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witchmania

witchmania

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2021-08-11

Wanne buyyy but so hard to buy in. ?

2021-07-15

when's the dividend coming againnn?

2021-07-15

actually my thoughts too! But I didnt hold much. Now it's a bit too step i feel.

@sexymint:$PROPNEX LIMITED(OYY.SI)$this counter will be the next iFast.$IFAST CORPORATION LTD.(AIY.SI)$

2021-06-15

$Aztech Gbl(8AZ.SI)$ wonder if the fall was it because it is nearer to dividend payment date? ?

2021-06-11

wonder what's people take for the stock?

2021-05-26

thoughts on this anybody?

2021-05-16

jus wondering if holder out there are choosing dividend in the form or shares or cash. If shares, why?! ??

2021-05-14

What are your take?

2021-04-14

foods for thoughts

2021-04-08

Anyone can share of the impact with the spin off?

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2021-04-08

Any thoughts on this?

2021-04-08

thoughts?

2021-04-06

???

Opinion: Financial crises get triggered about every 10 years — Archegos might be right on time

2021-04-05

worth a read

The 5 Worst Reasons to Buy AMC Entertainment Stock

2021-04-04

Technology stocks

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2021-04-04

Great ariticle, would you like to share it?

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2021-04-03

is it something that can be consider? hmmm

2021-04-03

Is crash and correction the same meaning in the article?

How Likely Is a Stock Market Crash?

2021-04-01

???

