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2022-09-23

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The SPY Game - Or How I Stopped Worrying And Learned To Look Up

2021-06-22

Post1

2021-04-09

Wow

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2021-04-07

Like and comment pls

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2021-04-07

$Pacific Biosciences of California(PACB)$A win is a win

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23:26","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The SPY Game - Or How I Stopped Worrying And Learned To Look Up","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1152785107","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryWhile fear abounds, while the market dumps after the FOMC print and subsequent speech, while ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>While fear abounds, while the market dumps after the FOMC print and subsequent speech, while everything you know seems wrong?  The market is holding up well over the June lows.</li><li>We believe SPY remains on course to make new all-time highs in the coming year or so.</li><li>Our evidence for this?  Basic pattern recognition coupled with a high-octane dose of cynicism.</li></ul><p><i>DISCLAIMER: This note is intended for US recipients only and, in particular, is not directed at, nor intended to be relied upon by any UK recipients. Any information or analysis in this note is not an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer</i> <i>to buy any securities. Nothing in this note is intended to be investment advice and nor should it be relied upon to make investment decisions. Cestrian Capital Research, Inc., its employees, agents or affiliates, including the author of this note, or related persons, may have a position in any stocks, security, or financial instrument referenced in this note. Any opinions, analyses, or probabilities expressed in this note are those of the author as of the note&#39;s date of publication and are subject to change without notice. Companies referenced in this note or their employees or affiliates may be customers of Cestrian Capital Research, Inc. Cestrian Capital Research, Inc. values both its independence and transparency and does not believe that this presents a material potential conflict of interest or impacts the content of its research or publications.</i></p><p>It&#39;s Not Going To Zero. Really It Isn&#39;t.</p><p>As everyone knows the whole market is going to zero, fast, or if not zero then maybe 3000 on the S&amp;P and 10000 on the Nasdaq or whatever. The just desserts of an economy over-fattened by Fed helicopter money with a workforce that would rather buy-pumpkin-spice-latte-pay-later-when-mom-lends-me-the-money than get down to a hard day&#39;s work from dawn to dusk. The decadence of the end of empire. America the Great is Finished. Finished, I tell you!</p><p>This garbage is all over FinTwit right now and in truth it&#39;s not worth reading. The market will go up or it will go down but it has nothing to do with whether Chad makes his Klarna payment or not. It has to do with the institutional dynamic of moving money around in order to generate gains whether the weather be good or whether the weather be bad. And no more so than around key dates such as quarterly options expiry and FOMC prints.</p><p><b>Let&#39;s Talk About SPY</b></p><p>OK folks, let&#39;s just take a step back and zoom out onNYSEARCA:SPY. Using absolutely standard technical analysis pattern-recognition tools (we like the Elliott Wave / Fibonacci method, but, other methods also are available) we can say that in the larger degree, SPY has been carving out a 5-wave up cycle since its 2015 lows. Like this</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca80a46b6ff8f158873974f116b4ad7f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"315\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>SPY Chart I(TrendSpider, Cestrian Analysis)</p><p>Wave 1 moves up from the 2015 lows to the 2019 high, adding around $158/share on the way up.</p><p>Wave 2 moves from the pre-Covid high to the crisis low, in a Yikes Cat type move as befits a Wave 2, troughs at the 0.786 retrace for a $122/share correction.</p><p>Then Wave 3, adding $283/share to peak a little above the 1.618 extension of Wave 1 (the share price movement in W1 multiplied by 1.618 and placed at the Wave 2 low), right at the end of 2021.</p><p>And along comes the will-it-ever-end Wave 4 selloff of 2022 which despite the apparent unrelented selling - just ask anyone on FinTwit, they&#39;ll tell you! - troughed in June at between the 0.5 and 0.618 retrace of that big Wave 3 high.</p><p>So now the standard Elliott Wave pattern tells us that SPY can make a new high in a final Wave 5 up, peaking sometime in 2023 most likely. A minimum target of $480 or better, enough to just peak above that Wave 3 high.</p><p>Yes, we&#39;re saying SPY can climb to never-before-conquered levels despite inflation and recession and 75bps and labor market and blah. Why? Because SPY has traded <i>so</i> well to this standard pattern for so long that we believe it more likely than not that it sees the pattern through to the end.</p><p>But don&#39;t take our word for it. Let&#39;s zoom in. As you know, if SPY has commenced its climb up from the June lows towards its final resting place in the sky, it ought to be showing wave progress in the smaller degree too.</p><p>And is it ever. Today&#39;s close was actually funny, so perfectly did the ETF kiss the 0.618 retraces of Wave 3 on the way up then the 0.786 retrace on the way down. But even after this dump the stock remains perfectly positioned to move up. This is the Wave 1 and Wave 2 in the smaller degree up off of the June lows. That is one picture-perfect Wave 2 low right there. We shall see what happens but to us that&#39;s thus far confirming evidence that SPY will be moving up.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65bfa539e75474ecde04800d17b63585\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"321\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>SPY Chart II(TrendSpider, Cestrian Analysis)</p><p><b>What The Fed Is Going On Then?</b></p><p>Today was a very strange day if you look closely. The index ETFs SPY and QQQ both did exactly the same thing - the two charts above are in essence carbon copies whether you look at the QQQ or the SPY. Up then down, to close down, at a level suggesting that the next big move is up. But still bright red on the day.</p><p>Whereas ostensibly more scary stocks like Cloudflare (NET), Palantir (PLTR), DataDog (DDOG) and so on - were ...<i>up</i>? Huh?</p><p>We may be able to shed some light on this. Now, we hate to come over all FinTwit once more and be shouting about <i>manipulation</i> and so forth. Because that&#39;s just naive. In the Great Online Game of traded securities, the game is in fact that all the other players are trying to take all your money off of you. That is Rule 1. The basic rule. The constitution upon which all other rules are founded. And further, while we don&#39;t doubt that there are some bad apples in the virtual Big Apple that&#39;s rather quaintly still referred to as The Street, most times Big Money is just doing its job which is, being good at taking money off of Chad and not letting Chad take money off of it, or at least not for very long.