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2022-09-20

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US STOCKS-Wall Street Ends Choppy Session Higher With Focus Firmly on Fed

2022-09-18

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Nvidia: Ethereum Merge Unleashes A Tsunami Of Used Graphics Cards

2022-09-13

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Traders See Inflation Falling for Rest of 2022, but That Likely Won’t End Fed Rate Hikes Or Market Volatility

2022-09-11

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How a CEO Rescued a Big Bet on Big Oil; "There Were a Lot of Doubters"

2022-09-10

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2022-09-08

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Microsoft: Why I Traded It In For Apple And Google

2022-09-06

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Crypto Stocks Slid in Morning Trading, With Canaan Falling Over 4% and SOS Falling Over 3%

2022-09-05

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GameStop, Apple, Kroger, NIO, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week

2022-09-04

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2022-08-30

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Stocks Headed for More Pain as 3,900 Becomes New Line in the Sand for the S&P 500, Chart Watchers Say

2022-08-29

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Jobs in Focus after Hawkish Powell Speech: What to Know This Week

2022-08-28

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Nvidia: Guidance Is A Game-Changer

2022-08-27

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Powell's Policy Point: Inflation Must Be Beat, And It Won't Be Pretty

2022-08-27

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Full Speech By Federal Reserve Chair Powell on Monetary Policy and Price Stability

2022-08-25

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2022-08-24

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US STOCKS-Wall Street Ends Down As Investors Eye Slowing Economy

2022-08-23

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Tesla Must Face The Comeback Of Affordable ICE Vehicles

2022-08-22

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Here's What You Should Know About the 3-for-1 Stock Split Approved By Tesla Shareholders

2022-08-21

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No, There Is No New Short-Selling Champion in Tesla Stock

