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Jayden86_

Jayden86_

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2024-07-07

$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ hey

2022-11-24

Ya

@InverseCramer:Is this the bottom? Pivot point? 🤔 doubt so. Slightest hint of bad news it'll drop like grapes again. anyways its always nice to see green. 🤗 overall portfolio still red 😫

2022-11-16

Ya

Grab Lifts Revenue Outlook on Rideshare, Food Delivery Strength

2022-11-15

Ya

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2022-09-28

Ya

5 ETFs Up 20% or More in the First Nine Months of 2022

2022-09-22

Ya

US STOCKS-Wall Street Slumps As Investors Absorb Hawkish Fed Rate Message

2022-09-15

Ya

Ray Dalio Does the Math: Rates at 4.5% Would Sink Stocks by 20%

2022-09-13

Ya

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2022-09-13

Ya

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2022-09-11

Ya

How a CEO Rescued a Big Bet on Big Oil; "There Were a Lot of Doubters"

2022-09-08

Ya

Cathie Wood Goes Bargain Hunting: 3 Stocks She Just Bought

2022-09-07

Ya

Prediction: These 2 Growth Stocks Could Soar 500% by 2032

2022-09-06

Ya

Palantir: Down 80% - Move Slowly, Size Properly, And Diversify

2022-09-04

Ya

Reminder: US Market Will be Closed for Labor Day on Monday, 5 September 2022 EDT

2022-09-03

Ya

September May Bring The S&P 500 Back To Its June Lows

2022-09-02

Ya

SOXL: Buying A Potential Bounce In Semiconductors

2022-09-01

Ya

"Prepare for an Epic Finale": Jeremy Grantham Warns "Tragedy" Looms as "Superbubble" May Burst

2022-08-26

Ya

Gap Shares Surged 6% in Premarket Trading

2022-08-21

Ya

No, There Is No New Short-Selling Champion in Tesla Stock

2022-08-18

Ya

Fed Officials Saw Need to Slow Rate-Hike Pace “At Some Point”

