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Kubbon
2021-08-06
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Kubbon
2021-05-30
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Buy These 2 Stocks to Be Ready for the Market Crash
Kubbon
2021-05-24
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Kubbon
2021-05-24
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2021-05-24
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Kubbon
2021-05-19
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Kubbon
2021-05-19
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2021-05-18
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Kubbon
2021-04-04
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How Likely Is a Stock Market Crash?
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for sharing(:","listText":"Thanks for sharing(:","text":"Thanks for sharing(:","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/893626111","repostId":"2138531112","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":97,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":137708608,"gmtCreate":1622385826804,"gmtModify":1704183709555,"author":{"id":"3573125338979065","authorId":"3573125338979065","name":"Kubbon","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573125338979065","idStr":"3573125338979065"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/137708608","repostId":"2138531112","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2138531112","pubTimestamp":1622106000,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2138531112?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-27 17:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Buy These 2 Stocks to Be Ready for the Market Crash","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2138531112","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"A good offense is your best defense against a down market.","content":"<p>The stock market's plunge last year because of the global pandemic might not be noticeable in a few years' time. The bull run that began after the Great Recession has suffered a few hiccups over the past decade or so, but largely marches on.</p><p>That rightly makes some investors nervous, as the party must end sooner or later, the thinking goes, and the market's volatility lately, with wild swings in price, could be a harbinger that we're reaching a peak.</p><p>If you're worried, too, the two stocks below ought to help you to prepare now for any market crash.</p><h2>1. ABM Industries</h2><p>Hardly the sort of sexy business many momentum investors seek out, <b>ABM Industries</b> (NYSE:ABM) is a leading janitorial services and facilities manager across commercial, technology, industrial, education, and aviation.</p><p>Founded in 1909 as a window washing company, ABM has over $6 billion in annual revenue from a diversified list of customers, yet it's that sort of mundane task completion that makes ABM an attractive investment in times of trouble.</p><p>Its long history also means it has survived and thrived through all kinds of market conditions, and while the COVID-19 pandemic did hurt its operations, there is also much greater awareness for the need for cleanliness and sanitation.</p><p>So although first-quarter revenue was down 7.5% year over year, adjusted profits of $68.3 million, or $1.01 per share, were more than 2.5 times greater than the $26.2 million, or $0.39 per share, it generated last year as clients took on more work orders and performed more profitable EnhancedClean jobs that include disinfection routines.</p><p>CEO Scott Salmirs said with the rollout of vaccines, ABM is looking forward to a time where \"post-pandemic normalcy will reflect a heightened sensitivity to health and hygiene.\"</p><p>ABM Industries pays a dividend of $0.76 per share that currently yields 1.5% annually, which it has paid every quarter since 1965 and has raised for over 50 years, putting it in that rare group of companies known as Dividend Kings.</p><p>Trading at just about seven times the free cash flow it produces, ABM Industries carries a deeply discounted valuation that ought to continue generating substantial returns for investors in good times and bad.</p><h2>2. Genuine Parts</h2><p>Auto parts retailer <b>Genuine Parts</b> (NYSE:GPC) could be primed to capitalize on any market collapse, because when times get tough, consumers hold on to the cars they already own and do repair jobs themselves, rather than buy new.</p><p>Genuine Parts, which owns the NAPA Auto Parts brand of retail stores and generates two-thirds of its revenue from automotive sales, is already facing potential gains as a computer chip shortage impacts not only the tech sector, but the automotive industry as well.</p><p>Car makers are shutting production for weeks at a time because they can't get the necessary components to build vehicles. That means annual car production is going to drop, and buyers just might decide holding on to their existing rust buckets is a better option.</p><p>The retailer saw first-quarter sales jump over 9% on a 4.6% gain in comparable-store sales, helping adjusted earnings shoot nearly 90% higher year over year. Gross margins also expanded for the 14th consecutive quarter.</p><p>The robust quarterly performance is already causing Genuine Parts to raise its sales and earnings guidance for the rest of the year, and it expects to generate $700 million to $900 million in free cash flow.</p><p>With Genuine Parts' history of increasing its dividend payments even longer than ABM (over 60 years!), and a record of making a payout longer still, investors have a company that's been looking out for its shareholders for decades.</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Buy These 2 Stocks to Be Ready for the Market Crash</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBuy These 2 Stocks to Be Ready for the Market Crash\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-27 17:00 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/05/26/buy-these-2-stocks-to-be-ready-for-the-market-cras/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The stock market's plunge last year because of the global pandemic might not be noticeable in a few years' time. The bull run that began after the Great Recession has suffered a few hiccups over the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/05/26/buy-these-2-stocks-to-be-ready-for-the-market-cras/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ABM":"反导工业公司","GPC":"Genuine Parts Co"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/05/26/buy-these-2-stocks-to-be-ready-for-the-market-cras/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2138531112","content_text":"The stock market's plunge last year because of the global pandemic might not be noticeable in a few years' time. The bull run that began after the Great Recession has suffered a few hiccups over the past decade or so, but largely marches on.That rightly makes some investors nervous, as the party must end sooner or later, the thinking goes, and the market's volatility lately, with wild swings in price, could be a harbinger that we're reaching a peak.If you're worried, too, the two stocks below ought to help you to prepare now for any market crash.1. ABM IndustriesHardly the sort of sexy business many momentum investors seek out, ABM Industries (NYSE:ABM) is a leading janitorial services and facilities manager across commercial, technology, industrial, education, and aviation.Founded in 1909 as a window washing company, ABM has over $6 billion in annual revenue from a diversified list of customers, yet it's that sort of mundane task completion that makes ABM an attractive investment in times of trouble.Its long history also means it has survived and thrived through all kinds of market conditions, and while the COVID-19 pandemic did hurt its operations, there is also much greater awareness for the need for cleanliness and sanitation.So although first-quarter revenue was down 7.5% year over year, adjusted profits of $68.3 million, or $1.01 per share, were more than 2.5 times greater than the $26.2 million, or $0.39 per share, it generated last year as clients took on more work orders and performed more profitable EnhancedClean jobs that include disinfection routines.CEO Scott Salmirs said with the rollout of vaccines, ABM is looking forward to a time where \"post-pandemic normalcy will reflect a heightened sensitivity to health and hygiene.\"ABM Industries pays a dividend of $0.76 per share that currently yields 1.5% annually, which it has paid every quarter since 1965 and has raised for over 50 years, putting it in that rare group of companies known as Dividend Kings.Trading at just about seven times the free cash flow it produces, ABM Industries carries a deeply discounted valuation that ought to continue generating substantial returns for investors in good times and bad.2. Genuine PartsAuto parts retailer Genuine Parts (NYSE:GPC) could be primed to capitalize on any market collapse, because when times get tough, consumers hold on to the cars they already own and do repair jobs themselves, rather than buy new.Genuine Parts, which owns the NAPA Auto Parts brand of retail stores and generates two-thirds of its revenue from automotive sales, is already facing potential gains as a computer chip shortage impacts not only the tech sector, but the automotive industry as well.Car makers are shutting production for weeks at a time because they can't get the necessary components to build vehicles. That means annual car production is going to drop, and buyers just might decide holding on to their existing rust buckets is a better option.The retailer saw first-quarter sales jump over 9% on a 4.6% gain in comparable-store sales, helping adjusted earnings shoot nearly 90% higher year over year. Gross margins also expanded for the 14th consecutive quarter.The robust quarterly performance is already causing Genuine Parts to raise its sales and earnings guidance for the rest of the year, and it expects to generate $700 million to $900 million in free cash flow.With Genuine Parts' history of increasing its dividend payments even longer than ABM (over 60 years!), and a record of making a payout longer still, investors have a company that's been looking out for its shareholders for decades.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":144,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":131549936,"gmtCreate":1621869434925,"gmtModify":1704363648473,"author":{"id":"3573125338979065","authorId":"3573125338979065","name":"Kubbon","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573125338979065","idStr":"3573125338979065"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share 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it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/133710691","repostId":"1108503848","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":153,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":194626183,"gmtCreate":1621379191042,"gmtModify":1704356518076,"author":{"id":"3573125338979065","authorId":"3573125338979065","name":"Kubbon","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573125338979065","idStr":"3573125338979065"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/194626183","repostId":"1157626171","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":81,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":194620356,"gmtCreate":1621378875975,"gmtModify":1704356511130,"author":{"id":"3573125338979065","authorId":"3573125338979065","name":"Kubbon","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573125338979065","idStr":"3573125338979065"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/194620356","repostId":"2136955765","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":123,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":195612617,"gmtCreate":1621292453539,"gmtModify":1704355118970,"author":{"id":"3573125338979065","authorId":"3573125338979065","name":"Kubbon","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573125338979065","idStr":"3573125338979065"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/195612617","repostId":"1109408177","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":150,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":340791452,"gmtCreate":1617471988876,"gmtModify":1704699898423,"author":{"id":"3573125338979065","authorId":"3573125338979065","name":"Kubbon","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573125338979065","idStr":"3573125338979065"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/340791452","repostId":"1191998262","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1191998262","pubTimestamp":1617366158,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1191998262?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-04-02 20:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"How Likely Is a Stock Market Crash?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1191998262","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"You may not like the answer.\n\nFor the past year, investors have enjoyed one of the greatest bounce-b","content":"<blockquote>\n You may not like the answer.\n</blockquote>\n<p>For the past year, investors have enjoyed one of the greatest bounce-back rallies of all time. After the benchmark<b>S&P 500</b>(SNPINDEX:^GSPC)lost a third of its value in mere weeks due to unprecedented uncertainties surrounding the coronavirus pandemic, it bounced back to gain in the neighborhood of 75% off its lows. You could rightly say that patience has paid off.</p>\n<p>But there's another reality that investors -- especially long-term investors -- are keenly aware of: the propensity of the stock market to crash or correct. Things might look great now, but the next big nosedive is always waiting in the wings.</p>\n<p>It begs the question: How likely is astock market crash? Let's take a closer look.</p>\n<p><b>Double-digit declines occur every 1.87 years, on average</b></p>\n<p>To begin with the basics, stock market corrections (i.e., declines of at least 10%) are quite common in the S&P 500. According to data from market analytics firm Yardeni Research, there have been 38 corrections in the S&P 500 since the beginning of 1950. This works out to an average double-digit decline in the benchmark indexevery 1.87 years. Since it's now been more than a year since the market hit its bear-market bottom, the averages are certainly not in investors' favor.</p>\n<p>However, averages are nothing more than that... averages. The market doesn't adhere to averages, even if some folks base their investments off of what's happened historically.</p>\n<p>We could enter a period similar to 1991 through 1996 where there were zero corrections. Or we could continue the theme since the beginning of 2010, where corrections occur, on average, every 19 months.</p>\n<p><b>Corrections have been an historical given within three years of a bear market bottom</b></p>\n<p>Another interesting piece of evidence to examine is the frequency by which the S&P 500 corrects after hitting a bear-market bottom.</p>\n<p>Since the beginning of 1960 (an arbitrary year I chose for the sake of simplicity), the widely followed index has navigated its way through nine bear markets, including the coronavirus crash. In rebounding from each of the previous eight bear market lows, there was at least one double-digit percentage decline within three years100% of the time. In aggregate, 13 corrections have occurred within three years following the last eight bear market bottoms (i.e., either one or two following each bottom).</p>\n<p>Put another way, rebounding from a bear-market bottom is rarely a straight-line move higher. Yet up, up, and away has pretty much been the theme for investors since March 23, 2020. History would suggest that there's a very good chance of a move lower in equities within the next two years.</p>\n<p><b>Crashes frequently occur when this valuation metric is hit</b></p>\n<p>But the most damning bit of evidence might just be the S&P 500's Shiller price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio. This is a valuation metric that examines the average inflation-adjusted earnings from the previous 10 years. You might also know it as the cyclically adjusted P/E ratio, or CAPE.</p>\n<p>As of the close of business on March 30, the S&P 500's Shiller P/E ratio hit 35.61. That's well over double its 150-year average of 16.8. Using continuous bull market moves as a parameter, it's the second-highest reading in its history.</p>\n<p>To some extent, itmakes sensethat equity valuations should be higher now than they've been historically. That's because interest rates are near an all-time low and access to the internet has effectively broken down barriers between Wall Street and Main Street that may have, in the past, kept P/E multiples at bay.</p>\n<p>However, previous instances of the S&P 500's Shiller P/E ratio crossing above and sustaining the 30 levelhaven't ended well. In the prior four instances where the Shiller P/E surpassed and held above 30, the benchmark index tumbled anywhere from 20% to as much as 89%. Although an 89% plunge, which was experienced during the Great Depression, is very unlikely these days, a big drop has historically been in the cards when valuations get extended, as they are now.</p>\n<p><b>Keep that cash handy in the event that opportunity knocks</b></p>\n<p>To circle back to the original question at hand, the data is pretty clear that the likelihood of a stock market crash or correction has grown considerably. It's impossible to precisely predict when a crash might occur, how long the decline will last, or how steep the drop could be. But the data strongly suggests that downside is in the offing.</p>\n<p>While this might be a disappointing revelation to some investors, it shouldn't be. Crashes and corrections are a normal part of the investing cycle. More importantly, theyprovide an opportunityfor investors to buy into great companies at a discount. Just think about all the great companies you're probably kicking yourself over for not buying last March.</p>\n<p>The reason to be excited about crashes and corrections is also found in the data. You see, of those 38 previous corrections in the S&P 500 since the beginning of 1950, each and every one has eventually been put into the rearview mirror by a bull market rally. Plus,at no point over the past centuryhave rolling 20-year total returns (including dividends) for the S&P 500 been negative.</p>\n<p>If you need further encouragement to buy during a correction, keep in mind that 24 of the 38 double-digit declines in the S&P 500 havefound their bottom in 104 or fewer calendar days(3.5 months or less). Crashes and corrections may be steep at times but tend to resolve quickly. That's your cue to have cash at the ready in the event that opportunity knocks.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>How Likely Is a Stock Market Crash?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHow Likely Is a Stock Market Crash?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-04-02 20:22 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/04/02/how-likely-is-a-stock-market-crash/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>You may not like the answer.\n\nFor the past year, investors have enjoyed one of the greatest bounce-back rallies of all time. After the benchmarkS&P 500(SNPINDEX:^GSPC)lost a third of its value in mere...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/04/02/how-likely-is-a-stock-market-crash/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/04/02/how-likely-is-a-stock-market-crash/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1191998262","content_text":"You may not like the answer.\n\nFor the past year, investors have enjoyed one of the greatest bounce-back rallies of all time. After the benchmarkS&P 500(SNPINDEX:^GSPC)lost a third of its value in mere weeks due to unprecedented uncertainties surrounding the coronavirus pandemic, it bounced back to gain in the neighborhood of 75% off its lows. You could rightly say that patience has paid off.\nBut there's another reality that investors -- especially long-term investors -- are keenly aware of: the propensity of the stock market to crash or correct. Things might look great now, but the next big nosedive is always waiting in the wings.\nIt begs the question: How likely is astock market crash? Let's take a closer look.\nDouble-digit declines occur every 1.87 years, on average\nTo begin with the basics, stock market corrections (i.e., declines of at least 10%) are quite common in the S&P 500. According to data from market analytics firm Yardeni Research, there have been 38 corrections in the S&P 500 since the beginning of 1950. This works out to an average double-digit decline in the benchmark indexevery 1.87 years. Since it's now been more than a year since the market hit its bear-market bottom, the averages are certainly not in investors' favor.