Chrisboon personal page - To The Moon

Chrisboon

Chrisboon

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11-05

$ARKK 20231117 36.0 PUT$ not bad

11-03

$ARKK 20231117 36.0 PUT$ Haha

10-25

$ARKK 20231117 36.0 PUT$ Go go go

10-21

$ARKK 20231117 36.0 PUT$ hmmm hmmmm hmmm

09-15

$PLTR 20231020 12.0 PUT$ not bad

09-06

$PLTR 20231020 12.0 PUT$ Small small step

09-03

$PLTR 20231020 12.0 PUT$ Hahaha

09-01

$PLTR 20231020 12.0 PUT$ Go go go

07-26

$NIO 20230818 9.0 PUT$ Good

07-14

$NIO 20230818 9.0 PUT$ Go go go

2022-01-18

Ok

2 reasons why now is not the time to buy the dip in beaten-down innovation stocks championed by Ark Invest, according to DataTrek

2022-01-16

Ok

Palantir: The Myth Of Overvaluation

2021-12-31

$Lion-OCBC Sec HSTECH S$(HST.SI)$Hold hold hold

2021-12-27

Ok

7 Reasons the Stock Market Could Crash in January

2021-09-23

Good good

2021-09-22

Buy buy buy

2021-09-21

$Lion-OCBC Sec HSTECH S$(HST.SI)$Go go go

2021-09-20

$Alibaba(BABA)$No eye see

2021-09-17

Another Gg

2021-09-17

$Alibaba(BABA)$Ali Alibaba

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/ARKK 20231117 36.0 PUT\">$ARKK 20231117 36.0 PUT$&nbsp;</a>not bad","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/ARKK 20231117 36.0 PUT\">$ARKK 20231117 36.0 PUT$&nbsp;</a>not bad","text":"$ARKK 20231117 36.0 PUT$ not bad","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/544a5f549aec2e69d3f7e9c42ad0527e","width":"972","height":"1631"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/238051679707256","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":84,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":237188928250064,"gmtCreate":1698943198602,"gmtModify":1698943202625,"author":{"id":"3572328638468429","authorId":"3572328638468429","name":"Chrisboon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9581aab52b22d38a7ada3951c7ce5779","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/ARKK 20231117 36.0 PUT\">$ARKK 20231117 36.0 PUT$&nbsp;</a>Haha","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/ARKK 20231117 36.0 PUT\">$ARKK 20231117 36.0 PUT$&nbsp;</a>Haha","text":"$ARKK 20231117 36.0 PUT$ Haha","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3c6ac331116111c099bef712822c0ed0","width":"972","height":"1631"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/237188928250064","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":39,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":234310839214192,"gmtCreate":1698213630440,"gmtModify":1698213633695,"author":{"id":"3572328638468429","authorId":"3572328638468429","name":"Chrisboon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9581aab52b22d38a7ada3951c7ce5779","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/ARKK 20231117 36.0 PUT\">$ARKK 20231117 36.0 PUT$&nbsp;</a>Go go go","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/ARKK 20231117 36.0 PUT\">$ARKK 20231117 36.0 PUT$&nbsp;</a>Go go go","text":"$ARKK 20231117 36.0 PUT$ Go go go","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/044d6601ed39d35fae4fb0c63f8e6b9e","width":"972","height":"1631"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/234310839214192","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":38,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":232789840474200,"gmtCreate":1697862035037,"gmtModify":1697862044013,"author":{"id":"3572328638468429","authorId":"3572328638468429","name":"Chrisboon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9581aab52b22d38a7ada3951c7ce5779","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/ARKK 20231117 36.0 PUT\">$ARKK 20231117 36.0 PUT$&nbsp;</a>hmmm hmmmm hmmm","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/ARKK 20231117 36.0 PUT\">$ARKK 20231117 36.0 PUT$&nbsp;</a>hmmm hmmmm hmmm","text":"$ARKK 20231117 36.0 PUT$ hmmm hmmmm hmmm","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c42505e3055cb1ab1cec77aa7d53f272","width":"972","height":"1631"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/232789840474200","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":65,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":220059725107328,"gmtCreate":1694755618465,"gmtModify":1694755623099,"author":{"id":"3572328638468429","authorId":"3572328638468429","name":"Chrisboon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9581aab52b22d38a7ada3951c7ce5779","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/PLTR 20231020 12.0 PUT\">$PLTR 20231020 12.0 PUT$&nbsp;</a>not bad","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/PLTR 20231020 12.0 PUT\">$PLTR 20231020 12.0 PUT$&nbsp;</a>not bad","text":"$PLTR 20231020 12.0 PUT$ not bad","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5db0f198bf47d760e057c81eedd24534","width":"972","height":"1631"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/220059725107328","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":165,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":216790481989744,"gmtCreate":1693960779519,"gmtModify":1693960783054,"author":{"id":"3572328638468429","authorId":"3572328638468429","name":"Chrisboon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9581aab52b22d38a7ada3951c7ce5779","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/PLTR 20231020 12.0 PUT\">$PLTR 20231020 12.0 PUT$&nbsp;</a>Small small step","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/PLTR 20231020 12.0 PUT\">$PLTR 20231020 12.0 PUT$&nbsp;</a>Small small step","text":"$PLTR 20231020 12.0 PUT$ Small small step","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/50570d9edd21c37d9bbb7dc24e6a205c","width":"972","height":"1631"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/216790481989744","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":129,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":216018016305288,"gmtCreate":1693739367306,"gmtModify":1693739370058,"author":{"id":"3572328638468429","authorId":"3572328638468429","name":"Chrisboon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9581aab52b22d38a7ada3951c7ce5779","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/PLTR 20231020 12.0 PUT\">$PLTR 20231020 12.0 PUT$&nbsp;</a>Hahaha","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/PLTR 20231020 12.0 PUT\">$PLTR 20231020 12.0 PUT$&nbsp;</a>Hahaha","text":"$PLTR 20231020 12.0 PUT$ Hahaha","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/216018016305288","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":143,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":215001696661632,"gmtCreate":1693527568445,"gmtModify":1693527571695,"author":{"id":"3572328638468429","authorId":"3572328638468429","name":"Chrisboon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9581aab52b22d38a7ada3951c7ce5779","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/PLTR 