</p><p>You see in the index ETFs there&#39;s a hugely powerful force at work - not Jerome Powell, not Redditors, but the options market. The capital sloshing around in options way exceeds the capital in equities, and as a result it&#39;s to some degree true that options are the primary security class, equities the derivatives. As a simple illustration, here you can see how the major reversal points in SPY in recent years have coincided with major options expiry dates.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f1de0c0082c1ca0ce7a2e248d7d64ef\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"320\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>S&amp;P Chart III(TrendSpider, Cestrian Analysis)</p><p>Options markets love FOMC days because the emotion - the volatility - is running high. And you have a wall of capital in SPY and QQQ puts and calls sat driving the ETF stocks around all day. It&#39;s no surprise on that basis that the closing price - the place where the option probability surface collapses to a singularity - hit a key technical level in both the SPY and the QQQ with such precision. Now, if you want to go deeper into the options-are-primary, stocks-are-derivatives rabbit hole - and it&#39;s a doozy - we suggest you take a look at our friends over at SpotGamma who are expert on the topic. For us, we&#39;ll just observe that the wall of option money pushing the ETFs around is not in place at scary high-beta names such as NET or PLTR and so on. So the market reaction today may look like genuine fear, but it isn&#39;t. Because if it was widespread genuine fear, all these high beta names would be getting dumped. And they&#39;re not.</p><p>So we say: SPY is setting up in a smaller degree 1,2 for a smaller degree 3 which will represent a material push up toward that new all time high. We think the next big move for SPY is, up, and we think the June low was the low for the Wave 4 just passed. You&#39;ll know soon enough if we&#39;re right or wrong. If right, SPY won&#39;t spend long at the $377 zip code but will instead move up and out; if wrong, SPY will plunge down through that $377 level to continue the larger-degree Wave 4 down. This will happen soon, either way.</p><p>For now we remain bullish on SPY and assign an Accumulate rating to the name.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The SPY Game - Or How I Stopped Worrying And Learned To Look Up</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe SPY Game - Or How I Stopped Worrying And Learned To Look Up\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-22 23:26 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4542378-spy-stop-worrying-learn-to-look-up><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryWhile fear abounds, while the market dumps after the FOMC print and subsequent speech, while everything you know seems wrong?  The market is holding up well over the June lows.We believe SPY ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4542378-spy-stop-worrying-learn-to-look-up\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4542378-spy-stop-worrying-learn-to-look-up","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1152785107","content_text":"SummaryWhile fear abounds, while the market dumps after the FOMC print and subsequent speech, while everything you know seems wrong?  The market is holding up well over the June lows.We believe SPY remains on course to make new all-time highs in the coming year or so.Our evidence for this?  Basic pattern recognition coupled with a high-octane dose of cynicism.DISCLAIMER: This note is intended for US recipients only and, in particular, is not directed at, nor intended to be relied upon by any UK recipients. Any information or analysis in this note is not an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any securities. Nothing in this note is intended to be investment advice and nor should it be relied upon to make investment decisions. Cestrian Capital Research, Inc., its employees, agents or affiliates, including the author of this note, or related persons, may have a position in any stocks, security, or financial instrument referenced in this note. Any opinions, analyses, or probabilities expressed in this note are those of the author as of the note's date of publication and are subject to change without notice. Companies referenced in this note or their employees or affiliates may be customers of Cestrian Capital Research, Inc. Cestrian Capital Research, Inc. values both its independence and transparency and does not believe that this presents a material potential conflict of interest or impacts the content of its research or publications.It's Not Going To Zero. Really It Isn't.As everyone knows the whole market is going to zero, fast, or if not zero then maybe 3000 on the S&P and 10000 on the Nasdaq or whatever. The just desserts of an economy over-fattened by Fed helicopter money with a workforce that would rather buy-pumpkin-spice-latte-pay-later-when-mom-lends-me-the-money than get down to a hard day's work from dawn to dusk. The decadence of the end of empire. America the Great is Finished. Finished, I tell you!This garbage is all over FinTwit right now and in truth it's not worth reading. The market will go up or it will go down but it has nothing to do with whether Chad makes his Klarna payment or not. It has to do with the institutional dynamic of moving money around in order to generate gains whether the weather be good or whether the weather be bad. And no more so than around key dates such as quarterly options expiry and FOMC prints.Let's Talk About SPYOK folks, let's just take a step back and zoom out onNYSEARCA:SPY. Using absolutely standard technical analysis pattern-recognition tools (we like the Elliott Wave / Fibonacci method, but, other methods also are available) we can say that in the larger degree, SPY has been carving out a 5-wave up cycle since its 2015 lows. Like thisSPY Chart I(TrendSpider, Cestrian Analysis)Wave 1 moves up from the 2015 lows to the 2019 high, adding around $158/share on the way up.Wave 2 moves from the pre-Covid high to the crisis low, in a Yikes Cat type move as befits a Wave 2, troughs at the 0.786 retrace for a $122/share correction.Then Wave 3, adding $283/share to peak a little above the 1.618 extension of Wave 1 (the share price movement in W1 multiplied by 1.618 and placed at the Wave 2 low), right at the end of 2021.And along comes the will-it-ever-end Wave 4 selloff of 2022 which despite the apparent unrelented selling - just ask anyone on FinTwit, they'll tell you! - troughed in June at between the 0.5 and 0.618 retrace of that big Wave 3 high.So now the standard Elliott Wave pattern tells us that SPY can make a new high in a final Wave 5 up, peaking sometime in 2023 most likely. A minimum target of $480 or better, enough to just peak above that Wave 3 high.Yes, we're saying SPY can climb to never-before-conquered levels despite inflation and recession and 75bps and labor market and blah. Why? Because SPY has traded so well to this standard pattern for so long that we believe it more likely than not that it sees the pattern through to the end.But don't take our word for it. Let's zoom in. As you know, if SPY has commenced its climb up from the June lows towards its final resting place in the sky, it ought to be showing wave progress in the smaller degree too.And is it ever. Today's close was actually funny, so perfectly did the ETF kiss the 0.618 retraces of Wave 3 on the way up then the 0.786 retrace on the way down. But