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Wealth98

Wealth98

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08-20

Ignore the noise , if every hodlers start selling , the stock price will fall to the analyst expected price , Keep a steady hand & hodl ! With interest rate cut from Sept and onwards , I am still bullish on PLTR .

Palantir: Don't Follow It Off The Cliff, Overpriced Generative AI Story

05-24

Big big fud

Palantir Technologies: The Market Is Too Optimistic

2023-11-23

When such negative article written to press down a stock price , just wait and see , the stock price will reverse .

This Threat Could Keep NIO Stock Under $10 (for a Long Time)

2023-11-06

Fxxking love this FUD article, sell all you can or dump it , as for me , its an opportunity for me to scoop as much as I can .It's accumulating time .

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2023-09-10

This article reminds me exactly what Tesla was like in early 2020 .I'm all in for PLTR .

PLTR Stock Alert: 3 Reasons to Avoid Palantir Right Now

2023-07-19

When will it get back to its glory days ?

2023-07-18

As if they knew it all , I say we add on and hodl !

Where Will Palantir Technologies Be in 3 Years?

2023-02-06

Hell ya , I am all in for Solana .

3 Sorry Cryptos to Sell in February Before It’s Too Late

2022-08-20

Fud article ...

Bitcoin: Black Swans Are Lurking

2022-01-11

Pls do so , what ever you please , funds will flock back to equities and Cryptos eventually , no one willgives a hoot on long term bonds . Yield rise in bonds are transitory.

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2021-08-30

Target price people ?

Globalstar shares rose more than 20% in premarket trading

2021-06-03

When AMC rocket , trading halt , when AMC crashed , trading continue ... wtf !

AMC Entertainment Holdings Files To Sell Up To 11.55Mln Shares

2021-06-03

This is bull Shit news !

AMC Entertainment Holdings Files To Sell Up To 11.55Mln Shares

2021-05-17

But hey , as usual, Bitcoin will recover eventually, So meanwhile, buy the dip ... we all should thank Elon for the dip , isn’t it ?

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2021-05-17

Man , i will also rotate my fund from Tesla to Nio .

'Bitcoin is melting.' Here's what a 30% drop from highs in the crypto may say about stock-market risk sentiment