20231020 12.0 PUT\">$PLTR 20231020 12.0 PUT$&nbsp;</a>Go go go","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/PLTR 20231020 12.0 PUT\">$PLTR 20231020 12.0 PUT$&nbsp;</a>Go go go","text":"$PLTR 20231020 12.0 PUT$ Go go go","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0c590c78b69b8fd080e597909153760e","width":"972","height":"1631"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/215001696661632","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":76,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":201918522155216,"gmtCreate":1690333136590,"gmtModify":1690333139806,"author":{"id":"3572328638468429","authorId":"3572328638468429","name":"Chrisboon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9581aab52b22d38a7ada3951c7ce5779","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/NIO 20230818 9.0 PUT\">$NIO 20230818 9.0 PUT$&nbsp;</a>Good","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/NIO 20230818 9.0 PUT\">$NIO 20230818 9.0 PUT$&nbsp;</a>Good","text":"$NIO 20230818 9.0 PUT$ Good","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/24a28e8797f4a3e02e130555520d215f","width":"618","height":"1026"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/201918522155216","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":92,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":197847494139952,"gmtCreate":1689337009124,"gmtModify":1689337013558,"author":{"id":"3572328638468429","authorId":"3572328638468429","name":"Chrisboon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9581aab52b22d38a7ada3951c7ce5779","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/NIO 20230818 9.0 PUT\">$NIO 20230818 9.0 PUT$&nbsp;</a>Go go go&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/NIO 20230818 9.0 PUT\">$NIO 20230818 9.0 PUT$&nbsp;</a>Go go go&nbsp;","text":"$NIO 20230818 9.0 PUT$ Go go go","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4e0c50cabfacc1c9258967b5d9ed6907","width":"618","height":"1026"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/197847494139952","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":133,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9004395722,"gmtCreate":1642500157801,"gmtModify":1676533715870,"author":{"id":"3572328638468429","authorId":"3572328638468429","name":"Chrisboon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9581aab52b22d38a7ada3951c7ce5779","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9004395722","repostId":"1156817180","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1156817180","pubTimestamp":1642496488,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1156817180?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-01-18 17:01","market":"us","language":"en","title":"2 reasons why now is not the time to buy the dip in beaten-down innovation stocks championed by Ark Invest, according to DataTrek","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1156817180","media":"Markets Insider","summary":"Investors shouldn't buy the dip in disruptive innovation stocks, according to DataTrek Research.The ","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li><b>Investors shouldn&#39;t buy the dip in disruptive innovation stocks, according to DataTrek Research.</b></li><li><b>The steep decline in speculative tech names is akin to the meltdown after the dot-com bubble in the 2000s.</b></li><li><b>&#34;We don&#39;t think we are in a market that is ready to cycle back into speculative tech,&#34; DataTrek said.</b></li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/406db2eda53a925636bb44fd4ce261d8\" tg-width=\"790\" tg-height=\"395\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Spencer Platt/Getty Images</span></p><p>The steep decline in speculative stocks championed by Ark Invest&#39;s Cathie Wood doesn&#39;t yet represent an opportunity for investors to buy the dip, according to a Friday note from DataTrek Research.</p><p>Ark Invest&#39;s flagship fund has fallen 50% from its record high, with some of its top holdings like Teladoc and Zoom Video down 74% and 64%, respectively. The decline has led to Ark&#39;s fund losing $14 billion in assets under management, while the Short ARK ETF has seen a surge in both performance and assets.</p><p>The carnage in disruptive innovation, clean energy, and Chinese tech stocks might remind some investors of the unwind of the 2000 dot-com bubble, in which the Nasdaq ultimately plummeted 80% from its record, the note said. But despite the destruction in smaller tech names, the broader Nasdaq 100 index is still down less than 10% from its recent high.</p><p>&#34;Regardless of how rough markets get in 2022, we do not expect the NASDAQ to melt down the way it did in 2000 to 2002. The companies in the index are an order of magnitude better than what we had on offer in the 1990s,&#34; DataTrek Research co-founder Nicholas Colas explained.</p><p>Still, that doesn&#39;t mean investors should rush to buy the new lows made in beaten-down tech stocks. He listed two big reasons:</p><p>&#34;First, we never recommend [buying] 52-week lows. Better to wait for prices to stabilize,&#34; Colas said. The iShares Clean Energy ETF and ARK&#39;s Disruptive Innovation ETF both traded to new 52-week lows on Friday.</p><p>&#34;Second, we don&#39;t think we are in a market that is ready to cycle back into speculative tech names. The narrative has changed to old-school cyclicals,&#34; he added.</p><p>That shift has occurred thanks to a more hawkish Fed that is keen on raising interest rates and reducing its balance sheet to tame inflation. Such a monetary recipe hasn&#39;t historically been rewarding for barely profitable speculative growth companies.</p><p>&#34;Bottom line: while we love disruptive innovation, we also believe in respecting price action. And, at the moment, respect trumps love by a wide margin,&#34; Colas concluded.