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Pivot point? 🤔 doubt so. Slightest hint of bad news it'll drop like grapes again. anyways its always nice to see green. 🤗 overall portfolio still red 😫","listText":"Is this the bottom? Pivot point? 🤔 doubt so. Slightest hint of bad news it'll drop like grapes again. anyways its always nice to see green. 🤗 overall portfolio still red 😫","text":"Is this the bottom? Pivot point? 🤔 doubt so. Slightest hint of bad news it'll drop like grapes again. anyways its always nice to see green. 🤗 overall portfolio still red 😫","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1319b1f4ef7e13b23a5f926d05ad1bf2","width":"750","height":"1334"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9968245171","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":908,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9963111441,"gmtCreate":1668616819984,"gmtModify":1676538085471,"author":{"id":"3581853261599921","authorId":"3581853261599921","name":"Jayden86_","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e0a3979b2998dfa9c0fddbce29da3ab9","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581853261599921","idStr":"3581853261599921"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ya&nbsp;","listText":"Ya&nbsp;","text":"Ya","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9963111441","repostId":"2283827074","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2283827074","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1668601184,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2283827074?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2022-11-16 20:19","market":"sg","language":"en","title":"Grab Lifts Revenue Outlook on Rideshare, Food Delivery Strength","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2283827074","media":"Reuters","summary":"Nov 16 (Reuters) - Grab Holdings Ltd on Wednesday raised its forecast for annual revenue as demand f","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Nov 16 (Reuters) - Grab Holdings Ltd on Wednesday raised its forecast for annual revenue as demand for its ride-hailing service and food deliveries remains strong across Southeast Asia.</p><p>U.S.-listed shares of Southeast Asia&#39;s biggest ride-hailing and food delivery firm rose 15% in trading before the bell.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a53ce28248e71c377ad01973fad01adf\" tg-width=\"853\" tg-height=\"617\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Decade-old Grab has become a go-to for consumers in the region as they increasingly step out and return to offices.</p><p>The company said it expected revenue between $1.32 billion and $1.35 billion. It had previously forecast revenue between $1.25 billion and $1.30 billion for the year.</p><p>Grab also raised its forecast for annual gross merchandise volume growth (GMV) to between 22% and 25%. It had previously forecast GMV growth of 21% to 25% for the year.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Grab Lifts Revenue Outlook on Rideshare, Food Delivery Strength</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGrab Lifts Revenue Outlook on Rideshare, Food Delivery Strength\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-11-16 20:19</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Nov 16 (Reuters) - Grab Holdings Ltd on Wednesday raised its forecast for annual revenue as demand for its ride-hailing service and food deliveries remains strong across Southeast Asia.</p><p>U.S.-listed shares of Southeast Asia&#39;s biggest ride-hailing and food delivery firm rose 15% in trading before the bell.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a53ce28248e71c377ad01973fad01adf\" tg-width=\"853\" tg-height=\"617\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Decade-old Grab has become a go-to for consumers in the region as they increasingly step out and return to offices.</p><p>The company said it expected revenue between $1.32 billion and $1.35 billion. It had previously forecast revenue between $1.25 billion and $1.30 billion for the year.</p><p>Grab also raised its forecast for annual gross merchandise volume growth (GMV) to between 22% and 25%. It had previously forecast GMV growth of 21% to 25% for the year.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GRAB":"Grab Holdings"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2283827074","content_text":"Nov 16 (Reuters) - Grab Holdings Ltd on Wednesday raised its forecast for annual revenue as demand for its ride-hailing service and food deliveries remains strong across Southeast Asia.U.S.-listed shares of Southeast Asia's biggest ride-hailing and food delivery firm rose 15% in trading before the bell.Decade-old Grab has become a go-to for consumers in the region as they increasingly step out and return to offices.The company said it expected revenue between $1.32 billion and $1.35 billion. It had previously forecast revenue between $1.25 billion and $1.30 billion for the year.Grab also raised its forecast for annual gross merchandise volume growth (GMV) to between 22% and 25%. It had previously forecast GMV growth of 21% to 25% for the year.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1165,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9969739684,"gmtCreate":1668519729562,"gmtModify":1676538069546,"author":{"id":"3581853261599921","authorId":"3581853261599921","name":"Jayden86_","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e0a3979b2998dfa9c0fddbce29da3ab9","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581853261599921","idStr":"3581853261599921"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ya&nbsp;","listText":"Ya&nbsp;","text":"Ya","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9969739684","repostId":"1182432983","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1690,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9918685771,"gmtCreate":1664377948393,"gmtModify":1676537443952,"author":{"id":"3581853261599921","authorId":"3581853261599921","name":"Jayden86_","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e0a3979b2998dfa9c0fddbce29da3ab9","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581853261599921","idStr":"3581853261599921"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ya&nbsp;","listText":"Ya&nbsp;","text":"Ya","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9918685771","repostId":"2270419152","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2270419152","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1664377804,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2270419152?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2022-09-28 23:10","market":"us","language":"en","title":"5 ETFs Up 20% or More in the First Nine Months of 2022","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2270419152","media":"Zacks","summary":"Wall Street has been on a tough ride this year, with all the three major indices slipping into a bea","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Wall Street has been on a tough ride this year, with all the three major indices slipping into a bear market (a drop of 20% or more from a recent high). Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, aggressive rate hikes by the Fed and global growth concern have roiled the stock market badly.</p><p>While most corners of the market were in deep red, a few have performed well. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFIX\">Simplify Interest Rate Hedge ETF</a>(PFIX), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KMLM\">KFA Mount Lucas Index Strategy ETF</a> KMLM, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PXE\">Invesco Dynamic Energy Exploration &amp; Production ETF</a> PXE, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DBMF\">iMGP DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF</a> DBMF and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UUP\">Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund</a> UUP from various corner of the stock market gained in double digits in the first nine months.</p><p>These funds have been this year’s star performers and could also be winners for the reminder of 2022 if the current trends continue.</p><h2>Market Trends</h2><p>The Federal Reserve has been on an aggressive tightening policy to fight skyrocketing inflation, which is near its highest levels since the early 1980s. Inflation is hovering near a 40-year high, dashing investors’ hopes with the possibility that price pressures would weaken.</p><p>Fed Chair Jerome Powell raised interest rates by another three-quarters of a percentage point in the meeting last week. This marks the third consecutive interest rate hike of 0.75% and brings the benchmark interest rate to 3.0-3.25%, the highest level since 2008. The increase in interest rates will make borrowing expensive, driving up the cost of buying a new car or house or push up the cost of carrying credit card debt and thus slow down economic growth. The central bank also signaled that additional large rate hikes were likely at the upcoming meetings as it combats inflation that remains near a 40-year high.</p><p>Fed officials now expect the federal funds rate in a range of 4.25% to 4.5%, a full percentage point above 3.25% to 3.5% to end 2022, projected in June. This suggests that the central bank could approve another three-quarter point hike at its November meeting and then a half-point rate rise in December. The rapid pace of tightening has bolstered the case for the economy falling into recession.</p><p>Further, bouts of weak economic data across the globe added to global slowdown fears. Economic activity in China, the world&#39;s second-largest economy, has been declining and the property sector is also suffering. Euro zone inflation also rose to another record high.</p><h3><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFIX\">Simplify Interest Rate Hedge ETF</a><b> – Up 74.6%</b></h3><p>Simplify Interest Rate Hedge ETF seeks to provide a hedge against a sharp increase in long-term interest rates and benefit from market stress when fixed-income volatility increases, while providing the potential for income. It buys put options on longer-term Treasury bonds to offer “the most liquid and the most cost-efficient way of getting interest rate protection.” Simplify Interest Rate Hedge ETF is the first ETF providing a simple, direct and transparent interest rate hedge.</p><p>PFIX has accumulated $342.4 million in its asset base and trades in an average daily volume of 150,000 shares. It charges 50 bps in annual fees.</p><h3><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KMLM\">KFA Mount Lucas Index Strategy ETF</a><b> – Up 47.4%</b></h3><p>KFA Mount Lucas Index Strategy ETF is benchmarked to the KFA MLM Index, which consists of a portfolio of 22 liquid futures contracts traded on U.S. and foreign exchanges. The Index includes futures contracts on 11 commodities, six currencies, and five global bond markets. These three baskets are weighted by their relative historical volatility, and within each basket, the constituent markets are equal-dollar weighted.</p><p>KFA Mount Lucas Index Strategy ETF has amassed $244.5 million in its asset base and trades in average daily volume of 65,000 shares. It charges 92 bps in annual fees.</p><h3><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PXE\">Invesco Dynamic Energy Exploration &amp; Production ETF</a><b> – Up 33.9%</b></h3><p>Invesco Dynamic Energy Exploration &amp; Production ETF follows the Dynamic Energy Exploration &amp; Production Intellidex Index, which thoroughly evaluates companies involved in the exploration and production of natural resources used to produce energy based on a variety of investment merit criteria, including price momentum, earnings momentum, quality, management action and value (read: Should You Buy Energy ETFs On Dip?).</p><p>Holding 32 stocks in its basket, Invesco Dynamic Energy Exploration &amp; Production ETF has amassed $266.5 million in its asset base and charges 63 bps in annual fees. It trades in a volume of 163,000 shares and has a Zacks ETF Rank #1 (Strong Buy) with a High risk outlook.</p><h3><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DBMF\">iMGP DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF</a><b> – Up 33%</b></h3><p>iMGP DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF seeks long-term capital appreciation. It will employ long and short positions in derivatives, primarily futures contracts and forward contracts, across the broad asset classes of equities, fixed income, currencies and commodities.</p><p>iMGP DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF has AUM of $820.7 million and charges 85 bps in annual fees. It trades in a moderate volume of 499,000 shares a day on average (read: 5 ETFs Hitting 52-Week High Amid Market Turmoil).</p><h3><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UUP\">Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund</a><b>– Up 19.6%</b></h3><p>Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund is the prime beneficiary of a rising dollar as it offers exposure against a basket of six world currencies — euro, Japanese yen, British pound, Canadian dollar, Swedish krona and Swiss franc. This is done by tracking the Deutsche Bank Long US Dollar Index Futures Index Excess Return plus the interest income from the fund’s holdings of U.S. Treasury securities.</p><p>Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund has so far managed an asset base of $2 billion while seeing an average daily volume of around 4 million shares. It charges 77 bps in total fees and expenses and has a Zacks ETF Rank #2 (Buy) with a Medium risk outlook.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>5 ETFs Up 20% or More in the First Nine Months of 2022</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n5 ETFs Up 20% or More in the First Nine Months of 2022\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-28 23:10 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/1985445/5-etfs-up-20-or-more-in-the-first-nine-months-of-2022?art_rec=home-home-investment_ideas_stocks-ID16-txt-1985445><strong>Zacks</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Wall Street has been on a tough ride this year, with all the three major indices slipping into a bear market (a drop of 20% or more from a recent high). Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, aggressive rate ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/1985445/5-etfs-up-20-or-more-in-the-first-nine-months-of-2022?art_rec=home-home-investment_ideas_stocks-ID16-txt-1985445\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PXE":"Invesco Energy Exploration & Production ETF","DBMF":"iMGP DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF","BK4135":"资产管理与托管银行","UUP":"美元ETF-PowerShares DB","KMLM":"KFA Mount Lucas Managed Futures Index Strategy ETF","IVZ":"美国景顺集团","PFIX":"Simplify Interest Rate Hedge ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/1985445/5-etfs-up-20-or-more-in-the-first-nine-months-of-2022?art_rec=home-home-investment_ideas_stocks-ID16-txt-1985445","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2270419152","content_text":"Wall Street has been on a tough ride this year, with all the three major indices slipping into a bear market (a drop of 20% or more from a recent high). Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, aggressive rate hikes by the Fed and global growth concern have roiled the stock market badly.While most corners of the market were in deep red, a few have performed well. Simplify Interest Rate Hedge ETF(PFIX), KFA Mount Lucas Index Strategy ETF KMLM, Invesco Dynamic Energy Exploration & Production ETF PXE, iMGP DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF DBMF and Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund UUP from various corner of the stock market gained in double digits in the first nine months.These funds have been this year’s star performers and could also be winners for the reminder of 2022 if the current trends continue.Market TrendsThe Federal Reserve has been on an aggressive tightening policy to fight skyrocketing inflation, which is near its highest levels since the early 1980s. Inflation is hovering near a 40-year high, dashing investors’ hopes with the possibility that price pressures would weaken.Fed Chair Jerome Powell raised interest rates by another three-quarters of a percentage point in the meeting last week. This marks the third consecutive interest rate hike of 0.75% and brings the benchmark interest rate to 3.0-3.25%, the highest level since 2008. The increase in interest rates will make borrowing expensive, driving up the cost of buying a new car or house or push up the cost of carrying credit card debt and thus slow down economic growth. The central bank also signaled that additional large rate hikes were likely at the upcoming meetings as it combats inflation that remains near a 40-year high.Fed officials now expect the federal funds rate in a range of 4.25% to 4.5%, a full percentage point above 3.25% to 3.5% to end 2022, projected in June. This suggests that the central bank could approve another three-quarter point hike at its November meeting and then a half-point rate rise in December. The rapid pace of tightening has bolstered the case for the economy falling into recession.Further, bouts of weak economic data across the globe added to global slowdown fears. Economic activity in China, the world's second-largest economy, has been declining and the property sector is also suffering. Euro zone inflation also rose to another record high.Simplify Interest Rate Hedge ETF – Up 74.6%Simplify Interest Rate Hedge ETF seeks to provide a hedge against a sharp increase in long-term interest rates and benefit from market stress when fixed-income volatility increases, while providing the potential for income. It buys put options on longer-term Treasury bonds to offer “the most liquid and the most cost-efficient way of getting interest rate protection.” Simplify Interest Rate Hedge ETF is the first ETF providing a simple, direct and transparent interest rate hedge.PFIX has accumulated $342.4 million in its asset base and trades in an average daily volume of 150,000 shares. It charges 50 bps in annual fees.KFA Mount Lucas Index Strategy ETF – Up 47.4%KFA Mount Lucas Index Strategy ETF is benchmarked to the KFA MLM Index, which consists of a portfolio of 22 liquid futures contracts traded on U.S. and foreign exchanges. The Index includes futures contracts on 11 commodities, six currencies, and five global bond markets. These three baskets are weighted by their relative historical volatility, and within each basket, the constituent markets are equal-dollar weighted.KFA Mount Lucas Index Strategy ETF has amassed $244.5 million in its asset base and trades in average daily volume of 65,000 shares. It charges 92 bps in annual fees.Invesco Dynamic Energy Exploration & Production ETF – Up 33.9%Invesco Dynamic Energy Exploration & Production ETF follows the Dynamic Energy Exploration & Production Intellidex Index, which thoroughly evaluates companies involved in the exploration and production of natural resources used to produce energy based on a variety of investment merit criteria, including price momentum, earnings momentum, quality, management action and value (read: Should You Buy Energy ETFs On Dip?).Holding 32 stocks in its basket, Invesco Dynamic Energy Exploration & Production ETF has amassed $266.5 million in its asset base and charges 63 bps in annual fees. It trades in a volume of 163,000 shares and has a Zacks ETF Rank #1 (Strong Buy) with a High risk outlook.iMGP DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF – Up 33%iMGP DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF seeks long-term capital appreciation. It will employ long and short positions in derivatives, primarily futures contracts and forward contracts, across the broad asset classes of equities, fixed income, currencies and commodities.iMGP DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF has AUM of $820.7 million and charges 85 bps in annual fees. It trades in a moderate volume of 499,000 shares a day on average (read: 5 ETFs Hitting 52-Week High Amid Market Turmoil).Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund– Up 19.6%Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund is the prime beneficiary of a rising dollar as it offers exposure against a basket of six world currencies — euro, Japanese yen, British pound, Canadian dollar, Swedish krona and Swiss franc. This is done by tracking the Deutsche Bank Long US Dollar Index Futures Index Excess Return plus the interest income from the fund’s holdings of U.S. Treasury securities.Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund has so far managed an asset base of $2 billion while seeing an average daily volume of around 4 million shares. It charges 77 bps in total fees and expenses and has a Zacks ETF Rank #2 (Buy) with a Medium risk outlook.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1156,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9919289312,"gmtCreate":1663807473636,"gmtModify":1676537339853,"author":{"id":"3581853261599921","authorId":"3581853261599921","name":"Jayden86_","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e0a3979b2998dfa9c0fddbce29da3ab9","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581853261599921","idStr":"3581853261599921"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ya&nbsp;","listText":"Ya&nbsp;","text":"Ya","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9919289312","repostId":"2269969281","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2269969281","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1663800880,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2269969281?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2022-09-22 06:54","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US STOCKS-Wall Street Slumps As Investors Absorb Hawkish Fed Rate Message","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2269969281","media":"Reuters","summary":"* Fed raises rates by 75 bps to 3-3.25% range* Terminal rate seen hitting 4.6% in 2023* Investors ha","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>* Fed raises rates by 75 bps to 3-3.25% range</p><p>* Terminal rate seen hitting 4.6% in 2023</p><p>* Investors had expected 75 bps, but not higher for longer</p><p>* Sharp decline in final half-hour of trading</p><p>* Indexes down: Dow 1.7%, S&amp;P 1.71%, Nasdaq 1.79%</p><p>Sept 21 (Reuters) - Wall Street&#39;s main indexes see-sawed before slumping in the final 30 minutes of trading to end Wednesday lower, as investors digested another supersized Federal Reserve hike and its commitment to keep up increases into 2023 to fight inflation.</p><p>All three benchmarks finished more than 1.7% down, with the Dow posting its lowest close since June 17, with the Nasdaq and S&amp;P 500, respectively, at their lowest point since July 1, and June 30.</p><p>At the end of its two-day meeting, the Fed lifted its policy rate by 75 basis points for the third time to a 3.00-3.25% range. Most market participants had expected such an increase, with only a 21% chance of a 100 bps rate hike seen prior to the announcement.</p><p>However, policymakers also signaled more large increases to come in new projections showing its policy rate rising to 4.40% by the end of this year before topping out at 4.60% in 2023. This is up from projections in June of 3.4% and 3.8% respectively.</p><p>Rate cuts are not foreseen until 2024, the central bank added, dashing any outstanding investor hopes that the Fed foresaw getting inflation under control in the near term. The Fed&#39;s preferred measure of inflation is now seen slowly returning to its 2% target in 2025.</p><p>In his press conference, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said U.S. central bank officials are &#34;strongly resolved&#34; to bring down inflation from the highest levels in four decades and &#34;will keep at it until the job is done,&#34; a process he repeated would not come without pain.</p><p>&#34;Chairman Powell delivered a sobering message. He stated that no one knows if there will be a recession or how severe, and that achieving a soft landing was always difficult,&#34; said Yung-Yu Ma, chief investment strategist at BMO Wealth Management.</p><p>Higher rates and the battle against inflation was also feeding through into the U.S. economy, with the Fed&#39;s projections showing year-end growth of just 0.2% this year, rising to 1.2% in 2023.</p><p>&#34;Markets were already braced for some hawkishness, based on inflation reports and recent governor comments,&#34; said BMO&#39;s Ma.</p><p>&#34;But it&#39;s always interesting to see how the market reacts to the messaging. Hawkishness was to be expected, but while some in the market take comfort from that, others take the position to sell.&#34;</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 522.45 points, or 1.7%, to 30,183.78, the S&amp;P 500 lost 66 points, or 1.71%, to 3,789.93 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 204.86 points, or 1.79%, to 11,220.19.</p><p>All 11 S&amp;P sectors finished lower, led by declines of more than 2.3% by Consumer Discretionary and Communication Services.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 11.03 billion shares, compared with the 10.79 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted two new 52-week highs and 70 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 44 new highs and 446 new lows.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US STOCKS-Wall Street Slumps As Investors Absorb Hawkish Fed Rate Message</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS STOCKS-Wall Street Slumps As Investors Absorb Hawkish Fed Rate Message\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-09-22 06:54</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>* Fed raises rates by 75 bps to 3-3.25% range</p><p>* Terminal rate seen hitting 4.6% in 2023</p><p>* Investors had expected 75 bps, but not higher for longer</p><p>* Sharp decline in final half-hour of trading</p><p>* Indexes down: Dow 1.7%, S&amp;P 1.71%, Nasdaq 1.79%</p><p>Sept 21 (Reuters) - Wall Street&#39;s main indexes see-sawed before slumping in the final 30 minutes of trading to end Wednesday lower, as investors digested another supersized Federal Reserve hike and its commitment to keep up increases into 2023 to fight inflation.</p><p>All three benchmarks finished more than 1.7% down, with the Dow posting its lowest close since June 17, with the Nasdaq and S&amp;P 500, respectively, at their lowest point since July 1, and June 30.</p><p>At the end of its two-day meeting, the Fed lifted its policy rate by 75 basis points for the third time to a 3.00-3.25% range. Most market participants had expected such an increase, with only a 21% chance of a 100 bps rate hike seen prior to the announcement.</p><p>However, policymakers also signaled more large increases to come in new projections showing its policy rate rising to 4.40% by the end of this year before topping out at 4.60% in 2023. This is up from projections in June of 3.4% and 3.8% respectively.</p><p>Rate cuts are not foreseen until 2024, the central bank added, dashing any outstanding investor hopes that the Fed foresaw getting inflation under control in the near term. The Fed&#39;s preferred measure of inflation is now seen slowly returning to its 2% target in 2025.</p><p>In his press conference, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said U.S. central bank officials are &#34;strongly resolved&#34; to bring down inflation from the highest levels in four decades and &#34;will keep at it until the job is done,&#34; a process he repeated would not come without pain.</p><p>&#34;Chairman Powell delivered a sobering message. He stated that no one knows if there will be a recession or how severe, and that achieving a soft landing was always difficult,&#34; said Yung-Yu Ma, chief investment strategist at BMO Wealth Management.</p><p>Higher rates and the battle against inflation was also feeding through into the U.S. economy, with the Fed&#39;s projections showing year-end growth of just 0.2% this year, rising to 1.2% in 2023.</p><p>&#34;Markets were already braced for some hawkishness, based on inflation reports and recent governor comments,&#34; said BMO&#39;s Ma.</p><p>&#34;But it&#39;s always interesting to see how the market reacts to the messaging. Hawkishness was to be expected, but while some in the market take comfort from that, others take the position to sell.&#34;</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 522.45 points, or 1.7%, to 30,183.78, the S&amp;P 500 lost 66 points, or 1.71%, to 3,789.93 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 204.86 points, or 1.79%, to 11,220.19.</p><p>All 11 S&amp;P sectors finished lower, led by declines of more than 2.3% by Consumer Discretionary and Communication Services.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 11.03 billion shares, compared with the 10.79 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted two new 52-week highs and 70 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 44 new highs and 446 new lows.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","OEX":"标普100",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","COMP":"Compass, Inc.","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓","SH":"标普500反向ETF","BK4539":"次新股","NDX":"纳斯达克100指数","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2269969281","content_text":"* Fed raises rates by 75 bps to 3-3.25% range* Terminal rate seen hitting 4.6% in 2023* Investors had expected 75 bps, but not higher for longer* Sharp decline in final half-hour of trading* Indexes down: Dow 1.7%, S&P 1.71%, Nasdaq 1.79%Sept 21 (Reuters) - Wall Street's main indexes see-sawed before slumping in the final 30 minutes of trading to end Wednesday lower, as investors digested another supersized Federal Reserve hike and its commitment to keep up increases into 2023 to fight inflation.All three benchmarks finished more than 1.7% down, with the Dow posting its lowest close since June 17, with the Nasdaq and S&P 500, respectively, at their lowest point since July 1, and June 30.At the end of its two-day meeting, the Fed lifted its policy rate by 75 basis points for the third time to a 3.00-3.25% range. Most market participants had expected such an increase, with only a 21% chance of a 100 bps rate hike seen prior to the announcement.However, policymakers also signaled more large increases to come in new projections showing its policy rate rising to 4.40% by the end of this year before topping out at 4.60% in 2023. This is up from projections in June of 3.4% and 3.8% respectively.Rate cuts are not foreseen until 2024, the central bank added, dashing any outstanding investor hopes that the Fed foresaw getting inflation under control in the near term. The Fed's preferred measure of inflation is now seen slowly returning to its 2% target in 2025.In his press conference, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said U.S. central bank officials are \"strongly resolved\" to bring down inflation from the highest levels in four decades and \"will keep at it until the job is done,\" a process he repeated would not come without pain.\"Chairman Powell delivered a sobering message. He stated that no one knows if there will be a recession or how severe, and that achieving a soft landing was always difficult,\" said Yung-Yu Ma, chief investment strategist at BMO Wealth Management.Higher rates and the battle against inflation was also feeding through into the U.S. economy, with the Fed's projections showing year-end growth of just 0.2% this year, rising to 1.2% in 2023.\"Markets were already braced for some hawkishness, based on inflation reports and recent governor comments,\" said BMO's Ma.\"But it's always interesting to see how the market reacts to the messaging. Hawkishness was to be expected, but while some in the market take comfort from that, others take the position to sell.\"The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 522.45 points, or 1.7%, to 30,183.78, the S&P 500 lost 66 points, or 1.71%, to 3,789.93 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 204.86 points, or 1.79%, to 11,220.19.All 11 S&P sectors finished lower, led by declines of more than 2.3% by Consumer Discretionary and Communication Services.Volume on U.S. exchanges was 11.03 billion shares, compared with the 10.79 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.The S&P 500 posted two new 52-week highs and 70 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 44 new highs and 446 new lows.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1042,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9934136652,"gmtCreate":1663202992876,"gmtModify":1676537225899,"author":{"id":"3581853261599921","authorId":"3581853261599921","name":"Jayden86_","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e0a3979b2998dfa9c0fddbce29da3ab9","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581853261599921","idStr":"3581853261599921"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ya&nbsp;","listText":"Ya&nbsp;","text":"Ya","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9934136652","repostId":"1119688207","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1119688207","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1663198743,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1119688207?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2022-09-15 07:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Ray Dalio Does the Math: Rates at 4.5% Would Sink Stocks by 20%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1119688207","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"He says private sector credit growth and spending to come downNotes investors may be complacent abou","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>He says private sector credit growth and spending to come down</li><li>Notes investors may be complacent about long-term inflation</li></ul><p>Ray Dalio came out with a gloomy prediction for stocks and the economy after a hotter-than-expected inflation print rattled financial markets around the globe this week.</p><p>“It looks like interest rates will have to rise a lot (toward the higher end of the 4.5% to 6% range),” the billionaire founder of Bridgewater Associates LP wrote in a LinkedIn article dated Tuesday. “This will bring private sector credit growth down, which will bring private sector spending and, hence, the economy down with it.”</p><p>A mere increase in rates to about 4.5% would lead to a nearly 20% plunge in equity prices, he added.</p><p>The rate market suggests traders have fully priced in a 75-basis-point hike next week by the Federal Reserve, with a slight chance for a full percentage point move. Traders expect the Fed fund rate to peak at about 4.4% next year, from the current range of 2.25% and 2.5%.</p><p>Dalio noted investors may still be too complacent about long-term inflation. While the bond market suggests traders are expecting an average annual inflation rate of 2.6% over the next decade, his “guesstimate” is that the increase will be around 4.5% to 5%. With economic shocks, it may be even “significantly higher,” he added.</p><p>Dalio said the US yield curve will be “relatively flat” until there is an “unacceptable negative effect” on the economy.</p><p>A deepening inversion of key curve measures -- seen by many as a potential harbinger of recession -- has helped reinforce a more downbeat view about economic activity among investors.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40c4808d274be46162db2efadd720342\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"348\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Investors, speculating that the Fed will tip the economy into recession next year in the fight to curb inflation, already see policy makers easing rates in the later stages of 2023.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 is heading for its biggest annual loss since 2008, while Treasuries have suffered one of their worst beatings in decades.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Ray Dalio Does the Math: Rates at 4.5% Would Sink Stocks by 20%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nRay Dalio Does the Math: Rates at 4.5% Would Sink Stocks by 20%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-15 07:39 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-14/ray-dalio-doing-the-math-rates-at-4-5-would-sink-stocks-by-20?srnd=premium-asia><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>He says private sector credit growth and spending to come downNotes investors may be complacent about long-term inflationRay Dalio came out with a gloomy prediction for stocks and the economy after a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-14/ray-dalio-doing-the-math-rates-at-4-5-would-sink-stocks-by-20?srnd=premium-asia\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-14/ray-dalio-doing-the-math-rates-at-4-5-would-sink-stocks-by-20?srnd=premium-asia","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1119688207","content_text":"He says private sector credit growth and spending to come downNotes investors may be complacent about long-term inflationRay Dalio came out with a gloomy prediction for stocks and the economy after a hotter-than-expected inflation print rattled financial markets around the globe this week.“It looks like interest rates will have to rise a lot (toward the higher end of the 4.5% to 6% range),” the billionaire founder of Bridgewater Associates LP wrote in a LinkedIn article dated Tuesday. “This will bring private sector credit growth down, which will bring private sector spending and, hence, the economy down with it.”A mere increase in rates to about 4.5% would lead to a nearly 20% plunge in equity prices, he added.The rate market suggests traders have fully priced in a 75-basis-point hike next week by the Federal Reserve, with a slight chance for a full percentage point move. Traders expect the Fed fund rate to peak at about 4.4% next year, from the current range of 2.25% and 2.5%.Dalio noted investors may still be too complacent about long-term inflation. While the bond market suggests traders are expecting an average annual inflation rate of 2.6% over the next decade, his “guesstimate” is that the increase will be around 4.5% to 5%. With economic shocks, it may be even “significantly higher,” he added.Dalio said the US yield curve will be “relatively flat” until there is an “unacceptable negative effect” on the economy.A deepening inversion of key curve measures -- seen by many as a potential harbinger of recession -- has helped reinforce a more downbeat view about economic activity among investors.Investors, speculating that the Fed will tip the economy into recession next year in the fight to curb inflation, already see policy makers easing rates in the later stages of 2023.The S&P 500 is heading for its biggest annual loss since 2008, while Treasuries have suffered one of their worst beatings in decades.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1353,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9935300558,"gmtCreate":1663029801874,"gmtModify":1676537185839,"author":{"id":"3581853261599921","authorId":"3581853261599921","name":"Jayden86_","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e0a3979b2998dfa9c0fddbce29da3ab9","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581853261599921","idStr":"3581853261599921"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ya&nbsp;","listText":"Ya&nbsp;","text":"Ya","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9935300558","repostId":"2267757983","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1059,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9935300197,"gmtCreate":1663029787220,"gmtModify":1676537185818,"author":{"id":"3581853261599921","authorId":"3581853261599921","name":"Jayden86_","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e0a3979b2998dfa9c0fddbce29da3ab9","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581853261599921","idStr":"3581853261599921"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ya&nbsp;","listText":"Ya&nbsp;","text":"Ya","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9935300197","repostId":"2266347360","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1022,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9932814720,"gmtCreate":1662917444561,"gmtModify":1676537162308,"author":{"id":"3581853261599921","authorId":"3581853261599921","name":"Jayden86_","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e0a3979b2998dfa9c0fddbce29da3ab9","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581853261599921","idStr":"3581853261599921"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ya&nbsp;","listText":"Ya&nbsp;","text":"Ya","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9932814720","repostId":"2266817381","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2266817381","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1662861434,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2266817381?