话说在爱德华八世退位以后，他的弟弟艾伯特，就是乔治六世，本来顺理成章地回国继承王位。乔治六世就是《国王的演讲》里面带有口吃的国王的原型。他曾发表全国广播鼓励民众在二战中抵抗德军。《国王的演讲》剧照乔治六世本名叫Albert，这是一个德国名字。后来在二战期间为了与德国划清关系改名为George。乔治六世之前之所以取名为 Albert ，是因为维多利亚女王的丈夫叫 Albert。维多利亚女王的一生挚爱的丈夫是萨克森•科堡•哥达的阿尔伯特王子，出生在德国。乔治六世而维多利亚女王曾经要求，在她之后的历代君主中，必须有人的名字中带有 Albert，一次来缅怀她对自己丈夫的爱。这个不成文的规定在伊丽莎白二世继位后被免除。伊丽莎白二世是维多利亚女王的重重孙女，也就是说，伊丽莎白喊维多利亚女王叫：祖太奶奶。所以伊丽莎白二世女王也算得上是改了祖训。伊丽莎白女王二世于1947年结婚，丈夫是爱丁堡公爵菲利普亲王，从此开始了一段长达74年的秀恩爱旅程。女王和菲利普亲王，两张照片中的两人姿态神情几乎一致，而拍摄时间却差距整整半个世纪。恩，你也想秀恩爱半个世纪？女王和爱丁堡公爵菲利普亲王育有四个孩子，其中三个是儿子，一个是女儿，分别是长子查尔斯、次子安德鲁、小儿子爱德华以及女儿安妮。伊丽莎白二世女王是一位恪守教律的虔诚的基督教徒，因此她对于查尔斯的情妇卡米拉多年以来都不肯承认。然而她的儿子却并不像她一样重视诺言，她的儿子查尔斯王子与儿媳妇戴安娜王妃之间的八卦简直举世闻名。让皇室颇为“头疼”的儿媳戴安娜王妃女王最宠爱的儿子安德鲁王子也绝非省油的灯，深陷性侵丑闻之后被女王剥夺了军衔和王室赞助人身份。不过话说女王的孙子们还算得上低调，除了戴安娜王妃的小儿子哈利王子各种绯闻缠身。哈利王子女王的生日是在4月21日，但是在4月20日的时候，女王走访了英国皇家邮政局，收到了一系列邮票。以上传奇属于女王大人一生的哪个阶段，就请大家自行对应吧。关于被伊丽莎白二世耗走的13位美国总统，他们是：33 Harry S. Truman哈里·S·杜鲁门 1945-195334 Dwight D Eisenhower德怀特·戴维·艾森豪威尔 1953-196135 John F Kennedy约翰·肯尼迪 1961-196336 Lyndon Johnson林登·约翰逊 1963-196937 Richard Nixon理查德·尼克松 1969-197438 Gerald Ford杰拉尔德·福特 1974-197739 Jimmy Carter吉米·卡特 1977-198140 Ronald Reagan罗纳德·里根 1981-198941 George H W Bush乔治·赫伯特·沃克·布什 1989-199342 Bill Clinton比尔·克林顿 1993-200143 George W Bush乔治·沃克·布什 2001-200944 Barack Obama贝拉克·奥巴马 2009-2017以及美国第45任总统，Donald Trump唐纳德·特朗普 2017-2021 。根据英国历史上的传统，作为加冕君主，女王不会生前退位。但是，关于她的身后事其实很久以前就有过安排和预演了，这个方案代号为“伦敦桥”（London Bridge）。英国国王的驾崩，与别国不同，首先要定一个暗号。先代英王乔治六世，去世时的暗号就是“海德公园一角（Hyde Park Corner）”，相应的，伊丽莎白二世的暗号则是“London Bridge is down（伦敦大桥垮下来）”，这个暗号从女王登基后就已存在，正如古代帝王提前修建陵墓一般。根据这个计划，女王一旦去世，英国上下将会降半旗致哀，全国进入12天的哀悼日。紧接着收到报告的是英国外交部，他们负责向英联邦国家传达消息。与王室合作的媒体也会在第一时间收到消息，但不是通过电话或者简讯，而是悬于演播厅上方的一盏蓝灯。这顶蓝灯设计于冷战期间，原本的目的是第一时间报道苏联发动核战争，争分夺秒让民众进入避难程序。但是在和平年代，一旦蓝灯亮起，不意味着别的，意味着女王驾崩，电视台要迅速准备好，停止一切娱乐节目，播放哀悼音乐。为宣读讣闻的准备的黑色丧服也随时准备在办公室。理论上来说，英国的王位不能有真空期，所以一旦女王去世，史上“最长待机”的查尔斯王子作为王储将自动成为新一任英国国王。但是，他正式继位还需要一系列官方程序，他将在议会和英格兰教堂当众宣誓忠诚，圣詹姆斯宫才会正式宣布他为国王。查尔斯王储成为国王后，英国的国歌《上帝佑我女王》的歌词也得发生相应的改变。英国人对王室的葬礼流程已经非常熟悉，甚至英女王本人也参加预演，指出不足之处。但是，她本人也并不是毫不在乎。前几年，十分喜欢养柯基的女王宣布不再饲养任何宠物。外媒报道，英国女王正在和自己的父母、童年、回忆慢慢告别。当然，这其中最难受的还是女王的家人。她传奇的一生已经落幕，是是非非，也只能留给后世评说。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":497,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9931512969,"gmtCreate":1662478577851,"gmtModify":1676537069871,"author":{"id":"3570864790458781","authorId":"3570864790458781","name":"Yeong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93092185d223c6e53fcfd64303836612","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570864790458781","authorIdStr":"3570864790458781"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Y","listText":"Y","text":"Y","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9931512969","repostId":"1158392309","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1158392309","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"追踪全球财经热点，精选影响您财富的资讯，投资理财必备神器！","home_visible":1,"media_name":"华尔街见闻","id":"1084101182","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e"},"pubTimestamp":1662477451,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1158392309?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-06 23:17","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"英国女首相“第一把火”：砸1300亿英镑能源补贴","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1158392309","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"德国砸了650亿欧元之后，英国也按捺不住了。新官上任三把火。对刚刚就任英国首相的利兹·特拉斯（Liz Truss）而言，其第一把火烧到了折磨英国家庭已久的能源价格。据媒体当地时间周二报道，特拉斯将于当","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote>德国砸了650亿欧元之后，英国也按捺不住了。</blockquote><p>新官上任三把火。对刚刚就任英国首相的利兹·特拉斯（Liz Truss）而言，其第一把火烧到了折磨英国家庭已久的能源价格。</p><p>据媒体当地时间周二报道，<b>特拉斯将于当天敲定一项价值1000亿英镑的一揽子计划</b>，对天然气的批发成本进行补贴，以此降低英国家庭和企业的账单。</p><p>对天然气批发价格进行限制意味着批发电价也将得到控制。据悉，英国天然气发电占总发电量约40%，占比超过风能、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000591\">太阳能</a>、核电以及煤炭发电，因此批发电价往往由燃气发电厂决定，即使在风能等其他技术发电成本更低的情况下也是如此。</p><p>特拉斯的团队表示，该一揽子计划将帮助企业和家庭应对数十年来最严重的能源冲击，防止企业出现大规模破产，并使数百万家庭摆脱燃料匮乏的局面。目前尚不清楚家庭和企业的上限是否会设置在同一水平。</p><p>也有媒体报告称看到了政策文件，<b>文件显示特拉斯计划在未来18个月内将提供高达1300亿英镑的资金为企业和家庭纾困。</b></p><p>在家庭纾困方面，英国政府计划将一个普通英国家庭的年度电费及天然气费用控制在1971英镑或以下。根据文件，能源供应商将以较低的电费向家庭收取费用，而政府将通过公用事业公司弥补差额。</p><p>近期，英国能源监管机构Ofgem表示，英国消费者的能源成本将从10月起上涨80%，使家庭年平均能源账单达到3549英镑。根据Cornwall Insight的预测，苦日子还在后面，2023年能源费用将上升超过6600英镑。</p><p>在企业纾困方面，未来六个月，政府用于保护企业的资金将在210亿英镑到420亿英镑不等，未来一年多，政府预计用于企业的资金将在280亿英镑到670亿英镑不等，具体取决于上限设定。</p><p>该媒体称，该补贴措施最早将于9月下旬公布，并于10月开始实施。</p><p>一位消息人士表示，除了以上的1300亿英镑之外，特拉斯正在考虑向小企业提供给高达400亿英镑的资金支持。<b>两项资金支持合计约1700亿英镑，相当于英国国民健康服务体系(NHS)的年度预算，占GDP的5%以上。</b></p><p>据悉，特拉斯将在周二下午4点左右在唐宁街首次以首相身份向全国发表演讲，之后开始任命内阁成员。</p><p>周一，即将出任商务大臣的雅各布·里斯-莫格(Jacob Rees-Mogg)会见了能源公司的高管，讨论了特拉斯的新计划。一位与会人士表示，高管们对这一计划的态度比被征收暴利税更为开放。</p><p>在能源危机愈演愈烈之际，目前欧洲各国正在出台援助计划，以应对能源价格飙升。</p><p>德国政府上周日宣布将对能源生产商征收暴利税，并将所得收入用于资助650亿欧元的一揽子援助计划。同日，芬兰政府宣布将向该国的电力公司提供100亿欧元的贷款和信贷担保，以确保其现金和资源充足。瑞典则在周六宣布向其公用事业提供230亿美元的紧急援助，以避免爆发金融危机。此外，本周五，欧盟将召开能源紧急会议，商讨如何应对天然气和电力价格飙升。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>英国女首相“第一把火”：砸1300亿英镑能源补贴</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n英国女首相“第一把火”：砸1300亿英镑能源补贴\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n2022-09-06 23:17 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<strong>华尔街见闻</strong>\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>德国砸了650亿欧元之后，英国也按捺不住了。新官上任三把火。对刚刚就任英国首相的利兹·特拉斯（Liz Truss）而言，其第一把火烧到了折磨英国家庭已久的能源价格。据媒体当地时间周二报道，特拉斯将于当天敲定一项价值1000亿英镑的一揽子计划，对天然气的批发成本进行补贴，以此降低英国家庭和企业的账单。对天然气批发价格进行限制意味着批发电价也将得到控制。据悉，英国天然气发电占总发电量约40%，占比超过...</p>\n\n<a href=\"\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/703b63293bde39448a32b32e36c37fea","relate_stocks":{"159945":"能源"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1158392309","content_text":"德国砸了650亿欧元之后，英国也按捺不住了。新官上任三把火。对刚刚就任英国首相的利兹·特拉斯（Liz Truss）而言，其第一把火烧到了折磨英国家庭已久的能源价格。据媒体当地时间周二报道，特拉斯将于当天敲定一项价值1000亿英镑的一揽子计划，对天然气的批发成本进行补贴，以此降低英国家庭和企业的账单。对天然气批发价格进行限制意味着批发电价也将得到控制。据悉，英国天然气发电占总发电量约40%，占比超过风能、太阳能、核电以及煤炭发电，因此批发电价往往由燃气发电厂决定，即使在风能等其他技术发电成本更低的情况下也是如此。特拉斯的团队表示，该一揽子计划将帮助企业和家庭应对数十年来最严重的能源冲击，防止企业出现大规模破产，并使数百万家庭摆脱燃料匮乏的局面。目前尚不清楚家庭和企业的上限是否会设置在同一水平。也有媒体报告称看到了政策文件，文件显示特拉斯计划在未来18个月内将提供高达1300亿英镑的资金为企业和家庭纾困。在家庭纾困方面，英国政府计划将一个普通英国家庭的年度电费及天然气费用控制在1971英镑或以下。根据文件，能源供应商将以较低的电费向家庭收取费用，而政府将通过公用事业公司弥补差额。近期，英国能源监管机构Ofgem表示，英国消费者的能源成本将从10月起上涨80%，使家庭年平均能源账单达到3549英镑。根据Cornwall Insight的预测，苦日子还在后面，2023年能源费用将上升超过6600英镑。在企业纾困方面，未来六个月，政府用于保护企业的资金将在210亿英镑到420亿英镑不等，未来一年多，政府预计用于企业的资金将在280亿英镑到670亿英镑不等，具体取决于上限设定。该媒体称，该补贴措施最早将于9月下旬公布，并于10月开始实施。一位消息人士表示，除了以上的1300亿英镑之外，特拉斯正在考虑向小企业提供给高达400亿英镑的资金支持。两项资金支持合计约1700亿英镑，相当于英国国民健康服务体系(NHS)的年度预算，占GDP的5%以上。据悉，特拉斯将在周二下午4点左右在唐宁街首次以首相身份向全国发表演讲，之后开始任命内阁成员。周一，即将出任商务大臣的雅各布·里斯-莫格(Jacob Rees-Mogg)会见了能源公司的高管，讨论了特拉斯的新计划。一位与会人士表示，高管们对这一计划的态度比被征收暴利税更为开放。在能源危机愈演愈烈之际，目前欧洲各国正在出台援助计划，以应对能源价格飙升。德国政府上周日宣布将对能源生产商征收暴利税，并将所得收入用于资助650亿欧元的一揽子援助计划。同日，芬兰政府宣布将向该国的电力公司提供100亿欧元的贷款和信贷担保，以确保其现金和资源充足。瑞典则在周六宣布向其公用事业提供230亿美元的紧急援助，以避免爆发金融危机。此外，本周五，欧盟将召开能源紧急会议，商讨如何应对天然气和电力价格飙升。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":346,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9933804465,"gmtCreate":1662256979657,"gmtModify":1676537025397,"author":{"id":"3570864790458781","authorId":"3570864790458781","name":"Yeong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93092185d223c6e53fcfd64303836612","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570864790458781","authorIdStr":"3570864790458781"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Y","listText":"Y","text":"Y","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9933804465","repostId":"1110881032","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1110881032","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"关注中国基金报，即时获取深度理财资讯","home_visible":1,"media_name":"中国基金报","id":"1045836040","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c1124f95a0404a8e98c2342c3c9c0de5"},"pubTimestamp":1662203928,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1110881032?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-03 19:18","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"突发利空！郭广昌罕见出手，拟减持千亿白马股","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1110881032","media":"中国基金报","summary":"9月2日晚，$复星医药$公告，控股股东复星高科技拟减持不超过8008.97万股A股股份，占公司总股本比例3%，按9月2日收盘价40.21元/股计，此番减持可套现约32亿元。如果以9月2日的收盘价计，减持可套现约32亿元。因此，此次突然的减持也超出了多数股民的预期，减持公告发布后，复星医药东财股吧讨论量直线飙升。2月19日，郭广昌通过复星产投和复星高科技实控的海南矿业公告，复星产投减持完毕，套现2.66亿元，持股比例降至32.04%。","content":"<div>\n<p>大佬郭广昌掌舵的“复星系”，今年以来持续出售资产变现，在减持海南矿业、中山公用、泰和科技、青岛啤酒等上市公司股权之后，这柄“大刀”终于砍向了复星旗舰公司复星医药。9月2日晚，复星医药公告，控股股东复星高科技拟减持不超过8008.97万股A股股份，占公司总股本比例3%，按9月2日收盘价40.21元/股计，此番减持可套现约32亿元。中国基金报记者回溯过往公告发现，复星医药遭控股股东减持极为罕见，实际上...</p>\n\n<a href=\"\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>突发利空！郭广昌罕见出手，拟减持千亿白马股</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n突发利空！郭广昌罕见出手，拟减持千亿白马股\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n2022-09-03 19:18 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<strong>中国基金报</strong>\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>大佬郭广昌掌舵的“复星系”，今年以来持续出售资产变现，在减持海南矿业、中山公用、泰和科技、青岛啤酒等上市公司股权之后，这柄“大刀”终于砍向了复星旗舰公司复星医药。9月2日晚，复星医药公告，控股股东复星高科技拟减持不超过8008.97万股A股股份，占公司总股本比例3%，按9月2日收盘价40.21元/股计，此番减持可套现约32亿元。中国基金报记者回溯过往公告发现，复星医药遭控股股东减持极为罕见，实际上...</p>\n\n<a href=\"\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/255ba2973f88b276ed06f4d318caa930","relate_stocks":{"00656":"复星国际","BK1230":"工业集团企业"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1110881032","content_text":"大佬郭广昌掌舵的“复星系”，今年以来持续出售资产变现，在减持海南矿业、中山公用、泰和科技、青岛啤酒等上市公司股权之后，这柄“大刀”终于砍向了复星旗舰公司复星医药。9月2日晚，复星医药公告，控股股东复星高科技拟减持不超过8008.97万股A股股份，占公司总股本比例3%，按9月2日收盘价40.21元/股计，此番减持可套现约32亿元。中国基金报记者回溯过往公告发现，复星医药遭控股股东减持极为罕见，实际上是其自1998年登陆A股以来首次。相反，在过去十年间，复星高科技至少对复星医药发起过六轮次的增持。复星高科技由在港上市的复星国际100%持股，后者作为整个复星系的控股平台，刚刚在8月份遭国际评级巨头穆迪“发难”，穆迪指复星控股公司层面的流动性弱，将评级由Ba3下调至B1。复星国际本周刚刚披露2022年中期财报，其最新总资产达到8497亿元，总负债达到6512亿元，资产负债率76.64%。1998年上市以来首次减持根据公告，截至2022年9月2日，复星医药控股股东上海复星高科技（集团）有限公司（以下简称“复星高科技”）合计持有公司无限售条件流通股10.96亿股（其中：9.38亿股A股、7153万股H股），约占公司总股本的37.82%。此次复星高科技计划通过集中竞价及大宗交易方式减持不超过总股本3%的A股，按截至2022年9月2日复星医药总股本计，即不超过8009万股，减持价格根据市场价格确定。如果以9月2日的收盘价计，减持可套现约32亿元。此次减持股份来源均为IPO前取得，减持原因复星高科技一笔带过，称系“自身经营计划需要”。具体看，其拟以集中竞价方式减持不超过1%，按监管规定可于此次公告披露之日起15个交易日后进行，减持期间半年，即自2022年9月27日至2023年3月26日；以大宗交易方式减持不超过2%，该方式下减持可于公告披露之日起3个交易日后进行，即减持期间为自2022年9月8日至2023年3月7日。减持如按计划完成，复星高科技及其一直行动人复星国际合计持有股份仍占复星医药总股本的35.04%，减持计划实施不会导致上市公司控制权发生变更。中国基金报记者倒查复星医药过往公告注意到，除去因定向增发、股权激励等原因带来的股权比例被动稀释，这是复星医药自1998年8月7日在上交所挂牌上市（前身为“复星实业”）以来首次遭控股股东主动减持。十年发起六轮增持实际上，作为整个复星系发家的旗舰公司，复星医药的羽翼一直很好地被呵护，非但没有减持，在过去的十年间还至少被控股股东发起六轮增持，其中五轮增持发生在2015年的“股灾”之后。从2016年到2021年复星医药每一年都有被控股股东增持，直到2022年首次被减持。最早的一轮增持始于2012年，彼时中小创的炒作正如火如荼，乐视网、中青宝这样的题材股市盈率上百倍，而复星医药这样价值股市盈率却不足10倍，市值持续在200亿附近横盘。此背景下，自2012年2月22日至2013年2月21日，复星高科技通过上海证券交易所交易系统累计增持复星医药A股股份552万股，约占复星医药彼时已发行股份总数的0.25%。此后，随着复星医药股价走出横盘开始向上，并很快衔接2014年到2015年上半年的牛市，复星高科技未再增持。直到2016年初，三轮频见“千股跌停”的股灾之后，复星医药股价从高点回调了50%以上，复星高科技再次出手。具体来看，自2016年1月28日至2017年1月27日，一年时间复星高科技累计增持1707万股（其中1190万股A股、517万股H股），累计增持金额约3.71亿人民币，占彼时复星医药股份总数比例约0.74％。时隔四个月，复星高科技再度出手，自2017年5月9日至2018年5月8日，复星高科技累计增持公司885万股股份（其中404万股A股、481万股H股），累计增持金额折合人民币约2.45亿元，累计增持股份比例占2017年5 月H股配售完成前复星医药已发行股份总数的约0.37%。两个月后，复星高科技开始第四轮增持，自2018年7月3日至2019年7月2日累计增持2396万股（其中152万股A股、2244万股H股），累计增持金额折合人民币约5.6亿元，增持股份比例约0.96％。第五第六轮增持则发生在2019年9月19日至2020年9月18日和2020年12月1日至2021年11月30日的各12个月期间。其中，第五轮复星高科技增持1717万股H股，耗资人民币3.95亿元，增持股份占比0.67%；第六轮增持2793万股H股，耗资人民币9.67亿元，增持股份比例1.09%。至此，到2021年底，复星高科技十年六轮增持宣告完成，公司合计增持耗资约27亿元。不难发现，如果2022年此次宣布的减持按计划完成，一笔减持收回金额将有望超过此前六轮增持耗资总金额。高毅资产刚包揽近半数定增从复星医药的股价走势来看，复星高科技此番减持可以算得上是“低位减持”。在过去的一年复星医药股价持续调整，从最高的91.13元跌到近期的40元附近，跌幅高达56%，市值蒸发近1400亿。如果按照复星高科技过往的“行为习惯”，这其实恰恰是一个应该增持的好时点。因此，此次突然的减持也超出了多数股民的预期，减持公告发布后，复星医药东财股吧讨论量直线飙升。“真是晴天霹雳呀”“下周暴跌模式开启”“公司缺钱花？”“跌成这样还减持”“怎么在这么低的价格减持”“持仓港股，希望影响小点”……，网友们纷纷表示。还有的网友称，“这个不讲武德，刚刚增发完就减持”。就在7月28日，复星医药公告完成了一轮定增，发行了1.07亿股A股，发行价格为42元/股，募集资金总额44.84亿元。此次定增吸引了一众豪华机构队伍参与，其中草根出身的私募大佬冯柳执掌的“高毅邻山1号远望基金”一家就揽下4762万股，耗资20亿元，其他如财通基金、UBSAG、中信证券、华泰证券、J.P.MorganSecuritiesplc等则认购了大几千万到数亿元不等。42元参与的定增如今刚刚完成一个多月，控股股东就在40元附近抛出大额减持计划，不知道这些机构的心情如何？不过对中小散户投资者来说，可能更需要注意的是各方减持的节奏对股价带来的影响。此次定增锁定期为半年，此期间正好高度重叠复星高科技的减持窗口，等复星高科技减持实施完，这批机构的定增股份恰好解禁，复星医药很有可能又面临新一批减持的冲击。“复星系”持续密集套现复星高科技减持旗舰公司复星医药，虽超预期，但也在情理之中。今年以来“复星系”持续密集减持旗下参控股的上市公司，累计套现金额在60亿元以上，目前部分减持计划仍在实施之中。2月19日，郭广昌通过复星产投和复星高科技实控的海南矿业公告，复星产投减持完毕，套现2.66亿元，持股比例降至32.04%。时隔半年，8月26日复星产投再抛减持计划，拟通过集中竞价交易、大宗交易等方式，合计减持海南矿业不超过6103万股，合计减持比例不超过公司总股本的3%，按公告日股价计套现金额约5亿元。值得注意的是，海南矿业同样是被“低位减持”，其过去一年股价跌幅高达70%。5月31日，复星国际在港交所公告，附属公司同意以每股62港元出售青岛啤酒约6680万股H股股份。出售事项完成后，复星系将不再持有青岛啤酒H股，可套现41.4亿港元（折合人民币约35.6亿元）。6月16日，中山公用公告，二股东复星高科技通过集中竞价交易方式累计减持公司股份2950.22万股，约占公司总股本的2%，套现约2.5亿元。同一份公告中，复星高科技继续抛出减持计划，拟再减持6%的股份，套现金额预计超过6亿元，几乎是要清仓的节奏。截至8月11日，复星高科技减持比例已超过1%。7月11日，泰和科技公告，原持股5%以上的股东复星创泓减持计划已实施完毕，套现约3.6亿元。此前，复星创泓在3月14日发布了减持计划，减持期间为半年，实际来看不到四个月时间就完成了减持。这样，复星系对上述四家上市公司的已完成减持和实施中减持，套现金额在60亿元以上。“复星系”上市公司资产版图庞大，东财choce数据显示，在AH两地其仅控股的公司就达到11家之多。A股市场上，郭广昌实际控制复星医药（同时也在港股上市）、南钢股份、豫园股份、上海钢联、海南矿业，以及近两年揽下的金徽酒及舍得酒业，共计7家。港股市场上，郭广昌控制的上市公司有复星国际、复锐医疗科技、复星旅游文化集团、复宏汉霖4家。穆迪：复星的流动性较弱复星：穆迪高估了困难复星持续的资产出售，与其债务压力尤其短期债务压力不无关系。早在去年7月，国际评级机构穆迪就将“复星系”控股平台复星国际的企业家族评级从“Ba2”下调至“Ba3”，原因是“复星国际的债务杠杆率高且不断增加；长期投资依赖短期资金；控股公司层面的利息覆盖率低；信贷传染风险不断增加”。到了今年8月23日，穆迪又将复星国际的公司家族评级从Ba3下调至B1。与此同时，穆迪将Fortune Star (BVI) Limited所发行债券的高级无抵押债务评级从Ba3下调至B1，该债券由复星提供无条件及不可撤销的担保。穆迪将上述所有评级的展望从评级观察调整为负面。穆迪对B级的定义是“缺少理想的投资品质”，“还本付息，或长期内履行合同中其他条款的保证极小”。B级包括B1、B2、B3三个细分等级，目前复星国际的B1级暂时处于靠前的一档。在通稿中，穆迪高级副总裁蔡慧表示：“评级下调反映了复星的流动性较弱，境内外充满挑战的融资环境造成其再融资压力较大，以及经济增长放缓和资本市场波动背景下该公司出售资产的计划产生执行风险。此外，出售资产可能会缩减复星投资组合的规模、多样性和透明度，同时该公司可能会更多地采用资产抵质押方式，这将降低其财务灵活性。”负面展望则反映了再融资的不确定性、通过出售资产来偿还复星未来12个月到期的大量债务的执行风险，“以及该公司持续面临平衡其流动性需求和维持投资组合质量的挑战”。对穆迪发难，复星第一时间回应，称复星经营情况平稳，“得益于多元化的资产组合，账面资金充裕，和金融机构关系稳定，多元化融资渠道畅通，本次评级调整不影响复星的偿债能力”。其表示，穆迪对复星未来发展的估计过度悲观，一方面高估了复星所面临的困难，另一方面同时又低估了复星“抗逆+抗疫”的能力。值得一提的是，另一家评级机构标普对复星国际给出的是BB级，评级展望稳定，该评级在标普体系下亦属于投机级别。复星国际8月30日刚刚发布2022年中期业绩，中国基金报记者注意到其持有的现金不足以覆盖未来12个月到期的短期债务。其“现金及银行结余”为1171亿元，但流动负债下仅“计息银行借款及其他借款”就达到1237亿，同比上升了30%。而其整体流动负债为3754亿元，同比上升也超过20%，远远快于净资产同比增长速度（约3%）。目前从公开市场来看，复星国际的主要债务是美元债，共10笔，合计存续规模约47.7亿美元（折合人民币约330亿元），其中一年内到期19.8亿美元（折合人民币约137亿元）。就在10月9日，公司将有一笔3.8亿美元的债券到期。这些美元债今年6月中旬以来经历了一轮暴跌，如目前价格最低的“FOSUNI 5 05/18/26”，1美元面值最低来到44.32美分，几乎腰斩。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":542,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9939327209,"gmtCreate":1662072757103,"gmtModify":1676536798520,"author":{"id":"3570864790458781","authorId":"3570864790458781","name":"Yeong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93092185d223c6e53fcfd64303836612","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570864790458781","authorIdStr":"3570864790458781"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Y","listText":"Y","text":"Y","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9939327209","repostId":"2264223010","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2264223010","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1661999912,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2264223010?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-01 10:38","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"林俊杰“炒房”翻车，已浮亏86.5%，元宇宙房地产凉了吗？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2264223010","media":"每日经济新闻 ","summary":"近日，主流虚拟地产平台数据纷纷“跳水”，元宇宙房地产价格暴跌。","content":"<div>\n<p>30年前，科幻作家史蒂文森在《雪崩》中第一次提出“元宇宙”的概念。小说创造出了一个平行于现实世界的网络世界，人们的地理位置彼此隔绝，却可以通过各自的“化身”进行交流娱乐。30年后，小说中的虚构似乎正在成为现实。人们不仅想要在“元宇宙”之中社交娱乐，还畅想着如何投资置业，购买虚拟地产。2021年，随着Facebook正式更名为Meta，“元宇宙”的概念风靡全球。微软、英伟达、腾讯、字节跳动等科技巨头...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2022-09-01/doc-imiziraw0598788.shtml\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"mrjjxw","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>林俊杰“炒房”翻车，已浮亏86.5%，元宇宙房地产凉了吗？</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n林俊杰“炒房”翻车，已浮亏86.5%，元宇宙房地产凉了吗？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-01 10:38 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=http://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2022-09-01/doc-imiziraw0598788.shtml><strong>每日经济新闻 </strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>30年前，科幻作家史蒂文森在《雪崩》中第一次提出“元宇宙”的概念。小说创造出了一个平行于现实世界的网络世界，人们的地理位置彼此隔绝，却可以通过各自的“化身”进行交流娱乐。30年后，小说中的虚构似乎正在成为现实。人们不仅想要在“元宇宙”之中社交娱乐，还畅想着如何投资置业，购买虚拟地产。2021年，随着Facebook正式更名为Meta，“元宇宙”的概念风靡全球。微软、英伟达、腾讯、字节跳动等科技巨头...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2022-09-01/doc-imiziraw0598788.shtml\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5c89e5d65522fee0fd7196a92b7703b","relate_stocks":{"BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","BK1608":"元宇宙概念"},"source_url":"http://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2022-09-01/doc-imiziraw0598788.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2264223010","content_text":"30年前，科幻作家史蒂文森在《雪崩》中第一次提出“元宇宙”的概念。小说创造出了一个平行于现实世界的网络世界，人们的地理位置彼此隔绝，却可以通过各自的“化身”进行交流娱乐。30年后，小说中的虚构似乎正在成为现实。人们不仅想要在“元宇宙”之中社交娱乐，还畅想着如何投资置业，购买虚拟地产。2021年，随着Facebook正式更名为Meta，“元宇宙”的概念风靡全球。微软、英伟达、腾讯、字节跳动等科技巨头纷纷进军。与此同时，一股“炒房”之风也开始在元宇宙世界兴起，就连大家熟知的歌手林俊杰、Snoop Dogg也纷纷入局元宇宙。昂贵的元宇宙房价有些甚至高于北京的一套别墅价格。近日，主流虚拟地产平台数据纷纷“跳水”，元宇宙房地产价格暴跌，令公众视线再一次聚焦在了元宇宙“炒房”这个新鲜而陌生的领域。短短一年间，元宇宙“炒房”究竟经历了怎样的演变？其暴跌背后，又折射出哪些底层逻辑？“炒房”去年下半年，元宇宙房地产玩家竞相入场，急速扩张。目前形成了以Decentraland、The Sandbox、Voxels、Somnium Space、NFT Worlds和SuperWorld为主的元宇宙虚拟地产平台。早在去年9月，著名说唱歌手Snoop Dogg就在Sandbox平台拥有了自己的虚拟地产。他声称将在那里举办私人虚拟音乐会、派对、艺术画廊展览等活动。甚至Snoop Dogg还在那里拥有一座自己的加州豪宅的数字复制品。图片来源：“沙盒游戏Sandbox中文窗口”微信公众号彼时，受名人效应影响，明星虚拟房产周边的地价也大幅度上涨，粉丝们争相购入。有人在Sandbox花费45万美元（折合人民币近300万元），只为了成为Snoop Dogg的“邻居”。但明星并不是第一批的“吃螃蟹者”。企业才是这批元宇宙“炒房”的主力军。去年11月，专门投资开发虚拟房地产及其他数字资产的公司——Republic Realm，以约430万美元的价格购入了Sandbox的一块地产，打破了当时的单笔交易记录。随后，地产大亨郑志刚又豪掷500万美元，拿下了Sandbox中最大的数字地块。在企业、明星不断进入元宇宙“拿地”的同时，越来越多的商业场景及品牌活动开始在元宇宙中衍生。耐克收购了虚拟时尚初创公司RTFKT，并与Roblox合作推出Nikeland虚拟体验；阿迪达斯则在Sandbox中购买了超过140块虚拟土地。图片来源：“沙盒游戏Sandbox中文窗口”微信公众号今年3月，Decentraland更是举办了元宇宙时装周，包括Tommy Hilfiger、Elie Saab等在内的多家时尚品牌在其中亮相。全球三大拍卖行之一的苏富比还曾在Decentraland推出线上虚拟画廊。事实上，就如“沙盒游戏Sandbox中文窗口”官微称：“The Sandbox既是虚拟房地产，也是游乐园，完全贯彻了元宇宙的理念，建立了一个持续的共享数字空间，在这里，世界和英雄们碰撞出神奇的火花。”“元宇宙中品牌和广告所聚集的地方就是高价值的地方。这也是很多品牌方和企业主的共识，他们也在购入虚拟房产，期望通过自身属性，来建造在宇宙世界的标示性地盘。”Decentraland元宇宙中较大的业主之一，加拿大上市公司Tokens.com的创始人兼CEO 安德鲁·基格尔（Andrew Kiguel）指出。“暴跌”然而“好景不长”。不到一年时间，元宇宙“炒房”热度直线下降，迅速进入“寒冬”。不久前，The Information的一篇分析文章指出，曾经火爆一时的元宇宙虚拟地产，现在却处在了崩溃的边缘。虽然去年10月底Facebook改名Meta后的一个月里，虚拟土地交易量猛涨，但很快市场就开始急剧降温。根据研究机构WeMeta最新报告，综合海外主流虚拟房产平台上的数据，虚拟房产平均价格从今年1月的约1.7万美元/每块，下降到8月的约2500美元/每块，跌幅超85%。同时，每周交易量从2021年11月峰值的10亿美元降至2022年8月的约1.57亿美元。从平均成交价格来看，NFT Worlds于今年2月21日达到最高点4.4万美元；Decentraland于去年11月29日达到最高点3.7万美元；The Sandbox于今年1月10日达到最高点3.5万美元。但是从5月左右起，几家的平均成交价格就开始大幅下降。今年除了7月18日，Decentraland平均交易价格超过1万美元外，其他主流平台平均交易价格均低于1万美元。Decentraland地图（蓝色标记为正在售卖）图片来源：Decentraland官网WeMeta平台的数据显示，去年11月，歌手林俊杰花12.3万美元在Decentraland购买的3块虚拟地产，目前价值约为1.6万美元，浮亏86.5%。除了价格暴跌外，林俊杰这三块地人气也是“门可罗雀”。根据平台提供的一周访问量显示，这三块地只有其中一块在8月9日迎来一名访客，当周的其余6天均无人问津。林俊杰购买土地的记录 图片来源：Decentraland官网事实上，除了虚拟土地价格大幅下降，过去一年来伴随虚拟房产的退潮，大量抱着投机心态的玩家也开始退出，各主流元宇宙平台数据全线下降。以平均同时在线用户数为例，今年5月前，Decentraland平均同时在线用户数都在1200以上；NFT Worlds平台该数据也高于1000人，但此后，该项数据大幅下降至不足三位数。从市值来看，NFT Worlds在3月21日达到高点，约4.3亿美元，但到了8月8日，其市值仅剩2千万美元，跌幅超过95%。“脱节”元宇宙“炒房”的热度犹如昙花一现，尤其是今年以来的暴跌让更多入局者退场、也让更多跟风者止步。谈及今年以来元宇宙虚拟地产的暴跌原因，有分析人士指出，“主要是全球加密资产的崩盘，而元宇宙的虚拟财产与加密市场紧密相连。”事实上，除了所谓加密资产的崩盘、热点转移、游资离场等主要因素，虚拟地产价格暴跌的背后折射出的是——当前元宇宙发展仍处于早期阶段，商业化落地、虚拟地产应用场景严重不足，基于虚拟地产开发的游戏体验不佳。元宇宙“炒房”的核心在于虚拟空间自身的价值而不是地块的价值，这是基于元宇宙产业化所带来全新商业模式的价值。还是要等待元宇宙技术发展到一定程度，实现产业化落地，才能使虚拟地产进入到更加良性的发展轨道。图片来源：“沙盒游戏Sandbox中文窗口”微信公众号在中泰资本董事王东伟看来，单纯从项目去看，虚拟土地意识太过超前，落地需要太长的周期。“一个时代的到来，都有一个共同性，就是会解决很多生活问题，或者说是需要提高生活效率或者工作效率。比如电话、电脑、手机、互联网、移动互联网、电商等，每个时代都有杰出的代表。元宇宙的确有很大的想象空间，但现在炒的基本都是伪概念。”更进一步，从底层逻辑来看，所谓的元宇宙平台上的虚拟房产，本质上是NFT。NFT是基于区块链技术发行的数字资产，由于其产权归属、交易流转都被记录并且不可以被篡改，因此每块地产都具有“独一性”。像是在Decentraland中，平台共设计了9万个地块，并且未来不会再新增，以此确保土地的“稀缺性”。但这种“独一性”与“稀缺性”，某种情况上是与现实的实体经济“脱节”的。质疑的声音也从未断绝：“现实世界中，房地产是有价值的，因为土地是一种稀缺资源。然而这种稀缺性并不一定适用于元宇宙。因为在这些虚拟世界中，你可以修建无限的房产。”在中国政法大学区块链金融法治研究中心主任胡继晔看来，元宇宙是对现实社会的模拟，它不能脱离现实而存在。“此前国外特别是韩国特别火的元宇宙虚拟地产炒作，现在价格暴跌了90%，重要原因之一就是虚拟地产炒作完全脱离实体经济，沦为概念和预期的炒作。所以，元宇宙的发展一定要有结合实体经济的应用场景。”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":322,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9997854352,"gmtCreate":1661784011977,"gmtModify":1676536578120,"author":{"id":"3570864790458781","authorId":"3570864790458781","name":"Yeong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93092185d223c6e53fcfd64303836612","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570864790458781","authorIdStr":"3570864790458781"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Y","listText":"Y","text":"Y","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9997854352","repostId":"2263145120","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":255,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9994691832,"gmtCreate":1661615329528,"gmtModify":1676536549995,"author":{"id":"3570864790458781","authorId":"3570864790458781","name":"Yeong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93092185d223c6e53fcfd64303836612","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570864790458781","authorIdStr":"3570864790458781"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Y","listText":"Y","text":"Y","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9994691832","repostId":"1133824414","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1133824414","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"图文并茂讲解中金深度研究报告","home_visible":1,"media_name":"中金点睛","id":"1012212489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b16ed39660b4e0c835afdaf1c94aa75"},"pubTimestamp":1661574905,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1133824414?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-27 12:35","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"中金：中美签署审计监管合作协议，后续影响如何解读","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1133824414","media":"中金点睛","summary":"如果取得实质性进展，或将有助于缓解多数公司退市的尾部风险和市场短期压力。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>作者：刘刚 寇玥 张巍瀚等</p><p>北京时间8月26日晚，中国证监会网站发布公告，中国证监会、财政部与美国监管机构签署审计合作协议[1]。公告表示，合作协议依据两国法律法规，尊重国际通行做法，按照对等互利原则，就双方对相关会计师事务所合作开展监管检查和调查活动做出了明确约定，形成符合双方法规和监管要求的合作框架。相应的，美国公众公司会计监督委员会(PCAOB)和美国证监会(SEC)也发表了相关声明[2][3]。</p><p>整体来看，我们认为中美签署审计监管合作协议，是继今年3月初SEC依据《外国公司问责法》细则将在美上市中概股公司纳入“退市风险名单”引发一系列波动以来取得的首个突破性进展，<b>是解决困扰中概股由来已久监管风险的第一步</b>，为接下来中美双方监管开展进一步合作打下基础。往前看，后续两国监管机构如何具体推进将是重点，这一过程中仍需要关注中美双方要求的一致性。<b>如果取得实质性进展，或将有助于缓解多数公司退市的尾部风险和市场短期压力，</b>而后续中概股和港股市场的中期走势仍将更多取决于基本面的修复情况。</p><p>基于最新的监管动向，我们进一步对此次协议签署的可能影响、未来的演变路径、中概股市场的前景做出分析。</p><p><b>中概股问题的来龙去脉：由来已久、影响广泛、持续协商</b></p><p>中概股问题由来已久。此轮中概股风波最早可以追溯到2020年底时任总统特朗普签署《外国公司问责法》。2021年底，美国证监会SEC进一步出台了该法案的实施细则，并于今年3月开始正式将不符合其要求的公司逐步列入所谓“初步识别名单”，进入实际执行阶段。截至目前，已经有总计超过150家中概股公司上榜[4]。</p><p>该法案的一个核心内容，是要求外国公司的会计事务所提交审计底稿，若连续三年无法提供，或将面临退市风险。此外，该法案还要求外国公司披露其与外国政府之间的关系并证明没有被外国政府所有或控制。因此这一法案实施以来，监管不确定性就成为压制中概股和港股上市科技股表现的重要因素之一。</p><p>不过针对这一外部不确定性，中美双方协商也一直在进行。例如，3月10日SEC将首批中概股列入“初步识别名单”后，中国证监会3月11日凌晨发布公告表示“愿通过监管合作解决相关问题”[5]。3月16日，国务院副总理刘鹤主持金融委会议表示，中美双方监管机构保持了良好沟通[6]，已取得积极进展，正在致力于形成具体合作方案，中方继续支持各类企业到境外上市。不仅如此，中方也在推进修改一些配套政策法规以适应新的外部环境。例如2021年12月和2022年4月，国务院和证监会先后对起草《国务院关于境内企业境外发行证券和上市的管理规定(征求意见稿)》与修订《关于加强境内企业境外发行证券和上市相关保密和档案管理工作的规定(征求意见稿)》征求意见，增加对赴中国香港和美国上市的境内企业的覆盖，为跨境监管合作提供制度保障，这也为中美监管双方合作留出了一定空间。因此可以看出，中美监管合作也是大方向。</p><p>图表：2020年以来海外中资股市场表现及主要事件梳理</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b1ad838ac0bc148dfa2ed35a07c05033\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"473\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>资料来源：Bloomberg，中国证监会，美国证监会，港交所，中金公司研究部</p><p>图表：2020年以来，中概股面临的外部监管环境不确定性持续增加</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d563c8e97908433339870d8830d1ee54\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"264\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>资料来源：中国证监会，美国证监会，港交所，中金公司研究部</p><p><b>中美审计监管合作协议的主要内容：确定操作流程与方式，提供敏感信息处理程序</b></p><p>此次合作协议主要针对困扰中概股能否继续在美上市的审计底稿和监管合作问题做出了具体安排。参照证监会公告：</p><p>1) 主要内容：就双方对相关会计师事务所合作开展日常检查与执法调查做出了具体安排，约定了合作目的、合作范围、合作形式、信息使用、特定数据保护等重要事项;</p><p>2) 合作范围：包括协助对方开展对相关事务所的检查和调查。其中，中方提供协助的范围也涉及部分为中概股提供审计服务、且审计底稿存放在内地的香港事务所;</p><p>3) 协作方式：双方将提前就检查和调查活动计划进行沟通协调，美方须通过中方监管部门获取审计底稿等文件，在中方参与和协助下对会计师事务所相关人员开展访谈和问询。</p><p>此外，此次合作协议还指出了以下关于审计底稿内容、监管形式和敏感信息等市场较为关注或者可能混淆的问题：</p><p>1) 底稿内容：审计工作底稿的主要功能是记载审计师是否依照审计准则尽职尽责地验证企业收入支出等财务信息准确性，因此一般并不包括国家秘密、个人隐私或企业底层数据等敏感信息。</p><p>2) 监管对象：审计监管的直接对象是会计师事务所，而非其审计的上市公司;</p><p>3) 监管形式：上市地监管机构每年抽选部分会计师事务所进行检查，无须每年检查全部在美上市公司审计项目;</p><p>4) 敏感信息处理：对可能涉及敏感信息的处理和使用做出了明确约定，针对个人信息等特定数据设置了专门处理程序，为双方履行法定监管职责的同时保护相关信息安全提供了可行路径。</p><p>不难看出，此次合作协议在涉及审计监管操作的各个方面和环节都做了相关安排。同时，对于可能涉及到的一些敏感信息有专门处理的方式。因此，虽然后续具体进展是否顺利还有待观察，但这一合作协议至少为后续双方监管合作提供了操作基础、迈出了第一步。</p><p><b>中美签署合作协议的意义：迈出监管合作的第一步;或缓解市场压力和多数公司退市风险、维持跨境融资渠道畅通</b></p><p>结合当前的市场环境和协议具体内容，我们认为，此次合作协议对于解决困扰中概股由来已久的监管风险具有重要意义，为后续进一步开展监管合作打下基础。如果最终取得实质性进展，将有助于缓解市场压力和部分公司的退市尾部风险，有助于保护投资者权益;中长期有助于维持中国企业跨境融资渠道畅通、促进创新企业海外融资。实际上，跨境监管合作也符合国际惯例，美国PCAOB与法国、比利时、德国等多个国家也都签署了类似的审计监管合作协议。具体来看，</p><p>► 首先，合作协议的签署为后续开展进一步合作并最终解决中概股监管问题提供了可能，尤其是涉及到敏感信息的专门处理方式。</p><p>► 其次，或缓解短期市场压力和部分公司退市的尾部风险。如我们在《中概股追踪：未来出路与可能演变》分析，尽管《外国公司问责法》要求的最终截止日是2024年的财报季(集中在3~5月)，但考虑到实际执行过程所涉及到的很多流程，实际时间可能要早很多，例如提前到2023年11月前后，因此时间并不充裕。此次合作协议的签署，如果最终取得实质性进展，至少可以在很大程度上缓解市场的担忧情绪和相当一部分公司退市的尾部风险。</p><p>► 再次，通过监管合作保留中概股在美上市，对保护投资者利益、维持中国企业跨境融资渠道，特别是创新类企业海外融资都有积极意义。实际上，美股市场一直是中资企业、尤其是创新类企业的重要融资渠道，2010年以来累计345家中概股赴美上市，首发募资金额764亿美元。即便今年以来仍有13家中概股赴美上市。</p><p><b>后续进展：仍需关注美方与中方要求的一致性;多大程度和范围内能够提供底稿是关键</b></p><p>在签署这一合作协议的基础上，后续两国监管机构如何就具体推进审计合作将是重点。在这一过程中，仍需要关注中美双方要求的一致性，例如，美方对于审查方式和审查范围的认定标准，是否与中方可以接受的方式一致。</p><p>实际上，在最新声明中，PCAOB表示中美签署合作协议固然重要、但只是监管合作的第一步。在具体执行过程中，美方需要自行决定希望审查的公司和内容。此前，美方不论是PCAOB还是SEC官员也都表示，需要全面底稿权限而不接受部分删节的版本[7]。因此，最终在多大程度和范围内能够提供审计底稿，仍将是后续双方监管合作的关键。</p><p>图表：中国证监会与美国PCAOB对于合作协议的相关表述</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4bf00c6b75b35665fcc057442bff99cd\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"404\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>资料来源：中国证监会，美国证监会，PCAOB，中金公司研究部</p><p><b>中概股的未来选择：国企退市、多数中资民营股将有选择空间；回归港股仍是大势所趋</b></p><p>除了国企和个别可能最终无法满足要求的企业，中美监管合作的推进，对于缓解多数中概股的退市风险将起到积极作用，因此未来中概股的出路主要有以下几种：</p><p>1) 国企退市是基准情形：根据《外国公司问责法》要求，外国公司需披露其与外国政府之间的关系并证明其没有被政府所有或控制，因此国企基本都将选择退市。实际上，中国石化、中国石油等5家国企于8月12日宣布启动美国退市，也正是出于此项考虑，基本符合预期(《中概股追踪：国企在美退市的含义与影响》)。</p><p>2) 多数中资民营股有望降低甚至或避免退市风险：若最终达成一致，多数企业可在符合保密新规的前提下向PCAOB开放审计底稿访问权限，因此可以维持在美上市。但是，仍不排除部分企业会由于涉及敏感信息而无法满足一些监管要求，继而选择退，后续监管进展和细节值得关注。</p><p>但无论最终在美退市与否，选择赴港上市都将是中概股对冲外部风险的主要选择。目前已有26家公司通过二次上市或双重主要上市回归港股(其中17家为二次上市，9家为主要上市)。往前看，在外部环境依然面临较大变数情况下，我们预计更多符合条件的中概股公司回归港股。</p><p><b>回归方式上，采用或转为主要上市将成为主流。</b>相比作为海外上市主体“投影”的二次上市，选择双重主要上市方式回港可以使在港上市地位不受海外上市状况影响，同时还可纳入港股通范围(《中概股追踪：转成主要上市意味着什么?》)。实际上，我们注意到越来越多的公司(小鹏汽车、贝壳)选择双重主要上市回归港股，且再鼎医药、哔哩哔哩和阿里巴巴等公司也已经申请或完成了二次上市向主要上市地位的转换。我们测算，上述公司如果转为主要上市并纳入沪港通后，有望带来450亿港元的资金流入。</p><p>对港股而言，中概股回港和退市或对港股短期有流动性扰动，但长期有助于优化港股结构并强化吸引力。我们预计大量中概股回归和股份转到港股交易，的确将会对港股本就不非常充裕的流动性造成一定影响，目前已经回归的主要中概股公司在港交易的比例平均已达20%左右(如阿里巴巴20%)。我们测算，27家潜在回归公司新增融资和股份转换交易可能带来每年277亿港元的流动性吸收(相当于2021年全年港股主板IPO募资金额的9.1%)。当然，采用介绍上市方式(不新增融资，例如蔚来和贝壳)可以减轻上述压力。中长期看，我们认为更多中概股公司的回归有助于进一步优化港股市场结构，吸引资金沉淀，进而形成优质公司和资金的正反馈，进一步巩固港股市场作为区域金融中心以及中国“新经济桥头堡”的地位。</p><p>图表：中概股赴美上市数量及募资金额</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/144d8b967ed427e4daa458d83a227b0b\" tg-width=\"737\" tg-height=\"432\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>资料来源：Wind，中金公司研究部</p><p>图表：美国中概股市场规模</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2a9f11135d2beb26272c5668def3defe\" tg-width=\"709\" tg-height=\"415\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>资料来源：Wind，中金公司研究部</p><p>图表：2018年上市制度改革以来，已有26支美国中概股通过二次上市和双重主要上市回归港股</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f52e8f76ba1afba52a3254685bd27dce\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"715\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>资料来源：Bloomberg，Wind，中金公司研究部</p><p>注：数据截止至2022年8月25日;估值基于Bloomberg一致预期</p><p>图表：赴港上市中概股在香港部分的占比呈现上升趋势，但主要成交仍还在美国</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7d2d1be7b756231a69908d5549be32c9\" tg-width=\"710\" tg-height=\"435\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>资料来源：Bloomberg，Wind，中金公司研究部</p><p>图表：目前已经回归的主要中概股公司在港交易的比例平均在20%左右，其中阿里巴巴20%、京东为21%</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/de285dce2713c3c7440e3d7576acfb27\" tg-width=\"695\" tg-height=\"420\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>资料来源：Bloomberg，Wind，中金公司研究部</p><p>图表：27家潜在回归公司新增融资和股份转换交易可能带来每年277亿港元的流动性吸收</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9815f0ef8056c01bd91d075ca32e6585\" tg-width=\"727\" tg-height=\"445\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>资料来源：Bloomberg，Wind，中金公司研究部</p><p>图表：即便27家中概股集中在2022年和2023年赴港上市，新增融资规模也仍在历史较合理的范围内</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d120db1e728a7b213dfbea08a2087752\" tg-width=\"736\" tg-height=\"444\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>资料来源：Bloomberg，Wind，中金公司研究部</p><p>图表：若二次上市公司被纳入港股通合资格标的，可能带来的潜在被动资金测算</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dca49dc0dc20fa89c448c0ce2c1552e8\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"513\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>注：数据截止至2022年8月25日</p><p>资料来源：港交所，Wind，中金公司研究部</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>中金：中美签署审计监管合作协议，后续影响如何解读</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n中金：中美签署审计监管合作协议，后续影响如何解读\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1012212489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b16ed39660b4e0c835afdaf1c94aa75);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">中金点睛 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-08-27 12:35</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>作者：刘刚 寇玥 张巍瀚等</p><p>北京时间8月26日晚，中国证监会网站发布公告，中国证监会、财政部与美国监管机构签署审计合作协议[1]。公告表示，合作协议依据两国法律法规，尊重国际通行做法，按照对等互利原则，就双方对相关会计师事务所合作开展监管检查和调查活动做出了明确约定，形成符合双方法规和监管要求的合作框架。相应的，美国公众公司会计监督委员会(PCAOB)和美国证监会(SEC)也发表了相关声明[2][3]。</p><p>整体来看，我们认为中美签署审计监管合作协议，是继今年3月初SEC依据《外国公司问责法》细则将在美上市中概股公司纳入“退市风险名单”引发一系列波动以来取得的首个突破性进展，<b>是解决困扰中概股由来已久监管风险的第一步</b>，为接下来中美双方监管开展进一步合作打下基础。往前看，后续两国监管机构如何具体推进将是重点，这一过程中仍需要关注中美双方要求的一致性。<b>如果取得实质性进展，或将有助于缓解多数公司退市的尾部风险和市场短期压力，</b>而后续中概股和港股市场的中期走势仍将更多取决于基本面的修复情况。</p><p>基于最新的监管动向，我们进一步对此次协议签署的可能影响、未来的演变路径、中概股市场的前景做出分析。</p><p><b>中概股问题的来龙去脉：由来已久、影响广泛、持续协商</b></p><p>中概股问题由来已久。此轮中概股风波最早可以追溯到2020年底时任总统特朗普签署《外国公司问责法》。2021年底，美国证监会SEC进一步出台了该法案的实施细则，并于今年3月开始正式将不符合其要求的公司逐步列入所谓“初步识别名单”，进入实际执行阶段。截至目前，已经有总计超过150家中概股公司上榜[4]。</p><p>该法案的一个核心内容，是要求外国公司的会计事务所提交审计底稿，若连续三年无法提供，或将面临退市风险。此外，该法案还要求外国公司披露其与外国政府之间的关系并证明没有被外国政府所有或控制。因此这一法案实施以来，监管不确定性就成为压制中概股和港股上市科技股表现的重要因素之一。</p><p>不过针对这一外部不确定性，中美双方协商也一直在进行。例如，3月10日SEC将首批中概股列入“初步识别名单”后，中国证监会3月11日凌晨发布公告表示“愿通过监管合作解决相关问题”[5]。3月16日，国务院副总理刘鹤主持金融委会议表示，中美双方监管机构保持了良好沟通[6]，已取得积极进展，正在致力于形成具体合作方案，中方继续支持各类企业到境外上市。不仅如此，中方也在推进修改一些配套政策法规以适应新的外部环境。例如2021年12月和2022年4月，国务院和证监会先后对起草《国务院关于境内企业境外发行证券和上市的管理规定(征求意见稿)》与修订《关于加强境内企业境外发行证券和上市相关保密和档案管理工作的规定(征求意见稿)》征求意见，增加对赴中国香港和美国上市的境内企业的覆盖，为跨境监管合作提供制度保障，这也为中美监管双方合作留出了一定空间。因此可以看出，中美监管合作也是大方向。</p><p>图表：2020年以来海外中资股市场表现及主要事件梳理</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b1ad838ac0bc148dfa2ed35a07c05033\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"473\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>资料来源：Bloomberg，中国证监会，美国证监会，港交所，中金公司研究部</p><p>图表：2020年以来，中概股面临的外部监管环境不确定性持续增加</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d563c8e97908433339870d8830d1ee54\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"264\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>资料来源：中国证监会，美国证监会，港交所，中金公司研究部</p><p><b>中美审计监管合作协议的主要内容：确定操作流程与方式，提供敏感信息处理程序</b></p><p>此次合作协议主要针对困扰中概股能否继续在美上市的审计底稿和监管合作问题做出了具体安排。参照证监会公告：</p><p>1) 主要内容：就双方对相关会计师事务所合作开展日常检查与执法调查做出了具体安排，约定了合作目的、合作范围、合作形式、信息使用、特定数据保护等重要事项;</p><p>2) 合作范围：包括协助对方开展对相关事务所的检查和调查。其中，中方提供协助的范围也涉及部分为中概股提供审计服务、且审计底稿存放在内地的香港事务所;</p><p>3) 协作方式：双方将提前就检查和调查活动计划进行沟通协调，美方须通过中方监管部门获取审计底稿等文件，在中方参与和协助下对会计师事务所相关人员开展访谈和问询。</p><p>此外，此次合作协议还指出了以下关于审计底稿内容、监管形式和敏感信息等市场较为关注或者可能混淆的问题：</p><p>1) 底稿内容：审计工作底稿的主要功能是记载审计师是否依照审计准则尽职尽责地验证企业收入支出等财务信息准确性，因此一般并不包括国家秘密、个人隐私或企业底层数据等敏感信息。</p><p>2) 监管对象：审计监管的直接对象是会计师事务所，而非其审计的上市公司;</p><p>3) 监管形式：上市地监管机构每年抽选部分会计师事务所进行检查，无须每年检查全部在美上市公司审计项目;</p><p>4) 敏感信息处理：对可能涉及敏感信息的处理和使用做出了明确约定，针对个人信息等特定数据设置了专门处理程序，为双方履行法定监管职责的同时保护相关信息安全提供了可行路径。</p><p>不难看出，此次合作协议在涉及审计监管操作的各个方面和环节都做了相关安排。同时，对于可能涉及到的一些敏感信息有专门处理的方式。因此，虽然后续具体进展是否顺利还有待观察，但这一合作协议至少为后续双方监管合作提供了操作基础、迈出了第一步。</p><p><b>中美签署合作协议的意义：迈出监管合作的第一步;或缓解市场压力和多数公司退市风险、维持跨境融资渠道畅通</b></p><p>结合当前的市场环境和协议具体内容，我们认为，此次合作协议对于解决困扰中概股由来已久的监管风险具有重要意义，为后续进一步开展监管合作打下基础。如果最终取得实质性进展，将有助于缓解市场压力和部分公司的退市尾部风险，有助于保护投资者权益;中长期有助于维持中国企业跨境融资渠道畅通、促进创新企业海外融资。实际上，跨境监管合作也符合国际惯例，美国PCAOB与法国、比利时、德国等多个国家也都签署了类似的审计监管合作协议。具体来看，</p><p>► 首先，合作协议的签署为后续开展进一步合作并最终解决中概股监管问题提供了可能，尤其是涉及到敏感信息的专门处理方式。</p><p>► 其次，或缓解短期市场压力和部分公司退市的尾部风险。如我们在《中概股追踪：未来出路与可能演变》分析，尽管《外国公司问责法》要求的最终截止日是2024年的财报季(集中在3~5月)，但考虑到实际执行过程所涉及到的很多流程，实际时间可能要早很多，例如提前到2023年11月前后，因此时间并不充裕。此次合作协议的签署，如果最终取得实质性进展，至少可以在很大程度上缓解市场的担忧情绪和相当一部分公司退市的尾部风险。</p><p>► 再次，通过监管合作保留中概股在美上市，对保护投资者利益、维持中国企业跨境融资渠道，特别是创新类企业海外融资都有积极意义。实际上，美股市场一直是中资企业、尤其是创新类企业的重要融资渠道，2010年以来累计345家中概股赴美上市，首发募资金额764亿美元。即便今年以来仍有13家中概股赴美上市。</p><p><b>后续进展：仍需关注美方与中方要求的一致性;多大程度和范围内能够提供底稿是关键</b></p><p>在签署这一合作协议的基础上，后续两国监管机构如何就具体推进审计合作将是重点。在这一过程中，仍需要关注中美双方要求的一致性，例如，美方对于审查方式和审查范围的认定标准，是否与中方可以接受的方式一致。</p><p>实际上，在最新声明中，PCAOB表示中美签署合作协议固然重要、但只是监管合作的第一步。在具体执行过程中，美方需要自行决定希望审查的公司和内容。此前，美方不论是PCAOB还是SEC官员也都表示，需要全面底稿权限而不接受部分删节的版本[7]。因此，最终在多大程度和范围内能够提供审计底稿，仍将是后续双方监管合作的关键。</p><p>图表：中国证监会与美国PCAOB对于合作协议的相关表述</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4bf00c6b75b35665fcc057442bff99cd\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"404\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>资料来源：中国证监会，美国证监会，PCAOB，中金公司研究部</p><p><b>中概股的未来选择：国企退市、多数中资民营股将有选择空间；回归港股仍是大势所趋</b></p><p>除了国企和个别可能最终无法满足要求的企业，中美监管合作的推进，对于缓解多数中概股的退市风险将起到积极作用，因此未来中概股的出路主要有以下几种：</p><p>1) 国企退市是基准情形：根据《外国公司问责法》要求，外国公司需披露其与外国政府之间的关系并证明其没有被政府所有或控制，因此国企基本都将选择退市。实际上，中国石化、中国石油等5家国企于8月12日宣布启动美国退市，也正是出于此项考虑，基本符合预期(《中概股追踪：国企在美退市的含义与影响》)。</p><p>2) 多数中资民营股有望降低甚至或避免退市风险：若最终达成一致，多数企业可在符合保密新规的前提下向PCAOB开放审计底稿访问权限，因此可以维持在美上市。但是，仍不排除部分企业会由于涉及敏感信息而无法满足一些监管要求，继而选择退，后续监管进展和细节值得关注。</p><p>但无论最终在美退市与否，选择赴港上市都将是中概股对冲外部风险的主要选择。目前已有26家公司通过二次上市或双重主要上市回归港股(其中17家为二次上市，9家为主要上市)。往前看，在外部环境依然面临较大变数情况下，我们预计更多符合条件的中概股公司回归港股。</p><p><b>回归方式上，采用或转为主要上市将成为主流。</b>相比作为海外上市主体“投影”的二次上市，选择双重主要上市方式回港可以使在港上市地位不受海外上市状况影响，同时还可纳入港股通范围(《中概股追踪：转成主要上市意味着什么?》)。实际上，我们注意到越来越多的公司(小鹏汽车、贝壳)选择双重主要上市回归港股，且再鼎医药、哔哩哔哩和阿里巴巴等公司也已经申请或完成了二次上市向主要上市地位的转换。我们测算，上述公司如果转为主要上市并纳入沪港通后，有望带来450亿港元的资金流入。</p><p>对港股而言，中概股回港和退市或对港股短期有流动性扰动，但长期有助于优化港股结构并强化吸引力。我们预计大量中概股回归和股份转到港股交易，的确将会对港股本就不非常充裕的流动性造成一定影响，目前已经回归的主要中概股公司在港交易的比例平均已达20%左右(如阿里巴巴20%)。我们测算，27家潜在回归公司新增融资和股份转换交易可能带来每年277亿港元的流动性吸收(相当于2021年全年港股主板IPO募资金额的9.1%)。当然，采用介绍上市方式(不新增融资，例如蔚来和贝壳)可以减轻上述压力。中长期看，我们认为更多中概股公司的回归有助于进一步优化港股市场结构，吸引资金沉淀，进而形成优质公司和资金的正反馈，进一步巩固港股市场作为区域金融中心以及中国“新经济桥头堡”的地位。</p><p>图表：中概股赴美上市数量及募资金额</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/144d8b967ed427e4daa458d83a227b0b\" tg-width=\"737\" tg-height=\"432\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>资料来源：Wind，中金公司研究部</p><p>图表：美国中概股市场规模</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2a9f11135d2beb26272c5668def3defe\" tg-width=\"709\" tg-height=\"415\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>资料来源：Wind，中金公司研究部</p><p>图表：2018年上市制度改革以来，已有26支美国中概股通过二次上市和双重主要上市回归港股</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f52e8f76ba1afba52a3254685bd27dce\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"715\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>资料来源：Bloomberg，Wind，中金公司研究部</p><p>注：数据截止至2022年8月25日;估值基于Bloomberg一致预期</p><p>图表：赴港上市中概股在香港部分的占比呈现上升趋势，但主要成交仍还在美国</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7d2d1be7b756231a69908d5549be32c9\" tg-width=\"710\" tg-height=\"435\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>资料来源：Bloomberg，Wind，中金公司研究部</p><p>图表：目前已经回归的主要中概股公司在港交易的比例平均在20%左右，其中阿里巴巴20%、京东为21%</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/de285dce2713c3c7440e3d7576acfb27\" tg-width=\"695\" tg-height=\"420\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>资料来源：Bloomberg，Wind，中金公司研究部</p><p>图表：27家潜在回归公司新增融资和股份转换交易可能带来每年277亿港元的流动性吸收</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9815f0ef8056c01bd91d075ca32e6585\" tg-width=\"727\" tg-height=\"445\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>资料来源：Bloomberg，Wind，中金公司研究部</p><p>图表：即便27家中概股集中在2022年和2023年赴港上市，新增融资规模也仍在历史较合理的范围内</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d120db1e728a7b213dfbea08a2087752\" tg-width=\"736\" tg-height=\"444\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>资料来源：Bloomberg，Wind，中金公司研究部</p><p>图表：若二次上市公司被纳入港股通合资格标的，可能带来的潜在被动资金测算</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dca49dc0dc20fa89c448c0ce2c1552e8\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"513\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>注：数据截止至2022年8月25日</p><p>资料来源：港交所，Wind，中金公司研究部</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c16c8e006d32178191cb5241b3224fc","relate_stocks":{"CQQQ":"中国科技指数ETF-Guggenheim","KWEB":"中国海外互联网ETF-KraneShares"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1133824414","content_text":"作者：刘刚 寇玥 张巍瀚等北京时间8月26日晚，中国证监会网站发布公告，中国证监会、财政部与美国监管机构签署审计合作协议[1]。公告表示，合作协议依据两国法律法规，尊重国际通行做法，按照对等互利原则，就双方对相关会计师事务所合作开展监管检查和调查活动做出了明确约定，形成符合双方法规和监管要求的合作框架。相应的，美国公众公司会计监督委员会(PCAOB)和美国证监会(SEC)也发表了相关声明[2][3]。整体来看，我们认为中美签署审计监管合作协议，是继今年3月初SEC依据《外国公司问责法》细则将在美上市中概股公司纳入“退市风险名单”引发一系列波动以来取得的首个突破性进展，是解决困扰中概股由来已久监管风险的第一步，为接下来中美双方监管开展进一步合作打下基础。往前看，后续两国监管机构如何具体推进将是重点，这一过程中仍需要关注中美双方要求的一致性。如果取得实质性进展，或将有助于缓解多数公司退市的尾部风险和市场短期压力，而后续中概股和港股市场的中期走势仍将更多取决于基本面的修复情况。基于最新的监管动向，我们进一步对此次协议签署的可能影响、未来的演变路径、中概股市场的前景做出分析。中概股问题的来龙去脉：由来已久、影响广泛、持续协商中概股问题由来已久。此轮中概股风波最早可以追溯到2020年底时任总统特朗普签署《外国公司问责法》。2021年底，美国证监会SEC进一步出台了该法案的实施细则，并于今年3月开始正式将不符合其要求的公司逐步列入所谓“初步识别名单”，进入实际执行阶段。截至目前，已经有总计超过150家中概股公司上榜[4]。该法案的一个核心内容，是要求外国公司的会计事务所提交审计底稿，若连续三年无法提供，或将面临退市风险。此外，该法案还要求外国公司披露其与外国政府之间的关系并证明没有被外国政府所有或控制。因此这一法案实施以来，监管不确定性就成为压制中概股和港股上市科技股表现的重要因素之一。不过针对这一外部不确定性，中美双方协商也一直在进行。例如，3月10日SEC将首批中概股列入“初步识别名单”后，中国证监会3月11日凌晨发布公告表示“愿通过监管合作解决相关问题”[5]。3月16日，国务院副总理刘鹤主持金融委会议表示，中美双方监管机构保持了良好沟通[6]，已取得积极进展，正在致力于形成具体合作方案，中方继续支持各类企业到境外上市。不仅如此，中方也在推进修改一些配套政策法规以适应新的外部环境。例如2021年12月和2022年4月，国务院和证监会先后对起草《国务院关于境内企业境外发行证券和上市的管理规定(征求意见稿)》与修订《关于加强境内企业境外发行证券和上市相关保密和档案管理工作的规定(征求意见稿)》征求意见，增加对赴中国香港和美国上市的境内企业的覆盖，为跨境监管合作提供制度保障，这也为中美监管双方合作留出了一定空间。因此可以看出，中美监管合作也是大方向。图表：2020年以来海外中资股市场表现及主要事件梳理资料来源：Bloomberg，中国证监会，美国证监会，港交所，中金公司研究部图表：2020年以来，中概股面临的外部监管环境不确定性持续增加资料来源：中国证监会，美国证监会，港交所，中金公司研究部中美审计监管合作协议的主要内容：确定操作流程与方式，提供敏感信息处理程序此次合作协议主要针对困扰中概股能否继续在美上市的审计底稿和监管合作问题做出了具体安排。参照证监会公告：1) 主要内容：就双方对相关会计师事务所合作开展日常检查与执法调查做出了具体安排，约定了合作目的、合作范围、合作形式、信息使用、特定数据保护等重要事项;2) 合作范围：包括协助对方开展对相关事务所的检查和调查。其中，中方提供协助的范围也涉及部分为中概股提供审计服务、且审计底稿存放在内地的香港事务所;3) 协作方式：双方将提前就检查和调查活动计划进行沟通协调，美方须通过中方监管部门获取审计底稿等文件，在中方参与和协助下对会计师事务所相关人员开展访谈和问询。此外，此次合作协议还指出了以下关于审计底稿内容、监管形式和敏感信息等市场较为关注或者可能混淆的问题：1) 底稿内容：审计工作底稿的主要功能是记载审计师是否依照审计准则尽职尽责地验证企业收入支出等财务信息准确性，因此一般并不包括国家秘密、个人隐私或企业底层数据等敏感信息。2) 监管对象：审计监管的直接对象是会计师事务所，而非其审计的上市公司;3) 监管形式：上市地监管机构每年抽选部分会计师事务所进行检查，无须每年检查全部在美上市公司审计项目;4) 敏感信息处理：对可能涉及敏感信息的处理和使用做出了明确约定，针对个人信息等特定数据设置了专门处理程序，为双方履行法定监管职责的同时保护相关信息安全提供了可行路径。不难看出，此次合作协议在涉及审计监管操作的各个方面和环节都做了相关安排。同时，对于可能涉及到的一些敏感信息有专门处理的方式。因此，虽然后续具体进展是否顺利还有待观察，但这一合作协议至少为后续双方监管合作提供了操作基础、迈出了第一步。中美签署合作协议的意义：迈出监管合作的第一步;或缓解市场压力和多数公司退市风险、维持跨境融资渠道畅通结合当前的市场环境和协议具体内容，我们认为，此次合作协议对于解决困扰中概股由来已久的监管风险具有重要意义，为后续进一步开展监管合作打下基础。如果最终取得实质性进展，将有助于缓解市场压力和部分公司的退市尾部风险，有助于保护投资者权益;中长期有助于维持中国企业跨境融资渠道畅通、促进创新企业海外融资。实际上，跨境监管合作也符合国际惯例，美国PCAOB与法国、比利时、德国等多个国家也都签署了类似的审计监管合作协议。具体来看，► 首先，合作协议的签署为后续开展进一步合作并最终解决中概股监管问题提供了可能，尤其是涉及到敏感信息的专门处理方式。► 其次，或缓解短期市场压力和部分公司退市的尾部风险。如我们在《中概股追踪：未来出路与可能演变》分析，尽管《外国公司问责法》要求的最终截止日是2024年的财报季(集中在3~5月)，但考虑到实际执行过程所涉及到的很多流程，实际时间可能要早很多，例如提前到2023年11月前后，因此时间并不充裕。此次合作协议的签署，如果最终取得实质性进展，至少可以在很大程度上缓解市场的担忧情绪和相当一部分公司退市的尾部风险。► 再次，通过监管合作保留中概股在美上市，对保护投资者利益、维持中国企业跨境融资渠道，特别是创新类企业海外融资都有积极意义。实际上，美股市场一直是中资企业、尤其是创新类企业的重要融资渠道，2010年以来累计345家中概股赴美上市，首发募资金额764亿美元。即便今年以来仍有13家中概股赴美上市。后续进展：仍需关注美方与中方要求的一致性;多大程度和范围内能够提供底稿是关键在签署这一合作协议的基础上，后续两国监管机构如何就具体推进审计合作将是重点。在这一过程中，仍需要关注中美双方要求的一致性，例如，美方对于审查方式和审查范围的认定标准，是否与中方可以接受的方式一致。实际上，在最新声明中，PCAOB表示中美签署合作协议固然重要、但只是监管合作的第一步。在具体执行过程中，美方需要自行决定希望审查的公司和内容。此前，美方不论是PCAOB还是SEC官员也都表示，需要全面底稿权限而不接受部分删节的版本[7]。因此，最终在多大程度和范围内能够提供审计底稿，仍将是后续双方监管合作的关键。图表：中国证监会与美国PCAOB对于合作协议的相关表述资料来源：中国证监会，美国证监会，PCAOB，中金公司研究部中概股的未来选择：国企退市、多数中资民营股将有选择空间；回归港股仍是大势所趋除了国企和个别可能最终无法满足要求的企业，中美监管合作的推进，对于缓解多数中概股的退市风险将起到积极作用，因此未来中概股的出路主要有以下几种：1) 国企退市是基准情形：根据《外国公司问责法》要求，外国公司需披露其与外国政府之间的关系并证明其没有被政府所有或控制，因此国企基本都将选择退市。实际上，中国石化、中国石油等5家国企于8月12日宣布启动美国退市，也正是出于此项考虑，基本符合预期(《中概股追踪：国企在美退市的含义与影响》)。2) 多数中资民营股有望降低甚至或避免退市风险：若最终达成一致，多数企业可在符合保密新规的前提下向PCAOB开放审计底稿访问权限，因此可以维持在美上市。但是，仍不排除部分企业会由于涉及敏感信息而无法满足一些监管要求，继而选择退，后续监管进展和细节值得关注。但无论最终在美退市与否，选择赴港上市都将是中概股对冲外部风险的主要选择。目前已有26家公司通过二次上市或双重主要上市回归港股(其中17家为二次上市，9家为主要上市)。往前看，在外部环境依然面临较大变数情况下，我们预计更多符合条件的中概股公司回归港股。回归方式上，采用或转为主要上市将成为主流。相比作为海外上市主体“投影”的二次上市，选择双重主要上市方式回港可以使在港上市地位不受海外上市状况影响，同时还可纳入港股通范围(《中概股追踪：转成主要上市意味着什么?》)。实际上，我们注意到越来越多的公司(小鹏汽车、贝壳)选择双重主要上市回归港股，且再鼎医药、哔哩哔哩和阿里巴巴等公司也已经申请或完成了二次上市向主要上市地位的转换。我们测算，上述公司如果转为主要上市并纳入沪港通后，有望带来450亿港元的资金流入。对港股而言，中概股回港和退市或对港股短期有流动性扰动，但长期有助于优化港股结构并强化吸引力。我们预计大量中概股回归和股份转到港股交易，的确将会对港股本就不非常充裕的流动性造成一定影响，目前已经回归的主要中概股公司在港交易的比例平均已达20%左右(如阿里巴巴20%)。我们测算，27家潜在回归公司新增融资和股份转换交易可能带来每年277亿港元的流动性吸收(相当于2021年全年港股主板IPO募资金额的9.1%)。当然，采用介绍上市方式(不新增融资，例如蔚来和贝壳)可以减轻上述压力。中长期看，我们认为更多中概股公司的回归有助于进一步优化港股市场结构，吸引资金沉淀，进而形成优质公司和资金的正反馈，进一步巩固港股市场作为区域金融中心以及中国“新经济桥头堡”的地位。图表：中概股赴美上市数量及募资金额资料来源：Wind，中金公司研究部图表：美国中概股市场规模资料来源：Wind，中金公司研究部图表：2018年上市制度改革以来，已有26支美国中概股通过二次上市和双重主要上市回归港股资料来源：Bloomberg，Wind，中金公司研究部注：数据截止至2022年8月25日;估值基于Bloomberg一致预期图表：赴港上市中概股在香港部分的占比呈现上升趋势，但主要成交仍还在美国资料来源：Bloomberg，Wind，中金公司研究部图表：目前已经回归的主要中概股公司在港交易的比例平均在20%左右，其中阿里巴巴20%、京东为21%资料来源：Bloomberg，Wind，中金公司研究部图表：27家潜在回归公司新增融资和股份转换交易可能带来每年277亿港元的流动性吸收资料来源：Bloomberg，Wind，中金公司研究部图表：即便27家中概股集中在2022年和2023年赴港上市，新增融资规模也仍在历史较合理的范围内资料来源：Bloomberg，Wind，中金公司研究部图表：若二次上市公司被纳入港股通合资格标的，可能带来的潜在被动资金测算注：数据截止至2022年8月25日资料来源：港交所，Wind，中金公司研究部","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":597,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9995729142,"gmtCreate":1661521373988,"gmtModify":1676536534242,"author":{"id":"3570864790458781","authorId":"3570864790458781","name":"Yeong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93092185d223c6e53fcfd64303836612","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570864790458781","authorIdStr":"3570864790458781"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Y","listText":"Y","text":"Y","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9995729142","repostId":"1180411900","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":450,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9995149198,"gmtCreate":1661434825216,"gmtModify":1676536517772,"author":{"id":"3570864790458781","authorId":"3570864790458781","name":"Yeong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93092185d223c6e53fcfd64303836612","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570864790458781","authorIdStr":"3570864790458781"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Y","listText":"Y","text":"Y","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9995149198","repostId":"1143062864","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":293,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9992490714,"gmtCreate":1661350284342,"gmtModify":1676536501302,"author":{"id":"3570864790458781","authorId":"3570864790458781","name":"Yeong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93092185d223c6e53fcfd64303836612","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570864790458781","authorIdStr":"3570864790458781"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Y","listText":"Y","text":"Y","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9992490714","repostId":"2261642018","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":127,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9996402213,"gmtCreate":1661208998134,"gmtModify":1676536471973,"author":{"id":"3570864790458781","authorId":"3570864790458781","name":"Yeong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93092185d223c6e53fcfd64303836612","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570864790458781","authorIdStr":"3570864790458781"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Y","listText":"Y","text":"Y","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9996402213","repostId":"1141162633","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1141162633","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"中国大陆领先的金融数据、信息和软件服务企业，总部位于上海陆家嘴金融中心。