\nHowever, averages are nothing more than that... averages. The market doesn't adhere to averages, even if some folks base their investments off of what's happened historically.\nWe could enter a period similar to 1991 through 1996 where there were zero corrections. Or we could continue the theme since the beginning of 2010, where corrections occur, on average, every 19 months.\nCorrections have been an historical given within three years of a bear market bottom\nAnother interesting piece of evidence to examine is the frequency by which the S&P 500 corrects after hitting a bear-market bottom.\nSince the beginning of 1960 (an arbitrary year I chose for the sake of simplicity), the widely followed index has navigated its way through nine bear markets, including the coronavirus crash. In rebounding from each of the previous eight bear market lows, there was at least one double-digit percentage decline within three years100% of the time. In aggregate, 13 corrections have occurred within three years following the last eight bear market bottoms (i.e., either one or two following each bottom).\nPut another way, rebounding from a bear-market bottom is rarely a straight-line move higher. Yet up, up, and away has pretty much been the theme for investors since March 23, 2020. History would suggest that there's a very good chance of a move lower in equities within the next two years.\nCrashes frequently occur when this valuation metric is hit\nBut the most damning bit of evidence might just be the S&P 500's Shiller price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio. This is a valuation metric that examines the average inflation-adjusted earnings from the previous 10 years. You might also know it as the cyclically adjusted P/E ratio, or CAPE.\nAs of the close of business on March 30, the S&P 500's Shiller P/E ratio hit 35.61. That's well over double its 150-year average of 16.8. Using continuous bull market moves as a parameter, it's the second-highest reading in its history.\nTo some extent, itmakes sensethat equity valuations should be higher now than they've been historically. That's because interest rates are near an all-time low and access to the internet has effectively broken down barriers between Wall Street and Main Street that may have, in the past, kept P/E multiples at bay.\nHowever, previous instances of the S&P 500's Shiller P/E ratio crossing above and sustaining the 30 levelhaven't ended well. In the prior four instances where the Shiller P/E surpassed and held above 30, the benchmark index tumbled anywhere from 20% to as much as 89%. Although an 89% plunge, which was experienced during the Great Depression, is very unlikely these days, a big drop has historically been in the cards when valuations get extended, as they are now.\nKeep that cash handy in the event that opportunity knocks\nTo circle back to the original question at hand, the data is pretty clear that the likelihood of a stock market crash or correction has grown considerably. It's impossible to precisely predict when a crash might occur, how long the decline will last, or how steep the drop could be. But the data strongly suggests that downside is in the offing.\nWhile this might be a disappointing revelation to some investors, it shouldn't be. Crashes and corrections are a normal part of the investing cycle. More importantly, theyprovide an opportunityfor investors to buy into great companies at a discount. Just think about all the great companies you're probably kicking yourself over for not buying last March.\nThe reason to be excited about crashes and corrections is also found in the data. You see, of those 38 previous corrections in the S&P 500 since the beginning of 1950, each and every one has eventually been put into the rearview mirror by a bull market rally. Plus,at no point over the past centuryhave rolling 20-year total returns (including dividends) for the S&P 500 been negative.\nIf you need further encouragement to buy during a correction, keep in mind that 24 of the 38 double-digit declines in the S&P 500 havefound their bottom in 104 or fewer calendar days(3.5 months or less). Crashes and corrections may be steep at times but tend to resolve quickly. That's your cue to have cash at the ready in the event that opportunity knocks.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":111,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":893626111,"gmtCreate":1628260375833,"gmtModify":1703504198660,"author":{"id":"3573125338979065","authorId":"3573125338979065","name":"Kubbon","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573125338979065","authorIdStr":"3573125338979065"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thanks for sharing(:","listText":"Thanks for sharing(:","text":"Thanks for sharing(:","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/893626111","repostId":"2138531112","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":97,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":137708608,"gmtCreate":1622385826804,"gmtModify":1704183709555,"author":{"id":"3573125338979065","authorId":"3573125338979065","name":"Kubbon","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573125338979065","authorIdStr":"3573125338979065"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/137708608","repostId":"2138531112","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":144,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":131549936,"gmtCreate":1621869434925,"gmtModify":1704363648473,"author":{"id":"3573125338979065","authorId":"3573125338979065","name":"Kubbon","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573125338979065","authorIdStr":"3573125338979065"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/131549936","repostId":"1154364832","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1154364832","pubTimestamp":1621824866,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1154364832?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-24 10:54","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Sea Limited Is Ready To Fire On All Cylinders","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1154364832","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"SummarySea Limited continues to extend its leadership across all its business segments with a blockb","content":"<p>Summary</p><ul><li>Sea Limited continues to extend its leadership across all its business segments with a blockbuster Q1’21 performance.</li><li>Investors need to pay attention to its potential cash flow margins that could far exceed even AMZN and MELI.</li><li>At the current price, investors are getting a bargain even at the bear case of its fair value range with a DCF framework.</li></ul><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04fbbc1a372c45d5d8e903015e5b0dfe\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Photo by Wachiwit/iStock Editorial via Getty ImagesInvestment Thesis</p><p>Sea Limited (SE) has fallen about 13% from its all-time high. The company has continued to dominate its markets and looks certain to further extend its leadership position and expand its verticals to take even more market share away from its competitors. Investors should take advantage of the consolidation to initiate or add positions to this potential massive cash flow generator.</p><p><b>Earnings Review and What To Look Out For?</b></p><p>Sea Limited is the largest integrated Internet company in South East Asia, with operations spanning across gaming, e-commerce, and fintech.</p><p>The company’s recent Q1’21 results were another blockbuster across all business segments, demonstrating the company’s strong leadership and well-executed growth strategies towards itsvision:</p><blockquote>We think we stand in the best position to capitalize on the opportunity to build the largest consumer Internet ecosystem in the region. And we'll continue to focus on executing on our core businesses as well as building those ecosystems.</blockquote><p>As a reminder, for its e-commerce segment Shopee, Sea considers its region to comprise the following markets: Indonesia, Taiwan, Vietnam, Thailand, the Philippines, Malaysia, and Singapore, of which Indonesia is the company’s largest market.</p><p>For its gaming segmentGarena, the company’s largest and growing markets comprise Southeast Asia, Taiwan, Brazil, Mexico, India, North America, Russia, and the Middle East.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/932ec3694e935afbfa643e9c904ce964\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"636\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">SE’s Quarterly Results. Data Source: S&P Global Market Intelligence</p><p>Q1’21 YoY revenue growth accelerated to 146.7%. In fact, Q1’21 is the 11th consecutive quarter of >100% YoY revenue growth. The company’s main revenue driverGarena recorded a 111.4% YoY rise, while Shopee and other services recorded a 189.8% YoY increase.</p><p>Gross margin also improved significantly compared to the prior year. Q1’21 gross margin came in at 36.6% as compared to 28.9% a year ago. In its respective segments, Garena’s gross margin also improved to 68.2% from 38.6% a year ago, while Shopee’s gross margin went up to 13.7% from 7.1% a year ago.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d9651b44ee4d09b2dcf3d8c49e72213\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"629\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>SE’s LTM results. Data Source: S&P Global Market Intelligence</p><p>Looking across the longer-term trend using the LTM basis, we could also see similar fantastic top line performance. LTM YoY revenue growth came in at 113.7%, and gross margin also improved to 33% compared to 30.4% a year ago. Therefore, investors should be encouraged to know that Sea’s top line performance has been consistently getting better and better even as it scaled up fast, improving its cost of revenue ratio, showing just how capable the company is in being able to execute its growth strategies across multiple countries within its region.</p><p>Investors may want to continue paying attention to the company’s sales and marketing spend as it still accounted for the majority of the operating expenses in both the Q and LTM results, respectively. More importantly, sales and marketing spend as a percentage of revenue has continued to fall as the company scaled up, reflecting improving cost efficiencies over time.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/695523a022549fe176d5ac4f89f3c4cb\" tg-width=\"1004\" tg-height=\"558\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>SE’s OPEX as a % of Revenue (LTM Trend). Data Source: S&P Global Market Intelligence</p><p>This has certainly helped to improve the company’s overall cost efficiencies over time, showing clearly the benefits of economies of scale of the company’s business model. LTM sales and marketing spend improved to 40.6% of revenue from 43.3% a year ago, while LTM overall operating expenses improved to 59.9% of revenue from 67.4% a year ago.</p><p>This has helped to narrow the company’s LTM negative operating margin to -27% from -37%. Investors should be reminded not to focus on SE’s near-term operating margins as a gauge of the company’s core operating performance. This is because the company is still in the early stages (despite growing so rapidly) of penetrating Southeast Asia’s massive e-commerce market, of which it is the clear leader currently. The company is expected to continue investing heavily in sales and marketing, in order to drive the massive potential for growth in the region and to establish itself as the future undisputed e-commerce leader in the region taking the large majority of the pie, leaving the rest of its competitors to only be able to compete in their much smaller respective niche market segments, just like what Amazon (AMZN) had done in its established markets.</p><p>In fact, Sea’s CEOForrest Li, who was named “Singapore Businessman of the Year at the 35th Singapore Business Awards in Nov 20” added:</p><blockquote>Let me put it this way, it (Shopee) can be profitable anytime. But I think what's really important to us is we think it's still very early days for e-commerce development. We are in a very good situation because Garena has been profitable - actually it's pretty profitable, and this gives us the resources to invest in Shopee, invest in SeaMoney. I think pretty soon, Shopee will turn to be profitable as well. In certain markets, like Taiwan, it's already profitable. And then we will have more resources; two cash flow generators: Garena and Shopee. This allows us to continually invest in future opportunities.</blockquote><p>I have previously discussed (articles listedhereandhere) how important it is for investors to focus on cash flows for companies with massive scalability potential like Coupang (CPNG) and Opendoor Technologies (OPEN) which are still in their early days of penetrating their respective markets.</p><p>It is the same focus for Sea as we attempt to delve deeper into its cash flow generating ability. Sea uses Adjusted EBITDA to report its cash flow performance. I will present the discussion from FCF and EBITDA point of view first as a matter of consistency, before going over to the Adjusted EBITDA metrics.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae1db2d81fcf921eaba649f93cbbf9e0\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"601\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>SE’s LTM CFO Margin and LTM FCF Margin. Data Source: S&P Global Market Intelligence</p><p>A quick glance over to its cash flow statement unveiled just how well-performing SE has been with its cash flow management. In fact, SE’s CFO and FCF performance has been improving remarkably over time as it scaled up quickly, and the company is just getting started. Its LTM CFO margins have been steadily improving over the previous year from -5.36% to 17.28% for the Q1’21 quarter. In addition, its LTM FCF margins also improved steadily over the previous year from -13.4% to 11.08%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2c3f20175798dec1212a5aac70feb8cc\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"826\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>SE’s EBITDA Margin & EBIT Margin. Data Source: S&P Global Market Intelligence</p><p>When we move over to its EBITDA margins, the improvement in trend of its core operating performance is also clearly discernible. Although it has yet to turn EBITDA positive, it was due mainly to necessary investments in sales and marketing.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5b82c3c4bf6f1a5698e05c68eaddbe2e\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"819\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>SE’s CapEx Margin & CFO Margin. Data Source: S&P Global Market Intelligence</b></p><p>SE has also benefited from the huge improvement in its core operating performance as seen in its CFO margin trend, while its heavy earlier CapEx investments have started to bear fruit as it scaled, as the CapEx margin is trending lower, and its CFO will now be able to sustain its CapEx moving forward.</p><p>It’s very clear that SE’s business has well cleared its inflection point of heavy investments to scale up, and the company is well on its way to generate huge cash flows in the future as it continues to power ahead in its market penetration.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88fb528aaddb4c6a12d219ac9c2e9f64\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"730\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>SE’s EBITDA Margin Forecast & CapEx Margin Forecast. Data Source: S&P Global Market Intelligence</p><p>Moving ahead, we can also see that SE’s forward EBITDA margin trend is expected to significantly expand, while CapEx margin is expected to continue to fall. The company is on track to be a massive cash flow generator, with EBITDA margin expected to be about 43.8% by FY 30. Therefore, investors must be aligned with Sea’s long-term vision of focusing on growing its cash flows as it continues to penetrate the region’s markets. Based on its current growth trajectory, SE’s cash flow generating potential looks massive.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/46dd783ffd94d877ef749555e8869764\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"735\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>AMZN’s & SE’s EBITDA Margin Forecast & CapEx Margin Forecast. Data Source: S&P Global Market Intelligence</p><p>When we bring in AMZN’s forecasts, I believe investors can clearly see what I mean. AMZN is already quite profitable based on its EBITDA margin, while SE’s EBITDA margin profitability is probably just getting started and SE is expected to grow its EBITDA margins much faster than AMZN, and this only goes to show the tremendous potential of the markets that SE is operating in. Investors are clearly reminded to give Shopee time to scale up to deliver the kind of cash flow profitability that will drive future returns.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/37f1f59f3a8d0e8ef6e74b521330d9f7\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"714\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">SE’s Adjusted EBITDA. Source: SE 6-K</p><p>As we move on to the segmented Adjusted EBITDA presented by the company, we can then infer what SE CEO Forrest Li meant by “Garena providing the resources for the company to invest in Shopee and SeaMoney.”</p><p>The company is continuing to build on Garena’s success to deliver the resources needed to invest in Shopee and SeaMoney. Investors should consider Shopee and SeaMoney as an entity because they have tremendous synergies and are each other’s flywheel. Garena offers clear cash flow visibility for Shopee and SeaMoney to grow.</p><p>Garena’s bookings reached $1.1B in Q1’21, which represents a 117.4% YoY increase. The bookings consist of current revenue and change in deferred revenue, the part which provides visibility into future revenue recognition.</p><p>As can be seen, based on Adjusted EBITDA, which also included change in deferred revenue, SE has turned profitable. Unlike many other e-commerce companies or internet companies, SE already has a cash flow profitable Garena segment to provide the resources to drive its e-commerce and fintech segment growth. This combination is extremely powerful and, coupled with the company’s remarkable execution, has already brought FCF profitability to its operations, and soon EBITDA profitable. This will certainly allow SE to push even harder to drive more sustainable investments into more verticals and products to expand its ecosystem and further reduce the share of the pie available and pull itself further away from its closest competitors.</p><p>Therefore, investors must continue to pay attention to the key growth drivers in Garena, and how the company intends to stretch its leadership further to protect its key cash flow generator until Shopee and SeaMoney become self-sustainable.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3291643e2334f5cf171810ba13d16ca2\" tg-width=\"1100\" tg-height=\"604\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Shopee’s Adjusted EBITDA per order. Source:Techinasia</p><p>As Shopee continues to drive its fast expansion across the region, its unit economics have continued to improve remarkably, as it achieved operating efficiencies over time, leading to further reductions in Adjusted EBITDA loss per order. For Q1’21, the Adjusted EBITDA loss per order improved to $0.38, which represents a 38% YoY decline. As the company has guided earlier, it would not be long before Shopee achieves self-sustaining EBITDA profitability.</p><p><b>What’s Next for Garena?</b></p><p>At the Pocket Gamer Awards 2021, Garena received the Best Mobile Publisher Award, and Free Fire was also named the Best Battle Royale Game.</p><p>Yet, according to the company, Garena’s most popular self-developedFree Fireis</p><blockquote>still at an early stage of driving growth on the user base as well as pay user base for this game and developing it into a social platform where people not only come to play the core gameplay, but also enjoy other modes hangout, listen to music, social lives.”</blockquote><p>The company’s focus on Free Fire is notable as it is Garena’s most important revenue driver. Therefore the ability to scale Free Fire beyond just a game but into a social platform would bring Free Fire into its next phase of growth while continuing to grow its active user base and paying users. Sea also emphasized that the company continues to see “stickiness” in its active user metrics as the average active user spends about 2 to 3 hours daily on its platform. Not only has Garena grown its quarterly paying users 123.5% YoY, its quarterly paying users also represented 12.3% of quarterly active users (QAU) for Q1’21 as compared to 8.9% a year ago. Therefore driving the stickiness of the platform and encouraging more time spent among its active users would help to drive its paying user ratio up.