LateWizard personal page - To The Moon

LateWizard

LateWizard

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12-18

Bear trap

Nvidia Stock Rallies 3% After Falling for Four Consecutive Trading Days

12-09

$NIO Inc.(NIO)$ The next pLtR in auto industry

11-30

$NIO Inc.(NIO)$ At rock bottom price.

11-28

$Coupang, Inc.(CPNG)$

11-25

$Walt Disney(DIS)$ Let it go part 4

11-25

$Broadcom(AVGO)$ Overprice , better off buying Nvidia

11-23

Nio stock is heavily manipulated , best is don't touch. Better of with nvda / tesla / meta

NIO: Don't Wait For China To Recover To Jump In - Reiterating Buy

11-21

$Occidental(OXY)$ Buuying all the dips

11-19

$Humacyte, Inc.(HUMA)$

11-19

$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$

10-30

$Novo-Nordisk A/S(NVO)$

10-26

$C3.ai, Inc.(AI)$ No actual AI compared to pLtR

10-26

Take the profits!

Form 144 | Palantir Technologies Inc.'s Director and Officer Alexander Karp proposes to sell 1,706,841 Shares, with a total value of approximately $74.35 Million.

10-23

$GameStop(GME)$ Drop it like 1000%

10-19

$CVS Health(CVS)$ buy all the dips

10-19

$MicroStrategy(MSTR)$ Bitcoin to da mooon

10-10

On nvda jpm Pfizer This is going to the moon and I eat 🖍️

10-04

$Nike(NKE)$ Retail will Downwards , brand dilutions

10-02

Bull traps incoming, same trend different execution

09-27

$Ford(F)$ Maga. This is waiting to 💥

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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about 160% since the start of the year, far outpacing the S&amp;P 500&#39;s 27% return over the period, amid booming demand for the company’s AI silicon.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The stock fell 1.2% to close Tuesday&#39;s session at $130.39.</p><p>After setting a record high, the stock traded mostly sideways before falling below the 50-day moving average late last week. potentially setting the stage for further consolidation.</p><p>Investors should watch key support levels on Nvidia&#39;s chart around $115 and $102, while also monitoring important resistance levels near $140 and $150.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nvidia Stock Rallies 3% After 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#eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNvidia Stock Rallies 3% After Falling for Four Consecutive Trading Days\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2024-12-18 17:33</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Nvidia shares rallied 3% in premarket trading Wednesday after falling for four consecutive trading days.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a63d8ed58d90367adbcede3bd23f51b7\" tg-width=\"879\" tg-height=\"626\"/></p><p>Nvidia shares fell for the fourth straight session on Tuesday, extending their slide into a technical correction as the stock is down 15% from last month&#39;s record high.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">While analysts remain bullish on the company’s prospects heading into 2025, investors may be wanting further confirmation that the chipmaker can sell significant volumes of its new Blackwell chips after the reported discovery of overheating issues last month prompted concerns over production delays.1</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Depsite its recent slump, the stock is still up about 160% since the start of the year, far outpacing the S&amp;P 500&#39;s 27% return over the period, amid booming demand for the company’s AI silicon.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The stock fell 1.2% to close Tuesday&#39;s session at $130.39.</p><p>After setting a record high, the stock traded mostly sideways before falling below the 50-day moving average late last week. potentially setting the stage for further consolidation.</p><p>Investors should watch key support levels on Nvidia&#39;s chart around $115 and $102, while also monitoring important resistance levels near $140 and $150.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1146242633","content_text":"Nvidia shares rallied 3% in premarket trading Wednesday after falling for four consecutive trading days.Nvidia shares fell for the fourth straight session on Tuesday, extending their slide into a technical correction as the stock is down 15% from last month's record high.While analysts remain bullish on the company’s prospects heading into 2025, investors may be wanting further confirmation that the chipmaker can sell significant volumes of its new Blackwell chips after the reported discovery of overheating issues last month prompted concerns over production delays.1Depsite its recent slump, the stock is still up about 160% since the start of the year, far outpacing the S&P 500's 27% return over the period, amid booming demand for the company’s AI silicon.The stock fell 1.2% to close Tuesday's session at $130.39.After setting a record high, the stock traded mostly sideways before falling below the 50-day moving average late last week. potentially setting the stage for further consolidation.Investors should watch key support levels on Nvidia's chart around $115 and $102, while also monitoring important resistance levels near $140 and $150.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":379794269208888,"gmtCreate":1733759779380,"gmtModify":1733759783249,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576797853255359","authorIdStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NIO\">$NIO Inc.(NIO)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> The next pLtR in auto industry&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NIO\">$NIO Inc.(NIO)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> The next pLtR in auto industry&nbsp;","text":"$NIO Inc.(NIO)$ The next pLtR in auto industry","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/379794269208888","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":76,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":376241721303384,"gmtCreate":1732898644409,"gmtModify":1732898647951,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576797853255359","authorIdStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NIO\">$NIO Inc.(NIO)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>&nbsp; At rock bottom price.","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NIO\">$NIO Inc.(NIO)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>&nbsp; At rock bottom price.","text":"$NIO Inc.(NIO)$ At rock bottom price.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/376241721303384","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":139,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":375683972894832,"gmtCreate":1732750844633,"gmtModify":1732750846541,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576797853255359","authorIdStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/CPNG\">$Coupang, Inc.(CPNG)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/CPNG\">$Coupang, Inc.(CPNG)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>&nbsp;","text":"$Coupang, Inc.(CPNG)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/375683972894832","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":59,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":374804191969384,"gmtCreate":1732530888325,"gmtModify":1732530892555,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576797853255359","authorIdStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/DIS\">$Walt Disney(DIS)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> Let it go part 4&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/DIS\">$Walt Disney(DIS)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> Let it go part 4&nbsp;","text":"$Walt Disney(DIS)$ Let it go part 4","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/374804191969384","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":66,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":374803378343968,"gmtCreate":1732530687959,"gmtModify":1732530691710,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576797853255359","authorIdStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AVGO\">$Broadcom(AVGO)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v> Overprice , better off buying Nvidia&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AVGO\">$Broadcom(AVGO)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v> Overprice , better off buying Nvidia&nbsp;","text":"$Broadcom(AVGO)$ Overprice , better off buying Nvidia","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/374803378343968","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":57,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":373941612834880,"gmtCreate":1732334835132,"gmtModify":1732334840630,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576797853255359","authorIdStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"&nbsp;Nio stock is heavily manipulated , best is don't touch. Better of with nvda / tesla / meta&nbsp;","listText":"&nbsp;Nio stock is heavily manipulated , best is don't touch. Better of with nvda / tesla / meta&nbsp;","text":"Nio stock is heavily manipulated , best is don't touch. Better of with nvda / tesla / meta","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/373941612834880","repostId":"2485251770","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2485251770","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1732334043,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2485251770?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2024-11-23 11:54","market":"fut","language":"en","title":"NIO: Don't Wait For China To Recover To Jump In - Reiterating Buy","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2485251770","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"NIO's 3Q24 earnings reaffirm my long-term positive sentiment. I reiterate my buy rating while disclaiming that this stock is not for the faint-hearted.I update my positive outlook this quarter and now","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul style=\"\"><li><p>NIO&#39;s 3Q24 earnings reaffirm my long-term positive sentiment. I reiterate my buy rating while disclaiming that this stock is not for the faint-hearted.</p></li><li><p>I update my positive outlook this quarter and now expect growth to be supported by the new L60 vehicle and international expansion efforts, prioritizing profitability.</p></li><li><p>NIO&#39;s stock underperforms peers and the S&amp;P500, but Beijing&#39;s stimulus plan and economic revival efforts should benefit the EV sector in China.</p></li><li><p>Additionally, the long-awaited focus on profitability, improved gross margins, and strategic international expansion should pay off more meaningfully next year.</p></li><li><p>I hereon share my positive sentiment on NIO and why I see green shoots for 2025.</p></li></ul><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f3d0186d395fe6e9bfce637d908e4986\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"500\"/></p><p></p><h2 id=\"id_1762314378\">Investment thesis:</h2><p>What was shaping up to be a good day for NIO (NYSE:NIO) got disrupted by an underwhelming outlook. Long story short, NIO reported 3Q24 earnings Wednesday before the bell, and the results make me reiterate my long-term positive sentiment on the stock. I&#39;m now more confident that the company is better positioned to benefit from 1. the ONVO brand new L60 vehicle that should widen NIO&#39;s presence in the broader mainstream family market and 2. management&#39;s efforts to expand to international markets while also prioritizing profitability.</p><p>Despite a record number in EV deliveries for the quarter, up 11.6% year-over-year and 7.8% sequentially, management&#39;s outlook for 4Q24 didn&#39;t impress investors. The company now expects to deliver 72,000 to 75,000 units, resembling a 43.9%- 49.9% year-over-year growth rate and total revenue for the range of $2.8 billion- $2.9 billion, for 15%- 19.2% year-over-year growth but missing analysts&#39; expectations at $3.18 billion. The stock was down ~2% in pre-market trading due to the miss on guidance, but that didn&#39;t last long, and the stock regained some of these losses when the stock closed ~1% higher at the end of the trading day. I mentioned this once, but there&#39;s no harm in saying it again: NIO isn&#39;t for the faint-hearted. The stock is down ~14% since I last wrote on NIO in mid-October. My sentiment is catered more toward the long-term investors who want to ride the wave of concern to the top.</p><h3 id=\"id_1246972689\">Stock performance:</h3><p>NIO is currently underperforming the S&amp;P500 and the domestic peer group on the one-month chart. The stock is down 10.9%, against the S&amp;P500, up 1%, XPeng (XPEV) up 20%, Li Auto (LI) down ~10%, and BYD Co Ltd (OTCPK:BYDDF) down 8%.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/532d4decc2a7e2bfedcde462dd2d08aa\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"490\"/></p><p></p><p>What I&#39;m seeing is that NIO isn&#39;t standing out in the red, and the drop echoes the broader struggle of Chinese stocks. I don&#39;t think we&#39;ll see this trend taint into FY25, particularly as the Beijing stimulus plan should act as a helping hand to the EV sector in China. I discussed this further in my previous note, but I&#39;ll reiterate it again since it still proves relevant. The Chinese government&#39;s efforts to revive the economy should reflect positively on consumer spending, in spite of fears of U.S. President-elect Donald Trump slapping up to 60% tariffs on all goods imported from China. Chen Zhiwu, a top finance professor at the University of Hong Kong, thinks the tariffs &#34;might force the leadership in Beijing to have no other choice but to focus on the economy.&#34; Since Trump&#39;s first term and through Biden&#39;s term, the Chinese economic growth slumped from 7% to 4.5%. This might be China&#39;s wake-up call to focus more inward than outwards when it comes to reviving its economy.</p><p>According to Lei Xing, a Chinese auto industry expert, China is taking over the world, &#34;except North America. The U.S. will be the last frontier.&#34; When you think about it, the U.S. is currently merely playing catchup with China. Over the past 15 years, China rolled out a public charging network that&#39;s over 10 million strong, used incentives and subsidies to convince billions of drivers to migrate to electric vehicles, and introduced over 100 EV brands with many pricing options. In both July and August of this year, over half of total automotive sales in China were either electric or hybrid. Back to NIO, the way I&#39;m looking at it now is the stock remains cheap for the growth potential it has in China and abroad.</p><h3 id=\"id_1209999062\">What was, is, and everything in between:</h3><h3 id=\"id_1952781035\">On deliveries:</h3><p>NIO posted weaker-than-anticipated revenue for the quarter, but gross margins improved, and free cash flow turned positive. The EV leader reported revenue down 2.1% year over year but up 7% sequentially, marking the second-highest quarterly revenue in NIO&#39;s history. Regarding deliveries, NIO reported another record of 61,855 vehicles for the quarter, within its guidance range of 61,000 to 63,000 vehicles, up 11.5% year over year and 7.81% sequentially.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/13cce1e87ed41578025d38a0dd3f8d07\" tg-width=\"1082\" tg-height=\"565\"/></p><p></p><p>As previously mentioned, NIO&#39;s guidance for 4Q24 rubbed investors the wrong way. Since management is expecting deliveries in the range of 72,000 to 75,000, this guidance basically means that NIO is expected to deliver around 51,024 to 54,024 vehicles in November and December; that is, of course, considering it delivered 20,976 vehicles in October. On the latter, the company delivered 16,657 vehicles from the premium smart electric vehicle NIO brand and 4.319 vehicles from the company&#39;s family-oriented smart electric vehicle brand ONVO.</p><h3 id=\"id_816888857\">On profitability: &#34;From now and beyond&#34;</h3><p>For the third quarter, vehicle sales were down 4.1% year over year but up 6.5% quarter over quarter. The decline year over year was due to lower average selling prices resulting from changes in product mix, offset by higher deliveries. The sequential increase, on the other hand, is mainly due to increased delivery volume. Cost of sales was down 5% year over year but increased 5.8% sequentially. The decrease resulted from lower material costs per vehicle, and the increase was mainly due to higher delivery volume.</p><p>The company&#39;s gross profit was also up 31.8% year over year and 18.9% sequentially. The gross margin was 10.7%, the highest since 3Q22, above the consensus of 10.6%, and higher than the 8% in a year quarter, and 9.7% sequentially. Vehicle margin was 13.1% in 3Q24, up from 11% in a year ago quarter and 12.2% last quarter, mainly due to decreased material cost per unit. I expect this to continue into 2025 due to management&#39;s hyperfocus on profitability after the launch of the ONVO brand. According to management on the earnings call, their primary focus is to keep</p><blockquote><p>Enhancing our premium brand positioning and improving our product profitability.</p></blockquote><p>Starting in October, the company began dialing back on promotions and incentives, which affected their sales volume for the short term. Over the last month, however, there was a &#34;bounce back momentum on our order backlog.&#34; Going into next quarter, management is confident that they could realize a vehicle margin of 15% in Q4 for the new brand and 20% in 2025. I&#39;m more concerned about next year when the company plans to continue improving vehicle margins and the supply chain. The so-called &#34;iterations and upgrades&#34; on the smart hardware are also expected to improve the cost structure and provide more competitive products and costs.</p><h3 id=\"id_2807732166\">The L60:</h3><p>The ONVO brand started delivering its first model, the L60, on September 28th, and with it entering the family market. Through aiming for that market, early results show a hit with family users thanks to &#34;its spacious carbon ultra-low energy consumption, comprehensive safety features, and the hassle-free charging and swapping experience.&#34; In terms of smart driving, NIO&#39;s smart driving reached over 610,00 users, with over 78% activating the &#34;Navigate on Pilot.&#34; This was rolled out with L60, making ONVO the first brand to &#34;deliver vision-based navigation guided smart driving on urban road.&#34;</p><p>ONVO L60 is expected to hit 10,000 in December and 20,000 units by March, which is lower than market expectations but within the company&#39;s &#34;reasonable speed and pace.&#34; I think what a lot of people are failing to realize is the cutting-edge technology this car will have; for instance, with 900-volt high-voltage architecture and several new technologies implemented into the vehicle, I think the brand is well within its right to take its time to cultivate high customer adoption.</p><p>Considering the long delivery time, I expect that to weigh on the short term but not the long term. Although management didn&#39;t disclose specifics regarding the conversion rate, it gave us a taste of what it would look like. According to William Li, the company&#39;s Founder, Chairman, and CEO:</p><blockquote><p>This conversion rate is higher than any existing new product.</p></blockquote><h3 id=\"id_211814198\">Valuation:</h3><p>NIO has a market cap of $9.7 billion and an enterprise value of $9.98 billion. The stock price is down over 37% in the past 52 weeks, with a beta of 1.90, indicating a price volatility higher than the market average. This is not unusual for NIO, as one look at the stock&#39;s year-to-date performance tells the story. The company continues investing in R&amp;D and its market expansion, which, I think, is an excuse for the low profitability at the moment. Management noted that:</p><blockquote><p>Regarding the R&amp;D expenses in general, we will be having our investment in R&amp;D for around RMB3 billion per quarter ($42.2 million) and we will be stabilizing at around that level. But because of the differences of the projects and also at the different stages of the R&amp;D, the actual spending, there will be ups and downs in the actual spending for every quarter.</p></blockquote><p>As for the next quarter, R&amp;D expenses are expected to be higher than 3Q, and in 2025, expenses should be around $42.2 million non-GAAP. I am optimistic about management&#39;s hyperfocus on profitability, and I am looking forward to seeing their margins pick up more meaningfully next year.</p><p>The market sentiment is cautiously positive on the stock, with around 18% of Street Analysts giving it a strong buy, 39.3% a hold, and the rest a sell. The PT mean and median have had a wild ride, to say the least. Back in late August, the PT median was $7.10, down to $6.05 in September, up slightly to $7 in October, and now stands at $6.80. The PT mean was at $7.9 in late August, down to $7.19 in September, up to $7.5, and is currently down to $7.39. I think despite the wins of this quarter, the market remains wary of NIO&#39;s growth potential.</p><p>As for the valuation metrics, and compared to its domestic peers, NIO seems to remain relatively inexpensive at current levels. With the EV/Sales ratio (TTM) at 1.14 and EV/Sales at 1.04, NIO trades are slightly higher than Li Auto, with EV/Sales (TTM) and EV/Sales at 0.49. NIO is in line with BYD&#39;s, with EV/Sales (TTM) at 1.08 and EV/Sales at 1.02. However, NIO remains cheaper than XPeng with EV/Sales (TTM) at 1.92, EV/Sales at 1.82, and Tesla with EV/Sales (TTM) at 11.09 and EV/Sales at 10.78.</p><h2 id=\"id_2535012985\">What&#39;s next: Globalization efforts (again)</h2><p>In my last note, I watched NIO&#39;s collaboration with UAE&#39;s CYVN Holdings, and this quarter led me to put more weight on this collaboration. By November 28th, the first NIO house in the MENA region while sales, and delivery have already started in the UAE. Through the new products of ONVO and Firefly, the company plans to accelerate its entry into the international market. Firefly is NIO&#39;s third and latest brand, and it&#39;s set to make its global debut on NIO Day 2024. The first product is set to be delivered during 1H25, targeting the boutique compact car market. I think the product lineup this brand offers will further enhance NIO&#39;s position and market reach, allowing it to cater to more customers. According to management, both ONVO and Firefly have a broader market, which is globally speaking and helps in international expansion efforts. I reiterate my buy and emphasize that this stock is truly not for the faint-hearted.</p><p>Editor&#39;s Note: This article discusses one or more securities that do not trade on a major U.S. exchange. Please be aware of the risks associated with these stocks.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>NIO: Don't Wait For China To Recover To Jump In - Reiterating Buy</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNIO: Don't Wait For China To Recover To Jump In - Reiterating Buy\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-11-23 11:54 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4739563-nio-dont-wait-for-china-recovery-jump-in-stock-buy><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>NIO's 3Q24 earnings reaffirm my long-term positive sentiment. I reiterate my buy rating while disclaiming that this stock is not for the faint-hearted.I update my positive outlook this quarter and now...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4739563-nio-dont-wait-for-china-recovery-jump-in-stock-buy\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIOIF":"NIO Inc.","NIO.SI":"蔚来","NIO":"蔚来","09866":"蔚来-SW"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4739563-nio-dont-wait-for-china-recovery-jump-in-stock-buy","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2485251770","content_text":"NIO's 3Q24 earnings reaffirm my long-term positive sentiment. I reiterate my buy rating while disclaiming that this stock is not for the faint-hearted.I update my positive outlook this quarter and now expect growth to be supported by the new L60 vehicle and international expansion efforts, prioritizing profitability.NIO's stock underperforms peers and the S&P500, but Beijing's stimulus plan and economic revival efforts should benefit the EV sector in China.Additionally, the long-awaited focus on profitability, improved gross margins, and strategic international expansion should pay off more meaningfully next year.I hereon share my positive sentiment on NIO and why I see green shoots for 2025.Investment thesis:What was shaping up to be a good day for NIO (NYSE:NIO) got disrupted by an underwhelming outlook. Long story short, NIO reported 3Q24 earnings Wednesday before the bell, and the results make me reiterate my long-term positive sentiment on the stock. I'm now more confident that the company is better positioned to benefit from 1. the ONVO brand new L60 vehicle that should widen NIO's presence in the broader mainstream family market and 2. management's efforts to expand to international markets while also prioritizing profitability.Despite a record number in EV deliveries for the quarter, up 11.6% year-over-year and 7.8% sequentially, management's outlook for 4Q24 didn't impress investors. The company now expects to deliver 72,000 to 75,000 units, resembling a 43.9%- 49.9% year-over-year growth rate and total revenue for the range of $2.8 billion- $2.9 billion, for 15%- 19.2% year-over-year growth but missing analysts' expectations at $3.18 billion. The stock was down ~2% in pre-market trading due to the miss on guidance, but that didn't last long, and the stock regained some of these losses when the stock closed ~1% higher at the end of the trading day. I mentioned this once, but there's no harm in saying it again: NIO isn't for the faint-hearted. The stock is down ~14% since I last wrote on NIO in mid-October. My sentiment is catered more toward the long-term investors who want to ride the wave of concern to the top.Stock performance:NIO is currently underperforming the S&P500 and the domestic peer group on the one-month chart. The stock is down 10.9%, against the S&P500, up 1%, XPeng (XPEV) up 20%, Li Auto (LI) down ~10%, and BYD Co Ltd (OTCPK:BYDDF) down 8%.What I'm seeing is that NIO isn't standing out in the red, and the drop echoes the broader struggle of Chinese stocks. I don't think we'll see this trend taint into FY25, particularly as the Beijing stimulus plan should act as a helping hand to the EV sector in China. I discussed this further in my previous note, but I'll reiterate it again since it still proves relevant. The Chinese government's efforts to revive the economy should reflect positively on consumer spending, in spite of fears of U.S. President-elect Donald Trump slapping up to 60% tariffs on all goods imported from China. Chen Zhiwu, a top finance professor at the University of Hong Kong, thinks the tariffs \"might force the leadership in Beijing to have no other choice but to focus on the economy.\" Since Trump's first term and through Biden's term, the Chinese economic growth slumped from 7% to 4.5%. This might be China's wake-up call to focus more inward than outwards when it comes to reviving its economy.According to Lei Xing, a Chinese auto industry expert, China is taking over the world, \"except North America. The U.S. will be the last frontier.\" When you think about it, the U.S. is currently merely playing catchup with China. Over the past 15 years, China rolled out a public charging network that's over 10 million strong, used incentives and subsidies to convince billions of drivers to migrate to electric vehicles, and introduced over 100 EV brands with many pricing options. In both July and August of this year, over half of total automotive sales in China were either electric or hybrid. Back to NIO, the way I'm looking at it now is the stock remains cheap for the growth potential it has in China and abroad.What was, is, and everything in between:On deliveries:NIO posted weaker-than-anticipated revenue for the quarter, but gross margins improved, and free cash flow turned positive. The EV leader reported revenue down 2.1% year over year but up 7% sequentially, marking the second-highest quarterly revenue in NIO's history. Regarding deliveries, NIO reported another record of 61,855 vehicles for the quarter, within its guidance range of 61,000 to 63,000 vehicles, up 11.5% year over year and 7.81% sequentially.As previously mentioned, NIO's guidance for 4Q24 rubbed investors the wrong way. Since management is expecting deliveries in the range of 72,000 to 75,000, this guidance basically means that NIO is expected to deliver around 51,024 to 54,024 vehicles in November and December; that is, of course, considering it delivered 20,976 vehicles in October. On the latter, the company delivered 16,657 vehicles from the premium smart electric vehicle NIO brand and 4.319 vehicles from the company's family-oriented smart electric vehicle brand ONVO.On profitability: \"From now and beyond\"For the third quarter, vehicle sales were down 4.1% year over year but up 6.5% quarter over quarter. The decline year over year was due to lower average selling prices resulting from changes in product mix, offset by higher deliveries. The sequential increase, on the other hand, is mainly due to increased delivery volume. Cost of sales was down 5% year over year but increased 5.8% sequentially. The decrease resulted from lower material costs per vehicle, and the increase was mainly due to higher delivery volume.The company's gross profit was also up 31.8% year over year and 18.9% sequentially. The gross margin was 10.7%, the highest since 3Q22, above the consensus of 10.6%, and higher than the 8% in a year quarter, and 9.7% sequentially. Vehicle margin was 13.1% in 3Q24, up from 11% in a year ago quarter and 12.2% last quarter, mainly due to decreased material cost per unit. I expect this to continue into 2025 due to management's hyperfocus on profitability after the launch of the ONVO brand. According to management on the earnings call, their primary focus is to keepEnhancing our premium brand positioning and improving our product profitability.Starting in October, the company began dialing back on promotions and incentives, which affected their sales volume for the short term. Over the last month, however, there was a \"bounce back momentum on our order backlog.\" Going into next quarter, management is confident that they could realize a vehicle margin of 15% in Q4 for the new brand and 20% in 2025. I'm more concerned about next year when the company plans to continue improving vehicle margins and the supply chain. The so-called \"iterations and upgrades\" on the smart hardware are also expected to improve the cost structure and provide more competitive products and costs.The L60:The ONVO brand started delivering its first model, the L60, on September 28th, and with it entering the family market. Through aiming for that market, early results show a hit with family users thanks to \"its spacious carbon ultra-low energy consumption, comprehensive safety features, and the hassle-free charging and swapping experience.\" In terms of smart driving, NIO's smart driving reached over 610,00 users, with over 78% activating the \"Navigate on Pilot.\" This was rolled out with L60, making ONVO the first brand to \"deliver vision-based navigation guided smart driving on urban road.\"ONVO L60 is expected to hit 10,000 in December and 20,000 units by March, which is lower than market expectations but within the company's \"reasonable speed and pace.\" I think what a lot of people are failing to realize is the cutting-edge technology this car will have; for instance, with 900-volt high-voltage architecture and several new technologies implemented into the vehicle, I think the brand is well within its right to take its time to cultivate high customer adoption.Considering the long delivery time, I expect that to weigh on the short term but not the long term. Although management didn't disclose specifics regarding the conversion rate, it gave us a taste of what it would look like. According to William Li, the company's Founder, Chairman, and CEO:This conversion rate is higher than any existing new product.Valuation:NIO has a market cap of $9.7 billion and an enterprise value of $9.98 billion. The stock price is down over 37% in the past 52 weeks, with a beta of 1.90, indicating a price volatility higher than the market average. This is not unusual for NIO, as one look at the stock's year-to-date performance tells the story. The company continues investing in R&D and its market expansion, which, I think, is an excuse for the low profitability at the moment. Management noted that:Regarding the R&D expenses in general, we will be having our investment in R&D for around RMB3 billion per quarter ($42.2 million) and we will be stabilizing at around that level. But because of the differences of the projects and also at the different stages of the R&D, the actual spending, there will be ups and downs in the actual spending for every quarter.As for the next quarter, R&D expenses are expected to be higher than 3Q, and in 2025, expenses should be around $42.2 million non-GAAP. I am optimistic about management's hyperfocus on profitability, and I am looking forward to seeing their margins pick up more meaningfully next year.The market sentiment is cautiously positive on the stock, with around 18% of Street Analysts giving it a strong buy, 39.3% a hold, and the rest a sell. The PT mean and median have had a wild ride, to say the least. Back in late August, the PT median was $7.10, down to $6.05 in September, up slightly to $7 in October, and now stands at $6.80. The PT mean was at $7.9 in late August, down to $7.19 in September, up to $7.5, and is currently down to $7.39. I think despite the wins of this quarter, the market remains wary of NIO's growth potential.As for the valuation metrics, and compared to its domestic peers, NIO seems to remain relatively inexpensive at current levels. With the EV/Sales ratio (TTM) at 1.14 and EV/Sales at 1.04, NIO trades are slightly higher than Li Auto, with EV/Sales (TTM) and EV/Sales at 0.49. NIO is in line with BYD's, with EV/Sales (TTM) at 1.08 and EV/Sales at 1.02. However, NIO remains cheaper than XPeng with EV/Sales (TTM) at 1.92, EV/Sales at 1.82, and Tesla with EV/Sales (TTM) at 11.09 and EV/Sales at 10.78.What's next: Globalization efforts (again)In my last note, I watched NIO's collaboration with UAE's CYVN Holdings, and this quarter led me to put more weight on this collaboration. By November 28th, the first NIO house in the MENA region while sales, and delivery have already started in the UAE. Through the new products of ONVO and Firefly, the company plans to accelerate its entry into the international market. Firefly is NIO's third and latest brand, and it's set to make its global debut on NIO Day 2024. The first product is set to be delivered during 1H25, targeting the boutique compact car market. I think the product lineup this brand offers will further enhance NIO's position and market reach, allowing it to cater to more customers. According to management, both ONVO and Firefly have a broader market, which is globally speaking and helps in international expansion efforts. I reiterate my buy and emphasize that this stock is truly not for the faint-hearted.Editor's Note: This article discusses one or more securities that do not trade on a major U.S. exchange. Please be aware of the risks associated with these stocks.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":178,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":373368950652936,"gmtCreate":1732190521265,"gmtModify":1732190525426,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576797853255359","authorIdStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/OXY\">$Occidental(OXY)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> Buuying all the dips&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/OXY\">$Occidental(OXY)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> Buuying all the dips&nbsp;","text":"$Occidental(OXY)$ Buuying all the dips","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/373368950652936","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":134,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":372823450677360,"gmtCreate":1732031320204,"gmtModify":1732031322404,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576797853255359","authorIdStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/HUMA\">$Humacyte, Inc.(HUMA)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/HUMA\">$Humacyte, Inc.(HUMA)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>&nbsp;","text":"$Humacyte, 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Inc.(COIN)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/372822708961392","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":105,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":365630553550976,"gmtCreate":1730265948241,"gmtModify":1730265950865,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576797853255359","authorIdStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NVO\">$Novo-Nordisk A/S(NVO)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NVO\">$Novo-Nordisk A/S(NVO)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>&nbsp;","text":"$Novo-Nordisk A/S(NVO)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/365630553550976","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":129,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":364138268790784,"gmtCreate":1729911183793,"gmtModify":1729911187702,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576797853255359","authorIdStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AI\">$C3.ai, Inc.(AI)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v> No actual AI compared to pLtR&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AI\">$C3.ai, Inc.