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Wind万得","id":"99","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c71e30d1317b4a5cb20a41998e10ac68"},"pubTimestamp":1661153226,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1141162633?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-22 15:27","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"鲍威尔周五会说什么？华尔街猜测是“抗通胀第一，扶经济第二”","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1141162633","media":"Wind万得","summary":"市场对美联储减小加息幅度抱有很高的期待。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>本周五，美联储主席鲍威尔将在全球央行年会上发表讲话。近期，大宗商品加息下滑，美国的通胀数据缓和，市场对美联储减小加息幅度抱有很高的期待，但美联储官员不断纠正市场预期，鲍威尔讲话的指引意义不言而喻，市场屏息以待。</p><p>Wrightson ICAP首席经济学家Lou Crandall表示：“鲍威尔在杰克逊霍尔讲话的核心信息，将是美联储坚定地决心降低通胀，尽管他们知道短期经济增长前景会比他们所希望的更为疲弱。”</p><p>Lou Crandall 补充称，此前公布的美联储7月会议纪要表明了这一点，但在其他关于利率上调步伐最终放缓的头条新闻中，这一点被忽略了。根据会议纪要，美联储官员“认识到政策收紧可能会减缓经济增长速度，但他们认为通胀率恢复到2%，是持续实现最大就业的关键。”</p><p>Lou Crandall 认为，鲍威尔在央行年会上的讲话是比美联储会议纪要，更适合表达观点的场合。在经济疲软和劳动力市场疲软的情况下，坚持立场的决心将是“最重要的”，因为“通胀已经到达了一个美联储除了冒险加息没有别的选择的水平”。</p><p>随着7月强劲的就业报告和相对强劲的消费数据，市场对即将到来的衰退的担忧有所缓解。自3月以来，美联储将其联邦基金利率推高至2.25%-2.5%。 美联储观察家正在辩论美联储是否会在9月20日至21日的下次会议，上连续第三次加息0.75个基点。</p><p>对于鲍威尔是否就杰克逊霍尔预计9月份加息的规模提供任何指导，经济学家们意见分歧。</p><p>一部分经济学家认为，鲍威尔预计不会对关键的未知数，即为了降低通胀，利率必须提高多少，给出明确的信号。</p><p>Northern Trust的首席经济学家Carl Tannenbaum表示，鲍威尔将试图在9月份在加息75个基点，“我认为鲍威尔会满怀激情地说，并用事实证明，从长远来看，现在真正强硬对就业、市场和增长都有好处。“</p><p>Amherst Pierpoint 的首席经济学家Stephen Stanley 表示，预计鲍威尔将采取更广阔的视角，而不是专注于下一次政策会议，“如果我是他，我不会把演讲的重点放在9月份加息50个基点还是75个基点。”</p><p>Stephen Stanley 期待鲍威尔强调“暂停并保持利率不变”的想法，更确切的说，是对上次加息和首次降息之间会有很长的时间间隔给出线索。</p><p>尽管经济学家们对鲍威尔要做什么有分歧，但对于鲍威尔不会做什么的看法却更加清晰。</p><p>Stephen Stanley 认为，鲍威尔不会发出”通胀会比想象中更持久的信息“。Stephen Stanley 说：“我不认为，任何一位美联储官员站在人们面前说通胀将比你想象的时间更长，是一件明智的事情。因为央行希望降低公众的长期通胀预期。”</p><p>Lou Crandall 认为，在鲍威尔讲话之前，股市将经历”地狱般寒冷的一天“。</p><p>SGH Macro Advisors 的美国首席经济学家Tim Duy 表示，“市场越来越怀疑美联储将在通胀达到3.5%的时候宣布胜利，因此，从某种意义上说，鲍威尔的信息将旨在消除这种怀疑。”</p><p>CIBC World Markets 的首席经济学家Avery Shenfeld 表示，有一条实现软着陆的道路，即在2023年大幅降低通胀，而不会出现衰退。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>鲍威尔周五会说什么？华尔街猜测是“抗通胀第一，扶经济第二”</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n鲍威尔周五会说什么？华尔街猜测是“抗通胀第一，扶经济第二”\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/99\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/c71e30d1317b4a5cb20a41998e10ac68);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Wind万得 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-08-22 15:27</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>本周五，美联储主席鲍威尔将在全球央行年会上发表讲话。近期，大宗商品加息下滑，美国的通胀数据缓和，市场对美联储减小加息幅度抱有很高的期待，但美联储官员不断纠正市场预期，鲍威尔讲话的指引意义不言而喻，市场屏息以待。</p><p>Wrightson ICAP首席经济学家Lou Crandall表示：“鲍威尔在杰克逊霍尔讲话的核心信息，将是美联储坚定地决心降低通胀，尽管他们知道短期经济增长前景会比他们所希望的更为疲弱。”</p><p>Lou Crandall 补充称，此前公布的美联储7月会议纪要表明了这一点，但在其他关于利率上调步伐最终放缓的头条新闻中，这一点被忽略了。根据会议纪要，美联储官员“认识到政策收紧可能会减缓经济增长速度，但他们认为通胀率恢复到2%，是持续实现最大就业的关键。”</p><p>Lou Crandall 认为，鲍威尔在央行年会上的讲话是比美联储会议纪要，更适合表达观点的场合。在经济疲软和劳动力市场疲软的情况下，坚持立场的决心将是“最重要的”，因为“通胀已经到达了一个美联储除了冒险加息没有别的选择的水平”。</p><p>随着7月强劲的就业报告和相对强劲的消费数据，市场对即将到来的衰退的担忧有所缓解。自3月以来，美联储将其联邦基金利率推高至2.25%-2.5%。 美联储观察家正在辩论美联储是否会在9月20日至21日的下次会议，上连续第三次加息0.75个基点。</p><p>对于鲍威尔是否就杰克逊霍尔预计9月份加息的规模提供任何指导，经济学家们意见分歧。</p><p>一部分经济学家认为，鲍威尔预计不会对关键的未知数，即为了降低通胀，利率必须提高多少，给出明确的信号。</p><p>Northern Trust的首席经济学家Carl Tannenbaum表示，鲍威尔将试图在9月份在加息75个基点，“我认为鲍威尔会满怀激情地说，并用事实证明，从长远来看，现在真正强硬对就业、市场和增长都有好处。“</p><p>Amherst Pierpoint 的首席经济学家Stephen Stanley 表示，预计鲍威尔将采取更广阔的视角，而不是专注于下一次政策会议，“如果我是他，我不会把演讲的重点放在9月份加息50个基点还是75个基点。”</p><p>Stephen Stanley 期待鲍威尔强调“暂停并保持利率不变”的想法，更确切的说，是对上次加息和首次降息之间会有很长的时间间隔给出线索。</p><p>尽管经济学家们对鲍威尔要做什么有分歧，但对于鲍威尔不会做什么的看法却更加清晰。</p><p>Stephen Stanley 认为，鲍威尔不会发出”通胀会比想象中更持久的信息“。Stephen Stanley 说：“我不认为，任何一位美联储官员站在人们面前说通胀将比你想象的时间更长，是一件明智的事情。因为央行希望降低公众的长期通胀预期。”</p><p>Lou Crandall 认为，在鲍威尔讲话之前，股市将经历”地狱般寒冷的一天“。</p><p>SGH Macro Advisors 的美国首席经济学家Tim Duy 表示，“市场越来越怀疑美联储将在通胀达到3.5%的时候宣布胜利，因此，从某种意义上说，鲍威尔的信息将旨在消除这种怀疑。”</p><p>CIBC World Markets 的首席经济学家Avery Shenfeld 表示，有一条实现软着陆的道路，即在2023年大幅降低通胀，而不会出现衰退。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62dafa537afba542bdc43da1b85df8b4","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1141162633","content_text":"本周五，美联储主席鲍威尔将在全球央行年会上发表讲话。近期，大宗商品加息下滑，美国的通胀数据缓和，市场对美联储减小加息幅度抱有很高的期待，但美联储官员不断纠正市场预期，鲍威尔讲话的指引意义不言而喻，市场屏息以待。Wrightson ICAP首席经济学家Lou Crandall表示：“鲍威尔在杰克逊霍尔讲话的核心信息，将是美联储坚定地决心降低通胀，尽管他们知道短期经济增长前景会比他们所希望的更为疲弱。”Lou Crandall 补充称，此前公布的美联储7月会议纪要表明了这一点，但在其他关于利率上调步伐最终放缓的头条新闻中，这一点被忽略了。根据会议纪要，美联储官员“认识到政策收紧可能会减缓经济增长速度，但他们认为通胀率恢复到2%，是持续实现最大就业的关键。”Lou Crandall 认为，鲍威尔在央行年会上的讲话是比美联储会议纪要，更适合表达观点的场合。在经济疲软和劳动力市场疲软的情况下，坚持立场的决心将是“最重要的”，因为“通胀已经到达了一个美联储除了冒险加息没有别的选择的水平”。随着7月强劲的就业报告和相对强劲的消费数据，市场对即将到来的衰退的担忧有所缓解。自3月以来，美联储将其联邦基金利率推高至2.25%-2.5%。 美联储观察家正在辩论美联储是否会在9月20日至21日的下次会议，上连续第三次加息0.75个基点。对于鲍威尔是否就杰克逊霍尔预计9月份加息的规模提供任何指导，经济学家们意见分歧。一部分经济学家认为，鲍威尔预计不会对关键的未知数，即为了降低通胀，利率必须提高多少，给出明确的信号。Northern Trust的首席经济学家Carl Tannenbaum表示，鲍威尔将试图在9月份在加息75个基点，“我认为鲍威尔会满怀激情地说，并用事实证明，从长远来看，现在真正强硬对就业、市场和增长都有好处。“Amherst Pierpoint 的首席经济学家Stephen Stanley 表示，预计鲍威尔将采取更广阔的视角，而不是专注于下一次政策会议，“如果我是他，我不会把演讲的重点放在9月份加息50个基点还是75个基点。”Stephen Stanley 期待鲍威尔强调“暂停并保持利率不变”的想法，更确切的说，是对上次加息和首次降息之间会有很长的时间间隔给出线索。尽管经济学家们对鲍威尔要做什么有分歧，但对于鲍威尔不会做什么的看法却更加清晰。Stephen Stanley 认为，鲍威尔不会发出”通胀会比想象中更持久的信息“。Stephen Stanley 说：“我不认为，任何一位美联储官员站在人们面前说通胀将比你想象的时间更长，是一件明智的事情。因为央行希望降低公众的长期通胀预期。”Lou Crandall 认为，在鲍威尔讲话之前，股市将经历”地狱般寒冷的一天“。SGH Macro Advisors 的美国首席经济学家Tim Duy 表示，“市场越来越怀疑美联储将在通胀达到3.5%的时候宣布胜利，因此，从某种意义上说，鲍威尔的信息将旨在消除这种怀疑。”CIBC World Markets 的首席经济学家Avery Shenfeld 表示，有一条实现软着陆的道路，即在2023年大幅降低通胀，而不会出现衰退。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":85,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9998329112,"gmtCreate":1660949576738,"gmtModify":1676536426689,"author":{"id":"3570864790458781","authorId":"3570864790458781","name":"Yeong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93092185d223c6e53fcfd64303836612","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570864790458781","authorIdStr":"3570864790458781"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Y","listText":"Y","text":"Y","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9998329112","repostId":"1172869300","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1172869300","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1660921730,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1172869300?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-19 23:08","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"纳指跌2%，明星科技股普遍走低","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1172869300","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"8月19日，美股持续走低，纳指跌2%，明星科技股普遍走低，英伟达跌超4%，奈飞、Paypal跌超3%，特斯拉跌近3%。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>8月19日，美股持续走低，纳指跌2%，明星科技股普遍走低，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达</a>跌超4%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">奈飞</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PYPL\">Paypal</a>跌超3%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>跌近3%。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3c0b625edcbe1df7aea79d1104d04b22\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>纳指跌2%，明星科技股普遍走低</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n纳指跌2%，明星科技股普遍走低\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-08-19 23:08</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>8月19日，美股持续走低，纳指跌2%，明星科技股普遍走低，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达</a>跌超4%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">奈飞</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PYPL\">Paypal</a>跌超3%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>跌近3%。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3c0b625edcbe1df7aea79d1104d04b22\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f6ec6e99c0c8b9feb7f296b78c65a54","relate_stocks":{"BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","QNETCN":"纳斯达克中美互联网老虎指数","QID":"纳指两倍做空ETF","PYPL":"PayPal","PSQ":"纳指反向ETF","QLD":"纳指两倍做多ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","BK4561":"索罗斯持仓","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","03086":"华夏纳指","TTTN":"老虎中美互联网巨头ETF"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1172869300","content_text":"8月19日，美股持续走低，纳指跌2%，明星科技股普遍走低，英伟达跌超4%，奈飞、Paypal跌超3%，特斯拉跌近3%。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":65,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9991674651,"gmtCreate":1660833899975,"gmtModify":1676536407722,"author":{"id":"3570864790458781","authorId":"3570864790458781","name":"Yeong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93092185d223c6e53fcfd64303836612","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570864790458781","authorIdStr":"3570864790458781"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Y","listText":"Y","text":"Y","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9991674651","repostId":"1175805318","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":221,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9993687276,"gmtCreate":1660689941297,"gmtModify":1676536377211,"author":{"id":"3570864790458781","authorId":"3570864790458781","name":"Yeong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93092185d223c6e53fcfd64303836612","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570864790458781","authorIdStr":"3570864790458781"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Y","listText":"Y","text":"Y","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9993687276","repostId":"1187867519","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1187867519","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"秦朔朋友圈是由中国著名媒体人、财经观察家秦朔牵头创立的一个新媒体与专业服务品牌，包括微信公众号、微博、视频节目、音频节目等。内容聚焦于经济、金融和商业领域，关注重点为全球和中国财经商业热点、企业家精神、创新与发明创造、商业文明探索等。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"秦朔朋友圈","id":"60","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/707686f07ebc41778130c729f4eea24e"},"pubTimestamp":1660656382,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1187867519?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-16 21:26","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"夜读 | 华尔街秃鹰的猎食之道","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1187867519","media":"秦朔朋友圈","summary":"当光鲜的白日梦变成了噩梦，市场秃鹰才悄悄开始肆意猎食。霍华德·马克斯，1946年人。美国沃顿商学院毕业，1968年末开始投身于花旗银行的股票分析行业，师从西格尔教授，谨遵“漂亮50”投资法，投资50家","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>当光鲜的白日梦变成了噩梦，市场秃鹰才悄悄开始肆意猎食。</p><p>霍华德·马克斯，1946年人。美国沃顿商学院毕业，1968年末开始投身于花旗银行的股票分析行业，师从西格尔教授，谨遵“漂亮50”投资法，投资50家美国最好、发展最快的公司，“任何价格都可以，没关系”。可苦苦挨了10年，花旗银行的“漂亮50”跌去了90%的净值。</p><p>这是希望与失望的漫漫十年。被刺痛的也不止是“漂亮50”，更是年轻的霍华德·马克斯。</p><ul><li><p>“所谓经验就是当你没有得到你想要东西的时候你所能得到的”。</p></li><li><p>“投资不是你买什么的问题，而是你付出什么价格的问题”。</p></li><li><p>“投资不是买好东西，而是买得好”。</p></li></ul><p>多么痛彻的领悟……而这段坎坷引发的深刻思考反倒是造就了霍华德·马克斯特别的投资之路，成就了一代“华尔街秃鹰”、伟大的逆向投资大师、华尔街驾驭周期的王。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd687f6d806c07ae4d6cf4722f9769da\" tg-width=\"890\" tg-height=\"501\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>敢于与众不同的力量</b></p><p>脚踝斩的“漂亮50”让霍华德·马克斯后来选择离开了备受万千宠爱的股票市场。辗转间，马克斯受垃圾债大王迈克尔·米尔肯的影响，转向了美国的垃圾债市场。这是个在当时少有人问津的小众市场，但是正是人们对垃圾债的畏惧心理和市场的无视，让马克斯看到了巨大的机会。</p><p>“1978年，我的职业生涯才真正开始，在过去的40年里，我基本上都是在买那些不受欢迎的资产，因为当你买别人都不想要的资产时，才能买到更便宜的东西”。</p><p>“如果你买3A债，没有任何超额收益，但买B级债如果没有违约，收益会非常丰厚”。</p><p>从1994年起，霍华德·马克斯与合伙人布鲁斯·卡什创立了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OAK\">橡树资本</a>，专注于垃圾债市场的投资。1995年到1998年间，互联网行业欣欣向荣，但橡树资本一直像秃鹰一样耐心守候。没等到兔子，便绝不撒鹰。直到千禧泡沫破裂的前后，马克斯才展开了正式的“本垒打”。</p><p>最有代表性的是当时影院连锁企业Regal Cinemas的破产重组。</p><p>伴随着美国影院市场的繁荣，Regal Cinemas在90年代中后期大肆借贷扩张，1998年随着联储提高借贷利率和市场转入不景气，公司开始陷入债务危机，一度徘徊于破产边缘。投资人忌惮于未来市场前景的黯淡，纷纷避之而不及。但华尔街秃鹰、逆向投资大师马克斯却嗅到了大机会。</p><p>Regal Cinemas虽是一家濒临破产的公司，但由于早年的良好积累，其旗下拥有很多优质的商业地产项目，如果进行破产重估，公司的商业地产项目价值会远超公司当前无人问津的市场价格。</p><p>于是，别人恐慌的时候，马克斯理性而贪婪。橡树资本以8亿美金的价格便宜地拿下了公司的债务，快速推动公司破产重组，并在这笔交易中大赚了一笔。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0bfb231ab26e1db3d3db1f3cf0358704\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"547\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>| 图：橡树资本的在管资产规模</p><p>这是敢于与众不同的力量，是霍华德·马克斯投资的成功之道，也是橡树资本的资产规模在每一次危机后都能大上一个台阶的商业之道。2008年美国遭遇金融危机，MBS次级债市场一片哀嚎，而弹药充足的橡树资本全仓买入。2008年一年，橡树资本便大赚了60亿美金。以后的每一次危机，似乎都成为了橡树资本最甜蜜的击球区。</p><p><b>理解周期的视野</b></p><p>秃鹰有的是敏锐的视力，也有利爪和钩嘴。那么霍华德·马克斯的大视野是什么呢？</p><p>在霍华德·马克斯的基本投资理念里，有几条清晰的主线：</p><ul><li><p>投资一定是有周期的；</p></li><li><p>周期一定是逃不开的；</p></li><li><p>宏观择时是不靠谱的；</p></li><li><p>逆向投资、第二层次思维是法门。</p></li></ul><p>马克斯喜欢引用马克·吐温的一句话，“历史不会重演，但会押韵”。人有悲欢离合，月有阴晴圆缺，太阳东升西落，都是周期。企业有成长、成熟、衰退的生命周期，行业有萌芽、繁荣、更替的周期，宏观经济有复苏、萧条的周期。理解周期的存在不难，关键是理解周期的原理和必然——为什么人们总是逃不开周期的魔咒？</p><p>马克斯在2004年备忘录<i><b>The Happy Medium</b></i>里提出了一个经典的问题：“自1957年以来的65年，标普500指数的年均回报率是10%，但这期间，为什么只有6年的年回报率在10%上下，而在其余在90%的时间里，实际回报率与平均回报率相差甚远？为什么市场不是以每年10%回报的形式均匀呈现呢？”</p><p><b>马克斯的解释是——过度和修正。</b></p><p>如果股市是台物理机器，那么是有可能在一段时间内保持相同的韵脚，但实际上股市的参与主体是人，人本性的贪婪与恐惧决定了这是逃不开的市场周期。</p><p>当市场乐观的时候，人们会认为所有资产价格会永远上涨，总有其他人会接力；而当泡沫破灭极度悲观的时候，人们又匆匆忙忙地想要止损离场，躲在角落里落寞地自我疗愈，不再垂怜市场上那遍地的价值。</p><p>回首金融市场的历史，总是贪婪与恐惧交替的历史，也总是极度乐观与悲观的周期史，这是经济规律，这是心理规律，这也是社会群体规律。这是市场周期的钟摆，周而复始，生生不息，是“逃不开的周期”。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/67285e48328a8b43e2b2b396b1be1acb\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1639\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><b>驾驭周期的法门</b></p><p>“周期”是马克斯被奉之为“华尔街秃鹰”的大视野，那么马克斯的钩嘴又是什么呢？逃不开的周期下，马克斯投资的长赢之道在哪里？</p><p>日本文化中的“不确定性哲学”是马克斯年少时就研习并内化的核心思想，纳西姆·尼古拉斯·塔勒布是马斯克最推崇的金融学家。或许正是这样的积淀和共鸣，让马克斯在应对周期上，有两个非常重要而笃定的论断：</p><p>第一，宏观预测不靠谱；</p><p>第二，市场择时不靠谱。</p><p>“并非宏观预期不重要，而是重大的宏观转折很难长期保持正确预测，也就很难产生持续价值”，马克斯如是说。无可否定，总有睿智的经济学家可以在某些时点阶段性地成功预测拐点，但是，至今为止，还没有宏观经济学家可以永久正确，无论中外。就像在漫长的资管史上，没有人可以每次都躲过危机并抄底成功一样，靠择时获得的盈利也并不具有长期的可持续性。</p><p>那么市场的这种基于人性的周期性究竟如何来把握呢？</p><p>“你不能预测，但可以做好准备”。霍华德·马克斯认为，逆向投资、第二层次思维是克服心理周期的法门：</p><ul><li><p>不一样，才能赢。(To think differently and to feel differently.)</p></li><li><p>没有无知与偏见，哪来的议价能力？（If there is no ignorance there is no prejudice where the bargain comes from?）</p></li><li><p>怕，你就输了。（Scared money never wins.）</p></li><li><p>风险属于底部割肉离场的人。（Risk is the likelihood of being forced out at the bottom.）</p></li><li><p>接飞刀是利润之源，控制风险要小心行事。（It’s our job to catch falling knives. That’s how you get bargains. But you have to do it carefully.）</p></li><li><p>反者道之动，弱者道之用。(Aggressive when people are depressive and defensive when people are excited.)</p></li><li><p>白日梦终醒，你准备好了么？(Pipe dreams turn nightmares, and the vultures are ready for the hunt. )</p></li></ul><p>把时间来拉回到当下的市场，战争的乌云、新冠的反复、流动性的收缩、房地产的烦扰…… 每个时代总是有扰动大众心绪和涣散信心的一桩桩、一件件。而每当大众在恐慌情绪下纷纷抛售资产、忍痛离场的时候，一代秃鹰霍华德·马克斯却又默默开始了惯常的、预谋已久的、有备而来的“咄咄逼人”。</p><ul><li><p>“现在是时候抄底了。”</p></li><li><p>“捡便宜货的时机已成熟。”</p></li></ul><p>卧薪尝胆、修身克已于泡沫飞扬年代的霍华德·马克斯终于又等到了抢购“便宜货”的好时候。</p><ul><li><p>“我认为等待底部是一个可怕的想法，我们没法断言市场何时触底，但当我们认为能够以折扣价格买入资产、以廉价获得价值时，就可以买了，我们目前所见到的资产可能要比内在价值更便宜，在这种情况下，我们会买更多。”</p></li></ul><p>白日梦已醒，马克斯准备好了，你呢？</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>夜读 | 华尔街秃鹰的猎食之道</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n夜读 | 华尔街秃鹰的猎食之道\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/60\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/707686f07ebc41778130c729f4eea24e);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">秦朔朋友圈 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-08-16 21:26</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>当光鲜的白日梦变成了噩梦，市场秃鹰才悄悄开始肆意猎食。</p><p>霍华德·马克斯，1946年人。美国沃顿商学院毕业，1968年末开始投身于花旗银行的股票分析行业，师从西格尔教授，谨遵“漂亮50”投资法，投资50家美国最好、发展最快的公司，“任何价格都可以，没关系”。可苦苦挨了10年，花旗银行的“漂亮50”跌去了90%的净值。</p><p>这是希望与失望的漫漫十年。被刺痛的也不止是“漂亮50”，更是年轻的霍华德·马克斯。</p><ul><li><p>“所谓经验就是当你没有得到你想要东西的时候你所能得到的”。</p></li><li><p>“投资不是你买什么的问题，而是你付出什么价格的问题”。</p></li><li><p>“投资不是买好东西，而是买得好”。</p></li></ul><p>多么痛彻的领悟……而这段坎坷引发的深刻思考反倒是造就了霍华德·马克斯特别的投资之路，成就了一代“华尔街秃鹰”、伟大的逆向投资大师、华尔街驾驭周期的王。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd687f6d806c07ae4d6cf4722f9769da\" tg-width=\"890\" tg-height=\"501\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>敢于与众不同的力量</b></p><p>脚踝斩的“漂亮50”让霍华德·马克斯后来选择离开了备受万千宠爱的股票市场。辗转间，马克斯受垃圾债大王迈克尔·米尔肯的影响，转向了美国的垃圾债市场。这是个在当时少有人问津的小众市场，但是正是人们对垃圾债的畏惧心理和市场的无视，让马克斯看到了巨大的机会。</p><p>“1978年，我的职业生涯才真正开始，在过去的40年里，我基本上都是在买那些不受欢迎的资产，因为当你买别人都不想要的资产时，才能买到更便宜的东西”。</p><p>“如果你买3A债，没有任何超额收益，但买B级债如果没有违约，收益会非常丰厚”。</p><p>从1994年起，霍华德·马克斯与合伙人布鲁斯·卡什创立了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OAK\">橡树资本</a>，专注于垃圾债市场的投资。1995年到1998年间，互联网行业欣欣向荣，但橡树资本一直像秃鹰一样耐心守候。没等到兔子，便绝不撒鹰。直到千禧泡沫破裂的前后，马克斯才展开了正式的“本垒打”。</p><p>最有代表性的是当时影院连锁企业Regal Cinemas的破产重组。</p><p>伴随着美国影院市场的繁荣，Regal Cinemas在90年代中后期大肆借贷扩张，1998年随着联储提高借贷利率和市场转入不景气，公司开始陷入债务危机，一度徘徊于破产边缘。投资人忌惮于未来市场前景的黯淡，纷纷避之而不及。但华尔街秃鹰、逆向投资大师马克斯却嗅到了大机会。</p><p>Regal Cinemas虽是一家濒临破产的公司，但由于早年的良好积累，其旗下拥有很多优质的商业地产项目，如果进行破产重估，公司的商业地产项目价值会远超公司当前无人问津的市场价格。</p><p>于是，别人恐慌的时候，马克斯理性而贪婪。橡树资本以8亿美金的价格便宜地拿下了公司的债务，快速推动公司破产重组，并在这笔交易中大赚了一笔。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0bfb231ab26e1db3d3db1f3cf0358704\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"547\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>| 图：橡树资本的在管资产规模</p><p>这是敢于与众不同的力量，是霍华德·马克斯投资的成功之道，也是橡树资本的资产规模在每一次危机后都能大上一个台阶的商业之道。2008年美国遭遇金融危机，MBS次级债市场一片哀嚎，而弹药充足的橡树资本全仓买入。2008年一年，橡树资本便大赚了60亿美金。以后的每一次危机，似乎都成为了橡树资本最甜蜜的击球区。</p><p><b>理解周期的视野</b></p><p>秃鹰有的是敏锐的视力，也有利爪和钩嘴。那么霍华德·马克斯的大视野是什么呢？</p><p>在霍华德·马克斯的基本投资理念里，有几条清晰的主线：</p><ul><li><p>投资一定是有周期的；</p></li><li><p>周期一定是逃不开的；</p></li><li><p>宏观择时是不靠谱的；</p></li><li><p>逆向投资、第二层次思维是法门。</p></li></ul><p>马克斯喜欢引用马克·吐温的一句话，“历史不会重演，但会押韵”。人有悲欢离合，月有阴晴圆缺，太阳东升西落，都是周期。企业有成长、成熟、衰退的生命周期，行业有萌芽、繁荣、更替的周期，宏观经济有复苏、萧条的周期。理解周期的存在不难，关键是理解周期的原理和必然——为什么人们总是逃不开周期的魔咒？</p><p>马克斯在2004年备忘录<i><b>The Happy Medium</b></i>里提出了一个经典的问题：“自1957年以来的65年，标普500指数的年均回报率是10%，但这期间，为什么只有6年的年回报率在10%上下，而在其余在90%的时间里，实际回报率与平均回报率相差甚远？为什么市场不是以每年10%回报的形式均匀呈现呢？”</p><p><b>马克斯的解释是——过度和修正。</b></p><p>如果股市是台物理机器，那么是有可能在一段时间内保持相同的韵脚，但实际上股市的参与主体是人，人本性的贪婪与恐惧决定了这是逃不开的市场周期。</p><p>当市场乐观的时候，人们会认为所有资产价格会永远上涨，总有其他人会接力；而当泡沫破灭极度悲观的时候，人们又匆匆忙忙地想要止损离场，躲在角落里落寞地自我疗愈，不再垂怜市场上那遍地的价值。</p><p>回首金融市场的历史，总是贪婪与恐惧交替的历史，也总是极度乐观与悲观的周期史，这是经济规律，这是心理规律，这也是社会群体规律。这是市场周期的钟摆，周而复始，生生不息，是“逃不开的周期”。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/67285e48328a8b43e2b2b396b1be1acb\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1639\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><b>驾驭周期的法门</b></p><p>“周期”是马克斯被奉之为“华尔街秃鹰”的大视野，那么马克斯的钩嘴又是什么呢？逃不开的周期下，马克斯投资的长赢之道在哪里？</p><p>日本文化中的“不确定性哲学”是马克斯年少时就研习并内化的核心思想，纳西姆·尼古拉斯·塔勒布是马斯克最推崇的金融学家。或许正是这样的积淀和共鸣，让马克斯在应对周期上，有两个非常重要而笃定的论断：</p><p>第一，宏观预测不靠谱；</p><p>第二，市场择时不靠谱。</p><p>“并非宏观预期不重要，而是重大的宏观转折很难长期保持正确预测，也就很难产生持续价值”，马克斯如是说。无可否定，总有睿智的经济学家可以在某些时点阶段性地成功预测拐点，但是，至今为止，还没有宏观经济学家可以永久正确，无论中外。就像在漫长的资管史上，没有人可以每次都躲过危机并抄底成功一样，靠择时获得的盈利也并不具有长期的可持续性。</p><p>那么市场的这种基于人性的周期性究竟如何来把握呢？</p><p>“你不能预测，但可以做好准备”。霍华德·马克斯认为，逆向投资、第二层次思维是克服心理周期的法门：</p><ul><li><p>不一样，才能赢。(To think differently and to feel differently.)</p></li><li><p>没有无知与偏见，哪来的议价能力？（If there is no ignorance there is no prejudice where the bargain comes from?）</p></li><li><p>怕，你就输了。（Scared money never wins.）</p></li><li><p>风险属于底部割肉离场的人。（Risk is the likelihood of being forced out at the bottom.）</p></li><li><p>接飞刀是利润之源，控制风险要小心行事。（It’s our job to catch falling knives. That’s how you get bargains. But you have to do it carefully.）</p></li><li><p>反者道之动，弱者道之用。(Aggressive when people are depressive and defensive when people are excited.)</p></li><li><p>白日梦终醒，你准备好了么？(Pipe dreams turn nightmares, and the vultures are ready for the hunt. )</p></li></ul><p>把时间来拉回到当下的市场，战争的乌云、新冠的反复、流动性的收缩、房地产的烦扰…… 每个时代总是有扰动大众心绪和涣散信心的一桩桩、一件件。而每当大众在恐慌情绪下纷纷抛售资产、忍痛离场的时候，一代秃鹰霍华德·马克斯却又默默开始了惯常的、预谋已久的、有备而来的“咄咄逼人”。</p><ul><li><p>“现在是时候抄底了。”</p></li><li><p>“捡便宜货的时机已成熟。”</p></li></ul><p>卧薪尝胆、修身克已于泡沫飞扬年代的霍华德·马克斯终于又等到了抢购“便宜货”的好时候。</p><ul><li><p>“我认为等待底部是一个可怕的想法，我们没法断言市场何时触底，但当我们认为能够以折扣价格买入资产、以廉价获得价值时，就可以买了，我们目前所见到的资产可能要比内在价值更便宜，在这种情况下，我们会买更多。”</p></li></ul><p>白日梦已醒，马克斯准备好了，你呢？</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c1a1ad69d0f22cf17bf15da18df75402","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1187867519","content_text":"当光鲜的白日梦变成了噩梦，市场秃鹰才悄悄开始肆意猎食。霍华德·马克斯，1946年人。美国沃顿商学院毕业，1968年末开始投身于花旗银行的股票分析行业，师从西格尔教授，谨遵“漂亮50”投资法，投资50家美国最好、发展最快的公司，“任何价格都可以，没关系”。可苦苦挨了10年，花旗银行的“漂亮50”跌去了90%的净值。这是希望与失望的漫漫十年。被刺痛的也不止是“漂亮50”，更是年轻的霍华德·马克斯。“所谓经验就是当你没有得到你想要东西的时候你所能得到的”。“投资不是你买什么的问题，而是你付出什么价格的问题”。“投资不是买好东西，而是买得好”。多么痛彻的领悟……而这段坎坷引发的深刻思考反倒是造就了霍华德·马克斯特别的投资之路，成就了一代“华尔街秃鹰”、伟大的逆向投资大师、华尔街驾驭周期的王。敢于与众不同的力量脚踝斩的“漂亮50”让霍华德·马克斯后来选择离开了备受万千宠爱的股票市场。辗转间，马克斯受垃圾债大王迈克尔·米尔肯的影响，转向了美国的垃圾债市场。这是个在当时少有人问津的小众市场，但是正是人们对垃圾债的畏惧心理和市场的无视，让马克斯看到了巨大的机会。“1978年，我的职业生涯才真正开始，在过去的40年里，我基本上都是在买那些不受欢迎的资产，因为当你买别人都不想要的资产时，才能买到更便宜的东西”。“如果你买3A债，没有任何超额收益，但买B级债如果没有违约，收益会非常丰厚”。从1994年起，霍华德·马克斯与合伙人布鲁斯·卡什创立了橡树资本，专注于垃圾债市场的投资。1995年到1998年间，互联网行业欣欣向荣，但橡树资本一直像秃鹰一样耐心守候。没等到兔子，便绝不撒鹰。直到千禧泡沫破裂的前后，马克斯才展开了正式的“本垒打”。最有代表性的是当时影院连锁企业Regal Cinemas的破产重组。伴随着美国影院市场的繁荣，Regal Cinemas在90年代中后期大肆借贷扩张，1998年随着联储提高借贷利率和市场转入不景气，公司开始陷入债务危机，一度徘徊于破产边缘。投资人忌惮于未来市场前景的黯淡，纷纷避之而不及。但华尔街秃鹰、逆向投资大师马克斯却嗅到了大机会。Regal Cinemas虽是一家濒临破产的公司，但由于早年的良好积累，其旗下拥有很多优质的商业地产项目，如果进行破产重估，公司的商业地产项目价值会远超公司当前无人问津的市场价格。于是，别人恐慌的时候，马克斯理性而贪婪。橡树资本以8亿美金的价格便宜地拿下了公司的债务，快速推动公司破产重组，并在这笔交易中大赚了一笔。| 图：橡树资本的在管资产规模这是敢于与众不同的力量，是霍华德·马克斯投资的成功之道，也是橡树资本的资产规模在每一次危机后都能大上一个台阶的商业之道。2008年美国遭遇金融危机，MBS次级债市场一片哀嚎，而弹药充足的橡树资本全仓买入。2008年一年，橡树资本便大赚了60亿美金。以后的每一次危机，似乎都成为了橡树资本最甜蜜的击球区。理解周期的视野秃鹰有的是敏锐的视力，也有利爪和钩嘴。那么霍华德·马克斯的大视野是什么呢？在霍华德·马克斯的基本投资理念里，有几条清晰的主线：投资一定是有周期的；周期一定是逃不开的；宏观择时是不靠谱的；逆向投资、第二层次思维是法门。马克斯喜欢引用马克·吐温的一句话，“历史不会重演，但会押韵”。人有悲欢离合，月有阴晴圆缺，太阳东升西落，都是周期。企业有成长、成熟、衰退的生命周期，行业有萌芽、繁荣、更替的周期，宏观经济有复苏、萧条的周期。理解周期的存在不难，关键是理解周期的原理和必然——为什么人们总是逃不开周期的魔咒？马克斯在2004年备忘录The Happy Medium里提出了一个经典的问题：“自1957年以来的65年，标普500指数的年均回报率是10%，但这期间，为什么只有6年的年回报率在10%上下，而在其余在90%的时间里，实际回报率与平均回报率相差甚远？为什么市场不是以每年10%回报的形式均匀呈现呢？”马克斯的解释是——过度和修正。如果股市是台物理机器，那么是有可能在一段时间内保持相同的韵脚，但实际上股市的参与主体是人，人本性的贪婪与恐惧决定了这是逃不开的市场周期。当市场乐观的时候，人们会认为所有资产价格会永远上涨，总有其他人会接力；而当泡沫破灭极度悲观的时候，人们又匆匆忙忙地想要止损离场，躲在角落里落寞地自我疗愈，不再垂怜市场上那遍地的价值。回首金融市场的历史，总是贪婪与恐惧交替的历史，也总是极度乐观与悲观的周期史，这是经济规律，这是心理规律，这也是社会群体规律。这是市场周期的钟摆，周而复始，生生不息，是“逃不开的周期”。驾驭周期的法门“周期”是马克斯被奉之为“华尔街秃鹰”的大视野，那么马克斯的钩嘴又是什么呢？逃不开的周期下，马克斯投资的长赢之道在哪里？日本文化中的“不确定性哲学”是马克斯年少时就研习并内化的核心思想，纳西姆·尼古拉斯·塔勒布是马斯克最推崇的金融学家。或许正是这样的积淀和共鸣，让马克斯在应对周期上，有两个非常重要而笃定的论断：第一，宏观预测不靠谱；第二，市场择时不靠谱。“并非宏观预期不重要，而是重大的宏观转折很难长期保持正确预测，也就很难产生持续价值”，马克斯如是说。无可否定，总有睿智的经济学家可以在某些时点阶段性地成功预测拐点，但是，至今为止，还没有宏观经济学家可以永久正确，无论中外。就像在漫长的资管史上，没有人可以每次都躲过危机并抄底成功一样，靠择时获得的盈利也并不具有长期的可持续性。那么市场的这种基于人性的周期性究竟如何来把握呢？“你不能预测，但可以做好准备”。霍华德·马克斯认为，逆向投资、第二层次思维是克服心理周期的法门：不一样，才能赢。(To think differently and to feel differently.)没有无知与偏见，哪来的议价能力？（If there is no ignorance there is no prejudice where the bargain comes from?）怕，你就输了。（Scared money never wins.）风险属于底部割肉离场的人。（Risk is the likelihood of being forced out at the bottom.）接飞刀是利润之源，控制风险要小心行事。（It’s our job to catch falling knives. That’s how you get bargains. But you have to do it carefully.）反者道之动，弱者道之用。(Aggressive when people are depressive and defensive when people are excited.)白日梦终醒，你准备好了么？(Pipe dreams turn nightmares, and the vultures are ready for the hunt. )把时间来拉回到当下的市场，战争的乌云、新冠的反复、流动性的收缩、房地产的烦扰…… 每个时代总是有扰动大众心绪和涣散信心的一桩桩、一件件。而每当大众在恐慌情绪下纷纷抛售资产、忍痛离场的时候，一代秃鹰霍华德·马克斯却又默默开始了惯常的、预谋已久的、有备而来的“咄咄逼人”。“现在是时候抄底了。”“捡便宜货的时机已成熟。”卧薪尝胆、修身克已于泡沫飞扬年代的霍华德·马克斯终于又等到了抢购“便宜货”的好时候。“我认为等待底部是一个可怕的想法，我们没法断言市场何时触底，但当我们认为能够以折扣价格买入资产、以廉价获得价值时，就可以买了，我们目前所见到的资产可能要比内在价值更便宜，在这种情况下，我们会买更多。”白日梦已醒，马克斯准备好了，你呢？","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":68,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9993819630,"gmtCreate":1660659899822,"gmtModify":1676536373822,"author":{"id":"3570864790458781","authorId":"3570864790458781","name":"Yeong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93092185d223c6e53fcfd64303836612","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570864790458781","authorIdStr":"3570864790458781"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Y","listText":"Y","text":"Y","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9993819630","repostId":"1146690881","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1146690881","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"追踪全球财经热点，精选影响您财富的资讯，投资理财必备神器！","home_visible":1,"media_name":"华尔街见闻","id":"1084101182","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e"},"pubTimestamp":1660657990,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1146690881?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-16 21:53","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"中东土豪“抄底”美股！大手笔建仓了这些股","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1146690881","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"中东土豪又开启了买买买模式。","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote>中东土豪又开启了买买买模式。</blockquote><p>坚守“别人恐惧时我贪婪“这句投资箴言的远不止巴菲特一个，曾在疫情期间全力抄底美国蓝筹股的中东土豪——沙特主权财富基金PIF又开启了买买买模式。</p><p>最新披露的文件显示，该基金在二季度增持了75亿美元的美国蓝筹股，大手笔建仓了微软、谷歌母公司Alphabet、亚马逊等科技股，还增持了Meta Platforms。</p><p><b>大手笔建仓微软、谷歌、亚马逊</b></p><p>当地时间周二，美国证券交易委员会（SEC）披露了沙特公共投资基金（Public Investment Fund, PIF）截至2022年6月30日的第二季度持仓报告(13F)。</p><p>文件显示，PIF在二季度建仓了微软、谷歌母公司Alphabet、贝莱德、摩根大通、亚马逊等个股，持有市值均超过4亿美元。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89befd291fd69f035f23156b0438f980\" tg-width=\"1023\" tg-height=\"902\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>二季度，PIF还增持了Meta Platforms超过250万股，增持支付平台Pay Pal约610万股、增持游戏公司Electronic Arts超过180万股。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/72237c1ff4287bc0715d2acbc2c21975\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"212\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>PIF此次“扫货”与其在2020年疫情期间的操作如出一辙。当时，该基金刚开始构建其股票投资组合，抄底了多家被抛售的美国大蓝筹公司，包括波音、Facebook、花旗。几个月后，股价反弹，PIF又出售了大部分股票套现。从那时起，它在各个行业建立了头寸，包括动视暴雪、Electronic Arts。</p><p>自7月以来，亚马逊股价反弹近35%，微软股价反弹了超过13%，Meta股价反弹了12%。</p><p><b>持仓总市值下滑6%</b></p><p>总体来看，其持仓市值仍然是下降的。</p><p>文件显示，今年二季度，PIF美股持仓总市值达408.17亿美元，环比下降6.3%。PIF在二季度建仓了17只个股，增持了4只个股，仅仅减持了1只个股，清仓了1只个股。其中前十大持仓个股占其持仓总市值的74.01%。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa65ec563cbf43b47c177c8bd164fb3d\" tg-width=\"351\" tg-height=\"383\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>持仓市值下降的主要原因在于其所持电动汽车制造商Lucid在下调生产目标后股价暴跌，市值蒸发了83亿美元。不过，PIF并没有对其持有的Lucid股票进行调整，该股仍为其第一大重仓股，持仓市值超过174亿美元。</p><p>此外，PIF持仓的许多个股为标普500指数成分股，由于通胀和衰退恐慌加剧，该指数在今年前两个季度累计跌去了20%，虽然7月以来大幅反弹，但与年初相比仍下降了9%。</p><p>PIF其他四大重仓股分别是动视暴雪、公共事业指数ETF-SPDR、Electronic Arts、优步。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9be5c21da034c408a5f9a0d4e3e61c39\" tg-width=\"967\" tg-height=\"354\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><b>计划到2025年资产翻一番</b></p><p>今年以来，由于油价持续飙升，飘在石油海洋上的沙特第二季度GDP同比增速高达11.8%，国家石油公司沙特阿美二季度净收入增长90%。作为沙特阿美4%的股东，PIF也大大受益。</p><p>管理着6200亿美元资产的PIF一直雄心勃勃，计划到2025年将其资产翻一番。</p><p>总裁沙特王储沙穆罕默德·本·萨勒曼(Mohammedbin Salman)计划通过该基金为沙特发展新的行业，摆脱对石油产业的依赖，帮助沙特实现产业转型。</p><p>对内，PIF已承诺每年投资约400亿美元用于启动新产业。近日沙特王储宣布，计划斥资约一万亿美元在沙特建造长达120公里的“零碳直线城市”NEOM，部分资金将由PIF提供。</p><p>对外，PIF不断扩大其国际投资组合。近几个月来，该基金已向日本游戏制造商任天堂注资约30亿美元，牵头对汽车制造商Aston Martin进行了4亿美元的投资，并以15亿美元收购了世界上最大的电竞赛事主办方之一ESL 。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>中东土豪“抄底”美股！大手笔建仓了这些股</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n中东土豪“抄底”美股！大手笔建仓了这些股\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n2022-08-16 21:53 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<strong>华尔街见闻</strong>\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>中东土豪又开启了买买买模式。坚守“别人恐惧时我贪婪“这句投资箴言的远不止巴菲特一个，曾在疫情期间全力抄底美国蓝筹股的中东土豪——沙特主权财富基金PIF又开启了买买买模式。最新披露的文件显示，该基金在二季度增持了75亿美元的美国蓝筹股，大手笔建仓了微软、谷歌母公司Alphabet、亚马逊等科技股，还增持了Meta Platforms。大手笔建仓微软、谷歌、亚马逊当地时间周二，美国证券交易委员会（...</p>\n\n<a href=\"\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7d584aca182a0c36adb16d579518f97f","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1146690881","content_text":"中东土豪又开启了买买买模式。坚守“别人恐惧时我贪婪“这句投资箴言的远不止巴菲特一个，曾在疫情期间全力抄底美国蓝筹股的中东土豪——沙特主权财富基金PIF又开启了买买买模式。最新披露的文件显示，该基金在二季度增持了75亿美元的美国蓝筹股，大手笔建仓了微软、谷歌母公司Alphabet、亚马逊等科技股，还增持了Meta Platforms。大手笔建仓微软、谷歌、亚马逊当地时间周二，美国证券交易委员会（SEC）披露了沙特公共投资基金（Public Investment Fund, PIF）截至2022年6月30日的第二季度持仓报告(13F)。文件显示，PIF在二季度建仓了微软、谷歌母公司Alphabet、贝莱德、摩根大通、亚马逊等个股，持有市值均超过4亿美元。二季度，PIF还增持了Meta Platforms超过250万股，增持支付平台Pay Pal约610万股、增持游戏公司Electronic Arts超过180万股。PIF此次“扫货”与其在2020年疫情期间的操作如出一辙。当时，该基金刚开始构建其股票投资组合，抄底了多家被抛售的美国大蓝筹公司，包括波音、Facebook、花旗。几个月后，股价反弹，PIF又出售了大部分股票套现。从那时起，它在各个行业建立了头寸，包括动视暴雪、Electronic Arts。自7月以来，亚马逊股价反弹近35%，微软股价反弹了超过13%，Meta股价反弹了12%。持仓总市值下滑6%总体来看，其持仓市值仍然是下降的。文件显示，今年二季度，PIF美股持仓总市值达408.17亿美元，环比下降6.3%。PIF在二季度建仓了17只个股，增持了4只个股，仅仅减持了1只个股，清仓了1只个股。其中前十大持仓个股占其持仓总市值的74.01%。持仓市值下降的主要原因在于其所持电动汽车制造商Lucid在下调生产目标后股价暴跌，市值蒸发了83亿美元。不过，PIF并没有对其持有的Lucid股票进行调整，该股仍为其第一大重仓股，持仓市值超过174亿美元。此外，PIF持仓的许多个股为标普500指数成分股，由于通胀和衰退恐慌加剧，该指数在今年前两个季度累计跌去了20%，虽然7月以来大幅反弹，但与年初相比仍下降了9%。PIF其他四大重仓股分别是动视暴雪、公共事业指数ETF-SPDR、Electronic Arts、优步。计划到2025年资产翻一番今年以来，由于油价持续飙升，飘在石油海洋上的沙特第二季度GDP同比增速高达11.8%，国家石油公司沙特阿美二季度净收入增长90%。作为沙特阿美4%的股东，PIF也大大受益。管理着6200亿美元资产的PIF一直雄心勃勃，计划到2025年将其资产翻一番。总裁沙特王储沙穆罕默德·本·萨勒曼(Mohammedbin Salman)计划通过该基金为沙特发展新的行业，摆脱对石油产业的依赖，帮助沙特实现产业转型。对内，PIF已承诺每年投资约400亿美元用于启动新产业。近日沙特王储宣布，计划斥资约一万亿美元在沙特建造长达120公里的“零碳直线城市”NEOM，部分资金将由PIF提供。对外，PIF不断扩大其国际投资组合。近几个月来，该基金已向日本游戏制造商任天堂注资约30亿美元，牵头对汽车制造商Aston Martin进行了4亿美元的投资，并以15亿美元收购了世界上最大的电竞赛事主办方之一ESL 。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":132,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9999453461,"gmtCreate":1660574552955,"gmtModify":1676535535937,"author":{"id":"3570864790458781","authorId":"3570864790458781","name":"Yeong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93092185d223c6e53fcfd64303836612","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570864790458781","authorIdStr":"3570864790458781"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Y","listText":"Y","text":"Y","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9999453461","repostId":"1123133990","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1123133990","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1660547328,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1123133990?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-15 15:08","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"挺过危机：比巴菲特还相信可乐的人们","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1123133990","media":"远川投资评论","summary":"佛罗里达位于美国东南海岸，毒品交易繁荣。早年为了争夺可卡因的垄断权，汇聚着意大利黑手党、墨西哥黑帮以及哥伦比亚毒枭。一个不算冷的知识点——可卡因不仅是当地毒贩必争的暴利代表，也是可口可乐最初的原料，两","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>佛罗里达位于美国东南海岸，毒品交易繁荣。早年为了争夺可卡因的垄断权，汇聚着意大利黑手党、墨西哥黑帮以及哥伦比亚毒枭。一个不算冷的知识点——可卡因不仅是当地毒贩必争的暴利代表，也是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KO\">可口可乐</a>最初的原料，两者都是佛罗里达版本的乡村《致富经》。</p><p>最典型的一个就是，昆西小镇。</p><p>地处北纬30°35′N佛罗里达昆西镇，气候宜人，极其有利于烟草种植。不过，这一座人口仅7000余人的农业小镇，实现共同富裕的方式，不是倒卖强成瘾性的可卡因和烟草，而是买可口可乐的股票。从1922年开始，村民们世世代代买入可口可乐，70%的人成为了「可口可乐百万富翁」。</p><p>他们比真正的 Old Money <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BRK.A\">伯克希尔</a>哈撒韦买入可口可乐的时间，还整整早了66年。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ad108993aa9a6398e4609df4f38ccbe\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"540\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>可口可乐标识显著的昆西小镇</p><p>实际上，可口可乐历经百年浮沉，虽然饱经各式熊市的打击，仍然孕育了股神首富，振兴了乡村经济，完成了资本主义的先富带后富。截至今年8月3日，纳斯达克年内跌去14.45%（最大跌幅33.52%），A股脊梁东方神水跌去7.07%，可口可乐反而逆市上涨9.10%。</p><p>让昆西小镇人民在魔幻2022年安然无恙的可口可乐，某种意义上也是百年危机「阿尔法」，不止一次的救小镇于大萧条、大通胀的水火之中。</p><p><b>5美分救世主</b></p><p>任何危机，似乎都撼动不了可口可乐硬通货的地位。</p><p>1929年10月的美股，下跌速度连庐山瀑布都追不上，短短两周蒸发300亿美元，相当于美国在一战的总开支。随后美国进入大萧条，80000多家企业破产，5000多家银行倒闭，1600多万人失业。一个个「盖茨比」资产归零后，再也买不起海岛或是别墅，<b>但他们总是用最后的五分钱买可乐</b>。</p><p>最早看到这一幕的人之一是昆西小镇的银行家帕特·门罗。他自己也心领神会，每当遭遇灾难，支撑自己活下去的也无非是糖和碳水。</p><p>门罗女儿茱莉亚·门罗形容：“爸爸很喜欢这种味道，他知道5分钱一瓶冰凉的可口可乐对于人们意味着什么。”可口可乐1919年上市时股价40美元，碳水+糖的护城河并没有形成全市场的共识，并在一年内腰斩跌到19美元。尽管波动大如A股次新股，但在门罗心里却是经典烟蒂股——稳定的需求、低估的股价，让门罗相信买可口可乐是一笔完美的长期投资。</p><p>于是早在100年前，门罗就搞起了温州帮「生意合伙做，有钱大家赚」的经商哲学，把致富代码分享给昆西的居民。</p><p>每当邻居们到他的银行贷款时，他都会讲解为何可口可乐值得投资，并鼓励他们用额外省下的现金购买可口可乐股票，甚至自掏腰包为农民和寡妇投资股票提供贷款，来帮助他们积攒未来财富[7]。州议员<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WWD\">伍德沃德</a>向门罗申请2000美元农场贷款，门罗执意贷给他4000美元，并让他将其中的一半买入可口可乐股票。</p><p><b>到1922年时，门罗的投资者教育已经卓有成效，这一年昆西小镇迎来了烟草大丰收，小镇居民立马把烟草带来的现金流换成了大量的可口可乐股票。</b></p><p>与大萧条的境遇截然相反，可口可乐在那些年里却欣欣向荣。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NYT\">纽约时报</a>年年吹票可口可乐，从1924年的销售额增长5%，1929年的净利润同期上升25.4%，再到1930年连续第八年实现销售增长。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/53e0720908471f21a7755e17aae7491b\" tg-width=\"930\" tg-height=\"1200\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>大萧条时期，可口可乐海报上的人们洋溢着笑容</p><p>从1919年上市后腰斩的19美元，可口可乐到1927年时已经飙升至200美元。就在这个时候，可口可乐CEO伍德拉夫自己却扮演了一个「令人讨厌的空头」——先将可口可乐1:2拆股，然后在1929年10月股市暴跌时，做空4600股自家公司股票。</p><p>俗话说，信董秘的亏一半，信CEO的亏光光。</p><p>和CEO对着干的昆西小镇居民们，在黑色星期四之后仍然选择在可口可乐里避险，它的股价尽管曾从137美元微跌至128美元，但年末又恢复至134美元，接下来股价一路上扬。前面听门罗推票的州议员伍德沃德说：<b>“可口可乐股票就像是黄金，使我的家人们没患上抑郁症。</b>”而伍德拉夫却因为做空可口可乐损失了40万美元。</p><p>大萧条期间，许多银行经历挤兑潮，迫使罗斯福总统下令所有银行放假。门罗经营的昆西州立银行拒绝关门，甚至传言罗斯福为之大怒，派出联邦特工将其逮捕。但门罗的底气在于，或许正是小镇人民的可口可乐股票收益，他的银行并没有发生可怕的挤兑。</p><p><b>这段时间里，可口可乐遭遇的最大危机，不是经济下行，而是政策变化。</b></p><p>1931年，禁酒令的销毁让可口可乐一度大跌。但可乐很快就用营收证明了自己和酒精之间并不是互为替代的关系，影响微乎其微，股价在1935年再次突破新高。</p><p>此后数十年，可口可乐逐渐奠定了自己无以伦比的世界品牌地位，还是门罗的那句话，<b>“无论在什么境遇下，人们都会留下5美分买可口可乐”，只是「人们」的范畴从「全美国」变成了「全世界」。</b></p><p><b>能喝的「危机阿尔法」</b></p><p>从买入可口可乐的股票之后，昆西居民们的持股几乎再未放手，即便是在人类历史上最残酷的战争中。</p><p>整个二战期间，有64家完整装瓶厂实现了大规模的运输和运营，向前线发放超过50亿瓶可口可乐，折算下来大兵们年均消耗10亿多瓶。艾森豪威尔说：“<b>我希望每个士兵随时都能喝上一瓶可口可乐，这是能令人想起家乡的东西。</b>”巴顿将军把一地窖可乐当作必需品，无论转战何处，都要技术观察员跟着搬迁装瓶厂。</p><p>即便是在异国他乡，苏联朱可夫元帅都曾恳请可口可乐定制一款无色像伏特加一样的碳酸饮料，瓶盖印上红星。<b>就连邪恶轴心国的代表因为可口可乐糖浆被禁运，为了不影响战局，都不得不加班加点仿制了芬达。</b></p><p>而这种坚持，也为昆西小镇带来了回报。上世纪60年代末，昆西小镇烟草业衰微，失业率飙升至38%。同乡的可口可乐百万富翁，为当地学生们支付了大学学费。</p><p>而被可口可乐间接援助的，远不止昆西小镇。从某种意义上说，当可口可乐的股东是放心的，因为即便美股遇到危机，它通常也能跑赢指数。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/27cfdd76e36c67fdbeeaa4fd228be8c7\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"907\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>数据截至2022年8月8日</p><p>唯一跑输的是在第一次石油危机，期间整个美股漂亮50覆灭。</p><p>不过在1973至1979年整个石油危机阶段，可口可乐一直保持90%-95%的玻璃瓶回收率和80-85%的易拉罐回收率，维持着品牌形象。<b>除了1974-1975年因为滞胀，有过短暂的净利润负增长，其余时间均保持着10%以上的增长，估值却从48倍跌至15倍。</b></p><p>即使股价看起来很惨，战略看起来很ESG，可口可乐还是维持着利润增长来保持派息。</p><p>再比如08年金融危机，可口可乐强劲的国际需求抵消了了北美市场2.5%的销售下滑，2008-2009年，可口可乐收入从 289 亿美元增至 310 亿美元，摊薄后每股收益从 2.57 美元升至 2.93 美元[13]。</p><p>但是面对大萧条后最大的金融海啸，这样的业绩也只能跌的比指数少一些。</p><p>在此期间，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STI\">太阳信托银行</a>依靠可口可乐股票成功自救，手中4800万股卖出了19亿美元。要知道这家银行1919年时协助可口可乐公司上市，<b>在收获11万美元现金报酬和持有公司股票两个选项中毅然选择了后者</b>，即使忽略通胀的调整，价值也远高于当年的11万美金。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0a45a228622291489e91afb0585f5a78\" tg-width=\"831\" tg-height=\"476\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>成功靠可口可乐苟下来的太阳信托 Source: Fintech Time</p><p>当然，人类历史上再大的金融危机都没阻止可口可乐在日后创下新高，且大部分时间有很好的避险作用。正如巴菲特所言，<b>这是 「一个汉堡」都能经营的企业</b>。似乎只要不改彭伯顿医生「碳水+糖浆+咖啡因」的私密配方，就不会有什么问题。</p><p><b>事实上，当一个产品足够伟大之后，一个什么都做不了的「汉堡」可能确实会比一个总想做点什么的「人」更好。</b></p><p>纵观公司史，可口可乐确实也自己作过一次死。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PEP\">百事可乐</a>在1975年举办的“百事挑战”第一次挑战了可口可乐在国民心中的龙头地位：在此次蒙眼「盲盒」实验中，更多人选择了百事可乐的味道。眼见要被百事可乐抢走市场份额，1985年可口可乐改变了近100年的配方，决定加糖迎合大众口味，却引来了一片倒彩：不少粉丝上街游行散步，并将新版可口可乐现场倾倒。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5172b13c0b297d5a53573de2840c40ab\" tg-width=\"831\" tg-height=\"467\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>人民上街抗议新版可口可乐 Source: DaisyAfford</p><p>消费者们施加的压力，迫使可口可乐三个月就把配方改了回来。这次偷鸡不成反蚀把米后，可口可乐告诉它的投资者，<b>他们不会再去模仿他人，而是一心扩大自己的饮料业务。</b></p><p>1988年，巴菲特看到可口可乐一份年报所述，公司 95% 的营收来自饮料。此时百事可乐大量的零食业务，比如桂格麦片和菲多利，都受到谷物和食用油成本上涨的压力，而可口可乐的饮料产品组合，包括维他命水、Fuze、健怡等，都只受到较小通胀影响。</p><p>但美股在经历了「黑色星期一」后，道指跌去了两成，可乐也未能完全幸免。此时，<b>巴菲特斥资10亿美元购入6.2%可口可乐股票</b>，持有至今。甚至在新冠疫情中，股神巴菲特也坚持每天喝五瓶可乐，还在一次<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YHOO\">雅虎</a>的采访中开玩笑说，“医生说我的身体更好了，可乐帮助我避开了疫情。”</p><p><b>尾声：极简的胜利</b></p><p>从昆西小镇的帕特门罗到半个世纪后进场的巴菲特，他们不断去验证一个道理：在经济不确定的时期，喝可口可乐是一个治愈内耗、获得快乐的最低成本解决方案。</p><p>碳水+糖的伟大配方造就了一个生命周期超过一个世纪的超级大单品，很大程度上是一种极简主义的胜利。</p><p>中泰资管基金经理姜诚曾提出过质疑：“傻瓜一定管不好可口可乐，可口可乐也曾有让巴菲特不喜欢的CEO。<b>80年代可乐换口味风波不像是傻瓜犯的错，因为再优秀的人都会犯错</b>。”</p><p>此话虽然不假，但也正是这样的风波，证明了可口可乐几乎是被上帝偏爱的消费品——人们喜欢可口可乐一成不变的味道，人们只需要可口可乐一成不变。它的确不太需要管理层，因为可乐不会犯错，但管理层终究会犯错。</p><p>近半个世纪后的当下，东方神水遥相呼应般地，在新消费品此消彼长的喧嚣中，踏进冰淇淋的赛道。被民间誉为「中国巴菲特」的段永平，直白地表达了自己的看法——“<b>直觉上觉得这个产品不是好产品……茅台有实力做任何尝试，但希望一旦发现不对要能尽快收手。</b>”</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3df3c30099cc0c7073a29dd37a7dd1f1\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"874\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>亲历了80年代可乐风波的昆西村民们，看到这种产品创新，恐怕也会发出一句「我劝茅台重抖擞，一心一意就做酒」的感慨吧。</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1583835599575","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>挺过危机：比巴菲特还相信可乐的人们</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n挺过危机：比巴菲特还相信可乐的人们\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-15 15:08 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/90LW164nNMJxMvjkA_59Uw><strong>远川投资评论</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>佛罗里达位于美国东南海岸，毒品交易繁荣。早年为了争夺可卡因的垄断权，汇聚着意大利黑手党、墨西哥黑帮以及哥伦比亚毒枭。一个不算冷的知识点——可卡因不仅是当地毒贩必争的暴利代表，也是可口可乐最初的原料，两者都是佛罗里达版本的乡村《致富经》。最典型的一个就是，昆西小镇。地处北纬30°35′N佛罗里达昆西镇，气候宜人，极其有利于烟草种植。不过，这一座人口仅7000余人的农业小镇，实现共同富裕的方式，不是...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/90LW164nNMJxMvjkA_59Uw\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ad108993aa9a6398e4609df4f38ccbe","relate_stocks":{"KO":"可口可乐","BK4176":"多领域控股","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BRK.A":"伯克希尔","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","BK4177":"软饮料","BRK.B":"伯克希尔B","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/90LW164nNMJxMvjkA_59Uw","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1123133990","content_text":"佛罗里达位于美国东南海岸，毒品交易繁荣。早年为了争夺可卡因的垄断权，汇聚着意大利黑手党、墨西哥黑帮以及哥伦比亚毒枭。一个不算冷的知识点——可卡因不仅是当地毒贩必争的暴利代表，也是可口可乐最初的原料，两者都是佛罗里达版本的乡村《致富经》。最典型的一个就是，昆西小镇。地处北纬30°35′N佛罗里达昆西镇，气候宜人，极其有利于烟草种植。不过，这一座人口仅7000余人的农业小镇，实现共同富裕的方式，不是倒卖强成瘾性的可卡因和烟草，而是买可口可乐的股票。从1922年开始，村民们世世代代买入可口可乐，70%的人成为了「可口可乐百万富翁」。他们比真正的 Old Money 伯克希尔哈撒韦买入可口可乐的时间，还整整早了66年。可口可乐标识显著的昆西小镇实际上，可口可乐历经百年浮沉，虽然饱经各式熊市的打击，仍然孕育了股神首富，振兴了乡村经济，完成了资本主义的先富带后富。截至今年8月3日，纳斯达克年内跌去14.45%（最大跌幅33.52%），A股脊梁东方神水跌去7.07%，可口可乐反而逆市上涨9.10%。让昆西小镇人民在魔幻2022年安然无恙的可口可乐，某种意义上也是百年危机「阿尔法」，不止一次的救小镇于大萧条、大通胀的水火之中。5美分救世主任何危机，似乎都撼动不了可口可乐硬通货的地位。1929年10月的美股，下跌速度连庐山瀑布都追不上，短短两周蒸发300亿美元，相当于美国在一战的总开支。随后美国进入大萧条，80000多家企业破产，5000多家银行倒闭，1600多万人失业。一个个「盖茨比」资产归零后，再也买不起海岛或是别墅，但他们总是用最后的五分钱买可乐。最早看到这一幕的人之一是昆西小镇的银行家帕特·门罗。他自己也心领神会，每当遭遇灾难，支撑自己活下去的也无非是糖和碳水。门罗女儿茱莉亚·门罗形容：“爸爸很喜欢这种味道，他知道5分钱一瓶冰凉的可口可乐对于人们意味着什么。”可口可乐1919年上市时股价40美元，碳水+糖的护城河并没有形成全市场的共识，并在一年内腰斩跌到19美元。尽管波动大如A股次新股，但在门罗心里却是经典烟蒂股——稳定的需求、低估的股价，让门罗相信买可口可乐是一笔完美的长期投资。于是早在100年前，门罗就搞起了温州帮「生意合伙做，有钱大家赚」的经商哲学，把致富代码分享给昆西的居民。每当邻居们到他的银行贷款时，他都会讲解为何可口可乐值得投资，并鼓励他们用额外省下的现金购买可口可乐股票，甚至自掏腰包为农民和寡妇投资股票提供贷款，来帮助他们积攒未来财富[7]。州议员伍德沃德向门罗申请2000美元农场贷款，门罗执意贷给他4000美元，并让他将其中的一半买入可口可乐股票。到1922年时，门罗的投资者教育已经卓有成效，这一年昆西小镇迎来了烟草大丰收，小镇居民立马把烟草带来的现金流换成了大量的可口可乐股票。与大萧条的境遇截然相反，可口可乐在那些年里却欣欣向荣。纽约时报年年吹票可口可乐，从1924年的销售额增长5%，1929年的净利润同期上升25.4%，再到1930年连续第八年实现销售增长。大萧条时期，可口可乐海报上的人们洋溢着笑容从1919年上市后腰斩的19美元，可口可乐到1927年时已经飙升至200美元。就在这个时候，可口可乐CEO伍德拉夫自己却扮演了一个「令人讨厌的空头」——先将可口可乐1:2拆股，然后在1929年10月股市暴跌时，做空4600股自家公司股票。俗话说，信董秘的亏一半，信CEO的亏光光。和CEO对着干的昆西小镇居民们，在黑色星期四之后仍然选择在可口可乐里避险，它的股价尽管曾从137美元微跌至128美元，但年末又恢复至134美元，接下来股价一路上扬。前面听门罗推票的州议员伍德沃德说：“可口可乐股票就像是黄金，使我的家人们没患上抑郁症。”而伍德拉夫却因为做空可口可乐损失了40万美元。大萧条期间，许多银行经历挤兑潮，迫使罗斯福总统下令所有银行放假。门罗经营的昆西州立银行拒绝关门，甚至传言罗斯福为之大怒，派出联邦特工将其逮捕。但门罗的底气在于，或许正是小镇人民的可口可乐股票收益，他的银行并没有发生可怕的挤兑。这段时间里，可口可乐遭遇的最大危机，不是经济下行，而是政策变化。1931年，禁酒令的销毁让可口可乐一度大跌。但可乐很快就用营收证明了自己和酒精之间并不是互为替代的关系，影响微乎其微，股价在1935年再次突破新高。此后数十年，可口可乐逐渐奠定了自己无以伦比的世界品牌地位，还是门罗的那句话，“无论在什么境遇下，人们都会留下5美分买可口可乐”，只是「人们」的范畴从「全美国」变成了「全世界」。能喝的「危机阿尔法」从买入可口可乐的股票之后，昆西居民们的持股几乎再未放手，即便是在人类历史上最残酷的战争中。整个二战期间，有64家完整装瓶厂实现了大规模的运输和运营，向前线发放超过50亿瓶可口可乐，折算下来大兵们年均消耗10亿多瓶。艾森豪威尔说：“我希望每个士兵随时都能喝上一瓶可口可乐，这是能令人想起家乡的东西。”巴顿将军把一地窖可乐当作必需品，无论转战何处，都要技术观察员跟着搬迁装瓶厂。即便是在异国他乡，苏联朱可夫元帅都曾恳请可口可乐定制一款无色像伏特加一样的碳酸饮料，瓶盖印上红星。就连邪恶轴心国的代表因为可口可乐糖浆被禁运，为了不影响战局，都不得不加班加点仿制了芬达。而这种坚持，也为昆西小镇带来了回报。上世纪60年代末，昆西小镇烟草业衰微，失业率飙升至38%。同乡的可口可乐百万富翁，为当地学生们支付了大学学费。而被可口可乐间接援助的，远不止昆西小镇。从某种意义上说，当可口可乐的股东是放心的，因为即便美股遇到危机，它通常也能跑赢指数。数据截至2022年8月8日唯一跑输的是在第一次石油危机，期间整个美股漂亮50覆灭。不过在1973至1979年整个石油危机阶段，可口可乐一直保持90%-95%的玻璃瓶回收率和80-85%的易拉罐回收率，维持着品牌形象。除了1974-1975年因为滞胀，有过短暂的净利润负增长，其余时间均保持着10%以上的增长，估值却从48倍跌至15倍。即使股价看起来很惨，战略看起来很ESG，可口可乐还是维持着利润增长来保持派息。再比如08年金融危机，可口可乐强劲的国际需求抵消了了北美市场2.5%的销售下滑，2008-2009年，可口可乐收入从 289 亿美元增至 310 亿美元，摊薄后每股收益从 2.57 美元升至 2.93 美元[13]。但是面对大萧条后最大的金融海啸，这样的业绩也只能跌的比指数少一些。在此期间，太阳信托银行依靠可口可乐股票成功自救，手中4800万股卖出了19亿美元。要知道这家银行1919年时协助可口可乐公司上市，在收获11万美元现金报酬和持有公司股票两个选项中毅然选择了后者，即使忽略通胀的调整，价值也远高于当年的11万美金。成功靠可口可乐苟下来的太阳信托 Source: Fintech Time当然，人类历史上再大的金融危机都没阻止可口可乐在日后创下新高，且大部分时间有很好的避险作用。正如巴菲特所言，这是 「一个汉堡」都能经营的企业。似乎只要不改彭伯顿医生「碳水+糖浆+咖啡因」的私密配方，就不会有什么问题。事实上，当一个产品足够伟大之后，一个什么都做不了的「汉堡」可能确实会比一个总想做点什么的「人」更好。纵观公司史，可口可乐确实也自己作过一次死。百事可乐在1975年举办的“百事挑战”第一次挑战了可口可乐在国民心中的龙头地位：在此次蒙眼「盲盒」实验中，更多人选择了百事可乐的味道。眼见要被百事可乐抢走市场份额，1985年可口可乐改变了近100年的配方，决定加糖迎合大众口味，却引来了一片倒彩：不少粉丝上街游行散步，并将新版可口可乐现场倾倒。人民上街抗议新版可口可乐 Source: DaisyAfford消费者们施加的压力，迫使可口可乐三个月就把配方改了回来。这次偷鸡不成反蚀把米后，可口可乐告诉它的投资者，他们不会再去模仿他人，而是一心扩大自己的饮料业务。1988年，巴菲特看到可口可乐一份年报所述，公司 95% 的营收来自饮料。此时百事可乐大量的零食业务，比如桂格麦片和菲多利，都受到谷物和食用油成本上涨的压力，而可口可乐的饮料产品组合，包括维他命水、Fuze、健怡等，都只受到较小通胀影响。但美股在经历了「黑色星期一」后，道指跌去了两成，可乐也未能完全幸免。此时，巴菲特斥资10亿美元购入6.2%可口可乐股票，持有至今。甚至在新冠疫情中，股神巴菲特也坚持每天喝五瓶可乐，还在一次雅虎的采访中开玩笑说，“医生说我的身体更好了，可乐帮助我避开了疫情。”尾声：极简的胜利从昆西小镇的帕特门罗到半个世纪后进场的巴菲特，他们不断去验证一个道理：在经济不确定的时期，喝可口可乐是一个治愈内耗、获得快乐的最低成本解决方案。碳水+糖的伟大配方造就了一个生命周期超过一个世纪的超级大单品，很大程度上是一种极简主义的胜利。中泰资管基金经理姜诚曾提出过质疑：“傻瓜一定管不好可口可乐，可口可乐也曾有让巴菲特不喜欢的CEO。80年代可乐换口味风波不像是傻瓜犯的错，因为再优秀的人都会犯错。”此话虽然不假，但也正是这样的风波，证明了可口可乐几乎是被上帝偏爱的消费品——人们喜欢可口可乐一成不变的味道，人们只需要可口可乐一成不变。它的确不太需要管理层，因为可乐不会犯错，但管理层终究会犯错。近半个世纪后的当下，东方神水遥相呼应般地，在新消费品此消彼长的喧嚣中，踏进冰淇淋的赛道。被民间誉为「中国巴菲特」的段永平，直白地表达了自己的看法——“直觉上觉得这个产品不是好产品……茅台有实力做任何尝试，但希望一旦发现不对要能尽快收手。”亲历了80年代可乐风波的昆西村民们，看到这种产品创新，恐怕也会发出一句「我劝茅台重抖擞，一心一意就做酒」的感慨吧。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":15,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9999091943,"gmtCreate":1660438151084,"gmtModify":1676533469264,"author":{"id":"3570864790458781","authorId":"3570864790458781","name":"Yeong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93092185d223c6e53fcfd64303836612","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570864790458781","authorIdStr":"3570864790458781"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Y","listText":"Y","text":"Y","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9999091943","repostId":"1156260562","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1156260562","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1660306082,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1156260562?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-12 20:08","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"盘前 | 瑞银Q2减持苹果、亚马逊‌！两药企发公告安抚投资者‌","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1156260562","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"摘要：美股股指期货上涨，财报暴雷，Illumina跌15%、CODX跌30%；财报给力，Payoneer涨19%，Toast涨13%；欧洲主要股指涨多跌少，国际油价下跌。8月12日，美股股指期货上涨，","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote><b>摘要：美股股指期货上涨，财报暴雷，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ILMN\">Illumina</a>跌15%、CODX跌30%；财报给力，Payoneer涨19%，Toast涨13%；欧洲主要股指涨多跌少，国际油价下跌。</b></blockquote><p>8月12日，美股股指期货上涨，道指期货跌涨0.33%，标普500指数涨0.36%，纳指期货涨0.39%。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6ec3e686d6ca3092aab64f077deca9b5\" tg-width=\"828\" tg-height=\"242\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><b>盘前要闻</b></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2258713180\" target=\"_blank\"><b>桥水基金二季度清仓<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">阿里巴巴</a>？知情人士：转仓香港持股</b></a></p><p>从桥水基金提交的13F监管文件看，该基金二季度加仓<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BIDU\">百度</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>，清仓阿里巴巴、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">京东</a>ADR。不过，据知情人士透露，桥水申报持仓大减，主要是由于公司从持有中概股ADR，转为持有香港第二上市的持股。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2258797295\" target=\"_blank\"><b>瑞银Q2大幅加仓纳指100看跌期权，减持苹果、亚马逊等科技股</b></a></p><p>在瑞银前五大重仓股中，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a>位列第一，持仓约2529.02万股，持仓市值约64.95亿美元。苹果位列第二，持仓约3966.61万股，持仓市值约54.23亿美元。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2258719062\" target=\"_blank\"><b>5家中国企业宣布启动自美退市，证监会回应：上市和退市都属常态</b></a></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PTR\">中石油</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNP\">中石化</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LFC\">中国人寿</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ACH\">中国铝业</a>、上海石油化工等多家央企宣布将从美国退市。证监会有关部门负责人回应：注意到了有关情况。上市和退市都属于资本市场常态。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2258711830\" target=\"_blank\"><b>Zantac诉讼案重挫股价，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GSK\">葛兰素史克</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/0O59.UK\">赛诺菲</a>齐发公告安抚投资者</b></a></p><p>近日，围绕召回胃灼热治疗药物Zantac(雷尼替丁)的诉讼案闹得沸沸扬扬，这也令多家涉事的药企市值大幅蒸发。