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2021-04-01

A kind of investing one can look into, because it's really value adding

Sorry, the original content has been removed

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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But I didnt hold much. Now it's a bit too step i feel.&nbsp;","listText":"actually my thoughts too! But I didnt hold much. Now it's a bit too step i feel.&nbsp;","text":"actually my thoughts too! But I didnt hold much. Now it's a bit too step i feel.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/144443357","repostId":"144858315","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":144858315,"gmtCreate":1626276312837,"gmtModify":1703757018498,"author":{"id":"3561164848573536","authorId":"3561164848573536","name":"sexymint","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a54ee2b9637460582a780737f4e76f73","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OYY.SI\">$PROPNEX LIMITED(OYY.SI)$</a>this counter will be the next iFast.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AIY.SI\">$IFAST CORPORATION LTD.(AIY.SI)$</a>","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OYY.SI\">$PROPNEX LIMITED(OYY.SI)$</a>this counter will be the next iFast.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AIY.SI\">$IFAST CORPORATION LTD.(AIY.SI)$</a>","text":"$PROPNEX LIMITED(OYY.SI)$this counter will be the next iFast.$IFAST CORPORATION LTD.(AIY.SI)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/144858315","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":233,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187957836,"gmtCreate":1623736860625,"gmtModify":1704210001022,"author":{"id":"3579134724593969","authorId":"3579134724593969","name":"witchmania","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/56e8b4d72db625533b44db034eeff089","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/8AZ.SI\">$Aztech Gbl(8AZ.SI)$</a>&nbsp;wonder if the fall was it because it is nearer to dividend payment date? ?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/8AZ.SI\">$Aztech Gbl(8AZ.SI)$</a>&nbsp;wonder if the fall was it because it is nearer to dividend payment date? ?","text":"$Aztech Gbl(8AZ.SI)$ wonder if the fall was it because it is nearer to dividend payment date? ?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/187957836","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":570,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":188351174,"gmtCreate":1623422328698,"gmtModify":1704203331405,"author":{"id":"3579134724593969","authorId":"3579134724593969","name":"witchmania","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/56e8b4d72db625533b44db034eeff089","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"wonder what's people take for the stock?&nbsp;","listText":"wonder what's people take for the stock?&nbsp;","text":"wonder what's people take for the stock?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ba3007f6ac74ea082898be3d0c8000a","width":"1080","height":"2529"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/188351174","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":38,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":136247727,"gmtCreate":1622024052569,"gmtModify":1704366274480,"author":{"id":"3579134724593969","authorId":"3579134724593969","name":"witchmania","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/56e8b4d72db625533b44db034eeff089","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"thoughts on this anybody?&nbsp;","listText":"thoughts on this anybody?&nbsp;","text":"thoughts on this anybody?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9cb9b1e3967309232eef8224dc65354a","width":"1080","height":"2529"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/136247727","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":166,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":192895719,"gmtCreate":1621173487231,"gmtModify":1704353611336,"author":{"id":"3579134724593969","authorId":"3579134724593969","name":"witchmania","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/56e8b4d72db625533b44db034eeff089","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"jus wondering if holder out there are choosing dividend in the form or shares or cash. If shares, why?! ??","listText":"jus wondering if holder out there are choosing dividend in the form or shares or cash. If shares, why?! ??","text":"jus wondering if holder out there are choosing dividend in the form or shares or cash. If shares, why?! ??","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ddcf11410f8500aeb08f995ed5267c43","width":"1080","height":"2529"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/192895719","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":443,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":198289654,"gmtCreate":1620961302778,"gmtModify":1704351194066,"author":{"id":"3579134724593969","authorId":"3579134724593969","name":"witchmania","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/56e8b4d72db625533b44db034eeff089","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"What are your take?&nbsp;","listText":"What are your take?&nbsp;","text":"What are your take?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/110aae7240e7833cf8cdf7fe113c5284","width":"1080","height":"2529"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/198289654","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":184,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":344500667,"gmtCreate":1618412821359,"gmtModify":1704710516096,"author":{"id":"3579134724593969","authorId":"3579134724593969","name":"witchmania","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/56e8b4d72db625533b44db034eeff089","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"foods for thoughts&nbsp;","listText":"foods for thoughts&nbsp;","text":"foods for thoughts","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a93a246bcd2c1785b485ae87d3db159d","width":"1080","height":"2529"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/344500667","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":297,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":341272001,"gmtCreate":1617837587203,"gmtModify":1704703672428,"author":{"id":"3579134724593969","authorId":"3579134724593969","name":"witchmania","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/56e8b4d72db625533b44db034eeff089","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Anyone can share of the impact with the spin off?&nbsp;","listText":"Anyone can share of the impact with the spin off?&nbsp;","text":"Anyone can share of the impact with the spin off?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/341272001","repostId":"2124758025","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":227,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":341278090,"gmtCreate":1617837414710,"gmtModify":1704703669312,"author":{"id":"3579134724593969","authorId":"3579134724593969","name":"witchmania","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/56e8b4d72db625533b44db034eeff089","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Any thoughts on this?&nbsp;","listText":"Any thoughts on this?&nbsp;","text":"Any thoughts on this?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/38e7810b6d2db664c44100487148e4e6","width":"1080","height":"1822"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/341278090","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":184,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":341644136,"gmtCreate":1617811849225,"gmtModify":1704703528380,"author":{"id":"3579134724593969","authorId":"3579134724593969","name":"witchmania","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/56e8b4d72db625533b44db034eeff089","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"thoughts?&nbsp;","listText":"thoughts?&nbsp;","text":"thoughts?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a7affa30c3d5c8df375e0895128a1ff0","width":"1080","height":"1822"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/341644136","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":153,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":343604860,"gmtCreate":1617709887750,"gmtModify":1704702047095,"author":{"id":"3579134724593969","authorId":"3579134724593969","name":"witchmania","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/56e8b4d72db625533b44db034eeff089","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"???","listText":"???","text":"???","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/343604860","repostId":"1101907559","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1101907559","pubTimestamp":1617672655,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1101907559?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-06 09:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Opinion: Financial crises get triggered about every 10 years — Archegos might be right on time","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1101907559","media":"marketwatch","summary":"No one, for now, can say for sure that the so-called family office’s billions in investment losses won’t spread.Financial crises are never quite the same. During the late 1980s, nearly a third of the nation’s savings and loan associations failed, ending with a taxpayer bailout — in 2021 terms — of about $265 billion.In 1997-1998, financial crises in Asia and Russia led to the near meltdown of the largest hedge fund in the U.S. —Long-Term Capital Management. Its reach and operating practices were","content":"<blockquote>\n <b>No one, for now, can say for sure that the so-called family office’s billions in investment losses won’t spread.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>Financial crises are never quite the same. During the late 1980s, nearly a third of the nation’s savings and loan associations failed, ending with a taxpayer bailout — in 2021 terms — of about $265 billion.</p>\n<p>In 1997-1998, financial crises in Asia and Russia led to the near meltdown of the largest hedge fund in the U.S. —Long-Term Capital Management(LTCM). Its reach and operating practices were such that Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan said that when LTCM failed, “he had never seen anything in his lifetime that compared to the terror” he felt. LTCM was deemed “too big to fail,” and he engineered a bailout by 14 major U.S. financial institutions.</p>\n<p>Exactly a decade later, too much leverage by some of those very institutions, and the bursting of a U.S. real estate bubble, led to the near collapse of the U.S. financial system. Once again, big banks were deemed too big to fail and taxpayers came to the rescue.</p>\n<p>The trend? Every 10 years or so, and they all look different.&nbsp;Are we in the early stages of a new crisis now, with the blowup at the family office Archegos Capital Management LP?</p>\n<p>A family office, for the uninitiated, is a private wealth management vehicle for the ultra-wealthy. Here’s what I mean by ultra-wealthy: Consulting firm EY estimates there are some 10,000 family offices globally, but manage, says a separate estimate by market research firm Campden Research, nearly $6 trillion. That $6 trillion is likely far higher now given that it’s based on 2019 data.</p>\n<p><b>Unregulated money managers</b></p>\n<p>Here’s the potential danger. Family offices generally aren’t regulated. The 1940 Investment Advisers Act says firms with 15 clients or fewer don’t have to register with the Securities and Exchange Commission. What this means is that trillions of dollars are in play and no one can really say who’s running the money, what it’s invested in, how much leverage is being used, and what kind of counterparty risk may exist. (Counterparty risk is the probability that one party involved in a financial transaction could default on a contractual obligation to someone else.)</p>\n<p>This appears to be the case with Archegos. The firm bet heavily on certain Chinese stocks, including e-commerce player&nbsp;Vipshop Holdings&nbsp;Ltd.VIPS,-1.19%,U.S.-listed Chinese tutoring company&nbsp;GSX Techedu&nbsp;Inc.GSX,-10.63%and U.S. media companiesViacomCBS&nbsp;Inc.VIAC,-3.90%and&nbsp;Discovery&nbsp;Inc.DISCA,-3.86%,among others. Share prices have tumbled lately, sparking large sales — some $30 billion — by Archegos.</p>\n<p>The problem is that only about a third of that, or $10 billion, was its own money. We now know that Archegos worked with some of the biggest names on Wall Street, including&nbsp;Credit Suisse Group AGCS,+1.59%,UBS Group AGUBS,+1.01%,Goldman Sachs Group Inc.GS,-1.25%,&nbsp;Morgan StanleyMS,-0.28%,Deutsche Bank AGDB,+0.74%and Nomura Holdings Inc.&nbsp;NMR,+1.87%.</p>\n<p>But since family offices are largely allowed to operate unregulated, who’s to say how much money is really involved here and what the extent of market risk is? My colleague Mark DeCambre&nbsp;reported last week that Archegos’ true exposures to bad trades could actuallybe closer to $100 billion.</p>\n<p><b>Danger of counterparty risk</b></p>\n<p>This is where counterparty risk comes in. As Archegos’ bets went south, the above banks — looking at losses of their own — hit the firm with margin calls. Deutsche quickly dumped about $4 billion in holdings, while Goldman and Morgan Stanley are also said to have unwound their positions, perhaps limiting their downside.</p>\n<p>So is this a financial crisis? It doesn’t appear to be. Even so, the Securities and Exchange Commission has opened a preliminary investigation into Archegos and its founder, Bill Hwang.</p>\n<p>One peer, Tom Lee, the research chief of Fundstrat Global Advisors, calls Hwang one of the “top 10 of the best investment minds” he knows.</p>\n<p>But federal regulators may have a lesser opinion. In 2012, Hwang’s former hedge fund, Tiger Asia Management, pleaded guilty and paid more than $60 million in penalties after it was accused of trading on illegal tips about Chinese banks. The SEC banned Hwang from managing money on behalf of clients — essentially booting him from the hedge fund industry. So Hwang opened Archegos, and again, family offices aren’t generally aren’t regulated.</p>\n<p><b>Yellen on the case</b></p>\n<p>This issue is on Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen’s radar. She said last week that greater oversight of these private corners of the financial industry is needed. The Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), which she oversees, has revived a task force to help agencies better “share data, identify risks and work to strengthen our financial system.”</p>\n<p>Most financial crises end up with American taxpayers getting stuck with the tab. Gains belong to the risk-takers. But losses — they belong to us. To paraphrase Abe Lincoln, family offices — a multi-trillion dollar industry largely allowed to operate in the shadows in a global financial system that is more intertwined than ever — are of the super-wealthy, by the super-wealthy and for the super-wealthy. And no one else.</p>\n<p>The Archegos collapse may or may not be the beginning of yet another financial crisis. But who’s to say what thousands of other family offices are doing with their trillions, and whether similar problems could blow up?