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CalvinChong

CalvinChong

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2022-05-17

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2022-05-16

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US stock bull market ends or continues? Wall Street Divided

2022-05-10

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Don't be hurt by the Fed's tightening, keep an eye on these four bellwethers

2022-05-10

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Fed Barkin: Fighting inflation may not necessarily lead to a recession

2022-05-10

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Fed Barkin: Fighting inflation may not necessarily lead to a recession

2022-04-29

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2022-04-28

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Afraid of supply chain challenges, Caterpillar Q1 revenue increases 14%

2022-04-27

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2022-04-20

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2022-04-17

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2022-04-16

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2022-02-04

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Reminder: List of Main Market Closure Arrangements during the Spring Festival Holiday

2021-08-29

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$400 million bargain-hunting Chinese stocks, American retail investors: "Buy Ali in the whole position"!

2021-07-29

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2021-06-26

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"Fresh First Stock" Daily Excellent Fresh Break Opening, falling over 18% at the beginning of the session

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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13:23","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"US stock bull market ends or continues? Wall Street Divided","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2235542298","media":"智通财经","summary":"美国银行技术策略师Stephen Suttmeier认为，始于2013年的美股牛市正进入第10个年头，这种上升趋势可能持续到2027年。这一乐观看法与悲观的华尔街同行形成鲜明对比。Suttmeier表","content":"<p><html><head></head><body><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a>Technical strategist Stephen Suttmeier believes that the U.S. stock bull market, which started in 2013, is entering its 10th year, and this upward trend may continue until 2027. This upbeat view stands in stark contrast to its pessimistic Wall Street peers.</p><p>According to Suttmeier, the bull market that started in 1980 lasted until 2000 (20 years) and the bull market that started in 1950 lasted until 1966 (16 years). On the basis of past bull markets, this round of bull markets that started in 2013 is expected to continue.</p><p>Suttmeier said the prolonged bull market of 1950-1966 began with low interest rates and, as it does now, didn't end until the 10-year rate hit 5%.</p><p>The long-term cycle of the U.S. 10-year Treasury Bond yield is much longer than the long-term cycle of the S&P 500, Suttmeier said. During the bond bull market (declining yields) of 1920-1945, the stock market experienced a bull market followed by a bear market. During the bond bear market (rising yields) of 1945-1981, the stock market also experienced bull and bear markets. During the 1981-2020 bond bull market, the stock market experienced a bull market, a bear market, and the first seven years of another bull market.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ef24453904d28279e365803f568fb633\" tg-width=\"1022\" tg-height=\"707\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Suttmeier said that the 2020 pullback marked the current bull market reaching \"half the time\" and suggested that this upward trend could continue into 2027 (the late 20s).</p><p>This year, the S&P 500 has resistance at 5,000 and support at 4,800.</p><p>But cyclical bear markets weigh on long-term bull markets. Last Friday, the S&P 500 managed to hold its downside test level of 3,800. The 200-week moving average of 3475 points is also a major test point.</p><p>Unlike the optimistic Suttmeier,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">Morgan Stanley</a>Strategist Mike Wilson believes that the bear market rebound has started and the decline in U.S. stocks is not over yet. Wilson expects the S&P 500 to end the year at 3,400.</p><p>In addition,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">Goldman Sachs</a>said a recession would push the S&P 500 to 3,600.</p><p></body></html></p>","source":"stock_zhitongcaijing","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US stock bull market ends or continues? Wall Street Divided</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS stock bull market ends or continues? Wall Street Divided\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">智通财经</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2022-05-16 13:23</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a>Technical strategist Stephen Suttmeier believes that the U.S. stock bull market, which started in 2013, is entering its 10th year, and this upward trend may continue until 2027. This upbeat view stands in stark contrast to its pessimistic Wall Street peers.</p><p>According to Suttmeier, the bull market that started in 1980 lasted until 2000 (20 years) and the bull market that started in 1950 lasted until 1966 (16 years). On the basis of past bull markets, this round of bull markets that started in 2013 is expected to continue.</p><p>Suttmeier said the prolonged bull market of 1950-1966 began with low interest rates and, as it does now, didn't end until the 10-year rate hit 5%.</p><p>The long-term cycle of the U.S. 10-year Treasury Bond yield is much longer than the long-term cycle of the S&P 500, Suttmeier said. During the bond bull market (declining yields) of 1920-1945, the stock market experienced a bull market followed by a bear market. During the bond bear market (rising yields) of 1945-1981, the stock market also experienced bull and bear markets. During the 1981-2020 bond bull market, the stock market experienced a bull market, a bear market, and the first seven years of another bull market.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ef24453904d28279e365803f568fb633\" tg-width=\"1022\" tg-height=\"707\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Suttmeier said that the 2020 pullback marked the current bull market reaching \"half the time\" and suggested that this upward trend could continue into 2027 (the late 20s).</p><p>This year, the S&P 500 has resistance at 5,000 and support at 4,800.</p><p>But cyclical bear markets weigh on long-term bull markets. Last Friday, the S&P 500 managed to hold its downside test level of 3,800. The 200-week moving average of 3475 points is also a major test point.</p><p>Unlike the optimistic Suttmeier,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">Morgan Stanley</a>Strategist Mike Wilson believes that the bear market rebound has started and the decline in U.S. stocks is not over yet. Wilson expects the S&P 500 to end the year at 3,400.</p><p>In addition,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">Goldman Sachs</a>said a recession would push the S&P 500 to 3,600.</p><p></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/723849.html\">智通财经</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/627bc890436e46f74a0fe8143398a725","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF博时","BK4581":"高盛持仓","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","BK4553":"喜马拉雅资本持仓","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","BK4127":"投资银行业与经纪业","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","GS":"高盛","BAC":"美国银行","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","SPY":"标普500ETF","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","BK4552":"Archegos爆仓风波概念","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","OEX":"标普100","BK4207":"综合性银行"},"source_url":"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/723849.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2235542298","content_text":"美国银行技术策略师Stephen Suttmeier认为，始于2013年的美股牛市正进入第10个年头，这种上升趋势可能持续到2027年。这一乐观看法与悲观的华尔街同行形成鲜明对比。Suttmeier表示，始于1980年的牛市持续到2000年(20年)，始于1950年的牛市持续到1966年(16年)，在过去牛市的基础上，本轮始于2013年的牛市有望持续。Suttmeier表示，1950-1966年的长期牛市始于低利率，就像现在一样，直到10年期利率触及5%才结束。Suttmeier表示，美国10年期国债收益率的长期周期比标普500指数的长期周期长得多。在1920-1945年的债券牛市(收益率下降)期间，股市经历了牛市及之后的熊市。在1945-1981年的债券熊市(收益率上升)期间，股市也经历了牛市和熊市。在1981-2020年的债券牛市期间，股市经历了牛市、熊市和另一个牛市的头七年。Suttmeier表示，2020年的回调标志着当前牛市到达“一半时间”，并表明这种上升趋势可以持续到2027年(本世纪20年代末)。今年，标普500的阻力位在5000点，支撑位在4800点。但周期性熊市对长期牛市构成压力。上周五，标普500成功守住3800点的下行测试水平。200周移动均线3475点也是一个重大测试点位。与乐观的Suttmeier不同，摩根士丹利策略师Mike Wilson认为，熊市反弹已开启，美股下跌还未结束。Wilson预计标普500指数年底将收于3400点。此外，高盛表示，经济衰退将推动标普500指数达到3600点。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"161125":0.6,"513500":0.6,"BAC":0.87,"UPRO":0.6,"OEF":0.6,"SH":0.6,"ESmain":0.6,".SPX":0.6,"OEX":0.6,"GS":0.85,"SSO":0.6,"SPY":0.9,"SDS":0.6,"SPXU":0.6,"IVV":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3406,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9065236829,"gmtCreate":1652194904561,"gmtModify":1676535050043,"author":{"id":"3573814781456643","authorId":"3573814781456643","name":"CalvinChong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a70af8809a95756364cc82fcfde2f404","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573814781456643","authorIdStr":"3573814781456643"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"nice","listText":"nice","text":"nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9065236829","repostId":"1133637184","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1133637184","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1652191233,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1133637184?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-10 22:00","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Don't be hurt by the Fed's tightening, keep an eye on these four bellwethers","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1133637184","media":"金十数据","summary":"美联储即将发现，在金融市场崩溃之前，它能将金融市场挤压到什么程度。","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>These four indicators may be the key to whether the Fed can achieve a soft landing... The Fed is about to discover how far it can squeeze financial markets before they collapse.</p><p>Struggling to tame the most widespread inflation in decades, the Federal Reserve last week announced its biggest single rate hike since 2000, while outlining a plan to unwind trillions of dollars in asset purchases. These asset purchase programs have kept global markets plentiful of cash since the economic collapse in 2020.</p><p>The rest of the world's central banks are expected to follow suit soon. Foreign media estimate that in 2022, the total balance sheet of the Group of Seven (G7) central banks will shrink by about 410 billion USD.</p><p>However,<b>All during one of the most volatile periods for the global economy in recent years</b>。 The Russia-Ukraine war and the series of sanctions that have ensued have upended business. Supply chains disrupted by the pandemic have become more strained, and companies have been hit by soaring prices ranging from labor to commodities. The worry now is whether central banks can pull out of previous massive easing without disrupting capital flows and sending the economy into recession.</p><p>While there is no sign of widespread stress yet, some indicators of cross-asset health are approaching danger zones, the analysis notes. All of this points to a bumpy ride ahead for investors as the Federal Reserve withdraws from its unprecedented liquidity measures. Here are the four main warning signs.</p><p><b>1. Inverted U.S. Treasury Yield Curve</b></p><p>Even if the Fed's bond buying spree in the midst of the pandemic distorted the bond market,<b>The U.S. Treasury Bond yield curve has always been Wall Street's most important economic forecaster.</b></p><p>During normal times when the business cycle is in good shape, long bond yields on 10-year bonds will be higher than short bonds because investors need more compensation against the risk that inflation will erode returns in the future. If the opposite happens, where short-term yields are higher than long-term yields, it's called an inversion, suggesting that central banks will eventually have to cut interest rates to save economic growth.</p><p>While not every inversion of the yield curve leads to an economic downturn, the signal is surprisingly accurate if the yield curve of U.S. bonds with more maturities is inverted, especially when the two most talked about yield curves are inverted at the same time. Since the early 1990s, whenever the yield of 3-month and 2-year U.S. bonds has exceeded the yield of 10-year Treasury Bond, the U.S. economy has almost invariably experienced a recession over the next six to 18 months.</p><p>The latest double inversion occurred before the pandemic, but the recent big swings in the yield curve have left Wall Street on the edge of its seat.</p><p>At the end of March and early April, the yields of 2-year and 10-year U.S. bonds briefly inverted, reflecting the market's anxiety about the Fed's aggressive policy tightening, because it may trigger an economic recession by raising the cost of money, thus limiting consumer spending and business activities.</p><p>Meanwhile, the spread between the 3-month U.S. Treasury Bond and 10-year U.S. Treasury Bond yields has been moving in the opposite direction, suggesting that the U.S. investment and consumption outlook remains healthy, giving the Fed room to implement its policy tightening plan.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/959bc789523de2a1ec0ab2873623712f\" tg-width=\"831\" tg-height=\"407\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>For now, fears about the yield curve are everywhere as the end of the era of easy money hits global markets. The tech-heavy Nasdaq is off to its worst start in decades this year, with speculative equity strategies losing billions of dollars and cross-asset volatility rising sharply globally.</p><p>PGIM chief executive David Hunt warned last week that signals from the bond market pointed to a high risk of a recession in 2024, and Citadel's Ken Griffin also said that the current economic outlook is the most uncertain since the' 08 financial crisis.</p><p><b>2.Interruption of credit flows</b></p><p>American companies can no longer borrow at extremely low interest rates, which is the direct effect of the Federal Reserve's cooling of the hot business cycle.</p><p>But when borrowing costs soar too sharply and too quickly, the flow of corporate credit can be disrupted, or even blocked altogether. In extreme cases, even healthy companies can lose access to financing and cause economic havoc. The most recent occurred during the pandemic, when it forced the Federal Reserve to take unprecedented easing action to keep American businesses alive.</p><p>The difference in yields between U.S. investment-grade corporate bonds and Treasury Bond, the most widely watched credit measure, has now risen to 1.35 percentage points from 0.8 percentage points in June 2021, indicating higher borrowing costs but still below a key threshold for stress – 1.5 percentage points.</p><p>Generally speaking,<b>When the spread exceeds 1.5 percentage points, it sends a warning signal that credit markets may fail, making it harder to borrow.</b>In the turbulent years after the global financial crisis and during the pandemic, this indicator exceeded 2 percentage points, which shows that it is a reliable red flag.</p><p>The data shows that when investment-grade credit spreads approach and exceed 2 percentage points, commercial and industrial loan growth for commercial banks almost always contracts with it. This has happened six times since 1989.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7519e9bf9b721c2c3d059f4e7fc8cf13\" tg-width=\"830\" tg-height=\"463\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>For example, in January 2008, the spread on lending to investment-grade companies soared above 2 percentage points for the first time in more than five years, and has remained above that level for nearly two years since then, followed by a prolonged slowdown in the size of industrial and commercial lending. Beginning in November 2008, loans declined for two consecutive years, causing historic damage to the world economy.</p><p>Most recently, during the March 2020 sell-off, credit spreads surged to more than 3.5 percentage points. However, as the Federal Reserve injected liquidity into the financial system and even offered to buy corporate bonds outright, the loosest borrowing conditions ever prompted the size of lending to peak the following year.</p><p>Today, credit spreads are rising again, and corporate debt is starting to become volatile. Investors and businesses alike will be watching to see if borrowing costs will soar into the risk range, disrupting credit flows again.</p><p><b>3. Risk premium of junk bonds</b></p><p>During the pandemic, the Federal Reserve and other central banks took steps to give borrowers with poor balance sheets a respite. For most of two years, credit costs were low and defaults were virtually non-existent. But as interest rates rise, the liquidity feast is quickly coming to an end – with new speculative bond issuance this year falling to its lowest level since 2009.</p><p>For example, Carvana Co.'s recent bond issuance struggled to attract investors, and the used-car company ended up paying a high yield of 10.25% as well as bankruptcy protection clauses, similar cases abound.</p><p>One metric that investors pay close attention to is the additional risk premium required when buying the bonds of the lowest-rated companies relative to the bonds of investment-grade companies.<b>When this premium rises, issuers who need financing the most, especially those with poor credit ratings due to weak cash flow or higher debt burdens than earnings, have higher borrowing costs and harder access to financing.</b></p><p>If companies with limited capital reserves and debt maturity are unable to access the primary market, the chances of default and bankruptcy are greater.</p><p>According to data compiled by foreign media, for most of the post-pandemic period, the borrowing rates of global junk-rated companies were not much higher than those of some of the largest companies (only 2.4 percentage points higher on average in 2021, when credit conditions were the most relaxed ever). This makes it very rare for a business to go bankrupt. But things have begun to shift for now. The risk premium on junk bonds climbed to more than 3 percentage points last week. While this is below the historical average of about 4 percentage points, the pace of liquidity tightening could soon spell trouble for the most vulnerable companies.</p><p><b>The data shows that since 2000, when the risk premium climbed above 5 percentage points and remained above that level for an extended period of time, default rates have almost always been above historical standards.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a9bf6d4a0f1bd4bedb930b2b92decbe\" tg-width=\"830\" tg-height=\"440\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>4. Short-term money market collapse</b></p><p>The Federal Reserve's massive economic stimulus package during the pandemic led to a surplus of liquidity in the financial system, with banks receiving record amounts of cash in the form of reserves. Now, as the Federal Reserve begins to trim its nearly $9 trillion balance sheet, Wall Street is on high alert for the resulting blockage of the financial pipeline.</p><p>When the Fed starts shrinking its asset holdings by not renewing maturing securities, there will be more Treasury Bond and mortgage bonds looking for buyers in the private sector. The amount of reserves held in the banking system will fall.</p><p>No one knows how this will all end up. But after the last time the Fed implemented quantitative tightening, something bad happened in late 2019. Banks' reserves plummeted, causing a disruptive spike in repo rates, the cornerstone of short-term funding markets, which ultimately created liquidity problems and forced central banks to intervene in funding markets.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/797c50110866e8e5a534119fccb7d2ce\" tg-width=\"830\" tg-height=\"409\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Since then, the Fed has implemented other tools to help mitigate these liquidity risks, but things are unpredictable. About two-and-a-half years ago, the total reserves held by thrifts at the Federal Reserve fell to about $1.4 trillion. Although at the time banks considered $700 billion to be the lowest threshold, it was still enough to raise liquidity problems for overnight lending.</p><p>Barclays estimates that,<b>The tipping point this time around $2 trillion</b>(currently $3.3 trillion). But since all this is speculation and there is little historical precedent, it will be a key concern for risk watchers until reserves reach this level.</p><p>All in all, global traders should brace themselves for a disruptive tightening in financial conditions across multiple sectors, from bonds to credit to money markets, as the Fed no longer provides liquidity to markets.</p><p>Scott Minerd, chief investment officer at Guggenheim Partners, told the Milken Institute global conference in Los Angeles:</p><p>\"Historically, we've never been able to reduce inflation by more than 2 percentage points without triggering a recession. I think it's really hard for the Fed to achieve a soft landing.