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2021-06-28
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UK, Singapore launch talks on digital trade agreement
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2021-06-24
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The Fed In A Box, Part 1: They Cannot Raise Interest Rates
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2021-06-21
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2021-06-21
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","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/127329642","repostId":"2146074520","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2146074520","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624835700,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2146074520?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-28 07:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"UK, Singapore launch talks on digital trade agreement","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2146074520","media":"StreetInsider","summary":"LONDON (Reuters) - Britain and Singapore will on Monday start negotiations on a new digital trade ag","content":"<p>LONDON (Reuters) - Britain and Singapore will on Monday start negotiations on a new digital trade agreement that could remove barriers, part of London's push to become what it calls a \"global tech powerhouse\" post-Brexit.</p>\n<p>Since completing its exit from the European Union at the end of last year, Britain has been pressing ahead with new trade deals especially with countries in the Indo-Pacific region, with the most recent agreement signed with Australia.</p>\n<p>Digital trade is seen as key by the government to support British tech companies in capitalising on investment opportunities abroad to try to help a post-COVID recovery.</p>\n<p>The government said any agreement with Singapore could remove barriers to digital trade and enable British exporters to expand into high-tech markets. The talks will be kicked off in a video call.</p>\n<p>\"A cutting-edge deal with Singapore will keep us at the forefront of the technological revolution, ensuring we lead the way in digitally delivered trade and industries like fintech and cybersecurity,\" British trade minister Liz Truss said.</p>\n<p>\"The UK will be the first European country to ever negotiate a Digital Economy Agreement, which shows what we can do as a sovereign trading nation,\" she said in a statement.</p>","source":"highlight_streetinsider","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>UK, Singapore launch talks on digital trade agreement</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUK, Singapore launch talks on digital trade agreement\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-28 07:15 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.streetinsider.com/dr/news.php?id=18609138><strong>StreetInsider</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>LONDON (Reuters) - Britain and Singapore will on Monday start negotiations on a new digital trade agreement that could remove barriers, part of London's push to become what it calls a \"global tech ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.streetinsider.com/dr/news.php?id=18609138\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"STI.SI":"富时新加坡海峡指数"},"source_url":"https://www.streetinsider.com/dr/news.php?id=18609138","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2146074520","content_text":"LONDON (Reuters) - Britain and Singapore will on Monday start negotiations on a new digital trade agreement that could remove barriers, part of London's push to become what it calls a \"global tech powerhouse\" post-Brexit.\nSince completing its exit from the European Union at the end of last year, Britain has been pressing ahead with new trade deals especially with countries in the Indo-Pacific region, with the most recent agreement signed with Australia.\nDigital trade is seen as key by the government to support British tech companies in capitalising on investment opportunities abroad to try to help a post-COVID recovery.\nThe government said any agreement with Singapore could remove barriers to digital trade and enable British exporters to expand into high-tech markets. The talks will be kicked off in a video call.\n\"A cutting-edge deal with Singapore will keep us at the forefront of the technological revolution, ensuring we lead the way in digitally delivered trade and industries like fintech and cybersecurity,\" British trade minister Liz Truss said.\n\"The UK will be the first European country to ever negotiate a Digital Economy Agreement, which shows what we can do as a sovereign trading nation,\" she said in a statement.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":250,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":121430360,"gmtCreate":1624488095550,"gmtModify":1703837946282,"author":{"id":"3576722468537408","authorId":"3576722468537408","name":"kickerz","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576722468537408","authorIdStr":"3576722468537408"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/121430360","repostId":"1191722749","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1191722749","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624455982,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1191722749?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-23 21:46","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Fed In A Box, Part 1: They Cannot Raise Interest Rates","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1191722749","media":"zerohedge","summary":"3 Key Takeaways\n\nThe US Government has over $28 Trillion in Debt\nMuch of the debt is short-term, mak","content":"<p><b>3 Key Takeaways</b></p>\n<ol>\n <li>The US Government has over $28 Trillion in Debt</li>\n <li>Much of the debt is short-term, making it extra sensitive to higher rates</li>\n <li>Higher Interest Rates would immediately start putting strain on the Federal Budget</li>\n</ol>\n<p><b>Introduction</b></p>\n<p>The US has over $28 Trillion dollars in debt and it continues to grow at an alarming rate. Even before COVID-19, the problem was becoming unwieldy. Ironically, despite adding $4T+ in debt over the last year, the pandemic may have given the US Government short-term reprieve as it gave the Federal Reserve a green light to drop rates back to zero.</p>\n<p>First and foremost, this took pressure off the Treasury as it refinanced the ballooning short-term debt outstanding at lower rates. However, even more relief occurred as the Federal Reserve absorbed +90% of the long term debt issued since last March. This allowed more room in the private markets to purchase the issuance of new short-term Treasury Bills. Because the Fed pays interest revenue back to the Treasury, and since interest rates on Treasury Bills are sitting at 0%, this has effectively given the Treasury a <b>$4.5T loan at 0% interest</b> in 15 months!</p>\n<p>While this sounds like a great deal, it comes with major risks and has now put the Fed in a box. This will be explained in detail over two articles. Part 1 will explain why the Fed can no longer raise interest rates, and Part 2 will show how the Fed is unable to taper and may even need to increase Treasury purchases to maintain control over the long end of the yield curve.</p>\n<p><b>$28 Trillion and Growing</b></p>\n<p>The US Government cannot stop spending money. Spending is now far in excess of what is being collected in tax revenues. The US economy continues to experience nominal increases in growth, which has increased Federal Tax receipts, but Federal Spending is growing far faster. Figure 1 below, shows this clear trend.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b5576e9901f1f8310629d45af16836a\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"512\"></p>\n<p><i>Source – Treasurydirect.gov</i></p>\n<p>Excess spending has to be paid for using debt. This massive excess in spending has led to proliferate borrowing by the Federal Government resulting in over $28T in total debt outstanding. See figure 2 below.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed345b06ec4a35726fe7d9847937cf34\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"512\"></p>\n<p><i>Source – Treasurydirect.gov</i></p>\n<p>For anyone struggling to wrap their mind around the size of $1T, please see this great visual. Now, multiply that by 28!</p>\n<p>For most governments, this would be unsustainable as interest rates would rise. This puts pressure on a borrower to bring down spending. The US Government has benefited from three major advantages that are not available to most governments. First, it has the exorbitant privilege of issuing the global reserve currency (for now), which creates far more demand for dollars than would otherwise be the case. The petro-dollar should have its own dedicated article, so that will be skipped in this analysis.</p>\n<p>It is important to highlight two other key facts that have allowed spending and borrowing to continue unabated. It has been able to borrow from the Social Security Trust Fund, and the Federal Reserve has absorbed a large chunk of debt issuance in recent years. Not only does this equate to $11T in interest-free loans (as all interest payments return back to the Treasury), but it has prevented the private markets from absorbing all new debt issuance keeping interest rates lower. As Figure 3 below shows, since Jan 2010, the private markets have “only” had to absorb $9T of the $14.5T issued.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2dee6e735c0a3c1421eb321c0eae4b54\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"512\"></p>\n<p><i>Source – Treasurydirect.gov andhttps://fred.stlouisfed.org/</i></p>\n<p>Since Jan 2020, the numbers are even more stark. The Treasury has issued $4.5T, of which the Fed has taken on $2.6T (<i>Note: The Fed balance sheet has expanded by greater than $4T, but not all of this was Treasury Debt</i>). Looking deeper into the numbers shows the Fed had an even bigger appetite for longer-dated maturities. With Short Term rates at 0%, the Treasury can sell Treasury Bills to the private sector and still have an interest-free loan. Thus, it has been critical for the Fed to absorb almost all (~90%) the long-term debt issued by the Treasury to keep interest payments low!</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89bf299c6c054e65d3317aa72d0f686a\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"512\"></p>\n<p><i>Source – Treasurydirect.gov</i></p>\n<p><b>The Treasury has so far avoided higher interest payments</b></p>\n<p>Zooming back out, the three charts below show why the maneuvers over the last year have been so important. Take one more look at the US Debt load, this time categorized by vehicle. Non-Marketable is debt the government owes itself, Notes represent 1-10 year maturity, Bills less than 1 year, and Bonds >10 years. The two charts below show both the absolute growth in debt and how the makeup of the debt has changed. Since 2008, Notes have experienced the largest growth increasing from 25% of total outstanding to 42%. Non-Marketable went the other way, shrinking from 45% to 25% as the Social Security Trust Fund is no longer a source to borrow from.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a144f0f9250c364637205e8bd0178bc0\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"512\"></p>\n<p><i>Source – Treasurydirect.gov</i></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2c1851784731b81544c30c5338624a03\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"512\"></p>\n<p><i>Source – Treasurydirect.gov</i></p>\n<p>It is important to notice the growth in Treasury Bills above. Bills are the highest risk to the Treasury because higher interest rates will affect Bills within months, so it is important to note that in 2015 during the last rate hike cycle they accounted for only $1.4T but now make up $4.3T. This means every .25% rate hike will almost immediately add $10B to Federal spending. The chart below clearly shows the impact of the last interest rate hike cycle. The Pink line shows how Bills followed the Fed hike cycle topping out near 2.25%.</p>\n<p>If the Fed attempted to raise rates in a similar fashion it would immediately add $100B to Federal Spending on ONLY interest due for Treasury Bills. In a scenario where the Fed shrunk its balance sheet back to $1T (no more interest free loans) AND raised interest rates back to 4%, the Treasury would incur an extra $160B in interest rates for Treasury Bills and a whopping $290B on Treasury Notes! This would not factor in any new debt added over that time, which now includes an extra $.5T a year just on interest payments!