</p><p>Sea believes that one of the key factors that could help to drive Garena towards its vision of a social platform is dramatically increasing its modes of engagement with its users. This is not just restricted to online activities, but also offline community engagement programs. The whole intent is to develop a “broad-based platform stickiness” beyond its top active users, by building and growing the platform into a much larger community and provide the users ample opportunities to socialize and engage through its ongoing content development, and its promotion of community engagement.</p><p>A key aspect of its community engagement strategies is focused on eSports. Sea believes that it operates the “largest mobile-game professional league in Southeast Asia, Taiwan and Brazil” and Free Fire was also named the “eSports Mobile Game of the Year at the eSports Awards 2020”. (Source: SE 20-F). The company continues to hold very large-scale eSports tournaments and events to strengthen its community engagement strategies such as Free Fire League Latinoamerica 2021, and its flagship Garena World event in April. On the 28th May, theFree Fire World Series 2021 Singapore(FFWS 2021 SG), which is Free Fire’s most prestigious eSports tournament, will take place in Singapore with a massive prize pool of US2M. Sea is showing no signs of ever letting the company’s most important revenue driver and most profitable segment to slip through its grip. Instead, it continues to build on its success as the leading eSports organizer in its markets.</p><p>Garena is also looking way beyond the success of Free Fire and is constantly developing its games portfolio pipeline through constant R&D and product development with its “significant number of our more than 1,000 in-house game developers globally are constantly working on new ideas, while we continue to engage with third-party game studios for collaboration on promising and complementary game development and publishing opportunities.” (Source: SE Q1’21 earnings transcript)</p><p><b>Expanding Shopee’s Global Footprint and Verticals</b></p><p>Sea is actively expanding its presence in LatAm’s largest e-commerce market:Brazil, taking on MercadoLibre (MELI) in its most important market and with eyes on the whole LatAm. Although Sea is a relatively new player in e-commerce, having set up Shopee only in2015, the company is no stranger to taking on big incumbents. Shopee has already unseated the incumbent Alibaba-backed (BABA)Lazadaas the number one e-commerce platform in Southeast Asia. In addition, in its most important market, Indonesia, the company has also unseated incumbent Tokopedia as the leader, and Shopee was also recently reported to be themost visited e-commerce websiteamong Indonesian consumers in 2020.</p><p>Sea further highlighted that the company continued to rank first in MAU and total time spent on apps in the shopping category across its markets in Southeast Asia, and in Indonesia it also recorded its fastest quarterly YoY growth rates on record. (Source: SE Q1’21 earnings transcript)</p><p>Therefore, Sea is an extremely well-managed company, capable of pulling off challenging growth strategies against other large incumbents. Don’t bet against Sea.</p><p>In addition, the company has also ventured into other verticals such as food delivery to expand its ecosystem. Sea sees food delivery as a complementary offering in Shopee. In Vietnam, Sea-owned food delivery service Now which it acquired in 2017 is already themarket leader, having unseated the incumbent Grab. The company also recently launched its food delivery service in Jakarta, Indonesia, with plans to launch into other cities in the future.</p><p><b>The SeaMoney Synergies</b></p><p>Sea’s fintech platform SeaMoney continues to see continued success and growth as mobile wallet services TPV recorded a YoY growth of almost 209% to $3.4B, as ShopeePay continues to ride on the coattails of Shopee’s rapid growth. The company also highlighted that according to Snapcart Indonesia’s survey in March, “ShopeePay was the most used, the most remembered and most liked mobile wallet by Indonesian consumers during the first quarter.” (Source: SE Q1’21 earnings transcript)</p><p>The company is also aggressively expanding its off-platform use cases by establishing “partnerships with major consumer brands in Indonesia, one of which is their partnership with Indomaret, a leading Indonesian convenience store chain, as well as with Wendy’s(NASDAQ:WEN)and Domino’s Pizza(NYSE:DPZ).”</p><p>The company has also continued to improve the utility within ShopeePay adding new features such as “Deals Near Me”, which was said to have driven “significant footfall to its onboarded offline merchants.”</p><p>The strategy of incorporating the higher-margin digital financial services products such as wealth management products is also within the pipeline and is a natural extension of its fintech strategy. Although I believe this may be the most challenging aspect among its growth strategies within SeaMoney as financial services is a highly regulated market and the Southeast Asia region’s regulatory landscape largely differs between countries. Yet, it is still a key area of growth within the company’s overall fintech blueprint.</p><p><b>GoTo: What Should Investors Look Out For In The Tokopedia And Gojek Merger?</b></p><p>Much has been said recently regarding the SoftBank(OTCPK:SFTBY)and Alibaba-backedmergerbetween Tokopedia and Gojek and the risks it may pose to Sea’s leadership.</p><p>What’s important for investors to note is that in my opinion, the move seems born out of a measure of “desperation” to save their own businesses from the growing prowess of Grab (AGC) and SE in Gojek’s case and SE in Tokopedia’s case who have been aggressively taking away their respective market share, eventually culminating in them losing their respective market leadership. Therefore, it’s a marriage of two “losing” incumbents who have failed to stem the charge of their strong and well-managed new market entrants in Sea and Grab. Sea and Grab are themselves no strangers to dislodging market-leading incumbents, with Grab having sentUber Technologies(UBER) packing home from Southeast Asia and BABA-backed Lazada getting overtaken by Sea in the Southeast Asian market.</p><p>Grab’s food delivery business was reported to account for 53% of Indonesia’s food delivery market, while its ride-hailing business was reported to account for 64% of the Indonesian ride-hailing market in2019. Grab sees Indonesia as the crown jewel in its Southeast Asian portfolio, with Grab CEOAnthony Tanreportedly having spent a lot of time in Indonesia to oversee its growth strategies. With Grab projected to turnEBITDA profitable by 2023, I feel Gojek may have already crucially lost the initiative to Grab.</p><p>Tokopedia, which was founded in 2009 had a head start of close to 6 years over Shopee, a huge amount of time in Tech before Shopee commenced operations in 2015. In just a short span of 6 years, not only has Tokopedia lost its leadership position to Shopee, ShopeePay has also overtaken all the other e-payment players in Indonesia in a mere two years, as ShopeePay now holds a38% share, well ahead of Grab-backed OVO and Gojek’s GoPay, both holding 19% share each. Remember the Shopee and ShopeePay’s synergies, it’s like a flywheel, each driving increased usage of the other, and leading further to increased GMV and TPV respectively. Shopee also reportedly understands Indonesian consumers’ needs better, especially among the female consumers as compared to Tokopedia according to a report byMomentum Works:</p><blockquote>For Shopee, fashion and beauty are the most popular product categories. On the other hand, Tokopedia is more established in mobile and electronics. This explains why many of the female Indonesians are going to Shopee instead. For mobile and electronics, you probably only buy them once or twice a year. For fashion and beauty, it’s a different story. You can buy it every other month and even if you do not buy, you browse a lot – sending traffic to the platform. Impulse buying is also common for these categories, which is just nice for an ecosystem of shoppers, products as well as influencers.</blockquote><p>With Sea having already turned Adjusted EBITDA profitable in Q1’21, the company is well ready to take on the challenges of this merger between the two incumbents, who may have already crucially lost their opportunities to “turn back time”, even with a merger that is perhaps too little too late.</p><p><b>Valuations</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9af1f1703d974dcc9562883dc04d1f13\" tg-width=\"1134\" tg-height=\"518\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Peers EV / Fwd Rev. Data Source: S&P Global Market Intelligence</p><p>With such huge potential growth coming from Sea’s markets, Sea obviously trades at a premium when compared to its e-commerce peers, if we simply base off their respective expected revenue growth.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3607c4899ac3e4b1beccce944f68a638\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"728\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Peers’ EBITDA Margin Forecast & CapEx Forecast. Data Source: S&P Global Market Intelligence</p><p>However, when we peek into Sea’s superior future cash flow generating capability using its projected EBITDA margins, we can see that Sea is only just getting started.</p><p>Since the company is expected to produce predictable cash flows moving forward, I find it meaningful to conduct a DCF valuation framework to determine a range of fair values with the results presented below.</p><p>Based on the DCF framework, I find SE undervalued by about 26% at the midpoint of its fair value range, with respect to the stock price of $246.33 as at 21 May 21. Therefore, I find the price level highly attractive.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e8d8cce67ca4c035e6314b345d5f05a\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"277\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Range of Fair Values. Data Source: S&P Global Market Intelligence</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/84cb6fe959ae96e28a8f3a60146ec35f\" tg-width=\"1154\" tg-height=\"726\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>WACC computation. Data Source: S&P Global Market Intelligence</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8982fb5ac9e8bb059635b287f81fe221\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"206\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Fwd Rev & Fwd EBITDA. Data Source: S&P Global Market Intelligence</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e1e7da44b94ab543e888920747044ca\" tg-width=\"1172\" tg-height=\"934\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Unlevered FCF & Enterprise Value. Data Source: S&P Global Market Intelligence</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75f2f24a8f6afecdf6bf0644d9bf8423\" tg-width=\"1014\" tg-height=\"696\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Equity Value Bridge. Data Source: S&P Global Market Intelligence</p><p><b>Price Action and Technical Analysis</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bab4482ce4bebbe89bc6636f5d39f10d\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"798\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Source: TradingView</p><p>SE has been on a meteoric rise since Mar 20, and as at the date of writing (21 May 21), the stock was down by about 13% from its all-time high in Feb 21. The price level between $275 and $285 looks to be an area of key resistance and bull traps previously set to lure in late buyers.</p><p>Key support is at $200, with the 50-period MA also serving as a key dynamic support area. I may continue to add more positions into this stock if the price level retraces nearer to $200 at the next retracement.</p><p>Otherwise, investors who wish to initiate or add more positions may find the current price attractive.</p><p>Further key support levels are currently at $179 and $155, areas that I would likely add very aggressively if the price was to retrace to those areas.</p><p><b>Conclusion</b></p><p>Sea is a very well-managed and ambitious integrated Internet company that looks to be at the next phase of its rapid growth and profitability. Investors may wish to take advantage of the current consolidation phase to gain entry or add positions to this potentially massive cash flow machine.</p>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Sea Limited Is Ready To Fire On All Cylinders</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSea Limited Is Ready To Fire On All Cylinders\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-24 10:54 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4430755-sea-limited-stock-se-ready-to-fire-on-all-cylinders><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummarySea Limited continues to extend its leadership across all its business segments with a blockbuster Q1’21 performance.Investors need to pay attention to its potential cash flow margins that ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4430755-sea-limited-stock-se-ready-to-fire-on-all-cylinders\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SE":"Sea Ltd"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4430755-sea-limited-stock-se-ready-to-fire-on-all-cylinders","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1154364832","content_text":"SummarySea Limited continues to extend its leadership across all its business segments with a blockbuster Q1’21 performance.Investors need to pay attention to its potential cash flow margins that could far exceed even AMZN and MELI.At the current price, investors are getting a bargain even at the bear case of its fair value range with a DCF framework.Photo by Wachiwit/iStock Editorial via Getty ImagesInvestment ThesisSea Limited (SE) has fallen about 13% from its all-time high. The company has continued to dominate its markets and looks certain to further extend its leadership position and expand its verticals to take even more market share away from its competitors. Investors should take advantage of the consolidation to initiate or add positions to this potential massive cash flow generator.Earnings Review and What To Look Out For?Sea Limited is the largest integrated Internet company in South East Asia, with operations spanning across gaming, e-commerce, and fintech.The company’s recent Q1’21 results were another blockbuster across all business segments, demonstrating the company’s strong leadership and well-executed growth strategies towards itsvision:We think we stand in the best position to capitalize on the opportunity to build the largest consumer Internet ecosystem in the region. And we'll continue to focus on executing on our core businesses as well as building those ecosystems.As a reminder, for its e-commerce segment Shopee, Sea considers its region to comprise the following markets: Indonesia, Taiwan, Vietnam, Thailand, the Philippines, Malaysia, and Singapore, of which Indonesia is the company’s largest market.For its gaming segmentGarena, the company’s largest and growing markets comprise Southeast Asia, Taiwan, Brazil, Mexico, India, North America, Russia, and the Middle East.SE’s Quarterly Results. Data Source: S&P Global Market IntelligenceQ1’21 YoY revenue growth accelerated to 146.7%. In fact, Q1’21 is the 11th consecutive quarter of >100% YoY revenue growth. The company’s main revenue driverGarena recorded a 111.4% YoY rise, while Shopee and other services recorded a 189.8% YoY increase.Gross margin also improved significantly compared to the prior year. Q1’21 gross margin came in at 36.6% as compared to 28.9% a year ago. In its respective segments, Garena’s gross margin also improved to 68.2% from 38.6% a year ago, while Shopee’s gross margin went up to 13.7% from 7.1% a year ago.SE’s LTM results. Data Source: S&P Global Market IntelligenceLooking across the longer-term trend using the LTM basis, we could also see similar fantastic top line performance. LTM YoY revenue growth came in at 113.7%, and gross margin also improved to 33% compared to 30.4% a year ago. Therefore, investors should be encouraged to know that Sea’s top line performance has been consistently getting better and better even as it scaled up fast, improving its cost of revenue ratio, showing just how capable the company is in being able to execute its growth strategies across multiple countries within its region.Investors may want to continue paying attention to the company’s sales and marketing spend as it still accounted for the majority of the operating expenses in both the Q and LTM results, respectively. More importantly, sales and marketing spend as a percentage of revenue has continued to fall as the company scaled up, reflecting improving cost efficiencies over time.SE’s OPEX as a % of Revenue (LTM Trend). Data Source: S&P Global Market IntelligenceThis has certainly helped to improve the company’s overall cost efficiencies over time, showing clearly the benefits of economies of scale of the company’s business model. LTM sales and marketing spend improved to 40.6% of revenue from 43.3% a year ago, while LTM overall operating expenses improved to 59.9% of revenue from 67.4% a year ago.This has helped to narrow the company’s LTM negative operating margin to -27% from -37%. Investors should be reminded not to focus on SE’s near-term operating margins as a gauge of the company’s core operating performance. This is because the company is still in the early stages (despite growing so rapidly) of penetrating Southeast Asia’s massive e-commerce market, of which it is the clear leader currently. The company is expected to continue investing heavily in sales and marketing, in order to drive the massive potential for growth in the region and to establish itself as the future undisputed e-commerce leader in the region taking the large majority of the pie, leaving the rest of its competitors to only be able to compete in their much smaller respective niche market segments, just like what Amazon (AMZN) had done in its established markets.In fact, Sea’s CEOForrest Li, who was named “Singapore Businessman of the Year at the 35th Singapore Business Awards in Nov 20” added:Let me put it this way, it (Shopee) can be profitable anytime. But I think what's really important to us is we think it's still very early days for e-commerce development. We are in a very good situation because Garena has been profitable - actually it's pretty profitable, and this gives us the resources to invest in Shopee, invest in SeaMoney. I think pretty soon, Shopee will turn to be profitable as well. In certain markets, like Taiwan, it's already profitable. And then we will have more resources; two cash flow generators: Garena and Shopee. This allows us to continually invest in future opportunities.I have previously discussed (articles listedhereandhere) how important it is for investors to focus on cash flows for companies with massive scalability potential like Coupang (CPNG) and Opendoor Technologies (OPEN) which are still in their early days of penetrating their respective markets.It is the same focus for Sea as we attempt to delve deeper into its cash flow generating ability. Sea uses Adjusted EBITDA to report its cash flow performance. I will present the discussion from FCF and EBITDA point of view first as a matter of consistency, before going over to the Adjusted EBITDA metrics.SE’s LTM CFO Margin and LTM FCF Margin. Data Source: S&P Global Market IntelligenceA quick glance over to its cash flow statement unveiled just how well-performing SE has been with its cash flow management. In fact, SE’s CFO and FCF performance has been improving remarkably over time as it scaled up quickly, and the company is just getting started. Its LTM CFO margins have been steadily improving over the previous year from -5.36% to 17.28% for the Q1’21 quarter. In addition, its LTM FCF margins also improved steadily over the previous year from -13.4% to 11.08%.SE’s EBITDA Margin & EBIT Margin. Data Source: S&P Global Market IntelligenceWhen we move over to its EBITDA margins, the improvement in trend of its core operating performance is also clearly discernible. Although it has yet to turn EBITDA positive, it was due mainly to necessary investments in sales and marketing.SE’s CapEx Margin & CFO Margin. Data Source: S&P Global Market IntelligenceSE has also benefited from the huge improvement in its core operating performance as seen in its CFO margin trend, while its heavy earlier CapEx investments have started to bear fruit as it scaled, as the CapEx margin is trending lower, and its CFO will now be able to sustain its CapEx moving forward.It’s very clear that SE’s business has well cleared its inflection point of heavy investments to scale up, and the company is well on its way to generate huge cash flows in the future as it continues to power ahead in its market penetration.SE’s EBITDA Margin Forecast & CapEx