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2022-09-16

Agreed

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2022-09-02

Like it

US STOCKS-S&P 500 Snaps Four-Session Losing Streak with Payrolls on Deck

2022-07-29

Nice

Options Are a Great Way to Lose Money, Unless You're the One Selling Them

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it","listText":"Like it","text":"Like it","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9939680688","repostId":"2264245550","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2264245550","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1662073632,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2264245550?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-02 07:07","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US STOCKS-S&P 500 Snaps Four-Session Losing Streak with Payrolls on Deck","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2264245550","media":"Reuters","summary":"* U.S. manufacturing sector steady in August - ISM* All eyes on August nonfarm payrolls report on Fr","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>* U.S. manufacturing sector steady in August - ISM</p><p>* All eyes on August nonfarm payrolls report on Friday</p><p>* Nvidia, AMD fall after U.S. export ban on AI chips to China</p><p>* Dow up 0.46%, S&amp;P 500 up 0.30%, Nasdaq down 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It&#39;s going to be on guard for every data release that could suggest when the Fed could be closer to finishing.&#34;</p><p>The S&amp;P managed to bounce in the latter stages of trading after hitting a low of 3,903.65, near what some analysts see as a strong support level for stocks at 3,900.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 145.99 points, or 0.46%, to 31,656.42; the S&amp;P 500 gained 11.85 points, or 0.30%, to 3,966.85; and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 31.08 points, or 0.26%, to 11,785.13.</p><p>The benchmark S&amp;P index has stumbled nearly 6% over the prior four sessions, which began after Fed Chair Jerome Powell signaled on Friday the central bank will remain aggressive raising rates to fight inflation even after consecutive hikes of 75 basis points, a message echoed by other Fed officials in recent days.</p><p>Despite the gains, the tone was defensive, with healthcare up 1.65%, and utilities, which gained 1.42%, the leading sectors to the upside.</p><p>Weighing on the tech sector, down 0.48%, were chipmakers as the Philadelphia semiconductor index dropped 1.92%, led by a 7.67% tumble in shares of Nvidia as the biggest weight on the S&amp;P 500, and a 2.99% fall in Advanced Micro Devices after the United States imposed an export ban on some top AI chips to China.</p><p>Other economic data showed a further easing in price pressures, while manufacturing grew steadily in August, thanks to a rebound in employment and new orders.</p><p>Traders expect a 73.1% chance of a third straight 75 basis points increase in rates in September and expect it to peak around 3.993% in March 2023.</p><p>The expected path of Fed rate hikes has increased worry the central bank could potentially make a policy mistake and raise rates too high, tilting the economy into a recession, even if inflation shows signs of abating.</p><p>Investors have also become more concerned about corporate earnings in a rising rate environment that has also stoked a rally in the U.S. dollar. Hormel Foods Corp fell 6.56% after the packaged foods maker cut its full-year profit forecast.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 11.19 billion shares, compared with the 10.51 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p>Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 2.82-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.96-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted one new 52-week high and 35 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 29 new highs and 356 new lows.</p></body></html>","source":"yahoofinance","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US STOCKS-S&P 500 Snaps Four-Session Losing Streak with Payrolls on Deck</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS STOCKS-S&P 500 Snaps Four-Session Losing Streak with Payrolls on Deck\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-02 07:07 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-stocks-p-500-snaps-201740513.html><strong>Reuters</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>* U.S. manufacturing sector steady in August - ISM* All eyes on August nonfarm payrolls report on Friday* Nvidia, AMD fall after U.S. export ban on AI chips to China* Dow up 0.46%, S&P 500 up 0.30%, ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-stocks-p-500-snaps-201740513.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-stocks-p-500-snaps-201740513.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5f26f4a48f9cb3e29be4d71d3ba8c038","article_id":"2264245550","content_text":"* U.S. manufacturing sector steady in August - ISM* All eyes on August nonfarm payrolls report on Friday* Nvidia, AMD fall after U.S. export ban on AI chips to China* Dow up 0.46%, S&P 500 up 0.30%, Nasdaq down 0.26%A late rally helped the S&P 500 snap a four-session losing skid on Thursday with investor focus turning to a key report on the labor market on Friday.Stocks had been solidly lower for most of the session, after data showed weekly jobless claims fell more than expected to a two-month low last week and layoffs dropped in August, giving the Fed a cushion to continue raising rates to slow the labor market. Investors now await the monthly nonfarm payrolls report on Friday for more evidence on the labor market.Economists polled by Reuters see a jobs increase of 300,000, while Wells Fargo economist Jay Bryson revised his forecast for nonfarm payrolls to 375,000 from 325,000 and Morgan Stanley economist Ellen Zentner expects August payrolls of 350,000.