</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04501c54f465fba412ffbf77b81a559f\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"512\"></p>\n<p><i>Source – Treasurydirect.gov</i></p>\n<p>The chart below shows a much clearer impact of how falling interest rates have kept debt payments relatively stable for nearly 20 years. The chart shows the average weighted interest rate and the annualized monthly interest payments. The orange line (average weighted interest rate) is moving in direct opposition to the growth in debt seen above. In the last rate tightening cycle, the chart shows just how quickly higher interest rates increased the debt burden ($150B). The Fed owns very few Treasury Bills ($320B), so those interest payments are NOT returning to the Treasury.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c859933a1e991d3e6ba191ccb6a7609e\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"512\"></p>\n<p><i>Source – Treasurydirect.gov</i></p>\n<p>One final chart to consider. How do these interest payments compare to tax revenue collected by the IRS? In this context, it becomes very clear how much impact the 2015 rate cycle increases had on debt payments.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/585708ace254d0b79ecddcc77c9c8ca0\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"512\"></p>\n<p><i>Source – Treasurydirect.gov</i></p>\n<p><b>Wrapping Up</b></p>\n<p>Nothing in this article should be surprising to anyone who even closely watches the US Debt situation or follows financial markets. The charts and graphs attempted to show the trends and put hard numbers behind what most people already know anecdotally. This article does not even touch on how devastating higher interest rates would be on the housing market, corporate debt market, and consumer debt market. Instead it only focuses on the Treasury, which just so happens to be run by the old chair of the Federal Reserve (Janet Yellen).</p>\n<p>None of this math is overly complex, and all the data is freely available on the Treasury and Fed website. This begs the question, does the Fed realize interest rates cannot go up or are they only looking in the rear-view mirror and assuming that an increase to 2.25% will be similar to 2015 which was “only” derailed by COVID-19? To reiterate, the drop in interest rates gave the Treasury <i>relief</i> from the higher interest payments. Next time they might not even get halfway to 2% with the added debt burden.<b>Unfortunately, for the Fed, their box is tighter than most realize.</b>If the Fed hasn’t figured it out by now,<b>even before they fail to raise interest rates, they will be unable taper Quantitative Easing (debt monetization) much less shrink their balance sheet, without serious consequences.</b>That data will be reviewed in Part 2. Stay tuned!</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Fed In A Box, Part 1: They Cannot Raise Interest Rates</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Fed In A Box, Part 1: They Cannot Raise Interest Rates\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-23 21:46 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/fed-box-part-1-they-cannot-raise-interest-rates><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>3 Key Takeaways\n\nThe US Government has over $28 Trillion in Debt\nMuch of the debt is short-term, making it extra sensitive to higher rates\nHigher Interest Rates would immediately start putting strain ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/fed-box-part-1-they-cannot-raise-interest-rates\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/fed-box-part-1-they-cannot-raise-interest-rates","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1191722749","content_text":"3 Key Takeaways\n\nThe US Government has over $28 Trillion in Debt\nMuch of the debt is short-term, making it extra sensitive to higher rates\nHigher Interest Rates would immediately start putting strain on the Federal Budget\n\nIntroduction\nThe US has over $28 Trillion dollars in debt and it continues to grow at an alarming rate. Even before COVID-19, the problem was becoming unwieldy. Ironically, despite adding $4T+ in debt over the last year, the pandemic may have given the US Government short-term reprieve as it gave the Federal Reserve a green light to drop rates back to zero.\nFirst and foremost, this took pressure off the Treasury as it refinanced the ballooning short-term debt outstanding at lower rates. However, even more relief occurred as the Federal Reserve absorbed +90% of the long term debt issued since last March. This allowed more room in the private markets to purchase the issuance of new short-term Treasury Bills. Because the Fed pays interest revenue back to the Treasury, and since interest rates on Treasury Bills are sitting at 0%, this has effectively given the Treasury a $4.5T loan at 0% interest in 15 months!\nWhile this sounds like a great deal, it comes with major risks and has now put the Fed in a box. This will be explained in detail over two articles. Part 1 will explain why the Fed can no longer raise interest rates, and Part 2 will show how the Fed is unable to taper and may even need to increase Treasury purchases to maintain control over the long end of the yield curve.\n$28 Trillion and Growing\nThe US Government cannot stop spending money. Spending is now far in excess of what is being collected in tax revenues. The US economy continues to experience nominal increases in growth, which has increased Federal Tax receipts, but Federal Spending is growing far faster. Figure 1 below, shows this clear trend.\n\nSource – Treasurydirect.gov\nExcess spending has to be paid for using debt. This massive excess in spending has led to proliferate borrowing by the Federal Government resulting in over $28T in total debt outstanding. See figure 2 below.\n\nSource – Treasurydirect.gov\nFor anyone struggling to wrap their mind around the size of $1T, please see this great visual. Now, multiply that by 28!\nFor most governments, this would be unsustainable as interest rates would rise. This puts pressure on a borrower to bring down spending. The US Government has benefited from three major advantages that are not available to most governments. First, it has the exorbitant privilege of issuing the global reserve currency (for now), which creates far more demand for dollars than would otherwise be the case. The petro-dollar should have its own dedicated article, so that will be skipped in this analysis.\nIt is important to highlight two other key facts that have allowed spending and borrowing to continue unabated. It has been able to borrow from the Social Security Trust Fund, and the Federal Reserve has absorbed a large chunk of debt issuance in recent years. Not only does this equate to $11T in interest-free loans (as all interest payments return back to the Treasury), but it has prevented the private markets from absorbing all new debt issuance keeping interest rates lower. As Figure 3 below shows, since Jan 2010, the private markets have “only” had to absorb $9T of the $14.5T issued.\n\nSource – Treasurydirect.gov andhttps://fred.stlouisfed.org/\nSince Jan 2020, the numbers are even more stark. The Treasury has issued $4.5T, of which the Fed has taken on $2.6T (Note: The Fed balance sheet has expanded by greater than $4T, but not all of this was Treasury Debt). Looking deeper into the numbers shows the Fed had an even bigger appetite for longer-dated maturities. With Short Term rates at 0%, the Treasury can sell Treasury Bills to the private sector and still have an interest-free loan. Thus, it has been critical for the Fed to absorb almost all (~90%) the long-term debt issued by the Treasury to keep interest payments low!\n\nSource – Treasurydirect.gov\nThe Treasury has so far avoided higher interest payments\nZooming back out, the three charts below show why the maneuvers over the last year have been so important. Take one more look at the US Debt load, this time categorized by vehicle. Non-Marketable is debt the government owes itself, Notes represent 1-10 year maturity, Bills less than 1 year, and Bonds >10 years. The two charts below show both the absolute growth in debt and how the makeup of the debt has changed. Since 2008, Notes have experienced the largest growth increasing from 25% of total outstanding to 42%. Non-Marketable went the other way, shrinking from 45% to 25% as the Social Security Trust Fund is no longer a source to borrow from.\n\nSource – Treasurydirect.gov\n\nSource – Treasurydirect.gov\nIt is important to notice the growth in Treasury Bills above. Bills are the highest risk to the Treasury because higher interest rates will affect Bills within months, so it is important to note that in 2015 during the last rate hike cycle they accounted for only $1.4T but now make up $4.3T. This means every .25% rate hike will almost immediately add $10B to Federal spending. The chart below clearly shows the impact of the last interest rate hike cycle. The Pink line shows how Bills followed the Fed hike cycle topping out near 2.25%.\nIf the Fed attempted to raise rates in a similar fashion it would immediately add $100B to Federal Spending on ONLY interest due for Treasury Bills. In a scenario where the Fed shrunk its balance sheet back to $1T (no more interest free loans) AND raised interest rates back to 4%, the Treasury would incur an extra $160B in interest rates for Treasury Bills and a whopping $290B on Treasury Notes! This would not factor in any new debt added over that time, which now includes an extra $.5T a year just on interest payments!\n\nSource – Treasurydirect.gov\nThe chart below shows a much clearer impact of how falling interest rates have kept debt payments relatively stable for nearly 20 years. The chart shows the average weighted interest rate and the annualized monthly interest payments. The orange line (average weighted interest rate) is moving in direct opposition to the growth in debt seen above. In the last rate tightening cycle, the chart shows just how quickly higher interest rates increased the debt burden ($150B). The Fed owns very few Treasury Bills ($320B), so those interest payments are NOT returning to the Treasury.\n\nSource – Treasurydirect.gov\nOne final chart to consider. How do these interest payments compare to tax revenue collected by the IRS? In this context, it becomes very clear how much impact the 2015 rate cycle increases had on debt payments.\n\nSource – Treasurydirect.gov\nWrapping Up\nNothing in this article should be surprising to anyone who even closely watches the US Debt situation or follows financial markets. The charts and graphs attempted to show the trends and put hard numbers behind what most people already know anecdotally. This article does not even touch on how devastating higher interest rates would be on the housing market, corporate debt market, and consumer debt market. Instead it only focuses on the Treasury, which just so happens to be run by the old chair of the Federal Reserve (Janet Yellen).\nNone of this math is overly complex, and all the data is freely available on the Treasury and Fed website. This begs the question, does the Fed realize interest rates cannot go up or are they only looking in the rear-view mirror and assuming that an increase to 2.25% will be similar to 2015 which was “only” derailed by COVID-19? To reiterate, the drop in interest rates gave the Treasury relief from the higher interest payments. Next time they might not even get halfway to 2% with the added debt burden.Unfortunately, for the Fed, their box is tighter than most realize.If the Fed hasn’t figured it out by now,even before they fail to raise interest rates, they will be unable taper Quantitative Easing (debt monetization) much less shrink their balance sheet, without serious consequences.That data will be reviewed in Part 2. Stay tuned!","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":158,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":167488084,"gmtCreate":1624282264348,"gmtModify":1703832343876,"author":{"id":"3576722468537408","authorId":"3576722468537408","name":"kickerz","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576722468537408","authorIdStr":"3576722468537408"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/167488084","repostId":"1164918098","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1164918098","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1624276383,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1164918098?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-21 19:53","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines Before US Market Open on Monday","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1164918098","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Dow set to bounce after its worst weekly loss since October.\nBitcoin drops as China expands crypto m","content":"<ul>\n <li>Dow set to bounce after its worst weekly loss since October.