</p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Opinion: Financial crises get triggered about every 10 years — Archegos might be right on time</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOpinion: Financial crises get triggered about every 10 years — Archegos might be right on time\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-04-06 09:30 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/financial-crises-happen-about-every-10-years-which-makes-the-archegos-meltdown-unnerving-11617634942?mod=home-page><strong>marketwatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>No one, for now, can say for sure that the so-called family office’s billions in investment losses won’t spread.\n\nFinancial crises are never quite the same. During the late 1980s, nearly a third of ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/financial-crises-happen-about-every-10-years-which-makes-the-archegos-meltdown-unnerving-11617634942?mod=home-page\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/financial-crises-happen-about-every-10-years-which-makes-the-archegos-meltdown-unnerving-11617634942?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1101907559","content_text":"No one, for now, can say for sure that the so-called family office’s billions in investment losses won’t spread.\n\nFinancial crises are never quite the same. During the late 1980s, nearly a third of the nation’s savings and loan associations failed, ending with a taxpayer bailout — in 2021 terms — of about $265 billion.\nIn 1997-1998, financial crises in Asia and Russia led to the near meltdown of the largest hedge fund in the U.S. —Long-Term Capital Management(LTCM). Its reach and operating practices were such that Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan said that when LTCM failed, “he had never seen anything in his lifetime that compared to the terror” he felt. LTCM was deemed “too big to fail,” and he engineered a bailout by 14 major U.S. financial institutions.\nExactly a decade later, too much leverage by some of those very institutions, and the bursting of a U.S. real estate bubble, led to the near collapse of the U.S. financial system. Once again, big banks were deemed too big to fail and taxpayers came to the rescue.\nThe trend? Every 10 years or so, and they all look different. Are we in the early stages of a new crisis now, with the blowup at the family office Archegos Capital Management LP?\nA family office, for the uninitiated, is a private wealth management vehicle for the ultra-wealthy. Here’s what I mean by ultra-wealthy: Consulting firm EY estimates there are some 10,000 family offices globally, but manage, says a separate estimate by market research firm Campden Research, nearly $6 trillion. That $6 trillion is likely far higher now given that it’s based on 2019 data.\nUnregulated money managers\nHere’s the potential danger. Family offices generally aren’t regulated. The 1940 Investment Advisers Act says firms with 15 clients or fewer don’t have to register with the Securities and Exchange Commission. What this means is that trillions of dollars are in play and no one can really say who’s running the money, what it’s invested in, how much leverage is being used, and what kind of counterparty risk may exist. (Counterparty risk is the probability that one party involved in a financial transaction could default on a contractual obligation to someone else.)\nThis appears to be the case with Archegos. The firm bet heavily on certain Chinese stocks, including e-commerce player Vipshop Holdings Ltd.VIPS,-1.19%,U.S.-listed Chinese tutoring company GSX Techedu Inc.GSX,-10.63%and U.S. media companiesViacomCBS Inc.VIAC,-3.90%and Discovery Inc.DISCA,-3.86%,among others. Share prices have tumbled lately, sparking large sales — some $30 billion — by Archegos.\nThe problem is that only about a third of that, or $10 billion, was its own money. We now know that Archegos worked with some of the biggest names on Wall Street, including Credit Suisse Group AGCS,+1.59%,UBS Group AGUBS,+1.01%,Goldman Sachs Group Inc.GS,-1.25%, Morgan StanleyMS,-0.28%,Deutsche Bank AGDB,+0.74%and Nomura Holdings Inc. NMR,+1.87%.\nBut since family offices are largely allowed to operate unregulated, who’s to say how much money is really involved here and what the extent of market risk is? My colleague Mark DeCambre reported last week that Archegos’ true exposures to bad trades could actuallybe closer to $100 billion.\nDanger of counterparty risk\nThis is where counterparty risk comes in. As Archegos’ bets went south, the above banks — looking at losses of their own — hit the firm with margin calls. Deutsche quickly dumped about $4 billion in holdings, while Goldman and Morgan Stanley are also said to have unwound their positions, perhaps limiting their downside.\nSo is this a financial crisis? It doesn’t appear to be. Even so, the Securities and Exchange Commission has opened a preliminary investigation into Archegos and its founder, Bill Hwang.\nOne peer, Tom Lee, the research chief of Fundstrat Global Advisors, calls Hwang one of the “top 10 of the best investment minds” he knows.\nBut federal regulators may have a lesser opinion. In 2012, Hwang’s former hedge fund, Tiger Asia Management, pleaded guilty and paid more than $60 million in penalties after it was accused of trading on illegal tips about Chinese banks. The SEC banned Hwang from managing money on behalf of clients — essentially booting him from the hedge fund industry. So Hwang opened Archegos, and again, family offices aren’t generally aren’t regulated.\nYellen on the case\nThis issue is on Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen’s radar. She said last week that greater oversight of these private corners of the financial industry is needed. The Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), which she oversees, has revived a task force to help agencies better “share data, identify risks and work to strengthen our financial system.”\nMost financial crises end up with American taxpayers getting stuck with the tab. Gains belong to the risk-takers. But losses — they belong to us. To paraphrase Abe Lincoln, family offices — a multi-trillion dollar industry largely allowed to operate in the shadows in a global financial system that is more intertwined than ever — are of the super-wealthy, by the super-wealthy and for the super-wealthy. And no one else.\nThe Archegos collapse may or may not be the beginning of yet another financial crisis. But who’s to say what thousands of other family offices are doing with their trillions, and whether similar problems could blow up?","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":270,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":349526720,"gmtCreate":1617627625160,"gmtModify":1704701036856,"author":{"id":"3579134724593969","authorId":"3579134724593969","name":"witchmania","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/56e8b4d72db625533b44db034eeff089","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"worth a read&nbsp;","listText":"worth a read&nbsp;","text":"worth a read","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/349526720","repostId":"2125763974","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2125763974","pubTimestamp":1617625873,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2125763974?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-05 20:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The 5 Worst Reasons to Buy AMC Entertainment Stock","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2125763974","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"If your buy thesis is based on one or more of the following ideas, you're in big trouble.","content":"<p>If your buy thesis is based on one or more of the following ideas, you're in big trouble.</p>\n<p>Following a pandemic-whipsawed 2020, the most prominent development of the current year has been retail investors asserting their presence on Wall Street.</p>\n<p>For nearly three months, retail investors on Reddit's WallStreetBets chat room have been banding together to buy shares and out-of-the-money call options in companies with high levels of short interest. The goal for these predominantly young and/or novice investors is to create a short squeeze -- i.e., an event where pessimists who want to see the share price of a stock decline are driven out of their positions by rapidly rising share prices.</p>\n<p>Retail investors have been successful in effecting a short squeeze in a handful of securities. Although video game and accessories retailer&nbsp;<b>GameStop</b>&nbsp;might be the most famous, it's movie theater chain<b>AMC Entertainment</b> (NYSE:AMC) that's sort of become the battleground stock between Reddit traders and Wall Street.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f46e8f9014a7aff8e5399f6c5a3df3a\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\"><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p>\n<p>Unfortunately, many of the reasons retail investors have chosen to buy into AMC are, for lack of a better word, awful. If your buy thesis pins on <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> or more of the following five ideas, you might end up kissing a significant portion of your investment goodbye.</p>\n<p><b>1. \"AMC's share price is too low\"</b></p>\n<p>One of the worst reasons to buy into AMC is that you think its $9.36 share price looks cheap relative to the $20 it went for as recently as September 2018. The issue with this buy thesis is that share price is meaningless without taking outstanding share count into consideration.</p>\n<p>For instance, AMC ended 2018 with 135.5 million shares outstanding and a share price of $12.28. Doing the math, this works out to a market cap of $1.66 billion. As of this past weekend, AMC had 450.2 million shares outstanding. Based on its $9.36 share price, its market cap is $4.2 billion.</p>\n<p>To put this into some context, AMC's share price is down 67% over the past five years, but its market cap has jumped by 54%. AMC's market cap over the past two months is higher than at any point since it became a publicly traded company in December 2013. The thesis that AMC is cheap based on its share price doesn't hold water.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3c1e8d2b4cae058dc557e5200b3ff00d\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\"><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p>\n<p><b>2. \"A short squeeze is imminent\"</b></p>\n<p>Arguably the most common buy thesis I hear for AMC among Reddit investors is that it's primed for a short squeeze. The unfortunate part is the dynamics that helped fuel a short squeeze in late January and early February no longer exist.</p>\n<p>For a short squeeze to occur, the right recipe is needed. First, there needs to be a high level of short interest relative to a company's float (i.e., its tradable shares). In AMC's case, 49.3 million shares were being held short in mid-March, compared to a float of 404 million shares. This represents short interest of 12%. That's definitely higher than the average publicly traded stock, but it's not off the charts. In fact, the percent of float held short for AMC has declined from close to 40% to just 12% over the last four months.</p>\n<p>Furthermore, the company's short ratio (also known as days to cover) has declined considerably. In October it would have taken short sellers over three days to exit their positions. Today, AMC's high daily trading volume would allow pessimists to cover in a matter of hours.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bee505c562dafe3e29f86496a282e43d\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"470\"><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p>\n<p><b>3. \"99% of its theaters have reopened\"</b></p>\n<p>Retail investors are also gung-ho about AMC's reopening its theaters. As of March 26, the company forecast that 99% of its theaters would be open for business. While I freely admit that open theaters in any capacity is better than completely closed theaters, the buy thesis is missing a number of key points.</p>\n<p>To begin with, it's not as if AMC's theaters will be operating at full capacity anytime soon. With new variants of COVID-19 circulating in the U.S., we're in a race to vaccinate as many people as possible. If too few people are vaccinated, these variants can minimize the effectiveness of coronavirus vaccines and push the prospect of herd immunity much further down the line.</p>\n<p>In addition, AMC's film exclusivity has taken a pretty big hit during the pandemic.<b>AT&amp;T</b>'s WarnerMedia has chosen to release all of its news films in 2021 on HBO Max the same day they'll hit theaters.<b>Walt Disney</b>&nbsp;is making a similar move with a handful of films on its Disney+ streaming service. Moving forward, AMC could be looking at significantly reduced exclusivity, which will hamper its turnaround efforts.</p>\n<p>According to Wall Street, AMC isn't expected to hit its pre-pandemic level of annual sales until closer to 2024.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a7820c1f47b166de46066a8218fa6556\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\"><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p>\n<p><b>4. \"I like to go to the movies\"</b></p>\n<p>Investing great Peter Lynch has always been a big fan of buying what you know. But Lynch also recognizes that there's a lot more to a great investment than simply liking or using a product. From what I've observed on social media, quite a few retail investors love going to the movies but are allergic to digging into AMC's income statements and balance sheet.</p>\n<p>From a balance-sheet perspective, AMC noted in its fourth-quarter operating results that it had more than $1 billion in cash on hand. This is after issuing close to 165 million shares and over $400 million in debt capital between mid-December and mid-January. But it ended 2020 with $5.7 billion in debt, and some of the debt it's issued since March 2020 has interest rates ranging from 10% to as high as a variable rate of 17%. Servicing this debt is going to be extremely challenging, and it's going to minimize what AMC can do with regard to growth initiatives.</p>\n<p>As for its income statement, AMC reported negative-$1.3 billion in free cash flow last year. This figure should improve with the company's theaters now open in some capacity. However, profitability remains a long way off. Over the next 24 months, AMC doesn't look to have enough cash to cover its losses.</p>\n<p>Investors are welcome to like a business -- but investing in it without knowing the fundamental details is a big mistake.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20df0ce8cdd145fd726f632183b62ed6\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\"><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p>\n<p><b>5. \"If we buy and hold, the hedgies lose\"</b></p>\n<p>Lastly, there's the idea that if retail investors buy up the float and hold on to AMC stock, they'll be sticking it to the \"hedgies\" -- a term assigned to Wall Street hedge funds and institutional investors. This, too, is a misguided buy thesis.</p>\n<p>Even though the percentage of AMC shares owned by institutional investors has been more than halved since October -- this is likely a function of the company's tripling its outstanding share count -- data from YCharts shows that institutions are still holding 32% of all shares. That's a significant chunk.</p>\n<p>What's more, the bulk of trading volume these days derives from high-frequency trading programs and not from retail investors or even hedge funds. There's never going to be an instance where retail investors own such a significant amount of the float that they'll be able to block downside moves in AMC stock.