even after this dump the stock remains perfectly positioned to move up. This is the Wave 1 and Wave 2 in the smaller degree up off of the June lows. That is one picture-perfect Wave 2 low right there. We shall see what happens but to us that's thus far confirming evidence that SPY will be moving up.SPY Chart II(TrendSpider, Cestrian Analysis)What The Fed Is Going On Then?Today was a very strange day if you look closely. The index ETFs SPY and QQQ both did exactly the same thing - the two charts above are in essence carbon copies whether you look at the QQQ or the SPY. Up then down, to close down, at a level suggesting that the next big move is up. But still bright red on the day.Whereas ostensibly more scary stocks like Cloudflare (NET), Palantir (PLTR), DataDog (DDOG) and so on - were ...up? Huh?We may be able to shed some light on this. Now, we hate to come over all FinTwit once more and be shouting about manipulation and so forth. Because that's just naive. In the Great Online Game of traded securities, the game is in fact that all the other players are trying to take all your money off of you. That is Rule 1. The basic rule. The constitution upon which all other rules are founded. And further, while we don't doubt that there are some bad apples in the virtual Big Apple that's rather quaintly still referred to as The Street, most times Big Money is just doing its job which is, being good at taking money off of Chad and not letting Chad take money off of it, or at least not for very long.You see in the index ETFs there's a hugely powerful force at work - not Jerome Powell, not Redditors, but the options market. The capital sloshing around in options way exceeds the capital in equities, and as a result it's to some degree true that options are the primary security class, equities the derivatives. As a simple illustration, here you can see how the major reversal points in SPY in recent years have coincided with major options expiry dates.S&P Chart III(TrendSpider, Cestrian Analysis)Options markets love FOMC days because the emotion - the volatility - is running high. And you have a wall of capital in SPY and QQQ puts and calls sat driving the ETF stocks around all day. It's no surprise on that basis that the closing price - the place where the option probability surface collapses to a singularity - hit a key technical level in both the SPY and the QQQ with such precision. Now, if you want to go deeper into the options-are-primary, stocks-are-derivatives rabbit hole - and it's a doozy - we suggest you take a look at our friends over at SpotGamma who are expert on the topic. For us, we'll just observe that the wall of option money pushing the ETFs around is not in place at scary high-beta names such as NET or PLTR and so on. So the market reaction today may look like genuine fear, but it isn't. Because if it was widespread genuine fear, all these high beta names would be getting dumped. And they're not.So we say: SPY is setting up in a smaller degree 1,2 for a smaller degree 3 which will represent a material push up toward that new all time high. We think the next big move for SPY is, up, and we think the June low was the low for the Wave 4 just passed. You'll know soon enough if we're right or wrong. If right, SPY won't spend long at the $377 zip code but will instead move up and out; if wrong, SPY will plunge down through that $377 level to continue the larger-degree Wave 4 down. This will happen soon, either way.For now we remain bullish on SPY and assign an Accumulate rating to the name.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":379,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":120725380,"gmtCreate":1624338689740,"gmtModify":1703833912692,"author":{"id":"3573037539158386","authorId":"3573037539158386","name":"UnGlame","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/db8af2920dc64d130ab2e1f3a8ffa01e","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573037539158386","authorIdStr":"3573037539158386"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Post1","listText":"Post1","text":"Post1","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/120725380","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":455,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":346097538,"gmtCreate":1617972180824,"gmtModify":1704705476013,"author":{"id":"3573037539158386","authorId":"3573037539158386","name":"UnGlame","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/db8af2920dc64d130ab2e1f3a8ffa01e","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573037539158386","authorIdStr":"3573037539158386"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/346097538","repostId":"2126970735","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":317,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":341365145,"gmtCreate":1617784280987,"gmtModify":1704703071896,"author":{"id":"3573037539158386","authorId":"3573037539158386","name":"UnGlame","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/db8af2920dc64d130ab2e1f3a8ffa01e","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573037539158386","authorIdStr":"3573037539158386"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment pls","listText":"Like and comment pls","text":"Like and comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/341365145","repostId":"1135610440","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":415,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":341026257,"gmtCreate":1617763363879,"gmtModify":1704702804561,"author":{"id":"3573037539158386","authorId":"3573037539158386","name":"UnGlame","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/db8af2920dc64d130ab2e1f3a8ffa01e","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573037539158386","authorIdStr":"3573037539158386"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PACB\">$Pacific Biosciences of California(PACB)$</a>A win is a win","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PACB\">$Pacific Biosciences of California(PACB)$</a>A win is a win","text":"$Pacific Biosciences of California(PACB)$A win is a win","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae40f5256e5a2bb240caea4ffa05149d","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/341026257","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":456,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":341365145,"gmtCreate":1617784280987,"gmtModify":1704703071896,"author":{"id":"3573037539158386","authorId":"3573037539158386","name":"UnGlame","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/db8af2920dc64d130ab2e1f3a8ffa01e","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573037539158386","authorIdStr":"3573037539158386"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment pls","listText":"Like and comment pls","text":"Like and comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/341365145","repostId":"1135610440","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1135610440","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1617783472,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1135610440?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-04-07 16:17","market":"us","language":"en","title":"GameStop, AMC Selling Shares Is A Good Long-Term Move, Says Cramer","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1135610440","media":"Benzinga","summary":"CNBC host Jim Cramer has lauded gaming retailerGameStop Corp.GME 0.05%and movie theatre chainAMC Ent","content":"<p>CNBC host Jim Cramer has lauded gaming retailer<b>GameStop Corp.