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2022-11-30

2022-11-30

$QANTAS AIRWAYS LIMITED(QAN.AU)$

2021-06-23

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2021-06-23

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U.S. New-Home Sales Post Surprise Drop Amid Record-High Prices

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22:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. New-Home Sales Post Surprise Drop Amid Record-High Prices","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1180677663","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Median sales price rose to a record $374,400 last month\nNew homes for sale were at highest levels si","content":"<ul>\n <li>Median sales price rose to a record $374,400 last month</li>\n <li>New homes for sale were at highest levels since July 2019</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Sales of new U.S. homes dropped unexpectedly in May as elevated home prices weigh on affordability.</p>\n<p>Purchases of new single-family homes fell 5.9% to a 769,000 annualized pace after an downwardly revised 817,000 in April, government data showed Wednesday. The median estimate in a Bloomberg survey of economists called for a 865,000 rate.</p>\n<p>Shipping bottlenecks and higher input prices have held back homebuilding, contributing to skyrocketing prices for the limited supply of homes available. A silver lining of the report was data showing new-housing inventory continued to increase.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6122b8bb5e6b93c4492cae3796f4a31f\" tg-width=\"558\" tg-height=\"313\"></p>\n<p>There were 330,000 new homes for sale in May, the most since July 2019. At the current sales pace, it would take 5.1 months to exhaust the supply of new homes, compared with 4.6 months in the prior month.</p>\n<p>The median sales price rose to a record $374,400.</p>\n<p></p>\n<p>The number of homes sold in May and awaiting the start of construction -- a measure of backlogs -- was little changed from a month earlier at 276,000, Wednesday’s report showed. The total number of homes sold with construction underway eased to 305,000 in May.</p>\n<p>A separate report Tuesday showed thatexisting home salesfell for a fourth straight month in May, held back by lack of inventory and record-high prices.</p>\n<p><b>Digging Deeper</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Sales across U.S. regions were mixed, with the Midwest seeing no change and the South posting a decline. Home sales in the Northeast showed a large increase.</li>\n <li>New-home purchases account for about 10% of the market and are calculated when contracts are signed. They are considered a timelier barometer than purchases of previously-owned homes, which are calculated when contracts close.</li>\n <li>The new-homes data are volatile; the report showed 90% confidence that the change in sales ranged from a 24.5% decline to a 12.7% increase.</li>\n</ul>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. New-Home Sales Post Surprise Drop Amid Record-High Prices</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. New-Home Sales Post Surprise Drop Amid Record-High Prices\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-23 22:36 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-06-23/u-s-new-home-sales-fell-in-may-amid-high-prices-lean-supply?srnd=markets-vp><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Median sales price rose to a record $374,400 last month\nNew homes for sale were at highest levels since July 2019\n\nSales of new U.S. homes dropped unexpectedly in May as elevated home prices weigh on ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-06-23/u-s-new-home-sales-fell-in-may-amid-high-prices-lean-supply?srnd=markets-vp\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-06-23/u-s-new-home-sales-fell-in-may-amid-high-prices-lean-supply?srnd=markets-vp","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1180677663","content_text":"Median sales price rose to a record $374,400 last month\nNew homes for sale were at highest levels since July 2019\n\nSales of new U.S. homes dropped unexpectedly in May as elevated home prices weigh on affordability.\nPurchases of new single-family homes fell 5.9% to a 769,000 annualized pace after an downwardly revised 817,000 in April, government data showed Wednesday. The median estimate in a Bloomberg survey of economists called for a 865,000 rate.\nShipping bottlenecks and higher input prices have held back homebuilding, contributing to skyrocketing prices for the limited supply of homes available. A silver lining of the report was data showing new-housing inventory continued to increase.\n\nThere were 330,000 new homes for sale in May, the most since July 2019. At the current sales pace, it would take 5.1 months to exhaust the supply of new homes, compared with 4.6 months in the prior month.\nThe median sales price rose to a record $374,400.\n\nThe number of homes sold in May and awaiting the start of construction -- a measure of backlogs -- was little changed from a month earlier at 276,000, Wednesday’s report showed. The total number of homes sold with construction underway eased to 305,000 in May.\nA separate report Tuesday showed thatexisting home salesfell for a fourth straight month in May, held back by lack of inventory and record-high prices.\nDigging Deeper\n\nSales across U.S. regions were mixed, with the Midwest seeing no change and the South posting a decline. Home sales in the Northeast showed a large increase.\nNew-home purchases account for about 10% of the market and are calculated when contracts are signed. They are considered a timelier barometer than purchases of previously-owned homes, which are calculated when contracts close.\nThe new-homes data are volatile; the report showed 90% confidence that the change in sales ranged from a 24.5% decline to a 12.7% increase.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":302,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":160070387,"gmtCreate":1623767736249,"gmtModify":1703818825696,"author":{"id":"3576631475134774","authorId":"3576631475134774","name":"Yoda0603","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576631475134774","authorIdStr":"3576631475134774"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Liked&nbsp;","listText":"Liked&nbsp;","text":"Liked","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/160070387","repostId":"1187102856","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1187102856","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623767520,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1187102856?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-15 22:32","market":"uk","language":"en","title":"Airbus hints at a freighter version of its A350 to tap into hot cargo market","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1187102856","media":"cnbc","summary":"KEY POINTS\n\nThe European manufacturer says it is considering a wide-body freighter.\nChief Commercial","content":"<div>\n<p>KEY POINTS\n\nThe European manufacturer says it is considering a wide-body freighter.\nChief Commercial Officer Christian Scherer said Airbus \"underserves\" the freighter market.\nBoeing aircraft dominates...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/15/airbus-hints-at-freighter-version-of-a350-to-tap-into-hot-cargo-market.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"cnbc_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Airbus hints at a freighter version of its A350 to tap into hot cargo market</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAirbus hints at a freighter version of its A350 to tap into hot cargo market\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-15 22:32 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/15/airbus-hints-at-freighter-version-of-a350-to-tap-into-hot-cargo-market.html><strong>cnbc</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>KEY POINTS\n\nThe European manufacturer says it is considering a wide-body freighter.\nChief Commercial Officer Christian Scherer said Airbus \"underserves\" the freighter market.\nBoeing aircraft dominates...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/15/airbus-hints-at-freighter-version-of-a350-to-tap-into-hot-cargo-market.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"0KVV.UK":"空中客车集团"},"source_url":"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/15/airbus-hints-at-freighter-version-of-a350-to-tap-into-hot-cargo-market.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/72bb72e1b84c09fca865c6dcb1bbcd16","article_id":"1187102856","content_text":"KEY POINTS\n\nThe European manufacturer says it is considering a wide-body freighter.\nChief Commercial Officer Christian Scherer said Airbus \"underserves\" the freighter market.\nBoeing aircraft dominates the air-cargo industry.\n\nAirbus is weighing the development of a freighter version of its wide-body A350 aircraft, the European manufacturer's chief commercial officer said Tuesday, a move that could take on rivalBoeingin the air cargo market.\nThe air freight market has been a bright spot during the Covid pandemic. Rates surged after the virus and travel restrictions devastated passenger travel, taking airplane belly space out of the market, creating a supply crunch. Snarls at ports have also boosted demand for air cargo.\n“That has somewhat exacerbated the fact that the freighter market is underserved by Airbus today,” Chief Commercial Officer Christian Scherer said on a webcast briefing. “Many of our customers have told us, ‘You have been a formidable force in this industry. ... Please do so on the freighter market as well.’ That’s an important message to take into account.”\nScherer declined to provide details on when the company would make a decision but said “we have some wind in our sails toward seeing the emergency of an A350 freighter.”\nAir cargo demand in April, the latest available data, rose 12% compared with April 2019, before the pandemic, and topped a 2018 peak, according to the International Air Transport Association.\nAirbus rival Boeing produces several freighter aircraft, such as the 747 and 767, for customersUPS,FedExandAtlas Air WorldwideHoldings, contractor forAmazon’s air arm, as well as airlines that have both passenger and air cargo businesses.\nThe pandemic has also fueled a surge in demand for the conversion of retired passenger aircraft into freighters.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":482,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":117657812,"gmtCreate":1623140204236,"gmtModify":1704196880403,"author":{"id":"3576631475134774","authorId":"3576631475134774","name":"Yoda0603","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576631475134774","authorIdStr":"3576631475134774"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Well done&nbsp;","listText":"Well done&nbsp;","text":"Well done","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/117657812","repostId":"1170180025","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1170180025","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623137843,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1170180025?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-08 15:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"6 Million Americans Are Rooting for Monday's Big Stock Market Winner","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1170180025","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"It's not just about money. This company could change millions of lives for the better.\n\nIt's not eve","content":"<blockquote>\n <b>It's not just about money. This company could change millions of lives for the better.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>It's not every day that a news event involving the stock market has the potential to change the lives of millions of people for the better. But that's what happened today, and although the decision involves some controversy, the latest approval from the U.S. Food and Drug Administration paves the way for a potential breakthrough for the more than 6 million Americans who suffer from a terrible and debilitating illness.</p>\n<p>To be clear, the entire stock market didn't celebrate the news. The<b>Dow Jones Industrial Average</b>&nbsp;and<b>S&amp;P 500</b>were both down on the day, although gains for the<b>Nasdaq Composite</b>&nbsp;were nice to see.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/181bcc06eb97d19baf436292a1eb2331\" tg-width=\"793\" tg-height=\"292\">Indeed, the Nasdaq's gain came in part from the performance of the high-flying stock in question.<b>Biogen</b>(NASDAQ:BIIB)surged higher by more than 38% on Monday, and the gains came on hopes that the company might finally be able to solve the problem of Alzheimer's disease once and for all.</p>\n<p><b>An approval for Biogen</b></p>\n<p>Biogen's stock soared after a long trading halt that lasted nearly three hours. At noon EDT,Biogen issued a press releasethat announced the FDA's accelerated approval of its aducanumab-avwa treatment for Alzheimer's disease. Using the marketing name Aduhelm for the drug, Biogen claimed the status as having the first and only Alzheimer's treatment addressing what it called \"a defining pathology of the disease\" by reducing amyloid beta plaque levels in patients' brains.</p>\n<p>Biogen said that the FDA issued the accelerated approval based on clinical trial data demonstrating plaque reduction. It'll be up to continuing studies to verify that success in fighting amyloid beta plaque will actually reduce the rate of clinical decline that Alzheimer's disease patients suffer.</p>\n<p>CEO Michel Vounatsos calling the approval a \"historic moment\" and celebrated the decade-long work of numerous researchers. Officials at<b>Eisai</b>(OTC:ESALY), which has worked together with Biogen on the treatment, were similarly pleased. Eisai stock jumped as much as 70% in over-the-counter trading.</p>\n<p><b>Why Biogen's win is controversial</b></p>\n<p>Yet others remain skeptical about Biogen's victory. Although the company has done a good job of showing the direct impact of the treatment on amyloid protein formation, making the further link to demonstrate actual improvement in Alzheimer's symptoms like cognitive ability has been more elusive. In fact,past trials have specifically failedto establish statistically significant benefits.</p>\n<p>Also unusual is the extent of disagreement among researchers in the field.A panel of independent experts wasn't convincedwhen presented with Aduhelm's results that the treatment could directly improve symptoms.</p>\n<p>Nevertheless, Biogen can expect sales of Aduhelm to be brisk. With the only approved treatment on the market, Biogen will have many medical professionals looking to try it even if they're skeptical about its eventual impact. That will inevitably produce billions of dollars in revenue for Biogen while allowing the company to continue collecting data on any positive impacts of the treatment on patients.</p>\n<p><b>Hoping for a cure</b></p>\n<p>It's precisely because so much is on the line for so many people that Biogen's Alzheimer's treatment generates such strong emotion. Nevertheless, everyone has to be hoping that Aduhelm will be able to prove itself once and for all and start providing relief for those who suffer from the disease.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>6 Million Americans Are Rooting for Monday's Big Stock Market Winner</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n6 Million Americans Are Rooting for Monday's Big Stock Market Winner\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-08 15:37 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/07/6-million-americans-are-rooting-for-mondays-big-st/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>It's not just about money. This company could change millions of lives for the better.\n\nIt's not every day that a news event involving the stock market has the potential to change the lives of ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/07/6-million-americans-are-rooting-for-mondays-big-st/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BIIB":"渤健公司"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/07/6-million-americans-are-rooting-for-mondays-big-st/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1170180025","content_text":"It's not just about money. This company could change millions of lives for the better.\n\nIt's not every day that a news event involving the stock market has the potential to change the lives of millions of people for the better. But that's what happened today, and although the decision involves some controversy, the latest approval from the U.S. Food and Drug Administration paves the way for a potential breakthrough for the more than 6 million Americans who suffer from a terrible and debilitating illness.\nTo be clear, the entire stock market didn't celebrate the news. TheDow Jones Industrial Average andS&P 500were both down on the day, although gains for theNasdaq Composite were nice to see.\nIndeed, the Nasdaq's gain came in part from the performance of the high-flying stock in question.Biogen(NASDAQ:BIIB)surged higher by more than 38% on Monday, and the gains came on hopes that the company might finally be able to solve the problem of Alzheimer's disease once and for all.\nAn approval for Biogen\nBiogen's stock soared after a long trading halt that lasted nearly three hours. At noon EDT,Biogen issued a press releasethat announced the FDA's accelerated approval of its aducanumab-avwa treatment for Alzheimer's disease. Using the marketing name Aduhelm for the drug, Biogen claimed the status as having the first and only Alzheimer's treatment addressing what it called \"a defining pathology of the disease\" by reducing amyloid beta plaque levels in patients' brains.\nBiogen said that the FDA issued the accelerated approval based on clinical trial data demonstrating plaque reduction. It'll be up to continuing studies to verify that success in fighting amyloid beta plaque will actually reduce the rate of clinical decline that Alzheimer's disease patients suffer.\nCEO Michel Vounatsos calling the approval a \"historic moment\" and celebrated the decade-long work of numerous researchers. Officials atEisai(OTC:ESALY), which has worked together with Biogen on the treatment, were similarly pleased. Eisai stock jumped as much as 70% in over-the-counter trading.\nWhy Biogen's win is controversial\nYet others remain skeptical about Biogen's victory. Although the company has done a good job of showing the direct impact of the treatment on amyloid protein formation, making the further link to demonstrate actual improvement in Alzheimer's symptoms like cognitive ability has been more elusive. In fact,past trials have specifically failedto establish statistically significant benefits.\nAlso unusual is the extent of disagreement among researchers in the field.A panel of independent experts wasn't convincedwhen presented with Aduhelm's results that the treatment could directly improve symptoms.\nNevertheless, Biogen can expect sales of Aduhelm to be brisk. With the only approved treatment on the market, Biogen will have many medical professionals looking to try it even if they're skeptical about its eventual impact. That will inevitably produce billions of dollars in revenue for Biogen while allowing the company to continue collecting data on any positive impacts of the treatment on patients.\nHoping for a cure\nIt's precisely because so much is on the line for so many people that Biogen's Alzheimer's treatment generates such strong emotion. Nevertheless, everyone has to be hoping that Aduhelm will be able to prove itself once and for all and start providing relief for those who suffer from the disease.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":262,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":117652266,"gmtCreate":1623140126155,"gmtModify":1704196876182,"author":{"id":"3576631475134774","authorId":"3576631475134774","name":"Yoda0603","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576631475134774","authorIdStr":"3576631475134774"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good !!","listText":"Good !!","text":"Good !!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/117652266","repostId":"1125998409","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1125998409","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623139872,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1125998409?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-08 16:11","market":"us","language":"en","title":"AMC Shares Jump as New Meme-Stock Favorite Returns to Form","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1125998409","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"(Bloomberg) -- AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc. rose for the first day in three amid a broader advanc","content":"<p>(Bloomberg) -- AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc. rose for the first day in three amid a broader advance in meme stocks and as regulators warned they are monitoring the frenzied trading in the group of shares for any signs of market manipulation.</p>\n<p>The stock closed 15% higher at $55 on Monday. Its shares more than doubled on the first two days of a holiday-shortened last week, but gave back some of those gains after insiders cashed in with a flurry of share sales.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2864f78266c34529f17b6271b831b60\" tg-width=\"321\" tg-height=\"244\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ef3bd429d5deb5d43641b3aef72da23\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"675\"></p>\n<p>In a statement Monday, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission said it’s monitoring markets for manipulation and other forms of misconduct amid the frenzied surge in so-called meme stocks. “We will act to protect retail investors if violations of federal securities laws are found,” the agency said.</p>\n<p>On the brink of bankruptcy only a few months ago, AMC is now the darling of retail traders, with this year’s near-2,500% gain ranking as the most of any stock in the Russell 3000 Index. That’s despite calls from across Wall Street that the shares aren’t worth anywhere near where they currently trade. “The stock continues to not reflect fundamentals,” said Macquarie analyst Chad Beynon. “Retail traders are focusing on price and not what that translates to in terms of valuations,” he added.</p>\n<p>Still, the surge has enabled the company to sell equity and shore up its shaky balance sheet. AMC is building a “strategic war chest,” B Riley analyst Eric Wold wrote in a note.“In addition to our continued expectation that AMC could improve its balance sheet and future cash flows through debt repurchases/pay-downs, we could now see either acquisitions of smaller exhibitor chains or the takeover of leases from troubled chains,” he said.</p>\n<p>Company insiders have also started to take advantage of AMC’s swift run up in share price. At least six people affiliated with the firm sold more than $8 million of stock last week, according to regulatory filings with the SEC. Carla Chavarria, the company’s head of human resources, unloaded $2.5 million worth of shares, while Gary Locke, who is up for re-election to the board, sold more than 34,000 shares for $1.7 million.</p>\n<p>A forthcoming reshuffle of the Russell Indexes could pose a problem for the likes of AMC and GameStop Corp., which started the meme stock craze back in January. Their enlarged market caps of $24.6 billion and $18.4 billion on Friday, respectively, put them in line for a move from the Russell 2000 small-cap stock index to the Russell 1000 index of the biggest American companies.</p>\n<p>“The graduation of these high-fliers could be the beginning of the end of their epic run,” Wells Fargo analysts led by Christopher Harvey wrote in a note Friday.</p>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AMC Shares Jump as New Meme-Stock Favorite Returns to Form</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAMC Shares Jump as New Meme-Stock Favorite Returns to Form\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-08 16:11 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/amc-gains-premarket-meme-stock-094532796.html><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>(Bloomberg) -- AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc. rose for the first day in three amid a broader advance in meme stocks and as regulators warned they are monitoring the frenzied trading in the group of ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/amc-gains-premarket-meme-stock-094532796.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/amc-gains-premarket-meme-stock-094532796.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1125998409","content_text":"(Bloomberg) -- AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc. rose for the first day in three amid a broader advance in meme stocks and as regulators warned they are monitoring the frenzied trading in the group of shares for any signs of market manipulation.\nThe stock closed 15% higher at $55 on Monday. Its shares more than doubled on the first two days of a holiday-shortened last week, but gave back some of those gains after insiders cashed in with a flurry of share sales.\n\nIn a statement Monday, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission said it’s monitoring markets for manipulation and other forms of misconduct amid the frenzied surge in so-called meme stocks. “We will act to protect retail investors if violations of federal securities laws are found,” the agency said.\nOn the brink of bankruptcy only a few months ago, AMC is now the darling of retail traders, with this year’s near-2,500% gain ranking as the most of any stock in the Russell 3000 Index. That’s despite calls from across Wall Street that the shares aren’t worth anywhere near where they currently trade. “The stock continues to not reflect fundamentals,” said Macquarie analyst Chad Beynon. “Retail traders are focusing on price and not what that translates to in terms of valuations,” he added.\nStill, the surge has enabled the company to sell equity and shore up its shaky balance sheet. AMC is building a “strategic war chest,” B Riley analyst Eric Wold wrote in a note.“In addition to our continued expectation that AMC could improve its balance sheet and future cash flows through debt repurchases/pay-downs, we could now see either acquisitions of smaller exhibitor chains or the takeover of leases from troubled chains,” he said.\nCompany insiders have also started to take advantage of AMC’s swift run up in share price. At least six people affiliated with the firm sold more than $8 million of stock last week, according to regulatory filings with the SEC. Carla Chavarria, the company’s head of human resources, unloaded $2.5 million worth of shares, while Gary Locke, who is up for re-election to the board, sold more than 34,000 shares for $1.7 million.\nA forthcoming reshuffle of the Russell Indexes could pose a problem for the likes of AMC and GameStop Corp., which started the meme stock craze back in January. Their enlarged market caps of $24.6 billion and $18.4 billion on Friday, respectively, put them in line for a move from the Russell 2000 small-cap stock index to the Russell 1000 index of the biggest American companies.\n“The graduation of these high-fliers could be the beginning of the end of their epic run,” Wells Fargo analysts led by Christopher Harvey wrote in a note Friday.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":344,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":114958969,"gmtCreate":1623044612451,"gmtModify":1704194936072,"author":{"id":"3576631475134774","authorId":"3576631475134774","name":"Yoda0603","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576631475134774","authorIdStr":"3576631475134774"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/114958969","repostId":"1170185754","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1170185754","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623037748,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1170185754?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-07 11:49","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toshiba to buy back 6% of shares, pay special dividend","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1170185754","media":"Reuters","summary":"TOKYO (Reuters) - Toshiba Corp said on Monday it will buy back up to 6% of its outstanding shares wo","content":"<p>TOKYO (Reuters) - Toshiba Corp said on Monday it will buy back up to 6% of its outstanding shares worth around 100 billion yen ($913 million), in line with its plans to boost shareholder returns.</p><p>The Japanese industrial conglomerate will also allocate about 50 billion yen to pay a special dividend as \"some shareholders, mainly retail shareholders, prefer dividends\", it said in a statement.</p><p>Toshiba, which has been under pressure from activist shareholders, last month promised to return to shareholders a surplus of 150 billion yen against the appropriate shareholder equity level.</p>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toshiba to buy back 6% of shares, pay special dividend</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToshiba to buy back 6% of shares, pay special dividend\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-07 11:49 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/toshiba-buy-back-6-shares-033708746.html><strong>Reuters</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>TOKYO (Reuters) - Toshiba Corp said on Monday it will buy back up to 6% of its outstanding shares worth around 100 billion yen ($913 million), in line with its plans to boost shareholder returns.The ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/toshiba-buy-back-6-shares-033708746.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TOSYY":"东芝"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/toshiba-buy-back-6-shares-033708746.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1170185754","content_text":"TOKYO (Reuters) - Toshiba Corp said on Monday it will buy back up to 6% of its outstanding shares worth around 100 billion yen ($913 million), in line with its plans to boost shareholder returns.The Japanese industrial conglomerate will also allocate about 50 billion yen to pay a special dividend as \"some shareholders, mainly retail shareholders, prefer dividends\", it said in a statement.Toshiba, which has been under pressure from activist shareholders, last month promised to return to shareholders a surplus of 150 billion yen against the appropriate shareholder equity level.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":318,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":115837602,"gmtCreate":1622969111906,"gmtModify":1704193937432,"author":{"id":"3576631475134774","authorId":"3576631475134774","name":"Yoda0603","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576631475134774","authorIdStr":"3576631475134774"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/115837602","repostId":"2140540596","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2140540596","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1622820692,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2140540596?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-04 23:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Technology Stocks You Can Buy and Hold for the Next Decade","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2140540596","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"It can be tough to get married to stocks -- especially tech -- but here are three to leave alone for the long haul.","content":"<p>Let's be honest. A lot of people say their positions in flashy technology companies are meant to be long-term holdings, but they're really just an effort to make a quick buck. And that's OK. Any profitable trade is technically a good trade. If you can get in and out at the right time, so be it.</p>\n<p>Thing is, there are plenty of tech names that are more than just flash-in-the-pan prospects, and are better suited for holding periods measured in years rather than weeks.</p>\n<p>Here's a closer look at three such technology companies. Not only will they be just as impressive 10 years from now as they are today, but their stocks should be trading at much higher prices.</p>\n<h2>Microsoft</h2>\n<p>It's tough to imagine a world without <b>Microsoft</b> (NASDAQ:MSFT). Its Windows operating system is installed on three-fourths of the world's desktops and laptops, according to GlobalStats, and its Office productivity software remains the gold standard for the category. <b>Sony</b>'s PlayStation gaming console enjoys more worldwide market share than Microsoft's Xbox, but the Xbox is closing the gap, and is still the most popular game console in the U.S.</p>\n<p>And these are things consumers can readily see. There's a whole different unseen array of Microsoft-made products that are doing similarly well. For instance, Canalys reports Microsoft's cloud computing business accounted for a second-best 19% of the world's first-quarter cloud infrastructure spending, and the company continues to close the gap with market-leader <b>Amazon</b>.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/362a8a5cb8d412d4e3895fa185d236b7\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"484\"><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p>\n<p>Now take a step back and ask a thoughtful, critical question: Is there any chance the world will have less need for computers, cloud computing, productivity software, or game consoles 10 years from now?</p>\n<p>Any reasonable and realistic answer has to be \"no.\" Indeed, it would be surprising if demand for these products and services wasn't considerably greater a decade from now. Being a market leader in multiple categories, Microsoft can steer the market's ongoing growth in a way that serves itself best. For example, the Windows operating system comes with trial versions of Office software pre-installed.</p>\n<p>Bolstering the bullish argument for long-term ownership of Microsoft is the company's evolving business model. Access to Azure, Office, and even video games can now be utilized on a monthly subscription basis, accessible via the cloud. This shift not only makes the company's products more affordable to begin using but also gives Microsoft a better chance of keeping those customers by making it easy to update and upgrade software.</p>\n<p>Last year, the last time Microsoft disclosed such data, it had already lined up more than $100 billion worth of subscription cloud revenue that had yet to be booked -- a figure that continues to edge upward.</p>\n<h2><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PANW\">Palo Alto Networks</a></h2>\n<p>Even after several high-profile cybersecurity gaffes embarrassed organizations ranging from <b>Target </b>to <b>Equifax</b> to Yahoo!, some of the world's most important companies are still being hacked. Most recently, Colonial Pipeline agreed to fork over $4.4 million to a computer hacking group known as Darkside to regain control of its 5,500 miles worth of refined oil pipelines.</p>\n<p>These things are preventable. They're just not being prevented, as too many organizations don't utilize all the digital defenses available to them. Perhaps the Colonial Pipeline debacle will encourage procurement of this protection.</p>\n<p>Enter <b>Palo Alto Networks</b> (NYSE:PANW). Simply put, Palo Alto offers software preventing unauthorized access to a company's network, internal apps, and data. It's even got a ransomware protection solution in its lineup that might have been able to save Colonial Pipeline a few million bucks.</p>\n<p>The opportunity is incredible, and should remain so for a while. P&amp;S Intelligence believes the cybersecurity market will grow at an average annual pace of 12.6%, from 2019's $120 billion to $434 billion by 2030. That's a lot, but it's only a fraction of the $10.5 trillion that Cybersecurity Ventures believes cybercrime will cost the world in 2025 alone if enterprises don't step up their digital defense games.</p>\n<p>Palo Alto is doing fine, logging more than seven consecutive years of rising revenue as more and more outfits build their digital moats. Given the outlook, more of the same kind of growth is in the cards for a while.</p>\n<h2>International Business Machines</h2>\n<p>Finally, add <b>International Business Machines</b> (NYSE:IBM) to your list of technology stocks to buy and hold for the next decade.</p>\n<p>Yes, this is the same IBM that failed to respond to the advent of things like cloud computing, mobile devices, and all that goes with both. The company's \"strategic imperatives\" plan unveiled in 2015 was meant to steer the company away from a legacy mainframe business that was already dying and toward more contemporary opportunities like the aforementioned cloud and mobile security. By and large, though, it was too little too late.</p>\n<p>The IBM of today, however, isn't the IBM from even as recently as two years ago. It's ready to compete where it counts.</p>\n<p>Take last month's revelation of new technologies capable of fabricating a 2-nanometer microchip as an example. The microscopic measure is in reference to how small a chip's transistors can be made and still function properly. The smaller, the better, as smaller transistors consume less power, operate faster, and require less space when room is a factor. For perspective, 7-nanometer chips are the best the market has to offer right now.