HolyPlumchu personal page - To The Moon

HolyPlumchu

HolyPlumchu

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01-23

$Upstart Holdings, Inc.(UPST)$ To the moon

01-23

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Elon Musk mentioned he doesnt want to make Tesla an AI company as he doesnt have enough control over it and needs 12.5% more ownership which is almost impossible given Tesla valuation. Hence imo the hype about Tesla as an AI company should die out. Even if it rallies I doubt it will rally big as I view it as a EV company only now which EV market is not doing very well atm with all the co.plains.. Will see what ia Tesla's direction for the future before going bullish on it. 190 seems like a nice point to buy the dip though...

2023-03-01

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$

2021-08-10

$AMD(AMD)$up more please

2021-08-03

Dont own any of them ?

August Is Actually A Great Month If You Own These 8 Stocks

2021-07-31

Hope it stays low

BofA Says Interest Rates Are at 5,000-Year Low

2021-07-31

$Pinterest, Inc.(PINS)$lower than average

2021-07-23

Renewable energy

2021-07-21

$Trade Desk Inc.(TTD)$push up more after the split

2021-07-21

Bull run!!

U.S. stock main indexes rose more than 1%

2021-06-18

More AMDs

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2021-06-18

Smart and green city

Investor Who Gained 20,000% on Alibaba Bets on Smart Cities

2021-06-16

Shoppppppp

Alibaba stock on watch ahead of major Chinese shopping festival

2021-06-16

How much more can netflix offer

Netflix: The Selloff Looks Overdone

2021-06-16

Ether the way to go?

Goldman Expands Crypto-Trading Desk By Offering Ether Options

2021-06-16

Where will the money go then

Investors and the Fed aren't freaking out about inflation. Should they?