\"Today's market is about tomorrow morning. You've got a market that is oversold ... and a catalyst for a rally or at least not to sell off would be a weaker employment report especially with regard to wages,\" said Quincy Krosby, chief global strategist for LPL Financial in Charlotte, North Carolina. \"The market is as data-dependent as the Fed. It's going to be on guard for every data release that could suggest when the Fed could be closer to finishing.\"The S&P managed to bounce in the latter stages of trading after hitting a low of 3,903.65, near what some analysts see as a strong support level for stocks at 3,900.The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 145.99 points, or 0.46%, to 31,656.42; the S&P 500 gained 11.85 points, or 0.30%, to 3,966.85; and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 31.08 points, or 0.26%, to 11,785.13.The benchmark S&P index has stumbled nearly 6% over the prior four sessions, which began after Fed Chair Jerome Powell signaled on Friday the central bank will remain aggressive raising rates to fight inflation even after consecutive hikes of 75 basis points, a message echoed by other Fed officials in recent days.Despite the gains, the tone was defensive, with healthcare up 1.65%, and utilities, which gained 1.42%, the leading sectors to the upside.Weighing on the tech sector, down 0.48%, were chipmakers as the Philadelphia semiconductor index dropped 1.92%, led by a 7.67% tumble in shares of Nvidia as the biggest weight on the S&P 500, and a 2.99% fall in Advanced Micro Devices after the United States imposed an export ban on some top AI chips to China.Other economic data showed a further easing in price pressures, while manufacturing grew steadily in August, thanks to a rebound in employment and new orders.Traders expect a 73.1% chance of a third straight 75 basis points increase in rates in September and expect it to peak around 3.993% in March 2023.The expected path of Fed rate hikes has increased worry the central bank could potentially make a policy mistake and raise rates too high, tilting the economy into a recession, even if inflation shows signs of abating.Investors have also become more concerned about corporate earnings in a rising rate environment that has also stoked a rally in the U.S. dollar. Hormel Foods Corp fell 6.56% after the packaged foods maker cut its full-year profit forecast.Volume on U.S. exchanges was 11.19 billion shares, compared with the 10.51 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 2.82-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.96-to-1 ratio favored decliners.The S&P 500 posted one new 52-week high and 35 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 29 new highs and 356 new lows.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":145,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9903415132,"gmtCreate":1659059798426,"gmtModify":1676536251969,"author":{"id":"3571450110937817","authorId":"3571450110937817","name":"chankf23","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1ac945f64c0b9f1679b02ca4a8d38d8c","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571450110937817","authorIdStr":"3571450110937817"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice&nbsp;","listText":"Nice&nbsp;","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9903415132","repostId":"1176798714","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1176798714","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1659075356,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1176798714?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-29 14:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Options Are a Great Way to Lose Money, Unless You're the One Selling Them","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1176798714","media":"Financial Post","summary":"Peter Hodson: The seller of options wins 95% of the timeA trader works on the floor of the New York ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Peter Hodson: The seller of options wins 95% of the time</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0748a1e2612a79a2a4415a77a6b9dd73\" tg-width=\"1128\" tg-height=\"846\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>A trader works on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange. PHOTO BY REUTERS/BRENDAN MCDERMID FILES</span></p><p>When I first started in the investment world, I quickly discovered the joy — and pain — of trading options. At first, like most traders, I thought buying calls and puts was the key to quick riches. But after multiple losses as a 21-year-old, it became very clear to me that the riches were to be obtained from selling options, not buying them. Now, years later, I continue to sell options — mostly covered calls — to supplement my income.