2022-08-20

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04:33","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US STOCKS-Wall Street Ends Choppy Session Higher With Focus Firmly on Fed","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2268919880","media":"Reuters","summary":"Wall Street's main indexes ended a seesaw session higher on Monday, as investors turned their attent","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Wall Street&#39;s main indexes ended a seesaw session higher on Monday, as investors turned their attention to this week&#39;s policy meeting at the Federal Reserve and how aggressively it will hike interest rates.</p><p>Even more so than the Ukraine war or corporate earnings, the actions of the U.S. central bank are driving market sentiment as traders try to position themselves for a rising interest rate environment.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 and the Nasdaq rebounded from logging their worst weekly percentage drop since June on Friday, as markets fully priced in at least a 75 basis point rise in rates at the end of Fed&#39;s Sept. 20-21 policy meeting, with Fed funds futures showing a 15% chance of a whopping 100 bps increase.</p><p>Unexpectedly hot August inflation data last week also raised bets on increased rate hikes down the road, with the terminal rate for U.S. fed funds now at 4.46%.</p><p>&#34;This is all about what&#39;s going to happen on Wednesday, and what comes out of the Fed&#39;s hands on Wednesday, so I think people are just going to wait and see until then,&#34; said Josh Markman, partner at Bel Air Investment Advisors.</p><p>&#34;We had a poor print when the CPI came in, so the Fed - who is behind the 8-ball - is now trying to get ahead of the curve and curb inflation, and that (awareness) is driving equity markets.&#34;</p><p>Reflecting the caution for new bets ahead of the Fed meeting, just 9.58 million shares traded on U.S. exchanges on Monday, the sixth lightest day for trading volume this year.</p><p>Focus will also be on new economic projections, due to be published alongside the Fed&#39;s policy statement at 2 p.m. ET (1800 GMT) on Wednesday.</p><p>Worries of Fed tightening have dragged the S&amp;P 500 down 18.2% this year, with a recent dire earnings report from delivery firm FedEx Corp, an inverted U.S. Treasury yield curve and warnings from the World Bank and the IMF about an impending global economic slowdown adding to the woes.</p><p>Goldman Sachs cut its forecast for 2023 U.S. GDP late on Friday as it projects a more aggressive Fed and sees that pushing the jobless rate higher than it previously expected.</p><p>&#34;The Fed will continue to plough along, we&#39;ll get 75 (bps) on Wednesday, but what comes next and whether they are going to pause or not after Wednesday, that is going to be the interesting part,&#34; said Bel Air&#39;s Markman.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 197.26 points, or 0.64%, to 31,019.68, the S&amp;P 500 gained 26.56 points, or 0.69%, to 3,899.89 and the Nasdaq Composite added 86.62 points, or 0.76%, to 11,535.02.</p><p>A majority of the 11 S&amp;P 500 sectors rose. One exception was healthcare, down 0.6% as it was weighed by a fall in shares of vaccine maker Moderna Inc a day after President Joe Biden said in a CBS interview that &#34;the pandemic is over&#34;.</p><p>Industrial stocks rebounded 1.4% after a sharp drop on Friday, while banks gained 1.9%. Tech heavyweights Apple Inc and Tesla Inc rose 2.5% and 1.9%, respectively, to provide the biggest boost to the S&amp;P 500 and the Nasdaq.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TTWO\">Take-Two Interactive Software</a> Inc closed up 0.7%, having recovered from a slump earlier in the day caused by confirmation that a hacker had leaked the early footage of Grand Theft Auto VI, the next installment of the best-selling videogame.</p><p>Meanwhile, Knowbe4 Inc jumped 28.2% to $22.17, its highest close since May 4, after the cybersecurity firm said that <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VGL.AU\">Vista</a> Equity Partners had offered to take it private for $24 per share, valuing the company at $4.22 billion.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted one new 52-week high and 28 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 29 new highs and 378 new lows. </p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US STOCKS-Wall Street Ends Choppy Session Higher With Focus Firmly on Fed</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS STOCKS-Wall Street Ends Choppy Session Higher With Focus Firmly on Fed\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-20 04:33 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-stocks-wall-street-ends-203315834.html><strong>Reuters</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Wall Street's main indexes ended a seesaw session higher on Monday, as investors turned their attention to this week's policy meeting at the Federal Reserve and how aggressively it will hike interest ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-stocks-wall-street-ends-203315834.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-stocks-wall-street-ends-203315834.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2268919880","content_text":"Wall Street's main indexes ended a seesaw session higher on Monday, as investors turned their attention to this week's policy meeting at the Federal Reserve and how aggressively it will hike interest rates.Even more so than the Ukraine war or corporate earnings, the actions of the U.S. central bank are driving market sentiment as traders try to position themselves for a rising interest rate environment.The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq rebounded from logging their worst weekly percentage drop since June on Friday, as markets fully priced in at least a 75 basis point rise in rates at the end of Fed's Sept. 20-21 policy meeting, with Fed funds futures showing a 15% chance of a whopping 100 bps increase.Unexpectedly hot August inflation data last week also raised bets on increased rate hikes down the road, with the terminal rate for U.S. fed funds now at 4.46%.\"This is all about what's going to happen on Wednesday, and what comes out of the Fed's hands on Wednesday, so I think people are just going to wait and see until then,\" said Josh Markman, partner at Bel Air Investment Advisors.\"We had a poor print when the CPI came in, so the Fed - who is behind the 8-ball - is now trying to get ahead of the curve and curb inflation, and that (awareness) is driving equity markets.\"Reflecting the caution for new bets ahead of the Fed meeting, just 9.58 million shares traded on U.S. exchanges on Monday, the sixth lightest day for trading volume this year.Focus will also be on new economic projections, due to be published alongside the Fed's policy statement at 2 p.m. ET (1800 GMT) on Wednesday.Worries of Fed tightening have dragged the S&P 500 down 18.2% this year, with a recent dire earnings report from delivery firm FedEx Corp, an inverted U.S. Treasury yield curve and warnings from the World Bank and the IMF about an impending global economic slowdown adding to the woes.Goldman Sachs cut its forecast for 2023 U.S. GDP late on Friday as it projects a more aggressive Fed and sees that pushing the jobless rate higher than it previously expected.\"The Fed will continue to plough along, we'll get 75 (bps) on Wednesday, but what comes next and whether they are going to pause or not after Wednesday, that is going to be the interesting part,\" said Bel Air's Markman.The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 197.26 points, or 0.64%, to 31,019.68, the S&P 500 gained 26.56 points, or 0.69%, to 3,899.89 and the Nasdaq Composite added 86.62 points, or 0.76%, to 11,535.02.A majority of the 11 S&P 500 sectors rose. One exception was healthcare, down 0.6% as it was weighed by a fall in shares of vaccine maker Moderna Inc a day after President Joe Biden said in a CBS interview that \"the pandemic is over\".Industrial stocks rebounded 1.4% after a sharp drop on Friday, while banks gained 1.9%. Tech heavyweights Apple Inc and Tesla Inc rose 2.5% and 1.9%, respectively, to provide the biggest boost to the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq.Take-Two Interactive Software Inc closed up 0.7%, having recovered from a slump earlier in the day caused by confirmation that a hacker had leaked the early footage of Grand Theft Auto VI, the next installment of the best-selling videogame.Meanwhile, Knowbe4 Inc jumped 28.2% to $22.17, its highest close since May 4, after the cybersecurity firm said that Vista Equity Partners had offered to take it private for $24 per share, valuing the company at $4.22 billion.The S&P 500 posted one new 52-week high and 28 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 29 new highs and 378 new lows.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":282,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9937576284,"gmtCreate":1663473370849,"gmtModify":1676537275962,"author":{"id":"3573789293829232","authorId":"3573789293829232","name":"btoh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a7c2d714604fc804a48646ee397f912","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573789293829232","authorIdStr":"3573789293829232"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9937576284","repostId":"1129633132","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1129633132","pubTimestamp":1663378125,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1129633132?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-17 09:28","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nvidia: Ethereum Merge Unleashes A Tsunami Of Used Graphics Cards","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1129633132","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryEthereum completes its transition to proof-of-stake, ending lucrative and energy-consuming “m","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Ethereum completes its transition to proof-of-stake, ending lucrative and energy-consuming “mining”.</li><li>Correcting the Ethereum hash rate model to account for used graphics card sales accounts for Nvidia’s fiscal Q2 results.</li><li>The impact of the Merge on Nvidia’s sales will be, at best, ugly.</li><li>How will the Merge affect Nvidia’s expected RTX 40 series launch?</li><li>Investor takeaways: Will Nvidia need to restate guidance for this quarter?</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f531f7b392a181968ec72c4a8f89f8e\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"613\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>vzphotos/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p>The Ethereum Foundation, which manages the Ether cryptocurrency, has announced completion of what it calls the Merge, whereby validation of new blocks of transactions no longer takes place by &#34;mining&#34;. The millions of high-end graphics cards that are used for this will no longer beneeded for the new &#34;proof-of-stake&#34; approach, so that most of these will likely find their way into the used card market. This will depress demand for new graphics cards just when Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) is set to announce its next-generation GeForce 40 series.</p><p><b>Ethereum completes its transition to proof-of-stake, ending lucrative and energy consuming &#34;mining&#34;</b></p><p>The transition of Ethereum to proof-of-stake was called the Merge because it involved combining the parallel block chain that was already using proof-of-stake experimentally with the main block chain that was using traditional mining, called proof-of-work. This is shown below in this diagram from the Ethereum Foundation:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4872c823bfeb3e06182d2d3f6ab87879\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"574\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Ethereum.org</span></p><p>Mining was really just transaction processing, in which a number of Ethereum transactions would be bundled into a block and encrypted. But the encryption process was made artificially difficult, requiring millions of high end graphics cards in the mining pool to process a block in a reasonable period of time.</p><p>In the new proof-of-stake approach, the artificial difficulty is removed, so that hardware requirements can be met by almost any computer, ending the need for graphics card processing and the attendant energy consumption. Ethereum claims this will reduce energy consumption by 99.95%.</p><p>Some miners may go to work on a &#34;hard fork&#34; of Ethereum, in effect, a secession of the currency into a new one called EthereumPOW. This currency will continue to use proof-of-work, but it&#39;s unclear whether mining this will be profitable.</p><p>Probably, the vast majority of cards will go on the used card market and be sold on venues such as eBay.</p><p><b>Correcting the Ethereum hash rate model to account for used graphics card sales</b></p><p>Following Nvidia&#39;s revised guidance for its fiscal 2023 Q2, I realized that I needed to revise my model of Ethereum-related sales of graphics cards. I had published an article detailing the model in July.</p><p>The problem with the model was that it only accounted for sales into the Ethereum mining pool when the pool was adding capacity, i.e., adding new cards to the pool. It worked fine as long as the pool was still growing.</p><p>However, starting in mid-May, the Ethereum mining pool hash rate, a measure of mining capacity, started to decline, as shown in the following chart from BitInfoCharts:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe36f2d53f47c0d7e5cdf964d09c67fa\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"408\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>BinInfoCharts</span></p><p>This implied that a substantial number of graphics cards were being removed from the pool. If I assumed that these cards were comparable to current generation Nvidia and AMD (AMD) cards, then it was reasonable to assume that every used card sold was a lost new card sale.</p><p>This turned out to account very well for Nvidia&#39;s fiscal Q2 results, if we assume that a normal quarterly revenue in Nvidia&#39;s Gaming segment is about $2.5 billion. During the Fiscal Q2 conference call, Nvidia specifically claimed that this would be their normal average Gaming segment revenue without crypto. In my spreadsheet calculations, it was easy to calculate the used card effect simply by allowing the change in mining pool cards to go negative, with a negative net revenue for the cards:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8223bcd7d3f44c30f5c60970c616fe0f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"393\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Mark Hibben</span></p><p>Note that the revenue impact doesn&#39;t only fall on Nvidia, but the timing of Nvidia&#39;s fiscal Q2 lined up better with the fall in Ethereum mining capacity and likely release of cards into the used card market. AMD will likely feel the impact in its Q3 results.</p><p><b>The impact of the Merge on Nvidia&#39;s sales will be, at best, ugly</b></p><p>The model provides a means of anticipating what happens when the Ethereum hash rate effectively goes to zero, post Merge. And it&#39;s not pretty. In an article on August 21, I gave my subscribers a heads-up concerning the impact of the Merge, and I further revised my model results on September 11.</p><p>If we assume that the entire mining pool consists of newer graphics cards released since September 2020 (RTX 30 series for Nvidia), then Nvidia&#39;s RTX 30 series sales for Q3 are completely wiped out, as shown in the spreadsheet calculations extended to Q3:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c00465fed542c67659f55786fcdf366b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"358\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Mark Hibben</span></p><p>The model deducts the hash rate contribution due to Nvidia Crypto Mining Processors (CMP). These cannot be sold into the used graphics cards market, since they lack display outputs.</p><p>This amounts to assuming that all of the cards used in mining before September 2020 (about when the RTX 30 series launched) were replaced with newer cards. This probably isn&#39;t absolutely correct, and the mining pool has consisted of a mixture of older and newer cards.</p><p>As a lower bound, we can assume that none of the older cards were replaced. These cards would not impact new card sales, since they aren&#39;t comparable to current generation cards. The model can deduct these cards from the calculated revenue impact by simply deducting the pre-September 2020 hash rate of 228.2361 terahash/sec (THASH) for the mining pool:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac0a909d1edae7870adea14e3f987d28\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"351\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Mark Hibben</span></p><p>So the lost revenue impact for Nvidia looks to be in the range of $2-3 billion, and it probably won&#39;t fall all in Q3 but be distributed over several quarters. The effect of the Merge is to effectively zero out Nvidia&#39;s crypto revenue over time. The revenue made during Ethereum&#39;s mining pool expansion is negated by lost revenue post Merge, with the exception of CMP revenue and revenue from older graphics cards that might still have been in the pool at the time of the Merge.</p><p><b>How will the Merge affect Nvidia&#39;s expected RTX 40 series launch?</b></p><p>Nvidia has been expected to announce its GeForce RTX 40 series cards for some time, and Nvidia posted this announcement on its website:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5c5990337b62c49447e21da39a199e14\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"400\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Nvidia</span></p><p>Various tech pundits are claiming that this is the worst time for Nvidia to launch a new generation of gaming graphics cards. One important feature expected of the RTX 40 series is support for PCIE 5.0. This could be important in reducing the impact of the Ethereum Merge.</p><p>The current generation of Nvidia and AMD cards only support PCIE 4.0, the prevailing standard at the time of their introduction in late 2020. PCIE 5.0 will double the communication bandwidth compared to 4.0. It&#39;s not clear how critical that will be to gaming performance, but it should eliminate PCIE as a bottleneck, if it ever was.</p><p>Just as important, new generation CPUs will have to support PCIE 5.0, since the GPU is typically linked directly to the CPU through a built in PCIE 16 lane (x16) interface. This is the preferred architecture for maximum gaming performance, and all modern CPUs provide at least 16 lanes of PCIE for this purpose.</p><p>Intel (INTC) already supports PCIE 5.0 in its latest Alder Lake 12th generation Core series of desktop CPUs. Since Alder Lake launched early this year, there have been no PCIE 5.0 graphics cards to take advantage of the interface, but the current installed base of Alder Lake systems represents a waiting market for the new PCIE 5.0 cards.</p><p>Unfortunately, I don&#39;t have an estimate of Alder Lake sales, so I have no idea what the size of that market might be. Current generation AMD Ryzen 5000 series desktop CPUs only offer PCIE 4.0, but the Ryzen 7000 series has been announced with support for PCIE 5.0, with a launch expected in October. AMD&#39;s next-generation GPUs have only been &#34;teased&#34; but are expected to support PCIE 5.0 as well.</p><p>The performance desktop market (mostly gamers) is moving rapidly to PCIE 5.0, and Nvidia will have, at least for a few months, the only graphics cards that support it. Gamers tend to be early adopters and favor the highest performance technology.</p><p>Since<i>none</i>of the used cards released from the Merge will support PCIE 5.0, this may serve to somewhat isolate the RTX 40 series launch from the impact of the Merge. How much isolation is still unclear.</p><p>Most of the current population of gaming systems will only support PCIE 4.0, so this part of the market would probably not buy RTX 40 series in any case. Most 40 series sales will go into new system builds.</p><p>Certainly, the impact of the Merge will be to weaken sales of the RTX 40 series at launch. However, overall sales in the Gaming segment will probably benefit from the launch. The 40 series launch will give the segment a revenue stream it would not have had otherwise.</p><p><b>Investor takeaways: will Nvidia need to restate guidance for this quarter?</b></p><p>Nvidia guided to revenue of $5.9 billion for fiscal Q3 during the Q2 conference call, and this implies revenue in the gaming segment of about $1 billion. Did Nvidia account for the Merge in their guidance?</p><p>When asked specifically about the impact of the Merge, Nvidia management had no comment, and professed an inability to account for the crypto impact. The guidance was claimed to be due to a retail channel inventory glut.</p><p>If Nvidia really wasn&#39;t accounting for the Merge, then almost certainly it will need to restate guidance for Q3. Probably, the RTX 40 series launch will not be enough to provide the roughly $1 billion in Gaming segment revenue.</p><p>In my Nvidia integrated financial model, I&#39;m assuming a $3 billion hit due to the Merge and another $1 billion due to inventory correction. In the model, this is distributed over the next four quarters from fiscal 2023 Q3 to fiscal 2024 Q2, with Gaming segment sales only starting to recover in fiscal 2024 Q3.</p><p>Despite this, I&#39;m still modeling growth in the all-important Data Center segment. Nvidia&#39;s next-generation data center accelerator, the Hopper H100, is testing out to be very impressive and is in production now with deliveries expected by the end of the calendar year.</p><p>Hopper should ensure continued growth in the Data Center segment, and the advent of Grace, Nvidia&#39;s ARM architecture CPU for the data center, should further enhance growth. Data Center growth largely compensates for revenue declines expected in Gaming for this year and next, according to the model:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8026f845d3af92219bdc2bb1bc67be19\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"458\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Mark Hibben</span></p><p>According to my long-term Discounted Cash Flow model, Nvidia has a fair value of $192. I consider Nvidia&#39;s future to be very bright, despite the impact of crypto in the near term.</p><p>Currently, I have Nvidia rated at Hold, and Nvidia has been a relatively small part of the Rethink Technology portfolio since selling most of my Nvidia shares (at a substantial profit) in April. I&#39;m pretty close to upgrading Nvidia to Buy, but I&#39;m waiting to see if the Merge (and possible guidance restatement) will drive Nvidia&#39;s price even lower.</p><p>Also, I&#39;m waiting to see what Nvidia has to offer in its new 40 series on September 20. Nvidia has consistently set the performance bar in the desktop graphics card market. Most likely, Nvidia is already undervalued.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nvidia: Ethereum Merge Unleashes A Tsunami Of Used Graphics Cards</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNvidia: Ethereum Merge Unleashes A Tsunami Of Used Graphics Cards\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-17 09:28 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4541459-nvidia-ethereum-merge-unleashes-tsunami-of-used-graphics-cards?source=content_type%3Areact%7Csection%3AAll%7Csection_asset%3AAnalysis%7Cfirst_level_url%3Asymbol%7Cbutton%3ATitle%7Clock_status%3ANo%7Cline%3A1><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryEthereum completes its transition to proof-of-stake, ending lucrative and energy-consuming “mining”.Correcting the Ethereum hash rate model to account for used graphics card sales accounts for ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4541459-nvidia-ethereum-merge-unleashes-tsunami-of-used-graphics-cards?source=content_type%3Areact%7Csection%3AAll%7Csection_asset%3AAnalysis%7Cfirst_level_url%3Asymbol%7Cbutton%3ATitle%7Clock_status%3ANo%7Cline%3A1\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4541459-nvidia-ethereum-merge-unleashes-tsunami-of-used-graphics-cards?source=content_type%3Areact%7Csection%3AAll%7Csection_asset%3AAnalysis%7Cfirst_level_url%3Asymbol%7Cbutton%3ATitle%7Clock_status%3ANo%7Cline%3A1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1129633132","content_text":"SummaryEthereum completes its transition to proof-of-stake, ending lucrative and energy-consuming “mining”.Correcting the Ethereum hash rate model to account for used graphics card sales accounts for Nvidia’s fiscal Q2 results.The impact of the Merge on Nvidia’s sales will be, at best, ugly.How will the Merge affect Nvidia’s expected RTX 40 series launch?Investor takeaways: Will Nvidia need to restate guidance for this quarter?vzphotos/iStock Editorial via Getty ImagesThe Ethereum Foundation, which manages the Ether cryptocurrency, has announced completion of what it calls the Merge, whereby validation of new blocks of transactions no longer takes place by \"mining\". The millions of high-end graphics cards that are used for this will no longer beneeded for the new \"proof-of-stake\" approach, so that most of these will likely find their way into the used card market. This will depress demand for new graphics cards just when Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) is set to announce its next-generation GeForce 40 series.Ethereum completes its transition to proof-of-stake, ending lucrative and energy consuming \"mining\"The transition of Ethereum to proof-of-stake was called the Merge because it involved combining the parallel block chain that was already using proof-of-stake experimentally with the main block chain that was using traditional mining, called proof-of-work. This is shown below in this diagram from the Ethereum Foundation:Ethereum.orgMining was really just transaction processing, in which a number of Ethereum transactions would be bundled into a block and encrypted. But the encryption process was made artificially difficult, requiring millions of high end graphics cards in the mining pool to process a block in a reasonable period of time.In the new proof-of-stake approach, the artificial difficulty is removed, so that hardware requirements can be met by almost any computer, ending the need for graphics card processing and the attendant energy consumption. Ethereum claims this will reduce energy consumption by 99.95%.Some miners may go to work on a \"hard fork\" of Ethereum, in effect, a secession of the currency into a new one called EthereumPOW. This currency will continue to use proof-of-work, but it's unclear whether mining this will be profitable.Probably, the vast majority of cards will go on the used card market and be sold on venues such as eBay.Correcting the Ethereum hash rate model to account for used graphics card salesFollowing Nvidia's revised guidance for its fiscal 2023 Q2, I realized that I needed to revise my model of Ethereum-related sales of graphics cards. I had published an article detailing the model in July.The problem with the model was that it only accounted for sales into the Ethereum mining pool when the pool was adding capacity, i.e., adding new cards to the pool. It worked fine as long as the pool was still growing.However, starting in mid-May, the Ethereum mining pool hash rate, a measure of mining capacity, started to decline, as shown in the following chart from BitInfoCharts:BinInfoChartsThis implied that a substantial number of graphics cards were being removed from the pool. If I assumed that these cards were comparable to current generation Nvidia and AMD (AMD) cards, then it was reasonable to assume that every used card sold was a lost new card sale.This turned out to account very well for Nvidia's fiscal Q2 results, if we assume that a normal quarterly revenue in Nvidia's Gaming segment is about $2.5 billion. During the Fiscal Q2 conference call, Nvidia specifically claimed that this would be their normal average Gaming segment revenue without crypto. In my spreadsheet calculations, it was easy to calculate the used card effect simply by allowing the change in mining pool cards to go negative, with a negative net revenue for the cards:Mark HibbenNote that the revenue impact doesn't only fall on Nvidia, but the timing of Nvidia's fiscal Q2 lined up better with the fall in Ethereum mining capacity and likely release of cards into the used card market. AMD will likely feel the impact in its Q3 results.The impact of the Merge on Nvidia's sales will be, at best, uglyThe model provides a means of anticipating what happens when the Ethereum hash rate effectively goes to zero, post Merge. And it's not pretty. In an article on August 21, I gave my subscribers a heads-up concerning the impact of the Merge, and I further revised my model results on September 11.If we assume that the entire mining pool consists of newer graphics cards released since September 2020 (RTX 30 series for Nvidia), then Nvidia's RTX 30 series sales for Q3 are completely wiped out, as shown in the spreadsheet calculations extended to Q3:Mark HibbenThe model deducts the hash rate contribution due to Nvidia Crypto Mining Processors (CMP). These cannot be sold into the used graphics cards market, since they lack display outputs.This amounts to assuming that all of the cards used in mining before September 2020 (about when the RTX 30 series launched) were replaced with newer cards. This probably isn't absolutely correct, and the mining pool has consisted of a mixture of older and newer cards.As a lower bound, we can assume that none of the older cards were replaced. These cards would not impact new card sales, since they aren't comparable to current generation cards. The model can deduct these cards from the calculated revenue impact by simply deducting the pre-September 2020 hash rate of 228.2361 terahash/sec (THASH) for the mining pool:Mark HibbenSo the lost revenue impact for Nvidia looks to be in the range of $2-3 billion, and it probably won't fall all in Q3 but be distributed over several quarters. The effect of the Merge is to effectively zero out Nvidia's crypto revenue over time. The revenue made during Ethereum's mining pool expansion is negated by lost revenue post Merge, with the exception of CMP revenue and revenue from older graphics cards that might still have been in the pool at the time of the Merge.How will the Merge affect Nvidia's expected RTX 40 series launch?Nvidia has been expected to announce its GeForce RTX 40 series cards for some time, and Nvidia posted this announcement on its website:NvidiaVarious tech pundits are claiming that this is the worst time for Nvidia to launch a new generation of gaming graphics cards. One important feature expected of the RTX 40 series is support for PCIE 5.0. This could be important in reducing the impact of the Ethereum Merge.The current generation of Nvidia and AMD cards only support PCIE 4.0, the prevailing standard at the time of their introduction in late 2020. PCIE 5.0 will double the communication bandwidth compared to 4.0. It's not clear how critical that will be to gaming performance, but it should eliminate PCIE as a bottleneck, if it ever was.Just as important, new generation CPUs will have to support PCIE 5.0, since the GPU is typically linked directly to the CPU through a built in PCIE 16 lane (x16) interface. This is the preferred architecture for maximum gaming performance, and all modern CPUs provide at least 16 lanes of PCIE for this purpose.Intel (INTC) already supports PCIE 5.0 in its latest Alder Lake 12th generation Core series of desktop CPUs. Since Alder Lake launched early this year, there have been no PCIE 5.0 graphics cards to take advantage of the interface, but the current installed base of Alder Lake systems represents a waiting market for the new PCIE 5.0 cards.Unfortunately, I don't have an estimate of Alder Lake sales, so I have no idea what the size of that market might be. Current generation AMD Ryzen 5000 series desktop CPUs only offer PCIE 4.0, but the Ryzen 7000 series has been announced with support for PCIE 5.0, with a launch expected in October. AMD's next-generation GPUs have only been \"teased\" but are expected to support PCIE 5.0 as well.The performance desktop market (mostly gamers) is moving rapidly to PCIE 5.0, and Nvidia will have, at least for a few months, the only graphics cards that support it. Gamers tend to be early adopters and favor the highest performance technology.Sincenoneof the used cards released from the Merge will support PCIE 5.0, this may serve to somewhat isolate the RTX 40 series launch from the impact of the Merge. How much isolation is still unclear.Most of the current population of gaming systems will only support PCIE 4.0, so this part of the market would probably not buy RTX 40 series in any case. Most 40 series sales will go into new system builds.Certainly, the impact of the Merge will be to weaken sales of the RTX 40 series at launch. However, overall sales in the Gaming segment will probably benefit from the launch. The 40 series launch will give the segment a revenue stream it would not have had otherwise.Investor takeaways: will Nvidia need to restate guidance for this quarter?Nvidia guided to revenue of $5.9 billion for fiscal Q3 during the Q2 conference call, and this implies revenue in the gaming segment of about $1 billion. Did Nvidia account for the Merge in their guidance?When asked specifically about the impact of the Merge, Nvidia management had no comment, and professed an inability to account for the crypto impact. The guidance was claimed to be due to a retail channel inventory glut.If Nvidia really wasn't accounting for the Merge, then almost certainly it will need to restate guidance for Q3. Probably, the RTX 40 series launch will not be enough to provide the roughly $1 billion in Gaming segment revenue.In my Nvidia integrated financial model, I'm assuming a $3 billion hit due to the Merge and another $1 billion due to inventory correction. In the model, this is distributed over the next four quarters from fiscal 2023 Q3 to fiscal 2024 Q2, with Gaming segment sales only starting to recover in fiscal 2024 Q3.Despite this, I'm still modeling growth in the all-important Data Center segment. Nvidia's next-generation data center accelerator, the Hopper H100, is testing out to be very impressive and is in production now with deliveries expected by the end of the calendar year.Hopper should ensure continued growth in the Data Center segment, and the advent of Grace, Nvidia's ARM architecture CPU for the data center, should further enhance growth. Data Center growth largely compensates for revenue declines expected in Gaming for this year and next, according to the model:Mark HibbenAccording to my long-term Discounted Cash Flow model, Nvidia has a fair value of $192. I consider Nvidia's future to be very bright, despite the impact of crypto in the near term.Currently, I have Nvidia rated at Hold, and Nvidia has been a relatively small part of the Rethink Technology portfolio since selling most of my Nvidia shares (at a substantial profit) in April. I'm pretty close to upgrading Nvidia to Buy, but I'm waiting to see if the Merge (and possible guidance restatement) will drive Nvidia's price even lower.Also, I'm waiting to see what Nvidia has to offer in its new 40 series on September 20. Nvidia has consistently set the performance bar in the desktop graphics card market. Most likely, Nvidia is already undervalued.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":347,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9935803545,"gmtCreate":1663057889088,"gmtModify":1676537193296,"author":{"id":"3573789293829232","authorId":"3573789293829232","name":"btoh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a7c2d714604fc804a48646ee397f912","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573789293829232","authorIdStr":"3573789293829232"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9935803545","repostId":"1193318255","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1193318255","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"1012688067","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1663041425,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1193318255?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-13 11:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Traders See Inflation Falling for Rest of 2022, but That Likely Won’t End Fed Rate Hikes Or Market Volatility","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1193318255","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Inflation to fall to 8.1% in August from an 8.5% yearly rate in July, according to this group of spe","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote>Inflation to fall to 8.1% in August from an 8.5% yearly rate in July, according to this group of specialized traders</blockquote><p>There’s a bit of good and bad news in the run-up to the next major U.S. inflation data on Tuesday, following July’s bigger-than-expected decline in the U.S. consumer-price index which triggered a short-term relief rally among stock investors.</p><p>The corner of financial markets with money on the line in getting the CPI data just right is expecting a continued drop in inflation for August and the rest of the year. Traders of derivatives-like instruments known as fixings now expect August’s annual headline inflation rate to be 8.1%, down from 8.5% in July. They also see the rate gradually declining to 7.7% for September, 6.9% for October, almost 6.4% for November, and 6.1% for December. The problem is that the decline still likely won’t be nearly enough to put an end to continued rate hikes by the Federal Reserve, or the market volatility that accompanies them.</p><p>The reason is that the number that matters almost as much as the annual headline CPI rate is the so-called core reading, which kicks out volatile food and energy prices, said Gang Hu, an inflation trader with New York hedge fund WinShore Capital Partners. By his calculations, headline inflation readings at these levels through year-end imply monthly core readings of 0.3%, or 3.6% on a 12-month basis.</p><p>“There’s been quite a bit of change after the last CPI report, and the market definitely sees readings that are a fair amount lower than where they were before,” Hu said via phone on Monday. “You could have a relief rally in bonds and equities if these numbers are realized, but I don’t think the relief rally is going to stay.”</p><p>“The Fed is going to hike 75 basis points next week, to above 3%. But core inflation is stabilizing around the wrong levels, and if you have inflation at 0.3% for the next three to four months, the job is not done and the Fed will have to keep going,” Hu said via phone. “We don’t know how much further the Fed will have to keep going or when is going to be enough.”</p><p>Hu isn’t alone in his views. Robert Conzo, chief executive and managing director of The Wealth Alliance in Melville, New York, which oversees $1.5 billion, said that while he thinks CPI is on a downward trend, the degree to which that happens and just how sticky inflation may remain is still unknown. Once those trends become more apparent, that will give the Fed a firm direction, he said in an email. And once the central bank’s rate-hike cycle ends is when investors will see the next big recovery in stocks, according to Conzo.</p><p>As of Monday, stock investors appeared to be somewhat optimistic. All three major stock indexes DJIA, +0.71% SPX, +1.06% COMP, +1.27% finished with their fourth straight session of gains, adding to last week’s gains. Treasury yields were mixed, though the policy-sensitive 2-year rate TMUBMUSD02Y, 3.548% was still at its highest level since November 2007.</p><p>Fed funds futures traders were pricing in a 67% chance that the Fed’s main policy rate target will get to between 3.75% and 4% by December, up from a current level of between 2.25% and 2.5%. And fixings traders are expecting an annual headline CPI inflation rate that eventually subsides to around 2.7% next July, but the truth is “the market doesn’t have much idea of what’s going to happen five months from now,” Hu said.</p><p>“The Fed’s concern is less about spot inflation. The big concern is about inflation expectations,” said the WinShore Capital Partners trader. “The Fed has to firmly control inflation expectations so spot inflation doesn’t completely change the view of inflation in society. Retail gas is coming down very quickly, but, on the other side, food and rent prices continue to go up. So the Fed has no choice but to show markets it’s in control of inflation.”</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Traders See Inflation Falling for Rest of 2022, but That Likely Won’t End Fed Rate Hikes Or Market Volatility</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTraders See Inflation Falling for Rest of 2022, but That Likely Won’t End Fed Rate Hikes Or Market Volatility\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1012688067\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-09-13 11:57</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><blockquote>Inflation to fall to 8.1% in August from an 8.5% yearly rate in July, according to this group of specialized traders</blockquote><p>There’s a bit of good and bad news in the run-up to the next major U.S. inflation data on Tuesday, following July’s bigger-than-expected decline in the U.S. consumer-price index which triggered a short-term relief rally among stock investors.</p><p>The corner of financial markets with money on the line in getting the CPI data just right is expecting a continued drop in inflation for August and the rest of the year. Traders of derivatives-like instruments known as fixings now expect August’s annual headline inflation rate to be 8.1%, down from 8.5% in July. They also see the rate gradually declining to 7.7% for September, 6.9% for October, almost 6.4% for November, and 6.1% for December. The problem is that the decline still likely won’t be nearly enough to put an end to continued rate hikes by the Federal Reserve, or the market volatility that accompanies them.</p><p>The reason is that the number that matters almost as much as the annual headline CPI rate is the so-called core reading, which kicks out volatile food and energy prices, said Gang Hu, an inflation trader with New York hedge fund WinShore Capital Partners. By his calculations, headline inflation readings at these levels through year-end imply monthly core readings of 0.3%, or 3.6% on a 12-month basis.</p><p>“There’s been quite a bit of change after the last CPI report, and the market definitely sees readings that are a fair amount lower than where they were before,” Hu said via phone on Monday. “You could have a relief rally in bonds and equities if these numbers are realized, but I don’t think the relief rally is going to stay.”</p><p>“The Fed is going to hike 75 basis points next week, to above 3%. But core inflation is stabilizing around the wrong levels, and if you have inflation at 0.3% for the next three to four months, the job is not done and the Fed will have to keep going,” Hu said via phone. “We don’t know how much further the Fed will have to keep going or when is going to be enough.”</p><p>Hu isn’t alone in his views. Robert Conzo, chief executive and managing director of The Wealth Alliance in Melville, New York, which oversees $1.5 billion, said that while he thinks CPI is on a downward trend, the degree to which that happens and just how sticky inflation may remain is still unknown. Once those trends become more apparent, that will give the Fed a firm direction, he said in an email. And once the central bank’s rate-hike cycle ends is when investors will see the next big recovery in stocks, according to Conzo.</p><p>As of Monday, stock investors appeared to be somewhat optimistic. All three major stock indexes DJIA, +0.71% SPX, +1.06% COMP, +1.27% finished with their fourth straight session of gains, adding to last week’s gains. Treasury yields were mixed, though the policy-sensitive 2-year rate TMUBMUSD02Y, 3.548% was still at its highest level since November 2007.</p><p>Fed funds futures traders were pricing in a 67% chance that the Fed’s main policy rate target will get to between 3.75% and 4% by December, up from a current level of between 2.25% and 2.5%. And fixings traders are expecting an annual headline CPI inflation rate that eventually subsides to around 2.7% next July, but the truth is “the market doesn’t have much idea of what’s going to happen five months from now,” Hu said.</p><p>“The Fed’s concern is less about spot inflation. The big concern is about inflation expectations,” said the WinShore Capital Partners trader. “The Fed has to firmly control inflation expectations so spot inflation doesn’t completely change the view of inflation in society. Retail gas is coming down very quickly, but, on the other side, food and rent prices continue to go up. So the Fed has no choice but to show markets it’s in control of inflation.”</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1193318255","content_text":"Inflation to fall to 8.1% in August from an 8.5% yearly rate in July, according to this group of specialized tradersThere’s a bit of good and bad news in the run-up to the next major U.S. inflation data on Tuesday, following July’s bigger-than-expected decline in the U.S. consumer-price index which triggered a short-term relief rally among stock investors.The corner of financial markets with money on the line in getting the CPI data just right is expecting a continued drop in inflation for August and the rest of the year. Traders of derivatives-like instruments known as fixings now expect August’s annual headline inflation rate to be 8.1%, down from 8.5% in July. They also see the rate gradually declining to 7.7% for September, 6.9% for October, almost 6.4% for November, and 6.1% for December. The problem is that the decline still likely won’t be nearly enough to put an end to continued rate hikes by the Federal Reserve, or the market volatility that accompanies them.The reason is that the number that matters almost as much as the annual headline CPI rate is the so-called core reading, which kicks out volatile food and energy prices, said Gang Hu, an inflation trader with New York hedge fund WinShore Capital Partners. By his calculations, headline inflation readings at these levels through year-end imply monthly core readings of 0.3%, or 3.6% on a 12-month basis.“There’s been quite a bit of change after the last CPI report, and the market definitely sees readings that are a fair amount lower than where they were before,” Hu said via phone on Monday. “You could have a relief rally in bonds and equities if these numbers are realized, but I don’t think the relief rally is going to stay.”“The Fed is going to hike 75 basis points next week, to above 3%. But core inflation is stabilizing around the wrong levels, and if you have inflation at 0.3% for the next three to four months, the job is not done and the Fed will have to keep going,” Hu said via phone. “We don’t know how much further the Fed will have to keep going or when is going to be enough.”Hu isn’t alone in his views. Robert Conzo, chief executive and managing director of The Wealth Alliance in Melville, New York, which oversees $1.5 billion, said that while he thinks CPI is on a downward trend, the degree to which that happens and just how sticky inflation may remain is still unknown. Once those trends become more apparent, that will give the Fed a firm direction, he said in an email. And once the central bank’s rate-hike cycle ends is when investors will see the next big recovery in stocks, according to Conzo.As of Monday, stock investors appeared to be somewhat optimistic. All three major stock indexes DJIA, +0.71% SPX, +1.06% COMP, +1.27% finished with their fourth straight session of gains, adding to last week’s gains. Treasury yields were mixed, though the policy-sensitive 2-year rate TMUBMUSD02Y, 3.548% was still at its highest level since November 2007.Fed funds futures traders were pricing in a 67% chance that the Fed’s main policy rate target will get to between 3.75% and 4% by December, up from a current level of between 2.25% and 2.5%. And fixings traders are expecting an annual headline CPI inflation rate that eventually subsides to around 2.7% next July, but the truth is “the market doesn’t have much idea of what’s going to happen five months from now,” Hu said.“The Fed’s concern is less about spot inflation. The big concern is about inflation expectations,” said the WinShore Capital Partners trader. “The Fed has to firmly control inflation expectations so spot inflation doesn’t completely change the view of inflation in society. Retail gas is coming down very quickly, but, on the other side, food and rent prices continue to go up. So the Fed has no choice but to show markets it’s in control of inflation.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":476,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9932314340,"gmtCreate":1662873690180,"gmtModify":1676537155965,"author":{"id":"3573789293829232","authorId":"3573789293829232","name":"btoh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a7c2d714604fc804a48646ee397f912","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573789293829232","authorIdStr":"3573789293829232"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9932314340","repostId":"2266817381","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2266817381","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1662861434,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2266817381?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-11 09:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"How a CEO Rescued a Big Bet on Big Oil; \"There Were a Lot of Doubters\"","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2266817381","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Occidental Petroleum Corp. entered the thick of the pandemic among the worst prepared of its U.S. oi","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be5cb2e717152d9e61504d0803ac3654\" tg-width=\"1278\" tg-height=\"1278\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Occidental Petroleum Corp. entered the thick of the pandemic among the worst prepared of its U.S. oil-and-gas peers. Struggling with debt from an ill-timed $38 billion deal, Chief ExecutiveVicki Hollubwas fending off activist investorCarl Icahn, who controlled two board seats.</p><p>Two years later, the company has emerged as the top performer in the S&amp;P 500, and Ms. Hollub has traded Mr. Icahn, who sold all of his Occidental shares in March, for Warren Buffett, whoseBerkshire Hathaway Inc. now owns more than 20% of the company.</p><p>It was touch and go for a time. Months before the pandemic took hold, she implemented widespread layoffs. To stave off bankruptcy after oil prices collapsed in 2020, she slashed spending and nearly eliminated Occidental’s once-sacrosanct dividend—“the biggest and toughest decision that I made and I’ve ever made in my career,” she said in an interview.</p><p>Her 2019 acquisition of rival Anadarko Petroleum Corp., which Mr. Icahn called a “disaster,” has given Occidental the dominant position in the largest U.S. shale-oil field, the Permian Basin. Lifted by climbing oil prices, Occidental generated a record $4.35 billion in free cash flow and $3.7 billion in profit in the second quarter. It has cut its debt to $22 billion from nearly $36 billion a year ago.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/61847881fba325e1dc5c7ed3280e29db\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Oil-and-gas producers have reported banner profits this year, even as a global energy crisis sparked by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has threatened to derail European industries, left the U.K. facing its worst economic crisis since the 1970s and forced the Netherlands, Germany and India to rely heavily on coal to make up for a dearth of natural gas.</p><p>But Ms. Hollub, the first woman to be CEO of a major U.S. oil company, says she doesn’t feel vindicated. “I just feel relief,” she said. “There were a lot of doubters.”</p><p>Mr. Buffett has publicly lauded Ms. Hollub’s leadership. After she detailed the company’s future plans for analysts in February, Mr. Buffett told his own shareholders, “What Vicki Hollub was saying made nothing but sense.” Last month, Berkshire received regulatory approval to buy up to 50% of the oil company’s shares, spurring speculation it might seek to purchase all of Occidental.</p><p>Mr. Buffett declined to comment for this story. Ms. Hollub said she has “tremendous respect” for Mr. Buffett, adding that “he will be very beneficial for us as we go forward.” She declined to discuss the possibility of Berkshire purchasing the entire company.</p><p>Some former investors remain skeptical, saying a spike in oil prices has rescued the company, not Ms. Hollub.</p><p>“I have nothing personal against Vicki,” Mr. Icahn said in an interview. “However, that will never change my mind that she should not have made a bet-the-company investment by way of overpaying for Anadarko.”</p><p>A University of Alabama graduate, Ms. Hollub joined Occidental in 1982 and soon found herself running operations in Russia and Venezuela. She almost got laid off in 2003, butTodd Stevens, an executive at the company who had followed her rise, arranged for her to lead a team evaluating acreage in Colorado, said Mr. Stevens, who has since left.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf58d7d767a23cfb352e019504bafa44\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Equipment used to process carbon dioxide, crude oil and water at an Occidental Petroleum project in Hobbs, N.M.PHOTO:ERNEST SCHEYDER/REUTERS</span></p><p>Ms. Hollub became known as a hard worker, once spending three weeks straightening out operations at a new gas field’s first well, said Donnie Enns, a former geophysicist who worked under her. “Nobody worked harder than Vicki,” he said. She also found time to run an office March Madness basketball pool.</p><p>After being named CEO of the company in 2016, Ms. Hollub departed from her predecessor’s preference for low-risk, “bolt-on” transactions. A little over a year into the job, she started courting Anadarko, an oil producer of comparable size, for a deal.</p><p>She outflanked largerChevronCorp. in a bidding war that riveted the oil patch, offering $5 billion more than her rival for Anadarko and its prized assets in the epicenter of U.S. shale production. Yet victory came at a steep cost.</p><p>Some of Occidental’s largest shareholders decried the deal—especially a pricey loan from Mr. Buffett in the form of $10 billion in preferred stock paying 8% annually in dividends, or $800 million. Ms. Hollub negotiated the funding at the eleventh hour after meeting with the financier in Omaha, Neb. Mr. Icahn, who first bought stock as the Anadarko bidding war came to a close, wrote to Occidental shareholders that “Buffett figuratively took her to the cleaners.”</p><p>Ms. Hollub acknowledged the deal damaged the company’s standing with some investors. “I was never offended at the fact that our shareholders were skeptical,” she said.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58cf5cd81991220ec1f42821cee2554b\" tg-width=\"639\" tg-height=\"959\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Vicki Hollub said she never doubted the wisdom of the Anadarko acquisition.PHOTO:ANGELA OWENS/THE WALL STREET JOURNAL</span></p><p>But she said she never doubted the wisdom of the acquisition, even after it sparked an investor revolt that created an opportunity for Mr. Icahn.</p><p>Central to Ms. Hollub’s strategy was building on Occidental’s already-large position in the oil-rich Permian of West Texas and New Mexico. She believed purchasing and drilling a huge swath of new acreage, much of it near the company’s existing assets, would give Occidental economies of scale and allow it to outperform Permian rivals. Occidental, she said, was one of the most technologically advanced drillers in the field; it would turn Anadarko’s undeveloped assets into oil-gushing wells.</p><p>By the end of 2019, the oil producer said it was making progress on its merger goals. It had divested itself of more than $6 billion in assets, including stakes in a liquefied natural gas export project in Mozambique and in a Houston-based pipeline company. Occidental recorded single-day and monthly production records in the Permian and other oil fields. Occidental announced its 182nd consecutive quarterly dividend, which Ms. Hollub noted at the time that “few other companies can claim.”</p><p>Ms. Hollub believed the merger was on track, but investors remained skeptical. From the time of Occidental’s counteroffer for Anadarko in April 2019 to February 2020 Occidental’s stock fell around 35%. Then the global pandemic took hold.</p><p>As billions of people around the world began to lock down, demand for oil plummeted. In the spring, oil prices reached historic lows, briefly turning negative for the first time ever as traders paid counterparties to take oil off their hands. Falling demand for their product hammered oil-and-gas companies, forcing dozens into bankruptcy.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9090db9eab1ac4c91bd5b1b441d26206\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Gasoline prices sank in April 2020 after the global pandemic caused oil prices to drop below zero.PHOTO:FREDERIC J. BROWN/AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE/GETTY IMAGES</span></p><p>Every day, Ms. Hollub would drive to Occidental’s Houston offices in her red Jeep Wrangler, said Glenn Vangolen, a former senior vice president at Occidental and close adviser to the CEO. Mondays and Fridays, she and her lieutenants would mask up and gather in a conference room to discuss operations. Her office was spartan—a mostly bare room, except for a TV playing business news on mute, and a plush stuffed version of a costumed elephant, the Alabama Crimson Tide’s mascot, Mr. Vangolen said.</p><p>Occidental was in a worse situation than many of its peers: At the end of 2019, its long-term debt of about $39 billion was equivalent to roughly four times its earnings, excluding interest, taxes and other accounting items, quadruple the ratio from a year earlier, S&amp;P Capital IQ data show. The divestitures it had planned on to pay it down were no longer viable as assets were losing value.</p><p>Ms. Hollub said that Occidental made a lot of the difficult decisions before the pandemic to mitigate the downside risks of the Anadarko acquisition, including hedging a portion of its oil production and bumping its line of credit to $5 billion. But the company still faced painful months ahead as it had barely enough cash on hand to meet debt maturities coming due in 2021 and was later forced to hire restructuring advisers.</p><p>Ms. Hollub moved to cut her executives’ salaries—including her own by 81%—offer employees voluntary buy-outs, slash expenses in the oil patch and cancel employee perks. She also cut the dividend, which rankled investors.</p><p>Mr. Icahn amplified his calls for Ms. Hollub’s ouster and said he would seek to replace the entire board of directors at the company’s annual meeting. As the oil producer’s stock plunged to under $10 from around $45 before the pandemic, Mr. Icahn—facing paper losses of about $1 billion—doubled down on his shares, boosting his stake to roughly 10% from about 2%.</p><p>After a price war between Russia and Saudi Arabia caused oil prices to plunge below $25 a barrel in March, Occidental reached a settlement with Mr. Icahn. The deal gave board seats to two of his deputies and added another director, required Occidental to create an oversight committee that must be informed of any offers to acquire the company or its assets, and replaced the board chairman withStephen Chazen, Ms. Hollub’s predecessor as CEO.</p><p>Mr. Icahn’s camp pushed for Occidental to give its shareholders warrants that could allow them to buy discounted shares in the future. After he prevailed, Mr. Icahn received roughly 11 million warrants initially and bought more when they were worth around $3.</p><p>Mr. Vangolen said Mr. Icahn’s demand for warrants was part of the investor’s “raider playbook,” which he described as “trying to extract as much cash out of the business as you can before you bail.”</p><p>Mr. Icahn said that all the shareholders who rode the stock down deserved something for their loyalty.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3af2c050a88b00dd9846de958b65be1b\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>A crude oil pump jack in the Permian Basin in Loving County, Texas.PHOTO:ANGUS MORDANT/REUTERS</span></p><p>As the pandemic dragged on, Occidental logged a roughly $14.8 billion loss for 2020, its largest on record, according to S&amp;P Capital IQ data. Still, it continued to whittle down its mammoth debt, closing around $2.5 billion in asset sales at the end of 2020. Anadarko’s assets, meanwhile, were starting to shine, with production in the Permian reaching the high end of company estimates.</p><p>Even as Ms. Hollub wrestled with Mr. Icahn, she was building a relationship with Mr. Buffett.</p><p>In 2020, she traveled to Omaha to discuss Occidental&#39;s long-term strategy with Mr. Buffett, according to a person familiar with the meeting. The investor expressed a strong interest in the company&#39;s goal to become a leader in carbon capture, this person said.</p><p>Occidental says it has no plans to stop producing oil but also aims to be a leader in &#34;carbon management.&#34; It wants to develop 70 plants by 2035 to suck carbon dioxide out of the air, store it in the ground and sell carbon credits to businesses seeking to offset their own emissions -- a technology still in its commercial infancy that received a boost thanks to tax credits included in the climate package President Biden signed into law last month. The company also plans to use the gas to squeeze more oil from underground.</p><p>Then, in late February of this year, Russia invaded Ukraine.</p><p>The war propelled oil prices to their highest level in years, with Brent crude oil topping $120 in March, translating into a windfall for oil companies. In the first quarter of the year, Occidental made roughly $4.9 billion in profit, its highest quarterly earnings on record, according to S&amp;P Capital IQ.</p><p>The company now holds the most acreage across the Permian, with leases covering about 2.8 million net acres, according to data firm Enverus. Its domestic oil output in the second quarter of this year was up roughly 80% compared with before it acquired Anadarko, Occidental reported.</p><p>As Occidental&#39;s stock rose above $50 a share in March, Mr. Icahn sold his common stake. The investor&#39;s two representatives on Occidental&#39;s board also resigned, as was required by the settlement agreement. Mr. Icahn made over $1.5 billion on his investment and still holds some warrants, according to public filings and people familiar with the matter.</p><p>As Mr. Icahn got out of the stock, Mr. Buffett bought in. In May, Berkshire reported it had purchased roughly $8 billion worth of shares.</p><p>Mr. Icahn said that Mr. Buffett&#39;s investment could be ill-timed. &#34;I respect Buffett a lot but I think buying this stock at this level is obviously not like buying warrants at $3,&#34; he said. &#34;I made a great deal of money on my investment in Occidental, especially with the warrants, and activism worked in that regard,&#34; he said.</p><p>Ms. Hollub and Mr. Buffett have developed a personal relationship and the two talk periodically, said Mr. Vangolen. Ms. Hollub said in an interview she had no personal relationship with Mr. Icahn when he was an investor, and that he turned out not to be the kind of long-term shareholder the company prizes.</p><p>Mr. Icahn&#39;s retort: &#34;She came very close to not being a long-term shareholder also, because her ill-timed investment put the company on the brink of bankruptcy.&#34;</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>How a CEO Rescued a Big Bet on Big Oil; \"There Were a Lot of Doubters\"</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHow a CEO Rescued a Big Bet on Big Oil; \"There Were a Lot of Doubters\"\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-09-11 09:57</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be5cb2e717152d9e61504d0803ac3654\" tg-width=\"1278\" tg-height=\"1278\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Occidental Petroleum Corp. entered the thick of the pandemic among the worst prepared of its U.S. oil-and-gas peers. Struggling with debt from an ill-timed $38 billion deal, Chief ExecutiveVicki Hollubwas fending off activist investorCarl Icahn, who controlled two board seats.</p><p>Two years later, the company has emerged as the top performer in the S&amp;P 500, and Ms. Hollub has traded Mr. Icahn, who sold all of his Occidental shares in March, for Warren Buffett, whoseBerkshire Hathaway Inc. now owns more than 20% of the company.</p><p>It was touch and go for a time. Months before the pandemic took hold, she implemented widespread layoffs. To stave off bankruptcy after oil prices collapsed in 2020, she slashed spending and nearly eliminated Occidental’s once-sacrosanct dividend—“the biggest and toughest decision that I made and I’ve ever made in my career,” she said in an interview.</p><p>Her 2019 acquisition of rival Anadarko Petroleum Corp., which Mr. Icahn called a “disaster,” has given Occidental the dominant position in the largest U.S. shale-oil field, the Permian Basin. Lifted by climbing oil prices, Occidental generated a record $4.35 billion in free cash flow and $3.7 billion in profit in the second quarter. It has cut its debt to $22 billion from nearly $36 billion a year ago.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/61847881fba325e1dc5c7ed3280e29db\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Oil-and-gas producers have reported banner profits this year, even as a global energy crisis sparked by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has threatened to derail European industries, left the U.K. facing its worst economic crisis since the 1970s and forced the Netherlands, Germany and India to rely heavily on coal to make up for a dearth of natural gas.</p><p>But Ms. Hollub, the first woman to be CEO of a major U.S. oil company, says she doesn’t feel vindicated. “I just feel relief,” she said. “There were a lot of doubters.”</p><p>Mr. Buffett has publicly lauded Ms. Hollub’s leadership. After she detailed the company’s future plans for analysts in February, Mr. Buffett told his own shareholders, “What Vicki Hollub was saying made nothing but sense.” Last month, Berkshire received regulatory approval to buy up to 50% of the oil company’s shares, spurring speculation it might seek to purchase all of Occidental.</p><p>Mr. Buffett declined to comment for this story. Ms. Hollub said she has “tremendous respect” for Mr. Buffett, adding that “he will be very beneficial for us as we go forward.” She declined to discuss the possibility of Berkshire purchasing the entire company.</p><p>Some former investors remain skeptical, saying a spike in oil prices has rescued the company, not Ms. Hollub.</p><p>“I have nothing personal against Vicki,” Mr. Icahn said in an interview. “However, that will never change my mind that she should not have made a bet-the-company investment by way of overpaying for Anadarko.”</p><p>A University of Alabama graduate, Ms. Hollub joined Occidental in 1982 and soon found herself running operations in Russia and Venezuela. She almost got laid off in 2003, butTodd Stevens, an executive at the company who had followed her rise, arranged for her to lead a team evaluating acreage in Colorado, said Mr. Stevens, who has since left.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf58d7d767a23cfb352e019504bafa44\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Equipment used to process carbon dioxide, crude oil and water at an Occidental Petroleum project in Hobbs, N.M.PHOTO:ERNEST SCHEYDER/REUTERS</span></p><p>Ms. Hollub became known as a hard worker, once spending three weeks straightening out operations at a new gas field’s first well, said Donnie Enns, a former geophysicist who worked under her. “Nobody worked harder than Vicki,” he said. She also found time to run an office March Madness basketball pool.</p><p>After being named CEO of the company in 2016, Ms. Hollub departed from her predecessor’s preference for low-risk, “bolt-on” transactions. A little over a year into the job, she started courting Anadarko, an oil producer of comparable size, for a deal.</p><p>She outflanked largerChevronCorp. in a bidding war that riveted the oil patch, offering $5 billion more than her rival for Anadarko and its prized assets in the epicenter of U.S. shale production. Yet victory came at a steep cost.</p><p>Some of Occidental’s largest shareholders decried the deal—especially a pricey loan from Mr. Buffett in the form of $10 billion in preferred stock paying 8% annually in dividends, or $800 million. Ms. Hollub negotiated the funding at the eleventh hour after meeting with the financier in Omaha, Neb. Mr. Icahn, who first bought stock as the Anadarko bidding war came to a close, wrote to Occidental shareholders that “Buffett figuratively took her to the cleaners.”</p><p>Ms. Hollub acknowledged the deal damaged the company’s standing with some investors. “I was never offended at the fact that our shareholders were skeptical,” she said.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58cf5cd81991220ec1f42821cee2554b\" tg-width=\"639\" tg-height=\"959\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Vicki Hollub said she never doubted the wisdom of the Anadarko acquisition.PHOTO:ANGELA OWENS/THE WALL STREET JOURNAL</span></p><p>But she said she never doubted the wisdom of the acquisition, even after it sparked an investor revolt that created an opportunity for Mr. Icahn.</p><p>Central to Ms. Hollub’s strategy was building on Occidental’s already-large position in the oil-rich Permian of West Texas and New Mexico. She believed purchasing and drilling a huge swath of new acreage, much of it near the company’s existing assets, would give Occidental economies of scale and allow it to outperform Permian rivals. Occidental, she said, was one of the most technologically advanced drillers in the field; it would turn Anadarko’s undeveloped assets into oil-gushing wells.</p><p>By the end of 2019, the oil producer said it was making progress on its merger goals. It had divested itself of more than $6 billion in assets, including stakes in a liquefied natural gas export project in Mozambique and in a Houston-based pipeline company. Occidental recorded single-day and monthly production records in the Permian and other oil fields. Occidental announced its 182nd consecutive quarterly dividend, which Ms. Hollub noted at the time that “few other companies can claim.”</p><p>Ms. Hollub believed the merger was on track, but investors remained skeptical. From the time of Occidental’s counteroffer for Anadarko in April 2019 to February 2020 Occidental’s stock fell around 35%. Then the global pandemic took hold.</p><p>As billions of people around the world began to lock down, demand for oil plummeted. In the spring, oil prices reached historic lows, briefly turning negative for the first time ever as traders paid counterparties to take oil off their hands. Falling demand for their product hammered oil-and-gas companies, forcing dozens into bankruptcy.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9090db9eab1ac4c91bd5b1b441d26206\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Gasoline prices sank in April 2020 after the global pandemic caused oil prices to drop below zero.PHOTO:FREDERIC J. BROWN/AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE/GETTY IMAGES</span></p><p>Every day, Ms. Hollub would drive to Occidental’s Houston offices in her red Jeep Wrangler, said Glenn Vangolen, a former senior vice president at Occidental and close adviser to the CEO. Mondays and Fridays, she and her lieutenants would mask up and gather in a conference room to discuss operations. Her office was spartan—a mostly bare room, except for a TV playing business news on mute, and a plush stuffed version of a costumed elephant, the Alabama Crimson Tide’s mascot, Mr. Vangolen said.</p><p>Occidental was in a worse situation than many of its peers: At the end of 2019, its long-term debt of about $39 billion was equivalent to roughly four times its earnings, excluding interest, taxes and other accounting items, quadruple the ratio from a year earlier, S&amp;P Capital IQ data show. The divestitures it had planned on to pay it down were no longer viable as assets were losing value.</p><p>Ms. Hollub said that Occidental made a lot of the difficult decisions before the pandemic to mitigate the downside risks of the Anadarko acquisition, including hedging a portion of its oil production and bumping its line of credit to $5 billion. But the company still faced painful months ahead as it had barely enough cash on hand to meet debt maturities coming due in 2021 and was later forced to hire restructuring advisers.</p><p>Ms. Hollub moved to cut her executives’ salaries—including her own by 81%—offer employees voluntary buy-outs, slash expenses in the oil patch and cancel employee perks. She also cut the dividend, which rankled investors.</p><p>Mr. Icahn amplified his calls for Ms. Hollub’s ouster and said he would seek to replace the entire board of directors at the company’s annual meeting. As the oil producer’s stock plunged to under $10 from around $45 before the pandemic, Mr. Icahn—facing paper losses of about $1 billion—doubled down on his shares, boosting his stake to roughly 10% from about 2%.</p><p>After a price war between Russia and Saudi Arabia caused oil prices to plunge below $25 a barrel in March, Occidental reached a settlement with Mr. Icahn. The deal gave board seats to two of his deputies and added another director, required Occidental to create an oversight committee that must be informed of any offers to acquire the company or its assets, and replaced the board chairman withStephen Chazen, Ms. Hollub’s predecessor as CEO.</p><p>Mr. Icahn’s camp pushed for Occidental to give its shareholders warrants that could allow them to buy discounted shares in the future. After he prevailed, Mr. Icahn received roughly 11 million warrants initially and bought more when they were worth around $3.</p><p>Mr. Vangolen said Mr. Icahn’s demand for warrants was part of the investor’s “raider playbook,” which he described as “trying to extract as much cash out of the business as you can before you bail.”</p><p>Mr. Icahn said that all the shareholders who rode the stock down deserved something for their loyalty.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3af2c050a88b00dd9846de958b65be1b\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>A crude oil pump jack in the Permian Basin in Loving County, Texas.PHOTO:ANGUS MORDANT/REUTERS</span></p><p>As the pandemic dragged on, Occidental logged a roughly $14.8 billion loss for 2020, its largest on record, according to S&amp;P Capital IQ data. Still, it continued to whittle down its mammoth debt, closing around $2.5 billion in asset sales at the end of 2020. Anadarko’s assets, meanwhile, were starting to shine, with production in the Permian reaching the high end of company estimates.</p><p>Even as Ms. Hollub wrestled with Mr. Icahn, she was building a relationship with Mr. Buffett.</p><p>In 2020, she traveled to Omaha to discuss Occidental&#39;s long-term strategy with Mr. Buffett, according to a person familiar with the meeting. The investor expressed a strong interest in the company&#39;s goal to become a leader in carbon capture, this person said.</p><p>Occidental says it has no plans to stop producing oil but also aims to be a leader in &#34;carbon management.&#34; It wants to develop 70 plants by 2035 to suck carbon dioxide out of the air, store it in the ground and sell carbon credits to businesses seeking to offset their own emissions -- a technology still in its commercial infancy that received a boost thanks to tax credits included in the climate package President Biden signed into law last month. The company also plans to use the gas to squeeze more oil from underground.</p><p>Then, in late February of this year, Russia invaded Ukraine.</p><p>The war propelled oil prices to their highest level in years, with Brent crude oil topping $120 in March, translating into a windfall for oil companies. In the first quarter of the year, Occidental made roughly $4.9 billion in profit, its highest quarterly earnings on record, according to S&amp;P Capital IQ.</p><p>The company now holds the most acreage across the Permian, with leases covering about 2.8 million net acres, according to data firm Enverus. Its domestic oil output in the second quarter of this year was up roughly 80% compared with before it acquired Anadarko, Occidental reported.</p><p>As Occidental&#39;s stock rose above $50 a share in March, Mr. Icahn sold his common stake. The investor&#39;s two representatives on Occidental&#39;s board also resigned, as was required by the settlement agreement. Mr. Icahn made over $1.5 billion on his investment and still holds some warrants, according to public filings and people familiar with the matter.</p><p>As Mr. Icahn got out of the stock, Mr. Buffett bought in. In May, Berkshire reported it had purchased roughly $8 billion worth of shares.</p><p>Mr. Icahn said that Mr. Buffett&#39;s investment could be ill-timed. &#34;I respect Buffett a lot but I think buying this stock at this level is obviously not like buying warrants at $3,&#34; he said. &#34;I made a great deal of money on my investment in Occidental, especially with the warrants, and activism worked in that regard,&#34; he said.</p><p>Ms. Hollub and Mr. Buffett have developed a personal relationship and the two talk periodically, said Mr. Vangolen. Ms. Hollub said in an interview she had no personal relationship with Mr. Icahn when he was an investor, and that he turned out not to be the kind of long-term shareholder the company prizes.</p><p>Mr. Icahn&#39;s retort: &#34;She came very close to not being a long-term shareholder also, because her ill-timed investment put the company on the brink of bankruptcy.&#34;</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4201":"综合性石油与天然气企业","BRK.A":"伯克希尔","BRK.B":"伯克希尔B","BK4176":"多领域控股","OXY":"西方石油","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4581":"高盛持仓"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2266817381","content_text":"Occidental Petroleum Corp. entered the thick of the pandemic among the worst prepared of its U.S. oil-and-gas peers. Struggling with debt from an ill-timed $38 billion deal, Chief ExecutiveVicki Hollubwas fending off activist investorCarl Icahn, who controlled two board seats.Two years later, the company has emerged as the top performer in the S&P 500, and Ms. Hollub has traded Mr. Icahn, who sold all of his Occidental shares in March, for Warren Buffett, whoseBerkshire Hathaway Inc. now owns more than 20% of the company.It was touch and go for a time. Months before the pandemic took hold, she implemented widespread layoffs. To stave off bankruptcy after oil prices collapsed in 2020, she slashed spending and nearly eliminated Occidental’s once-sacrosanct dividend—“the biggest and toughest decision that I made and I’ve ever made in my career,” she said in an interview.Her 2019 acquisition of rival Anadarko Petroleum Corp., which Mr. Icahn called a “disaster,” has given Occidental the dominant position in the largest U.S. shale-oil field, the Permian Basin. Lifted by climbing oil prices, Occidental generated a record $4.35 billion in free cash flow and $3.7 billion in profit in the second quarter. It has cut its debt to $22 billion from nearly $36 billion a year ago.Oil-and-gas producers have reported banner profits this year, even as a global energy crisis sparked by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has threatened to derail European industries, left the U.K. facing its worst economic crisis since the 1970s and forced the Netherlands, Germany and India to rely heavily on coal to make up for a dearth of natural gas.But Ms. Hollub, the first woman to be CEO of a major U.S. oil company, says she doesn’t feel vindicated. “I just feel relief,” she said. “There were a lot of doubters.”Mr. Buffett has publicly lauded Ms. Hollub’s leadership. After she detailed the company’s future plans for analysts in February, Mr. Buffett told his own shareholders, “What Vicki Hollub was saying made nothing but sense.” Last month, Berkshire received regulatory approval to buy up to 50% of the oil company’s shares, spurring speculation it might seek to purchase all of Occidental.Mr. Buffett declined to comment for this story. Ms. Hollub said she has “tremendous respect” for Mr. Buffett, adding that “he will be very beneficial for us as we go forward.” She declined to discuss the possibility of Berkshire purchasing the entire company.Some former investors remain skeptical, saying a spike in oil prices has rescued the company, not Ms. Hollub.“I have nothing personal against Vicki,” Mr. Icahn said in an interview. “However, that will never change my mind that she should not have made a bet-the-company investment by way of overpaying for Anadarko.”A University of Alabama graduate, Ms. Hollub joined Occidental in 1982 and soon found herself running operations in Russia and Venezuela. She almost got laid off in 2003, butTodd Stevens, an executive at the company who had followed her rise, arranged for her to lead a team evaluating acreage in Colorado, said Mr. Stevens, who has since left.Equipment used to process carbon dioxide, crude oil and water at an Occidental Petroleum project in Hobbs, N.M.PHOTO:ERNEST SCHEYDER/REUTERSMs. Hollub became known as a hard worker, once spending three weeks straightening out operations at a new gas field’s first well, said Donnie Enns, a former geophysicist who worked under her. “Nobody worked harder than Vicki,” he said. She also found time to run an office March Madness basketball pool.After being named CEO of the company in 2016, Ms. Hollub departed from her predecessor’s preference for low-risk, “bolt-on” transactions. A little over a year into the job, she started courting Anadarko, an oil producer of comparable size, for a deal.She outflanked largerChevronCorp. in a bidding war that riveted the oil patch, offering $5 billion more than her rival for Anadarko and its prized assets in the epicenter of U.S. shale production. Yet victory came at a steep cost.Some of Occidental’s largest shareholders decried the deal—especially a pricey loan from Mr. Buffett in the form of $10 billion in preferred stock paying 8% annually in dividends, or $800 million. Ms. Hollub negotiated the funding at the eleventh hour after meeting with the financier in Omaha, Neb. Mr. Icahn, who first bought stock as the Anadarko bidding war came to a close, wrote to Occidental shareholders that “Buffett figuratively took her to the cleaners.”Ms. Hollub acknowledged the deal damaged the company’s standing with some investors. “I was never offended at the fact that our shareholders were skeptical,” she said.Vicki Hollub said she never doubted the wisdom of the Anadarko acquisition.PHOTO:ANGELA OWENS/THE WALL STREET JOURNALBut she said she never doubted the wisdom of the acquisition, even after it sparked an investor revolt that created an opportunity for Mr. Icahn.Central to Ms. Hollub’s strategy was building on Occidental’s already-large position in the oil-rich Permian of West Texas and New Mexico. She believed purchasing and drilling a huge swath of new acreage, much of it near the company’s existing assets, would give Occidental economies of scale and allow it to outperform Permian rivals. Occidental, she said, was one of the most technologically advanced drillers in the field; it would turn Anadarko’s undeveloped assets into oil-gushing wells.By the end of 2019, the oil producer said it was making progress on its merger goals. It had divested itself of more than $6 billion in assets, including stakes in a liquefied natural gas export project in Mozambique and in a Houston-based pipeline company. Occidental recorded single-day and monthly production records in the Permian and other oil fields. Occidental announced its 182nd consecutive quarterly dividend, which Ms. Hollub noted at the time that “few other companies can claim.”Ms. Hollub believed the merger was on track, but investors remained skeptical. From the time of Occidental’s counteroffer for Anadarko in April 2019 to February 2020 Occidental’s stock fell around 35%. Then the global pandemic took hold.As billions of people around the world began to lock down, demand for oil plummeted. In the spring, oil prices reached historic lows, briefly turning negative for the first time ever as traders paid counterparties to take oil off their hands. Falling demand for their product hammered oil-and-gas companies, forcing dozens into bankruptcy.Gasoline prices sank in April 2020 after the global pandemic caused oil prices to drop below zero.PHOTO:FREDERIC J. BROWN/AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE/GETTY IMAGESEvery day, Ms. Hollub would drive to Occidental’s Houston offices in her red Jeep Wrangler, said Glenn Vangolen, a former senior vice president at Occidental and close adviser to the CEO. Mondays and Fridays, she and her lieutenants would mask up and gather in a conference room to discuss operations. Her office was spartan—a mostly bare room, except for a TV playing business news on mute, and a plush stuffed version of a costumed elephant, the Alabama Crimson Tide’s mascot, Mr. Vangolen said.Occidental was in a worse situation than many of its peers: At the end of 2019, its long-term debt of about $39 billion was equivalent to roughly four times its earnings, excluding interest, taxes and other accounting items, quadruple the ratio from a year earlier, S&P Capital IQ data show. The divestitures it had planned on to pay it down were no longer viable as assets were losing value.Ms. Hollub said that Occidental made a lot of the difficult decisions before the pandemic to mitigate the downside risks of the Anadarko acquisition, including hedging a portion of its oil production and bumping its line of credit to $5 billion. But the company still faced painful months ahead as it had barely enough cash on hand to meet debt maturities coming due in 2021 and was later forced to hire restructuring advisers.Ms. Hollub moved to cut her executives’ salaries—including her own by 81%—offer employees voluntary buy-outs, slash expenses in the oil patch and cancel employee perks. She also cut the dividend, which rankled investors.Mr. Icahn amplified his calls for Ms. Hollub’s ouster and said he would seek to replace the entire board of directors at the company’s annual meeting. As the oil producer’s stock plunged to under $10 from around $45 before the pandemic, Mr. Icahn—facing paper losses of about $1 billion—doubled down on his shares, boosting his stake to roughly 10% from about 2%.After a price war between Russia and Saudi Arabia caused oil prices to plunge below $25 a barrel in March, Occidental reached a settlement with Mr. Icahn. The deal gave board seats to two of his deputies and added another director, required Occidental to create an oversight committee that must be informed of any offers to acquire the company or its assets, and replaced the board chairman withStephen Chazen, Ms. Hollub’s predecessor as CEO.Mr. Icahn’s camp pushed for Occidental to give its shareholders warrants that could allow them to buy discounted shares in the future. After he prevailed, Mr. Icahn received roughly 11 million warrants initially and bought more when they were worth around $3.Mr. Vangolen said Mr. Icahn’s demand for warrants was part of the investor’s “raider playbook,” which he described as “trying to extract as much cash out of the business as you can before you bail.”Mr. Icahn said that all the shareholders who rode the stock down deserved something for their loyalty.A crude oil pump jack in the Permian Basin in Loving County, Texas.PHOTO:ANGUS MORDANT/REUTERSAs the pandemic dragged on, Occidental logged a roughly $14.8 billion loss for 2020, its largest on record, according to S&P Capital IQ data. Still, it continued to whittle down its mammoth debt, closing around $2.5 billion in asset sales at the end of 2020. Anadarko’s assets, meanwhile, were starting to shine, with production in the Permian reaching the high end of company estimates.Even as Ms. Hollub wrestled with Mr. Icahn, she was building a relationship with Mr. Buffett.In 2020, she traveled to Omaha to discuss Occidental's long-term strategy with Mr. Buffett, according to a person familiar with the meeting. The investor expressed a strong interest in the company's goal to become a leader in carbon capture, this person said.Occidental says it has no plans to stop producing oil but also aims to be a leader in \"carbon management.