2021-06-14

Bull run already

Etsy: Excellent Opportunity To Buy The Dip In Stock Price

2021-06-14

Feels overvalued unless they have groundbreaking products

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2021-06-14

Waiting for the next hike

A Meme Stock Is Born: How to Spot the Next Reddit Favorite

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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. ","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","idStr":"3575243382642927","authorIdStr":"3575243382642927"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/UPST\">$Upstart Holdings, Inc.(UPST)$ </a> To the moon","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/UPST\">$Upstart Holdings, Inc.(UPST)$ </a> To the moon","text":"$Upstart Holdings, Inc.(UPST)$ To the moon","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/807804637532b3c7e950e11121ec91be","width":"906","height":"1406"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":22,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/266037722140976","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":375,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000466","authorId":"9000000000000466","name":"MR_Wu","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/67592890bebcf079461acc4e4e6ba6f6","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000466","authorIdStr":"9000000000000466"},"content":"🚀 The author's enthusiasm is contagious!","text":"🚀 The author's enthusiasm is contagious!","html":"🚀 The author's enthusiasm is contagious!"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":266034048586016,"gmtCreate":1705970265333,"gmtModify":1706511438737,"author":{"id":"3575243382642927","authorId":"3575243382642927","name":"HolyPlumchu","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/892e8c26da1e25a378842a0bd731540f","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575243382642927","authorIdStr":"3575243382642927"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v> Elon Musk mentioned he doesnt want to make Tesla an AI company as he doesnt have enough control over it and needs 12.5% more ownership which is almost impossible given Tesla valuation. Hence imo the hype about Tesla as an AI company should die out. Even if it rallies I doubt it will rally big as I view it as a EV company only now which EV market is not doing very well atm with all the co.plains.. Will see what ia Tesla's direction for the future before going bullish on it. 190 seems like a nice point to buy the dip though...","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v> Elon Musk mentioned he doesnt want to make Tesla an AI company as he doesnt have enough control over it and needs 12.5% more ownership which is almost impossible given Tesla valuation. Hence imo the hype about Tesla as an AI company should die out. Even if it rallies I doubt it will rally big as I view it as a EV company only now which EV market is not doing very well atm with all the co.plains.. Will see what ia Tesla's direction for the future before going bullish on it. 190 seems like a nice point to buy the dip though...","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Elon Musk mentioned he doesnt want to make Tesla an AI company as he doesnt have enough control over it and needs 12.5% more ownership which is almost impossible given Tesla valuation. Hence imo the hype about Tesla as an AI company should die out. Even if it rallies I doubt it will rally big as I view it as a EV company only now which EV market is not doing very well atm with all the co.plains.. Will see what ia Tesla's direction for the future before going bullish on it. 190 seems like a nice point to buy the dip though...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":44,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":7,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/266034048586016","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1240,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9940055441,"gmtCreate":1677625310484,"gmtModify":1677625312515,"author":{"id":"3575243382642927","authorId":"3575243382642927","name":"HolyPlumchu","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/892e8c26da1e25a378842a0bd731540f","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575243382642927","authorIdStr":"3575243382642927"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SPY\">$SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SPY\">$SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>","text":"$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9940055441","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":195,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":896674066,"gmtCreate":1628582330755,"gmtModify":1703508509407,"author":{"id":"3575243382642927","authorId":"3575243382642927","name":"HolyPlumchu","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/892e8c26da1e25a378842a0bd731540f","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575243382642927","authorIdStr":"3575243382642927"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">$AMD(AMD)$</a>up more please","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">$AMD(AMD)$</a>up more please","text":"$AMD(AMD)$up more please","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/920ec39fc0ee33370776f2bd12db54fb","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/896674066","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":395,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":804104815,"gmtCreate":1627943458737,"gmtModify":1703498118076,"author":{"id":"3575243382642927","authorId":"3575243382642927","name":"HolyPlumchu","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/892e8c26da1e25a378842a0bd731540f","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575243382642927","authorIdStr":"3575243382642927"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Dont own any of them ?","listText":"Dont own any of them ?","text":"Dont own any of them ?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/804104815","repostId":"1172320411","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1172320411","pubTimestamp":1627907414,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1172320411?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-08-02 20:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"August Is Actually A Great Month If You Own These 8 Stocks","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1172320411","media":"investors","summary":"August is feared as $one$ of the worst months for the S&P 500 — and for good reason. But investorsstill find ways to make big money.Eight stocks inthe S&P 500, mostly tech and communications services firms likeNvidia,IBD Long-Term Leader$Microsoft$ and$Twitter$, are complete standouts in the S&P 500 in August, says an Investor's Business Daily analysis of data from S&P Global Market Intelligence andMarketSmith.All these stocks not only topped the S&P 500 in August in each of the past five years.","content":"<p>August is feared as <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of the worst months for the S&amp;P 500 — and for good reason. But investorsstill find ways to make big money.</p>\n<p>Eight stocks inthe S&amp;P 500, mostly tech and communications services firms like<b>Nvidia</b>(NVDA),IBD Long-Term Leader<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">Microsoft</a></b>(MSFT) and<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWTR\">Twitter</a></b>(TWTR), are complete standouts in the S&amp;P 500 in August, says an Investor's Business Daily analysis of data from S&amp;P Global Market Intelligence andMarketSmith.</p>\n<p>All these stocks not only topped the S&amp;P 500 in August in each of the past five years. They also all posted average gains in the month of 4% or more.</p>\n<p>And that qualifies as a good August — which for most people ranks among the very worst months of the year.</p>\n<p><b>August Is Usually Tough For The S&amp;P 500</b></p>\n<p>Going back to 1950, the S&amp;P 500 slipped 0.2% in August on average, says Stock Trader's Almanac. That ranks August as the eleventh-worst month of the year for the index.</p>\n<p>Andunderperformance in Augustisn't a fluke. It can sometimes come in dead last.</p>\n<p>\"August is the worst ... S&amp;P 500 month during 1988 through 2020,\" says Stock Trader's Almanac. \"In post-election years since 1950, August is still ranked no higher than #11 while average performance slips deeper into negative territory.\"</p>\n<p>More recently, though, August spared S&amp;P 500 investors some of the pain.</p>\n<p>Last August, for instance, the S&amp;P 500 vaulted 7% higher during the month. It was at that time investors began to anticipate the reopening of the economy. But in just the prior August of 2019, the S&amp;P 500 slipped 1.8%.</p>\n<p>But not all S&amp;P 500 stocks suffer in August.</p>\n<p><b>Technology Is The S&amp;P 500 Place To Be In August</b></p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">Just</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> S&amp;P 500 sector routinely skates through August. Andit's technology.</p>\n<p>The Technology <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SLCT\">Select</a> Sector SPDR (XLK) is the only sector out of the 11 that topped the S&amp;P 500 in each of the past five years. And during August the past five years, the tech sector gained 4.2% on average. That's a particularly strong showing if you consider the S&amp;P 50o only rose 1.6% on average in August going back to 2016.</p>\n<p>And it's not just the overall S&amp;P 500 tech sector that outperforms in August. Drilling down into the individual tech stock winners tells the same story. Six out of the eight top performing S&amp;P 500 stocks in Augusthail from the tech sector.</p>\n<p>Take the No. 1 performer in the month: high-end computer chip maker Nvidia. It topped the S&amp;P 500 during August in each of the past five years. But it's also put up an average gain in the month of 10.3%. All eyes are on whether Nvidia can pull it off again. Shares are already up nearly 50% this year.</p>\n<p>Analysts are looking for the company in August to report 53% lower adjusted second-quarter profit of $1.02 share. But Nvidia has a knack at overdelivering. Profit in the first-quarter topped expectations by more than 350%.Should you buy Nvidia stock now?</p>\n<p>Another big tech winner in August isMicrosoft. The software giant's shares pushed 4.3% higher in August, on average, the past five years.</p>\n<p><b>Get Ready For August S&amp;P 500 Surprises</b></p>\n<p>August is only starting, and already investors are coming off some surprises. Expect more.</p>\n<p>Take <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWTR\">Twitter</a> for instance. It, too, is a strong August performer. It's risen more than 8.5% in August, on average, in the past five years. Shares are already up 28.6% this year. Why? The communications firm reported, in July, a profit of 20 cents a share. That demolished expectations by more than 185%. That ranks as one of thetop surprises in an already robust second-quarter profit reporting season.</p>\n<p>So, yes, August isn't usually great for the S&amp;P 500. But you can still find winners if you pick your spots in this tricky month.</p>\n<p><b>Top S&amp;P 500 Stocks In August</b></p>\n<p><i>All topped the index in each August for at least past five years</i></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a7a31319541a52991d1b6112a83e82a\" tg-width=\"741\" tg-height=\"400\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p></p>","source":"lsy1610449120050","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>August Is Actually A Great Month If You Own These 8 Stocks</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAugust Is Actually A Great Month If You Own These 8 Stocks\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-02 20:30 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.investors.com/etfs-and-funds/sectors/sp500-august-is-actually-a-great-month-if-you-own-these-8-stocks/?src=A00220><strong>investors</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>August is feared as one of the worst months for the S&P 500 — and for good reason. But investorsstill find ways to make big money.\nEight stocks inthe S&P 500, mostly tech and communications services ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.investors.com/etfs-and-funds/sectors/sp500-august-is-actually-a-great-month-if-you-own-these-8-stocks/?src=A00220\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MA":"万事达","NVDA":"英伟达","SNPS":"新思科技","INTU":"财捷","MSFT":"微软","TWTR":"Twitter","CTAS":"信达思","V":"Visa"},"source_url":"https://www.investors.com/etfs-and-funds/sectors/sp500-august-is-actually-a-great-month-if-you-own-these-8-stocks/?src=A00220","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1172320411","content_text":"August is feared as one of the worst months for the S&P 500 — and for good reason. But investorsstill find ways to make big money.\nEight stocks inthe S&P 500, mostly tech and communications services firms likeNvidia(NVDA),IBD Long-Term LeaderMicrosoft(MSFT) andTwitter(TWTR), are complete standouts in the S&P 500 in August, says an Investor's Business Daily analysis of data from S&P Global Market Intelligence andMarketSmith.\nAll these stocks not only topped the S&P 500 in August in each of the past five years. They also all posted average gains in the month of 4% or more.\nAnd that qualifies as a good August — which for most people ranks among the very worst months of the year.\nAugust Is Usually Tough For The S&P 500\nGoing back to 1950, the S&P 500 slipped 0.2% in August on average, says Stock Trader's Almanac. That ranks August as the eleventh-worst month of the year for the index.\nAndunderperformance in Augustisn't a fluke. It can sometimes come in dead last.\n\"August is the worst ... S&P 500 month during 1988 through 2020,\" says Stock Trader's Almanac. \"In post-election years since 1950, August is still ranked no higher than #11 while average performance slips deeper into negative territory.\"\nMore recently, though, August spared S&P 500 investors some of the pain.\nLast August, for instance, the S&P 500 vaulted 7% higher during the month. It was at that time investors began to anticipate the reopening of the economy. But in just the prior August of 2019, the S&P 500 slipped 1.8%.\nBut not all S&P 500 stocks suffer in August.\nTechnology Is The S&P 500 Place To Be In August\nJust one S&P 500 sector routinely skates through August. Andit's technology.\nThe Technology Select Sector SPDR (XLK) is the only sector out of the 11 that topped the S&P 500 in each of the past five years. And during August the past five years, the tech sector gained 4.2% on average. That's a particularly strong showing if you consider the S&P 50o only rose 1.6% on average in August going back to 2016.\nAnd it's not just the overall S&P 500 tech sector that outperforms in August. Drilling down into the individual tech stock winners tells the same story. Six out of the eight top performing S&P 500 stocks in Augusthail from the tech sector.\nTake the No. 1 performer in the month: high-end computer chip maker Nvidia. It topped the S&P 500 during August in each of the past five years. But it's also put up an average gain in the month of 10.3%. All eyes are on whether Nvidia can pull it off again. Shares are already up nearly 50% this year.\nAnalysts are looking for the company in August to report 53% lower adjusted second-quarter profit of $1.02 share. But Nvidia has a knack at overdelivering. Profit in the first-quarter topped expectations by more than 350%.Should you buy Nvidia stock now?\nAnother big tech winner in August isMicrosoft. The software giant's shares pushed 4.3% higher in August, on average, the past five years.\nGet Ready For August S&P 500 Surprises\nAugust is only starting, and already investors are coming off some surprises. Expect more.\nTake Twitter for instance. It, too, is a strong August performer. It's risen more than 8.5% in August, on average, in the past five years. Shares are already up 28.6% this year. Why? The communications firm reported, in July, a profit of 20 cents a share. That demolished expectations by more than 185%. That ranks as one of thetop surprises in an already robust second-quarter profit reporting season.\nSo, yes, August isn't usually great for the S&P 500. But you can still find winners if you pick your spots in this tricky month.\nTop S&P 500 Stocks In August\nAll topped the index in each August for at least past five years","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":297,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":806444522,"gmtCreate":1627691219166,"gmtModify":1703494680143,"author":{"id":"3575243382642927","authorId":"3575243382642927","name":"HolyPlumchu","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/892e8c26da1e25a378842a0bd731540f","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575243382642927","authorIdStr":"3575243382642927"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hope it stays low","listText":"Hope it stays low","text":"Hope it stays low","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/806444522","repostId":"1125426477","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1125426477","pubTimestamp":1627688762,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1125426477?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-31 07:46","market":"us","language":"en","title":"BofA Says Interest Rates Are at 5,000-Year Low","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1125426477","media":"The Street","summary":"'At some point in the next 5,000 years, rates will rise, but there is no fear on Wall Street that th","content":"<blockquote>\n 'At some point in the next 5,000 years, rates will rise, but there is no fear on Wall Street that this happens anytime soon,' BofA says.\n</blockquote>\n<p>Bank of America says interest rates are at a 5,000-year low and recommends holding quality, defensive stocks for the rest of the year.</p>\n<p>The interest-rate calculation comes from BofA’s own data, the Bank of England, Global Financial Data and the 2005 book “A History of Interest Rates.”</p>\n<p>“Central banks are keeping global interest rates at 5,000 year lows,” wrote BofA&nbsp; Chief Investment Strategist Michael Hartnett. “At some point in the next 5,000 years, rates will rise, but there is no fear on Wall Street that this happens anytime soon.”</p>\n<p>The message of this week’s FOMC meeting was \"we will let it [the economy] run hot, [represents an] ok for inflation to be not-so-transitory,” he said.</p>\n<p>“The market reaction will be [to push] the U.S. dollar down and U.S. Treasury yields up. Commodities will remain bid, and there will be a rotation to emerging market stocks and bonds.”</p>\n<p>Hartnett also sees a “preference for quality and defensive stocks, driven by inflation causing growth and EPS estimates to fall. The U.S. consumer has peaked.”</p>\n<p>As for BofA’s advice, it recommends owning “defensive, quality stocks in the second half, … as policy flip-flops will end in a market correction,” Hartnett says.</p>\n<p>BofA favors defensive stocks in vaccinated markets, such as the U.S. and European Union. And it likes cyclical reopening stocks in markets with “vaccine-upside, i.e. Japan, China and emerging markets.”</p>\n<p>U.S. stocks are falling Friday, as investors weigh concerns about the spread of the COVID-19 Delta variant and disappointing results from online retail giant Amazon (AMZN).</p>","source":"lsy1610613172068","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>BofA Says Interest Rates Are at 5,000-Year Low</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBofA Says Interest Rates Are at 5,000-Year Low\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-31 07:46 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.thestreet.com/investing/b-of-a-interest-rates-5000-year-><strong>The Street</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>'At some point in the next 5,000 years, rates will rise, but there is no fear on Wall Street that this happens anytime soon,' BofA says.\n\nBank of America says interest rates are at a 5,000-year low ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/b-of-a-interest-rates-5000-year-\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/b-of-a-interest-rates-5000-year-","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1125426477","content_text":"'At some point in the next 5,000 years, rates will rise, but there is no fear on Wall Street that this happens anytime soon,' BofA says.\n\nBank of America says interest rates are at a 5,000-year low and recommends holding quality, defensive stocks for the rest of the year.\nThe interest-rate calculation comes from BofA’s own data, the Bank of England, Global Financial Data and the 2005 book “A History of Interest Rates.”\n“Central banks are keeping global interest rates at 5,000 year lows,” wrote BofA  Chief Investment Strategist Michael Hartnett. “At some point in the next 5,000 years, rates will rise, but there is no fear on Wall Street that this happens anytime soon.”\nThe message of this week’s FOMC meeting was \"we will let it [the economy] run hot, [represents an] ok for inflation to be not-so-transitory,” he said.\n“The market reaction will be [to push] the U.S. dollar down and U.S. Treasury yields up. Commodities will remain bid, and there will be a rotation to emerging market stocks and bonds.”\nHartnett also sees a “preference for quality and defensive stocks, driven by inflation causing growth and EPS estimates to fall. The U.S. consumer has peaked.”\nAs for BofA’s advice, it recommends owning “defensive, quality stocks in the second half, … as policy flip-flops will end in a market correction,” Hartnett says.\nBofA favors defensive stocks in vaccinated markets, such as the U.S. and European Union. And it likes cyclical reopening stocks in markets with “vaccine-upside, i.e. Japan, China and emerging markets.”\nU.S. stocks are falling Friday, as investors weigh concerns about the spread of the COVID-19 Delta variant and disappointing results from online retail giant Amazon (AMZN).","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":271,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":806457417,"gmtCreate":1627690825339,"gmtModify":1703494668271,"author":{"id":"3575243382642927","authorId":"3575243382642927","name":"HolyPlumchu","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/892e8c26da1e25a378842a0bd731540f","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575243382642927","authorIdStr":"3575243382642927"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PINS\">$Pinterest, Inc.(PINS)$</a>lower than average","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PINS\">$Pinterest, Inc.(PINS)$</a>lower than average","text":"$Pinterest, Inc.(PINS)$lower than average","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/863f4c90c974f816d391159245d03371","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/806457417","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":565,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":172729054,"gmtCreate":1626995451278,"gmtModify":1703481914728,"author":{"id":"3575243382642927","authorId":"3575243382642927","name":"HolyPlumchu","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/892e8c26da1e25a378842a0bd731540f","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575243382642927","authorIdStr":"3575243382642927"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Renewable energy","listText":"Renewable energy","text":"Renewable energy","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7be728f98dc4a225b81add277f60751c","width":"1080","height":"2233"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/172729054","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":647,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":178863211,"gmtCreate":1626797733533,"gmtModify":1703765484449,"author":{"id":"3575243382642927","authorId":"3575243382642927","name":"HolyPlumchu","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/892e8c26da1e25a378842a0bd731540f","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575243382642927","authorIdStr":"3575243382642927"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TTD\">$Trade Desk Inc.(TTD)$</a>push up more after the split","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TTD\">$Trade Desk Inc.(TTD)$</a>push up more after the split","text":"$Trade Desk Inc.(TTD)$push up more after the split","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/52d1ad6c79a52398a44c4d267535d797","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/178863211","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":453,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":178885865,"gmtCreate":1626797363957,"gmtModify":1703765476676,"author":{"id":"3575243382642927","authorId":"3575243382642927","name":"HolyPlumchu","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/892e8c26da1e25a378842a0bd731540f","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575243382642927","authorIdStr":"3575243382642927"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Bull run!!","listText":"Bull run!!","text":"Bull run!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/178885865","repostId":"1127649148","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1127649148","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1626793055,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1127649148?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-20 22:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. stock main indexes rose more than 1%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1127649148","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(July 20) U.S. stock main indexes rose more than 1% in morning trading.","content":"<p>(July 20)&nbsp;U.S. stock main&nbsp;indexes rose more than 1%&nbsp;in morning trading.&nbsp;</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e022664a53db67f658ba55350af6aaa5\" tg-width=\"1444\" tg-height=\"170\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/97fe4032e63f9a83cfb2f82950a046ce\" tg-width=\"1866\" tg-height=\"894\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7704cab75fd884a262bc6756d1f6927a\" tg-width=\"1866\" tg-height=\"927\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7078c2484f2c1381d606bc832a00fa93\" tg-width=\"1866\" tg-height=\"922\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. stock main indexes rose more than 1%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. stock main indexes rose more than 1%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-07-20 22:57</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(July 20)&nbsp;U.S. stock main&nbsp;indexes rose more than 1%&nbsp;in morning trading.&nbsp;</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e022664a53db67f658ba55350af6aaa5\" tg-width=\"1444\" tg-height=\"170\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/97fe4032e63f9a83cfb2f82950a046ce\" tg-width=\"1866\" tg-height=\"894\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7704cab75fd884a262bc6756d1f6927a\" tg-width=\"1866\" tg-height=\"927\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7078c2484f2c1381d606bc832a00fa93\" tg-width=\"1866\" tg-height=\"922\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1127649148","content_text":"(July 20) U.S. stock main indexes rose more than 1% in morning trading.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":470,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3583884958321017","authorId":"3583884958321017","name":"AnaiAnai","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b0d0d8e20a4082ac0bc6a98756546ec","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3583884958321017","authorIdStr":"3583884958321017"},"content":"back to 35k soon","text":"back to 35k soon","html":"back to 35k soon"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":168370049,"gmtCreate":1623955088381,"gmtModify":1703824626794,"author":{"id":"3575243382642927","authorId":"3575243382642927","name":"HolyPlumchu","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/892e8c26da1e25a378842a0bd731540f","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575243382642927","authorIdStr":"3575243382642927"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"More AMDs","listText":"More AMDs","text":"More AMDs","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/168370049","repostId":"2144749073","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":531,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":168358220,"gmtCreate":1623953267360,"gmtModify":1703824606512,"author":{"id":"3575243382642927","authorId":"3575243382642927","name":"HolyPlumchu","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/892e8c26da1e25a378842a0bd731540f","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575243382642927","authorIdStr":"3575243382642927"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Smart and green city","listText":"Smart and green city","text":"Smart and green city","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/168358220","repostId":"1162782159","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1162782159","pubTimestamp":1623938788,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1162782159?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-17 22:06","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Investor Who Gained 20,000% on Alibaba Bets on Smart Cities","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1162782159","media":"bloomberg","summary":"In 1999, Benson Tam decided to help out his buddy Joe Tsai and orchestrated a $500,000 investment for his then-untested startup. That company turned out to beAlibaba Group Holding Ltd., which revolutionized online shopping in China and debuted 15 years later with the world’s largest initial public offering, yielding a 200-fold return for Tam and his partners.Now, his Beijing-based Venturous Group has raised $131 million from financial institutions including Fidelity as well as billionaire famili","content":"<p>In 1999, Benson Tam decided to help out his buddy Joe Tsai and orchestrated a $500,000 investment for his then-untested startup. That company turned out to beAlibaba Group Holding Ltd., which revolutionized online shopping in China and debuted 15 years later with the world’s largest initial public offering, yielding a 200-fold return for Tam and his partners.</p>\n<p>In contrast with his decisive bet into Alibaba, Tam has spent the better part of the past decade studying and planning for what he believes will be the transformative trend of the new century. Now, his Venturous Group is preparing to step into the limelight, raising $131 million to help bankroll China’s so-called New Infrastructure plan: amulti-trillion-dollar vision to lay the foundation for the country’s future by building everything from intelligent cities to sprawling ultra-fast networks. It’s a vastly longer-term bet than the rocket ship that was Alibaba, but Tam believes the payoff could be similar in magnitude if he plays his cards right.</p>\n<p>“Think before you act, aim before you shoot,” said the methodical 57-year-old, adding that he read 400 books and tested the waters with several personal investments in the seven years before launching his new venture.</p>\n<p>Tam’s Venturous is the product of a three-decade career during which the veteran has backed other early internet giants and helped pioneer venture investing and private equity across the world’s No. 2 economy. His journey into finance began in 1989 as an investment banker at S.G. Warburg in London. The Asia IPO boom two years later brought Tam back to his hometown of Hong Kong, where he shepherded companies going public for East Asia Warburg, followed by stints working on private equity at Hellman &amp; Friedman Asia and Electra Partners Asia.</p>\n<p>The successful bet on Alibaba, made jointly with Fidelity Investments, led him to co-found Fidelity Growth Partners Asia in 2002, where he played a key role in growing assets 200-fold to $4 billion in just a decade. Tam’s signature investments also includeAsiaInfo Holdings, which built China’s first national broadband network and became one of the first Chinese tech listings on the Nasdaq.</p>\n<p>Tam’s early experience taught him the value of personal relationships and the Hong Kong native moved to Beijing in 2002 to befriend mainland entrepreneurs. One of his key goals in his early days as a venture capitalist was to be invited by startup founders and fellow investors to weekend parties. Even today, Tam still attends team-building activities at his investee firms. “Capital is not all about money. It’s not all about numbers. It’s ultimately about people,” Tam said.</p>\n<p>Now, his Beijing-based Venturous Group has raised $131 million from financial institutions including Fidelity as well as billionaire families in its Series A round. He’s seeking another $100 million by the end of this year to digitalize buildings, transportation and other urban facilities in China, an initiative backed by President Xi Jinping himself.</p>\n<p>Under Beijing’s infrastructure masterplan, China will invest an estimated$1.4 trillionover six years to 2025 to lay fifth generation wireless networks, install cameras and sensors, and deploy artificial intelligence technology that will enable cutting-edge solutions such as autonomous driving and internet-connected smart homes.</p>\n<p>Savio Kwan, the first chief operating officer at Alibaba, says Tam is uniquely positioned to lead China’s next tech boom. “It looks as if it is lucky to be there early. But it is not,” said Kwan, who invested $10 million into Venturous. “To be early means you’re well prepared and you’re learning from your past experience.”</p>\n<p>It was precisely a missed opportunity that transformed Tam into a better investor, according to Kwan. In 2002, when Alibaba was trying to raise a third round of $5 million, many existing backers -- Fidelity included -- took a wait-and-see approach. Kwan and several others like co-founders Jack Ma and Tsai ended up putting in $1 million of their own money to close the round, an investment that ended up generating a 40-fold return in the following two years. “That must have affected Benson in a sense that he wants to go for the long term,” Kwan says.</p>\n<p>Liu Tianwen, the founder and chief executive officer ofiSoftStone Information Technology (Group) Co., is among entrepreneurs who have benefited from Tam’s patience and unwillingness to write off troubled startups. When the software firm struggled to raise capital during the 2008 financial crisis, Tam not only doubled down on Fidelity’s investment but also helped bring in more investors. Since then, sales of Beijing-based iSoftStone have climbed to nearly 13 billion yuan ($2 billion) in 2020 and the company is set to float on China’s Nasdaq-style ChiNext board this year.</p>\n<p>“Some investors eye an immediate return, but Benson has a vision for the long run,” Liu said. It was Liu’s business that crystallized Tam’s decision to bet big on smart cities, after local mayors started flocking to iSoftStone’s headquarters for help to digitalize local services and infrastructure in 2017.</p>\n<p>“That was the aha moment,” Tam said. “We realized that something had tipped over with respect to smart city tech.”</p>\n<p>Venturous Group makes concentrated bets -- pouring nearly all the capital it’s raised so far into seven startups includingiSSTech, an iSoftStone spinoff that provides big data and cloud computing services to urban planners. It has also invested inZhuyou Hotel Group, a Chinese hotel chain dedicated to serving tech-savvy millennials.</p>\n<p>Tam sees investing as only a starting point to capture the smart city market and his ambitions extend to creating a vast ecosystem around his portfolio firms -- a move straight from the playbook of tech giants like Alibaba. Venturous Group is in advanced discussions with a British engineering conglomerate to form a joint venture in China, which will equip buildings with smart sensors and other advanced technologies, Tam said, declining to provide details.</p>\n<p>“One thing he appreciates is longevity in the value he brings,” Kwan said. “This manifests itself in his interest in wine. If you pick the right kind of Château, then you pick the grape, the land, and the wine maker. In the long term, you will see the increase in value.”</p>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Investor Who Gained 20,000% on Alibaba Bets on Smart Cities</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nInvestor Who Gained 20,000% on Alibaba Bets on Smart Cities\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-17 22:06 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-06-16/investor-who-gained-200-000-on-alibaba-bets-big-on-smart-cities><strong>bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>In 1999, Benson Tam decided to help out his buddy Joe Tsai and orchestrated a $500,000 investment for his then-untested startup. That company turned out to beAlibaba Group Holding Ltd., which ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-06-16/investor-who-gained-200-000-on-alibaba-bets-big-on-smart-cities\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-06-16/investor-who-gained-200-000-on-alibaba-bets-big-on-smart-cities","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1162782159","content_text":"In 1999, Benson Tam decided to help out his buddy Joe Tsai and orchestrated a $500,000 investment for his then-untested startup. That company turned out to beAlibaba Group Holding Ltd., which revolutionized online shopping in China and debuted 15 years later with the world’s largest initial public offering, yielding a 200-fold return for Tam and his partners.\nIn contrast with his decisive bet into Alibaba, Tam has spent the better part of the past decade studying and planning for what he believes will be the transformative trend of the new century. Now, his Venturous Group is preparing to step into the limelight, raising $131 million to help bankroll China’s so-called New Infrastructure plan: amulti-trillion-dollar vision to lay the foundation for the country’s future by building everything from intelligent cities to sprawling ultra-fast networks. It’s a vastly longer-term bet than the rocket ship that was Alibaba, but Tam believes the payoff could be similar in magnitude if he plays his cards right.\n“Think before you act, aim before you shoot,” said the methodical 57-year-old, adding that he read 400 books and tested the waters with several personal investments in the seven years before launching his new venture.\nTam’s Venturous is the product of a three-decade career during which the veteran has backed other early internet giants and helped pioneer venture investing and private equity across the world’s No. 2 economy. His journey into finance began in 1989 as an investment banker at S.G. Warburg in London. The Asia IPO boom two years later brought Tam back to his hometown of Hong Kong, where he shepherded companies going public for East Asia Warburg, followed by stints working on private equity at Hellman & Friedman Asia and Electra Partners Asia.\nThe successful bet on Alibaba, made jointly with Fidelity Investments, led him to co-found Fidelity Growth Partners Asia in 2002, where he played a key role in growing assets 200-fold to $4 billion in just a decade. Tam’s signature investments also includeAsiaInfo Holdings, which built China’s first national broadband network and became one of the first Chinese tech listings on the Nasdaq.\nTam’s early experience taught him the value of personal relationships and the Hong Kong native moved to Beijing in 2002 to befriend mainland entrepreneurs. One of his key goals in his early days as a venture capitalist was to be invited by startup founders and fellow investors to weekend parties. Even today, Tam still attends team-building activities at his investee firms. “Capital is not all about money. It’s not all about numbers. It’s ultimately about people,” Tam said.\nNow, his Beijing-based Venturous Group has raised $131 million from financial institutions including Fidelity as well as billionaire families in its Series A round. He’s seeking another $100 million by the end of this year to digitalize buildings, transportation and other urban facilities in China, an initiative backed by President Xi Jinping himself.\nUnder Beijing’s infrastructure masterplan, China will invest an estimated$1.4 trillionover six years to 2025 to lay fifth generation wireless networks, install cameras and sensors, and deploy artificial intelligence technology that will enable cutting-edge solutions such as autonomous driving and internet-connected smart homes.\nSavio Kwan, the first chief operating officer at Alibaba, says Tam is uniquely positioned to lead China’s next tech boom. “It looks as if it is lucky to be there early. But it is not,” said Kwan, who invested $10 million into Venturous. “To be early means you’re well prepared and you’re learning from your past experience.”\nIt was precisely a missed opportunity that transformed Tam into a better investor, according to Kwan. In 2002, when Alibaba was trying to raise a third round of $5 million, many existing backers -- Fidelity included -- took a wait-and-see approach. Kwan and several others like co-founders Jack Ma and Tsai ended up putting in $1 million of their own money to close the round, an investment that ended up generating a 40-fold return in the following two years. “That must have affected Benson in a sense that he wants to go for the long term,” Kwan says.\nLiu Tianwen, the founder and chief executive officer ofiSoftStone Information Technology (Group) Co., is among entrepreneurs who have benefited from Tam’s patience and unwillingness to write off troubled startups. When the software firm struggled to raise capital during the 2008 financial crisis, Tam not only doubled down on Fidelity’s investment but also helped bring in more investors. Since then, sales of Beijing-based iSoftStone have climbed to nearly 13 billion yuan ($2 billion) in 2020 and the company is set to float on China’s Nasdaq-style ChiNext board this year.\n“Some investors eye an immediate return, but Benson has a vision for the long run,” Liu said. It was Liu’s business that crystallized Tam’s decision to bet big on smart cities, after local mayors started flocking to iSoftStone’s headquarters for help to digitalize local services and infrastructure in 2017.\n“That was the aha moment,” Tam said. “We realized that something had tipped over with respect to smart city tech.”\nVenturous Group makes concentrated bets -- pouring nearly all the capital it’s raised so far into seven startups includingiSSTech, an iSoftStone spinoff that provides big data and cloud computing services to urban planners. It has also invested inZhuyou Hotel Group, a Chinese hotel chain dedicated to serving tech-savvy millennials.\nTam sees investing as only a starting point to capture the smart city market and his ambitions extend to creating a vast ecosystem around his portfolio firms -- a move straight from the playbook of tech giants like Alibaba. Venturous Group is in advanced discussions with a British engineering conglomerate to form a joint venture in China, which will equip buildings with smart sensors and other advanced technologies, Tam said, declining to provide details.\n“One thing he appreciates is longevity in the value he brings,” Kwan said. “This manifests itself in his interest in wine. If you pick the right kind of Château, then you pick the grape, the land, and the wine maker. In the long term, you will see the increase in value.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":270,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":160800547,"gmtCreate":1623777010289,"gmtModify":1703819245654,"author":{"id":"3575243382642927","authorId":"3575243382642927","name":"HolyPlumchu","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/892e8c26da1e25a378842a0bd731540f","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575243382642927","authorIdStr":"3575243382642927"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Shoppppppp","listText":"Shoppppppp","text":"Shoppppppp","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/160800547","repostId":"1127088935","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1127088935","pubTimestamp":1623765392,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1127088935?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-15 21:56","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alibaba stock on watch ahead of major Chinese shopping festival","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1127088935","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"China's industry ministryhas warnedAlibaba(NYSE:BABA), JD.com(NASDAQ:JD), and Pinduoduo(NASDAQ:PDD)t","content":"<p>China's industry ministryhas warnedAlibaba(NYSE:BABA), JD.com(NASDAQ:JD), and Pinduoduo(NASDAQ:PDD)to regulate their promotional phone messages related to the upcoming annual June 18 shopping festival.</p>\n<p>The seemingly minor warning gains more importance due to China's ongoing crackdown on tech names, which led to the last-minute halt of fintech giant Ant Group's blockbuster IPO late last year and the more recent record antitrust fine for Alibaba.</p>\n<p>The massive 6.18 shopping event is closely watched for signs of consumer health in one of the world's largest economies.</p>\n<p>Last year, Alibaba had 6.18 gross merchandise volume of $98.52B, and JD.com had total transaction volume of $37.99B.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8f6a01b5466a4409f5ba6e1f8b6331bc\" tg-width=\"290\" tg-height=\"129\"></p>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba stock on watch ahead of major Chinese shopping festival</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba stock on watch ahead of major Chinese shopping festival\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-15 21:56 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/news/3706423-alibaba-stock-on-watch-ahead-of-major-chinese-shopping-festival><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>China's industry ministryhas warnedAlibaba(NYSE:BABA), JD.com(NASDAQ:JD), and Pinduoduo(NASDAQ:PDD)to regulate their promotional phone messages related to the upcoming annual June 18 shopping festival...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3706423-alibaba-stock-on-watch-ahead-of-major-chinese-shopping-festival\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"09988":"阿里巴巴-W","JD":"京东","09618":"京东集团-SW","BABA":"阿里巴巴","PDD":"拼多多"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3706423-alibaba-stock-on-watch-ahead-of-major-chinese-shopping-festival","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1127088935","content_text":"China's industry ministryhas warnedAlibaba(NYSE:BABA), JD.com(NASDAQ:JD), and Pinduoduo(NASDAQ:PDD)to regulate their promotional phone messages related to the upcoming annual June 18 shopping festival.\nThe seemingly minor warning gains more importance due to China's ongoing crackdown on tech names, which led to the last-minute halt of fintech giant Ant Group's blockbuster IPO late last year and the more recent record antitrust fine for Alibaba.\nThe massive 6.18 shopping event is closely watched for signs of consumer health in one of the world's largest economies.\nLast year, Alibaba had 6.18 gross merchandise volume of $98.52B, and JD.com had total transaction volume of $37.99B.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":209,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":160174505,"gmtCreate":1623776883707,"gmtModify":1703819243691,"author":{"id":"3575243382642927","authorId":"3575243382642927","name":"HolyPlumchu","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/892e8c26da1e25a378842a0bd731540f","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575243382642927","authorIdStr":"3575243382642927"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"How much more can netflix offer","listText":"How much more can netflix offer","text":"How much more can netflix offer","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/160174505","repostId":"1193778475","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1193778475","pubTimestamp":1623749978,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1193778475?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-15 17:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Netflix: The Selloff Looks Overdone","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1193778475","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nNetflix has been unreasonably sold down and unjustifiably cited as losing its competitive e","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Netflix has been unreasonably sold down and unjustifiably cited as losing its competitive edge due to weaker Q1’21 membership adds.</li>\n <li>However, short-sighted investors did not consider Netflix’s overall game to evaluate the strength of its moat.</li>\n <li>Netflix looks attractively-priced now, and should be a worthy addition to both value and growth investors.</li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>Investment Thesis</b></p>\n<p>Netflix (NFLX) has come under the weather recently, as the company had to face increased competitive pressure from the growth of Disney+, recent industry consolidation fromWarner Bros. Discovery(T,DISCA) and Amazon's (AMZN)acquisition of MGM's deep content IP. Furthermore, the company also reported an\"underwhelming\" Q1'21results that saw the company even missing its own net membership adds estimates by 2m. In short, there seems to be no shortage of bad news for NFLX recently.