</p>\n<p>It's not just more functional chips IBM is starting to develop, either. Just within the past few weeks, the company has unveiled a way for data centers to more efficiently store and retrieve data, and launched AutoSQL, which is capable of retrieving data eight times faster than previous approaches are. Both technologies have a myriad of potential uses, including in the artificial intelligence arena.</p>\n<p>Read between the lines. This isn't yesteryear's IBM.</p>\n<p>It could still take years for the company to fully monetize these and other breakthroughs, but they're worth the wait.</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Technology Stocks You Can Buy and Hold for the Next Decade</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Technology Stocks You Can Buy and Hold for the Next Decade\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-04 23:31 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/04/3-technology-stocks-you-can-buy-and-hold-for-the-n/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Let's be honest. A lot of people say their positions in flashy technology companies are meant to be long-term holdings, but they're really just an effort to make a quick buck. And that's OK. Any ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/04/3-technology-stocks-you-can-buy-and-hold-for-the-n/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PANW":"Palo Alto Networks","MSFT":"微软","IBM":"IBM"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/04/3-technology-stocks-you-can-buy-and-hold-for-the-n/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2140540596","content_text":"Let's be honest. A lot of people say their positions in flashy technology companies are meant to be long-term holdings, but they're really just an effort to make a quick buck. And that's OK. Any profitable trade is technically a good trade. If you can get in and out at the right time, so be it.\nThing is, there are plenty of tech names that are more than just flash-in-the-pan prospects, and are better suited for holding periods measured in years rather than weeks.\nHere's a closer look at three such technology companies. Not only will they be just as impressive 10 years from now as they are today, but their stocks should be trading at much higher prices.\nMicrosoft\nIt's tough to imagine a world without Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT). Its Windows operating system is installed on three-fourths of the world's desktops and laptops, according to GlobalStats, and its Office productivity software remains the gold standard for the category. Sony's PlayStation gaming console enjoys more worldwide market share than Microsoft's Xbox, but the Xbox is closing the gap, and is still the most popular game console in the U.S.\nAnd these are things consumers can readily see. There's a whole different unseen array of Microsoft-made products that are doing similarly well. For instance, Canalys reports Microsoft's cloud computing business accounted for a second-best 19% of the world's first-quarter cloud infrastructure spending, and the company continues to close the gap with market-leader Amazon.\nImage source: Getty Images.\nNow take a step back and ask a thoughtful, critical question: Is there any chance the world will have less need for computers, cloud computing, productivity software, or game consoles 10 years from now?\nAny reasonable and realistic answer has to be \"no.\" Indeed, it would be surprising if demand for these products and services wasn't considerably greater a decade from now. Being a market leader in multiple categories, Microsoft can steer the market's ongoing growth in a way that serves itself best. For example, the Windows operating system comes with trial versions of Office software pre-installed.\nBolstering the bullish argument for long-term ownership of Microsoft is the company's evolving business model. Access to Azure, Office, and even video games can now be utilized on a monthly subscription basis, accessible via the cloud. This shift not only makes the company's products more affordable to begin using but also gives Microsoft a better chance of keeping those customers by making it easy to update and upgrade software.\nLast year, the last time Microsoft disclosed such data, it had already lined up more than $100 billion worth of subscription cloud revenue that had yet to be booked -- a figure that continues to edge upward.\nPalo Alto Networks\nEven after several high-profile cybersecurity gaffes embarrassed organizations ranging from Target to Equifax to Yahoo!, some of the world's most important companies are still being hacked. Most recently, Colonial Pipeline agreed to fork over $4.4 million to a computer hacking group known as Darkside to regain control of its 5,500 miles worth of refined oil pipelines.\nThese things are preventable. They're just not being prevented, as too many organizations don't utilize all the digital defenses available to them. Perhaps the Colonial Pipeline debacle will encourage procurement of this protection.\nEnter Palo Alto Networks (NYSE:PANW). Simply put, Palo Alto offers software preventing unauthorized access to a company's network, internal apps, and data. It's even got a ransomware protection solution in its lineup that might have been able to save Colonial Pipeline a few million bucks.\nThe opportunity is incredible, and should remain so for a while. P&S Intelligence believes the cybersecurity market will grow at an average annual pace of 12.6%, from 2019's $120 billion to $434 billion by 2030. That's a lot, but it's only a fraction of the $10.5 trillion that Cybersecurity Ventures believes cybercrime will cost the world in 2025 alone if enterprises don't step up their digital defense games.\nPalo Alto is doing fine, logging more than seven consecutive years of rising revenue as more and more outfits build their digital moats. Given the outlook, more of the same kind of growth is in the cards for a while.\nInternational Business Machines\nFinally, add International Business Machines (NYSE:IBM) to your list of technology stocks to buy and hold for the next decade.\nYes, this is the same IBM that failed to respond to the advent of things like cloud computing, mobile devices, and all that goes with both. The company's \"strategic imperatives\" plan unveiled in 2015 was meant to steer the company away from a legacy mainframe business that was already dying and toward more contemporary opportunities like the aforementioned cloud and mobile security. By and large, though, it was too little too late.\nThe IBM of today, however, isn't the IBM from even as recently as two years ago. It's ready to compete where it counts.\nTake last month's revelation of new technologies capable of fabricating a 2-nanometer microchip as an example. The microscopic measure is in reference to how small a chip's transistors can be made and still function properly. The smaller, the better, as smaller transistors consume less power, operate faster, and require less space when room is a factor. For perspective, 7-nanometer chips are the best the market has to offer right now.\nIt's not just more functional chips IBM is starting to develop, either. Just within the past few weeks, the company has unveiled a way for data centers to more efficiently store and retrieve data, and launched AutoSQL, which is capable of retrieving data eight times faster than previous approaches are. Both technologies have a myriad of potential uses, including in the artificial intelligence arena.\nRead between the lines. This isn't yesteryear's IBM.\nIt could still take years for the company to fully monetize these and other breakthroughs, but they're worth the wait.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":402,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":115837918,"gmtCreate":1622969052334,"gmtModify":1704193936783,"author":{"id":"3576631475134774","authorId":"3576631475134774","name":"Yoda0603","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576631475134774","authorIdStr":"3576631475134774"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good&nbsp;","listText":"Good&nbsp;","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/115837918","repostId":"2141402879","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2141402879","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1622942472,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2141402879?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-06 09:21","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Marqeta IPO: 5 things to know about the fintech company serving Square, DoorDash and others","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2141402879","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Marqeta could be valued at more than $12 billion after IPO that seeks to raise more than $1 billion\n","content":"<p>Marqeta could be valued at more than $12 billion after IPO that seeks to raise more than $1 billion</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/412c348141d4444464c736dce5633419\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"937\"><span>Square Inc. accounted for 70% of Marqeta Inc.'s revenue last year; Marqeta's card-issuing technology helps Square offer debit cards to its Cash App customers.</span></p>\n<p>Investors could soon have a new way to play the payments infrastructure behind some of Silicon Valley's hottest companies.</p>\n<p>Companies from Instacart to DoorDash Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DASH\">$(DASH)$</a> to Affirm Holdings Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AFRM\">$(AFRM)$</a> rely on card payments to facilitate customer purchases, allowing delivery workers to pay for just the items in orders, for instance. Marqeta Inc. offers card-issuing technology that lets businesses build out these functions, and the financial technology company is now in the process of going public.</p>\n<p>Oakland, Calif.-based Marqeta, which was incorporated in 2010, says that's it putting a modern spin on the practice of issuing customized cards. The company offers application programming interfaces, or APIs, that let companies leverage Marqeta's relationships with banks and card networks while building out virtual and physical card programs.</p>\n<p>Square Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SQ\">$(SQ)$</a> is Marqeta's largest customer, relying on Marqeta technology to power Cash Card debit cards that let users spend the funds from their mobile wallets. Marqeta also enables a function that lets Square's Cash App users receive direct deposits from employers or the government, according to the prospectus Marqeta filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission ahead of its initial public offering.</p>\n<p>Marqeta is looking to offer about 45 million Class A shares priced at $20 to $24 apiece through its IPO, while founder and Chief Executive Jason Gardner, as well as early investors, receive class B shares with 10 times the voting power. The company would raise almost $1.1 billion at the high end of that proposed range while fetching a valuation over $12 billion. Underwriters, led by Goldman Sachs and JP Morgan, have access to an additional 6.8 million shares. Marqeta expects to list on the Nasdaq exchange under the ticker symbol MQ.</p>\n<p>Here are five things to know about Marqeta ahead of offering its shares, which are expected to begin trading on June 9.</p>\n<p><b>Doubling revenue, but still in the red</b></p>\n<p>Marqeta generated net revenue of $290.3 million last year, more than double the $143.3 million that the company recorded a year earlier. For the first quarter of 2021, Marqeta saw revenue rise to $108.0 million from $48.4 million.</p>\n<p>The company is still losing money, though losses narrowed in the last fiscal year. Marqeta posted a net loss of $47.7 million in 2020, compared with a loss of $58.2 million in 2019. Marqeta lost $12.8 million in the first quarter of 2021, compared with $14.5 million in the comparable period a year prior.</p>\n<p>Marqeta's total processing volume, or the dollar value of payments processed through its platform, increased 167% in the first quarter to reach $24 billion.</p>\n<p><b>Squarely its biggest customer</b></p>\n<p>Marqeta is highly reliant on Square, which accounted for 70% of the company's net revenue last year and 73% of its net revenue in the first quarter of 2021.</p>\n<p>\"Although we expect the net revenue from our largest customer will decrease over time as a percentage of our total net revenue as we generate more net revenue from other customers, we expect that net revenue from a relatively small group of customers will continue to account for a significant portion of our net revenue in the near term,\" the company notes among the risk factors listed in its prospectus.</p>\n<p>\"It's unprecedented to see a company going public with that much of business coming from <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> customer,\" Jordan McKee, a principal analyst at 451 Research, told MarketWatch.</p>\n<p>Marqeta's Cash App contract term ends in March 2024, and its contract for the Square Card -- a separate product meant for businesses -- expires in December 2024. Both agreements can automatically renew for successive <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a>-year periods after that.</p>\n<p>Bernstein analyst Harshita Rawat sees little risk that Square moves its business to another card-issuing platform, since the other companies offering this technology are those Square competes with in other areas of its business. The bigger long-term risk is that Square develops card-issuing capabilities in-house, in her view.</p>\n<p>\"While it is very hard to definitively say whether Square is considering building an in-house solution or not ---- we believe precedence exists with Stripe and Adyen, and as such this customer-concentration risk should be baked into Marqeta's valuation,\" Rawat wrote.</p>\n<p><b>Meet the competition</b></p>\n<p>Marqeta concedes that it's in a competitive market, as the company goes up against more traditional players like Global Payments Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GPN\">$(GPN)$</a> and Fiserv Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FISV\">$(FISV)$</a> as well as \"emerging providers\" like Stripe and Adyen NV .</p>\n<p>Rawat wrote that the more old-school financial-services players \"don't have adequate capabilities and speed-to-market to compete effectively in new-age issuer market,\" though she's \"closely watching Stripe as one of the most formidable competitors for Marqeta over time.\" Stripe has existing relationships with merchants as well as a more \"off-the-shelf\" product.</p>\n<p>While Rawat highlighted Stripe's more generalized offering as a possible benefit for that company relative to Marqeta, which has a more customizable product, Jefferies analyst Trevor Williams saw things differently after a number of industry conversations, including with a former Marqeta product vice president. Williams pointed to the customization options as an advantage for Marqeta and said that there are high switching costs of moving to a new platform.</p>\n<p>\"Our expert believes switches are unlikely unless a business need is not being met by Marqeta,\" he wrote, citing the \"engineering resources needed to manage a conversion, especially if card products are noncore for the customer (e.g. DoorDash isn't dependent on interchange).\"</p>\n<p>MKM Partners analyst Rohit Kulkarni wrote that the upstart fintech competitors have \"similar but arguably less sophisticated offerings.\"</p>\n<p><b>About interchange</b></p>\n<p>Marqeta generates most of its revenue from interchange fees, which are fees that merchant banks pay card-issuing banks when a customer makes a transaction with a credit or debit card. \"Our agreements with issuing banks provide that we receive 100% of the interchange fees for processing our customer's card transactions,\" Marqeta notes it its prospectus.</p>\n<p>Card networks set interchange fees, but the Durbin Amendment in 2010 capped debit interchange. Some smaller banks are exempt from the Durbin limits, however, and Marqeta \"currently only contract[s] with issuing banks that are exempt from the Durbin Amendment when we provide program management services,\" according to the company's prospectus.</p>\n<p>\"In a nutshell, Durbin-exempt interchange [percentage] across consumer and commercial card transactions (both of which Marqeta is exposed to through its different offerings) is likely 1.4% average for consumer (there is a wide range depending on the type of transaction) and &gt;2% for commercial spend,\" Bernstein's Rawat wrote. \"This is in contrast to 0.5% average interchange for Durbin-regulated transactions.\"</p>\n<p>Rawat believes that Marqeta's work with Durbin-exempt issuers helps the company generate higher revenue \"yields\" than more traditional partners that work with larger, nonexempt issuing banks, meaning that the company can keep a greater portion of volume as revenue. While she said that investors should monitor the risk of potential changes to exemption rules, she also wrote that \"there doesn't appear to be a willingness by the regulators or government to repeal Durbin exemption or make it harder for fintechs or tech giants to benefit from this.\"</p>\n<p><b>A big market</b></p>\n<p>Marqeta processed about $60 billion of volume last year, which it notes is less than 1% of the $6.7 trillion of volume that flowed through U.S. issuers in the same period, based on estimates from The Nilson Report, a payments-industry publication.</p>\n<p>\"We believe that our share of this massive opportunity will continue to increase due to our unique platform, competitive advantages, and a strong culture of innovation,\" the company said in its prospectus.</p>\n<p>Rawat wrote that Marqeta's \"growth runway is immense.\" Further opportunities include greater international expansion and progress with recently launched credit-processing initiatives, in her view.</p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Marqeta IPO: 5 things to know about the fintech company serving Square, DoorDash and others</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMarqeta IPO: 5 things to know about the fintech company serving Square, DoorDash and others\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-06 09:21 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/marqeta-ipo-5-things-to-know-about-the-fintech-company-serving-square-doordash-and-others-11622828431?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Marqeta could be valued at more than $12 billion after IPO that seeks to raise more than $1 billion\nSquare Inc. accounted for 70% of Marqeta Inc.'s revenue last year; Marqeta's card-issuing technology...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/marqeta-ipo-5-things-to-know-about-the-fintech-company-serving-square-doordash-and-others-11622828431?mod=home-page\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MQ":"Marqeta, Inc.","DASH":"DoorDash, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/marqeta-ipo-5-things-to-know-about-the-fintech-company-serving-square-doordash-and-others-11622828431?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2141402879","content_text":"Marqeta could be valued at more than $12 billion after IPO that seeks to raise more than $1 billion\nSquare Inc. accounted for 70% of Marqeta Inc.'s revenue last year; Marqeta's card-issuing technology helps Square offer debit cards to its Cash App customers.\nInvestors could soon have a new way to play the payments infrastructure behind some of Silicon Valley's hottest companies.\nCompanies from Instacart to DoorDash Inc. $(DASH)$ to Affirm Holdings Inc. $(AFRM)$ rely on card payments to facilitate customer purchases, allowing delivery workers to pay for just the items in orders, for instance. Marqeta Inc. offers card-issuing technology that lets businesses build out these functions, and the financial technology company is now in the process of going public.\nOakland, Calif.-based Marqeta, which was incorporated in 2010, says that's it putting a modern spin on the practice of issuing customized cards. The company offers application programming interfaces, or APIs, that let companies leverage Marqeta's relationships with banks and card networks while building out virtual and physical card programs.\nSquare Inc. $(SQ)$ is Marqeta's largest customer, relying on Marqeta technology to power Cash Card debit cards that let users spend the funds from their mobile wallets. Marqeta also enables a function that lets Square's Cash App users receive direct deposits from employers or the government, according to the prospectus Marqeta filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission ahead of its initial public offering.\nMarqeta is looking to offer about 45 million Class A shares priced at $20 to $24 apiece through its IPO, while founder and Chief Executive Jason Gardner, as well as early investors, receive class B shares with 10 times the voting power. The company would raise almost $1.1 billion at the high end of that proposed range while fetching a valuation over $12 billion. Underwriters, led by Goldman Sachs and JP Morgan, have access to an additional 6.8 million shares. Marqeta expects to list on the Nasdaq exchange under the ticker symbol MQ.\nHere are five things to know about Marqeta ahead of offering its shares, which are expected to begin trading on June 9.\nDoubling revenue, but still in the red\nMarqeta generated net revenue of $290.3 million last year, more than double the $143.3 million that the company recorded a year earlier. For the first quarter of 2021, Marqeta saw revenue rise to $108.0 million from $48.4 million.\nThe company is still losing money, though losses narrowed in the last fiscal year. Marqeta posted a net loss of $47.7 million in 2020, compared with a loss of $58.2 million in 2019. Marqeta lost $12.8 million in the first quarter of 2021, compared with $14.5 million in the comparable period a year prior.\nMarqeta's total processing volume, or the dollar value of payments processed through its platform, increased 167% in the first quarter to reach $24 billion.\nSquarely its biggest customer\nMarqeta is highly reliant on Square, which accounted for 70% of the company's net revenue last year and 73% of its net revenue in the first quarter of 2021.\n\"Although we expect the net revenue from our largest customer will decrease over time as a percentage of our total net revenue as we generate more net revenue from other customers, we expect that net revenue from a relatively small group of customers will continue to account for a significant portion of our net revenue in the near term,\" the company notes among the risk factors listed in its prospectus.\n\"It's unprecedented to see a company going public with that much of business coming from one customer,\" Jordan McKee, a principal analyst at 451 Research, told MarketWatch.\nMarqeta's Cash App contract term ends in March 2024, and its contract for the Square Card -- a separate product meant for businesses -- expires in December 2024. Both agreements can automatically renew for successive one-year periods after that.\nBernstein analyst Harshita Rawat sees little risk that Square moves its business to another card-issuing platform, since the other companies offering this technology are those Square competes with in other areas of its business. The bigger long-term risk is that Square develops card-issuing capabilities in-house, in her view.\n\"While it is very hard to definitively say whether Square is considering building an in-house solution or not ---- we believe precedence exists with Stripe and Adyen, and as such this customer-concentration risk should be baked into Marqeta's valuation,\" Rawat wrote.\nMeet the competition\nMarqeta concedes that it's in a competitive market, as the company goes up against more traditional players like Global Payments Inc. $(GPN)$ and Fiserv Inc. $(FISV)$ as well as \"emerging providers\" like Stripe and Adyen NV .\nRawat wrote that the more old-school financial-services players \"don't have adequate capabilities and speed-to-market to compete effectively in new-age issuer market,\" though she's \"closely watching Stripe as one of the most formidable competitors for Marqeta over time.\" Stripe has existing relationships with merchants as well as a more \"off-the-shelf\" product.\nWhile Rawat highlighted Stripe's more generalized offering as a possible benefit for that company relative to Marqeta, which has a more customizable product, Jefferies analyst Trevor Williams saw things differently after a number of industry conversations, including with a former Marqeta product vice president. Williams pointed to the customization options as an advantage for Marqeta and said that there are high switching costs of moving to a new platform.\n\"Our expert believes switches are unlikely unless a business need is not being met by Marqeta,\" he wrote, citing the \"engineering resources needed to manage a conversion, especially if card products are noncore for the customer (e.g. DoorDash isn't dependent on interchange).\"\nMKM Partners analyst Rohit Kulkarni wrote that the upstart fintech competitors have \"similar but arguably less sophisticated offerings.\"\nAbout interchange\nMarqeta generates most of its revenue from interchange fees, which are fees that merchant banks pay card-issuing banks when a customer makes a transaction with a credit or debit card. \"Our agreements with issuing banks provide that we receive 100% of the interchange fees for processing our customer's card transactions,\" Marqeta notes it its prospectus.\nCard networks set interchange fees, but the Durbin Amendment in 2010 capped debit interchange. Some smaller banks are exempt from the Durbin limits, however, and Marqeta \"currently only contract[s] with issuing banks that are exempt from the Durbin Amendment when we provide program management services,\" according to the company's prospectus.\n\"In a nutshell, Durbin-exempt interchange [percentage] across consumer and commercial card transactions (both of which Marqeta is exposed to through its different offerings) is likely 1.4% average for consumer (there is a wide range depending on the type of transaction) and >2% for commercial spend,\" Bernstein's Rawat wrote. \"This is in contrast to 0.5% average interchange for Durbin-regulated transactions.\"\nRawat believes that Marqeta's work with Durbin-exempt issuers helps the company generate higher revenue \"yields\" than more traditional partners that work with larger, nonexempt issuing banks, meaning that the company can keep a greater portion of volume as revenue. While she said that investors should monitor the risk of potential changes to exemption rules, she also wrote that \"there doesn't appear to be a willingness by the regulators or government to repeal Durbin exemption or make it harder for fintechs or tech giants to benefit from this.\"\nA big market\nMarqeta processed about $60 billion of volume last year, which it notes is less than 1% of the $6.7 trillion of volume that flowed through U.S. issuers in the same period, based on estimates from The Nilson Report, a payments-industry publication.\n\"We believe that our share of this massive opportunity will continue to increase due to our unique platform, competitive advantages, and a strong culture of innovation,\" the company said in its prospectus.\nRawat wrote that Marqeta's \"growth runway is immense.\" Further opportunities include greater international expansion and progress with recently launched credit-processing initiatives, in her view.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":281,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":115834842,"gmtCreate":1622968993786,"gmtModify":1704193935653,"author":{"id":"3576631475134774","authorId":"3576631475134774","name":"Yoda0603","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576631475134774","authorIdStr":"3576631475134774"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/115834842","repostId":"1102972710","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1102972710","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622948427,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1102972710?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-06 11:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Micron: A Strong Chip Shortage Play","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1102972710","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nMicron's four business units have sizable TAMs.\nBoth the DRAM and NAND industries have favo","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Micron's four business units have sizable TAMs.</li>\n <li>Both the DRAM and NAND industries have favourable outlooks.</li>\n <li>Industry tailwinds point to pricing power and expanding margins.</li>\n <li>The strong financials of the company will serve them well in the current high-volatility environment.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b87dd8114b0aa47fdcdd26e5dc40d5ee\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"896\"><span>Photo by vchal/iStock via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p>Micron Technology(NASDAQ:MU)&nbsp;is a severely undervalued semiconductor play with significant upside based upon conservative estimates, strong fundamentals, and favorable industry tailwinds. The current semiconductor shortage worldwide has put pressure upon semiconductor companies as they rush to ramp up production after an intentional slowdown and supply disruption amidst the pandemic. Forecasts and estimates regarding how fast demand was to bounce back came in entirely too conservative, and as a result the unprecedented surge in demand with a lagging supply has buyers of semiconductor chips such as&nbsp;auto manufacturers forced to slash production.</p>\n<p>Semiconductors of all kinds are the fundamental basic unit and brains of products ranging from audio devices, security cameras, automobiles, to even smart fridges. When it comes to a global shortage in a time as such, companies that are 'fabless' lose out and those that have their own manufacturing facilities and plants gain the upper hand as flexibility and production output remains in their ballpark. Today we examine how Micron is one of them, and despite its remarkable run up 54% since the start of 2020, there is considerable upside remaining given the size of the different total addressable markets(NYSE:TAM)that Micron is targeting.</p>\n<p><b>Business Model</b></p>\n<p>Micron is one of the top 3 memory chip makers in the world with a product portfolio featuring DRAM, NAND, NOR, and even&nbsp;3D XPoint SSDs that they have since ceased production.Management guided that the decision comes amidst the findings that:</p>\n<blockquote>\n There was insufficient market validation to justify the ongoing investments required to commercialize 3D XPoint at scale.\n</blockquote>\n<p>As promising as the 3D XPoint developments that Micron had that first started as a joint partnership with Intel in 2015 before parting ways in 2018 was, the impact moving forward will be minimal given that revenue from selling DRAM and NAND chips still accounts for the majority of Micron's Revenue, and 3D XPoint SSDs had yet to scale up.</p>\n<p><b>DRAM and NAND</b></p>\n<p>DRAM (Dynamic Random-Access Memory) devices are essentially a type of low latency memory product commonly used in PCs, servers, smartphones, and automobiles.</p>\n<p>It is 'volatile' as content will be lost if the power supply is turned off. As such, DRAM devices store information that needs to be quickly accessed by the CPU / GPU. CPUs provide the raw computational power needed to run software programs and RAMs store the data and software code needed by the CPU to run in real-time.</p>\n<p>The DRAM market operates as an oligopolistic one, with the 3 biggest competitors, Samsung (OTC:SSNLF), SK Hynix (OTC:HXSCL), and Micron dominating 94.1% of the market share. Samsung leads with 42% as of the latest fiscal quarter, SK Hynix second with 29% and Micron close behind with&nbsp;23.1% of the market share.Amongst the 3, Micron is the only one operating in the U.S with Samsung &amp; SK Hynix based in South Korea. This geographical advantage has come to serve Micron well in the automobile memory market as I will proceed to prove later, although it can be argued that this very same factor has placed the 2 Korean companies in a better position to service the&nbsp;largest consumer of DRAMs&nbsp;by region - China. In 2019, China accounted for 55.42% of global DRAM consumption by region.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17c2b471dd41b837a1ad129c180fa0b9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"368\"><span>Source: Statista Global DRAM Market Share</span></p>\n<p>As of the latest fiscal quarter 21, DRAM sales represented&nbsp;71.26%&nbsp;of the company's total revenue. Although there may be the risk of concentration with a substantial portion of sales coming from 1 of the 3 main product offerings, DRAM chips have always represented the majority of the firm's sales. With favorable industry tailwinds, positive outlook regarding overall DRAM market dynamics, pricing power, and very likely higher margins as a result, this concentration of sales will likely also prove to be more of a boon than a bane for Micron in the current economic environment that we are in today.</p>\n<p>Historically, Micron has also retained a firm hold of their share in the DRAM market and has made an effort to gradually increase it overtime since CY 2016. The inherently high BTE and economies of scale in an oligopolistic market coupled with necessary high CAPEX spending serves to grant the dominant 3 a firm hold in the DRAM market for years to come. The chart below shows Micron holding a steady 20 - 23% market share since CY 15, testament to their persistent presence as a top 3 market player.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/371a886343d14f2ba3407afa02804db5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"526\"><span>Source: Author's Compilations</span></p>\n<p>TAM: As DRAM products represent a majority of Micron's sales, it is imperative that the market they are operating in has a bright future and is on track to grow.According to MarketWatch,the global DRAM market revenue was valued at $62.1 BN in 2020 and is expected to grow to $91.1 BN by the end of 2026, representing a CAGR of 8%. With a sizable TAM in their leading product offering, the company should reap in the rewards of a growing market in terms of future revenue. As DRAM products also bring in higher margins at the end of the day based on CNBU and MBU (explained below) Operating Margins, this acts as a further catalyst for Micron.</p>\n<p>Micron also offers NAND products and though it represents a smaller chunk of Total Revenue relative to DRAMs, it still accounted for a meaningful&nbsp;26.46%&nbsp;as of Q2 FY 21. NAND chips are used for the storage of information. Slower than DRAMs for accessing memory quickly, they are 'non-volatile' as the content can still be accessed should the power supply be cut off. These are commonly found in hard drives, smartphones and data centers.</p>\n<p>Likewise, the dominant 3 in the DRAM market also represent a significant portion of the NAND market albeit having more competitors. In the NAND flash market, Micron ranks 5th worldwide, behind the same industry leader - Samsung. As of Q1 21, Samsung dominated with 33.5% market share, Kioxia 18.7%, Western Digital (WDC) 14.4%, SK Hynix 12.3%, and Micron with 11.1%. However, in a market very similar to that of DRAM, acquisitions by the big power players can be expected to further solidify their presence and chew out competitors. As it is, SK Hynix has&nbsp;announced plans to acquire&nbsp;Intel's NAND Storage Unit (INTC), which represented a 7.5% market share in the NAND market beginning this year. Moving forward, this move is likely to bump the Korean company up to 2nd place with about 20% of the market, overtaking Kioxia. It is important to note however that this acquisition does not include Intel's Optane 3D XPoint portfolio that Intel will be retaining.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b8da20e0246607003c65afa09ff3998\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"403\"><span>Source: Statista Global NAND Flash Market Share</span></p>\n<p>Despite having more competition and less pricing power in this market, there too have been rumors that Micron is looking to make a move on Kioxia in a&nbsp;similar bid for $30 BN&nbsp;to enhance the competitiveness in its storage solutions in a rapidly growing NAND flash space. Western Digital also stands as a potential opposing bidder with both firms having merits as to why they should be the ideal one to acquire Kioxia. As of now, leverage seems to be in the hands of Micron as a firm with much more operating cashflow and a better balance sheet.