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2022-09-11 09:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"How a CEO Rescued a Big Bet on Big Oil; \"There Were a Lot of Doubters\"","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2266817381","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Occidental Petroleum Corp. entered the thick of the pandemic among the worst prepared of its U.S. oi","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be5cb2e717152d9e61504d0803ac3654\" tg-width=\"1278\" tg-height=\"1278\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Occidental Petroleum Corp. entered the thick of the pandemic among the worst prepared of its U.S. oil-and-gas peers. Struggling with debt from an ill-timed $38 billion deal, Chief ExecutiveVicki Hollubwas fending off activist investorCarl Icahn, who controlled two board seats.</p><p>Two years later, the company has emerged as the top performer in the S&amp;P 500, and Ms. Hollub has traded Mr. Icahn, who sold all of his Occidental shares in March, for Warren Buffett, whoseBerkshire Hathaway Inc. now owns more than 20% of the company.</p><p>It was touch and go for a time. Months before the pandemic took hold, she implemented widespread layoffs. To stave off bankruptcy after oil prices collapsed in 2020, she slashed spending and nearly eliminated Occidental’s once-sacrosanct dividend—“the biggest and toughest decision that I made and I’ve ever made in my career,” she said in an interview.</p><p>Her 2019 acquisition of rival Anadarko Petroleum Corp., which Mr. Icahn called a “disaster,” has given Occidental the dominant position in the largest U.S. shale-oil field, the Permian Basin. Lifted by climbing oil prices, Occidental generated a record $4.35 billion in free cash flow and $3.7 billion in profit in the second quarter. It has cut its debt to $22 billion from nearly $36 billion a year ago.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/61847881fba325e1dc5c7ed3280e29db\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Oil-and-gas producers have reported banner profits this year, even as a global energy crisis sparked by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has threatened to derail European industries, left the U.K. facing its worst economic crisis since the 1970s and forced the Netherlands, Germany and India to rely heavily on coal to make up for a dearth of natural gas.</p><p>But Ms. Hollub, the first woman to be CEO of a major U.S. oil company, says she doesn’t feel vindicated. “I just feel relief,” she said. “There were a lot of doubters.”</p><p>Mr. Buffett has publicly lauded Ms. Hollub’s leadership. After she detailed the company’s future plans for analysts in February, Mr. Buffett told his own shareholders, “What Vicki Hollub was saying made nothing but sense.” Last month, Berkshire received regulatory approval to buy up to 50% of the oil company’s shares, spurring speculation it might seek to purchase all of Occidental.</p><p>Mr. Buffett declined to comment for this story. Ms. Hollub said she has “tremendous respect” for Mr. Buffett, adding that “he will be very beneficial for us as we go forward.” She declined to discuss the possibility of Berkshire purchasing the entire company.</p><p>Some former investors remain skeptical, saying a spike in oil prices has rescued the company, not Ms. Hollub.</p><p>“I have nothing personal against Vicki,” Mr. Icahn said in an interview. “However, that will never change my mind that she should not have made a bet-the-company investment by way of overpaying for Anadarko.”</p><p>A University of Alabama graduate, Ms. Hollub joined Occidental in 1982 and soon found herself running operations in Russia and Venezuela. She almost got laid off in 2003, butTodd Stevens, an executive at the company who had followed her rise, arranged for her to lead a team evaluating acreage in Colorado, said Mr. Stevens, who has since left.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf58d7d767a23cfb352e019504bafa44\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Equipment used to process carbon dioxide, crude oil and water at an Occidental Petroleum project in Hobbs, N.M.PHOTO:ERNEST SCHEYDER/REUTERS</span></p><p>Ms. Hollub became known as a hard worker, once spending three weeks straightening out operations at a new gas field’s first well, said Donnie Enns, a former geophysicist who worked under her. “Nobody worked harder than Vicki,” he said. She also found time to run an office March Madness basketball pool.</p><p>After being named CEO of the company in 2016, Ms. Hollub departed from her predecessor’s preference for low-risk, “bolt-on” transactions. A little over a year into the job, she started courting Anadarko, an oil producer of comparable size, for a deal.</p><p>She outflanked largerChevronCorp. in a bidding war that riveted the oil patch, offering $5 billion more than her rival for Anadarko and its prized assets in the epicenter of U.S. shale production. Yet victory came at a steep cost.</p><p>Some of Occidental’s largest shareholders decried the deal—especially a pricey loan from Mr. Buffett in the form of $10 billion in preferred stock paying 8% annually in dividends, or $800 million. Ms. Hollub negotiated the funding at the eleventh hour after meeting with the financier in Omaha, Neb. Mr. Icahn, who first bought stock as the Anadarko bidding war came to a close, wrote to Occidental shareholders that “Buffett figuratively took her to the cleaners.”</p><p>Ms. Hollub acknowledged the deal damaged the company’s standing with some investors. “I was never offended at the fact that our shareholders were skeptical,” she said.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58cf5cd81991220ec1f42821cee2554b\" tg-width=\"639\" tg-height=\"959\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Vicki Hollub said she never doubted the wisdom of the Anadarko acquisition.PHOTO:ANGELA OWENS/THE WALL STREET JOURNAL</span></p><p>But she said she never doubted the wisdom of the acquisition, even after it sparked an investor revolt that created an opportunity for Mr. Icahn.</p><p>Central to Ms. Hollub’s strategy was building on Occidental’s already-large position in the oil-rich Permian of West Texas and New Mexico. She believed purchasing and drilling a huge swath of new acreage, much of it near the company’s existing assets, would give Occidental economies of scale and allow it to outperform Permian rivals. Occidental, she said, was one of the most technologically advanced drillers in the field; it would turn Anadarko’s undeveloped assets into oil-gushing wells.</p><p>By the end of 2019, the oil producer said it was making progress on its merger goals. It had divested itself of more than $6 billion in assets, including stakes in a liquefied natural gas export project in Mozambique and in a Houston-based pipeline company. Occidental recorded single-day and monthly production records in the Permian and other oil fields. Occidental announced its 182nd consecutive quarterly dividend, which Ms. Hollub noted at the time that “few other companies can claim.”</p><p>Ms. Hollub believed the merger was on track, but investors remained skeptical. From the time of Occidental’s counteroffer for Anadarko in April 2019 to February 2020 Occidental’s stock fell around 35%. Then the global pandemic took hold.</p><p>As billions of people around the world began to lock down, demand for oil plummeted. In the spring, oil prices reached historic lows, briefly turning negative for the first time ever as traders paid counterparties to take oil off their hands. Falling demand for their product hammered oil-and-gas companies, forcing dozens into bankruptcy.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9090db9eab1ac4c91bd5b1b441d26206\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Gasoline prices sank in April 2020 after the global pandemic caused oil prices to drop below zero.PHOTO:FREDERIC J. BROWN/AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE/GETTY IMAGES</span></p><p>Every day, Ms. Hollub would drive to Occidental’s Houston offices in her red Jeep Wrangler, said Glenn Vangolen, a former senior vice president at Occidental and close adviser to the CEO. Mondays and Fridays, she and her lieutenants would mask up and gather in a conference room to discuss operations. Her office was spartan—a mostly bare room, except for a TV playing business news on mute, and a plush stuffed version of a costumed elephant, the Alabama Crimson Tide’s mascot, Mr. Vangolen said.</p><p>Occidental was in a worse situation than many of its peers: At the end of 2019, its long-term debt of about $39 billion was equivalent to roughly four times its earnings, excluding interest, taxes and other accounting items, quadruple the ratio from a year earlier, S&amp;P Capital IQ data show. The divestitures it had planned on to pay it down were no longer viable as assets were losing value.</p><p>Ms. Hollub said that Occidental made a lot of the difficult decisions before the pandemic to mitigate the downside risks of the Anadarko acquisition, including hedging a portion of its oil production and bumping its line of credit to $5 billion. But the company still faced painful months ahead as it had barely enough cash on hand to meet debt maturities coming due in 2021 and was later forced to hire restructuring advisers.</p><p>Ms. Hollub moved to cut her executives’ salaries—including her own by 81%—offer employees voluntary buy-outs, slash expenses in the oil patch and cancel employee perks. She also cut the dividend, which rankled investors.</p><p>Mr. Icahn amplified his calls for Ms. Hollub’s ouster and said he would seek to replace the entire board of directors at the company’s annual meeting. As the oil producer’s stock plunged to under $10 from around $45 before the pandemic, Mr. Icahn—facing paper losses of about $1 billion—doubled down on his shares, boosting his stake to roughly 10% from about 2%.</p><p>After a price war between Russia and Saudi Arabia caused oil prices to plunge below $25 a barrel in March, Occidental reached a settlement with Mr. Icahn. The deal gave board seats to two of his deputies and added another director, required Occidental to create an oversight committee that must be informed of any offers to acquire the company or its assets, and replaced the board chairman withStephen Chazen, Ms. Hollub’s predecessor as CEO.</p><p>Mr. Icahn’s camp pushed for Occidental to give its shareholders warrants that could allow them to buy discounted shares in the future. After he prevailed, Mr. Icahn received roughly 11 million warrants initially and bought more when they were worth around $3.</p><p>Mr. Vangolen said Mr. Icahn’s demand for warrants was part of the investor’s “raider playbook,” which he described as “trying to extract as much cash out of the business as you can before you bail.”</p><p>Mr. Icahn said that all the shareholders who rode the stock down deserved something for their loyalty.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3af2c050a88b00dd9846de958b65be1b\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>A crude oil pump jack in the Permian Basin in Loving County, Texas.PHOTO:ANGUS MORDANT/REUTERS</span></p><p>As the pandemic dragged on, Occidental logged a roughly $14.8 billion loss for 2020, its largest on record, according to S&amp;P Capital IQ data. Still, it continued to whittle down its mammoth debt, closing around $2.5 billion in asset sales at the end of 2020. Anadarko’s assets, meanwhile, were starting to shine, with production in the Permian reaching the high end of company estimates.</p><p>Even as Ms. Hollub wrestled with Mr. Icahn, she was building a relationship with Mr. Buffett.</p><p>In 2020, she traveled to Omaha to discuss Occidental&#39;s long-term strategy with Mr. Buffett, according to a person familiar with the meeting. The investor expressed a strong interest in the company&#39;s goal to become a leader in carbon capture, this person said.</p><p>Occidental says it has no plans to stop producing oil but also aims to be a leader in &#34;carbon management.&#34; It wants to develop 70 plants by 2035 to suck carbon dioxide out of the air, store it in the ground and sell carbon credits to businesses seeking to offset their own emissions -- a technology still in its commercial infancy that received a boost thanks to tax credits included in the climate package President Biden signed into law last month. The company also plans to use the gas to squeeze more oil from underground.</p><p>Then, in late February of this year, Russia invaded Ukraine.</p><p>The war propelled oil prices to their highest level in years, with Brent crude oil topping $120 in March, translating into a windfall for oil companies. In the first quarter of the year, Occidental made roughly $4.9 billion in profit, its highest quarterly earnings on record, according to S&amp;P Capital IQ.</p><p>The company now holds the most acreage across the Permian, with leases covering about 2.8 million net acres, according to data firm Enverus. Its domestic oil output in the second quarter of this year was up roughly 80% compared with before it acquired Anadarko, Occidental reported.</p><p>As Occidental&#39;s stock rose above $50 a share in March, Mr. Icahn sold his common stake. The investor&#39;s two representatives on Occidental&#39;s board also resigned, as was required by the settlement agreement. Mr. Icahn made over $1.5 billion on his investment and still holds some warrants, according to public filings and people familiar with the matter.</p><p>As Mr. Icahn got out of the stock, Mr. Buffett bought in. In May, Berkshire reported it had purchased roughly $8 billion worth of shares.</p><p>Mr. Icahn said that Mr. Buffett&#39;s investment could be ill-timed. &#34;I respect Buffett a lot but I think buying this stock at this level is obviously not like buying warrants at $3,&#34; he said. &#34;I made a great deal of money on my investment in Occidental, especially with the warrants, and activism worked in that regard,&#34; he said.</p><p>Ms. Hollub and Mr. Buffett have developed a personal relationship and the two talk periodically, said Mr. Vangolen. Ms. Hollub said in an interview she had no personal relationship with Mr. Icahn when he was an investor, and that he turned out not to be the kind of long-term shareholder the company prizes.</p><p>Mr. Icahn&#39;s retort: &#34;She came very close to not being a long-term shareholder also, because her ill-timed investment put the company on the brink of bankruptcy.&#34;</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>How a CEO Rescued a Big Bet on Big Oil; \"There Were a Lot of Doubters\"</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHow a CEO Rescued a Big Bet on Big Oil; \"There Were a Lot of Doubters\"\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-09-11 09:57</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be5cb2e717152d9e61504d0803ac3654\" tg-width=\"1278\" tg-height=\"1278\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Occidental Petroleum Corp. entered the thick of the pandemic among the worst prepared of its U.S. oil-and-gas peers. Struggling with debt from an ill-timed $38 billion deal, Chief ExecutiveVicki Hollubwas fending off activist investorCarl Icahn, who controlled two board seats.</p><p>Two years later, the company has emerged as the top performer in the S&amp;P 500, and Ms. Hollub has traded Mr. Icahn, who sold all of his Occidental shares in March, for Warren Buffett, whoseBerkshire Hathaway Inc. now owns more than 20% of the company.</p><p>It was touch and go for a time. Months before the pandemic took hold, she implemented widespread layoffs. To stave off bankruptcy after oil prices collapsed in 2020, she slashed spending and nearly eliminated Occidental’s once-sacrosanct dividend—“the biggest and toughest decision that I made and I’ve ever made in my career,” she said in an interview.</p><p>Her 2019 acquisition of rival Anadarko Petroleum Corp., which Mr. Icahn called a “disaster,” has given Occidental the dominant position in the largest U.S. shale-oil field, the Permian Basin. Lifted by climbing oil prices, Occidental generated a record $4.35 billion in free cash flow and $3.7 billion in profit in the second quarter. It has cut its debt to $22 billion from nearly $36 billion a year ago.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/61847881fba325e1dc5c7ed3280e29db\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Oil-and-gas producers have reported banner profits this year, even as a global energy crisis sparked by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has threatened to derail European industries, left the U.K. facing its worst economic crisis since the 1970s and forced the Netherlands, Germany and India to rely heavily on coal to make up for a dearth of natural gas.</p><p>But Ms. Hollub, the first woman to be CEO of a major U.S. oil company, says she doesn’t feel vindicated. “I just feel relief,” she said. “There were a lot of doubters.”</p><p>Mr. Buffett has publicly lauded Ms. Hollub’s leadership. After she detailed the company’s future plans for analysts in February, Mr. Buffett told his own shareholders, “What Vicki Hollub was saying made nothing but sense.” Last month, Berkshire received regulatory approval to buy up to 50% of the oil company’s shares, spurring speculation it might seek to purchase all of Occidental.</p><p>Mr. Buffett declined to comment for this story. Ms. Hollub said she has “tremendous respect” for Mr. Buffett, adding that “he will be very beneficial for us as we go forward.” She declined to discuss the possibility of Berkshire purchasing the entire company.</p><p>Some former investors remain skeptical, saying a spike in oil prices has rescued the company, not Ms. Hollub.</p><p>“I have nothing personal against Vicki,” Mr. Icahn said in an interview. “However, that will never change my mind that she should not have made a bet-the-company investment by way of overpaying for Anadarko.”</p><p>A University of Alabama graduate, Ms. Hollub joined Occidental in 1982 and soon found herself running operations in Russia and Venezuela. She almost got laid off in 2003, butTodd Stevens, an executive at the company who had followed her rise, arranged for her to lead a team evaluating acreage in Colorado, said Mr. Stevens, who has since left.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf58d7d767a23cfb352e019504bafa44\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Equipment used to process carbon dioxide, crude oil and water at an Occidental Petroleum project in Hobbs, N.M.PHOTO:ERNEST SCHEYDER/REUTERS</span></p><p>Ms. Hollub became known as a hard worker, once spending three weeks straightening out operations at a new gas field’s first well, said Donnie Enns, a former geophysicist who worked under her. “Nobody worked harder than Vicki,” he said. She also found time to run an office March Madness basketball pool.</p><p>After being named CEO of the company in 2016, Ms. Hollub departed from her predecessor’s preference for low-risk, “bolt-on” transactions. A little over a year into the job, she started courting Anadarko, an oil producer of comparable size, for a deal.</p><p>She outflanked largerChevronCorp. in a bidding war that riveted the oil patch, offering $5 billion more than her rival for Anadarko and its prized assets in the epicenter of U.S. shale production. Yet victory came at a steep cost.</p><p>Some of Occidental’s largest shareholders decried the deal—especially a pricey loan from Mr. Buffett in the form of $10 billion in preferred stock paying 8% annually in dividends, or $800 million. Ms. Hollub negotiated the funding at the eleventh hour after meeting with the financier in Omaha, Neb. Mr. Icahn, who first bought stock as the Anadarko bidding war came to a close, wrote to Occidental shareholders that “Buffett figuratively took her to the cleaners.”</p><p>Ms. Hollub acknowledged the deal damaged the company’s standing with some investors. “I was never offended at the fact that our shareholders were skeptical,” she said.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58cf5cd81991220ec1f42821cee2554b\" tg-width=\"639\" tg-height=\"959\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Vicki Hollub said she never doubted the wisdom of the Anadarko acquisition.PHOTO:ANGELA OWENS/THE WALL STREET JOURNAL</span></p><p>But she said she never doubted the wisdom of the acquisition, even after it sparked an investor revolt that created an opportunity for Mr. Icahn.</p><p>Central to Ms. Hollub’s strategy was building on Occidental’s already-large position in the oil-rich Permian of West Texas and New Mexico. She believed purchasing and drilling a huge swath of new acreage, much of it near the company’s existing assets, would give Occidental economies of scale and allow it to outperform Permian rivals. Occidental, she said, was one of the most technologically advanced drillers in the field; it would turn Anadarko’s undeveloped assets into oil-gushing wells.</p><p>By the end of 2019, the oil producer said it was making progress on its merger goals. It had divested itself of more than $6 billion in assets, including stakes in a liquefied natural gas export project in Mozambique and in a Houston-based pipeline company. Occidental recorded single-day and monthly production records in the Permian and other oil fields. Occidental announced its 182nd consecutive quarterly dividend, which Ms. Hollub noted at the time that “few other companies can claim.”</p><p>Ms. Hollub believed the merger was on track, but investors remained skeptical. From the time of Occidental’s counteroffer for Anadarko in April 2019 to February 2020 Occidental’s stock fell around 35%. Then the global pandemic took hold.</p><p>As billions of people around the world began to lock down, demand for oil plummeted. In the spring, oil prices reached historic lows, briefly turning negative for the first time ever as traders paid counterparties to take oil off their hands. Falling demand for their product hammered oil-and-gas companies, forcing dozens into bankruptcy.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9090db9eab1ac4c91bd5b1b441d26206\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Gasoline prices sank in April 2020 after the global pandemic caused oil prices to drop below zero.PHOTO:FREDERIC J. BROWN/AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE/GETTY IMAGES</span></p><p>Every day, Ms. Hollub would drive to Occidental’s Houston offices in her red Jeep Wrangler, said Glenn Vangolen, a former senior vice president at Occidental and close adviser to the CEO. Mondays and Fridays, she and her lieutenants would mask up and gather in a conference room to discuss operations. Her office was spartan—a mostly bare room, except for a TV playing business news on mute, and a plush stuffed version of a costumed elephant, the Alabama Crimson Tide’s mascot, Mr. Vangolen said.</p><p>Occidental was in a worse situation than many of its peers: At the end of 2019, its long-term debt of about $39 billion was equivalent to roughly four times its earnings, excluding interest, taxes and other accounting items, quadruple the ratio from a year earlier, S&amp;P Capital IQ data show. The divestitures it had planned on to pay it down were no longer viable as assets were losing value.</p><p>Ms. Hollub said that Occidental made a lot of the difficult decisions before the pandemic to mitigate the downside risks of the Anadarko acquisition, including hedging a portion of its oil production and bumping its line of credit to $5 billion. But the company still faced painful months ahead as it had barely enough cash on hand to meet debt maturities coming due in 2021 and was later forced to hire restructuring advisers.</p><p>Ms. Hollub moved to cut her executives’ salaries—including her own by 81%—offer employees voluntary buy-outs, slash expenses in the oil patch and cancel employee perks. She also cut the dividend, which rankled investors.</p><p>Mr. Icahn amplified his calls for Ms. Hollub’s ouster and said he would seek to replace the entire board of directors at the company’s annual meeting. As the oil producer’s stock plunged to under $10 from around $45 before the pandemic, Mr. Icahn—facing paper losses of about $1 billion—doubled down on his shares, boosting his stake to roughly 10% from about 2%.</p><p>After a price war between Russia and Saudi Arabia caused oil prices to plunge below $25 a barrel in March, Occidental reached a settlement with Mr. Icahn. The deal gave board seats to two of his deputies and added another director, required Occidental to create an oversight committee that must be informed of any offers to acquire the company or its assets, and replaced the board chairman withStephen Chazen, Ms. Hollub’s predecessor as CEO.</p><p>Mr. Icahn’s camp pushed for Occidental to give its shareholders warrants that could allow them to buy discounted shares in the future. After he prevailed, Mr. Icahn received roughly 11 million warrants initially and bought more when they were worth around $3.</p><p>Mr. Vangolen said Mr. Icahn’s demand for warrants was part of the investor’s “raider playbook,” which he described as “trying to extract as much cash out of the business as you can before you bail.”</p><p>Mr. Icahn said that all the shareholders who rode the stock down deserved something for their loyalty.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3af2c050a88b00dd9846de958b65be1b\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>A crude oil pump jack in the Permian Basin in Loving County, Texas.PHOTO:ANGUS MORDANT/REUTERS</span></p><p>As the pandemic dragged on, Occidental logged a roughly $14.8 billion loss for 2020, its largest on record, according to S&amp;P Capital IQ data. Still, it continued to whittle down its mammoth debt, closing around $2.5 billion in asset sales at the end of 2020. Anadarko’s assets, meanwhile, were starting to shine, with production in the Permian reaching the high end of company estimates.</p><p>Even as Ms. Hollub wrestled with Mr. Icahn, she was building a relationship with Mr. Buffett.</p><p>In 2020, she traveled to Omaha to discuss Occidental&#39;s long-term strategy with Mr. Buffett, according to a person familiar with the meeting. The investor expressed a strong interest in the company&#39;s goal to become a leader in carbon capture, this person said.</p><p>Occidental says it has no plans to stop producing oil but also aims to be a leader in &#34;carbon management.&#34; It wants to develop 70 plants by 2035 to suck carbon dioxide out of the air, store it in the ground and sell carbon credits to businesses seeking to offset their own emissions -- a technology still in its commercial infancy that received a boost thanks to tax credits included in the climate package President Biden signed into law last month. The company also plans to use the gas to squeeze more oil from underground.</p><p>Then, in late February of this year, Russia invaded Ukraine.</p><p>The war propelled oil prices to their highest level in years, with Brent crude oil topping $120 in March, translating into a windfall for oil companies. In the first quarter of the year, Occidental made roughly $4.9 billion in profit, its highest quarterly earnings on record, according to S&amp;P Capital IQ.</p><p>The company now holds the most acreage across the Permian, with leases covering about 2.8 million net acres, according to data firm Enverus. Its domestic oil output in the second quarter of this year was up roughly 80% compared with before it acquired Anadarko, Occidental reported.</p><p>As Occidental&#39;s stock rose above $50 a share in March, Mr. Icahn sold his common stake. The investor&#39;s two representatives on Occidental&#39;s board also resigned, as was required by the settlement agreement. Mr. Icahn made over $1.5 billion on his investment and still holds some warrants, according to public filings and people familiar with the matter.</p><p>As Mr. Icahn got out of the stock, Mr. Buffett bought in. In May, Berkshire reported it had purchased roughly $8 billion worth of shares.</p><p>Mr. Icahn said that Mr. Buffett&#39;s investment could be ill-timed. &#34;I respect Buffett a lot but I think buying this stock at this level is obviously not like buying warrants at $3,&#34; he said. &#34;I made a great deal of money on my investment in Occidental, especially with the warrants, and activism worked in that regard,&#34; he said.</p><p>Ms. Hollub and Mr. Buffett have developed a personal relationship and the two talk periodically, said Mr. Vangolen. Ms. Hollub said in an interview she had no personal relationship with Mr. Icahn when he was an investor, and that he turned out not to be the kind of long-term shareholder the company prizes.</p><p>Mr. Icahn&#39;s retort: &#34;She came very close to not being a long-term shareholder also, because her ill-timed investment put the company on the brink of bankruptcy.&#34;</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4176":"多领域控股","BK4201":"综合性石油与天然气企业","BRK.A":"伯克希尔","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BRK.B":"伯克希尔B","OXY":"西方石油","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2266817381","content_text":"Occidental Petroleum Corp. entered the thick of the pandemic among the worst prepared of its U.S. oil-and-gas peers. Struggling with debt from an ill-timed $38 billion deal, Chief ExecutiveVicki Hollubwas fending off activist investorCarl Icahn, who controlled two board seats.Two years later, the company has emerged as the top performer in the S&P 500, and Ms. Hollub has traded Mr. Icahn, who sold all of his Occidental shares in March, for Warren Buffett, whoseBerkshire Hathaway Inc. now owns more than 20% of the company.It was touch and go for a time. Months before the pandemic took hold, she implemented widespread layoffs. To stave off bankruptcy after oil prices collapsed in 2020, she slashed spending and nearly eliminated Occidental’s once-sacrosanct dividend—“the biggest and toughest decision that I made and I’ve ever made in my career,” she said in an interview.Her 2019 acquisition of rival Anadarko Petroleum Corp., which Mr. Icahn called a “disaster,” has given Occidental the dominant position in the largest U.S. shale-oil field, the Permian Basin. Lifted by climbing oil prices, Occidental generated a record $4.35 billion in free cash flow and $3.7 billion in profit in the second quarter. It has cut its debt to $22 billion from nearly $36 billion a year ago.Oil-and-gas producers have reported banner profits this year, even as a global energy crisis sparked by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has threatened to derail European industries, left the U.K. facing its worst economic crisis since the 1970s and forced the Netherlands, Germany and India to rely heavily on coal to make up for a dearth of natural gas.But Ms. Hollub, the first woman to be CEO of a major U.S. oil company, says she doesn’t feel vindicated. “I just feel relief,” she said. “There were a lot of doubters.”Mr. Buffett has publicly lauded Ms. Hollub’s leadership. After she detailed the company’s future plans for analysts in February, Mr. Buffett told his own shareholders, “What Vicki Hollub was saying made nothing but sense.” Last month, Berkshire received regulatory approval to buy up to 50% of the oil company’s shares, spurring speculation it might seek to purchase all of Occidental.Mr. Buffett declined to comment for this story. Ms. Hollub said she has “tremendous respect” for Mr. Buffett, adding that “he will be very beneficial for us as we go forward.” She declined to discuss the possibility of Berkshire purchasing the entire company.Some former investors remain skeptical, saying a spike in oil prices has rescued the company, not Ms. Hollub.“I have nothing personal against Vicki,” Mr. Icahn said in an interview. “However, that will never change my mind that she should not have made a bet-the-company investment by way of overpaying for Anadarko.”A University of Alabama graduate, Ms. Hollub joined Occidental in 1982 and soon found herself running operations in Russia and Venezuela. She almost got laid off in 2003, butTodd Stevens, an executive at the company who had followed her rise, arranged for her to lead a team evaluating acreage in Colorado, said Mr. Stevens, who has since left.Equipment used to process carbon dioxide, crude oil and water at an Occidental Petroleum project in Hobbs, N.M.PHOTO:ERNEST SCHEYDER/REUTERSMs. Hollub became known as a hard worker, once spending three weeks straightening out operations at a new gas field’s first well, said Donnie Enns, a former geophysicist who worked under her. “Nobody worked harder than Vicki,” he said. She also found time to run an office March Madness basketball pool.After being named CEO of the company in 2016, Ms. Hollub departed from her predecessor’s preference for low-risk, “bolt-on” transactions. A little over a year into the job, she started courting Anadarko, an oil producer of comparable size, for a deal.She outflanked largerChevronCorp. in a bidding war that riveted the oil patch, offering $5 billion more than her rival for Anadarko and its prized assets in the epicenter of U.S. shale production. Yet victory came at a steep cost.Some of Occidental’s largest shareholders decried the deal—especially a pricey loan from Mr. Buffett in the form of $10 billion in preferred stock paying 8% annually in dividends, or $800 million. Ms. Hollub negotiated the funding at the eleventh hour after meeting with the financier in Omaha, Neb. Mr. Icahn, who first bought stock as the Anadarko bidding war came to a close, wrote to Occidental shareholders that “Buffett figuratively took her to the cleaners.”Ms. Hollub acknowledged the deal damaged the company’s standing with some investors. “I was never offended at the fact that our shareholders were skeptical,” she said.Vicki Hollub said she never doubted the wisdom of the Anadarko acquisition.PHOTO:ANGELA OWENS/THE WALL STREET JOURNALBut she said she never doubted the wisdom of the acquisition, even after it sparked an investor revolt that created an opportunity for Mr. Icahn.Central to Ms. Hollub’s strategy was building on Occidental’s already-large position in the oil-rich Permian of West Texas and New Mexico. She believed purchasing and drilling a huge swath of new acreage, much of it near the company’s existing assets, would give Occidental economies of scale and allow it to outperform Permian rivals. Occidental, she said, was one of the most technologically advanced drillers in the field; it would turn Anadarko’s undeveloped assets into oil-gushing wells.By the end of 2019, the oil producer said it was making progress on its merger goals. It had divested itself of more than $6 billion in assets, including stakes in a liquefied natural gas export project in Mozambique and in a Houston-based pipeline company. Occidental recorded single-day and monthly production records in the Permian and other oil fields. Occidental announced its 182nd consecutive quarterly dividend, which Ms. Hollub noted at the time that “few other companies can claim.”Ms. Hollub believed the merger was on track, but investors remained skeptical. From the time of Occidental’s counteroffer for Anadarko in April 2019 to February 2020 Occidental’s stock fell around 35%. Then the global pandemic took hold.As billions of people around the world began to lock down, demand for oil plummeted. In the spring, oil prices reached historic lows, briefly turning negative for the first time ever as traders paid counterparties to take oil off their hands. Falling demand for their product hammered oil-and-gas companies, forcing dozens into bankruptcy.Gasoline prices sank in April 2020 after the global pandemic caused oil prices to drop below zero.PHOTO:FREDERIC J. BROWN/AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE/GETTY IMAGESEvery day, Ms. Hollub would drive to Occidental’s Houston offices in her red Jeep Wrangler, said Glenn Vangolen, a former senior vice president at Occidental and close adviser to the CEO. Mondays and Fridays, she and her lieutenants would mask up and gather in a conference room to discuss operations. Her office was spartan—a mostly bare room, except for a TV playing business news on mute, and a plush stuffed version of a costumed elephant, the Alabama Crimson Tide’s mascot, Mr. Vangolen said.Occidental was in a worse situation than many of its peers: At the end of 2019, its long-term debt of about $39 billion was equivalent to roughly four times its earnings, excluding interest, taxes and other accounting items, quadruple the ratio from a year earlier, S&P Capital IQ data show. The divestitures it had planned on to pay it down were no longer viable as assets were losing value.Ms. Hollub said that Occidental made a lot of the difficult decisions before the pandemic to mitigate the downside risks of the Anadarko acquisition, including hedging a portion of its oil production and bumping its line of credit to $5 billion. But the company still faced painful months ahead as it had barely enough cash on hand to meet debt maturities coming due in 2021 and was later forced to hire restructuring advisers.Ms. Hollub moved to cut her executives’ salaries—including her own by 81%—offer employees voluntary buy-outs, slash expenses in the oil patch and cancel employee perks. She also cut the dividend, which rankled investors.Mr. Icahn amplified his calls for Ms. Hollub’s ouster and said he would seek to replace the entire board of directors at the company’s annual meeting. As the oil producer’s stock plunged to under $10 from around $45 before the pandemic, Mr. Icahn—facing paper losses of about $1 billion—doubled down on his shares, boosting his stake to roughly 10% from about 2%.After a price war between Russia and Saudi Arabia caused oil prices to plunge below $25 a barrel in March, Occidental reached a settlement with Mr. Icahn. The deal gave board seats to two of his deputies and added another director, required Occidental to create an oversight committee that must be informed of any offers to acquire the company or its assets, and replaced the board chairman withStephen Chazen, Ms. Hollub’s predecessor as CEO.Mr. Icahn’s camp pushed for Occidental to give its shareholders warrants that could allow them to buy discounted shares in the future. After he prevailed, Mr. Icahn received roughly 11 million warrants initially and bought more when they were worth around $3.Mr. Vangolen said Mr. Icahn’s demand for warrants was part of the investor’s “raider playbook,” which he described as “trying to extract as much cash out of the business as you can before you bail.”Mr. Icahn said that all the shareholders who rode the stock down deserved something for their loyalty.A crude oil pump jack in the Permian Basin in Loving County, Texas.PHOTO:ANGUS MORDANT/REUTERSAs the pandemic dragged on, Occidental logged a roughly $14.8 billion loss for 2020, its largest on record, according to S&P Capital IQ data. Still, it continued to whittle down its mammoth debt, closing around $2.5 billion in asset sales at the end of 2020. Anadarko’s assets, meanwhile, were starting to shine, with production in the Permian reaching the high end of company estimates.Even as Ms. Hollub wrestled with Mr. Icahn, she was building a relationship with Mr. Buffett.In 2020, she traveled to Omaha to discuss Occidental's long-term strategy with Mr. Buffett, according to a person familiar with the meeting. The investor expressed a strong interest in the company's goal to become a leader in carbon capture, this person said.Occidental says it has no plans to stop producing oil but also aims to be a leader in \"carbon management.\" It wants to develop 70 plants by 2035 to suck carbon dioxide out of the air, store it in the ground and sell carbon credits to businesses seeking to offset their own emissions -- a technology still in its commercial infancy that received a boost thanks to tax credits included in the climate package President Biden signed into law last month. The company also plans to use the gas to squeeze more oil from underground.Then, in late February of this year, Russia invaded Ukraine.The war propelled oil prices to their highest level in years, with Brent crude oil topping $120 in March, translating into a windfall for oil companies. In the first quarter of the year, Occidental made roughly $4.9 billion in profit, its highest quarterly earnings on record, according to S&P Capital IQ.The company now holds the most acreage across the Permian, with leases covering about 2.8 million net acres, according to data firm Enverus. Its domestic oil output in the second quarter of this year was up roughly 80% compared with before it acquired Anadarko, Occidental reported.As Occidental's stock rose above $50 a share in March, Mr. Icahn sold his common stake. The investor's two representatives on Occidental's board also resigned, as was required by the settlement agreement. Mr. Icahn made over $1.5 billion on his investment and still holds some warrants, according to public filings and people familiar with the matter.As Mr. Icahn got out of the stock, Mr. Buffett bought in. In May, Berkshire reported it had purchased roughly $8 billion worth of shares.Mr. Icahn said that Mr. Buffett's investment could be ill-timed. \"I respect Buffett a lot but I think buying this stock at this level is obviously not like buying warrants at $3,\" he said. \"I made a great deal of money on my investment in Occidental, especially with the warrants, and activism worked in that regard,\" he said.Ms. Hollub and Mr. Buffett have developed a personal relationship and the two talk periodically, said Mr. Vangolen. Ms. Hollub said in an interview she had no personal relationship with Mr. Icahn when he was an investor, and that he turned out not to be the kind of long-term shareholder the company prizes.Mr. Icahn's retort: \"She came very close to not being a long-term shareholder also, because her ill-timed investment put the company on the brink of bankruptcy.