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/59d9e43b35cbdb0cbc2330837c796371\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"784\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Source: TradingView</p>\n<p>Therefore, it's not surprising to me at all that Mr. Market reacted somewhat negatively to all these competitive headwinds as NFLX remains about 18% off its January high, while QQQ is withintouching distance of its all time high. As a price-action, momentum based investor, seeing a stock that has demonstrated strong medium term and long term uptrend bias is of paramount importance to me and NFLX certainly checks all of that from this perspective. Although there are other growth stocks that have demonstrated a better uptrend bias profile, NFLX is not a slouch either. It has only lost its medium term 50W MA dynamic support only twice in the last 5 years: 2018 bear market decline of 45%, and Jul-Sep 19 decline of 35%. Even though the stock momentarily lost its 50W support level then, NFLX quickly regained its medium term support level, and during the COVID-19 bear market, NFLX never lost support of its medium term uptrend. Therefore, the 50W MA has proven to be a consistently strong medium term dynamic support level for NFLX over the last 5 years.</p>\n<p>NFLX's price has now approached its 50W support level again thanks to the weak market sentiments lately which makes it appropriate to discuss whether NFLX represents a good buying opportunity now for long term investors.</p>\n<p><b>So What Happened to Netflix's Paid Adds?</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17d1ce1d66e99396f67725dcfdaf3db8\" tg-width=\"769\" tg-height=\"476\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Average Paying Membership by Region. Data Source: Company Filings</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6ca327a13d9645fce263565653d4e390\" tg-width=\"827\" tg-height=\"515\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Average Paying Membership YoY Growth. Data Source: Company Filings</p>\n<p>As we could observe clearly from the charts above, the market reacted negatively to NFLX's Q1'21 results, sending the stock down 8.21% the day after the release. It added just 3.98M net paid members in Q1'21, which was significantly weaker than the previous quarters as can be seen from its YoY Growth. The management mainly attributed this to the strong pull forward growth in membership during Q1'20 that has somewhat skewed the base upwards and may have disproportionately affected its growth in Q1'21. Although I think there is a reasonable basis for that line of argument, however we did not observe such a drastic decline in Roku, Inc. (ROKU) in its active accounts in Q1'21 (see charts below).</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6e96b19f4b3eef87be93ecce3953a19\" tg-width=\"878\" tg-height=\"543\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Roku Active Accounts. Data Source: Company Filings</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04f4053e2022d4c90e8b8ec51c1fc295\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Roku Active Accounts YoY Growth. Data Source: Company Filings</p>\n<p>We could clearly observe Roku's Active accounts YoY growth of 34.7% in Q1'21 to be still largely in line with 2019's growth even though Roku also experienced pull forward growth from COVID-19 last year. Therefore, I think there is a reasonable basis to infer that NFLX's paid adds growth seemed to have slowed down pretty dramatically even though it should be noted that NFLX's net paid membership of 208M significantly outnumbered Roku's 53.6M active accounts and that was not a small difference.</p>\n<p>Now, if you are a short term trader or an \"investor\" with a horizon of 1 quarter, then perhaps it may be a reasonable basis to get out of the stock. However, for long term investors, many of whom NFLX has handsomely rewarded over the last ten years, we need to dig deeper to investigate whether there has been a significant change in its long term competitive moat from the latest quarter's aberration that may significantly change NFLX's ability to compete effectively and weaken the competitive dynamics of its business model.</p>\n<p><b>Revenue Growth Looks Good</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d8c6ed8cb94d2134ca5d0d79660ece07\" tg-width=\"1184\" tg-height=\"732\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Revenue by Region. Data Source: Company Filings</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3ee95424dd68c5abe3591347f9dd9fad\" tg-width=\"1010\" tg-height=\"624\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Revenue by Region YoY Growth. Data Source: Company Filings</p>\n<p>First up, let's take a look at its revenue by region performance. We could observe clearly that the company's most important revenue drivers: UCAN and EMEA had YoY revenue growth of 17.3% and 36% in Q1'21, respectively, as compared to 19.8% and 39.7% in Q1'20, respectively. Sure, there was a slight blip in its YoY growth rate in Q1'21, but it was still very much in line with Q4'20 YoY numbers (which Mr. Market cheered by pushing the stock up 17.74% the day after earnings release), so it was nothing too significant that warranted a serious look into its competitiveness. Moreover, its fastest growing region: APAC also looked to have performed well with a 57.6% YoY growth rate that was even better than Q1'20's YoY growth rate of 51.3%.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/298a4247dfc847726b87f80e24cc874f\" tg-width=\"876\" tg-height=\"542\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>ARPU by Region. Data Source: Company Filings</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ce59d0df25c1a8b2fde74a772c918433\" tg-width=\"1023\" tg-height=\"632\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>ARPU by Region YoY Growth. Data Source: Company Filings</p>\n<p>NFLX also performed admirably well in its ARPU. ARPU was up in all the regions except for LATAM where the growth was flat on a QoQ basis. Although ARPU growth was quite volatile between quarters, ARPU in UCAN, EMEA and APAC went up by 8.4%, 11.5% and 9% in Q1'21, respectively. Even though LATAM's ARPU was down YoY, but on a QoQ basis it was flat, so there was nothing materially serious to take note here. Therefore, NFLX's ARPU performance looked really good in Q1'21.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bee3698456324209ed6c9cf58bed58da\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"995\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Timeline of NFLX Price Hikes. Source:Variety</p>\n<p>If NFLX had faced intense competitive pressure in the past that forced it into a price war with competing platforms as it acquired more users, we would have seen the company forced to reduce its prices over time. On the contrary, NFLX has been increasing its prices steadily over time, with the latest round of price hikes on October 20. Even though there were some knee-jerk cancellations from some subscribers in the short term over the price hikes, over the long term it has never affected the company's ability to attract more users. This shows NFLX's strong competitive moat that gives it a huge ability to raise prices over time without losing its subscribers. In fact,NFLX well encapsulatedits strong ability to retain its subscribers despite the price hikes:</p>\n<blockquote>\n Our churn is actually below pre-price change levels already in the U.S. and in most of the markets and where we have adjusted prices and just some of the newer ones haven't come all the way back down, but they're rapidly getting there.\n</blockquote>\n<p>These well-planned price increases are extremely beneficial to NFLX's topline, given NFLX's growing subscriber base as the recent price increase is expected toadd $500Mto NFLX's revenue in FY 21 (consensus: $29.72B). Even though it's not a significant sum as compared to the revenue base, however more importantly it demonstrated clearly that NFLX has considerable pricing power in a highly competitive SVOD segment.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/42059a78e3a3f7dc656556dc27761343\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"958\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Top Reasons for Video Streaming Subscription Cancellations. Source:Variety</p>\n<p>When we consider that the single most important reason for subscribers to cancel their streaming subscriptions is: \"If the subscription price increased\", then investors should now be able to really understand how Mr. Market has significantly underestimated NFLX's pricing power, which is extremely important to NFLX's business model to introduce more and more high quality content as its subscriber base gets larger over time.</p>\n<p>If we revisit NFLX's ARPU by region again, we could certainly see a generally healthy trend of ARPU over time even as the company increased its prices. It's important to note that increasing subscriptions prices is the primary way for it to further monetize its growing user base (although the company has also recently introduced more monetization methods such asNetflix shop, as well as thegaming market, so investors are highly encouraged to continue monitoring these developments). The price increases will help to bolster the consistency of the ARPU such that it would help with times when the company has found some difficulty in adding more users such as in Q1'21, while YoY revenue growth was still very healthy.</p>\n<p>Investors should take note that NFLX's growing membership base of 208M paying members is a formidable moat for it to keep producing its slate of high quality original content.</p>\n<p>Strong Content Pipeline</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02eea9bd487d52b352dd3894f2563edf\" tg-width=\"1043\" tg-height=\"646\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Content Assets. Data Source: Company Filings</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4a49a1facb41f2c4e848cced7724c68d\" tg-width=\"910\" tg-height=\"563\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Produced Content YoY Growth. Data Source: Company Filings</p>\n<p>NFLX has been growing its original content base rapidly over the last few years, although the COVID-19 crisis has somewhat slowed down its growth. Thecompany emphasized:</p>\n<blockquote>\n [W]e think we'll get back to a much steadier state in the back half of the year and certainly in Q4, where we've got the returning seasons of some of our most popular shows like The Witcher and You and Cobra Kai as well as some big tempo movies that came to market a little slower than we'd hoped, like Red Notes with The Rock and Ryan Reynolds and Gaga, and Escape From Spiderhead with Chris Hemsworth, big event content.\n</blockquote>\n<p>Therefore, the company is not resting on its laurels and would keep on its record of producing high quality content to keep engagement at a high level with its viewers.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b4aaf52a7c9c18a4fc5664c9000282d1\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"781\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Ranking of original streaming series titles in the U.S. Data Source: Nielsen, Media Play News</p>\n<p>In this survey conducted in early May, NFLX's slate of original series took home 7 out of the top 10 slots for the most watched series, demonstrating the high quality and appeal of its content with viewers. In fact, there were many other surveys that also showed Netflix's dominance in viewership over time.</p>\n<p>Netflix's original content didn't just dominate hours watched, but also award nominations. The company highlighted its recent achievements:</p>\n<blockquote>\n Netflix led all studios for recent award nominations including the Oscars, Golden Globes, SAG Awards, BAFTA and the NAACP Image Awards, among others. Heading into the Academy Awards this weekend, we have 36 nominations across 17 films including two nominees in each of the Best Picture (Mank, The Trial of the Chicago 7), Best Documentary Feature (Crip Camp, My Octopus Teacher), and Best Animated Feature (Over the Moon, A Shaun The Sheep Movie: Farmageddon) categories. Mank led all films with 10 nominations.\n</blockquote>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0a756085b63c0d9b1e40d39f3fd21609\" tg-width=\"764\" tg-height=\"473\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Reasons for subscribing to SVOD services in the U.S. Data Source: Vorhaus Advisors</p>\n<p>As we could observe from the above, high quality original series (35%) and specific TV series or movies (43%) ranked very highly on the reasons for subscribing to SVOD services, and investors can rest assured that NFLX is certainly leading in these areas.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/afa2be3ca5cfa415aee98a9c45f8e6c9\" tg-width=\"956\" tg-height=\"591\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Share of SVOD subscribers, who also subscribe to other services. Data Source: Reelgood</p>\n<p>In the SVOD space, we could clearly observe NFLX's importance to subscribers even if they subscribed to other services, which definitely helps to downplay the significance of increasing competitive threats to NFLX. In fact, NFLX was the most important service among these subscribers as the subscribers of the company's competitors also subscribed to NFLX: Peacock Premium (90%), HBO Max (90%), Amazon Prime (84%), Disney+ (87%), Hulu (85%) and Apple TV+ (92%), demonstrating clearly the importance and dominance of NFLX to its competitors' subscribers.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a2c1e2c429e015e113242ffeac4d3f07\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Netflix Video Content Budget. Data Source: eMarketer</p>\n<p>Many critics also pointed to NFLX's increasing need to dedicate huge amounts of investments to drive its engagement levels, protect its moat, grow its revenue. In fact, I think unless NFLX is working on a model like Roku, whose business model I havediscussed recently here, having a high quality slate of original content is important in order to maintain its competitive edge, especially when we have witnessed a series of industry consolidation where NFLX may lose more and more access to high quality licensed content, so NFLX's committed investments in original content a few years ago led by Co-CEO Ted Sarandos has certainly been a masterstroke that has helped maintain the company's competitive edge. In addition, NFLX has been getting more and more efficient in producing original content over time, certainly helped by the large and growing paying membership base, which as I mentioned in itself is a strong moat.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e592ee98fcd2477f5e9332e664c74afa\" tg-width=\"1153\" tg-height=\"712\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Other Operating Activities [LTM] as a % of Revenue [LTM]. Data Source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</p>\n<p>NFLX's other operating activities segment mainly include the company's investments in content assets which are classified as a cash outflow in the company's Cash from Operations [CFO]. If we observed clearly, despite the company's increasing video content budget, these investments have been forming a smaller and smaller component of the company's revenue from 2018 (even if we were to exclude the skewed figures from recent quarters due to reduced original content being produced as a result of COVID-19 delays), demonstrating the company's improved CFO position that has driven results towards FCF profitability. As a result, this allowed the company to confidently declare to investors that: \"So we expect to be about cash flow breakeven this year and then sustainably free cash flow positive and growing thereafter.\" This is definitely a highly important development, as that means NFLX now has more and more cash flow flexibility to invest in content to further drive its competitive edge against its closest rivals. The company's expected FCF profitability has also given the company confidence to announce a $5B share buyback in order to return excess cash to investors.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee2072e791610e16b97ed6d432f1fcb9\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"750\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Projected Revenue Consensus Estimates, Projected Revenue Growth, Unlevered FCF Margin. Data Source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</p>\n<p>In fact, when I factored in NFLX's growth assumptions into its forecast model, NFLX is expected to consistently improve its FCF margin in the years ahead, while maintaining a steady revenue growth over time. NFLX is fast becoming a FCF driver that is capable of sustaining its growth and protecting its competitive moat strongly.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/67cbb70240f511c861aa1e4fd5b8c00d\" tg-width=\"893\" tg-height=\"552\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">SVOD market share in Japan. Data Source: GEM Partners</p>\n<p>Turning to NFLX's fastest growing region: APAC (shortsighted investors seemed to ignore NFLX's dominance in this region). There's absolutely no doubt who was the clear leader in the SVOD market in Japan with NFLX holding a 19.5% market share. In fact, Japan was expected to take over Australia as APAC'slargest market by the end of 2021. Japan's revenue is expected to grow at about 37% YoY from $2.4B to $3.3B, and subscriptions from 25.5M to 33.3M, which would represent a 30.6% increase YoY.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02d5751919369a578902516e76f5793a\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Most popular OTT in Korea. Data Source: IGAWorks</p>\n<p>In its third largest APAC market: Korea, NFLX is also the well-established leader with a market share well ahead of the other OTT services, allowing the company a lot of leverage in producing top quality original Korean content. Korean content is very popular in Asia, and Netflix relies heavily on the Korean Wave (Hallyu) as the main gateway to audiences in Asia and has committed$500M to invest in Korean content in 2021 alone, from $700M spent between 2015 to 2020. Co-CEO Ted Sarandos summed up the company's approach in Korean content:</p>\n<blockquote>\n <b>Over the last two years, we've seen the world falling in love with incredible Korean content</b>, made in Korea and watched by the world on Netflix. Our commitment towards Korea is strong. We will continue to invest and collaborate with Korean storytellers across a wealth of genres and formats.\n</blockquote>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06889e84d7faf18b5d1a8da1b4542895\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Popular OTT for accessing Korean Dramas Worldwide. Data Source: Korean Foundation for International Cultural Exchange; MCST Korea</p>\n<p>Netflix's commitment to build up its investments in Korean content has allowed it to maintain a strong position as the second ranked OTT platform behind YouTube for worldwide access to Korean dramas mainly because in my opinion, AVOD-based YouTube is free. However, Netflix has produced a lot of Original Series Korean dramas that have often quickly become a hit, and which were not available for distribution on YouTube.</p>\n<p>The Elephant in the Room: Disney</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2eb61cee21092f710c0e1446f1d598d2\" tg-width=\"1207\" tg-height=\"746\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Estimated number of SVOD subscribers worldwide. Data Source: Digital TV Research</p>\n<p>Disney (DIS) perhaps represents the largest threat in terms of subscribers growth as it's expected to take over NFLX as the largest SVOD player worldwide by 2026 with 294M subscribers as compared to NFLX's 286M subscribers.</p>\n<p>DIS has grown its subscribers base impressively as it reached103.6M subscribers in Q2'21. DIS's Hotstar platform is the dominant platform in two of Asia's most populated countries: Indonesia and India. This is expected to continue driving strong subscribers growth that would help it to exceed NFLX's subscriber base eventually.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/30f463be13597df4819879aa4b894285\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>DIS+ ARPU. Data Source: Company Filings</p>\n<p>However, DIS's ARPU is also substantially lower than NFLX as Hotstar is very much a lower-priced offering and therefore skewing DIS's ARPU to the downside even as it adds more users. However, Hotstar looks like the better equipped option for growth in these two important Asian markets for DIS and I think DISpossesses the edge over here.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/63f805876a22e4da556a27db39e6cdc8\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Estimated penetration rate. Data Source: The Motley Fool, Stifel</p>\n<p>However, NFLX is still expected to make inroads in all its segments, and particularly in APAC and EMEA as it continues to drive content growth to cater to the markets where it has the lead. l certainly think NFLX can't win in all markets, and in some markets the company definitely has to spend a lot more time and resources to develop them such as in APAC where its penetration is still very low, therefore offering huge potential for growth.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20878384ca9242ab35b248fb2b73ff6f\" tg-width=\"951\" tg-height=\"588\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>OTT Revenue Worldwide. Data Source: Digital TV Research</p>\n<p>Most importantly, the whole market still offers a lot of opportunities for growth for well positioned players in both the AVOD and the SVOD space. In the SVOD market, it is expected to grow at about 10.16% CAGR from 2020 to 2025, which although not as fast as the AVOD market, it's still expected to grow at a highly respectable rate.</p>\n<p><b>Valuations are Not Expensive</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d390f14679f74fb62a364d0921d5923\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"733\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Revenue CAGR and Revenue Multiples. Data Source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</p>\n<p>NFLX's projected growth (5Y CAGR of 15.1%) is definitely expected to slow as it matures, and turn FCF profitable. I don't think it's a bad thing. NFLX is still the dominant player in SVOD and expected to be so. In addition, it's still expected to grow faster than the SVOD market growth of 10.1%, thus further reinforcing NFLX's market leadership expectation. In addition, it's also trading at a slight discount on its EV / FY+1 Rev of 7.8x as compared to its 5Y Av. EV / LTM Rev of 8.8x.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/becc49bc5dfbfa222226bd7426fd4e9e\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"707\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>CapEX Margin &amp; Projected CapEx Margin. Data Source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c44673eb90f5086b3eeae98397e1115f\" tg-width=\"1276\" tg-height=\"1122\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>5Y Av. EV / EBITDA &amp; EV / Fwd EBITDA. Data Source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</p>\n<p>Given that its CapEX margins (see above) are expected to be largely consistent over time as compared to the last few years, I also find it useful to consider its cash flow generating capacity and value it accordingly. When we consider NFLX's EV / Fwd EBITDA (see above), we could see the company's improved FCF generating capability has now made NFLX a lot more undervalued than when we compared it against its revenue growth.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e39e44f4f13ac6efc0b91aed6045771\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"716\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>EV / Fwd (EBITDA - CapEx). Data Source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</p>\n<p>In fact, NFLX is expected to continue generating a high level FCF moving forward which would thus further support the NFLX's competitive valuation from the FCF point of view.</p>\n<p>Price Action and Technical Analysis</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2da4bd6973d2fa92a51a7b159b05efce\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"784\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Source: TradingView</p>\n<p>The current price level at $489 is a possible entry point, with a more conservative entry point at $458. The \"Buy more\" entry point is at $398, which is also supported above the key 200W MA. Avoid buying near $563 and $593 in the near term as they look to be key resistance levels.</p>\n<p><b>Wrapping it all up</b></p>\n<p>Netflix's \"loss of competitiveness\" and \"weak fundamentals\" that were called into question recently are largely unfounded. The company enjoys strong dominance and competitive advantages in the SVOD market that is still expected to grow at double digit growth rates of which NFLX is expected to exploit in the years ahead.</p>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Netflix: The Selloff Looks Overdone</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNetflix: The Selloff Looks Overdone\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-15 17:39 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4434692-netflix-the-sell-off-looks-overdone-nflx><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nNetflix has been unreasonably sold down and unjustifiably cited as losing its competitive edge due to weaker Q1’21 membership adds.\nHowever, short-sighted investors did not consider Netflix’s...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4434692-netflix-the-sell-off-looks-overdone-nflx\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NFLX":"奈飞"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4434692-netflix-the-sell-off-looks-overdone-nflx","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1193778475","content_text":"Summary\n\nNetflix has been unreasonably sold down and unjustifiably cited as losing its competitive edge due to weaker Q1’21 membership adds.\nHowever, short-sighted investors did not consider Netflix’s overall game to evaluate the strength of its moat.\nNetflix looks attractively-priced now, and should be a worthy addition to both value and growth investors.\n\nInvestment Thesis\nNetflix (NFLX) has come under the weather recently, as the company had to face increased competitive pressure from the growth of Disney+, recent industry consolidation fromWarner Bros. Discovery(T,DISCA) and Amazon's (AMZN)acquisition of MGM's deep content IP. Furthermore, the company also reported an\"underwhelming\" Q1'21results that saw the company even missing its own net membership adds estimates by 2m. In short, there seems to be no shortage of bad news for NFLX recently.\n\nSource: TradingView\nTherefore, it's not surprising to me at all that Mr. Market reacted somewhat negatively to all these competitive headwinds as NFLX remains about 18% off its January high, while QQQ is withintouching distance of its all time high. As a price-action, momentum based investor, seeing a stock that has demonstrated strong medium term and long term uptrend bias is of paramount importance to me and NFLX certainly checks all of that from this perspective. Although there are other growth stocks that have demonstrated a better uptrend bias profile, NFLX is not a slouch either. It has only lost its medium term 50W MA dynamic support only twice in the last 5 years: 2018 bear market decline of 45%, and Jul-Sep 19 decline of 35%. Even though the stock momentarily lost its 50W support level then, NFLX quickly regained its medium term support level, and during the COVID-19 bear market, NFLX never lost support of its medium term uptrend. Therefore, the 50W MA has proven to be a consistently strong medium term dynamic support level for NFLX over the last 5 years.\nNFLX's price has now approached its 50W support level again thanks to the weak market sentiments lately which makes it appropriate to discuss whether NFLX represents a good buying opportunity now for long term investors.\nSo What Happened to Netflix's Paid Adds?\n\nAverage Paying Membership by Region. Data Source: Company Filings\n\nAverage Paying Membership YoY Growth. Data Source: Company Filings\nAs we could observe clearly from the charts above, the market reacted negatively to NFLX's Q1'21 results, sending the stock down 8.21% the day after the release. It added just 3.98M net paid members in Q1'21, which was significantly weaker than the previous quarters as can be seen from its YoY Growth. The management mainly attributed this to the strong pull forward growth in membership during Q1'20 that has somewhat skewed the base upwards and may have disproportionately affected its growth in Q1'21. Although I think there is a reasonable basis for that line of argument, however we did not observe such a drastic decline in Roku, Inc. (ROKU) in its active accounts in Q1'21 (see charts below).\n\nRoku Active Accounts. Data Source: Company Filings\n\nRoku Active Accounts YoY Growth. Data Source: Company Filings\nWe could clearly observe Roku's Active accounts YoY growth of 34.7% in Q1'21 to be still largely in line with 2019's growth even though Roku also experienced pull forward growth from COVID-19 last year. Therefore, I think there is a reasonable basis to infer that NFLX's paid adds growth seemed to have slowed down pretty dramatically even though it should be noted that NFLX's net paid membership of 208M significantly outnumbered Roku's 53.6M active accounts and that was not a small difference.\nNow, if you are a short term trader or an \"investor\" with a horizon of 1 quarter, then perhaps it may be a reasonable basis to get out of the stock. However, for long term investors, many of whom NFLX has handsomely rewarded over the last ten years, we need to dig deeper to investigate whether there has been a significant change in its long term competitive moat from the latest quarter's aberration that may significantly change NFLX's ability to compete effectively and weaken the competitive dynamics of its business model.\nRevenue Growth Looks Good\n\nRevenue by Region. Data Source: Company Filings\n\nRevenue by Region YoY Growth. Data Source: Company Filings\nFirst up, let's take a look at its revenue by region performance. We could observe clearly that the company's most important revenue drivers: UCAN and EMEA had YoY revenue growth of 17.3% and 36% in Q1'21, respectively, as compared to 19.8% and 39.7% in Q1'20, respectively. Sure, there was a slight blip in its YoY growth rate in Q1'21, but it was still very much in line with Q4'20 YoY numbers (which Mr. Market cheered by pushing the stock up 17.74% the day after earnings release), so it was nothing too significant that warranted a serious look into its competitiveness. Moreover, its fastest growing region: APAC also looked to have performed well with a 57.6% YoY growth rate that was even better than Q1'20's YoY growth rate of 51.3%.\n\nARPU by Region. Data Source: Company Filings\n\nARPU by Region YoY Growth. Data Source: Company Filings\nNFLX also performed admirably well in its ARPU. ARPU was up in all the regions except for LATAM where the growth was flat on a QoQ basis. Although ARPU growth was quite volatile between quarters, ARPU in UCAN, EMEA and APAC went up by 8.4%, 11.5% and 9% in Q1'21, respectively. Even though LATAM's ARPU was down YoY, but on a QoQ basis it was flat, so there was nothing materially serious to take note here. Therefore, NFLX's ARPU performance looked really good in Q1'21.\n\nTimeline of NFLX Price Hikes. Source:Variety\nIf NFLX had faced intense competitive pressure in the past that forced it into a price war with competing platforms as it acquired more users, we would have seen the company forced to reduce its prices over time. On the contrary, NFLX has been increasing its prices steadily over time, with the latest round of price hikes on October 20. Even though there were some knee-jerk cancellations from some subscribers in the short term over the price hikes, over the long term it has never affected the company's ability to attract more users. This shows NFLX's strong competitive moat that gives it a huge ability to raise prices over time without losing its subscribers. In fact,NFLX well encapsulatedits strong ability to retain its subscribers despite the price hikes:\n\n Our churn is actually below pre-price change levels already in the U.S. and in most of the markets and where we have adjusted prices and just some of the newer ones haven't come all the way back down, but they're rapidly getting there.\n\nThese well-planned price increases are extremely beneficial to NFLX's topline, given NFLX's growing subscriber base as the recent price increase is expected toadd $500Mto NFLX's revenue in FY 21 (consensus: $29.72B). Even though it's not a significant sum as compared to the revenue base, however more importantly it demonstrated clearly that NFLX has considerable pricing power in a highly competitive SVOD segment.\n\nTop Reasons for Video Streaming Subscription Cancellations. Source:Variety\nWhen we consider that the single most important reason for subscribers to cancel their streaming subscriptions is: \"If the subscription price increased\", then investors should now be able to really understand how Mr. Market has significantly underestimated NFLX's pricing power, which is extremely important to NFLX's business model to introduce more and more high quality content as its subscriber base gets larger over time.\nIf we revisit NFLX's ARPU by region again, we could certainly see a generally healthy trend of ARPU over time even as the company increased its prices. It's important to note that increasing subscriptions prices is the primary way for it to further monetize its growing user base (although the company has also recently introduced more monetization methods such asNetflix shop, as well as thegaming market, so investors are highly encouraged to continue monitoring these developments). The price increases will help to bolster the consistency of the ARPU such that it would help with times when the company has found some difficulty in adding more users such as in Q1'21, while YoY revenue growth was still very healthy.\nInvestors should take note that NFLX's growing membership base of 208M paying members is a formidable moat for it to keep producing its slate of high quality original content.\nStrong Content Pipeline\n\nContent Assets. Data Source: Company Filings\n\nProduced Content YoY Growth. Data Source: Company Filings\nNFLX has been growing its original content base rapidly over the last few years, although the COVID-19 crisis has somewhat slowed down its growth. Thecompany emphasized:\n\n [W]e think we'll get back to a much steadier state in the back half of the year and certainly in Q4, where we've got the returning seasons of some of our most popular shows like The Witcher and You and Cobra Kai as well as some big tempo movies that came to market a little slower than we'd hoped, like Red Notes with The Rock and Ryan Reynolds and Gaga, and Escape From Spiderhead with Chris Hemsworth, big event content.\n\nTherefore, the company is not resting on its laurels and would keep on its record of producing high quality content to keep engagement at a high level with its viewers.\n\nRanking of original streaming series titles in the U.S. Data Source: Nielsen, Media Play News\nIn this survey conducted in early May, NFLX's slate of original series took home 7 out of the top 10 slots for the most watched series, demonstrating the high quality and appeal of its content with viewers. In fact, there were many other surveys that also showed Netflix's dominance in viewership over time.\nNetflix's original content didn't just dominate hours watched, but also award nominations. The company highlighted its recent achievements:\n\n Netflix led all studios for recent award nominations including the Oscars, Golden Globes, SAG Awards, BAFTA and the NAACP Image Awards, among others. Heading into the Academy Awards this weekend, we have 36 nominations across 17 films including two nominees in each of the Best Picture (Mank, The Trial of the Chicago 7), Best Documentary Feature (Crip Camp, My Octopus Teacher), and Best Animated Feature (Over the Moon, A Shaun The Sheep Movie: Farmageddon) categories. Mank led all films with 10 nominations.\n\n\nReasons for subscribing to SVOD services in the U.S. Data Source: Vorhaus Advisors\nAs we could observe from the above, high quality original series (35%) and specific TV series or movies (43%) ranked very highly on the reasons for subscribing to SVOD services, and investors can rest assured that NFLX is certainly leading in these areas.\n\nShare of SVOD subscribers, who also subscribe to other services. Data Source: Reelgood\nIn the SVOD space, we could clearly observe NFLX's importance to subscribers even if they subscribed to other services, which definitely helps to downplay the significance of increasing competitive threats to NFLX. In fact, NFLX was the most important service among these subscribers as the subscribers of the company's competitors also subscribed to NFLX: Peacock Premium (90%), HBO Max (90%), Amazon Prime (84%), Disney+ (87%), Hulu (85%) and Apple TV+ (92%), demonstrating clearly the importance and dominance of NFLX to its competitors' subscribers.\n\nNetflix Video Content Budget. Data Source: eMarketer\nMany critics also pointed to NFLX's increasing need to dedicate huge amounts of investments to drive its engagement levels, protect its moat, grow its revenue. In fact, I think unless NFLX is working on a model like Roku, whose business model I havediscussed recently here, having a high quality slate of original content is important in order to maintain its competitive edge, especially when we have witnessed a series of industry consolidation where NFLX may lose more and more access to high quality licensed content, so NFLX's committed investments in original content a few years ago led by Co-CEO Ted Sarandos has certainly been a masterstroke that has helped maintain the company's competitive edge. In addition, NFLX has been getting more and more efficient in producing original content over time, certainly helped by the large and growing paying membership base, which as I mentioned in itself is a strong moat.\n\nOther Operating Activities [LTM] as a % of Revenue [LTM]. Data Source: S&P Capital IQ\nNFLX's other operating activities segment mainly include the company's investments in content assets which are classified as a cash outflow in the company's Cash from Operations [CFO]. If we observed clearly, despite the company's increasing video content budget, these investments have been forming a smaller and smaller component of the company's revenue from 2018 (even if we were to exclude the skewed figures from recent quarters due to reduced original content being produced as a result of COVID-19 delays), demonstrating the company's improved CFO position that has driven results towards FCF profitability. As a result, this allowed the company to confidently declare to investors that: \"So we expect to be about cash flow breakeven this year and then sustainably free cash flow positive and growing thereafter.\" This is definitely a highly important development, as that means NFLX now has more and more cash flow flexibility to invest in content to further drive its competitive edge against its closest rivals. The company's expected FCF profitability has also given the company confidence to announce a $5B share buyback in order to return excess cash to investors.\n\nProjected Revenue Consensus Estimates, Projected Revenue Growth, Unlevered FCF Margin. Data Source: S&P Capital IQ\nIn fact, when I factored in NFLX's growth assumptions into its forecast model, NFLX is expected to consistently improve its FCF margin in the years ahead, while maintaining a steady revenue growth over time. NFLX is fast becoming a FCF driver that is capable of sustaining its growth and protecting its competitive moat strongly.\nSVOD market share in Japan. Data Source: GEM Partners\nTurning to NFLX's fastest growing region: APAC (shortsighted investors seemed to ignore NFLX's dominance in this region). There's absolutely no doubt who was the clear leader in the SVOD market in Japan with NFLX holding a 19.5% market share. In fact, Japan was expected to take over Australia as APAC'slargest market by the end of 2021. Japan's revenue is expected to grow at about 37% YoY from $2.4B to $3.3B, and subscriptions from 25.5M to 33.3M, which would represent a 30.6% increase YoY.\n\nMost popular OTT in Korea. Data Source: IGAWorks\nIn its third largest APAC market: Korea, NFLX is also the well-established leader with a market share well ahead of the other OTT services, allowing the company a lot of leverage in producing top quality original Korean content. Korean content is very popular in Asia, and Netflix relies heavily on the Korean Wave (Hallyu) as the main gateway to audiences in Asia and has committed$500M to invest in Korean content in 2021 alone, from $700M spent between 2015 to 2020. Co-CEO Ted Sarandos summed up the company's approach in Korean content:\n\nOver the last two years, we've seen the world falling in love with incredible Korean content, made in Korea and watched by the world on Netflix. Our commitment towards Korea is strong. We will continue to invest and collaborate with Korean storytellers across a wealth of genres and formats.\n\n\nPopular OTT for accessing Korean Dramas Worldwide. Data Source: Korean Foundation for International Cultural Exchange; MCST Korea\nNetflix's commitment to build up its investments in Korean content has allowed it to maintain a strong position as the second ranked OTT platform behind YouTube for worldwide access to Korean dramas mainly because in my opinion, AVOD-based YouTube is free. However, Netflix has produced a lot of Original Series Korean dramas that have often quickly become a hit, and which were not available for distribution on YouTube.\nThe Elephant in the Room: Disney\n\nEstimated number of SVOD subscribers worldwide. Data Source: Digital TV Research\nDisney (DIS) perhaps represents the largest threat in terms of subscribers growth as it's expected to take over NFLX as the largest SVOD player worldwide by 2026 with 294M subscribers as compared to NFLX's 286M subscribers.\nDIS has grown its subscribers base impressively as it reached103.6M subscribers in Q2'21. DIS's Hotstar platform is the dominant platform in two of Asia's most populated countries: Indonesia and India. This is expected to continue driving strong subscribers growth that would help it to exceed NFLX's subscriber base eventually.\n\nDIS+ ARPU. Data Source: Company Filings\nHowever, DIS's ARPU is also substantially lower than NFLX as Hotstar is very much a lower-priced offering and therefore skewing DIS's ARPU to the downside even as it adds more users. However, Hotstar looks like the better equipped option for growth in these two important Asian markets for DIS and I think DISpossesses the edge over here.\n\nEstimated penetration rate. Data Source: The Motley Fool, Stifel\nHowever, NFLX is still expected to make inroads in all its segments, and particularly in APAC and EMEA as it continues to drive content growth to cater to the markets where it has the lead. l certainly think NFLX can't win in all markets, and in some markets the company definitely has to spend a lot more time and resources to develop them such as in APAC where its penetration is still very low, therefore offering huge potential for growth.\n\nOTT Revenue Worldwide. Data Source: Digital TV Research\nMost importantly, the whole market still offers a lot of opportunities for growth for well positioned players in both the AVOD and the SVOD space. In the SVOD market, it is expected to grow at about 10.16% CAGR from 2020 to 2025, which although not as fast as the AVOD market, it's still expected to grow at a highly respectable rate.\nValuations are Not Expensive\n\nRevenue CAGR and Revenue Multiples. Data Source: S&P Capital IQ\nNFLX's projected growth (5Y CAGR of 15.1%) is definitely expected to slow as it matures, and turn FCF profitable. I don't think it's a bad thing. NFLX is still the dominant player in SVOD and expected to be so. In addition, it's still expected to grow faster than the SVOD market growth of 10.1%, thus further reinforcing NFLX's market leadership expectation. In addition, it's also trading at a slight discount on its EV / FY+1 Rev of 7.8x as compared to its 5Y Av. EV / LTM Rev of 8.8x.\n\nCapEX Margin & Projected CapEx Margin. Data Source: S&P Capital IQ\n\n5Y Av. EV / EBITDA & EV / Fwd EBITDA. Data Source: S&P Capital IQ\nGiven that its CapEX margins (see above) are expected to be largely consistent over time as compared to the last few years, I also find it useful to consider its cash flow generating capacity and value it accordingly. When we consider NFLX's EV / Fwd EBITDA (see above), we could see the company's improved FCF generating capability has now made NFLX a lot more undervalued than when we compared it against its revenue growth.\n\nEV / Fwd (EBITDA - CapEx). Data Source: S&P Capital IQ\nIn fact, NFLX is expected to continue generating a high level FCF moving forward which would thus further support the NFLX's competitive valuation from the FCF point of view.\nPrice Action and Technical Analysis\n\nSource: TradingView\nThe current price level at $489 is a possible entry point, with a more conservative entry point at $458. The \"Buy more\" entry point is at $398, which is also supported above the key 200W MA. Avoid buying near $563 and $593 in the near term as they look to be key resistance levels.\nWrapping it all up\nNetflix's \"loss of competitiveness\" and \"weak fundamentals\" that were called into question recently are largely unfounded. The company enjoys strong dominance and competitive advantages in the SVOD market that is still expected to grow at double digit growth rates of which NFLX is expected to exploit in the years ahead.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":217,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":160172286,"gmtCreate":1623776771845,"gmtModify":1703819240621,"author":{"id":"3575243382642927","authorId":"3575243382642927","name":"HolyPlumchu","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/892e8c26da1e25a378842a0bd731540f","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575243382642927","authorIdStr":"3575243382642927"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ether the way to go?","listText":"Ether the way to go?","text":"Ether the way to go?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/160172286","repostId":"1135158450","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1135158450","pubTimestamp":1623750495,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1135158450?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-15 17:48","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Goldman Expands Crypto-Trading Desk By Offering Ether Options","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1135158450","media":"zerohedge","summary":"A few weeks ago, while the prices of the biggest cryptocurrencies were careening lowering, Goldman S","content":"<p>A few weeks ago, while the prices of the biggest cryptocurrencies were careening lowering, Goldman Sachs released what we described as the closest thing to 'initiating coverage' on cryptocurrencies, with the big takeaway being that the bank saw Ethereum overtaking bitcoin as the world's most popular cryptocurrency in the not-too-distant future.</p>\n<p>After its release, we suspected that the report was a harbinger of Goldman potentially announcing an expansion of its crypto business as it scrambles to stay a step ahead of megabank rivals like JPMorgan, Citigroup and others. As it turns out, we were correct.</p>\n<p>Because on Monday, Mathew McDermott, head of digital assets at Goldman, told Bloomberg News that the bank is planning to sell options and futures for ether and bitcoinvia its newly restarted crypto trading desk.</p>\n<p>Even JP Morgan, whose CEO once famously bashed bitcoin,is expanding its own crypto business,claiming its clients demand it. The global banking regulators at the Basel Committee also gave a begrudging green light for international banks to deal in cryptocurrencies (though they need to hold plenty of capital in reserve for any crypto on their balance sheet).</p>\n<p>According to McDermott, even after the drop in crypto prices, hedge funds are still eager to trade crypto. And Goldman is looking to invest in more crypto-focused companies.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"We’ve actually seen a lot of interest from clients who are eager to trade as they find these levels as a slightly more palatable entry point,” McDermott said in a phone interview on Thursday. “We see it as a cleansing exercise to reduce some of the leverage and the excess in the system, especially from a retail perspective.” Goldman tapped McDermott, 47, to head its digital currency efforts last year. Under his watch, the business has grown to 17 people from four. The bank has also invested in crypto start-ups. It put $5 million into a fundraising round by Blockdaemon, a firm that creates and hosts the computer nodes that make up blockchain networks. In May, Goldman led the $15 million investment into Coin Metrics, a cryptocurrency and blockchain data provider to institutional clients, and McDermott joined the company’s board. “We are looking at a number of different companies that fit into our strategic direction,” he said. Other banks have also expanded their crypto operations. Cowen Inc. plans to offer “institutional-grade” custody services for cryptocurrencies. Standard Chartered Plc is setting up a joint venture to buy and sell virtual currencies, though HSBC Holdings Plc is avoiding Bitcoin for now.