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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With interest rate cut from Sept and onwards , I am still bullish on PLTR .&nbsp;","listText":"Ignore the noise , if every hodlers start selling , the stock price will fall to the analyst expected price ,&nbsp; Keep a steady hand &amp; hodl ! With interest rate cut from Sept and onwards , I am still bullish on PLTR .&nbsp;","text":"Ignore the noise , if every hodlers start selling , the stock price will fall to the analyst expected price , Keep a steady hand & hodl ! With interest rate cut from Sept and onwards , I am still bullish on PLTR .","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/340433055301768","repostId":"2460103938","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2460103938","pubTimestamp":1724142540,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2460103938?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2024-08-20 16:29","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Palantir: Don't Follow It Off The Cliff, Overpriced Generative AI Story","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2460103938","media":"Seekingalpha","summary":"PLTR has demonstrated the promising monetization of generative AI SaaS layer across the government and commercial segments, thanks to the highly opportunistic AIP boot camp.These have led to its highe","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul style=\"\"><li><p>PLTR has demonstrated the promising monetization of generative AI SaaS layer across the government and commercial segments, thanks to the highly opportunistic AIP boot camp.</p></li><li><p>These have led to its higher Net Retention Rates and the growing multi-year Remaining Performance Obligations, sustaining its high-growth investment thesis.</p></li><li><p>Even so, with these developments triggering PLTR&#39;s lofty valuations compared to its peers, we believe that there is a minimal margin of safety at current levels.</p></li><li><p>Based on its historical trading pattern, the stock is likely to pull back to its uptrend support levels of $24s in the near-term.</p></li><li><p>Traders may consider following the massive insider selling and taking part of their gains off the table, before coming back in later.</p></li></ul><p>We previously covered <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">Palantir Technologies Inc.</a> in May 2024, discussing the normalization in market sentiments surrounding generative AI stocks, despite the SaaS company&#39;s robust performance metrics thanks to the successful AIP boot camps.</p><p>We had upgraded our rating to a Buy then, preferably after a moderate retracement to its previous support levels of $18s for an improved margin of safety.</p><p>Since then, PLTR has maintained a floor at $20 while rallying by +55.7% to retest its all-time highs of $30s, naturally outperforming the wider market at +6.1%.</p><p>This is despite the drastic July 2024 market wide pullback, with the bullish support attributed to the double beat FQ2&#39;24 performance and raised FY2024 guidance, with it underscoring the successful penetration of generative AI monetization through the infrastructure layer to the SaaS layer.</p><p>Even so, we are downgrading the stock to a Hold instead, since it is now overly expensive with the baked in growth premium offering interested investors with a minimal upside potential.</p><h3 id=\"id_3847959463\">PLTR Continues To Outperform Expectations, With Robust Growth Prospects &amp; Performance Metrics</h3><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/750e4c736f8a7df65439c55a29a2630e\" alt=\"PLTR YTD Stock Price\" title=\"PLTR YTD Stock Price\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"375\"/><span>PLTR YTD Stock Price</span></p><p>Since its first GAAP profitability and the seven consecutive positive bottom-line results since Q4&#39;22, it is unsurprising that the PLTR stock has already generated robust gains, significantly aided by the growing demand for its generative AI SaaS offerings.</p><p>The latter is already observed in the double beat performance, with its commercial growth accelerating at +32.4% YoY in FQ2&#39;24, compared to +10.4% YoY reported in FQ2&#39;23. Government demand is robust at +23% YoY as well, compared to +14.6% YoY a year ago.</p><p>It is apparent from these developments that PLTR&#39;s AI Bootcamp strategy has been highly successful in winning new customers, as observed in the higher overall customer count at 593 (+39 QoQ/ +172 YoY).</p><p>This in top of the improved cross-selling to existing customers, given the higher Net Retention Dollar of 114% in FQ2&#39;24 (+3 points QoQ/ +6 from FQ4&#39;23 levels of 108%).</p><p>Most importantly, PLTR&#39;s boot camp strategy during the generative AI boom has directly contributed to the SaaS company&#39;s excellent Rule of 40 results at 64% by the latest quarter (+7 points QoQ/ +26 YoY), thanks to the accelerated sales growth at 27% (+6 points QoQ/ +14 YoY) and richer adj operating margin at 37% (+1 points QoQ/ +12 YoY).</p><p>Moving forward, we believe that the SaaS company may be able to continue generating robust performance metrics ahead, significantly aided by its highly strategic partnership with Microsoft (MSFT).</p><p>It is important for us to highlight that both PLTR and MSFT&#39;s Azure boast &#34;the highest possible DoD Impact Level 6 (IL6) provisional authorization (PA) at the high confidentiality and high integrity (H-H-x) information categorization.&#34;</p><p>These developments imply that PLTR will be able to leverage on Azure&#39;s existing Large Language Models and OpenAI&#39;s GPT-4 capabilities, while being integrated into the Federal government&#39;s highly classified cloud data, naturally driving further growth opportunities for the former&#39;s government segment.</p><p>With the US government comprising $278M (+8% QoQ/ +24% YoY) or the equivalent 41% (+0.5 points QoQ/ -1.1 YoY) of the SaaS company&#39;s overall FQ2&#39;24 revenues, it is undeniable that the US Federal contracts remain the backbone of its overall prospects.</p><p>The next few years are likely to bring forth significant growth opportunities as well, attributed to the higher defense spending as geopolitical hostilities intensify in Gaza and Ukraine.</p><p>PLTR&#39;s inflection is further observed in the raised FY2024 guidance, with revenues of $2.746B (+23.6% YoY) and adj income from operations of $970M (+53.2% YoY) at the midpoint.</p><p>This is up from the original guidance of $2.66B (+19.8% YoY) and $842M (+33% YoY) offered in the FQ4&#39;23 earnings call, respectively.</p><p>The raised guidance is not overly aggressive indeed, based on PLTR&#39;s H1&#39;24 numbers of $1.31B (+24.7% YoY) and $480.02M (+84.6% YoY), with it demonstrating the management&#39;s confidence about generating robust and profitable growth ahead, with another raise and beat performance likely in FQ3&#39;24.</p><p>With these numbers well-supported by the growing multi-year Remaining Performance Obligation of $1.37B (+5.3% QoQ/ +41.2% YoY), we believe the stock continues to offer a compelling high-growth investment thesis.</p><p><strong>The Consensus Forward Estimates</strong></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3a35d43ec8b2405d6fda6813ce09fdb2\" alt=\"TIKR Terminal\" title=\"TIKR Terminal\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"227\"/><span>TIKR Terminal</span></p><p>As a result of the raised FY2024 guidance, it is unsurprising that the consensus have already raised their forward estimates, with PLTR expected to generate an accelerated top/ bottom-line growth at a CAGR of +21.3%/ +28.4% through FY2026.</p><p>This is compared to the original estimates of +20.3%/ +23.2% and historical top-line growth of +30.1% between FY2018 and FY2023, respectively.</p><p><strong>PLTR Valuations</strong></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/93b2208a8b0501fe0ad889cf9a0c3ccb\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"123\"/></p><p>On the other hand, it is undeniable that PLTR may be expensive at FWD P/E valuations of 90.29x, compared to its 1Y mean of 66.90x and 3Y mean of 69.54x.</p><p>Even when compared to its AI SaaS peers, it is apparent that PLTR is trading at a premium, including Google (GOOG) at FWD P/E of 21.63x with the projected adj EPS growth of +19.6% through FY2026, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ADBE\">Adobe</a> (ADBE) at 30.47x/ +14%, Microsoft at 31.75x/ +15.1%, Nvidia (NVDA) at 45.70x/ +49.3%, and with the rare exception being CrowdStrike (CRWD) at 66.94x/ +24.1%, respectively.</p><p>If we are to do the same exercise with its direct competitors, including BigBear.ai (BBAI) at FWD Price/ Sales of 1.83x with the projected revenue growth of +18% through FY2026, C3.ai (AI) at 8.30x/ +20.8%, and SoundHound AI (SOUN) at 21.59x/ +82.1%, we believe that PLTR at 26.04x/ +21.3% appears to be on the expensive side.</p><p>Given PLTR&#39;s relatively premium valuation, we believe that there is a minimal margin of safety at current levels indeed.</p><h2 id=\"id_2096264043\">So, Is PLTR Stock A Buy, Sell, or Hold?</h2><p><strong>PLTR 4Y Stock Price</strong></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c9989f8853a376f38a76fb635552965d\" alt=\"TradingView\" title=\"TradingView\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"375\"/><span>TradingView</span></p><p>For now, PLTR&#39;s uptrend has been impressive since the December 2022 bottom, with it consistently charting higher highs and higher lows despite the recent market rotation from high-growth stocks.</p><p>For context, we had offered a long-term price target of $26.70 in our previous article, based on the consensus FY2026 adj EPS estimates of $0.47 and the 2022/ 2023 P/E mean of 57x.</p><p>Based on the consensus raised FY2026 adj EPS estimates of $0.53 and the same P/E, we are looking at an updated long-term price target of $30.20, with it implying a minimal margin of safety at current levels.</p><p>On the one hand, PLTR&#39;s short interest continues to moderate to 2.85% by the time of writing, down from the previous article levels of 3.52%, with it implying lower volatility from short sellers.</p><p>On the other hand, as the stock prices reached new peaks of over $30s, nearing those observed during the February 2021 peaks, it is unsurprising that insiders have been unlocking great gains at current levels with $240M sold in Q2&#39;24 (+30.4% QoQ/ +788% YoY).</p><p>While market sentiments surrounding high-growth stocks appear to have normalized after the great correction in July 2024 with the CBOE Volatility Index also moderating, we maintain our belief that there remains a minimal upside potential at current levels.</p><p>Based on PLTR&#39;s historical trading pattern, the stock is likely to pull back to its uptrend support levels of $24s in the near-term.</p><p>As a result of the potential capital losses, we are downgrading our Buy rating to Hold (Neutral) rating instead. Interested long-term investors may consider waiting for the pullback before adding for an improved dollar cost average.</p><p>Likewise, traders may consider following insiders and taking part of their gains off the table, before coming back in later.</p><p>For now, do not chase PLTR over the cliff.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir: Don't Follow It Off The Cliff, Overpriced Generative AI Story</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir: Don't Follow It Off The Cliff, Overpriced Generative AI Story\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-08-20 16:29 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4715533-palantir-stock-dont-follow-it-off-the-cliff-overpriced-generative-ai-story><strong>Seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>PLTR has demonstrated the promising monetization of generative AI SaaS layer across the government and commercial segments, thanks to the highly opportunistic AIP boot camp.These have led to its ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4715533-palantir-stock-dont-follow-it-off-the-cliff-overpriced-generative-ai-story\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4503":"景林资产持仓","PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc.","LU0466842654.USD":"HSBC ISLAMIC GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX \"A\" (USD) ACC","IE00B19Z8X17.USD":"FTGF CLEARBRIDGE US LARGE CAP GROWTH  \"AG\" (USD) ACC","LU0320765059.SGD":"FTIF - Franklin US Opportunities A Acc SGD","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓","LU1548497426.USD":"安联环球人工智能AT Acc","LU0154236417.USD":"BGF US FLEXIBLE EQUITY \"A2\" ACC","LU1815333072.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) GLOBAL FOCUS \"AUP\" (USD) INC","BK4592":"伊斯兰概念","BK4529":"IDC概念","LU0289739343.SGD":"SUSTAINABLE GLOBAL THEMATIC PORTFOLIO \"A\" (SGD) ACC","IE00B4JS1V06.HKD":"JANUS HENDERSON BALANCED \"A2\" (HKD) ACC","BK4528":"SaaS概念","LU0557290698.USD":"施罗德环球可持续增长基金","LU0889566641.SGD":"FTSF - Templeton Shariah Global Equity A Acc SGD","LU0238689110.USD":"贝莱德环球动力股票基金","LU1923622614.USD":"Natixis Thematics Meta R/A USD","LU0642271901.SGD":"Janus Henderson Horizon Global Technology Leaders A2 SGD-H","LU0456855351.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - Global Equity A (acc) SGD","LU0072462426.USD":"贝莱德全球配置 A2","BK4507":"流媒体概念","BK4576":"AR","LU2125909759.SGD":"Natixis Thematics Safety H-R/A SGD","LU0056508442.USD":"贝莱德世界科技基金A2","LU2125154778.USD":"ALLSPRING GLOBAL EQUITY ENHANCED INCOME \"A\" (USD) INC","LU0719512351.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - US Technology A (acc) SGD","LU1992135399.USD":"Allianz Global Intelligent Cities AT Acc USD","LU2125909916.SGD":"Natixis Thematics Safety R/A SGD","LU0048584097.USD":"FIDELITY FUNDS  GLOBAL THEMATIC OPPORTUNITIES \"A\" (USD) INC","IE00BZ199S13.USD":"BNY MELLON MOBILITY INNOVATION \"B\" (USD) ACC","LU0640476718.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) US CONTRARIAN CORE EQ \"AU\" (USD) ACC","LU2023250504.SGD":"Allianz Thematica Cl AMg DIS H2-SGD","BK4525":"远程办公概念","LU1923622291.USD":"Natixis Thematics Safety R/A USD","BK4577":"网络游戏","IE00BMPRXN33.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN 5G CONNECTIVITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU2210149790.SGD":"Natixis Thematics Subscription Economy R/A SGD-H","BK4527":"明星科技股","LU0109392836.USD":"富兰克林科技股A","BK4579":"人工智能","LU0965509010.AUD":"AB LOW VOLATILITY EQUITY PORTFOLIO \"AD\" (AUDHDG) INC"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4715533-palantir-stock-dont-follow-it-off-the-cliff-overpriced-generative-ai-story","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2460103938","content_text":"PLTR has demonstrated the promising monetization of generative AI SaaS layer across the government and commercial segments, thanks to the highly opportunistic AIP boot camp.These have led to its higher Net Retention Rates and the growing multi-year Remaining Performance Obligations, sustaining its high-growth investment thesis.Even so, with these developments triggering PLTR's lofty valuations compared to its peers, we believe that there is a minimal margin of safety at current levels.Based on its historical trading pattern, the stock is likely to pull back to its uptrend support levels of $24s in the near-term.Traders may consider following the massive insider selling and taking part of their gains off the table, before coming back in later.We previously covered Palantir Technologies Inc. in May 2024, discussing the normalization in market sentiments surrounding generative AI stocks, despite the SaaS company's robust performance metrics thanks to the successful AIP boot camps.We had upgraded our rating to a Buy then, preferably after a moderate retracement to its previous support levels of $18s for an improved margin of safety.Since then, PLTR has maintained a floor at $20 while rallying by +55.7% to retest its all-time highs of $30s, naturally outperforming the wider market at +6.1%.This is despite the drastic July 2024 market wide pullback, with the bullish support attributed to the double beat FQ2'24 performance and raised FY2024 guidance, with it underscoring the successful penetration of generative AI monetization through the infrastructure layer to the SaaS layer.Even so, we are downgrading the stock to a Hold instead, since it is now overly expensive with the baked in growth premium offering interested investors with a minimal upside potential.PLTR Continues To Outperform Expectations, With Robust Growth Prospects & Performance MetricsPLTR YTD Stock PriceSince its first GAAP profitability and the seven consecutive positive bottom-line results since Q4'22, it is unsurprising that the PLTR stock has already generated robust gains, significantly aided by the growing demand for its generative AI SaaS offerings.The latter is already observed in the double beat performance, with its commercial growth accelerating at +32.4% YoY in FQ2'24, compared to +10.4% YoY reported in FQ2'23. Government demand is robust at +23% YoY as well, compared to +14.6% YoY a year ago.It is apparent from these developments that PLTR's AI Bootcamp strategy has been highly successful in winning new customers, as observed in the higher overall customer count at 593 (+39 QoQ/ +172 YoY).This in top of the improved cross-selling to existing customers, given the higher Net Retention Dollar of 114% in FQ2'24 (+3 points QoQ/ +6 from FQ4'23 levels of 108%).Most importantly, PLTR's boot camp strategy during the generative AI boom has directly contributed to the SaaS company's excellent Rule of 40 results at 64% by the latest quarter (+7 points QoQ/ +26 YoY), thanks to the accelerated sales growth at 27% (+6 points QoQ/ +14 YoY) and richer adj operating margin at 37% (+1 points QoQ/ +12 YoY).Moving forward, we believe that the SaaS company may be able to continue generating robust performance metrics ahead, significantly aided by its highly strategic partnership with Microsoft (MSFT).It is important for us to highlight that both PLTR and MSFT's Azure boast \"the highest possible DoD Impact Level 6 (IL6) provisional authorization (PA) at the high confidentiality and high integrity (H-H-x) information categorization.\"These developments imply that PLTR will be able to leverage on Azure's existing Large Language Models and OpenAI's GPT-4 capabilities, while being integrated into the Federal government's highly classified cloud data, naturally driving further growth opportunities for the former's government segment.With the US government comprising $278M (+8% QoQ/ +24% YoY) or the equivalent 41% (+0.5 points QoQ/ -1.1 YoY) of the SaaS company's overall FQ2'24 revenues, it is undeniable that the US Federal contracts remain the backbone of its overall prospects.The next few years are likely to bring forth significant growth opportunities as well, attributed to the higher defense spending as geopolitical hostilities intensify in Gaza and Ukraine.PLTR's inflection is further observed in the raised FY2024 guidance, with revenues of $2.746B (+23.6% YoY) and adj income from operations of $970M (+53.2% YoY) at the midpoint.This is up from the original guidance of $2.66B (+19.8% YoY) and $842M (+33% YoY) offered in the FQ4'23 earnings call, respectively.The raised guidance is not overly aggressive indeed, based on PLTR's H1'24 numbers of $1.31B (+24.7% YoY) and $480.02M (+84.6% YoY), with it demonstrating the management's confidence about generating robust and profitable growth ahead, with another raise and beat performance likely in FQ3'24.With these numbers well-supported by the growing multi-year Remaining Performance Obligation of $1.37B (+5.3% QoQ/ +41.2% YoY), we believe the stock continues to offer a compelling high-growth investment thesis.The Consensus Forward EstimatesTIKR TerminalAs a result of the raised FY2024 guidance, it is unsurprising that the consensus have already raised their forward estimates, with PLTR expected to generate an accelerated top/ bottom-line growth at a CAGR of +21.3%/ +28.4% through FY2026.This is compared to the original estimates of +20.3%/ +23.2% and historical top-line growth of +30.1% between FY2018 and FY2023, respectively.PLTR ValuationsOn the other hand, it is undeniable that PLTR may be expensive at FWD P/E valuations of 90.29x, compared to its 1Y mean of 66.90x and 3Y mean of 69.54x.Even when compared to its AI SaaS peers, it is apparent that PLTR is trading at a premium, including Google (GOOG) at FWD P/E of 21.63x with the projected adj EPS growth of +19.6% through FY2026, Adobe (ADBE) at 30.47x/ +14%, Microsoft at 31.75x/ +15.1%, Nvidia (NVDA) at 45.70x/ +49.3%, and with the rare exception being CrowdStrike (CRWD) at 66.94x/ +24.1%, respectively.If we are to do the same exercise with its direct competitors, including BigBear.ai (BBAI) at FWD Price/ Sales of 1.83x with the projected revenue growth of +18% through FY2026, C3.ai (AI) at 8.30x/ +20.8%, and SoundHound AI (SOUN) at 21.59x/ +82.1%, we believe that PLTR at 26.04x/ +21.3% appears to be on the expensive side.Given PLTR's relatively premium valuation, we believe that there is a minimal margin of safety at current levels indeed.So, Is PLTR Stock A Buy, Sell, or Hold?PLTR 4Y Stock PriceTradingViewFor now, PLTR's uptrend has been impressive since the December 2022 bottom, with it consistently charting higher highs and higher lows despite the recent market rotation from high-growth stocks.For context, we had offered a long-term price target of $26.70 in our previous article, based on the consensus FY2026 adj EPS estimates of $0.47 and the 2022/ 2023 P/E mean of 57x.Based on the consensus raised FY2026 adj EPS estimates of $0.53 and the same P/E, we are looking at an updated long-term price target of $30.20, with it implying a minimal margin of safety at current levels.On the one hand, PLTR's short interest continues to moderate to 2.85% by the time of writing, down from the previous article levels of 3.52%, with it implying lower volatility from short sellers.On the other hand, as the stock prices reached new peaks of over $30s, nearing those observed during the February 2021 peaks, it is unsurprising that insiders have been unlocking great gains at current levels with $240M sold in Q2'24 (+30.4% QoQ/ +788% YoY).While market sentiments surrounding high-growth stocks appear to have normalized after the great correction in July 2024 with the CBOE Volatility Index also moderating, we maintain our belief that there remains a minimal upside potential at current levels.Based on PLTR's historical trading pattern, the stock is likely to pull back to its uptrend support levels of $24s in the near-term.As a result of the potential capital losses, we are downgrading our Buy rating to Hold (Neutral) rating instead. Interested long-term investors may consider waiting for the pullback before adding for an improved dollar cost average.Likewise, traders may consider following insiders and taking part of their gains off the table, before coming back in later.For now, do not chase PLTR over the cliff.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":187,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":309167451644224,"gmtCreate":1716508148459,"gmtModify":1716508151433,"author":{"id":"3575503097657037","authorId":"3575503097657037","name":"Wealth98","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/91e78f617644143fd9a0573a2d063a8b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575503097657037","idStr":"3575503097657037"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Big big fud&nbsp;","listText":"Big big fud&nbsp;","text":"Big big fud","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/309167451644224","repostId":"2437202176","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2437202176","pubTimestamp":1716477263,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2437202176?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2024-05-23 23:14","market":"fut","language":"en","title":"Palantir Technologies: The Market Is Too Optimistic","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2437202176","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Palantir reported 21% top-line growth in Q1/24 and continued to improve its margins as especially commercial revenue is contributing to growth.The stock is still overvalued and considering the ongoing","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul style=\"\"><li><p>Palantir reported 21% top-line growth in Q1/24 and continued to improve its margins as especially commercial revenue is contributing to growth.</p></li><li><p>The stock is still overvalued and considering the ongoing dilution, PLTR has to grow about 30% to be fairly valued.</p></li><li><p>The company is clearly hyped, and generative AI is at the top of the hype cycle right now.</p></li></ul><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ca0459f275b9aed733014624cae2dc80\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"500\"/></p><p>Michael Vi</p><p></p><p>In the last few quarters, I was rather cautious about Palantir Technologies (NYSE:PLTR) and in my last few articles, I rated the stock as a &#34;Hold&#34; and my advice was to be rather cautious. At the end of November 2023, I wrote an article why it is difficult to justify Palantir&#39;s share price. In the meantime, Palantir still increased about 8%, but it underperformed the S&amp;P 500 in the last six months, which increased about 16%.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/317d0acacc29df329194aa2d8bfe9c01\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"456\"/></p><p>Data by YCharts</p><p></p><p>Since the bottom around $7 less than a year ago, the stock has more than tripled in only a few quarters. In the last 18 months, Palantir&#39;s stock price increased 181%. The performance was not enough to outperform high-flyer NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) which increased 503% in the same timeframe, but Palantir outperformed the S&amp;P 500 (SPY), which is already looking at a solid performance in the last 18 months.</p><p>This also raises the question if I have been constantly wrong about Palantir in the last few quarters, or if the stock is just getting more and more overvalued, and we are seeing the typical late stages of a gigantic stock market bubble.</p><h2 id=\"id_4287090802\">First Quarter Results</h2><p>When trying to answer this question, we start by looking at the results Palantir reported. And despite any potential criticism (which we will articulate later in this article) we must acknowledge that Palantir is continuing to report great results and not only increasing the top line with a high pace but also continuing its path towards profitability.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0dde8b4b92b55469f009a59f67ea018d\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"491\"/></p><p>Data by YCharts</p><p></p><p>On May 06, 2024, Palantir reported first quarter results and revenue increased from $525.2 million in Q1/23 to $634.3 million in Q1/24 - resulting in 20.7% top-line growth. And on its path to becoming (more) profitable, Palantir saw its income from operations jump from $4.1 million in the same quarter last year to $80.9 million this quarter. Diluted net earnings per share quadrupled from $0.01 in Q1/23 to $0.04 in Q1/24.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/bd488d2f151358ff48589c5f9306d50e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"359\"/></p><p>Palantir Q1/24 Presentation</p><p></p><p>When looking at adjusted earnings per share, the picture is a little different. Adjusted EPS increased 60% from $0.05 in the same quarter last year to $0.08 this quarter. Only adjusted free cash flow declined from $188.9 in Q1/23 to $148.6 million in Q1/24 - resulting in a 21.3% YoY decline.</p><p>While commercial revenue grew 27% year-over-year from $236 million in Q1/23 to $299 million in Q1/24 and the number of commercial customers increased 53% year-over-year from 280 to 427, government revenue increased only 16% YoY from $289 million in the same quarter last year to $335 million this quarter. And it clearly seems like the bootcamps are working and a good strategy to drive revenue growth. Since launching AIP in mid-2023, Palantir has complete AIP Bootcamps with more than 900 organizations in the United States and around the world.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/931260979ac33e64e7797038c4cc3ca0\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"361\"/></p><p>Palantir Q1/24 Presentation</p><p></p><p>And during the fourth quarter, Palantir closed 87 deals with of volume of at least $1 million with 27 deals of at least $5 million and 15 deals of at least $10 million.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b6b5fbe0550c6706bc659ca066f5c223\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"359\"/></p><p>Palantir Q1/24 Presentation</p><p></p><h2 id=\"id_1789524053\">Expectations For Fiscal 2024</h2><p>When looking at managements&#39; expectations for fiscal 2024, revenue is estimated to be in a range between $2,677 million and $2,689 million for the full year. This is resulting in 20% to 21% year-over-year growth compared to revenue in fiscal 2023. Adjusted income from operations is expected to be between $868 million and $880 million. Compared to an adjusted income from operations, this would result in 37% to 39% year-over-year growth.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/23aa3c9f1efc0947aae5880d3f1c2df0\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"359\"/></p><p>Palantir Q1/24 Presentation</p><p></p><p>And finally, adjusted free cash flow is expected to be between $800 million and $1,000 million. Palantir has a very narrow guidance for revenue and operating income, but for free cash flow we see the range getting much broader - reflecting the difficulties for management to make assumptions.</p><h2 id=\"id_3195095637\">Intrinsic Value Calculation</h2><p>One of the main arguments that can be made against Palantir - at least over the midterm (maybe next 5-10 years) - are the extremely high valuation multiples the stock is trading for. At the time of writing, Palantir is trading for 177 times earnings, and nobody can dispute that such a high valuation multiple is not sustainable. However, we can make the counterargument that Palantir is not only able to grow its top line with a high pace (we will get to growth expectations later) but can also improve its margins and therefore earnings per share will grow with a much higher pace bringing the P/E ratio down quickly.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/65b3257cab2fe4bcd1d79a377927e9ec\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"439\"/></p><p>Data by YCharts</p><p></p><p>However, when looking at expected earnings per share for the next fiscal year ($0.33) we get a forward P/E ratio of 64 and that is still a very high valuation multiple. And we can even shift our attention away from the P/E ratio (which is definitely not the best metric here) towards the price-free-cash-flow ratio. At the time of writing, Palantir is trading for 77 times free cash flow, and such a valuation multiple still seems too high to be an acceptable metric.</p><p>And while we can make the argument for earnings per share that improving margins will contribute to growth in the years to come, this argument is much more difficult to make for free cash flow.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/458ccb5d31ea8df751530f8273358acc\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"486\"/></p><p>Data by YCharts</p><p></p><p>In the last four quarters, Palantir managed that almost one third of its revenue ended up as free cash flow and while an operating margin of 8.4% (TTM numbers) is certainly not impressive and many companies are able to achieve similar or higher operating margins, a free cash flow/revenue ratio of 27.5% is impressive and to be honest doesn&#39;t leave much room for improvement (it was already as high as 31% and in the coming years it is likely that the free cash flow/revenue ratio will decline again - especially in economic challenging times).</p><p>And here we must use a discount cash flow calculation again. As the basis for our calculation, we are using the adjusted free cash flow of the last four quarters, which was $691 million, as well as the diluted number of outstanding shares (2,400 million on March 31, 2024). And as always, we take a 10% discount rate and are calculating with 6% growth until perpetuity in 10 years from now. To be fairly valued, Palantir has to grow its free cash flow 22% annually for the next ten years.</p><p>As we have pointed out above, that growth must come solely from top-line growth, as it seems extremely unlikely for the free cash flow to sales ratio to being any higher than it is right now. And here it becomes questionable if Palantir can grow at such a high pace. Analysts are expecting revenue to grow with a CAGR of 17.39% for the next ten years (however, these estimates are mostly based on the opinion of one analyst).</p><p>When looking at historic growth rates, Palantir grew revenue with a CAGR of 30% in the last five years and 27% in the last three years. This would be enough to make Palantir fairly valued at this point. But we also must see that quarterly revenue growth slowed down in the last few years - only in the last three quarters revenue growth accelerated again (and it remains to be seen if the trend can continue). But in the last few quarters, revenue growth was clearly below the rate which is required for Palantir to be fairly valued. And the last few quarters most likely have not been the worst economic environment a company can be in, and we must raise the question at what rates Palantir can grow if the economic environment is different.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9c4bbbb68980e02762a390495643399b\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"424\"/></p><p>Data by YCharts</p><p></p><p>But even if Palantir is able to grow its top line 22% for the next ten years, another major problem remains (one I have pointed out in several articles). Palantir is diluting the number of outstanding shares at a high pace in the last few years and continues to do so. Over the last twelve months, Palantir increased the number of outstanding shares by 8.3% and assuming a similar dilution in the years to come, Palantir must grow its top line 30% annually to be fairly valued. And always remember, this is assuming that Palantir is able to keep free cash flow conversion at close to 30% of revenue (which is a huge challenge in my opinion).</p><h2 id=\"id_2890694384\">Sentiment</h2><p>And one final point I made already in my last article about NVIDIA, I like to make here again because it is so important and describes the current sentiment in the stock market. In the article, I wrote at the end of the intrinsic value calculation:</p><blockquote><p>And <strong>finally</strong>, we are calculating here with a 10% discount rate. For those that don&#39;t already know this (because sometimes we must spell out things that seem otherwise obvious): A 10% discount rate is telling us that investing in Nvidia (under the assumptions made above) would generate a 10% return on investment annually. It means your investment will increase 10% the first year and another 10% the next year. To double your investment, it would take a little more than 7 years. I am just saying this as those people being extremely bullish about Nvidia are probably assuming to double, triple, or quadruple their investment in the next few quarters. A 10% annual return is extremely good, but it doesn&#39;t go hand-in-hand with the dream of becoming rich quickly.</p></blockquote><p>And the same is true for Palantir. Even if we assume that Palantir is fairly valued here, we have an investment return of 10% annually. And when assuming that Palantir is not able to achieve the necessary 23% to 30% top-line growth, the investment return for Palantir will drop into the single digits.</p><p>But the fact that investors are not able to see this is characteristic for this final phase before the stock market hits its peak and the bubble will burst. It is also hinting towards another hype and bubble for Palantir as well. Investors (or speculators) are not buying Palantir based on fundamental analysis but due to irrational exuberance and the hope for extraordinary gains in a short time.</p><p>And similar to NVIDIA - despite entirely different business models - both companies are profiting from the hype around artificial intelligence. And while the hype did not really lead to much higher growth rates for Palantir - in sharp contrast to NVIDIA - it led to much higher stock prices for Palantir. When looking at Gartner&#39;s hype cycle for emerging technologies, we see artificial intelligence and generative AI being on the peak of inflated expectations and I would make the argument that Palantir is profiting from that hype and the stock price is reflecting that hype.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f90fdc92626ef33a9cfaa6765f60f416\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"613\"/></p><p>Gartner</p><p></p><h2 id=\"id_1365448838\">Conclusion</h2><p>In my opinion, the conclusion remains the same as in my last article - Palantir is simply too expensive at this point to be a good investment. Especially, the ongoing high dilution of shares remains a huge problem and is requiring growth rates around 30% for free cash flow for Palantir to be fairly valued. And although Palantir was able to grow at such a high pace in the past, I don&#39;t think it can grow its top line 30% in the years to come - and with the free cash flow/revenue ratio being already close to 30% I don&#39;t see any &#34;margin improvement&#34; that might lead to higher free cash flow.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c7f66b7de56a56d4627eb3a02dd90a47\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"424\"/></p><p>Data by YCharts</p><p></p><p>And the fact that Palantir is still trading 45% below its previous all-time high does not change my assessment. It is only underlining that Palantir was even more overvalued before and certainly not investment-worthy in 2020 and early 2021.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir Technologies: The Market Is Too Optimistic</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir Technologies: The Market Is Too Optimistic\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-05-23 23:14 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4695171-palantir-technologies-stock-market-too-optimistic><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Palantir reported 21% top-line growth in Q1/24 and continued to improve its margins as especially commercial revenue is contributing to growth.The stock is still overvalued and considering the ongoing...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4695171-palantir-technologies-stock-market-too-optimistic\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"IE0034235188.USD":"PINEBRIDGE GLOBAL FOCUS EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4567":"ESG概念","IE0009356076.USD":"JANUS HENDERSON GLOBAL TECHNOLOGY AND INNOVATION \"A2\" (USD) ACC","NVDA":"英伟达","IE00B7KXQ091.USD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Inc USD","LU0289739343.SGD":"SUSTAINABLE GLOBAL THEMATIC PORTFOLIO \"A\" (SGD) ACC","LU0348723411.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL HI-TECH GROWTH \"A\" (USD) INC","IE00BFSS8Q28.SGD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Inc SGD-H","PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc.","BK4587":"ChatGPT概念","IE00BFSS7M15.SGD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Acc SGD-H","LU1861559042.SGD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B SGD","IE0004445239.USD":"JANUS HENDERSON US FORTY \"A2\" (USD) ACC","IE00B19Z9505.USD":"美盛-美国大盘成长股A Acc","LU0170899867.USD":"EASTSPRING INVESTMENTS WORLD VALUE EQUITY  \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4543":"AI","LU0072462426.USD":"贝莱德全球配置 A2","LU0079474960.USD":"联博美国增长基金A","GB00BDT5M118.USD":"天利环球扩展Alpha基金A Acc","IE00B1XK9C88.USD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0061474960.USD":"天利环球焦点基金AU Acc","IE00BJJMRY28.SGD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Inc SGD","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","LU0308772762.SGD":"Blackrock Global Allocation A2 SGD-H","IE00BKDWB100.SGD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A5H\" (SGDHDG) ACC","IE00BMPRXN33.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN 5G CONNECTIVITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4547":"WSB热门概念","LU0109392836.USD":"富兰克林科技股A","BK4549":"软银资本持仓","LU0175139822.USD":"AB FCP I Global Equity Blend A USD","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","IE00BWXC8680.SGD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A5\" (SGD) ACC","LU0320765059.SGD":"FTIF - Franklin US Opportunities A Acc SGD","IE00B3M56506.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN EMERGING MARKETS EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0289960550.SGD":"AB FCP I - GLOBAL EQUITY BLEND PORTFOLIO 'A' (SGD) ACC","IE00BD6J9T35.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN NEXT GENERATION MOBILITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","BK4592":"伊斯兰概念"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4695171-palantir-technologies-stock-market-too-optimistic","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2437202176","content_text":"Palantir reported 21% top-line growth in Q1/24 and continued to improve its margins as especially commercial revenue is contributing to growth.The stock is still overvalued and considering the ongoing dilution, PLTR has to grow about 30% to be fairly valued.The company is clearly hyped, and generative AI is at the top of the hype cycle right now.Michael ViIn the last few quarters, I was rather cautious about Palantir Technologies (NYSE:PLTR) and in my last few articles, I rated the stock as a \"Hold\" and my advice was to be rather cautious. At the end of November 2023, I wrote an article why it is difficult to justify Palantir's share price. In the meantime, Palantir still increased about 8%, but it underperformed the S&P 500 in the last six months, which increased about 16%.Data by YChartsSince the bottom around $7 less than a year ago, the stock has more than tripled in only a few quarters. In the last 18 months, Palantir's stock price increased 181%. The performance was not enough to outperform high-flyer NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) which increased 503% in the same timeframe, but Palantir outperformed the S&P 500 (SPY), which is already looking at a solid performance in the last 18 months.This also raises the question if I have been constantly wrong about Palantir in the last few quarters, or if the stock is just getting more and more overvalued, and we are seeing the typical late stages of a gigantic stock market bubble.First Quarter ResultsWhen trying to answer this question, we start by looking at the results Palantir reported. And despite any potential criticism (which we will articulate later in this article) we must acknowledge that Palantir is continuing to report great results and not only increasing the top line with a high pace but also continuing its path towards profitability.Data by YChartsOn May 06, 2024, Palantir reported first quarter results and revenue increased from $525.2 million in Q1/23 to $634.3 million in Q1/24 - resulting in 20.7% top-line growth. And on its path to becoming (more) profitable, Palantir saw its income from operations jump from $4.1 million in the same quarter last year to $80.9 million this quarter. Diluted net earnings per share quadrupled from $0.01 in Q1/23 to $0.04 in Q1/24.Palantir Q1/24 PresentationWhen looking at adjusted earnings per share, the picture is a little different. Adjusted EPS increased 60% from $0.05 in the same quarter last year to $0.08 this quarter. Only adjusted free cash flow declined from $188.9 in Q1/23 to $148.6 million in Q1/24 - resulting in a 21.3% YoY decline.While commercial revenue grew 27% year-over-year from $236 million in Q1/23 to $299 million in Q1/24 and the number of commercial customers increased 53% year-over-year from 280 to 427, government revenue increased only 16% YoY from $289 million in the same quarter last year to $335 million this quarter. And it clearly seems like the bootcamps are working and a good strategy to drive revenue growth. Since launching AIP in mid-2023, Palantir has complete AIP Bootcamps with more than 900 organizations in the United States and around the world.Palantir Q1/24 PresentationAnd during the fourth quarter, Palantir closed 87 deals with of volume of at least $1 million with 27 deals of at least $5 million and 15 deals of at least $10 million.Palantir Q1/24 PresentationExpectations For Fiscal 2024When looking at managements' expectations for fiscal 2024, revenue is estimated to be in a range between $2,677 million and $2,689 million for the full year. This is resulting in 20% to 21% year-over-year growth compared to revenue in fiscal 2023. Adjusted income from operations is expected to be between $868 million and $880 million. Compared to an adjusted income from operations, this would result in 37% to 39% year-over-year growth.Palantir Q1/24 PresentationAnd finally, adjusted free cash flow is expected to be between $800 million and $1,000 million. Palantir has a very narrow guidance for revenue and operating income, but for free cash flow we see the range getting much broader - reflecting the difficulties for management to make assumptions.Intrinsic Value CalculationOne of the main arguments that can be made against Palantir - at least over the midterm (maybe next 5-10 years) - are the extremely high valuation multiples the stock is trading for. At the time of writing, Palantir is trading for 177 times earnings, and nobody can dispute that such a high valuation multiple is not sustainable. However, we can make the counterargument that Palantir is not only able to grow its top line with a high pace (we will get to growth expectations later) but can also improve its margins and therefore earnings per share will grow with a much higher pace bringing the P/E ratio down quickly.Data by YChartsHowever, when looking at expected earnings per share for the next fiscal year ($0.33) we get a forward P/E ratio of 64 and that is still a very high valuation multiple. And we can even shift our attention away from the P/E ratio (which is definitely not the best metric here) towards the price-free-cash-flow ratio. At the time of writing, Palantir is trading for 77 times free cash flow, and such a valuation multiple still seems too high to be an acceptable metric.And while we can make the argument for earnings per share that improving margins will contribute to growth in the years to come, this argument is much more difficult to make for free cash flow.Data by YChartsIn the last four quarters, Palantir managed that almost one third of its revenue ended up as free cash flow and while an operating margin of 8.4% (TTM numbers) is certainly not impressive and many companies are able to achieve similar or higher operating margins, a free cash flow/revenue ratio of 27.5% is impressive and to be honest doesn't leave much room for improvement (it was already as high as 31% and in the coming years it is likely that the free cash flow/revenue ratio will decline again - especially in economic challenging times).And here we must use a discount cash flow calculation again. As the basis for our calculation, we are using the adjusted free cash flow of the last four quarters, which was $691 million, as well as the diluted number of outstanding shares (2,400 million on March 31, 2024). And as always, we take a 10% discount rate and are calculating with 6% growth until perpetuity in 10 years from now. To be fairly valued, Palantir has to grow its free cash flow 22% annually for the next ten years.As we have pointed out above, that growth must come solely from top-line growth, as it seems extremely unlikely for the free cash flow to sales ratio to being any higher than it is right now. And here it becomes questionable if Palantir can grow at such a high pace. Analysts are expecting revenue to grow with a CAGR of 17.39% for the next ten years (however, these estimates are mostly based on the opinion of one analyst).When looking at historic growth rates, Palantir grew revenue with a CAGR of 30% in the last five years and 27% in the last three years. This would be enough to make Palantir fairly valued at this point. But we also must see that quarterly revenue growth slowed down in the last few years - only in the last three quarters revenue growth accelerated again (and it remains to be seen if the trend can continue). But in the last few quarters, revenue growth was clearly below the rate which is required for Palantir to be fairly valued. And the last few quarters most likely have not been the worst economic environment a company can be in, and we must raise the question at what rates Palantir can grow if the economic environment is different.Data by YChartsBut even if Palantir is able to grow its top line 22% for the next ten years, another major problem remains (one I have pointed out in several articles). Palantir is diluting the number of outstanding shares at a high pace in the last few years and continues to do so. Over the last twelve months, Palantir increased the number of outstanding shares by 8.3% and assuming a similar dilution in the years to come, Palantir must grow its top line 30% annually to be fairly valued. And always remember, this is assuming that Palantir is able to keep free cash flow conversion at close to 30% of revenue (which is a huge challenge in my opinion).SentimentAnd one final point I made already in my last article about NVIDIA, I like to make here again because it is so important and describes the current sentiment in the stock market. In the article, I wrote at the end of the intrinsic value calculation:And finally, we are calculating here with a 10% discount rate. For those that don't already know this (because sometimes we must spell out things that seem otherwise obvious): A 10% discount rate is telling us that investing in Nvidia (under the assumptions made above) would generate a 10% return on investment annually. It means your investment will increase 10% the first year and another 10% the next year. To double your investment, it would take a little more than 7 years. I am just saying this as those people being extremely bullish about Nvidia are probably assuming to double, triple, or quadruple their investment in the next few quarters. A 10% annual return is extremely good, but it doesn't go hand-in-hand with the dream of becoming rich quickly.And the same is true for Palantir. Even if we assume that Palantir is fairly valued here, we have an investment return of 10% annually. And when assuming that Palantir is not able to achieve the necessary 23% to 30% top-line growth, the investment return for Palantir will drop into the single digits.But the fact that investors are not able to see this is characteristic for this final phase before the stock market hits its peak and the bubble will burst. It is also hinting towards another hype and bubble for Palantir as well. Investors (or speculators) are not buying Palantir based on fundamental analysis but due to irrational exuberance and the hope for extraordinary gains in a short time.And similar to NVIDIA - despite entirely different business models - both companies are profiting from the hype around artificial intelligence. And while the hype did not really lead to much higher growth rates for Palantir - in sharp contrast to NVIDIA - it led to much higher stock prices for Palantir. When looking at Gartner's hype cycle for emerging technologies, we see artificial intelligence and generative AI being on the peak of inflated expectations and I would make the argument that Palantir is profiting from that hype and the stock price is reflecting that hype.GartnerConclusionIn my opinion, the conclusion remains the same as in my last article - Palantir is simply too expensive at this point to be a good investment. Especially, the ongoing high dilution of shares remains a huge problem and is requiring growth rates around 30% for free cash flow for Palantir to be fairly valued. And although Palantir was able to grow at such a high pace in the past, I don't think it can grow its top line 30% in the years to come - and with the free cash flow/revenue ratio being already close to 30% I don't see any \"margin improvement\" that might lead to higher free cash flow.Data by YChartsAnd the fact that Palantir is still trading 45% below its previous all-time high does not change my assessment. It is only underlining that Palantir was even more overvalued before and certainly not investment-worthy in 2020 and early 2021.