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>2 reasons why now is not the time to buy the dip in beaten-down innovation stocks championed by Ark Invest, according to DataTrek</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n2 reasons why now is not the time to buy the dip in beaten-down innovation stocks championed by Ark Invest, according to DataTrek\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-01-18 17:01 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/stock-market-outlook-dont-buy-the-dip-ark-stocks-datatrek-2022-1><strong>Markets Insider</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Investors shouldn't buy the dip in disruptive innovation stocks, according to DataTrek Research.The steep decline in speculative tech names is akin to the meltdown after the dot-com bubble in the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/stock-market-outlook-dont-buy-the-dip-ark-stocks-datatrek-2022-1\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ARKK":"ARK Innovation ETF"},"source_url":"https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/stock-market-outlook-dont-buy-the-dip-ark-stocks-datatrek-2022-1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1156817180","content_text":"Investors shouldn't buy the dip in disruptive innovation stocks, according to DataTrek Research.The steep decline in speculative tech names is akin to the meltdown after the dot-com bubble in the 2000s.\"We don't think we are in a market that is ready to cycle back into speculative tech,\" DataTrek said.Spencer Platt/Getty ImagesThe steep decline in speculative stocks championed by Ark Invest's Cathie Wood doesn't yet represent an opportunity for investors to buy the dip, according to a Friday note from DataTrek Research.Ark Invest's flagship fund has fallen 50% from its record high, with some of its top holdings like Teladoc and Zoom Video down 74% and 64%, respectively. The decline has led to Ark's fund losing $14 billion in assets under management, while the Short ARK ETF has seen a surge in both performance and assets.The carnage in disruptive innovation, clean energy, and Chinese tech stocks might remind some investors of the unwind of the 2000 dot-com bubble, in which the Nasdaq ultimately plummeted 80% from its record, the note said. But despite the destruction in smaller tech names, the broader Nasdaq 100 index is still down less than 10% from its recent high.\"Regardless of how rough markets get in 2022, we do not expect the NASDAQ to melt down the way it did in 2000 to 2002. The companies in the index are an order of magnitude better than what we had on offer in the 1990s,\" DataTrek Research co-founder Nicholas Colas explained.Still, that doesn't mean investors should rush to buy the new lows made in beaten-down tech stocks. He listed two big reasons:\"First, we never recommend [buying] 52-week lows. Better to wait for prices to stabilize,\" Colas said. The iShares Clean Energy ETF and ARK's Disruptive Innovation ETF both traded to new 52-week lows on Friday.\"Second, we don't think we are in a market that is ready to cycle back into speculative tech names. The narrative has changed to old-school cyclicals,\" he added.That shift has occurred thanks to a more hawkish Fed that is keen on raising interest rates and reducing its balance sheet to tame inflation. Such a monetary recipe hasn't historically been rewarding for barely profitable speculative growth companies.\"Bottom line: while we love disruptive innovation, we also believe in respecting price action. And, at the moment, respect trumps love by a wide margin,\" Colas concluded.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":353,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9005270750,"gmtCreate":1642328800411,"gmtModify":1676533701631,"author":{"id":"3572328638468429","authorId":"3572328638468429","name":"Chrisboon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9581aab52b22d38a7ada3951c7ce5779","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9005270750","repostId":"1169852230","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1169852230","pubTimestamp":1642295348,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1169852230?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-01-16 09:09","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir: The Myth Of Overvaluation","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1169852230","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryPalantir went through a large drop in pricing in Q4’21 and in the early days of 2022.Shares o","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Summary</p><ul><li>Palantir went through a large drop in pricing in Q4’21 and in the early days of 2022.</li><li>Shares of Palantir are not overvalued, they trade at 16X FY 2025 projected free cash flow.</li><li>Commercial revenue acceleration, new product launches, expansion of the free cash flow margin and potential SPAC deal pay-offs support Palantir’s valuation.</li></ul><p>The new year is just fourteen days old and shares of Palantir (PLTR) already fell 12%, continuing a sell-off that started back in November 2021. I don&#39;t see any good reason or justification for the sell-off as Palantir will continue to grow its top line rapidly and new service offerings are set to fuel the firm&#39;s commercial growth. That Palantir is overvalued, is a myth!</p><p><b>Commercial revenue growth could accelerate as new products launch</b></p><p>There are few industries that have as fantastic growth prospects as the big data and analytics industry. Companies are accumulating more and more data from customers and their operations, requiring software solutions and artificial intelligence support to monetize this data most efficiently.</p><p>What am I most excited about, as a Palantir investor, is Palantir&#39;s opening of a new growth frontier in the big data world. Palantir will start to roll out its &#34;Foundry for Crypto&#34; in FY 2022 which offers banks, FinTechs and other companies involved in the crypto economy a way to validate customer information and to implement anti-money laundering tools. Since the crypto universe is still highly unregulated, Palantir&#39;s Foundry for Crypto could make a big difference in legitimizing this industry.</p><p>Blockchain technology and cryptocurrencies are here to stay and Palantir has a huge opportunity at its hands to develop a multi-million-dollar revenue business within a very short period of time. Key customers for Palantir&#39;s Foundry for Crypto are likely going to be financial institutions and crypto trading marketplaces like Coinbase (COIN) which have massive customer bases. Adoption of Palantir&#39;s Foundry for Crypto platform by leading market institutions could materially accelerate Palantir&#39;s commercial revenue growth.