\n</blockquote>\n<p>Circling back to the report we mentioned above, Goldman and its team of analysts have clearly explored the pros and cons before deciding to expand its business.</p>\n<p>The term “cryptocurrencies”—which most people take to mean that crypto assets act as a digital medium of exchange, like fiat currency—is fundamentally misleading when it comes to assessing the value of these assets. Indeed,<b>the blockchain that underlies bitcoin was not designed to replace a fiat currency—it is a trusted peer-to-peer payments network.</b>As a cryptographic algorithm generates the proof that the payment was correctly executed, no third party is needed to verify the transaction.<b>The blockchain and its native coin were therefore designed to replace the banking system and others like insurance that require a trusted intermediary today, not the Dollar.</b>In that sense, the blockchain is differentiated from other “digital” transactional mechanisms such as PayPal, which is dependent upon the banking system to prevent fraud like double-spending.</p>\n<p>In order to be trustworthy, the system needed to create an asset that had no liabilities or contingent claims, which can only be a real asset just like a commodity. And to achieve that, blockchain technologies used scarcity in natural resources—oil, gas, coal, uranium and hydro—through ever-increasing computational-power consumption to “mine” a bit version of a natural resource.</p>\n<p>From this perspective, the intrinsic value of the network is the trustworthy information that the blockchain produces through its mining process, and the coins native to the network are required to unlock this trusted information, and make it tradeable and fungible. It’s therefore impossible to say that the network has value and a role in society without saying that the coin does too. And the value of the coin is dependent upon the value and growth of the network.</p>\n<p>That said, because the network is decentralized and anonymous,<b>legal challenges facing future growth for crypto assets loom large.</b>Coins trying to displace the Dollar run headlong into anti-money laundering laws (AML), as exemplified by the recent ransoms demanded in bitcoin from the Colonial Pipeline operator and the Irish Health service. Regulators can impede the use of crypto assets as a substitute for the Dollar or other currencies simply by making them non-convertible. An asset only has value if it can either be used or sold. And Chinese and Indian authorities have already challenged crypto uses in payments.</p>\n<p>As a result,<b>the market share of coins used for other purposes beyond currencies like “smart contracts” and “information tokens” will likely continue to rise.</b>However, even these non-currency uses will need to be recognized by courts of law to be accepted in commercial transactions—a question we leave to the lawyers.</p>\n<p><b>The network creates the value, unlike other commodities</b></p>\n<p>Unlike other commodities, coins derive their entire value from the network. A bitcoin has no value outside of its network as it is native to the Bitcoin blockchain. The value of oil is also largely derived from the transportation network that it fuels, but at least oil can be burned to create heat outside of this network.<b>At the other extreme, gold doesn’t require a network at all.</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aba6f2b8dd670875cb7a0942c5fd95f0\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"399\">Derived demand leaves the holder of the commodity exposed to the risk of the network becoming obsolete—a lesson that holders of oil reserves are now learning with decarbonization accelerating the decline of the transportation network, and, in turn damaging oil demand. Likewise,<b>bitcoin owners face accelerated network decay risk from a competing network, backed by a new cryptocurrency.</b></p>\n<p>As the demand for gold is not dependent on a network,<b>it will ultimately outlive oil and bitcoin—gold entropy lies at the unit, not the network, level.</b>Indeed, most stores of value that are used as defensive assets—like gold, diamonds and collectibles—don’t have derived demand and therefore only face unit-level entropy risk. This is what makes them defensive. The world can fall apart around them and they preserve their value. And while they don’t have derived demand, they do have other uses that establish their value, i.e. gold is used for jewelry and as a store of value.</p>\n<p><b>Transactions drive value, creating a risk-on asset</b></p>\n<p>Crypto doesn’t trade like gold and nor should it. Using any standard valuation method, transactions or expected transactions on the network are the key determinant of network value. The more transactions the blockchain can verify, the greater the network value. Transaction volumes and the demand for commodified information are roughly correlated with the business cycle; thus,<b>crypto assets should trade as pro-cyclical risk-on assets as they have for the past decade. Gold and bitcoin are therefore not competing assets as is commonly misunderstood, and can instead co-exist.</b>Because the value of the network and hence the coin is derived from the volume of transactions, hoarding coins as stores of value reduces the coins available for transactions, which reduces the value of the network.<b>Because gold doesn’t have this property, it is the only commodity that institutional investors hold in physical inventory.</b>Nearly all other commodities are held in paper inventory in the form of futures to avoid disrupting the network.<b>This suggests that, like oil, crypto investments will need to be held in the form of futures contracts, not physically, if they are to serve as stores of value.</b></p>\n<p>Crypto assets aren’t digital oil, either, as they are not non-durable consumables and can therefore be used again. This durability makes them a store of value, provided this demand doesn’t disrupt network flows. The crypto assets that have the greatest utility are also likely to be the dominant stores of value—the high utility reduces the carry costs.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e2873efa55fd8073c76445c1cdc110f9\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"390\"></p>\n<p><b>So what is crypto? A powerful networking effect</b></p>\n<p>The network provides crypto an extremely powerful networking externality that no other commodity possesses. The operators—miners, exchanges and developers—are all paid in the native coin, making them fully vested in its success. Similarly, users—merchants, investors and speculators—are also fully vested. This gives bitcoin holders an incentive to accommodate purchases of their own products in bitcoin, which in turn, creates more demand for the coins they already own. Similarly, ether holders have an incentive to build apps and other products on the Ethereum network to increase the value of their coins.</p>\n<p><b>Because the coin holders have a stake in the network, speculation spurs adoption; even during bust periods, coin holders are motivated to work to create the next new boom.</b>After the dot-com bust, the shareholders had no commodity to promote. In crypto assets, even when prices collapse, the coin holders have a commodity to promote. They will always live for another boom, like an oil wildcatter.</p>\n<p><b>It’s all about information</b></p>\n<p>As the value of the coin is dependent on the value of the trustworthy information, blockchain technology has gravitated toward those industries where trust is most essential—finance, law and medicine. For the Bitcoin blockchain, this information is the record of every balance sheet in the network, and the transactions between them—originally the role of banks. In the case of a smart contract—a piece of code that executes according to a pre-set rule—on Ethereum, both the terms of that contract (the code) and the state of the contract (executed or not) are the information validated on the Ethereum blockchain. As a result, the counterparty in the contract cannot claim a transfer of funds without the network forming a consensus that the contract was indeed executed.<u><b>In our view the most valuable crypto assets will be those that help verify the most critical information in the economy.</b></u></p>\n<p>Over time, the decentralized nature of the network will diminish concerns about storing personal data on the blockchain. One’s digital profile could contain personal data including asset ownership, medical history and even IP rights. Since this information is immutable—it cannot be changed without consensus—the trusted information can then be tokenized and traded.<b><u>A blockchain platform like Ethereum could potentially become a large market for vendors of trusted information, like Amazon is for consumer goods today</u></b><b>.</b></p>\n<p><b>Crypto beyond this boom and bust cycle</b></p>\n<p>By many measures—Metcalfe’s Lawor Network Value to Transactions (NVT) ratio —crypto assets are in bubble territory. But does the demand for “commodified information” create enough economic value at a low enough cost to be scaled up in the long run? If the legal system accommodates these assets, we believe so.<b>While many overvalued networks exist, a few will likely emerge as long-term winners in the next stage of the digital economy, just as the tech titans of today emerged from the dot-com boom and bust.</b>This transformation is happening now—there are already an estimated 21.2 million owners of cryptocurrencies in the US alone. However, technological, environmental and legal challenges still loom large.</p>\n<p>Ethereum 2.0is expected to ramp upcapacity to 3,000 transactions per second (tps), while sharding—<b>which will scale Ethereum 2.0’s Proof of Stake (PoS) system through parallel verification of transactions—has the potential to raise capacity to as much as 100,000 tps.</b>For context, Visa has the capacity to process up to 65,000 tps but typically executes around 2,000 tps.<b>PoS intends to have validators stake the now scarce and valuable coins to incentivize good behavior instead of having miners expend energy to mine new blocks into existence, as under Proof of Work, making crypto assets more ESG friendly.</b>PoS also can significantly boost computational time in terms of transactions per second, which will further incentivize technological adoption. Ironically,<b>this is likely where the value of and demand for bitcoin will come from—being used as the scarce resource to make the PoS system work instead of natural resources.</b></p>\n<p>While overcoming the economic challenges will likely be manageable, the legal challenges are the largest for many crypto assets. And this past week was challenging for crypto assets with confirmation that the 75 bitcoin ransom over the Colonial Pipeline was actually paid. This is a reminder that cryptocurrencies still facilitate criminal activities that have large social costs.</p>\n<p><b>For Ethereum, new companies which aim to disrupt finance, law or medicine by integrating information stored on the platform into their algorithms are likely to run into problems with being legally recognized.</b>If crypto assets are to survive and grow to their fullest potential, they need to define some concept of “sufficiently decentralized” that will satisfy regulators; otherwise, the technologies will soon run out of uses.</p>\n<p>In summary: the talk in the crypto community lately has focused on whether ether is finally supplanting bitcoin since the former has more utility, and therefore a greater potential for a network effect.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Goldman Expands Crypto-Trading Desk By Offering Ether Options</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGoldman Expands Crypto-Trading Desk By Offering Ether Options\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-15 17:48 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/crypto/goldman-expands-crypto-trading-desk-offering-ether-options?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>A few weeks ago, while the prices of the biggest cryptocurrencies were careening lowering, Goldman Sachs released what we described as the closest thing to 'initiating coverage' on cryptocurrencies, ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/crypto/goldman-expands-crypto-trading-desk-offering-ether-options?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"JPM":"摩根大通","GBTC":"Grayscale Bitcoin Trust","COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc.","GS":"高盛"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/crypto/goldman-expands-crypto-trading-desk-offering-ether-options?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1135158450","content_text":"A few weeks ago, while the prices of the biggest cryptocurrencies were careening lowering, Goldman Sachs released what we described as the closest thing to 'initiating coverage' on cryptocurrencies, with the big takeaway being that the bank saw Ethereum overtaking bitcoin as the world's most popular cryptocurrency in the not-too-distant future.\nAfter its release, we suspected that the report was a harbinger of Goldman potentially announcing an expansion of its crypto business as it scrambles to stay a step ahead of megabank rivals like JPMorgan, Citigroup and others. As it turns out, we were correct.\nBecause on Monday, Mathew McDermott, head of digital assets at Goldman, told Bloomberg News that the bank is planning to sell options and futures for ether and bitcoinvia its newly restarted crypto trading desk.\nEven JP Morgan, whose CEO once famously bashed bitcoin,is expanding its own crypto business,claiming its clients demand it. The global banking regulators at the Basel Committee also gave a begrudging green light for international banks to deal in cryptocurrencies (though they need to hold plenty of capital in reserve for any crypto on their balance sheet).\nAccording to McDermott, even after the drop in crypto prices, hedge funds are still eager to trade crypto. And Goldman is looking to invest in more crypto-focused companies.\n\n \"We’ve actually seen a lot of interest from clients who are eager to trade as they find these levels as a slightly more palatable entry point,” McDermott said in a phone interview on Thursday. “We see it as a cleansing exercise to reduce some of the leverage and the excess in the system, especially from a retail perspective.” Goldman tapped McDermott, 47, to head its digital currency efforts last year. Under his watch, the business has grown to 17 people from four. The bank has also invested in crypto start-ups. It put $5 million into a fundraising round by Blockdaemon, a firm that creates and hosts the computer nodes that make up blockchain networks. In May, Goldman led the $15 million investment into Coin Metrics, a cryptocurrency and blockchain data provider to institutional clients, and McDermott joined the company’s board. “We are looking at a number of different companies that fit into our strategic direction,” he said. Other banks have also expanded their crypto operations. Cowen Inc. plans to offer “institutional-grade” custody services for cryptocurrencies. Standard Chartered Plc is setting up a joint venture to buy and sell virtual currencies, though HSBC Holdings Plc is avoiding Bitcoin for now.\n\nCircling back to the report we mentioned above, Goldman and its team of analysts have clearly explored the pros and cons before deciding to expand its business.\nThe term “cryptocurrencies”—which most people take to mean that crypto assets act as a digital medium of exchange, like fiat currency—is fundamentally misleading when it comes to assessing the value of these assets. Indeed,the blockchain that underlies bitcoin was not designed to replace a fiat currency—it is a trusted peer-to-peer payments network.As a cryptographic algorithm generates the proof that the payment was correctly executed, no third party is needed to verify the transaction.The blockchain and its native coin were therefore designed to replace the banking system and others like insurance that require a trusted intermediary today, not the Dollar.In that sense, the blockchain is differentiated from other “digital” transactional mechanisms such as PayPal, which is dependent upon the banking system to prevent fraud like double-spending.\nIn order to be trustworthy, the system needed to create an asset that had no liabilities or contingent claims, which can only be a real asset just like a commodity. And to achieve that, blockchain technologies used scarcity in natural resources—oil, gas, coal, uranium and hydro—through ever-increasing computational-power consumption to “mine” a bit version of a natural resource.\nFrom this perspective, the intrinsic value of the network is the trustworthy information that the blockchain produces through its mining process, and the coins native to the network are required to unlock this trusted information, and make it tradeable and fungible. It’s therefore impossible to say that the network has value and a role in society without saying that the coin does too. And the value of the coin is dependent upon the value and growth of the network.\nThat said, because the network is decentralized and anonymous,legal challenges facing future growth for crypto assets loom large.Coins trying to displace the Dollar run headlong into anti-money laundering laws (AML), as exemplified by the recent ransoms demanded in bitcoin from the Colonial Pipeline operator and the Irish Health service. Regulators can impede the use of crypto assets as a substitute for the Dollar or other currencies simply by making them non-convertible. An asset only has value if it can either be used or sold. And Chinese and Indian authorities have already challenged crypto uses in payments.\nAs a result,the market share of coins used for other purposes beyond currencies like “smart contracts” and “information tokens” will likely continue to rise.However, even these non-currency uses will need to be recognized by courts of law to be accepted in commercial transactions—a question we leave to the lawyers.\nThe network creates the value, unlike other commodities\nUnlike other commodities, coins derive their entire value from the network. A bitcoin has no value outside of its network as it is native to the Bitcoin blockchain. The value of oil is also largely derived from the transportation network that it fuels, but at least oil can be burned to create heat outside of this network.At the other extreme, gold doesn’t require a network at all.\nDerived demand leaves the holder of the commodity exposed to the risk of the network becoming obsolete—a lesson that holders of oil reserves are now learning with decarbonization accelerating the decline of the transportation network, and, in turn damaging oil demand. Likewise,bitcoin owners face accelerated network decay risk from a competing network, backed by a new cryptocurrency.\nAs the demand for gold is not dependent on a network,it will ultimately outlive oil and bitcoin—gold entropy lies at the unit, not the network, level.Indeed, most stores of value that are used as defensive assets—like gold, diamonds and collectibles—don’t have derived demand and therefore only face unit-level entropy risk. This is what makes them defensive. The world can fall apart around them and they preserve their value. And while they don’t have derived demand, they do have other uses that establish their value, i.e. gold is used for jewelry and as a store of value.\nTransactions drive value, creating a risk-on asset\nCrypto doesn’t trade like gold and nor should it. Using any standard valuation method, transactions or expected transactions on the network are the key determinant of network value. The more transactions the blockchain can verify, the greater the network value. Transaction volumes and the demand for commodified information are roughly correlated with the business cycle; thus,crypto assets should trade as pro-cyclical risk-on assets as they have for the past decade. Gold and bitcoin are therefore not competing assets as is commonly misunderstood, and can instead co-exist.Because the value of the network and hence the coin is derived from the volume of transactions, hoarding coins as stores of value reduces the coins available for transactions, which reduces the value of the network.Because gold doesn’t have this property, it is the only commodity that institutional investors hold in physical inventory.Nearly all other commodities are held in paper inventory in the form of futures to avoid disrupting the network.This suggests that, like oil, crypto investments will need to be held in the form of futures contracts, not physically, if they are to serve as stores of value.\nCrypto assets aren’t digital oil, either, as they are not non-durable consumables and can therefore be used again. This durability makes them a store of value, provided this demand doesn’t disrupt network flows. The crypto assets that have the greatest utility are also likely to be the dominant stores of value—the high utility reduces the carry costs.\n\nSo what is crypto? A powerful networking effect\nThe network provides crypto an extremely powerful networking externality that no other commodity possesses. The operators—miners, exchanges and developers—are all paid in the native coin, making them fully vested in its success. Similarly, users—merchants, investors and speculators—are also fully vested. This gives bitcoin holders an incentive to accommodate purchases of their own products in bitcoin, which in turn, creates more demand for the coins they already own. Similarly, ether holders have an incentive to build apps and other products on the Ethereum network to increase the value of their coins.\nBecause the coin holders have a stake in the network, speculation spurs adoption; even during bust periods, coin holders are motivated to work to create the next new boom.After the dot-com bust, the shareholders had no commodity to promote. In crypto assets, even when prices collapse, the coin holders have a commodity to promote. They will always live for another boom, like an oil wildcatter.\nIt’s all about information\nAs the value of the coin is dependent on the value of the trustworthy information, blockchain technology has gravitated toward those industries where trust is most essential—finance, law and medicine. For the Bitcoin blockchain, this information is the record of every balance sheet in the network, and the transactions between them—originally the role of banks. In the case of a smart contract—a piece of code that executes according to a pre-set rule—on Ethereum, both the terms of that contract (the code) and the state of the contract (executed or not) are the information validated on the Ethereum blockchain. As a result, the counterparty in the contract cannot claim a transfer of funds without the network forming a consensus that the contract was indeed executed.In our view the most valuable crypto assets will be those that help verify the most critical information in the economy.\nOver time, the decentralized nature of the network will diminish concerns about storing personal data on the blockchain. One’s digital profile could contain personal data including asset ownership, medical history and even IP rights. Since this information is immutable—it cannot be changed without consensus—the trusted information can then be tokenized and traded.A blockchain platform like Ethereum could potentially become a large market for vendors of trusted information, like Amazon is for consumer goods today.\nCrypto beyond this boom and bust cycle\nBy many measures—Metcalfe’s Lawor Network Value to Transactions (NVT) ratio —crypto assets are in bubble territory. But does the demand for “commodified information” create enough economic value at a low enough cost to be scaled up in the long run? If the legal system accommodates these assets, we believe so.While many overvalued networks exist, a few will likely emerge as long-term winners in the next stage of the digital economy, just as the tech titans of today emerged from the dot-com boom and bust.This transformation is happening now—there are already an estimated 21.2 million owners of cryptocurrencies in the US alone. However, technological, environmental and legal challenges still loom large.\nEthereum 2.0is expected to ramp upcapacity to 3,000 transactions per second (tps), while sharding—which will scale Ethereum 2.0’s Proof of Stake (PoS) system through parallel verification of transactions—has the potential to raise capacity to as much as 100,000 tps.For context, Visa has the capacity to process up to 65,000 tps but typically executes around 2,000 tps.PoS intends to have validators stake the now scarce and valuable coins to incentivize good behavior instead of having miners expend energy to mine new blocks into existence, as under Proof of Work, making crypto assets more ESG friendly.PoS also can significantly boost computational time in terms of transactions per second, which will further incentivize technological adoption. Ironically,this is likely where the value of and demand for bitcoin will come from—being used as the scarce resource to make the PoS system work instead of natural resources.\nWhile overcoming the economic challenges will likely be manageable, the legal challenges are the largest for many crypto assets. And this past week was challenging for crypto assets with confirmation that the 75 bitcoin ransom over the Colonial Pipeline was actually paid. This is a reminder that cryptocurrencies still facilitate criminal activities that have large social costs.\nFor Ethereum, new companies which aim to disrupt finance, law or medicine by integrating information stored on the platform into their algorithms are likely to run into problems with being legally recognized.If crypto assets are to survive and grow to their fullest potential, they need to define some concept of “sufficiently decentralized” that will satisfy regulators; otherwise, the technologies will soon run out of uses.\nIn summary: the talk in the crypto community lately has focused on whether ether is finally supplanting bitcoin since the former has more utility, and therefore a greater potential for a network effect.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":118,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":160178028,"gmtCreate":1623776680864,"gmtModify":1703819237226,"author":{"id":"3575243382642927","authorId":"3575243382642927","name":"HolyPlumchu","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/892e8c26da1e25a378842a0bd731540f","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575243382642927","authorIdStr":"3575243382642927"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Where will the money go then","listText":"Where will the money go then","text":"Where will the money go then","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/160178028","repostId":"1145996523","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1145996523","pubTimestamp":1623751116,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1145996523?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-15 17:58","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Investors and the Fed aren't freaking out about inflation. Should they?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1145996523","media":"cnn","summary":"New York (CNN Business)There is a gigantic disconnect between Main Street and Wall Street when it co","content":"<p>New York (CNN Business)There is a gigantic disconnect between Main Street and Wall Street when it comes to inflation. Something's got to give.</p>\n<p>The US government reported last week that consumer prices, excluding food and energy, rose at their fastest clip since 1992 in May. Sherwin-Williams (SHW) is lifting the price of paint, one of many companies that's responding to higher commodities costs.</p>\n<p>Food prices are also surging. Chipotle (CMG) just raised prices. So did Campbell Soup (CPB).</p>\n<p>And the chief financial officer of restaurant and arcade chain Dave &amp; Buster's (PLAY) said during a recent earnings call with analysts that he expects a 6% to 8% increase in food costs for 2021 due to higher chicken, beef and dairy prices.</p>\n<p>Wages are rising too, especially for workers in the retail, leisure and hospitality sectors that are returning to jobs as the economy reopens. That adds to inflationary pressures, because some companies will choose to hike prices in order to maintain profits.</p>\n<p>Labor shortages aren't helping.</p>\n<p>The CEO of online pet retailer Chewy (CHWY) wrote in a letter to shareholders after its latest earnings report that it \"faced labor shortages in our fulfillment centers similar to those being faced by many companies nationwide.\" As a result, Chewy continues \"to invest in higher wages and benefits\" in order to fill job vacancies.</p>\n<p>Yet investors — and the Federal Reserve — are shrugging off rising inflation as \"transitory.\" Long-term bond yields are falling, which isn't what normally happens when inflation runs hot. If bond investors believed that price hikes are here to stay, they'd be demanding higher yields.</p>\n<p>And the market is pricing in just a 3% chance of a rate hike from the Fed by the end of the year. That's down from a 10% likelihood of higher rates just a month ago. Investors know a rate hike is the central bank's best tool to fight rising inflation, and they'll want to hear more on the subject when Fed chair Jerome Powell speaks at a press conference on Wednesday.</p>\n<p>\"The bond market is still not concerned about inflation. It's buying what the Fed is selling,\" said Randy Warren, CEO of Warren Financial.</p>\n<p>The problem is that there is a chance the Fed could wait too long to react to inflation.</p>\n<p>\"Is inflation transitory or something more structural?\" asked Steven Oh, global head of credit and fixed income with PineBridge Investments. \"Will the Fed lose control of it down the road and make a policy error and not have the ability to rein it in?\"</p>\n<p>If the Fed and bond market are wrong about inflation, the central bank may have to wind down its pandemic stimulus much more quickly than it — and investors — would like. That would mean unwinding its big asset purchases and raising rates sooner rather than later.</p>\n<p>Oh doesn't think that will be the case. And many others agree. They argue that investors must keep in mind how rapidly the economy has roared back.</p>\n<p>For that reason, it should not be that big of a surprise that there are dislocations in the job market and supply chain. It will take time for conditions to revert to what they were like in late 2019 and early 2020 before Covid-19.</p>\n<p>\"There are a lot of questions about inflation because you see it in everyday life,\" said Bryan Koslow, principal of Clarus Group, a wealth management firm. \"But we may have seen the peak, especially in terms of wage growth.\"</p>\n<p>Even if that does turn out to be true, the mere fact that investors and consumers are so focused on prices is noteworthy. Inflation has essentially been a non-issue for more than a decade.</p>\n<p>\"The Fed has to take the inflation concerns seriously,\" said Troy Gayeski, co-chief investment officer and senior portfolio manager at SkyBridge Capital. He added that he thinks there is a 20% chance that inflation pressures turn out to be more persistent as opposed to transitory.</p>\n<p>\"The risk of meaningful inflation has been non-existent since 2008. Until now,\" Gayeski said.</p>\n<p><b>What's getting more expensive</b></p>\n<p>Food and paint aren't the only things getting more expensive. As CNN Business' Moira Ritter points out, the prices of just about everything have gone up lately.</p>\n<p>Lumber prices have soared. And the housing market continues to boom. That's led to a big spike in the prices of couches and other household furnishings.</p>\n<p>Used cars are a lot more expensive too. Chalk that up to people returning to work and a dearth of new cars on dealership lots due to the chip supply shortage that has hurt production of new vehicles.</p>\n<p>People are traveling more as well. Airfares have shot up in anticipation of what some are dubbing the red hot vaccine summer.</p>\n<p><b>Up next</b></p>\n<p><b>Tuesday: </b>US retail sales; US producer price index; Earnings from Oracle (ORCL) and H &amp; R Block (HRB)</p>\n<p><b>Wednesday: </b>Federal Reserve rate decision; US housing starts and building permits; EIA crude oil inventories; Earnings from Lennar (LEN)</p>\n<p><b>Thursday: </b>US jobless claims; Earnings from Kroger (KR) and Adobe (ADBE)</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Investors and the Fed aren't freaking out about inflation. Should they?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nInvestors and the Fed aren't freaking out about inflation. Should they?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-15 17:58 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://edition.cnn.com/2021/06/13/investing/stocks-week-ahead/index.html><strong>cnn</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>New York (CNN Business)There is a gigantic disconnect between Main Street and Wall Street when it comes to inflation. Something's got to give.\nThe US government reported last week that consumer prices...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/06/13/investing/stocks-week-ahead/index.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/06/13/investing/stocks-week-ahead/index.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1145996523","content_text":"New York (CNN Business)There is a gigantic disconnect between Main Street and Wall Street when it comes to inflation. Something's got to give.\nThe US government reported last week that consumer prices, excluding food and energy, rose at their fastest clip since 1992 in May. Sherwin-Williams (SHW) is lifting the price of paint, one of many companies that's responding to higher commodities costs.\nFood prices are also surging. Chipotle (CMG) just raised prices. So did Campbell Soup (CPB).\nAnd the chief financial officer of restaurant and arcade chain Dave & Buster's (PLAY) said during a recent earnings call with analysts that he expects a 6% to 8% increase in food costs for 2021 due to higher chicken, beef and dairy prices.\nWages are rising too, especially for workers in the retail, leisure and hospitality sectors that are returning to jobs as the economy reopens. That adds to inflationary pressures, because some companies will choose to hike prices in order to maintain profits.\nLabor shortages aren't helping.\nThe CEO of online pet retailer Chewy (CHWY) wrote in a letter to shareholders after its latest earnings report that it \"faced labor shortages in our fulfillment centers similar to those being faced by many companies nationwide.\" As a result, Chewy continues \"to invest in higher wages and benefits\" in order to fill job vacancies.\nYet investors — and the Federal Reserve — are shrugging off rising inflation as \"transitory.\" Long-term bond yields are falling, which isn't what normally happens when inflation runs hot. If bond investors believed that price hikes are here to stay, they'd be demanding higher yields.\nAnd the market is pricing in just a 3% chance of a rate hike from the Fed by the end of the year. That's down from a 10% likelihood of higher rates just a month ago. Investors know a rate hike is the central bank's best tool to fight rising inflation, and they'll want to hear more on the subject when Fed chair Jerome Powell speaks at a press conference on Wednesday.\n\"The bond market is still not concerned about inflation. It's buying what the Fed is selling,\" said Randy Warren, CEO of Warren Financial.\nThe problem is that there is a chance the Fed could wait too long to react to inflation.\n\"Is inflation transitory or something more structural?\" asked Steven Oh, global head of credit and fixed income with PineBridge Investments. \"Will the Fed lose control of it down the road and make a policy error and not have the ability to rein it in?\"\nIf the Fed and bond market are wrong about inflation, the central bank may have to wind down its pandemic stimulus much more quickly than it — and investors — would like. That would mean unwinding its big asset purchases and raising rates sooner rather than later.\nOh doesn't think that will be the case. And many others agree. They argue that investors must keep in mind how rapidly the economy has roared back.\nFor that reason, it should not be that big of a surprise that there are dislocations in the job market and supply chain. It will take time for conditions to revert to what they were like in late 2019 and early 2020 before Covid-19.\n\"There are a lot of questions about inflation because you see it in everyday life,\" said Bryan Koslow, principal of Clarus Group, a wealth management firm. \"But we may have seen the peak, especially in terms of wage growth.\"\nEven if that does turn out to be true, the mere fact that investors and consumers are so focused on prices is noteworthy. Inflation has essentially been a non-issue for more than a decade.\n\"The Fed has to take the inflation concerns seriously,\" said Troy Gayeski, co-chief investment officer and senior portfolio manager at SkyBridge Capital. He added that he thinks there is a 20% chance that inflation pressures turn out to be more persistent as opposed to transitory.\n\"The risk of meaningful inflation has been non-existent since 2008. Until now,\" Gayeski said.\nWhat's getting more expensive\nFood and paint aren't the only things getting more expensive. As CNN Business' Moira Ritter points out, the prices of just about everything have gone up lately.\nLumber prices have soared. And the housing market continues to boom. That's led to a big spike in the prices of couches and other household furnishings.\nUsed cars are a lot more expensive too. Chalk that up to people returning to work and a dearth of new cars on dealership lots due to the chip supply shortage that has hurt production of new vehicles.\nPeople are traveling more as well. Airfares have shot up in anticipation of what some are dubbing the red hot vaccine summer.\nUp next\nTuesday: US retail sales; US producer price index; Earnings from Oracle (ORCL) and H & R Block (HRB)\nWednesday: Federal Reserve rate decision; US housing starts and building permits; EIA crude oil inventories; Earnings from Lennar (LEN)\nThursday: US jobless claims; Earnings from Kroger (KR) and Adobe (ADBE)","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":124,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":185671279,"gmtCreate":1623649046491,"gmtModify":1704207816015,"author":{"id":"3575243382642927","authorId":"3575243382642927","name":"HolyPlumchu","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/892e8c26da1e25a378842a0bd731540f","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575243382642927","authorIdStr":"3575243382642927"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Bull run already","listText":"Bull run already","text":"Bull run already","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/185671279","repostId":"1142573994","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1142573994","pubTimestamp":1623647856,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1142573994?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-14 13:17","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Etsy: Excellent Opportunity To Buy The Dip In Stock Price","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1142573994","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nEtsy released Q1 earnings on May 5th, 2021 and dove 14.5% due to slowing user growth and gu","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Etsy released Q1 earnings on May 5th, 2021 and dove 14.5% due to slowing user growth and guidance for a significant revenue slowdown.</li>\n <li>Investors recently became excited in Etsy again after the acquisition of Depop, which targets Gen Z shoppers and the secondhand sales market in clothes, which are both growth areas.</li>\n <li>Etsy continues to build customer experience features to retain as much of the pandemic-era surge in business as possible&nbsp;and turn those users into habitual buyers.</li>\n <li>Despite the slowing user growth, Etsy had an excellent quarter by&nbsp;beating estimates on both the top and bottom lines.</li>\n <li>Use the dip in Etsy's stock price to initiate a position in Etsy or add to a position.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/99d0bcfb1a6d36dd91422439b4559805\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\"><span>Michael Vi/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p>Etsy(NASDAQ:ETSY)was already in the midst of stock decline before delivering earnings on May 5, 2021, and the day after earnings the stock dropped 14.5% due to fears of growth slowing. Etsy gave guidance that wasn't well received by investors. Growth in gross merchandise sales, or GMS, is expected to slow to a range of 5% to 15% in the second quarter. In addition, Etsy expects slowing revenue growth in the range of 15% to 25%, which is a significant slowdown from the triple-digit growth in the previous four quarters.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a605c0365b4dc29f7cbc856d531bb115\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"403\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>This article will examine earnings as well as examine a few of Etsy's recent growth initiatives, including the recent Depop acquisition. I will then give reasons why I think Etsy is a buy at current prices.</p>\n<p><b>First The Depop Acquisition</b></p>\n<p>When the news that Etsy acquired Depop first hit the market,the news was positively received&nbsp;with the stock popping 6.5% from the opening price. The acquisition gets Etsy into two exciting new areas as Depop is a play on&nbsp;Gen Z shoppers&nbsp;and the secondhand sales market. As of right now, the plan is to continue to operate Depop as its own standalone marketplace.</p>\n<p>One can think of Depop as a&nbsp;giant international flea market in app form&nbsp;that uses influencer-based approach to sell secondhand clothing online. Depop's approach can also be called&nbsp;social commerce, where Depop encourages their sellers to build their brand on platforms like TikTok, Instagram and YouTube. Depop's approach has Gen Z hooked as Depop is the 10th most visited shopping site for the Gen Z consumer in the US. Ninety percent of Depop users are under 26, which is an attractive segment of buyers for retailers.</p>\n<p>With the Depop acquisition, Etsy seems to be evolving into a home of multiple e-commerce brands that cater to different audiences. The Depop acquisition comes on the back of the Reverb acquisition that took place in 2019. Reverb is a marketplace for new and used musical instruments and equipment. Etsy sells mostly homemade goods and crafts. Depop sells mostly clothing and increasingly fashion brands are becoming attracted to the&nbsp;concept of using resale platforms&nbsp;like Depop.</p>\n<p>I think this is a very important acquisition for Etsy as it allows Etsy to attract younger shoppers to their family of shopping platforms. Let's look at Etsy's previous acquisition, Reverb.</p>\n<p><b>Etsy's 2019 Acquisition Reverb</b></p>\n<p>Reverb was acquired by Etsy in August of 2019. Reverb is the largest online marketplace dedicated to buying and selling new, used, and vintage musical instruments. Reverb is considered the \"Etsy\" of musical instruments, so the company has significant synergy with Etsy and the acquisition was considered a strategic one for the company at the time.</p>\n<p>In Q1 2021, Reverb also logged an outstanding quarter. GMS grew about 50% or about 5x faster than the musical instrument industry and Reverb continues to deepen its moat by serving as the primary marketplace for many musicians.</p>\n<p>Reverb has four key focus areas in 2021, which include personalization,partnerships with brands like Fender&nbsp;to market new products, increasing investments in international growth, and continuing to improve the customer experience.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/410c15eead8d0135f5cb36a8b5b42c38\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"354\"><span>Source:Etsy Q1 2021 Earnings Presentation</span></p>\n<p>Since the acquisition, Etsy has helped Reverb to expand its gross margins from 33% to about 53% and the purchasing power and scale of Etsy has played an important role. Many of the gains Reverb won by lowering the percentage of&nbsp;cost of sales&nbsp;in comparison to the revenues have been reinvested in marketing initiatives, and that investment in marketing has also helped to accelerate the growth of Reverb.</p>\n<p>Etsy is not just investing more, though, but is investing more efficiently, which Etsy shows in their slide presentation by using the GMS per marketing metric, where each dollar of marketing is now driving more GMS through the incorporation of Etsy's tools and techniques. This helps make the marketing funnel within Reverb even more efficient.</p>\n<p>Now let's look at how Etsy is driving customers to the original Etsy platform.</p>\n<p><b>A Few New Etsy Customer Experience Features</b></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/97258ad709cb02769e45295d41c1d0ea\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"347\"><span>Source: Etsy Q1 2021 Earnings Presentation</span></p>\n<p>One of Etsy's goals is to retain as much of the pandemic-era surge in business as possible and turn those users into habitual buyers, which are defined by Etsy as those with 6 or more purchase days and $200 or more in spend in the trailing twelve months. Etsy would like to drive more buying frequency within both the new and habitual buyers segments and during the Q1 2021 earnings call, CEO Joshua Silverman mentioned a few new Etsy customer service features in their app to help accomplish that goal:</p>\n<ol>\n <li>Quizzes allows a buyer to come and tell Etsy more about their particular tastes and their particular interests in a fun way that not only makes that visit a more engaging session, but it also gives the company important information to help bring that buyer back more often to have more satisfying experiences in the future.</li>\n <li>Buyer Triggers are ways to notify people through using app pushes, through emails and other methods to give information that there is something new or interesting that's happening.</li>\n <li>Updates Tab is like a daily feed for what's changed since the user last been on Etsy. It will for instance show items that have been left in the shopping cart that have gone on sale or it will show some new favorites that the user might be interested in to add to their list. Etsy has statistics showing that currently 13% of app visits include a visit to the Updates Tab and 27% of those visits have buyers clicking on one or more of the listings included in the updates.</li>\n <li>Strategic Discounting is a tool that allows the Etsy team to rapidly test and then automate and scale different types of discounts to very finely tuned customer segments.</li>\n</ol>\n<p><b>Etsy Four Pillars</b></p>\n<p>Investors familiar with Etsy might be aware of the four pillars but for those investors not familiar with Etsy, this is the introduction to what Etsy calls their four pillars to their growth strategy. The Four strategies are:</p>\n<ol>\n <li>Search &amp; Discovery</li>\n <li>Human Connections</li>\n <li>A Trusted Brand</li>\n <li>Sellers' Collection of Unique Items</li>\n</ol>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae7afda7d01577387adf159d2a8f3cef\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"361\"><span>Source: Etsy Q1 2021 Earnings Presentation</span></p>\n<p>Within Search &amp; Discovery, Etsy has four focus areas:</p>\n<p>Search &amp; discovery has four components with the first being personalization, which is all about making the user feel that Etsy Search understands the users' tastes and preferences. Over time, Etsy increasingly plans to do this through use of machine learning models, so that each Etsy search truly feels made just for that one specific user.</p>\n<blockquote>\n Just to show you an example of that pillar [Search &amp; Discovery], we launched the ability to personalize the search results recently, and we are seeing really encouraging gains from that, but we are still very much in the early innings, consuming more data to understand more about what that customer wants and then delivering through more sophisticated models, ever more personalized search results. But it doesn't end with just the search results themselves. We actually believe that over time, we can customize the entire experience.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n Source: CEO Joshua Silverman -Etsy Q1 2021 Earnings Call\n</blockquote>\n<p>Buyer pathways is the second component and it is about making it easier for users to navigate Etsy to find the things that they want, with or without a search query.</p>\n<p>The semantic gap is the third component and is all about the search engine understanding user intent.</p>\n<p>Infrastructure is the fourth component and Etsy has a goal to make infrastructure be fast, reliable and scalable. A few infrastructure improvements made this quarter include decreasing latency, while increasing site speed which resulted in increases in click and conversion rates. Etsy also expanded the search results for long-tail queries, leading to more satisfying buying experiences.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/905a2bf0a348d2b74a72cceb4b7f8a70\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"351\"><span>Source: Etsy Q1 2021 Earnings Presentation</span></p>\n<p>The second pillar is the thing Etsy believes makes their shopping experience special, which is Human Connections which can be helped by video and convos.