而为了安抚投资者，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GSK.UK\">葛兰素史克</a>(GSK.US)和赛诺菲(SNY.US)在周四纷纷发表声明，为其在Zantac的立场进行了辩护，指出自2019年以来，不同机构和公司进行的研究表明，没有证据表明雷尼替汀会致癌。</p><p><b>苹果预计到2022年底将总共组装大约2.2亿部iPhone，与去年大致持平。</b></p><p><b>强生宣布将于2023年在全球范围内停止销售含滑石粉的婴儿爽身粉。</b></p><p><b>辉瑞宣布肺炎球菌20价结合疫苗在婴儿中的3期研究取得积极的顶线结果。</b></p><p><b>安森美半导体新罕布什尔州碳化硅工厂落成，该基地将使安森美2022年底SiC晶圆产能同比增加五倍。</b></p><p><b>美国方面表示，9家企业将从战略石油储备中购买2000万桶石油。参与本次购买的公司包括瓦莱罗能源（490万桶）、Motiva Enterprises（210万桶）、菲利普斯（95万桶）和雪佛龙（35万桶）。</b></p><p><b>盘前行情</b></p><p>基因测序公司<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ILMN\">Illumina</a>盘前跌超15%，Q2净亏损5.35亿美元，同比由盈转亏。公司将全年综合营收增长和核心营收增长预期分别从14%-16%和13%-15%大幅下调至4%-5%和3.5%-4.5%。</p><p>Co-diagnostics(CODX.US)盘前大跌30%，Q2业绩逊预期。</p><p>Rivian盘前跌超1%，下调全年业绩指引。公司表示，现在预计其在收入、税项、折旧和摊销前的全年调整后亏损为54亿美元，亏损规模大于5月份发布的亏损47.5亿美元指引。</p><p>Phunware盘前跌超7%，Q2业绩不及预期。Q2净亏损1715.6万美元，远逊于市场预期的亏损493万美元。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MF\">每日优鲜</a>盘前跌超9%，此前公司称已向北京消协提交整改方案。</p><p>极光盘前涨近4%，旗下闪达携手沃尔沃建筑设备助其提升运营效率。</p><p>Payoneer Global盘前涨19%，Q2业绩超预期 上调全年营收指引。</p><p>Toast盘前涨超13%，二季度度销售额好于预期 上调22财年业绩指引。</p><p>Joby Aviation盘前涨超3%，第二季度亏损低于市场预期。</p><p><b>欧洲市场</b></p><p>欧洲主要股指涨多跌少，截至发稿，德国DAX30指数涨0.40%，法国CAC40涨0.13%。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1dafa246398068428be7ee5dc824b6b8\" tg-width=\"828\" tg-height=\"362\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><b>原油</b></p><p>国际油价下跌，美油报92.83美元/桶，日内跌幅1.60%；布油现报98.23美元/桶，日内跌幅1.38%。</p><p>随着对经济衰退的担忧缓解，本周国际油价努力维持涨势，但由于石油输出国组织(OPEC)和国际能源署(IEA)对需求前景发表截然不同的观点，这限制了油价涨幅。</p><p><b>黄金</b></p><p>现货黄金日内跌0.33%，报1801.30美元/盎司。</p><p>国际金价维持震荡格局，美元指数反弹限制了金价上行空间。市场继续认为，美国7月通胀压力减弱不太可能促使美联储改变货币政策路线，非孳息资产黄金上涨仍面临牵制。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>盘前 | 瑞银Q2减持苹果、亚马逊‌！两药企发公告安抚投资者‌</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n盘前 | 瑞银Q2减持苹果、亚马逊‌！两药企发公告安抚投资者‌\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-08-12 20:08</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><blockquote><b>摘要：美股股指期货上涨，财报暴雷，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ILMN\">Illumina</a>跌15%、CODX跌30%；财报给力，Payoneer涨19%，Toast涨13%；欧洲主要股指涨多跌少，国际油价下跌。</b></blockquote><p>8月12日，美股股指期货上涨，道指期货跌涨0.33%，标普500指数涨0.36%，纳指期货涨0.39%。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6ec3e686d6ca3092aab64f077deca9b5\" tg-width=\"828\" tg-height=\"242\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><b>盘前要闻</b></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2258713180\" target=\"_blank\"><b>桥水基金二季度清仓<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">阿里巴巴</a>？知情人士：转仓香港持股</b></a></p><p>从桥水基金提交的13F监管文件看，该基金二季度加仓<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BIDU\">百度</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>，清仓阿里巴巴、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">京东</a>ADR。不过，据知情人士透露，桥水申报持仓大减，主要是由于公司从持有中概股ADR，转为持有香港第二上市的持股。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2258797295\" target=\"_blank\"><b>瑞银Q2大幅加仓纳指100看跌期权，减持苹果、亚马逊等科技股</b></a></p><p>在瑞银前五大重仓股中，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a>位列第一，持仓约2529.02万股，持仓市值约64.95亿美元。苹果位列第二，持仓约3966.61万股，持仓市值约54.23亿美元。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2258719062\" target=\"_blank\"><b>5家中国企业宣布启动自美退市，证监会回应：上市和退市都属常态</b></a></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PTR\">中石油</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNP\">中石化</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LFC\">中国人寿</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ACH\">中国铝业</a>、上海石油化工等多家央企宣布将从美国退市。证监会有关部门负责人回应：注意到了有关情况。上市和退市都属于资本市场常态。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2258711830\" target=\"_blank\"><b>Zantac诉讼案重挫股价，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GSK\">葛兰素史克</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/0O59.UK\">赛诺菲</a>齐发公告安抚投资者</b></a></p><p>近日，围绕召回胃灼热治疗药物Zantac(雷尼替丁)的诉讼案闹得沸沸扬扬，这也令多家涉事的药企市值大幅蒸发。而为了安抚投资者，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GSK.UK\">葛兰素史克</a>(GSK.US)和赛诺菲(SNY.US)在周四纷纷发表声明，为其在Zantac的立场进行了辩护，指出自2019年以来，不同机构和公司进行的研究表明，没有证据表明雷尼替汀会致癌。</p><p><b>苹果预计到2022年底将总共组装大约2.2亿部iPhone，与去年大致持平。</b></p><p><b>强生宣布将于2023年在全球范围内停止销售含滑石粉的婴儿爽身粉。</b></p><p><b>辉瑞宣布肺炎球菌20价结合疫苗在婴儿中的3期研究取得积极的顶线结果。</b></p><p><b>安森美半导体新罕布什尔州碳化硅工厂落成，该基地将使安森美2022年底SiC晶圆产能同比增加五倍。</b></p><p><b>美国方面表示，9家企业将从战略石油储备中购买2000万桶石油。参与本次购买的公司包括瓦莱罗能源（490万桶）、Motiva Enterprises（210万桶）、菲利普斯（95万桶）和雪佛龙（35万桶）。</b></p><p><b>盘前行情</b></p><p>基因测序公司<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ILMN\">Illumina</a>盘前跌超15%，Q2净亏损5.35亿美元，同比由盈转亏。公司将全年综合营收增长和核心营收增长预期分别从14%-16%和13%-15%大幅下调至4%-5%和3.5%-4.5%。</p><p>Co-diagnostics(CODX.US)盘前大跌30%，Q2业绩逊预期。</p><p>Rivian盘前跌超1%，下调全年业绩指引。公司表示，现在预计其在收入、税项、折旧和摊销前的全年调整后亏损为54亿美元，亏损规模大于5月份发布的亏损47.5亿美元指引。</p><p>Phunware盘前跌超7%，Q2业绩不及预期。Q2净亏损1715.6万美元，远逊于市场预期的亏损493万美元。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MF\">每日优鲜</a>盘前跌超9%，此前公司称已向北京消协提交整改方案。</p><p>极光盘前涨近4%，旗下闪达携手沃尔沃建筑设备助其提升运营效率。</p><p>Payoneer Global盘前涨19%，Q2业绩超预期 上调全年营收指引。</p><p>Toast盘前涨超13%，二季度度销售额好于预期 上调22财年业绩指引。</p><p>Joby Aviation盘前涨超3%，第二季度亏损低于市场预期。</p><p><b>欧洲市场</b></p><p>欧洲主要股指涨多跌少，截至发稿，德国DAX30指数涨0.40%，法国CAC40涨0.13%。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1dafa246398068428be7ee5dc824b6b8\" tg-width=\"828\" tg-height=\"362\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><b>原油</b></p><p>国际油价下跌，美油报92.83美元/桶，日内跌幅1.60%；布油现报98.23美元/桶，日内跌幅1.38%。</p><p>随着对经济衰退的担忧缓解，本周国际油价努力维持涨势，但由于石油输出国组织(OPEC)和国际能源署(IEA)对需求前景发表截然不同的观点，这限制了油价涨幅。</p><p><b>黄金</b></p><p>现货黄金日内跌0.33%，报1801.30美元/盎司。</p><p>国际金价维持震荡格局，美元指数反弹限制了金价上行空间。市场继续认为，美国7月通胀压力减弱不太可能促使美联储改变货币政策路线，非孳息资产黄金上涨仍面临牵制。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed4ee39e6b0f45214393093d70ba81a8","relate_stocks":{"BK4561":"索罗斯持仓","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4503":"景林资产持仓","BK4501":"段永平概念","BK4538":"云计算","AMZN":"亚马逊","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念",".DJI":"道琼斯","AAPL":"苹果","BK4553":"喜马拉雅资本持仓","UBS":"瑞银","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","BK4122":"互联网与直销零售",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","BK4515":"5G概念","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","BK4170":"电脑硬件、储存设备及电脑周边","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4579":"人工智能","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BK4505":"高瓴资本持仓"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1156260562","content_text":"摘要：美股股指期货上涨，财报暴雷，Illumina跌15%、CODX跌30%；财报给力，Payoneer涨19%，Toast涨13%；欧洲主要股指涨多跌少，国际油价下跌。8月12日，美股股指期货上涨，道指期货跌涨0.33%，标普500指数涨0.36%，纳指期货涨0.39%。盘前要闻桥水基金二季度清仓阿里巴巴？知情人士：转仓香港持股从桥水基金提交的13F监管文件看，该基金二季度加仓百度、蔚来，清仓阿里巴巴、京东ADR。不过，据知情人士透露，桥水申报持仓大减，主要是由于公司从持有中概股ADR，转为持有香港第二上市的持股。瑞银Q2大幅加仓纳指100看跌期权，减持苹果、亚马逊等科技股在瑞银前五大重仓股中，微软位列第一，持仓约2529.02万股，持仓市值约64.95亿美元。苹果位列第二，持仓约3966.61万股，持仓市值约54.23亿美元。5家中国企业宣布启动自美退市，证监会回应：上市和退市都属常态中石油、中石化、中国人寿、中国铝业、上海石油化工等多家央企宣布将从美国退市。证监会有关部门负责人回应：注意到了有关情况。上市和退市都属于资本市场常态。Zantac诉讼案重挫股价，葛兰素史克、赛诺菲齐发公告安抚投资者近日，围绕召回胃灼热治疗药物Zantac(雷尼替丁)的诉讼案闹得沸沸扬扬，这也令多家涉事的药企市值大幅蒸发。而为了安抚投资者，葛兰素史克(GSK.US)和赛诺菲(SNY.US)在周四纷纷发表声明，为其在Zantac的立场进行了辩护，指出自2019年以来，不同机构和公司进行的研究表明，没有证据表明雷尼替汀会致癌。苹果预计到2022年底将总共组装大约2.2亿部iPhone，与去年大致持平。强生宣布将于2023年在全球范围内停止销售含滑石粉的婴儿爽身粉。辉瑞宣布肺炎球菌20价结合疫苗在婴儿中的3期研究取得积极的顶线结果。安森美半导体新罕布什尔州碳化硅工厂落成，该基地将使安森美2022年底SiC晶圆产能同比增加五倍。美国方面表示，9家企业将从战略石油储备中购买2000万桶石油。参与本次购买的公司包括瓦莱罗能源（490万桶）、Motiva Enterprises（210万桶）、菲利普斯（95万桶）和雪佛龙（35万桶）。盘前行情基因测序公司Illumina盘前跌超15%，Q2净亏损5.35亿美元，同比由盈转亏。公司将全年综合营收增长和核心营收增长预期分别从14%-16%和13%-15%大幅下调至4%-5%和3.5%-4.5%。Co-diagnostics(CODX.US)盘前大跌30%，Q2业绩逊预期。Rivian盘前跌超1%，下调全年业绩指引。公司表示，现在预计其在收入、税项、折旧和摊销前的全年调整后亏损为54亿美元，亏损规模大于5月份发布的亏损47.5亿美元指引。Phunware盘前跌超7%，Q2业绩不及预期。Q2净亏损1715.6万美元，远逊于市场预期的亏损493万美元。每日优鲜盘前跌超9%，此前公司称已向北京消协提交整改方案。极光盘前涨近4%，旗下闪达携手沃尔沃建筑设备助其提升运营效率。Payoneer Global盘前涨19%，Q2业绩超预期 上调全年营收指引。Toast盘前涨超13%，二季度度销售额好于预期 上调22财年业绩指引。Joby Aviation盘前涨超3%，第二季度亏损低于市场预期。欧洲市场欧洲主要股指涨多跌少，截至发稿，德国DAX30指数涨0.40%，法国CAC40涨0.13%。原油国际油价下跌，美油报92.83美元/桶，日内跌幅1.60%；布油现报98.23美元/桶，日内跌幅1.38%。随着对经济衰退的担忧缓解，本周国际油价努力维持涨势，但由于石油输出国组织(OPEC)和国际能源署(IEA)对需求前景发表截然不同的观点，这限制了油价涨幅。黄金现货黄金日内跌0.33%，报1801.30美元/盎司。国际金价维持震荡格局，美元指数反弹限制了金价上行空间。市场继续认为，美国7月通胀压力减弱不太可能促使美联储改变货币政策路线，非孳息资产黄金上涨仍面临牵制。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":142,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9990417954,"gmtCreate":1660393623679,"gmtModify":1676533463893,"author":{"id":"3570864790458781","authorId":"3570864790458781","name":"Yeong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93092185d223c6e53fcfd64303836612","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570864790458781","authorIdStr":"3570864790458781"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Y","listText":"Y","text":"Y","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9990417954","repostId":"1119741216","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1119741216","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1660350626,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1119741216?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-13 08:30","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"千亿景林资产“抄底”零售地产？贝壳成其美股头号持仓","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1119741216","media":"资事堂","summary":"昨夜今晨，景林资产披露美股最新持仓明细。资事堂发现，截至2022年二季度末，这家千亿私募巨头的美股持仓达22.4亿美元，合人民币151亿元。截至二季度末，景林美股前十大持仓标的合计市值达到17.36亿美元，占总持仓比例高达78%。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>昨夜今晨，景林资产披露美股最新持仓明细。</p><p>资事堂发现，截至2022年二季度末，这家千亿私募巨头的美股持仓达22.4亿美元，合人民币151亿元。</p><p>这个数字依然是国内机构海外投资的最前列，但相比一季度的23.2亿美元规模小幅下降。</p><p>盘点发现：景林资产的重仓股座次再次发生变化，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BEKE\">贝壳</a>控股晋升为第一大重仓，其次是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">京东</a>集团和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTES\">网易</a>，内地公司依然是景林在美股中最重要的资产。</p><p><b>01、高集中度持股</b></p><p>值得提示的是，景林资产是通过香港子公司进行美股投资的，上述持股不包含其中国其他内地主体及旗下产品的美股头寸。</p><p>截至二季度末，景林美股前十大持仓标的合计市值达到17.36亿美元，占总持仓比例高达78%。</p><p>集中度远高于内地公募基金和QDII产品，这亦是景林多年炼成的习惯。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ef2519c3ce998824f5b851bb52a9ee53\" tg-width=\"865\" tg-height=\"494\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>02、“看中”地产中介</b></p><p>贝壳在二季度成为景林持有仓位最重的上市公司。</p><p>该公司是目前国内领先的二手房、新房和房屋出租咨询公司，其主体包括业内知名的链家等房产中介品牌。</p><p><b>景林当期持有2043万股贝壳控股的ADS（美国存托凭证），折合市值3.65亿美元。</b></p><p>当期，贝壳在底部震荡，目前股价相比当年上市初时最高价，已跌去90%左右。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f4e6b1b7410fea663002d6e3f86101db\" tg-width=\"865\" tg-height=\"547\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>03、多只中概股重回视野</b></p><p>景林的前五大重仓股还包括京东集团、网易、金瑞基金和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZTO\">中通快递</a>。</p><p>其中，<b>景林对京东和网易均进行了显著减仓。</b></p><p>对前者持仓量由上一季度435万股减至321万股，对后者持仓量由360万股降至220万股。</p><p>此次景林持仓的另一个亮点，就是<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">阿里巴巴</a>重新回到十大重仓股阵营。</b></p><p>最新数据显示，景林持有124万股阿里巴巴ADS，折合市值1.41亿美元。</p><p>无独有偶。</p><p>另有两只中概股的重仓股“显露度”，也在今年二季度的景林持仓报告中上升。</p><p>他们分别是<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">拼多多</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YMM\">满帮</a>集团</b>，成为二季度十大重仓股的新面孔。前者是社交电商的头部企业，持股量201万股，后者是城际整车物流与车货匹配信息平台运营企业，持股量达到1283万股。</p><p><b>04、重金投资“同行”</b></p><p>中文曾有“同行是冤家”的说法，但在资管圈看来，投资价值似乎胜于一切。</p><p>自上一个季度开始，<b>景林资产开始持续投资同行机构——美国金瑞基金（KRANESHARES）。</b></p><p>资事堂发现，金瑞基金旗下有多只ETF，属于开发指数投资工具的资管平台，类似于国际指数巨头<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLK\">贝莱德</a>、先锋领航，为投资者提供低成本的被动投资服务。</p><p>另据了解，这家机构总部位于纽约，专门帮助全球投资者更加了解中国市场并提升其在资产配置中的重要性。</p><p>换言之，景林资产投资了一家看多中国资产的同行。</p><p><b>05、未来聚焦“竞争力投资”</b></p><p>对于持仓布局，景林资产对持有人最新汇报中透露如下方向：</p><p><b>1、互动娱乐</b></p><p>中国的顶级游戏公司具备在全球获取更多市场份额的机会。无论是现在的网游，还是以后元宇宙的虚拟现实结合，这些进步背后需要游戏大厂的长期技术投入和多人多团队协作，游戏版号的重新发放标志着政策底部已经出现。</p><p><b>2、新零售和新服务平台</b></p><p>零售、生活服务的线上化趋势继续加强，平台公司成为了商业服务和流通领域的基础设施。目前互联网平台公司处于业绩底+政策底+估值底的三底叠加状态，去年下半年开始的低基数效应会让大部分公司重回增长正轨。</p><p><b>3、新能源结构下的应用</b></p><p>各国都在坚定的走改变能源结构的道路。中国企业具有巨大的先发和产业链优势：在<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000591\">太阳能</a>、风能、动力电池、储能电池等领域都出现一批世界级的公司。作为制造业大国，虽然面临部分产业链转移的压力，中国有优势的产业链很可能在能源转型的大浪潮中成为赢家。</p><p><b>4、深度数字化软硬件</b></p><p>我们正在经历深度数字化的过程，数据中心业务、多种形式的云服务都会产生很强的粘性，一旦使用，迁移成本很高。中美都有这方面的龙头企业具有投资价值。</p><p><b>5、人工智能的发展和应用</b></p><p>从目前企业研发的进度看，最可能落地的项目就是自动驾驶的实现。这个领域的革命性突破将会颠覆现有的汽车工业、交通服务领域。这也是继智能手机之后，又一个改变我们生活方式的革命性产品。我们持有的生意里面，应该有这些激动人心的改变。</p><p><b>6、社交属性的消费品</b></p><p>这一类生意模式简单、稳定，且有极高护城河。人性深处的社交需求——在人群中体现“定义自我区别于其他人”的需求依然没有改变。有一类商品由于历史渊源和难以复制的品质特点满足了人们这一类需求，这是人们对自己生活的犒赏，也是在社交中对他人尊敬的载体。</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1568174316590","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>千亿景林资产“抄底”零售地产？贝壳成其美股头号持仓</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n千亿景林资产“抄底”零售地产？贝壳成其美股头号持仓\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-13 08:30 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/prasQgM2-tOxmJagIjpKvg><strong>资事堂</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>昨夜今晨，景林资产披露美股最新持仓明细。资事堂发现，截至2022年二季度末，这家千亿私募巨头的美股持仓达22.4亿美元，合人民币151亿元。这个数字依然是国内机构海外投资的最前列，但相比一季度的23.2亿美元规模小幅下降。盘点发现：景林资产的重仓股座次再次发生变化，贝壳控股晋升为第一大重仓，其次是京东集团和网易，内地公司依然是景林在美股中最重要的资产。01、高集中度持股值得提示的是，景林资产是通过...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/prasQgM2-tOxmJagIjpKvg\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e68f18a297e419bae3cc0320b6d8ff4e","relate_stocks":{"BK4526":"热门中概股","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4558":"双十一","PDD":"拼多多","BK4503":"景林资产持仓","BK4509":"腾讯概念","BK4122":"互联网与直销零售","BK4553":"喜马拉雅资本持仓","BK4531":"中概回港概念","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK4535":"淡马锡持仓","BEKE":"贝壳","BK4501":"段永平概念","BK4505":"高瓴资本持仓","BK4079":"房地产服务"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/prasQgM2-tOxmJagIjpKvg","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1119741216","content_text":"昨夜今晨，景林资产披露美股最新持仓明细。资事堂发现，截至2022年二季度末，这家千亿私募巨头的美股持仓达22.4亿美元，合人民币151亿元。这个数字依然是国内机构海外投资的最前列，但相比一季度的23.2亿美元规模小幅下降。盘点发现：景林资产的重仓股座次再次发生变化，贝壳控股晋升为第一大重仓，其次是京东集团和网易，内地公司依然是景林在美股中最重要的资产。01、高集中度持股值得提示的是，景林资产是通过香港子公司进行美股投资的，上述持股不包含其中国其他内地主体及旗下产品的美股头寸。截至二季度末，景林美股前十大持仓标的合计市值达到17.36亿美元，占总持仓比例高达78%。集中度远高于内地公募基金和QDII产品，这亦是景林多年炼成的习惯。02、“看中”地产中介贝壳在二季度成为景林持有仓位最重的上市公司。该公司是目前国内领先的二手房、新房和房屋出租咨询公司，其主体包括业内知名的链家等房产中介品牌。景林当期持有2043万股贝壳控股的ADS（美国存托凭证），折合市值3.65亿美元。当期，贝壳在底部震荡，目前股价相比当年上市初时最高价，已跌去90%左右。03、多只中概股重回视野景林的前五大重仓股还包括京东集团、网易、金瑞基金和中通快递。其中，景林对京东和网易均进行了显著减仓。对前者持仓量由上一季度435万股减至321万股，对后者持仓量由360万股降至220万股。此次景林持仓的另一个亮点，就是阿里巴巴重新回到十大重仓股阵营。最新数据显示，景林持有124万股阿里巴巴ADS，折合市值1.41亿美元。无独有偶。另有两只中概股的重仓股“显露度”，也在今年二季度的景林持仓报告中上升。他们分别是拼多多和满帮集团，成为二季度十大重仓股的新面孔。前者是社交电商的头部企业，持股量201万股，后者是城际整车物流与车货匹配信息平台运营企业，持股量达到1283万股。04、重金投资“同行”中文曾有“同行是冤家”的说法，但在资管圈看来，投资价值似乎胜于一切。自上一个季度开始，景林资产开始持续投资同行机构——美国金瑞基金（KRANESHARES）。资事堂发现，金瑞基金旗下有多只ETF，属于开发指数投资工具的资管平台，类似于国际指数巨头贝莱德、先锋领航，为投资者提供低成本的被动投资服务。另据了解，这家机构总部位于纽约，专门帮助全球投资者更加了解中国市场并提升其在资产配置中的重要性。换言之，景林资产投资了一家看多中国资产的同行。05、未来聚焦“竞争力投资”对于持仓布局，景林资产对持有人最新汇报中透露如下方向：1、互动娱乐中国的顶级游戏公司具备在全球获取更多市场份额的机会。无论是现在的网游，还是以后元宇宙的虚拟现实结合，这些进步背后需要游戏大厂的长期技术投入和多人多团队协作，游戏版号的重新发放标志着政策底部已经出现。2、新零售和新服务平台零售、生活服务的线上化趋势继续加强，平台公司成为了商业服务和流通领域的基础设施。目前互联网平台公司处于业绩底+政策底+估值底的三底叠加状态，去年下半年开始的低基数效应会让大部分公司重回增长正轨。3、新能源结构下的应用各国都在坚定的走改变能源结构的道路。中国企业具有巨大的先发和产业链优势：在太阳能、风能、动力电池、储能电池等领域都出现一批世界级的公司。作为制造业大国，虽然面临部分产业链转移的压力，中国有优势的产业链很可能在能源转型的大浪潮中成为赢家。4、深度数字化软硬件我们正在经历深度数字化的过程，数据中心业务、多种形式的云服务都会产生很强的粘性，一旦使用，迁移成本很高。中美都有这方面的龙头企业具有投资价值。5、人工智能的发展和应用从目前企业研发的进度看，最可能落地的项目就是自动驾驶的实现。这个领域的革命性突破将会颠覆现有的汽车工业、交通服务领域。这也是继智能手机之后，又一个改变我们生活方式的革命性产品。我们持有的生意里面，应该有这些激动人心的改变。6、社交属性的消费品这一类生意模式简单、稳定，且有极高护城河。人性深处的社交需求——在人群中体现“定义自我区别于其他人”的需求依然没有改变。有一类商品由于历史渊源和难以复制的品质特点满足了人们这一类需求，这是人们对自己生活的犒赏，也是在社交中对他人尊敬的载体。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":169,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9904977637,"gmtCreate":1659999003631,"gmtModify":1703476637448,"author":{"id":"3570864790458781","authorId":"3570864790458781","name":"Yeong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93092185d223c6e53fcfd64303836612","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570864790458781","authorIdStr":"3570864790458781"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Y","listText":"Y","text":"Y","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9904977637","repostId":"9905247715","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9905247715,"gmtCreate":1659914150238,"gmtModify":1703767499446,"author":{"id":"3577063519805867","authorId":"3577063519805867","name":"步步為營","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577063519805867","authorIdStr":"3577063519805867"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/JMIA\">$Jumia Technologies AG(JMIA)$</a>😃😃😃","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/JMIA\">$Jumia Technologies AG(JMIA)$</a>😃😃😃","text":"$Jumia Technologies AG(JMIA)$😃😃😃","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/cb0c9833eb55f7e5af8321369893b7e3","width":"1170","height":"2909"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9905247715","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":94,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":141598449,"gmtCreate":1625879040481,"gmtModify":1703750254564,"author":{"id":"3570864790458781","authorId":"3570864790458781","name":"Yeong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93092185d223c6e53fcfd64303836612","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570864790458781","authorIdStr":"3570864790458781"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like n comment&nbsp;","listText":"Pls like n comment&nbsp;","text":"Pls like n comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":7,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/141598449","repostId":"2150030193","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":117,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":370491314,"gmtCreate":1618617809738,"gmtModify":1704713405003,"author":{"id":"3570864790458781","authorId":"3570864790458781","name":"Yeong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93092185d223c6e53fcfd64303836612","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570864790458781","authorIdStr":"3570864790458781"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like n comment","listText":"Like n comment","text":"Like n comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":9,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/370491314","repostId":"1175692875","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1175692875","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1618582708,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1175692875?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-04-16 22:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"$544 Billion In Options Expire Today: Here's What Will Move","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1175692875","media":"zerohedge","summary":"While it's not quad (or even triple) witching day, today's a whole lot of weekly options will expire","content":"<p>While it's not quad (or even triple) witching day, today's a whole lot of weekly options will expire, may of which will be worthless, and others will be providing a supporting \"pin\" to underlying prices. It's why, even though we are enjoying a beautiful spring week, Goldman notes that single stock options trading activity is elevated relative to historical levels. To wit, daily options volumes are up 70% in April, up from YTD lows of $2.4bn on 30-Mar.</p><p><b>In total, across single stocks, $544BN of options are set to expiry today, including $305BN calls.</b>As such, today’s expiry could be important for stocks with large open interest in at-the-money(ATM) options, as market makers delta-hedging their unusually large options portfolios will be active. This flow is likely to dampen volatility in some names while exacerbating stock price moves in others.</p><p>How to trade this?</p><p>As Goldman's Vishal Vivek writes, at major expirations, options traders track situations where<b>a large amount of open interest is set to expire.</b>In situations where there is a significant amount of expiring open interest in at-the-money strikes (strike prices at or very near the current stockprice), delta-hedging activity can impact the underlying stock’s trading that day. If market makers or other options traders who delta-hedge their positions are net long ATM options, expiration-related flow could have the effect of dampening stock price movements, causing the stock price to settle near the strike with large open interest. This situation is often referred to as a “pin” and can be an ideal situation fora large investor trying to enter/exit a stock position. Alternatively, if delta-hedgers are net short ATM options (have a “negative gamma” position), their hedging activity could exacerbate stock price moves.</p><p>What that means it expiration-related trades may cause trading activity to aggressively pick up for stocks with a significant amount of ATM open interest.</p><p>So to help traders looking to hop on for daytrading opportunities, here is a table identifying possible focus stocks with large ATM open interest expiring today, which is compared to the average daily volume of the underlying stocks. As Goldman puts it, \"<i>expiration-related activity is likely to have more of an impact if the open interest represents a significant percentage of the stock’s volume.\"</i></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0dac61cb87c2f2700d8a0e8e64324f81\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"638\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Finally, for what it's worth, this morning our friends at SpotGamma write that this has been a rather strange OPEX cycle, \"with a consistent almost mechanical bid pushing markets higher. We’ve not seen the Call Wall “breached” this many times before, but there are other aberrations that we’ve mentioned in previous notes – like net put sales. We’ve got some theories on this we are posting in a longer form piece.\"</p><p>According to SG, because implied volatility has now compressed (ie VIX at new lows) there is now more potential for “long term” volatility. Recall how as of late any sharp, violent drop in markets was bought so quickly (see chart below).<b>These bursts lower coincided with record VIX spikes, but a reflective snap-back bid would bring a market recovery of equal force as the VIX&nbsp; (i.e. implied volatility) reversed.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae7a60d873792b825bdda669cafa0ed3\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"297\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">And one other curious observation from SpotGamma:</p><blockquote>When implied volatility is very high, its very sensitive to market moves and also signaling that markets are expecting more large moves ahead. As soon as markets would pause or catch a support level, that implied volatility would quickly reverse lower. <b>We often think of this analogy that if a shark stops swimming, it sinks ( partially true!). If the market stops dropping then Implied volatility sinks.</b></blockquote><p>With this, as we often talk about, lower implied volatility (ie lower VIX) signals market makers have to buy back short hedges which fuels rallies. SG's conclusion: this current level of lower implied volatility now gives the market more downside firepower.&nbsp; Starting with a lower implied volatility “slows down” that responsive “snap-back” buying mechanism.&nbsp; Additionally, gamma is higher when IV is lower so gamma flips may have more juice.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>$544 Billion In Options Expire Today: Here's What Will Move</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n$544 Billion In Options Expire Today: Here's What Will Move\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-04-16 22:18 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/544-billion-options-expire-today-heres-what-will-move?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>While it's not quad (or even triple) witching day, today's a whole lot of weekly options will expire, may of which will be worthless, and others will be providing a supporting \"pin\" to underlying ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/544-billion-options-expire-today-heres-what-will-move?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/544-billion-options-expire-today-heres-what-will-move?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1175692875","content_text":"While it's not quad (or even triple) witching day, today's a whole lot of weekly options will expire, may of which will be worthless, and others will be providing a supporting \"pin\" to underlying prices. It's why, even though we are enjoying a beautiful spring week, Goldman notes that single stock options trading activity is elevated relative to historical levels. To wit, daily options volumes are up 70% in April, up from YTD lows of $2.4bn on 30-Mar.In total, across single stocks, $544BN of options are set to expiry today, including $305BN calls.As such, today’s expiry could be important for stocks with large open interest in at-the-money(ATM) options, as market makers delta-hedging their unusually large options portfolios will be active. This flow is likely to dampen volatility in some names while exacerbating stock price moves in others.How to trade this?As Goldman's Vishal Vivek writes, at major expirations, options traders track situations wherea large amount of open interest is set to expire.In situations where there is a significant amount of expiring open interest in at-the-money strikes (strike prices at or very near the current stockprice), delta-hedging activity can impact the underlying stock’s trading that day. If market makers or other options traders who delta-hedge their positions are net long ATM options, expiration-related flow could have the effect of dampening stock price movements, causing the stock price to settle near the strike with large open interest. This situation is often referred to as a “pin” and can be an ideal situation fora large investor trying to enter/exit a stock position. Alternatively, if delta-hedgers are net short ATM options (have a “negative gamma” position), their hedging activity could exacerbate stock price moves.What that means it expiration-related trades may cause trading activity to aggressively pick up for stocks with a significant amount of ATM open interest.So to help traders looking to hop on for daytrading opportunities, here is a table identifying possible focus stocks with large ATM open interest expiring today, which is compared to the average daily volume of the underlying stocks. As Goldman puts it, \"expiration-related activity is likely to have more of an impact if the open interest represents a significant percentage of the stock’s volume.\"Finally, for what it's worth, this morning our friends at SpotGamma write that this has been a rather strange OPEX cycle, \"with a consistent almost mechanical bid pushing markets higher. We’ve not seen the Call Wall “breached” this many times before, but there are other aberrations that we’ve mentioned in previous notes – like net put sales. We’ve got some theories on this we are posting in a longer form piece.\"According to SG, because implied volatility has now compressed (ie VIX at new lows) there is now more potential for “long term” volatility. Recall how as of late any sharp, violent drop in markets was bought so quickly (see chart below).These bursts lower coincided with record VIX spikes, but a reflective snap-back bid would bring a market recovery of equal force as the VIX  (i.e. implied volatility) reversed.And one other curious observation from SpotGamma:When implied volatility is very high, its very sensitive to market moves and also signaling that markets are expecting more large moves ahead. As soon as markets would pause or catch a support level, that implied volatility would quickly reverse lower. We often think of this analogy that if a shark stops swimming, it sinks ( partially true!). If the market stops dropping then Implied volatility sinks.With this, as we often talk about, lower implied volatility (ie lower VIX) signals market makers have to buy back short hedges which fuels rallies. SG's conclusion: this current level of lower implied volatility now gives the market more downside firepower.  Starting with a lower implied volatility “slows down” that responsive “snap-back” buying mechanism.  Additionally, gamma is higher when IV is lower so gamma flips may have more juice.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":179,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3579053062900901","authorId":"3579053062900901","name":"Kelvinphan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dd87884547b7d5f0157a229e9ea4e890","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3579053062900901","authorIdStr":"3579053062900901"},"content":"Done, pls Help response back","text":"Done, pls Help response back","html":"Done, pls Help response back"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9008591218,"gmtCreate":1641479106564,"gmtModify":1676533619179,"author":{"id":"3570864790458781","authorId":"3570864790458781","name":"Yeong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93092185d223c6e53fcfd64303836612","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570864790458781","authorIdStr":"3570864790458781"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SKLZ\">$Skillz Inc(SKLZ)$</a>Wait for the rebound in 2022....","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SKLZ\">$Skillz Inc(SKLZ)$</a>Wait for the rebound in 2022....","text":"$Skillz Inc(SKLZ)$Wait for the rebound in 2022....","images":[{"img":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/705a263fca300d992003c463dd06b889","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9008591218","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1626,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":154139403,"gmtCreate":1625487767402,"gmtModify":1703742557294,"author":{"id":"3570864790458781","authorId":"3570864790458781","name":"Yeong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93092185d223c6e53fcfd64303836612","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570864790458781","authorIdStr":"3570864790458781"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like n comment&nbsp;","listText":"Pls like n comment&nbsp;","text":"Pls like n comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/154139403","repostId":"1166963826","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1166963826","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625486061,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1166963826?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-05 19:54","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US IPO This Week: Just 2 IPOs scheduled for the shortened holiday week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1166963826","media":"renaissancecap...","summary":"Following its busiest week in over a decade, the US IPO market is taking a breather after the holida","content":"<p>Following its busiest week in over a decade, the US IPO market is taking a breather after the holiday with just two IPOs scheduled for the shortened week ahead.</p>\n<p>While the calendar is quiet at the moment, several companies are primed to launch, including luxury social club&nbsp;<b>Membership Collective Group</b>(MCG), Wahlberg-backed fitness franchise&nbsp;<b>F45 Training</b>(FXLV), database provider&nbsp;<b>Couchbase</b>(BASE), and consumer banking platform<b>BlendLabs</b>(BLND).</p>\n<p>Chinese healthcare data company&nbsp;<b>LinkDoc Technology</b>(LDOC) plans to raise $200 million at a $1.5 billion market cap. This AI-driven healthcare technology company provides a data platform for patient care and clinical research, specifically within oncology. Unprofitable with strong growth, LinkDoc's platform has cumulatively cared for over 3.5 million patients and provided longitudinal care for over 2.5 million patients since 2015.</p>\n<p>OTC-list&nbsp;<b>Minim</b>(MINM), which provides intelligent networking products and a WiFi as a Service platform, has not set terms but plans to begin trading in the week ahead.&nbsp;Minim has developed intelligent networking products and a WiFi as a Service platform that powers applications for businesses, service providers, and home users. The company's products can be found in retailers across the US and in over 100 Internet Service Providers broadband offerings.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/003a0748043153c660ff267811776609\" tg-width=\"1421\" tg-height=\"362\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>","source":"lsy1619493174116","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US IPO This Week: Just 2 IPOs scheduled for the shortened holiday week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS IPO This Week: Just 2 IPOs scheduled for the shortened holiday week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-05 19:54 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/83625/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Just-2-IPOs-scheduled-for-the-shortened-holiday-week><strong>renaissancecap...</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Following its busiest week in over a decade, the US IPO market is taking a breather after the holiday with just two IPOs scheduled for the shortened week ahead.\nWhile the calendar is quiet at the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/83625/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Just-2-IPOs-scheduled-for-the-shortened-holiday-week\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MINM":"Minim Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/83625/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Just-2-IPOs-scheduled-for-the-shortened-holiday-week","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1166963826","content_text":"Following its busiest week in over a decade, the US IPO market is taking a breather after the holiday with just two IPOs scheduled for the shortened week ahead.\nWhile the calendar is quiet at the moment, several companies are primed to launch, including luxury social club Membership Collective Group(MCG), Wahlberg-backed fitness franchise F45 Training(FXLV), database provider Couchbase(BASE), and consumer banking platformBlendLabs(BLND).\nChinese healthcare data company LinkDoc Technology(LDOC) plans to raise $200 million at a $1.5 billion market cap. This AI-driven healthcare technology company provides a data platform for patient care and clinical research, specifically within oncology. Unprofitable with strong growth, LinkDoc's platform has cumulatively cared for over 3.5 million patients and provided longitudinal care for over 2.5 million patients since 2015.\nOTC-list Minim(MINM), which provides intelligent networking products and a WiFi as a Service platform, has not set terms but plans to begin trading in the week ahead. Minim has developed intelligent networking products and a WiFi as a Service platform that powers applications for businesses, service providers, and home users. The company's products can be found in retailers across the US and in over 100 Internet Service Providers broadband offerings.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":47,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":193004857,"gmtCreate":1620738472979,"gmtModify":1704347609124,"author":{"id":"3570864790458781","authorId":"3570864790458781","name":"Yeong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93092185d223c6e53fcfd64303836612","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570864790458781","authorIdStr":"3570864790458781"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like n comment","listText":"Like n comment","text":"Like n comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/193004857","repostId":"1169464898","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1169464898","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1620737013,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1169464898?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-11 20:43","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Psychology of QE is Far More Important Than the Amount of It","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1169464898","media":"Mish Talk","summary":"Let's discuss what QE really does vs the psychology of QE.","content":"<blockquote>Let's discuss what QE really does vs the psychology of QE.</blockquote><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/23b6b1de7b2a9c1963f7c497986655a2\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"426\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">John Hussman has an interesting take on \"<i>Quantitative Easing!</i>\" vs \"Quantitative Easing\" in his latest monthly missiveCounting the Chickens Twice</p><blockquote>After decades of successfully navigating complete market cycles, my greatest investment mistake (particularly between 2012 and 2017) was to underestimate the extent to which the idea of quantitative easing would infect the minds of investors and abolish their discernment.</blockquote><blockquote>As a policy, quantitative easing is very straightforward: the Federal Reserve buys interest-bearing Treasury securities, and pays for them with zero interest base money (currency and bank reserves) that someone has to hold at every moment in time until that base money is retired.</blockquote><blockquote>That’s it. That’s the entire mechanism by which QE has any hope of “supporting” the stock market. Investors become so uncomfortable holding a zero-interest asset that they feel compelled to get rid of it by purchasing some other asset that they imagine will provide them with a better return.</blockquote><blockquote>Quantitative easing does nothing more than replace interest-bearing government liabilities with zero-interest government liabilities. That certainly doesn’t seem to be enough to reliably hold $60 trillion of stock market capitalization at the most extreme valuations in history.</blockquote><blockquote>That’s exactly what I thought.</blockquote><blockquote>My epiphany came in late-2017. I had been so focused on the fact that there’s no reliable mechanism linking the Fed’s balance sheet to the stock market that I had missed one essential fact: investors don’t care. It became clear that there are actually two forms of “quantitative easing,” and the second type of quantitative easing is the powerful one. It’s what my Buddhist teacher Thich Nhat Hanh might describe as a “mental formation.”</blockquote><blockquote>Using the italic notation of my friend Ben Hunt at Epsilon Theory (a must-read), it’s what we might call Quantitative Easing!</blockquote><blockquote>Does anyone think investors care that the total amount of corporate bonds purchased by the Fed during the pandemic amounted to just $14 billion, in a $22 trillion economy, with $11 trillion of nonfinancial corporate debt and $60 trillion of equity securities? No, they do not. Do they care that Fed purchases of unbacked corporate securities were authorized only using CARES funding provided by the Treasury, and that such purchases are otherwise illegal under the Federal Reserve Act? No they do not. Why? Because it isn’t the mechanism of quantitative easing that investors care about. What they care about is Quantitative Easing!</blockquote><blockquote>And because Quantitative Easing! is purely a mental formation, the only thing that alters its effectiveness is investor psychology itself.</blockquote><blockquote>The key to navigating Quantitative Easing! and Fed policy in general is to recognize that their effect on the stock market relies almost entirely on speculative investor psychology. See, as long as investors are inclined to speculate, they treat zero-interest money as an inferior asset, and they will chase any asset with a yield above zero (or a past record of positive returns). Valuation doesn’t matter because investors psychologically rule out the possibility of price declines in the first place.</blockquote><blockquote>But when investors become risk-averse, even briefly as in early-2018, late-2018, and early-2020, they do allow for the possibility of large negative price changes. At that point, a yield above zero isn’t enough. Moreover, if investors are inclined toward risk-aversion, safe liquidity is viewed as a desirable asset rather than an inferior one. As a result, creating more of the stuff may not support the market at all.</blockquote><p><b>Strong Agreement</b></p><p>I have a couple of nitpicks but they are tiny compared to the overall idea expressed above.</p><p>First it is not necessarily true that the Fed buys interest bearing securities. The Fed could buy 0% interest rate bonds or even negative yielding bonds as happens in the EU.</p><p>Second, assuming the Fed wants to peg interest rates at zero, then it must perforce be a supplier of money at zero percent in whatever amount it takes to hold rates to zero.</p><p>Given the current psychology of the market, the Fed merely stating it will hold short-term interest rates at zero indefinitely is all it takes, for now. Any additional amount of short-term QE logically does nothing at all.</p><p>Forcing down longer term interest rates admittedly takes more effort.</p><p><b>What Would Happen to Inflation If the Fed Announced $40 Trillion a Month in QE?</b></p><p>On May 5, I wroteWhat Would Happen to Inflation If the Fed Announced $40 Trillion a Month in QE?</p><p>The ideas I expressed are similar in nature to the ideas of Hussman although at first glance we expressed things very differently.</p><p><b>QE Parameters</b></p><ul><li>$40 trillion a month in QE for 24 months, no matter what, announced upfront.</li><li>3-month bills at 0% rolling everything over each month while adding a new $40 trillion each month.</li><li>Zero percent interest paid to banks on excess reserves.</li></ul><p><b>What Would Happen?</b></p><ol><li>Hyperinflationists and inflationists would come out of the woodwork on the announcement screaming inflation or worse.</li><li>In two years, M1 would rise by $960 trillion dollars, nearly a quadrillion dollars.</li><li>Since M1 is currently about $18.7 trillion, M1 would thus rise by about 5,000 percent.</li></ol><p><b>What About Inflation?</b></p><p>Q: What would a 5,000% increase in M1 over the course of two years under the parameters as outlined above do to inflation?</p><p>A: Not a thing</p><p>There is a stimulus impact of holding down short term rates, but the Fed was already committed to holding rates to zero indefinitely anyway.</p><p>Other than what is needed to hold the short-term interest rates to zero, any additional amount does nothing at all.</p><p>I suppose there could be a temporary knock on psychological effect over the size of the announcement but that would be short-lived.</p><p>In my example, the bonds had no interest rate nor was there any interest paid on excess reserves, which the Fed could easily do.</p><p>Hussman accurately noted that someone must hold every dollar.</p><p>In the case of QE, it is not really a matter of banks attempting to dump those dollars because banks don't lend from reserves.</p><p><b>QE Did Not and Will Not Spur Bank Lending</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cef722d4548b9bbec58f682bcd2c40c0\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"532\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Banks lend when they have creditworthy borrowers or believe they have creditworthy borrowers.</p><p>With nearly everyone looking for stronger inflation and higher bond yields please note&nbsp;The Fed Wants to Stimulate Bank Lending, Charts Show the Fed Failed</p><p><b>What About the Hot Potato?