</b>GME 0.05%and movie theatre chain<b>AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc.</b>AMC 0.04%for their plans to sell more shares, saying that issuing shares is the “right move” in the long term.</p><p><b>What Happened:</b>&nbsp;Cramersaidthe two companies' plans to offer new shares and raise cash to improve their operations should not be frowned upon. However, he noted that the “hold the line” crowd of investors that got stock tips from the WallStreetBets forum hates these offerings and despises anyone who defends them.</p><p>“AMC and GameStop need money. Raising capital is good for both companies and over the long haul, what’s good for the company should be good for the stock,” Cramer said on CNBC’s “Mad Money” show.</p><p>GameStop said itplans to sellup to 3.5 million shares in an “at-the-market” equity offering through Jefferies LLC. AMCsaidit is seeking shareholder approval to sell 500 million shares.</p><p><b>Why It Matters:</b>&nbsp;Shares of heavily-shorted stocks such as GameStop, AMC Entertainment and<b>Rocket Companies Inc</b>.RKT 0.09%skyrocketed have seen extreme volatility as retail traders belonging to the Reddit Investor forum r/WallStreetBets bid up the stocks to create a short squeeze.</p><p>GameStop stock has returned year-to-date gains of 879.3% as of Tuesday’s close, while AMC Entertainment stock has gained 381.1% during the period.</p><p>GameStop acknowledged the fluctuations in the market price of its stock of late and cited “short squeezes” as a risk factor facing the company in an SEC filing, alongside uncertainty related to COVID-19. The struggling brick-and-mortar retailer is expected to adopt a digital business model led by major shareholder Ryan Cohen.</p><p>Meanwhile, AMC has struggled amid the pandemic as the closure of theatres forced the company into acash crunch. The company, whichreopened98% of its locations in March, now expects the rollout of Covid-19 vaccines in the U.S. and the release of blockbuster movie titles in the coming months to boost sales this year.</p><p><b>Price Action:</b>&nbsp;GameStop shares closed 1.3% lower on Tuesday at $184.50, while AMC Entertainment shares closed almost 3.9% lower at $10.20.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>GameStop, AMC Selling Shares Is A Good Long-Term Move, Says Cramer</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGameStop, AMC Selling Shares Is A Good Long-Term Move, Says Cramer\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-04-07 16:17</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>CNBC host Jim Cramer has lauded gaming retailer<b>GameStop Corp.</b>GME 0.05%and movie theatre chain<b>AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc.</b>AMC 0.04%for their plans to sell more shares, saying that issuing shares is the “right move” in the long term.</p><p><b>What Happened:</b>&nbsp;Cramersaidthe two companies' plans to offer new shares and raise cash to improve their operations should not be frowned upon. However, he noted that the “hold the line” crowd of investors that got stock tips from the WallStreetBets forum hates these offerings and despises anyone who defends them.</p><p>“AMC and GameStop need money. Raising capital is good for both companies and over the long haul, what’s good for the company should be good for the stock,” Cramer said on CNBC’s “Mad Money” show.</p><p>GameStop said itplans to sellup to 3.5 million shares in an “at-the-market” equity offering through Jefferies LLC. AMCsaidit is seeking shareholder approval to sell 500 million shares.</p><p><b>Why It Matters:</b>&nbsp;Shares of heavily-shorted stocks such as GameStop, AMC Entertainment and<b>Rocket Companies Inc</b>.RKT 0.09%skyrocketed have seen extreme volatility as retail traders belonging to the Reddit Investor forum r/WallStreetBets bid up the stocks to create a short squeeze.</p><p>GameStop stock has returned year-to-date gains of 879.3% as of Tuesday’s close, while AMC Entertainment stock has gained 381.1% during the period.</p><p>GameStop acknowledged the fluctuations in the market price of its stock of late and cited “short squeezes” as a risk factor facing the company in an SEC filing, alongside uncertainty related to COVID-19. The struggling brick-and-mortar retailer is expected to adopt a digital business model led by major shareholder Ryan Cohen.</p><p>Meanwhile, AMC has struggled amid the pandemic as the closure of theatres forced the company into acash crunch. The company, whichreopened98% of its locations in March, now expects the rollout of Covid-19 vaccines in the U.S. and the release of blockbuster movie titles in the coming months to boost sales this year.</p><p><b>Price Action:</b>&nbsp;GameStop shares closed 1.3% lower on Tuesday at $184.50, while AMC Entertainment shares closed almost 3.9% lower at $10.20.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线","GME":"游戏驿站"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1135610440","content_text":"CNBC host Jim Cramer has lauded gaming retailerGameStop Corp.GME 0.05%and movie theatre chainAMC Entertainment Holdings Inc.AMC 0.04%for their plans to sell more shares, saying that issuing shares is the “right move” in the long term.What Happened: Cramersaidthe two companies' plans to offer new shares and raise cash to improve their operations should not be frowned upon. However, he noted that the “hold the line” crowd of investors that got stock tips from the WallStreetBets forum hates these offerings and despises anyone who defends them.“AMC and GameStop need money. Raising capital is good for both companies and over the long haul, what’s good for the company should be good for the stock,” Cramer said on CNBC’s “Mad Money” show.GameStop said itplans to sellup to 3.5 million shares in an “at-the-market” equity offering through Jefferies LLC. AMCsaidit is seeking shareholder approval to sell 500 million shares.Why It Matters: Shares of heavily-shorted stocks such as GameStop, AMC Entertainment andRocket Companies Inc.RKT 0.09%skyrocketed have seen extreme volatility as retail traders belonging to the Reddit Investor forum r/WallStreetBets bid up the stocks to create a short squeeze.GameStop stock has returned year-to-date gains of 879.3% as of Tuesday’s close, while AMC Entertainment stock has gained 381.1% during the period.GameStop acknowledged the fluctuations in the market price of its stock of late and cited “short squeezes” as a risk factor facing the company in an SEC filing, alongside uncertainty related to COVID-19. The struggling brick-and-mortar retailer is expected to adopt a digital business model led by major shareholder Ryan Cohen.Meanwhile, AMC has struggled amid the pandemic as the closure of theatres forced the company into acash crunch. The company, whichreopened98% of its locations in March, now expects the rollout of Covid-19 vaccines in the U.S. and the release of blockbuster movie titles in the coming months to boost sales this year.Price Action: GameStop shares closed 1.3% lower on Tuesday at $184.50, while AMC Entertainment shares closed almost 3.9% lower at $10.20.