\"</body></html></p>","source":"jssj","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Don't be hurt by the Fed's tightening, keep an eye on these four bellwethers</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDon't be hurt by the Fed's tightening, keep an eye on these four bellwethers\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">金十数据</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2022-05-10 22:00</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>These four indicators may be the key to whether the Fed can achieve a soft landing... The Fed is about to discover how far it can squeeze financial markets before they collapse.</p><p>Struggling to tame the most widespread inflation in decades, the Federal Reserve last week announced its biggest single rate hike since 2000, while outlining a plan to unwind trillions of dollars in asset purchases. These asset purchase programs have kept global markets plentiful of cash since the economic collapse in 2020.</p><p>The rest of the world's central banks are expected to follow suit soon. Foreign media estimate that in 2022, the total balance sheet of the Group of Seven (G7) central banks will shrink by about 410 billion USD.</p><p>However,<b>All during one of the most volatile periods for the global economy in recent years</b>。 The Russia-Ukraine war and the series of sanctions that have ensued have upended business. Supply chains disrupted by the pandemic have become more strained, and companies have been hit by soaring prices ranging from labor to commodities. The worry now is whether central banks can pull out of previous massive easing without disrupting capital flows and sending the economy into recession.</p><p>While there is no sign of widespread stress yet, some indicators of cross-asset health are approaching danger zones, the analysis notes. All of this points to a bumpy ride ahead for investors as the Federal Reserve withdraws from its unprecedented liquidity measures. Here are the four main warning signs.</p><p><b>1. Inverted U.S. Treasury Yield Curve</b></p><p>Even if the Fed's bond buying spree in the midst of the pandemic distorted the bond market,<b>The U.S. Treasury Bond yield curve has always been Wall Street's most important economic forecaster.</b></p><p>During normal times when the business cycle is in good shape, long bond yields on 10-year bonds will be higher than short bonds because investors need more compensation against the risk that inflation will erode returns in the future. If the opposite happens, where short-term yields are higher than long-term yields, it's called an inversion, suggesting that central banks will eventually have to cut interest rates to save economic growth.</p><p>While not every inversion of the yield curve leads to an economic downturn, the signal is surprisingly accurate if the yield curve of U.S. bonds with more maturities is inverted, especially when the two most talked about yield curves are inverted at the same time. Since the early 1990s, whenever the yield of 3-month and 2-year U.S. bonds has exceeded the yield of 10-year Treasury Bond, the U.S. economy has almost invariably experienced a recession over the next six to 18 months.</p><p>The latest double inversion occurred before the pandemic, but the recent big swings in the yield curve have left Wall Street on the edge of its seat.</p><p>At the end of March and early April, the yields of 2-year and 10-year U.S. bonds briefly inverted, reflecting the market's anxiety about the Fed's aggressive policy tightening, because it may trigger an economic recession by raising the cost of money, thus limiting consumer spending and business activities.</p><p>Meanwhile, the spread between the 3-month U.S. Treasury Bond and 10-year U.S. Treasury Bond yields has been moving in the opposite direction, suggesting that the U.S. investment and consumption outlook remains healthy, giving the Fed room to implement its policy tightening plan.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/959bc789523de2a1ec0ab2873623712f\" tg-width=\"831\" tg-height=\"407\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>For now, fears about the yield curve are everywhere as the end of the era of easy money hits global markets. The tech-heavy Nasdaq is off to its worst start in decades this year, with speculative equity strategies losing billions of dollars and cross-asset volatility rising sharply globally.</p><p>PGIM chief executive David Hunt warned last week that signals from the bond market pointed to a high risk of a recession in 2024, and Citadel's Ken Griffin also said that the current economic outlook is the most uncertain since the' 08 financial crisis.</p><p><b>2.Interruption of credit flows</b></p><p>American companies can no longer borrow at extremely low interest rates, which is the direct effect of the Federal Reserve's cooling of the hot business cycle.</p><p>But when borrowing costs soar too sharply and too quickly, the flow of corporate credit can be disrupted, or even blocked altogether. In extreme cases, even healthy companies can lose access to financing and cause economic havoc. The most recent occurred during the pandemic, when it forced the Federal Reserve to take unprecedented easing action to keep American businesses alive.</p><p>The difference in yields between U.S. investment-grade corporate bonds and Treasury Bond, the most widely watched credit measure, has now risen to 1.35 percentage points from 0.8 percentage points in June 2021, indicating higher borrowing costs but still below a key threshold for stress – 1.5 percentage points.</p><p>Generally speaking,<b>When the spread exceeds 1.5 percentage points, it sends a warning signal that credit markets may fail, making it harder to borrow.</b>In the turbulent years after the global financial crisis and during the pandemic, this indicator exceeded 2 percentage points, which shows that it is a reliable red flag.</p><p>The data shows that when investment-grade credit spreads approach and exceed 2 percentage points, commercial and industrial loan growth for commercial banks almost always contracts with it. This has happened six times since 1989.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7519e9bf9b721c2c3d059f4e7fc8cf13\" tg-width=\"830\" tg-height=\"463\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>For example, in January 2008, the spread on lending to investment-grade companies soared above 2 percentage points for the first time in more than five years, and has remained above that level for nearly two years since then, followed by a prolonged slowdown in the size of industrial and commercial lending. Beginning in November 2008, loans declined for two consecutive years, causing historic damage to the world economy.</p><p>Most recently, during the March 2020 sell-off, credit spreads surged to more than 3.5 percentage points. However, as the Federal Reserve injected liquidity into the financial system and even offered to buy corporate bonds outright, the loosest borrowing conditions ever prompted the size of lending to peak the following year.</p><p>Today, credit spreads are rising again, and corporate debt is starting to become volatile. Investors and businesses alike will be watching to see if borrowing costs will soar into the risk range, disrupting credit flows again.</p><p><b>3. Risk premium of junk bonds</b></p><p>During the pandemic, the Federal Reserve and other central banks took steps to give borrowers with poor balance sheets a respite. For most of two years, credit costs were low and defaults were virtually non-existent. But as interest rates rise, the liquidity feast is quickly coming to an end – with new speculative bond issuance this year falling to its lowest level since 2009.</p><p>For example, Carvana Co.'s recent bond issuance struggled to attract investors, and the used-car company ended up paying a high yield of 10.25% as well as bankruptcy protection clauses, similar cases abound.</p><p>One metric that investors pay close attention to is the additional risk premium required when buying the bonds of the lowest-rated companies relative to the bonds of investment-grade companies.<b>When this premium rises, issuers who need financing the most, especially those with poor credit ratings due to weak cash flow or higher debt burdens than earnings, have higher borrowing costs and harder access to financing.</b></p><p>If companies with limited capital reserves and debt maturity are unable to access the primary market, the chances of default and bankruptcy are greater.</p><p>According to data compiled by foreign media, for most of the post-pandemic period, the borrowing rates of global junk-rated companies were not much higher than those of some of the largest companies (only 2.4 percentage points higher on average in 2021, when credit conditions were the most relaxed ever). This makes it very rare for a business to go bankrupt. But things have begun to shift for now. The risk premium on junk bonds climbed to more than 3 percentage points last week. While this is below the historical average of about 4 percentage points, the pace of liquidity tightening could soon spell trouble for the most vulnerable companies.</p><p><b>The data shows that since 2000, when the risk premium climbed above 5 percentage points and remained above that level for an extended period of time, default rates have almost always been above historical standards.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a9bf6d4a0f1bd4bedb930b2b92decbe\" tg-width=\"830\" tg-height=\"440\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>4. Short-term money market collapse</b></p><p>The Federal Reserve's massive economic stimulus package during the pandemic led to a surplus of liquidity in the financial system, with banks receiving record amounts of cash in the form of reserves. Now, as the Federal Reserve begins to trim its nearly $9 trillion balance sheet, Wall Street is on high alert for the resulting blockage of the financial pipeline.</p><p>When the Fed starts shrinking its asset holdings by not renewing maturing securities, there will be more Treasury Bond and mortgage bonds looking for buyers in the private sector. The amount of reserves held in the banking system will fall.</p><p>No one knows how this will all end up. But after the last time the Fed implemented quantitative tightening, something bad happened in late 2019. Banks' reserves plummeted, causing a disruptive spike in repo rates, the cornerstone of short-term funding markets, which ultimately created liquidity problems and forced central banks to intervene in funding markets.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/797c50110866e8e5a534119fccb7d2ce\" tg-width=\"830\" tg-height=\"409\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Since then, the Fed has implemented other tools to help mitigate these liquidity risks, but things are unpredictable. About two-and-a-half years ago, the total reserves held by thrifts at the Federal Reserve fell to about $1.4 trillion. Although at the time banks considered $700 billion to be the lowest threshold, it was still enough to raise liquidity problems for overnight lending.</p><p>Barclays estimates that,<b>The tipping point this time around $2 trillion</b>(currently $3.3 trillion). But since all this is speculation and there is little historical precedent, it will be a key concern for risk watchers until reserves reach this level.</p><p>All in all, global traders should brace themselves for a disruptive tightening in financial conditions across multiple sectors, from bonds to credit to money markets, as the Fed no longer provides liquidity to markets.</p><p>Scott Minerd, chief investment officer at Guggenheim Partners, told the Milken Institute global conference in Los Angeles:</p><p>\"Historically, we've never been able to reduce inflation by more than 2 percentage points without triggering a recession. I think it's really hard for the Fed to achieve a soft landing.\"</body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://xnews.jin10.com/details/93819\">金十数据</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f9e9a265cb0e7e8cb195039b2fe24a4","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://xnews.jin10.com/details/93819","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1133637184","content_text":"这四个指标或是美联储能否实现经济软着陆的关键……美联储即将发现，在金融市场崩溃之前，它能将金融市场挤压到什么程度。为竭力抑制数十年来最普遍的通胀，美联储上周宣布了自2000年以来最大幅度的单次加息，同时概述了一项解除数万亿美元资产购买的计划。自2020年经济崩溃以来，这些资产购买计划让全球市场保持了充足的现金。世界其他央行预计很快也会效仿。外媒估计，在2022年内，七国集团（G7）央行的资产负债表总额将缩减约4100亿美元。然而，这一切都发生在近年来全球经济最不稳定的时期之一。俄乌战争以及随之而来的一系列制裁已经颠覆了商业。因疫情而中断的供应链变得更加紧张，企业受到了从劳动力到大宗商品价格飙升带来的冲击。现在的担忧是，各国央行能否在不扰乱资本流动、使经济陷入衰退的情况下，退出此前的巨量宽松政策。分析指出，虽然目前还没有迹象显示普遍的压力，但跨资产健康状况的一些指标正接近危险区域。所有这些都表明，随着美联储撤出其前所未有的流动性措施，投资者将面临一段坎坷的旅程。以下四个主要的警示信号。1. 倒挂的美债收益率曲线即使美联储在疫情中疯狂购买债券扭曲了债市，美国国债收益率曲线始终是华尔街最重要的经济预测指标。在正常时期当商业周期处于良好状态时，10年期债券的长债收益率将高于短债，因为投资者需要更多的补偿，以应对未来通胀将侵蚀回报的风险。如果相反的情况发生，即短期收益率高于长期收益率，则称为倒挂，表明央行最终将不得不降息以挽救经济增长。虽然并非每一次收益率曲线倒挂都导致经济下滑，但如果更多期限的美债收益率曲线出现倒挂，这个信号则出奇地准确，尤其是当两条最受关注的收益率曲线同时倒挂时。自上世纪90年代初以来，每当3个月期和2年期美债的收益率均超过10年期国债的收益率时，在接下来的6至18个月内，美国经济几乎无一例外地都会出现衰退。最近的双重倒挂发生在疫情之前，但最近收益率曲线的大幅波动让华尔街坐立不安。在3月底和4月初，2年期和10年期美债收益率曾短暂倒挂，反映出市场对美联储积极收紧政策感到焦虑，因为它有可能通过提高货币成本引发经济衰退，从而限制消费者支出以及商业活动。与此同时，3个月期美国国债和10年期美国国债收益率之间的利差一直在向相反的方向移动，暗示美国投资和消费前景依然健康，这给美联储实施其政策收紧计划提供了空间。就目前而言，随着宽松货币时代的结束冲击全球市场，对收益率曲线的担忧情绪随处可见。今年以来，以科技股为主的纳指出现了数十年来最差的开局，投机性股票策略损失了数十亿美元，全球范围内的跨资产波动性大幅上升。PGIM首席执行官大卫·亨特（David Hunt）上周警告说，债券市场的信号表明，2024年经济衰退的风险很大，Citadel的肯·格里芬（Ken Griffin）也表示，目前经济前景是自08年金融危机以来最不确定的。2. 信贷流动的中断美国企业已经不能再以极低的利率借款，而这正是美联储为炙热的商业周期降温的直接作用。但是，当借贷成本飙升得太厉害、太快时，企业信贷的流动可能会受到干扰，甚至完全受阻。在极端情况下，即使是健康的公司也可能会失去融资渠道从而造成经济浩劫。最近一次发生在疫情期间，当时迫使美联储采取前所未有的宽松行动来维持美国企业的生存。美国投资级公司债与国债之间的收益率之差是最广泛关注的信用指标，目前这一利差已经从2021年6月的0.8个百分点上升到1.35个百分点，表明借款成本上升，但仍然低于压力的一个关键门槛——1.5个百分点。通常来说，当利差超过1.5个百分点时，就会发出信贷市场可能失灵的警告信号，使借贷变得更加困难。在全球金融危机后的动荡年份和疫情期间，这一指标曾突破2个百分点，可见其是一个可靠的危险信号。数据显示，当投资级信贷息差接近并超过2个百分点时，商业银行的工商业贷款增长几乎总是会随之收缩。自1989年以来，这种情况出现过6次。例如，在2008年1月，投资级企业的借贷利差5年多来第一次飙升到2个百分点以上，此后在这一水平之上维持了近两年，随后出现了工商业贷款规模的长期放缓。从2008年11月开始，贷款额连续两年下降，给世界经济造成了历史性的损害。最近，在2020年3月的抛售中，信贷利差飙升至逾3.5个百分点。然而，随着美联储向金融体系注入流动性，甚至提出直接购买公司债券，有史以来最宽松的借贷条件在次年促使贷款规模达到顶峰。如今，信贷利差重新上升，公司债务也开始变得波动。投资者和企业都将关注借贷成本是否会飙升至风险区间，从而再次扰乱信贷流动。3.垃圾债风险溢价在疫情期间，美联储和其他央行采取措施，让资产负债表状况不佳的借款人获得了喘息的机会。在两年的大部分时间里，信贷成本低，违约几乎不存在。但随着利率上升，流动性盛宴正迅速结束——今年新发行的投机性债券发行量降至2009年以来的最低水平。举例来说，Carvana Co.最近发行的债券难以吸引投资者，这家二手车公司最终支付了10.25%的高收益率以及破产保护条款，类似的案例比比皆是。投资者密切关注的一个指标是，在购买最低评级公司的债券时，相对于投资级公司的债券所需要的额外风险溢价。当这一溢价上升时，最需要融资的发行者，尤其是那些因现金流疲弱或债务负担高于收益而导致信用评级较差的发行者，借贷成本会更高，也更难获得融资。如果那些资金储备有限、债务即将到期的公司无法进入一级市场，那么违约和破产的可能性就更大。根据外媒汇编的数据，在疫情后的大部分时间里，全球垃圾级公司的借款利率并不比一些最大的公司高多少（在信贷条件是有史以来最宽松的2021年平均仅高出2.4个百分点）。这使得企业破产的情况非常罕见。但目前情况已经开始转变。垃圾债的风险溢价上周攀升至3个百分点以上。虽然这低于约4个百分点的历史平均水平，但流动性收紧的速度可能很快会给最脆弱的公司带来麻烦。数据显示，自2000年以来，当风险溢价攀升至5个百分点以上，并在较长一段时间内保持在这一水平之上时，违约率几乎总是高于历史标准。4. 短期货币市场崩溃美联储在疫情期间的大规模经济刺激计划导致金融系统流动性过剩，银行以储备金的形式获得了创纪录的现金。现在，随着美联储开始削减其近9万亿美元的资产负债表，华尔街对由此导致的金融管道堵塞保持高度警惕。当美联储开始通过不续购到期证券来缩减资产持有量时，将会有更多的国债和抵押贷款债券在私营部门寻找买家。银行系统中持有的准备金数量将会下降。没有人知道这一切最终将如何收场。但上一次美联储实施量化紧缩后，2019年底糟糕的事情发生了。银行的准备金急剧下降，导致作为短期融资市场的基石的回购利率出现破坏性的飙升，最终造成了流动性问题，迫使央行干预融资市场。此后，美联储实施了其他工具来帮助降低这些流动性风险，但世事难料。大约两年半前，储蓄机构在美联储持有的总准备金降至1.4万亿美元左右。尽管当时银行认为7000亿美元是最低的门槛，但这仍足以引发隔夜贷款的流动性问题。巴克莱银行估计，这一次的临界点在2万亿美元左右（目前为3.3万亿美元）。但由于所有这些都是猜测，并没有什么历史先例，因此在外汇储备达到这一水平之前，它将成为风险观察人士关注的一个关键问题。总而言之，随着美联储不再向市场提供流动性，从债券、信贷到货币市场等多个领域的金融状况都将出现破坏性紧缩，全球交易员应该为此做好准备。古根海姆集团（Guggenheim Partners）首席投资官斯科特·迈纳德（Scott Minerd）在洛杉矶举行的米尔肯研究所全球会议上表示：“历史上，我们从未能在不引发衰退的情况下将通胀率降低超过2个百分点。我认为，美联储真的很难实现软着陆。”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2665,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9065238756,"gmtCreate":1652194887375,"gmtModify":1676535050035,"author":{"id":"3573814781456643","authorId":"3573814781456643","name":"CalvinChong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a70af8809a95756364cc82fcfde2f404","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573814781456643","authorIdStr":"3573814781456643"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"nice","listText":"nice","text":"nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9065238756","repostId":"2234694131","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2234694131","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1652190434,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2234694131?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-10 21:47","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Fed Barkin: Fighting inflation may not necessarily lead to a recession","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2234694131","media":"市场资讯","summary":"美国里士满联邦储备银行行长托马斯-巴尔金（Thomas Barkin）称，美联储将把利率提高到既不会刺激也不会抑制需求的水平，然后决定是否必须再进一步。“进入中性利率区间之后，我们可以再判断通胀是否仍","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>Thomas Barkin, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, said that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates to a level that will neither stimulate nor curb demand, and then decide whether it must go further.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca907fafe273a022faf395b90b49a8b8\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"405\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>\"After entering the neutral interest rate range, we can again judge whether inflation is still at a level that requires us to put the brakes on the economy,\" Barkin said in prepared remarks at the Cecil County Chamber of Commerce in Maryland. He estimates that the neutral rate is between 2% and 3%.</p><p>Barkin said, \"You might ask if this path requires a recession like Volcker. Not necessarily. At 83 basis points, we're nowhere near the level of interest rates that constrain the economy.\"</p><p>\"Benefiting from a good corporate and individual balance sheet, the need to replenish low inventories, and the state government being well funded, demand conditions are strong and look set to remain so,\" Barkin added.</p><p>\"Supply chains are already overwhelmed and suppliers are struggling to bring them back into balance,\" he said, adding: \"Inflation is persistently high and widespread.\"</p><p>Barkin does not have a vote in the Federal Open Market Committee this year.</p><p></body></html></p>","source":"sina_symbol","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Fed Barkin: Fighting inflation may not necessarily lead to a recession</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFed Barkin: Fighting inflation may not necessarily lead to a recession\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">市场资讯</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2022-05-10 21:47</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>Thomas Barkin, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, said that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates to a level that will neither stimulate nor curb demand, and then decide whether it must go further.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca907fafe273a022faf395b90b49a8b8\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"405\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>\"After entering the neutral interest rate range, we can again judge whether inflation is still at a level that requires us to put the brakes on the economy,\" Barkin said in prepared remarks at the Cecil County Chamber of Commerce in Maryland. He estimates that the neutral rate is between 2% and 3%.</p><p>Barkin said, \"You might ask if this path requires a recession like Volcker. Not necessarily. At 83 basis points, we're nowhere near the level of interest rates that constrain the economy.\"</p><p>\"Benefiting from a good corporate and individual balance sheet, the need to replenish low inventories, and the state government being well funded, demand conditions are strong and look set to remain so,\" Barkin added.</p><p>\"Supply chains are already overwhelmed and suppliers are struggling to bring them back into balance,\" he said, adding: \"Inflation is persistently high and widespread.\"</p><p>Barkin does not have a vote in the Federal Open Market Committee this year.</p><p></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://cj.sina.cn/article/normal_detail?url=https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2022-05-10/doc-imcwipii9131890.shtml\">市场资讯</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca907fafe273a022faf395b90b49a8b8","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF博时","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","DOG":"道指ETF-ProShares做空","DXD":"两倍做空道琼30指数ETF-ProShares","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","QLD":"2倍做多纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","DDM":"2倍做多道指ETF-ProShares","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","DJX":"1/100道琼斯","OEX":"标普100","PSQ":"做空纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","SPY":"标普500ETF","QID":"两倍做空纳斯达克指数ETF-ProShares","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","BK4581":"高盛持仓",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SDOW":"三倍做空道指30ETF-ProShares","UDOW":"三倍做多道指30ETF-ProShares","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","QQQ":"纳指100ETF"},"source_url":"https://cj.sina.cn/article/normal_detail?url=https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2022-05-10/doc-imcwipii9131890.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2234694131","content_text":"美国里士满联邦储备银行行长托马斯-巴尔金（Thomas Barkin）称，美联储将把利率提高到既不会刺激也不会抑制需求的水平，然后决定是否必须再进一步。“进入中性利率区间之后，我们可以再判断通胀是否仍然在要求我们对经济踩刹车的水平，” 巴尔金在马里兰州塞西尔县商会的有准备发言中表示。他估计中性利率在2%至3%之间。巴尔金说，“你可能会问，这条道路是否需要像沃尔克那样的衰退。不一定。在83个基点，我们距离约束经济的利率水平还很远。”“受益于良好的企业和个人资产负债表，补充低库存的需求，以及州政府资金充裕，需求状况强劲而且看起来会保持如此，”巴尔金补充道。他表示，“供应链已经不堪重负，供应商正在艰难地使它们恢复平衡。”他补充说：“通胀率持续在高位且范围广泛。”巴尔金今年在联邦公开市场委员会没有投票权。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"161125":0.6,"513500":0.6,"QQQ":0.6,"SPY":1,"TQQQ":0.6,"UPRO":0.6,"DOG":0.6,"PSQ":0.6,"SPXU":0.6,"IVV":0.6,"SDOW":0.6,"UDOW":0.6,".IXIC":1,".SPX":0.6,"QID":0.6,"ESmain":0.6,"QLD":0.6,"SH":0.6,"SSO":0.6,"NQmain":0.6,"MNQmain":0.6,".DJI":1,"OEX":0.6,"SDS":0.6,"DJX":0.6,"SQQQ":0.6,"DDM":0.6,"DXD":0.6,"OEF":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3404,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9065238537,"gmtCreate":1652194867329,"gmtModify":1676535050019,"author":{"id":"3573814781456643","authorId":"3573814781456643","name":"CalvinChong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a70af8809a95756364cc82fcfde2f404","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573814781456643","authorIdStr":"3573814781456643"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"nice","listText":"nice","text":"nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9065238537","repostId":"2234694131","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2234694131","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1652190434,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2234694131?