Margin Forecast. Data Source: S&P Global Market IntelligenceMoving ahead, we can also see that SE’s forward EBITDA margin trend is expected to significantly expand, while CapEx margin is expected to continue to fall. The company is on track to be a massive cash flow generator, with EBITDA margin expected to be about 43.8% by FY 30. Therefore, investors must be aligned with Sea’s long-term vision of focusing on growing its cash flows as it continues to penetrate the region’s markets. Based on its current growth trajectory, SE’s cash flow generating potential looks massive.AMZN’s & SE’s EBITDA Margin Forecast & CapEx Margin Forecast. Data Source: S&P Global Market IntelligenceWhen we bring in AMZN’s forecasts, I believe investors can clearly see what I mean. AMZN is already quite profitable based on its EBITDA margin, while SE’s EBITDA margin profitability is probably just getting started and SE is expected to grow its EBITDA margins much faster than AMZN, and this only goes to show the tremendous potential of the markets that SE is operating in. Investors are clearly reminded to give Shopee time to scale up to deliver the kind of cash flow profitability that will drive future returns.SE’s Adjusted EBITDA. Source: SE 6-KAs we move on to the segmented Adjusted EBITDA presented by the company, we can then infer what SE CEO Forrest Li meant by “Garena providing the resources for the company to invest in Shopee and SeaMoney.”The company is continuing to build on Garena’s success to deliver the resources needed to invest in Shopee and SeaMoney. Investors should consider Shopee and SeaMoney as an entity because they have tremendous synergies and are each other’s flywheel. Garena offers clear cash flow visibility for Shopee and SeaMoney to grow.Garena’s bookings reached $1.1B in Q1’21, which represents a 117.4% YoY increase. The bookings consist of current revenue and change in deferred revenue, the part which provides visibility into future revenue recognition.As can be seen, based on Adjusted EBITDA, which also included change in deferred revenue, SE has turned profitable. Unlike many other e-commerce companies or internet companies, SE already has a cash flow profitable Garena segment to provide the resources to drive its e-commerce and fintech segment growth. This combination is extremely powerful and, coupled with the company’s remarkable execution, has already brought FCF profitability to its operations, and soon EBITDA profitable. This will certainly allow SE to push even harder to drive more sustainable investments into more verticals and products to expand its ecosystem and further reduce the share of the pie available and pull itself further away from its closest competitors.Therefore, investors must continue to pay attention to the key growth drivers in Garena, and how the company intends to stretch its leadership further to protect its key cash flow generator until Shopee and SeaMoney become self-sustainable.Shopee’s Adjusted EBITDA per order. Source:TechinasiaAs Shopee continues to drive its fast expansion across the region, its unit economics have continued to improve remarkably, as it achieved operating efficiencies over time, leading to further reductions in Adjusted EBITDA loss per order. For Q1’21, the Adjusted EBITDA loss per order improved to $0.38, which represents a 38% YoY decline. As the company has guided earlier, it would not be long before Shopee achieves self-sustaining EBITDA profitability.What’s Next for Garena?At the Pocket Gamer Awards 2021, Garena received the Best Mobile Publisher Award, and Free Fire was also named the Best Battle Royale Game.Yet, according to the company, Garena’s most popular self-developedFree Fireisstill at an early stage of driving growth on the user base as well as pay user base for this game and developing it into a social platform where people not only come to play the core gameplay, but also enjoy other modes hangout, listen to music, social lives.”The company’s focus on Free Fire is notable as it is Garena’s most important revenue driver. Therefore the ability to scale Free Fire beyond just a game but into a social platform would bring Free Fire into its next phase of growth while continuing to grow its active user base and paying users. Sea also emphasized that the company continues to see “stickiness” in its active user metrics as the average active user spends about 2 to 3 hours daily on its platform. Not only has Garena grown its quarterly paying users 123.5% YoY, its quarterly paying users also represented 12.3% of quarterly active users (QAU) for Q1’21 as compared to 8.9% a year ago. Therefore driving the stickiness of the platform and encouraging more time spent among its active users would help to drive its paying user ratio up.Sea believes that one of the key factors that could help to drive Garena towards its vision of a social platform is dramatically increasing its modes of engagement with its users. This is not just restricted to online activities, but also offline community engagement programs. The whole intent is to develop a “broad-based platform stickiness” beyond its top active users, by building and growing the platform into a much larger community and provide the users ample opportunities to socialize and engage through its ongoing content development, and its promotion of community engagement.A key aspect of its community engagement strategies is focused on eSports. Sea believes that it operates the “largest mobile-game professional league in Southeast Asia, Taiwan and Brazil” and Free Fire was also named the “eSports Mobile Game of the Year at the eSports Awards 2020”. (Source: SE 20-F). The company continues to hold very large-scale eSports tournaments and events to strengthen its community engagement strategies such as Free Fire League Latinoamerica 2021, and its flagship Garena World event in April. On the 28th May, theFree Fire World Series 2021 Singapore(FFWS 2021 SG), which is Free Fire’s most prestigious eSports tournament, will take place in Singapore with a massive prize pool of US2M. Sea is showing no signs of ever letting the company’s most important revenue driver and most profitable segment to slip through its grip. Instead, it continues to build on its success as the leading eSports organizer in its markets.Garena is also looking way beyond the success of Free Fire and is constantly developing its games portfolio pipeline through constant R&D and product development with its “significant number of our more than 1,000 in-house game developers globally are constantly working on new ideas, while we continue to engage with third-party game studios for collaboration on promising and complementary game development and publishing opportunities.” (Source: SE Q1’21 earnings transcript)Expanding Shopee’s Global Footprint and VerticalsSea is actively expanding its presence in LatAm’s largest e-commerce market:Brazil, taking on MercadoLibre (MELI) in its most important market and with eyes on the whole LatAm. Although Sea is a relatively new player in e-commerce, having set up Shopee only in2015, the company is no stranger to taking on big incumbents. Shopee has already unseated the incumbent Alibaba-backed (BABA)Lazadaas the number one e-commerce platform in Southeast Asia. In addition, in its most important market, Indonesia, the company has also unseated incumbent Tokopedia as the leader, and Shopee was also recently reported to be themost visited e-commerce websiteamong Indonesian consumers in 2020.Sea further highlighted that the company continued to rank first in MAU and total time spent on apps in the shopping category across its markets in Southeast Asia, and in Indonesia it also recorded its fastest quarterly YoY growth rates on record. (Source: SE Q1’21 earnings transcript)Therefore, Sea is an extremely well-managed company, capable of pulling off challenging growth strategies against other large incumbents. Don’t bet against Sea.In addition, the company has also ventured into other verticals such as food delivery to expand its ecosystem. Sea sees food delivery as a complementary offering in Shopee. In Vietnam, Sea-owned food delivery service Now which it acquired in 2017 is already themarket leader, having unseated the incumbent Grab. The company also recently launched its food delivery service in Jakarta, Indonesia, with plans to launch into other cities in the future.The SeaMoney SynergiesSea’s fintech platform SeaMoney continues to see continued success and growth as mobile wallet services TPV recorded a YoY growth of almost 209% to $3.4B, as ShopeePay continues to ride on the coattails of Shopee’s rapid growth. The company also highlighted that according to Snapcart Indonesia’s survey in March, “ShopeePay was the most used, the most remembered and most liked mobile wallet by Indonesian consumers during the first quarter.” (Source: SE Q1’21 earnings transcript)The company is also aggressively expanding its off-platform use cases by establishing “partnerships with major consumer brands in Indonesia, one of which is their partnership with Indomaret, a leading Indonesian convenience store chain, as well as with Wendy’s(NASDAQ:WEN)and Domino’s Pizza(NYSE:DPZ).”The company has also continued to improve the utility within ShopeePay adding new features such as “Deals Near Me”, which was said to have driven “significant footfall to its onboarded offline merchants.”The strategy of incorporating the higher-margin digital financial services products such as wealth management products is also within the pipeline and is a natural extension of its fintech strategy. Although I believe this may be the most challenging aspect among its growth strategies within SeaMoney as financial services is a highly regulated market and the Southeast Asia region’s regulatory landscape largely differs between countries. Yet, it is still a key area of growth within the company’s overall fintech blueprint.GoTo: What Should Investors Look Out For In The Tokopedia And Gojek Merger?Much has been said recently regarding the SoftBank(OTCPK:SFTBY)and Alibaba-backedmergerbetween Tokopedia and Gojek and the risks it may pose to Sea’s leadership.What’s important for investors to note is that in my opinion, the move seems born out of a measure of “desperation” to save their own businesses from the growing prowess of Grab (AGC) and SE in Gojek’s case and SE in Tokopedia’s case who have been aggressively taking away their respective market share, eventually culminating in them losing their respective market leadership. Therefore, it’s a marriage of two “losing” incumbents who have failed to stem the charge of their strong and well-managed new market entrants in Sea and Grab. Sea and Grab are themselves no strangers to dislodging market-leading incumbents, with Grab having sentUber Technologies(UBER) packing home from Southeast Asia and BABA-backed Lazada getting overtaken by Sea in the Southeast Asian market.Grab’s food delivery business was reported to account for 53% of Indonesia’s food delivery market, while its ride-hailing business was reported to account for 64% of the Indonesian ride-hailing market in2019. Grab sees Indonesia as the crown jewel in its Southeast Asian portfolio, with Grab CEOAnthony Tanreportedly having spent a lot of time in Indonesia to oversee its growth strategies. With Grab projected to turnEBITDA profitable by 2023, I feel Gojek may have already crucially lost the initiative to Grab.Tokopedia, which was founded in 2009 had a head start of close to 6 years over Shopee, a huge amount of time in Tech before Shopee commenced operations in 2015. In just a short span of 6 years, not only has Tokopedia lost its leadership position to Shopee, ShopeePay has also overtaken all the other e-payment players in Indonesia in a mere two years, as ShopeePay now holds a38% share, well ahead of Grab-backed OVO and Gojek’s GoPay, both holding 19% share each. Remember the Shopee and ShopeePay’s synergies, it’s like a flywheel, each driving increased usage of the other, and leading further to increased GMV and TPV respectively. Shopee also reportedly understands Indonesian consumers’ needs better, especially among the female consumers as compared to Tokopedia according to a report byMomentum Works:For Shopee, fashion and beauty are the most popular product categories. On the other hand, Tokopedia is more established in mobile and electronics. This explains why many of the female Indonesians are going to Shopee instead. For mobile and electronics, you probably only buy them once or twice a year. For fashion and beauty, it’s a different story. You can buy it every other month and even if you do not buy, you browse a lot – sending traffic to the platform. Impulse buying is also common for these categories, which is just nice for an ecosystem of shoppers, products as well as influencers.With Sea having already turned Adjusted EBITDA profitable in Q1’21, the company is well ready to take on the challenges of this merger between the two incumbents, who may have already crucially lost their opportunities to “turn back time”, even with a merger that is perhaps too little too late.ValuationsPeers EV / Fwd Rev. Data Source: S&P Global Market IntelligenceWith such huge potential growth coming from Sea’s markets, Sea obviously trades at a premium when compared to its e-commerce peers, if we simply base off their respective expected revenue growth.Peers’ EBITDA Margin Forecast & CapEx Forecast. Data Source: S&P Global Market IntelligenceHowever, when we peek into Sea’s superior future cash flow generating capability using its projected EBITDA margins, we can see that Sea is only just getting started.Since the company is expected to produce predictable cash flows moving forward, I find it meaningful to conduct a DCF valuation framework to determine a range of fair values with the results presented below.Based on the DCF framework, I find SE undervalued by about 26% at the midpoint of its fair value range, with respect to the stock price of $246.33 as at 21 May 21. Therefore, I find the price level highly attractive.Range of Fair Values. Data Source: S&P Global Market IntelligenceWACC computation. Data Source: S&P Global Market IntelligenceFwd Rev & Fwd EBITDA. Data Source: S&P Global Market IntelligenceUnlevered FCF & Enterprise Value. Data Source: S&P Global Market IntelligenceEquity Value Bridge. Data Source: S&P Global Market IntelligencePrice Action and Technical AnalysisSource: TradingViewSE has been on a meteoric rise since Mar 20, and as at the date of writing (21 May 21), the stock was down by about 13% from its all-time high in Feb 21. The price level between $275 and $285 looks to be an area of key resistance and bull traps previously set to lure in late buyers.Key support is at $200, with the 50-period MA also serving as a key dynamic support area. I may continue to add more positions into this stock if the price level retraces nearer to $200 at the next retracement.Otherwise, investors who wish to initiate or add more positions may find the current price attractive.Further key support levels are currently at $179 and $155, areas that I would likely add very aggressively if the price was to retrace to those areas.ConclusionSea is a very well-managed and ambitious integrated Internet company that looks to be at the next phase of its rapid growth and profitability. Investors may wish to take advantage of the current consolidation phase to gain entry or add positions to this potentially massive cash flow machine.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":49,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":133715850,"gmtCreate":1621811224870,"gmtModify":1704362493835,"author":{"id":"3573125338979065","authorId":"3573125338979065","name":"Kubbon","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573125338979065","authorIdStr":"3573125338979065"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/133715850","repostId":"1104206984","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1104206984","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1621602307,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1104206984?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-21 21:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nvidia announces four-for-one stock split","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1104206984","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Nvidia stock surged 4% in premarket trading after Nvidia announcing four-for-one stock split, pending stockholder approval at annual meeting set for june 3.NVIDIA today announced that its board of directors declared a four-for-one split of NVIDIA’s common stock in the form of a stock dividend to make stock ownership more accessible to investors and employees.The stock dividend is conditioned on obtaining stockholder approval at the company’s 2021 Annual Meeting of Stockholders ― to be held virtu","content":"<p>Nvidia stock surged 4% in premarket trading after Nvidia announcing four-for-one stock split, pending stockholder approval at annual meeting set for june 3.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ce7f341b06f2a7d0ff51e4ab3cb6f2e\" tg-width=\"1302\" tg-height=\"833\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>NVIDIA today announced that its board of directors declared a four-for-one split of NVIDIA’s common stock in the form of a stock dividend to make stock ownership more accessible to investors and employees.</p><p>The stock dividend is conditioned on obtaining stockholder approval at the company’s 2021 Annual Meeting of Stockholders ― to be held virtually on Thursday, June 3, at 11 a.m. PT ― to increase the number of authorized shares of common stock to 4 billion shares.</p><p>If approval is obtained, each NVIDIA stockholder of record at the close of business on June 21, 2021, will receive a dividend of three additional shares of common stock for every share held on the record date, to be distributed after the close of trading on July 19, 2021. Trading is expected to begin on a stock split-adjusted basis on July 20.</p><p><b>About NVIDIA</b></p><p>NVIDIA’s (NASDAQ: NVDA) invention of the GPU in 1999 sparked the growth of the PC gaming market and has redefined modern computer graphics, high performance computing and artificial intelligence. The company’s pioneering work in accelerated computing and AI is reshaping trillion-dollar industries, such as transportation, healthcare and manufacturing, and fueling the growth of many others.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nvidia announces four-for-one stock split</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNvidia announces four-for-one stock split\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-05-21 21:05</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Nvidia stock surged 4% in premarket trading after Nvidia announcing four-for-one stock split, pending stockholder approval at annual meeting set for june 3.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ce7f341b06f2a7d0ff51e4ab3cb6f2e\" tg-width=\"1302\" tg-height=\"833\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>NVIDIA today announced that its board of directors declared a four-for-one split of NVIDIA’s common stock in the form of a stock dividend to make stock ownership more accessible to investors and employees.</p><p>The stock dividend is conditioned on obtaining stockholder approval at the company’s 2021 Annual Meeting of Stockholders ― to be held virtually on Thursday, June 3, at 11 a.m. PT ― to increase the number of authorized shares of common stock to 4 billion shares.</p><p>If approval is obtained, each NVIDIA stockholder of record at the close of business on June 21, 2021, will receive a dividend of three additional shares of common stock for every share held on the record date, to be distributed after the close of trading on July 19, 2021. Trading is expected to begin on a stock split-adjusted basis on July 20.</p><p><b>About NVIDIA</b></p><p>NVIDIA’s (NASDAQ: NVDA) invention of the GPU in 1999 sparked the growth of the PC gaming market and has redefined modern computer graphics, high performance computing and artificial intelligence. The company’s pioneering work in accelerated computing and AI is reshaping trillion-dollar industries, such as transportation, healthcare and manufacturing, and fueling the growth of many others.