(AI)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v> No actual AI compared to pLtR&nbsp;","text":"$C3.ai, Inc.(AI)$ No actual AI compared to pLtR","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/364138268790784","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":27,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":364137115295992,"gmtCreate":1729910997917,"gmtModify":1729911002059,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576797853255359","authorIdStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Take the profits!","listText":"Take the profits!","text":"Take the profits!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/364137115295992","repostId":"1155352920","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1155352920","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stay Updated with Major Announcements","home_visible":1,"media_name":"SEC Track","id":"1033292654","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f241068b466f5f9316243a75366834d5"},"pubTimestamp":1729888211,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1155352920?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2024-10-26 04:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Form 144 | Palantir Technologies Inc.'s Director and Officer Alexander Karp proposes to sell 1,706,841 Shares, with a total value of approximately $74.35 Million.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1155352920","media":"SEC Track","summary":"Palantir Technologies Inc.'s Director and Officer Alexander Karp proposes to sell 1,706,841 shares of the company's common stock on October 25, 2024, with a total market value of approximately $74.35 million. Over the past three months, Alexander Karp has accumulated multiple reductions in holdings, totaling approximately 11.6 million shares.","content":"Palantir Technologies Inc.'s Director and Officer Alexander Karp proposes to sell 1,706,841 shares of the company's common stock on October 25, 2024, with a total market value of approximately $74.35 million. Over the past three months, Alexander Karp has accumulated multiple reductions in holdings, totaling approximately 11.6 million shares.","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Form 144 | Palantir Technologies Inc.'s Director and Officer Alexander Karp proposes to sell 1,706,841 Shares, with a total value of approximately $74.35 Million.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nForm 144 | Palantir Technologies Inc.'s Director and Officer Alexander Karp proposes to sell 1,706,841 Shares, with a total value of approximately $74.35 Million.\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1033292654\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/f241068b466f5f9316243a75366834d5);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">SEC Track </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2024-10-26 04:30</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\nPalantir Technologies Inc.'s Director and Officer Alexander Karp proposes to sell 1,706,841 shares of the company's common stock on October 25, 2024, with a total market value of approximately $74.35 million. Over the past three months, Alexander Karp has accumulated multiple reductions in holdings, totaling approximately 11.6 million shares.\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1155352920","content_text":"Palantir Technologies Inc.'s Director and Officer Alexander Karp proposes to sell 1,706,841 shares of the company's common stock on October 25, 2024, with a total market value of approximately $74.35 million. Over the past three months, Alexander Karp has accumulated multiple reductions in holdings, totaling approximately 11.6 million shares.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":52,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":363049146920992,"gmtCreate":1729670965003,"gmtModify":1729670968416,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576797853255359","authorIdStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GME\">$GameStop(GME)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v> Drop it like 1000%","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GME\">$GameStop(GME)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v> Drop it like 1000%","text":"$GameStop(GME)$ Drop it like 1000%","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/363049146920992","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":146,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":361674860536000,"gmtCreate":1729319401356,"gmtModify":1729319406327,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576797853255359","authorIdStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/CVS\">$CVS Health(CVS)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> buy all the dips","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/CVS\">$CVS Health(CVS)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> buy all the dips","text":"$CVS Health(CVS)$ buy all the dips","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/361674860536000","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":79,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":361637640147160,"gmtCreate":1729310409861,"gmtModify":1729312500160,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576797853255359","authorIdStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/MSTR\">$MicroStrategy(MSTR)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> Bitcoin to da mooon","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/MSTR\">$MicroStrategy(MSTR)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> Bitcoin to da mooon","text":"$MicroStrategy(MSTR)$ Bitcoin to da mooon","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/361637640147160","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":101,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":358532246794312,"gmtCreate":1728557589397,"gmtModify":1728557594982,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576797853255359","authorIdStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"On&nbsp; nvda jpm Pfizer This is going to the moon and I eat 🖍️&nbsp;","listText":"On&nbsp; nvda jpm Pfizer This is going to the moon and I eat 🖍️&nbsp;","text":"On nvda jpm Pfizer This is going to the moon and I eat 🖍️","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/358532246794312","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":305,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":356572755816768,"gmtCreate":1728055980654,"gmtModify":1728055984159,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576797853255359","authorIdStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NKE\">$Nike(NKE)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>&nbsp; Retail will Downwards , brand dilutions","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NKE\">$Nike(NKE)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>&nbsp; Retail will Downwards , brand dilutions","text":"$Nike(NKE)$ Retail will Downwards , brand dilutions","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/356572755816768","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":101,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":355776051720384,"gmtCreate":1727868950452,"gmtModify":1727868954361,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576797853255359","authorIdStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Bull traps incoming, same trend different execution&nbsp;","listText":"Bull traps incoming, same trend different execution&nbsp;","text":"Bull traps incoming, same trend different execution","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/355776051720384","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":259,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":353743874773040,"gmtCreate":1727401348885,"gmtModify":1727401352828,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576797853255359","authorIdStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/F\">$Ford(F)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>&nbsp; Maga. This is waiting to 💥&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/F\">$Ford(F)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>&nbsp; Maga. This is waiting to 💥&nbsp;","text":"$Ford(F)$ Maga. This is waiting to 💥","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/353743874773040","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":183,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":188967834464400,"gmtCreate":1687160248608,"gmtModify":1687160254030,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576797853255359","authorIdStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Sure bail now :)","listText":"Sure bail now :)","text":"Sure bail now :)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/188967834464400","repostId":"2344173579","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2344173579","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1687158368,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2344173579?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-06-19 15:06","market":"us","language":"en","title":"NIO: Time To Bail Out?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2344173579","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryNIO’s cash reserves are depleting while the cash burn starts to reach unsustainable levels.Th","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\">Summary</h2><ul><li><p>NIO’s cash reserves are depleting while the cash burn starts to reach unsustainable levels.</p></li><li><p>The ongoing price war in the EV industry has already diminished NIO’s margins and made it even harder for the business to reach a breakeven point anytime soon.</p></li><li><p>Given all the challenges that NIO is currently facing, it appears that another capital raise is only a matter of time.</p></li><li><p>Therefore, it’s hard to justify owning NIO’s shares for the long term, especially since the business’s global ambitions could soon be undermined as well.</p></li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/875e8d302f7a082fdaa14fb84f9eac6e\" alt=\"Michael Vi\" title=\"Michael Vi\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"476\"/><span>Michael Vi</span></p><p>NIO (NYSE:NIO) is in the middle of a crisis, and it seems that it&#39;s only a matter of time before the company announces another capital raise. Due to the relatively weak performance in recent months, the company is unlikely to meet its annual production goals this year, while the ongoing price war within the EV industry has already led to the margin contraction and made NIO reach the unsustainable levels of cash burn. Add to all of this the fact that the company&#39;s global ambitions could be undermined due to the lack of pricing advantage along with the increase of geopolitical risks, and it becomes obvious that NIO&#39;s upside is limited. Therefore, even though its stock could gain some momentum in the short-term due to the improvement of the overall market sentiment, it&#39;s hard to justify owning the company&#39;s shares for the long-term given all the challenges that the business faces.</p><h2>It&#39;s Getting Worse</h2><p>Since the start of the year, NIO has been actively engaged in trying to aggressively expand its business, thanks to the increased demand for electric vehicles in China and across the globe. In late March, the company opened its third showroom in Europe, after which it hinted that it was preparing to launch a small new budget EV for the European market next year. At the same time, back at home, it launched the newest version of its budget-friendly crossover ES6 only a few weeks ago, which has an estimated range from 490 km to 625 km. On top of that, there&#39;s also an indication that NIO is about to upgrade the batteries of some of its vehicles, which will come from a semi-solid-state battery supplier in the foreseeable future.</p><p>However, despite all of those developments, NIO continues to disappoint its shareholders and makes it hard to consider its stock as a solid investment. Just last week, the company revealed its Q1 earnings results which showed that while its revenues were up 7.7% Y/Y to $1.55 billion, they were nevertheless below the street estimates. At the same time, its non-GAAP EPADS were -$0.36 per share, while the business itself barely managed to meet its quarterly delivery target by delivering 31,041 EVs during the three-month period.</p><p>What&#39;s worse is that the situation is unlikely to significantly improve in the following months. For Q2, NIO already expects its revenue to be in the range of $1.27 billion to $1.36 billion, which is a decrease of between 15.1% Y/Y and 9% Y/Y. On top of that, it also expects to deliver 23,000 to 25,000 vehicles during the second quarter, which also represents a decrease of between 8.2% and 0.2% in comparison to the year before.</p><p>Considering that in April and May NIO already delivered 6658 and 6155 vehicles, respectively, it means that in June alone it needs to deliver at least 10,187 EVs to meet its minimum target for the quarter. While the company could get an additional boost in sales thanks to the recent launch of ES6, there&#39;s still a decent chance that NIO could fail to reach its targets given its relatively weak performance in the last two months.</p><p>In addition to all of this, in late 2022 NIO&#39;s CEO indirectly hinted that he expects the company&#39;s sales to be over 200,000 in 2023, while the business&#39;s CFO later in March in an interview to Bloomberg said that he&#39;s confident that they&#39;ll be able to sell 250,000 EVs this year. Considering NIO&#39;s relatively weak performance in the first half of the current year, I find it hard to believe that the company will be able to produce over ~140,000 vehicles in the second half of 2023 to reach the goal of delivering even 200,000 EVs.</p><p>What&#39;s worse is that on top of expecting a decrease in revenues and deliveries in Q2, the company&#39;s margins are likely to continue to decrease even more due to the ongoing price war in the EV market. In Q1, NIO&#39;s vehicle margins already decreased to 5.1% from 18.1% a year ago, and given the company&#39;s latest decision to cut prices for all of its models by $4000, there is every reason to believe that the bottom-line performance would suffer even more in the following quarters. At the same time, by ending the free battery swapping program there&#39;s a risk that customers would be incentivized to purchase vehicles of the company&#39;s competitors as it would make even less sense to acquire NIO&#39;s EVs when one of the most important and popular features is no longer free.</p><p>Therefore, as the ongoing price war has no end in sight, and it becomes even harder for the business to stop the cash burn due to the declining margins and increasing expenses, it would be safe to assume that later this year NIO would be prompted to execute another capital raise to stay afloat. Back in 2021, NIO has already executed a $2 billion ATM offering which diluted its shareholders but also increased its liquidity from $6.7 billion in Q3&#39;21 to $8.3 billion in Q4&#39;21. However, after nearly two years after that capital raise the business is still significantly unprofitable and the expected relatively weak performance in the following months along with the increase in competition will make it hard for NIO to reach a breakeven point anytime soon. At the end of Q1&#39;23, the company already had only $4.8 billion in cash reserves and as those reserves dwindle while profits are not expected in the following years, a capital raise appears to be only a matter of time.</p><h2>Global Ambitions Ruined?</h2><p>Another issue that NIO currently faces is the inability to properly compete on a global stage. Recently, the company&#39;s CEO has indicated that NIO has the ambition to take on the German-based legacy automaker Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY) in its own market by launching a new electric model in Europe at a price of under €30,000. However, NIO is more than likely to face several major challenges that could undermine its European endeavors in the foreseeable future.</p><p>First of all, the company plans to produce new models for European consumers back in China in a factory that&#39;s currently under a construction. As such, there is every reason to believe that NIO won&#39;t have a major pricing power in the European region, since higher shipping costs along with the vulnerability of long-distance supply chains would make it higher for the business to successfully compete with legacy brands that have production facilities in Europe. This is one of the reasons why Tesla (TSLA) has been actively diversifying its supply chains and opened the factory in Berlin last year to have better pricing power in the region.</p><p>Add to all of this the fact that NIO&#39;s vehicle margins are already thin and are on a decline due to the price war, and it becomes even harder to believe that the company will be able to successfully compete with the well-established names without burning even more cash than today. There&#39;s also no guarantee that European consumers would be interested in purchasing NIO&#39;s cars in the first place. In Q1, the company sold only 328 of its cars in Europe, while in Q2 so far it sold only 287 of its vehicles there. Volkswagen on the other hand has been selling over 60,000 EVs in Europe each quarter in the last few quarters. Considering this, it&#39;s hard to see how NIO plans to establish a solid ground in the region given all the challenges that it currently faces, while at the same time, the potential worsening of the Sino-European relations would make it even harder for the company to aggressively expand in the region in the following years.</p><p>What&#39;s worse is that NIO hasn&#39;t been able to successfully penetrate Europe so far, and yet there are already plans to enter the United States market in 2025. In my opinion, this plan is mostly wishful thinking due to the fierce competition in the region along with the lack of any production facility there as well. In addition, the worsening of Sino-American relations would make it even harder for any Chinese brand to penetrate the U.S. market in the foreseeable future. NIO has already experienced the impact of the ongoing trade war as the implementation of the American export restrictions on chips last year has likely negatively affected its data center infrastructure which was run on Nvidia&#39;s (NVDA) A100 GPUs. While Nvidia managed to get around the restrictions by offering a cut-down version of A100 GPUs for the Chinese market, a potential Sino-American confrontation in the future makes it hard to believe that NIO would be able to establish a solid presence in the United States in the future. Add to all of this the fact that there&#39;s still a risk that NIO&#39;s shares could be delisted from American exchanges due to the issues with audits of Chinese-based firms, and it becomes obvious that the company&#39;s global ambitions could be ruined at any moment.</p><h2>The Bottom Line</h2><p>Given all the challenges that NIO faces, it&#39;s hard to justify the company&#39;s current $15 billion market cap. There are already questions about whether the company&#39;s global expansion is sustainable in the long-term, while the ongoing price war in the EV industry would make it even harder for the automaker to stop the cash burn and become profitable. The street currently believes that NIO could reach a breakeven point in 2026, but a potential further margin contraction along with the potential inability to reach its delivery targets for this year could make those expectations sound too optimistic. As such, I believe that there&#39;s no point in even bothering to invest in the company at this stage as capital raise is likely around the corner given the unsustainable cash burn levels.</p><p><em>This article is written by </em><strong><em>Bohdan Kucheriavyi</em></strong><em> for reference only. Please note the risks.</em></p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>NIO: Time To Bail Out?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNIO: Time To Bail Out?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-06-19 15:06 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4611894-nio-time-to-bail-out><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryNIO’s cash reserves are depleting while the cash burn starts to reach unsustainable levels.The ongoing price war in the EV industry has already diminished NIO’s margins and made it even harder ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4611894-nio-time-to-bail-out\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LU0642271901.SGD":"Janus Henderson Horizon Global Technology Leaders A2 SGD-H","BK4555":"新能源车","LU0823411888.USD":"法巴消费创新基金 Cap","LU0417517546.SGD":"Allianz US Equity Cl AT Acc SGD","LU0889565833.HKD":"FRANKLIN TECHNOLOGY \"A\" (HKD) ACC","LU1551013342.USD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS USD","LU0708995583.HKD":"TEMPLETON CHINA \"A\" (HKD) ACC","LU1623119135.USD":"Natixis Mirova Global Sustainable Equity R-NPF/A USD","IE00B1XK9C88.USD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU1242518857.USD":"FULLERTON LUX FUNDS - ASIA ABSOLUTE ALPHA \"I\" (USD) ACC","LU0353189680.USD":"富国美国全盘成长基金Cl A Acc","LU0348723411.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL HI-TECH GROWTH \"A\" (USD) INC","LU1712237335.SGD":"Natixis Mirova Global Sustainable Equity H-R-NPF/A SGD","LU0056508442.USD":"贝莱德世界科技基金A2","LU1429558221.USD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity RA USD","BK4543":"AI","LU0234572021.USD":"高盛美国核心股票组合Acc","LU0820561909.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AM\" (HKD) INC","LU2249611893.SGD":"BNP PARIBAS ENERGY TRANSITION \"CRH\" (SGD) ACC","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","LU0109392836.USD":"富兰克林科技股A","NIO":"蔚来","NIO.SI":"蔚来","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","IE00BWXC8680.SGD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A5\" (SGD) ACC","LU0097036916.USD":"贝莱德美国增长A2 USD","BK4504":"桥水持仓","LU0316494557.USD":"FRANKLIN GLOBAL FUNDAMENTAL STRATEGIES \"A\" ACC","LU0198837287.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV - USA GROWTH \"P\" (USD) ACC","BK4099":"汽车制造商","LU1861215975.USD":"贝莱德新一代科技基金 A2","LU0786609619.USD":"高盛全球千禧一代股票组合Acc","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","IE00BFSS8Q28.SGD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Inc SGD-H","LU0708995401.HKD":"FRANKLIN U.S. OPPORTUNITIES \"A\" (HKD) ACC","IE0004445015.USD":"JANUS HENDERSON BALANCED \"A2\" (USD) ACC","LU0820561818.USD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金Cl AM DIS","LU0052750758.USD":"富兰克林中国基金A Acc","BK4529":"IDC概念","IE00BSNM7G36.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN SYSTEMATIC GLOBAL SUSTAINABLE VALUE \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU1551013425.SGD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS H2-SGD","IE00BJJMRY28.SGD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Inc SGD","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","LU1316542783.SGD":"Janus Henderson Horizon Global Technology Leaders A2 SGD","09866":"蔚来-SW","LU0943347566.SGD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金AM H2-SGD","BK4531":"中概回港概念","LU2357305700.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence ET H2-SGD","LU1861559042.SGD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B SGD"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4611894-nio-time-to-bail-out","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2344173579","content_text":"SummaryNIO’s cash reserves are depleting while the cash burn starts to reach unsustainable levels.The ongoing price war in the EV industry has already diminished NIO’s margins and made it even harder for the business to reach a breakeven point anytime soon.Given all the challenges that NIO is currently facing, it appears that another capital raise is only a matter of time.Therefore, it’s hard to justify owning NIO’s shares for the long term, especially since the business’s global ambitions could soon be undermined as well.Michael ViNIO (NYSE:NIO) is in the middle of a crisis, and it seems that it's only a matter of time before the company announces another capital raise. Due to the relatively weak performance in recent months, the company is unlikely to meet its annual production goals this year, while the ongoing price war within the EV industry has already led to the margin contraction and made NIO reach the unsustainable levels of cash burn. Add to all of this the fact that the company's global ambitions could be undermined due to the lack of pricing advantage along with the increase of geopolitical risks, and it becomes obvious that NIO's upside is limited. Therefore, even though its stock could gain some momentum in the short-term due to the improvement of the overall market sentiment, it's hard to justify owning the company's shares for the long-term given all the challenges that the business faces.It's Getting WorseSince the start of the year, NIO has been actively engaged in trying to aggressively expand its business, thanks to the increased demand for electric vehicles in China and across the globe. In late March, the company opened its third showroom in Europe, after which it hinted that it was preparing to launch a small new budget EV for the European market next year. At the same time, back at home, it launched the newest version of its budget-friendly crossover ES6 only a few weeks ago, which has an estimated range from 490 km to 625 km. On top of that, there's also an indication that NIO is about to upgrade the batteries of some of its vehicles, which will come from a semi-solid-state battery supplier in the foreseeable future.However, despite all of those developments, NIO continues to disappoint its shareholders and makes it hard to consider its stock as a solid investment. Just last week, the company revealed its Q1 earnings results which showed that while its revenues were up 7.7% Y/Y to $1.55 billion, they were nevertheless below the street estimates. At the same time, its non-GAAP EPADS were -$0.36 per share, while the business itself barely managed to meet its quarterly delivery target by delivering 31,041 EVs during the three-month period.What's worse is that the situation is unlikely to significantly improve in the following months. For Q2, NIO already expects its revenue to be in the range of $1.27 billion to $1.36 billion, which is a decrease of between 15.1% Y/Y and 9% Y/Y. On top of that, it also expects to deliver 23,000 to 25,000 vehicles during the second quarter, which also represents a decrease of between 8.2% and 0.2% in comparison to the year before.Considering that in April and May NIO already delivered 6658 and 6155 vehicles, respectively, it means that in June alone it needs to deliver at least 10,187 EVs to meet its minimum target for the quarter. While the company could get an additional boost in sales thanks to the recent launch of ES6, there's still a decent chance that NIO could fail to reach its targets given its relatively weak performance in the last two months.In addition to all of this, in late 2022 NIO's CEO indirectly hinted that he expects the company's sales to be over 200,000 in 2023, while the business's CFO later in March in an interview to Bloomberg said that he's confident that they'll be able to sell 250,000 EVs this year. Considering NIO's relatively weak performance in the first half of the current year, I find it hard to believe that the company will be able to produce over ~140,000 vehicles in the second half of 2023 to reach the goal of delivering even 200,000 EVs.What's worse is that on top of expecting a decrease in revenues and deliveries in Q2, the company's margins are likely to continue to decrease even more due to the ongoing price war in the EV market. In Q1, NIO's vehicle margins already decreased to 5.1% from 18.1% a year ago, and given the company's latest decision to cut prices for all of its models by $4000, there is every reason to believe that the bottom-line performance would suffer even more in the following quarters. At the same time, by ending the free battery swapping program there's a risk that customers would be incentivized to purchase vehicles of the company's competitors as it would make even less sense to acquire NIO's EVs when one of the most important and popular features is no longer free.Therefore, as the ongoing price war has no end in sight, and it becomes even harder for the business to stop the cash burn due to the declining margins and increasing expenses, it would be safe to assume that later this year NIO would be prompted to execute another capital raise to stay afloat. Back in 2021, NIO has already executed a $2 billion ATM offering which diluted its shareholders but also increased its liquidity from $6.7 billion in Q3'21 to $8.3 billion in Q4'21. However, after nearly two years after that capital raise the business is still significantly unprofitable and the expected relatively weak performance in the following months along with the increase in competition will make it hard for NIO to reach a breakeven point anytime soon. At the end of Q1'23, the company already had only $4.8 billion in cash reserves and as those reserves dwindle while profits are not expected in the following years, a capital raise appears to be only a matter of time.Global Ambitions Ruined?Another issue that NIO currently faces is the inability to properly compete on a global stage. Recently, the company's CEO has indicated that NIO has the ambition to take on the German-based legacy automaker Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY) in its own market by launching a new electric model in Europe at a price of under €30,000. However, NIO is more than likely to face several major challenges that could undermine its European endeavors in the foreseeable future.First of all, the company plans to produce new models for European consumers back in China in a factory that's currently under a construction. As such, there is every reason to believe that NIO won't have a major pricing power in the European region, since higher shipping costs along with the vulnerability of long-distance supply chains would make it higher for the business to successfully compete with legacy brands that have production facilities in Europe. This is one of the reasons why Tesla (TSLA) has been actively diversifying its supply chains and opened the factory in Berlin last year to have better pricing power in the region.Add to all of this the fact that NIO's vehicle margins are already thin and are on a decline due to the price war, and it becomes even harder to believe that the company will be able to successfully compete with the well-established names without burning even more cash than today. There's also no guarantee that European consumers would be interested in purchasing NIO's cars in the first place. In Q1, the company sold only 328 of its cars in Europe, while in Q2 so far it sold only 287 of its vehicles there. Volkswagen on the other hand has been selling over 60,000 EVs in Europe each quarter in the last few quarters. Considering this, it's hard to see how NIO plans to establish a solid ground in the region given all the challenges that it currently faces, while at the same time, the potential worsening of the Sino-European relations would make it even harder for the company to aggressively expand in the region in the following years.What's worse is that NIO hasn't been able to successfully penetrate Europe so far, and yet there are already plans to enter the United States market in 2025. In my opinion, this plan is mostly wishful thinking due to the fierce competition in the region along with the lack of any production facility there as well. In addition, the worsening of Sino-American relations would make it even harder for any Chinese brand to penetrate the U.S. market in the foreseeable future. NIO has already experienced the impact of the ongoing trade war as the implementation of the American export restrictions on chips last year has likely negatively affected its data center infrastructure which was run on Nvidia's (NVDA) A100 GPUs. While Nvidia managed to get around the restrictions by offering a cut-down version of A100 GPUs for the Chinese market, a potential Sino-American confrontation in the future makes it hard to believe that NIO would be able to establish a solid presence in the United States in the future. Add to all of this the fact that there's still a risk that NIO's shares could be delisted from American exchanges due to the issues with audits of Chinese-based firms, and it becomes obvious that the company's global ambitions could be ruined at any moment.The Bottom LineGiven all the challenges that NIO faces, it's hard to justify the company's current $15 billion market cap. There are already questions about whether the company's global expansion is sustainable in the long-term, while the ongoing price war in the EV industry would make it even harder for the automaker to stop the cash burn and become profitable. The street currently believes that NIO could reach a breakeven point in 2026, but a potential further margin contraction along with the potential inability to reach its delivery targets for this year could make those expectations sound too optimistic. As such, I believe that there's no point in even bothering to invest in the company at this stage as capital raise is likely around the corner given the unsustainable cash burn levels.This article is written by Bohdan Kucheriavyi for reference only. Please note the risks.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":109,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":214758485901568,"gmtCreate":1693468162219,"gmtModify":1693468166745,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576797853255359","authorIdStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$20 by end of the year is not far fetch , buy in now before you regret.","listText":"$20 by end of the year is not far fetch , buy in now before you regret.","text":"$20 by end of the year is not far fetch , buy in now before you regret.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/214758485901568","repostId":"2363507239","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2363507239","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1693467337,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2363507239?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-08-31 15:35","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir: AI Potential Is More Appealing At Lower Prices","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2363507239","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Palantir's enterprise AI software sales process and software implementation take time while revenue growth hasn't re-accelerated after hitting a cycle low below 13%.The company announced a $1 billion ","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li><p>Palantir&#39;s enterprise AI software sales process and software implementation take time while revenue growth hasn&#39;t re-accelerated after hitting a cycle low below 13%.</p></li><li><p>The company announced a $1 billion share buybacks, which is really very limited with the $36+ billion market cap.</p></li><li><p>The stock is expensive at 13x &#39;24 sales targets making $10 a far better entry point.</p></li></ul><p>As <strong>Palantir Technologies</strong> (NYSE:PLTR) soared to $20, investors were warned to pump the brakes on the AI hype. The market for generative AI chips might be hot, but enterprise AI software is still in the development process and sales cycles take time. My investment thesis is much more Neutral on the stock near support around $14, but Palantir doesn&#39;t become a true value until lower prices near $10.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eb9c5e604ff5bc1ad7de44de3c4f4ef3\" alt=\"Source: Finviz\" title=\"Source: Finviz\" tg-width=\"991\" tg-height=\"422\"/><span>Source: Finviz</span></p><h2 id=\"id_3619610116\">Takes Time To Transform Business</h2><p>The hype surrounding AI is the potential to transform businesses. Palantir will use enterprise AI software to harness the power of large language models and algorithms.</p><p>On the Q2&#39;23 earnings call, CTO Shyam Sankar describes how LLMs have limiting factors as follows:</p><blockquote><p>Large language models occupy a middle ground between algorithmic reasoning and human thought. They are fluent in natural language, yet they don&#39;t really understand what they say. They are not good at executing algorithms yet, they can be instructed in ordinary prose.</p><p>They are something else, non-algorithm compute. LLMs are statistics, not calculus. And the introduction of even one stochastic variable into a deterministic system makes the entire system now stochastic.</p></blockquote><p>The key here is that this opens up Palantir to offer customers enterprise AI solutions to harness the powers of LLM. The company uses algorithmic and software tools to power the statistics summarized in LLMs, such as with AIP, to deliver outcomes and accelerate workflows.</p><p>The problem for Palantir is that sales process and software implementation take time. The company only reported Q2 sales of $533 million for just 13% growth, a new low quarterly growth rate since going public.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26a437b8de39ffba85d8abf4002ca2b5\" alt=\"Data by YCharts\" title=\"Data by YCharts\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\"/><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p>The excitement surrounding LLMs and ChatGPT started back last November. Sure the excitement has grown in the last few quarters with Nvidia reporting massive demand growth for AI chips, but Palantir has seen virtually none of the boosted demand for LLMs actually flow through to higher revenues.</p><p>As highlighted on the earnings call, AIP is shortening the sales cycle, but it&#39;s not preventing a sales cycle. Not to mention, the AIP product hasn&#39;t been on the market for 3 months now.