HY1986 personal page - To The Moon

HY1986

HY1986

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06-30

good event, tiger[开心] [开心] [开心] [开心] [开心]

06-30

good

@TigerEvents:[10th Anniv] Discover exciting features & win a US$1,010 reward!

01-16

$曼联(MANU)$ good

01-13

good................

01-12

nice................

01-11

good................

01-08

nice................

01-07

good。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。

01-06

good................

01-05

good。。。。。。。。。

01-04

good.................

01-02

good................

2023-12-31

goood................

2023-12-30

goood.................

2023-12-29

hooodd...............

2023-12-28

goood..................

2023-12-27

gooodddddddsddddddddd

2023-12-26

nice................

2023-12-25

good。。。。。。。。。。

2023-12-24

good................

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08:00","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"昨夜今晨 | 白宫就乌克兰局势放狠话，美股狂泄500点","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1118500262","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"摘要：①白宫就乌克兰局势“放狠话” 恐慌指数大涨 三大指数遭重挫；②热门中概股周五收盘多数下滑，叮咚买菜跌近13%；③黄金期货周五收高0.3% 通胀与地缘政治推动金价上涨。海外市场1、隔夜美股丨白宫就","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote>摘要：①白宫就乌克兰局势“放狠话” 恐慌指数大涨 三大指数遭重挫；②热门中概股周五收盘多数下滑，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DDL\">叮咚买菜</a>跌近13%；③黄金期货周五收高0.3% 通胀与地缘政治推动金价上涨。</blockquote><p>海外市场</p><p>1、隔夜美股丨白宫就乌克兰局势“放狠话” 恐慌指数大涨 三大指数遭重挫</p><p>北京时间凌晨传出俄乌紧张局势升级的消息，美国总统拜登警告在乌美国人立刻离开，称乌克兰“情况可能很快变得疯狂”，欧盟称对俄制裁将涉及金融和能源领域，股指大幅跳水，油价飙升刷新七年半高位，避险情绪高涨，美十年期国债收益率骤降。</p><p>截至收盘，标普跌1.90%，纳指跌2.78%，道指跌1.43%。美国十年期国债收益率回吐昨日所有涨幅，收跌至1.942%；恐慌指数VIX收涨14.43%，两日累计涨幅超30%。</p><p>大型科技股普遍收跌。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>跌2.02%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>跌4.93%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a>跌2.43%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a>跌3.59%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">谷歌</a>跌3.23%，Meta跌3.74%。</p><p>2、热门中概股周五收盘多数下滑 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DDL\">叮咚买菜</a>跌近13%</p><p>热门中概股周五收盘多数下滑，叮咚买菜、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTES\">网易</a>有道等跌幅居前，新能源汽车股下挫。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COE\">51Talk</a>涨超23%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MOGU\">蘑菇街</a>涨超16%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LKCO\">箩筐技术</a>涨近9%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OG\">洋葱集团</a>涨超4%，一起教育涨近4%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KRKR\">36氪</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UK\">优客工场</a>涨超3%，人人公司涨超2%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LIZI\">荔枝</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EM\">怪兽充电</a>涨近2%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TOUR\">途牛</a>、$百世集团(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BOTB.UK\">BEST</a>)$涨超1%。</p><p>叮咚买菜跌近13%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTES\">网易</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DAO\">有道</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IFBD\">讯鸟软件</a>跌近10%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CPOP\">普普文化</a>跌近9%，瑞幸粉单、比特矿业、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WIMI\">微美全息</a>跌超8%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTT\">趣头条</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TAL\">好未来</a>跌超7%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BEKE\">贝壳</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NCTY\">第九城市</a>跌超6%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IQ\">爱奇艺</a>跌近6%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">拼多多</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YY\">欢聚集团</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LAIX\">流利说</a>跌超5%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EDU\">新东方</a>跌5%，网易跌超4%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CNET\">中网载线</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VNET\">世纪互联</a>跌近4%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">哔哩哔哩</