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e220cb5c3b6dea5d0f84bde25765bfa\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"384\"><span>Source: Author's Compilations</span></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cc8e8ee498e5b2469b09b1605b2ef98a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"384\"><span>Source: Author's Compilations</span></p>\n<p>The $30 BN that Kioxia has been rumored to be valued at represents more than the entire Market Cap &amp; EV of Western Digital. Besides, the firm already has more Total Debt relative to Micron, lower Operating Cashflows, and has a lower LTM Current Ratio of 2.01 compared to the 3.18 that Micron has that speaks directly to MU's near term liquidity strength. Surface level financial analysis goes to show that this would be a deal likely to go to Micron despite WDC having a joint venture with Kioxia. Furthermore, Micron has a rather&nbsp;long history of acquisitions&nbsp;having acquired Numonyx, a NOR manufacturer in 2010, Elpida Memory &amp; Rexchip Electronics in 2013, Tidal Systems, Convey Computer, and Pico Computing in 2015, Inotera Memories in 2016… the list goes on. As you can see, Micron is quite the decorated acquiring firm.</p>\n<p>If successful, Micron's NAND dominance has the potential to leap from its 5th placing, 11.1% of the market share to 29.8%, placing them as the 2nd biggest player, just 370 Bps below that of Samsung, and this is after accounting for SK Hynix's recent acquisition of Intel's NAND operations.</p>\n<p><b>More Conviction</b></p>\n<p>For more conviction in our thesis, we can look to the performance and different TAMs in Micron's business units breakdown.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8953a521354fd97f74d0f8694e0a0ee6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"204\"><span>Source: Micron's Q2 Investor Presentation</span></p>\n<p>As of FQ-2 21, CNBUs (Compute &amp; Networking Business Unit) as always represented the largest portion of the firm's sales, taking up 42% of TR. This unit consists of memory products like DRAM &amp; NAND sold to client, cloud servers, graphics, enterprise and networking markets as defined by the&nbsp;10-Q.The 34% YOY improvement is promising but the really exciting growth came from MBUs and remains to be seen in EBUs.</p>\n<p>MBUs (Mobile Business Unit) represent the 2nd biggest revenue segment for Micron, accounting for 29% of TR, up an impressive 44% YOY. MBUs are memory and storage products for mobile devices, most notably smartphones. According to&nbsp;Mordor Intelligence,the global smartphone market will be valued at more than a trillion dollars by 2026, up from the $715 BN in 2020, a CAGR of 11.6%. Although therein lies the risk that the smartphone replacement cycle has been lengthening, the gradual shift to 5G overtime will force smartphone users to have to upgrade to a 5G capable one that can operate on the same frequency. Doing so will mean more DRAM and NAND content per unit that Micron will stand to benefit from.</p>\n<p>However, what's being left out by many is Micron's dominant position in the memory market for automobiles and the sizable TAM in this space moving forward. EBUs (Embedded Business Unit) represent the 2nd smallest revenue segment (15% of TR) of the 4 that Micron has. This essentially refers to embedded memory and storage chips sold to automotive, industrial, and consumer markets. Despite not being the main cash cow for Micron, EBUs still saw remarkable growth of 34% YOY in FQ-2. Micron may have been 3rd in the overall DRAM space and 5th in the overall NAND space, but they are the only memory chip provider with a substantial close to&nbsp;50% market share&nbsp;in the space, according to Trendforce, a world leading market intelligence provider.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e31402367246f258d67658ada2e3a41e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"229\"><span>Source: Micron's Automotive Division</span></p>\n<p>This is where the geographical advantage for Micron comes into play. Micron effectively leverages their collaborative relationships with Tier-1 automobile suppliers based in Europe and the U.S to service them their comprehensive product portfolio of automotive memory solutions ranging from&nbsp;DDR2 - DDR 4 solutions to LPDDR 2 -5 solutions.The pure growth in this space can be seen from the fact that the average DRAM content of cars will continue to grow at a CAGR of more than&nbsp;30% from 2021 - 2024.That is by far the biggest growth sector in any of Micron's Business Units moving forward and Micron's 30 years of leadership in the automobile memory space with no dominant position from Samsung or SK Hynix will come to serve them well in an era where we transition to EVs &amp; AVs.</p>\n<p>As it is, Tesla has already shown that new electric vehicles will be needing a lot more DRAM content and this trend will continue to play out as the world demands more cars with more technological capabilities. In its earlier Model S &amp; X, Tesla reached at least 8GB of DRAM content within the vehicles. The newer Model 3, however, is further equipped with 14GB of DRAM content and the&nbsp;next generation of Tesla Models will have even more at 20GB.</p>\n<p>The growing automobile memory space where Micron has maintained its underdog&nbsp;30-year leadership&nbsp;will come to serve them well in the future as we transition to more sustainable and green versions of automobiles that demand more memory as well. Just remember that the more software a device has, the more memory is needed. Hence, we should be able to see positive growth in the EBU segment moving forward. However, one thing to note is that the EBU segment consists of sales to other industries that may be lagging and as a whole, the Operating Margins(NASDAQ:OM)from this segment of 15% stands pale in comparison to the OM in the CNBU segment of 26.9% and 25.6% in MBUs.</p>\n<p><b>Industry Tailwinds</b></p>\n<p>Moving on to the industry outlook, Micron operates in a somewhat commoditized sector which experiences the extreme booms and busts of the demand cycle for PCs and Servers. Despite being a rather cyclical stock where the stock price is commanded largely by the DD and SS of computer chips and production capacity in general, it appears as if we are at the lows of the cycle and Micron remains to be one of the better plays for the ongoing global chip shortage as we begin the next leg up.</p>\n<p>For a brief explanation on how the memory chip market moves overtime, let me take a stab at it. In essence, the overall supply of memory chips - most of which is produced by the dominant 3 - relative to demand, dictates the prices of chips, and therefore affects the financials of companies.</p>\n<p>When the memory market is in a 'bull' cycle as it was in 2010, 2014, 2018, and forecasted DD is set to outpace production capacities by firms, it results in a near-term shortage where the dominant market players (MU included) have the power to raise prices and maximize revenues. As COGS remain relatively constant regardless of the commodity cycle, this eventually translates to higher Gross Margins(NYSE:GM)for firms, a higher EBITDA which coincides nicely with stock price outperformance, and likely a higher bottom line. Although market players tend to agree on CAPEX spending and limit production capacities as a hedge from overproduction, firms blinded by the profits and higher margins tend to chase 'gains' and make the most of the cycle by capturing as much market share as possible.</p>\n<p>When firms do that and start to ramp up capacity with no regard for agreed limitations on production capacity and CAPEX spend, overproduction usually ensues that overwhelms the already inflated DD that is now dwindling, resulting in a surplus which brings just about the opposite consequence. Firms then lose pricing power and experience compressing margins in the years to follow, before the slowdown in capacity because of this very surplus eventually dips below future forecasted DD, thereby kickstarting the next leg up because of a shortage.</p>\n<p>Looking to history, when Micron has enjoyed higher EBITDA during those bull commodity cycles when there is a shortage in the industry, the stock price tends to outperform as well, in line with the higher pricing power and margins the firm experiences.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18c32366202010d3411e7888fcae587f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"393\"><span>Source: Author's Compilations</span></p>\n<p>2018 represented the peak in the previous memory market commodity cycle where the dominant industry players overbuilt capacity chasing margins, and as a result experienced the surplus and its consequences since. Because EBITDA has been falling since 2018 and GM, OM, and NPM have all cumulatively been decreasing YOY, so has the stock price. However, we are now facing another shortage in the DRAM market as production has slowed since the resulting slowdown in 2018. This coupled with an unprecedented surge in demand for chips, fueled by the emerging hyper-growth industries brought forward by the pandemic sets the stage for Micron's potential rally up. With a transition to 5G, Electric and Autonomous Vehicles, Artificial Intelligence, IOTs, Cloud Computing, Cobotic Manufacturing and Healthcare Telemedicine, the convergence of these advanced technologies mean more demand for advanced memory solutions, and Micron stands to win from it all.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/060cf4c42cb775ea2a1d35cbd3b796e1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"261\"><span>Source: Micron FQ-2 Investor Presentation</span></p>\n<p>The industry outlook only serves to confirm the shifting tides in the memory market, with the DRAM market facing a severe shortage and optimistic long-term demand growth at a CAGR around 15-19%. A shortage may not seem like good news, but for a dominant market player like Micron that can raise prices and aren't reliant on outsourced production, it is. For further confirmation we can look to the upwardly revised estimates regarding the rise in DRAM prices in Q1 and Q2 of 2021 by&nbsp;Trendforce:</p>\n<blockquote>\n Trendforce predicts that DRAM prices will rise 13-18% in the second quarter of 2021 &amp; they already rose 3-8% in the first quarter of 2021.\n</blockquote>\n<p>Call it inflation, call it whatever you want, but what I do know is that the higher prices in the DRAM market that has since manifested itself and has been forecasted to rise even higher will translate to higher profits for Micron. Market players are likely to make the most of this shortage as demand will not taper off given the fundamental need for memory chips against the backdrop of an era where advanced technologies are so rampant. Analysts too are forecasting improved revenues and earnings seen from the number of upward revisions and none downward in the last 3 months.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff33c479a31ba4e4ee56a91be2d78318\" tg-width=\"456\" tg-height=\"111\"><span>Source: Seeking Alpha</span></p>\n<p>In the NAND market, although production output has been forecasted to be oversupplied due to increasing shipments, CY 21 demand is still expected to be around 30 - 35% and CAPEX cuts are likely to be implemented.</p>\n<p><b>Financials</b></p>\n<p>Q1 Revenue delivered 12% growth YOY, GM a 359 Bps improvement to 30.90% and NPM a 488 Bps growth YOY to a healthy 15.54%. Q2 delivered even better numbers, with Revenues coming in at $6.2 BN despite management guidance of $5.8 BN. GM further improved to 32.93% and NPM increased 731 Bps YOY to end the quarter with NPM at 18.09%. All of the above are NON-GAAP numbers.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/07766c05dc0d46a9660c290084da2442\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"209\"><span>Source: Micron FQ-2 Investor Presentation</span></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d9d3f14c1b13fc41c6c44c29f8a947fb\" tg-width=\"451\" tg-height=\"145\"><span>Source: Seeking Alpha</span></p>\n<p>Management also has a history of beating estimates with 8 beats in the last 2 years, effectively delivering a 100% probability that it will beat its own guidance moving forward, although not a guarantee as with anything else in business and life. Yet, forward guidance for FQ-3 is expecting a 30% improvement in Revenues YOY and GM to further rise to 41.5%, compared to the 33.17% they did last year and 32.93% just last quarter. As for DEPS estimates, the $1.62 estimate given by management implies a remarkable 98% YOY increase. Analyst consensus estimates come in even higher than that for the upcoming FQ-3 earnings to be reported on&nbsp;6/30/21 (estimated), with analysts expecting EPS to be $1.68, indicative of a 105% change to the upside.</p>\n<p>As mentioned above, in a memory chip 'bull' cycle, pricing power comes into play and the higher prices usually tend to translate into stock outperformance driven by improvements in EBTIDA. Last I checked 1 -2 months ago, EBITDA EST for FY 21 stood around $9 BN and FY 22 EST was $16 BN. As of 26 May 21, those numbers have increased substantially to $12,772 for FY 21 and $20,228 for FY 22. Today, EST have improved yet again in the last 5 days to $12,801 for FY 21 and $20,551 for FY 22. For context, these new EST represent a 48% and 61% YOY improvement.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe3bd33eeed49eebb87776a32f152e41\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"137\"><span>Source: Tikr</span></p>\n<p>Next, we'll examine cashflow. This is paramount in a high volatility time period like today, plagued with inflation concerns, widening federal deficits, and an ever-increasing Fed balance sheet. When inflation is rampant or at least fears of it are, high growth stocks and tech stocks tend to get crushed as the market rushes to reset the absurd valuation multiples justified last year with QE and money printing running at full steam. Since the US10Y (Interest rates) affects the DCF models, valuations for certain companies will be revised downwards with less upside, with the exception of high cashflow companies. Thus, cashflow generating firms are all the more important and likely to be favored moving forward, and yet again Micron is one of them.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/14d722c6a10e22e26e12a82be0a69481\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"125\"><span>Source: Tikr</span></p>\n<p>Although Cashflow from Operations have been steadily decreasing since 2018 where it reached a high of $17,400, I mentioned above that 2018 represented the peak of the bull cycle then where firms were chasing higher margins. 2019 - 2020 then represented the slowdown phase brought about by the surplus and after hitting a 3-year low of $8,306 in Cashflow from Operations in FY 20 that ended last August, Micron is likely ready to see substantial improvements moving forward, and EST do paint a similar picture.</p>\n<p>Analysts are expecting Cashflow from Operations to improve 49% YOY in FY 21 and a further 45% in FY 22. If that were to happen, that would bring cashflow close to $18 BN, which would be a record level cashflow generated from Operations for the firm. This also trickles down to FCF EST which represents the capital left for distribution after expenses related to operations have been taken care of and non-cash expenses have been reconciled.</p>\n<p>FCF EST come in at an outstanding $3,344 for FY 21 and is further expected to skyrocket to $8,148 in FY 21, from a meagre $83M last year. This pace of growth points to a close to 4000% YOY increase in FY 21 and a further 144% increase compounded on FY 21 numbers next year.</p>\n<p>Currently, Micron trades at an EV of around $93 BN. That represents a FCF Yield of 3.60% based on this year's EST, and an impressive 11.4% based on next year's numbers. With that, it is clear that Micron's future earnings and cashflow will serve them well in a macro environment riddled with inflation fears. This massive boost to FCF may just give them the capital they need to seal the deal with Kioxia.</p>\n<p><b>Risks</b></p>\n<p>No matter how sound an investment may be, every one of them carries risk, and so does choosing to invest in Micron. I know the article has been long thus far so I will try to keep it short to avoid boring my 1st time readers.</p>\n<p>With the high BTE's that are inherently present in the DRAM and NAND markets brought about by the large economies of scale and sheer market share the dominant 3 possess, it is hard for competitors to enter the market. Nonetheless, there have been a few attempts by Chinese companies to penetrate the market and steal market share.</p>\n<p>Government subsidies as part of the \"Made in China 2025\" plan has helped propel Chinese firms to pose a threat in the DRAM and NAND markets. Fujian Jinhua (JHICC) is one of them. As a Chinese state-owned DRAM manufacturer based in China, the firm is competing with Micron in the DRAM market as part of China's desire to gain self-sufficiency in the semiconductor industry. This is understandable given that they are the largest consumers of DRAM in the Asian-Pacific market. However, Fujian is currently facing&nbsp;prosecution&nbsp;for allegedly stealing Micron's trade secrets and proprietary information. With such bad press and a bad reputation just 4 years after being founded, it is unlikely this firm will make it far enough to compete with the likes of Micron.</p>\n<p>Changing industry tailwinds may also prove to be a headwind in the case that demand growth for DRAM and NAND devices slowdown. Increased CAPEX spending by Samsung and SK Hynix or the addition of new capacity could also severely impact Micron's competitive position in the market and an all-out race to buildout and ramp up capacity to capture more sales may eventually culminate in the loss of pricing power and compressed margins once again. However, given the number of upcoming industries where more advanced technologies demand more memory to store data, this probability is small in the near term at the very least.</p>\n<p>Other potential risks may include further unexpected impacts to Micron's power plants such as&nbsp;outages and floods&nbsp;similar to what happened in Taiwan last year.</p>\n<p><b>Valuation</b></p>\n<p>Finally, I will cover the valuations behind my upside optimism with Micron. The memory market has historically tended to trade based on the EV / EBITDA multiple. Because of this, I will use this as my prime valuation method but also use Forward PE's as secondary confirmation. The chart below represents the EV / EBITDA ratios that the dominant 3 have traded at since 2016.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00bc87a283f9420f33b1c7c52ad2f344\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"384\"><span>A005930 refers to Samsung and A000660 refers to SK Hynix</span></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bb98c272aeec7c9aefdab00d22955f64\" tg-width=\"611\" tg-height=\"367\"><span>Source: Author's Compilations</span></p>\n<p>We can see that Micron has been trading at a Mean EV / EBITDA multiple of 5.49 since 2016 and is trading at 9.64 levels as of last. For a conservative estimate, I will assume a ratio of 8, which is above the industry average of 7.49 in the current environment we are in today but below levels Micron is currently trading at. For context, the firm has always traded above its peers during the bull commodity cycle in 2010, 2014, and 2018 as seen in the chart below. It is important to note that since markets are future discounting mechanisms, they price in future margin expansions and pricing power. As a result, the dominant 3 usually trade at the higher multiples 1 year before the peak of the cycle.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c4effc3d3acfdad8726c391bb0872880\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"229\"></p>\n<p>Keeping in mind that Micron has traded at multiples of 29 in 2009, 12 in 2014 and 10 in the previous cycle, 8 would be a fair multiple to assume. EBITDA EST for FY 22 next year stand at $20,551.32 as seen in the picture displayed earlier on. That would imply an EV of $164,410.56 in 22, an upside of 77% based on today's EV of $93 BN. If so, that should carry the stock forward to levels of $148 USD by next year.</p>\n<p>If I were to assume a slightly aggressive and bullish multiple of 9 which is still below the peak of the prior cycle keeping in mind the law of diminishing returns, that would imply an upside of 99%, placing a price target of $167 USD for Micron.</p>\n<p>Since I'm a long-term investor and a conservative one, I'll stick with the $148 PT while my readers can keep the $167 potential price target in mind. I'm kidding, let's use the $148 PT which still offers a remarkable return relative to the S&amp;P 500.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e6626b3363e839c178999a3d2b48940\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"46\"><span>Source: Tikr</span></p>\n<p>The current estimates for Micron's future EPS are 5.56 for FY 21 and 10.93 for FY 22. Since we looked at FY 22 for the above valuation method, we shall maintain the same timeframe. Looking to the&nbsp;semiconductor industry, companies are trading at an average TTM P/E of 33.11 based on data from Q1.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ea91b1b8e3f714b2441d27be59a6c538\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"64\"><span>Source: CSI Market</span></p>\n<p>Micron is currently trading at a forward P/E FY 21 of 15.15 and a 7.7 based on FY 22 numbers. Assuming a fair multiple of 12, which is still below the high estimates of 15, that would give us a forward PT of $131.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c6db0e4e02a94b2ed6ad9df84767cc9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"110\"><span>Source: Seeking Alpha</span></p>\n<p><b>Final Takeaways</b></p>\n<p>Based on conservative estimates, the 2 valuation methods displayed above give us a PT for Micron of $131 based on the Forward P/E method and $148 if we were to use EV / EBITDA multiples. This represents a 56-77% upside potential.</p>\n<p>In this article we covered business model, market share, industry tailwinds with a heavy focus on TAMs, liquidity strength through current ratios, cashflow, risks, and of course valuations, all of which points to high probability of a bullish future for Micron Technology.</p>\n<p>I have noticed that there has been some&nbsp;concerns&nbsp;regarding price action lately and how the stock seems to be having trouble finding its footing given the pretty obvious bullish thesis, and they are valid in my opinion. For bearish near-term fundamentals, the above linked article would be a nice short read.</p>\n<p>I personally am a long-term investor and don't place much focus on the technicals and this helps keep me grounded. There may be a very good chance that Micron will continue to trend downwards before finding support and consolidate for its next leg up. As mentioned above, the stock seems to outperform 1 year before the peak of the memory cycle whenever that may be. Hence, the memory market is to be watched closely and investors must understand how changes in the dynamics of the market regarding production &amp; CAPEX levels can shift the tide quickly.</p>\n<p>As a result, I don't see Micron to be a buy and hold forever as share price performance falls very much in line with its own commodity cycle, EBITDA, and Margin performance, which will eventually come to an end when surplus hits the deck. Yet, for the next 1-2 years, Micron remains to be one of the best plays on the current global chip shortage. If Micron continues to trend downwards in the near term, so be it, but fundamentals always catch up and based on future estimates, there's likely only one way for the share price moving forward and that isn't down.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Micron: A Strong Chip Shortage Play</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMicron: A Strong Chip Shortage Play\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-06 11:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4433177-micron-a-strong-chip-shortage-play><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nMicron's four business units have sizable TAMs.\nBoth the DRAM and NAND industries have favourable outlooks.\nIndustry tailwinds point to pricing power and expanding margins.\nThe strong ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4433177-micron-a-strong-chip-shortage-play\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MU":"美光科技"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4433177-micron-a-strong-chip-shortage-play","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1102972710","content_text":"Summary\n\nMicron's four business units have sizable TAMs.\nBoth the DRAM and NAND industries have favourable outlooks.\nIndustry tailwinds point to pricing power and expanding margins.\nThe strong financials of the company will serve them well in the current high-volatility environment.\n\nPhoto by vchal/iStock via Getty Images\nMicron Technology(NASDAQ:MU) is a severely undervalued semiconductor play with significant upside based upon conservative estimates, strong fundamentals, and favorable industry tailwinds. The current semiconductor shortage worldwide has put pressure upon semiconductor companies as they rush to ramp up production after an intentional slowdown and supply disruption amidst the pandemic. Forecasts and estimates regarding how fast demand was to bounce back came in entirely too conservative, and as a result the unprecedented surge in demand with a lagging supply has buyers of semiconductor chips such as auto manufacturers forced to slash production.\nSemiconductors of all kinds are the fundamental basic unit and brains of products ranging from audio devices, security cameras, automobiles, to even smart fridges. When it comes to a global shortage in a time as such, companies that are 'fabless' lose out and those that have their own manufacturing facilities and plants gain the upper hand as flexibility and production output remains in their ballpark. Today we examine how Micron is one of them, and despite its remarkable run up 54% since the start of 2020, there is considerable upside remaining given the size of the different total addressable markets(NYSE:TAM)that Micron is targeting.\nBusiness Model\nMicron is one of the top 3 memory chip makers in the world with a product portfolio featuring DRAM, NAND, NOR, and even 3D XPoint SSDs that they have since ceased production.Management guided that the decision comes amidst the findings that:\n\n There was insufficient market validation to justify the ongoing investments required to commercialize 3D XPoint at scale.\n\nAs promising as the 3D XPoint developments that Micron had that first started as a joint partnership with Intel in 2015 before parting ways in 2018 was, the impact moving forward will be minimal given that revenue from selling DRAM and NAND chips still accounts for the majority of Micron's Revenue, and 3D XPoint SSDs had yet to scale up.\nDRAM and NAND\nDRAM (Dynamic Random-Access Memory) devices are essentially a type of low latency memory product commonly used in PCs, servers, smartphones, and automobiles.\nIt is 'volatile' as content will be lost if the power supply is turned off. As such, DRAM devices store information that needs to be quickly accessed by the CPU / GPU. CPUs provide the raw computational power needed to run software programs and RAMs store the data and software code needed by the CPU to run in real-time.\nThe DRAM market operates as an oligopolistic one, with the 3 biggest competitors, Samsung (OTC:SSNLF), SK Hynix (OTC:HXSCL), and Micron dominating 94.1% of the market share. Samsung leads with 42% as of the latest fiscal quarter, SK Hynix second with 29% and Micron close behind with 23.1% of the market share.Amongst the 3, Micron is the only one operating in the U.S with Samsung & SK Hynix based in South Korea. This geographical advantage has come to serve Micron well in the automobile memory market as I will proceed to prove later, although it can be argued that this very same factor has placed the 2 Korean companies in a better position to service the largest consumer of DRAMs by region - China. In 2019, China accounted for 55.42% of global DRAM consumption by region.\nSource: Statista Global DRAM Market Share\nAs of the latest fiscal quarter 21, DRAM sales represented 71.26% of the company's total revenue. Although there may be the risk of concentration with a substantial portion of sales coming from 1 of the 3 main product offerings, DRAM chips have always represented the majority of the firm's sales. With favorable industry tailwinds, positive outlook regarding overall DRAM market dynamics, pricing power, and very likely higher margins as a result, this concentration of sales will likely also prove to be more of a boon than a bane for Micron in the current economic environment that we are in today.\nHistorically, Micron has also retained a firm hold of their share in the DRAM market and has made an effort to gradually increase it overtime since CY 2016. The inherently high BTE and economies of scale in an oligopolistic market coupled with necessary high CAPEX spending serves to grant the dominant 3 a firm hold in the DRAM market for years to come. The chart below shows Micron holding a steady 20 - 23% market share since CY 15, testament to their persistent presence as a top 3 market player.\nSource: Author's Compilations\nTAM: As DRAM products represent a majority of Micron's sales, it is imperative that the market they are operating in has a bright future and is on track to grow.According to MarketWatch,the global DRAM market revenue was valued at $62.1 BN in 2020 and is expected to grow to $91.1 BN by the end of 2026, representing a CAGR of 8%. With a sizable TAM in their leading product offering, the company should reap in the rewards of a growing market in terms of future revenue. As DRAM products also bring in higher margins at the end of the day based on CNBU and MBU (explained below) Operating Margins, this acts as a further catalyst for Micron.\nMicron also offers NAND products and though it represents a smaller chunk of Total Revenue relative to DRAMs, it still accounted for a meaningful 26.46% as of Q2 FY 21. NAND chips are used for the storage of information. Slower than DRAMs for accessing memory quickly, they are 'non-volatile' as the content can still be accessed should the power supply be cut off. These are commonly found in hard drives, smartphones and data centers.\nLikewise, the dominant 3 in the DRAM market also represent a significant portion of the NAND market albeit having more competitors. In the NAND flash market, Micron ranks 5th worldwide, behind the same industry leader - Samsung. As of Q1 21, Samsung dominated with 33.5% market share, Kioxia 18.7%, Western Digital (WDC) 14.4%, SK Hynix 12.3%, and Micron with 11.1%. However, in a market very similar to that of DRAM, acquisitions by the big power players can be expected to further solidify their presence and chew out competitors. As it is, SK Hynix has announced plans to acquire Intel's NAND Storage Unit (INTC), which represented a 7.5% market share in the NAND market beginning this year. Moving forward, this move is likely to bump the Korean company up to 2nd place with about 20% of the market, overtaking Kioxia. It is important to note however that this acquisition does not include Intel's Optane 3D XPoint portfolio that Intel will be retaining.\nSource: Statista Global NAND Flash Market Share\nDespite having more competition and less pricing power in this market, there too have been rumors that Micron is looking to make a move on Kioxia in a similar bid for $30 BN to enhance the competitiveness in its storage solutions in a rapidly growing NAND flash space. Western Digital also stands as a potential opposing bidder with both firms having merits as to why they should be the ideal one to acquire Kioxia. As of now, leverage seems to be in the hands of Micron as a firm with much more operating cashflow and a better balance sheet.\nSource: Author's Compilations\nSource: Author's Compilations\nThe $30 BN that Kioxia has been rumored to be valued at represents more than the entire Market Cap & EV of Western Digital. Besides, the firm already has more Total Debt relative to Micron, lower Operating Cashflows, and has a lower LTM Current Ratio of 2.01 compared to the 3.18 that Micron has that speaks directly to MU's near term liquidity strength. Surface level financial analysis goes to show that this would be a deal likely to go to Micron despite WDC having a joint venture with Kioxia. Furthermore, Micron has a rather long history of acquisitions having acquired Numonyx, a NOR manufacturer in 2010, Elpida Memory & Rexchip Electronics in 2013, Tidal Systems, Convey Computer, and Pico Computing in 2015, Inotera Memories in 2016… the list goes on. As you can see, Micron is quite the decorated acquiring firm.\nIf successful, Micron's NAND dominance has the potential to leap from its 5th placing, 11.1% of the market share to 29.8%, placing them as the 2nd biggest player, just 370 Bps below that of Samsung, and this is after accounting for SK Hynix's recent acquisition of Intel's NAND operations.\nMore Conviction\nFor more conviction in our thesis, we can look to the performance and different TAMs in Micron's business units breakdown.\nSource: Micron's Q2 Investor Presentation\nAs of FQ-2 21, CNBUs (Compute & Networking Business Unit) as always represented the largest portion of the firm's sales, taking up 42% of TR. This unit consists of memory products like DRAM & NAND sold to client, cloud servers, graphics, enterprise and networking markets as defined by the 10-Q.The 34% YOY improvement is promising but the really exciting growth came from MBUs and remains to be seen in EBUs.\nMBUs (Mobile Business Unit) represent the 2nd biggest revenue segment for Micron, accounting for 29% of TR, up an impressive 44% YOY. MBUs are memory and storage products for mobile devices, most notably smartphones. According to Mordor Intelligence,the global smartphone market will be valued at more than a trillion dollars by 2026, up from the $715 BN in 2020, a CAGR of 11.6%. Although therein lies the risk that the smartphone replacement cycle has been lengthening, the gradual shift to 5G overtime will force smartphone users to have to upgrade to a 5G capable one that can operate on the same frequency. Doing so will mean more DRAM and NAND content per unit that Micron will stand to benefit from.\nHowever, what's being left out by many is Micron's dominant position in the memory market for automobiles and the sizable TAM in this space moving forward. EBUs (Embedded Business Unit) represent the 2nd smallest revenue segment (15% of TR) of the 4 that Micron has. This essentially refers to embedded memory and storage chips sold to automotive, industrial, and consumer markets. Despite not being the main cash cow for Micron, EBUs still saw remarkable growth of 34% YOY in FQ-2. Micron may have been 3rd in the overall DRAM space and 5th in the overall NAND space, but they are the only memory chip provider with a substantial close to 50% market share in the space, according to Trendforce, a world leading market intelligence provider.\nSource: Micron's Automotive Division\nThis is where the geographical advantage for Micron comes into play. Micron effectively leverages their collaborative relationships with Tier-1 automobile suppliers based in Europe and the U.S to service them their comprehensive product portfolio of automotive memory solutions ranging from DDR2 - DDR 4 solutions to LPDDR 2 -5 solutions.The pure growth in this space can be seen from the fact that the average DRAM content of cars will continue to grow at a CAGR of more than 30% from 2021 - 2024.That is by far the biggest growth sector in any of Micron's Business Units moving forward and Micron's 30 years of leadership in the automobile memory space with no dominant position from Samsung or SK Hynix will come to serve them well in an era where we transition to EVs & AVs.\nAs it is, Tesla has already shown that new electric vehicles will be needing a lot more DRAM content and this trend will continue to play out as the world demands more cars with more technological capabilities. In its earlier Model S & X, Tesla reached at least 8GB of DRAM content within the vehicles. The newer Model 3, however, is further equipped with 14GB of DRAM content and the next generation of Tesla Models will have even more at 20GB.\nThe growing automobile memory space where Micron has maintained its underdog 30-year leadership will come to serve them well in the future as we transition to more sustainable and green versions of automobiles that demand more memory as well. Just remember that the more software a device has, the more memory is needed. Hence, we should be able to see positive growth in the EBU segment moving forward. However, one thing to note is that the EBU segment consists of sales to other industries that may be lagging and as a whole, the Operating Margins(NASDAQ:OM)from this segment of 15% stands pale in comparison to the OM in the CNBU segment of 26.9% and 25.6% in MBUs.\nIndustry Tailwinds\nMoving on to the industry outlook, Micron operates in a somewhat commoditized sector which experiences the extreme booms and busts of the demand cycle for PCs and Servers. Despite being a rather cyclical stock where the stock price is commanded largely by the DD and SS of computer chips and production capacity in general, it appears as if we are at the lows of the cycle and Micron remains to be one of the better plays for the ongoing global chip shortage as we begin the next leg up.\nFor a brief explanation on how the memory chip market moves overtime, let me take a stab at it. In essence, the overall supply of memory chips - most of which is produced by the dominant 3 - relative to demand, dictates the prices of chips, and therefore affects the financials of companies.