</p><p><strong>C3.ai</strong> (AI) provided investors with more details on the generative AI impact on the enterprise software sales cycle. On the FQ4&#39;23 earnings call, CEO Tom Siebel discussed a sales cycle that decreased by 1.3 months for a company that also shortened sales cycles due to the move to a consumption pricing model:</p><blockquote><p>The average sales cycle for new and expansion deals was 3.7 months down from five months in Q4 of the previous year.</p></blockquote><p>The clear enterprise AI software industry indication is that generative AI chat has increased product interest, but large companies still take a long time to sign deals and implement new software. Palantir might not see a real benefit from generative AI chat demand until way into 2024.</p><p>Another concern is that actual ChatGPT usage has dipped in the last few months in another sign the usage of generative AI is being rationalized. Users are now looking for chatbots to prove their worth and working with Palantir is a potential path, but such a shift will take time.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a4507cfe702e94bffa8342ecde614364\" alt=\"Source: ZDNET\" title=\"Source: ZDNET\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"393\"/><span>Source: ZDNET</span></p><h2 id=\"id_2102893111\">Minimal $1 Billion Buyback</h2><p>A lot of technology companies are rushing out share buybacks, though stocks really don&#39;t trade at levels offering a value. Palantir announced a $1 billion share buyback, but the current stock valuation sits at over $36 billion with a diluted share count of 2.28 billion.</p><p>The share buyback plan only amounts to repurchasing 2.7% of the outstanding shares providing limited benefit to shareholders. Palantir has a $3.1 billion cash balance, but the company shouldn&#39;t necessarily spend the cash on share buybacks at any price.</p><p>If the stock fell back to $10, Palantir would more logically utilize the share buyback. The enterprise AI software company could repurchase over 4% of the outstanding shares at the lowered price.</p><p>After all, the diluted share count rose 61K in just the sequential quarter from 2.22 billion shares in Q1&#39;23. The company heavily diluted shareholders via share-based compensation at a listed cost of $115 million in Q2&#39;23. The additional share dilution during the quarter was actually worth nearly $1 billion in market cap based on the current stock price.</p><p>Palantir guided to FQ3 revenues of $553 to $557 million for ~16% growth. The analyst targets don&#39;t get the enterprise AI software business back to 20% growth rates anytime soon.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba947dd28fafe17cfdd1342972e3ffe1\" alt=\"Source: Seeking Alpha\" title=\"Source: Seeking Alpha\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"214\"/><span>Source: Seeking Alpha</span></p><p>All the AI hype isn&#39;t exactly showing up in the financial projections. The stock is far more interesting at $14 due to the stock support and far better value than up at $20 when Palantir traded at nearly 20x forward sales.</p><p>The stock still trades at 13x 2024 sales targets of $2.63 billion. The AIP product offers a lot of promise for long-term AI software growth, but Palantir still can&#39;t avoid the sales cycle.</p><p>The current revenue targets suggest no real sales momentum nearly a year after the start of the generative AI craze due to the launch of ChatGPT and a 2nd quarter of the AIP product on market. The consensus analyst estimates still aren&#39;t showing the AI hype driving accelerating revenue growth for enterprise software.</p><h2 id=\"id_3388522181\">Takeaway</h2><p>The key investor takeaway is that Palantir is a much better deal down here around $14. The ideal entry point for the enterprise AI software stock is back closer to $10 when the stock dips below 10x forward sales targets. The share buyback program offers real impacts when the price falls closer to $10 and share repurchases can buy up to 5% of the outstanding shares to help offset share dilution.</p><p>Palantir might not fall that low, but investors have no reason to be aggressive here with enterprise AI software spending not accelerating like generative AI chat hype.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir: AI Potential Is More Appealing At Lower Prices</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir: AI Potential Is More Appealing At Lower Prices\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-08-31 15:35 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4632096-palantir-ai-potential-is-more-appealing-at-lower-prices-rating-upgrade><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Palantir's enterprise AI software sales process and software implementation take time while revenue growth hasn't re-accelerated after hitting a cycle low below 13%.The company announced a $1 billion ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4632096-palantir-ai-potential-is-more-appealing-at-lower-prices-rating-upgrade\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4588":"碎股","BK4023":"应用软件","BK4543":"AI","BK4547":"WSB热门概念","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4632096-palantir-ai-potential-is-more-appealing-at-lower-prices-rating-upgrade","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2363507239","content_text":"Palantir's enterprise AI software sales process and software implementation take time while revenue growth hasn't re-accelerated after hitting a cycle low below 13%.The company announced a $1 billion share buybacks, which is really very limited with the $36+ billion market cap.The stock is expensive at 13x '24 sales targets making $10 a far better entry point.As Palantir Technologies (NYSE:PLTR) soared to $20, investors were warned to pump the brakes on the AI hype. The market for generative AI chips might be hot, but enterprise AI software is still in the development process and sales cycles take time. My investment thesis is much more Neutral on the stock near support around $14, but Palantir doesn't become a true value until lower prices near $10.Source: FinvizTakes Time To Transform BusinessThe hype surrounding AI is the potential to transform businesses. Palantir will use enterprise AI software to harness the power of large language models and algorithms.On the Q2'23 earnings call, CTO Shyam Sankar describes how LLMs have limiting factors as follows:Large language models occupy a middle ground between algorithmic reasoning and human thought. They are fluent in natural language, yet they don't really understand what they say. They are not good at executing algorithms yet, they can be instructed in ordinary prose.They are something else, non-algorithm compute. LLMs are statistics, not calculus. And the introduction of even one stochastic variable into a deterministic system makes the entire system now stochastic.The key here is that this opens up Palantir to offer customers enterprise AI solutions to harness the powers of LLM. The company uses algorithmic and software tools to power the statistics summarized in LLMs, such as with AIP, to deliver outcomes and accelerate workflows.The problem for Palantir is that sales process and software implementation take time. The company only reported Q2 sales of $533 million for just 13% growth, a new low quarterly growth rate since going public.Data by YChartsThe excitement surrounding LLMs and ChatGPT started back last November. Sure the excitement has grown in the last few quarters with Nvidia reporting massive demand growth for AI chips, but Palantir has seen virtually none of the boosted demand for LLMs actually flow through to higher revenues.As highlighted on the earnings call, AIP is shortening the sales cycle, but it's not preventing a sales cycle. Not to mention, the AIP product hasn't been on the market for 3 months now.C3.ai (AI) provided investors with more details on the generative AI impact on the enterprise software sales cycle. On the FQ4'23 earnings call, CEO Tom Siebel discussed a sales cycle that decreased by 1.3 months for a company that also shortened sales cycles due to the move to a consumption pricing model:The average sales cycle for new and expansion deals was 3.7 months down from five months in Q4 of the previous year.The clear enterprise AI software industry indication is that generative AI chat has increased product interest, but large companies still take a long time to sign deals and implement new software. Palantir might not see a real benefit from generative AI chat demand until way into 2024.Another concern is that actual ChatGPT usage has dipped in the last few months in another sign the usage of generative AI is being rationalized. Users are now looking for chatbots to prove their worth and working with Palantir is a potential path, but such a shift will take time.Source: ZDNETMinimal $1 Billion BuybackA lot of technology companies are rushing out share buybacks, though stocks really don't trade at levels offering a value. Palantir announced a $1 billion share buyback, but the current stock valuation sits at over $36 billion with a diluted share count of 2.28 billion.The share buyback plan only amounts to repurchasing 2.7% of the outstanding shares providing limited benefit to shareholders. Palantir has a $3.1 billion cash balance, but the company shouldn't necessarily spend the cash on share buybacks at any price.If the stock fell back to $10, Palantir would more logically utilize the share buyback. The enterprise AI software company could repurchase over 4% of the outstanding shares at the lowered price.After all, the diluted share count rose 61K in just the sequential quarter from 2.22 billion shares in Q1'23. The company heavily diluted shareholders via share-based compensation at a listed cost of $115 million in Q2'23. The additional share dilution during the quarter was actually worth nearly $1 billion in market cap based on the current stock price.Palantir guided to FQ3 revenues of $553 to $557 million for ~16% growth. The analyst targets don't get the enterprise AI software business back to 20% growth rates anytime soon.Source: Seeking AlphaAll the AI hype isn't exactly showing up in the financial projections. The stock is far more interesting at $14 due to the stock support and far better value than up at $20 when Palantir traded at nearly 20x forward sales.The stock still trades at 13x 2024 sales targets of $2.63 billion. The AIP product offers a lot of promise for long-term AI software growth, but Palantir still can't avoid the sales cycle.The current revenue targets suggest no real sales momentum nearly a year after the start of the generative AI craze due to the launch of ChatGPT and a 2nd quarter of the AIP product on market. The consensus analyst estimates still aren't showing the AI hype driving accelerating revenue growth for enterprise software.TakeawayThe key investor takeaway is that Palantir is a much better deal down here around $14. The ideal entry point for the enterprise AI software stock is back closer to $10 when the stock dips below 10x forward sales targets. The share buyback program offers real impacts when the price falls closer to $10 and share repurchases can buy up to 5% of the outstanding shares to help offset share dilution.Palantir might not fall that low, but investors have no reason to be aggressive here with enterprise AI software spending not accelerating like generative AI chat hype.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":243,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":207360036323568,"gmtCreate":1691654016669,"gmtModify":1691654021513,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576797853255359","authorIdStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Drop to 5 again please&nbsp;","listText":"Drop to 5 again please&nbsp;","text":"Drop to 5 again please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/207360036323568","repostId":"2358070752","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2358070752","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1691625276,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2358070752?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-08-10 07:54","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir Stock Tumbles Over 10%, the Worst Six-Day Stretch Since May 2022","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2358070752","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Palantir was a big AI winner and then August started. Now its stock is in free fall and could be headed lower.Palantir stock has fallen 8.75% to $15.55 on Wednesday, its lowest level since November 2022. With that decline, shares are now below their 50-day moving average, at $16.16, for the first time May. A lot of technical damage has been done. It's broken its uptrend line, which sat around $17, and its first level of support, near $16. Worse still, the stock has fallen for six straight days and is 22% during its losing streak, the worst six-day stretch since May 2022.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Palantir was a big AI winner and then August started. Now its stock is in free fall and could be headed lower.</p><p>Palantir stock has fallen 10.5% to $15.25 on Wednesday, its biggest drop since November 2022. With that decline, shares are now below their 50-day moving average, at $16.16, for the first time May. A lot of technical damage has been done. It&#39;s broken its uptrend line, which sat around $17, and its first level of support, near $16. Worse still, the stock has fallen for six straight days and is 22% during its losing streak, the worst six-day stretch since May 2022.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cea7fad2140e8646eb5067280bb5e0f6\" tg-width=\"852\" tg-height=\"843\"/></p><p>It&#39;s an odd move. Palantir stock peaked at $19.99 on Aug. 1, a move that put it up $211% since the start of the year. Palantir also reported earnings on Monday, numbers that initially looked good. It reported a profit of 5 cents a share, in line with analyst forecasts, while raising its revenue guidance. It even announced a $1 billion stock buyback. Analysts, too, seemed to like the numbers. &#34;Profitability is ahead of schedule, FCF is tracking better than expected, there is $3B on the balance sheet, and there is enthusiasm that the company may be eligible for S&amp;P 500 inclusion in the coming quarter,&#34; Raymond James analyst Brian Gesuale wrote on Monday. &#34;We are reiterating our Outperform rating and notching our target to $22.00.&#34; Even some bears raised their price targets.</p><p>But revenue growth slowed and sales guidance was raised by only $2 million, and that has the stock falling now. &#34;Stepping back, we view the quarter as mixed, at best, given the deceleration in growth and weak leading indicators,&#34; RBC analyst Rishi Jaluria wrote on Monday.</p><p>The next level of support is at $15, then $14. After that, investors need to look at its 200-day moving average at $10.</p><p>Hopefully, it doesn&#39;t come to that.</p><p></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir Stock Tumbles Over 10%, the Worst Six-Day Stretch Since May 2022</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir Stock Tumbles Over 10%, the Worst Six-Day Stretch Since May 2022\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2023-08-10 07:54</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Palantir was a big AI winner and then August started. Now its stock is in free fall and could be headed lower.</p><p>Palantir stock has fallen 10.5% to $15.25 on Wednesday, its biggest drop since November 2022. With that decline, shares are now below their 50-day moving average, at $16.16, for the first time May. A lot of technical damage has been done. It&#39;s broken its uptrend line, which sat around $17, and its first level of support, near $16. Worse still, the stock has fallen for six straight days and is 22% during its losing streak, the worst six-day stretch since May 2022.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cea7fad2140e8646eb5067280bb5e0f6\" tg-width=\"852\" tg-height=\"843\"/></p><p>It&#39;s an odd move. Palantir stock peaked at $19.99 on Aug. 1, a move that put it up $211% since the start of the year. Palantir also reported earnings on Monday, numbers that initially looked good. It reported a profit of 5 cents a share, in line with analyst forecasts, while raising its revenue guidance. It even announced a $1 billion stock buyback. Analysts, too, seemed to like the numbers. &#34;Profitability is ahead of schedule, FCF is tracking better than expected, there is $3B on the balance sheet, and there is enthusiasm that the company may be eligible for S&amp;P 500 inclusion in the coming quarter,&#34; Raymond James analyst Brian Gesuale wrote on Monday. &#34;We are reiterating our Outperform rating and notching our target to $22.00.&#34; Even some bears raised their price targets.</p><p>But revenue growth slowed and sales guidance was raised by only $2 million, and that has the stock falling now. &#34;Stepping back, we view the quarter as mixed, at best, given the deceleration in growth and weak leading indicators,&#34; RBC analyst Rishi Jaluria wrote on Monday.</p><p>The next level of support is at $15, then $14. After that, investors need to look at its 200-day moving average at $10.</p><p>Hopefully, it doesn&#39;t come to that.</p><p></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4023":"应用软件","BK4588":"碎股","PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc.","BK4543":"AI","BK4547":"WSB热门概念","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念"},"source_url":"https://dowjonesnews.com/newdjn/logon.aspx?AL=N","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2358070752","content_text":"Palantir was a big AI winner and then August started. Now its stock is in free fall and could be headed lower.Palantir stock has fallen 10.5% to $15.25 on Wednesday, its biggest drop since November 2022. With that decline, shares are now below their 50-day moving average, at $16.16, for the first time May. A lot of technical damage has been done. It's broken its uptrend line, which sat around $17, and its first level of support, near $16. Worse still, the stock has fallen for six straight days and is 22% during its losing streak, the worst six-day stretch since May 2022.It's an odd move. Palantir stock peaked at $19.99 on Aug. 1, a move that put it up $211% since the start of the year. Palantir also reported earnings on Monday, numbers that initially looked good. It reported a profit of 5 cents a share, in line with analyst forecasts, while raising its revenue guidance. It even announced a $1 billion stock buyback. Analysts, too, seemed to like the numbers. \"Profitability is ahead of schedule, FCF is tracking better than expected, there is $3B on the balance sheet, and there is enthusiasm that the company may be eligible for S&P 500 inclusion in the coming quarter,\" Raymond James analyst Brian Gesuale wrote on Monday. \"We are reiterating our Outperform rating and notching our target to $22.00.\" Even some bears raised their price targets.But revenue growth slowed and sales guidance was raised by only $2 million, and that has the stock falling now. \"Stepping back, we view the quarter as mixed, at best, given the deceleration in growth and weak leading indicators,\" RBC analyst Rishi Jaluria wrote on Monday.The next level of support is at $15, then $14. After that, investors need to look at its 200-day moving average at $10.Hopefully, it doesn't come to that.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":198,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":206386714636504,"gmtCreate":1691419112659,"gmtModify":1691419115247,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576797853255359","authorIdStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$&nbsp;</a> Yes","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$&nbsp;</a> Yes","text":"$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ Yes","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/206386714636504","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":180,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":204975481634840,"gmtCreate":1691052358254,"gmtModify":1691052361589,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576797853255359","authorIdStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yeah oracle from $wish","listText":"Yeah oracle from $wish","text":"Yeah oracle from $wish","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/204975481634840","repostId":"2356994794","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2356994794","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1690967733,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2356994794?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-08-02 17:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"SoFi Stock Dives 4% After Cut to Underperform at KBW on Valuation","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2356994794","media":"Seekingalpha","summary":"SoFi Technologies (NASDAQ:SOFI) shares dropped 9.61% on Tuesday and continued to slide in premarket trading on Wednesday after Keefe, Bruyette & Woods, downgraded the stock to Underperform from Market","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SOFI\">SoFi Technologies</a> shares dropped 9.61% on Tuesday and continued to slide nearly 4% in premarket trading on Wednesday after Keefe, Bruyette &amp; Woods, downgraded the stock to Underperform from Market Perform following a surge from its mid-May trough.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b89e389fe4b25a6cbd60807886f5de7\" tg-width=\"786\" tg-height=\"620\"/></p><p>Since bottoming out at $4.76 in mid-May, SOFI has popped some 120% to $10.54 at 12:23 p.m. ET. What&#39;s more, the stock is trading at more than 30 times the high end of SoFi&#39;s (SOFI) EBITDA target range for this year, analyst Michael Perito wrote in a note.</p><p>&#34;This appears to be one of the highest valuations for any balance sheet financial in the KBW coverage universe and could be difficult to sustain now that short interest likely has somewhat normalized.&#34; We believe valuation has overshot the fundamental earnings outlook,&#34; Perito noted, adding &#34;profitability will be modest at best in 2024&#34; with return on equity in the low single digits.</p><p>The Underperform rating diverges from the average SA analyst rating of Buy, as well as the Quant system rating and the average sell-side analyst rating, both at Hold.</p><p>The bearish coverage comes one day after the company known for refinancing loans delivered Q2 revenue that exceeded the average analyst estimate as personal loan originations climbed and the company attracted new members with good credit scores.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>SoFi Stock Dives 4% After Cut to Underperform at KBW on Valuation</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSoFi Stock Dives 4% After Cut to Underperform at KBW on Valuation\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-08-02 17:15 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/news/3994364-sofi-stock-dives-after-cut-to-underperform-at-kbw-on-valuation><strong>Seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SoFi Technologies shares dropped 9.61% on Tuesday and continued to slide nearly 4% in premarket trading on Wednesday after Keefe, Bruyette & Woods, downgraded the stock to Underperform from Market ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3994364-sofi-stock-dives-after-cut-to-underperform-at-kbw-on-valuation\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SOFI":"SoFi Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3994364-sofi-stock-dives-after-cut-to-underperform-at-kbw-on-valuation","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2356994794","content_text":"SoFi Technologies shares dropped 9.61% on Tuesday and continued to slide nearly 4% in premarket trading on Wednesday after Keefe, Bruyette & Woods, downgraded the stock to Underperform from Market Perform following a surge from its mid-May trough.Since bottoming out at $4.76 in mid-May, SOFI has popped some 120% to $10.54 at 12:23 p.m. ET. What's more, the stock is trading at more than 30 times the high end of SoFi's (SOFI) EBITDA target range for this year, analyst Michael Perito wrote in a note.\"This appears to be one of the highest valuations for any balance sheet financial in the KBW coverage universe and could be difficult to sustain now that short interest likely has somewhat normalized.\" We believe valuation has overshot the fundamental earnings outlook,\" Perito noted, adding \"profitability will be modest at best in 2024\" with return on equity in the low single digits.The Underperform rating diverges from the average SA analyst rating of Buy, as well as the Quant system rating and the average sell-side analyst rating, both at Hold.The bearish coverage comes one day after the company known for refinancing loans delivered Q2 revenue that exceeded the average analyst estimate as personal loan originations climbed and the company attracted new members with good credit scores.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":71,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9922841764,"gmtCreate":1671749007158,"gmtModify":1676538586156,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576797853255359","authorIdStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Airbnb LOL.&nbsp;","listText":"Airbnb LOL.&nbsp;","text":"Airbnb LOL.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":13,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9922841764","repostId":"2293589941","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2293589941","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1671782569,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2293589941?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-12-23 16:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"4 Stocks That Can Turn $100,000 Into $500,000 by the Time You Retire","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2293589941","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"It's always the right time to be planning for a better retirement.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Most investors won&#39;t build life-changing wealth from the stock market overnight, but when you&#39;re investing in wonderful stocks for many years at a time, you don&#39;t need to hit a one-time jackpot to build and sustain meaningful returns. Even if your retirement is a ways off, it&#39;s never too early to start planning for a better and stronger financial future.</p><p>Here are four different stocks, each on a unique growth trajectory, that have the potential to multiply a $100,000 investment by at least 5 times in the years ahead.</p><h2>1. Shopify</h2><p>The growth of the digital economy continues to pave the way for the future, and the buying and selling of goods online remains a significant aspect of that journey. E-commerce spend will account for 31% of all retail transactions in the U.S. alone by 2026, compared to its current share of 23%, according to <b>Morgan Stanley</b>.</p><p>An estimated 20% of all e-commerce sites globally are built on <b>Shopify</b>&#39;s platform. Shopify has made it straightforward and accessible for anyone, anywhere to create an online business. With subscriptions to build and maintain a store starting at just $29 a month, the company continues to attract a wide range of entrepreneurs and enterprises looking to capitalize on the growth of the digital economy.</p><p>In the most recent quarter, the company delivered revenue growth of 22% to $1.4 billion, driven by subscription solutions and merchant solutions revenue growth of 12% and 26%, respectively, from the year-ago period. Since the time of the stock&#39;s initial public offering in 2015, the company has grown its revenue by well over 4,000% while delivering a total return of approximately 1,300% for investors.</p><p>The macro environment is impacting consumer spending right now, but the buying and selling of goods online isn&#39;t going anywhere. Shopify provides the full spectrum of services, web technologies, and integrations required to launch and support an online business, and the company&#39;s leading market share means its platform is ideally placed to benefit from both the near-term and long-term growth of the explosive e-commerce market.</p><p>It&#39;s certainly not a stretch of the imagination that Shopify could augment its current share price by 5 times or more over the next decade.</p><h2>2. Vertex Pharmaceuticals</h2><p>Healthcare stocks often possess a unique advantage during difficult economic backdrops, because the products and services these companies provide enjoy steady demand that&#39;s not subject to the cyclicality other industries face. In the case of <b>Vertex Pharmaceuticals</b> specifically, its focus on the rare disease drug market has enabled it to deliver astonishing growth and consistent shareholder returns throughout the years.</p><p>To date, Vertex Pharmaceuticals has four approved products on the market. All of these drugs treat cystic fibrosis, a genetic disease that affects more than 100,000 people globally. The prevalence of cystic fibrosis is only increasing, and it&#39;s estimated about 1,000 people in the U.S. are diagnosed with the illness every year.</p><p>While Vertex Pharmaceuticals effectively dominates the fast-growing cystic fibrosis drug market, this is far from the only catalyst on which it can launch its business to future growth. It is actively building out its pipeline of therapeutic candidates targeting a wide variety of rare diseases and will soon seek approval for exa-cel, a treatment for the rare blood disorders sickle cell and beta thalassemia that it developed with its long-term partner <b>CRISPR Therapeutics</b>. If exa-cel is given the regulatory green light, it will be the first CRISPR product ever approved for a genetic illness.</p><p>Over the past three years alone, a time of broad volatility for companies across a wide variety of sectors, Vertex Pharmaceuticals has delivered a total return of 34%, while its revenue and net income have risen 109% and 178%, respectively, during that same period. It has also increased its cash flow from operations to the tune of about 150% during that three-year window.</p><p>Given the company&#39;s widening footprint in the rare disease drug market and its steady track record, there&#39;s no reason to think Vertex Pharmaceuticals can&#39;t compound its share price returns several times over in the years ahead.</p><h2>3. Teladoc Health</h2><p><b>Teladoc Health</b> was one of the leading forces in the rapidly evolving telehealth market before COVID-19. The onset of the pandemic accelerated its growth trajectory and the pace of innovation in this space, and the future will only multiply the need for effective, full-service virtual care solutions. Teladoc&#39;s platform is ideally positioned to benefit from these long-lasting tailwinds, and despite what its share price might indicate, the company is already doing so.</p><p>There&#39;s no denying now that Teladoc probably overpaid for Livongo when it bought the health-tech platform in 2020, and that was the driving force behind the nearly $10 billion in impairment charges the company reported in the first half of 2022.</p><p>However, those eye-popping losses seem to be gradually retreating into the background. Teladoc&#39;s net loss dropped to $74 million in the most recent quarter, a net loss of $0.45 per share compared to a net loss of $0.53 in the year-ago period.</p><p>Meanwhile, Teladoc&#39;s third-quarter revenue jumped 17% year over year to $611 million. The company is profitable on a free-cash-flow basis, having generated free cash flow of $20 million in the quarter. It also ended the period with $900 million of cash and investments on its balance sheet.</p><p>Its position as one of the key platforms at the forefront of the $84 billion telehealth industry bodes well for its potential going forward.</p><h2>4. Airbnb</h2><p>The global travel industry may be slowing down as fears of a far-reaching recession take hold, but <b>Airbnb</b> continues to go from strength to strength. It&#39;s becoming increasingly apparent that Airbnb&#39;s growth trajectory isn&#39;t predicated solely around trends within the tourism sector.</p><p>This is largely due to the fact Airbnb&#39;s platform caters to far more than short-term travelers. Digital nomads, remote workers looking for long-term stays, and tenants seeking alternatives to a regular lease structure also use the Airbnb platform.</p><p>In the second quarter, long-term stays -- which are bookings of 28 days or more -- had risen 25% year over year. By the third quarter, long-term stays accounted for approximately 20% of all bookings on the platform. Its third-quarter revenue and net income also jumped about 75% and 355%, respectively, from the same quarter of 2019.</p><p>Meanwhile, the company recently announced it will be launching partnerships with a dozen major apartment landlords across the country, allowing users to go on Airbnb and look for an apartment the same way they would through a real estate agency site or other traditional real estate platforms.</p><p>For buy-and-hold investors, this growth stock could contribute generous returns to your portfolio.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>4 Stocks That Can Turn $100,000 Into $500,000 by the Time You Retire</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n4 Stocks That Can Turn $100,000 Into $500,000 by the Time You Retire\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-23 16:02 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/12/22/4-stocks-that-can-turn-100k-into-500k-for-retire/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Most investors won't build life-changing wealth from the stock market overnight, but when you're investing in wonderful stocks for many years at a time, you don't need to hit a one-time jackpot to ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/12/22/4-stocks-that-can-turn-100k-into-500k-for-retire/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TDOC":"Teladoc Health Inc.","SHOP":"Shopify Inc","VRTX":"福泰制药","ABNB":"爱彼迎"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/12/22/4-stocks-that-can-turn-100k-into-500k-for-retire/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2293589941","content_text":"Most investors won't build life-changing wealth from the stock market overnight, but when you're investing in wonderful stocks for many years at a time, you don't need to hit a one-time jackpot to build and sustain meaningful returns. Even if your retirement is a ways off, it's never too early to start planning for a better and stronger financial future.Here are four different stocks, each on a unique growth trajectory, that have the potential to multiply a $100,000 investment by at least 5 times in the years ahead.1. ShopifyThe growth of the digital economy continues to pave the way for the future, and the buying and selling of goods online remains a significant aspect of that journey. E-commerce spend will account for 31% of all retail transactions in the U.S. alone by 2026, compared to its current share of 23%, according to Morgan Stanley.An estimated 20% of all e-commerce sites globally are built on Shopify's platform. Shopify has made it straightforward and accessible for anyone, anywhere to create an online business. With subscriptions to build and maintain a store starting at just $29 a month, the company continues to attract a wide range of entrepreneurs and enterprises looking to capitalize on the growth of the digital economy.In the most recent quarter, the company delivered revenue growth of 22% to $1.4 billion, driven by subscription solutions and merchant solutions revenue growth of 12% and 26%, respectively, from the year-ago period. Since the time of the stock's initial public offering in 2015, the company has grown its revenue by well over 4,000% while delivering a total return of approximately 1,300% for investors.The macro environment is impacting consumer spending right now, but the buying and selling of goods online isn't going anywhere. Shopify provides the full spectrum of services, web technologies, and integrations required to launch and support an online business, and the company's leading market share means its platform is ideally placed to benefit from both the near-term and long-term growth of the explosive e-commerce market.It's certainly not a stretch of the imagination that Shopify could augment its current share price by 5 times or more over the next decade.2. Vertex PharmaceuticalsHealthcare stocks often possess a unique advantage during difficult economic backdrops, because the products and services these companies provide enjoy steady demand that's not subject to the cyclicality other industries face. In the case of Vertex Pharmaceuticals specifically, its focus on the rare disease drug market has enabled it to deliver astonishing growth and consistent shareholder returns throughout the years.To date, Vertex Pharmaceuticals has four approved products on the market. All of these drugs treat cystic fibrosis, a genetic disease that affects more than 100,000 people globally. The prevalence of cystic fibrosis is only increasing, and it's estimated about 1,000 people in the U.S. are diagnosed with the illness every year.While Vertex Pharmaceuticals effectively dominates the fast-growing cystic fibrosis drug market, this is far from the only catalyst on which it can launch its business to future growth. It is actively building out its pipeline of therapeutic candidates targeting a wide variety of rare diseases and will soon seek approval for exa-cel, a treatment for the rare blood disorders sickle cell and beta thalassemia that it developed with its long-term partner CRISPR Therapeutics. If exa-cel is given the regulatory green light, it will be the first CRISPR product ever approved for a genetic illness.Over the past three years alone, a time of broad volatility for companies across a wide variety of sectors, Vertex Pharmaceuticals has delivered a total return of 34%, while its revenue and net income have risen 109% and 178%, respectively, during that same period. It has also increased its cash flow from operations to the tune of about 150% during that three-year window.Given the company's widening footprint in the rare disease drug market and its steady track record, there's no reason to think Vertex Pharmaceuticals can't compound its share price returns several times over in the years ahead.3. Teladoc HealthTeladoc Health was one of the leading forces in the rapidly evolving telehealth market before COVID-19. The onset of the pandemic accelerated its growth trajectory and the pace of innovation in this space, and the future will only multiply the need for effective, full-service virtual care solutions. Teladoc's platform is ideally positioned to benefit from these long-lasting tailwinds, and despite what its share price might indicate, the company is already doing so.There's no denying now that Teladoc probably overpaid for Livongo when it bought the health-tech platform in 2020, and that was the driving force behind the nearly $10 billion in impairment charges the company reported in the first half of 2022.However, those eye-popping losses seem to be gradually retreating into the background. Teladoc's net loss dropped to $74 million in the most recent quarter, a net loss of $0.45 per share compared to a net loss of $0.53 in the year-ago period.Meanwhile, Teladoc's third-quarter revenue jumped 17% year over year to $611 million. The company is profitable on a free-cash-flow basis, having generated free cash flow of $20 million in the quarter. It also ended the period with $900 million of cash and investments on its balance sheet.Its position as one of the key platforms at the forefront of the $84 billion telehealth industry bodes well for its potential going forward.4. AirbnbThe global travel industry may be slowing down as fears of a far-reaching recession take hold, but Airbnb continues to go from strength to strength. It's becoming increasingly apparent that Airbnb's growth trajectory isn't predicated solely around trends within the tourism sector.This is largely due to the fact Airbnb's platform caters to far more than short-term travelers. Digital nomads, remote workers looking for long-term stays, and tenants seeking alternatives to a regular lease structure also use the Airbnb platform.In the second quarter, long-term stays -- which are bookings of 28 days or more -- had risen 25% year over year. By the third quarter, long-term stays accounted for approximately 20% of all bookings on the platform. Its third-quarter revenue and net income also jumped about 75% and 355%, respectively, from the same quarter of 2019.Meanwhile, the company recently announced it will be launching partnerships with a dozen major apartment landlords across the country, allowing users to go on Airbnb and look for an apartment the same way they would through a real estate agency site or other traditional real estate platforms.For buy-and-hold investors, this growth stock could contribute generous returns to your portfolio.