</p><p>Selling a covered call gives you a premium (the option premium) and gives another investor the “option” to buy your stock at a fixed defined price, at a fixed expiry date in the future. For example, an option seller might get $2 to sell a $50 September call option on XYZ when XYZ shares are trading at $45. If XYZ goes above $50 before the expiry date (the third Saturday of each month), then the seller is obligated to sell their stock at $50. If XYZ fails to hit $50, he keeps his stock. Either way, the option seller keeps the $2 premium (options trade in 100 share contracts). So the potential upside is $7/share ($50 minus $45, plus $2 premium). The minimum return is $2/share. If XYZ declines, the maximum potential loss is whatever the stock goes to, minus the $2 call option premium received. Why do I think covered calls are an interesting strategy these days? Well, here are five reasons:</p><p><b>The</b> <b><i>seller</i></b> <b>of options wins 95 per cent of the time</b></p><p>Like being the owner of a casino in Vegas, when you sell options, the odds are in your favour. But in the options market you have even better odds than a casino. Practically every option buyer loses money. Why then, does the options market continue to exist? Well, there is of course a legitimate hedging need for options. But the main reason is … greed. When an options buyer is right, the leverage is miraculous. One can buy a short-term $0.50 option, at times, and see it go to $10, once in a while. Quick fortunes can be made if the market moves quickly and sharply. But, that is not the norm. The majority of options buyers — despite dreams of riches in their heads — typically just see their investment expire worthless. The option seller just keeps their money, thank you very much.</p><p><b>Time is guaranteed</b></p><p>The market is a risky place, as investors have clearly been reminded in 2022. Nothing is guaranteed. Can the biggest company in Canada decline 75 per cent in six months? It just did. But one thing that is guaranteed is time. Sure as sunrise, each day clicks by, and each day every option is worth less in time value. As options tick by to expiration, the option seller is guaranteed that less time is available before expiry. Thus, time is the only real guarantee in the investment world. When you sell options, you are not necessarily trading stocks — you are selling <i>time</i>.</p><p><b>Premiums are treated as capital gains</b></p><p>Unless you are an extremely active trader and your main source of income is options trading, and you are a professional, the CRA treats options income as capital gains. Thus, for most investors, this means the lowest tax rate on income possible. Thus, one can supplement their income and keep more of their money. If a stock does move higher and is about to be called away, an investor can always buy back the option to cancel it, and the loss on that trade can be deducted from capital gains.</p><p><b>Bear markets are ‘slightly’ less painful</b></p><p>The extra income from call options can reduce the pain a bit in a bear market. Sure, your stock might have declined from $75 to $50 in the past six months, but you might have picked up $10 or so in options premiums during that time. You have still lost money (on paper) of course, but the income still makes the bear market a little more BEARable (sorry, couldn’t resist). In addition, when markets are volatile, options premiums also increase in value, so in a roller-coaster market your option premium income can increase nicely. Still not great, but again, the higher income makes the weaker market slightly less painful.</p><p><b>Investors overestimate short-term stock market volatility</b></p><p>Options premiums can range wildly, depending on the underlying company, its volatility, dividends, balance sheet risk, sector and other factors. I prefer to only utilize one-month options for one reason: investors tend to overestimate stock volatility. In a 30 to 35-day period, the average stock simply does not move too much. But there are always investors who seem willing to bet on individual stock moves. Some stocks can provide call option premiums of five per cent to seven per cent,<i>per month</i>. Sure, sometimes markets will move a lot, and option sellers will have to sell a stock once in a while. But if an investor sells covered calls on 10 positions or so, it is not likely that many will move enough to get called away. And if they do, so what? If the option strike price is higher than the current price, investors still make lots of money — just less than they would if they had done nothing. But making money in the current market is tough. Are we really going to complain about making less money in a bear market?</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1647907663456","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Options Are a Great Way to Lose Money, Unless You're the One Selling Them</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOptions Are a Great Way to Lose Money, Unless You're the One Selling Them\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-29 14:15 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://financialpost.com/investing/peter-hodson-options-are-a-great-way-to-lose-money-unless-youre-the-one-selling-them><strong>Financial Post</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Peter Hodson: The seller of options wins 95% of the timeA trader works on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange. PHOTO BY REUTERS/BRENDAN MCDERMID FILESWhen I first started in the investment world,...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://financialpost.com/investing/peter-hodson-options-are-a-great-way-to-lose-money-unless-youre-the-one-selling-them\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://financialpost.com/investing/peter-hodson-options-are-a-great-way-to-lose-money-unless-youre-the-one-selling-them","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1176798714","content_text":"Peter Hodson: The seller of options wins 95% of the timeA trader works on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange. PHOTO BY REUTERS/BRENDAN MCDERMID FILESWhen I first started in the investment world, I quickly discovered the joy — and pain — of trading options. At first, like most traders, I thought buying calls and puts was the key to quick riches. But after multiple losses as a 21-year-old, it became very clear to me that the riches were to be obtained from selling options, not buying them. Now, years later, I continue to sell options — mostly covered calls — to supplement my income.Selling a covered call gives