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HUYA\">虎牙</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">京东</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ATHM\">汽车之家</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UXIN\">优信</a>跌超3%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZH\">知乎</a>跌近3%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BIDU\">百度</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KC\">金山云</a>、携程跌超2%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">腾讯</a>ADR跌近2%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOTU\">高途</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VIPS\">唯品会</a>跌超1%。</p><p>新能源汽车股中，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>汽车跌近5%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">小鹏汽车</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">理想汽车</a>跌超4%。</p><p>3、欧股主要指数集体下跌 法国CAC40指数跌超1%</p><p>英国伦敦股市《金融时报》100种股票平均价格指数11日报收于7661.02点，比前一交易日下跌11.38点，跌幅为0.15%。欧洲三大股指当天全线下跌。欧洲其他两大主要股指方面，法国巴黎股市CAC40指数报收于7011.60点，比前一交易日下跌89.95点，跌幅为1.27%；德国法兰克福股市DAX指数报收于15425.12点，比前一交易日下跌65.32点，跌幅为0.42%。</p><p>4、黄金期货周五收高0.3% 通胀与地缘政治推动金价上涨</p><p>黄金期货周五收高，并录得周线上涨。美国通胀持续飙升令黄金获得支撑。而在白宫警告说俄罗斯入侵乌克兰可能“现在任何一天”发生后，盘后电子交易盘中的黄金涨幅进一步扩大。</p><p>纽约商品交易所4月交割的黄金期货价格上涨4.70美元，涨幅为0.3%，收于每盎司1842.10美元，本周黄金期货累计上涨1.9%。</p><p>受到地缘政治不确定因素影响，作为传统避风港黄金延续涨势。在常规交易时段结束后，电子交易盘中的黄金期货一度上涨至每盎司1860美元。</p><p>5、地缘局势引发供应担忧，美油飙升至94美元创逾七年新高</p><p>周五（2月11日）布油尾盘上涨4.2%，报收95.25美元/桶。在最后一个小时的交易中，交易量飙升，全球指标布伦特原油的交易量攀升至两个多月来的最高水平。乌克兰和俄罗斯之间的紧张局势加剧了对全球供应紧张的担忧，布油升创近七年新高。</p><p>6、美国国债收益率日内刷新近两日低点 因乌克兰局势引发避险情绪</p><p>美国国债周五急剧反弹，因围绕乌克兰和俄罗斯地缘政治局势的担忧刺激了投资者的避险情绪，拖累收益率大跌。而就在上日，因 美国通胀数据高于预期推升对 美联储鹰派政策的押注，收益率大涨；</p><p>10年期 美国国债收益率日内跌超11个基点，刷新近两日低点至1.918%。与货币政策关系更紧密的2年期和3年期国债收益率也下跌。 日元上涨， 美元兑主要货币也大多上涨，俄罗斯卢布下跌。</p><p>国际宏观</p><p>1、媒体：美国认为俄罗斯总统普京已经决定“入侵”乌克兰</p><p>据NBC新闻报道，美国认为俄罗斯总统普京已经决定“入侵”乌克兰，预计“入侵”将于下周开始。 美国总统拜登周四表示，美国公民现在就应该离开乌克兰，如果俄罗斯入侵乌克兰，他不会派兵援救美国公民撤离。美国国家安全顾问沙利文表示，注意到俄罗斯升级局势的迹象，但并不确定普京已经做出了最终决定，预计拜登将与普京进行会谈。</p><p>2、诺奖得主克鲁格曼认为美联储无需使用“休克疗法”为经济降温</p><p>诺贝尔经济学奖获得者保罗·克鲁格曼表示，虽然美联储该开始加息了，但通胀方面并没有危机，说明决策者在紧缩政策的时候可以有节制一点。“显然经济非常火爆，美联储有责任给它降降温，”克鲁格曼周五接受采访时表示。至于需要做什么，“绝对不是休克疗法。”现就职于纽约城市大学的克鲁格曼表示，没有必要对当前的通胀感到恐慌，没有迹象表明通胀已经在经济中根深蒂固。他表示，美联储将需要“持续”加息，直至潜在的经济过热消散。</p><p>3、联邦基金利率期货市场下调对美联储增开特别会议的预期</p><p>联邦基金利率期货市场收复了因圣路易斯联储行长布拉德周四一番鹰派讲话而遭受的损失，他当时称对于召开计划外会议持“开放态度”。2月利率期货合约价格回到99.90，利率0.10％。这也是周四早些时候美国高于预期的1月CPI公布后期货的交易价格。在Bullard的评论被报道后，该合约一度跌至99.845，意味着市场认为召开临时会议的可能性有30％。周四2月联邦基金利率期货合约成交量达到创纪录的307,494份，布拉德讲话前后抛压沉重。未平仓头寸增加33,150份。</p><p>4、白宫提醒美国芯片业：要为俄罗斯供应中断做好准备</p><p>消息人士称，美国白宫警告芯片行业要使供应链多样化，以防俄罗斯对美国威胁的出口限制采取报复措施，阻止关键材料的获取。市场研究机构Techcet在2月1日发表了一份报告，强调了许多半导体制造商对来自俄罗斯和乌克兰的材料的依赖，比如霓虹灯、钯和其他材料。据Techcet估计，美国90%以上的半导体级霓虹灯供应来自乌克兰，而35%的钯来自俄罗斯。知情人士称，白宫国家安全委员会成员最近几天一直在与芯片行业人士接触，了解俄罗斯和乌克兰芯片制造材料的供应情况，并敦促他们寻找其他来源。</p><p>5、国际能源署：消极增产的欧佩克+是油价飙升的主要推手</p><p>国际能源署(IEA)周五(2月11日)警告说，由于欧佩克+在恢复产量方面的“消极”努力，全球油价可能会进一步攀升。IEA指出，只有沙特阿拉伯和阿联酋产出更多的原油，才能平息动荡的市场。当前，全球能源需求正走出新冠大流行开始反弹，但各地的供应滞后，使得国际油价升至每桶90美元上方的七年高位。</p><p>市场观点</p><p>1、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">美国银行</a>：美股最多还要跌14% 美联储才会出手相救</p><p>美国银行认为，股市表面下的屠杀一直是“野蛮的”，相比于一周前统计的52周高点，纳斯达克46%的公司股价下滑了50%以上。除非标普500指数达到3800-4000点区间，否则不会触发“美联储看跌期权”(美联储在股市大幅下跌后采取一系列政策宽松措施的代号)。这意味着从目前的水平来看，标普500指数潜在的下行幅度至多为14%。</p><p>2、Peter Kraus：美联储不会一次加息50个基点</p><p>华尔街老将Peter Kraus称，尽管市场担心通胀和地缘政治冲突，但美联储将避免一次加息50个基点。</p><p>“很明显：美联储将加息25个基点，”Kraus周五在电视采访中表示。“他们不会加息50个基点。那只会导致市场不稳定。有什么意义呢？”</p><p>公司新闻</p><p>1、德银四季度13F持仓披露：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a>为其第一大持仓股</p><p>13F文件显示，德银在第四季度的五大买入股为微软、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HD\">家得宝</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UNP\">联合太平洋</a>以及<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMAT\">应用材料</a>。五大卖出股为<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">Meta Platforms</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MELI\">MercadoLibre</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RTX\">雷神</a>科技、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">阿里巴巴</a>及<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a>。目前微软为其第一大持仓股，比例为4.91%，其次是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>，持股比例3.75%。