</li>\n <li>Bitcoin drops as China expands crypto mining crackdown.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>(June 21) US equity futures and global stocks recovered some of their Friday losses after hitting a four-week low earlier in Monday's session, as investors dipped their toe and bought risk after last week’s surprise hawkish shift by the Fed even as the dollar hovered below a 10-week high. S&P 500 futures rebounded after spending most of the Asia session in the red, while Europe's Stoxx 600 Index also recovered from an earlier loss, with U.K. grocer Wm Morrison Supermarkets surging 32% after rejecting an unsolicited takeover bid, sending shares of peers Tesco Plc and J Sainsbury Plc higher.</p>\n<p>At 7:55AM ET the Dow futures contract was up just 185 points, or 0.55%, S&P 500 futures traded 17 points, or 0.41%, higher, and Nasdaq 100 futures climbed 46.5 points, or 0.33%.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a4ceef7ac430487cbff8fee43fc8f4d7\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"523\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>\"It just looks like a bit of relief rally following last week’s heavy sell-offs,</b>” said MUFG analyst Lee Hardman. “Market participants will be watching closely comments from Fed officials in the week ahead to see if any push back against hawkish market repricing following last week’s FOMC meeting”</p>\n<p>While meme stocks were once again bid, cryptocurrency-exposed stocks tumbled in U.S. premarket after Bitcoin crashed over the weekend and into Monday amid a fresh crackdown by China whose digital yuan is proving to be a total disaster so far, prompting Beijing to take out its anger on cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin dropped 10%, sliding below $33,000 amid weakening appetite for riskier assets and China ordered payment platform Alipay and domestic banks to not provide services linked to trading of virtual currencies. The Chinese city of Ya’an was said to have started a crackdown on crypto mining firms.</p>\n<p>As a result, Cryptocurrency-exposed stocks slumped: Riot Blockchain (RIOT) plunged 6.5% in premarket trading and Marathon Digital (MARA) drops 7%, while Coinbase (COIN) slips 2.3% and Ebang (EBON) declines 4.4%. Here are some other notable pre-movers today:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Luokung Technology (LKCO) climbs nearly 14% after announcing its eMapgo Technologies unit won a contract to provide a traffic control network in China’s Jiangxi Province.</li>\n <li><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2487421aafcc3f130d1d3ead0fbf9319\" tg-width=\"719\" tg-height=\"495\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></li>\n <li>Raven Industries surges 48% after the Agnelli family’s CNH Industrial agreed to buy the U.S. precision agriculture-technology company for about $2.1 billion.</li>\n <li>Torchlight Energy Resources (TRCH) jumped as much as 63% after the stock was touted on Reddit as a potential short squeeze. Other meme stocks also climbed: AMC Entertainment (AMC) advances 3.4% and GameStop (GME) gains 1.8%, while Clover Health (CLOV) rises 1%.</li>\n <li></li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket: MicroStrategy, Coinbase, Raven Industries & more</b></p>\n<p><b>1) MicroStrategy(MSTR)</b> – MicroStrategy shares tumbled 8.7% in premarket trading amid a slide in bitcoin prices following the expansion ofChina’s crackdown on bitcoin mining. The business analytics company is among the biggest corporate investors in bitcoin, with several billion dollars in holdings on its books.</p>\n<p><b>2) Coinbase(COIN)</b> – The cryptocurrency platform’s stock slid 3% in premarket action, also hit by the drop in cryptocurrencies amid the latest actions by the Chinese government.</p>\n<p><b>3) Raven Industries(RAVN)</b> – Raven agreed to be bought by fellow agricultural equipment makerCNH Industrial(CNHI) for $58 per share, or $2.1 billion, compared to Raven’s Friday close of $38.62 per share. The stock soared 49.7% in premarket trading.</p>\n<p><b>4) ZipRecruiter(ZIP) </b>– The jobs website operator’s shares rose 2.8% in the premarket after Goldman Sachs rated it “buy” in new coverage and Evercore began coverage with a rating of “outperform.” The upbeat assessments cite ZipRecruiter’s growth prospects and ability to disrupt the employment market.</p>\n<p><b>5) HSBC(HSBC)</b> – HSBC sold its French retail bank to private-equity firm Cerberus Capital for 1 euro, and expects to book a $3 billion loss after unloading the unprofitable operation.</p>\n<p><b>6) Pershing Square Tontine Holdings(PSTH) </b>– The SPAC controlled by billionaire investor Bill Ackmanfinalized a dealto buy a 10% stake in Universal Music from Vivendi. The deal values Universal Music – the world’s largest music company – at about $40 billion. Shares gained 1.1% in the premarket.</p>\n<p><b>7) GlaxoSmithKline(GSK) </b>– Glaxo is set to cut its dividend, according to a report in the U.K.’s Daily Mail newspaper. The drugmaker will hold an investor event on Wednesday, and the paper said a cut of as much as 50% will be revealed at that meeting.</p>\n<p><b>8) Tesla(TSLA)</b> – Former Tesla executive Jerome Guillen sold about $274 million in Tesla shares since June 10, according to a Securities and Exchange Commission filing. Guillen left Tesla earlier this month after 11 years, most recently running the company’s Tesla Heavy Trucking unit.</p>\n<p><b>9) American Airlines(AAL)</b> – American Airlineswill cut planned flights for the first half of Julyby about 950 flights, or 1%, to relieve strains on its operations as it deals with the sharp rebound in travel demand.</p>\n<p><b>10) Westlake Chemical(WLK)</b> – Westlake will buy the North American building products business of Australia’s Boral for $2.15 billion. Westlake said the acquisition will boost its presence in products like roofing and siding, and that it will be accretive to earnings during the first year.</p>\n<p><b>11) Amazon.com(AMZN) </b>– Amazon’stwo-day Prime Day eventis underway, the first time the event has been held in June. A number of other major retailers – includingWalmart(WMT),Target(TGT),Kohl’s(KSS),Macy’s(M) andCostco(COST) are holding competing sales events this week.</p>\n<p><b>12) Boston Beer(SAM)</b> – Guggenheim repeated its “buy” recommendation on the Sam Adams beer brewer, and elevated it to “top pick” status. Guggenheim notes a depressed valuation, easier retail comps beginning in June and underappreciated growth prospects for the Truly hard seltzer brand.</p>\n<p><b>Big News</b></p>\n<p><b>1、Prime Day begins as retail faces supply chain disruptions</b></p>\n<p>Amazon’s Prime Daykicked off Mondayafter the e-commerce giant delayed its massive summer sale to October last year due to the pandemic. Prime Day 2020 pulled in $10.4 billion, according to Digital Commerce 360, a 45% increase from the prior year’s two-day event. This year’s Prime Day comes as retail industry grapples with widespread global supply chain disruptions, caused in part by the ripple effects of pandemic-mandated factory closures as well as labor shortages. A recent Covid outbreak in the southern Chinese province of Guangdong has compounded the problem.</p>\n<p><b>2、American Airlines cancels another hundred flights Monday</b></p>\n<p>As travel demand surges toward pre-pandemic levels,American Airlinescanceled another hundred flights Monday afterscrapping hundreds over the weekenddue to staffing shortages, maintenance and other issues. American said it’s trimming its overall schedule by about 1% through mid-July to help ease some of the strain on its operations. The carrier blamed some of the recent problems on scheduling complications stemming from bad weather at its Charlotte and Dallas/Fort Worth hubs during the first half of June. American is also racing to train all of the pilots it furloughed in between two federal aid packages that prohibited layoffs as well as aviators due for periodic recurrent training.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toplines Before US Market Open on Monday</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines Before US Market Open on Monday\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-06-21 19:53</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<ul>\n <li>Dow set to bounce after its worst weekly loss since October.</li>\n <li>Bitcoin drops as China expands crypto mining crackdown.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>(June 21) US equity futures and global stocks recovered some of their Friday losses after hitting a four-week low earlier in Monday's session, as investors dipped their toe and bought risk after last week’s surprise hawkish shift by the Fed even as the dollar hovered below a 10-week high. S&P 500 futures rebounded after spending most of the Asia session in the red, while Europe's Stoxx 600 Index also recovered from an earlier loss, with U.K. grocer Wm Morrison Supermarkets surging 32% after rejecting an unsolicited takeover bid, sending shares of peers Tesco Plc and J Sainsbury Plc higher.</p>\n<p>At 7:55AM ET the Dow futures contract was up just 185 points, or 0.55%, S&P 500 futures traded 17 points, or 0.41%, higher, and Nasdaq 100 futures climbed 46.5 points, or 0.33%.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a4ceef7ac430487cbff8fee43fc8f4d7\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"523\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>\"It just looks like a bit of relief rally following last week’s heavy sell-offs,</b>” said MUFG analyst Lee Hardman. “Market participants will be watching closely comments from Fed officials in the week ahead to see if any push back against hawkish market repricing following last week’s FOMC meeting”</p>\n<p>While meme stocks were once again bid, cryptocurrency-exposed stocks tumbled in U.S. premarket after Bitcoin crashed over the weekend and into Monday amid a fresh crackdown by China whose digital yuan is proving to be a total disaster so far, prompting Beijing to take out its anger on cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin dropped 10%, sliding below $33,000 amid weakening appetite for riskier assets and China ordered payment platform Alipay and domestic banks to not provide services linked to trading of virtual currencies. The Chinese city of Ya’an was said to have started a crackdown on crypto mining firms.</p>\n<p>As a result, Cryptocurrency-exposed stocks slumped: Riot Blockchain (RIOT) plunged 6.5% in premarket trading and Marathon Digital (MARA) drops 7%, while Coinbase (COIN) slips 2.3% and Ebang (EBON) declines 4.4%. Here are some other notable pre-movers today:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Luokung Technology (LKCO) climbs nearly 14% after announcing its eMapgo Technologies unit won a contract to provide a traffic control network in China’s Jiangxi Province.</li>\n <li><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2487421aafcc3f130d1d3ead0fbf9319\" tg-width=\"719\" tg-height=\"495\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></li>\n <li>Raven Industries surges 48% after the Agnelli family’s CNH Industrial agreed to buy the U.S. precision agriculture-technology company for about $2.1 billion.</li>\n <li>Torchlight Energy Resources (TRCH) jumped as much as 63% after the stock was touted on Reddit as a potential short squeeze. Other meme stocks also climbed: AMC Entertainment (AMC) advances 3.4% and GameStop (GME) gains 1.8%, while Clover Health (CLOV) rises 1%.</li>\n <li></li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket: MicroStrategy, Coinbase, Raven Industries & more</b></p>\n<p><b>1) MicroStrategy(MSTR)</b> – MicroStrategy shares tumbled 8.7% in premarket trading amid a slide in bitcoin prices following the expansion ofChina’s crackdown on bitcoin mining. The business analytics company is among the biggest corporate investors in bitcoin, with several billion dollars in holdings on its books.</p>\n<p><b>2) Coinbase(COIN)</b> – The cryptocurrency platform’s stock slid 3% in premarket action, also hit by the drop in cryptocurrencies amid the latest actions by the Chinese government.</p>\n<p><b>3) Raven Industries(RAVN)</b> – Raven agreed to be bought by fellow agricultural equipment makerCNH Industrial(CNHI) for $58 per share, or $2.1 billion, compared to Raven’s Friday close of $38.62 per share. The stock soared 49.7% in premarket trading.</p>\n<p><b>4) ZipRecruiter(ZIP) </b>– The jobs website operator’s shares rose 2.8% in the premarket after Goldman Sachs rated it “buy” in new coverage and Evercore began coverage with a rating of “outperform.” The upbeat assessments cite ZipRecruiter’s growth prospects and ability to disrupt the employment market.</p>\n<p><b>5) HSBC(HSBC)</b> – HSBC sold its French retail bank to private-equity firm Cerberus Capital for 1 euro, and expects to book a $3 billion loss after unloading the unprofitable operation.