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":143,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":217306385133736,"gmtCreate":1694077383844,"gmtModify":1694077388369,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576797853255359","authorIdStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"So I'm waiting for inverse Cathie wood etf?","listText":"So I'm waiting for inverse Cathie wood etf?","text":"So I'm waiting for inverse Cathie wood etf?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/217306385133736","repostId":"2365402090","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2365402090","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1694101200,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2365402090?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-09-07 23:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The 3 Best Cathie Wood Stocks to Buy Now: September 2023","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2365402090","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"Most of Cathie Wood's stock picks are not too impressive. Still, a few of them are worth considering. Here are the best Cathie Wood stocks.","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul style=\"\"><li><p>Most of Cathie Wood’s stock picks are not too impressive. But a few of them are worth considering. Here are the best Cathie Wood stocks.</p></li><li><p><strong><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a> Video</strong> (<strong><u>ZM</u></strong>): Analysts appear to be significantly underestimating ZM’s outlook.</p></li><li><p><strong>Exact Sciences</strong> (<strong><u>EXAS</u></strong>): EXAS looks well-positioned to benefit from a big backlog of colonoscopies.</p></li><li><p><strong>Roku</strong> (<strong><u>ROKU</u></strong>): Rebounding ad spending makes this a good time to get in on ROKU.</p></li></ul><p>I disagree with Cathie Wood’s stock picks much if not most of the time. For example, I believe that her huge bullishness on <strong>Bitcoin </strong>(<strong><u>BTC-USD</u></strong>) is completely misplaced, given the clear opposition of the U.S. government and most large American banks to cryptos. And I also think that her optimism about <strong>Tesla </strong>(NASDAQ: <strong><u>TSLA</u></strong>) is overdone in light of the stock’s high valuation and tough competition. Finally, I believe that Wood’s embrace of the metaverse is unwarranted since the technology has been around for decades and hasn’t made much of a splash. But on the other hand, I do like a relatively small percentage of Wood’s picks. So, for those looking for the best Cathie Wood stocks, here are my two cents.</p><h2 id=\"id_721982291\">Zoom Video (ZM)</h2><p>After being dramatically overvalued during the pandemic,<strong> Zoom Video</strong> (NASDAQ: <strong><u>ZM</u></strong>) now appears to be significantly undervalued. Specifically, the shares are changing hands at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of just 16.6x. That’s well below the average price-earnings ratio of the <strong>S&amp;P 500, </strong>which currently stands at 25.8x.</p><p>Yet analysts, on average, expect the company’s earnings per share to jump a healthy 6.8% this year to $4.67.</p><p>The mean forecast, however, calls for Zoom’s EPS to decline next year to $4.54.</p><p>I think that this forecast is overly conservative and likely reflects the prevailing view that the work-from-home trend is likely poised to dissipate and will at least stagnate.</p><p>But that theory appears to be misplaced, as a recent study found that “most U.S. executives… expect the number of hybrid and remote workers to increase” by 2.2% and 1%, respectively, between 2023 and 2028.</p><p>Meanwhile, the company is intensively working to expand its business in Asia, and that initiative could bear fruit by next year.</p><p>What’s more, on the leisure side of the equation, I expect the travel boom to ease next year, and I think there’s a good chance that many more tech-savvy consumers will, as a result, use Zoom to connect with their friends and family who live far away from them.</p><h2 id=\"id_1647172135\">Exact Sciences (EXAS)</h2><p>After <strong>Exact Sciences</strong> (NASDAQ: <strong><u>EXAS</u></strong>) reported very favorable data on its new colon cancer screening product, investment bank Canaccord Genuity predicted that EXAS could eventually obtain at least a 50% share of all colon cancer screenings.</p><p>Exact Sciences has said that there is currently a “backlog” of people waiting for colonoscopies, and the company’s colon cancer screening product could help improve that situation. Indeed, one of my family members recently had to wait three months before receiving a colonoscopy that she requested.</p><p>Moreover, as I noted in a previous column, “Baylor Scott &amp; White, a primary care organization (and hospital owner) in Texas, “will administer approximately 50,000 Multi-Cancer Early Detection tests (from EXAS) to (its) patients.”</p><p>Baylor is a huge healthcare organization,  so its willingness to utilize Exact Sciences’ test bodes well for the test’s adoption by other such entities. As a result, I’m very bullish on the test’s outlook.</p><h2 id=\"id_2842741696\">Roku (ROKU)</h2><p>As the popularity of streaming continues to grow rapidly,<strong> Roku’s </strong>(NASDAQ: <strong><u>ROKU</u></strong>) top line keeps increasing quite quickly. (That’s not surprising since Roku is by far the most popular operating system for streaming TVs at this point).</p><p>Last quarter, the company’s top line jumped 11% versus the same period a year earlier to $847 million, while its gross profit climbed 7% year-over-year to $378 million. Also noteworthy is that the company’s streaming hours increased by 4.4 billion hours year-over-year to 25.1 billion hours.</p><p>In its Q2 Shareholder Letter, Roku noted that “While Q2 Platform revenue exceeded our expectations, the macro environment continued to create uncertainty with the total U.S. advertising market flat (year-over-year) in Q2.</p><p>However, the company reported that the ad spending of some sectors, including “consumer packaging and health and wellness,” rebounded in Q2. As fears of a recession in the U.S. ease going forward, I expect more sectors’ ad spending to climb.</p><p>Finally, I expect Roku to benefit significantly both from more companies’ realization that streaming is rapidly gaining market share and continued tough competition among paid streaming channels. The latter channels tend to advertise a great deal on Roku.</p></body></html>","source":"investorplace_stock_picks","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The 3 Best Cathie Wood Stocks to Buy Now: September 2023</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe 3 Best Cathie Wood Stocks to Buy Now: September 2023\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-09-07 23:40 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://investorplace.com/2023/09/the-3-best-cathie-wood-stocks-to-buy-now-september-2023/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Most of Cathie Wood’s stock picks are not too impressive. But a few of them are worth considering. Here are the best Cathie Wood stocks.Zoom Video (ZM): Analysts appear to be significantly ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2023/09/the-3-best-cathie-wood-stocks-to-buy-now-september-2023/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ROKU":"Roku Inc","ZM":"Zoom","EXAS":"精密科学"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2023/09/the-3-best-cathie-wood-stocks-to-buy-now-september-2023/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2365402090","content_text":"Most of Cathie Wood’s stock picks are not too impressive. But a few of them are worth considering. Here are the best Cathie Wood stocks.Zoom Video (ZM): Analysts appear to be significantly underestimating ZM’s outlook.Exact Sciences (EXAS): EXAS looks well-positioned to benefit from a big backlog of colonoscopies.Roku (ROKU): Rebounding ad spending makes this a good time to get in on ROKU.I disagree with Cathie Wood’s stock picks much if not most of the time. For example, I believe that her huge bullishness on Bitcoin (BTC-USD) is completely misplaced, given the clear opposition of the U.S. government and most large American banks to cryptos. And I also think that her optimism about Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) is overdone in light of the stock’s high valuation and tough competition. Finally, I believe that Wood’s embrace of the metaverse is unwarranted since the technology has been around for decades and hasn’t made much of a splash. But on the other hand, I do like a relatively small percentage of Wood’s picks. So, for those looking for the best Cathie Wood stocks, here are my two cents.Zoom Video (ZM)After being dramatically overvalued during the pandemic, Zoom Video (NASDAQ: ZM) now appears to be significantly undervalued. Specifically, the shares are changing hands at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of just 16.6x. That’s well below the average price-earnings ratio of the S&P 500, which currently stands at 25.8x.Yet analysts, on average, expect the company’s earnings per share to jump a healthy 6.8% this year to $4.67.The mean forecast, however, calls for Zoom’s EPS to decline next year to $4.54.I think that this forecast is overly conservative and likely reflects the prevailing view that the work-from-home trend is likely poised to dissipate and will at least stagnate.But that theory appears to be misplaced, as a recent study found that “most U.S. executives… expect the number of hybrid and remote workers to increase” by 2.2% and 1%, respectively, between 2023 and 2028.Meanwhile, the company is intensively working to expand its business in Asia, and that initiative could bear fruit by next year.What’s more, on the leisure side of the equation, I expect the travel boom to ease next year, and I think there’s a good chance that many more tech-savvy consumers will, as a result, use Zoom to connect with their friends and family who live far away from them.Exact Sciences (EXAS)After Exact Sciences (NASDAQ: EXAS) reported very favorable data on its new colon cancer screening product, investment bank Canaccord Genuity predicted that EXAS could eventually obtain at least a 50% share of all colon cancer screenings.Exact Sciences has said that there is currently a “backlog” of people waiting for colonoscopies, and the company’s colon cancer screening product could help improve that situation. Indeed, one of my family members recently had to wait three months before receiving a colonoscopy that she requested.Moreover, as I noted in a previous column, “Baylor Scott & White, a primary care organization (and hospital owner) in Texas, “will administer approximately 50,000 Multi-Cancer Early Detection tests (from EXAS) to (its) patients.”Baylor is a huge healthcare organization,  so its willingness to utilize Exact Sciences’ test bodes well for the test’s adoption by other such entities. As a result, I’m very bullish on the test’s outlook.Roku (ROKU)As the popularity of streaming continues to grow rapidly, Roku’s (NASDAQ: ROKU) top line keeps increasing quite quickly. (That’s not surprising since Roku is by far the most popular operating system for streaming TVs at this point).Last quarter, the company’s top line jumped 11% versus the same period a year earlier to $847 million, while its gross profit climbed 7% year-over-year to $378 million. Also noteworthy is that the company’s streaming hours increased by 4.4 billion hours year-over-year to 25.1 billion hours.In its Q2 Shareholder Letter, Roku noted that “While Q2 Platform revenue exceeded our expectations, the macro environment continued to create uncertainty with the total U.S. advertising market flat (year-over-year) in Q2.However, the company reported that the ad spending of some sectors, including “consumer packaging and health and wellness,” rebounded in Q2. As fears of a recession in the U.S. ease going forward, I expect more sectors’ ad spending to climb.Finally, I expect Roku to benefit significantly both from more companies’ realization that streaming is rapidly gaining market share and continued tough competition among paid streaming channels. The latter channels tend to advertise a great deal on Roku.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":208,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9965142262,"gmtCreate":1669918768957,"gmtModify":1676538270131,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576797853255359","authorIdStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Grab 2.0","listText":"Grab 2.0","text":"Grab 2.0","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9965142262","repostId":"1183309348","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1183309348","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1669909628,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1183309348?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-12-01 23:47","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Sea Limited: Bears Didn't See This Coming","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1183309348","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryWith its recent momentum surge, SE hit our price target articulated in our pre-earnings updat","content":"<html><head></head><body><h3>Summary</h3><ul><li>With its recent momentum surge, SE hit our price target articulated in our pre-earnings update. Management stunned bearish investors with its revised profitability guidance.</li><li>We discuss how its e-commerce segment could reach profitability exiting Q4&#39;23. However, investors need to factor in increased macro risks that could impact its monetization efforts.</li><li>We discuss why investors looking to add SE should continue to wait patiently first.</li><li>Revising from Speculative Buy to Hold for now.</li></ul><h3>Thesis</h3><p>We presented our thesis in our pre-earnings article on Sea Limited (NYSE:SE), arguing that the market had anticipated an underwhelming Q3 release as it closed in on its November lows.</p><p>As such, we aren&#39;t surprised that the market sent SE surging in a momentum spike, hitting our previous price target (PT), as SE rallied nearly 61% from its November bottom.</p><p>Management came out with guns blazing against bearish investors after pulling guidance in Q2 previously. Accordingly, CEO Forrest Li&#39;s emphasis in its Q3 commentary on Shopee (Sea Limited&#39;s e-commerce arm) to reach adjusted EBITDA breakeven exiting Q4&#39;23 stunned the bears.</p><p>Notwithstanding, SE has pulled back nearly 20% from its recent surge, which should be expected. Moreover, we postulate that the market has likely reflected the optimism in Sea Limited&#39;s more constructive guidance with its recent surge. As such, we believe the market will likely parse Sea Limited&#39;s execution moving forward before a material re-rating is justified.</p><p>Hence, we believe the reward/risk in SE looks relatively well-balanced at these levels. Revising from Speculative Buy to Hold for now.</p><h3>Shopee: How Can It Reach Adjusted EBITDA by FY23?</h3><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1382346c1bbcfe20f003a0de17e41dbd\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>The consensus estimates have been revised upward with management&#39;s upgraded guidance for Shopee. As such, Wall Street analysts project Sea Limited to post an adjusted EBITDA margin of 2.2% in FY23.</p><p>However, it&#39;s predicated on revenue growth of 16.7% for FY23, below FY22&#39;s 21.6% uptick. Based on management&#39;s commentary, we believe analysts have penciled in a higher bar for SE to cross. Therefore, as we postulated in our previous update, it has likely normalized the Street&#39;s more pessimistic forecasts.</p><p>Notably, management highlighted that its focus on its e-commerce profitability drive &#34;may see no growth or even negative growth in certain operating metrics in the near term.&#34;</p><p>Hence, the critical profitability driver will be cutting costs expeditiously and improving efficiencies concurrently.</p><p>But the crucial question is how far Shopee is from reaching adjusted EBITDA breakeven.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15df8e681c7c79fd10f5b2355f45beca\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"395\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Shopee posted an adjusted EBITDA margin of -26% in FQ3, up from Q2&#39;s -37%. Notably, Shopee has also continued to improve its path toward profitability constructively. Hence, investors could be assured that management&#39;s execution has been relatively consistent despite worsening macros impacting its key markets.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd3289e72cdee0c506af925494c635f7\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Moreover, Shopee has managed to overcome the significant deceleration of revenue growth since Q1&#39;21, corroborating management&#39;s confidence in optimizing efficiencies.</p><p>Notwithstanding, Shopee still posted revenue growth of 32.4% in FQ3, down from FQ2&#39;s 51.4%.</p><p>However, due to its cost-rationalization exercise, investors should expect its e-commerce segment to head toward an anemic gross merchandise value (GMV) growth phase. Also, we believe Shopee could be looking at lifting its e-commerce take rates in its profitability drive.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/108ee5cedc45b9ad065e8b8d0bf01d99\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"395\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>As seen above, Shopee managed to post take rates of 10.1% in FQ3, well above FQ2&#39;s 9.2%. It has also been creeping up over time, which has helped Shopee deliver more robust monetization metrics, despite the slowdown in GMV growth (down to 13.7% in FQ3).</p><p>Hence, it&#39;s a lever that Shopee could continue to pull as it pushes toward adjusted EBITDA breakeven. Notably, Shopee posted core marketplace revenue growth of 54% YoY in FQ3, demonstrating its strong execution prowess and value proposition for its merchants.</p><p>Notwithstanding, macroeconomic headwinds could hamper its ability to drive further take rates accretion as it pulls back its GMV growth initiatives. An analyst on the earnings call also highlighted her concern, probing management whether it anticipated a marked impact on advertising revenue.</p><p>While management telegraphed its confidence in its advertising offerings, it also cautioned investors that worsening macro risks could impair Shopee&#39;s ability to monetize further (i.e., increase take rates), as Chief Corporate Officer Yanjun Wang articulated:</p><blockquote>We are mindful of the potential macro headwinds that, over time, [could] more deeply affect our region and the market as a whole. And this might affect, for example, people&#39;s purchase power, discretionary spending and to the point might also have a more pronounced effect on our platform and overall e-commerce in the region. When that happens, that could have a negative impact on our ability to monetize. (Sea Limited FQ3&#39;22 earnings call)</blockquote><h3>Is SE Stock A Buy, Sell, Or Hold?</h3><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ebf4e1fe75caa11214d125037e9c36e8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>With the recent surge in SE, we postulate that near-term optimism on its revised guidance has likely been reflected.</p><p>Also, SE&#39;s valuation remains highly aggressive, as it last traded at an FY23 EBITDA multiple of 91x and an FY24 EBITDA multiple of 27.4x. Both are much higher than Sea Limited&#39;s e-commerce peers&#39; median (7.3x NTM EBITDA) and gaming peers&#39; median (8.6x NTM EBITDA).</p><p>We applaud management&#39;s initiative to justify its valuation through its profitability impetus. However, we assess that a further near-term re-rating is unlikely unless the market anticipates better execution from Sea Limited.</p><p>We should be able to glean more clues as SE looks to consolidate at its current pullback.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Sea Limited: Bears Didn't See This Coming</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSea Limited: Bears Didn't See This Coming\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-01 23:47 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4561387-sea-limited-bears-didnt-see-this-coming><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryWith its recent momentum surge, SE hit our price target articulated in our pre-earnings update. Management stunned bearish investors with its revised profitability guidance.We discuss how its e...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4561387-sea-limited-bears-didnt-see-this-coming\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SE":"Sea Ltd"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4561387-sea-limited-bears-didnt-see-this-coming","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1183309348","content_text":"SummaryWith its recent momentum surge, SE hit our price target articulated in our pre-earnings update. Management stunned bearish investors with its revised profitability guidance.We discuss how its e-commerce segment could reach profitability exiting Q4'23. However, investors need to factor in increased macro risks that could impact its monetization efforts.We discuss why investors looking to add SE should continue to wait patiently first.Revising from Speculative Buy to Hold for now.ThesisWe presented our thesis in our pre-earnings article on Sea Limited (NYSE:SE), arguing that the market had anticipated an underwhelming Q3 release as it closed in on its November lows.As such, we aren't surprised that the market sent SE surging in a momentum spike, hitting our previous price target (PT), as SE rallied nearly 61% from its November bottom.Management came out with guns blazing against bearish investors after pulling guidance in Q2 previously. Accordingly, CEO Forrest Li's emphasis in its Q3 commentary on Shopee (Sea Limited's e-commerce arm) to reach adjusted EBITDA breakeven exiting Q4'23 stunned the bears.Notwithstanding, SE has pulled back nearly 20% from its recent surge, which should be expected. Moreover, we postulate that the market has likely reflected the optimism in Sea Limited's more constructive guidance with its recent surge. As such, we believe the market will likely parse Sea Limited's execution moving forward before a material re-rating is justified.Hence, we believe the reward/risk in SE looks relatively well-balanced at these levels. Revising from Speculative Buy to Hold for now.Shopee: How Can It Reach Adjusted EBITDA by FY23?The consensus estimates have been revised upward with management's upgraded guidance for Shopee. As such, Wall Street analysts project Sea Limited to post an adjusted EBITDA margin of 2.2% in FY23.However, it's predicated on revenue growth of 16.7% for FY23, below FY22's 21.6% uptick. Based on management's commentary, we believe analysts have penciled in a higher bar for SE to cross. Therefore, as we postulated in our previous update, it has likely normalized the Street's more pessimistic forecasts.Notably, management highlighted that its focus on its e-commerce profitability drive \"may see no growth or even negative growth in certain operating metrics in the near term.\"Hence, the critical profitability driver will be cutting costs expeditiously and improving efficiencies concurrently.But the crucial question is how far Shopee is from reaching adjusted EBITDA breakeven.Shopee posted an adjusted EBITDA margin of -26% in FQ3, up from Q2's -37%. Notably, Shopee has also continued to improve its path toward profitability constructively. Hence, investors could be assured that management's execution has been relatively consistent despite worsening macros impacting its key markets.Moreover, Shopee has managed to overcome the significant deceleration of revenue growth since Q1'21, corroborating management's confidence in optimizing efficiencies.Notwithstanding, Shopee still posted revenue growth of 32.4% in FQ3, down from FQ2's 51.4%.However, due to its cost-rationalization exercise, investors should expect its e-commerce segment to head toward an anemic gross merchandise value (GMV) growth phase. Also, we believe Shopee could be looking at lifting its e-commerce take rates in its profitability drive.As seen above, Shopee managed to post take rates of 10.1% in FQ3, well above FQ2's 9.2%. It has also been creeping up over time, which has helped Shopee deliver more robust monetization metrics, despite the slowdown in GMV growth (down to 13.7% in FQ3).Hence, it's a lever that Shopee could continue to pull as it pushes toward adjusted EBITDA breakeven. Notably, Shopee posted core marketplace revenue growth of 54% YoY in FQ3, demonstrating its strong execution prowess and value proposition for its merchants.Notwithstanding, macroeconomic headwinds could hamper its ability to drive further take rates accretion as it pulls back its GMV growth initiatives. An analyst on the earnings call also highlighted her concern, probing management whether it anticipated a marked impact on advertising revenue.While management telegraphed its confidence in its advertising offerings, it also cautioned investors that worsening macro risks could impair Shopee's ability to monetize further (i.e., increase take rates), as Chief Corporate Officer Yanjun Wang articulated:We are mindful of the potential macro headwinds that, over time, [could] more deeply affect our region and the market as a whole. And this might affect, for example, people's purchase power, discretionary spending and to the point might also have a more pronounced effect on our platform and overall e-commerce in the region. When that happens, that could have a negative impact on our ability to monetize. (Sea Limited FQ3'22 earnings call)Is SE Stock A Buy, Sell, Or Hold?With the recent surge in SE, we postulate that near-term optimism on its revised guidance has likely been reflected.Also, SE's valuation remains highly aggressive, as it last traded at an FY23 EBITDA multiple of 91x and an FY24 EBITDA multiple of 27.4x. Both are much higher than Sea Limited's e-commerce peers' median (7.3x NTM EBITDA) and gaming peers' median (8.6x NTM EBITDA).We applaud management's initiative to justify its valuation through its profitability impetus. However, we assess that a further near-term re-rating is unlikely unless the market anticipates better execution from Sea Limited.We should be able to glean more clues as SE looks to consolidate at its current pullback.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":176,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":800296008,"gmtCreate":1627303429604,"gmtModify":1703487136035,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576797853255359","authorIdStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"?&nbsp;","listText":"?&nbsp;","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/800296008","repostId":"1187364175","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1187364175","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1627302552,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1187364175?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-26 20:29","market":"us","language":"en","title":"5G underdog Nokia firmly back in game after Lundmark's shakeup","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1187364175","media":"Reuters","summary":"STOCKHOLM/HELSINKI, July 26 (Reuters) - Shifting geopolitics and a sharp round of cost cutting have ","content":"<p>STOCKHOLM/HELSINKI, July 26 (Reuters) - Shifting geopolitics and a sharp round of cost cutting have put Nokia(NOKIA.HE)firmly back in the global 5G rollout race just a year after CEO Pekka Lundmark took the reins at the Finnish company.</p>\n<p>Considered a 5G underdog after betting on the wrong type of chips and losing a multi-billion Verizon(VZ.N)contract to Samsung(005930.KS), Nokia has more recently been gaining ground on arch-rival Ericsson(ERICb.ST), even as both benefit from U.S. pressure on European governments to crackdown on China's Huawei (HWT.UL).</p>\n<p>Lundmark in February warned of a \"challenging\" year of transition with \"meaningful headwinds\", but two good quarters have rekindled hopes of a turnaround and Nokia said earlier this month that it will raise its full-year outlook when it reports second-quarter results on Thursday.read more</p>\n<p>\"The drastic changes and improved performance under Pekka's stewardship is clearly evident,\" said Paolo Pescatore, an analyst at PP Foresight. \"Opportunities in 5G, misfortunes of others and focus on key products have helped reignite the business.\"</p>\n<p>Lundmark, who became CEO last August, has laid off thousands of employees and forged new partnerships with technology companies after pledging to \"do whatever it takes\" to take the lead in 5G.</p>\n<p>Nokia has also invested significantly in its Reefshark chipset, cutting the end cost of its 5G equipment, and given its business units more autonomy over where they choose to compete.</p>\n<p><b>THE RIGHT MOVES</b></p>\n<p>As the overhaul bears fruit, the geopolitical backdrop has shifted further in Nokia's favour.</p>\n<p>European governments have long been tightening controls on the role of Chinese companies in 5G networks following diplomatic pressure from Washington, which alleges Huawei equipment could be used by Beijing for spying. Huawei has repeatedly denied being a national security risk.</p>\n<p>While both Nokia and Ericsson have been gaining customers that might otherwise have gone to Huawei, Ericsson had been faring better with big contract wins in China, where the deployment of the next-generation network is in full swing.</p>\n<p>But its China business has taken a tit-for-tat hit since Sweden late last year banned Chinese companies from supplying critical 5G network equipment.</p>\n<p>In a second phase of 5G deployment by China Mobile(CHNMC.UL) last week, Ericsson's 5G radio share dropped from over 11% to about 2%, and Nokia got its first Chinese 5G deal with a 4% share of a $6 billion contract, according to sources.</p>\n<p>It is also expected to win a portion of upcoming contracts from China Unicom(0762.HK)and China Telecom(0728.HK)at the expense of Ericsson, having failed to make any headway in the world's biggest 5G market last year.read more</p>\n<p>\"The key was making the right moves to correct the actions that really got them behind 5G,\" said Mark Cash, an analyst with Morningstar. \"I think Pekka's imprint is being felt already by the organisation, and he's obviously doing well.\"</p>\n<p>Nokia's shares have gained around 30% in the last year, while Ericsson's are up just 2% over the same period.</p>\n<p>Company insiders say Lundmark's working relationship with Chairwoman Sari Baldauf helped steady the ship when several top executives left the company during a reshuffle in the first months of his tenure, and is gaining him wider support for the overhaul of Nokia.</p>\n<p>The pair have a long history of working together, including most recently in the same roles at Fortum.</p>\n<p><b>GEOPOLITICAL TUSSLES</b></p>\n<p>It may not all be plain sailing.</p>\n<p>While Nokia, Ericsson and Huawei are currently the only companies providing complete 5G wireless networks, the U.S. government for one is now touting a new, more open approach, allowing mobile operators to mix and match equipment from various suppliers and potentially securing U.S. companies a bigger share of the market.</p>\n<p>China, however, remains far ahead of other countries for 5G deployment - the China Mobile contract for about 500,000 base stations was for more than all the 5G base stations currently in Europe - with competition driving volume and lowering overall costs.</p>\n<p>Nokia may swerve Ericsson's current hurdles in the country as Huawei has said that a law approved by Finland allowing authorities to ban telecom equipment for national security reasons is a more realistic approach than focusing on specific vendors.</p>\n<p>But some analysts caution that being in China could drag on Nokia's margins and any new geopolitical tussles lead to significant losses.</p>\n<p>Kimmo Stenvall, an analyst from OP Markets, also said that Nokia's updated outlook would likely take into account the global chip shortage with not enough semiconductors to go around.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>5G underdog Nokia firmly back in game after Lundmark's shakeup</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n5G underdog Nokia firmly back in game after Lundmark's shakeup\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-07-26 20:29</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>STOCKHOLM/HELSINKI, July 26 (Reuters) - Shifting geopolitics and a sharp round of cost cutting have put Nokia(NOKIA.HE)firmly back in the global 5G rollout race just a year after CEO Pekka Lundmark took the reins at the Finnish company.</p>\n<p>Considered a 5G underdog after betting on the wrong type of chips and losing a multi-billion Verizon(VZ.N)contract to Samsung(005930.KS), Nokia has more recently been gaining ground on arch-rival Ericsson(ERICb.ST), even as both benefit from U.S. pressure on European governments to crackdown on China's Huawei (HWT.UL).</p>\n<p>Lundmark in February warned of a \"challenging\" year of transition with \"meaningful headwinds\", but two good quarters have rekindled hopes of a turnaround and Nokia said earlier this month that it will raise its full-year outlook when it reports second-quarter results on Thursday.read more</p>\n<p>\"The drastic changes and improved performance under Pekka's stewardship is clearly evident,\" said Paolo Pescatore, an analyst at PP Foresight. \"Opportunities in 5G, misfortunes of others and focus on key products have helped reignite the business.\"</p>\n<p>Lundmark, who became CEO last August, has laid off thousands of employees and forged new partnerships with technology companies after pledging to \"do whatever it takes\" to take the lead in 5G.</p>\n<p>Nokia has also invested significantly in its Reefshark chipset, cutting the end cost of its 5G equipment, and given its business units more autonomy over where they choose to compete.</p>\n<p><b>THE RIGHT MOVES</b></p>\n<p>As the overhaul bears fruit, the geopolitical backdrop has shifted further in Nokia's favour.</p>\n<p>European governments have long been tightening controls on the role of Chinese companies in 5G networks following diplomatic pressure from Washington, which alleges Huawei equipment could be used by Beijing for spying. Huawei has repeatedly denied being a national security risk.</p>\n<p>While both Nokia and Ericsson have been gaining customers that might otherwise have gone to Huawei, Ericsson had been faring better with big contract wins in China, where the deployment of the next-generation network is in full swing.