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":229,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":244483418042368,"gmtCreate":1700712365204,"gmtModify":1700712369555,"author":{"id":"3575503097657037","authorId":"3575503097657037","name":"Wealth98","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/91e78f617644143fd9a0573a2d063a8b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575503097657037","idStr":"3575503097657037"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"When such negative article written to press down a stock price , just wait and see , the stock price will reverse .&nbsp;","listText":"When such negative article written to press down a stock price , just wait and see , the stock price will reverse .&nbsp;","text":"When such negative article written to press down a stock price , just wait and see , the stock price will reverse .","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/244483418042368","repostId":"2385622376","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2385622376","pubTimestamp":1700712000,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2385622376?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-11-23 12:00","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"This Threat Could Keep NIO Stock Under $10 (for a Long Time)","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2385622376","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"Nio’s(NIO) layoffs signal trouble for the electric vehicle maker.Furthermore, Nio will have to face competition fromTesla’s cheaper EV model in Europe.Investors should be cautious with NIO stock now.S","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul style=\"\"><li><p><strong>Nio’s</strong> (<strong>NIO</strong>) layoffs signal trouble for the electric vehicle maker.</p></li><li><p>Furthermore, Nio will have to face competition from <strong>Tesla’s</strong> cheaper EV model in Europe.</p></li><li><p>Investors should be cautious with NIO stock now.</p></li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8f283dcf01ba7103e8690f23edfaaf8f\" alt=\"Source: Michael Vi / Shutterstock.com\" title=\"Source: Michael Vi / Shutterstock.com\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"432\"/><span>Source: Michael Vi / Shutterstock.com</span></p><p>Competition among electric vehicle manufacturers is never-ending, not only in the U.S. but worldwide. Some data points might lead investors to believe that China-based EV maker <strong>Nio</strong> (NYSE:<strong>NIO</strong>) is thriving amid the fierce competition. However, prospective NIO stock buyers need to be careful now as the recent news it’s all positive for Nio.</p><p>Ultimately, there’s a lesson to be learned when we discover Nio’s opportunities and problems. Don’t just read the top lines of a company’s press release. Stock traders must dig deeper and put all facts and figures in context. This principle applies to any company you may consider investing in, including Nio in 2023 and 2024.</p><h2 id=\"id_1466800877\">Good and Bad News for NIO Stock Investors</h2><p>Without a doubt, Nio’s press release for the company’s October delivery update got some stock traders excited. After all, right at the top of the page, it declares that Nio’s October 2023 EV deliveries increased 59.8% year over year.</p><p>This doesn’t tell the full story, though. As Louis Navellier and the <em>InvestorPlace</em> research staff pointed out, Nio’s October 2023 vehicle deliveries only increased 2.77% month over month. Meanwhile, <em>InvestorPlace</em>‘<em>s</em> Thomas Niel observed that Nio’s competitors in the EV space have demonstrated much stronger sequential sales growth.</p><p>Nio’s good news is overshadowed by some not-so-good news, requiring investors to dig for all the facts. Additionally, Nio’s management might try to spin the company’s planned 10% workforce reduction as a positive development. Stock traders should be skeptical, however.</p><p>Laying off 10% of the company’s staff will surely save Nio some money, but thriving companies don’t fire one out of 10 workers. In taking this drastic measure, Nio acknowledged the “fierce competition” in the EV market and admitted, “We still have a gap between our overall performance and expectations.”</p><h2 id=\"id_108604065\">Rival’s Cheaper EV Will Be a Problem for Nio</h2><p>NIO stock has already been cut in half since early August, and it could stay under $10 for a long time. Even if the bulls are optimistic about Nio’s recovery prospects, there’s a world-famous EV manufacturer that’s likely to undercut Nio’s progress in 2024.</p><p>As I just mentioned, Nio’s management acknowledged that it has to deal with “fierce competition.” Perhaps the toughest competition on a global scale will come from <strong>Tesla</strong> (NASDAQ:<strong>TSLA</strong>). As you probably know, Tesla started a price war that has put pressure on rival EV makers.</p><p>Now, Tesla is ramping up the pressure by planning a cheaper EV model in Europe. That’s relevant because Nio sells vehicles in Europe and in China.</p><p>According to a <em>Bloomberg</em> report, Nio’s more affordable EV model targeting European buyers will cost 25,000 euros ($26,863). Moreover, they will be manufactured at Tesla’s factory near Berlin, Germany.</p><p>Tesla’s more affordable European EV model could have a lasting, negative effect on NIO stock. Andy Wong, a fund manager at LW Asset Management Advisors Ltd., succinctly summed up the potential impact.</p><p>“The Tesla news could weigh on investor sentiment for its Chinese competitors, and Nio — with its weak financials and productions — could be more vulnerable to selling pressure,” Wong explained.</p><h2 id=\"id_3534942982\">Don’t Wait Around for NIO Stock to Recover</h2><p>Nio’s layoffs are a sign that the company is under relentless pressure from strong competition. Among the company’s toughest competitors is Tesla, which is preparing to produce affordable EVs in Europe.</p><p>Besides, even while Nio’s year-over-year EV deliveries are growing rapidly, the month-over-month growth isn’t very impressive. Investors shouldn’t expect NIO stock to get back to $10 anytime soon. For now, it’s prudent to find other companies, EV makers or otherwise, to put on your watch list.</p></body></html>","source":"investorplace_stock_picks","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>This Threat Could Keep NIO Stock Under $10 (for a Long Time)</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThis Threat Could Keep NIO Stock Under $10 (for a Long Time)\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-11-23 12:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://investorplace.com/2023/11/this-threat-could-keep-nio-stock-under-10-for-a-long-time/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Nio’s (NIO) layoffs signal trouble for the electric vehicle maker.Furthermore, Nio will have to face competition from Tesla’s cheaper EV model in Europe.Investors should be cautious with NIO stock now...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2023/11/this-threat-could-keep-nio-stock-under-10-for-a-long-time/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4505":"高瓴资本持仓","BK4581":"高盛持仓","LU0234572021.USD":"高盛美国核心股票组合Acc","BK4504":"桥水持仓","NIO":"蔚来","IE00BWXC8680.SGD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A5\" (SGD) ACC","LU0823414478.USD":"法巴经典能源转换基金","BK4511":"特斯拉概念","LU0097036916.USD":"贝莱德美国增长A2 USD","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","LU1852331112.SGD":"Blackrock World Technology Fund A2 SGD-H","IE00BSNM7G36.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN SYSTEMATIC GLOBAL SUSTAINABLE VALUE \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU1720051017.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence AT Acc H2-SGD","LU0316494557.USD":"FRANKLIN GLOBAL FUNDAMENTAL STRATEGIES \"A\" ACC","LU1861558580.USD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B","LU1548497426.USD":"安联环球人工智能AT Acc","LU0320764599.SGD":"FTIF - Templeton China A Acc SGD","LU1551013425.SGD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS H2-SGD","BK4592":"伊斯兰概念","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","BK4531":"中概回港概念","LU0052750758.USD":"富兰克林中国基金A Acc","LU0348723411.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL HI-TECH GROWTH \"A\" (USD) INC","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","09866":"蔚来-SW","BK4574":"无人驾驶","BK4555":"新能源车","LU0943347566.SGD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金AM H2-SGD","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","LU2357305700.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence ET H2-SGD","NIO.SI":"蔚来","LU0234570918.USD":"高盛全球核心股票组合Acc Close","LU1429558221.USD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity RA USD","BK4509":"腾讯概念","LU1861559042.SGD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B SGD","LU0823411888.USD":"法巴消费创新基金 Cap","LU0053666078.USD":"摩根大通基金-美国股票A（离岸）美元","LU1435385759.SGD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity RA SGD-H","BK4527":"明星科技股","LU0082616367.USD":"摩根大通美国科技A（dist）","LU1551013342.USD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS USD","IE00B1XK9C88.USD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4526":"热门中概股","BK4588":"碎股","LU1914381329.SGD":"Allianz Best Styles Global Equity Cl ET Acc H2-SGD","LU2249611893.SGD":"BNP PARIBAS ENERGY TRANSITION \"CRH\" (SGD) ACC","LU0820561909.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AM\" (HKD) INC"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2023/11/this-threat-could-keep-nio-stock-under-10-for-a-long-time/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2385622376","content_text":"Nio’s (NIO) layoffs signal trouble for the electric vehicle maker.Furthermore, Nio will have to face competition from Tesla’s cheaper EV model in Europe.Investors should be cautious with NIO stock now.Source: Michael Vi / Shutterstock.comCompetition among electric vehicle manufacturers is never-ending, not only in the U.S. but worldwide. Some data points might lead investors to believe that China-based EV maker Nio (NYSE:NIO) is thriving amid the fierce competition. However, prospective NIO stock buyers need to be careful now as the recent news it’s all positive for Nio.Ultimately, there’s a lesson to be learned when we discover Nio’s opportunities and problems. Don’t just read the top lines of a company’s press release. Stock traders must dig deeper and put all facts and figures in context. This principle applies to any company you may consider investing in, including Nio in 2023 and 2024.Good and Bad News for NIO Stock InvestorsWithout a doubt, Nio’s press release for the company’s October delivery update got some stock traders excited. After all, right at the top of the page, it declares that Nio’s October 2023 EV deliveries increased 59.8% year over year.This doesn’t tell the full story, though. As Louis Navellier and the InvestorPlace research staff pointed out, Nio’s October 2023 vehicle deliveries only increased 2.77% month over month. Meanwhile, InvestorPlace‘s Thomas Niel observed that Nio’s competitors in the EV space have demonstrated much stronger sequential sales growth.Nio’s good news is overshadowed by some not-so-good news, requiring investors to dig for all the facts. Additionally, Nio’s management might try to spin the company’s planned 10% workforce reduction as a positive development. Stock traders should be skeptical, however.Laying off 10% of the company’s staff will surely save Nio some money, but thriving companies don’t fire one out of 10 workers. In taking this drastic measure, Nio acknowledged the “fierce competition” in the EV market and admitted, “We still have a gap between our overall performance and expectations.”Rival’s Cheaper EV Will Be a Problem for NioNIO stock has already been cut in half since early August, and it could stay under $10 for a long time. Even if the bulls are optimistic about Nio’s recovery prospects, there’s a world-famous EV manufacturer that’s likely to undercut Nio’s progress in 2024.As I just mentioned, Nio’s management acknowledged that it has to deal with “fierce competition.” Perhaps the toughest competition on a global scale will come from Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA). As you probably know, Tesla started a price war that has put pressure on rival EV makers.Now, Tesla is ramping up the pressure by planning a cheaper EV model in Europe. That’s relevant because Nio sells vehicles in Europe and in China.According to a Bloomberg report, Nio’s more affordable EV model targeting European buyers will cost 25,000 euros ($26,863). Moreover, they will be manufactured at Tesla’s factory near Berlin, Germany.Tesla’s more affordable European EV model could have a lasting, negative effect on NIO stock. Andy Wong, a fund manager at LW Asset Management Advisors Ltd., succinctly summed up the potential impact.“The Tesla news could weigh on investor sentiment for its Chinese competitors, and Nio — with its weak financials and productions — could be more vulnerable to selling pressure,” Wong explained.Don’t Wait Around for NIO Stock to RecoverNio’s layoffs are a sign that the company is under relentless pressure from strong competition. Among the company’s toughest competitors is Tesla, which is preparing to produce affordable EVs in Europe.Besides, even while Nio’s year-over-year EV deliveries are growing rapidly, the month-over-month growth isn’t very impressive. Investors shouldn’t expect NIO stock to get back to $10 anytime soon. For now, it’s prudent to find other companies, EV makers or otherwise, to put on your watch list.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":409,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":238463673724984,"gmtCreate":1699254219965,"gmtModify":1699254224462,"author":{"id":"3575503097657037","authorId":"3575503097657037","name":"Wealth98","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/91e78f617644143fd9a0573a2d063a8b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575503097657037","idStr":"3575503097657037"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Fxxking love this FUD article, sell all you can or dump it , as for me , its an opportunity for me to scoop as much as I can .It's accumulating time .&nbsp;","listText":"Fxxking love this FUD article, sell all you can or dump it , as for me , its an opportunity for me to scoop as much as I can .It's accumulating time .&nbsp;","text":"Fxxking love this FUD article, sell all you can or dump it , as for me , its an opportunity for me to scoop as much as I can .It's accumulating time .","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/238463673724984","repostId":"2380018672","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":230,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":218324887208152,"gmtCreate":1694336895170,"gmtModify":1694336900851,"author":{"id":"3575503097657037","authorId":"3575503097657037","name":"Wealth98","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/91e78f617644143fd9a0573a2d063a8b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575503097657037","idStr":"3575503097657037"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"This article reminds me&nbsp;exactly what Tesla was like in early 2020 .I'm all in for PLTR .&nbsp;","listText":"This article reminds me&nbsp;exactly what Tesla was like in early 2020 .I'm all in for PLTR .&nbsp;","text":"This article reminds me exactly what Tesla was like in early 2020 .I'm all in for PLTR .","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/218324887208152","repostId":"2365827849","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2365827849","pubTimestamp":1694314755,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2365827849?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-09-10 10:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"PLTR Stock Alert: 3 Reasons to Avoid Palantir Right Now","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2365827849","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"Here's why I think long-term investors would be best-served steering clear of Palantir stock in this current environment.","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul style=\"\"><li><p>Investing in the stock market always comes with risks, and <strong>Palantir Technologies</strong> (<strong>PLTR</strong>) is no exception.</p></li><li><p>Despite its potential, it’s crucial for investors to be mindful of potential pitfalls in the market and the specific risks associated with PLTR.</p></li><li><p>As a leading entity in AI and machine learning software, Palantir has secured its presence in both the commercial and governmental sectors.</p></li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/868f54dc27ede187c4dc975d3d385276\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"432\"/></p><p>Source: Iljanaresvara Studio / Shutterstock.com</p><p>One of the more impressive winners in this year’s AI-driven rally has been <strong>Palantir Technologies</strong> (NYSE:<strong>PLTR</strong>). Palantir stock has surged nearly 140% since the beginning of the year on the back of impressive earnings and even more impressive expectations upgrades. </p><p>Of course, most investors know that the launch of ChatGPT in November 2022 sparked a rise in AI stocks. On many earnings calls, companies would squeeze in mentions of their work on artificial intelligence.</p><p>AI mentions in Q1 2023 earnings calls surged 64% year-over-year, as companies sought to reinvent themselves as AI plays.</p><p>For Palantir, a company in the big data and AI space for years, little reinventing was needed. This certainly helped the company’s stock price surge to the degree it has this year. That said, Palantir stock remains more than 50% below its all-time high, and I think more downside could be on the horizon.</p><p>Here’s why I think PLTR stock is one AI darling investors should avoid, or at least be cautious with, right now.</p><h2 id=\"id_1676265244\">Earnings Are Unstable</h2><p>Palantir recently announced its third consecutive profitable quarter with a Q2 net income of $28M ($0.01/share). That sounds good on its face, and it is.</p><p>However, the company’s nominal earnings per share value approximates zero, which isn’t great, considering Palantir has a history of prioritizing growth over profitability, which has led to investor concerns in the past.</p><p>Palantir saw a 13% year-over-year revenue increase. That’s great. However, its costs are rising at the same pace, leaving margins unchanged.</p><p>Despite landing many government contracts, expected to be profitable, the company isn’t generating significant cash flow.</p><p>Some analysts, like <strong>Wedbush’s</strong> Dan Ives, remain optimistic, raising their price target on Palantir stock by 15%. However, achieving success at a valuation of 16-times revenue is challenging.</p><p>While Palantir’s cloud software and AI platform are garnering attention, the company hasn’t provided new guidance. Though its customer base grew by 38%, this is a slowdown from the nearly 50% growth seen in 2021.</p><p>The stock previously rose from $4.30 to $20 because of speculation about the company’s potential to profit from AI. Despite this being a clear growth trigger, doubts remain about Palantir’s capability to leverage this growth trend.</p><p>Wedbush’s Dan Ives’ upbeat call led to a 15% stock uptick. However, with a valuation at 16 times sales and an unclear balance between hype and real growth, Palantir’s stock could bear substantial risk without faster revenue growth.</p><h2 id=\"id_1078105610\">Regulatory Issues and Palantir Stock</h2><p>Palantir’s strong market standing and pedigree might attract investors, yet broader concerns could cause hesitation. Richard Gardner, CEO of Modulus, pointed to the ongoing regulatory changes within the AI industry as a significant factor to monitor.</p><p>The future of AI software developers is unpredictable because of ongoing advancements in AI and machine learning, and potential regulatory changes. As Richard Gardner notes, upcoming regulations could significantly affect companies. </p><h2 id=\"id_2263448393\">What Now</h2><p>Despite a convincing performance earlier this year, Palantir’s stock may face hurdles due to forward-looking guidance and profit-taking. Until the firm shows consistent cash flow generation, it remains a speculative stock best observed from the sidelines.</p></body></html>","source":"investorplace_stock_picks","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>PLTR Stock Alert: 3 Reasons to Avoid Palantir Right Now</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPLTR Stock Alert: 3 Reasons to Avoid Palantir Right Now\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-09-10 10:59 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://investorplace.com/2023/09/pltr-stock-alert-3-reasons-to-avoid-palantir-right-now/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Investing in the stock market always comes with risks, and Palantir Technologies (PLTR) is no exception.Despite its potential, it’s crucial for investors to be mindful of potential pitfalls in the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2023/09/pltr-stock-alert-3-reasons-to-avoid-palantir-right-now/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4547":"WSB热门概念","BK4543":"AI","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4588":"碎股","BK4023":"应用软件","PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2023/09/pltr-stock-alert-3-reasons-to-avoid-palantir-right-now/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2365827849","content_text":"Investing in the stock market always comes with risks, and Palantir Technologies (PLTR) is no exception.Despite its potential, it’s crucial for investors to be mindful of potential pitfalls in the market and the specific risks associated with PLTR.As a leading entity in AI and machine learning software, Palantir has secured its presence in both the commercial and governmental sectors.Source: Iljanaresvara Studio / Shutterstock.comOne of the more impressive winners in this year’s AI-driven rally has been Palantir Technologies (NYSE:PLTR). Palantir stock has surged nearly 140% since the beginning of the year on the back of impressive earnings and even more impressive expectations upgrades. Of course, most investors know that the launch of ChatGPT in November 2022 sparked a rise in AI stocks. On many earnings calls, companies would squeeze in mentions of their work on artificial intelligence.AI mentions in Q1 2023 earnings calls surged 64% year-over-year, as companies sought to reinvent themselves as AI plays.For Palantir, a company in the big data and AI space for years, little reinventing was needed. This certainly helped the company’s stock price surge to the degree it has this year. That said, Palantir stock remains more than 50% below its all-time high, and I think more downside could be on the horizon.Here’s why I think PLTR stock is one AI darling investors should avoid, or at least be cautious with, right now.Earnings Are UnstablePalantir recently announced its third consecutive profitable quarter with a Q2 net income of $28M ($0.01/share). That sounds good on its face, and it is.However, the company’s nominal earnings per share value approximates zero, which isn’t great, considering Palantir has a history of prioritizing growth over profitability, which has led to investor concerns in the past.Palantir saw a 13% year-over-year revenue increase. That’s great. However, its costs are rising at the same pace, leaving margins unchanged.Despite landing many government contracts, expected to be profitable, the company isn’t generating significant cash flow.Some analysts, like Wedbush’s Dan Ives, remain optimistic, raising their price target on Palantir stock by 15%. However, achieving success at a valuation of 16-times revenue is challenging.While Palantir’s cloud software and AI platform are garnering attention, the company hasn’t provided new guidance. Though its customer base grew by 38%, this is a slowdown from the nearly 50% growth seen in 2021.The stock previously rose from $4.30 to $20 because of speculation about the company’s potential to profit from AI. Despite this being a clear growth trigger, doubts remain about Palantir’s capability to leverage this growth trend.Wedbush’s Dan Ives’ upbeat call led to a 15% stock uptick. However, with a valuation at 16 times sales and an unclear balance between hype and real growth, Palantir’s stock could bear substantial risk without faster revenue growth.Regulatory Issues and Palantir StockPalantir’s strong market standing and pedigree might attract investors, yet broader concerns could cause hesitation. Richard Gardner, CEO of Modulus, pointed to the ongoing regulatory changes within the AI industry as a significant factor to monitor.The future of AI software developers is unpredictable because of ongoing advancements in AI and machine learning, and potential regulatory changes. As Richard Gardner notes, upcoming regulations could significantly affect companies. What NowDespite a convincing performance earlier this year, Palantir’s stock may face hurdles due to forward-looking guidance and profit-taking. Until the firm shows consistent cash flow generation, it remains a speculative stock best observed from the sidelines.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":309,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":199459246674184,"gmtCreate":1689731573390,"gmtModify":1689731577011,"author":{"id":"3575503097657037","authorId":"3575503097657037","name":"Wealth98","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/91e78f617644143fd9a0573a2d063a8b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575503097657037","idStr":"3575503097657037"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"When&nbsp;will it get back to its glory&nbsp;days ?&nbsp;","listText":"When&nbsp;will it get back to its glory&nbsp;days ?&nbsp;","text":"When will it get back to its glory days ?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/199459246674184","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":259,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":199294037807128,"gmtCreate":1689691210876,"gmtModify":1689691214778,"author":{"id":"3575503097657037","authorId":"3575503097657037","name":"Wealth98","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/91e78f617644143fd9a0573a2d063a8b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575503097657037","idStr":"3575503097657037"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"As if they knew it&nbsp;all , I say we add on&nbsp;and hodl !&nbsp;","listText":"As if they knew it&nbsp;all , I say we add on&nbsp;and hodl !&nbsp;","text":"As if they knew it all , I say we add on and hodl !","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/199294037807128","repostId":"2352714903","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2352714903","pubTimestamp":1689693396,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2352714903?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-07-18 23:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Where Will Palantir Technologies Be in 3 Years?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2352714903","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The controversial data mining company's future still looks murky.","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2 id=\"id_240021817\" style=\"text-align: start;\">KEY POINTS</h2><ul><li><p>Palantir&#39;s sales soared in 2020 and 2021.</p></li><li><p>But its growth cooled in 2022, and the company expects it to slow even more in 2023.</p></li><li><p>Palantir should generate stable growth and rising profits over the next three years, but its high valuation could limit the stock&#39;s gains.</p></li></ul><p>It&#39;s been nearly three years since <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">Palantir</a> went public via a direct listing on Sept. 30, 2020. The data mining specialist&#39;s stock opened at $10 on the first day and nearly quadrupled to an all-time high of $39 on Jan. 27, 2021.</p><p>Bullish investors were initially impressed by Palantir&#39;s rapid growth, the resilience of its government contracts, and the expansion of its commercial business. But bearish sentiment began to spread as its growth cooled off and rising interest rates deflated its valuation. As a result, Palantir&#39;s stock plummeted to its all-time low of $5.84 on Jan. 24, 2023.</p><p>But after reaching that nadir, the stock nearly tripled to about $16. The bulls rushed back to Palantir -- as well as many other beaten-down growth and meme stocks -- as inflation cooled off and the markets warmed up again. Can Palantir maintain that momentum and head even higher over the next three years?</p><h2 id=\"id_2151814701\">What happened over the past three years?</h2><p>Palantir operates two main platforms: Gotham for government clients and Foundry for commercial clients. Both collect large amounts of data from disparate sources. Its customers -- which include the U.S. military, government agencies, and big companies like <strong>BP</strong> -- use that data to make crucial decisions. Some of its work with the U.S. government, particularly its usage of a customized version of Gotham to locate and deport undocumented immigrants, has been controversial.</p><p>Palantir&#39;s revenue rose 47% in 2020 and 41% in 2021. But after repeatedly claiming it could grow its top line by at least 30% through 2025, the company&#39;s revenue only jumped 24% to $1.91 billion in 2022 -- and it expects a 14%-17% increase in 2023.</p><p>Palantir blamed that slowdown on macro headwinds that hampered the expansion of its commercial business as big companies reined in their software spending. Its year-over-year growth in commercial revenue finally accelerated again in Q1 of 2023 -- which ended its three-quarter streak of decelerating growth as its U.S. business recovered -- but its overseas commercial business remains weak.</p><p>As Palantir&#39;s growth cools off, it&#39;s cutting costs and reducing its stock-based compensation expenses. Those cost-cutting efforts enabled it to turn profitable on a generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) basis over the past two quarters, and it expects to stay in the black for the remainder of 2023. In other words, Palantir is proving its business model is sustainable -- but its newfound stability might disappoint growth-oriented investors.</p><h2 id=\"id_2104659890\">What might happen over the next three years?</h2><p>Over the next three years, Palantir will likely continue to expand its commercial business to reduce its dependence on rigid government contracts. As the macro environment improves, the commercial segment (44% of its revenue in 2022) could gradually overtake the government business (56%) as its largest segment.</p><p>However, Palantir could still face some tough competitors in that market. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">Microsoft</a> are rolling out more data mining and analytics tools for their market-leading cloud infrastructure platforms. Other stand-alone competitors like <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AYX\">Alteryx</a> could further fragment that market.</p><p>Palantir&#39;s government business also isn&#39;t immune to competitive headwinds. For example, the U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) agency has reportedly been developing its own data collection platform called RAVEn to replace Gotham. If other agencies follow ICE&#39;s lead, Palantir&#39;s government sales could abruptly wither.</p><p>Faced with all these challenges, analysts expect Palantir&#39;s revenue to only rise at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 19%, from $1.9 billion in 2022 to $3.2 billion in 2025. But they also anticipate it will generate its first annual net profit of $115 million in 2023, and they see that figure more than tripling to $403 million in 2025. We should take those estimates with a grain of salt, but they suggest Palantir&#39;s growth will stabilize -- though not accelerate meaningfully -- over the next three years as the macro environment improves.</p><h2 id=\"id_3418335852\">But where will Palantir&#39;s stock be in three years?</h2><p>Palantir should keep growing through 2026, but its valuation could limit its gains. With an enterprise value (EV) of $32 billion, it still trades at 16 times this year sales. That EV-to-revenue ratio is arguably too rich for a company that is growing its revenue by less than 20% annually. By comparison, Alteryx -- which is expected to grow its revenue at a CAGR of 15% from 2022 to 2025 -- trades at just 3 times this year&#39;s sales.</p><p>Even if Palantir generates consistent GAAP profits and meets analysts&#39; expectations for a GAAP profit of $0.15 per share in 2025, it already trades for more than 100 times that estimate. Therefore, it seems unlikely that Palantir will revisit its all-time highs within the next three years (unless another meme stock rally occurs). Instead, I expect the stock will languish and underperform the market as investors finally realize that its halcyon days of 30%-50% sales growth are over.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Where Will Palantir Technologies Be in 3 Years?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhere Will Palantir Technologies Be in 3 Years?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-07-18 23:16 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2023/07/18/where-will-palantir-technologies-be-in-3-years/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>KEY POINTSPalantir's sales soared in 2020 and 2021.But its growth cooled in 2022, and the company expects it to slow even more in 2023.Palantir should generate stable growth and rising profits over ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2023/07/18/where-will-palantir-technologies-be-in-3-years/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2023/07/18/where-will-palantir-technologies-be-in-3-years/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2352714903","content_text":"KEY POINTSPalantir's sales soared in 2020 and 2021.But its growth cooled in 2022, and the company expects it to slow even more in 2023.Palantir should generate stable growth and rising profits over the next three years, but its high valuation could limit the stock's gains.It's been nearly three years since Palantir went public via a direct listing on Sept. 30, 2020. The data mining specialist's stock opened at $10 on the first day and nearly quadrupled to an all-time high of $39 on Jan. 27, 2021.Bullish investors were initially impressed by Palantir's rapid growth, the resilience of its government contracts, and the expansion of its commercial business. But bearish sentiment began to spread as its growth cooled off and rising interest rates deflated its valuation. As a result, Palantir's stock plummeted to its all-time low of $5.84 on Jan. 24, 2023.But after reaching that nadir, the stock nearly tripled to about $16. The bulls rushed back to Palantir -- as well as many other beaten-down growth and meme stocks -- as inflation cooled off and the markets warmed up again. Can Palantir maintain that momentum and head even higher over the next three years?What happened over the past three years?Palantir operates two main platforms: Gotham for government clients and Foundry for commercial clients. Both collect large amounts of data from disparate sources. Its customers -- which include the U.S. military, government agencies, and big companies like BP -- use that data to make crucial decisions. Some of its work with the U.S. government, particularly its usage of a customized version of Gotham to locate and deport undocumented immigrants, has been controversial.Palantir's revenue rose 47% in 2020 and 41% in 2021. But after repeatedly claiming it could grow its top line by at least 30% through 2025, the company's revenue only jumped 24% to $1.91 billion in 2022 -- and it expects a 14%-17% increase in 2023.Palantir blamed that slowdown on macro headwinds that hampered the expansion of its commercial business as big companies reined in their software spending. Its year-over-year growth in commercial revenue finally accelerated again in Q1 of 2023 -- which ended its three-quarter streak of decelerating growth as its U.S. business recovered -- but its overseas commercial business remains weak.As Palantir's growth cools off, it's cutting costs and reducing its stock-based compensation expenses. Those cost-cutting efforts enabled it to turn profitable on a generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) basis over the past two quarters, and it expects to stay in the black for the remainder of 2023. In other words, Palantir is proving its business model is sustainable -- but its newfound stability might disappoint growth-oriented investors.What might happen over the next three years?Over the next three years, Palantir will likely continue to expand its commercial business to reduce its dependence on rigid government contracts. As the macro environment improves, the commercial segment (44% of its revenue in 2022) could gradually overtake the government business (56%) as its largest segment.However, Palantir could still face some tough competitors in that market. Amazon and Microsoft are rolling out more data mining and analytics tools for their market-leading cloud infrastructure platforms. Other stand-alone competitors like Alteryx could further fragment that market.Palantir's government business also isn't immune to competitive headwinds. For example, the U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) agency has reportedly been developing its own data collection platform called RAVEn to replace Gotham. If other agencies follow ICE's lead, Palantir's government sales could abruptly wither.Faced with all these challenges, analysts expect Palantir's revenue to only rise at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 19%, from $1.9 billion in 2022 to $3.2 billion in 2025. But they also anticipate it will generate its first annual net profit of $115 million in 2023, and they see that figure more than tripling to $403 million in 2025. We should take those estimates with a grain of salt, but they suggest Palantir's growth will stabilize -- though not accelerate meaningfully -- over the next three years as the macro environment improves.But where will Palantir's stock be in three years?Palantir should keep growing through 2026, but its valuation could limit its gains. With an enterprise value (EV) of $32 billion, it still trades at 16 times this year sales. That EV-to-revenue ratio is arguably too rich for a company that is growing its revenue by less than 20% annually. By comparison, Alteryx -- which is expected to grow its revenue at a CAGR of 15% from 2022 to 2025 -- trades at just 3 times this year's sales.Even if Palantir generates consistent GAAP profits and meets analysts' expectations for a GAAP profit of $0.15 per share in 2025, it already trades for more than 100 times that estimate. Therefore, it seems unlikely that Palantir will revisit its all-time highs within the next three years (unless another meme stock rally occurs). Instead, I expect the stock will languish and underperform the market as investors finally realize that its halcyon days of 30%-50% sales growth are over.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":282,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9955459293,"gmtCreate":1675695884512,"gmtModify":1675695888442,"author":{"id":"3575503097657037","authorId":"3575503097657037","name":"Wealth98","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/91e78f617644143fd9a0573a2d063a8b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575503097657037","idStr":"3575503097657037"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hell ya , I am all in for Solana .&nbsp;","listText":"Hell ya , I am all in for Solana .&nbsp;","text":"Hell ya , I am all in for Solana .","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9955459293","repostId":"1129816728","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1129816728","pubTimestamp":1675697184,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1129816728?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-02-06 23:26","market":"other","language":"en","title":"3 Sorry Cryptos to Sell in February Before It’s Too Late","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1129816728","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"Here are three sorry cryptos to sell in February before it’s too late.Dogecoin(DOGE): DOGE is still ","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Here are three sorry cryptos to sell in February before it’s too late.</li><li><b>Dogecoin</b>(<b><u>DOGE</u></b>): DOGE is still just a meme token that was developed purely as a joke.</li><li><b>FTX Token</b>(<b><u>FTT</u></b>): The token tied to bankrupt cryptocurrency exchange FTX should be approached with extreme caution.</li><li><b>Solana</b>(<b><u>SOL</u></b>): This crypto is prone to being hacked and has some serious security vulnerabilities.</li></ul><p>Cryptocurrencies have been on a tear to start the year. <b>Bitcoin’s</b>(<b><u>BTC-USD</u></b>) price hit a six-month high near $24,000 following the latest interest rate hike from the Federal Reserve. Bitcoin had been trading below $16,000 last December. Other cryptos, including <b>Ethereum</b>(<b><u>ETH-USD</u></b>), are rallying too. In fact, the top 100 cryptocurrencies rose a combined 37% in January. With investors anticipating an end to the Fed’s rate hikes, many are turning bullish and again wading into cryptos. However, skeptics remain when it comes to digital coins and tokens. And some technical analysts say that the current rally of Bitcoin is likely to break down at $25,000 as it meets resistance. At this pivotal point for crypto, here are three sorry cryptos to sell in February before it’s too late.</p><p><b>Dogecoin (DOGE)</b></p><p>Still among the most speculative of cryptocurrencies, <b>Dogecoin</b>(<b><u>DOGE-USD</u></b>) has been rallying this year along with other digital assets. Since the start of January, the price of DOGE has risen 31% to 9 cents. While this year’s rally is encouraging, it doesn’t make Dogecoin a smart investment. This is, after all, still a meme token that features a cartoon drawing of a Shiba Inu dog and was developed by two software engineers as a joke.</p><p>Given its nature, DOGE is usually among the first cryptocurrencies to sell off at the first sign of trouble in the industry, and its declines can be steep. Doigecoin’s price was effectively cut in half in the last two months of 2022, falling from 14 cents on November 1 to 7 cents on December 31.</p><p>Such extreme volatility makes Dogecoin a dangerous investment and one investors should avoid. While the price is cheap, there are many other, more legitimate cryptocurrencies that investors can put their hard-earned capital towards.</p><p><b>FTX Token (FTT)</b></p><p>Believe it or not, a digital token tied to bankrupt cryptocurrency exchange FTX is still available to buy. And it has risen substantially this year along with other cryptos. So far in 2023, the <b>FTX Token</b>(<b><u>FTT-USD</u></b>) has gained 130%, rising from 84 cents to its current level of $2.04. This after FTX collapsed in spectacular fashion on Nov. 11 last year, with $8 billion of missing assets, more than one million creditors, and multiple charges of fraud levelled at co-founder Sam Bankman-Fried.</p><p>The implosion ofFTX led to contagion across the global crypto industry, leading other exchanges and lenders to freeze clients’ accounts, halt operations, and, in many cases, file for protection from creditors.</p><p>Yet all the drama and heartache doesn’t appear to have deterred investors from bidding up FTT. It’s a strange situation given that the FTX crypto exchange is unlikely to be revived, and Sam Bankman-Fried could spend years if not decades behind bars.</p><p>Why bet on FTT  with all of its baggage?</p><p><b>Solana (SOL)</b></p><p>Solana (<b>SOL-USD</b>) is a public blockchain platform that is able to facilitate smart contracts. Unlike the other cryptos on this list, SOL has some utility and a purpose. And its price has been skyrocketing this year, gaining 90%. However, Solana still poses a meaningful risk.