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-10 21:47","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Fed Barkin: Fighting inflation may not necessarily lead to a recession","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2234694131","media":"市场资讯","summary":"美国里士满联邦储备银行行长托马斯-巴尔金（Thomas Barkin）称，美联储将把利率提高到既不会刺激也不会抑制需求的水平，然后决定是否必须再进一步。“进入中性利率区间之后，我们可以再判断通胀是否仍","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>Thomas Barkin, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, said that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates to a level that will neither stimulate nor curb demand, and then decide whether it must go further.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca907fafe273a022faf395b90b49a8b8\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"405\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>\"After entering the neutral interest rate range, we can again judge whether inflation is still at a level that requires us to put the brakes on the economy,\" Barkin said in prepared remarks at the Cecil County Chamber of Commerce in Maryland. He estimates that the neutral rate is between 2% and 3%.</p><p>Barkin said, \"You might ask if this path requires a recession like Volcker. Not necessarily. At 83 basis points, we're nowhere near the level of interest rates that constrain the economy.\"</p><p>\"Benefiting from a good corporate and individual balance sheet, the need to replenish low inventories, and the state government being well funded, demand conditions are strong and look set to remain so,\" Barkin added.</p><p>\"Supply chains are already overwhelmed and suppliers are struggling to bring them back into balance,\" he said, adding: \"Inflation is persistently high and widespread.\"</p><p>Barkin does not have a vote in the Federal Open Market Committee this year.</p><p></body></html></p>","source":"sina_symbol","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Fed Barkin: Fighting inflation may not necessarily lead to a recession</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFed Barkin: Fighting inflation may not necessarily lead to a recession\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">市场资讯</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2022-05-10 21:47</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>Thomas Barkin, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, said that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates to a level that will neither stimulate nor curb demand, and then decide whether it must go further.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca907fafe273a022faf395b90b49a8b8\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"405\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>\"After entering the neutral interest rate range, we can again judge whether inflation is still at a level that requires us to put the brakes on the economy,\" Barkin said in prepared remarks at the Cecil County Chamber of Commerce in Maryland. He estimates that the neutral rate is between 2% and 3%.</p><p>Barkin said, \"You might ask if this path requires a recession like Volcker. Not necessarily. At 83 basis points, we're nowhere near the level of interest rates that constrain the economy.\"</p><p>\"Benefiting from a good corporate and individual balance sheet, the need to replenish low inventories, and the state government being well funded, demand conditions are strong and look set to remain so,\" Barkin added.</p><p>\"Supply chains are already overwhelmed and suppliers are struggling to bring them back into balance,\" he said, adding: \"Inflation is persistently high and widespread.\"</p><p>Barkin does not have a vote in the Federal Open Market Committee this year.</p><p></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://cj.sina.cn/article/normal_detail?url=https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2022-05-10/doc-imcwipii9131890.shtml\">市场资讯</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca907fafe273a022faf395b90b49a8b8","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF博时","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","DOG":"道指ETF-ProShares做空","DXD":"两倍做空道琼30指数ETF-ProShares","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","QLD":"2倍做多纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","DDM":"2倍做多道指ETF-ProShares","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","DJX":"1/100道琼斯","OEX":"标普100","PSQ":"做空纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","SPY":"标普500ETF","QID":"两倍做空纳斯达克指数ETF-ProShares","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","BK4581":"高盛持仓",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SDOW":"三倍做空道指30ETF-ProShares","UDOW":"三倍做多道指30ETF-ProShares","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","QQQ":"纳指100ETF"},"source_url":"https://cj.sina.cn/article/normal_detail?url=https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2022-05-10/doc-imcwipii9131890.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2234694131","content_text":"美国里士满联邦储备银行行长托马斯-巴尔金（Thomas Barkin）称，美联储将把利率提高到既不会刺激也不会抑制需求的水平，然后决定是否必须再进一步。“进入中性利率区间之后，我们可以再判断通胀是否仍然在要求我们对经济踩刹车的水平，” 巴尔金在马里兰州塞西尔县商会的有准备发言中表示。他估计中性利率在2%至3%之间。巴尔金说，“你可能会问，这条道路是否需要像沃尔克那样的衰退。不一定。在83个基点，我们距离约束经济的利率水平还很远。”“受益于良好的企业和个人资产负债表，补充低库存的需求，以及州政府资金充裕，需求状况强劲而且看起来会保持如此，”巴尔金补充道。他表示，“供应链已经不堪重负，供应商正在艰难地使它们恢复平衡。”他补充说：“通胀率持续在高位且范围广泛。”巴尔金今年在联邦公开市场委员会没有投票权。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"161125":0.6,"513500":0.6,"QQQ":0.6,"SPY":1,"TQQQ":0.6,"UPRO":0.6,"DOG":0.6,"PSQ":0.6,"SPXU":0.6,"IVV":0.6,"SDOW":0.6,"UDOW":0.6,".IXIC":1,".SPX":0.6,"QID":0.6,"ESmain":0.6,"QLD":0.6,"SH":0.6,"SSO":0.6,"NQmain":0.6,"MNQmain":0.6,".DJI":1,"OEX":0.6,"SDS":0.6,"DJX":0.6,"SQQQ":0.6,"DDM":0.6,"DXD":0.6,"OEF":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3017,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9069185499,"gmtCreate":1651247888654,"gmtModify":1676534878398,"author":{"id":"3573814781456643","authorId":"3573814781456643","name":"CalvinChong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a70af8809a95756364cc82fcfde2f404","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573814781456643","authorIdStr":"3573814781456643"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"nice","listText":"nice","text":"nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9069185499","repostId":"1112519241","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2813,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9060642738,"gmtCreate":1651146576490,"gmtModify":1676534858537,"author":{"id":"3573814781456643","authorId":"3573814781456643","name":"CalvinChong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a70af8809a95756364cc82fcfde2f404","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573814781456643","authorIdStr":"3573814781456643"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice&nbsp;","listText":"Nice&nbsp;","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9060642738","repostId":"1109982343","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1109982343","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"港股挖掘机将每天为您推送最具价值的港股、美股、A股投资资讯！第一时间把握全球政策动向，先人一步了解主流资金流向，监测主力行踪，解读公司公告，追踪活跃个股，让您畅享投资财富盛宴!","home_visible":1,"media_name":"智通财经APP","id":"12","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/361f7f1ca0d64e919035653d64c723ab"},"pubTimestamp":1651146383,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1109982343?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-04-28 19:46","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Afraid of supply chain challenges, Caterpillar Q1 revenue increases 14%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1109982343","media":"智通财经APP","summary":"卡特彼勒于4月28日盘前，公布了2022年第一季度财报。该公司一季度销售额和收入增长14%，至136亿美元，去年同期为119亿美元;营业利润率为13.7%，而2021年第一季度为15.3%;调整后每股","content":"<p><html><head></head><body><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAT\">Caterpillar</a>On April 28, before market bell, it announced its first quarter 2022 earnings results. The company's first-quarter sales and revenue rose 14% to $13.6 billion, compared with $11.9 billion a year ago; Operating margin was 13.7% compared to 15.3% in the first quarter of 2021; Adjusted earnings of $2.88 per share were higher than analysts' forecast of $2.6, compared to earnings of $2.87 per share for the same period in 2021. At press time, Caterpillar was down 2.32% at $209.</p><p>Caterpillar pointed out that the main reasons for the company's revenue growth in the first quarter were the increased demand for equipment and services from end users, the increased inventory of distributors, and the competitive price of products.</p><p>The company ended the first quarter with corporate cash of $6.5 billion. Caterpillar paid about $1.3 billion in short-term incentive compensation in the first quarter. In addition, Caterpillar repurchased $800 million in common stock, paying Dividend $600 million.</p><p>Jim Umpleby, Chairman and CEO of Caterpillar, said: \"I am very proud of the performance of our global team. Despite ongoing supply chain challenges, our team has achieved double-digit sales growth. Going forward, we will continue to fully support our customers and execute our long-term profitable growth strategy.\"</p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Afraid of supply chain challenges, Caterpillar Q1 revenue increases 14%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAfraid of supply chain challenges, Caterpillar Q1 revenue increases 14%\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/12\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/361f7f1ca0d64e919035653d64c723ab);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">智通财经APP </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2022-04-28 19:46</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAT\">Caterpillar</a>On April 28, before market bell, it announced its first quarter 2022 earnings results. The company's first-quarter sales and revenue rose 14% to $13.6 billion, compared with $11.9 billion a year ago; Operating margin was 13.7% compared to 15.3% in the first quarter of 2021; Adjusted earnings of $2.88 per share were higher than analysts' forecast of $2.6, compared to earnings of $2.87 per share for the same period in 2021. At press time, Caterpillar was down 2.32% at $209.</p><p>Caterpillar pointed out that the main reasons for the company's revenue growth in the first quarter were the increased demand for equipment and services from end users, the increased inventory of distributors, and the competitive price of products.</p><p>The company ended the first quarter with corporate cash of $6.5 billion. Caterpillar paid about $1.3 billion in short-term incentive compensation in the first quarter. In addition, Caterpillar repurchased $800 million in common stock, paying Dividend $600 million.</p><p>Jim Umpleby, Chairman and CEO of Caterpillar, said: \"I am very proud of the performance of our global team. Despite ongoing supply chain challenges, our team has achieved double-digit sales growth. Going forward, we will continue to fully support our customers and execute our long-term profitable growth strategy.\"</p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c118f447ec0f1f0ce6060cc2e85ac6a4","relate_stocks":{"BK4149":"建筑机械与重型卡车","BK4516":"特朗普概念","CAT":"卡特彼勒","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","BK4520":"美国基建股"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1109982343","content_text":"卡特彼勒于4月28日盘前，公布了2022年第一季度财报。该公司一季度销售额和收入增长14%，至136亿美元，去年同期为119亿美元;营业利润率为13.7%，而2021年第一季度为15.3%;调整后每股收益为2.88美元，高于分析师预测的2.6美元，2021年同期每股收益为2.87美元。截至发稿，卡特彼勒下跌2.32%，报209美元。卡特彼勒指出，该公司一季度营收增长的主要原因是，终端用户对设备和服务的需求提升，经销商提高了库存，并且产品价格富有竞争力。该公司第一季度末，企业现金为65亿美元。卡特彼勒在一季度支付了约13亿美元的短期激励薪酬。此外，卡特彼勒还回购了8亿美元的普通股，支付股息6亿美元。卡特彼勒董事长兼首席执行官Jim Umpleby表示：“对于我们全球团队的表现，我感到非常自豪。尽管供应链面临持续挑战，但我们的团队仍实现了两位数的销售额增长。今后，我们仍将全力支持我们的客户，并执行长期盈利增长战略。”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CAT":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2664,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9087723444,"gmtCreate":1651060776931,"gmtModify":1676534842052,"author":{"id":"3573814781456643","authorId":"3573814781456643","name":"CalvinChong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a70af8809a95756364cc82fcfde2f404","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573814781456643","authorIdStr":"3573814781456643"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9087723444","repostId":"1150871890","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2750,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9086682692,"gmtCreate":1650449428182,"gmtModify":1676534726345,"author":{"id":"3573814781456643","authorId":"3573814781456643","name":"CalvinChong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a70af8809a95756364cc82fcfde2f404","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573814781456643","authorIdStr":"3573814781456643"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"nice","listText":"nice","text":"nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9086682692","repostId":"1184020140","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2848,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9083731070,"gmtCreate":1650159999205,"gmtModify":1676534658873,"author":{"id":"3573814781456643","authorId":"3573814781456643","name":"CalvinChong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a70af8809a95756364cc82fcfde2f404","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573814781456643","authorIdStr":"3573814781456643"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"thx","listText":"thx","text":"thx","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9083731070","repostId":"1171945540","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4474,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9083201704,"gmtCreate":1650118619012,"gmtModify":1676534650735,"author":{"id":"3573814781456643","authorId":"3573814781456643","name":"CalvinChong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a70af8809a95756364cc82fcfde2f404","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573814781456643","authorIdStr":"3573814781456643"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"nice","listText":"nice","text":"nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9083201704","repostId":"2227983921","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1593,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9091453563,"gmtCreate":1643933279188,"gmtModify":1676533872631,"author":{"id":"3573814781456643","authorId":"3573814781456643","name":"CalvinChong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a70af8809a95756364cc82fcfde2f404","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573814781456643","authorIdStr":"3573814781456643"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"&nbsp;thx","listText":"&nbsp;thx","text":"thx","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9091453563","repostId":"1121905464","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1121905464","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1642411108,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1121905464?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-01-17 17:18","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"Reminder: List of Main Market Closure Arrangements during the Spring Festival Holiday","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1121905464","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"农历新年假期即将来临，部分交易所的开市和收市时间有所变动，敬请各位投资者密切留意。港股：2022年1月31日（星期一）半日交易，下午休市。2022年2月1日（星期二）至2月3日（星期四）休市。美股：","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>The Lunar New Year holiday is approaching, and the opening and closing times of some exchanges have changed. Investors are requested to pay close attention.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2aef2112c6fa0ba265b518492f29cb15\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1085\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>Hong Kong stocks:</b></p><p>Half-day trading on Monday, January 31, 2022, closed in the afternoon.</p><p>Closed from Tuesday, February 1 to Thursday, February 3, 2022.</p><p><b>U.S. stocks:</b></p><p>Open as usual.</p><p><b>A shares:</b></p><p>Closed from Monday, January 31 to Friday, February 4, 2022.</p><p><b>Australian stocks:</b></p><p>Open as usual.</p><p><b>Singapore Market:</b></p><p>Half-day trading on Monday, January 31, 2022, closed in the afternoon.</p><p>Closed from Tuesday, February 1 to Wednesday, February 2, 2022.</p><p><b>Hong Kong Stock Connect:</b></p><p>Southbound Connect will not be available from Thursday, January 27 to Friday, February 4, 2022.</p><p><b>Shanghai Stock Connect and Shenzhen Stock Connect:</b></p><p>Service will not be available Monday, January 31 to Friday, February 4, 2022.</p><p>Service will not be available Monday, January 31 to Friday, February 4, 2022.</p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Reminder: List of Main Market Closure Arrangements during the Spring Festival Holiday</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nReminder: List of Main Market Closure Arrangements during the Spring Festival Holiday\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2022-01-17 17:18</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>The Lunar New Year holiday is approaching, and the opening and closing times of some exchanges have changed. Investors are requested to pay close attention.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2aef2112c6fa0ba265b518492f29cb15\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1085\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>Hong Kong stocks:</b></p><p>Half-day trading on Monday, January 31, 2022, closed in the afternoon.</p><p>Closed from Tuesday, February 1 to Thursday, February 3, 2022.</p><p><b>U.S. stocks:</b></p><p>Open as usual.</p><p><b>A shares:</b></p><p>Closed from Monday, January 31 to Friday, February 4, 2022.</p><p><b>Australian stocks:</b></p><p>Open as usual.</p><p><b>Singapore Market:</b></p><p>Half-day trading on Monday, January 31, 2022, closed in the afternoon.</p><p>Closed from Tuesday, February 1 to Wednesday, February 2, 2022.</p><p><b>Hong Kong Stock Connect:</b></p><p>Southbound Connect will not be available from Thursday, January 27 to Friday, February 4, 2022.</p><p><b>Shanghai Stock Connect and Shenzhen Stock Connect:</b></p><p>Service will not be available Monday, January 31 to Friday, February 4, 2022.</p><p>Service will not be available Monday, January 31 to Friday, February 4, 2022.</p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/752af43ca78e3ed4d3be0dbeaf4ea23c","relate_stocks":{"399001":"深证成指","399006":"创业板指","HSTECH":"恒生科技指数",".DJI":"道琼斯","HSCCI":"红筹指数","000001.SH":"上证指数","HSI":"恒生指数",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","HSCEI":"国企指数","STI.SI":"富时新加坡海峡指数",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1121905464","content_text":"农历新年假期即将来临，部分交易所的开市和收市时间有所变动，敬请各位投资者密切留意。港股：2022年1月31日（星期一）半日交易，下午休市。2022年2月1日（星期二）至2月3日（星期四）休市。美股：照常开市。A股：2022年1月31日（星期一）至2月4日（星期五）休市。澳股：照常开市。新加坡市场：2022年1月31日（星期一）半日交易，下午休市。2022年2月1日（星期二）至2月2日（星期三）休市。港股通：2022年1月27日（星期四）至2月4日（星期五）不提供港股通服务。沪股通、深股通：2022年1月31日（星期一）至2月4日（星期五）不提供服务。2022年1月31日（星期一）至2月4日（星期五）不提供服务。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"399001":0.9,"399006":0.9,"000001.SH":0.9,"HSCCI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"HSI":0.9,"HSTECH":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"HSCEI":0.9,"STI.SI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":938,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":813214708,"gmtCreate":1630204761504,"gmtModify":1676530242797,"author":{"id":"3573814781456643","authorId":"3573814781456643","name":"CalvinChong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a70af8809a95756364cc82fcfde2f404","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573814781456643","authorIdStr":"3573814781456643"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Haha&nbsp;","listText":"Haha&nbsp;","text":"Haha","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/813214708","repostId":"2163079987","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2163079987","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1630200964,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2163079987?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-08-29 09:36","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"$400 million bargain-hunting Chinese stocks, American retail investors: \"Buy Ali in the whole position\"!","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2163079987","media":"中国证券报","summary":"美国散户持续关注中概股中证君近日注意到，在美国散户聚集地“Reddit”等网站上，关于讨论阿里巴巴的帖子热度升温。Wind数据显示，追踪98只中概股走势的纳斯达克金龙中国指数在过去6个月间重挫近40%。但受投资者逢低买入推动，该指数当地时间8月24日大涨8.03%，本周累计涨幅为9.23%。热门中概股中，图森未来本周涨逾47%，雾芯科技、欢聚均涨逾30%，拼多多、京东均涨逾20%。","content":"<p><div>In the face of the recent obvious decline in Chinese stocks, the funds have begun to bargain-hunting. Recently, Zhongzheng Jun noticed that on websites such as \"Reddit\", a gathering place for retail investors in the United States, the posts discussing Alibaba are heating up. Some people shouted \"add positions\", some said \"wait for the buying point signal to appear\", and others said \"Alibaba has reached the best time to buy in full positions\". The Space Technology Theme ETF (ARKX) of ARK Fund founded by Cathie Wood bought more than 160,000 shares of JD.COM ADR on August 23rd, local time, reversing the trend of continuous selling since the end of July. United States...