</p>\n<p>Etsy believes each seller and product has a story to tell which can be visually brought to life by video. Sellers have now uploaded about 5 million videos to the Etsy site, which is up 36% quarter-over-quarter. Etsy also has data showing that when a listing includes a video, buyers tend to engage with it more, make a click and even have more conversions. Etsy has plans to expand the use of video beyond the listing page in the future. Stay tuned.</p>\n<p>Etsy also actively encourages dialogue between buyer and seller, which is fairly unique to the Etsy marketplace. Convos helps the buyer and seller to co-create, personalize or customize, or sometimes even to just form a community. This is an example of a new trend called&nbsp;Social Commerce, which has become popular with social networking sites like Instagram, YouTube and Facebook. Etsy is one of the few ecommerce sites approaching Social Commerce from the other side by making a shopping experience more into a social network.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/67d86c9a1a0ba80a65619ccc72586855\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"349\"><span>Source: Etsy Q1 2021 Earnings Presentation</span></p>\n<p>The third pillar is trust and this area contains four components.</p>\n<p>The first is speed expectation, which is simply making sure that the expected delivery date is very clear to buyers.</p>\n<p>Second is delivery predictability, which means providing transparency into order status from production through delivery.</p>\n<p>Third is issue resolution, which is making it even easier to access support and knowing Etsy customer service is on top of any issues in the case that something goes wrong.</p>\n<p>Fourth is seller reputation, which gives sellers even more visibility into how they are performing versus key customer satisfaction metrics, as well as setting the bar for what good looks like. Etsy would like to create a race to the top by sellers, which makes the buyer experience improve.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fc5cb742029a46ec9028b007b4cae9a6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"357\"><span>Source: Etsy Q1 2021 Earnings Presentation</span></p>\n<p>The last pillar, Etsy considers to be their foundation, which is their sellers' collection of unique items. Ninety percent of buyers report that they come to Etsy for items that they can't find anywhere else. One of the most special parts of Etsy is that most things on Etsy can be personalized and customized. Etsy has found that buyers are 20% more likely to make a purchase when they are looking for customized or personalized items. Etsy has developed a focus for this year to highlight and showcase items that can be personalized and customized as well as streamlining that process of co-creation between the buyer and the seller.</p>\n<p><b>Etsy Q1 2021 Earnings</b></p>\n<p>Etsy released its Q1 earnings results on May 5th, 2021 and the results were excellent. Etsy beat estimates on both the top and bottom lines but moving forward, Etsy projected slowing growth for both revenue and gross merchandise sales or GMS, which disappointed investors.</p>\n<p>Etsy Q1 Consolidated GMS was $3.1 billion, up 132.3% year-over-year; while Etsy marketplace GMS was $2.9 billion, up 144.1% year-over-year. GMS per active buyer for the Etsy marketplace on a trailing twelve month basis grew 20% year-over-year. GMS from paid channels was 21% of overall GMS, expanding 500 basis points compared to the first quarter of 2020. On a consolidated basis, international GMS expanded 200 basis points sequentially to 42% of overall GMS. International GMS grew faster than the overall growth, accelerating to 169%.</p>\n<p>Customer cohorts continue to show that Etsy is driving increased frequency and engagement from all of the different buyer segments. The Etsy marketplace acquired approximately 16.3 million new and reactivated buyers who haven't purchased in a year or more. Habitual buyers was the fastest growing segment yet again and are Etsy's most loyal and engaged buyers with 205% growth year-over-year to 8 million, which is the highest ever growth for that particular buyer segment.</p>\n<p>Consolidated revenue was $550.6 million, up 141.5% versus the same period of 2020, with a take rate (Consolidated revenue divided by Consolidated GMS) of 17.5%. Marketplace revenue was up 165.3% to $413.64 Million Y/Y. Service revenue was up 89.9% to $137 Million.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0655928067ddc35269d3c55af7069739\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"403\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>Gross profit came in at $407.73 million with gross margins of 74%.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba9da9cccb3275e41beb4067c2239eae\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>Operating expenses grew 113.8% to $257.09 Million. Operating income was $150.64 Million. Operating margin was 27.36%.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b79b163fbf9c70509fee1ede8d6159ec\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>Net income grew 1,048.1% over 2020 to $143.77 Million. Earnings per share were $1.00 vs. consensus expectations of $0.97 (compared to $0.10 for Q1 2020). Adjusted EBITDA (non-GAAP) came in at $184.07 Million with 33% Adjusted EBITDA margin.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ef0b7cd79bb1c705de13504a0f73a273\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p><b>Guidance For Q2</b></p>\n<p>Because of the ongoing pandemic worldwide and worldwide macroeconomic conditions which can possibly impact consumer spending and external e-commerce forecasts, Etsy decided to only give guidance for Q2.</p>\n<p>Etsy estimates Q2 consolidated GMS to be approximately $2.8 billion to $3.1 billion or about 5% to 15% compared to Q2 of last year, revenue of $493 million to $536 million, up 15% to 25% versus last year, and adjusted EBITDA of $129 million to $144 million with a margin in the range of 25% to 28%.</p>\n<p><b>Balance Sheet</b></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e6b60b50ce128acefe4c05840e934b55\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"403\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>As of March 31, Etsy had $1.7 billion in cash and cash equivalents and short-term investments in addition to a $200 million revolver that is currently undrawn. Etsy has a capital light business model and the cost structure is highly variable to revenue, as it continued to take measures to optimize and scale the marketplace.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/22ddf60659402fe4b375eaf92fe0ce81\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>Etsy has $427.05 Million in current liabilities and $1.3 Billion in long-term liabilities. Etsy has a&nbsp;Debt To Equity ratio&nbsp;of 1.98. Quick Ratio (Acid Test) is 4.33. A&nbsp;good quick ratio&nbsp;is any number greater than 1.0. Etsy has a&nbsp;Piotroski F Score&nbsp;of 7.0. A company that has Piotroski F-score of 8-9 is considered to be strong. Alternatively, firms achieving the F-score of 0-2 are considered to be weak. Etsy is currently in a decent position debt-wise.</p>\n<p><b>Risks</b></p>\n<p>Etsy is not without risks. One of the primary risks in the short term is that Etsy is perceived as a \"COVID\" stock or a company that has benefited from the pandemic. That sentiment is not all perception as the pandemic forced many people to shop at home, which helped all e-commerce companies in general and the pandemic increased the amount of people that wanted to start their own business creating products out of their home, as many people lost their regular jobs in the pandemic and tried other ways to produce income, like becoming an Etsy seller for example.</p>\n<p>So the pandemic strengthened both sides of Etsy's&nbsp;two sided market. The problem, of course, is as the pandemic winds down, there are fears that both the seller and buyer side of Etsy's market might weaken and slow growth. I expect that this risk will only be short term, however, as I think Etsy should maintain a majority of the gains made during the pandemic.</p>\n<p>Etsy also has longer term structural risks, however, as Etsy differentiates itself by branding itself as a market for handmade and artisan goods. Critics of the company have questioned Etsy's policies that mandate sustainability and handmade goods, which are goals that sound nice but could make it difficult for Etsy to achieve growth in the future.</p>\n<p>However, the dilemma for Etsy is that any shifting away from handmade goods and the being \"good for the environment\" branding could annoy buyers that shop on Etsy precisely because many of these buyers like handmade &amp; personalized goods, while also liking any behavior that helps the environment. The problem is that as the Etsy gets larger, increasingly, it appears that&nbsp;Etsy is being accused of becoming just another marketplace&nbsp;that is selling less and less handmade goods. So, there is a danger that customers noticing that potential shift of Etsy from its original values could cause the company to lose its differentiation and cause those customers to shop elsewhere.</p>\n<p>Another offshoot of Etsy getting larger is showing up in the fact that as the company has been trying to increase their own revenues and profitability, they have been making it&nbsp;increasingly harder for sellers&nbsp;and in the end that has been pushing away the smaller sellers that have helped them build the business in the first place. Etsy's ability to attract sellers is crucial for the success of their business and anything making the business less attractive for sellers can hurt the business long term.</p>\n<p>Those smaller sellers do have other places where they can sell their wares too. Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN)has started their own&nbsp;handcrafted goods section&nbsp;on their main website to compete against Etsy. Even if smaller sellers do not like Amazon, there are avenues to sell handmade or custom products through Pinterest, as that company&nbsp;ramps up its ecommerce ambitions.</p>\n<p>An additional risk is Etsy's international expansion efforts. I haven't talked much about international expansion in this article but it is crucial to the company's growth efforts. Etsy has been expanding outside the USA since 2005 but that growth is not without risk. The expansion in markets outside of the United States often requires significant financial investment without guarantees of financial success, as most areas of the world already have developed powerful ecommerce marketplace competitors that could provide significant competition to Etsy.</p>\n<p><b>Valuation</b></p>\n<table>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Company</td>\n   <td>Mkt Cap</td>\n   <td>Price/Sales</td>\n   <td>Price/Earnings (FWD)</td>\n   <td>EBITDA Growth (Y/Y) %</td>\n   <td>Revenue Growth (Y/Y) %</td>\n   <td><p>Operating Margin</p><p>%</p></td>\n   <td><p>Revenues</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Etsy (ETSY)</td>\n   <td>$21.63B</td>\n   <td>11.41</td>\n   <td>47.26</td>\n   <td>395.3</td>\n   <td>141.5</td>\n   <td>27.36</td>\n   <td>$550.6 M</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Wayfair (W)</td>\n   <td>$34.70B</td>\n   <td>2.356</td>\n   <td>73.64</td>\n   <td>NM</td>\n   <td>49.25</td>\n   <td>1.11</td>\n   <td>$3.5 B</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Pinterest (PINS)</td>\n   <td>$42.06B</td>\n   <td>21.77</td>\n   <td>75.73</td>\n   <td>NM</td>\n   <td>78.43</td>\n   <td>-4.72</td>\n   <td>$485 M</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>eBay (EBAY)</p></td>\n   <td>$44.83B</td>\n   <td>4.132</td>\n   <td>16.96</td>\n   <td>39.09</td>\n   <td>41.99</td>\n   <td>27.85</td>\n   <td>$3.0 B</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Amazon (AMZN)</td>\n   <td>$1.65T</td>\n   <td>4.088</td>\n   <td>60.73</td>\n   <td>98.07</td>\n   <td>43.82</td>\n   <td>8.17</td>\n   <td>$108.5 B</td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>NM - not meaningful</p>\n<p>There are a lot of online marketplaces worldwide but it was really hard for me to think of a comparable for Etsy. First, it is hard to find a similar-sized ecommerce company. Second, Etsy is really unique because of a strong emphasis on the ability to customize products and search for unique items. Most other marketplaces sell the same or similar products. Consumers seemed to value customizable handmade products during the pandemic and Etsy grew at a blistering pace, albeit off a lower base.</p>\n<p>The company that I consider most comparable to Etsy is aspiring&nbsp;Social Commerce&nbsp;company Pinterest(NYSE:PINS)because they are very roughly at similar sizes in revenues and they both are attractive websites for women. While I also consider Pinterest a buy, I consider Etsy, even more of a buy relative to Pinterest. Etsy has been growing revenues faster and has been consistently more profitable than Pinterest, yet Pinterest has consistently sold at a higher value than Etsy over the few valuation metrics that I looked at.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/608d052ea7c4e2d943e94b70fb8122c8\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/55423f3a5d7d9df2bd90decfa0490436\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7f690f466c67aa1e4068ea2e5b9dde2d\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>The two most recent analyst upgrades/downgrades on Etsy are from 1) Jefferies analyst John Colantuoni, who maintained a Buy rating on Etsy with a price target of $260 on 6/9/2021 and 2) Atlantic Equities initiating Etsy with price target of $200 on 6/7/2021 with the following commentary:</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"Its assortment of unique, handcrafted, personalized goods is another barrier to entry, and the community of sellers and buyers Etsy has already established would be difficult to replicate.\"\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n Source: Atlantic Equities -Seeking Alpha\n</blockquote>\n<p>The following is based on 15 Wall Street analysts offering 12 month price targets for Etsy in the last 3 months. The average price target is $222.40 with a high forecast of $270.00 and a low forecast of $135.00. The average price target represents a 34.12% from the last price of $165.82.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6352e0eed055ff3fa29c6535b780358d\" tg-width=\"493\" tg-height=\"408\"><span>Source:Yahoo Finance</span></p>\n<p><b>Conclusion</b></p>\n<p>In a similar fashion to my&nbsp;recent article on Pinterest, the uncertainty over COVID-19 provides an opportunity for investors to get into Etsy's stock. The fears over slowing growth due the pandemic subsiding should be only a short-term event. Investors should use the current dip in Etsy stock to either initiate a position or add to a position. Etsy is a buy for growth investors.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Etsy: Excellent Opportunity To Buy The Dip In Stock Price</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nEtsy: Excellent Opportunity To Buy The Dip In Stock Price\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-14 13:17 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4434626-good-opportunity-to-buy-etsy-when-it-is-down><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nEtsy released Q1 earnings on May 5th, 2021 and dove 14.5% due to slowing user growth and guidance for a significant revenue slowdown.\nInvestors recently became excited in Etsy again after the...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4434626-good-opportunity-to-buy-etsy-when-it-is-down\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ETSY":"Etsy, Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4434626-good-opportunity-to-buy-etsy-when-it-is-down","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1142573994","content_text":"Summary\n\nEtsy released Q1 earnings on May 5th, 2021 and dove 14.5% due to slowing user growth and guidance for a significant revenue slowdown.\nInvestors recently became excited in Etsy again after the acquisition of Depop, which targets Gen Z shoppers and the secondhand sales market in clothes, which are both growth areas.\nEtsy continues to build customer experience features to retain as much of the pandemic-era surge in business as possible and turn those users into habitual buyers.\nDespite the slowing user growth, Etsy had an excellent quarter by beating estimates on both the top and bottom lines.\nUse the dip in Etsy's stock price to initiate a position in Etsy or add to a position.\n\nMichael Vi/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nEtsy(NASDAQ:ETSY)was already in the midst of stock decline before delivering earnings on May 5, 2021, and the day after earnings the stock dropped 14.5% due to fears of growth slowing. Etsy gave guidance that wasn't well received by investors. Growth in gross merchandise sales, or GMS, is expected to slow to a range of 5% to 15% in the second quarter. In addition, Etsy expects slowing revenue growth in the range of 15% to 25%, which is a significant slowdown from the triple-digit growth in the previous four quarters.\nData by YCharts\nThis article will examine earnings as well as examine a few of Etsy's recent growth initiatives, including the recent Depop acquisition. I will then give reasons why I think Etsy is a buy at current prices.\nFirst The Depop Acquisition\nWhen the news that Etsy acquired Depop first hit the market,the news was positively received with the stock popping 6.5% from the opening price. The acquisition gets Etsy into two exciting new areas as Depop is a play on Gen Z shoppers and the secondhand sales market. As of right now, the plan is to continue to operate Depop as its own standalone marketplace.\nOne can think of Depop as a giant international flea market in app form that uses influencer-based approach to sell secondhand clothing online. Depop's approach can also be called social commerce, where Depop encourages their sellers to build their brand on platforms like TikTok, Instagram and YouTube. Depop's approach has Gen Z hooked as Depop is the 10th most visited shopping site for the Gen Z consumer in the US. Ninety percent of Depop users are under 26, which is an attractive segment of buyers for retailers.\nWith the Depop acquisition, Etsy seems to be evolving into a home of multiple e-commerce brands that cater to different audiences. The Depop acquisition comes on the back of the Reverb acquisition that took place in 2019. Reverb is a marketplace for new and used musical instruments and equipment. Etsy sells mostly homemade goods and crafts. Depop sells mostly clothing and increasingly fashion brands are becoming attracted to the concept of using resale platforms like Depop.\nI think this is a very important acquisition for Etsy as it allows Etsy to attract younger shoppers to their family of shopping platforms. Let's look at Etsy's previous acquisition, Reverb.\nEtsy's 2019 Acquisition Reverb\nReverb was acquired by Etsy in August of 2019. Reverb is the largest online marketplace dedicated to buying and selling new, used, and vintage musical instruments. Reverb is considered the \"Etsy\" of musical instruments, so the company has significant synergy with Etsy and the acquisition was considered a strategic one for the company at the time.\nIn Q1 2021, Reverb also logged an outstanding quarter. GMS grew about 50% or about 5x faster than the musical instrument industry and Reverb continues to deepen its moat by serving as the primary marketplace for many musicians.\nReverb has four key focus areas in 2021, which include personalization,partnerships with brands like Fender to market new products, increasing investments in international growth, and continuing to improve the customer experience.\nSource:Etsy Q1 2021 Earnings Presentation\nSince the acquisition, Etsy has helped Reverb to expand its gross margins from 33% to about 53% and the purchasing power and scale of Etsy has played an important role. Many of the gains Reverb won by lowering the percentage of cost of sales in comparison to the revenues have been reinvested in marketing initiatives, and that investment in marketing has also helped to accelerate the growth of Reverb.\nEtsy is not just investing more, though, but is investing more efficiently, which Etsy shows in their slide presentation by using the GMS per marketing metric, where each dollar of marketing is now driving more GMS through the incorporation of Etsy's tools and techniques. This helps make the marketing funnel within Reverb even more efficient.\nNow let's look at how Etsy is driving customers to the original Etsy platform.\nA Few New Etsy Customer Experience Features\nSource: Etsy Q1 2021 Earnings Presentation\nOne of Etsy's goals is to retain as much of the pandemic-era surge in business as possible and turn those users into habitual buyers, which are defined by Etsy as those with 6 or more purchase days and $200 or more in spend in the trailing twelve months. Etsy would like to drive more buying frequency within both the new and habitual buyers segments and during the Q1 2021 earnings call, CEO Joshua Silverman mentioned a few new Etsy customer service features in their app to help accomplish that goal:\n\nQuizzes allows a buyer to come and tell Etsy more about their particular tastes and their particular interests in a fun way that not only makes that visit a more engaging session, but it also gives the company important information to help bring that buyer back more often to have more satisfying experiences in the future.\nBuyer Triggers are ways to notify people through using app pushes, through emails and other methods to give information that there is something new or interesting that's happening.\nUpdates Tab is like a daily feed for what's changed since the user last been on Etsy. It will for instance show items that have been left in the shopping cart that have gone on sale or it will show some new favorites that the user might be interested in to add to their list. Etsy has statistics showing that currently 13% of app visits include a visit to the Updates Tab and 27% of those visits have buyers clicking on one or more of the listings included in the updates.\nStrategic Discounting is a tool that allows the Etsy team to rapidly test and then automate and scale different types of discounts to very finely tuned customer segments.\n\nEtsy Four Pillars\nInvestors familiar with Etsy might be aware of the four pillars but for those investors not familiar with Etsy, this is the introduction to what Etsy calls their four pillars to their growth strategy. The Four strategies are:\n\nSearch & Discovery\nHuman Connections\nA Trusted Brand\nSellers' Collection of Unique Items\n\nSource: Etsy Q1 2021 Earnings Presentation\nWithin Search & Discovery, Etsy has four focus areas:\nSearch & discovery has four components with the first being personalization, which is all about making the user feel that Etsy Search understands the users' tastes and preferences. Over time, Etsy increasingly plans to do this through use of machine learning models, so that each Etsy search truly feels made just for that one specific user.\n\n Just to show you an example of that pillar [Search & Discovery], we launched the ability to personalize the search results recently, and we are seeing really encouraging gains from that, but we are still very much in the early innings, consuming more data to understand more about what that customer wants and then delivering through more sophisticated models, ever more personalized search results. But it doesn't end with just the search results themselves. We actually believe that over time, we can customize the entire experience.\n\n\n Source: CEO Joshua Silverman -Etsy Q1 2021 Earnings Call\n\nBuyer pathways is the second component and it is about making it easier for users to navigate Etsy to find the things that they want, with or without a search query.\nThe semantic gap is the third component and is all about the search engine understanding user intent.\nInfrastructure is the fourth component and Etsy has a goal to make infrastructure be fast, reliable and scalable. A few infrastructure improvements made this quarter include decreasing latency, while increasing site speed which resulted in increases in click and conversion rates. Etsy also expanded the search results for long-tail queries, leading to more satisfying buying experiences.\nSource: Etsy Q1 2021 Earnings Presentation\nThe second pillar is the thing Etsy believes makes their shopping experience special, which is Human Connections which can be helped by video and convos.\nEtsy believes each seller and product has a story to tell which can be visually brought to life by video. Sellers have now uploaded about 5 million videos to the Etsy site, which is up 36% quarter-over-quarter. Etsy also has data showing that when a listing includes a video, buyers tend to engage with it more, make a click and even have more conversions. Etsy has plans to expand the use of video beyond the listing page in the future. Stay tuned.\nEtsy also actively encourages dialogue between buyer and seller, which is fairly unique to the Etsy marketplace. Convos helps the buyer and seller to co-create, personalize or customize, or sometimes even to just form a community. This is an example of a new trend called Social Commerce, which has become popular with social networking sites like Instagram, YouTube and Facebook. Etsy is one of the few ecommerce sites approaching Social Commerce from the other side by making a shopping experience more into a social network.\nSource: Etsy Q1 2021 Earnings Presentation\nThe third pillar is trust and this area contains four components.\nThe first is speed expectation, which is simply making sure that the expected delivery date is very clear to buyers.\nSecond is delivery predictability, which means providing transparency into order status from production through delivery.\nThird is issue resolution, which is making it even easier to access support and knowing Etsy customer service is on top of any issues in the case that something goes wrong.\nFourth is seller reputation, which gives sellers even more visibility into how they are performing versus key customer satisfaction metrics, as well as setting the bar for what good looks like. Etsy would like to create a race to the top by sellers, which makes the buyer experience improve.\nSource: Etsy Q1 2021 Earnings Presentation\nThe last pillar, Etsy considers to be their foundation, which is their sellers' collection of unique items. Ninety percent of buyers report that they come to Etsy for items that they can't find anywhere else. One of the most special parts of Etsy is that most things on Etsy can be personalized and customized. Etsy has found that buyers are 20% more likely to make a purchase when they are looking for customized or personalized items. Etsy has developed a focus for this year to highlight and showcase items that can be personalized and customized as well as streamlining that process of co-creation between the buyer and the seller.\nEtsy Q1 2021 Earnings\nEtsy released its Q1 earnings results on May 5th, 2021 and the results were excellent. Etsy beat estimates on both the top and bottom lines but moving forward, Etsy projected slowing growth for both revenue and gross merchandise sales or GMS, which disappointed investors.\nEtsy Q1 Consolidated GMS was $3.1 billion, up 132.3% year-over-year; while Etsy marketplace GMS was $2.9 billion, up 144.1% year-over-year. GMS per active buyer for the Etsy marketplace on a trailing twelve month basis grew 20% year-over-year. GMS from paid channels was 21% of overall GMS, expanding 500 basis points compared to the first quarter of 2020. On a consolidated basis, international GMS expanded 200 basis points sequentially to 42% of overall GMS. International GMS grew faster than the overall growth, accelerating to 169%.\nCustomer cohorts continue to show that Etsy is driving increased frequency and engagement from all of the different buyer segments. The Etsy marketplace acquired approximately 16.3 million new and reactivated buyers who haven't purchased in a year or more. Habitual buyers was the fastest growing segment yet again and are Etsy's most loyal and engaged buyers with 205% growth year-over-year to 8 million, which is the highest ever growth for that particular buyer segment.\nConsolidated revenue was $550.6 million, up 141.5% versus the same period of 2020, with a take rate (Consolidated revenue divided by Consolidated GMS) of 17.5%. Marketplace revenue was up 165.3% to $413.64 Million Y/Y. Service revenue was up 89.9% to $137 Million.\nData by YCharts\nGross profit came in at $407.73 million with gross margins of 74%.\nData by YCharts\nOperating expenses grew 113.8% to $257.09 Million. Operating income was $150.64 Million. Operating margin was 27.36%.\nData by YCharts\nNet income grew 1,048.1% over 2020 to $143.77 Million. Earnings per share were $1.00 vs. consensus expectations of $0.97 (compared to $0.10 for Q1 2020). Adjusted EBITDA (non-GAAP) came in at $184.07 Million with 33% Adjusted EBITDA margin.\nData by YCharts\nGuidance For Q2\nBecause of the ongoing pandemic worldwide and worldwide macroeconomic conditions which can possibly impact consumer spending and external e-commerce forecasts, Etsy decided to only give guidance for Q2.\nEtsy estimates Q2 consolidated GMS to be approximately $2.8 billion to $3.1 billion or about 5% to 15% compared to Q2 of last year, revenue of $493 million to $536 million, up 15% to 25% versus last year, and adjusted EBITDA of $129 million to $144 million with a margin in the range of 25% to 28%.\nBalance Sheet\nData by YCharts\nAs of March 31, Etsy had $1.7 billion in cash and cash equivalents and short-term investments in addition to a $200 million revolver that is currently undrawn. Etsy has a capital light business model and the cost structure is highly variable to revenue, as it continued to take measures to optimize and scale the marketplace.\nData by YCharts\nEtsy has $427.05 Million in current liabilities and $1.3 Billion in long-term liabilities. Etsy has a Debt To Equity ratio of 1.98. Quick Ratio (Acid Test) is 4.33. A good quick ratio is any number greater than 1.0. Etsy has a Piotroski F Score of 7.0. A company that has Piotroski F-score of 8-9 is considered to be strong. Alternatively, firms achieving the F-score of 0-2 are considered to be weak. Etsy is currently in a decent position debt-wise.\nRisks\nEtsy is not without risks. One of the primary risks in the short term is that Etsy is perceived as a \"COVID\" stock or a company that has benefited from the pandemic. That sentiment is not all perception as the pandemic forced many people to shop at home, which helped all e-commerce companies in general and the pandemic increased the amount of people that wanted to start their own business creating products out of their home, as many people lost their regular jobs in the pandemic and tried other ways to produce income, like becoming an Etsy seller for example.\nSo the pandemic strengthened both sides of Etsy's two sided market. The problem, of course, is as the pandemic winds down, there are fears that both the seller and buyer side of Etsy's market might weaken and slow growth. I expect that this risk will only be short term, however, as I think Etsy should maintain a majority of the gains made during the pandemic.\nEtsy also has longer term structural risks, however, as Etsy differentiates itself by branding itself as a market for handmade and artisan goods. Critics of the company have questioned Etsy's policies that mandate sustainability and handmade goods, which are goals that sound nice but could make it difficult for Etsy to achieve growth in the future.\nHowever, the dilemma for Etsy is that any shifting away from handmade goods and the being \"good for the environment\" branding could annoy buyers that shop on Etsy precisely because many of these buyers like handmade & personalized goods, while also liking any behavior that helps the environment. The problem is that as the Etsy gets larger, increasingly, it appears that Etsy is being accused of becoming just another marketplace that is selling less and less handmade goods. So, there is a danger that customers noticing that potential shift of Etsy from its original values could cause the company to lose its differentiation and cause those customers to shop elsewhere.\nAnother offshoot of Etsy getting larger is showing up in the fact that as the company has been trying to increase their own revenues and profitability, they have been making it increasingly harder for sellers and in the end that has been pushing away the smaller sellers that have helped them build the business in the first place. Etsy's ability to attract sellers is crucial for the success of their business and anything making the business less attractive for sellers can hurt the business long term.\nThose smaller sellers do have other places where they can sell their wares too. Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN)has started their own handcrafted goods section on their main website to compete against Etsy. Even if smaller sellers do not like Amazon, there are avenues to sell handmade or custom products through Pinterest, as that company ramps up its ecommerce ambitions.\nAn additional risk is Etsy's international expansion efforts. I haven't talked much about international expansion in this article but it is crucial to the company's growth efforts. Etsy has been expanding outside the USA since 2005 but that growth is not without risk. The expansion in markets outside of the United States often requires significant financial investment without guarantees of financial success, as most areas of the world already have developed powerful ecommerce marketplace competitors that could provide significant competition to Etsy.\nValuation\n\n\n\nCompany\nMkt Cap\nPrice/Sales\nPrice/Earnings (FWD)\nEBITDA Growth (Y/Y) %\nRevenue Growth (Y/Y) %\nOperating Margin%\nRevenues\n\n\nEtsy (ETSY)\n$21.63B\n11.41\n47.26\n395.3\n141.5\n27.36\n$550.6 M\n\n\nWayfair (W)\n$34.70B\n2.356\n73.64\nNM\n49.25\n1.11\n$3.5 B\n\n\nPinterest (PINS)\n$42.06B\n21.77\n75.73\nNM\n78.43\n-4.72\n$485 M\n\n\neBay (EBAY)\n$44.83B\n4.132\n16.96\n39.09\n41.99\n27.85\n$3.0 B\n\n\nAmazon (AMZN)\n$1.65T\n4.088\n60.73\n98.07\n43.82\n8.17\n$108.5 B\n\n\n\nNM - not meaningful\nThere are a lot of online marketplaces worldwide but it was really hard for me to think of a comparable for Etsy. First, it is hard to find a similar-sized ecommerce company. Second, Etsy is really unique because of a strong emphasis on the ability to customize products and search for unique items. Most other marketplaces sell the same or similar products. Consumers seemed to value customizable handmade products during the pandemic and Etsy grew at a blistering pace, albeit off a lower base.\nThe company that I consider most comparable to Etsy is aspiring Social Commerce company Pinterest(NYSE:PINS)because they are very roughly at similar sizes in revenues and they both are attractive websites for women. While I also consider Pinterest a buy, I consider Etsy, even more of a buy relative to Pinterest. Etsy has been growing revenues faster and has been consistently more profitable than Pinterest, yet Pinterest has consistently sold at a higher value than Etsy over the few valuation metrics that I looked at.\nData by YCharts\nData by YCharts\nData by YCharts\nThe two most recent analyst upgrades/downgrades on Etsy are from 1) Jefferies analyst John Colantuoni, who maintained a Buy rating on Etsy with a price target of $260 on 6/9/2021 and 2) Atlantic Equities initiating Etsy with price target of $200 on 6/7/2021 with the following commentary:\n\n \"Its assortment of unique, handcrafted, personalized goods is another barrier to entry, and the community of sellers and buyers Etsy has already established would be difficult to replicate.\"\n\n\n Source: Atlantic Equities -Seeking Alpha\n\nThe following is based on 15 Wall Street analysts offering 12 month price targets for Etsy in the last 3 months. The average price target is $222.40 with a high forecast of $270.00 and a low forecast of $135.00. The average price target represents a 34.12% from the last price of $165.82.\nSource:Yahoo Finance\nConclusion\nIn a similar fashion to my recent article on Pinterest, the uncertainty over COVID-19 provides an opportunity for investors to get into Etsy's stock. The fears over slowing growth due the pandemic subsiding should be only a short-term event. Investors should use the current dip in Etsy stock to either initiate a position or add to a position. Etsy is a buy for growth investors.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":203,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":185640146,"gmtCreate":1623648012685,"gmtModify":1704207797840,"author":{"id":"3575243382642927","authorId":"3575243382642927","name":"HolyPlumchu","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/892e8c26da1e25a378842a0bd731540f","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575243382642927","authorIdStr":"3575243382642927"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Feels overvalued unless they have groundbreaking products","listText":"Feels overvalued unless they have groundbreaking products","text":"Feels overvalued unless they have groundbreaking products","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/185640146","repostId":"2142422555","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":83,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":185657101,"gmtCreate":1623647938403,"gmtModify":1704207796545,"author":{"id":"3575243382642927","authorId":"3575243382642927","name":"HolyPlumchu","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/892e8c26da1e25a378842a0bd731540f","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575243382642927","authorIdStr":"3575243382642927"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Waiting for the next hike","listText":"Waiting for the next hike","text":"Waiting for the next hike","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/185657101","repostId":"1105297799","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1105297799","pubTimestamp":1623626792,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1105297799?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-14 07:26","market":"us","language":"en","title":"A Meme Stock Is Born: How to Spot the Next Reddit Favorite","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1105297799","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Heavily shorted shares are a common theme among the group. The big stock-price gains often come alongside big drops. While there’s no steadfast definition of what constitutes a meme stock, one common thread across the many names being pitched on social media is a focus on heavily shorted companies. Shares of Reddit iconGameStop Corp.jumped as much as 2,500% in January after day traders noticed its short interest had ballooned to record levels.“I can’t imagine this is going to continue in the sam","content":"<ul>\n <li>Heavily shorted shares are a common theme among the group</li>\n <li>The big stock-price gains often come alongside big drops</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Trying to keep up with the frenzied rise of so-called meme stocks mightfeela bit like playing a game of whack-a-mole, bewildering analysts and investors alike.</p>\n<p>While there’s no steadfast definition of what constitutes a meme stock, one common thread across the many names being pitched on social media is a focus on heavily shorted companies. Shares of Reddit iconGameStop Corp.jumped as much as 2,500% in January after day traders noticed its short interest had ballooned to record levels.</p>\n<p>Investors looking for other stocks that might fit that mold will find nearly 230 firms with a market capitalization of at least $100 million and short interest of 15% or more, according to S3 Partners data compiled by Bloomberg. More than 80% of those names have managed positive returns over the last month with the average gain sitting at about 18%, while the S&amp;P 500 Index rose 2.3%.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3cc5569937ba7f5b5c78898800cdfdfc\" tg-width=\"773\" tg-height=\"717\"></p>\n<p>Among the most heavily shorted stocks are names like&nbsp;Clover Health Investments Corp.,Workhorse Group Inc.&nbsp;and&nbsp;Geo Group Inc., which have already caught the attention of retail traders in recent days.</p>\n<p>Meanwhile,Bumble Inc.&nbsp;and&nbsp;Petco Health and Wellness Co., both fresh off initial public offerings this year, find themselves on the outside looking in as part of the few companies on the list that haven’t seen outsized gains over the last month. Joining them is ad-tech firmPubMatic Inc., which boasts the highest short interest at 54%, recreational boat retailer MarineMax Inc. and biotech companyBlack Diamond Therapeutics Inc., which has plunged more than 50% over the last month.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dd6a19a4330894a2f8dfe602f1f76c6a\" tg-width=\"773\" tg-height=\"737\"></p>\n<p>While these sudden rallies can create lucrative returns for investors in the blink of an eye, the extreme volatility that accompanies them can quickly catch traders offside, leaving them holding the bag as shares plunge back to earth.</p>\n<p>After opening the week with a 32% gain, Clover Health’s shares jumped by as much as 142% over the next two days. But, by the close of trading Thursday, anyone who had bought and held shares after Monday’s pop was now underwater.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bb51208dc3df58cd52f6d1a876bdf594\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"675\"></p>\n<p>“I can’t imagine this is going to continue in the same form or fashion for much longer,” said Barry Schwartz, chief investment officer at Baskin Wealth Management. “Just because something is shorted doesn’t mean buying it is going to work out for you,” he added. “You’re playing with fire.”</p>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>A Meme Stock Is Born: How to Spot the Next Reddit Favorite</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nA Meme Stock Is Born: How to Spot the Next Reddit Favorite\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-14 07:26 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-06-13/a-meme-stock-is-born-how-to-spot-the-next-reddit-favorite?srnd=markets-vp><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Heavily shorted shares are a common theme among the group\nThe big stock-price gains often come alongside big drops\n\nTrying to keep up with the frenzied rise of so-called meme stocks mightfeela bit ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-06-13/a-meme-stock-is-born-how-to-spot-the-next-reddit-favorite?srnd=markets-vp\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"WKHS":"Workhorse Group, Inc.","WOOF":"Petco Health and Wellness Company, Inc.","BMBL":"Bumble Inc.",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","GEO":"GEO惩教集团",".DJI":"道琼斯","KWITD":"Wellness Matrix Group, Inc.","CLOV":"Clover Health Corp",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-06-13/a-meme-stock-is-born-how-to-spot-the-next-reddit-favorite?srnd=markets-vp","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1105297799","content_text":"Heavily shorted shares are a common theme among the group\nThe big stock-price gains often come alongside big drops\n\nTrying to keep up with the frenzied rise of so-called meme stocks mightfeela bit like playing a game of whack-a-mole, bewildering analysts and investors alike.\nWhile there’s no steadfast definition of what constitutes a meme stock, one common thread across the many names being pitched on social media is a focus on heavily shorted companies. Shares of Reddit iconGameStop Corp.jumped as much as 2,500% in January after day traders noticed its short interest had ballooned to record levels.\nInvestors looking for other stocks that might fit that mold will find nearly 230 firms with a market capitalization of at least $100 million and short interest of 15% or more, according to S3 Partners data compiled by Bloomberg. More than 80% of those names have managed positive returns over the last month with the average gain sitting at about 18%, while the S&P 500 Index rose 2.3%.\n\nAmong the most heavily shorted stocks are names like Clover Health Investments Corp.,Workhorse Group Inc. and Geo Group Inc., which have already caught the attention of retail traders in recent days.\nMeanwhile,Bumble Inc. and Petco Health and Wellness Co., both fresh off initial public offerings this year, find themselves on the outside looking in as part of the few companies on the list that haven’t seen outsized gains over the last month. Joining them is ad-tech firmPubMatic Inc., which boasts the highest short interest at 54%, recreational boat retailer MarineMax Inc. and biotech companyBlack Diamond Therapeutics Inc., which has plunged more than 50% over the last month.\n\nWhile these sudden rallies can create lucrative returns for investors in the blink of an eye, the extreme volatility that accompanies them can quickly catch traders offside, leaving them holding the bag as shares plunge back to earth.\nAfter opening the week with a 32% gain, Clover Health’s shares jumped by as much as 142% over the next two days. But, by the close of trading Thursday, anyone who had bought and held shares after Monday’s pop was now underwater.\n\n“I can’t imagine this is going to continue in the same form or fashion for much longer,” said Barry Schwartz, chief investment officer at Baskin Wealth Management. “Just because something is shorted doesn’t mean buying it is going to work out for you,” he added. “You’re playing with fire.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":148,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":266034048586016,"gmtCreate":1705970265333,"gmtModify":1706511438737,"author":{"id":"3575243382642927","authorId":"3575243382642927","name":"HolyPlumchu","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/892e8c26da1e25a378842a0bd731540f","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575243382642927","idStr":"3575243382642927"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v> Elon Musk mentioned he doesnt want to make Tesla an AI company as he doesnt have enough control over it and needs 12.5% more ownership which is almost impossible given Tesla valuation. Hence imo the hype about Tesla as an AI company should die out. Even if it rallies I doubt it will rally big as I view it as a EV company only now which EV market is not doing very well atm with all the co.plains.. Will see what ia Tesla's direction for the future before going bullish on it. 190 seems like a nice point to buy the dip though...","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v> Elon Musk mentioned he doesnt want to make Tesla an AI company as he doesnt have enough control over it and needs 12.5% more ownership which is almost impossible given Tesla valuation. Hence imo the hype about Tesla as an AI company should die out. Even if it rallies I doubt it will rally big as I view it as a EV company only now which EV market is not doing very well atm with all the co.plains.. Will see what ia Tesla's direction for the future before going bullish on it. 190 seems like a nice point to buy the dip though...","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Elon Musk mentioned he doesnt want to make Tesla an AI company as he doesnt have enough control over it and needs 12.5% more ownership which is almost impossible given Tesla valuation. Hence imo the hype about Tesla as an AI company should die out. Even if it rallies I doubt it will rally big as I view it as a EV company only now which EV market is not doing very well atm with all the co.plains.. Will see what ia Tesla's direction for the future before going bullish on it. 190 seems like a nice point to buy the dip though...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":44,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":7,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/266034048586016","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1240,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000408","authorId":"9000000000000408","name":"nuzzle","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/36540923bc93a18316f866ad230d4dc3","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000408","idStr":"9000000000000408"},"content":"I agree, let the AI hype rest in peace. #LongTermInvesting","text":"I agree, let the AI hype rest in peace. #LongTermInvesting","html":"I agree, let the AI hype rest in peace. #LongTermInvesting"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":266037722140976,"gmtCreate":1705971216219,"gmtModify":1705980756395,"author":{"id":"3575243382642927","authorId":"3575243382642927","name":"HolyPlumchu","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/892e8c26da1e25a378842a0bd731540f","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575243382642927","idStr":"3575243382642927"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/UPST\">$Upstart Holdings, Inc.(UPST)$ </a> To the moon","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/UPST\">$Upstart Holdings, Inc.(UPST)$ </a> To the moon","text":"$Upstart Holdings, Inc.(UPST)$ To the moon","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/807804637532b3c7e950e11121ec91be","width":"906","height":"1406"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":22,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/266037722140976","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":375,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000466","authorId":"9000000000000466","name":"MR_Wu","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/67592890bebcf079461acc4e4e6ba6f6","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000466","idStr":"9000000000000466"},"content":"🚀 The author's enthusiasm is contagious!","text":"🚀 The author's enthusiasm is contagious!","html":"🚀 The author's enthusiasm is contagious!"