</p><p>The biggest risk posed by it is that it is prone to being hacked. The most high-profile hack of the crypto occurred last year when $320 million of Ethereum was stolen from its platform.</p><p>Solana uses a “wormhole” to connect its blockchain to the Ethereum blockchain, and that connection lacks rigid security and has proven easy to hack. While the developers behind Solana insist they are working to improve its security protocols, there is still reason to be weary of future hacks.</p><p>That’s especially true since the latest data shows that hackers are targeting crypto more than ever. A newly released report from blockchain analytics firm <b>Chainalysis</b> shows that hackers stole a record $3.8 billion of cryptocurrencies in 2022, and the growth of losses from the hacking of cryptos shows no sign of slowing. Proceed with caution.</p></body></html>","source":"investorplace","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Sorry Cryptos to Sell in February Before It’s Too Late</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Sorry Cryptos to Sell in February Before It’s Too Late\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-02-06 23:26 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://investorplace.com/2023/02/3-sorry-cryptos-to-sell-in-february-before-its-too-late/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Here are three sorry cryptos to sell in February before it’s too late.Dogecoin(DOGE): DOGE is still just a meme token that was developed purely as a joke.FTX Token(FTT): The token tied to bankrupt ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2023/02/3-sorry-cryptos-to-sell-in-february-before-its-too-late/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2023/02/3-sorry-cryptos-to-sell-in-february-before-its-too-late/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1129816728","content_text":"Here are three sorry cryptos to sell in February before it’s too late.Dogecoin(DOGE): DOGE is still just a meme token that was developed purely as a joke.FTX Token(FTT): The token tied to bankrupt cryptocurrency exchange FTX should be approached with extreme caution.Solana(SOL): This crypto is prone to being hacked and has some serious security vulnerabilities.Cryptocurrencies have been on a tear to start the year. Bitcoin’s(BTC-USD) price hit a six-month high near $24,000 following the latest interest rate hike from the Federal Reserve. Bitcoin had been trading below $16,000 last December. Other cryptos, including Ethereum(ETH-USD), are rallying too. In fact, the top 100 cryptocurrencies rose a combined 37% in January. With investors anticipating an end to the Fed’s rate hikes, many are turning bullish and again wading into cryptos. However, skeptics remain when it comes to digital coins and tokens. And some technical analysts say that the current rally of Bitcoin is likely to break down at $25,000 as it meets resistance. At this pivotal point for crypto, here are three sorry cryptos to sell in February before it’s too late.Dogecoin (DOGE)Still among the most speculative of cryptocurrencies, Dogecoin(DOGE-USD) has been rallying this year along with other digital assets. Since the start of January, the price of DOGE has risen 31% to 9 cents. While this year’s rally is encouraging, it doesn’t make Dogecoin a smart investment. This is, after all, still a meme token that features a cartoon drawing of a Shiba Inu dog and was developed by two software engineers as a joke.Given its nature, DOGE is usually among the first cryptocurrencies to sell off at the first sign of trouble in the industry, and its declines can be steep. Doigecoin’s price was effectively cut in half in the last two months of 2022, falling from 14 cents on November 1 to 7 cents on December 31.Such extreme volatility makes Dogecoin a dangerous investment and one investors should avoid. While the price is cheap, there are many other, more legitimate cryptocurrencies that investors can put their hard-earned capital towards.FTX Token (FTT)Believe it or not, a digital token tied to bankrupt cryptocurrency exchange FTX is still available to buy. And it has risen substantially this year along with other cryptos. So far in 2023, the FTX Token(FTT-USD) has gained 130%, rising from 84 cents to its current level of $2.04. This after FTX collapsed in spectacular fashion on Nov. 11 last year, with $8 billion of missing assets, more than one million creditors, and multiple charges of fraud levelled at co-founder Sam Bankman-Fried.The implosion ofFTX led to contagion across the global crypto industry, leading other exchanges and lenders to freeze clients’ accounts, halt operations, and, in many cases, file for protection from creditors.Yet all the drama and heartache doesn’t appear to have deterred investors from bidding up FTT. It’s a strange situation given that the FTX crypto exchange is unlikely to be revived, and Sam Bankman-Fried could spend years if not decades behind bars.Why bet on FTT  with all of its baggage?Solana (SOL)Solana (SOL-USD) is a public blockchain platform that is able to facilitate smart contracts. Unlike the other cryptos on this list, SOL has some utility and a purpose. And its price has been skyrocketing this year, gaining 90%. However, Solana still poses a meaningful risk.The biggest risk posed by it is that it is prone to being hacked. The most high-profile hack of the crypto occurred last year when $320 million of Ethereum was stolen from its platform.Solana uses a “wormhole” to connect its blockchain to the Ethereum blockchain, and that connection lacks rigid security and has proven easy to hack. While the developers behind Solana insist they are working to improve its security protocols, there is still reason to be weary of future hacks.That’s especially true since the latest data shows that hackers are targeting crypto more than ever. A newly released report from blockchain analytics firm Chainalysis shows that hackers stole a record $3.8 billion of cryptocurrencies in 2022, and the growth of losses from the hacking of cryptos shows no sign of slowing. Proceed with caution.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":222,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9998641604,"gmtCreate":1660990709812,"gmtModify":1676536436139,"author":{"id":"3575503097657037","authorId":"3575503097657037","name":"Wealth98","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/91e78f617644143fd9a0573a2d063a8b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575503097657037","idStr":"3575503097657037"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Fud article ...&nbsp;","listText":"Fud article ...&nbsp;","text":"Fud article ...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9998641604","repostId":"1161973648","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1161973648","pubTimestamp":1660961604,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1161973648?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-20 10:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Bitcoin: Black Swans Are Lurking","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1161973648","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryBitcoin's blow-off top at $25k on August 14th signifies the end of a reflexive rally, representing the \"return to normal\" stage of a bubble.We anticipate Bitcoin is entering \"phase 2\" of its fi","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Bitcoin&#39;s blow-off top at $25k on August 14th signifies the end of a reflexive rally, representing the &#34;return to normal&#34; stage of a bubble.</li><li>We anticipate Bitcoin is entering &#34;phase 2&#34; of its first-ever bear market, which can decrease BTC by another 60% to 80%.</li><li>Tight monetary conditions, regulatory encroachment into crypto, pending collapses/insolvencies, and the spread of Monkeypox can push Bitcoin to $13k, $11k, or $8k - $5k by November 2022.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06049fcdc1faaaf8e98c02d34d25e737\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>rayisa</span></p><p><b>Bitcoin: This Time Is Different!</b></p><p>As opposed to the grassroots movement it once was, institutional fund flows primarily drove Bitcoin&#39;s (BTC-USD) most recent bull trend. In 2020, the US Federal Reserve lowered interest rates to 0 and provided over $2.3 trillionin loans to support the economy. This, combined with Covid-19 stimulus checks given directly to citizens, worked to funnel billions of excess liquidity into the crypto casino.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4ad60d9dee720c7827a97c38a6feb675\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"315\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>BTC:USD - 2W (TradingView)</span></p><p>With Bitcoin&#39;s unraveling and dip below $20k, much of the magic surrounding cryptocurrencies has diminished. We believe the current bear market is forcing investors to realize numerous hard truths, including:</p><ol><li>Bitcoin&#39;s unsustainable growth rate,</li><li>Incoming regulations for Ethereum (ETH-USD) and DeFi,</li><li>The crypto market&#39;s <i>over-reliance</i> on loose monetary policy and a bullish stock market.</li></ol><p>After a violent rally from June 18th to August 15th, Bitcoin&#39;s all-time chart has one of the most bearish patterns I&#39;ve ever seen. To understand this, you must note that a backdrop of<i>favorable financial conditions</i>has characterized Bitcoin&#39;s entire existence. This includes 13 years with a Federal Funds rate between 0% - 2%, promoting a consistently bullish market for stocks.</p><p>Now, when faced with a<i>bearish</i>stock market and<i>high</i>rates, we expect Bitcoin&#39;s price will plummet.</p><p><b>Bitcoin All-Time Price Chart</b></p><p>The chart below compares Bitcoin vs. the NASDAQ-100 index (NDX). Observably, an increasing stock market has always supported Bitcoin:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dbbc9b759a44f7933564ded412fb9314\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"269\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>BTC:USD - 2W (TradingView)</span></p><p>Amidst such <i>extensively beneficial</i> market conditions, Bitcoin&#39;s price has swung bullishly between two massive hype cycles (firstly driven by retail from 2012 to 2017 and secondly by institutions from 2018 to 2021). These hype cycles are identified with the green and red boxes in the chart above.</p><ul><li>Bitcoin&#39;s hype cycles together form a decade-long 5-wave impulsive movement that peaks at $68k/BTC (identified with the orange lines).</li></ul><p>Therefore, the data shows that Bitcoin&#39;s growth rate has always been supported by a beneficial market that promoted increasing hype. This hype emerged as retail FOMO in 2017 and institutional FOMO in 2021. (<i>Up next could be nation-state FOMO. We aren&#39;t kidding. If there is another &#34;cryptocurrency cycle,&#34; it could see governments FOMO into Bitcoin in efforts to mitigate inflation</i>).</p><p>As monetary conditions tighten and stocks collapse, we believe Bitcoin&#39;s previous growth trend is no longer sustainable. Consequently, we expect Bitcoin will decline to <i>at least</i> $13.7k (precisely 80% below its all-time high) by November.</p><ul><li>Going forward, further downside in Bitcoin (and all other cryptocurrencies) can be powered by worsening economic conditions, increasing regulatory pressure, and the shattering of many deeply held cryptocurrency beliefs.</li><li>We expect new regulations will soon require Ethereum applications to collect user information.</li><li>We&#39;re also exceedingly worried about the ongoingDOJ probe into Tether(USDT-USD); we suspect more crypto exchange insolvencies are on the way, and we expect global Monkeypox cases will worsen into 2023.</li></ul><p><b>Bitcoin TA Shows Another 60% Decline</b></p><p>Technically speaking, Bitcoin has moved impressively bullish since bottoming at $17,637 on June 18th, 2022. However, indicators have since rapidly shifted<i>bearish,</i>prompting us to believe the rally is over. Currently, the most significant bearish indicators include:</p><ul><li>A 5-wave impulsive movement that ended with a blow-off top at $25k,</li><li>the daily MACD negatively crossing 0,</li><li>the daily/weekly trendlines remain untested.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/761c7bbe9eaa8132d4fbcd6b8fa72ed7\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"316\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>BTC:USD - 1D (TradingView)</span></p><p>In our previous article, we identified Bitcoin was moving in a <i>reflexive rally</i> powered by<i>less bad</i>economic conditions and positive investor sentiment. Although we expected the bull trend to last until mid-September, recent government action against Tornado Cash appears to have killed the hype:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bb3b89df931566e267cc18e520965fb3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"315\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>BTC:USD - 1H (TradingView)</span></p><p>The chart below uses multi-timeframe trendlines to determine Bitcoin&#39;s speed, direction, and significant support levels. TrendSpider indicates Bitcoin is moving in an approximately 35-degree downtrend, projected to reach weekly support at $8k - $5k between October and November 2022. This projection is over 60% below Bitcoin&#39;s current price!</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/13a0514bb05bd64ce0bcc045a3283170\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"362\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>BTC:USD - 1D (TrendSpider)</span></p><p>Zooming out, we believe TrendSpider&#39;s weekly trendlines reflect Bitcoin&#39;s <i>real</i> logarithmic growth curves (as opposed to the fake curve often circulated). Accordingly, we expect Bitcoin to move like a &#34;bowling ball thrown out a window&#34; until reaching $10k psychological support or weekly trendline support between $8k - $5k.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/796db43ff5d73d88d492a35e626ae320\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"362\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>BTC:USD - 1W (TrendSpider)</span></p><p>Hence, Bitcoin&#39;s technicals are all signaling bearish. To conclude, we&#39;re planning for three possibilities to trade Bitcoin&#39;s bottom:</p><ol><li>The bottom is in, and Bitcoin will now resume its long-term bull trend.</li><li>Bitcoin will mirror previous cycles and bottom approximately 80% below its all-time high, located around $13.7k - $11k.</li><li>Fear caused by new cryptocurrency regulations and worsening financial conditions will push Bitcoin below $10k. In this scenario, we expect BTC to find support at its weekly trendlines between $8k - $5k.</li></ol><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4449d83f87efa2a1cd3cfb2cb066f6f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"332\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>BTC:USD - 2W (TradingView)</span></p><p><b>Bitcoin&#39;s First True Bear Market</b></p><p>By observing Bitcoin&#39;s lifetime of price action, we can see that Bitcoin&#39;s long-term bull trend has always been powered by hype (where investors allocate funds <i>in anticipation</i> of more investors entering crypto) as well as beneficial circumstances (including loose monetary policy, an increasing stock market, and lack of regulations). After over a decade of advantageous conditions, Bitcoin is now facing<i>the opposite</i>of each of these dynamics.</p><p>In our view, Bitcoin&#39;s recent 75% downtrend from November 2021 to June 2022 represents &#39;phase 1&#39; of a much larger bear market. In fact, we believe Bitcoin is currently entering its first-ever <i>real</i> bear market.</p><p>As shown in the chart below, the last two Bitcoin &#39;bear markets&#39; <i>weren&#39;t actually bear markets.</i> Instead, they were bull market corrections!</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/db68ad989673aafb983acbfdf6ef8dc5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"332\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>BTC:USD - 2W (TradingView)</span></p><p>At the time of writing, Bitcoin has yet to enter its <i>true</i> bear market territory. We believe Bitcoin&#39;s first bear market begins below $20k, upon which all of the most famous bull trend indicators will become invalid.</p><p>While Bitcoin&#39;s stock-to-flowmodel and logarithmic growth curvesare already broken, we expect Bitcoin&#39;s Pi Cycle indicator (shown below) is the next to break:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1ed4a896fd6b61d52a0f24867a6da507\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"324\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>BTC:USD - 2W (TradingView)</span></p><p><b>Incoming Black Swan Events</b></p><p>So far, we&#39;ve covered Bitcoin&#39;s bearish technicals and fundamentals. We also explained why we expect an impending crash will be Bitcoin&#39;s<i>worst ever</i>. Going forward, we&#39;re anticipating the following &#39;Black Swan&#39; events will power a violent downturn:</p><p><b>1) Stock Market Collapse</b></p><p>Despite the past 7-month downtrend, the NASDAQ-100 index is still<i>overvalued</i>relative to its long-term base-level trendline:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d58fcfab0b93b5fbc217eca0329f8f91\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"268\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>NDX:USD - 1W (TradingView)</span></p><p>As shown above, the similarities between the Nasdaq&#39;s current structure to 2008 and 1999 are uncanny. If NDX is destined to crash like the dot-com bubble, this will decrease the index by another 64%.</p><p><b>2) Cryptocurrency Regulation</b></p><p>As previously stated, the US government sanctioned the Ethereum mixer application &#39;Tornado Cash&#39; on August 8th, 2022. As regulatory uncertainty has haunted cryptocurrencies for years, we believe the recent government action against Tornado Cash represents one of<i>many</i>attacks soon to come.</p><p>Furthermore, the Tornado Cash sanction proved that Ethereum is not censorship-resistant. This flies in the face of millions of ETH investors (including myself) who previously assumed Ethereum applications were immune to government censorship.</p><p>Therefore, we expect <i>increasing regulation</i> and the <i>relinquishment of previously held beliefs</i> will drive the prices of Ethereum and its DeFi economy much lower.</p><blockquote>Laura Shin&#39;s &#39;Unchained&#39; podcast episode with Dave Jevans, CEO of Cipher Trace, is the best source I&#39;ve found to discover incoming cryptocurrency regulations.</blockquote><p><b>3) Tether Collapse</b></p><p>The Tether stablecoin represents another dynamic that has haunted the crypto market for years. In 2018, two university professors released a 60-page report detailing how Tether used market manipulation tactics to boost Bitcoin&#39;s price during the 2017 rally.</p><p>Although the crypto market has ignored this controversy for years, the US Department of Justice has recently moved to re-open their investigation into Tether. As the crypto market&#39;s largest stablecoin (valued at $43 billion), it&#39;s reasonable to assume that a Tether bank fraud conviction would negatively affect cryptocurrency prices.</p><p><b>4) Exchange Insolvencies</b></p><p>&#34;Phase 1&#34; of Bitcoin&#39;s bear market (from $68k to $17k) saw numerous cryptocurrency lenders declare insolvency. During Phase 2 of the downtrend (which will bring Bitcoin below $20k), we believe more exchanges and lenders will declare insolvency/bankruptcy.</p><p>Notably, in a move similar to Celsius and Voyager&#39;s pre-insolvency actions, Crypto.com (CRO-USD) has recently decreased the rewards paid to its credit card holders. Although this doesn&#39;t<i>prove</i>anything, it&#39;s objectively not a good sign.</p><p><b>5) Monkeypox</b></p><p>Lastly, we believe the Monkeypox virus represents a significant &#39;black swan&#39; event that markets aren&#39;t pricing in. As of August 18th, 2022, there are 38,735 confirmed global Monkeypox cases and 2,446 suspected cases:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c26dd7ca82e31f91a6c9b4f244da256\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"327\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Cumulative Confirmed Monkeypox Cases (monkeypox.global.health)</span></p><p>Although it&#39;s unlikely that Monkeypox will spread as quickly as Covid-19, it is worth noting that cumulative international Monkeypox cases are currently at the same number as Covid-19 during February 2020:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51042d06277e56a3fa14ecf273febd78\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"452\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Covid-19 Cumulative Confirmed Cases (Our World In Data)</span></p><p>We anticipate Monkeypox will develop into a much larger issue as cases increase into 2023. Raising monkeypox cases could frighten many citizens, prompting them to seek vaccinations from a dwindling supply.</p><p><b>Short Trades</b></p><p>Currently, we&#39;re margin short Bitcoin with an entry at $24.2k, and we&#39;re short Ethereum at $1902. We&#39;re also short Uniswap (UNI-USD) and Curve Finance (CRV-USD), as we expect incoming cryptocurrency regulations will seriously damage these protocols.</p><p><b>Risks</b></p><p>Trends in macroeconomics and central bank policy support our bearish outlook for Bitcoin. Risks include any<i>hint</i>of dovishness from the Fed (which would rocket markets higher) and uncertainties surrounding the November 2022 Congressional elections. Markets may bounce if the Republicans win the majority in the House of Representatives. Alternatively, we expect a heavy dump if the Democrats win.</p><p>Additionally, investors should continue to expect each month&#39;s inflation print and economic data to affect prices heavily.</p><p><b>Key Takeaways</b></p><ul><li>After 13 years of beneficial financial conditions and two massive hype cycles, Bitcoin is poised for its biggest crash ever (its first<i>real</i>bear market).</li><li>We anticipate this downturn can push Bitcoin to $13k - $11k or to $8k - $5k.</li><li>Majorly detrimental events are brewing beneath the crypto market&#39;s surface, including regulatory encroachment, a worsening economy, poor financial conditions, and the spread of the Monkeypox virus.</li></ul><p><i>This article was written by Bitfreedom Research. </i><i>This document is for reference only.</i></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bitcoin: Black Swans Are Lurking</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBitcoin: Black Swans Are Lurking\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-20 10:13 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4535755-bitcoin-black-swans-lurking><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryBitcoin's blow-off top at $25k on August 14th signifies the end of a reflexive rally, representing the \"return to normal\" stage of a bubble.We anticipate Bitcoin is entering \"phase 2\" of its ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4535755-bitcoin-black-swans-lurking\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GBTC":"Grayscale Bitcoin Trust"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4535755-bitcoin-black-swans-lurking","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1161973648","content_text":"SummaryBitcoin's blow-off top at $25k on August 14th signifies the end of a reflexive rally, representing the \"return to normal\" stage of a bubble.We anticipate Bitcoin is entering \"phase 2\" of its first-ever bear market, which can decrease BTC by another 60% to 80%.Tight monetary conditions, regulatory encroachment into crypto, pending collapses/insolvencies, and the spread of Monkeypox can push Bitcoin to $13k, $11k, or $8k - $5k by November 2022.rayisaBitcoin: This Time Is Different!As opposed to the grassroots movement it once was, institutional fund flows primarily drove Bitcoin's (BTC-USD) most recent bull trend. In 2020, the US Federal Reserve lowered interest rates to 0 and provided over $2.3 trillionin loans to support the economy. This, combined with Covid-19 stimulus checks given directly to citizens, worked to funnel billions of excess liquidity into the crypto casino.BTC:USD - 2W (TradingView)With Bitcoin's unraveling and dip below $20k, much of the magic surrounding cryptocurrencies has diminished. We believe the current bear market is forcing investors to realize numerous hard truths, including:Bitcoin's unsustainable growth rate,Incoming regulations for Ethereum (ETH-USD) and DeFi,The crypto market's over-reliance on loose monetary policy and a bullish stock market.After a violent rally from June 18th to August 15th, Bitcoin's all-time chart has one of the most bearish patterns I've ever seen. To understand this, you must note that a backdrop offavorable financial conditionshas characterized Bitcoin's entire existence. This includes 13 years with a Federal Funds rate between 0% - 2%, promoting a consistently bullish market for stocks.Now, when faced with abearishstock market andhighrates, we expect Bitcoin's price will plummet.Bitcoin All-Time Price ChartThe chart below compares Bitcoin vs. the NASDAQ-100 index (NDX). Observably, an increasing stock market has always supported Bitcoin:BTC:USD - 2W (TradingView)Amidst such extensively beneficial market conditions, Bitcoin's price has swung bullishly between two massive hype cycles (firstly driven by retail from 2012 to 2017 and secondly by institutions from 2018 to 2021). These hype cycles are identified with the green and red boxes in the chart above.Bitcoin's hype cycles together form a decade-long 5-wave impulsive movement that peaks at $68k/BTC (identified with the orange lines).Therefore, the data shows that Bitcoin's growth rate has always been supported by a beneficial market that promoted increasing hype. This hype emerged as retail FOMO in 2017 and institutional FOMO in 2021. (Up next could be nation-state FOMO. We aren't kidding. If there is another \"cryptocurrency cycle,\" it could see governments FOMO into Bitcoin in efforts to mitigate inflation).As monetary conditions tighten and stocks collapse, we believe Bitcoin's previous growth trend is no longer sustainable. Consequently, we expect Bitcoin will decline to at least $13.7k (precisely 80% below its all-time high) by November.Going forward, further downside in Bitcoin (and all other cryptocurrencies) can be powered by worsening economic conditions, increasing regulatory pressure, and the shattering of many deeply held cryptocurrency beliefs.We expect new regulations will soon require Ethereum applications to collect user information.We're also exceedingly worried about the ongoingDOJ probe into Tether(USDT-USD); we suspect more crypto exchange insolvencies are on the way, and we expect global Monkeypox cases will worsen into 2023.Bitcoin TA Shows Another 60% DeclineTechnically speaking, Bitcoin has moved impressively bullish since bottoming at $17,637 on June 18th, 2022. However, indicators have since rapidly shiftedbearish,prompting us to believe the rally is over. Currently, the most significant bearish indicators include:A 5-wave impulsive movement that ended with a blow-off top at $25k,the daily MACD negatively crossing 0,the daily/weekly trendlines remain untested.BTC:USD - 1D (TradingView)In our previous article, we identified Bitcoin was moving in a reflexive rally powered byless badeconomic conditions and positive investor sentiment. Although we expected the bull trend to last until mid-September, recent government action against Tornado Cash appears to have killed the hype:BTC:USD - 1H (TradingView)The chart below uses multi-timeframe trendlines to determine Bitcoin's speed, direction, and significant support levels. TrendSpider indicates Bitcoin is moving in an approximately 35-degree downtrend, projected to reach weekly support at $8k - $5k between October and November 2022. This projection is over 60% below Bitcoin's current price!BTC:USD - 1D (TrendSpider)Zooming out, we believe TrendSpider's weekly trendlines reflect Bitcoin's real logarithmic growth curves (as opposed to the fake curve often circulated). Accordingly, we expect Bitcoin to move like a \"bowling ball thrown out a window\" until reaching $10k psychological support or weekly trendline support between $8k - $5k.BTC:USD - 1W (TrendSpider)Hence, Bitcoin's technicals are all signaling bearish. To conclude, we're planning for three possibilities to trade Bitcoin's bottom:The bottom is in, and Bitcoin will now resume its long-term bull trend.Bitcoin will mirror previous cycles and bottom approximately 80% below its all-time high, located around $13.7k - $11k.Fear caused by new cryptocurrency regulations and worsening financial conditions will push Bitcoin below $10k. In this scenario, we expect BTC to find support at its weekly trendlines between $8k - $5k.BTC:USD - 2W (TradingView)Bitcoin's First True Bear MarketBy observing Bitcoin's lifetime of price action, we can see that Bitcoin's long-term bull trend has always been powered by hype (where investors allocate funds in anticipation of more investors entering crypto) as well as beneficial circumstances (including loose monetary policy, an increasing stock market, and lack of regulations). After over a decade of advantageous conditions, Bitcoin is now facingthe oppositeof each of these dynamics.In our view, Bitcoin's recent 75% downtrend from November 2021 to June 2022 represents 'phase 1' of a much larger bear market. In fact, we believe Bitcoin is currently entering its first-ever real bear market.As shown in the chart below, the last two Bitcoin 'bear markets' weren't actually bear markets. Instead, they were bull market corrections!BTC:USD - 2W (TradingView)At the time of writing, Bitcoin has yet to enter its true bear market territory. We believe Bitcoin's first bear market begins below $20k, upon which all of the most famous bull trend indicators will become invalid.While Bitcoin's stock-to-flowmodel and logarithmic growth curvesare already broken, we expect Bitcoin's Pi Cycle indicator (shown below) is the next to break:BTC:USD - 2W (TradingView)Incoming Black Swan EventsSo far, we've covered Bitcoin's bearish technicals and fundamentals. We also explained why we expect an impending crash will be Bitcoin'sworst ever. Going forward, we're anticipating the following 'Black Swan' events will power a violent downturn:1) Stock Market CollapseDespite the past 7-month downtrend, the NASDAQ-100 index is stillovervaluedrelative to its long-term base-level trendline:NDX:USD - 1W (TradingView)As shown above, the similarities between the Nasdaq's current structure to 2008 and 1999 are uncanny. If NDX is destined to crash like the dot-com bubble, this will decrease the index by another 64%.2) Cryptocurrency RegulationAs previously stated, the US government sanctioned the Ethereum mixer application 'Tornado Cash' on August 8th, 2022. As regulatory uncertainty has haunted cryptocurrencies for years, we believe the recent government action against Tornado Cash represents one ofmanyattacks soon to come.Furthermore, the Tornado Cash sanction proved that Ethereum is not censorship-resistant. This flies in the face of millions of ETH investors (including myself) who previously assumed Ethereum applications were immune to government censorship.Therefore, we expect increasing regulation and the relinquishment of previously held beliefs will drive the prices of Ethereum and its DeFi economy much lower.Laura Shin's 'Unchained' podcast episode with Dave Jevans, CEO of Cipher Trace, is the best source I've found to discover incoming cryptocurrency regulations.3) Tether CollapseThe Tether stablecoin represents another dynamic that has haunted the crypto market for years. In 2018, two university professors released a 60-page report detailing how Tether used market manipulation tactics to boost Bitcoin's price during the 2017 rally.Although the crypto market has ignored this controversy for years, the US Department of Justice has recently moved to re-open their investigation into Tether. As the crypto market's largest stablecoin (valued at $43 billion), it's reasonable to assume that a Tether bank fraud conviction would negatively affect cryptocurrency prices.4) Exchange Insolvencies\"Phase 1\" of Bitcoin's bear market (from $68k to $17k) saw numerous cryptocurrency lenders declare insolvency. During Phase 2 of the downtrend (which will bring Bitcoin below $20k), we believe more exchanges and lenders will declare insolvency/bankruptcy.Notably, in a move similar to Celsius and Voyager's pre-insolvency actions, Crypto.com (CRO-USD) has recently decreased the rewards paid to its credit card holders. Although this doesn'tproveanything, it's objectively not a good sign.5) MonkeypoxLastly, we believe the Monkeypox virus represents a significant 'black swan' event that markets aren't pricing in. As of August 18th, 2022, there are 38,735 confirmed global Monkeypox cases and 2,446 suspected cases:Cumulative Confirmed Monkeypox Cases (monkeypox.global.health)Although it's unlikely that Monkeypox will spread as quickly as Covid-19, it is worth noting that cumulative international Monkeypox cases are currently at the same number as Covid-19 during February 2020:Covid-19 Cumulative Confirmed Cases (Our World In Data)We anticipate Monkeypox will develop into a much larger issue as cases increase into 2023. Raising monkeypox cases could frighten many citizens, prompting them to seek vaccinations from a dwindling supply.Short TradesCurrently, we're margin short Bitcoin with an entry at $24.2k, and we're short Ethereum at $1902. We're also short Uniswap (UNI-USD) and Curve Finance (CRV-USD), as we expect incoming cryptocurrency regulations will seriously damage these protocols.RisksTrends in macroeconomics and central bank policy support our bearish outlook for Bitcoin. Risks include anyhintof dovishness from the Fed (which would rocket markets higher) and uncertainties surrounding the November 2022 Congressional elections. Markets may bounce if the Republicans win the majority in the House of Representatives. Alternatively, we expect a heavy dump if the Democrats win.Additionally, investors should continue to expect each month's inflation print and economic data to affect prices heavily.Key TakeawaysAfter 13 years of beneficial financial conditions and two massive hype cycles, Bitcoin is poised for its biggest crash ever (its firstrealbear market).We anticipate this downturn can push Bitcoin to $13k - $11k or to $8k - $5k.Majorly detrimental events are brewing beneath the crypto market's surface, including regulatory encroachment, a worsening economy, poor financial conditions, and the spread of the Monkeypox virus.This article was written by Bitfreedom Research. This document is for reference only.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":332,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9002386929,"gmtCreate":1641915809274,"gmtModify":1676533661692,"author":{"id":"3575503097657037","authorId":"3575503097657037","name":"Wealth98","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/91e78f617644143fd9a0573a2d063a8b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575503097657037","idStr":"3575503097657037"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls do so , what ever you please , funds will flock back&nbsp;to equities and Cryptos eventually , no one willgives a hoot on&nbsp;long term&nbsp;bonds . Yield rise in bonds&nbsp;are&nbsp;transitory.&nbsp;","listText":"Pls do so , what ever you please , funds will flock back&nbsp;to equities and Cryptos eventually , no one willgives a hoot on&nbsp;long term&nbsp;bonds . Yield rise in bonds&nbsp;are&nbsp;transitory.&nbsp;","text":"Pls do so , what ever you please , funds will flock back to equities and Cryptos eventually , no one willgives a hoot on long term bonds . Yield rise in bonds are transitory.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9002386929","repostId":"1181127157","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":557,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":811679733,"gmtCreate":1630322193223,"gmtModify":1676530268016,"author":{"id":"3575503097657037","authorId":"3575503097657037","name":"Wealth98","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/91e78f617644143fd9a0573a2d063a8b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575503097657037","idStr":"3575503097657037"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Target price people ?&nbsp;","listText":"Target price people ?&nbsp;","text":"Target price people ?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/811679733","repostId":"1199138618","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1199138618","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1630316356,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1199138618?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-08-30 17:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Globalstar shares rose more than 20% in premarket trading","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1199138618","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Globalstar shares rose more than 20% in premarket trading.\nApple Inc. could partner with Globalstar ","content":"<p>Globalstar&nbsp;shares&nbsp;rose&nbsp;more&nbsp;than&nbsp;20%&nbsp;in&nbsp;premarket&nbsp;trading.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33606a167f18f6de91abf407f2f6fa7e\" tg-width=\"896\" tg-height=\"614\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Apple Inc.&nbsp;could partner with&nbsp;Globalstar Inc.&nbsp;to bring satellite communication connectivity to the upcoming&nbsp;iPhone 13&nbsp;models, according to a note from Apple analyst&nbsp;Ming-Chi Kuo,&nbsp;Apple&nbsp;Insider&nbsp;reported.</p>\n<p>A customized version of the Qualcomm X60 baseband chip that Apple is expected to use in the iPhone 13 will support low-earth-orbit (LEO) satellite communications, Kuo reportedly said in the note.</p>\n<p>iPhone 13 users will be able to directly use Globalstar’s satellite communication services on their devices if Apple partners with the LEO satellite communication service provider, Kuo said, as per the report.</p>\n<p>Apple could also use the satellite communication feature in its upcoming Apple AR headset and the Apple Car, Kuo noted.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Globalstar shares rose more than 20% in premarket trading</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGlobalstar shares rose more than 20% in premarket trading\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-08-30 17:39</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Globalstar&nbsp;shares&nbsp;rose&nbsp;more&nbsp;than&nbsp;20%&nbsp;in&nbsp;premarket&nbsp;trading.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33606a167f18f6de91abf407f2f6fa7e\" tg-width=\"896\" tg-height=\"614\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Apple Inc.&nbsp;could partner with&nbsp;Globalstar Inc.&nbsp;to bring satellite communication connectivity to the upcoming&nbsp;iPhone 13&nbsp;models, according to a note from Apple analyst&nbsp;Ming-Chi Kuo,&nbsp;Apple&nbsp;Insider&nbsp;reported.</p>\n<p>A customized version of the Qualcomm X60 baseband chip that Apple is expected to use in the iPhone 13 will support low-earth-orbit (LEO) satellite communications, Kuo reportedly said in the note.</p>\n<p>iPhone 13 users will be able to directly use Globalstar’s satellite communication services on their devices if Apple partners with the LEO satellite communication service provider, Kuo said, as per the report.</p>\n<p>Apple could also use the satellite communication feature in its upcoming Apple AR headset and the Apple Car, Kuo noted.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果","GSAT":"全球星"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1199138618","content_text":"Globalstar shares rose more than 20% in premarket trading.\nApple Inc. could partner with Globalstar Inc. to bring satellite communication connectivity to the upcoming iPhone 13 models, according to a note from Apple analyst Ming-Chi Kuo, Apple Insider reported.\nA customized version of the Qualcomm X60 baseband chip that Apple is expected to use in the iPhone 13 will support low-earth-orbit (LEO) satellite communications, Kuo reportedly said in the note.\niPhone 13 users will be able to directly use Globalstar’s satellite communication services on their devices if Apple partners with the LEO satellite communication service provider, Kuo said, as per the report.\nApple could also use the satellite communication feature in its upcoming Apple AR headset and the Apple Car, Kuo noted.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":198,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":118205822,"gmtCreate":1622732439866,"gmtModify":1704190093742,"author":{"id":"3575503097657037","authorId":"3575503097657037","name":"Wealth98","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/91e78f617644143fd9a0573a2d063a8b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575503097657037","idStr":"3575503097657037"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"When AMC rocket , trading halt , when AMC crashed&nbsp;, trading continue ... wtf !&nbsp;","listText":"When AMC rocket , trading halt , when AMC crashed&nbsp;, trading continue ... wtf !&nbsp;","text":"When AMC rocket , trading halt , when AMC crashed , trading continue ... wtf !","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/118205822","repostId":"2140542610","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2140542610","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1622718376,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2140542610?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-03 19:06","market":"us","language":"en","title":"AMC Entertainment Holdings Files To Sell Up To 11.55Mln Shares","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2140542610","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"AMC tumbles 10% after new stock sale announcement, wipes out 20% premarket rally.AMC Entertainment s","content":"<p>AMC tumbles 10% after new stock sale announcement, wipes out 20% premarket rally.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df04643ab4f4847afdb5d9d3285e25fa\" tg-width=\"1302\" tg-height=\"663\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>AMC Entertainment&nbsp;shares erased a 20% rally and plunged double digits in premarket trading on Thursday following a stock sale announcement.</p><p>The meme stock last traded down 10% after soaring more than 20% earlier Thursday before markets opened.</p><p>AMC said in a regulatory filing that it may offer and sell from time to time up to an aggregate of 11.55 million shares of its Class&nbsp;A common stock.</p><p>The move comes after AMC&nbsp;soared 95% in the regular trading session&nbsp;Wednesday to close at an all-time high of $62.55. Its previous closing record of $35.86 was reached in 2015, according to FactSet data.</p><p>AMC’s stock spiked as it hit an intraday high of $72.62, well above its previous intraday record of $36.72.</p><p>In a similar occurrence seen in January with the meme stocks like GameStop, defiant short-sellers have increased their bets against AMC shares over the last month, possibly fueling the move higher. About 18% of the AMC shares available for trading are still sold short through Wednesday, according to S3 Partners.</p><p>On Wednesday, short-sellers lost $2.8 billion as the stock surged, according to S3. That brings their year-to-date losses to more than $5 billion, according to S3.</p><p>Short sellers like hedge funds borrow the stock from an investment bank and sell it in the hopes of buying it back at a lower price and returning the shares, pocketing the difference. However, when a stock surges higher, a so-called short squeeze can occur where investors are forced to buy back the stock to cut their losses.</p><p>Trading was halted several times Wednesday as shares were up more than 100% at one point. At the end of the day, more than 710 million shares exchanged hands. That’s nearly double the number of AMC’s shares outstanding. The company’s 30-day average volume is just 143 million shares.</p><p>Retail investors — many active on Reddit’s WallStreetBets forum — led the AMC rally, and AMC executives have taken note. On Wednesday, the company announced a&nbsp;new portal to connect with individual investors&nbsp;and offered free popcorn, exclusive screenings and other perks to those who hold its stock.</p><p>JPMorgan noted that in the last week, retail order flow into AMC jumped to $583 million, 6.9 standard deviations above the average level of the last one year. According to their quantitative strategy, this kind of imbalance can lead to more outperformance by the stock in coming weeks.</p><p>AMC shares are up 2850% so far this year, bringing its market capitalization to more than $31 billion. That makes it worth more than stocks like Delta Air Lines, State Street and Best Buy.</p><p>Wednesday’s wild trading activity comes even after an investment firm reportedly sold off its stake in the company. On Tuesday, AMC revealed it&nbsp;sold 8.5 million newly issued shares to Mudrick Capital, the latest in a series of capital raises for the stock. The hedge fund later&nbsp;sold all of its AMC stock for a profitthat same day, according to&nbsp;Bloomberg News.</p><p>Most Wall Street analysts believe AMC shares will plummet eventually. The average 12-month target price of analysts is $5.11, according to FactSet.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AMC Entertainment Holdings Files To Sell Up To 11.55Mln Shares</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAMC Entertainment Holdings Files To Sell Up To 11.55Mln Shares\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-06-03 19:06</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>AMC tumbles 10% after new stock sale announcement, wipes out 20% premarket rally.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df04643ab4f4847afdb5d9d3285e25fa\" tg-width=\"1302\" tg-height=\"663\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>AMC Entertainment&nbsp;shares erased a 20% rally and plunged double digits in premarket trading on Thursday following a stock sale announcement.</p><p>The meme stock last traded down 10% after soaring more than 20% earlier Thursday before markets opened.</p><p>AMC said in a regulatory filing that it may offer and sell from time to time up to an aggregate of 11.55 million shares of its Class&nbsp;A common stock.</p><p>The move comes after AMC&nbsp;soared 95% in the regular trading session&nbsp;Wednesday to close at an all-time high of $62.55. Its previous closing record of $35.86 was reached in 2015, according to FactSet data.</p><p>AMC’s stock spiked as it hit an intraday high of $72.62, well above its previous intraday record of $36.72.</p><p>In a similar occurrence seen in January with the meme stocks like GameStop, defiant short-sellers have increased their bets against AMC shares over the last month, possibly fueling the move higher. About 18% of the AMC shares available for trading are still sold short through Wednesday, according to S3 Partners.</p><p>On Wednesday, short-sellers lost $2.8 billion as the stock surged, according to S3. That brings their year-to-date losses to more than $5 billion, according to S3.</p><p>Short sellers like hedge funds borrow the stock from an investment bank and sell it in the hopes of buying it back at a lower price and returning the shares, pocketing the difference. However, when a stock surges higher, a so-called short squeeze can occur where investors are forced to buy back the stock to cut their losses.</p><p>Trading was halted several times Wednesday as shares were up more than 100% at one point. At the end of the day, more than 710 million shares exchanged hands. That’s nearly double the number of AMC’s shares outstanding. The company’s 30-day average volume is just 143 million shares.</p><p>Retail investors — many active on Reddit’s WallStreetBets forum — led the AMC rally, and AMC executives have taken note. On Wednesday, the company announced a&nbsp;new portal to connect with individual investors&nbsp;and offered free popcorn, exclusive screenings and other perks to those who hold its stock.