</p><p><a href=\"https://cj.sina.cn/article/normal_detail?url=https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/y/2021-08-29/doc-iktzscyx1008244.shtml\">Web link</a></div></p>","source":"sina_symbol","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>$400 million bargain-hunting Chinese stocks, American retail investors: \"Buy Ali in the whole position\"!</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n$400 million bargain-hunting Chinese stocks, American retail investors: \"Buy Ali in the whole position\"!\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">中国证券报</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-29 09:36</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div>In the face of the recent obvious decline in Chinese stocks, the funds have begun to bargain-hunting. Recently, Zhongzheng Jun noticed that on websites such as \"Reddit\", a gathering place for retail investors in the United States, the posts discussing Alibaba are heating up. Some people shouted \"add positions\", some said \"wait for the buying point signal to appear\", and others said \"Alibaba has reached the best time to buy in full positions\". The Space Technology Theme ETF (ARKX) of ARK Fund founded by Cathie Wood bought more than 160,000 shares of JD.COM ADR on August 23rd, local time, reversing the trend of continuous selling since the end of July. United States...</p><p><a href=\"https://cj.sina.cn/article/normal_detail?url=https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/y/2021-08-29/doc-iktzscyx1008244.shtml\">Web link</a></div></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://cj.sina.cn/article/normal_detail?url=https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/y/2021-08-29/doc-iktzscyx1008244.shtml\">中国证券报</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/468fad6959bf869d187e8f577559a4ab","relate_stocks":{"TTTN":"老虎中美互联网巨头ETF","JD":"京东","QNETCN":"纳斯达克中美互联网老虎指数","PDD":"拼多多","09618":"京东集团-SW"},"source_url":"https://cj.sina.cn/article/normal_detail?url=https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/y/2021-08-29/doc-iktzscyx1008244.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2163079987","content_text":"面对近期跌幅明显的中概股，已有资金开始抄底。\n中证君近日注意到，在美国散户聚集地“Reddit”等网站上，关于讨论阿里巴巴的帖子热度升温。有人喊话“加仓”，有人表示“等待买点信号出现”，还有人称“阿里巴巴到了全仓买入的最佳时间”。\nCathie Wood所创立的ARK基金旗下的太空科技主题ETF （ARKX）于当地时间8月23日买入了超过16万股的京东ADR，扭转了7月底以来连续抛售的态势。\n美国散户持续关注中概股\n中证君近日注意到，在美国散户聚集地“Reddit”等网站上，关于讨论阿里巴巴的帖子热度升温。\n有散户认为：“阿里巴巴即将重拾升势，在150美元价格附近会选择加仓”。也有散户持续关注，表示“等待买点”。\n\n来源：Reddit\n雅虎财经评论区有投资者对阿里巴巴后市十分乐观，称“阿里巴巴到了全仓买入的最佳时间”。\n事实上，7月底，美国散户便扎堆买入中概股。据知名研究和数据监测机构Vanda Research数据，当地时间7月28日，散户投资者在中概股中投入了近17亿美元，扫货标的包括蔚来、小鹏汽车、阿里巴巴等科技股。\n资金开始抄底\nVanda Research当地时间8月25日公布的报告称，在此前5个交易日内，美国散户对中概股的净购买额突破4亿美元。Vanda Research分析师皮耶安东尼表示，自从中概股开始回调以来，散户就增加了逢低买入的力度。\n而前段时间几乎已清仓中概股的Cathie Wood也出现在抄底大军中。Cathie Wood所创立的ARK基金旗下的太空科技主题ETF （ARKX）于当地时间8月23日买入了超过16万股的京东ADR，扭转了7月底以来连续抛售的态势。\nWind数据显示，追踪98只中概股走势的纳斯达克金龙中国指数在过去6个月间重挫近40%。但受投资者逢低买入推动，该指数当地时间8月24日大涨8.03%，本周累计涨幅为9.23%。\n\n来源：Wind\n不少中概股也在本周迎来强劲反弹。据Wind数据，美股市场上的285只中概股中，有232只本周实现上涨，占比超8成。热门中概股中，图森未来本周涨逾47%，雾芯科技、欢聚均涨逾30%，拼多多、京东均涨逾20%。\n\n来源：Wind\n中概互联网巨头有望引领反弹\n分析人士称，抄底资金开始行动的背后，是机构对中概股、尤其是中概互联网巨头后市反弹的看好。\n高盛集团首席亚太股票策略师Timothy Moe指出，受消息面影响，中概股可能保持较大波动 ，但市场恐慌情绪已在股价上有所反映。其回归分析表明，基于纳斯达克金龙中国指数2012年低点画出的3个标准差通道，指数下行空间已经缩小。该指数目前在通道中间以下两个标准差的地方，前3次触及低点时，指数都在这个位置反弹。\nTimothy Moe进一步指出，通过对相对强弱指标（RSI）的分析可知，纳斯达克金龙中国指数已经超卖，而历史显示重返40的关口是做多的信号。自2009年以来，每当单周RSI反弹至40以上，指数通常表现不俗，13周的平均报酬率可达11.5%。\nFirst Shanghai Securities策略师Linus Yip表示，尽管投资者仍然担心潜在的宏观风险，但京东等公司的业绩表现“在一定程度上抵消了一些担忧”。其表示，如果投资者想持有6个月或更长时间，现在这些大型互联网公司的估值看起来很有吸引力。\nAmber HillCapital Ltd资管总监监Jackson Wong表示，目前市场出现大量的抄底资金，同时他们更加偏好于购买像腾讯和阿里巴巴那样的中国互联网巨头。并指出，那些今年跌的最多的互联网公司或将引领一波反弹。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"JD":0.9,"QNETCN":0.9,"TTTN":0.9,"09618":0.9,"PDD":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1132,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":801237800,"gmtCreate":1627518133800,"gmtModify":1703491439924,"author":{"id":"3573814781456643","authorId":"3573814781456643","name":"CalvinChong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a70af8809a95756364cc82fcfde2f404","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573814781456643","authorIdStr":"3573814781456643"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good&nbsp;","listText":"Good&nbsp;","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/801237800","repostId":"1106831355","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1310,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":125131542,"gmtCreate":1624663270286,"gmtModify":1703842918350,"author":{"id":"3573814781456643","authorId":"3573814781456643","name":"CalvinChong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a70af8809a95756364cc82fcfde2f404","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573814781456643","authorIdStr":"3573814781456643"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"?‍♂️","listText":"?‍♂️","text":"?‍♂️","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/125131542","repostId":"1179112703","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1179112703","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1624641115,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1179112703?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-26 01:11","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"\"Fresh First Stock\" Daily Excellent Fresh Break Opening, falling over 18% at the beginning of the session","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1179112703","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"截止2021年3月31日的三个月，每日优鲜净营收为15.302亿元。","content":"<p>On June 25th, \"the first share of fresh e-commerce\"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MF\">Daily Excellent Fresh</a>Officially listed in the U.S. stock market, the company's IPO was priced at $13, and it opened at $10.65 today, with a decline of more than 18% at the beginning of the session, and a total market value of more than $2.5 billion.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a26741e6bf10a3c331c1b43354d5e31c\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Daily Youxian issued a total of 21 million shares (including 24.15 million shares of green shoes) of American Depositary Shares (ADS) in this IPO. Based on the issue price of $13, the fundraising amount of Daily Youxian IPO is about $300 million.</p><p>Xu Zheng, founder and CEO of Daily Fresh, said at the listing ceremony that listing is not the goal and end point of Daily Fresh, but a new starting point for us to fulfill our mission and realize our vision. The digitalization of community retail has come to the eve of the big explosion, and facing the competition in the second half, Daily Youxian will never end to explore the community retail industry.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8a45b68d6410257cdce765e8be0dc67b\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"366\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>Layout the 10 trillion community retail market, the main mode is (A + B) x N</b></p><p>Daily Youxian was established in October 2014. Founders Xu Zheng and Zeng Bin previously worked in<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00992\">Lenovo Group</a>He has served for more than ten years and served as an executive of Lenovo Joyvio Group. In May 2015, Daily Youxian pioneered the immediate retail business in front warehouse, becoming a mobile e-commerce company focusing on providing consumers with high-quality fresh food, covering all categories such as fruits and vegetables, seafood, meat and poultry, milk snacks, etc. As of March 31, 2021, Daily Youxian had established 631 front-end warehouses in 16 cities in China, with a cumulative number of transaction users exceeding 31 million, and provided services delivered in an average of 39 minutes.</p><p>On June 9th, Daily Fresh officially submitted its prospectus to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, the most interesting part of which is to detail this year's updated (A + B) x N strategy (<b>A: Instant retail in front warehouse, B: Smart food market, N: Retail cloud</b>), revealing its ambitions in the larger community retail track. Compared with the past, more people's understanding of daily excellent fresh still stays in fresh online shopping. However, on the eve of listing, Daily Excellent Fresh quietly announced its platform model. The transformation of Daily Excellent Fresh from a vertical self-operated company to a platform is actually from a trading company to a road-building company, and it also places itself in a larger market.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f1b9b7e8f3af7ffa0d9b3758f5340ef\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"698\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>The diversified layout of Daily Excellent Fresh breaks the limited definition of \"fresh e-commerce\". In the future, Daily Excellent Fresh will continue to give full play to its own advantages and always pay attention to market trends, give full play to its own advantages and follow the trend.</p><p>According to the prospectus data, in 2018, the net revenue of Daily Youxian was about 3.546.7 billion yuan, which increased to 6.001.4 billion yuan in 2019 and 6.130.4 billion yuan in 2020. Daily Fresh had a net revenue of RMB1,689.8 million for the three months ended March 31, 2020 and RMB1,530.2 million for the three months ended March 31, 2021. GMV grew from RMB4,725.9 million in 2018 to RMB7,614.7 million in 2020, representing a CAGR of 26.9%. The data shows that the average customer unit price of instant retail in the front warehouse of excellent fresh is 94.6 yuan.</p><p>Daily Fresh pioneered the front-end warehouse model in May 2015. At present, it has opened 631 front-end warehouses in 16 first-and second-tier cities across the country, providing consumers with over 4,300 extremely fast goods and an average service of 39 minutes. At present, its cumulative transaction users are more than 31 million, and its GMV in 2020 is 7.6 billion yuan. In the second half of 2020, Daily Fresh launched the smart food market business, which plans to promote the standardization of the food market and upgrade to a small-scale fresh food community shopping mall. As of May 31, 2021, it had entered into operating agreements with 54 food outlets in 14 cities and commenced operations in 33 food outlets in 10 cities.</p><p>In addition, the prospectus data shows that the average customer unit price of 94.6 yuan per day is the highest in the industry, the performance expense ratio continues to drop from 34.9% in 2018 to 25.7% in 2020, and the performance profit margin (gross profit margin minus performance expense ratio) is higher than the industry average.</p><p><b>Community retail digitalization has come to the eve of the big explosion</b></p><p>In terms of users, from 2018 to 2020, the number of daily effective users of Youxian was 5.1 million, 7.2 million and 8.7 million respectively, and the average consumption of effective users was 558.0 yuan, 690.4 yuan and 712.8 yuan respectively. Given that Daily Fresh defines effective users as \"transaction users whose product payment after deducting discounts and coupons is greater than the cost of related products sold\", it thus has a group of positive profit-contributing users whose number and transaction volume are increasing year by year.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d67526d2a1198afcce6a244be378ea5f\" tg-width=\"590\" tg-height=\"353\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>In addition, the average daily customer unit price of excellent fresh is 94.6 yuan, which is higher than that of other front-end warehouse enterprises in the industry. Its core users (users who have placed orders four times or more in at least one month in a certain year) accounted for 21.1% in 2020 from 14.9% in 2018. As of March 31, 2021, the annual consumption of core users reached 2,106 yuan.</p><p>Xu Zheng mentioned in his speech, \"Although today is an important moment in the seven years since Youxian started its business, as an enterprise with the goal of creating value continuously, frantically and for a long time, I hope that every Youxian person can maintain the entrepreneurial mentality of Always Day One.\"</p><p>He said that as an enterprise with the goal of pursuing long-term value, Daily Youxian will maintain the mentality of always day one and continue to explore in the field of community retail digitalization, so that more families can enjoy high-quality shopping experience and help more merchants achieve efficient management and operation.</p><p>The digitalization of community retail is the largest and fastest growing market in China in the future. According to iResearch data, from 2020 to 2025, the scale of community retail industry is expected to increase from 11.9 trillion to 15.7 trillion, and the online penetration rate of community retail will increase from 20.9% to 45.5%, which means that by 2025, the scale of China's digital community retail industry will reach 7.2 trillion.</p><p>As Xu Zheng said, listing is a new starting point. The digitalization of community retail has come to the eve of the big outbreak. In the second half of the competition, community retail platforms are facing not only business disputes, but also capital disputes.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>\"Fresh First Stock\" Daily Excellent Fresh Break Opening, falling over 18% at the beginning of the session</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n\"Fresh First Stock\" Daily Excellent Fresh Break Opening, falling over 18% at the beginning of the session\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-26 01:11</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>On June 25th, \"the first share of fresh e-commerce\"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MF\">Daily Excellent Fresh</a>Officially listed in the U.S. stock market, the company's IPO was priced at $13, and it opened at $10.65 today, with a decline of more than 18% at the beginning of the session, and a total market value of more than $2.5 billion.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a26741e6bf10a3c331c1b43354d5e31c\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Daily Youxian issued a total of 21 million shares (including 24.15 million shares of green shoes) of American Depositary Shares (ADS) in this IPO. Based on the issue price of $13, the fundraising amount of Daily Youxian IPO is about $300 million.</p><p>Xu Zheng, founder and CEO of Daily Fresh, said at the listing ceremony that listing is not the goal and end point of Daily Fresh, but a new starting point for us to fulfill our mission and realize our vision. The digitalization of community retail has come to the eve of the big explosion, and facing the competition in the second half, Daily Youxian will never end to explore the community retail industry.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8a45b68d6410257cdce765e8be0dc67b\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"366\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>Layout the 10 trillion community retail market, the main mode is (A + B) x N</b></p><p>Daily Youxian was established in October 2014. Founders Xu Zheng and Zeng Bin previously worked in<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00992\">Lenovo Group</a>He has served for more than ten years and served as an executive of Lenovo Joyvio Group. In May 2015, Daily Youxian pioneered the immediate retail business in front warehouse, becoming a mobile e-commerce company focusing on providing consumers with high-quality fresh food, covering all categories such as fruits and vegetables, seafood, meat and poultry, milk snacks, etc. As of March 31, 2021, Daily Youxian had established 631 front-end warehouses in 16 cities in China, with a cumulative number of transaction users exceeding 31 million, and provided services delivered in an average of 39 minutes.</p><p>On June 9th, Daily Fresh officially submitted its prospectus to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, the most interesting part of which is to detail this year's updated (A + B) x N strategy (<b>A: Instant retail in front warehouse, B: Smart food market, N: Retail cloud</b>), revealing its ambitions in the larger community retail track. Compared with the past, more people's understanding of daily excellent fresh still stays in fresh online shopping. However, on the eve of listing, Daily Excellent Fresh quietly announced its platform model. The transformation of Daily Excellent Fresh from a vertical self-operated company to a platform is actually from a trading company to a road-building company, and it also places itself in a larger market.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f1b9b7e8f3af7ffa0d9b3758f5340ef\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"698\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>The diversified layout of Daily Excellent Fresh breaks the limited definition of \"fresh e-commerce\". In the future, Daily Excellent Fresh will continue to give full play to its own advantages and always pay attention to market trends, give full play to its own advantages and follow the trend.</p><p>According to the prospectus data, in 2018, the net revenue of Daily Youxian was about 3.546.7 billion yuan, which increased to 6.001.4 billion yuan in 2019 and 6.130.4 billion yuan in 2020. Daily Fresh had a net revenue of RMB1,689.8 million for the three months ended March 31, 2020 and RMB1,530.2 million for the three months ended March 31, 2021. GMV grew from RMB4,725.9 million in 2018 to RMB7,614.7 million in 2020, representing a CAGR of 26.9%. The data shows that the average customer unit price of instant retail in the front warehouse of excellent fresh is 94.6 yuan.</p><p>Daily Fresh pioneered the front-end warehouse model in May 2015. At present, it has opened 631 front-end warehouses in 16 first-and second-tier cities across the country, providing consumers with over 4,300 extremely fast goods and an average service of 39 minutes. At present, its cumulative transaction users are more than 31 million, and its GMV in 2020 is 7.6 billion yuan. In the second half of 2020, Daily Fresh launched the smart food market business, which plans to promote the standardization of the food market and upgrade to a small-scale fresh food community shopping mall. As of May 31, 2021, it had entered into operating agreements with 54 food outlets in 14 cities and commenced operations in 33 food outlets in 10 cities.</p><p>In addition, the prospectus data shows that the average customer unit price of 94.6 yuan per day is the highest in the industry, the performance expense ratio continues to drop from 34.9% in 2018 to 25.7% in 2020, and the performance profit margin (gross profit margin minus performance expense ratio) is higher than the industry average.</p><p><b>Community retail digitalization has come to the eve of the big explosion</b></p><p>In terms of users, from 2018 to 2020, the number of daily effective users of Youxian was 5.1 million, 7.2 million and 8.7 million respectively, and the average consumption of effective users was 558.0 yuan, 690.4 yuan and 712.8 yuan respectively. Given that Daily Fresh defines effective users as \"transaction users whose product payment after deducting discounts and coupons is greater than the cost of related products sold\", it thus has a group of positive profit-contributing users whose number and transaction volume are increasing year by year.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d67526d2a1198afcce6a244be378ea5f\" tg-width=\"590\" tg-height=\"353\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>In addition, the average daily customer unit price of excellent fresh is 94.6 yuan, which is higher than that of other front-end warehouse enterprises in the industry. Its core users (users who have placed orders four times or more in at least one month in a certain year) accounted for 21.1% in 2020 from 14.9% in 2018. As of March 31, 2021, the annual consumption of core users reached 2,106 yuan.</p><p>Xu Zheng mentioned in his speech, \"Although today is an important moment in the seven years since Youxian started its business, as an enterprise with the goal of creating value continuously, frantically and for a long time, I hope that every Youxian person can maintain the entrepreneurial mentality of Always Day One.\"</p><p>He said that as an enterprise with the goal of pursuing long-term value, Daily Youxian will maintain the mentality of always day one and continue to explore in the field of community retail digitalization, so that more families can enjoy high-quality shopping experience and help more merchants achieve efficient management and operation.</p><p>The digitalization of community retail is the largest and fastest growing market in China in the future. According to iResearch data, from 2020 to 2025, the scale of community retail industry is expected to increase from 11.9 trillion to 15.7 trillion, and the online penetration rate of community retail will increase from 20.9% to 45.5%, which means that by 2025, the scale of China's digital community retail industry will reach 7.2 trillion.</p><p>As Xu Zheng said, listing is a new starting point. The digitalization of community retail has come to the eve of the big outbreak. In the second half of the competition, community retail platforms are facing not only business disputes, but also capital disputes.</p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26dac0b9aef9b62cf45137413315ab61","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1179112703","content_text":"6月25日，“生鲜电商第一股”每日优鲜正式登陆美股，公司IPO定价13美元，今日开盘报10.65美元，盘初跌幅超18%，总市值超25亿美元。\n\n每日优鲜在本次IPO中总计发行2100万股（含绿鞋2415万股）美国存托股票（ADS），以13美元发行价计算，每日优鲜IPO募资额约为3亿美元。\n每日优鲜创始人兼CEO徐正在上市仪式上表示，上市并不是每日优鲜的目标和终点，而是我们践行使命、实现愿景的新起点。社区零售数字化已经来到大爆发的前夜，面临着下半场的竞争，每日优鲜将永无止境地在社区零售的行业探索。