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":415,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":346097538,"gmtCreate":1617972180824,"gmtModify":1704705476013,"author":{"id":"3573037539158386","authorId":"3573037539158386","name":"UnGlame","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/db8af2920dc64d130ab2e1f3a8ffa01e","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573037539158386","authorIdStr":"3573037539158386"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/346097538","repostId":"2126970735","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2126970735","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1617956724,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2126970735?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-04-09 16:25","market":"us","language":"en","title":"GameStop's strong stock performance triggered board director's exit","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2126970735","media":"Reuters","summary":"Hestia Capital Partners LP managing director Kurt Wolf joined GameStop Corp's board to make the U.S.","content":"<p>Hestia Capital Partners LP managing director Kurt Wolf joined GameStop Corp's board to make the U.S. video game retailer more valuable. Then it became too valuable for him to stay on.</p>\n<p>The hedge fund manager resigned his directorship this week because his investors fretted the bet on the company, which scored a paper gain of 3,500%, had become too large and risky, three people familiar with the matter said on Thursday.</p>\n<p>Giving up the board seat allows Wolf to sell GameStop shares for his investors without restrictions to meet redemption requests, the sources said.</p>\n<p>Hestia currently owns 318,600 GameStop shares valued at roughly $53.8 million. It oversaw $75.6 million in assets as of the end of March, with GameStop being its single largest investment.</p>\n<p>Hestia has a mandate to invest in \"deep value\" assets that are unloved and undervalued. GameStop's shares have been on a wild rally since January as amateur traders organized on social media platforms such as Reddit to snap them up, making them unsuitable for the kind of investing Hestia's clients hired the fund for, the sources said.</p>\n<p>Hestia returned 223.7% in the first three months of 2021 after gaining 162% last year, and Wolf now plans to unload the GameStop shares, the sources said.</p>\n<p>Wolf did not respond to emails seeking comment. GameStop said in a filing on Thursday that Wolf's resignation \"is not the result of any disagreement with the company or the board.\" It declined to comment further.</p>\n<p>Hestia originally invested in GameStop in 2019 spending an average $5 a share. A year later, when GameStop was valued at roughly $250 million, Wolf criticized the board for poor strategic planning and capital allocation and asked for a board seat for himself. GameStop shares now trade around $169 and the company is valued at roughly $12.5 billion.</p>\n<p>Emergent Capital Advisors, a hedge fund-of-funds that invests with roughly a dozen small firms like Hestia, was Hestia's biggest investor and asked for its capital back. It had invested with Hestia through a separately managed account and asked Wolf to return control of the portfolio at the end of March. In January, Wolf had already sold roughly $20 million worth of GameStop shares on behalf of Emergent when the stock price was around $20 a share, the sources said.</p>\n<p>A spokesman for Emergent Capital declined to comment.</p>\n<p>Wolf joined GameStop's board in June 2020. Within months, Ryan Cohen, the co-founder and former CEO of online pet food retailer Chewy Inc, joined Wolf on the board. He has since been spearheading its pivot from brick-and-mortar stores to e-commerce. GameStop said on Thursday Cohen would become chairman of its board later this year.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>GameStop's strong stock performance triggered board director's exit</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGameStop's strong stock performance triggered board director's exit\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-04-09 16:25</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Hestia Capital Partners LP managing director Kurt Wolf joined GameStop Corp's board to make the U.S. video game retailer more valuable. Then it became too valuable for him to stay on.</p>\n<p>The hedge fund manager resigned his directorship this week because his investors fretted the bet on the company, which scored a paper gain of 3,500%, had become too large and risky, three people familiar with the matter said on Thursday.</p>\n<p>Giving up the board seat allows Wolf to sell GameStop shares for his investors without restrictions to meet redemption requests, the sources said.</p>\n<p>Hestia currently owns 318,600 GameStop shares valued at roughly $53.8 million. It oversaw $75.6 million in assets as of the end of March, with GameStop being its single largest investment.</p>\n<p>Hestia has a mandate to invest in \"deep value\" assets that are unloved and undervalued. GameStop's shares have been on a wild rally since January as amateur traders organized on social media platforms such as Reddit to snap them up, making them unsuitable for the kind of investing Hestia's clients hired the fund for, the sources said.</p>\n<p>Hestia returned 223.7% in the first three months of 2021 after gaining 162% last year, and Wolf now plans to unload the GameStop shares, the sources said.</p>\n<p>Wolf did not respond to emails seeking comment. GameStop said in a filing on Thursday that Wolf's resignation \"is not the result of any disagreement with the company or the board.\" It declined to comment further.</p>\n<p>Hestia originally invested in GameStop in 2019 spending an average $5 a share. A year later, when GameStop was valued at roughly $250 million, Wolf criticized the board for poor strategic planning and capital allocation and asked for a board seat for himself. GameStop shares now trade around $169 and the company is valued at roughly $12.5 billion.</p>\n<p>Emergent Capital Advisors, a hedge fund-of-funds that invests with roughly a dozen small firms like Hestia, was Hestia's biggest investor and asked for its capital back. It had invested with Hestia through a separately managed account and asked Wolf to return control of the portfolio at the end of March. In January, Wolf had already sold roughly $20 million worth of GameStop shares on behalf of Emergent when the stock price was around $20 a share, the sources said.</p>\n<p>A spokesman for Emergent Capital declined to comment.</p>\n<p>Wolf joined GameStop's board in June 2020. Within months, Ryan Cohen, the co-founder and former CEO of online pet food retailer Chewy Inc, joined Wolf on the board. He has since been spearheading its pivot from brick-and-mortar stores to e-commerce. GameStop said on Thursday Cohen would become chairman of its board later this year.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GME":"游戏驿站"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2126970735","content_text":"Hestia Capital Partners LP managing director Kurt Wolf joined GameStop Corp's board to make the U.S. video game retailer more valuable. Then it became too valuable for him to stay on.\nThe hedge fund manager resigned his directorship this week because his investors fretted the bet on the company, which scored a paper gain of 3,500%, had become too large and risky, three people familiar with the matter said on Thursday.\nGiving up the board seat allows Wolf to sell GameStop shares for his investors without restrictions to meet redemption requests, the sources said.\nHestia currently owns 318,600 GameStop shares valued at roughly $53.8 million. It oversaw $75.6 million in assets as of the end of March, with GameStop being its single largest investment.