</p><p>JPMorgan noted that in the last week, retail order flow into AMC jumped to $583 million, 6.9 standard deviations above the average level of the last one year. According to their quantitative strategy, this kind of imbalance can lead to more outperformance by the stock in coming weeks.</p><p>AMC shares are up 2850% so far this year, bringing its market capitalization to more than $31 billion. That makes it worth more than stocks like Delta Air Lines, State Street and Best Buy.</p><p>Wednesday’s wild trading activity comes even after an investment firm reportedly sold off its stake in the company. On Tuesday, AMC revealed it&nbsp;sold 8.5 million newly issued shares to Mudrick Capital, the latest in a series of capital raises for the stock. The hedge fund later&nbsp;sold all of its AMC stock for a profitthat same day, according to&nbsp;Bloomberg News.</p><p>Most Wall Street analysts believe AMC shares will plummet eventually. The average 12-month target price of analysts is $5.11, according to FactSet.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2140542610","content_text":"AMC tumbles 10% after new stock sale announcement, wipes out 20% premarket rally.AMC Entertainment shares erased a 20% rally and plunged double digits in premarket trading on Thursday following a stock sale announcement.The meme stock last traded down 10% after soaring more than 20% earlier Thursday before markets opened.AMC said in a regulatory filing that it may offer and sell from time to time up to an aggregate of 11.55 million shares of its Class A common stock.The move comes after AMC soared 95% in the regular trading session Wednesday to close at an all-time high of $62.55. Its previous closing record of $35.86 was reached in 2015, according to FactSet data.AMC’s stock spiked as it hit an intraday high of $72.62, well above its previous intraday record of $36.72.In a similar occurrence seen in January with the meme stocks like GameStop, defiant short-sellers have increased their bets against AMC shares over the last month, possibly fueling the move higher. About 18% of the AMC shares available for trading are still sold short through Wednesday, according to S3 Partners.On Wednesday, short-sellers lost $2.8 billion as the stock surged, according to S3. That brings their year-to-date losses to more than $5 billion, according to S3.Short sellers like hedge funds borrow the stock from an investment bank and sell it in the hopes of buying it back at a lower price and returning the shares, pocketing the difference. However, when a stock surges higher, a so-called short squeeze can occur where investors are forced to buy back the stock to cut their losses.Trading was halted several times Wednesday as shares were up more than 100% at one point. At the end of the day, more than 710 million shares exchanged hands. That’s nearly double the number of AMC’s shares outstanding. The company’s 30-day average volume is just 143 million shares.Retail investors — many active on Reddit’s WallStreetBets forum — led the AMC rally, and AMC executives have taken note. On Wednesday, the company announced a new portal to connect with individual investors and offered free popcorn, exclusive screenings and other perks to those who hold its stock.JPMorgan noted that in the last week, retail order flow into AMC jumped to $583 million, 6.9 standard deviations above the average level of the last one year. According to their quantitative strategy, this kind of imbalance can lead to more outperformance by the stock in coming weeks.AMC shares are up 2850% so far this year, bringing its market capitalization to more than $31 billion. That makes it worth more than stocks like Delta Air Lines, State Street and Best Buy.Wednesday’s wild trading activity comes even after an investment firm reportedly sold off its stake in the company. On Tuesday, AMC revealed it sold 8.5 million newly issued shares to Mudrick Capital, the latest in a series of capital raises for the stock. The hedge fund later sold all of its AMC stock for a profitthat same day, according to Bloomberg News.Most Wall Street analysts believe AMC shares will plummet eventually. The average 12-month target price of analysts is $5.11, according to FactSet.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":217,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":118208445,"gmtCreate":1622732353087,"gmtModify":1704190090166,"author":{"id":"3575503097657037","authorId":"3575503097657037","name":"Wealth98","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/91e78f617644143fd9a0573a2d063a8b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575503097657037","idStr":"3575503097657037"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"This is&nbsp;bull Shit news&nbsp;!&nbsp;","listText":"This is&nbsp;bull Shit news&nbsp;!&nbsp;","text":"This is bull Shit news !","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/118208445","repostId":"2140542610","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2140542610","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1622718376,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2140542610?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-03 19:06","market":"us","language":"en","title":"AMC Entertainment Holdings Files To Sell Up To 11.55Mln Shares","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2140542610","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"AMC tumbles 10% after new stock sale announcement, wipes out 20% premarket rally.AMC Entertainment s","content":"<p>AMC tumbles 10% after new stock sale announcement, wipes out 20% premarket rally.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df04643ab4f4847afdb5d9d3285e25fa\" tg-width=\"1302\" tg-height=\"663\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>AMC Entertainment&nbsp;shares erased a 20% rally and plunged double digits in premarket trading on Thursday following a stock sale announcement.</p><p>The meme stock last traded down 10% after soaring more than 20% earlier Thursday before markets opened.</p><p>AMC said in a regulatory filing that it may offer and sell from time to time up to an aggregate of 11.55 million shares of its Class&nbsp;A common stock.</p><p>The move comes after AMC&nbsp;soared 95% in the regular trading session&nbsp;Wednesday to close at an all-time high of $62.55. Its previous closing record of $35.86 was reached in 2015, according to FactSet data.</p><p>AMC’s stock spiked as it hit an intraday high of $72.62, well above its previous intraday record of $36.72.</p><p>In a similar occurrence seen in January with the meme stocks like GameStop, defiant short-sellers have increased their bets against AMC shares over the last month, possibly fueling the move higher. About 18% of the AMC shares available for trading are still sold short through Wednesday, according to S3 Partners.</p><p>On Wednesday, short-sellers lost $2.8 billion as the stock surged, according to S3. That brings their year-to-date losses to more than $5 billion, according to S3.</p><p>Short sellers like hedge funds borrow the stock from an investment bank and sell it in the hopes of buying it back at a lower price and returning the shares, pocketing the difference. However, when a stock surges higher, a so-called short squeeze can occur where investors are forced to buy back the stock to cut their losses.</p><p>Trading was halted several times Wednesday as shares were up more than 100% at one point. At the end of the day, more than 710 million shares exchanged hands. That’s nearly double the number of AMC’s shares outstanding. The company’s 30-day average volume is just 143 million shares.</p><p>Retail investors — many active on Reddit’s WallStreetBets forum — led the AMC rally, and AMC executives have taken note. On Wednesday, the company announced a&nbsp;new portal to connect with individual investors&nbsp;and offered free popcorn, exclusive screenings and other perks to those who hold its stock.</p><p>JPMorgan noted that in the last week, retail order flow into AMC jumped to $583 million, 6.9 standard deviations above the average level of the last one year. According to their quantitative strategy, this kind of imbalance can lead to more outperformance by the stock in coming weeks.</p><p>AMC shares are up 2850% so far this year, bringing its market capitalization to more than $31 billion. That makes it worth more than stocks like Delta Air Lines, State Street and Best Buy.</p><p>Wednesday’s wild trading activity comes even after an investment firm reportedly sold off its stake in the company. On Tuesday, AMC revealed it&nbsp;sold 8.5 million newly issued shares to Mudrick Capital, the latest in a series of capital raises for the stock. The hedge fund later&nbsp;sold all of its AMC stock for a profitthat same day, according to&nbsp;Bloomberg News.</p><p>Most Wall Street analysts believe AMC shares will plummet eventually. The average 12-month target price of analysts is $5.11, according to FactSet.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AMC Entertainment Holdings Files To Sell Up To 11.55Mln Shares</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAMC Entertainment Holdings Files To Sell Up To 11.55Mln Shares\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-06-03 19:06</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>AMC tumbles 10% after new stock sale announcement, wipes out 20% premarket rally.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df04643ab4f4847afdb5d9d3285e25fa\" tg-width=\"1302\" tg-height=\"663\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>AMC Entertainment&nbsp;shares erased a 20% rally and plunged double digits in premarket trading on Thursday following a stock sale announcement.</p><p>The meme stock last traded down 10% after soaring more than 20% earlier Thursday before markets opened.</p><p>AMC said in a regulatory filing that it may offer and sell from time to time up to an aggregate of 11.55 million shares of its Class&nbsp;A common stock.</p><p>The move comes after AMC&nbsp;soared 95% in the regular trading session&nbsp;Wednesday to close at an all-time high of $62.55. Its previous closing record of $35.86 was reached in 2015, according to FactSet data.</p><p>AMC’s stock spiked as it hit an intraday high of $72.62, well above its previous intraday record of $36.72.</p><p>In a similar occurrence seen in January with the meme stocks like GameStop, defiant short-sellers have increased their bets against AMC shares over the last month, possibly fueling the move higher. About 18% of the AMC shares available for trading are still sold short through Wednesday, according to S3 Partners.</p><p>On Wednesday, short-sellers lost $2.8 billion as the stock surged, according to S3. That brings their year-to-date losses to more than $5 billion, according to S3.</p><p>Short sellers like hedge funds borrow the stock from an investment bank and sell it in the hopes of buying it back at a lower price and returning the shares, pocketing the difference. However, when a stock surges higher, a so-called short squeeze can occur where investors are forced to buy back the stock to cut their losses.</p><p>Trading was halted several times Wednesday as shares were up more than 100% at one point. At the end of the day, more than 710 million shares exchanged hands. That’s nearly double the number of AMC’s shares outstanding. The company’s 30-day average volume is just 143 million shares.</p><p>Retail investors — many active on Reddit’s WallStreetBets forum — led the AMC rally, and AMC executives have taken note. On Wednesday, the company announced a&nbsp;new portal to connect with individual investors&nbsp;and offered free popcorn, exclusive screenings and other perks to those who hold its stock.</p><p>JPMorgan noted that in the last week, retail order flow into AMC jumped to $583 million, 6.9 standard deviations above the average level of the last one year. According to their quantitative strategy, this kind of imbalance can lead to more outperformance by the stock in coming weeks.</p><p>AMC shares are up 2850% so far this year, bringing its market capitalization to more than $31 billion. That makes it worth more than stocks like Delta Air Lines, State Street and Best Buy.</p><p>Wednesday’s wild trading activity comes even after an investment firm reportedly sold off its stake in the company. On Tuesday, AMC revealed it&nbsp;sold 8.5 million newly issued shares to Mudrick Capital, the latest in a series of capital raises for the stock. The hedge fund later&nbsp;sold all of its AMC stock for a profitthat same day, according to&nbsp;Bloomberg News.</p><p>Most Wall Street analysts believe AMC shares will plummet eventually. The average 12-month target price of analysts is $5.11, according to FactSet.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2140542610","content_text":"AMC tumbles 10% after new stock sale announcement, wipes out 20% premarket rally.AMC Entertainment shares erased a 20% rally and plunged double digits in premarket trading on Thursday following a stock sale announcement.The meme stock last traded down 10% after soaring more than 20% earlier Thursday before markets opened.AMC said in a regulatory filing that it may offer and sell from time to time up to an aggregate of 11.55 million shares of its Class A common stock.The move comes after AMC soared 95% in the regular trading session Wednesday to close at an all-time high of $62.55. Its previous closing record of $35.86 was reached in 2015, according to FactSet data.AMC’s stock spiked as it hit an intraday high of $72.62, well above its previous intraday record of $36.72.In a similar occurrence seen in January with the meme stocks like GameStop, defiant short-sellers have increased their bets against AMC shares over the last month, possibly fueling the move higher. About 18% of the AMC shares available for trading are still sold short through Wednesday, according to S3 Partners.On Wednesday, short-sellers lost $2.8 billion as the stock surged, according to S3. That brings their year-to-date losses to more than $5 billion, according to S3.Short sellers like hedge funds borrow the stock from an investment bank and sell it in the hopes of buying it back at a lower price and returning the shares, pocketing the difference. However, when a stock surges higher, a so-called short squeeze can occur where investors are forced to buy back the stock to cut their losses.Trading was halted several times Wednesday as shares were up more than 100% at one point. At the end of the day, more than 710 million shares exchanged hands. That’s nearly double the number of AMC’s shares outstanding. The company’s 30-day average volume is just 143 million shares.Retail investors — many active on Reddit’s WallStreetBets forum — led the AMC rally, and AMC executives have taken note. On Wednesday, the company announced a new portal to connect with individual investors and offered free popcorn, exclusive screenings and other perks to those who hold its stock.JPMorgan noted that in the last week, retail order flow into AMC jumped to $583 million, 6.9 standard deviations above the average level of the last one year. According to their quantitative strategy, this kind of imbalance can lead to more outperformance by the stock in coming weeks.AMC shares are up 2850% so far this year, bringing its market capitalization to more than $31 billion. That makes it worth more than stocks like Delta Air Lines, State Street and Best Buy.Wednesday’s wild trading activity comes even after an investment firm reportedly sold off its stake in the company. On Tuesday, AMC revealed it sold 8.5 million newly issued shares to Mudrick Capital, the latest in a series of capital raises for the stock. The hedge fund later sold all of its AMC stock for a profitthat same day, according to Bloomberg News.Most Wall Street analysts believe AMC shares will plummet eventually. The average 12-month target price of analysts is $5.11, according to FactSet.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":126,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":192703392,"gmtCreate":1621227175416,"gmtModify":1704354258426,"author":{"id":"3575503097657037","authorId":"3575503097657037","name":"Wealth98","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/91e78f617644143fd9a0573a2d063a8b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575503097657037","idStr":"3575503097657037"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"But hey , as usual, Bitcoin will recover eventually,&nbsp;So meanwhile, buy the dip ... we all should thank Elon for the dip , isn’t it ?&nbsp;","listText":"But hey , as usual, Bitcoin will recover eventually,&nbsp;So meanwhile, buy the dip ... we all should thank Elon for the dip , isn’t it ?&nbsp;","text":"But hey , as usual, Bitcoin will recover eventually, So meanwhile, buy the dip ... we all should thank Elon for the dip , isn’t it ?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/192703392","repostId":"2136980120","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":110,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":192700831,"gmtCreate":1621227016623,"gmtModify":1704354255495,"author":{"id":"3575503097657037","authorId":"3575503097657037","name":"Wealth98","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/91e78f617644143fd9a0573a2d063a8b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575503097657037","idStr":"3575503097657037"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Man , i will also rotate my fund from Tesla to Nio .&nbsp;","listText":"Man , i will also rotate my fund from Tesla to Nio .&nbsp;","text":"Man , i will also rotate my fund from Tesla to Nio .","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/192700831","repostId":"2136980120","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2136980120","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1621218420,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2136980120?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-17 10:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"'Bitcoin is melting.' Here's what a 30% drop from highs in the crypto may say about stock-market risk sentiment","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2136980120","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"What does a weekend meltdown in bitcoin prices portend for U.S. stocks?Bitcoin  is supposed to be an asset that isn't highly correlated with equity markets, or any other traditional asset for that matter, but some analysts have pointed out that the cryptocurrency has traded in closer step with parts of the market amid the recent turbulence in equities as investors attempt to assess the most effective strategies for playing an economy recovering from the worst pandemic in more than a century.In a","content":"<p>What does a weekend meltdown in bitcoin prices portend for U.S. stocks?</p><p>Bitcoin  is supposed to be an asset that isn't highly correlated with equity markets, or any other traditional asset for that matter, but some analysts have pointed out that the cryptocurrency has traded in closer step with parts of the market amid the recent turbulence in equities as investors attempt to assess the most effective strategies for playing an economy recovering from the worst pandemic in more than a century.</p><p>In a blog post on Sunday,  Mott Capital's Michael Kramer said that bitcoin's recent breakdown could signal that risk appetite on Wall Street is in transition -- presumably in a bearish direction.</p><p>\"Bitcoin is telling us the risk sentiment of the market overall is shifting, and we care about bitcoin because we care about risk sentiment,\" Kramer wrote.</p><p>Bitcoin prices are down 28% from a peak at $64,829.14 in mid-April, and Sunday's trade was choppy for the world's most prominent crypto after a tweet from digital-asset bull and Tesla Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$(TSLA)$</a> CEO Elon Musk was interpreted as a threat to unload the $1.5 billion investment in bitcoin .</p><p>Kramer made the case that the bullish sentiment that has been a recent feature of markets -- even amid last week's bout of volatility -- could be downshifting, and that <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> aspect of the market that may be moving the most closely in line with bitcoin prices is small-capitalization stocks, like those in the Russell 2000 index .</p><p>The Russell 2000 closed Friday notching its largest weekly percentage decline since March 26, off 2.1%. It was a bruising week for stock s, generally, even if equities enjoyed a solid rally to end the five-day trading period that had been marked by unease about inflation in the middle of the week. The Dow Jones Industrial Average , S&amp;P 500  and the technology-laden Nasdaq Composite Index  all logged their steepest weekly losses since Feb. 26 and the Nasdaq also booked its lengthiest weekly losing streak, four straight, since Aug. 23, 2019.</p><p>Kramer said \"bitcoin is melting,\" and added that it is possible that the asset may have further room to fall.</p><p>A few technical analysts see bitcoin potentially hitting $42,000. Katie Stockton, market technician and founder of Fairlead Strategies, said that support sits around that area for the coin, which touched a weekend nadir of just above $43,800.</p><p>So what does that all mean for stocks? It's hard to say.</p><p>Futures for the Dow , S&amp;P 500 index  and the Nasdaq-100  were all trading modestly lower Sunday night.</p><p>Some analysts see stocks headed higher to end 2021, bitcoin moves notwithstanding.</p><p>Tom Lee, founder of Fundstrat Global Advisors, is forecasting the S&amp;P 500 to rise another 7% to 8% from current levels and he is maintaining his target for the broad-market benchmark at 4,400.</p><p>Lee said that markets attempt to \"crash\" last week failed, and he saw parallels between last year's slump and this current period, which he blamed, at least partly, on readjustments tied to taxes, the deadlines for which were extended to May 17.</p><p>\"In other words, the market could not muster enough panic to push further downside,\" wrote Lee.</p><p>\"Instead, we saw a strong rally in the second half of the week. We believe this rally will carry over into this week. In fact, we think that stocks are still on track to make new highs before June 30th,\" he forecast.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>'Bitcoin is melting.' Here's what a 30% drop from highs in the crypto may say about stock-market risk sentiment</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n'Bitcoin is melting.' Here's what a 30% drop from highs in the crypto may say about stock-market risk sentiment\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-05-17 10:27</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>What does a weekend meltdown in bitcoin prices portend for U.S. stocks?</p><p>Bitcoin  is supposed to be an asset that isn't highly correlated with equity markets, or any other traditional asset for that matter, but some analysts have pointed out that the cryptocurrency has traded in closer step with parts of the market amid the recent turbulence in equities as investors attempt to assess the most effective strategies for playing an economy recovering from the worst pandemic in more than a century.</p><p>In a blog post on Sunday,  Mott Capital's Michael Kramer said that bitcoin's recent breakdown could signal that risk appetite on Wall Street is in transition -- presumably in a bearish direction.</p><p>\"Bitcoin is telling us the risk sentiment of the market overall is shifting, and we care about bitcoin because we care about risk sentiment,\" Kramer wrote.</p><p>Bitcoin prices are down 28% from a peak at $64,829.14 in mid-April, and Sunday's trade was choppy for the world's most prominent crypto after a tweet from digital-asset bull and Tesla Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$(TSLA)$</a> CEO Elon Musk was interpreted as a threat to unload the $1.5 billion investment in bitcoin .</p><p>Kramer made the case that the bullish sentiment that has been a recent feature of markets -- even amid last week's bout of volatility -- could be downshifting, and that <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> aspect of the market that may be moving the most closely in line with bitcoin prices is small-capitalization stocks, like those in the Russell 2000 index .</p><p>The Russell 2000 closed Friday notching its largest weekly percentage decline since March 26, off 2.1%. It was a bruising week for stock s, generally, even if equities enjoyed a solid rally to end the five-day trading period that had been marked by unease about inflation in the middle of the week. The Dow Jones Industrial Average , S&amp;P 500  and the technology-laden Nasdaq Composite Index  all logged their steepest weekly losses since Feb. 26 and the Nasdaq also booked its lengthiest weekly losing streak, four straight, since Aug. 23, 2019.</p><p>Kramer said \"bitcoin is melting,\" and added that it is possible that the asset may have further room to fall.</p><p>A few technical analysts see bitcoin potentially hitting $42,000. Katie Stockton, market technician and founder of Fairlead Strategies, said that support sits around that area for the coin, which touched a weekend nadir of just above $43,800.</p><p>So what does that all mean for stocks? It's hard to say.</p><p>Futures for the Dow , S&amp;P 500 index  and the Nasdaq-100  were all trading modestly lower Sunday night.</p><p>Some analysts see stocks headed higher to end 2021, bitcoin moves notwithstanding.</p><p>Tom Lee, founder of Fundstrat Global Advisors, is forecasting the S&amp;P 500 to rise another 7% to 8% from current levels and he is maintaining his target for the broad-market benchmark at 4,400.</p><p>Lee said that markets attempt to \"crash\" last week failed, and he saw parallels between last year's slump and this current period, which he blamed, at least partly, on readjustments tied to taxes, the deadlines for which were extended to May 17.</p><p>\"In other words, the market could not muster enough panic to push further downside,\" wrote Lee.</p><p>\"Instead, we saw a strong rally in the second half of the week. We believe this rally will carry over into this week. In fact, we think that stocks are still on track to make new highs before June 30th,\" he forecast.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","OEX":"标普100","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","SH":"标普500反向ETF"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2136980120","content_text":"What does a weekend meltdown in bitcoin prices portend for U.S. stocks?Bitcoin  is supposed to be an asset that isn't highly correlated with equity markets, or any other traditional asset for that matter, but some analysts have pointed out that the cryptocurrency has traded in closer step with parts of the market amid the recent turbulence in equities as investors attempt to assess the most effective strategies for playing an economy recovering from the worst pandemic in more than a century.In a blog post on Sunday,  Mott Capital's Michael Kramer said that bitcoin's recent breakdown could signal that risk appetite on Wall Street is in transition -- presumably in a bearish direction.\"Bitcoin is telling us the risk sentiment of the market overall is shifting, and we care about bitcoin because we care about risk sentiment,\" Kramer wrote.Bitcoin prices are down 28% from a peak at $64,829.14 in mid-April, and Sunday's trade was choppy for the world's most prominent crypto after a tweet from digital-asset bull and Tesla Inc. $(TSLA)$ CEO Elon Musk was interpreted as a threat to unload the $1.5 billion investment in bitcoin .Kramer made the case that the bullish sentiment that has been a recent feature of markets -- even amid last week's bout of volatility -- could be downshifting, and that one aspect of the market that may be moving the most closely in line with bitcoin prices is small-capitalization stocks, like those in the Russell 2000 index .The Russell 2000 closed Friday notching its largest weekly percentage decline since March 26, off 2.1%. It was a bruising week for stock s, generally, even if equities enjoyed a solid rally to end the five-day trading period that had been marked by unease about inflation in the middle of the week. The Dow Jones Industrial Average , S&P 500  and the technology-laden Nasdaq Composite Index  all logged their steepest weekly losses since Feb. 26 and the Nasdaq also booked its lengthiest weekly losing streak, four straight, since Aug. 23, 2019.Kramer said \"bitcoin is melting,\" and added that it is possible that the asset may have further room to fall.A few technical analysts see bitcoin potentially hitting $42,000. Katie Stockton, market technician and founder of Fairlead Strategies, said that support sits around that area for the coin, which touched a weekend nadir of just above $43,800.So what does that all mean for stocks? It's hard to say.Futures for the Dow , S&P 500 index  and the Nasdaq-100  were all trading modestly lower Sunday night.Some analysts see stocks headed higher to end 2021, bitcoin moves notwithstanding.Tom Lee, founder of Fundstrat Global Advisors, is forecasting the S&P 500 to rise another 7% to 8% from current levels and he is maintaining his target for the broad-market benchmark at 4,400.Lee said that markets attempt to \"crash\" last week failed, and he saw parallels between last year's slump and this current period, which he blamed, at least partly, on readjustments tied to taxes, the deadlines for which were extended to May 17.\"In other words, the market could not muster enough panic to push further downside,\" wrote Lee.\"Instead, we saw a strong rally in the second half of the week. We believe this rally will carry over into this week. In fact, we think that stocks are still on track to make new highs before June 30th,\" he forecast.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":175,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":199294037807128,"gmtCreate":1689691210876,"gmtModify":1689691214778,"author":{"id":"3575503097657037","authorId":"3575503097657037","name":"Wealth98","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/91e78f617644143fd9a0573a2d063a8b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575503097657037","authorIdStr":"3575503097657037"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"As if they knew it&nbsp;all , I say we add on&nbsp;and hodl !&nbsp;","listText":"As if they knew it&nbsp;all , I say we add on&nbsp;and hodl !&nbsp;","text":"As if they knew it all , I say we add on and hodl !","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/199294037807128","repostId":"2352714903","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2352714903","pubTimestamp":1689693396,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2352714903?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-07-18 23:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Where Will Palantir Technologies Be in 3 Years?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2352714903","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The controversial data mining company's future still looks murky.","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2 id=\"id_240021817\" style=\"text-align: start;\">KEY POINTS</h2><ul><li><p>Palantir&#39;s sales soared in 2020 and 2021.</p></li><li><p>But its growth cooled in 2022, and the company expects it to slow even more in 2023.</p></li><li><p>Palantir should generate stable growth and rising profits over the next three years, but its high valuation could limit the stock&#39;s gains.</p></li></ul><p>It&#39;s been nearly three years since <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">Palantir</a> went public via a direct listing on Sept. 30, 2020. The data mining specialist&#39;s stock opened at $10 on the first day and nearly quadrupled to an all-time high of $39 on Jan. 27, 2021.</p><p>Bullish investors were initially impressed by Palantir&#39;s rapid growth, the resilience of its government contracts, and the expansion of its commercial business. But bearish sentiment began to spread as its growth cooled off and rising interest rates deflated its valuation. As a result, Palantir&#39;s stock plummeted to its all-time low of $5.84 on Jan. 24, 2023.</p><p>But after reaching that nadir, the stock nearly tripled to about $16. The bulls rushed back to Palantir -- as well as many other beaten-down growth and meme stocks -- as inflation cooled off and the markets warmed up again. Can Palantir maintain that momentum and head even higher over the next three years?</p><h2 id=\"id_2151814701\">What happened over the past three years?</h2><p>Palantir operates two main platforms: Gotham for government clients and Foundry for commercial clients. Both collect large amounts of data from disparate sources. Its customers -- which include the U.S. military, government agencies, and big companies like <strong>BP</strong> -- use that data to make crucial decisions. Some of its work with the U.S. government, particularly its usage of a customized version of Gotham to locate and deport undocumented immigrants, has been controversial.</p><p>Palantir&#39;s revenue rose 47% in 2020 and 41% in 2021. But after repeatedly claiming it could grow its top line by at least 30% through 2025, the company&#39;s revenue only jumped 24% to $1.91 billion in 2022 -- and it expects a 14%-17% increase in 2023.</p><p>Palantir blamed that slowdown on macro headwinds that hampered the expansion of its commercial business as big companies reined in their software spending. Its year-over-year growth in commercial revenue finally accelerated again in Q1 of 2023 -- which ended its three-quarter streak of decelerating growth as its U.S. business recovered -- but its overseas commercial business remains weak.</p><p>As Palantir&#39;s growth cools off, it&#39;s cutting costs and reducing its stock-based compensation expenses. Those cost-cutting efforts enabled it to turn profitable on a generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) basis over the past two quarters, and it expects to stay in the black for the remainder of 2023. In other words, Palantir is proving its business model is sustainable -- but its newfound stability might disappoint growth-oriented investors.</p><h2 id=\"id_2104659890\">What might happen over the next three years?</h2><p>Over the next three years, Palantir will likely continue to expand its commercial business to reduce its dependence on rigid government contracts. As the macro environment improves, the commercial segment (44% of its revenue in 2022) could gradually overtake the government business (56%) as its largest segment.</p><p>However, Palantir could still face some tough competitors in that market. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">Microsoft</a> are rolling out more data mining and analytics tools for their market-leading cloud infrastructure platforms. Other stand-alone competitors like <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AYX\">Alteryx</a> could further fragment that market.</p><p>Palantir&#39;s government business also isn&#39;t immune to competitive headwinds. For example, the U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) agency has reportedly been developing its own data collection platform called RAVEn to replace Gotham. If other agencies follow ICE&#39;s lead, Palantir&#39;s government sales could abruptly wither.</p><p>Faced with all these challenges, analysts expect Palantir&#39;s revenue to only rise at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 19%, from $1.9 billion in 2022 to $3.2 billion in 2025. But they also anticipate it will generate its first annual net profit of $115 million in 2023, and they see that figure more than tripling to $403 million in 2025. We should take those estimates with a grain of salt, but they suggest Palantir&#39;s growth will stabilize -- though not accelerate meaningfully -- over the next three years as the macro environment improves.</p><h2 id=\"id_3418335852\">But where will Palantir&#39;s stock be in three years?</h2><p>Palantir should keep growing through 2026, but its valuation could limit its gains. With an enterprise value (EV) of $32 billion, it still trades at 16 times this year sales. That EV-to-revenue ratio is arguably too rich for a company that is growing its revenue by less than 20% annually. By comparison, Alteryx -- which is expected to grow its revenue at a CAGR of 15% from 2022 to 2025 -- trades at just 3 times this year&#39;s sales.</p><p>Even if Palantir generates consistent GAAP profits and meets analysts&#39; expectations for a GAAP profit of $0.15 per share in 2025, it already trades for more than 100 times that estimate. Therefore, it seems unlikely that Palantir will revisit its all-time highs within the next three years (unless another meme stock rally occurs). Instead, I expect the stock will languish and underperform the market as investors finally realize that its halcyon days of 30%-50% sales growth are over.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Where Will Palantir Technologies Be in 3 Years?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhere Will Palantir Technologies Be in 3 Years?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-07-18 23:16 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2023/07/18/where-will-palantir-technologies-be-in-3-years/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>KEY POINTSPalantir's sales soared in 2020 and 2021.But its growth cooled in 2022, and the company expects it to slow even more in 2023.Palantir should generate stable growth and rising profits over ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2023/07/18/where-will-palantir-technologies-be-in-3-years/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2023/07/18/where-will-palantir-technologies-be-in-3-years/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2352714903","content_text":"KEY POINTSPalantir's sales soared in 2020 and 2021.But its growth cooled in 2022, and the company expects it to slow even more in 2023.Palantir should generate stable growth and rising profits over the next three years, but its high valuation could limit the stock's gains.It's been nearly three years since Palantir went public via a direct listing on Sept. 30, 2020. The data mining specialist's stock opened at $10 on the first day and nearly quadrupled to an all-time high of $39 on Jan. 27, 2021.Bullish investors were initially impressed by Palantir's rapid growth, the resilience of its government contracts, and the expansion of its commercial business. But bearish sentiment began to spread as its growth cooled off and rising interest rates deflated its valuation. As a result, Palantir's stock plummeted to its all-time low of $5.84 on Jan. 24, 2023.But after reaching that nadir, the stock nearly tripled to about $16. The bulls rushed back to Palantir -- as well as many other beaten-down growth and meme stocks -- as inflation cooled off and the markets warmed up again. Can Palantir maintain that momentum and head even higher over the next three years?What happened over the past three years?Palantir operates two main platforms: Gotham for government clients and Foundry for commercial clients. Both collect large amounts of data from disparate sources. Its customers -- which include the U.S. military, government agencies, and big companies like BP -- use that data to make crucial decisions. Some of its work with the U.S. government, particularly its usage of a customized version of Gotham to locate and deport undocumented immigrants, has been controversial.Palantir's revenue rose 47% in 2020 and 41% in 2021. But after repeatedly claiming it could grow its top line by at least 30% through 2025, the company's revenue only jumped 24% to $1.91 billion in 2022 -- and it expects a 14%-17% increase in 2023.Palantir blamed that slowdown on macro headwinds that hampered the expansion of its commercial business as big companies reined in their software spending. Its year-over-year growth in commercial revenue finally accelerated again in Q1 of 2023 -- which ended its three-quarter streak of decelerating growth as its U.S. business recovered -- but its overseas commercial business remains weak.As Palantir's growth cools off, it's cutting costs and reducing its stock-based compensation expenses. Those cost-cutting efforts enabled it to turn profitable on a generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) basis over the past two quarters, and it expects to stay in the black for the remainder of 2023. In other words, Palantir is proving its business model is sustainable -- but its newfound stability might disappoint growth-oriented investors.What might happen over the next three years?Over the next three years, Palantir will likely continue to expand its commercial business to reduce its dependence on rigid government contracts. As the macro environment improves, the commercial segment (44% of its revenue in 2022) could gradually overtake the government business (56%) as its largest segment.However, Palantir could still face some tough competitors in that market. Amazon and Microsoft are rolling out more data mining and analytics tools for their market-leading cloud infrastructure platforms. Other stand-alone competitors like Alteryx could further fragment that market.Palantir's government business also isn't immune to competitive headwinds. For example, the U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) agency has reportedly been developing its own data collection platform called RAVEn to replace Gotham. If other agencies follow ICE's lead, Palantir's government sales could abruptly wither.Faced with all these challenges, analysts expect Palantir's revenue to only rise at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 19%, from $1.9 billion in 2022 to $3.2 billion in 2025. But they also anticipate it will generate its first annual net profit of $115 million in 2023, and they see that figure more than tripling to $403 million in 2025. We should take those estimates with a grain of salt, but they suggest Palantir's growth will stabilize -- though not accelerate meaningfully -- over the next three years as the macro environment improves.But where will Palantir's stock be in three years?Palantir should keep growing through 2026, but its valuation could limit its gains. With an enterprise value (EV) of $32 billion, it still trades at 16 times this year sales. That EV-to-revenue ratio is arguably too rich for a company that is growing its revenue by less than 20% annually. By comparison, Alteryx -- which is expected to grow its revenue at a CAGR of 15% from 2022 to 2025 -- trades at just 3 times this year's sales.Even if Palantir generates consistent GAAP profits and meets analysts' expectations for a GAAP profit of $0.15 per share in 2025, it already trades for more than 100 times that estimate. Therefore, it seems unlikely that Palantir will revisit its all-time highs within the next three years (unless another meme stock rally occurs). Instead, I expect the stock will languish and underperform the market as investors finally realize that its halcyon days of 30%-50% sales growth are over.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":282,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":199459246674184,"gmtCreate":1689731573390,"gmtModify":1689731577011,"author":{"id":"3575503097657037","authorId":"3575503097657037","name":"Wealth98","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/91e78f617644143fd9a0573a2d063a8b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575503097657037","authorIdStr":"3575503097657037"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"When&nbsp;will it get back to its glory&nbsp;days ?&nbsp;","listText":"When&nbsp;will it get back to its glory&nbsp;days ?&nbsp;","text":"When will it get back to its glory days ?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/199459246674184","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":259,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":218324887208152,"gmtCreate":1694336895170,"gmtModify":1694336900851,"author":{"id":"3575503097657037","authorId":"3575503097657037","name":"Wealth98","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/91e78f617644143fd9a0573a2d063a8b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575503097657037","authorIdStr":"3575503097657037"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"This article reminds me&nbsp;exactly what Tesla was like in early 2020 .I'm all in for PLTR .&nbsp;","listText":"This article reminds me&nbsp;exactly what Tesla was like in early 2020 .I'm all in for PLTR .&nbsp;","text":"This article reminds me exactly what Tesla was like in early 2020 .I'm all in for PLTR .","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/218324887208152","repostId":"2365827849","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":309,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9955459293,"gmtCreate":1675695884512,"gmtModify":1675695888442,"author":{"id":"3575503097657037","authorId":"3575503097657037","name":"Wealth98","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/91e78f617644143fd9a0573a2d063a8b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575503097657037","authorIdStr":"3575503097657037"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hell ya , I am all in for Solana .&nbsp;","listText":"Hell ya , I am all in for Solana .&nbsp;","text":"Hell ya , I am all in for Solana .","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9955459293","repostId":"1129816728","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1129816728","pubTimestamp":1675697184,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1129816728?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-02-06 23:26","market":"other","language":"en","title":"3 Sorry Cryptos to Sell in February Before It’s Too Late","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1129816728","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"Here are three sorry cryptos to sell in February before it’s too late.Dogecoin(DOGE): DOGE is still ","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Here are three sorry cryptos to sell in February before it’s too late.</li><li><b>Dogecoin</b>(<b><u>DOGE</u></b>): DOGE is still just a meme token that was developed purely as a joke.</li><li><b>FTX Token</b>(<b><u>FTT</u></b>): The token tied to bankrupt cryptocurrency exchange FTX should be approached with extreme caution.</li><li><b>Solana</b>(<b><u>SOL</u></b>): This crypto is prone to being hacked and has some serious security vulnerabilities.</li></ul><p>Cryptocurrencies have been on a tear to start the year. <b>Bitcoin’s</b>(<b><u>BTC-USD</u></b>) price hit a six-month high near $24,000 following the latest interest rate hike from the Federal Reserve. Bitcoin had been trading below $16,000 last December. Other cryptos, including <b>Ethereum</b>(<b><u>ETH-USD</u></b>), are rallying too. In fact, the top 100 cryptocurrencies rose a combined 37% in January. With investors anticipating an end to the Fed’s rate hikes, many are turning bullish and again wading into cryptos. However, skeptics remain when it comes to digital coins and tokens. And some technical analysts say that the current rally of Bitcoin is likely to break down at $25,000 as it meets resistance. At this pivotal point for crypto, here are three sorry cryptos to sell in February before it’s too late.</p><p><b>Dogecoin (DOGE)</b></p><p>Still among the most speculative of cryptocurrencies, <b>Dogecoin</b>(<b><u>DOGE-USD</u></b>) has been rallying this year along with other digital assets. Since the start of January, the price of DOGE has risen 31% to 9 cents. While this year’s rally is encouraging, it doesn’t make Dogecoin a smart investment. This is, after all, still a meme token that features a cartoon drawing of a Shiba Inu dog and was developed by two software engineers as a joke.</p><p>Given its nature, DOGE is usually among the first cryptocurrencies to sell off at the first sign of trouble in the industry, and its declines can be steep. Doigecoin’s price was effectively cut in half in the last two months of 2022, falling from 14 cents on November 1 to 7 cents on December 31.</p><p>Such extreme volatility makes Dogecoin a dangerous investment and one investors should avoid. While the price is cheap, there are many other, more legitimate cryptocurrencies that investors can put their hard-earned capital towards.