</b></p><p>There is a psychological hot potato on customer deposits but none on bank-held QE deposits.</p><p>There is also speculation impact due to interest rate suppression.</p><p>The Fed clearly goosed housing and speculation. Goosing housing did involve the Fed suppressing interest rates by buying interest bearing securities in Hussman's example.</p><p>I made the claim \"Other than what is needed to hold the short-term interest rates to zero, any additional amount does nothing at all.\"</p><p>That is very similar to Hussman's take \"<i>Quantitative Easing!</i>&nbsp;is purely a mental formation, the only thing that alters its effectiveness is investor psychology itself.\"</p><p><b>\"</b><b><i>Quantitative Easing!\"</i></b><b>vs \"Quantitative Easing\"</b></p><p>It's the psychology, stupid.</p><p>As long as investors believe the Fed has their backs and will not let the markets go down, they will continue to speculate in anything and everything including dogecoin.</p><p><b>Greater Fool Mania</b></p><p>RecallDogecoin, Created as a Joke, is the Epitome of Greater Fool Mania</p><p><i>Belief is enough until it changes.</i></p><p>There was a sudden psychological change at the peak of the housing bubble where psychology snapped. The same thing happened to the dotcom bubble in March of 2000.</p><p>No one knows when or why psychology might change.</p><p>Hussman commented \"<i>creating more of the stuff [QE] may not support the market at all.</i>\"</p><p>Contrast Hussman's comment with my comment on Quantitative Easing: \"<i>Any additional amount of QE effectively does nothing at all.</i>\"</p><p>Ah Ha<b>!</b></p><p>My comment was in regards to the logical mechanics of \"Quantitative Easing\" not doing anything.</p><p>In contrast, \"<i>Quantitative Easing!</i>\" psychology suggests we may also reach the point where any amount is sufficient not to support the market, but to collapse it.</p><p>Place your bets on how long the current status quo will last because belief that the Fed will hold up the market is all there is.</p>","source":"lsy1620736834627","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Psychology of QE is Far More Important Than the Amount of It</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Psychology of QE is Far More Important Than the Amount of It\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-11 20:43 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://mishtalk.com/economics/the-psychology-of-qe-is-far-more-important-than-the-amount-of-it?redir=1><strong>Mish Talk</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Let's discuss what QE really does vs the psychology of QE.John Hussman has an interesting take on \"Quantitative Easing!\" vs \"Quantitative Easing\" in his latest monthly missiveCounting the Chickens ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mishtalk.com/economics/the-psychology-of-qe-is-far-more-important-than-the-amount-of-it?redir=1\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://mishtalk.com/economics/the-psychology-of-qe-is-far-more-important-than-the-amount-of-it?redir=1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1169464898","content_text":"Let's discuss what QE really does vs the psychology of QE.John Hussman has an interesting take on \"Quantitative Easing!\" vs \"Quantitative Easing\" in his latest monthly missiveCounting the Chickens TwiceAfter decades of successfully navigating complete market cycles, my greatest investment mistake (particularly between 2012 and 2017) was to underestimate the extent to which the idea of quantitative easing would infect the minds of investors and abolish their discernment.As a policy, quantitative easing is very straightforward: the Federal Reserve buys interest-bearing Treasury securities, and pays for them with zero interest base money (currency and bank reserves) that someone has to hold at every moment in time until that base money is retired.That’s it. That’s the entire mechanism by which QE has any hope of “supporting” the stock market. Investors become so uncomfortable holding a zero-interest asset that they feel compelled to get rid of it by purchasing some other asset that they imagine will provide them with a better return.Quantitative easing does nothing more than replace interest-bearing government liabilities with zero-interest government liabilities. That certainly doesn’t seem to be enough to reliably hold $60 trillion of stock market capitalization at the most extreme valuations in history.That’s exactly what I thought.My epiphany came in late-2017. I had been so focused on the fact that there’s no reliable mechanism linking the Fed’s balance sheet to the stock market that I had missed one essential fact: investors don’t care. It became clear that there are actually two forms of “quantitative easing,” and the second type of quantitative easing is the powerful one. It’s what my Buddhist teacher Thich Nhat Hanh might describe as a “mental formation.”Using the italic notation of my friend Ben Hunt at Epsilon Theory (a must-read), it’s what we might call Quantitative Easing!Does anyone think investors care that the total amount of corporate bonds purchased by the Fed during the pandemic amounted to just $14 billion, in a $22 trillion economy, with $11 trillion of nonfinancial corporate debt and $60 trillion of equity securities? No, they do not. Do they care that Fed purchases of unbacked corporate securities were authorized only using CARES funding provided by the Treasury, and that such purchases are otherwise illegal under the Federal Reserve Act? No they do not. Why? Because it isn’t the mechanism of quantitative easing that investors care about. What they care about is Quantitative Easing!And because Quantitative Easing! is purely a mental formation, the only thing that alters its effectiveness is investor psychology itself.The key to navigating Quantitative Easing! and Fed policy in general is to recognize that their effect on the stock market relies almost entirely on speculative investor psychology. See, as long as investors are inclined to speculate, they treat zero-interest money as an inferior asset, and they will chase any asset with a yield above zero (or a past record of positive returns). Valuation doesn’t matter because investors psychologically rule out the possibility of price declines in the first place.But when investors become risk-averse, even briefly as in early-2018, late-2018, and early-2020, they do allow for the possibility of large negative price changes. At that point, a yield above zero isn’t enough. Moreover, if investors are inclined toward risk-aversion, safe liquidity is viewed as a desirable asset rather than an inferior one. As a result, creating more of the stuff may not support the market at all.Strong AgreementI have a couple of nitpicks but they are tiny compared to the overall idea expressed above.First it is not necessarily true that the Fed buys interest bearing securities. The Fed could buy 0% interest rate bonds or even negative yielding bonds as happens in the EU.Second, assuming the Fed wants to peg interest rates at zero, then it must perforce be a supplier of money at zero percent in whatever amount it takes to hold rates to zero.Given the current psychology of the market, the Fed merely stating it will hold short-term interest rates at zero indefinitely is all it takes, for now. Any additional amount of short-term QE logically does nothing at all.Forcing down longer term interest rates admittedly takes more effort.What Would Happen to Inflation If the Fed Announced $40 Trillion a Month in QE?On May 5, I wroteWhat Would Happen to Inflation If the Fed Announced $40 Trillion a Month in QE?The ideas I expressed are similar in nature to the ideas of Hussman although at first glance we expressed things very differently.QE Parameters$40 trillion a month in QE for 24 months, no matter what, announced upfront.3-month bills at 0% rolling everything over each month while adding a new $40 trillion each month.Zero percent interest paid to banks on excess reserves.What Would Happen?Hyperinflationists and inflationists would come out of the woodwork on the announcement screaming inflation or worse.In two years, M1 would rise by $960 trillion dollars, nearly a quadrillion dollars.Since M1 is currently about $18.7 trillion, M1 would thus rise by about 5,000 percent.What About Inflation?Q: What would a 5,000% increase in M1 over the course of two years under the parameters as outlined above do to inflation?A: Not a thingThere is a stimulus impact of holding down short term rates, but the Fed was already committed to holding rates to zero indefinitely anyway.Other than what is needed to hold the short-term interest rates to zero, any additional amount does nothing at all.I suppose there could be a temporary knock on psychological effect over the size of the announcement but that would be short-lived.In my example, the bonds had no interest rate nor was there any interest paid on excess reserves, which the Fed could easily do.Hussman accurately noted that someone must hold every dollar.In the case of QE, it is not really a matter of banks attempting to dump those dollars because banks don't lend from reserves.QE Did Not and Will Not Spur Bank LendingBanks lend when they have creditworthy borrowers or believe they have creditworthy borrowers.With nearly everyone looking for stronger inflation and higher bond yields please note The Fed Wants to Stimulate Bank Lending, Charts Show the Fed FailedWhat About the Hot Potato?There is a psychological hot potato on customer deposits but none on bank-held QE deposits.There is also speculation impact due to interest rate suppression.The Fed clearly goosed housing and speculation. Goosing housing did involve the Fed suppressing interest rates by buying interest bearing securities in Hussman's example.I made the claim \"Other than what is needed to hold the short-term interest rates to zero, any additional amount does nothing at all.\"That is very similar to Hussman's take \"Quantitative Easing! is purely a mental formation, the only thing that alters its effectiveness is investor psychology itself.\"\"Quantitative Easing!\"vs \"Quantitative Easing\"It's the psychology, stupid.As long as investors believe the Fed has their backs and will not let the markets go down, they will continue to speculate in anything and everything including dogecoin.Greater Fool ManiaRecallDogecoin, Created as a Joke, is the Epitome of Greater Fool ManiaBelief is enough until it changes.There was a sudden psychological change at the peak of the housing bubble where psychology snapped. The same thing happened to the dotcom bubble in March of 2000.No one knows when or why psychology might change.Hussman commented \"creating more of the stuff [QE] may not support the market at all.\"Contrast Hussman's comment with my comment on Quantitative Easing: \"Any additional amount of QE effectively does nothing at all.\"Ah Ha!My comment was in regards to the logical mechanics of \"Quantitative Easing\" not doing anything.In contrast, \"Quantitative Easing!\" psychology suggests we may also reach the point where any amount is sufficient not to support the market, but to collapse it.Place your bets on how long the current status quo will last because belief that the Fed will hold up the market is all there is.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":222,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":370511032,"gmtCreate":1618603053826,"gmtModify":1704713295273,"author":{"id":"3570864790458781","authorId":"3570864790458781","name":"Yeong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93092185d223c6e53fcfd64303836612","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570864790458781","authorIdStr":"3570864790458781"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Comment n like","listText":"Comment n like","text":"Comment n like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/370511032","repostId":"1156411249","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1156411249","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1618562497,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1156411249?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-04-16 16:41","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Einhorn: \"The Market Is Fractured And In The Process Of Breaking Completely\"","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1156411249","media":"zerohedge","summary":"In many ways, David Einhorn's Greenlight appears to be back to its \"new normal\" - in a letter sent t","content":"<p>In many ways, David Einhorn's Greenlight appears to be back to its \"new normal\" - in a letter sent to investors, Einhorn writes that Greenlight again underperformed the market and returned -0.1% in the first quarter, badly underperforming the 6.2% return for the S&amp;P 500 index, before proceeding to bash the Fed, broken markets, Chamath and Elon, the basket of short stocks and much more.</p><p>That said, even though as Einhorn writes Greenlight made only a handful of portfolio changes and essentially broke even, \"a lot happened. In general, the investment environment – especially from mid-February through the end of the quarter – was favorable as value outperformed growth, and interest rates and inflation expectations rose.\"</p><p>He then asks if the tide has<i><b>finally</b></i>turned from Growth to Value, noting that \"after a very tough decade, we have only just begun a recovery as shown in this 45-year chart from Goldman Sachs research:\"</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5db342a0e7b68b8405ce6d4041b71a0\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"339\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Part of the shift from growth to value, Einhorn writes, may be coming from higher inflation and inflation expectations. As measured by the inflation swap market, 10-year inflation expectations fell from 2.9% in September 2012 to 0.8% in March 2020. The only significant intervening bounce came in 2016, when expectations jumped from 1.5% to 2.3% on expectations of a major stimulus deal from the Trump admin (which never materialized). It is hardly a coincidence that that was the only year in the last decade in which value outperformed growth, as the Greenlight head notes. Fast forward to now, when after bottoming in March 2020, inflation expectations have recovered to 2.5%. The trend became clearer in the middle of May, and value started outperforming growth then, and especially since the middle of February. Indeed, aince May 15, the value-heavy Greenlight returned 80% of the S&amp;P 500 index with half the net exposure.</p><p>Einhorn is even more optimistic about the future when it comes to the \"growth to value\" rotation:</p><blockquote><i>When the time comes, we will have to figure out how to perform better in deflationary periods. But for now, we believe inflation is only going one way – higher – and we are optimistic about our prospects. The wind is now at our backs. The economy is in full recovery mode. Household balance sheets are stronger than they have been in a long time and household income growth was up 13% in February compared to last year. And this is before the latest $1.9 trillion – with a “T” – pandemic relief stimulus. Corporate capital spending is booming. There are shortages and bottlenecks everywhere. Last month nearly one million jobs returned. There are signs of an emerging labor shortage.</i></blockquote><p>As for the Fed, the Greenlight boss writes that \"it fundamentally changed its framework last August. It no longer seems to care that monetary policy works with a lag. Actually, it has embraced an asymmetrical inflation policy: The Fed wants to be ahead of the curve on the downside to protect<s>the stock market and corporate bondholders</s>the economy. Behind the curve is fine on the way up no matter how frothy the stock market the recovery is. Now, it says it is only going to react to actual inflation that exceeds its 2% target for a period of time.\"</p><p>The letter then goes on to muse how the Fed will know when it is blowing the next bubble, and to stop:</p><blockquote><i>... the Fed has indicated that it believes any abnormally high inflation will be transitory. We wonder, how will the Fed know?</i> <i><b>Do price increases come with a label that says “transitory”?</b></i> <i>Our sense is that no matter how hot inflation gets in the coming months, the Fed will continue with zero interest rates and large-scale asset purchases. After all, the U.S. Treasury has a lot of debt to sell and it isn’t clear who, other than the Fed, can absorb the supply.</i></blockquote><p>It's not just Powell who is throwing caution to the wind: so are such mainstream econ \"experts\" as John Oliver:</p><blockquote><i>The bipartisan idea that deficits don’t matter has even reached popular culture. John Oliverdedicated an entire episodeof Last Week Tonight to browbeating anyone who is concerned about the growing national debt. His argument boiled down to: (1) nobody knows how much debt is too much; (2) we have a good need to spend money now; and (3) it won’t be a problem until inflation shows up, and we can deal with it then.</i></blockquote><p>To this, Einhorn's response is simple: \"Though one can debate whether the official government statistics are contrived to avoid capturing inflation\" - and as we have repeatedly noted, inflation is now decidedly a political measurement, one which has been gamed for decades to make it appears as low as possible \"shortages and bottlenecks accompanied by rising demand can only be solved through increased capacity and higher prices. We have also reset the baseline income for non-working adults; it will take higher wages to bring those marginally attached to the labor force back to work.\"</p><p>Concluding this part of the letter, Einhorn writes that while the Fed says it has the tools to fight inflation (and according to Bernanke can cut it in<i>15 minutes</i>), \"it remains to be seen if it will have the stomach to use them when the time comes. That<b>is a discussion for another day. Right now, we remain positioned for rising inflation and inflation expectations.</b>\"</p><p>The Greenlight letter then goes on to lay out just how it plans to capture these rising inflation expectations, listing its top positions as follows, and how they performed in the frist quarter:</p><ul><li><b>Brighthouse Financial (BHF, +22%)</b>benefitted from rising interest rates;</li><li><b>Danimer Scientific (DNMR, +61%)</b>began its life as a public company;</li><li><b>Concentrix (CNXC, +52%)</b>benefitted from strong demand and rising estimates;</li><li><b>Resideo Technologies (REZI, +33%)</b>was helped by the strong housing market;</li><li><b>Change Healthcare (CHNG, +18%)</b>agreed to be acquired by UnitedHealthcare;</li><li><b>AerCap Holdings (AER, +29%)</b>agreed to acquire GE Capital’s aircraft leasing business (GECAS) at a discount; and</li><li><b>An undisclosed healthcare short (-41%)</b>fell due to reduced government reimbursement for its product.</li></ul><p><i>(incidentally, at quarter-end, Greenlight's largest disclosed long positions were Atlas Air Worldwide, Brighthouse Financial, Change Healthcare, Danimer Scientific and Green Brick Partners, with a net average exposure of 118% long and 81% short).</i></p><p>Which is not to say that there were no glitches. One was underperformance by homebuilder and land-developer GRBK, the fund's largest position (more on this in the full letter below). The other performance drag was - as usual- Greenlight's \"short basket\" of bubble stocks.</p><p>What follows next is a tour de force from Einhorn lashing out at all the ways the market is broken, and how the Reddit insanity of Q1 exposed it for all to see:</p><blockquote><i>In late January, the market came to focus on companies with large short interests. Despite having a diversified portfolio, a number of our positions fell into this group and experienced sudden, sharp rises. We adjusted to the dynamic by reducing our exposure to single name shorts, both in number and sizing. To mitigate the potentially uncomfortable net long bias that would have resulted, we added macro hedges of market index and index option shorts. While we do not expect this to be a permanent change, we will evaluate and modify as we go.</i> <i><b>The performance of our short portfolio in 2020 and in early 2021 was unacceptable, so change is certainly needed.</b></i> <i>If we swing a little less hard, we should hit more balls. We have also revised our internal analyst incentive structure to fully emphasize alpha creation.Much has been made of the short-squeezes in late January. In fact, Congress held hearings, where it called the leaders of Robinhood, Melvin Capital and Citadel and an individual investor who made a great call on GameStop (GME) to testify. We have a few thoughts about this to share.</i> <i><b>First, it is very healthy for market participants to discuss and debate stocks.</b></i> <i>This is true both privately and publicly. There are rules about fraud and manipulation that need to be followed,</i> <i><b>but investors discussing why they think GME (or any other stock) should go up or down ought to be encouraged. There is no reason to drag anyone before Congress for making a stock pick.</b></i> <i>Second, it is also fine to make bad stock picks.</i> <i><b>If a hedge fund takes a big position in a stock and is wrong, it loses money. Isn’t this how it is supposed to work?</b></i> <i>Third,</i> <i><b>payment for order flow is just disguised commissions.</b></i> <i>We are in a world where consumers, especially young ones, expect internet services to be free, or at least free to them. A quote widely attributed to Richard Serra about commercial TV in 1973 says it best: “You’re not the customer; you’re the product.”</i> <i><b>If you want the broker to work for you, pay a commission.</b></i> <i>Fourth, Robinhood suspended trading in certain stocks because it was undercapitalized. It is possible that it wasn’t following the regulatory requirements. A regulatory sanction is probably appropriate – but as we’ll discuss below, we won’t be holding our breath.</i></blockquote><p>The punchline:<i>Einhorn slamming Chamath and Elon for pouring the \"real jet fuel\" on the GME squeeze:</i></p><blockquote><i>Finally, we note that the real jet fuel on the GME squeeze came from Chamath Palihapitiya and Elon Musk, whose appearances on TV and Twitter, respectively, at a critical moment further destabilized the situation.</i> <i><b>Mr. Palihapitiya controls SoFi, which competes with Robinhood, and left us with the impression that by destabilizing GME he could harm a competitor.</b></i> <i>As for Mr. Musk,</i> <i><b>we are going to defend him, half-heartedly. If regulators wanted Elon Musk to stop manipulating stocks, they should have done so with more than a light slap on the wrist when they accused him of manipulating Tesla’s shares in 2018. The laws don’t apply to him and he can do whatever he wants.</b></i> <i>Many who would never support defunding the police have supported – and for all intents and purposes have succeeded – in almost completely defanging, if not defunding, the regulators. For the most part, quasi-anarchy appears to rule in markets.</i> <i><b>Sure, Dr. Michael Burry, famed for his role in The Big Short, reportedly received a visit from the SEC after tweeting warnings about recent market trends – and decided to stop publicly speaking truth to power. But for the most part, there is no cop on the beat.</b></i> <i>It’s as if there are no financial fraud prosecutors; companies and managements that are emboldened enough to engage in malfeasance have little to fear.</i></blockquote><p>Einhorn then concludes with three anecdotes to demonstrate his argument that this is not only an \"anything goes\" market where crime is rampant, but proving just how broken the market has become.</p><p>First, consider the investigation of Tether by the Office of the Attorney General of New York (OAG). As Einhorn explains, \"tether is a cryptocurrency that is always worth a dollar (the value is “tethered” to the dollar). Tether is one of the largest cryptocurrencies with about $40 billion outstanding, yet it has not been audited or regulated in any serious manner. In theory, Tether is supposed to have $1 of cash backing every Tether issued. Except it didn’t, at least when it was investigated.\" Incidentally, for anyone still confused, Tether is how theChinese launder billions in domestic funds abroad and outside the Chinese firewallas we explained in December, although so far few have the desire to expose this reality. In any case, here is Einhorn's lament:</p><blockquote><i>The OAG conducted a two-year probe and found that Tether deceived clients and the market by overstating reserves and hiding approximately $850 million of losses around the globe. Tether and its sponsor, Bitfinex, “recklessly and unlawfully covered up massive financial losses to keep their scheme going and protect their bottom lines,” said the OAG. Further, “Tether’s claims that its virtual currency was fully backed by U.S. dollars at all times was a lie.”Did the OAG shut down Tether? Did anyone get arrested or even lose their job? Was the regulatory infrastructure changed to make sure this doesn’t happen again? No, of course not. The OAG assessed an $18.5 million penalty and Tether agreed to discontinue “any trading activity with New Yorkers.” It was as if Bernie Madoff had been told to pay a small fine and stop ripping off New Yorkers, but to go ahead and have fun with the Palm Beach crowd.</i></blockquote><p>Einhorn next highlights one of the stocks most hated by the bearish community: GSX:</p><blockquote>The media is focused on how the banks allowed excessive leverage and poorly (or properly) managed their risks. The real story is how Arch-Egos was able to buy up most of the float of GSX Techedu, <b>causing the stock to soar 400% in the face of unrefuted allegations of massive fraud.</b>The SEC has an ongoing investigation of GSX but appears to not have noticed a single fund (or a small group of funds) essentially cornering the market. A traditionalist could say this was market manipulation and transparently illegal.</blockquote><p>The professional poker player finally points out some of the insane moves observed in pennystocks in Q1, focusing on a tiny deli owner in rural NJ:</p><blockquote><i>Strange things happen to all kinds of stocks. Last year, on one day in June, the stocks of about a dozen bankrupt companies roughly doubled on enormous volume. Recently, the Wall Street Journal reported a boom in penny stocks.Someone pointed us to Hometown International (HWIN), which owns a single deli in rural New Jersey. The deli had $21,772 in sales in 2019 and only $13,976 in 2020, as it was closed due to COVID from March to September.</i> <i><b>HWIN reached a market cap of $113 million on February 8.</b></i> <i>The largest shareholder is also the CEO/CFO/Treasurer and a Director, who also happens to be the wrestling coach of the high school next door to the deli. The pastrami must be amazing. Small investors who get sucked into these situations are likely to be harmed eventually, yet the regulators – who are supposed to be protecting investors – appear to be neither present nor curious.</i></blockquote><p>We don't find it at all surprising that Einhorn's conclusion from his capital markets observations over the past quarter is<i>identical</i>to ours, when we discussed the insane stock moves that dominated much of January and February:</p><blockquote><i><b>\"From a traditional perspective, the market is fractured and possibly in the process of breaking completely.\"</b></i></blockquote><p>Einhorn's full letter is below:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/519bd51d93865787f487bbfdc930c706\" tg-width=\"946\" tg-height=\"496\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1691d37b71b28794a2bc900aaf5b313e\" tg-width=\"857\" tg-height=\"687\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5d1e93a00a6d64936e9c09b9b940dbf\" tg-width=\"891\" tg-height=\"719\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c11ad8e34545a98ba8ee9c4fa8a78d9\" tg-width=\"909\" tg-height=\"477\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fc8253cd105c8e2727495e1d34c6769b\" tg-width=\"887\" tg-height=\"719\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e120ac355802479930a1b1e84bf46e3e\" tg-width=\"901\" tg-height=\"528\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/28989c8e07df2deede3e092055e09e70\" tg-width=\"895\" tg-height=\"564\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7d526b287d859e129d81853c0be2ace0\" tg-width=\"869\" tg-height=\"559\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8599ce79c9573aed1ca3b1266bd3400a\" tg-width=\"871\" tg-height=\"534\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3ae554a242066a92e4095f35260ce325\" tg-width=\"917\" tg-height=\"639\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df45fd1c31a9a0b5a376ec0fe6037598\" tg-width=\"883\" tg-height=\"522\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b72d0f63d22768ed27882dca1e9f6048\" tg-width=\"878\" tg-height=\"420\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cf93a682ea1bc652b5107e7ecf902b84\" tg-width=\"862\" tg-height=\"456\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f0326abf9ee7f93425e7d4cb20e1f375\" tg-width=\"900\" tg-height=\"657\"></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Einhorn: \"The Market Is Fractured And In The Process Of Breaking Completely\"</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nEinhorn: \"The Market Is Fractured And In The Process Of Breaking Completely\"\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-04-16 16:41 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/einhorn-market-fractured-and-process-breaking-completely><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>In many ways, David Einhorn's Greenlight appears to be back to its \"new normal\" - in a letter sent to investors, Einhorn writes that Greenlight again underperformed the market and returned -0.1% in ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/einhorn-market-fractured-and-process-breaking-completely\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/einhorn-market-fractured-and-process-breaking-completely","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1156411249","content_text":"In many ways, David Einhorn's Greenlight appears to be back to its \"new normal\" - in a letter sent to investors, Einhorn writes that Greenlight again underperformed the market and returned -0.1% in the first quarter, badly underperforming the 6.2% return for the S&P 500 index, before proceeding to bash the Fed, broken markets, Chamath and Elon, the basket of short stocks and much more.That said, even though as Einhorn writes Greenlight made only a handful of portfolio changes and essentially broke even, \"a lot happened. In general, the investment environment – especially from mid-February through the end of the quarter – was favorable as value outperformed growth, and interest rates and inflation expectations rose.\"He then asks if the tide hasfinallyturned from Growth to Value, noting that \"after a very tough decade, we have only just begun a recovery as shown in this 45-year chart from Goldman Sachs research:\"Part of the shift from growth to value, Einhorn writes, may be coming from higher inflation and inflation expectations. As measured by the inflation swap market, 10-year inflation expectations fell from 2.9% in September 2012 to 0.8% in March 2020. The only significant intervening bounce came in 2016, when expectations jumped from 1.5% to 2.3% on expectations of a major stimulus deal from the Trump admin (which never materialized). It is hardly a coincidence that that was the only year in the last decade in which value outperformed growth, as the Greenlight head notes. Fast forward to now, when after bottoming in March 2020, inflation expectations have recovered to 2.5%. The trend became clearer in the middle of May, and value started outperforming growth then, and especially since the middle of February. Indeed, aince May 15, the value-heavy Greenlight returned 80% of the S&P 500 index with half the net exposure.Einhorn is even more optimistic about the future when it comes to the \"growth to value\" rotation:When the time comes, we will have to figure out how to perform better in deflationary periods. But for now, we believe inflation is only going one way – higher – and we are optimistic about our prospects. The wind is now at our backs. The economy is in full recovery mode. Household balance sheets are stronger than they have been in a long time and household income growth was up 13% in February compared to last year. And this is before the latest $1.9 trillion – with a “T” – pandemic relief stimulus. Corporate capital spending is booming. There are shortages and bottlenecks everywhere. Last month nearly one million jobs returned. There are signs of an emerging labor shortage.As for the Fed, the Greenlight boss writes that \"it fundamentally changed its framework last August. It no longer seems to care that monetary policy works with a lag. Actually, it has embraced an asymmetrical inflation policy: The Fed wants to be ahead of the curve on the downside to protectthe stock market and corporate bondholdersthe economy. Behind the curve is fine on the way up no matter how frothy the stock market the recovery is. Now, it says it is only going to react to actual inflation that exceeds its 2% target for a period of time.\"The letter then goes on to muse how the Fed will know when it is blowing the next bubble, and to stop:... the Fed has indicated that it believes any abnormally high inflation will be transitory. We wonder, how will the Fed know? Do price increases come with a label that says “transitory”? Our sense is that no matter how hot inflation gets in the coming months, the Fed will continue with zero interest rates and large-scale asset purchases. After all, the U.S. Treasury has a lot of debt to sell and it isn’t clear who, other than the Fed, can absorb the supply.It's not just Powell who is throwing caution to the wind: so are such mainstream econ \"experts\" as John Oliver:The bipartisan idea that deficits don’t matter has even reached popular culture. John Oliverdedicated an entire episodeof Last Week Tonight to browbeating anyone who is concerned about the growing national debt. His argument boiled down to: (1) nobody knows how much debt is too much; (2) we have a good need to spend money now; and (3) it won’t be a problem until inflation shows up, and we can deal with it then.To this, Einhorn's response is simple: \"Though one can debate whether the official government statistics are contrived to avoid capturing inflation\" - and as we have repeatedly noted, inflation is now decidedly a political measurement, one which has been gamed for decades to make it appears as low as possible \"shortages and bottlenecks accompanied by rising demand can only be solved through increased capacity and higher prices. We have also reset the baseline income for non-working adults; it will take higher wages to bring those marginally attached to the labor force back to work.\"Concluding this part of the letter, Einhorn writes that while the Fed says it has the tools to fight inflation (and according to Bernanke can cut it in15 minutes), \"it remains to be seen if it will have the stomach to use them when the time comes. Thatis a discussion for another day. Right now, we remain positioned for rising inflation and inflation expectations.\"The Greenlight letter then goes on to lay out just how it plans to capture these rising inflation expectations, listing its top positions as follows, and how they performed in the frist quarter:Brighthouse Financial (BHF, +22%)benefitted from rising interest rates;Danimer Scientific (DNMR, +61%)began its life as a public company;Concentrix (CNXC, +52%)benefitted from strong demand and rising estimates;Resideo Technologies (REZI, +33%)was helped by the strong housing market;Change Healthcare (CHNG, +18%)agreed to be acquired by UnitedHealthcare;AerCap Holdings (AER, +29%)agreed to acquire GE Capital’s aircraft leasing business (GECAS) at a discount; andAn undisclosed healthcare short (-41%)fell due to reduced government reimbursement for its product.(incidentally, at quarter-end, Greenlight's largest disclosed long positions were Atlas Air Worldwide, Brighthouse Financial, Change Healthcare, Danimer Scientific and Green Brick Partners, with a net average exposure of 118% long and 81% short).Which is not to say that there were no glitches. One was underperformance by homebuilder and land-developer GRBK, the fund's largest position (more on this in the full letter below). The other performance drag was - as usual- Greenlight's \"short basket\" of bubble stocks.What follows next is a tour de force from Einhorn lashing out at all the ways the market is broken, and how the Reddit insanity of Q1 exposed it for all to see:In late January, the market came to focus on companies with large short interests. Despite having a diversified portfolio, a number of our positions fell into this group and experienced sudden, sharp rises. We adjusted to the dynamic by reducing our exposure to single name shorts, both in number and sizing. To mitigate the potentially uncomfortable net long bias that would have resulted, we added macro hedges of market index and index option shorts. While we do not expect this to be a permanent change, we will evaluate and modify as we go. The performance of our short portfolio in 2020 and in early 2021 was unacceptable, so change is certainly needed. If we swing a little less hard, we should hit more balls. We have also revised our internal analyst incentive structure to fully emphasize alpha creation.Much has been made of the short-squeezes in late January. In fact, Congress held hearings, where it called the leaders of Robinhood, Melvin Capital and Citadel and an individual investor who made a great call on GameStop (GME) to testify. We have a few thoughts about this to share. First, it is very healthy for market participants to discuss and debate stocks. This is true both privately and publicly. There are rules about fraud and manipulation that need to be followed, but investors discussing why they think GME (or any other stock) should go up or down ought to be encouraged. There is no reason to drag anyone before Congress for making a stock pick. Second, it is also fine to make bad stock picks. If a hedge fund takes a big position in a stock and is wrong, it loses money. Isn’t this how it is supposed to work? Third, payment for order flow is just disguised commissions. We are in a world where consumers, especially young ones, expect internet services to be free, or at least free to them. A quote widely attributed to Richard Serra about commercial TV in 1973 says it best: “You’re not the customer; you’re the product.” If you want the broker to work for you, pay a commission. Fourth, Robinhood suspended trading in certain stocks because it was undercapitalized. It is possible that it wasn’t following the regulatory requirements. A regulatory sanction is probably appropriate – but as we’ll discuss below, we won’t be holding our breath.The punchline:Einhorn slamming Chamath and Elon for pouring the \"real jet fuel\" on the GME squeeze:Finally, we note that the real jet fuel on the GME squeeze came from Chamath Palihapitiya and Elon Musk, whose appearances on TV and Twitter, respectively, at a critical moment further destabilized the situation. Mr. Palihapitiya controls SoFi, which competes with Robinhood, and left us with the impression that by destabilizing GME he could harm a competitor. As for Mr. Musk, we are going to defend him, half-heartedly. If regulators wanted Elon Musk to stop manipulating stocks, they should have done so with more than a light slap on the wrist when they accused him of manipulating Tesla’s shares in 2018. The laws don’t apply to him and he can do whatever he wants. Many who would never support defunding the police have supported – and for all intents and purposes have succeeded – in almost completely defanging, if not defunding, the regulators. For the most part, quasi-anarchy appears to rule in markets. Sure, Dr. Michael Burry, famed for his role in The Big Short, reportedly received a visit from the SEC after tweeting warnings about recent market trends – and decided to stop publicly speaking truth to power. But for the most part, there is no cop on the beat. It’s as if there are no financial fraud prosecutors; companies and managements that are emboldened enough to engage in malfeasance have little to fear.Einhorn then concludes with three anecdotes to demonstrate his argument that this is not only an \"anything goes\" market where crime is rampant, but proving just how broken the market has become.First, consider the investigation of Tether by the Office of the Attorney General of New York (OAG). As Einhorn explains, \"tether is a cryptocurrency that is always worth a dollar (the value is “tethered” to the dollar). Tether is one of the largest cryptocurrencies with about $40 billion outstanding, yet it has not been audited or regulated in any serious manner. In theory, Tether is supposed to have $1 of cash backing every Tether issued. Except it didn’t, at least when it was investigated.\" Incidentally, for anyone still confused, Tether is how theChinese launder billions in domestic funds abroad and outside the Chinese firewallas we explained in December, although so far few have the desire to expose this reality. In any case, here is Einhorn's lament:The OAG conducted a two-year probe and found that Tether deceived clients and the market by overstating reserves and hiding approximately $850 million of losses around the globe. Tether and its sponsor, Bitfinex, “recklessly and unlawfully covered up massive financial losses to keep their scheme going and protect their bottom lines,” said the OAG. Further, “Tether’s claims that its virtual currency was fully backed by U.S. dollars at all times was a lie.”Did the OAG shut down Tether? Did anyone get arrested or even lose their job? Was the regulatory infrastructure changed to make sure this doesn’t happen again? No, of course not. The OAG assessed an $18.5 million penalty and Tether agreed to discontinue “any trading activity with New Yorkers.” It was as if Bernie Madoff had been told to pay a small fine and stop ripping off New Yorkers, but to go ahead and have fun with the Palm Beach crowd.Einhorn next highlights one of the stocks most hated by the bearish community: GSX:The media is focused on how the banks allowed excessive leverage and poorly (or properly) managed their risks. The real story is how Arch-Egos was able to buy up most of the float of GSX Techedu, causing the stock to soar 400% in the face of unrefuted allegations of massive fraud.The SEC has an ongoing investigation of GSX but appears to not have noticed a single fund (or a small group of funds) essentially cornering the market. A traditionalist could say this was market manipulation and transparently illegal.The professional poker player finally points out some of the insane moves observed in pennystocks in Q1, focusing on a tiny deli owner in rural NJ:Strange things happen to all kinds of stocks. Last year, on one day in June, the stocks of about a dozen bankrupt companies roughly doubled on enormous volume. Recently, the Wall Street Journal reported a boom in penny stocks.Someone pointed us to Hometown International (HWIN), which owns a single deli in rural New Jersey. The deli had $21,772 in sales in 2019 and only $13,976 in 2020, as it was closed due to COVID from March to September. HWIN reached a market cap of $113 million on February 8. The largest shareholder is also the CEO/CFO/Treasurer and a Director, who also happens to be the wrestling coach of the high school next door to the deli. The pastrami must be amazing. Small investors who get sucked into these situations are likely to be harmed eventually, yet the regulators – who are supposed to be protecting investors – appear to be neither present nor curious.We don't find it at all surprising that Einhorn's conclusion from his capital markets observations over the past quarter isidenticalto ours, when we discussed the insane stock moves that dominated much of January and February:\"From a traditional perspective, the market is fractured and possibly in the process of breaking completely.