\n\n布局10万亿的社区零售市场，主要模式为（A+B）x N\n每日优鲜成立于2014年10月，创始人徐正和曾斌此前曾在联想集团供职十余年，并出任联想佳沃集团高管。2015年5月，每日优鲜首创前置仓即时零售业务，成为一家专注于为消费者提供优质生鲜的移动电商，覆盖水果蔬菜、海鲜肉禽、牛奶零食等全品类。截至2021年3月31日，每日优鲜已在中国16个城市建立了631个前置仓，累计交易用户超3100万，并提供平均39分钟达的服务。\n6月9日，每日优鲜正式向美国证券交易委员会递交招股说明书，其中最有意思的部分则是详细展示了今年更新的（A+B）x N 战略（A：前置仓即时零售，B：智慧菜场，N：零售云），透露了其在更大的社区零售赛道中的野心。相比以往，更多人对每日优鲜的理解还停留在生鲜网购。但上市前夕的每日优鲜，悄然了宣告自己的平台化模式，每日优鲜从垂直自营公司到平台化的转型，其实就是从贸易型公司转向筑路型公司，而它也将自己置身于一个更大的市场里。\n\n每日优鲜的多元化布局，打破了其“生鲜电商”的局限定义，在未来每日优鲜会继续发挥自身的优势比并且时刻关注市场动向，发挥自身的优势，顺势而为。\n招股书数据显示，2018年，每日优鲜的净营收约为35.467亿元，2019年增至60.014亿元，2020年达到61.304亿元。截止2020年3月31日的三个月，每日优鲜的净营收为16.898亿元，截止2021年3月31日的三个月，净营收为15.302亿元。GMV从2018年的47.259亿元增长到2020年的76.147亿元人民币，复合年增长率为26.9%。数据显示，每日优鲜前置仓即时零售的平均客单价为94.6元。\n每日优鲜于2015年5月首创前置仓模式，目前已在全国16个一二线城市开设631个前置仓，为消费者提供超4300款极速达商品、平均39分钟达的服务。目前其累计交易用户3100多万，2020年GMV76亿元。2020年下半年，每日优鲜推出智慧菜场业务，计划推动菜市场标准化以及向小型生鲜社区商场升级。截至2021年5月31日，其已与14个城市的54家菜场签订运营协议，并在10个城市的33家菜场展开运营。\n另外，招股书数据显示，每日优鲜94.6元的平均客单价为行业最高，履约费用率从2018年的34.9%持续降至2020年的25.7%，履约利润率（毛利率扣除履约费用率）高于行业平均水平。\n社区零售数字化已经来到大爆发的前夜\n在用户方面，从2018年到2020年，每日优鲜有效用户数量分别为510万、720万和 870万，有效用户平均消费额别为558.0元、690.4元和712.8元。鉴于每日优鲜将有效用户定义为“扣除折扣和优惠券后产品付款大于相关销售产品成本的交易用户”，它因此拥有一批数量和交易额均逐年增加的正向利润贡献用户。\n\n此外，每日优鲜平均客单价为94.6元，高于行业其他前置仓企业。其核心用户（某一年份至少一个月内下单4次或以上的用户）在交易用户中的占比从2018年的14.9%，增加到2020年的21.1%，截至2021年3月31日，核心用户年消费额达2106元。\n徐正在演讲中提到，“尽管今天是优鲜创业7年来的重要时刻，但作为一家以持续地、疯狂地、长期地创造价值为目标的企业，我希望每个优鲜人都能保持Always Day One的创业心态。”\n他表示，作为一家以追求长期价值为目标的企业，每日优鲜会保持always day one的心态，继续在社区零售数字化领域做探索，让更多家庭享受到优质购物体验，帮助更多商家实现高效管理和运营。\n社区零售数字化是未来中国增量最大、增速最快的市场。根据艾瑞咨询数据，从2020年到2025年，社区零售行业规模预计会从11.9万亿增至15.7万亿，社区零售线上化渗透率则会从20.9%增至45.5%，这意味着到2025年，中国数字化社区零售的行业规模将达到7.2万亿。\n正如徐正所说，上市是新起点。社区零售数字化已经来到大爆发的前夜，在下半场的竞争中，社区零售平台们，面临的不仅仅是业务之争，还有资本之争。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MF":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1122,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9083731070,"gmtCreate":1650159999205,"gmtModify":1676534658873,"author":{"id":"3573814781456643","authorId":"3573814781456643","name":"CalvinChong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a70af8809a95756364cc82fcfde2f404","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573814781456643","authorIdStr":"3573814781456643"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"thx","listText":"thx","text":"thx","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9083731070","repostId":"1171945540","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4474,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9091453563,"gmtCreate":1643933279188,"gmtModify":1676533872631,"author":{"id":"3573814781456643","authorId":"3573814781456643","name":"CalvinChong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a70af8809a95756364cc82fcfde2f404","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573814781456643","authorIdStr":"3573814781456643"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"&nbsp;thx","listText":"&nbsp;thx","text":"thx","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9091453563","repostId":"1121905464","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1121905464","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1642411108,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1121905464?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-01-17 17:18","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"Reminder: List of Main Market Closure Arrangements during the Spring Festival Holiday","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1121905464","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"农历新年假期即将来临，部分交易所的开市和收市时间有所变动，敬请各位投资者密切留意。港股：2022年1月31日（星期一）半日交易，下午休市。2022年2月1日（星期二）至2月3日（星期四）休市。美股：","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>The Lunar New Year holiday is approaching, and the opening and closing times of some exchanges have changed. Investors are requested to pay close attention.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2aef2112c6fa0ba265b518492f29cb15\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1085\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>Hong Kong stocks:</b></p><p>Half-day trading on Monday, January 31, 2022, closed in the afternoon.</p><p>Closed from Tuesday, February 1 to Thursday, February 3, 2022.</p><p><b>U.S. stocks:</b></p><p>Open as usual.</p><p><b>A shares:</b></p><p>Closed from Monday, January 31 to Friday, February 4, 2022.</p><p><b>Australian stocks:</b></p><p>Open as usual.</p><p><b>Singapore Market:</b></p><p>Half-day trading on Monday, January 31, 2022, closed in the afternoon.</p><p>Closed from Tuesday, February 1 to Wednesday, February 2, 2022.</p><p><b>Hong Kong Stock Connect:</b></p><p>Southbound Connect will not be available from Thursday, January 27 to Friday, February 4, 2022.</p><p><b>Shanghai Stock Connect and Shenzhen Stock Connect:</b></p><p>Service will not be available Monday, January 31 to Friday, February 4, 2022.</p><p>Service will not be available Monday, January 31 to Friday, February 4, 2022.</p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Reminder: List of Main Market Closure Arrangements during the Spring Festival Holiday</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nReminder: List of Main Market Closure Arrangements during the Spring Festival Holiday\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2022-01-17 17:18</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>The Lunar New Year holiday is approaching, and the opening and closing times of some exchanges have changed. Investors are requested to pay close attention.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2aef2112c6fa0ba265b518492f29cb15\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1085\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>Hong Kong stocks:</b></p><p>Half-day trading on Monday, January 31, 2022, closed in the afternoon.</p><p>Closed from Tuesday, February 1 to Thursday, February 3, 2022.</p><p><b>U.S. stocks:</b></p><p>Open as usual.</p><p><b>A shares:</b></p><p>Closed from Monday, January 31 to Friday, February 4, 2022.</p><p><b>Australian stocks:</b></p><p>Open as usual.</p><p><b>Singapore Market:</b></p><p>Half-day trading on Monday, January 31, 2022, closed in the afternoon.</p><p>Closed from Tuesday, February 1 to Wednesday, February 2, 2022.</p><p><b>Hong Kong Stock Connect:</b></p><p>Southbound Connect will not be available from Thursday, January 27 to Friday, February 4, 2022.</p><p><b>Shanghai Stock Connect and Shenzhen Stock Connect:</b></p><p>Service will not be available Monday, January 31 to Friday, February 4, 2022.</p><p>Service will not be available Monday, January 31 to Friday, February 4, 2022.</p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/752af43ca78e3ed4d3be0dbeaf4ea23c","relate_stocks":{"399001":"深证成指","399006":"创业板指","HSTECH":"恒生科技指数",".DJI":"道琼斯","HSCCI":"红筹指数","000001.SH":"上证指数","HSI":"恒生指数",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","HSCEI":"国企指数","STI.SI":"富时新加坡海峡指数",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1121905464","content_text":"农历新年假期即将来临，部分交易所的开市和收市时间有所变动，敬请各位投资者密切留意。港股：2022年1月31日（星期一）半日交易，下午休市。2022年2月1日（星期二）至2月3日（星期四）休市。美股：照常开市。A股：2022年1月31日（星期一）至2月4日（星期五）休市。澳股：照常开市。新加坡市场：2022年1月31日（星期一）半日交易，下午休市。2022年2月1日（星期二）至2月2日（星期三）休市。港股通：2022年1月27日（星期四）至2月4日（星期五）不提供港股通服务。沪股通、深股通：2022年1月31日（星期一）至2月4日（星期五）不提供服务。2022年1月31日（星期一）至2月4日（星期五）不提供服务。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"399001":0.9,"399006":0.9,"000001.SH":0.9,"HSCCI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"HSI":0.9,"HSTECH":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"HSCEI":0.9,"STI.SI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":938,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":801237800,"gmtCreate":1627518133800,"gmtModify":1703491439924,"author":{"id":"3573814781456643","authorId":"3573814781456643","name":"CalvinChong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a70af8809a95756364cc82fcfde2f404","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573814781456643","authorIdStr":"3573814781456643"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good&nbsp;","listText":"Good&nbsp;","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/801237800","repostId":"1106831355","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1310,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":813214708,"gmtCreate":1630204761504,"gmtModify":1676530242797,"author":{"id":"3573814781456643","authorId":"3573814781456643","name":"CalvinChong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a70af8809a95756364cc82fcfde2f404","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573814781456643","authorIdStr":"3573814781456643"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Haha&nbsp;","listText":"Haha&nbsp;","text":"Haha","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/813214708","repostId":"2163079987","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2163079987","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1630200964,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2163079987?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-08-29 09:36","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"$400 million bargain-hunting Chinese stocks, American retail investors: \"Buy Ali in the whole position\"!","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2163079987","media":"中国证券报","summary":"美国散户持续关注中概股中证君近日注意到，在美国散户聚集地“Reddit”等网站上，关于讨论阿里巴巴的帖子热度升温。Wind数据显示，追踪98只中概股走势的纳斯达克金龙中国指数在过去6个月间重挫近40%。但受投资者逢低买入推动，该指数当地时间8月24日大涨8.03%，本周累计涨幅为9.23%。热门中概股中，图森未来本周涨逾47%，雾芯科技、欢聚均涨逾30%，拼多多、京东均涨逾20%。","content":"<p><div>In the face of the recent obvious decline in Chinese stocks, the funds have begun to bargain-hunting. Recently, Zhongzheng Jun noticed that on websites such as \"Reddit\", a gathering place for retail investors in the United States, the posts discussing Alibaba are heating up. Some people shouted \"add positions\", some said \"wait for the buying point signal to appear\", and others said \"Alibaba has reached the best time to buy in full positions\". The Space Technology Theme ETF (ARKX) of ARK Fund founded by Cathie Wood bought more than 160,000 shares of JD.COM ADR on August 23rd, local time, reversing the trend of continuous selling since the end of July. United States...</p><p><a href=\"https://cj.sina.cn/article/normal_detail?url=https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/y/2021-08-29/doc-iktzscyx1008244.shtml\">Web link</a></div></p>","source":"sina_symbol","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>$400 million bargain-hunting Chinese stocks, American retail investors: \"Buy Ali in the whole position\"!</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n$400 million bargain-hunting Chinese stocks, American retail investors: \"Buy Ali in the whole position\"!\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">中国证券报</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-29 09:36</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div>In the face of the recent obvious decline in Chinese stocks, the funds have begun to bargain-hunting. Recently, Zhongzheng Jun noticed that on websites such as \"Reddit\", a gathering place for retail investors in the United States, the posts discussing Alibaba are heating up. Some people shouted \"add positions\", some said \"wait for the buying point signal to appear\", and others said \"Alibaba has reached the best time to buy in full positions\". The Space Technology Theme ETF (ARKX) of ARK Fund founded by Cathie Wood bought more than 160,000 shares of JD.COM ADR on August 23rd, local time, reversing the trend of continuous selling since the end of July. United States...</p><p><a href=\"https://cj.sina.cn/article/normal_detail?url=https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/y/2021-08-29/doc-iktzscyx1008244.shtml\">Web link</a></div></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://cj.sina.cn/article/normal_detail?url=https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/y/2021-08-29/doc-iktzscyx1008244.shtml\">中国证券报</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/468fad6959bf869d187e8f577559a4ab","relate_stocks":{"TTTN":"老虎中美互联网巨头ETF","JD":"京东","QNETCN":"纳斯达克中美互联网老虎指数","PDD":"拼多多","09618":"京东集团-SW"},"source_url":"https://cj.sina.cn/article/normal_detail?url=https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/y/2021-08-29/doc-iktzscyx1008244.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2163079987","content_text":"面对近期跌幅明显的中概股，已有资金开始抄底。\n中证君近日注意到，在美国散户聚集地“Reddit”等网站上，关于讨论阿里巴巴的帖子热度升温。有人喊话“加仓”，有人表示“等待买点信号出现”，还有人称“阿里巴巴到了全仓买入的最佳时间”。\nCathie Wood所创立的ARK基金旗下的太空科技主题ETF （ARKX）于当地时间8月23日买入了超过16万股的京东ADR，扭转了7月底以来连续抛售的态势。\n美国散户持续关注中概股\n中证君近日注意到，在美国散户聚集地“Reddit”等网站上，关于讨论阿里巴巴的帖子热度升温。\n有散户认为：“阿里巴巴即将重拾升势，在150美元价格附近会选择加仓”。也有散户持续关注，表示“等待买点”。\n\n来源：Reddit\n雅虎财经评论区有投资者对阿里巴巴后市十分乐观，称“阿里巴巴到了全仓买入的最佳时间”。\n事实上，7月底，美国散户便扎堆买入中概股。据知名研究和数据监测机构Vanda Research数据，当地时间7月28日，散户投资者在中概股中投入了近17亿美元，扫货标的包括蔚来、小鹏汽车、阿里巴巴等科技股。\n资金开始抄底\nVanda Research当地时间8月25日公布的报告称，在此前5个交易日内，美国散户对中概股的净购买额突破4亿美元。Vanda Research分析师皮耶安东尼表示，自从中概股开始回调以来，散户就增加了逢低买入的力度。\n而前段时间几乎已清仓中概股的Cathie Wood也出现在抄底大军中。Cathie Wood所创立的ARK基金旗下的太空科技主题ETF （ARKX）于当地时间8月23日买入了超过16万股的京东ADR，扭转了7月底以来连续抛售的态势。\nWind数据显示，追踪98只中概股走势的纳斯达克金龙中国指数在过去6个月间重挫近40%。但受投资者逢低买入推动，该指数当地时间8月24日大涨8.03%，本周累计涨幅为9.23%。\n\n来源：Wind\n不少中概股也在本周迎来强劲反弹。据Wind数据，美股市场上的285只中概股中，有232只本周实现上涨，占比超8成。热门中概股中，图森未来本周涨逾47%，雾芯科技、欢聚均涨逾30%，拼多多、京东均涨逾20%。\n\n来源：Wind\n中概互联网巨头有望引领反弹\n分析人士称，抄底资金开始行动的背后，是机构对中概股、尤其是中概互联网巨头后市反弹的看好。\n高盛集团首席亚太股票策略师Timothy Moe指出，受消息面影响，中概股可能保持较大波动 ，但市场恐慌情绪已在股价上有所反映。其回归分析表明，基于纳斯达克金龙中国指数2012年低点画出的3个标准差通道，指数下行空间已经缩小。该指数目前在通道中间以下两个标准差的地方，前3次触及低点时，指数都在这个位置反弹。\nTimothy Moe进一步指出，通过对相对强弱指标（RSI）的分析可知，纳斯达克金龙中国指数已经超卖，而历史显示重返40的关口是做多的信号。自2009年以来，每当单周RSI反弹至40以上，指数通常表现不俗，13周的平均报酬率可达11.5%。\nFirst Shanghai Securities策略师Linus Yip表示，尽管投资者仍然担心潜在的宏观风险，但京东等公司的业绩表现“在一定程度上抵消了一些担忧”。其表示，如果投资者想持有6个月或更长时间，现在这些大型互联网公司的估值看起来很有吸引力。\nAmber HillCapital Ltd资管总监监Jackson Wong表示，目前市场出现大量的抄底资金，同时他们更加偏好于购买像腾讯和阿里巴巴那样的中国互联网巨头。并指出，那些今年跌的最多的互联网公司或将引领一波反弹。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"JD":0.9,"QNETCN":0.9,"TTTN":0.9,"09618":0.9,"PDD":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1132,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9069185499,"gmtCreate":1651247888654,"gmtModify":1676534878398,"author":{"id":"3573814781456643","authorId":"3573814781456643","name":"CalvinChong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a70af8809a95756364cc82fcfde2f404","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573814781456643","authorIdStr":"3573814781456643"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"nice","listText":"nice","text":"nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9069185499","repostId":"1112519241","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1112519241","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"外号猫叔，父亲&丈夫&儿子。硅谷科技数码，美国文化政治。个人写作平台，均为原创文章。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"猫叔在硅谷","id":"1099700164","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5df026e60f93493cbd17dfbe71ffaf74"},"pubTimestamp":1651241401,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1112519241?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-04-29 22:10","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Disney's heart is bitter: I can't talk if I don't want to talk","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112519241","media":"猫叔在硅谷","summary":"中国有句老话，“闷声大发财”。但全球娱乐巨头迪士尼最近却公开叫板佛罗里达州政府，引发了政治报复，更陷入了一场政治漩涡。不准提同性恋法案美国佛罗里达州州长德桑蒂斯(RonDeSantis)本周正式签署该","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>There is an old Chinese saying, \"Make a fortune in silence\". But global entertainment giants<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIS\">Disney</a>Recently, he openly challenged the Florida government, triggering political retaliation and plunging into a political maelstrom.</p><p><b>No homosexual bill</b></p><p>Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis formally signed a bill passed by the state's legislature this week to remove Disney's semi-autonomy at Disney World in Orlando and reclaim the development privileges Disney has enjoyed here for half a century. Republicans ruling in the Sunshine State have made no secret of the political intent of the move: This is a retaliatory measure against Disney's previous public involvement in Florida politics to challenge the state's Republican administration.</p><p>In just a month, Florida's close political and business relationship with Disney, which had lasted half a century, had collapsed. What the hell is going on? It also starts with a controversial anti-LGBTQ bill in the state.</p><p>In late February and early March this year, the Florida House of Representatives and Senate passed Act AB1557/SB 1834, the Parental Rights in Education Act, which prohibits the discussion of topics about sexual orientation and sexual identity in schools in the third grade and below, and prohibits the teaching of sexual orientation and sexual identity in schools in \"any way that is inconsistent with the age and development of students\".</p><p>LGBTQ has always been the most controversial issue in polarized American politics. The Florida bill quickly ignited liberal anger and became the focus of attention across the United States. From the federal government to the state government, Democrats and Republicans are once again fighting bitterly.</p><p>In February, when the bill was still in the legislative process in Florida, it had already sparked fierce controversy across the United States. On February 8, President Joe Biden publicly condemned the \"hateful\" bill, promising the federal government would continue to support the LGBTQ community and protect their legal rights. But the White House has no right to interfere with Florida's legislative rights, but to seek a veto through judicial channels.</p><p>Liberals have called the bill the \"Don't SayGay Bill,” arguing that it is not only a blatant discrimination against people of the same sex, but also a violation of freedom of speech. But conservatives argue that parents have the right to decide what their children's education will be, and it is even more necessary to avoid children being guided by schools. Both factions see themselves as representing public opinion, and different polling settings have yielded diametrically opposite results.</p><p>The former swing state of Florida is now deep red, with Republicans holding more than 60 percent of the House and Senate. Therefore, despite strong resistance from Democrats and angry protests from the liberal public, Republicans forced the bill through, and it was handed over to Republican Gov. DeSantis for signature on March 28, which will eventually take effect on July 1.</p><p>While LGBTQ advocates immediately filed a lawsuit against the law in federal court, the judge hearing the lawsuit is a hard-line conservative nominee of former President Trump, who has repeatedly opposed the legalization of same-sex marriage. Given that both the federal 11th Court of Appeals and the Supreme Court have conservative majorities, the prospects for this lawsuit are not promising.</p><p><b>Publicly Pressuring Disney to Statement</b></p><p>The context of this controversial law is not complicated. So why would a global entertainment giant like Disney touch this hot potato and get involved in a political battle between the two factions? And why did they choose to side with the liberals and publicly offend the Republicans in power in Florida?</p><p>Since late February, former Disney executives, core employees, important shareholders and public opinion have been pressuring Disney to stand up and pressure to block this bill in Florida, and even threatened to boycott Disney products.</p><p>Why do you have to force Disney to take a stand? Disney is significant to the Florida economy. They are the largest employer in Florida, employing nearly 80,000 people in the state, and Disney World in Orlando is a calling card for Florida's investment and tourism industry.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e533b569297335b72da5e2e7a7a640bb\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Disney has only two theme parks in the United States and only six campuses worldwide; In chronological order of opening, they are Los Angeles, Orlando, Tokyo, Paris, Hong Kong and Shanghai. Disney World in Orlando, designed by founder Walt Disney himself before his death, officially opened in 1971.</p><p>This is the largest Disneyland park in the world, with several parks covering an area of 122 square kilometers, even more than the area of two Manhattans, which is already equivalent to a small city. It is also the world's most trafficked Disneyland park, with a whopping 58 million visitors a year before the pandemic. In 2021, Disney World contributed $780 million in tax revenue to Florida, not to mention the huge traffic and consumption it brought to the local tourism industry.</p><p>Moreover, critics are even more angry that Disney is also a big financial sponsor to push Republican lawmakers in Florida. According to local media in Orlando at the end of February, Disney donated $1 million to Florida Republicans in 2020, including $50,000 to Gov. DeSantis.</p><p>For the first month or so, Disney CEO Bob Chapek remained silent on this matter, refusing to respond to outside doubts and avoiding the company getting involved in a political vortex. Before he took over as CEO of Disney, he was in charge of Disney's theme park business for a long time, and he was also close to Florida dignitaries.</p><p><b>Increasing internal and external pressures</b></p><p>But events clearly unfolded more than Chapek had expected. In late February, former Disney chairman and CEO Robert Tiger retweeted Biden's tweet to publicly state his opposition to the Florida LGBTQ bill. Iger said he \"fully supports President Biden. This bill, if passed, would put vulnerable LGBTQ young people at risk.