</p><p>Because of the opening of a new business segment, I see strong prospects for revenue acceleration for Palantir in the foreseeable future. Palantir&#39;s commercial revenue growth accelerated throughout FY 2021 due to strong customer acquisition and growing adoption of the firm&#39;s products and services. Palantir&#39;s commercial revenue growth accelerated from 19% in Q1&#39;21 to 28% in Q2&#39;21, and then to 37% in Q3&#39;21. Palantir&#39;s revenue acceleration in the commercial business was the reason why Palantir raised its free cash flow and revenue guidance for FY 2021. Because the commercial segment is growing increasingly fast, Palantir already raised its free cash flow outlook twice in FY 2021. The firm now expects free cash flow of $400M+ for FY 2021, after raising the guidance by 33% in Q3&#39;21.</p><p><b>Palantir is not overvalued based on expected free cash flow ramp</b></p><p>Palantir&#39;s business reached a critical point in FY 2021 and the proof is in the company&#39;s growing free cash flow margins. As the firm scales its services and leads more customers through its onboarding process, Palantir should see a significant improvement of its free cash flow margin going forward. Palantir&#39;s Q3&#39;21 free cash flow was $119M which calculates to a free cash flow margin of 30%. I believe Palantir could grow its free cash flow margin to 40% by 2025, meaning the firm is set to become a seriously profitable business within the next four years.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e54fb7120d0b51650400b5081ae56a9\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"413\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>I also expect Palantir to grow revenues faster than the 30% that have been mentioned as a long-term growth target. The reason for this is that Palantir is signing on more customers and those customers spend more money on the firm&#39;s products and services over time, meaning monetization is improving. Assuming that Palantir can grow revenues at an annual 35% rate over the next four years, Palantir is looking at $5.0B in revenues and $2.0B in free cash flow by FY 2025. The calculation below is built on the assumption that Palantir&#39;s free cash flow margin will grow from 30% in FY 2021 to 40% by FY 2025. Over the next four years, Palantir should be able to increase its annual free cash flow by at least a factor of 4 X.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/48214b624573bdb844c741431b6fac4e\" tg-width=\"599\" tg-height=\"163\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>And investors should not forget about this potentially massive income stream…</p><p><b>The &#34;forgotten&#34; SPAC business</b></p><p>Palantir has come up with a clever revenue growth strategy that combines upside in SPAC investments with long-term software servicing contracts. Palantir is committing investing capital to startups that look to finance growth and, in return, the company gets equity and a signed contract for the provision of its software platforms. I rarely see this business discussed, but it presents considerable valuation upside for Palantir. In Q3&#39;21, the firm&#39;s total investments in startups summarized to $226.5M. Palantir only needs one big exit from one of these SPAC investments listed below to generate a massive windfall.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c452699a2b9ef7ab9b9b5f16074fd788\" tg-width=\"935\" tg-height=\"315\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><b>Risks with Palantir</b></p><p>The biggest risk for shares of Palantir, as I see it, is continual selling pressure that is the result of a profound misunderstanding related to how the firm&#39;s business model works in practice. Palantir&#39;s business is evolving and progress is measurable and undeniable. The proof is in Palantir&#39;s improving free cash flow margin and accelerating (commercial) revenue growth. Revenues can only accelerate if more companies adopt Palantir&#39;s services. Customers are also growing their platform spend, meaning each customer that signs with Palantir is going to have a higher value for the firm in the future, unless they cancel their relationship of course. Since the business had a net customer add of 34 in Q3&#39;21, there is no evidence that customers are unhappy with the services they receive. Palantir&#39;s total customer base increased at a massive 20% rate quarter over quarter in Q3&#39;21, proving significant momentum in customer sign-ups.</p><p>I am willing to change my opinion on Palantir if the firm&#39;s actual revenue growth rates and free cash flow margins drop below my estimates.</p><p><b>Final thoughts</b></p><p>Based off of free cash flow estimates, which do not include pay-offs from SPAC divestments, shares of Palantir trade at 16 X FY 2025 projected free cash flow, assuming a 10 PP FCF margin improvement in the next four years. This margin improvement could result from the launch of new high-margin products like Foundry for Crypto, the accelerating roll-out of Foundry for Builders and higher product spend on a per-customer basis. It is a myth that Palantir is overvalued and the stock has considerable rebound potential in FY 2022!</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir: The Myth Of Overvaluation</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir: The Myth Of Overvaluation\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-01-16 09:09 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4479733-palantir-the-myth-of-overvaluation><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryPalantir went through a large drop in pricing in Q4’21 and in the early days of 2022.Shares of Palantir are not overvalued, they trade at 16X FY 2025 projected free cash flow.Commercial revenue...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4479733-palantir-the-myth-of-overvaluation\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4479733-palantir-the-myth-of-overvaluation","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1169852230","content_text":"SummaryPalantir went through a large drop in pricing in Q4’21 and in the early days of 2022.Shares of Palantir are not overvalued, they trade at 16X FY 2025 projected free cash flow.Commercial revenue acceleration, new product launches, expansion of the free cash flow margin and potential SPAC deal pay-offs support Palantir’s valuation.The new year is just fourteen days old and shares of Palantir (PLTR) already fell 12%, continuing a sell-off that started back in November 2021. I don't see any good reason or justification for the sell-off as Palantir will continue to grow its top line rapidly and new service offerings are set to fuel the firm's commercial growth. That Palantir is overvalued, is a myth!Commercial revenue growth could accelerate as new products launchThere are few industries that have as fantastic growth prospects as the big data and analytics industry. Companies are accumulating