\nWhen the memory market is in a 'bull' cycle as it was in 2010, 2014, 2018, and forecasted DD is set to outpace production capacities by firms, it results in a near-term shortage where the dominant market players (MU included) have the power to raise prices and maximize revenues. As COGS remain relatively constant regardless of the commodity cycle, this eventually translates to higher Gross Margins(NYSE:GM)for firms, a higher EBITDA which coincides nicely with stock price outperformance, and likely a higher bottom line. Although market players tend to agree on CAPEX spending and limit production capacities as a hedge from overproduction, firms blinded by the profits and higher margins tend to chase 'gains' and make the most of the cycle by capturing as much market share as possible.\nWhen firms do that and start to ramp up capacity with no regard for agreed limitations on production capacity and CAPEX spend, overproduction usually ensues that overwhelms the already inflated DD that is now dwindling, resulting in a surplus which brings just about the opposite consequence. Firms then lose pricing power and experience compressing margins in the years to follow, before the slowdown in capacity because of this very surplus eventually dips below future forecasted DD, thereby kickstarting the next leg up because of a shortage.\nLooking to history, when Micron has enjoyed higher EBITDA during those bull commodity cycles when there is a shortage in the industry, the stock price tends to outperform as well, in line with the higher pricing power and margins the firm experiences.\nSource: Author's Compilations\n2018 represented the peak in the previous memory market commodity cycle where the dominant industry players overbuilt capacity chasing margins, and as a result experienced the surplus and its consequences since. Because EBITDA has been falling since 2018 and GM, OM, and NPM have all cumulatively been decreasing YOY, so has the stock price. However, we are now facing another shortage in the DRAM market as production has slowed since the resulting slowdown in 2018. This coupled with an unprecedented surge in demand for chips, fueled by the emerging hyper-growth industries brought forward by the pandemic sets the stage for Micron's potential rally up. With a transition to 5G, Electric and Autonomous Vehicles, Artificial Intelligence, IOTs, Cloud Computing, Cobotic Manufacturing and Healthcare Telemedicine, the convergence of these advanced technologies mean more demand for advanced memory solutions, and Micron stands to win from it all.\nSource: Micron FQ-2 Investor Presentation\nThe industry outlook only serves to confirm the shifting tides in the memory market, with the DRAM market facing a severe shortage and optimistic long-term demand growth at a CAGR around 15-19%. A shortage may not seem like good news, but for a dominant market player like Micron that can raise prices and aren't reliant on outsourced production, it is. For further confirmation we can look to the upwardly revised estimates regarding the rise in DRAM prices in Q1 and Q2 of 2021 by Trendforce:\n\n Trendforce predicts that DRAM prices will rise 13-18% in the second quarter of 2021 & they already rose 3-8% in the first quarter of 2021.\n\nCall it inflation, call it whatever you want, but what I do know is that the higher prices in the DRAM market that has since manifested itself and has been forecasted to rise even higher will translate to higher profits for Micron. Market players are likely to make the most of this shortage as demand will not taper off given the fundamental need for memory chips against the backdrop of an era where advanced technologies are so rampant. Analysts too are forecasting improved revenues and earnings seen from the number of upward revisions and none downward in the last 3 months.\nSource: Seeking Alpha\nIn the NAND market, although production output has been forecasted to be oversupplied due to increasing shipments, CY 21 demand is still expected to be around 30 - 35% and CAPEX cuts are likely to be implemented.\nFinancials\nQ1 Revenue delivered 12% growth YOY, GM a 359 Bps improvement to 30.90% and NPM a 488 Bps growth YOY to a healthy 15.54%. Q2 delivered even better numbers, with Revenues coming in at $6.2 BN despite management guidance of $5.8 BN. GM further improved to 32.93% and NPM increased 731 Bps YOY to end the quarter with NPM at 18.09%. All of the above are NON-GAAP numbers.\nSource: Micron FQ-2 Investor Presentation\nSource: Seeking Alpha\nManagement also has a history of beating estimates with 8 beats in the last 2 years, effectively delivering a 100% probability that it will beat its own guidance moving forward, although not a guarantee as with anything else in business and life. Yet, forward guidance for FQ-3 is expecting a 30% improvement in Revenues YOY and GM to further rise to 41.5%, compared to the 33.17% they did last year and 32.93% just last quarter. As for DEPS estimates, the $1.62 estimate given by management implies a remarkable 98% YOY increase. Analyst consensus estimates come in even higher than that for the upcoming FQ-3 earnings to be reported on 6/30/21 (estimated), with analysts expecting EPS to be $1.68, indicative of a 105% change to the upside.\nAs mentioned above, in a memory chip 'bull' cycle, pricing power comes into play and the higher prices usually tend to translate into stock outperformance driven by improvements in EBTIDA. Last I checked 1 -2 months ago, EBITDA EST for FY 21 stood around $9 BN and FY 22 EST was $16 BN. As of 26 May 21, those numbers have increased substantially to $12,772 for FY 21 and $20,228 for FY 22. Today, EST have improved yet again in the last 5 days to $12,801 for FY 21 and $20,551 for FY 22. For context, these new EST represent a 48% and 61% YOY improvement.\nSource: Tikr\nNext, we'll examine cashflow. This is paramount in a high volatility time period like today, plagued with inflation concerns, widening federal deficits, and an ever-increasing Fed balance sheet. When inflation is rampant or at least fears of it are, high growth stocks and tech stocks tend to get crushed as the market rushes to reset the absurd valuation multiples justified last year with QE and money printing running at full steam. Since the US10Y (Interest rates) affects the DCF models, valuations for certain companies will be revised downwards with less upside, with the exception of high cashflow companies. Thus, cashflow generating firms are all the more important and likely to be favored moving forward, and yet again Micron is one of them.\nSource: Tikr\nAlthough Cashflow from Operations have been steadily decreasing since 2018 where it reached a high of $17,400, I mentioned above that 2018 represented the peak of the bull cycle then where firms were chasing higher margins. 2019 - 2020 then represented the slowdown phase brought about by the surplus and after hitting a 3-year low of $8,306 in Cashflow from Operations in FY 20 that ended last August, Micron is likely ready to see substantial improvements moving forward, and EST do paint a similar picture.\nAnalysts are expecting Cashflow from Operations to improve 49% YOY in FY 21 and a further 45% in FY 22. If that were to happen, that would bring cashflow close to $18 BN, which would be a record level cashflow generated from Operations for the firm. This also trickles down to FCF EST which represents the capital left for distribution after expenses related to operations have been taken care of and non-cash expenses have been reconciled.\nFCF EST come in at an outstanding $3,344 for FY 21 and is further expected to skyrocket to $8,148 in FY 21, from a meagre $83M last year. This pace of growth points to a close to 4000% YOY increase in FY 21 and a further 144% increase compounded on FY 21 numbers next year.\nCurrently, Micron trades at an EV of around $93 BN. That represents a FCF Yield of 3.60% based on this year's EST, and an impressive 11.4% based on next year's numbers. With that, it is clear that Micron's future earnings and cashflow will serve them well in a macro environment riddled with inflation fears. This massive boost to FCF may just give them the capital they need to seal the deal with Kioxia.\nRisks\nNo matter how sound an investment may be, every one of them carries risk, and so does choosing to invest in Micron. I know the article has been long thus far so I will try to keep it short to avoid boring my 1st time readers.\nWith the high BTE's that are inherently present in the DRAM and NAND markets brought about by the large economies of scale and sheer market share the dominant 3 possess, it is hard for competitors to enter the market. Nonetheless, there have been a few attempts by Chinese companies to penetrate the market and steal market share.\nGovernment subsidies as part of the \"Made in China 2025\" plan has helped propel Chinese firms to pose a threat in the DRAM and NAND markets. Fujian Jinhua (JHICC) is one of them. As a Chinese state-owned DRAM manufacturer based in China, the firm is competing with Micron in the DRAM market as part of China's desire to gain self-sufficiency in the semiconductor industry. This is understandable given that they are the largest consumers of DRAM in the Asian-Pacific market. However, Fujian is currently facing prosecution for allegedly stealing Micron's trade secrets and proprietary information. With such bad press and a bad reputation just 4 years after being founded, it is unlikely this firm will make it far enough to compete with the likes of Micron.\nChanging industry tailwinds may also prove to be a headwind in the case that demand growth for DRAM and NAND devices slowdown. Increased CAPEX spending by Samsung and SK Hynix or the addition of new capacity could also severely impact Micron's competitive position in the market and an all-out race to buildout and ramp up capacity to capture more sales may eventually culminate in the loss of pricing power and compressed margins once again. However, given the number of upcoming industries where more advanced technologies demand more memory to store data, this probability is small in the near term at the very least.\nOther potential risks may include further unexpected impacts to Micron's power plants such as outages and floods similar to what happened in Taiwan last year.\nValuation\nFinally, I will cover the valuations behind my upside optimism with Micron. The memory market has historically tended to trade based on the EV / EBITDA multiple. Because of this, I will use this as my prime valuation method but also use Forward PE's as secondary confirmation. The chart below represents the EV / EBITDA ratios that the dominant 3 have traded at since 2016.\nA005930 refers to Samsung and A000660 refers to SK Hynix\nSource: Author's Compilations\nWe can see that Micron has been trading at a Mean EV / EBITDA multiple of 5.49 since 2016 and is trading at 9.64 levels as of last. For a conservative estimate, I will assume a ratio of 8, which is above the industry average of 7.49 in the current environment we are in today but below levels Micron is currently trading at. For context, the firm has always traded above its peers during the bull commodity cycle in 2010, 2014, and 2018 as seen in the chart below. It is important to note that since markets are future discounting mechanisms, they price in future margin expansions and pricing power. As a result, the dominant 3 usually trade at the higher multiples 1 year before the peak of the cycle.\n\nKeeping in mind that Micron has traded at multiples of 29 in 2009, 12 in 2014 and 10 in the previous cycle, 8 would be a fair multiple to assume. EBITDA EST for FY 22 next year stand at $20,551.32 as seen in the picture displayed earlier on. That would imply an EV of $164,410.56 in 22, an upside of 77% based on today's EV of $93 BN. If so, that should carry the stock forward to levels of $148 USD by next year.\nIf I were to assume a slightly aggressive and bullish multiple of 9 which is still below the peak of the prior cycle keeping in mind the law of diminishing returns, that would imply an upside of 99%, placing a price target of $167 USD for Micron.\nSince I'm a long-term investor and a conservative one, I'll stick with the $148 PT while my readers can keep the $167 potential price target in mind. I'm kidding, let's use the $148 PT which still offers a remarkable return relative to the S&P 500.\nSource: Tikr\nThe current estimates for Micron's future EPS are 5.56 for FY 21 and 10.93 for FY 22. Since we looked at FY 22 for the above valuation method, we shall maintain the same timeframe. Looking to the semiconductor industry, companies are trading at an average TTM P/E of 33.11 based on data from Q1.\nSource: CSI Market\nMicron is currently trading at a forward P/E FY 21 of 15.15 and a 7.7 based on FY 22 numbers. Assuming a fair multiple of 12, which is still below the high estimates of 15, that would give us a forward PT of $131.\nSource: Seeking Alpha\nFinal Takeaways\nBased on conservative estimates, the 2 valuation methods displayed above give us a PT for Micron of $131 based on the Forward P/E method and $148 if we were to use EV / EBITDA multiples. This represents a 56-77% upside potential.\nIn this article we covered business model, market share, industry tailwinds with a heavy focus on TAMs, liquidity strength through current ratios, cashflow, risks, and of course valuations, all of which points to high probability of a bullish future for Micron Technology.\nI have noticed that there has been some concerns regarding price action lately and how the stock seems to be having trouble finding its footing given the pretty obvious bullish thesis, and they are valid in my opinion. For bearish near-term fundamentals, the above linked article would be a nice short read.\nI personally am a long-term investor and don't place much focus on the technicals and this helps keep me grounded. There may be a very good chance that Micron will continue to trend downwards before finding support and consolidate for its next leg up. As mentioned above, the stock seems to outperform 1 year before the peak of the memory cycle whenever that may be. Hence, the memory market is to be watched closely and investors must understand how changes in the dynamics of the market regarding production & CAPEX levels can shift the tide quickly.\nAs a result, I don't see Micron to be a buy and hold forever as share price performance falls very much in line with its own commodity cycle, EBITDA, and Margin performance, which will eventually come to an end when surplus hits the deck. Yet, for the next 1-2 years, Micron remains to be one of the best plays on the current global chip shortage. If Micron continues to trend downwards in the near term, so be it, but fundamentals always catch up and based on future estimates, there's likely only one way for the share price moving forward and that isn't down.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":209,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":110597178,"gmtCreate":1622467305594,"gmtModify":1704184812830,"author":{"id":"3576631475134774","authorId":"3576631475134774","name":"Yoda0603","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576631475134774","authorIdStr":"3576631475134774"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/110597178","repostId":"1168423433","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1168423433","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622464368,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1168423433?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-31 20:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Walmart's Path To $180/Share","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1168423433","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nDeutsche Bank and Citigroup recently raised their price targets for Walmart to ~$180/share.","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Deutsche Bank and Citigroup recently raised their price targets for Walmart to ~$180/share.</li>\n <li>With shares trading around $142/share, this target price implies more than 25% upside. Are the analysts right?</li>\n <li>I present two possible “paths” to the high-side target: (1) a P/S path and (2) a DCF path backed by the company’s strategy.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d19c68a527c5aef8f6b78e19020e4836\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\"><span>Photo by Scott Olson/Getty Images News via Getty ImagesJust Getting Started</span></p>\n<p>During Walmart’s (WMT) recent&nbsp;Q1 FY ’22 Investment Community Meeting, CEO Doug McMillon, recounting his early years with WMT when it was already a large organization, intimated that the company is “just getting started”. Analysts, particularly the likes of Deutsche Bank (DB) and Citigroup (C), may certainly hope so given that their high-side price targets for WMT are circling around a bullish $180/share.</p>\n<p><b>Figure 1: A Few High-Side Analyst Price Targets for Walmart</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/470c2215ecb0d8245e0ffd9b666b7973\" tg-width=\"624\" tg-height=\"174\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><i>Data Source: MarketBeat.com</i></p>\n<p><i>Table Source: Yves Sukhu</i></p>\n<p><i>Notes:</i></p>\n<ul>\n <li><i>Data as of 5/25/21.</i></li>\n</ul>\n<p>Keep in mind that shares are trading around $142/share at the moment – meaning the high-side estimates&nbsp;<b>imply more than 25% upside</b>; upside that might seem a bit uncertain against&nbsp;FY ’22 guidance:</p>\n<ul>\n <li><b>Consolidated net sales decline:</b>despite consolidated net sales of $138.3B in Q1 FY ’22, representing 2.7% year-over-year growth, net revenue in FY ’22 is expected to decline in the low single-digits in constant currency, although the decline is largely attributed to divestiture activity, including the divestitures of WMT’s UK, Japan, and Argentina businesses. Excluding divestitures, consolidated net sales are expected to grow in the low-to-mid single-digits.</li>\n</ul>\n<ul>\n <li><b>Consolidated operating income decline:</b>operating income is expected to decline in the low-to-mid single-digits, again largely due to divestiture activity. Excluding divestitures, operating income is anticipated to increase slightly.</li>\n</ul>\n<ul>\n <li><b>Pandemic headwinds remain as tailwinds subside:</b>WMT benefited from US stimulus spending during the first quarter. However, as further stimulus looks increasingly unlikely, management noted during their Q1 FY ’22 earnings call that“...certain international markets continue to be negatively affected by the resurgence in COVID cases and related government restrictions and operations, particularly in India and Canada.”</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Beyond management guidance, how, exactly, would the $560B retailer grow into the target when it is arguable that the stock is already expensive,when considering a forward PE north of 26&nbsp;contrasted against a historical P/E average of ~20 over the last 10 fiscal periods?</p>\n<p><b>Figure 2: Walmart Historical P/E Over Last 10 Fiscal Periods</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/35412074f44bddd3ca34325c2ae5c854\" tg-width=\"481\" tg-height=\"292\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><i>Data Source:MacroTrends.net</i></p>\n<p><i>Chart Source: Yves Sukhu</i></p>\n<p>Of course, if one were to discount the P/E expansion in recent years, we would arrive at a historical P/E average under 15 making the stock even more expensive than it arguably already is.</p>\n<p>Putting historical P/E comparisons aside for the moment, as I am long WMT, I would like to believe that the high-side analysts are right. Under that assumption, I explore Walmart’s path to $180/share. To be clear, I’m not saying the high-side analysts are correct; only that I am attempting to understand how Walmart could conceivably “get there”.</p>\n<p><b>A Path by Price-to-Sales</b></p>\n<p>Even without reading Deutsche Bank’s and Citigroup’s notes to its clients on WMT, one would reasonably assume that both firms are confident in the company’s ability to execute against its general strategy, and to propel itself forward to their suggested price targets. But Walmart’s strategy aside – a topic to be discussed in more detail later – perhaps there is reason to think WMT’s current share price is undervalued on a P/S basis.</p>\n<p><b>Figure 3: Walmart and Selected Competitor Statistics</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1e1b82f716992c4fbecff877f40de8ab\" tg-width=\"624\" tg-height=\"346\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><i>Data Source: Yahoo Finance</i></p>\n<p><i>Table Source: Yves Sukhu</i></p>\n<p><i>Notes:</i></p>\n<ul>\n <li><i>Data as of market close 5/26/2021.</i></li>\n</ul>\n<p>As seen in Figure 3, WMT’s P/S lags its selected peers. For argument’s sake, if one were to assume a P/S ratio of 0.95, equal to that of Costco (COST), would be reasonable (relative to the chosen peer group), simple math pushes the share price well above $180/share.</p>\n<p><b>Figure 4: WMT Share Price Using P/S = 0.95</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6cbdf6946bce186b217907848426c02\" tg-width=\"611\" tg-height=\"198\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><i>Source: Yves Sukhu</i></p>\n<p>In this simple analysis here, I am not saying WMT necessarily&nbsp;<i>deserves</i>&nbsp;a P/S ratio of 0.95. But it is interesting to note from Figure 3 that WMT and COST are both in the same “ballpark” in terms of operating and profit margin. On that isolated basis, perhaps there is, at least, some argument to be made for a higher P/S multiple in the near term. Yet, this line of thinking is naturally based on “where the market is right now”.WMT’s average historical P/Sis much lower, and the same is also true for COST. Accordingly, a P/S-centric argument for $180/share sits upon the rather capricious whims of current investor sentiment.</p>\n<p><b>A Path by Strategy</b></p>\n<p>We arguably find stronger footing for WMT’s high-side targets in consideration of the company’s go-forward plan. Management, in fact, believes its strategy will eventually support 4%+ top-line year-over-year growth. On that metric alone, a DCF model can be built to estimate the firm’s value if the plan “holds”. However, before jumping into the DCF analysis, it is worthwhile reviewing the key elements of Walmart’s plan to understand<i>how</i>management plans to achieve its top-line growth target. I have generalized the strategy in the following figure, largely based on management comments during the&nbsp;Q1 FY ’22 Investment Community Meeting.</p>\n<p><b>Figure 5: WMT Strategy Model</b></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abf2046cc3248e59470374242dbce4c5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"260\"><span>Source: Yves Sukhu</span></p>\n<p>As seen, I have separated the strategy diagram into three lanes:</p>\n<ol>\n <li><b>Objectives lane:</b>summary of longer-term financial objectives (i.e. beyond FY ’22).</li>\n <li><b>Initiatives lane:</b>high-level description of WMT business initiatives to drive financial objectives.</li>\n <li><b>Investments/Enablers lane:</b>horizontal tactics to support business-level initiatives.</li>\n</ol>\n<p>The basic idea behind the figure is simple: each lane is driven by the lane beneath it. Thus, corporate objectives are driven by the specified initiatives, and the various initiatives are driven by the specified enabling investments. I should point out that Figure 5 is my effort to offer a basic diagram that outlines the key elements of Walmart’s strategy. Accordingly, the point is not to “nitpick” every aspect of the company’s plan, but rather to “zero in” on those strategic aspects that will be most meaningful to sales and profit growth over the long run. In the following sub-sections, I offer context around each lane with emphasis on relating specific elements to market opportunities/sales growth. Please note that any subsequent quotes without a specific hyperlink are referenced from the aforementioned&nbsp;Q1 FY ’22 Investment Community Meetingtranscript.</p>\n<p><b>Strategy Model: Investment / Enablers Lane</b></p>\n<p>Walmart expects “...CapEx...to be around $14 billion in [FY ‘22] with most of the increase versus last year in the US”. The majority of the spend will be allocated toward supply chain improvements, eCommerce, and technology.</p>\n<p><b>Figure 6: WMT CapEx Allocation By Business Segment</b></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c95ca5b352d5a0791815aac01019da3f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"509\"><span>Source:Walmart Q1 FY ’22 Investment Community Meeting Presentation</span></p>\n<p><b>Figure 7: WMT CapEx Allocation By Horizontal Category</b></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ac563b68aadaa022c90f83592895dcd\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"509\"><span>Source:Walmart Q1 FY ’22 Investment Community Meeting Presentation</span></p>\n<p>It is noteworthy, as seen in Figure 7, that the company is largely focused on enhancing its existing physical footprint, while simultaneously expanding its digital presence. Management explains “...we need to lean in more aggressively in key markets with increased capital in fulfillment capacity, supply chain, automation, and technology. This new infrastructure will allow us to expand eCommerce assortment, enabling us to reduce both shipping time and cost. We'll step-up automation in [distribution centers and]...we'll continue to refresh our existing stores by enhancing pickup and delivery capacity, merchandising programs and efficiency initiatives.” Accordingly, the enabling tactics in the bottom lane will run horizontally across WMT’s business segments to “...accelerate the company’s top-line and profit growth in the mid- to long-term.”</p>\n<p><b>Strategy Model: Initiatives Lane</b></p>\n<p>The Initiatives lane captures five important growth activities underpinned by the enabling CapEx investments just discussed. It should be noted that the initiatives are not isolated efforts. For example, WMT’s overall goal to grow its enterprise eCommerce business is closely intertwined with growth of its Sam’s Club and India operations. Rather then, there is a degree of overlap between initiatives – as there should be: an effective strategy is ideally self-reinforcing. Details of the five initiatives are outlined as follows.</p>\n<ul>\n <li><b>Grow eCommerce to $200B.</b>WMT’s enterprise eCommerce sales exceeded $65B in FY ’21, recording strong results for Q1 FY ‘22 as well with year-over-year gains of 37%, 166%, 60%, 116%, and 47% for the company’s US, Mexico, China, Canada, and Sam’s Club operations respectively. Indeed, “[the company] is one of the largest eCommerce companies in the world,<b>approaching $100 billion in revenue in the next couple of years, and [management believes] $200 billion a few years after that.\"</b></li>\n</ul>\n<ul>\n <li><b>Expand in-store service ecosystem.</b>As already mentioned, pickup and delivery expansion is a key store refresh activity. Management notes that while they have “...one of, if not the largest, pickup businesses in the world”, they are often unable to meet demand. Through store remodeling, supply chain efficiencies, and higher wages for associates, the company hopes to improve on the 6 billion items either shipped or delivered in FY ’21. Additionally, like many of its competitors, WMT is looking beyond selling merchandise, and focusing on services that expand its relationship with its massive customer base, particularly&nbsp;Walmart Health&nbsp;and financial services initiatives. Management explains that “we can do more to serve the healthcare needs of families. They want and need high quality preventative, accessible and affordable healthcare...Our locations, which enable access; our large stores and large parking lots, which give us room to expand; our experience with the associate benefits, where we cover a lot of lives; and our growing digital capabilities; together they<b>create the opportunity for a differentiated omni-channel healthcare business</b>that helps a lot of people.” Just as the company focuses on lowering the barrier to quality healthcare, WMT similarly seeks to “...develop and offer innovative and affordable financial solutions...[given that] customers have been clear that they want more from [Walmart] in terms of financial services.”</li>\n</ul>\n<ul>\n <li><b>Sam’s Club growth.</b>Sam’s Club, reflecting “one of the fastest growing segments in the retail industry”, posted $16.7B in revenue for Q1 FY ’22, representing ~10% growth year-over-year, and membership income jumped 12.7%. Such growth comes against strong overall performance in FY ’21 as well which saw ~15% comparable sales growth year-over-year. The segment which “<b>on its own...would rank near the top 50 in the Fortune 500...[is] a $75 billion club business globally</b>...[and] a winner in three key markets; in the US, Mexico, and China.”</li>\n</ul>\n<ul>\n <li><b>India.</b>WMT has made sizable bets, particularly its investments in Flipkart and PhonePE, in an effort to exploit India’s growing middle class and burgeoning eCommerce market,<b>citing a recent Bain &amp; Company report suggesting the latter growing to $90B - $100B by 2025</b>. Further, management details the advantageous demographic shift within the country, noting that “...India has roughly 1.4 billion people today. 34% of the population are millennials, young people. By 2030, there is an estimate that this young population of millennials and Gen Z will be 75% of the total population. 700 million Indians are digital today.” As with its US strategy, WMT seeks a broader relationship – beyond merchandise – with its Indian client base. PhonePE, for example, offers a suite of app-based services including money transfer, bill payment, insurance, and online ordering/delivery. Clearly, Walmart – as well as its competitors – has a significant opportunity in India, enabled by “...a unique combination of a big market, completely digital, getting wealthier, and very young.”</li>\n</ul>\n<ul>\n <li><b>Alternative revenue streams.</b>“[Higher margin] alternative revenue streams like advertising and Walmart Fulfillment Services are gaining traction and are expected to become a larger portion of profit growth in the future including FY 2022.” In the case of the former, Walmart Connect is the company’s foray as an omni-channel media company that takes advantage of the organization’s various digital properties and marketing expertise to directly connect brands with customers. Lest anyone question the company’s ambitions, “five years from now, [management expects] to be well within the top 10 advertising platforms in the US, ahead of big players like Hearst, Fox, and Twitter.” Indeed, WMT notes Walmart Connect is<b>anticipated to grow by 60% in FY ’22 and “...should be a multibillion-dollar business in the very near future.”</b></li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>Strategy Model: Objectives Lane</b></p>\n<p>If all goes according to plan – if WMT’s enabling investments can properly “fuel” its key initiatives – the company expects to be “in position for 4%-plus sales growth and operating income growth rates higher than sales...[and]&nbsp;<b>4% top-line growth would basically be the equivalent of adding a Fortune 100 company every year.</b>” Should the level of required CapEx concern some investors, management offers that “...while [CapEx of 2.5% - 3%] is higher than the past few years, it is far below the CapEx peak of 4% to 5% of sales during the period of heavy supercenter growth.”</p>\n<p>Jumping Into the DCF Analysis</p>\n<p>Against the backdrop of WMT’s plan – and if the long-term 4% top-line growth rate is achieved – how might we value the firm today? Here are the assumptions I used to build a DCF model over the period FY ’22 - FY ‘30:</p>\n<ul>\n <li><b>(2.0%) revenue decline in FY ’22:</b>I estimate a small “low single digits” decline based on management’s FY ’22 guidance.</li>\n <li><b>2.0% revenue growth from FY ’23 – FY ’25, and 4.0% revenue growth beyond FY ’25:</b>This approach provides a ramp to management’s top-line objective of 4.0% growth.</li>\n <li><b>3.75% average FCF margin:</b>I assume that over the forecast period, WMT’s average FCF margin will mirror its average FCF margin over the past 5 fiscal periods.</li>\n <li><b>Discount factor of 5.37%.</b>This is a blend of industry cost of capital data provided byAswath Damodaranfor Retail – General and Retail – Online.</li>\n <li><b>Terminal value of $627B.</b>To estimate the terminal value, I blended perpetual growth and exit multiple methods. For the perpetual growth calculation, I assume a 2% perpetual rate.</li>\n <li><b>2.0% share reduction in FY ’22</b>. I assume 2.75B shares outstanding.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Accordingly, forecasted cash flows and the DCF model itself are as follows:</p>\n<p><b>Figure 8: Forecasted Cash Flows</b></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6473902a88bba6b22e2b53663d5962d5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"113\"><span>Source: Yves Sukhu</span></p>\n<p><b>Figure 9: DCF Model</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60a8f7c10efbba32b46a65085b90e26b\" tg-width=\"611\" tg-height=\"193\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>As seen, the DCF model outputs a price per share of $177.36; not quite $180, but in the ballpark.</p>\n<p>But is the model realistic? On the one hand, the model could be considered<i>too conservative</i>since management is actually targeting consolidated sales growth<i>above</i>4% via their strategy. Further, as they push enabling investments, particularly those in automation, my FCF margin assumption may be too low. Yet, on the other hand, any number of things could go wrong with management’s plan, in which case the model is too aggressive. For example, while both Flipkart and PhonePE command multi-billion dollar valuations, consistent profitability remains elusive. On that point, Walmart has made a large strategic bet on India; but it is a bet that is fraught with challenges and may not – in fact – bear fruit.</p>\n<p>Perhaps, in the best case, the DCF model suggests that there is<i>some</i>upside with shares trading around ~$142; but it (naturally) is based on assumptions, any of which could be completely wrong.</p>\n<p><b>Conclusion</b></p>\n<p>Do I think WMT will reach $180/share in the near term? Personally, I am a bit skeptical, if still hopeful. However, I feel the mid-point of ~$160/share (in terms of where shares are trading today and the high-side target) is reasonable based on current market valuations and management’s ability to execute against its plan. On that basis, and with perhaps ~13% upside from the current $142/share level, WMT may not find investors tripping over themselves to buy in; and as other SA authors have pointed out, the stock is not necessarily cheap. But as management continues their disciplined execution of their strategy, I, at least, am leaning toward “more things going right” than “more things going wrong”. As such, I am in the “buy” camp, even as I eye the $180/share camp with caution.</p>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Walmart's Path To $180/Share</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWalmart's Path To $180/Share\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-31 20:32 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432101-walmart-path-to-180-usd-stock-price><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nDeutsche Bank and Citigroup recently raised their price targets for Walmart to ~$180/share.\nWith shares trading around $142/share, this target price implies more than 25% upside. Are the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432101-walmart-path-to-180-usd-stock-price\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"WMT":"沃尔玛"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432101-walmart-path-to-180-usd-stock-price","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1168423433","content_text":"Summary\n\nDeutsche Bank and Citigroup recently raised their price targets for Walmart to ~$180/share.\nWith shares trading around $142/share, this target price implies more than 25% upside. Are the analysts right?\nI present two possible “paths” to the high-side target: (1) a P/S path and (2) a DCF path backed by the company’s strategy.\n\nPhoto by Scott Olson/Getty Images News via Getty ImagesJust Getting Started\nDuring Walmart’s (WMT) recent Q1 FY ’22 Investment Community Meeting, CEO Doug McMillon, recounting his early years with WMT when it was already a large organization, intimated that the company is “just getting started”. Analysts, particularly the likes of Deutsche Bank (DB) and Citigroup (C), may certainly hope so given that their high-side price targets for WMT are circling around a bullish $180/share.\nFigure 1: A Few High-Side Analyst Price Targets for Walmart\n\nData Source: MarketBeat.com\nTable Source: Yves Sukhu\nNotes:\n\nData as of 5/25/21.\n\nKeep in mind that shares are trading around $142/share at the moment – meaning the high-side estimates imply more than 25% upside; upside that might seem a bit uncertain against FY ’22 guidance:\n\nConsolidated net sales decline:despite consolidated net sales of $138.3B in Q1 FY ’22, representing 2.7% year-over-year growth, net revenue in FY ’22 is expected to decline in the low single-digits in constant currency, although the decline is largely attributed to divestiture activity, including the divestitures of WMT’s UK, Japan, and Argentina businesses. Excluding divestitures, consolidated net sales are expected to grow in the low-to-mid single-digits.