</p>\n<p><b>6) Pershing Square Tontine Holdings(PSTH) </b>– The SPAC controlled by billionaire investor Bill Ackmanfinalized a dealto buy a 10% stake in Universal Music from Vivendi. The deal values Universal Music – the world’s largest music company – at about $40 billion. Shares gained 1.1% in the premarket.</p>\n<p><b>7) GlaxoSmithKline(GSK) </b>– Glaxo is set to cut its dividend, according to a report in the U.K.’s Daily Mail newspaper. The drugmaker will hold an investor event on Wednesday, and the paper said a cut of as much as 50% will be revealed at that meeting.</p>\n<p><b>8) Tesla(TSLA)</b> – Former Tesla executive Jerome Guillen sold about $274 million in Tesla shares since June 10, according to a Securities and Exchange Commission filing. Guillen left Tesla earlier this month after 11 years, most recently running the company’s Tesla Heavy Trucking unit.</p>\n<p><b>9) American Airlines(AAL)</b> – American Airlineswill cut planned flights for the first half of Julyby about 950 flights, or 1%, to relieve strains on its operations as it deals with the sharp rebound in travel demand.</p>\n<p><b>10) Westlake Chemical(WLK)</b> – Westlake will buy the North American building products business of Australia’s Boral for $2.15 billion. Westlake said the acquisition will boost its presence in products like roofing and siding, and that it will be accretive to earnings during the first year.</p>\n<p><b>11) Amazon.com(AMZN) </b>– Amazon’stwo-day Prime Day eventis underway, the first time the event has been held in June. A number of other major retailers – includingWalmart(WMT),Target(TGT),Kohl’s(KSS),Macy’s(M) andCostco(COST) are holding competing sales events this week.</p>\n<p><b>12) Boston Beer(SAM)</b> – Guggenheim repeated its “buy” recommendation on the Sam Adams beer brewer, and elevated it to “top pick” status. Guggenheim notes a depressed valuation, easier retail comps beginning in June and underappreciated growth prospects for the Truly hard seltzer brand.</p>\n<p><b>Big News</b></p>\n<p><b>1、Prime Day begins as retail faces supply chain disruptions</b></p>\n<p>Amazon’s Prime Daykicked off Mondayafter the e-commerce giant delayed its massive summer sale to October last year due to the pandemic. Prime Day 2020 pulled in $10.4 billion, according to Digital Commerce 360, a 45% increase from the prior year’s two-day event. This year’s Prime Day comes as retail industry grapples with widespread global supply chain disruptions, caused in part by the ripple effects of pandemic-mandated factory closures as well as labor shortages. A recent Covid outbreak in the southern Chinese province of Guangdong has compounded the problem.</p>\n<p><b>2、American Airlines cancels another hundred flights Monday</b></p>\n<p>As travel demand surges toward pre-pandemic levels,American Airlinescanceled another hundred flights Monday afterscrapping hundreds over the weekenddue to staffing shortages, maintenance and other issues. American said it’s trimming its overall schedule by about 1% through mid-July to help ease some of the strain on its operations. The carrier blamed some of the recent problems on scheduling complications stemming from bad weather at its Charlotte and Dallas/Fort Worth hubs during the first half of June. American is also racing to train all of the pilots it furloughed in between two federal aid packages that prohibited layoffs as well as aviators due for periodic recurrent training.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1164918098","content_text":"Dow set to bounce after its worst weekly loss since October.\nBitcoin drops as China expands crypto mining crackdown.\n\n(June 21) US equity futures and global stocks recovered some of their Friday losses after hitting a four-week low earlier in Monday's session, as investors dipped their toe and bought risk after last week’s surprise hawkish shift by the Fed even as the dollar hovered below a 10-week high. S&P 500 futures rebounded after spending most of the Asia session in the red, while Europe's Stoxx 600 Index also recovered from an earlier loss, with U.K. grocer Wm Morrison Supermarkets surging 32% after rejecting an unsolicited takeover bid, sending shares of peers Tesco Plc and J Sainsbury Plc higher.\nAt 7:55AM ET the Dow futures contract was up just 185 points, or 0.55%, S&P 500 futures traded 17 points, or 0.41%, higher, and Nasdaq 100 futures climbed 46.5 points, or 0.33%.\n\n\"It just looks like a bit of relief rally following last week’s heavy sell-offs,” said MUFG analyst Lee Hardman. “Market participants will be watching closely comments from Fed officials in the week ahead to see if any push back against hawkish market repricing following last week’s FOMC meeting”\nWhile meme stocks were once again bid, cryptocurrency-exposed stocks tumbled in U.S. premarket after Bitcoin crashed over the weekend and into Monday amid a fresh crackdown by China whose digital yuan is proving to be a total disaster so far, prompting Beijing to take out its anger on cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin dropped 10%, sliding below $33,000 amid weakening appetite for riskier assets and China ordered payment platform Alipay and domestic banks to not provide services linked to trading of virtual currencies. The Chinese city of Ya’an was said to have started a crackdown on crypto mining firms.\nAs a result, Cryptocurrency-exposed stocks slumped: Riot Blockchain (RIOT) plunged 6.5% in premarket trading and Marathon Digital (MARA) drops 7%, while Coinbase (COIN) slips 2.3% and Ebang (EBON) declines 4.4%. Here are some other notable pre-movers today:\n\nLuokung Technology (LKCO) climbs nearly 14% after announcing its eMapgo Technologies unit won a contract to provide a traffic control network in China’s Jiangxi Province.\n\nRaven Industries surges 48% after the Agnelli family’s CNH Industrial agreed to buy the U.S. precision agriculture-technology company for about $2.1 billion.\nTorchlight Energy Resources (TRCH) jumped as much as 63% after the stock was touted on Reddit as a potential short squeeze. Other meme stocks also climbed: AMC Entertainment (AMC) advances 3.4% and GameStop (GME) gains 1.8%, while Clover Health (CLOV) rises 1%.\n\n\nStocks making the biggest moves in the premarket: MicroStrategy, Coinbase, Raven Industries & more\n1) MicroStrategy(MSTR) – MicroStrategy shares tumbled 8.7% in premarket trading amid a slide in bitcoin prices following the expansion ofChina’s crackdown on bitcoin mining. The business analytics company is among the biggest corporate investors in bitcoin, with several billion dollars in holdings on its books.\n2) Coinbase(COIN) – The cryptocurrency platform’s stock slid 3% in premarket action, also hit by the drop in cryptocurrencies amid the latest actions by the Chinese government.\n3) Raven Industries(RAVN) – Raven agreed to be bought by fellow agricultural equipment makerCNH Industrial(CNHI) for $58 per share, or $2.1 billion, compared to Raven’s Friday close of $38.62 per share. The stock soared 49.7% in premarket trading.\n4) ZipRecruiter(ZIP) – The jobs website operator’s shares rose 2.8% in the premarket after Goldman Sachs rated it “buy” in new coverage and Evercore began coverage with a rating of “outperform.” The upbeat assessments cite ZipRecruiter’s growth prospects and ability to disrupt the employment market.\n5) HSBC(HSBC) – HSBC sold its French retail bank to private-equity firm Cerberus Capital for 1 euro, and expects to book a $3 billion loss after unloading the unprofitable operation.\n6) Pershing Square Tontine Holdings(PSTH) – The SPAC controlled by billionaire investor Bill Ackmanfinalized a dealto buy a 10% stake in Universal Music from Vivendi. The deal values Universal Music – the world’s largest music company – at about $40 billion. Shares gained 1.1% in the premarket.\n7) GlaxoSmithKline(GSK) – Glaxo is set to cut its dividend, according to a report in the U.K.’s Daily Mail newspaper. The drugmaker will hold an investor event on Wednesday, and the paper said a cut of as much as 50% will be revealed at that meeting.\n8) Tesla(TSLA) – Former Tesla executive Jerome Guillen sold about $274 million in Tesla shares since June 10, according to a Securities and Exchange Commission filing. Guillen left Tesla earlier this month after 11 years, most recently running the company’s Tesla Heavy Trucking unit.\n9) American Airlines(AAL) – American Airlineswill cut planned flights for the first half of Julyby about 950 flights, or 1%, to relieve strains on its operations as it deals with the sharp rebound in travel demand.\n10) Westlake Chemical(WLK) – Westlake will buy the North American building products business of Australia’s Boral for $2.15 billion. Westlake said the acquisition will boost its presence in products like roofing and siding, and that it will be accretive to earnings during the first year.\n11) Amazon.com(AMZN) – Amazon’stwo-day Prime Day eventis underway, the first time the event has been held in June. A number of other major retailers – includingWalmart(WMT),Target(TGT),Kohl’s(KSS),Macy’s(M) andCostco(COST) are holding competing sales events this week.\n12) Boston Beer(SAM) – Guggenheim repeated its “buy” recommendation on the Sam Adams beer brewer, and elevated it to “top pick” status. Guggenheim notes a depressed valuation, easier retail comps beginning in June and underappreciated growth prospects for the Truly hard seltzer brand.\nBig News\n1、Prime Day begins as retail faces supply chain disruptions\nAmazon’s Prime Daykicked off Mondayafter the e-commerce giant delayed its massive summer sale to October last year due to the pandemic. Prime Day 2020 pulled in $10.4 billion, according to Digital Commerce 360, a 45% increase from the prior year’s two-day event. This year’s Prime Day comes as retail industry grapples with widespread global supply chain disruptions, caused in part by the ripple effects of pandemic-mandated factory closures as well as labor shortages. A recent Covid outbreak in the southern Chinese province of Guangdong has compounded the problem.\n2、American Airlines cancels another hundred flights Monday\nAs travel demand surges toward pre-pandemic levels,American Airlinescanceled another hundred flights Monday afterscrapping hundreds over the weekenddue to staffing shortages, maintenance and other issues. American said it’s trimming its overall schedule by about 1% through mid-July to help ease some of the strain on its operations. The carrier blamed some of the recent problems on scheduling complications stemming from bad weather at its Charlotte and Dallas/Fort Worth hubs during the first half of June. American is also racing to train all of the pilots it furloughed in between two federal aid packages that prohibited layoffs as well as aviators due for periodic recurrent training.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":200,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":167419244,"gmtCreate":1624281736788,"gmtModify":1703832322027,"author":{"id":"3576722468537408","authorId":"3576722468537408","name":"kickerz","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576722468537408","authorIdStr":"3576722468537408"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ooh.. ","listText":"Ooh.. ","text":"Ooh..","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/167419244","repostId":"1147979715","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1147979715","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624270382,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1147979715?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-21 18:13","market":"fut","language":"en","title":"Bitcoin Falls to Two-Week Low as China Cracks Down on Crypto","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1147979715","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Bitcoin trades near $33,000 amid worries over market froth\nChina’s harder regulatory stance on crypt","content":"<ul>\n <li>Bitcoin trades near $33,000 amid worries over market froth</li>\n <li>China’s harder regulatory stance on crypto is rattling traders</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Bitcoin fell to a two-week low amid an intensifying cryptocurrency crackdown in China.</p>\n<p>The largest virtual currency fell 8% to $33,070 as of 11:12 a.m. in London. Ether declined 12% to $1,993.</p>\n<p>China has ordered payment platform Alipay and domestic banks to not to provide services linked to trading of virtual currencies. The institutions were also ordered to cut off payment channels for crypto exchanges and over-the-counter platforms, the People’s Bank of China said in a statement.</p>\n<p>It’s more evidence of China’s tougher stance on crypto that’s stretching from financial regulation to the energy demands of Bitcoin mining.