more and more data from customers and their operations, requiring software solutions and artificial intelligence support to monetize this data most efficiently.What am I most excited about, as a Palantir investor, is Palantir's opening of a new growth frontier in the big data world. Palantir will start to roll out its \"Foundry for Crypto\" in FY 2022 which offers banks, FinTechs and other companies involved in the crypto economy a way to validate customer information and to implement anti-money laundering tools. Since the crypto universe is still highly unregulated, Palantir's Foundry for Crypto could make a big difference in legitimizing this industry.Blockchain technology and cryptocurrencies are here to stay and Palantir has a huge opportunity at its hands to develop a multi-million-dollar revenue business within a very short period of time. Key customers for Palantir's Foundry for Crypto are likely going to be financial institutions and crypto trading marketplaces like Coinbase (COIN) which have massive customer bases. Adoption of Palantir's Foundry for Crypto platform by leading market institutions could materially accelerate Palantir's commercial revenue growth.Because of the opening of a new business segment, I see strong prospects for revenue acceleration for Palantir in the foreseeable future. Palantir's commercial revenue growth accelerated throughout FY 2021 due to strong customer acquisition and growing adoption of the firm's products and services. Palantir's commercial revenue growth accelerated from 19% in Q1'21 to 28% in Q2'21, and then to 37% in Q3'21. Palantir's revenue acceleration in the commercial business was the reason why Palantir raised its free cash flow and revenue guidance for FY 2021. Because the commercial segment is growing increasingly fast, Palantir already raised its free cash flow outlook twice in FY 2021. The firm now expects free cash flow of $400M+ for FY 2021, after raising the guidance by 33% in Q3'21.Palantir is not overvalued based on expected free cash flow rampPalantir's business reached a critical point in FY 2021 and the proof is in the company's growing free cash flow margins. As the firm scales its services and leads more customers through its onboarding process, Palantir should see a significant improvement of its free cash flow margin going forward. Palantir's Q3'21 free cash flow was $119M which calculates to a free cash flow margin of 30%. I believe Palantir could grow its free cash flow margin to 40% by 2025, meaning the firm is set to become a seriously profitable business within the next four years.I also expect Palantir to grow revenues faster than the 30% that have been mentioned as a long-term growth target. The reason for this is that Palantir is signing on more customers and those customers spend more money on the firm's products and services over time, meaning monetization is improving. Assuming that Palantir can grow revenues at an annual 35% rate over the next four years, Palantir is looking at $5.0B in revenues and $2.0B in free cash flow by FY 2025. The calculation below is built on the assumption that Palantir's free cash flow margin will grow from 30% in FY 2021 to 40% by FY 2025. Over the next four years, Palantir should be able to increase its annual free cash flow by at least a factor of 4 X.And investors should not forget about this potentially massive income stream…The \"forgotten\" SPAC businessPalantir has come up with a clever revenue growth strategy that combines upside in SPAC investments with long-term software servicing contracts. Palantir is committing investing capital to startups that look to finance growth and, in return, the company gets equity and a signed contract for the provision of its software platforms. I rarely see this business discussed, but it presents considerable valuation upside for Palantir. In Q3'21, the firm's total investments in startups summarized to $226.5M. Palantir only needs one big exit from one of these SPAC investments listed below to generate a massive windfall.Risks with PalantirThe biggest risk for shares of Palantir, as I see it, is continual selling pressure that is the result of a profound misunderstanding related to how the firm's business model works in practice. Palantir's business is evolving and progress is measurable and undeniable. The proof is in Palantir's improving free cash flow margin and accelerating (commercial) revenue growth. Revenues can only accelerate if more companies adopt Palantir's services. Customers are also growing their platform spend, meaning each customer that signs with Palantir is going to have a higher value for the firm in the future, unless they cancel their relationship of course. Since the business had a net customer add of 34 in Q3'21, there is no evidence that customers are unhappy with the services they receive. Palantir's total customer base increased at a massive 20% rate quarter over quarter in Q3'21, proving significant momentum in customer sign-ups.I am willing to change my opinion on Palantir if the firm's actual revenue growth rates and free cash flow margins drop below my estimates.Final thoughtsBased off of free cash flow estimates, which do not include pay-offs from SPAC divestments, shares of Palantir trade at 16 X FY 2025 projected free cash flow, assuming a 10 PP FCF margin improvement in the next four years. This margin improvement could result from the launch of new high-margin products like Foundry for Crypto, the accelerating roll-out of Foundry for Builders and higher product spend on a per-customer basis. It is a myth that Palantir is overvalued and the stock has considerable rebound potential in FY 2022!","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":356,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9003890960,"gmtCreate":1640918917203,"gmtModify":1676533555142,"author":{"id":"3572328638468429","authorId":"3572328638468429","name":"Chrisboon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9581aab52b22d38a7ada3951c7ce5779","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/HST.SI\">$Lion-OCBC Sec HSTECH S$(HST.SI)$</a>Hold hold hold","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/HST.SI\">$Lion-OCBC Sec HSTECH S$(HST.SI)$</a>Hold hold hold","text":"$Lion-OCBC Sec HSTECH S$(HST.SI)$Hold hold hold","images":[{"img":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/09a44bace4a2566c7f3e830a5398124d","width":"750","height":"1464"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":8,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9003890960","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":448,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9009806152,"gmtCreate":1640590502657,"gmtModify":1676533527837,"author":{"id":"3572328638468429","authorId":"3572328638468429","name":"Chrisboon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9581aab52b22d38a7ada3951c7ce5779","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9009806152","repostId":"2194711211","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2194711211","pubTimestamp":1640479830,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2194711211?