\n\n\nConsolidated operating income decline:operating income is expected to decline in the low-to-mid single-digits, again largely due to divestiture activity. Excluding divestitures, operating income is anticipated to increase slightly.\n\n\nPandemic headwinds remain as tailwinds subside:WMT benefited from US stimulus spending during the first quarter. However, as further stimulus looks increasingly unlikely, management noted during their Q1 FY ’22 earnings call that“...certain international markets continue to be negatively affected by the resurgence in COVID cases and related government restrictions and operations, particularly in India and Canada.”\n\nBeyond management guidance, how, exactly, would the $560B retailer grow into the target when it is arguable that the stock is already expensive,when considering a forward PE north of 26 contrasted against a historical P/E average of ~20 over the last 10 fiscal periods?\nFigure 2: Walmart Historical P/E Over Last 10 Fiscal Periods\n\nData Source:MacroTrends.net\nChart Source: Yves Sukhu\nOf course, if one were to discount the P/E expansion in recent years, we would arrive at a historical P/E average under 15 making the stock even more expensive than it arguably already is.\nPutting historical P/E comparisons aside for the moment, as I am long WMT, I would like to believe that the high-side analysts are right. Under that assumption, I explore Walmart’s path to $180/share. To be clear, I’m not saying the high-side analysts are correct; only that I am attempting to understand how Walmart could conceivably “get there”.\nA Path by Price-to-Sales\nEven without reading Deutsche Bank’s and Citigroup’s notes to its clients on WMT, one would reasonably assume that both firms are confident in the company’s ability to execute against its general strategy, and to propel itself forward to their suggested price targets. But Walmart’s strategy aside – a topic to be discussed in more detail later – perhaps there is reason to think WMT’s current share price is undervalued on a P/S basis.\nFigure 3: Walmart and Selected Competitor Statistics\n\nData Source: Yahoo Finance\nTable Source: Yves Sukhu\nNotes:\n\nData as of market close 5/26/2021.\n\nAs seen in Figure 3, WMT’s P/S lags its selected peers. For argument’s sake, if one were to assume a P/S ratio of 0.95, equal to that of Costco (COST), would be reasonable (relative to the chosen peer group), simple math pushes the share price well above $180/share.\nFigure 4: WMT Share Price Using P/S = 0.95\n\nSource: Yves Sukhu\nIn this simple analysis here, I am not saying WMT necessarily deserves a P/S ratio of 0.95. But it is interesting to note from Figure 3 that WMT and COST are both in the same “ballpark” in terms of operating and profit margin. On that isolated basis, perhaps there is, at least, some argument to be made for a higher P/S multiple in the near term. Yet, this line of thinking is naturally based on “where the market is right now”.WMT’s average historical P/Sis much lower, and the same is also true for COST. Accordingly, a P/S-centric argument for $180/share sits upon the rather capricious whims of current investor sentiment.\nA Path by Strategy\nWe arguably find stronger footing for WMT’s high-side targets in consideration of the company’s go-forward plan. Management, in fact, believes its strategy will eventually support 4%+ top-line year-over-year growth. On that metric alone, a DCF model can be built to estimate the firm’s value if the plan “holds”. However, before jumping into the DCF analysis, it is worthwhile reviewing the key elements of Walmart’s plan to understandhowmanagement plans to achieve its top-line growth target. I have generalized the strategy in the following figure, largely based on management comments during the Q1 FY ’22 Investment Community Meeting.\nFigure 5: WMT Strategy Model\nSource: Yves Sukhu\nAs seen, I have separated the strategy diagram into three lanes:\n\nObjectives lane:summary of longer-term financial objectives (i.e. beyond FY ’22).\nInitiatives lane:high-level description of WMT business initiatives to drive financial objectives.\nInvestments/Enablers lane:horizontal tactics to support business-level initiatives.\n\nThe basic idea behind the figure is simple: each lane is driven by the lane beneath it. Thus, corporate objectives are driven by the specified initiatives, and the various initiatives are driven by the specified enabling investments. I should point out that Figure 5 is my effort to offer a basic diagram that outlines the key elements of Walmart’s strategy. Accordingly, the point is not to “nitpick” every aspect of the company’s plan, but rather to “zero in” on those strategic aspects that will be most meaningful to sales and profit growth over the long run. In the following sub-sections, I offer context around each lane with emphasis on relating specific elements to market opportunities/sales growth. Please note that any subsequent quotes without a specific hyperlink are referenced from the aforementioned Q1 FY ’22 Investment Community Meetingtranscript.\nStrategy Model: Investment / Enablers Lane\nWalmart expects “...CapEx...to be around $14 billion in [FY ‘22] with most of the increase versus last year in the US”. The majority of the spend will be allocated toward supply chain improvements, eCommerce, and technology.\nFigure 6: WMT CapEx Allocation By Business Segment\nSource:Walmart Q1 FY ’22 Investment Community Meeting Presentation\nFigure 7: WMT CapEx Allocation By Horizontal Category\nSource:Walmart Q1 FY ’22 Investment Community Meeting Presentation\nIt is noteworthy, as seen in Figure 7, that the company is largely focused on enhancing its existing physical footprint, while simultaneously expanding its digital presence. Management explains “...we need to lean in more aggressively in key markets with increased capital in fulfillment capacity, supply chain, automation, and technology. This new infrastructure will allow us to expand eCommerce assortment, enabling us to reduce both shipping time and cost. We'll step-up automation in [distribution centers and]...we'll continue to refresh our existing stores by enhancing pickup and delivery capacity, merchandising programs and efficiency initiatives.” Accordingly, the enabling tactics in the bottom lane will run horizontally across WMT’s business segments to “...accelerate the company’s top-line and profit growth in the mid- to long-term.”\nStrategy Model: Initiatives Lane\nThe Initiatives lane captures five important growth activities underpinned by the enabling CapEx investments just discussed. It should be noted that the initiatives are not isolated efforts. For example, WMT’s overall goal to grow its enterprise eCommerce business is closely intertwined with growth of its Sam’s Club and India operations. Rather then, there is a degree of overlap between initiatives – as there should be: an effective strategy is ideally self-reinforcing. Details of the five initiatives are outlined as follows.\n\nGrow eCommerce to $200B.WMT’s enterprise eCommerce sales exceeded $65B in FY ’21, recording strong results for Q1 FY ‘22 as well with year-over-year gains of 37%, 166%, 60%, 116%, and 47% for the company’s US, Mexico, China, Canada, and Sam’s Club operations respectively. Indeed, “[the company] is one of the largest eCommerce companies in the world,approaching $100 billion in revenue in the next couple of years, and [management believes] $200 billion a few years after that.\"\n\n\nExpand in-store service ecosystem.As already mentioned, pickup and delivery expansion is a key store refresh activity. Management notes that while they have “...one of, if not the largest, pickup businesses in the world”, they are often unable to meet demand. Through store remodeling, supply chain efficiencies, and higher wages for associates, the company hopes to improve on the 6 billion items either shipped or delivered in FY ’21. Additionally, like many of its competitors, WMT is looking beyond selling merchandise, and focusing on services that expand its relationship with its massive customer base, particularly Walmart Health and financial services initiatives. Management explains that “we can do more to serve the healthcare needs of families. They want and need high quality preventative, accessible and affordable healthcare...Our locations, which enable access; our large stores and large parking lots, which give us room to expand; our experience with the associate benefits, where we cover a lot of lives; and our growing digital capabilities; together theycreate the opportunity for a differentiated omni-channel healthcare businessthat helps a lot of people.” Just as the company focuses on lowering the barrier to quality healthcare, WMT similarly seeks to “...develop and offer innovative and affordable financial solutions...[given that] customers have been clear that they want more from [Walmart] in terms of financial services.”\n\n\nSam’s Club growth.Sam’s Club, reflecting “one of the fastest growing segments in the retail industry”, posted $16.7B in revenue for Q1 FY ’22, representing ~10% growth year-over-year, and membership income jumped 12.7%. Such growth comes against strong overall performance in FY ’21 as well which saw ~15% comparable sales growth year-over-year. The segment which “on its own...would rank near the top 50 in the Fortune 500...[is] a $75 billion club business globally...[and] a winner in three key markets; in the US, Mexico, and China.”\n\n\nIndia.WMT has made sizable bets, particularly its investments in Flipkart and PhonePE, in an effort to exploit India’s growing middle class and burgeoning eCommerce market,citing a recent Bain & Company report suggesting the latter growing to $90B - $100B by 2025. Further, management details the advantageous demographic shift within the country, noting that “...India has roughly 1.4 billion people today. 34% of the population are millennials, young people. By 2030, there is an estimate that this young population of millennials and Gen Z will be 75% of the total population. 700 million Indians are digital today.” As with its US strategy, WMT seeks a broader relationship – beyond merchandise – with its Indian client base. PhonePE, for example, offers a suite of app-based services including money transfer, bill payment, insurance, and online ordering/delivery. Clearly, Walmart – as well as its competitors – has a significant opportunity in India, enabled by “...a unique combination of a big market, completely digital, getting wealthier, and very young.”\n\n\nAlternative revenue streams.“[Higher margin] alternative revenue streams like advertising and Walmart Fulfillment Services are gaining traction and are expected to become a larger portion of profit growth in the future including FY 2022.” In the case of the former, Walmart Connect is the company’s foray as an omni-channel media company that takes advantage of the organization’s various digital properties and marketing expertise to directly connect brands with customers. Lest anyone question the company’s ambitions, “five years from now, [management expects] to be well within the top 10 advertising platforms in the US, ahead of big players like Hearst, Fox, and Twitter.” Indeed, WMT notes Walmart Connect isanticipated to grow by 60% in FY ’22 and “...should be a multibillion-dollar business in the very near future.”\n\nStrategy Model: Objectives Lane\nIf all goes according to plan – if WMT’s enabling investments can properly “fuel” its key initiatives – the company expects to be “in position for 4%-plus sales growth and operating income growth rates higher than sales...[and] 4% top-line growth would basically be the equivalent of adding a Fortune 100 company every year.” Should the level of required CapEx concern some investors, management offers that “...while [CapEx of 2.5% - 3%] is higher than the past few years, it is far below the CapEx peak of 4% to 5% of sales during the period of heavy supercenter growth.”\nJumping Into the DCF Analysis\nAgainst the backdrop of WMT’s plan – and if the long-term 4% top-line growth rate is achieved – how might we value the firm today? Here are the assumptions I used to build a DCF model over the period FY ’22 - FY ‘30:\n\n(2.0%) revenue decline in FY ’22:I estimate a small “low single digits” decline based on management’s FY ’22 guidance.\n2.0% revenue growth from FY ’23 – FY ’25, and 4.0% revenue growth beyond FY ’25:This approach provides a ramp to management’s top-line objective of 4.0% growth.\n3.75% average FCF margin:I assume that over the forecast period, WMT’s average FCF margin will mirror its average FCF margin over the past 5 fiscal periods.\nDiscount factor of 5.37%.This is a blend of industry cost of capital data provided byAswath Damodaranfor Retail – General and Retail – Online.\nTerminal value of $627B.To estimate the terminal value, I blended perpetual growth and exit multiple methods. For the perpetual growth calculation, I assume a 2% perpetual rate.\n2.0% share reduction in FY ’22. I assume 2.75B shares outstanding.\n\nAccordingly, forecasted cash flows and the DCF model itself are as follows:\nFigure 8: Forecasted Cash Flows\nSource: Yves Sukhu\nFigure 9: DCF Model\n\nAs seen, the DCF model outputs a price per share of $177.36; not quite $180, but in the ballpark.\nBut is the model realistic? On the one hand, the model could be consideredtoo conservativesince management is actually targeting consolidated sales growthabove4% via their strategy. Further, as they push enabling investments, particularly those in automation, my FCF margin assumption may be too low. Yet, on the other hand, any number of things could go wrong with management’s plan, in which case the model is too aggressive. For example, while both Flipkart and PhonePE command multi-billion dollar valuations, consistent profitability remains elusive. On that point, Walmart has made a large strategic bet on India; but it is a bet that is fraught with challenges and may not – in fact – bear fruit.\nPerhaps, in the best case, the DCF model suggests that there issomeupside with shares trading around ~$142; but it (naturally) is based on assumptions, any of which could be completely wrong.\nConclusion\nDo I think WMT will reach $180/share in the near term? Personally, I am a bit skeptical, if still hopeful. However, I feel the mid-point of ~$160/share (in terms of where shares are trading today and the high-side target) is reasonable based on current market valuations and management’s ability to execute against its plan. On that basis, and with perhaps ~13% upside from the current $142/share level, WMT may not find investors tripping over themselves to buy in; and as other SA authors have pointed out, the stock is not necessarily cheap. But as management continues their disciplined execution of their strategy, I, at least, am leaning toward “more things going right” than “more things going wrong”. As such, I am in the “buy” camp, even as I eye the $180/share camp with caution.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":257,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":110595468,"gmtCreate":1622467225654,"gmtModify":1704184810701,"author":{"id":"3576631475134774","authorId":"3576631475134774","name":"Yoda0603","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576631475134774","authorIdStr":"3576631475134774"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Coin base","listText":"Coin base","text":"Coin base","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/110595468","repostId":"2139043042","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2139043042","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1622465643,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2139043042?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-31 20:54","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Better Buy: Coinbase Stock or Every Nasdaq Stock?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2139043042","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"A pure-play crypto stock or the entire tech index? Read more to find out.","content":"<p>In what seems like the early innings of a crypto revolution, many people wonder what's the best way to get exposure to the segment. Buying <b>Bitcoin</b> (CRYPTO:BTC) directly may seem like a hassle to some amid the various decisions -- how to buy it, where to buy it, and how to store it. Buying a proxy company -- a company that's essentially in the business of Bitcoin -- is often seen as a reasonable solution.</p>\n<p>Enter <b>Coinbase</b> (NASDAQ:COIN). The company went public only a few months ago, initially jumping to over $400 a share before plunging down to around $250 where it currently trades. It's worth considering whether Coinbase is a long-term buy and hold or if you're better off simply buying the Nasdaq stock market index as a whole. For simplicity, we'll use the <b>Nasdaq 100 ETF</b> (NASDAQ:QQQ) for comparison in hopes of finding the better buy.</p>\n<h2>A brief look at Coinbase</h2>\n<p>Coinbase occupies a unique position within the cryptocurrency ecosystem: It's a centralized exchange for Bitcoin transactions. While continued adoption of Bitcoin and other cryptos will undoubtedly help drive revenue, Coinbase will make money as long as people are trading -- which tends to happen more when Bitcoin surges. This method of extracting value from the crypto economy makes sense when you consider the stability of its revenue stream, especially if you're bullish on Bitcoin.</p>\n<p>Coinbase is attractive if you want exposure to cryptocurrency without having to buy it directly -- it's seen as a \"proxy bet\" on cryptocurrency. Further, there are still big questions about wallet and password security, and many investors feel more comfortable buying a listed stock than they do buying digital currency.</p>\n<p>But as with any single stock purchase, you'll be exposed to <i>idiosyncratic risk</i>, or company-specific risk. Anything adverse that could happen to Coinbase is your risk to bear -- lawsuits, accounting scandals, currency failures, you name it. Unsystematic risk is something you should definitely consider before buying any individual stock, but particularly <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> with a highly speculative future dependent on emerging technology.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ce2922a67b338bce7cca59360c150ff5\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"399\"><span>Image Source: Getty Images.</span></p>\n<h2>The Nasdaq as a whole</h2>\n<p>The Nasdaq exchange has a high concentration of technology stocks and includes Coinbase as <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of the 2,500 stocks in its cap-weighted population.&nbsp; The clear benefit to investing in a Nasdaq-mimicking exchange-traded fund (ETF), like the <b>Invesco QQQ Trust</b>, for example, is that you're investing with far less risk. If something unfortunate happens to one of the portfolio constituents, you're insulated by virtue of holding many other great companies at the same time.</p>\n<p>Let's look at what you get when you invest in the Nasdaq index:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/46466f58cfab8acefc0fbfc8a4742b43\" tg-width=\"1153\" tg-height=\"408\"><span>Note: Data current as of May 27, 2021.</span></p>\n<p>While you'll note that the five-year performance numbers of top Nasdaq stocks have been pretty stellar, we aren't interested in past performance when deciding to buy -- we're interested in the potential for <i>consistent future</i> <i>performance</i>. The good news is that many of the same competitive advantages that got these companies to where they are still exist today. By buying the index as a whole, you'll have access to all of the top dogs.</p>\n<h2>The verdict</h2>\n<p>Any time you pit a single stock against an index, almost anyone can make the case that the single stock has greater upside potential because you probably won't see an index double or triple in a single year. Coinbase may very well double its value by 2022, minting new crypto-millionaires.</p>\n<p>But what if that doesn't happen? You need to consider the downside risk present when investing in an innovative technology (like cryptocurrency) that already has significant earnings growth priced in. Given the quality of the companies leading the Nasdaq, it's a more prudent bet to go for the basket of tried-and-true winners as opposed to a potentially volatile wild card.</p>\n<p>With all of that said, a small allocation to Coinbase can make sense if you have interest in the crypto space but don't feel the need or desire to own digital currency directly. For a long-term investor who's serious about keeping their retirement savings, however, the more diversified nature of the Nasdaq index makes it a better buy.</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Better Buy: Coinbase Stock or Every Nasdaq Stock?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBetter Buy: Coinbase Stock or Every Nasdaq Stock?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-31 20:54 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/05/31/better-buy-coinbase-stock-or-every-nasdaq-stock/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>In what seems like the early innings of a crypto revolution, many people wonder what's the best way to get exposure to the segment. Buying Bitcoin (CRYPTO:BTC) directly may seem like a hassle to some ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/05/31/better-buy-coinbase-stock-or-every-nasdaq-stock/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","QLD":"纳指两倍做多ETF","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","NDAQ":"纳斯达克OMX交易所","PSQ":"纳指反向ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","QID":"纳指两倍做空ETF","QQQ":"纳指100ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/05/31/better-buy-coinbase-stock-or-every-nasdaq-stock/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2139043042","content_text":"In what seems like the early innings of a crypto revolution, many people wonder what's the best way to get exposure to the segment. Buying Bitcoin (CRYPTO:BTC) directly may seem like a hassle to some amid the various decisions -- how to buy it, where to buy it, and how to store it. Buying a proxy company -- a company that's essentially in the business of Bitcoin -- is often seen as a reasonable solution.\nEnter Coinbase (NASDAQ:COIN). The company went public only a few months ago, initially jumping to over $400 a share before plunging down to around $250 where it currently trades. It's worth considering whether Coinbase is a long-term buy and hold or if you're better off simply buying the Nasdaq stock market index as a whole. For simplicity, we'll use the Nasdaq 100 ETF (NASDAQ:QQQ) for comparison in hopes of finding the better buy.\nA brief look at Coinbase\nCoinbase occupies a unique position within the cryptocurrency ecosystem: It's a centralized exchange for Bitcoin transactions. While continued adoption of Bitcoin and other cryptos will undoubtedly help drive revenue, Coinbase will make money as long as people are trading -- which tends to happen more when Bitcoin surges. This method of extracting value from the crypto economy makes sense when you consider the stability of its revenue stream, especially if you're bullish on Bitcoin.\nCoinbase is attractive if you want exposure to cryptocurrency without having to buy it directly -- it's seen as a \"proxy bet\" on cryptocurrency. Further, there are still big questions about wallet and password security, and many investors feel more comfortable buying a listed stock than they do buying digital currency.\nBut as with any single stock purchase, you'll be exposed to idiosyncratic risk, or company-specific risk. Anything adverse that could happen to Coinbase is your risk to bear -- lawsuits, accounting scandals, currency failures, you name it. Unsystematic risk is something you should definitely consider before buying any individual stock, but particularly one with a highly speculative future dependent on emerging technology.\nImage Source: Getty Images.\nThe Nasdaq as a whole\nThe Nasdaq exchange has a high concentration of technology stocks and includes Coinbase as one of the 2,500 stocks in its cap-weighted population.  The clear benefit to investing in a Nasdaq-mimicking exchange-traded fund (ETF), like the Invesco QQQ Trust, for example, is that you're investing with far less risk. If something unfortunate happens to one of the portfolio constituents, you're insulated by virtue of holding many other great companies at the same time.\nLet's look at what you get when you invest in the Nasdaq index:\nNote: Data current as of May 27, 2021.\nWhile you'll note that the five-year performance numbers of top Nasdaq stocks have been pretty stellar, we aren't interested in past performance when deciding to buy -- we're interested in the potential for consistent future performance. The good news is that many of the same competitive advantages that got these companies to where they are still exist today. By buying the index as a whole, you'll have access to all of the top dogs.\nThe verdict\nAny time you pit a single stock against an index, almost anyone can make the case that the single stock has greater upside potential because you probably won't see an index double or triple in a single year. Coinbase may very well double its value by 2022, minting new crypto-millionaires.\nBut what if that doesn't happen? You need to consider the downside risk present when investing in an innovative technology (like cryptocurrency) that already has significant earnings growth priced in. Given the quality of the companies leading the Nasdaq, it's a more prudent bet to go for the basket of tried-and-true winners as opposed to a potentially volatile wild card.\nWith all of that said, a small allocation to Coinbase can make sense if you have interest in the crypto space but don't feel the need or desire to own digital currency directly. For a long-term investor who's serious about keeping their retirement savings, however, the more diversified nature of the Nasdaq index makes it a better buy.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":171,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":110595308,"gmtCreate":1622467186404,"gmtModify":1704184809882,"author":{"id":"3576631475134774","authorId":"3576631475134774","name":"Yoda0603","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576631475134774","authorIdStr":"3576631475134774"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cool","listText":"Cool","text":"Cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/110595308","repostId":"2139427430","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2139427430","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1622463679,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2139427430?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-31 20:21","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is the Growth Stock Bull Market About to Make a Comeback?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2139427430","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"There are some signs that Wall Street is warming up again to growth stocks.","content":"<p>Following the epic gains in many growth stocks in 2020, it wasn't surprising to see them pull back earlier this year. Many of these highly valued stocks were arguably overdue for a breather. But with lots of growth stocks finally starting to make a comeback, is the growth stock bull market about to make a comeback?</p>\n<p>Not only did the tech-heavy <b>Nasdaq Composite</b> outperform the <b>S&amp;P 500</b> last week by almost a full percentage point, but many growth stocks rose even faster than the Nasdaq. Here's a look at three growth stocks that surged last week, signaling a potential comeback in high-growth tech stocks.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f417a81d034af3b1287ace0d40a92612\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"562\"><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p>\n<h2>NVIDIA stock: Up 8.5% last week</h2>\n<p>Shares of semiconductor specialist <b>NVIDIA</b> (NASDAQ:NVDA) jumped in the days after its earnings report last week.</p>\n<p>It's worth noting that during the growth stock beating that lasted through most of earnings season, better-than-expected results weren't enough to lift shares of these companies. Indeed, many growth stocks fell even after reporting results that were well ahead of analyst estimates. So NVIDIA's post-earnings rise is a change growth stock investors are welcoming warmly.</p>\n<p>NVIDIA reported fiscal first-quarter revenue of $5.66 billion, up 84% year over year.</p>\n<p>NVIDIA shares, which largely dodged the growth stock beating of early 2021, hit all-time highs during the week.</p>\n<h2>CrowdStrike stock: Up 5.4% last week</h2>\n<p><b>CrowdStrike</b> (NASDAQ:CRWD) shares have been getting a lift ahead of the company's earnings report on June 3. The cybersecurity specialist impressed investors when it reported its fiscal fourth-quarter results on March 16 with a 74% year-over-year increase in revenue. Furthermore, management said that its subscription customers that had adopted five or more modules had risen to 63% of its total subscription customer base.</p>\n<p>Management forecast fiscal first-quarter revenue to be between $287.8 million and $292.1 million. Analysts, on average, expect revenue for the period to come in at $291.4 million.</p>\n<p>With shares trading at about $223, they are still well below their 52-week high of $251.28.</p>\n<h2>Peloton stock: up 9.4% last week</h2>\n<p>Connected fitness company <b>Peloton</b> (NASDAQ:PTON) gained about 10% last week. But shares are still down more than 35% from an all-time high achieved late last year.</p>\n<p>Peloton's underlying business has been firing on all cylinders, with third-quarter revenue increasing 141% year over year to nearly $1.3 billion. Connected fitness subscriptions rose 135% year over year to 2.08 million.</p>\n<p>But the company has run into some near-term challenges as it recalls its treadmills. In addition to recalling the product, the company stopped selling and distributing its Tread+ and Tread products and offered a refund to customers who wanted to return their treadmills.</p>\n<p>Despite the challenges, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> analyst from J.P. Morgan recently said he believes that Peloton management remains confident in the demand for its products.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0bc49d6488ee724e5c80a17f0def06bc\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"465\"><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p>\n<p>While all three of these stocks' moves have their own reasons, they're just a small subset of the many growth stocks that seem to be gaining momentum lately.</p>\n<p>Whether these are the early innings of a resurgence in growth stocks or not, investors should always remain focused on the underlying businesses as we have no control over the market's always-shifting mood.</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is the Growth Stock Bull Market About to Make a Comeback?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs the Growth Stock Bull Market About to Make a Comeback?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-31 20:21 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/05/31/is-the-growth-stock-bull-market-back/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Following the epic gains in many growth stocks in 2020, it wasn't surprising to see them pull back earlier this year. Many of these highly valued stocks were arguably overdue for a breather. But with ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/05/31/is-the-growth-stock-bull-market-back/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达","PTON":"Peloton Interactive, Inc.",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","CRWD":"CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/05/31/is-the-growth-stock-bull-market-back/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2139427430","content_text":"Following the epic gains in many growth stocks in 2020, it wasn't surprising to see them pull back earlier this year. Many of these highly valued stocks were arguably overdue for a breather. But with lots of growth stocks finally starting to make a comeback, is the growth stock bull market about to make a comeback?\nNot only did the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite outperform the S&P 500 last week by almost a full percentage point, but many growth stocks rose even faster than the Nasdaq. Here's a look at three growth stocks that surged last week, signaling a potential comeback in high-growth tech stocks.\nImage source: Getty Images.\nNVIDIA stock: Up 8.5% last week\nShares of semiconductor specialist NVIDIA (NASDAQ:NVDA) jumped in the days after its earnings report last week.\nIt's worth noting that during the growth stock beating that lasted through most of earnings season, better-than-expected results weren't enough to lift shares of these companies. Indeed, many growth stocks fell even after reporting results that were well ahead of analyst estimates. So NVIDIA's post-earnings rise is a change growth stock investors are welcoming warmly.\nNVIDIA reported fiscal first-quarter revenue of $5.66 billion, up 84% year over year.\nNVIDIA shares, which largely dodged the growth stock beating of early 2021, hit all-time highs during the week.\nCrowdStrike stock: Up 5.4% last week\nCrowdStrike (NASDAQ:CRWD) shares have been getting a lift ahead of the company's earnings report on June 3. The cybersecurity specialist impressed investors when it reported its fiscal fourth-quarter results on March 16 with a 74% year-over-year increase in revenue. Furthermore, management said that its subscription customers that had adopted five or more modules had risen to 63% of its total subscription customer base.\nManagement forecast fiscal first-quarter revenue to be between $287.8 million and $292.1 million. Analysts, on average, expect revenue for the period to come in at $291.4 million.\nWith shares trading at about $223, they are still well below their 52-week high of $251.28.\nPeloton stock: up 9.4% last week\nConnected fitness company Peloton (NASDAQ:PTON) gained about 10% last week. But shares are still down more than 35% from an all-time high achieved late last year.\nPeloton's underlying business has been firing on all cylinders, with third-quarter revenue increasing 141% year over year to nearly $1.3 billion. Connected fitness subscriptions rose 135% year over year to 2.08 million.\nBut the company has run into some near-term challenges as it recalls its treadmills. In addition to recalling the product, the company stopped selling and distributing its Tread+ and Tread products and offered a refund to customers who wanted to return their treadmills.\nDespite the challenges, one analyst from J.P. Morgan recently said he believes that Peloton management remains confident in the demand for its products.\nImage source: Getty Images.\nWhile all three of these stocks' moves have their own reasons, they're just a small subset of the many growth stocks that seem to be gaining momentum lately.\nWhether these are the early innings of a resurgence in growth stocks or not, investors should always remain focused on the underlying businesses as we have no control over the market's always-shifting mood.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":288,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9962551001,"gmtCreate":1669812984804,"gmtModify":1676538248371,"author":{"id":"3576631475134774","authorId":"3576631475134774","name":"Yoda0603","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576631475134774","authorIdStr":"3576631475134774"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/QAN.AU\">$QANTAS AIRWAYS LIMITED(QAN.AU)$ &nbsp;</a>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/QAN.AU\">$QANTAS AIRWAYS LIMITED(QAN.AU)$ &nbsp;</a>","text":"$QANTAS AIRWAYS LIMITED(QAN.AU)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/85e71dd44826f93cc279a6175ce5c2f5","width":"1080","height":"1546"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":14,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9962551001","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":512,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":110595468,"gmtCreate":1622467225654,"gmtModify":1704184810701,"author":{"id":"3576631475134774","authorId":"3576631475134774","name":"Yoda0603","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576631475134774","authorIdStr":"3576631475134774"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Coin base","listText":"Coin base","text":"Coin base","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/110595468","repostId":"2139043042","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2139043042","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1622465643,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2139043042?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-31 20:54","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Better Buy: Coinbase Stock or Every Nasdaq Stock?