</p>\n<p>As is the case with every publicly traded company, operating results, not emotions, are what'll dictate AMC's long-term share-price performance. With the company facing clear cash concerns over the next two years, it'll likely be forced to, once again, dilute the daylights out of its shareholders to stay afloat.</p>\n<p>In sum, the Reddit buy theses for AMC make little to no sense.</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The 5 Worst Reasons to Buy AMC Entertainment Stock</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe 5 Worst Reasons to Buy AMC Entertainment Stock\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-04-05 20:31 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/04/05/the-5-worst-reasons-to-buy-amc-entertainment-stock/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>If your buy thesis is based on one or more of the following ideas, you're in big trouble.\nFollowing a pandemic-whipsawed 2020, the most prominent development of the current year has been retail ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/04/05/the-5-worst-reasons-to-buy-amc-entertainment-stock/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/04/05/the-5-worst-reasons-to-buy-amc-entertainment-stock/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2125763974","content_text":"If your buy thesis is based on one or more of the following ideas, you're in big trouble.\nFollowing a pandemic-whipsawed 2020, the most prominent development of the current year has been retail investors asserting their presence on Wall Street.\nFor nearly three months, retail investors on Reddit's WallStreetBets chat room have been banding together to buy shares and out-of-the-money call options in companies with high levels of short interest. The goal for these predominantly young and/or novice investors is to create a short squeeze -- i.e., an event where pessimists who want to see the share price of a stock decline are driven out of their positions by rapidly rising share prices.\nRetail investors have been successful in effecting a short squeeze in a handful of securities. Although video game and accessories retailer GameStop might be the most famous, it's movie theater chainAMC Entertainment (NYSE:AMC) that's sort of become the battleground stock between Reddit traders and Wall Street.\nImage source: Getty Images.\nUnfortunately, many of the reasons retail investors have chosen to buy into AMC are, for lack of a better word, awful. If your buy thesis pins on one or more of the following five ideas, you might end up kissing a significant portion of your investment goodbye.\n1. \"AMC's share price is too low\"\nOne of the worst reasons to buy into AMC is that you think its $9.36 share price looks cheap relative to the $20 it went for as recently as September 2018. The issue with this buy thesis is that share price is meaningless without taking outstanding share count into consideration.\nFor instance, AMC ended 2018 with 135.5 million shares outstanding and a share price of $12.28. Doing the math, this works out to a market cap of $1.66 billion. As of this past weekend, AMC had 450.2 million shares outstanding. Based on its $9.36 share price, its market cap is $4.2 billion.\nTo put this into some context, AMC's share price is down 67% over the past five years, but its market cap has jumped by 54%. AMC's market cap over the past two months is higher than at any point since it became a publicly traded company in December 2013. The thesis that AMC is cheap based on its share price doesn't hold water.\nImage source: Getty Images.\n2. \"A short squeeze is imminent\"\nArguably the most common buy thesis I hear for AMC among Reddit investors is that it's primed for a short squeeze. The unfortunate part is the dynamics that helped fuel a short squeeze in late January and early February no longer exist.\nFor a short squeeze to occur, the right recipe is needed. First, there needs to be a high level of short interest relative to a company's float (i.e., its tradable shares). In AMC's case, 49.3 million shares were being held short in mid-March, compared to a float of 404 million shares. This represents short interest of 12%. That's definitely higher than the average publicly traded stock, but it's not off the charts. In fact, the percent of float held short for AMC has declined from close to 40% to just 12% over the last four months.\nFurthermore, the company's short ratio (also known as days to cover) has declined considerably. In October it would have taken short sellers over three days to exit their positions. Today, AMC's high daily trading volume would allow pessimists to cover in a matter of hours.\nImage source: Getty Images.\n3. \"99% of its theaters have reopened\"\nRetail investors are also gung-ho about AMC's reopening its theaters. As of March 26, the company forecast that 99% of its theaters would be open for business. While I freely admit that open theaters in any capacity is better than completely closed theaters, the buy thesis is missing a number of key points.\nTo begin with, it's not as if AMC's theaters will be operating at full capacity anytime soon. With new variants of COVID-19 circulating in the U.S., we're in a race to vaccinate as many people as possible. If too few people are vaccinated, these variants can minimize the effectiveness of coronavirus vaccines and push the prospect of herd immunity much further down the line.\nIn addition, AMC's film exclusivity has taken a pretty big hit during the pandemic.AT&T's WarnerMedia has chosen to release all of its news films in 2021 on HBO Max the same day they'll hit theaters.Walt Disney is making a similar move with a handful of films on its Disney+ streaming service. Moving forward, AMC could be looking at significantly reduced exclusivity, which will hamper its turnaround efforts.\nAccording to Wall Street, AMC isn't expected to hit its pre-pandemic level of annual sales until closer to 2024.\nImage source: Getty Images.\n4. \"I like to go to the movies\"\nInvesting great Peter Lynch has always been a big fan of buying what you know. But Lynch also recognizes that there's a lot more to a great investment than simply liking or using a product. From what I've observed on social media, quite a few retail investors love going to the movies but are allergic to digging into AMC's income statements and balance sheet.\nFrom a balance-sheet perspective, AMC noted in its fourth-quarter operating results that it had more than $1 billion in cash on hand. This is after issuing close to 165 million shares and over $400 million in debt capital between mid-December and mid-January. But it ended 2020 with $5.7 billion in debt, and some of the debt it's issued since March 2020 has interest rates ranging from 10% to as high as a variable rate of 17%. Servicing this debt is going to be extremely challenging, and it's going to minimize what AMC can do with regard to growth initiatives.\nAs for its income statement, AMC reported negative-$1.3 billion in free cash flow last year. This figure should improve with the company's theaters now open in some capacity. However, profitability remains a long way off. Over the next 24 months, AMC doesn't look to have enough cash to cover its losses.\nInvestors are welcome to like a business -- but investing in it without knowing the fundamental details is a big mistake.\nImage source: Getty Images.\n5. \"If we buy and hold, the hedgies lose\"\nLastly, there's the idea that if retail investors buy up the float and hold on to AMC stock, they'll be sticking it to the \"hedgies\" -- a term assigned to Wall Street hedge funds and institutional investors. This, too, is a misguided buy thesis.\nEven though the percentage of AMC shares owned by institutional investors has been more than halved since October -- this is likely a function of the company's tripling its outstanding share count -- data from YCharts shows that institutions are still holding 32% of all shares. That's a significant chunk.\nWhat's more, the bulk of trading volume these days derives from high-frequency trading programs and not from retail investors or even hedge funds. There's never going to be an instance where retail investors own such a significant amount of the float that they'll be able to block downside moves in AMC stock.\nAs is the case with every publicly traded company, operating results, not emotions, are what'll dictate AMC's long-term share-price performance. With the company facing clear cash concerns over the next two years, it'll likely be forced to, once again, dilute the daylights out of its shareholders to stay afloat.\nIn sum, the Reddit buy theses for AMC make little to no sense.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":164,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":349008684,"gmtCreate":1617501166848,"gmtModify":1704700019235,"author":{"id":"3579134724593969","authorId":"3579134724593969","name":"witchmania","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/56e8b4d72db625533b44db034eeff089","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Technology stocks&nbsp;","listText":"Technology stocks&nbsp;","text":"Technology stocks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/349008684","repostId":"340824285","repostType":1,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":149,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":349003092,"gmtCreate":1617500993416,"gmtModify":1704700016286,"author":{"id":"3579134724593969","authorId":"3579134724593969","name":"witchmania","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/56e8b4d72db625533b44db034eeff089","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/349003092","repostId":"340851184","repostType":1,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":130,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":340674861,"gmtCreate":1617413048253,"gmtModify":1704699477968,"author":{"id":"3579134724593969","authorId":"3579134724593969","name":"witchmania","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/56e8b4d72db625533b44db034eeff089","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"is it something that can be consider? hmmm","listText":"is it something that can be consider? hmmm","text":"is it something that can be consider? hmmm","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/907bfee694bcc60c1633cea9d1d5f318","width":"1080","height":"2529"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/340674861","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":255,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":340676320,"gmtCreate":1617412561160,"gmtModify":1704699473599,"author":{"id":"3579134724593969","authorId":"3579134724593969","name":"witchmania","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/56e8b4d72db625533b44db034eeff089","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Is crash and correction the same meaning in the article?&nbsp;","listText":"Is crash and correction the same meaning in the article?&nbsp;","text":"Is crash and correction the same meaning in the article?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/340676320","repostId":"1191998262","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1191998262","pubTimestamp":1617366158,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1191998262?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-02 20:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"How Likely Is a Stock Market Crash?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1191998262","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"You may not like the answer.\n\nFor the past year, investors have enjoyed one of the greatest bounce-b","content":"<blockquote>\n You may not like the answer.\n</blockquote>\n<p>For the past year, investors have enjoyed one of the greatest bounce-back rallies of all time. After the benchmark<b>S&amp;P 500</b>(SNPINDEX:^GSPC)lost a third of its value in mere weeks due to unprecedented uncertainties surrounding the coronavirus pandemic, it bounced back to gain in the neighborhood of 75% off its lows. You could rightly say that patience has paid off.</p>\n<p>But there's another reality that investors -- especially long-term investors -- are keenly aware of: the propensity of the stock market to crash or correct. Things might look great now, but the next big nosedive is always waiting in the wings.</p>\n<p>It begs the question: How likely is astock market crash? Let's take a closer look.</p>\n<p><b>Double-digit declines occur every 1.87 years, on average</b></p>\n<p>To begin with the basics, stock market corrections (i.e., declines of at least 10%) are quite common in the S&amp;P 500. According to data from market analytics firm Yardeni Research, there have been 38 corrections in the S&amp;P 500 since the beginning of 1950. This works out to an average double-digit decline in the benchmark indexevery 1.87 years. Since it's now been more than a year since the market hit its bear-market bottom, the averages are certainly not in investors' favor.</p>\n<p>However, averages are nothing more than that... averages. The market doesn't adhere to averages, even if some folks base their investments off of what's happened historically.</p>\n<p>We could enter a period similar to 1991 through 1996 where there were zero corrections. Or we could continue the theme since the beginning of 2010, where corrections occur, on average, every 19 months.</p>\n<p><b>Corrections have been an historical given within three years of a bear market bottom</b></p>\n<p>Another interesting piece of evidence to examine is the frequency by which the S&amp;P 500 corrects after hitting a bear-market bottom.</p>\n<p>Since the beginning of 1960 (an arbitrary year I chose for the sake of simplicity), the widely followed index has navigated its way through nine bear markets, including the coronavirus crash. In rebounding from each of the previous eight bear market lows, there was at least one double-digit percentage decline within three years100% of the time. In aggregate, 13 corrections have occurred within three years following the last eight bear market bottoms (i.e., either one or two following each bottom).</p>\n<p>Put another way, rebounding from a bear-market bottom is rarely a straight-line move higher. Yet up, up, and away has pretty much been the theme for investors since March 23, 2020. History would suggest that there's a very good chance of a move lower in equities within the next two years.</p>\n<p><b>Crashes frequently occur when this valuation metric is hit</b></p>\n<p>But the most damning bit of evidence might just be the S&amp;P 500's Shiller price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio. This is a valuation metric that examines the average inflation-adjusted earnings from the previous 10 years. You might also know it as the cyclically adjusted P/E ratio, or CAPE.</p>\n<p>As of the close of business on March 30, the S&amp;P 500's Shiller P/E ratio hit 35.61. That's well over double its 150-year average of 16.8. Using continuous bull market moves as a parameter, it's the second-highest reading in its history.</p>\n<p>To some extent, itmakes sensethat equity valuations should be higher now than they've been historically. That's because interest rates are near an all-time low and access to the internet has effectively broken down barriers between Wall Street and Main Street that may have, in the past, kept P/E multiples at bay.</p>\n<p>However, previous instances of the S&amp;P 500's Shiller P/E ratio crossing above and sustaining the 30 levelhaven't ended well. In the prior four instances where the Shiller P/E surpassed and held above 30, the benchmark index tumbled anywhere from 20% to as much as 89%. Although an 89% plunge, which was experienced during the Great Depression, is very unlikely these days, a big drop has historically been in the cards when valuations get extended, as they are now.