</p>\n<p>But its China business has taken a tit-for-tat hit since Sweden late last year banned Chinese companies from supplying critical 5G network equipment.</p>\n<p>In a second phase of 5G deployment by China Mobile(CHNMC.UL) last week, Ericsson's 5G radio share dropped from over 11% to about 2%, and Nokia got its first Chinese 5G deal with a 4% share of a $6 billion contract, according to sources.</p>\n<p>It is also expected to win a portion of upcoming contracts from China Unicom(0762.HK)and China Telecom(0728.HK)at the expense of Ericsson, having failed to make any headway in the world's biggest 5G market last year.read more</p>\n<p>\"The key was making the right moves to correct the actions that really got them behind 5G,\" said Mark Cash, an analyst with Morningstar. \"I think Pekka's imprint is being felt already by the organisation, and he's obviously doing well.\"</p>\n<p>Nokia's shares have gained around 30% in the last year, while Ericsson's are up just 2% over the same period.</p>\n<p>Company insiders say Lundmark's working relationship with Chairwoman Sari Baldauf helped steady the ship when several top executives left the company during a reshuffle in the first months of his tenure, and is gaining him wider support for the overhaul of Nokia.</p>\n<p>The pair have a long history of working together, including most recently in the same roles at Fortum.</p>\n<p><b>GEOPOLITICAL TUSSLES</b></p>\n<p>It may not all be plain sailing.</p>\n<p>While Nokia, Ericsson and Huawei are currently the only companies providing complete 5G wireless networks, the U.S. government for one is now touting a new, more open approach, allowing mobile operators to mix and match equipment from various suppliers and potentially securing U.S. companies a bigger share of the market.</p>\n<p>China, however, remains far ahead of other countries for 5G deployment - the China Mobile contract for about 500,000 base stations was for more than all the 5G base stations currently in Europe - with competition driving volume and lowering overall costs.</p>\n<p>Nokia may swerve Ericsson's current hurdles in the country as Huawei has said that a law approved by Finland allowing authorities to ban telecom equipment for national security reasons is a more realistic approach than focusing on specific vendors.</p>\n<p>But some analysts caution that being in China could drag on Nokia's margins and any new geopolitical tussles lead to significant losses.</p>\n<p>Kimmo Stenvall, an analyst from OP Markets, also said that Nokia's updated outlook would likely take into account the global chip shortage with not enough semiconductors to go around.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NOK":"诺基亚"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1187364175","content_text":"STOCKHOLM/HELSINKI, July 26 (Reuters) - Shifting geopolitics and a sharp round of cost cutting have put Nokia(NOKIA.HE)firmly back in the global 5G rollout race just a year after CEO Pekka Lundmark took the reins at the Finnish company.\nConsidered a 5G underdog after betting on the wrong type of chips and losing a multi-billion Verizon(VZ.N)contract to Samsung(005930.KS), Nokia has more recently been gaining ground on arch-rival Ericsson(ERICb.ST), even as both benefit from U.S. pressure on European governments to crackdown on China's Huawei (HWT.UL).\nLundmark in February warned of a \"challenging\" year of transition with \"meaningful headwinds\", but two good quarters have rekindled hopes of a turnaround and Nokia said earlier this month that it will raise its full-year outlook when it reports second-quarter results on Thursday.read more\n\"The drastic changes and improved performance under Pekka's stewardship is clearly evident,\" said Paolo Pescatore, an analyst at PP Foresight. \"Opportunities in 5G, misfortunes of others and focus on key products have helped reignite the business.\"\nLundmark, who became CEO last August, has laid off thousands of employees and forged new partnerships with technology companies after pledging to \"do whatever it takes\" to take the lead in 5G.\nNokia has also invested significantly in its Reefshark chipset, cutting the end cost of its 5G equipment, and given its business units more autonomy over where they choose to compete.\nTHE RIGHT MOVES\nAs the overhaul bears fruit, the geopolitical backdrop has shifted further in Nokia's favour.\nEuropean governments have long been tightening controls on the role of Chinese companies in 5G networks following diplomatic pressure from Washington, which alleges Huawei equipment could be used by Beijing for spying. Huawei has repeatedly denied being a national security risk.\nWhile both Nokia and Ericsson have been gaining customers that might otherwise have gone to Huawei, Ericsson had been faring better with big contract wins in China, where the deployment of the next-generation network is in full swing.\nBut its China business has taken a tit-for-tat hit since Sweden late last year banned Chinese companies from supplying critical 5G network equipment.\nIn a second phase of 5G deployment by China Mobile(CHNMC.UL) last week, Ericsson's 5G radio share dropped from over 11% to about 2%, and Nokia got its first Chinese 5G deal with a 4% share of a $6 billion contract, according to sources.\nIt is also expected to win a portion of upcoming contracts from China Unicom(0762.HK)and China Telecom(0728.HK)at the expense of Ericsson, having failed to make any headway in the world's biggest 5G market last year.read more\n\"The key was making the right moves to correct the actions that really got them behind 5G,\" said Mark Cash, an analyst with Morningstar. \"I think Pekka's imprint is being felt already by the organisation, and he's obviously doing well.\"\nNokia's shares have gained around 30% in the last year, while Ericsson's are up just 2% over the same period.\nCompany insiders say Lundmark's working relationship with Chairwoman Sari Baldauf helped steady the ship when several top executives left the company during a reshuffle in the first months of his tenure, and is gaining him wider support for the overhaul of Nokia.\nThe pair have a long history of working together, including most recently in the same roles at Fortum.\nGEOPOLITICAL TUSSLES\nIt may not all be plain sailing.\nWhile Nokia, Ericsson and Huawei are currently the only companies providing complete 5G wireless networks, the U.S. government for one is now touting a new, more open approach, allowing mobile operators to mix and match equipment from various suppliers and potentially securing U.S. companies a bigger share of the market.\nChina, however, remains far ahead of other countries for 5G deployment - the China Mobile contract for about 500,000 base stations was for more than all the 5G base stations currently in Europe - with competition driving volume and lowering overall costs.\nNokia may swerve Ericsson's current hurdles in the country as Huawei has said that a law approved by Finland allowing authorities to ban telecom equipment for national security reasons is a more realistic approach than focusing on specific vendors.\nBut some analysts caution that being in China could drag on Nokia's margins and any new geopolitical tussles lead to significant losses.\nKimmo Stenvall, an analyst from OP Markets, also said that Nokia's updated outlook would likely take into account the global chip shortage with not enough semiconductors to go around.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":448,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":186459245793392,"gmtCreate":1686561743720,"gmtModify":1686561747406,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576797853255359","authorIdStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Look like somebody miss out on a deal 🙃🫠","listText":"Look like somebody miss out on a deal 🙃🫠","text":"Look like somebody miss out on a deal 🙃🫠","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/186459245793392","repostId":"2342576928","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2342576928","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1686561361,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2342576928?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-06-12 17:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir Technologies: Sell The AI Rip","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2342576928","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"After a solid beat on Q1'23 earnings, Palantir Technologies (NYSE:PLTR) has soared in what wasn't an","content":"<html><head></head><body><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca0459f275b9aed733014624cae2dc80\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"500\"/></p><p>After a solid beat on Q1&#39;23 earnings, <strong>Palantir Technologies</strong> (NYSE:PLTR) has soared in what wasn&#39;t an overly impressive quarter. The company promoted a new Artificial Intelligence Platform (AIP) leading to what appears an irrational boost in the stock. My investment thesis is Bearish on the stock, especially after the recent double off the lows.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02414e1721986ab02e37c4c712a248cc\" tg-width=\"991\" tg-height=\"422\"/></p><p>Source: Finviz</p><p></p><h2>Artificial Rally</h2><p>Palantir has seen the market cap rally back to over $32 billion. The company is only now releasing the new AIP platform to select customers. The system in essence super-charges a private enterprise network with large language models and empowers cutting-edge AI for defense and military organizations.</p><p>The market has seen the huge pop in sales at <strong>Nvidia</strong> (NVDA) and probably has extrapolated too much into the near-term business opportunities of Palantir. The chip company is selling the GPUs to develop and maintain the LLMs utilized by companies like Palantir implementing the technology into enterprise and government organizations, but this business is still in the early stages of ramping up.</p><p>On the Q1&#39;23 earnings call, CEO Alex Karp made several statements like the following that unleashed the enthusiasm for the stock:</p><blockquote>The issue of how do you have security, a data model or knowledge and wisdom that&#39;s proprietary, interact with an external large language model or with generative AI is not new to Palantir, and that&#39;s why we were able to launch our platform AIP so quickly, the demand for -- of which is nothing I&#39;ve ever seen in 20 years of being involved in Palantir.</blockquote><p>The data security company didn&#39;t actually report an overly impressive quarter. Palantir beat estimates with revenues growing 18%, but the company only reported a meager adjusted EPS of $0.05.</p><p><strong>C3.ai</strong> (AI) reported a similar quarter where sales were tepid despite all of the promises of enterprise AI software demand surging. Palantir only reported 18% sales growth for Q1&#39;23 and after the quarter analysts haven&#39;t exactly hiked estimates for the years ahead.</p><p>The company is forecast to just grow sales 16% this year to $2.2 billion, due to Palantir only guiding to 12% growth in Q2. Sales aren&#39;t even forecast to top 20% in the following 2 years, with a goal of just reaching $3.2 billion.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/647ec5c5e5b97d5680f6244949038e2a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"120\"/></p><p>Source: Seeking Alpha</p><p></p><p>Analysts have already had a month to update sales estimates since Palantir reported Q1 results. Similar to C3.ai, the updates aren&#39;t overly impressive for stocks soaring on supposed AI enterprise demand.</p><p>Even though Palantir only trades at $15, the stock is back to trading at early 2021 levels. Back then, the company was producing nearly 50% revenue growth and the market thought fast growth was sustainable.</p><p>The stock has clearly run ahead of reality in the short term.</p><h3>Analysts Oddly Bearish</h3><p>The average analyst rating isn&#39;t actually overly bullish on Palantir. The price target is just $9.54 in an odd scenario where the market is far more bullish on the stock than analysts predicting a 36% decline.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/67e951176647658ca40dc451d4ce686d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"176\"/></p><p>Source: Seeking Alpha</p><p></p><p>Unfortunately, the analysts appear logical on Palantir. The stock soared on the back of AI hype, though the contracts aren&#39;t flowing through yet.</p><p>Even with Nvidia, analysts were at least as bullish on the stock as the market. Analyst estimates constantly rose along with the stock in the last 6+ months.</p><p>Palantir trades at 14x 2023 revenue targets, while the stock still trades at an aggressive forward P/S multiple of 12x 2024 targets of $2.6 billion. Virtually all of the rally in the last month is due to expansion of the P/S multiple, not due to higher revenue estimates.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d2527294c044c96f053d6ec122f64e56\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"449\"/></p><p>Data by YCharts</p><p></p><p>The company has a solid cash balance of $2.9 billion along with positive free cash flows and adjusted profits. Unfortunately, though, Palantir only produces $530 million in quarterly revenues, reducing the amount of adjusted profits that can be achieved to even warrant a higher stock price.</p><p>The company is already forecasting operating margins in the 24% range to produce the measly $0.05 quarterly EPS. Also, worth noting, the stock has 2.2 billion shares outstanding and the $114.7 million in stock-based compensation is contributing to the large share counts.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d76097ac7276682845f9f3618f670c53\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"222\"/></p><p>Source: Palantir Tech. Q1&#39;23 earnings release</p><p></p><p>One of the prime mistakes made by investors is to see the above multiple as reasonable, but one has to remember that Palantir has to trade at a nearly 14x the forward P/S multiple in order for an investor to produce a 20% return.</p><h2>Takeaway</h2><p>The key investor takeaway is that Palantir has soared on AI hype. The company is definitely poised to benefit from AI demand in enterprises and military organizations, but the stock is now priced for perfection and enterprise AI software demand hasn&#39;t actually flowed through to the results yet.</p><p>Investors should sell the rip and look to buy the tech titan on a sell-off to a more rational valuation.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir Technologies: Sell The AI Rip</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir Technologies: Sell The AI Rip\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-06-12 17:16 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4610778-palantir-technologies-sell-the-ai-rip><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>After a solid beat on Q1'23 earnings, Palantir Technologies (NYSE:PLTR) has soared in what wasn't an overly impressive quarter. The company promoted a new Artificial Intelligence Platform (AIP) ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4610778-palantir-technologies-sell-the-ai-rip\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"IE0004445015.USD":"JANUS HENDERSON BALANCED \"A2\" (USD) ACC","BK4503":"景林资产持仓","BK4141":"半导体产品","LU1242518931.SGD":"Fullerton Lux Funds - Asia Absolute Alpha A Acc SGD","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BK4579":"人工智能","LU0979878070.USD":"FULLERTON LUX FUNDS - ASIA ABSOLUTE ALPHA \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4097":"系统软件","LU1548497426.USD":"安联环球人工智能AT Acc","PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc.","LU0786609619.USD":"高盛全球千禧一代股票组合Acc","LU0316494557.USD":"FRANKLIN GLOBAL FUNDAMENTAL STRATEGIES \"A\" ACC","IE00BFSS8Q28.SGD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Inc SGD-H","LU0820561818.USD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金Cl AM DIS","LU0708995401.HKD":"FRANKLIN U.S. OPPORTUNITIES \"A\" (HKD) ACC","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK4529":"IDC概念","LU0256863811.USD":"ALLIANZ US EQUITY \"A\" INC","IE00B7KXQ091.USD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Inc USD","LU0348723411.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL HI-TECH GROWTH \"A\" (USD) INC","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","IE00BFSS7M15.SGD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Acc SGD-H","LU0943347566.SGD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金AM H2-SGD","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4023":"应用软件","LU0234570918.USD":"高盛全球核心股票组合Acc Close","LU1429558221.USD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity RA USD","IE0004445239.USD":"JANUS HENDERSON US FORTY \"A2\" (USD) ACC","LU0417517546.SGD":"Allianz US Equity Cl AT Acc SGD","IE00B19Z9505.USD":"美盛-美国大盘成长股A Acc","LU0053666078.USD":"摩根大通基金-美国股票A（离岸）美元","LU1435385759.SGD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity RA SGD-H","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","LU0082616367.USD":"摩根大通美国科技A（dist）","LU0889565833.HKD":"FRANKLIN TECHNOLOGY \"A\" (HKD) ACC","LU1551013342.USD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS USD","LU0079474960.USD":"联博美国增长基金A","LU0719512351.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - US Technology A (acc) SGD","LU0056508442.USD":"贝莱德世界科技基金A2","LU1623119135.USD":"Natixis Mirova Global Sustainable Equity R-NPF/A USD","LU0640476718.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) US CONTRARIAN CORE EQ \"AU\" (USD) ACC","LU1242518857.USD":"FULLERTON LUX FUNDS - ASIA ABSOLUTE ALPHA \"I\" (USD) ACC","IE00BJJMRY28.SGD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Inc SGD","LU1280957306.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) US CONTRARIAN CORE EQUITIES \"AUP\" (USD) INC","NVDA":"英伟达","BK4527":"明星科技股","LU0820561909.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AM\" (HKD) INC","BK4543":"AI","LU0109392836.USD":"富兰克林科技股A","BK4588":"碎股"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4610778-palantir-technologies-sell-the-ai-rip","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2342576928","content_text":"After a solid beat on Q1'23 earnings, Palantir Technologies (NYSE:PLTR) has soared in what wasn't an overly impressive quarter. The company promoted a new Artificial Intelligence Platform (AIP) leading to what appears an irrational boost in the stock. My investment thesis is Bearish on the stock, especially after the recent double off the lows.Source: FinvizArtificial RallyPalantir has seen the market cap rally back to over $32 billion. The company is only now releasing the new AIP platform to select customers. The system in essence super-charges a private enterprise network with large language models and empowers cutting-edge AI for defense and military organizations.The market has seen the huge pop in sales at Nvidia (NVDA) and probably has extrapolated too much into the near-term business opportunities of Palantir. The chip company is selling the GPUs to develop and maintain the LLMs utilized by companies like Palantir implementing the technology into enterprise and government organizations, but this business is still in the early stages of ramping up.On the Q1'23 earnings call, CEO Alex Karp made several statements like the following that unleashed the enthusiasm for the stock:The issue of how do you have security, a data model or knowledge and wisdom that's proprietary, interact with an external large language model or with generative AI is not new to Palantir, and that's why we were able to launch our platform AIP so quickly, the demand for -- of which is nothing I've ever seen in 20 years of being involved in Palantir.The data security company didn't actually report an overly impressive quarter. Palantir beat estimates with revenues growing 18%, but the company only reported a meager adjusted EPS of $0.05.C3.ai (AI) reported a similar quarter where sales were tepid despite all of the promises of enterprise AI software demand surging. Palantir only reported 18% sales growth for Q1'23 and after the quarter analysts haven't exactly hiked estimates for the years ahead.The company is forecast to just grow sales 16% this year to $2.2 billion, due to Palantir only guiding to 12% growth in Q2. Sales aren't even forecast to top 20% in the following 2 years, with a goal of just reaching $3.2 billion.Source: Seeking AlphaAnalysts have already had a month to update sales estimates since Palantir reported Q1 results. Similar to C3.ai, the updates aren't overly impressive for stocks soaring on supposed AI enterprise demand.Even though Palantir only trades at $15, the stock is back to trading at early 2021 levels. Back then, the company was producing nearly 50% revenue growth and the market thought fast growth was sustainable.The stock has clearly run ahead of reality in the short term.Analysts Oddly BearishThe average analyst rating isn't actually overly bullish on Palantir. The price target is just $9.54 in an odd scenario where the market is far more bullish on the stock than analysts predicting a 36% decline.Source: Seeking AlphaUnfortunately, the analysts appear logical on Palantir. The stock soared on the back of AI hype, though the contracts aren't flowing through yet.Even with Nvidia, analysts were at least as bullish on the stock as the market. Analyst estimates constantly rose along with the stock in the last 6+ months.Palantir trades at 14x 2023 revenue targets, while the stock still trades at an aggressive forward P/S multiple of 12x 2024 targets of $2.6 billion. Virtually all of the rally in the last month is due to expansion of the P/S multiple, not due to higher revenue estimates.Data by YChartsThe company has a solid cash balance of $2.9 billion along with positive free cash flows and adjusted profits. Unfortunately, though, Palantir only produces $530 million in quarterly revenues, reducing the amount of adjusted profits that can be achieved to even warrant a higher stock price.The company is already forecasting operating margins in the 24% range to produce the measly $0.05 quarterly EPS. Also, worth noting, the stock has 2.2 billion shares outstanding and the $114.7 million in stock-based compensation is contributing to the large share counts.Source: Palantir Tech. Q1'23 earnings releaseOne of the prime mistakes made by investors is to see the above multiple as reasonable, but one has to remember that Palantir has to trade at a nearly 14x the forward P/S multiple in order for an investor to produce a 20% return.TakeawayThe key investor takeaway is that Palantir has soared on AI hype. The company is definitely poised to benefit from AI demand in enterprises and military organizations, but the stock is now priced for perfection and enterprise AI software demand hasn't actually flowed through to the results yet.Investors should sell the rip and look to buy the tech titan on a sell-off to a more rational valuation.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":173,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9037386982,"gmtCreate":1648029741252,"gmtModify":1676534294827,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576797853255359","authorIdStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"She buy! We calls 😅","listText":"She buy! We calls 😅","text":"She buy! We calls 😅","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9037386982","repostId":"2221037062","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2221037062","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1648049400,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2221037062?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-03-23 23:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Cathie Wood Goes Bargain Hunting: 3 Stocks She Just Bought","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2221037062","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"There are always stocks to buy if you're Ark Invest's ace stock picker.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Cathie Wood did an interesting thing last week as stocks were rallying. The CEO, co-founder, and ace stock picker for the Ark Invest family of exchange-traded funds (<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PSFF\">Pacer Swan SOS Fund of Funds ETF|ETF</a>s) stood pat on her buying urges. She lightened a few positions last week, but she failed to execute a buy order in any of the final three trading days of last week.</p><p>The streak ended on Monday. <b>Shopify</b>, <b>Twilio</b>, and <b>Adaptive Biotechnologies</b> are the three stocks that Ark Invest bought. What does Wood see in these three fast-growing companies? Let&#39;s take a closer look.</p><h2>Shopify</h2><p>It&#39;s been a rough few months for Shopify investors. The fast-growing e-commerce specialist has seen its stock plunge more than 60% since peaking in November. Shopify stock came back to life with last week&#39;s market rally in growth stocks, but a 12% slide on Monday to kick off this new trading week shows that shareholders are still looking to take profits following sharp upticks.</p><p>Revenue growth is slowing at Shopify. Its top line surged 86% in 2020, slowing to a 57% pace in 2021. Growth has decelerated sharply the last three quarters. Shopify itself was vague about its guidance, but analysts are holding out for a 31% increase in 2022. Shopify continues to stand out for its ability to arm merchants of all sizes with the tools to establish an online presence that plays nice with most popular e-commerce and social media platforms.</p><h2>Twilio</h2><p>There is a lot to like about Twilio, the undisputed leader of in-app communication solutions. Twilio&#39;s cloud-based tools help many of the most popular apps be more effective by providing two-way communication with users -- for everything from service notifications to verification -- without having to leave an app.</p><p>It&#39;s growing briskly. Revenue rose 61% in 2021, including a 54% year-over-year uptick for its latest quarter. Acquisitions have helped pad Twilio&#39;s growth over the years. Organic revenue rose a more modest 44% clip last year if you back out the bump in political election season revenue from late 2020, but the appeal of the platform remains strong. Retention rates are still healthy, and Twilio continues to successfully expand its offerings.</p><h2>Adaptive Biotechnologies</h2><p>It&#39;s been a rough year for Adaptive Biotechnologies. Its CFO resigned in January, and earlier this month the biotech upstart announced that it would be laying off 12% of its staff. The reorganization is part of Adaptive narrowing the focus of its immune system genetic sequencing technology to key in on minimal residual disease and immune medicine.</p><p>The stock has been cut by more than half so far in 2022, and it&#39;s down 82% since peaking 14 months ago. The technology is promising, and Adaptive Biotechnologies is <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of the stocks that Wood was buying earlier last week before she took a three-day break from purchases. Analysts don&#39;t see the company turning a profit for several more years, but that&#39;s not necessarily a deal breaker for biotech stocks as long as they have the liquidity in place to hold out for a medical breakthrough.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Cathie Wood Goes Bargain Hunting: 3 Stocks She Just Bought</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCathie Wood Goes Bargain Hunting: 3 Stocks She Just Bought\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-03-23 23:30 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/03/22/cathie-wood-goes-bargain-hunting-3-stocks-she-just/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Cathie Wood did an interesting thing last week as stocks were rallying. The CEO, co-founder, and ace stock picker for the Ark Invest family of exchange-traded funds (Pacer Swan SOS Fund of Funds ETF|...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/03/22/cathie-wood-goes-bargain-hunting-3-stocks-she-just/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TWLO":"Twilio Inc","SHOP":"Shopify Inc","ADPT":"Adaptive Biotechnologies Corp"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/03/22/cathie-wood-goes-bargain-hunting-3-stocks-she-just/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2221037062","content_text":"Cathie Wood did an interesting thing last week as stocks were rallying. The CEO, co-founder, and ace stock picker for the Ark Invest family of exchange-traded funds (Pacer Swan SOS Fund of Funds ETF|ETFs) stood pat on her buying urges. She lightened a few positions last week, but she failed to execute a buy order in any of the final three trading days of last week.The streak ended on Monday. Shopify, Twilio, and Adaptive Biotechnologies are the three stocks that Ark Invest bought. What does Wood see in these three fast-growing companies? Let's take a closer look.ShopifyIt's been a rough few months for Shopify investors. The fast-growing e-commerce specialist has seen its stock plunge more than 60% since peaking in November. Shopify stock came back to life with last week's market rally in growth stocks, but a 12% slide on Monday to kick off this new trading week shows that shareholders are still looking to take profits following sharp upticks.Revenue growth is slowing at Shopify. Its top line surged 86% in 2020, slowing to a 57% pace in 2021. Growth has decelerated sharply the last three quarters. Shopify itself was vague about its guidance, but analysts are holding out for a 31% increase in 2022. Shopify continues to stand out for its ability to arm merchants of all sizes with the tools to establish an online presence that plays nice with most popular e-commerce and social media platforms.TwilioThere is a lot to like about Twilio, the undisputed leader of in-app communication solutions. Twilio's cloud-based tools help many of the most popular apps be more effective by providing two-way communication with users -- for everything from service notifications to verification -- without having to leave an app.It's growing briskly. Revenue rose 61% in 2021, including a 54% year-over-year uptick for its latest quarter. Acquisitions have helped pad Twilio's growth over the years. Organic revenue rose a more modest 44% clip last year if you back out the bump in political election season revenue from late 2020, but the appeal of the platform remains strong. Retention rates are still healthy, and Twilio continues to successfully expand its offerings.Adaptive BiotechnologiesIt's been a rough year for Adaptive Biotechnologies. Its CFO resigned in January, and earlier this month the biotech upstart announced that it would be laying off 12% of its staff. The reorganization is part of Adaptive narrowing the focus of its immune system genetic sequencing technology to key in on minimal residual disease and immune medicine.The stock has been cut by more than half so far in 2022, and it's down 82% since peaking 14 months ago. The technology is promising, and Adaptive Biotechnologies is one of the stocks that Wood was buying earlier last week before she took a three-day break from purchases. Analysts don't see the company turning a profit for several more years, but that's not necessarily a deal breaker for biotech stocks as long as they have the liquidity in place to hold out for a medical breakthrough.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":87,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":350723222,"gmtCreate":1616291826366,"gmtModify":1704792646974,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576797853255359","authorIdStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"But the dips","listText":"But the dips","text":"But the dips","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/350723222","repostId":"1103756496","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1103756496","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1616163949,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1103756496?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-03-19 22:25","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Stock Is Going Down, One Analyst Says. Here’s Why","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1103756496","media":"The Street","summary":"Recently, I laid out the arguments supporting Wall Street’s most bullish of theses on Apple stock. Some of the highlights included the doubling of services and wearables revenues in five years, the 5G super cycle, the greenfield Apple Car opportunity, and an acceleration in share repurchases.Now, I look at the flip side of the coin. How would one support the most bearish argument on Apple shares?At least one analyst has compiled a laundry list of items that makes him fear for a 35% drop in the s","content":"<p>Recently, I laid out the arguments supporting Wall Street’s most bullish of theses on Apple stock. Some of the highlights included the doubling of services and wearables revenues in five years, the 5G super cycle, the greenfield Apple Car opportunity, and an acceleration in share repurchases.</p>\n<p>Now, I look at the flip side of the coin. How would one support the most bearish argument on Apple shares? At least one analyst has compiled a laundry list of items that makes him fear for a 35% drop in the stock price from current levels.</p>\n<p><b>Apple might be too hyped</b></p>\n<p>Goldman Sach’s Rod Hall is one of those very rare Apple analysts that maintain a sell rating on the stock. While I have not come across research from him that is more recent thanlate January, most of his bearish points still seem relevant today.</p>\n<p>For starters, Goldman does not seem impressed with the near-term smartphone opportunity. According to the research shop, the iPhone 12 resembles a “redesign cycle” rather thana more meaningful “5G super cycle”. As a result, iPhone replacement rates should be low in 2021.</p>\n<p>Still on the same subject, Goldman projects ASP (average selling price) to come down this year, as buyers shift to cheaper models like the iPhone 12 mini and the iPhone 11. Here,recent data points have been suggesting the opposite: the mini seems to be the biggest loser within the product portfolio, while the Pro and Pro Max have been performing above expectations.</p>\n<p>Also, Mr. Hall does not seethe Apple Car opportunityas a profitable initiative.Accordingto him:</p>\n<blockquote>\n “The auto industry has generally lower gross margins than Apple's own current businesses. Tesla's gross margins are about 20%, compared to Apple's 40%. Operating margins are even lower, typically in the high single digits. Even in optimistic scenarios, the release of a production Apple Car is likely to have only a minor impact on Apple's bottom line.”\n</blockquote>\n<p>Lastly, the analyst believes that the end of the COVID-19 crisis will trigger a discretionary spending shift from tech devices (iPhones, Macs) to away-from-home services (travel and leisure). This could be a negative catalyst for the stock in 2021.</p>\n<p><b>The Apple Maven’s take</b></p>\n<p>In my opinion, the market is not the place to cheer for or against a stock. This is what sports arenas are for (after the pandemic is over, of course). So, I think that even the most confident of Apple investors should pay attention to the bearish case on the stock, and think through the arguments critically.</p>\n<p>I think Goldman raises good points about the hype around the 5G super cycle and the Apple Car. Whether either can push Apple’s financial results significantly above current consensus remains to be seen. Meanwhile, the stockseems to have already priced some of the upside.</p>\n<p>I also understand the risk in discretionary spending migrating away from tech hardware, software and services. Just as an example,air travel bookings for the summer seasonhave already started to climb fast. Where will the money to cover these costs come from? A brand-new iPad could be one answer.</p>\n<p>Still, the Apple Maven sees more upside to investing in Apple at current levels than downside risk. In addition to the bullish points on the business fundamentals,the valuation floor and dip-buying opportunityincreases the probability that an investment in Apple today will pay off in the long term.</p>\n<p><b>Twitter speaks</b></p>\n<p>The most bullish analysts say that Apple could head to $225 per share, under the rosiest scenario. The most bearish of them says “not so fast”, and sees 35% downside risk. Who will be proven right?</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/416292f8a70685b7612b592d29c72df6\" tg-width=\"589\" tg-height=\"454\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e715d243108042b76de007cc2748aed\" tg-width=\"678\" tg-height=\"520\"></p>","source":"lsy1610613172068","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Stock Is Going Down, One Analyst Says. Here’s Why</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Stock Is Going Down, One Analyst Says. Here’s Why\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-19 22:25 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.thestreet.com/apple/news/apple-stock-is-going-down-one-analyst-says-heres-why><strong>The Street</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Recently, I laid out the arguments supporting Wall Street’s most bullish of theses on Apple stock. Some of the highlights included the doubling of services and wearables revenues in five years, the 5G...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/news/apple-stock-is-going-down-one-analyst-says-heres-why\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/news/apple-stock-is-going-down-one-analyst-says-heres-why","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1103756496","content_text":"Recently, I laid out the arguments supporting Wall Street’s most bullish of theses on Apple stock. Some of the highlights included the doubling of services and wearables revenues in five years, the 5G super cycle, the greenfield Apple Car opportunity, and an acceleration in share repurchases.