\"</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/72261a352756c0ac6eaccc36d2e4f739\" tg-width=\"598\" tg-height=\"454\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Iger had stepped down as Disney's CEO in early 2020 and resigned as Disney's chairman at the end of last year. Although this watch is purely personal and has nothing to do with Disney; However, Iger has been the CEO of Disney for 15 years, and he still has considerable influence in the American entertainment and business circles, and has a huge appeal to Disney employees. His statement also increased the public pressure on Chapek to a certain extent.</p><p>Iger is clearly open-minded on social issues. He publicly donated to support Hillary Clinton in 2016 and later spoke out against the Trump administration over climate policies. He even seriously considered running for president as a Democrat in 2020, only to give up because of family opposition, gloomy prospects and many other factors.</p><p>In addition to the meritorious CEO, the heirs of the Disney family have also stepped up. Third-generation members Abigail Disney and Roy P. Disney have successively publicly expressed their frustration with Disney's support of Florida Republicans, who have asked Disney to take a stand on Florida's anti-LGBTQ bill. Their grandfather was a Disney co-founder, and their father once served as Disney's vice chairman.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fef4ec914066b24595c756cf735dd8f1\" tg-width=\"936\" tg-height=\"527\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Charlee Corra Disney, a fourth-generation member of the Disney family, then came out directly, declared himself transgender, and personally donated $250,000 to LGBTQ rights organizations to denounce the Florida bill. Although the Disney family is not involved in the company's operation, holding less than 3% of the shares, it still has public influence over Disney.</p><p>After more than a month of silence, Chapek finally couldn't sit still. On March 7th, he issued an internal email explaining that Disney would stand with LGBTQ employees, but the company was unwilling to publicly express its position on this bill, hoping to get employees' understanding. He promised that Disney would strive to create a more inclusive world through uplifting content creation.</p><p>However, Chapek's avoidance made the company's employees even more dissatisfied. Many core content creation employees also issued open letters asking Disney to condemn Florida's anti-LGBTQ bill. They include DanaTerrace, creator of The Owlhouse, Benjamin Simon, creator of The Duck Tales, Bill Motz, creator of The Ghost and Molly McGee, and many more. Although the business of the Disney Empire is quite diverse, the content production department is the real core business of Disney, and these creators are the core competitiveness that Disney values most.</p><p>In the end, it was the pressure of Pixar and Marvel's two core departments that overwhelmed Chapek and made him decide to give up his non-interference attitude. On March 9, Pixar Studios issued a statement supporting the position of LGBTQ employees; On March 16, Marvel Studios announced its condemnation of \"all bills that violate the basic human rights of LGBTQ people.\" More seriously, Disney is also facing an employee defection. Dissatisfied with the company's silence, many Disney employees plan to strike for 15 minutes on March 16, followed by a general strike on March 22.</p><p><b>Publicly condemn the encounter of retaliation</b></p><p>Faced with the outrage and threat of strikes within the company, Chapek finally realized that he had no choice. If you keep silent, you may not only betray your relatives in the company, but even lose the trust of the board of directors. In addition, as a big financial sponsor of the Florida Republican Party, Disney has also become the target of American liberals.</p><p>On March 28, the day Florida Governor DeSantis signed the \"No Gay Mention Act,\" Disney finally made an unprecedented change of attitude, fiercely denouncing the Florida bill, saying that \"this bill should never have been passed, nor should it have been signed.\" Disney announced a $5 million donation to LGBTQ rights agencies to support their lawsuit to prevent this law from taking effect.</p><p>This openly sided attitude may have allowed Chapek to temporarily relieve intense pressure from inside and outside the company, but it has completely angered the Republican dignitaries who dominate Florida. Even though they have both received political donations from Disney at one time, it is obviously more important to maintain their image as staunch conservatives at this moment.</p><p>Florida Governor DeSantis publicly hit back even more fiercely at Disney as \"WokeDisney\". \"It is the interests of our voters that govern Florida, not those corporate executives in California (Disney is headquartered in Los Angeles). If Disney wants to start a war, then they have picked the wrong person.\" They then began arranging punishment measures for Disney.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5dc6d756be13445ca1f3ffc399b1fe4\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>The Florida Republicans are going to make an example of Disney. For the past few years, Florida Republicans have been at the forefront of the battle between left and right in the United States, becoming a conservative stronghold; And DeSantis is actively playing the role of the leading figure of the new generation of Republicans, and is regarded as the most likely successor to Trump. A high-profile crackdown on Disney helped him boost his popularity among conservative voters.</p><p>How to punish Disney? In order to attract Disney to build a theme park, Florida granted Disney the privilege in the late 1960s to set up a special development zone for them. In this development zone, Disney is responsible for infrastructure such as hydropower and highways, and has the right to operate and manage various projects without the approval of the local government. Disney, like a local government, also has the right to issue tax-free municipal bonds.</p><p>But with DeSantis's signature, in just three weeks, Florida Republicans revoked the executive privilege Disney had enjoyed in Oakland for half a century. Disney no longer has special treatment and has to face the same regulatory environment as peers such as Universal Studios, Legoland and SeaWorld.</p><p>However, behind this government-enterprise conflict between Disney and Florida, perhaps both sides suffer. Disney has lost its special offers in Florida, and its future investment and growth prospects in Florida will also face doubts. And the Florida government's public retaliation against Disney will also damage their pro-business image, and the local government has to take on $1 billion in outstanding debts.</p><p>Even for DeSantis himself, this high-profile crackdown on the state's largest employer is hardly a blessing. In 2018, DeSantis won the Florida gubernatorial election by an extremely narrow margin, only 34,000 more votes than the Democratic candidate. He's facing the * election this year, and how Disney's 80,000 employees will vote at that time will become a big suspense affecting the results of the election.</p><p><b>It is difficult for enterprises to stay out of it</b></p><p>In fact, Disney is not the only giant enterprise involved in the political maelstrom in recent years. In the past few years, as American society has become increasingly divided and the two factions have become increasingly fierce, it has become increasingly difficult for corporate giants to stay out of the situation, either actively or passively involved. Those giant enterprises that actively maintain a good public image, therefore, bear the expectations from employees and users, and assume the responsibility of promoting social progress.</p><p>As America's most influential gay business leader,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a>CEO Cook expressed his position on the Florida bill for the first time. He is proud of his LGBTQ identity and is deeply worried about the introduction of anti-LBGTQ laws in many places in the United States, especially laws targeting underage LGBTQ people. Cook promised that he and Apple would firmly support the rights cause of the LGBTQ community.</p><p>Apple is the most active corporate member of the same-sex rights organization HRC (Disney's donor). One of Apple's lobbying agendas in the U.S. Congress is anti-racism. Moreover, Apple is perhaps the most direct giant in the United States when it comes to promoting LGBTQ rights protection.</p><p>As early as 2014, Cook directly pressured the governor of Arizona to veto SB1062, a bill that discriminates against same-sex people (allowing refusal to serve same-sex people on grounds of religious belief), otherwise Apple would cancel its $1 billion sapphire glass factory investment project in the state. Arizona Governor Jan Brewer ultimately vetoed the bill following the opposition of many corporate and industry bodies such as Apple.</p><p>Over the four years of Trump's administration, Silicon Valley tech giants have come forward again and again, publicly criticizing his various policies: whether it be limiting the influx of immigrants or pulling out of global action on climate change. Giant companies that participate in government law enforcement cooperation programs are facing pressure from their own employees. In 2018 and 2019,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">Google</a>Under strong resistance from employees, they were forced to abandon the drone AI project of the U.S. Department of Defense and the cloud computing contract of the Border Enforcement Agency.</p><p>Sporting goods giant<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NKE\">Nike</a>The company is perhaps the most politically distinct American corporate giant. For the past decade, they have been at the forefront of the anti-racial campaign in the United States, even publicly contradicting the president of the United States. Colin Kaepernick, a 2016 Major League Soccer player, was in the spotlight when he knelt on the field to express his frustration with racial discrimination and police brutality in the United States. The move was fiercely slammed by then-President Trump.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/99efc5428778408a0ae80dfb5f857d3d\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"567\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Kaepernick ended his career with that, as no team was willing to sign him again, who caused huge controversy. However, Nike, despite tremendous pressure from the White House and the conservative camp, signed Kaepernick as the brand endorsement in 2018, and filmed an anti-racist ad \"Hold on to Beliefs, Even if You Sacrifice Everything\", which caused a sensation and huge controversy across the United States.</p><p>Perhaps this public political side is Nike's most risky investment. At least from the revenue of the U.S. market, Nike still maintains steady growth in the United States. In 2018, Nike's revenue in the U.S. market was $15.3 billion, compared with $16 billion in 2019 before the epidemic, and increased to $17.36 billion last year.</p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Disney's heart is bitter: I can't talk if I don't want to talk</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDisney's heart is bitter: I can't talk if I don't want to talk\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1099700164\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/5df026e60f93493cbd17dfbe71ffaf74);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">猫叔在硅谷 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2022-04-29 22:10</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>There is an old Chinese saying, \"Make a fortune in silence\". But global entertainment giants<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIS\">Disney</a>Recently, he openly challenged the Florida government, triggering political retaliation and plunging into a political maelstrom.</p><p><b>No homosexual bill</b></p><p>Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis formally signed a bill passed by the state's legislature this week to remove Disney's semi-autonomy at Disney World in Orlando and reclaim the development privileges Disney has enjoyed here for half a century. Republicans ruling in the Sunshine State have made no secret of the political intent of the move: This is a retaliatory measure against Disney's previous public involvement in Florida politics to challenge the state's Republican administration.</p><p>In just a month, Florida's close political and business relationship with Disney, which had lasted half a century, had collapsed. What the hell is going on? It also starts with a controversial anti-LGBTQ bill in the state.</p><p>In late February and early March this year, the Florida House of Representatives and Senate passed Act AB1557/SB 1834, the Parental Rights in Education Act, which prohibits the discussion of topics about sexual orientation and sexual identity in schools in the third grade and below, and prohibits the teaching of sexual orientation and sexual identity in schools in \"any way that is inconsistent with the age and development of students\".</p><p>LGBTQ has always been the most controversial issue in polarized American politics. The Florida bill quickly ignited liberal anger and became the focus of attention across the United States. From the federal government to the state government, Democrats and Republicans are once again fighting bitterly.</p><p>In February, when the bill was still in the legislative process in Florida, it had already sparked fierce controversy across the United States. On February 8, President Joe Biden publicly condemned the \"hateful\" bill, promising the federal government would continue to support the LGBTQ community and protect their legal rights. But the White House has no right to interfere with Florida's legislative rights, but to seek a veto through judicial channels.</p><p>Liberals have called the bill the \"Don't SayGay Bill,” arguing that it is not only a blatant discrimination against people of the same sex, but also a violation of freedom of speech. But conservatives argue that parents have the right to decide what their children's education will be, and it is even more necessary to avoid children being guided by schools. Both factions see themselves as representing public opinion, and different polling settings have yielded diametrically opposite results.</p><p>The former swing state of Florida is now deep red, with Republicans holding more than 60 percent of the House and Senate. Therefore, despite strong resistance from Democrats and angry protests from the liberal public, Republicans forced the bill through, and it was handed over to Republican Gov. DeSantis for signature on March 28, which will eventually take effect on July 1.</p><p>While LGBTQ advocates immediately filed a lawsuit against the law in federal court, the judge hearing the lawsuit is a hard-line conservative nominee of former President Trump, who has repeatedly opposed the legalization of same-sex marriage. Given that both the federal 11th Court of Appeals and the Supreme Court have conservative majorities, the prospects for this lawsuit are not promising.</p><p><b>Publicly Pressuring Disney to Statement</b></p><p>The context of this controversial law is not complicated. So why would a global entertainment giant like Disney touch this hot potato and get involved in a political battle between the two factions? And why did they choose to side with the liberals and publicly offend the Republicans in power in Florida?</p><p>Since late February, former Disney executives, core employees, important shareholders and public opinion have been pressuring Disney to stand up and pressure to block this bill in Florida, and even threatened to boycott Disney products.</p><p>Why do you have to force Disney to take a stand? Disney is significant to the Florida economy. They are the largest employer in Florida, employing nearly 80,000 people in the state, and Disney World in Orlando is a calling card for Florida's investment and tourism industry.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e533b569297335b72da5e2e7a7a640bb\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Disney has only two theme parks in the United States and only six campuses worldwide; In chronological order of opening, they are Los Angeles, Orlando, Tokyo, Paris, Hong Kong and Shanghai. Disney World in Orlando, designed by founder Walt Disney himself before his death, officially opened in 1971.</p><p>This is the largest Disneyland park in the world, with several parks covering an area of 122 square kilometers, even more than the area of two Manhattans, which is already equivalent to a small city. It is also the world's most trafficked Disneyland park, with a whopping 58 million visitors a year before the pandemic. In 2021, Disney World contributed $780 million in tax revenue to Florida, not to mention the huge traffic and consumption it brought to the local tourism industry.</p><p>Moreover, critics are even more angry that Disney is also a big financial sponsor to push Republican lawmakers in Florida. According to local media in Orlando at the end of February, Disney donated $1 million to Florida Republicans in 2020, including $50,000 to Gov. DeSantis.</p><p>For the first month or so, Disney CEO Bob Chapek remained silent on this matter, refusing to respond to outside doubts and avoiding the company getting involved in a political vortex. Before he took over as CEO of Disney, he was in charge of Disney's theme park business for a long time, and he was also close to Florida dignitaries.</p><p><b>Increasing internal and external pressures</b></p><p>But events clearly unfolded more than Chapek had expected. In late February, former Disney chairman and CEO Robert Tiger retweeted Biden's tweet to publicly state his opposition to the Florida LGBTQ bill. Iger said he \"fully supports President Biden. This bill, if passed, would put vulnerable LGBTQ young people at risk.\"</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/72261a352756c0ac6eaccc36d2e4f739\" tg-width=\"598\" tg-height=\"454\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Iger had stepped down as Disney's CEO in early 2020 and resigned as Disney's chairman at the end of last year. Although this watch is purely personal and has nothing to do with Disney; However, Iger has been the CEO of Disney for 15 years, and he still has considerable influence in the American entertainment and business circles, and has a huge appeal to Disney employees. His statement also increased the public pressure on Chapek to a certain extent.</p><p>Iger is clearly open-minded on social issues. He publicly donated to support Hillary Clinton in 2016 and later spoke out against the Trump administration over climate policies. He even seriously considered running for president as a Democrat in 2020, only to give up because of family opposition, gloomy prospects and many other factors.</p><p>In addition to the meritorious CEO, the heirs of the Disney family have also stepped up. Third-generation members Abigail Disney and Roy P. Disney have successively publicly expressed their frustration with Disney's support of Florida Republicans, who have asked Disney to take a stand on Florida's anti-LGBTQ bill. Their grandfather was a Disney co-founder, and their father once served as Disney's vice chairman.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fef4ec914066b24595c756cf735dd8f1\" tg-width=\"936\" tg-height=\"527\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Charlee Corra Disney, a fourth-generation member of the Disney family, then came out directly, declared himself transgender, and personally donated $250,000 to LGBTQ rights organizations to denounce the Florida bill. Although the Disney family is not involved in the company's operation, holding less than 3% of the shares, it still has public influence over Disney.</p><p>After more than a month of silence, Chapek finally couldn't sit still. On March 7th, he issued an internal email explaining that Disney would stand with LGBTQ employees, but the company was unwilling to publicly express its position on this bill, hoping to get employees' understanding. He promised that Disney would strive to create a more inclusive world through uplifting content creation.</p><p>However, Chapek's avoidance made the company's employees even more dissatisfied. Many core content creation employees also issued open letters asking Disney to condemn Florida's anti-LGBTQ bill. They include DanaTerrace, creator of The Owlhouse, Benjamin Simon, creator of The Duck Tales, Bill Motz, creator of The Ghost and Molly McGee, and many more. Although the business of the Disney Empire is quite diverse, the content production department is the real core business of Disney, and these creators are the core competitiveness that Disney values most.</p><p>In the end, it was the pressure of Pixar and Marvel's two core departments that overwhelmed Chapek and made him decide to give up his non-interference attitude. On March 9, Pixar Studios issued a statement supporting the position of LGBTQ employees; On March 16, Marvel Studios announced its condemnation of \"all bills that violate the basic human rights of LGBTQ people.\" More seriously, Disney is also facing an employee defection. Dissatisfied with the company's silence, many Disney employees plan to strike for 15 minutes on March 16, followed by a general strike on March 22.</p><p><b>Publicly condemn the encounter of retaliation</b></p><p>Faced with the outrage and threat of strikes within the company, Chapek finally realized that he had no choice. If you keep silent, you may not only betray your relatives in the company, but even lose the trust of the board of directors. In addition, as a big financial sponsor of the Florida Republican Party, Disney has also become the target of American liberals.