\"","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1497,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9938456977,"gmtCreate":1662654005699,"gmtModify":1676537111203,"author":{"id":"3581853261599921","authorId":"3581853261599921","name":"Jayden86_","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e0a3979b2998dfa9c0fddbce29da3ab9","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581853261599921","idStr":"3581853261599921"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ya&nbsp;","listText":"Ya&nbsp;","text":"Ya","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9938456977","repostId":"2265005556","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2265005556","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1662650643,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2265005556?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2022-09-08 23:24","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Cathie Wood Goes Bargain Hunting: 3 Stocks She Just Bought","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2265005556","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The best-known growth ETF money manager is making moves. Let's check out her shopping list.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Cathie Wood is finding it hard to catch 2020 in a bottle again. The growth investor who became a market icon as the co-founder and CEO of the popular Ark Invest exchange-traded funds (ETFs) has been losing more than winning these days. Her investing style seemed to be marching back into fancy earlier this summer, but her most popular ETF has surrendered 22% of its value just over the last three weeks.</p><p>She&#39;s not one to shy away from fire sales, so it&#39;s not a surprise to see her adding to her positions in <b>DraftKings</b>, <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a> Video</b>, and<b> Twilio</b> on Tuesday. Let&#39;s see why she&#39;s building up her stakes in these three names.</p><h2>DraftKings</h2><p>The NFL season kicks off -- literally and figuratively -- this week, so let&#39;s talk about DraftKings. The online gambling and fantasy sports specialist is driving down the field these days, even if it may not seem that way with a stock that is a whopping 79% below last year&#39;s all-time high.</p><p>Last month&#39;s quarterly report was a touchdown. Revenue surged a better-than-expected 57%, and the good news didn&#39;t stop there. DraftKings boosted its full-year revenue and adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) guidance. There are now 1.5 million average monthly unique paying customers, a 30% increase over the past year. Average revenue per paying user is up also up 30% over the past year.</p><p>There&#39;s a lot of red tape to untangle in securing gaming rights in new markets, but DraftKings continues to grow its reach. It opened its online sportsbook in Kansas last week. Recent analyst notes find Wall Street pros jacking their price targets higher, encouraged by DraftKings&#39; unique position in the market.</p><h2>Zoom Video</h2><p>Momentum is picking up for DraftKings, but the same can&#39;t be said about Zoom Video. The videoconferencing leader has surrendered 18% of its value since posting disappointing financial results two weeks ago. It&#39;s not just Wood who may have peaked two years ago. Zoom shares are a blistering 86% below their late 2020 peak.</p><p>The deceleration in top-line growth at Zoom has been brutal, falling sharply in each of its last six quarters.</p><ul><li>Q4 2021: 369%</li><li>Q1 2022: 191%</li><li>Q2 2022: 54%</li><li>Q3 2022: 35%</li><li>Q4 2022: 21%</li><li>Q1 2023: 12%</li><li>Q2 2023: 8%</li></ul><p>Guidance calls for the slowdown to continue with a 5% increase in revenue for the current fiscal quarter. Despite a positive net dollar expansion rate north of 120% for its enterprise customers, a lot of casual users have moved on now that jobs, schooling, and reunions have returned to in-person affairs.</p><h2>Twilio</h2><p>Back to the world of healthy double-digit revenue growth, Twilio came through with a 41% year-over-year increase in its latest report. Revenue and earnings exceeded expectations, but disappointing near-term guidance is why the stock is a market laggard. Like Zoom, shares of Twilio are down 86% from their all-time highs.</p><p>The provider of in-app communication solutions is finding that some of its customers in hard-hit industries aren&#39;t delivering the kind of volume that Twilio typically sees. Crypto exchanges, social networking sites, and consumer on-demand businesses have been struggling in recent months, and Twilio sees revenue slowing to a 31% gain for the current quarter.</p><p>DraftKings, Zoom, and Twilio are all trading well below their highs, but they&#39;re all still compelling growth stocks at attractive price points. Wood has been buying the wrong stocks on the way down since last year, but she may be on to something this time.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Cathie Wood Goes Bargain Hunting: 3 Stocks She Just Bought</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCathie Wood Goes Bargain Hunting: 3 Stocks She Just Bought\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-08 23:24 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/09/07/cathie-wood-goes-bargain-hunting-3-stocks-she-just/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Cathie Wood is finding it hard to catch 2020 in a bottle again. The growth investor who became a market icon as the co-founder and CEO of the popular Ark Invest exchange-traded funds (ETFs) has been ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/09/07/cathie-wood-goes-bargain-hunting-3-stocks-she-just/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/09/07/cathie-wood-goes-bargain-hunting-3-stocks-she-just/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2265005556","content_text":"Cathie Wood is finding it hard to catch 2020 in a bottle again. The growth investor who became a market icon as the co-founder and CEO of the popular Ark Invest exchange-traded funds (ETFs) has been losing more than winning these days. Her investing style seemed to be marching back into fancy earlier this summer, but her most popular ETF has surrendered 22% of its value just over the last three weeks.She's not one to shy away from fire sales, so it's not a surprise to see her adding to her positions in DraftKings, Zoom Video, and Twilio on Tuesday. Let's see why she's building up her stakes in these three names.DraftKingsThe NFL season kicks off -- literally and figuratively -- this week, so let's talk about DraftKings. The online gambling and fantasy sports specialist is driving down the field these days, even if it may not seem that way with a stock that is a whopping 79% below last year's all-time high.Last month's quarterly report was a touchdown. Revenue surged a better-than-expected 57%, and the good news didn't stop there. DraftKings boosted its full-year revenue and adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) guidance. There are now 1.5 million average monthly unique paying customers, a 30% increase over the past year. Average revenue per paying user is up also up 30% over the past year.There's a lot of red tape to untangle in securing gaming rights in new markets, but DraftKings continues to grow its reach. It opened its online sportsbook in Kansas last week. Recent analyst notes find Wall Street pros jacking their price targets higher, encouraged by DraftKings' unique position in the market.Zoom VideoMomentum is picking up for DraftKings, but the same can't be said about Zoom Video. The videoconferencing leader has surrendered 18% of its value since posting disappointing financial results two weeks ago. It's not just Wood who may have peaked two years ago. Zoom shares are a blistering 86% below their late 2020 peak.The deceleration in top-line growth at Zoom has been brutal, falling sharply in each of its last six quarters.Q4 2021: 369%Q1 2022: 191%Q2 2022: 54%Q3 2022: 35%Q4 2022: 21%Q1 2023: 12%Q2 2023: 8%Guidance calls for the slowdown to continue with a 5% increase in revenue for the current fiscal quarter. Despite a positive net dollar expansion rate north of 120% for its enterprise customers, a lot of casual users have moved on now that jobs, schooling, and reunions have returned to in-person affairs.TwilioBack to the world of healthy double-digit revenue growth, Twilio came through with a 41% year-over-year increase in its latest report. Revenue and earnings exceeded expectations, but disappointing near-term guidance is why the stock is a market laggard. Like Zoom, shares of Twilio are down 86% from their all-time highs.The provider of in-app communication solutions is finding that some of its customers in hard-hit industries aren't delivering the kind of volume that Twilio typically sees. Crypto exchanges, social networking sites, and consumer on-demand businesses have been struggling in recent months, and Twilio sees revenue slowing to a 31% gain for the current quarter.DraftKings, Zoom, and Twilio are all trading well below their highs, but they're all still compelling growth stocks at attractive price points. Wood has been buying the wrong stocks on the way down since last year, but she may be on to something this time.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":879,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9938102131,"gmtCreate":1662570412723,"gmtModify":1676537090419,"author":{"id":"3581853261599921","authorId":"3581853261599921","name":"Jayden86_","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e0a3979b2998dfa9c0fddbce29da3ab9","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581853261599921","idStr":"3581853261599921"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ya&nbsp;","listText":"Ya&nbsp;","text":"Ya","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9938102131","repostId":"2265067759","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2265067759","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1662564242,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2265067759?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2022-09-07 23:24","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Prediction: These 2 Growth Stocks Could Soar 500% by 2032","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2265067759","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"These growth stocks dominate their respective industries, and that could translate into monster returns for shareholders.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The stock market has not been kind to investors this year. The <b>S&amp;P 500</b> had its worst first half since 1970, and the <b>Nasdaq Composite</b> is currently 28% off its high. But the market has recovered from worse in the past, and there is no reason to believe this situation is any different. Eventually, the next bull market will erase those losses.</p><p>In the meantime, many beaten-down stocks are brimming with potential, and that creates a buying opportunity for patient investors. For instance, <b>Roku</b> and <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MELI\">MercadoLibre</a></b> could both grow sixfold over the next decade, meaning shareholders could see a 500% return by 2032.</p><p>Here&#39;s why.</p><h2>Roku: The top streaming platform in North America</h2><p>Streaming pioneer Roku struggled in the second quarter as the macroeconomic environment continued to deteriorate. High inflation blunted consumer spending, especially on smart TVs and other discretionary electronics, and many brands cut their ad budgets to compensate for that softness. However, those headwinds are temporary, and the long-term investment thesis is still intact.</p><p>Roku is the top streaming platform in the U.S., Canada, and Mexico in terms of engagement, and engagement is a critical metric for marketers. As a result, Roku captured nearly 45% of programmatic connected TV (CTV) ad spending in North America in June 2022, while second-place <b>Samsung </b>and third-place <b>Amazon</b> held just 17% and 12% market share, respectively.</p><p>Roku is working to strengthen that sizable lead with The Roku Channel, an ad-supported streaming service that features free movies, TV shows, and live linear channels dedicated to news and sports. Roku began adding original content to the mix last year, and the reception has been quite positive so far. In the second quarter, The Roku Channel once again ranked among the top five channels on the platform in the U.S.</p><p>Despite its disappointing performance of late, Roku has still delivered solid financial results over the last three years.</p><table><thead><tr><th><p>Metric</p></th><th><p>Q2 2019</p></th><th><p>Q2 2022</p></th><th><p>CAGR</p></th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td width=\"156\"><p>Revenue (TTM)</p></td><td width=\"156\"><p>$905.9 million</p></td><td width=\"156\"><p>$3 billion</p></td><td width=\"156\"><p>50%</p></td></tr><tr><td width=\"156\"><p>Cash from operations (TTM)</p></td><td width=\"156\"><p>$39.4 million</p></td><td width=\"156\"><p>$73.4 million</p></td><td width=\"156\"><p>23%</p></td></tr></tbody></table><p>Data source: YCharts. TTM = trailing 12 months. CAGR = compound annual growth rate.</p><p>Looking ahead, The Roku Channel could be the source of a powerful network effect. As the most popular streaming platform in North America and Mexico, Roku should naturally capture an outsized portion of CTV ad spend in those geographies. That, in turn, should enhance its ability to license and create high-quality content for The Roku Channel, which should result in greater viewer engagement, bringing more ad dollars to its platform.</p><p>Building on that, CTV ad spend is poised for dramatic growth, both because viewers are moving away from traditional TV and because CTV ads can be targeted more effectively. In fact, CTV ad spend in the U.S. alone could reach $100 billion by 2030, up from $21 billion in 2021, according to BMO Capital Markets.</p><p>With that in mind, if Roku can deliver revenue growth of 20% per year over the next decade, its market cap could increase sixfold by 2032 (assuming a reasonable price-to-sale ratio of 2.9). That&#39;s why investors should consider buying this growth stock today.</p><h2>MercadoLibre: The e-commerce leader in Latin America</h2><p>MercadoLibre is the largest e-commerce marketplace in Latin America, and it ranks as the market leader in each of the major countries in which it operates. It has reinforced that edge with value-added services like logistics, financing, digital advertising, and digital payments. That makes MercadoLibre a one-stop shop for merchants.</p><p>Its logistics business (Mercado Envíos) and its fintech business (Mercado Pago) have been particularly instrumental in its success. Mercado Envíos handled 91% of shipping volume in the most recent quarter, and nearly 80% of that volume was delivered within 48 hours. That makes for a great consumer experience, and merchants wouldn&#39;t be able to achieve that on their own.</p><p>Additionally, Mercado Pago supports digital payments both on and off the MercadoLibre marketplace, a particularly important role given that many Latin Americans lack access to a bank account and debit card. In the most recent quarter, digital wallet users rose 42% to 21.4 million, and total payment volume skyrocketed 72% to $30.2 billion.</p><p>Not surprisingly, MercadoLibre has delivered impressive financial results over the past three years.</p><table><thead><tr><th><p>Metric</p></th><th><p>Q2 2019</p></th><th><p>Q2 2022</p></th><th><p>CAGR</p></th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td width=\"156\"><p>Revenue (TTM)</p></td><td width=\"156\"><p>$1.8 billion</p></td><td width=\"156\"><p>$8.8 billion</p></td><td width=\"156\"><p>70%</p></td></tr><tr><td width=\"156\"><p>Cash from operations (TTM)</p></td><td width=\"156\"><p>$289.7 million</p></td><td width=\"156\"><p>$1.6 billion</p></td><td width=\"156\"><p>78%</p></td></tr></tbody></table><p>Data source: YCharts. TTM = trailing-12-months. CAGR = compound annual growth rate.</p><p>Investors have good reason to believe MercadoLibre can maintain that momentum. The vast majority of its revenue comes from Argentina, Brazil, and Mexico, and all three countries rank among the 10 fastest-growing e-commerce markets in the world. More broadly, Latin America itself has one of the fastest-growing internet penetration rates in the world, and that should drive adoption of online shopping and digital payments in the years ahead.</p><p>According to Statista, e-commerce sales across all countries in which MercadoLibre operates will grow at 18% per year to reach $260 billion by 2025, and digital payments volume will grow at 15% per year to reach $510 billion by 2027. That leaves plenty of room for growth.</p><p>On that note, if MercadoLibre can grow revenue at 25% per year over the next decade, its market cap could easily increase sixfold (assuming a reasonable price-to-sales ratio of 3.1) in that time. That&#39;s why this growth stock is a smart buy for long-term investors.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Prediction: These 2 Growth Stocks Could Soar 500% by 2032</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPrediction: These 2 Growth Stocks Could Soar 500% by 2032\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-07 23:24 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/09/06/these-2-growth-stocks-could-soar-500-by-2032/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The stock market has not been kind to investors this year. The S&P 500 had its worst first half since 1970, and the Nasdaq Composite is currently 28% off its high. But the market has recovered from ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/09/06/these-2-growth-stocks-could-soar-500-by-2032/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MELI":"MercadoLibre","ROKU":"Roku Inc"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/09/06/these-2-growth-stocks-could-soar-500-by-2032/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2265067759","content_text":"The stock market has not been kind to investors this year. The S&P 500 had its worst first half since 1970, and the Nasdaq Composite is currently 28% off its high. But the market has recovered from worse in the past, and there is no reason to believe this situation is any different. Eventually, the next bull market will erase those losses.In the meantime, many beaten-down stocks are brimming with potential, and that creates a buying opportunity for patient investors. For instance, Roku and MercadoLibre could both grow sixfold over the next decade, meaning shareholders could see a 500% return by 2032.Here's why.Roku: The top streaming platform in North AmericaStreaming pioneer Roku struggled in the second quarter as the macroeconomic environment continued to deteriorate. High inflation blunted consumer spending, especially on smart TVs and other discretionary electronics, and many brands cut their ad budgets to compensate for that softness. However, those headwinds are temporary, and the long-term investment thesis is still intact.Roku is the top streaming platform in the U.S., Canada, and Mexico in terms of engagement, and engagement is a critical metric for marketers. As a result, Roku captured nearly 45% of programmatic connected TV (CTV) ad spending in North America in June 2022, while second-place Samsung and third-place Amazon held just 17% and 12% market share, respectively.Roku is working to strengthen that sizable lead with The Roku Channel, an ad-supported streaming service that features free movies, TV shows, and live linear channels dedicated to news and sports. Roku began adding original content to the mix last year, and the reception has been quite positive so far. In the second quarter, The Roku Channel once again ranked among the top five channels on the platform in the U.S.Despite its disappointing performance of late, Roku has still delivered solid financial results over the last three years.MetricQ2 2019Q2 2022CAGRRevenue (TTM)$905.9 million$3 billion50%Cash from operations (TTM)$39.4 million$73.4 million23%Data source: YCharts. TTM = trailing 12 months. CAGR = compound annual growth rate.Looking ahead, The Roku Channel could be the source of a powerful network effect. As the most popular streaming platform in North America and Mexico, Roku should naturally capture an outsized portion of CTV ad spend in those geographies. That, in turn, should enhance its ability to license and create high-quality content for The Roku Channel, which should result in greater viewer engagement, bringing more ad dollars to its platform.Building on that, CTV ad spend is poised for dramatic growth, both because viewers are moving away from traditional TV and because CTV ads can be targeted more effectively. In fact, CTV ad spend in the U.S. alone could reach $100 billion by 2030, up from $21 billion in 2021, according to BMO Capital Markets.With that in mind, if Roku can deliver revenue growth of 20% per year over the next decade, its market cap could increase sixfold by 2032 (assuming a reasonable price-to-sale ratio of 2.9). That's why investors should consider buying this growth stock today.MercadoLibre: The e-commerce leader in Latin AmericaMercadoLibre is the largest e-commerce marketplace in Latin America, and it ranks as the market leader in each of the major countries in which it operates. It has reinforced that edge with value-added services like logistics, financing, digital advertising, and digital payments. That makes MercadoLibre a one-stop shop for merchants.Its logistics business (Mercado Envíos) and its fintech business (Mercado Pago) have been particularly instrumental in its success. Mercado Envíos handled 91% of shipping volume in the most recent quarter, and nearly 80% of that volume was delivered within 48 hours. That makes for a great consumer experience, and merchants wouldn't be able to achieve that on their own.Additionally, Mercado Pago supports digital payments both on and off the MercadoLibre marketplace, a particularly important role given that many Latin Americans lack access to a bank account and debit card. In the most recent quarter, digital wallet users rose 42% to 21.4 million, and total payment volume skyrocketed 72% to $30.2 billion.Not surprisingly, MercadoLibre has delivered impressive financial results over the past three years.MetricQ2 2019Q2 2022CAGRRevenue (TTM)$1.8 billion$8.8 billion70%Cash from operations (TTM)$289.7 million$1.6 billion78%Data source: YCharts. TTM = trailing-12-months. CAGR = compound annual growth rate.Investors have good reason to believe MercadoLibre can maintain that momentum. The vast majority of its revenue comes from Argentina, Brazil, and Mexico, and all three countries rank among the 10 fastest-growing e-commerce markets in the world. More broadly, Latin America itself has one of the fastest-growing internet penetration rates in the world, and that should drive adoption of online shopping and digital payments in the years ahead.According to Statista, e-commerce sales across all countries in which MercadoLibre operates will grow at 18% per year to reach $260 billion by 2025, and digital payments volume will grow at 15% per year to reach $510 billion by 2027. That leaves plenty of room for growth.On that note, if MercadoLibre can grow revenue at 25% per year over the next decade, its market cap could easily increase sixfold (assuming a reasonable price-to-sales ratio of 3.1) in that time. That's why this growth stock is a smart buy for long-term investors.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":646,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9931122053,"gmtCreate":1662424351173,"gmtModify":1676537055909,"author":{"id":"3581853261599921","authorId":"3581853261599921","name":"Jayden86_","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e0a3979b2998dfa9c0fddbce29da3ab9","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581853261599921","idStr":"3581853261599921"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ya&nbsp;","listText":"Ya&nbsp;","text":"Ya","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9931122053","repostId":"2264713810","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2264713810","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1662422226,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2264713810?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2022-09-06 07:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir: Down 80% - Move Slowly, Size Properly, And Diversify","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2264713810","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryPalantir is down 80% from its all-time high.Investors getting back to even face a tough road ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Palantir is down 80% from its all-time high.</li><li>Investors getting back to even face a tough road ahead.</li><li>Volatility can cloud judgment and amplifies emotions.</li><li>PLTR could be a Buy for certain investors; I&#39;m cautiously optimistic.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5161cf24383825916fdda5a8d1265e6a\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Maria Symchych-Navrotska</span></p><p><b>Down 80%</b></p><p>Palantir (NYSE:PLTR) is down 80% from its all-time high. Actually, to be very precise, PLTR is down 81%, but what&#39;s 1% between friends?</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95e793f0a76a887f0d46cde8613a143b\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"802\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>PLTR data by YCharts</span></p><p>So, what was happening back then?</p><ul><li>Palantir Technologiesbags new $22.5M contract in Japan</li><li>Fujitsu signs $8M contract as Palantir Foundry customer</li><li>Palantir selected to work on Army’s Ground Station modernization</li><li>Palantir announces multi-million dollar deal with PG&amp;E</li><li>Palantir shares surge 25% ahead of Demo Day</li></ul><p>It certainly wasn&#39;t all good news:</p><ul><li>Palantir cut to sell at Citi ahead of lockup, decelerating growth</li></ul><p>Yet, we were in the days of Wall Street Bets going wild. And, the key back in early 2021 was that PLTR was riding high on sentiment, <i>and retail</i>. At that point in time, few people were thinking about &#34;macro&#34; at all:</p><blockquote>Retail trading is definitely changing the way markets function, but what really seems to matter is that we now have a stock picker&#39;s market for the first time since the dot-com bubble. That means stocks may be less sensitive to the broader economy than they used to be, while the professionals need to pay attention to a new generation of investors that entered the scene after the rise of commission-free trading. Instead of following many of the upgrades and downgrades on Wall Street, they&#39;re doing their own research on platforms like Seeking Alpha, and signaling a new era to the DIY investing atmosphere.</blockquote><p>Of course, we know from even the most basic charts that retail went sour and macro has taken over for now: interest rates, inflation, war, just to name a few factors that have taken hold. I was rather clear about this in May 2022:</p><blockquote>The biggest macro story last year into this year was that growth was shifting to value. Of course, PLTR is clearly in the growth category. However, at this time, we have the perfect storm of inflation, supply chain issues, growth out of favor, and way more. Just about everything is against PLTR in the grand view.</blockquote><p><b>Are We Really Down 80%</b></p><p>This is where things get tricky. I&#39;m down about 35% because my cost basis is over $11. It&#39;s not too hard to mathematically figure out how far an investor is down. It&#39;s also not mathematically hard to figure out how much is required to get back to even. The problem is that it&#39;s psychologically difficult to put losses and gains together.Here&#39;s what I mean:</p><blockquote>One of the more compelling aspects of investing is the math of gains and losses. Very simply, a 50% gain does not allow a portfolio to recover from a 50% loss. In fact, a 100% gain is required to restore a 50% loss.</blockquote><p>Here&#39;s a compelling picture to better understand how this works:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b77ef4ec0b7a3bd2e6445460fe02376\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"484\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>The Math of Recovery From a Portfolio Loss (Craig Israelsen, Ph.D.)</span></p><p>Importantly, this also applies to any individual stock. The math doesn&#39;t change because we&#39;re looking at the S&amp;P 500 (SPY) or PLTR.</p><p>Making this personal, I&#39;m down 35% so PLTR needs to gain about 54% from here for me to get back to even on my investment. As I&#39;m writing this up, PLTR is trading at $7.40 so I can multiply by 1.54 (i.e., 54%) to see that is how I get back to my cost basis of $11.40.</p><p>Again, I must stress that the math isn&#39;t too difficult. The decline is easy to calculate. And, the gain is easy to calculate. But, what happens is that we anchor to our starting price, so the recovery feels extra painful. Pain and pleasure are not symmetric.</p><blockquote>If there is a tiger chasing after you versus a suitcase full of money in front of you, which would motivate the average person to act quickly? Avoiding a certain amount of immediate pain wins over gaining immediate pleasure every time. Studies have demonstrated time and time again that people will do much more to avoid short-term pain than they will to gain short-term pleasure.</blockquote><p>This is why having a long-term view of an investment is so critical. The more you check your investments, like PLTR, the more likely you are to feel bad. This is true even when the stock is mostly going up, because every tick down is 2-3x more painful than one tick up. Furthermore, this also partially explains why it&#39;s critical to have a portfolio that makes you comfortable. In other words, diversification helps to moderate feelings because quite often at least some investments are going up.</p><p><b>Putting The &#34;Loss&#34; in Perspective</b></p><p>My little psychology lesson here is of paramount importance. If you believe that PLTR is a meme stock, then you will be thinking of PLTR as a short-term play. It&#39;s quite likely that selling will happen on big dips and it will be painful.</p><p>On the other hand, if you believe Alex Karp, in that PLTR is a long-term play, then your patience will grow dramatically.Hat Tip to Samuel Smith for clarifying this, in regards to Karp speaking at the World Economic Forum:</p><blockquote>Given the required scale, scope, and strength of enterprise software products, PLTR typically takes up to 5 years to fully build them. As a result, the true value of PLTR at any point in time is often never fully appreciated until ~5 years down the road. The bright side of this, however, is that due to the length of time required for fully building and implementing a new enterprise software product, they often have even longer durations in the marketplace.</blockquote><p>I don&#39;t think I&#39;ve ever really made the case that PLTR was a short play. My minimum is nearly always 2-3 years, often much longer. When you buy PLTR, you better plan on holding a long time or you&#39;ll almost certainly be selling.</p><p>Here, let me help you with that using a simple visual.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bdb4a1bd8a48e99a7dde89069d38ff1f\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"826\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>PLTR 30-Day Rolling Volatility data by YCharts</span></p><p>That&#39;s volatility and it will shake weak hands, forcing them to sell. That&#39;s the fear part of volatility. But keep in mind that volatility also generates greed. When the price is rising like crazy the herd jumps on board:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06bef574ff547e600696e1a28b73f598\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"177\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>25% PLTR Share Price Gain Without Any Catalysts (Seeking Alpha)</span></p><p>No new catalysts? That&#39;s not entirely true because we know from the title that this was on the cusp of PLTR&#39;s Demo Day. Emotions. Sentiment. Yes, that&#39;s absolutely true, <i>and the expectations of the herd itself was the catalyst</i>. Although, to be clear, and fair, there was no tangible catalyst on July 22nd, 2021. In any event, we know PLTR will vacillate. I see no reason why this will not continue so &#34;Fair Warning!&#34; is issued again: <i>Here There Be Volatility</i>.</p><p><b>Wrap Up</b></p><p>Most investors holding PLTR are holding onto a capital loss. The downside is the difficult problem of getting back to even, or even moving into the green. We&#39;re all looking to win, right?</p><p>The upside is that it&#39;s now a bit easier to understand PLTR&#39;s price action, with a reference to volatility. Furthermore, it&#39;s a wee bit more simple to know what it will take to get to even, at least in terms of the financials.</p><p>What are the catalysts?Q2 2022 tells us quite a bit:</p><ul><li>Overall Revenue Growth (i.e., $473 million in Q2 2022)</li><li>Customer Count Increases (e.g., Q2 2022 count up to 304 from 169 YoY)</li><li>TAM Expansion (i.e., Gotham, Foundry, Apollo all open for expansion)</li><li>New Products (e.g., Edge AI, HyperAuto, OPIs, Cosmos, Pipeline Builder)</li><li>Developer Community (e.g., Foundry Docs, APIs public, Content Creators)</li></ul><p>Of course, I&#39;m still frustrated by stock-based compensation. Just look up some of my PLTR articles. It comes up many times. But, I also note that I expect that to burn down a lot over the next 2-3 years. We&#39;ll see.</p><p>While I do think that PLTR&#39;s 30% growth is at risk, I said this too:</p><blockquote>I believe that PLTR is still a Hold. Furthermore, I would not consider buying unless we see the price dip below $8, although that might not be low enough to get me to pull the trigger. We&#39;re in rough waters right now. But, again, I do think this is very unique and special company, that should do well over the very long term.</blockquote><p>The company isn&#39;t going bankrupt, or anything remotely that silly. And, we are below $8 at this time. I&#39;m going to very, very cautiously issue a &#34;Buy&#34; of PLTR at this point, for those investors looking to lower their cost basis, and also for those investors who want to tip toe into the company. Tread carefully. Move slowly. Size properly, and be sure to diversify as appropriate for your risk tolerance and portfolio composition.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir: Down 80% - Move Slowly, Size Properly, And Diversify</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir: Down 80% - Move Slowly, Size Properly, And Diversify\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-06 07:57 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4538855-palantir-down-80-percent-move-slowly-size-properly-and-diversify><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryPalantir is down 80% from its all-time high.Investors getting back to even face a tough road ahead.Volatility can cloud judgment and amplifies emotions.PLTR could be a Buy for certain investors...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4538855-palantir-down-80-percent-move-slowly-size-properly-and-diversify\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4538855-palantir-down-80-percent-move-slowly-size-properly-and-diversify","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2264713810","content_text":"SummaryPalantir is down 80% from its all-time high.Investors getting back to even face a tough road ahead.Volatility can cloud judgment and amplifies emotions.PLTR could be a Buy for certain investors; I'm cautiously optimistic.Maria Symchych-NavrotskaDown 80%Palantir (NYSE:PLTR) is down 80% from its all-time high. Actually, to be very precise, PLTR is down 81%, but what's 1% between friends?PLTR data by YChartsSo, what was happening back then?Palantir Technologiesbags new $22.5M contract in JapanFujitsu signs $8M contract as Palantir Foundry customerPalantir selected to work on Army’s Ground Station modernizationPalantir announces multi-million dollar deal with PG&EPalantir shares surge 25% ahead of Demo DayIt certainly wasn't all good news:Palantir cut to sell at Citi ahead of lockup, decelerating growthYet, we were in the days of Wall Street Bets going wild. And, the key back in early 2021 was that PLTR was riding high on sentiment, and retail. At that point in time, few people were thinking about \"macro\" at all:Retail trading is definitely changing the way markets function, but what really seems to matter is that we now have a stock picker's market for the first time since the dot-com bubble. That means stocks may be less sensitive to the broader economy than they used to be, while the professionals need to pay attention to a new generation of investors that entered the scene after the rise of commission-free trading. Instead of following many of the upgrades and downgrades on Wall Street, they're doing their own research on platforms like Seeking Alpha, and signaling a new era to the DIY investing atmosphere.Of course, we know from even the most basic charts that retail went sour and macro has taken over for now: interest rates, inflation, war, just to name a few factors that have taken hold. I was rather clear about this in May 2022:The biggest macro story last year into this year was that growth was shifting to value. Of course, PLTR is clearly in the growth category. However, at this time, we have the perfect storm of inflation, supply chain issues, growth out of favor, and way more. Just about everything is against PLTR in the grand view.Are We Really Down 80%This is where things get tricky. I'm down about 35% because my cost basis is over $11. It's not too hard to mathematically figure out how far an investor is down. It's also not mathematically hard to figure out how much is required to get back to even. The problem is that it's psychologically difficult to put losses and gains together.Here's what I mean:One of the more compelling aspects of investing is the math of gains and losses. Very simply, a 50% gain does not allow a portfolio to recover from a 50% loss. In fact, a 100% gain is required to restore a 50% loss.Here's a compelling picture to better understand how this works:The Math of Recovery From a Portfolio Loss (Craig Israelsen, Ph.D.)Importantly, this also applies to any individual stock. The math doesn't change because we're looking at the S&P 500 (SPY) or PLTR.Making this personal, I'm down 35% so PLTR needs to gain about 54% from here for me to get back to even on my investment. As I'm writing this up, PLTR is trading at $7.40 so I can multiply by 1.54 (i.e., 54%) to see that is how I get back to my cost basis of $11.40.Again, I must stress that the math isn't too difficult. The decline is easy to calculate. And, the gain is easy to calculate. But, what happens is that we anchor to our starting price, so the recovery feels extra painful. Pain and pleasure are not symmetric.If there is a tiger chasing after you versus a suitcase full of money in front of you, which would motivate the average person to act quickly? Avoiding a certain amount of immediate pain wins over gaining immediate pleasure every time. Studies have demonstrated time and time again that people will do much more to avoid short-term pain than they will to gain short-term pleasure.This is why having a long-term view of an investment is so critical. The more you check your investments, like PLTR, the more likely you are to feel bad. This is true even when the stock is mostly going up, because every tick down is 2-3x more painful than one tick up. Furthermore, this also partially explains why it's critical to have a portfolio that makes you comfortable. In other words, diversification helps to moderate feelings because quite often at least some investments are going up.Putting The \"Loss\" in PerspectiveMy little psychology lesson here is of paramount importance. If you believe that PLTR is a meme stock, then you will be thinking of PLTR as a short-term play. It's quite likely that selling will happen on big dips and it will be painful.On the other hand, if you believe Alex Karp, in that PLTR is a long-term play, then your patience will grow dramatically.Hat Tip to Samuel Smith for clarifying this, in regards to Karp speaking at the World Economic Forum:Given the required scale, scope, and strength of enterprise software products, PLTR typically takes up to 5 years to fully build them. As a result, the true value of PLTR at any point in time is often never fully appreciated until ~5 years down the road. The bright side of this, however, is that due to the length of time required for fully building and implementing a new enterprise software product, they often have even longer durations in the marketplace.I don't think I've ever really made the case that PLTR was a short play. My minimum is nearly always 2-3 years, often much longer. When you buy PLTR, you better plan on holding a long time or you'll almost certainly be selling.Here, let me help you with that using a simple visual.PLTR 30-Day Rolling Volatility data by YChartsThat's volatility and it will shake weak hands, forcing them to sell. That's the fear part of volatility. But keep in mind that volatility also generates greed. When the price is rising like crazy the herd jumps on board:25% PLTR Share Price Gain Without Any Catalysts (Seeking Alpha)No new catalysts? That's not entirely true because we know from the title that this was on the cusp of PLTR's Demo Day. Emotions. Sentiment. Yes, that's absolutely true, and the expectations of the herd itself was the catalyst. Although, to be clear, and fair, there was no tangible catalyst on July 22nd, 2021. In any event, we know PLTR will vacillate. I see no reason why this will not continue so \"Fair Warning!