\nNow, I look at the flip side of the coin. How would one support the most bearish argument on Apple shares? At least one analyst has compiled a laundry list of items that makes him fear for a 35% drop in the stock price from current levels.\nApple might be too hyped\nGoldman Sach’s Rod Hall is one of those very rare Apple analysts that maintain a sell rating on the stock. While I have not come across research from him that is more recent thanlate January, most of his bearish points still seem relevant today.\nFor starters, Goldman does not seem impressed with the near-term smartphone opportunity. According to the research shop, the iPhone 12 resembles a “redesign cycle” rather thana more meaningful “5G super cycle”. As a result, iPhone replacement rates should be low in 2021.\nStill on the same subject, Goldman projects ASP (average selling price) to come down this year, as buyers shift to cheaper models like the iPhone 12 mini and the iPhone 11. Here,recent data points have been suggesting the opposite: the mini seems to be the biggest loser within the product portfolio, while the Pro and Pro Max have been performing above expectations.\nAlso, Mr. Hall does not seethe Apple Car opportunityas a profitable initiative.Accordingto him:\n\n “The auto industry has generally lower gross margins than Apple's own current businesses. Tesla's gross margins are about 20%, compared to Apple's 40%. Operating margins are even lower, typically in the high single digits. Even in optimistic scenarios, the release of a production Apple Car is likely to have only a minor impact on Apple's bottom line.”\n\nLastly, the analyst believes that the end of the COVID-19 crisis will trigger a discretionary spending shift from tech devices (iPhones, Macs) to away-from-home services (travel and leisure). This could be a negative catalyst for the stock in 2021.\nThe Apple Maven’s take\nIn my opinion, the market is not the place to cheer for or against a stock. This is what sports arenas are for (after the pandemic is over, of course). So, I think that even the most confident of Apple investors should pay attention to the bearish case on the stock, and think through the arguments critically.\nI think Goldman raises good points about the hype around the 5G super cycle and the Apple Car. Whether either can push Apple’s financial results significantly above current consensus remains to be seen. Meanwhile, the stockseems to have already priced some of the upside.\nI also understand the risk in discretionary spending migrating away from tech hardware, software and services. Just as an example,air travel bookings for the summer seasonhave already started to climb fast. Where will the money to cover these costs come from? A brand-new iPad could be one answer.\nStill, the Apple Maven sees more upside to investing in Apple at current levels than downside risk. In addition to the bullish points on the business fundamentals,the valuation floor and dip-buying opportunityincreases the probability that an investment in Apple today will pay off in the long term.\nTwitter speaks\nThe most bullish analysts say that Apple could head to $225 per share, under the rosiest scenario. The most bearish of them says “not so fast”, and sees 35% downside risk. Who will be proven right?","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":92,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9983324354,"gmtCreate":1666156994278,"gmtModify":1676537715519,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576797853255359","authorIdStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Who plays garena nowadays :X","listText":"Who plays garena nowadays :X","text":"Who plays garena nowadays :X","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9983324354","repostId":"2276110209","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2276110209","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1666156588,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2276110209?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-19 13:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Sea Limited: Buy Before The Q3 2022 Results With 173% Upside Potential","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2276110209","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Investment thesisI cover Sea Limited extensively, with many articles on the company's fundamentals a","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2>Investment thesis</h2><p>I cover <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SE\">Sea Limited</a> extensively, with many articles on the company&#39;s fundamentals and valuations, which can be found here. I continue to like the company as the investment case continues to look compelling:</p><ol><li>As highlighted before, I thought that the problems that Garena and Free Fire are facing are short-term ones. As evident from the recent Free Fire trends, we can see that the business is stabilising in its key markets. I continue to take the view that Garena will continue to operate as a market leader and play a key and pivotal role in the development of the other segments of Sea as it continues to generate strong cash flows for the business. As we start to see stabilisation in the business, I think we will see re-acceleration in revenues in the near-term as management remains focused on both Free Fire and on generating a pipeline of new games for the future.</li><li>Shopee continues to dominate in its core markets of ASEAN and Taiwan, where it continues to remain market leader in e-commerce. Management&#39;s shift in focus from growth to profitability will benefit Shopee in the long-term as it communicates to investors that management is looking to grow in a sustainable manner for the long-term. I think that the exits in markets in which it has low confidence in will help further cement its position in its core markets as these markets continue to have strong structural tailwinds due to the low e-commerce penetration.</li><li>Shopee remains focused on Brazil as a core market in Latin America while doing cross border operations in three other markets. With the Latin America e-commerce market being under-penetrated and growing very rapidly, this will further drive growth for Shopee in the long run.</li><li>As an emerging fintech business of Sea, SeaMoney looks set to be the next growth driver as digital payments continue to have strong tailwinds and Sea can benefit from the synergies between SeaMoney and Shopee to compete with peers.</li></ol><h2>Free Fire continues to stabilise</h2><p>In my previous article, I stated that we were starting to see some signs of stabilisation for Free Fire in 2Q22. I think that we are also seeing similar signs for such stabilisation for the gaming segment for 3Q22, which brings a nice upside to the 3Q22 results.</p><p>In India, we see that the stabilisation trends since March 2022 have continued for Free Fire and there has been some trending up sequentially in 3Q22 (July to September) compared to 2Q22 (April to June). Recall that Indian authorities banned Free Fire in the country, which resulted in the decline in the game&#39;s grossing share in India.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bdf94afb7a69a8f4332030d2f1be5e10\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"376\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>India mobile games grossings share (Sensor Tower)</span></p><p>Also, in Indonesia, we see that there are also some stabilisation trends since earlier in the year for Free Fire as the game sees normalisation after growth that was fuelled by the pandemic.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f3fc30b24a6ef7b8c34b6bfd4657158\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"392\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Indonesia mobile games grossings share (Sensor Tower)</span></p><p>Put together, we see that there are improving trends for India, Indonesia and the United States as I think that we have indeed seen stabilisation in user trends for Free Fire. Given that we are seeing the normalisation of user behaviour post the pandemic, I think that the effects of the pandemic driven growth have already been reflected in the current levels and things look likely to improve from here.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6e4b8d3fde55d6ad6847c7c9d1de3fb8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"380\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Grossings share for Free Fire across markets (Sensor Tower)</span></p><p>All in all, I think that the stabilisation trends for Free Fire look good for Sea&#39;s 3Q22 results as I think that there is scope for the company to beat the rather low expectations for Free Fire at the moment. I would be looking at the user engagement and monetisation metrics for 3Q22 as these could be further catalysts to an improvement in the fundamentals of Sea&#39;s gaming business.</p><h2>Continued progress on efficiency gains and on track to meet profitability target</h2><p>Sea has made the headlines for its efficiency efforts as the company remains focused on its profitability target. Shopee is reducing headcount by 3% in Indonesia, while it is also reducing headcount numbers in Singapore and China as well. These are all part of its efforts to improve operating efficiency as the company looks to become self sufficient across its businesses.</p><p>In addition, Sea&#39;s top management also will forego their salaries for the foreseeable future until the company manages to reach its goal of self sufficiency. Management also commented that they do not view this as a passing storm that will go away quickly and expects the tough operating conditions to persist in the medium term. I think that this move by management sets a strong example for employees as management is not just looking at ways to reduce headcount to improve on profitability, but even sacrificing themselves for this cause.</p><p>Lastly, we saw that Shopee has exited local operations in most of its Latin America business, except Brazil. As can be seen below, Sea has taken concrete and difficult steps to streamline its business operations. Since leaving the France market in Shopee, the e-commerce segment has exited India, Spain, and in Latin America markets outside of Brazil.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3458f65b9a4a3da9c761d40764fa848\" tg-width=\"477\" tg-height=\"200\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Summary of efficiency measures (Bloomberg, Reuters, CNBC, India Times)</span></p><p>As a result of the streamlining of its business, I think that this points back to the goal of achieving EBITDA breakeven in the ASEAN and Taiwan region by the end of this year for Shopee. The focus of management has been on achieving sustainable business operations for the long-term and the near-term challenges it has to face is what it takes to get there. Given that the Shopee ASEAN and Taiwan EBITDA loss per order has been successfully narrowed to less than one cent in 2Q22 as per my previous article, I think that this achievement of EBITDA breakeven in ASEAN and Taiwan is increasingly achievable given the actions taken in the past few months.</p><p>All in all, I would expect that Sea will likely beat on the bottom line numbers for 3Q22 as the company has been very proactive in optimising its cost structure and relentlessly focusing on its core markets.</p><h2>Exiting other Latin America markets</h2><p>As Sea&#39;s Shopee announced last month, it will be closing its local operations in Mexico, Colombia and Chile while cross border operations will still remain. In addition, Argentina will be exited completely while Shopee will still remain operating in Brazil. The reason cited was that Shopee needs to focus on its core operations given the macro uncertainty that the company faces today.</p><p>As explained earlier, this strategy is a similar one it took in earlier market exits as it looks to focus on its core markets. As management remains focused on certain core markets like ASEAN and Taiwan as well as Brazil, I think that this action is understandable. In addition, it is also aligned to its goal of first focusing on these core markets and achieving profitability. I do not think that management intends to leave these markets indefinitely, but likely more so only temporarily as it shifts its focus on core markets. Shopee could re-enter these markets when the macro environment improves or after the company manages to achieve a stronger profitability and cash flow profile.</p><p>As Shopee continued to maintain cross border operations in three markets in Latin America, I think that by doing this, it ensures that Shopee continues to build relationships with buyers and will continue to work on where it fits in these markets, as well as the different nuances in shopping behaviour in these markets.</p><p>Shopee has been very active in considering which markets to exit and which ones to operate as core markets. This razor focus on the markets that it thinks can drive sustainable growth is key to ensuring that the capital markets continue to remain confident in its ability to not just drive growth, but also generate profitability.</p><h2>Valuation</h2><p>I have taken into account in my forecasts the stabilisation of the gaming segment and also factored in management guidance of achieving breakeven EBITDA in ASEAN and Taiwan by 2023. As I have previously already made adjustments to the valuation multiples of each business segments which is already in-line with global peers, I maintain my valuation multiples as they remain justified given current macro conditions.</p><p>With these assumptions in mind, my 1-year target price for Sea is $139, implying 173% upside from current levels. I think that the risk reward is skewed towards the positive at the moment and there are several catalysts in the 3Q22 results coming up that may drive the share price upward.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/85e4a43865e73850f564932d24651b4c\" tg-width=\"389\" tg-height=\"457\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Sea Limited SOTP Valuation (Author generated)</p><h2>Risks</h2><h4>Competition from other e-commerce companies</h4><p>While Shopee has been successful in its core markets, I think that e-commerce is a rather competitive industry with multiple global market players like Amazon (AMZN) and Alibaba&#39;s (BABA) Lazada. These are e-commerce players that are established and have strong financials that can compete meaningfully with Shopee if they decide to go on a price war to compete in Shopee&#39;s core markets. Also we are seeing the rise of new generation platforms like TikTok that may change the landscape of e-commerce as new generations may prefer using TikTok for things like shopping in the future. The risk of competitive pressures from any of these players may threaten Shopee&#39;s current leadership position in its core ASEAN and Taiwan markets as well as its Brazil market. As such, I will continue to monitor for any changes in the e-commerce landscape and how that could affect Shopee.</p><h4>Diversifying its gaming segment with new games</h4><p>Sea&#39;s Garena is on a mission to find the next blockbuster game that could take over Free Fire. That said, creating a new hit game is not easy and even as Garena has spent much time and effort in creating a steady pipeline of new games, there has yet to be a game that looks to be helping fill the gap that we are seeing with the slowing Free Fire growth. I think the risk remains that Free Fire continues to see slowing growth, while Garena may still be unable to release new games that could help it diversify its games segment.</p><h4>Political and regulatory risks</h4><p>As a result of the Indian authorities ban of Free Fire, this has created a risk that Sea may face other regulatory or political pressures. While Sea is headquartered in Singapore and not controlled by China, I think that there is a risk that other countries may see Sea in a similar way India did. However, I think that the probability of this is quite small and we could even see India rectifying its position on Sea in the future.</p><h4>Synergies that can be reaped across segments</h4><p>As a result of having three business segments like the e-commerce segment, the gaming segment and the fintech segment, Sea has the ability to create a network effect as it continues to see strong user growth on its platforms. Furthermore, the company can also drive scale benefits as it can leverage on its size to improve operating efficiencies. However, if the company does not leverage on its position to reap these synergies, the three segments could act in silos and without demonstrating the true competitive advantage of the platform that Sea has built and the community it has developed over the years.</p><h2>Conclusion</h2><p>I think that there is much negative sentiment around the stock and the key to reversing this sentiment is any signs of improvement in fundamentals or achieving of certain targets set by management. First, I highlighted that we are seeing a stabilisation of Garena as Free Fire trends appear to be heading in the right direction. Second, management looks set to achieve their breakeven targets for Shopee in the core markets of ASEAN and Taiwan. Overall, I think that the worst is over for Sea and we could see positive improvements in the business as well as management commentary in the 3Q22 results coming up.</p><p>My 1-year target price for Sea is $139, which implies an upside of 173% from current levels. I believe that we could see shares move up towards the target price with the 3Q22 results given that there may be several catalysts materialising. As such, I think that the risk/reward is skewed towards the positive at the moment, and recommend to accumulate at current levels.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Sea Limited: Buy Before The Q3 2022 Results With 173% Upside Potential</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSea Limited: Buy Before The Q3 2022 Results With 173% Upside Potential\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-19 13:16 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4547182-sea-limited-buy-before-the-3q22-results-with-173-percent-upside-potential><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Investment thesisI cover Sea Limited extensively, with many articles on the company's fundamentals and valuations, which can be found here. I continue to like the company as the investment case ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4547182-sea-limited-buy-before-the-3q22-results-with-173-percent-upside-potential\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SE":"Sea Ltd"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4547182-sea-limited-buy-before-the-3q22-results-with-173-percent-upside-potential","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2276110209","content_text":"Investment thesisI cover Sea Limited extensively, with many articles on the company's fundamentals and valuations, which can be found here. I continue to like the company as the investment case continues to look compelling:As highlighted before, I thought that the problems that Garena and Free Fire are facing are short-term ones. As evident from the recent Free Fire trends, we can see that the business is stabilising in its key markets. I continue to take the view that Garena will continue to operate as a market leader and play a key and pivotal role in the development of the other segments of Sea as it continues to generate strong cash flows for the business. As we start to see stabilisation in the business, I think we will see re-acceleration in revenues in the near-term as management remains focused on both Free Fire and on generating a pipeline of new games for the future.Shopee continues to dominate in its core markets of ASEAN and Taiwan, where it continues to remain market leader in e-commerce. Management's shift in focus from growth to profitability will benefit Shopee in the long-term as it communicates to investors that management is looking to grow in a sustainable manner for the long-term. I think that the exits in markets in which it has low confidence in will help further cement its position in its core markets as these markets continue to have strong structural tailwinds due to the low e-commerce penetration.Shopee remains focused on Brazil as a core market in Latin America while doing cross border operations in three other markets. With the Latin America e-commerce market being under-penetrated and growing very rapidly, this will further drive growth for Shopee in the long run.As an emerging fintech business of Sea, SeaMoney looks set to be the next growth driver as digital payments continue to have strong tailwinds and Sea can benefit from the synergies between SeaMoney and Shopee to compete with peers.Free Fire continues to stabiliseIn my previous article, I stated that we were starting to see some signs of stabilisation for Free Fire in 2Q22. I think that we are also seeing similar signs for such stabilisation for the gaming segment for 3Q22, which brings a nice upside to the 3Q22 results.In India, we see that the stabilisation trends since March 2022 have continued for Free Fire and there has been some trending up sequentially in 3Q22 (July to September) compared to 2Q22 (April to June). Recall that Indian authorities banned Free Fire in the country, which resulted in the decline in the game's grossing share in India.India mobile games grossings share (Sensor Tower)Also, in Indonesia, we see that there are also some stabilisation trends since earlier in the year for Free Fire as the game sees normalisation after growth that was fuelled by the pandemic.Indonesia mobile games grossings share (Sensor Tower)Put together, we see that there are improving trends for India, Indonesia and the United States as I think that we have indeed seen stabilisation in user trends for Free Fire. Given that we are seeing the normalisation of user behaviour post the pandemic, I think that the effects of the pandemic driven growth have already been reflected in the current levels and things look likely to improve from here.Grossings share for Free Fire across markets (Sensor Tower)All in all, I think that the stabilisation trends for Free Fire look good for Sea's 3Q22 results as I think that there is scope for the company to beat the rather low expectations for Free Fire at the moment. I would be looking at the user engagement and monetisation metrics for 3Q22 as these could be further catalysts to an improvement in the fundamentals of Sea's gaming business.Continued progress on efficiency gains and on track to meet profitability targetSea has made the headlines for its efficiency efforts as the company remains focused on its profitability target. Shopee is reducing headcount by 3% in Indonesia, while it is also reducing headcount numbers in Singapore and China as well. These are all part of its efforts to improve operating efficiency as the company looks to become self sufficient across its businesses.In addition, Sea's top management also will forego their salaries for the foreseeable future until the company manages to reach its goal of self sufficiency. Management also commented that they do not view this as a passing storm that will go away quickly and expects the tough operating conditions to persist in the medium term. I think that this move by management sets a strong example for employees as management is not just looking at ways to reduce headcount to improve on profitability, but even sacrificing themselves for this cause.Lastly, we saw that Shopee has exited local operations in most of its Latin America business, except Brazil. As can be seen below, Sea has taken concrete and difficult steps to streamline its business operations. Since leaving the France market in Shopee, the e-commerce segment has exited India, Spain, and in Latin America markets outside of Brazil.Summary of efficiency measures (Bloomberg, Reuters, CNBC, India Times)As a result of the streamlining of its business, I think that this points back to the goal of achieving EBITDA breakeven in the ASEAN and Taiwan region by the end of this year for Shopee. The focus of management has been on achieving sustainable business operations for the long-term and the near-term challenges it has to face is what it takes to get there. Given that the Shopee ASEAN and Taiwan EBITDA loss per order has been successfully narrowed to less than one cent in 2Q22 as per my previous article, I think that this achievement of EBITDA breakeven in ASEAN and Taiwan is increasingly achievable given the actions taken in the past few months.All in all, I would expect that Sea will likely beat on the bottom line numbers for 3Q22 as the company has been very proactive in optimising its cost structure and relentlessly focusing on its core markets.Exiting other Latin America marketsAs Sea's Shopee announced last month, it will be closing its local operations in Mexico, Colombia and Chile while cross border operations will still remain. In addition, Argentina will be exited completely while Shopee will still remain operating in Brazil. The reason cited was that Shopee needs to focus on its core operations given the macro uncertainty that the company faces today.As explained earlier, this strategy is a similar one it took in earlier market exits as it looks to focus on its core markets. As management remains focused on certain core markets like ASEAN and Taiwan as well as Brazil, I think that this action is understandable. In addition, it is also aligned to its goal of first focusing on these core markets and achieving profitability. I do not think that management intends to leave these markets indefinitely, but likely more so only temporarily as it shifts its focus on core markets. Shopee could re-enter these markets when the macro environment improves or after the company manages to achieve a stronger profitability and cash flow profile.As Shopee continued to maintain cross border operations in three markets in Latin America, I think that by doing this, it ensures that Shopee continues to build relationships with buyers and will continue to work on where it fits in these markets, as well as the different nuances in shopping behaviour in these markets.Shopee has been very active in considering which markets to exit and which ones to operate as core markets. This razor focus on the markets that it thinks can drive sustainable growth is key to ensuring that the capital markets continue to remain confident in its ability to not just drive growth, but also generate profitability.ValuationI have taken into account in my forecasts the stabilisation of the gaming segment and also factored in management guidance of achieving breakeven EBITDA in ASEAN and Taiwan by 2023. As I have previously already made adjustments to the valuation multiples of each business segments which is already in-line with global peers, I maintain my valuation multiples as they remain justified given current macro conditions.With these assumptions in mind, my 1-year target price for Sea is $139, implying 173% upside from current levels. I think that the risk reward is skewed towards the positive at the moment and there are several catalysts in the 3Q22 results coming up that may drive the share price upward.Sea Limited SOTP Valuation (Author generated)RisksCompetition from other e-commerce companiesWhile Shopee has been successful in its core markets, I think that e-commerce is a rather competitive industry with multiple global market players like Amazon (AMZN) and Alibaba's (BABA) Lazada. These are e-commerce players that are established and have strong financials that can compete meaningfully with Shopee if they decide to go on a price war to compete in Shopee's core markets. Also we are seeing the rise of new generation platforms like TikTok that may change the landscape of e-commerce as new generations may prefer using TikTok for things like shopping in the future. The risk of competitive pressures from any of these players may threaten Shopee's current leadership position in its core ASEAN and Taiwan markets as well as its Brazil market. As such, I will continue to monitor for any changes in the e-commerce landscape and how that could affect Shopee.Diversifying its gaming segment with new gamesSea's Garena is on a mission to find the next blockbuster game that could take over Free Fire. That said, creating a new hit game is not easy and even as Garena has spent much time and effort in creating a steady pipeline of new games, there has yet to be a game that looks to be helping fill the gap that we are seeing with the slowing Free Fire growth. I think the risk remains that Free Fire continues to see slowing growth, while Garena may still be unable to release new games that could help it diversify its games segment.Political and regulatory risksAs a result of the Indian authorities ban of Free Fire, this has created a risk that Sea may face other regulatory or political pressures. While Sea is headquartered in Singapore and not controlled by China, I think that there is a risk that other countries may see Sea in a similar way India did. However, I think that the probability of this is quite small and we could even see India rectifying its position on Sea in the future.Synergies that can be reaped across segmentsAs a result of having three business segments like the e-commerce segment, the gaming segment and the fintech segment, Sea has the ability to create a network effect as it continues to see strong user growth on its platforms. Furthermore, the company can also drive scale benefits as it can leverage on its size to improve operating efficiencies. However, if the company does not leverage on its position to reap these synergies, the three segments could act in silos and without demonstrating the true competitive advantage of the platform that Sea has built and the community it has developed over the years.ConclusionI think that there is much negative sentiment around the stock and the key to reversing this sentiment is any signs of improvement in fundamentals or achieving of certain targets set by management. First, I highlighted that we are seeing a stabilisation of Garena as Free Fire trends appear to be heading in the right direction. Second, management looks set to achieve their breakeven targets for Shopee in the core markets of ASEAN and Taiwan. Overall, I think that the worst is over for Sea and we could see positive improvements in the business as well as management commentary in the 3Q22 results coming up.My 1-year target price for Sea is $139, which implies an upside of 173% from current levels. I believe that we could see shares move up towards the target price with the 3Q22 results given that there may be several catalysts materialising. As such, I think that the risk/reward is skewed towards the positive at the moment, and recommend to accumulate at current levels.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":142,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":801422160,"gmtCreate":1627529436850,"gmtModify":1703491774580,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576797853255359","authorIdStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nio! ?&nbsp;","listText":"Nio! ?&nbsp;","text":"Nio! ?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/801422160","repostId":"2155027927","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2155027927","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1627519403,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2155027927?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-29 08:43","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Small-time traders turn 'dip buyers' in China share selloff","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2155027927","media":"Reuters","summary":"July 28 (Reuters) - Small-time traders have been jumping in to buy stocks discarded by big investors","content":"<p>July 28 (Reuters) - Small-time traders have been jumping in to buy stocks discarded by big investors during the selloff triggered by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAAS\">China</a>'s regulatory crackdown, research showed on Wednesday.</p>\n<p>Vanda, an independent research house, said its data showed subdued retail trader activity earlier in the week, but just as fears of contagion from China spilled over to Wall Street, \"the dip-buying army\" reappeared.</p>\n<p>Vanda's data is tracked globally but U.S.-based traders likely comprise the biggest chunk of it.</p>\n<p>Their buying may help to stabilise U.S.-listed Chinese shares after several days of selling driven by Beijing's move to tighten regulations on the technology and education sectors.</p>\n<p>The <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a> Golden Dragon China benchmark of tech stocks rebounded 8% on Wednesday after four days of falls.</p>\n<p>Vanda said U.S.-listed shares of three Chinese companies -- electric vehicle makers Nio and Xpeng , and tech giant <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">Alibaba</a> -- were among the six biggest bought stocks by U.S. retail investors on Tuesday, attracting net inflows worth a combined $194 million.</p>\n<p>Those shares have fallen between 12% and 17% at their lowest point this week compared with Friday's close.</p>\n<p>Overall, stocks impacted by the regulatory crackdown had seen combined retail inflows of $239 million, roughly 14% of total retail purchases on the day, Vanda said.</p>\n<p>The data could signal that while professional investors had turned wary about China, retail traders had sensed an opportunity.</p>\n<p>Retail traders have shot to prominence this year after big bets on heavily shorted stocks such as video game retailer <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">GameStop</a> or cinema chain AMC , driving huge rallies in relatively obscure shares and heaped losses on several big-name hedge funds.</p>\n<p>But the buying of newly cheap Chinese shares implies a shift in the retail traders' behaviour, Vanda analysts Ben Onatibia and Giacomo Pierantoni noted.</p>\n<p>\"From driving triple-digit returns in high multiple stocks, they have turned into dip buyers in underperforming ones,\" they told clients.</p>\n<p>\"Financials, energy and reopening are a few of the sectors where they've cushioned institutional selling.\"</p>\n<p>Households are the biggest investors in the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBNK\">United</a> States and own 37% of the equity market, according to data published by Barclays. Research has also shown that U.S. stimulus checks to households have found their way into the equity market.</p>\n<p>Reddit, popular with day traders for stock tips, contained discussions on the Chinese share slump, with comments from a few interested buyers.</p>\n<p>But mainstream investors are likely to remain cautious in the face of greater regulatory uncertainty.</p>\n<p>\"The de-rating of tech stocks is here to stay for some time. I don't expect multiples to go up anytime soon,\" said Gael Combes, head of fundamental research equities at Unigestion.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Small-time traders turn 'dip buyers' in China share selloff</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSmall-time traders turn 'dip buyers' in China share selloff\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-07-29 08:43</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>July 28 (Reuters) - Small-time traders have been jumping in to buy stocks discarded by big investors during the selloff triggered by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAAS\">China</a>'s regulatory crackdown, research showed on Wednesday.</p>\n<p>Vanda, an independent research house, said its data showed subdued retail trader activity earlier in the week, but just as fears of contagion from China spilled over to Wall Street, \"the dip-buying army\" reappeared.</p>\n<p>Vanda's data is tracked globally but U.S.-based traders likely comprise the biggest chunk of it.</p>\n<p>Their buying may help to stabilise U.S.-listed Chinese shares after several days of selling driven by Beijing's move to tighten regulations on the technology and education sectors.</p>\n<p>The <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a> Golden Dragon China benchmark of tech stocks rebounded 8% on Wednesday after four days of falls.</p>\n<p>Vanda said U.S.-listed shares of three Chinese companies -- electric vehicle makers Nio and Xpeng , and tech giant <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">Alibaba</a> -- were among the six biggest bought stocks by U.S. retail investors on Tuesday, attracting net inflows worth a combined $194 million.</p>\n<p>Those shares have fallen between 12% and 17% at their lowest point this week compared with Friday's close.</p>\n<p>Overall, stocks impacted by the regulatory crackdown had seen combined retail inflows of $239 million, roughly 14% of total retail purchases on the day, Vanda said.</p>\n<p>The data could signal that while professional investors had turned wary about China, retail traders had sensed an opportunity.</p>\n<p>Retail traders have shot to prominence this year after big bets on heavily shorted stocks such as video game retailer <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">GameStop</a> or cinema chain AMC , driving huge rallies in relatively obscure shares and heaped losses on several big-name hedge funds.</p>\n<p>But the buying of newly cheap Chinese shares implies a shift in the retail traders' behaviour, Vanda analysts Ben Onatibia and Giacomo Pierantoni noted.</p>\n<p>\"From driving triple-digit returns in high multiple stocks, they have turned into dip buyers in underperforming ones,\" they told clients.</p>\n<p>\"Financials, energy and reopening are a few of the sectors where they've cushioned institutional selling.\"</p>\n<p>Households are the biggest investors in the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBNK\">United</a> States and own 37% of the equity market, according to data published by Barclays. Research has also shown that U.S. stimulus checks to households have found their way into the equity market.