you a premium (the option premium) and gives another investor the “option” to buy your stock at a fixed defined price, at a fixed expiry date in the future. For example, an option seller might get $2 to sell a $50 September call option on XYZ when XYZ shares are trading at $45. If XYZ goes above $50 before the expiry date (the third Saturday of each month), then the seller is obligated to sell their stock at $50. If XYZ fails to hit $50, he keeps his stock. Either way, the option seller keeps the $2 premium (options trade in 100 share contracts). So the potential upside is $7/share ($50 minus $45, plus $2 premium). The minimum return is $2/share. If XYZ declines, the maximum potential loss is whatever the stock goes to, minus the $2 call option premium received. Why do I think covered calls are an interesting strategy these days? Well, here are five reasons:The seller of options wins 95 per cent of the timeLike being the owner of a casino in Vegas, when you sell options, the odds are in your favour. But in the options market you have even better odds than a casino. Practically every option buyer loses money. Why then, does the options market continue to exist? Well, there is of course a legitimate hedging need for options. But the main reason is … greed. When an options buyer is right, the leverage is miraculous. One can buy a short-term $0.50 option, at times, and see it go to $10, once in a while. Quick fortunes can be made if the market moves quickly and sharply. But, that is not the norm. The majority of options buyers — despite dreams of riches in their heads — typically just see their investment expire worthless. The option seller just keeps their money, thank you very much.Time is guaranteedThe market is a risky place, as investors have clearly been reminded in 2022. Nothing is guaranteed. Can the biggest company in Canada decline 75 per cent in six months? It just did. But one thing that is guaranteed is time. Sure as sunrise, each day clicks by, and each day every option is worth less in time value. As options tick by to expiration, the option seller is guaranteed that less time is available before expiry. Thus, time is the only real guarantee in the investment world. When you sell options, you are not necessarily trading stocks — you are selling time.Premiums are treated as capital gainsUnless you are an extremely active trader and your main source of income is options trading, and you are a professional, the CRA treats options income as capital gains. Thus, for most investors, this means the lowest tax rate on income possible. Thus, one can supplement their income and keep more of their money. If a stock does move higher and is about to be called away, an investor can always buy back the option to cancel it, and the loss on that trade can be deducted from capital gains.Bear markets are ‘slightly’ less painfulThe extra income from call options can reduce the pain a bit in a bear market. Sure, your stock might have declined from $75 to $50 in the past six months, but you might have picked up $10 or so in options premiums during that time. You have still lost money (on paper) of course, but the income still makes the bear market a little more BEARable (sorry, couldn’t resist). In addition, when markets are volatile, options premiums also increase in value, so in a roller-coaster market your option premium income can increase nicely. Still not great, but again, the higher income makes the weaker market slightly less painful.Investors overestimate short-term stock market volatilityOptions premiums can range wildly, depending on the underlying company, its volatility, dividends, balance sheet risk, sector and other factors. I prefer to only utilize one-month options for one reason: investors tend to overestimate stock volatility. In a 30 to 35-day period, the average stock simply does not move too much. But there are always investors who seem willing to bet on individual stock moves. Some stocks can provide call option premiums of five per cent to seven per cent,per month. Sure, sometimes markets will move a lot, and option sellers will have to sell a stock once in a while. But if an investor sells covered calls on 10 positions or so, it is not likely that many will move enough to get called away. And if they do, so what? If the option strike price is higher than the current price, investors still make lots of money — just less than they would if they had done nothing. But making money in the current market is tough. Are we really going to complain about making less money in a bear market?","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":317,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9934251071,"gmtCreate":1663265432493,"gmtModify":1676537239285,"author":{"id":"3571450110937817","authorId":"3571450110937817","name":"chankf23","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1ac945f64c0b9f1679b02ca4a8d38d8c","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571450110937817","authorIdStr":"3571450110937817"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Agreed","listText":"Agreed","text":"Agreed","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9934251071","repostId":"1105919895","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1105919895","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1663255268,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1105919895?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-15 23:21","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Latest NIO Stock Surge Will Be Short-Lived","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1105919895","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"$Nio(NIO)$ stock back above $20 per share after analyst upgrades.Despite the renewed bullishness, shares in the China-based EV maker could easily give back these latest gains.Given the downside risk i","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">Nio</a> stock back above $20 per share after analyst upgrades.