\" is issued again: Here There Be Volatility.Wrap UpMost investors holding PLTR are holding onto a capital loss. The downside is the difficult problem of getting back to even, or even moving into the green. We're all looking to win, right?The upside is that it's now a bit easier to understand PLTR's price action, with a reference to volatility. Furthermore, it's a wee bit more simple to know what it will take to get to even, at least in terms of the financials.What are the catalysts?Q2 2022 tells us quite a bit:Overall Revenue Growth (i.e., $473 million in Q2 2022)Customer Count Increases (e.g., Q2 2022 count up to 304 from 169 YoY)TAM Expansion (i.e., Gotham, Foundry, Apollo all open for expansion)New Products (e.g., Edge AI, HyperAuto, OPIs, Cosmos, Pipeline Builder)Developer Community (e.g., Foundry Docs, APIs public, Content Creators)Of course, I'm still frustrated by stock-based compensation. Just look up some of my PLTR articles. It comes up many times. But, I also note that I expect that to burn down a lot over the next 2-3 years. We'll see.While I do think that PLTR's 30% growth is at risk, I said this too:I believe that PLTR is still a Hold. Furthermore, I would not consider buying unless we see the price dip below $8, although that might not be low enough to get me to pull the trigger. We're in rough waters right now. But, again, I do think this is very unique and special company, that should do well over the very long term.The company isn't going bankrupt, or anything remotely that silly. And, we are below $8 at this time. I'm going to very, very cautiously issue a \"Buy\" of PLTR at this point, for those investors looking to lower their cost basis, and also for those investors who want to tip toe into the company. Tread carefully. Move slowly. Size properly, and be sure to diversify as appropriate for your risk tolerance and portfolio composition.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":643,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9933504301,"gmtCreate":1662310226304,"gmtModify":1676537034402,"author":{"id":"3581853261599921","authorId":"3581853261599921","name":"Jayden86_","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e0a3979b2998dfa9c0fddbce29da3ab9","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581853261599921","idStr":"3581853261599921"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ya&nbsp;","listText":"Ya&nbsp;","text":"Ya","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9933504301","repostId":"1114052367","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1114052367","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1662260377,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1114052367?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2022-09-04 10:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Reminder: US Market Will be Closed for Labor Day on Monday, 5 September 2022 EDT","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1114052367","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Dear Valued Client,US Labor Day is around the corner. The U.S. market will be closed on Monday, 5 Se","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Dear Valued Client,</p><p>US Labor Day is around the corner. The U.S. market will be closed on Monday, 5 September 2022 EDT. Please take note of the trading arrangements during the holiday period and make the necessary preparations in advance.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/617f2a63df7eacd3e0db4c21d33077ea\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1080\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Happy investing!</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Reminder: US Market Will be Closed for Labor Day on Monday, 5 September 2022 EDT</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nReminder: US Market Will be Closed for Labor Day on Monday, 5 September 2022 EDT\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-09-04 10:59</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Dear Valued Client,</p><p>US Labor Day is around the corner. The U.S. market will be closed on Monday, 5 September 2022 EDT. Please take note of the trading arrangements during the holiday period and make the necessary preparations in advance.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/617f2a63df7eacd3e0db4c21d33077ea\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1080\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Happy investing!</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1114052367","content_text":"Dear Valued Client,US Labor Day is around the corner. The U.S. market will be closed on Monday, 5 September 2022 EDT. Please take note of the trading arrangements during the holiday period and make the necessary preparations in advance.Happy investing!","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":653,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9933926107,"gmtCreate":1662205360509,"gmtModify":1676537018029,"author":{"id":"3581853261599921","authorId":"3581853261599921","name":"Jayden86_","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e0a3979b2998dfa9c0fddbce29da3ab9","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581853261599921","idStr":"3581853261599921"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ya&nbsp;","listText":"Ya&nbsp;","text":"Ya","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9933926107","repostId":"1184784977","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1184784977","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1662174038,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1184784977?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2022-09-03 11:00","market":"other","language":"en","title":"September May Bring The S&P 500 Back To Its June Lows","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1184784977","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryThe S&P 500 has fallen sharply in recent days, as the dovish pivot has vanished.An FOMC meeti","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>The S&amp;P 500 has fallen sharply in recent days, as the dovish pivot has vanished.</li><li>An FOMC meeting and a slew of economic data will make September very volatile.</li><li>Rising rates and uncertainty could put the June lows in play.</li></ul><p>Stocks are off to a turbulent start in September, as the Fed crushed all hopes of a dovish pivot at the Jackson Hole meeting last Friday. To make matters worse, September will hold several key economic data points and an FOMC meeting which could create even more volatility in a seasonally lousy time.</p><p>Today&#39;s job report appeared a bit weaker on the surface due to the rising unemployment rate. However, the jobs data showed that the pace of hiring in the economy is still strong, and wage growth remains elevated, despite rising slower than inflation.</p><p>The increase in unemployment was driven mainly by the number of workers not in the workforce dropping by 613,000 while the population growth increased by 172,000. This increased the civilian labor force by 786,000, with 442,000 finding work and 344,000 moving into the unemployed column. Unemployment didn&#39;t rise because people were losing jobs; unemployment increased because people were pulled into the labor force, perhaps because of solid wage growth, which increased by 5.2% year-over-year.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b84ce593ffddaaaf877449fe8aa645d2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"192\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>BLS.GOV</p><p>More interesting is that the pace of hiring in the household survey accelerated in August and increased at its fastest rate since March 2022. None of the data from the unemployment report would suggest the Fed is likely to do anything different than it has previously indicated.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/791401f8937b11a9c345764a956dbed6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"338\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>Meanwhile, CPI is likely still tracking above 8% for August and September, based on the Cleveland Fed estimates. Currently, estimates are for a year-over-year inflation rate of 8.3% for August, and 8.4% for September. Meanwhile, core CPI is forecast to rise by 6.25% in August and 6.6% in September. The increase in CPI for August would be slightly slower than 8.5% for July, while core CPI would be somewhat faster than the 5.9% y/y change.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f7e19e82ac100d02e922240146dd66a6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"337\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>A rising core CPI and a strong employment report could push the Fed to raise rates by 75 bps in September. While markets are leaning towards a 75 bps rate hike in September, they aren&#39;t convinced, with current odds at just 62%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/67b0ea44418c49e83255c4d0524d70bb\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"320\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>CME Group</p><p>On top of that September tends to be, on average over the past 30 years, the weakest month with an average decline of -0.34%. The declines have been as much as 11%, and the gains have been as much as 8.8%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/779c427f3192a6ad21f8686b92e742f1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"434\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p><b>S&amp;P 500 Valuation Is Rich Versus Bonds</b></p><p>Data and questions around the next Fed meeting will create a lot of volatility in an already weak time of the year. Interest rates have risen dramatically since Jackson Hole, pushing the S&amp;P 500&#39;s valuation to historically high levels relative to the 10-yr yield, with a current spread between the earnings yield and the 10-yr rate now at 2.47%. But given, that spread should be widening because that is what happens when financial conditions tighten, it tells us that stocks are overvalued currently versus bonds.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fb5d69d23d8cf6e3e3a3fc0d6ef85286\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"235\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>With a nominal 10-Yr rate hovering around 3.25%, if the spread between the S&amp;P 500 earnings yield and the 10-Yr rate moves up to 3%, it would assume an earnings yield for the S&amp;P 500 of 6.25%, or a PE Ratio of 16, which is about 9% lower than the S&amp;P&#39;s current PE of roughly 17.6. That would equate to a value on the S&amp;P 500 of approximately 3,640 and close to the June lows.</p><p><b>June Lows Are In-Play</b></p><p>The likelihood of the S&amp;P 500 retesting those June lows seems to be increasing, and today&#39;s job data isn&#39;t likely to help. The fact of the matter is that rates are rising, and the August jobs data do not suggest the Fed should slow rate hikes or change its policy path, and the CPI data isn&#39;t likely to either. This means the Fed should remain on course to raise rates to around 4% by the middle of 2023, as the Fed Funds Futures are pricing. Given that, it will be tough for an equity rally to see a sustained advance.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0df38f9295305d9279da28bfae09f5b1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"503\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>As rates continue to price higher, not only will nominal rates climb, but so will real rates, and currently, the 5-year and 10-Yr TIP rates have climbed right back to or above their cycle highs. This means that if real rates are rising, shouldn&#39;t the earnings yield of the S&amp;P 500 be rising too? After all, they have followed each other this closely for the past five years; shouldn&#39;t that continue well into the future?</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7d089ca0d6d95c63abe24819e26ed648\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"323\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>Unless, of course, you still think the Fed will make a dovish pivot.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>September May Bring The S&P 500 Back To Its June Lows</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSeptember May Bring The S&P 500 Back To Its June Lows\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-03 11:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4538702-september-may-bring-the-s-and-p-500-back-to-its-june-lows><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryThe S&P 500 has fallen sharply in recent days, as the dovish pivot has vanished.An FOMC meeting and a slew of economic data will make September very volatile.Rising rates and uncertainty could ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4538702-september-may-bring-the-s-and-p-500-back-to-its-june-lows\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4538702-september-may-bring-the-s-and-p-500-back-to-its-june-lows","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1184784977","content_text":"SummaryThe S&P 500 has fallen sharply in recent days, as the dovish pivot has vanished.An FOMC meeting and a slew of economic data will make September very volatile.Rising rates and uncertainty could put the June lows in play.Stocks are off to a turbulent start in September, as the Fed crushed all hopes of a dovish pivot at the Jackson Hole meeting last Friday. To make matters worse, September will hold several key economic data points and an FOMC meeting which could create even more volatility in a seasonally lousy time.Today's job report appeared a bit weaker on the surface due to the rising unemployment rate. However, the jobs data showed that the pace of hiring in the economy is still strong, and wage growth remains elevated, despite rising slower than inflation.The increase in unemployment was driven mainly by the number of workers not in the workforce dropping by 613,000 while the population growth increased by 172,000. This increased the civilian labor force by 786,000, with 442,000 finding work and 344,000 moving into the unemployed column. Unemployment didn't rise because people were losing jobs; unemployment increased because people were pulled into the labor force, perhaps because of solid wage growth, which increased by 5.2% year-over-year.BLS.GOVMore interesting is that the pace of hiring in the household survey accelerated in August and increased at its fastest rate since March 2022. None of the data from the unemployment report would suggest the Fed is likely to do anything different than it has previously indicated.BloombergMeanwhile, CPI is likely still tracking above 8% for August and September, based on the Cleveland Fed estimates. Currently, estimates are for a year-over-year inflation rate of 8.3% for August, and 8.4% for September. Meanwhile, core CPI is forecast to rise by 6.25% in August and 6.6% in September. The increase in CPI for August would be slightly slower than 8.5% for July, while core CPI would be somewhat faster than the 5.9% y/y change.BloombergA rising core CPI and a strong employment report could push the Fed to raise rates by 75 bps in September. While markets are leaning towards a 75 bps rate hike in September, they aren't convinced, with current odds at just 62%.CME GroupOn top of that September tends to be, on average over the past 30 years, the weakest month with an average decline of -0.34%. The declines have been as much as 11%, and the gains have been as much as 8.8%.BloombergS&P 500 Valuation Is Rich Versus BondsData and questions around the next Fed meeting will create a lot of volatility in an already weak time of the year. Interest rates have risen dramatically since Jackson Hole, pushing the S&P 500's valuation to historically high levels relative to the 10-yr yield, with a current spread between the earnings yield and the 10-yr rate now at 2.47%. But given, that spread should be widening because that is what happens when financial conditions tighten, it tells us that stocks are overvalued currently versus bonds.BloombergWith a nominal 10-Yr rate hovering around 3.25%, if the spread between the S&P 500 earnings yield and the 10-Yr rate moves up to 3%, it would assume an earnings yield for the S&P 500 of 6.25%, or a PE Ratio of 16, which is about 9% lower than the S&P's current PE of roughly 17.6. That would equate to a value on the S&P 500 of approximately 3,640 and close to the June lows.June Lows Are In-PlayThe likelihood of the S&P 500 retesting those June lows seems to be increasing, and today's job data isn't likely to help. The fact of the matter is that rates are rising, and the August jobs data do not suggest the Fed should slow rate hikes or change its policy path, and the CPI data isn't likely to either. This means the Fed should remain on course to raise rates to around 4% by the middle of 2023, as the Fed Funds Futures are pricing. Given that, it will be tough for an equity rally to see a sustained advance.BloombergAs rates continue to price higher, not only will nominal rates climb, but so will real rates, and currently, the 5-year and 10-Yr TIP rates have climbed right back to or above their cycle highs. This means that if real rates are rising, shouldn't the earnings yield of the S&P 500 be rising too? After all, they have followed each other this closely for the past five years; shouldn't that continue well into the future?BloombergUnless, of course, you still think the Fed will make a dovish pivot.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":372,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9939556636,"gmtCreate":1662139831725,"gmtModify":1676537006175,"author":{"id":"3581853261599921","authorId":"3581853261599921","name":"Jayden86_","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e0a3979b2998dfa9c0fddbce29da3ab9","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581853261599921","idStr":"3581853261599921"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ya&nbsp;","listText":"Ya&nbsp;","text":"Ya","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9939556636","repostId":"1190582229","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1190582229","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1662132812,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1190582229?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2022-09-02 23:33","market":"other","language":"en","title":"SOXL: Buying A Potential Bounce In Semiconductors","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1190582229","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummarySOXL has been destroyed in just the past week, ceding a third of its value.The long-term outl","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Summary</p><ul><li>SOXL has been destroyed in just the past week, ceding a third of its value.</li><li>The long-term outlook for semis remains strong but faces headwinds near term.</li><li>SOXL is very oversold and looks ready to bounce.</li></ul><p>The latest selling episode in the markets - which feels like about the 900th such episode this year - has crushed high-growth/high-valuation sectors once again. Perhaps no one sector better exemplifies both of those traits than semiconductors, and as I&#39;ve said here before, it&#39;s one ofthe reasons I like to trade semiconductors. You get big, trendy moves in both directions, so trading opportunities abound. Those opportunities have been firmly in one direction for the past week as the euphoria of the NVIDIA (NVDA) earnings rally fizzled after one day. Then, of course, came the news this week that NVIDIA in particular is facing abanon selling certain products to China and Russia. It&#39;s been rough, but it won&#39;t last forever.</p><p>For those looking for a volatile way to venture into trading the semiconductors on the long side, my favorite name to trade is the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SOXL\">Direxion Daily Semiconductor 3x Bull Shares ETF</a>. The ETF does a nice job of tracking the performance of the semi index, but at a 3X daily rate. That means there&#39;s a lot of juice to the upside, but you have to be careful because that juice applies to the downside as well. Indeed, the ETF is more than 80% off its 2022 high.</p><p>However, if you time entries ahead of multi-week or multi-month moves in the semis, SOXL is just about the best way I can think of to take advantage.</p><p>What is SOXL?</p><p>SOXL is a way to gain exposure to the ICE Semiconductor Index, which you cannot trade directly. You can read about the indexhereif you&#39;re so inclined.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/641fc8fd37d8c2f91644324296855701\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"446\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Index factsheet</p><p>Essentially, the ICESEMIT is a float-adjusted market-cap-weighted index that tracks the 30 largest US-listed semiconductor companies. In other words, the index is a good tracker for the industry as it has a wide variety of companies from the semiconductor industry and the largest ones at that. If you&#39;re looking for a non-leveraged ETF that tracks this index pretty well, I would suggest you check out SOXX.</p><p>Back to SOXL though, we can see below the short-term performance of the ETF very closely tracks 3X the index, so on that basis, the ETF is doing its job quite well.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2919f8d858a3d8af1de3a24c1cb78195\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"149\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Fund factsheet</p><p>Trailing returns for just about any period are negative because, well, 2022, but the bottom line is that if you&#39;re looking to gain broad semi exposure, this is the best leveraged way I&#39;ve found.</p><p>If leverage isn&#39;t for you, one way you can use leveraged products like SOXL is just to be capital-efficient. For instance, if your normal position size is $3,000, instead of buying $3,000 of SOXX, you can buy $1,000 of SOXL and get essentially the same exposure. Just because a product is leveraged doesn&#39;t mean you have to be irresponsible; these can be great tools to be efficient with your capital, in addition to using it to make big bets one way or the other. There is tracking error over long periods, but it&#39;s a 3X leveraged trading vehicle, so that&#39;s to be expected. Use it responsibly and it&#39;s a great tool.</p><p>An ugly chart, but reason for optimism</p><p>So, without further ado, let&#39;s take a look at the current state of SOXL by starting with the daily chart.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e9e5da029ddb856c46b93d42f05d59ca\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"812\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Stock Charts</p><p>I&#39;ve kept the annotations simple here because the idea behind buying SOXL in today&#39;s market is that semiconductors are oversold, and it&#39;s pretty evident SOXL is oversold. Of course, that does not mean it cannot become<i>more</i>oversold, because it certainly can. However, buying at times such as these increases our odds of success. And given there are no guarantees in investing, increasing your odds of success is all you can hope to achieve.</p><p>Why do I think SOXL has upside risk from here? The selloff in semis has been particularly swift and brutal since the selling began a week ago. The ETF hit $19.38 last Thursday, and in the five trading days since, has plummeted to close at $13.22 yesterday. That&#39;s a 30%+ decline in the space of<i>five days</i>, so that&#39;s why I said above the moves are huge in this thing. Before you take any positions in SOXL, know your game plan to stop out if things go against you. If not, you could end up holding some very heavy bags because this is NOT a buy-and-hold ETF for long periods of time. If you&#39;re wrong, just take your loss and get out.</p><p>Back to the chart, the accumulation/distribution line has actually soared during this last selling episode, which is quite encouraging. It means the intraday dips are being bought, and while that&#39;s not enough reason on its own to buy, it&#39;s a very nice feather in the cap of the bulls.</p><p>The PPO has fallen well below the centerline, which is not what I want to see, but the histogram on the PPO - which is simply the difference between the shorter-term line and the longer-term line - is showing signs of momentum exhaustion to the downside. That, like our other indicators, increases the odds the selling is at or near an exhaustion point.</p><p>The 14-day RSI has not reached oversold conditions, which is another good sign since securities that sell off enough for the 14-day RSI to reach oversold are generally in steep bear markets. The 5-day RSI, which is much shorter-term,<i>is</i>oversold so again, increasing the odds we get a bounce.</p><p>Finally, the candle from yesterday was quite bullish. The ETF fell very sharply in the morning (along with just about everything else), before rallying nearly as sharply in the afternoon. This kind of reversing candle can often portend the end of a trend, which would be most welcomed for SOXL at this point.</p><p>None of this guarantees us that SOXL is going to bounce. In fact, it could go to $11, or $10, or $8. However, the confluence of these factors greatly increases the odds that SOXL gets a bounce from here. This is the methodology I use with subscribers of my service, and in my own trading.</p><h3>Outlook for the sector</h3><p>Fundamentally, I think the semiconductors as an industry will do just fine over the long term. The group today has trough valuations, robust revenue expectations on strong, ever-expanding demand, and we&#39;re<i>still</i>facing shortages in a lot of cases. In other words, I don&#39;t think the industry has been harmed, and that this harm is the reason the stocks of the group continue to fall. Rather, we have fears of a recession and enormous declines in equity risk premiums that have driven valuations lower. Those factors are temporary, whereas a broken industry isn&#39;t.</p><p>Thus, if you&#39;re a long-term investor, I see bargains in the sector. But to be clear, you have to be very patient to buy-and-hold semiconductor stocks, because they make big moves in both directions. My long-term view also doesn&#39;t mean we cannot see more lower lows; that&#39;s certainly a possibility if this selloff morphs into a full panic. We aren&#39;t there, and hopefully, we won&#39;t be, but that&#39;s a possibility.</p><p>Let&#39;s now look at the relative price action of SOXL against the S&amp;P 500, which I&#39;ve plotted for two years below.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/12dd65397329bb4b645a979e55b0da1b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"319\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Stock Charts (relative strength)</p><p>The allure (and danger) of SOXL can be seen here with two very distinct phases. In the first half of this chart, semis outperformed greatly as estimates for earnings rose and valuations soared. SOXL outperformed the SPX by<i>260%</i>during this period. However, since the relative high in late 2021, SOXL has underperformed by 79%. This is why I said you cannot just hold and hope for a rebound if you&#39;re wrong; you could end up losing an enormous amount of your money.</p><p>Now, what I&#39;m watching here, in addition to the daily chart we looked at above, is whether SOXL (or SOXX, if you prefer) makes a new relative low to the SPX. If this is the bottom of the selling this time around, and we get a higher relative low, that&#39;s yet another signal that the selling for the semis is at or near an end.</p><p>The semis have been awful this year, but at some point, they will turn and outperform again. We&#39;re not there yet, but the current setup in the group may just be that catalyst. I think the risk is skewed to the upside from here, but please be prudent with position sizes and stop loss management.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>SOXL: Buying A Potential Bounce In Semiconductors</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSOXL: Buying A Potential Bounce In Semiconductors\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-02 23:33 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4538661-soxl-etf-buying-potential-bounce-semiconductors><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummarySOXL has been destroyed in just the past week, ceding a third of its value.The long-term outlook for semis remains strong but faces headwinds near term.SOXL is very oversold and looks ready to ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4538661-soxl-etf-buying-potential-bounce-semiconductors\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4538661-soxl-etf-buying-potential-bounce-semiconductors","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1190582229","content_text":"SummarySOXL has been destroyed in just the past week, ceding a third of its value.The long-term outlook for semis remains strong but faces headwinds near term.SOXL is very oversold and looks ready to bounce.The latest selling episode in the markets - which feels like about the 900th such episode this year - has crushed high-growth/high-valuation sectors once again. Perhaps no one sector better exemplifies both of those traits than semiconductors, and as I've said here before, it's one ofthe reasons I like to trade semiconductors. You get big, trendy moves in both directions, so trading opportunities abound. Those opportunities have been firmly in one direction for the past week as the euphoria of the NVIDIA (NVDA) earnings rally fizzled after one day. Then, of course, came the news this week that NVIDIA in particular is facing abanon selling certain products to China and Russia. It's been rough, but it won't last forever.For those looking for a volatile way to venture into trading the semiconductors on the long side, my favorite name to trade is the Direxion Daily Semiconductor 3x Bull Shares ETF. The ETF does a nice job of tracking the performance of the semi index, but at a 3X daily rate. That means there's a lot of juice to the upside, but you have to be careful because that juice applies to the downside as well. Indeed, the ETF is more than 80% off its 2022 high.However, if you time entries ahead of multi-week or multi-month moves in the semis, SOXL is just about the best way I can think of to take advantage.What is SOXL?SOXL is a way to gain exposure to the ICE Semiconductor Index, which you cannot trade directly. You can read about the indexhereif you're so inclined.Index factsheetEssentially, the ICESEMIT is a float-adjusted market-cap-weighted index that tracks the 30 largest US-listed semiconductor companies. In other words, the index is a good tracker for the industry as it has a wide variety of companies from the semiconductor industry and the largest ones at that. If you're looking for a non-leveraged ETF that tracks this index pretty well, I would suggest you check out SOXX.Back to SOXL though, we can see below the short-term performance of the ETF very closely tracks 3X the index, so on that basis, the ETF is doing its job quite well.Fund factsheetTrailing returns for just about any period are negative because, well, 2022, but the bottom line is that if you're looking to gain broad semi exposure, this is the best leveraged way I've found.If leverage isn't for you, one way you can use leveraged products like SOXL is just to be capital-efficient. For instance, if your normal position size is $3,000, instead of buying $3,000 of SOXX, you can buy $1,000 of SOXL and get essentially the same exposure. Just because a product is leveraged doesn't mean you have to be irresponsible; these can be great tools to be efficient with your capital, in addition to using it to make big bets one way or the other. There is tracking error over long periods, but it's a 3X leveraged trading vehicle, so that's to be expected. Use it responsibly and it's a great tool.An ugly chart, but reason for optimismSo, without further ado, let's take a look at the current state of SOXL by starting with the daily chart.Stock ChartsI've kept the annotations simple here because the idea behind buying SOXL in today's market is that semiconductors are oversold, and it's pretty evident SOXL is oversold. Of course, that does not mean it cannot becomemoreoversold, because it certainly can. However, buying at times such as these increases our odds of success. And given there are no guarantees in investing, increasing your odds of success is all you can hope to achieve.Why do I think SOXL has upside risk from here? The selloff in semis has been particularly swift and brutal since the selling began a week ago. The ETF hit $19.38 last Thursday, and in the five trading days since, has plummeted to close at $13.22 yesterday. That's a 30%+ decline in the space offive days, so that's why I said above the moves are huge in this thing. Before you take any positions in SOXL, know your game plan to stop out if things go against you. If not, you could end up holding some very heavy bags because this is NOT a buy-and-hold ETF for long periods of time. If you're wrong, just take your loss and get out.Back to the chart, the accumulation/distribution line has actually soared during this last selling episode, which is quite encouraging. It means the intraday dips are being bought, and while that's not enough reason on its own to buy, it's a very nice feather in the cap of the bulls.The PPO has fallen well below the centerline, which is not what I want to see, but the histogram on the PPO - which is simply the difference between the shorter-term line and the longer-term line - is showing signs of momentum exhaustion to the downside. That, like our other indicators, increases the odds the selling is at or near an exhaustion point.The 14-day RSI has not reached oversold conditions, which is another good sign since securities that sell off enough for the 14-day RSI to reach oversold are generally in steep bear markets. The 5-day RSI, which is much shorter-term,isoversold so again, increasing the odds we get a bounce.Finally, the candle from yesterday was quite bullish. The ETF fell very sharply in the morning (along with just about everything else), before rallying nearly as sharply in the afternoon. This kind of reversing candle can often portend the end of a trend, which would be most welcomed for SOXL at this point.None of this guarantees us that SOXL is going to bounce. In fact, it could go to $11, or $10, or $8. However, the confluence of these factors greatly increases the odds that SOXL gets a bounce from here. This is the methodology I use with subscribers of my service, and in my own trading.Outlook for the sectorFundamentally, I think the semiconductors as an industry will do just fine over the long term. The group today has trough valuations, robust revenue expectations on strong, ever-expanding demand, and we'restillfacing shortages in a lot of cases. In other words, I don't think the industry has been harmed, and that this harm is the reason the stocks of the group continue to fall. Rather, we have fears of a recession and enormous declines in equity risk premiums that have driven valuations lower. Those factors are temporary, whereas a broken industry isn't.Thus, if you're a long-term investor, I see bargains in the sector. But to be clear, you have to be very patient to buy-and-hold semiconductor stocks, because they make big moves in both directions. My long-term view also doesn't mean we cannot see more lower lows; that's certainly a possibility if this selloff morphs into a full panic. We aren't there, and hopefully, we won't be, but that's a possibility.Let's now look at the relative price action of SOXL against the S&P 500, which I've plotted for two years below.Stock Charts (relative strength)The allure (and danger) of SOXL can be seen here with two very distinct phases. In the first half of this chart, semis outperformed greatly as estimates for earnings rose and valuations soared. SOXL outperformed the SPX by260%during this period. However, since the relative high in late 2021, SOXL has underperformed by 79%. This is why I said you cannot just hold and hope for a rebound if you're wrong; you could end up losing an enormous amount of your money.Now, what I'm watching here, in addition to the daily chart we looked at above, is whether SOXL (or SOXX, if you prefer) makes a new relative low to the SPX. If this is the bottom of the selling this time around, and we get a higher relative low, that's yet another signal that the selling for the semis is at or near an end.The semis have been awful this year, but at some point, they will turn and outperform again. We're not there yet, but the current setup in the group may just be that catalyst. I think the risk is skewed to the upside from here, but please be prudent with position sizes and stop loss management.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":431,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9930736542,"gmtCreate":1662000713388,"gmtModify":1676536622719,"author":{"id":"3581853261599921","authorId":"3581853261599921","name":"Jayden86_","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e0a3979b2998dfa9c0fddbce29da3ab9","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581853261599921","idStr":"3581853261599921"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ya&nbsp;","listText":"Ya&nbsp;","text":"Ya","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9930736542","repostId":"2264232068","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2264232068","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1661990277,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2264232068?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2022-09-01 07:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"\"Prepare for an Epic Finale\": Jeremy Grantham Warns \"Tragedy\" Looms as \"Superbubble\" May Burst","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2264232068","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Jeremy Grantham, co-founder of GMO, warns that a “superbubble” now appears between its third and fin","content":"<html><head></head><body><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e30283c0fa974f75392c6e017fc03beb\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"393\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Jeremy Grantham, co-founder of GMO, warns that a “superbubble” now appears between its third and final act.</span></p><p>A &#34;superbubble&#34; appears dangerously near its &#34;final act&#34; after the recent rally in U.S. stocks lured some investors back into the market just ahead of potential &#34;tragedy,&#34; according to Jeremy Grantham, the legendary co-founder of Boston-based investment firm GMO.