\nHestia has a mandate to invest in \"deep value\" assets that are unloved and undervalued. GameStop's shares have been on a wild rally since January as amateur traders organized on social media platforms such as Reddit to snap them up, making them unsuitable for the kind of investing Hestia's clients hired the fund for, the sources said.\nHestia returned 223.7% in the first three months of 2021 after gaining 162% last year, and Wolf now plans to unload the GameStop shares, the sources said.\nWolf did not respond to emails seeking comment. GameStop said in a filing on Thursday that Wolf's resignation \"is not the result of any disagreement with the company or the board.\" It declined to comment further.\nHestia originally invested in GameStop in 2019 spending an average $5 a share. A year later, when GameStop was valued at roughly $250 million, Wolf criticized the board for poor strategic planning and capital allocation and asked for a board seat for himself. GameStop shares now trade around $169 and the company is valued at roughly $12.5 billion.\nEmergent Capital Advisors, a hedge fund-of-funds that invests with roughly a dozen small firms like Hestia, was Hestia's biggest investor and asked for its capital back. It had invested with Hestia through a separately managed account and asked Wolf to return control of the portfolio at the end of March. In January, Wolf had already sold roughly $20 million worth of GameStop shares on behalf of Emergent when the stock price was around $20 a share, the sources said.\nA spokesman for Emergent Capital declined to comment.\nWolf joined GameStop's board in June 2020. Within months, Ryan Cohen, the co-founder and former CEO of online pet food retailer Chewy Inc, joined Wolf on the board. He has since been spearheading its pivot from brick-and-mortar stores to e-commerce. GameStop said on Thursday Cohen would become chairman of its board later this year.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":317,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9913310277,"gmtCreate":1663909147600,"gmtModify":1676537361762,"author":{"id":"3573037539158386","authorId":"3573037539158386","name":"UnGlame","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/db8af2920dc64d130ab2e1f3a8ffa01e","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573037539158386","authorIdStr":"3573037539158386"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9913310277","repostId":"1152785107","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1152785107","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1663860360,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1152785107?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-22 23:26","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The SPY Game - Or How I Stopped Worrying And Learned To Look Up","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1152785107","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryWhile fear abounds, while the market dumps after the FOMC print and subsequent speech, while ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>While fear abounds, while the market dumps after the FOMC print and subsequent speech, while everything you know seems wrong?  The market is holding up well over the June lows.</li><li>We believe SPY remains on course to make new all-time highs in the coming year or so.</li><li>Our evidence for this?  Basic pattern recognition coupled with a high-octane dose of cynicism.</li></ul><p><i>DISCLAIMER: This note is intended for US recipients only and, in particular, is not directed at, nor intended to be relied upon by any UK recipients. Any information or analysis in this note is not an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer</i> <i>to buy any securities. Nothing in this note is intended to be investment advice and nor should it be relied upon to make investment decisions. Cestrian Capital Research, Inc., its employees, agents or affiliates, including the author of this note, or related persons, may have a position in any stocks, security, or financial instrument referenced in this note. Any opinions, analyses, or probabilities expressed in this note are those of the author as of the note&#39;s date of publication and are subject to change without notice. Companies referenced in this note or their employees or affiliates may be customers of Cestrian Capital Research, Inc. Cestrian Capital Research, Inc. values both its independence and transparency and does not believe that this presents a material potential conflict of interest or impacts the content of its research or publications.</i></p><p>It&#39;s Not Going To Zero. Really It Isn&#39;t.</p><p>As everyone knows the whole market is going to zero, fast, or if not zero then maybe 3000 on the S&amp;P and 10000 on the Nasdaq or whatever. The just desserts of an economy over-fattened by Fed helicopter money with a workforce that would rather buy-pumpkin-spice-latte-pay-later-when-mom-lends-me-the-money than get down to a hard day&#39;s work from dawn to dusk. The decadence of the end of empire. America the Great is Finished. Finished, I tell you!</p><p>This garbage is all over FinTwit right now and in truth it&#39;s not worth reading. The market will go up or it will go down but it has nothing to do with whether Chad makes his Klarna payment or not. It has to do with the institutional dynamic of moving money around in order to generate gains whether the weather be good or whether the weather be bad. And no more so than around key dates such as quarterly options expiry and FOMC prints.</p><p><b>Let&#39;s Talk About SPY</b></p><p>OK folks, let&#39;s just take a step back and zoom out onNYSEARCA:SPY. Using absolutely standard technical analysis pattern-recognition tools (we like the Elliott Wave / Fibonacci method, but, other methods also are available) we can say that in the larger degree, SPY has been carving out a 5-wave up cycle since its 2015 lows. Like this</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca80a46b6ff8f158873974f116b4ad7f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"315\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>SPY Chart I(TrendSpider, Cestrian Analysis)</p><p>Wave 1 moves up from the 2015 lows to the 2019 high, adding around $158/share on the way up.</p><p>Wave 2 moves from the pre-Covid high to the crisis low, in a Yikes Cat type move as befits a Wave 2, troughs at the 0.786 retrace for a $122/share correction.</p><p>Then Wave 3, adding $283/share to peak a little above the 1.618 extension of Wave 1 (the share price movement in W1 multiplied by 1.618 and placed at the Wave 2 low), right at the end of 2021.</p><p>And along comes the will-it-ever-end Wave 4 selloff of 2022 which despite the apparent unrelented selling - just ask anyone on FinTwit, they&#39;ll tell you! - troughed in June at between the 0.5 and 0.618 retrace of that big Wave 3 high.</p><p>So now the standard Elliott Wave pattern tells us that SPY can make a new high in a final Wave 5 up, peaking sometime in 2023 most likely. A minimum target of $480 or better, enough to just peak above that Wave 3 high.</p><p>Yes, we&#39;re saying SPY can climb to never-before-conquered levels despite inflation and recession and 75bps and labor market and blah. Why? Because SPY has traded <i>so</i> well to this standard pattern for so long that we believe it more likely than not that it sees the pattern through to the end.