\" It wants to develop 70 plants by 2035 to suck carbon dioxide out of the air, store it in the ground and sell carbon credits to businesses seeking to offset their own emissions -- a technology still in its commercial infancy that received a boost thanks to tax credits included in the climate package President Biden signed into law last month. The company also plans to use the gas to squeeze more oil from underground.Then, in late February of this year, Russia invaded Ukraine.The war propelled oil prices to their highest level in years, with Brent crude oil topping $120 in March, translating into a windfall for oil companies. In the first quarter of the year, Occidental made roughly $4.9 billion in profit, its highest quarterly earnings on record, according to S&P Capital IQ.The company now holds the most acreage across the Permian, with leases covering about 2.8 million net acres, according to data firm Enverus. Its domestic oil output in the second quarter of this year was up roughly 80% compared with before it acquired Anadarko, Occidental reported.As Occidental's stock rose above $50 a share in March, Mr. Icahn sold his common stake. The investor's two representatives on Occidental's board also resigned, as was required by the settlement agreement. Mr. Icahn made over $1.5 billion on his investment and still holds some warrants, according to public filings and people familiar with the matter.As Mr. Icahn got out of the stock, Mr. Buffett bought in. In May, Berkshire reported it had purchased roughly $8 billion worth of shares.Mr. Icahn said that Mr. Buffett's investment could be ill-timed. \"I respect Buffett a lot but I think buying this stock at this level is obviously not like buying warrants at $3,\" he said. \"I made a great deal of money on my investment in Occidental, especially with the warrants, and activism worked in that regard,\" he said.Ms. Hollub and Mr. Buffett have developed a personal relationship and the two talk periodically, said Mr. Vangolen. Ms. Hollub said in an interview she had no personal relationship with Mr. Icahn when he was an investor, and that he turned out not to be the kind of long-term shareholder the company prizes.Mr. Icahn's retort: \"She came very close to not being a long-term shareholder also, because her ill-timed investment put the company on the brink of bankruptcy.\"","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":237,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9936882796,"gmtCreate":1662742006015,"gmtModify":1676537131823,"author":{"id":"3573789293829232","authorId":"3573789293829232","name":"btoh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a7c2d714604fc804a48646ee397f912","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573789293829232","authorIdStr":"3573789293829232"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9936882796","repostId":"1112372995","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":351,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9938243250,"gmtCreate":1662620512270,"gmtModify":1676537102958,"author":{"id":"3573789293829232","authorId":"3573789293829232","name":"btoh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a7c2d714604fc804a48646ee397f912","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573789293829232","authorIdStr":"3573789293829232"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9938243250","repostId":"2265005862","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2265005862","pubTimestamp":1662606707,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2265005862?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-08 11:11","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Microsoft: Why I Traded It In For Apple And Google","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2265005862","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryI sold my Microsoft stock last year at around $320.Initially, I re-invested the money in bank","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>I sold my Microsoft stock last year at around $320.</li><li>Initially, I re-invested the money in bank stocks, but when the NASDAQ crashed, I started putting it into Apple and Google.</li><li>Microsoft still has better growth than Apple, but its whole story depends on one segment (the cloud).</li><li>Microsoft&#39;s non-cloud segments aren&#39;t growing very fast.</li><li>Because they have multiple growing segments instead of one, I consider Apple and Google better than Microsoft.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/29fb06be709bd703cbad09d8693a3db6\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"791\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Dimitrios Kambouris/Getty Images Entertainment</span></p><p><b>Microsoft</b> (NASDAQ:MSFT) is a stock that I held through the 2020/2021 NASDAQ rally and managed to sell before it came crashing down. I bought it after reading about the company&#39;s success with Azure-the second fastest growing of the big tech cloud services. <b>Alphabet&#39;s</b> (GOOG) Google Cloud was growing faster than Microsoft&#39;s Azure at the time (54% vs. 42%), but Azure was profitable while Google Cloud wasn&#39;t. So I figured that MSFT was the safer cloud bet.</p><p>When I bought MSFT, I was pretty much betting on Azure. When researching the stock, I discovered that its revenue growth in non-cloud businesses was slow, and that its valuation was expensive. Today, Microsoft only trades at 26.5 times earnings, but it was above 30 around the time I sold it. It has a sky-high 11.4 price-to-book ratio to this day.</p><p>Around the end of 2021 I knew that the Federal Reserve was planning on hiking interest rates, so I sold the two most expensive stocks in my portfolio: MSFT and <b>Adobe</b> (ADBE). The timing on those sales was pretty good because I booked gains on both (33% on MSFT and 20% on ADBE), while limiting my exposure to the tech bear market. Shortly after these sales, I wrote the article &#34;The Tech Stock Crash Will Likely Get Worse,&#34; which explained my reasons for being bearish on tech stocks. After the article published, the NASDAQ-100 fell a further 28%.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a19f7b4044c0b5ef16645e84b3bfd206\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"923\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>NASDAQ trading after I predicted a tech crash (Google Finance)</span></p><p>Initially, I invested the proceeds I got from selling Microsoft into classic value plays: banks and energy stocks. I figured that rising interest rates would help banks earn more money while the economic recovery from COVID-19 would boost energy stocks. I was only half right about the first part (rising interest rates helped retail banks but not investment banks), I was 100% correct about the second part. At any rate, I booked some small profits on energy stocks and didn&#39;t buy anything new for a while after that.</p><p>Later, though, I started thinking about getting into tech stocks again. After watching the NASDAQ-100 tumble, I noticed that valuations were getting cheap. In particular, I noticed that Google had gone all the way down to 20 times earnings, despite still having double digit revenue growth, while Apple was gaining market share in China. Apple was on the pricey side at that point, but not as much as Microsoft (it traded at around 24 times earnings). So, I added some GOOGL and AAPL-the former stock has fallen about as much as Microsoft, the latter has given me a gain.</p><p>None of this is to say that I&#39;m actively bearish on Microsoft. I still hold the <b>Invesco QQQ Trust</b> (QQQ), which has a high level of MSFT exposure. However, factoring in price, competitive dynamics, and growth, I find Google and Apple to be better bets. In the ensuing paragraphs, I&#39;ll explain why I think that way.</p><p><b>Competitive Landscape</b></p><p>One area where Google and Apple both have an edge over Microsoft is competitive dynamics. Google and Apple both have wide moats, Microsoft&#39;s position relative to competitors is less robust.</p><p>First, we can look at Google&#39;s moat. It&#39;s the #1 online ad platform in the world, with 26.4% of the market. In second place after Google is <b>Meta Platforms</b> (META), which has gained at Google&#39;s expense over the last decade, but is experiencing issues this year due to Apple&#39;s privacy changes and competition from TikTok. We can expect Google&#39;s moat to persist, because it benefitted from the very same Apple policy changes that hurt Meta, proving it has a resilient model competitors can&#39;t touch.</p><p>Next, we can look at Apple&#39;s moat. This stems from its brand (the most valuable in the world), which helps it retain customers, and its interconnected ecosystem, which encourages customers to buy multiple products. Apple has a huge fan community on YouTube, which helps it sell products without extra ad spend. As a result, Apple is #1 or #2 across multiple product categories, including:</p><ul><li><p>Smartphones- #2 after <b>Samsung</b> (OTCPK:SSNLF).</p></li><li><p>Smartphone operating systems- #1 by revenue, #2 byuser count.</p></li><li><p>Tablets- #1.</p></li><li><p>Smart watches- #1.</p></li><li><p>Computer operating systems - #2 after Windows.</p></li></ul><p>So we can see that Google and Apple both have high market share. Additionally, they have factors that can lead us to infer continued high market share-brand loyalty in Apple&#39;s case, a resilient ad platform in Google&#39;s case.</p><p>As for Microsoft?</p><p>It has some of the advantages that Apple and Google have, but not to the same extent. It controls Windows, the most popular computer operating system, but that product category has plateaued. It no longer has a meaningful presence in smartphones, as it failed in that market. In cloud services, it is #2 after Amazon. Finally, in gaming, it&#39;s second in hardware sales to <b>Sony&#39;s</b> (SONY) PlayStation 5, and owns the popular Minecraft IP. Microsoft has a pretty good competitive position, but it is not the #1 player in any growth sectors the way Apple and Google are.</p><p><b>Comparative Valuation</b></p><p>Having looked at Microsoft&#39;s competitive position, we can now turn to its valuation. MSFT remains a pretty expensive stock well into the 2022 bear market, and it may continue to be expensive for a while. To illustrate this fact, we can compare Microsoft&#39;s earnings multiples with those of Apple and Google.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/67e868df6fdac980f7adad3c07e00ed8\" tg-width=\"938\" tg-height=\"328\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>As you can see, Apple is pretty similar to Microsoft, while Google is far cheaper. Valuation favors Google, it does not favor Apple, but recall the previous section on the competitive landscape: Apple&#39;s high brand loyalty makes it a very reliable company. It is not under any threat of margin compression due to new competitors entering the market, Microsoft arguably is.</p><p>As for Microsoft&#39;s valuation in a discounted cash flow model: it&#39;s hard to forecast the cash flows of a company with as many moving pieces as MSFT. However, if we start with the last 12 months&#39; $8.69 in free cash flow per share, and assume that it grows at the 10-year CAGR rate of 7.7%, we get to $12.59 in FCF per share after five years. Using a 3.25% discount rate (the current treasury yield), and assuming that growth falls to zero after five years, we get a present value of $379. That&#39;s a significant amount of upside, but remember that DCF models are very sensitive to inputs. Change the discount rate to 8% and suddenly the fair value falls to $150, which is severe downside. If you run this same model swapping out Microsoft&#39;s free cash flow for Google&#39;s, you get a fair value of $215, which implies 2X upside. Google also ends up worth less than today&#39;s price if you raise the discount rate to 8%, but the amount of downside (about 20%) is less.</p><p><b>Microsoft&#39;s Earnings</b></p><p>As I showed above, Microsoft has a steeper valuation than other tech companies you can compare it to. However, it has some advantages that other tech companies don&#39;t have. For example, it&#39;s still growing. In its most recent quarter, MSFT managed to achieve positive top and bottom line growth, posting the following results:</p><ul><li><p>Revenue: $51.9 billion, up 12%.</p></li><li><p>Operating income: $20.5 billion, up 14%.</p></li><li><p>Net income: $16.7 billion, up 2%.</p></li><li><p>Diluted EPS: $2.23, up 3%.</p></li></ul><p>Like many companies in the same period, Microsoft achieved solid revenue growth in Q2; however, unlike those other companies, it also had positive earnings growth. For a tech company to still be growing in 2022 after the Fed&#39;s many rate hikes and Apple&#39;s privacy changes is impressive. However, note that:</p><ul><li><p>Google&#39;s Q2 top line growth was higher than Microsoft&#39;s, at 13%.</p></li><li><p>Apple is doing a major product launch today that could boost its sales.</p></li></ul><p>Certainly, Microsoft is a good company. But when you look at Google&#39;s wider moat and Apple&#39;s potential catalyst, both of these stocks look like better opportunities.</p><p><b>Risks and Challenges</b></p><p>As I&#39;ve shown in this article, Microsoft is a good stock, but perhaps not the best in the tech sector. I personally think Apple and Google are more appealing. However, there are risks and challenges facing any investor who chooses to overweight Google and Apple at the expense of Microsoft, including:</p><ul><li><p><b>Concentration risk.</b> All investors are exposed to two types of risk: market risk and specific risk. Market risk is the risk inherent in the whole market, specific risk is the risk in any one stock. The more you diversify, the less your specific risk. A broadly diversified portfolio with thousands of stocks reduces your specific risk to near zero. When you increase your specific risk by holding a lower number of stocks, your total portfolio is said to have &#39;concentration risk.&#39; If you&#39;re considering investing in just tech stocks, a full &#39;FAANG&#39; portfolio that includes MSFT, AAPL, GOOGL and the rest of the NASDAQ-100 will have less concentration risk than a pure Apple/Google portfolio. It would still be exposed to market risk, but its overall risk would be lower than holding just Apple and Google.</p></li><li><p><b>A slowdown in consumer spending.</b> Despite the current economic contraction, consumer spending is still rising modestly. In this environment, there are plenty of people buying Apple products, and patronizing companies that advertise on Google. If we enter a full fledged recession, though, that will likely change. As economic activity dips, people start to worry about being laid off-they often cut their spending as a result. Should something like that happen, an enterprise-focused company like MSFT might fare better than Google and Apple, which are heavily invested in the consumer.</p></li></ul><p>The risks above are worth keeping in mind. If they concern you, then Invesco&#39;s QQQ ETF might suit you better than a concentrated Apple/Google bet. Nevertheless, it&#39;s hard not to notice that Google and Apple enjoy competitive advantages over Microsoft. That reason alone is enough for me to weight the former two stocks higher than the latter.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Microsoft: Why I Traded It In For Apple And Google</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMicrosoft: Why I Traded It In For Apple And Google\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-08 11:11 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4539353-microsoft-stock-why-i-traded-for-apple-and-google><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryI sold my Microsoft stock last year at around $320.Initially, I re-invested the money in bank stocks, but when the NASDAQ crashed, I started putting it into Apple and Google.Microsoft still has...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4539353-microsoft-stock-why-i-traded-for-apple-and-google\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果","GOOG":"谷歌","MSFT":"微软","GOOGL":"谷歌A"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4539353-microsoft-stock-why-i-traded-for-apple-and-google","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2265005862","content_text":"SummaryI sold my Microsoft stock last year at around $320.Initially, I re-invested the money in bank stocks, but when the NASDAQ crashed, I started putting it into Apple and Google.Microsoft still has better growth than Apple, but its whole story depends on one segment (the cloud).Microsoft's non-cloud segments aren't growing very fast.Because they have multiple growing segments instead of one, I consider Apple and Google better than Microsoft.Dimitrios Kambouris/Getty Images EntertainmentMicrosoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) is a stock that I held through the 2020/2021 NASDAQ rally and managed to sell before it came crashing down. I bought it after reading about the company's success with Azure-the second fastest growing of the big tech cloud services. Alphabet's (GOOG) Google Cloud was growing faster than Microsoft's Azure at the time (54% vs. 42%), but Azure was profitable while Google Cloud wasn't. So I figured that MSFT was the safer cloud bet.When I bought MSFT, I was pretty much betting on Azure. When researching the stock, I discovered that its revenue growth in non-cloud businesses was slow, and that its valuation was expensive. Today, Microsoft only trades at 26.5 times earnings, but it was above 30 around the time I sold it. It has a sky-high 11.4 price-to-book ratio to this day.Around the end of 2021 I knew that the Federal Reserve was planning on hiking interest rates, so I sold the two most expensive stocks in my portfolio: MSFT and Adobe (ADBE). The timing on those sales was pretty good because I booked gains on both (33% on MSFT and 20% on ADBE), while limiting my exposure to the tech bear market. Shortly after these sales, I wrote the article \"The Tech Stock Crash Will Likely Get Worse,\" which explained my reasons for being bearish on tech stocks. After the article published, the NASDAQ-100 fell a further 28%.NASDAQ trading after I predicted a tech crash (Google Finance)Initially, I invested the proceeds I got from selling Microsoft into classic value plays: banks and energy stocks. I figured that rising interest rates would help banks earn more money while the economic recovery from COVID-19 would boost energy stocks. I was only half right about the first part (rising interest rates helped retail banks but not investment banks), I was 100% correct about the second part. At any rate, I booked some small profits on energy stocks and didn't buy anything new for a while after that.Later, though, I started thinking about getting into tech stocks again. After watching the NASDAQ-100 tumble, I noticed that valuations were getting cheap. In particular, I noticed that Google had gone all the way down to 20 times earnings, despite still having double digit revenue growth, while Apple was gaining market share in China. Apple was on the pricey side at that point, but not as much as Microsoft (it traded at around 24 times earnings). So, I added some GOOGL and AAPL-the former stock has fallen about as much as Microsoft, the latter has given me a gain.None of this is to say that I'm actively bearish on Microsoft. I still hold the Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ), which has a high level of MSFT exposure. However, factoring in price, competitive dynamics, and growth, I find Google and Apple to be better bets. In the ensuing paragraphs, I'll explain why I think that way.Competitive LandscapeOne area where Google and Apple both have an edge over Microsoft is competitive dynamics. Google and Apple both have wide moats, Microsoft's position relative to competitors is less robust.First, we can look at Google's moat. It's the #1 online ad platform in the world, with 26.4% of the market. In second place after Google is Meta Platforms (META), which has gained at Google's expense over the last decade, but is experiencing issues this year due to Apple's privacy changes and competition from TikTok. We can expect Google's moat to persist, because it benefitted from the very same Apple policy changes that hurt Meta, proving it has a resilient model competitors can't touch.Next, we can look at Apple's moat. This stems from its brand (the most valuable in the world), which helps it retain customers, and its interconnected ecosystem, which encourages customers to buy multiple products. Apple has a huge fan community on YouTube, which helps it sell products without extra ad spend. As a result, Apple is #1 or #2 across multiple product categories, including:Smartphones- #2 after Samsung (OTCPK:SSNLF).Smartphone operating systems- #1 by revenue, #2 byuser count.Tablets- #1.Smart watches- #1.Computer operating systems - #2 after Windows.So we can see that Google and Apple both have high market share. Additionally, they have factors that can lead us to infer continued high market share-brand loyalty in Apple's case, a resilient ad platform in Google's case.As for Microsoft?It has some of the advantages that Apple and Google have, but not to the same extent. It controls Windows, the most popular computer operating system, but that product category has plateaued. It no longer has a meaningful presence in smartphones, as it failed in that market. In cloud services, it is #2 after Amazon. Finally, in gaming, it's second in hardware sales to Sony's (SONY) PlayStation 5, and owns the popular Minecraft IP. Microsoft has a pretty good competitive position, but it is not the #1 player in any growth sectors the way Apple and Google are.Comparative ValuationHaving looked at Microsoft's competitive position, we can now turn to its valuation. MSFT remains a pretty expensive stock well into the 2022 bear market, and it may continue to be expensive for a while. To illustrate this fact, we can compare Microsoft's earnings multiples with those of Apple and Google.As you can see, Apple is pretty similar to Microsoft, while Google is far cheaper. Valuation favors Google, it does not favor Apple, but recall the previous section on the competitive landscape: Apple's high brand loyalty makes it a very reliable company. It is not under any threat of margin compression due to new competitors entering the market, Microsoft arguably is.As for Microsoft's valuation in a discounted cash flow model: it's hard to forecast the cash flows of a company with as many moving pieces as MSFT. However, if we start with the last 12 months' $8.69 in free cash flow per share, and assume that it grows at the 10-year CAGR rate of 7.7%, we get to $12.59 in FCF per share after five years. Using a 3.25% discount rate (the current treasury yield), and assuming that growth falls to zero after five years, we get a present value of $379. That's a significant amount of upside, but remember that DCF models are very sensitive to inputs. Change the discount rate to 8% and suddenly the fair value falls to $150, which is severe downside. If you run this same model swapping out Microsoft's free cash flow for Google's, you get a fair value of $215, which implies 2X upside. Google also ends up worth less than today's price if you raise the discount rate to 8%, but the amount of downside (about 20%) is less.Microsoft's EarningsAs I showed above, Microsoft has a steeper valuation than other tech companies you can compare it to. However, it has some advantages that other tech companies don't have. For example, it's still growing. In its most recent quarter, MSFT managed to achieve positive top and bottom line growth, posting the following results:Revenue: $51.9 billion, up 12%.Operating income: $20.5 billion, up 14%.Net income: $16.7 billion, up 2%.Diluted EPS: $2.23, up 3%.Like many companies in the same period, Microsoft achieved solid revenue growth in Q2; however, unlike those other companies, it also had positive earnings growth. For a tech company to still be growing in 2022 after the Fed's many rate hikes and Apple's privacy changes is impressive. However, note that:Google's Q2 top line growth was higher than Microsoft's, at 13%.Apple is doing a major product launch today that could boost its sales.Certainly, Microsoft is a good company. But when you look at Google's wider moat and Apple's potential catalyst, both of these stocks look like better opportunities.Risks and ChallengesAs I've shown in this article, Microsoft is a good stock, but perhaps not the best in the tech sector. I personally think Apple and Google are more appealing. However, there are risks and challenges facing any investor who chooses to overweight Google and Apple at the expense of Microsoft, including:Concentration risk. All investors are exposed to two types of risk: market risk and specific risk. Market risk is the risk inherent in the whole market, specific risk is the risk in any one stock. The more you diversify, the less your specific risk. A broadly diversified portfolio with thousands of stocks reduces your specific risk to near zero. When you increase your specific risk by holding a lower number of stocks, your total portfolio is said to have 'concentration risk.' If you're considering investing in just tech stocks, a full 'FAANG' portfolio that includes MSFT, AAPL, GOOGL and the rest of the NASDAQ-100 will have less concentration risk than a pure Apple/Google portfolio. It would still be exposed to market risk, but its overall risk would be lower than holding just Apple and Google.A slowdown in consumer spending. Despite the current economic contraction, consumer spending is still rising modestly. In this environment, there are plenty of people buying Apple products, and patronizing companies that advertise on Google. If we enter a full fledged recession, though, that will likely change. As economic activity dips, people start to worry about being laid off-they often cut their spending as a result. Should something like that happen, an enterprise-focused company like MSFT might fare better than Google and Apple, which are heavily invested in the consumer.The risks above are worth keeping in mind. If they concern you, then Invesco's QQQ ETF might suit you better than a concentrated Apple/Google bet. Nevertheless, it's hard not to notice that Google and Apple enjoy competitive advantages over Microsoft. That reason alone is enough for me to weight the former two stocks higher than the latter.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":238,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9931591244,"gmtCreate":1662476012788,"gmtModify":1676537069112,"author":{"id":"3573789293829232","authorId":"3573789293829232","name":"btoh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a7c2d714604fc804a48646ee397f912","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573789293829232","authorIdStr":"3573789293829232"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9931591244","repostId":"1187467674","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1187467674","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1662475351,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1187467674?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-06 22:42","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Crypto Stocks Slid in Morning Trading, With Canaan Falling Over 4% and SOS Falling Over 3%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1187467674","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Crypto stocks slid in morning trading, with Canaan falling over 4% and SOS falling over 3%.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Crypto stocks slid in morning trading, with Canaan falling over 4% and SOS falling over 3%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bb82222037c9ca79da10df951751ddc8\" tg-width=\"262\" tg-height=\"326\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Crypto Stocks Slid in Morning Trading, With Canaan Falling Over 4% and SOS Falling Over 3%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCrypto Stocks Slid in Morning Trading, With Canaan Falling Over 4% and SOS Falling Over 3%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-09-06 22:42</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Crypto stocks slid in morning trading, with Canaan falling over 4% and SOS falling over 3%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bb82222037c9ca79da10df951751ddc8\" tg-width=\"262\" tg-height=\"326\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CAN":"嘉楠科技","SOS":"SOS Limited"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1187467674","content_text":"Crypto stocks slid in morning trading, with Canaan falling over 4% and SOS falling over 3%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":545,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9931033468,"gmtCreate":1662355890254,"gmtModify":1676537044435,"author":{"id":"3573789293829232","authorId":"3573789293829232","name":"btoh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a7c2d714604fc804a48646ee397f912","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573789293829232","authorIdStr":"3573789293829232"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9931033468","repostId":"2265749449","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2265749449","pubTimestamp":1662332817,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2265749449?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-05 07:06","market":"us","language":"en","title":"GameStop, Apple, Kroger, NIO, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2265749449","media":"Barron's","summary":"U.S. stock and bond markets will be closed on Monday for Labor Day. It's a quiet week on the earning","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. stock and bond markets will be closed on Monday for Labor Day. It&#39;s a quiet week on the earnings calendar once investors return from the long weekend, but a few major economic-data releases should grab plenty of attention.</p><p>Results this week will come from GameStop and NIO on Wednesday, DocuSign and Zscaler on Thursday, and Kroger on Friday. Apple will also host a product launch event on Wednesday, when it is expected to unveil a new lineup of iPhones and Apple Watches.</p><p>Economic data releases next week include the Institute for Supply Management&#39;s Services Purchasing Managers&#39; Index for August on Tuesday. The consensus estimate is for the index to decline by about three points, to 54.</p><p>Other data for investors and economists to watch next week will be the Federal Reserve&#39;s sixth beige book of the year on Wednesday and the Department of Labor&#39;s initial jobless claims for the latest week on Thursday.</p><p>The European Central Bank also announces a monetary-policy decision on Thursday. Futures markets are pricing in the greatest odds of a 75-basis-point hike, which would bring ECB&#39;s benchmark interest-rate target to 0.75%.</p><p><b>Monday 9/5</b></p><p>Equity and fixed-income markets are closed in observance of Labor Day.</p><p><b>Tuesday 9/6</b></p><p>The Institute for Supply Management releases its Services Purchasing Managers&#39; Index for August. Consensus estimate is for a 54 reading, about three points lower than in July. The index is well off its record high of 68.4 from November, but still above the expansionary level of 50.</p><p><b>Wednesday 9/7</b></p><p>Appleholds a launch event, titled &#34;Far Out,&#34; at its headquarters in Cupertino, Calif. The company is expected to unveil four new iPhone 14 models and three new Apple Watches, along with other products.</p><p>GameStop and NIO report quarterly results.</p><p>The Federal Reserve releases the beige book for the sixth of eight times this year. The report summarizes current economic conditions with anecdotal data collected by the 12 regional Federal Reserve banks.</p><p>The Mortgage Bankers Association releases its mortgage application survey for the week ending on Sept. 2. Mortgage applications have dropped for three consecutive weeks and are at a multidecade low amid record-high home prices and surging mortgage rates.</p><p><b>Thursday 9/8</b></p><p>DocuSign and Zscaler hold conference calls to discuss quarterly earnings.</p><p>Moderna hosts a research and development day, with presentations from its executive leadership, including CEO Stéphane Bancel.</p><p>The European Central Bank announces its monetary-policy decision. Traders are pricing in a 60% chance of a jumbo-size 75-basis-point hike, which would bring ECB&#39;s deposit facility rate to 0.75%. At its last meeting, in July, the central bank lifted its key interest rate by half a percentage point, from negative 0.5% to zero. It has been just over a decade since the deposit facility rate was last above zero.</p><p>The Department of Labor reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on Sept. 3. Claims averaged 241,500 in August, and have risen steadily this year from historically low levels.</p><p><b>Friday 9/9</b></p><p>Kroger reports second-quarter fiscal-2023 results.</p><p>Tapestry, the parent company of fashion brands Coach and Kate Spade, holds an investor day at its headquarters in New York. The company will discuss its long-term strategic initiatives and update its financial outlook.</p><p>The Federal Reserve releases the Financial Accounts of the United States for the second quarter. The report gives a snapshot of the nation&#39;s household net worth and debt. In the first quarter, household net worth fell by $544 billion, to $149.3 trillion. It was the first decline since the first quarter of 2020. With the S&amp;P 500 index plunging more than 16% in the second quarter, it&#39;s very likely that the report will show another decrease.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>GameStop, Apple, Kroger, NIO, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGameStop, Apple, Kroger, NIO, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-05 07:06 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/gamestop-apple-kroger-nio-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51662318000?mod=hp_LATEST><strong>Barron's</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>U.S. stock and bond markets will be closed on Monday for Labor Day. It's a quiet week on the earnings calendar once investors return from the long weekend, but a few major economic-data releases ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/gamestop-apple-kroger-nio-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51662318000?mod=hp_LATEST\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯","NIO":"蔚来","GME":"游戏驿站",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","ZS":"Zscaler Inc.",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","AAPL":"苹果","KR":"克罗格","DOCU":"Docusign"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/gamestop-apple-kroger-nio-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51662318000?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2265749449","content_text":"U.S. stock and bond markets will be closed on Monday for Labor Day. It's a quiet week on the earnings calendar once investors return from the long weekend, but a few major economic-data releases should grab plenty of attention.Results this week will come from GameStop and NIO on Wednesday, DocuSign and Zscaler on Thursday, and Kroger on Friday. Apple will also host a product launch event on Wednesday, when it is expected to unveil a new lineup of iPhones and Apple Watches.Economic data releases next week include the Institute for Supply Management's Services Purchasing Managers' Index for August on Tuesday. The consensus estimate is for the index to decline by about three points, to 54.Other data for investors and economists to watch next week will be the Federal Reserve's sixth beige book of the year on Wednesday and the Department of Labor's initial jobless claims for the latest week on Thursday.The European Central Bank also announces a monetary-policy decision on Thursday. Futures markets are pricing in the greatest odds of a 75-basis-point hike, which would bring ECB's benchmark interest-rate target to 0.75%.Monday 9/5Equity and fixed-income markets are closed in observance of Labor Day.Tuesday 9/6The Institute for Supply Management releases its Services Purchasing Managers' Index for August. Consensus estimate is for a 54 reading, about three points lower than in July. The index is well off its record high of 68.4 from November, but still above the expansionary level of 50.Wednesday 9/7Appleholds a launch event, titled \"Far Out,\" at its headquarters in Cupertino, Calif. The company is expected to unveil four new iPhone 14 models and three new Apple Watches, along with other products.GameStop and NIO report quarterly results.The Federal Reserve releases the beige book for the sixth of eight times this year. The report summarizes current economic conditions with anecdotal data collected by the 12 regional Federal Reserve banks.The Mortgage Bankers Association releases its mortgage application survey for the week ending on Sept. 2. Mortgage applications have dropped for three consecutive weeks and are at a multidecade low amid record-high home prices and surging mortgage rates.Thursday 9/8DocuSign and Zscaler hold conference calls to discuss quarterly earnings.Moderna hosts a research and development day, with presentations from its executive leadership, including CEO Stéphane Bancel.The European Central Bank announces its monetary-policy decision. Traders are pricing in a 60% chance of a jumbo-size 75-basis-point hike, which would bring ECB's deposit facility rate to 0.75%. At its last meeting, in July, the central bank lifted its key interest rate by half a percentage point, from negative 0.5% to zero. It has been just over a decade since the deposit facility rate was last above zero.The Department of Labor reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on Sept. 3. Claims averaged 241,500 in August, and have risen steadily this year from historically low levels.Friday 9/9Kroger reports second-quarter fiscal-2023 results.Tapestry, the parent company of fashion brands Coach and Kate Spade, holds an investor day at its headquarters in New York. The company will discuss its long-term strategic initiatives and update its financial outlook.The Federal Reserve releases the Financial Accounts of the United States for the second quarter. The report gives a snapshot of the nation's household net worth and debt. In the first quarter, household net worth fell by $544 billion, to $149.3 trillion. It was the first decline since the first quarter of 2020. With the S&P 500 index plunging more than 16% in the second quarter, it's very likely that the report will show another decrease.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":568,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9933844586,"gmtCreate":1662264069545,"gmtModify":1676537027699,"author":{"id":"3573789293829232","authorId":"3573789293829232","name":"btoh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a7c2d714604fc804a48646ee397f912","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573789293829232","authorIdStr":"3573789293829232"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9933844586","repostId":"1114052367","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":226,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9997266013,"gmtCreate":1661816899034,"gmtModify":1676536582992,"author":{"id":"3573789293829232","authorId":"3573789293829232","name":"btoh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a7c2d714604fc804a48646ee397f912","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573789293829232","authorIdStr":"3573789293829232"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9997266013","repostId":"2263109101","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2263109101","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1661814937,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2263109101?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-30 07:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Stocks Headed for More Pain as 3,900 Becomes New Line in the Sand for the S&P 500, Chart Watchers Say","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2263109101","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"As U.S. stocks continued to slide on Monday, a handful of technical analysts warned their clients to brace for more pain ahead during the coming weeks as 3,900 emerges as the new the line in the sand ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>As U.S. stocks continued to slide on Monday, a handful of technical analysts warned their clients to brace for more pain ahead during the coming weeks as 3,900 emerges as the new the line in the sand for the S&amp;P 500.</p><p>Based on volume-weighted technical indicators, Jonathan Krinsky, chief market technician at BTIG, expects 3,900 will likely serve as the next key support level for stocks. While Krinsky doesn&#39;t presently expect stocks to return to their mid-June lows, a sustained break below 3,900 by the S&amp;P 500  might be enough to change his mind.</p><p>&#34;At this point we do not expect the June lows to be broken, but a meaningful break under 3,900 would have us re-evaluate that thesis,&#34; Krinsky said.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dce469daebbdb715f6ef8c9f67b0682c\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"459\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Krinsky is hardly alone in expecting more pain for stocks in the near term.</p><p>Since the start of the year, U.S. stocks have had a tendency to chase momentum, exacerbating moves both to the downside and the upside. Based on this, Nicholas Colas, co-founder of DataTrek Research, pointed out on Monday that Friday&#39;s drawdown marked the seventh time this year that the S&amp;P 500 has fallen by 3% or more in a single session.</p><p>Colas crunched the numbers and found that, since the start of 2022, the average one-week forward return for the S&amp;P 500 has been minus 0.4%.</p><p>&#34;The history of down +3 percent days in 2022 says not to expect much of a near-term bounce back from Friday&#39;s rout. In fact, one could justify being quite cautious here,&#34; Colas said.</p><p>Krinsky also highlighted some discouraging trends in Apple Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$(AAPL)$</a>, one of the market&#39;s most consequential stocks thanks to its massive market capitalization, which is north of $2.5 trillion.</p><p>According to Krinsky, Apple shares, which were down more than 2% on Monday, look vulnerable for the following reasons: until last week, Apple shares had exceeded the stock&#39;s 50-day moving average by one of the largest margins seen over the past 7 years.</p><p>Earlier this month, analysts like Colas and others have pointed to this outperformance as a sign of froth in markets. Turns out, they were correct. Now, Krinsky fears Apple could help lead markets lower.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3fc468dc195080754276338746d44c6b\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"434\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Finally, John Kosar, chief market strategist at Asbury Research, announced to clients on Monday that its tactical &#34;correction protection model&#34; has shifted to &#34;risk off&#34; territory, after spending a month in &#34;risk on.&#34;</p><p>As a result, Asbury Research is advising clients primarily interested in wealth preservation to reduce their exposure to equities.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a0f936b030d3c4a047fd0d3c9afe0015\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"606\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Since 2011, Asbury&#39;s defensive model has on average underperformed the S&amp;P 500 by 3.4% per year, while successfully reducing the maximum drawdowns by 50%.</p><p>One final reason for investors to remain cautious: Colas pointed out that near-term lows this year have tended to coincide with readings north of 30 on the Cboe Volatility Index, also known as the VIX . The gauge, which is based on movements in near-term S&amp;P 500 options, climbed above 26 on Monday.</p><p>&#34;Investors likely won&#39;t see an all-clear until the gauge tops 30,&#34; Colas said.</p><p>The main indexes were all in the red around midday on Monday, with the S&amp;P 500 down 0.67%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average down 0.57%, and the Nasdaq Composite down 1.02% .</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Stocks Headed for More Pain as 3,900 Becomes New Line in the Sand for the S&P 500, Chart Watchers Say</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nStocks Headed for More Pain as 3,900 Becomes New Line in the Sand for the S&P 500, Chart Watchers Say\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-08-30 07:15</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>As U.S. stocks continued to slide on Monday, a handful of technical analysts warned their clients to brace for more pain ahead during the coming weeks as 3,900 emerges as the new the line in the sand for the S&amp;P 500.</p><p>Based on volume-weighted technical indicators, Jonathan Krinsky, chief market technician at BTIG, expects 3,900 will likely serve as the next key support level for stocks. While Krinsky doesn&#39;t presently expect stocks to return to their mid-June lows, a sustained break below 3,900 by the S&amp;P 500  might be enough to change his mind.</p><p>&#34;At this point we do not expect the June lows to be broken, but a meaningful break under 3,900 would have us re-evaluate that thesis,&#34; Krinsky said.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dce469daebbdb715f6ef8c9f67b0682c\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"459\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Krinsky is hardly alone in expecting more pain for stocks in the near term.</p><p>Since the start of the year, U.S. stocks have had a tendency to chase momentum, exacerbating moves both to the downside and the upside. Based on this, Nicholas Colas, co-founder of DataTrek Research, pointed out on Monday that Friday&#39;s drawdown marked the seventh time this year that the S&amp;P 500 has fallen by 3% or more in a single session.</p><p>Colas crunched the numbers and found that, since the start of 2022, the average one-week forward return for the S&amp;P 500 has been minus 0.4%.</p><p>&#34;The history of down +3 percent days in 2022 says not to expect much of a near-term bounce back from Friday&#39;s rout. In fact, one could justify being quite cautious here,&#34; Colas said.</p><p>Krinsky also highlighted some discouraging trends in Apple Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$(AAPL)$</a>, one of the market&#39;s most consequential stocks thanks to its massive market capitalization, which is north of $2.5 trillion.</p><p>According to Krinsky, Apple shares, which were down more than 2% on Monday, look vulnerable for the following reasons: until last week, Apple shares had exceeded the stock&#39;s 50-day moving average by one of the largest margins seen over the past 7 years.</p><p>Earlier this month, analysts like Colas and others have pointed to this outperformance as a sign of froth in markets. Turns out, they were correct. Now, Krinsky fears Apple could help lead markets lower.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3fc468dc195080754276338746d44c6b\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"434\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Finally, John Kosar, chief market strategist at Asbury Research, announced to clients on Monday that its tactical &#34;correction protection model&#34; has shifted to &#34;risk off&#34; territory, after spending a month in &#34;risk on.&#34;</p><p>As a result, Asbury Research is advising clients primarily interested in wealth preservation to reduce their exposure to equities.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a0f936b030d3c4a047fd0d3c9afe0015\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"606\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Since 2011, Asbury&#39;s defensive model has on average underperformed the S&amp;P 500 by 3.4% per year, while successfully reducing the maximum drawdowns by 50%.</p><p>One final reason for investors to remain cautious: Colas pointed out that near-term lows this year have tended to coincide with readings north of 30 on the Cboe Volatility Index, also known as the VIX . The gauge, which is based on movements in near-term S&amp;P 500 options, climbed above 26 on Monday.</p><p>&#34;Investors likely won&#39;t see an all-clear until the gauge tops 30,&#34; Colas said.</p><p>The main indexes were all in the red around midday on Monday, with the S&amp;P 500 down 0.67%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average down 0.57%, and the Nasdaq Composite down 1.02% .</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","AAPL":"苹果","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","OEX":"标普100","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","SH":"标普500反向ETF","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","BK4581":"高盛持仓","AMZN":"亚马逊","BK4504":"桥水持仓","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2263109101","content_text":"As U.S. stocks continued to slide on Monday, a handful of technical analysts warned their clients to brace for more pain ahead during the coming weeks as 3,900 emerges as the new the line in the sand for the S&P 500.Based on volume-weighted technical indicators, Jonathan Krinsky, chief market technician at BTIG, expects 3,900 will likely serve as the next key support level for stocks. While Krinsky doesn't presently expect stocks to return to their mid-June lows, a sustained break below 3,900 by the S&P 500  might be enough to change his mind.\"At this point we do not expect the June lows to be broken, but a meaningful break under 3,900 would have us re-evaluate that thesis,\" Krinsky said.Krinsky is hardly alone in expecting more pain for stocks in the near term.Since the start of the year, U.S. stocks have had a tendency to chase momentum, exacerbating moves both to the downside and the upside. Based on this, Nicholas Colas, co-founder of DataTrek Research, pointed out on Monday that Friday's drawdown marked the seventh time this year that the S&P 500 has fallen by 3% or more in a single session.Colas crunched the numbers and found that, since the start of 2022, the average one-week forward return for the S&P 500 has been minus 0.4%.\"The history of down +3 percent days in 2022 says not to expect much of a near-term bounce back from Friday's rout. In fact, one could justify being quite cautious here,\" Colas said.Krinsky also highlighted some discouraging trends in Apple Inc. $(AAPL)$, one of the market's most consequential stocks thanks to its massive market capitalization, which is north of $2.5 trillion.According to Krinsky, Apple shares, which were down more than 2% on Monday, look vulnerable for the following reasons: until last week, Apple shares had exceeded the stock's 50-day moving average by one of the largest margins seen over the past 7 years.Earlier this month, analysts like Colas and others have pointed to this outperformance as a sign of froth in markets. Turns out, they were correct. Now, Krinsky fears Apple could help lead markets lower.Finally, John Kosar, chief market strategist at Asbury Research, announced to clients on Monday that its tactical \"correction protection model\" has shifted to \"risk off\" territory, after spending a month in \"risk on.\"As a result, Asbury Research is advising clients primarily interested in wealth preservation to reduce their exposure to equities.Since 2011, Asbury's defensive model has on average underperformed the S&P 500 by 3.4% per year, while successfully reducing the maximum drawdowns by 50%.One final reason for investors to remain cautious: Colas pointed out that near-term lows this year have tended to coincide with readings north of 30 on the Cboe Volatility Index, also known as the VIX . The gauge, which is based on movements in near-term S&P 500 options, climbed above 26 on Monday.\"Investors likely won't see an all-clear until the gauge tops 30,\" Colas said.The main indexes were all in the red around midday on Monday, with the S&P 500 down 0.67%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average down 0.57%, and the Nasdaq Composite down 1.02% .","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":497,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9997075166,"gmtCreate":1661730753557,"gmtModify":1676536567237,"author":{"id":"3573789293829232","authorId":"3573789293829232","name":"btoh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a7c2d714604fc804a48646ee397f912","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573789293829232","authorIdStr":"3573789293829232"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9997075166","repostId":"1164924578","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1164924578","pubTimestamp":1661727544,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1164924578?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-29 06:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Jobs in Focus after Hawkish Powell Speech: What to Know This Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1164924578","media":"Yahoo Finance","summary":"The latest monthly jobs report is this week’s main attraction as investors barrel into September.Aug","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The latest monthly jobs report is this week’s main attraction as investors barrel into September.</p><p>August employment data from the Labor Department is set for release at 8:30 a.m. ET Friday morning, and is expected to show another strong month for the U.S. labor market. Economists expect nonfarm payrolls rose by 300,000 in August, according to data from Bloomberg.</p><p>The figure is likely to serve a key role in dictating the Federal Reserve’s next rate decision at its policy-setting meeting later this month. Investors will keep a close eye on jobs data after Fed Chair Jerome Powell asserted in ahawkish speech at the Jackson Hole symposium Fridayhe is willing to accept a softening labor market in exchange for mitigating inflation.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/354281bbcc2edd592cdebfe0f8a5a9a9\" tg-width=\"705\" tg-height=\"484\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Jerome Powell, chair of the Federal Reserve walks in Teton National Park where financial leaders from around the world gathered for the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium outside Jackson, Wyoming, U.S., August 26, 2022. REUTERS/Jim Urquhart</span></p><p>“If there is a conflict in the Fed’s two mandates as they work to slow inflation, Chair Powell ranks price stability head and shoulders above maximum employment,” Jeff Klingelhofer, co-head of investments at Thornburg Investment Management said in a note on Friday.</p><p>Powell’sremarks sent markets tumbling, with all three major averages settling at four-week lows on Friday.</p><p>The Nasdaq plunged 3.9%, and the S&amp;P 500 shed 3.3%, with both indexes logging their biggest one-day drops since June 13. The Dow Jones Industrial Average erased 1,000 points, or roughly 3% on Friday.</p><p>“There will very likely be some softening of labor market conditions,” Powell said in his speech.</p><p>“While higher interest rates, slower growth and softer labor market conditions will bring down inflation, they will also bring some pain to households and businesses,” Powell added. “These are the unfortunate costs of reducing inflation. But a failure to restore price stability would mean far greater pain.”</p><p>Up until Friday, some market participants had expected the U.S. central bank may pivot in its monetary tightening plans, but Powell and other officials have pushed back on the possibility of notching down rate hikes this year.</p><p>Inflation has shown signs of moderating, but continues to run sharply higher than the Federal Reserve’s target of 2%. Data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis on Friday showed consumer prices fell slightly last month, with headline PCE falling 0.1% between June and July, driven primarily by a 4.8% decline in energy prices. On a year-over-year basis, headline PCE rose 6.3% in July.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f62c6fb463c5b5689ca97018d6f8a7f6\" tg-width=\"705\" tg-height=\"483\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>David Malpass, president of the World Bank Group, looks on next to a stuffed grizzly bear at Teton National Park, where financial leaders from around the world gathered for the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium, outside Jackson, Wyoming, U.S., August 26, 2022. REUTERS/Jim Urquhart</span></p><p>And core PCE, the Fed&#39;s preferred measure of inflation, rose 0.1% month-on-month in July and 4.6% from the prior year, marking the lowest annual increase since October 2021.</p><p>Still, Powell indicated another “unusually large” rate hike was possible in September after the central bank raised rates by 75 basis points inJuneandJuly.</p><p>&#34;Restoring price stability will likely require maintaining a restrictive policy stance for some time,&#34; Powell said. &#34;The historical record cautions strongly against prematurely loosening policy.”</p><p>Elsewhere in labor market data,ADP will resume its private payrolls reportwith new a methodology on Wednesday after a temporary pause in June and July. Economists surveyed by Bloomberg expect the release to show 300,000 private payrolls were added in August.</p><p>ADP&#39;s monthly private jobs report comes two days before the Labor Department releases its official jobs report. While the company’s print is an imperfect precursor to the government’s release, it offers a snapshot of job growth during the period.</p><p>The Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS), Challenger Job Cuts, and initial weekly jobless claims are also on the docket of employment data set for release this week.</p><p>On the earnings front, the reporting season has largely wound down, but a few potentially market-moving results are still on tap. Traders will get figures from headliners including Best Buy (BBY), HP (HPQ), Big Lots (BIG), Chewy (CHWY), Lululemon Athletica (LULU), and Broadcom (AVGO).</p><p>—</p><h2>Economic Calendar</h2><p><b>Monday:Dallas Fed Manufacturing Activity</b>, August (-12.7 expected, -22.6 during prior month)</p><p><b>Tuesday: FHFA House Pricing Index</b>, month-over-month, June (0.8% expected, 1.4% during prior month);<b>House Price Purchasing Index</b>, quarter-over-quarter, Q2 (4.6% during prior quarter);<b>S&amp;P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City Composite</b>, month-over-month, June (0.90% expected, 1.32% during prior month);<b>S&amp;P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City Composite</b>, year-over-year, June (19.20% expected, 20.50% during prior month);<b>S&amp;P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index</b>, year-over-year, June (19.75% during prior month);<b>Conference Board Consumer Confidence</b>, August (97.7 expected, 95.7 during prior month);<b>JOLTS Job openings</b>, July (10.475 million expected, 10.698 million during prior month)</p><p><b>Wednesday: MBA Mortgage Applications</b>, week ended August 26 (-1.2% during prior week);<b>ADP Employment Change</b>, August (300,000 expected);<b>MNI Chicago PMI</b>, August (52.5 expected, 52.1 during prior month)</p><p><b>Thursday: Challenger Job Cuts</b>, year-over-year, August (36.3% during prior month);<b>Initial Jobless Claims</b>, week ended August 27 (249,000 expected, 243,000 during prior week);<b>Continuing Claims</b>, week ended August 20 (1.450 million expected, 1.415 million during prior week);<b>Nonfarm Productivity</b>, Q1 final (-7.5% expected, 7.5% during prior month);<b>S&amp;P Global U.S. Composite PMI</b>, August final (51.3 expected, 51.3 during prior month);<b>Construction Spending</b>, month-over-month, July (-0.1% expected, -1.1% during prior month);<b>ISM Manufacturing</b>, August (52.0 expected, 52.8 during prior month);<b>ISM Prices Paid</b>, March (60.0 during prior month);<b>ISM New Orders</b>, August (48.0 during prior month);<b>ISM Employment</b>, August (49.9 during prior month);<b>WARDS Total Vehicle Sales</b>, August (13.50 million expected, 13.35 million prior month)</p><p><b>Friday: Nonfarm Payrolls</b>, August (300,000 expected, 528,000 during prior month);<b>Unemployment Rate</b>, August (3.5% expected, 3.5% during prior month);<b>Average Hourly Earnings</b>, month-over-month, August (0.4% expected, 0.5% during prior month);<b>Average Hourly Earnings</b>, year-over-year, August (5.2% expected, 5.2% prior month);<b>Average Weekly Hours All Employees</b>, August (34.6 expected, 34.6 during prior month);<b>Labor Force Participation Rate</b>, August (62.2% expected, 62.1% during prior month);<b>Underemployment Rate</b>, August (6.7% during prior month);<b>Factory Orders</b>, July (0.2% expected, 2.0% during prior month);<b>Durable Goods Orders</b>, July final (0.0% expected, 0.0% during prior month);<b>Durables excluding transportation</b>, July final (0.3% expected, 0.3% during prior month);<b>Non-defense capital goods orders excluding aircraft</b>, July final (0.4% during prior month);<b>Non-defense capital goods shipments excluding aircraft</b>, July final (0.7% during prior month)</p><p>—</p><h2>Earnings Calendar:</h2><p><b>Monday: Catalent</b>(CTLT),<b>SelectQuote</b>(SLQT)</p><p><b>Tuesday: Best</b> <b>Buy</b>(BBY),<b>HP</b>(HPQ),<b>Ambarella</b>(AMBA),<b>Baidu</b>(BIDU),<b>Big</b> <b>Lots</b>(BIG),<b>Chewy</b>(CHWY)<b>Conn&#39;s</b>(CONN),<b>CrowdStrike</b>(CRWD),<b>Hewlett Packard Enterprise</b>(HPE),<b>Photronics</b>(PLAB)</p><p><b>Wednesday:Anaplan</b>(PLAN),<b>Cooper</b>(COO),<b>DesignerBrands</b>(DBI),<b>Donaldson</b>(DCI),<b>FiveBelow</b>(FIVE),<b>MongoDB</b>(MDB),<b>Okta</b>(OKTA),<b>PureStorage</b>(PSTG),<b>Semtech</b>(SMTC),<b>VeevaSystems</b>(VEEV),<b>Vera Bradley</b>(VRA)</p><p><b>Thursday: LululemonAthletica</b>(LULU),<b>Broadcom</b>(AVGO),<b>CampbellSoup</b>(CPB),<b>Ciena</b>(CIEN),<b>Genesco</b>(GCO),<b>Hormel</b> <b>Foods</b>(HRL),<b>JOANN</b>(JOAN),<b>Ollie’s Bargain Outlet</b>(OLLI),<b>SecureWorks</b>(SCWX),<b>Signet Jewelers</b>(SIG),<b>Sportsman&#39;s Warehouse</b>(SPWH),<b>Toro</b>(TTC),<b>Weibo</b>(WB)</p><p><b>Friday:</b><i>No notable reports scheduled for release.</i></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Jobs in Focus after Hawkish Powell Speech: What to Know This Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nJobs in Focus after Hawkish Powell Speech: What to Know This Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-29 06:59 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/stock-market-week-ahead-retail-preview-august-28-203253255.html><strong>Yahoo Finance</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The latest monthly jobs report is this week’s main attraction as investors barrel into September.August employment data from the Labor Department is set for release at 8:30 a.m. ET Friday morning, and...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/stock-market-week-ahead-retail-preview-august-28-203253255.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/stock-market-week-ahead-retail-preview-august-28-203253255.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1164924578","content_text":"The latest monthly jobs report is this week’s main attraction as investors barrel into September.August employment data from the Labor Department is set for release at 8:30 a.m. ET Friday morning, and is expected to show another strong month for the U.S. labor market. Economists expect nonfarm payrolls rose by 300,000 in August, according to data from Bloomberg.The figure is likely to serve a key role in dictating the Federal Reserve’s next rate decision at its policy-setting meeting later this month. Investors will keep a close eye on jobs data after Fed Chair Jerome Powell asserted in ahawkish speech at the Jackson Hole symposium Fridayhe is willing to accept a softening labor market in exchange for mitigating inflation.Jerome Powell, chair of the Federal Reserve walks in Teton National Park where financial leaders from around the world gathered for the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium outside Jackson, Wyoming, U.S., August 26, 2022. REUTERS/Jim Urquhart“If there is a conflict in the Fed’s two mandates as they work to slow inflation, Chair Powell ranks price stability head and shoulders above maximum employment,” Jeff Klingelhofer, co-head of investments at Thornburg Investment Management said in a note on Friday.Powell’sremarks sent markets tumbling, with all three major averages settling at four-week lows on Friday.The Nasdaq plunged 3.9%, and the S&P 500 shed 3.3%, with both indexes logging their biggest one-day drops since June 13. The Dow Jones Industrial Average erased 1,000 points, or roughly 3% on Friday.“There will very likely be some softening of labor market conditions,” Powell said in his speech.“While higher interest rates, slower growth and softer labor market conditions will bring down inflation, they will also bring some pain to households and businesses,” Powell added. “These are the unfortunate costs of reducing inflation. But a failure to restore price stability would mean far greater pain.”Up until Friday, some market participants had expected the U.S. central bank may pivot in its monetary tightening plans, but Powell and other officials have pushed back on the possibility of notching down rate hikes this year.Inflation has shown signs of moderating, but continues to run sharply higher than the Federal Reserve’s target of 2%. Data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis on Friday showed consumer prices fell slightly last month, with headline PCE falling 0.1% between June and July, driven primarily by a 4.8% decline in energy prices. On a year-over-year basis, headline PCE rose 6.3% in July.David Malpass, president of the World Bank Group, looks on next to a stuffed grizzly bear at Teton National Park, where financial leaders from around the world gathered for the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium, outside Jackson, Wyoming, U.S., August 26, 2022. REUTERS/Jim UrquhartAnd core PCE, the Fed's preferred measure of inflation, rose 0.1% month-on-month in July and 4.6% from the prior year, marking the lowest annual increase since October 2021.Still, Powell indicated another “unusually large” rate hike was possible in September after the central bank raised rates by 75 basis points inJuneandJuly.\"Restoring price stability will likely require maintaining a restrictive policy stance for some time,\" Powell said. \"The historical record cautions strongly against prematurely loosening policy.”Elsewhere in labor market data,ADP will resume its private payrolls reportwith new a methodology on Wednesday after a temporary pause in June and July. Economists surveyed by Bloomberg expect the release to show 300,000 private payrolls were added in August.ADP's monthly private jobs report comes two days before the Labor Department releases its official jobs report. While the company’s print is an imperfect precursor to the government’s release, it offers a snapshot of job growth during the period.The Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS), Challenger Job Cuts, and initial weekly jobless claims are also on the docket of employment data set for release this week.On the earnings front, the reporting season has largely wound down, but a few potentially market-moving results are still on tap. Traders will get figures from headliners including Best Buy (BBY), HP (HPQ), Big Lots (BIG), Chewy (CHWY), Lululemon Athletica (LULU), and Broadcom (AVGO).—Economic CalendarMonday:Dallas Fed Manufacturing Activity, August (-12.7 expected, -22.6 during prior month)Tuesday: FHFA House Pricing Index, month-over-month, June (0.8% expected, 1.4% during prior month);House Price Purchasing Index, quarter-over-quarter, Q2 (4.6% during prior quarter);S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City Composite, month-over-month, June (0.90% expected, 1.32% during prior month);S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City Composite, year-over-year, June (19.20% expected, 20.50% during prior month);S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index, year-over-year, June (19.75% during prior month);Conference Board Consumer Confidence, August (97.7 expected, 95.7 during prior month);JOLTS Job openings, July (10.475 million expected, 10.698 million during prior month)Wednesday: MBA Mortgage Applications, week ended August 26 (-1.2% during prior week);ADP Employment Change, August (300,000 expected);MNI Chicago PMI, August (52.5 expected, 52.1 during prior month)Thursday: Challenger Job Cuts, year-over-year, August (36.3% during prior month);Initial Jobless Claims, week ended August 27 (249,000 expected, 243,000 during prior week);Continuing Claims, week ended August 20 (1.450 million expected, 1.415 million during prior week);Nonfarm Productivity, Q1 final (-7.5% expected, 7.5% during prior month);S&P Global U.S. Composite PMI, August final (51.3 expected, 51.3 during prior month);Construction Spending, month-over-month, July (-0.1% expected, -1.1% during prior month);ISM Manufacturing, August (52.0 expected, 52.8 during prior month);ISM Prices Paid, March (60.0 during prior month);ISM New Orders, August (48.0 during prior month);ISM Employment, August (49.9 during prior month);WARDS Total Vehicle Sales, August (13.50 million expected, 13.35 million prior month)Friday: Nonfarm Payrolls, August (300,000 expected, 528,000 during prior month);Unemployment Rate, August (3.5% expected, 3.5% during prior month);Average Hourly Earnings, month-over-month, August (0.4% expected, 0.5% during prior month);Average Hourly Earnings, year-over-year, August (5.2% expected, 5.2% prior month);Average Weekly Hours All Employees, August (34.6 expected, 34.6 during prior month);Labor Force Participation Rate, August (62.2% expected, 62.1% during prior month);Underemployment Rate, August (6.7% during prior month);Factory Orders, July (0.2% expected, 2.0% during prior month);Durable Goods Orders, July final (0.0% expected, 0.0% during prior month);Durables excluding transportation, July final (0.3% expected, 0.3% during prior month);Non-defense capital goods orders excluding aircraft, July final (0.4% during prior month);Non-defense capital goods shipments excluding aircraft, July final (0.7% during prior month)—Earnings Calendar:Monday: Catalent(CTLT),SelectQuote(SLQT)Tuesday: Best Buy(BBY),HP(HPQ),Ambarella(AMBA),Baidu(BIDU),Big Lots(BIG),Chewy(CHWY)Conn's(CONN),CrowdStrike(CRWD),Hewlett Packard Enterprise(HPE),Photronics(PLAB)Wednesday:Anaplan(PLAN),Cooper(COO),DesignerBrands(DBI),Donaldson(DCI),FiveBelow(FIVE),MongoDB(MDB),Okta(OKTA),PureStorage(PSTG),Semtech(SMTC),VeevaSystems(VEEV),Vera Bradley(VRA)Thursday: LululemonAthletica(LULU),Broadcom(AVGO),CampbellSoup(CPB),Ciena(CIEN),Genesco(GCO),Hormel Foods(HRL),JOANN(JOAN),Ollie’s Bargain Outlet(OLLI),SecureWorks(SCWX),Signet Jewelers(SIG),Sportsman's Warehouse(SPWH),Toro(TTC),Weibo(WB)Friday:No notable reports scheduled for release.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":204,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9994455746,"gmtCreate":1661679175387,"gmtModify":1676536560404,"author":{"id":"3573789293829232","authorId":"3573789293829232","name":"btoh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a7c2d714604fc804a48646ee397f912","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573789293829232","authorIdStr":"3573789293829232"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9994455746","repostId":"1161837457","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1161837457","pubTimestamp":1661645647,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1161837457?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-28 08:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nvidia: Guidance Is A Game-Changer","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1161837457","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryMassive slowdown in the Gaming business is affecting Nvidia’s revenue prospects.Revenue guida","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Summary</p><ul><li>Massive slowdown in the Gaming business is affecting Nvidia’s revenue prospects.</li><li>Revenue guidance for FQ3 was a real shocker as the outlook underperformed estimates by $1.0B.</li><li>Nvidia’s FY 2023 revenue estimates are set for a major downward revision.</li></ul><p>Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) finally released highly anticipated earnings for its second fiscal quarter of FY 2023. Part of the earnings report card was the outlook for Nvidia&#39;s third fiscal quarter, which was significantly worse than expected. Nvidia is seeing a massiveslowdown in its Gaming business due to weakening demand and pricing for graphics processing units which have supported the chip maker&#39;s results last year. Because of the size of the expected revenue drop-off in FQ3&#39;23, Nvidia&#39;s shares are likely set to correct further to the downside!</p><p><b>Nvidia&#39;s FQ2&#39;23 earnings card was as expected</b></p><p>Nvidia&#39;s second quarter results largely conformed with the release of preliminary results from the beginning of August. Nvidia guided for $6.7B in FQ2 revenues due to a 33% year-over-year top line decrease in the Gaming segment. Actual revenues for Nvidia&#39;s FQ2&#39;23 were indeed $6.7B, showing 3% growth year-over-year, but also a 19% drop-off compared to FQ1. Unfortunately, Nvidia&#39;s gross margins collapsed in the second fiscal quarter to 45.9%, showing a decrease of 21.1 PP quarter-over-quarter. The drop in revenues and gross margins was overwhelmingly caused by the Gaming segment which reported, as expected, a 44% quarter-over-quarter drop in revenues due toweakening demand for GPUs and declining pricing strengthfor Nvidia&#39;s graphic cards. Weakening pricing for GPUsalso affected AMDin the last quarter, but Nvidia is more reliant on GPU sales than AMD and therefore more affected than its rival by the slowdown in the industry.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9690c900cda9585b16d72361723e11ca\" tg-width=\"909\" tg-height=\"274\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Nvidia: Final FQ2&#39;23 Results</p><p>Nvidia&#39;s Data Center revenues soared 61% year-over-year to $3.8B in FQ2 due to growing customer uptake of Nvidia&#39;s computing platforms that support data analysis and allow for the managing and scaling of artificial intelligence applications. Nvidia&#39;s Data Center business, because of the slowdown in the GPU segment, pulled ahead of Nvidia&#39;s Gaming segment regarding revenue generation in FQ2.</p><p>While Nvidia&#39;s Gaming business saw the biggest slowdown, the firm&#39;s &#39;OEM and Other&#39; business -- which includes the sale of dedicated cryptocurrency mining processors/CMPs -- also slumped. Nvidia&#39;s CMPs are used by cryptocurrency miners to validate transactions for proof of work cryptocurrencies like Ethereum (ETH-USD).</p><p>Nvidia doesn&#39;t break out how much of its OEM revenues are related to CMP sales, but crashing cryptocurrency prices in 2022 have not been good for business, obviously. Nvidia generated just $140M of OEM and Other revenues in FQ2, showing a decline of 66% year-over-year, due chiefly to decelerating demand for dedicated cryptocurrency mining processors. For those reasons, I don&#39;t see Nvidia developing its CMP business into a multi-billion dollar revenue opportunity, aspredicted previously, in the near term.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/021fa94ce8462c4eecb6cdfc173dd154\" tg-width=\"1058\" tg-height=\"578\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Nvidia: Segment Revenue Trends</p><p><b>Nightmarish guidance</b></p><p>The most important piece of new information in Nvidia&#39;s release was the outlook for FQ3. Nvidia expects revenues of $5.90B plus or minus $118M, which would mark another 12% quarter-over-quarter decrease in consolidated revenues, which comes on top of the 19% quarter-over-quarter drop in revenues in FQ2. On an annualized basis, FQ3 revenues are down 29% compared to the beginning of the year, which marks a massive slowdown in Nvidia&#39;s business. The revenue downgrade for FQ3 occurred as Nvidia expects the Gaming industry to adjust to lower GPU demand and work throughhigh inventory levels. Nvidia&#39;s revenue guidance of $5.9B for FQ3 compares to aconsensus FQ3 estimate of $6.9B, meaning actual guidance was a massive $1.0B below the most recent revenue prediction.</p><p>I expected a sequential down-turn in revenues, led by Gaming, and projected FQ3 revenues to be between $6.0B to $6.2B, which reflected a sequential decline of up to 10%. Apparently, the situation in the Gaming industry is even more serious for Nvidia than expected, and it will affect how the market generates revenue estimates and values the stock going forward.</p><h3>My expectations for Nvidia going forward</h3><p>I expect Nvidia to continue to expand its Data Center business as demand for cloud computing, AI applications and hyper-scale platforms is only going to grow. However, I expect growth in this segment to be overshadowed by continual declines and pricing weakness in the Gaming segment. Worldwide PC shipments are expected to decline 9.5% (according toGartner) in 2022, but I believe the drop could be even larger if a deeper US recession were to bite.</p><p>Since there is no short-term solution to getting rid of high inventories in the PC industry, I expect pricing weakness in the GPU market to weigh on Nvidia&#39;s revenue potential. I also expect the pricing trend for both NVIDIA&#39;s GeForce RTX 30 and AMD&#39;s Radeon RX 6000 to remain negative, with larger discounts to the manufacturer&#39;s suggested retail price possible. Nvidia&#39;s RTX 30 GPU was available at a 9% discount to MSRP in July. Given the high inventory levels in the PC market paired with a drop-off in GPU demand, I expect Nvidia&#39;s flagship graphics card to trade at even higher discount to the MSRP going forward.</p><p>Because of the headwinds in the Gaming business, I expect Nvidia to generate about $27B in full-year revenues in FY 2023 (down from $28B), which means the chip maker could see no year-over-year growth whatsoever this year.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/297c23d10b4798c94de6cfa3ff793b91\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"802\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>NVDA Revenue (Quarterly YoY Growth) data by YCharts</p><p><b>Estimate and valuation risk</b></p><p>Nvidia&#39;s revenue estimates are now going to reset after the chip maker submitted a seriously bad guidance for its third fiscal quarter. As analysts incorporate Nvidia&#39;s FQ3&#39;23 revenue guidance into their projections, Nvidia is likely going to see a massive, broad-based reduction for its FY 2023 revenue predictions. Since lofty revenue expectations have been used to justify Nvidia&#39;s generous valuation, a reset of expectations has the potential to drive a downward revaluation of Nvidia&#39;s shares.</p><p>Nvidia&#39;s shares dropped 4.6% after regular trading yesterday and, I believe, the drop does not accurately reflect the seriousness of the sequential revenue downgrade. Nvidia currently has a P-S ratio of 12.2x, and if revenue estimates continue to fall, the valuation factor may even increase.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92263effbea15a27a9d0154ceff211d1\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"852\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>NVDA Revenue Estimates for Current Fiscal Yeardata by YCharts</p><p><b>Other risks/considerations with Nvidia</b></p><p>I see two big risks for Nvidia at this point in time. The first one is that the slowdown in the GPU market may last for quite some time, meaning Nvidia may have to deal with slowing Gaming segment revenues for more than just one more quarter. This is because thePC market is in a declinewhich affects the shipment of Nvidia&#39;s GPUs. Secondly, revenue and earnings estimates, especially after the nightmarish guidance for FQ3&#39;23, will reflect a reset of growth expectations which in itself could lead Nvidia&#39;s shares into a new down-leg.</p><p><b>Final thoughts</b></p><p>Shares of Nvidia dropped 4.6% after the market closed, but I believe the sharpness of the expected revenue decline in FQ3 is not accurately reflected in this drop. The guidance truly is a game-changer because Nvidia&#39;s period of hyper-growth is ending.</p><p>Nvidia&#39;s outlook for FQ3&#39;23 revenues was $1.0B below expectations and the company is going through a major post-pandemic reset in the GPU market… which could affect Nvidia&#39;s valuation much more severely going forward. As estimates correct to the downside, Nvidia&#39;s valuation is set to experience more pressure!</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nvidia: Guidance Is A Game-Changer</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNvidia: Guidance Is A Game-Changer\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-28 08:14 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4537353-nvidia-nvda-guidance-game-changer><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryMassive slowdown in the Gaming business is affecting Nvidia’s revenue prospects.Revenue guidance for FQ3 was a real shocker as the outlook underperformed estimates by $1.0B.Nvidia’s FY 2023 ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4537353-nvidia-nvda-guidance-game-changer\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4537353-nvidia-nvda-guidance-game-changer","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1161837457","content_text":"SummaryMassive slowdown in the Gaming business is affecting Nvidia’s revenue prospects.Revenue guidance for FQ3 was a real shocker as the outlook underperformed estimates by $1.0B.Nvidia’s FY 2023 revenue estimates are set for a major downward revision.Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) finally released highly anticipated earnings for its second fiscal quarter of FY 2023. Part of the earnings report card was the outlook for Nvidia's third fiscal quarter, which was significantly worse than expected. Nvidia is seeing a massiveslowdown in its Gaming business due to weakening demand and pricing for graphics processing units which have supported the chip maker's results last year. Because of the size of the expected revenue drop-off in FQ3'23, Nvidia's shares are likely set to correct further to the downside!Nvidia's FQ2'23 earnings card was as expectedNvidia's second quarter results largely conformed with the release of preliminary results from the beginning of August. Nvidia guided for $6.7B in FQ2 revenues due to a 33% year-over-year top line decrease in the Gaming segment. Actual revenues for Nvidia's FQ2'23 were indeed $6.7B, showing 3% growth year-over-year, but also a 19% drop-off compared to FQ1. Unfortunately, Nvidia's gross margins collapsed in the second fiscal quarter to 45.9%, showing a decrease of 21.1 PP quarter-over-quarter. The drop in revenues and gross margins was overwhelmingly caused by the Gaming segment which reported, as expected, a 44% quarter-over-quarter drop in revenues due toweakening demand for GPUs and declining pricing strengthfor Nvidia's graphic cards. Weakening pricing for GPUsalso affected AMDin the last quarter, but Nvidia is more reliant on GPU sales than AMD and therefore more affected than its rival by the slowdown in the industry.Nvidia: Final FQ2'23 ResultsNvidia's Data Center revenues soared 61% year-over-year to $3.8B in FQ2 due to growing customer uptake of Nvidia's computing platforms that support data analysis and allow for the managing and scaling of artificial intelligence applications. Nvidia's Data Center business, because of the slowdown in the GPU segment, pulled ahead of Nvidia's Gaming segment regarding revenue generation in FQ2.While Nvidia's Gaming business saw the biggest slowdown, the firm's 'OEM and Other' business -- which includes the sale of dedicated cryptocurrency mining processors/CMPs -- also slumped. Nvidia's CMPs are used by cryptocurrency miners to validate transactions for proof of work cryptocurrencies like Ethereum (ETH-USD).Nvidia doesn't break out how much of its OEM revenues are related to CMP sales, but crashing cryptocurrency prices in 2022 have not been good for business, obviously. Nvidia generated just $140M of OEM and Other revenues in FQ2, showing a decline of 66% year-over-year, due chiefly to decelerating demand for dedicated cryptocurrency mining processors. For those reasons, I don't see Nvidia developing its CMP business into a multi-billion dollar revenue opportunity, aspredicted previously, in the near term.Nvidia: Segment Revenue TrendsNightmarish guidanceThe most important piece of new information in Nvidia's release was the outlook for FQ3. Nvidia expects revenues of $5.90B plus or minus $118M, which would mark another 12% quarter-over-quarter decrease in consolidated revenues, which comes on top of the 19% quarter-over-quarter drop in revenues in FQ2. On an annualized basis, FQ3 revenues are down 29% compared to the beginning of the year, which marks a massive slowdown in Nvidia's business. The revenue downgrade for FQ3 occurred as Nvidia expects the Gaming industry to adjust to lower GPU demand and work throughhigh inventory levels. Nvidia's revenue guidance of $5.9B for FQ3 compares to aconsensus FQ3 estimate of $6.9B, meaning actual guidance was a massive $1.0B below the most recent revenue prediction.I expected a sequential down-turn in revenues, led by Gaming, and projected FQ3 revenues to be between $6.0B to $6.2B, which reflected a sequential decline of up to 10%. Apparently, the situation in the Gaming industry is even more serious for Nvidia than expected, and it will affect how the market generates revenue estimates and values the stock going forward.My expectations for Nvidia going forwardI expect Nvidia to continue to expand its Data Center business as demand for cloud computing, AI applications and hyper-scale platforms is only going to grow. However, I expect growth in this segment to be overshadowed by continual declines and pricing weakness in the Gaming segment. Worldwide PC shipments are expected to decline 9.5% (according toGartner) in 2022, but I believe the drop could be even larger if a deeper US recession were to bite.Since there is no short-term solution to getting rid of high inventories in the PC industry, I expect pricing weakness in the GPU market to weigh on Nvidia's revenue potential. I also expect the pricing trend for both NVIDIA's GeForce RTX 30 and AMD's Radeon RX 6000 to remain negative, with larger discounts to the manufacturer's suggested retail price possible. Nvidia's RTX 30 GPU was available at a 9% discount to MSRP in July. Given the high inventory levels in the PC market paired with a drop-off in GPU demand, I expect Nvidia's flagship graphics card to trade at even higher discount to the MSRP going forward.Because of the headwinds in the Gaming business, I expect Nvidia to generate about $27B in full-year revenues in FY 2023 (down from $28B), which means the chip maker could see no year-over-year growth whatsoever this year.NVDA Revenue (Quarterly YoY Growth) data by YChartsEstimate and valuation riskNvidia's revenue estimates are now going to reset after the chip maker submitted a seriously bad guidance for its third fiscal quarter. As analysts incorporate Nvidia's FQ3'23 revenue guidance into their projections, Nvidia is likely going to see a massive, broad-based reduction for its FY 2023 revenue predictions. Since lofty revenue expectations have been used to justify Nvidia's generous valuation, a reset of expectations has the potential to drive a downward revaluation of Nvidia's shares.Nvidia's shares dropped 4.6% after regular trading yesterday and, I believe, the drop does not accurately reflect the seriousness of the sequential revenue downgrade. Nvidia currently has a P-S ratio of 12.2x, and if revenue estimates continue to fall, the valuation factor may even increase.NVDA Revenue Estimates for Current Fiscal Yeardata by YChartsOther risks/considerations with NvidiaI see two big risks for Nvidia at this point in time. The first one is that the slowdown in the GPU market may last for quite some time, meaning Nvidia may have to deal with slowing Gaming segment revenues for more than just one more quarter. This is because thePC market is in a declinewhich affects the shipment of Nvidia's GPUs. Secondly, revenue and earnings estimates, especially after the nightmarish guidance for FQ3'23, will reflect a reset of growth expectations which in itself could lead Nvidia's shares into a new down-leg.Final thoughtsShares of Nvidia dropped 4.6% after the market closed, but I believe the sharpness of the expected revenue decline in FQ3 is not accurately reflected in this drop. The guidance truly is a game-changer because Nvidia's period of hyper-growth is ending.Nvidia's outlook for FQ3'23 revenues was $1.0B below expectations and the company is going through a major post-pandemic reset in the GPU market… which could affect Nvidia's valuation much more severely going forward. As estimates correct to the downside, Nvidia's valuation is set to experience more pressure!","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":116,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9994373159,"gmtCreate":1661569207873,"gmtModify":1676536543878,"author":{"id":"3573789293829232","authorId":"3573789293829232","name":"btoh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a7c2d714604fc804a48646ee397f912","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573789293829232","authorIdStr":"3573789293829232"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9994373159","repostId":"2262838921","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2262838921","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1661566425,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2262838921?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-27 10:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Powell's Policy Point: Inflation Must Be Beat, And It Won't Be Pretty","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2262838921","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"When Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell spoke Friday at the central bank's annual symposium in J","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>When Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell spoke Friday at the central bank&#39;s annual symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyo., he didn&#39;t say anything exactly new. But in reinforcing his commitment to restoring price stability, the chairman sounded more resolute than he had in other recent public appearances. &#34;Today, my remarks will be shorter, my focus narrower, and my message more direct,&#34; he said, opening a speech that would last only minutes, mostly stick to the importance of the inflation fight, and highlight how his job is only getting harder.</p><p>&#34;Price stability is the responsibility of the Federal Reserve and serves as the bedrock of our economy. Without price stability, the economy does not work for anyone,&#34; Powell said, noting that higher interest rates, slower growth, and softer labor markets are the &#34;unfortunate costs of reducing inflation&#34; and will &#34;bring some pain to households and businesses.&#34;</p><p>Strategists agreed that Powell was forceful. In weighing the two legs of the dual mandate -- inflation and economic growth -- the Fed will decidedly come down in favor of reducing inflation, says Cliff Hodge, chief investment officer at Cornerstone Wealth. &#34;Powell can&#39;t come right out and say that the Fed is fine walking us right into recession in order to crush inflation, but that is what this messaging unequivocally implies.&#34;</p><p>Yet Powell is only starting to convince markets that he will do whatever it takes to beat inflation. Chris Zaccarelli, chief investment officer at Independent Advisor Alliance, says a market fully expecting the Fed to follow through on its pledge would be down at least 20% this year. After Friday&#39;s fall of 2.5% in the S&amp;P 500, the index is off 14% in 2022. At the same time, traders on Friday shifted bets toward a half-point hike in September and away from a third consecutive three-quarter-point increase.</p><p>Aside from having to fight markets that have been fighting the Fed -- with summer stock market rallies helping to ease the very financial conditions the central bank is trying to tighten -- Powell has two particular forces working against him.</p><p>First, there is the job market.</p><p>In a report this past week, Piper Sandler economist Jake Oubina highlighted growing concerns over labor-force growth. He says that many positive postcrisis labor-force participation trends have sputtered and, in some cases, reversed. Prime-age participation has stalled at a level about 600,000 workers short of the pre-Covid tally. And the number of Americans not in the labor force who don&#39;t want a job rose to 19.9 million from 19.5 million over June and July; that&#39;s above the pre-Covid trend of about 19.1 million. In addition, the improvement in the labor-force participation rate among lower-skilled workers recently rolled over, Oubina observes.</p><p>Long Covid, or lingering negative effects of the virus, might explain some of the labor-supply problem. Oubina notes that the number of people out of the labor force because of disability is about one million above pre-Covid levels. A new report by Katie Bach at the Brookings Institution finds that around 16 million working-age Americans now have long Covid. Of those, Bach says, two million to four million are out of work, due to the condition. If the labor market is a main transmission mechanism of Fed policy, an acutely short labor supply complicates the picture and may mean labor demand must cool more than appreciated to take pressure off wages and prices.</p><p>The second force working against the Fed is fiscal policy.</p><p>President Joe Biden&#39;s student-debt forgiveness plan has ignited an economic debate, alongside a political one. Analysts at the University of Pennsylvania&#39;s Penn Wharton Budget Model say the plan will cost roughly $500 billion over a 10-year budget window. Relative to current law, (assuming that the interest moratorium that has been extended until the end of the year does end), the program will add about 0.2 to 0.3 of a percentage point to inflation, says Jason Furman, economics professor at Harvard University and head of former President Barack Obama&#39;s Council of Economic Advisers.</p><p>Melissa Kearney, an economics professor at the University of Maryland, says the debt-forgiveness policy will, by design, result in millions of households having more discretionary income. &#34;That is a boost to demand and thus pushes in the direction of rising prices,&#34; she says, adding that this will drive up the cost of higher education and loans going forward. She notes that Biden&#39;s announcement mentioned that the immediate forgiveness will be paired with more generous forgiveness terms on future loans, which &#34;essentially subsidizes the very sector whose ballooning pricing got so many people into this predicament.&#34; And it means that even more people will take out loans in the future, she says, further pushing up the costs of higher education.</p><p>In normal times, Furman&#39;s estimate wouldn&#39;t seem very significant and Kearney&#39;s points would be cause for longer-term concern, but not necessarily for losing sleep. Given how high inflation is now, however, it&#39;s a step in the wrong direction that undermines the central bank&#39;s efforts to cool demand and cure inflation.</p><p>The Fed does have something working in its favor, and it is the data. The latest indications of cooling prices came Friday, when the personal consumption expenditure index declined from its level a month earlier, slipping to a 6.3% year-over-year pace from 6.8% in June. The core versions, which back out food and energy and represent the Fed&#39;s favorite inflation measures, also moved in the right direction. From a year earlier, the core PCE fell to 4.6% from 4.8%, still well above the 2% target, but not nearly as elevated as the consumer price index. Separately on Friday, the University of Michigan revised its latest gauges of inflation expectations slightly lower, to 4.8% for the next year and 2.9% over the next five to 10 years. Powell says that the recent inflation cool-down is welcome, but not enough.</p><p>At this point, the forces working against the Fed outweigh those moving in the right direction. They are all the more reasons to believe Powell when he says that failing to fix inflation isn&#39;t an option, and they are reasons to believe policy might be even more painful than it would otherwise have to be.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Powell's Policy Point: Inflation Must Be Beat, And It Won't Be Pretty</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPowell's Policy Point: Inflation Must Be Beat, And It Won't Be Pretty\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-08-27 10:13</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>When Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell spoke Friday at the central bank&#39;s annual symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyo., he didn&#39;t say anything exactly new. But in reinforcing his commitment to restoring price stability, the chairman sounded more resolute than he had in other recent public appearances. &#34;Today, my remarks will be shorter, my focus narrower, and my message more direct,&#34; he said, opening a speech that would last only minutes, mostly stick to the importance of the inflation fight, and highlight how his job is only getting harder.</p><p>&#34;Price stability is the responsibility of the Federal Reserve and serves as the bedrock of our economy. Without price stability, the economy does not work for anyone,&#34; Powell said, noting that higher interest rates, slower growth, and softer labor markets are the &#34;unfortunate costs of reducing inflation&#34; and will &#34;bring some pain to households and businesses.&#34;</p><p>Strategists agreed that Powell was forceful. In weighing the two legs of the dual mandate -- inflation and economic growth -- the Fed will decidedly come down in favor of reducing inflation, says Cliff Hodge, chief investment officer at Cornerstone Wealth. &#34;Powell can&#39;t come right out and say that the Fed is fine walking us right into recession in order to crush inflation, but that is what this messaging unequivocally implies.&#34;</p><p>Yet Powell is only starting to convince markets that he will do whatever it takes to beat inflation. Chris Zaccarelli, chief investment officer at Independent Advisor Alliance, says a market fully expecting the Fed to follow through on its pledge would be down at least 20% this year. After Friday&#39;s fall of 2.5% in the S&amp;P 500, the index is off 14% in 2022. At the same time, traders on Friday shifted bets toward a half-point hike in September and away from a third consecutive three-quarter-point increase.</p><p>Aside from having to fight markets that have been fighting the Fed -- with summer stock market rallies helping to ease the very financial conditions the central bank is trying to tighten -- Powell has two particular forces working against him.</p><p>First, there is the job market.</p><p>In a report this past week, Piper Sandler economist Jake Oubina highlighted growing concerns over labor-force growth. He says that many positive postcrisis labor-force participation trends have sputtered and, in some cases, reversed. Prime-age participation has stalled at a level about 600,000 workers short of the pre-Covid tally. And the number of Americans not in the labor force who don&#39;t want a job rose to 19.9 million from 19.5 million over June and July; that&#39;s above the pre-Covid trend of about 19.1 million. In addition, the improvement in the labor-force participation rate among lower-skilled workers recently rolled over, Oubina observes.</p><p>Long Covid, or lingering negative effects of the virus, might explain some of the labor-supply problem. Oubina notes that the number of people out of the labor force because of disability is about one million above pre-Covid levels. A new report by Katie Bach at the Brookings Institution finds that around 16 million working-age Americans now have long Covid. Of those, Bach says, two million to four million are out of work, due to the condition. If the labor market is a main transmission mechanism of Fed policy, an acutely short labor supply complicates the picture and may mean labor demand must cool more than appreciated to take pressure off wages and prices.</p><p>The second force working against the Fed is fiscal policy.</p><p>President Joe Biden&#39;s student-debt forgiveness plan has ignited an economic debate, alongside a political one. Analysts at the University of Pennsylvania&#39;s Penn Wharton Budget Model say the plan will cost roughly $500 billion over a 10-year budget window. Relative to current law, (assuming that the interest moratorium that has been extended until the end of the year does end), the program will add about 0.2 to 0.3 of a percentage point to inflation, says Jason Furman, economics professor at Harvard University and head of former President Barack Obama&#39;s Council of Economic Advisers.</p><p>Melissa Kearney, an economics professor at the University of Maryland, says the debt-forgiveness policy will, by design, result in millions of households having more discretionary income. &#34;That is a boost to demand and thus pushes in the direction of rising prices,&#34; she says, adding that this will drive up the cost of higher education and loans going forward. She notes that Biden&#39;s announcement mentioned that the immediate forgiveness will be paired with more generous forgiveness terms on future loans, which &#34;essentially subsidizes the very sector whose ballooning pricing got so many people into this predicament.&#34; And it means that even more people will take out loans in the future, she says, further pushing up the costs of higher education.</p><p>In normal times, Furman&#39;s estimate wouldn&#39;t seem very significant and Kearney&#39;s points would be cause for longer-term concern, but not necessarily for losing sleep. Given how high inflation is now, however, it&#39;s a step in the wrong direction that undermines the central bank&#39;s efforts to cool demand and cure inflation.</p><p>The Fed does have something working in its favor, and it is the data. The latest indications of cooling prices came Friday, when the personal consumption expenditure index declined from its level a month earlier, slipping to a 6.3% year-over-year pace from 6.8% in June. The core versions, which back out food and energy and represent the Fed&#39;s favorite inflation measures, also moved in the right direction. From a year earlier, the core PCE fell to 4.6% from 4.8%, still well above the 2% target, but not nearly as elevated as the consumer price index. Separately on Friday, the University of Michigan revised its latest gauges of inflation expectations slightly lower, to 4.8% for the next year and 2.9% over the next five to 10 years. Powell says that the recent inflation cool-down is welcome, but not enough.</p><p>At this point, the forces working against the Fed outweigh those moving in the right direction. They are all the more reasons to believe Powell when he says that failing to fix inflation isn&#39;t an option, and they are reasons to believe policy might be even more painful than it would otherwise have to be.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2262838921","content_text":"When Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell spoke Friday at the central bank's annual symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyo., he didn't say anything exactly new. But in reinforcing his commitment to restoring price stability, the chairman sounded more resolute than he had in other recent public appearances. \"Today, my remarks will be shorter, my focus narrower, and my message more direct,\" he said, opening a speech that would last only minutes, mostly stick to the importance of the inflation fight, and highlight how his job is only getting harder.\"Price stability is the responsibility of the Federal Reserve and serves as the bedrock of our economy. Without price stability, the economy does not work for anyone,\" Powell said, noting that higher interest rates, slower growth, and softer labor markets are the \"unfortunate costs of reducing inflation\" and will \"bring some pain to households and businesses.\"Strategists agreed that Powell was forceful. In weighing the two legs of the dual mandate -- inflation and economic growth -- the Fed will decidedly come down in favor of reducing inflation, says Cliff Hodge, chief investment officer at Cornerstone Wealth. \"Powell can't come right out and say that the Fed is fine walking us right into recession in order to crush inflation, but that is what this messaging unequivocally implies.\"Yet Powell is only starting to convince markets that he will do whatever it takes to beat inflation. Chris Zaccarelli, chief investment officer at Independent Advisor Alliance, says a market fully expecting the Fed to follow through on its pledge would be down at least 20% this year. After Friday's fall of 2.5% in the S&P 500, the index is off 14% in 2022. At the same time, traders on Friday shifted bets toward a half-point hike in September and away from a third consecutive three-quarter-point increase.Aside from having to fight markets that have been fighting the Fed -- with summer stock market rallies helping to ease the very financial conditions the central bank is trying to tighten -- Powell has two particular forces working against him.First, there is the job market.In a report this past week, Piper Sandler economist Jake Oubina highlighted growing concerns over labor-force growth. He says that many positive postcrisis labor-force participation trends have sputtered and, in some cases, reversed. Prime-age participation has stalled at a level about 600,000 workers short of the pre-Covid tally. And the number of Americans not in the labor force who don't want a job rose to 19.9 million from 19.5 million over June and July; that's above the pre-Covid trend of about 19.1 million. In addition, the improvement in the labor-force participation rate among lower-skilled workers recently rolled over, Oubina observes.Long Covid, or lingering negative effects of the virus, might explain some of the labor-supply problem. Oubina notes that the number of people out of the labor force because of disability is about one million above pre-Covid levels. A new report by Katie Bach at the Brookings Institution finds that around 16 million working-age Americans now have long Covid. Of those, Bach says, two million to four million are out of work, due to the condition. If the labor market is a main transmission mechanism of Fed policy, an acutely short labor supply complicates the picture and may mean labor demand must cool more than appreciated to take pressure off wages and prices.The second force working against the Fed is fiscal policy.President Joe Biden's student-debt forgiveness plan has ignited an economic debate, alongside a political one. Analysts at the University of Pennsylvania's Penn Wharton Budget Model say the plan will cost roughly $500 billion over a 10-year budget window. Relative to current law, (assuming that the interest moratorium that has been extended until the end of the year does end), the program will add about 0.2 to 0.3 of a percentage point to inflation, says Jason Furman, economics professor at Harvard University and head of former President Barack Obama's Council of Economic Advisers.Melissa Kearney, an economics professor at the University of Maryland, says the debt-forgiveness policy will, by design, result in millions of households having more discretionary income. \"That is a boost to demand and thus pushes in the direction of rising prices,\" she says, adding that this will drive up the cost of higher education and loans going forward. She notes that Biden's announcement mentioned that the immediate forgiveness will be paired with more generous forgiveness terms on future loans, which \"essentially subsidizes the very sector whose ballooning pricing got so many people into this predicament.\" And it means that even more people will take out loans in the future, she says, further pushing up the costs of higher education.In normal times, Furman's estimate wouldn't seem very significant and Kearney's points would be cause for longer-term concern, but not necessarily for losing sleep. Given how high inflation is now, however, it's a step in the wrong direction that undermines the central bank's efforts to cool demand and cure inflation.The Fed does have something working in its favor, and it is the data. The latest indications of cooling prices came Friday, when the personal consumption expenditure index declined from its level a month earlier, slipping to a 6.3% year-over-year pace from 6.8% in June. The core versions, which back out food and energy and represent the Fed's favorite inflation measures, also moved in the right direction. From a year earlier, the core PCE fell to 4.6% from 4.8%, still well above the 2% target, but not nearly as elevated as the consumer price index. Separately on Friday, the University of Michigan revised its latest gauges of inflation expectations slightly lower, to 4.8% for the next year and 2.9% over the next five to 10 years. Powell says that the recent inflation cool-down is welcome, but not enough.At this point, the forces working against the Fed outweigh those moving in the right direction. They are all the more reasons to believe Powell when he says that failing to fix inflation isn't an option, and they are reasons to believe policy might be even more painful than it would otherwise have to be.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":177,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9994080291,"gmtCreate":1661531157816,"gmtModify":1676536536539,"author":{"id":"3573789293829232","authorId":"3573789293829232","name":"btoh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a7c2d714604fc804a48646ee397f912","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573789293829232","authorIdStr":"3573789293829232"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9994080291","repostId":"1131787080","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1131787080","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1661526671,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1131787080?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-26 23:11","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Full Speech By Federal Reserve Chair Powell on Monetary Policy and Price Stability","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1131787080","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Monetary Policy and Price StabilityChair Jerome H. PowellAt “Reassessing Constraints on the Economy and Policy,” an economic policy symposium sponsored by the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, Jack","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b><i>Monetary Policy and Price Stability</i></b></p><p>Chair Jerome H. Powell</p><p>At “Reassessing Constraints on the Economy and Policy,” an economic policy symposium sponsored by the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, Jackson Hole, Wyoming</p><p>Thank you for the opportunity to speak here today.</p><p>At past Jackson Hole conferences, I have discussed broad topics such as the ever-changing structure of the economy and the challenges of conducting monetary policy under high uncertainty. Today, my remarks will be shorter, my focus narrower, and my message more direct.</p><p>The Federal Open Market Committee&#39;s (FOMC) overarching focus right now is to bring inflation back down to our 2 percent goal. Price stability is the responsibility of the Federal Reserve and serves as the bedrock of our economy. Without price stability, the economy does not work for anyone. In particular, without price stability, we will not achieve a sustained period of strong labor market conditions that benefit all. The burdens of high inflation fall heaviest on those who are least able to bear them.</p><p>Restoring price stability will take some time and requires using our tools forcefully to bring demand and supply into better balance. Reducing inflation is likely to require a sustained period of below-trend growth. Moreover, there will very likely be some softening of labor market conditions. While higher interest rates, slower growth, and softer labor market conditions will bring down inflation, they will also bring some pain to households and businesses. These are the unfortunate costs of reducing inflation. But a failure to restore price stability would mean far greater pain.</p><p>The U.S. economy is clearly slowing from the historically high growth rates of 2021, which reflected the reopening of the economy following the pandemic recession. While the latest economic data have been mixed, in my view our economy continues to show strong underlying momentum. The labor market is particularly strong, but it is clearly out of balance, with demand for workers substantially exceeding the supply of available workers. Inflation is running well above 2 percent, and high inflation has continued to spread through the economy. While the lower inflation readings for July are welcome, a single month&#39;s improvement falls far short of what the Committee will need to see before we are confident that inflation is moving down.</p><p>We are moving our policy stance purposefully to a level that will be sufficiently restrictive to return inflation to 2 percent. At our most recent meeting in July, the FOMC raised the target range for the federal funds rate to 2.25 to 2.5 percent, which is in the Summary of Economic Projection&#39;s (SEP) range of estimates of where the federal funds rate is projected to settle in the longer run. In current circumstances, with inflation running far above 2 percent and the labor market extremely tight, estimates of longer-run neutral are not a place to stop or pause.</p><p>July&#39;s increase in the target range was the second 75 basis point increase in as many meetings, and I said then that another unusually large increase could be appropriate at our next meeting. We are now about halfway through the intermeeting period. Our decision at the September meeting will depend on the totality of the incoming data and the evolving outlook. At some point, as the stance of monetary policy tightens further, it likely will become appropriate to slow the pace of increases.</p><p>Restoring price stability will likely require maintaining a restrictive policy stance for some time. The historical record cautions strongly against prematurely loosening policy. Committee participants&#39; most recent individual projections from the June SEP showed the median federal funds rate running slightly below 4 percent through the end of 2023. Participants will update their projections at the September meeting.</p><p>Our monetary policy deliberations and decisions build on what we have learned about inflation dynamics both from the high and volatile inflation of the 1970s and 1980s, and from the low and stable inflation of the past quarter-century. In particular, we are drawing on three important lessons.</p><p>The first lesson is that central banks<i>can</i>and<i>should</i>take responsibility for delivering low and stable inflation. It may seem strange now that central bankers and others once needed convincing on these two fronts, but as former Chairman Ben Bernanke has shown, both propositions were widely questioned during the Great Inflation period.1Today, we regard these questions as settled. Our responsibility to deliver price stability is unconditional. It is true that the current high inflation is a global phenomenon, and that many economies around the world face inflation as high or higher than seen here in the United States. It is also true, in my view, that the current high inflation in the United States is the product of strong demand and constrained supply, and that the Fed&#39;s tools work principally on aggregate demand. None of this diminishes the Federal Reserve&#39;s responsibility to carry out our assigned task of achieving price stability. There is clearly a job to do in moderating demand to better align with supply. We are committed to doing that job.</p><p>The second lesson is that the public&#39;s expectations about future inflation can play an important role in setting the path of inflation over time. Today, by many measures, longer-term inflation expectations appear to remain well anchored. That is broadly true of surveys of households, businesses, and forecasters, and of market-based measures as well. But that is not grounds for complacency, with inflation having run well above our goal for some time.</p><p>If the public expects that inflation will remain low and stable over time, then, absent major shocks, it likely will. Unfortunately, the same is true of expectations of high and volatile inflation. During the 1970s, as inflation climbed, the anticipation of high inflation became entrenched in the economic decisionmaking of households and businesses. The more inflation rose, the more people came to expect it to remain high, and they built that belief into wage and pricing decisions. As former Chairman Paul Volcker put it at the height of the Great Inflation in 1979, &#34;Inflation feeds in part on itself, so part of the job of returning to a more stable and more productive economy must be to break the grip of inflationary expectations.&#34;2</p><p>One useful insight into how actual inflation may affect expectations about its future path is based in the concept of &#34;rational inattention.&#34;3When inflation is persistently high, households and businesses must pay close attention and incorporate inflation into their economic decisions. When inflation is low and stable, they are freer to focus their attention elsewhere. Former Chairman Alan Greenspan put it this way: &#34;For all practical purposes, price stability means that expected changes in the average price level are small enough and gradual enough that they do not materially enter business and household financial decisions.&#34;4</p><p>Of course, inflation has just about everyone&#39;s attention right now, which highlights a particular risk today: The longer the current bout of high inflation continues, the greater the chance that expectations of higher inflation will become entrenched.</p><p>That brings me to the third lesson, which is that we must keep at it until the job is done. History shows that the employment costs of bringing down inflation are likely to increase with delay, as high inflation becomes more entrenched in wage and price setting. The successful Volcker disinflation in the early 1980s followed multiple failed attempts to lower inflation over the previous 15 years. A lengthy period of very restrictive monetary policy was ultimately needed to stem the high inflation and start the process of getting inflation down to the low and stable levels that were the norm until the spring of last year. Our aim is to avoid that outcome by acting with resolve now.</p><p>These lessons are guiding us as we use our tools to bring inflation down. We are taking forceful and rapid steps to moderate demand so that it comes into better alignment with supply, and to keep inflation expectations anchored. We will keep at it until we are confident the job is done.</p><p></p><p></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Full Speech By Federal Reserve Chair Powell on Monetary Policy and Price Stability</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFull Speech By Federal Reserve Chair Powell on Monetary Policy and Price Stability\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-08-26 23:11</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p><b><i>Monetary Policy and Price Stability</i></b></p><p>Chair Jerome H. Powell</p><p>At “Reassessing Constraints on the Economy and Policy,” an economic policy symposium sponsored by the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, Jackson Hole, Wyoming</p><p>Thank you for the opportunity to speak here today.</p><p>At past Jackson Hole conferences, I have discussed broad topics such as the ever-changing structure of the economy and the challenges of conducting monetary policy under high uncertainty. Today, my remarks will be shorter, my focus narrower, and my message more direct.</p><p>The Federal Open Market Committee&#39;s (FOMC) overarching focus right now is to bring inflation back down to our 2 percent goal. Price stability is the responsibility of the Federal Reserve and serves as the bedrock of our economy. Without price stability, the economy does not work for anyone. In particular, without price stability, we will not achieve a sustained period of strong labor market conditions that benefit all. The burdens of high inflation fall heaviest on those who are least able to bear them.</p><p>Restoring price stability will take some time and requires using our tools forcefully to bring demand and supply into better balance. Reducing inflation is likely to require a sustained period of below-trend growth. Moreover, there will very likely be some softening of labor market conditions. While higher interest rates, slower growth, and softer labor market conditions will bring down inflation, they will also bring some pain to households and businesses. These are the unfortunate costs of reducing inflation. But a failure to restore price stability would mean far greater pain.</p><p>The U.S. economy is clearly slowing from the historically high growth rates of 2021, which reflected the reopening of the economy following the pandemic recession. While the latest economic data have been mixed, in my view our economy continues to show strong underlying momentum. The labor market is particularly strong, but it is clearly out of balance, with demand for workers substantially exceeding the supply of available workers. Inflation is running well above 2 percent, and high inflation has continued to spread through the economy. While the lower inflation readings for July are welcome, a single month&#39;s improvement falls far short of what the Committee will need to see before we are confident that inflation is moving down.</p><p>We are moving our policy stance purposefully to a level that will be sufficiently restrictive to return inflation to 2 percent. At our most recent meeting in July, the FOMC raised the target range for the federal funds rate to 2.25 to 2.5 percent, which is in the Summary of Economic Projection&#39;s (SEP) range of estimates of where the federal funds rate is projected to settle in the longer run. In current circumstances, with inflation running far above 2 percent and the labor market extremely tight, estimates of longer-run neutral are not a place to stop or pause.</p><p>July&#39;s increase in the target range was the second 75 basis point increase in as many meetings, and I said then that another unusually large increase could be appropriate at our next meeting. We are now about halfway through the intermeeting period. Our decision at the September meeting will depend on the totality of the incoming data and the evolving outlook. At some point, as the stance of monetary policy tightens further, it likely will become appropriate to slow the pace of increases.</p><p>Restoring price stability will likely require maintaining a restrictive policy stance for some time. The historical record cautions strongly against prematurely loosening policy. Committee participants&#39; most recent individual projections from the June SEP showed the median federal funds rate running slightly below 4 percent through the end of 2023. Participants will update their projections at the September meeting.</p><p>Our monetary policy deliberations and decisions build on what we have learned about inflation dynamics both from the high and volatile inflation of the 1970s and 1980s, and from the low and stable inflation of the past quarter-century. In particular, we are drawing on three important lessons.</p><p>The first lesson is that central banks<i>can</i>and<i>should</i>take responsibility for delivering low and stable inflation. It may seem strange now that central bankers and others once needed convincing on these two fronts, but as former Chairman Ben Bernanke has shown, both propositions were widely questioned during the Great Inflation period.1Today, we regard these questions as settled. Our responsibility to deliver price stability is unconditional. It is true that the current high inflation is a global phenomenon, and that many economies around the world face inflation as high or higher than seen here in the United States. It is also true, in my view, that the current high inflation in the United States is the product of strong demand and constrained supply, and that the Fed&#39;s tools work principally on aggregate demand. None of this diminishes the Federal Reserve&#39;s responsibility to carry out our assigned task of achieving price stability. There is clearly a job to do in moderating demand to better align with supply. We are committed to doing that job.</p><p>The second lesson is that the public&#39;s expectations about future inflation can play an important role in setting the path of inflation over time. Today, by many measures, longer-term inflation expectations appear to remain well anchored. That is broadly true of surveys of households, businesses, and forecasters, and of market-based measures as well. But that is not grounds for complacency, with inflation having run well above our goal for some time.</p><p>If the public expects that inflation will remain low and stable over time, then, absent major shocks, it likely will. Unfortunately, the same is true of expectations of high and volatile inflation. During the 1970s, as inflation climbed, the anticipation of high inflation became entrenched in the economic decisionmaking of households and businesses. The more inflation rose, the more people came to expect it to remain high, and they built that belief into wage and pricing decisions. As former Chairman Paul Volcker put it at the height of the Great Inflation in 1979, &#34;Inflation feeds in part on itself, so part of the job of returning to a more stable and more productive economy must be to break the grip of inflationary expectations.&#34;2</p><p>One useful insight into how actual inflation may affect expectations about its future path is based in the concept of &#34;rational inattention.&#34;3When inflation is persistently high, households and businesses must pay close attention and incorporate inflation into their economic decisions. When inflation is low and stable, they are freer to focus their attention elsewhere. Former Chairman Alan Greenspan put it this way: &#34;For all practical purposes, price stability means that expected changes in the average price level are small enough and gradual enough that they do not materially enter business and household financial decisions.&#34;4</p><p>Of course, inflation has just about everyone&#39;s attention right now, which highlights a particular risk today: The longer the current bout of high inflation continues, the greater the chance that expectations of higher inflation will become entrenched.</p><p>That brings me to the third lesson, which is that we must keep at it until the job is done. History shows that the employment costs of bringing down inflation are likely to increase with delay, as high inflation becomes more entrenched in wage and price setting. The successful Volcker disinflation in the early 1980s followed multiple failed attempts to lower inflation over the previous 15 years. A lengthy period of very restrictive monetary policy was ultimately needed to stem the high inflation and start the process of getting inflation down to the low and stable levels that were the norm until the spring of last year. Our aim is to avoid that outcome by acting with resolve now.</p><p>These lessons are guiding us as we use our tools to bring inflation down. We are taking forceful and rapid steps to moderate demand so that it comes into better alignment with supply, and to keep inflation expectations anchored. We will keep at it until we are confident the job is done.</p><p></p><p></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1131787080","content_text":"Monetary Policy and Price StabilityChair Jerome H. PowellAt “Reassessing Constraints on the Economy and Policy,” an economic policy symposium sponsored by the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, Jackson Hole, WyomingThank you for the opportunity to speak here today.At past Jackson Hole conferences, I have discussed broad topics such as the ever-changing structure of the economy and the challenges of conducting monetary policy under high uncertainty. Today, my remarks will be shorter, my focus narrower, and my message more direct.The Federal Open Market Committee's (FOMC) overarching focus right now is to bring inflation back down to our 2 percent goal. Price stability is the responsibility of the Federal Reserve and serves as the bedrock of our economy. Without price stability, the economy does not work for anyone. In particular, without price stability, we will not achieve a sustained period of strong labor market conditions that benefit all. The burdens of high inflation fall heaviest on those who are least able to bear them.Restoring price stability will take some time and requires using our tools forcefully to bring demand and supply into better balance. Reducing inflation is likely to require a sustained period of below-trend growth. Moreover, there will very likely be some softening of labor market conditions. While higher interest rates, slower growth, and softer labor market conditions will bring down inflation, they will also bring some pain to households and businesses. These are the unfortunate costs of reducing inflation. But a failure to restore price stability would mean far greater pain.The U.S. economy is clearly slowing from the historically high growth rates of 2021, which reflected the reopening of the economy following the pandemic recession. While the latest economic data have been mixed, in my view our economy continues to show strong underlying momentum. The labor market is particularly strong, but it is clearly out of balance, with demand for workers substantially exceeding the supply of available workers. Inflation is running well above 2 percent, and high inflation has continued to spread through the economy. While the lower inflation readings for July are welcome, a single month's improvement falls far short of what the Committee will need to see before we are confident that inflation is moving down.We are moving our policy stance purposefully to a level that will be sufficiently restrictive to return inflation to 2 percent. At our most recent meeting in July, the FOMC raised the target range for the federal funds rate to 2.25 to 2.5 percent, which is in the Summary of Economic Projection's (SEP) range of estimates of where the federal funds rate is projected to settle in the longer run. In current circumstances, with inflation running far above 2 percent and the labor market extremely tight, estimates of longer-run neutral are not a place to stop or pause.July's increase in the target range was the second 75 basis point increase in as many meetings, and I said then that another unusually large increase could be appropriate at our next meeting. We are now about halfway through the intermeeting period. Our decision at the September meeting will depend on the totality of the incoming data and the evolving outlook. At some point, as the stance of monetary policy tightens further, it likely will become appropriate to slow the pace of increases.Restoring price stability will likely require maintaining a restrictive policy stance for some time. The historical record cautions strongly against prematurely loosening policy. Committee participants' most recent individual projections from the June SEP showed the median federal funds rate running slightly below 4 percent through the end of 2023. Participants will update their projections at the September meeting.Our monetary policy deliberations and decisions build on what we have learned about inflation dynamics both from the high and volatile inflation of the 1970s and 1980s, and from the low and stable inflation of the past quarter-century. In particular, we are drawing on three important lessons.The first lesson is that central bankscanandshouldtake responsibility for delivering low and stable inflation. It may seem strange now that central bankers and others once needed convincing on these two fronts, but as former Chairman Ben Bernanke has shown, both propositions were widely questioned during the Great Inflation period.1Today, we regard these questions as settled. Our responsibility to deliver price stability is unconditional. It is true that the current high inflation is a global phenomenon, and that many economies around the world face inflation as high or higher than seen here in the United States. It is also true, in my view, that the current high inflation in the United States is the product of strong demand and constrained supply, and that the Fed's tools work principally on aggregate demand. None of this diminishes the Federal Reserve's responsibility to carry out our assigned task of achieving price stability. There is clearly a job to do in moderating demand to better align with supply. We are committed to doing that job.The second lesson is that the public's expectations about future inflation can play an important role in setting the path of inflation over time. Today, by many measures, longer-term inflation expectations appear to remain well anchored. That is broadly true of surveys of households, businesses, and forecasters, and of market-based measures as well. But that is not grounds for complacency, with inflation having run well above our goal for some time.If the public expects that inflation will remain low and stable over time, then, absent major shocks, it likely will. Unfortunately, the same is true of expectations of high and volatile inflation. During the 1970s, as inflation climbed, the anticipation of high inflation became entrenched in the economic decisionmaking of households and businesses. The more inflation rose, the more people came to expect it to remain high, and they built that belief into wage and pricing decisions. As former Chairman Paul Volcker put it at the height of the Great Inflation in 1979, \"Inflation feeds in part on itself, so part of the job of returning to a more stable and more productive economy must be to break the grip of inflationary expectations.\"2One useful insight into how actual inflation may affect expectations about its future path is based in the concept of \"rational inattention.\"3When inflation is persistently high, households and businesses must pay close attention and incorporate inflation into their economic decisions. When inflation is low and stable, they are freer to focus their attention elsewhere. Former Chairman Alan Greenspan put it this way: \"For all practical purposes, price stability means that expected changes in the average price level are small enough and gradual enough that they do not materially enter business and household financial decisions.\"4Of course, inflation has just about everyone's attention right now, which highlights a particular risk today: The longer the current bout of high inflation continues, the greater the chance that expectations of higher inflation will become entrenched.That brings me to the third lesson, which is that we must keep at it until the job is done. History shows that the employment costs of bringing down inflation are likely to increase with delay, as high inflation becomes more entrenched in wage and price setting. The successful Volcker disinflation in the early 1980s followed multiple failed attempts to lower inflation over the previous 15 years. A lengthy period of very restrictive monetary policy was ultimately needed to stem the high inflation and start the process of getting inflation down to the low and stable levels that were the norm until the spring of last year. Our aim is to avoid that outcome by acting with resolve now.These lessons are guiding us as we use our tools to bring inflation down. We are taking forceful and rapid steps to moderate demand so that it comes into better alignment with supply, and to keep inflation expectations anchored. We will keep at it until we are confident the job is done.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":158,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9995399899,"gmtCreate":1661403251314,"gmtModify":1676536512856,"author":{"id":"3573789293829232","authorId":"3573789293829232","name":"btoh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a7c2d714604fc804a48646ee397f912","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573789293829232","authorIdStr":"3573789293829232"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9995399899","repostId":"1172569376","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":237,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9992812164,"gmtCreate":1661298401760,"gmtModify":1676536490550,"author":{"id":"3573789293829232","authorId":"3573789293829232","name":"btoh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a7c2d714604fc804a48646ee397f912","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573789293829232","authorIdStr":"3573789293829232"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9992812164","repostId":"2261663436","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2261663436","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1661296197,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2261663436?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-24 07:09","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US STOCKS-Wall Street Ends Down As Investors Eye Slowing Economy","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2261663436","media":"Reuters","summary":"Wall Street ended down on Tuesday as investors focused on data showing a slowing economy ahead of a ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Wall Street ended down on Tuesday as investors focused on data showing a slowing economy ahead of a U.S. Federal Reserve gathering later this week in Jackson Hole, Wyoming.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 dipped after data showed private-sector business activity in the United States contracted for a second straight month in August, with particular softness in the services sector as demand weakened in the face of inflation and tighter financial conditions.</p><p>The S&amp;P Global flash composite purchasing managers index, or PMI, for August dropped to 45, the lowest since February 2021, from 47.7 in July. A reading below 50 indicates a contraction in activity.</p><p>Stocks have declined in recent sessions ahead of this week&#39;s central bank gathering in Jackson Hole, where Fed Chair Jerome Powell is expected on Friday to reinforce a strong commitment to stamp out inflation running at four-decades high.</p><p>Traders are split between expecting a 50 basis points hike and a 75 bps hike by the central bank after several policymakers recently pushed back against expectations of a dovish pivot and emphasized the Fed&#39;s commitment to fight against inflation.</p><p>&#34;What we have seen in the past week is the realization that the Fed could still raise interest rates by 75 basis points in September,&#34; said Jake Dollarhide, chief executive of Longbow Asset Management in Tulsa, Oklahoma. &#34;The market fears that Powell&#39;s going to go back into a hawkish stance.&#34;</p><p>The benchmark 10-year yield rose to its highest level since late July.</p><p>Zoom Video Communications Inc tumbled almost 17% after the former &#34;stay-at-home&#34; stock darling cut its annual profit and revenue forecasts.</p><p>Of the 11 S&amp;P 500 sector indexes, seven declined, led lower by real estate, down 1.46%, followed by a 1.39% loss in healthcare.</p><p>After a rough start to the year, markets rallied since mid-June on hopes inflation has peaked, but that summer rally snapped last week due to renewed fears around an aggressive monetary policy tightening path by the Fed.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 declined 0.22% to end the session at 4,128.73 points.</p><p>The Nasdaq was unchanged at 12,381.30 points, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 0.47% to 32,909.59 points.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 energy index rallied 3.6%, tracking a jump in crude prices as tight supply moved back into focus.</p><p>Macy&#39;s Inc rose 3.8% after the retailer beat quarterly profit estimates, while <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PANW\">Palo Alto Networks</a> Inc surged about 12% after the cybersecurity firm posted upbeat quarterly results and announced a stock split plan.</p><p>The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index rose 0.7%, reducing its loss in 2022 to about 27%.</p><p>Declining stocks outnumbered rising ones within the S&amp;P 500 by a 1.5-to-one ratio.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted one new high and 30 new lows; the Nasdaq recorded 45 new highs and 150 new lows.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was relatively light, with 9.4 billion shares traded, compared with an average of 10.9 billion shares over the previous 20 sessions.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US STOCKS-Wall Street Ends Down As Investors Eye Slowing Economy</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS STOCKS-Wall Street Ends Down As Investors Eye Slowing Economy\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-08-24 07:09</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Wall Street ended down on Tuesday as investors focused on data showing a slowing economy ahead of a U.S. Federal Reserve gathering later this week in Jackson Hole, Wyoming.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 dipped after data showed private-sector business activity in the United States contracted for a second straight month in August, with particular softness in the services sector as demand weakened in the face of inflation and tighter financial conditions.</p><p>The S&amp;P Global flash composite purchasing managers index, or PMI, for August dropped to 45, the lowest since February 2021, from 47.7 in July. A reading below 50 indicates a contraction in activity.</p><p>Stocks have declined in recent sessions ahead of this week&#39;s central bank gathering in Jackson Hole, where Fed Chair Jerome Powell is expected on Friday to reinforce a strong commitment to stamp out inflation running at four-decades high.</p><p>Traders are split between expecting a 50 basis points hike and a 75 bps hike by the central bank after several policymakers recently pushed back against expectations of a dovish pivot and emphasized the Fed&#39;s commitment to fight against inflation.</p><p>&#34;What we have seen in the past week is the realization that the Fed could still raise interest rates by 75 basis points in September,&#34; said Jake Dollarhide, chief executive of Longbow Asset Management in Tulsa, Oklahoma. &#34;The market fears that Powell&#39;s going to go back into a hawkish stance.&#34;</p><p>The benchmark 10-year yield rose to its highest level since late July.</p><p>Zoom Video Communications Inc tumbled almost 17% after the former &#34;stay-at-home&#34; stock darling cut its annual profit and revenue forecasts.</p><p>Of the 11 S&amp;P 500 sector indexes, seven declined, led lower by real estate, down 1.46%, followed by a 1.39% loss in healthcare.</p><p>After a rough start to the year, markets rallied since mid-June on hopes inflation has peaked, but that summer rally snapped last week due to renewed fears around an aggressive monetary policy tightening path by the Fed.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 declined 0.22% to end the session at 4,128.73 points.</p><p>The Nasdaq was unchanged at 12,381.30 points, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 0.47% to 32,909.59 points.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 energy index rallied 3.6%, tracking a jump in crude prices as tight supply moved back into focus.</p><p>Macy&#39;s Inc rose 3.8% after the retailer beat quarterly profit estimates, while <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PANW\">Palo Alto Networks</a> Inc surged about 12% after the cybersecurity firm posted upbeat quarterly results and announced a stock split plan.</p><p>The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index rose 0.7%, reducing its loss in 2022 to about 27%.</p><p>Declining stocks outnumbered rising ones within the S&amp;P 500 by a 1.5-to-one ratio.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted one new high and 30 new lows; the Nasdaq recorded 45 new highs and 150 new lows.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was relatively light, with 9.4 billion shares traded, compared with an average of 10.9 billion shares over the previous 20 sessions.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2261663436","content_text":"Wall Street ended down on Tuesday as investors focused on data showing a slowing economy ahead of a U.S. Federal Reserve gathering later this week in Jackson Hole, Wyoming.The S&P 500 dipped after data showed private-sector business activity in the United States contracted for a second straight month in August, with particular softness in the services sector as demand weakened in the face of inflation and tighter financial conditions.The S&P Global flash composite purchasing managers index, or PMI, for August dropped to 45, the lowest since February 2021, from 47.7 in July. A reading below 50 indicates a contraction in activity.Stocks have declined in recent sessions ahead of this week's central bank gathering in Jackson Hole, where Fed Chair Jerome Powell is expected on Friday to reinforce a strong commitment to stamp out inflation running at four-decades high.Traders are split between expecting a 50 basis points hike and a 75 bps hike by the central bank after several policymakers recently pushed back against expectations of a dovish pivot and emphasized the Fed's commitment to fight against inflation.\"What we have seen in the past week is the realization that the Fed could still raise interest rates by 75 basis points in September,\" said Jake Dollarhide, chief executive of Longbow Asset Management in Tulsa, Oklahoma. \"The market fears that Powell's going to go back into a hawkish stance.\"The benchmark 10-year yield rose to its highest level since late July.Zoom Video Communications Inc tumbled almost 17% after the former \"stay-at-home\" stock darling cut its annual profit and revenue forecasts.Of the 11 S&P 500 sector indexes, seven declined, led lower by real estate, down 1.46%, followed by a 1.39% loss in healthcare.After a rough start to the year, markets rallied since mid-June on hopes inflation has peaked, but that summer rally snapped last week due to renewed fears around an aggressive monetary policy tightening path by the Fed.The S&P 500 declined 0.22% to end the session at 4,128.73 points.The Nasdaq was unchanged at 12,381.30 points, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 0.47% to 32,909.59 points.The S&P 500 energy index rallied 3.6%, tracking a jump in crude prices as tight supply moved back into focus.Macy's Inc rose 3.8% after the retailer beat quarterly profit estimates, while Palo Alto Networks Inc surged about 12% after the cybersecurity firm posted upbeat quarterly results and announced a stock split plan.The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index rose 0.7%, reducing its loss in 2022 to about 27%.Declining stocks outnumbered rising ones within the S&P 500 by a 1.5-to-one ratio.The S&P 500 posted one new high and 30 new lows; the Nasdaq recorded 45 new highs and 150 new lows.Volume on U.S. exchanges was relatively light, with 9.4 billion shares traded, compared with an average of 10.9 billion shares over the previous 20 sessions.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":110,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9996777088,"gmtCreate":1661220813947,"gmtModify":1676536477654,"author":{"id":"3573789293829232","authorId":"3573789293829232","name":"btoh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a7c2d714604fc804a48646ee397f912","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573789293829232","authorIdStr":"3573789293829232"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9996777088","repostId":"1140002312","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1140002312","pubTimestamp":1661227301,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1140002312?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-23 12:01","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Must Face The Comeback Of Affordable ICE Vehicles","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1140002312","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryTesla has grown its sales while traditional automakers have shrunk.The chip shortage has driven the average transaction price of a new car higher than the price of a Model 3.This is unsustainable and as production returns, prices will drop.Tesla will need to respond with lower prices to be price competitive, which will hurt profitability, or it could face demand or growth risks.What's happened?It's hardly a splurge in today's market.A Model 3 costs \"just\" 30% more than the cheapest Honda ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Tesla has grown its sales while traditional automakers have shrunk.</li><li>The chip shortage has driven the average transaction price of a new car higher than the price of a Model 3.</li><li>This is unsustainable and as production returns, prices will drop.</li><li>Tesla will need to respond with lower prices to be price competitive, which will hurt profitability, or it could face demand or growth risks.</li></ul><p><b>What&#39;s happened?</b></p><p>Other automakers&#39; misfortunes have been Tesla&#39;s (NASDAQ:TSLA) gain. While Tesla is commonly seen as a luxury vehicle, it is taking sales from not just all the luxury automakers, but all the mainstream categories as well. Tesla&#39;s flawless navigation through the supply chain means not only higher production for Tesla, but higher demand as other automakers struggle with very high starting prices that are mostly out of their control.</p><p>In addition to supply chain hurdles, traditional automakers have struggled with dealerships driving up prices well above MSRP via price markups and mandatory accessories. Manufacturers like Ford (F), which historically have good relations with dealerships, are now starting to show their frustration with dealers. To counter this (and to get a bigger piece of the pie themselves), manufacturers have focused on building higher priced configurations of their vehicles, but that hasn&#39;t stopped the strong consumer from driving up prices further.</p><p>For the shopper, this is a double whammy. With manufacturers prioritizing higher-priced variants and dealerships applying extreme markups to those units, in July the average retail price for a new car rose to an all-time high of $48,142 and the average monthly payment is now $733. In fact, the average retail price is now higher than the starting price of a Model 3, even after a $10,000 price increase over the last year. In today&#39;s market, an entry-level Tesla is no longer a luxury vehicle.</p><p>My local dealership here in Southern California sells a top-of-the-line Honda Accord Touring for nearly the same price as a Standard Range Model 3 and according to the salesman, they&#39;ve been selling every one that they get. With mainstream vehicles having luxury prices, it&#39;s no wonder Tesla is taking sales from the mainstream segment.</p><p>While we may never see inventory levels like we did prior to the pandemic that allowed incentives and dealer discounts to bring prices well below MSRP, I believe buying a car at MSRP will eventually happen. This will give shoppers the much-needed choice they need.</p><p><b>Tesla: Now a luxury within reach</b></p><p>So how does the price of a Model 3 today compare with an Accord versus Honda&#39;s intention, and versus prices from a few years ago? It&#39;s hardly a splurge in today&#39;s market.</p><p>A Model 3 costs &#34;just&#34; 30% more than the cheapest Honda Accord I can find, a Sport trim priced at $35,975 including markups, and the salesman assured me that they sell every one they get without discount. That&#39;s a model that doesn&#39;t even have heated cloth seats; leather would cost an additional $1500 and at that point a Model 3 would be just 25% more for a huge upgrade in terms of brand and features.</p><p>Obviously, this is due to inflated prices and was never the intention. If a buyer could pick up an Accord LX (the cheapest trim) for an MSRP of $26,520 without those pesky markups, the cost of a Standard Range Model 3 would be more than 80% higher. You can argue that a Model 3 is worth the higher price tag but the problem is that with so few options today, a Tesla is far more appealing today than it was a few years ago (especially with fuel and maintenance savings). It&#39;s easy to see why Tesla is taking so many sales from the mainstream segment. In fact, according to Tom Libby from S&amp;P Mobility, about half of Model 3 and Y buyers have a mainstream product in their garage, which he finds extraordinary.</p><p>Even if we consider 2019 prices when a Model 3 was just $37,000, it was still more than 50% higher than the MSRP of an Accord LX at the time, and that&#39;s excluding past dealer discounts and manufacturer incentives that could drive the price thousands below MSRP.</p><p>With higher prices thanks to supply chain woes, Tesla has been able to bring in record profitability. Unfortunately, there are signs that these conditions are starting to fade.</p><p><b>The market is shifting</b></p><p>It&#39;s important to note that the strong consumer has been incredibly helpful in driving prices through the roof, but there are signs that the consumer&#39;s spending habits are changing.</p><p>Over the past few months, when it comes to the new car market, buyers just haven&#39;t had a choice. <i>Someone</i> is going to buy that overpriced car on the lot, however foolish it may be. Thankfully, the used car market is showing signs of stability, and since more than 40 million used cars were sold in the US last year (22 million via retailers), a look at this segment is a good indicator of car shopping behavior when provided a choice.</p><p>If you&#39;re unfamiliar, here&#39;s an example of how prices have been in the used market. In Southern California, a certified pre-owned 2021 Civic LX (base model) with 28,000 miles has a retail price of $28,655, which is 35% higher than its original MSRP of $21,250.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7863b77894ec6738305b9e12cf9dc2fd\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"248\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>ochondaworld.com</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6ceceac50604deafb86b1d96ec132873\" tg-width=\"498\" tg-height=\"862\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Autonews.com</p><p>Last quarter, used vehicle profitability plunged. AutoNation&#39;s (AN) used vehicle gross profit declined by 22% from the prior quarter and 14% from last year, while Group 1 (GPI) saw profits dive 25%. Online used car retailers are also seeing profits plunge, with Carvana (CVNA) posting a loss of more than a billion dollars thanks to a 44% decline in gross profits from last year. See the chart to the right for more.</p><p>The majority of CEOs from major public car retailers discuss the consumer&#39;s reluctance to pay big premiums for vehicles as they were previously. Penske (PAG) CEO said that higher prices are &#34;taking some people out of the market&#34;. Group 1 Automotive&#39;s CEO stated that demand is shifting to lower price points. Asbury Automotive Group CEO David Hult said that consumers were &#34;impulsively buying&#34; six months ago but are now more cautious. According to Cox Automotive, used car prices are trending down and should be a source of deflation in the months ahead.</p><p>In other words, the buying frenzy for overpriced used vehicles is over and it&#39;s reasonable to believe that this will translate into the new car market as soon as production stabilizes.</p><p><b>Signs of New Car Production Rebound</b></p><p>Nobody is yet sure when new car production will fully rebound, or even recover to levels where shoppers can buy cars without massive markups, however there is some promising signs starting to surface.</p><p>In June, UK car production was back on the rise, up 5.6% from the year earlier thanks to an ease in some supply chain issues. According to LMCAutomotive, the Global Light Vehicle selling rate rose for the third consecutive month to 90 million units/year in July, which it noted as the best performance for the year so far thanks to a rebound in China and South America. US sales remain down, but the sales decline by 11.6% was the smallest decline since January. Finally, according to AutoForecast Solutions, automakers lost just 6,800 vehicles in weekly production due to the chip shortage and that was one of the smallest losses since the chip shortage began in early 2021.</p><p><b>Conclusion</b></p><p>For the better part of the last year, Tesla&#39;s applaudable performance despite supply chain woes has come with great benefit. For starters, shoppers of ICE vehicles have faced extreme price pressure due to automakers prioritizing well-equipped variants of their vehicles and dealerships adding steep markups to these already high-priced cars.</p><p>However, there are signs of a weakening consumer. In the used market, consumers are (thankfully) showing signs of reluctance when faced with the purchase of a used base model Civic for nearly 30 grand. Auto retailers are making it clear that the buying frenzy is over. In addition, there&#39;s a glimmer of hope that production is starting to ease. We still need more data, but it&#39;s reasonable to believe that the supply chain will ease eventually.</p><p>When that time comes, Tesla will be facing lower mainstream vehicle prices and will likely find it more difficult to bite into these high-volume segments so easily. Of course, Tesla would also benefit from any supply chain easing, but at the expensive of what&#39;s been a driver of the stock&#39;s recent run up: high gross margins and profitability in addition to growth. Initially, there was a selloff after its most recent earnings report, with the red flag being margin contraction. Further margin contraction due to pricing pressure may not be taken lightly by investors, especially if it were perceived as an indicator of reduced demand.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Must Face The Comeback Of Affordable ICE Vehicles</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Must Face The Comeback Of Affordable ICE Vehicles\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-23 12:01 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4536057-tesla-faces-comeback-of-affordable-ice-vehicles?source=content_type%3Aall%7Cfirst_level_url%3Aportfolio%7Csection%3Aportfolio_content_unit%7Csection_asset%3Alatest%7Cline%3A20><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryTesla has grown its sales while traditional automakers have shrunk.The chip shortage has driven the average transaction price of a new car higher than the price of a Model 3.This is ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4536057-tesla-faces-comeback-of-affordable-ice-vehicles?source=content_type%3Aall%7Cfirst_level_url%3Aportfolio%7Csection%3Aportfolio_content_unit%7Csection_asset%3Alatest%7Cline%3A20\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4536057-tesla-faces-comeback-of-affordable-ice-vehicles?source=content_type%3Aall%7Cfirst_level_url%3Aportfolio%7Csection%3Aportfolio_content_unit%7Csection_asset%3Alatest%7Cline%3A20","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1140002312","content_text":"SummaryTesla has grown its sales while traditional automakers have shrunk.The chip shortage has driven the average transaction price of a new car higher than the price of a Model 3.This is unsustainable and as production returns, prices will drop.Tesla will need to respond with lower prices to be price competitive, which will hurt profitability, or it could face demand or growth risks.What's happened?Other automakers' misfortunes have been Tesla's (NASDAQ:TSLA) gain. While Tesla is commonly seen as a luxury vehicle, it is taking sales from not just all the luxury automakers, but all the mainstream categories as well. Tesla's flawless navigation through the supply chain means not only higher production for Tesla, but higher demand as other automakers struggle with very high starting prices that are mostly out of their control.In addition to supply chain hurdles, traditional automakers have struggled with dealerships driving up prices well above MSRP via price markups and mandatory accessories. Manufacturers like Ford (F), which historically have good relations with dealerships, are now starting to show their frustration with dealers. To counter this (and to get a bigger piece of the pie themselves), manufacturers have focused on building higher priced configurations of their vehicles, but that hasn't stopped the strong consumer from driving up prices further.For the shopper, this is a double whammy. With manufacturers prioritizing higher-priced variants and dealerships applying extreme markups to those units, in July the average retail price for a new car rose to an all-time high of $48,142 and the average monthly payment is now $733. In fact, the average retail price is now higher than the starting price of a Model 3, even after a $10,000 price increase over the last year. In today's market, an entry-level Tesla is no longer a luxury vehicle.My local dealership here in Southern California sells a top-of-the-line Honda Accord Touring for nearly the same price as a Standard Range Model 3 and according to the salesman, they've been selling every one that they get. With mainstream vehicles having luxury prices, it's no wonder Tesla is taking sales from the mainstream segment.While we may never see inventory levels like we did prior to the pandemic that allowed incentives and dealer discounts to bring prices well below MSRP, I believe buying a car at MSRP will eventually happen. This will give shoppers the much-needed choice they need.Tesla: Now a luxury within reachSo how does the price of a Model 3 today compare with an Accord versus Honda's intention, and versus prices from a few years ago? It's hardly a splurge in today's market.A Model 3 costs \"just\" 30% more than the cheapest Honda Accord I can find, a Sport trim priced at $35,975 including markups, and the salesman assured me that they sell every one they get without discount. That's a model that doesn't even have heated cloth seats; leather would cost an additional $1500 and at that point a Model 3 would be just 25% more for a huge upgrade in terms of brand and features.Obviously, this is due to inflated prices and was never the intention. If a buyer could pick up an Accord LX (the cheapest trim) for an MSRP of $26,520 without those pesky markups, the cost of a Standard Range Model 3 would be more than 80% higher. You can argue that a Model 3 is worth the higher price tag but the problem is that with so few options today, a Tesla is far more appealing today than it was a few years ago (especially with fuel and maintenance savings). It's easy to see why Tesla is taking so many sales from the mainstream segment. In fact, according to Tom Libby from S&P Mobility, about half of Model 3 and Y buyers have a mainstream product in their garage, which he finds extraordinary.Even if we consider 2019 prices when a Model 3 was just $37,000, it was still more than 50% higher than the MSRP of an Accord LX at the time, and that's excluding past dealer discounts and manufacturer incentives that could drive the price thousands below MSRP.With higher prices thanks to supply chain woes, Tesla has been able to bring in record profitability. Unfortunately, there are signs that these conditions are starting to fade.The market is shiftingIt's important to note that the strong consumer has been incredibly helpful in driving prices through the roof, but there are signs that the consumer's spending habits are changing.Over the past few months, when it comes to the new car market, buyers just haven't had a choice. Someone is going to buy that overpriced car on the lot, however foolish it may be. Thankfully, the used car market is showing signs of stability, and since more than 40 million used cars were sold in the US last year (22 million via retailers), a look at this segment is a good indicator of car shopping behavior when provided a choice.If you're unfamiliar, here's an example of how prices have been in the used market. In Southern California, a certified pre-owned 2021 Civic LX (base model) with 28,000 miles has a retail price of $28,655, which is 35% higher than its original MSRP of $21,250.ochondaworld.comAutonews.comLast quarter, used vehicle profitability plunged. AutoNation's (AN) used vehicle gross profit declined by 22% from the prior quarter and 14% from last year, while Group 1 (GPI) saw profits dive 25%. Online used car retailers are also seeing profits plunge, with Carvana (CVNA) posting a loss of more than a billion dollars thanks to a 44% decline in gross profits from last year. See the chart to the right for more.The majority of CEOs from major public car retailers discuss the consumer's reluctance to pay big premiums for vehicles as they were previously. Penske (PAG) CEO said that higher prices are \"taking some people out of the market\". Group 1 Automotive's CEO stated that demand is shifting to lower price points. Asbury Automotive Group CEO David Hult said that consumers were \"impulsively buying\" six months ago but are now more cautious. According to Cox Automotive, used car prices are trending down and should be a source of deflation in the months ahead.In other words, the buying frenzy for overpriced used vehicles is over and it's reasonable to believe that this will translate into the new car market as soon as production stabilizes.Signs of New Car Production ReboundNobody is yet sure when new car production will fully rebound, or even recover to levels where shoppers can buy cars without massive markups, however there is some promising signs starting to surface.In June, UK car production was back on the rise, up 5.6% from the year earlier thanks to an ease in some supply chain issues. According to LMCAutomotive, the Global Light Vehicle selling rate rose for the third consecutive month to 90 million units/year in July, which it noted as the best performance for the year so far thanks to a rebound in China and South America. US sales remain down, but the sales decline by 11.6% was the smallest decline since January. Finally, according to AutoForecast Solutions, automakers lost just 6,800 vehicles in weekly production due to the chip shortage and that was one of the smallest losses since the chip shortage began in early 2021.ConclusionFor the better part of the last year, Tesla's applaudable performance despite supply chain woes has come with great benefit. For starters, shoppers of ICE vehicles have faced extreme price pressure due to automakers prioritizing well-equipped variants of their vehicles and dealerships adding steep markups to these already high-priced cars.However, there are signs of a weakening consumer. In the used market, consumers are (thankfully) showing signs of reluctance when faced with the purchase of a used base model Civic for nearly 30 grand. Auto retailers are making it clear that the buying frenzy is over. In addition, there's a glimmer of hope that production is starting to ease. We still need more data, but it's reasonable to believe that the supply chain will ease eventually.When that time comes, Tesla will be facing lower mainstream vehicle prices and will likely find it more difficult to bite into these high-volume segments so easily. Of course, Tesla would also benefit from any supply chain easing, but at the expensive of what's been a driver of the stock's recent run up: high gross margins and profitability in addition to growth. Initially, there was a selloff after its most recent earnings report, with the red flag being margin contraction. Further margin contraction due to pricing pressure may not be taken lightly by investors, especially if it were perceived as an indicator of reduced demand.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":143,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9996280256,"gmtCreate":1661176004976,"gmtModify":1676536467182,"author":{"id":"3573789293829232","authorId":"3573789293829232","name":"btoh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a7c2d714604fc804a48646ee397f912","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573789293829232","authorIdStr":"3573789293829232"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9996280256","repostId":"2261515445","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2261515445","pubTimestamp":1661177189,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2261515445?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-22 22:06","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Here's What You Should Know About the 3-for-1 Stock Split Approved By Tesla Shareholders","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2261515445","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Tesla's stock split will take place after the close of trading on Aug. 24, but don't expect to wake up to riches overnight.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>KEY POINTS</b></p><ul><li>Tesla shareholders voted in favor of a 3-for-1 stock split at the company&#39;s annual meeting on Aug. 4.</li><li>Shareholders will see more shares of Tesla stock in their account after the stock split takes place on Aug. 24.</li><li>The shares will trade at a split-adjusted price on Aug. 25.</li></ul><p><b>Tesla</b> is moving forward with its second stock split on Aug. 24. Shareholders approved the 3-for-1 stock split at the company&#39;s annual meeting this month.</p><p>If you&#39;re confused about stock splits, below is a breakdown of how they work, so you can set your expectations.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae15e6e1d3574d71df0833be714bce02\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"467\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p><p><b>Stock splits are taking over headlines in 2022</b></p><p>Large tech companies have been dominating stock-split news this year. <b>Amazon</b> pursued its first stock split since the dot-com boom, completing a 20-for-1 stock split on June 3. E-commerce giant <b>Shopify</b> completed a 10-for-1 split of its common stock on June 28. Then, the parent company of Google, <b>Alphabet</b>, wrapped up a 20-for-1 stock split on July 15.</p><p>Now, Tesla is back in the spotlight after completing a 5-for-1 stock split in 2020. The electric vehicle maker hinted at a stock split earlier this year, and now the big day is taking place this month. If you haven&#39;t been following Tesla this year, here&#39;s a look at the company&#39;s stock-split timeline.</p><ul><li><b>March 28, 2022:</b> Tesla informed the SEC about its stock-split intentions via Form 8-K.</li><li><b>June 6, 2022:</b> If you were a shareholder as of close of business on this date, you received an invitation to Tesla&#39;s annual shareholders meeting.</li><li><b>June 10, 2022:</b> Tesla filed another form with the SEC, announcing a proposed 3-for-1 stock split.</li><li><b>Aug. 4, 2022:</b> Shareholders voted in favor of the 3-for-1 stock split at the 2022 Annual Meeting of Shareholders.</li><li><b>Aug. 17, 2022:</b> Stockholders of record on this date will receive two new shares for every one share they own.</li><li><b>Aug. 24, 2022:</b> The stock split will take place after the close of trading on this date.</li><li><b>Aug. 25, 2022:</b> Tesla shares will trade at a split-adjusted price on this date.</li></ul><p>As you can see, a stock split doesn&#39;t happen overnight. A company needs to file paperwork with the SEC to express its intentions, and then shareholders must give the company the green light to move forward with the stock split.</p><p><b>What happens when a stock splits?</b></p><p>A stock split may be popular, but that doesn&#39;t mean it&#39;s profitable. A stock split in itself won&#39;t make a company&#39;s market capitalization rise or change its intrinsic value. But it does increase the number of a company&#39;s outstanding shares. You&#39;ll notice more shares of a company stock in your account, but the overall value of your shares won&#39;t change. That&#39;s why a stock split is not a taxable event in itself. It doesn&#39;t leave you with more money in your pockets.