</p><p>Grantham, who has repeatedly warned investors of a bubble in markets, said in a paper Wednesday that &#34;superbubbles are events unlike any others&#34; and share some common features.</p><p>&#34;One of those features is the bear-market rally after the initial derating stage of the decline but before the economy has clearly begun to deteriorate, as it always has when superbubbles burst,&#34; said Grantham. &#34;This, in all three previous cases, recovered over half the market&#39;s initial losses, luring unwary investors back just in time for the market to turn down again, only more viciously, and the economy to weaken. This summer&#39;s rally has so far perfectly fit the pattern.&#34;</p><p>The U.S. stock market tumbled during the first half of 2022 as investors anticipated soaring inflation would lead to a hawkish Federal Reserve. The S&amp;P 500 closed at a low this year of 3,666.77 on June 16, before surging over the summer along with other stock benchmarks amid investor optimism over signs that the highest inflation in decades was easing.</p><p>Fed Chair Jerome Powell recently ended that rally with his Aug. 26 speech at the Jackson Hole, Wyo., economic symposium, wiping out this month&#39;s gains as he reiterated that the central bank would keep tightening its monetary policy to tame soaring inflation. He warned that the Fed would battle inflation until the job was done, even as it may bring pain to households and businesses.</p><p>&#34;The U.S. stock market remains very expensive and an increase in inflation like the one this year has always hurt multiples, although more slowly than normal this time,&#34; Grantham said. &#34;But now the fundamentals have also started to deteriorate enormously and surprisingly: Between COVID in China, war in Europe, food and energy crises, record fiscal tightening, and more, the outlook is far grimmer than could have been foreseen in January.&#34;</p><p>Grantham had warned in a January paper that the U.S. was approaching the end of a &#34;superbubble&#34; spanning across stocks, bonds, real estate and commodities following massive stimulus during the COVID-19 pandemic.</p><p>In his paper Wednesday, Grantham said &#34;the current superbubble features an unprecedentedly dangerous mix of cross-asset overvaluation (with bonds, housing, and stocks all critically overpriced and now rapidly losing momentum), commodity shock, and Fed hawkishness.&#34;</p><p>The bursting of superbubbles has multiple stages, according to Grantham.</p><p>First the bubble forms and then a &#34;setback&#34; in valuations -- such as the one seen in the first half of 2022 -- occurs as investors come to realize &#34;perfection&#34; won&#39;t last, he said. &#34;Then there is what we have just seen -- the bear-market rally,&#34; before finally &#34;fundamentals deteriorate&#34; and the market drops to a low.</p><p>&#34;Bear-market rallies in superbubbles are easier and faster than any other rallies,&#34; he said. &#34;Investors surmise, this stock sold for $100 6 months ago, so now at $50, or $60, or $70, it must be cheap.&#34;</p><p>At the intraday peak on Aug. 16, the S&amp;P 500 had made back 58% of its losses since its June low, according to Grantham. That was &#34;eerily similar to these other historic superbubbles.&#34;</p><p>For example, &#34;from the November low in 1929 to the April 1930 high, the market rallied 46% -- a 55% recovery of the loss from the peak,&#34; he said.</p><p>He also highlighted  the &#34;speed and scale&#34; of other bear-market rallies.</p><p>&#34;In 1973, the summer rally after the initial decline recovered 59% of the S&amp;P 500&#39;s total loss from the high,&#34; he wrote. More recently, in 2000, Grantham wrote that &#34;the Nasdaq (which had been the main event of the tech bubble) recovered 60% of its initial losses in just 2 months.&#34;</p><p>U.S. stocks ended lower Wednesday, with all three major benchmarks booking a fourth straight day of declines on the final day of August. The Dow Jones Industrial Average  dropped 0.9%, while the S&amp;P 500  fell 0.8% and the technology-heavy Nasdaq Composite  slid 0.6%.</p><p>&#34;Economic data inevitably lags major turning points in the economy,&#34; said Grantham. &#34;To make matters worse, at the turn of events like 2000 and 2007, data series like corporate profits and employment can subsequently be massively revised downwards.&#34;</p><p>&#34;It is during this lag that the bear-market rally typically occurs,&#34; he said. And now the current superbubble appears to have &#34;paused between the third and final act,&#34; according to Grantham.</p><p>&#34;Prepare for an epic finale,&#34; he said. &#34;If history repeats, the play will once again be a Tragedy. We must hope this time for a minor one.&#34;</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>\"Prepare for an Epic Finale\": Jeremy Grantham Warns \"Tragedy\" Looms as \"Superbubble\" May Burst</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n\"Prepare for an Epic Finale\": Jeremy Grantham Warns \"Tragedy\" Looms as \"Superbubble\" May Burst\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-09-01 07:57</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e30283c0fa974f75392c6e017fc03beb\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"393\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Jeremy Grantham, co-founder of GMO, warns that a “superbubble” now appears between its third and final act.</span></p><p>A &#34;superbubble&#34; appears dangerously near its &#34;final act&#34; after the recent rally in U.S. stocks lured some investors back into the market just ahead of potential &#34;tragedy,&#34; according to Jeremy Grantham, the legendary co-founder of Boston-based investment firm GMO.</p><p>Grantham, who has repeatedly warned investors of a bubble in markets, said in a paper Wednesday that &#34;superbubbles are events unlike any others&#34; and share some common features.</p><p>&#34;One of those features is the bear-market rally after the initial derating stage of the decline but before the economy has clearly begun to deteriorate, as it always has when superbubbles burst,&#34; said Grantham. &#34;This, in all three previous cases, recovered over half the market&#39;s initial losses, luring unwary investors back just in time for the market to turn down again, only more viciously, and the economy to weaken. This summer&#39;s rally has so far perfectly fit the pattern.&#34;</p><p>The U.S. stock market tumbled during the first half of 2022 as investors anticipated soaring inflation would lead to a hawkish Federal Reserve. The S&amp;P 500 closed at a low this year of 3,666.77 on June 16, before surging over the summer along with other stock benchmarks amid investor optimism over signs that the highest inflation in decades was easing.</p><p>Fed Chair Jerome Powell recently ended that rally with his Aug. 26 speech at the Jackson Hole, Wyo., economic symposium, wiping out this month&#39;s gains as he reiterated that the central bank would keep tightening its monetary policy to tame soaring inflation. He warned that the Fed would battle inflation until the job was done, even as it may bring pain to households and businesses.</p><p>&#34;The U.S. stock market remains very expensive and an increase in inflation like the one this year has always hurt multiples, although more slowly than normal this time,&#34; Grantham said. &#34;But now the fundamentals have also started to deteriorate enormously and surprisingly: Between COVID in China, war in Europe, food and energy crises, record fiscal tightening, and more, the outlook is far grimmer than could have been foreseen in January.&#34;</p><p>Grantham had warned in a January paper that the U.S. was approaching the end of a &#34;superbubble&#34; spanning across stocks, bonds, real estate and commodities following massive stimulus during the COVID-19 pandemic.</p><p>In his paper Wednesday, Grantham said &#34;the current superbubble features an unprecedentedly dangerous mix of cross-asset overvaluation (with bonds, housing, and stocks all critically overpriced and now rapidly losing momentum), commodity shock, and Fed hawkishness.&#34;</p><p>The bursting of superbubbles has multiple stages, according to Grantham.</p><p>First the bubble forms and then a &#34;setback&#34; in valuations -- such as the one seen in the first half of 2022 -- occurs as investors come to realize &#34;perfection&#34; won&#39;t last, he said. &#34;Then there is what we have just seen -- the bear-market rally,&#34; before finally &#34;fundamentals deteriorate&#34; and the market drops to a low.</p><p>&#34;Bear-market rallies in superbubbles are easier and faster than any other rallies,&#34; he said. &#34;Investors surmise, this stock sold for $100 6 months ago, so now at $50, or $60, or $70, it must be cheap.&#34;</p><p>At the intraday peak on Aug. 16, the S&amp;P 500 had made back 58% of its losses since its June low, according to Grantham. That was &#34;eerily similar to these other historic superbubbles.&#34;</p><p>For example, &#34;from the November low in 1929 to the April 1930 high, the market rallied 46% -- a 55% recovery of the loss from the peak,&#34; he said.</p><p>He also highlighted  the &#34;speed and scale&#34; of other bear-market rallies.</p><p>&#34;In 1973, the summer rally after the initial decline recovered 59% of the S&amp;P 500&#39;s total loss from the high,&#34; he wrote. More recently, in 2000, Grantham wrote that &#34;the Nasdaq (which had been the main event of the tech bubble) recovered 60% of its initial losses in just 2 months.&#34;</p><p>U.S. stocks ended lower Wednesday, with all three major benchmarks booking a fourth straight day of declines on the final day of August. The Dow Jones Industrial Average  dropped 0.9%, while the S&amp;P 500  fell 0.8% and the technology-heavy Nasdaq Composite  slid 0.6%.</p><p>&#34;Economic data inevitably lags major turning points in the economy,&#34; said Grantham. &#34;To make matters worse, at the turn of events like 2000 and 2007, data series like corporate profits and employment can subsequently be massively revised downwards.&#34;</p><p>&#34;It is during this lag that the bear-market rally typically occurs,&#34; he said. And now the current superbubble appears to have &#34;paused between the third and final act,&#34; according to Grantham.</p><p>&#34;Prepare for an epic finale,&#34; he said. &#34;If history repeats, the play will once again be a Tragedy. We must hope this time for a minor one.&#34;</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2264232068","content_text":"Jeremy Grantham, co-founder of GMO, warns that a “superbubble” now appears between its third and final act.A \"superbubble\" appears dangerously near its \"final act\" after the recent rally in U.S. stocks lured some investors back into the market just ahead of potential \"tragedy,\" according to Jeremy Grantham, the legendary co-founder of Boston-based investment firm GMO.Grantham, who has repeatedly warned investors of a bubble in markets, said in a paper Wednesday that \"superbubbles are events unlike any others\" and share some common features.\"One of those features is the bear-market rally after the initial derating stage of the decline but before the economy has clearly begun to deteriorate, as it always has when superbubbles burst,\" said Grantham. \"This, in all three previous cases, recovered over half the market's initial losses, luring unwary investors back just in time for the market to turn down again, only more viciously, and the economy to weaken. This summer's rally has so far perfectly fit the pattern.\"The U.S. stock market tumbled during the first half of 2022 as investors anticipated soaring inflation would lead to a hawkish Federal Reserve. The S&P 500 closed at a low this year of 3,666.77 on June 16, before surging over the summer along with other stock benchmarks amid investor optimism over signs that the highest inflation in decades was easing.Fed Chair Jerome Powell recently ended that rally with his Aug. 26 speech at the Jackson Hole, Wyo., economic symposium, wiping out this month's gains as he reiterated that the central bank would keep tightening its monetary policy to tame soaring inflation. He warned that the Fed would battle inflation until the job was done, even as it may bring pain to households and businesses.\"The U.S. stock market remains very expensive and an increase in inflation like the one this year has always hurt multiples, although more slowly than normal this time,\" Grantham said. \"But now the fundamentals have also started to deteriorate enormously and surprisingly: Between COVID in China, war in Europe, food and energy crises, record fiscal tightening, and more, the outlook is far grimmer than could have been foreseen in January.\"Grantham had warned in a January paper that the U.S. was approaching the end of a \"superbubble\" spanning across stocks, bonds, real estate and commodities following massive stimulus during the COVID-19 pandemic.In his paper Wednesday, Grantham said \"the current superbubble features an unprecedentedly dangerous mix of cross-asset overvaluation (with bonds, housing, and stocks all critically overpriced and now rapidly losing momentum), commodity shock, and Fed hawkishness.\"The bursting of superbubbles has multiple stages, according to Grantham.First the bubble forms and then a \"setback\" in valuations -- such as the one seen in the first half of 2022 -- occurs as investors come to realize \"perfection\" won't last, he said. \"Then there is what we have just seen -- the bear-market rally,\" before finally \"fundamentals deteriorate\" and the market drops to a low.\"Bear-market rallies in superbubbles are easier and faster than any other rallies,\" he said. \"Investors surmise, this stock sold for $100 6 months ago, so now at $50, or $60, or $70, it must be cheap.\"At the intraday peak on Aug. 16, the S&P 500 had made back 58% of its losses since its June low, according to Grantham. That was \"eerily similar to these other historic superbubbles.\"For example, \"from the November low in 1929 to the April 1930 high, the market rallied 46% -- a 55% recovery of the loss from the peak,\" he said.He also highlighted  the \"speed and scale\" of other bear-market rallies.\"In 1973, the summer rally after the initial decline recovered 59% of the S&P 500's total loss from the high,\" he wrote. More recently, in 2000, Grantham wrote that \"the Nasdaq (which had been the main event of the tech bubble) recovered 60% of its initial losses in just 2 months.\"U.S. stocks ended lower Wednesday, with all three major benchmarks booking a fourth straight day of declines on the final day of August. The Dow Jones Industrial Average  dropped 0.9%, while the S&P 500  fell 0.8% and the technology-heavy Nasdaq Composite  slid 0.6%.\"Economic data inevitably lags major turning points in the economy,\" said Grantham. \"To make matters worse, at the turn of events like 2000 and 2007, data series like corporate profits and employment can subsequently be massively revised downwards.\"\"It is during this lag that the bear-market rally typically occurs,\" he said. And now the current superbubble appears to have \"paused between the third and final act,\" according to Grantham.\"Prepare for an epic finale,\" he said. \"If history repeats, the play will once again be a Tragedy. We must hope this time for a minor one.\"","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":368,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9995426625,"gmtCreate":1661502444570,"gmtModify":1676536531549,"author":{"id":"3581853261599921","authorId":"3581853261599921","name":"Jayden86_","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e0a3979b2998dfa9c0fddbce29da3ab9","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581853261599921","idStr":"3581853261599921"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ya&nbsp;","listText":"Ya&nbsp;","text":"Ya","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9995426625","repostId":"1168037486","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1168037486","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1661502068,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1168037486?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2022-08-26 16:21","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Gap Shares Surged 6% in Premarket Trading","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1168037486","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Gap Inc reported a surprise quarterly profit on Thursday on demand for dressier clothes at its Banan","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Gap Inc reported a surprise quarterly profit on Thursday on demand for dressier clothes at its Banana Republic brand, while an inventory glut and weak sales of outdated clothes prompted it to withdraw annual forecasts.</p><p>People have been opting for suits, dresses and skirts over casual wear as they increasingly venture out for social events and to offices, with demand for affordable luxury, which Banana Republic specializes in, also staying firm.</p><p>Shares surged 6% in premarket trading Friday as Gap topped revenue estimates and said sales improved in July and into August, with easing fuel prices helping lift discretionary spending.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/245b55c11ed7a0278f039ffefa1ad68b\" tg-width=\"841\" tg-height=\"620\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>&#34;The macro environment is testing us with simultaneous shifts in consumer behavior and increased cost pressures,&#34; Gap interim Chief Executive Officer Bob Martin said on an earnings call.</p><p>The company, which is in the middle of a CEO transition after Sonia Syngal stepped down last month, said it would invest &#34;more prudently&#34; in marketing, implement a pause on hiring and slow down its spending on technology as it seeks to shore up its profits.</p><p>U.S. apparel chains including Kohl&#39;s and Abercrombie &amp; Fitch have warned of steeper discounts to offload excess inventory of casual wear, which people donned more during the height of the pandemic.</p><p>Gap recorded an inventory impairment charge of $58 million and said stocks at the end of the second quarter were 37% higher from last year, although it expects them to fall heading into next year.</p><p>The company reported second-quarter profit of 18 cents per share, compared with an average estimate of a loss of 5 cents from analysts polled by Refinitiv.</p><p>Net revenue of $3.86 billion also topped expectations of $3.82 billion, helped by a 9% jump in sales at Banana Republic, even as Gap struggled to sell outdated styles at brands including Old Navy.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Gap Shares Surged 6% in Premarket Trading</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGap Shares Surged 6% in Premarket Trading\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-08-26 16:21</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Gap Inc reported a surprise quarterly profit on Thursday on demand for dressier clothes at its Banana Republic brand, while an inventory glut and weak sales of outdated clothes prompted it to withdraw annual forecasts.</p><p>People have been opting for suits, dresses and skirts over casual wear as they increasingly venture out for social events and to offices, with demand for affordable luxury, which Banana Republic specializes in, also staying firm.</p><p>Shares surged 6% in premarket trading Friday as Gap topped revenue estimates and said sales improved in July and into August, with easing fuel prices helping lift discretionary spending.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/245b55c11ed7a0278f039ffefa1ad68b\" tg-width=\"841\" tg-height=\"620\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>&#34;The macro environment is testing us with simultaneous shifts in consumer behavior and increased cost pressures,&#34; Gap interim Chief Executive Officer Bob Martin said on an earnings call.</p><p>The company, which is in the middle of a CEO transition after Sonia Syngal stepped down last month, said it would invest &#34;more prudently&#34; in marketing, implement a pause on hiring and slow down its spending on technology as it seeks to shore up its profits.</p><p>U.S. apparel chains including Kohl&#39;s and Abercrombie &amp; Fitch have warned of steeper discounts to offload excess inventory of casual wear, which people donned more during the height of the pandemic.</p><p>Gap recorded an inventory impairment charge of $58 million and said stocks at the end of the second quarter were 37% higher from last year, although it expects them to fall heading into next year.</p><p>The company reported second-quarter profit of 18 cents per share, compared with an average estimate of a loss of 5 cents from analysts polled by Refinitiv.</p><p>Net revenue of $3.86 billion also topped expectations of $3.82 billion, helped by a 9% jump in sales at Banana Republic, even as Gap struggled to sell outdated styles at brands including Old Navy.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1168037486","content_text":"Gap Inc reported a surprise quarterly profit on Thursday on demand for dressier clothes at its Banana Republic brand, while an inventory glut and weak sales of outdated clothes prompted it to withdraw annual forecasts.People have been opting for suits, dresses and skirts over casual wear as they increasingly venture out for social events and to offices, with demand for affordable luxury, which Banana Republic specializes in, also staying firm.Shares surged 6% in premarket trading Friday as Gap topped revenue estimates and said sales improved in July and into August, with easing fuel prices helping lift discretionary spending.\"The macro environment is testing us with simultaneous shifts in consumer behavior and increased cost pressures,\" Gap interim Chief Executive Officer Bob Martin said on an earnings call.The company, which is in the middle of a CEO transition after Sonia Syngal stepped down last month, said it would invest \"more prudently\" in marketing, implement a pause on hiring and slow down its spending on technology as it seeks to shore up its profits.U.S. apparel chains including Kohl's and Abercrombie & Fitch have warned of steeper discounts to offload excess inventory of casual wear, which people donned more during the height of the pandemic.Gap recorded an inventory impairment charge of $58 million and said stocks at the end of the second quarter were 37% higher from last year, although it expects them to fall heading into next year.The company reported second-quarter profit of 18 cents per share, compared with an average estimate of a loss of 5 cents from analysts polled by Refinitiv.Net revenue of $3.86 billion also topped expectations of $3.82 billion, helped by a 9% jump in sales at Banana Republic, even as Gap struggled to sell outdated styles at brands including Old Navy.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":259,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9996907729,"gmtCreate":1661094231765,"gmtModify":1676536451771,"author":{"id":"3581853261599921","authorId":"3581853261599921","name":"Jayden86_","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e0a3979b2998dfa9c0fddbce29da3ab9","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581853261599921","idStr":"3581853261599921"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ya&nbsp;","listText":"Ya&nbsp;","text":"Ya","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9996907729","repostId":"2260785313","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2260785313","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1661045446,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2260785313?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2022-08-21 09:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"No, There Is No New Short-Selling Champion in Tesla Stock","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2260785313","media":"Barrons","summary":"There was a stir in the Tesla investing community when a regulator filing indicated that asset manag","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>There was a stir in the Tesla investing community when a regulator filing indicated that asset manager Deer Park Road made a seemingly huge bet against Tesla stock using put options. The stir is just a tempest in a teapot. There is no new short-selling champion for Tesla bears to hoist onto their shoulders.</p><p>A put option is, generally speaking, a bearish bet. It gives the holder the right to sell a stock at a fixed price in the future. Holders of put options do better the lower a stock price falls.</p><p>A quarterly regulatory filing indicated that Deer Park had amassed put-option contracts representing more than 4.8 million shares of Tesla (ticker: TSLA) stock. That much Tesla stock is worth roughly $4.3 billion at current prices. On the surface that looks like a massive bet.</p><p>But that isn&#39;t really the way options work. The price paid for an options contract depends on many factors including the strike price and time to contract expiration.</p><p>Consider Tesla put options that expire Friday Aug. 19, and give the holder the right to sell Tesla stock at about $800 a share are essentially trading for about one cent. Theoretically, amassing options contracts that reflect 4.8 million shares of Tesla could cost someone $48,000. That&#39;s a long way from $4.3 billion.</p><p>It wouldn&#39;t be a good idea, though. There isn&#39;t high probability that Tesla stock will drop about $100 in the final hour of trading Friday.</p><p>(There isn&#39;t much trading volume in those contracts. It&#39;s just an example.)</p><p>Deer Park Chief Investment Officer Scott Burg told Barron&#39;s the Tesla put-options position amounted to 0.1% of his portfolio. That isn&#39;t all that much, and indicates Deer Park probably paid the less than $1 per share represented the puts.</p><p>That isn&#39;t a lot for a stock worth about $900. That also means the put options were either expiring soon, or deeply out of the money, or both. Burg didn&#39;t get into contract specifics, but said the position was closed profitably. The tiny position is already gone.</p><p>Profits aren&#39;t hard to fathom. Tesla stock did fall, along with other technology shares, in the second quarter. Tesla stock dropped almost 38% from the end of March to the end of June while the Nasdaq Composite fell 22% over the same span.</p><p>Burg doesn&#39;t consider himself a big Tesla bear. He&#39;s says he is bearish on the overall economy and the consumer. He expects Tesla stock to struggle, but just like any other consumer discretionary stock this coming year.</p><p>The whole episode does illustrate an important lesson about options trading. There are many ways to use options in a portfolio.</p><p>Investors can buy options contracts far from current prices. They are cheap and only pay off if extreme events happen. They can also be used to bet on volatility. Options get more valuable as stock volatility rises and less valuable when volatility falls. Options can be used to hedge a portfolio, too.</p><p>What&#39;s more, bearish options bets can actually generate income for bullish investors. Take Tesla. It doesn&#39;t pay a dividend. If that irks some shareholders they can sell call options contracts. (Selling a call is similar to a put option. Both work out if the stock falls. It&#39;s a bearish bet.)</p><p>A Tesla holder selling a $900 call option that expires in September gets about $44. That&#39;s almost 5% the value of the Tesla stock. The risk with selling call options against stock held is that the stock could go up. If Tesla hit $1,000, that holder would have essentially sold some of his position for $900, missing out on the additional gain.</p><p>There are many other things pros do with options. People have careers trading options for brokerage firms and asset managers.</p><p>However, options don&#39;t indicate with certainty how someone feels about the stock that underlies the options contract.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>No, There Is No New Short-Selling Champion in Tesla Stock</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNo, There Is No New Short-Selling Champion in Tesla Stock\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-21 09:30 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-short-selling-51660942310?mod=RTA><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>There was a stir in the Tesla investing community when a regulator filing indicated that asset manager Deer Park Road made a seemingly huge bet against Tesla stock using put options. The stir is just ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-short-selling-51660942310?mod=RTA\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-short-selling-51660942310?mod=RTA","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2260785313","content_text":"There was a stir in the Tesla investing community when a regulator filing indicated that asset manager Deer Park Road made a seemingly huge bet against Tesla stock using put options. The stir is just a tempest in a teapot. There is no new short-selling champion for Tesla bears to hoist onto their shoulders.A put option is, generally speaking, a bearish bet. It gives the holder the right to sell a stock at a fixed price in the future. Holders of put options do better the lower a stock price falls.A quarterly regulatory filing indicated that Deer Park had amassed put-option contracts representing more than 4.8 million shares of Tesla (ticker: TSLA) stock. That much Tesla stock is worth roughly $4.3 billion at current prices. On the surface that looks like a massive bet.But that isn't really the way options work. The price paid for an options contract depends on many factors including the strike price and time to contract expiration.Consider Tesla put options that expire Friday Aug. 19, and give the holder the right to sell Tesla stock at about $800 a share are essentially trading for about one cent. Theoretically, amassing options contracts that reflect 4.8 million shares of Tesla could cost someone $48,000. That's a long way from $4.3 billion.It wouldn't be a good idea, though. There isn't high probability that Tesla stock will drop about $100 in the final hour of trading Friday.(There isn't much trading volume in those contracts. It's just an example.)Deer Park Chief Investment Officer Scott Burg told Barron's the Tesla put-options position amounted to 0.1% of his portfolio. That isn't all that much, and indicates Deer Park probably paid the less than $1 per share represented the puts.That isn't a lot for a stock worth about $900. That also means the put options were either expiring soon, or deeply out of the money, or both. Burg didn't get into contract specifics, but said the position was closed profitably. The tiny position is already gone.Profits aren't hard to fathom. Tesla stock did fall, along with other technology shares, in the second quarter. Tesla stock dropped almost 38% from the end of March to the end of June while the Nasdaq Composite fell 22% over the same span.Burg doesn't consider himself a big Tesla bear. He's says he is bearish on the overall economy and the consumer. He expects Tesla stock to struggle, but just like any other consumer discretionary stock this coming year.The whole episode does illustrate an important lesson about options trading. There are many ways to use options in a portfolio.Investors can buy options contracts far from current prices. They are cheap and only pay off if extreme events happen. They can also be used to bet on volatility. Options get more valuable as stock volatility rises and less valuable when volatility falls. Options can be used to hedge a portfolio, too.What's more, bearish options bets can actually generate income for bullish investors. Take Tesla. It doesn't pay a dividend. If that irks some shareholders they can sell call options contracts. (Selling a call is similar to a put option. Both work out if the stock falls. It's a bearish bet.)A Tesla holder selling a $900 call option that expires in September gets about $44. That's almost 5% the value of the Tesla stock. The risk with selling call options against stock held is that the stock could go up. If Tesla hit $1,000, that holder would have essentially sold some of his position for $900, missing out on the additional gain.There are many other things pros do with options. People have careers trading options for brokerage firms and asset managers.However, options don't indicate with certainty how someone feels about the stock that underlies the options contract.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":433,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9991365135,"gmtCreate":1660782298929,"gmtModify":1676536397821,"author":{"id":"3581853261599921","authorId":"3581853261599921","name":"Jayden86_","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e0a3979b2998dfa9c0fddbce29da3ab9","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581853261599921","idStr":"3581853261599921"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ya&nbsp;","listText":"Ya&nbsp;","text":"Ya","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9991365135","repostId":"1196990768","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1196990768","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1660777736,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1196990768?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2022-08-18 07:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Fed Officials Saw Need to Slow Rate-Hike Pace “At Some Point”","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1196990768","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Many participants saw risk of over-tightening policyOfficials saw significant risk of entrenched inf","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Many participants saw risk of over-tightening policy</li><li>Officials saw significant risk of entrenched inflation</li></ul><p>Federal Reserve officials agreed last month on the need to eventually dial back the pace of interest-rate hikes but also wanted to gauge how their monetary tightening was working toward curbing US inflation.</p><p>“As the stance of monetary policy tightened further, it likely would become appropriate at some point to slow the pace of policy rate increases while assessing the effects of cumulative policy adjustments on economic activity and inflation,” according to minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee’s July 26-27 meeting released Wednesday in Washington.</p><p>“Many participants remarked that, in view of the constantly changing nature of the economic environment and the existence of long and variable lags in monetary policy’s effect on the economy, there was also a risk that the committee could tighten the stance of policy by more than necessary to restore price stability,” the minutes showed.</p><p>Fed officials raised their benchmark interest rate by 75 basis points at that meeting for a second straight month, marking the fastest pace of tightening since the early 1980s in a battle against red-hot inflation.</p><p>Even so, the S&amp;P 500 index of US stocks has risen about 9% since the July gathering. Fed officials will have a chance to offer fresh views on the outlook during their Aug. 25-27 retreat in Jackson Hole, Wyoming.</p><p>Following the minutes release, two-year Treasury yields and the dollar pared gains, while US stocks trimmed losses. Swaps traders increasingly bet that the Fed will boost rates by a half percentage point next month, rather than three-quarters of a point.</p><p>“While the FOMC minutes continue to emphasize the need to contain inflation, there is also an emerging concern the Fed could tighten more than necessary,” said Christopher Low, chief economist at FHN Financial. “There is an inkling of improvement on the supply side of the economy, there is a bit of hope in some product prices moderating, but there is still a great deal of concern about inflation and inflation expectations.”</p><p>The language used in the minutes echoed what Powell said at the press conference after the July meeting. His comments ignited the move higher in stocks when he suggested that the central bank could transition to smaller rate hikes going forward. Even so, he left the door open to another “unusually large” increase at the next meeting in September, depending on economic data to be published in the interim.</p><p>A Labor Department report published Aug. 5 -- which showed companies added 528,000 employees to payrolls last month, more than double what forecasters were expecting -- prompted investors to bet on a third straight 75-basis-point hike when the Fed meets Sept. 20-21.</p><p>At the July meeting, “participants judged that a significant risk facing the committee was that elevated inflation could become entrenched if the public began to question the committee’s resolve to adjust the stance of policy sufficiently,” according to the minutes.</p><p>But the department’s Aug. 10 readout on consumer prices showed they rose 8.5% in the 12 months through July, down from the 9.1% increase the month before that marked the highest inflation rate since 1981.</p><p>The softer July inflation figures gave legs to the stock-market rally as previous bets on a big rate hike in September were unwound, and investors are now assigning similar odds to a half-point or a three-quarter-point increase, according to prices of futures contracts tied to the Fed’s benchmark rate.</p><p>August numbers on jobs and consumer prices are due out before the September meeting.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Fed Officials Saw Need to Slow Rate-Hike Pace “At Some Point”</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFed Officials Saw Need to Slow Rate-Hike Pace “At Some Point”\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-18 07:08 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-08-17/fed-saw-smaller-hikes-ahead-to-assess-prior-moves-minutes-show?srnd=premium><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Many participants saw risk of over-tightening policyOfficials saw significant risk of entrenched inflationFederal Reserve officials agreed last month on the need to eventually dial back the pace of ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-08-17/fed-saw-smaller-hikes-ahead-to-assess-prior-moves-minutes-show?srnd=premium\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-08-17/fed-saw-smaller-hikes-ahead-to-assess-prior-moves-minutes-show?srnd=premium","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1196990768","content_text":"Many participants saw risk of over-tightening policyOfficials saw significant risk of entrenched inflationFederal Reserve officials agreed last month on the need to eventually dial back the pace of interest-rate hikes but also wanted to gauge how their monetary tightening was working toward curbing US inflation.“As the stance of monetary policy tightened further, it likely would become appropriate at some point to slow the pace of policy rate increases while assessing the effects of cumulative policy adjustments on economic activity and inflation,” according to minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee’s July 26-27 meeting released Wednesday in Washington.“Many participants remarked that, in view of the constantly changing nature of the economic environment and the existence of long and variable lags in monetary policy’s effect on the economy, there was also a risk that the committee could tighten the stance of policy by more than necessary to restore price stability,” the minutes showed.Fed officials raised their benchmark interest rate by 75 basis points at that meeting for a second straight month, marking the fastest pace of tightening since the early 1980s in a battle against red-hot inflation.Even so, the S&P 500 index of US stocks has risen about 9% since the July gathering. Fed officials will have a chance to offer fresh views on the outlook during their Aug. 25-27 retreat in Jackson Hole, Wyoming.Following the minutes release, two-year Treasury yields and the dollar pared gains, while US stocks trimmed losses. Swaps traders increasingly bet that the Fed will boost rates by a half percentage point next month, rather than three-quarters of a point.