</p><p>2、<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/NW/2210425125\" target=\"_blank\">受加拿大卡车司机示威影响 丰田、通用北美工厂供应链中断</a></p><p>在加拿大，抗议疫苗义务化的卡车司机们的示威正在扩散，北美的供应链陷入了断裂的危机。10日，由于示威队的占领，美国和加拿大之间的三处国境被切断，美国的汽车生产也被迫停止。预计恢复正常还需要一段时间，因此有可能影响扩大。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TM\">丰田汽车</a>公司10日停止了主要生产多功能越野车（SUV）“RAV4”等的加拿大安大略省和美国肯塔基州整车工厂的生产。预计11日的作业也将停止。</p><p>美国<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GM\">通用汽车</a>公司（GM）从9日下午开始，在密歇根州底特律郊外的工厂停止了车辆生产。丰田、本田和斯巴鲁在中西部的印第安纳州和俄亥俄州设有工厂，下周初以后影响可能会扩大。</p><p>3、<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/NW/2210159544\" target=\"_blank\">可口可乐CEO警告称消费者不会长期忍受高价格</a></p><p>可口可乐首席执行官詹姆斯·昆西（James Quincey）周四警告称，消费者是否愿意支付更高的价格，将成为下一阶段需要关注的焦点。</p><p>随着生产成本的上升，消费品公司一直在逐步提高价格，到目前为止，消费者似乎接受了价格的上涨。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MCD\">麦当劳</a>和其他公司的高管最近都表示，更高的价格并没有赶走顾客——事实上，随着价格的上涨，销售额也在增长。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta 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width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n昨夜今晨 | 白宫就乌克兰局势放狠话，美股狂泄500点\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-02-12 08:00</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><blockquote>摘要：①白宫就乌克兰局势“放狠话” 恐慌指数大涨 三大指数遭重挫；②热门中概股周五收盘多数下滑，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DDL\">叮咚买菜</a>跌近13%；③黄金期货周五收高0.3% 通胀与地缘政治推动金价上涨。</blockquote><p>海外市场</p><p>1、隔夜美股丨白宫就乌克兰局势“放狠话” 恐慌指数大涨 三大指数遭重挫</p><p>北京时间凌晨传出俄乌紧张局势升级的消息，美国总统拜登警告在乌美国人立刻离开，称乌克兰“情况可能很快变得疯狂”，欧盟称对俄制裁将涉及金融和能源领域，股指大幅跳水，油价飙升刷新七年半高位，避险情绪高涨，美十年期国债收益率骤降。</p><p>截至收盘，标普跌1.90%，纳指跌2.78%，道指跌1.43%。美国十年期国债收益率回吐昨日所有涨幅，收跌至1.942%；恐慌指数VIX收涨14.43%，两日累计涨幅超30%。</p><p>大型科技股普遍收跌。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>跌2.02%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>跌4.93%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a>跌2.43%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a>跌3.59%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">谷歌</a>跌3.23%，Meta跌3.74%。</p><p>2、热门中概股周五收盘多数下滑 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DDL\">叮咚买菜</a>跌近13%</p><p>热门中概股周五收盘多数下滑，叮咚买菜、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTES\">网易</a>有道等跌幅居前，新能源汽车股下挫。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COE\">51Talk</a>涨超23%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MOGU\">蘑菇街</a>涨超16%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LKCO\">箩筐技术</a>涨近9%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OG\">洋葱集团</a>涨超4%，一起教育涨近4%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KRKR\">36氪</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UK\">优客工场</a>涨超3%，人人公司涨超2%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LIZI\">荔枝</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EM\">怪兽充电</a>涨近2%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TOUR\">途牛</a>、$百世集团(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BOTB.UK\">BEST</a>)$涨超1%。</p><p>叮咚买菜跌近13%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTES\">网易</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DAO\">有道</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IFBD\">讯鸟软件</a>跌近10%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CPOP\">普普文化</a>跌近9%，瑞幸粉单、比特矿业、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WIMI\">微美全息</a>跌超8%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTT\">趣头条</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TAL\">好未来</a>跌超7%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BEKE\">贝壳</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NCTY\">第九城市</a>跌超6%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IQ\">爱奇艺</a>跌近6%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">拼多多</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YY\">欢聚集团</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LAIX\">流利说</a>跌超5%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EDU\">新东方</a>跌5%，网易跌超4%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CNET\">中网载线</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VNET\">世纪互联</a>跌近4%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">哔哩哔哩</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HUYA\">虎牙</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">京东</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ATHM\">汽车之家</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UXIN\">优信</a>跌超3%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZH\">知乎</a>跌近3%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BIDU\">百度</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KC\">金山云</a>、携程跌超2%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">腾讯</a>ADR跌近2%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOTU\">高途</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VIPS\">唯品会</a>跌超1%。