\"Einhorn's full letter is below:","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":111,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3554872330606703","authorId":"3554872330606703","name":"jizzjie","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d1f37878ee6a4cf98b4c972fe8e93024","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3554872330606703","authorIdStr":"3554872330606703"},"content":"pls reply to my comment thanks","text":"pls reply to my comment thanks","html":"pls reply to my comment thanks"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":143814817,"gmtCreate":1625787571639,"gmtModify":1703748416102,"author":{"id":"3570864790458781","authorId":"3570864790458781","name":"Yeong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93092185d223c6e53fcfd64303836612","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570864790458781","authorIdStr":"3570864790458781"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like n comment&nbsp;","listText":"Like n comment&nbsp;","text":"Like n comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/143814817","repostId":"1195657546","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1195657546","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625785913,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1195657546?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-09 07:11","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Stocks making the biggest moves after hours: Levi Strauss, General Motors, Accolade and more","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1195657546","media":"CNBC","summary":"Check out the companies making headlines after the bell Thursday:\nLevi Strauss— Shares of Levi Strau","content":"<div>\n<p>Check out the companies making headlines after the bell Thursday:\nLevi Strauss— Shares of Levi Strauss added 3.2% after the retailer crushed Wall Street expectations in itsfiscal second-quarter ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/08/stocks-making-the-biggest-moves-after-hours-levi-strauss-gm-accolade.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"cnbc_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Stocks making the biggest moves after hours: Levi Strauss, General Motors, Accolade and more</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nStocks making the biggest moves after hours: Levi Strauss, General Motors, Accolade and more\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-09 07:11 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/08/stocks-making-the-biggest-moves-after-hours-levi-strauss-gm-accolade.html><strong>CNBC</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Check out the companies making headlines after the bell Thursday:\nLevi Strauss— Shares of Levi Strauss added 3.2% after the retailer crushed Wall Street expectations in itsfiscal second-quarter ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/08/stocks-making-the-biggest-moves-after-hours-levi-strauss-gm-accolade.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ACCD":"Accolade, Inc.","GM":"通用汽车","BGC":"BGC GROUP"},"source_url":"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/08/stocks-making-the-biggest-moves-after-hours-levi-strauss-gm-accolade.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/72bb72e1b84c09fca865c6dcb1bbcd16","article_id":"1195657546","content_text":"Check out the companies making headlines after the bell Thursday:\nLevi Strauss— Shares of Levi Strauss added 3.2% after the retailer crushed Wall Street expectations in itsfiscal second-quarter results. Levi reported adjusted earnings of 23 cents per share on revenue of $1.28 billion. Analysts expected earnings of 9 cents per share on revenue of $1.21 billion, according to Refinitiv.\nGeneral Motors— General Motors shares gained 1.3% after Wedbush initiated coverage of the stock with an outperform rating and $85 price target. That target implies an upside of more than 51% from Thursday's close. \"CEO Mary Barra along with other key executives has led the legacy auto company back to the top of the auto industry in the United States,\" Wedbush's Dan Ives said in a note.\nPriceSmart— Shares of PriceSmart rose 2.4% in thin trading on the back of the warehouse club operator’s third-quarter earnings report. PriceSmart posted earnings of 73 cents per share, compared with a FactSet estimate of 65 cents per share expectation.\nAccolade— Accolade shares added 1.2% in low-volume trading following after the company released its latest quarterly numbers. The health-care technology company reported revenue of of $59.5 million versus analysts’ $55.8 million estimate, according to FactSet. Accolade also posted a smaller-than-expected EBITDA loss.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":40,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3580942055840541","authorId":"3580942055840541","name":"Jimchanfc","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d38914f80f89dfb4ac6b61f5166d33f3","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3580942055840541","authorIdStr":"3580942055840541"},"content":"Help me too thanks","text":"Help me too thanks","html":"Help me too thanks"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":197626799,"gmtCreate":1621465517611,"gmtModify":1704357896985,"author":{"id":"3570864790458781","authorId":"3570864790458781","name":"Yeong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93092185d223c6e53fcfd64303836612","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570864790458781","authorIdStr":"3570864790458781"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like n comment","listText":"Pls like n comment","text":"Pls like n comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/197626799","repostId":"1126891253","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1126891253","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1621404438,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1126891253?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-19 14:07","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Oat Milk Company Oatly to IPO -- Here's What Investors Need to Know","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1126891253","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"The largest oat milk company in the world, Oatly, could be going public this weekon Thursday.The Swedish firm is know for its dairy-alternative products made from oats. The items range from basic oat milk, to even ice cream and yogurt made from oat milk. According to its website, Oatly’s goal is “to make it easy for people to turn what they eat and drink into personal moments of healthy joy without recklessly taxing the planet’s resources in the process.”Oatly confidentially filed for its IPO ba","content":"<p>The largest oat milk company in the world, Oatly, could be going public this weekon Thursday.</p><p>The Swedish firm is know for its dairy-alternative products made from oats. The items range from basic oat milk, to even ice cream and yogurt made from oat milk. According to its website, Oatly’s goal is “to make it easy for people to turn what they eat and drink into personal moments of healthy joy without recklessly taxing the planet’s resources in the process.”</p><p>Oatly confidentially filed for its IPO back in February, then officiallyset terms of the move last week. According to multiple outlets, Oatly will offer about 84.4 million American depositary shares (ADS) at between $15 and $17 per share. In total, the Oatly IPO could reach a $10.1 billion valuation, and the firm hopes to raise $1.1 billion.</p><p>Additionally, Oatly plans to trade on the Nasdaq exchange under the ticker “OTLY” and had nine lead underwriters for its IPO.</p><p><b>The majority shareholder</b></p><p>Oatly was founded in 1994 by Rickard Oste, a professor of food chemistry and nutrition in Sweden, and his brother Bjorn Oste. Working in Malmo, Sweden, they developed a way of processing a slurry of oats and water with enzymes to produce natural sweetness and a milk-like taste and consistency.</p><p>Oatly’s image benefited from a roster of celebrity investors, including Oprah Winfrey, Natalie Portman, Jay-Z’s Roc Nation company, and Howard Schultz, the former chief executive of Starbucks. All have some connection to the plant-based or healthy living movement.</p><p>The majority shareholder is a partnership between an entity owned by the Chinese government and Verlinvest, a Belgian firm that invests some of the wealth of the families that control the Anheuser-Busch InBev beer empire. Blackstone, the giant private equity firm, owns a little less than 8 percent in Oatly.</p><p>The company’s growth went into overdrive after Verlinvest bought a majority stake in 2016 via a joint venture with China Resources, a state-owned conglomerate with vast holdings in cement, power generation, coal mining, beer, retailing and many other industries. The new financing helped Oatly to expand in Europe and begin exporting to the United States and China, where many people cannot tolerate cow’s milk. China Resources’ involvement undoubtedly helped open doors in the Chinese market. Asia, primarily China, accounted for 18 percent of sales in the first quarter of 2021, and is growing at a rate of 450 percent a year, according to Oatly.</p><p>In Europe, there is growing alarm about Chinese investment in strategic industries like autos, batteries and robotics. The European Commission has begun erecting regulatory barriers to companies with financial links to the Chinese government. But so far no one has expressed fear that China will dominate the world’s supply of oat milk.</p><p>Just in case, Oatly’s prospectus gives it the option of listing in Hong Kong if the foreign ownership becomes a problem in the United States.</p><p><b>The Key Markets</b></p><p>Oat milk is part of a larger trend toward food that mimics animal products. So-called food tech companies like Beyond Meat have raised a little more than $18 billion in venture funding, according to PitchBook, which tracks the industry. Plant-based dairy, which in the United States includes brands like Ripple (made from peas) and Mooala (bananas), raised $640 million last year, more than double the amount raised a year earlier.</p><p>According to the Plant Based Foods Association and Good Foods Institute, plant-based-food sales reached $7 billion in 2020.</p><p>Consumer Insights data quoted in the prospectus says the plant-based milk category will grow 20% to 25% over the next three years.</p><p>Oatly is focused on its role in helping to transform the food industry in order to be better for the environment and meet the health needs of its customers. The company points out that substituting a cup of Oatly for a cup of cow’s milk reduces greenhouse gas emissions, land use and energy consumption.</p><p>Tastewise, which provides food and beverage data and intelligence, said in a December 2020 report that “plant-based everything” will be one of the top 10 U.S. trends for this year.</p><p>Oatly’s key markets are Sweden, Germany and the U.K., though its products were available in 60,000 retail stores and 32,200 coffee shops around the world as of December 31, 2020. Among the places where customers can find Oatly is Starbucks, where demand was so high there was a shortage soon after the coffee chain introduced beverages made with the item.</p><p>Oatly arrived in the U.S. in 2017. The company says it “focused on targeting coffee’s tastemakers, professional baristas at independent coffee shops” as a way to enter the market.”</p><p>By December 31, 2020, Oatly was in more than 7,500 retail shops and 10,000 coffee shops in the U.S. Revenue in 2020 totaled $100 million in the U.S.</p><p>Oatly can also be found in 11,000 coffee and tea shops in China, and at more than 6,000 retail and specialty shops across the country, including thousands of Starbucks locations.</p><p><b>Loss of Warning</b></p><p>In 2020, Oatly had revenue of $421.4 million, up from $204.0 million the year before. However, the company reported a loss of $60.4 million “reflecting our continued investment in production, brand awareness, new markets and product development,” the prospectus said.</p><p>Oatly is classified as an “emerging growth company,” which means it does not have to make the same disclosures required of bigger public companies. A business remains an emerging growth company until it reaches a number of milestones, including annual revenue of more than $1.07 billion.</p><p>Oatly warns that it has reported losses over the last “several” years and expects operating and capital expenses to rise “substantially.”</p><p>“Our expansion efforts may take longer or prove more expensive than we anticipate, particularly in light of the COVID-19 pandemic, and we may not succeed in increasing our revenue and margins sufficiently to offset the anticipated higher expenses,” the company said in its prospectus.</p><p>“We incur significant expenses in researching and developing our innovative products, building out our production and manufacturing facilities, obtaining and storing ingredients and other products and marketing the products we offer.”</p><p><b>The dairy market is highly competitive</b></p><p>Oatly acknowledged in its offering documents that it faces fierce competition, including from “multinational corporations with substantially greater resources and operations than us.”</p><p>That would include British consumer goods maker Unilever, which said last year that it aims to generate revenue of one billion euros, or $1.2 billion, by 2027 from plant-based substitutes for meat and dairy, for example Hellmann’s vegan mayonnaise or Ben &amp; Jerry’s dairy-free ice cream. Unilever has not announced plans for a milk substitute.</p><p>Some industry analysts argue that Oatly’s size gives it an edge over these giants, allowing it to be more innovative than a corporate behemoth. Food start-ups are “younger and faster,” said Patrick Müller-Sarmiento, head of the consumer goods and retail practice at Roland Berger, a German consulting firm.</p><p>The established food giants also have a tougher time than newcomers convincing consumers that they are sincere about saving the planet, an important part of the oat milk sales pitch.</p><p>Mr. Müller-Sarmiento, the former chief executive of Real, a German chain of big box stores, said meat and dairy alternatives are not having trouble competing with Big Food for precious retail shelf space. “Retailers are urgently looking for new products,” he said.</p><p>Time was when Nestlé or Unilever would have simply acquired Oatly, just as they have gobbled up hundreds of other brands. But they would have trouble justifying the audacious $10 billion price that Oatly has set as the benchmark for its stock offering.</p><p>Nestlé’s answer was to develop its own milk substitute, Wunda, which the company unveiled this month and plans to sell initially in France, Portugal and the Netherlands. Made from a variety of yellow peas, Wunda is higher in protein than oat milk. Some nutritionists have said that oat milk and other dairy alternatives are a poor substitute for cow’s milk because they don’t have nearly as much protein.</p><p>Stefan Palzer, the chief technology officer at Nestlé, took issue with those who say a big company can’t move as fast as a bunch of Swedish foodies. A young team at Nestlé developed Wunda in nine months, including three months of market testing in Britain, Mr. Palzer said in an interview.</p><p>Nestlé was able to adapt existing production facilities to make Wunda, rather than building new factories like Oatly must do. The company already had plant scientists who could identify the best kind of pea and food safety experts who could navigate the regulatory approval process, Mr. Palzer said.</p><p>The Wunda developers “could have any expert they wanted to have on the project,” Mr. Palzer said. “That enabled them to move at this speed.”</p><p>Nestlé already has dairy-free versions of Nesquik drinks and Häagen-Dazs ice cream and sells coffee creamers made from a blend of oat and almond milk using the Starbucks brand. The company is in a major push to develop substitutes for almost any kind of animal product. The next frontier: fish. Nestlé has begun selling a tuna substitute called Vuna and is working on scallops.</p><p>“It’s a great opportunity to combine health with sustainability,” Mr. Palzer said of plant-based alternatives to milk and meat. “It’s also a great growth opportunity.”</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Oat Milk Company Oatly to IPO -- Here's What Investors Need to Know</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOat Milk Company Oatly to IPO -- Here's What Investors Need to Know\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-05-19 14:07</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The largest oat milk company in the world, Oatly, could be going public this weekon Thursday.</p><p>The Swedish firm is know for its dairy-alternative products made from oats. The items range from basic oat milk, to even ice cream and yogurt made from oat milk. According to its website, Oatly’s goal is “to make it easy for people to turn what they eat and drink into personal moments of healthy joy without recklessly taxing the planet’s resources in the process.”</p><p>Oatly confidentially filed for its IPO back in February, then officiallyset terms of the move last week. According to multiple outlets, Oatly will offer about 84.4 million American depositary shares (ADS) at between $15 and $17 per share. In total, the Oatly IPO could reach a $10.1 billion valuation, and the firm hopes to raise $1.1 billion.</p><p>Additionally, Oatly plans to trade on the Nasdaq exchange under the ticker “OTLY” and had nine lead underwriters for its IPO.</p><p><b>The majority shareholder</b></p><p>Oatly was founded in 1994 by Rickard Oste, a professor of food chemistry and nutrition in Sweden, and his brother Bjorn Oste. Working in Malmo, Sweden, they developed a way of processing a slurry of oats and water with enzymes to produce natural sweetness and a milk-like taste and consistency.</p><p>Oatly’s image benefited from a roster of celebrity investors, including Oprah Winfrey, Natalie Portman, Jay-Z’s Roc Nation company, and Howard Schultz, the former chief executive of Starbucks. All have some connection to the plant-based or healthy living movement.</p><p>The majority shareholder is a partnership between an entity owned by the Chinese government and Verlinvest, a Belgian firm that invests some of the wealth of the families that control the Anheuser-Busch InBev beer empire. Blackstone, the giant private equity firm, owns a little less than 8 percent in Oatly.</p><p>The company’s growth went into overdrive after Verlinvest bought a majority stake in 2016 via a joint venture with China Resources, a state-owned conglomerate with vast holdings in cement, power generation, coal mining, beer, retailing and many other industries. The new financing helped Oatly to expand in Europe and begin exporting to the United States and China, where many people cannot tolerate cow’s milk. China Resources’ involvement undoubtedly helped open doors in the Chinese market. Asia, primarily China, accounted for 18 percent of sales in the first quarter of 2021, and is growing at a rate of 450 percent a year, according to Oatly.</p><p>In Europe, there is growing alarm about Chinese investment in strategic industries like autos, batteries and robotics. The European Commission has begun erecting regulatory barriers to companies with financial links to the Chinese government. But so far no one has expressed fear that China will dominate the world’s supply of oat milk.</p><p>Just in case, Oatly’s prospectus gives it the option of listing in Hong Kong if the foreign ownership becomes a problem in the United States.</p><p><b>The Key Markets</b></p><p>Oat milk is part of a larger trend toward food that mimics animal products. So-called food tech companies like Beyond Meat have raised a little more than $18 billion in venture funding, according to PitchBook, which tracks the industry. Plant-based dairy, which in the United States includes brands like Ripple (made from peas) and Mooala (bananas), raised $640 million last year, more than double the amount raised a year earlier.</p><p>According to the Plant Based Foods Association and Good Foods Institute, plant-based-food sales reached $7 billion in 2020.</p><p>Consumer Insights data quoted in the prospectus says the plant-based milk category will grow 20% to 25% over the next three years.</p><p>Oatly is focused on its role in helping to transform the food industry in order to be better for the environment and meet the health needs of its customers. The company points out that substituting a cup of Oatly for a cup of cow’s milk reduces greenhouse gas emissions, land use and energy consumption.</p><p>Tastewise, which provides food and beverage data and intelligence, said in a December 2020 report that “plant-based everything” will be one of the top 10 U.S. trends for this year.</p><p>Oatly’s key markets are Sweden, Germany and the U.K., though its products were available in 60,000 retail stores and 32,200 coffee shops around the world as of December 31, 2020. Among the places where customers can find Oatly is Starbucks, where demand was so high there was a shortage soon after the coffee chain introduced beverages made with the item.</p><p>Oatly arrived in the U.S. in 2017. The company says it “focused on targeting coffee’s tastemakers, professional baristas at independent coffee shops” as a way to enter the market.”</p><p>By December 31, 2020, Oatly was in more than 7,500 retail shops and 10,000 coffee shops in the U.S. Revenue in 2020 totaled $100 million in the U.S.</p><p>Oatly can also be found in 11,000 coffee and tea shops in China, and at more than 6,000 retail and specialty shops across the country, including thousands of Starbucks locations.</p><p><b>Loss of Warning</b></p><p>In 2020, Oatly had revenue of $421.4 million, up from $204.0 million the year before. However, the company reported a loss of $60.4 million “reflecting our continued investment in production, brand awareness, new markets and product development,” the prospectus said.</p><p>Oatly is classified as an “emerging growth company,” which means it does not have to make the same disclosures required of bigger public companies. A business remains an emerging growth company until it reaches a number of milestones, including annual revenue of more than $1.07 billion.</p><p>Oatly warns that it has reported losses over the last “several” years and expects operating and capital expenses to rise “substantially.”</p><p>“Our expansion efforts may take longer or prove more expensive than we anticipate, particularly in light of the COVID-19 pandemic, and we may not succeed in increasing our revenue and margins sufficiently to offset the anticipated higher expenses,” the company said in its prospectus.</p><p>“We incur significant expenses in researching and developing our innovative products, building out our production and manufacturing facilities, obtaining and storing ingredients and other products and marketing the products we offer.”</p><p><b>The dairy market is highly competitive</b></p><p>Oatly acknowledged in its offering documents that it faces fierce competition, including from “multinational corporations with substantially greater resources and operations than us.”</p><p>That would include British consumer goods maker Unilever, which said last year that it aims to generate revenue of one billion euros, or $1.2 billion, by 2027 from plant-based substitutes for meat and dairy, for example Hellmann’s vegan mayonnaise or Ben &amp; Jerry’s dairy-free ice cream. Unilever has not announced plans for a milk substitute.</p><p>Some industry analysts argue that Oatly’s size gives it an edge over these giants, allowing it to be more innovative than a corporate behemoth. Food start-ups are “younger and faster,” said Patrick Müller-Sarmiento, head of the consumer goods and retail practice at Roland Berger, a German consulting firm.</p><p>The established food giants also have a tougher time than newcomers convincing consumers that they are sincere about saving the planet, an important part of the oat milk sales pitch.</p><p>Mr. Müller-Sarmiento, the former chief executive of Real, a German chain of big box stores, said meat and dairy alternatives are not having trouble competing with Big Food for precious retail shelf space. “Retailers are urgently looking for new products,” he said.</p><p>Time was when Nestlé or Unilever would have simply acquired Oatly, just as they have gobbled up hundreds of other brands. But they would have trouble justifying the audacious $10 billion price that Oatly has set as the benchmark for its stock offering.</p><p>Nestlé’s answer was to develop its own milk substitute, Wunda, which the company unveiled this month and plans to sell initially in France, Portugal and the Netherlands. Made from a variety of yellow peas, Wunda is higher in protein than oat milk. Some nutritionists have said that oat milk and other dairy alternatives are a poor substitute for cow’s milk because they don’t have nearly as much protein.</p><p>Stefan Palzer, the chief technology officer at Nestlé, took issue with those who say a big company can’t move as fast as a bunch of Swedish foodies. A young team at Nestlé developed Wunda in nine months, including three months of market testing in Britain, Mr. Palzer said in an interview.</p><p>Nestlé was able to adapt existing production facilities to make Wunda, rather than building new factories like Oatly must do. The company already had plant scientists who could identify the best kind of pea and food safety experts who could navigate the regulatory approval process, Mr. Palzer said.</p><p>The Wunda developers “could have any expert they wanted to have on the project,” Mr. Palzer said. “That enabled them to move at this speed.”</p><p>Nestlé already has dairy-free versions of Nesquik drinks and Häagen-Dazs ice cream and sells coffee creamers made from a blend of oat and almond milk using the Starbucks brand. The company is in a major push to develop substitutes for almost any kind of animal product. The next frontier: fish. Nestlé has begun selling a tuna substitute called Vuna and is working on scallops.</p><p>“It’s a great opportunity to combine health with sustainability,” Mr. Palzer said of plant-based alternatives to milk and meat. “It’s also a great growth opportunity.”</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"OTLY":"Oatly Group AB"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1126891253","content_text":"The largest oat milk company in the world, Oatly, could be going public this weekon Thursday.The Swedish firm is know for its dairy-alternative products made from oats. The items range from basic oat milk, to even ice cream and yogurt made from oat milk. According to its website, Oatly’s goal is “to make it easy for people to turn what they eat and drink into personal moments of healthy joy without recklessly taxing the planet’s resources in the process.”Oatly confidentially filed for its IPO back in February, then officiallyset terms of the move last week. According to multiple outlets, Oatly will offer about 84.4 million American depositary shares (ADS) at between $15 and $17 per share. In total, the Oatly IPO could reach a $10.1 billion valuation, and the firm hopes to raise $1.1 billion.Additionally, Oatly plans to trade on the Nasdaq exchange under the ticker “OTLY” and had nine lead underwriters for its IPO.The majority shareholderOatly was founded in 1994 by Rickard Oste, a professor of food chemistry and nutrition in Sweden, and his brother Bjorn Oste. Working in Malmo, Sweden, they developed a way of processing a slurry of oats and water with enzymes to produce natural sweetness and a milk-like taste and consistency.Oatly’s image benefited from a roster of celebrity investors, including Oprah Winfrey, Natalie Portman, Jay-Z’s Roc Nation company, and Howard Schultz, the former chief executive of Starbucks. All have some connection to the plant-based or healthy living movement.The majority shareholder is a partnership between an entity owned by the Chinese government and Verlinvest, a Belgian firm that invests some of the wealth of the families that control the Anheuser-Busch InBev beer empire. Blackstone, the giant private equity firm, owns a little less than 8 percent in Oatly.The company’s growth went into overdrive after Verlinvest bought a majority stake in 2016 via a joint venture with China Resources, a state-owned conglomerate with vast holdings in cement, power generation, coal mining, beer, retailing and many other industries. The new financing helped Oatly to expand in Europe and begin exporting to the United States and China, where many people cannot tolerate cow’s milk. China Resources’ involvement undoubtedly helped open doors in the Chinese market. Asia, primarily China, accounted for 18 percent of sales in the first quarter of 2021, and is growing at a rate of 450 percent a year, according to Oatly.In Europe, there is growing alarm about Chinese investment in strategic industries like autos, batteries and robotics. The European Commission has begun erecting regulatory barriers to companies with financial links to the Chinese government. But so far no one has expressed fear that China will dominate the world’s supply of oat milk.Just in case, Oatly’s prospectus gives it the option of listing in Hong Kong if the foreign ownership becomes a problem in the United States.The Key MarketsOat milk is part of a larger trend toward food that mimics animal products. So-called food tech companies like Beyond Meat have raised a little more than $18 billion in venture funding, according to PitchBook, which tracks the industry. Plant-based dairy, which in the United States includes brands like Ripple (made from peas) and Mooala (bananas), raised $640 million last year, more than double the amount raised a year earlier.According to the Plant Based Foods Association and Good Foods Institute, plant-based-food sales reached $7 billion in 2020.Consumer Insights data quoted in the prospectus says the plant-based milk category will grow 20% to 25% over the next three years.Oatly is focused on its role in helping to transform the food industry in order to be better for the environment and meet the health needs of its customers. The company points out that substituting a cup of Oatly for a cup of cow’s milk reduces greenhouse gas emissions, land use and energy consumption.Tastewise, which provides food and beverage data and intelligence, said in a December 2020 report that “plant-based everything” will be one of the top 10 U.S. trends for this year.Oatly’s key markets are Sweden, Germany and the U.K., though its products were available in 60,000 retail stores and 32,200 coffee shops around the world as of December 31, 2020. Among the places where customers can find Oatly is Starbucks, where demand was so high there was a shortage soon after the coffee chain introduced beverages made with the item.Oatly arrived in the U.S. in 2017. The company says it “focused on targeting coffee’s tastemakers, professional baristas at independent coffee shops” as a way to enter the market.”By December 31, 2020, Oatly was in more than 7,500 retail shops and 10,000 coffee shops in the U.S. Revenue in 2020 totaled $100 million in the U.S.Oatly can also be found in 11,000 coffee and tea shops in China, and at more than 6,000 retail and specialty shops across the country, including thousands of Starbucks locations.Loss of WarningIn 2020, Oatly had revenue of $421.4 million, up from $204.0 million the year before. However, the company reported a loss of $60.4 million “reflecting our continued investment in production, brand awareness, new markets and product development,” the prospectus said.Oatly is classified as an “emerging growth company,” which means it does not have to make the same disclosures required of bigger public companies. A business remains an emerging growth company until it reaches a number of milestones, including annual revenue of more than $1.07 billion.Oatly warns that it has reported losses over the last “several” years and expects operating and capital expenses to rise “substantially.”“Our expansion efforts may take longer or prove more expensive than we anticipate, particularly in light of the COVID-19 pandemic, and we may not succeed in increasing our revenue and margins sufficiently to offset the anticipated higher expenses,” the company said in its prospectus.“We incur significant expenses in researching and developing our innovative products, building out our production and manufacturing facilities, obtaining and storing ingredients and other products and marketing the products we offer.”The dairy market is highly competitiveOatly acknowledged in its offering documents that it faces fierce competition, including from “multinational corporations with substantially greater resources and operations than us.”That would include British consumer goods maker Unilever, which said last year that it aims to generate revenue of one billion euros, or $1.2 billion, by 2027 from plant-based substitutes for meat and dairy, for example Hellmann’s vegan mayonnaise or Ben & Jerry’s dairy-free ice cream. Unilever has not announced plans for a milk substitute.Some industry analysts argue that Oatly’s size gives it an edge over these giants, allowing it to be more innovative than a corporate behemoth. Food start-ups are “younger and faster,” said Patrick Müller-Sarmiento, head of the consumer goods and retail practice at Roland Berger, a German consulting firm.The established food giants also have a tougher time than newcomers convincing consumers that they are sincere about saving the planet, an important part of the oat milk sales pitch.Mr. Müller-Sarmiento, the former chief executive of Real, a German chain of big box stores, said meat and dairy alternatives are not having trouble competing with Big Food for precious retail shelf space. “Retailers are urgently looking for new products,” he said.Time was when Nestlé or Unilever would have simply acquired Oatly, just as they have gobbled up hundreds of other brands. But they would have trouble justifying the audacious $10 billion price that Oatly has set as the benchmark for its stock offering.Nestlé’s answer was to develop its own milk substitute, Wunda, which the company unveiled this month and plans to sell initially in France, Portugal and the Netherlands. Made from a variety of yellow peas, Wunda is higher in protein than oat milk. Some nutritionists have said that oat milk and other dairy alternatives are a poor substitute for cow’s milk because they don’t have nearly as much protein.Stefan Palzer, the chief technology officer at Nestlé, took issue with those who say a big company can’t move as fast as a bunch of Swedish foodies. A young team at Nestlé developed Wunda in nine months, including three months of market testing in Britain, Mr. Palzer said in an interview.Nestlé was able to adapt existing production facilities to make Wunda, rather than building new factories like Oatly must do. The company already had plant scientists who could identify the best kind of pea and food safety experts who could navigate the regulatory approval process, Mr. Palzer said.The Wunda developers “could have any expert they wanted to have on the project,” Mr. Palzer said. “That enabled them to move at this speed.”Nestlé already has dairy-free versions of Nesquik drinks and Häagen-Dazs ice cream and sells coffee creamers made from a blend of oat and almond milk using the Starbucks brand. The company is in a major push to develop substitutes for almost any kind of animal product. The next frontier: fish. Nestlé has begun selling a tuna substitute called Vuna and is working on scallops.“It’s a great opportunity to combine health with sustainability,” Mr. Palzer said of plant-based alternatives to milk and meat. “It’s also a great growth opportunity.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":108,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":102066798,"gmtCreate":1620169215614,"gmtModify":1704339508131,"author":{"id":"3570864790458781","authorId":"3570864790458781","name":"Yeong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93092185d223c6e53fcfd64303836612","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570864790458781","authorIdStr":"3570864790458781"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like n comment. Plz","listText":"Like n comment. Plz","text":"Like n comment. Plz","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/102066798","repostId":"1191168108","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1191168108","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1620139872,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1191168108?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-04 22:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"IPO Preview: Honest Company, Chinese Lifestyle Brand Onion Global, Hydroponic iPower Lead Group","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1191168108","media":"Benzinga","summary":"The week of May 3 has several IPOs on the docket spread across sectors like consumer products, fashi","content":"<p>The week of May 3 has several IPOs on the docket spread across sectors like consumer products, fashion, banking, vaccines and hydroponics. Here is a look at this week’s top offerings and details investors should know.</p>\n<p><b>Waterdrop:</b>Working with insurance companies,<b>Waterdrop</b>NYSEWDHseeksto have a positive social impact with its technology platform. Waterdrop has over 79.4 million cumulative customers and over 340 million donors to its crowdfunding platform, which is the largest medical crowdfunding platform in China.</p>\n<p>Waterdrop works with 62 insurance carriers and offers over 200 products to help customers and those seeking help with medical bills. The company had revenue of $464.1 million in fiscal 2020. The company plans on offering 30 million American depositary shares at a price point of $10 to $12.</p>\n<p><b>Five Star Bancorp:</b>With branches in California,<b>Five Star Bancorp</b>NASDAQFSBCisa regional bank company focused on the Sacramento market. The company ended 2020 with $1.8 billion in deposits and $1.5 billion in loans.</p>\n<p>From 2016 to 2020, the company saw compounded annual growth of 23.5% for assets, 23.8% for loans and 23.7% for deposits. First quarter preliminary numbers saw deposits grow 11.2% from the fourth quarter and loans grow 2.6% from the fourth quarter. The company plans on selling 5.265 million shares at a price point of $18 to $20.</p>\n<p><b>The Honest Company:</b>Clean lifestyle product company<b>The Honest Company</b>NASDAQHNSTcouldbe the most-watched IPO this week. The company was founded by actress Jessica Alba in 2012 in response to finding clean products and non-allergic reactions from products after giving birth.</p>\n<p>The Honest Company prides itself in being “a conscious living company for today and tomorrow.” The company has grown from being a diapers-and-wipes company to covering every age and every life stage of its customers.</p>\n<p>The Honest Company had revenue of $235.6 million in fiscal 2020, up 27.6% year-over-year. Diapers and wipes made up 63% of 2020 revenue, up 16.4% year-over-year. Skin and personal care product revenue represented 26% of sales in 2020 and were up 55% year-over-year. Household and wellness sales made up 11% of sales and had year-over-year growth of 116.5% in 2020. The Honest Company products can be purchased online from the company or sites like<b>Amazon.com</b>AMZN 1.77%and in physical stores like<b>Costco Wholesale Corporation</b>COST 0.54%and<b>Target Corporation</b>TGT 0.23%.</p>\n<p>Founder Alba will not sell any shares in the IPO and will own an estimated 6.1% of the company after the offering. The company isseekingto sell 25.8 million shares at a price point of $14 to $17.</p>\n<p><b>Bowman Consulting Group:</b>Professional services company<b>Bowman Consulting Group</b>NASDAQBWMNoffersengineering solutions to customers. Bowman Consulting has over 2,200 customers who count on the company for services like planning, engineering, construction management, commissioning, geomatics, survey, land procurement and environmental consulting. The company had revenue of $122 million in the last fiscal year, up from $113.7 million in the prior year. Bowman Consulting plans to offer 3.1 million shares at a price point of $12 to $14.</p>\n<p><b>Valneva:</b>Vaccine company<b>Valneva</b>NASDAQVLAplansto sell 7.1 million ordinary shares (3.55 million ADSs) at a price of $28.24. The company is focused on vaccine development in infectious diseases. Target areas include Lyme disease, the Chikungunya virus and COVID-19. The company’s lead program VLA15 is in Phase 2 trials to treat Lyme disease and is partnered with<b>Pfizer Corporation</b>PFE 0.49%. Other clinical trials include VLA1553 to treat Chikungunya virus and VLA2001 to treat COVID-19. The company’s VLA1553 is the only known Phase 3 trial vaccine to treat Chikungunya, which could put it in the spotlight with spread to over 100 countries. Several of the company’s products have received Fast Track designation by the FDA.</p>\n<p><b>Onion Global:</b>Lifestyle brand company<b>Onion Global</b>NYSEOGplanson selling 12.5 million ADS at a price point of $7.25 to $9.25. The company targets fresh, fashionable and future brands, which it refers to as the 3Fs across China and parts of Asia. The company has over 4,000 brands in 23 categories sold in 43 countries. Onion Global is a top ten global lifestyle company in China. The company uses an omnichannel approach with its self operated ecommerce platform O’Mall, live streaming sales, third party sellers and offline sales. The company has 2.1 million active buyers and 15.5 million registered users.</p>\n<p><b>iPower:</b>Online hydroponic equipment seller<b>iPower Inc</b>NASDAQIPWplansto offer 5&nbsp;million shares at a price point of $9 to $11. The company offers its own brands and partnered brands through its websitewww.zenhydro.com. iPower-owned brands represented 76% of company sales in the six month period ending December 31, 2020. The company had sales of $26.2 million in the six month period ending December 31, 2020. Preliminary first-quarter revenue is expected to be in a range of $11.75 million to $12.75 million compared to $9.4 million in the prior year.