</p>\n<p>“The PBOC crackdown is going further than initially expected,” said Jonathan Cheesman, head of over-the-counter and institutional sales at crypto derivatives exchange FTX. “Mining was phase one and speculation is phase two.”</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/31559c8718fe04732604f944b234261f\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"675\"></p>\n<p>Separately, a Chinese city with abundant hydropower has stepped up action to rein in mining. A Ya’an government official told at least one Bitcoin miner that the city has promised to root out all Bitcoin and Ether mining operations with a year, said a person with knowledge of the situation.</p>\n<p>In the backdrop, the appetite for risk assets has diminished after last week’s hawkish policy pivot by the Federal Reserve. Even though equity markets tipped into the green on Monday, analysts pointed to lingering jitters about frothy corners of the market.</p>\n<p>“If, as I expect, the global buy-everything unwind continues this week, Bitcoin willfeelthose chill winds,” said Jeffrey Halley, senior market analyst at Oanda Asia Pacific Pte.</p>\n<p>Some commentators have said China’s hashrate -- the computational power used to mine coins and process blockchain transactions -- is waning amid harsher regulatory oversight.</p>\n<p>The crypto faithful are also grappling with a tumble in tokens used in so-called decentralized-finance-- or DeFi -- applications. DeFi apps let people lend, borrow, trade and take out insurance directly from each other using blockchain technology, without use of intermediaries such as banks.</p>\n<p>For instance, the DeFi Titanium token went from being valued at around $60 to $0 -- a rare occurrence even for famously volatile crypto markets. Famed mogul Mark Cuban had invested, telling Bloomberg News earlier that though it represented a small percentage of his crypto portfolio, the wipe-out “was enough that I wasn’t happy about it.”</p>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bitcoin Falls to Two-Week Low as China Cracks Down on Crypto</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBitcoin Falls to Two-Week Low as China Cracks Down on Crypto\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-21 18:13 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-06-21/bitcoin-pressured-by-post-fed-dip-in-sentiment-china-crackdown?srnd=premium-asia><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Bitcoin trades near $33,000 amid worries over market froth\nChina’s harder regulatory stance on crypto is rattling traders\n\nBitcoin fell to a two-week low amid an intensifying cryptocurrency crackdown ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-06-21/bitcoin-pressured-by-post-fed-dip-in-sentiment-china-crackdown?srnd=premium-asia\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GBTC":"Grayscale Bitcoin Trust"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-06-21/bitcoin-pressured-by-post-fed-dip-in-sentiment-china-crackdown?srnd=premium-asia","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1147979715","content_text":"Bitcoin trades near $33,000 amid worries over market froth\nChina’s harder regulatory stance on crypto is rattling traders\n\nBitcoin fell to a two-week low amid an intensifying cryptocurrency crackdown in China.\nThe largest virtual currency fell 8% to $33,070 as of 11:12 a.m. in London. Ether declined 12% to $1,993.\nChina has ordered payment platform Alipay and domestic banks to not to provide services linked to trading of virtual currencies. The institutions were also ordered to cut off payment channels for crypto exchanges and over-the-counter platforms, the People’s Bank of China said in a statement.\nIt’s more evidence of China’s tougher stance on crypto that’s stretching from financial regulation to the energy demands of Bitcoin mining.\n“The PBOC crackdown is going further than initially expected,” said Jonathan Cheesman, head of over-the-counter and institutional sales at crypto derivatives exchange FTX. “Mining was phase one and speculation is phase two.”\n\nSeparately, a Chinese city with abundant hydropower has stepped up action to rein in mining. A Ya’an government official told at least one Bitcoin miner that the city has promised to root out all Bitcoin and Ether mining operations with a year, said a person with knowledge of the situation.\nIn the backdrop, the appetite for risk assets has diminished after last week’s hawkish policy pivot by the Federal Reserve. Even though equity markets tipped into the green on Monday, analysts pointed to lingering jitters about frothy corners of the market.\n“If, as I expect, the global buy-everything unwind continues this week, Bitcoin willfeelthose chill winds,” said Jeffrey Halley, senior market analyst at Oanda Asia Pacific Pte.\nSome commentators have said China’s hashrate -- the computational power used to mine coins and process blockchain transactions -- is waning amid harsher regulatory oversight.\nThe crypto faithful are also grappling with a tumble in tokens used in so-called decentralized-finance-- or DeFi -- applications. DeFi apps let people lend, borrow, trade and take out insurance directly from each other using blockchain technology, without use of intermediaries such as banks.\nFor instance, the DeFi Titanium token went from being valued at around $60 to $0 -- a rare occurrence even for famously volatile crypto markets. Famed mogul Mark Cuban had invested, telling Bloomberg News earlier that though it represented a small percentage of his crypto portfolio, the wipe-out “was enough that I wasn’t happy about it.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":312,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":127329642,"gmtCreate":1624836458986,"gmtModify":1703845649372,"author":{"id":"3576722468537408","authorId":"3576722468537408","name":"kickerz","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576722468537408","authorIdStr":"3576722468537408"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"? ","listText":"? ","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/127329642","repostId":"2146074520","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":250,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":121430360,"gmtCreate":1624488095550,"gmtModify":1703837946282,"author":{"id":"3576722468537408","authorId":"3576722468537408","name":"kickerz","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576722468537408","authorIdStr":"3576722468537408"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/121430360","repostId":"1191722749","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1191722749","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624455982,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1191722749?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-23 21:46","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Fed In A Box, Part 1: They Cannot Raise Interest Rates","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1191722749","media":"zerohedge","summary":"3 Key Takeaways\n\nThe US Government has over $28 Trillion in Debt\nMuch of the debt is short-term, mak","content":"<p><b>3 Key Takeaways</b></p>\n<ol>\n <li>The US Government has over $28 Trillion in Debt</li>\n <li>Much of the debt is short-term, making it extra sensitive to higher rates</li>\n <li>Higher Interest Rates would immediately start putting strain on the Federal Budget</li>\n</ol>\n<p><b>Introduction</b></p>\n<p>The US has over $28 Trillion dollars in debt and it continues to grow at an alarming rate. Even before COVID-19, the problem was becoming unwieldy. Ironically, despite adding $4T+ in debt over the last year, the pandemic may have given the US Government short-term reprieve as it gave the Federal Reserve a green light to drop rates back to zero.</p>\n<p>First and foremost, this took pressure off the Treasury as it refinanced the ballooning short-term debt outstanding at lower rates. However, even more relief occurred as the Federal Reserve absorbed +90% of the long term debt issued since last March. This allowed more room in the private markets to purchase the issuance of new short-term Treasury Bills. Because the Fed pays interest revenue back to the Treasury, and since interest rates on Treasury Bills are sitting at 0%, this has effectively given the Treasury a <b>$4.5T loan at 0% interest</b> in 15 months!</p>\n<p>While this sounds like a great deal, it comes with major risks and has now put the Fed in a box. This will be explained in detail over two articles. Part 1 will explain why the Fed can no longer raise interest rates, and Part 2 will show how the Fed is unable to taper and may even need to increase Treasury purchases to maintain control over the long end of the yield curve.</p>\n<p><b>$28 Trillion and Growing</b></p>\n<p>The US Government cannot stop spending money. Spending is now far in excess of what is being collected in tax revenues. The US economy continues to experience nominal increases in growth, which has increased Federal Tax receipts, but Federal Spending is growing far faster. Figure 1 below, shows this clear trend.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b5576e9901f1f8310629d45af16836a\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"512\"></p>\n<p><i>Source – Treasurydirect.gov</i></p>\n<p>Excess spending has to be paid for using debt. This massive excess in spending has led to proliferate borrowing by the Federal Government resulting in over $28T in total debt outstanding. See figure 2 below.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed345b06ec4a35726fe7d9847937cf34\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"512\"></p>\n<p><i>Source – Treasurydirect.gov</i></p>\n<p>For anyone struggling to wrap their mind around the size of $1T, please see this great visual. Now, multiply that by 28!</p>\n<p>For most governments, this would be unsustainable as interest rates would rise. This puts pressure on a borrower to bring down spending. The US Government has benefited from three major advantages that are not available to most governments. First, it has the exorbitant privilege of issuing the global reserve currency (for now), which creates far more demand for dollars than would otherwise be the case. The petro-dollar should have its own dedicated article, so that will be skipped in this analysis.</p>\n<p>It is important to highlight two other key facts that have allowed spending and borrowing to continue unabated. It has been able to borrow from the Social Security Trust Fund, and the Federal Reserve has absorbed a large chunk of debt issuance in recent years. Not only does this equate to $11T in interest-free loans (as all interest payments return back to the Treasury), but it has prevented the private markets from absorbing all new debt issuance keeping interest rates lower. As Figure 3 below shows, since Jan 2010, the private markets have “only” had to absorb $9T of the $14.5T issued.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2dee6e735c0a3c1421eb321c0eae4b54\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"512\"></p>\n<p><i>Source – Treasurydirect.gov andhttps://fred.stlouisfed.org/</i></p>\n<p>Since Jan 2020, the numbers are even more stark. The Treasury has issued $4.5T, of which the Fed has taken on $2.6T (<i>Note: The Fed balance sheet has expanded by greater than $4T, but not all of this was Treasury Debt</i>). Looking deeper into the numbers shows the Fed had an even bigger appetite for longer-dated maturities. With Short Term rates at 0%, the Treasury can sell Treasury Bills to the private sector and still have an interest-free loan. Thus, it has been critical for the Fed to absorb almost all (~90%) the long-term debt issued by the Treasury to keep interest payments low!</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89bf299c6c054e65d3317aa72d0f686a\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"512\"></p>\n<p><i>Source – Treasurydirect.gov</i></p>\n<p><b>The Treasury has so far avoided higher interest payments</b></p>\n<p>Zooming back out, the three charts below show why the maneuvers over the last year have been so important. Take one more look at the US Debt load, this time categorized by vehicle. Non-Marketable is debt the government owes itself, Notes represent 1-10 year maturity, Bills less than 1 year, and Bonds >10 years. The two charts below show both the absolute growth in debt and how the makeup of the debt has changed. Since 2008, Notes have experienced the largest growth increasing from 25% of total outstanding to 42%. Non-Marketable went the other way, shrinking from 45% to 25% as the Social Security Trust Fund is no longer a source to borrow from.