“While the FOMC minutes continue to emphasize the need to contain inflation, there is also an emerging concern the Fed could tighten more than necessary,” said Christopher Low, chief economist at FHN Financial. “There is an inkling of improvement on the supply side of the economy, there is a bit of hope in some product prices moderating, but there is still a great deal of concern about inflation and inflation expectations.”The language used in the minutes echoed what Powell said at the press conference after the July meeting. His comments ignited the move higher in stocks when he suggested that the central bank could transition to smaller rate hikes going forward. Even so, he left the door open to another “unusually large” increase at the next meeting in September, depending on economic data to be published in the interim.A Labor Department report published Aug. 5 -- which showed companies added 528,000 employees to payrolls last month, more than double what forecasters were expecting -- prompted investors to bet on a third straight 75-basis-point hike when the Fed meets Sept. 20-21.At the July meeting, “participants judged that a significant risk facing the committee was that elevated inflation could become entrenched if the public began to question the committee’s resolve to adjust the stance of policy sufficiently,” according to the minutes.But the department’s Aug. 10 readout on consumer prices showed they rose 8.5% in the 12 months through July, down from the 9.1% increase the month before that marked the highest inflation rate since 1981.The softer July inflation figures gave legs to the stock-market rally as previous bets on a big rate hike in September were unwound, and investors are now assigning similar odds to a half-point or a three-quarter-point increase, according to prices of futures contracts tied to the Fed’s benchmark rate.August numbers on jobs and consumer prices are due out before the September meeting.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":412,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":159328652,"gmtCreate":1624942681976,"gmtModify":1703848514235,"author":{"id":"3581853261599921","authorId":"3581853261599921","name":"Jayden86_","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e0a3979b2998dfa9c0fddbce29da3ab9","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581853261599921","idStr":"3581853261599921"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls help to like and comment&nbsp;","listText":"Pls help to like and comment&nbsp;","text":"Pls help to like and 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:)"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":133627744,"gmtCreate":1621744807288,"gmtModify":1704362010702,"author":{"id":"3581853261599921","authorId":"3581853261599921","name":"Jayden86_","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e0a3979b2998dfa9c0fddbce29da3ab9","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581853261599921","idStr":"3581853261599921"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls help to like and comment ?","listText":"Pls help to like and comment ?","text":"Pls help to like and comment 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please"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9908363447,"gmtCreate":1659321880989,"gmtModify":1676536287086,"author":{"id":"3581853261599921","authorId":"3581853261599921","name":"Jayden86_","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e0a3979b2998dfa9c0fddbce29da3ab9","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581853261599921","idStr":"3581853261599921"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ya&nbsp;","listText":"Ya&nbsp;","text":"Ya","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9908363447","repostId":"1110560377","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":286,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9034003805,"gmtCreate":1647713790155,"gmtModify":1676534260014,"author":{"id":"3581853261599921","authorId":"3581853261599921","name":"Jayden86_","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e0a3979b2998dfa9c0fddbce29da3ab9","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581853261599921","idStr":"3581853261599921"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ya&nbsp;","listText":"Ya&nbsp;","text":"Ya","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9034003805","repostId":"2220777059","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":323,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9039174193,"gmtCreate":1645982130399,"gmtModify":1676534079145,"author":{"id":"3581853261599921","authorId":"3581853261599921","name":"Jayden86_","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e0a3979b2998dfa9c0fddbce29da3ab9","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581853261599921","idStr":"3581853261599921"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ya&nbsp;","listText":"Ya&nbsp;","text":"Ya","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9039174193","repostId":"1125580913","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1125580913","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1645926503,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1125580913?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2022-02-27 09:48","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Buffett Full Annual Letter：Apple is One of ‘Four Giants’ Driving the Conglomerate’s Value","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1125580913","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Warren Buffett released his annual letter to Berkshire Hathaway shareholders on Saturday. The 91-yea","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Warren Buffett released his annual letter to Berkshire Hathaway shareholders on Saturday. The 91-year-old investing legend has been publishing the letter for over six decades and it has become required reading for investors around the world.</p><p>Warren Buffett said he now considers tech giant Apple as one of the four pillars driving Berkshire Hathaway, the conglomerate of mostly old-economy businesses he’s assembled over the last five decades.</p><p>In his annual letter to shareholders released on Saturday, the 91-year-old investing legend listed Apple under the heading “Our Four Giants” and even called the company the second-most important after Berkshire’s cluster of insurers, thanks to its chief executive.</p><p>“Tim Cook, Apple’s brilliant CEO, quite properly regards users of Apple products as his first love, but all of his other constituencies benefit from Tim’s managerial touch as well,” the letter stated.</p><p>Buffett made clear he is a fan of Cook’s stock repurchase strategy, and how it gives the conglomerate increased ownership of each dollar of the iPhone maker’s earnings without the investor having to lift a finger.</p><p>“Apple – our runner-up Giant as measured by its yearend market value – is a different sort of holding. Here, our ownership is a mere 5.55%, up from 5.39% a year earlier,” Buffett said in the letter. “That increase sounds like small potatoes. But consider that each 0.1% of Apple’s 2021 earnings amounted to $100 million. We spent no Berkshire funds to gain our accretion. Apple’s repurchases did the job.”</p><p>Berkshire began buying Apple stock in 2016 under the influence of Buffett’s investing deputies Todd Combs and Ted Weschler. By mid-2018, the conglomerate accumulated 5% ownership of the iPhone maker, a stake that cost $36 billion. Today, the Apple investment is now worth more than $160 billion, taking up 40% of Berkshire’s equity portfolio.</p><p>“It’s important to understand that only dividends from Apple are counted in the GAAP earnings Berkshire reports – and last year, Apple paid us $785 million of those. Yet our ‘share’ of Apple’s earnings amounted to a staggering $5.6 billion. Much of what the company retained was used to repurchase Apple shares, an act we applaud,” Buffett said.</p><p>Berkshire is Apple’s largest shareholder, outside of index and exchange-traded fund providers.</p><p>Buffett also credited his railroad business BNSF and energy segment BHE as two other giants of the conglomerate, which both registered record earnings in 2021.</p><p>“BNSF, our third Giant, continues to be the number one artery of American commerce, which makes it an indispensable asset for America as well as for Berkshire,” Buffett said. “BHE has become a utility powerhouse and a leading force in wind, solar and transmission throughout much of the United States.”</p><p><b>Read the full letter here：</b></p><p>To the Shareholders of Berkshire Hathaway Inc.:</p><p>Charlie Munger, my long-time partner, and I have the job of managing a portion of your savings. We are honored by your trust.</p><p>Our position carries with it the responsibility to report to you what we would like to know if we were the absentee owner and you were the manager. We enjoy communicating directly with you through this annual letter, and through the annual meeting as well.</p><p>Our policy is to treat all shareholders equally. Therefore, we do not hold discussions with analysts nor large institutions. Whenever possible, also, we release important communications on Saturday mornings in order to maximize the time for shareholders and the media to absorb the news before markets open on Monday.</p><p>A wealth of Berkshire facts and figures are set forth in the annual 10-K that the company regularly files with the S.E.C. and that we reproduce on pages K-1 – K-119. Some shareholders will find this detail engrossing; others will simply prefer to learn what Charlie and I believe is new or interesting at Berkshire.</p><p>Alas, there was little action of that sort in 2021. We did, though, make reasonable progress in increasing the intrinsic value of your shares. That task has been my primary duty for 57 years. And it will continue to be.</p><p><b>What You Own</b></p><p>Berkshire owns a wide variety of businesses, some in their entirety, some only in part. The second group largely consists of marketable common stocks of major American companies. Additionally, we own a few non-U.S. equities and participate in several joint ventures or other collaborative activities.</p><p>Whatever our form of ownership, our goal is to have meaningful investments in businesses with both durable economic advantages and a first-class CEO. Please note particularly that we own stocks based upon our expectations about their long-term business performance and not because we view them as vehicles for timely market moves. That point is crucial: Charlie and I are not stock-pickers; we are business-pickers.</p><p>I make many mistakes. Consequently, our extensive collection of businesses includes some enterprises that have truly extraordinary economics, many others that enjoy good economic characteristics, and a few that are marginal. One advantage of our common-stock segment is that – on occasion – it becomes easy to buy pieces of wonderful businesses at wonderful prices. That shooting-fish-in-a-barrel experience is very rare in negotiated transactions and never occurs en masse. It is also far easier to exit from a mistake when it has been made in the marketable arena.</p><h2><b>Surprise, Surprise</b></h2><p>Here are a few items about your company that often surprise even seasoned investors:</p><p>• Many people perceive Berkshire as a large and somewhat strange collection of financial assets. In truth, Berkshire owns and operates more U.S.-based “infrastructure” assets – classified on our balance sheet as property, plant and equipment – than are owned and operated by any other American corporation. That supremacy has never been our goal. It has, however, become a fact.</p><p>At yearend, those domestic infrastructure assets were carried on Berkshire’s balance sheet at $158 billion. That number increased last year and will continue to increase. Berkshire always will be building.</p><p>• Every year, your company makes substantial federal income tax payments. In 2021, for example, we paid</p><p>$3.3 billion while the U.S. Treasury reported total corporate income-tax receipts of $402 billion. Additionally, Berkshire pays substantial state and foreign taxes. “I gave at the office” is an unassailable assertion when made by Berkshire shareholders.</p><p>Berkshire’s history vividly illustrates the invisible and often unrecognized financial partnership between  government and American businesses. Our tale begins early in 1955, when Berkshire Fine Spinning and Hathaway Manufacturing agreed to merge their businesses. In their requests for shareholder approval, these venerable New England textile companies expressed high hopes for the combination.</p><p></p><p>The Hathaway solicitation, for example, assured its shareholders that “The combination of the resources and managements will result in one of the strongest and most efficient organizations in the textile industry.” That upbeat view was endorsed by the company’s advisor, Lehman Brothers (yes, that Lehman Brothers).</p><p>I’m sure it was a joyous day in both Fall River (Berkshire) and New Bedford (Hathaway) when the union was consummated. After the bands stopped playing and the bankers went home, however, the shareholders reaped a disaster.</p><p>In the nine years following the merger, Berkshire’s owners watched the company’s net worth crater from</p><p>$51.4 million to $22.1 million. In part, this decline was caused by stock repurchases, ill-advised dividends and plant shutdowns. But nine years of effort by many thousands of employees delivered an operating loss as well. Berkshire’s struggles were not unusual: The New England textile industry had silently entered an extended and non-reversible death march.</p><p>During the nine post-merger years, the U.S. Treasury suffered as well from Berkshire’s troubles. All told, the company paid the government only $337,359 in income tax during that period – a pathetic $100 per day.</p><p>Early in 1965, things changed. Berkshire installed new management that redeployed available cash and steered essentially all earnings into a variety of good businesses, most of which remained good through the years. Coupling reinvestment of earnings with the power of compounding worked its magic, and shareholders prospered.</p><p>Berkshire’s owners, it should be noted, were not the only beneficiary of that course correction. Their “silent partner,” the U.S. Treasury, proceeded to collect many tens of billions of dollars from the company in income tax payments. Remember the $100 daily? Now, Berkshire pays roughly $9 million daily to the Treasury.</p><p>In fairness to our governmental partner, our shareholders should acknowledge – indeed trumpet – the fact that Berkshire’s prosperity has been fostered mightily because the company has operated in America. Our country would have done splendidly in the years since 1965 without Berkshire. Absent our American home, however, Berkshire would never have come close to becoming what it is today. When you see the flag, say thanks.</p><p>• From an $8.6 million purchase of National Indemnity in 1967, Berkshire has become the world leader in insurance “float” – money we hold and can invest but that does not belong to us. Including a relatively small sum derived from life insurance, Berkshire’s total float has grown from $19 million when we entered the insurance business to $147 billion.</p><p>So far, this float has cost us less than nothing. Though we have experienced a number of years when insurance losses combined with operating expenses exceeded premiums, overall we have earned a modest 55-year profit from the underwriting activities that generated our float.</p><p>Of equal importance, float is very sticky. Funds attributable to our insurance operations come and go daily, but their aggregate total is immune from precipitous decline. When it comes to investing float, we can therefore think long-term.</p><p>If you are not already familiar with the concept of float, I refer you to a long explanation on page A-5. To my surprise, our float increased $9 billion last year, a buildup of value that is important to Berkshire owners though is not reflected in our GAAP (“generally-accepted accounting principles”) presentation of earnings and net worth.</p><p>Much of our huge value creation in insurance is attributable to Berkshire’s good luck in my 1986 hiring of Ajit Jain. We first met on a Saturday morning, and I quickly asked Ajit what his insurance experience had been. He replied, “None.”</p><p>I said, “Nobody’s perfect,” and hired him. That was my lucky day: Ajit actually was as perfect a choice as could have been made. Better yet, he continues to be – 35 years later.</p><p>One final thought about insurance: I believe that it is likely – but far from assured – that Berkshire’s float can be maintained without our incurring a long-term underwriting loss. I am certain, however, that there will be some years when we experience such losses, perhaps involving very large sums.</p><p>Berkshire is constructed to handle catastrophic events as no other insurer – and that priority will remain long after Charlie and I are gone.</p><h2>Our Four Giants</h2><p>Through Berkshire, our shareholders own many dozens of businesses. Some of these, in turn, have a collection of subsidiaries of their own. For example, Marmon has more than 100 individual business operations, ranging from the leasing of railroad cars to the manufacture of medical devices.</p><p>• Nevertheless, operations of our “Big Four” companies account for a very large chunk of Berkshire’s value. Leading this list is our cluster of insurers. Berkshire effectively owns 100% of this group, whose massive float value we earlier described. The invested assets of these insurers are further enlarged by the extraordinary amount of capital we invest to back up their promises.</p><p>The insurance business is made to order for Berkshire. The product will never be obsolete, and sales volume will generally increase along with both economic growth and inflation. Also, integrity and capital will forever be important. Our company can and will behave well.</p><p>There are, of course, other insurers with excellent business models and prospects. Replication of Berkshire’s operation, however, would be almost impossible.</p><p>• Apple – our runner-up Giant as measured by its yearend market value – is a different sort of holding. Here, our ownership is a mere 5.55%, up from 5.39% a year earlier. That increase sounds like small potatoes. But consider that each 0.1% of Apple’s 2021 earnings amounted to $100 million. We spent no Berkshire funds to gain our accretion. Apple’s repurchases did the job.</p><p>It’s important to understand that only dividends from Apple are counted in the GAAP earnings Berkshire reports – and last year, Apple paid us $785 million of those. Yet our “share” of Apple’s earnings amounted to a staggering $5.6 billion. Much of what the company retained was used to repurchase Apple shares, an act we applaud. Tim Cook, Apple’s brilliant CEO, quite properly regards users of Apple products as his first love, but all of his other constituencies benefit from Tim’s managerial touch as well.</p><p>• BNSF, our third Giant, continues to be the number one artery of American commerce, which makes it an indispensable asset for America as well as for Berkshire. If the many essential products BNSF carries were instead hauled by truck, America’s carbon emissions would soar.</p><p>Your railroad had record earnings of $6 billion in 2021. Here, it should be noted, we are talking about the old-fashioned sort of earnings that we favor: a figure calculated after interest, taxes, depreciation, amortization and all forms of compensation. (Our definition suggests a warning: Deceptive “adjustments” to earnings – to use a polite description – have become both more frequent and more fanciful as stocks have risen. Speaking less politely, I would say that bull markets breed bloviated bull )</p><p>BNSF trains traveled 143 million miles last year and carried 535 million tons of cargo. Both accomplishments far exceed those of any other American carrier. You can be proud of your railroad.</p><p>• BHE, our final Giant, earned a record $4 billion in 2021. That’s up more than 30-fold from the $122 million earned in 2000, the year that Berkshire first purchased a BHE stake. Now, Berkshire owns 91.1% of the company.</p><p>BHE’s record of societal accomplishment is as remarkable as its financial performance. The company had no wind or solar generation in 2000. It was then regarded simply as a relatively new and minor participant in the huge electric utility industry. Subsequently, under David Sokol’s and Greg Abel’s leadership, BHE has become a utility powerhouse (no groaning, please) and a leading force in wind, solar and transmission throughout much of the United States.</p><p>Greg’s report on these accomplishments appears on pages A-3 and A-4. The profile you will find there is not in any way one of those currently-fashionable “green-washing” stories. BHE has been faithfully detailing its plans and performance in renewables and transmissions every year since 2007.</p><p>To further review this information, visit BHE’s website at brkenergy.com. There, you will see that the company has long been making climate-conscious moves that soak up all of its earnings. More opportunities lie ahead. BHE has the management, the experience, the capital and the appetite for the huge power projects that our country needs.</p><h2>Investments</h2><p>Now let’s talk about companies we don’t control, a list that again references Apple. Below we list our fifteen largest equity holdings, several of which are selections of Berkshire’s two long-time investment managers, Todd Combs and Ted Weschler. At yearend, this valued pair had total authority in respect to $34 billion of investments, many of which do not meet the threshold value we use in the table. Also, a significant portion of the dollars that Todd and Ted manage are lodged in various pension plans of Berkshire-owned businesses, with the assets of these plans not included in this table.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d43587e9f59c0ff76e6c04c6bf9af324\" tg-width=\"1047\" tg-height=\"530\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>* This is our actual purchase price and also our tax basis.</p><p>** Held by BHE; consequently, Berkshire shareholders have only a 91.1% interest in this position.</p><p>*** Includes a $10 billion investment in Occidental Petroleum, consisting of preferred stock and warrants to buy common stock, a combination now being valued at $10.7 billion.</p><p>In addition to the footnoted Occidental holding and our various common-stock positions, Berkshire also owns a 26.6% interest in Kraft Heinz (accounted for on the “equity” method, not market value, and carried at $13.1 billion) and 38.6% of Pilot Corp., a leader in travel centers that had revenues last year of $45 billion.</p><p>Since we purchased our Pilot stake in 2017, this holding has warranted “equity” accounting treatment. Early in 2023, Berkshire will purchase an additional interest in Pilot that will raise our ownership to 80% and lead to our fully consolidating Pilot’s earnings, assets and liabilities in our financial statements.</p><h2>U.S. Treasury Bills</h2><p>Berkshire’s balance sheet includes $144 billion of cash and cash equivalents (excluding the holdings of BNSF and BHE). Of this sum, $120 billion is held in U.S. Treasury bills, all maturing in less than a year. That stake leaves Berkshire financing about 12 of 1% of the publicly-held national debt.</p><p>Charlie and I have pledged that Berkshire (along with our subsidiaries other than BNSF and BHE) will always hold more than $30 billion of cash and equivalents. We want your company to be financially impregnable and never dependent on the kindness of strangers (or even that of friends). Both of us like to sleep soundly, and we want our creditors, insurance claimants and you to do so as well.</p><h2>But $144 billion?</h2><p>That imposing sum, I assure you, is not some deranged expression of patriotism. Nor have Charlie and I lost our overwhelming preference for business ownership. Indeed, I first manifested my enthusiasm for that 80 years ago, on March 11, 1942, when I purchased three shares of Cities Services preferred stock. Their cost was $114.75 and required all of my savings. (The Dow Jones Industrial Average that day closed at 99, a fact that should scream to you: Never bet against America.)</p><p>After my initial plunge, I always kept at least 80% of my net worth in equities. My favored status throughout that period was 100% – and still is. Berkshire’s current 80%-or-so position in businesses is a consequence of my failure to find entire companies or small portions thereof (that is, marketable stocks) which meet our criteria for long- term holding.</p><p>Charlie and I have endured similar cash-heavy positions from time to time in the past. These periods are never pleasant; they are also never permanent. And, fortunately, we have had a mildly attractive alternative during 2020 and 2021 for deploying capital. Read on.</p><h2>Share Repurchases</h2><p>There are three ways that we can increase the value of your investment. The first is always front and center in our minds: Increase the long-term earning power of Berkshire’s controlled businesses through internal growth or by making acquisitions. Today, internal opportunities deliver far better returns than acquisitions. The size of those opportunities, however, is small compared to Berkshire’s resources.</p><p>Our second choice is to buy non-controlling part-interests in the many good or great businesses that are publicly traded. From time to time, such possibilities are both numerous and blatantly attractive. Today, though, we find little that excites us.</p><p>That’s largely because of a truism: Long-term interest rates that are low push the prices of all productive investments upward, whether these are stocks, apartments, farms, oil wells, whatever. Other factors influence valuations as well, but interest rates will always be important.</p><p>Our final path to value creation is to repurchase Berkshire shares. Through that simple act, we increase your share of the many controlled and non-controlled businesses Berkshire owns. When the price/value equation is right, this path is the easiest and most certain way for us to increase your wealth. (Alongside the accretion of value to continuing shareholders, a couple of other parties gain: Repurchases are modestly beneficial to the seller of the repurchased shares and to society as well.)</p><p>Periodically, as alternative paths become unattractive, repurchases make good sense for Berkshire’s owners. During the past two years, we therefore repurchased 9% of the shares that were outstanding at yearend 2019 for a total cost of $51.7 billion. That expenditure left our continuing shareholders owning about 10% more of all Berkshire businesses, whether these are wholly-owned (such as BNSF and GEICO) or partly-owned (such as Coca-Cola and Moody’s).</p><p>I want to underscore that for Berkshire repurchases to make sense, our shares must offer appropriate value. We don’t want to overpay for the shares of other companies, and it would be value-destroying if we were to overpay when we are buying Berkshire. As of February 23, 2022, since yearend we repurchased additional shares at a cost of $1.2 billion. Our appetite remains large but will always remain price-dependent.</p><p>It should be noted that Berkshire’s buyback opportunities are limited because of its high-class investor base. If our shares were heavily held by short-term speculators, both price volatility and transaction volumes would materially increase. That kind of reshaping would offer us far greater opportunities for creating value by making repurchases. Nevertheless, Charlie and I far prefer the owners we have, even though their admirable buy-and-keep attitudes limit the extent to which long-term shareholders can profit from opportunistic repurchases.</p><p>Finally, one easily-overlooked value calculation specific to Berkshire: As we’ve discussed, insurance “float” of the right sort is of great value to us. As it happens, repurchases automatically increase the amount of “float” per share. That figure has increased during the past two years by 25% – going from $79,387 per “A” share to $99,497, a meaningful gain that, as noted, owes some thanks to repurchases.</p><h2>A Wonderful Man and a Wonderful Business</h2><p>Last year, Paul Andrews died. Paul was the founder and CEO of TTI, a Fort Worth-based subsidiary of Berkshire. Throughout his life – in both his business and his personal pursuits – Paul quietly displayed all the qualities that Charlie and I admire. His story should be told.</p><p>In 1971, Paul was working as a purchasing agent for General Dynamics when the roof fell in. After losing a huge defense contract, the company fired thousands of employees, including Paul.</p><p>With his first child due soon, Paul decided to bet on himself, using $500 of his savings to found Tex-Tronics (later renamed TTI). The company set itself up to distribute small electronic components, and first-year sales totaled $112,000. Today, TTI markets more than one million different items with annual volume of $7.7 billion.</p><p>But back to 2006: Paul, at 63, then found himself happy with his family, his job, and his associates. But he had one nagging worry, heightened because he had recently witnessed a friend’s early death and the disastrous results that followed for that man’s family and business. What, Paul asked himself in 2006, would happen to the many people depending on him if he should unexpectedly die?</p><p>For a year, Paul wrestled with his options. Sell to a competitor? From a strictly economic viewpoint, that course made the most sense. After all, competitors could envision lucrative “synergies” – savings that would be achieved as the acquiror slashed duplicated functions at TTI.</p><p>But . . . Such a purchaser would most certainly also retain its CFO, its legal counsel, its HR unit. Their TTI counterparts would therefore be sent packing. And ugh! If a new distribution center were to be needed, the acquirer’s home city would certainly be favored over Fort Worth.</p><p>Whatever the financial benefits, Paul quickly concluded that selling to a competitor was not for him. He next considered seeking a financial buyer, a species once labeled – aptly so – a leveraged buyout firm. Paul knew, however, that such a purchaser would be focused on an “exit strategy.” And who could know what that would be? Brooding over it all, Paul found himself having no interest in handing his 35-year-old creation over to a reseller.</p><p>When Paul met me, he explained why he had eliminated these two alternatives as buyers. He then summed up his dilemma by saying – in far more tactful phrasing than this – “After a year of pondering the alternatives, I want to sell to Berkshire because you are the only guy left.” So, I made an offer and Paul said “Yes.” One meeting; one lunch; one deal.</p><p>To say we both lived happily ever after is an understatement. When Berkshire purchased TTI, the company employed 2,387. Now the number is 8,043. A large percentage of that growth took place in Fort Worth and environs. Earnings have increased 673%.</p><p>Annually, I would call Paul and tell him his salary should be substantially increased. Annually, he would tell me, “We can talk about that next year, Warren; I’m too busy now.”</p><p>When Greg Abel and I attended Paul’s memorial service, we met children, grandchildren, long-time associates (including TTI’s first employee) and John Roach, the former CEO of a Fort Worth company Berkshire had purchased in 2000. John had steered his friend Paul to Omaha, instinctively knowing we would be a match.</p><p>At the service, Greg and I heard about the multitudes of people and organizations that Paul had silently supported. The breadth of his generosity was extraordinary – geared always to improving the lives of others, particularly those in Fort Worth.</p><p>In all ways, Paul was a class act.</p><p>* * * * * * * * * * * *</p><p>Good luck – occasionally extraordinary luck – has played its part at Berkshire. If Paul and I had not enjoyed a mutual friend – John Roach – TTI would not have found its home with us. But that ample serving of luck was only the beginning. TTI was soon to lead Berkshire to its most important acquisition.</p><p>Every fall, Berkshire directors gather for a presentation by a few of our executives. We sometimes choose the site based upon the location of a recent acquisition, by that means allowing directors to meet the new subsidiary’s CEO and learn more about the acquiree’s activities.</p><p>In the fall of 2009, we consequently selected Fort Worth so that we could visit TTI. At that time, BNSF, which also had Fort Worth as its hometown, was the third-largest holding among our marketable equities. Despite that large stake, I had never visited the railroad’s headquarters.</p><p>Deb Bosanek, my assistant, scheduled our board’s opening dinner for October 22. Meanwhile, I arranged to arrive earlier that day to meet with Matt Rose, CEO of BNSF, whose accomplishments I had long admired. When I made the date, I had no idea that our get-together would coincide with BNSF’s third-quarter earnings report, which was released late on the 22nd.</p><p>The market reacted badly to the railroad’s results. The Great Recession was in full force in the third quarter, and BNSF’s earnings reflected that slump. The economic outlook was also bleak, and Wall Street wasn’t feeling friendly to railroads – or much else.</p><p>On the following day, I again got together with Matt and suggested that Berkshire would offer the railroad a better long-term home than it could expect as a public company. I also told him the maximum price that Berkshire would pay.</p><p>Matt relayed the offer to his directors and advisors. Eleven busy days later, Berkshire and BNSF announced a firm deal. And here I’ll venture a rare prediction: BNSF will be a key asset for Berkshire and our country a century from now.</p><p>The BNSF acquisition would never have happened if Paul Andrews hadn’t sized up Berkshire as the right home for TTI.</p><h2>Thanks</h2><p>I taught my first investing class 70 years ago. Since then, I have enjoyed working almost every year with students of all ages, finally “retiring” from that pursuit in 2018.</p><p>Along the way, my toughest audience was my grandson’s fifth-grade class. The 11-year-olds were squirming in their seats and giving me blank stares until I mentioned Coca-Cola and its famous secret formula. Instantly, every hand went up, and I learned that “secrets” are catnip to kids.</p><p>Teaching, like writing, has helped me develop and clarify my own thoughts. Charlie calls this phenomenon the orangutan effect: If you sit down with an orangutan and carefully explain to it one of your cherished ideas, you may leave behind a puzzled primate, but will yourself exit thinking more clearly.</p><p>Talking to university students is far superior. I have urged that they seek employment in (1) the field and (2) with the kind of people they would select, if they had no need for money. Economic realities, I acknowledge, may interfere with that kind of search. Even so, I urge the students never to give up the quest, for when they find that sort of job, they will no longer be “working.”</p><p>Charlie and I, ourselves, followed that liberating course after a few early stumbles. We both started as part- timers at my grandfather’s grocery store, Charlie in 1940 and I in 1942. We were each assigned boring tasks and paid little, definitely not what we had in mind. Charlie later took up law, and I tried selling securities. Job satisfaction continued to elude us.</p><p>Finally, at Berkshire, we found what we love to do. With very few exceptions, we have now “worked” for many decades with people whom we like and trust. It’s a joy in life to join with managers such as Paul Andrews or the Berkshire families I told you about last year. In our home office, we employ decent and talented people – no jerks. Turnover averages, perhaps, one person per year.</p><p>I would like, however, to emphasize a further item that turns our jobs into fun and satisfaction working</p><p>for you. There is nothing more rewarding to Charlie and me than enjoying the trust of individual long-term shareholders who, for many decades, have joined us with the expectation that we would be a reliable custodian of their funds.</p><p>Obviously, we can’t select our owners, as we could do if our form of operation were a partnership. Anyone can buy shares of Berkshire today with the intention of soon reselling them. For sure, we get a few of that type of shareholder, just as we get index funds that own huge amounts of Berkshire simply because they are required to do so.</p><p>To a truly unusual degree, however, Berkshire has as owners a very large corps of individuals and families that have elected to join us with an intent approaching “til death do us part.” Often, they have trusted us with a large – some might say excessive – portion of their savings.</p><p>Berkshire, these shareholders would sometimes acknowledge, might be far from the best selection they could have made. But they would add that Berkshire would rank high among those with which they would be most comfortable. And people who are comfortable with their investments will, on average, achieve better results than those who are motivated by ever-changing headlines, chatter and promises.</p><p>Long-term individual owners are both the “partners” Charlie and I have always sought and the ones we constantly have in mind as we make decisions at Berkshire. To them we say, “It feels good to ‘work’ for you, and you have our thanks for your trust.”</p><h2>The Annual Meeting</h2><p>Clear your calendar! Berkshire will have its annual gathering of capitalists in Omaha on Friday, April 29th through Sunday, May 1st. The details regarding the weekend are laid out on pages A-1 and A-2. Omaha eagerly awaits you, as do I.</p><p>I will end this letter with a sales pitch. “Cousin” Jimmy Buffett has designed a pontoon “party” boat that is now being manufactured by Forest River, a Berkshire subsidiary. The boat will be introduced on April 29 at our Berkshire Bazaar of Bargains. And, for two days only, shareholders will be able to purchase Jimmy’s masterpiece at a 10% discount. Your bargain-hunting chairman will be buying a boat for his family’s use. Join me.</p><p>February 26, 2022</p><p>Warren E. Buffett Chairman of the Board</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Buffett Full Annual Letter：Apple is One of ‘Four Giants’ Driving the Conglomerate’s Value</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBuffett Full Annual Letter：Apple is One of ‘Four Giants’ Driving the Conglomerate’s Value\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-02-27 09:48</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Warren Buffett released his annual letter to Berkshire Hathaway shareholders on Saturday. The 91-year-old investing legend has been publishing the letter for over six decades and it has become required reading for investors around the world.</p><p>Warren Buffett said he now considers tech giant Apple as one of the four pillars driving Berkshire Hathaway, the conglomerate of mostly old-economy businesses he’s assembled over the last five decades.</p><p>In his annual letter to shareholders released on Saturday, the 91-year-old investing legend listed Apple under the heading “Our Four Giants” and even called the company the second-most important after Berkshire’s cluster of insurers, thanks to its chief executive.</p><p>“Tim Cook, Apple’s brilliant CEO, quite properly regards users of Apple products as his first love, but all of his other constituencies benefit from Tim’s managerial touch as well,” the letter stated.</p><p>Buffett made clear he is a fan of Cook’s stock repurchase strategy, and how it gives the conglomerate increased ownership of each dollar of the iPhone maker’s earnings without the investor having to lift a finger.</p><p>“Apple – our runner-up Giant as measured by its yearend market value – is a different sort of holding. Here, our ownership is a mere 5.55%, up from 5.39% a year earlier,” Buffett said in the letter. “That increase sounds like small potatoes. But consider that each 0.1% of Apple’s 2021 earnings amounted to $100 million. We spent no Berkshire funds to gain our accretion. Apple’s repurchases did the job.”</p><p>Berkshire began buying Apple stock in 2016 under the influence of Buffett’s investing deputies Todd Combs and Ted Weschler. By mid-2018, the conglomerate accumulated 5% ownership of the iPhone maker, a stake that cost $36 billion. Today, the Apple investment is now worth more than $160 billion, taking up 40% of Berkshire’s equity portfolio.</p><p>“It’s important to understand that only dividends from Apple are counted in the GAAP earnings Berkshire reports – and last year, Apple paid us $785 million of those. Yet our ‘share’ of Apple’s earnings amounted to a staggering $5.6 billion. Much of what the company retained was used to repurchase Apple shares, an act we applaud,” Buffett said.</p><p>Berkshire is Apple’s largest shareholder, outside of index and exchange-traded fund providers.</p><p>Buffett also credited his railroad business BNSF and energy segment BHE as two other giants of the conglomerate, which both registered record earnings in 2021.</p><p>“BNSF, our third Giant, continues to be the number one artery of American commerce, which makes it an indispensable asset for America as well as for Berkshire,” Buffett said. “BHE has become a utility powerhouse and a leading force in wind, solar and transmission throughout much of the United States.”