</p><p>Let&#39;s dive into Tesla&#39;s stock split. The company is doing a 3-for-1 split. That means investors will receive two extra shares of Tesla for every one share they own.</p><p>If you own five shares of Tesla, you&#39;ll wake up to 15 shares of the company after the stock split. If you own 10 shares of Tesla, you&#39;ll have 30 shares later. If you own fractional shares, you&#39;ll still have a chance to participate in the stock split. You&#39;ll just have to do the math to see how your fractional shares will multiply after the stock split.</p><p>You can think of a stock split like getting slices of pizza. If you have a whole pizza, you can slice it into three equal parts like a 3-for-1 stock split. The amount of pizza you have is still the same. When you slice it, you break it up into bite-sized pieces so it&#39;s easier to consume.</p><p>A stock split makes it easier for investors to buy whole shares of a company stock by lowering the price tag. If shares of Tesla stock are $900 before the stock split, the shares will drop to $300 after the 3-for-1 stock split.</p><p><b>Is a stock split a positive sign for a company?</b></p><p>A stock split helps make a stock with a high price tag more affordable to retail investors. But that&#39;s not a big deal in this era since many investors can get their hands on stocks by purchasing fractional shares. However, there are some investors who like the idea of grabbing a whole share of Tesla without breaking the bank. Stock splits open the doors for more investors to accumulate whole shares of a company stock in their portfolio.</p><p>Although stock splits sound fancy, they are more of a cosmetic change. It doesn&#39;t determine the long-term potential of a company. Don&#39;t fall into the trap of believing that stock splits automatically lead to profitability. Do your research before you invest in any stock -- even if the company has a stock split coming up. Review the fundamentals, evaluate management&#39;s leadership style, and do a competitor analysis to see if a company deserves a spot in your portfolio.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Here's What You Should Know About the 3-for-1 Stock Split Approved By Tesla Shareholders</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHere's What You Should Know About the 3-for-1 Stock Split Approved By Tesla Shareholders\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-22 22:06 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/08/21/heres-what-you-should-know-about-the-3-for-1-stock/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>KEY POINTSTesla shareholders voted in favor of a 3-for-1 stock split at the company's annual meeting on Aug. 4.Shareholders will see more shares of Tesla stock in their account after the stock split ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/08/21/heres-what-you-should-know-about-the-3-for-1-stock/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/08/21/heres-what-you-should-know-about-the-3-for-1-stock/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2261515445","content_text":"KEY POINTSTesla shareholders voted in favor of a 3-for-1 stock split at the company's annual meeting on Aug. 4.Shareholders will see more shares of Tesla stock in their account after the stock split takes place on Aug. 24.The shares will trade at a split-adjusted price on Aug. 25.Tesla is moving forward with its second stock split on Aug. 24. Shareholders approved the 3-for-1 stock split at the company's annual meeting this month.If you're confused about stock splits, below is a breakdown of how they work, so you can set your expectations.Image source: Getty Images.Stock splits are taking over headlines in 2022Large tech companies have been dominating stock-split news this year. Amazon pursued its first stock split since the dot-com boom, completing a 20-for-1 stock split on June 3. E-commerce giant Shopify completed a 10-for-1 split of its common stock on June 28. Then, the parent company of Google, Alphabet, wrapped up a 20-for-1 stock split on July 15.Now, Tesla is back in the spotlight after completing a 5-for-1 stock split in 2020. The electric vehicle maker hinted at a stock split earlier this year, and now the big day is taking place this month. If you haven't been following Tesla this year, here's a look at the company's stock-split timeline.March 28, 2022: Tesla informed the SEC about its stock-split intentions via Form 8-K.June 6, 2022: If you were a shareholder as of close of business on this date, you received an invitation to Tesla's annual shareholders meeting.June 10, 2022: Tesla filed another form with the SEC, announcing a proposed 3-for-1 stock split.Aug. 4, 2022: Shareholders voted in favor of the 3-for-1 stock split at the 2022 Annual Meeting of Shareholders.Aug. 17, 2022: Stockholders of record on this date will receive two new shares for every one share they own.Aug. 24, 2022: The stock split will take place after the close of trading on this date.Aug. 25, 2022: Tesla shares will trade at a split-adjusted price on this date.As you can see, a stock split doesn't happen overnight. A company needs to file paperwork with the SEC to express its intentions, and then shareholders must give the company the green light to move forward with the stock split.What happens when a stock splits?A stock split may be popular, but that doesn't mean it's profitable. A stock split in itself won't make a company's market capitalization rise or change its intrinsic value. But it does increase the number of a company's outstanding shares. You'll notice more shares of a company stock in your account, but the overall value of your shares won't change. That's why a stock split is not a taxable event in itself. It doesn't leave you with more money in your pockets.Let's dive into Tesla's stock split. The company is doing a 3-for-1 split. That means investors will receive two extra shares of Tesla for every one share they own.If you own five shares of Tesla, you'll wake up to 15 shares of the company after the stock split. If you own 10 shares of Tesla, you'll have 30 shares later. If you own fractional shares, you'll still have a chance to participate in the stock split. You'll just have to do the math to see how your fractional shares will multiply after the stock split.You can think of a stock split like getting slices of pizza. If you have a whole pizza, you can slice it into three equal parts like a 3-for-1 stock split. The amount of pizza you have is still the same. When you slice it, you break it up into bite-sized pieces so it's easier to consume.A stock split makes it easier for investors to buy whole shares of a company stock by lowering the price tag. If shares of Tesla stock are $900 before the stock split, the shares will drop to $300 after the 3-for-1 stock split.Is a stock split a positive sign for a company?A stock split helps make a stock with a high price tag more affordable to retail investors. But that's not a big deal in this era since many investors can get their hands on stocks by purchasing fractional shares. However, there are some investors who like the idea of grabbing a whole share of Tesla without breaking the bank. Stock splits open the doors for more investors to accumulate whole shares of a company stock in their portfolio.Although stock splits sound fancy, they are more of a cosmetic change. It doesn't determine the long-term potential of a company. Don't fall into the trap of believing that stock splits automatically lead to profitability. Do your research before you invest in any stock -- even if the company has a stock split coming up. Review the fundamentals, evaluate management's leadership style, and do a competitor analysis to see if a company deserves a spot in your portfolio.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":61,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9996009165,"gmtCreate":1661068170962,"gmtModify":1676536448703,"author":{"id":"3573789293829232","authorId":"3573789293829232","name":"btoh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a7c2d714604fc804a48646ee397f912","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573789293829232","authorIdStr":"3573789293829232"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9996009165","repostId":"2260785313","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2260785313","pubTimestamp":1661045446,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2260785313?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-21 09:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"No, There Is No New Short-Selling Champion in Tesla Stock","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2260785313","media":"Barrons","summary":"There was a stir in the Tesla investing community when a regulator filing indicated that asset manag","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>There was a stir in the Tesla investing community when a regulator filing indicated that asset manager Deer Park Road made a seemingly huge bet against Tesla stock using put options. The stir is just a tempest in a teapot. There is no new short-selling champion for Tesla bears to hoist onto their shoulders.</p><p>A put option is, generally speaking, a bearish bet. It gives the holder the right to sell a stock at a fixed price in the future. Holders of put options do better the lower a stock price falls.</p><p>A quarterly regulatory filing indicated that Deer Park had amassed put-option contracts representing more than 4.8 million shares of Tesla (ticker: TSLA) stock. That much Tesla stock is worth roughly $4.3 billion at current prices. On the surface that looks like a massive bet.</p><p>But that isn&#39;t really the way options work. The price paid for an options contract depends on many factors including the strike price and time to contract expiration.</p><p>Consider Tesla put options that expire Friday Aug. 19, and give the holder the right to sell Tesla stock at about $800 a share are essentially trading for about one cent. Theoretically, amassing options contracts that reflect 4.8 million shares of Tesla could cost someone $48,000. That&#39;s a long way from $4.3 billion.</p><p>It wouldn&#39;t be a good idea, though. There isn&#39;t high probability that Tesla stock will drop about $100 in the final hour of trading Friday.</p><p>(There isn&#39;t much trading volume in those contracts. It&#39;s just an example.)</p><p>Deer Park Chief Investment Officer Scott Burg told Barron&#39;s the Tesla put-options position amounted to 0.1% of his portfolio. That isn&#39;t all that much, and indicates Deer Park probably paid the less than $1 per share represented the puts.</p><p>That isn&#39;t a lot for a stock worth about $900. That also means the put options were either expiring soon, or deeply out of the money, or both. Burg didn&#39;t get into contract specifics, but said the position was closed profitably. The tiny position is already gone.</p><p>Profits aren&#39;t hard to fathom. Tesla stock did fall, along with other technology shares, in the second quarter. Tesla stock dropped almost 38% from the end of March to the end of June while the Nasdaq Composite fell 22% over the same span.</p><p>Burg doesn&#39;t consider himself a big Tesla bear. He&#39;s says he is bearish on the overall economy and the consumer. He expects Tesla stock to struggle, but just like any other consumer discretionary stock this coming year.</p><p>The whole episode does illustrate an important lesson about options trading. There are many ways to use options in a portfolio.</p><p>Investors can buy options contracts far from current prices. They are cheap and only pay off if extreme events happen. They can also be used to bet on volatility. Options get more valuable as stock volatility rises and less valuable when volatility falls. Options can be used to hedge a portfolio, too.</p><p>What&#39;s more, bearish options bets can actually generate income for bullish investors. Take Tesla. It doesn&#39;t pay a dividend. If that irks some shareholders they can sell call options contracts. (Selling a call is similar to a put option. Both work out if the stock falls. It&#39;s a bearish bet.)</p><p>A Tesla holder selling a $900 call option that expires in September gets about $44. That&#39;s almost 5% the value of the Tesla stock. The risk with selling call options against stock held is that the stock could go up. If Tesla hit $1,000, that holder would have essentially sold some of his position for $900, missing out on the additional gain.</p><p>There are many other things pros do with options. People have careers trading options for brokerage firms and asset managers.</p><p>However, options don&#39;t indicate with certainty how someone feels about the stock that underlies the options contract.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>No, There Is No New Short-Selling Champion in Tesla Stock</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNo, There Is No New Short-Selling Champion in Tesla Stock\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-21 09:30 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-short-selling-51660942310?mod=RTA><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>There was a stir in the Tesla investing community when a regulator filing indicated that asset manager Deer Park Road made a seemingly huge bet against Tesla stock using put options. The stir is just ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-short-selling-51660942310?mod=RTA\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-short-selling-51660942310?mod=RTA","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2260785313","content_text":"There was a stir in the Tesla investing community when a regulator filing indicated that asset manager Deer Park Road made a seemingly huge bet against Tesla stock using put options. The stir is just a tempest in a teapot. There is no new short-selling champion for Tesla bears to hoist onto their shoulders.A put option is, generally speaking, a bearish bet. It gives the holder the right to sell a stock at a fixed price in the future. Holders of put options do better the lower a stock price falls.A quarterly regulatory filing indicated that Deer Park had amassed put-option contracts representing more than 4.8 million shares of Tesla (ticker: TSLA) stock. That much Tesla stock is worth roughly $4.3 billion at current prices. On the surface that looks like a massive bet.But that isn't really the way options work. The price paid for an options contract depends on many factors including the strike price and time to contract expiration.Consider Tesla put options that expire Friday Aug. 19, and give the holder the right to sell Tesla stock at about $800 a share are essentially trading for about one cent. Theoretically, amassing options contracts that reflect 4.8 million shares of Tesla could cost someone $48,000. That's a long way from $4.3 billion.It wouldn't be a good idea, though. There isn't high probability that Tesla stock will drop about $100 in the final hour of trading Friday.(There isn't much trading volume in those contracts. It's just an example.)Deer Park Chief Investment Officer Scott Burg told Barron's the Tesla put-options position amounted to 0.1% of his portfolio. That isn't all that much, and indicates Deer Park probably paid the less than $1 per share represented the puts.That isn't a lot for a stock worth about $900. That also means the put options were either expiring soon, or deeply out of the money, or both. Burg didn't get into contract specifics, but said the position was closed profitably. The tiny position is already gone.Profits aren't hard to fathom. Tesla stock did fall, along with other technology shares, in the second quarter. Tesla stock dropped almost 38% from the end of March to the end of June while the Nasdaq Composite fell 22% over the same span.Burg doesn't consider himself a big Tesla bear. He's says he is bearish on the overall economy and the consumer. He expects Tesla stock to struggle, but just like any other consumer discretionary stock this coming year.The whole episode does illustrate an important lesson about options trading. There are many ways to use options in a portfolio.Investors can buy options contracts far from current prices. They are cheap and only pay off if extreme events happen. They can also be used to bet on volatility. Options get more valuable as stock volatility rises and less valuable when volatility falls. Options can be used to hedge a portfolio, too.What's more, bearish options bets can actually generate income for bullish investors. Take Tesla. It doesn't pay a dividend. If that irks some shareholders they can sell call options contracts. (Selling a call is similar to a put option. Both work out if the stock falls. It's a bearish bet.)A Tesla holder selling a $900 call option that expires in September gets about $44. That's almost 5% the value of the Tesla stock. The risk with selling call options against stock held is that the stock could go up. If Tesla hit $1,000, that holder would have essentially sold some of his position for $900, missing out on the additional gain.There are many other things pros do with options. People have careers trading options for brokerage firms and asset managers.However, options don't indicate with certainty how someone feels about the stock that underlies the options contract.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":60,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9998833117,"gmtCreate":1660962739541,"gmtModify":1676536431379,"author":{"id":"3573789293829232","authorId":"3573789293829232","name":"btoh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a7c2d714604fc804a48646ee397f912","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573789293829232","authorIdStr":"3573789293829232"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9998833117","repostId":"2260373492","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":221,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":195707031,"gmtCreate":1621312904423,"gmtModify":1704355625997,"author":{"id":"3573789293829232","authorId":"3573789293829232","name":"btoh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a7c2d714604fc804a48646ee397f912","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573789293829232","authorIdStr":"3573789293829232"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment pls ty","listText":"Like and comment pls ty","text":"Like and comment pls ty","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":7,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/195707031","repostId":"1187982931","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1187982931","pubTimestamp":1621295030,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1187982931?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-18 07:43","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Michael Burry of ‘The Big Short’ reveals a $530 million bet against Tesla","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1187982931","media":"CNBC","summary":"Famed investor Michael Burry on Monday revealed in a regulatory filing a short position againstTeslaworth more than half a billion.Burry, one of the first investors to call and profit from the subprime mortgage crisis, is long puts against 800,100 shares of Tesla or $534 million by the end of the first quarter, according to the filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.Investors profit from puts when the underlying securities fall in prices. As of March 31, Burry owned 8,001 put co","content":"<div>\n<p>Famed investor Michael Burry on Monday revealed in a regulatory filing a short position againstTeslaworth more than half a billion.\nBurry, one of the first investors to call and profit from the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/05/17/michael-burry-of-the-big-short-reveals-a-530-million-bet-against-tesla.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"cnbc_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Michael Burry of ‘The Big Short’ reveals a $530 million bet against Tesla</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMichael Burry of ‘The Big Short’ reveals a $530 million bet against Tesla\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-18 07:43 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.cnbc.com/2021/05/17/michael-burry-of-the-big-short-reveals-a-530-million-bet-against-tesla.html><strong>CNBC</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Famed investor Michael Burry on Monday revealed in a regulatory filing a short position againstTeslaworth more than half a billion.\nBurry, one of the first investors to call and profit from the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/05/17/michael-burry-of-the-big-short-reveals-a-530-million-bet-against-tesla.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/05/17/michael-burry-of-the-big-short-reveals-a-530-million-bet-against-tesla.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/72bb72e1b84c09fca865c6dcb1bbcd16","article_id":"1187982931","content_text":"Famed investor Michael Burry on Monday revealed in a regulatory filing a short position againstTeslaworth more than half a billion.\nBurry, one of the first investors to call and profit from the subprime mortgage crisis, is long puts against 800,100 shares of Tesla or $534 million by the end of the first quarter, according to the filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.\nInvestors profit from puts when the underlying securities fall in prices. As of March 31, Burry owned 8,001 put contracts, with unknown value, strike price, or expiry, according to the filing.\nShares of Tesla fell more than 4% on Monday, bringing its month-to-date losses to nearly 20%.\nBurry, whose firm is Scion Asset Management, shot to fame by betting against mortgage securities before the 2008 crisis. Burry was depicted in Michael Lewis' book \"The Big Short\" and the subsequent Oscar-winning movie of the same name.\nTesla has had a turbulent 2021 amid slumping sales in China in April, and parts shortages that have impeded production both in the U.S. and China.\n\nBurry previously mentioned in a tweet, which he later deleted, that Tesla's reliance on regulatory credits to generate profits is a red flag.\nAs more automakers produce battery-electric vehicles of their own, ostensibly fewer will need to purchase environmental regulatory credits from Tesla, which they have done in order to become compliant with environmental regulations.\nBesides his \"Big Short,\" Burry made a killing from along GameStop position recentlyas the Reddit favorite made Wall Street history with its massive short squeeze.\nIn thefirst quarter of 2021, Tesla reported $518 million in sales of regulatory credits, whichElon Musk's company generally receives from government programs to support renewable energy. It has sold these to other automakers, notably FCA (now Stellantis) when they needed credits to offset their own carbon footprint.\nIn thefourth quarter of 2020, Tesla's $270 million in net income was enabled by its sale of $401 million in regulatory credits to other automakers.\nTesla historically has racked up around $1.6 billion in regulatory energy credits, primarily zero emission vehicle credits, which helped the company report more than four consecutive quarters of profitability, qualifying the automaker for addition to the S&P 500 index.\nTesla is currently delayed in producing and delivering its updated versions of its high-end sedan and SUV, the Model S and X. And it is delayed in commercial production of its custom-designed \"4680\" battery cells for use in forthcoming vehicles, including the Cybertruck and Tesla Semi.\nMeanwhile, Musk's electric vehicle venture is facing regulatory scrutiny in China and the U.S. with high-profile vehicle crashes leading to negative publicity and investigations by vehicle safety authorities in both nations.\nMany believe that CEO Musk'stweets about bitcoinand dogecoin have also contributed to the volatility in Tesla's stock. Musk has tens of millions of followers on Twitter.\nMusk, a proponent of cryptocurrency generally, announced last week that Tesla was indefinitely suspending the acceptance of bitcoin as a payment for cars, saying he was concerned by the \"rapidly increasing use of fossil fuels for Bitcoin mining and transactions.\" Tesla revealed earlier this year that it bought $1.5 billion worth of bitcoin.\nTesla shares have dropped nearly 20% in 2021 after surging a whopping 740% in 2020.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":199,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9092734078,"gmtCreate":1644726183262,"gmtModify":1676533957147,"author":{"id":"3573789293829232","authorId":"3573789293829232","name":"btoh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a7c2d714604fc804a48646ee397f912","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573789293829232","authorIdStr":"3573789293829232"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9092734078","repostId":"2210752103","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2210752103","pubTimestamp":1644714900,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2210752103?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-02-13 09:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"This Disruptive Company Has Explosive Growth Potential","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2210752103","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The company's latest innovation transforms how companies perform a routine task.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Paycom Software</b> (NYSE:PAYC) has been at the forefront of disrupting the payroll sector since CEO Chad Richison founded the company in 1998. His company revolutionized the payroll process by taking it entirely online. It has continued to be a disruptive force over the years, developing a single cloud-based software solution to help companies manage all their human resources (HR) processes.</p><p>The company&#39;s latest innovation, Beti, is once again disrupting the industry by changing the entire payroll procedure. It&#39;s helping drive explosive growth for Paycom, which could continue for years to come.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/933b605f0da9ea748d7fd549f8360a85\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p><h2>A better payroll system</h2><p>Richison discussed Paycom&#39;s latest disruptive move on the fourth-quarter conference call. He noted that the company &#34;extended our platform to the employee even further through innovations like BETI, which enables employees to do their own payroll, and we are seeing very strong adoption and record employee usage.&#34;</p><p>The company sees Beti, which stands for Better Employee Transaction Interface, as the new way of doing payroll. The industry-first employee-driven payroll solution improves data accuracy, oversight, and user experience. It puts the payroll responsibility into the hands of employees, eliminating a multistep, imperfect, and time-consuming process for HR departments while giving employees more insight into their pay.</p><p>Richison stated on the call:</p><blockquote>For years, I have been predicting the end of the old model, whereby HR and payroll personnel&#39;s routine of inputting data for employees, is replaced by a self-service model that provides employees direct access to the database. The old model is dying and that is good for both the business and the employee. Paycom is leading this transformation.</blockquote><p>That&#39;s just the latest innovation from the company. The company&#39;s single-database HR platform works better than the cobbled-together systems that most companies use today. That has enabled Paycom to capitalize by offering companies an easy-to-use system that improves user experiences, allowing them to maximize the return on this investment in Paycom&#39;s software.</p><h2>An unstoppable growth driver</h2><p>This award-winning solution has been a smashing success. It helped drive record annual revenue retention of 94% in 2021, up from 93% in the prior year. It was also a key growth driver. The company ended the year with nearly 34,000 clients, up 9% compared to 2020. Meanwhile, revenue surged 29% year-over-year in the fourth quarter and 25.4% for the full year. Earnings grew even faster as its margin expanded despite aggressive spending to grow the business. The company delivered an adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) margin of 39.7% of its revenue in 2021, up from 39.3% in 2020.</p><p>Paycom is only scratching the surface of its potential. Richison noted on the call that &#34;we still only have approximately 5% of the TAM (total available market) today, so there&#39;s plenty of runway ahead to expand and continue to capture market share.&#34; It&#39;s investing heavily to continue taking more market share. It opened five new outside sales offices over the last five months (<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MHC.AU\">Manhattan</a>, Las Vegas, Jacksonville, New England, and South Jersey) -- bringing the total to 54 -- to expand its geographic reach. In addition, it has expanded the upper end of its target client size from those with up to 5,000 employees to those with upwards of 10,000 employees.</p><p>These catalysts have Paycom positioned to continue growing fast in 2022 and beyond. The cloud-based software company sees its revenue rising to more than $1.3 billion this year, putting it up nearly 25% from last year&#39;s total. Meanwhile, it sees a further improvement in its adjusted EBITDA margin to around 40% this year, suggesting continued strong profit growth.</p><h2>Lots of growth still ahead</h2><p>Paycom continues to disrupt the payroll industry by launching innovative software solutions that improve the process. While it has grown tremendously over the years, it still has lots of room to run. That upside potential makes it a stock that investors won&#39;t want to miss.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>This Disruptive Company Has Explosive Growth Potential</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThis Disruptive Company Has Explosive Growth Potential\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-02-13 09:15 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/02/12/this-disruptive-company-has-explosive-growth-poten/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Paycom Software (NYSE:PAYC) has been at the forefront of disrupting the payroll sector since CEO Chad Richison founded the company in 1998. His company revolutionized the payroll process by taking it ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/02/12/this-disruptive-company-has-explosive-growth-poten/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4023":"应用软件","PAYC":"Paycom Software, Inc.","BK4528":"SaaS概念","BK4203":"医疗保健房地产投资信托"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/02/12/this-disruptive-company-has-explosive-growth-poten/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2210752103","content_text":"Paycom Software (NYSE:PAYC) has been at the forefront of disrupting the payroll sector since CEO Chad Richison founded the company in 1998. His company revolutionized the payroll process by taking it entirely online. It has continued to be a disruptive force over the years, developing a single cloud-based software solution to help companies manage all their human resources (HR) processes.The company's latest innovation, Beti, is once again disrupting the industry by changing the entire payroll procedure. It's helping drive explosive growth for Paycom, which could continue for years to come.Image source: Getty Images.A better payroll systemRichison discussed Paycom's latest disruptive move on the fourth-quarter conference call. He noted that the company \"extended our platform to the employee even further through innovations like BETI, which enables employees to do their own payroll, and we are seeing very strong adoption and record employee usage.\"The company sees Beti, which stands for Better Employee Transaction Interface, as the new way of doing payroll. The industry-first employee-driven payroll solution improves data accuracy, oversight, and user experience. It puts the payroll responsibility into the hands of employees, eliminating a multistep, imperfect, and time-consuming process for HR departments while giving employees more insight into their pay.Richison stated on the call:For years, I have been predicting the end of the old model, whereby HR and payroll personnel's routine of inputting data for employees, is replaced by a self-service model that provides employees direct access to the database. The old model is dying and that is good for both the business and the employee. Paycom is leading this transformation.That's just the latest innovation from the company. The company's single-database HR platform works better than the cobbled-together systems that most companies use today. That has enabled Paycom to capitalize by offering companies an easy-to-use system that improves user experiences, allowing them to maximize the return on this investment in Paycom's software.An unstoppable growth driverThis award-winning solution has been a smashing success. It helped drive record annual revenue retention of 94% in 2021, up from 93% in the prior year. It was also a key growth driver. The company ended the year with nearly 34,000 clients, up 9% compared to 2020. Meanwhile, revenue surged 29% year-over-year in the fourth quarter and 25.4% for the full year. Earnings grew even faster as its margin expanded despite aggressive spending to grow the business. The company delivered an adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) margin of 39.7% of its revenue in 2021, up from 39.3% in 2020.Paycom is only scratching the surface of its potential. Richison noted on the call that \"we still only have approximately 5% of the TAM (total available market) today, so there's plenty of runway ahead to expand and continue to capture market share.\" It's investing heavily to continue taking more market share. It opened five new outside sales offices over the last five months (Manhattan, Las Vegas, Jacksonville, New England, and South Jersey) -- bringing the total to 54 -- to expand its geographic reach. In addition, it has expanded the upper end of its target client size from those with up to 5,000 employees to those with upwards of 10,000 employees.These catalysts have Paycom positioned to continue growing fast in 2022 and beyond. The cloud-based software company sees its revenue rising to more than $1.3 billion this year, putting it up nearly 25% from last year's total. Meanwhile, it sees a further improvement in its adjusted EBITDA margin to around 40% this year, suggesting continued strong profit growth.Lots of growth still aheadPaycom continues to disrupt the payroll industry by launching innovative software solutions that improve the process. While it has grown tremendously over the years, it still has lots of room to run. That upside potential makes it a stock that investors won't want to miss.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":108,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9050424716,"gmtCreate":1654227982036,"gmtModify":1676535417125,"author":{"id":"3573789293829232","authorId":"3573789293829232","name":"btoh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a7c2d714604fc804a48646ee397f912","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573789293829232","authorIdStr":"3573789293829232"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9050424716","repostId":"2240305492","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2240305492","pubTimestamp":1654227926,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2240305492?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-03 11:45","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Riskier Warren Buffett Stocks That Could Beat the Dow","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2240305492","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Warren Buffett and Berkshire Hathaway have produced better annual average returns than most broader market indexes.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Warren Buffett and his company <b>Berkshire Hathaway</b> (BRK.A -0.73%)(BRK.B -0.63%) have a long track record of beating the broader market indexes such as the <b>Dow Jones Industrial Average</b>. Between 1965 and 2020, Berkshire&#39;s stock has posted an annual average return of about 20%, while the Dow has an average annual return of roughly 7.75% between 1921 and 2019.</p><p>A big part of this is due to Buffett and Berkshire&#39;s more than $350 billion stock portfolio. While some stocks like <b>Apple</b> and <b>Bank of America</b> make up a huge percentage of the portfolio and are likely ones that Buffett and Berkshire consider to be safer, there are other smaller picks in the portfolio that Buffett and Berkshire may deem to be riskier but that also have much more potential upside. Here are three riskier Buffett stocks that can beat the Dow on a long-term basis.</p><h2>1. Citigroup</h2><p>As a shareholder, I was thrilled to see Buffett and Berkshire snag shares of <b>Citigroup</b> in the first quarter of this year. The bank has struggled for years to generate the same kind of returns as its large bank peers, leading many to believe it&#39;s a value trap. Citigroup has on numerous occasions traded below its tangible book value (TBV), or net worth, over the last decade. But this is the first time Berkshire has purchased the stock since 2001, according to Securities and Exchange Commission filings.</p><p>In my view, it looks like this time may indeed be different with CEO Jane Fraser, who only took the reins of the bank about a year ago, planning major strategic changes including selling most of the bank&#39;s international consumer banking divisions, doubling down on areas of strength, and finally investing what is needed to fix regulatory issues.</p><p>The big risk here is that the transformation could still be a multi-year journey and investors are running out of patience, so there is very little margin for error and this is a stock that could continue to be a value trap. But trading at just 67% to its TBV, the stock has about 47% upside just to get back to TBV, which would still not even be considered a good valuation in today&#39;s banking industry.</p><p>Citigroup&#39;s investment banking unit, large U.S. deposit market share, and extremely global presence are certain attributes that would be difficult to replicate. The bank also has a dividend yield of roughly 3.8%, which will compensate investors nicely while they wait for the transformation plan to play out.</p><h2>2. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOM\">Ally Financial</a></h2><p>The large digital bank and auto lender <b>Ally Financial</b> is another stock that Berkshire scooped up at the beginning of this year that has a lot of the attributes of a classic Buffett stock. Not only does Ally trade at a cheap valuation, but it also returns a good amount of capital to shareholders. Despite generating strong returns in 2021 and guiding for smaller but still impressive returns going forward, Ally only trades at about 116% to its TBV and 5.6 times forward earnings.</p><p>Ally faces a few big risks. There could be a recession sometime in the near future that makes consumers default on their loans at higher rates than management is currently anticipating. There are also concerns over what will happen to used-car prices, which have been elevated, although Ally&#39;s management team is anticipating prices to eventually come down. Higher interest rates could also raise Ally&#39;s deposit costs and cut into margins, although the bank has significantly increased its retail deposit base in recent years.</p><p>Still, if Ally can overcome some of these near-term headwinds and still generate good returns, the stock will likely get rerated. Ally also returns a lot of capital to shareholders and is planning to execute a $2 billion stock buyback plan this year alone.</p><h2>3. Nu Holdings</h2><p>Berkshire has clearly taken an interest in Latin America&#39;s growing financial sector, and with good reason given the massive potential. Last year, Berkshire invested in the Brazilian challenger bank <b>Nu Holdings</b>, which has made massive progress with its frictionless, low-fee banking experience. Nu has acquired close to 60 million customers with a low, industry-leading customer acquisition cost. Nu currently banks 33% of the adult Brazilian population and has provided millions of its customers with their first bank account or credit card. Nu is also growing in Mexico and Colombia.</p><p>The risk here is that the Latin American market can be difficult, given high levels of inflation and volatile economic conditions. Furthermore, Nu is not yet profitable and will likely face lots of competition. But the company is growing revenue significantly and after the huge sell-off of growth stocks this year, investors have the rare opportunity to buy Nu stock at a much cheaper valuation than when Buffett or Berkshire got in. Nu is a leading digital disruptor in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of the world&#39;s fastest-growing regions for banking.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Riskier Warren Buffett Stocks That Could Beat the Dow</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Riskier Warren Buffett Stocks That Could Beat the Dow\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-06-03 11:45 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/06/02/riskier-warren-buffett-stocks-that-could-beat-dow/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Warren Buffett and his company Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A -0.73%)(BRK.B -0.63%) have a long track record of beating the broader market indexes such as the Dow Jones Industrial Average. Between 1965 and...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/06/02/riskier-warren-buffett-stocks-that-could-beat-dow/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NU":"Nu Holdings Ltd.","C":"花旗","ALLY":"Ally Financial Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/06/02/riskier-warren-buffett-stocks-that-could-beat-dow/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2240305492","content_text":"Warren Buffett and his company Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A -0.73%)(BRK.B -0.63%) have a long track record of beating the broader market indexes such as the Dow Jones Industrial Average. Between 1965 and 2020, Berkshire's stock has posted an annual average return of about 20%, while the Dow has an average annual return of roughly 7.75% between 1921 and 2019.A big part of this is due to Buffett and Berkshire's more than $350 billion stock portfolio. While some stocks like Apple and Bank of America make up a huge percentage of the portfolio and are likely ones that Buffett and Berkshire consider to be safer, there are other smaller picks in the portfolio that Buffett and Berkshire may deem to be riskier but that also have much more potential upside. Here are three riskier Buffett stocks that can beat the Dow on a long-term basis.1. CitigroupAs a shareholder, I was thrilled to see Buffett and Berkshire snag shares of Citigroup in the first quarter of this year. The bank has struggled for years to generate the same kind of returns as its large bank peers, leading many to believe it's a value trap. Citigroup has on numerous occasions traded below its tangible book value (TBV), or net worth, over the last decade. But this is the first time Berkshire has purchased the stock since 2001, according to Securities and Exchange Commission filings.In my view, it looks like this time may indeed be different with CEO Jane Fraser, who only took the reins of the bank about a year ago, planning major strategic changes including selling most of the bank's international consumer banking divisions, doubling down on areas of strength, and finally investing what is needed to fix regulatory issues.The big risk here is that the transformation could still be a multi-year journey and investors are running out of patience, so there is very little margin for error and this is a stock that could continue to be a value trap. But trading at just 67% to its TBV, the stock has about 47% upside just to get back to TBV, which would still not even be considered a good valuation in today's banking industry.Citigroup's investment banking unit, large U.S. deposit market share, and extremely global presence are certain attributes that would be difficult to replicate. The bank also has a dividend yield of roughly 3.8%, which will compensate investors nicely while they wait for the transformation plan to play out.2. Ally FinancialThe large digital bank and auto lender Ally Financial is another stock that Berkshire scooped up at the beginning of this year that has a lot of the attributes of a classic Buffett stock. Not only does Ally trade at a cheap valuation, but it also returns a good amount of capital to shareholders. Despite generating strong returns in 2021 and guiding for smaller but still impressive returns going forward, Ally only trades at about 116% to its TBV and 5.6 times forward earnings.Ally faces a few big risks. There could be a recession sometime in the near future that makes consumers default on their loans at higher rates than management is currently anticipating. There are also concerns over what will happen to used-car prices, which have been elevated, although Ally's management team is anticipating prices to eventually come down. Higher interest rates could also raise Ally's deposit costs and cut into margins, although the bank has significantly increased its retail deposit base in recent years.Still, if Ally can overcome some of these near-term headwinds and still generate good returns, the stock will likely get rerated. Ally also returns a lot of capital to shareholders and is planning to execute a $2 billion stock buyback plan this year alone.3. Nu HoldingsBerkshire has clearly taken an interest in Latin America's growing financial sector, and with good reason given the massive potential. Last year, Berkshire invested in the Brazilian challenger bank Nu Holdings, which has made massive progress with its frictionless, low-fee banking experience. Nu has acquired close to 60 million customers with a low, industry-leading customer acquisition cost. Nu currently banks 33% of the adult Brazilian population and has provided millions of its customers with their first bank account or credit card. Nu is also growing in Mexico and Colombia.The risk here is that the Latin American market can be difficult, given high levels of inflation and volatile economic conditions. Furthermore, Nu is not yet profitable and will likely face lots of competition. But the company is growing revenue significantly and after the huge sell-off of growth stocks this year, investors have the rare opportunity to buy Nu stock at a much cheaper valuation than when Buffett or Berkshire got in. Nu is a leading digital disruptor in one of the world's fastest-growing regions for banking.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":101,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9005818135,"gmtCreate":1642225670982,"gmtModify":1676533694559,"author":{"id":"3573789293829232","authorId":"3573789293829232","name":"btoh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a7c2d714604fc804a48646ee397f912","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573789293829232","authorIdStr":"3573789293829232"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9005818135","repostId":"2203201745","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2203201745","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1642201908,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2203201745?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-01-15 07:11","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US STOCKS-Dow Closes Lower after Disappointing Bank Results","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2203201745","media":"Reuters","summary":"The Dow closed lower with a big drag from financial stocks as investors were disappointed by fourth quarter results from big U.S. banks, which cast a shadow over the earnings season kick-off.The Nasda","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The Dow closed lower with a big drag from financial stocks as investors were disappointed by fourth quarter results from big U.S. banks, which cast a shadow over the earnings season kick-off.</p><p>The Nasdaq and the S&amp;P regained lost ground in afternoon trading to close higher. Meanwhile the consumer discretionary</p><p>also put pressure on major indexes after morning data showed a December decline in retail sales and a souring of consumer sentiment.</p><p>JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co tumbled after reporting weaker performance at its trading arm. The bellwether lender also warned that soaring inflation, the looming threat of Omicron and trading revenues would challenge industry growth in coming months.</p><p>Along with JPMorgan, big decliners putting pressure on the Dow included Goldman Sachs, American Express and Home Depot.</p><p>$Citigroup Inc(C-N)$ shares fell after it reported a 26% drop in fourth-quarter profit, while asset manager BlackRock Inc</p><p>fell after missing quarterly revenue expectations.</p><p>The earnings kick-off had investors taking profits in the S&amp;P 500 bank subsector after it had hit an intraday high in the previous session. Financial stocks had been outperforming the S&amp;P recently as investors bet that the Federal Reserve&#39;s expected interest rate hikes will boost bank profits.</p><p>&#34;The bar was very high going into (JPMorgan) results. On the surface it was good but, under the hood, not so much,&#34; said Michael James, managing director of equity trading at Wedbush Securities in Los Angeles. In the interest rate hiking cycle expected this year &#34;positioning was very crowded on the long side&#34; going into the earnings season.</p><p>For consumer stock weakness, James pointed to &#34;clearly disappointing&#34; retail sales, which dropped 1.9% last month due to shortages of goods and an explosion of COVID-19 infections.</p><p>Separate data showed soaring inflation hit U.S. consumer sentiment in January, pushing it to its second lowest level in a decade.</p><p>Retail sales and bank loan growth raised doubts about the economic outlook for the current quarter and 2022 for Keith Buchanan, portfolio manager at Globalt in Atlanta.</p><p>&#34;The question is, does the economy have enough strength to get through the risk Omicron brings as fiscal and monetary stimulus is rolling off,&#34; Buchanan said.</p><p>According to preliminary data, the S&amp;P 500 gained 2.89 points, or 0.06%, to end at 4,661.92 points, while the Nasdaq Composite gained 81.98 points, or 0.55%, to 14,889.73. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 208.43 points, or 0.58%, to 35,905.19.</p><p>Analysts see S&amp;P 500 companies earnings rising 23.1% in the fourth quarter, according to IBES data from Refinitiv.</p><p>One bright spot in the bank sector on Friday however was Wells Fargo &amp; Co, which gained ground after posting a bigger-than-expected rise in fourth-quarter profit.</p><p>Casino operators Las Vegas Sands, Melco Resorts and Wynn Resorts rallied after Macau&#39;s government capped the number of new casino operators allowed to operate to six for a period of 10 years.</p><p>U.S. stock markets will remain shut on Monday for the public holiday in honor of Martin Luther King.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US STOCKS-Dow Closes Lower after Disappointing Bank Results</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS STOCKS-Dow Closes Lower after Disappointing Bank Results\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-01-15 07:11</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>The Dow closed lower with a big drag from financial stocks as investors were disappointed by fourth quarter results from big U.S. banks, which cast a shadow over the earnings season kick-off.</p><p>The Nasdaq and the S&amp;P regained lost ground in afternoon trading to close higher. Meanwhile the consumer discretionary</p><p>also put pressure on major indexes after morning data showed a December decline in retail sales and a souring of consumer sentiment.</p><p>JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co tumbled after reporting weaker performance at its trading arm. The bellwether lender also warned that soaring inflation, the looming threat of Omicron and trading revenues would challenge industry growth in coming months.</p><p>Along with JPMorgan, big decliners putting pressure on the Dow included Goldman Sachs, American Express and Home Depot.</p><p>$Citigroup Inc(C-N)$ shares fell after it reported a 26% drop in fourth-quarter profit, while asset manager BlackRock Inc</p><p>fell after missing quarterly revenue expectations.</p><p>The earnings kick-off had investors taking profits in the S&amp;P 500 bank subsector after it had hit an intraday high in the previous session. Financial stocks had been outperforming the S&amp;P recently as investors bet that the Federal Reserve&#39;s expected interest rate hikes will boost bank profits.</p><p>&#34;The bar was very high going into (JPMorgan) results. On the surface it was good but, under the hood, not so much,&#34; said Michael James, managing director of equity trading at Wedbush Securities in Los Angeles. In the interest rate hiking cycle expected this year &#34;positioning was very crowded on the long side&#34; going into the earnings season.</p><p>For consumer stock weakness, James pointed to &#34;clearly disappointing&#34; retail sales, which dropped 1.9% last month due to shortages of goods and an explosion of COVID-19 infections.</p><p>Separate data showed soaring inflation hit U.S. consumer sentiment in January, pushing it to its second lowest level in a decade.</p><p>Retail sales and bank loan growth raised doubts about the economic outlook for the current quarter and 2022 for Keith Buchanan, portfolio manager at Globalt in Atlanta.</p><p>&#34;The question is, does the economy have enough strength to get through the risk Omicron brings as fiscal and monetary stimulus is rolling off,&#34; Buchanan said.</p><p>According to preliminary data, the S&amp;P 500 gained 2.89 points, or 0.06%, to end at 4,661.92 points, while the Nasdaq Composite gained 81.98 points, or 0.55%, to 14,889.73. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 208.43 points, or 0.58%, to 35,905.19.</p><p>Analysts see S&amp;P 500 companies earnings rising 23.1% in the fourth quarter, according to IBES data from Refinitiv.</p><p>One bright spot in the bank sector on Friday however was Wells Fargo &amp; Co, which gained ground after posting a bigger-than-expected rise in fourth-quarter profit.</p><p>Casino operators Las Vegas Sands, Melco Resorts and Wynn Resorts rallied after Macau&#39;s government capped the number of new casino operators allowed to operate to six for a period of 10 years.</p><p>U.S. stock markets will remain shut on Monday for the public holiday in honor of Martin Luther King.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GS":"高盛","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","BK4566":"资本集团","AXP":"美国运通",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","HD":"家得宝","BK4166":"消费信贷","SPY":"标普500ETF","BK4083":"家庭装潢零售","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4567":"ESG概念",".DJI":"道琼斯","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2203201745","content_text":"The Dow closed lower with a big drag from financial stocks as investors were disappointed by fourth quarter results from big U.S. banks, which cast a shadow over the earnings season kick-off.The Nasdaq and the S&P regained lost ground in afternoon trading to close higher. Meanwhile the consumer discretionaryalso put pressure on major indexes after morning data showed a December decline in retail sales and a souring of consumer sentiment.JPMorgan Chase & Co tumbled after reporting weaker performance at its trading arm. The bellwether lender also warned that soaring inflation, the looming threat of Omicron and trading revenues would challenge industry growth in coming months.Along with JPMorgan, big decliners putting pressure on the Dow included Goldman Sachs, American Express and Home Depot.$Citigroup Inc(C-N)$ shares fell after it reported a 26% drop in fourth-quarter profit, while asset manager BlackRock Incfell after missing quarterly revenue expectations.The earnings kick-off had investors taking profits in the S&P 500 bank subsector after it had hit an intraday high in the previous session. Financial stocks had been outperforming the S&P recently as investors bet that the Federal Reserve's expected interest rate hikes will boost bank profits.\"The bar was very high going into (JPMorgan) results. On the surface it was good but, under the hood, not so much,\" said Michael James, managing director of equity trading at Wedbush Securities in Los Angeles. In the interest rate hiking cycle expected this year \"positioning was very crowded on the long side\" going into the earnings season.For consumer stock weakness, James pointed to \"clearly disappointing\" retail sales, which dropped 1.9% last month due to shortages of goods and an explosion of COVID-19 infections.Separate data showed soaring inflation hit U.S. consumer sentiment in January, pushing it to its second lowest level in a decade.Retail sales and bank loan growth raised doubts about the economic outlook for the current quarter and 2022 for Keith Buchanan, portfolio manager at Globalt in Atlanta.\"The question is, does the economy have enough strength to get through the risk Omicron brings as fiscal and monetary stimulus is rolling off,\" Buchanan said.According to preliminary data, the S&P 500 gained 2.89 points, or 0.06%, to end at 4,661.92 points, while the Nasdaq Composite gained 81.98 points, or 0.55%, to 14,889.73. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 208.43 points, or 0.58%, to 35,905.19.Analysts see S&P 500 companies earnings rising 23.1% in the fourth quarter, according to IBES data from Refinitiv.One bright spot in the bank sector on Friday however was Wells Fargo & Co, which gained ground after posting a bigger-than-expected rise in fourth-quarter profit.Casino operators Las Vegas Sands, Melco Resorts and Wynn Resorts rallied after Macau's government capped the number of new casino operators allowed to operate to six for a period of 10 years.U.S. stock markets will remain shut on Monday for the public holiday in honor of Martin Luther King.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":294,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":189378154,"gmtCreate":1623246771078,"gmtModify":1704199248592,"author":{"id":"3573789293829232","authorId":"3573789293829232","name":"btoh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a7c2d714604fc804a48646ee397f912","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573789293829232","authorIdStr":"3573789293829232"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment pls ty","listText":"Like and comment pls ty","text":"Like and comment pls ty","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/189378154","repostId":"2142600282","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2142600282","pubTimestamp":1623231406,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2142600282?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-09 17:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Meme stock frenzy is distracting investors from 'huge opportunities,' Datatrek says","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2142600282","media":"Yahoo Finance","summary":"There is probably a lot of trash in the speculative boom currently taking hold of markets. But hidde","content":"<p>There is probably a lot of trash in the speculative boom currently taking hold of markets. But hidden amid the meme stocks, SPACs, and crypto coins could be some valuable businesses.</p>\n<p>“Somewhere in the hundreds of SPACs and scores of meme stocks are some decent companies and potentially even a few huge opportunities,” DataTrek’s Nicholas Colas wrote in a note this week. “For example: Hertz, which was supposed to be a retail investor graveyard, actually exited bankruptcy with its equity value intact. The same exact thing happened with U-Haul about 20 years ago, by the way.”</p>\n<p>While many of the assets used for speculation may have similar price spikes as viral interest or short interest affect people’s perceptions, most of these things are all pretty different, with different stories and long term possibilities.</p>\n<p>Take Hertz. Last year, the company was bankrupt and shares were on a roller coaster – investors could try to double or triple their money in a day. But if an investor held on and didn’t sell shares out of boredom or when the stock stopped being compelling (Yahoo Finance traffic data showed interest and trading volume fell off in July 2020 they would be in a pretty good situation, returns-wise.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65a250ca4c5310d48d33b9614cd6f6a5\" tg-width=\"678\" tg-height=\"565\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Hertz had fallen from a June 2020 peak of over $6 to well under a dollar during the months after interest waned and was delisted from the NYSE in 2020. But in May, it ended up being worth over $6 a share when the company emerged from bankruptcy via auction, rewarding shareholders who stayed.</p>\n<p>The only thesis there would have been “this name-brand rental car company would get its mojo back when people start renting cars again,” not a huge jump.</p>\n<h3><b>'Meme’ stocks and SPACs could have moonshot potential, even if tiny</b></h3>\n<p>On the SPAC boom, Colas mused that most will probably fail or at least “dramatically underperform,” but that “somewhere in this barrage of moonshots there will almost certainly be a few huge winners that leverage disruptive technology.”</p>\n<p>According to a Reuters investigation, 100 SPACs, most of which began trading last year, gained just 2% from their first-traded prices, dramatically underperforming the S&amp;P 500 index.</p>\n<p>But Colas has a reminder that there is an easy way to get exposure to any breakaway successes in the SPAC world — by simply getting involved in a broad equity portfolio like the S&amp;P 500.</p>\n<p>“If you own a diversified US equity portfolio like the S&amp;P 500, then SPACs and meme stocks are basically free call options,” Colas wrote. “Somewhere in that basket of oddball ideas could be the next Amazon or Apple, and you absolutely want to see those companies funded. At some point, the 1 percent of SPACs that actually work will end up in the S&amp;P 500, driving future returns. And the 99 percent that fail will have cost you nothing.”</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ebd83ac5026e8ce00574edaae7d0a630\" tg-width=\"677\" tg-height=\"568\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>While you might not get the jaw-dropping ground-floor gains, a transformative company would have plenty of gains still to give an index after it’s added. Just look at Apple, Amazon, or even Tesla. If the company is a good <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a>, it will do well, and even if you don’t get those ground-floor gains, not having the losers is a huge advantage.</p>\n<p>This is key because you never know what’s going to happen. For a SPAC with a nebulous business, you can have the moon in your sights. The vaguer things are, the higher you can shoot. But for GameStop, AMC, and Hertz, we’re talking about a game store, a movie theater chain, and a car-rental company — hardly the next Apple. At least, you’d think. But not necessarily.</p>\n<p>“There is always some level of optionality in any business, no matter how prosaic,” Colas told Yahoo Finance. “And that optionality increases in value when there is a ton of cash on the balance sheet because managements have more time to explore the options embedded in the price.”</p>\n<p>In other words, when these meme stocks have a ton of cash, more than they’ve ever dreamed of, a lot more might be possible, even if it’s a long shot.</p>\n<p>“Now, the options might not be worth much,” Colas added, “but they aren't worth zero until the cash is gone.”</p>","source":"yahoofinance","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Meme stock frenzy is distracting investors from 'huge opportunities,' Datatrek says</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMeme stock frenzy is distracting investors from 'huge opportunities,' Datatrek says\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-09 17:36 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/meme-stock-frenzy-is-distracting-investors-from-huge-opportunities-datatrek-says-173646965.html><strong>Yahoo Finance</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>There is probably a lot of trash in the speculative boom currently taking hold of markets. But hidden amid the meme stocks, SPACs, and crypto coins could be some valuable businesses.\n“Somewhere in the...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/meme-stock-frenzy-is-distracting-investors-from-huge-opportunities-datatrek-says-173646965.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","IVV":"标普500指数ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","AMC":"AMC院线","OEX":"标普100","GME":"游戏驿站","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","HRI":"Herc Holdings Inc.","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","SH":"标普500反向ETF","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/meme-stock-frenzy-is-distracting-investors-from-huge-opportunities-datatrek-says-173646965.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5f26f4a48f9cb3e29be4d71d3ba8c038","article_id":"2142600282","content_text":"There is probably a lot of trash in the speculative boom currently taking hold of markets. But hidden amid the meme stocks, SPACs, and crypto coins could be some valuable businesses.\n“Somewhere in the hundreds of SPACs and scores of meme stocks are some decent companies and potentially even a few huge opportunities,” DataTrek’s Nicholas Colas wrote in a note this week. “For example: Hertz, which was supposed to be a retail investor graveyard, actually exited bankruptcy with its equity value intact. The same exact thing happened with U-Haul about 20 years ago, by the way.”\nWhile many of the assets used for speculation may have similar price spikes as viral interest or short interest affect people’s perceptions, most of these things are all pretty different, with different stories and long term possibilities.\nTake Hertz. Last year, the company was bankrupt and shares were on a roller coaster – investors could try to double or triple their money in a day. But if an investor held on and didn’t sell shares out of boredom or when the stock stopped being compelling (Yahoo Finance traffic data showed interest and trading volume fell off in July 2020 they would be in a pretty good situation, returns-wise.\n\nHertz had fallen from a June 2020 peak of over $6 to well under a dollar during the months after interest waned and was delisted from the NYSE in 2020. But in May, it ended up being worth over $6 a share when the company emerged from bankruptcy via auction, rewarding shareholders who stayed.\nThe only thesis there would have been “this name-brand rental car company would get its mojo back when people start renting cars again,” not a huge jump.\n'Meme’ stocks and SPACs could have moonshot potential, even if tiny\nOn the SPAC boom, Colas mused that most will probably fail or at least “dramatically underperform,” but that “somewhere in this barrage of moonshots there will almost certainly be a few huge winners that leverage disruptive technology.”\nAccording to a Reuters investigation, 100 SPACs, most of which began trading last year, gained just 2% from their first-traded prices, dramatically underperforming the S&P 500 index.\nBut Colas has a reminder that there is an easy way to get exposure to any breakaway successes in the SPAC world — by simply getting involved in a broad equity portfolio like the S&P 500.\n“If you own a diversified US equity portfolio like the S&P 500, then SPACs and meme stocks are basically free call options,” Colas wrote. “Somewhere in that basket of oddball ideas could be the next Amazon or Apple, and you absolutely want to see those companies funded. At some point, the 1 percent of SPACs that actually work will end up in the S&P 500, driving future returns. And the 99 percent that fail will have cost you nothing.”\n\nWhile you might not get the jaw-dropping ground-floor gains, a transformative company would have plenty of gains still to give an index after it’s added. Just look at Apple, Amazon, or even Tesla. If the company is a good one, it will do well, and even if you don’t get those ground-floor gains, not having the losers is a huge advantage.\nThis is key because you never know what’s going to happen. For a SPAC with a nebulous business, you can have the moon in your sights. The vaguer things are, the higher you can shoot. But for GameStop, AMC, and Hertz, we’re talking about a game store, a movie theater chain, and a car-rental company — hardly the next Apple. At least, you’d think. But not necessarily.\n“There is always some level of optionality in any business, no matter how prosaic,” Colas told Yahoo Finance. “And that optionality increases in value when there is a ton of cash on the balance sheet because managements have more time to explore the options embedded in the price.”\nIn other words, when these meme stocks have a ton of cash, more than they’ve ever dreamed of, a lot more might be possible, even if it’s a long shot.\n“Now, the options might not be worth much,” Colas added, “but they aren't worth zero until the cash is gone.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":225,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":112215915,"gmtCreate":1622873398737,"gmtModify":1704192855585,"author":{"id":"3573789293829232","authorId":"3573789293829232","name":"btoh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a7c2d714604fc804a48646ee397f912","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573789293829232","authorIdStr":"3573789293829232"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment pls ty","listText":"Like and comment pls ty","text":"Like and comment pls ty","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/112215915","repostId":"1106312903","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1106312903","pubTimestamp":1622855773,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1106312903?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-05 09:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. IPO Week Ahead: Digital Payments, Mental Health Services, And More In A Diverse 8 IPO","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1106312903","media":"Renaissance Capital","summary":"Summary\n\nEight IPOs are currently slated to raise $3.7 billion, featuring digital payments, mental h","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Eight IPOs are currently slated to raise $3.7 billion, featuring digital payments, mental health services, and more.</li>\n <li>Payments platform Marqeta plans to raise $1.0 billion at a $12.4 billion market cap.</li>\n <li>Chinese online recruitment platform Kanzhun plans to raise $864 million at an $8.2 billion market cap.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Eight IPOs are currently slated to raise $3.7 billion, featuring digital payments, mental health services, and more.</p>\n<p>Payments platform&nbsp;<b>Marqeta</b>(MQ) plans to raise $1.0 billion at a $12.4 billion market cap. The company's platform allows businesses to launch and manage their own card programs, issue cards to their customers or end users, and authorize and settle transactions. Marqeta is fast growing and counts names like Affirm (AFRM) and DoorDash (DASH) among its customers.</p>\n<p>Chinese online recruitment platform&nbsp;<b>Kanzhun</b>(BZ) plans to raise $864 million at an $8.2 billion market cap. Kanzhun's core product, BOSS Zhipin, is a mobile-native platform that promotes direct chats between job seekers and enterprise clients. The company claims it was the largest online recruitment platform in China by MAUs in 2020.</p>\n<p>Mental health services provider&nbsp;<b>LifeStance Health</b>(LFST) plans to raise $640 million at a $6.1 billion market cap. LifeStance states that it has built one of the nation's largest outpatient mental health platforms, employing over 3,300 licensed mental health clinicians across 73 MSAs in 27 states as of March 31, 2021. The company has demonstrated growth, though EBIT turned negative in the 1Q21.</p>\n<p>Israel’s&nbsp;<b>monday.com</b>(MNDY) plans to raise $490 million at a $6.8 billion market cap. monday.com allows organizations to easily build software applications and work management tools that fit their needs. As of March 31, 2021, it served nearly 128,000 customers across over 200 industries in more than 190 countries. Salesforce and Zoom plan to invest a combined $150 million in a concurrent private placement.</p>\n<p>BPO vendor&nbsp;<b>TaskUs</b>(TASK) plans to raise $304 million at a $2.5 billion market cap. TaskUs is a digital business services outsourcer, providing digital customer experience services, content security services, and artificial intelligence operations. Profitable with strong growth, the company had over 100 clients as of December 31, 2020.</p>\n<p>Data-driven marketing platform&nbsp;<b>Zeta Global</b>(ZETA) plans to raise $250 million at a $2.1 billion market cap. The company’s Zeta Marketing Platform uses identity data to target, connect, and engage consumers across email, social media, web, chat, connected TV, video, and other channels. Zeta is profitable and serves more than 1,000 customers, delivering roughly 500 million ad impressions in 2020.</p>\n<p>Online luxury goods marketplace&nbsp;<b>1stDibs</b>(DIBS) plans to raise $112 million at a $773 million market cap. 1stDibs connects buyers and sellers of vintage, antique, and contemporary furniture, home decor, jewelry, watches, art, and fashion. In 2020, the marketplace had more than 58,000 buyers who had made a purchase in the past year, with an average aggregate purchase per year of over $5,500.</p>\n<p>Chinese online tutoring platform&nbsp;<b>Zhangmen Education</b>(ZME) plans to raise $43 million at a $1.9 billion market cap. Zhangmen Education states that it has been the largest online K-12 tutoring service provider in China by revenue since 2017, claiming a 32% market share in 2020.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d771f02e44d9d489ff772f1577280332\" tg-width=\"945\" tg-height=\"666\"></p>\n<p>Street research is expected for six companies, and lock-up periods will be expiring for up to 11 companies.</p>\n<p><b>IPO Market Snapshot</b></p>\n<p>The Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 6/3/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was down 6.0% year-to-date, while the S&amp;P 500 was up 11.6%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Zoom Video (ZM) and Uber (UBER). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 1.1% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 10.5%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Nexi and EQT Partners.</p>","source":"lsy1603787993745","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. IPO Week Ahead: Digital Payments, Mental Health Services, And More In A Diverse 8 IPO</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. IPO Week Ahead: Digital Payments, Mental Health Services, And More In A Diverse 8 IPO\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-05 09:16 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/82421/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Digital-payments-mental-health-services-and-more-in-a-div><strong>Renaissance Capital</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nEight IPOs are currently slated to raise $3.7 billion, featuring digital payments, mental health services, and more.\nPayments platform Marqeta plans to raise $1.0 billion at a $12.4 billion ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/82421/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Digital-payments-mental-health-services-and-more-in-a-div\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ZME":"掌门教育","MQ":"Marqeta, Inc.","LFST":"LifeStance Health Group, Inc.",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","TASK":"TaskUs Inc.","BZ":"BOSS直聘","DIBS":"1stdibs.com Inc.","MNDY":"Monday.com Ltd.","ZETA":"Zeta Global Holdings Corp.",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/82421/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Digital-payments-mental-health-services-and-more-in-a-div","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1106312903","content_text":"Summary\n\nEight IPOs are currently slated to raise $3.7 billion, featuring digital payments, mental health services, and more.\nPayments platform Marqeta plans to raise $1.0 billion at a $12.4 billion market cap.\nChinese online recruitment platform Kanzhun plans to raise $864 million at an $8.2 billion market cap.\n\nEight IPOs are currently slated to raise $3.7 billion, featuring digital payments, mental health services, and more.\nPayments platform Marqeta(MQ) plans to raise $1.0 billion at a $12.4 billion market cap. The company's platform allows businesses to launch and manage their own card programs, issue cards to their customers or end users, and authorize and settle transactions. Marqeta is fast growing and counts names like Affirm (AFRM) and DoorDash (DASH) among its customers.\nChinese online recruitment platform Kanzhun(BZ) plans to raise $864 million at an $8.2 billion market cap. Kanzhun's core product, BOSS Zhipin, is a mobile-native platform that promotes direct chats between job seekers and enterprise clients. The company claims it was the largest online recruitment platform in China by MAUs in 2020.\nMental health services provider LifeStance Health(LFST) plans to raise $640 million at a $6.1 billion market cap. LifeStance states that it has built one of the nation's largest outpatient mental health platforms, employing over 3,300 licensed mental health clinicians across 73 MSAs in 27 states as of March 31, 2021. The company has demonstrated growth, though EBIT turned negative in the 1Q21.\nIsrael’s monday.com(MNDY) plans to raise $490 million at a $6.8 billion market cap. monday.com allows organizations to easily build software applications and work management tools that fit their needs. As of March 31, 2021, it served nearly 128,000 customers across over 200 industries in more than 190 countries. Salesforce and Zoom plan to invest a combined $150 million in a concurrent private placement.\nBPO vendor TaskUs(TASK) plans to raise $304 million at a $2.5 billion market cap. TaskUs is a digital business services outsourcer, providing digital customer experience services, content security services, and artificial intelligence operations. Profitable with strong growth, the company had over 100 clients as of December 31, 2020.\nData-driven marketing platform Zeta Global(ZETA) plans to raise $250 million at a $2.1 billion market cap. The company’s Zeta Marketing Platform uses identity data to target, connect, and engage consumers across email, social media, web, chat, connected TV, video, and other channels. Zeta is profitable and serves more than 1,000 customers, delivering roughly 500 million ad impressions in 2020.\nOnline luxury goods marketplace 1stDibs(DIBS) plans to raise $112 million at a $773 million market cap. 1stDibs connects buyers and sellers of vintage, antique, and contemporary furniture, home decor, jewelry, watches, art, and fashion. In 2020, the marketplace had more than 58,000 buyers who had made a purchase in the past year, with an average aggregate purchase per year of over $5,500.\nChinese online tutoring platform Zhangmen Education(ZME) plans to raise $43 million at a $1.9 billion market cap. Zhangmen Education states that it has been the largest online K-12 tutoring service provider in China by revenue since 2017, claiming a 32% market share in 2020.\n\nStreet research is expected for six companies, and lock-up periods will be expiring for up to 11 companies.\nIPO Market Snapshot\nThe Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 6/3/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was down 6.0% year-to-date, while the S&P 500 was up 11.6%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Zoom Video (ZM) and Uber (UBER). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 1.1% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 10.5%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Nexi and EQT Partners.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":195,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3571801721484161","authorId":"3571801721484161","name":"Keychain","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3571801721484161","authorIdStr":"3571801721484161"},"content":"Pls Comment back thanKs","text":"Pls Comment back thanKs","html":"Pls Comment back thanKs"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":198525263,"gmtCreate":1620972835152,"gmtModify":1704351370219,"author":{"id":"3573789293829232","authorId":"3573789293829232","name":"btoh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a7c2d714604fc804a48646ee397f912","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573789293829232","authorIdStr":"3573789293829232"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment pls ty","listText":"Like and comment pls ty","text":"Like and comment pls ty","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/198525263","repostId":"2135945620","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2135945620","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1620936034,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2135945620?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-14 04:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Wall Street closes higher in 'buy the dip' session","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2135945620","media":"Reuters","summary":"NEW YORK, May 13  - Wall Street ended sharply higher at the close of a broad rally on Thursday, bouncing back from three straight days of selling on upbeat labor market data.All three major U.S. stock indexes notched solid gains, with the Nasdaq, weighed by Tesla Inc , picking up the rear.Recent economic data has prompted inflation fears as scarcity of both materials and workers threatens to send prices surging in the face of a demand boom.\"If this is a footrace, supply chains are still tying th","content":"<p>NEW YORK, May 13 (Reuters) - Wall Street ended sharply higher at the close of a broad rally on Thursday, bouncing back from three straight days of selling on upbeat labor market data.</p><p>All three major U.S. stock indexes notched solid gains, with the Nasdaq, weighed by Tesla Inc , picking up the rear.</p><p>Meanwhile, cyclical shares enjoyed the biggest gains.</p><p>Recent economic data has prompted inflation fears as scarcity of both materials and workers threatens to send prices surging in the face of a demand boom.</p><p>\"If this is a footrace, supply chains are still tying their shoes,\" said David Carter, chief investment officer at Lenox Wealth Advisors in New York. \"But they will catch up with demand fairly quickly.\"</p><p>But on Thursday, investors appeared to be focusing on the glass-half-full side of the demand/supply equation.</p><p>This was evidenced by the outperformance of small caps, chips&nbsp;and transports , economically sensitive stocks that stand to gain as the United States emerges from the pandemic recession.</p><p>\"Sectors and stocks that were hurt most significantly by yesterday's sell-off rebounded strongly today given that economic growth is expected to remain strong throughout the year and any inflation is likely to be temporary,\" Carter added.</p><p>New applications for unemployment insurance continue to fall, according to jobless claims data from the Labor Department that hit a 14-month low.</p><p>Labor Department data also showed producer prices surged last month, building on the inflation surge narrative of Wednesday's consumer prices report.</p><p>\"The inflation boogeyman is back right on cue,\" Carter said. \"And will continue to spook markets for the coming months.\"</p><p>But rising prices were widely anticipated, and the U.S. Federal Reserve has provided repeated assurances that it does not foresee those spikes morphing into sustained, long-term inflation.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 433.79 points, or 1.29%, to 34,021.45, the S&amp;P 500 gained 49.46 points, or 1.22%, to 4,112.5 and the Nasdaq Composite added 93.31 points, or 0.72%, to 13,124.99.</p><p>Of the 11 major sectors in the S&amp;P 500, 10 ended green, with industrials enjoying the largest percentage gain.</p><p>Energy, weighed by a drop in crude prices, was the sole loser, shedding 1.4%. [O/R]</p><p>Walt Disney Co shares were down nearly 5% in after-hours trading after posting quarterly results.</p><p>Dating app owner Bumble Inc tumbled 14.3%, falling below its initial public offering price, as investors remained cautious about how quickly users will return to in-person meetings.</p><p>Boeing Co rose 0.8% after gaining approval from U.S. regulators for a fix of an electrical grounding issue.</p><p>Tesla continued its slide, dropping 3.1%, the heaviest drag on the Nasdaq, after boss Elon Musk doubled down on his sudden rejection of cryptocurrency bitcoin.</p><p>Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.91-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.06-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 13 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 49 new highs and 201 new lows.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 11.50 billion shares, compared with the 10.53 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><b><i>Financial</i></b><b>&nbsp;</b><b><i>Report：</i></b></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1143623731\" target=\"_blank\">Disney+ subscriber growth is slowing like Netflix's — with one worrisome difference</a></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1149765041\" target=\"_blank\">Coinbase revenue tripled from last quarter,To Offer Dogecoin In 6 To 8 Weeks</a></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2135732206\" target=\"_blank\">Airbnb bookings jump 52% as vaccinations spur vacation rental demand</a></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2135555675\" target=\"_blank\">DoorDash triples gross order volume and nearly triples revenue in first quarter</a></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2135283678\" target=\"_blank\">Aurora Cannabis stock plunges amid more large losses, stock-sale plans and cost cuts</a></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2135787576\" target=\"_blank\">Farfetch’s First-quarter Sales Run Up 46.4 Percent</a></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1100486329\" target=\"_blank\">Luminar stock dips after mixed Q1 report with wider than exp</a></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wall Street closes higher in 'buy the dip' session</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWall Street closes higher in 'buy the dip' session\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-05-14 04:00</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>NEW YORK, May 13 (Reuters) - Wall Street ended sharply higher at the close of a broad rally on Thursday, bouncing back from three straight days of selling on upbeat labor market data.