</p><p><b>FTX Token (FTT)</b></p><p>Believe it or not, a digital token tied to bankrupt cryptocurrency exchange FTX is still available to buy. And it has risen substantially this year along with other cryptos. So far in 2023, the <b>FTX Token</b>(<b><u>FTT-USD</u></b>) has gained 130%, rising from 84 cents to its current level of $2.04. This after FTX collapsed in spectacular fashion on Nov. 11 last year, with $8 billion of missing assets, more than one million creditors, and multiple charges of fraud levelled at co-founder Sam Bankman-Fried.</p><p>The implosion ofFTX led to contagion across the global crypto industry, leading other exchanges and lenders to freeze clients’ accounts, halt operations, and, in many cases, file for protection from creditors.</p><p>Yet all the drama and heartache doesn’t appear to have deterred investors from bidding up FTT. It’s a strange situation given that the FTX crypto exchange is unlikely to be revived, and Sam Bankman-Fried could spend years if not decades behind bars.</p><p>Why bet on FTT  with all of its baggage?</p><p><b>Solana (SOL)</b></p><p>Solana (<b>SOL-USD</b>) is a public blockchain platform that is able to facilitate smart contracts. Unlike the other cryptos on this list, SOL has some utility and a purpose. And its price has been skyrocketing this year, gaining 90%. However, Solana still poses a meaningful risk.</p><p>The biggest risk posed by it is that it is prone to being hacked. The most high-profile hack of the crypto occurred last year when $320 million of Ethereum was stolen from its platform.</p><p>Solana uses a “wormhole” to connect its blockchain to the Ethereum blockchain, and that connection lacks rigid security and has proven easy to hack. While the developers behind Solana insist they are working to improve its security protocols, there is still reason to be weary of future hacks.</p><p>That’s especially true since the latest data shows that hackers are targeting crypto more than ever. A newly released report from blockchain analytics firm <b>Chainalysis</b> shows that hackers stole a record $3.8 billion of cryptocurrencies in 2022, and the growth of losses from the hacking of cryptos shows no sign of slowing. Proceed with caution.</p></body></html>","source":"investorplace","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Sorry Cryptos to Sell in February Before It’s Too Late</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Sorry Cryptos to Sell in February Before It’s Too Late\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-02-06 23:26 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://investorplace.com/2023/02/3-sorry-cryptos-to-sell-in-february-before-its-too-late/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Here are three sorry cryptos to sell in February before it’s too late.Dogecoin(DOGE): DOGE is still just a meme token that was developed purely as a joke.FTX Token(FTT): The token tied to bankrupt ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2023/02/3-sorry-cryptos-to-sell-in-february-before-its-too-late/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2023/02/3-sorry-cryptos-to-sell-in-february-before-its-too-late/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1129816728","content_text":"Here are three sorry cryptos to sell in February before it’s too late.Dogecoin(DOGE): DOGE is still just a meme token that was developed purely as a joke.FTX Token(FTT): The token tied to bankrupt cryptocurrency exchange FTX should be approached with extreme caution.Solana(SOL): This crypto is prone to being hacked and has some serious security vulnerabilities.Cryptocurrencies have been on a tear to start the year. Bitcoin’s(BTC-USD) price hit a six-month high near $24,000 following the latest interest rate hike from the Federal Reserve. Bitcoin had been trading below $16,000 last December. Other cryptos, including Ethereum(ETH-USD), are rallying too. In fact, the top 100 cryptocurrencies rose a combined 37% in January. With investors anticipating an end to the Fed’s rate hikes, many are turning bullish and again wading into cryptos. However, skeptics remain when it comes to digital coins and tokens. And some technical analysts say that the current rally of Bitcoin is likely to break down at $25,000 as it meets resistance. At this pivotal point for crypto, here are three sorry cryptos to sell in February before it’s too late.Dogecoin (DOGE)Still among the most speculative of cryptocurrencies, Dogecoin(DOGE-USD) has been rallying this year along with other digital assets. Since the start of January, the price of DOGE has risen 31% to 9 cents. While this year’s rally is encouraging, it doesn’t make Dogecoin a smart investment. This is, after all, still a meme token that features a cartoon drawing of a Shiba Inu dog and was developed by two software engineers as a joke.Given its nature, DOGE is usually among the first cryptocurrencies to sell off at the first sign of trouble in the industry, and its declines can be steep. Doigecoin’s price was effectively cut in half in the last two months of 2022, falling from 14 cents on November 1 to 7 cents on December 31.Such extreme volatility makes Dogecoin a dangerous investment and one investors should avoid. While the price is cheap, there are many other, more legitimate cryptocurrencies that investors can put their hard-earned capital towards.FTX Token (FTT)Believe it or not, a digital token tied to bankrupt cryptocurrency exchange FTX is still available to buy. And it has risen substantially this year along with other cryptos. So far in 2023, the FTX Token(FTT-USD) has gained 130%, rising from 84 cents to its current level of $2.04. This after FTX collapsed in spectacular fashion on Nov. 11 last year, with $8 billion of missing assets, more than one million creditors, and multiple charges of fraud levelled at co-founder Sam Bankman-Fried.The implosion ofFTX led to contagion across the global crypto industry, leading other exchanges and lenders to freeze clients’ accounts, halt operations, and, in many cases, file for protection from creditors.Yet all the drama and heartache doesn’t appear to have deterred investors from bidding up FTT. It’s a strange situation given that the FTX crypto exchange is unlikely to be revived, and Sam Bankman-Fried could spend years if not decades behind bars.Why bet on FTT  with all of its baggage?Solana (SOL)Solana (SOL-USD) is a public blockchain platform that is able to facilitate smart contracts. Unlike the other cryptos on this list, SOL has some utility and a purpose. And its price has been skyrocketing this year, gaining 90%. However, Solana still poses a meaningful risk.The biggest risk posed by it is that it is prone to being hacked. The most high-profile hack of the crypto occurred last year when $320 million of Ethereum was stolen from its platform.Solana uses a “wormhole” to connect its blockchain to the Ethereum blockchain, and that connection lacks rigid security and has proven easy to hack. While the developers behind Solana insist they are working to improve its security protocols, there is still reason to be weary of future hacks.That’s especially true since the latest data shows that hackers are targeting crypto more than ever. A newly released report from blockchain analytics firm Chainalysis shows that hackers stole a record $3.8 billion of cryptocurrencies in 2022, and the growth of losses from the hacking of cryptos shows no sign of slowing. Proceed with caution.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":222,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":238463673724984,"gmtCreate":1699254219965,"gmtModify":1699254224462,"author":{"id":"3575503097657037","authorId":"3575503097657037","name":"Wealth98","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/91e78f617644143fd9a0573a2d063a8b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575503097657037","authorIdStr":"3575503097657037"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Fxxking love this FUD article, sell all you can or dump it , as for me , its an opportunity for me to scoop as much as I can .It's accumulating time .&nbsp;","listText":"Fxxking love this FUD article, sell all you can or dump it , as for me , its an opportunity for me to scoop as much as I can .It's accumulating time .&nbsp;","text":"Fxxking love this FUD article, sell all you can or dump it , as for me , its an opportunity for me to scoop as much as I can .It's accumulating time .","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/238463673724984","repostId":"2380018672","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2380018672","pubTimestamp":1699236272,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2380018672?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-11-06 10:04","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Warning: Nothing Is Stopping NIO Stock From Crashing Now","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2380018672","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"Barring some positive surprises with earnings and/or upcoming delivery numbers, expect NIO stock to stay under pressure.","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul style=\"\"><li><p><strong>Nio</strong> (<strong><u>NIO</u></strong>) shares have been hammered in recent months, because of the China-based EV maker falling short  of expectations.</p></li><li><p>Although the company reported solid deliveries growth for October, this growth is not as impressive when compared to that of peers.</p></li><li><p>Disappointment with Nio’s results is likely to continue, which in turn could keep NIO stock moving in a downward trajectory.</p></li></ul><p><strong>Nio</strong> (NYSE: <strong>NIO</strong>) has performed poorly over the past few months. Although shares in the China-based EV maker have found support in recent trading days, I wouldn’t assume that the dust has settled with NIO stock.</p><p>Yes, per the latest headlines, it may seem as if the situation will improve from here for Nio. The company just released monthly delivery numbers, and on the surface deliveries came in strongly. Take a closer look at the numbers, however, and it’s clear that these results are lackluster when compared to that of peers, and to past expectations.</p><p>That’s not all. Little suggests that the company will soon catch up to peers in terms of growth, investors are likely to remain disappointed with Nio’s performance. This, of course, bodes badly for shares.</p><p>With this in mind, read on, as I break down why the bear case still stands with this stock.</p><h2 id=\"id_861471273\">NIO Stock and Relatively Underwhelming Delivery Numbers</h2><p>On Nov. 1, Nio reported 16,074 vehicle deliveries during October, representing a 59.8% increase in deliveries year-over-year. Impressive, right? Well, not quite. Even as deliveries climbed by a high double-digit amount last month, on a sequential (month-over-month) basis, growth was far less stellar.</p><p>As Nio’s September 2023 delivery numbers totaled 15,641 vehicles, October’s deliveries represented a sequential growth of only around 2.77%. The company figures aren’t impressive when compared to delivery numbers reported by China-based peers like <strong>Li Auto</strong> (NASDAQ: <strong>LI</strong>) and <strong>Xpeng</strong> (NYSE: <strong>XPEV</strong>).</p><p>Li’s October deliveries came in at 40,422 vehicles, a 302.1% year-over-year increase, and a 12.1% increase sequentially (based on 36,060 vehicles delivered in September). Xpeng’s deliveries came in at 20,000 for the month, up 292% on a year-over-year basis, and up 31% on a sequential basis.</p><p>While NIO stock did rise following this news, said rise was modest (2.05%) relative to LI (up 3.49%) and XPEV (up 7.04%). Also, the broad market rally on Nov. 1 may have played a larger role in NIO’s rally than on the deliveries news.</p><h2 id=\"id_2700250249\">What This Deliveries Slump Means for Sentiment Going Forward</h2><p>Taking a look at Nio’s delivery figures from July through October, there’s a clear takeaway. The end of China’s “zero Covid” restrictions, plus the launch of new vehicle models, enabled Nio to “level up” its monthly delivery volumes, which for an extended period were stuck at around 10,000 vehicles.</p><p>But while July’s delivery figure (over 20,462) may have suggested Nio was en route to hitting past aggressive sales targets set by management, sales volumes have fallen back in the ensuing months. Now, it appears that Nio can sustain monthly sales of around 15,000 vehicles, or 180,000 vehicles per year.</p><p>The issue? While selling 180,000 premium EVs annually isn’t necessarily anything to sneeze at, barring another round of “leveling up” during November and December, negative sentiment is likely to persist for NIO stock, resulting in further losses for investors. The reasons for this are twofold.</p><p>First, this recent leveling off calls into question whether revenue growth in the coming year will meet expectations. Sell-side consensus currently calls for sales to hit $13.23 billion next, a 56.75% increase. Second, this growth slump calls for yet another walking back of Nio’s timeline to profitability.</p><h2 id=\"id_417200406\">Bottom Line: Expect This Stock to Stay Under Pressure</h2><p>Nio has already given back all of its gains accrued during the “EV bubble” era of 2020-2021, but don’t assume that means the stock is finding a floor, after falling back towards pre-bubble prices.</p><p>Even before the bubble, Nio was given a rich valuation relative to its then-current performance, on the expectation that it was going to become China’s answer to <strong>Tesla</strong> (NASDAQ: <strong>TSLA</strong>), a world-class EV brand with a global reach.</p><p>Yet now, it’s clear the company is likely to be an “also ran” brand in its home market. Over in Europe, its first area of international expansion, Nio is scrambling to boost sales, further signaling this isn’t a “Tesla killer” in the making.</p><p>Barring the unveiling of positive surprises in Nio’s upcoming earnings release (scheduled for Nov. 9), or with its November and December vehicle delivery numbers, expect NIO stock to stay under pressure.</p></body></html>","source":"investorplace_stock_picks","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Warning: Nothing Is Stopping NIO Stock From Crashing Now</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWarning: Nothing Is Stopping NIO Stock From Crashing Now\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-11-06 10:04 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://investorplace.com/2023/11/warning-nothing-is-stopping-nio-stock-from-crashing-now/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Nio (NIO) shares have been hammered in recent months, because of the China-based EV maker falling short  of expectations.Although the company reported solid deliveries growth for October, this growth ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2023/11/warning-nothing-is-stopping-nio-stock-from-crashing-now/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO.SI":"蔚来","NIO":"蔚来","09866":"蔚来-SW"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2023/11/warning-nothing-is-stopping-nio-stock-from-crashing-now/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2380018672","content_text":"Nio (NIO) shares have been hammered in recent months, because of the China-based EV maker falling short  of expectations.Although the company reported solid deliveries growth for October, this growth is not as impressive when compared to that of peers.Disappointment with Nio’s results is likely to continue, which in turn could keep NIO stock moving in a downward trajectory.Nio (NYSE: NIO) has performed poorly over the past few months. Although shares in the China-based EV maker have found support in recent trading days, I wouldn’t assume that the dust has settled with NIO stock.Yes, per the latest headlines, it may seem as if the situation will improve from here for Nio. The company just released monthly delivery numbers, and on the surface deliveries came in strongly. Take a closer look at the numbers, however, and it’s clear that these results are lackluster when compared to that of peers, and to past expectations.That’s not all. Little suggests that the company will soon catch up to peers in terms of growth, investors are likely to remain disappointed with Nio’s performance. This, of course, bodes badly for shares.With this in mind, read on, as I break down why the bear case still stands with this stock.NIO Stock and Relatively Underwhelming Delivery NumbersOn Nov. 1, Nio reported 16,074 vehicle deliveries during October, representing a 59.8% increase in deliveries year-over-year. Impressive, right? Well, not quite. Even as deliveries climbed by a high double-digit amount last month, on a sequential (month-over-month) basis, growth was far less stellar.As Nio’s September 2023 delivery numbers totaled 15,641 vehicles, October’s deliveries represented a sequential growth of only around 2.77%. The company figures aren’t impressive when compared to delivery numbers reported by China-based peers like Li Auto (NASDAQ: LI) and Xpeng (NYSE: XPEV).Li’s October deliveries came in at 40,422 vehicles, a 302.1% year-over-year increase, and a 12.1% increase sequentially (based on 36,060 vehicles delivered in September). Xpeng’s deliveries came in at 20,000 for the month, up 292% on a year-over-year basis, and up 31% on a sequential basis.While NIO stock did rise following this news, said rise was modest (2.05%) relative to LI (up 3.49%) and XPEV (up 7.04%). Also, the broad market rally on Nov. 1 may have played a larger role in NIO’s rally than on the deliveries news.What This Deliveries Slump Means for Sentiment Going ForwardTaking a look at Nio’s delivery figures from July through October, there’s a clear takeaway. The end of China’s “zero Covid” restrictions, plus the launch of new vehicle models, enabled Nio to “level up” its monthly delivery volumes, which for an extended period were stuck at around 10,000 vehicles.But while July’s delivery figure (over 20,462) may have suggested Nio was en route to hitting past aggressive sales targets set by management, sales volumes have fallen back in the ensuing months. Now, it appears that Nio can sustain monthly sales of around 15,000 vehicles, or 180,000 vehicles per year.The issue? While selling 180,000 premium EVs annually isn’t necessarily anything to sneeze at, barring another round of “leveling up” during November and December, negative sentiment is likely to persist for NIO stock, resulting in further losses for investors. The reasons for this are twofold.First, this recent leveling off calls into question whether revenue growth in the coming year will meet expectations. Sell-side consensus currently calls for sales to hit $13.23 billion next, a 56.75% increase. Second, this growth slump calls for yet another walking back of Nio’s timeline to profitability.Bottom Line: Expect This Stock to Stay Under PressureNio has already given back all of its gains accrued during the “EV bubble” era of 2020-2021, but don’t assume that means the stock is finding a floor, after falling back towards pre-bubble prices.Even before the bubble, Nio was given a rich valuation relative to its then-current performance, on the expectation that it was going to become China’s answer to Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA), a world-class EV brand with a global reach.Yet now, it’s clear the company is likely to be an “also ran” brand in its home market. Over in Europe, its first area of international expansion, Nio is scrambling to boost sales, further signaling this isn’t a “Tesla killer” in the making.Barring the unveiling of positive surprises in Nio’s upcoming earnings release (scheduled for Nov. 9), or with its November and December vehicle delivery numbers, expect NIO stock to stay under pressure.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":230,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":118208445,"gmtCreate":1622732353087,"gmtModify":1704190090166,"author":{"id":"3575503097657037","authorId":"3575503097657037","name":"Wealth98","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/91e78f617644143fd9a0573a2d063a8b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575503097657037","authorIdStr":"3575503097657037"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"This is&nbsp;bull Shit news&nbsp;!&nbsp;","listText":"This is&nbsp;bull Shit news&nbsp;!&nbsp;","text":"This is bull Shit news !","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/118208445","repostId":"2140542610","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2140542610","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1622718376,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2140542610?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-03 19:06","market":"us","language":"en","title":"AMC Entertainment Holdings Files To Sell Up To 11.55Mln Shares","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2140542610","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"AMC tumbles 10% after new stock sale announcement, wipes out 20% premarket rally.AMC Entertainment s","content":"<p>AMC tumbles 10% after new stock sale announcement, wipes out 20% premarket rally.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df04643ab4f4847afdb5d9d3285e25fa\" tg-width=\"1302\" tg-height=\"663\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>AMC Entertainment&nbsp;shares erased a 20% rally and plunged double digits in premarket trading on Thursday following a stock sale announcement.</p><p>The meme stock last traded down 10% after soaring more than 20% earlier Thursday before markets opened.</p><p>AMC said in a regulatory filing that it may offer and sell from time to time up to an aggregate of 11.55 million shares of its Class&nbsp;A common stock.</p><p>The move comes after AMC&nbsp;soared 95% in the regular trading session&nbsp;Wednesday to close at an all-time high of $62.55. Its previous closing record of $35.86 was reached in 2015, according to FactSet data.</p><p>AMC’s stock spiked as it hit an intraday high of $72.62, well above its previous intraday record of $36.72.</p><p>In a similar occurrence seen in January with the meme stocks like GameStop, defiant short-sellers have increased their bets against AMC shares over the last month, possibly fueling the move higher. About 18% of the AMC shares available for trading are still sold short through Wednesday, according to S3 Partners.</p><p>On Wednesday, short-sellers lost $2.8 billion as the stock surged, according to S3. That brings their year-to-date losses to more than $5 billion, according to S3.</p><p>Short sellers like hedge funds borrow the stock from an investment bank and sell it in the hopes of buying it back at a lower price and returning the shares, pocketing the difference. However, when a stock surges higher, a so-called short squeeze can occur where investors are forced to buy back the stock to cut their losses.</p><p>Trading was halted several times Wednesday as shares were up more than 100% at one point. At the end of the day, more than 710 million shares exchanged hands. That’s nearly double the number of AMC’s shares outstanding. The company’s 30-day average volume is just 143 million shares.</p><p>Retail investors — many active on Reddit’s WallStreetBets forum — led the AMC rally, and AMC executives have taken note. On Wednesday, the company announced a&nbsp;new portal to connect with individual investors&nbsp;and offered free popcorn, exclusive screenings and other perks to those who hold its stock.</p><p>JPMorgan noted that in the last week, retail order flow into AMC jumped to $583 million, 6.9 standard deviations above the average level of the last one year. According to their quantitative strategy, this kind of imbalance can lead to more outperformance by the stock in coming weeks.</p><p>AMC shares are up 2850% so far this year, bringing its market capitalization to more than $31 billion. That makes it worth more than stocks like Delta Air Lines, State Street and Best Buy.</p><p>Wednesday’s wild trading activity comes even after an investment firm reportedly sold off its stake in the company. On Tuesday, AMC revealed it&nbsp;sold 8.5 million newly issued shares to Mudrick Capital, the latest in a series of capital raises for the stock. The hedge fund later&nbsp;sold all of its AMC stock for a profitthat same day, according to&nbsp;Bloomberg News.</p><p>Most Wall Street analysts believe AMC shares will plummet eventually. The average 12-month target price of analysts is $5.11, according to FactSet.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AMC Entertainment Holdings Files To Sell Up To 11.55Mln Shares</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAMC Entertainment Holdings Files To Sell Up To 11.55Mln Shares\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-06-03 19:06</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>AMC tumbles 10% after new stock sale announcement, wipes out 20% premarket rally.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df04643ab4f4847afdb5d9d3285e25fa\" tg-width=\"1302\" tg-height=\"663\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>AMC Entertainment&nbsp;shares erased a 20% rally and plunged double digits in premarket trading on Thursday following a stock sale announcement.</p><p>The meme stock last traded down 10% after soaring more than 20% earlier Thursday before markets opened.</p><p>AMC said in a regulatory filing that it may offer and sell from time to time up to an aggregate of 11.55 million shares of its Class&nbsp;A common stock.</p><p>The move comes after AMC&nbsp;soared 95% in the regular trading session&nbsp;Wednesday to close at an all-time high of $62.55. Its previous closing record of $35.86 was reached in 2015, according to FactSet data.</p><p>AMC’s stock spiked as it hit an intraday high of $72.62, well above its previous intraday record of $36.72.</p><p>In a similar occurrence seen in January with the meme stocks like GameStop, defiant short-sellers have increased their bets against AMC shares over the last month, possibly fueling the move higher. About 18% of the AMC shares available for trading are still sold short through Wednesday, according to S3 Partners.</p><p>On Wednesday, short-sellers lost $2.8 billion as the stock surged, according to S3. That brings their year-to-date losses to more than $5 billion, according to S3.</p><p>Short sellers like hedge funds borrow the stock from an investment bank and sell it in the hopes of buying it back at a lower price and returning the shares, pocketing the difference. However, when a stock surges higher, a so-called short squeeze can occur where investors are forced to buy back the stock to cut their losses.</p><p>Trading was halted several times Wednesday as shares were up more than 100% at one point. At the end of the day, more than 710 million shares exchanged hands. That’s nearly double the number of AMC’s shares outstanding. The company’s 30-day average volume is just 143 million shares.</p><p>Retail investors — many active on Reddit’s WallStreetBets forum — led the AMC rally, and AMC executives have taken note. On Wednesday, the company announced a&nbsp;new portal to connect with individual investors&nbsp;and offered free popcorn, exclusive screenings and other perks to those who hold its stock.</p><p>JPMorgan noted that in the last week, retail order flow into AMC jumped to $583 million, 6.9 standard deviations above the average level of the last one year. According to their quantitative strategy, this kind of imbalance can lead to more outperformance by the stock in coming weeks.</p><p>AMC shares are up 2850% so far this year, bringing its market capitalization to more than $31 billion. That makes it worth more than stocks like Delta Air Lines, State Street and Best Buy.</p><p>Wednesday’s wild trading activity comes even after an investment firm reportedly sold off its stake in the company. On Tuesday, AMC revealed it&nbsp;sold 8.5 million newly issued shares to Mudrick Capital, the latest in a series of capital raises for the stock. The hedge fund later&nbsp;sold all of its AMC stock for a profitthat same day, according to&nbsp;Bloomberg News.</p><p>Most Wall Street analysts believe AMC shares will plummet eventually. The average 12-month target price of analysts is $5.11, according to FactSet.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2140542610","content_text":"AMC tumbles 10% after new stock sale announcement, wipes out 20% premarket rally.AMC Entertainment shares erased a 20% rally and plunged double digits in premarket trading on Thursday following a stock sale announcement.The meme stock last traded down 10% after soaring more than 20% earlier Thursday before markets opened.AMC said in a regulatory filing that it may offer and sell from time to time up to an aggregate of 11.55 million shares of its Class A common stock.The move comes after AMC soared 95% in the regular trading session Wednesday to close at an all-time high of $62.55. Its previous closing record of $35.86 was reached in 2015, according to FactSet data.AMC’s stock spiked as it hit an intraday high of $72.62, well above its previous intraday record of $36.72.In a similar occurrence seen in January with the meme stocks like GameStop, defiant short-sellers have increased their bets against AMC shares over the last month, possibly fueling the move higher. About 18% of the AMC shares available for trading are still sold short through Wednesday, according to S3 Partners.On Wednesday, short-sellers lost $2.8 billion as the stock surged, according to S3. That brings their year-to-date losses to more than $5 billion, according to S3.Short sellers like hedge funds borrow the stock from an investment bank and sell it in the hopes of buying it back at a lower price and returning the shares, pocketing the difference. However, when a stock surges higher, a so-called short squeeze can occur where investors are forced to buy back the stock to cut their losses.Trading was halted several times Wednesday as shares were up more than 100% at one point. At the end of the day, more than 710 million shares exchanged hands. That’s nearly double the number of AMC’s shares outstanding. The company’s 30-day average volume is just 143 million shares.Retail investors — many active on Reddit’s WallStreetBets forum — led the AMC rally, and AMC executives have taken note. On Wednesday, the company announced a new portal to connect with individual investors and offered free popcorn, exclusive screenings and other perks to those who hold its stock.JPMorgan noted that in the last week, retail order flow into AMC jumped to $583 million, 6.9 standard deviations above the average level of the last one year. According to their quantitative strategy, this kind of imbalance can lead to more outperformance by the stock in coming weeks.AMC shares are up 2850% so far this year, bringing its market capitalization to more than $31 billion. That makes it worth more than stocks like Delta Air Lines, State Street and Best Buy.Wednesday’s wild trading activity comes even after an investment firm reportedly sold off its stake in the company. On Tuesday, AMC revealed it sold 8.5 million newly issued shares to Mudrick Capital, the latest in a series of capital raises for the stock. The hedge fund later sold all of its AMC stock for a profitthat same day, according to Bloomberg News.Most Wall Street analysts believe AMC shares will plummet eventually. The average 12-month target price of analysts is $5.11, according to FactSet.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":126,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9002386929,"gmtCreate":1641915809274,"gmtModify":1676533661692,"author":{"id":"3575503097657037","authorId":"3575503097657037","name":"Wealth98","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/91e78f617644143fd9a0573a2d063a8b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575503097657037","authorIdStr":"3575503097657037"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls do so , what ever you please , funds will flock back&nbsp;to equities and Cryptos eventually , no one willgives a hoot on&nbsp;long term&nbsp;bonds . Yield rise in bonds&nbsp;are&nbsp;transitory.&nbsp;","listText":"Pls do so , what ever you please , funds will flock back&nbsp;to equities and Cryptos eventually , no one willgives a hoot on&nbsp;long term&nbsp;bonds . Yield rise in bonds&nbsp;are&nbsp;transitory.&nbsp;","text":"Pls do so , what ever you please , funds will flock back to equities and Cryptos eventually , no one willgives a hoot on long term bonds . Yield rise in bonds are transitory.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9002386929","repostId":"1181127157","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1181127157","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1641915442,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1181127157?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-01-11 23:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Fed's Powell: We will have to raise interest rates more if high inflation persists","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1181127157","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Fed's Powell: We will have to raise interest rates more if high inflation persists.Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell vowed to fight inflation in testimony on Tuesday before U.S. lawmakers who are ex","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Fed&#39;s Powell: We will have to raise interest rates more if high inflation persists.</p><p>Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell vowed to fight inflation in testimony on Tuesday before U.S. lawmakers who are expected to focus on the recent surge in prices as they consider him for a second term as head of the central bank.</p><p>In opening testimony to the Senate Banking Committee, Powell said the economy&#39;s fast-paced recovery from the coronavirus pandemic was &#34;giving rise to persistent supply and demand imbalances and bottlenecks, and thus to elevated inflation.&#34;</p><p>&#34;We know that high inflation exacts a toll,&#34; he added, pledging to use the central bank&#39;s full suite of policy tools &#34;to prevent higher inflation from becoming entrenched.&#34;</p><p>The hearing is a first step in Powell&#39;s expected confirmation by the full Senate to a new four-year term as Fed chair. Lael Brainard, currently a Fed governor, will be questioned by the same panel on Thursday for promotion to a four-year term as Fed vice chair.</p><p>The positions require majority approval by the full Senate, which is narrowly controlled by President Joe Biden&#39;s Democrats.</p><p>At the start of Tuesday&#39;s session, Democratic Senator Sherrod Brown, the panel&#39;s chair, and Senator Pat Toomey, its senior Republican, endorsed Powell&#39;s management of the Fed&#39;s response to the pandemic, even as they raised questions about its next steps.</p><p>&#34;I believe you&#39;ve shown the leadership&#34; to lead the Fed through debates over inflation, regulation, and an ethics scandal over stock trading by senior officials, Brown said.</p><p>Toomey said he was concerned that the Fed&#39;s robust response to the pandemic may now be stoking inflation and &#34;could become the new normal,&#34; and repeated his criticism of the central bank delving into what he regards as political issues like climate change and inequality.</p><p>INTEREST RATES</p><p>Even as the pandemic continues, inflation has emerged as the Fed&#39;s chief concern.</p><p>In December, the central bank decided to end its purchases of Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities - a legacy of its nearly two-year battle with the economic fallout of the pandemic - by March, and signaled it could raise interest rates three times this year.</p><p>Since then, COVID-19 infections have surged to daily records, with hospitalizations rising and quarantining employees sapping an already stretched labor supply, and some observers expect the mismatch between supply and demand that is putting upward pressure on prices to intensify further.</p><p>Tuesday&#39;s hearing will be Powell&#39;s first chance to say how he sees those disruptions influencing his outlook for both the economy and monetary policy.</p><p>Investors and traders will be listening for new clues on when the Fed may begin raising interest rates</p><p>and possibly reduce its more than $8 trillion in bond holdings to bring down inflation, now running at more than twice the Fed&#39;s 2% target.</p><p>Financial markets are pricing in an aggressive response, with interest rate futures traders betting on four rate hikes this year.</p><p>Powell may face tough questions both from some Democrats, including Senator Elizabeth Warren who has said she opposes his renomination because she sees him as too easy on Wall Street, and from some Republicans who have publicly worried the Fed is responding too late to rising prices.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Fed's Powell: We will have to raise interest rates more if high inflation persists</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFed's Powell: We will have to raise interest rates more if high inflation persists\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-01-11 23:37</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Fed&#39;s Powell: We will have to raise interest rates more if high inflation persists.</p><p>Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell vowed to fight inflation in testimony on Tuesday before U.S. lawmakers who are expected to focus on the recent surge in prices as they consider him for a second term as head of the central bank.</p><p>In opening testimony to the Senate Banking Committee, Powell said the economy&#39;s fast-paced recovery from the coronavirus pandemic was &#34;giving rise to persistent supply and demand imbalances and bottlenecks, and thus to elevated inflation.&#34;</p><p>&#34;We know that high inflation exacts a toll,&#34; he added, pledging to use the central bank&#39;s full suite of policy tools &#34;to prevent higher inflation from becoming entrenched.&#34;</p><p>The hearing is a first step in Powell&#39;s expected confirmation by the full Senate to a new four-year term as Fed chair. Lael Brainard, currently a Fed governor, will be questioned by the same panel on Thursday for promotion to a four-year term as Fed vice chair.</p><p>The positions require majority approval by the full Senate, which is narrowly controlled by President Joe Biden&#39;s Democrats.</p><p>At the start of Tuesday&#39;s session, Democratic Senator Sherrod Brown, the panel&#39;s chair, and Senator Pat Toomey, its senior Republican, endorsed Powell&#39;s management of the Fed&#39;s response to the pandemic, even as they raised questions about its next steps.</p><p>&#34;I believe you&#39;ve shown the leadership&#34; to lead the Fed through debates over inflation, regulation, and an ethics scandal over stock trading by senior officials, Brown said.</p><p>Toomey said he was concerned that the Fed&#39;s robust response to the pandemic may now be stoking inflation and &#34;could become the new normal,&#34; and repeated his criticism of the central bank delving into what he regards as political issues like climate change and inequality.</p><p>INTEREST RATES</p><p>Even as the pandemic continues, inflation has emerged as the Fed&#39;s chief concern.</p><p>In December, the central bank decided to end its purchases of Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities - a legacy of its nearly two-year battle with the economic fallout of the pandemic - by March, and signaled it could raise interest rates three times this year.</p><p>Since then, COVID-19 infections have surged to daily records, with hospitalizations rising and quarantining employees sapping an already stretched labor supply, and some observers expect the mismatch between supply and demand that is putting upward pressure on prices to intensify further.</p><p>Tuesday&#39;s hearing will be Powell&#39;s first chance to say how he sees those disruptions influencing his outlook for both the economy and monetary policy.</p><p>Investors and traders will be listening for new clues on when the Fed may begin raising interest rates</p><p>and possibly reduce its more than $8 trillion in bond holdings to bring down inflation, now running at more than twice the Fed&#39;s 2% target.</p><p>Financial markets are pricing in an aggressive response, with interest rate futures traders betting on four rate hikes this year.</p><p>Powell may face tough questions both from some Democrats, including Senator Elizabeth Warren who has said she opposes his renomination because she sees him as too easy on Wall Street, and from some Republicans who have publicly worried the Fed is responding too late to rising prices.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1181127157","content_text":"Fed's Powell: We will have to raise interest rates more if high inflation persists.Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell vowed to fight inflation in testimony on Tuesday before U.S. lawmakers who are expected to focus on the recent surge in prices as they consider him for a second term as head of the central bank.In opening testimony to the Senate Banking Committee, Powell said the economy's fast-paced recovery from the coronavirus pandemic was \"giving rise to persistent supply and demand imbalances and bottlenecks, and thus to elevated inflation.\"\"We know that high inflation exacts a toll,\" he added, pledging to use the central bank's full suite of policy tools \"to prevent higher inflation from becoming entrenched.\"The hearing is a first step in Powell's expected confirmation by the full Senate to a new four-year term as Fed chair. Lael Brainard, currently a Fed governor, will be questioned by the same panel on Thursday for promotion to a four-year term as Fed vice chair.The positions require majority approval by the full Senate, which is narrowly controlled by President Joe Biden's Democrats.At the start of Tuesday's session, Democratic Senator Sherrod Brown, the panel's chair, and Senator Pat Toomey, its senior Republican, endorsed Powell's management of the Fed's response to the pandemic, even as they raised questions about its next steps.\"I believe you've shown the leadership\" to lead the Fed through debates over inflation, regulation, and an ethics scandal over stock trading by senior officials, Brown said.Toomey said he was concerned that the Fed's robust response to the pandemic may now be stoking inflation and \"could become the new normal,\" and repeated his criticism of the central bank delving into what he regards as political issues like climate change and inequality.INTEREST RATESEven as the pandemic continues, inflation has emerged as the Fed's chief concern.In December, the central bank decided to end its purchases of Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities - a legacy of its nearly two-year battle with the economic fallout of the pandemic - by March, and signaled it could raise interest rates three times this year.Since then, COVID-19 infections have surged to daily records, with hospitalizations rising and quarantining employees sapping an already stretched labor supply, and some observers expect the mismatch between supply and demand that is putting upward pressure on prices to intensify further.Tuesday's hearing will be Powell's first chance to say how he sees those disruptions influencing his outlook for both the economy and monetary policy.Investors and traders will be listening for new clues on when the Fed may begin raising interest ratesand possibly reduce its more than $8 trillion in bond holdings to bring down inflation, now running at more than twice the Fed's 2% target.Financial markets are pricing in an aggressive response, with interest rate futures traders betting on four rate hikes this year.Powell may face tough questions both from some Democrats, including Senator Elizabeth Warren who has said she opposes his renomination because she sees him as too easy on Wall Street, and from some Republicans who have publicly worried the Fed is responding too late to rising prices.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":557,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":118205822,"gmtCreate":1622732439866,"gmtModify":1704190093742,"author":{"id":"3575503097657037","authorId":"3575503097657037","name":"Wealth98","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/91e78f617644143fd9a0573a2d063a8b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575503097657037","authorIdStr":"3575503097657037"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"When AMC rocket , trading halt , when AMC crashed&nbsp;, trading continue ... wtf !&nbsp;","listText":"When AMC rocket , trading halt , when AMC crashed&nbsp;, trading continue ... wtf !&nbsp;","text":"When AMC rocket , trading halt , when AMC crashed , trading continue ... wtf !","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/118205822","repostId":"2140542610","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2140542610","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1622718376,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2140542610?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-03 19:06","market":"us","language":"en","title":"AMC Entertainment Holdings Files To Sell Up To 11.55Mln Shares","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2140542610","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"AMC tumbles 10% after new stock sale announcement, wipes out 20% premarket rally.AMC Entertainment s","content":"<p>AMC tumbles 10% after new stock sale announcement, wipes out 20% premarket rally.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df04643ab4f4847afdb5d9d3285e25fa\" tg-width=\"1302\" tg-height=\"663\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>AMC Entertainment&nbsp;shares erased a 20% rally and plunged double digits in premarket trading on Thursday following a stock sale announcement.</p><p>The meme stock last traded down 10% after soaring more than 20% earlier Thursday before markets opened.</p><p>AMC said in a regulatory filing that it may offer and sell from time to time up to an aggregate of 11.55 million shares of its Class&nbsp;A common stock.</p><p>The move comes after AMC&nbsp;soared 95% in the regular trading session&nbsp;Wednesday to close at an all-time high of $62.55. Its previous closing record of $35.86 was reached in 2015, according to FactSet data.</p><p>AMC’s stock spiked as it hit an intraday high of $72.62, well above its previous intraday record of $36.72.</p><p>In a similar occurrence seen in January with the meme stocks like GameStop, defiant short-sellers have increased their bets against AMC shares over the last month, possibly fueling the move higher. About 18% of the AMC shares available for trading are still sold short through Wednesday, according to S3 Partners.</p><p>On Wednesday, short-sellers lost $2.8 billion as the stock surged, according to S3. That brings their year-to-date losses to more than $5 billion, according to S3.</p><p>Short sellers like hedge funds borrow the stock from an investment bank and sell it in the hopes of buying it back at a lower price and returning the shares, pocketing the difference. However, when a stock surges higher, a so-called short squeeze can occur where investors are forced to buy back the stock to cut their losses.</p><p>Trading was halted several times Wednesday as shares were up more than 100% at one point. At the end of the day, more than 710 million shares exchanged hands. That’s nearly double the number of AMC’s shares outstanding. The company’s 30-day average volume is just 143 million shares.</p><p>Retail investors — many active on Reddit’s WallStreetBets forum — led the AMC rally, and AMC executives have taken note. On Wednesday, the company announced a&nbsp;new portal to connect with individual investors&nbsp;and offered free popcorn, exclusive screenings and other perks to those who hold its stock.</p><p>JPMorgan noted that in the last week, retail order flow into AMC jumped to $583 million, 6.9 standard deviations above the average level of the last one year. According to their quantitative strategy, this kind of imbalance can lead to more outperformance by the stock in coming weeks.</p><p>AMC shares are up 2850% so far this year, bringing its market capitalization to more than $31 billion. That makes it worth more than stocks like Delta Air Lines, State Street and Best Buy.</p><p>Wednesday’s wild trading activity comes even after an investment firm reportedly sold off its stake in the company. On Tuesday, AMC revealed it&nbsp;sold 8.5 million newly issued shares to Mudrick Capital, the latest in a series of capital raises for the stock. The hedge fund later&nbsp;sold all of its AMC stock for a profitthat same day, according to&nbsp;Bloomberg News.