</p><p>新能源汽车股中，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>汽车跌近5%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">小鹏汽车</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">理想汽车</a>跌超4%。</p><p>3、欧股主要指数集体下跌 法国CAC40指数跌超1%</p><p>英国伦敦股市《金融时报》100种股票平均价格指数11日报收于7661.02点，比前一交易日下跌11.38点，跌幅为0.15%。欧洲三大股指当天全线下跌。欧洲其他两大主要股指方面，法国巴黎股市CAC40指数报收于7011.60点，比前一交易日下跌89.95点，跌幅为1.27%；德国法兰克福股市DAX指数报收于15425.12点，比前一交易日下跌65.32点，跌幅为0.42%。</p><p>4、黄金期货周五收高0.3% 通胀与地缘政治推动金价上涨</p><p>黄金期货周五收高，并录得周线上涨。美国通胀持续飙升令黄金获得支撑。而在白宫警告说俄罗斯入侵乌克兰可能“现在任何一天”发生后，盘后电子交易盘中的黄金涨幅进一步扩大。</p><p>纽约商品交易所4月交割的黄金期货价格上涨4.70美元，涨幅为0.3%，收于每盎司1842.10美元，本周黄金期货累计上涨1.9%。</p><p>受到地缘政治不确定因素影响，作为传统避风港黄金延续涨势。在常规交易时段结束后，电子交易盘中的黄金期货一度上涨至每盎司1860美元。</p><p>5、地缘局势引发供应担忧，美油飙升至94美元创逾七年新高</p><p>周五（2月11日）布油尾盘上涨4.2%，报收95.25美元/桶。在最后一个小时的交易中，交易量飙升，全球指标布伦特原油的交易量攀升至两个多月来的最高水平。乌克兰和俄罗斯之间的紧张局势加剧了对全球供应紧张的担忧，布油升创近七年新高。</p><p>6、美国国债收益率日内刷新近两日低点 因乌克兰局势引发避险情绪</p><p>美国国债周五急剧反弹，因围绕乌克兰和俄罗斯地缘政治局势的担忧刺激了投资者的避险情绪，拖累收益率大跌。而就在上日，因 美国通胀数据高于预期推升对 美联储鹰派政策的押注，收益率大涨；</p><p>10年期 美国国债收益率日内跌超11个基点，刷新近两日低点至1.918%。与货币政策关系更紧密的2年期和3年期国债收益率也下跌。 日元上涨， 美元兑主要货币也大多上涨，俄罗斯卢布下跌。</p><p>国际宏观</p><p>1、媒体：美国认为俄罗斯总统普京已经决定“入侵”乌克兰</p><p>据NBC新闻报道，美国认为俄罗斯总统普京已经决定“入侵”乌克兰，预计“入侵”将于下周开始。 美国总统拜登周四表示，美国公民现在就应该离开乌克兰，如果俄罗斯入侵乌克兰，他不会派兵援救美国公民撤离。美国国家安全顾问沙利文表示，注意到俄罗斯升级局势的迹象，但并不确定普京已经做出了最终决定，预计拜登将与普京进行会谈。</p><p>2、诺奖得主克鲁格曼认为美联储无需使用“休克疗法”为经济降温</p><p>诺贝尔经济学奖获得者保罗·克鲁格曼表示，虽然美联储该开始加息了，但通胀方面并没有危机，说明决策者在紧缩政策的时候可以有节制一点。“显然经济非常火爆，美联储有责任给它降降温，”克鲁格曼周五接受采访时表示。至于需要做什么，“绝对不是休克疗法。”现就职于纽约城市大学的克鲁格曼表示，没有必要对当前的通胀感到恐慌，没有迹象表明通胀已经在经济中根深蒂固。他表示，美联储将需要“持续”加息，直至潜在的经济过热消散。</p><p>3、联邦基金利率期货市场下调对美联储增开特别会议的预期</p><p>联邦基金利率期货市场收复了因圣路易斯联储行长布拉德周四一番鹰派讲话而遭受的损失，他当时称对于召开计划外会议持“开放态度”。2月利率期货合约价格回到99.90，利率0.10％。这也是周四早些时候美国高于预期的1月CPI公布后期货的交易价格。在Bullard的评论被报道后，该合约一度跌至99.845，意味着市场认为召开临时会议的可能性有30％。周四2月联邦基金利率期货合约成交量达到创纪录的307,494份，布拉德讲话前后抛压沉重。未平仓头寸增加33,150份。</p><p>4、白宫提醒美国芯片业：要为俄罗斯供应中断做好准备</p><p>消息人士称，美国白宫警告芯片行业要使供应链多样化，以防俄罗斯对美国威胁的出口限制采取报复措施，阻止关键材料的获取。市场研究机构Techcet在2月1日发表了一份报告，强调了许多半导体制造商对来自俄罗斯和乌克兰的材料的依赖，比如霓虹灯、钯和其他材料。据Techcet估计，美国90%以上的半导体级霓虹灯供应来自乌克兰，而35%的钯来自俄罗斯。知情人士称，白宫国家安全委员会成员最近几天一直在与芯片行业人士接触，了解俄罗斯和乌克兰芯片制造材料的供应情况，并敦促他们寻找其他来源。</p><p>5、国际能源署：消极增产的欧佩克+是油价飙升的主要推手</p><p>国际能源署(IEA)周五(2月11日)警告说，由于欧佩克+在恢复产量方面的“消极”努力，全球油价可能会进一步攀升。IEA指出，只有沙特阿拉伯和阿联酋产出更多的原油，才能平息动荡的市场。当前，全球能源需求正走出新冠大流行开始反弹，但各地的供应滞后，使得国际油价升至每桶90美元上方的七年高位。</p><p>市场观点</p><p>1、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">美国银行</a>：美股最多还要跌14% 美联储才会出手相救</p><p>美国银行认为，股市表面下的屠杀一直是“野蛮的”，相比于一周前统计的52周高点，纳斯达克46%的公司股价下滑了50%以上。除非标普500指数达到3800-4000点区间，否则不会触发“美联储看跌期权”(美联储在股市大幅下跌后采取一系列政策宽松措施的代号)。这意味着从目前的水平来看，标普500指数潜在的下行幅度至多为14%。</p><p>2、Peter Kraus：美联储不会一次加息50个基点</p><p>华尔街老将Peter Kraus称，尽管市场担心通胀和地缘政治冲突，但美联储将避免一次加息50个基点。</p><p>“很明显：美联储将加息25个基点，”Kraus周五在电视采访中表示。“他们不会加息50个基点。那只会导致市场不稳定。有什么意义呢？”</p><p>公司新闻</p><p>1、德银四季度13F持仓披露：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a>为其第一大持仓股</p><p>13F文件显示，德银在第四季度的五大买入股为微软、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HD\">家得宝</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UNP\">联合太平洋</a>以及<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMAT\">应用材料</a>。五大卖出股为<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">Meta Platforms</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MELI\">MercadoLibre</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RTX\">雷神</a>科技、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">阿里巴巴</a>及<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a>。目前微软为其第一大持仓股，比例为4.91%，其次是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>，持股比例3.75%。</p><p>2、<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/NW/2210425125\" target=\"_blank\">受加拿大卡车司机示威影响 丰田、通用北美工厂供应链中断</a></p><p>在加拿大，抗议疫苗义务化的卡车司机们的示威正在扩散，北美的供应链陷入了断裂的危机。