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":185657101,"gmtCreate":1623647938403,"gmtModify":1704207796545,"author":{"id":"3575243382642927","authorId":"3575243382642927","name":"HolyPlumchu","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/892e8c26da1e25a378842a0bd731540f","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575243382642927","idStr":"3575243382642927"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Waiting for the next hike","listText":"Waiting for the next hike","text":"Waiting for the next hike","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/185657101","repostId":"1105297799","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1105297799","pubTimestamp":1623626792,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1105297799?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-14 07:26","market":"us","language":"en","title":"A Meme Stock Is Born: How to Spot the Next Reddit Favorite","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1105297799","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Heavily shorted shares are a common theme among the group. The big stock-price gains often come alongside big drops. While there’s no steadfast definition of what constitutes a meme stock, one common thread across the many names being pitched on social media is a focus on heavily shorted companies. Shares of Reddit iconGameStop Corp.jumped as much as 2,500% in January after day traders noticed its short interest had ballooned to record levels.“I can’t imagine this is going to continue in the sam","content":"<ul>\n <li>Heavily shorted shares are a common theme among the group</li>\n <li>The big stock-price gains often come alongside big drops</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Trying to keep up with the frenzied rise of so-called meme stocks mightfeela bit like playing a game of whack-a-mole, bewildering analysts and investors alike.</p>\n<p>While there’s no steadfast definition of what constitutes a meme stock, one common thread across the many names being pitched on social media is a focus on heavily shorted companies. Shares of Reddit iconGameStop Corp.jumped as much as 2,500% in January after day traders noticed its short interest had ballooned to record levels.</p>\n<p>Investors looking for other stocks that might fit that mold will find nearly 230 firms with a market capitalization of at least $100 million and short interest of 15% or more, according to S3 Partners data compiled by Bloomberg. More than 80% of those names have managed positive returns over the last month with the average gain sitting at about 18%, while the S&amp;P 500 Index rose 2.3%.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3cc5569937ba7f5b5c78898800cdfdfc\" tg-width=\"773\" tg-height=\"717\"></p>\n<p>Among the most heavily shorted stocks are names like&nbsp;Clover Health Investments Corp.,Workhorse Group Inc.&nbsp;and&nbsp;Geo Group Inc., which have already caught the attention of retail traders in recent days.</p>\n<p>Meanwhile,Bumble Inc.&nbsp;and&nbsp;Petco Health and Wellness Co., both fresh off initial public offerings this year, find themselves on the outside looking in as part of the few companies on the list that haven’t seen outsized gains over the last month. Joining them is ad-tech firmPubMatic Inc., which boasts the highest short interest at 54%, recreational boat retailer MarineMax Inc. and biotech companyBlack Diamond Therapeutics Inc., which has plunged more than 50% over the last month.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dd6a19a4330894a2f8dfe602f1f76c6a\" tg-width=\"773\" tg-height=\"737\"></p>\n<p>While these sudden rallies can create lucrative returns for investors in the blink of an eye, the extreme volatility that accompanies them can quickly catch traders offside, leaving them holding the bag as shares plunge back to earth.</p>\n<p>After opening the week with a 32% gain, Clover Health’s shares jumped by as much as 142% over the next two days. But, by the close of trading Thursday, anyone who had bought and held shares after Monday’s pop was now underwater.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bb51208dc3df58cd52f6d1a876bdf594\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"675\"></p>\n<p>“I can’t imagine this is going to continue in the same form or fashion for much longer,” said Barry Schwartz, chief investment officer at Baskin Wealth Management. “Just because something is shorted doesn’t mean buying it is going to work out for you,” he added. “You’re playing with fire.”</p>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>A Meme Stock Is Born: How to Spot the Next Reddit Favorite</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nA Meme Stock Is Born: How to Spot the Next Reddit Favorite\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-14 07:26 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-06-13/a-meme-stock-is-born-how-to-spot-the-next-reddit-favorite?srnd=markets-vp><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Heavily shorted shares are a common theme among the group\nThe big stock-price gains often come alongside big drops\n\nTrying to keep up with the frenzied rise of so-called meme stocks mightfeela bit ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-06-13/a-meme-stock-is-born-how-to-spot-the-next-reddit-favorite?srnd=markets-vp\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"WKHS":"Workhorse Group, Inc.","WOOF":"Petco Health and Wellness Company, Inc.","BMBL":"Bumble Inc.",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","GEO":"GEO惩教集团",".DJI":"道琼斯","KWITD":"Wellness Matrix Group, Inc.","CLOV":"Clover Health Corp",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-06-13/a-meme-stock-is-born-how-to-spot-the-next-reddit-favorite?srnd=markets-vp","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1105297799","content_text":"Heavily shorted shares are a common theme among the group\nThe big stock-price gains often come alongside big drops\n\nTrying to keep up with the frenzied rise of so-called meme stocks mightfeela bit like playing a game of whack-a-mole, bewildering analysts and investors alike.\nWhile there’s no steadfast definition of what constitutes a meme stock, one common thread across the many names being pitched on social media is a focus on heavily shorted companies. Shares of Reddit iconGameStop Corp.jumped as much as 2,500% in January after day traders noticed its short interest had ballooned to record levels.\nInvestors looking for other stocks that might fit that mold will find nearly 230 firms with a market capitalization of at least $100 million and short interest of 15% or more, according to S3 Partners data compiled by Bloomberg. More than 80% of those names have managed positive returns over the last month with the average gain sitting at about 18%, while the S&P 500 Index rose 2.3%.\n\nAmong the most heavily shorted stocks are names like Clover Health Investments Corp.,Workhorse Group Inc. and Geo Group Inc., which have already caught the attention of retail traders in recent days.\nMeanwhile,Bumble Inc. and Petco Health and Wellness Co., both fresh off initial public offerings this year, find themselves on the outside looking in as part of the few companies on the list that haven’t seen outsized gains over the last month. Joining them is ad-tech firmPubMatic Inc., which boasts the highest short interest at 54%, recreational boat retailer MarineMax Inc. and biotech companyBlack Diamond Therapeutics Inc., which has plunged more than 50% over the last month.\n\nWhile these sudden rallies can create lucrative returns for investors in the blink of an eye, the extreme volatility that accompanies them can quickly catch traders offside, leaving them holding the bag as shares plunge back to earth.\nAfter opening the week with a 32% gain, Clover Health’s shares jumped by as much as 142% over the next two days. But, by the close of trading Thursday, anyone who had bought and held shares after Monday’s pop was now underwater.\n\n“I can’t imagine this is going to continue in the same form or fashion for much longer,” said Barry Schwartz, chief investment officer at Baskin Wealth Management. “Just because something is shorted doesn’t mean buying it is going to work out for you,” he added. “You’re playing with fire.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":148,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":178885865,"gmtCreate":1626797363957,"gmtModify":1703765476676,"author":{"id":"3575243382642927","authorId":"3575243382642927","name":"HolyPlumchu","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/892e8c26da1e25a378842a0bd731540f","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575243382642927","idStr":"3575243382642927"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Bull run!!","listText":"Bull run!!","text":"Bull run!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/178885865","repostId":"1127649148","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1127649148","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1626793055,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1127649148?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-20 22:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. stock main indexes rose more than 1%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1127649148","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(July 20) U.S. stock main indexes rose more than 1% in morning trading.","content":"<p>(July 20)&nbsp;U.S. stock main&nbsp;indexes rose more than 1%&nbsp;in morning trading.&nbsp;</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e022664a53db67f658ba55350af6aaa5\" tg-width=\"1444\" tg-height=\"170\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/97fe4032e63f9a83cfb2f82950a046ce\" tg-width=\"1866\" tg-height=\"894\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7704cab75fd884a262bc6756d1f6927a\" tg-width=\"1866\" tg-height=\"927\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7078c2484f2c1381d606bc832a00fa93\" tg-width=\"1866\" tg-height=\"922\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. stock main indexes rose more than 1%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. stock main indexes rose more than 1%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-07-20 22:57</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(July 20)&nbsp;U.S. stock main&nbsp;indexes rose more than 1%&nbsp;in morning trading.&nbsp;</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e022664a53db67f658ba55350af6aaa5\" tg-width=\"1444\" tg-height=\"170\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/97fe4032e63f9a83cfb2f82950a046ce\" tg-width=\"1866\" tg-height=\"894\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7704cab75fd884a262bc6756d1f6927a\" tg-width=\"1866\" tg-height=\"927\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7078c2484f2c1381d606bc832a00fa93\" tg-width=\"1866\" tg-height=\"922\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1127649148","content_text":"(July 20) U.S. stock main indexes rose more than 1% in morning trading.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":470,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3583884958321017","authorId":"3583884958321017","name":"AnaiAnai","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b0d0d8e20a4082ac0bc6a98756546ec","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"authorIdStr":"3583884958321017","idStr":"3583884958321017"},"content":"back to 35k soon","text":"back to 35k soon","html":"back to 35k soon"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":804104815,"gmtCreate":1627943458737,"gmtModify":1703498118076,"author":{"id":"3575243382642927","authorId":"3575243382642927","name":"HolyPlumchu","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/892e8c26da1e25a378842a0bd731540f","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575243382642927","idStr":"3575243382642927"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Dont own any of them ?","listText":"Dont own any of them ?","text":"Dont own any of them ?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/804104815","repostId":"1172320411","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1172320411","pubTimestamp":1627907414,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1172320411?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-08-02 20:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"August Is Actually A Great Month If You Own These 8 Stocks","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1172320411","media":"investors","summary":"August is feared as $one$ of the worst months for the S&P 500 — and for good reason. But investorsstill find ways to make big money.Eight stocks inthe S&P 500, mostly tech and communications services firms likeNvidia,IBD Long-Term Leader$Microsoft$ and$Twitter$, are complete standouts in the S&P 500 in August, says an Investor's Business Daily analysis of data from S&P Global Market Intelligence andMarketSmith.All these stocks not only topped the S&P 500 in August in each of the past five years.","content":"<p>August is feared as <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of the worst months for the S&amp;P 500 — and for good reason. But investorsstill find ways to make big money.</p>\n<p>Eight stocks inthe S&amp;P 500, mostly tech and communications services firms like<b>Nvidia</b>(NVDA),IBD Long-Term Leader<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">Microsoft</a></b>(MSFT) and<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWTR\">Twitter</a></b>(TWTR), are complete standouts in the S&amp;P 500 in August, says an Investor's Business Daily analysis of data from S&amp;P Global Market Intelligence andMarketSmith.</p>\n<p>All these stocks not only topped the S&amp;P 500 in August in each of the past five years. They also all posted average gains in the month of 4% or more.</p>\n<p>And that qualifies as a good August — which for most people ranks among the very worst months of the year.</p>\n<p><b>August Is Usually Tough For The S&amp;P 500</b></p>\n<p>Going back to 1950, the S&amp;P 500 slipped 0.2% in August on average, says Stock Trader's Almanac. That ranks August as the eleventh-worst month of the year for the index.</p>\n<p>Andunderperformance in Augustisn't a fluke. It can sometimes come in dead last.</p>\n<p>\"August is the worst ... S&amp;P 500 month during 1988 through 2020,\" says Stock Trader's Almanac. \"In post-election years since 1950, August is still ranked no higher than #11 while average performance slips deeper into negative territory.\"</p>\n<p>More recently, though, August spared S&amp;P 500 investors some of the pain.</p>\n<p>Last August, for instance, the S&amp;P 500 vaulted 7% higher during the month. It was at that time investors began to anticipate the reopening of the economy. But in just the prior August of 2019, the S&amp;P 500 slipped 1.8%.</p>\n<p>But not all S&amp;P 500 stocks suffer in August.</p>\n<p><b>Technology Is The S&amp;P 500 Place To Be In August</b></p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">Just</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> S&amp;P 500 sector routinely skates through August. Andit's technology.</p>\n<p>The Technology <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SLCT\">Select</a> Sector SPDR (XLK) is the only sector out of the 11 that topped the S&amp;P 500 in each of the past five years. And during August the past five years, the tech sector gained 4.2% on average. That's a particularly strong showing if you consider the S&amp;P 50o only rose 1.6% on average in August going back to 2016.</p>\n<p>And it's not just the overall S&amp;P 500 tech sector that outperforms in August. Drilling down into the individual tech stock winners tells the same story. Six out of the eight top performing S&amp;P 500 stocks in Augusthail from the tech sector.</p>\n<p>Take the No. 1 performer in the month: high-end computer chip maker Nvidia. It topped the S&amp;P 500 during August in each of the past five years. But it's also put up an average gain in the month of 10.3%. All eyes are on whether Nvidia can pull it off again. Shares are already up nearly 50% this year.</p>\n<p>Analysts are looking for the company in August to report 53% lower adjusted second-quarter profit of $1.02 share. But Nvidia has a knack at overdelivering. Profit in the first-quarter topped expectations by more than 350%.Should you buy Nvidia stock now?</p>\n<p>Another big tech winner in August isMicrosoft. The software giant's shares pushed 4.3% higher in August, on average, the past five years.</p>\n<p><b>Get Ready For August S&amp;P 500 Surprises</b></p>\n<p>August is only starting, and already investors are coming off some surprises. Expect more.</p>\n<p>Take <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWTR\">Twitter</a> for instance. It, too, is a strong August performer. It's risen more than 8.5% in August, on average, in the past five years. Shares are already up 28.6% this year. Why? The communications firm reported, in July, a profit of 20 cents a share. That demolished expectations by more than 185%. That ranks as one of thetop surprises in an already robust second-quarter profit reporting season.</p>\n<p>So, yes, August isn't usually great for the S&amp;P 500. But you can still find winners if you pick your spots in this tricky month.</p>\n<p><b>Top S&amp;P 500 Stocks In August</b></p>\n<p><i>All topped the index in each August for at least past five years</i></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a7a31319541a52991d1b6112a83e82a\" tg-width=\"741\" tg-height=\"400\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p></p>","source":"lsy1610449120050","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>August Is Actually A Great Month If You Own These 8 Stocks</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAugust Is Actually A Great Month If You Own These 8 Stocks\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-02 20:30 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.investors.com/etfs-and-funds/sectors/sp500-august-is-actually-a-great-month-if-you-own-these-8-stocks/?src=A00220><strong>investors</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>August is feared as one of the worst months for the S&P 500 — and for good reason. But investorsstill find ways to make big money.\nEight stocks inthe S&P 500, mostly tech and communications services ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.investors.com/etfs-and-funds/sectors/sp500-august-is-actually-a-great-month-if-you-own-these-8-stocks/?src=A00220\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MA":"万事达","NVDA":"英伟达","SNPS":"新思科技","INTU":"财捷","MSFT":"微软","TWTR":"Twitter","CTAS":"信达思","V":"Visa"},"source_url":"https://www.investors.com/etfs-and-funds/sectors/sp500-august-is-actually-a-great-month-if-you-own-these-8-stocks/?src=A00220","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1172320411","content_text":"August is feared as one of the worst months for the S&P 500 — and for good reason. But investorsstill find ways to make big money.\nEight stocks inthe S&P 500, mostly tech and communications services firms likeNvidia(NVDA),IBD Long-Term LeaderMicrosoft(MSFT) andTwitter(TWTR), are complete standouts in the S&P 500 in August, says an Investor's Business Daily analysis of data from S&P Global Market Intelligence andMarketSmith.\nAll these stocks not only topped the S&P 500 in August in each of the past five years. They also all posted average gains in the month of 4% or more.\nAnd that qualifies as a good August — which for most people ranks among the very worst months of the year.\nAugust Is Usually Tough For The S&P 500\nGoing back to 1950, the S&P 500 slipped 0.2% in August on average, says Stock Trader's Almanac. That ranks August as the eleventh-worst month of the year for the index.\nAndunderperformance in Augustisn't a fluke. It can sometimes come in dead last.\n\"August is the worst ... S&P 500 month during 1988 through 2020,\" says Stock Trader's Almanac. \"In post-election years since 1950, August is still ranked no higher than #11 while average performance slips deeper into negative territory.\"\nMore recently, though, August spared S&P 500 investors some of the pain.\nLast August, for instance, the S&P 500 vaulted 7% higher during the month. It was at that time investors began to anticipate the reopening of the economy. But in just the prior August of 2019, the S&P 500 slipped 1.8%.\nBut not all S&P 500 stocks suffer in August.\nTechnology Is The S&P 500 Place To Be In August\nJust one S&P 500 sector routinely skates through August. Andit's technology.\nThe Technology Select Sector SPDR (XLK) is the only sector out of the 11 that topped the S&P 500 in each of the past five years. And during August the past five years, the tech sector gained 4.2% on average. That's a particularly strong showing if you consider the S&P 50o only rose 1.6% on average in August going back to 2016.\nAnd it's not just the overall S&P 500 tech sector that outperforms in August. Drilling down into the individual tech stock winners tells the same story. Six out of the eight top performing S&P 500 stocks in Augusthail from the tech sector.\nTake the No. 1 performer in the month: high-end computer chip maker Nvidia. It topped the S&P 500 during August in each of the past five years. But it's also put up an average gain in the month of 10.3%. All eyes are on whether Nvidia can pull it off again. Shares are already up nearly 50% this year.\nAnalysts are looking for the company in August to report 53% lower adjusted second-quarter profit of $1.02 share. But Nvidia has a knack at overdelivering. Profit in the first-quarter topped expectations by more than 350%.Should you buy Nvidia stock now?\nAnother big tech winner in August isMicrosoft. The software giant's shares pushed 4.3% higher in August, on average, the past five years.\nGet Ready For August S&P 500 Surprises\nAugust is only starting, and already investors are coming off some surprises. Expect more.\nTake Twitter for instance. It, too, is a strong August performer. It's risen more than 8.5% in August, on average, in the past five years. Shares are already up 28.6% this year. Why? The communications firm reported, in July, a profit of 20 cents a share. That demolished expectations by more than 185%. That ranks as one of thetop surprises in an already robust second-quarter profit reporting season.\nSo, yes, August isn't usually great for the S&P 500. But you can still find winners if you pick your spots in this tricky month.\nTop S&P 500 Stocks In August\nAll topped the index in each August for at least past five years","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":297,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":806444522,"gmtCreate":1627691219166,"gmtModify":1703494680143,"author":{"id":"3575243382642927","authorId":"3575243382642927","name":"HolyPlumchu","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/892e8c26da1e25a378842a0bd731540f","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575243382642927","idStr":"3575243382642927"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hope it stays low","listText":"Hope it stays low","text":"Hope it stays low","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/806444522","repostId":"1125426477","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1125426477","pubTimestamp":1627688762,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1125426477?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-31 07:46","market":"us","language":"en","title":"BofA Says Interest Rates Are at 5,000-Year Low","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1125426477","media":"The Street","summary":"'At some point in the next 5,000 years, rates will rise, but there is no fear on Wall Street that th","content":"<blockquote>\n 'At some point in the next 5,000 years, rates will rise, but there is no fear on Wall Street that this happens anytime soon,' BofA says.\n</blockquote>\n<p>Bank of America says interest rates are at a 5,000-year low and recommends holding quality, defensive stocks for the rest of the year.</p>\n<p>The interest-rate calculation comes from BofA’s own data, the Bank of England, Global Financial Data and the 2005 book “A History of Interest Rates.”</p>\n<p>“Central banks are keeping global interest rates at 5,000 year lows,” wrote BofA&nbsp; Chief Investment Strategist Michael Hartnett. “At some point in the next 5,000 years, rates will rise, but there is no fear on Wall Street that this happens anytime soon.”</p>\n<p>The message of this week’s FOMC meeting was \"we will let it [the economy] run hot, [represents an] ok for inflation to be not-so-transitory,” he said.</p>\n<p>“The market reaction will be [to push] the U.S. dollar down and U.S. Treasury yields up. Commodities will remain bid, and there will be a rotation to emerging market stocks and bonds.”</p>\n<p>Hartnett also sees a “preference for quality and defensive stocks, driven by inflation causing growth and EPS estimates to fall. The U.S. consumer has peaked.”</p>\n<p>As for BofA’s advice, it recommends owning “defensive, quality stocks in the second half, … as policy flip-flops will end in a market correction,” Hartnett says.</p>\n<p>BofA favors defensive stocks in vaccinated markets, such as the U.S. and European Union. And it likes cyclical reopening stocks in markets with “vaccine-upside, i.e. Japan, China and emerging markets.”</p>\n<p>U.S. stocks are falling Friday, as investors weigh concerns about the spread of the COVID-19 Delta variant and disappointing results from online retail giant Amazon (AMZN).</p>","source":"lsy1610613172068","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>BofA Says Interest Rates Are at 5,000-Year Low</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBofA Says Interest Rates Are at 5,000-Year Low\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-31 07:46 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.thestreet.com/investing/b-of-a-interest-rates-5000-year-><strong>The Street</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>'At some point in the next 5,000 years, rates will rise, but there is no fear on Wall Street that this happens anytime soon,' BofA says.\n\nBank of America says interest rates are at a 5,000-year low ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/b-of-a-interest-rates-5000-year-\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/b-of-a-interest-rates-5000-year-","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1125426477","content_text":"'At some point in the next 5,000 years, rates will rise, but there is no fear on Wall Street that this happens anytime soon,' BofA says.\n\nBank of America says interest rates are at a 5,000-year low and recommends holding quality, defensive stocks for the rest of the year.\nThe interest-rate calculation comes from BofA’s own data, the Bank of England, Global Financial Data and the 2005 book “A History of Interest Rates.”\n“Central banks are keeping global interest rates at 5,000 year lows,” wrote BofA  Chief Investment Strategist Michael Hartnett. “At some point in the next 5,000 years, rates will rise, but there is no fear on Wall Street that this happens anytime soon.”\nThe message of this week’s FOMC meeting was \"we will let it [the economy] run hot, [represents an] ok for inflation to be not-so-transitory,” he said.\n“The market reaction will be [to push] the U.S. dollar down and U.S. Treasury yields up. Commodities will remain bid, and there will be a rotation to emerging market stocks and bonds.”\nHartnett also sees a “preference for quality and defensive stocks, driven by inflation causing growth and EPS estimates to fall. The U.S. consumer has peaked.”\nAs for BofA’s advice, it recommends owning “defensive, quality stocks in the second half, … as policy flip-flops will end in a market correction,” Hartnett says.\nBofA favors defensive stocks in vaccinated markets, such as the U.S. and European Union. And it likes cyclical reopening stocks in markets with “vaccine-upside, i.e. Japan, China and emerging markets.”\nU.S. stocks are falling Friday, as investors weigh concerns about the spread of the COVID-19 Delta variant and disappointing results from online retail giant Amazon (AMZN).","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":271,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":168358220,"gmtCreate":1623953267360,"gmtModify":1703824606512,"author":{"id":"3575243382642927","authorId":"3575243382642927","name":"HolyPlumchu","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/892e8c26da1e25a378842a0bd731540f","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575243382642927","idStr":"3575243382642927"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Smart and green city","listText":"Smart and green city","text":"Smart and green city","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/168358220","repostId":"1162782159","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1162782159","pubTimestamp":1623938788,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1162782159?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-17 22:06","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Investor Who Gained 20,000% on Alibaba Bets on Smart Cities","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1162782159","media":"bloomberg","summary":"In 1999, Benson Tam decided to help out his buddy Joe Tsai and orchestrated a $500,000 investment for his then-untested startup. That company turned out to beAlibaba Group Holding Ltd., which revolutionized online shopping in China and debuted 15 years later with the world’s largest initial public offering, yielding a 200-fold return for Tam and his partners.Now, his Beijing-based Venturous Group has raised $131 million from financial institutions including Fidelity as well as billionaire famili","content":"<p>In 1999, Benson Tam decided to help out his buddy Joe Tsai and orchestrated a $500,000 investment for his then-untested startup. That company turned out to beAlibaba Group Holding Ltd., which revolutionized online shopping in China and debuted 15 years later with the world’s largest initial public offering, yielding a 200-fold return for Tam and his partners.</p>\n<p>In contrast with his decisive bet into Alibaba, Tam has spent the better part of the past decade studying and planning for what he believes will be the transformative trend of the new century. Now, his Venturous Group is preparing to step into the limelight, raising $131 million to help bankroll China’s so-called New Infrastructure plan: amulti-trillion-dollar vision to lay the foundation for the country’s future by building everything from intelligent cities to sprawling ultra-fast networks. It’s a vastly longer-term bet than the rocket ship that was Alibaba, but Tam believes the payoff could be similar in magnitude if he plays his cards right.</p>\n<p>“Think before you act, aim before you shoot,” said the methodical 57-year-old, adding that he read 400 books and tested the waters with several personal investments in the seven years before launching his new venture.</p>\n<p>Tam’s Venturous is the product of a three-decade career during which the veteran has backed other early internet giants and helped pioneer venture investing and private equity across the world’s No. 2 economy. His journey into finance began in 1989 as an investment banker at S.G. Warburg in London. The Asia IPO boom two years later brought Tam back to his hometown of Hong Kong, where he shepherded companies going public for East Asia Warburg, followed by stints working on private equity at Hellman &amp; Friedman Asia and Electra Partners Asia.</p>\n<p>The successful bet on Alibaba, made jointly with Fidelity Investments, led him to co-found Fidelity Growth Partners Asia in 2002, where he played a key role in growing assets 200-fold to $4 billion in just a decade. Tam’s signature investments also includeAsiaInfo Holdings, which built China’s first national broadband network and became one of the first Chinese tech listings on the Nasdaq.</p>\n<p>Tam’s early experience taught him the value of personal relationships and the Hong Kong native moved to Beijing in 2002 to befriend mainland entrepreneurs. One of his key goals in his early days as a venture capitalist was to be invited by startup founders and fellow investors to weekend parties. Even today, Tam still attends team-building activities at his investee firms. “Capital is not all about money. It’s not all about numbers. It’s ultimately about people,” Tam said.</p>\n<p>Now, his Beijing-based Venturous Group has raised $131 million from financial institutions including Fidelity as well as billionaire families in its Series A round. He’s seeking another $100 million by the end of this year to digitalize buildings, transportation and other urban facilities in China, an initiative backed by President Xi Jinping himself.</p>\n<p>Under Beijing’s infrastructure masterplan, China will invest an estimated$1.4 trillionover six years to 2025 to lay fifth generation wireless networks, install cameras and sensors, and deploy artificial intelligence technology that will enable cutting-edge solutions such as autonomous driving and internet-connected smart homes.</p>\n<p>Savio Kwan, the first chief operating officer at Alibaba, says Tam is uniquely positioned to lead China’s next tech boom. “It looks as if it is lucky to be there early. But it is not,” said Kwan, who invested $10 million into Venturous. “To be early means you’re well prepared and you’re learning from your past experience.”</p>\n<p>It was precisely a missed opportunity that transformed Tam into a better investor, according to Kwan. In 2002, when Alibaba was trying to raise a third round of $5 million, many existing backers -- Fidelity included -- took a wait-and-see approach. Kwan and several others like co-founders Jack Ma and Tsai ended up putting in $1 million of their own money to close the round, an investment that ended up generating a 40-fold return in the following two years. “That must have affected Benson in a sense that he wants to go for the long term,” Kwan says.</p>\n<p>Liu Tianwen, the founder and chief executive officer ofiSoftStone Information Technology (Group) Co., is among entrepreneurs who have benefited from Tam’s patience and unwillingness to write off troubled startups. When the software firm struggled to raise capital during the 2008 financial crisis, Tam not only doubled down on Fidelity’s investment but also helped bring in more investors. Since then, sales of Beijing-based iSoftStone have climbed to nearly 13 billion yuan ($2 billion) in 2020 and the company is set to float on China’s Nasdaq-style ChiNext board this year.</p>\n<p>“Some investors eye an immediate return, but Benson has a vision for the long run,” Liu said. It was Liu’s business that crystallized Tam’s decision to bet big on smart cities, after local mayors started flocking to iSoftStone’s headquarters for help to digitalize local services and infrastructure in 2017.</p>\n<p>“That was the aha moment,” Tam said. “We realized that something had tipped over with respect to smart city tech.”</p>\n<p>Venturous Group makes concentrated bets -- pouring nearly all the capital it’s raised so far into seven startups includingiSSTech, an iSoftStone spinoff that provides big data and cloud computing services to urban planners. It has also invested inZhuyou Hotel Group, a Chinese hotel chain dedicated to serving tech-savvy millennials.</p>\n<p>Tam sees investing as only a starting point to capture the smart city market and his ambitions extend to creating a vast ecosystem around his portfolio firms -- a move straight from the playbook of tech giants like Alibaba. Venturous Group is in advanced discussions with a British engineering conglomerate to form a joint venture in China, which will equip buildings with smart sensors and other advanced technologies, Tam said, declining to provide details.</p>\n<p>“One thing he appreciates is longevity in the value he brings,” Kwan said. “This manifests itself in his interest in wine. If you pick the right kind of Château, then you pick the grape, the land, and the wine maker. In the long term, you will see the increase in value.”</p>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Investor Who Gained 20,000% on Alibaba Bets on Smart Cities</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nInvestor Who Gained 20,000% on Alibaba Bets on Smart Cities\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-17 22:06 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-06-16/investor-who-gained-200-000-on-alibaba-bets-big-on-smart-cities><strong>bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>In 1999, Benson Tam decided to help out his buddy Joe Tsai and orchestrated a $500,000 investment for his then-untested startup. That company turned out to beAlibaba Group Holding Ltd., which ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-06-16/investor-who-gained-200-000-on-alibaba-bets-big-on-smart-cities\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-06-16/investor-who-gained-200-000-on-alibaba-bets-big-on-smart-cities","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1162782159","content_text":"In 1999, Benson Tam decided to help out his buddy Joe Tsai and orchestrated a $500,000 investment for his then-untested startup. That company turned out to beAlibaba Group Holding Ltd., which revolutionized online shopping in China and debuted 15 years later with the world’s largest initial public offering, yielding a 200-fold return for Tam and his partners.\nIn contrast with his decisive bet into Alibaba, Tam has spent the better part of the past decade studying and planning for what he believes will be the transformative trend of the new century. Now, his Venturous Group is preparing to step into the limelight, raising $131 million to help bankroll China’s so-called New Infrastructure plan: amulti-trillion-dollar vision to lay the foundation for the country’s future by building everything from intelligent cities to sprawling ultra-fast networks. It’s a vastly longer-term bet than the rocket ship that was Alibaba, but Tam believes the payoff could be similar in magnitude if he plays his cards right.\n“Think before you act, aim before you shoot,” said the methodical 57-year-old, adding that he read 400 books and tested the waters with several personal investments in the seven years before launching his new venture.\nTam’s Venturous is the product of a three-decade career during which the veteran has backed other early internet giants and helped pioneer venture investing and private equity across the world’s No. 2 economy. His journey into finance began in 1989 as an investment banker at S.G. Warburg in London. The Asia IPO boom two years later brought Tam back to his hometown of Hong Kong, where he shepherded companies going public for East Asia Warburg, followed by stints working on private equity at Hellman & Friedman Asia and Electra Partners Asia.\nThe successful bet on Alibaba, made jointly with Fidelity Investments, led him to co-found Fidelity Growth Partners Asia in 2002, where he played a key role in growing assets 200-fold to $4 billion in just a decade. Tam’s signature investments also includeAsiaInfo Holdings, which built China’s first national broadband network and became one of the first Chinese tech listings on the Nasdaq.\nTam’s early experience taught him the value of personal relationships and the Hong Kong native moved to Beijing in 2002 to befriend mainland entrepreneurs. One of his key goals in his early days as a venture capitalist was to be invited by startup founders and fellow investors to weekend parties. Even today, Tam still attends team-building activities at his investee firms. “Capital is not all about money. It’s not all about numbers. It’s ultimately about people,” Tam said.\nNow, his Beijing-based Venturous Group has raised $131 million from financial institutions including Fidelity as well as billionaire families in its Series A round. He’s seeking another $100 million by the end of this year to digitalize buildings, transportation and other urban facilities in China, an initiative backed by President Xi Jinping himself.\nUnder Beijing’s infrastructure masterplan, China will invest an estimated$1.4 trillionover six years to 2025 to lay fifth generation wireless networks, install cameras and sensors, and deploy artificial intelligence technology that will enable cutting-edge solutions such as autonomous driving and internet-connected smart homes.\nSavio Kwan, the first chief operating officer at Alibaba, says Tam is uniquely positioned to lead China’s next tech boom. “It looks as if it is lucky to be there early. But it is not,” said Kwan, who invested $10 million into Venturous. “To be early means you’re well prepared and you’re learning from your past experience.”\nIt was precisely a missed opportunity that transformed Tam into a better investor, according to Kwan. In 2002, when Alibaba was trying to raise a third round of $5 million, many existing backers -- Fidelity included -- took a wait-and-see approach. Kwan and several others like co-founders Jack Ma and Tsai ended up putting in $1 million of their own money to close the round, an investment that ended up generating a 40-fold return in the following two years. “That must have affected Benson in a sense that he wants to go for the long term,” Kwan says.\nLiu Tianwen, the founder and chief executive officer ofiSoftStone Information Technology (Group) Co., is among entrepreneurs who have benefited from Tam’s patience and unwillingness to write off troubled startups. When the software firm struggled to raise capital during the 2008 financial crisis, Tam not only doubled down on Fidelity’s investment but also helped bring in more investors. Since then, sales of Beijing-based iSoftStone have climbed to nearly 13 billion yuan ($2 billion) in 2020 and the company is set to float on China’s Nasdaq-style ChiNext board this year.\n“Some investors eye an immediate return, but Benson has a vision for the long run,” Liu said. It was Liu’s business that crystallized Tam’s decision to bet big on smart cities, after local mayors started flocking to iSoftStone’s headquarters for help to digitalize local services and infrastructure in 2017.\n“That was the aha moment,” Tam said. “We realized that something had tipped over with respect to smart city tech.”\nVenturous Group makes concentrated bets -- pouring nearly all the capital it’s raised so far into seven startups includingiSSTech, an iSoftStone spinoff that provides big data and cloud computing services to urban planners. It has also invested inZhuyou Hotel Group, a Chinese hotel chain dedicated to serving tech-savvy millennials.\nTam sees investing as only a starting point to capture the smart city market and his ambitions extend to creating a vast ecosystem around his portfolio firms -- a move straight from the playbook of tech giants like Alibaba. Venturous Group is in advanced discussions with a British engineering conglomerate to form a joint venture in China, which will equip buildings with smart sensors and other advanced technologies, Tam said, declining to provide details.\n“One thing he appreciates is longevity in the value he brings,” Kwan said. “This manifests itself in his interest in wine. If you pick the right kind of Château, then you pick the grape, the land, and the wine maker. In the long term, you will see the increase in value.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":270,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":160800547,"gmtCreate":1623777010289,"gmtModify":1703819245654,"author":{"id":"3575243382642927","authorId":"3575243382642927","name":"HolyPlumchu","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/892e8c26da1e25a378842a0bd731540f","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575243382642927","idStr":"3575243382642927"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Shoppppppp","listText":"Shoppppppp","text":"Shoppppppp","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/160800547","repostId":"1127088935","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1127088935","pubTimestamp":1623765392,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1127088935?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-15 21:56","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alibaba stock on watch ahead of major Chinese shopping festival","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1127088935","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"China's industry ministryhas warnedAlibaba(NYSE:BABA), JD.com(NASDAQ:JD), and Pinduoduo(NASDAQ:PDD)t","content":"<p>China's industry ministryhas warnedAlibaba(NYSE:BABA), JD.com(NASDAQ:JD), and Pinduoduo(NASDAQ:PDD)to regulate their promotional phone messages related to the upcoming annual June 18 shopping festival.</p>\n<p>The seemingly minor warning gains more importance due to China's ongoing crackdown on tech names, which led to the last-minute halt of fintech giant Ant Group's blockbuster IPO late last year and the more recent record antitrust fine for Alibaba.</p>\n<p>The massive 6.18 shopping event is closely watched for signs of consumer health in one of the world's largest economies.</p>\n<p>Last year, Alibaba had 6.18 gross merchandise volume of $98.52B, and JD.com had total transaction volume of $37.99B.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8f6a01b5466a4409f5ba6e1f8b6331bc\" tg-width=\"290\" tg-height=\"129\"></p>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba stock on watch ahead of major Chinese shopping festival</title>\n<style 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}\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba stock on watch ahead of major Chinese shopping festival\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-15 21:56 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/news/3706423-alibaba-stock-on-watch-ahead-of-major-chinese-shopping-festival><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>China's industry ministryhas warnedAlibaba(NYSE:BABA), JD.com(NASDAQ:JD), and Pinduoduo(NASDAQ:PDD)to regulate their promotional phone messages related to the upcoming annual June 18 shopping festival...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3706423-alibaba-stock-on-watch-ahead-of-major-chinese-shopping-festival\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"09988":"阿里巴巴-W","JD":"京东","09618":"京东集团-SW","BABA":"阿里巴巴","PDD":"拼多多"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3706423-alibaba-stock-on-watch-ahead-of-major-chinese-shopping-festival","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1127088935","content_text":"China's industry ministryhas warnedAlibaba(NYSE:BABA), JD.com(NASDAQ:JD), and Pinduoduo(NASDAQ:PDD)to regulate their promotional phone messages related to the upcoming annual June 18 shopping festival.\nThe seemingly minor warning gains more importance due to China's ongoing crackdown on tech names, which led to the last-minute halt of fintech giant Ant Group's blockbuster IPO late last year and the more recent record antitrust fine for Alibaba.\nThe massive 6.18 shopping event is closely watched for signs of consumer health in one of the world's largest economies.\nLast year, Alibaba had 6.18 gross merchandise volume of $98.52B, and JD.com had total transaction volume of $37.99B.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":209,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":806457417,"gmtCreate":1627690825339,"gmtModify":1703494668271,"author":{"id":"3575243382642927","authorId":"3575243382642927","name":"HolyPlumchu","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/892e8c26da1e25a378842a0bd731540f","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575243382642927","idStr":"3575243382642927"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PINS\">$Pinterest, Inc.(PINS)$</a>lower than average","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PINS\">$Pinterest, Inc.(PINS)$</a>lower than average","text":"$Pinterest, Inc.(PINS)$lower than average","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/863f4c90c974f816d391159245d03371","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/806457417","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":565,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":178863211,"gmtCreate":1626797733533,"gmtModify":1703765484449,"author":{"id":"3575243382642927","authorId":"3575243382642927","name":"HolyPlumchu","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/892e8c26da1e25a378842a0bd731540f","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575243382642927","idStr":"3575243382642927"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TTD\">$Trade Desk Inc.(TTD)$</a>push up more after the split","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TTD\">$Trade Desk Inc.(TTD)$</a>push up more after the split","text":"$Trade Desk Inc.(TTD)$push up more after the split","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/52d1ad6c79a52398a44c4d267535d797","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/178863211","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":453,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":168370049,"gmtCreate":1623955088381,"gmtModify":1703824626794,"author":{"id":"3575243382642927","authorId":"3575243382642927","name":"HolyPlumchu","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/892e8c26da1e25a378842a0bd731540f","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575243382642927","idStr":"3575243382642927"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"More AMDs","listText":"More AMDs","text":"More AMDs","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/168370049","repostId":"2144749073","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2144749073","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1623938100,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2144749073?