</p><p>All three major U.S. stock indexes notched solid gains, with the Nasdaq, weighed by Tesla Inc , picking up the rear.</p><p>Meanwhile, cyclical shares enjoyed the biggest gains.</p><p>Recent economic data has prompted inflation fears as scarcity of both materials and workers threatens to send prices surging in the face of a demand boom.</p><p>\"If this is a footrace, supply chains are still tying their shoes,\" said David Carter, chief investment officer at Lenox Wealth Advisors in New York. \"But they will catch up with demand fairly quickly.\"</p><p>But on Thursday, investors appeared to be focusing on the glass-half-full side of the demand/supply equation.</p><p>This was evidenced by the outperformance of small caps, chips&nbsp;and transports , economically sensitive stocks that stand to gain as the United States emerges from the pandemic recession.</p><p>\"Sectors and stocks that were hurt most significantly by yesterday's sell-off rebounded strongly today given that economic growth is expected to remain strong throughout the year and any inflation is likely to be temporary,\" Carter added.</p><p>New applications for unemployment insurance continue to fall, according to jobless claims data from the Labor Department that hit a 14-month low.</p><p>Labor Department data also showed producer prices surged last month, building on the inflation surge narrative of Wednesday's consumer prices report.</p><p>\"The inflation boogeyman is back right on cue,\" Carter said. \"And will continue to spook markets for the coming months.\"</p><p>But rising prices were widely anticipated, and the U.S. Federal Reserve has provided repeated assurances that it does not foresee those spikes morphing into sustained, long-term inflation.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 433.79 points, or 1.29%, to 34,021.45, the S&amp;P 500 gained 49.46 points, or 1.22%, to 4,112.5 and the Nasdaq Composite added 93.31 points, or 0.72%, to 13,124.99.</p><p>Of the 11 major sectors in the S&amp;P 500, 10 ended green, with industrials enjoying the largest percentage gain.</p><p>Energy, weighed by a drop in crude prices, was the sole loser, shedding 1.4%. [O/R]</p><p>Walt Disney Co shares were down nearly 5% in after-hours trading after posting quarterly results.</p><p>Dating app owner Bumble Inc tumbled 14.3%, falling below its initial public offering price, as investors remained cautious about how quickly users will return to in-person meetings.</p><p>Boeing Co rose 0.8% after gaining approval from U.S. regulators for a fix of an electrical grounding issue.</p><p>Tesla continued its slide, dropping 3.1%, the heaviest drag on the Nasdaq, after boss Elon Musk doubled down on his sudden rejection of cryptocurrency bitcoin.</p><p>Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.91-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.06-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 13 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 49 new highs and 201 new lows.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 11.50 billion shares, compared with the 10.53 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><b><i>Financial</i></b><b>&nbsp;</b><b><i>Report：</i></b></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1143623731\" target=\"_blank\">Disney+ subscriber growth is slowing like Netflix's — with one worrisome difference</a></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1149765041\" target=\"_blank\">Coinbase revenue tripled from last quarter,To Offer Dogecoin In 6 To 8 Weeks</a></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2135732206\" target=\"_blank\">Airbnb bookings jump 52% as vaccinations spur vacation rental demand</a></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2135555675\" target=\"_blank\">DoorDash triples gross order volume and nearly triples revenue in first quarter</a></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2135283678\" target=\"_blank\">Aurora Cannabis stock plunges amid more large losses, stock-sale plans and cost cuts</a></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2135787576\" target=\"_blank\">Farfetch’s First-quarter Sales Run Up 46.4 Percent</a></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1100486329\" target=\"_blank\">Luminar stock dips after mixed Q1 report with wider than exp</a></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2135945620","content_text":"NEW YORK, May 13 (Reuters) - Wall Street ended sharply higher at the close of a broad rally on Thursday, bouncing back from three straight days of selling on upbeat labor market data.All three major U.S. stock indexes notched solid gains, with the Nasdaq, weighed by Tesla Inc , picking up the rear.Meanwhile, cyclical shares enjoyed the biggest gains.Recent economic data has prompted inflation fears as scarcity of both materials and workers threatens to send prices surging in the face of a demand boom.\"If this is a footrace, supply chains are still tying their shoes,\" said David Carter, chief investment officer at Lenox Wealth Advisors in New York. \"But they will catch up with demand fairly quickly.\"But on Thursday, investors appeared to be focusing on the glass-half-full side of the demand/supply equation.This was evidenced by the outperformance of small caps, chips and transports , economically sensitive stocks that stand to gain as the United States emerges from the pandemic recession.\"Sectors and stocks that were hurt most significantly by yesterday's sell-off rebounded strongly today given that economic growth is expected to remain strong throughout the year and any inflation is likely to be temporary,\" Carter added.New applications for unemployment insurance continue to fall, according to jobless claims data from the Labor Department that hit a 14-month low.Labor Department data also showed producer prices surged last month, building on the inflation surge narrative of Wednesday's consumer prices report.\"The inflation boogeyman is back right on cue,\" Carter said. \"And will continue to spook markets for the coming months.\"But rising prices were widely anticipated, and the U.S. Federal Reserve has provided repeated assurances that it does not foresee those spikes morphing into sustained, long-term inflation.The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 433.79 points, or 1.29%, to 34,021.45, the S&P 500 gained 49.46 points, or 1.22%, to 4,112.5 and the Nasdaq Composite added 93.31 points, or 0.72%, to 13,124.99.Of the 11 major sectors in the S&P 500, 10 ended green, with industrials enjoying the largest percentage gain.Energy, weighed by a drop in crude prices, was the sole loser, shedding 1.4%. [O/R]Walt Disney Co shares were down nearly 5% in after-hours trading after posting quarterly results.Dating app owner Bumble Inc tumbled 14.3%, falling below its initial public offering price, as investors remained cautious about how quickly users will return to in-person meetings.Boeing Co rose 0.8% after gaining approval from U.S. regulators for a fix of an electrical grounding issue.Tesla continued its slide, dropping 3.1%, the heaviest drag on the Nasdaq, after boss Elon Musk doubled down on his sudden rejection of cryptocurrency bitcoin.Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.91-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.06-to-1 ratio favored advancers.The S&P 500 posted 13 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 49 new highs and 201 new lows.Volume on U.S. exchanges was 11.50 billion shares, compared with the 10.53 billion average over the last 20 trading days.Financial Report：Disney+ subscriber growth is slowing like Netflix's — with one worrisome differenceCoinbase revenue tripled from last quarter,To Offer Dogecoin In 6 To 8 WeeksAirbnb bookings jump 52% as vaccinations spur vacation rental demandDoorDash triples gross order volume and nearly triples revenue in first quarterAurora Cannabis stock plunges amid more large losses, stock-sale plans and cost cutsFarfetch’s First-quarter Sales Run Up 46.4 PercentLuminar stock dips after mixed Q1 report with wider than exp","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":240,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3574744258604327","authorId":"3574744258604327","name":"Jun168","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/603a91ebeaac6760694ed984608404f6","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3574744258604327","authorIdStr":"3574744258604327"},"content":"Reply my comment plS","text":"Reply my comment plS","html":"Reply my comment plS"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":193546191,"gmtCreate":1620803290613,"gmtModify":1704348656048,"author":{"id":"3573789293829232","authorId":"3573789293829232","name":"btoh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a7c2d714604fc804a48646ee397f912","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573789293829232","authorIdStr":"3573789293829232"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment ty","listText":"Like and comment ty","text":"Like and comment ty","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/193546191","repostId":"1139120087","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1139120087","pubTimestamp":1620802870,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1139120087?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-12 15:01","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla: Beware Of The Unwinding Of The Gamma Squeeze","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1139120087","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Tesla and other EV shares have been under some selling pressure in the last three months, the EV bubble is slowly deflating.Adverse publicity in China and increasing concern about the safety of Tesla’s FSD option is adding to the downdraft.In the company’s recent earnings call, Tesla  CEO, Elon Musk, compared it to the logistics of managing World War 2. His claim was perhaps a slight exaggeration, but it illustrates the point.Despite the low-profit margins and past failed attempts by the likes o","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Tesla and other EV shares have been under some selling pressure in the last three months, the EV bubble is slowly deflating.</li>\n <li>Adverse publicity in China and increasing concern about the safety of Tesla’s FSD option is adding to the downdraft.</li>\n <li>Intense competition in key markets and construction delay at the German factory do not help.</li>\n <li>Selling pressure could intensify in the second half of the year as call options expire, reversing last year's gamma squeeze.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>The automotive industry is a highly competitive, capital intensive, low margin business at the best of times. It is also a very difficult business to enter. In addition to massive capital requirements, success in the automotive business demands talented and experienced engineers, a network of factories, and powerful logistics to manage the complexities of the supply chain and manufacturing process.</p>\n<p>In the company’s recent earnings call, Tesla (TSLA) CEO, Elon Musk, compared it to the logistics of managing World War 2. His claim was perhaps a slight exaggeration, but it illustrates the point.</p>\n<p>Despite the low-profit margins and past failed attempts by the likes of Bricklin and DeLorean to enter the business, the promised advent of electric cars has produced a new wave of would-be automakers. Investors have piled into shares of these new entrants hoping to duplicate Tesla’s skyrocketing share performance, driving prices into bubble territory.</p>\n<p>However, Tesla’s financial results continue to demonstrate that the electric car business is no different from the rest of the automotive business. As more competition enters the BEV market prices are squeezed until profit margins are razor-thin. After 16 years of losses, Tesla finally reached profitability, not from selling cars, but from selling regulatory credits to other automakers. I think Tesla has clearly demonstrated that from a profitability viewpoint, electric cars are just cars with a different drive-train and the transformation to electric drives does not change the fundamental nature of the automotive business.</p>\n<p>The EV bubble is now deflating, Tesla is down 30% from its January high. Tesla’s would-be imitators have fared even worse, Lordstown Motors (RIDE) is down 73%, Fisker (FSR) -60%, Canoo (GOEV) – 62%. Tesla’s Chinese competitors' share prices are also falling, despite sharply rising sales. NIO (NIO) is down 40% and XPeng (XPEV) and Li Automotive (LIV) have both fallen more than 50%.</p>\n<p>Against this backdrop of falling share prices among EV companies, Tesla is facing a few headwinds of its own including:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Adverse publicity resulting from quality and safety issues and a public backlash that will probably impact sales in China, its fastest growth market</li>\n <li>Increasing doubts about the safety and capabilities of Tesla’s Full Self Driving option, and the associated liabilities</li>\n <li>Construction delays at the German factory</li>\n <li>Intense competition from legacy automakers in its key markets</li>\n</ul>\n<p>But there is one factor that does not get the same attention in the media but may have an impact on Tesla’s share price in the second half of this year. It is the potential selling pressure from the high volume of “in the money call” options that expire in the next year – The unwinding of the gamma squeeze that some investors claim was the reason why Tesla’s shares reached their astronomical heights last year.</p>\n<p>Option hedging has a significant impact on Tesla’s share price</p>\n<p>Typical trading volumes for TSLA options are around 1 million contracts per day, equivalent to 100 million shares. Share volumes are around 30 million per day, which includes volume generated by market makers option hedging. With those relative volume levels, options trading is certain to have a significant influence on Tesla’s share price.</p>\n<p><b>Delta hedging and the gamma squeeze</b></p>\n<p>When option market makers sell an option, they hedge their exposure by buying shares (or selling if they are exposed to put options). The number of shares they buy or sell (known as Delta) depends on the relative price movement between the option and its underlying share.</p>\n<p>The value of Delta changes with the share price and the time to expiry. The chart below shows how those changes affect the number of shares that the option market makers buy to hedge their call option exposure. Three curves are shown with one-week, four-week, and one-year expiry dates, the X-axis is the share price relative to the option strike price.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1f6fe1d60b7cacf9eece9460c672dc8f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"408\"><i>Variation of option price with share price and expiry: Data sourced from Option Council</i></p>\n<p>Last year, when Tesla shares were hot, a lot of investors bought long-dated “out of the money” call options which would have been delta hedged by the option market makers. The green curve on the chart above is the delta curve for options with a 1-year expiry. As an example, a $400 call contract ($2,000 pre-split) bought a year ago, would have been on the left edge of the green curve, it would have been hedged at the time with the purchase of about 28 shares.</p>\n<p>If the share price had stayed the same over the past year, those shares would have been gradually sold as the delta curve moved towards the orange and blue curves. However, Tesla's share price has risen and is now about 170% of the $400 call option strike price, the delta is 0.98, another 70 shares have been purchased for hedging.</p>\n<p>This additional share buying for hedging is the \"gamma squeeze\". It has been one of the factors driving the price of Tesla shares upwards, and it will be a factor driving the share price down as the squeeze unwinds with the expiry of the options.</p>\n<p><b>Option expiry and the unwinding of the gamma squeeze</b></p>\n<p>As the expiry date approaches, delta tends to a value of 1.00 for in-the-money options and zero for out-of-the-money options. In theory, market makers would like to be holding, at expiry, one share for every ITM call option minus one share for each ITM put option to which they are exposed.</p>\n<p>If the options are held to expiry, they are exercised and the long or short position transfers to the option holder, with no effect on the market. However, most option holders do not hold the option to expiry, many will sell the option before expiry or hedge the position by buying or selling shares.</p>\n<p>Selling an ITM call option that has a delta of close to 1 causes the market maker to sell 100 shares and selling an ITM put option with a delta of close to 1 causes the market maker to buy 100 shares, so an imbalance between open interest in ITM calls and ITM puts will result in a net sale (or purchase)</p>\n<p>If option trading were the only driver of market prices the share price on expiry would trend towards the point where the open interest in ITM calls equals the open interest in ITM puts. I’ll refer to that as the put/call balance point.</p>\n<p><b>The effect of short expiry versus long expiry options</b></p>\n<p>Most weekly options don’t come to the market until 8 weeks before expiry, they tend to be traded at strike prices close to the share price, so the put/call balance point is usually close to the share price, and the impact on expiry is small.</p>\n<p>But the options that have been on the market for longer, the June, September, and January regular options show a strong imbalance between ITM calls and ITM puts, and much higher overall open interest. Option market makers are holding significant long positions to hedge those ITM calls, and those long positions will unwind as the calls approach expiry, releasing millions of shares onto the market.</p>\n<p>Based on data from May 7th, open ITM call interest in the June 18thoptions exceeds ITM put interest by 170,000 contracts (17 million shares), the balance point is at $440 as shown in the chart below:</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f47d2184c62ffb8f38c4cc633baac772\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"353\"><i>Open interest in Tesla Calls and Puts that are in the money at various share prices: Source data from Options Council, May 7th.</i></p>\n<p>If this theory is correct, as the upcoming June 18thcall option expiry approaches it will tend to push the Tesla share price towards $440 as the gamma squeeze unwinds, creating downward pressure on the share price.</p>\n<p>This does not all happen on options expiry day, open interest in the June ITM calls has been falling steadily since I started keeping records in February, indicating that some investors have been taking profits already.</p>\n<p><b>A falling share price generates downward gamma</b></p>\n<p>In addition to the effects of options expiry, there is the gamma effect as the share price moves up or down. The delta values move up or down their respective curves and option market makers buy or sell options to maintain their hedges. A falling share price generates selling of shares to unwind option hedges for all options, not just the expiring options, and it has the same directional effect for both puts and calls, i.e. selling when the price moves down and buying when the price moves up. This effect will magnify any downward moves, just as it magnified upward moves as Tesla’s share price rose last year.</p>\n<p>If you Google \"gamma squeeze\" you will find many articles describing how heavy call buying forces share prices up, but very few of those articles mention that the gamma squeeze works in both directions.</p>\n<p><b>Summary and Conclusion</b></p>\n<p>There is a large volume of deep-in-the-money call options purchased during Tesla’s share price run-up last year that will expire June 18th. This option expiry may precipitate selling as the option positions are closed and market makers remove their delta hedges. This will put downward pressure on the share price as the options expire. Further downward pressure is likely as the September and January options move towards expiry.</p>\n<p>Options trading is not the only factor that determines share prices but combined with other factors that appear to be pressuring Tesla’s share price at present, I think this would be a good time to take profits if you hold a long position, and don’t be tempted to buy the dip if the share price drops over the next few weeks.</p>\n<p><b>A note about data source and possible inaccuracies</b></p>\n<p>All the information used to develop the charts, calculations, and conclusions in this article has been downloaded fromThe Options Councilwebsite. The information has some flaws which limit the accuracy of the data.</p>\n<p>Option open interest is posted on the site daily before the market opens. The information posted is total open interest, not net open interest. If someone holds a long call and someone else holds a short call of the same strike and expiry, those positions will post as two open interests. That introduces inaccuracy in the data because we don’t know how much of the stated open interest is long and how much is short.</p>\n<p>However, I believe that most of the long-dated deep-in-the-money calls will be long positions and the conclusions are valid.</p>\n<p>I hold a very small position in July puts.</p>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla: Beware Of The Unwinding Of The Gamma Squeeze</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla: Beware Of The Unwinding Of The Gamma Squeeze\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-12 15:01 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4427585-tesla-beware-of-the-unwinding-of-the-gamma-squeeze><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nTesla and other EV shares have been under some selling pressure in the last three months, the EV bubble is slowly deflating.\nAdverse publicity in China and increasing concern about the safety...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4427585-tesla-beware-of-the-unwinding-of-the-gamma-squeeze\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4427585-tesla-beware-of-the-unwinding-of-the-gamma-squeeze","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1139120087","content_text":"Summary\n\nTesla and other EV shares have been under some selling pressure in the last three months, the EV bubble is slowly deflating.\nAdverse publicity in China and increasing concern about the safety of Tesla’s FSD option is adding to the downdraft.\nIntense competition in key markets and construction delay at the German factory do not help.\nSelling pressure could intensify in the second half of the year as call options expire, reversing last year's gamma squeeze.\n\nThe automotive industry is a highly competitive, capital intensive, low margin business at the best of times. It is also a very difficult business to enter. In addition to massive capital requirements, success in the automotive business demands talented and experienced engineers, a network of factories, and powerful logistics to manage the complexities of the supply chain and manufacturing process.\nIn the company’s recent earnings call, Tesla (TSLA) CEO, Elon Musk, compared it to the logistics of managing World War 2. His claim was perhaps a slight exaggeration, but it illustrates the point.\nDespite the low-profit margins and past failed attempts by the likes of Bricklin and DeLorean to enter the business, the promised advent of electric cars has produced a new wave of would-be automakers. Investors have piled into shares of these new entrants hoping to duplicate Tesla’s skyrocketing share performance, driving prices into bubble territory.\nHowever, Tesla’s financial results continue to demonstrate that the electric car business is no different from the rest of the automotive business. As more competition enters the BEV market prices are squeezed until profit margins are razor-thin. After 16 years of losses, Tesla finally reached profitability, not from selling cars, but from selling regulatory credits to other automakers. I think Tesla has clearly demonstrated that from a profitability viewpoint, electric cars are just cars with a different drive-train and the transformation to electric drives does not change the fundamental nature of the automotive business.\nThe EV bubble is now deflating, Tesla is down 30% from its January high. Tesla’s would-be imitators have fared even worse, Lordstown Motors (RIDE) is down 73%, Fisker (FSR) -60%, Canoo (GOEV) – 62%. Tesla’s Chinese competitors' share prices are also falling, despite sharply rising sales. NIO (NIO) is down 40% and XPeng (XPEV) and Li Automotive (LIV) have both fallen more than 50%.\nAgainst this backdrop of falling share prices among EV companies, Tesla is facing a few headwinds of its own including:\n\nAdverse publicity resulting from quality and safety issues and a public backlash that will probably impact sales in China, its fastest growth market\nIncreasing doubts about the safety and capabilities of Tesla’s Full Self Driving option, and the associated liabilities\nConstruction delays at the German factory\nIntense competition from legacy automakers in its key markets\n\nBut there is one factor that does not get the same attention in the media but may have an impact on Tesla’s share price in the second half of this year. It is the potential selling pressure from the high volume of “in the money call” options that expire in the next year – The unwinding of the gamma squeeze that some investors claim was the reason why Tesla’s shares reached their astronomical heights last year.\nOption hedging has a significant impact on Tesla’s share price\nTypical trading volumes for TSLA options are around 1 million contracts per day, equivalent to 100 million shares. Share volumes are around 30 million per day, which includes volume generated by market makers option hedging. With those relative volume levels, options trading is certain to have a significant influence on Tesla’s share price.\nDelta hedging and the gamma squeeze\nWhen option market makers sell an option, they hedge their exposure by buying shares (or selling if they are exposed to put options). The number of shares they buy or sell (known as Delta) depends on the relative price movement between the option and its underlying share.\nThe value of Delta changes with the share price and the time to expiry. The chart below shows how those changes affect the number of shares that the option market makers buy to hedge their call option exposure. Three curves are shown with one-week, four-week, and one-year expiry dates, the X-axis is the share price relative to the option strike price.\nVariation of option price with share price and expiry: Data sourced from Option Council\nLast year, when Tesla shares were hot, a lot of investors bought long-dated “out of the money” call options which would have been delta hedged by the option market makers. The green curve on the chart above is the delta curve for options with a 1-year expiry. As an example, a $400 call contract ($2,000 pre-split) bought a year ago, would have been on the left edge of the green curve, it would have been hedged at the time with the purchase of about 28 shares.\nIf the share price had stayed the same over the past year, those shares would have been gradually sold as the delta curve moved towards the orange and blue curves. However, Tesla's share price has risen and is now about 170% of the $400 call option strike price, the delta is 0.98, another 70 shares have been purchased for hedging.\nThis additional share buying for hedging is the \"gamma squeeze\". It has been one of the factors driving the price of Tesla shares upwards, and it will be a factor driving the share price down as the squeeze unwinds with the expiry of the options.\nOption expiry and the unwinding of the gamma squeeze\nAs the expiry date approaches, delta tends to a value of 1.00 for in-the-money options and zero for out-of-the-money options. In theory, market makers would like to be holding, at expiry, one share for every ITM call option minus one share for each ITM put option to which they are exposed.\nIf the options are held to expiry, they are exercised and the long or short position transfers to the option holder, with no effect on the market. However, most option holders do not hold the option to expiry, many will sell the option before expiry or hedge the position by buying or selling shares.\nSelling an ITM call option that has a delta of close to 1 causes the market maker to sell 100 shares and selling an ITM put option with a delta of close to 1 causes the market maker to buy 100 shares, so an imbalance between open interest in ITM calls and ITM puts will result in a net sale (or purchase)\nIf option trading were the only driver of market prices the share price on expiry would trend towards the point where the open interest in ITM calls equals the open interest in ITM puts. I’ll refer to that as the put/call balance point.\nThe effect of short expiry versus long expiry options\nMost weekly options don’t come to the market until 8 weeks before expiry, they tend to be traded at strike prices close to the share price, so the put/call balance point is usually close to the share price, and the impact on expiry is small.\nBut the options that have been on the market for longer, the June, September, and January regular options show a strong imbalance between ITM calls and ITM puts, and much higher overall open interest. Option market makers are holding significant long positions to hedge those ITM calls, and those long positions will unwind as the calls approach expiry, releasing millions of shares onto the market.\nBased on data from May 7th, open ITM call interest in the June 18thoptions exceeds ITM put interest by 170,000 contracts (17 million shares), the balance point is at $440 as shown in the chart below:\nOpen interest in Tesla Calls and Puts that are in the money at various share prices: Source data from Options Council, May 7th.\nIf this theory is correct, as the upcoming June 18thcall option expiry approaches it will tend to push the Tesla share price towards $440 as the gamma squeeze unwinds, creating downward pressure on the share price.\nThis does not all happen on options expiry day, open interest in the June ITM calls has been falling steadily since I started keeping records in February, indicating that some investors have been taking profits already.\nA falling share price generates downward gamma\nIn addition to the effects of options expiry, there is the gamma effect as the share price moves up or down. The delta values move up or down their respective curves and option market makers buy or sell options to maintain their hedges. A falling share price generates selling of shares to unwind option hedges for all options, not just the expiring options, and it has the same directional effect for both puts and calls, i.e. selling when the price moves down and buying when the price moves up. This effect will magnify any downward moves, just as it magnified upward moves as Tesla’s share price rose last year.\nIf you Google \"gamma squeeze\" you will find many articles describing how heavy call buying forces share prices up, but very few of those articles mention that the gamma squeeze works in both directions.\nSummary and Conclusion\nThere is a large volume of deep-in-the-money call options purchased during Tesla’s share price run-up last year that will expire June 18th. This option expiry may precipitate selling as the option positions are closed and market makers remove their delta hedges. This will put downward pressure on the share price as the options expire. Further downward pressure is likely as the September and January options move towards expiry.\nOptions trading is not the only factor that determines share prices but combined with other factors that appear to be pressuring Tesla’s share price at present, I think this would be a good time to take profits if you hold a long position, and don’t be tempted to buy the dip if the share price drops over the next few weeks.\nA note about data source and possible inaccuracies\nAll the information used to develop the charts, calculations, and conclusions in this article has been downloaded fromThe Options Councilwebsite. The information has some flaws which limit the accuracy of the data.\nOption open interest is posted on the site daily before the market opens. The information posted is total open interest, not net open interest. If someone holds a long call and someone else holds a short call of the same strike and expiry, those positions will post as two open interests. That introduces inaccuracy in the data because we don’t know how much of the stated open interest is long and how much is short.\nHowever, I believe that most of the long-dated deep-in-the-money calls will be long positions and the conclusions are valid.\nI hold a very small position in July puts.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":309,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9075551132,"gmtCreate":1658231537126,"gmtModify":1676536125376,"author":{"id":"3573789293829232","authorId":"3573789293829232","name":"btoh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a7c2d714604fc804a48646ee397f912","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573789293829232","authorIdStr":"3573789293829232"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9075551132","repostId":"1130997965","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1130997965","pubTimestamp":1658223819,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1130997965?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-19 17:43","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Big Tech Apples May Have Further to Fall?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1130997965","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Apple of the Market’s EyeThere’s no doubt what Monday’s biggest market news was in New York. Apple I","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Apple of the Market’s Eye</b></p><p>There’s no doubt what Monday’s biggest market news was in New York. Apple Inc. stock fell more than 2% in its worst session in almost three weeks after Bloomberg revealed the company’s plans to slow hiring and spending to cope with a potential economic downturn. The news, shortly after midday, sparked an immediate tumble.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75e8cba754cf5ef5d07c43411b24f33f\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"562\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Until now, shares of the iPhone-maker had fallen roughly 17% for the year, in step with the broader market rout. The announcement undercut the market, with other big “FANG” internet platforms such as Alphabet Inc. and Microsoft Corp. also falling. The tech stalwart had been among the companies that beat Wall Street expectations throughout the pandemic, and had come to be seen as a defensive stock, so any negative news was bound to hurt sentiment across the market.</p><p>The development was particularly unwelcome as it came just as the tech sector appeared ready to rally. The Nasdaq 100, down 27% for the year so far, had briefly managed to get above its 50-day moving average on Monday, suggesting that the relentless downward trend was over — but the index failed to stay there, thanks in large part to Apple.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c8865f39c565e2fe056f4ea9e05bc0eb\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"562\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>There have been hopes that valuation is at last looking favorable for the tech sector once more — although this gets a little harder to sustain on closer examination. The spread between the prospective earnings multiples of the S&amp;P 500 Information Technology Sector and the benchmark S&amp;P 500 started this year at the highest it had been since 2004. A “healthy correction” was in order, and what looks like some seriously unhealthy speculative excess has now been wrung out of the market. However, it’s worth noting that from the Great Financial Crisis through to about 2018, tech basically traded at the same multiple as the rest of the market. Tech’s premium could easily fall further from here:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4127afed9347713bf291fc04a27c4584\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"562\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>There is a similar message from the tech index’s P/E ratio judged in its own right. It has slipped to 20.6 on Monday, having peaked above 30 in the first year of the pandemic. But 20 appears to be the level at which it hit a plateau in 2017 and 2018 — again while it looks like the excess has been blown off thetop, there’s no particular reason to think that the multiple can rebound.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5c45ff60e2c3fba21870e2132590fb0\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"562\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Investors will get more clarity this week when more tech heavyweights report earnings following mixed results from major banks. Netflix Inc., savagely punished for disappointing results so far this year, will kick off the FANG stocks Tuesday evening. This is the season for all companies to get bad news off their chests, so the chances of a durable rebound should be much stronger once investors believe they know the worst.</p><p>Nicholas Colas, co-founder of DataTrek Research, would “prefer to get bullish” on US large-cap tech once he sees second-quarter earnings season, which will include third-quarter guidance. This, even as Wall Street’s forecast still remains relatively optimistic. “Even still, the return math says the Nasdaq is pretty washed out here on a relative basis,” he said.</p><blockquote><ul><li><i>While the surge in US tech stocks just after the March 2020 stock market lows was statistically remarkable, it was nothing like the dot com bubble. The peak in post-Pandemic Crisis NASDAQ outperformance was 21 points in August 2020. That is just over two standard deviations (18.4 points, as calculated above). By contrast, the 2000 dot com bubble saw the NASDAQ outperform the S&amp;P 500 by 77 points, which is nine standard deviations.</i></li></ul><ul><li><i>The NASDAQ rarely underperforms the S&amp;P 500 by much more than 6.8 points over 100 days, which is one standard deviation from the relative return mean... It exceeded those levels in late May 2022, at 11 points of relative underperformance.</i></li></ul><ul><li><i>The NASDAQ has underperformed the S&amp;P 500 by 4.3 points over the last 100 days, well within one standard deviation.</i></li></ul></blockquote><p>All of this suggests that the sector could have further to fall if the news is bad. Still, if earnings of tech companies prove profitable, or traders can be convinced that the worst news is known, it may solidify its status as the new defensive play, at least for now.</p><p>Colas is not alone in suggesting that the conditions for a bottom are not in place, despite the recent signs of life in the tech sector. Tom Essaye, a former Merrill Lynch trader who founded The Sevens Report, continues to suggest that some broader macro landmarks need to be passed before the market can make a durable bottom. His list is as follows:</p><blockquote><i>1. Chinese Lockdowns Ease and Growth Recovers — The Chinese economy has largely reopened, but this week’s shutdown in Macau and mass testing in Shanghai and other regions show that “Zero COVID” remains partially in effect and as a result, the threat of lockdowns will continue to weigh on Chinese stocks and the outlook for the global economy.</i></blockquote><blockquote><i>2. Inflation Peaks and Declines and the Fed Eases Off the Hawkish Rhetoric — Obviously we’re not close on this yet. The June CPI printed above 9% and it’s essentially a “toss up” as to whether we get a 75bps hike or a 100bps hike.</i></blockquote><blockquote><i>3. Geopolitical Tensions Decline — Certain commodities like wheat and corn have declined to pre-collision levels, as markets are hopeful that grain shipments from Ukraine will start again soon. But energy commodities, despite large drops, remain above pre-invasion levels (oil and natural gas). Additionally, the drops have been driven by fears of a global recession crimping demand and lack of export capacity in the US (for natural gas), not on some geopolitical improvement.</i></blockquote><p>Until these macroeconomic factors are resolved, and it could take a while, Essaye does not think the June low in equities is the bottom, while the market remains vulnerable to any disappointments. Apple delivered just such a disappointment on Monday; now the question is whether further ones lie ahead.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Big Tech Apples May Have Further to Fall?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Big Tech Apples May Have Further to Fall?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-19 17:43 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2022-07-19/apple-s-thud-suggests-big-tech-s-pandemic-era-premiums-could-fall-further?srnd=markets-vp><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Apple of the Market’s EyeThere’s no doubt what Monday’s biggest market news was in New York. Apple Inc. stock fell more than 2% in its worst session in almost three weeks after Bloomberg revealed the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2022-07-19/apple-s-thud-suggests-big-tech-s-pandemic-era-premiums-could-fall-further?srnd=markets-vp\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2022-07-19/apple-s-thud-suggests-big-tech-s-pandemic-era-premiums-could-fall-further?srnd=markets-vp","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1130997965","content_text":"Apple of the Market’s EyeThere’s no doubt what Monday’s biggest market news was in New York. Apple Inc. stock fell more than 2% in its worst session in almost three weeks after Bloomberg revealed the company’s plans to slow hiring and spending to cope with a potential economic downturn. The news, shortly after midday, sparked an immediate tumble.Until now, shares of the iPhone-maker had fallen roughly 17% for the year, in step with the broader market rout. The announcement undercut the market, with other big “FANG” internet platforms such as Alphabet Inc. and Microsoft Corp. also falling. The tech stalwart had been among the companies that beat Wall Street expectations throughout the pandemic, and had come to be seen as a defensive stock, so any negative news was bound to hurt sentiment across the market.The development was particularly unwelcome as it came just as the tech sector appeared ready to rally. The Nasdaq 100, down 27% for the year so far, had briefly managed to get above its 50-day moving average on Monday, suggesting that the relentless downward trend was over — but the index failed to stay there, thanks in large part to Apple.There have been hopes that valuation is at last looking favorable for the tech sector once more — although this gets a little harder to sustain on closer examination. The spread between the prospective earnings multiples of the S&P 500 Information Technology Sector and the benchmark S&P 500 started this year at the highest it had been since 2004. A “healthy correction” was in order, and what looks like some seriously unhealthy speculative excess has now been wrung out of the market. However, it’s worth noting that from the Great Financial Crisis through to about 2018, tech basically traded at the same multiple as the rest of the market. Tech’s premium could easily fall further from here:There is a similar message from the tech index’s P/E ratio judged in its own right. It has slipped to 20.6 on Monday, having peaked above 30 in the first year of the pandemic. But 20 appears to be the level at which it hit a plateau in 2017 and 2018 — again while it looks like the excess has been blown off thetop, there’s no particular reason to think that the multiple can rebound.Investors will get more clarity this week when more tech heavyweights report earnings following mixed results from major banks. Netflix Inc., savagely punished for disappointing results so far this year, will kick off the FANG stocks Tuesday evening. This is the season for all companies to get bad news off their chests, so the chances of a durable rebound should be much stronger once investors believe they know the worst.Nicholas Colas, co-founder of DataTrek Research, would “prefer to get bullish” on US large-cap tech once he sees second-quarter earnings season, which will include third-quarter guidance. This, even as Wall Street’s forecast still remains relatively optimistic. “Even still, the return math says the Nasdaq is pretty washed out here on a relative basis,” he said.While the surge in US tech stocks just after the March 2020 stock market lows was statistically remarkable, it was nothing like the dot com bubble. The peak in post-Pandemic Crisis NASDAQ outperformance was 21 points in August 2020. That is just over two standard deviations (18.4 points, as calculated above). By contrast, the 2000 dot com bubble saw the NASDAQ outperform the S&P 500 by 77 points, which is nine standard deviations.The NASDAQ rarely underperforms the S&P 500 by much more than 6.8 points over 100 days, which is one standard deviation from the relative return mean... It exceeded those levels in late May 2022, at 11 points of relative underperformance.The NASDAQ has underperformed the S&P 500 by 4.3 points over the last 100 days, well within one standard deviation.All of this suggests that the sector could have further to fall if the news is bad. Still, if earnings of tech companies prove profitable, or traders can be convinced that the worst news is known, it may solidify its status as the new defensive play, at least for now.Colas is not alone in suggesting that the conditions for a bottom are not in place, despite the recent signs of life in the tech sector. Tom Essaye, a former Merrill Lynch trader who founded The Sevens Report, continues to suggest that some broader macro landmarks need to be passed before the market can make a durable bottom. His list is as follows:1. Chinese Lockdowns Ease and Growth Recovers — The Chinese economy has largely reopened, but this week’s shutdown in Macau and mass testing in Shanghai and other regions show that “Zero COVID” remains partially in effect and as a result, the threat of lockdowns will continue to weigh on Chinese stocks and the outlook for the global economy.2. Inflation Peaks and Declines and the Fed Eases Off the Hawkish Rhetoric — Obviously we’re not close on this yet. The June CPI printed above 9% and it’s essentially a “toss up” as to whether we get a 75bps hike or a 100bps hike.3. Geopolitical Tensions Decline — Certain commodities like wheat and corn have declined to pre-collision levels, as markets are hopeful that grain shipments from Ukraine will start again soon. But energy commodities, despite large drops, remain above pre-invasion levels (oil and natural gas). Additionally, the drops have been driven by fears of a global recession crimping demand and lack of export capacity in the US (for natural gas), not on some geopolitical improvement.Until these macroeconomic factors are resolved, and it could take a while, Essaye does not think the June low in equities is the bottom, while the market remains vulnerable to any disappointments. Apple delivered just such a disappointment on Monday; now the question is whether further ones lie ahead.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":63,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9081568333,"gmtCreate":1650254074842,"gmtModify":1676534680066,"author":{"id":"3573789293829232","authorId":"3573789293829232","name":"btoh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a7c2d714604fc804a48646ee397f912","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573789293829232","authorIdStr":"3573789293829232"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9081568333","repostId":"2228379987","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2228379987","pubTimestamp":1650237595,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2228379987?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-04-18 07:19","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Netflix, Tesla Earnings: What to Know in Markets This Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2228379987","media":"Yahoo Finance","summary":"This week, earnings season is set to ramp up, offering investors a fresh set of data on the strength of corporate profits in the face of elevated inflationary pressure.Two of the major names reporting","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>This week, earnings season is set to ramp up, offering investors a fresh set of data on the strength of corporate profits in the face of elevated inflationary pressure.</p><p>Two of the major names reporting this week will include Netflix (NFLX) and Tesla (TSLA), offering an early look at how some of the mega-cap technology companies performed in the early part of the year.</p><p>The other names set to report this week will span a range of industries, broadening out from last week&#39;s bank-dominated results. Companies including United Airlines (UAL), American Express (AXP), Johnson &amp; Johnson (JNJ) and Kimberly-Clark (KMB) are each on deck to report in the coming days.</p><p>For earnings season so far, results have been mixed, albeit heavily skewed toward the slew of financial names that reported last week including JPMorgan Chase (JPM) and Goldman Sachs (GS). About 7% of S&amp;P 500 index components have reported actual Q1 results so far, and 77% of these have topped Wall Street&#39;s earnings per share (EPS) estimates, matching the five-year average percentage, according to data from FactSet. The estimated earnings growth rate for the index currently stands at 5.1%, which if carried through the rest of the season would mark the lowest earnings growth rate for the index since the fourth quarter of 2020.</p><h2><b>Netflix earnings</b></h2><p>Netflix is set to report results on Tuesday, with investors closely watching for further signs of a slowdown in the streaming giant&#39;s growth after a pandemic-era surge in subscriber numbers.</p><p>Analysts&#39; consensus estimates are looking for Netflix to have added about 2.51 million subscribers for the first quarter, which would mark the least since the second quarter of 2021. This would bring Netflix&#39;s total subscribers to just under 225 million. In the same quarter last year, subscribers grew by nearly 4 million.</p><p>Though Netflix has already seen subscriber growth slow sharply from a pandemic-era peak, the streaming giant&#39;s exit from Russia in early March is also set to further contribute to the deceleration. The Los Gatos, Calif.-based company suspended operations in Russia on March 6 over the country&#39;s invasion of Ukraine, and since then, analysts further trimmed their subscriber estimates.</p><p>&#34;We now expect paid net adds of 1.45MM, below guide of 2.5MM given Russia suspension (~1MM subs),&#34; Cowen analyst John Blackledge wrote in a note last week. The firm also lowered its price target on Netflix to $590 a share from $600 previously, on account of the lower subscriber growth forecast.</p><p>Other analysts also suggested that Netflix&#39;s churn, or subscriber losses, could increase in the quarter after the company announced a price increase for subscribers in the U.S. and Canada in January. But revenue pulled from these price increases could also be used to help Netflix build out bigger content slates and drive growth in less saturated markets internationally, others pointed out.</p><p>&#34;Netflix appears to be nearing a ceiling on UCAN (U.S. and Canada) subscribers, and is pulling new levers to lower churn,&#34; Wedbush analyst Michael Pachter wrote in a note. &#34;Subscription price increases in the West should fuel additional content production and growth in other regions, and our bias is that cash flow will turn positive in 2022 and beyond, as management has guided. However, subscriber growth will likely occur primarily in less developed regions at lower subscription prices, with Western subscribers paying higher rates to fund new content.&#34;</p><p>&#34;Content dumps, where all episodes of a new season are delivered at the same instant, will likely keep churn high, as price conscious consumers can swap out of Netflix and shift to a competitor service after viewing the content they desire,&#34; he added. &#34;Sustainable profit growth should continue so long as Netflix is able to continue raising subscription prices, but competition may limit future price increases.&#34;</p><p>Overall, Netflix is expected to report GAAP earnings of $2.91 per share on revenue of $7.95 billion, which on the top line would represent just a 11% increase over last year. In the same quarter in 2021, revenue grew 24%.</p><p>Shares of Netflix have fallen 43% for the year-to-date in 2022, underperforming against the S&amp;P 500&#39;s 7.8% drop over that same period.</p><h2>Tesla earnings</h2><p>Meanwhile, another major company set to report results this week will be Tesla.</p><p>The electric vehicle maker is scheduled to post its quarterly report Wednesday after market close. Ahead of these results, Tesla announced record deliveries of more than 310,000 during the first three months of this year. That represented a 68% jump over last year&#39;s deliveries. Tesla has sought to average 50% growth in annual vehicle deliveries.</p><p>Production, however, slipped slightly on a quarter-over-quarter basis, with output coming in at 305,407 for the first quarter compared to 305,840 during the final three months of 2021. Tesla, like many other automakers, has continued to grapple with lingering supply chain challenges and rising input costs, leading CEO Elon Musk to suggest that the company may begin mining its own lithium for batteries as metal prices soar.</p><p>&#34;Right now Tesla has a high-class problem of demand outstripping supply with this issue now translating into ~5-6 month delays for Model Ys, some Model 3s in different parts of the globe,&#34; Wedbush analyst Dan Ives wrote in a note. &#34;The key to alleviating these issues is centered around the key Giga openings in Austin and Berlin which will alleviate the bottlenecks of production for Tesla globally.&#34;</p><p>Just earlier this month, Tesla officially began delivering its first Texas-made vehicles from its new Austin Gigafactory. At Tesla&#39;s &#34;Cyber Rodeo&#34; launch party on April 7, Musk said the facility was aiming to begin building the Tesla Cybertruck starting in 2023 and has targeted making 500,000 units of the Model Y per year.</p><p>The newly made U.S. Gigafactory is set to be pivotal in helping Tesla further ramp production and help meet demand domestically, especially given snarls internationally as Tesla&#39;s Shanghai Gigafactory closed for weeks due to a COVID outbreak in the region.</p><p><i>&#34;</i>We believe by the end of 2022 Tesla will have the run rate capacity for overall ~2 million units annually from roughly 1 million today,&#34; Ives added. &#34;While the China zero COVID policy is causing shutdowns in Shanghai for Tesla (and others) and remains a worrying trend if it continues, seeing the forest through the trees with Austin and Berlin now live and ramping, Musk &amp; Co. will continue to flex its distribution muscles in the EV landscape while many other automakers struggle to get things off the ground.&#34;</p><p>While Tesla shares have outperformed the S&amp;P 500 for the year-to-date, the stock came under pressure on Thursday after Musk disclosed he made an offer to buy social media company <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWTR\">Twitter</a> (TWTR) for $54.20 per share, or about $43 billion in cash. Many have noted Musk would likely have to sell Tesla shares in order to finance the deal if it were to go through.</p><p>In Tesla&#39;s first-quarter results, Wall Street is looking for the company to post adjusted earnings of $2.27 per share on revenue of $17.85 billion, representing sales growth of 65%.</p><h2>Economic calendar</h2><ul><li><p><b>Monday: </b>NAHB Housing Market Index, April (77 expected, 79 in March)</p></li><li><p><b>Tuesday: </b>Housing starts, March (1.745 million expected, 1.769 million in February); Building permits, March (1.830 million expected, 1.859 million in February)</p></li><li><p><b>Wednesday: </b>MBA Mortgage Applications, week ended April 15 (-1.3% during prior week); Existing home sales, March (5.78 million expected, 6.02 million in February); Federal Reserve releases Beige Book</p></li><li><p><b>Thursday: </b>Philadelphia Fed Business Outlook index, April (20.5 expected, 27.4 in March); Initial jobless claims, week ended April 16 (185,000 during prior week); Continuing claims, week ended April 9 (1.475 million during prior week); Leading Index, March (0.3% expected, 0.3% in February)</p></li><li><p><b>Friday: </b>S&amp;P Global U.S. Manufacturing PMI, April preliminary (57.8 expected, 58.8 in March); S&amp;P Global U.S. Services PMI, April preliminary (58.1 expected, 58.0 in March); S&amp;P Global U.S. Composite PMI, April preliminary (57.7 in March)</p></li></ul><h2>Earnings calendar</h2><h2><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c5fcaf90030c6d8be015e91c8c372d74\" tg-width=\"1800\" tg-height=\"1430\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></h2><p><b>Monday</b></p><p>Before market open: <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SYF\">Synchrony Financial</a> (SYF), Bank of New York Mellon Corp. (BK), Bank of America (BAC), Charles Schwab (SCHW)</p><p>After market close: JB Hunt Transport Services (JBHT)</p><p><b>Tuesday</b></p><p>Before market open: <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FITBO\">Fifth Third Bancorp</a>. (FITB), Johnson &amp; Johnson (JNJ), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CFG\">Citizens Financial Group</a> (CFG), Halliburton (HAL), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TFC\">Truist Financial Corp</a>. (TFC), Hasbro (HAS), Lockheed Martin (LMT)</p><p>After market close: Netflix (NFLX), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IBM\">IBM</a> (IBM), First Horizon Corp. (FHN)</p><p><b>Wednesday</b></p><p>Before market open: Anthem (ANTM), Nasdaq (NDAQ), Baker Hughes (BKR), Procter &amp; Gamble (PG), Abbott Laboratories (ABT)</p><p>After market close: CSX Corp. (CSX), United Airlines (UAL), Crown Castle International (CCI), Alcoa Corp. (AA), Equifax (EFX), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STLD\">Steel Dynamics</a> (STLD), Tesla (TSLA), Tenet Healthcare (THC), Kinder Morgan (KMI)</p><p><b>Thursday</b></p><p>Before market open: Xerox (XRX), AT&amp;T (T), Dow Inc. (DOW), Las Vegas Sands (LVS), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SAVE\">Spirit Airlines</a> (SAVE), Blackstone (BX), Danaher (DHR), American Airlines (AAL), Pool Corp. (POOL), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AN\">AutoNation</a> (AN), Alaska Air Group (ALK), Tractor Supply Co. (TSCO), Philip Morris International (PM), Union Pacific (UNP),</p><p>After market close: Boston Beer Co. (SAM), Snap (SNAP)</p><p><b>Friday</b></p><p>Before market open: Verizon (VZ), Schlumberger (SLB), American Express (AXP), Kimberly-Clark (KMB)</p><p>After market close: <i>No notable reports scheduled for release</i></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Netflix, Tesla Earnings: What to Know in Markets This Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNetflix, Tesla Earnings: What to Know in Markets This Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-04-18 07:19 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/netflix-tesla-earnings-what-to-know-in-markets-this-week-154106070.html><strong>Yahoo Finance</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>This week, earnings season is set to ramp up, offering investors a fresh set of data on the strength of corporate profits in the face of elevated inflationary pressure.Two of the major names reporting...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/netflix-tesla-earnings-what-to-know-in-markets-this-week-154106070.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NFLX":"奈飞",".DJI":"道琼斯","TSLA":"特斯拉",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/netflix-tesla-earnings-what-to-know-in-markets-this-week-154106070.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2228379987","content_text":"This week, earnings season is set to ramp up, offering investors a fresh set of data on the strength of corporate profits in the face of elevated inflationary pressure.Two of the major names reporting this week will include Netflix (NFLX) and Tesla (TSLA), offering an early look at how some of the mega-cap technology companies performed in the early part of the year.The other names set to report this week will span a range of industries, broadening out from last week's bank-dominated results. Companies including United Airlines (UAL), American Express (AXP), Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) and Kimberly-Clark (KMB) are each on deck to report in the coming days.For earnings season so far, results have been mixed, albeit heavily skewed toward the slew of financial names that reported last week including JPMorgan Chase (JPM) and Goldman Sachs (GS). About 7% of S&P 500 index components have reported actual Q1 results so far, and 77% of these have topped Wall Street's earnings per share (EPS) estimates, matching the five-year average percentage, according to data from FactSet. The estimated earnings growth rate for the index currently stands at 5.1%, which if carried through the rest of the season would mark the lowest earnings growth rate for the index since the fourth quarter of 2020.Netflix earningsNetflix is set to report results on Tuesday, with investors closely watching for further signs of a slowdown in the streaming giant's growth after a pandemic-era surge in subscriber numbers.Analysts' consensus estimates are looking for Netflix to have added about 2.51 million subscribers for the first quarter, which would mark the least since the second quarter of 2021. This would bring Netflix's total subscribers to just under 225 million. In the same quarter last year, subscribers grew by nearly 4 million.Though Netflix has already seen subscriber growth slow sharply from a pandemic-era peak, the streaming giant's exit from Russia in early March is also set to further contribute to the deceleration. The Los Gatos, Calif.-based company suspended operations in Russia on March 6 over the country's invasion of Ukraine, and since then, analysts further trimmed their subscriber estimates.\"We now expect paid net adds of 1.45MM, below guide of 2.5MM given Russia suspension (~1MM subs),\" Cowen analyst John Blackledge wrote in a note last week. The firm also lowered its price target on Netflix to $590 a share from $600 previously, on account of the lower subscriber growth forecast.Other analysts also suggested that Netflix's churn, or subscriber losses, could increase in the quarter after the company announced a price increase for subscribers in the U.S. and Canada in January. But revenue pulled from these price increases could also be used to help Netflix build out bigger content slates and drive growth in less saturated markets internationally, others pointed out.\"Netflix appears to be nearing a ceiling on UCAN (U.S. and Canada) subscribers, and is pulling new levers to lower churn,\" Wedbush analyst Michael Pachter wrote in a note. \"Subscription price increases in the West should fuel additional content production and growth in other regions, and our bias is that cash flow will turn positive in 2022 and beyond, as management has guided. However, subscriber growth will likely occur primarily in less developed regions at lower subscription prices, with Western subscribers paying higher rates to fund new content.\"\"Content dumps, where all episodes of a new season are delivered at the same instant, will likely keep churn high, as price conscious consumers can swap out of Netflix and shift to a competitor service after viewing the content they desire,\" he added. \"Sustainable profit growth should continue so long as Netflix is able to continue raising subscription prices, but competition may limit future price increases.\"Overall, Netflix is expected to report GAAP earnings of $2.91 per share on revenue of $7.95 billion, which on the top line would represent just a 11% increase over last year. In the same quarter in 2021, revenue grew 24%.Shares of Netflix have fallen 43% for the year-to-date in 2022, underperforming against the S&P 500's 7.8% drop over that same period.Tesla earningsMeanwhile, another major company set to report results this week will be Tesla.The electric vehicle maker is scheduled to post its quarterly report Wednesday after market close. Ahead of these results, Tesla announced record deliveries of more than 310,000 during the first three months of this year. That represented a 68% jump over last year's deliveries. Tesla has sought to average 50% growth in annual vehicle deliveries.Production, however, slipped slightly on a quarter-over-quarter basis, with output coming in at 305,407 for the first quarter compared to 305,840 during the final three months of 2021. Tesla, like many other automakers, has continued to grapple with lingering supply chain challenges and rising input costs, leading CEO Elon Musk to suggest that the company may begin mining its own lithium for batteries as metal prices soar.\"Right now Tesla has a high-class problem of demand outstripping supply with this issue now translating into ~5-6 month delays for Model Ys, some Model 3s in different parts of the globe,\" Wedbush analyst Dan Ives wrote in a note. \"The key to alleviating these issues is centered around the key Giga openings in Austin and Berlin which will alleviate the bottlenecks of production for Tesla globally.\"Just earlier this month, Tesla officially began delivering its first Texas-made vehicles from its new Austin Gigafactory. At Tesla's \"Cyber Rodeo\" launch party on April 7, Musk said the facility was aiming to begin building the Tesla Cybertruck starting in 2023 and has targeted making 500,000 units of the Model Y per year.The newly made U.S. Gigafactory is set to be pivotal in helping Tesla further ramp production and help meet demand domestically, especially given snarls internationally as Tesla's Shanghai Gigafactory closed for weeks due to a COVID outbreak in the region.\"We believe by the end of 2022 Tesla will have the run rate capacity for overall ~2 million units annually from roughly 1 million today,\" Ives added. \"While the China zero COVID policy is causing shutdowns in Shanghai for Tesla (and others) and remains a worrying trend if it continues, seeing the forest through the trees with Austin and Berlin now live and ramping, Musk & Co. will continue to flex its distribution muscles in the EV landscape while many other automakers struggle to get things off the ground.\"While Tesla shares have outperformed the S&P 500 for the year-to-date, the stock came under pressure on Thursday after Musk disclosed he made an offer to buy social media company Twitter (TWTR) for $54.20 per share, or about $43 billion in cash. Many have noted Musk would likely have to sell Tesla shares in order to finance the deal if it were to go through.In Tesla's first-quarter results, Wall Street is looking for the company to post adjusted earnings of $2.27 per share on revenue of $17.85 billion, representing sales growth of 65%.Economic calendarMonday: NAHB Housing Market Index, April (77 expected, 79 in March)Tuesday: Housing starts, March (1.745 million expected, 1.769 million in February); Building permits, March (1.830 million expected, 1.859 million in February)Wednesday: MBA Mortgage Applications, week ended April 15 (-1.3% during prior week); Existing home sales, March (5.78 million expected, 6.02 million in February); Federal Reserve releases Beige BookThursday: Philadelphia Fed Business Outlook index, April (20.5 expected, 27.4 in March); Initial jobless claims, week ended April 16 (185,000 during prior week); Continuing claims, week ended April 9 (1.475 million during prior week); Leading Index, March (0.3% expected, 0.3% in February)Friday: S&P Global U.S. Manufacturing PMI, April preliminary (57.8 expected, 58.8 in March); S&P Global U.S. Services PMI, April preliminary (58.1 expected, 58.0 in March); S&P Global U.S. Composite PMI, April preliminary (57.7 in March)Earnings calendarMondayBefore market open: Synchrony Financial (SYF), Bank of New York Mellon Corp. (BK), Bank of America (BAC), Charles Schwab (SCHW)After market close: JB Hunt Transport Services (JBHT)TuesdayBefore market open: Fifth Third Bancorp. (FITB), Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), Citizens Financial Group (CFG), Halliburton (HAL), Truist Financial Corp. (TFC), Hasbro (HAS), Lockheed Martin (LMT)After market close: Netflix (NFLX), IBM (IBM), First Horizon Corp. (FHN)WednesdayBefore market open: Anthem (ANTM), Nasdaq (NDAQ), Baker Hughes (BKR), Procter & Gamble (PG), Abbott Laboratories (ABT)After market close: CSX Corp. (CSX), United Airlines (UAL), Crown Castle International (CCI), Alcoa Corp. (AA), Equifax (EFX), Steel Dynamics (STLD), Tesla (TSLA), Tenet Healthcare (THC), Kinder Morgan (KMI)ThursdayBefore market open: Xerox (XRX), AT&T (T), Dow Inc. (DOW), Las Vegas Sands (LVS), Spirit Airlines (SAVE), Blackstone (BX), Danaher (DHR), American Airlines (AAL), Pool Corp. (POOL), AutoNation (AN), Alaska Air Group (ALK), Tractor Supply Co. (TSCO), Philip Morris International (PM), Union Pacific (UNP),After market close: Boston Beer Co. (SAM), Snap (SNAP)FridayBefore market open: Verizon (VZ), Schlumberger (SLB), American Express (AXP), Kimberly-Clark (KMB)After market close: No notable reports scheduled for release","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":127,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9016166656,"gmtCreate":1649151344218,"gmtModify":1676534459658,"author":{"id":"3573789293829232","authorId":"3573789293829232","name":"btoh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a7c2d714604fc804a48646ee397f912","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573789293829232","authorIdStr":"3573789293829232"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9016166656","repostId":"1141762710","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1141762710","pubTimestamp":1649140712,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1141762710?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-04-05 14:38","market":"other","language":"en","title":"ASX Close: Market Trims Gains As RBA Signals Rate Hikes Ahead","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1141762710","media":"the market herald","summary":"The dollar jumped and the share market gave back most of its gains after the Reserve Bank opened the","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The dollar jumped and the share market gave back most of its gains after the Reserve Bank opened the door to rate increases.</p><p>The central bank left the cash rate at a record-low 0.1 percent, but dropped a reference to being “patient” with policy. Equity and currency investors interpreted that as a sign the bank could move as soon as next month.</p><p>The dollar jumped more than half a cent to its highest in almost ten months. The <b>S&amp;P/ASX 200</b> slashed an advance of 60 points to 14 points or 0.19 percent.</p><p>What moved the market</p><p>The dollar took wing and equity investors reduced their exposure after the RBA finally joined a global move towards higher rates. At the last meeting before the federal election, the bank adjusted policy guidance to clear the way for higher rates. Crucially, the bank dropped a reference to being “patient”.</p><p>“It does now appear a hike is on the cards within the next few months,” City Index senior market analyst Matt Simpson said.</p><p>“Removing the word ‘patient’ from their statement is as good a sign from the ‘reserved’ RBA as we can expect under the circumstances,” he added.</p><p>The <b>dollar</b> climbed 0.94 percent to 76.14 US cents. Rate-sensitive growth stocks trimmed strong early gains.</p><p>“The RBA has put a time frame on its next rate rise, saying “Over coming months, important additional evidence will be available to the Board on both inflation and the evolution of labour costs”,” Peter Esho, co-founder of property investment company Wealthi, said.</p><p>“We interpret that to mean that rates will rise in the second half of this year. Perhaps June, July or August.”</p><p>Earlier, the ASX 200 hit its highest level since the first week of the year following positive leads from Wall Street and commodity markets. Tech stocks set the pace after the Nasdaq outperformed overnight. Energy providers rose with crude. The materials sector stepped back from yesterday’s record.</p><p>The <b>Nasdaq Composite</b> surged 1.9 percent overnight as Elon Musk’s purchase of a large stake in Twitter rekindled interest in some of this year’s worst-performing corners of the market. The broader S&amp;P 500 put on 0.81 percent.</p><p>Winners’ circle</p><p>The <b>ASX tech</b> sector climbed 3.1 percent to its highest since mid-January. Afterpay parent Block rose 6.22 percent, Altium 3.21 percent and Xero 4.49 percent. Appen gained 2.03 percent, WiseTech 2.56 percent and Tyro Payments 1.49 percent.</p><p>The <b>energy</b> sector hit a pandemic-era high after the threat of new sanctions against Russia lifted energy prices. Brent crude built on a 3 percent overnight gain, rising another US$1.54 or 1.3 percent this afternoon to US$109.07 a barrel.</p><p><b>Woodside Petroleum</b> climbed 2.76 percent, Santos 2.27 percent and Beach Energy 1.6 percent. Ampol rose 2.96 percent.</p><p><b>Macquarie Group</b> shrugged off news ASIC launched civil penalty proceedings against Macquarie Bank over alleged failure to monitor its financial advisors. The proceedings follow an embezzlement case where a former Macquarie advisor stole $2.9 million from clients. Macquarie shares edged up 0.47 percent.</p><p><b>Perpetual</b> bounced 1.89 percent a day after pitching a $2.4 billion takeover offer at rival Pendal Group. Pendal shares gained 1.51 percent.</p><p>The <b>utilities</b> sector rose to its highest since August 2020 following a positive night for defensive assets in the US. Origin Energy firmed 3.11 percent. AGL added 2.62 percent.</p><p>Doghouse</p><p>Battery metal suppliers took a breather after leading for the last two sessions. Lynas Rare Earths eased 5.71 percent. <b>Lithium miners</b>AVZ Minerals and Liontown Resources retreated 7.89 and 6.13 percent, respectively. Further down the food chain, Arizona Lithium shed 12.5 percent.</p><p>Turbulence in the nickel market appeared in danger of thwarting <b>IGO</b> Ltd’s attempt to acquire rival Western Areas. IGO shares fell 2.93 percent after an Independent Expert found its offer price was not in the best interests of Western Areas shareholders. <b>Western Areas</b> shares entered a trading halt pending an announcement.</p><p>Elsewhere in the <b>mining</b> space, De Grey Mining dropped 3.42 percent, Gold Road Resources 3.4 percent and South32 2.66 percent. BHP dipped 0.97 percent and Rio Tinto 0.35 percent.</p><p>Gut microbe analyser <b>Microba Life Sciences</b> made an undistinguished start to life on the boards. The share price sank 22.22 percent upon listing today.</p><p>At the speculative end of the market, some of last week’s best performers suffered heavy setbacks. Tempest Minerals dropped 19.23 percent, Pursuit Minerals 12.2 percent and Consolidated Zinc 12.77 percent.</p><p>Other markets</p><p>A flat session on <b>Asian markets</b> saw the Asia Dow add 0.11 percent and Japan’s Nikkei 0.14 percent. Trade in China was suspended for a public holiday</p><p><b>US futures</b> also retreated. S&amp;P 500 futures backed off three points or less than 0.1 percent.</p><p><b>Gold</b> drifted down 70 US cents or 0.04 percent to US$1,933.30 an ounce.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1645077863021","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>ASX Close: Market Trims Gains As RBA Signals Rate Hikes Ahead</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nASX Close: Market Trims Gains As RBA Signals Rate Hikes Ahead\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-04-05 14:38 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://themarketherald.com.au/asx-close-market-trims-gains-as-rba-signals-rate-hikes-ahead-2022-04-05/><strong>the market herald</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The dollar jumped and the share market gave back most of its gains after the Reserve Bank opened the door to rate increases.The central bank left the cash rate at a record-low 0.1 percent, but dropped...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://themarketherald.com.au/asx-close-market-trims-gains-as-rba-signals-rate-hikes-ahead-2022-04-05/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"XAO.AU":"标普/澳交所 普通股指数","XKO.AU":"标普/澳交所 300指数","XJO.AU":"标普/澳交所 200指数"},"source_url":"https://themarketherald.com.au/asx-close-market-trims-gains-as-rba-signals-rate-hikes-ahead-2022-04-05/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1141762710","content_text":"The dollar jumped and the share market gave back most of its gains after the Reserve Bank opened the door to rate increases.The central bank left the cash rate at a record-low 0.1 percent, but dropped a reference to being “patient” with policy. Equity and currency investors interpreted that as a sign the bank could move as soon as next month.The dollar jumped more than half a cent to its highest in almost ten months. The S&P/ASX 200 slashed an advance of 60 points to 14 points or 0.19 percent.What moved the marketThe dollar took wing and equity investors reduced their exposure after the RBA finally joined a global move towards higher rates. At the last meeting before the federal election, the bank adjusted policy guidance to clear the way for higher rates. Crucially, the bank dropped a reference to being “patient”.“It does now appear a hike is on the cards within the next few months,” City Index senior market analyst Matt Simpson said.“Removing the word ‘patient’ from their statement is as good a sign from the ‘reserved’ RBA as we can expect under the circumstances,” he added.The dollar climbed 0.94 percent to 76.14 US cents. Rate-sensitive growth stocks trimmed strong early gains.“The RBA has put a time frame on its next rate rise, saying “Over coming months, important additional evidence will be available to the Board on both inflation and the evolution of labour costs”,” Peter Esho, co-founder of property investment company Wealthi, said.“We interpret that to mean that rates will rise in the second half of this year. Perhaps June, July or August.”Earlier, the ASX 200 hit its highest level since the first week of the year following positive leads from Wall Street and commodity markets. Tech stocks set the pace after the Nasdaq outperformed overnight. Energy providers rose with crude. The materials sector stepped back from yesterday’s record.The Nasdaq Composite surged 1.9 percent overnight as Elon Musk’s purchase of a large stake in Twitter rekindled interest in some of this year’s worst-performing corners of the market. The broader S&P 500 put on 0.81 percent.Winners’ circleThe ASX tech sector climbed 3.1 percent to its highest since mid-January. Afterpay parent Block rose 6.22 percent, Altium 3.21 percent and Xero 4.49 percent. Appen gained 2.03 percent, WiseTech 2.56 percent and Tyro Payments 1.49 percent.The energy sector hit a pandemic-era high after the threat of new sanctions against Russia lifted energy prices. Brent crude built on a 3 percent overnight gain, rising another US$1.54 or 1.3 percent this afternoon to US$109.07 a barrel.Woodside Petroleum climbed 2.76 percent, Santos 2.27 percent and Beach Energy 1.6 percent. Ampol rose 2.96 percent.Macquarie Group shrugged off news ASIC launched civil penalty proceedings against Macquarie Bank over alleged failure to monitor its financial advisors. The proceedings follow an embezzlement case where a former Macquarie advisor stole $2.9 million from clients. Macquarie shares edged up 0.47 percent.Perpetual bounced 1.89 percent a day after pitching a $2.4 billion takeover offer at rival Pendal Group. Pendal shares gained 1.51 percent.The utilities sector rose to its highest since August 2020 following a positive night for defensive assets in the US. Origin Energy firmed 3.11 percent. AGL added 2.62 percent.DoghouseBattery metal suppliers took a breather after leading for the last two sessions. Lynas Rare Earths eased 5.71 percent. Lithium minersAVZ Minerals and Liontown Resources retreated 7.89 and 6.13 percent, respectively. Further down the food chain, Arizona Lithium shed 12.5 percent.Turbulence in the nickel market appeared in danger of thwarting IGO Ltd’s attempt to acquire rival Western Areas. IGO shares fell 2.93 percent after an Independent Expert found its offer price was not in the best interests of Western Areas shareholders. Western Areas shares entered a trading halt pending an announcement.Elsewhere in the mining space, De Grey Mining dropped 3.42 percent, Gold Road Resources 3.4 percent and South32 2.66 percent. BHP dipped 0.97 percent and Rio Tinto 0.35 percent.Gut microbe analyser Microba Life Sciences made an undistinguished start to life on the boards. The share price sank 22.22 percent upon listing today.At the speculative end of the market, some of last week’s best performers suffered heavy setbacks. Tempest Minerals dropped 19.23 percent, Pursuit Minerals 12.2 percent and Consolidated Zinc 12.77 percent.Other marketsA flat session on Asian markets saw the Asia Dow add 0.11 percent and Japan’s Nikkei 0.14 percent. Trade in China was suspended for a public holidayUS futures also retreated. S&P 500 futures backed off three points or less than 0.1 percent.Gold drifted down 70 US cents or 0.04 percent to US$1,933.30 an ounce.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":49,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9093415780,"gmtCreate":1643685462866,"gmtModify":1676533844132,"author":{"id":"3573789293829232","authorId":"3573789293829232","name":"btoh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a7c2d714604fc804a48646ee397f912","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573789293829232","authorIdStr":"3573789293829232"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9093415780","repostId":"2208335465","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2208335465","pubTimestamp":1643670433,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2208335465?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-02-01 07:07","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US STOCKS-Nasdaq Narrowly Misses Worst January Ever as Wall Street Gains","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2208335465","media":"Reuters","summary":"* Nasdaq posts worst January since 2008* S&P 500, Dow see worst month since March 2020* Citrix falls","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>* Nasdaq posts worst January since 2008</p><p>* S&amp;P 500, Dow see worst month since March 2020</p><p>* Citrix falls on $16.5 bln deal to take it private</p><p>* Indexes end up: Dow 1.17%, S&amp;P 1.89%, Nasdaq 3.41%</p><p>Jan 31 (Reuters) - U.S. stocks closed higher on Monday, at the end of a volatile month for Wall Street where the tech-heavy Nasdaq narrowly avoided its worst ever start to the year and the S&amp;P 500 recorded its weakest January performance since 2009.</p><p>Valuations of growth and technology stocks have come under increasing scrutiny, as investors fretted about companies trading at lofty valuations at a time when the U.S. Federal Reserve is set to begin raising interest rates to combat inflation and withdraw its pandemic stimulus measures.</p><p>In early Monday trading, the Nasdaq was on course to surpass its worst opening-month performance on record, when it fell 9.89% in 2008. However, after its best <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a>-day gain since March 2021, it closed out January down 8.99%.</p><p>&#34;At the end of the day, interest rates are going to have to move higher, and companies with high multiples will have to trade lower,&#34; said Decio Nascimento, chief investment officer of Norbury Partners.</p><p>He added that, with costs such as wages rising, there will be increased investor focus on sectors that can better handle those inflationary pressures, with less latitude for companies which promise future growth but which currently generate negative cash flow.</p><p>All of the 11 major S&amp;P sectors advanced, led by a 3.8% rise in consumer discretionary stocks. The gain was led by Tesla Inc, which jumped 10.7% after Credit Suisse raised the electric car maker&#39;s stock rating to &#34;outperform&#34;.</p><p>For January though, consumer discretionary was the worst performing sector, slipping 9.7%. In all, only the energy sector ended the month in positive territory, aided by oil prices hitting their highest level since October 2014 on Friday.</p><p>Overall, the bellwether S&amp;P 500 had its worst overall month since the pandemic-led crash in March 2020.</p><p>The U.S. Federal Reserve last week signaled it intends to combat the four-decade high inflation by hiking key interest rates more aggressively than many market participants expected.</p><p>Fed funds futures traders are pricing in almost five rate increases by year-end, with some banks, such as the Bank of America now eyeing seven hikes this year.</p><p>&#34;What the Fed did last week was to widen the spectrum of possibility of what rates could be in a year or two, so when you do that, you are going to create volatility in equities&#34; said Norbury Partners&#39; Nascimento.</p><p>Geopolitical tensions have added to market uncertainty, with the U.S. and its allies threatening Russia with new economic sanctions if it attacks Ukraine.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 406.39 points, or 1.17%, to 35,131.86, the S&amp;P 500 gained 83.7 points, or 1.89%, to 4,515.55 and the Nasdaq Composite added 469.31 points, or 3.41%, to 14,239.88.</p><p>Boeing Co rose 5.1%. The U.S. planemaker secured a launch order from Qatar Airways for a new freighter version of its 777X passenger jet and a provisional order for 737 MAX jets.</p><p>Citrix Systems Inc&#39;s shares fell 3.4% after the software company said it had agreed to be taken private for $16.5 billion including debt by affiliates of Elliott Management and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VGL.AU\">Vista</a> Equity Partners.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 12.67 billion shares, compared with the 12.37 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted eight new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 30 new highs and 45 new lows.