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1104206984","content_text":"Nvidia stock surged 4% in premarket trading after Nvidia announcing four-for-one stock split, pending stockholder approval at annual meeting set for june 3.NVIDIA today announced that its board of directors declared a four-for-one split of NVIDIA’s common stock in the form of a stock dividend to make stock ownership more accessible to investors and employees.The stock dividend is conditioned on obtaining stockholder approval at the company’s 2021 Annual Meeting of Stockholders ― to be held virtually on Thursday, June 3, at 11 a.m. PT ― to increase the number of authorized shares of common stock to 4 billion shares.If approval is obtained, each NVIDIA stockholder of record at the close of business on June 21, 2021, will receive a dividend of three additional shares of common stock for every share held on the record date, to be distributed after the close of trading on July 19, 2021. Trading is expected to begin on a stock split-adjusted basis on July 20.About NVIDIANVIDIA’s (NASDAQ: NVDA) invention of the GPU in 1999 sparked the growth of the PC gaming market and has redefined modern computer graphics, high performance computing and artificial intelligence. The company’s pioneering work in accelerated computing and AI is reshaping trillion-dollar industries, such as transportation, healthcare and manufacturing, and fueling the growth of many others.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":110,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":133710691,"gmtCreate":1621810663613,"gmtModify":1704362484589,"author":{"id":"3573125338979065","authorId":"3573125338979065","name":"Kubbon","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573125338979065","authorIdStr":"3573125338979065"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/133710691","repostId":"1108503848","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1108503848","pubTimestamp":1621588268,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1108503848?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-21 17:11","market":"us","language":"en","title":"5 Winning Stocks and 5 Losing Stocks to Watch Right Now","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1108503848","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"Even the losers from this past week are stocks to watch in the coming months and years\nSource: Shutt","content":"<p>Even the losers from this past week are stocks to watch in the coming months and years</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3c1b96841fd1fab78d26e207f9b18338\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"576\"><span>Source: Shutterstock</span></p>\n<p>Around this time last year, I wrote up a gallery of stocks to watch that had caught investor interest over a week’s worth of trading. In that example, the<b>S&P 500</b>had gained 3.5% over the previous five days of trading.</p>\n<p>As a result, out of my 10 stocks to watch,seven were burning up the track while three were lagging the index.</p>\n<p>Now that we’re in 2021, I thought I would do the same thing.</p>\n<p>Only this time, I’ll find five winners and losers from the past five days of trading who’ve either outperformed or underperformed the index. For this article, I’ll use May 12 through May 18 (five days and a weekend) and limit the companies to stocks with market capitalizations of $10 billion or higher.</p>\n<p>If you’re wondering, the 10 stocks to watch from my article (both good and bad weekly performances) had lights-out returns over the past year.</p>\n<p>Between May 12 and May 18, the S&P 500 had a total return of -0.6%. Based on that, here are my five winning stocks and five losing stocks to watch right now.</p>\n<ul>\n <li><b>NortonLifeLock</b>(NASDAQ:<b><u>NLOK</u></b>)</li>\n <li><b>Occidental Petroleum</b>(NYSE:<b><u>OXY</u></b>)</li>\n <li><b>Ulta Beauty</b>(NASDAQ:<b><u>ULTA</u></b>)</li>\n <li><b>Royal Caribbean</b>(NYSE:<b><u>RCL</u></b>)</li>\n <li><b>Hershey</b>(NYSE:<b><u>HSY</u></b>)</li>\n <li><b>AT&T</b>(NYSE:<b><u>T</u></b>)</li>\n <li><b>Lennar</b>(NYSE:<b><u>LEN</u></b>)</li>\n <li><b>Tesla</b>(NASDAQ:<b><u>TSLA</u></b>)</li>\n <li><b>Chipotle Mexican Grill</b>(NYSE:<b><u>CMG</u></b>)</li>\n <li><b>MSCI</b>(NYSE:<b><u>MSCI</u></b>)</li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>NortonLifeLock (NLOK)</b></p>\n<p><b>Five-day performance:</b>13.5%</p>\n<p>The cybersecurity software and services company got a nice boost on May 12 when BofA analyst Tal Liani upgraded NLOK stock to “buy” from “underperform.” More importantly, the analyst increased its target price by 58%, from $19 to $30. Currently trading below the target, it’s possible future quarterly results could push that higher.</p>\n<p>Liani believes that the consumer market, NortonLifeLock’s bread and butter, provides it with a long runway of growth. The company itself expects 2022 revenue growth of at least 8% and adjusted earnings per share of $1.70, which would be 60% higher year-over-year.</p>\n<p>“Management believes the consumer cybersecurity market is heavily underpenetrated, which leaves room for growing the subscriber base as well,” Liani wrote.“Lastly, international expansion is another key element, with international sales accounting for 30% of revenues, and management outlined a country-by-country strategy to address the remaining potential.”</p>\n<p>NortonLifeLock’s been on a strong run the past five years with an annualized total return of 18.8%. But it looks as though the next five could be equally rewarding for shareholders.</p>\n<p><b>Occidental Petroleum (OXY)</b></p>\n<p><b>Five-day performance:</b>5.6%</p>\n<p><i>Investor’s Business Daily</i> commented in early May that the Occidental corporate jet was spotted in Omaha days before Warren Buffett invested $10 billion in the oil company in 2019.</p>\n<p>At times in the past couple of years, I’m sure Buffett would have preferred the jet go almost anywhere else except Omaha, as the price of oil tanked. As part of his $10 billion preferred-share investment, Buffett got 83.86 million warrants to buy OXY stock at $59.62.</p>\n<p>Starting in 2029, Occidental can redeem the 8% preferreds at a redemption price equal to 105% of the liquidation preference plus any unpaid dividends. The dividends Buffett was paid in 2020 were made in Oxy stock. The Oracle of Omaha sold those shares in August 2020.</p>\n<p>Thanks to a rebound in oil prices, Occidental’s got a total return of almost 72% over the past year, significantly higher than the U.S. markets as a whole. However, as I write this, OXY stock is still trading at less than half Buffett’s exercise price.</p>\n<p>He’s got until one year after Occidental were to redeem its preferred shares. That means at least another nine years to move into the money.</p>\n<p><b>Ulta Beauty (ULTA)</b></p>\n<p><b>Five-day performance:</b>4.7%</p>\n<p>The specialty retailer of cosmetics, skin and hair care products, fragrances, and a provider of beauty salon services, reports its Q1 2021 results on May 27. The 27 analysts who cover ULTA estimate $1.90 per share on the bottom line and $1.63 billion in sales on the top line. Both will be marked improvements from a year ago when Covid-19 stay-at-home orders were kicking in.</p>\n<p>In mid-May, JPMorgan analysts named Ulta to its list of favorite retail stocks. The bank gives ULTA an overweight rating and has it on its Analyst Focus List. Interestingly,<b>Target</b>(NYSE:<b><u>TGT</u></b>) is also a favorite of JPM due to its inventory control and overall strength during the important back-to-school season.</p>\n<p>In November, Ulta announced that it would open 1,000-square-foot shops within Target. They will be staffed by the discount retailer with training from Ulta.</p>\n<p>Both Ulta CEO Mary Dillon and Target CEO Brian Cornell believe the arrangement will help drive traffic to both stores. Two of the best CEOs in retail, this partnership is sure to be a success, making ULTA one of our stocks to watch.</p>\n<p><b>Royal Caribbean (RCL)</b></p>\n<p><b>Five-day performance:</b>4.6%</p>\n<p>It wasn’t just Royal Caribbean that had a good five days of trading. All of the cruise operators did.<b>Carnival</b> (NYSE:<b><u>CCL</u></b>) and <b>Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings</b> (NYSE:<b><u>NCLH</u></b>) were up 8.2% and 5.7%, respectively. I happen to prefer RCL over the other two.</p>\n<p>The cruise operator got excellent news in late April when the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention clarified its position on cruise ships setting sail from American ports of call this summer. Royal Caribbean figures it can restart its U.S. cruise departures in mid-July.</p>\n<p>Considering it lost $1.1 billion in its latest quarter, the news couldn’t have come at a better time. Plus, its balance sheet is currently bolstered by more than $5 billion in cash. As cruise-goers appear to be ready to spend more on cruises than in past years, they should be able to get back to pre-Covid revenues by the end of 2022, perhaps earlier.</p>\n<p>In 2020, while RCL was getting pummeled, I continued to say it was a long-term winner. Up almost double in the past year, RCL should top $100 before the end of 2021.</p>\n<p><b>Hershey (HSY)</b></p>\n<p><b>Five-day performance:</b>2.3%</p>\n<p>I know what you’re thinking. When considering stocks to watch, why include a company that gained a measly 2.3% over the past five days? Especially when there were 46 stocks ($10 billion market cap or higher) with a better return?</p>\n<p>Simple. I like the job CEO Michele Buck has done since taking the top job in March 2017. It’s why I included Hershey on my October 2020 list of companies with top-notch women CEOs. Since that article, HSY stock is up 18% since.</p>\n<p> In late April, Buck said that she expects Halloween to be very strong this coming October as vaccinations make it possible for trick-or-treaters to get out in the evening air to collect their annual haul of candy and chocolate. I, for one, will be loading up this year.</p>\n<p>“Consumers are participating in seasons, they are telling us they’re doing more movie nights at home, they’re making more s’mores at home [and] at the same time, we’re seeing growth in our food service and our own retail businesses, which are away from home,” Buck told<i>CNBC.</i></p>\n<p>As a result, HSY sees higher earnings and sales in 2021 than originally expected. It’s good to know consumers haven’t lost their taste for sweets during the pandemic.</p>\n<p><b>AT&T</b><b>(T)</b></p>\n<p><b>Five-day performance:</b>-8.4%</p>\n<p>Back in July 2018, I wrote about the <i>7 Reasons AT&T Is Going to Blow the Time Warner Merger.</i>At the time, the Department of Justice was trying to block the mega-merger.</p>\n<p>In hindsight, I’m sure long-time shareholders wish the DOJ had been successful in blocking the acquisition. It’s been both a time waster and a serious blow to AT&T’s reputation with dividend investors.</p>\n<p><i>CNBC</i>host Jim Cramer has been very critical of the mistakes made by AT&T.</p>\n<p>“I am not calling it a transformational deal. I am calling it the denouement of a ridiculously stupid deal, the $85 billion acquisition of Time Warner, a deal that closed less than three years ago,” Cramer stated in his<i>Real Money</i>column on May 17, the day AT&T threw in the towel on WarnerMedia.</p>\n<p>The reality is that T paid $85 billion for WarnerMedia. It’s getting $43 billion in cash, debt, and WarnerMedia retains some of the debt. AT&T shareholders will also own 71% of the new business.</p>\n<p>The downside is that AT&T will cut the dividend in half.</p>\n<p>All these dividend chasers are left holding squat and hoping for dear life that the merged entity can deliver at least $42 billion in additional value to get back to square one before the ridiculously stupid merger took place.</p>\n<p>It was one of the dumbest deals of the 21st century.</p>\n<p><b>Lennar (LEN)</b></p>\n<p><b>Five-day performance:</b>-7.9%</p>\n<p>Lennar makes our list of stocks to watch because over the past five days, the homebuilder lost almost 8% of its value. The <b>iShares U.S. Home Construction ETF</b> (BATS:<b><u>ITB</u></b>), which has a Lennar weighting of 12.2%, lost 5.4% over the past five days.</p>\n<p>Let’s call it a cooling-off period. The ITB has an annualized total return of 75.9% over the past year and is up 25.8% year-to-date. Over the past decade, it’s got an annualized total return of 19%, 468 basis points better than its consumer cyclical peers.</p>\n<p>For those who believe there is a housing bubble right around the corner, consider Ben Carlson’s <i>Fortune</i> article from April. It suggests home loans are mostly being made by people with good credit scores and large down payments, the opposite of the subprime meltdown in 2008.</p>\n<p>If you combine this fact with the reality that the housing supply isn’t nearly as abundant as it ought to be, you get the picture of a supply issue rather than one of excess demand.</p>\n<p>Here’s what Lennar Executive Chairman Stuart Miller had to say in its Q1 2021 conference call in March.</p>\n<blockquote>\n So, from a macro perspective, the housing market remains strong. Demand has continued to strengthen as the millennial generation, which had previously postponed its entry into the housing market, has now continued to drive family formation, while at the same time, the supply of new and existing homes remains constrained.\n</blockquote>\n<p>Take advantage of these pullbacks. The housing boom hardly seems ready to end anytime soon.</p>\n<p><b>Tesla (TSLA)</b></p>\n<p><b>Five-day performance:</b>-6.4%</p>\n<p>Innovation costs money. That’s especially true when it comes to the electrification of transportation. It took Tesla 15 years to post its first annual profit after Elon Musk took control of it in 2004.</p>\n<p>After running up huge returns in 2020, Tesla is off almost 27% in the past three months due to many different reasons, including the fact Michael Burry, the man behind the <i>Big Short,</i>has taken a short position using put options on 800,100 shares of TSLA stock.</p>\n<p>And while Musk has gone hot and cold over <b>Bitcoin</b> (CCC:<b><u>BTC-USD</u></b>), Tesla shareholders ought to be more worried about the bureaucratic nightmare happening across the pond in Germany as it tries to get its Berlin Gigafactory built.</p>\n<p>“Although things looked good regarding the Tesla facility up to a few weeks ago, a different reality can lie behind a facade,” says Berlin-based auto analyst Matthias Schmidt.</p>\n<p>The new Berlin airport, which is very close to the Tesla factory, took almost a decade to get regulatory approval from the German authorities. If Tesla takes that long, Musk can forget about becoming the richest person in the world.</p>\n<p>I’m a fan of Musk’s innovative bent, but 2021 could turn out to be one of his most challenging years on record. That makes Tesla one of our stocks to watch.</p>\n<p><b>Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG)</b></p>\n<p><b>Five-day performance:</b>-4.9%</p>\n<p>A piece of news that probably got lost in the shuffle was Chipotle’s March announcement that it plans to accelerate its expansionin to Canada. Over the next year, it will open eight more locations in Canada, including one Chipotlane, the company’s digital drive-up. The openings will be the first since October 2018.</p>\n<p>As a Canadian, all I can say is, it’s about time.</p>\n<p>“Given the rising popularity of Chipotle’s real food in Canada, we believe there is a massive growth opportunity in this international market,” said Anat Davidzon, Chipotle’s managing director – Canada. “Our team is focused on continuing to find ways to increase access to Chipotle for our Canadian fans.”</p>\n<p>With only 23 Chipotle locations in four Canadian cities at the moment (Toronto, Vancouver, Ottawa and London) there is plenty of room for expansion. Hopefully, they’ll open one in Halifax in the next couple of years.</p>\n<p>In the meantime, Chipotle stock has recovered nicely in recent years. A $5,000 investment three years ago is worth $15,338 today. That’s tasty.</p>\n<p>Keep in mind CMG isn’t cheap at almost 6x sales. However, compared to <b>McDonald’s</b> (NYSE:<b><u>MCD</u></b>) at 8.9x sales, it’s a bargain.</p>\n<p><b>MSCI (MSCI)</b></p>\n<p><b>Five-day performance:</b>-3.8%</p>\n<p>I don’t know if it’s just me and my self-diagnosed dyslexia, but I always seem to get MSCI confused with <b>S&P Global</b> (NYSE:<b><u>SPGI</u></b>). They’re both financial services companies, they both have four-letter stock symbols, and over the past five days of trading, they’re both down a lot more than the index.</p>\n<p>And not to be too easy on me, but both companies have index businesses that generate significant revenue and profits for their shareholders. In the past, I’ve recommended both stocks.</p>\n<p>In May 2020, I recommended MSCI stock as one of seven stocks to buy from the <b>TrimTabs All Cap US Free-Cash Flow ETF</b>(BATS:<b><u>TTAC</u></b>). I picked MSCI because its free cash flow had almost doubled from $360 million in 2017 to $660 million in 2019.</p>\n<p>Well, in the trailing 12 months, it was $863 million, a compound annual growth rate of 31% over the past 3.25 years. Frankly, I don’t think you can go wrong owning either MSCI or SPGI.</p>\n<p>However, over the past five years, the former has doubled the performance of the latter. Take that to the bank.</p>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>5 Winning Stocks and 5 Losing Stocks to Watch Right Now</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n5 Winning Stocks and 5 Losing Stocks to Watch Right Now\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-21 17:11 GMT+8 <a href=https://investorplace.com/2021/05/5-winning-losing-stocks-to-watch-right-now/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Even the losers from this past week are stocks to watch in the coming months and years\nSource: Shutterstock\nAround this time last year, I wrote up a gallery of stocks to watch that had caught investor...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/05/5-winning-losing-stocks-to-watch-right-now/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉","T":"美国电话电报","CMG":"墨式烧烤","ULTA":"Ulta美容","HSY":"好时","LEN":"莱纳建筑公司","RCL":"皇家加勒比邮轮","MSCI":"MSCI Inc","OXY":"西方石油"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2021/05/5-winning-losing-stocks-to-watch-right-now/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1108503848","content_text":"Even the losers from this past week are stocks to watch in the coming months and years\nSource: Shutterstock\nAround this time last year, I wrote up a gallery of stocks to watch that had caught investor interest over a week’s worth of trading. In that example, theS&P 500had gained 3.5% over the previous five days of trading.\nAs a result, out of my 10 stocks to watch,seven were burning up the track while three were lagging the index.\nNow that we’re in 2021, I thought I would do the same thing.\nOnly this time, I’ll find five winners and losers from the past five days of trading who’ve either outperformed or underperformed the index. For this article, I’ll use May 12 through May 18 (five days and a weekend) and limit the companies to stocks with market capitalizations of $10 billion or higher.\nIf you’re wondering, the 10 stocks to watch from my article (both good and bad weekly performances) had lights-out returns over the past year.\nBetween May 12 and May 18, the S&P 500 had a total return of -0.6%. Based on that, here are my five winning stocks and five losing stocks to watch right now.\n\nNortonLifeLock(NASDAQ:NLOK)\nOccidental Petroleum(NYSE:OXY)\nUlta Beauty(NASDAQ:ULTA)\nRoyal Caribbean(NYSE:RCL)\nHershey(NYSE:HSY)\nAT&T(NYSE:T)\nLennar(NYSE:LEN)\nTesla(NASDAQ:TSLA)\nChipotle Mexican Grill(NYSE:CMG)\nMSCI(NYSE:MSCI)\n\nNortonLifeLock (NLOK)\nFive-day performance:13.5%\nThe cybersecurity software and services company got a nice boost on May 12 when BofA analyst Tal Liani upgraded NLOK stock to “buy” from “underperform.” More importantly, the analyst increased its target price by 58%, from $19 to $30. Currently trading below the target, it’s possible future quarterly results could push that higher.\nLiani believes that the consumer market, NortonLifeLock’s bread and butter, provides it with a long runway of growth. The company itself expects 2022 revenue growth of at least 8% and adjusted earnings per share of $1.70, which would be 60% higher year-over-year.\n“Management believes the consumer cybersecurity market is heavily underpenetrated, which leaves room for growing the subscriber base as well,” Liani wrote.“Lastly, international expansion is another key element, with international sales accounting for 30% of revenues, and management outlined a country-by-country strategy to address the remaining potential.”\nNortonLifeLock’s been on a strong run the past five years with an annualized total return of 18.8%. But it looks as though the next five could be equally rewarding for shareholders.\nOccidental Petroleum (OXY)\nFive-day performance:5.6%\nInvestor’s Business Daily commented in early May that the Occidental corporate jet was spotted in Omaha days before Warren Buffett invested $10 billion in the oil company in 2019.\nAt times in the past couple of years, I’m sure Buffett would have preferred the jet go almost anywhere else except Omaha, as the price of oil tanked. As part of his $10 billion preferred-share investment, Buffett got 83.86 million warrants to buy OXY stock at $59.62.