</p><p>On March 28, the day Florida Governor DeSantis signed the \"No Gay Mention Act,\" Disney finally made an unprecedented change of attitude, fiercely denouncing the Florida bill, saying that \"this bill should never have been passed, nor should it have been signed.\" Disney announced a $5 million donation to LGBTQ rights agencies to support their lawsuit to prevent this law from taking effect.</p><p>This openly sided attitude may have allowed Chapek to temporarily relieve intense pressure from inside and outside the company, but it has completely angered the Republican dignitaries who dominate Florida. Even though they have both received political donations from Disney at one time, it is obviously more important to maintain their image as staunch conservatives at this moment.</p><p>Florida Governor DeSantis publicly hit back even more fiercely at Disney as \"WokeDisney\". \"It is the interests of our voters that govern Florida, not those corporate executives in California (Disney is headquartered in Los Angeles). If Disney wants to start a war, then they have picked the wrong person.\" They then began arranging punishment measures for Disney.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5dc6d756be13445ca1f3ffc399b1fe4\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>The Florida Republicans are going to make an example of Disney. For the past few years, Florida Republicans have been at the forefront of the battle between left and right in the United States, becoming a conservative stronghold; And DeSantis is actively playing the role of the leading figure of the new generation of Republicans, and is regarded as the most likely successor to Trump. A high-profile crackdown on Disney helped him boost his popularity among conservative voters.</p><p>How to punish Disney? In order to attract Disney to build a theme park, Florida granted Disney the privilege in the late 1960s to set up a special development zone for them. In this development zone, Disney is responsible for infrastructure such as hydropower and highways, and has the right to operate and manage various projects without the approval of the local government. Disney, like a local government, also has the right to issue tax-free municipal bonds.</p><p>But with DeSantis's signature, in just three weeks, Florida Republicans revoked the executive privilege Disney had enjoyed in Oakland for half a century. Disney no longer has special treatment and has to face the same regulatory environment as peers such as Universal Studios, Legoland and SeaWorld.</p><p>However, behind this government-enterprise conflict between Disney and Florida, perhaps both sides suffer. Disney has lost its special offers in Florida, and its future investment and growth prospects in Florida will also face doubts. And the Florida government's public retaliation against Disney will also damage their pro-business image, and the local government has to take on $1 billion in outstanding debts.</p><p>Even for DeSantis himself, this high-profile crackdown on the state's largest employer is hardly a blessing. In 2018, DeSantis won the Florida gubernatorial election by an extremely narrow margin, only 34,000 more votes than the Democratic candidate. He's facing the * election this year, and how Disney's 80,000 employees will vote at that time will become a big suspense affecting the results of the election.</p><p><b>It is difficult for enterprises to stay out of it</b></p><p>In fact, Disney is not the only giant enterprise involved in the political maelstrom in recent years. In the past few years, as American society has become increasingly divided and the two factions have become increasingly fierce, it has become increasingly difficult for corporate giants to stay out of the situation, either actively or passively involved. Those giant enterprises that actively maintain a good public image, therefore, bear the expectations from employees and users, and assume the responsibility of promoting social progress.</p><p>As America's most influential gay business leader,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a>CEO Cook expressed his position on the Florida bill for the first time. He is proud of his LGBTQ identity and is deeply worried about the introduction of anti-LBGTQ laws in many places in the United States, especially laws targeting underage LGBTQ people. Cook promised that he and Apple would firmly support the rights cause of the LGBTQ community.</p><p>Apple is the most active corporate member of the same-sex rights organization HRC (Disney's donor). One of Apple's lobbying agendas in the U.S. Congress is anti-racism. Moreover, Apple is perhaps the most direct giant in the United States when it comes to promoting LGBTQ rights protection.</p><p>As early as 2014, Cook directly pressured the governor of Arizona to veto SB1062, a bill that discriminates against same-sex people (allowing refusal to serve same-sex people on grounds of religious belief), otherwise Apple would cancel its $1 billion sapphire glass factory investment project in the state. Arizona Governor Jan Brewer ultimately vetoed the bill following the opposition of many corporate and industry bodies such as Apple.</p><p>Over the four years of Trump's administration, Silicon Valley tech giants have come forward again and again, publicly criticizing his various policies: whether it be limiting the influx of immigrants or pulling out of global action on climate change. Giant companies that participate in government law enforcement cooperation programs are facing pressure from their own employees. In 2018 and 2019,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">Google</a>Under strong resistance from employees, they were forced to abandon the drone AI project of the U.S. Department of Defense and the cloud computing contract of the Border Enforcement Agency.</p><p>Sporting goods giant<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NKE\">Nike</a>The company is perhaps the most politically distinct American corporate giant. For the past decade, they have been at the forefront of the anti-racial campaign in the United States, even publicly contradicting the president of the United States. Colin Kaepernick, a 2016 Major League Soccer player, was in the spotlight when he knelt on the field to express his frustration with racial discrimination and police brutality in the United States. The move was fiercely slammed by then-President Trump.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/99efc5428778408a0ae80dfb5f857d3d\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"567\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Kaepernick ended his career with that, as no team was willing to sign him again, who caused huge controversy. However, Nike, despite tremendous pressure from the White House and the conservative camp, signed Kaepernick as the brand endorsement in 2018, and filmed an anti-racist ad \"Hold on to Beliefs, Even if You Sacrifice Everything\", which caused a sensation and huge controversy across the United States.</p><p>Perhaps this public political side is Nike's most risky investment. At least from the revenue of the U.S. market, Nike still maintains steady growth in the United States. In 2018, Nike's revenue in the U.S. market was $15.3 billion, compared with $16 billion in 2019 before the epidemic, and increased to $17.36 billion last year.</p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/24a5c9ee763bdd068795172812d82227","relate_stocks":{"DIS":"迪士尼","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4561":"索罗斯持仓","BK4108":"电影和娱乐","BK4507":"流媒体概念","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4524":"宅经济概念","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112519241","content_text":"中国有句老话，“闷声大发财”。但全球娱乐巨头迪士尼最近却公开叫板佛罗里达州政府，引发了政治报复，更陷入了一场政治漩涡。不准提同性恋法案美国佛罗里达州州长德桑蒂斯(RonDeSantis)本周正式签署该州议会通过的法案，取消迪士尼在奥兰多迪士尼世界的半自治权，收回迪士尼在这里享受了半个世纪的开发区特权。在阳光州执政的共和党人毫不掩饰此举的政治意图：这就是对迪士尼此前公开介入佛罗里达政治，挑战该州共和党政府的报复措施。短短一个月时间，佛罗里达与迪士尼延续半个世纪的密切政商关系就已经破裂。这究竟是怎么一回事？这还要从该州一项反LGBTQ人群的争议法案说起。今年2月底和3月初，佛罗里达众议院和参议院先后通过AB1557/SB 1834法案，即《学校教育的家长权利法案》(ParentalRightsinEducation)，禁止小学三年级及以下的学校课堂讨论关于性取向和性认同的话题，同时禁止在学校以“任何与年龄以及学生发育不相符”的方式教授性取向与性认同内容。在两极分化的美国政治中，LGBTQ从来都是争议最大的议题。佛罗里达这一法案迅速点燃了自由派的怒火，成为了全美的关注焦点。从联邦政府到州政府，民主党和共和党再次展开了激烈争斗。今年2月，该法案还在佛州立法程序的时候，就已经引发了全美国的激烈争议。2月8日，美国总统拜登公开谴责这一“可恶”法案，承诺联邦政府会继续支持LGBTQ群体，保护他们的合法权利。但白宫无权干涉佛州的立法权利，只有走司法渠道寻求否决。自由派将该法案称为“不准提同性恋法案”(Don’tSayGayBill)，认为该法案不仅公然歧视同性人群，更是侵犯了言论自由。但保守派认为，家长有权决定孩子的教育内容，更有必要避免儿童受到学校的引导。两派都认为自己代表着民意，不同的民调设置也得出了截然相反的结果。曾经的摇摆州佛罗里达如今已是深红，共和党占据着参众两院超过六成的议席。所以，尽管遭到民主党人的强烈抵制和自由派民众的愤怒抗议，共和党人还是强行通过了这一法案，在3月28日交由共和党州长德桑蒂斯签署，最终将于7月1日正式生效。虽然LGBTQ维权机构立刻在联邦法院对这一法律提起诉讼，但审理这起诉讼的法官却是前总统特朗普提名的强硬保守派法官，他此前就曾多次反对同性婚姻合法化。鉴于联邦第11上诉法院和最高法院都是保守派占据多数席位，这一诉讼的前景并不乐观。公开施压迪士尼表态这一争议法律的背景并不复杂。那么，为什么迪士尼这样的全球娱乐巨头要碰这个烫手山芋，卷入两派的政治斗争呢？他们又为什么要选择站队自由派，公开触怒在佛罗里达执政的共和党人？从2月下旬开始，迪士尼前高管、核心员工、重要股东以及公众舆论就在不断施压，呼吁迪士尼站出来施压阻止佛州这一法案，甚至用抵制迪士尼产品来威胁。为什么非要逼着迪士尼站队表态？迪士尼对佛罗里达经济有着重要意义。他们是佛罗里达最大的雇主，在该州雇佣了近8万名员工，奥兰多的迪士尼世界更是佛罗里达招商引资和旅游业的一张名片。迪士尼在美国只有两个主题乐园，全球也只有六个园区；按开业时间顺序，依次是洛杉矶、奥兰多、东京、巴黎、香港和上海。奥兰多的迪士尼世界是创始人华特·迪士尼(WalterDisney)去世之前亲自设计的，于1971年正式开业。这里是全球面积最大的迪士尼乐园，几个园区占地面积高达122平方公里，甚至比两个曼哈顿的面积还多，已经相当于一个小型城市。这里也是全球客流量最大的迪士尼乐园，疫情之前每年游客高达5800万人。2021年，迪士尼世界给佛罗里达州贡献了7.8亿美元的税收收入，更别提给当地旅游业带来的巨大流量与消费。此外，更让批评者感到愤怒的是，迪士尼还是推动佛州共和党议员们的大金主。据奥兰多当地媒体2月底报道，2020年迪士尼给佛州共和党人捐出了100万美元，包括捐给州长德桑蒂斯的5万美元。最初的一个多月时间，迪士尼CEO查佩克(BobChapek)始终对此事保持着沉默，拒绝回应外界的质疑，避免公司卷入政治漩涡。他接替迪士尼CEO职位之前，长期负责迪士尼主题乐园业务，和佛罗里达州政要们同样关系密切。内外压力与日俱增但事态的发展显然超过了查佩克的预期。2月底，迪士尼前董事长兼CEO艾格(RobertIger)转发了拜登的推文，就佛罗里达LGBTQ法案公开表明自己的反对态度。艾格表示自己“完全支持拜登总统。这一法案如果通过，会将脆弱的LGBTQ年轻人置于危险境地。”艾格已经在2020年初卸任迪士尼CEO职位，又在去年年底辞去了迪士尼董事长职位。虽然此番表纯属个人行为，与迪士尼无关；但艾格担任迪士尼CEO长达15年，在美国娱乐界和商界依然拥有不小的影响力，更对迪士尼员工有着巨大的号召力。他的表态也在一定程度上增加了查佩克的舆论压力。艾格在社会问题上明显持开明态度。他在2016年公开捐款支持过希拉里，后来又因为气候政策公开反对特朗普政府。2020年他甚至认真考虑以民主党身份参选总统，只是因为家庭反对、前景黯然等诸多因素决定放弃。除了功勋CEO，迪士尼家族的继承人们也站了出来。第三代成员阿比加尔·迪士尼(AbigailDisney)和罗伊·迪士尼(RoyP.Disney)先后公开表示对迪士尼支持佛罗里达共和党人感到非常失望，他们要求迪士尼在佛罗里达反LGBTQ法案的问题上表明自己的立场。他们的祖父是迪士尼联合创始人，父亲曾经担任迪士尼副董事长。迪士尼家族的第四代成员查尔丽·迪士尼(CharleeCorraDisney)随后更是直接出柜，宣布自己是跨性别者，个人向LGBTQ维权机构捐出25万美元，谴责佛罗里达的这一法案。虽然迪士尼家族并不介入公司运营，所持的股份已经不到3%，但却依然对迪士尼拥有公开影响力。沉默了一个多月之后，查佩克终于坐不住了。他在3月7日发布内部邮件解释称，迪士尼会和LGBTQ员工们站在一起，但公司并不愿意对这一法案公开表态，希望得到员工们的理解。他承诺，迪士尼会通过令人振奋的内容创作，努力创造一个更加包容的世界。然而，查佩克这种避重就轻的态度反而让公司员工更加不满。诸多核心内容创作员工也发表公开信，要求迪士尼谴责佛罗里达反LGBTQ法案。其中包括《奇幻猫头鹰小屋》(TheOwlHouse)主创DanaTerrace、《唐老鸭俱乐部》(DuckTales)主创BenjaminSiemon、《幽灵与莫莉》(TheGhostandMollyMcGee)主创BillMotz等等。尽管迪士尼帝国的业务相当多元，但内容制作部门才是迪士尼的真正核心业务，而这些创作者更是迪士尼最为看重的核心竞争力。最终压倒查佩克，让他决定放弃不干涉态度的，是皮克斯和漫威两大核心部门的施压。3月9日，皮克斯工作室发表声明，支持LGBTQ员工们的立场；3月16日，漫威工作室宣布谴责“所有侵犯LGBTQ人群基本人权的法案”。更为严重的是，迪士尼还面临着一场员工倒戈。由于对公司的沉默态度不满，迪士尼诸多员工计划在3月16日集体罢工15分钟，而后在3月22日进行大罢工。公开谴责遭遇报复面对着公司内部的群情激愤和罢工威胁，查佩克终于明白自己已经没有选择。如果继续保持沉默，那么自己不仅可能在公司众叛亲离，甚至会失去董事会的信任。此外，作为佛州共和党的大金主，迪士尼也已经成为美国自由派的抨击对象。3月28日，就在佛罗里达州长德桑蒂斯签署“不能提同性恋法案”的当天，迪士尼终于作出了前所未有的态度转变，言辞激烈地谴责佛罗里达这一法案，称“这一法案根本不应该通过，也不应该被签署。”迪士尼宣布向LGBTQ维权机构捐款500万美元，支持他们通过诉讼阻止这一法律生效。这种公开站队的态度或许让查佩克暂时缓解了来自公司内外的巨大压力，但却彻底激怒了主导佛州的共和党政要们。尽管他们都曾经得到过迪士尼的政治捐款，但此刻维护自己的坚定保守派形象显然更为重要。佛州州长德桑蒂斯更加激烈地公开回击迪士尼是“觉悟派”(WokeDisney)，“治理佛罗里达的是我们选民的利益，而不是那些加州的企业高管(迪士尼总部位于洛杉矶)。如果迪士尼想挑起战争，那么他们选错了人。”他们随后开始安排对迪士尼的惩罚措施。佛州共和党人打算拿迪士尼开刀，也有杀鸡儆猴的意义。过去几年时间，佛州共和党人一直处在美国左右两派争斗的前沿，成为保守派的大本营；而德桑蒂斯更是积极扮演共和党新一代领军人物的角色，被视为最有可能的特朗普接班人。高调打压迪士尼，有助于他提升自己在保守派选民中的民望。如何惩罚迪士尼？为了招商迪士尼兴建主题乐园，佛州在上世纪六十年代末授予迪士尼一项特权，为他们设立一个特别开发区。在这个开发区内，迪士尼负责水电公路等基础设施，同时拥有各种项目的经营管理权，无须当地政府审批。迪士尼就像是当地政府一样，还有权发行免税的市政债券。但随着德桑蒂斯的签字，仅仅三周时间，佛州共和党人就撤销了迪士尼在奥克兰享受了半个世纪的行政特权。迪士尼再没有了特殊待遇，不得不和环球影城(UniversalStudios)、乐高乐园(Legoland)以及海洋世界(SeaWorld)等同行面临同样的监管环境。然而，这场迪士尼对阵佛罗里达的政企冲突背后，或许却是两败俱伤。迪士尼失去了在佛罗里达的特殊优惠，未来在佛州的投资和增长前景也会面临疑问。而佛州政府公开报复迪士尼，也会损害到他们的亲商形象，当地政府还不得不承接10亿美元的未偿付债务。即便对德桑蒂斯本人，这种高调打压本州最大雇主的姿态也难言福祸。2018年德桑蒂斯以极其微弱优势赢得佛罗里达州长选举，只比民主党候选人多出了3.4万张票。今年他即将面临连任选举，8万名迪士尼雇员届时将如何投票，将会成为影响选举结果的一大悬念。企业再难置身事外实际上，迪士尼并不是近年来唯一卷入政治漩涡的巨头企业。过去几年时间，随着美国社会日见分裂，两派争斗日益激烈，企业巨头们也越来越难置身事外，要么主动要么被动地卷入其中。那些积极维护良好公众形象的巨头企业，也因此承受着来自员工和用户的期待，承担起推动社会进步的责任。作为美国最具影响力的同性恋商业领袖，苹果CEO库克针对佛州法案第一时间表态，自己以LGBTQ身份为荣，对全美多地出台反LBGTQ的法律深感忧虑，尤其是针对未成年LGBTQ人群的法律。库克承诺自己和苹果会坚定支持LGBTQ群体的维权事业。苹果是同性维权机构HRC(迪士尼捐款对象)最为积极的企业会员。苹果在美国国会的游说议程之一就是反种族歧视。而且，在推动LGBTQ维权的问题上，苹果或许是美国最为直接的巨头企业。早在2014年，库克就直接施压亚利桑那州州长否决一项歧视同性人群的法案SB1062(允许以宗教信仰理由拒绝服务同性人群)，否则苹果就会取消在该州10亿美元的蓝宝石玻璃工厂投资项目。在苹果等诸多企业和行业机构的反对下，亚利桑那州州长布鲁尔(JanBrewer)最终否决了这一法案。在特朗普执政的四年时间，硅谷科技巨头一次又一次地站出来，公开批评他的各项政策：无论是限制移民涌入，还是退出气候变化全球行动。那些参与政府执法合作项目的巨头企业，则面临着来自自己员工的施压。2018年和2019年，谷歌在员工强烈抵制下先后被迫放弃了美国国防部的无人机AI项目和边境执法局的云计算合同。运动品巨头耐克公司或许是政治立场最为鲜明的美国企业巨头。过去十年，他们始终站在美国反种族歧视运动的最前沿，甚至不惜公开顶撞美国总统。2016年美式足球大联盟球员卡佩尼克(ColinKaepernick)用在球场下跪的方式表达对美国种族歧视和警察暴行的不满，成为了焦点人物。此举遭受了时任总统特朗普的强烈抨击。卡佩尼克就此结束了自己的职业生涯，因为没有球队再愿意签下引发巨大争议的他。然而，耐克却顶着来自白宫和保守派阵营的巨大压力，在2018年签下卡佩尼克担任品牌代言，拍摄反种族歧视的广告“坚持信念，哪怕牺牲一切”，引发了全美轰动和巨大争议。或许，此次公开政治站队是耐克最具冒险性的一次投资。至少从美国市场的营收来看，耐克在美国依旧保持着稳定增长。2018年耐克在美国市场营收153亿美元，疫情之前的2019年则是160亿美元，去年更是增长到173.6亿美元。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"DIS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2813,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9060642738,"gmtCreate":1651146576490,"gmtModify":1676534858537,"author":{"id":"3573814781456643","authorId":"3573814781456643","name":"CalvinChong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a70af8809a95756364cc82fcfde2f404","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573814781456643","authorIdStr":"3573814781456643"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice&nbsp;","listText":"Nice&nbsp;","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9060642738","repostId":"1109982343","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1109982343","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"港股挖掘机将每天为您推送最具价值的港股、美股、A股投资资讯！第一时间把握全球政策动向，先人一步了解主流资金流向，监测主力行踪，解读公司公告，追踪活跃个股，让您畅享投资财富盛宴!","home_visible":1,"media_name":"智通财经APP","id":"12","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/361f7f1ca0d64e919035653d64c723ab"},"pubTimestamp":1651146383,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1109982343?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-04-28 19:46","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Afraid of supply chain challenges, Caterpillar Q1 revenue increases 14%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1109982343","media":"智通财经APP","summary":"卡特彼勒于4月28日盘前，公布了2022年第一季度财报。该公司一季度销售额和收入增长14%，至136亿美元，去年同期为119亿美元;营业利润率为13.7%，而2021年第一季度为15.3%;调整后每股","content":"<p><html><head></head><body><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAT\">Caterpillar</a>On April 28, before market bell, it announced its first quarter 2022 earnings results. The company's first-quarter sales and revenue rose 14% to $13.6 billion, compared with $11.9 billion a year ago; Operating margin was 13.7% compared to 15.3% in the first quarter of 2021; Adjusted earnings of $2.88 per share were higher than analysts' forecast of $2.6, compared to earnings of $2.87 per share for the same period in 2021. At press time, Caterpillar was down 2.32% at $209.</p><p>Caterpillar pointed out that the main reasons for the company's revenue growth in the first quarter were the increased demand for equipment and services from end users, the increased inventory of distributors, and the competitive price of products.</p><p>The company ended the first quarter with corporate cash of $6.5 billion. Caterpillar paid about $1.3 billion in short-term incentive compensation in the first quarter. In addition, Caterpillar repurchased $800 million in common stock, paying Dividend $600 million.</p><p>Jim Umpleby, Chairman and CEO of Caterpillar, said: \"I am very proud of the performance of our global team. Despite ongoing supply chain challenges, our team has achieved double-digit sales growth. Going forward, we will continue to fully support our customers and execute our long-term profitable growth strategy.\"</p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Afraid of supply chain challenges, Caterpillar Q1 revenue increases 14%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAfraid of supply chain challenges, Caterpillar Q1 revenue increases 14%\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/12\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/361f7f1ca0d64e919035653d64c723ab);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">智通财经APP </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2022-04-28 19:46</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAT\">Caterpillar</a>On April 28, before market bell, it announced its first quarter 2022 earnings results. The company's first-quarter sales and revenue rose 14% to $13.6 billion, compared with $11.9 billion a year ago; Operating margin was 13.7% compared to 15.3% in the first quarter of 2021; Adjusted earnings of $2.88 per share were higher than analysts' forecast of $2.6, compared to earnings of $2.87 per share for the same period in 2021. At press time, Caterpillar was down 2.32% at $209.</p><p>Caterpillar pointed out that the main reasons for the company's revenue growth in the first quarter were the increased demand for equipment and services from end users, the increased inventory of distributors, and the competitive price of products.</p><p>The company ended the first quarter with corporate cash of $6.5 billion. Caterpillar paid about $1.3 billion in short-term incentive compensation in the first quarter. In addition, Caterpillar repurchased $800 million in common stock, paying Dividend $600 million.</p><p>Jim Umpleby, Chairman and CEO of Caterpillar, said: \"I am very proud of the performance of our global team. Despite ongoing supply chain challenges, our team has achieved double-digit sales growth. Going forward, we will continue to fully support our customers and execute our long-term profitable growth strategy.\"</p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c118f447ec0f1f0ce6060cc2e85ac6a4","relate_stocks":{"BK4149":"建筑机械与重型卡车","BK4516":"特朗普概念","CAT":"卡特彼勒","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","BK4520":"美国基建股"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1109982343","content_text":"卡特彼勒于4月28日盘前，公布了2022年第一季度财报。该公司一季度销售额和收入增长14%，至136亿美元，去年同期为119亿美元;营业利润率为13.7%，而2021年第一季度为15.3%;调整后每股收益为2.88美元，高于分析师预测的2.6美元，2021年同期每股收益为2.87美元。截至发稿，卡特彼勒下跌2.32%，报209美元。卡特彼勒指出，该公司一季度营收增长的主要原因是，终端用户对设备和服务的需求提升，经销商提高了库存，并且产品价格富有竞争力。该公司第一季度末，企业现金为65亿美元。卡特彼勒在一季度支付了约13亿美元的短期激励薪酬。此外，卡特彼勒还回购了8亿美元的普通股，支付股息6亿美元。卡特彼勒董事长兼首席执行官Jim Umpleby表示：“对于我们全球团队的表现，我感到非常自豪。尽管供应链面临持续挑战，但我们的团队仍实现了两位数的销售额增长。今后，我们仍将全力支持我们的客户，并执行长期盈利增长战略。”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CAT":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2664,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9087723444,"gmtCreate":1651060776931,"gmtModify":1676534842052,"author":{"id":"3573814781456643","authorId":"3573814781456643","name":"CalvinChong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a70af8809a95756364cc82fcfde2f404","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573814781456643","authorIdStr":"3573814781456643"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9087723444","repostId":"1150871890","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2750,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9086682692,"gmtCreate":1650449428182,"gmtModify":1676534726345,"author":{"id":"3573814781456643","authorId":"3573814781456643","name":"CalvinChong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a70af8809a95756364cc82fcfde2f404","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573814781456643","authorIdStr":"3573814781456643"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"nice","listText":"nice","text":"nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9086682692","repostId":"1184020140","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1184020140","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1650448918,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1184020140?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-04-20 18:01","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Musk set up another Flag! Says to achieve 'full autonomous driving' this year","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1184020140","media":"每日经济新闻","summary":"有亿万富翁自掏百万美元抵制！","content":"<p><div>Reporter Dong Tianyi A few days ago, Tesla CEO Elon Musk revealed in an interview with TED host Chris Anderson that Tesla will achieve full autonomous driving this year, that is, the level of L5 autonomous driving technology. In the interview, the host Chris Anderson asked Musk about the time when Tesla achieved full autonomous driving, and mentioned whether \"full autonomous driving\" means that Tesla cars can travel in most cities without human intervention, and it is safer than human driving. In response,...</p><p><a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/-nnNWHnRNZLsZa8EyULUNA\">Web link</a></div></p>","source":"mrjjxw","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Musk set up another Flag! Says to achieve 'full autonomous driving' this year</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMusk set up another Flag! Says to achieve 'full autonomous driving' this year\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">每日经济新闻</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2022-04-20 18:01</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div>Reporter Dong Tianyi A few days ago, Tesla CEO Elon Musk revealed in an interview with TED host Chris Anderson that Tesla will achieve full autonomous driving this year, that is, the level of L5 autonomous driving technology. In the interview, the host Chris Anderson asked Musk about the time when Tesla achieved full autonomous driving, and mentioned whether \"full autonomous driving\" means that Tesla cars can travel in most cities without human intervention, and it is safer than human driving. In response,...</p><p><a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/-nnNWHnRNZLsZa8EyULUNA\">Web link</a></div></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/-nnNWHnRNZLsZa8EyULUNA\">每日经济新闻</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/832577221afa1b1253296742e769437d","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/-nnNWHnRNZLsZa8EyULUNA","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1184020140","content_text":"记者丨董天意日前，特斯拉首席执行官埃隆·马斯克（Elon Musk）在接受 TED 主持人 Chris Anderson的采访中透露，特斯拉将今年实现完全自动驾驶，也就是L5级自动驾驶技术水平。