10日，由于示威队的占领，美国和加拿大之间的三处国境被切断，美国的汽车生产也被迫停止。预计恢复正常还需要一段时间，因此有可能影响扩大。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TM\">丰田汽车</a>公司10日停止了主要生产多功能越野车（SUV）“RAV4”等的加拿大安大略省和美国肯塔基州整车工厂的生产。预计11日的作业也将停止。</p><p>美国<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GM\">通用汽车</a>公司（GM）从9日下午开始，在密歇根州底特律郊外的工厂停止了车辆生产。丰田、本田和斯巴鲁在中西部的印第安纳州和俄亥俄州设有工厂，下周初以后影响可能会扩大。</p><p>3、<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/NW/2210159544\" target=\"_blank\">可口可乐CEO警告称消费者不会长期忍受高价格</a></p><p>可口可乐首席执行官詹姆斯·昆西（James Quincey）周四警告称，消费者是否愿意支付更高的价格，将成为下一阶段需要关注的焦点。</p><p>随着生产成本的上升，消费品公司一直在逐步提高价格，到目前为止，消费者似乎接受了价格的上涨。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MCD\">麦当劳</a>和其他公司的高管最近都表示，更高的价格并没有赶走顾客——事实上，随着价格的上涨，销售额也在增长。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b23574aac95526c9e5c62ebc8dd25130","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1118500262","content_text":"摘要：①白宫就乌克兰局势“放狠话” 恐慌指数大涨 三大指数遭重挫；②热门中概股周五收盘多数下滑，叮咚买菜跌近13%；③黄金期货周五收高0.3% 通胀与地缘政治推动金价上涨。海外市场1、隔夜美股丨白宫就乌克兰局势“放狠话” 恐慌指数大涨 三大指数遭重挫北京时间凌晨传出俄乌紧张局势升级的消息，美国总统拜登警告在乌美国人立刻离开，称乌克兰“情况可能很快变得疯狂”，欧盟称对俄制裁将涉及金融和能源领域，股指大幅跳水，油价飙升刷新七年半高位，避险情绪高涨，美十年期国债收益率骤降。截至收盘，标普跌1.90%，纳指跌2.78%，道指跌1.43%。美国十年期国债收益率回吐昨日所有涨幅，收跌至1.942%；恐慌指数VIX收涨14.43%，两日累计涨幅超30%。大型科技股普遍收跌。苹果跌2.02%，特斯拉跌4.93%，微软跌2.43%，亚马逊跌3.59%，谷歌跌3.23%，Meta跌3.74%。2、热门中概股周五收盘多数下滑 叮咚买菜跌近13%热门中概股周五收盘多数下滑，叮咚买菜、网易有道等跌幅居前，新能源汽车股下挫。51Talk涨超23%，蘑菇街涨超16%，箩筐技术涨近9%，洋葱集团涨超4%，一起教育涨近4%，36氪、优客工场涨超3%，人人公司涨超2%，荔枝、怪兽充电涨近2%，途牛、$百世集团(BEST)$涨超1%。叮咚买菜跌近13%，网易有道、讯鸟软件跌近10%，普普文化跌近9%，瑞幸粉单、比特矿业、微美全息跌超8%，趣头条、好未来跌超7%，贝壳、第九城市跌超6%，爱奇艺跌近6%，拼多多、欢聚集团、流利说跌超5%，新东方跌5%，网易跌超4%，中网载线、世纪互联跌近4%，哔哩哔哩、虎牙、京东、汽车之家、优信跌超3%，知乎跌近3%，百度、金山云、携程跌超2%，腾讯ADR跌近2%，高途、唯品会跌超1%。新能源汽车股中，蔚来汽车跌近5%，小鹏汽车、理想汽车跌超4%。3、欧股主要指数集体下跌 法国CAC40指数跌超1%英国伦敦股市《金融时报》100种股票平均价格指数11日报收于7661.02点，比前一交易日下跌11.38点，跌幅为0.15%。欧洲三大股指当天全线下跌。欧洲其他两大主要股指方面，法国巴黎股市CAC40指数报收于7011.60点，比前一交易日下跌89.95点，跌幅为1.27%；德国法兰克福股市DAX指数报收于15425.12点，比前一交易日下跌65.32点，跌幅为0.42%。4、黄金期货周五收高0.3% 通胀与地缘政治推动金价上涨黄金期货周五收高，并录得周线上涨。美国通胀持续飙升令黄金获得支撑。而在白宫警告说俄罗斯入侵乌克兰可能“现在任何一天”发生后，盘后电子交易盘中的黄金涨幅进一步扩大。纽约商品交易所4月交割的黄金期货价格上涨4.70美元，涨幅为0.3%，收于每盎司1842.10美元，本周黄金期货累计上涨1.9%。受到地缘政治不确定因素影响，作为传统避风港黄金延续涨势。在常规交易时段结束后，电子交易盘中的黄金期货一度上涨至每盎司1860美元。5、地缘局势引发供应担忧，美油飙升至94美元创逾七年新高周五（2月11日）布油尾盘上涨4.2%，报收95.25美元/桶。在最后一个小时的交易中，交易量飙升，全球指标布伦特原油的交易量攀升至两个多月来的最高水平。乌克兰和俄罗斯之间的紧张局势加剧了对全球供应紧张的担忧，布油升创近七年新高。6、美国国债收益率日内刷新近两日低点 因乌克兰局势引发避险情绪美国国债周五急剧反弹，因围绕乌克兰和俄罗斯地缘政治局势的担忧刺激了投资者的避险情绪，拖累收益率大跌。而就在上日，因 美国通胀数据高于预期推升对 美联储鹰派政策的押注，收益率大涨；10年期 美国国债收益率日内跌超11个基点，刷新近两日低点至1.918%。与货币政策关系更紧密的2年期和3年期国债收益率也下跌。 日元上涨， 美元兑主要货币也大多上涨，俄罗斯卢布下跌。国际宏观1、媒体：美国认为俄罗斯总统普京已经决定“入侵”乌克兰据NBC新闻报道，美国认为俄罗斯总统普京已经决定“入侵”乌克兰，预计“入侵”将于下周开始。 美国总统拜登周四表示，美国公民现在就应该离开乌克兰，如果俄罗斯入侵乌克兰，他不会派兵援救美国公民撤离。美国国家安全顾问沙利文表示，注意到俄罗斯升级局势的迹象，但并不确定普京已经做出了最终决定，预计拜登将与普京进行会谈。2、诺奖得主克鲁格曼认为美联储无需使用“休克疗法”为经济降温诺贝尔经济学奖获得者保罗·克鲁格曼表示，虽然美联储该开始加息了，但通胀方面并没有危机，说明决策者在紧缩政策的时候可以有节制一点。“显然经济非常火爆，美联储有责任给它降降温，”克鲁格曼周五接受采访时表示。至于需要做什么，“绝对不是休克疗法。”现就职于纽约城市大学的克鲁格曼表示，没有必要对当前的通胀感到恐慌，没有迹象表明通胀已经在经济中根深蒂固。他表示，美联储将需要“持续”加息，直至潜在的经济过热消散。3、联邦基金利率期货市场下调对美联储增开特别会议的预期联邦基金利率期货市场收复了因圣路易斯联储行长布拉德周四一番鹰派讲话而遭受的损失，他当时称对于召开计划外会议持“开放态度”。2月利率期货合约价格回到99.90，利率0.10％。这也是周四早些时候美国高于预期的1月CPI公布后期货的交易价格。在Bullard的评论被报道后，该合约一度跌至99.845，意味着市场认为召开临时会议的可能性有30％。周四2月联邦基金利率期货合约成交量达到创纪录的307,494份，布拉德讲话前后抛压沉重。未平仓头寸增加33,150份。4、白宫提醒美国芯片业：要为俄罗斯供应中断做好准备消息人士称，美国白宫警告芯片行业要使供应链多样化，以防俄罗斯对美国威胁的出口限制采取报复措施，阻止关键材料的获取。市场研究机构Techcet在2月1日发表了一份报告，强调了许多半导体制造商对来自俄罗斯和乌克兰的材料的依赖，比如霓虹灯、钯和其他材料。据Techcet估计，美国90%以上的半导体级霓虹灯供应来自乌克兰，而35%的钯来自俄罗斯。知情人士称，白宫国家安全委员会成员最近几天一直在与芯片行业人士接触，了解俄罗斯和乌克兰芯片制造材料的供应情况，并敦促他们寻找其他来源。5、国际能源署：消极增产的欧佩克+是油价飙升的主要推手国际能源署(IEA)周五(2月11日)警告说，由于欧佩克+在恢复产量方面的“消极”努力，全球油价可能会进一步攀升。IEA指出，只有沙特阿拉伯和阿联酋产出更多的原油，才能平息动荡的市场。当前，全球能源需求正走出新冠大流行开始反弹，但各地的供应滞后，使得国际油价升至每桶90美元上方的七年高位。市场观点1、美国银行：美股最多还要跌14% 美联储才会出手相救美国银行认为，股市表面下的屠杀一直是“野蛮的”，相比于一周前统计的52周高点，纳斯达克46%的公司股价下滑了50%以上。除非标普500指数达到3800-4000点区间，否则不会触发“美联储看跌期权”(美联储在股市大幅下跌后采取一系列政策宽松措施的代号)。这意味着从目前的水平来看，标普500指数潜在的下行幅度至多为14%。2、Peter Kraus：美联储不会一次加息50个基点华尔街老将Peter Kraus称，尽管市场担心通胀和地缘政治冲突，但美联储将避免一次加息50个基点。“很明显：美联储将加息25个基点，”Kraus周五在电视采访中表示。“他们不会加息50个基点。那只会导致市场不稳定。有什么意义呢？”公司新闻1、德银四季度13F持仓披露：微软为其第一大持仓股13F文件显示，德银在第四季度的五大买入股为微软、特斯拉、家得宝、联合太平洋以及应用材料。五大卖出股为Meta Platforms、MercadoLibre、雷神科技、阿里巴巴及亚马逊。目前微软为其第一大持仓股，比例为4.91%，其次是苹果，持股比例3.75%。