</p>\n<p>Reddit, popular with day traders for stock tips, contained discussions on the Chinese share slump, with comments from a few interested buyers.</p>\n<p>But mainstream investors are likely to remain cautious in the face of greater regulatory uncertainty.</p>\n<p>\"The de-rating of tech stocks is here to stay for some time. I don't expect multiples to go up anytime soon,\" said Gael Combes, head of fundamental research equities at Unigestion.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GME":"游戏驿站","AMC":"AMC院线","XPEV":"小鹏汽车","BABA":"阿里巴巴","NIO":"蔚来"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2155027927","content_text":"July 28 (Reuters) - Small-time traders have been jumping in to buy stocks discarded by big investors during the selloff triggered by China's regulatory crackdown, research showed on Wednesday.\nVanda, an independent research house, said its data showed subdued retail trader activity earlier in the week, but just as fears of contagion from China spilled over to Wall Street, \"the dip-buying army\" reappeared.\nVanda's data is tracked globally but U.S.-based traders likely comprise the biggest chunk of it.\nTheir buying may help to stabilise U.S.-listed Chinese shares after several days of selling driven by Beijing's move to tighten regulations on the technology and education sectors.\nThe Nasdaq Golden Dragon China benchmark of tech stocks rebounded 8% on Wednesday after four days of falls.\nVanda said U.S.-listed shares of three Chinese companies -- electric vehicle makers Nio and Xpeng , and tech giant Alibaba -- were among the six biggest bought stocks by U.S. retail investors on Tuesday, attracting net inflows worth a combined $194 million.\nThose shares have fallen between 12% and 17% at their lowest point this week compared with Friday's close.\nOverall, stocks impacted by the regulatory crackdown had seen combined retail inflows of $239 million, roughly 14% of total retail purchases on the day, Vanda said.\nThe data could signal that while professional investors had turned wary about China, retail traders had sensed an opportunity.\nRetail traders have shot to prominence this year after big bets on heavily shorted stocks such as video game retailer GameStop or cinema chain AMC , driving huge rallies in relatively obscure shares and heaped losses on several big-name hedge funds.\nBut the buying of newly cheap Chinese shares implies a shift in the retail traders' behaviour, Vanda analysts Ben Onatibia and Giacomo Pierantoni noted.\n\"From driving triple-digit returns in high multiple stocks, they have turned into dip buyers in underperforming ones,\" they told clients.\n\"Financials, energy and reopening are a few of the sectors where they've cushioned institutional selling.\"\nHouseholds are the biggest investors in the United States and own 37% of the equity market, according to data published by Barclays. Research has also shown that U.S. stimulus checks to households have found their way into the equity market.\nReddit, popular with day traders for stock tips, contained discussions on the Chinese share slump, with comments from a few interested buyers.\nBut mainstream investors are likely to remain cautious in the face of greater regulatory uncertainty.\n\"The de-rating of tech stocks is here to stay for some time. I don't expect multiples to go up anytime soon,\" said Gael Combes, head of fundamental research equities at Unigestion.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":450,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":314618730762320,"gmtCreate":1717842661350,"gmtModify":1717842665018,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576797853255359","authorIdStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"This article looks like someone who buy at $30 lol&nbsp;","listText":"This article looks like someone who buy at $30 lol&nbsp;","text":"This article looks like someone who buy at $30 lol","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/314618730762320","repostId":"2441059256","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2441059256","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1717836507,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2441059256?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2024-06-08 16:48","market":"sh","language":"en","title":"NIO Below $5: Investors Seem Way Too Bearish","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2441059256","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"NIO's Q1 earnings showed improved vehicle margins and a strong forecast for Q2 deliveries, leading to a positive outlook for the firm's shares.The launch of NIO's new low-cost EV brand, ONVO, represen","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul style=\"\"><li><p>NIO&#39;s Q1 earnings showed improved vehicle margins and a strong forecast for Q2 deliveries, leading to a positive outlook for the firm&#39;s shares.</p></li><li><p>The launch of NIO&#39;s new low-cost EV brand, ONVO, represents an opportunity for the company to attack Tesla in China, but also poses risks to the company&#39;s margin trend.</p></li><li><p>NIO has the second-highest vehicle margins, after Li Auto.</p></li><li><p>The Company has a low price-to-revenue ratio and upside catalysts (profit improvement, ONVO launch, growing vehicle margins).</p></li></ul><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e9f97d77afc55629dc80b54e0d1af071\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"500\"/></p><p>Robert Way/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</p><p></p><p>Electric vehicle start-up NIO (NYSE:NIO) submitted a mixed earnings sheet for the first fiscal quarter on Thursday that thankfully showed a continual trend of vehicle margin improvements. NIO&#39;s share price nonetheless dropped 7% after the Q1&#39;24 earnings report, largely due to persistently high losses. NIO also announced the launch of a new, low-cost electric vehicle brand recently in a bid to attack the low-cost EV market segment and challenge Tesla&#39;s (TSLA) Model Y. I believe NIO still deserves the benefit of the doubt and since deliveries are roaring back in the second-quarter, the risk profile remains skewed to the upside, especially with the kind of valuation that NIO now offers EV investors.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f4860496a35403a90a8553b59661b450\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"456\"/></p><p>Data by YCharts</p><p></p><h2 id=\"id_4132377136\">Previous rating</h2><p>My last rating (March 2024) on shares of NIO was strong buy because I saw a positive risk profile related to the company&#39;s valuation. Since then, shares have declined approximately 13%, largely because investors appear too bearish. NIO&#39;s deliveries expectedly dipped in the first-quarter due to seasonal effects (and so do the deliveries of other China-focused EV start-ups) which sometimes can take a toll on investor sentiment. However, NIO&#39;s electric vehicle margins continued to improve in the first-quarter and the company&#39;s deliveries are set for a bounce-back quarter in Q2&#39;24. Additionally, NIO just announced the kick-off of a new EV brand, ONVO, which is meant to create a challenge for Tesla&#39;s widely popular Model Y.</p><h2 id=\"id_3735402886\">Improving vehicle margin trend for NIO</h2><p>The biggest take-away from NIO&#39;s first fiscal quarter earnings report card was that the electric vehicle start-up successfully managed to improve its margin picture. NIO&#39;s vehicle margins improved to 9.2% in Q1&#39;24, showing 4.1 PP expansion on a year-over-year basis. NIO&#39;s vehicle margins dropped Q/Q due to increased promotional events.</p><p>XPeng (XPEV), as an example, improved its vehicle margins 8.0 PP to 5.5% in Q1&#39;24. So while XPeng&#39;s margin improvement was bigger than NIO&#39;s in percentage terms, NIO still has higher vehicle margins than XPeng (due to the EV company posting negative margins in the last year). Li Auto (LI) is still stealing the show here and had vehicle margins of 19.8% in Q1&#39;24, although the EV firm reported a 0.5 PP Y/Y decline in margins. Li Auto&#39;s vehicle margins were therefore more than double NIO&#39;s margins, and it is the main reason why I believe Li Auto remains the most attractive Chinese EV start-up for investors to invest in right now.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a877e36d5f0b7216ecc3078470e8f32b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"216\"/></p><p>NIO</p><p></p><p>With delivery growth broadly slowing last year, investors have become more focused on profitability, and margins tend to be a great way to judge improvements in this regard. From this point of view, NIO did quite well in Q1&#39;24, although the company&#39;s large net loss of 5.2B Chinese Yuan ($718.1M) which increased 10% to the year-earlier period. Because investors are more focused on costs now than a year ago and NIO continues to post large net losses, shares of NIO slumped 7% after earnings... which I consider to be a buying opportunity, largely because the delivery picture is improving.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/11fe6b413fd723e2e6ea4b246ffd21c9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"364\"/></p><p>NIO</p><p></p><p>NIO delivered 30,053 electric vehicles in the first-quarter, but the company is seeing very encouraging momentum so far in Q2&#39;24. First-quarter delivery volumes in China tend to decline drastically due to the inclusion of Chinese New Year holidays. However, second-quarter delivery volumes typically bounce back quick and hard: in the first two months of the second fiscal quarter, as an example, NIO already delivered 36,164 electric vehicles which is already 20% more than in the entire first-quarter. The company&#39;s delivery guidance for Q2&#39;24 calls for 54-56k deliveries, implying up to 138% year-over-year growth.</p><h2 id=\"id_3882034590\">Launch of EV spin-off brand ONVO</h2><p>NIO announced the launch of a new electric vehicle brand named ONVO last month, which is meant to consolidate the company&#39;s attempts to challenge the position of the Tesla Model Y in China. The brand&#39;s first model, the ONVO L60, is a mid-size sport utility vehicle that is meant to target families and have mass market appeal. Deliveries for the ONVO L60 are set to start in Q3&#39;24 and any disclosures of reservation numbers for this EV model could be a positive catalyst for NIO&#39;s shares.</p><p>The ONVO L60 is set to debut with a price tag of $30k which would make it about $10k cheaper than the Tesla Model Y. I believe the launch of the spin-off brand is a positive development for NIO although the ONVO brand also poses a significant risk for the EV start-up: with vehicle margins just rebounding, it is a big risk for NIO to launch a low-cost EV brand to consolidate its efforts to target the mass market as it could have negative consequences for the company&#39;s vehicle margin trend. Therefore, the vehicle margin trend for NIO will remain the most important KPI going forward, in my opinion.</p><h2 id=\"id_3372386272\">NIO&#39;s valuation reflects deep investor pessimism</h2><p>I believe NIO and Li Auto are the two EV start-up companies that are the most attractive for investors. This is because Li Auto is growing the fastest and is posting vehicle margins around the 20% mark, which is more than double what NIO achieved in the first-quarter and almost four times of what XPeng achieved in Q1&#39;24.</p><p>Li Auto is not only growing the fastest, but is also already profitable and has the lowest price-to-revenue ratio... which I believe is completely undeserved. NIO is currently trading at a price-to-revenues ratio -- which I have to use for comparison purposes since only Li Auto is currently already profitable on a net income basis -- of 0.76X, which is way below the longer term (3-year) average P/S ratio of 4.45X.</p><p>In my last work on NIO, I said that the EV maker could have a fair value of $10.80 per-share if shares revalued only to their 1-year P/S ratio... which has since further risen to 1.40X. In my opinion, the reason for this is that investors have soured on the EV sector more broadly due to reports about waning electric vehicle demand, and especially on those EV firms that are not yet profitable.</p><p>However, NIO is seeing strong growth in margins and deliveries, so I believe NIO does have a lot of revaluation potential. If NIO executes well, defends its vehicle margins and continues to grow its deliveries in FY 2024 (first-half FY 2024 actuals + Q2&#39;24 forecast imply an annual 170k+ delivery volume on a full-year basis), I believe NIO could revalue to its 1-year average P/S ratio of 1.4X which implies a fair value in the neighborhood of $9.30 per-share.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5a5cd4afbd52eda707b2616f36e58b63\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"559\"/></p><p>Data by YCharts</p><p></p><h2 id=\"id_3391514567\">Risks with NIO</h2><p>I see certain risks with NIO continuing to post high net losses, especially now that investors are more focused on profitability than mere growth. There are also risks regarding the launch of a new, lost-cost EV brand, which could add new margin pressures for NIO going forward. This launch also comes at a time at which the electric vehicle start-up is not yet achieving a baseline of profitability. What would change my mind about NIO is if the company were to see a decline in its vehicle margins specifically or suffered slowing delivery growth.</p><h2 id=\"id_1331419800\">Final thoughts</h2><p>NIO did a great job in growing its vehicle margins in the first fiscal quarter, which has been a point of contention for investors for a long time. Compared to rivals in the start-up industry, NIO has now the second-highest vehicle margins after Li Auto. XPeng is still hanging a bit behind, but has also recently seen some upside momentum in vehicle margins. I have mixed feelings about NIO&#39;s launch of its low-cost, mass market EV brand ONVO which appears set to increase margin pressures just at a time when they are recovering. The outlook for the second-quarter, in terms of deliveries, confirmed my earlier suspicions that NIO was set for a strong Q2 delivery rebound. What sustains my strong buy rating here is that NIO is trading at a very attractive valuation, from a price-to-revenue point of view, and I believe that investors are too bearish. Overall, I believe the positives outweighed the negatives with regard to NIO&#39;s earnings report for Q1&#39;24, and I especially like the change in the vehicle margin trajectory!</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>NIO Below $5: Investors Seem Way Too Bearish</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNIO Below $5: Investors Seem Way Too Bearish\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-06-08 16:48 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4697980-nio-below-5-investors-seem-way-too-bearish><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>NIO's Q1 earnings showed improved vehicle margins and a strong forecast for Q2 deliveries, leading to a positive outlook for the firm's shares.The launch of NIO's new low-cost EV brand, ONVO, ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4697980-nio-below-5-investors-seem-way-too-bearish\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4504":"桥水持仓","LU1548497426.USD":"安联环球人工智能AT Acc","LU0198837287.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV - USA GROWTH \"P\" (USD) ACC","LU0316494557.USD":"FRANKLIN GLOBAL FUNDAMENTAL STRATEGIES \"A\" ACC","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","NIO":"蔚来","BK4563":"昨日强势股","LU0052750758.USD":"富兰克林中国基金A Acc","LU0320764599.SGD":"FTIF - Templeton China A Acc SGD","XPEV":"小鹏汽车","09866":"蔚来-SW","LU2063271972.USD":"富兰克林创新领域基金","LU0820562030.AUD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMH2\" (AUDHDG) H2 INC","LU0348723411.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL HI-TECH GROWTH \"A\" (USD) INC","BK4592":"伊斯兰概念","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","LU1720051108.HKD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE \"AT\" (HKD) ACC","BK4531":"中概回港概念","LU0234570918.USD":"高盛全球核心股票组合Acc Close","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","LI":"理想汽车","LU1435385759.SGD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity RA SGD-H","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","LU0823411888.USD":"法巴消费创新基金 Cap","LU0053666078.USD":"摩根大通基金-美国股票A（离岸）美元","LU0082616367.USD":"摩根大通美国科技A（dist）","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","LU0708995583.HKD":"TEMPLETON CHINA \"A\" (HKD) ACC","LU1429558221.USD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity RA USD","BK4211":"区域性银行","LU0719512351.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - US Technology A (acc) SGD","BK4509":"腾讯概念","BK4527":"明星科技股","NIO.SI":"蔚来","IE00BSNM7G36.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN SYSTEMATIC GLOBAL SUSTAINABLE VALUE \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0234572021.USD":"高盛美国核心股票组合Acc","BK4588":"碎股","BK4526":"热门中概股","LU2602419157.SGD":"HSBC ISLAMIC GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX \"AC\" (SGD) ACC","BK4503":"景林资产持仓","LU1852331112.SGD":"Blackrock World Technology Fund A2 SGD-H","LU1861220033.SGD":"Blackrock Next Generation Technology A2 SGD-H","BK4574":"无人驾驶","LU0823414478.USD":"法巴经典能源转换基金","IE00BWXC8680.SGD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A5\" (SGD) ACC","LU1861215975.USD":"贝莱德新一代科技基金 A2","BK4505":"高瓴资本持仓","BK4581":"高盛持仓"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4697980-nio-below-5-investors-seem-way-too-bearish","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2441059256","content_text":"NIO's Q1 earnings showed improved vehicle margins and a strong forecast for Q2 deliveries, leading to a positive outlook for the firm's shares.The launch of NIO's new low-cost EV brand, ONVO, represents an opportunity for the company to attack Tesla in China, but also poses risks to the company's margin trend.NIO has the second-highest vehicle margins, after Li Auto.The Company has a low price-to-revenue ratio and upside catalysts (profit improvement, ONVO launch, growing vehicle margins).Robert Way/iStock Editorial via Getty ImagesElectric vehicle start-up NIO (NYSE:NIO) submitted a mixed earnings sheet for the first fiscal quarter on Thursday that thankfully showed a continual trend of vehicle margin improvements. NIO's share price nonetheless dropped 7% after the Q1'24 earnings report, largely due to persistently high losses. NIO also announced the launch of a new, low-cost electric vehicle brand recently in a bid to attack the low-cost EV market segment and challenge Tesla's (TSLA) Model Y. I believe NIO still deserves the benefit of the doubt and since deliveries are roaring back in the second-quarter, the risk profile remains skewed to the upside, especially with the kind of valuation that NIO now offers EV investors.Data by YChartsPrevious ratingMy last rating (March 2024) on shares of NIO was strong buy because I saw a positive risk profile related to the company's valuation. Since then, shares have declined approximately 13%, largely because investors appear too bearish. NIO's deliveries expectedly dipped in the first-quarter due to seasonal effects (and so do the deliveries of other China-focused EV start-ups) which sometimes can take a toll on investor sentiment. However, NIO's electric vehicle margins continued to improve in the first-quarter and the company's deliveries are set for a bounce-back quarter in Q2'24. Additionally, NIO just announced the kick-off of a new EV brand, ONVO, which is meant to create a challenge for Tesla's widely popular Model Y.Improving vehicle margin trend for NIOThe biggest take-away from NIO's first fiscal quarter earnings report card was that the electric vehicle start-up successfully managed to improve its margin picture. NIO's vehicle margins improved to 9.2% in Q1'24, showing 4.1 PP expansion on a year-over-year basis. NIO's vehicle margins dropped Q/Q due to increased promotional events.XPeng (XPEV), as an example, improved its vehicle margins 8.0 PP to 5.5% in Q1'24. So while XPeng's margin improvement was bigger than NIO's in percentage terms, NIO still has higher vehicle margins than XPeng (due to the EV company posting negative margins in the last year). Li Auto (LI) is still stealing the show here and had vehicle margins of 19.8% in Q1'24, although the EV firm reported a 0.5 PP Y/Y decline in margins. Li Auto's vehicle margins were therefore more than double NIO's margins, and it is the main reason why I believe Li Auto remains the most attractive Chinese EV start-up for investors to invest in right now.NIOWith delivery growth broadly slowing last year, investors have become more focused on profitability, and margins tend to be a great way to judge improvements in this regard. From this point of view, NIO did quite well in Q1'24, although the company's large net loss of 5.2B Chinese Yuan ($718.1M) which increased 10% to the year-earlier period. Because investors are more focused on costs now than a year ago and NIO continues to post large net losses, shares of NIO slumped 7% after earnings... which I consider to be a buying opportunity, largely because the delivery picture is improving.NIONIO delivered 30,053 electric vehicles in the first-quarter, but the company is seeing very encouraging momentum so far in Q2'24. First-quarter delivery volumes in China tend to decline drastically due to the inclusion of Chinese New Year holidays. However, second-quarter delivery volumes typically bounce back quick and hard: in the first two months of the second fiscal quarter, as an example, NIO already delivered 36,164 electric vehicles which is already 20% more than in the entire first-quarter. The company's delivery guidance for Q2'24 calls for 54-56k deliveries, implying up to 138% year-over-year growth.Launch of EV spin-off brand ONVONIO announced the launch of a new electric vehicle brand named ONVO last month, which is meant to consolidate the company's attempts to challenge the position of the Tesla Model Y in China. The brand's first model, the ONVO L60, is a mid-size sport utility vehicle that is meant to target families and have mass market appeal. Deliveries for the ONVO L60 are set to start in Q3'24 and any disclosures of reservation numbers for this EV model could be a positive catalyst for NIO's shares.The ONVO L60 is set to debut with a price tag of $30k which would make it about $10k cheaper than the Tesla Model Y. I believe the launch of the spin-off brand is a positive development for NIO although the ONVO brand also poses a significant risk for the EV start-up: with vehicle margins just rebounding, it is a big risk for NIO to launch a low-cost EV brand to consolidate its efforts to target the mass market as it could have negative consequences for the company's vehicle margin trend. Therefore, the vehicle margin trend for NIO will remain the most important KPI going forward, in my opinion.NIO's valuation reflects deep investor pessimismI believe NIO and Li Auto are the two EV start-up companies that are the most attractive for investors. This is because Li Auto is growing the fastest and is posting vehicle margins around the 20% mark, which is more than double what NIO achieved in the first-quarter and almost four times of what XPeng achieved in Q1'24.Li Auto is not only growing the fastest, but is also already profitable and has the lowest price-to-revenue ratio... which I believe is completely undeserved. NIO is currently trading at a price-to-revenues ratio -- which I have to use for comparison purposes since only Li Auto is currently already profitable on a net income basis -- of 0.76X, which is way below the longer term (3-year) average P/S ratio of 4.45X.In my last work on NIO, I said that the EV maker could have a fair value of $10.80 per-share if shares revalued only to their 1-year P/S ratio... which has since further risen to 1.40X. In my opinion, the reason for this is that investors have soured on the EV sector more broadly due to reports about waning electric vehicle demand, and especially on those EV firms that are not yet profitable.However, NIO is seeing strong growth in margins and deliveries, so I believe NIO does have a lot of revaluation potential. If NIO executes well, defends its vehicle margins and continues to grow its deliveries in FY 2024 (first-half FY 2024 actuals + Q2'24 forecast imply an annual 170k+ delivery volume on a full-year basis), I believe NIO could revalue to its 1-year average P/S ratio of 1.4X which implies a fair value in the neighborhood of $9.30 per-share.Data by YChartsRisks with NIOI see certain risks with NIO continuing to post high net losses, especially now that investors are more focused on profitability than mere growth. There are also risks regarding the launch of a new, lost-cost EV brand, which could add new margin pressures for NIO going forward. This launch also comes at a time at which the electric vehicle start-up is not yet achieving a baseline of profitability. What would change my mind about NIO is if the company were to see a decline in its vehicle margins specifically or suffered slowing delivery growth.Final thoughtsNIO did a great job in growing its vehicle margins in the first fiscal quarter, which has been a point of contention for investors for a long time. Compared to rivals in the start-up industry, NIO has now the second-highest vehicle margins after Li Auto. XPeng is still hanging a bit behind, but has also recently seen some upside momentum in vehicle margins. I have mixed feelings about NIO's launch of its low-cost, mass market EV brand ONVO which appears set to increase margin pressures just at a time when they are recovering. The outlook for the second-quarter, in terms of deliveries, confirmed my earlier suspicions that NIO was set for a strong Q2 delivery rebound. What sustains my strong buy rating here is that NIO is trading at a very attractive valuation, from a price-to-revenue point of view, and I believe that investors are too bearish. Overall, I believe the positives outweighed the negatives with regard to NIO's earnings report for Q1'24, and I especially like the change in the vehicle margin trajectory!","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":185,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9964982480,"gmtCreate":1670051449141,"gmtModify":1676538296136,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576797853255359","authorIdStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"When people say no, you click yes.&nbsp;","listText":"When people say no, you click yes.&nbsp;","text":"When people say no, you click yes.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9964982480","repostId":"2288596195","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2288596195","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1670024380,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2288596195?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-12-03 07:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Now Is NOT the Time to Buy NIO Stock","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2288596195","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"Nio (NIO) stock could remain under pressure to due China’s unpredictable Covid-19 policy.Despite Nio’s revenue growth, investors should observe the company’s widening earnings loss.Investors can choos","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li><b>Nio</b> (<b>NIO</b>) stock could remain under pressure to due China’s unpredictable Covid-19 policy.</li><li>Despite Nio’s revenue growth, investors should observe the company’s widening earnings loss.</li><li>Investors can choose to delay any purchases of NIO stock until conditions improve.</li></ul><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/14e2554adb7734c917635ae8dca2b6ba\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"432\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Source: Michael Vi / Shutterstock.com</p><p>Given the fact that <b>Nio</b> (NYSE:<b>NIO</b>) stock is down year-to-date, eager investors may be tempted to take a long position now. However, this is actually a time to exercise caution.</p><p>For one thing, China’s on-and-off zero-Covid policies could throw a wrench into the works. Besides, Nio’s financials are less than ideal, especially when it comes to the company’s profits (or lack thereof).</p><p>As a China-based electric vehicle (EV) company, Nio has to contend with multiple challenges. There’s the prospect of having to compete in a fierce EV market. Plus, Nio must deal with a government that’s not always business-friendly.</p><p>Regardless of where you’re located, if you’re invested in Nio, the company’s problems will become your problems. There may be a time to take a stake in Nio at some point in the future, but for the time being, a watch-and-wait strategy is entirely appropriate.</p><table border=\"1\"><tbody><tr><td><b>NIO</b></td><td><b>Nio</b></td><td>$12.09</td></tr></tbody></table><h2>What’s Happening with NIO Stock?</h2><p>NIO stock started 2022 at $33, but recently declined to just $12 and change. Bear in mind, just because a stock has a lower price, doesn’t necessarily mean it’s a good value.</p><p>It’s difficult to assign a proper value to a stock when there’s an unpredictable government. On Nov. 11, a number of U.S.-listed Chinese companies’ shares rallied because Beijing seemed to be easing some of China’s Covid-19 restrictions. Yet, the hope of a near-term full reopening in China wouldn’t last long.</p><p>Fast-forward to Nov. 22, and China is reporting 28,127 new domestically transmitted Covid-19 cases. This number was close to the nation’s daily peak from April.</p><p>The next thing you know, there are reports of cultural and entertainment venues closures and restricted use of some shopping malls and restaurants. This, clearly, is a challenging macro-level environment for Nio to work in.</p><h2>Nio’s Financial Are Problematic</h2><p>Meanwhile, some folks probably celebrated Nio’s most recently reported quarterly financial results, but perhaps they shouldn’t. There’s good news in the data but also major issues.</p><p>It’s true that Nio increased its revenue 32.6% year over year during the third quarter of 2022. However, Nio also saw its gross margin shrink from 20.3% to 13.3% during that time.</p><p>Furthermore, Nio’s gross profit contracted 12.9% year over year, but that’s not even the worst part. Distressingly, Nio’s net earnings loss ballooned 392.1% year over year to the equivalent of $577.9 million in Q3 2022.</p><p>Now, we can start to see why NIO stock hasn’t regained its footing this year. Currently, there are too many holes in the bull thesis for investors to put their faith in Nio.</p><h2>What You Can Do Now</h2><p>This isn’t to suggest that Nio is a toxic business that’s about to go bankrupt. There may be an appropriate time to consider NIO stock in the future.</p><p>However, once again, let’s not confuse a low share price with a compelling value. The macro-level and company-specific conditions simply don’t favor an investment in Nio, so feel free to stay on the sidelines for now.</p></body></html>","source":"investorplace","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Now Is NOT the Time to Buy NIO Stock</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Now Is NOT the Time to Buy NIO Stock\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-03 07:39 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://investorplace.com/market360/2022/12/why-now-is-not-the-time-to-buy-nio-stock/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Nio (NIO) stock could remain under pressure to due China’s unpredictable Covid-19 policy.Despite Nio’s revenue growth, investors should observe the company’s widening earnings loss.Investors can ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/market360/2022/12/why-now-is-not-the-time-to-buy-nio-stock/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4526":"热门中概股","BK4574":"无人驾驶","NIO.SI":"蔚来","BK4505":"高瓴资本持仓","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4099":"汽车制造商","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","LU0320764599.SGD":"FTIF - Templeton China A Acc SGD","LU0052750758.USD":"富兰克林中国基金A Acc","EVS.SI":"MSCI China Electric Vehicles and Future Mobility ETF-NikkoAM","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","09866":"蔚来-SW","BK4531":"中概回港概念","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","NIO":"蔚来","BK4555":"新能源车","LU0708995583.HKD":"TEMPLETON CHINA \"A\" (HKD) ACC","BK4509":"腾讯概念"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/market360/2022/12/why-now-is-not-the-time-to-buy-nio-stock/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2288596195","content_text":"Nio (NIO) stock could remain under pressure to due China’s unpredictable Covid-19 policy.Despite Nio’s revenue growth, investors should observe the company’s widening earnings loss.Investors can choose to delay any purchases of NIO stock until conditions improve.Source: Michael Vi / Shutterstock.comGiven the fact that Nio (NYSE:NIO) stock is down year-to-date, eager investors may be tempted to take a long position now. However, this is actually a time to exercise caution.For one thing, China’s on-and-off zero-Covid policies could throw a wrench into the works. Besides, Nio’s financials are less than ideal, especially when it comes to the company’s profits (or lack thereof).As a China-based electric vehicle (EV) company, Nio has to contend with multiple challenges. There’s the prospect of having to compete in a fierce EV market. Plus, Nio must deal with a government that’s not always business-friendly.Regardless of where you’re located, if you’re invested in Nio, the company’s problems will become your problems. There may be a time to take a stake in Nio at some point in the future, but for the time being, a watch-and-wait strategy is entirely appropriate.NIONio$12.09What’s Happening with NIO Stock?NIO stock started 2022 at $33, but recently declined to just $12 and change. Bear in mind, just because a stock has a lower price, doesn’t necessarily mean it’s a good value.It’s difficult to assign a proper value to a stock when there’s an unpredictable government. On Nov. 11, a number of U.S.-listed Chinese companies’ shares rallied because Beijing seemed to be easing some of China’s Covid-19 restrictions. Yet, the hope of a near-term full reopening in China wouldn’t last long.Fast-forward to Nov. 22, and China is reporting 28,127 new domestically transmitted Covid-19 cases. This number was close to the nation’s daily peak from April.The next thing you know, there are reports of cultural and entertainment venues closures and restricted use of some shopping malls and restaurants. This, clearly, is a challenging macro-level environment for Nio to work in.Nio’s Financial Are ProblematicMeanwhile, some folks probably celebrated Nio’s most recently reported quarterly financial results, but perhaps they shouldn’t. There’s good news in the data but also major issues.It’s true that Nio increased its revenue 32.6% year over year during the third quarter of 2022. However, Nio also saw its gross margin shrink from 20.3% to 13.3% during that time.Furthermore, Nio’s gross profit contracted 12.9% year over year, but that’s not even the worst part. Distressingly, Nio’s net earnings loss ballooned 392.1% year over year to the equivalent of $577.9 million in Q3 2022.Now, we can start to see why NIO stock hasn’t regained its footing this year. Currently, there are too many holes in the bull thesis for investors to put their faith in Nio.What You Can Do NowThis isn’t to suggest that Nio is a toxic business that’s about to go bankrupt. There may be an appropriate time to consider NIO stock in the future.However, once again, let’s not confuse a low share price with a compelling value. The macro-level and company-specific conditions simply don’t favor an investment in Nio, so feel free to stay on the sidelines for now.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":82,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9983324466,"gmtCreate":1666157068055,"gmtModify":1676537715535,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576797853255359","authorIdStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"On&nbsp;","listText":"On&nbsp;","text":"On","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9983324466","repostId":"2276398140","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2276398140","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1666130431,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2276398140?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-19 06:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US STOCKS-Goldman, Lockheed Results Buoy Wall Street","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2276398140","media":"Reuters","summary":"(Reuters) - U.S. stocks closed higher for a second straight day on Tuesday as solid quarterly results from Goldman Sachs and Lockheed Martin lessened worries of a weak earnings season.Goldman Sachs Gr","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>(Reuters) - U.S. stocks closed higher for a second straight day on Tuesday as solid quarterly results from Goldman Sachs and Lockheed Martin lessened worries of a weak earnings season.</p><p>Goldman Sachs Group Inc gained 2.33% after reporting a smaller-than-expected drop in quarterly profit as a boost in net interest income cushioned the blow from a slowdown in investment banking.</p><p>The investment bank, which is reorganizing its business into three units, largely closed out earnings from major financial firms on a largely positive note, even though several lenders raised the loan loss provisions in anticipation of troubled times ahead.</p><p>Lockheed Martin shot up 8.69% after the weapons maker posted stronger-than-expected quarterly revenue and maintained its 2022 revenue view. The gains helped lift the S&amp;P industrials index as the best performing of the 11 major sectors.