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a144f0f9250c364637205e8bd0178bc0\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"512\"></p>\n<p><i>Source – Treasurydirect.gov</i></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2c1851784731b81544c30c5338624a03\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"512\"></p>\n<p><i>Source – Treasurydirect.gov</i></p>\n<p>It is important to notice the growth in Treasury Bills above. Bills are the highest risk to the Treasury because higher interest rates will affect Bills within months, so it is important to note that in 2015 during the last rate hike cycle they accounted for only $1.4T but now make up $4.3T. This means every .25% rate hike will almost immediately add $10B to Federal spending. The chart below clearly shows the impact of the last interest rate hike cycle. The Pink line shows how Bills followed the Fed hike cycle topping out near 2.25%.</p>\n<p>If the Fed attempted to raise rates in a similar fashion it would immediately add $100B to Federal Spending on ONLY interest due for Treasury Bills. In a scenario where the Fed shrunk its balance sheet back to $1T (no more interest free loans) AND raised interest rates back to 4%, the Treasury would incur an extra $160B in interest rates for Treasury Bills and a whopping $290B on Treasury Notes! This would not factor in any new debt added over that time, which now includes an extra $.5T a year just on interest payments!</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04501c54f465fba412ffbf77b81a559f\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"512\"></p>\n<p><i>Source – Treasurydirect.gov</i></p>\n<p>The chart below shows a much clearer impact of how falling interest rates have kept debt payments relatively stable for nearly 20 years. The chart shows the average weighted interest rate and the annualized monthly interest payments. The orange line (average weighted interest rate) is moving in direct opposition to the growth in debt seen above. In the last rate tightening cycle, the chart shows just how quickly higher interest rates increased the debt burden ($150B). The Fed owns very few Treasury Bills ($320B), so those interest payments are NOT returning to the Treasury.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c859933a1e991d3e6ba191ccb6a7609e\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"512\"></p>\n<p><i>Source – Treasurydirect.gov</i></p>\n<p>One final chart to consider. How do these interest payments compare to tax revenue collected by the IRS? In this context, it becomes very clear how much impact the 2015 rate cycle increases had on debt payments.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/585708ace254d0b79ecddcc77c9c8ca0\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"512\"></p>\n<p><i>Source – Treasurydirect.gov</i></p>\n<p><b>Wrapping Up</b></p>\n<p>Nothing in this article should be surprising to anyone who even closely watches the US Debt situation or follows financial markets. The charts and graphs attempted to show the trends and put hard numbers behind what most people already know anecdotally. This article does not even touch on how devastating higher interest rates would be on the housing market, corporate debt market, and consumer debt market. Instead it only focuses on the Treasury, which just so happens to be run by the old chair of the Federal Reserve (Janet Yellen).</p>\n<p>None of this math is overly complex, and all the data is freely available on the Treasury and Fed website. This begs the question, does the Fed realize interest rates cannot go up or are they only looking in the rear-view mirror and assuming that an increase to 2.25% will be similar to 2015 which was “only” derailed by COVID-19? To reiterate, the drop in interest rates gave the Treasury <i>relief</i> from the higher interest payments. Next time they might not even get halfway to 2% with the added debt burden.<b>Unfortunately, for the Fed, their box is tighter than most realize.</b>If the Fed hasn’t figured it out by now,<b>even before they fail to raise interest rates, they will be unable taper Quantitative Easing (debt monetization) much less shrink their balance sheet, without serious consequences.</b>That data will be reviewed in Part 2. Stay tuned!</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Fed In A Box, Part 1: They Cannot Raise Interest Rates</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Fed In A Box, Part 1: They Cannot Raise Interest Rates\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-23 21:46 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/fed-box-part-1-they-cannot-raise-interest-rates><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>3 Key Takeaways\n\nThe US Government has over $28 Trillion in Debt\nMuch of the debt is short-term, making it extra sensitive to higher rates\nHigher Interest Rates would immediately start putting strain ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/fed-box-part-1-they-cannot-raise-interest-rates\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/fed-box-part-1-they-cannot-raise-interest-rates","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1191722749","content_text":"3 Key Takeaways\n\nThe US Government has over $28 Trillion in Debt\nMuch of the debt is short-term, making it extra sensitive to higher rates\nHigher Interest Rates would immediately start putting strain on the Federal Budget\n\nIntroduction\nThe US has over $28 Trillion dollars in debt and it continues to grow at an alarming rate. Even before COVID-19, the problem was becoming unwieldy. Ironically, despite adding $4T+ in debt over the last year, the pandemic may have given the US Government short-term reprieve as it gave the Federal Reserve a green light to drop rates back to zero.\nFirst and foremost, this took pressure off the Treasury as it refinanced the ballooning short-term debt outstanding at lower rates. However, even more relief occurred as the Federal Reserve absorbed +90% of the long term debt issued since last March. This allowed more room in the private markets to purchase the issuance of new short-term Treasury Bills. Because the Fed pays interest revenue back to the Treasury, and since interest rates on Treasury Bills are sitting at 0%, this has effectively given the Treasury a $4.5T loan at 0% interest in 15 months!\nWhile this sounds like a great deal, it comes with major risks and has now put the Fed in a box. This will be explained in detail over two articles. Part 1 will explain why the Fed can no longer raise interest rates, and Part 2 will show how the Fed is unable to taper and may even need to increase Treasury purchases to maintain control over the long end of the yield curve.\n$28 Trillion and Growing\nThe US Government cannot stop spending money. Spending is now far in excess of what is being collected in tax revenues. The US economy continues to experience nominal increases in growth, which has increased Federal Tax receipts, but Federal Spending is growing far faster. Figure 1 below, shows this clear trend.\n\nSource – Treasurydirect.gov\nExcess spending has to be paid for using debt. This massive excess in spending has led to proliferate borrowing by the Federal Government resulting in over $28T in total debt outstanding. See figure 2 below.\n\nSource – Treasurydirect.gov\nFor anyone struggling to wrap their mind around the size of $1T, please see this great visual. Now, multiply that by 28!\nFor most governments, this would be unsustainable as interest rates would rise. This puts pressure on a borrower to bring down spending. The US Government has benefited from three major advantages that are not available to most governments. First, it has the exorbitant privilege of issuing the global reserve currency (for now), which creates far more demand for dollars than would otherwise be the case. The petro-dollar should have its own dedicated article, so that will be skipped in this analysis.\nIt is important to highlight two other key facts that have allowed spending and borrowing to continue unabated. It has been able to borrow from the Social Security Trust Fund, and the Federal Reserve has absorbed a large chunk of debt issuance in recent years. Not only does this equate to $11T in interest-free loans (as all interest payments return back to the Treasury), but it has prevented the private markets from absorbing all new debt issuance keeping interest rates lower. As Figure 3 below shows, since Jan 2010, the private markets have “only” had to absorb $9T of the $14.5T issued.\n\nSource – Treasurydirect.gov andhttps://fred.stlouisfed.org/\nSince Jan 2020, the numbers are even more stark. The Treasury has issued $4.5T, of which the Fed has taken on $2.6T (Note: The Fed balance sheet has expanded by greater than $4T, but not all of this was Treasury Debt). Looking deeper into the numbers shows the Fed had an even bigger appetite for longer-dated maturities. With Short Term rates at 0%, the Treasury can sell Treasury Bills to the private sector and still have an interest-free loan. Thus, it has been critical for the Fed to absorb almost all (~90%) the long-term debt issued by the Treasury to keep interest payments low!\n\nSource – Treasurydirect.gov\nThe Treasury has so far avoided higher interest payments\nZooming back out, the three charts below show why the maneuvers over the last year have been so important. Take one more look at the US Debt load, this time categorized by vehicle. Non-Marketable is debt the government owes itself, Notes represent 1-10 year maturity, Bills less than 1 year, and Bonds >10 years. The two charts below show both the absolute growth in debt and how the makeup of the debt has changed. Since 2008, Notes have experienced the largest growth increasing from 25% of total outstanding to 42%. Non-Marketable went the other way, shrinking from 45% to 25% as the Social Security Trust Fund is no longer a source to borrow from.\n\nSource – Treasurydirect.gov\n\nSource – Treasurydirect.gov\nIt is important to notice the growth in Treasury Bills above. Bills are the highest risk to the Treasury because higher interest rates will affect Bills within months, so it is important to note that in 2015 during the last rate hike cycle they accounted for only $1.4T but now make up $4.3T. This means every .25% rate hike will almost immediately add $10B to Federal spending. The chart below clearly shows the impact of the last interest rate hike cycle. The Pink line shows how Bills followed the Fed hike cycle topping out near 2.25%.\nIf the Fed attempted to raise rates in a similar fashion it would immediately add $100B to Federal Spending on ONLY interest due for Treasury Bills. In a scenario where the Fed shrunk its balance sheet back to $1T (no more interest free loans) AND raised interest rates back to 4%, the Treasury would incur an extra $160B in interest rates for Treasury Bills and a whopping $290B on Treasury Notes! This would not factor in any new debt added over that time, which now includes an extra $.5T a year just on interest payments!\n\nSource – Treasurydirect.gov\nThe chart below shows a much clearer impact of how falling interest rates have kept debt payments relatively stable for nearly 20 years. The chart shows the average weighted interest rate and the annualized monthly interest payments. The orange line (average weighted interest rate) is moving in direct opposition to the growth in debt seen above. In the last rate tightening cycle, the chart shows just how quickly higher interest rates increased the debt burden ($150B). The Fed owns very few Treasury Bills ($320B), so those interest payments are NOT returning to the Treasury.\n\nSource – Treasurydirect.gov\nOne final chart to consider. How do these interest payments compare to tax revenue collected by the IRS? In this context, it becomes very clear how much impact the 2015 rate cycle increases had on debt payments.\n\nSource – Treasurydirect.gov\nWrapping Up\nNothing in this article should be surprising to anyone who even closely watches the US Debt situation or follows financial markets. The charts and graphs attempted to show the trends and put hard numbers behind what most people already know anecdotally. This article does not even touch on how devastating higher interest rates would be on the housing market, corporate debt market, and consumer debt market. Instead it only focuses on the Treasury, which just so happens to be run by the old chair of the Federal Reserve (Janet Yellen).