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2139043042","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"A pure-play crypto stock or the entire tech index? Read more to find out.","content":"<p>In what seems like the early innings of a crypto revolution, many people wonder what's the best way to get exposure to the segment. Buying <b>Bitcoin</b> (CRYPTO:BTC) directly may seem like a hassle to some amid the various decisions -- how to buy it, where to buy it, and how to store it. Buying a proxy company -- a company that's essentially in the business of Bitcoin -- is often seen as a reasonable solution.</p>\n<p>Enter <b>Coinbase</b> (NASDAQ:COIN). The company went public only a few months ago, initially jumping to over $400 a share before plunging down to around $250 where it currently trades. It's worth considering whether Coinbase is a long-term buy and hold or if you're better off simply buying the Nasdaq stock market index as a whole. For simplicity, we'll use the <b>Nasdaq 100 ETF</b> (NASDAQ:QQQ) for comparison in hopes of finding the better buy.</p>\n<h2>A brief look at Coinbase</h2>\n<p>Coinbase occupies a unique position within the cryptocurrency ecosystem: It's a centralized exchange for Bitcoin transactions. While continued adoption of Bitcoin and other cryptos will undoubtedly help drive revenue, Coinbase will make money as long as people are trading -- which tends to happen more when Bitcoin surges. This method of extracting value from the crypto economy makes sense when you consider the stability of its revenue stream, especially if you're bullish on Bitcoin.</p>\n<p>Coinbase is attractive if you want exposure to cryptocurrency without having to buy it directly -- it's seen as a \"proxy bet\" on cryptocurrency. Further, there are still big questions about wallet and password security, and many investors feel more comfortable buying a listed stock than they do buying digital currency.</p>\n<p>But as with any single stock purchase, you'll be exposed to <i>idiosyncratic risk</i>, or company-specific risk. Anything adverse that could happen to Coinbase is your risk to bear -- lawsuits, accounting scandals, currency failures, you name it. Unsystematic risk is something you should definitely consider before buying any individual stock, but particularly <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> with a highly speculative future dependent on emerging technology.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ce2922a67b338bce7cca59360c150ff5\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"399\"><span>Image Source: Getty Images.</span></p>\n<h2>The Nasdaq as a whole</h2>\n<p>The Nasdaq exchange has a high concentration of technology stocks and includes Coinbase as <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of the 2,500 stocks in its cap-weighted population.&nbsp; The clear benefit to investing in a Nasdaq-mimicking exchange-traded fund (ETF), like the <b>Invesco QQQ Trust</b>, for example, is that you're investing with far less risk. If something unfortunate happens to one of the portfolio constituents, you're insulated by virtue of holding many other great companies at the same time.</p>\n<p>Let's look at what you get when you invest in the Nasdaq index:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/46466f58cfab8acefc0fbfc8a4742b43\" tg-width=\"1153\" tg-height=\"408\"><span>Note: Data current as of May 27, 2021.</span></p>\n<p>While you'll note that the five-year performance numbers of top Nasdaq stocks have been pretty stellar, we aren't interested in past performance when deciding to buy -- we're interested in the potential for <i>consistent future</i> <i>performance</i>. The good news is that many of the same competitive advantages that got these companies to where they are still exist today. By buying the index as a whole, you'll have access to all of the top dogs.</p>\n<h2>The verdict</h2>\n<p>Any time you pit a single stock against an index, almost anyone can make the case that the single stock has greater upside potential because you probably won't see an index double or triple in a single year. Coinbase may very well double its value by 2022, minting new crypto-millionaires.</p>\n<p>But what if that doesn't happen? You need to consider the downside risk present when investing in an innovative technology (like cryptocurrency) that already has significant earnings growth priced in. Given the quality of the companies leading the Nasdaq, it's a more prudent bet to go for the basket of tried-and-true winners as opposed to a potentially volatile wild card.</p>\n<p>With all of that said, a small allocation to Coinbase can make sense if you have interest in the crypto space but don't feel the need or desire to own digital currency directly. For a long-term investor who's serious about keeping their retirement savings, however, the more diversified nature of the Nasdaq index makes it a better buy.</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Better Buy: Coinbase Stock or Every Nasdaq Stock?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBetter Buy: Coinbase Stock or Every Nasdaq Stock?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-31 20:54 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/05/31/better-buy-coinbase-stock-or-every-nasdaq-stock/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>In what seems like the early innings of a crypto revolution, many people wonder what's the best way to get exposure to the segment. Buying Bitcoin (CRYPTO:BTC) directly may seem like a hassle to some ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/05/31/better-buy-coinbase-stock-or-every-nasdaq-stock/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","QLD":"纳指两倍做多ETF","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","NDAQ":"纳斯达克OMX交易所","PSQ":"纳指反向ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","QID":"纳指两倍做空ETF","QQQ":"纳指100ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/05/31/better-buy-coinbase-stock-or-every-nasdaq-stock/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2139043042","content_text":"In what seems like the early innings of a crypto revolution, many people wonder what's the best way to get exposure to the segment. Buying Bitcoin (CRYPTO:BTC) directly may seem like a hassle to some amid the various decisions -- how to buy it, where to buy it, and how to store it. Buying a proxy company -- a company that's essentially in the business of Bitcoin -- is often seen as a reasonable solution.\nEnter Coinbase (NASDAQ:COIN). The company went public only a few months ago, initially jumping to over $400 a share before plunging down to around $250 where it currently trades. It's worth considering whether Coinbase is a long-term buy and hold or if you're better off simply buying the Nasdaq stock market index as a whole. For simplicity, we'll use the Nasdaq 100 ETF (NASDAQ:QQQ) for comparison in hopes of finding the better buy.\nA brief look at Coinbase\nCoinbase occupies a unique position within the cryptocurrency ecosystem: It's a centralized exchange for Bitcoin transactions. While continued adoption of Bitcoin and other cryptos will undoubtedly help drive revenue, Coinbase will make money as long as people are trading -- which tends to happen more when Bitcoin surges. This method of extracting value from the crypto economy makes sense when you consider the stability of its revenue stream, especially if you're bullish on Bitcoin.\nCoinbase is attractive if you want exposure to cryptocurrency without having to buy it directly -- it's seen as a \"proxy bet\" on cryptocurrency. Further, there are still big questions about wallet and password security, and many investors feel more comfortable buying a listed stock than they do buying digital currency.\nBut as with any single stock purchase, you'll be exposed to idiosyncratic risk, or company-specific risk. Anything adverse that could happen to Coinbase is your risk to bear -- lawsuits, accounting scandals, currency failures, you name it. Unsystematic risk is something you should definitely consider before buying any individual stock, but particularly one with a highly speculative future dependent on emerging technology.\nImage Source: Getty Images.\nThe Nasdaq as a whole\nThe Nasdaq exchange has a high concentration of technology stocks and includes Coinbase as one of the 2,500 stocks in its cap-weighted population.  The clear benefit to investing in a Nasdaq-mimicking exchange-traded fund (ETF), like the Invesco QQQ Trust, for example, is that you're investing with far less risk. If something unfortunate happens to one of the portfolio constituents, you're insulated by virtue of holding many other great companies at the same time.\nLet's look at what you get when you invest in the Nasdaq index:\nNote: Data current as of May 27, 2021.\nWhile you'll note that the five-year performance numbers of top Nasdaq stocks have been pretty stellar, we aren't interested in past performance when deciding to buy -- we're interested in the potential for consistent future performance. The good news is that many of the same competitive advantages that got these companies to where they are still exist today. By buying the index as a whole, you'll have access to all of the top dogs.\nThe verdict\nAny time you pit a single stock against an index, almost anyone can make the case that the single stock has greater upside potential because you probably won't see an index double or triple in a single year. Coinbase may very well double its value by 2022, minting new crypto-millionaires.\nBut what if that doesn't happen? You need to consider the downside risk present when investing in an innovative technology (like cryptocurrency) that already has significant earnings growth priced in. Given the quality of the companies leading the Nasdaq, it's a more prudent bet to go for the basket of tried-and-true winners as opposed to a potentially volatile wild card.\nWith all of that said, a small allocation to Coinbase can make sense if you have interest in the crypto space but don't feel the need or desire to own digital currency directly. For a long-term investor who's serious about keeping their retirement savings, however, the more diversified nature of the Nasdaq index makes it a better buy.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":171,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":121605031,"gmtCreate":1624460525323,"gmtModify":1703837508931,"author":{"id":"3576631475134774","authorId":"3576631475134774","name":"Yoda0603","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576631475134774","authorIdStr":"3576631475134774"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment","listText":"Like and comment","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/121605031","repostId":"1166274187","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1166274187","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624458332,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1166274187?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-23 22:25","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. investors looking for a cheap way to play the global recovery may want to look up north","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1166274187","media":"cnbc","summary":"If U.S. stocks look richly valued after a strong start to 2021, American investors may be better ser","content":"<div>\n<p>If U.S. stocks look richly valued after a strong start to 2021, American investors may be better served by looking northward for opportunities, according to Bank of America.\nThe bank’s chief U.S. ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/23/canadian-equities-may-be-a-cheaper-way-to-play-the-recovery.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"cnbc_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. investors looking for a cheap way to play the global recovery may want to look up north</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. investors looking for a cheap way to play the global recovery may want to look up north\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-23 22:25 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/23/canadian-equities-may-be-a-cheaper-way-to-play-the-recovery.html><strong>cnbc</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>If U.S. stocks look richly valued after a strong start to 2021, American investors may be better served by looking northward for opportunities, according to Bank of America.\nThe bank’s chief U.S. ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/23/canadian-equities-may-be-a-cheaper-way-to-play-the-recovery.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/23/canadian-equities-may-be-a-cheaper-way-to-play-the-recovery.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/72bb72e1b84c09fca865c6dcb1bbcd16","article_id":"1166274187","content_text":"If U.S. stocks look richly valued after a strong start to 2021, American investors may be better served by looking northward for opportunities, according to Bank of America.\nThe bank’s chief U.S. equity strategist told clients on Tuesday that the Canadian equity benchmark trades at a significant discount to the S&P 500 and, in her opinion, is due for a catch-up.\nAs of Tuesday’s close, the S&P/TSX Composite index, Canada’s main stock benchmark, was up more than 15% for the year.\nDespite that gain, the TSX index trades at just 17 times forward earnings compared to the S&P 500′s 21.4 times. By that gauge, the S&P 500 is trading at its richest valuation since the tech bubble of the late 1990s and early 2000s, according to Bank of America strategist Savita Subramanian.\n“We believe the discount is overdone, especially when the composition of the TSX is much better positioned to benefit from the global economic recovery, which we believe is intact,” she wrote.\n“We believe international stocks may be a better way to participate in the cyclical upswing, and Canada looks particularly attractive given its heavy exposure to cyclicals, commodities, and smaller caps, as well as its exposure to the U.S. economy that is leading the recovery,” Subramanian added.\nBank of America likes the TSX index for its greater exposure to energy and materials versus the S&P 500. Commodity sectors represent over 25% of the index compared to less than 6% of the S&P 500.\nThat bodes well for those with exposure to Canadian equities as the global recovery from the Covid-19 pandemic accelerates outside of the U.S. and fosters demand for the energy and agricultural commodities exported by Ottawa.\n“Follow the commodity cycle,” Subramanian advised her clients. “Despite a 46% surge in commodity prices [year over year], the TSX has underperformed the S&P 500 by more than 10 percentage points over the past 12 months.”\nThe implication is that, with Canada soon expected to see a sharp rise in its number of vaccinated residents, the gap between the TSX index and the S&P 500 could narrow.\nSome popular Canadian funds include theiShares MSCI Canada ETFand theBMO Low Volatility Canadian Equity ETF, up 21.8% and 15.2%, respectively, in 2021.\nDespite the overarching optimism on the country’s stocks, Subramanian noted that a slower-than-expected economic recovery in the U.S. or Canada would challenge her thesis.\nSo, too, could China’s recent announcement tomanage commodity inflationif Beijing continues to impose a cap on how much its traders are permitted to pay for various materials.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":372,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":160070387,"gmtCreate":1623767736249,"gmtModify":1703818825696,"author":{"id":"3576631475134774","authorId":"3576631475134774","name":"Yoda0603","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576631475134774","authorIdStr":"3576631475134774"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Liked&nbsp;","listText":"Liked&nbsp;","text":"Liked","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/160070387","repostId":"1187102856","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":482,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":115837602,"gmtCreate":1622969111906,"gmtModify":1704193937432,"author":{"id":"3576631475134774","authorId":"3576631475134774","name":"Yoda0603","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576631475134774","authorIdStr":"3576631475134774"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/115837602","repostId":"2140540596","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2140540596","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1622820692,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2140540596?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-04 23:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Technology Stocks You Can Buy and Hold for the Next Decade","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2140540596","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"It can be tough to get married to stocks -- especially tech -- but here are three to leave alone for the long haul.","content":"<p>Let's be honest. A lot of people say their positions in flashy technology companies are meant to be long-term holdings, but they're really just an effort to make a quick buck. And that's OK. Any profitable trade is technically a good trade. If you can get in and out at the right time, so be it.</p>\n<p>Thing is, there are plenty of tech names that are more than just flash-in-the-pan prospects, and are better suited for holding periods measured in years rather than weeks.</p>\n<p>Here's a closer look at three such technology companies. Not only will they be just as impressive 10 years from now as they are today, but their stocks should be trading at much higher prices.</p>\n<h2>Microsoft</h2>\n<p>It's tough to imagine a world without <b>Microsoft</b> (NASDAQ:MSFT). Its Windows operating system is installed on three-fourths of the world's desktops and laptops, according to GlobalStats, and its Office productivity software remains the gold standard for the category. <b>Sony</b>'s PlayStation gaming console enjoys more worldwide market share than Microsoft's Xbox, but the Xbox is closing the gap, and is still the most popular game console in the U.S.</p>\n<p>And these are things consumers can readily see. There's a whole different unseen array of Microsoft-made products that are doing similarly well. For instance, Canalys reports Microsoft's cloud computing business accounted for a second-best 19% of the world's first-quarter cloud infrastructure spending, and the company continues to close the gap with market-leader <b>Amazon</b>.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/362a8a5cb8d412d4e3895fa185d236b7\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"484\"><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p>\n<p>Now take a step back and ask a thoughtful, critical question: Is there any chance the world will have less need for computers, cloud computing, productivity software, or game consoles 10 years from now?</p>\n<p>Any reasonable and realistic answer has to be \"no.\" Indeed, it would be surprising if demand for these products and services wasn't considerably greater a decade from now. Being a market leader in multiple categories, Microsoft can steer the market's ongoing growth in a way that serves itself best. For example, the Windows operating system comes with trial versions of Office software pre-installed.</p>\n<p>Bolstering the bullish argument for long-term ownership of Microsoft is the company's evolving business model. Access to Azure, Office, and even video games can now be utilized on a monthly subscription basis, accessible via the cloud. This shift not only makes the company's products more affordable to begin using but also gives Microsoft a better chance of keeping those customers by making it easy to update and upgrade software.</p>\n<p>Last year, the last time Microsoft disclosed such data, it had already lined up more than $100 billion worth of subscription cloud revenue that had yet to be booked -- a figure that continues to edge upward.</p>\n<h2><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PANW\">Palo Alto Networks</a></h2>\n<p>Even after several high-profile cybersecurity gaffes embarrassed organizations ranging from <b>Target </b>to <b>Equifax</b> to Yahoo!, some of the world's most important companies are still being hacked. Most recently, Colonial Pipeline agreed to fork over $4.4 million to a computer hacking group known as Darkside to regain control of its 5,500 miles worth of refined oil pipelines.</p>\n<p>These things are preventable. They're just not being prevented, as too many organizations don't utilize all the digital defenses available to them. Perhaps the Colonial Pipeline debacle will encourage procurement of this protection.</p>\n<p>Enter <b>Palo Alto Networks</b> (NYSE:PANW). Simply put, Palo Alto offers software preventing unauthorized access to a company's network, internal apps, and data. It's even got a ransomware protection solution in its lineup that might have been able to save Colonial Pipeline a few million bucks.</p>\n<p>The opportunity is incredible, and should remain so for a while. P&amp;S Intelligence believes the cybersecurity market will grow at an average annual pace of 12.6%, from 2019's $120 billion to $434 billion by 2030. That's a lot, but it's only a fraction of the $10.5 trillion that Cybersecurity Ventures believes cybercrime will cost the world in 2025 alone if enterprises don't step up their digital defense games.</p>\n<p>Palo Alto is doing fine, logging more than seven consecutive years of rising revenue as more and more outfits build their digital moats. Given the outlook, more of the same kind of growth is in the cards for a while.</p>\n<h2>International Business Machines</h2>\n<p>Finally, add <b>International Business Machines</b> (NYSE:IBM) to your list of technology stocks to buy and hold for the next decade.</p>\n<p>Yes, this is the same IBM that failed to respond to the advent of things like cloud computing, mobile devices, and all that goes with both. The company's \"strategic imperatives\" plan unveiled in 2015 was meant to steer the company away from a legacy mainframe business that was already dying and toward more contemporary opportunities like the aforementioned cloud and mobile security. By and large, though, it was too little too late.</p>\n<p>The IBM of today, however, isn't the IBM from even as recently as two years ago. It's ready to compete where it counts.</p>\n<p>Take last month's revelation of new technologies capable of fabricating a 2-nanometer microchip as an example. The microscopic measure is in reference to how small a chip's transistors can be made and still function properly. The smaller, the better, as smaller transistors consume less power, operate faster, and require less space when room is a factor. For perspective, 7-nanometer chips are the best the market has to offer right now.</p>\n<p>It's not just more functional chips IBM is starting to develop, either. Just within the past few weeks, the company has unveiled a way for data centers to more efficiently store and retrieve data, and launched AutoSQL, which is capable of retrieving data eight times faster than previous approaches are. Both technologies have a myriad of potential uses, including in the artificial intelligence arena.</p>\n<p>Read between the lines. This isn't yesteryear's IBM.</p>\n<p>It could still take years for the company to fully monetize these and other breakthroughs, but they're worth the wait.</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Technology Stocks You Can Buy and Hold for the Next Decade</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Technology Stocks You Can Buy and Hold for the Next Decade\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-04 23:31 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/04/3-technology-stocks-you-can-buy-and-hold-for-the-n/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Let's be honest. A lot of people say their positions in flashy technology companies are meant to be long-term holdings, but they're really just an effort to make a quick buck. And that's OK. Any ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/04/3-technology-stocks-you-can-buy-and-hold-for-the-n/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PANW":"Palo Alto Networks","MSFT":"微软","IBM":"IBM"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/04/3-technology-stocks-you-can-buy-and-hold-for-the-n/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2140540596","content_text":"Let's be honest. A lot of people say their positions in flashy technology companies are meant to be long-term holdings, but they're really just an effort to make a quick buck. And that's OK. Any profitable trade is technically a good trade. If you can get in and out at the right time, so be it.\nThing is, there are plenty of tech names that are more than just flash-in-the-pan prospects, and are better suited for holding periods measured in years rather than weeks.\nHere's a closer look at three such technology companies. Not only will they be just as impressive 10 years from now as they are today, but their stocks should be trading at much higher prices.\nMicrosoft\nIt's tough to imagine a world without Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT). Its Windows operating system is installed on three-fourths of the world's desktops and laptops, according to GlobalStats, and its Office productivity software remains the gold standard for the category. Sony's PlayStation gaming console enjoys more worldwide market share than Microsoft's Xbox, but the Xbox is closing the gap, and is still the most popular game console in the U.S.\nAnd these are things consumers can readily see. There's a whole different unseen array of Microsoft-made products that are doing similarly well. For instance, Canalys reports Microsoft's cloud computing business accounted for a second-best 19% of the world's first-quarter cloud infrastructure spending, and the company continues to close the gap with market-leader Amazon.\nImage source: Getty Images.\nNow take a step back and ask a thoughtful, critical question: Is there any chance the world will have less need for computers, cloud computing, productivity software, or game consoles 10 years from now?\nAny reasonable and realistic answer has to be \"no.\" Indeed, it would be surprising if demand for these products and services wasn't considerably greater a decade from now. Being a market leader in multiple categories, Microsoft can steer the market's ongoing growth in a way that serves itself best. For example, the Windows operating system comes with trial versions of Office software pre-installed.\nBolstering the bullish argument for long-term ownership of Microsoft is the company's evolving business model. Access to Azure, Office, and even video games can now be utilized on a monthly subscription basis, accessible via the cloud. This shift not only makes the company's products more affordable to begin using but also gives Microsoft a better chance of keeping those customers by making it easy to update and upgrade software.\nLast year, the last time Microsoft disclosed such data, it had already lined up more than $100 billion worth of subscription cloud revenue that had yet to be booked -- a figure that continues to edge upward.\nPalo Alto Networks\nEven after several high-profile cybersecurity gaffes embarrassed organizations ranging from Target to Equifax to Yahoo!, some of the world's most important companies are still being hacked. Most recently, Colonial Pipeline agreed to fork over $4.4 million to a computer hacking group known as Darkside to regain control of its 5,500 miles worth of refined oil pipelines.\nThese things are preventable. They're just not being prevented, as too many organizations don't utilize all the digital defenses available to them. Perhaps the Colonial Pipeline debacle will encourage procurement of this protection.\nEnter Palo Alto Networks (NYSE:PANW). Simply put, Palo Alto offers software preventing unauthorized access to a company's network, internal apps, and data. It's even got a ransomware protection solution in its lineup that might have been able to save Colonial Pipeline a few million bucks.\nThe opportunity is incredible, and should remain so for a while. P&S Intelligence believes the cybersecurity market will grow at an average annual pace of 12.6%, from 2019's $120 billion to $434 billion by 2030. That's a lot, but it's only a fraction of the $10.5 trillion that Cybersecurity Ventures believes cybercrime will cost the world in 2025 alone if enterprises don't step up their digital defense games.\nPalo Alto is doing fine, logging more than seven consecutive years of rising revenue as more and more outfits build their digital moats. Given the outlook, more of the same kind of growth is in the cards for a while.\nInternational Business Machines\nFinally, add International Business Machines (NYSE:IBM) to your list of technology stocks to buy and hold for the next decade.\nYes, this is the same IBM that failed to respond to the advent of things like cloud computing, mobile devices, and all that goes with both. The company's \"strategic imperatives\" plan unveiled in 2015 was meant to steer the company away from a legacy mainframe business that was already dying and toward more contemporary opportunities like the aforementioned cloud and mobile security. By and large, though, it was too little too late.\nThe IBM of today, however, isn't the IBM from even as recently as two years ago. It's ready to compete where it counts.\nTake last month's revelation of new technologies capable of fabricating a 2-nanometer microchip as an example. The microscopic measure is in reference to how small a chip's transistors can be made and still function properly. The smaller, the better, as smaller transistors consume less power, operate faster, and require less space when room is a factor. For perspective, 7-nanometer chips are the best the market has to offer right now.\nIt's not just more functional chips IBM is starting to develop, either. Just within the past few weeks, the company has unveiled a way for data centers to more efficiently store and retrieve data, and launched AutoSQL, which is capable of retrieving data eight times faster than previous approaches are. Both technologies have a myriad of potential uses, including in the artificial intelligence arena.\nRead between the lines. This isn't yesteryear's IBM.\nIt could still take years for the company to fully monetize these and other breakthroughs, but they're worth the wait.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":402,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":121606776,"gmtCreate":1624460480695,"gmtModify":1703837506662,"author":{"id":"3576631475134774","authorId":"3576631475134774","name":"Yoda0603","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576631475134774","authorIdStr":"3576631475134774"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good&nbsp;","listText":"Good&nbsp;","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/121606776","repostId":"1180677663","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1180677663","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624459013,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1180677663?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-23 22:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. New-Home Sales Post Surprise Drop Amid Record-High Prices","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1180677663","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Median sales price rose to a record $374,400 last month\nNew homes for sale were at highest levels si","content":"<ul>\n <li>Median sales price rose to a record $374,400 last month</li>\n <li>New homes for sale were at highest levels since July 2019</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Sales of new U.S. homes dropped unexpectedly in May as elevated home prices weigh on affordability.</p>\n<p>Purchases of new single-family homes fell 5.9% to a 769,000 annualized pace after an downwardly revised 817,000 in April, government data showed Wednesday. The median estimate in a Bloomberg survey of economists called for a 865,000 rate.</p>\n<p>Shipping bottlenecks and higher input prices have held back homebuilding, contributing to skyrocketing prices for the limited supply of homes available. A silver lining of the report was data showing new-housing inventory continued to increase.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6122b8bb5e6b93c4492cae3796f4a31f\" tg-width=\"558\" tg-height=\"313\"></p>\n<p>There were 330,000 new homes for sale in May, the most since July 2019. At the current sales pace, it would take 5.1 months to exhaust the supply of new homes, compared with 4.6 months in the prior month.</p>\n<p>The median sales price rose to a record $374,400.</p>\n<p></p>\n<p>The number of homes sold in May and awaiting the start of construction -- a measure of backlogs -- was little changed from a month earlier at 276,000, Wednesday’s report showed. The total number of homes sold with construction underway eased to 305,000 in May.</p>\n<p>A separate report Tuesday showed thatexisting home salesfell for a fourth straight month in May, held back by lack of inventory and record-high prices.</p>\n<p><b>Digging Deeper</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Sales across U.S. regions were mixed, with the Midwest seeing no change and the South posting a decline. Home sales in the Northeast showed a large increase.</li>\n <li>New-home purchases account for about 10% of the market and are calculated when contracts are signed. They are considered a timelier barometer than purchases of previously-owned homes, which are calculated when contracts close.</li>\n <li>The new-homes data are volatile; the report showed 90% confidence that the change in sales ranged from a 24.5% decline to a 12.7% increase.</li>\n</ul>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. New-Home Sales Post Surprise Drop Amid Record-High Prices</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. New-Home Sales Post Surprise Drop Amid Record-High Prices\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-23 22:36 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-06-23/u-s-new-home-sales-fell-in-may-amid-high-prices-lean-supply?srnd=markets-vp><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Median sales price rose to a record $374,400 last month\nNew homes for sale were at highest levels since July 2019\n\nSales of new U.S. homes dropped unexpectedly in May as elevated home prices weigh on ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-06-23/u-s-new-home-sales-fell-in-may-amid-high-prices-lean-supply?srnd=markets-vp\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-06-23/u-s-new-home-sales-fell-in-may-amid-high-prices-lean-supply?srnd=markets-vp","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1180677663","content_text":"Median sales price rose to a record $374,400 last month\nNew homes for sale were at highest levels since July 2019\n\nSales of new U.S. homes dropped unexpectedly in May as elevated home prices weigh on affordability.\nPurchases of new single-family homes fell 5.9% to a 769,000 annualized pace after an downwardly revised 817,000 in April, government data showed Wednesday. The median estimate in a Bloomberg survey of economists called for a 865,000 rate.\nShipping bottlenecks and higher input prices have held back homebuilding, contributing to skyrocketing prices for the limited supply of homes available. A silver lining of the report was data showing new-housing inventory continued to increase.\n\nThere were 330,000 new homes for sale in May, the most since July 2019. At the current sales pace, it would take 5.1 months to exhaust the supply of new homes, compared with 4.6 months in the prior month.\nThe median sales price rose to a record $374,400.\n\nThe number of homes sold in May and awaiting the start of construction -- a measure of backlogs -- was little changed from a month earlier at 276,000, Wednesday’s report showed. The total number of homes sold with construction underway eased to 305,000 in May.\nA separate report Tuesday showed thatexisting home salesfell for a fourth straight month in May, held back by lack of inventory and record-high prices.\nDigging Deeper\n\nSales across U.S. regions were mixed, with the Midwest seeing no change and the South posting a decline. Home sales in the Northeast showed a large increase.\nNew-home purchases account for about 10% of the market and are calculated when contracts are signed. They are considered a timelier barometer than purchases of previously-owned homes, which are calculated when contracts close.\nThe new-homes data are volatile; the report showed 90% confidence that the change in sales ranged from a 24.5% decline to a 12.7% increase.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":302,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":117652266,"gmtCreate":1623140126155,"gmtModify":1704196876182,"author":{"id":"3576631475134774","authorId":"3576631475134774","name":"Yoda0603","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576631475134774","authorIdStr":"3576631475134774"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good !!","listText":"Good !!","text":"Good !!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/117652266","repostId":"1125998409","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1125998409","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623139872,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1125998409?