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-26 08:50","market":"us","language":"en","title":"7 Reasons the Stock Market Could Crash in January","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2194711211","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The new year could bring an end to what's been a nearly unstoppable 21-month rally in the S&P 500.","content":"<p>In less than a week, we'll officially be ringing in a new year. However, Wall Street might be sad to see 2021 come to a close. The benchmark <b>S&amp;P 500</b> (SNPINDEX:^GSPC) has more than doubled up (+24%) its average annual total return of 11% (including dividends) over the past four decades, and it hasn't undergone a steeper correction than 5%. It's been a true running of the bulls.</p>\n<p>But as we turn the page on 2021, it's quite possible Wall Street could lose its luster. Below are seven reasons the stock market could crash in January.</p>\n<h2>1. Omicron supply chain issues (domestic and abroad)</h2>\n<p>The most obvious obstacle for the S&amp;P 500 is the ongoing spread of coronavirus variants, of which omicron is now the most predominant in the United States. The issue is that there's no unified global approach as to how best to curtail omicron. Whereas some countries are now mandating vaccines, others are imposing few restrictions, if any.</p>\n<p>With a wide variance of mitigation measures being deployed, the single greatest risk to Wall Street is continued or brand-new supply chain issues. From tech and consumer goods to industrial companies, most sectors are at risk of operating shortfalls if global logistics continue to be tied into knots by the pandemic.</p>\n<h2>2. QE winding down</h2>\n<p>Another fairly obvious high-risk factor for Wall Street is the Federal Reserve going on the offensive against inflation. As a reminder, the Consumer Price Index for all Urban Consumers (CPI-U) rose 6.8% in November, which marked a 39-year high for inflation.</p>\n<p>Earlier this month, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell announced that the nation's central bank would expedite the winding down of its quantitative easing (QE) program. QE is the umbrella program responsible for buying long-term Treasury bonds (buying T-bonds pushes up their price and weighs down long-term yields) and mortgage-backed securities.</p>\n<p>Reduced bond buying should equate to higher borrowing rates, which in turn can slow the growth potential of previously fast-paced stocks.</p>\n<h2>3. Margin calls</h2>\n<p>Wall Street should also be deeply concerned about rapidly rising levels of margin debt, which is the amount of money that's been borrowed by institutions or investors <i>with interest</i> to purchase or short-sell securities.</p>\n<p>Over time, it's perfectly normal for the nominal amount of outstanding margin debt to climb. But since the March 2020 low, the amount of outstanding margin debt has come close to doubling, and now sits at nearly $919 billion, according to November data from the independent Financial Industry Regulatory Authority.</p>\n<p>There have only been three instances in the last 26 years where margin debt outstanding rose by at least 60% in a single year. It happened just months before the dot-com bubble burst, almost immediately ahead of the financial crisis, and in 2021. If stocks drift lower to begin the year, a margin-call wave could really accelerate things to the downside.</p>\n<h2>4. Sector rotation</h2>\n<p>Sometimes, the stock market dives for purely benign reasons. One such possibility is if we witness sector rotation in January. Sector rotation refers to investors moving money from one sector of the market to another.</p>\n<p>On the surface, you'd think a broad-based index like the S&amp;P 500 wouldn't be fazed by sector rotation. But it's no secret that growth stocks in the technology and healthcare sectors have been primarily leading this rally from the March 2020 bear market bottom. Now that we're well past the one-year mark since this bottom, it wouldn't be all that surprising to see investors locking in some profits on companies with valuation premiums and migrating some of their cash to safer/value investments or dividend plays.</p>\n<p>If investors do begin to choose value and dividends over growth stocks, there's little question the market-cap-weighted S&amp;P 500 will find itself under pressure.</p>\n<h2>5. Meme stock reversion</h2>\n<p>A fifth reason the stock market could crash in January is the potential for a dive in meme stocks, such as <b>AMC Entertainment Holdings</b>&nbsp;and <b>GameStop</b>.</p>\n<p>Even though these are grossly overvalued companies that have become detached from their respectively poor operating performances, the Fed noted in its semiannual Financial Stability Report that near- and long-term risks exist with the way young and novice investors have been putting their money to work.</p>\n<p>In particular, the report highlights that households invested in these social-media-driven stocks tend to have more-leveraged balance sheets. If common sense prevails and these bubble-like stocks begin to deflate, these leveraged investors may have no choice but to retreat, leading to increased market volatility.</p>\n<h2>6. Valuation</h2>\n<p>Even though valuation is rarely ever enough, by itself, to send the S&amp;P 500 screaming lower, historic precedents do suggest Wall Street may be in trouble come January.</p>\n<p>As of the closing bell on Dec. 21, the S&amp;P 500's Shiller price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio was 39. The Shiller P/E takes into account inflation-adjusted earnings over the past 10 years. Though the Shiller P/E multiple for the S&amp;P 500 has risen a bit since the advent of the internet in the mid-1990s, the current Shiller P/E is more than double its 151-year average of 16.9.</p>\n<p>What's far more worrisome is that the S&amp;P 500 has declined at least 20% in each of the previous four instances when the Shiller P/E surpassed 30. Wall Street simply doesn't have a good track record of supporting extreme valuations for long periods of time.