\nNone of this math is overly complex, and all the data is freely available on the Treasury and Fed website. This begs the question, does the Fed realize interest rates cannot go up or are they only looking in the rear-view mirror and assuming that an increase to 2.25% will be similar to 2015 which was “only” derailed by COVID-19? To reiterate, the drop in interest rates gave the Treasury relief from the higher interest payments. Next time they might not even get halfway to 2% with the added debt burden.Unfortunately, for the Fed, their box is tighter than most realize.If the Fed hasn’t figured it out by now,even before they fail to raise interest rates, they will be unable taper Quantitative Easing (debt monetization) much less shrink their balance sheet, without serious consequences.That data will be reviewed in Part 2. Stay tuned!","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":158,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":167488084,"gmtCreate":1624282264348,"gmtModify":1703832343876,"author":{"id":"3576722468537408","authorId":"3576722468537408","name":"kickerz","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576722468537408","authorIdStr":"3576722468537408"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/167488084","repostId":"1164918098","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1164918098","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1624276383,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1164918098?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-21 19:53","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines Before US Market Open on Monday","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1164918098","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Dow set to bounce after its worst weekly loss since October.\nBitcoin drops as China expands crypto m","content":"<ul>\n <li>Dow set to bounce after its worst weekly loss since October.</li>\n <li>Bitcoin drops as China expands crypto mining crackdown.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>(June 21) US equity futures and global stocks recovered some of their Friday losses after hitting a four-week low earlier in Monday's session, as investors dipped their toe and bought risk after last week’s surprise hawkish shift by the Fed even as the dollar hovered below a 10-week high. S&P 500 futures rebounded after spending most of the Asia session in the red, while Europe's Stoxx 600 Index also recovered from an earlier loss, with U.K. grocer Wm Morrison Supermarkets surging 32% after rejecting an unsolicited takeover bid, sending shares of peers Tesco Plc and J Sainsbury Plc higher.</p>\n<p>At 7:55AM ET the Dow futures contract was up just 185 points, or 0.55%, S&P 500 futures traded 17 points, or 0.41%, higher, and Nasdaq 100 futures climbed 46.5 points, or 0.33%.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a4ceef7ac430487cbff8fee43fc8f4d7\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"523\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>\"It just looks like a bit of relief rally following last week’s heavy sell-offs,</b>” said MUFG analyst Lee Hardman. “Market participants will be watching closely comments from Fed officials in the week ahead to see if any push back against hawkish market repricing following last week’s FOMC meeting”</p>\n<p>While meme stocks were once again bid, cryptocurrency-exposed stocks tumbled in U.S. premarket after Bitcoin crashed over the weekend and into Monday amid a fresh crackdown by China whose digital yuan is proving to be a total disaster so far, prompting Beijing to take out its anger on cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin dropped 10%, sliding below $33,000 amid weakening appetite for riskier assets and China ordered payment platform Alipay and domestic banks to not provide services linked to trading of virtual currencies. The Chinese city of Ya’an was said to have started a crackdown on crypto mining firms.</p>\n<p>As a result, Cryptocurrency-exposed stocks slumped: Riot Blockchain (RIOT) plunged 6.5% in premarket trading and Marathon Digital (MARA) drops 7%, while Coinbase (COIN) slips 2.3% and Ebang (EBON) declines 4.4%. Here are some other notable pre-movers today:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Luokung Technology (LKCO) climbs nearly 14% after announcing its eMapgo Technologies unit won a contract to provide a traffic control network in China’s Jiangxi Province.</li>\n <li><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2487421aafcc3f130d1d3ead0fbf9319\" tg-width=\"719\" tg-height=\"495\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></li>\n <li>Raven Industries surges 48% after the Agnelli family’s CNH Industrial agreed to buy the U.S. precision agriculture-technology company for about $2.1 billion.</li>\n <li>Torchlight Energy Resources (TRCH) jumped as much as 63% after the stock was touted on Reddit as a potential short squeeze. Other meme stocks also climbed: AMC Entertainment (AMC) advances 3.4% and GameStop (GME) gains 1.8%, while Clover Health (CLOV) rises 1%.</li>\n <li></li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket: MicroStrategy, Coinbase, Raven Industries & more</b></p>\n<p><b>1) MicroStrategy(MSTR)</b> – MicroStrategy shares tumbled 8.7% in premarket trading amid a slide in bitcoin prices following the expansion ofChina’s crackdown on bitcoin mining. The business analytics company is among the biggest corporate investors in bitcoin, with several billion dollars in holdings on its books.</p>\n<p><b>2) Coinbase(COIN)</b> – The cryptocurrency platform’s stock slid 3% in premarket action, also hit by the drop in cryptocurrencies amid the latest actions by the Chinese government.</p>\n<p><b>3) Raven Industries(RAVN)</b> – Raven agreed to be bought by fellow agricultural equipment makerCNH Industrial(CNHI) for $58 per share, or $2.1 billion, compared to Raven’s Friday close of $38.62 per share. The stock soared 49.7% in premarket trading.</p>\n<p><b>4) ZipRecruiter(ZIP) </b>– The jobs website operator’s shares rose 2.8% in the premarket after Goldman Sachs rated it “buy” in new coverage and Evercore began coverage with a rating of “outperform.” The upbeat assessments cite ZipRecruiter’s growth prospects and ability to disrupt the employment market.</p>\n<p><b>5) HSBC(HSBC)</b> – HSBC sold its French retail bank to private-equity firm Cerberus Capital for 1 euro, and expects to book a $3 billion loss after unloading the unprofitable operation.</p>\n<p><b>6) Pershing Square Tontine Holdings(PSTH) </b>– The SPAC controlled by billionaire investor Bill Ackmanfinalized a dealto buy a 10% stake in Universal Music from Vivendi. The deal values Universal Music – the world’s largest music company – at about $40 billion. Shares gained 1.1% in the premarket.</p>\n<p><b>7) GlaxoSmithKline(GSK) </b>– Glaxo is set to cut its dividend, according to a report in the U.K.’s Daily Mail newspaper. The drugmaker will hold an investor event on Wednesday, and the paper said a cut of as much as 50% will be revealed at that meeting.</p>\n<p><b>8) Tesla(TSLA)</b> – Former Tesla executive Jerome Guillen sold about $274 million in Tesla shares since June 10, according to a Securities and Exchange Commission filing. Guillen left Tesla earlier this month after 11 years, most recently running the company’s Tesla Heavy Trucking unit.</p>\n<p><b>9) American Airlines(AAL)</b> – American Airlineswill cut planned flights for the first half of Julyby about 950 flights, or 1%, to relieve strains on its operations as it deals with the sharp rebound in travel demand.</p>\n<p><b>10) Westlake Chemical(WLK)</b> – Westlake will buy the North American building products business of Australia’s Boral for $2.15 billion. Westlake said the acquisition will boost its presence in products like roofing and siding, and that it will be accretive to earnings during the first year.</p>\n<p><b>11) Amazon.com(AMZN) </b>– Amazon’stwo-day Prime Day eventis underway, the first time the event has been held in June. A number of other major retailers – includingWalmart(WMT),Target(TGT),Kohl’s(KSS),Macy’s(M) andCostco(COST) are holding competing sales events this week.</p>\n<p><b>12) Boston Beer(SAM)</b> – Guggenheim repeated its “buy” recommendation on the Sam Adams beer brewer, and elevated it to “top pick” status. Guggenheim notes a depressed valuation, easier retail comps beginning in June and underappreciated growth prospects for the Truly hard seltzer brand.</p>\n<p><b>Big News</b></p>\n<p><b>1、Prime Day begins as retail faces supply chain disruptions</b></p>\n<p>Amazon’s Prime Daykicked off Mondayafter the e-commerce giant delayed its massive summer sale to October last year due to the pandemic. Prime Day 2020 pulled in $10.4 billion, according to Digital Commerce 360, a 45% increase from the prior year’s two-day event. This year’s Prime Day comes as retail industry grapples with widespread global supply chain disruptions, caused in part by the ripple effects of pandemic-mandated factory closures as well as labor shortages. A recent Covid outbreak in the southern Chinese province of Guangdong has compounded the problem.</p>\n<p><b>2、American Airlines cancels another hundred flights Monday</b></p>\n<p>As travel demand surges toward pre-pandemic levels,American Airlinescanceled another hundred flights Monday afterscrapping hundreds over the weekenddue to staffing shortages, maintenance and other issues. American said it’s trimming its overall schedule by about 1% through mid-July to help ease some of the strain on its operations. The carrier blamed some of the recent problems on scheduling complications stemming from bad weather at its Charlotte and Dallas/Fort Worth hubs during the first half of June. American is also racing to train all of the pilots it furloughed in between two federal aid packages that prohibited layoffs as well as aviators due for periodic recurrent training.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toplines Before US Market Open on Monday</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines Before US Market Open on Monday\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-06-21 19:53</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<ul>\n <li>Dow set to bounce after its worst weekly loss since October.</li>\n <li>Bitcoin drops as China expands crypto mining crackdown.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>(June 21) US equity futures and global stocks recovered some of their Friday losses after hitting a four-week low earlier in Monday's session, as investors dipped their toe and bought risk after last week’s surprise hawkish shift by the Fed even as the dollar hovered below a 10-week high. S&P 500 futures rebounded after spending most of the Asia session in the red, while Europe's Stoxx 600 Index also recovered from an earlier loss, with U.K. grocer Wm Morrison Supermarkets surging 32% after rejecting an unsolicited takeover bid, sending shares of peers Tesco Plc and J Sainsbury Plc higher.</p>\n<p>At 7:55AM ET the Dow futures contract was up just 185 points, or 0.55%, S&P 500 futures traded 17 points, or 0.41%, higher, and Nasdaq 100 futures climbed 46.5 points, or 0.33%.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a4ceef7ac430487cbff8fee43fc8f4d7\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"523\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>\"It just looks like a bit of relief rally following last week’s heavy sell-offs,</b>” said MUFG analyst Lee Hardman. “Market participants will be watching closely comments from Fed officials in the week ahead to see if any push back against hawkish market repricing following last week’s FOMC meeting”</p>\n<p>While meme stocks were once again bid, cryptocurrency-exposed stocks tumbled in U.S. premarket after Bitcoin crashed over the weekend and into Monday amid a fresh crackdown by China whose digital yuan is proving to be a total disaster so far, prompting Beijing to take out its anger on cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin dropped 10%, sliding below $33,000 amid weakening appetite for riskier assets and China ordered payment platform Alipay and domestic banks to not provide services linked to trading of virtual currencies. The Chinese city of Ya’an was said to have started a crackdown on crypto mining firms.</p>\n<p>As a result, Cryptocurrency-exposed stocks slumped: Riot Blockchain (RIOT) plunged 6.5% in premarket trading and Marathon Digital (MARA) drops 7%, while Coinbase (COIN) slips 2.3% and Ebang (EBON) declines 4.4%. Here are some other notable pre-movers today:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Luokung Technology (LKCO) climbs nearly 14% after announcing its eMapgo Technologies unit won a contract to provide a traffic control network in China’s Jiangxi Province.</li>\n <li><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2487421aafcc3f130d1d3ead0fbf9319\" tg-width=\"719\" tg-height=\"495\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></li>\n <li>Raven Industries surges 48% after the Agnelli family’s CNH Industrial agreed to buy the U.S. precision agriculture-technology company for about $2.1 billion.</li>\n <li>Torchlight Energy Resources (TRCH) jumped as much as 63% after the stock was touted on Reddit as a potential short squeeze. Other meme stocks also climbed: AMC Entertainment (AMC) advances 3.4% and GameStop (GME) gains 1.8%, while Clover Health (CLOV) rises 1%.