</p><p>Most Wall Street analysts believe AMC shares will plummet eventually. The average 12-month target price of analysts is $5.11, according to FactSet.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AMC Entertainment Holdings Files To Sell Up To 11.55Mln Shares</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAMC Entertainment Holdings Files To Sell Up To 11.55Mln Shares\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-06-03 19:06</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>AMC tumbles 10% after new stock sale announcement, wipes out 20% premarket rally.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df04643ab4f4847afdb5d9d3285e25fa\" tg-width=\"1302\" tg-height=\"663\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>AMC Entertainment&nbsp;shares erased a 20% rally and plunged double digits in premarket trading on Thursday following a stock sale announcement.</p><p>The meme stock last traded down 10% after soaring more than 20% earlier Thursday before markets opened.</p><p>AMC said in a regulatory filing that it may offer and sell from time to time up to an aggregate of 11.55 million shares of its Class&nbsp;A common stock.</p><p>The move comes after AMC&nbsp;soared 95% in the regular trading session&nbsp;Wednesday to close at an all-time high of $62.55. Its previous closing record of $35.86 was reached in 2015, according to FactSet data.</p><p>AMC’s stock spiked as it hit an intraday high of $72.62, well above its previous intraday record of $36.72.</p><p>In a similar occurrence seen in January with the meme stocks like GameStop, defiant short-sellers have increased their bets against AMC shares over the last month, possibly fueling the move higher. About 18% of the AMC shares available for trading are still sold short through Wednesday, according to S3 Partners.</p><p>On Wednesday, short-sellers lost $2.8 billion as the stock surged, according to S3. That brings their year-to-date losses to more than $5 billion, according to S3.</p><p>Short sellers like hedge funds borrow the stock from an investment bank and sell it in the hopes of buying it back at a lower price and returning the shares, pocketing the difference. However, when a stock surges higher, a so-called short squeeze can occur where investors are forced to buy back the stock to cut their losses.</p><p>Trading was halted several times Wednesday as shares were up more than 100% at one point. At the end of the day, more than 710 million shares exchanged hands. That’s nearly double the number of AMC’s shares outstanding. The company’s 30-day average volume is just 143 million shares.</p><p>Retail investors — many active on Reddit’s WallStreetBets forum — led the AMC rally, and AMC executives have taken note. On Wednesday, the company announced a&nbsp;new portal to connect with individual investors&nbsp;and offered free popcorn, exclusive screenings and other perks to those who hold its stock.</p><p>JPMorgan noted that in the last week, retail order flow into AMC jumped to $583 million, 6.9 standard deviations above the average level of the last one year. According to their quantitative strategy, this kind of imbalance can lead to more outperformance by the stock in coming weeks.</p><p>AMC shares are up 2850% so far this year, bringing its market capitalization to more than $31 billion. That makes it worth more than stocks like Delta Air Lines, State Street and Best Buy.</p><p>Wednesday’s wild trading activity comes even after an investment firm reportedly sold off its stake in the company. On Tuesday, AMC revealed it&nbsp;sold 8.5 million newly issued shares to Mudrick Capital, the latest in a series of capital raises for the stock. The hedge fund later&nbsp;sold all of its AMC stock for a profitthat same day, according to&nbsp;Bloomberg News.</p><p>Most Wall Street analysts believe AMC shares will plummet eventually. The average 12-month target price of analysts is $5.11, according to FactSet.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2140542610","content_text":"AMC tumbles 10% after new stock sale announcement, wipes out 20% premarket rally.AMC Entertainment shares erased a 20% rally and plunged double digits in premarket trading on Thursday following a stock sale announcement.The meme stock last traded down 10% after soaring more than 20% earlier Thursday before markets opened.AMC said in a regulatory filing that it may offer and sell from time to time up to an aggregate of 11.55 million shares of its Class A common stock.The move comes after AMC soared 95% in the regular trading session Wednesday to close at an all-time high of $62.55. Its previous closing record of $35.86 was reached in 2015, according to FactSet data.AMC’s stock spiked as it hit an intraday high of $72.62, well above its previous intraday record of $36.72.In a similar occurrence seen in January with the meme stocks like GameStop, defiant short-sellers have increased their bets against AMC shares over the last month, possibly fueling the move higher. About 18% of the AMC shares available for trading are still sold short through Wednesday, according to S3 Partners.On Wednesday, short-sellers lost $2.8 billion as the stock surged, according to S3. That brings their year-to-date losses to more than $5 billion, according to S3.Short sellers like hedge funds borrow the stock from an investment bank and sell it in the hopes of buying it back at a lower price and returning the shares, pocketing the difference. However, when a stock surges higher, a so-called short squeeze can occur where investors are forced to buy back the stock to cut their losses.Trading was halted several times Wednesday as shares were up more than 100% at one point. At the end of the day, more than 710 million shares exchanged hands. That’s nearly double the number of AMC’s shares outstanding. The company’s 30-day average volume is just 143 million shares.Retail investors — many active on Reddit’s WallStreetBets forum — led the AMC rally, and AMC executives have taken note. On Wednesday, the company announced a new portal to connect with individual investors and offered free popcorn, exclusive screenings and other perks to those who hold its stock.JPMorgan noted that in the last week, retail order flow into AMC jumped to $583 million, 6.9 standard deviations above the average level of the last one year. According to their quantitative strategy, this kind of imbalance can lead to more outperformance by the stock in coming weeks.AMC shares are up 2850% so far this year, bringing its market capitalization to more than $31 billion. That makes it worth more than stocks like Delta Air Lines, State Street and Best Buy.Wednesday’s wild trading activity comes even after an investment firm reportedly sold off its stake in the company. On Tuesday, AMC revealed it sold 8.5 million newly issued shares to Mudrick Capital, the latest in a series of capital raises for the stock. The hedge fund later sold all of its AMC stock for a profitthat same day, according to Bloomberg News.Most Wall Street analysts believe AMC shares will plummet eventually. The average 12-month target price of analysts is $5.11, according to FactSet.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":217,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":811679733,"gmtCreate":1630322193223,"gmtModify":1676530268016,"author":{"id":"3575503097657037","authorId":"3575503097657037","name":"Wealth98","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/91e78f617644143fd9a0573a2d063a8b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575503097657037","authorIdStr":"3575503097657037"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Target price people ?&nbsp;","listText":"Target price people ?&nbsp;","text":"Target price people ?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/811679733","repostId":"1199138618","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1199138618","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1630316356,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1199138618?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-08-30 17:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Globalstar shares rose more than 20% in premarket trading","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1199138618","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Globalstar shares rose more than 20% in premarket trading.\nApple Inc. could partner with Globalstar ","content":"<p>Globalstar&nbsp;shares&nbsp;rose&nbsp;more&nbsp;than&nbsp;20%&nbsp;in&nbsp;premarket&nbsp;trading.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33606a167f18f6de91abf407f2f6fa7e\" tg-width=\"896\" tg-height=\"614\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Apple Inc.&nbsp;could partner with&nbsp;Globalstar Inc.&nbsp;to bring satellite communication connectivity to the upcoming&nbsp;iPhone 13&nbsp;models, according to a note from Apple analyst&nbsp;Ming-Chi Kuo,&nbsp;Apple&nbsp;Insider&nbsp;reported.</p>\n<p>A customized version of the Qualcomm X60 baseband chip that Apple is expected to use in the iPhone 13 will support low-earth-orbit (LEO) satellite communications, Kuo reportedly said in the note.</p>\n<p>iPhone 13 users will be able to directly use Globalstar’s satellite communication services on their devices if Apple partners with the LEO satellite communication service provider, Kuo said, as per the report.</p>\n<p>Apple could also use the satellite communication feature in its upcoming Apple AR headset and the Apple Car, Kuo noted.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Globalstar shares rose more than 20% in premarket trading</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGlobalstar shares rose more than 20% in premarket trading\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-08-30 17:39</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Globalstar&nbsp;shares&nbsp;rose&nbsp;more&nbsp;than&nbsp;20%&nbsp;in&nbsp;premarket&nbsp;trading.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33606a167f18f6de91abf407f2f6fa7e\" tg-width=\"896\" tg-height=\"614\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Apple Inc.&nbsp;could partner with&nbsp;Globalstar Inc.&nbsp;to bring satellite communication connectivity to the upcoming&nbsp;iPhone 13&nbsp;models, according to a note from Apple analyst&nbsp;Ming-Chi Kuo,&nbsp;Apple&nbsp;Insider&nbsp;reported.</p>\n<p>A customized version of the Qualcomm X60 baseband chip that Apple is expected to use in the iPhone 13 will support low-earth-orbit (LEO) satellite communications, Kuo reportedly said in the note.</p>\n<p>iPhone 13 users will be able to directly use Globalstar’s satellite communication services on their devices if Apple partners with the LEO satellite communication service provider, Kuo said, as per the report.</p>\n<p>Apple could also use the satellite communication feature in its upcoming Apple AR headset and the Apple Car, Kuo noted.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果","GSAT":"全球星"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1199138618","content_text":"Globalstar shares rose more than 20% in premarket trading.\nApple Inc. could partner with Globalstar Inc. to bring satellite communication connectivity to the upcoming iPhone 13 models, according to a note from Apple analyst Ming-Chi Kuo, Apple Insider reported.\nA customized version of the Qualcomm X60 baseband chip that Apple is expected to use in the iPhone 13 will support low-earth-orbit (LEO) satellite communications, Kuo reportedly said in the note.\niPhone 13 users will be able to directly use Globalstar’s satellite communication services on their devices if Apple partners with the LEO satellite communication service provider, Kuo said, as per the report.\nApple could also use the satellite communication feature in its upcoming Apple AR headset and the Apple Car, Kuo noted.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":198,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":192700831,"gmtCreate":1621227016623,"gmtModify":1704354255495,"author":{"id":"3575503097657037","authorId":"3575503097657037","name":"Wealth98","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/91e78f617644143fd9a0573a2d063a8b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575503097657037","authorIdStr":"3575503097657037"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Man , i will also rotate my fund from Tesla to Nio .&nbsp;","listText":"Man , i will also rotate my fund from Tesla to Nio .&nbsp;","text":"Man , i will also rotate my fund from Tesla to Nio .","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/192700831","repostId":"2136980120","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":175,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":244483418042368,"gmtCreate":1700712365204,"gmtModify":1700712369555,"author":{"id":"3575503097657037","authorId":"3575503097657037","name":"Wealth98","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/91e78f617644143fd9a0573a2d063a8b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575503097657037","authorIdStr":"3575503097657037"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"When such negative article written to press down a stock price , just wait and see , the stock price will reverse .&nbsp;","listText":"When such negative article written to press down a stock price , just wait and see , the stock price will reverse .&nbsp;","text":"When such negative article written to press down a stock price , just wait and see , the stock price will reverse .","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/244483418042368","repostId":"2385622376","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":409,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9998641604,"gmtCreate":1660990709812,"gmtModify":1676536436139,"author":{"id":"3575503097657037","authorId":"3575503097657037","name":"Wealth98","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/91e78f617644143fd9a0573a2d063a8b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575503097657037","authorIdStr":"3575503097657037"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Fud article ...&nbsp;","listText":"Fud article ...&nbsp;","text":"Fud article ...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9998641604","repostId":"1161973648","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1161973648","pubTimestamp":1660961604,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1161973648?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-20 10:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Bitcoin: Black Swans Are Lurking","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1161973648","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryBitcoin's blow-off top at $25k on August 14th signifies the end of a reflexive rally, representing the \"return to normal\" stage of a bubble.We anticipate Bitcoin is entering \"phase 2\" of its fi","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Bitcoin&#39;s blow-off top at $25k on August 14th signifies the end of a reflexive rally, representing the &#34;return to normal&#34; stage of a bubble.</li><li>We anticipate Bitcoin is entering &#34;phase 2&#34; of its first-ever bear market, which can decrease BTC by another 60% to 80%.</li><li>Tight monetary conditions, regulatory encroachment into crypto, pending collapses/insolvencies, and the spread of Monkeypox can push Bitcoin to $13k, $11k, or $8k - $5k by November 2022.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06049fcdc1faaaf8e98c02d34d25e737\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>rayisa</span></p><p><b>Bitcoin: This Time Is Different!</b></p><p>As opposed to the grassroots movement it once was, institutional fund flows primarily drove Bitcoin&#39;s (BTC-USD) most recent bull trend. In 2020, the US Federal Reserve lowered interest rates to 0 and provided over $2.3 trillionin loans to support the economy. This, combined with Covid-19 stimulus checks given directly to citizens, worked to funnel billions of excess liquidity into the crypto casino.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4ad60d9dee720c7827a97c38a6feb675\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"315\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>BTC:USD - 2W (TradingView)</span></p><p>With Bitcoin&#39;s unraveling and dip below $20k, much of the magic surrounding cryptocurrencies has diminished. We believe the current bear market is forcing investors to realize numerous hard truths, including:</p><ol><li>Bitcoin&#39;s unsustainable growth rate,</li><li>Incoming regulations for Ethereum (ETH-USD) and DeFi,</li><li>The crypto market&#39;s <i>over-reliance</i> on loose monetary policy and a bullish stock market.</li></ol><p>After a violent rally from June 18th to August 15th, Bitcoin&#39;s all-time chart has one of the most bearish patterns I&#39;ve ever seen. To understand this, you must note that a backdrop of<i>favorable financial conditions</i>has characterized Bitcoin&#39;s entire existence. This includes 13 years with a Federal Funds rate between 0% - 2%, promoting a consistently bullish market for stocks.</p><p>Now, when faced with a<i>bearish</i>stock market and<i>high</i>rates, we expect Bitcoin&#39;s price will plummet.</p><p><b>Bitcoin All-Time Price Chart</b></p><p>The chart below compares Bitcoin vs. the NASDAQ-100 index (NDX). Observably, an increasing stock market has always supported Bitcoin:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dbbc9b759a44f7933564ded412fb9314\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"269\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>BTC:USD - 2W (TradingView)</span></p><p>Amidst such <i>extensively beneficial</i> market conditions, Bitcoin&#39;s price has swung bullishly between two massive hype cycles (firstly driven by retail from 2012 to 2017 and secondly by institutions from 2018 to 2021). These hype cycles are identified with the green and red boxes in the chart above.</p><ul><li>Bitcoin&#39;s hype cycles together form a decade-long 5-wave impulsive movement that peaks at $68k/BTC (identified with the orange lines).</li></ul><p>Therefore, the data shows that Bitcoin&#39;s growth rate has always been supported by a beneficial market that promoted increasing hype. This hype emerged as retail FOMO in 2017 and institutional FOMO in 2021. (<i>Up next could be nation-state FOMO. We aren&#39;t kidding. If there is another &#34;cryptocurrency cycle,&#34; it could see governments FOMO into Bitcoin in efforts to mitigate inflation</i>).</p><p>As monetary conditions tighten and stocks collapse, we believe Bitcoin&#39;s previous growth trend is no longer sustainable. Consequently, we expect Bitcoin will decline to <i>at least</i> $13.7k (precisely 80% below its all-time high) by November.</p><ul><li>Going forward, further downside in Bitcoin (and all other cryptocurrencies) can be powered by worsening economic conditions, increasing regulatory pressure, and the shattering of many deeply held cryptocurrency beliefs.</li><li>We expect new regulations will soon require Ethereum applications to collect user information.</li><li>We&#39;re also exceedingly worried about the ongoingDOJ probe into Tether(USDT-USD); we suspect more crypto exchange insolvencies are on the way, and we expect global Monkeypox cases will worsen into 2023.</li></ul><p><b>Bitcoin TA Shows Another 60% Decline</b></p><p>Technically speaking, Bitcoin has moved impressively bullish since bottoming at $17,637 on June 18th, 2022. However, indicators have since rapidly shifted<i>bearish,</i>prompting us to believe the rally is over. Currently, the most significant bearish indicators include:</p><ul><li>A 5-wave impulsive movement that ended with a blow-off top at $25k,</li><li>the daily MACD negatively crossing 0,</li><li>the daily/weekly trendlines remain untested.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/761c7bbe9eaa8132d4fbcd6b8fa72ed7\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"316\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>BTC:USD - 1D (TradingView)</span></p><p>In our previous article, we identified Bitcoin was moving in a <i>reflexive rally</i> powered by<i>less bad</i>economic conditions and positive investor sentiment. Although we expected the bull trend to last until mid-September, recent government action against Tornado Cash appears to have killed the hype:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bb3b89df931566e267cc18e520965fb3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"315\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>BTC:USD - 1H (TradingView)</span></p><p>The chart below uses multi-timeframe trendlines to determine Bitcoin&#39;s speed, direction, and significant support levels. TrendSpider indicates Bitcoin is moving in an approximately 35-degree downtrend, projected to reach weekly support at $8k - $5k between October and November 2022. This projection is over 60% below Bitcoin&#39;s current price!</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/13a0514bb05bd64ce0bcc045a3283170\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"362\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>BTC:USD - 1D (TrendSpider)</span></p><p>Zooming out, we believe TrendSpider&#39;s weekly trendlines reflect Bitcoin&#39;s <i>real</i> logarithmic growth curves (as opposed to the fake curve often circulated). Accordingly, we expect Bitcoin to move like a &#34;bowling ball thrown out a window&#34; until reaching $10k psychological support or weekly trendline support between $8k - $5k.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/796db43ff5d73d88d492a35e626ae320\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"362\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>BTC:USD - 1W (TrendSpider)</span></p><p>Hence, Bitcoin&#39;s technicals are all signaling bearish. To conclude, we&#39;re planning for three possibilities to trade Bitcoin&#39;s bottom:</p><ol><li>The bottom is in, and Bitcoin will now resume its long-term bull trend.</li><li>Bitcoin will mirror previous cycles and bottom approximately 80% below its all-time high, located around $13.7k - $11k.</li><li>Fear caused by new cryptocurrency regulations and worsening financial conditions will push Bitcoin below $10k. In this scenario, we expect BTC to find support at its weekly trendlines between $8k - $5k.</li></ol><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4449d83f87efa2a1cd3cfb2cb066f6f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"332\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>BTC:USD - 2W (TradingView)</span></p><p><b>Bitcoin&#39;s First True Bear Market</b></p><p>By observing Bitcoin&#39;s lifetime of price action, we can see that Bitcoin&#39;s long-term bull trend has always been powered by hype (where investors allocate funds <i>in anticipation</i> of more investors entering crypto) as well as beneficial circumstances (including loose monetary policy, an increasing stock market, and lack of regulations). After over a decade of advantageous conditions, Bitcoin is now facing<i>the opposite</i>of each of these dynamics.</p><p>In our view, Bitcoin&#39;s recent 75% downtrend from November 2021 to June 2022 represents &#39;phase 1&#39; of a much larger bear market. In fact, we believe Bitcoin is currently entering its first-ever <i>real</i> bear market.</p><p>As shown in the chart below, the last two Bitcoin &#39;bear markets&#39; <i>weren&#39;t actually bear markets.</i> Instead, they were bull market corrections!</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/db68ad989673aafb983acbfdf6ef8dc5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"332\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>BTC:USD - 2W (TradingView)</span></p><p>At the time of writing, Bitcoin has yet to enter its <i>true</i> bear market territory. We believe Bitcoin&#39;s first bear market begins below $20k, upon which all of the most famous bull trend indicators will become invalid.</p><p>While Bitcoin&#39;s stock-to-flowmodel and logarithmic growth curvesare already broken, we expect Bitcoin&#39;s Pi Cycle indicator (shown below) is the next to break:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1ed4a896fd6b61d52a0f24867a6da507\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"324\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>BTC:USD - 2W (TradingView)</span></p><p><b>Incoming Black Swan Events</b></p><p>So far, we&#39;ve covered Bitcoin&#39;s bearish technicals and fundamentals. We also explained why we expect an impending crash will be Bitcoin&#39;s<i>worst ever</i>. Going forward, we&#39;re anticipating the following &#39;Black Swan&#39; events will power a violent downturn:</p><p><b>1) Stock Market Collapse</b></p><p>Despite the past 7-month downtrend, the NASDAQ-100 index is still<i>overvalued</i>relative to its long-term base-level trendline:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d58fcfab0b93b5fbc217eca0329f8f91\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"268\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>NDX:USD - 1W (TradingView)</span></p><p>As shown above, the similarities between the Nasdaq&#39;s current structure to 2008 and 1999 are uncanny. If NDX is destined to crash like the dot-com bubble, this will decrease the index by another 64%.</p><p><b>2) Cryptocurrency Regulation</b></p><p>As previously stated, the US government sanctioned the Ethereum mixer application &#39;Tornado Cash&#39; on August 8th, 2022. As regulatory uncertainty has haunted cryptocurrencies for years, we believe the recent government action against Tornado Cash represents one of<i>many</i>attacks soon to come.</p><p>Furthermore, the Tornado Cash sanction proved that Ethereum is not censorship-resistant. This flies in the face of millions of ETH investors (including myself) who previously assumed Ethereum applications were immune to government censorship.</p><p>Therefore, we expect <i>increasing regulation</i> and the <i>relinquishment of previously held beliefs</i> will drive the prices of Ethereum and its DeFi economy much lower.</p><blockquote>Laura Shin&#39;s &#39;Unchained&#39; podcast episode with Dave Jevans, CEO of Cipher Trace, is the best source I&#39;ve found to discover incoming cryptocurrency regulations.</blockquote><p><b>3) Tether Collapse</b></p><p>The Tether stablecoin represents another dynamic that has haunted the crypto market for years. In 2018, two university professors released a 60-page report detailing how Tether used market manipulation tactics to boost Bitcoin&#39;s price during the 2017 rally.</p><p>Although the crypto market has ignored this controversy for years, the US Department of Justice has recently moved to re-open their investigation into Tether. As the crypto market&#39;s largest stablecoin (valued at $43 billion), it&#39;s reasonable to assume that a Tether bank fraud conviction would negatively affect cryptocurrency prices.</p><p><b>4) Exchange Insolvencies</b></p><p>&#34;Phase 1&#34; of Bitcoin&#39;s bear market (from $68k to $17k) saw numerous cryptocurrency lenders declare insolvency. During Phase 2 of the downtrend (which will bring Bitcoin below $20k), we believe more exchanges and lenders will declare insolvency/bankruptcy.</p><p>Notably, in a move similar to Celsius and Voyager&#39;s pre-insolvency actions, Crypto.com (CRO-USD) has recently decreased the rewards paid to its credit card holders. Although this doesn&#39;t<i>prove</i>anything, it&#39;s objectively not a good sign.</p><p><b>5) Monkeypox</b></p><p>Lastly, we believe the Monkeypox virus represents a significant &#39;black swan&#39; event that markets aren&#39;t pricing in. As of August 18th, 2022, there are 38,735 confirmed global Monkeypox cases and 2,446 suspected cases:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c26dd7ca82e31f91a6c9b4f244da256\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"327\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Cumulative Confirmed Monkeypox Cases (monkeypox.global.health)</span></p><p>Although it&#39;s unlikely that Monkeypox will spread as quickly as Covid-19, it is worth noting that cumulative international Monkeypox cases are currently at the same number as Covid-19 during February 2020:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51042d06277e56a3fa14ecf273febd78\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"452\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Covid-19 Cumulative Confirmed Cases (Our World In Data)</span></p><p>We anticipate Monkeypox will develop into a much larger issue as cases increase into 2023. Raising monkeypox cases could frighten many citizens, prompting them to seek vaccinations from a dwindling supply.</p><p><b>Short Trades</b></p><p>Currently, we&#39;re margin short Bitcoin with an entry at $24.2k, and we&#39;re short Ethereum at $1902. We&#39;re also short Uniswap (UNI-USD) and Curve Finance (CRV-USD), as we expect incoming cryptocurrency regulations will seriously damage these protocols.</p><p><b>Risks</b></p><p>Trends in macroeconomics and central bank policy support our bearish outlook for Bitcoin. Risks include any<i>hint</i>of dovishness from the Fed (which would rocket markets higher) and uncertainties surrounding the November 2022 Congressional elections. Markets may bounce if the Republicans win the majority in the House of Representatives. Alternatively, we expect a heavy dump if the Democrats win.</p><p>Additionally, investors should continue to expect each month&#39;s inflation print and economic data to affect prices heavily.</p><p><b>Key Takeaways</b></p><ul><li>After 13 years of beneficial financial conditions and two massive hype cycles, Bitcoin is poised for its biggest crash ever (its first<i>real</i>bear market).</li><li>We anticipate this downturn can push Bitcoin to $13k - $11k or to $8k - $5k.</li><li>Majorly detrimental events are brewing beneath the crypto market&#39;s surface, including regulatory encroachment, a worsening economy, poor financial conditions, and the spread of the Monkeypox virus.</li></ul><p><i>This article was written by Bitfreedom Research. </i><i>This document is for reference only.</i></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bitcoin: Black Swans Are Lurking</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBitcoin: Black Swans Are Lurking\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-20 10:13 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4535755-bitcoin-black-swans-lurking><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryBitcoin's blow-off top at $25k on August 14th signifies the end of a reflexive rally, representing the \"return to normal\" stage of a bubble.We anticipate Bitcoin is entering \"phase 2\" of its ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4535755-bitcoin-black-swans-lurking\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GBTC":"Grayscale Bitcoin Trust"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4535755-bitcoin-black-swans-lurking","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1161973648","content_text":"SummaryBitcoin's blow-off top at $25k on August 14th signifies the end of a reflexive rally, representing the \"return to normal\" stage of a bubble.We anticipate Bitcoin is entering \"phase 2\" of its first-ever bear market, which can decrease BTC by another 60% to 80%.Tight monetary conditions, regulatory encroachment into crypto, pending collapses/insolvencies, and the spread of Monkeypox can push Bitcoin to $13k, $11k, or $8k - $5k by November 2022.rayisaBitcoin: This Time Is Different!As opposed to the grassroots movement it once was, institutional fund flows primarily drove Bitcoin's (BTC-USD) most recent bull trend. In 2020, the US Federal Reserve lowered interest rates to 0 and provided over $2.3 trillionin loans to support the economy. This, combined with Covid-19 stimulus checks given directly to citizens, worked to funnel billions of excess liquidity into the crypto casino.BTC:USD - 2W (TradingView)With Bitcoin's unraveling and dip below $20k, much of the magic surrounding cryptocurrencies has diminished. We believe the current bear market is forcing investors to realize numerous hard truths, including:Bitcoin's unsustainable growth rate,Incoming regulations for Ethereum (ETH-USD) and DeFi,The crypto market's over-reliance on loose monetary policy and a bullish stock market.After a violent rally from June 18th to August 15th, Bitcoin's all-time chart has one of the most bearish patterns I've ever seen. To understand this, you must note that a backdrop offavorable financial conditionshas characterized Bitcoin's entire existence. This includes 13 years with a Federal Funds rate between 0% - 2%, promoting a consistently bullish market for stocks.Now, when faced with abearishstock market andhighrates, we expect Bitcoin's price will plummet.Bitcoin All-Time Price ChartThe chart below compares Bitcoin vs. the NASDAQ-100 index (NDX). Observably, an increasing stock market has always supported Bitcoin:BTC:USD - 2W (TradingView)Amidst such extensively beneficial market conditions, Bitcoin's price has swung bullishly between two massive hype cycles (firstly driven by retail from 2012 to 2017 and secondly by institutions from 2018 to 2021). These hype cycles are identified with the green and red boxes in the chart above.Bitcoin's hype cycles together form a decade-long 5-wave impulsive movement that peaks at $68k/BTC (identified with the orange lines).Therefore, the data shows that Bitcoin's growth rate has always been supported by a beneficial market that promoted increasing hype. This hype emerged as retail FOMO in 2017 and institutional FOMO in 2021. (Up next could be nation-state FOMO. We aren't kidding. If there is another \"cryptocurrency cycle,\" it could see governments FOMO into Bitcoin in efforts to mitigate inflation).As monetary conditions tighten and stocks collapse, we believe Bitcoin's previous growth trend is no longer sustainable. Consequently, we expect Bitcoin will decline to at least $13.7k (precisely 80% below its all-time high) by November.Going forward, further downside in Bitcoin (and all other cryptocurrencies) can be powered by worsening economic conditions, increasing regulatory pressure, and the shattering of many deeply held cryptocurrency beliefs.We expect new regulations will soon require Ethereum applications to collect user information.We're also exceedingly worried about the ongoingDOJ probe into Tether(USDT-USD); we suspect more crypto exchange insolvencies are on the way, and we expect global Monkeypox cases will worsen into 2023.Bitcoin TA Shows Another 60% DeclineTechnically speaking, Bitcoin has moved impressively bullish since bottoming at $17,637 on June 18th, 2022. However, indicators have since rapidly shiftedbearish,prompting us to believe the rally is over. Currently, the most significant bearish indicators include:A 5-wave impulsive movement that ended with a blow-off top at $25k,the daily MACD negatively crossing 0,the daily/weekly trendlines remain untested.BTC:USD - 1D (TradingView)In our previous article, we identified Bitcoin was moving in a reflexive rally powered byless badeconomic conditions and positive investor sentiment. Although we expected the bull trend to last until mid-September, recent government action against Tornado Cash appears to have killed the hype:BTC:USD - 1H (TradingView)The chart below uses multi-timeframe trendlines to determine Bitcoin's speed, direction, and significant support levels. TrendSpider indicates Bitcoin is moving in an approximately 35-degree downtrend, projected to reach weekly support at $8k - $5k between October and November 2022. This projection is over 60% below Bitcoin's current price!BTC:USD - 1D (TrendSpider)Zooming out, we believe TrendSpider's weekly trendlines reflect Bitcoin's real logarithmic growth curves (as opposed to the fake curve often circulated). Accordingly, we expect Bitcoin to move like a \"bowling ball thrown out a window\" until reaching $10k psychological support or weekly trendline support between $8k - $5k.BTC:USD - 1W (TrendSpider)Hence, Bitcoin's technicals are all signaling bearish. To conclude, we're planning for three possibilities to trade Bitcoin's bottom:The bottom is in, and Bitcoin will now resume its long-term bull trend.Bitcoin will mirror previous cycles and bottom approximately 80% below its all-time high, located around $13.7k - $11k.Fear caused by new cryptocurrency regulations and worsening financial conditions will push Bitcoin below $10k. In this scenario, we expect BTC to find support at its weekly trendlines between $8k - $5k.BTC:USD - 2W (TradingView)Bitcoin's First True Bear MarketBy observing Bitcoin's lifetime of price action, we can see that Bitcoin's long-term bull trend has always been powered by hype (where investors allocate funds in anticipation of more investors entering crypto) as well as beneficial circumstances (including loose monetary policy, an increasing stock market, and lack of regulations). After over a decade of advantageous conditions, Bitcoin is now facingthe oppositeof each of these dynamics.In our view, Bitcoin's recent 75% downtrend from November 2021 to June 2022 represents 'phase 1' of a much larger bear market. In fact, we believe Bitcoin is currently entering its first-ever real bear market.As shown in the chart below, the last two Bitcoin 'bear markets' weren't actually bear markets. Instead, they were bull market corrections!BTC:USD - 2W (TradingView)At the time of writing, Bitcoin has yet to enter its true bear market territory. We believe Bitcoin's first bear market begins below $20k, upon which all of the most famous bull trend indicators will become invalid.While Bitcoin's stock-to-flowmodel and logarithmic growth curvesare already broken, we expect Bitcoin's Pi Cycle indicator (shown below) is the next to break:BTC:USD - 2W (TradingView)Incoming Black Swan EventsSo far, we've covered Bitcoin's bearish technicals and fundamentals. We also explained why we expect an impending crash will be Bitcoin'sworst ever. Going forward, we're anticipating the following 'Black Swan' events will power a violent downturn:1) Stock Market CollapseDespite the past 7-month downtrend, the NASDAQ-100 index is stillovervaluedrelative to its long-term base-level trendline:NDX:USD - 1W (TradingView)As shown above, the similarities between the Nasdaq's current structure to 2008 and 1999 are uncanny. If NDX is destined to crash like the dot-com bubble, this will decrease the index by another 64%.2) Cryptocurrency RegulationAs previously stated, the US government sanctioned the Ethereum mixer application 'Tornado Cash' on August 8th, 2022. As regulatory uncertainty has haunted cryptocurrencies for years, we believe the recent government action against Tornado Cash represents one ofmanyattacks soon to come.Furthermore, the Tornado Cash sanction proved that Ethereum is not censorship-resistant. This flies in the face of millions of ETH investors (including myself) who previously assumed Ethereum applications were immune to government censorship.Therefore, we expect increasing regulation and the relinquishment of previously held beliefs will drive the prices of Ethereum and its DeFi economy much lower.Laura Shin's 'Unchained' podcast episode with Dave Jevans, CEO of Cipher Trace, is the best source I've found to discover incoming cryptocurrency regulations.3) Tether CollapseThe Tether stablecoin represents another dynamic that has haunted the crypto market for years. In 2018, two university professors released a 60-page report detailing how Tether used market manipulation tactics to boost Bitcoin's price during the 2017 rally.Although the crypto market has ignored this controversy for years, the US Department of Justice has recently moved to re-open their investigation into Tether. As the crypto market's largest stablecoin (valued at $43 billion), it's reasonable to assume that a Tether bank fraud conviction would negatively affect cryptocurrency prices.4) Exchange Insolvencies\"Phase 1\" of Bitcoin's bear market (from $68k to $17k) saw numerous cryptocurrency lenders declare insolvency. During Phase 2 of the downtrend (which will bring Bitcoin below $20k), we believe more exchanges and lenders will declare insolvency/bankruptcy.Notably, in a move similar to Celsius and Voyager's pre-insolvency actions, Crypto.com (CRO-USD) has recently decreased the rewards paid to its credit card holders. Although this doesn'tproveanything, it's objectively not a good sign.5) MonkeypoxLastly, we believe the Monkeypox virus represents a significant 'black swan' event that markets aren't pricing in. As of August 18th, 2022, there are 38,735 confirmed global Monkeypox cases and 2,446 suspected cases:Cumulative Confirmed Monkeypox Cases (monkeypox.global.health)Although it's unlikely that Monkeypox will spread as quickly as Covid-19, it is worth noting that cumulative international Monkeypox cases are currently at the same number as Covid-19 during February 2020:Covid-19 Cumulative Confirmed Cases (Our World In Data)We anticipate Monkeypox will develop into a much larger issue as cases increase into 2023. Raising monkeypox cases could frighten many citizens, prompting them to seek vaccinations from a dwindling supply.Short TradesCurrently, we're margin short Bitcoin with an entry at $24.2k, and we're short Ethereum at $1902. We're also short Uniswap (UNI-USD) and Curve Finance (CRV-USD), as we expect incoming cryptocurrency regulations will seriously damage these protocols.RisksTrends in macroeconomics and central bank policy support our bearish outlook for Bitcoin. Risks include anyhintof dovishness from the Fed (which would rocket markets higher) and uncertainties surrounding the November 2022 Congressional elections. Markets may bounce if the Republicans win the majority in the House of Representatives. Alternatively, we expect a heavy dump if the Democrats win.Additionally, investors should continue to expect each month's inflation print and economic data to affect prices heavily.Key TakeawaysAfter 13 years of beneficial financial conditions and two massive hype cycles, Bitcoin is poised for its biggest crash ever (its firstrealbear market).We anticipate this downturn can push Bitcoin to $13k - $11k or to $8k - $5k.Majorly detrimental events are brewing beneath the crypto market's surface, including regulatory encroachment, a worsening economy, poor financial conditions, and the spread of the Monkeypox virus.This article was written by Bitfreedom Research. This document is for reference only.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":332,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":192703392,"gmtCreate":1621227175416,"gmtModify":1704354258426,"author":{"id":"3575503097657037","authorId":"3575503097657037","name":"Wealth98","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/91e78f617644143fd9a0573a2d063a8b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575503097657037","authorIdStr":"3575503097657037"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"But hey , as usual, Bitcoin will recover eventually,&nbsp;So meanwhile, buy the dip ... we all should thank Elon for the dip , isn’t it ?&nbsp;","listText":"But hey , as usual, Bitcoin will recover eventually,&nbsp;So meanwhile, buy the dip ... we all should thank Elon for the dip , isn’t it ?&nbsp;","text":"But hey , as usual, Bitcoin will recover eventually, So meanwhile, buy the dip ... we all should thank Elon for the dip , isn’t it ?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/192703392","repostId":"2136980120","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":110,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":340433055301768,"gmtCreate":1724144482245,"gmtModify":1724144487129,"author":{"id":"3575503097657037","authorId":"3575503097657037","name":"Wealth98","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/91e78f617644143fd9a0573a2d063a8b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575503097657037","authorIdStr":"3575503097657037"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ignore the noise , if every hodlers start selling , the stock price will fall to the analyst expected price ,&nbsp; Keep a steady hand &amp; hodl ! With interest rate cut from Sept and onwards , I am still bullish on PLTR .&nbsp;","listText":"Ignore the noise , if every hodlers start selling , the stock price will fall to the analyst expected price ,&nbsp; Keep a steady hand &amp; hodl ! With interest rate cut from Sept and onwards , I am still bullish on PLTR .&nbsp;","text":"Ignore the noise , if every hodlers start selling , the stock price will fall to the analyst expected price , Keep a steady hand & hodl ! With interest rate cut from Sept and onwards , I am still bullish on PLTR .","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/340433055301768","repostId":"2460103938","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2460103938","pubTimestamp":1724142540,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2460103938?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2024-08-20 16:29","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Palantir: Don't Follow It Off The Cliff, Overpriced Generative AI Story","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2460103938","media":"Seekingalpha","summary":"PLTR has demonstrated the promising monetization of generative AI SaaS layer across the government and commercial segments, thanks to the highly opportunistic AIP boot camp.These have led to its highe","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul style=\"\"><li><p>PLTR has demonstrated the promising monetization of generative AI SaaS layer across the government and commercial segments, thanks to the highly opportunistic AIP boot camp.</p></li><li><p>These have led to its higher Net Retention Rates and the growing multi-year Remaining Performance Obligations, sustaining its high-growth investment thesis.</p></li><li><p>Even so, with these developments triggering PLTR&#39;s lofty valuations compared to its peers, we believe that there is a minimal margin of safety at current levels.</p></li><li><p>Based on its historical trading pattern, the stock is likely to pull back to its uptrend support levels of $24s in the near-term.</p></li><li><p>Traders may consider following the massive insider selling and taking part of their gains off the table, before coming back in later.</p></li></ul><p>We previously covered <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">Palantir Technologies Inc.</a> in May 2024, discussing the normalization in market sentiments surrounding generative AI stocks, despite the SaaS company&#39;s robust performance metrics thanks to the successful AIP boot camps.</p><p>We had upgraded our rating to a Buy then, preferably after a moderate retracement to its previous support levels of $18s for an improved margin of safety.</p><p>Since then, PLTR has maintained a floor at $20 while rallying by +55.7% to retest its all-time highs of $30s, naturally outperforming the wider market at +6.1%.</p><p>This is despite the drastic July 2024 market wide pullback, with the bullish support attributed to the double beat FQ2&#39;24 performance and raised FY2024 guidance, with it underscoring the successful penetration of generative AI monetization through the infrastructure layer to the SaaS layer.</p><p>Even so, we are downgrading the stock to a Hold instead, since it is now overly expensive with the baked in growth premium offering interested investors with a minimal upside potential.</p><h3 id=\"id_3847959463\">PLTR Continues To Outperform Expectations, With Robust Growth Prospects &amp; Performance Metrics</h3><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/750e4c736f8a7df65439c55a29a2630e\" alt=\"PLTR YTD Stock Price\" title=\"PLTR YTD Stock Price\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"375\"/><span>PLTR YTD Stock Price</span></p><p>Since its first GAAP profitability and the seven consecutive positive bottom-line results since Q4&#39;22, it is unsurprising that the PLTR stock has already generated robust gains, significantly aided by the growing demand for its generative AI SaaS offerings.</p><p>The latter is already observed in the double beat performance, with its commercial growth accelerating at +32.4% YoY in FQ2&#39;24, compared to +10.4% YoY reported in FQ2&#39;23. Government demand is robust at +23% YoY as well, compared to +14.6% YoY a year ago.</p><p>It is apparent from these developments that PLTR&#39;s AI Bootcamp strategy has been highly successful in winning new customers, as observed in the higher overall customer count at 593 (+39 QoQ/ +172 YoY).