</p>\n<p><b>Keep that cash handy in the event that opportunity knocks</b></p>\n<p>To circle back to the original question at hand, the data is pretty clear that the likelihood of a stock market crash or correction has grown considerably. It's impossible to precisely predict when a crash might occur, how long the decline will last, or how steep the drop could be. But the data strongly suggests that downside is in the offing.</p>\n<p>While this might be a disappointing revelation to some investors, it shouldn't be. Crashes and corrections are a normal part of the investing cycle. More importantly, theyprovide an opportunityfor investors to buy into great companies at a discount. Just think about all the great companies you're probably kicking yourself over for not buying last March.</p>\n<p>The reason to be excited about crashes and corrections is also found in the data. You see, of those 38 previous corrections in the S&amp;P 500 since the beginning of 1950, each and every one has eventually been put into the rearview mirror by a bull market rally. Plus,at no point over the past centuryhave rolling 20-year total returns (including dividends) for the S&amp;P 500 been negative.</p>\n<p>If you need further encouragement to buy during a correction, keep in mind that 24 of the 38 double-digit declines in the S&amp;P 500 havefound their bottom in 104 or fewer calendar days(3.5 months or less). Crashes and corrections may be steep at times but tend to resolve quickly. That's your cue to have cash at the ready in the event that opportunity knocks.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>How Likely Is a Stock Market Crash?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHow Likely Is a Stock Market Crash?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-04-02 20:22 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/04/02/how-likely-is-a-stock-market-crash/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>You may not like the answer.\n\nFor the past year, investors have enjoyed one of the greatest bounce-back rallies of all time. After the benchmarkS&P 500(SNPINDEX:^GSPC)lost a third of its value in mere...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/04/02/how-likely-is-a-stock-market-crash/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/04/02/how-likely-is-a-stock-market-crash/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1191998262","content_text":"You may not like the answer.\n\nFor the past year, investors have enjoyed one of the greatest bounce-back rallies of all time. After the benchmarkS&P 500(SNPINDEX:^GSPC)lost a third of its value in mere weeks due to unprecedented uncertainties surrounding the coronavirus pandemic, it bounced back to gain in the neighborhood of 75% off its lows. You could rightly say that patience has paid off.\nBut there's another reality that investors -- especially long-term investors -- are keenly aware of: the propensity of the stock market to crash or correct. Things might look great now, but the next big nosedive is always waiting in the wings.\nIt begs the question: How likely is astock market crash? Let's take a closer look.\nDouble-digit declines occur every 1.87 years, on average\nTo begin with the basics, stock market corrections (i.e., declines of at least 10%) are quite common in the S&P 500. According to data from market analytics firm Yardeni Research, there have been 38 corrections in the S&P 500 since the beginning of 1950. This works out to an average double-digit decline in the benchmark indexevery 1.87 years. Since it's now been more than a year since the market hit its bear-market bottom, the averages are certainly not in investors' favor.\nHowever, averages are nothing more than that... averages. The market doesn't adhere to averages, even if some folks base their investments off of what's happened historically.\nWe could enter a period similar to 1991 through 1996 where there were zero corrections. Or we could continue the theme since the beginning of 2010, where corrections occur, on average, every 19 months.\nCorrections have been an historical given within three years of a bear market bottom\nAnother interesting piece of evidence to examine is the frequency by which the S&P 500 corrects after hitting a bear-market bottom.\nSince the beginning of 1960 (an arbitrary year I chose for the sake of simplicity), the widely followed index has navigated its way through nine bear markets, including the coronavirus crash. In rebounding from each of the previous eight bear market lows, there was at least one double-digit percentage decline within three years100% of the time. In aggregate, 13 corrections have occurred within three years following the last eight bear market bottoms (i.e., either one or two following each bottom).\nPut another way, rebounding from a bear-market bottom is rarely a straight-line move higher. Yet up, up, and away has pretty much been the theme for investors since March 23, 2020. History would suggest that there's a very good chance of a move lower in equities within the next two years.\nCrashes frequently occur when this valuation metric is hit\nBut the most damning bit of evidence might just be the S&P 500's Shiller price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio. This is a valuation metric that examines the average inflation-adjusted earnings from the previous 10 years. You might also know it as the cyclically adjusted P/E ratio, or CAPE.\nAs of the close of business on March 30, the S&P 500's Shiller P/E ratio hit 35.61. That's well over double its 150-year average of 16.8. Using continuous bull market moves as a parameter, it's the second-highest reading in its history.\nTo some extent, itmakes sensethat equity valuations should be higher now than they've been historically. That's because interest rates are near an all-time low and access to the internet has effectively broken down barriers between Wall Street and Main Street that may have, in the past, kept P/E multiples at bay.\nHowever, previous instances of the S&P 500's Shiller P/E ratio crossing above and sustaining the 30 levelhaven't ended well. In the prior four instances where the Shiller P/E surpassed and held above 30, the benchmark index tumbled anywhere from 20% to as much as 89%. Although an 89% plunge, which was experienced during the Great Depression, is very unlikely these days, a big drop has historically been in the cards when valuations get extended, as they are now.\nKeep that cash handy in the event that opportunity knocks\nTo circle back to the original question at hand, the data is pretty clear that the likelihood of a stock market crash or correction has grown considerably. It's impossible to precisely predict when a crash might occur, how long the decline will last, or how steep the drop could be. But the data strongly suggests that downside is in the offing.\nWhile this might be a disappointing revelation to some investors, it shouldn't be. Crashes and corrections are a normal part of the investing cycle. More importantly, theyprovide an opportunityfor investors to buy into great companies at a discount. Just think about all the great companies you're probably kicking yourself over for not buying last March.\nThe reason to be excited about crashes and corrections is also found in the data. You see, of those 38 previous corrections in the S&P 500 since the beginning of 1950, each and every one has eventually been put into the rearview mirror by a bull market rally. Plus,at no point over the past centuryhave rolling 20-year total returns (including dividends) for the S&P 500 been negative.\nIf you need further encouragement to buy during a correction, keep in mind that 24 of the 38 double-digit declines in the S&P 500 havefound their bottom in 104 or fewer calendar days(3.5 months or less). Crashes and corrections may be steep at times but tend to resolve quickly. That's your cue to have cash at the ready in the event that opportunity knocks.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":82,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3563506333196915","authorId":"3563506333196915","name":"hanks1705","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/561b464f9e4a88551ca79eb30c99c587","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"content":"correction is drop of between 10% to 20% from high..crash is drop of more than 10% and another 10%..total of more than 20%..","text":"correction is drop of between 10% to 20% from high..crash is drop of more than 10% and another 10%..total of more than 20%..","html":"correction is drop of between 10% to 20% from high..crash is drop of more than 10% and another 10%..total of more than 20%.."}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":357920767,"gmtCreate":1617233697759,"gmtModify":1704697515735,"author":{"id":"3579134724593969","authorId":"3579134724593969","name":"witchmania","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/56e8b4d72db625533b44db034eeff089","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"???","listText":"???","text":"???","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/357920767","repostId":"1127322570","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":218,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":357920580,"gmtCreate":1617233678340,"gmtModify":1704697515089,"author":{"id":"3579134724593969","authorId":"3579134724593969","name":"witchmania","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/56e8b4d72db625533b44db034eeff089","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"A kind of investing one can look into, because it's really value adding&nbsp;","listText":"A kind of investing one can look into, because it's really value adding&nbsp;","text":"A kind of investing one can look into, because it's really value adding","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/357920580","repostId":"1127322570","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":183,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":355844241,"gmtCreate":1617063504483,"gmtModify":1704801422676,"author":{"id":"3579134724593969","authorId":"3579134724593969","name":"witchmania","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/56e8b4d72db625533b44db034eeff089","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"intense situation&nbsp;","listText":"intense situation&nbsp;","text":"intense situation","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/355844241","repostId":"1197127356","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":176,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":340676320,"gmtCreate":1617412561160,"gmtModify":1704699473599,"author":{"id":"3579134724593969","authorId":"3579134724593969","name":"witchmania","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/56e8b4d72db625533b44db034eeff089","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Is crash and correction the same meaning in the article?&nbsp;","listText":"Is crash and correction the same meaning in the article?&nbsp;","text":"Is crash and correction the same meaning in the article?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/340676320","repostId":"1191998262","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":82,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3563506333196915","authorId":"3563506333196915","name":"hanks1705","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/561b464f9e4a88551ca79eb30c99c587","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"content":"correction is drop of between 10% to 20% from high..crash is drop of more than 10% and another 10%..total of more than 20%..","text":"correction is drop of between 10% to 20% from high..crash is drop of more than 10% and another 10%..total of more than 20%..","html":"correction is drop of between 10% to 20% from high..crash is drop of more than 10% and another 10%..total of more than 20%.."}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":356623791,"gmtCreate":1616773202813,"gmtModify":1704798856527,"author":{"id":"3579134724593969","authorId":"3579134724593969","name":"witchmania","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/56e8b4d72db625533b44db034eeff089","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OV8.SI\">$SHENG SIONG GROUP LTD(OV8.SI)$</a>&nbsp;I'm waiting for the price to go down a little and buy, but it just never hit the price I want. ?I want to be entitled to the dividend ??","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OV8.SI\">$SHENG SIONG GROUP LTD(OV8.SI)$</a>&nbsp;I'm waiting for the price to go down a little and buy, but it just never hit the price I want. ?I want to be entitled to the dividend ??","text":"$SHENG SIONG GROUP LTD(OV8.SI)$ I'm waiting for the price to go down a little and buy, but it just never hit the price I want. ?I want to be entitled to the dividend ??","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/356623791","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":694,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3575203465272475","authorId":"3575203465272475","name":"Randomtrader","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"content":"when is it coming out?","text":"when is it coming out?","html":"when is it coming out?"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":354134938,"gmtCreate":1617150505024,"gmtModify":1704696405599,"author":{"id":"3579134724593969","authorId":"3579134724593969","name":"witchmania","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/56e8b4d72db625533b44db034eeff089","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"life long learning ?","listText":"life long learning ?","text":"life long learning ?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/354134938","repostId":"1163996400","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1163996400","pubTimestamp":1617094880,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1163996400?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-30 17:01","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Coursera: The Education Disruptor Goes Public","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1163996400","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"SummaryThe company is growing rapidly as a result of secular trends as well as the Covid-19 pandemic","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>The company is growing rapidly as a result of secular trends as well as the Covid-19 pandemic.</li><li>It is operating in a huge addressable market that is likely to grow for the foreseeable future.</li><li>Coursera enjoys many competitive advantages, among them a large, existing user base, price-to-cost advantages, and the ability to personalize content as a result of its trove of data.</li><li>Given its scale, and competitive advantages, the company should win an outsized share of its market opportunity.</li><li>However, because the company has not turned a profit, there is a chance that its stock may be too volatile in the near term. Buying when the company turns a profit is the safer bet.