</li><li>Despite the renewed bullishness, shares in the China-based EV maker could easily give back these latest gains.</li><li>Given the downside risk if Nio fails to deliver, you may not want to chase this recent rally.</li></ul><p>Despite mixed quarterly results, Nio (NYSE:NIO) stock has been on the rise following its Sept. 7 earnings release. The main factor behind this has been a spate of analyst upgrades for shares in the China-based electric vehicle (EV) maker.</p><p>Confidence is rising again that the company’s production ramp-up will result in a big jump in sales for the rest of 2022, and going into 2023. Yet before you decide to jump in, and chase its recent rally, it’s hardly a lock that results in the coming quarter will live up to today’s elevated hopes.</p><p>The ramp-up may still fail to produce results in line with expectations. This may cause the stock to give back recent gains. In the long term, Nio’s global expansion could also fall short of expectations. With high growth heavily priced in, it may not take much for today’s renewed bullishness to reverse.</p><h3>Why NIO Stock Has Surged Post-Earnings</h3><p>Nio may have beat on revenue for the second quarter, but the results were hardly much to get excited about. As expected, China’s pandemic shutdowns continued to decelerate growth, on a year-over-year basis, and especially on a sequential basis.</p><p>Even worse, the EV maker reported a higher-than-expected net loss. Compared to the prior year’s quarter, net losses per share were up 316.4%. Still, instead of reacting negatively to Q2 results, the market focused instead on the company’s outlook for Q3, which calls for a speeding back up of growth.</p><p>This resulted in a slight uptick for NIO stock right after earnings but analyst upgrades sent shares soaring. As InvestorPlace’s Eddie Pan reported Sep 12, two analysts (Deutsche Bank’s Edison Yu, and BofA’s Ming-Hsun Lee) have reiterated their “buy” ratings, and have upped their price targets.</p><p>Both analysts are bullish deliveries will re-accelerate considerably during Q4. This is due to a combination of the production ramp-up, plus Nio’s launch of new vehicle models. Yet while the situation may be improving, it may not be to the extent implied by the stock’s latest spike.</p><h3>How Its Latest Uptick Could Reverse</h3><p>As buzz returns to NIO stock, it may seem that now’s the time to buy, ahead of a continued comeback. Unfortunately, there’s a lot to suggest that its latest surge may be short-lived in nature. With its move back above $20 per share, the market has now priced in a possible growth re-acceleration as a near-certainty.</p><p>For the stock to keep moving higher, or at the very least avoid moving lower, Nio needs to both hit its own Q3 deliveries projection, plus hit Q4 numbers in line with the sell side’s expectations. Hitting its Q3 target may be attainable. Its monthly delivery numbers since June have come in above 10,000. Q4, though, may be a taller order.</p><p>In order to meet Edison Yu’s 2022 estimate, Nio needs to deliver 57,000 vehicles between October and December. That’s nearly double projected Q3 deliveries.</p><p>With increased production, new models, and Chinese government incentives, this may seem like a cinch. However, other factors, like China’s economic slowdown, could somewhat counter these positives.</p><p>In turn, causing delivery numbers for the months ahead to fall short of expectations. Even if it’s a near miss, it may cause the stock to give back its recent gains.</p><h3>The Verdict on NIO Stock</h3><p>Nio stock earns a D rating in my Portfolio Grader. Beyond pulling back in the short term, shares could also keep performing poorly in the coming years. Long-term bulls believe high growth will continue. Even as growth in its home market returns, they are confident international expansion will keep it in high-growth mode.</p><p>But only time will tell whether its first big expansion overseas (in Europe) proves successful. It may face greater competition in the China market. In Europe, it faces not just market leader Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA), but competition from incumbent European luxury brands as well.</p><p>Failure in Europe may result in it scrapping its North American expansion plans. Without global expansion, it will be difficult for Nio to sustain, much less grow, its current valuation.</p><p>Given the downside risk of it failing to deliver in the coming quarter, you may not want to chase the recent NIO stock rally.</p></body></html>","source":"investorplace","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Latest NIO Stock Surge Will Be Short-Lived</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Latest NIO Stock Surge Will Be Short-Lived\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-15 23:21 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://investorplace.com/2022/09/beware-the-latest-nio-stock-surge-will-be-short-lived/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Nio stock back above $20 per share after analyst upgrades.Despite the renewed bullishness, shares in the China-based EV maker could easily give back these latest gains.Given the downside risk if Nio ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/09/beware-the-latest-nio-stock-surge-will-be-short-lived/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO.SI":"蔚来","NIO":"蔚来","09866":"蔚来-SW"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2022/09/beware-the-latest-nio-stock-surge-will-be-short-lived/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1105919895","content_text":"Nio