\nStarting in 2029, Occidental can redeem the 8% preferreds at a redemption price equal to 105% of the liquidation preference plus any unpaid dividends. The dividends Buffett was paid in 2020 were made in Oxy stock. The Oracle of Omaha sold those shares in August 2020.\nThanks to a rebound in oil prices, Occidental’s got a total return of almost 72% over the past year, significantly higher than the U.S. markets as a whole. However, as I write this, OXY stock is still trading at less than half Buffett’s exercise price.\nHe’s got until one year after Occidental were to redeem its preferred shares. That means at least another nine years to move into the money.\nUlta Beauty (ULTA)\nFive-day performance:4.7%\nThe specialty retailer of cosmetics, skin and hair care products, fragrances, and a provider of beauty salon services, reports its Q1 2021 results on May 27. The 27 analysts who cover ULTA estimate $1.90 per share on the bottom line and $1.63 billion in sales on the top line. Both will be marked improvements from a year ago when Covid-19 stay-at-home orders were kicking in.\nIn mid-May, JPMorgan analysts named Ulta to its list of favorite retail stocks. The bank gives ULTA an overweight rating and has it on its Analyst Focus List. Interestingly,Target(NYSE:TGT) is also a favorite of JPM due to its inventory control and overall strength during the important back-to-school season.\nIn November, Ulta announced that it would open 1,000-square-foot shops within Target. They will be staffed by the discount retailer with training from Ulta.\nBoth Ulta CEO Mary Dillon and Target CEO Brian Cornell believe the arrangement will help drive traffic to both stores. Two of the best CEOs in retail, this partnership is sure to be a success, making ULTA one of our stocks to watch.\nRoyal Caribbean (RCL)\nFive-day performance:4.6%\nIt wasn’t just Royal Caribbean that had a good five days of trading. All of the cruise operators did.Carnival (NYSE:CCL) and Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings (NYSE:NCLH) were up 8.2% and 5.7%, respectively. I happen to prefer RCL over the other two.\nThe cruise operator got excellent news in late April when the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention clarified its position on cruise ships setting sail from American ports of call this summer. Royal Caribbean figures it can restart its U.S. cruise departures in mid-July.\nConsidering it lost $1.1 billion in its latest quarter, the news couldn’t have come at a better time. Plus, its balance sheet is currently bolstered by more than $5 billion in cash. As cruise-goers appear to be ready to spend more on cruises than in past years, they should be able to get back to pre-Covid revenues by the end of 2022, perhaps earlier.\nIn 2020, while RCL was getting pummeled, I continued to say it was a long-term winner. Up almost double in the past year, RCL should top $100 before the end of 2021.\nHershey (HSY)\nFive-day performance:2.3%\nI know what you’re thinking. When considering stocks to watch, why include a company that gained a measly 2.3% over the past five days? Especially when there were 46 stocks ($10 billion market cap or higher) with a better return?\nSimple. I like the job CEO Michele Buck has done since taking the top job in March 2017. It’s why I included Hershey on my October 2020 list of companies with top-notch women CEOs. Since that article, HSY stock is up 18% since.\n In late April, Buck said that she expects Halloween to be very strong this coming October as vaccinations make it possible for trick-or-treaters to get out in the evening air to collect their annual haul of candy and chocolate. I, for one, will be loading up this year.\n“Consumers are participating in seasons, they are telling us they’re doing more movie nights at home, they’re making more s’mores at home [and] at the same time, we’re seeing growth in our food service and our own retail businesses, which are away from home,” Buck toldCNBC.\nAs a result, HSY sees higher earnings and sales in 2021 than originally expected. It’s good to know consumers haven’t lost their taste for sweets during the pandemic.\nAT&T(T)\nFive-day performance:-8.4%\nBack in July 2018, I wrote about the 7 Reasons AT&T Is Going to Blow the Time Warner Merger.At the time, the Department of Justice was trying to block the mega-merger.\nIn hindsight, I’m sure long-time shareholders wish the DOJ had been successful in blocking the acquisition. It’s been both a time waster and a serious blow to AT&T’s reputation with dividend investors.\nCNBChost Jim Cramer has been very critical of the mistakes made by AT&T.\n“I am not calling it a transformational deal. I am calling it the denouement of a ridiculously stupid deal, the $85 billion acquisition of Time Warner, a deal that closed less than three years ago,” Cramer stated in hisReal Moneycolumn on May 17, the day AT&T threw in the towel on WarnerMedia.\nThe reality is that T paid $85 billion for WarnerMedia. It’s getting $43 billion in cash, debt, and WarnerMedia retains some of the debt. AT&T shareholders will also own 71% of the new business.\nThe downside is that AT&T will cut the dividend in half.\nAll these dividend chasers are left holding squat and hoping for dear life that the merged entity can deliver at least $42 billion in additional value to get back to square one before the ridiculously stupid merger took place.\nIt was one of the dumbest deals of the 21st century.\nLennar (LEN)\nFive-day performance:-7.9%\nLennar makes our list of stocks to watch because over the past five days, the homebuilder lost almost 8% of its value. The iShares U.S. Home Construction ETF (BATS:ITB), which has a Lennar weighting of 12.2%, lost 5.4% over the past five days.\nLet’s call it a cooling-off period. The ITB has an annualized total return of 75.9% over the past year and is up 25.8% year-to-date. Over the past decade, it’s got an annualized total return of 19%, 468 basis points better than its consumer cyclical peers.\nFor those who believe there is a housing bubble right around the corner, consider Ben Carlson’s Fortune article from April. It suggests home loans are mostly being made by people with good credit scores and large down payments, the opposite of the subprime meltdown in 2008.\nIf you combine this fact with the reality that the housing supply isn’t nearly as abundant as it ought to be, you get the picture of a supply issue rather than one of excess demand.\nHere’s what Lennar Executive Chairman Stuart Miller had to say in its Q1 2021 conference call in March.\n\n So, from a macro perspective, the housing market remains strong. Demand has continued to strengthen as the millennial generation, which had previously postponed its entry into the housing market, has now continued to drive family formation, while at the same time, the supply of new and existing homes remains constrained.\n\nTake advantage of these pullbacks. The housing boom hardly seems ready to end anytime soon.\nTesla (TSLA)\nFive-day performance:-6.4%\nInnovation costs money. That’s especially true when it comes to the electrification of transportation. It took Tesla 15 years to post its first annual profit after Elon Musk took control of it in 2004.\nAfter running up huge returns in 2020, Tesla is off almost 27% in the past three months due to many different reasons, including the fact Michael Burry, the man behind the Big Short,has taken a short position using put options on 800,100 shares of TSLA stock.\nAnd while Musk has gone hot and cold over Bitcoin (CCC:BTC-USD), Tesla shareholders ought to be more worried about the bureaucratic nightmare happening across the pond in Germany as it tries to get its Berlin Gigafactory built.\n“Although things looked good regarding the Tesla facility up to a few weeks ago, a different reality can lie behind a facade,” says Berlin-based auto analyst Matthias Schmidt.\nThe new Berlin airport, which is very close to the Tesla factory, took almost a decade to get regulatory approval from the German authorities. If Tesla takes that long, Musk can forget about becoming the richest person in the world.\nI’m a fan of Musk’s innovative bent, but 2021 could turn out to be one of his most challenging years on record. That makes Tesla one of our stocks to watch.\nChipotle Mexican Grill (CMG)\nFive-day performance:-4.9%\nA piece of news that probably got lost in the shuffle was Chipotle’s March announcement that it plans to accelerate its expansionin to Canada. Over the next year, it will open eight more locations in Canada, including one Chipotlane, the company’s digital drive-up. The openings will be the first since October 2018.\nAs a Canadian, all I can say is, it’s about time.\n“Given the rising popularity of Chipotle’s real food in Canada, we believe there is a massive growth opportunity in this international market,” said Anat Davidzon, Chipotle’s managing director – Canada. “Our team is focused on continuing to find ways to increase access to Chipotle for our Canadian fans.”\nWith only 23 Chipotle locations in four Canadian cities at the moment (Toronto, Vancouver, Ottawa and London) there is plenty of room for expansion. Hopefully, they’ll open one in Halifax in the next couple of years.\nIn the meantime, Chipotle stock has recovered nicely in recent years. A $5,000 investment three years ago is worth $15,338 today. That’s tasty.\nKeep in mind CMG isn’t cheap at almost 6x sales. However, compared to McDonald’s (NYSE:MCD) at 8.9x sales, it’s a bargain.\nMSCI (MSCI)\nFive-day performance:-3.8%\nI don’t know if it’s just me and my self-diagnosed dyslexia, but I always seem to get MSCI confused with S&P Global (NYSE:SPGI). They’re both financial services companies, they both have four-letter stock symbols, and over the past five days of trading, they’re both down a lot more than the index.\nAnd not to be too easy on me, but both companies have index businesses that generate significant revenue and profits for their shareholders. In the past, I’ve recommended both stocks.\nIn May 2020, I recommended MSCI stock as one of seven stocks to buy from the TrimTabs All Cap US Free-Cash Flow ETF(BATS:TTAC). I picked MSCI because its free cash flow had almost doubled from $360 million in 2017 to $660 million in 2019.\nWell, in the trailing 12 months, it was $863 million, a compound annual growth rate of 31% over the past 3.25 years. Frankly, I don’t think you can go wrong owning either MSCI or SPGI.\nHowever, over the past five years, the former has doubled the performance of the latter. Take that to the bank.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":153,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":194626183,"gmtCreate":1621379191042,"gmtModify":1704356518076,"author":{"id":"3573125338979065","authorId":"3573125338979065","name":"Kubbon","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573125338979065","authorIdStr":"3573125338979065"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/194626183","repostId":"1157626171","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1157626171","pubTimestamp":1621309064,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1157626171?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-18 11:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"These 2 Nasdaq Stock Winners Could Change the World","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1157626171","media":"fool","summary":"The stock market had a tough day on Monday, and once again, negative attention centered on theNasdaq","content":"<p>The stock market had a tough day on Monday, and once again, negative attention centered on the<b>Nasdaq Composite</b>(NASDAQINDEX:^IXIC). The index's 1% drop as of 2:15 p.m. EDT was bigger than what other major market benchmarks faced, in part because the appetite for high-priced stocks seems to have waned considerably over the past few months.</p>\n<p>However, a couple of Nasdaq stocks were big winners on Monday, and they both have innovative business models that could have a positive influence on the world. <b>AppHarvest</b>(NASDAQ:APPH) and <b>Summit Therapeutics</b>(NASDAQ:SMMT)had notable gains to start the week. Below, we'll go into the details to see why investors are paying close attention to these two Nasdaq winners.</p>\n<p>Investors are feeding on this stock</p>\n<p>Shares of AppHarvest had a solid gain of more than 8% on Monday afternoon. The stock only recently came public through a merger with aspecial purpose acquisition company, and this was the first chance that investors had to see the sustainable-farming company's full potential.</p>\n<p>AppHarvest released its first-quarter financial reporton Monday, and shareholders liked what they saw. The company posted $2.3 million in revenue in its first operational quarter, selling 3.8 million pounds of tomatoes from its first greenhouse facility in Kentucky. AppHarvest posted considerable losses, as expected, but it has high hopes for the future.</p>\n<p>In particular, AppHarvest said that it had fully planted its 60-acre facility as of the first week of May, which should lead to capacity harvests for the foreseeable future as indoor farming makes all-year growing possible. The company has seen strong demand from customers like grocery-giant<b>Kroger</b> and fast-food restaurant chain<b>Wendy's</b> and anticipates more interest as it develops additional facilities.</p>\n<p>AppHarvest won't be profitable in the near term, but shareholders are still excited about its growth potential. With sustainable farming potentially making it possible to feed an increasingly hungry world, the stock is an interesting way to invest in agriculture.</p>\n<p>Here's a healthy pick</p>\n<p>Meanwhile, Summit Therapeutics did even better, as its stock soared 22%. The developmental-stage biopharmaceutical company's financial report didn't feature very attractive numbers, but investors are optimistic about the progress it has made recently.</p>\n<p>Summit's financials were predictably ugly. Revenue was just $192,000, leading to losses of $17.5 million. Summit is burning cash to conduct clinical trials, and until one of the treatments in the company's pipeline pans out, investors can expect those losses to continue. However, the company noted that CEO and majority shareholder Robert Duggan provided an additional $55 million in debt financing during the first three months of 2021, helping to boost Summit's cash levels back above the $100 million mark.</p>\n<p>Moreover, Summit had promising news in its business update. Phase 3 trials for its ridinilazole antibiotic are ongoing, with support from the federal government's Biomedical Advanced Research and Development Authority. Moreover, the company just launched a new study for adolescents, hoping to establish a favorable safety profile as a complement to its concurrent phase 3 program.</p>\n<p>Summit's share price has been volatile as investors try to determine whether the company will find success with its clinical program. As with most companies in the industry, Summit could see either massive upside or suffer big losses depending on what happens with ridinilazole and the other candidates in its pipeline.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>These 2 Nasdaq Stock Winners Could Change the World</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThese 2 Nasdaq Stock Winners Could Change the World\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-18 11:37 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/05/17/these-2-nasdaq-stock-winners-could-change-world/><strong>fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The stock market had a tough day on Monday, and once again, negative attention centered on theNasdaq Composite(NASDAQINDEX:^IXIC). The index's 1% drop as of 2:15 p.m. EDT was bigger than what other ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/05/17/these-2-nasdaq-stock-winners-could-change-world/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SMMT":"Summit Therapeutics PLC"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/05/17/these-2-nasdaq-stock-winners-could-change-world/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1157626171","content_text":"The stock market had a tough day on Monday, and once again, negative attention centered on theNasdaq Composite(NASDAQINDEX:^IXIC). The index's 1% drop as of 2:15 p.m. EDT was bigger than what other major market benchmarks faced, in part because the appetite for high-priced stocks seems to have waned considerably over the past few months.\nHowever, a couple of Nasdaq stocks were big winners on Monday, and they both have innovative business models that could have a positive influence on the world. AppHarvest(NASDAQ:APPH) and Summit Therapeutics(NASDAQ:SMMT)had notable gains to start the week. Below, we'll go into the details to see why investors are paying close attention to these two Nasdaq winners.\nInvestors are feeding on this stock\nShares of AppHarvest had a solid gain of more than 8% on Monday afternoon. The stock only recently came public through a merger with aspecial purpose acquisition company, and this was the first chance that investors had to see the sustainable-farming company's full potential.\nAppHarvest released its first-quarter financial reporton Monday, and shareholders liked what they saw. The company posted $2.3 million in revenue in its first operational quarter, selling 3.8 million pounds of tomatoes from its first greenhouse facility in Kentucky. AppHarvest posted considerable losses, as expected, but it has high hopes for the future.\nIn particular, AppHarvest said that it had fully planted its 60-acre facility as of the first week of May, which should lead to capacity harvests for the foreseeable future as indoor farming makes all-year growing possible. The company has seen strong demand from customers like grocery-giantKroger and fast-food restaurant chainWendy's and anticipates more interest as it develops additional facilities.\nAppHarvest won't be profitable in the near term, but shareholders are still excited about its growth potential. With sustainable farming potentially making it possible to feed an increasingly hungry world, the stock is an interesting way to invest in agriculture.\nHere's a healthy pick\nMeanwhile, Summit Therapeutics did even better, as its stock soared 22%. The developmental-stage biopharmaceutical company's financial report didn't feature very attractive numbers, but investors are optimistic about the progress it has made recently.\nSummit's financials were predictably ugly. Revenue was just $192,000, leading to losses of $17.5 million. Summit is burning cash to conduct clinical trials, and until one of the treatments in the company's pipeline pans out, investors can expect those losses to continue. However, the company noted that CEO and majority shareholder Robert Duggan provided an additional $55 million in debt financing during the first three months of 2021, helping to boost Summit's cash levels back above the $100 million mark.\nMoreover, Summit had promising news in its business update. Phase 3 trials for its ridinilazole antibiotic are ongoing, with support from the federal government's Biomedical Advanced Research and Development Authority. Moreover, the company just launched a new study for adolescents, hoping to establish a favorable safety profile as a complement to its concurrent phase 3 program.\nSummit's share price has been volatile as investors try to determine whether the company will find success with its clinical program. As with most companies in the industry, Summit could see either massive upside or suffer big losses depending on what happens with ridinilazole and the other candidates in its pipeline.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":81,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":194620356,"gmtCreate":1621378875975,"gmtModify":1704356511130,"author":{"id":"3573125338979065","authorId":"3573125338979065","name":"Kubbon","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573125338979065","authorIdStr":"3573125338979065"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/194620356","repostId":"2136955765","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2136955765","pubTimestamp":1621320795,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2136955765?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-18 14:53","market":"us","language":"en","title":"These growth companies may be primed for massive stock buybacks","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2136955765","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Free cash flow can highlight growth stocks that may be supported by share repurchases.\nApple is expe","content":"<p>Free cash flow can highlight growth stocks that may be supported by share repurchases.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ddd58c3c87423e3952362b6c9d60c20b\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"839\"><span>Apple is expected by analysts to generate sufficient free cash flow in calendar 2021 to cover higher dividends or significant share buybacks. (AFP via Getty Images)</span></p>\n<p>Economists' projections for an incredible U.S. rebound in 2021 are coming true. In the stock market, this year may go down as \"the year of the buyback.