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-08 16:11","market":"us","language":"en","title":"AMC Shares Jump as New Meme-Stock Favorite Returns to Form","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1125998409","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"(Bloomberg) -- AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc. rose for the first day in three amid a broader advanc","content":"<p>(Bloomberg) -- AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc. rose for the first day in three amid a broader advance in meme stocks and as regulators warned they are monitoring the frenzied trading in the group of shares for any signs of market manipulation.</p>\n<p>The stock closed 15% higher at $55 on Monday. Its shares more than doubled on the first two days of a holiday-shortened last week, but gave back some of those gains after insiders cashed in with a flurry of share sales.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2864f78266c34529f17b6271b831b60\" tg-width=\"321\" tg-height=\"244\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ef3bd429d5deb5d43641b3aef72da23\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"675\"></p>\n<p>In a statement Monday, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission said it’s monitoring markets for manipulation and other forms of misconduct amid the frenzied surge in so-called meme stocks. “We will act to protect retail investors if violations of federal securities laws are found,” the agency said.</p>\n<p>On the brink of bankruptcy only a few months ago, AMC is now the darling of retail traders, with this year’s near-2,500% gain ranking as the most of any stock in the Russell 3000 Index. That’s despite calls from across Wall Street that the shares aren’t worth anywhere near where they currently trade. “The stock continues to not reflect fundamentals,” said Macquarie analyst Chad Beynon. “Retail traders are focusing on price and not what that translates to in terms of valuations,” he added.</p>\n<p>Still, the surge has enabled the company to sell equity and shore up its shaky balance sheet. AMC is building a “strategic war chest,” B Riley analyst Eric Wold wrote in a note.“In addition to our continued expectation that AMC could improve its balance sheet and future cash flows through debt repurchases/pay-downs, we could now see either acquisitions of smaller exhibitor chains or the takeover of leases from troubled chains,” he said.</p>\n<p>Company insiders have also started to take advantage of AMC’s swift run up in share price. At least six people affiliated with the firm sold more than $8 million of stock last week, according to regulatory filings with the SEC. Carla Chavarria, the company’s head of human resources, unloaded $2.5 million worth of shares, while Gary Locke, who is up for re-election to the board, sold more than 34,000 shares for $1.7 million.</p>\n<p>A forthcoming reshuffle of the Russell Indexes could pose a problem for the likes of AMC and GameStop Corp., which started the meme stock craze back in January. Their enlarged market caps of $24.6 billion and $18.4 billion on Friday, respectively, put them in line for a move from the Russell 2000 small-cap stock index to the Russell 1000 index of the biggest American companies.</p>\n<p>“The graduation of these high-fliers could be the beginning of the end of their epic run,” Wells Fargo analysts led by Christopher Harvey wrote in a note Friday.</p>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AMC Shares Jump as New Meme-Stock Favorite Returns to Form</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAMC Shares Jump as New Meme-Stock Favorite Returns to Form\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-08 16:11 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/amc-gains-premarket-meme-stock-094532796.html><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>(Bloomberg) -- AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc. rose for the first day in three amid a broader advance in meme stocks and as regulators warned they are monitoring the frenzied trading in the group of ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/amc-gains-premarket-meme-stock-094532796.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/amc-gains-premarket-meme-stock-094532796.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1125998409","content_text":"(Bloomberg) -- AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc. rose for the first day in three amid a broader advance in meme stocks and as regulators warned they are monitoring the frenzied trading in the group of shares for any signs of market manipulation.\nThe stock closed 15% higher at $55 on Monday. Its shares more than doubled on the first two days of a holiday-shortened last week, but gave back some of those gains after insiders cashed in with a flurry of share sales.\n\nIn a statement Monday, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission said it’s monitoring markets for manipulation and other forms of misconduct amid the frenzied surge in so-called meme stocks. “We will act to protect retail investors if violations of federal securities laws are found,” the agency said.\nOn the brink of bankruptcy only a few months ago, AMC is now the darling of retail traders, with this year’s near-2,500% gain ranking as the most of any stock in the Russell 3000 Index. That’s despite calls from across Wall Street that the shares aren’t worth anywhere near where they currently trade. “The stock continues to not reflect fundamentals,” said Macquarie analyst Chad Beynon. “Retail traders are focusing on price and not what that translates to in terms of valuations,” he added.\nStill, the surge has enabled the company to sell equity and shore up its shaky balance sheet. AMC is building a “strategic war chest,” B Riley analyst Eric Wold wrote in a note.“In addition to our continued expectation that AMC could improve its balance sheet and future cash flows through debt repurchases/pay-downs, we could now see either acquisitions of smaller exhibitor chains or the takeover of leases from troubled chains,” he said.\nCompany insiders have also started to take advantage of AMC’s swift run up in share price. At least six people affiliated with the firm sold more than $8 million of stock last week, according to regulatory filings with the SEC. Carla Chavarria, the company’s head of human resources, unloaded $2.5 million worth of shares, while Gary Locke, who is up for re-election to the board, sold more than 34,000 shares for $1.7 million.\nA forthcoming reshuffle of the Russell Indexes could pose a problem for the likes of AMC and GameStop Corp., which started the meme stock craze back in January. Their enlarged market caps of $24.6 billion and $18.4 billion on Friday, respectively, put them in line for a move from the Russell 2000 small-cap stock index to the Russell 1000 index of the biggest American companies.\n“The graduation of these high-fliers could be the beginning of the end of their epic run,” Wells Fargo analysts led by Christopher Harvey wrote in a note Friday.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":344,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":114958969,"gmtCreate":1623044612451,"gmtModify":1704194936072,"author":{"id":"3576631475134774","authorId":"3576631475134774","name":"Yoda0603","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576631475134774","authorIdStr":"3576631475134774"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/114958969","repostId":"1170185754","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1170185754","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623037748,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1170185754?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-07 11:49","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toshiba to buy back 6% of shares, pay special dividend","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1170185754","media":"Reuters","summary":"TOKYO (Reuters) - Toshiba Corp said on Monday it will buy back up to 6% of its outstanding shares wo","content":"<p>TOKYO (Reuters) - Toshiba Corp said on Monday it will buy back up to 6% of its outstanding shares worth around 100 billion yen ($913 million), in line with its plans to boost shareholder returns.</p><p>The Japanese industrial conglomerate will also allocate about 50 billion yen to pay a special dividend as \"some shareholders, mainly retail shareholders, prefer dividends\", it said in a statement.</p><p>Toshiba, which has been under pressure from activist shareholders, last month promised to return to shareholders a surplus of 150 billion yen against the appropriate shareholder equity level.</p>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toshiba to buy back 6% of shares, pay special dividend</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToshiba to buy back 6% of shares, pay special dividend\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-07 11:49 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/toshiba-buy-back-6-shares-033708746.html><strong>Reuters</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>TOKYO (Reuters) - Toshiba Corp said on Monday it will buy back up to 6% of its outstanding shares worth around 100 billion yen ($913 million), in line with its plans to boost shareholder returns.The ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/toshiba-buy-back-6-shares-033708746.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TOSYY":"东芝"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/toshiba-buy-back-6-shares-033708746.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1170185754","content_text":"TOKYO (Reuters) - Toshiba Corp said on Monday it will buy back up to 6% of its outstanding shares worth around 100 billion yen ($913 million), in line with its plans to boost shareholder returns.The Japanese industrial conglomerate will also allocate about 50 billion yen to pay a special dividend as \"some shareholders, mainly retail shareholders, prefer dividends\", it said in a statement.Toshiba, which has been under pressure from activist shareholders, last month promised to return to shareholders a surplus of 150 billion yen against the appropriate shareholder equity level.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":318,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":115834842,"gmtCreate":1622968993786,"gmtModify":1704193935653,"author":{"id":"3576631475134774","authorId":"3576631475134774","name":"Yoda0603","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576631475134774","authorIdStr":"3576631475134774"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/115834842","repostId":"1102972710","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1102972710","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622948427,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1102972710?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-06 11:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Micron: A Strong Chip Shortage Play","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1102972710","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nMicron's four business units have sizable TAMs.\nBoth the DRAM and NAND industries have favo","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Micron's four business units have sizable TAMs.</li>\n <li>Both the DRAM and NAND industries have favourable outlooks.</li>\n <li>Industry tailwinds point to pricing power and expanding margins.</li>\n <li>The strong financials of the company will serve them well in the current high-volatility environment.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b87dd8114b0aa47fdcdd26e5dc40d5ee\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"896\"><span>Photo by vchal/iStock via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p>Micron Technology(NASDAQ:MU)&nbsp;is a severely undervalued semiconductor play with significant upside based upon conservative estimates, strong fundamentals, and favorable industry tailwinds. The current semiconductor shortage worldwide has put pressure upon semiconductor companies as they rush to ramp up production after an intentional slowdown and supply disruption amidst the pandemic. Forecasts and estimates regarding how fast demand was to bounce back came in entirely too conservative, and as a result the unprecedented surge in demand with a lagging supply has buyers of semiconductor chips such as&nbsp;auto manufacturers forced to slash production.</p>\n<p>Semiconductors of all kinds are the fundamental basic unit and brains of products ranging from audio devices, security cameras, automobiles, to even smart fridges. When it comes to a global shortage in a time as such, companies that are 'fabless' lose out and those that have their own manufacturing facilities and plants gain the upper hand as flexibility and production output remains in their ballpark. Today we examine how Micron is one of them, and despite its remarkable run up 54% since the start of 2020, there is considerable upside remaining given the size of the different total addressable markets(NYSE:TAM)that Micron is targeting.</p>\n<p><b>Business Model</b></p>\n<p>Micron is one of the top 3 memory chip makers in the world with a product portfolio featuring DRAM, NAND, NOR, and even&nbsp;3D XPoint SSDs that they have since ceased production.Management guided that the decision comes amidst the findings that:</p>\n<blockquote>\n There was insufficient market validation to justify the ongoing investments required to commercialize 3D XPoint at scale.\n</blockquote>\n<p>As promising as the 3D XPoint developments that Micron had that first started as a joint partnership with Intel in 2015 before parting ways in 2018 was, the impact moving forward will be minimal given that revenue from selling DRAM and NAND chips still accounts for the majority of Micron's Revenue, and 3D XPoint SSDs had yet to scale up.</p>\n<p><b>DRAM and NAND</b></p>\n<p>DRAM (Dynamic Random-Access Memory) devices are essentially a type of low latency memory product commonly used in PCs, servers, smartphones, and automobiles.</p>\n<p>It is 'volatile' as content will be lost if the power supply is turned off. As such, DRAM devices store information that needs to be quickly accessed by the CPU / GPU. CPUs provide the raw computational power needed to run software programs and RAMs store the data and software code needed by the CPU to run in real-time.</p>\n<p>The DRAM market operates as an oligopolistic one, with the 3 biggest competitors, Samsung (OTC:SSNLF), SK Hynix (OTC:HXSCL), and Micron dominating 94.1% of the market share. Samsung leads with 42% as of the latest fiscal quarter, SK Hynix second with 29% and Micron close behind with&nbsp;23.1% of the market share.Amongst the 3, Micron is the only one operating in the U.S with Samsung &amp; SK Hynix based in South Korea. This geographical advantage has come to serve Micron well in the automobile memory market as I will proceed to prove later, although it can be argued that this very same factor has placed the 2 Korean companies in a better position to service the&nbsp;largest consumer of DRAMs&nbsp;by region - China. In 2019, China accounted for 55.42% of global DRAM consumption by region.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17c2b471dd41b837a1ad129c180fa0b9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"368\"><span>Source: Statista Global DRAM Market Share</span></p>\n<p>As of the latest fiscal quarter 21, DRAM sales represented&nbsp;71.26%&nbsp;of the company's total revenue. Although there may be the risk of concentration with a substantial portion of sales coming from 1 of the 3 main product offerings, DRAM chips have always represented the majority of the firm's sales. With favorable industry tailwinds, positive outlook regarding overall DRAM market dynamics, pricing power, and very likely higher margins as a result, this concentration of sales will likely also prove to be more of a boon than a bane for Micron in the current economic environment that we are in today.</p>\n<p>Historically, Micron has also retained a firm hold of their share in the DRAM market and has made an effort to gradually increase it overtime since CY 2016. The inherently high BTE and economies of scale in an oligopolistic market coupled with necessary high CAPEX spending serves to grant the dominant 3 a firm hold in the DRAM market for years to come. The chart below shows Micron holding a steady 20 - 23% market share since CY 15, testament to their persistent presence as a top 3 market player.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/371a886343d14f2ba3407afa02804db5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"526\"><span>Source: Author's Compilations</span></p>\n<p>TAM: As DRAM products represent a majority of Micron's sales, it is imperative that the market they are operating in has a bright future and is on track to grow.According to MarketWatch,the global DRAM market revenue was valued at $62.1 BN in 2020 and is expected to grow to $91.1 BN by the end of 2026, representing a CAGR of 8%. With a sizable TAM in their leading product offering, the company should reap in the rewards of a growing market in terms of future revenue. As DRAM products also bring in higher margins at the end of the day based on CNBU and MBU (explained below) Operating Margins, this acts as a further catalyst for Micron.</p>\n<p>Micron also offers NAND products and though it represents a smaller chunk of Total Revenue relative to DRAMs, it still accounted for a meaningful&nbsp;26.46%&nbsp;as of Q2 FY 21. NAND chips are used for the storage of information. Slower than DRAMs for accessing memory quickly, they are 'non-volatile' as the content can still be accessed should the power supply be cut off. These are commonly found in hard drives, smartphones and data centers.</p>\n<p>Likewise, the dominant 3 in the DRAM market also represent a significant portion of the NAND market albeit having more competitors. In the NAND flash market, Micron ranks 5th worldwide, behind the same industry leader - Samsung. As of Q1 21, Samsung dominated with 33.5% market share, Kioxia 18.7%, Western Digital (WDC) 14.4%, SK Hynix 12.3%, and Micron with 11.1%. However, in a market very similar to that of DRAM, acquisitions by the big power players can be expected to further solidify their presence and chew out competitors. As it is, SK Hynix has&nbsp;announced plans to acquire&nbsp;Intel's NAND Storage Unit (INTC), which represented a 7.5% market share in the NAND market beginning this year. Moving forward, this move is likely to bump the Korean company up to 2nd place with about 20% of the market, overtaking Kioxia. It is important to note however that this acquisition does not include Intel's Optane 3D XPoint portfolio that Intel will be retaining.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b8da20e0246607003c65afa09ff3998\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"403\"><span>Source: Statista Global NAND Flash Market Share</span></p>\n<p>Despite having more competition and less pricing power in this market, there too have been rumors that Micron is looking to make a move on Kioxia in a&nbsp;similar bid for $30 BN&nbsp;to enhance the competitiveness in its storage solutions in a rapidly growing NAND flash space. Western Digital also stands as a potential opposing bidder with both firms having merits as to why they should be the ideal one to acquire Kioxia. As of now, leverage seems to be in the hands of Micron as a firm with much more operating cashflow and a better balance sheet.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e220cb5c3b6dea5d0f84bde25765bfa\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"384\"><span>Source: Author's Compilations</span></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cc8e8ee498e5b2469b09b1605b2ef98a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"384\"><span>Source: Author's Compilations</span></p>\n<p>The $30 BN that Kioxia has been rumored to be valued at represents more than the entire Market Cap &amp; EV of Western Digital. Besides, the firm already has more Total Debt relative to Micron, lower Operating Cashflows, and has a lower LTM Current Ratio of 2.01 compared to the 3.18 that Micron has that speaks directly to MU's near term liquidity strength. Surface level financial analysis goes to show that this would be a deal likely to go to Micron despite WDC having a joint venture with Kioxia. Furthermore, Micron has a rather&nbsp;long history of acquisitions&nbsp;having acquired Numonyx, a NOR manufacturer in 2010, Elpida Memory &amp; Rexchip Electronics in 2013, Tidal Systems, Convey Computer, and Pico Computing in 2015, Inotera Memories in 2016… the list goes on. As you can see, Micron is quite the decorated acquiring firm.</p>\n<p>If successful, Micron's NAND dominance has the potential to leap from its 5th placing, 11.1% of the market share to 29.8%, placing them as the 2nd biggest player, just 370 Bps below that of Samsung, and this is after accounting for SK Hynix's recent acquisition of Intel's NAND operations.</p>\n<p><b>More Conviction</b></p>\n<p>For more conviction in our thesis, we can look to the performance and different TAMs in Micron's business units breakdown.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8953a521354fd97f74d0f8694e0a0ee6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"204\"><span>Source: Micron's Q2 Investor Presentation</span></p>\n<p>As of FQ-2 21, CNBUs (Compute &amp; Networking Business Unit) as always represented the largest portion of the firm's sales, taking up 42% of TR. This unit consists of memory products like DRAM &amp; NAND sold to client, cloud servers, graphics, enterprise and networking markets as defined by the&nbsp;10-Q.The 34% YOY improvement is promising but the really exciting growth came from MBUs and remains to be seen in EBUs.</p>\n<p>MBUs (Mobile Business Unit) represent the 2nd biggest revenue segment for Micron, accounting for 29% of TR, up an impressive 44% YOY. MBUs are memory and storage products for mobile devices, most notably smartphones. According to&nbsp;Mordor Intelligence,the global smartphone market will be valued at more than a trillion dollars by 2026, up from the $715 BN in 2020, a CAGR of 11.6%. Although therein lies the risk that the smartphone replacement cycle has been lengthening, the gradual shift to 5G overtime will force smartphone users to have to upgrade to a 5G capable one that can operate on the same frequency. Doing so will mean more DRAM and NAND content per unit that Micron will stand to benefit from.</p>\n<p>However, what's being left out by many is Micron's dominant position in the memory market for automobiles and the sizable TAM in this space moving forward. EBUs (Embedded Business Unit) represent the 2nd smallest revenue segment (15% of TR) of the 4 that Micron has. This essentially refers to embedded memory and storage chips sold to automotive, industrial, and consumer markets. Despite not being the main cash cow for Micron, EBUs still saw remarkable growth of 34% YOY in FQ-2. Micron may have been 3rd in the overall DRAM space and 5th in the overall NAND space, but they are the only memory chip provider with a substantial close to&nbsp;50% market share&nbsp;in the space, according to Trendforce, a world leading market intelligence provider.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e31402367246f258d67658ada2e3a41e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"229\"><span>Source: Micron's Automotive Division</span></p>\n<p>This is where the geographical advantage for Micron comes into play. Micron effectively leverages their collaborative relationships with Tier-1 automobile suppliers based in Europe and the U.S to service them their comprehensive product portfolio of automotive memory solutions ranging from&nbsp;DDR2 - DDR 4 solutions to LPDDR 2 -5 solutions.The pure growth in this space can be seen from the fact that the average DRAM content of cars will continue to grow at a CAGR of more than&nbsp;30% from 2021 - 2024.That is by far the biggest growth sector in any of Micron's Business Units moving forward and Micron's 30 years of leadership in the automobile memory space with no dominant position from Samsung or SK Hynix will come to serve them well in an era where we transition to EVs &amp; AVs.</p>\n<p>As it is, Tesla has already shown that new electric vehicles will be needing a lot more DRAM content and this trend will continue to play out as the world demands more cars with more technological capabilities. In its earlier Model S &amp; X, Tesla reached at least 8GB of DRAM content within the vehicles. The newer Model 3, however, is further equipped with 14GB of DRAM content and the&nbsp;next generation of Tesla Models will have even more at 20GB.</p>\n<p>The growing automobile memory space where Micron has maintained its underdog&nbsp;30-year leadership&nbsp;will come to serve them well in the future as we transition to more sustainable and green versions of automobiles that demand more memory as well. Just remember that the more software a device has, the more memory is needed. Hence, we should be able to see positive growth in the EBU segment moving forward. However, one thing to note is that the EBU segment consists of sales to other industries that may be lagging and as a whole, the Operating Margins(NASDAQ:OM)from this segment of 15% stands pale in comparison to the OM in the CNBU segment of 26.9% and 25.6% in MBUs.</p>\n<p><b>Industry Tailwinds</b></p>\n<p>Moving on to the industry outlook, Micron operates in a somewhat commoditized sector which experiences the extreme booms and busts of the demand cycle for PCs and Servers. Despite being a rather cyclical stock where the stock price is commanded largely by the DD and SS of computer chips and production capacity in general, it appears as if we are at the lows of the cycle and Micron remains to be one of the better plays for the ongoing global chip shortage as we begin the next leg up.</p>\n<p>For a brief explanation on how the memory chip market moves overtime, let me take a stab at it. In essence, the overall supply of memory chips - most of which is produced by the dominant 3 - relative to demand, dictates the prices of chips, and therefore affects the financials of companies.</p>\n<p>When the memory market is in a 'bull' cycle as it was in 2010, 2014, 2018, and forecasted DD is set to outpace production capacities by firms, it results in a near-term shortage where the dominant market players (MU included) have the power to raise prices and maximize revenues. As COGS remain relatively constant regardless of the commodity cycle, this eventually translates to higher Gross Margins(NYSE:GM)for firms, a higher EBITDA which coincides nicely with stock price outperformance, and likely a higher bottom line. Although market players tend to agree on CAPEX spending and limit production capacities as a hedge from overproduction, firms blinded by the profits and higher margins tend to chase 'gains' and make the most of the cycle by capturing as much market share as possible.</p>\n<p>When firms do that and start to ramp up capacity with no regard for agreed limitations on production capacity and CAPEX spend, overproduction usually ensues that overwhelms the already inflated DD that is now dwindling, resulting in a surplus which brings just about the opposite consequence. Firms then lose pricing power and experience compressing margins in the years to follow, before the slowdown in capacity because of this very surplus eventually dips below future forecasted DD, thereby kickstarting the next leg up because of a shortage.</p>\n<p>Looking to history, when Micron has enjoyed higher EBITDA during those bull commodity cycles when there is a shortage in the industry, the stock price tends to outperform as well, in line with the higher pricing power and margins the firm experiences.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18c32366202010d3411e7888fcae587f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"393\"><span>Source: Author's Compilations</span></p>\n<p>2018 represented the peak in the previous memory market commodity cycle where the dominant industry players overbuilt capacity chasing margins, and as a result experienced the surplus and its consequences since. Because EBITDA has been falling since 2018 and GM, OM, and NPM have all cumulatively been decreasing YOY, so has the stock price. However, we are now facing another shortage in the DRAM market as production has slowed since the resulting slowdown in 2018. This coupled with an unprecedented surge in demand for chips, fueled by the emerging hyper-growth industries brought forward by the pandemic sets the stage for Micron's potential rally up. With a transition to 5G, Electric and Autonomous Vehicles, Artificial Intelligence, IOTs, Cloud Computing, Cobotic Manufacturing and Healthcare Telemedicine, the convergence of these advanced technologies mean more demand for advanced memory solutions, and Micron stands to win from it all.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/060cf4c42cb775ea2a1d35cbd3b796e1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"261\"><span>Source: Micron FQ-2 Investor Presentation</span></p>\n<p>The industry outlook only serves to confirm the shifting tides in the memory market, with the DRAM market facing a severe shortage and optimistic long-term demand growth at a CAGR around 15-19%. A shortage may not seem like good news, but for a dominant market player like Micron that can raise prices and aren't reliant on outsourced production, it is. For further confirmation we can look to the upwardly revised estimates regarding the rise in DRAM prices in Q1 and Q2 of 2021 by&nbsp;Trendforce:</p>\n<blockquote>\n Trendforce predicts that DRAM prices will rise 13-18% in the second quarter of 2021 &amp; they already rose 3-8% in the first quarter of 2021.\n</blockquote>\n<p>Call it inflation, call it whatever you want, but what I do know is that the higher prices in the DRAM market that has since manifested itself and has been forecasted to rise even higher will translate to higher profits for Micron. Market players are likely to make the most of this shortage as demand will not taper off given the fundamental need for memory chips against the backdrop of an era where advanced technologies are so rampant. Analysts too are forecasting improved revenues and earnings seen from the number of upward revisions and none downward in the last 3 months.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff33c479a31ba4e4ee56a91be2d78318\" tg-width=\"456\" tg-height=\"111\"><span>Source: Seeking Alpha</span></p>\n<p>In the NAND market, although production output has been forecasted to be oversupplied due to increasing shipments, CY 21 demand is still expected to be around 30 - 35% and CAPEX cuts are likely to be implemented.</p>\n<p><b>Financials</b></p>\n<p>Q1 Revenue delivered 12% growth YOY, GM a 359 Bps improvement to 30.90% and NPM a 488 Bps growth YOY to a healthy 15.54%. Q2 delivered even better numbers, with Revenues coming in at $6.2 BN despite management guidance of $5.8 BN. GM further improved to 32.93% and NPM increased 731 Bps YOY to end the quarter with NPM at 18.09%. All of the above are NON-GAAP numbers.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/07766c05dc0d46a9660c290084da2442\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"209\"><span>Source: Micron FQ-2 Investor Presentation</span></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d9d3f14c1b13fc41c6c44c29f8a947fb\" tg-width=\"451\" tg-height=\"145\"><span>Source: Seeking Alpha</span></p>\n<p>Management also has a history of beating estimates with 8 beats in the last 2 years, effectively delivering a 100% probability that it will beat its own guidance moving forward, although not a guarantee as with anything else in business and life. Yet, forward guidance for FQ-3 is expecting a 30% improvement in Revenues YOY and GM to further rise to 41.5%, compared to the 33.17% they did last year and 32.93% just last quarter. As for DEPS estimates, the $1.62 estimate given by management implies a remarkable 98% YOY increase. Analyst consensus estimates come in even higher than that for the upcoming FQ-3 earnings to be reported on&nbsp;6/30/21 (estimated), with analysts expecting EPS to be $1.68, indicative of a 105% change to the upside.</p>\n<p>As mentioned above, in a memory chip 'bull' cycle, pricing power comes into play and the higher prices usually tend to translate into stock outperformance driven by improvements in EBTIDA. Last I checked 1 -2 months ago, EBITDA EST for FY 21 stood around $9 BN and FY 22 EST was $16 BN. As of 26 May 21, those numbers have increased substantially to $12,772 for FY 21 and $20,228 for FY 22. Today, EST have improved yet again in the last 5 days to $12,801 for FY 21 and $20,551 for FY 22. For context, these new EST represent a 48% and 61% YOY improvement.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe3bd33eeed49eebb87776a32f152e41\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"137\"><span>Source: Tikr</span></p>\n<p>Next, we'll examine cashflow. This is paramount in a high volatility time period like today, plagued with inflation concerns, widening federal deficits, and an ever-increasing Fed balance sheet. When inflation is rampant or at least fears of it are, high growth stocks and tech stocks tend to get crushed as the market rushes to reset the absurd valuation multiples justified last year with QE and money printing running at full steam. Since the US10Y (Interest rates) affects the DCF models, valuations for certain companies will be revised downwards with less upside, with the exception of high cashflow companies. Thus, cashflow generating firms are all the more important and likely to be favored moving forward, and yet again Micron is one of them.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/14d722c6a10e22e26e12a82be0a69481\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"125\"><span>Source: Tikr</span></p>\n<p>Although Cashflow from Operations have been steadily decreasing since 2018 where it reached a high of $17,400, I mentioned above that 2018 represented the peak of the bull cycle then where firms were chasing higher margins. 2019 - 2020 then represented the slowdown phase brought about by the surplus and after hitting a 3-year low of $8,306 in Cashflow from Operations in FY 20 that ended last August, Micron is likely ready to see substantial improvements moving forward, and EST do paint a similar picture.</p>\n<p>Analysts are expecting Cashflow from Operations to improve 49% YOY in FY 21 and a further 45% in FY 22. If that were to happen, that would bring cashflow close to $18 BN, which would be a record level cashflow generated from Operations for the firm. This also trickles down to FCF EST which represents the capital left for distribution after expenses related to operations have been taken care of and non-cash expenses have been reconciled.</p>\n<p>FCF EST come in at an outstanding $3,344 for FY 21 and is further expected to skyrocket to $8,148 in FY 21, from a meagre $83M last year. This pace of growth points to a close to 4000% YOY increase in FY 21 and a further 144% increase compounded on FY 21 numbers next year.</p>\n<p>Currently, Micron trades at an EV of around $93 BN. That represents a FCF Yield of 3.60% based on this year's EST, and an impressive 11.4% based on next year's numbers. With that, it is clear that Micron's future earnings and cashflow will serve them well in a macro environment riddled with inflation fears. This massive boost to FCF may just give them the capital they need to seal the deal with Kioxia.</p>\n<p><b>Risks</b></p>\n<p>No matter how sound an investment may be, every one of them carries risk, and so does choosing to invest in Micron. I know the article has been long thus far so I will try to keep it short to avoid boring my 1st time readers.</p>\n<p>With the high BTE's that are inherently present in the DRAM and NAND markets brought about by the large economies of scale and sheer market share the dominant 3 possess, it is hard for competitors to enter the market. Nonetheless, there have been a few attempts by Chinese companies to penetrate the market and steal market share.</p>\n<p>Government subsidies as part of the \"Made in China 2025\" plan has helped propel Chinese firms to pose a threat in the DRAM and NAND markets. Fujian Jinhua (JHICC) is one of them. As a Chinese state-owned DRAM manufacturer based in China, the firm is competing with Micron in the DRAM market as part of China's desire to gain self-sufficiency in the semiconductor industry. This is understandable given that they are the largest consumers of DRAM in the Asian-Pacific market. However, Fujian is currently facing&nbsp;prosecution&nbsp;for allegedly stealing Micron's trade secrets and proprietary information. With such bad press and a bad reputation just 4 years after being founded, it is unlikely this firm will make it far enough to compete with the likes of Micron.</p>\n<p>Changing industry tailwinds may also prove to be a headwind in the case that demand growth for DRAM and NAND devices slowdown. Increased CAPEX spending by Samsung and SK Hynix or the addition of new capacity could also severely impact Micron's competitive position in the market and an all-out race to buildout and ramp up capacity to capture more sales may eventually culminate in the loss of pricing power and compressed margins once again. However, given the number of upcoming industries where more advanced technologies demand more memory to store data, this probability is small in the near term at the very least.</p>\n<p>Other potential risks may include further unexpected impacts to Micron's power plants such as&nbsp;outages and floods&nbsp;similar to what happened in Taiwan last year.