2、受加拿大卡车司机示威影响 丰田、通用北美工厂供应链中断在加拿大，抗议疫苗义务化的卡车司机们的示威正在扩散，北美的供应链陷入了断裂的危机。10日，由于示威队的占领，美国和加拿大之间的三处国境被切断，美国的汽车生产也被迫停止。预计恢复正常还需要一段时间，因此有可能影响扩大。丰田汽车公司10日停止了主要生产多功能越野车（SUV）“RAV4”等的加拿大安大略省和美国肯塔基州整车工厂的生产。预计11日的作业也将停止。美国通用汽车公司（GM）从9日下午开始，在密歇根州底特律郊外的工厂停止了车辆生产。丰田、本田和斯巴鲁在中西部的印第安纳州和俄亥俄州设有工厂，下周初以后影响可能会扩大。3、可口可乐CEO警告称消费者不会长期忍受高价格可口可乐首席执行官詹姆斯·昆西（James Quincey）周四警告称，消费者是否愿意支付更高的价格，将成为下一阶段需要关注的焦点。随着生产成本的上升，消费品公司一直在逐步提高价格，到目前为止，消费者似乎接受了价格的上涨。麦当劳和其他公司的高管最近都表示，更高的价格并没有赶走顾客——事实上，随着价格的上涨，销售额也在增长。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":475,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":185664475107432,"gmtCreate":1686367520799,"gmtModify":1686367524305,"author":{"id":"3573083502811038","authorId":"3573083502811038","name":"HY1986","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93f09ba7fa59a9df4b6424cab2331435","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573083502811038","authorIdStr":"3573083502811038"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"goooooooooooooooooooo","listText":"goooooooooooooooooooo","text":"goooooooooooooooooooo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/185664475107432","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":135,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9959219659,"gmtCreate":1672994307872,"gmtModify":1676538767355,"author":{"id":"3573083502811038","authorId":"3573083502811038","name":"HY1986","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93f09ba7fa59a9df4b6424cab2331435","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573083502811038","authorIdStr":"3573083502811038"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"OK","listText":"OK","text":"OK","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9959219659","repostId":"1161147143","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1161147143","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"追踪全球财经热点，精选影响您财富的资讯，投资理财必备神器！","home_visible":1,"media_name":"华尔街见闻","id":"1084101182","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e"},"pubTimestamp":1672992898,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1161147143?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-01-06 16:14","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"特斯拉5个月5次“降价”突破历史新低，“卷王”是如何炼成的？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1161147143","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"2023年年初，率先降价冲量的急先锋居然是特斯拉1月6日早上，特斯拉中国官网宣布了旗下高端车型Model S和Model X的起售价，分别达到789900元和87990元。除此之外，特斯拉又一次宣布了","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote>2023年年初，率先降价冲量的急先锋居然是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a></blockquote><p>1月6日早上，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>中国官网宣布了旗下高端车型Model S和Model X的起售价，分别达到789900元和87990元。除此之外，特斯拉又一次宣布了爆款车型Model Y和Model 3的降价，这是继2022年9月以来特斯拉第5次通过直接产品调价或间接福利促销（2022年9月和12月特斯拉已经分别多次通过保险补贴的方式便宜1万元左右，而2022年10月直接对于旗下两款热门车型Model Y和Model 3的各个版本都进行了官方降价，降价区间在1.4万元至3.7万元之间）。</p><p>而特斯拉本轮降价区间在2.9万元至3.6万元，降价幅度高达10%左右，远超上轮降价幅度（上一轮降价幅度则在5%左右），并且导致Model 3和Model Y的起售价降至22.99万元和25.99万元，已经突破了此前的价格历史新低（此前特斯拉Model 3标准续航版本历史最低价格为23.59万元，Model Y标准续航版本最低价格为27.6万元）。</p><p><b>华尔街见闻·见智研究认为，特斯拉本轮降价主要是对于其在中国12月份销量大幅下滑的迅速回应，12月份特斯拉销量为55796辆，相较开始执行降价计划的9月，10月和11月的8.3万辆，7.2万辆和10万辆差距颇大，在新能源汽车补贴即将结束前的12月本应该冲量的一个月，却出现销量回落，的确让市场有些措手不及。</b></p><p>有关特斯拉持续降价带来的影响，以及其他新能源车企的应对，在华尔街见闻·见智研究此前的多篇文章《<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002594\">比亚迪</a>向上，特斯拉向下，谁对谁错？| 见智研究》和《特斯拉再现价格两连降，电动车价格战正式打响 | 见智研究》中已经做了较为详细的分析和探讨，本篇文章则将主要对价格屠夫特斯拉在2022年的整体情况做梳理，从中可以找到特斯拉选择在2022年四季度频繁降价的真实原因。</p><p><b>1、2022年，特斯拉销量破纪录但不超预期</b></p><p><b>作为全球的新能源汽车巨头，特斯拉的一举一动无疑都牵动着整个新能源汽车行业的心弦，而从2022年全年特斯拉的表现来看，用一句全年销量虽然破了自己的历史记录，但是整体没有任何超预期的总结较为中肯。</b></p><p>2022年，特斯拉在年初就定下的策略就是不在推出新车型，而是选择全力扩大产能，结果来看2022年，从全球角度来看，特斯拉的全球产量高达137万辆，销量则高达131万辆，同比增长40%，远超2021年的93.04万辆汽车产量和93.6万辆的交付量，创下新的历史记录（分季度来看也的确处于持续增长状态，特斯拉今年四个季度的产销量分别达到30.5万辆/31万辆，25.9万辆/25.5万辆，36.6万辆/34.4万辆，和44万辆/40.5万辆）。</p><p><b>但是值得注意的是，特斯拉的产品销量的增长幅度才刚刚达到40%，远不及2021年的87.4%，同样也没有达到年初特斯拉定下的150万辆销量目标和50%的增长幅度目标，所以是没有任何超预期，甚至略微不及预期，换而言之，产能上来了，销量增速却明显放缓，虽然还不至于滞销，但是对与一贯标榜以产定销的特斯拉来说，已经是不得不认真面对的潜在风险。