\"</p>\n<p>In April, U.S. companies announced $208 billion in new buyback programs, the second-highest monthly amount .</p>\n<p>Net buybacks -- those large enough to lower the share count by mitigating the dilution caused when company boards of directors hand new shares to executives -- are important to investors because they increase earnings per share. Higher earnings per share, or EPS, typically support higher stock prices.</p>\n<p>Why are companies getting set to buy back so much stock? Because they curtailed capital deployment in 2020 to protect themselves from the disruption of the coronavirus pandemic.</p>\n<p>Now, during a rapid economy recovery, the U.S. money supply has increased dramatically, as the Federal Reserve has grown its balance sheet through bond purchases. Very low interest rates have also helped set the stage for buybacks.</p>\n<p>The largest U.S. banks were required by the Federal Reserve to stop buying back shares last June because of the pandemic. The group's capital ratios have increased and the Fed has announced that banks will be allowed to resume buybacks after June 30, when the regulator's annual stress tests have been completed.</p>\n<p><b>Best-positioned companies</b></p>\n<p>One way to measure a company's ability to deploy capital is to look at its free cash flow yield. This can be done on a trailing basis, but 2020 was a year of disruption, to say the least. So the following data is based on free cash flow projections for 2021 among analysts polled by FactSet.</p>\n<p>A company's free cash flow is its remaining cash flow after planned capital expenditures. It is money that can be used to repurchase shares, increase dividends or for other corporate purposes, including acquisitions or expansion.</p>\n<p>If we divide a company's estimated free cash flow per share by the current share price, we have an estimate of free cash flow yield. If we subtract the current dividend yield from the FCF yield, we have estimated \"headroom\" for capital deployment -- including buybacks and dividend increases.</p>\n<p>Free cash flow estimates aren't available for financial companies or for real estate investment trusts (REITs).</p>\n<p>Now that we know what to look for when trying to identify companies that are well-positioned to repurchase shares, it might also be interesting to narrow the field to \"growth\" companies -- those with typically more rapid sales and earnings growth.</p>\n<p>To review a group of growth stocks, we began this stock screen with the Vanguard Russell 1000 Growth Index ETF <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VONG\">$(VONG)$</a>, which tracks the Russell 1000 Growth Index . (The <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EEME\">iShares</a> Russell 1000 Growth ETF <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IWF\">$(IWF)$</a> tracks the same index.) You can read how FTSE Russell describes the makeup of its indexes here .</p>\n<p>The Russell 1000 Growth Index is weighted by market capitalization. So the largest position of VONG is Apple Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$(AAPL)$</a>, which makes up 10.5% of the portfolio. Using Apple as an example, analysts polled by FactSet estimate the company's free cash flow per share for calendar 2021 will be $5.61. (We're using the calendar year to keep the data uniform. Some companies, including Apple, have fiscal years that don't match the calendar.)</p>\n<p>If we divide Apple's projected calendar 2021 FCF by the closing share price of $127.45 on May 14, we have an estimated FCF yield of 4.40%. If we subtract the current dividend yield of 0.69% from the FCF yield, we have estimated \"headroom\" of 3.71%. Relative to the dividend yield, it appears Apple will have plenty of extra cash to deploy.</p>\n<p>Going back to the Russell 1000 Growth Index and excluding the financials and REITs, we're left with 437 companies and FactSet has calendar 2021 FCF estimates for 350 of them.</p>\n<p><b>Most 'headroom'</b></p>\n<p>Here are the 20 companies with the most free cash flow \"headroom,\" based on consensus estimates for calendar 2021.</p>\n<p>Note: Scroll the table to see all the data.</p>\n<table>\n <thead>\n <tr>\n <th>COMPANY</th>\n <th>TICKER</th>\n <th>ESTIMATED FREE CASH FLOW PER SHARE</th>\n <th>CLOSING PRICE - MAY 14</th>\n <th>ESTIMATED FCF YIELD</th>\n <th>DIVIDEND YIELD</th>\n <th>HEADROOM</th>\n <th>MARKET CAP. ($MIL)</th>\n </tr>\n </thead>\n <tbody>\n <tr>\n <td>Nexstar Media Group Inc. Class A</td>\n <td>NXST</td>\n <td>$26.71</td>\n <td>$150.90</td>\n <td>17.70%</td>\n <td>1.86%</td>\n <td>15.84%</td>\n <td>$6,450</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>Moderna Inc.</td>\n <td>MRNA</td>\n <td>$23.35</td>\n <td>$161.38</td>\n <td>14.47%</td>\n <td>0.00%</td>\n <td>14.47%</td>\n <td>$64,799</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>CommScope Holding Co. Inc.</td>\n <td>COMM</td>\n <td>$2.20</td>\n <td>$18.16</td>\n <td>12.11%</td>\n <td>0.00%</td>\n <td>12.11%</td>\n <td>$3,706</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>Dell Technologies Inc. Class C</td>\n <td>DELL</td>\n <td>$11.66</td>\n <td>$98.43</td>\n <td>11.85%</td>\n <td>0.00%</td>\n <td>11.85%</td>\n <td>$27,322</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>NRG Energy Inc.</td>\n <td>NRG</td>\n <td>$5.27</td>\n <td>$34.33</td>\n <td>15.35%</td>\n <td>3.79%</td>\n <td>11.57%</td>\n <td>$8,402</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>McKesson Corp.</td>\n <td>MCK</td>\n <td>$23.95</td>\n <td>$195.00</td>\n <td>12.28%</td>\n <td>0.86%</td>\n <td>11.42%</td>\n <td>$30,846</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>Liberty Media Corp. Series A Liberty SiriusXM</td>\n <td>LSXMA</td>\n <td>$4.63</td>\n <td>$41.72</td>\n <td>11.10%</td>\n <td>0.00%</td>\n <td>11.10%</td>\n <td>$4,103</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>Liberty Media Corp. Series C Liberty SiriusXM</td>\n <td>LSXMK</td>\n <td>$4.63</td>\n <td>$41.78</td>\n <td>11.08%</td>\n <td>0.00%</td>\n <td>11.08%</td>\n <td>$9,502</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>H&R Block Inc.</td>\n <td>HRB</td>\n <td>$3.51</td>\n <td>$24.55</td>\n <td>14.28%</td>\n <td>4.24%</td>\n <td>10.05%</td>\n <td>$4,454</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>Berry Global Group Inc.</td>\n <td>BERY</td>\n <td>$6.93</td>\n <td>$69.19</td>\n <td>10.01%</td>\n <td>0.00%</td>\n <td>10.01%</td>\n <td>$9,334</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>Cheniere Energy Inc.</td>\n <td>LNG</td>\n <td>$8.05</td>\n <td>$83.83</td>\n <td>9.60%</td>\n <td>0.00%</td>\n <td>9.60%</td>\n <td>$21,254</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>Altice USA Inc. Class A</td>\n <td>ATUS</td>\n <td>$3.60</td>\n <td>$37.83</td>\n <td>9.51%</td>\n <td>0.00%</td>\n <td>9.51%</td>\n <td>$10,366</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>Cardinal Health Inc.</td>\n <td>CAH</td>\n <td>$7.15</td>\n <td>$56.34</td>\n <td>12.70%</td>\n <td>3.45%</td>\n <td>9.25%</td>\n <td>$16,347</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>CACI International Inc. Class A</td>\n <td>CACI</td>\n <td>$22.96</td>\n <td>$259.97</td>\n <td>8.83%</td>\n <td>0.00%</td>\n <td>8.83%</td>\n <td>$6,122</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>Jabil Inc.</td>\n <td>JBL</td>\n <td>$4.86</td>\n <td>$53.94</td>\n <td>9.00%</td>\n <td>0.59%</td>\n <td>8.41%</td>\n <td>$8,026</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>Biogen Inc.</td>\n <td>BIIB</td>\n <td>$23.40</td>\n <td>$280.21</td>\n <td>8.35%</td>\n <td>0.00%</td>\n <td>8.35%</td>\n <td>$42,187</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>Centene Corp.</td>\n <td>CNC</td>\n <td>$5.34</td>\n <td>$69.20</td>\n <td>7.72%</td>\n <td>0.00%</td>\n <td>7.72%</td>\n <td>$40,325</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>DaVita Inc.</td>\n <td>DVA</td>\n <td>$9.60</td>\n <td>$125.41</td>\n <td>7.65%</td>\n <td>0.00%</td>\n <td>7.65%</td>\n <td>$13,319</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>Neurocrine Biosciences Inc.</td>\n <td>NBIX</td>\n <td>$7.20</td>\n <td>$94.60</td>\n <td>7.61%</td>\n <td>0.00%</td>\n <td>7.61%</td>\n <td>$8,944</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>Bristol-Myers Squibb Co.</td>\n <td>BMY</td>\n <td>$6.85</td>\n <td>$64.88</td>\n <td>10.56%</td>\n <td>3.02%</td>\n <td>7.54%</td>\n <td>$144,937</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>Laboratory Corp. of America Holdings</td>\n <td>LH</td>\n <td>$20.31</td>\n <td>$274.50</td>\n <td>7.40%</td>\n <td>0.00%</td>\n <td>7.40%</td>\n <td>$26,819</td>\n </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>(FactSet)</p>\n<p>There are actually 21 rows of data on the table, because it includes both <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LSXMR\">Liberty Media Corp</a>.'s Series A <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LSXMA\">$(LSXMA)$</a> and Series C shares for <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LFG.AU\">Liberty</a> Sirius XM.</p>\n<ul>\n <li>The company with the highest expected FCF yield of 17.70% for calendar 2021 is Nexstar Media Group Inc.,which also has the highest projected headroom of 15.84%.</li>\n <li>Next is Moderna Inc.,which has had extraordinary success with its quick development and deployment of a COVID-19 vaccine. Its estimated FCF yield for 2021 is 14.47%, and that’s also its estimated headroom because it pays no dividend on common shares. To be sure, a growth-stage company providing such a critically important product that had to raise money by issuing shares less than a year ago cannot be expected to repurchase shares this year. This shows the limitation of any stock screen and the need to do your own research whenever you consider an investment.</li>\n <li>Next on the list is CommScope Holding Co. Inc.,with an estimated FCF yield of 12.11% for 2021. With no dividend, that’s also the expected headroom figure.</li>\n <li>Dell Technologies Inc. ranks fourth, with a FCF yield and expected headroom of 11.85%. This is another stock with no dividend currently.</li>\n <li>Fifth is NRG Energy, with an estimated FCF yield of 15.35%, a dividend yield of 3.79% and expected headroom of 11.57%.</li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>Largest companies</b></p>\n<p>If you scroll the above list to the right, you can see that 10 of the companies have market capitalizations of less than $10 billion. So here's a list of the largest 20 companies in the full list of 350. You can see that two very-well-known names have have little projected FCF headroom -- and there's a good reason for that.</p>\n<table>\n <thead>\n <tr>\n <th>COMPANY</th>\n <th>TICKER</th>\n <th>ESTIMATED FREE CASH FLOW PER SHARE</th>\n <th>CLOSING PRICE - MAY 14</th>\n <th>ESTIMATED FCF YIELD</th>\n <th>DIVIDEND YIELD</th>\n <th>HEADROOM</th>\n <th>MARKET CAP. ($MIL)</th>\n </tr>\n </thead>\n <tbody>\n <tr>\n <td>Apple Inc.</td>\n <td>AAPL</td>\n <td>$5.61</td>\n <td>$127.45</td>\n <td>4.40%</td>\n <td>0.69%</td>\n <td>3.71%</td>\n <td>$2,126,838</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>Microsoft Corp.</td>\n <td>MSFT</td>\n <td>$7.74</td>\n <td>$248.15</td>\n <td>3.12%</td>\n <td>0.90%</td>\n <td>2.22%</td>\n <td>$1,868,960</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>Amazon.com Inc.</td>\n <td>AMZN</td>\n <td>$71.13</td>\n <td>$3,222.90</td>\n <td>2.21%</td>\n <td>0.00%</td>\n <td>2.21%</td>\n <td>$1,625,385</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>Facebook Inc. Class A</td>\n <td>FB</td>\n <td>$11.70</td>\n <td>$315.94</td>\n <td>3.70%</td>\n <td>0.00%</td>\n <td>3.70%</td>\n <td>$757,007</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>Alphabet Inc. Class C</td>\n <td>GOOG</td>\n <td>$90.66</td>\n <td>$2,316.16</td>\n <td>3.91%</td>\n <td>0.00%</td>\n <td>3.91%</td>\n <td>$749,463</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>Alphabet Inc. Class A</td>\n <td>GOOGL</td>\n <td>$90.66</td>\n <td>$2,278.38</td>\n <td>3.98%</td>\n <td>0.00%</td>\n <td>3.98%</td>\n <td>$685,216</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>Tesla Inc.</td>\n <td>TSLA</td>\n <td>$1.46</td>\n <td>$589.74</td>\n <td>0.25%</td>\n <td>0.00%</td>\n <td>0.25%</td>\n <td>$568,114</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>Johnson & Johnson</td>\n <td>JNJ</td>\n <td>$4.57</td>\n <td>$170.22</td>\n <td>2.68%</td>\n <td>2.49%</td>\n <td>0.19%</td>\n <td>$448,257</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>UnitedHealth Group Inc.</td>\n <td>UNH</td>\n <td>$18.82</td>\n <td>$409.80</td>\n <td>4.59%</td>\n <td>1.22%</td>\n <td>3.37%</td>\n <td>$386,729</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>Visa Inc. Class A</td>\n <td>V</td>\n <td>$6.37</td>\n <td>$226.94</td>\n <td>2.81%</td>\n <td>0.56%</td>\n <td>2.24%</td>\n <td>$383,938</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>Mastercard Inc. Class A</td>\n <td>MA</td>\n <td>$7.51</td>\n <td>$363.91</td>\n <td>2.06%</td>\n <td>0.48%</td>\n <td>1.58%</td>\n <td>$357,689</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>Nvidia Corp.</td>\n <td>NVDA</td>\n <td>$12.97</td>\n <td>$569.72</td>\n <td>2.28%</td>\n <td>0.11%</td>\n <td>2.16%</td>\n <td>$354,584</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>Home Depot Inc.</td>\n <td>HD</td>\n <td>$14.46</td>\n <td>$323.63</td>\n <td>4.47%</td>\n <td>2.04%</td>\n <td>2.43%</td>\n <td>$347,975</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>Procter & Gamble Co.</td>\n <td>PG</td>\n <td>$5.60</td>\n <td>$138.01</td>\n <td>4.06%</td>\n <td>2.52%</td>\n <td>1.54%</td>\n <td>$337,881</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>PayPal Holdings Inc.</td>\n <td>PYPL</td>\n <td>$5.70</td>\n <td>$246.29</td>\n <td>2.31%</td>\n <td>0.00%</td>\n <td>2.31%</td>\n <td>$289,324</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>Coca-Cola Co.</td>\n <td>KO</td>\n <td>$2.03</td>\n <td>$54.73</td>\n <td>3.71%</td>\n <td>3.07%</td>\n <td>0.64%</td>\n <td>$235,978</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>Adobe Inc.</td>\n <td>ADBE</td>\n <td>$13.43</td>\n <td>$486.56</td>\n <td>2.76%</td>\n <td>0.00%</td>\n <td>2.76%</td>\n <td>$232,576</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>Oracle Corp.</td>\n <td>ORCL</td>\n <td>$4.25</td>\n <td>$78.89</td>\n <td>5.39%</td>\n <td>1.62%</td>\n <td>3.77%</td>\n <td>$227,482</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>Netflix Inc.</td>\n <td>NFLX</td>\n <td>$0.64</td>\n <td>$493.37</td>\n <td>0.13%</td>\n <td>0.00%</td>\n <td>0.13%</td>\n <td>$218,762</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>Abbott Laboratories</td>\n <td>ABT</td>\n <td>$5.79</td>\n <td>$118.31</td>\n <td>4.89%</td>\n <td>1.52%</td>\n <td>3.37%</td>\n <td>$210,216</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>AbbVie Inc.</td>\n <td>ABBV</td>\n <td>$10.54</td>\n <td>$116.43</td>\n <td>9.05%</td>\n <td>4.47%</td>\n <td>4.59%</td>\n <td>$205,641</td>\n </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>(FactSet)</p>\n<p>Once again, the list of 20 companies actually has 21 rows of data, because two share classes of Google holding company Alphabet Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOGL\">$(GOOGL)$</a>(GOOGL) are included. The company doesn't pay a dividend on either share class. The estimated yield and headroom are 3.91% for the Class C shares and 3.98% for the Class A shares.</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Following Apple, which is discussed above, the second-largest company on the list is Microsoft Corp.,with an estimated FCF yield of 3.12% and a dividend yield of 0.90%, leaving estimated headroom of 2.22%. That’s significantly lower than Apple’s estimated headroom of 3.71%.</li>\n <li>The company on the list with the lowest estimated FCF yield for 2021 is Netflix Inc.,which for years has plowed its cash flow into content creation. The company has turned a corner, with positive cash flow, and isset to resume buying back shares after a 10-year break.</li>\n <li>Second-lowest for estimated FCF headroom on the list is Tesla Inc.,which is also in a rapid-growth phase, with several factories under construction.</li>\n <li>Among the 20 largest companies listed, AbbVie Inc. has the highest estimated FCF headroom of 4.59%. Its estimated FCF yield for 2021 is 9.05% and its dividend yield is 4.47% — the highest for any company listed in this article.</li>\n</ul>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>These growth companies may be primed for massive stock buybacks</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThese growth companies may be primed for massive stock buybacks\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-18 14:53 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/these-growth-companies-may-be-primed-for-massive-stock-buybacks-11621265543?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Free cash flow can highlight growth stocks that may be supported by share repurchases.\nApple is expected by analysts to generate sufficient free cash flow in calendar 2021 to cover higher dividends or...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/these-growth-companies-may-be-primed-for-massive-stock-buybacks-11621265543?mod=home-page\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","TSLA":"特斯拉","MSFT":"微软","NFLX":"奈飞","MRNA":"Moderna, Inc.",".DJI":"道琼斯","QNETCN":"纳斯达克中美互联网老虎指数","AAPL":"苹果",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/these-growth-companies-may-be-primed-for-massive-stock-buybacks-11621265543?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2136955765","content_text":"Free cash flow can highlight growth stocks that may be supported by share repurchases.\nApple is expected by analysts to generate sufficient free cash flow in calendar 2021 to cover higher dividends or significant share buybacks. (AFP via Getty Images)\nEconomists' projections for an incredible U.S. rebound in 2021 are coming true. In the stock market, this year may go down as \"the year of the buyback.\"\nIn April, U.S. companies announced $208 billion in new buyback programs, the second-highest monthly amount .\nNet buybacks -- those large enough to lower the share count by mitigating the dilution caused when company boards of directors hand new shares to executives -- are important to investors because they increase earnings per share. Higher earnings per share, or EPS, typically support higher stock prices.\nWhy are companies getting set to buy back so much stock? Because they curtailed capital deployment in 2020 to protect themselves from the disruption of the coronavirus pandemic.\nNow, during a rapid economy recovery, the U.S. money supply has increased dramatically, as the Federal Reserve has grown its balance sheet through bond purchases. Very low interest rates have also helped set the stage for buybacks.\nThe largest U.S. banks were required by the Federal Reserve to stop buying back shares last June because of the pandemic. The group's capital ratios have increased and the Fed has announced that banks will be allowed to resume buybacks after June 30, when the regulator's annual stress tests have been completed.\nBest-positioned companies\nOne way to measure a company's ability to deploy capital is to look at its free cash flow yield. This can be done on a trailing basis, but 2020 was a year of disruption, to say the least. So the following data is based on free cash flow projections for 2021 among analysts polled by FactSet.\nA company's free cash flow is its remaining cash flow after planned capital expenditures. It is money that can be used to repurchase shares, increase dividends or for other corporate purposes, including acquisitions or expansion.\nIf we divide a company's estimated free cash flow per share by the current share price, we have an estimate of free cash flow yield. If we subtract the current dividend yield from the FCF yield, we have estimated \"headroom\" for capital deployment -- including buybacks and dividend increases.\nFree cash flow estimates aren't available for financial companies or for real estate investment trusts (REITs).\nNow that we know what to look for when trying to identify companies that are well-positioned to repurchase shares, it might also be interesting to narrow the field to \"growth\" companies -- those with typically more rapid sales and earnings growth.\nTo review a group of growth stocks, we began this stock screen with the Vanguard Russell 1000 Growth Index ETF $(VONG)$, which tracks the Russell 1000 Growth Index . (The iShares Russell 1000 Growth ETF $(IWF)$ tracks the same index.) You can read how FTSE Russell describes the makeup of its indexes here .\nThe Russell 1000 Growth Index is weighted by market capitalization. So the largest position of VONG is Apple Inc. $(AAPL)$, which makes up 10.5% of the portfolio. Using Apple as an example, analysts polled by FactSet estimate the company's free cash flow per share for calendar 2021 will be $5.61. (We're using the calendar year to keep the data uniform. Some companies, including Apple, have fiscal years that don't match the calendar.)