在访谈中，主持人 Chris Anderson询问了马斯克关于特斯拉实现全自动驾驶的时间，并提及“全自动驾驶”是否意味着指特斯拉汽车可以在没有人类干预的情况下在大多数城市行驶，且比人工驾驶更安全。对此，马斯克回答道：“是的”。但美国亿万富豪丹・奥多德（Dan O‘Dowd）并不这么认为。丹・奥多德公开表示，特斯拉FSD的Beta版本“糟糕透顶”，并称将在全美发起了一场耗资数百万美元的广告宣传活动，呼吁对特斯拉的全自动驾驶（FSD）选装包进行“封杀”。图片来源：视觉中国-VCG111330309292按照国际汽车工程师协会（SAE）划分方法，自动驾驶技术水平从0级至5级递增，分别是L0级（人工驾驶） 、L1级（辅助驾驶）、L2级（部分自动化）、L3级（条件自动化）、L4级（高度自动化）和L5级（完全自动化）。按照定义，L5级能够完全自适应驾驶，适应任何驾驶环境。目前，德国是唯一在官方层面为车企进行L3级上路认证的国家。而美国国家公路交通安全管理局（NHTSA）不久前刚刚发布了最终版的《无人驾驶汽车乘客保护规定》，其中对于由自动驾驶系统操作的车辆，将不被要求配备传统方向盘等手动控制装置。值得一提的是，从2020年开始，马斯克曾不止一次在公开场合承诺在当年内实现完全自动驾驶，但是均未能实现。对此，马斯克表示：“我们有过太多次的误判，以为我们解决了某个问题，到头来我们才发现，那只是另一个问题的开端，就像在爬一座无止尽的高楼一样。”马斯克表示，这一次他更有信心。“实现全自动驾驶必须先实现real-world AI，而真实世界可用的人工智能，必须先从人脑来理解。”马斯克认为，现实世界中的道路、标志和交通规则，都是设计给人脑跟人眼使用，因此不该用计算机的方式来阅读世界，而是让计算机变得更像人脑，然后去阅读世界。马斯克解释称，特斯拉放弃了此前采用的逐格图片分析，而是用8颗摄影头的连续视频来做AI学习。图片来源：每日经济新闻 郑得锐 摄（图文无关）“目前我自己的特斯拉车辆在大部分时间都是在没有人工干预的情况下载着我在奥斯汀周围行驶。”马斯克表示，特斯拉的全自动驾驶测试项目已有超过10万名司机参与。公开资料显示，特斯拉FSD Beta（完全自动驾驶测试版）最早于2020年10月发布，并率先在美国市场推广，至今版本已更新数十次。2021年末，特斯拉开放FSD Beta的车辆有6万辆，占北美地区特斯拉付费FSD车主的40%。据悉，车主若想获得FSD Beta的开放权，需要拥有良好的安全驾驶习惯，且在特斯拉安全评分工具下得到较高评分。而为了加快FSD Beta的普及，特斯拉降低了安全分数标准，以至于2022年第一季度 其开放FSD Beta的车主迅速增加了4万人。此前马斯克表示，2022年年内将在北美地区所有自动驾驶客户中开展更广泛的测试。但上述做法引发了部分人的不满。有观点认为，特斯拉的做法是让客户在公共道路上使用“Beta”产品，其本质是让客户负责修正“无人驾驶系统”的错误，而且这套系统犯错的几率很高。据报道，美国亿万富豪丹・奥多德表示，特斯拉 FSD Beta“糟糕透顶”，“问题频出”，应当“在美国道路上彻底封杀”。为了达到这一目的，丹・奥多德面向全美投放了一条名为《什么速度都不安全》（Unsafe at Any Speed）的广告宣传视频，集中阐述了这套系统的潜在危险，此外，丹・奥多德还计划投入 200 万美元，在美国 36 个州投放上述视频。需要注意的是，现仍为L2级的特斯拉Autopilot自动驾驶功能就已经发生了多起事故，并且一直受到NHTSA、NTSB等部门的调查。调查结果显示，几乎所有事故中，都是驾驶员过度相信Autopilot或者注意力不集中导致。图片来源：NHTSA2018年，美国加州发生特斯拉追尾一辆消防车的事故，NTSB认定特斯拉驾驶员过度依赖Autopilot系统，导致没能及时接管，所幸这起事故没有人受伤；2021年5月，同样在美国加州，一名男子开启Autopilot之后，竟然离开驾驶席，坐在了后排座椅上，被警察发现后，该男子被捕。据美联社报道，2022年1月，一名27岁的特斯拉Model S驾驶员被指控过失杀人罪，原因是不当使用L2自动驾驶系统造成交通事故，并致2人死亡。根据统计，2016年以来，NHTSA已经针对26起Autopilot相关事故进行了调查，其中至少11人死亡。然而，资本市场似乎对马斯克的“完全自动驾驶”计划更感兴趣。华尔街明星基金经理凯茜·伍德（Cathie Wood）旗下方舟投资管理公司（Ark Investment Management）预计，到2026年，特斯拉股价将翻两番，达到4600美元，而特斯拉的完全自动驾驶能力将在2026年贡献其60%的预期价值。“尽管我们调整了对2026年的预期，但我们认为，我们的特斯拉估值模型在方法上仍是保守的。”方舟投资分析师塔莎·基尼（Tasha Keeney）表示，估值模型的一个关键驱动因素是，市场对自动驾驶出租车服务的需求将增加，其市场规模在11万亿至12万亿美元之间。“我们的假设是到2026年，特斯拉股票将像一家成熟公司一样交易，而非一家高增长公司。”塔莎·基尼表示。关键词 :马斯克特斯拉完全自动驾驶","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2848,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9083201704,"gmtCreate":1650118619012,"gmtModify":1676534650735,"author":{"id":"3573814781456643","authorId":"3573814781456643","name":"CalvinChong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a70af8809a95756364cc82fcfde2f404","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573814781456643","authorIdStr":"3573814781456643"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"nice","listText":"nice","text":"nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9083201704","repostId":"2227983921","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2227983921","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1650078780,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2227983921?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-04-16 11:13","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"The first 25BP RRR cut in history is very informative","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2227983921","media":"申万宏源","summary":"事件：4月15日晚间，央行宣布实施历史上首次25BP的降准，迅速落实了两天前国常会提出的“适时降准”要求。本次下调后，金融机构加权平均存款准备金率为8.1%；此次降准释放长期资金约5300亿。去年央行曾明确解释过，两次各50BP降准之后，对商业银行形成的成本下降幅度可以支持一次1Y LPR 5BP的下调。从这个角度再看这次25BP降准，传递出的信号恰恰是着力避免市场形成新的LPR下调的预期。","content":"<p><html><head></head><body><b>Event: On the evening of April 15th, the central bank announced the implementation of the first 25BP RRR cut in history, and quickly implemented the requirement of \"timely RRR cut\" put forward by the National Standing Committee two days ago.</b>According to official website of the People's Bank of China, in order to \"support the development of the real economy and promote the steady decline of comprehensive financing costs\", it was decided to lower the deposit reserve ratio of financial institutions by 0.25 percentage points on April 25th (excluding financial institutions that have implemented the deposit reserve ratio of 5%); In order to increase support for small and micro enterprises and agriculture, rural areas and farmers, city commercial banks that do not operate across provinces and rural commercial banks with a deposit reserve ratio higher than 5% will be reduced by an additional 0.25 percentage points. After this downward adjustment, the weighted average deposit reserve ratio of financial institutions is 8.1%; This RRR cut releases about 530 billion long-term funds.</p><p><b>The RRR cut narrowed to 25BP for the first time, highlighting that the current urgency of liquidity is not high. Under the background that the central bank's foreign exchange reserve operating profits are turned over to the finance, which is expected to push up the growth rate of base money in the second quarter, this RRR cut is equivalent to \"replacing the reverse repurchase at the end of the month\".</b>After the Standing Committee repeated the \"timely RRR cut\", the market has formed a strong expectation for the recent RRR cut, but the extremely narrow decline of 25BP is beyond the market's expectations. Why come up with such a slightly cautious range?<b>From the perspective of \"quantity\" of liquidity supply, the factors of the two major fiscal and monetary policy operations make the liquidity itself relatively abundant in the second quarter:</b>First, this year's fiscal expenditure is obviously more positive than last year's. Last year's excess government deposits have also become an important means of financial financing this year. The excess reduction of government deposits has provided important support for the high increase of base money. In March, government deposits decreased by 1,265.7 billion yuan in a single month, a sharp decrease of 700 billion yuan year-on-year. This item alone has made an incremental contribution of 1.2 percentage points to the year-on-year growth rate of M2. In addition, from January to March, the net incremental investment of MLF was 400 billion yuan. In March, on the basis of the year-on-year increase of M2 by 0.5% to 9.7%, the calculated excess reserve rate still reached 1.6%, indicating that the inter-bank liquidity is already quite abundant. Second, the second quarter is about to usher in the peak of a trillion value-added tax credit refund during the year, and the financing mode of turning over the operating profits of the central bank's foreign exchange reserves will also bring about a large-scale investment of about 600 billion incremental base money in the current quarter. Therefore, the liquidity in the second quarter is quite abundant, and it is not difficult to ensure the growth rate of M2 of about 9.0%-9.5%.<b>In this sense, the liquidity release of 25BP totaling 530 billion is actually equivalent to the replacement of reverse repurchase at the end of the month. It is expected that the balance of reverse repurchase at the end of the month can be kept at about 50 billion before August, and the reason for still operating is more for continuous reverse repurchase quotations.</b></p><p><b>Since the liquidity is not tight, why implement a small-scale RRR cut? The goal of this operation is directly to fully meet the short-term, medium-and long-term loan needs that enterprises may concentrate under the influence of the epidemic, and reduce the comprehensive financing costs of enterprises.</b>This RRR cut will reduce the capital cost of financial institutions by about 6.5 billion yuan on an annualized basis. Although the total scale is not large,<b>However, if it is concentrated on new loans, and concentrated on the industries that have a serious impact on the epidemic and the reduction of credit costs of private and small and micro enterprises, it can achieve obvious results</b>。 Looking back at February-April, 2020, under the background that the epidemic generally impacted the cash flow of domestic enterprises, there was an ultra-seasonal peak of short-term loans of enterprises and a strong demand for long-term loans. At that time, the sharp upward trend of M2 growth rate was also well guaranteed by the RRR cut and the operation of base money.<b>This small-scale RRR cut is another round of manifestation of the credit expansion target at that time, and the magnitude is more accurate than the operation at that time. It may have fully considered the problem of avoiding the new structural distortion caused by the disguised flow of credit from the enterprise sector to the real estate and other asset markets.</b></p><p><b>After this narrow range of RRR reduction, the probability of LPR reduction has dropped substantially, and there is a 50% probability of another RRR reduction of 25BP after September.</b>Last year, the central bank clearly explained that after two 50BP RRR cuts, the cost reduction for commercial banks can support a 1Y LPR 5BP reduction. Looking at this 25BP RRR cut from this perspective, the signal transmitted is precisely to focus on avoiding the expectation of a new LPR downward adjustment in the market. Considering the asymmetric impact of LPR reduction on real estate demand (real estate bubbles are prone to appear in the first-and second-tier and eastern regions, while the effect of promoting demand release in the third-and fourth-tier and central and western regions is not as good as \"city-specific policies\", and the differentiation between the two may intensify), it is very understandable that the current central bank is cautious about interest rate cut expectations.<b>We expect a low probability of LPR reduction during the year. From the perspective of RRR reduction, the liquidity gap from September to December is relatively likely to expand. The central bank can choose to \"slightly reduce RRR\" by 25BP, or make up for it with 500 billion-800 billion reverse repurchase at the end of the month, both of which can guarantee the year-on-year growth of M2 of about 9.0% this year and the corresponding reasonable expansion of the credit environment. Although the Federal Reserve's rate hike and shrinking balance sheet are ahead of schedule, the spillover effect on China is quite small at a time when the export competitiveness is still generally strong and the overseas financing behavior of enterprises is cautious. The goal of monetary policy operation during the year still focuses on domestic credit expansion, and the main constraint still comes from the differentiation of domestic real estate market structure.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b64489fbaf333a819ea51f141715e6a6\" tg-width=\"1051\" tg-height=\"489\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/47f5c94d913ab62dd3e1814748458780\" tg-width=\"1056\" tg-height=\"462\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4acdaa16eb7d807e3e693df277198e53\" tg-width=\"1058\" tg-height=\"455\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>(Article source:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000166\">Shen Wan Hongyuan</a>）</p><p></body></html></p>","source":"eastmoney_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The first 25BP RRR cut in history is very informative</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe first 25BP RRR cut in history is very informative\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">申万宏源</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2022-04-16 11:13</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body><b>Event: On the evening of April 15th, the central bank announced the implementation of the first 25BP RRR cut in history, and quickly implemented the requirement of \"timely RRR cut\" put forward by the National Standing Committee two days ago.</b>According to official website of the People's Bank of China, in order to \"support the development of the real economy and promote the steady decline of comprehensive financing costs\", it was decided to lower the deposit reserve ratio of financial institutions by 0.25 percentage points on April 25th (excluding financial institutions that have implemented the deposit reserve ratio of 5%); In order to increase support for small and micro enterprises and agriculture, rural areas and farmers, city commercial banks that do not operate across provinces and rural commercial banks with a deposit reserve ratio higher than 5% will be reduced by an additional 0.25 percentage points. After this downward adjustment, the weighted average deposit reserve ratio of financial institutions is 8.1%; This RRR cut releases about 530 billion long-term funds.</p><p><b>The RRR cut narrowed to 25BP for the first time, highlighting that the current urgency of liquidity is not high. Under the background that the central bank's foreign exchange reserve operating profits are turned over to the finance, which is expected to push up the growth rate of base money in the second quarter, this RRR cut is equivalent to \"replacing the reverse repurchase at the end of the month\".</b>After the Standing Committee repeated the \"timely RRR cut\", the market has formed a strong expectation for the recent RRR cut, but the extremely narrow decline of 25BP is beyond the market's expectations. Why come up with such a slightly cautious range?<b>From the perspective of \"quantity\" of liquidity supply, the factors of the two major fiscal and monetary policy operations make the liquidity itself relatively abundant in the second quarter:</b>First, this year's fiscal expenditure is obviously more positive than last year's. Last year's excess government deposits have also become an important means of financial financing this year. The excess reduction of government deposits has provided important support for the high increase of base money. In March, government deposits decreased by 1,265.7 billion yuan in a single month, a sharp decrease of 700 billion yuan year-on-year. This item alone has made an incremental contribution of 1.2 percentage points to the year-on-year growth rate of M2. In addition, from January to March, the net incremental investment of MLF was 400 billion yuan. In March, on the basis of the year-on-year increase of M2 by 0.5% to 9.7%, the calculated excess reserve rate still reached 1.6%, indicating that the inter-bank liquidity is already quite abundant. Second, the second quarter is about to usher in the peak of a trillion value-added tax credit refund during the year, and the financing mode of turning over the operating profits of the central bank's foreign exchange reserves will also bring about a large-scale investment of about 600 billion incremental base money in the current quarter. Therefore, the liquidity in the second quarter is quite abundant, and it is not difficult to ensure the growth rate of M2 of about 9.0%-9.5%.<b>In this sense, the liquidity release of 25BP totaling 530 billion is actually equivalent to the replacement of reverse repurchase at the end of the month. It is expected that the balance of reverse repurchase at the end of the month can be kept at about 50 billion before August, and the reason for still operating is more for continuous reverse repurchase quotations.</b></p><p><b>Since the liquidity is not tight, why implement a small-scale RRR cut? The goal of this operation is directly to fully meet the short-term, medium-and long-term loan needs that enterprises may concentrate under the influence of the epidemic, and reduce the comprehensive financing costs of enterprises.</b>This RRR cut will reduce the capital cost of financial institutions by about 6.5 billion yuan on an annualized basis. Although the total scale is not large,<b>However, if it is concentrated on new loans, and concentrated on the industries that have a serious impact on the epidemic and the reduction of credit costs of private and small and micro enterprises, it can achieve obvious results</b>。 Looking back at February-April, 2020, under the background that the epidemic generally impacted the cash flow of domestic enterprises, there was an ultra-seasonal peak of short-term loans of enterprises and a strong demand for long-term loans. At that time, the sharp upward trend of M2 growth rate was also well guaranteed by the RRR cut and the operation of base money.<b>This small-scale RRR cut is another round of manifestation of the credit expansion target at that time, and the magnitude is more accurate than the operation at that time. It may have fully considered the problem of avoiding the new structural distortion caused by the disguised flow of credit from the enterprise sector to the real estate and other asset markets.</b></p><p><b>After this narrow range of RRR reduction, the probability of LPR reduction has dropped substantially, and there is a 50% probability of another RRR reduction of 25BP after September.</b>Last year, the central bank clearly explained that after two 50BP RRR cuts, the cost reduction for commercial banks can support a 1Y LPR 5BP reduction. Looking at this 25BP RRR cut from this perspective, the signal transmitted is precisely to focus on avoiding the expectation of a new LPR downward adjustment in the market. Considering the asymmetric impact of LPR reduction on real estate demand (real estate bubbles are prone to appear in the first-and second-tier and eastern regions, while the effect of promoting demand release in the third-and fourth-tier and central and western regions is not as good as \"city-specific policies\", and the differentiation between the two may intensify), it is very understandable that the current central bank is cautious about interest rate cut expectations.<b>We expect a low probability of LPR reduction during the year. From the perspective of RRR reduction, the liquidity gap from September to December is relatively likely to expand. The central bank can choose to \"slightly reduce RRR\" by 25BP, or make up for it with 500 billion-800 billion reverse repurchase at the end of the month, both of which can guarantee the year-on-year growth of M2 of about 9.0% this year and the corresponding reasonable expansion of the credit environment. Although the Federal Reserve's rate hike and shrinking balance sheet are ahead of schedule, the spillover effect on China is quite small at a time when the export competitiveness is still generally strong and the overseas financing behavior of enterprises is cautious. The goal of monetary policy operation during the year still focuses on domestic credit expansion, and the main constraint still comes from the differentiation of domestic real estate market structure.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b64489fbaf333a819ea51f141715e6a6\" tg-width=\"1051\" tg-height=\"489\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/47f5c94d913ab62dd3e1814748458780\" tg-width=\"1056\" tg-height=\"462\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4acdaa16eb7d807e3e693df277198e53\" tg-width=\"1058\" tg-height=\"455\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>(Article source:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000166\">Shen Wan Hongyuan</a>）</p><p></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"http://hk.eastmoney.com/a/202204162345587913_0.html\">申万宏源</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15ae9f2abd036fa3d016507d9eb2f41e","relate_stocks":{"BK1148":"建筑与工程","09979":"绿城管理控股"},"source_url":"http://hk.eastmoney.com/a/202204162345587913_0.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2227983921","content_text":"事件：4月15日晚间，央行宣布实施历史上首次25BP的降准，迅速落实了两天前国常会提出的“适时降准”要求。据人民银行官网，为“支持实体经济发展，促进综合融资成本稳中有降”，决定于4月25日下调金融机构存款准备金率0.25个百分点(不含已执行5%存款准备金率的金融机构)；为加大对小微企业和三农的支持力度，对没有跨省经营的城商行和存款准备金率高于5%的农商行额外多降0.25个百分点。本次下调后，金融机构加权平均存款准备金率为8.1%；此次降准释放长期资金约5300亿。降准幅度首次收窄至25BP，凸显当前流动性投放迫切性并不高，在央行外汇储备经营利润上缴财政有望推升二季度基础货币增速的背景下，此次降准相当于“置换月末逆回购”。国常会重提“适时降准”之后，市场对近日降准已经形成强烈预期，但25BP的极窄降幅却是出乎市场预料的，为什么拿出这样一个稍显谨慎的幅度？从流动性供给“量”的角度来看，两大财政货币政策操作配合的因素，令二季度流动性投放本身就比较充裕：其一，今年财政支出较去年明显更加积极，去年多存的政府存款也成为今年重要的财政融资手段，政府存款的多减对基础货币高增提供了重要支持，3月政府存款单月减少达12657亿，同比大幅多减7000亿，仅这一项就对M2同比增速形成了1.2个百分点的增量贡献，加之1-3月MLF增量净投放4000亿，3月在M2同比上行0.5%至9.7%的基础上，测算的超储率仍达到1.6%，显示银行间流动性已经相当充裕。其二，二季度即将迎来万亿增值税留抵退税的年内峰值，其所采用的央行外汇储备经营利润上缴的融资模式也将带来当季约6000亿的增量基础货币大规模投放，从而二季度流动性本就相当充裕，保证9.0%-9.5%左右的M2增速难度并不大。从这个意义上来看，这次25BP合计5300亿的流动性释放，其实相当于对月末逆回购的置换，预计8月之前月末逆回购余额都可以保持在500亿左右的地量，仍进行操作的原因更多是为了有连续的逆回购报价。既然流动性量并不紧张，为何实施小规模降准？本次操作的目标直指充分满足疫情影响下企业可能集中出现的短期和中长期贷款需求，并降低企业综合融资成本。本次降准年化降低金融机构资金成本约65亿元，尽管总规模并不大，但如果集中用于新增贷款投放，并集中导向对疫情影响较为严重的行业和民营、小微企业信贷成本的下降，是可以实现比较明显的效果的。回顾2020年2-4月，疫情普遍冲击国内企业现金流的背景下，就曾出现过企业短期贷款的超季节性高峰、长期贷款需求也较为旺盛，当时M2增速的大幅上行也得到降准、基础货币投放操作的良好保障。这次的小规模降准正是当时的扩信用目标的又一轮体现，且幅度上也较当时的操作更为精确，可能已经充分考虑到避免出现信贷从企业部门变相流向房地产等资产市场导致新的结构扭曲的问题。本次窄幅降准后，LPR下调的概率实质性下降，9月之后有50%的概率再降准25BP。去年央行曾明确解释过，两次各50BP降准之后，对商业银行形成的成本下降幅度可以支持一次1Y LPR 5BP的下调。从这个角度再看这次25BP降准，传递出的信号恰恰是着力避免市场形成新的LPR下调的预期。考虑到LPR下调对房地产需求的非对称影响(一二线、东部地区容易出现地产泡沫，而三四线、中西部地区促进需求释放的效果不如“因城施策”，两者分化可能加剧)，当前央行对降息预期态度谨慎是非常可以理解的。我们预计年内LPR下调的概率较低。从降准的角度来看，9月-12月流动性缺口又相对可能有所扩大，央行既可以选择再“微降准”25BP，也可以用5000亿-8000亿的月末逆回购抵补，两者均可保障今年9.0%左右的M2同比增长和对应的合理扩张的信用环境。而尽管美联储加息、缩表均有提前，但在出口竞争力仍总体强劲、企业境外融资行为谨慎的当下，对我国的外溢效应相当小，年内货币政策操作的目标仍聚焦国内扩信用，而主要约束也仍来自国内房地产市场结构的分化。（文章来源：申万宏源）","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"09979":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1593,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9029587129,"gmtCreate":1652799125561,"gmtModify":1676535163976,"author":{"id":"3573814781456643","authorId":"3573814781456643","name":"CalvinChong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a70af8809a95756364cc82fcfde2f404","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573814781456643","authorIdStr":"3573814781456643"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"nice","listText":"nice","text":"nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9029587129","repostId":"1165989215","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3280,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}