</p>\n<h2>7. History makes its presence felt</h2>\n<p>Lastly, investors can look to history as another reason to be concerned about the broader market.</p>\n<p>Since 1960, there have been nine bear market declines (20% or more) for the S&amp;P 500. Following each of the previous eight bear market bottoms (i.e., not including the coronavirus crash), the S&amp;P 500 underwent either one or two double-digit percentage declines in the subsequent 36 months. We're now 21 months removed from the March 2020 bear market low and haven't come close to a double-digit correction in the broad-market index.</p>\n<p>Keep in mind that if a stock market crash or correction does occur in January, it would represent a fantastic buying opportunity for long-term investors. Just be aware that crashes and corrections are the price of admission to one of the world's greatest wealth creators.</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>7 Reasons the Stock Market Could Crash in January</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n7 Reasons the Stock Market Could Crash in January\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-12-26 08:50 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/25/7-reasons-the-stock-market-could-crash-in-january/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>In less than a week, we'll officially be ringing in a new year. However, Wall Street might be sad to see 2021 come to a close. The benchmark S&P 500 (SNPINDEX:^GSPC) has more than doubled up (+24%) ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/25/7-reasons-the-stock-market-could-crash-in-january/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","SPY":"标普500ETF","OEX":"标普100","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF",".SPX":"标普500","SH":"标普500反向ETF","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/25/7-reasons-the-stock-market-could-crash-in-january/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2194711211","content_text":"In less than a week, we'll officially be ringing in a new year. However, Wall Street might be sad to see 2021 come to a close. The benchmark S&P 500 (SNPINDEX:^GSPC) has more than doubled up (+24%) its average annual total return of 11% (including dividends) over the past four decades, and it hasn't undergone a steeper correction than 5%. It's been a true running of the bulls.\nBut as we turn the page on 2021, it's quite possible Wall Street could lose its luster. Below are seven reasons the stock market could crash in January.\n1. Omicron supply chain issues (domestic and abroad)\nThe most obvious obstacle for the S&P 500 is the ongoing spread of coronavirus variants, of which omicron is now the most predominant in the United States. The issue is that there's no unified global approach as to how best to curtail omicron. Whereas some countries are now mandating vaccines, others are imposing few restrictions, if any.\nWith a wide variance of mitigation measures being deployed, the single greatest risk to Wall Street is continued or brand-new supply chain issues. From tech and consumer goods to industrial companies, most sectors are at risk of operating shortfalls if global logistics continue to be tied into knots by the pandemic.\n2. QE winding down\nAnother fairly obvious high-risk factor for Wall Street is the Federal Reserve going on the offensive against inflation. As a reminder, the Consumer Price Index for all Urban Consumers (CPI-U) rose 6.8% in November, which marked a 39-year high for inflation.\nEarlier this month, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell announced that the nation's central bank would expedite the winding down of its quantitative easing (QE) program. QE is the umbrella program responsible for buying long-term Treasury bonds (buying T-bonds pushes up their price and weighs down long-term yields) and mortgage-backed securities.\nReduced bond buying should equate to higher borrowing rates, which in turn can slow the growth potential of previously fast-paced stocks.\n3. Margin calls\nWall Street should also be deeply concerned about rapidly rising levels of margin debt, which is the amount of money that's been borrowed by institutions or investors with interest to purchase or short-sell securities.\nOver time, it's perfectly normal for the nominal amount of outstanding margin debt to climb. But since the March 2020 low, the amount of outstanding margin debt has come close to doubling, and now sits at nearly $919 billion, according to November data from the independent Financial Industry Regulatory Authority.\nThere have only been three instances in the last 26 years where margin debt outstanding rose by at least 60% in a single year. It happened just months before the dot-com bubble burst, almost immediately ahead of the financial crisis, and in 2021. If stocks drift lower to begin the year, a margin-call wave could really accelerate things to the downside.\n4. Sector rotation\nSometimes, the stock market dives for purely benign reasons. One such possibility is if we witness sector rotation in January. Sector rotation refers to investors moving money from one sector of the market to another.\nOn the surface, you'd think a broad-based index like the S&P 500 wouldn't be fazed by sector rotation. But it's no secret that growth stocks in the technology and healthcare sectors have been primarily leading this rally from the March 2020 bear market bottom. Now that we're well past the one-year mark since this bottom, it wouldn't be all that surprising to see investors locking in some profits on companies with valuation premiums and migrating some of their cash to safer/value investments or dividend plays.\nIf investors do begin to choose value and dividends over growth stocks, there's little question the market-cap-weighted S&P 500 will find itself under pressure.\n5. Meme stock reversion\nA fifth reason the stock market could crash in January is the potential for a dive in meme stocks, such as AMC Entertainment Holdings and GameStop.\nEven though these are grossly overvalued companies that have become detached from their respectively poor operating performances, the Fed noted in its semiannual Financial Stability Report that near- and long-term risks exist with the way young and novice investors have been putting their money to work.\nIn particular, the report highlights that households invested in these social-media-driven stocks tend to have more-leveraged balance sheets. If common sense prevails and these bubble-like stocks begin to deflate, these leveraged investors may have no choice but to retreat, leading to increased market volatility.