</p><p>This in top of the improved cross-selling to existing customers, given the higher Net Retention Dollar of 114% in FQ2&#39;24 (+3 points QoQ/ +6 from FQ4&#39;23 levels of 108%).</p><p>Most importantly, PLTR&#39;s boot camp strategy during the generative AI boom has directly contributed to the SaaS company&#39;s excellent Rule of 40 results at 64% by the latest quarter (+7 points QoQ/ +26 YoY), thanks to the accelerated sales growth at 27% (+6 points QoQ/ +14 YoY) and richer adj operating margin at 37% (+1 points QoQ/ +12 YoY).</p><p>Moving forward, we believe that the SaaS company may be able to continue generating robust performance metrics ahead, significantly aided by its highly strategic partnership with Microsoft (MSFT).</p><p>It is important for us to highlight that both PLTR and MSFT&#39;s Azure boast &#34;the highest possible DoD Impact Level 6 (IL6) provisional authorization (PA) at the high confidentiality and high integrity (H-H-x) information categorization.&#34;</p><p>These developments imply that PLTR will be able to leverage on Azure&#39;s existing Large Language Models and OpenAI&#39;s GPT-4 capabilities, while being integrated into the Federal government&#39;s highly classified cloud data, naturally driving further growth opportunities for the former&#39;s government segment.</p><p>With the US government comprising $278M (+8% QoQ/ +24% YoY) or the equivalent 41% (+0.5 points QoQ/ -1.1 YoY) of the SaaS company&#39;s overall FQ2&#39;24 revenues, it is undeniable that the US Federal contracts remain the backbone of its overall prospects.</p><p>The next few years are likely to bring forth significant growth opportunities as well, attributed to the higher defense spending as geopolitical hostilities intensify in Gaza and Ukraine.</p><p>PLTR&#39;s inflection is further observed in the raised FY2024 guidance, with revenues of $2.746B (+23.6% YoY) and adj income from operations of $970M (+53.2% YoY) at the midpoint.</p><p>This is up from the original guidance of $2.66B (+19.8% YoY) and $842M (+33% YoY) offered in the FQ4&#39;23 earnings call, respectively.</p><p>The raised guidance is not overly aggressive indeed, based on PLTR&#39;s H1&#39;24 numbers of $1.31B (+24.7% YoY) and $480.02M (+84.6% YoY), with it demonstrating the management&#39;s confidence about generating robust and profitable growth ahead, with another raise and beat performance likely in FQ3&#39;24.</p><p>With these numbers well-supported by the growing multi-year Remaining Performance Obligation of $1.37B (+5.3% QoQ/ +41.2% YoY), we believe the stock continues to offer a compelling high-growth investment thesis.</p><p><strong>The Consensus Forward Estimates</strong></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3a35d43ec8b2405d6fda6813ce09fdb2\" alt=\"TIKR Terminal\" title=\"TIKR Terminal\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"227\"/><span>TIKR Terminal</span></p><p>As a result of the raised FY2024 guidance, it is unsurprising that the consensus have already raised their forward estimates, with PLTR expected to generate an accelerated top/ bottom-line growth at a CAGR of +21.3%/ +28.4% through FY2026.</p><p>This is compared to the original estimates of +20.3%/ +23.2% and historical top-line growth of +30.1% between FY2018 and FY2023, respectively.</p><p><strong>PLTR Valuations</strong></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/93b2208a8b0501fe0ad889cf9a0c3ccb\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"123\"/></p><p>On the other hand, it is undeniable that PLTR may be expensive at FWD P/E valuations of 90.29x, compared to its 1Y mean of 66.90x and 3Y mean of 69.54x.</p><p>Even when compared to its AI SaaS peers, it is apparent that PLTR is trading at a premium, including Google (GOOG) at FWD P/E of 21.63x with the projected adj EPS growth of +19.6% through FY2026, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ADBE\">Adobe</a> (ADBE) at 30.47x/ +14%, Microsoft at 31.75x/ +15.1%, Nvidia (NVDA) at 45.70x/ +49.3%, and with the rare exception being CrowdStrike (CRWD) at 66.94x/ +24.1%, respectively.</p><p>If we are to do the same exercise with its direct competitors, including BigBear.ai (BBAI) at FWD Price/ Sales of 1.83x with the projected revenue growth of +18% through FY2026, C3.ai (AI) at 8.30x/ +20.8%, and SoundHound AI (SOUN) at 21.59x/ +82.1%, we believe that PLTR at 26.04x/ +21.3% appears to be on the expensive side.</p><p>Given PLTR&#39;s relatively premium valuation, we believe that there is a minimal margin of safety at current levels indeed.</p><h2 id=\"id_2096264043\">So, Is PLTR Stock A Buy, Sell, or Hold?</h2><p><strong>PLTR 4Y Stock Price</strong></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c9989f8853a376f38a76fb635552965d\" alt=\"TradingView\" title=\"TradingView\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"375\"/><span>TradingView</span></p><p>For now, PLTR&#39;s uptrend has been impressive since the December 2022 bottom, with it consistently charting higher highs and higher lows despite the recent market rotation from high-growth stocks.</p><p>For context, we had offered a long-term price target of $26.70 in our previous article, based on the consensus FY2026 adj EPS estimates of $0.47 and the 2022/ 2023 P/E mean of 57x.</p><p>Based on the consensus raised FY2026 adj EPS estimates of $0.53 and the same P/E, we are looking at an updated long-term price target of $30.20, with it implying a minimal margin of safety at current levels.</p><p>On the one hand, PLTR&#39;s short interest continues to moderate to 2.85% by the time of writing, down from the previous article levels of 3.52%, with it implying lower volatility from short sellers.</p><p>On the other hand, as the stock prices reached new peaks of over $30s, nearing those observed during the February 2021 peaks, it is unsurprising that insiders have been unlocking great gains at current levels with $240M sold in Q2&#39;24 (+30.4% QoQ/ +788% YoY).</p><p>While market sentiments surrounding high-growth stocks appear to have normalized after the great correction in July 2024 with the CBOE Volatility Index also moderating, we maintain our belief that there remains a minimal upside potential at current levels.</p><p>Based on PLTR&#39;s historical trading pattern, the stock is likely to pull back to its uptrend support levels of $24s in the near-term.</p><p>As a result of the potential capital losses, we are downgrading our Buy rating to Hold (Neutral) rating instead. Interested long-term investors may consider waiting for the pullback before adding for an improved dollar cost average.</p><p>Likewise, traders may consider following insiders and taking part of their gains off the table, before coming back in later.</p><p>For now, do not chase PLTR over the cliff.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir: Don't Follow It Off The Cliff, Overpriced Generative AI Story</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir: Don't Follow It Off The Cliff, Overpriced Generative AI Story\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-08-20 16:29 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4715533-palantir-stock-dont-follow-it-off-the-cliff-overpriced-generative-ai-story><strong>Seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>PLTR has demonstrated the promising monetization of generative AI SaaS layer across the government and commercial segments, thanks to the highly opportunistic AIP boot camp.These have led to its ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4715533-palantir-stock-dont-follow-it-off-the-cliff-overpriced-generative-ai-story\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4503":"景林资产持仓","PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc.","LU0466842654.USD":"HSBC ISLAMIC GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX \"A\" (USD) ACC","IE00B19Z8X17.USD":"FTGF CLEARBRIDGE US LARGE CAP GROWTH  \"AG\" (USD) ACC","LU0320765059.SGD":"FTIF - Franklin US Opportunities A Acc SGD","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓","LU1548497426.USD":"安联环球人工智能AT Acc","LU0154236417.USD":"BGF US FLEXIBLE EQUITY \"A2\" ACC","LU1815333072.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) GLOBAL FOCUS \"AUP\" (USD) INC","BK4592":"伊斯兰概念","BK4529":"IDC概念","LU0289739343.SGD":"SUSTAINABLE GLOBAL THEMATIC PORTFOLIO \"A\" (SGD) ACC","IE00B4JS1V06.HKD":"JANUS HENDERSON BALANCED \"A2\" (HKD) ACC","BK4528":"SaaS概念","LU0557290698.USD":"施罗德环球可持续增长基金","LU0889566641.SGD":"FTSF - Templeton Shariah Global Equity A Acc SGD","LU0238689110.USD":"贝莱德环球动力股票基金","LU1923622614.USD":"Natixis Thematics Meta R/A USD","LU0642271901.SGD":"Janus Henderson Horizon Global Technology Leaders A2 SGD-H","LU0456855351.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - Global Equity A (acc) SGD","LU0072462426.USD":"贝莱德全球配置 A2","BK4507":"流媒体概念","BK4576":"AR","LU2125909759.SGD":"Natixis Thematics Safety H-R/A SGD","LU0056508442.USD":"贝莱德世界科技基金A2","LU2125154778.USD":"ALLSPRING GLOBAL EQUITY ENHANCED INCOME \"A\" (USD) INC","LU0719512351.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - US Technology A (acc) SGD","LU1992135399.USD":"Allianz Global Intelligent Cities AT Acc USD","LU2125909916.SGD":"Natixis Thematics Safety R/A SGD","LU0048584097.USD":"FIDELITY FUNDS  GLOBAL THEMATIC OPPORTUNITIES \"A\" (USD) INC","IE00BZ199S13.USD":"BNY MELLON MOBILITY INNOVATION \"B\" (USD) ACC","LU0640476718.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) US CONTRARIAN CORE EQ \"AU\" (USD) ACC","LU2023250504.SGD":"Allianz Thematica Cl AMg DIS H2-SGD","BK4525":"远程办公概念","LU1923622291.USD":"Natixis Thematics Safety R/A USD","BK4577":"网络游戏","IE00BMPRXN33.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN 5G CONNECTIVITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU2210149790.SGD":"Natixis Thematics Subscription Economy R/A SGD-H","BK4527":"明星科技股","LU0109392836.USD":"富兰克林科技股A","BK4579":"人工智能","LU0965509010.AUD":"AB LOW VOLATILITY EQUITY PORTFOLIO \"AD\" (AUDHDG) INC"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4715533-palantir-stock-dont-follow-it-off-the-cliff-overpriced-generative-ai-story","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2460103938","content_text":"PLTR has demonstrated the promising monetization of generative AI SaaS layer across the government and commercial segments, thanks to the highly opportunistic AIP boot camp.These have led to its higher Net Retention Rates and the growing multi-year Remaining Performance Obligations, sustaining its high-growth investment thesis.Even so, with these developments triggering PLTR's lofty valuations compared to its peers, we believe that there is a minimal margin of safety at current levels.Based on its historical trading pattern, the stock is likely to pull back to its uptrend support levels of $24s in the near-term.Traders may consider following the massive insider selling and taking part of their gains off the table, before coming back in later.We previously covered Palantir Technologies Inc. in May 2024, discussing the normalization in market sentiments surrounding generative AI stocks, despite the SaaS company's robust performance metrics thanks to the successful AIP boot camps.We had upgraded our rating to a Buy then, preferably after a moderate retracement to its previous support levels of $18s for an improved margin of safety.Since then, PLTR has maintained a floor at $20 while rallying by +55.7% to retest its all-time highs of $30s, naturally outperforming the wider market at +6.1%.This is despite the drastic July 2024 market wide pullback, with the bullish support attributed to the double beat FQ2'24 performance and raised FY2024 guidance, with it underscoring the successful penetration of generative AI monetization through the infrastructure layer to the SaaS layer.Even so, we are downgrading the stock to a Hold instead, since it is now overly expensive with the baked in growth premium offering interested investors with a minimal upside potential.PLTR Continues To Outperform Expectations, With Robust Growth Prospects & Performance MetricsPLTR YTD Stock PriceSince its first GAAP profitability and the seven consecutive positive bottom-line results since Q4'22, it is unsurprising that the PLTR stock has already generated robust gains, significantly aided by the growing demand for its generative AI SaaS offerings.The latter is already observed in the double beat performance, with its commercial growth accelerating at +32.4% YoY in FQ2'24, compared to +10.4% YoY reported in FQ2'23. Government demand is robust at +23% YoY as well, compared to +14.6% YoY a year ago.It is apparent from these developments that PLTR's AI Bootcamp strategy has been highly successful in winning new customers, as observed in the higher overall customer count at 593 (+39 QoQ/ +172 YoY).This in top of the improved cross-selling to existing customers, given the higher Net Retention Dollar of 114% in FQ2'24 (+3 points QoQ/ +6 from FQ4'23 levels of 108%).Most importantly, PLTR's boot camp strategy during the generative AI boom has directly contributed to the SaaS company's excellent Rule of 40 results at 64% by the latest quarter (+7 points QoQ/ +26 YoY), thanks to the accelerated sales growth at 27% (+6 points QoQ/ +14 YoY) and richer adj operating margin at 37% (+1 points QoQ/ +12 YoY).Moving forward, we believe that the SaaS company may be able to continue generating robust performance metrics ahead, significantly aided by its highly strategic partnership with Microsoft (MSFT).It is important for us to highlight that both PLTR and MSFT's Azure boast \"the highest possible DoD Impact Level 6 (IL6) provisional authorization (PA) at the high confidentiality and high integrity (H-H-x) information categorization.\"These developments imply that PLTR will be able to leverage on Azure's existing Large Language Models and OpenAI's GPT-4 capabilities, while being integrated into the Federal government's highly classified cloud data, naturally driving further growth opportunities for the former's government segment.With the US government comprising $278M (+8% QoQ/ +24% YoY) or the equivalent 41% (+0.5 points QoQ/ -1.1 YoY) of the SaaS company's overall FQ2'24 revenues, it is undeniable that the US Federal contracts remain the backbone of its overall prospects.The next few years are likely to bring forth significant growth opportunities as well, attributed to the higher defense spending as geopolitical hostilities intensify in Gaza and Ukraine.PLTR's inflection is further observed in the raised FY2024 guidance, with revenues of $2.746B (+23.6% YoY) and adj income from operations of $970M (+53.2% YoY) at the midpoint.This is up from the original guidance of $2.66B (+19.8% YoY) and $842M (+33% YoY) offered in the FQ4'23 earnings call, respectively.The raised guidance is not overly aggressive indeed, based on PLTR's H1'24 numbers of $1.31B (+24.7% YoY) and $480.02M (+84.6% YoY), with it demonstrating the management's confidence about generating robust and profitable growth ahead, with another raise and beat performance likely in FQ3'24.With these numbers well-supported by the growing multi-year Remaining Performance Obligation of $1.37B (+5.3% QoQ/ +41.2% YoY), we believe the stock continues to offer a compelling high-growth investment thesis.The Consensus Forward EstimatesTIKR TerminalAs a result of the raised FY2024 guidance, it is unsurprising that the consensus have already raised their forward estimates, with PLTR expected to generate an accelerated top/ bottom-line growth at a CAGR of +21.3%/ +28.4% through FY2026.This is compared to the original estimates of +20.3%/ +23.2% and historical top-line growth of +30.1% between FY2018 and FY2023, respectively.PLTR ValuationsOn the other hand, it is undeniable that PLTR may be expensive at FWD P/E valuations of 90.29x, compared to its 1Y mean of 66.90x and 3Y mean of 69.54x.Even when compared to its AI SaaS peers, it is apparent that PLTR is trading at a premium, including Google (GOOG) at FWD P/E of 21.63x with the projected adj EPS growth of +19.6% through FY2026, Adobe (ADBE) at 30.47x/ +14%, Microsoft at 31.75x/ +15.1%, Nvidia (NVDA) at 45.70x/ +49.3%, and with the rare exception being CrowdStrike (CRWD) at 66.94x/ +24.1%, respectively.If we are to do the same exercise with its direct competitors, including BigBear.ai (BBAI) at FWD Price/ Sales of 1.83x with the projected revenue growth of +18% through FY2026, C3.ai (AI) at 8.30x/ +20.8%, and SoundHound AI (SOUN) at 21.59x/ +82.1%, we believe that PLTR at 26.04x/ +21.3% appears to be on the expensive side.Given PLTR's relatively premium valuation, we believe that there is a minimal margin of safety at current levels indeed.So, Is PLTR Stock A Buy, Sell, or Hold?PLTR 4Y Stock PriceTradingViewFor now, PLTR's uptrend has been impressive since the December 2022 bottom, with it consistently charting higher highs and higher lows despite the recent market rotation from high-growth stocks.For context, we had offered a long-term price target of $26.70 in our previous article, based on the consensus FY2026 adj EPS estimates of $0.47 and the 2022/ 2023 P/E mean of 57x.Based on the consensus raised FY2026 adj EPS estimates of $0.53 and the same P/E, we are looking at an updated long-term price target of $30.20, with it implying a minimal margin of safety at current levels.On the one hand, PLTR's short interest continues to moderate to 2.85% by the time of writing, down from the previous article levels of 3.52%, with it implying lower volatility from short sellers.On the other hand, as the stock prices reached new peaks of over $30s, nearing those observed during the February 2021 peaks, it is unsurprising that insiders have been unlocking great gains at current levels with $240M sold in Q2'24 (+30.4% QoQ/ +788% YoY).While market sentiments surrounding high-growth stocks appear to have normalized after the great correction in July 2024 with the CBOE Volatility Index also moderating, we maintain our belief that there remains a minimal upside potential at current levels.Based on PLTR's historical trading pattern, the stock is likely to pull back to its uptrend support levels of $24s in the near-term.As a result of the potential capital losses, we are downgrading our Buy rating to Hold (Neutral) rating instead. Interested long-term investors may consider waiting for the pullback before adding for an improved dollar cost average.Likewise, traders may consider following insiders and taking part of their gains off the table, before coming back in later.For now, do not chase PLTR over the cliff.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":187,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":309167451644224,"gmtCreate":1716508148459,"gmtModify":1716508151433,"author":{"id":"3575503097657037","authorId":"3575503097657037","name":"Wealth98","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/91e78f617644143fd9a0573a2d063a8b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575503097657037","authorIdStr":"3575503097657037"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Big big fud&nbsp;","listText":"Big big fud&nbsp;","text":"Big big fud","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/309167451644224","repostId":"2437202176","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2437202176","pubTimestamp":1716477263,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2437202176?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2024-05-23 23:14","market":"fut","language":"en","title":"Palantir Technologies: The Market Is Too Optimistic","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2437202176","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Palantir reported 21% top-line growth in Q1/24 and continued to improve its margins as especially commercial revenue is contributing to growth.The stock is still overvalued and considering the ongoing","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul style=\"\"><li><p>Palantir reported 21% top-line growth in Q1/24 and continued to improve its margins as especially commercial revenue is contributing to growth.</p></li><li><p>The stock is still overvalued and considering the ongoing dilution, PLTR has to grow about 30% to be fairly valued.</p></li><li><p>The company is clearly hyped, and generative AI is at the top of the hype cycle right now.</p></li></ul><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ca0459f275b9aed733014624cae2dc80\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"500\"/></p><p>Michael Vi</p><p></p><p>In the last few quarters, I was rather cautious about Palantir Technologies (NYSE:PLTR) and in my last few articles, I rated the stock as a &#34;Hold&#34; and my advice was to be rather cautious. At the end of November 2023, I wrote an article why it is difficult to justify Palantir&#39;s share price. In the meantime, Palantir still increased about 8%, but it underperformed the S&amp;P 500 in the last six months, which increased about 16%.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/317d0acacc29df329194aa2d8bfe9c01\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"456\"/></p><p>Data by YCharts</p><p></p><p>Since the bottom around $7 less than a year ago, the stock has more than tripled in only a few quarters. In the last 18 months, Palantir&#39;s stock price increased 181%. The performance was not enough to outperform high-flyer NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) which increased 503% in the same timeframe, but Palantir outperformed the S&amp;P 500 (SPY), which is already looking at a solid performance in the last 18 months.</p><p>This also raises the question if I have been constantly wrong about Palantir in the last few quarters, or if the stock is just getting more and more overvalued, and we are seeing the typical late stages of a gigantic stock market bubble.</p><h2 id=\"id_4287090802\">First Quarter Results</h2><p>When trying to answer this question, we start by looking at the results Palantir reported. And despite any potential criticism (which we will articulate later in this article) we must acknowledge that Palantir is continuing to report great results and not only increasing the top line with a high pace but also continuing its path towards profitability.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0dde8b4b92b55469f009a59f67ea018d\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"491\"/></p><p>Data by YCharts</p><p></p><p>On May 06, 2024, Palantir reported first quarter results and revenue increased from $525.2 million in Q1/23 to $634.3 million in Q1/24 - resulting in 20.7% top-line growth. And on its path to becoming (more) profitable, Palantir saw its income from operations jump from $4.1 million in the same quarter last year to $80.9 million this quarter. Diluted net earnings per share quadrupled from $0.01 in Q1/23 to $0.04 in Q1/24.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/bd488d2f151358ff48589c5f9306d50e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"359\"/></p><p>Palantir Q1/24 Presentation</p><p></p><p>When looking at adjusted earnings per share, the picture is a little different. Adjusted EPS increased 60% from $0.05 in the same quarter last year to $0.08 this quarter. Only adjusted free cash flow declined from $188.9 in Q1/23 to $148.6 million in Q1/24 - resulting in a 21.3% YoY decline.</p><p>While commercial revenue grew 27% year-over-year from $236 million in Q1/23 to $299 million in Q1/24 and the number of commercial customers increased 53% year-over-year from 280 to 427, government revenue increased only 16% YoY from $289 million in the same quarter last year to $335 million this quarter. And it clearly seems like the bootcamps are working and a good strategy to drive revenue growth. Since launching AIP in mid-2023, Palantir has complete AIP Bootcamps with more than 900 organizations in the United States and around the world.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/931260979ac33e64e7797038c4cc3ca0\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"361\"/></p><p>Palantir Q1/24 Presentation</p><p></p><p>And during the fourth quarter, Palantir closed 87 deals with of volume of at least $1 million with 27 deals of at least $5 million and 15 deals of at least $10 million.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b6b5fbe0550c6706bc659ca066f5c223\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"359\"/></p><p>Palantir Q1/24 Presentation</p><p></p><h2 id=\"id_1789524053\">Expectations For Fiscal 2024</h2><p>When looking at managements&#39; expectations for fiscal 2024, revenue is estimated to be in a range between $2,677 million and $2,689 million for the full year. This is resulting in 20% to 21% year-over-year growth compared to revenue in fiscal 2023. Adjusted income from operations is expected to be between $868 million and $880 million. Compared to an adjusted income from operations, this would result in 37% to 39% year-over-year growth.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/23aa3c9f1efc0947aae5880d3f1c2df0\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"359\"/></p><p>Palantir Q1/24 Presentation</p><p></p><p>And finally, adjusted free cash flow is expected to be between $800 million and $1,000 million. Palantir has a very narrow guidance for revenue and operating income, but for free cash flow we see the range getting much broader - reflecting the difficulties for management to make assumptions.</p><h2 id=\"id_3195095637\">Intrinsic Value Calculation</h2><p>One of the main arguments that can be made against Palantir - at least over the midterm (maybe next 5-10 years) - are the extremely high valuation multiples the stock is trading for. At the time of writing, Palantir is trading for 177 times earnings, and nobody can dispute that such a high valuation multiple is not sustainable. However, we can make the counterargument that Palantir is not only able to grow its top line with a high pace (we will get to growth expectations later) but can also improve its margins and therefore earnings per share will grow with a much higher pace bringing the P/E ratio down quickly.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/65b3257cab2fe4bcd1d79a377927e9ec\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"439\"/></p><p>Data by YCharts</p><p></p><p>However, when looking at expected earnings per share for the next fiscal year ($0.33) we get a forward P/E ratio of 64 and that is still a very high valuation multiple. And we can even shift our attention away from the P/E ratio (which is definitely not the best metric here) towards the price-free-cash-flow ratio. At the time of writing, Palantir is trading for 77 times free cash flow, and such a valuation multiple still seems too high to be an acceptable metric.</p><p>And while we can make the argument for earnings per share that improving margins will contribute to growth in the years to come, this argument is much more difficult to make for free cash flow.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/458ccb5d31ea8df751530f8273358acc\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"486\"/></p><p>Data by YCharts</p><p></p><p>In the last four quarters, Palantir managed that almost one third of its revenue ended up as free cash flow and while an operating margin of 8.4% (TTM numbers) is certainly not impressive and many companies are able to achieve similar or higher operating margins, a free cash flow/revenue ratio of 27.5% is impressive and to be honest doesn&#39;t leave much room for improvement (it was already as high as 31% and in the coming years it is likely that the free cash flow/revenue ratio will decline again - especially in economic challenging times).</p><p>And here we must use a discount cash flow calculation again. As the basis for our calculation, we are using the adjusted free cash flow of the last four quarters, which was $691 million, as well as the diluted number of outstanding shares (2,400 million on March 31, 2024). And as always, we take a 10% discount rate and are calculating with 6% growth until perpetuity in 10 years from now. To be fairly valued, Palantir has to grow its free cash flow 22% annually for the next ten years.</p><p>As we have pointed out above, that growth must come solely from top-line growth, as it seems extremely unlikely for the free cash flow to sales ratio to being any higher than it is right now. And here it becomes questionable if Palantir can grow at such a high pace. Analysts are expecting revenue to grow with a CAGR of 17.39% for the next ten years (however, these estimates are mostly based on the opinion of one analyst).</p><p>When looking at historic growth rates, Palantir grew revenue with a CAGR of 30% in the last five years and 27% in the last three years. This would be enough to make Palantir fairly valued at this point. But we also must see that quarterly revenue growth slowed down in the last few years - only in the last three quarters revenue growth accelerated again (and it remains to be seen if the trend can continue). But in the last few quarters, revenue growth was clearly below the rate which is required for Palantir to be fairly valued. And the last few quarters most likely have not been the worst economic environment a company can be in, and we must raise the question at what rates Palantir can grow if the economic environment is different.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9c4bbbb68980e02762a390495643399b\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"424\"/></p><p>Data by YCharts</p><p></p><p>But even if Palantir is able to grow its top line 22% for the next ten years, another major problem remains (one I have pointed out in several articles). Palantir is diluting the number of outstanding shares at a high pace in the last few years and continues to do so. Over the last twelve months, Palantir increased the number of outstanding shares by 8.3% and assuming a similar dilution in the years to come, Palantir must grow its top line 30% annually to be fairly valued. And always remember, this is assuming that Palantir is able to keep free cash flow conversion at close to 30% of revenue (which is a huge challenge in my opinion).</p><h2 id=\"id_2890694384\">Sentiment</h2><p>And one final point I made already in my last article about NVIDIA, I like to make here again because it is so important and describes the current sentiment in the stock market. In the article, I wrote at the end of the intrinsic value calculation:</p><blockquote><p>And <strong>finally</strong>, we are calculating here with a 10% discount rate. For those that don&#39;t already know this (because sometimes we must spell out things that seem otherwise obvious): A 10% discount rate is telling us that investing in Nvidia (under the assumptions made above) would generate a 10% return on investment annually. It means your investment will increase 10% the first year and another 10% the next year. To double your investment, it would take a little more than 7 years. I am just saying this as those people being extremely bullish about Nvidia are probably assuming to double, triple, or quadruple their investment in the next few quarters. A 10% annual return is extremely good, but it doesn&#39;t go hand-in-hand with the dream of becoming rich quickly.</p></blockquote><p>And the same is true for Palantir. Even if we assume that Palantir is fairly valued here, we have an investment return of 10% annually. And when assuming that Palantir is not able to achieve the necessary 23% to 30% top-line growth, the investment return for Palantir will drop into the single digits.</p><p>But the fact that investors are not able to see this is characteristic for this final phase before the stock market hits its peak and the bubble will burst. It is also hinting towards another hype and bubble for Palantir as well. Investors (or speculators) are not buying Palantir based on fundamental analysis but due to irrational exuberance and the hope for extraordinary gains in a short time.</p><p>And similar to NVIDIA - despite entirely different business models - both companies are profiting from the hype around artificial intelligence. And while the hype did not really lead to much higher growth rates for Palantir - in sharp contrast to NVIDIA - it led to much higher stock prices for Palantir. When looking at Gartner&#39;s hype cycle for emerging technologies, we see artificial intelligence and generative AI being on the peak of inflated expectations and I would make the argument that Palantir is profiting from that hype and the stock price is reflecting that hype.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f90fdc92626ef33a9cfaa6765f60f416\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"613\"/></p><p>Gartner</p><p></p><h2 id=\"id_1365448838\">Conclusion</h2><p>In my opinion, the conclusion remains the same as in my last article - Palantir is simply too expensive at this point to be a good investment. Especially, the ongoing high dilution of shares remains a huge problem and is requiring growth rates around 30% for free cash flow for Palantir to be fairly valued. And although Palantir was able to grow at such a high pace in the past, I don&#39;t think it can grow its top line 30% in the years to come - and with the free cash flow/revenue ratio being already close to 30% I don&#39;t see any &#34;margin improvement&#34; that might lead to higher free cash flow.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c7f66b7de56a56d4627eb3a02dd90a47\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"424\"/></p><p>Data by YCharts</p><p></p><p>And the fact that Palantir is still trading 45% below its previous all-time high does not change my assessment. It is only underlining that Palantir was even more overvalued before and certainly not investment-worthy in 2020 and early 2021.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir Technologies: The Market Is Too Optimistic</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir Technologies: The Market Is Too Optimistic\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-05-23 23:14 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4695171-palantir-technologies-stock-market-too-optimistic><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Palantir reported 21% top-line growth in Q1/24 and continued to improve its margins as especially commercial revenue is contributing to growth.The stock is still overvalued and considering the ongoing...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4695171-palantir-technologies-stock-market-too-optimistic\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"IE0034235188.USD":"PINEBRIDGE GLOBAL FOCUS EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4567":"ESG概念","IE0009356076.USD":"JANUS HENDERSON GLOBAL TECHNOLOGY AND INNOVATION \"A2\" (USD) ACC","NVDA":"英伟达","IE00B7KXQ091.USD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Inc USD","LU0289739343.SGD":"SUSTAINABLE GLOBAL THEMATIC PORTFOLIO \"A\" (SGD) ACC","LU0348723411.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL HI-TECH GROWTH \"A\" (USD) INC","IE00BFSS8Q28.SGD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Inc SGD-H","PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc.","BK4587":"ChatGPT概念","IE00BFSS7M15.SGD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Acc SGD-H","LU1861559042.SGD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B SGD","IE0004445239.USD":"JANUS HENDERSON US FORTY \"A2\" (USD) ACC","IE00B19Z9505.USD":"美盛-美国大盘成长股A Acc","LU0170899867.USD":"EASTSPRING INVESTMENTS WORLD VALUE EQUITY  \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4543":"AI","LU0072462426.USD":"贝莱德全球配置 A2","LU0079474960.USD":"联博美国增长基金A","GB00BDT5M118.USD":"天利环球扩展Alpha基金A Acc","IE00B1XK9C88.USD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0061474960.USD":"天利环球焦点基金AU Acc","IE00BJJMRY28.SGD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Inc SGD","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","LU0308772762.SGD":"Blackrock Global Allocation A2 SGD-H","IE00BKDWB100.SGD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A5H\" (SGDHDG) ACC","IE00BMPRXN33.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN 5G CONNECTIVITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4547":"WSB热门概念","LU0109392836.USD":"富兰克林科技股A","BK4549":"软银资本持仓","LU0175139822.USD":"AB FCP I Global Equity Blend A USD","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","IE00BWXC8680.SGD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A5\" (SGD) ACC","LU0320765059.SGD":"FTIF - Franklin US Opportunities A Acc SGD","IE00B3M56506.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN EMERGING MARKETS EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0289960550.SGD":"AB FCP I - GLOBAL EQUITY BLEND PORTFOLIO 'A' (SGD) ACC","IE00BD6J9T35.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN NEXT GENERATION MOBILITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","BK4592":"伊斯兰概念"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4695171-palantir-technologies-stock-market-too-optimistic","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2437202176","content_text":"Palantir reported 21% top-line growth in Q1/24 and continued to improve its margins as especially commercial revenue is contributing to growth.The stock is still overvalued and considering the ongoing dilution, PLTR has to grow about 30% to be fairly valued.The company is clearly hyped, and generative AI is at the top of the hype cycle right now.Michael ViIn the last few quarters, I was rather cautious about Palantir Technologies (NYSE:PLTR) and in my last few articles, I rated the stock as a \"Hold\" and my advice was to be rather cautious. At the end of November 2023, I wrote an article why it is difficult to justify Palantir's share price. In the meantime, Palantir still increased about 8%, but it underperformed the S&P 500 in the last six months, which increased about 16%.Data by YChartsSince the bottom around $7 less than a year ago, the stock has more than tripled in only a few quarters. In the last 18 months, Palantir's stock price increased 181%. The performance was not enough to outperform high-flyer NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) which increased 503% in the same timeframe, but Palantir outperformed the S&P 500 (SPY), which is already looking at a solid performance in the last 18 months.This also raises the question if I have been constantly wrong about Palantir in the last few quarters, or if the stock is just getting more and more overvalued, and we are seeing the typical late stages of a gigantic stock market bubble.First Quarter ResultsWhen trying to answer this question, we start by looking at the results Palantir reported. And despite any potential criticism (which we will articulate later in this article) we must acknowledge that Palantir is continuing to report great results and not only increasing the top line with a high pace but also continuing its path towards profitability.Data by YChartsOn May 06, 2024, Palantir reported first quarter results and revenue increased from $525.2 million in Q1/23 to $634.3 million in Q1/24 - resulting in 20.7% top-line growth. And on its path to becoming (more) profitable, Palantir saw its income from operations jump from $4.1 million in the same quarter last year to $80.9 million this quarter. Diluted net earnings per share quadrupled from $0.01 in Q1/23 to $0.04 in Q1/24.Palantir Q1/24 PresentationWhen looking at adjusted earnings per share, the picture is a little different. Adjusted EPS increased 60% from $0.05 in the same quarter last year to $0.08 this quarter. Only adjusted free cash flow declined from $188.9 in Q1/23 to $148.6 million in Q1/24 - resulting in a 21.3% YoY decline.While commercial revenue grew 27% year-over-year from $236 million in Q1/23 to $299 million in Q1/24 and the number of commercial customers increased 53% year-over-year from 280 to 427, government revenue increased only 16% YoY from $289 million in the same quarter last year to $335 million this quarter. And it clearly seems like the bootcamps are working and a good strategy to drive revenue growth. Since launching AIP in mid-2023, Palantir has complete AIP Bootcamps with more than 900 organizations in the United States and around the world.Palantir Q1/24 PresentationAnd during the fourth quarter, Palantir closed 87 deals with of volume of at least $1 million with 27 deals of at least $5 million and 15 deals of at least $10 million.Palantir Q1/24 PresentationExpectations For Fiscal 2024When looking at managements' expectations for fiscal 2024, revenue is estimated to be in a range between $2,677 million and $2,689 million for the full year. This is resulting in 20% to 21% year-over-year growth compared to revenue in fiscal 2023. Adjusted income from operations is expected to be between $868 million and $880 million. Compared to an adjusted income from operations, this would result in 37% to 39% year-over-year growth.Palantir Q1/24 PresentationAnd finally, adjusted free cash flow is expected to be between $800 million and $1,000 million. Palantir has a very narrow guidance for revenue and operating income, but for free cash flow we see the range getting much broader - reflecting the difficulties for management to make assumptions.Intrinsic Value CalculationOne of the main arguments that can be made against Palantir - at least over the midterm (maybe next 5-10 years) - are the extremely high valuation multiples the stock is trading for. At the time of writing, Palantir is trading for 177 times earnings, and nobody can dispute that such a high valuation multiple is not sustainable. However, we can make the counterargument that Palantir is not only able to grow its top line with a high pace (we will get to growth expectations later) but can also improve its margins and therefore earnings per share will grow with a much higher pace bringing the P/E ratio down quickly.Data by YChartsHowever, when looking at expected earnings per share for the next fiscal year ($0.33) we get a forward P/E ratio of 64 and that is still a very high valuation multiple. And we can even shift our attention away from the P/E ratio (which is definitely not the best metric here) towards the price-free-cash-flow ratio. At the time of writing, Palantir is trading for 77 times free cash flow, and such a valuation multiple still seems too high to be an acceptable metric.And while we can make the argument for earnings per share that improving margins will contribute to growth in the years to come, this argument is much more difficult to make for free cash flow.Data by YChartsIn the last four quarters, Palantir managed that almost one third of its revenue ended up as free cash flow and while an operating margin of 8.4% (TTM numbers) is certainly not impressive and many companies are able to achieve similar or higher operating margins, a free cash flow/revenue ratio of 27.5% is impressive and to be honest doesn't leave much room for improvement (it was already as high as 31% and in the coming years it is likely that the free cash flow/revenue ratio will decline again - especially in economic challenging times).And here we must use a discount cash flow calculation again. As the basis for our calculation, we are using the adjusted free cash flow of the last four quarters, which was $691 million, as well as the diluted number of outstanding shares (2,400 million on March 31, 2024). And as always, we take a 10% discount rate and are calculating with 6% growth until perpetuity in 10 years from now. To be fairly valued, Palantir has to grow its free cash flow 22% annually for the next ten years.As we have pointed out above, that growth must come solely from top-line growth, as it seems extremely unlikely for the free cash flow to sales ratio to being any higher than it is right now. And here it becomes questionable if Palantir can grow at such a high pace. Analysts are expecting revenue to grow with a CAGR of 17.39% for the next ten years (however, these estimates are mostly based on the opinion of one analyst).When looking at historic growth rates, Palantir grew revenue with a CAGR of 30% in the last five years and 27% in the last three years. This would be enough to make Palantir fairly valued at this point. But we also must see that quarterly revenue growth slowed down in the last few years - only in the last three quarters revenue growth accelerated again (and it remains to be seen if the trend can continue). But in the last few quarters, revenue growth was clearly below the rate which is required for Palantir to be fairly valued. And the last few quarters most likely have not been the worst economic environment a company can be in, and we must raise the question at what rates Palantir can grow if the economic environment is different.Data by YChartsBut even if Palantir is able to grow its top line 22% for the next ten years, another major problem remains (one I have pointed out in several articles). Palantir is diluting the number of outstanding shares at a high pace in the last few years and continues to do so. Over the last twelve months, Palantir increased the number of outstanding shares by 8.3% and assuming a similar dilution in the years to come, Palantir must grow its top line 30% annually to be fairly valued. And always remember, this is assuming that Palantir is able to keep free cash flow conversion at close to 30% of revenue (which is a huge challenge in my opinion).SentimentAnd one final point I made already in my last article about NVIDIA, I like to make here again because it is so important and describes the current sentiment in the stock market. In the article, I wrote at the end of the intrinsic value calculation:And finally, we are calculating here with a 10% discount rate. For those that don't already know this (because sometimes we must spell out things that seem otherwise obvious): A 10% discount rate is telling us that investing in Nvidia (under the assumptions made above) would generate a 10% return on investment annually. It means your investment will increase 10% the first year and another 10% the next year. To double your investment, it would take a little more than 7 years. I am just saying this as those people being extremely bullish about Nvidia are probably assuming to double, triple, or quadruple their investment in the next few quarters. A 10% annual return is extremely good, but it doesn't go hand-in-hand with the dream of becoming rich quickly.And the same is true for Palantir. Even if we assume that Palantir is fairly valued here, we have an investment return of 10% annually. And when assuming that Palantir is not able to achieve the necessary 23% to 30% top-line growth, the investment return for Palantir will drop into the single digits.But the fact that investors are not able to see this is characteristic for this final phase before the stock market hits its peak and the bubble will burst. It is also hinting towards another hype and bubble for Palantir as well. Investors (or speculators) are not buying Palantir based on fundamental analysis but due to irrational exuberance and the hope for extraordinary gains in a short time.And similar to NVIDIA - despite entirely different business models - both companies are profiting from the hype around artificial intelligence. And while the hype did not really lead to much higher growth rates for Palantir - in sharp contrast to NVIDIA - it led to much higher stock prices for Palantir. When looking at Gartner's hype cycle for emerging technologies, we see artificial intelligence and generative AI being on the peak of inflated expectations and I would make the argument that Palantir is profiting from that hype and the stock price is reflecting that hype.GartnerConclusionIn my opinion, the conclusion remains the same as in my last article - Palantir is simply too expensive at this point to be a good investment. Especially, the ongoing high dilution of shares remains a huge problem and is requiring growth rates around 30% for free cash flow for Palantir to be fairly valued. And although Palantir was able to grow at such a high pace in the past, I don't think it can grow its top line 30% in the years to come - and with the free cash flow/revenue ratio being already close to 30% I don't see any \"margin improvement\" that might lead to higher free cash flow.Data by YChartsAnd the fact that Palantir is still trading 45% below its previous all-time high does not change my assessment. It is only underlining that Palantir was even more overvalued before and certainly not investment-worthy in 2020 and early 2021.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":229,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}