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-17 21:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Google's cloud taps AMD for new service as chip wars heat up","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2144749073","media":"Reuters","summary":"June 17 (Reuters) - Advanced Micro Devices Inc and Alphabet Inc's Google Cloud on Thursday said Goog","content":"<p>June 17 (Reuters) - Advanced Micro Devices Inc and Alphabet Inc's Google Cloud on Thursday said Google will offer cloud computing services based on <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">AMD</a>'s newest data center chip, a move likely to intensify AMD's push to grab market share from rival Intel Corp .</p>\n<p>Cloud computing providers such as Google, Amazon.com Inc&nbsp;and Microsoft Corp are some of the biggest buyers of data center chips. They build services on top of the chips to rent the computing power out to millions of customers.</p>\n<p>Google said on Thursday it will start offering services based on AMD's \"Milan\" server chip, which AMD released in March. Google said customers such as <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNAP\">Snap Inc</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWTR\">Twitter</a> Inc&nbsp;are testing the new AMD-based services.</p>\n<p>AMD has been gaining market share against Intel, which was long the dominant player in data center chips but whose offerings have inferior performance on some measures because of years of stumbles in Intel's manufacturing operations.</p>\n<p>Intel in April announced its \"Ice Lake\" chip competitor to AMD's \"Milan\" chip and said all major cloud providers would support it, but Intel has not said when Google will start offering services based on its latest chip.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Google's cloud taps AMD for new service as chip wars heat up</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGoogle's cloud taps AMD for new service as chip wars heat up\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-06-17 21:55</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>June 17 (Reuters) - Advanced Micro Devices Inc and Alphabet Inc's Google Cloud on Thursday said Google will offer cloud computing services based on <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">AMD</a>'s newest data center chip, a move likely to intensify AMD's push to grab market share from rival Intel Corp .</p>\n<p>Cloud computing providers such as Google, Amazon.com Inc&nbsp;and Microsoft Corp are some of the biggest buyers of data center chips. They build services on top of the chips to rent the computing power out to millions of customers.</p>\n<p>Google said on Thursday it will start offering services based on AMD's \"Milan\" server chip, which AMD released in March. Google said customers such as <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNAP\">Snap Inc</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWTR\">Twitter</a> Inc&nbsp;are testing the new AMD-based services.</p>\n<p>AMD has been gaining market share against Intel, which was long the dominant player in data center chips but whose offerings have inferior performance on some measures because of years of stumbles in Intel's manufacturing operations.</p>\n<p>Intel in April announced its \"Ice Lake\" chip competitor to AMD's \"Milan\" chip and said all major cloud providers would support it, but Intel has not said when Google will start offering services based on its latest chip.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMD":"美国超微公司","MSFT":"微软","GOOGL":"谷歌A","AMZN":"亚马逊","TWTR":"Twitter","SNAP":"Snap Inc","INTC":"英特尔"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2144749073","content_text":"June 17 (Reuters) - Advanced Micro Devices Inc and Alphabet Inc's Google Cloud on Thursday said Google will offer cloud computing services based on AMD's newest data center chip, a move likely to intensify AMD's push to grab market share from rival Intel Corp .\nCloud computing providers such as Google, Amazon.com Inc and Microsoft Corp are some of the biggest buyers of data center chips. They build services on top of the chips to rent the computing power out to millions of customers.\nGoogle said on Thursday it will start offering services based on AMD's \"Milan\" server chip, which AMD released in March. Google said customers such as Snap Inc and Twitter Inc are testing the new AMD-based services.\nAMD has been gaining market share against Intel, which was long the dominant player in data center chips but whose offerings have inferior performance on some measures because of years of stumbles in Intel's manufacturing operations.\nIntel in April announced its \"Ice Lake\" chip competitor to AMD's \"Milan\" chip and said all major cloud providers would support it, but Intel has not said when Google will start offering services based on its latest chip.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":531,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":160172286,"gmtCreate":1623776771845,"gmtModify":1703819240621,"author":{"id":"3575243382642927","authorId":"3575243382642927","name":"HolyPlumchu","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/892e8c26da1e25a378842a0bd731540f","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575243382642927","idStr":"3575243382642927"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ether the way to go?","listText":"Ether the way to go?","text":"Ether the way to go?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/160172286","repostId":"1135158450","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1135158450","pubTimestamp":1623750495,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1135158450?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-15 17:48","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Goldman Expands Crypto-Trading Desk By Offering Ether Options","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1135158450","media":"zerohedge","summary":"A few weeks ago, while the prices of the biggest cryptocurrencies were careening lowering, Goldman S","content":"<p>A few weeks ago, while the prices of the biggest cryptocurrencies were careening lowering, Goldman Sachs released what we described as the closest thing to 'initiating coverage' on cryptocurrencies, with the big takeaway being that the bank saw Ethereum overtaking bitcoin as the world's most popular cryptocurrency in the not-too-distant future.</p>\n<p>After its release, we suspected that the report was a harbinger of Goldman potentially announcing an expansion of its crypto business as it scrambles to stay a step ahead of megabank rivals like JPMorgan, Citigroup and others. As it turns out, we were correct.</p>\n<p>Because on Monday, Mathew McDermott, head of digital assets at Goldman, told Bloomberg News that the bank is planning to sell options and futures for ether and bitcoinvia its newly restarted crypto trading desk.</p>\n<p>Even JP Morgan, whose CEO once famously bashed bitcoin,is expanding its own crypto business,claiming its clients demand it. The global banking regulators at the Basel Committee also gave a begrudging green light for international banks to deal in cryptocurrencies (though they need to hold plenty of capital in reserve for any crypto on their balance sheet).</p>\n<p>According to McDermott, even after the drop in crypto prices, hedge funds are still eager to trade crypto. And Goldman is looking to invest in more crypto-focused companies.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"We’ve actually seen a lot of interest from clients who are eager to trade as they find these levels as a slightly more palatable entry point,” McDermott said in a phone interview on Thursday. “We see it as a cleansing exercise to reduce some of the leverage and the excess in the system, especially from a retail perspective.” Goldman tapped McDermott, 47, to head its digital currency efforts last year. Under his watch, the business has grown to 17 people from four. The bank has also invested in crypto start-ups. It put $5 million into a fundraising round by Blockdaemon, a firm that creates and hosts the computer nodes that make up blockchain networks. In May, Goldman led the $15 million investment into Coin Metrics, a cryptocurrency and blockchain data provider to institutional clients, and McDermott joined the company’s board. “We are looking at a number of different companies that fit into our strategic direction,” he said. Other banks have also expanded their crypto operations. Cowen Inc. plans to offer “institutional-grade” custody services for cryptocurrencies. Standard Chartered Plc is setting up a joint venture to buy and sell virtual currencies, though HSBC Holdings Plc is avoiding Bitcoin for now.\n</blockquote>\n<p>Circling back to the report we mentioned above, Goldman and its team of analysts have clearly explored the pros and cons before deciding to expand its business.</p>\n<p>The term “cryptocurrencies”—which most people take to mean that crypto assets act as a digital medium of exchange, like fiat currency—is fundamentally misleading when it comes to assessing the value of these assets. Indeed,<b>the blockchain that underlies bitcoin was not designed to replace a fiat currency—it is a trusted peer-to-peer payments network.</b>As a cryptographic algorithm generates the proof that the payment was correctly executed, no third party is needed to verify the transaction.<b>The blockchain and its native coin were therefore designed to replace the banking system and others like insurance that require a trusted intermediary today, not the Dollar.</b>In that sense, the blockchain is differentiated from other “digital” transactional mechanisms such as PayPal, which is dependent upon the banking system to prevent fraud like double-spending.</p>\n<p>In order to be trustworthy, the system needed to create an asset that had no liabilities or contingent claims, which can only be a real asset just like a commodity. And to achieve that, blockchain technologies used scarcity in natural resources—oil, gas, coal, uranium and hydro—through ever-increasing computational-power consumption to “mine” a bit version of a natural resource.</p>\n<p>From this perspective, the intrinsic value of the network is the trustworthy information that the blockchain produces through its mining process, and the coins native to the network are required to unlock this trusted information, and make it tradeable and fungible. It’s therefore impossible to say that the network has value and a role in society without saying that the coin does too. And the value of the coin is dependent upon the value and growth of the network.</p>\n<p>That said, because the network is decentralized and anonymous,<b>legal challenges facing future growth for crypto assets loom large.</b>Coins trying to displace the Dollar run headlong into anti-money laundering laws (AML), as exemplified by the recent ransoms demanded in bitcoin from the Colonial Pipeline operator and the Irish Health service. Regulators can impede the use of crypto assets as a substitute for the Dollar or other currencies simply by making them non-convertible. An asset only has value if it can either be used or sold. And Chinese and Indian authorities have already challenged crypto uses in payments.</p>\n<p>As a result,<b>the market share of coins used for other purposes beyond currencies like “smart contracts” and “information tokens” will likely continue to rise.</b>However, even these non-currency uses will need to be recognized by courts of law to be accepted in commercial transactions—a question we leave to the lawyers.</p>\n<p><b>The network creates the value, unlike other commodities</b></p>\n<p>Unlike other commodities, coins derive their entire value from the network. A bitcoin has no value outside of its network as it is native to the Bitcoin blockchain. The value of oil is also largely derived from the transportation network that it fuels, but at least oil can be burned to create heat outside of this network.<b>At the other extreme, gold doesn’t require a network at all.</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aba6f2b8dd670875cb7a0942c5fd95f0\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"399\">Derived demand leaves the holder of the commodity exposed to the risk of the network becoming obsolete—a lesson that holders of oil reserves are now learning with decarbonization accelerating the decline of the transportation network, and, in turn damaging oil demand. Likewise,<b>bitcoin owners face accelerated network decay risk from a competing network, backed by a new cryptocurrency.</b></p>\n<p>As the demand for gold is not dependent on a network,<b>it will ultimately outlive oil and bitcoin—gold entropy lies at the unit, not the network, level.</b>Indeed, most stores of value that are used as defensive assets—like gold, diamonds and collectibles—don’t have derived demand and therefore only face unit-level entropy risk. This is what makes them defensive. The world can fall apart around them and they preserve their value. And while they don’t have derived demand, they do have other uses that establish their value, i.e. gold is used for jewelry and as a store of value.</p>\n<p><b>Transactions drive value, creating a risk-on asset</b></p>\n<p>Crypto doesn’t trade like gold and nor should it. Using any standard valuation method, transactions or expected transactions on the network are the key determinant of network value. The more transactions the blockchain can verify, the greater the network value. Transaction volumes and the demand for commodified information are roughly correlated with the business cycle; thus,<b>crypto assets should trade as pro-cyclical risk-on assets as they have for the past decade. Gold and bitcoin are therefore not competing assets as is commonly misunderstood, and can instead co-exist.</b>Because the value of the network and hence the coin is derived from the volume of transactions, hoarding coins as stores of value reduces the coins available for transactions, which reduces the value of the network.<b>Because gold doesn’t have this property, it is the only commodity that institutional investors hold in physical inventory.</b>Nearly all other commodities are held in paper inventory in the form of futures to avoid disrupting the network.<b>This suggests that, like oil, crypto investments will need to be held in the form of futures contracts, not physically, if they are to serve as stores of value.</b></p>\n<p>Crypto assets aren’t digital oil, either, as they are not non-durable consumables and can therefore be used again. This durability makes them a store of value, provided this demand doesn’t disrupt network flows. The crypto assets that have the greatest utility are also likely to be the dominant stores of value—the high utility reduces the carry costs.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e2873efa55fd8073c76445c1cdc110f9\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"390\"></p>\n<p><b>So what is crypto? A powerful networking effect</b></p>\n<p>The network provides crypto an extremely powerful networking externality that no other commodity possesses. The operators—miners, exchanges and developers—are all paid in the native coin, making them fully vested in its success. Similarly, users—merchants, investors and speculators—are also fully vested. This gives bitcoin holders an incentive to accommodate purchases of their own products in bitcoin, which in turn, creates more demand for the coins they already own. Similarly, ether holders have an incentive to build apps and other products on the Ethereum network to increase the value of their coins.</p>\n<p><b>Because the coin holders have a stake in the network, speculation spurs adoption; even during bust periods, coin holders are motivated to work to create the next new boom.</b>After the dot-com bust, the shareholders had no commodity to promote. In crypto assets, even when prices collapse, the coin holders have a commodity to promote. They will always live for another boom, like an oil wildcatter.</p>\n<p><b>It’s all about information</b></p>\n<p>As the value of the coin is dependent on the value of the trustworthy information, blockchain technology has gravitated toward those industries where trust is most essential—finance, law and medicine. For the Bitcoin blockchain, this information is the record of every balance sheet in the network, and the transactions between them—originally the role of banks. In the case of a smart contract—a piece of code that executes according to a pre-set rule—on Ethereum, both the terms of that contract (the code) and the state of the contract (executed or not) are the information validated on the Ethereum blockchain. As a result, the counterparty in the contract cannot claim a transfer of funds without the network forming a consensus that the contract was indeed executed.<u><b>In our view the most valuable crypto assets will be those that help verify the most critical information in the economy.</b></u></p>\n<p>Over time, the decentralized nature of the network will diminish concerns about storing personal data on the blockchain. One’s digital profile could contain personal data including asset ownership, medical history and even IP rights. Since this information is immutable—it cannot be changed without consensus—the trusted information can then be tokenized and traded.<b><u>A blockchain platform like Ethereum could potentially become a large market for vendors of trusted information, like Amazon is for consumer goods today</u></b><b>.</b></p>\n<p><b>Crypto beyond this boom and bust cycle</b></p>\n<p>By many measures—Metcalfe’s Lawor Network Value to Transactions (NVT) ratio —crypto assets are in bubble territory. But does the demand for “commodified information” create enough economic value at a low enough cost to be scaled up in the long run? If the legal system accommodates these assets, we believe so.<b>While many overvalued networks exist, a few will likely emerge as long-term winners in the next stage of the digital economy, just as the tech titans of today emerged from the dot-com boom and bust.</b>This transformation is happening now—there are already an estimated 21.2 million owners of cryptocurrencies in the US alone. However, technological, environmental and legal challenges still loom large.</p>\n<p>Ethereum 2.0is expected to ramp upcapacity to 3,000 transactions per second (tps), while sharding—<b>which will scale Ethereum 2.0’s Proof of Stake (PoS) system through parallel verification of transactions—has the potential to raise capacity to as much as 100,000 tps.</b>For context, Visa has the capacity to process up to 65,000 tps but typically executes around 2,000 tps.<b>PoS intends to have validators stake the now scarce and valuable coins to incentivize good behavior instead of having miners expend energy to mine new blocks into existence, as under Proof of Work, making crypto assets more ESG friendly.</b>PoS also can significantly boost computational time in terms of transactions per second, which will further incentivize technological adoption. Ironically,<b>this is likely where the value of and demand for bitcoin will come from—being used as the scarce resource to make the PoS system work instead of natural resources.</b></p>\n<p>While overcoming the economic challenges will likely be manageable, the legal challenges are the largest for many crypto assets. And this past week was challenging for crypto assets with confirmation that the 75 bitcoin ransom over the Colonial Pipeline was actually paid. This is a reminder that cryptocurrencies still facilitate criminal activities that have large social costs.</p>\n<p><b>For Ethereum, new companies which aim to disrupt finance, law or medicine by integrating information stored on the platform into their algorithms are likely to run into problems with being legally recognized.</b>If crypto assets are to survive and grow to their fullest potential, they need to define some concept of “sufficiently decentralized” that will satisfy regulators; otherwise, the technologies will soon run out of uses.</p>\n<p>In summary: the talk in the crypto community lately has focused on whether ether is finally supplanting bitcoin since the former has more utility, and therefore a greater potential for a network effect.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Goldman Expands Crypto-Trading Desk By Offering Ether Options</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGoldman Expands Crypto-Trading Desk By Offering Ether Options\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-15 17:48 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/crypto/goldman-expands-crypto-trading-desk-offering-ether-options?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>A few weeks ago, while the prices of the biggest cryptocurrencies were careening lowering, Goldman Sachs released what we described as the closest thing to 'initiating coverage' on cryptocurrencies, ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/crypto/goldman-expands-crypto-trading-desk-offering-ether-options?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"JPM":"摩根大通","GBTC":"Grayscale Bitcoin Trust","COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc.","GS":"高盛"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/crypto/goldman-expands-crypto-trading-desk-offering-ether-options?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1135158450","content_text":"A few weeks ago, while the prices of the biggest cryptocurrencies were careening lowering, Goldman Sachs released what we described as the closest thing to 'initiating coverage' on cryptocurrencies, with the big takeaway being that the bank saw Ethereum overtaking bitcoin as the world's most popular cryptocurrency in the not-too-distant future.\nAfter its release, we suspected that the report was a harbinger of Goldman potentially announcing an expansion of its crypto business as it scrambles to stay a step ahead of megabank rivals like JPMorgan, Citigroup and others. As it turns out, we were correct.\nBecause on Monday, Mathew McDermott, head of digital assets at Goldman, told Bloomberg News that the bank is planning to sell options and futures for ether and bitcoinvia its newly restarted crypto trading desk.\nEven JP Morgan, whose CEO once famously bashed bitcoin,is expanding its own crypto business,claiming its clients demand it. The global banking regulators at the Basel Committee also gave a begrudging green light for international banks to deal in cryptocurrencies (though they need to hold plenty of capital in reserve for any crypto on their balance sheet).\nAccording to McDermott, even after the drop in crypto prices, hedge funds are still eager to trade crypto. And Goldman is looking to invest in more crypto-focused companies.\n\n \"We’ve actually seen a lot of interest from clients who are eager to trade as they find these levels as a slightly more palatable entry point,” McDermott said in a phone interview on Thursday. “We see it as a cleansing exercise to reduce some of the leverage and the excess in the system, especially from a retail perspective.” Goldman tapped McDermott, 47, to head its digital currency efforts last year. Under his watch, the business has grown to 17 people from four. The bank has also invested in crypto start-ups. It put $5 million into a fundraising round by Blockdaemon, a firm that creates and hosts the computer nodes that make up blockchain networks. In May, Goldman led the $15 million investment into Coin Metrics, a cryptocurrency and blockchain data provider to institutional clients, and McDermott joined the company’s board. “We are looking at a number of different companies that fit into our strategic direction,” he said. Other banks have also expanded their crypto operations. Cowen Inc. plans to offer “institutional-grade” custody services for cryptocurrencies. Standard Chartered Plc is setting up a joint venture to buy and sell virtual currencies, though HSBC Holdings Plc is avoiding Bitcoin for now.\n\nCircling back to the report we mentioned above, Goldman and its team of analysts have clearly explored the pros and cons before deciding to expand its business.\nThe term “cryptocurrencies”—which most people take to mean that crypto assets act as a digital medium of exchange, like fiat currency—is fundamentally misleading when it comes to assessing the value of these assets. Indeed,the blockchain that underlies bitcoin was not designed to replace a fiat currency—it is a trusted peer-to-peer payments network.As a cryptographic algorithm generates the proof that the payment was correctly executed, no third party is needed to verify the transaction.The blockchain and its native coin were therefore designed to replace the banking system and others like insurance that require a trusted intermediary today, not the Dollar.In that sense, the blockchain is differentiated from other “digital” transactional mechanisms such as PayPal, which is dependent upon the banking system to prevent fraud like double-spending.\nIn order to be trustworthy, the system needed to create an asset that had no liabilities or contingent claims, which can only be a real asset just like a commodity. And to achieve that, blockchain technologies used scarcity in natural resources—oil, gas, coal, uranium and hydro—through ever-increasing computational-power consumption to “mine” a bit version of a natural resource.\nFrom this perspective, the intrinsic value of the network is the trustworthy information that the blockchain produces through its mining process, and the coins native to the network are required to unlock this trusted information, and make it tradeable and fungible. It’s therefore impossible to say that the network has value and a role in society without saying that the coin does too. And the value of the coin is dependent upon the value and growth of the network.\nThat said, because the network is decentralized and anonymous,legal challenges facing future growth for crypto assets loom large.Coins trying to displace the Dollar run headlong into anti-money laundering laws (AML), as exemplified by the recent ransoms demanded in bitcoin from the Colonial Pipeline operator and the Irish Health service. Regulators can impede the use of crypto assets as a substitute for the Dollar or other currencies simply by making them non-convertible. An asset only has value if it can either be used or sold. And Chinese and Indian authorities have already challenged crypto uses in payments.\nAs a result,the market share of coins used for other purposes beyond currencies like “smart contracts” and “information tokens” will likely continue to rise.However, even these non-currency uses will need to be recognized by courts of law to be accepted in commercial transactions—a question we leave to the lawyers.\nThe network creates the value, unlike other commodities\nUnlike other commodities, coins derive their entire value from the network. A bitcoin has no value outside of its network as it is native to the Bitcoin blockchain. The value of oil is also largely derived from the transportation network that it fuels, but at least oil can be burned to create heat outside of this network.At the other extreme, gold doesn’t require a network at all.\nDerived demand leaves the holder of the commodity exposed to the risk of the network becoming obsolete—a lesson that holders of oil reserves are now learning with decarbonization accelerating the decline of the transportation network, and, in turn damaging oil demand. Likewise,bitcoin owners face accelerated network decay risk from a competing network, backed by a new cryptocurrency.\nAs the demand for gold is not dependent on a network,it will ultimately outlive oil and bitcoin—gold entropy lies at the unit, not the network, level.Indeed, most stores of value that are used as defensive assets—like gold, diamonds and collectibles—don’t have derived demand and therefore only face unit-level entropy risk. This is what makes them defensive. The world can fall apart around them and they preserve their value. And while they don’t have derived demand, they do have other uses that establish their value, i.e. gold is used for jewelry and as a store of value.\nTransactions drive value, creating a risk-on asset\nCrypto doesn’t trade like gold and nor should it. Using any standard valuation method, transactions or expected transactions on the network are the key determinant of network value. The more transactions the blockchain can verify, the greater the network value. Transaction volumes and the demand for commodified information are roughly correlated with the business cycle; thus,crypto assets should trade as pro-cyclical risk-on assets as they have for the past decade. Gold and bitcoin are therefore not competing assets as is commonly misunderstood, and can instead co-exist.Because the value of the network and hence the coin is derived from the volume of transactions, hoarding coins as stores of value reduces the coins available for transactions, which reduces the value of the network.Because gold doesn’t have this property, it is the only commodity that institutional investors hold in physical inventory.Nearly all other commodities are held in paper inventory in the form of futures to avoid disrupting the network.This suggests that, like oil, crypto investments will need to be held in the form of futures contracts, not physically, if they are to serve as stores of value.\nCrypto assets aren’t digital oil, either, as they are not non-durable consumables and can therefore be used again. This durability makes them a store of value, provided this demand doesn’t disrupt network flows. The crypto assets that have the greatest utility are also likely to be the dominant stores of value—the high utility reduces the carry costs.\n\nSo what is crypto? A powerful networking effect\nThe network provides crypto an extremely powerful networking externality that no other commodity possesses. The operators—miners, exchanges and developers—are all paid in the native coin, making them fully vested in its success. Similarly, users—merchants, investors and speculators—are also fully vested. This gives bitcoin holders an incentive to accommodate purchases of their own products in bitcoin, which in turn, creates more demand for the coins they already own. Similarly, ether holders have an incentive to build apps and other products on the Ethereum network to increase the value of their coins.\nBecause the coin holders have a stake in the network, speculation spurs adoption; even during bust periods, coin holders are motivated to work to create the next new boom.After the dot-com bust, the shareholders had no commodity to promote. In crypto assets, even when prices collapse, the coin holders have a commodity to promote. They will always live for another boom, like an oil wildcatter.\nIt’s all about information\nAs the value of the coin is dependent on the value of the trustworthy information, blockchain technology has gravitated toward those industries where trust is most essential—finance, law and medicine. For the Bitcoin blockchain, this information is the record of every balance sheet in the network, and the transactions between them—originally the role of banks. In the case of a smart contract—a piece of code that executes according to a pre-set rule—on Ethereum, both the terms of that contract (the code) and the state of the contract (executed or not) are the information validated on the Ethereum blockchain. As a result, the counterparty in the contract cannot claim a transfer of funds without the network forming a consensus that the contract was indeed executed.In our view the most valuable crypto assets will be those that help verify the most critical information in the economy.\nOver time, the decentralized nature of the network will diminish concerns about storing personal data on the blockchain. One’s digital profile could contain personal data including asset ownership, medical history and even IP rights. Since this information is immutable—it cannot be changed without consensus—the trusted information can then be tokenized and traded.A blockchain platform like Ethereum could potentially become a large market for vendors of trusted information, like Amazon is for consumer goods today.\nCrypto beyond this boom and bust cycle\nBy many measures—Metcalfe’s Lawor Network Value to Transactions (NVT) ratio —crypto assets are in bubble territory. But does the demand for “commodified information” create enough economic value at a low enough cost to be scaled up in the long run? If the legal system accommodates these assets, we believe so.While many overvalued networks exist, a few will likely emerge as long-term winners in the next stage of the digital economy, just as the tech titans of today emerged from the dot-com boom and bust.This transformation is happening now—there are already an estimated 21.2 million owners of cryptocurrencies in the US alone. However, technological, environmental and legal challenges still loom large.\nEthereum 2.0is expected to ramp upcapacity to 3,000 transactions per second (tps), while sharding—which will scale Ethereum 2.0’s Proof of Stake (PoS) system through parallel verification of transactions—has the potential to raise capacity to as much as 100,000 tps.For context, Visa has the capacity to process up to 65,000 tps but typically executes around 2,000 tps.PoS intends to have validators stake the now scarce and valuable coins to incentivize good behavior instead of having miners expend energy to mine new blocks into existence, as under Proof of Work, making crypto assets more ESG friendly.PoS also can significantly boost computational time in terms of transactions per second, which will further incentivize technological adoption. Ironically,this is likely where the value of and demand for bitcoin will come from—being used as the scarce resource to make the PoS system work instead of natural resources.\nWhile overcoming the economic challenges will likely be manageable, the legal challenges are the largest for many crypto assets. And this past week was challenging for crypto assets with confirmation that the 75 bitcoin ransom over the Colonial Pipeline was actually paid. This is a reminder that cryptocurrencies still facilitate criminal activities that have large social costs.\nFor Ethereum, new companies which aim to disrupt finance, law or medicine by integrating information stored on the platform into their algorithms are likely to run into problems with being legally recognized.If crypto assets are to survive and grow to their fullest potential, they need to define some concept of “sufficiently decentralized” that will satisfy regulators; otherwise, the technologies will soon run out of uses.\nIn summary: the talk in the crypto community lately has focused on whether ether is finally supplanting bitcoin since the former has more utility, and therefore a greater potential for a network effect.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":118,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":185671279,"gmtCreate":1623649046491,"gmtModify":1704207816015,"author":{"id":"3575243382642927","authorId":"3575243382642927","name":"HolyPlumchu","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/892e8c26da1e25a378842a0bd731540f","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575243382642927","idStr":"3575243382642927"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Bull run already","listText":"Bull run already","text":"Bull run already","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/185671279","repostId":"1142573994","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":203,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9940055441,"gmtCreate":1677625310484,"gmtModify":1677625312515,"author":{"id":"3575243382642927","authorId":"3575243382642927","name":"HolyPlumchu","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/892e8c26da1e25a378842a0bd731540f","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575243382642927","idStr":"3575243382642927"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SPY\">$SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SPY\">$SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>","text":"$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9940055441","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":195,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":896674066,"gmtCreate":1628582330755,"gmtModify":1703508509407,"author":{"id":"3575243382642927","authorId":"3575243382642927","name":"HolyPlumchu","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/892e8c26da1e25a378842a0bd731540f","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575243382642927","idStr":"3575243382642927"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">$AMD(AMD)$</a>up more please","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">$AMD(AMD)$</a>up more please","text":"$AMD(AMD)$up more please","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/920ec39fc0ee33370776f2bd12db54fb","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/896674066","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":395,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":172729054,"gmtCreate":1626995451278,"gmtModify":1703481914728,"author":{"id":"3575243382642927","authorId":"3575243382642927","name":"HolyPlumchu","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/892e8c26da1e25a378842a0bd731540f","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575243382642927","idStr":"3575243382642927"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Renewable energy","listText":"Renewable energy","text":"Renewable energy","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7be728f98dc4a225b81add277f60751c","width":"1080","height":"2233"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/172729054","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":647,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":160174505,"gmtCreate":1623776883707,"gmtModify":1703819243691,"author":{"id":"3575243382642927","authorId":"3575243382642927","name":"HolyPlumchu","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/892e8c26da1e25a378842a0bd731540f","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575243382642927","idStr":"3575243382642927"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"How much more can netflix offer","listText":"How much more can netflix offer","text":"How much more can netflix offer","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/160174505","repostId":"1193778475","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1193778475","pubTimestamp":1623749978,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1193778475?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-15 17:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Netflix: The Selloff Looks Overdone","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1193778475","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nNetflix has been unreasonably sold down and unjustifiably cited as losing its competitive e","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Netflix has been unreasonably sold down and unjustifiably cited as losing its competitive edge due to weaker Q1’21 membership adds.</li>\n <li>However, short-sighted investors did not consider Netflix’s overall game to evaluate the strength of its moat.</li>\n <li>Netflix looks attractively-priced now, and should be a worthy addition to both value and growth investors.</li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>Investment Thesis</b></p>\n<p>Netflix (NFLX) has come under the weather recently, as the company had to face increased competitive pressure from the growth of Disney+, recent industry consolidation fromWarner Bros. Discovery(T,DISCA) and Amazon's (AMZN)acquisition of MGM's deep content IP. Furthermore, the company also reported an\"underwhelming\" Q1'21results that saw the company even missing its own net membership adds estimates by 2m. In short, there seems to be no shortage of bad news for NFLX recently.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/59d9e43b35cbdb0cbc2330837c796371\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"784\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Source: TradingView</p>\n<p>Therefore, it's not surprising to me at all that Mr. Market reacted somewhat negatively to all these competitive headwinds as NFLX remains about 18% off its January high, while QQQ is withintouching distance of its all time high. As a price-action, momentum based investor, seeing a stock that has demonstrated strong medium term and long term uptrend bias is of paramount importance to me and NFLX certainly checks all of that from this perspective. Although there are other growth stocks that have demonstrated a better uptrend bias profile, NFLX is not a slouch either. It has only lost its medium term 50W MA dynamic support only twice in the last 5 years: 2018 bear market decline of 45%, and Jul-Sep 19 decline of 35%. Even though the stock momentarily lost its 50W support level then, NFLX quickly regained its medium term support level, and during the COVID-19 bear market, NFLX never lost support of its medium term uptrend. Therefore, the 50W MA has proven to be a consistently strong medium term dynamic support level for NFLX over the last 5 years.</p>\n<p>NFLX's price has now approached its 50W support level again thanks to the weak market sentiments lately which makes it appropriate to discuss whether NFLX represents a good buying opportunity now for long term investors.</p>\n<p><b>So What Happened to Netflix's Paid Adds?</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17d1ce1d66e99396f67725dcfdaf3db8\" tg-width=\"769\" tg-height=\"476\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Average Paying Membership by Region. Data Source: Company Filings</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6ca327a13d9645fce263565653d4e390\" tg-width=\"827\" tg-height=\"515\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Average Paying Membership YoY Growth. Data Source: Company Filings</p>\n<p>As we could observe clearly from the charts above, the market reacted negatively to NFLX's Q1'21 results, sending the stock down 8.21% the day after the release. It added just 3.98M net paid members in Q1'21, which was significantly weaker than the previous quarters as can be seen from its YoY Growth. The management mainly attributed this to the strong pull forward growth in membership during Q1'20 that has somewhat skewed the base upwards and may have disproportionately affected its growth in Q1'21. Although I think there is a reasonable basis for that line of argument, however we did not observe such a drastic decline in Roku, Inc. (ROKU) in its active accounts in Q1'21 (see charts below).</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6e96b19f4b3eef87be93ecce3953a19\" tg-width=\"878\" tg-height=\"543\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Roku Active Accounts. Data Source: Company Filings</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04f4053e2022d4c90e8b8ec51c1fc295\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Roku Active Accounts YoY Growth. Data Source: Company Filings</p>\n<p>We could clearly observe Roku's Active accounts YoY growth of 34.7% in Q1'21 to be still largely in line with 2019's growth even though Roku also experienced pull forward growth from COVID-19 last year. Therefore, I think there is a reasonable basis to infer that NFLX's paid adds growth seemed to have slowed down pretty dramatically even though it should be noted that NFLX's net paid membership of 208M significantly outnumbered Roku's 53.6M active accounts and that was not a small difference.</p>\n<p>Now, if you are a short term trader or an \"investor\" with a horizon of 1 quarter, then perhaps it may be a reasonable basis to get out of the stock. However, for long term investors, many of whom NFLX has handsomely rewarded over the last ten years, we need to dig deeper to investigate whether there has been a significant change in its long term competitive moat from the latest quarter's aberration that may significantly change NFLX's ability to compete effectively and weaken the competitive dynamics of its business model.</p>\n<p><b>Revenue Growth Looks Good</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d8c6ed8cb94d2134ca5d0d79660ece07\" tg-width=\"1184\" tg-height=\"732\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Revenue by Region. Data Source: Company Filings</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3ee95424dd68c5abe3591347f9dd9fad\" tg-width=\"1010\" tg-height=\"624\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Revenue by Region YoY Growth. Data Source: Company Filings</p>\n<p>First up, let's take a look at its revenue by region performance. We could observe clearly that the company's most important revenue drivers: UCAN and EMEA had YoY revenue growth of 17.3% and 36% in Q1'21, respectively, as compared to 19.8% and 39.7% in Q1'20, respectively. Sure, there was a slight blip in its YoY growth rate in Q1'21, but it was still very much in line with Q4'20 YoY numbers (which Mr. Market cheered by pushing the stock up 17.74% the day after earnings release), so it was nothing too significant that warranted a serious look into its competitiveness. Moreover, its fastest growing region: APAC also looked to have performed well with a 57.6% YoY growth rate that was even better than Q1'20's YoY growth rate of 51.3%.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/298a4247dfc847726b87f80e24cc874f\" tg-width=\"876\" tg-height=\"542\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>ARPU by Region. Data Source: Company Filings</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ce59d0df25c1a8b2fde74a772c918433\" tg-width=\"1023\" tg-height=\"632\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>ARPU by Region YoY Growth. Data Source: Company Filings</p>\n<p>NFLX also performed admirably well in its ARPU. ARPU was up in all the regions except for LATAM where the growth was flat on a QoQ basis. Although ARPU growth was quite volatile between quarters, ARPU in UCAN, EMEA and APAC went up by 8.4%, 11.5% and 9% in Q1'21, respectively. Even though LATAM's ARPU was down YoY, but on a QoQ basis it was flat, so there was nothing materially serious to take note here. Therefore, NFLX's ARPU performance looked really good in Q1'21.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bee3698456324209ed6c9cf58bed58da\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"995\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Timeline of NFLX Price Hikes. Source:Variety</p>\n<p>If NFLX had faced intense competitive pressure in the past that forced it into a price war with competing platforms as it acquired more users, we would have seen the company forced to reduce its prices over time. On the contrary, NFLX has been increasing its prices steadily over time, with the latest round of price hikes on October 20. Even though there were some knee-jerk cancellations from some subscribers in the short term over the price hikes, over the long term it has never affected the company's ability to attract more users. This shows NFLX's strong competitive moat that gives it a huge ability to raise prices over time without losing its subscribers. In fact,NFLX well encapsulatedits strong ability to retain its subscribers despite the price hikes:</p>\n<blockquote>\n Our churn is actually below pre-price change levels already in the U.S. and in most of the markets and where we have adjusted prices and just some of the newer ones haven't come all the way back down, but they're rapidly getting there.\n</blockquote>\n<p>These well-planned price increases are extremely beneficial to NFLX's topline, given NFLX's growing subscriber base as the recent price increase is expected toadd $500Mto NFLX's revenue in FY 21 (consensus: $29.72B). Even though it's not a significant sum as compared to the revenue base, however more importantly it demonstrated clearly that NFLX has considerable pricing power in a highly competitive SVOD segment.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/42059a78e3a3f7dc656556dc27761343\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"958\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Top Reasons for Video Streaming Subscription Cancellations. Source:Variety</p>\n<p>When we consider that the single most important reason for subscribers to cancel their streaming subscriptions is: \"If the subscription price increased\", then investors should now be able to really understand how Mr. Market has significantly underestimated NFLX's pricing power, which is extremely important to NFLX's business model to introduce more and more high quality content as its subscriber base gets larger over time.</p>\n<p>If we revisit NFLX's ARPU by region again, we could certainly see a generally healthy trend of ARPU over time even as the company increased its prices. It's important to note that increasing subscriptions prices is the primary way for it to further monetize its growing user base (although the company has also recently introduced more monetization methods such asNetflix shop, as well as thegaming market, so investors are highly encouraged to continue monitoring these developments). The price increases will help to bolster the consistency of the ARPU such that it would help with times when the company has found some difficulty in adding more users such as in Q1'21, while YoY revenue growth was still very healthy.