\n6. Valuation\nEven though valuation is rarely ever enough, by itself, to send the S&P 500 screaming lower, historic precedents do suggest Wall Street may be in trouble come January.\nAs of the closing bell on Dec. 21, the S&P 500's Shiller price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio was 39. The Shiller P/E takes into account inflation-adjusted earnings over the past 10 years. Though the Shiller P/E multiple for the S&P 500 has risen a bit since the advent of the internet in the mid-1990s, the current Shiller P/E is more than double its 151-year average of 16.9.\nWhat's far more worrisome is that the S&P 500 has declined at least 20% in each of the previous four instances when the Shiller P/E surpassed 30. Wall Street simply doesn't have a good track record of supporting extreme valuations for long periods of time.\n7. History makes its presence felt\nLastly, investors can look to history as another reason to be concerned about the broader market.\nSince 1960, there have been nine bear market declines (20% or more) for the S&P 500. Following each of the previous eight bear market bottoms (i.e., not including the coronavirus crash), the S&P 500 underwent either one or two double-digit percentage declines in the subsequent 36 months. We're now 21 months removed from the March 2020 bear market low and haven't come close to a double-digit correction in the broad-market index.\nKeep in mind that if a stock market crash or correction does occur in January, it would represent a fantastic buying opportunity for long-term investors. Just be aware that crashes and corrections are the price of admission to one of the world's greatest wealth creators.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":138,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":863488170,"gmtCreate":1632412125490,"gmtModify":1676530777559,"author":{"id":"3572328638468429","authorId":"3572328638468429","name":"Chrisboon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9581aab52b22d38a7ada3951c7ce5779","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good good","listText":"Good good","text":"Good good","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80062fb238540ac4036c39fe24feabb1","width":"750","height":"2557"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/863488170","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":50,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":869675484,"gmtCreate":1632286768948,"gmtModify":1676530743607,"author":{"id":"3572328638468429","authorId":"3572328638468429","name":"Chrisboon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9581aab52b22d38a7ada3951c7ce5779","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Buy buy buy","listText":"Buy buy buy","text":"Buy buy buy","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/999347cc6a86cfba815440a725835b9b","width":"750","height":"1915"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":16,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/869675484","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":135,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3572328638468429","authorId":"3572328638468429","name":"Chrisboon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9581aab52b22d38a7ada3951c7ce5779","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"content":"????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????","text":"????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????","html":"????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":860722303,"gmtCreate":1632217147302,"gmtModify":1676530726919,"author":{"id":"3572328638468429","authorId":"3572328638468429","name":"Chrisboon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9581aab52b22d38a7ada3951c7ce5779","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HST.SI\">$Lion-OCBC Sec HSTECH S$(HST.SI)$</a>Go go go","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HST.SI\">$Lion-OCBC Sec HSTECH S$(HST.SI)$</a>Go go go","text":"$Lion-OCBC Sec HSTECH S$(HST.SI)$Go go go","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a78b99ddea731b4a209ba66a6b64283e","width":"750","height":"1300"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":15,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/860722303","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":149,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3572328638468429","authorId":"3572328638468429","name":"Chrisboon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9581aab52b22d38a7ada3951c7ce5779","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"content":"????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????","text":"????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????","html":"????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":887720644,"gmtCreate":1632100971688,"gmtModify":1676530700375,"author":{"id":"3572328638468429","authorId":"3572328638468429","name":"Chrisboon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9581aab52b22d38a7ada3951c7ce5779","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$</a>No eye see","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$</a>No eye see","text":"$Alibaba(BABA)$No eye see","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00227e408d73e8c2bd1b819eb341c9e4","width":"750","height":"1300"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/887720644","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":77,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":884970954,"gmtCreate":1631850909878,"gmtModify":1676530652625,"author":{"id":"3572328638468429","authorId":"3572328638468429","name":"Chrisboon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9581aab52b22d38a7ada3951c7ce5779","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Another Gg","listText":"Another Gg","text":"Another Gg","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6c7a206ee472603a7d2cd99f8cd73b8","width":"750","height":"1915"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/884970954","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":138,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":884944086,"gmtCreate":1631850704045,"gmtModify":1676530652565,"author":{"id":"3572328638468429","authorId":"3572328638468429","name":"Chrisboon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9581aab52b22d38a7ada3951c7ce5779","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$</a>Ali Alibaba&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$</a>Ali Alibaba&nbsp;","text":"$Alibaba(BABA)$Ali 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