</li></ul><p>Coursera (COURS), the online learning platform founded in 2012 by former Stanford University computer science professors Daphne Koller and Andrew Ng, filed itsIPO prospectuswith the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). The Mountain View, California-based company offers individuals access to over 4,000 Massive Open Online Courses (MOOCs) from 200 educational institutions and corporations. The company also offers over two dozen degree programs at prices lower than what a learner would pay at a traditional, in-person institution. As the company grows its offering, it will be able to compete head-to-head with other “online program management” (OPM) providers, such as 2U(NASDAQ:TWOU), which is already publicly traded, and Noodle Partners.</p><p>Ng’sshareholder letter in the S-1articulated clearly just what the company is about:</p><blockquote>“We believe that education is the source of human progress. In today’s economy in which the skills needed to succeed are rapidly evolving, education is becoming more important than ever. As automation and digital disruption are poised to replace unprecedented numbers of jobs worldwide, giving workers the opportunity to upskill and reskill will be crucial to raising global living standards and increasing social equity. Online education will play a critical role, enabling anyone, anywhere, to gain the valuable skills they need to earn a living in an increasingly digital economy.”</blockquote><p>The filing lists Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs and Citigroup as underwriters. The number of shares and the price range of the proposed offering are yet to be determined.According to PitchBook data, Coursera’s most recent valuation in the private markets was $2.5 billion. To date, the company has raised $464 million in venture capital, most recently,$130 million in a Series F roundlast July. Coursera’s biggest institutional shareholders are New Enterprise Associates (18.3% of company stock), G Squared (15.9%) and Kleiner Perkins (9.2%).</p><p><b>Operating Results</b></p><p>The company earned $293 million in revenues for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2020, up 59% from 2019. Net losses widened by about $20 million year-on-year, reaching $66.8 million in 2020. Revenues shot up as a result of the Covid-19 pandemic’s effect on traditional education. In tandem with rising demand, operating costs associated with the company’s services rose, largely driven by the freemium content and marketing expenses. Coursera added over 12,000 new degree learners across the two years ended December 31, 2020 at an average acquisition cost of just below $2,000. The number of registered users rose by 65% year-on-year in 2020. Coursera’s accumulated deficit since its founding stood at $343.6 million as of December 31, 2020. The company does not expect to turn a profit in the foreseeable future.</p><p>The company’sCoursera for Campus,launched in late 2019to enable colleges to offer its library of MOOCs to their students, has been a key driver of recent revenue growth. At the start of the pandemic, Coursera made the program free to tertiary institutions until Sept. 30, 2020. Over 4,000 tertiary institutions from across the world signed up for the program, which, according to the company’s S-1 filing, makes it, “one of our fastest growing offerings”. As of December 31, 2020, over 130 tertiary institutions were paying for it.</p><p>At this point, it is hard to predict what the end of the pandemic would have on the company’s operating results.</p><p><b>The Strategy and Market Opportunity</b></p><p>Coursera is one of the most disruptive firms in the world. It has a flywheel approach to value creation, with significant price-to-cost advantages versus its competition. The company reported that about half of its new degree students in 2020 had been previously registered with Coursera and that its average student acquisition cost was less than $2,000. Its average student acquisition cost is lower than the industry standard. The edu-tech platform is able to efficiently acquire learners at scale because of the huge number of free, high-quality courses that it offers in partnership with top educational institutions and corporations; its ability to personalize content based on its wealth of data; the strength of word-of-mouth promotion by learners; the profitability of its affiliate paid marketing channel.</p><p>The platform offers a number of education tracks, for example:</p><ul><li>Specializations: A learner can pay between $39 and $99 a month for job-specific content across over 500 categories.</li><li>MasterTrack Certificates: For a quarter to a year, a learner can earn a certificate issued by a university-issued certificate. Prices range from $2,000 to $6,000.</li><li>Bachelor’s or Master’s Degrees: Fees range from $9,000 to $45,000.</li><li>Coursera for Enterprise: Through this platform, businesses, educational institutions and governments can deploy content to their learners.</li></ul><p>In response to the Covid-19 pandemic, Coursera partnered with over 330 government agencies across 30 U.S. states and cities and 70 countries as part of itsCoursera Workforce Recovery Initiative, which gave governments the chance to offer unemployed workers free access to thousands of business, data science, and technology courses from companies such as Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN)and Google(NASDAQ:GOOG)(NASDAQ:GOOGL).</p><p>The company has 77 million registered learners, as well as over 2,000 businesses (including 25% of Fortune 500 companies) and 100 government agencies who paid for its enterprise offerings. The majority of its revenue (51%) was earned outside of the United States. Converting only a fraction of its 77 million registered users into paid users would change the economics of customer acquisition. The company’s present scale is a huge competitive advantage in the market.</p><p>A learner’s curriculum is designed to be “stackable”, which is to say that a learner can go through a domain in an incremental fashion. The company is able to leverage the huge volume of data it has accumulated from its over 220 million enrollments to personalize content. So, for example, Coursera’s Skills Graphs can suggest paths for job skills.</p><p>Coursera uses technology to drive down distribution costs, make content more affordable, extend access to less economically-endowed regions, help learners keep abreast of emerging skills, and grow its market opportunity. The Covid-19 pandemic has only accelerated secular trends towards the use of technology in education.</p><p>The size of the addressable market is massive and it’s easy to see why.An August 2020 study by the United Nationsdemonstrates the degree of disruption brought on by the Covid-19 pandemic: of the 1.6 billion students in 190 countries covered in the report, or 94% of the world’s students, were prevented from going to school because of Covid-19 pandemic related school closures.</p><p>In 2017, the World Bank indicated thatof the 200 million college students in the world, many do not have job-specific skills.</p><p>The Covid-19 pandemic and prior secular trends suggest that the future of education is in blended classrooms, job-specific education and continuous, lifelong education. Online learning platforms like Coursera will be the primary means through which educational content is delivered.</p><p>Globally, spending on higher education in 2019 was $2.2 trillion,according to HolonIQ. Spending on online degrees was $36 billion and is predicted to reach $74 billion by 2025.</p><p>With a huge, existing learner base; a strong brand; and the significant advantages detailed above, Coursera is likely to grab a significant amount of the market’s growth. Of thescenarios for the future of education, it seems that Coursera will continue to grow.</p><p><b>Conclusion</b></p><p>Coursera seems poised to meet the challenges of a changing education landscape. With its vast, existing user base, its flywheel model, its competitive advantages, and its existence in a huge and growing addressable market, the company is likely to do very well. The company’s value proposition is compelling. However, long run success does not equate to a good investment in the short run. An unprofitable company like Coursera is likely to be very volatile on the markets until it reaches profitability. It is better to wait for Coursera to turn a profit before investing in the company.</p>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Coursera: The Education Disruptor Goes Public</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCoursera: The Education Disruptor Goes Public\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-30 17:01 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4413745-coursera-education-disruptor-goes-public><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryThe company is growing rapidly as a result of secular trends as well as the Covid-19 pandemic.It is operating in a huge addressable market that is likely to grow for the foreseeable future....</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4413745-coursera-education-disruptor-goes-public\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7cedd6cbf23bbe97eaec389fb0773ed6","relate_stocks":{"COUR":"Coursera, Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4413745-coursera-education-disruptor-goes-public","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1163996400","content_text":"SummaryThe company is growing rapidly as a result of secular trends as well as the Covid-19 pandemic.It is operating in a huge addressable market that is likely to grow for the foreseeable future.Coursera enjoys many competitive advantages, among them a large, existing user base, price-to-cost advantages, and the ability to personalize content as a result of its trove of data.Given its scale, and competitive advantages, the company should win an outsized share of its market opportunity.However, because the company has not turned a profit, there is a chance that its stock may be too volatile in the near term. Buying when the company turns a profit is the safer bet.Coursera (COURS), the online learning platform founded in 2012 by former Stanford University computer science professors Daphne Koller and Andrew Ng, filed itsIPO prospectuswith the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). The Mountain View, California-based company offers individuals access to over 4,000 Massive Open Online Courses (MOOCs) from 200 educational institutions and corporations. The company also offers over two dozen degree programs at prices lower than what a learner would pay at a traditional, in-person institution. As the company grows its offering, it will be able to compete head-to-head with other “online program management” (OPM) providers, such as 2U(NASDAQ:TWOU), which is already publicly traded, and Noodle Partners.Ng’sshareholder letter in the S-1articulated clearly just what the company is about:“We believe that education is the source of human progress. In today’s economy in which the skills needed to succeed are rapidly evolving, education is becoming more important than ever. As automation and digital disruption are poised to replace unprecedented numbers of jobs worldwide, giving workers the opportunity to upskill and reskill will be crucial to raising global living standards and increasing social equity. Online education will play a critical role, enabling anyone, anywhere, to gain the valuable skills they need to earn a living in an increasingly digital economy.”The filing lists Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs and Citigroup as underwriters. The number of shares and the price range of the proposed offering are yet to be determined.According to PitchBook data, Coursera’s most recent valuation in the private markets was $2.5 billion. To date, the company has raised $464 million in venture capital, most recently,$130 million in a Series F roundlast July. Coursera’s biggest institutional shareholders are New Enterprise Associates (18.3% of company stock), G Squared (15.9%) and Kleiner Perkins (9.2%).Operating ResultsThe company earned $293 million in revenues for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2020, up 59% from 2019. Net losses widened by about $20 million year-on-year, reaching $66.8 million in 2020. Revenues shot up as a result of the Covid-19 pandemic’s effect on traditional education. In tandem with rising demand, operating costs associated with the company’s services rose, largely driven by the freemium content and marketing expenses. Coursera added over 12,000 new degree learners across the two years ended December 31, 2020 at an average acquisition cost of just below $2,000. The number of registered users rose by 65% year-on-year in 2020. Coursera’s accumulated deficit since its founding stood at $343.6 million as of December 31, 2020. The company does not expect to turn a profit in the foreseeable future.The company’sCoursera for Campus,launched in late 2019to enable colleges to offer its library of MOOCs to their students, has been a key driver of recent revenue growth. At the start of the pandemic, Coursera made the program free to tertiary institutions until Sept. 30, 2020. Over 4,000 tertiary institutions from across the world signed up for the program, which, according to the company’s S-1 filing, makes it, “one of our fastest growing offerings”. As of December 31, 2020, over 130 tertiary institutions were paying for it.At this point, it is hard to predict what the end of the pandemic would have on the company’s operating results.The Strategy and Market OpportunityCoursera is one of the most disruptive firms in the world. It has a flywheel approach to value creation, with significant price-to-cost advantages versus its competition. The company reported that about half of its new degree students in 2020 had been previously registered with Coursera and that its average student acquisition cost was less than $2,000. Its average student acquisition cost is lower than the industry standard. The edu-tech platform is able to efficiently acquire learners at scale because of the huge number of free, high-quality courses that it offers in partnership with top educational institutions and corporations; its ability to personalize content based on its wealth of data; the strength of word-of-mouth promotion by learners; the profitability of its affiliate paid marketing channel.The platform offers a number of education tracks, for example:Specializations: A learner can pay between $39 and $99 a month for job-specific content across over 500 categories.MasterTrack Certificates: For a quarter to a year, a learner can earn a certificate issued by a university-issued certificate. Prices range from $2,000 to $6,000.Bachelor’s or Master’s Degrees: Fees range from $9,000 to $45,000.Coursera for Enterprise: Through this platform, businesses, educational institutions and governments can deploy content to their learners.In response to the Covid-19 pandemic, Coursera partnered with over 330 government agencies across 30 U.S. states and cities and 70 countries as part of itsCoursera Workforce Recovery Initiative, which gave governments the chance to offer unemployed workers free access to thousands of business, data science, and technology courses from companies such as Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN)and Google(NASDAQ:GOOG)(NASDAQ:GOOGL).The company has 77 million registered learners, as well as over 2,000 businesses (including 25% of Fortune 500 companies) and 100 government agencies who paid for its enterprise offerings. The majority of its revenue (51%) was earned outside of the United States. Converting only a fraction of its 77 million registered users into paid users would change the economics of customer acquisition. The company’s present scale is a huge competitive advantage in the market.A learner’s curriculum is designed to be “stackable”, which is to say that a learner can go through a domain in an incremental fashion. The company is able to leverage the huge volume of data it has accumulated from its over 220 million enrollments to personalize content. So, for example, Coursera’s Skills Graphs can suggest paths for job skills.Coursera uses technology to drive down distribution costs, make content more affordable, extend access to less economically-endowed regions, help learners keep abreast of emerging skills, and grow its market opportunity. The Covid-19 pandemic has only accelerated secular trends towards the use of technology in education.The size of the addressable market is massive and it’s easy to see why.An August 2020 study by the United Nationsdemonstrates the degree of disruption brought on by the Covid-19 pandemic: of the 1.6 billion students in 190 countries covered in the report, or 94% of the world’s students, were prevented from going to school because of Covid-19 pandemic related school closures.In 2017, the World Bank indicated thatof the 200 million college students in the world, many do not have job-specific skills.The Covid-19 pandemic and prior secular trends suggest that the future of education is in blended classrooms, job-specific education and continuous, lifelong education. Online learning platforms like Coursera will be the primary means through which educational content is delivered.Globally, spending on higher education in 2019 was $2.2 trillion,according to HolonIQ. Spending on online degrees was $36 billion and is predicted to reach $74 billion by 2025.With a huge, existing learner base; a strong brand; and the significant advantages detailed above, Coursera is likely to grab a significant amount of the market’s growth. Of thescenarios for the future of education, it seems that Coursera will continue to grow.ConclusionCoursera seems poised to meet the challenges of a changing education landscape. With its vast, existing user base, its flywheel model, its competitive advantages, and its existence in a huge and growing addressable market, the company is likely to do very well. The company’s value proposition is compelling. However, long run success does not equate to a good investment in the short run. An unprofitable company like Coursera is likely to be very volatile on the markets until it reaches profitability. It is better to wait for Coursera to turn a profit before investing in the company.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":106,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":355844155,"gmtCreate":1617063492577,"gmtModify":1704801421223,"author":{"id":"3579134724593969","authorId":"3579134724593969","name":"witchmania","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/56e8b4d72db625533b44db034eeff089","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"intense situation&nbsp;","listText":"intense situation&nbsp;","text":"intense situation","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/355844155","repostId":"1197127356","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":187,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":357920767,"gmtCreate":1617233697759,"gmtModify":1704697515735,"author":{"id":"3579134724593969","authorId":"3579134724593969","name":"witchmania","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/56e8b4d72db625533b44db034eeff089","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"???","listText":"???","text":"???","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/357920767","repostId":"1127322570","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":218,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187957836,"gmtCreate":1623736860625,"gmtModify":1704210001022,"author":{"id":"3579134724593969","authorId":"3579134724593969","name":"witchmania","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/56e8b4d72db625533b44db034eeff089","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/8AZ.SI\">$Aztech Gbl(8AZ.SI)$</a>&nbsp;wonder if the fall was it because it is nearer to dividend payment date? ?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/8AZ.SI\">$Aztech Gbl(8AZ.SI)$</a>&nbsp;wonder if the fall was it because it is nearer to dividend payment date? ?","text":"$Aztech Gbl(8AZ.SI)$ wonder if the fall was it because it is nearer to dividend payment date? ?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/187957836","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":570,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":341272001,"gmtCreate":1617837587203,"gmtModify":1704703672428,"author":{"id":"3579134724593969","authorId":"3579134724593969","name":"witchmania","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/56e8b4d72db625533b44db034eeff089","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Anyone can share of the impact with the spin off?&nbsp;","listText":"Anyone can share of the impact with the spin off?&nbsp;","text":"Anyone can share of the impact with the spin off?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/341272001","repostId":"2124758025","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":227,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":355870828,"gmtCreate":1617063587964,"gmtModify":1704801424129,"author":{"id":"3579134724593969","authorId":"3579134724593969","name":"witchmania","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/56e8b4d72db625533b44db034eeff089","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"waterfall effect","listText":"waterfall effect","text":"waterfall effect","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/355870828","repostId":"1119928689","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1119928689","pubTimestamp":1617030997,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1119928689?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-29 23:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"SEC Says It’s Been Monitoring Archegos Fallout Since Last Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1119928689","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission has been monitoring the forced liquidation of more than ","content":"<p>The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission has been monitoring the forced liquidation of more than $20 billion in holdings linked to Bill Hwang’s investment firm that has roiled stocks from Baidu Inc. to ViacomCBS Inc.</p>\n<p>“We have been monitoring the situation and communicating with market participants since last week,” an SEC spokesperson said in emailed statement.</p>\n<p>Hwang’s New York-based Archegos Capital Management is at the center of a margin call that led to the forced liquidation on Friday, according to people familiar with the transactions. Among the companies sold were GSX Techedu Inc. and Discovery Inc.</p>\n<p>Banks including Credit Suisse Group AG and Nomura Holdings Inc. are warning investors that they may face “significant” losses after an unnamed U.S. hedge fund client defaulted on margin calls. Goldman Sachs is telling shareholders and clients that any losses it faces from Archegos are likely to be immaterial, a person familiar with the matter said.</p>\n<p></p>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>SEC Says It’s Been Monitoring Archegos Fallout Since Last Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSEC Says It’s Been Monitoring Archegos Fallout Since Last Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-29 23:16 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-03-29/sec-says-it-s-been-monitoring-archegos-fallout-since-last-week?srnd=markets-vp><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission has been monitoring the forced liquidation of more than $20 billion in holdings linked to Bill Hwang’s investment firm that has roiled stocks from Baidu Inc...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-03-29/sec-says-it-s-been-monitoring-archegos-fallout-since-last-week?srnd=markets-vp\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-03-29/sec-says-it-s-been-monitoring-archegos-fallout-since-last-week?srnd=markets-vp","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1119928689","content_text":"The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission has been monitoring the forced liquidation of more than $20 billion in holdings linked to Bill Hwang’s investment firm that has roiled stocks from Baidu Inc. to ViacomCBS Inc.\n“We have been monitoring the situation and communicating with market participants since last week,” an SEC spokesperson said in emailed statement.\nHwang’s New York-based Archegos Capital Management is at the center of a margin call that led to the forced liquidation on Friday, according to people familiar with the transactions. Among the companies sold were GSX Techedu Inc. and Discovery Inc.\nBanks including Credit Suisse Group AG and Nomura Holdings Inc. are warning investors that they may face “significant” losses after an unnamed U.S. hedge fund client defaulted on margin calls. Goldman Sachs is telling shareholders and clients that any losses it faces from Archegos are likely to be immaterial, a person familiar with the matter said.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":129,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":892807889,"gmtCreate":1628646645441,"gmtModify":1676529807469,"author":{"id":"3579134724593969","authorId":"3579134724593969","name":"witchmania","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/56e8b4d72db625533b44db034eeff089","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wanne buyyy but so hard to buy in. ?","listText":"Wanne buyyy but so hard to buy in. ?","text":"Wanne buyyy but so hard to buy in. ?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3beeec263d65c915cc67815197bb30d","width":"1080","height":"2837"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/892807889","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":82,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":147976345,"gmtCreate":1626331253387,"gmtModify":1703758039510,"author":{"id":"3579134724593969","authorId":"3579134724593969","name":"witchmania","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/56e8b4d72db625533b44db034eeff089","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"when's the dividend coming againnn?&nbsp;","listText":"when's the dividend coming againnn?&nbsp;","text":"when's the dividend coming againnn?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/64841c4798047f86e786204ef5c364c0","width":"1080","height":"2825"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/147976345","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":186,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":144443357,"gmtCreate":1626311829379,"gmtModify":1703757599836,"author":{"id":"3579134724593969","authorId":"3579134724593969","name":"witchmania","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/56e8b4d72db625533b44db034eeff089","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"actually my thoughts too! But I didnt hold much. Now it's a bit too step i feel.&nbsp;","listText":"actually my thoughts too! But I didnt hold much. Now it's a bit too step i feel.&nbsp;","text":"actually my thoughts too! But I didnt hold much. Now it's a bit too step i feel.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/144443357","repostId":"144858315","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":144858315,"gmtCreate":1626276312837,"gmtModify":1703757018498,"author":{"id":"3561164848573536","authorId":"3561164848573536","name":"sexymint","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a54ee2b9637460582a780737f4e76f73","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OYY.SI\">$PROPNEX LIMITED(OYY.SI)$</a>this counter will be the next iFast.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AIY.SI\">$IFAST CORPORATION LTD.(AIY.SI)$</a>","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OYY.SI\">$PROPNEX LIMITED(OYY.SI)$</a>this counter will be the next iFast.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AIY.SI\">$IFAST CORPORATION LTD.(AIY.SI)$</a>","text":"$PROPNEX LIMITED(OYY.SI)$this counter will be the next iFast.$IFAST CORPORATION LTD.(AIY.SI)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/144858315","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":233,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":188351174,"gmtCreate":1623422328698,"gmtModify":1704203331405,"author":{"id":"3579134724593969","authorId":"3579134724593969","name":"witchmania","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/56e8b4d72db625533b44db034eeff089","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"wonder what's people take for the stock?&nbsp;","listText":"wonder what's people take for the stock?&nbsp;","text":"wonder what's people take for the stock?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ba3007f6ac74ea082898be3d0c8000a","width":"1080","height":"2529"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/188351174","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":38,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":136247727,"gmtCreate":1622024052569,"gmtModify":1704366274480,"author":{"id":"3579134724593969","authorId":"3579134724593969","name":"witchmania","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/56e8b4d72db625533b44db034eeff089","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"thoughts on this anybody?&nbsp;","listText":"thoughts on this anybody?&nbsp;","text":"thoughts on this anybody?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9cb9b1e3967309232eef8224dc65354a","width":"1080","height":"2529"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/136247727","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":166,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":192895719,"gmtCreate":1621173487231,"gmtModify":1704353611336,"author":{"id":"3579134724593969","authorId":"3579134724593969","name":"witchmania","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/56e8b4d72db625533b44db034eeff089","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"jus wondering if holder out there are choosing dividend in the form or shares or cash. If shares, why?! ??","listText":"jus wondering if holder out there are choosing dividend in the form or shares or cash. If shares, why?! ??","text":"jus wondering if holder out there are choosing dividend in the form or shares or cash. If shares, why?! ??","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ddcf11410f8500aeb08f995ed5267c43","width":"1080","height":"2529"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/192895719","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":443,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":198289654,"gmtCreate":1620961302778,"gmtModify":1704351194066,"author":{"id":"3579134724593969","authorId":"3579134724593969","name":"witchmania","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/56e8b4d72db625533b44db034eeff089","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"What are your take?&nbsp;","listText":"What are your take?&nbsp;","text":"What are your take?