</p><p>&#34;The banks were good... we’ll see if some of the other ones, more of the consumer sensitive ones, can they pass through their cost increases, have they stopped passing them though, but yeah people are hoping for better,&#34; said Joe Saluzzi, co-manager of trading at Themis Trading in Chatham, New Jersey.</p><p>&#34;We need to see more of the earnings data, we need to see more of the data that will knock down inflation and then you can maybe get your rally going, until then I think everybody would say treat all rallies as suspect.&#34;</p><p>Analysts now expect quarterly earnings growth for S&amp;P 500 companies of just 2.8% from a year ago, much lower than an 11.1% increase expected at the start of July, according to Refinitiv data.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 337.98 points, or 1.12%, to 30,523.8, the S&amp;P 500 gained 42.03 points, or 1.14%, to 3,719.98 and the Nasdaq Composite added 96.60 points, or 0.9%, to 10,772.40.</p><p>Also providing a boost was a 4.31% rise in Salesforce Inc shares after a media report that activist investor Starboard Value LP has picked up stake in the enterprise software firm.</p><p>Stocks briefly pared gains late in the session after a report that Apple was cutting production of its iPhone 14 Plus just weeks after starting shipments, before shares of the tech giant recovered and ended the session up 0.94%.</p><p>Signs the U.S. Federal Reserve&#39;s aggressive rate hike path may be starting to crimp the labor market were beginning to appear. Microsoft Corp, was little changed after a report it was laying off under 1,000 employees this week, becoming the latest U.S. technology company to cut jobs or slow hiring amid a global economic slowdown.</p><p>The Fed&#39;s path has left many investors worried it could tilt the economy into a recession by making a policy mistake and raising rates too much. Fed officials have largely been in sync in comments about the need for the central bank to tamp down inflation.</p><p>A report said ratings agency Fitch has slashed U.S. growth forecasts for this year and next and was set to warn that the Fed&#39;s interest rate hikes and inflation will drive the economy into a 1990-style recession.</p><p>But economic data on Tuesday indicated the manufacturing sector remains on reasonable footing despite the Fed&#39;s efforts, although they appear to be sharply weighing on the housing market.</p><p>Netflix lost 1.73% ahead of its earnings report after the market close, with all eyes on the video-streaming company&#39;s subscriber growth, which is seen falling in the third quarter. But its shares surged 14.49% after the closing bell as it reversed subscriber declines.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 11.67 billion shares, compared with the 11.62 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p>Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 2.70-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.90-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 3 new 52-week highs and 2 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 80 new highs and 102 new lows.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US STOCKS-Goldman, Lockheed Results Buoy Wall Street</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS STOCKS-Goldman, Lockheed Results Buoy Wall Street\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-10-19 06:00</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>(Reuters) - U.S. stocks closed higher for a second straight day on Tuesday as solid quarterly results from Goldman Sachs and Lockheed Martin lessened worries of a weak earnings season.</p><p>Goldman Sachs Group Inc gained 2.33% after reporting a smaller-than-expected drop in quarterly profit as a boost in net interest income cushioned the blow from a slowdown in investment banking.</p><p>The investment bank, which is reorganizing its business into three units, largely closed out earnings from major financial firms on a largely positive note, even though several lenders raised the loan loss provisions in anticipation of troubled times ahead.</p><p>Lockheed Martin shot up 8.69% after the weapons maker posted stronger-than-expected quarterly revenue and maintained its 2022 revenue view. The gains helped lift the S&amp;P industrials index as the best performing of the 11 major sectors.</p><p>&#34;The banks were good... we’ll see if some of the other ones, more of the consumer sensitive ones, can they pass through their cost increases, have they stopped passing them though, but yeah people are hoping for better,&#34; said Joe Saluzzi, co-manager of trading at Themis Trading in Chatham, New Jersey.</p><p>&#34;We need to see more of the earnings data, we need to see more of the data that will knock down inflation and then you can maybe get your rally going, until then I think everybody would say treat all rallies as suspect.&#34;</p><p>Analysts now expect quarterly earnings growth for S&amp;P 500 companies of just 2.8% from a year ago, much lower than an 11.1% increase expected at the start of July, according to Refinitiv data.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 337.98 points, or 1.12%, to 30,523.8, the S&amp;P 500 gained 42.03 points, or 1.14%, to 3,719.98 and the Nasdaq Composite added 96.60 points, or 0.9%, to 10,772.40.</p><p>Also providing a boost was a 4.31% rise in Salesforce Inc shares after a media report that activist investor Starboard Value LP has picked up stake in the enterprise software firm.</p><p>Stocks briefly pared gains late in the session after a report that Apple was cutting production of its iPhone 14 Plus just weeks after starting shipments, before shares of the tech giant recovered and ended the session up 0.94%.</p><p>Signs the U.S. Federal Reserve&#39;s aggressive rate hike path may be starting to crimp the labor market were beginning to appear. Microsoft Corp, was little changed after a report it was laying off under 1,000 employees this week, becoming the latest U.S. technology company to cut jobs or slow hiring amid a global economic slowdown.</p><p>The Fed&#39;s path has left many investors worried it could tilt the economy into a recession by making a policy mistake and raising rates too much. Fed officials have largely been in sync in comments about the need for the central bank to tamp down inflation.</p><p>A report said ratings agency Fitch has slashed U.S. growth forecasts for this year and next and was set to warn that the Fed&#39;s interest rate hikes and inflation will drive the economy into a 1990-style recession.</p><p>But economic data on Tuesday indicated the manufacturing sector remains on reasonable footing despite the Fed&#39;s efforts, although they appear to be sharply weighing on the housing market.</p><p>Netflix lost 1.73% ahead of its earnings report after the market close, with all eyes on the video-streaming company&#39;s subscriber growth, which is seen falling in the third quarter. But its shares surged 14.49% after the closing bell as it reversed subscriber declines.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 11.67 billion shares, compared with the 11.62 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p>Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 2.70-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.90-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 3 new 52-week highs and 2 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 80 new highs and 102 new lows.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2276398140","content_text":"(Reuters) - U.S. stocks closed higher for a second straight day on Tuesday as solid quarterly results from Goldman Sachs and Lockheed Martin lessened worries of a weak earnings season.Goldman Sachs Group Inc gained 2.33% after reporting a smaller-than-expected drop in quarterly profit as a boost in net interest income cushioned the blow from a slowdown in investment banking.The investment bank, which is reorganizing its business into three units, largely closed out earnings from major financial firms on a largely positive note, even though several lenders raised the loan loss provisions in anticipation of troubled times ahead.Lockheed Martin shot up 8.69% after the weapons maker posted stronger-than-expected quarterly revenue and maintained its 2022 revenue view. The gains helped lift the S&P industrials index as the best performing of the 11 major sectors.\"The banks were good... we’ll see if some of the other ones, more of the consumer sensitive ones, can they pass through their cost increases, have they stopped passing them though, but yeah people are hoping for better,\" said Joe Saluzzi, co-manager of trading at Themis Trading in Chatham, New Jersey.\"We need to see more of the earnings data, we need to see more of the data that will knock down inflation and then you can maybe get your rally going, until then I think everybody would say treat all rallies as suspect.\"Analysts now expect quarterly earnings growth for S&P 500 companies of just 2.8% from a year ago, much lower than an 11.1% increase expected at the start of July, according to Refinitiv data.The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 337.98 points, or 1.12%, to 30,523.8, the S&P 500 gained 42.03 points, or 1.14%, to 3,719.98 and the Nasdaq Composite added 96.60 points, or 0.9%, to 10,772.40.Also providing a boost was a 4.31% rise in Salesforce Inc shares after a media report that activist investor Starboard Value LP has picked up stake in the enterprise software firm.Stocks briefly pared gains late in the session after a report that Apple was cutting production of its iPhone 14 Plus just weeks after starting shipments, before shares of the tech giant recovered and ended the session up 0.94%.Signs the U.S. Federal Reserve's aggressive rate hike path may be starting to crimp the labor market were beginning to appear. Microsoft Corp, was little changed after a report it was laying off under 1,000 employees this week, becoming the latest U.S. technology company to cut jobs or slow hiring amid a global economic slowdown.The Fed's path has left many investors worried it could tilt the economy into a recession by making a policy mistake and raising rates too much. Fed officials have largely been in sync in comments about the need for the central bank to tamp down inflation.A report said ratings agency Fitch has slashed U.S. growth forecasts for this year and next and was set to warn that the Fed's interest rate hikes and inflation will drive the economy into a 1990-style recession.But economic data on Tuesday indicated the manufacturing sector remains on reasonable footing despite the Fed's efforts, although they appear to be sharply weighing on the housing market.Netflix lost 1.73% ahead of its earnings report after the market close, with all eyes on the video-streaming company's subscriber growth, which is seen falling in the third quarter. But its shares surged 14.49% after the closing bell as it reversed subscriber declines.Volume on U.S. exchanges was 11.67 billion shares, compared with the 11.62 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 2.70-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.90-to-1 ratio favored advancers.The S&P 500 posted 3 new 52-week highs and 2 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 80 new highs and 102 new lows.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":191,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":126070586,"gmtCreate":1624540079945,"gmtModify":1703839751618,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576797853255359","authorIdStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good luck with that ???","listText":"Good luck with that ???","text":"Good luck with that ???","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/126070586","repostId":"1176854050","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1176854050","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624506221,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1176854050?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-24 11:43","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla: A Lesson In Humility","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1176854050","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Tesla shares have pulled well back in a months-long period of weakness.With earnings coming up, there looks to be a showdown of bulls and bears on the near-term horizon.I see Tesla's fundamentals - and valuation - as having improved massively in recent months, and I'm therefore still quite bullish.Finally, the elephant in the room is the descending triangle I noted above, and I’ve added some extra bars at the end of the chart to show what the resolution of the triangle might look like. We can se","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Tesla shares have pulled well back in a months-long period of weakness.</li>\n <li>With earnings coming up, there looks to be a showdown of bulls and bears on the near-term horizon.</li>\n <li>I see Tesla's fundamentals - and valuation - as having improved massively in recent months, and I'm therefore still quite bullish.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/16088600ba424779ab370711976bff68\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"397\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>AdrianHancu/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p>Sometimes in investing, our thesis, no matter how much we believe in it, doesn’t work. I’ve experienced that countless times personally, and I think pretty much everyone who tries their hand at growing capital through the financial markets does as well. The important thing is not to fall in love with a stock and let it destroy your portfolio, and in the case of EV mothership<b>Tesla</b>(TSLA), I certainly had my fair share of practice at letting go of a failed thesis recently.</p>\n<p>Back inearly April, I said it was time to buy Tesla based upon its fairly reliable history of running higher into earnings announcements. The stock was at $691 at the time and did move higher in the next couple of weeks, but as we can see from the below, the move didn’t stick. That caused me to rethink my position in the short-term with Tesla, and now that we are four weeks out from the next earnings report, we have a different situation on our hands.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/54fd49361e0720105b3d38a4c4c88fa1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"615\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: StockCharts</span></p>\n<p>I’ve annotated several things on the daily chart because the situation is quite interesting for Tesla during this critical period leading up to the next earnings release. The first thing I’ll note is that the accumulation/distribution line remains very strong, having never wavered from its prior levels achieved during the massive rally that took place mostly in 2020. That’s a good sign because the bulls and bears remain roughly equally matched despite a share price that has given the bulls every reason to move on.</p>\n<p>Momentum is more of a mixed picture because the PPO and 14-day RSI are both showing some signs of positive divergence, but also signs that bullish momentum is nowhere near high enough to push the stock into another rally phase. On the divergence side, momentum is gradually moving higher while the share price bounces around, indicating that the worst of the selling is likely done, but that we’re in a digestion period. The 14-day RSI hasn’t yet crested the centerline in earnest, which again means that bullish momentum is fairly weak.</p>\n<p>Overall, I’d say momentum is showing what you might expect at this stage, which is that the selling pressure has abated, but we’re not in rally mode. Yet.</p>\n<p>Finally, the elephant in the room is the descending triangle I noted above, and I’ve added some extra bars at the end of the chart to show what the resolution of the triangle might look like. We can see at the current slope of the line that the triangle will likely resolve near the end of July, which just so happens to coincide with the earnings release. This is a bearish pattern so I don’t want to make everything seem like sunshine and lollipops, but the rest of the chart is mixed, so we’ll have to wait and see.</p>\n<p>The earnings report, in my view, is going to be the catalyst one way or the other for the breakout from the triangle. Which direction it will go is anyone’s guess, but I’d be ready for a wild reaction to the earnings release in July.</p>\n<p>If we look at a weekly chart, I see a much rosier picture.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ef4525c330221c7768acc84c336cd8ef\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"615\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: StockCharts</span></p>\n<p>We can see that the stock ran up massively in 2020 and took with it the accumulation/distribution line, as well as the momentum indicators, as you’d expect. But since the selling began, we see signs that the stock has simply worked off its overbought conditions, which looks bullish to me.</p>\n<p>The 50-week moving average has served as support during this consolidation phase, and it currently stands at $575, so I’d watch that level if we see more selling. On the plus side, the accumulation/distribution line looks beautiful and again, is supportive of this selling being a digestion period rather than the end of the bull market for Tesla.</p>\n<p>Momentum would seem to support that as well, as the PPO and 14-week RSI are back at centerline support. What happens after this is critical, obviously, but the weekly chart doesn’t show Tesla as breaking down on a longer-term basis. The negative divergences we saw since 2020 began have given way to momentum resetting, which often happens before a new bull phase begins. With the earnings report looming in July, and the daily and weekly charts showing different pictures (at least to my eye), it’s going to be an interesting next four weeks for sure.</p>\n<p><b>Fundamentals still bullish</b></p>\n<p>I’d sum up the chart as having a short-term set of challenges for the bulls, but longer-term, I still see Tesla going higher. On a fundamental basis, I think the conclusion is decidedly more bullish. Let’s start with revenue revisions, which have been nothing short of terrific.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7297a6360a43284ab70d4caf12d206f3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"282\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Seeking Alpha</span></p>\n<p>All years are showing uptrends in revenue revisions, and in particular, the out years. Let us not forget that these positive revisions are occurring during a time when countless startups and internal combustion engine OGs like GM (GM), Ford (F) and Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY) are investing tens of billions of dollars to take market share in EVs. None of this is new and it isn’t like the analyst community is surprised by these investments; Tesla is simply on a tremendous upward trajectory when it comes to growing revenue.</p>\n<p>Canaccordpointed out last week that the Model S Plaid Plus delay was likely due to the 4680 cell design not being ready for prime time. That very well could be the case, and it wouldn’t be the first time Tesla disappointed with a time frame it gave investors. Remember therobo-taxi claim?</p>\n<p>At any rate, the company’s lineup continues to resonate with customers and now that capacity constraints should lessen greatly over the coming years – new factories in a few parts of the world will help – the path of least resistance for Tesla is no doubt higher. This will only get better as Tesla can decrease the per-unit cost of things like the batteries so it can better compete with mainstream automakers on price, and become a mainstream automaker rather than a niche manufacturer for the well-heeled.</p>\n<p>Another thing scale is affording Tesla is monumental progress with profit margins. Below we have trailing-twelve-months gross margins, SG&amp;A costs, and EBIT margin as a percentage of revenue.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9effb44d7bda8f3bdb535e80dd1ac0f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"168\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: TIKR.com</span></p>\n<p>All three of these lines are moving in the right direction. Gross margins have been rising thanks to higher sales and production volumes, a trend that should continue so long as sales remain robust. In addition, Tesla is spending much less on an SG&amp;A basis than it used to, which again, is the product of higher sales volume. SG&amp;A used to be in the mid-20% range of revenue, which is unsustainable. Today, it’s only 10%, which means operating margins have gone quite positive, and with room to run in the future.</p>\n<p>Margins have always been an easy thing for the bears to point to, but that is simply no longer the case, and if you have a long holding period, the margin situation is going to work out in the bulls’ favor.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6401d5cd793a93d0ed6d36f911abdb15\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"283\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Seeking Alpha</span></p>\n<p>This is all pointing to ever-higher EPS estimates, as we can see above. Analysts continue to try and keep up with Tesla’s upward trajectory, and so long as sales volumes and margins continue their march higher, so will these lines. Again, this is a feather in the cap of the bulls.</p>\n<p><b>Other considerations</b></p>\n<p>Tesla is not for the faint of heart, because it is volatile and we are at a point in the history of the automobile that an EV gold rush of sorts is occurring. Everyone is investing to win once the internal combustion engine is gone, but Tesla has a massive head start on the competition.</p>\n<p>Even so, there are risks to consider. First, Tesla could lose its technology lead over time as legacy manufacturers throw tens of billions of dollars at R&amp;D on battery technology. Tesla is far and away the superior battery maker today, but that does not guarantee it stays that way. To be clear, I don’t see that as a viable outcome in the near-term, but ten years from now? Twenty? It's a risk.</p>\n<p>Another risk is that Tesla uses its stock as a piggy bank, issuing shares to fund R&amp;D, factory construction, and the like.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8f44f661051d87ad3f2906cabe5479d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"165\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: TIKR.com</span></p>\n<p>The share count has nearly doubled in the past decade, which is pretty ugly from a shareholders’ perspective, as we usually only see this kind of dilution with REITs or BDCs that issue equity capital as a normal course of business. Manufacturing stocks don’t generally do anything like this, but Tesla has made it work. Still, you have to imagine it is possible that over a decade holding period, you’ll be diluted out of half of your ownership in the company. This also creates an uphill battle for EPS as earnings are spread over more and more shares, so I want to be clear this is an unequivocal negative for shareholders. However, let me now point you to what could possibly be the saving grace for this perma-dilution; free cash flow.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0569f35589cc0f82bb006148271df19b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"170\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: TIKR.com</span></p>\n<p>Tesla’s trailing-twelve-months FCF has improved immensely in recent years, as the company is producing massive amounts of operating cash flow that it never did before, which is owed once again to sales volume and margin growth. Tesla has surpassed the point where it needs to constantly issue capital just to survive because it is creating its own through its operations. This is massively important for the bull case because it means the dilution we’ve seen in recent years<i>shouldn’t</i>be necessary any longer.</p>\n<p>Indeed, if we look at net debt, we can see just how much Tesla’s balance sheet has improved, which again supports not having to dilute shareholders to stay afloat.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/49fa413fc33c85d7269e987b2c11c888\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"169\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: TIKR.com</span></p>\n<p>Net debt has turned into a net cash position of late, with Tesla having nearly $5 billion in cash and equivalents more than debt. Tesla’s financing situation has improved enormously, and that’s good for those of us that are bullish.</p>\n<p><b>Is it cheap?</b></p>\n<p>Not really. But then again revolutionary companies rarely are. The good news is that the price-to-sales ratio has halved since the peak earlier this year, but at 11x forward revenue, I cannot in good conscience call it cheap.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca2d9f38636872d9d508e096e9ac8af8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"189\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: TIKR.com</span></p>\n<p>However, it is a lot cheaper than it was, and withrevenueslated to rise by more than half this year, and then<i>double</i>again by 2024, you don’t need the multiple to rise for a bullish outlook.</p>\n<p>I’ll reiterate that there are risks to Tesla. The daily chart is leaning slightly bearish with that descending triangle, but we’re heading into the pre-earnings run-up that Tesla<i>usually</i>shines during. The weekly chart is showing signs of digestion rather than rolling over. There are competitive risks that aren’t new and will never go way, but the company is still building great EVs that are resonating with customers. Margins and FCF are booming comparatively speaking, and the stock is at roughly half the valuation it was a few months ago.</p>\n<p>All in all, Tesla almost certainly has a rocky road in front of it, but I’m still bullish given the weight of the evidence.</p>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla: A Lesson In Humility</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla: A Lesson In Humility\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-24 11:43 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4436295-tesla-a-lesson-in-humility><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nTesla shares have pulled well back in a months-long period of weakness.\nWith earnings coming up, there looks to be a showdown of bulls and bears on the near-term horizon.\nI see Tesla's ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4436295-tesla-a-lesson-in-humility\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4436295-tesla-a-lesson-in-humility","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1176854050","content_text":"Summary\n\nTesla shares have pulled well back in a months-long period of weakness.\nWith earnings coming up, there looks to be a showdown of bulls and bears on the near-term horizon.\nI see Tesla's fundamentals - and valuation - as having improved massively in recent months, and I'm therefore still quite bullish.\n\nAdrianHancu/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nSometimes in investing, our thesis, no matter how much we believe in it, doesn’t work. I’ve experienced that countless times personally, and I think pretty much everyone who tries their hand at growing capital through the financial markets does as well. The important thing is not to fall in love with a stock and let it destroy your portfolio, and in the case of EV mothershipTesla(TSLA), I certainly had my fair share of practice at letting go of a failed thesis recently.\nBack inearly April, I said it was time to buy Tesla based upon its fairly reliable history of running higher into earnings announcements. The stock was at $691 at the time and did move higher in the next couple of weeks, but as we can see from the below, the move didn’t stick. That caused me to rethink my position in the short-term with Tesla, and now that we are four weeks out from the next earnings report, we have a different situation on our hands.\nSource: StockCharts\nI’ve annotated several things on the daily chart because the situation is quite interesting for Tesla during this critical period leading up to the next earnings release. The first thing I’ll note is that the accumulation/distribution line remains very strong, having never wavered from its prior levels achieved during the massive rally that took place mostly in 2020. That’s a good sign because the bulls and bears remain roughly equally matched despite a share price that has given the bulls every reason to move on.\nMomentum is more of a mixed picture because the PPO and 14-day RSI are both showing some signs of positive divergence, but also signs that bullish momentum is nowhere near high enough to push the stock into another rally phase. On the divergence side, momentum is gradually moving higher while the share price bounces around, indicating that the worst of the selling is likely done, but that we’re in a digestion period. The 14-day RSI hasn’t yet crested the centerline in earnest, which again means that bullish momentum is fairly weak.\nOverall, I’d say momentum is showing what you might expect at this stage, which is that the selling pressure has abated, but we’re not in rally mode. Yet.\nFinally, the elephant in the room is the descending triangle I noted above, and I’ve added some extra bars at the end of the chart to show what the resolution of the triangle might look like. We can see at the current slope of the line that the triangle will likely resolve near the end of July, which just so happens to coincide with the earnings release. This is a bearish pattern so I don’t want to make everything seem like sunshine and lollipops, but the rest of the chart is mixed, so we’ll have to wait and see.\nThe earnings report, in my view, is going to be the catalyst one way or the other for the breakout from the triangle. Which direction it will go is anyone’s guess, but I’d be ready for a wild reaction to the earnings release in July.\nIf we look at a weekly chart, I see a much rosier picture.\nSource: StockCharts\nWe can see that the stock ran up massively in 2020 and took with it the accumulation/distribution line, as well as the momentum indicators, as you’d expect. But since the selling began, we see signs that the stock has simply worked off its overbought conditions, which looks bullish to me.\nThe 50-week moving average has served as support during this consolidation phase, and it currently stands at $575, so I’d watch that level if we see more selling. On the plus side, the accumulation/distribution line looks beautiful and again, is supportive of this selling being a digestion period rather than the end of the bull market for Tesla.\nMomentum would seem to support that as well, as the PPO and 14-week RSI are back at centerline support. What happens after this is critical, obviously, but the weekly chart doesn’t show Tesla as breaking down on a longer-term basis. The negative divergences we saw since 2020 began have given way to momentum resetting, which often happens before a new bull phase begins. With the earnings report looming in July, and the daily and weekly charts showing different pictures (at least to my eye), it’s going to be an interesting next four weeks for sure.\nFundamentals still bullish\nI’d sum up the chart as having a short-term set of challenges for the bulls, but longer-term, I still see Tesla going higher. On a fundamental basis, I think the conclusion is decidedly more bullish. Let’s start with revenue revisions, which have been nothing short of terrific.\nSource:Seeking Alpha\nAll years are showing uptrends in revenue revisions, and in particular, the out years. Let us not forget that these positive revisions are occurring during a time when countless startups and internal combustion engine OGs like GM (GM), Ford (F) and Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY) are investing tens of billions of dollars to take market share in EVs. None of this is new and it isn’t like the analyst community is surprised by these investments; Tesla is simply on a tremendous upward trajectory when it comes to growing revenue.\nCanaccordpointed out last week that the Model S Plaid Plus delay was likely due to the 4680 cell design not being ready for prime time. That very well could be the case, and it wouldn’t be the first time Tesla disappointed with a time frame it gave investors. Remember therobo-taxi claim?\nAt any rate, the company’s lineup continues to resonate with customers and now that capacity constraints should lessen greatly over the coming years – new factories in a few parts of the world will help – the path of least resistance for Tesla is no doubt higher. This will only get better as Tesla can decrease the per-unit cost of things like the batteries so it can better compete with mainstream automakers on price, and become a mainstream automaker rather than a niche manufacturer for the well-heeled.\nAnother thing scale is affording Tesla is monumental progress with profit margins. Below we have trailing-twelve-months gross margins, SG&A costs, and EBIT margin as a percentage of revenue.\nSource: TIKR.com\nAll three of these lines are moving in the right direction. Gross margins have been rising thanks to higher sales and production volumes, a trend that should continue so long as sales remain robust. In addition, Tesla is spending much less on an SG&A basis than it used to, which again, is the product of higher sales volume. SG&A used to be in the mid-20% range of revenue, which is unsustainable. Today, it’s only 10%, which means operating margins have gone quite positive, and with room to run in the future.\nMargins have always been an easy thing for the bears to point to, but that is simply no longer the case, and if you have a long holding period, the margin situation is going to work out in the bulls’ favor.\nSource:Seeking Alpha\nThis is all pointing to ever-higher EPS estimates, as we can see above. Analysts continue to try and keep up with Tesla’s upward trajectory, and so long as sales volumes and margins continue their march higher, so will these lines. Again, this is a feather in the cap of the bulls.\nOther considerations\nTesla is not for the faint of heart, because it is volatile and we are at a point in the history of the automobile that an EV gold rush of sorts is occurring. Everyone is investing to win once the internal combustion engine is gone, but Tesla has a massive head start on the competition.\nEven so, there are risks to consider. First, Tesla could lose its technology lead over time as legacy manufacturers throw tens of billions of dollars at R&D on battery technology. Tesla is far and away the superior battery maker today, but that does not guarantee it stays that way. To be clear, I don’t see that as a viable outcome in the near-term, but ten years from now? Twenty? It's a risk.\nAnother risk is that Tesla uses its stock as a piggy bank, issuing shares to fund R&D, factory construction, and the like.\nSource: TIKR.com\nThe share count has nearly doubled in the past decade, which is pretty ugly from a shareholders’ perspective, as we usually only see this kind of dilution with REITs or BDCs that issue equity capital as a normal course of business. Manufacturing stocks don’t generally do anything like this, but Tesla has made it work. Still, you have to imagine it is possible that over a decade holding period, you’ll be diluted out of half of your ownership in the company. This also creates an uphill battle for EPS as earnings are spread over more and more shares, so I want to be clear this is an unequivocal negative for shareholders. However, let me now point you to what could possibly be the saving grace for this perma-dilution; free cash flow.\nSource: TIKR.com\nTesla’s trailing-twelve-months FCF has improved immensely in recent years, as the company is producing massive amounts of operating cash flow that it never did before, which is owed once again to sales volume and margin growth. Tesla has surpassed the point where it needs to constantly issue capital just to survive because it is creating its own through its operations. This is massively important for the bull case because it means the dilution we’ve seen in recent yearsshouldn’tbe necessary any longer.\nIndeed, if we look at net debt, we can see just how much Tesla’s balance sheet has improved, which again supports not having to dilute shareholders to stay afloat.\nSource: TIKR.com\nNet debt has turned into a net cash position of late, with Tesla having nearly $5 billion in cash and equivalents more than debt. Tesla’s financing situation has improved enormously, and that’s good for those of us that are bullish.\nIs it cheap?\nNot really. But then again revolutionary companies rarely are. The good news is that the price-to-sales ratio has halved since the peak earlier this year, but at 11x forward revenue, I cannot in good conscience call it cheap.\nSource: TIKR.com\nHowever, it is a lot cheaper than it was, and withrevenueslated to rise by more than half this year, and thendoubleagain by 2024, you don’t need the multiple to rise for a bullish outlook.\nI’ll reiterate that there are risks to Tesla. The daily chart is leaning slightly bearish with that descending triangle, but we’re heading into the pre-earnings run-up that Teslausuallyshines during. The weekly chart is showing signs of digestion rather than rolling over. There are competitive risks that aren’t new and will never go way, but the company is still building great EVs that are resonating with customers. Margins and FCF are booming comparatively speaking, and the stock is at roughly half the valuation it was a few months ago.\nAll in all, Tesla almost certainly has a rocky road in front of it, but I’m still bullish given the weight of the evidence.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":92,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}