</p></body></html>","source":"yahoofinance","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US STOCKS-Nasdaq Narrowly Misses Worst January Ever as Wall Street Gains</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS STOCKS-Nasdaq Narrowly Misses Worst January Ever as Wall Street Gains\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-02-01 07:07 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-stocks-nasdaq-narrowly-misses-214318546.html><strong>Reuters</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>* Nasdaq posts worst January since 2008* S&P 500, Dow see worst month since March 2020* Citrix falls on $16.5 bln deal to take it private* Indexes end up: Dow 1.17%, S&P 1.89%, Nasdaq 3.41%Jan 31 (...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-stocks-nasdaq-narrowly-misses-214318546.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BA":"波音","CTXS":"思杰系统","COMP":"Compass, Inc."},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-stocks-nasdaq-narrowly-misses-214318546.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5f26f4a48f9cb3e29be4d71d3ba8c038","article_id":"2208335465","content_text":"* Nasdaq posts worst January since 2008* S&P 500, Dow see worst month since March 2020* Citrix falls on $16.5 bln deal to take it private* Indexes end up: Dow 1.17%, S&P 1.89%, Nasdaq 3.41%Jan 31 (Reuters) - U.S. stocks closed higher on Monday, at the end of a volatile month for Wall Street where the tech-heavy Nasdaq narrowly avoided its worst ever start to the year and the S&P 500 recorded its weakest January performance since 2009.Valuations of growth and technology stocks have come under increasing scrutiny, as investors fretted about companies trading at lofty valuations at a time when the U.S. Federal Reserve is set to begin raising interest rates to combat inflation and withdraw its pandemic stimulus measures.In early Monday trading, the Nasdaq was on course to surpass its worst opening-month performance on record, when it fell 9.89% in 2008. However, after its best one-day gain since March 2021, it closed out January down 8.99%.\"At the end of the day, interest rates are going to have to move higher, and companies with high multiples will have to trade lower,\" said Decio Nascimento, chief investment officer of Norbury Partners.He added that, with costs such as wages rising, there will be increased investor focus on sectors that can better handle those inflationary pressures, with less latitude for companies which promise future growth but which currently generate negative cash flow.All of the 11 major S&P sectors advanced, led by a 3.8% rise in consumer discretionary stocks. The gain was led by Tesla Inc, which jumped 10.7% after Credit Suisse raised the electric car maker's stock rating to \"outperform\".For January though, consumer discretionary was the worst performing sector, slipping 9.7%. In all, only the energy sector ended the month in positive territory, aided by oil prices hitting their highest level since October 2014 on Friday.Overall, the bellwether S&P 500 had its worst overall month since the pandemic-led crash in March 2020.The U.S. Federal Reserve last week signaled it intends to combat the four-decade high inflation by hiking key interest rates more aggressively than many market participants expected.Fed funds futures traders are pricing in almost five rate increases by year-end, with some banks, such as the Bank of America now eyeing seven hikes this year.\"What the Fed did last week was to widen the spectrum of possibility of what rates could be in a year or two, so when you do that, you are going to create volatility in equities\" said Norbury Partners' Nascimento.Geopolitical tensions have added to market uncertainty, with the U.S. and its allies threatening Russia with new economic sanctions if it attacks Ukraine.The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 406.39 points, or 1.17%, to 35,131.86, the S&P 500 gained 83.7 points, or 1.89%, to 4,515.55 and the Nasdaq Composite added 469.31 points, or 3.41%, to 14,239.88.Boeing Co rose 5.1%. The U.S. planemaker secured a launch order from Qatar Airways for a new freighter version of its 777X passenger jet and a provisional order for 737 MAX jets.Citrix Systems Inc's shares fell 3.4% after the software company said it had agreed to be taken private for $16.5 billion including debt by affiliates of Elliott Management and Vista Equity Partners.Volume on U.S. exchanges was 12.67 billion shares, compared with the 12.37 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.The S&P 500 posted eight new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 30 new highs and 45 new lows.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":473,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":161833423,"gmtCreate":1623916435862,"gmtModify":1703823416345,"author":{"id":"3573789293829232","authorId":"3573789293829232","name":"btoh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a7c2d714604fc804a48646ee397f912","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573789293829232","authorIdStr":"3573789293829232"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment pls ty","listText":"Like and comment pls ty","text":"Like and comment pls ty","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/161833423","repostId":"2143379379","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2143379379","pubTimestamp":1623893744,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2143379379?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-17 09:35","market":"us","language":"en","title":"These 10 Stocks Make Up 85% of Warren Buffett's Portfolio","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2143379379","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Diversification isn't necessary if you know what you're doing, according to the Oracle of Omaha.","content":"<p>If you've ever wondered why <b>Berkshire Hathaway</b> (NYSE:BRK.A)(NYSE:BRK.B) CEO Warren Buffett's name gets brought up so much on Wall Street, it's because of his impressive investing track record. Buffett isn't infallible, but he's delivered an annual average return of 20% since the mid-1960s for his shareholders. In aggregate, we're talking about a return of more than 2,800,000%!</p>\n<p>What's even more amazing is that Buffett hasn't done anything the average investors couldn't do to net these huge gains. He focuses on a few sectors and industries that interest him, buys companies with clear-cut competitive advantages, and most importantly hangs onto those stakes for a very long time.</p>\n<p>Another source of Buffett's success is concentration. The Oracle of Omaha doesn't believe diversification is necessary if you know what you're doing. This is readily apparent in Berkshire Hathaway's $302.6 billion investment portfolio. As of this past weekend, 85% of Berkshire's invested assets ($257.3 billion) were tied up in only 10 stocks.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/601f21f3cc2f9e5524bd5d613063faa2\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\"><span>Berkshire Hathaway CEO Warren Buffett. Image source: The Motley Fool.</span></p>\n<h2>1. Apple: $115.6 billion</h2>\n<p>Tech kingpin <b>Apple</b> (NASDAQ:AAPL) makes up about 38% of Warren Buffett's portfolio by itself and has been dubbed \"Berkshire's third business\" by the Oracle of Omaha. Apple offers some of the strongest branding in the world, is the clear leader in smartphones in the U.S., and has been pivoting to higher-margin services under the leadership of CEO Tim Cook. Though iPhone sales remain Apple's top product, services becoming a larger percentage of total sales will help remove the revenue lumpiness associated with new product launches.</p>\n<h2>2. Bank of America: $43.2 billion</h2>\n<p>Bank stocks have long been Buffett's favorite place to put Berkshire's money work. <b>Bank of America</b> (NYSE:BAC) is Berkshire's unquestioned largest bank holding, with more than 14% of invested assets. Bank of America has done an excellent job of controlling its noninterest expenses by consolidating branches and emphasizing digital banking. It's also in line to benefit more than any other money-center bank from an eventual rise in interest rates.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed3e6a16841306014bf0cfc3b1697b23\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\"><span>Image source: American <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EXPR\">Express</a>.</span></p>\n<h2>3. American Express: $24.9 billion</h2>\n<p>Payment processor and lender <b>American Express</b> (NYSE:AXP) is Buffett's third-largest and third-longest-held stock. After 28 years of holding AmEx, Berkshire Hathaway's position has grown to almost $25 billion in value. This is a cyclical company that benefits from long periods of economic expansion, as well as its ability to attract affluent clientele. These well-to-do clients are less likely to change their spending habits when economic hiccups arise, which often means less worry about credit delinquencies for AmEx.</p>\n<h2>4. Coca-Cola: $22.5 billion</h2>\n<p>Speaking of long-tenured holdings, beverage behemoth <b>Coca-Cola</b> (NYSE:KO) is the longest-held stock in Buffett's portfolio (33 years). Coca-Cola operates in all but two countries worldwide (North Korea and Cuba) and has more than 20 brands generating at least $1 billion in annual sales. Thanks to its top-notch marketing team, it's also the best-known consumer goods brand. Coke has holiday tie-ins, has allied itself with well-known brand ambassadors, and is embracing digital advertising and social media as a way to get its message to a younger generation.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cc21d6aabfd53f63ded95ae16cbd64e1\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"468\"><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p>\n<h2>5. Kraft Heinz: $14.1 billion</h2>\n<p>There's little question that <b>Kraft Heinz</b> (NASDAQ:KHC) is the oddball holding in Buffett's top 10. That's because Buffett admits to Heinz overpaying for Kraft Foods, and the combined company largely underperforming in recent years. This includes a greater than $15 billion goodwill writedown in 2019. While the pandemic has helped boost demand for packaged foods, Kraft Heinz's balance sheet is still bogged down by high debt levels and goodwill. In short, Berkshire Hathaway is sort of stuck with its 325.6 million shares.</p>\n<h2>6. Verizon Communications: $9.1 billion</h2>\n<p>Telecommunications giant <b>Verizon</b> (NYSE:VZ) is a fairly recent addition to Berkshire Hathaway's portfolio, although it's been bought hand over fist in the previous two quarters by Buffett and his team. The lure of Verizon is likely its 4.4% dividend yield, which is arguably <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> of the safest high-yield payouts on the planet. What's more, Verizon should benefit immensely from the rollout of 5G infrastructure. It's been a decade since the last major upgrade to download speeds, which suggests that a multiyear tech upgrade cycle will lead to higher-margin data consumption.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7343c3ce7330b86321a8ec9384d4baea\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\"><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p>\n<h2>7. U.S. Bancorp: $8.7 billion</h2>\n<p>Next to BofA, <b>U.S. Bancorp</b> (NYSE:USB) is Buffett's favorite bank stock. It's a company that regularly trades at a premium to its book value -- and for good reason. U.S. Bancorp has seen its users embrace technology, with the percentage of consumer loans completed digitally skyrocketing over the past two years. Being able to consolidate its physical branches, while also avoiding riskier derivative investments that have gotten U.S. money-center banks in trouble, has helped U.S. Bancorp to some of the highest return on assets among big banks.</p>\n<h2>8. Moody's: $8.5 billion</h2>\n<p>Credit agency and analytics company <b>Moody's</b> (NYSE:MCO) is yet another top-10 holding that's been held for longer than two decades. With an initial cost basis of just over $10, Berkshire Hathaway is sitting on an unrealized gain of better than 3,300% -- and this isn't accounting for dividends. Historically low lending rates have kept Moody's credit rating segment busy, while volatile trading markets are boosting demand for Moody's analytics. It's hard to envision Buffett ever selling this stake.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8abdae403dddfa42107e06ea5bfddf39\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\"><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p>\n<h2>9. BYD: $6.2 billion</h2>\n<p>Back in 2008, Buffett acquired 225 million shares of China-based electric-vehicle (EV) manufacturer <b>BYD</b> (OTC:BYDDY)&nbsp;for $1.03 a share (it closed this past week at $27.65 a share). In March, BYD sold 16,301 EVs, which is more than higher-profile competitors <b>NIO</b>&nbsp;and <b>XPeng</b>&nbsp;delivered on a combined basis in the same month. With the Society of Automotive Engineers of China forecasting that half of all new vehicles sales in 2035 will be powered by alternative energy, BYD is in pole position to disrupt the largest auto market in the world.</p>\n<h2>10. DaVita: $4.4 billion</h2>\n<p>Rounding out the top 10 is kidney dialysis services company <b>DaVita</b> (NYSE:DVA). Buffett's fascination with the company is likely a numbers play. Over time, an aging U.S. population is going to become more reliant on kidney dialysis services for maintenance purposes. As the clear leader in providing these services, DaVita should see a steady uptick in demand and reimbursement for its services. This patient long-term thesis perfectly embodies the Buffett investing ethos.</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>These 10 Stocks Make Up 85% of Warren Buffett's Portfolio</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThese 10 Stocks Make Up 85% of Warren Buffett's Portfolio\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-17 09:35 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/16/10-stocks-make-up-85-of-warren-buffetts-portfolio/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>If you've ever wondered why Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE:BRK.A)(NYSE:BRK.B) CEO Warren Buffett's name gets brought up so much on Wall Street, it's because of his impressive investing track record. Buffett...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/16/10-stocks-make-up-85-of-warren-buffetts-portfolio/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MCO":"穆迪","BYDDY":"比亚迪ADR","BRK.B":"伯克希尔B","DVA":"达维塔保健","USB":"美国合众银行","BAC":"美国银行","VZ":"威瑞森","BRK.A":"伯克希尔","AAPL":"苹果","KHC":"卡夫亨氏","KO":"可口可乐","AXP":"美国运通"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/16/10-stocks-make-up-85-of-warren-buffetts-portfolio/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2143379379","content_text":"If you've ever wondered why Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE:BRK.A)(NYSE:BRK.B) CEO Warren Buffett's name gets brought up so much on Wall Street, it's because of his impressive investing track record. Buffett isn't infallible, but he's delivered an annual average return of 20% since the mid-1960s for his shareholders. In aggregate, we're talking about a return of more than 2,800,000%!\nWhat's even more amazing is that Buffett hasn't done anything the average investors couldn't do to net these huge gains. He focuses on a few sectors and industries that interest him, buys companies with clear-cut competitive advantages, and most importantly hangs onto those stakes for a very long time.\nAnother source of Buffett's success is concentration. The Oracle of Omaha doesn't believe diversification is necessary if you know what you're doing. This is readily apparent in Berkshire Hathaway's $302.6 billion investment portfolio. As of this past weekend, 85% of Berkshire's invested assets ($257.3 billion) were tied up in only 10 stocks.\nBerkshire Hathaway CEO Warren Buffett. Image source: The Motley Fool.\n1. Apple: $115.6 billion\nTech kingpin Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) makes up about 38% of Warren Buffett's portfolio by itself and has been dubbed \"Berkshire's third business\" by the Oracle of Omaha. Apple offers some of the strongest branding in the world, is the clear leader in smartphones in the U.S., and has been pivoting to higher-margin services under the leadership of CEO Tim Cook. Though iPhone sales remain Apple's top product, services becoming a larger percentage of total sales will help remove the revenue lumpiness associated with new product launches.\n2. Bank of America: $43.2 billion\nBank stocks have long been Buffett's favorite place to put Berkshire's money work. Bank of America (NYSE:BAC) is Berkshire's unquestioned largest bank holding, with more than 14% of invested assets. Bank of America has done an excellent job of controlling its noninterest expenses by consolidating branches and emphasizing digital banking. It's also in line to benefit more than any other money-center bank from an eventual rise in interest rates.\nImage source: American Express.\n3. American Express: $24.9 billion\nPayment processor and lender American Express (NYSE:AXP) is Buffett's third-largest and third-longest-held stock. After 28 years of holding AmEx, Berkshire Hathaway's position has grown to almost $25 billion in value. This is a cyclical company that benefits from long periods of economic expansion, as well as its ability to attract affluent clientele. These well-to-do clients are less likely to change their spending habits when economic hiccups arise, which often means less worry about credit delinquencies for AmEx.\n4. Coca-Cola: $22.5 billion\nSpeaking of long-tenured holdings, beverage behemoth Coca-Cola (NYSE:KO) is the longest-held stock in Buffett's portfolio (33 years). Coca-Cola operates in all but two countries worldwide (North Korea and Cuba) and has more than 20 brands generating at least $1 billion in annual sales. Thanks to its top-notch marketing team, it's also the best-known consumer goods brand. Coke has holiday tie-ins, has allied itself with well-known brand ambassadors, and is embracing digital advertising and social media as a way to get its message to a younger generation.\nImage source: Getty Images.\n5. Kraft Heinz: $14.1 billion\nThere's little question that Kraft Heinz (NASDAQ:KHC) is the oddball holding in Buffett's top 10. That's because Buffett admits to Heinz overpaying for Kraft Foods, and the combined company largely underperforming in recent years. This includes a greater than $15 billion goodwill writedown in 2019. While the pandemic has helped boost demand for packaged foods, Kraft Heinz's balance sheet is still bogged down by high debt levels and goodwill. In short, Berkshire Hathaway is sort of stuck with its 325.6 million shares.\n6. Verizon Communications: $9.1 billion\nTelecommunications giant Verizon (NYSE:VZ) is a fairly recent addition to Berkshire Hathaway's portfolio, although it's been bought hand over fist in the previous two quarters by Buffett and his team. The lure of Verizon is likely its 4.4% dividend yield, which is arguably one of the safest high-yield payouts on the planet. What's more, Verizon should benefit immensely from the rollout of 5G infrastructure. It's been a decade since the last major upgrade to download speeds, which suggests that a multiyear tech upgrade cycle will lead to higher-margin data consumption.\nImage source: Getty Images.\n7. U.S. Bancorp: $8.7 billion\nNext to BofA, U.S. Bancorp (NYSE:USB) is Buffett's favorite bank stock. It's a company that regularly trades at a premium to its book value -- and for good reason. U.S. Bancorp has seen its users embrace technology, with the percentage of consumer loans completed digitally skyrocketing over the past two years. Being able to consolidate its physical branches, while also avoiding riskier derivative investments that have gotten U.S. money-center banks in trouble, has helped U.S. Bancorp to some of the highest return on assets among big banks.\n8. Moody's: $8.5 billion\nCredit agency and analytics company Moody's (NYSE:MCO) is yet another top-10 holding that's been held for longer than two decades. With an initial cost basis of just over $10, Berkshire Hathaway is sitting on an unrealized gain of better than 3,300% -- and this isn't accounting for dividends. Historically low lending rates have kept Moody's credit rating segment busy, while volatile trading markets are boosting demand for Moody's analytics. It's hard to envision Buffett ever selling this stake.\nImage source: Getty Images.\n9. BYD: $6.2 billion\nBack in 2008, Buffett acquired 225 million shares of China-based electric-vehicle (EV) manufacturer BYD (OTC:BYDDY) for $1.03 a share (it closed this past week at $27.65 a share). In March, BYD sold 16,301 EVs, which is more than higher-profile competitors NIO and XPeng delivered on a combined basis in the same month. With the Society of Automotive Engineers of China forecasting that half of all new vehicles sales in 2035 will be powered by alternative energy, BYD is in pole position to disrupt the largest auto market in the world.\n10. DaVita: $4.4 billion\nRounding out the top 10 is kidney dialysis services company DaVita (NYSE:DVA). Buffett's fascination with the company is likely a numbers play. Over time, an aging U.S. population is going to become more reliant on kidney dialysis services for maintenance purposes. As the clear leader in providing these services, DaVita should see a steady uptick in demand and reimbursement for its services. This patient long-term thesis perfectly embodies the Buffett investing ethos.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":86,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3575596393140561","authorId":"3575596393140561","name":"tinacheekyle","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d2373874b2bf69f2637ce056a6f56ada","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3575596393140561","authorIdStr":"3575596393140561"},"content":"pls response to this comment","text":"pls response to this comment","html":"pls response to this comment"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9900971826,"gmtCreate":1658633112165,"gmtModify":1676536185169,"author":{"id":"3573789293829232","authorId":"3573789293829232","name":"btoh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a7c2d714604fc804a48646ee397f912","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573789293829232","authorIdStr":"3573789293829232"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9900971826","repostId":"2253060728","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2253060728","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1658631601,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2253060728?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-24 11:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Amazon Is Ready To Rise Again","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2253060728","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Amazon's recent struggles in e-commerce are masking its continued dominance in the cloud. For invest","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon</a>&#39;s recent struggles in e-commerce are masking its continued dominance in the cloud. For investors, it&#39;s time to refocus. Amazon shares have never looked more attractive than they do right now.</p><p>Amazon.com has reported earnings about 100 times since it went public in 1997. Every one of those quarterly reports has shown a growing company, despite plenty of ups and downs in the economy -- and the internet. Amazon&#39;s worst quarter came in September 2001, when the internet bubble was blowing apart. Even then, revenue grew slightly from a year earlier. Now, though, Amazon&#39;s streak may be coming to an end.</p><p>When Amazon (AMZN) reports second-quarter earnings on July 28, Wall Street analysts expect revenue growth of just 5%. That&#39;s a tepid number by Amazon standards, and if things are just slightly worse than expected, revenue could actually decline. It would be a telling moment, with Amazon facing its greatest set of challenges since founder Jeff Bezos began selling books out of his house almost 30 years ago.</p><p>The company&#39;s longtime advantage in e-commerce has arguably become a weakness, with physical stores enjoying a post-Covid renaissance. Elevated fuel costs, meanwhile, are crimping Amazon&#39;s profits, with the cost of deliveries and returns on the rise.</p><p>Amazon&#39;s profit margins have never been rich, but analysts forecast a razor-thin 1.8% operating margin in the second quarter. After years of giving Amazon a pass on profits, investors have grown impatient. Since peaking last July, the stock is down 33% to a recent $125, shedding more than $600 billion in market value. Seen through the e-commerce lens, Amazon is one more struggling tech company.</p><p>And yet none of that should matter. Investors&#39; preoccupation with Amazon&#39;s retail operations overlooks the company&#39;s transformation. This year, the Amazon Web Services cloud business will be about 15% of the company&#39;s total revenue but more than 100% of its profits. Before, during, and after pandemic lockdowns, AWS revenue grew at a 30%-plus quarterly clip. In the long term, those trends should continue.</p><p>Meanwhile, Amazon has an advertising business that has annualized revenue of close to $40 billion. That&#39;s nearly four times the size of Twitter (TWTR) and Snap <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNAP\">$(SNAP)$</a> combined. And it&#39;s a media company that now controls the rights to a weekly National Football League game, a package that was once exclusive to broadcast giants Comcast <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CMCSA\">$(CMCSA)$</a>, Fox <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FOXA\">$(FOXA)$</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PARA\">Paramount Global</a> (PARA), and Walt Disney <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIS\">$(DIS)$</a> . There&#39;s also a growing logistics operation that increasingly rivals FedEx <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FDX.AU\">$(FDX.AU)$</a> and United Parcel Service <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UPS\">$(UPS)$</a>.</p><p>The challenge for investors is that the sprawling operation has made Amazon difficult to value. It&#39;s worth the effort -- Amazon shares have rarely been more attractive. The stock could double, or triple, over the next few years. Yes, the latest quarter will be bad. But the future couldn&#39;t be brighter.</p><p>Gene Munster, a portfolio manager at Loup Ventures, says his firm has been adding to its Amazon position. While Munster concedes that investors are concerned about e-commerce profitability in the short run, he&#39;s convinced that in the long run, &#34;no one is going to compete with Amazon&#34; in online shopping. Munster figures that AWS and the ad business together will generate $45 billion in operating income this year. Value that at 25 times earnings, says Munster, and you get $1.1 trillion, which is just about the company&#39;s current total market value. That means investors are currently getting everything else free: online stores, Prime, logistics, Whole Foods Market, and a host of other businesses that Amazon has acquired over the years.</p><p>Says Munster: &#34;It&#39;s hard not to like Amazon at this valuation.&#34;</p><p>To be sure, Amazon continues to face bad publicity. The company is pushing back against unions trying to organize Amazon workers, a difficult balance for a company that claims to be Earth&#39;s best employer. The company is also dealing with a newly empowered Federal Trade Commission led by Chair Lina Khan, who once wrote in the Yale Law Review that Amazon&#39;s dominant market position was clear evidence that U.S. antitrust laws weren&#39;t effectively regulating the U.S. internet sector. Amazon is sure to face intense government scrutiny for future acquisitions. And it could be forced to make concessions to the government.</p><p>For now, though, Amazon is still finding ways to grow through deals. Just this past week, the company agreed to buy One Medical, an owner of membership-based healthcare clinics, for $3.9 billion.</p><p>There&#39;s also a chance the slowing economy could weigh on AWS sales for the next few quarters. For this year, Wall Street currently expects total Amazon revenue of $520 billion, up 11%, with profits of 56 cents a share, down from $3.24 a year earlier.</p><p>But to Amazon bulls, the issues plaguing the company are fleeting and priced in. While the economy could fall into recession later this year or in 2023, that recession won&#39;t be permanent. Meanwhile, the e-commerce market continues to expand, and Amazon&#39;s slice of the pie remains vast, at about 40%. There&#39;s still room for additional market share gains, too.</p><p>The company&#39;s advertising business, meanwhile, is on the rise. Given Apple&#39;s <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$(AAPL)$</a> tough stance on sharing information about consumer activity on the iPhone, advertisers are looking beyond <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/META\">Meta Platforms</a>&#39; <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/META.UK\">$(META.UK)$</a> Facebook, Alphabet&#39;s <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOGL\">$(GOOGL)$</a> YouTube, and Snap for places to spend their ad dollars. Many ad buyers are turning to options where consumer buying intent is clear on the surface. Meta has to infer what you might want to buy; in Amazon&#39;s case, consumers type their exact shopping interests into a search box. In a marketplace crowded with consumer choice, Amazon&#39;s ad market is a gold mine.</p><p>And then there&#39;s Amazon Web Services, the company&#39;s mammoth cloud-computing platform. Since the company began breaking out results for AWS in 2015, the business has accounted for more than half of Amazon&#39;s operating profits, including almost 75% of the total in 2021. In 2022, with e-commerce operations likely to lose money, AWS is forecast to constitute 150% of Amazon&#39;s operating income.</p><p>With revenue close to $82 billion, AWS is one of the world&#39;s largest software and services companies -- bigger than Oracle <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ORCL\">$(ORCL)$</a>, IBM <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IBM\">$(IBM)$</a>, or SAP <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SAP\">$(SAP)$</a>, and more than twice the size of Salesforce <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRM.AU\">$(CRM.AU)$</a>, the largest of the so-called software-as-a-service companies. And AWS is going to get a lot bigger. It&#39;s no wonder that when Bezos chose to step down as CEO in 2021, he chose as his successor AWS architect Andy Jassy. (Amazon declined to make Jassy or any other executives available for this story, citing the quiet period ahead of earnings.)</p><p>One of Wall Street&#39;s favorite strategies for assessing corporate value is a &#34;sum of the parts&#34; approach: Make a list of what the company owns, put a value on each part, then add it all up.</p><p>For some of Amazon&#39;s businesses, appropriate comparisons are hard to find. There are no pure-play public cloud stocks that look anything like AWS; its primary rivals -- Microsoft <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">$(MSFT)$</a> Azure and Google Cloud -- are likewise buried inside large businesses. Amazon&#39;s ad business is valuable, but it&#39;s linked to the core e-commerce business and therefore defies an easy value.</p><p>Then there&#39;s Amazon Prime, which includes a Netflix-like video streaming service plus a Spotify-like music service. There are other businesses hidden in the company&#39;s financials, including the videogame streaming service Twitch, the audiobook company Audible, the podcasting producer Wondery, and autonomous-vehicle maker Zoox, just to name a few.</p><p>In reporting this story, Barron&#39;s found at least four different attempts by Wall Street analysts to suss out the company&#39;s true value. They involve different parts, different metrics, and varying conclusions. The only consistent theme? Amazon&#39;s parts add up to a lot more than its current market value.</p><p>Let&#39;s start with the entertainment-focused approach from Needham analyst Laura Martin. In her view, a large part of Amazon&#39;s value comes from its media businesses. She values Amazon Prime Video, Amazon Music, Twitch, and advertising at more than $500 billion. She values AWS at $650 billion. Those two numbers give you $1.15 trillion, or roughly Amazon&#39;s current market value. That doesn&#39;t include e-commerce, which Martin&#39;s calculations currently ignore.</p><p>Truist internet analyst Youssef Squali has a different approach. He puts a value of more than $500 billion on Amazon&#39;s &#34;third-party retail&#34; services business, which includes logistics and other services provided to millions of sellers. He adds $172 billion for &#34;first party&#34; retail -- Amazon-branded goods, including electronics like Fire TVs and Kindles, plus thousands of AmazonBasics products. He values the company&#39;s subscription business -- basically Prime -- at a little over $100 billion. Then, he values AWS at $867 billion, using a multiple of 30 times estimated pretax earnings for 2022. (Salesforce, which is growing more slowly than AWS, trades at roughly 30 times pretax earnings.) Ultimately, Squali comes up with an Amazon value of $1.7 trillion.</p><p>J.P. Morgan analyst Doug Anmuth takes the simplest view -- dividing Amazon into two pieces. He pegs the value of AWS at 20 times his estimate of $52 billion in 2023 earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, or Ebitda, which comes to just over $1 trillion. For the retail business, he applies a multiple of 1.25 times his estimated gross merchandise value for 2023, which comes to just over $950 billion. Anmuth notes that Walmart <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMT\">$(WMT)$</a> trades at about one times GMV, while Amazon&#39;s retail business has &#34;meaningfully higher&#34; growth, meriting a higher multiple. For Anmuth, that&#39;s a total Amazon value of $2 trillion.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Amazon Is Ready To Rise Again</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAmazon Is Ready To Rise Again\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-07-24 11:00</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon</a>&#39;s recent struggles in e-commerce are masking its continued dominance in the cloud. For investors, it&#39;s time to refocus. Amazon shares have never looked more attractive than they do right now.</p><p>Amazon.com has reported earnings about 100 times since it went public in 1997. Every one of those quarterly reports has shown a growing company, despite plenty of ups and downs in the economy -- and the internet. Amazon&#39;s worst quarter came in September 2001, when the internet bubble was blowing apart. Even then, revenue grew slightly from a year earlier. Now, though, Amazon&#39;s streak may be coming to an end.</p><p>When Amazon (AMZN) reports second-quarter earnings on July 28, Wall Street analysts expect revenue growth of just 5%. That&#39;s a tepid number by Amazon standards, and if things are just slightly worse than expected, revenue could actually decline. It would be a telling moment, with Amazon facing its greatest set of challenges since founder Jeff Bezos began selling books out of his house almost 30 years ago.</p><p>The company&#39;s longtime advantage in e-commerce has arguably become a weakness, with physical stores enjoying a post-Covid renaissance. Elevated fuel costs, meanwhile, are crimping Amazon&#39;s profits, with the cost of deliveries and returns on the rise.</p><p>Amazon&#39;s profit margins have never been rich, but analysts forecast a razor-thin 1.8% operating margin in the second quarter. After years of giving Amazon a pass on profits, investors have grown impatient. Since peaking last July, the stock is down 33% to a recent $125, shedding more than $600 billion in market value. Seen through the e-commerce lens, Amazon is one more struggling tech company.</p><p>And yet none of that should matter. Investors&#39; preoccupation with Amazon&#39;s retail operations overlooks the company&#39;s transformation. This year, the Amazon Web Services cloud business will be about 15% of the company&#39;s total revenue but more than 100% of its profits. Before, during, and after pandemic lockdowns, AWS revenue grew at a 30%-plus quarterly clip. In the long term, those trends should continue.</p><p>Meanwhile, Amazon has an advertising business that has annualized revenue of close to $40 billion. That&#39;s nearly four times the size of Twitter (TWTR) and Snap <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNAP\">$(SNAP)$</a> combined. And it&#39;s a media company that now controls the rights to a weekly National Football League game, a package that was once exclusive to broadcast giants Comcast <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CMCSA\">$(CMCSA)$</a>, Fox <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FOXA\">$(FOXA)$</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PARA\">Paramount Global</a> (PARA), and Walt Disney <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIS\">$(DIS)$</a> . There&#39;s also a growing logistics operation that increasingly rivals FedEx <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FDX.AU\">$(FDX.AU)$</a> and United Parcel Service <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UPS\">$(UPS)$</a>.</p><p>The challenge for investors is that the sprawling operation has made Amazon difficult to value. It&#39;s worth the effort -- Amazon shares have rarely been more attractive. The stock could double, or triple, over the next few years. Yes, the latest quarter will be bad. But the future couldn&#39;t be brighter.</p><p>Gene Munster, a portfolio manager at Loup Ventures, says his firm has been adding to its Amazon position. While Munster concedes that investors are concerned about e-commerce profitability in the short run, he&#39;s convinced that in the long run, &#34;no one is going to compete with Amazon&#34; in online shopping. Munster figures that AWS and the ad business together will generate $45 billion in operating income this year. Value that at 25 times earnings, says Munster, and you get $1.1 trillion, which is just about the company&#39;s current total market value. That means investors are currently getting everything else free: online stores, Prime, logistics, Whole Foods Market, and a host of other businesses that Amazon has acquired over the years.</p><p>Says Munster: &#34;It&#39;s hard not to like Amazon at this valuation.&#34;</p><p>To be sure, Amazon continues to face bad publicity. The company is pushing back against unions trying to organize Amazon workers, a difficult balance for a company that claims to be Earth&#39;s best employer. The company is also dealing with a newly empowered Federal Trade Commission led by Chair Lina Khan, who once wrote in the Yale Law Review that Amazon&#39;s dominant market position was clear evidence that U.S. antitrust laws weren&#39;t effectively regulating the U.S. internet sector. Amazon is sure to face intense government scrutiny for future acquisitions. And it could be forced to make concessions to the government.</p><p>For now, though, Amazon is still finding ways to grow through deals. Just this past week, the company agreed to buy One Medical, an owner of membership-based healthcare clinics, for $3.9 billion.</p><p>There&#39;s also a chance the slowing economy could weigh on AWS sales for the next few quarters. For this year, Wall Street currently expects total Amazon revenue of $520 billion, up 11%, with profits of 56 cents a share, down from $3.24 a year earlier.</p><p>But to Amazon bulls, the issues plaguing the company are fleeting and priced in. While the economy could fall into recession later this year or in 2023, that recession won&#39;t be permanent. Meanwhile, the e-commerce market continues to expand, and Amazon&#39;s slice of the pie remains vast, at about 40%. There&#39;s still room for additional market share gains, too.</p><p>The company&#39;s advertising business, meanwhile, is on the rise. Given Apple&#39;s <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$(AAPL)$</a> tough stance on sharing information about consumer activity on the iPhone, advertisers are looking beyond <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/META\">Meta Platforms</a>&#39; <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/META.UK\">$(META.UK)$</a> Facebook, Alphabet&#39;s <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOGL\">$(GOOGL)$</a> YouTube, and Snap for places to spend their ad dollars. Many ad buyers are turning to options where consumer buying intent is clear on the surface. Meta has to infer what you might want to buy; in Amazon&#39;s case, consumers type their exact shopping interests into a search box. In a marketplace crowded with consumer choice, Amazon&#39;s ad market is a gold mine.</p><p>And then there&#39;s Amazon Web Services, the company&#39;s mammoth cloud-computing platform. Since the company began breaking out results for AWS in 2015, the business has accounted for more than half of Amazon&#39;s operating profits, including almost 75% of the total in 2021. In 2022, with e-commerce operations likely to lose money, AWS is forecast to constitute 150% of Amazon&#39;s operating income.</p><p>With revenue close to $82 billion, AWS is one of the world&#39;s largest software and services companies -- bigger than Oracle <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ORCL\">$(ORCL)$</a>, IBM <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IBM\">$(IBM)$</a>, or SAP <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SAP\">$(SAP)$</a>, and more than twice the size of Salesforce <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRM.AU\">$(CRM.AU)$</a>, the largest of the so-called software-as-a-service companies. And AWS is going to get a lot bigger. It&#39;s no wonder that when Bezos chose to step down as CEO in 2021, he chose as his successor AWS architect Andy Jassy. (Amazon declined to make Jassy or any other executives available for this story, citing the quiet period ahead of earnings.)</p><p>One of Wall Street&#39;s favorite strategies for assessing corporate value is a &#34;sum of the parts&#34; approach: Make a list of what the company owns, put a value on each part, then add it all up.</p><p>For some of Amazon&#39;s businesses, appropriate comparisons are hard to find. There are no pure-play public cloud stocks that look anything like AWS; its primary rivals -- Microsoft <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">$(MSFT)$</a> Azure and Google Cloud -- are likewise buried inside large businesses. Amazon&#39;s ad business is valuable, but it&#39;s linked to the core e-commerce business and therefore defies an easy value.</p><p>Then there&#39;s Amazon Prime, which includes a Netflix-like video streaming service plus a Spotify-like music service. There are other businesses hidden in the company&#39;s financials, including the videogame streaming service Twitch, the audiobook company Audible, the podcasting producer Wondery, and autonomous-vehicle maker Zoox, just to name a few.</p><p>In reporting this story, Barron&#39;s found at least four different attempts by Wall Street analysts to suss out the company&#39;s true value. They involve different parts, different metrics, and varying conclusions. The only consistent theme? Amazon&#39;s parts add up to a lot more than its current market value.</p><p>Let&#39;s start with the entertainment-focused approach from Needham analyst Laura Martin. In her view, a large part of Amazon&#39;s value comes from its media businesses. She values Amazon Prime Video, Amazon Music, Twitch, and advertising at more than $500 billion. She values AWS at $650 billion. Those two numbers give you $1.15 trillion, or roughly Amazon&#39;s current market value. That doesn&#39;t include e-commerce, which Martin&#39;s calculations currently ignore.</p><p>Truist internet analyst Youssef Squali has a different approach. He puts a value of more than $500 billion on Amazon&#39;s &#34;third-party retail&#34; services business, which includes logistics and other services provided to millions of sellers. He adds $172 billion for &#34;first party&#34; retail -- Amazon-branded goods, including electronics like Fire TVs and Kindles, plus thousands of AmazonBasics products. He values the company&#39;s subscription business -- basically Prime -- at a little over $100 billion. Then, he values AWS at $867 billion, using a multiple of 30 times estimated pretax earnings for 2022. (Salesforce, which is growing more slowly than AWS, trades at roughly 30 times pretax earnings.) Ultimately, Squali comes up with an Amazon value of $1.7 trillion.</p><p>J.P. Morgan analyst Doug Anmuth takes the simplest view -- dividing Amazon into two pieces. He pegs the value of AWS at 20 times his estimate of $52 billion in 2023 earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, or Ebitda, which comes to just over $1 trillion. For the retail business, he applies a multiple of 1.25 times his estimated gross merchandise value for 2023, which comes to just over $950 billion. Anmuth notes that Walmart <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMT\">$(WMT)$</a> trades at about one times GMV, while Amazon&#39;s retail business has &#34;meaningfully higher&#34; growth, meriting a higher multiple. For Anmuth, that&#39;s a total Amazon value of $2 trillion.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2253060728","content_text":"Amazon's recent struggles in e-commerce are masking its continued dominance in the cloud. For investors, it's time to refocus. Amazon shares have never looked more attractive than they do right now.Amazon.com has reported earnings about 100 times since it went public in 1997. Every one of those quarterly reports has shown a growing company, despite plenty of ups and downs in the economy -- and the internet. Amazon's worst quarter came in September 2001, when the internet bubble was blowing apart. Even then, revenue grew slightly from a year earlier. Now, though, Amazon's streak may be coming to an end.When Amazon (AMZN) reports second-quarter earnings on July 28, Wall Street analysts expect revenue growth of just 5%. That's a tepid number by Amazon standards, and if things are just slightly worse than expected, revenue could actually decline. It would be a telling moment, with Amazon facing its greatest set of challenges since founder Jeff Bezos began selling books out of his house almost 30 years ago.The company's longtime advantage in e-commerce has arguably become a weakness, with physical stores enjoying a post-Covid renaissance. Elevated fuel costs, meanwhile, are crimping Amazon's profits, with the cost of deliveries and returns on the rise.Amazon's profit margins have never been rich, but analysts forecast a razor-thin 1.8% operating margin in the second quarter. After years of giving Amazon a pass on profits, investors have grown impatient. Since peaking last July, the stock is down 33% to a recent $125, shedding more than $600 billion in market value. Seen through the e-commerce lens, Amazon is one more struggling tech company.And yet none of that should matter. Investors' preoccupation with Amazon's retail operations overlooks the company's transformation. This year, the Amazon Web Services cloud business will be about 15% of the company's total revenue but more than 100% of its profits. Before, during, and after pandemic lockdowns, AWS revenue grew at a 30%-plus quarterly clip. In the long term, those trends should continue.Meanwhile, Amazon has an advertising business that has annualized revenue of close to $40 billion. That's nearly four times the size of Twitter (TWTR) and Snap $(SNAP)$ combined. And it's a media company that now controls the rights to a weekly National Football League game, a package that was once exclusive to broadcast giants Comcast $(CMCSA)$, Fox $(FOXA)$, Paramount Global (PARA), and Walt Disney $(DIS)$ . There's also a growing logistics operation that increasingly rivals FedEx $(FDX.AU)$ and United Parcel Service $(UPS)$.The challenge for investors is that the sprawling operation has made Amazon difficult to value. It's worth the effort -- Amazon shares have rarely been more attractive. The stock could double, or triple, over the next few years. Yes, the latest quarter will be bad. But the future couldn't be brighter.Gene Munster, a portfolio manager at Loup Ventures, says his firm has been adding to its Amazon position. While Munster concedes that investors are concerned about e-commerce profitability in the short run, he's convinced that in the long run, \"no one is going to compete with Amazon\" in online shopping. Munster figures that AWS and the ad business together will generate $45 billion in operating income this year. Value that at 25 times earnings, says Munster, and you get $1.1 trillion, which is just about the company's current total market value. That means investors are currently getting everything else free: online stores, Prime, logistics, Whole Foods Market, and a host of other businesses that Amazon has acquired over the years.Says Munster: \"It's hard not to like Amazon at this valuation.\"To be sure, Amazon continues to face bad publicity. The company is pushing back against unions trying to organize Amazon workers, a difficult balance for a company that claims to be Earth's best employer. The company is also dealing with a newly empowered Federal Trade Commission led by Chair Lina Khan, who once wrote in the Yale Law Review that Amazon's dominant market position was clear evidence that U.S. antitrust laws weren't effectively regulating the U.S. internet sector. Amazon is sure to face intense government scrutiny for future acquisitions. And it could be forced to make concessions to the government.For now, though, Amazon is still finding ways to grow through deals. Just this past week, the company agreed to buy One Medical, an owner of membership-based healthcare clinics, for $3.9 billion.There's also a chance the slowing economy could weigh on AWS sales for the next few quarters. For this year, Wall Street currently expects total Amazon revenue of $520 billion, up 11%, with profits of 56 cents a share, down from $3.24 a year earlier.But to Amazon bulls, the issues plaguing the company are fleeting and priced in. While the economy could fall into recession later this year or in 2023, that recession won't be permanent. Meanwhile, the e-commerce market continues to expand, and Amazon's slice of the pie remains vast, at about 40%. There's still room for additional market share gains, too.The company's advertising business, meanwhile, is on the rise. Given Apple's $(AAPL)$ tough stance on sharing information about consumer activity on the iPhone, advertisers are looking beyond Meta Platforms' $(META.UK)$ Facebook, Alphabet's $(GOOGL)$ YouTube, and Snap for places to spend their ad dollars. Many ad buyers are turning to options where consumer buying intent is clear on the surface. Meta has to infer what you might want to buy; in Amazon's case, consumers type their exact shopping interests into a search box. In a marketplace crowded with consumer choice, Amazon's ad market is a gold mine.And then there's Amazon Web Services, the company's mammoth cloud-computing platform. Since the company began breaking out results for AWS in 2015, the business has accounted for more than half of Amazon's operating profits, including almost 75% of the total in 2021. In 2022, with e-commerce operations likely to lose money, AWS is forecast to constitute 150% of Amazon's operating income.With revenue close to $82 billion, AWS is one of the world's largest software and services companies -- bigger than Oracle $(ORCL)$, IBM $(IBM)$, or SAP $(SAP)$, and more than twice the size of Salesforce $(CRM.AU)$, the largest of the so-called software-as-a-service companies. And AWS is going to get a lot bigger. It's no wonder that when Bezos chose to step down as CEO in 2021, he chose as his successor AWS architect Andy Jassy. (Amazon declined to make Jassy or any other executives available for this story, citing the quiet period ahead of earnings.)One of Wall Street's favorite strategies for assessing corporate value is a \"sum of the parts\" approach: Make a list of what the company owns, put a value on each part, then add it all up.For some of Amazon's businesses, appropriate comparisons are hard to find. There are no pure-play public cloud stocks that look anything like AWS; its primary rivals -- Microsoft $(MSFT)$ Azure and Google Cloud -- are likewise buried inside large businesses. Amazon's ad business is valuable, but it's linked to the core e-commerce business and therefore defies an easy value.Then there's Amazon Prime, which includes a Netflix-like video streaming service plus a Spotify-like music service. There are other businesses hidden in the company's financials, including the videogame streaming service Twitch, the audiobook company Audible, the podcasting producer Wondery, and autonomous-vehicle maker Zoox, just to name a few.In reporting this story, Barron's found at least four different attempts by Wall Street analysts to suss out the company's true value. They involve different parts, different metrics, and varying conclusions. The only consistent theme? Amazon's parts add up to a lot more than its current market value.Let's start with the entertainment-focused approach from Needham analyst Laura Martin. In her view, a large part of Amazon's value comes from its media businesses. She values Amazon Prime Video, Amazon Music, Twitch, and advertising at more than $500 billion. She values AWS at $650 billion. Those two numbers give you $1.15 trillion, or roughly Amazon's current market value. That doesn't include e-commerce, which Martin's calculations currently ignore.Truist internet analyst Youssef Squali has a different approach. He puts a value of more than $500 billion on Amazon's \"third-party retail\" services business, which includes logistics and other services provided to millions of sellers. He adds $172 billion for \"first party\" retail -- Amazon-branded goods, including electronics like Fire TVs and Kindles, plus thousands of AmazonBasics products. He values the company's subscription business -- basically Prime -- at a little over $100 billion. Then, he values AWS at $867 billion, using a multiple of 30 times estimated pretax earnings for 2022. (Salesforce, which is growing more slowly than AWS, trades at roughly 30 times pretax earnings.) Ultimately, Squali comes up with an Amazon value of $1.7 trillion.J.P. Morgan analyst Doug Anmuth takes the simplest view -- dividing Amazon into two pieces. He pegs the value of AWS at 20 times his estimate of $52 billion in 2023 earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, or Ebitda, which comes to just over $1 trillion. For the retail business, he applies a multiple of 1.25 times his estimated gross merchandise value for 2023, which comes to just over $950 billion. Anmuth notes that Walmart $(WMT)$ trades at about one times GMV, while Amazon's retail business has \"meaningfully higher\" growth, meriting a higher multiple. For Anmuth, that's a total Amazon value of $2 trillion.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":183,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9016451843,"gmtCreate":1649224381424,"gmtModify":1676534473580,"author":{"id":"3573789293829232","authorId":"3573789293829232","name":"btoh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a7c2d714604fc804a48646ee397f912","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573789293829232","authorIdStr":"3573789293829232"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9016451843","repostId":"2225193582","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2225193582","pubTimestamp":1649206858,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2225193582?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-04-06 09:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Got $500? 2 Top Growth Stocks to Buy That Could Double Your Money","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2225193582","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"These companies have tremendous long-term return potential.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Time and patience are your friends in the stock market. If you save $500 per month and invest in growing companies, it is possible to double your money every five years. That is the same as earning 15% per year on your savings, which is a lot better than keeping your money in the bank earning practically nothing.</p><p>If you&#39;ve needed to communicate with fellow office workers during the pandemic, you are probably familiar with <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a> Video Communications</b>. <b>Etsy</b> is another promising growth stock that is showing signs of becoming a force to reckon with in e-commerce. Here&#39;s why I would bet on these two growth stocks right now.</p><h2>1. Zoom Video Communications</h2><p>Share prices of Zoom are down about 80% from their all-time high. That huge drop might lend to a perception that the company is struggling, but that&#39;s not the case. The company was on fire during the pandemic. That led to a massive run-up in the stock price. At <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> point, investors were valuing Zoom at over 100 times annual sales.</p><p>In the first quarter of 2021, Zoom reported revenue growth of 191% year over year. The market sometimes extrapolates recent results way out into the future, and that can lead to overvaluation for fast-growing companies. As Zoom&#39;s revenue growth came back down to earth, investors had to rethink their long-term growth expectations for the company.</p><p>Zoom is still growing. Revenue increased by 21% year over year in the fourth quarter. While management&#39;s outlook for the current year calls for growth to slow to approximately 11%, the stock&#39;s valuation is also cheaper. At a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 26, Zoom doesn&#39;t have to grow at high rates to justify an investment at the current stock price.</p><p>The market for digital video is estimated at $18 billion. Zoom is a leader in this race and continues to invest in new features to capture a large piece of the pie. It recently announced a new partnership to integrate <b>DocuSign</b>&#39;s technology into the platform to allow users to review documents during a Zoom meeting. Analysts expect Zoom to grow earnings at an annualized rate of 13% over the next five years. If the stock is still trading at its current P/E in five years, investors could double their money off these lows.</p><h2>2. Etsy</h2><p>Etsy&#39;s stock price is down about 60% from its recent highs. This is a great opportunity to add shares of one of the most promising young e-commerce companies in the market.</p><p>While many retailers are struggling with limited supply and inflationary costs, Etsy is largely immune to these headwinds. Etsy relies on a growing number of active sellers -- 5.3 million at the end of 2021 -- to list merchandise and generate sales. Etsy makes money by charging a transaction fee on each sale, currently 6.5%. It&#39;s constantly looking for ways to improve the shopping experience. Management has focused on things like delivering smarter search results and introducing ways for sellers to engage with their customers through videos. Etsy&#39;s performance in 2021 suggests its efforts have worked to drive more engagement from existing buyers.</p><p>In 2021, Etsy grew gross merchandise sales by nearly 30% over 2020. The company reported that 53% of all active buyers were repeat buyers in 2021.</p><p>&#34;We believe that Etsy offers the world a true alternative to commoditize shopping, that buyers and sellers value this alternative, and we are in the early days of expanding our share of wallet,&#34; CEO Josh Silverman said during the fourth-quarter earnings call.</p><p>While the stock might be volatile in the near term, Etsy isn&#39;t going anywhere, as Silverman noted. E-commerce is a wide-open opportunity, and Etsy has an advantage with its focus on specialty merchandise. If Etsy can generate just half of the 39% annualized earnings growth analysts are currently projecting, the stock could double by 2027.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Got $500? 2 Top Growth Stocks to Buy That Could Double Your Money</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGot $500? 2 Top Growth Stocks to Buy That Could Double Your Money\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-04-06 09:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/04/05/got-500-2-growth-stocks-to-buy-that-could-double/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Time and patience are your friends in the stock market. If you save $500 per month and invest in growing companies, it is possible to double your money every five years. That is the same as earning ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/04/05/got-500-2-growth-stocks-to-buy-that-could-double/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4122":"互联网与直销零售","BK4023":"应用软件","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BK4535":"淡马锡持仓","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK4505":"高瓴资本持仓","ETSY":"Etsy, Inc.","BK4528":"SaaS概念","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","ZM":"Zoom","BK4525":"远程办公概念","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/04/05/got-500-2-growth-stocks-to-buy-that-could-double/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2225193582","content_text":"Time and patience are your friends in the stock market. If you save $500 per month and invest in growing companies, it is possible to double your money every five years. That is the same as earning 15% per year on your savings, which is a lot better than keeping your money in the bank earning practically nothing.If you've needed to communicate with fellow office workers during the pandemic, you are probably familiar with Zoom Video Communications. Etsy is another promising growth stock that is showing signs of becoming a force to reckon with in e-commerce. Here's why I would bet on these two growth stocks right now.1. Zoom Video CommunicationsShare prices of Zoom are down about 80% from their all-time high. That huge drop might lend to a perception that the company is struggling, but that's not the case. The company was on fire during the pandemic. That led to a massive run-up in the stock price. At one point, investors were valuing Zoom at over 100 times annual sales.In the first quarter of 2021, Zoom reported revenue growth of 191% year over year. The market sometimes extrapolates recent results way out into the future, and that can lead to overvaluation for fast-growing companies. As Zoom's revenue growth came back down to earth, investors had to rethink their long-term growth expectations for the company.Zoom is still growing. Revenue increased by 21% year over year in the fourth quarter. While management's outlook for the current year calls for growth to slow to approximately 11%, the stock's valuation is also cheaper. At a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 26, Zoom doesn't have to grow at high rates to justify an investment at the current stock price.The market for digital video is estimated at $18 billion. Zoom is a leader in this race and continues to invest in new features to capture a large piece of the pie. It recently announced a new partnership to integrate DocuSign's technology into the platform to allow users to review documents during a Zoom meeting. Analysts expect Zoom to grow earnings at an annualized rate of 13% over the next five years. If the stock is still trading at its current P/E in five years, investors could double their money off these lows.2. EtsyEtsy's stock price is down about 60% from its recent highs. This is a great opportunity to add shares of one of the most promising young e-commerce companies in the market.While many retailers are struggling with limited supply and inflationary costs, Etsy is largely immune to these headwinds. Etsy relies on a growing number of active sellers -- 5.3 million at the end of 2021 -- to list merchandise and generate sales. Etsy makes money by charging a transaction fee on each sale, currently 6.5%. It's constantly looking for ways to improve the shopping experience. Management has focused on things like delivering smarter search results and introducing ways for sellers to engage with their customers through videos. Etsy's performance in 2021 suggests its efforts have worked to drive more engagement from existing buyers.In 2021, Etsy grew gross merchandise sales by nearly 30% over 2020. The company reported that 53% of all active buyers were repeat buyers in 2021.\"We believe that Etsy offers the world a true alternative to commoditize shopping, that buyers and sellers value this alternative, and we are in the early days of expanding our share of wallet,\" CEO Josh Silverman said during the fourth-quarter earnings call.While the stock might be volatile in the near term, Etsy isn't going anywhere, as Silverman noted. E-commerce is a wide-open opportunity, and Etsy has an advantage with its focus on specialty merchandise. If Etsy can generate just half of the 39% annualized earnings growth analysts are currently projecting, the stock could double by 2027.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":40,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9035728603,"gmtCreate":1647695662353,"gmtModify":1676534258972,"author":{"id":"3573789293829232","authorId":"3573789293829232","name":"btoh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a7c2d714604fc804a48646ee397f912","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573789293829232","authorIdStr":"3573789293829232"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9035728603","repostId":"2220777059","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2220777059","pubTimestamp":1647653153,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2220777059?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-03-19 09:25","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Sea Limited: The Three-Headed Monster","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2220777059","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"SummaryGarena, Sea’s only profitable segment, serves as a lifeline for its other two segments, but B","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Garena, Sea’s only profitable segment, serves as a lifeline for its other two segments, but Bookings are expected to fall sharply in FY2022.</li><li>In addition, Shopee&#39;s losses are widening. However, the e-commerce segment is expected to be self-funded by 2025. This is achievable as take rates are trending in the right direction.</li><li>SeaMoney is also gaining traction at an unprecedented pace, a monster lurking in the shadows. Investors should pay attention as this segment could serve as Sea&#39;s second cash cow.</li><li>With a net cash position of $5.9 billion and $(3.6) billion of estimated AEBITDA in FY2022, it won&#39;t be long before Sea requires another cash infusion.</li><li>Despite unprofitability risks, Sea has a strong brand, network effects, and barriers to entry moats. The stock is trading at the lowest multiple ever - it is worth a nibble at these prices.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51b3290f2015840c5d8f754c01de8a85\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"422\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>undefined undefined/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p>I&#39;ve been following Sea Limited ADR (NYSE:SE) for quite some time now and the stock got me interested again given the recent 75% selloff. Today, I&#39;m doing a deep dive on the three-headed monster (and each of its heads) to see if the company is a good investment opportunity at these levels. Let&#39;s get started!</p><p><b>Investment Thesis</b></p><p>Sea is at the forefront of the internet revolution in developing regions. This had many investors buying into the growth story of the company, sending shares soaring high into the sun for the better part of 2020 and 2021. However, the stock has cratered back to sea amid concerns about the company&#39;s slowing growth, especially for its only cash cow, Garena. To make matters worse, Shopee&#39;s losses are also getting worse.</p><p>The Group&#39;s cash burn rate is still high, estimated to be $(3.6) billion in FY2022. With a net cash position of $5.9 billion, future capital raises are very likely.</p><p>On the bright side, Sea still has a long growth runway ahead, solidified by its leadership positions in Southeast Asia and Latin America. SeaMoney, although still unprofitable, could also emerge as Sea&#39;s second cash cow.</p><p>Despite unprofitability and competitive risks, Sea has strong competitive moats and it is trading at the cheapest valuation multiples since its IPO.</p><p>The three-headed monster is a Buy at these levels.</p><p><b>Value Proposition</b></p><p>Founded in Singapore in 2009, Sea has grown to become the leading consumer internet company in the world, with a substantial presence in the Southeast Asian region.</p><blockquote><b>Mission</b>: To better the lives of consumers and small businesses with technology.</blockquote><p>Sea is a holding company for three core businesses: Garena, Shopee, and SeaMoney. Sea&#39;s main value proposition is providing a vertically-integrated experience through its different core businesses.</p><p><b>Garena</b></p><p>Its digital entertainment division, Garena, was Sea&#39;s first business venture. In fact, Sea was originally named Garena Interactive Holding Limited before changing its name to Sea Limited in 2017.</p><p>Garena is one of the largest online games developers and publishers, releasing some of the most successful mobile and PC games over the last decade. For example, Garena&#39;s Free Fire, its self-developed mobile battle royale game, topped the global download charts for the last three years. According to data.ai, Free Fire also ranked second globally by average monthly active users on Google Play in 2021. In Southeast Asia and Latin America, Free Fire was the highest-grossing mobile game for ten consecutive quarters, and in the US for four consecutive quarters. Based on Sensor <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWR.AU\">Tower</a>&#39;s findings, Free Fire still holds the most downloads globally as of January 2022.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa392753c19f14d60ee0d992e58c3d2f\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"741\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: SensorTower</span></p><p>Garena also exclusively licenses and publishes games from global partners and third-party developers. Some of these partners include Tencent (OTCPK:TCEHY), Activision (ATVI), and Arumgames. Games like Speed Drifters, Arena of Valor, and Fantasy Town fall into this category as they are co-developed with partners or licensed from partners.</p><p>In addition, Garena organizes some of the largest e-sports events from local tournaments to professional competitions at a global level. Moreover, Garena offers other entertainment content such as live-streaming, user chat, and online forums.</p><p><b>Shopee</b></p><p>Perhaps the most exciting business segment is Sea&#39;s mobile-centric e-commerce platform, Shopee. Launched in 2015, Shopee is now one of the fastest-growing e-commerce marketplaces with a strong presence in Southeast Asia, as well as growing recognition in Latin America and some European countries.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6649de846b2942b928a3f3e5d4035003\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"200\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Shopee</span></p><p>Through the Shopee platform, buyers can purchase items from sellers which are primarily small and medium businesses (or mom-and-pop stores). At the same time, larger, more established retailers like Xiaomi (OTCPK:XIACF), Microsoft (MSFT), or Samsung (OTC:SSNLF) can leverage Shopee&#39;s two premium shopping platforms, Shopee Mall and Shopee Premium.</p><p>Along with Shopee&#39;s e-commerce marketplace, Shopee also offers adjacent products and services for both buyers and sellers:</p><ul><li><b>Service by Shopee</b> - Value-added services for sellers such as integrated payment, logistics, fulfillment, seller support, inventory management, and online store operations.</li><li><b>BuyerProtection</b> - Consumer protection policies and procedures including seller verification, product listing screening, and dispute resolution. In addition, Shopee Guarantee reduces settlement risks by holding customers&#39; funds in a separate account until delivery is complete, where funds will be released to buyers.</li><li><b>Integrated Logistics Services</b>- Shopee partners with various local and regional third-party logistics service providers to provide a seamless last-mile delivery experience for both buyers and sellers. Shopee also has its own delivery service called Shopee Xpress.</li><li><b>Social Features</b> - Shopee also offers other social and gamification features, including Shopee Coins (virtual currency), Shopee Live (livestream), Shopee Games (in-app games), and Shopee Feed (similar to Instagram).</li><li><b>On-demand Services</b>- Shopee also recently launched on-demand services such as ShopeeFood, instant delivery, and groceries, competing directly with Grab (GRAB), Gojek, and Uber (UBER).</li></ul><p>Shopee&#39;s scale is unmatched and it is still growing at an unprecedented pace. According to data.ai, Shopee in Southeast Asia and Taiwan ranked first in average monthly active users and total time spent in the app in 2021. Shopee Indonesia, arguably Shopee&#39;s most important market, ranked first in the Shopping category. Shopee Brazil, which launched in October 2019, was also ranked first in the Shopping category. And globally, Shopee ranked first in the Shopping category, and is the #13 most downloaded app regardless of category, logging in 200+ million downloads in 2021.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f9c550b140720336e00cc78e954d184\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"361\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: SensorTower</span></p><p><b>SeaMoney</b></p><p>SeaMoney was launched in 2014 and is now one of the leading digital financial services providers in Sea&#39;s operating countries. SeaMoney offers mobile wallet services, payment processing, credit, and other digital financial services. These services are offered under SeaMoney&#39;s various brands including AirPay, ShopeePay, SPayLater, and other local brands depending on the country. SeaMoney was initially launched in Vietnam and Thailand but has since expanded to other regions.</p><p>Through SeaMoney&#39;s mobile wallet offerings, consumers and merchants have added flexibility in terms of payment options, whether through online or offline means. The launch of SPayLater, which is basically a &#34;buy now pay later&#34; payment option, enables consumers to purchase items without accessing credit. For those who are interested, I&#39;ve written a deep dive on Affirm (AFRM) where I discuss the main value propositions that BNPL provides.</p><p>SeaMoney has obtained bank licenses and government approvals to provide financial services in various countries. For example, Sea acquired Bank Kesejahteraan Ekonomi in Indonesia back in early 2021 as a push towards offering a digital banking solution. The company is now rebranded to SeaBank, which currently offers a high-yield savings account and virtual account.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c85c862195f86fe9d4f0f8c8beced6b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"361\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: SeaBank Website</span></p><p>SeaMoney&#39;s main value proposition lies in offering a mobile wallet and payment solutions that are integrated with Sea&#39;s other businesses, namely Garena and Shopee, enabling consumers and merchants to transact seamlessly in one vertically-integrated platform.</p><p><b>Market Opportunity</b></p><p>Sea&#39;s market opportunity is predicated around the industry outlook of each of its business segments: mobile gaming, e-commerce, and fintech. Let&#39;s take a look at each industry that Sea operates in.</p><p>First, we have the mobile gaming industry. According to data.ai, Mobile Game Consumer Spend grew from $74 billion in 2018 to $116 billion in 2021, while Mobile Game Downloads grew from 63 billion in 2018 to 83 billion in 2021. Among the Top Genres by Downloads were Hypercasual games such as Hair Challenge and Water Sort Puzzle. However, the Top Genres by Consumer Spend belong to the Strategy, RPG, and Shooting categories where Garena specializes in. For example, Free Fire was the top Shooting game by revenue in Thailand, Brazil, Mexico, and the US, in 2021. Globally, however, it is still behind PUBG Mobile, which generates the bulk of its revenue from China.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f72bda6df6bc2b7bdf8756d218f53185\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"361\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: SensorTower</span></p><p>According to Adjust, the mobile gaming industry is expected to reach $272 billion by 2030, which is about 1.5x of 2021&#39;s total figure. Given Garena&#39;s successes in monetizing its games, Garena should continue to enjoy gaming tailwinds in the foreseeable future, provided that its games remain in trend. This is also supported by Unity&#39;s findings that the APAC region is the fastest-growing regional market, a market that Garena dominates in.</p><p>Moving on to e-commerce, we all know that e-commerce is growing rapidly and that its market share as a whole will continue to trend up from here. This is especially true for the Southeast Asian region where internet and smartphone adoption continues to increase by the day. Based on the e-Conomy SEA report, Southeast Asia now has 440 million internet users, up from 360 million in 2019. Its total population is about 589 million.</p><p>Internet Gross Merchandise Value, or GMV, for the region was $170 billion in 2021 and is expected to reach $360 billion by 2025 with e-commerce leading the charge. The shift to e-commerce is not only happening on the consumer side but also on the merchant side. Digital marketing tools, analytical tools, and digital payment solutions have accelerated business for merchants. Shopee&#39;s vertically-integrated platform also makes it easy for merchants in these developing countries to set up shop, distribute goods, and accept payments in a single platform.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2fcb903aed7c0ec901fc83c4f25f18b8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"361\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: e-Conomy SEA 2021</span></p><p>Furthermore, Sea has recently expanded its e-commerce operations to other regions such as Latin America and Europe, which further expands its market opportunity.</p><p>Lastly, we have the fintech industry pertaining to SeaMoney. In my <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PYPL\">PayPal</a> (PYPL) deep dive, I discussed the growth of mobile wallets as a payment method in both online and offline transactions. The shift to a cashless and cardless society is inevitable and that is also true for Sea&#39;s markets.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/47ec896a6208b6023ae89f654704bbc7\" tg-width=\"1261\" tg-height=\"706\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Ark Invest Big Ideas 2022</span></p><p>As you can see below, mobile wallets continue to gain traction in Southeast Asia. In addition, 92% of digital merchants intend to maintain usage or increase usage of digital payments in the next 1 to 2 years. ShopeePay and SeaMoney&#39;s other brands will benefit from this trend. Also of important note, SeaMoney&#39;s expansion to buy now pay later with SPayLater will be a key GMV and revenue driver for the segment. These are the reasons why some investors are so bullish on SeaMoney and why SeaMoney is a monster lurking in the shadows.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0eb814b800c3121e3fb8cd0913f239d5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"361\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: e-Conomy SEA 2021</span></p><p>As you can see, Sea is at the forefront of three megatrends which should propel the business forward from here. Also, combining the different verticals in the same platform would present a significant synergistic opportunity as Sea establishes itself as a SuperApp in the making.</p><p><b>Revenue Model</b></p><p>As mentioned previously, Sea operates three main business segments.</p><p><b>Digital Entertainment</b></p><p>Garena operates a freemium model whereby users can download and play games for free. The company generates revenue by selling in-game virtual items such as clothing, weaponry, or equipment.</p><p>Investors should take note of how revenue is recognized for this segment. According to Sea&#39;s 10-K:</p><blockquote>Proceeds from these sales are initially recognized as “Advances from customers” and subsequently reclassified to “Deferred revenue” when the users make in-game purchases of the virtual currencies or virtual items within the games operated by the Company and the in-game purchases are no longer refundable.</blockquote><p>Garena also licenses games from other game developers. Revenue is generated based on revenue-sharing/royalty agreements with these developers. Revenue is recognized over the performance obligation period.</p><blockquote>Such delivery obligation period is determined in accordance with the estimated average lifespan of the virtual goods sold or estimated average lifespan of the paying users of the said games or similar games.</blockquote><p><b>E-commerce</b></p><p>Shopee generates revenue through a marketplace model. Sellers on the platform pay Shopee based on paid advertisement services, transaction-based fees, logistics services, and other value-added services.</p><p>Shopee also generates revenue from goods sold directly by Shopee, which the company purchases in bulk from manufacturers or third-party suppliers.</p><p><b>Digital Financial Services</b></p><p>SeaMoney revenue consists of:</p><ul><li>Interest and fees from loans granted to commercial customers</li><li>Interest and fees from Sea&#39;s consumer credit business such as SPayLater</li><li>Commissions charged to merchants when a customer pays using SeaMoney&#39;s mobile wallet</li></ul><p><b>Income Statement</b></p><p>Let&#39;s analyze each of the business segments and then look at the entire Group as a whole.</p><p><b>Digital Entertainment</b></p><p>Garena Revenue saw a 104% increase YoY in Q4. For the full year, Garena Revenue was up 114% YoY.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/998dfbcf3f3dba11b8f8722710c36ba4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"428\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author&#39;s Analysis</span></p><p>The rapid increase in Revenue was primarily due to recognition of accumulated deferred revenue from previous quarters. Bookings—which is essentially GAAP Revenue plus the change in digital entertainment deferred revenue —actually dropped for the first time QoQ and it is now lower than Revenue. This means that gamers are spending less on in-virtual items which will lead to lower Revenue recognized in subsequent quarters. As you can see, Bookings is in a massive deceleration.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e06de5e6066b66cd5596a445cd912c98\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"431\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author&#39;s Analysis</span></p><p>The drop in Bookings was due to fewer gamers in the platform as the economy reopens and people spend more time outdoors, at school, or in the office. Quarterly Active Users, or QAUs, grew only 7% in Q4 to 652 million, compared to Q3&#39;s QAUs of 729 million.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c5bdd570a9eb859a9fef8569c9fad10a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"431\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author&#39;s Analysis</span></p><p>As a result, Quarterly Paying Users, or QPUs, decelerated as well, which led to lower Bookings. Q4 QPUs was 77 million compared to Q3&#39;s 93 million.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/092c4a2f47b9336f2753b4548707b39f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"431\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author&#39;s Analysis</span></p><p>The markets reacted negatively to this slowdown in Garena growth as the gaming business acts as the lifeline for Sea&#39;s two other segments. As you can see, Garena is a high-margin business, producing Adjusted EBITDA of $2.7 billion in FY2021. Operating Margin is very high at 61% in Q4. AEBITDA margin, on the other hand, is trending downwards as QoQ adds in Bookings wither.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f28c9f35ee55afb5c7d170a80d26ebf2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"431\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author&#39;s Analysis</span></p><p>As such, the slowdown in growth for Garena is scaring investors away as it may not provide sufficient cash flow to fund the continued growth of Shopee and SeaMoney.</p><p><b>E-Commerce</b></p><p>Shopee GMV continues its upward march as e-commerce continues to gain traction in Shopee&#39;s existing and newer markets. However, we&#39;re also seeing a deceleration in growth due to tough YoY comps. GMV in FY2021 was $62.5 billion, an increase of 77%.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f657f7cacc9e00bc57df0e913fdb9ae\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"431\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author&#39;s Analysis</span></p><p>GMV growth was also due to an increase in Orders in the Shopee platform, which totaled 6.1 billion in FY2021, an increase of 117%. Average Order Value, or AOV, however, is trending downwards. This may be perceived negatively as processing more lower-AOV orders meant higher logistical expenses and thus lower margins per order.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fbc7f044de03ec379f262a5bfcdf331\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"431\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author&#39;s Analysis</span></p><p>The increase in GMV translated to higher Shopee Revenue, which grew faster than GMV. Shopee Revenue grew 136% to $5.1 billion in FY2021, as compared to GMV growth of 77%.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/27710dc2140a6d139900819f51bd688a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"431\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author&#39;s Analysis</span></p><p>The faster growth in Revenue was due to Shopee&#39;s increasing take rate, which displays Shopee&#39;s ability to monetize its marketplace platform. This is one of the only few positive developments coming out of the most recent earnings update.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e4267bc5d33a2153e8624f73ed71540\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"431\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author&#39;s Analysis</span></p><p>Despite the improving Revenue and take rate, Shopee is still suffering huge losses and it is mounting with each subsequent quarter, primarily due to the company expanding into new markets. FY2021 Shopee AEBITDA was $(2.6) billion at a -50% margin. Recall that Garena AEBITDA was $2.7 billion.