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/110aae7240e7833cf8cdf7fe113c5284","width":"1080","height":"2529"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/198289654","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":184,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":344500667,"gmtCreate":1618412821359,"gmtModify":1704710516096,"author":{"id":"3579134724593969","authorId":"3579134724593969","name":"witchmania","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/56e8b4d72db625533b44db034eeff089","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"foods for thoughts&nbsp;","listText":"foods for thoughts&nbsp;","text":"foods for thoughts","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a93a246bcd2c1785b485ae87d3db159d","width":"1080","height":"2529"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/344500667","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":297,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":341278090,"gmtCreate":1617837414710,"gmtModify":1704703669312,"author":{"id":"3579134724593969","authorId":"3579134724593969","name":"witchmania","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/56e8b4d72db625533b44db034eeff089","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Any thoughts on this?&nbsp;","listText":"Any thoughts on this?&nbsp;","text":"Any thoughts on this?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/38e7810b6d2db664c44100487148e4e6","width":"1080","height":"1822"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/341278090","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":184,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":341644136,"gmtCreate":1617811849225,"gmtModify":1704703528380,"author":{"id":"3579134724593969","authorId":"3579134724593969","name":"witchmania","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/56e8b4d72db625533b44db034eeff089","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"thoughts?&nbsp;","listText":"thoughts?&nbsp;","text":"thoughts?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a7affa30c3d5c8df375e0895128a1ff0","width":"1080","height":"1822"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/341644136","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":153,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":343604860,"gmtCreate":1617709887750,"gmtModify":1704702047095,"author":{"id":"3579134724593969","authorId":"3579134724593969","name":"witchmania","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/56e8b4d72db625533b44db034eeff089","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"???","listText":"???","text":"???","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/343604860","repostId":"1101907559","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1101907559","pubTimestamp":1617672655,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1101907559?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-06 09:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Opinion: Financial crises get triggered about every 10 years — Archegos might be right on time","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1101907559","media":"marketwatch","summary":"No one, for now, can say for sure that the so-called family office’s billions in investment losses won’t spread.Financial crises are never quite the same. During the late 1980s, nearly a third of the nation’s savings and loan associations failed, ending with a taxpayer bailout — in 2021 terms — of about $265 billion.In 1997-1998, financial crises in Asia and Russia led to the near meltdown of the largest hedge fund in the U.S. —Long-Term Capital Management. Its reach and operating practices were","content":"<blockquote>\n <b>No one, for now, can say for sure that the so-called family office’s billions in investment losses won’t spread.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>Financial crises are never quite the same. During the late 1980s, nearly a third of the nation’s savings and loan associations failed, ending with a taxpayer bailout — in 2021 terms — of about $265 billion.</p>\n<p>In 1997-1998, financial crises in Asia and Russia led to the near meltdown of the largest hedge fund in the U.S. —Long-Term Capital Management(LTCM). Its reach and operating practices were such that Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan said that when LTCM failed, “he had never seen anything in his lifetime that compared to the terror” he felt. LTCM was deemed “too big to fail,” and he engineered a bailout by 14 major U.S. financial institutions.</p>\n<p>Exactly a decade later, too much leverage by some of those very institutions, and the bursting of a U.S. real estate bubble, led to the near collapse of the U.S. financial system. Once again, big banks were deemed too big to fail and taxpayers came to the rescue.</p>\n<p>The trend? Every 10 years or so, and they all look different.&nbsp;Are we in the early stages of a new crisis now, with the blowup at the family office Archegos Capital Management LP?</p>\n<p>A family office, for the uninitiated, is a private wealth management vehicle for the ultra-wealthy. Here’s what I mean by ultra-wealthy: Consulting firm EY estimates there are some 10,000 family offices globally, but manage, says a separate estimate by market research firm Campden Research, nearly $6 trillion. That $6 trillion is likely far higher now given that it’s based on 2019 data.</p>\n<p><b>Unregulated money managers</b></p>\n<p>Here’s the potential danger. Family offices generally aren’t regulated. The 1940 Investment Advisers Act says firms with 15 clients or fewer don’t have to register with the Securities and Exchange Commission. What this means is that trillions of dollars are in play and no one can really say who’s running the money, what it’s invested in, how much leverage is being used, and what kind of counterparty risk may exist. (Counterparty risk is the probability that one party involved in a financial transaction could default on a contractual obligation to someone else.)</p>\n<p>This appears to be the case with Archegos. The firm bet heavily on certain Chinese stocks, including e-commerce player&nbsp;Vipshop Holdings&nbsp;Ltd.VIPS,-1.19%,U.S.-listed Chinese tutoring company&nbsp;GSX Techedu&nbsp;Inc.GSX,-10.63%and U.S. media companiesViacomCBS&nbsp;Inc.VIAC,-3.90%and&nbsp;Discovery&nbsp;Inc.DISCA,-3.86%,among others. Share prices have tumbled lately, sparking large sales — some $30 billion — by Archegos.</p>\n<p>The problem is that only about a third of that, or $10 billion, was its own money. We now know that Archegos worked with some of the biggest names on Wall Street, including&nbsp;Credit Suisse Group AGCS,+1.59%,UBS Group AGUBS,+1.01%,Goldman Sachs Group Inc.GS,-1.25%,&nbsp;Morgan StanleyMS,-0.28%,Deutsche Bank AGDB,+0.74%and Nomura Holdings Inc.&nbsp;NMR,+1.87%.</p>\n<p>But since family offices are largely allowed to operate unregulated, who’s to say how much money is really involved here and what the extent of market risk is? My colleague Mark DeCambre&nbsp;reported last week that Archegos’ true exposures to bad trades could actuallybe closer to $100 billion.</p>\n<p><b>Danger of counterparty risk</b></p>\n<p>This is where counterparty risk comes in. As Archegos’ bets went south, the above banks — looking at losses of their own — hit the firm with margin calls. Deutsche quickly dumped about $4 billion in holdings, while Goldman and Morgan Stanley are also said to have unwound their positions, perhaps limiting their downside.</p>\n<p>So is this a financial crisis? It doesn’t appear to be. Even so, the Securities and Exchange Commission has opened a preliminary investigation into Archegos and its founder, Bill Hwang.</p>\n<p>One peer, Tom Lee, the research chief of Fundstrat Global Advisors, calls Hwang one of the “top 10 of the best investment minds” he knows.</p>\n<p>But federal regulators may have a lesser opinion. In 2012, Hwang’s former hedge fund, Tiger Asia Management, pleaded guilty and paid more than $60 million in penalties after it was accused of trading on illegal tips about Chinese banks. The SEC banned Hwang from managing money on behalf of clients — essentially booting him from the hedge fund industry. So Hwang opened Archegos, and again, family offices aren’t generally aren’t regulated.</p>\n<p><b>Yellen on the case</b></p>\n<p>This issue is on Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen’s radar. She said last week that greater oversight of these private corners of the financial industry is needed. The Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), which she oversees, has revived a task force to help agencies better “share data, identify risks and work to strengthen our financial system.”</p>\n<p>Most financial crises end up with American taxpayers getting stuck with the tab. Gains belong to the risk-takers. But losses — they belong to us. To paraphrase Abe Lincoln, family offices — a multi-trillion dollar industry largely allowed to operate in the shadows in a global financial system that is more intertwined than ever — are of the super-wealthy, by the super-wealthy and for the super-wealthy. And no one else.</p>\n<p>The Archegos collapse may or may not be the beginning of yet another financial crisis. But who’s to say what thousands of other family offices are doing with their trillions, and whether similar problems could blow up?</p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Opinion: Financial crises get triggered about every 10 years — Archegos might be right on time</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOpinion: Financial crises get triggered about every 10 years — Archegos might be right on time\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-04-06 09:30 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/financial-crises-happen-about-every-10-years-which-makes-the-archegos-meltdown-unnerving-11617634942?mod=home-page><strong>marketwatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>No one, for now, can say for sure that the so-called family office’s billions in investment losses won’t spread.\n\nFinancial crises are never quite the same. During the late 1980s, nearly a third of ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/financial-crises-happen-about-every-10-years-which-makes-the-archegos-meltdown-unnerving-11617634942?mod=home-page\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/financial-crises-happen-about-every-10-years-which-makes-the-archegos-meltdown-unnerving-11617634942?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1101907559","content_text":"No one, for now, can say for sure that the so-called family office’s billions in investment losses won’t spread.\n\nFinancial crises are never quite the same. During the late 1980s, nearly a third of the nation’s savings and loan associations failed, ending with a taxpayer bailout — in 2021 terms — of about $265 billion.\nIn 1997-1998, financial crises in Asia and Russia led to the near meltdown of the largest hedge fund in the U.S. —Long-Term Capital Management(LTCM). Its reach and operating practices were such that Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan said that when LTCM failed, “he had never seen anything in his lifetime that compared to the terror” he felt. LTCM was deemed “too big to fail,” and he engineered a bailout by 14 major U.S. financial institutions.\nExactly a decade later, too much leverage by some of those very institutions, and the bursting of a U.S. real estate bubble, led to the near collapse of the U.S. financial system. Once again, big banks were deemed too big to fail and taxpayers came to the rescue.\nThe trend? Every 10 years or so, and they all look different. Are we in the early stages of a new crisis now, with the blowup at the family office Archegos Capital Management LP?\nA family office, for the uninitiated, is a private wealth management vehicle for the ultra-wealthy. Here’s what I mean by ultra-wealthy: Consulting firm EY estimates there are some 10,000 family offices globally, but manage, says a separate estimate by market research firm Campden Research, nearly $6 trillion. That $6 trillion is likely far higher now given that it’s based on 2019 data.\nUnregulated money managers\nHere’s the potential danger. Family offices generally aren’t regulated. The 1940 Investment Advisers Act says firms with 15 clients or fewer don’t have to register with the Securities and Exchange Commission. What this means is that trillions of dollars are in play and no one can really say who’s running the money, what it’s invested in, how much leverage is being used, and what kind of counterparty risk may exist. (Counterparty risk is the probability that one party involved in a financial transaction could default on a contractual obligation to someone else.)\nThis appears to be the case with Archegos. The firm bet heavily on certain Chinese stocks, including e-commerce player Vipshop Holdings Ltd.VIPS,-1.19%,U.S.-listed Chinese tutoring company GSX Techedu Inc.GSX,-10.63%and U.S. media companiesViacomCBS Inc.VIAC,-3.90%and Discovery Inc.DISCA,-3.86%,among others. Share prices have tumbled lately, sparking large sales — some $30 billion — by Archegos.\nThe problem is that only about a third of that, or $10 billion, was its own money. We now know that Archegos worked with some of the biggest names on Wall Street, including Credit Suisse Group AGCS,+1.59%,UBS Group AGUBS,+1.01%,Goldman Sachs Group Inc.GS,-1.25%, Morgan StanleyMS,-0.28%,Deutsche Bank AGDB,+0.74%and Nomura Holdings Inc. NMR,+1.87%.\nBut since family offices are largely allowed to operate unregulated, who’s to say how much money is really involved here and what the extent of market risk is? My colleague Mark DeCambre reported last week that Archegos’ true exposures to bad trades could actuallybe closer to $100 billion.\nDanger of counterparty risk\nThis is where counterparty risk comes in. As Archegos’ bets went south, the above banks — looking at losses of their own — hit the firm with margin calls. Deutsche quickly dumped about $4 billion in holdings, while Goldman and Morgan Stanley are also said to have unwound their positions, perhaps limiting their downside.\nSo is this a financial crisis? It doesn’t appear to be. Even so, the Securities and Exchange Commission has opened a preliminary investigation into Archegos and its founder, Bill Hwang.\nOne peer, Tom Lee, the research chief of Fundstrat Global Advisors, calls Hwang one of the “top 10 of the best investment minds” he knows.\nBut federal regulators may have a lesser opinion. In 2012, Hwang’s former hedge fund, Tiger Asia Management, pleaded guilty and paid more than $60 million in penalties after it was accused of trading on illegal tips about Chinese banks. The SEC banned Hwang from managing money on behalf of clients — essentially booting him from the hedge fund industry. So Hwang opened Archegos, and again, family offices aren’t generally aren’t regulated.\nYellen on the case\nThis issue is on Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen’s radar. She said last week that greater oversight of these private corners of the financial industry is needed. The Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), which she oversees, has revived a task force to help agencies better “share data, identify risks and work to strengthen our financial system.”\nMost financial crises end up with American taxpayers getting stuck with the tab. Gains belong to the risk-takers. But losses — they belong to us. To paraphrase Abe Lincoln, family offices — a multi-trillion dollar industry largely allowed to operate in the shadows in a global financial system that is more intertwined than ever — are of the super-wealthy, by the super-wealthy and for the super-wealthy. And no one else.\nThe Archegos collapse may or may not be the beginning of yet another financial crisis. But who’s to say what thousands of other family offices are doing with their trillions, and whether similar problems could blow up?","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":270,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}