</b></p><p>当然，问题其实并不是出在中国市场上，特斯拉在中国这个全球最大的新能源汽车市场中给出了超71万辆销量的好成绩，超出全球总体销量水平的一半以上，同比增长幅度达到48%，也是超出特斯拉的全球平均水平40%，几乎达到了特斯拉定下的全年50%增长幅度的目标，其中Model Y车型交付辆高达45万辆左右，而Model 3车型销量达到26万辆。但是，中国市场领先于全球其他市场的销量优势很大程度上也是通过今年四季度频繁降价促销换来的。</p><p><b>2、频繁降价治标不治本，2023年特斯拉将换新策略</b></p><p>此前，特斯拉凭借一手产量=销量的低库存，高增长的销量态势一举碾压其他车企，但是从2022年年末来看，特斯拉的销量和订单双增长速度都已经凸显出疲软姿态，不仅特斯拉在我国的全系提车周期从年初的12-16周将至年末的1-5周（部分车型甚至可以直接提现车）。</p><p>而且，在新能源汽车补贴退出带来成本压力（2023年新能源汽车补贴推出金额最高达1.26万元，远超此前2020年至2022年0.25万元、0.45万元和0.54万元的退坡金额），各大车企如<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002594\">比亚迪</a>，广汽埃安等都纷纷涨价应对之际（比亚迪涨价2000元至6000元，广汽埃安涨价3000元至8000元），特斯拉却选择多次降价促销，可见特斯拉在销量增速不及预期，且前瞻指数订单数量断崖式下滑的现状下，已经决心以利润换销量。</p><p>以目前特斯拉的利润水平情况来看，还是有这样的底气存在（特斯拉2022年前三季度净利润达到32.92亿美元，同比增长103%，单车利润更是高达9500美元，远超目前的所有新能源车企和大部分传统燃油车车企）。</p><p>作为目前特斯拉最大的工厂，上海的超级工厂由于特斯拉的全球订单断崖式下降以后（从今年上半年订单高峰47万辆降至年末的7.4万辆订单），也传出降低产量的消息（全年上海工厂的产量贡献超过一半），可见特斯拉在上海工厂、柏林工厂、加州工厂和德州工厂的产能都得到升级扩充以后，老车型的产能不在是阻碍特斯拉发展的前提，反而是销量和订单量的不足成为了新的制约，在新的一年特斯拉的打法后将有所转变。</p><p><b>在新的一年2023年，华尔街见闻·见智研究认为，特斯拉将不会在如2022年一般将已有车型的扩产放在最优先级，而是将会持续推出新车型且形成新的爆款车型浪潮，此前特斯拉以扩大已有车型产能为主，对于爆款车型Model3和Model Y在分别上市6年和4年以后也未作任何改款操作，单凭4款车型的确难以继续维持自家产品销量的高增长，而逐步扩大的全球工厂的产能已经为特斯拉的新车型的上市以及老车型的改款奠定了基础。</b></p><p>随着特斯拉新车型如Cyberturck（订单已超160万辆）、semi电动半挂卡车（已量产，并且成功交付给百事公司），以及老车型的改款能够有望在2023年的上市，考虑到美国消费者对于皮卡车的热爱（美国的皮卡车销量占比占比在19%左右），以及电动重卡产品目前的稀少和老车型依旧在消费者中有较好的地位，特斯拉还是有望凭借新车型在新的一年重新扳回一局。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>特斯拉5个月5次“降价”突破历史新低，“卷王”是如何炼成的？</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n特斯拉5个月5次“降价”突破历史新低，“卷王”是如何炼成的？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n2023-01-06 16:14 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<strong>华尔街见闻</strong>\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>2023年年初，率先降价冲量的急先锋居然是特斯拉1月6日早上，特斯拉中国官网宣布了旗下高端车型Model S和Model X的起售价，分别达到789900元和87990元。除此之外，特斯拉又一次宣布了爆款车型Model Y和Model 3的降价，这是继2022年9月以来特斯拉第5次通过直接产品调价或间接福利促销（2022年9月和12月特斯拉已经分别多次通过保险补贴的方式便宜1万元左右，而2022年...</p>\n\n<a href=\"\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8350896f4f33c86bc28f200b67ab82b4","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1161147143","content_text":"2023年年初，率先降价冲量的急先锋居然是特斯拉1月6日早上，特斯拉中国官网宣布了旗下高端车型Model S和Model X的起售价，分别达到789900元和87990元。除此之外，特斯拉又一次宣布了爆款车型Model Y和Model 3的降价，这是继2022年9月以来特斯拉第5次通过直接产品调价或间接福利促销（2022年9月和12月特斯拉已经分别多次通过保险补贴的方式便宜1万元左右，而2022年10月直接对于旗下两款热门车型Model Y和Model 3的各个版本都进行了官方降价，降价区间在1.4万元至3.7万元之间）。而特斯拉本轮降价区间在2.9万元至3.6万元，降价幅度高达10%左右，远超上轮降价幅度（上一轮降价幅度则在5%左右），并且导致Model 3和Model Y的起售价降至22.99万元和25.99万元，已经突破了此前的价格历史新低（此前特斯拉Model 3标准续航版本历史最低价格为23.59万元，Model Y标准续航版本最低价格为27.6万元）。华尔街见闻·见智研究认为，特斯拉本轮降价主要是对于其在中国12月份销量大幅下滑的迅速回应，12月份特斯拉销量为55796辆，相较开始执行降价计划的9月，10月和11月的8.3万辆，7.2万辆和10万辆差距颇大，在新能源汽车补贴即将结束前的12月本应该冲量的一个月，却出现销量回落，的确让市场有些措手不及。有关特斯拉持续降价带来的影响，以及其他新能源车企的应对，在华尔街见闻·见智研究此前的多篇文章《比亚迪向上，特斯拉向下，谁对谁错？| 见智研究》和《特斯拉再现价格两连降，电动车价格战正式打响 | 见智研究》中已经做了较为详细的分析和探讨，本篇文章则将主要对价格屠夫特斯拉在2022年的整体情况做梳理，从中可以找到特斯拉选择在2022年四季度频繁降价的真实原因。1、2022年，特斯拉销量破纪录但不超预期作为全球的新能源汽车巨头，特斯拉的一举一动无疑都牵动着整个新能源汽车行业的心弦，而从2022年全年特斯拉的表现来看，用一句全年销量虽然破了自己的历史记录，但是整体没有任何超预期的总结较为中肯。2022年，特斯拉在年初就定下的策略就是不在推出新车型，而是选择全力扩大产能，结果来看2022年，从全球角度来看，特斯拉的全球产量高达137万辆，销量则高达131万辆，同比增长40%，远超2021年的93.04万辆汽车产量和93.6万辆的交付量，创下新的历史记录（分季度来看也的确处于持续增长状态，特斯拉今年四个季度的产销量分别达到30.5万辆/31万辆，25.9万辆/25.5万辆，36.6万辆/34.4万辆，和44万辆/40.5万辆）。但是值得注意的是，特斯拉的产品销量的增长幅度才刚刚达到40%，远不及2021年的87.4%，同样也没有达到年初特斯拉定下的150万辆销量目标和50%的增长幅度目标，所以是没有任何超预期，甚至略微不及预期，换而言之，产能上来了，销量增速却明显放缓，虽然还不至于滞销，但是对与一贯标榜以产定销的特斯拉来说，已经是不得不认真面对的潜在风险。当然，问题其实并不是出在中国市场上，特斯拉在中国这个全球最大的新能源汽车市场中给出了超71万辆销量的好成绩，超出全球总体销量水平的一半以上，同比增长幅度达到48%，也是超出特斯拉的全球平均水平40%，几乎达到了特斯拉定下的全年50%增长幅度的目标，其中Model Y车型交付辆高达45万辆左右，而Model 3车型销量达到26万辆。但是，中国市场领先于全球其他市场的销量优势很大程度上也是通过今年四季度频繁降价促销换来的。2、频繁降价治标不治本，2023年特斯拉将换新策略此前，特斯拉凭借一手产量=销量的低库存，高增长的销量态势一举碾压其他车企，但是从2022年年末来看，特斯拉的销量和订单双增长速度都已经凸显出疲软姿态，不仅特斯拉在我国的全系提车周期从年初的12-16周将至年末的1-5周（部分车型甚至可以直接提现车）。而且，在新能源汽车补贴退出带来成本压力（2023年新能源汽车补贴推出金额最高达1.26万元，远超此前2020年至2022年0.25万元、0.45万元和0.54万元的退坡金额），各大车企如比亚迪，广汽埃安等都纷纷涨价应对之际（比亚迪涨价2000元至6000元，广汽埃安涨价3000元至8000元），特斯拉却选择多次降价促销，可见特斯拉在销量增速不及预期，且前瞻指数订单数量断崖式下滑的现状下，已经决心以利润换销量。以目前特斯拉的利润水平情况来看，还是有这样的底气存在（特斯拉2022年前三季度净利润达到32.92亿美元，同比增长103%，单车利润更是高达9500美元，远超目前的所有新能源车企和大部分传统燃油车车企）。作为目前特斯拉最大的工厂，上海的超级工厂由于特斯拉的全球订单断崖式下降以后（从今年上半年订单高峰47万辆降至年末的7.4万辆订单），也传出降低产量的消息（全年上海工厂的产量贡献超过一半），可见特斯拉在上海工厂、柏林工厂、加州工厂和德州工厂的产能都得到升级扩充以后，老车型的产能不在是阻碍特斯拉发展的前提，反而是销量和订单量的不足成为了新的制约，在新的一年特斯拉的打法后将有所转变。