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>IPO Preview: Honest Company, Chinese Lifestyle Brand Onion Global, Hydroponic iPower Lead Group</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIPO Preview: Honest Company, Chinese Lifestyle Brand Onion Global, Hydroponic iPower Lead Group\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-05-04 22:51</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The week of May 3 has several IPOs on the docket spread across sectors like consumer products, fashion, banking, vaccines and hydroponics. Here is a look at this week’s top offerings and details investors should know.</p>\n<p><b>Waterdrop:</b>Working with insurance companies,<b>Waterdrop</b>NYSEWDHseeksto have a positive social impact with its technology platform. Waterdrop has over 79.4 million cumulative customers and over 340 million donors to its crowdfunding platform, which is the largest medical crowdfunding platform in China.</p>\n<p>Waterdrop works with 62 insurance carriers and offers over 200 products to help customers and those seeking help with medical bills. The company had revenue of $464.1 million in fiscal 2020. The company plans on offering 30 million American depositary shares at a price point of $10 to $12.</p>\n<p><b>Five Star Bancorp:</b>With branches in California,<b>Five Star Bancorp</b>NASDAQFSBCisa regional bank company focused on the Sacramento market. The company ended 2020 with $1.8 billion in deposits and $1.5 billion in loans.</p>\n<p>From 2016 to 2020, the company saw compounded annual growth of 23.5% for assets, 23.8% for loans and 23.7% for deposits. First quarter preliminary numbers saw deposits grow 11.2% from the fourth quarter and loans grow 2.6% from the fourth quarter. The company plans on selling 5.265 million shares at a price point of $18 to $20.</p>\n<p><b>The Honest Company:</b>Clean lifestyle product company<b>The Honest Company</b>NASDAQHNSTcouldbe the most-watched IPO this week. The company was founded by actress Jessica Alba in 2012 in response to finding clean products and non-allergic reactions from products after giving birth.</p>\n<p>The Honest Company prides itself in being “a conscious living company for today and tomorrow.” The company has grown from being a diapers-and-wipes company to covering every age and every life stage of its customers.</p>\n<p>The Honest Company had revenue of $235.6 million in fiscal 2020, up 27.6% year-over-year. Diapers and wipes made up 63% of 2020 revenue, up 16.4% year-over-year. Skin and personal care product revenue represented 26% of sales in 2020 and were up 55% year-over-year. Household and wellness sales made up 11% of sales and had year-over-year growth of 116.5% in 2020. The Honest Company products can be purchased online from the company or sites like<b>Amazon.com</b>AMZN 1.77%and in physical stores like<b>Costco Wholesale Corporation</b>COST 0.54%and<b>Target Corporation</b>TGT 0.23%.</p>\n<p>Founder Alba will not sell any shares in the IPO and will own an estimated 6.1% of the company after the offering. The company isseekingto sell 25.8 million shares at a price point of $14 to $17.</p>\n<p><b>Bowman Consulting Group:</b>Professional services company<b>Bowman Consulting Group</b>NASDAQBWMNoffersengineering solutions to customers. Bowman Consulting has over 2,200 customers who count on the company for services like planning, engineering, construction management, commissioning, geomatics, survey, land procurement and environmental consulting. The company had revenue of $122 million in the last fiscal year, up from $113.7 million in the prior year. Bowman Consulting plans to offer 3.1 million shares at a price point of $12 to $14.</p>\n<p><b>Valneva:</b>Vaccine company<b>Valneva</b>NASDAQVLAplansto sell 7.1 million ordinary shares (3.55 million ADSs) at a price of $28.24. The company is focused on vaccine development in infectious diseases. Target areas include Lyme disease, the Chikungunya virus and COVID-19. The company’s lead program VLA15 is in Phase 2 trials to treat Lyme disease and is partnered with<b>Pfizer Corporation</b>PFE 0.49%. Other clinical trials include VLA1553 to treat Chikungunya virus and VLA2001 to treat COVID-19. The company’s VLA1553 is the only known Phase 3 trial vaccine to treat Chikungunya, which could put it in the spotlight with spread to over 100 countries. Several of the company’s products have received Fast Track designation by the FDA.</p>\n<p><b>Onion Global:</b>Lifestyle brand company<b>Onion Global</b>NYSEOGplanson selling 12.5 million ADS at a price point of $7.25 to $9.25. The company targets fresh, fashionable and future brands, which it refers to as the 3Fs across China and parts of Asia. The company has over 4,000 brands in 23 categories sold in 43 countries. Onion Global is a top ten global lifestyle company in China. The company uses an omnichannel approach with its self operated ecommerce platform O’Mall, live streaming sales, third party sellers and offline sales. The company has 2.1 million active buyers and 15.5 million registered users.</p>\n<p><b>iPower:</b>Online hydroponic equipment seller<b>iPower Inc</b>NASDAQIPWplansto offer 5&nbsp;million shares at a price point of $9 to $11. The company offers its own brands and partnered brands through its websitewww.zenhydro.com. iPower-owned brands represented 76% of company sales in the six month period ending December 31, 2020. The company had sales of $26.2 million in the six month period ending December 31, 2020. Preliminary first-quarter revenue is expected to be in a range of $11.75 million to $12.75 million compared to $9.4 million in the prior year.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"IPW":"iPower Inc."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1191168108","content_text":"The week of May 3 has several IPOs on the docket spread across sectors like consumer products, fashion, banking, vaccines and hydroponics. Here is a look at this week’s top offerings and details investors should know.\nWaterdrop:Working with insurance companies,WaterdropNYSEWDHseeksto have a positive social impact with its technology platform. Waterdrop has over 79.4 million cumulative customers and over 340 million donors to its crowdfunding platform, which is the largest medical crowdfunding platform in China.\nWaterdrop works with 62 insurance carriers and offers over 200 products to help customers and those seeking help with medical bills. The company had revenue of $464.1 million in fiscal 2020. The company plans on offering 30 million American depositary shares at a price point of $10 to $12.\nFive Star Bancorp:With branches in California,Five Star BancorpNASDAQFSBCisa regional bank company focused on the Sacramento market. The company ended 2020 with $1.8 billion in deposits and $1.5 billion in loans.\nFrom 2016 to 2020, the company saw compounded annual growth of 23.5% for assets, 23.8% for loans and 23.7% for deposits. First quarter preliminary numbers saw deposits grow 11.2% from the fourth quarter and loans grow 2.6% from the fourth quarter. The company plans on selling 5.265 million shares at a price point of $18 to $20.\nThe Honest Company:Clean lifestyle product companyThe Honest CompanyNASDAQHNSTcouldbe the most-watched IPO this week. The company was founded by actress Jessica Alba in 2012 in response to finding clean products and non-allergic reactions from products after giving birth.\nThe Honest Company prides itself in being “a conscious living company for today and tomorrow.” The company has grown from being a diapers-and-wipes company to covering every age and every life stage of its customers.\nThe Honest Company had revenue of $235.6 million in fiscal 2020, up 27.6% year-over-year. Diapers and wipes made up 63% of 2020 revenue, up 16.4% year-over-year. Skin and personal care product revenue represented 26% of sales in 2020 and were up 55% year-over-year. Household and wellness sales made up 11% of sales and had year-over-year growth of 116.5% in 2020. The Honest Company products can be purchased online from the company or sites likeAmazon.comAMZN 1.77%and in physical stores likeCostco Wholesale CorporationCOST 0.54%andTarget CorporationTGT 0.23%.\nFounder Alba will not sell any shares in the IPO and will own an estimated 6.1% of the company after the offering. The company isseekingto sell 25.8 million shares at a price point of $14 to $17.\nBowman Consulting Group:Professional services companyBowman Consulting GroupNASDAQBWMNoffersengineering solutions to customers. Bowman Consulting has over 2,200 customers who count on the company for services like planning, engineering, construction management, commissioning, geomatics, survey, land procurement and environmental consulting. The company had revenue of $122 million in the last fiscal year, up from $113.7 million in the prior year. Bowman Consulting plans to offer 3.1 million shares at a price point of $12 to $14.\nValneva:Vaccine companyValnevaNASDAQVLAplansto sell 7.1 million ordinary shares (3.55 million ADSs) at a price of $28.24. The company is focused on vaccine development in infectious diseases. Target areas include Lyme disease, the Chikungunya virus and COVID-19. The company’s lead program VLA15 is in Phase 2 trials to treat Lyme disease and is partnered withPfizer CorporationPFE 0.49%. Other clinical trials include VLA1553 to treat Chikungunya virus and VLA2001 to treat COVID-19. The company’s VLA1553 is the only known Phase 3 trial vaccine to treat Chikungunya, which could put it in the spotlight with spread to over 100 countries. Several of the company’s products have received Fast Track designation by the FDA.\nOnion Global:Lifestyle brand companyOnion GlobalNYSEOGplanson selling 12.5 million ADS at a price point of $7.25 to $9.25. The company targets fresh, fashionable and future brands, which it refers to as the 3Fs across China and parts of Asia. The company has over 4,000 brands in 23 categories sold in 43 countries. Onion Global is a top ten global lifestyle company in China. The company uses an omnichannel approach with its self operated ecommerce platform O’Mall, live streaming sales, third party sellers and offline sales. The company has 2.1 million active buyers and 15.5 million registered users.\niPower:Online hydroponic equipment selleriPower IncNASDAQIPWplansto offer 5 million shares at a price point of $9 to $11. The company offers its own brands and partnered brands through its websitewww.zenhydro.com. iPower-owned brands represented 76% of company sales in the six month period ending December 31, 2020. The company had sales of $26.2 million in the six month period ending December 31, 2020. Preliminary first-quarter revenue is expected to be in a range of $11.75 million to $12.75 million compared to $9.4 million in the prior year.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":264,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":145693188,"gmtCreate":1626220129644,"gmtModify":1703755644483,"author":{"id":"3570864790458781","authorId":"3570864790458781","name":"Yeong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93092185d223c6e53fcfd64303836612","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570864790458781","authorIdStr":"3570864790458781"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/145693188","repostId":"2151560584","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2151560584","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1626207238,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2151560584?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-14 04:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P 500 and Nasdaq end down after hitting record highs","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2151560584","media":"Reuters","summary":"JPMorgan drops amid low interest rates\nU.S. consumer prices surge in June\nBoeing slips on new produc","content":"<ul>\n <li>JPMorgan drops amid low interest rates</li>\n <li>U.S. consumer prices surge in June</li>\n <li>Boeing slips on new production problems for 787 Dreamliners</li>\n <li>Indexes: Dow -0.31%, S&amp;P 500 -0.35%, Nasdaq -0.38%</li>\n</ul>\n<p>(Updates following end of session)</p>\n<p>July 13 (Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq ended lower on Tuesday after hitting record highs earlier in the session, with investors digesting a jump in consumer prices in June and earnings from JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs that kicked off the quarterly reporting season.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq reached fresh record highs but quickly fell into negative territory after an auction of 30-year Treasuries showed less demand than some investors expected and pushed yields higher.</p>\n<p>Data indicated U.S. consumer prices rose by the most in 13 years last month, while so-called core consumer prices surged 4.5% year over year, the largest rise since November 1991.</p>\n<p>Economists viewed the price surge, driven by travel-rated services and used automobiles, as mostly temporary, aligning with Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's long-standing views.</p>\n<p>\"Any time you get an uptick in interest rates the stock market is going to get nervous, especially on a day like today,\" said Joe Saluzzi, co-manager of trading at Themis Trading in Chatham, New Jersey.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 growth index dipped 0.05%, while the value index fell 0.70%.</p>\n<p>\"With growth outperforming value, the takeaway is clearly that inflation from a market perspective is not a real threat in the long term,\" said Keith Buchanan, a portfolio manager at GLOBALT Investments in Atlanta, Georgia.</p>\n<p>Ten of the 11 major S&amp;P 500 sector indexes ended lower, with real estate , consumer discretionary and financials each down more than 1%.</p>\n<p>JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co stock fell 1.5% after the company reported blockbuster quarterly profit growth but warned that the sunny outlook would not make for blockbuster revenues in the short term due to low interest rates.</p>\n<p>Goldman Sachs Group Inc dipped 1.2% after its quarterly earnings exceeded forecasts.</p>\n<p>Citigroup , Wells Fargo &amp; Co and Bank of America were due to report their quarterly results early on Wednesday.</p>\n<p>PepsiCo Inc gained 2.3% after raising its full-year earnings forecast, betting on accelerating demand as COVID-19 restrictions continue to ease.</p>\n<p>June-quarter earnings per share for S&amp;P 500 companies are expected to rise 66%, according to Refinitiv data, with investors questioning how long Wall Street's rally would last after a 16% rise in the benchmark index so far this year.</p>\n<p>All eyes now turn to Fed Chair Jerome Powell's congressional testimony on Wednesday and Thursday for his comments about rising price pressures and monetary support going forward.</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.31% to end at 34,888.79 points, while the S&amp;P 500 lost 0.35% to 4,369.21.</p>\n<p>The Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.38% to 14,677.65.</p>\n<p>Conagra Brands Inc dropped 5.4% after the packaged foods company warned that higher raw material and ingredient costs would take a bigger bite out of its profit this year than previously estimated.</p>\n<p>Boeing Co fell 4.2% after the Federal Aviation Administration said late on Monday some undelivered 787 Dreamliners have a new manufacturing quality issue.</p>\n<p>Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 2.85-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 3.06-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 39 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 61 new highs and 73 new lows.</p>\n<p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.5 billion shares, compared with the 10.5 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p>\n<p>(Additional reporting by Devik Jain and Shreyashi Sanyal in Bengaluru; Editing by Cynthia Osterman)</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P 500 and Nasdaq end down after hitting record highs</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500 and Nasdaq end down after hitting record highs\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-07-14 04:13</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<ul>\n <li>JPMorgan drops amid low interest rates</li>\n <li>U.S. consumer prices surge in June</li>\n <li>Boeing slips on new production problems for 787 Dreamliners</li>\n <li>Indexes: Dow -0.31%, S&amp;P 500 -0.35%, Nasdaq -0.38%</li>\n</ul>\n<p>(Updates following end of session)</p>\n<p>July 13 (Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq ended lower on Tuesday after hitting record highs earlier in the session, with investors digesting a jump in consumer prices in June and earnings from JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs that kicked off the quarterly reporting season.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq reached fresh record highs but quickly fell into negative territory after an auction of 30-year Treasuries showed less demand than some investors expected and pushed yields higher.</p>\n<p>Data indicated U.S. consumer prices rose by the most in 13 years last month, while so-called core consumer prices surged 4.5% year over year, the largest rise since November 1991.</p>\n<p>Economists viewed the price surge, driven by travel-rated services and used automobiles, as mostly temporary, aligning with Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's long-standing views.</p>\n<p>\"Any time you get an uptick in interest rates the stock market is going to get nervous, especially on a day like today,\" said Joe Saluzzi, co-manager of trading at Themis Trading in Chatham, New Jersey.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 growth index dipped 0.05%, while the value index fell 0.70%.</p>\n<p>\"With growth outperforming value, the takeaway is clearly that inflation from a market perspective is not a real threat in the long term,\" said Keith Buchanan, a portfolio manager at GLOBALT Investments in Atlanta, Georgia.</p>\n<p>Ten of the 11 major S&amp;P 500 sector indexes ended lower, with real estate , consumer discretionary and financials each down more than 1%.</p>\n<p>JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co stock fell 1.5% after the company reported blockbuster quarterly profit growth but warned that the sunny outlook would not make for blockbuster revenues in the short term due to low interest rates.</p>\n<p>Goldman Sachs Group Inc dipped 1.2% after its quarterly earnings exceeded forecasts.</p>\n<p>Citigroup , Wells Fargo &amp; Co and Bank of America were due to report their quarterly results early on Wednesday.</p>\n<p>PepsiCo Inc gained 2.3% after raising its full-year earnings forecast, betting on accelerating demand as COVID-19 restrictions continue to ease.</p>\n<p>June-quarter earnings per share for S&amp;P 500 companies are expected to rise 66%, according to Refinitiv data, with investors questioning how long Wall Street's rally would last after a 16% rise in the benchmark index so far this year.</p>\n<p>All eyes now turn to Fed Chair Jerome Powell's congressional testimony on Wednesday and Thursday for his comments about rising price pressures and monetary support going forward.</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.31% to end at 34,888.79 points, while the S&amp;P 500 lost 0.35% to 4,369.21.</p>\n<p>The Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.38% to 14,677.65.</p>\n<p>Conagra Brands Inc dropped 5.4% after the packaged foods company warned that higher raw material and ingredient costs would take a bigger bite out of its profit this year than previously estimated.</p>\n<p>Boeing Co fell 4.2% after the Federal Aviation Administration said late on Monday some undelivered 787 Dreamliners have a new manufacturing quality issue.</p>\n<p>Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 2.85-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 3.06-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 39 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 61 new highs and 73 new lows.</p>\n<p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.5 billion shares, compared with the 10.5 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p>\n<p>(Additional reporting by Devik Jain and Shreyashi Sanyal in Bengaluru; Editing by Cynthia Osterman)</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯","NDAQ":"纳斯达克OMX交易所","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","OEX":"标普100",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","QID":"纳指两倍做空ETF","SH":"标普500反向ETF","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","QLD":"纳指两倍做多ETF","SPY":"标普500ETF","PSQ":"纳指反向ETF"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2151560584","content_text":"JPMorgan drops amid low interest rates\nU.S. consumer prices surge in June\nBoeing slips on new production problems for 787 Dreamliners\nIndexes: Dow -0.31%, S&P 500 -0.35%, Nasdaq -0.38%\n\n(Updates following end of session)\nJuly 13 (Reuters) - The S&P 500 and Nasdaq ended lower on Tuesday after hitting record highs earlier in the session, with investors digesting a jump in consumer prices in June and earnings from JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs that kicked off the quarterly reporting season.\nThe S&P 500 and Nasdaq reached fresh record highs but quickly fell into negative territory after an auction of 30-year Treasuries showed less demand than some investors expected and pushed yields higher.\nData indicated U.S. consumer prices rose by the most in 13 years last month, while so-called core consumer prices surged 4.5% year over year, the largest rise since November 1991.\nEconomists viewed the price surge, driven by travel-rated services and used automobiles, as mostly temporary, aligning with Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's long-standing views.\n\"Any time you get an uptick in interest rates the stock market is going to get nervous, especially on a day like today,\" said Joe Saluzzi, co-manager of trading at Themis Trading in Chatham, New Jersey.\nThe S&P 500 growth index dipped 0.05%, while the value index fell 0.70%.\n\"With growth outperforming value, the takeaway is clearly that inflation from a market perspective is not a real threat in the long term,\" said Keith Buchanan, a portfolio manager at GLOBALT Investments in Atlanta, Georgia.\nTen of the 11 major S&P 500 sector indexes ended lower, with real estate , consumer discretionary and financials each down more than 1%.\nJPMorgan Chase & Co stock fell 1.5% after the company reported blockbuster quarterly profit growth but warned that the sunny outlook would not make for blockbuster revenues in the short term due to low interest rates.\nGoldman Sachs Group Inc dipped 1.2% after its quarterly earnings exceeded forecasts.\nCitigroup , Wells Fargo & Co and Bank of America were due to report their quarterly results early on Wednesday.\nPepsiCo Inc gained 2.3% after raising its full-year earnings forecast, betting on accelerating demand as COVID-19 restrictions continue to ease.\nJune-quarter earnings per share for S&P 500 companies are expected to rise 66%, according to Refinitiv data, with investors questioning how long Wall Street's rally would last after a 16% rise in the benchmark index so far this year.\nAll eyes now turn to Fed Chair Jerome Powell's congressional testimony on Wednesday and Thursday for his comments about rising price pressures and monetary support going forward.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.31% to end at 34,888.79 points, while the S&P 500 lost 0.35% to 4,369.21.\nThe Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.38% to 14,677.65.\nConagra Brands Inc dropped 5.4% after the packaged foods company warned that higher raw material and ingredient costs would take a bigger bite out of its profit this year than previously estimated.\nBoeing Co fell 4.2% after the Federal Aviation Administration said late on Monday some undelivered 787 Dreamliners have a new manufacturing quality issue.\nDeclining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 2.85-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 3.06-to-1 ratio favored decliners.\nThe S&P 500 posted 39 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 61 new highs and 73 new lows.\nVolume on U.S. exchanges was 9.5 billion shares, compared with the 10.5 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.\n(Additional reporting by Devik Jain and Shreyashi Sanyal in Bengaluru; Editing by Cynthia Osterman)","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":42,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":123307242,"gmtCreate":1624408225786,"gmtModify":1703835676907,"author":{"id":"3570864790458781","authorId":"3570864790458781","name":"Yeong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93092185d223c6e53fcfd64303836612","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570864790458781","authorIdStr":"3570864790458781"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like n comment&nbsp;","listText":"Pls like n comment&nbsp;","text":"Pls like n comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/123307242","repostId":"2145664330","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2145664330","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1624403123,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2145664330?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-23 07:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tech leads way to Wall Street rebound as Powell promises steady hand","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2145664330","media":"Reuters","summary":"WASHINGTON, June 22 (Reuters) - Wall Street rebounded Tuesday as Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Pow","content":"<p>WASHINGTON, June 22 (Reuters) - Wall Street rebounded Tuesday as Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell vowed not to raise rates too quickly as the dollar and oil gave up earlier gains.</p>\n<p>Led by the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite , Wall Street closed Tuesday higher, bouncing back from a sell-off set off last week by a Fed policy update that suggested officials believed rates would rise more quickly to counter rising inflation.</p>\n<p>The Nasdaq closed at another record high, as top-shelf tech companies resumed their growth trajectories.</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 68.61 points, or 0.2% and the S&amp;P 500 gained 21.65 points, or 0.51%. to 4,246.44 and the Nasdaq Composite added 111.79 points, or 0.79 percent, to 14,253.27.</p>\n<p>The MSCI world equity index , which tracks shares in 45 nations, rose 4.4 points or 0.62%.</p>\n<p>\"I really think there's a realization that this is a ripe environment: rates are still low and for stock investors, this hits a 'just right' tone,\" said Patrick Leary, chief market strategist at Incapital. \"The market is concerned about rising inflation numbers and was getting more unnerved as the Fed dismissed them until last week’s meeting.\"</p>\n<p>Testifying before Congress, Powell vowed that the Fed will not raise rates out of fear of potential rising inflation, and instead will prioritize a \"broad and inclusive\" recovery of the job market. He said recent price increases do not suggest higher rates are needed, and instead can be attributed to categories directly impacted by economic reopening.</p>\n<p>\"After the FOMC took the wind out of the reflation trade at the end of last week, that’s started to reverse over the last two days. It seems last week’s price action went too far,\" said Stephanie Roth, senior markets economist for J.P. Morgan Private Bank.</p>\n<p>Powell's remarks pushed yields on benchmark 10-year Treasuries lower, dipping to yield 1.4649% after clearing 1.5% earlier in the day.</p>\n<p>The dollar also dipped as Powell spoke, with the dollar index falling 0.20% to 91.733 . It is holding below a two-month high of 92.408 reached on Friday.</p>\n<p>Oil slid slightly after Brent rose above $75 a barrel for the first time in over two years, as OPEC+ discussed raising oil production.</p>\n<p>Brent crude futures settled down 9 cents to $74.81 a barrel after hitting a session high of $75.30 a barrel, the strongest since April 25, 2019.</p>\n<p>U.S. West Texas Intermediate <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WTI\">$(WTI)$</a> crude fell 60 cents, or 0.8%, to $73.06 a barrel.</p>\n<p>Bitcoin began making a comeback of sorts, climbing back above $30,000 after hitting lows not seen since January. The cryptocurrency last traded at $32,831, but has nearly halved in value over the last three months. Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies came in for heavy selling on Monday, hurt by a tightening crackdown on trading and mining in China.</p>\n<p>Spot gold prices fell $4.8691 or 0.27%, to $1,778.08 an ounce.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tech leads way to Wall Street rebound as Powell promises steady hand</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTech leads way to Wall Street rebound as Powell promises steady hand\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-06-23 07:05</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>WASHINGTON, June 22 (Reuters) - Wall Street rebounded Tuesday as Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell vowed not to raise rates too quickly as the dollar and oil gave up earlier gains.</p>\n<p>Led by the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite , Wall Street closed Tuesday higher, bouncing back from a sell-off set off last week by a Fed policy update that suggested officials believed rates would rise more quickly to counter rising inflation.</p>\n<p>The Nasdaq closed at another record high, as top-shelf tech companies resumed their growth trajectories.</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 68.61 points, or 0.2% and the S&amp;P 500 gained 21.65 points, or 0.51%. to 4,246.44 and the Nasdaq Composite added 111.79 points, or 0.79 percent, to 14,253.27.</p>\n<p>The MSCI world equity index , which tracks shares in 45 nations, rose 4.4 points or 0.62%.</p>\n<p>\"I really think there's a realization that this is a ripe environment: rates are still low and for stock investors, this hits a 'just right' tone,\" said Patrick Leary, chief market strategist at Incapital. \"The market is concerned about rising inflation numbers and was getting more unnerved as the Fed dismissed them until last week’s meeting.\"</p>\n<p>Testifying before Congress, Powell vowed that the Fed will not raise rates out of fear of potential rising inflation, and instead will prioritize a \"broad and inclusive\" recovery of the job market. He said recent price increases do not suggest higher rates are needed, and instead can be attributed to categories directly impacted by economic reopening.</p>\n<p>\"After the FOMC took the wind out of the reflation trade at the end of last week, that’s started to reverse over the last two days. It seems last week’s price action went too far,\" said Stephanie Roth, senior markets economist for J.P. Morgan Private Bank.</p>\n<p>Powell's remarks pushed yields on benchmark 10-year Treasuries lower, dipping to yield 1.4649% after clearing 1.5% earlier in the day.</p>\n<p>The dollar also dipped as Powell spoke, with the dollar index falling 0.20% to 91.733 . It is holding below a two-month high of 92.408 reached on Friday.</p>\n<p>Oil slid slightly after Brent rose above $75 a barrel for the first time in over two years, as OPEC+ discussed raising oil production.</p>\n<p>Brent crude futures settled down 9 cents to $74.81 a barrel after hitting a session high of $75.30 a barrel, the strongest since April 25, 2019.</p>\n<p>U.S. West Texas Intermediate <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WTI\">$(WTI)$</a> crude fell 60 cents, or 0.8%, to $73.06 a barrel.</p>\n<p>Bitcoin began making a comeback of sorts, climbing back above $30,000 after hitting lows not seen since January. The cryptocurrency last traded at $32,831, but has nearly halved in value over the last three months. Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies came in for heavy selling on Monday, hurt by a tightening crackdown on trading and mining in China.</p>\n<p>Spot gold prices fell $4.8691 or 0.27%, to $1,778.08 an ounce.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","POWL":"Powell Industries"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2145664330","content_text":"WASHINGTON, June 22 (Reuters) - Wall Street rebounded Tuesday as Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell vowed not to raise rates too quickly as the dollar and oil gave up earlier gains.\nLed by the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite , Wall Street closed Tuesday higher, bouncing back from a sell-off set off last week by a Fed policy update that suggested officials believed rates would rise more quickly to counter rising inflation.\nThe Nasdaq closed at another record high, as top-shelf tech companies resumed their growth trajectories.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 68.61 points, or 0.2% and the S&P 500 gained 21.65 points, or 0.51%. to 4,246.44 and the Nasdaq Composite added 111.79 points, or 0.79 percent, to 14,253.27.\nThe MSCI world equity index , which tracks shares in 45 nations, rose 4.4 points or 0.62%.\n\"I really think there's a realization that this is a ripe environment: rates are still low and for stock investors, this hits a 'just right' tone,\" said Patrick Leary, chief market strategist at Incapital. \"The market is concerned about rising inflation numbers and was getting more unnerved as the Fed dismissed them until last week’s meeting.\"\nTestifying before Congress, Powell vowed that the Fed will not raise rates out of fear of potential rising inflation, and instead will prioritize a \"broad and inclusive\" recovery of the job market. He said recent price increases do not suggest higher rates are needed, and instead can be attributed to categories directly impacted by economic reopening.\n\"After the FOMC took the wind out of the reflation trade at the end of last week, that’s started to reverse over the last two days. It seems last week’s price action went too far,\" said Stephanie Roth, senior markets economist for J.P. Morgan Private Bank.\nPowell's remarks pushed yields on benchmark 10-year Treasuries lower, dipping to yield 1.4649% after clearing 1.5% earlier in the day.\nThe dollar also dipped as Powell spoke, with the dollar index falling 0.20% to 91.733 . It is holding below a two-month high of 92.408 reached on Friday.\nOil slid slightly after Brent rose above $75 a barrel for the first time in over two years, as OPEC+ discussed raising oil production.\nBrent crude futures settled down 9 cents to $74.81 a barrel after hitting a session high of $75.30 a barrel, the strongest since April 25, 2019.\nU.S. West Texas Intermediate $(WTI)$ crude fell 60 cents, or 0.8%, to $73.06 a barrel.\nBitcoin began making a comeback of sorts, climbing back above $30,000 after hitting lows not seen since January. The cryptocurrency last traded at $32,831, but has nearly halved in value over the last three months. Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies came in for heavy selling on Monday, hurt by a tightening crackdown on trading and mining in China.\nSpot gold prices fell $4.8691 or 0.27%, to $1,778.08 an ounce.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":89,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3577501750554592","authorId":"3577501750554592","name":"Faithc","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e05208519e0467a3e2353dfaeb49b873","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3577501750554592","authorIdStr":"3577501750554592"},"content":"Done for u. Pls comment as well","text":"Done for u. Pls comment as well","html":"Done for u. Pls comment as well"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":193138271,"gmtCreate":1620774324393,"gmtModify":1704348037346,"author":{"id":"3570864790458781","authorId":"3570864790458781","name":"Yeong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93092185d223c6e53fcfd64303836612","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570864790458781","authorIdStr":"3570864790458781"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like n comment","listText":"Like n comment","text":"Like n comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/193138271","repostId":"1171091038","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1171091038","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1620745886,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1171091038?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-11 23:11","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Should We Fear, Inflation Is Here","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1171091038","media":"zerohedge","summary":"It’s becoming hard to ignore inflationary pressures, whether one is a central banker or not. Tech in","content":"<p>It’s becoming hard to ignore inflationary pressures, whether one is a central banker or not. Tech investors are taking notice with Monday’s Nasdaq 100 slump the largest since mid-March, while China’s producer prices&nbsp;accelerated&nbsp;overnight.&nbsp;VIX futures are higher with broad risk aversion setting up for European equities to catch up to the late downbeat U.S. session.</p>\n<p>At least investor jitters that rising inflation could lift bond yields, and sap equities’ appeal could take comfort from real yields. The 10-year U.S. inflation-adjusted benchmark tumbled to three-month lows, keeping nominal yields in check as breakevens&nbsp;jumped&nbsp;to multi-year highs.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e8047b97c104b947668ce19b34f7fd4a\" tg-width=\"1259\" tg-height=\"716\"></p>\n<p>Financial conditions reached another&nbsp;record, while evidence of stocks’ rotation remains: S&amp;P 500 energy and financials advanced over the past 5 sessions, value is outperforming growth –- particularly in&nbsp;Europe&nbsp;-- and the RTY/NDX is well, steady –- much like 10-year nominal yields around 1.60%.</p>\n<p>U.S. labor market frictions look to be adding to inflation fears, with JOLTs data, a leading indicator of hiring, likely to signal workers’ growing pricing power. And the NFIB small business optimism will be watched today for supply side constraints –- last month, job openings that were “hard to fill” reached at least a four-decade high. Of course, labor market dislocations remain and a handful of Fed speakers today will no doubt look to assuage inflation fears and discount near-term tapering risks. Not like Bill&nbsp;Dudley.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/98df6b5f32251d558127766afc21fad8\" tg-width=\"1257\" tg-height=\"710\"></p>\n<p>Whether the Fed falls too far behind the curve remains up for debate. Markets, on the other hand, aren’t as comfortable looking through transitory inflation as evidence builds and expectations climb -- that could become a self-fulfilling prophecy after all.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Should We Fear, Inflation Is Here</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nShould We Fear, Inflation Is Here\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-11 23:11 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/should-we-fear-inflation-here><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>It’s becoming hard to ignore inflationary pressures, whether one is a central banker or not. Tech investors are taking notice with Monday’s Nasdaq 100 slump the largest since mid-March, while China’s ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/should-we-fear-inflation-here\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/should-we-fear-inflation-here","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1171091038","content_text":"It’s becoming hard to ignore inflationary pressures, whether one is a central banker or not. Tech investors are taking notice with Monday’s Nasdaq 100 slump the largest since mid-March, while China’s producer prices accelerated overnight. VIX futures are higher with broad risk aversion setting up for European equities to catch up to the late downbeat U.S. session.\nAt least investor jitters that rising inflation could lift bond yields, and sap equities’ appeal could take comfort from real yields. The 10-year U.S. inflation-adjusted benchmark tumbled to three-month lows, keeping nominal yields in check as breakevens jumped to multi-year highs.\n\nFinancial conditions reached another record, while evidence of stocks’ rotation remains: S&P 500 energy and financials advanced over the past 5 sessions, value is outperforming growth –- particularly in Europe -- and the RTY/NDX is well, steady –- much like 10-year nominal yields around 1.60%.\nU.S. labor market frictions look to be adding to inflation fears, with JOLTs data, a leading indicator of hiring, likely to signal workers’ growing pricing power. And the NFIB small business optimism will be watched today for supply side constraints –- last month, job openings that were “hard to fill” reached at least a four-decade high. Of course, labor market dislocations remain and a handful of Fed speakers today will no doubt look to assuage inflation fears and discount near-term tapering risks. Not like Bill Dudley.\n\nWhether the Fed falls too far behind the curve remains up for debate. Markets, on the other hand, aren’t as comfortable looking through transitory inflation as evidence builds and expectations climb -- that could become a self-fulfilling prophecy after all.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":205,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9006879566,"gmtCreate":1641695854293,"gmtModify":1676533640748,"author":{"id":"3570864790458781","authorId":"3570864790458781","name":"Yeong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93092185d223c6e53fcfd64303836612","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570864790458781","authorIdStr":"3570864790458781"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Y","listText":"Y","text":"Y","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9006879566","repostId":"1119680947","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1119680947","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1641693213,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1119680947?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-01-09 09:53","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tech Has Fallen, An Analysis Of Salesforce","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1119680947","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummarySalesforce is the #1 CRM company by a wide mile.The company has strengthened its portfolio th","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Salesforce is the #1 CRM company by a wide mile.</li><li>The company has strengthened its portfolio through many tuck-in acquisitions that continue to pay off today.</li><li>Salesforce has $9 billion of cash on its balance sheet and is generating ample free cash flow.</li><li>As tech stocks fall, I evaluate if this is the time to buy Salesforce stock.