\nIf we divide Apple's projected calendar 2021 FCF by the closing share price of $127.45 on May 14, we have an estimated FCF yield of 4.40%. If we subtract the current dividend yield of 0.69% from the FCF yield, we have estimated \"headroom\" of 3.71%. Relative to the dividend yield, it appears Apple will have plenty of extra cash to deploy.\nGoing back to the Russell 1000 Growth Index and excluding the financials and REITs, we're left with 437 companies and FactSet has calendar 2021 FCF estimates for 350 of them.\nMost 'headroom'\nHere are the 20 companies with the most free cash flow \"headroom,\" based on consensus estimates for calendar 2021.\nNote: Scroll the table to see all the data.\n\n\n\nCOMPANY\nTICKER\nESTIMATED FREE CASH FLOW PER SHARE\nCLOSING PRICE - MAY 14\nESTIMATED FCF YIELD\nDIVIDEND YIELD\nHEADROOM\nMARKET CAP. ($MIL)\n\n\n\n\nNexstar Media Group Inc. Class A\nNXST\n$26.71\n$150.90\n17.70%\n1.86%\n15.84%\n$6,450\n\n\nModerna Inc.\nMRNA\n$23.35\n$161.38\n14.47%\n0.00%\n14.47%\n$64,799\n\n\nCommScope Holding Co. Inc.\nCOMM\n$2.20\n$18.16\n12.11%\n0.00%\n12.11%\n$3,706\n\n\nDell Technologies Inc. Class C\nDELL\n$11.66\n$98.43\n11.85%\n0.00%\n11.85%\n$27,322\n\n\nNRG Energy Inc.\nNRG\n$5.27\n$34.33\n15.35%\n3.79%\n11.57%\n$8,402\n\n\nMcKesson Corp.\nMCK\n$23.95\n$195.00\n12.28%\n0.86%\n11.42%\n$30,846\n\n\nLiberty Media Corp. Series A Liberty SiriusXM\nLSXMA\n$4.63\n$41.72\n11.10%\n0.00%\n11.10%\n$4,103\n\n\nLiberty Media Corp. Series C Liberty SiriusXM\nLSXMK\n$4.63\n$41.78\n11.08%\n0.00%\n11.08%\n$9,502\n\n\nH&R Block Inc.\nHRB\n$3.51\n$24.55\n14.28%\n4.24%\n10.05%\n$4,454\n\n\nBerry Global Group Inc.\nBERY\n$6.93\n$69.19\n10.01%\n0.00%\n10.01%\n$9,334\n\n\nCheniere Energy Inc.\nLNG\n$8.05\n$83.83\n9.60%\n0.00%\n9.60%\n$21,254\n\n\nAltice USA Inc. Class A\nATUS\n$3.60\n$37.83\n9.51%\n0.00%\n9.51%\n$10,366\n\n\nCardinal Health Inc.\nCAH\n$7.15\n$56.34\n12.70%\n3.45%\n9.25%\n$16,347\n\n\nCACI International Inc. Class A\nCACI\n$22.96\n$259.97\n8.83%\n0.00%\n8.83%\n$6,122\n\n\nJabil Inc.\nJBL\n$4.86\n$53.94\n9.00%\n0.59%\n8.41%\n$8,026\n\n\nBiogen Inc.\nBIIB\n$23.40\n$280.21\n8.35%\n0.00%\n8.35%\n$42,187\n\n\nCentene Corp.\nCNC\n$5.34\n$69.20\n7.72%\n0.00%\n7.72%\n$40,325\n\n\nDaVita Inc.\nDVA\n$9.60\n$125.41\n7.65%\n0.00%\n7.65%\n$13,319\n\n\nNeurocrine Biosciences Inc.\nNBIX\n$7.20\n$94.60\n7.61%\n0.00%\n7.61%\n$8,944\n\n\nBristol-Myers Squibb Co.\nBMY\n$6.85\n$64.88\n10.56%\n3.02%\n7.54%\n$144,937\n\n\nLaboratory Corp. of America Holdings\nLH\n$20.31\n$274.50\n7.40%\n0.00%\n7.40%\n$26,819\n\n\n\n(FactSet)\nThere are actually 21 rows of data on the table, because it includes both Liberty Media Corp.'s Series A $(LSXMA)$ and Series C shares for Liberty Sirius XM.\n\nThe company with the highest expected FCF yield of 17.70% for calendar 2021 is Nexstar Media Group Inc.,which also has the highest projected headroom of 15.84%.\nNext is Moderna Inc.,which has had extraordinary success with its quick development and deployment of a COVID-19 vaccine. Its estimated FCF yield for 2021 is 14.47%, and that’s also its estimated headroom because it pays no dividend on common shares. To be sure, a growth-stage company providing such a critically important product that had to raise money by issuing shares less than a year ago cannot be expected to repurchase shares this year. This shows the limitation of any stock screen and the need to do your own research whenever you consider an investment.\nNext on the list is CommScope Holding Co. Inc.,with an estimated FCF yield of 12.11% for 2021. With no dividend, that’s also the expected headroom figure.\nDell Technologies Inc. ranks fourth, with a FCF yield and expected headroom of 11.85%. This is another stock with no dividend currently.\nFifth is NRG Energy, with an estimated FCF yield of 15.35%, a dividend yield of 3.79% and expected headroom of 11.57%.\n\nLargest companies\nIf you scroll the above list to the right, you can see that 10 of the companies have market capitalizations of less than $10 billion. So here's a list of the largest 20 companies in the full list of 350. You can see that two very-well-known names have have little projected FCF headroom -- and there's a good reason for that.\n\n\n\nCOMPANY\nTICKER\nESTIMATED FREE CASH FLOW PER SHARE\nCLOSING PRICE - MAY 14\nESTIMATED FCF YIELD\nDIVIDEND YIELD\nHEADROOM\nMARKET CAP. ($MIL)\n\n\n\n\nApple Inc.\nAAPL\n$5.61\n$127.45\n4.40%\n0.69%\n3.71%\n$2,126,838\n\n\nMicrosoft Corp.\nMSFT\n$7.74\n$248.15\n3.12%\n0.90%\n2.22%\n$1,868,960\n\n\nAmazon.com Inc.\nAMZN\n$71.13\n$3,222.90\n2.21%\n0.00%\n2.21%\n$1,625,385\n\n\nFacebook Inc. Class A\nFB\n$11.70\n$315.94\n3.70%\n0.00%\n3.70%\n$757,007\n\n\nAlphabet Inc. Class C\nGOOG\n$90.66\n$2,316.16\n3.91%\n0.00%\n3.91%\n$749,463\n\n\nAlphabet Inc. Class A\nGOOGL\n$90.66\n$2,278.38\n3.98%\n0.00%\n3.98%\n$685,216\n\n\nTesla Inc.\nTSLA\n$1.46\n$589.74\n0.25%\n0.00%\n0.25%\n$568,114\n\n\nJohnson & Johnson\nJNJ\n$4.57\n$170.22\n2.68%\n2.49%\n0.19%\n$448,257\n\n\nUnitedHealth Group Inc.\nUNH\n$18.82\n$409.80\n4.59%\n1.22%\n3.37%\n$386,729\n\n\nVisa Inc. Class A\nV\n$6.37\n$226.94\n2.81%\n0.56%\n2.24%\n$383,938\n\n\nMastercard Inc. Class A\nMA\n$7.51\n$363.91\n2.06%\n0.48%\n1.58%\n$357,689\n\n\nNvidia Corp.\nNVDA\n$12.97\n$569.72\n2.28%\n0.11%\n2.16%\n$354,584\n\n\nHome Depot Inc.\nHD\n$14.46\n$323.63\n4.47%\n2.04%\n2.43%\n$347,975\n\n\nProcter & Gamble Co.\nPG\n$5.60\n$138.01\n4.06%\n2.52%\n1.54%\n$337,881\n\n\nPayPal Holdings Inc.\nPYPL\n$5.70\n$246.29\n2.31%\n0.00%\n2.31%\n$289,324\n\n\nCoca-Cola Co.\nKO\n$2.03\n$54.73\n3.71%\n3.07%\n0.64%\n$235,978\n\n\nAdobe Inc.\nADBE\n$13.43\n$486.56\n2.76%\n0.00%\n2.76%\n$232,576\n\n\nOracle Corp.\nORCL\n$4.25\n$78.89\n5.39%\n1.62%\n3.77%\n$227,482\n\n\nNetflix Inc.\nNFLX\n$0.64\n$493.37\n0.13%\n0.00%\n0.13%\n$218,762\n\n\nAbbott Laboratories\nABT\n$5.79\n$118.31\n4.89%\n1.52%\n3.37%\n$210,216\n\n\nAbbVie Inc.\nABBV\n$10.54\n$116.43\n9.05%\n4.47%\n4.59%\n$205,641\n\n\n\n(FactSet)\nOnce again, the list of 20 companies actually has 21 rows of data, because two share classes of Google holding company Alphabet Inc. $(GOOGL)$(GOOGL) are included. The company doesn't pay a dividend on either share class. The estimated yield and headroom are 3.91% for the Class C shares and 3.98% for the Class A shares.\n\nFollowing Apple, which is discussed above, the second-largest company on the list is Microsoft Corp.,with an estimated FCF yield of 3.12% and a dividend yield of 0.90%, leaving estimated headroom of 2.22%. That’s significantly lower than Apple’s estimated headroom of 3.71%.\nThe company on the list with the lowest estimated FCF yield for 2021 is Netflix Inc.,which for years has plowed its cash flow into content creation. The company has turned a corner, with positive cash flow, and isset to resume buying back shares after a 10-year break.\nSecond-lowest for estimated FCF headroom on the list is Tesla Inc.,which is also in a rapid-growth phase, with several factories under construction.\nAmong the 20 largest companies listed, AbbVie Inc. has the highest estimated FCF headroom of 4.59%. Its estimated FCF yield for 2021 is 9.05% and its dividend yield is 4.47% — the highest for any company listed in this article.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":123,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":195612617,"gmtCreate":1621292453539,"gmtModify":1704355118970,"author":{"id":"3573125338979065","authorId":"3573125338979065","name":"Kubbon","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573125338979065","authorIdStr":"3573125338979065"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/195612617","repostId":"1109408177","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":150,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":340791452,"gmtCreate":1617471988876,"gmtModify":1704699898423,"author":{"id":"3573125338979065","authorId":"3573125338979065","name":"Kubbon","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573125338979065","authorIdStr":"3573125338979065"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/340791452","repostId":"1191998262","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1191998262","pubTimestamp":1617366158,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1191998262?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-04-02 20:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"How Likely Is a Stock Market Crash?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1191998262","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"You may not like the answer.\n\nFor the past year, investors have enjoyed one of the greatest bounce-b","content":"<blockquote>\n You may not like the answer.\n</blockquote>\n<p>For the past year, investors have enjoyed one of the greatest bounce-back rallies of all time. After the benchmark<b>S&P 500</b>(SNPINDEX:^GSPC)lost a third of its value in mere weeks due to unprecedented uncertainties surrounding the coronavirus pandemic, it bounced back to gain in the neighborhood of 75% off its lows. You could rightly say that patience has paid off.</p>\n<p>But there's another reality that investors -- especially long-term investors -- are keenly aware of: the propensity of the stock market to crash or correct. Things might look great now, but the next big nosedive is always waiting in the wings.</p>\n<p>It begs the question: How likely is astock market crash? Let's take a closer look.</p>\n<p><b>Double-digit declines occur every 1.87 years, on average</b></p>\n<p>To begin with the basics, stock market corrections (i.e., declines of at least 10%) are quite common in the S&P 500. According to data from market analytics firm Yardeni Research, there have been 38 corrections in the S&P 500 since the beginning of 1950. This works out to an average double-digit decline in the benchmark indexevery 1.87 years. Since it's now been more than a year since the market hit its bear-market bottom, the averages are certainly not in investors' favor.</p>\n<p>However, averages are nothing more than that... averages. The market doesn't adhere to averages, even if some folks base their investments off of what's happened historically.</p>\n<p>We could enter a period similar to 1991 through 1996 where there were zero corrections. Or we could continue the theme since the beginning of 2010, where corrections occur, on average, every 19 months.</p>\n<p><b>Corrections have been an historical given within three years of a bear market bottom</b></p>\n<p>Another interesting piece of evidence to examine is the frequency by which the S&P 500 corrects after hitting a bear-market bottom.</p>\n<p>Since the beginning of 1960 (an arbitrary year I chose for the sake of simplicity), the widely followed index has navigated its way through nine bear markets, including the coronavirus crash. In rebounding from each of the previous eight bear market lows, there was at least one double-digit percentage decline within three years100% of the time. In aggregate, 13 corrections have occurred within three years following the last eight bear market bottoms (i.e., either one or two following each bottom).</p>\n<p>Put another way, rebounding from a bear-market bottom is rarely a straight-line move higher. Yet up, up, and away has pretty much been the theme for investors since March 23, 2020. History would suggest that there's a very good chance of a move lower in equities within the next two years.</p>\n<p><b>Crashes frequently occur when this valuation metric is hit</b></p>\n<p>But the most damning bit of evidence might just be the S&P 500's Shiller price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio. This is a valuation metric that examines the average inflation-adjusted earnings from the previous 10 years. You might also know it as the cyclically adjusted P/E ratio, or CAPE.</p>\n<p>As of the close of business on March 30, the S&P 500's Shiller P/E ratio hit 35.61. That's well over double its 150-year average of 16.8. Using continuous bull market moves as a parameter, it's the second-highest reading in its history.</p>\n<p>To some extent, itmakes sensethat equity valuations should be higher now than they've been historically. That's because interest rates are near an all-time low and access to the internet has effectively broken down barriers between Wall Street and Main Street that may have, in the past, kept P/E multiples at bay.</p>\n<p>However, previous instances of the S&P 500's Shiller P/E ratio crossing above and sustaining the 30 levelhaven't ended well. In the prior four instances where the Shiller P/E surpassed and held above 30, the benchmark index tumbled anywhere from 20% to as much as 89%. Although an 89% plunge, which was experienced during the Great Depression, is very unlikely these days, a big drop has historically been in the cards when valuations get extended, as they are now.</p>\n<p><b>Keep that cash handy in the event that opportunity knocks</b></p>\n<p>To circle back to the original question at hand, the data is pretty clear that the likelihood of a stock market crash or correction has grown considerably. It's impossible to precisely predict when a crash might occur, how long the decline will last, or how steep the drop could be. But the data strongly suggests that downside is in the offing.</p>\n<p>While this might be a disappointing revelation to some investors, it shouldn't be. Crashes and corrections are a normal part of the investing cycle. More importantly, theyprovide an opportunityfor investors to buy into great companies at a discount. Just think about all the great companies you're probably kicking yourself over for not buying last March.</p>\n<p>The reason to be excited about crashes and corrections is also found in the data. You see, of those 38 previous corrections in the S&P 500 since the beginning of 1950, each and every one has eventually been put into the rearview mirror by a bull market rally. Plus,at no point over the past centuryhave rolling 20-year total returns (including dividends) for the S&P 500 been negative.</p>\n<p>If you need further encouragement to buy during a correction, keep in mind that 24 of the 38 double-digit declines in the S&P 500 havefound their bottom in 104 or fewer calendar days(3.5 months or less). Crashes and corrections may be steep at times but tend to resolve quickly. That's your cue to have cash at the ready in the event that opportunity knocks.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>How Likely Is a Stock Market Crash?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHow Likely Is a Stock Market Crash?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-04-02 20:22 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/04/02/how-likely-is-a-stock-market-crash/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>You may not like the answer.\n\nFor the past year, investors have enjoyed one of the greatest bounce-back rallies of all time. After the benchmarkS&P 500(SNPINDEX:^GSPC)lost a third of its value in mere...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/04/02/how-likely-is-a-stock-market-crash/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/04/02/how-likely-is-a-stock-market-crash/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1191998262","content_text":"You may not like the answer.\n\nFor the past year, investors have enjoyed one of the greatest bounce-back rallies of all time. After the benchmarkS&P 500(SNPINDEX:^GSPC)lost a third of its value in mere weeks due to unprecedented uncertainties surrounding the coronavirus pandemic, it bounced back to gain in the neighborhood of 75% off its lows. You could rightly say that patience has paid off.\nBut there's another reality that investors -- especially long-term investors -- are keenly aware of: the propensity of the stock market to crash or correct. Things might look great now, but the next big nosedive is always waiting in the wings.\nIt begs the question: How likely is astock market crash? Let's take a closer look.\nDouble-digit declines occur every 1.87 years, on average\nTo begin with the basics, stock market corrections (i.e., declines of at least 10%) are quite common in the S&P 500. According to data from market analytics firm Yardeni Research, there have been 38 corrections in the S&P 500 since the beginning of 1950. This works out to an average double-digit decline in the benchmark indexevery 1.87 years. Since it's now been more than a year since the market hit its bear-market bottom, the averages are certainly not in investors' favor.\nHowever, averages are nothing more than that... averages. The market doesn't adhere to averages, even if some folks base their investments off of what's happened historically.\nWe could enter a period similar to 1991 through 1996 where there were zero corrections. Or we could continue the theme since the beginning of 2010, where corrections occur, on average, every 19 months.\nCorrections have been an historical given within three years of a bear market bottom\nAnother interesting piece of evidence to examine is the frequency by which the S&P 500 corrects after hitting a bear-market bottom.\nSince the beginning of 1960 (an arbitrary year I chose for the sake of simplicity), the widely followed index has navigated its way through nine bear markets, including the coronavirus crash. In rebounding from each of the previous eight bear market lows, there was at least one double-digit percentage decline within three years100% of the time. In aggregate, 13 corrections have occurred within three years following the last eight bear market bottoms (i.e., either one or two following each bottom).\nPut another way, rebounding from a bear-market bottom is rarely a straight-line move higher. Yet up, up, and away has pretty much been the theme for investors since March 23, 2020. History would suggest that there's a very good chance of a move lower in equities within the next two years.\nCrashes frequently occur when this valuation metric is hit\nBut the most damning bit of evidence might just be the S&P 500's Shiller price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio. This is a valuation metric that examines the average inflation-adjusted earnings from the previous 10 years. You might also know it as the cyclically adjusted P/E ratio, or CAPE.\nAs of the close of business on March 30, the S&P 500's Shiller P/E ratio hit 35.61. That's well over double its 150-year average of 16.8. Using continuous bull market moves as a parameter, it's the second-highest reading in its history.\nTo some extent, itmakes sensethat equity valuations should be higher now than they've been historically. That's because interest rates are near an all-time low and access to the internet has effectively broken down barriers between Wall Street and Main Street that may have, in the past, kept P/E multiples at bay.\nHowever, previous instances of the S&P 500's Shiller P/E ratio crossing above and sustaining the 30 levelhaven't ended well. In the prior four instances where the Shiller P/E surpassed and held above 30, the benchmark index tumbled anywhere from 20% to as much as 89%. Although an 89% plunge, which was experienced during the Great Depression, is very unlikely these days, a big drop has historically been in the cards when valuations get extended, as they are now.\nKeep that cash handy in the event that opportunity knocks\nTo circle back to the original question at hand, the data is pretty clear that the likelihood of a stock market crash or correction has grown considerably. It's impossible to precisely predict when a crash might occur, how long the decline will last, or how steep the drop could be. But the data strongly suggests that downside is in the offing.\nWhile this might be a disappointing revelation to some investors, it shouldn't be. Crashes and corrections are a normal part of the investing cycle. More importantly, theyprovide an opportunityfor investors to buy into great companies at a discount. Just think about all the great companies you're probably kicking yourself over for not buying last March.\nThe reason to be excited about crashes and corrections is also found in the data. You see, of those 38 previous corrections in the S&P 500 since the beginning of 1950, each and every one has eventually been put into the rearview mirror by a bull market rally. Plus,at no point over the past centuryhave rolling 20-year total returns (including dividends) for the S&P 500 been negative.\nIf you need further encouragement to buy during a correction, keep in mind that 24 of the 38 double-digit declines in the S&P 500 havefound their bottom in 104 or fewer calendar days(3.5 months or less). Crashes and corrections may be steep at times but tend to resolve quickly. That's your cue to have cash at the ready in the event that opportunity knocks.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":111,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}