</p><p>But don&#39;t take our word for it. Let&#39;s zoom in. As you know, if SPY has commenced its climb up from the June lows towards its final resting place in the sky, it ought to be showing wave progress in the smaller degree too.</p><p>And is it ever. Today&#39;s close was actually funny, so perfectly did the ETF kiss the 0.618 retraces of Wave 3 on the way up then the 0.786 retrace on the way down. But even after this dump the stock remains perfectly positioned to move up. This is the Wave 1 and Wave 2 in the smaller degree up off of the June lows. That is one picture-perfect Wave 2 low right there. We shall see what happens but to us that&#39;s thus far confirming evidence that SPY will be moving up.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65bfa539e75474ecde04800d17b63585\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"321\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>SPY Chart II(TrendSpider, Cestrian Analysis)</p><p><b>What The Fed Is Going On Then?</b></p><p>Today was a very strange day if you look closely. The index ETFs SPY and QQQ both did exactly the same thing - the two charts above are in essence carbon copies whether you look at the QQQ or the SPY. Up then down, to close down, at a level suggesting that the next big move is up. But still bright red on the day.</p><p>Whereas ostensibly more scary stocks like Cloudflare (NET), Palantir (PLTR), DataDog (DDOG) and so on - were ...<i>up</i>? Huh?</p><p>We may be able to shed some light on this. Now, we hate to come over all FinTwit once more and be shouting about <i>manipulation</i> and so forth. Because that&#39;s just naive. In the Great Online Game of traded securities, the game is in fact that all the other players are trying to take all your money off of you. That is Rule 1. The basic rule. The constitution upon which all other rules are founded. And further, while we don&#39;t doubt that there are some bad apples in the virtual Big Apple that&#39;s rather quaintly still referred to as The Street, most times Big Money is just doing its job which is, being good at taking money off of Chad and not letting Chad take money off of it, or at least not for very long.</p><p>You see in the index ETFs there&#39;s a hugely powerful force at work - not Jerome Powell, not Redditors, but the options market. The capital sloshing around in options way exceeds the capital in equities, and as a result it&#39;s to some degree true that options are the primary security class, equities the derivatives. As a simple illustration, here you can see how the major reversal points in SPY in recent years have coincided with major options expiry dates.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f1de0c0082c1ca0ce7a2e248d7d64ef\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"320\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>S&amp;P Chart III(TrendSpider, Cestrian Analysis)</p><p>Options markets love FOMC days because the emotion - the volatility - is running high. And you have a wall of capital in SPY and QQQ puts and calls sat driving the ETF stocks around all day. It&#39;s no surprise on that basis that the closing price - the place where the option probability surface collapses to a singularity - hit a key technical level in both the SPY and the QQQ with such precision. Now, if you want to go deeper into the options-are-primary, stocks-are-derivatives rabbit hole - and it&#39;s a doozy - we suggest you take a look at our friends over at SpotGamma who are expert on the topic. For us, we&#39;ll just observe that the wall of option money pushing the ETFs around is not in place at scary high-beta names such as NET or PLTR and so on. So the market reaction today may look like genuine fear, but it isn&#39;t. Because if it was widespread genuine fear, all these high beta names would be getting dumped. And they&#39;re not.</p><p>So we say: SPY is setting up in a smaller degree 1,2 for a smaller degree 3 which will represent a material push up toward that new all time high. We think the next big move for SPY is, up, and we think the June low was the low for the Wave 4 just passed. You&#39;ll know soon enough if we&#39;re right or wrong. If right, SPY won&#39;t spend long at the $377 zip code but will instead move up and out; if wrong, SPY will plunge down through that $377 level to continue the larger-degree Wave 4 down. This will happen soon, either way.</p><p>For now we remain bullish on SPY and assign an Accumulate rating to the name.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The SPY Game - Or How I Stopped Worrying And Learned To Look Up</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe SPY Game - Or How I Stopped Worrying And Learned To Look Up\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-22 23:26 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4542378-spy-stop-worrying-learn-to-look-up><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryWhile fear abounds, while the market dumps after the FOMC print and subsequent speech, while everything you know seems wrong?  The market is holding up well over the June lows.We believe SPY ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4542378-spy-stop-worrying-learn-to-look-up\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4542378-spy-stop-worrying-learn-to-look-up","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1152785107","content_text":"SummaryWhile fear abounds, while the market dumps after the FOMC print and subsequent speech, while everything you know seems wrong?  The market is holding up well over the June lows.We believe SPY remains on course to make new all-time highs in the coming year or so.Our evidence for this?  Basic pattern recognition coupled with a high-octane dose of cynicism.DISCLAIMER: This note is intended for US recipients only and, in particular, is not directed at, nor intended to be relied upon by any UK recipients. Any information or analysis in this note is not an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any securities. Nothing in this note is intended to be investment advice and nor should it be relied upon to make investment decisions. Cestrian Capital Research, Inc., its employees, agents or affiliates, including the author of this note, or related persons, may have a position in any stocks, security, or financial instrument referenced in this note. Any opinions, analyses, or probabilities expressed in this note are those of the author as of the note's date of publication and are subject to change without notice. Companies referenced in this note or their employees or affiliates may be customers of Cestrian Capital Research, Inc. Cestrian Capital Research, Inc. values both its independence and transparency and does not believe that this presents a material potential conflict of interest or impacts the content of its research or publications.It's Not Going To Zero. Really It Isn't.As everyone knows the whole market is going to zero, fast, or if not zero then maybe 3000 on the S&P and 10000 on the Nasdaq or whatever. The just desserts of an economy over-fattened by Fed helicopter money with a workforce that would rather buy-pumpkin-spice-latte-pay-later-when-mom-lends-me-the-money than get down to a hard day's work from dawn to dusk. The decadence of the end of empire. America the Great is Finished. Finished, I tell you!This garbage is all over FinTwit right now and in truth it's not worth reading. The market