stock back above $20 per share after analyst upgrades.Despite the renewed bullishness, shares in the China-based EV maker could easily give back these latest gains.Given the downside risk if Nio fails to deliver, you may not want to chase this recent rally.Despite mixed quarterly results, Nio (NYSE:NIO) stock has been on the rise following its Sept. 7 earnings release. The main factor behind this has been a spate of analyst upgrades for shares in the China-based electric vehicle (EV) maker.Confidence is rising again that the company’s production ramp-up will result in a big jump in sales for the rest of 2022, and going into 2023. Yet before you decide to jump in, and chase its recent rally, it’s hardly a lock that results in the coming quarter will live up to today’s elevated hopes.The ramp-up may still fail to produce results in line with expectations. This may cause the stock to give back recent gains. In the long term, Nio’s global expansion could also fall short of expectations. With high growth heavily priced in, it may not take much for today’s renewed bullishness to reverse.Why NIO Stock Has Surged Post-EarningsNio may have beat on revenue for the second quarter, but the results were hardly much to get excited about. As expected, China’s pandemic shutdowns continued to decelerate growth, on a year-over-year basis, and especially on a sequential basis.Even worse, the EV maker reported a higher-than-expected net loss. Compared to the prior year’s quarter, net losses per share were up 316.4%. Still, instead of reacting negatively to Q2 results, the market focused instead on the company’s outlook for Q3, which calls for a speeding back up of growth.This resulted in a slight uptick for NIO stock right after earnings but analyst upgrades sent shares soaring. As InvestorPlace’s Eddie Pan reported Sep 12, two analysts (Deutsche Bank’s Edison Yu, and BofA’s Ming-Hsun Lee) have reiterated their “buy” ratings, and have upped their price targets.Both analysts are bullish deliveries will re-accelerate considerably during Q4. This is due to a combination of the production ramp-up, plus Nio’s launch of new vehicle models. Yet while the situation may be improving, it may not be to the extent implied by the stock’s latest spike.How Its Latest Uptick Could ReverseAs buzz returns to NIO stock, it may seem that now’s the time to buy, ahead of a continued comeback. Unfortunately, there’s a lot to suggest that its latest surge may be short-lived in nature. With its move back above $20 per share, the market has now priced in a possible growth re-acceleration as a near-certainty.For the stock to keep moving higher, or at the very least avoid moving lower, Nio needs to both hit its own Q3 deliveries projection, plus hit Q4 numbers in line with the sell side’s expectations. Hitting its Q3 target may be attainable. Its monthly delivery numbers since June have come in above 10,000. Q4, though, may be a taller order.In order to meet Edison Yu’s 2022 estimate, Nio needs to deliver 57,000 vehicles between October and December. That’s nearly double projected Q3 deliveries.With increased production, new models, and Chinese government incentives, this may seem like a cinch. However, other factors, like China’s economic slowdown, could somewhat counter these positives.In turn, causing delivery numbers for the months ahead to fall short of expectations. Even if it’s a near miss, it may cause the stock to give back its recent gains.The Verdict on NIO StockNio stock earns a D rating in my Portfolio Grader. Beyond pulling back in the short term, shares could also keep performing poorly in the coming years. Long-term bulls believe high growth will continue. Even as growth in its home market returns, they are confident international expansion will keep it in high-growth mode.But only time will tell whether its first big expansion overseas (in Europe) proves successful. It may face greater competition in the China market. In Europe, it faces not just market leader Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA), but competition from incumbent European luxury brands as well.Failure in Europe may result in it scrapping its North American expansion plans. Without global expansion, it will be difficult for Nio to sustain, much less grow, its current valuation.Given the downside risk of it failing to deliver in the coming quarter, you may not want to chase the recent NIO stock rally.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":305,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9903415132,"gmtCreate":1659059798426,"gmtModify":1676536251969,"author":{"id":"3571450110937817","authorId":"3571450110937817","name":"chankf23","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1ac945f64c0b9f1679b02ca4a8d38d8c","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571450110937817","authorIdStr":"3571450110937817"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice&nbsp;","listText":"Nice&nbsp;","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9903415132","repostId":"1176798714","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":317,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9939680688,"gmtCreate":1662095395444,"gmtModify":1676536996992,"author":{"id":"3571450110937817","authorId":"3571450110937817","name":"chankf23","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1ac945f64c0b9f1679b02ca4a8d38d8c","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571450110937817","authorIdStr":"3571450110937817"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like it","listText":"Like it","text":"Like it","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9939680688","repostId":"2264245550","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":145,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}