</p>\n<p>Investors should take note that NFLX's growing membership base of 208M paying members is a formidable moat for it to keep producing its slate of high quality original content.</p>\n<p>Strong Content Pipeline</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02eea9bd487d52b352dd3894f2563edf\" tg-width=\"1043\" tg-height=\"646\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Content Assets. Data Source: Company Filings</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4a49a1facb41f2c4e848cced7724c68d\" tg-width=\"910\" tg-height=\"563\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Produced Content YoY Growth. Data Source: Company Filings</p>\n<p>NFLX has been growing its original content base rapidly over the last few years, although the COVID-19 crisis has somewhat slowed down its growth. Thecompany emphasized:</p>\n<blockquote>\n [W]e think we'll get back to a much steadier state in the back half of the year and certainly in Q4, where we've got the returning seasons of some of our most popular shows like The Witcher and You and Cobra Kai as well as some big tempo movies that came to market a little slower than we'd hoped, like Red Notes with The Rock and Ryan Reynolds and Gaga, and Escape From Spiderhead with Chris Hemsworth, big event content.\n</blockquote>\n<p>Therefore, the company is not resting on its laurels and would keep on its record of producing high quality content to keep engagement at a high level with its viewers.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b4aaf52a7c9c18a4fc5664c9000282d1\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"781\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Ranking of original streaming series titles in the U.S. Data Source: Nielsen, Media Play News</p>\n<p>In this survey conducted in early May, NFLX's slate of original series took home 7 out of the top 10 slots for the most watched series, demonstrating the high quality and appeal of its content with viewers. In fact, there were many other surveys that also showed Netflix's dominance in viewership over time.</p>\n<p>Netflix's original content didn't just dominate hours watched, but also award nominations. The company highlighted its recent achievements:</p>\n<blockquote>\n Netflix led all studios for recent award nominations including the Oscars, Golden Globes, SAG Awards, BAFTA and the NAACP Image Awards, among others. Heading into the Academy Awards this weekend, we have 36 nominations across 17 films including two nominees in each of the Best Picture (Mank, The Trial of the Chicago 7), Best Documentary Feature (Crip Camp, My Octopus Teacher), and Best Animated Feature (Over the Moon, A Shaun The Sheep Movie: Farmageddon) categories. Mank led all films with 10 nominations.\n</blockquote>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0a756085b63c0d9b1e40d39f3fd21609\" tg-width=\"764\" tg-height=\"473\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Reasons for subscribing to SVOD services in the U.S. Data Source: Vorhaus Advisors</p>\n<p>As we could observe from the above, high quality original series (35%) and specific TV series or movies (43%) ranked very highly on the reasons for subscribing to SVOD services, and investors can rest assured that NFLX is certainly leading in these areas.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/afa2be3ca5cfa415aee98a9c45f8e6c9\" tg-width=\"956\" tg-height=\"591\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Share of SVOD subscribers, who also subscribe to other services. Data Source: Reelgood</p>\n<p>In the SVOD space, we could clearly observe NFLX's importance to subscribers even if they subscribed to other services, which definitely helps to downplay the significance of increasing competitive threats to NFLX. In fact, NFLX was the most important service among these subscribers as the subscribers of the company's competitors also subscribed to NFLX: Peacock Premium (90%), HBO Max (90%), Amazon Prime (84%), Disney+ (87%), Hulu (85%) and Apple TV+ (92%), demonstrating clearly the importance and dominance of NFLX to its competitors' subscribers.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a2c1e2c429e015e113242ffeac4d3f07\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Netflix Video Content Budget. Data Source: eMarketer</p>\n<p>Many critics also pointed to NFLX's increasing need to dedicate huge amounts of investments to drive its engagement levels, protect its moat, grow its revenue. In fact, I think unless NFLX is working on a model like Roku, whose business model I havediscussed recently here, having a high quality slate of original content is important in order to maintain its competitive edge, especially when we have witnessed a series of industry consolidation where NFLX may lose more and more access to high quality licensed content, so NFLX's committed investments in original content a few years ago led by Co-CEO Ted Sarandos has certainly been a masterstroke that has helped maintain the company's competitive edge. In addition, NFLX has been getting more and more efficient in producing original content over time, certainly helped by the large and growing paying membership base, which as I mentioned in itself is a strong moat.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e592ee98fcd2477f5e9332e664c74afa\" tg-width=\"1153\" tg-height=\"712\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Other Operating Activities [LTM] as a % of Revenue [LTM]. Data Source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</p>\n<p>NFLX's other operating activities segment mainly include the company's investments in content assets which are classified as a cash outflow in the company's Cash from Operations [CFO]. If we observed clearly, despite the company's increasing video content budget, these investments have been forming a smaller and smaller component of the company's revenue from 2018 (even if we were to exclude the skewed figures from recent quarters due to reduced original content being produced as a result of COVID-19 delays), demonstrating the company's improved CFO position that has driven results towards FCF profitability. As a result, this allowed the company to confidently declare to investors that: \"So we expect to be about cash flow breakeven this year and then sustainably free cash flow positive and growing thereafter.\" This is definitely a highly important development, as that means NFLX now has more and more cash flow flexibility to invest in content to further drive its competitive edge against its closest rivals. The company's expected FCF profitability has also given the company confidence to announce a $5B share buyback in order to return excess cash to investors.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee2072e791610e16b97ed6d432f1fcb9\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"750\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Projected Revenue Consensus Estimates, Projected Revenue Growth, Unlevered FCF Margin. Data Source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</p>\n<p>In fact, when I factored in NFLX's growth assumptions into its forecast model, NFLX is expected to consistently improve its FCF margin in the years ahead, while maintaining a steady revenue growth over time. NFLX is fast becoming a FCF driver that is capable of sustaining its growth and protecting its competitive moat strongly.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/67cbb70240f511c861aa1e4fd5b8c00d\" tg-width=\"893\" tg-height=\"552\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">SVOD market share in Japan. Data Source: GEM Partners</p>\n<p>Turning to NFLX's fastest growing region: APAC (shortsighted investors seemed to ignore NFLX's dominance in this region). There's absolutely no doubt who was the clear leader in the SVOD market in Japan with NFLX holding a 19.5% market share. In fact, Japan was expected to take over Australia as APAC'slargest market by the end of 2021. Japan's revenue is expected to grow at about 37% YoY from $2.4B to $3.3B, and subscriptions from 25.5M to 33.3M, which would represent a 30.6% increase YoY.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02d5751919369a578902516e76f5793a\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Most popular OTT in Korea. Data Source: IGAWorks</p>\n<p>In its third largest APAC market: Korea, NFLX is also the well-established leader with a market share well ahead of the other OTT services, allowing the company a lot of leverage in producing top quality original Korean content. Korean content is very popular in Asia, and Netflix relies heavily on the Korean Wave (Hallyu) as the main gateway to audiences in Asia and has committed$500M to invest in Korean content in 2021 alone, from $700M spent between 2015 to 2020. Co-CEO Ted Sarandos summed up the company's approach in Korean content:</p>\n<blockquote>\n <b>Over the last two years, we've seen the world falling in love with incredible Korean content</b>, made in Korea and watched by the world on Netflix. Our commitment towards Korea is strong. We will continue to invest and collaborate with Korean storytellers across a wealth of genres and formats.\n</blockquote>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06889e84d7faf18b5d1a8da1b4542895\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Popular OTT for accessing Korean Dramas Worldwide. Data Source: Korean Foundation for International Cultural Exchange; MCST Korea</p>\n<p>Netflix's commitment to build up its investments in Korean content has allowed it to maintain a strong position as the second ranked OTT platform behind YouTube for worldwide access to Korean dramas mainly because in my opinion, AVOD-based YouTube is free. However, Netflix has produced a lot of Original Series Korean dramas that have often quickly become a hit, and which were not available for distribution on YouTube.</p>\n<p>The Elephant in the Room: Disney</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2eb61cee21092f710c0e1446f1d598d2\" tg-width=\"1207\" tg-height=\"746\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Estimated number of SVOD subscribers worldwide. Data Source: Digital TV Research</p>\n<p>Disney (DIS) perhaps represents the largest threat in terms of subscribers growth as it's expected to take over NFLX as the largest SVOD player worldwide by 2026 with 294M subscribers as compared to NFLX's 286M subscribers.</p>\n<p>DIS has grown its subscribers base impressively as it reached103.6M subscribers in Q2'21. DIS's Hotstar platform is the dominant platform in two of Asia's most populated countries: Indonesia and India. This is expected to continue driving strong subscribers growth that would help it to exceed NFLX's subscriber base eventually.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/30f463be13597df4819879aa4b894285\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>DIS+ ARPU. Data Source: Company Filings</p>\n<p>However, DIS's ARPU is also substantially lower than NFLX as Hotstar is very much a lower-priced offering and therefore skewing DIS's ARPU to the downside even as it adds more users. However, Hotstar looks like the better equipped option for growth in these two important Asian markets for DIS and I think DISpossesses the edge over here.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/63f805876a22e4da556a27db39e6cdc8\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Estimated penetration rate. Data Source: The Motley Fool, Stifel</p>\n<p>However, NFLX is still expected to make inroads in all its segments, and particularly in APAC and EMEA as it continues to drive content growth to cater to the markets where it has the lead. l certainly think NFLX can't win in all markets, and in some markets the company definitely has to spend a lot more time and resources to develop them such as in APAC where its penetration is still very low, therefore offering huge potential for growth.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20878384ca9242ab35b248fb2b73ff6f\" tg-width=\"951\" tg-height=\"588\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>OTT Revenue Worldwide. Data Source: Digital TV Research</p>\n<p>Most importantly, the whole market still offers a lot of opportunities for growth for well positioned players in both the AVOD and the SVOD space. In the SVOD market, it is expected to grow at about 10.16% CAGR from 2020 to 2025, which although not as fast as the AVOD market, it's still expected to grow at a highly respectable rate.</p>\n<p><b>Valuations are Not Expensive</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d390f14679f74fb62a364d0921d5923\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"733\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Revenue CAGR and Revenue Multiples. Data Source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</p>\n<p>NFLX's projected growth (5Y CAGR of 15.1%) is definitely expected to slow as it matures, and turn FCF profitable. I don't think it's a bad thing. NFLX is still the dominant player in SVOD and expected to be so. In addition, it's still expected to grow faster than the SVOD market growth of 10.1%, thus further reinforcing NFLX's market leadership expectation. In addition, it's also trading at a slight discount on its EV / FY+1 Rev of 7.8x as compared to its 5Y Av. EV / LTM Rev of 8.8x.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/becc49bc5dfbfa222226bd7426fd4e9e\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"707\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>CapEX Margin &amp; Projected CapEx Margin. Data Source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c44673eb90f5086b3eeae98397e1115f\" tg-width=\"1276\" tg-height=\"1122\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>5Y Av. EV / EBITDA &amp; EV / Fwd EBITDA. Data Source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</p>\n<p>Given that its CapEX margins (see above) are expected to be largely consistent over time as compared to the last few years, I also find it useful to consider its cash flow generating capacity and value it accordingly. When we consider NFLX's EV / Fwd EBITDA (see above), we could see the company's improved FCF generating capability has now made NFLX a lot more undervalued than when we compared it against its revenue growth.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e39e44f4f13ac6efc0b91aed6045771\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"716\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>EV / Fwd (EBITDA - CapEx). Data Source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</p>\n<p>In fact, NFLX is expected to continue generating a high level FCF moving forward which would thus further support the NFLX's competitive valuation from the FCF point of view.</p>\n<p>Price Action and Technical Analysis</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2da4bd6973d2fa92a51a7b159b05efce\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"784\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Source: TradingView</p>\n<p>The current price level at $489 is a possible entry point, with a more conservative entry point at $458. The \"Buy more\" entry point is at $398, which is also supported above the key 200W MA. Avoid buying near $563 and $593 in the near term as they look to be key resistance levels.</p>\n<p><b>Wrapping it all up</b></p>\n<p>Netflix's \"loss of competitiveness\" and \"weak fundamentals\" that were called into question recently are largely unfounded. The company enjoys strong dominance and competitive advantages in the SVOD market that is still expected to grow at double digit growth rates of which NFLX is expected to exploit in the years ahead.</p>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Netflix: The Selloff Looks Overdone</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNetflix: The Selloff Looks Overdone\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-15 17:39 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4434692-netflix-the-sell-off-looks-overdone-nflx><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nNetflix has been unreasonably sold down and unjustifiably cited as losing its competitive edge due to weaker Q1’21 membership adds.\nHowever, short-sighted investors did not consider Netflix’s...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4434692-netflix-the-sell-off-looks-overdone-nflx\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NFLX":"奈飞"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4434692-netflix-the-sell-off-looks-overdone-nflx","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1193778475","content_text":"Summary\n\nNetflix has been unreasonably sold down and unjustifiably cited as losing its competitive edge due to weaker Q1’21 membership adds.\nHowever, short-sighted investors did not consider Netflix’s overall game to evaluate the strength of its moat.\nNetflix looks attractively-priced now, and should be a worthy addition to both value and growth investors.\n\nInvestment Thesis\nNetflix (NFLX) has come under the weather recently, as the company had to face increased competitive pressure from the growth of Disney+, recent industry consolidation fromWarner Bros. Discovery(T,DISCA) and Amazon's (AMZN)acquisition of MGM's deep content IP. Furthermore, the company also reported an\"underwhelming\" Q1'21results that saw the company even missing its own net membership adds estimates by 2m. In short, there seems to be no shortage of bad news for NFLX recently.\n\nSource: TradingView\nTherefore, it's not surprising to me at all that Mr. Market reacted somewhat negatively to all these competitive headwinds as NFLX remains about 18% off its January high, while QQQ is withintouching distance of its all time high. As a price-action, momentum based investor, seeing a stock that has demonstrated strong medium term and long term uptrend bias is of paramount importance to me and NFLX certainly checks all of that from this perspective. Although there are other growth stocks that have demonstrated a better uptrend bias profile, NFLX is not a slouch either. It has only lost its medium term 50W MA dynamic support only twice in the last 5 years: 2018 bear market decline of 45%, and Jul-Sep 19 decline of 35%. Even though the stock momentarily lost its 50W support level then, NFLX quickly regained its medium term support level, and during the COVID-19 bear market, NFLX never lost support of its medium term uptrend. Therefore, the 50W MA has proven to be a consistently strong medium term dynamic support level for NFLX over the last 5 years.\nNFLX's price has now approached its 50W support level again thanks to the weak market sentiments lately which makes it appropriate to discuss whether NFLX represents a good buying opportunity now for long term investors.\nSo What Happened to Netflix's Paid Adds?\n\nAverage Paying Membership by Region. Data Source: Company Filings\n\nAverage Paying Membership YoY Growth. Data Source: Company Filings\nAs we could observe clearly from the charts above, the market reacted negatively to NFLX's Q1'21 results, sending the stock down 8.21% the day after the release. It added just 3.98M net paid members in Q1'21, which was significantly weaker than the previous quarters as can be seen from its YoY Growth. The management mainly attributed this to the strong pull forward growth in membership during Q1'20 that has somewhat skewed the base upwards and may have disproportionately affected its growth in Q1'21. Although I think there is a reasonable basis for that line of argument, however we did not observe such a drastic decline in Roku, Inc. (ROKU) in its active accounts in Q1'21 (see charts below).\n\nRoku Active Accounts. Data Source: Company Filings\n\nRoku Active Accounts YoY Growth. Data Source: Company Filings\nWe could clearly observe Roku's Active accounts YoY growth of 34.7% in Q1'21 to be still largely in line with 2019's growth even though Roku also experienced pull forward growth from COVID-19 last year. Therefore, I think there is a reasonable basis to infer that NFLX's paid adds growth seemed to have slowed down pretty dramatically even though it should be noted that NFLX's net paid membership of 208M significantly outnumbered Roku's 53.6M active accounts and that was not a small difference.\nNow, if you are a short term trader or an \"investor\" with a horizon of 1 quarter, then perhaps it may be a reasonable basis to get out of the stock. However, for long term investors, many of whom NFLX has handsomely rewarded over the last ten years, we need to dig deeper to investigate whether there has been a significant change in its long term competitive moat from the latest quarter's aberration that may significantly change NFLX's ability to compete effectively and weaken the competitive dynamics of its business model.\nRevenue Growth Looks Good\n\nRevenue by Region. Data Source: Company Filings\n\nRevenue by Region YoY Growth. Data Source: Company Filings\nFirst up, let's take a look at its revenue by region performance. We could observe clearly that the company's most important revenue drivers: UCAN and EMEA had YoY revenue growth of 17.3% and 36% in Q1'21, respectively, as compared to 19.8% and 39.7% in Q1'20, respectively. Sure, there was a slight blip in its YoY growth rate in Q1'21, but it was still very much in line with Q4'20 YoY numbers (which Mr. Market cheered by pushing the stock up 17.74% the day after earnings release), so it was nothing too significant that warranted a serious look into its competitiveness. Moreover, its fastest growing region: APAC also looked to have performed well with a 57.6% YoY growth rate that was even better than Q1'20's YoY growth rate of 51.3%.\n\nARPU by Region. Data Source: Company Filings\n\nARPU by Region YoY Growth. Data Source: Company Filings\nNFLX also performed admirably well in its ARPU. ARPU was up in all the regions except for LATAM where the growth was flat on a QoQ basis. Although ARPU growth was quite volatile between quarters, ARPU in UCAN, EMEA and APAC went up by 8.4%, 11.5% and 9% in Q1'21, respectively. Even though LATAM's ARPU was down YoY, but on a QoQ basis it was flat, so there was nothing materially serious to take note here. Therefore, NFLX's ARPU performance looked really good in Q1'21.\n\nTimeline of NFLX Price Hikes. Source:Variety\nIf NFLX had faced intense competitive pressure in the past that forced it into a price war with competing platforms as it acquired more users, we would have seen the company forced to reduce its prices over time. On the contrary, NFLX has been increasing its prices steadily over time, with the latest round of price hikes on October 20. Even though there were some knee-jerk cancellations from some subscribers in the short term over the price hikes, over the long term it has never affected the company's ability to attract more users. This shows NFLX's strong competitive moat that gives it a huge ability to raise prices over time without losing its subscribers. In fact,NFLX well encapsulatedits strong ability to retain its subscribers despite the price hikes:\n\n Our churn is actually below pre-price change levels already in the U.S. and in most of the markets and where we have adjusted prices and just some of the newer ones haven't come all the way back down, but they're rapidly getting there.\n\nThese well-planned price increases are extremely beneficial to NFLX's topline, given NFLX's growing subscriber base as the recent price increase is expected toadd $500Mto NFLX's revenue in FY 21 (consensus: $29.72B). Even though it's not a significant sum as compared to the revenue base, however more importantly it demonstrated clearly that NFLX has considerable pricing power in a highly competitive SVOD segment.\n\nTop Reasons for Video Streaming Subscription Cancellations. Source:Variety\nWhen we consider that the single most important reason for subscribers to cancel their streaming subscriptions is: \"If the subscription price increased\", then investors should now be able to really understand how Mr. Market has significantly underestimated NFLX's pricing power, which is extremely important to NFLX's business model to introduce more and more high quality content as its subscriber base gets larger over time.\nIf we revisit NFLX's ARPU by region again, we could certainly see a generally healthy trend of ARPU over time even as the company increased its prices. It's important to note that increasing subscriptions prices is the primary way for it to further monetize its growing user base (although the company has also recently introduced more monetization methods such asNetflix shop, as well as thegaming market, so investors are highly encouraged to continue monitoring these developments). The price increases will help to bolster the consistency of the ARPU such that it would help with times when the company has found some difficulty in adding more users such as in Q1'21, while YoY revenue growth was still very healthy.\nInvestors should take note that NFLX's growing membership base of 208M paying members is a formidable moat for it to keep producing its slate of high quality original content.\nStrong Content Pipeline\n\nContent Assets. Data Source: Company Filings\n\nProduced Content YoY Growth. Data Source: Company Filings\nNFLX has been growing its original content base rapidly over the last few years, although the COVID-19 crisis has somewhat slowed down its growth. Thecompany emphasized:\n\n [W]e think we'll get back to a much steadier state in the back half of the year and certainly in Q4, where we've got the returning seasons of some of our most popular shows like The Witcher and You and Cobra Kai as well as some big tempo movies that came to market a little slower than we'd hoped, like Red Notes with The Rock and Ryan Reynolds and Gaga, and Escape From Spiderhead with Chris Hemsworth, big event content.\n\nTherefore, the company is not resting on its laurels and would keep on its record of producing high quality content to keep engagement at a high level with its viewers.\n\nRanking of original streaming series titles in the U.S. Data Source: Nielsen, Media Play News\nIn this survey conducted in early May, NFLX's slate of original series took home 7 out of the top 10 slots for the most watched series, demonstrating the high quality and appeal of its content with viewers. In fact, there were many other surveys that also showed Netflix's dominance in viewership over time.\nNetflix's original content didn't just dominate hours watched, but also award nominations. The company highlighted its recent achievements:\n\n Netflix led all studios for recent award nominations including the Oscars, Golden Globes, SAG Awards, BAFTA and the NAACP Image Awards, among others. Heading into the Academy Awards this weekend, we have 36 nominations across 17 films including two nominees in each of the Best Picture (Mank, The Trial of the Chicago 7), Best Documentary Feature (Crip Camp, My Octopus Teacher), and Best Animated Feature (Over the Moon, A Shaun The Sheep Movie: Farmageddon) categories. Mank led all films with 10 nominations.\n\n\nReasons for subscribing to SVOD services in the U.S. Data Source: Vorhaus Advisors\nAs we could observe from the above, high quality original series (35%) and specific TV series or movies (43%) ranked very highly on the reasons for subscribing to SVOD services, and investors can rest assured that NFLX is certainly leading in these areas.\n\nShare of SVOD subscribers, who also subscribe to other services. Data Source: Reelgood\nIn the SVOD space, we could clearly observe NFLX's importance to subscribers even if they subscribed to other services, which definitely helps to downplay the significance of increasing competitive threats to NFLX. In fact, NFLX was the most important service among these subscribers as the subscribers of the company's competitors also subscribed to NFLX: Peacock Premium (90%), HBO Max (90%), Amazon Prime (84%), Disney+ (87%), Hulu (85%) and Apple TV+ (92%), demonstrating clearly the importance and dominance of NFLX to its competitors' subscribers.\n\nNetflix Video Content Budget. Data Source: eMarketer\nMany critics also pointed to NFLX's increasing need to dedicate huge amounts of investments to drive its engagement levels, protect its moat, grow its revenue. In fact, I think unless NFLX is working on a model like Roku, whose business model I havediscussed recently here, having a high quality slate of original content is important in order to maintain its competitive edge, especially when we have witnessed a series of industry consolidation where NFLX may lose more and more access to high quality licensed content, so NFLX's committed investments in original content a few years ago led by Co-CEO Ted Sarandos has certainly been a masterstroke that has helped maintain the company's competitive edge. In addition, NFLX has been getting more and more efficient in producing original content over time, certainly helped by the large and growing paying membership base, which as I mentioned in itself is a strong moat.\n\nOther Operating Activities [LTM] as a % of Revenue [LTM]. Data Source: S&P Capital IQ\nNFLX's other operating activities segment mainly include the company's investments in content assets which are classified as a cash outflow in the company's Cash from Operations [CFO]. If we observed clearly, despite the company's increasing video content budget, these investments have been forming a smaller and smaller component of the company's revenue from 2018 (even if we were to exclude the skewed figures from recent quarters due to reduced original content being produced as a result of COVID-19 delays), demonstrating the company's improved CFO position that has driven results towards FCF profitability. As a result, this allowed the company to confidently declare to investors that: \"So we expect to be about cash flow breakeven this year and then sustainably free cash flow positive and growing thereafter.\" This is definitely a highly important development, as that means NFLX now has more and more cash flow flexibility to invest in content to further drive its competitive edge against its closest rivals. The company's expected FCF profitability has also given the company confidence to announce a $5B share buyback in order to return excess cash to investors.\n\nProjected Revenue Consensus Estimates, Projected Revenue Growth, Unlevered FCF Margin. Data Source: S&P Capital IQ\nIn fact, when I factored in NFLX's growth assumptions into its forecast model, NFLX is expected to consistently improve its FCF margin in the years ahead, while maintaining a steady revenue growth over time. NFLX is fast becoming a FCF driver that is capable of sustaining its growth and protecting its competitive moat strongly.\nSVOD market share in Japan. Data Source: GEM Partners\nTurning to NFLX's fastest growing region: APAC (shortsighted investors seemed to ignore NFLX's dominance in this region). There's absolutely no doubt who was the clear leader in the SVOD market in Japan with NFLX holding a 19.5% market share. In fact, Japan was expected to take over Australia as APAC'slargest market by the end of 2021. Japan's revenue is expected to grow at about 37% YoY from $2.4B to $3.3B, and subscriptions from 25.5M to 33.3M, which would represent a 30.6% increase YoY.\n\nMost popular OTT in Korea. Data Source: IGAWorks\nIn its third largest APAC market: Korea, NFLX is also the well-established leader with a market share well ahead of the other OTT services, allowing the company a lot of leverage in producing top quality original Korean content. Korean content is very popular in Asia, and Netflix relies heavily on the Korean Wave (Hallyu) as the main gateway to audiences in Asia and has committed$500M to invest in Korean content in 2021 alone, from $700M spent between 2015 to 2020. Co-CEO Ted Sarandos summed up the company's approach in Korean content:\n\nOver the last two years, we've seen the world falling in love with incredible Korean content, made in Korea and watched by the world on Netflix. Our commitment towards Korea is strong. We will continue to invest and collaborate with Korean storytellers across a wealth of genres and formats.\n\n\nPopular OTT for accessing Korean Dramas Worldwide. Data Source: Korean Foundation for International Cultural Exchange; MCST Korea\nNetflix's commitment to build up its investments in Korean content has allowed it to maintain a strong position as the second ranked OTT platform behind YouTube for worldwide access to Korean dramas mainly because in my opinion, AVOD-based YouTube is free. However, Netflix has produced a lot of Original Series Korean dramas that have often quickly become a hit, and which were not available for distribution on YouTube.\nThe Elephant in the Room: Disney\n\nEstimated number of SVOD subscribers worldwide. Data Source: Digital TV Research\nDisney (DIS) perhaps represents the largest threat in terms of subscribers growth as it's expected to take over NFLX as the largest SVOD player worldwide by 2026 with 294M subscribers as compared to NFLX's 286M subscribers.\nDIS has grown its subscribers base impressively as it reached103.6M subscribers in Q2'21. DIS's Hotstar platform is the dominant platform in two of Asia's most populated countries: Indonesia and India. This is expected to continue driving strong subscribers growth that would help it to exceed NFLX's subscriber base eventually.\n\nDIS+ ARPU. Data Source: Company Filings\nHowever, DIS's ARPU is also substantially lower than NFLX as Hotstar is very much a lower-priced offering and therefore skewing DIS's ARPU to the downside even as it adds more users. However, Hotstar looks like the better equipped option for growth in these two important Asian markets for DIS and I think DISpossesses the edge over here.\n\nEstimated penetration rate. Data Source: The Motley Fool, Stifel\nHowever, NFLX is still expected to make inroads in all its segments, and particularly in APAC and EMEA as it continues to drive content growth to cater to the markets where it has the lead. l certainly think NFLX can't win in all markets, and in some markets the company definitely has to spend a lot more time and resources to develop them such as in APAC where its penetration is still very low, therefore offering huge potential for growth.\n\nOTT Revenue Worldwide. Data Source: Digital TV Research\nMost importantly, the whole market still offers a lot of opportunities for growth for well positioned players in both the AVOD and the SVOD space. In the SVOD market, it is expected to grow at about 10.16% CAGR from 2020 to 2025, which although not as fast as the AVOD market, it's still expected to grow at a highly respectable rate.\nValuations are Not Expensive\n\nRevenue CAGR and Revenue Multiples. Data Source: S&P Capital IQ\nNFLX's projected growth (5Y CAGR of 15.1%) is definitely expected to slow as it matures, and turn FCF profitable. I don't think it's a bad thing. NFLX is still the dominant player in SVOD and expected to be so. In addition, it's still expected to grow faster than the SVOD market growth of 10.1%, thus further reinforcing NFLX's market leadership expectation. In addition, it's also trading at a slight discount on its EV / FY+1 Rev of 7.8x as compared to its 5Y Av. EV / LTM Rev of 8.8x.\n\nCapEX Margin & Projected CapEx Margin. Data Source: S&P Capital IQ\n\n5Y Av. EV / EBITDA & EV / Fwd EBITDA. Data Source: S&P Capital IQ\nGiven that its CapEX margins (see above) are expected to be largely consistent over time as compared to the last few years, I also find it useful to consider its cash flow generating capacity and value it accordingly. When we consider NFLX's EV / Fwd EBITDA (see above), we could see the company's improved FCF generating capability has now made NFLX a lot more undervalued than when we compared it against its revenue growth.\n\nEV / Fwd (EBITDA - CapEx). Data Source: S&P Capital IQ\nIn fact, NFLX is expected to continue generating a high level FCF moving forward which would thus further support the NFLX's competitive valuation from the FCF point of view.\nPrice Action and Technical Analysis\n\nSource: TradingView\nThe current price level at $489 is a possible entry point, with a more conservative entry point at $458. The \"Buy more\" entry point is at $398, which is also supported above the key 200W MA. Avoid buying near $563 and $593 in the near term as they look to be key resistance levels.\nWrapping it all up\nNetflix's \"loss of competitiveness\" and \"weak fundamentals\" that were called into question recently are largely unfounded. The company enjoys strong dominance and competitive advantages in the SVOD market that is still expected to grow at double digit growth rates of which NFLX is expected to exploit in the years ahead.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":217,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":160178028,"gmtCreate":1623776680864,"gmtModify":1703819237226,"author":{"id":"3575243382642927","authorId":"3575243382642927","name":"HolyPlumchu","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/892e8c26da1e25a378842a0bd731540f","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575243382642927","idStr":"3575243382642927"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Where will the money go then","listText":"Where will the money go then","text":"Where will the money go then","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/160178028","repostId":"1145996523","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1145996523","pubTimestamp":1623751116,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1145996523?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-15 17:58","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Investors and the Fed aren't freaking out about inflation. Should they?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1145996523","media":"cnn","summary":"New York (CNN Business)There is a gigantic disconnect between Main Street and Wall Street when it co","content":"<p>New York (CNN Business)There is a gigantic disconnect between Main Street and Wall Street when it comes to inflation. Something's got to give.</p>\n<p>The US government reported last week that consumer prices, excluding food and energy, rose at their fastest clip since 1992 in May. Sherwin-Williams (SHW) is lifting the price of paint, one of many companies that's responding to higher commodities costs.</p>\n<p>Food prices are also surging. Chipotle (CMG) just raised prices. So did Campbell Soup (CPB).</p>\n<p>And the chief financial officer of restaurant and arcade chain Dave &amp; Buster's (PLAY) said during a recent earnings call with analysts that he expects a 6% to 8% increase in food costs for 2021 due to higher chicken, beef and dairy prices.</p>\n<p>Wages are rising too, especially for workers in the retail, leisure and hospitality sectors that are returning to jobs as the economy reopens. That adds to inflationary pressures, because some companies will choose to hike prices in order to maintain profits.</p>\n<p>Labor shortages aren't helping.</p>\n<p>The CEO of online pet retailer Chewy (CHWY) wrote in a letter to shareholders after its latest earnings report that it \"faced labor shortages in our fulfillment centers similar to those being faced by many companies nationwide.\" As a result, Chewy continues \"to invest in higher wages and benefits\" in order to fill job vacancies.</p>\n<p>Yet investors — and the Federal Reserve — are shrugging off rising inflation as \"transitory.\" Long-term bond yields are falling, which isn't what normally happens when inflation runs hot. If bond investors believed that price hikes are here to stay, they'd be demanding higher yields.</p>\n<p>And the market is pricing in just a 3% chance of a rate hike from the Fed by the end of the year. That's down from a 10% likelihood of higher rates just a month ago. Investors know a rate hike is the central bank's best tool to fight rising inflation, and they'll want to hear more on the subject when Fed chair Jerome Powell speaks at a press conference on Wednesday.</p>\n<p>\"The bond market is still not concerned about inflation. It's buying what the Fed is selling,\" said Randy Warren, CEO of Warren Financial.</p>\n<p>The problem is that there is a chance the Fed could wait too long to react to inflation.</p>\n<p>\"Is inflation transitory or something more structural?\" asked Steven Oh, global head of credit and fixed income with PineBridge Investments. \"Will the Fed lose control of it down the road and make a policy error and not have the ability to rein it in?\"</p>\n<p>If the Fed and bond market are wrong about inflation, the central bank may have to wind down its pandemic stimulus much more quickly than it — and investors — would like. That would mean unwinding its big asset purchases and raising rates sooner rather than later.</p>\n<p>Oh doesn't think that will be the case. And many others agree. They argue that investors must keep in mind how rapidly the economy has roared back.</p>\n<p>For that reason, it should not be that big of a surprise that there are dislocations in the job market and supply chain. It will take time for conditions to revert to what they were like in late 2019 and early 2020 before Covid-19.</p>\n<p>\"There are a lot of questions about inflation because you see it in everyday life,\" said Bryan Koslow, principal of Clarus Group, a wealth management firm. \"But we may have seen the peak, especially in terms of wage growth.\"</p>\n<p>Even if that does turn out to be true, the mere fact that investors and consumers are so focused on prices is noteworthy. Inflation has essentially been a non-issue for more than a decade.</p>\n<p>\"The Fed has to take the inflation concerns seriously,\" said Troy Gayeski, co-chief investment officer and senior portfolio manager at SkyBridge Capital. He added that he thinks there is a 20% chance that inflation pressures turn out to be more persistent as opposed to transitory.</p>\n<p>\"The risk of meaningful inflation has been non-existent since 2008. Until now,\" Gayeski said.</p>\n<p><b>What's getting more expensive</b></p>\n<p>Food and paint aren't the only things getting more expensive. As CNN Business' Moira Ritter points out, the prices of just about everything have gone up lately.</p>\n<p>Lumber prices have soared. And the housing market continues to boom. That's led to a big spike in the prices of couches and other household furnishings.</p>\n<p>Used cars are a lot more expensive too. Chalk that up to people returning to work and a dearth of new cars on dealership lots due to the chip supply shortage that has hurt production of new vehicles.</p>\n<p>People are traveling more as well. Airfares have shot up in anticipation of what some are dubbing the red hot vaccine summer.</p>\n<p><b>Up next</b></p>\n<p><b>Tuesday: </b>US retail sales; US producer price index; Earnings from Oracle (ORCL) and H &amp; R Block (HRB)</p>\n<p><b>Wednesday: </b>Federal Reserve rate decision; US housing starts and building permits; EIA crude oil inventories; Earnings from Lennar (LEN)</p>\n<p><b>Thursday: </b>US jobless claims; Earnings from Kroger (KR) and Adobe (ADBE)</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Investors and the Fed aren't freaking out about inflation. Should they?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nInvestors and the Fed aren't freaking out about inflation. Should they?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-15 17:58 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://edition.cnn.com/2021/06/13/investing/stocks-week-ahead/index.html><strong>cnn</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>New York (CNN Business)There is a gigantic disconnect between Main Street and Wall Street when it comes to inflation. Something's got to give.\nThe US government reported last week that consumer prices...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/06/13/investing/stocks-week-ahead/index.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/06/13/investing/stocks-week-ahead/index.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1145996523","content_text":"New York (CNN Business)There is a gigantic disconnect between Main Street and Wall Street when it comes to inflation. Something's got to give.\nThe US government reported last week that consumer prices, excluding food and energy, rose at their fastest clip since 1992 in May. Sherwin-Williams (SHW) is lifting the price of paint, one of many companies that's responding to higher commodities costs.\nFood prices are also surging. Chipotle (CMG) just raised prices. So did Campbell Soup (CPB).\nAnd the chief financial officer of restaurant and arcade chain Dave & Buster's (PLAY) said during a recent earnings call with analysts that he expects a 6% to 8% increase in food costs for 2021 due to higher chicken, beef and dairy prices.\nWages are rising too, especially for workers in the retail, leisure and hospitality sectors that are returning to jobs as the economy reopens. That adds to inflationary pressures, because some companies will choose to hike prices in order to maintain profits.\nLabor shortages aren't helping.\nThe CEO of online pet retailer Chewy (CHWY) wrote in a letter to shareholders after its latest earnings report that it \"faced labor shortages in our fulfillment centers similar to those being faced by many companies nationwide.\" As a result, Chewy continues \"to invest in higher wages and benefits\" in order to fill job vacancies.\nYet investors — and the Federal Reserve — are shrugging off rising inflation as \"transitory.\" Long-term bond yields are falling, which isn't what normally happens when inflation runs hot. If bond investors believed that price hikes are here to stay, they'd be demanding higher yields.\nAnd the market is pricing in just a 3% chance of a rate hike from the Fed by the end of the year. That's down from a 10% likelihood of higher rates just a month ago. Investors know a rate hike is the central bank's best tool to fight rising inflation, and they'll want to hear more on the subject when Fed chair Jerome Powell speaks at a press conference on Wednesday.\n\"The bond market is still not concerned about inflation. It's buying what the Fed is selling,\" said Randy Warren, CEO of Warren Financial.\nThe problem is that there is a chance the Fed could wait too long to react to inflation.\n\"Is inflation transitory or something more structural?\" asked Steven Oh, global head of credit and fixed income with PineBridge Investments. \"Will the Fed lose control of it down the road and make a policy error and not have the ability to rein it in?\"\nIf the Fed and bond market are wrong about inflation, the central bank may have to wind down its pandemic stimulus much more quickly than it — and investors — would like. That would mean unwinding its big asset purchases and raising rates sooner rather than later.\nOh doesn't think that will be the case. And many others agree. They argue that investors must keep in mind how rapidly the economy has roared back.\nFor that reason, it should not be that big of a surprise that there are dislocations in the job market and supply chain. It will take time for conditions to revert to what they were like in late 2019 and early 2020 before Covid-19.\n\"There are a lot of questions about inflation because you see it in everyday life,\" said Bryan Koslow, principal of Clarus Group, a wealth management firm. \"But we may have seen the peak, especially in terms of wage growth.\"\nEven if that does turn out to be true, the mere fact that investors and consumers are so focused on prices is noteworthy. Inflation has essentially been a non-issue for more than a decade.\n\"The Fed has to take the inflation concerns seriously,\" said Troy Gayeski, co-chief investment officer and senior portfolio manager at SkyBridge Capital. He added that he thinks there is a 20% chance that inflation pressures turn out to be more persistent as opposed to transitory.\n\"The risk of meaningful inflation has been non-existent since 2008. Until now,\" Gayeski said.\nWhat's getting more expensive\nFood and paint aren't the only things getting more expensive. As CNN Business' Moira Ritter points out, the prices of just about everything have gone up lately.\nLumber prices have soared. And the housing market continues to boom. That's led to a big spike in the prices of couches and other household furnishings.\nUsed cars are a lot more expensive too. Chalk that up to people returning to work and a dearth of new cars on dealership lots due to the chip supply shortage that has hurt production of new vehicles.\nPeople are traveling more as well. Airfares have shot up in anticipation of what some are dubbing the red hot vaccine summer.\nUp next\nTuesday: US retail sales; US producer price index; Earnings from Oracle (ORCL) and H & R Block (HRB)\nWednesday: Federal Reserve rate decision; US housing starts and building permits; EIA crude oil inventories; Earnings from Lennar (LEN)\nThursday: US jobless claims; Earnings from Kroger (KR) and Adobe (ADBE)","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":124,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":185640146,"gmtCreate":1623648012685,"gmtModify":1704207797840,"author":{"id":"3575243382642927","authorId":"3575243382642927","name":"HolyPlumchu","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/892e8c26da1e25a378842a0bd731540f","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575243382642927","idStr":"3575243382642927"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Feels overvalued unless they have groundbreaking products","listText":"Feels overvalued unless they have groundbreaking products","text":"Feels overvalued unless they have groundbreaking products","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/185640146","repostId":"2142422555","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":83,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}