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d9d27cef61bc9a9058233f7eccc5eaa1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"428\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author&#39;s Analysis</span></p><p>AEBITDA per Order has been improving, although it flat-lined in the last few quarters. Again, this is due to the company aggressively expanding into new markets. For example, in Q4, Shopee Brazil recorded 140+ million gross orders with a $70+ million Revenue, up 400% and 326%, respectively. However, AEBITDA per Order in Brazil is still negative at $(2) per Order, despite being a 40% improvement from last year. As such, it is still a far cry from the overall AEBITDA per Order of $(0.45).</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c0d6aa930a81ea4fc153b7134dbf9d3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"432\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author&#39;s Analysis</span></p><p>On the bright side, in Southeast Asia and Taiwan, Q4 AEBITDA per Order before &#34;allocation of the headquarters’ common expenses&#34; was $(0.15), an improvement from last year&#39;s $(0.21). This shows that there is certainly hope for Shopee to be AEBITDA positive soon, which management has pointed out during the Q4 earnings call:</p><blockquote>We currently expect Shopee to achieve positive adjusted EBITDA before HQ cost allocation in Southeast Asia and Taiwan by this year. We also expect SeaMoney to achieve positive cash flow by next year. As a result, we currently expect that by 2025 cash generated by Shopee and SeaMoney proactively will enable these two businesses to substantially self-fund their own long-term growth.</blockquote><p><b>Digital Financial Services</b></p><p>SeaMoney&#39;s Mobile Wallet Total Payment Volume grew 120% YoY to $17.2 billion in FY2021 due to the increasing adoption of mobile wallets in the region.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4fa5ef6efa513d9040963fda42b4b9f2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"432\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author&#39;s Analysis</span></p><p>The growth in TPV was largely driven by the growth in QAUs. As shown below, the total ending QAUs in Q4 grew 90% YoY to 45.8 million users.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9397aec066366f40ec92c24187347a44\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"432\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author&#39;s Analysis</span></p><p>The real exciting part is that Revenue grew much faster than TPV and QAUs. SeaMoney Revenue is growing at a blistering pace, locking in high triple-digit growth rates over the last few years. FY2021 SeaMoney Revenue was $470 million, which is an increase of 673% from the previous year. This is due to take rates increasing from less than 1% in FY2020 to almost 4% by the end of the latest quarter.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dcaf6046cf3c27e00b233a8428eb2d75\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"428\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author&#39;s Analysis</span></p><p>Furthermore, in Indonesia, over 20% of the QAUs have used more than one SeaMoney product or service, which includes credit services, digital banking, and insurance. As SeaMoney introduces more offerings, revenue should accelerate meaningfully as average revenue per user increases when people use additional products.</p><p>As SeaMoney continues to gain scale, the segment will enjoy better unit economics. As shown below, while SeaMoney&#39;s AEBITDA is still in deeply negative territories, AEBITDA Margins has continued to trend towards profitability. Management also expects SeaMoney to be cash flow positive by next year.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51f0d5a1800fef748694417e8cb8fc9f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"428\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author&#39;s Analysis</span></p><p>This is the segment that investors should pay special attention to, given that it has the potential to be Sea&#39;s second cash cow. For example, PayPal has Operating Margins of 20%+, which could be SeaMoney&#39;s long-term margin profile.</p><p><b>Group</b></p><p>With that said, let&#39;s take a look at how the business is doing as a whole.</p><p>FY2021 Revenue was $10.0 billion, an increase of 128% YoY. Due to the law of large numbers and tough YoY comps, Revenue growth should decelerate from here.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/38de60bd773f3ef7afc4b2e28aa1c08f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"430\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author&#39;s Analysis</span></p><p>Here, we can see how Revenue is distributed across the different segments.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a86e59478db8a3a4fdc85897f24410e9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"428\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author&#39;s Analysis</span></p><p>What&#39;s encouraging is that Gross Profit Margins continue to trend upwards as the company gains economies of scale, even accounting for Shopee&#39;s aggressive expansion into new markets. FY2021 Gross Profit was $3.9 billion, up 189% YoY.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dd978ba4047cc6e20ac6086ba8420a8f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"430\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author&#39;s Analysis</span></p><p>Operating Expenses, however, remain elevated as management forgoes short-term profitability for long-term market dominance. FY2021 Total Operating Expenses were $5.5 billion. Below shows the different components of Operating Expenses as a percentage of Revenue.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fbdbde2c2ae744f36f8168ed32f94d62\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"419\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author&#39;s Analysis</span></p><p>Most of the Operating Expenses were used for Sales &amp; Marketing purposes. Unsurprisingly, Shopee had the highest S&amp;M burn rate. Discounts, cashback, celebrity promotions... they&#39;re everywhere.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5253f186120da17c4cd901e5c442bd1e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"419\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author&#39;s Analysis</span></p><p>As a result, Operating Profit Margins is still negative, although it is trending in the right direction.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a27b7833551107397c44acefc5ad2475\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"430\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author&#39;s Analysis</span></p><p>AEBITDA, on the other hand, is plunging. This is due to Garena&#39;s falling Bookings and Shoppe&#39;s widening losses. AEBITDA for FY2021 was $(594) million, compared to FY2020 positive AEBITDA of $107 million. This is probably the most concerning figure for investors as such a high cash burn rate is unsustainable, which may also lead to additional capital raises that are dilutive to shareholders.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d89fb95f74e23e85f8932870c0190bee\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"430\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author&#39;s Analysis</span></p><p>The guidance did not help either. Garena Bookings is expected to fall to just $3 billion, which is $1.3 billion lower than FY2021&#39;s number. Management blamed the reopening of the economy as well as the ban of Free Fire in India for the expected drop in Bookings. Assuming a modest 50% AEBITDA margin, Garena would bring in just $1.5 billion of AEBITDA for Sea in FY2022.</p><p>On the other side, the other two segments are expected to continue with their immense pace of growth — Shopee and SeaMoney are expected to grow by 76% and 155%, respectively. If we assume a (50)% AEBITDA margin for both segments, Shopee and SeaMoney is expected to burn a total of about $(5.1) billion of AEBITDA. Adding Garena&#39;s estimated AEBITDA of $1.5 billion, Sea, as a Group, is expected to burn $(3.6) billion in FY2021.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae5e9399a838e5f841dcccaffbe673d8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"357\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited FY2021 Q4 Investor Presentation</span></p><p>Because Garena is such an important piece of Shopee&#39;s and SeaMoney&#39;s growth story, a deceleration in Garena&#39;s business had investors reacting so negatively to Sea&#39;s latest earnings release, as now, the gaming business is incapable of covering the massive losses incurred by the other two business segments.</p><p><b>Balance Sheet</b></p><p>Sea&#39;s balance sheet position as of year-end FY2021 is at about $10.2 billion of Cash and Short Term Investments. While this may show that Sea has a substantial cushion against its short-term cash burn rate, its net cash position paints a different picture.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc30ee494abc2eda3b75434b96e4a66b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"357\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited FY2021 Q4 Investor Presentation</span></p><p>Adjusting for Sea&#39;s debt, Sea ended the year with a net cash position of around $5.9 billion. A substantial amount of its total debt comes from its recent issuance of 0.25% Convertible Senior Notes due 2026. The notes were issued when the stock was trading at $318 per share back in September and the initial conversion price is set at $477 per share. So, yes... conversion in the next 2 to 3 years is very unlikely.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d3d0030e6518cc4198245f624cc75e1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"437\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author&#39;s Analysis</span></p><p>With net cash of $5.9 billion and $(3.6) billion of estimated AEBITDA in FY2022, it won&#39;t be long before Sea requires another cash infusion. Therefore, if the high cash burn rate persists for the next 2 to 3 years, investors face a major risk of increasing financial leverage and/or dilution in the form of equity raises.</p><p><b>Cash Flow Statement</b></p><p>Here is what cash flow looks like over the last few quarters. Notice how Operating Cash Flow turned negative in the last quarter. Most of the cash also comes from Financing activities.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a0aba061277a1410bb9f3dc176ea0115\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"263\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author&#39;s Analysis</span></p><p>Unlike other high-flying growth companies, Sea&#39;s Share-Based Compensation expenses are relatively low.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81fa229682c8880d6edd35535ef6a747\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"419\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author&#39;s Analysis</span></p><p><b>Competitive Moats</b></p><p>Based on my research and analysis, I identified three key competitive moats for Sea: brand, network effects, and barriers to entry. I used to think that Sea has cost advantages but as Garena becomes a smaller part of the overall business, and as losses continue to worsen, I have reason to believe that Sea no longer holds that moat.</p><p><b>Brand</b></p><p>As discussed in previous sections, Garena&#39;s games, particularly Free Fire, have consistently ranked as the most downloaded mobile game in the world. Additionally, the Shopee app has gained cross-border stardom and is now regarded as the most downloaded or fastest-trending shopping App in the countries it operates in. Lastly, SeaMoney is also gaining traction with banking licenses granted in various countries that should increase brand value and trust.</p><p><b>Network Effects</b></p><p>The sheer amount of app downloads leads to powerful network effects. Garena has 652 million QAUs, which is about 8% of the world&#39;s population. Shopee recorded 200+ million app downloads in FY2021 alone. SeaMoney QAUs topped 45.8 million in Q4 and it is still in the early stages of adoption.</p><p>With all these users in the Sea platform, cross-selling new products or services should be easier as Sea continues to scale. One such example is Shopee Brazil and Free Fire where each platform is encouraging consumers to use the other. As Sea continues to innovate and offer better experiences for its customers, the ecosystem gets bigger and tighter, leading to powerful network effects.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c641ac08707cc868b9e6004e2deaf950\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"600\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Shopee Brazil</span></p><p><b>Barriers To Entry</b></p><p>I believe each of Sea&#39;s core businesses is operating in a winner-takes-most environment with high barriers to entry.</p><p>The mobile gaming environment requires the most talented developers to launch blockbuster games. Garena&#39;s Free Fire is certainly a blockbuster game and time in Free Fire&#39;s game means time away from other mobile games.</p><p>Just like how Amazon (AMZN) dominates in the US, the e-commerce landscape in Southeast Asia and Latin America is dominated by a few players, such as Shopee, Tokopedia, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MELI\">MercadoLibre</a> (MELI). The scale and unit economics that these players have achieved makes it unsustainable for new entrants to compete with them.</p><p>Banking and fintech is also a highly-regulated environment. Furthermore, consumers prefer to have just one mobile wallet, such as ShopeePay, as opposed to owning several different fintech applications.</p><p><b>Valuation</b></p><p>Based on my sum-of-the-parts and comparable company valuation analysis, Sea looks to be slightly undervalued with 19% upside potential. Of course, comparables are not perfect but based on this, we can gauge where Sea stands among peers.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f2400cd917e5f6ce8c47ef74a8062093\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"353\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Author&#39;s Analysis</span></p><p>On the flip side, Sea looks extremely cheap on a historical basis. In terms of EV/Sales, Sea is trading at the lowest valuation since its IPO, trading at just 4.2x forward sales.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bed1fd805a89523bbb8fa982bee40079\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"427\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Koyfin</span></p><p>In terms of EV/Gross Profit, Sea is trading even cheaper than its March 2020 lows.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fdf589a808c84131e9c36aa7b65a5129\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"427\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Koyfin</span></p><p>The valuation compression is warranted given that the company flew too close to the sun and now it is cratering back to the sea — not just for Sea, but almost all growth stocks took a beating. Growth is also slowing down and the macroeconomic environment looks gloomier than ever. However, this is not the end of the world; I think the markets are overreacting. Diversion from the mean goes both ways — perhaps, current prices present a good margin of safety for long-term investors.</p><p><b>Catalysts</b></p><ul><li><b>Successful International Expansion</b> — Shopee has been successful in replicating its playbook from Southeast Asia to Brazil. Recently, Shopee launched operations in India, Mexico, Chile, Colombia, Argentina, Poland, and Spain. If Shopee can take substantial market share in these new regions, Shopee&#39;s growth could turn exponential.</li><li><b>The Metaverse</b> — Sea&#39;s withering gaming division needs to be revitalized. New games and features could definitely provide the boost that it needs. For example, the metaverse is an exciting opportunity and Garena could introduce this concept to its 600+ million QAUs. Sea AI Lab (SAIL) and Sea Capital are two ventures that could accelerate the company into emerging industries, including the metaverse.</li></ul><blockquote>We will continue to encourage user-generated content by enhancing greater features and accessibility. We believe that a strong user reception to Craftland is a positive indicator of the initial success to encourage user participation in content creation and to build Free Fire into an increasingly open platform and is well aligned with major emerging industry trends such as metaverse.</blockquote><ul><li><b>Regional SuperApp</b> — Although this concept has yet to be discussed by management, launching a regional SuperApp could enhance user engagement to new levels. For example, imagine Shopee users being able to play games, shop, order food delivery, pay for services, transfer money, invest, all under one app. Imagine users being able to convert their deposited funds in ShopeePay, into ShopeeCoins, and use it to perform cross-border transactions.</li><li><b>Continued Growth In SeaMoney</b> — SeaMoney is still in its early stages and continued adoption of Sea&#39;s digital financial services offerings will be a strong addition to Sea&#39;s bull thesis. SPayLater has real potential to disrupt the consumer credit industry. SeaBank and ShopeePay have the opportunity to capture digital wallet, digital banking, and cashless society trends.</li><li><b>Free Fire India Ban Lift</b>— Garena&#39;s weak guidance factored in the headwinds coming from the ban in India. If the ban is lifted, the stock may react positively as much of Sea&#39;s cash burn problems may be eliminated.</li></ul><p><b>Risks</b></p><ul><li><b>The Pressure to Launch Blockbuster Games</b>— There will come a time when Free Fire will be dethroned as the most-played and most-downloaded game. That is just how the gaming business works. This puts a substantial risk on the cash flow generation potential of Garena. Launching blockbuster games is never easy and it requires many trials and errors along the way. For me, I would like to see Garena shift to a gaming franchise model where the company launches an updated version of an existing game every year or two, which presents a more stable and recurring revenue stream for the company. An example would be FIFA or Call of Duty.</li><li><b>Shopee India Ban</b> — With Free Fire banned in India, there&#39;s also the potential for Shoppe to be banned as well.</li><li><b>Failure to Gain Traction in International Markets</b>— Shopee pulled out of France in early March, an indication that Shoppe&#39;s business model is not replicable in other countries, especially in more developed regions. Shopee Poland and Spain may be next on the exit list as they hold a close resemblance to France.</li><li><b>Geopolitical Risks</b>— Tencent, a Chinese company, has an 18.7% equity stake in Sea. Sanctions, bans, and other restrictions on Chinese companies, given the current geopolitical environment, could spell trouble for Sea. Tencent may have to cut exposure on Sea or even dissolve its developing-publishing partnership with Garena.</li><li><b>Local Competition</b>— Local champions operating in their respective markets cannot be ignored. These include GoTo in Indonesia, MercadoLibre in Latin America, and Flipkart in India.</li></ul><p>In addition, there&#39;s a certain level of pride for consumers to see their native-born companies succeed. I&#39;m Indonesian, and it makes me really happy to see GoTo grow and grow.</p><p>GoTo, the holding company of both Indonesian tech darlings Gojek and Tokopedia, recently announced its plan to IPO in the Indonesia Stock Exchange. Here&#39;s a glance of GoTo&#39;s stats for the 12-months ended 30 September 2021:</p><ul><li>Valuation: $26.2 billion to $28.8 billion</li><li>GMV: $28.8 billion</li><li>Revenue: $1 billion</li><li>Gross Orders: 2 billion</li><li>Annual Transacting Users: 55 million</li><li>Driver Partners: 2.5 million</li><li>Merchants: 14 million</li></ul><p>The point is that there are big-time local players operating in Sea&#39;s markets that investors should never ignore. Here&#39;s a little snippet from my previous Shopee article:</p><blockquote>But with the GoTo merger, Indonesia could potentially extinguish the orange flame that charred its forest for many years. Now, GoTo could finally reclaim a good chunk of its territory that was lost to waves of competition, especially from Shopee. GoTo could finally gain more ground as the roots grew even stronger with the merger, fertilized with the synergies of value propositions, logistics, payments, and banking solutions.</blockquote><blockquote>Meanwhile, Sea Limited&#39;s stock continues to soar, ignoring the titan of an elephant in the room. And because of GoTo&#39;s integration, Shopee&#39;s vertically-integrated business model doesn&#39;t look like a strong competitive advantage anymore.</blockquote><p><b>Conclusion</b></p><p>Each of Sea&#39;s core businesses is in hypergrowth mode, propelled by megatrends in the mobile gaming, e-commerce, and fintech industry. Management understands these opportunities and therefore, is sacrificing short-term profitability for long-term market dominance. Despite being a larger business, Sea still has a massive growth runway ahead.</p><p>That is not to say that unprofitability and competition risks can and should be ignored. The biggest concern for investors is the company&#39;s unsustainable cash burn rate, which will likely lead to further capital raises in the near future.</p><p>Nonetheless, the long-term growth thesis for the three-headed monster remains intact. Strong brand, network effects, and barriers to entry moats should support the business going forward. In addition, shares of Sea are trading at the lowest valuation multiples ever, which presents a good margin of safety for an entry at these prices.</p><p>Thank you for reading my Sea Limited deep dive. If you enjoyed the article, please let me know in the comment section down below. If you have any suggestions or feedback, don&#39;t hesitate to share your thoughts as well.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Sea Limited: The Three-Headed Monster</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSea Limited: The Three-Headed Monster\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-03-19 09:25 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4496480-sea-limited-the-three-headed-monster><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryGarena, Sea’s only profitable segment, serves as a lifeline for its other two segments, but Bookings are expected to fall sharply in FY2022.In addition, Shopee's losses are widening. However, ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4496480-sea-limited-the-three-headed-monster\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SE":"Sea Ltd"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4496480-sea-limited-the-three-headed-monster","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2220777059","content_text":"SummaryGarena, Sea’s only profitable segment, serves as a lifeline for its other two segments, but Bookings are expected to fall sharply in FY2022.In addition, Shopee's losses are widening. However, the e-commerce segment is expected to be self-funded by 2025. This is achievable as take rates are trending in the right direction.SeaMoney is also gaining traction at an unprecedented pace, a monster lurking in the shadows. Investors should pay attention as this segment could serve as Sea's second cash cow.With a net cash position of $5.9 billion and $(3.6) billion of estimated AEBITDA in FY2022, it won't be long before Sea requires another cash infusion.Despite unprofitability risks, Sea has a strong brand, network effects, and barriers to entry moats. The stock is trading at the lowest multiple ever - it is worth a nibble at these prices.undefined undefined/iStock via Getty ImagesI've been following Sea Limited ADR (NYSE:SE) for quite some time now and the stock got me interested again given the recent 75% selloff. Today, I'm doing a deep dive on the three-headed monster (and each of its heads) to see if the company is a good investment opportunity at these levels. Let's get started!Investment ThesisSea is at the forefront of the internet revolution in developing regions. This had many investors buying into the growth story of the company, sending shares soaring high into the sun for the better part of 2020 and 2021. However, the stock has cratered back to sea amid concerns about the company's slowing growth, especially for its only cash cow, Garena. To make matters worse, Shopee's losses are also getting worse.The Group's cash burn rate is still high, estimated to be $(3.6) billion in FY2022. With a net cash position of $5.9 billion, future capital raises are very likely.On the bright side, Sea still has a long growth runway ahead, solidified by its leadership positions in Southeast Asia and Latin America. SeaMoney, although still unprofitable, could also emerge as Sea's second cash cow.Despite unprofitability and competitive risks, Sea has strong competitive moats and it is trading at the cheapest valuation multiples since its IPO.The three-headed monster is a Buy at these levels.Value PropositionFounded in Singapore in 2009, Sea has grown to become the leading consumer internet company in the world, with a substantial presence in the Southeast Asian region.Mission: To better the lives of consumers and small businesses with technology.Sea is a holding company for three core businesses: Garena, Shopee, and SeaMoney. Sea's main value proposition is providing a vertically-integrated experience through its different core businesses.GarenaIts digital entertainment division, Garena, was Sea's first business venture. In fact, Sea was originally named Garena Interactive Holding Limited before changing its name to Sea Limited in 2017.Garena is one of the largest online games developers and publishers, releasing some of the most successful mobile and PC games over the last decade. For example, Garena's Free Fire, its self-developed mobile battle royale game, topped the global download charts for the last three years. According to data.ai, Free Fire also ranked second globally by average monthly active users on Google Play in 2021. In Southeast Asia and Latin America, Free Fire was the highest-grossing mobile game for ten consecutive quarters, and in the US for four consecutive quarters. Based on Sensor Tower's findings, Free Fire still holds the most downloads globally as of January 2022.Source: SensorTowerGarena also exclusively licenses and publishes games from global partners and third-party developers. Some of these partners include Tencent (OTCPK:TCEHY), Activision (ATVI), and Arumgames. Games like Speed Drifters, Arena of Valor, and Fantasy Town fall into this category as they are co-developed with partners or licensed from partners.In addition, Garena organizes some of the largest e-sports events from local tournaments to professional competitions at a global level. Moreover, Garena offers other entertainment content such as live-streaming, user chat, and online forums.ShopeePerhaps the most exciting business segment is Sea's mobile-centric e-commerce platform, Shopee. Launched in 2015, Shopee is now one of the fastest-growing e-commerce marketplaces with a strong presence in Southeast Asia, as well as growing recognition in Latin America and some European countries.Source: ShopeeThrough the Shopee platform, buyers can purchase items from sellers which are primarily small and medium businesses (or mom-and-pop stores). At the same time, larger, more established retailers like Xiaomi (OTCPK:XIACF), Microsoft (MSFT), or Samsung (OTC:SSNLF) can leverage Shopee's two premium shopping platforms, Shopee Mall and Shopee Premium.Along with Shopee's e-commerce marketplace, Shopee also offers adjacent products and services for both buyers and sellers:Service by Shopee - Value-added services for sellers such as integrated payment, logistics, fulfillment, seller support, inventory management, and online store operations.BuyerProtection - Consumer protection policies and procedures including seller verification, product listing screening, and dispute resolution. In addition, Shopee Guarantee reduces settlement risks by holding customers' funds in a separate account until delivery is complete, where funds will be released to buyers.Integrated Logistics Services- Shopee partners with various local and regional third-party logistics service providers to provide a seamless last-mile delivery experience for both buyers and sellers. Shopee also has its own delivery service called Shopee Xpress.Social Features - Shopee also offers other social and gamification features, including Shopee Coins (virtual currency), Shopee Live (livestream), Shopee Games (in-app games), and Shopee Feed (similar to Instagram).On-demand Services- Shopee also recently launched on-demand services such as ShopeeFood, instant delivery, and groceries, competing directly with Grab (GRAB), Gojek, and Uber (UBER).Shopee's scale is unmatched and it is still growing at an unprecedented pace. According to data.ai, Shopee in Southeast Asia and Taiwan ranked first in average monthly active users and total time spent in the app in 2021. Shopee Indonesia, arguably Shopee's most important market, ranked first in the Shopping category. Shopee Brazil, which launched in October 2019, was also ranked first in the Shopping category. And globally, Shopee ranked first in the Shopping category, and is the #13 most downloaded app regardless of category, logging in 200+ million downloads in 2021.Source: SensorTowerSeaMoneySeaMoney was launched in 2014 and is now one of the leading digital financial services providers in Sea's operating countries. SeaMoney offers mobile wallet services, payment processing, credit, and other digital financial services. These services are offered under SeaMoney's various brands including AirPay, ShopeePay, SPayLater, and other local brands depending on the country. SeaMoney was initially launched in Vietnam and Thailand but has since expanded to other regions.Through SeaMoney's mobile wallet offerings, consumers and merchants have added flexibility in terms of payment options, whether through online or offline means. The launch of SPayLater, which is basically a \"buy now pay later\" payment option, enables consumers to purchase items without accessing credit. For those who are interested, I've written a deep dive on Affirm (AFRM) where I discuss the main value propositions that BNPL provides.SeaMoney has obtained bank licenses and government approvals to provide financial services in various countries. For example, Sea acquired Bank Kesejahteraan Ekonomi in Indonesia back in early 2021 as a push towards offering a digital banking solution. The company is now rebranded to SeaBank, which currently offers a high-yield savings account and virtual account.Source: SeaBank WebsiteSeaMoney's main value proposition lies in offering a mobile wallet and payment solutions that are integrated with Sea's other businesses, namely Garena and Shopee, enabling consumers and merchants to transact seamlessly in one vertically-integrated platform.Market OpportunitySea's market opportunity is predicated around the industry outlook of each of its business segments: mobile gaming, e-commerce, and fintech. Let's take a look at each industry that Sea operates in.First, we have the mobile gaming industry. According to data.ai, Mobile Game Consumer Spend grew from $74 billion in 2018 to $116 billion in 2021, while Mobile Game Downloads grew from 63 billion in 2018 to 83 billion in 2021. Among the Top Genres by Downloads were Hypercasual games such as Hair Challenge and Water Sort Puzzle. However, the Top Genres by Consumer Spend belong to the Strategy, RPG, and Shooting categories where Garena specializes in. For example, Free Fire was the top Shooting game by revenue in Thailand, Brazil, Mexico, and the US, in 2021. Globally, however, it is still behind PUBG Mobile, which generates the bulk of its revenue from China.Source: SensorTowerAccording to Adjust, the mobile gaming industry is expected to reach $272 billion by 2030, which is about 1.5x of 2021's total figure. Given Garena's successes in monetizing its games, Garena should continue to enjoy gaming tailwinds in the foreseeable future, provided that its games remain in trend. This is also supported by Unity's findings that the APAC region is the fastest-growing regional market, a market that Garena dominates in.Moving on to e-commerce, we all know that e-commerce is growing rapidly and that its market share as a whole will continue to trend up from here. This is especially true for the Southeast Asian region where internet and smartphone adoption continues to increase by the day. Based on the e-Conomy SEA report, Southeast Asia now has 440 million internet users, up from 360 million in 2019. Its total population is about 589 million.Internet Gross Merchandise Value, or GMV, for the region was $170 billion in 2021 and is expected to reach $360 billion by 2025 with e-commerce leading the charge. The shift to e-commerce is not only happening on the consumer side but also on the merchant side. Digital marketing tools, analytical tools, and digital payment solutions have accelerated business for merchants. Shopee's vertically-integrated platform also makes it easy for merchants in these developing countries to set up shop, distribute goods, and accept payments in a single platform.Source: e-Conomy SEA 2021Furthermore, Sea has recently expanded its e-commerce operations to other regions such as Latin America and Europe, which further expands its market opportunity.Lastly, we have the fintech industry pertaining to SeaMoney. In my PayPal (PYPL) deep dive, I discussed the growth of mobile wallets as a payment method in both online and offline transactions. The shift to a cashless and cardless society is inevitable and that is also true for Sea's markets.Source: Ark Invest Big Ideas 2022As you can see below, mobile wallets continue to gain traction in Southeast Asia. In addition, 92% of digital merchants intend to maintain usage or increase usage of digital payments in the next 1 to 2 years. ShopeePay and SeaMoney's other brands will benefit from this trend. Also of important note, SeaMoney's expansion to buy now pay later with SPayLater will be a key GMV and revenue driver for the segment. These are the reasons why some investors are so bullish on SeaMoney and why SeaMoney is a monster lurking in the shadows.Source: e-Conomy SEA 2021As you can see, Sea is at the forefront of three megatrends which should propel the business forward from here. Also, combining the different verticals in the same platform would present a significant synergistic opportunity as Sea establishes itself as a SuperApp in the making.Revenue ModelAs mentioned previously, Sea operates three main business segments.Digital EntertainmentGarena operates a freemium model whereby users can download and play games for free. The company generates revenue by selling in-game virtual items such as clothing, weaponry, or equipment.Investors should take note of how revenue is recognized for this segment. According to Sea's 10-K:Proceeds from these sales are initially recognized as “Advances from customers” and subsequently reclassified to “Deferred revenue” when the users make in-game purchases of the virtual currencies or virtual items within the games operated by the Company and the in-game purchases are no longer refundable.Garena also licenses games from other game developers. Revenue is generated based on revenue-sharing/royalty agreements with these developers. Revenue is recognized over the performance obligation period.Such delivery obligation period is determined in accordance with the estimated average lifespan of the virtual goods sold or estimated average lifespan of the paying users of the said games or similar games.E-commerceShopee generates revenue through a marketplace model. Sellers on the platform pay Shopee based on paid advertisement services, transaction-based fees, logistics services, and other value-added services.Shopee also generates revenue from goods sold directly by Shopee, which the company purchases in bulk from manufacturers or third-party suppliers.Digital Financial ServicesSeaMoney revenue consists of:Interest and fees from loans granted to commercial customersInterest and fees from Sea's consumer credit business such as SPayLaterCommissions charged to merchants when a customer pays using SeaMoney's mobile walletIncome StatementLet's analyze each of the business segments and then look at the entire Group as a whole.Digital EntertainmentGarena Revenue saw a 104% increase YoY in Q4. For the full year, Garena Revenue was up 114% YoY.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisThe rapid increase in Revenue was primarily due to recognition of accumulated deferred revenue from previous quarters. Bookings—which is essentially GAAP Revenue plus the change in digital entertainment deferred revenue —actually dropped for the first time QoQ and it is now lower than Revenue. This means that gamers are spending less on in-virtual items which will lead to lower Revenue recognized in subsequent quarters. As you can see, Bookings is in a massive deceleration.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisThe drop in Bookings was due to fewer gamers in the platform as the economy reopens and people spend more time outdoors, at school, or in the office. Quarterly Active Users, or QAUs, grew only 7% in Q4 to 652 million, compared to Q3's QAUs of 729 million.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisAs a result, Quarterly Paying Users, or QPUs, decelerated as well, which led to lower Bookings. Q4 QPUs was 77 million compared to Q3's 93 million.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisThe markets reacted negatively to this slowdown in Garena growth as the gaming business acts as the lifeline for Sea's two other segments. As you can see, Garena is a high-margin business, producing Adjusted EBITDA of $2.7 billion in FY2021. Operating Margin is very high at 61% in Q4. AEBITDA margin, on the other hand, is trending downwards as QoQ adds in Bookings wither.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisAs such, the slowdown in growth for Garena is scaring investors away as it may not provide sufficient cash flow to fund the continued growth of Shopee and SeaMoney.E-CommerceShopee GMV continues its upward march as e-commerce continues to gain traction in Shopee's existing and newer markets. However, we're also seeing a deceleration in growth due to tough YoY comps. GMV in FY2021 was $62.5 billion, an increase of 77%.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisGMV growth was also due to an increase in Orders in the Shopee platform, which totaled 6.1 billion in FY2021, an increase of 117%. Average Order Value, or AOV, however, is trending downwards. This may be perceived negatively as processing more lower-AOV orders meant higher logistical expenses and thus lower margins per order.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisThe increase in GMV translated to higher Shopee Revenue, which grew faster than GMV. Shopee Revenue grew 136% to $5.1 billion in FY2021, as compared to GMV growth of 77%.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisThe faster growth in Revenue was due to Shopee's increasing take rate, which displays Shopee's ability to monetize its marketplace platform. This is one of the only few positive developments coming out of the most recent earnings update.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisDespite the improving Revenue and take rate, Shopee is still suffering huge losses and it is mounting with each subsequent quarter, primarily due to the company expanding into new markets. FY2021 Shopee AEBITDA was $(2.6) billion at a -50% margin. Recall that Garena AEBITDA was $2.7 billion.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisAEBITDA per Order has been improving, although it flat-lined in the last few quarters. Again, this is due to the company aggressively expanding into new markets. For example, in Q4, Shopee Brazil recorded 140+ million gross orders with a $70+ million Revenue, up 400% and 326%, respectively. However, AEBITDA per Order in Brazil is still negative at $(2) per Order, despite being a 40% improvement from last year. As such, it is still a far cry from the overall AEBITDA per Order of $(0.45).Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisOn the bright side, in Southeast Asia and Taiwan, Q4 AEBITDA per Order before \"allocation of the headquarters’ common expenses\" was $(0.15), an improvement from last year's $(0.21). This shows that there is certainly hope for Shopee to be AEBITDA positive soon, which management has pointed out during the Q4 earnings call:We currently expect Shopee to achieve positive adjusted EBITDA before HQ cost allocation in Southeast Asia and Taiwan by this year. We also expect SeaMoney to achieve positive cash flow by next year. As a result, we currently expect that by 2025 cash generated by Shopee and SeaMoney proactively will enable these two businesses to substantially self-fund their own long-term growth.Digital Financial ServicesSeaMoney's Mobile Wallet Total Payment Volume grew 120% YoY to $17.2 billion in FY2021 due to the increasing adoption of mobile wallets in the region.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisThe growth in TPV was largely driven by the growth in QAUs. As shown below, the total ending QAUs in Q4 grew 90% YoY to 45.8 million users.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisThe real exciting part is that Revenue grew much faster than TPV and QAUs. SeaMoney Revenue is growing at a blistering pace, locking in high triple-digit growth rates over the last few years. FY2021 SeaMoney Revenue was $470 million, which is an increase of 673% from the previous year. This is due to take rates increasing from less than 1% in FY2020 to almost 4% by the end of the latest quarter.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisFurthermore, in Indonesia, over 20% of the QAUs have used more than one SeaMoney product or service, which includes credit services, digital banking, and insurance. As SeaMoney introduces more offerings, revenue should accelerate meaningfully as average revenue per user increases when people use additional products.As SeaMoney continues to gain scale, the segment will enjoy better unit economics. As shown below, while SeaMoney's AEBITDA is still in deeply negative territories, AEBITDA Margins has continued to trend towards profitability. Management also expects SeaMoney to be cash flow positive by next year.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisThis is the segment that investors should pay special attention to, given that it has the potential to be Sea's second cash cow. For example, PayPal has Operating Margins of 20%+, which could be SeaMoney's long-term margin profile.GroupWith that said, let's take a look at how the business is doing as a whole.FY2021 Revenue was $10.0 billion, an increase of 128% YoY. Due to the law of large numbers and tough YoY comps, Revenue growth should decelerate from here.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisHere, we can see how Revenue is distributed across the different segments.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisWhat's encouraging is that Gross Profit Margins continue to trend upwards as the company gains economies of scale, even accounting for Shopee's aggressive expansion into new markets. FY2021 Gross Profit was $3.9 billion, up 189% YoY.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisOperating Expenses, however, remain elevated as management forgoes short-term profitability for long-term market dominance. FY2021 Total Operating Expenses were $5.5 billion. Below shows the different components of Operating Expenses as a percentage of Revenue.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisMost of the Operating Expenses were used for Sales & Marketing purposes. Unsurprisingly, Shopee had the highest S&M burn rate. Discounts, cashback, celebrity promotions... they're everywhere.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisAs a result, Operating Profit Margins is still negative, although it is trending in the right direction.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisAEBITDA, on the other hand, is plunging. This is due to Garena's falling Bookings and Shoppe's widening losses. AEBITDA for FY2021 was $(594) million, compared to FY2020 positive AEBITDA of $107 million. This is probably the most concerning figure for investors as such a high cash burn rate is unsustainable, which may also lead to additional capital raises that are dilutive to shareholders.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisThe guidance did not help either. Garena Bookings is expected to fall to just $3 billion, which is $1.3 billion lower than FY2021's number. Management blamed the reopening of the economy as well as the ban of Free Fire in India for the expected drop in Bookings. Assuming a modest 50% AEBITDA margin, Garena would bring in just $1.5 billion of AEBITDA for Sea in FY2022.On the other side, the other two segments are expected to continue with their immense pace of growth — Shopee and SeaMoney are expected to grow by 76% and 155%, respectively. If we assume a (50)% AEBITDA margin for both segments, Shopee and SeaMoney is expected to burn a total of about $(5.1) billion of AEBITDA. Adding Garena's estimated AEBITDA of $1.5 billion, Sea, as a Group, is expected to burn $(3.6) billion in FY2021.Source: Sea Limited FY2021 Q4 Investor PresentationBecause Garena is such an important piece of Shopee's and SeaMoney's growth story, a deceleration in Garena's business had investors reacting so negatively to Sea's latest earnings release, as now, the gaming business is incapable of covering the massive losses incurred by the other two business segments.Balance SheetSea's balance sheet position as of year-end FY2021 is at about $10.2 billion of Cash and Short Term Investments. While this may show that Sea has a substantial cushion against its short-term cash burn rate, its net cash position paints a different picture.Source: Sea Limited FY2021 Q4 Investor PresentationAdjusting for Sea's debt, Sea ended the year with a net cash position of around $5.9 billion. A substantial amount of its total debt comes from its recent issuance of 0.25% Convertible Senior Notes due 2026. The notes were issued when the stock was trading at $318 per share back in September and the initial conversion price is set at $477 per share. So, yes... conversion in the next 2 to 3 years is very unlikely.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisWith net cash of $5.9 billion and $(3.6) billion of estimated AEBITDA in FY2022, it won't be long before Sea requires another cash infusion. Therefore, if the high cash burn rate persists for the next 2 to 3 years, investors face a major risk of increasing financial leverage and/or dilution in the form of equity raises.Cash Flow StatementHere is what cash flow looks like over the last few quarters. Notice how Operating Cash Flow turned negative in the last quarter. Most of the cash also comes from Financing activities.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisUnlike other high-flying growth companies, Sea's Share-Based Compensation expenses are relatively low.Source: Sea Limited Investor Relations and Author's AnalysisCompetitive MoatsBased on my research and analysis, I identified three key competitive moats for Sea: brand, network effects, and barriers to entry. I used to think that Sea has cost advantages but as Garena becomes a smaller part of the overall business, and as losses continue to worsen, I have reason to believe that Sea no longer holds that moat.BrandAs discussed in previous sections, Garena's games, particularly Free Fire, have consistently ranked as the most downloaded mobile game in the world. Additionally, the Shopee app has gained cross-border stardom and is now regarded as the most downloaded or fastest-trending shopping App in the countries it operates in. Lastly, SeaMoney is also gaining traction with banking licenses granted in various countries that should increase brand value and trust.Network EffectsThe sheer amount of app downloads leads to powerful network effects. Garena has 652 million QAUs, which is about 8% of the world's population. Shopee recorded 200+ million app downloads in FY2021 alone. SeaMoney QAUs topped 45.8 million in Q4 and it is still in the early stages of adoption.With all these users in the Sea platform, cross-selling new products or services should be easier as Sea continues to scale. One such example is Shopee Brazil and Free Fire where each platform is encouraging consumers to use the other. As Sea continues to innovate and offer better experiences for its customers, the ecosystem gets bigger and tighter, leading to powerful network effects.Source: Shopee BrazilBarriers To EntryI believe each of Sea's core businesses is operating in a winner-takes-most environment with high barriers to entry.The mobile gaming environment requires the most talented developers to launch blockbuster games. Garena's Free Fire is certainly a blockbuster game and time in Free Fire's game means time away from other mobile games.Just like how Amazon (AMZN) dominates in the US, the e-commerce landscape in Southeast Asia and Latin America is dominated by a few players, such as Shopee, Tokopedia, and MercadoLibre (MELI). The scale and unit economics that these players have achieved makes it unsustainable for new entrants to compete with them.Banking and fintech is also a highly-regulated environment. Furthermore, consumers prefer to have just one mobile wallet, such as ShopeePay, as opposed to owning several different fintech applications.ValuationBased on my sum-of-the-parts and comparable company valuation analysis, Sea looks to be slightly undervalued with 19% upside potential. Of course, comparables are not perfect but based on this, we can gauge where Sea stands among peers.Source: Author's AnalysisOn the flip side, Sea looks extremely cheap on a historical basis. In terms of EV/Sales, Sea is trading at the lowest valuation since its IPO, trading at just 4.2x forward sales.Source: KoyfinIn terms of EV/Gross Profit, Sea is trading even cheaper than its March 2020 lows.Source: KoyfinThe valuation compression is warranted given that the company flew too close to the sun and now it is cratering back to the sea — not just for Sea, but almost all growth stocks took a beating. Growth is also slowing down and the macroeconomic environment looks gloomier than ever. However, this is not the end of the world; I think the markets are overreacting. Diversion from the mean goes both ways — perhaps, current prices present a good margin of safety for long-term investors.CatalystsSuccessful International Expansion — Shopee has been successful in replicating its playbook from Southeast Asia to Brazil. Recently, Shopee launched operations in India, Mexico, Chile, Colombia, Argentina, Poland, and Spain. If Shopee can take substantial market share in these new regions, Shopee's growth could turn exponential.The Metaverse — Sea's withering gaming division needs to be revitalized. New games and features could definitely provide the boost that it needs. For example, the metaverse is an exciting opportunity and Garena could introduce this concept to its 600+ million QAUs. Sea AI Lab (SAIL) and Sea Capital are two ventures that could accelerate the company into emerging industries, including the metaverse.We will continue to encourage user-generated content by enhancing greater features and accessibility. We believe that a strong user reception to Craftland is a positive indicator of the initial success to encourage user participation in content creation and to build Free Fire into an increasingly open platform and is well aligned with major emerging industry trends such as metaverse.Regional SuperApp — Although this concept has yet to be discussed by management, launching a regional SuperApp could enhance user engagement to new levels. For example, imagine Shopee users being able to play games, shop, order food delivery, pay for services, transfer money, invest, all under one app. Imagine users being able to convert their deposited funds in ShopeePay, into ShopeeCoins, and use it to perform cross-border transactions.Continued Growth In SeaMoney — SeaMoney is still in its early stages and continued adoption of Sea's digital financial services offerings will be a strong addition to Sea's bull thesis. SPayLater has real potential to disrupt the consumer credit industry. SeaBank and ShopeePay have the opportunity to capture digital wallet, digital banking, and cashless society trends.Free Fire India Ban Lift— Garena's weak guidance factored in the headwinds coming from the ban in India. If the ban is lifted, the stock may react positively as much of Sea's cash burn problems may be eliminated.RisksThe Pressure to Launch Blockbuster Games— There will come a time when Free Fire will be dethroned as the most-played and most-downloaded game. That is just how the gaming business works. This puts a substantial risk on the cash flow generation potential of Garena. Launching blockbuster games is never easy and it requires many trials and errors along the way. For me, I would like to see Garena shift to a gaming franchise model where the company launches an updated version of an existing game every year or two, which presents a more stable and recurring revenue stream for the company. An example would be FIFA or Call of Duty.Shopee India Ban — With Free Fire banned in India, there's also the potential for Shoppe to be banned as well.Failure to Gain Traction in International Markets— Shopee pulled out of France in early March, an indication that Shoppe's business model is not replicable in other countries, especially in more developed regions. Shopee Poland and Spain may be next on the exit list as they hold a close resemblance to France.Geopolitical Risks— Tencent, a Chinese company, has an 18.7% equity stake in Sea. Sanctions, bans, and other restrictions on Chinese companies, given the current geopolitical environment, could spell trouble for Sea. Tencent may have to cut exposure on Sea or even dissolve its developing-publishing partnership with Garena.Local Competition— Local champions operating in their respective markets cannot be ignored. These include GoTo in Indonesia, MercadoLibre in Latin America, and Flipkart in India.In addition, there's a certain level of pride for consumers to see their native-born companies succeed. I'm Indonesian, and it makes me really happy to see GoTo grow and grow.GoTo, the holding company of both Indonesian tech darlings Gojek and Tokopedia, recently announced its plan to IPO in the Indonesia Stock Exchange. Here's a glance of GoTo's stats for the 12-months ended 30 September 2021:Valuation: $26.2 billion to $28.8 billionGMV: $28.8 billionRevenue: $1 billionGross Orders: 2 billionAnnual Transacting Users: 55 millionDriver Partners: 2.5 millionMerchants: 14 millionThe point is that there are big-time local players operating in Sea's markets that investors should never ignore. Here's a little snippet from my previous Shopee article:But with the GoTo merger, Indonesia could potentially extinguish the orange flame that charred its forest for many years. Now, GoTo could finally reclaim a good chunk of its territory that was lost to waves of competition, especially from Shopee. GoTo could finally gain more ground as the roots grew even stronger with the merger, fertilized with the synergies of value propositions, logistics, payments, and banking solutions.Meanwhile, Sea Limited's stock continues to soar, ignoring the titan of an elephant in the room. And because of GoTo's integration, Shopee's vertically-integrated business model doesn't look like a strong competitive advantage anymore.ConclusionEach of Sea's core businesses is in hypergrowth mode, propelled by megatrends in the mobile gaming, e-commerce, and fintech industry. Management understands these opportunities and therefore, is sacrificing short-term profitability for long-term market dominance. Despite being a larger business, Sea still has a massive growth runway ahead.That is not to say that unprofitability and competition risks can and should be ignored. The biggest concern for investors is the company's unsustainable cash burn rate, which will likely lead to further capital raises in the near future.Nonetheless, the long-term growth thesis for the three-headed monster remains intact. Strong brand, network effects, and barriers to entry moats should support the business going forward. In addition, shares of Sea are trading at the lowest valuation multiples ever, which presents a good margin of safety for an entry at these prices.Thank you for reading my Sea Limited deep dive. If you enjoyed the article, please let me know in the comment section down below. If you have any suggestions or feedback, don't hesitate to share your thoughts as well.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":59,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9094018627,"gmtCreate":1645021020785,"gmtModify":1676533987171,"author":{"id":"3573789293829232","authorId":"3573789293829232","name":"btoh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a7c2d714604fc804a48646ee397f912","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573789293829232","authorIdStr":"3573789293829232"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9094018627","repostId":"1119273317","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1119273317","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1645016443,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1119273317?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-02-16 21:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Pre-Bell｜U.S. Stock Index Futures Eased; Roblox Stock Plummeted 15%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1119273317","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. stock index futures eased on Wednesday with retail sales data and minutes of the Federal Reserv","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. stock index futures eased on Wednesday with retail sales data and minutes of the Federal Reserve&#39;s last meeting on investors&#39; radar, while Western skepticism over Russian claims of a pullback of some troops near Ukraine kept caution in the air.</p><p><b>Market Snapshot</b></p><p>At 8 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were down 86 points, or 0.25%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were down 11 points, or 0.25%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 30.5 points, or 0.21%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b90892b61b57d2b77bd0183a728eef6b\" tg-width=\"966\" tg-height=\"320\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><b>Pre-Market Movers</b></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GNRC\">Generac</a> (GNRC) – The maker of generators and power equipment saw its stock rise 2.6% in the premarket after beating top and bottom-line estimates for the fourth quarter. Generac earned an adjusted $2.51 per share, 11 cents above estimates, as both commercial and residential sales increased more than 40%.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SHOP\">Shopify</a> (SHOP) – Shopify fell 4% in premarket action despite reporting better-than-expected quarterly profit and revenue. The e-commerce platform operator said revenue growth for 2022 would be slower than the 57% it achieved in 2021.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KHC\">The Kraft Heinz Company</a> (KHC) – The food maker’s stock was up 1.3% in the premarket after reporting its adjusted quarterly profit of 79 cents per share beat estimates by 16 cents. Revenue was also above Wall Street forecasts.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LZB\">La-Z-Boy</a> (LZB) – La-Z-Boy tumbled 12.5% in premarket trading after the furniture company reported a quarterly profit of 65 cents per share, well below the 89-cent consensus estimate. The company best known for its signature recliners noted multiple production issues related to Covid-19, leaving it unable to fully satisfy demand.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WYNN\">Wynn</a> (WYNN) – Wynn Resorts reported a quarterly loss of $1.37 per share, wider than the $1.25 per share loss expected by Wall Street analysts, although the casino operator’s revenue beat estimates. A nearly 28% drop in Wynn’s Macau revenue weighed on overall results. Wynn fell 2.3% in the premarket.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TTD\">Trade Desk Inc.</a> (TTD) – The stock surged 10.5% in the premarket after the programmatic ad company reported adjusted quarterly earnings of 42 cents per share, 14 cents above estimates, with revenue also topping Wall Street forecasts.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HLT\">Hilton</a> (HLT) – The hotel operator missed estimates by 2 cents with adjusted quarterly earnings of 74 cents per share. Revenue was slightly above estimates as it more than doubled from a year earlier amid a travel recovery.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VIAC\">Viacom CBS</a> (VIAC) – ViacomCBS announced it will change its corporate name to Paramount Global, effective Thursday, in an effort to emphasize its Paramount+ streaming service and to take advantage of Paramount’s brand recognition. Separately, the media company reported an adjusted quarterly profit of 26 cents per share, missing the 43-cent consensus estimate. Shares slumped 11.3% in premarket trading.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABNB\">Airbnb, Inc.</a> (ABNB) – Airbnb reported record revenue for 2021, better-than-expected fourth-quarter results, and issued an upbeat current-quarter forecast. The home rental company benefited from consumer preferences shifting away from hotels during the pandemic and said current-quarter bookings are likely to exceed pre-pandemic levels for the first time. Airbnb shares rallied 3.5% in the premarket.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RBLX\">Roblox Corporation</a> (RBLX) – Roblox stock plummeted 15.2% in premarket action after reporting a loss of 25 cents per share for its latest quarter, nearly double the 13-cent loss analysts had anticipated. The social gaming platform operator also saw lower-than-expected revenue amid flat daily active user metrics and engaged gaming hours that fell short of forecasts.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FUN\">Cedar Fair LP</a> (FUN) – Cedar Fair rejected a takeover bid from rival theme park operator SeaWorld Entertainment(SEAS), according to a statement by SeaWorld which confirmed earlier reports of an offer but did not acknowledge the reported $3.4 billion price. Separately, Cedar Fair reported better-than-expected quarterly revenue with record in-park spending by visitors. Cedar Fair stock slid 12.3% in the premarket, while SeaWorld fell 4.2%.</p><p><b>Market News</b></p><p>Mark Zuckerberg unveiled a list of principles for work at <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">Meta Platforms</a> Inc. in which he calls its employees “Metamates.”Meta’s chief executive officer said it is now “a distributed company” and gave a nod to its international nature by saying “we will continue hiring around the world.”</p><p>Vaccine maker Moderna on Tuesday (Feb 15) announced plans to set up a new subsidiary in Singapore, as well as three others in Malaysia, Taiwan and Hong Kong.The new subsidiary will provide local presence to support the delivery of mRNA vaccines and therapeutics in Singapore, the company said in a press release.</p><p>The Singapore Exchange has approved the delisting application for Roxy-Pacific Holdings, as the residential property managing company&#39;s free float has fallen below the 10 per cent threshold.</p><p>Barrick Gold Corp. exceeded earnings estimates, raised dividends and unveiled a share buyback program as the world’s second-largest bullion supplier brings down costs and lifts production.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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radar, while Western skepticism over Russian claims of a pullback of some troops near Ukraine kept caution in the air.</p><p><b>Market Snapshot</b></p><p>At 8 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were down 86 points, or 0.25%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were down 11 points, or 0.25%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 30.5 points, or 0.21%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b90892b61b57d2b77bd0183a728eef6b\" tg-width=\"966\" tg-height=\"320\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><b>Pre-Market Movers</b></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GNRC\">Generac</a> (GNRC) – The maker of generators and power equipment saw its stock rise 2.6% in the premarket after beating top and bottom-line estimates for the fourth quarter. Generac earned an adjusted $2.51 per share, 11 cents above estimates, as both commercial and residential sales increased more than 40%.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SHOP\">Shopify</a> (SHOP) – Shopify fell 4% in premarket action despite reporting better-than-expected quarterly profit and revenue. The e-commerce platform operator said revenue growth for 2022 would be slower than the 57% it achieved in 2021.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KHC\">The Kraft Heinz Company</a> (KHC) – The food maker’s stock was up 1.3% in the premarket after reporting its adjusted quarterly profit of 79 cents per share beat estimates by 16 cents. Revenue was also above Wall Street forecasts.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LZB\">La-Z-Boy</a> (LZB) – La-Z-Boy tumbled 12.5% in premarket trading after the furniture company reported a quarterly profit of 65 cents per share, well below the 89-cent consensus estimate. The company best known for its signature recliners noted multiple production issues related to Covid-19, leaving it unable to fully satisfy demand.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WYNN\">Wynn</a> (WYNN) – Wynn Resorts reported a quarterly loss of $1.37 per share, wider than the $1.25 per share loss expected by Wall Street analysts, although the casino operator’s revenue beat estimates. A nearly 28% drop in Wynn’s Macau revenue weighed on overall results. Wynn fell 2.3% in the premarket.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TTD\">Trade Desk Inc.</a> (TTD) – The stock surged 10.5% in the premarket after the programmatic ad company reported adjusted quarterly earnings of 42 cents per share, 14 cents above estimates, with revenue also topping Wall Street forecasts.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HLT\">Hilton</a> (HLT) – The hotel operator missed estimates by 2 cents with adjusted quarterly earnings of 74 cents per share. Revenue was slightly above estimates as it more than doubled from a year earlier amid a travel recovery.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VIAC\">Viacom CBS</a> (VIAC) – ViacomCBS announced it will change its corporate name to Paramount Global, effective Thursday, in an effort to emphasize its Paramount+ streaming service and to take advantage of Paramount’s brand recognition. Separately, the media company reported an adjusted quarterly profit of 26 cents per share, missing the 43-cent consensus estimate. Shares slumped 11.3% in premarket trading.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABNB\">Airbnb, Inc.</a> (ABNB) – Airbnb reported record revenue for 2021, better-than-expected fourth-quarter results, and issued an upbeat current-quarter forecast. The home rental company benefited from consumer preferences shifting away from hotels during the pandemic and said current-quarter bookings are likely to exceed pre-pandemic levels for the first time. Airbnb shares rallied 3.5% in the premarket.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RBLX\">Roblox Corporation</a> (RBLX) – Roblox stock plummeted 15.2% in premarket action after reporting a loss of 25 cents per share for its latest quarter, nearly double the 13-cent loss analysts had anticipated. The social gaming platform operator also saw lower-than-expected revenue amid flat daily active user metrics and engaged gaming hours that fell short of forecasts.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FUN\">Cedar Fair LP</a> (FUN) – Cedar Fair rejected a takeover bid from rival theme park operator SeaWorld Entertainment(SEAS), according to a statement by SeaWorld which confirmed earlier reports of an offer but did not acknowledge the reported $3.4 billion price. Separately, Cedar Fair reported better-than-expected quarterly revenue with record in-park spending by visitors. Cedar Fair stock slid 12.3% in the premarket, while SeaWorld fell 4.2%.</p><p><b>Market News</b></p><p>Mark Zuckerberg unveiled a list of principles for work at <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">Meta Platforms</a> Inc. in which he calls its employees “Metamates.”Meta’s chief executive officer said it is now “a distributed company” and gave a nod to its international nature by saying “we will continue hiring around the world.”</p><p>Vaccine maker Moderna on Tuesday (Feb 15) announced plans to set up a new subsidiary in Singapore, as well as three others in Malaysia, Taiwan and Hong Kong.The new subsidiary will provide local presence to support the delivery of mRNA vaccines and therapeutics in Singapore, the company said in a press release.</p><p>The Singapore Exchange has approved the delisting application for Roxy-Pacific Holdings, as the residential property managing company&#39;s free float has fallen below the 10 per cent threshold.</p><p>Barrick Gold Corp. exceeded earnings estimates, raised dividends and unveiled a share buyback program as the world’s second-largest bullion supplier brings down costs and lifts production.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1119273317","content_text":"U.S. stock index futures eased on Wednesday with retail sales data and minutes of the Federal Reserve's last meeting on investors' radar, while Western skepticism over Russian claims of a pullback of some troops near Ukraine kept caution in the air.Market SnapshotAt 8 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were down 86 points, or 0.25%, S&P 500 e-minis were down 11 points, or 0.25%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 30.5 points, or 0.21%.Pre-Market MoversGenerac (GNRC) – The maker of generators and power equipment saw its stock rise 2.6% in the premarket after beating top and bottom-line estimates for the fourth quarter. Generac earned an adjusted $2.51 per share, 11 cents above estimates, as both commercial and residential sales increased more than 40%.Shopify (SHOP) – Shopify fell 4% in premarket action despite reporting better-than-expected quarterly profit and revenue. The e-commerce platform operator said revenue growth for 2022 would be slower than the 57% it achieved in 2021.The Kraft Heinz Company (KHC) – The food maker’s stock was up 1.3% in the premarket after reporting its adjusted quarterly profit of 79 cents per share beat estimates by 16 cents. Revenue was also above Wall Street forecasts.La-Z-Boy (LZB) – La-Z-Boy tumbled 12.5% in premarket trading after the furniture company reported a quarterly profit of 65 cents per share, well below the 89-cent consensus estimate. The company best known for its signature recliners noted multiple production issues related to Covid-19, leaving it unable to fully satisfy demand.Wynn (WYNN) – Wynn Resorts reported a quarterly loss of $1.37 per share, wider than the $1.25 per share loss expected by Wall Street analysts, although the casino operator’s revenue beat estimates. A nearly 28% drop in Wynn’s Macau revenue weighed on overall results. Wynn fell 2.3% in the premarket.Trade Desk Inc. (TTD) – The stock surged 10.5% in the premarket after the programmatic ad company reported adjusted quarterly earnings of 42 cents per share, 14 cents above estimates, with revenue also topping Wall Street forecasts.Hilton (HLT) – The hotel operator missed estimates by 2 cents with adjusted quarterly earnings of 74 cents per share. Revenue was slightly above estimates as it more than doubled from a year earlier amid a travel recovery.Viacom CBS (VIAC) – ViacomCBS announced it will change its corporate name to Paramount Global, effective Thursday, in an effort to emphasize its Paramount+ streaming service and to take advantage of Paramount’s brand recognition. Separately, the media company reported an adjusted quarterly profit of 26 cents per share, missing the 43-cent consensus estimate. Shares slumped 11.3% in premarket trading.Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) – Airbnb reported record revenue for 2021, better-than-expected fourth-quarter results, and issued an upbeat current-quarter forecast. The home rental company benefited from consumer preferences shifting away from hotels during the pandemic and said current-quarter bookings are likely to exceed pre-pandemic levels for the first time. Airbnb shares rallied 3.5% in the premarket.Roblox Corporation (RBLX) – Roblox stock plummeted 15.2% in premarket action after reporting a loss of 25 cents per share for its latest quarter, nearly double the 13-cent loss analysts had anticipated. The social gaming platform operator also saw lower-than-expected revenue amid flat daily active user metrics and engaged gaming hours that fell short of forecasts.Cedar Fair LP (FUN) – Cedar Fair rejected a takeover bid from rival theme park operator SeaWorld Entertainment(SEAS), according to a statement by SeaWorld which confirmed earlier reports of an offer but did not acknowledge the reported $3.4 billion price. Separately, Cedar Fair reported better-than-expected quarterly revenue with record in-park spending by visitors. Cedar Fair stock slid 12.3% in the premarket, while SeaWorld fell 4.2%.Market NewsMark Zuckerberg unveiled a list of principles for work at Meta Platforms Inc. in which he calls its employees “Metamates.”Meta’s chief executive officer said it is now “a distributed company” and gave a nod to its international nature by saying “we will continue hiring around the world.”Vaccine maker Moderna on Tuesday (Feb 15) announced plans to set up a new subsidiary in Singapore, as well as three others in Malaysia, Taiwan and Hong Kong.The new subsidiary will provide local presence to support the delivery of mRNA vaccines and therapeutics in Singapore, the company said in a press release.The Singapore Exchange has approved the delisting application for Roxy-Pacific Holdings, as the residential property managing company's free float has fallen below the 10 per cent threshold.Barrick Gold Corp. exceeded earnings estimates, raised dividends and unveiled a share buyback program as the world’s second-largest bullion supplier brings down costs and lifts production.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":39,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9091834606,"gmtCreate":1643825119554,"gmtModify":1676533860499,"author":{"id":"3573789293829232","authorId":"3573789293829232","name":"btoh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a7c2d714604fc804a48646ee397f912","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573789293829232","authorIdStr":"3573789293829232"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9091834606","repostId":"2208368356","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2208368356","pubTimestamp":1643804700,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2208368356?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-02-02 20:25","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Better Buy for 2022: Nu Holdings vs. Grab Holdings?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2208368356","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"These two international emerging companies look appealing, but which company would be a better buy today?","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>When it comes to diversifying your portfolio, you have several viable options, including geographic diversification. Buying stocks in companies that operate around the world can even out any adverse economic conditions that might only affect <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> country or region you care about. Inflation, for example, is running high in the U.S. But in Singapore, inflation was just 1.5% in 2021.</p><p>A couple of international stocks you might want to consider for your portfolio are <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GRAB\">Grab Holdings</a></b> (NASDAQ:GRAB) or <b>Nu Holdings</b> (NYSE:NU). Grab is based in Singapore and is looking to become a Southeast Asian super-app. Nu Holdings -- a digital financial services company in Latin America -- is trying to fight the financial complexity that exists in the region today. Both came public via a special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) merger in late 2021, but which company is a better buy for 2022 and beyond? Let&#39;s find out.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eb4e50de912b2d11d2ecb77310877a46\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"465\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p><h2>Grab Holdings</h2><p>Grab wants to become the hub for everyday life for those living in Singapore and the rest of Southeast Asia by offering services that everyone needs daily. The company&#39;s core services -- delivery and ride-hailing -- had over $2.8 billion in gross merchandise volume spent on its platform in the third quarter of 2021. Add all three of its services together and the company has 22 million monthly transacting users, leaving Grab plenty of room for growth in a Southeast Asian population of 679 million.</p><p>Grab&#39;s opportunity is extremely large, but the company has not yet proved it can take full advantage. In the most recent quarter, The company&#39;s revenue decreased 9% year over year to $157 million. Management cited short-term pandemic lockdowns in certain countries as the reason revenue fell, but some of its biggest markets -- like Singapore -- are largely open for business due to the high vaccination rates. And despite being a $21 billion company, Grab&#39;s margin profile is not good. In the first six months of 2021, the company had a gross margin of negative 28% and posted a net loss of over $1.4 billion, a figure that represents 370% of revenue.</p><p>To capitalize on the massive market opportunity and become the dominant super-app in Southeast Asia, Grab is going to need a quick turnaround. It already faces competition in the financial services business from <b>Sea Limited</b> and on the delivery and ride-hailing side is GoTo (a merger of two Southeast Asian behemoths Tokopedia and Gojek). If Grab disrupted both of these companies, it would be an amazing feat, but much harder to accomplish with negative gross margins and low growth.</p><h2>Nu Holdings</h2><p>Nu Holdings is disrupting the digital financial services industry across Latin America. The banking system in Latin America is dominated by five banks that control up to 85% of all banking revenue in Chile, Brazil, and Mexico. This dominance has resulted in almost no innovation in terms of technology, simplicity, or customer satisfaction in decades. Nu is trying to change this.</p><p>The company digitally offers users credit cards services, savings and checking accounts, loan options, investment accounts, and even insurance. These offerings appear to be popular as the three-year compound annual growth rate for customers has been 110% annually, reaching 48 million customers.</p><p>What is more important is Nu&#39;s ability to satisfy customers. The lack of innovation in the space has caused the established banks to get lots of complaints, according to Nu management. It reported that the biggest banks in the region, on average, receive 1,420 complaints per 1 million customers. Nu&#39;s customer-centric approach has resulted in less than 270 per 1 million customers.</p><p>The company has a total addressable market of over 650 million people. The digital bank is going after that market and has already started to see success. In Q3 2021, it grew its revenue 208% year over year to $481 million. Its net loss for the period was just $34 million, which grew just 5% year over year, so the company&#39;s path to profitability looks very strong.</p><h2>Nu: The clear winner</h2><p>Nu looks stronger than Grab in virtually every part of its business, which makes its stock a much better buy today. Nu and Grab have similar market sizes, yet Nu has robust competitive advantages, a better financial position, and much more impressive growth. Nu stock does trade at 42 times sales compared to Grab&#39;s 29 times sales, but Nu&#39;s quality of operations makes that premium valuation worth paying up for.</p><p>There are competitors to Nu in the digital financial services space -- mainly <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MELI\">MercadoLibre</a></b> -- but with such a large opportunity, both Nu and MercadoLibre could win. Nu&#39;s unique approach to tackling the digital financial services market has seen major success. I think that it could continue growing if the company continues to keep its customers happy and expand its product line.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Better Buy for 2022: Nu Holdings vs. Grab Holdings?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBetter Buy for 2022: Nu Holdings vs. Grab Holdings?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-02-02 20:25 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/02/02/better-buy-for-2022-nu-holdings-vs-grab-holdings/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>When it comes to diversifying your portfolio, you have several viable options, including geographic diversification. Buying stocks in companies that operate around the world can even out any adverse ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/02/02/better-buy-for-2022-nu-holdings-vs-grab-holdings/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GRAB":"Grab Holdings"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/02/02/better-buy-for-2022-nu-holdings-vs-grab-holdings/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2208368356","content_text":"When it comes to diversifying your portfolio, you have several viable options, including geographic diversification. Buying stocks in companies that operate around the world can even out any adverse economic conditions that might only affect one country or region you care about. Inflation, for example, is running high in the U.S. But in Singapore, inflation was just 1.5% in 2021.A couple of international stocks you might want to consider for your portfolio are Grab Holdings (NASDAQ:GRAB) or Nu Holdings (NYSE:NU). Grab is based in Singapore and is looking to become a Southeast Asian super-app. Nu Holdings -- a digital financial services company in Latin America -- is trying to fight the financial complexity that exists in the region today. Both came public via a special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) merger in late 2021, but which company is a better buy for 2022 and beyond? Let's find out.Image source: Getty Images.Grab HoldingsGrab wants to become the hub for everyday life for those living in Singapore and the rest of Southeast Asia by offering services that everyone needs daily. The company's core services -- delivery and ride-hailing -- had over $2.8 billion in gross merchandise volume spent on its platform in the third quarter of 2021. Add all three of its services together and the company has 22 million monthly transacting users, leaving Grab plenty of room for growth in a Southeast Asian population of 679 million.Grab's opportunity is extremely large, but the company has not yet proved it can take full advantage. In the most recent quarter, The company's revenue decreased 9% year over year to $157 million. Management cited short-term pandemic lockdowns in certain countries as the reason revenue fell, but some of its biggest markets -- like Singapore -- are largely open for business due to the high vaccination rates. And despite being a $21 billion company, Grab's margin profile is not good. In the first six months of 2021, the company had a gross margin of negative 28% and posted a net loss of over $1.4 billion, a figure that represents 370% of revenue.To capitalize on the massive market opportunity and become the dominant super-app in Southeast Asia, Grab is going to need a quick turnaround. It already faces competition in the financial services business from Sea Limited and on the delivery and ride-hailing side is GoTo (a merger of two Southeast Asian behemoths Tokopedia and Gojek). If Grab disrupted both of these companies, it would be an amazing feat, but much harder to accomplish with negative gross margins and low growth.Nu HoldingsNu Holdings is disrupting the digital financial services industry across Latin America. The banking system in Latin America is dominated by five banks that control up to 85% of all banking revenue in Chile, Brazil, and Mexico. This dominance has resulted in almost no innovation in terms of technology, simplicity, or customer satisfaction in decades. Nu is trying to change this.The company digitally offers users credit cards services, savings and checking accounts, loan options, investment accounts, and even insurance. These offerings appear to be popular as the three-year compound annual growth rate for customers has been 110% annually, reaching 48 million customers.What is more important is Nu's ability to satisfy customers. The lack of innovation in the space has caused the established banks to get lots of complaints, according to Nu management. It reported that the biggest banks in the region, on average, receive 1,420 complaints per 1 million customers. Nu's customer-centric approach has resulted in less than 270 per 1 million customers.The company has a total addressable market of over 650 million people. The digital bank is going after that market and has already started to see success. In Q3 2021, it grew its revenue 208% year over year to $481 million. Its net loss for the period was just $34 million, which grew just 5% year over year, so the company's path to profitability looks very strong.Nu: The clear winnerNu looks stronger than Grab in virtually every part of its business, which makes its stock a much better buy today. Nu and Grab have similar market sizes, yet Nu has robust competitive advantages, a better financial position, and much more impressive growth. Nu stock does trade at 42 times sales compared to Grab's 29 times sales, but Nu's quality of operations makes that premium valuation worth paying up for.There are competitors to Nu in the digital financial services space -- mainly MercadoLibre -- but with such a large opportunity, both Nu and MercadoLibre could win. Nu's unique approach to tackling the digital financial services market has seen major success. I think that it could continue growing if the company continues to keep its customers happy and expand its product line.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":314,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}