</p>\n<p><b>Valuation</b></p>\n<p>Finally, I will cover the valuations behind my upside optimism with Micron. The memory market has historically tended to trade based on the EV / EBITDA multiple. Because of this, I will use this as my prime valuation method but also use Forward PE's as secondary confirmation. The chart below represents the EV / EBITDA ratios that the dominant 3 have traded at since 2016.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00bc87a283f9420f33b1c7c52ad2f344\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"384\"><span>A005930 refers to Samsung and A000660 refers to SK Hynix</span></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bb98c272aeec7c9aefdab00d22955f64\" tg-width=\"611\" tg-height=\"367\"><span>Source: Author's Compilations</span></p>\n<p>We can see that Micron has been trading at a Mean EV / EBITDA multiple of 5.49 since 2016 and is trading at 9.64 levels as of last. For a conservative estimate, I will assume a ratio of 8, which is above the industry average of 7.49 in the current environment we are in today but below levels Micron is currently trading at. For context, the firm has always traded above its peers during the bull commodity cycle in 2010, 2014, and 2018 as seen in the chart below. It is important to note that since markets are future discounting mechanisms, they price in future margin expansions and pricing power. As a result, the dominant 3 usually trade at the higher multiples 1 year before the peak of the cycle.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c4effc3d3acfdad8726c391bb0872880\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"229\"></p>\n<p>Keeping in mind that Micron has traded at multiples of 29 in 2009, 12 in 2014 and 10 in the previous cycle, 8 would be a fair multiple to assume. EBITDA EST for FY 22 next year stand at $20,551.32 as seen in the picture displayed earlier on. That would imply an EV of $164,410.56 in 22, an upside of 77% based on today's EV of $93 BN. If so, that should carry the stock forward to levels of $148 USD by next year.</p>\n<p>If I were to assume a slightly aggressive and bullish multiple of 9 which is still below the peak of the prior cycle keeping in mind the law of diminishing returns, that would imply an upside of 99%, placing a price target of $167 USD for Micron.</p>\n<p>Since I'm a long-term investor and a conservative one, I'll stick with the $148 PT while my readers can keep the $167 potential price target in mind. I'm kidding, let's use the $148 PT which still offers a remarkable return relative to the S&amp;P 500.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e6626b3363e839c178999a3d2b48940\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"46\"><span>Source: Tikr</span></p>\n<p>The current estimates for Micron's future EPS are 5.56 for FY 21 and 10.93 for FY 22. Since we looked at FY 22 for the above valuation method, we shall maintain the same timeframe. Looking to the&nbsp;semiconductor industry, companies are trading at an average TTM P/E of 33.11 based on data from Q1.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ea91b1b8e3f714b2441d27be59a6c538\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"64\"><span>Source: CSI Market</span></p>\n<p>Micron is currently trading at a forward P/E FY 21 of 15.15 and a 7.7 based on FY 22 numbers. Assuming a fair multiple of 12, which is still below the high estimates of 15, that would give us a forward PT of $131.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c6db0e4e02a94b2ed6ad9df84767cc9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"110\"><span>Source: Seeking Alpha</span></p>\n<p><b>Final Takeaways</b></p>\n<p>Based on conservative estimates, the 2 valuation methods displayed above give us a PT for Micron of $131 based on the Forward P/E method and $148 if we were to use EV / EBITDA multiples. This represents a 56-77% upside potential.</p>\n<p>In this article we covered business model, market share, industry tailwinds with a heavy focus on TAMs, liquidity strength through current ratios, cashflow, risks, and of course valuations, all of which points to high probability of a bullish future for Micron Technology.</p>\n<p>I have noticed that there has been some&nbsp;concerns&nbsp;regarding price action lately and how the stock seems to be having trouble finding its footing given the pretty obvious bullish thesis, and they are valid in my opinion. For bearish near-term fundamentals, the above linked article would be a nice short read.</p>\n<p>I personally am a long-term investor and don't place much focus on the technicals and this helps keep me grounded. There may be a very good chance that Micron will continue to trend downwards before finding support and consolidate for its next leg up. As mentioned above, the stock seems to outperform 1 year before the peak of the memory cycle whenever that may be. Hence, the memory market is to be watched closely and investors must understand how changes in the dynamics of the market regarding production &amp; CAPEX levels can shift the tide quickly.</p>\n<p>As a result, I don't see Micron to be a buy and hold forever as share price performance falls very much in line with its own commodity cycle, EBITDA, and Margin performance, which will eventually come to an end when surplus hits the deck. Yet, for the next 1-2 years, Micron remains to be one of the best plays on the current global chip shortage. If Micron continues to trend downwards in the near term, so be it, but fundamentals always catch up and based on future estimates, there's likely only one way for the share price moving forward and that isn't down.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Micron: A Strong Chip Shortage Play</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMicron: A Strong Chip Shortage Play\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-06 11:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4433177-micron-a-strong-chip-shortage-play><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nMicron's four business units have sizable TAMs.\nBoth the DRAM and NAND industries have favourable outlooks.\nIndustry tailwinds point to pricing power and expanding margins.\nThe strong ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4433177-micron-a-strong-chip-shortage-play\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MU":"美光科技"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4433177-micron-a-strong-chip-shortage-play","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1102972710","content_text":"Summary\n\nMicron's four business units have sizable TAMs.\nBoth the DRAM and NAND industries have favourable outlooks.\nIndustry tailwinds point to pricing power and expanding margins.\nThe strong financials of the company will serve them well in the current high-volatility environment.\n\nPhoto by vchal/iStock via Getty Images\nMicron Technology(NASDAQ:MU) is a severely undervalued semiconductor play with significant upside based upon conservative estimates, strong fundamentals, and favorable industry tailwinds. The current semiconductor shortage worldwide has put pressure upon semiconductor companies as they rush to ramp up production after an intentional slowdown and supply disruption amidst the pandemic. Forecasts and estimates regarding how fast demand was to bounce back came in entirely too conservative, and as a result the unprecedented surge in demand with a lagging supply has buyers of semiconductor chips such as auto manufacturers forced to slash production.\nSemiconductors of all kinds are the fundamental basic unit and brains of products ranging from audio devices, security cameras, automobiles, to even smart fridges. When it comes to a global shortage in a time as such, companies that are 'fabless' lose out and those that have their own manufacturing facilities and plants gain the upper hand as flexibility and production output remains in their ballpark. Today we examine how Micron is one of them, and despite its remarkable run up 54% since the start of 2020, there is considerable upside remaining given the size of the different total addressable markets(NYSE:TAM)that Micron is targeting.\nBusiness Model\nMicron is one of the top 3 memory chip makers in the world with a product portfolio featuring DRAM, NAND, NOR, and even 3D XPoint SSDs that they have since ceased production.Management guided that the decision comes amidst the findings that:\n\n There was insufficient market validation to justify the ongoing investments required to commercialize 3D XPoint at scale.\n\nAs promising as the 3D XPoint developments that Micron had that first started as a joint partnership with Intel in 2015 before parting ways in 2018 was, the impact moving forward will be minimal given that revenue from selling DRAM and NAND chips still accounts for the majority of Micron's Revenue, and 3D XPoint SSDs had yet to scale up.\nDRAM and NAND\nDRAM (Dynamic Random-Access Memory) devices are essentially a type of low latency memory product commonly used in PCs, servers, smartphones, and automobiles.\nIt is 'volatile' as content will be lost if the power supply is turned off. As such, DRAM devices store information that needs to be quickly accessed by the CPU / GPU. CPUs provide the raw computational power needed to run software programs and RAMs store the data and software code needed by the CPU to run in real-time.\nThe DRAM market operates as an oligopolistic one, with the 3 biggest competitors, Samsung (OTC:SSNLF), SK Hynix (OTC:HXSCL), and Micron dominating 94.1% of the market share. Samsung leads with 42% as of the latest fiscal quarter, SK Hynix second with 29% and Micron close behind with 23.1% of the market share.Amongst the 3, Micron is the only one operating in the U.S with Samsung & SK Hynix based in South Korea. This geographical advantage has come to serve Micron well in the automobile memory market as I will proceed to prove later, although it can be argued that this very same factor has placed the 2 Korean companies in a better position to service the largest consumer of DRAMs by region - China. In 2019, China accounted for 55.42% of global DRAM consumption by region.\nSource: Statista Global DRAM Market Share\nAs of the latest fiscal quarter 21, DRAM sales represented 71.26% of the company's total revenue. Although there may be the risk of concentration with a substantial portion of sales coming from 1 of the 3 main product offerings, DRAM chips have always represented the majority of the firm's sales. With favorable industry tailwinds, positive outlook regarding overall DRAM market dynamics, pricing power, and very likely higher margins as a result, this concentration of sales will likely also prove to be more of a boon than a bane for Micron in the current economic environment that we are in today.\nHistorically, Micron has also retained a firm hold of their share in the DRAM market and has made an effort to gradually increase it overtime since CY 2016. The inherently high BTE and economies of scale in an oligopolistic market coupled with necessary high CAPEX spending serves to grant the dominant 3 a firm hold in the DRAM market for years to come. The chart below shows Micron holding a steady 20 - 23% market share since CY 15, testament to their persistent presence as a top 3 market player.\nSource: Author's Compilations\nTAM: As DRAM products represent a majority of Micron's sales, it is imperative that the market they are operating in has a bright future and is on track to grow.According to MarketWatch,the global DRAM market revenue was valued at $62.1 BN in 2020 and is expected to grow to $91.1 BN by the end of 2026, representing a CAGR of 8%. With a sizable TAM in their leading product offering, the company should reap in the rewards of a growing market in terms of future revenue. As DRAM products also bring in higher margins at the end of the day based on CNBU and MBU (explained below) Operating Margins, this acts as a further catalyst for Micron.\nMicron also offers NAND products and though it represents a smaller chunk of Total Revenue relative to DRAMs, it still accounted for a meaningful 26.46% as of Q2 FY 21. NAND chips are used for the storage of information. Slower than DRAMs for accessing memory quickly, they are 'non-volatile' as the content can still be accessed should the power supply be cut off. These are commonly found in hard drives, smartphones and data centers.\nLikewise, the dominant 3 in the DRAM market also represent a significant portion of the NAND market albeit having more competitors. In the NAND flash market, Micron ranks 5th worldwide, behind the same industry leader - Samsung. As of Q1 21, Samsung dominated with 33.5% market share, Kioxia 18.7%, Western Digital (WDC) 14.4%, SK Hynix 12.3%, and Micron with 11.1%. However, in a market very similar to that of DRAM, acquisitions by the big power players can be expected to further solidify their presence and chew out competitors. As it is, SK Hynix has announced plans to acquire Intel's NAND Storage Unit (INTC), which represented a 7.5% market share in the NAND market beginning this year. Moving forward, this move is likely to bump the Korean company up to 2nd place with about 20% of the market, overtaking Kioxia. It is important to note however that this acquisition does not include Intel's Optane 3D XPoint portfolio that Intel will be retaining.\nSource: Statista Global NAND Flash Market Share\nDespite having more competition and less pricing power in this market, there too have been rumors that Micron is looking to make a move on Kioxia in a similar bid for $30 BN to enhance the competitiveness in its storage solutions in a rapidly growing NAND flash space. Western Digital also stands as a potential opposing bidder with both firms having merits as to why they should be the ideal one to acquire Kioxia. As of now, leverage seems to be in the hands of Micron as a firm with much more operating cashflow and a better balance sheet.\nSource: Author's Compilations\nSource: Author's Compilations\nThe $30 BN that Kioxia has been rumored to be valued at represents more than the entire Market Cap & EV of Western Digital. Besides, the firm already has more Total Debt relative to Micron, lower Operating Cashflows, and has a lower LTM Current Ratio of 2.01 compared to the 3.18 that Micron has that speaks directly to MU's near term liquidity strength. Surface level financial analysis goes to show that this would be a deal likely to go to Micron despite WDC having a joint venture with Kioxia. Furthermore, Micron has a rather long history of acquisitions having acquired Numonyx, a NOR manufacturer in 2010, Elpida Memory & Rexchip Electronics in 2013, Tidal Systems, Convey Computer, and Pico Computing in 2015, Inotera Memories in 2016… the list goes on. As you can see, Micron is quite the decorated acquiring firm.\nIf successful, Micron's NAND dominance has the potential to leap from its 5th placing, 11.1% of the market share to 29.8%, placing them as the 2nd biggest player, just 370 Bps below that of Samsung, and this is after accounting for SK Hynix's recent acquisition of Intel's NAND operations.\nMore Conviction\nFor more conviction in our thesis, we can look to the performance and different TAMs in Micron's business units breakdown.\nSource: Micron's Q2 Investor Presentation\nAs of FQ-2 21, CNBUs (Compute & Networking Business Unit) as always represented the largest portion of the firm's sales, taking up 42% of TR. This unit consists of memory products like DRAM & NAND sold to client, cloud servers, graphics, enterprise and networking markets as defined by the 10-Q.The 34% YOY improvement is promising but the really exciting growth came from MBUs and remains to be seen in EBUs.\nMBUs (Mobile Business Unit) represent the 2nd biggest revenue segment for Micron, accounting for 29% of TR, up an impressive 44% YOY. MBUs are memory and storage products for mobile devices, most notably smartphones. According to Mordor Intelligence,the global smartphone market will be valued at more than a trillion dollars by 2026, up from the $715 BN in 2020, a CAGR of 11.6%. Although therein lies the risk that the smartphone replacement cycle has been lengthening, the gradual shift to 5G overtime will force smartphone users to have to upgrade to a 5G capable one that can operate on the same frequency. Doing so will mean more DRAM and NAND content per unit that Micron will stand to benefit from.\nHowever, what's being left out by many is Micron's dominant position in the memory market for automobiles and the sizable TAM in this space moving forward. EBUs (Embedded Business Unit) represent the 2nd smallest revenue segment (15% of TR) of the 4 that Micron has. This essentially refers to embedded memory and storage chips sold to automotive, industrial, and consumer markets. Despite not being the main cash cow for Micron, EBUs still saw remarkable growth of 34% YOY in FQ-2. Micron may have been 3rd in the overall DRAM space and 5th in the overall NAND space, but they are the only memory chip provider with a substantial close to 50% market share in the space, according to Trendforce, a world leading market intelligence provider.\nSource: Micron's Automotive Division\nThis is where the geographical advantage for Micron comes into play. Micron effectively leverages their collaborative relationships with Tier-1 automobile suppliers based in Europe and the U.S to service them their comprehensive product portfolio of automotive memory solutions ranging from DDR2 - DDR 4 solutions to LPDDR 2 -5 solutions.The pure growth in this space can be seen from the fact that the average DRAM content of cars will continue to grow at a CAGR of more than 30% from 2021 - 2024.That is by far the biggest growth sector in any of Micron's Business Units moving forward and Micron's 30 years of leadership in the automobile memory space with no dominant position from Samsung or SK Hynix will come to serve them well in an era where we transition to EVs & AVs.\nAs it is, Tesla has already shown that new electric vehicles will be needing a lot more DRAM content and this trend will continue to play out as the world demands more cars with more technological capabilities. In its earlier Model S & X, Tesla reached at least 8GB of DRAM content within the vehicles. The newer Model 3, however, is further equipped with 14GB of DRAM content and the next generation of Tesla Models will have even more at 20GB.\nThe growing automobile memory space where Micron has maintained its underdog 30-year leadership will come to serve them well in the future as we transition to more sustainable and green versions of automobiles that demand more memory as well. Just remember that the more software a device has, the more memory is needed. Hence, we should be able to see positive growth in the EBU segment moving forward. However, one thing to note is that the EBU segment consists of sales to other industries that may be lagging and as a whole, the Operating Margins(NASDAQ:OM)from this segment of 15% stands pale in comparison to the OM in the CNBU segment of 26.9% and 25.6% in MBUs.\nIndustry Tailwinds\nMoving on to the industry outlook, Micron operates in a somewhat commoditized sector which experiences the extreme booms and busts of the demand cycle for PCs and Servers. Despite being a rather cyclical stock where the stock price is commanded largely by the DD and SS of computer chips and production capacity in general, it appears as if we are at the lows of the cycle and Micron remains to be one of the better plays for the ongoing global chip shortage as we begin the next leg up.\nFor a brief explanation on how the memory chip market moves overtime, let me take a stab at it. In essence, the overall supply of memory chips - most of which is produced by the dominant 3 - relative to demand, dictates the prices of chips, and therefore affects the financials of companies.\nWhen the memory market is in a 'bull' cycle as it was in 2010, 2014, 2018, and forecasted DD is set to outpace production capacities by firms, it results in a near-term shortage where the dominant market players (MU included) have the power to raise prices and maximize revenues. As COGS remain relatively constant regardless of the commodity cycle, this eventually translates to higher Gross Margins(NYSE:GM)for firms, a higher EBITDA which coincides nicely with stock price outperformance, and likely a higher bottom line. Although market players tend to agree on CAPEX spending and limit production capacities as a hedge from overproduction, firms blinded by the profits and higher margins tend to chase 'gains' and make the most of the cycle by capturing as much market share as possible.\nWhen firms do that and start to ramp up capacity with no regard for agreed limitations on production capacity and CAPEX spend, overproduction usually ensues that overwhelms the already inflated DD that is now dwindling, resulting in a surplus which brings just about the opposite consequence. Firms then lose pricing power and experience compressing margins in the years to follow, before the slowdown in capacity because of this very surplus eventually dips below future forecasted DD, thereby kickstarting the next leg up because of a shortage.\nLooking to history, when Micron has enjoyed higher EBITDA during those bull commodity cycles when there is a shortage in the industry, the stock price tends to outperform as well, in line with the higher pricing power and margins the firm experiences.\nSource: Author's Compilations\n2018 represented the peak in the previous memory market commodity cycle where the dominant industry players overbuilt capacity chasing margins, and as a result experienced the surplus and its consequences since. Because EBITDA has been falling since 2018 and GM, OM, and NPM have all cumulatively been decreasing YOY, so has the stock price. However, we are now facing another shortage in the DRAM market as production has slowed since the resulting slowdown in 2018. This coupled with an unprecedented surge in demand for chips, fueled by the emerging hyper-growth industries brought forward by the pandemic sets the stage for Micron's potential rally up. With a transition to 5G, Electric and Autonomous Vehicles, Artificial Intelligence, IOTs, Cloud Computing, Cobotic Manufacturing and Healthcare Telemedicine, the convergence of these advanced technologies mean more demand for advanced memory solutions, and Micron stands to win from it all.\nSource: Micron FQ-2 Investor Presentation\nThe industry outlook only serves to confirm the shifting tides in the memory market, with the DRAM market facing a severe shortage and optimistic long-term demand growth at a CAGR around 15-19%. A shortage may not seem like good news, but for a dominant market player like Micron that can raise prices and aren't reliant on outsourced production, it is. For further confirmation we can look to the upwardly revised estimates regarding the rise in DRAM prices in Q1 and Q2 of 2021 by Trendforce:\n\n Trendforce predicts that DRAM prices will rise 13-18% in the second quarter of 2021 & they already rose 3-8% in the first quarter of 2021.\n\nCall it inflation, call it whatever you want, but what I do know is that the higher prices in the DRAM market that has since manifested itself and has been forecasted to rise even higher will translate to higher profits for Micron. Market players are likely to make the most of this shortage as demand will not taper off given the fundamental need for memory chips against the backdrop of an era where advanced technologies are so rampant. Analysts too are forecasting improved revenues and earnings seen from the number of upward revisions and none downward in the last 3 months.\nSource: Seeking Alpha\nIn the NAND market, although production output has been forecasted to be oversupplied due to increasing shipments, CY 21 demand is still expected to be around 30 - 35% and CAPEX cuts are likely to be implemented.\nFinancials\nQ1 Revenue delivered 12% growth YOY, GM a 359 Bps improvement to 30.90% and NPM a 488 Bps growth YOY to a healthy 15.54%. Q2 delivered even better numbers, with Revenues coming in at $6.2 BN despite management guidance of $5.8 BN. GM further improved to 32.93% and NPM increased 731 Bps YOY to end the quarter with NPM at 18.09%. All of the above are NON-GAAP numbers.\nSource: Micron FQ-2 Investor Presentation\nSource: Seeking Alpha\nManagement also has a history of beating estimates with 8 beats in the last 2 years, effectively delivering a 100% probability that it will beat its own guidance moving forward, although not a guarantee as with anything else in business and life. Yet, forward guidance for FQ-3 is expecting a 30% improvement in Revenues YOY and GM to further rise to 41.5%, compared to the 33.17% they did last year and 32.93% just last quarter. As for DEPS estimates, the $1.62 estimate given by management implies a remarkable 98% YOY increase. Analyst consensus estimates come in even higher than that for the upcoming FQ-3 earnings to be reported on 6/30/21 (estimated), with analysts expecting EPS to be $1.68, indicative of a 105% change to the upside.\nAs mentioned above, in a memory chip 'bull' cycle, pricing power comes into play and the higher prices usually tend to translate into stock outperformance driven by improvements in EBTIDA. Last I checked 1 -2 months ago, EBITDA EST for FY 21 stood around $9 BN and FY 22 EST was $16 BN. As of 26 May 21, those numbers have increased substantially to $12,772 for FY 21 and $20,228 for FY 22. Today, EST have improved yet again in the last 5 days to $12,801 for FY 21 and $20,551 for FY 22. For context, these new EST represent a 48% and 61% YOY improvement.\nSource: Tikr\nNext, we'll examine cashflow. This is paramount in a high volatility time period like today, plagued with inflation concerns, widening federal deficits, and an ever-increasing Fed balance sheet. When inflation is rampant or at least fears of it are, high growth stocks and tech stocks tend to get crushed as the market rushes to reset the absurd valuation multiples justified last year with QE and money printing running at full steam. Since the US10Y (Interest rates) affects the DCF models, valuations for certain companies will be revised downwards with less upside, with the exception of high cashflow companies. Thus, cashflow generating firms are all the more important and likely to be favored moving forward, and yet again Micron is one of them.\nSource: Tikr\nAlthough Cashflow from Operations have been steadily decreasing since 2018 where it reached a high of $17,400, I mentioned above that 2018 represented the peak of the bull cycle then where firms were chasing higher margins. 2019 - 2020 then represented the slowdown phase brought about by the surplus and after hitting a 3-year low of $8,306 in Cashflow from Operations in FY 20 that ended last August, Micron is likely ready to see substantial improvements moving forward, and EST do paint a similar picture.\nAnalysts are expecting Cashflow from Operations to improve 49% YOY in FY 21 and a further 45% in FY 22. If that were to happen, that would bring cashflow close to $18 BN, which would be a record level cashflow generated from Operations for the firm. This also trickles down to FCF EST which represents the capital left for distribution after expenses related to operations have been taken care of and non-cash expenses have been reconciled.\nFCF EST come in at an outstanding $3,344 for FY 21 and is further expected to skyrocket to $8,148 in FY 21, from a meagre $83M last year. This pace of growth points to a close to 4000% YOY increase in FY 21 and a further 144% increase compounded on FY 21 numbers next year.\nCurrently, Micron trades at an EV of around $93 BN. That represents a FCF Yield of 3.60% based on this year's EST, and an impressive 11.4% based on next year's numbers. With that, it is clear that Micron's future earnings and cashflow will serve them well in a macro environment riddled with inflation fears. This massive boost to FCF may just give them the capital they need to seal the deal with Kioxia.\nRisks\nNo matter how sound an investment may be, every one of them carries risk, and so does choosing to invest in Micron. I know the article has been long thus far so I will try to keep it short to avoid boring my 1st time readers.\nWith the high BTE's that are inherently present in the DRAM and NAND markets brought about by the large economies of scale and sheer market share the dominant 3 possess, it is hard for competitors to enter the market. Nonetheless, there have been a few attempts by Chinese companies to penetrate the market and steal market share.\nGovernment subsidies as part of the \"Made in China 2025\" plan has helped propel Chinese firms to pose a threat in the DRAM and NAND markets. Fujian Jinhua (JHICC) is one of them. As a Chinese state-owned DRAM manufacturer based in China, the firm is competing with Micron in the DRAM market as part of China's desire to gain self-sufficiency in the semiconductor industry. This is understandable given that they are the largest consumers of DRAM in the Asian-Pacific market. However, Fujian is currently facing prosecution for allegedly stealing Micron's trade secrets and proprietary information. With such bad press and a bad reputation just 4 years after being founded, it is unlikely this firm will make it far enough to compete with the likes of Micron.\nChanging industry tailwinds may also prove to be a headwind in the case that demand growth for DRAM and NAND devices slowdown. Increased CAPEX spending by Samsung and SK Hynix or the addition of new capacity could also severely impact Micron's competitive position in the market and an all-out race to buildout and ramp up capacity to capture more sales may eventually culminate in the loss of pricing power and compressed margins once again. However, given the number of upcoming industries where more advanced technologies demand more memory to store data, this probability is small in the near term at the very least.\nOther potential risks may include further unexpected impacts to Micron's power plants such as outages and floods similar to what happened in Taiwan last year.\nValuation\nFinally, I will cover the valuations behind my upside optimism with Micron. The memory market has historically tended to trade based on the EV / EBITDA multiple. Because of this, I will use this as my prime valuation method but also use Forward PE's as secondary confirmation. The chart below represents the EV / EBITDA ratios that the dominant 3 have traded at since 2016.\nA005930 refers to Samsung and A000660 refers to SK Hynix\nSource: Author's Compilations\nWe can see that Micron has been trading at a Mean EV / EBITDA multiple of 5.49 since 2016 and is trading at 9.64 levels as of last. For a conservative estimate, I will assume a ratio of 8, which is above the industry average of 7.49 in the current environment we are in today but below levels Micron is currently trading at. For context, the firm has always traded above its peers during the bull commodity cycle in 2010, 2014, and 2018 as seen in the chart below. It is important to note that since markets are future discounting mechanisms, they price in future margin expansions and pricing power. As a result, the dominant 3 usually trade at the higher multiples 1 year before the peak of the cycle.\n\nKeeping in mind that Micron has traded at multiples of 29 in 2009, 12 in 2014 and 10 in the previous cycle, 8 would be a fair multiple to assume. EBITDA EST for FY 22 next year stand at $20,551.32 as seen in the picture displayed earlier on. That would imply an EV of $164,410.56 in 22, an upside of 77% based on today's EV of $93 BN. If so, that should carry the stock forward to levels of $148 USD by next year.\nIf I were to assume a slightly aggressive and bullish multiple of 9 which is still below the peak of the prior cycle keeping in mind the law of diminishing returns, that would imply an upside of 99%, placing a price target of $167 USD for Micron.\nSince I'm a long-term investor and a conservative one, I'll stick with the $148 PT while my readers can keep the $167 potential price target in mind. I'm kidding, let's use the $148 PT which still offers a remarkable return relative to the S&P 500.\nSource: Tikr\nThe current estimates for Micron's future EPS are 5.56 for FY 21 and 10.93 for FY 22. Since we looked at FY 22 for the above valuation method, we shall maintain the same timeframe. Looking to the semiconductor industry, companies are trading at an average TTM P/E of 33.11 based on data from Q1.\nSource: CSI Market\nMicron is currently trading at a forward P/E FY 21 of 15.15 and a 7.7 based on FY 22 numbers. Assuming a fair multiple of 12, which is still below the high estimates of 15, that would give us a forward PT of $131.\nSource: Seeking Alpha\nFinal Takeaways\nBased on conservative estimates, the 2 valuation methods displayed above give us a PT for Micron of $131 based on the Forward P/E method and $148 if we were to use EV / EBITDA multiples. This represents a 56-77% upside potential.\nIn this article we covered business model, market share, industry tailwinds with a heavy focus on TAMs, liquidity strength through current ratios, cashflow, risks, and of course valuations, all of which points to high probability of a bullish future for Micron Technology.\nI have noticed that there has been some concerns regarding price action lately and how the stock seems to be having trouble finding its footing given the pretty obvious bullish thesis, and they are valid in my opinion. For bearish near-term fundamentals, the above linked article would be a nice short read.\nI personally am a long-term investor and don't place much focus on the technicals and this helps keep me grounded. There may be a very good chance that Micron will continue to trend downwards before finding support and consolidate for its next leg up. As mentioned above, the stock seems to outperform 1 year before the peak of the memory cycle whenever that may be. Hence, the memory market is to be watched closely and investors must understand how changes in the dynamics of the market regarding production & CAPEX levels can shift the tide quickly.\nAs a result, I don't see Micron to be a buy and hold forever as share price performance falls very much in line with its own commodity cycle, EBITDA, and Margin performance, which will eventually come to an end when surplus hits the deck. Yet, for the next 1-2 years, Micron remains to be one of the best plays on the current global chip shortage. If Micron continues to trend downwards in the near term, so be it, but fundamentals always catch up and based on future estimates, there's likely only one way for the share price moving forward and that isn't down.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":209,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":110597178,"gmtCreate":1622467305594,"gmtModify":1704184812830,"author":{"id":"3576631475134774","authorId":"3576631475134774","name":"Yoda0603","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576631475134774","authorIdStr":"3576631475134774"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/110597178","repostId":"1168423433","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":257,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9962551745,"gmtCreate":1669813096788,"gmtModify":1676538248403,"author":{"id":"3576631475134774","authorId":"3576631475134774","name":"Yoda0603","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576631475134774","authorIdStr":"3576631475134774"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.DJI\">$DJIA(.DJI)$ &nbsp;</a>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.DJI\">$DJIA(.DJI)$ &nbsp;</a>","text":"$DJIA(.DJI)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e3c6068ec866fcbeca1373d9b70fd18b","width":"1080","height":"1514"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9962551745","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":211,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":117657812,"gmtCreate":1623140204236,"gmtModify":1704196880403,"author":{"id":"3576631475134774","authorId":"3576631475134774","name":"Yoda0603","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576631475134774","authorIdStr":"3576631475134774"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Well done&nbsp;","listText":"Well done&nbsp;","text":"Well done","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/117657812","repostId":"1170180025","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":262,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":115837918,"gmtCreate":1622969052334,"gmtModify":1704193936783,"author":{"id":"3576631475134774","authorId":"3576631475134774","name":"Yoda0603","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576631475134774","authorIdStr":"3576631475134774"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good&nbsp;","listText":"Good&nbsp;","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/115837918","repostId":"2141402879","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":281,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":110595308,"gmtCreate":1622467186404,"gmtModify":1704184809882,"author":{"id":"3576631475134774","authorId":"3576631475134774","name":"Yoda0603","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576631475134774","authorIdStr":"3576631475134774"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cool","listText":"Cool","text":"Cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/110595308","repostId":"2139427430","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":288,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}