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e6b8cbc5c70df9817dad2b344304553\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1042\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Justin Sullivan/Getty Images News</span></p><p>Salesforce (CRM) has apparently done everything right. The company has sustained elevated growth rates, is generating respectable cash flow, maintains a strong balance sheet, and has shown strong execution on its tuck-in acquisitions. The stock has not been spared by the ongoing tech selloff, and has been a disappointing performer over the past few years. CRM looks like a future mega-cap tech giant in the making, and I evaluate whether now is the time to pounce on the stock.</p><p><b>CRM Stock Price</b></p><p>Amidst the ongoing volatility in tech stocks, CRM finds itself trading below levels more than 1 year ago.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e8dff6e1277dae5df6fd56c08b940ff3\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Now trading below $230 per share, the poor price performance may have created a buying opportunity in what should be considered one of the higher quality names in tech.</p><p><b>What is Salesforce</b></p><p>CRM is a leader in customer relationship management (hence the stock ticker), as it has built out a full portfolio of products to help its customers better serve, well, their customers.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e36bc171bce9ef5207e22f39d7e1ec58\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"682\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Earnings Presentation</span></p><p>Customer relationship management serves a mission-critical role because it helps to ensure that you can keep your existing client relationships. Due to its continued investment in innovation and cloud-first strategy, CRM has steadily increased its market share lead over legacy incumbents.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d878d7ae563bc6fdb40626f6b0f02e0f\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"790\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Investor Presentation</span></p><p>CRM accelerated its innovation through a strong willingness to conduct M&amp;A when appropriate. While some investors are understandably cautious when it comes to roll-up strategies, CRM has shown an impressive ability to drive accelerating growth even many years after acquiring these assets.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac8379f74b62971ecf8aa9872ecc3c83\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"634\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Investor Presentation</span></p><p>On a side note, the above slide should provide material justification for why tech stocks have enjoyed premium multiples over the past many years, as they maintain excess value as takeout candidates which needs to be reflected in their stock prices. Over the years, CRM has constantly found ways to sustain its 20+% growth trajectory while also maintaining high levels of cash generation.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0878cb7aebe5aada6a20fedc42815855\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"606\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Earnings Presentation</span></p><p>Like many tech companies, CRM aggressively invests in growth, which manifests itself in increasing R&amp;D expenses and naturally holds back its operating margins. I view CRM’s aggressive acquisitive strategy as being indicative of what investors should expect in the tech sector moving forward, as larger companies like CRM have shown that tuck-in acquisitions can prove profitable even if they have to pay a premium sticker price.</p><p><b>Is CRM Stock A Buy, Sell, or Hold?</b></p><p>After the tech selloff, CRM is trading at less than 9x sales. Wall Street expects growth to slowly decelerate to the 15% range over the next 5 years.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7948c23ff8e30eae86a0bb6d277f2f71\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Seeking Alpha</span></p><p>CRM looks highly buyable here, but with almost all tech stocks having already fallen substantially, it is important to take into account whether CRM is the best buy among tech peers. We can see below that most tech stocks in my coverage universe are now flashing buy signals.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a11e2212ef86ff97449b130fba44b9dc\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"810\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Best of Breed Universe Watchlist</span></p><p>It is understandable why CRM has held up so well. The company has a diversified portfolio of tech assets, $9 billion of cash on its balance sheet, and a track record of strong execution. Throw in the fact that CRM is also generating a near 20% non-GAAP operating margin, and the stock checks off all of the criteria for retaining a premium multiple in spite of arguably average growth rates.</p><p>I expect CRM to earn long term net margins in the 40% range. Assuming a 1.5x price to earnings growth ratio (‘PEG’), I can see CRM trading at 7x sales in 2030, representing a stock price of $650, or annualized returns of 12.5%. The actual returns will vary based on actual growth rates, use of annual earnings, and the terminal earnings multiple. That 12.5% projected return should be enough to beat the market, and CRM has a lower risk profile to make the return look attractive. However, there are a slew of peers in the tech sector which are offering projected returns much higher than that, albeit at some higher risk. While I rate CRM a buy, I emphasize that there are more attractive buying opportunities elsewhere in the sector.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tech Has Fallen, An Analysis Of Salesforce</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTech Has Fallen, An Analysis Of Salesforce\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-01-09 09:53 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4478581-tech-has-fallen-an-analysis-of-salesforce><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummarySalesforce is the #1 CRM company by a wide mile.The company has strengthened its portfolio through many tuck-in acquisitions that continue to pay off today.Salesforce has $9 billion of cash on ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4478581-tech-has-fallen-an-analysis-of-salesforce\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CRM":"赛富时"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4478581-tech-has-fallen-an-analysis-of-salesforce","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1119680947","content_text":"SummarySalesforce is the #1 CRM company by a wide mile.The company has strengthened its portfolio through many tuck-in acquisitions that continue to pay off today.Salesforce has $9 billion of cash on its balance sheet and is generating ample free cash flow.As tech stocks fall, I evaluate if this is the time to buy Salesforce stock.Justin Sullivan/Getty Images NewsSalesforce (CRM) has apparently done everything right. The company has sustained elevated growth rates, is generating respectable cash flow, maintains a strong balance sheet, and has shown strong execution on its tuck-in acquisitions. The stock has not been spared by the ongoing tech selloff, and has been a disappointing performer over the past few years. CRM looks like a future mega-cap tech giant in the making, and I evaluate whether now is the time to pounce on the stock.CRM Stock PriceAmidst the ongoing volatility in tech stocks, CRM finds itself trading below levels more than 1 year ago.Now trading below $230 per share, the poor price performance may have created a buying opportunity in what should be considered one of the higher quality names in tech.What is SalesforceCRM is a leader in customer relationship management (hence the stock ticker), as it has built out a full portfolio of products to help its customers better serve, well, their customers.Earnings PresentationCustomer relationship management serves a mission-critical role because it helps to ensure that you can keep your existing client relationships. Due to its continued investment in innovation and cloud-first strategy, CRM has steadily increased its market share lead over legacy incumbents.Investor PresentationCRM accelerated its innovation through a strong willingness to conduct M&A when appropriate. While some investors are understandably cautious when it comes to roll-up strategies, CRM has shown an impressive ability to drive accelerating growth even many years after acquiring these assets.Investor PresentationOn a side note, the above slide should provide material justification for why tech stocks have enjoyed premium multiples over the past many years, as they maintain excess value as takeout candidates which needs to be reflected in their stock prices. Over the years, CRM has constantly found ways to sustain its 20+% growth trajectory while also maintaining high levels of cash generation.Earnings PresentationLike many tech companies, CRM aggressively invests in growth, which manifests itself in increasing R&D expenses and naturally holds back its operating margins. I view CRM’s aggressive acquisitive strategy as being indicative of what investors should expect in the tech sector moving forward, as larger companies like CRM have shown that tuck-in acquisitions can prove profitable even if they have to pay a premium sticker price.Is CRM Stock A Buy, Sell, or Hold?After the tech selloff, CRM is trading at less than 9x sales. Wall Street expects growth to slowly decelerate to the 15% range over the next 5 years.Seeking AlphaCRM looks highly buyable here, but with almost all tech stocks having already fallen substantially, it is important to take into account whether CRM is the best buy among tech peers. We can see below that most tech stocks in my coverage universe are now flashing buy signals.Best of Breed Universe WatchlistIt is understandable why CRM has held up so well. The company has a diversified portfolio of tech assets, $9 billion of cash on its balance sheet, and a track record of strong execution. Throw in the fact that CRM is also generating a near 20% non-GAAP operating margin, and the stock checks off all of the criteria for retaining a premium multiple in spite of arguably average growth rates.I expect CRM to earn long term net margins in the 40% range. Assuming a 1.5x price to earnings growth ratio (‘PEG’), I can see CRM trading at 7x sales in 2030, representing a stock price of $650, or annualized returns of 12.5%. The actual returns will vary based on actual growth rates, use of annual earnings, and the terminal earnings multiple. That 12.5% projected return should be enough to beat the market, and CRM has a lower risk profile to make the return look attractive. However, there are a slew of peers in the tech sector which are offering projected returns much higher than that, albeit at some higher risk. While I rate CRM a buy, I emphasize that there are more attractive buying opportunities elsewhere in the sector.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":186,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":889859728,"gmtCreate":1631142227964,"gmtModify":1676530476253,"author":{"id":"3570864790458781","authorId":"3570864790458781","name":"Yeong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93092185d223c6e53fcfd64303836612","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570864790458781","authorIdStr":"3570864790458781"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Y","listText":"Y","text":"Y","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/889859728","repostId":"1154837170","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1154837170","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1631090918,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1154837170?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-09-08 16:48","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Bitcoin Endured a Rocky Day. What's Behind the Selloff","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1154837170","media":"Barron's","summary":"It should have been a happy day for Bitcoin, but it’s turned into a rout.Bitcoin  was trading was around $47,000 on Tuesday afternoon, down 9% in the last 24 hours, after dipping down to $42,900 this morning. Bitcoin had been above $52,800 before the selloff.Other cryptos were also ailing, including Ethereum , down 12% to $3,460.The selloff may reflect profit-taking after prices started rising in late July. Bitcoin had gained more than 50% since late July when it traded around $34,000. Ethereum ","content":"<p>It should have been a happy day for Bitcoin, but it’s turned into a rout.</p>\n<p>Bitcoin (ticker: BTC) was trading was around $47,000 on Tuesday afternoon, down 9% in the last 24 hours, after dipping down to $42,900 this morning. Bitcoin had been above $52,800 before the selloff.</p>\n<p>Other cryptos were also ailing, including Ethereum (ETH), down 12% to $3,460.</p>\n<p>The selloff may reflect profit-taking after prices started rising in late July. Bitcoin had gained more than 50% since late July when it traded around $34,000. Ethereum has also been flying, following a technical upgrade in its underlying blockchain network.</p>\n<p>The down day may also reflect a “sell the news” dynamic after El Salvador became the first country to adopt Bitcoin as legal tender, alongside the dollar– the country’s other official currency.</p>\n<p>Merchants in El Salvador are now supposed to accept Bitcoin for goods and services. Citizens have been promised $30 worth of Bitcoin in their digital wallets by the government. McDonald’s has started accepting Bitcoin in El Salvador, according to Reuters. And the government of president Nayib Bukele has been buying Bitcoin, including at least $20 million worth, ahead of the official launch.</p>\n<p>But El Salvador’s crypto experiment isn’t sitting well with organizations like the International Monetary Fund and World Bank, which have warned El Salvador that its adoption as legal tender could imperil financial stability. Other countries are cracking down on crypto transactions, mining, and exchanges, indicating that El Salvador may be an outlier for now.</p>\n<p>Crypto watchers are also blaming technical factors for the market downturn. Assuming prices don’t suddenly surge, Bitcoin is now in for “outside-down” day, says Katie Stockton, founder and managing partner of Fairlead Strategies, a crypto-trading research firm. The means Bitcoin is trading in a wider range and headed for a lower close than yesterday (assuming a 5 p.m. cutoff, though it trades 24 hours).</p>\n<p>“The implications are for additional consolidation,” she says. So far, the selloff looks like a minor setback, she adds, since Bitcoin hasn’t breached its 50-day moving average around $44,000, which is its next support level.</p>\n<p>“A breach of $44,000 isn’t a breakdown,” she says. “It’s a test of the 50-day moving average. “There is strong support for Bitcoin and most crytpos pretty close to their current lows.”</p>\n<p>Other factors that may have contributed to the selloff include reports of outages and “unscheduled maintenance” at Bitfinix, a leading crypto exchange. Coinbase Global (ticker: COIN) also experienced a spike in outages around noon, according to Downdetector.</p>\n<p>Even if prices stabilize from here, it’s a reminder that Bitcoin and other cryptos remain vulnerable to rapid-fire declines. While you may be able to buy a Big Mac with a sliver of Bitcoin in San Salvador, you may be better off keeping it in your digital wallet–or not–depending on the time of day.</p>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bitcoin Endured a Rocky Day. What's Behind the Selloff</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBitcoin Endured a Rocky Day. What's Behind the Selloff\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-09-08 16:48 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/bitcoin-crypto-prices-drop-today-51631048243?mod=hp_LEAD_1><strong>Barron's</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>It should have been a happy day for Bitcoin, but it’s turned into a rout.\nBitcoin (ticker: BTC) was trading was around $47,000 on Tuesday afternoon, down 9% in the last 24 hours, after dipping down to...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/bitcoin-crypto-prices-drop-today-51631048243?mod=hp_LEAD_1\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc.","GBTC":"Grayscale Bitcoin Trust"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/bitcoin-crypto-prices-drop-today-51631048243?mod=hp_LEAD_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1154837170","content_text":"It should have been a happy day for Bitcoin, but it’s turned into a rout.\nBitcoin (ticker: BTC) was trading was around $47,000 on Tuesday afternoon, down 9% in the last 24 hours, after dipping down to $42,900 this morning. Bitcoin had been above $52,800 before the selloff.\nOther cryptos were also ailing, including Ethereum (ETH), down 12% to $3,460.\nThe selloff may reflect profit-taking after prices started rising in late July. Bitcoin had gained more than 50% since late July when it traded around $34,000. Ethereum has also been flying, following a technical upgrade in its underlying blockchain network.\nThe down day may also reflect a “sell the news” dynamic after El Salvador became the first country to adopt Bitcoin as legal tender, alongside the dollar– the country’s other official currency.\nMerchants in El Salvador are now supposed to accept Bitcoin for goods and services. Citizens have been promised $30 worth of Bitcoin in their digital wallets by the government. McDonald’s has started accepting Bitcoin in El Salvador, according to Reuters. And the government of president Nayib Bukele has been buying Bitcoin, including at least $20 million worth, ahead of the official launch.\nBut El Salvador’s crypto experiment isn’t sitting well with organizations like the International Monetary Fund and World Bank, which have warned El Salvador that its adoption as legal tender could imperil financial stability. Other countries are cracking down on crypto transactions, mining, and exchanges, indicating that El Salvador may be an outlier for now.\nCrypto watchers are also blaming technical factors for the market downturn. Assuming prices don’t suddenly surge, Bitcoin is now in for “outside-down” day, says Katie Stockton, founder and managing partner of Fairlead Strategies, a crypto-trading research firm. The means Bitcoin is trading in a wider range and headed for a lower close than yesterday (assuming a 5 p.m. cutoff, though it trades 24 hours).\n“The implications are for additional consolidation,” she says. So far, the selloff looks like a minor setback, she adds, since Bitcoin hasn’t breached its 50-day moving average around $44,000, which is its next support level.\n“A breach of $44,000 isn’t a breakdown,” she says. “It’s a test of the 50-day moving average. “There is strong support for Bitcoin and most crytpos pretty close to their current lows.”\nOther factors that may have contributed to the selloff include reports of outages and “unscheduled maintenance” at Bitfinix, a leading crypto exchange. Coinbase Global (ticker: COIN) also experienced a spike in outages around noon, according to Downdetector.\nEven if prices stabilize from here, it’s a reminder that Bitcoin and other cryptos remain vulnerable to rapid-fire declines. While you may be able to buy a Big Mac with a sliver of Bitcoin in San Salvador, you may be better off keeping it in your digital wallet–or not–depending on the time of day.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":108,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":838145927,"gmtCreate":1629382679269,"gmtModify":1676530023449,"author":{"id":"3570864790458781","authorId":"3570864790458781","name":"Yeong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93092185d223c6e53fcfd64303836612","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570864790458781","authorIdStr":"3570864790458781"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Y","listText":"Y","text":"Y","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/838145927","repostId":"1115729576","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":245,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":893493510,"gmtCreate":1628294053830,"gmtModify":1703504556442,"author":{"id":"3570864790458781","authorId":"3570864790458781","name":"Yeong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93092185d223c6e53fcfd64303836612","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570864790458781","authorIdStr":"3570864790458781"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Y","listText":"Y","text":"Y","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/893493510","repostId":"1155656235","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1155656235","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628227304,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1155656235?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-08-06 13:21","market":"us","language":"en","title":"20 cloud stocks expected to increase sales the most over the next two years","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1155656235","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Cloud ETFs are close to record highs, propelled by a rally in the sector\nAnalysts see stellar sales ","content":"<p>Cloud ETFs are close to record highs, propelled by a rally in the sector</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78101d8010e186fe4df59b2ef82b5de6\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"394\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Analysts see stellar sales growth ahead for companies that provide cloud services. (Getty Images/iStockphoto)</span></p>\n<p>U.S. investors remain bullish, despite rumblings out of China and the spike in delta variant infections.</p>\n<p>Cloud companies — those at the forefront of the shift in computing power to distributed models over the internet — are expected to grow at a rapid clip over the next several years, and four of the five largest exchange traded funds covering the space are close to hitting record highs.</p>\n<p>Below is a screen of stocks held by those ETFs, showing which are expected to increase their sales the most through 2023. In an industry with many players at relatively early stages, increases in sales, rather than in earnings, might be the best driver of stock prices.</p>\n<p>To begin the screen, we looked at the five largest cloud ETFs:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/36209ce827d95e822cad5128be8b146a\" tg-width=\"933\" tg-height=\"664\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: FactSet</span></p>\n<p>ETFs might be your best way to take a broad approach for a long-term play on the cloud revolution. If you are interested in any ETF, you should review the fund manager’s website.</p>\n<p>Here’s a comparison of total returns through Aug. 4, along with those for the SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF&nbsp;and the Invesco QQQ Trust&nbsp;(which tracks the Nasdaq-100 Index) for comparison:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/242f135b3c7cca3cbaae3ee574023c1f\" tg-width=\"942\" tg-height=\"577\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: FactSet</span></p>\n<p>The ETFs’ approaches differ. For example, the ARK Next Generation Internet ETF&nbsp;is the only one that is actively managed. The others track an index. It is also the only one that holds shares of Tesla Inc.,which makes up 10.65% of the portfolio, according to information posted by ARK Invest on Aug. 5. Tesla is an electric-vehicle manufacturer, but it can also be considered a cloud company because it distributes software updates over the internet continually, and offers other cloud-based services.</p>\n<p>Another holding unique to ARKW among the five cloud ETFs is Walt Disney Co.,which is certainly an important cloud player through its Disney+ streaming service, even if the company doesn’t say directly how much of its sales are derived from that rapidly growing segment.</p>\n<p>As part of its description of ARKW, FactSet says the following:</p>\n<p><i>“Broadly speaking, the ARKW’s managers appear focused on big buzzwords such as Internet of Things, cloud computing, digital currencies and wearable technology. While the fund’s focus may be appealing for investors with conviction in these new technologies, portfolio implementation is a more difficult task: Most of the companies developing these advancements are huge corporations for which nascent technologies are only a small fraction of total revenues. As such, it’s very difficult to get pure-play access to ARKW’s targeted technologies — so be sure to confirm that the fund’s holdings — not just its thesis — align with your view of the space.”</i></p>\n<p><b>Cloud-stock screen</b></p>\n<p>Together, the five cloud ETFs listed above hold 147 stocks. To project sales growth through 2023, we used calendar 2020 sales estimates as a baseline and then looked at consensus estimates among analysts polled by FactSet for the subsequent three years, if available. (The 2020 numbers are estimates, because many companies’ fiscal years don’t match the calendar.)</p>\n<p>To make sure we had a solid set of estimates, we confined the group to the 126 companies covered by at least five analysts polled by FactSet, for which consensus sales estimates for calendar 2020 through calendar 2023 are available.</p>\n<p>Here are the 20 companies projected to have the highest compound annual growth rates (CAGR) for sales through calendar 2023:</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/517a23591cde159fb889ab80abc4bcc6\" tg-width=\"934\" tg-height=\"765\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6af2cf5b5f9f0ce50f8f023ac7babc7f\" tg-width=\"935\" tg-height=\"717\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b88ebe72e09cb9ce3294269f0a4ae431\" tg-width=\"935\" tg-height=\"403\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: FactSet</span></p>\n<p>There are actually 21 stocks listed, including Zillow Group Inc.’s Class A&nbsp;and Class C&nbsp;shares.</p>\n<p>It is interesting to see that the list is dominated by stocks held by ARKW. The fund has a broad definition of cloud companies and is focused also on sales growth.</p>\n<p>Here are current forward price-to-sales ratios based on consensus estimates for the next 12 months, as well as ratios of current market cap to projected 2023 sales and summaries of analysts’ opinions about the stocks.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19b9c4bf1d8b1abcfa76b7d008a47ad7\" tg-width=\"938\" tg-height=\"805\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ff191189c5d7d2f31698843734ca3cc\" tg-width=\"933\" tg-height=\"773\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e9543489c4d52d3f1a69dfdcf170115\" tg-width=\"930\" tg-height=\"242\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: FactSet</span></p>\n<p>In comparison, the forward price-to-sales ratio for SPY is 2.8, with a price/2023 estimated sales ratio of 2.6. For QQQ, the current P/S is 4.7, declining to 4.3 for 2023.</p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>20 cloud stocks expected to increase sales the most over the next two years</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n20 cloud stocks expected to increase sales the most over the next two years\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-06 13:21 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/20-cloud-stocks-expected-to-increase-sales-the-most-over-the-next-two-years-11628186683?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Cloud ETFs are close to record highs, propelled by a rally in the sector\nAnalysts see stellar sales growth ahead for companies that provide cloud services. (Getty Images/iStockphoto)\nU.S. investors ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/20-cloud-stocks-expected-to-increase-sales-the-most-over-the-next-two-years-11628186683?mod=home-page\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SKLZ":"Skillz Inc","SNAP":"Snap Inc","OKTA":"Okta Inc.","COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc.","CRWD":"CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.","PINS":"Pinterest, Inc.","ADYEY":"Adyen N.V.","ROKU":"Roku Inc","TDOC":"Teladoc Health Inc.","Z":"Zillow","SHOP":"Shopify Inc","MELI":"MercadoLibre","SE":"Sea Ltd","KC":"金山云","ZG":"Zillow Class A","VCYT":"Veracyte Inc","LC":"LendingClub","PDD":"拼多多","SQ":"Block","TSLA":"特斯拉","DKNG":"DraftKings Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/20-cloud-stocks-expected-to-increase-sales-the-most-over-the-next-two-years-11628186683?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1155656235","content_text":"Cloud ETFs are close to record highs, propelled by a rally in the sector\nAnalysts see stellar sales growth ahead for companies that provide cloud services. (Getty Images/iStockphoto)\nU.S. investors remain bullish, despite rumblings out of China and the spike in delta variant infections.\nCloud companies — those at the forefront of the shift in computing power to distributed models over the internet — are expected to grow at a rapid clip over the next several years, and four of the five largest exchange traded funds covering the space are close to hitting record highs.\nBelow is a screen of stocks held by those ETFs, showing which are expected to increase their sales the most through 2023. In an industry with many players at relatively early stages, increases in sales, rather than in earnings, might be the best driver of stock prices.\nTo begin the screen, we looked at the five largest cloud ETFs:\nSource: FactSet\nETFs might be your best way to take a broad approach for a long-term play on the cloud revolution. If you are interested in any ETF, you should review the fund manager’s website.\nHere’s a comparison of total returns through Aug. 4, along with those for the SPDR S&P 500 ETF and the Invesco QQQ Trust (which tracks the Nasdaq-100 Index) for comparison:\nSource: FactSet\nThe ETFs’ approaches differ. For example, the ARK Next Generation Internet ETF is the only one that is actively managed. The others track an index. It is also the only one that holds shares of Tesla Inc.,which makes up 10.65% of the portfolio, according to information posted by ARK Invest on Aug. 5. Tesla is an electric-vehicle manufacturer, but it can also be considered a cloud company because it distributes software updates over the internet continually, and offers other cloud-based services.\nAnother holding unique to ARKW among the five cloud ETFs is Walt Disney Co.,which is certainly an important cloud player through its Disney+ streaming service, even if the company doesn’t say directly how much of its sales are derived from that rapidly growing segment.\nAs part of its description of ARKW, FactSet says the following:\n“Broadly speaking, the ARKW’s managers appear focused on big buzzwords such as Internet of Things, cloud computing, digital currencies and wearable technology. While the fund’s focus may be appealing for investors with conviction in these new technologies, portfolio implementation is a more difficult task: Most of the companies developing these advancements are huge corporations for which nascent technologies are only a small fraction of total revenues. As such, it’s very difficult to get pure-play access to ARKW’s targeted technologies — so be sure to confirm that the fund’s holdings — not just its thesis — align with your view of the space.”\nCloud-stock screen\nTogether, the five cloud ETFs listed above hold 147 stocks. To project sales growth through 2023, we used calendar 2020 sales estimates as a baseline and then looked at consensus estimates among analysts polled by FactSet for the subsequent three years, if available. (The 2020 numbers are estimates, because many companies’ fiscal years don’t match the calendar.)\nTo make sure we had a solid set of estimates, we confined the group to the 126 companies covered by at least five analysts polled by FactSet, for which consensus sales estimates for calendar 2020 through calendar 2023 are available.\nHere are the 20 companies projected to have the highest compound annual growth rates (CAGR) for sales through calendar 2023:\n\nSource: FactSet\nThere are actually 21 stocks listed, including Zillow Group Inc.’s Class A and Class C shares.\nIt is interesting to see that the list is dominated by stocks held by ARKW. The fund has a broad definition of cloud companies and is focused also on sales growth.\nHere are current forward price-to-sales ratios based on consensus estimates for the next 12 months, as well as ratios of current market cap to projected 2023 sales and summaries of analysts’ opinions about the stocks.\n\nSource: FactSet\nIn comparison, the forward price-to-sales ratio for SPY is 2.8, with a price/2023 estimated sales ratio of 2.6. For QQQ, the current P/S is 4.7, declining to 4.3 for 2023.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":106,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":125624659,"gmtCreate":1624672472771,"gmtModify":1703843270830,"author":{"id":"3570864790458781","authorId":"3570864790458781","name":"Yeong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93092185d223c6e53fcfd64303836612","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570864790458781","authorIdStr":"3570864790458781"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like n comment","listText":"Pls like n comment","text":"Pls like n comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/125624659","repostId":"1177764085","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1177764085","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624662146,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1177764085?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-26 07:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P 500 climbs to another record led by bank shares, notches its best week since February","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1177764085","media":"CNBC","summary":"U.S. stocks rose on Friday with the S&P 500 building on its rally to records, as investors bet that ","content":"<div>\n<p>U.S. stocks rose on Friday with the S&P 500 building on its rally to records, as investors bet that higher inflation will be temporary as the economy continues to recover from the pandemic.\nThe broad ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/24/stock-market-futures-open-to-close-.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"cnbc_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P 500 climbs to another record led by bank shares, notches its best week since February</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500 climbs to another record led by bank shares, notches its best week since February\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-26 07:02 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/24/stock-market-futures-open-to-close-.html><strong>CNBC</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>U.S. stocks rose on Friday with the S&P 500 building on its rally to records, as investors bet that higher inflation will be temporary as the economy continues to recover from the pandemic.\nThe broad ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/24/stock-market-futures-open-to-close-.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/24/stock-market-futures-open-to-close-.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/72bb72e1b84c09fca865c6dcb1bbcd16","article_id":"1177764085","content_text":"U.S. stocks rose on Friday with the S&P 500 building on its rally to records, as investors bet that higher inflation will be temporary as the economy continues to recover from the pandemic.\nThe broad equity benchmark climbed 0.3% to hit another closing record high of 4,280.70. Financials were the best-performing S&P 500 sector with a 1.3% gain. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 237.02 points, or 0.7%, to 34,433.84, sitting less than 2% from its record. The Nasdaq Composite erased earlier gains and closed 0.1% lower at 14,360.39 amid a rise in bond yields. The 10-year Treasury yield jumped 4 basis points to 1.52%.\nThe S&P 500 rallied 2.7% for the week, notching its biggest weekly gain since early February. The Dow gained 3.4% this week for its best week since mid-March, while the Nasdaq advanced 2.4%.\nFriday’s rally came after a key inflation indicator that the Federal Reserve uses to set policy rose 3.4% in May, the fastest increase since the early 1990s, the Commerce Department reported Friday. The reading matched the expectation from economists polled by Dow Jones. The core index rose 0.5% for the month, which actually was below the 0.6% estimate.\nThe core personal consumption expenditures price index increase reflects the rapid pace of economic expansion and resulting price pressures, and amplified how far the nation has come since the pandemic-induced shutdown of 2020.\n“This provided support to the Fed’s argument that inflation is transitory and will help allay fears that we are witnessing runaway inflation,” said Anu Gaggar, senior global Investment analyst at Commonwealth Financial Network. “This should continue to provide support to risk assets such as equities.”\nBank shares jumped after the Federal Reserve announced the banking industry could easily withstand a severe recession. The Fed, in releasing the results of its annual stress test, said the 23 institutions in the 2021 exam remained “well above” minimum required capital levels during a hypothetical economic downturn. The decision cleared the way for the banks to raise dividends and buy back more stock, which was suspended during the pandemic.\nWells Fargo climbed 2.6%, while Fifth Third and PNC all gained over 2%. JPMorgan and Bank of America both rose more than 1%.\nNike’s stock surged 15.5%, helping to boost sentiment for the Dow. The company reported earnings and revenue that blew past Wall Street estimates. Digital sales also jumped 41% since last year and 147% from two years ago.\nOn the flipside,FedEx dipped 3.6% despite beating on the top and bottom lines of its earnings. FedEx also gave a strong yearly outlook.\nFriday saw heightened trading volume as FTSE Russell was set to rebalance its U.S. stock indexes at the market close. Bank of America estimated that more than $170 billion worth of shares would be changed hands as a result of 625 changes in total to Russell indexes, including the Russell 1000 and Russell 2000.\nPresident Joe Biden announced Thursday that the White House struck an infrastructure deal with a bipartisan group of senators. The lawmakers have worked for weeks to craft a roughly $1 trillion package that could get through Congress with support from both parties. The framework will include $579 billion in new spending on transportation like roads, bridges and rail, electric vehicle infrastructure and electric transit, among other things.\nThe stock market came back from last week’s swoon induced by worries about a tighter Federal Reserve. Last week, the Dow fell 3.5% and the S&P 500 shed 1.9% as the Fed moved up its timeline for interest-rate increases.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":195,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":113921465,"gmtCreate":1622591571857,"gmtModify":1704186794263,"author":{"id":"3570864790458781","authorId":"3570864790458781","name":"Yeong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93092185d223c6e53fcfd64303836612","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570864790458781","authorIdStr":"3570864790458781"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like n comment&nbsp;","listText":"Pls like n comment&nbsp;","text":"Pls like n comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/113921465","repostId":"1106176005","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1106176005","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622588821,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1106176005?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-02 07:07","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P 500 dips, as healthcare weighs; Dow ends higher","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1106176005","media":"Reuters","summary":"The S&P 500dipped on Tuesday, with declines in healthcare and tech shares countered by energy and financial gains, as investors weighed the latest U.S. economic data for signs of a rebound and rising inflation.The S&P 500 financial sectorhit a record high, while expected growth in fuel demand boosted oil prices and helped lift the energy sector3.9%, its biggest $one$-day gain in nearly four months. The heavyweight tech sectorfell while the healthcare sectorwas dragged down by a weak profit forec","content":"<p>The S&amp;P 500(.SPX)dipped on Tuesday, with declines in healthcare and tech shares countered by energy and financial gains, as investors weighed the latest U.S. economic data for signs of a rebound and rising inflation.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 financial sector(.SPSY)hit a record high, while expected growth in fuel demand boosted oil prices and helped lift the energy sector(.SPNY)3.9%, its biggest <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a>-day gain in nearly four months. The heavyweight tech sector(.SPLRCT)fell while the healthcare sector(.SPXHC)was dragged down by a weak profit forecast from <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABT\">Abbott Laboratories</a>(ABT.N).</p><p>Data showed U.S.manufacturing activity pickedup in May as pent-up demand in a reopening economy boosted orders. But unfinished work piled up because of shortages of raw materials and labor.</p><p>\"People came back from a holiday weekend convinced that the economy is recovering nicely and that any inflation that we might be seeing in labor and other costs is temporary,\" Peter Tuz, president of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CCF\">Chase</a> Investment Counsel in Charlottesville, Virginia.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average(.DJI)rose 45.86 points, or 0.13%, to 34,575.31; the S&amp;P 500(.SPX)lost 2.07 points, or 0.05%, at 4,202.04; and the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a> Composite(.IXIC)dropped 12.26 points, or 0.09%, to 13,736.48.</p><p>Along with sharp gains for financials and energy, the small-cap Russell 2000(.RUT)rose 1.1% on Tuesday, underscoring strength for segments of the stock market expected to do particularly well in an expanding economy.</p><p>While the S&amp;P 500 remains less than 1% of its record high after four straight months of gains, investors are worried about whether rising inflation could hit equity prices.</p><p>\"We have supply chain issues, delays, price increases, pricing pressures in general, we have got employers saying they have got difficulty sourcing labor,\" said Kristina Hooper, chief global market strategist at <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IVZ\">Invesco</a> in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">New York</a>.</p><p>\"So this is a microcosm of what we are already hearing about and seeing in the overall economy and it's just a reminder that inflation remains a concern.