</li>\n <li></li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket: MicroStrategy, Coinbase, Raven Industries & more</b></p>\n<p><b>1) MicroStrategy(MSTR)</b> – MicroStrategy shares tumbled 8.7% in premarket trading amid a slide in bitcoin prices following the expansion ofChina’s crackdown on bitcoin mining. The business analytics company is among the biggest corporate investors in bitcoin, with several billion dollars in holdings on its books.</p>\n<p><b>2) Coinbase(COIN)</b> – The cryptocurrency platform’s stock slid 3% in premarket action, also hit by the drop in cryptocurrencies amid the latest actions by the Chinese government.</p>\n<p><b>3) Raven Industries(RAVN)</b> – Raven agreed to be bought by fellow agricultural equipment makerCNH Industrial(CNHI) for $58 per share, or $2.1 billion, compared to Raven’s Friday close of $38.62 per share. The stock soared 49.7% in premarket trading.</p>\n<p><b>4) ZipRecruiter(ZIP) </b>– The jobs website operator’s shares rose 2.8% in the premarket after Goldman Sachs rated it “buy” in new coverage and Evercore began coverage with a rating of “outperform.” The upbeat assessments cite ZipRecruiter’s growth prospects and ability to disrupt the employment market.</p>\n<p><b>5) HSBC(HSBC)</b> – HSBC sold its French retail bank to private-equity firm Cerberus Capital for 1 euro, and expects to book a $3 billion loss after unloading the unprofitable operation.</p>\n<p><b>6) Pershing Square Tontine Holdings(PSTH) </b>– The SPAC controlled by billionaire investor Bill Ackmanfinalized a dealto buy a 10% stake in Universal Music from Vivendi. The deal values Universal Music – the world’s largest music company – at about $40 billion. Shares gained 1.1% in the premarket.</p>\n<p><b>7) GlaxoSmithKline(GSK) </b>– Glaxo is set to cut its dividend, according to a report in the U.K.’s Daily Mail newspaper. The drugmaker will hold an investor event on Wednesday, and the paper said a cut of as much as 50% will be revealed at that meeting.</p>\n<p><b>8) Tesla(TSLA)</b> – Former Tesla executive Jerome Guillen sold about $274 million in Tesla shares since June 10, according to a Securities and Exchange Commission filing. Guillen left Tesla earlier this month after 11 years, most recently running the company’s Tesla Heavy Trucking unit.</p>\n<p><b>9) American Airlines(AAL)</b> – American Airlineswill cut planned flights for the first half of Julyby about 950 flights, or 1%, to relieve strains on its operations as it deals with the sharp rebound in travel demand.</p>\n<p><b>10) Westlake Chemical(WLK)</b> – Westlake will buy the North American building products business of Australia’s Boral for $2.15 billion. Westlake said the acquisition will boost its presence in products like roofing and siding, and that it will be accretive to earnings during the first year.</p>\n<p><b>11) Amazon.com(AMZN) </b>– Amazon’stwo-day Prime Day eventis underway, the first time the event has been held in June. A number of other major retailers – includingWalmart(WMT),Target(TGT),Kohl’s(KSS),Macy’s(M) andCostco(COST) are holding competing sales events this week.</p>\n<p><b>12) Boston Beer(SAM)</b> – Guggenheim repeated its “buy” recommendation on the Sam Adams beer brewer, and elevated it to “top pick” status. Guggenheim notes a depressed valuation, easier retail comps beginning in June and underappreciated growth prospects for the Truly hard seltzer brand.</p>\n<p><b>Big News</b></p>\n<p><b>1、Prime Day begins as retail faces supply chain disruptions</b></p>\n<p>Amazon’s Prime Daykicked off Mondayafter the e-commerce giant delayed its massive summer sale to October last year due to the pandemic. Prime Day 2020 pulled in $10.4 billion, according to Digital Commerce 360, a 45% increase from the prior year’s two-day event. This year’s Prime Day comes as retail industry grapples with widespread global supply chain disruptions, caused in part by the ripple effects of pandemic-mandated factory closures as well as labor shortages. A recent Covid outbreak in the southern Chinese province of Guangdong has compounded the problem.</p>\n<p><b>2、American Airlines cancels another hundred flights Monday</b></p>\n<p>As travel demand surges toward pre-pandemic levels,American Airlinescanceled another hundred flights Monday afterscrapping hundreds over the weekenddue to staffing shortages, maintenance and other issues. American said it’s trimming its overall schedule by about 1% through mid-July to help ease some of the strain on its operations. The carrier blamed some of the recent problems on scheduling complications stemming from bad weather at its Charlotte and Dallas/Fort Worth hubs during the first half of June. American is also racing to train all of the pilots it furloughed in between two federal aid packages that prohibited layoffs as well as aviators due for periodic recurrent training.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1164918098","content_text":"Dow set to bounce after its worst weekly loss since October.\nBitcoin drops as China expands crypto mining crackdown.\n\n(June 21) US equity futures and global stocks recovered some of their Friday losses after hitting a four-week low earlier in Monday's session, as investors dipped their toe and bought risk after last week’s surprise hawkish shift by the Fed even as the dollar hovered below a 10-week high. S&P 500 futures rebounded after spending most of the Asia session in the red, while Europe's Stoxx 600 Index also recovered from an earlier loss, with U.K. grocer Wm Morrison Supermarkets surging 32% after rejecting an unsolicited takeover bid, sending shares of peers Tesco Plc and J Sainsbury Plc higher.\nAt 7:55AM ET the Dow futures contract was up just 185 points, or 0.55%, S&P 500 futures traded 17 points, or 0.41%, higher, and Nasdaq 100 futures climbed 46.5 points, or 0.33%.\n\n\"It just looks like a bit of relief rally following last week’s heavy sell-offs,” said MUFG analyst Lee Hardman. “Market participants will be watching closely comments from Fed officials in the week ahead to see if any push back against hawkish market repricing following last week’s FOMC meeting”\nWhile meme stocks were once again bid, cryptocurrency-exposed stocks tumbled in U.S. premarket after Bitcoin crashed over the weekend and into Monday amid a fresh crackdown by China whose digital yuan is proving to be a total disaster so far, prompting Beijing to take out its anger on cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin dropped 10%, sliding below $33,000 amid weakening appetite for riskier assets and China ordered payment platform Alipay and domestic banks to not provide services linked to trading of virtual currencies. The Chinese city of Ya’an was said to have started a crackdown on crypto mining firms.\nAs a result, Cryptocurrency-exposed stocks slumped: Riot Blockchain (RIOT) plunged 6.5% in premarket trading and Marathon Digital (MARA) drops 7%, while Coinbase (COIN) slips 2.3% and Ebang (EBON) declines 4.4%. Here are some other notable pre-movers today:\n\nLuokung Technology (LKCO) climbs nearly 14% after announcing its eMapgo Technologies unit won a contract to provide a traffic control network in China’s Jiangxi Province.\n\nRaven Industries surges 48% after the Agnelli family’s CNH Industrial agreed to buy the U.S. precision agriculture-technology company for about $2.1 billion.\nTorchlight Energy Resources (TRCH) jumped as much as 63% after the stock was touted on Reddit as a potential short squeeze. Other meme stocks also climbed: AMC Entertainment (AMC) advances 3.4% and GameStop (GME) gains 1.8%, while Clover Health (CLOV) rises 1%.\n\n\nStocks making the biggest moves in the premarket: MicroStrategy, Coinbase, Raven Industries & more\n1) MicroStrategy(MSTR) – MicroStrategy shares tumbled 8.7% in premarket trading amid a slide in bitcoin prices following the expansion ofChina’s crackdown on bitcoin mining. The business analytics company is among the biggest corporate investors in bitcoin, with several billion dollars in holdings on its books.\n2) Coinbase(COIN) – The cryptocurrency platform’s stock slid 3% in premarket action, also hit by the drop in cryptocurrencies amid the latest actions by the Chinese government.\n3) Raven Industries(RAVN) – Raven agreed to be bought by fellow agricultural equipment makerCNH Industrial(CNHI) for $58 per share, or $2.1 billion, compared to Raven’s Friday close of $38.62 per share. The stock soared 49.7% in premarket trading.\n4) ZipRecruiter(ZIP) – The jobs website operator’s shares rose 2.8% in the premarket after Goldman Sachs rated it “buy” in new coverage and Evercore began coverage with a rating of “outperform.” The upbeat assessments cite ZipRecruiter’s growth prospects and ability to disrupt the employment market.\n5) HSBC(HSBC) – HSBC sold its French retail bank to private-equity firm Cerberus Capital for 1 euro, and expects to book a $3 billion loss after unloading the unprofitable operation.\n6) Pershing Square Tontine Holdings(PSTH) – The SPAC controlled by billionaire investor Bill Ackmanfinalized a dealto buy a 10% stake in Universal Music from Vivendi. The deal values Universal Music – the world’s largest music company – at about $40 billion. Shares gained 1.1% in the premarket.\n7) GlaxoSmithKline(GSK) – Glaxo is set to cut its dividend, according to a report in the U.K.’s Daily Mail newspaper. The drugmaker will hold an investor event on Wednesday, and the paper said a cut of as much as 50% will be revealed at that meeting.\n8) Tesla(TSLA) – Former Tesla executive Jerome Guillen sold about $274 million in Tesla shares since June 10, according to a Securities and Exchange Commission filing. Guillen left Tesla earlier this month after 11 years, most recently running the company’s Tesla Heavy Trucking unit.\n9) American Airlines(AAL) – American Airlineswill cut planned flights for the first half of Julyby about 950 flights, or 1%, to relieve strains on its operations as it deals with the sharp rebound in travel demand.\n10) Westlake Chemical(WLK) – Westlake will buy the North American building products business of Australia’s Boral for $2.15 billion. Westlake said the acquisition will boost its presence in products like roofing and siding, and that it will be accretive to earnings during the first year.\n11) Amazon.com(AMZN) – Amazon’stwo-day Prime Day eventis underway, the first time the event has been held in June. A number of other major retailers – includingWalmart(WMT),Target(TGT),Kohl’s(KSS),Macy’s(M) andCostco(COST) are holding competing sales events this week.\n12) Boston Beer(SAM) – Guggenheim repeated its “buy” recommendation on the Sam Adams beer brewer, and elevated it to “top pick” status. Guggenheim notes a depressed valuation, easier retail comps beginning in June and underappreciated growth prospects for the Truly hard seltzer brand.\nBig News\n1、Prime Day begins as retail faces supply chain disruptions\nAmazon’s Prime Daykicked off Mondayafter the e-commerce giant delayed its massive summer sale to October last year due to the pandemic. Prime Day 2020 pulled in $10.4 billion, according to Digital Commerce 360, a 45% increase from the prior year’s two-day event. This year’s Prime Day comes as retail industry grapples with widespread global supply chain disruptions, caused in part by the ripple effects of pandemic-mandated factory closures as well as labor shortages. A recent Covid outbreak in the southern Chinese province of Guangdong has compounded the problem.\n2、American Airlines cancels another hundred flights Monday\nAs travel demand surges toward pre-pandemic levels,American Airlinescanceled another hundred flights Monday afterscrapping hundreds over the weekenddue to staffing shortages, maintenance and other issues. American said it’s trimming its overall schedule by about 1% through mid-July to help ease some of the strain on its operations. The carrier blamed some of the recent problems on scheduling complications stemming from bad weather at its Charlotte and Dallas/Fort Worth hubs during the first half of June. American is also racing to train all of the pilots it furloughed in between two federal aid packages that prohibited layoffs as well as aviators due for periodic recurrent training.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":200,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":167419244,"gmtCreate":1624281736788,"gmtModify":1703832322027,"author":{"id":"3576722468537408","authorId":"3576722468537408","name":"kickerz","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576722468537408","authorIdStr":"3576722468537408"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ooh.. ","listText":"Ooh.. ","text":"Ooh..","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/167419244","repostId":"1147979715","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":312,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}