will go up or it will go down but it has nothing to do with whether Chad makes his Klarna payment or not. It has to do with the institutional dynamic of moving money around in order to generate gains whether the weather be good or whether the weather be bad. And no more so than around key dates such as quarterly options expiry and FOMC prints.Let's Talk About SPYOK folks, let's just take a step back and zoom out onNYSEARCA:SPY. Using absolutely standard technical analysis pattern-recognition tools (we like the Elliott Wave / Fibonacci method, but, other methods also are available) we can say that in the larger degree, SPY has been carving out a 5-wave up cycle since its 2015 lows. Like thisSPY Chart I(TrendSpider, Cestrian Analysis)Wave 1 moves up from the 2015 lows to the 2019 high, adding around $158/share on the way up.Wave 2 moves from the pre-Covid high to the crisis low, in a Yikes Cat type move as befits a Wave 2, troughs at the 0.786 retrace for a $122/share correction.Then Wave 3, adding $283/share to peak a little above the 1.618 extension of Wave 1 (the share price movement in W1 multiplied by 1.618 and placed at the Wave 2 low), right at the end of 2021.And along comes the will-it-ever-end Wave 4 selloff of 2022 which despite the apparent unrelented selling - just ask anyone on FinTwit, they'll tell you! - troughed in June at between the 0.5 and 0.618 retrace of that big Wave 3 high.So now the standard Elliott Wave pattern tells us that SPY can make a new high in a final Wave 5 up, peaking sometime in 2023 most likely. A minimum target of $480 or better, enough to just peak above that Wave 3 high.Yes, we're saying SPY can climb to never-before-conquered levels despite inflation and recession and 75bps and labor market and blah. Why? Because SPY has traded so well to this standard pattern for so long that we believe it more likely than not that it sees the pattern through to the end.But don't take our word for it. Let's zoom in. As you know, if SPY has commenced its climb up from the June lows towards its final resting place in the sky, it ought to be showing wave progress in the smaller degree too.And is it ever. Today's close was actually funny, so perfectly did the ETF kiss the 0.618 retraces of Wave 3 on the way up then the 0.786 retrace on the way down. But even after this dump the stock remains perfectly positioned to move up. This is the Wave 1 and Wave 2 in the smaller degree up off of the June lows. That is one picture-perfect Wave 2 low right there. We shall see what happens but to us that's thus far confirming evidence that SPY will be moving up.SPY Chart II(TrendSpider, Cestrian Analysis)What The Fed Is Going On Then?Today was a very strange day if you look closely. The index ETFs SPY and QQQ both did exactly the same thing - the two charts above are in essence carbon copies whether you look at the QQQ or the SPY. Up then down, to close down, at a level suggesting that the next big move is up. But still bright red on the day.Whereas ostensibly more scary stocks like Cloudflare (NET), Palantir (PLTR), DataDog (DDOG) and so on - were ...up? Huh?We may be able to shed some light on this. Now, we hate to come over all FinTwit once more and be shouting about manipulation and so forth. Because that's just naive. In the Great Online Game of traded securities, the game is in fact that all the other players are trying to take all your money off of you. That is Rule 1. The basic rule. The constitution upon which all other rules are founded. And further, while we don't doubt that there are some bad apples in the virtual Big Apple that's rather quaintly still referred to as The Street, most times Big Money is just doing its job which is, being good at taking money off of Chad and not letting Chad take money off of it, or at least not for very long.You see in the index ETFs there's a hugely powerful force at work - not Jerome Powell, not Redditors, but the options market. The capital sloshing around in options way exceeds the capital in equities, and as a result it's to some degree true that options are the primary security class, equities the derivatives. As a simple illustration, here you can see how the major reversal points in SPY in recent years have coincided with major options expiry dates.S&P Chart III(TrendSpider, Cestrian Analysis)Options markets love FOMC days because the emotion - the volatility - is running high. And you have a wall of capital in SPY and QQQ puts and calls sat driving the ETF stocks around all day. It's no surprise on that basis that the closing price - the place where the option probability surface collapses to a singularity - hit a key technical level in both the SPY and the QQQ with such precision. Now, if you want to go deeper into the options-are-primary, stocks-are-derivatives rabbit hole - and it's a doozy - we suggest you take a look at our friends over at SpotGamma who are expert on the topic. For us, we'll just observe that the wall of option money pushing the ETFs around is not in place at scary high-beta names such as NET or PLTR and so on. So the market reaction today may look like genuine fear, but it isn't. Because if it was widespread genuine fear, all these high beta names would be getting dumped. And they're not.So we say: SPY is setting up in a smaller degree 1,2 for a smaller degree 3 which will represent a material push up toward that new all time high. We think the next big move for SPY is, up, and we think the June low was the low for the Wave 4 just passed. You'll know soon enough if we're right or wrong. If right, SPY won't spend long at the $377 zip code but will instead move up and out; if wrong, SPY will plunge down through that $377 level to continue the larger-degree Wave 4 down. This will happen soon, either way.For now we remain bullish on SPY and assign an Accumulate rating to the name.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":379,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":120725380,"gmtCreate":1624338689740,"gmtModify":1703833912692,"author":{"id":"3573037539158386","authorId":"3573037539158386","name":"UnGlame","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/db8af2920dc64d130ab2e1f3a8ffa01e","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573037539158386","authorIdStr":"3573037539158386"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Post1","listText":"Post1","text":"Post1","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/120725380","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":455,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":341026257,"gmtCreate":1617763363879,"gmtModify":1704702804561,"author":{"id":"3573037539158386","authorId":"3573037539158386","name":"UnGlame","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/db8af2920dc64d130ab2e1f3a8ffa01e","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573037539158386","authorIdStr":"3573037539158386"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PACB\">$Pacific Biosciences of California(PACB)$</a>A win is a win","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PACB\">$Pacific Biosciences of California(PACB)$</a>A win is a win","text":"$Pacific Biosciences of California(PACB)$A win is a win","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae40f5256e5a2bb240caea4ffa05149d","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/341026257","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":456,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}