\"</p><p>A Wall St. sign is seen near the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NYRT\">New York</a> Stock Exchange (NYSE) in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NGD\">New</a> York <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CHCO\">City</a>, U.S., May 4, 2021. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid/File Photo</p><p>Stock markets on Friday brushed off a surge inkey inflation readingsfor April following reassurances from Federal Reserve officials that the central bank’s ultra-loose monetary policy would remain in place.</p><p>Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank President Neel Kashkari and Fed Vice Chair for supervision Randal Quarles on Tuesday reiterated the view that higher prices would be transitory.</p><p>This week's focus will be on a raft of economic data, culminating with U.S. payrolls due on Friday.</p><p>Abbott Labs shares fell 9.3% after the company cut itsfull-year 2021 profit forecast, citing expectations for a sharp decline in revenue from its COVID-19 tests as more Americans get vaccinated. Shares of other test makers also fell.</p><p>Cloudera Inc(CLDR.N)shares jumped 23.9% after private equity firms KKR &amp; Co(KKR.N)and Clayton Dubilier &amp; Rice LLCagreed to take the data analytics firm private.</p><p>A group of“meme stocks” extended gainsfrom the previous week, with shares of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC Entertainment</a> Holdings Inc(AMC.N)up 22.7% after the movie theater chain said it sold $230 million of its stock.</p><p>Advancing issues outnumbered decliners on the NYSE by a 2.54-to-1 ratio; on <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a>, a 1.79-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 73 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 168 new highs and 25 new lows.</p><p>About 10.7 billion shares changed hands in U.S. exchanges, compared with the 10.5 billion daily average over the last 20 sessions.</p><p><b>Here are company's financial statements：</b></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1184181912\" target=\"_blank\"><b>Zoom reports blowout earnings but warns of a coming slowdown</b></a></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P 500 dips, as healthcare weighs; Dow ends higher</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500 dips, as healthcare weighs; Dow ends higher\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-02 07:07 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.reuters.com/business/sp-500-dips-healthcare-weighs-dow-ends-higher-2021-06-01/><strong>Reuters</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The S&P 500(.SPX)dipped on Tuesday, with declines in healthcare and tech shares countered by energy and financial gains, as investors weighed the latest U.S. economic data for signs of a rebound and ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/business/sp-500-dips-healthcare-weighs-dow-ends-higher-2021-06-01/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","SH":"标普500反向ETF","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","OEX":"标普100","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/business/sp-500-dips-healthcare-weighs-dow-ends-higher-2021-06-01/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1106176005","content_text":"The S&P 500(.SPX)dipped on Tuesday, with declines in healthcare and tech shares countered by energy and financial gains, as investors weighed the latest U.S. economic data for signs of a rebound and rising inflation.The S&P 500 financial sector(.SPSY)hit a record high, while expected growth in fuel demand boosted oil prices and helped lift the energy sector(.SPNY)3.9%, its biggest one-day gain in nearly four months. The heavyweight tech sector(.SPLRCT)fell while the healthcare sector(.SPXHC)was dragged down by a weak profit forecast from Abbott Laboratories(ABT.N).Data showed U.S.manufacturing activity pickedup in May as pent-up demand in a reopening economy boosted orders. But unfinished work piled up because of shortages of raw materials and labor.\"People came back from a holiday weekend convinced that the economy is recovering nicely and that any inflation that we might be seeing in labor and other costs is temporary,\" Peter Tuz, president of Chase Investment Counsel in Charlottesville, Virginia.The Dow Jones Industrial Average(.DJI)rose 45.86 points, or 0.13%, to 34,575.31; the S&P 500(.SPX)lost 2.07 points, or 0.05%, at 4,202.04; and the Nasdaq Composite(.IXIC)dropped 12.26 points, or 0.09%, to 13,736.48.Along with sharp gains for financials and energy, the small-cap Russell 2000(.RUT)rose 1.1% on Tuesday, underscoring strength for segments of the stock market expected to do particularly well in an expanding economy.While the S&P 500 remains less than 1% of its record high after four straight months of gains, investors are worried about whether rising inflation could hit equity prices.\"We have supply chain issues, delays, price increases, pricing pressures in general, we have got employers saying they have got difficulty sourcing labor,\" said Kristina Hooper, chief global market strategist at Invesco in New York.\"So this is a microcosm of what we are already hearing about and seeing in the overall economy and it's just a reminder that inflation remains a concern.\"A Wall St. sign is seen near the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., May 4, 2021. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid/File PhotoStock markets on Friday brushed off a surge inkey inflation readingsfor April following reassurances from Federal Reserve officials that the central bank’s ultra-loose monetary policy would remain in place.Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank President Neel Kashkari and Fed Vice Chair for supervision Randal Quarles on Tuesday reiterated the view that higher prices would be transitory.This week's focus will be on a raft of economic data, culminating with U.S. payrolls due on Friday.Abbott Labs shares fell 9.3% after the company cut itsfull-year 2021 profit forecast, citing expectations for a sharp decline in revenue from its COVID-19 tests as more Americans get vaccinated. Shares of other test makers also fell.Cloudera Inc(CLDR.N)shares jumped 23.9% after private equity firms KKR & Co(KKR.N)and Clayton Dubilier & Rice LLCagreed to take the data analytics firm private.A group of“meme stocks” extended gainsfrom the previous week, with shares of AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc(AMC.N)up 22.7% after the movie theater chain said it sold $230 million of its stock.Advancing issues outnumbered decliners on the NYSE by a 2.54-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.79-to-1 ratio favored advancers.The S&P 500 posted 73 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 168 new highs and 25 new lows.About 10.7 billion shares changed hands in U.S. exchanges, compared with the 10.5 billion daily average over the last 20 sessions.Here are company's financial statements：Zoom reports blowout earnings but warns of a coming slowdown","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":98,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3583556881329786","authorId":"3583556881329786","name":"JayNayHayDay","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/26183a01265133621dca5960756230da","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3583556881329786","authorIdStr":"3583556881329786"},"content":"Like and comment please, Will revert thanks","text":"Like and comment please, Will revert thanks","html":"Like and comment please, Will revert thanks"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":137631269,"gmtCreate":1622341780351,"gmtModify":1704183199611,"author":{"id":"3570864790458781","authorId":"3570864790458781","name":"Yeong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93092185d223c6e53fcfd64303836612","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570864790458781","authorIdStr":"3570864790458781"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please like n comment&nbsp;","listText":"Please like n comment&nbsp;","text":"Please like n comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/137631269","repostId":"1170854386","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":49,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":137633239,"gmtCreate":1622341710721,"gmtModify":1704183198314,"author":{"id":"3570864790458781","authorId":"3570864790458781","name":"Yeong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93092185d223c6e53fcfd64303836612","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570864790458781","authorIdStr":"3570864790458781"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like n comment&nbsp;","listText":"Pls like n comment&nbsp;","text":"Pls like n comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/137633239","repostId":"2138948877","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2138948877","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"The leading daily newsletter for the latest financial and business news. 33Yrs Helping Stock Investors with Investing Insights, Tools, News & More.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Investors","id":"1085713068","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/608dd68a89ed486e18f64efe3136266c"},"pubTimestamp":1622215813,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2138948877?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-28 23:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Pandemic May Have Changed Vacations – And Travel Stocks Like Airbnb, Marriott, Winnebago – Forever","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2138948877","media":"Investors","summary":"Vacation trends reveal shifts toward privacy, luxury and family, continuing a transformative period for leisure and travel stocks.","content":"<p>Your next vacation will likely be more private, luxurious or family oriented than your trips in the past, and business trips may never be the same. For leisure and travel stocks like <b>Airbnb</b> that got slammed by pandemic shutdowns, the lifting of Covid curbs means adjusting to a whole new world.</p><p>Some tastes people acquired last year as they looked for escapes from lockdown are proving durable, like traveling to national parks by RV. Others, such as boating, grew out of surges in wealth that the stock market rally provided. As the summer travel season heats up, Americans are making new choices in where they go, when they go, how they get there and who joins them.</p><p>\"The world is never going back to the way it was,\" said Airbnb CEO Brian Chesky on an earnings call in May. \"And that means that travel is never going back to the way it was either.\"</p><p>One major trend is travelers have become more flexible about when and where they go, especially as remote work allows people to blur when they are on and off the clock. Airbnb stock rose May 24, when the company updated booking features, including an option to search for listings without fixed dates or locations.</p><p>And consumers aren't the only ones changing their habits. While tourism-dependent destinations suffered last year, the less-packed streets also showed locals the benefits of quieter communities.</p><p>Residents and local officials in normally packed hot spots like Italy and Hawaii are considering limiting the number of tourists. Such a seismic change could make visiting these places prohibitively expensive for many people. If the mix of travelers tilts more heavily toward the wealthy, travel stocks will nudge further toward luxury.</p><h2>Leisure, Travel Industry Stocks</h2><p>Shares across the sector have rebounded from last year's pandemic lows. The stocks' recent chart action is mixed. But many travel stocks have outperformed the market the past week and could present buying opportunities for investors.</p><p>Airline stocks&nbsp;like <b>American Airlines</b>, <b>United Airlines</b> and <b>Delta Air Lines</b> surged earlier this year on the Reddit stock short squeeze. Then they sold off because business and overseas travel remained weak. Since then, they've consolidated and are approaching buy points.</p><p>Cruise stocks like <b>Carnival</b>, <b>Royal Caribbean</b> and <b>Norwegian Cruise Line</b> are showing similar patterns.</p><p>Meanwhile, shares of boat makers <b>MarineMax</b> and <b>Brunswick</b> as well as RV makers <b>Winnebago</b> and <b>Thor Industries</b> need to regroup after some failed breakouts. They are no longer in buy zones but could form new bases if earnings and sales growth remain strong.</p><p>Hotel leader <b>Marriott</b> has been less volatile and is forming a base, though earnings and sales have yet to fully recover.</p><p>Airbnb stock has had a more difficult year. It surged after going public in December but began to slump in March as competition from <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EXPE\">Expedia</a></b> rival Vrbo rental service reduced the availability of hosts. A mixed Q1 earnings report and the end of a post-IPO lockup period also weighed on Airbnb stock, which popped up 6% Thursday on higher volume but remained 35% off its 2021 high.</p><h2><b>When Luxury Means More Privacy</b></h2><p>Luxury travel, once the purview of only the ultrarich, may have won over those who might have had the means but not the need to travel lavishly. As travelers sought to avoid crowds during the pandemic, those with the means turned to options like private jets.</p><p>Arnie Weissman, editor-in-chief of Travel Weekly, says the pandemic opened luxury travel to a wider customer base. \"Some people developed a taste for it, and it's likely to continue.\"</p><p>Kim-Marie Evans, who writes the blog \"Luxury Travel Moms\" and plans travel for high-net-worth clients, told IBD she booked a trip for a family to Anguilla.</p><p>They stayed in a four-bedroom villa at the Four Seasons. And rather than flying commercially, they used a private jet service.</p><p>Private jet bookings are at or near their pre-pandemic highs, according to Elite Traveler, citing industry tracker FlightAware's data.</p><p>In May, private jet company Wheels Up said membership jumped 58% in Q1 to nearly 10,000. And VistaJet, another leading private jet company, said membership climbed 29% from a year ago.</p><p>Private jet leasing company NetJets, which is owned by <b>Berkshire Hathaway</b>, says its flight volume dropped to as low as 10% of 2019 numbers at the start of the pandemic.</p><p>Now the company, which also offers fractional ownership of its jets, says it's operating at 85% of its 2019 volume. NetJets said in a statement that commercial airlines have reduced their schedules. Consumers also are prioritizing their health and safety, choosing the seclusion of a private jet over a packed jetliner.</p><h2><b>Vacation Shift Favors These Travel Stocks</b></h2><p>Hotel chains implemented stringent Covid-19 protocols to convince visitors their properties were clean and safe. Still, many travelers opted to rent private homes through Airbnb, where they could avoid mingling with strangers in hotel lobbies, Weismann says.</p><p>Travel trends favor Airbnb stock long term, though it currently is slumping. On May 27, analysts at RBC Capital Markets rated shares at outperform, citing secular tailwinds that have yet to be fully appreciated by the market such as its dominant customer engagement.</p><p>The pandemic also shed light on the market potential of travel stocks like Marriott, which operates home-rental service Homes &amp; Villas by Marriott International, catering to ultra premium short- and long-term stays, CFRA Research analyst Tuna Amobi says.</p><p>The Homes &amp; Villas platform, which offers professionally managed private homes, had around 2,000 units at launch less than two years ago. Today, it lists nearly 25,000 properties.</p><p>\"They're where we don't have hotels, and many of them are in more remote locations, which really was quite attractive during Covid,\" said Marriott International President Stephanie Linnartz in a recent call with investors.</p><p>Airbnb also finds that customers are visiting smaller cities, towns and rural communities — not the same 20-30 cities that were most popular pre-pandemic. People are traveling outside the peak seasons and staying longer.</p><p>\"There is a mass shift from mass travel to meaningful travel,\" CEO Chesky said.</p><h2><b>Seaworthy Travel Stocks </b></h2><p>Luxury cruising should also come back with a bang. Nearly every cruise line's around-the-world luxury voyage is fully booked two years in advance.</p><p>One cruise line, Silversea, said its 139-day around-the-world cruise sold out in a single day. The Monaco-based cruise line is owned by Royal Caribbean. The cruise costs between $74,000 and $278,000 per guest, based on double occupancy. That compares with typical fares that start at $15,000-$20,000.</p><p>But others heading out to sea want to avoid crowded ships, which have seen outbreaks of coronavirus and other infections. The National Marine Manufacturers Association says new powerboat sales surged 34% in February compared to the same time period last year.</p><p>\"Inventory levels of new boats are the leanest they've ever been, and boats are being sold as soon as they hit the marketplace as manufacturers work to fulfill the backlog of orders,\" said Vicky Yu, senior director of business intelligence for NMMA. \"While new boat sales slowed in early 2021 following record sales last year, we are still seeing elevated levels as more Americans seek out boating as a way to spend quality time with loved ones.\"</p><p>The trend has pushed up leisure and travel stocks like boat retailers MarineMax and Brunswick&nbsp;as well as sport boat maker <b>Malibu Boats</b>.</p><p>\"It's really turning out to be a great alternative for people to stay close to home and with their family and friends and enjoy the boating lifestyle,\" MarineMax CFO Michael McLamb said in a conference call after reporting earnings April 22.</p><h2><b>Travel Stocks For Being Alone Together</b></h2><p>The desire to spend more time with friends and family is also spurring RV sales. They exploded in popularity during the pandemic, and sales data this year show demand remains high.</p><p>\"The rediscovery of America will continue this summer,\" Weissman said.</p><p>The pandemic accelerated long-term trends favoring the outdoors, Winnebago CEO Michael Happe said in a March earnings call. That includes power sports, boating and RVs.</p><p>Consumer priorities have changed, he added, toward a desire to invest in experiences vs. possessions.</p><p>\"We also believe the time (spent) recently with family and friends has reinforced that they'd like to do more of that in the future,\" Happe said. \"And families and individuals will be reevaluating how they spend their leisure time going forward.\"</p><p>Airbnb pointed to another sign of this trend among leisure and travel stocks. Instead of booking studio apartments in cities, more customers are booking entire homes with more bedrooms. As a result, the number of guests per reservation has increased.</p><h2><b>Work-Life Rebalance</b></h2><p>As people pay closer attention to their well-being post-Covid, another trend to watch is high-end wellness tourism with a focus on fitness, rejuvenation and health, Weissman says. That includes yoga and spa getaways as well as packages that offer cycling and hiking activities.</p><p>Meanwhile, the work-from-home shift allowed people to rethink other aspects of their lifestyle. In particular, they can try to balance work, leisure and travel differently.</p><p>Wedbush analyst James Hardiman says \"2020 was proof of concept that people can be productive, even more productive, while working remotely.\"</p><p>Airbnb says the share of bookings longer than 28 days jumped to 24% in Q1 from 14% in 2019. The company doesn't consider this travel.</p><p>\"People are not just traveling on Airbnb,\" Chesky said. \"They're now living on Airbnb.\"</p><h2>Future Of Business Travel?</h2><p>That also has implications for business travel, which is the most lucrative segment for travel stocks like airlines.</p><p>Experts say fewer workers may fly for <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a>-day intracompany meetings. However, more crucial business will still require people to fly for in-person meetings.</p><p>When it's time to show up in person, Airbnb expects workers will travel together more often. That trend also has ramifications for Airbnb stock and others. Employees who work in different cities might stay in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> house when they visit headquarters. They could share meals together at the kitchen table in the morning or evening.</p><p>That may be a welcome change for road warriors, who pop in an out of cities and squeeze in sightseeing along the way.</p><p>\"They don't miss business travel,\" Chesky said. \"They don't miss standing in line in front of a museum or a landmark … getting a photo with a selfie stick.\"</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Pandemic May Have Changed Vacations – And Travel Stocks Like Airbnb, Marriott, Winnebago – Forever</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Pandemic May Have Changed Vacations – And Travel Stocks Like Airbnb, Marriott, Winnebago – Forever\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/608dd68a89ed486e18f64efe3136266c);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Investors </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-05-28 23:30</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Your next vacation will likely be more private, luxurious or family oriented than your trips in the past, and business trips may never be the same. For leisure and travel stocks like <b>Airbnb</b> that got slammed by pandemic shutdowns, the lifting of Covid curbs means adjusting to a whole new world.</p><p>Some tastes people acquired last year as they looked for escapes from lockdown are proving durable, like traveling to national parks by RV. Others, such as boating, grew out of surges in wealth that the stock market rally provided. As the summer travel season heats up, Americans are making new choices in where they go, when they go, how they get there and who joins them.</p><p>\"The world is never going back to the way it was,\" said Airbnb CEO Brian Chesky on an earnings call in May. \"And that means that travel is never going back to the way it was either.\"</p><p>One major trend is travelers have become more flexible about when and where they go, especially as remote work allows people to blur when they are on and off the clock. Airbnb stock rose May 24, when the company updated booking features, including an option to search for listings without fixed dates or locations.</p><p>And consumers aren't the only ones changing their habits. While tourism-dependent destinations suffered last year, the less-packed streets also showed locals the benefits of quieter communities.</p><p>Residents and local officials in normally packed hot spots like Italy and Hawaii are considering limiting the number of tourists. Such a seismic change could make visiting these places prohibitively expensive for many people. If the mix of travelers tilts more heavily toward the wealthy, travel stocks will nudge further toward luxury.</p><h2>Leisure, Travel Industry Stocks</h2><p>Shares across the sector have rebounded from last year's pandemic lows. The stocks' recent chart action is mixed. But many travel stocks have outperformed the market the past week and could present buying opportunities for investors.</p><p>Airline stocks&nbsp;like <b>American Airlines</b>, <b>United Airlines</b> and <b>Delta Air Lines</b> surged earlier this year on the Reddit stock short squeeze. Then they sold off because business and overseas travel remained weak. Since then, they've consolidated and are approaching buy points.</p><p>Cruise stocks like <b>Carnival</b>, <b>Royal Caribbean</b> and <b>Norwegian Cruise Line</b> are showing similar patterns.</p><p>Meanwhile, shares of boat makers <b>MarineMax</b> and <b>Brunswick</b> as well as RV makers <b>Winnebago</b> and <b>Thor Industries</b> need to regroup after some failed breakouts. They are no longer in buy zones but could form new bases if earnings and sales growth remain strong.</p><p>Hotel leader <b>Marriott</b> has been less volatile and is forming a base, though earnings and sales have yet to fully recover.</p><p>Airbnb stock has had a more difficult year. It surged after going public in December but began to slump in March as competition from <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EXPE\">Expedia</a></b> rival Vrbo rental service reduced the availability of hosts. A mixed Q1 earnings report and the end of a post-IPO lockup period also weighed on Airbnb stock, which popped up 6% Thursday on higher volume but remained 35% off its 2021 high.</p><h2><b>When Luxury Means More Privacy</b></h2><p>Luxury travel, once the purview of only the ultrarich, may have won over those who might have had the means but not the need to travel lavishly. As travelers sought to avoid crowds during the pandemic, those with the means turned to options like private jets.</p><p>Arnie Weissman, editor-in-chief of Travel Weekly, says the pandemic opened luxury travel to a wider customer base. \"Some people developed a taste for it, and it's likely to continue.\"</p><p>Kim-Marie Evans, who writes the blog \"Luxury Travel Moms\" and plans travel for high-net-worth clients, told IBD she booked a trip for a family to Anguilla.</p><p>They stayed in a four-bedroom villa at the Four Seasons. And rather than flying commercially, they used a private jet service.</p><p>Private jet bookings are at or near their pre-pandemic highs, according to Elite Traveler, citing industry tracker FlightAware's data.</p><p>In May, private jet company Wheels Up said membership jumped 58% in Q1 to nearly 10,000. And VistaJet, another leading private jet company, said membership climbed 29% from a year ago.</p><p>Private jet leasing company NetJets, which is owned by <b>Berkshire Hathaway</b>, says its flight volume dropped to as low as 10% of 2019 numbers at the start of the pandemic.</p><p>Now the company, which also offers fractional ownership of its jets, says it's operating at 85% of its 2019 volume. NetJets said in a statement that commercial airlines have reduced their schedules. Consumers also are prioritizing their health and safety, choosing the seclusion of a private jet over a packed jetliner.</p><h2><b>Vacation Shift Favors These Travel Stocks</b></h2><p>Hotel chains implemented stringent Covid-19 protocols to convince visitors their properties were clean and safe. Still, many travelers opted to rent private homes through Airbnb, where they could avoid mingling with strangers in hotel lobbies, Weismann says.</p><p>Travel trends favor Airbnb stock long term, though it currently is slumping. On May 27, analysts at RBC Capital Markets rated shares at outperform, citing secular tailwinds that have yet to be fully appreciated by the market such as its dominant customer engagement.</p><p>The pandemic also shed light on the market potential of travel stocks like Marriott, which operates home-rental service Homes &amp; Villas by Marriott International, catering to ultra premium short- and long-term stays, CFRA Research analyst Tuna Amobi says.</p><p>The Homes &amp; Villas platform, which offers professionally managed private homes, had around 2,000 units at launch less than two years ago. Today, it lists nearly 25,000 properties.</p><p>\"They're where we don't have hotels, and many of them are in more remote locations, which really was quite attractive during Covid,\" said Marriott International President Stephanie Linnartz in a recent call with investors.</p><p>Airbnb also finds that customers are visiting smaller cities, towns and rural communities — not the same 20-30 cities that were most popular pre-pandemic. People are traveling outside the peak seasons and staying longer.</p><p>\"There is a mass shift from mass travel to meaningful travel,\" CEO Chesky said.</p><h2><b>Seaworthy Travel Stocks </b></h2><p>Luxury cruising should also come back with a bang. Nearly every cruise line's around-the-world luxury voyage is fully booked two years in advance.</p><p>One cruise line, Silversea, said its 139-day around-the-world cruise sold out in a single day. The Monaco-based cruise line is owned by Royal Caribbean. The cruise costs between $74,000 and $278,000 per guest, based on double occupancy. That compares with typical fares that start at $15,000-$20,000.</p><p>But others heading out to sea want to avoid crowded ships, which have seen outbreaks of coronavirus and other infections. The National Marine Manufacturers Association says new powerboat sales surged 34% in February compared to the same time period last year.</p><p>\"Inventory levels of new boats are the leanest they've ever been, and boats are being sold as soon as they hit the marketplace as manufacturers work to fulfill the backlog of orders,\" said Vicky Yu, senior director of business intelligence for NMMA. \"While new boat sales slowed in early 2021 following record sales last year, we are still seeing elevated levels as more Americans seek out boating as a way to spend quality time with loved ones.\"</p><p>The trend has pushed up leisure and travel stocks like boat retailers MarineMax and Brunswick&nbsp;as well as sport boat maker <b>Malibu Boats</b>.</p><p>\"It's really turning out to be a great alternative for people to stay close to home and with their family and friends and enjoy the boating lifestyle,\" MarineMax CFO Michael McLamb said in a conference call after reporting earnings April 22.</p><h2><b>Travel Stocks For Being Alone Together</b></h2><p>The desire to spend more time with friends and family is also spurring RV sales. They exploded in popularity during the pandemic, and sales data this year show demand remains high.</p><p>\"The rediscovery of America will continue this summer,\" Weissman said.</p><p>The pandemic accelerated long-term trends favoring the outdoors, Winnebago CEO Michael Happe said in a March earnings call. That includes power sports, boating and RVs.</p><p>Consumer priorities have changed, he added, toward a desire to invest in experiences vs. possessions.</p><p>\"We also believe the time (spent) recently with family and friends has reinforced that they'd like to do more of that in the future,\" Happe said. \"And families and individuals will be reevaluating how they spend their leisure time going forward.\"</p><p>Airbnb pointed to another sign of this trend among leisure and travel stocks. Instead of booking studio apartments in cities, more customers are booking entire homes with more bedrooms. As a result, the number of guests per reservation has increased.</p><h2><b>Work-Life Rebalance</b></h2><p>As people pay closer attention to their well-being post-Covid, another trend to watch is high-end wellness tourism with a focus on fitness, rejuvenation and health, Weissman says. That includes yoga and spa getaways as well as packages that offer cycling and hiking activities.</p><p>Meanwhile, the work-from-home shift allowed people to rethink other aspects of their lifestyle. In particular, they can try to balance work, leisure and travel differently.</p><p>Wedbush analyst James Hardiman says \"2020 was proof of concept that people can be productive, even more productive, while working remotely.\"</p><p>Airbnb says the share of bookings longer than 28 days jumped to 24% in Q1 from 14% in 2019. The company doesn't consider this travel.</p><p>\"People are not just traveling on Airbnb,\" Chesky said. \"They're now living on Airbnb.\"</p><h2>Future Of Business Travel?</h2><p>That also has implications for business travel, which is the most lucrative segment for travel stocks like airlines.</p><p>Experts say fewer workers may fly for <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a>-day intracompany meetings. However, more crucial business will still require people to fly for in-person meetings.</p><p>When it's time to show up in person, Airbnb expects workers will travel together more often. That trend also has ramifications for Airbnb stock and others. Employees who work in different cities might stay in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> house when they visit headquarters. They could share meals together at the kitchen table in the morning or evening.</p><p>That may be a welcome change for road warriors, who pop in an out of cities and squeeze in sightseeing along the way.</p><p>\"They don't miss business travel,\" Chesky said. \"They don't miss standing in line in front of a museum or a landmark … getting a photo with a selfie stick.\"</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"WGO":"温尼巴格实业"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2138948877","content_text":"Your next vacation will likely be more private, luxurious or family oriented than your trips in the past, and business trips may never be the same. For leisure and travel stocks like Airbnb that got slammed by pandemic shutdowns, the lifting of Covid curbs means adjusting to a whole new world.Some tastes people acquired last year as they looked for escapes from lockdown are proving durable, like traveling to national parks by RV. Others, such as boating, grew out of surges in wealth that the stock market rally provided. As the summer travel season heats up, Americans are making new choices in where they go, when they go, how they get there and who joins them.\"The world is never going back to the way it was,\" said Airbnb CEO Brian Chesky on an earnings call in May. \"And that means that travel is never going back to the way it was either.\"One major trend is travelers have become more flexible about when and where they go, especially as remote work allows people to blur when they are on and off the clock. Airbnb stock rose May 24, when the company updated booking features, including an option to search for listings without fixed dates or locations.And consumers aren't the only ones changing their habits. While tourism-dependent destinations suffered last year, the less-packed streets also showed locals the benefits of quieter communities.Residents and local officials in normally packed hot spots like Italy and Hawaii are considering limiting the number of tourists. Such a seismic change could make visiting these places prohibitively expensive for many people. If the mix of travelers tilts more heavily toward the wealthy, travel stocks will nudge further toward luxury.Leisure, Travel Industry StocksShares across the sector have rebounded from last year's pandemic lows. The stocks' recent chart action is mixed. But many travel stocks have outperformed the market the past week and could present buying opportunities for investors.Airline stocks like American Airlines, United Airlines and Delta Air Lines surged earlier this year on the Reddit stock short squeeze. Then they sold off because business and overseas travel remained weak. Since then, they've consolidated and are approaching buy points.Cruise stocks like Carnival, Royal Caribbean and Norwegian Cruise Line are showing similar patterns.Meanwhile, shares of boat makers MarineMax and Brunswick as well as RV makers Winnebago and Thor Industries need to regroup after some failed breakouts. They are no longer in buy zones but could form new bases if earnings and sales growth remain strong.Hotel leader Marriott has been less volatile and is forming a base, though earnings and sales have yet to fully recover.Airbnb stock has had a more difficult year. It surged after going public in December but began to slump in March as competition from Expedia rival Vrbo rental service reduced the availability of hosts. A mixed Q1 earnings report and the end of a post-IPO lockup period also weighed on Airbnb stock, which popped up 6% Thursday on higher volume but remained 35% off its 2021 high.When Luxury Means More PrivacyLuxury travel, once the purview of only the ultrarich, may have won over those who might have had the means but not the need to travel lavishly. As travelers sought to avoid crowds during the pandemic, those with the means turned to options like private jets.Arnie Weissman, editor-in-chief of Travel Weekly, says the pandemic opened luxury travel to a wider customer base. \"Some people developed a taste for it, and it's likely to continue.\"Kim-Marie Evans, who writes the blog \"Luxury Travel Moms\" and plans travel for high-net-worth clients, told IBD she booked a trip for a family to Anguilla.They stayed in a four-bedroom villa at the Four Seasons. And rather than flying commercially, they used a private jet service.Private jet bookings are at or near their pre-pandemic highs, according to Elite Traveler, citing industry tracker FlightAware's data.In May, private jet company Wheels Up said membership jumped 58% in Q1 to nearly 10,000. And VistaJet, another leading private jet company, said membership climbed 29% from a year ago.Private jet leasing company NetJets, which is owned by Berkshire Hathaway, says its flight volume dropped to as low as 10% of 2019 numbers at the start of the pandemic.Now the company, which also offers fractional ownership of its jets, says it's operating at 85% of its 2019 volume. NetJets said in a statement that commercial airlines have reduced their schedules. Consumers also are prioritizing their health and safety, choosing the seclusion of a private jet over a packed jetliner.Vacation Shift Favors These Travel StocksHotel chains implemented stringent Covid-19 protocols to convince visitors their properties were clean and safe. Still, many travelers opted to rent private homes through Airbnb, where they could avoid mingling with strangers in hotel lobbies, Weismann says.Travel trends favor Airbnb stock long term, though it currently is slumping. On May 27, analysts at RBC Capital Markets rated shares at outperform, citing secular tailwinds that have yet to be fully appreciated by the market such as its dominant customer engagement.The pandemic also shed light on the market potential of travel stocks like Marriott, which operates home-rental service Homes & Villas by Marriott International, catering to ultra premium short- and long-term stays, CFRA Research analyst Tuna Amobi says.The Homes & Villas platform, which offers professionally managed private homes, had around 2,000 units at launch less than two years ago. Today, it lists nearly 25,000 properties.\"They're where we don't have hotels, and many of them are in more remote locations, which really was quite attractive during Covid,\" said Marriott International President Stephanie Linnartz in a recent call with investors.Airbnb also finds that customers are visiting smaller cities, towns and rural communities — not the same 20-30 cities that were most popular pre-pandemic. People are traveling outside the peak seasons and staying longer.\"There is a mass shift from mass travel to meaningful travel,\" CEO Chesky said.Seaworthy Travel Stocks Luxury cruising should also come back with a bang. Nearly every cruise line's around-the-world luxury voyage is fully booked two years in advance.One cruise line, Silversea, said its 139-day around-the-world cruise sold out in a single day. The Monaco-based cruise line is owned by Royal Caribbean. The cruise costs between $74,000 and $278,000 per guest, based on double occupancy. That compares with typical fares that start at $15,000-$20,000.But others heading out to sea want to avoid crowded ships, which have seen outbreaks of coronavirus and other infections. The National Marine Manufacturers Association says new powerboat sales surged 34% in February compared to the same time period last year.\"Inventory levels of new boats are the leanest they've ever been, and boats are being sold as soon as they hit the marketplace as manufacturers work to fulfill the backlog of orders,\" said Vicky Yu, senior director of business intelligence for NMMA. \"While new boat sales slowed in early 2021 following record sales last year, we are still seeing elevated levels as more Americans seek out boating as a way to spend quality time with loved ones.\"The trend has pushed up leisure and travel stocks like boat retailers MarineMax and Brunswick as well as sport boat maker Malibu Boats.\"It's really turning out to be a great alternative for people to stay close to home and with their family and friends and enjoy the boating lifestyle,\" MarineMax CFO Michael McLamb said in a conference call after reporting earnings April 22.Travel Stocks For Being Alone TogetherThe desire to spend more time with friends and family is also spurring RV sales. They exploded in popularity during the pandemic, and sales data this year show demand remains high.\"The rediscovery of America will continue this summer,\" Weissman said.The pandemic accelerated long-term trends favoring the outdoors, Winnebago CEO Michael Happe said in a March earnings call. That includes power sports, boating and RVs.Consumer priorities have changed, he added, toward a desire to invest in experiences vs. possessions.\"We also believe the time (spent) recently with family and friends has reinforced that they'd like to do more of that in the future,\" Happe said. \"And families and individuals will be reevaluating how they spend their leisure time going forward.\"Airbnb pointed to another sign of this trend among leisure and travel stocks. Instead of booking studio apartments in cities, more customers are booking entire homes with more bedrooms. As a result, the number of guests per reservation has increased.Work-Life RebalanceAs people pay closer attention to their well-being post-Covid, another trend to watch is high-end wellness tourism with a focus on fitness, rejuvenation and health, Weissman says. That includes yoga and spa getaways as well as packages that offer cycling and hiking activities.Meanwhile, the work-from-home shift allowed people to rethink other aspects of their lifestyle. In particular, they can try to balance work, leisure and travel differently.Wedbush analyst James Hardiman says \"2020 was proof of concept that people can be productive, even more productive, while working remotely.\"Airbnb says the share of bookings longer than 28 days jumped to 24% in Q1 from 14% in 2019. The company doesn't consider this travel.\"People are not just traveling on Airbnb,\" Chesky said. \"They're now living on Airbnb.\"Future Of Business Travel?That also has implications for business travel, which is the most lucrative segment for travel stocks like airlines.Experts say fewer workers may fly for one-day intracompany meetings. However, more crucial business will still require people to fly for in-person meetings.When it's time to show up in person, Airbnb expects workers will travel together more often. That trend also has ramifications for Airbnb stock and others. Employees who work in different cities might stay in one house when they visit headquarters. They could share meals together at the kitchen table in the morning or evening.That may be a welcome change for road warriors, who pop in an out of cities and squeeze in sightseeing along the way.\"They don't miss business travel,\" Chesky said. \"They don't miss standing in line in front of a museum or a landmark … getting a photo with a selfie stick.\"","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":7,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}