在新的一年2023年，华尔街见闻·见智研究认为，特斯拉将不会在如2022年一般将已有车型的扩产放在最优先级，而是将会持续推出新车型且形成新的爆款车型浪潮，此前特斯拉以扩大已有车型产能为主，对于爆款车型Model3和Model 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Not only can you explore our unique tech-driven features, but you also stand a chance to win incredible rewards. Here’s how you can maximize your winnings:🏆 Winning Guide 🏆Discover Exclusive Features:Click to explore the unique features you’re interested in.Watch the feature introduction videos and complete the corresponding tasksShow Your Love:Like your favorite featuresIf the features you like end up in the top three, you’ll share in extra grand prizes!Collect and Win:Complete special tasks to earn pieces.Collect all pieces to exchange for high-value rewards!💡 Pro Tips:Complete highlighted tasks to earn extra rewards and a big bonus!Ready to dive","listText":"🎉 Unlock Your Path to $1,010 voucher with Our Winning Guide! 🎉Our exclusive anniversary event is now LIVE, and we want YOU to join in the fun! Not only can you explore our unique tech-driven features, but you also stand a chance to win incredible rewards. Here’s how you can maximize your winnings:🏆 Winning Guide 🏆Discover Exclusive Features:Click to explore the unique features you’re interested in.Watch the feature introduction videos and complete the corresponding tasksShow Your Love:Like your favorite featuresIf the features you like end up in the top three, you’ll share in extra grand prizes!Collect and Win:Complete special tasks to earn pieces.Collect all pieces to exchange for high-value rewards!💡 Pro Tips:Complete highlighted tasks to earn extra rewards and a big bonus!Ready to dive","text":"🎉 Unlock Your Path to $1,010 voucher with Our Winning Guide! 🎉Our exclusive anniversary event is now LIVE, and we want YOU to join in the fun! Not only can you explore our unique tech-driven features, but you also stand a chance to win incredible rewards. Here’s how you can maximize your winnings:🏆 Winning Guide 🏆Discover Exclusive Features:Click to explore the unique features you’re interested in.Watch the feature introduction videos and complete the corresponding tasksShow Your Love:Like your favorite featuresIf the features you like end up in the top three, you’ll share in extra grand prizes!Collect and Win:Complete special tasks to earn pieces.Collect all pieces to exchange for high-value rewards!💡 Pro Tips:Complete highlighted tasks to earn extra rewards and a big bonus!Ready to dive","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ba3323c6518b57d08bcc75d90ffa0c5a","width":"2000","height":"2000"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/313600081719480","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":201,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":262474233704616,"gmtCreate":1705114826333,"gmtModify":1705114830431,"author":{"id":"3573083502811038","authorId":"3573083502811038","name":"HY1986","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93f09ba7fa59a9df4b6424cab2331435","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573083502811038","authorIdStr":"3573083502811038"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"good................","listText":"good................","text":"good................","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/262474233704616","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":400,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":261824707469480,"gmtCreate":1704932586788,"gmtModify":1704932591972,"author":{"id":"3573083502811038","authorId":"3573083502811038","name":"HY1986","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93f09ba7fa59a9df4b6424cab2331435","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573083502811038","authorIdStr":"3573083502811038"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"good................","listText":"good................","text":"good................","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/261824707469480","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":365,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}