</p><p><b>Read the full letter here：</b></p><p>To the Shareholders of Berkshire Hathaway Inc.:</p><p>Charlie Munger, my long-time partner, and I have the job of managing a portion of your savings. We are honored by your trust.</p><p>Our position carries with it the responsibility to report to you what we would like to know if we were the absentee owner and you were the manager. We enjoy communicating directly with you through this annual letter, and through the annual meeting as well.</p><p>Our policy is to treat all shareholders equally. Therefore, we do not hold discussions with analysts nor large institutions. Whenever possible, also, we release important communications on Saturday mornings in order to maximize the time for shareholders and the media to absorb the news before markets open on Monday.</p><p>A wealth of Berkshire facts and figures are set forth in the annual 10-K that the company regularly files with the S.E.C. and that we reproduce on pages K-1 – K-119. Some shareholders will find this detail engrossing; others will simply prefer to learn what Charlie and I believe is new or interesting at Berkshire.</p><p>Alas, there was little action of that sort in 2021. We did, though, make reasonable progress in increasing the intrinsic value of your shares. That task has been my primary duty for 57 years. And it will continue to be.</p><p><b>What You Own</b></p><p>Berkshire owns a wide variety of businesses, some in their entirety, some only in part. The second group largely consists of marketable common stocks of major American companies. Additionally, we own a few non-U.S. equities and participate in several joint ventures or other collaborative activities.</p><p>Whatever our form of ownership, our goal is to have meaningful investments in businesses with both durable economic advantages and a first-class CEO. Please note particularly that we own stocks based upon our expectations about their long-term business performance and not because we view them as vehicles for timely market moves. That point is crucial: Charlie and I are not stock-pickers; we are business-pickers.</p><p>I make many mistakes. Consequently, our extensive collection of businesses includes some enterprises that have truly extraordinary economics, many others that enjoy good economic characteristics, and a few that are marginal. One advantage of our common-stock segment is that – on occasion – it becomes easy to buy pieces of wonderful businesses at wonderful prices. That shooting-fish-in-a-barrel experience is very rare in negotiated transactions and never occurs en masse. It is also far easier to exit from a mistake when it has been made in the marketable arena.</p><h2><b>Surprise, Surprise</b></h2><p>Here are a few items about your company that often surprise even seasoned investors:</p><p>• Many people perceive Berkshire as a large and somewhat strange collection of financial assets. In truth, Berkshire owns and operates more U.S.-based “infrastructure” assets – classified on our balance sheet as property, plant and equipment – than are owned and operated by any other American corporation. That supremacy has never been our goal. It has, however, become a fact.</p><p>At yearend, those domestic infrastructure assets were carried on Berkshire’s balance sheet at $158 billion. That number increased last year and will continue to increase. Berkshire always will be building.</p><p>• Every year, your company makes substantial federal income tax payments. In 2021, for example, we paid</p><p>$3.3 billion while the U.S. Treasury reported total corporate income-tax receipts of $402 billion. Additionally, Berkshire pays substantial state and foreign taxes. “I gave at the office” is an unassailable assertion when made by Berkshire shareholders.</p><p>Berkshire’s history vividly illustrates the invisible and often unrecognized financial partnership between  government and American businesses. Our tale begins early in 1955, when Berkshire Fine Spinning and Hathaway Manufacturing agreed to merge their businesses. In their requests for shareholder approval, these venerable New England textile companies expressed high hopes for the combination.</p><p></p><p>The Hathaway solicitation, for example, assured its shareholders that “The combination of the resources and managements will result in one of the strongest and most efficient organizations in the textile industry.” That upbeat view was endorsed by the company’s advisor, Lehman Brothers (yes, that Lehman Brothers).</p><p>I’m sure it was a joyous day in both Fall River (Berkshire) and New Bedford (Hathaway) when the union was consummated. After the bands stopped playing and the bankers went home, however, the shareholders reaped a disaster.</p><p>In the nine years following the merger, Berkshire’s owners watched the company’s net worth crater from</p><p>$51.4 million to $22.1 million. In part, this decline was caused by stock repurchases, ill-advised dividends and plant shutdowns. But nine years of effort by many thousands of employees delivered an operating loss as well. Berkshire’s struggles were not unusual: The New England textile industry had silently entered an extended and non-reversible death march.</p><p>During the nine post-merger years, the U.S. Treasury suffered as well from Berkshire’s troubles. All told, the company paid the government only $337,359 in income tax during that period – a pathetic $100 per day.</p><p>Early in 1965, things changed. Berkshire installed new management that redeployed available cash and steered essentially all earnings into a variety of good businesses, most of which remained good through the years. Coupling reinvestment of earnings with the power of compounding worked its magic, and shareholders prospered.</p><p>Berkshire’s owners, it should be noted, were not the only beneficiary of that course correction. Their “silent partner,” the U.S. Treasury, proceeded to collect many tens of billions of dollars from the company in income tax payments. Remember the $100 daily? Now, Berkshire pays roughly $9 million daily to the Treasury.</p><p>In fairness to our governmental partner, our shareholders should acknowledge – indeed trumpet – the fact that Berkshire’s prosperity has been fostered mightily because the company has operated in America. Our country would have done splendidly in the years since 1965 without Berkshire. Absent our American home, however, Berkshire would never have come close to becoming what it is today. When you see the flag, say thanks.</p><p>• From an $8.6 million purchase of National Indemnity in 1967, Berkshire has become the world leader in insurance “float” – money we hold and can invest but that does not belong to us. Including a relatively small sum derived from life insurance, Berkshire’s total float has grown from $19 million when we entered the insurance business to $147 billion.</p><p>So far, this float has cost us less than nothing. Though we have experienced a number of years when insurance losses combined with operating expenses exceeded premiums, overall we have earned a modest 55-year profit from the underwriting activities that generated our float.</p><p>Of equal importance, float is very sticky. Funds attributable to our insurance operations come and go daily, but their aggregate total is immune from precipitous decline. When it comes to investing float, we can therefore think long-term.</p><p>If you are not already familiar with the concept of float, I refer you to a long explanation on page A-5. To my surprise, our float increased $9 billion last year, a buildup of value that is important to Berkshire owners though is not reflected in our GAAP (“generally-accepted accounting principles”) presentation of earnings and net worth.</p><p>Much of our huge value creation in insurance is attributable to Berkshire’s good luck in my 1986 hiring of Ajit Jain. We first met on a Saturday morning, and I quickly asked Ajit what his insurance experience had been. He replied, “None.”</p><p>I said, “Nobody’s perfect,” and hired him. That was my lucky day: Ajit actually was as perfect a choice as could have been made. Better yet, he continues to be – 35 years later.</p><p>One final thought about insurance: I believe that it is likely – but far from assured – that Berkshire’s float can be maintained without our incurring a long-term underwriting loss. I am certain, however, that there will be some years when we experience such losses, perhaps involving very large sums.</p><p>Berkshire is constructed to handle catastrophic events as no other insurer – and that priority will remain long after Charlie and I are gone.</p><h2>Our Four Giants</h2><p>Through Berkshire, our shareholders own many dozens of businesses. Some of these, in turn, have a collection of subsidiaries of their own. For example, Marmon has more than 100 individual business operations, ranging from the leasing of railroad cars to the manufacture of medical devices.</p><p>• Nevertheless, operations of our “Big Four” companies account for a very large chunk of Berkshire’s value. Leading this list is our cluster of insurers. Berkshire effectively owns 100% of this group, whose massive float value we earlier described. The invested assets of these insurers are further enlarged by the extraordinary amount of capital we invest to back up their promises.</p><p>The insurance business is made to order for Berkshire. The product will never be obsolete, and sales volume will generally increase along with both economic growth and inflation. Also, integrity and capital will forever be important. Our company can and will behave well.</p><p>There are, of course, other insurers with excellent business models and prospects. Replication of Berkshire’s operation, however, would be almost impossible.</p><p>• Apple – our runner-up Giant as measured by its yearend market value – is a different sort of holding. Here, our ownership is a mere 5.55%, up from 5.39% a year earlier. That increase sounds like small potatoes. But consider that each 0.1% of Apple’s 2021 earnings amounted to $100 million. We spent no Berkshire funds to gain our accretion. Apple’s repurchases did the job.</p><p>It’s important to understand that only dividends from Apple are counted in the GAAP earnings Berkshire reports – and last year, Apple paid us $785 million of those. Yet our “share” of Apple’s earnings amounted to a staggering $5.6 billion. Much of what the company retained was used to repurchase Apple shares, an act we applaud. Tim Cook, Apple’s brilliant CEO, quite properly regards users of Apple products as his first love, but all of his other constituencies benefit from Tim’s managerial touch as well.</p><p>• BNSF, our third Giant, continues to be the number one artery of American commerce, which makes it an indispensable asset for America as well as for Berkshire. If the many essential products BNSF carries were instead hauled by truck, America’s carbon emissions would soar.</p><p>Your railroad had record earnings of $6 billion in 2021. Here, it should be noted, we are talking about the old-fashioned sort of earnings that we favor: a figure calculated after interest, taxes, depreciation, amortization and all forms of compensation. (Our definition suggests a warning: Deceptive “adjustments” to earnings – to use a polite description – have become both more frequent and more fanciful as stocks have risen. Speaking less politely, I would say that bull markets breed bloviated bull )</p><p>BNSF trains traveled 143 million miles last year and carried 535 million tons of cargo. Both accomplishments far exceed those of any other American carrier. You can be proud of your railroad.</p><p>• BHE, our final Giant, earned a record $4 billion in 2021. That’s up more than 30-fold from the $122 million earned in 2000, the year that Berkshire first purchased a BHE stake. Now, Berkshire owns 91.1% of the company.</p><p>BHE’s record of societal accomplishment is as remarkable as its financial performance. The company had no wind or solar generation in 2000. It was then regarded simply as a relatively new and minor participant in the huge electric utility industry. Subsequently, under David Sokol’s and Greg Abel’s leadership, BHE has become a utility powerhouse (no groaning, please) and a leading force in wind, solar and transmission throughout much of the United States.</p><p>Greg’s report on these accomplishments appears on pages A-3 and A-4. The profile you will find there is not in any way one of those currently-fashionable “green-washing” stories. BHE has been faithfully detailing its plans and performance in renewables and transmissions every year since 2007.</p><p>To further review this information, visit BHE’s website at brkenergy.com. There, you will see that the company has long been making climate-conscious moves that soak up all of its earnings. More opportunities lie ahead. BHE has the management, the experience, the capital and the appetite for the huge power projects that our country needs.</p><h2>Investments</h2><p>Now let’s talk about companies we don’t control, a list that again references Apple. Below we list our fifteen largest equity holdings, several of which are selections of Berkshire’s two long-time investment managers, Todd Combs and Ted Weschler. At yearend, this valued pair had total authority in respect to $34 billion of investments, many of which do not meet the threshold value we use in the table. Also, a significant portion of the dollars that Todd and Ted manage are lodged in various pension plans of Berkshire-owned businesses, with the assets of these plans not included in this table.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d43587e9f59c0ff76e6c04c6bf9af324\" tg-width=\"1047\" tg-height=\"530\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>* This is our actual purchase price and also our tax basis.</p><p>** Held by BHE; consequently, Berkshire shareholders have only a 91.1% interest in this position.</p><p>*** Includes a $10 billion investment in Occidental Petroleum, consisting of preferred stock and warrants to buy common stock, a combination now being valued at $10.7 billion.</p><p>In addition to the footnoted Occidental holding and our various common-stock positions, Berkshire also owns a 26.6% interest in Kraft Heinz (accounted for on the “equity” method, not market value, and carried at $13.1 billion) and 38.6% of Pilot Corp., a leader in travel centers that had revenues last year of $45 billion.</p><p>Since we purchased our Pilot stake in 2017, this holding has warranted “equity” accounting treatment. Early in 2023, Berkshire will purchase an additional interest in Pilot that will raise our ownership to 80% and lead to our fully consolidating Pilot’s earnings, assets and liabilities in our financial statements.</p><h2>U.S. Treasury Bills</h2><p>Berkshire’s balance sheet includes $144 billion of cash and cash equivalents (excluding the holdings of BNSF and BHE). Of this sum, $120 billion is held in U.S. Treasury bills, all maturing in less than a year. That stake leaves Berkshire financing about 12 of 1% of the publicly-held national debt.</p><p>Charlie and I have pledged that Berkshire (along with our subsidiaries other than BNSF and BHE) will always hold more than $30 billion of cash and equivalents. We want your company to be financially impregnable and never dependent on the kindness of strangers (or even that of friends). Both of us like to sleep soundly, and we want our creditors, insurance claimants and you to do so as well.</p><h2>But $144 billion?</h2><p>That imposing sum, I assure you, is not some deranged expression of patriotism. Nor have Charlie and I lost our overwhelming preference for business ownership. Indeed, I first manifested my enthusiasm for that 80 years ago, on March 11, 1942, when I purchased three shares of Cities Services preferred stock. Their cost was $114.75 and required all of my savings. (The Dow Jones Industrial Average that day closed at 99, a fact that should scream to you: Never bet against America.)</p><p>After my initial plunge, I always kept at least 80% of my net worth in equities. My favored status throughout that period was 100% – and still is. Berkshire’s current 80%-or-so position in businesses is a consequence of my failure to find entire companies or small portions thereof (that is, marketable stocks) which meet our criteria for long- term holding.</p><p>Charlie and I have endured similar cash-heavy positions from time to time in the past. These periods are never pleasant; they are also never permanent. And, fortunately, we have had a mildly attractive alternative during 2020 and 2021 for deploying capital. Read on.</p><h2>Share Repurchases</h2><p>There are three ways that we can increase the value of your investment. The first is always front and center in our minds: Increase the long-term earning power of Berkshire’s controlled businesses through internal growth or by making acquisitions. Today, internal opportunities deliver far better returns than acquisitions. The size of those opportunities, however, is small compared to Berkshire’s resources.</p><p>Our second choice is to buy non-controlling part-interests in the many good or great businesses that are publicly traded. From time to time, such possibilities are both numerous and blatantly attractive. Today, though, we find little that excites us.</p><p>That’s largely because of a truism: Long-term interest rates that are low push the prices of all productive investments upward, whether these are stocks, apartments, farms, oil wells, whatever. Other factors influence valuations as well, but interest rates will always be important.</p><p>Our final path to value creation is to repurchase Berkshire shares. Through that simple act, we increase your share of the many controlled and non-controlled businesses Berkshire owns. When the price/value equation is right, this path is the easiest and most certain way for us to increase your wealth. (Alongside the accretion of value to continuing shareholders, a couple of other parties gain: Repurchases are modestly beneficial to the seller of the repurchased shares and to society as well.)</p><p>Periodically, as alternative paths become unattractive, repurchases make good sense for Berkshire’s owners. During the past two years, we therefore repurchased 9% of the shares that were outstanding at yearend 2019 for a total cost of $51.7 billion. That expenditure left our continuing shareholders owning about 10% more of all Berkshire businesses, whether these are wholly-owned (such as BNSF and GEICO) or partly-owned (such as Coca-Cola and Moody’s).</p><p>I want to underscore that for Berkshire repurchases to make sense, our shares must offer appropriate value. We don’t want to overpay for the shares of other companies, and it would be value-destroying if we were to overpay when we are buying Berkshire. As of February 23, 2022, since yearend we repurchased additional shares at a cost of $1.2 billion. Our appetite remains large but will always remain price-dependent.</p><p>It should be noted that Berkshire’s buyback opportunities are limited because of its high-class investor base. If our shares were heavily held by short-term speculators, both price volatility and transaction volumes would materially increase. That kind of reshaping would offer us far greater opportunities for creating value by making repurchases. Nevertheless, Charlie and I far prefer the owners we have, even though their admirable buy-and-keep attitudes limit the extent to which long-term shareholders can profit from opportunistic repurchases.</p><p>Finally, one easily-overlooked value calculation specific to Berkshire: As we’ve discussed, insurance “float” of the right sort is of great value to us. As it happens, repurchases automatically increase the amount of “float” per share. That figure has increased during the past two years by 25% – going from $79,387 per “A” share to $99,497, a meaningful gain that, as noted, owes some thanks to repurchases.</p><h2>A Wonderful Man and a Wonderful Business</h2><p>Last year, Paul Andrews died. Paul was the founder and CEO of TTI, a Fort Worth-based subsidiary of Berkshire. Throughout his life – in both his business and his personal pursuits – Paul quietly displayed all the qualities that Charlie and I admire. His story should be told.</p><p>In 1971, Paul was working as a purchasing agent for General Dynamics when the roof fell in. After losing a huge defense contract, the company fired thousands of employees, including Paul.</p><p>With his first child due soon, Paul decided to bet on himself, using $500 of his savings to found Tex-Tronics (later renamed TTI). The company set itself up to distribute small electronic components, and first-year sales totaled $112,000. Today, TTI markets more than one million different items with annual volume of $7.7 billion.</p><p>But back to 2006: Paul, at 63, then found himself happy with his family, his job, and his associates. But he had one nagging worry, heightened because he had recently witnessed a friend’s early death and the disastrous results that followed for that man’s family and business. What, Paul asked himself in 2006, would happen to the many people depending on him if he should unexpectedly die?</p><p>For a year, Paul wrestled with his options. Sell to a competitor? From a strictly economic viewpoint, that course made the most sense. After all, competitors could envision lucrative “synergies” – savings that would be achieved as the acquiror slashed duplicated functions at TTI.</p><p>But . . . Such a purchaser would most certainly also retain its CFO, its legal counsel, its HR unit. Their TTI counterparts would therefore be sent packing. And ugh! If a new distribution center were to be needed, the acquirer’s home city would certainly be favored over Fort Worth.</p><p>Whatever the financial benefits, Paul quickly concluded that selling to a competitor was not for him. He next considered seeking a financial buyer, a species once labeled – aptly so – a leveraged buyout firm. Paul knew, however, that such a purchaser would be focused on an “exit strategy.” And who could know what that would be? Brooding over it all, Paul found himself having no interest in handing his 35-year-old creation over to a reseller.</p><p>When Paul met me, he explained why he had eliminated these two alternatives as buyers. He then summed up his dilemma by saying – in far more tactful phrasing than this – “After a year of pondering the alternatives, I want to sell to Berkshire because you are the only guy left.” So, I made an offer and Paul said “Yes.” One meeting; one lunch; one deal.</p><p>To say we both lived happily ever after is an understatement. When Berkshire purchased TTI, the company employed 2,387. Now the number is 8,043. A large percentage of that growth took place in Fort Worth and environs. Earnings have increased 673%.</p><p>Annually, I would call Paul and tell him his salary should be substantially increased. Annually, he would tell me, “We can talk about that next year, Warren; I’m too busy now.”</p><p>When Greg Abel and I attended Paul’s memorial service, we met children, grandchildren, long-time associates (including TTI’s first employee) and John Roach, the former CEO of a Fort Worth company Berkshire had purchased in 2000. John had steered his friend Paul to Omaha, instinctively knowing we would be a match.</p><p>At the service, Greg and I heard about the multitudes of people and organizations that Paul had silently supported. The breadth of his generosity was extraordinary – geared always to improving the lives of others, particularly those in Fort Worth.</p><p>In all ways, Paul was a class act.</p><p>* * * * * * * * * * * *</p><p>Good luck – occasionally extraordinary luck – has played its part at Berkshire. If Paul and I had not enjoyed a mutual friend – John Roach – TTI would not have found its home with us. But that ample serving of luck was only the beginning. TTI was soon to lead Berkshire to its most important acquisition.</p><p>Every fall, Berkshire directors gather for a presentation by a few of our executives. We sometimes choose the site based upon the location of a recent acquisition, by that means allowing directors to meet the new subsidiary’s CEO and learn more about the acquiree’s activities.</p><p>In the fall of 2009, we consequently selected Fort Worth so that we could visit TTI. At that time, BNSF, which also had Fort Worth as its hometown, was the third-largest holding among our marketable equities. Despite that large stake, I had never visited the railroad’s headquarters.</p><p>Deb Bosanek, my assistant, scheduled our board’s opening dinner for October 22. Meanwhile, I arranged to arrive earlier that day to meet with Matt Rose, CEO of BNSF, whose accomplishments I had long admired. When I made the date, I had no idea that our get-together would coincide with BNSF’s third-quarter earnings report, which was released late on the 22nd.</p><p>The market reacted badly to the railroad’s results. The Great Recession was in full force in the third quarter, and BNSF’s earnings reflected that slump. The economic outlook was also bleak, and Wall Street wasn’t feeling friendly to railroads – or much else.</p><p>On the following day, I again got together with Matt and suggested that Berkshire would offer the railroad a better long-term home than it could expect as a public company. I also told him the maximum price that Berkshire would pay.</p><p>Matt relayed the offer to his directors and advisors. Eleven busy days later, Berkshire and BNSF announced a firm deal. And here I’ll venture a rare prediction: BNSF will be a key asset for Berkshire and our country a century from now.</p><p>The BNSF acquisition would never have happened if Paul Andrews hadn’t sized up Berkshire as the right home for TTI.</p><h2>Thanks</h2><p>I taught my first investing class 70 years ago. Since then, I have enjoyed working almost every year with students of all ages, finally “retiring” from that pursuit in 2018.</p><p>Along the way, my toughest audience was my grandson’s fifth-grade class. The 11-year-olds were squirming in their seats and giving me blank stares until I mentioned Coca-Cola and its famous secret formula. Instantly, every hand went up, and I learned that “secrets” are catnip to kids.</p><p>Teaching, like writing, has helped me develop and clarify my own thoughts. Charlie calls this phenomenon the orangutan effect: If you sit down with an orangutan and carefully explain to it one of your cherished ideas, you may leave behind a puzzled primate, but will yourself exit thinking more clearly.</p><p>Talking to university students is far superior. I have urged that they seek employment in (1) the field and (2) with the kind of people they would select, if they had no need for money. Economic realities, I acknowledge, may interfere with that kind of search. Even so, I urge the students never to give up the quest, for when they find that sort of job, they will no longer be “working.”</p><p>Charlie and I, ourselves, followed that liberating course after a few early stumbles. We both started as part- timers at my grandfather’s grocery store, Charlie in 1940 and I in 1942. We were each assigned boring tasks and paid little, definitely not what we had in mind. Charlie later took up law, and I tried selling securities. Job satisfaction continued to elude us.</p><p>Finally, at Berkshire, we found what we love to do. With very few exceptions, we have now “worked” for many decades with people whom we like and trust. It’s a joy in life to join with managers such as Paul Andrews or the Berkshire families I told you about last year. In our home office, we employ decent and talented people – no jerks. Turnover averages, perhaps, one person per year.</p><p>I would like, however, to emphasize a further item that turns our jobs into fun and satisfaction working</p><p>for you. There is nothing more rewarding to Charlie and me than enjoying the trust of individual long-term shareholders who, for many decades, have joined us with the expectation that we would be a reliable custodian of their funds.</p><p>Obviously, we can’t select our owners, as we could do if our form of operation were a partnership. Anyone can buy shares of Berkshire today with the intention of soon reselling them. For sure, we get a few of that type of shareholder, just as we get index funds that own huge amounts of Berkshire simply because they are required to do so.</p><p>To a truly unusual degree, however, Berkshire has as owners a very large corps of individuals and families that have elected to join us with an intent approaching “til death do us part.” Often, they have trusted us with a large – some might say excessive – portion of their savings.</p><p>Berkshire, these shareholders would sometimes acknowledge, might be far from the best selection they could have made. But they would add that Berkshire would rank high among those with which they would be most comfortable. And people who are comfortable with their investments will, on average, achieve better results than those who are motivated by ever-changing headlines, chatter and promises.</p><p>Long-term individual owners are both the “partners” Charlie and I have always sought and the ones we constantly have in mind as we make decisions at Berkshire. To them we say, “It feels good to ‘work’ for you, and you have our thanks for your trust.”</p><h2>The Annual Meeting</h2><p>Clear your calendar! Berkshire will have its annual gathering of capitalists in Omaha on Friday, April 29th through Sunday, May 1st. The details regarding the weekend are laid out on pages A-1 and A-2. Omaha eagerly awaits you, as do I.</p><p>I will end this letter with a sales pitch. “Cousin” Jimmy Buffett has designed a pontoon “party” boat that is now being manufactured by Forest River, a Berkshire subsidiary. The boat will be introduced on April 29 at our Berkshire Bazaar of Bargains. And, for two days only, shareholders will be able to purchase Jimmy’s masterpiece at a 10% discount. Your bargain-hunting chairman will be buying a boat for his family’s use. Join me.</p><p>February 26, 2022</p><p>Warren E. Buffett Chairman of the Board</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BRK.B":"伯克希尔B","BRK.A":"伯克希尔"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1125580913","content_text":"Warren Buffett released his annual letter to Berkshire Hathaway shareholders on Saturday. The 91-year-old investing legend has been publishing the letter for over six decades and it has become required reading for investors around the world.Warren Buffett said he now considers tech giant Apple as one of the four pillars driving Berkshire Hathaway, the conglomerate of mostly old-economy businesses he’s assembled over the last five decades.In his annual letter to shareholders released on Saturday, the 91-year-old investing legend listed Apple under the heading “Our Four Giants” and even called the company the second-most important after Berkshire’s cluster of insurers, thanks to its chief executive.“Tim Cook, Apple’s brilliant CEO, quite properly regards users of Apple products as his first love, but all of his other constituencies benefit from Tim’s managerial touch as well,” the letter stated.Buffett made clear he is a fan of Cook’s stock repurchase strategy, and how it gives the conglomerate increased ownership of each dollar of the iPhone maker’s earnings without the investor having to lift a finger.“Apple – our runner-up Giant as measured by its yearend market value – is a different sort of holding. Here, our ownership is a mere 5.55%, up from 5.39% a year earlier,” Buffett said in the letter. “That increase sounds like small potatoes. But consider that each 0.1% of Apple’s 2021 earnings amounted to $100 million. We spent no Berkshire funds to gain our accretion. Apple’s repurchases did the job.”Berkshire began buying Apple stock in 2016 under the influence of Buffett’s investing deputies Todd Combs and Ted Weschler. By mid-2018, the conglomerate accumulated 5% ownership of the iPhone maker, a stake that cost $36 billion. Today, the Apple investment is now worth more than $160 billion, taking up 40% of Berkshire’s equity portfolio.“It’s important to understand that only dividends from Apple are counted in the GAAP earnings Berkshire reports – and last year, Apple paid us $785 million of those. Yet our ‘share’ of Apple’s earnings amounted to a staggering $5.6 billion. Much of what the company retained was used to repurchase Apple shares, an act we applaud,” Buffett said.Berkshire is Apple’s largest shareholder, outside of index and exchange-traded fund providers.Buffett also credited his railroad business BNSF and energy segment BHE as two other giants of the conglomerate, which both registered record earnings in 2021.“BNSF, our third Giant, continues to be the number one artery of American commerce, which makes it an indispensable asset for America as well as for Berkshire,” Buffett said. “BHE has become a utility powerhouse and a leading force in wind, solar and transmission throughout much of the United States.”Read the full letter here：To the Shareholders of Berkshire Hathaway Inc.:Charlie Munger, my long-time partner, and I have the job of managing a portion of your savings. We are honored by your trust.Our position carries with it the responsibility to report to you what we would like to know if we were the absentee owner and you were the manager. We enjoy communicating directly with you through this annual letter, and through the annual meeting as well.Our policy is to treat all shareholders equally. Therefore, we do not hold discussions with analysts nor large institutions. Whenever possible, also, we release important communications on Saturday mornings in order to maximize the time for shareholders and the media to absorb the news before markets open on Monday.A wealth of Berkshire facts and figures are set forth in the annual 10-K that the company regularly files with the S.E.C. and that we reproduce on pages K-1 – K-119. Some shareholders will find this detail engrossing; others will simply prefer to learn what Charlie and I believe is new or interesting at Berkshire.Alas, there was little action of that sort in 2021. We did, though, make reasonable progress in increasing the intrinsic value of your shares. That task has been my primary duty for 57 years. And it will continue to be.What You OwnBerkshire owns a wide variety of businesses, some in their entirety, some only in part. The second group largely consists of marketable common stocks of major American companies. Additionally, we own a few non-U.S. equities and participate in several joint ventures or other collaborative activities.Whatever our form of ownership, our goal is to have meaningful investments in businesses with both durable economic advantages and a first-class CEO. Please note particularly that we own stocks based upon our expectations about their long-term business performance and not because we view them as vehicles for timely market moves. That point is crucial: Charlie and I are not stock-pickers; we are business-pickers.I make many mistakes. Consequently, our extensive collection of businesses includes some enterprises that have truly extraordinary economics, many others that enjoy good economic characteristics, and a few that are marginal. One advantage of our common-stock segment is that – on occasion – it becomes easy to buy pieces of wonderful businesses at wonderful prices. That shooting-fish-in-a-barrel experience is very rare in negotiated transactions and never occurs en masse. It is also far easier to exit from a mistake when it has been made in the marketable arena.Surprise, SurpriseHere are a few items about your company that often surprise even seasoned investors:• Many people perceive Berkshire as a large and somewhat strange collection of financial assets. In truth, Berkshire owns and operates more U.S.-based “infrastructure” assets – classified on our balance sheet as property, plant and equipment – than are owned and operated by any other American corporation. That supremacy has never been our goal. It has, however, become a fact.At yearend, those domestic infrastructure assets were carried on Berkshire’s balance sheet at $158 billion. That number increased last year and will continue to increase. Berkshire always will be building.• Every year, your company makes substantial federal income tax payments. In 2021, for example, we paid$3.3 billion while the U.S. Treasury reported total corporate income-tax receipts of $402 billion. Additionally, Berkshire pays substantial state and foreign taxes. “I gave at the office” is an unassailable assertion when made by Berkshire shareholders.Berkshire’s history vividly illustrates the invisible and often unrecognized financial partnership between  government and American businesses. Our tale begins early in 1955, when Berkshire Fine Spinning and Hathaway Manufacturing agreed to merge their businesses. In their requests for shareholder approval, these venerable New England textile companies expressed high hopes for the combination.The Hathaway solicitation, for example, assured its shareholders that “The combination of the resources and managements will result in one of the strongest and most efficient organizations in the textile industry.” That upbeat view was endorsed by the company’s advisor, Lehman Brothers (yes, that Lehman Brothers).I’m sure it was a joyous day in both Fall River (Berkshire) and New Bedford (Hathaway) when the union was consummated. After the bands stopped playing and the bankers went home, however, the shareholders reaped a disaster.In the nine years following the merger, Berkshire’s owners watched the company’s net worth crater from$51.4 million to $22.1 million. In part, this decline was caused by stock repurchases, ill-advised dividends and plant shutdowns. But nine years of effort by many thousands of employees delivered an operating loss as well. Berkshire’s struggles were not unusual: The New England textile industry had silently entered an extended and non-reversible death march.During the nine post-merger years, the U.S. Treasury suffered as well from Berkshire’s troubles. All told, the company paid the government only $337,359 in income tax during that period – a pathetic $100 per day.Early in 1965, things changed. Berkshire installed new management that redeployed available cash and steered essentially all earnings into a variety of good businesses, most of which remained good through the years. Coupling reinvestment of earnings with the power of compounding worked its magic, and shareholders prospered.Berkshire’s owners, it should be noted, were not the only beneficiary of that course correction. Their “silent partner,” the U.S. Treasury, proceeded to collect many tens of billions of dollars from the company in income tax payments. Remember the $100 daily? Now, Berkshire pays roughly $9 million daily to the Treasury.In fairness to our governmental partner, our shareholders should acknowledge – indeed trumpet – the fact that Berkshire’s prosperity has been fostered mightily because the company has operated in America. Our country would have done splendidly in the years since 1965 without Berkshire. Absent our American home, however, Berkshire would never have come close to becoming what it is today. When you see the flag, say thanks.• From an $8.6 million purchase of National Indemnity in 1967, Berkshire has become the world leader in insurance “float” – money we hold and can invest but that does not belong to us. Including a relatively small sum derived from life insurance, Berkshire’s total float has grown from $19 million when we entered the insurance business to $147 billion.So far, this float has cost us less than nothing. Though we have experienced a number of years when insurance losses combined with operating expenses exceeded premiums, overall we have earned a modest 55-year profit from the underwriting activities that generated our float.Of equal importance, float is very sticky. Funds attributable to our insurance operations come and go daily, but their aggregate total is immune from precipitous decline. When it comes to investing float, we can therefore think long-term.If you are not already familiar with the concept of float, I refer you to a long explanation on page A-5. To my surprise, our float increased $9 billion last year, a buildup of value that is important to Berkshire owners though is not reflected in our GAAP (“generally-accepted accounting principles”) presentation of earnings and net worth.Much of our huge value creation in insurance is attributable to Berkshire’s good luck in my 1986 hiring of Ajit Jain. We first met on a Saturday morning, and I quickly asked Ajit what his insurance experience had been. He replied, “None.”I said, “Nobody’s perfect,” and hired him. That was my lucky day: Ajit actually was as perfect a choice as could have been made. Better yet, he continues to be – 35 years later.One final thought about insurance: I believe that it is likely – but far from assured – that Berkshire’s float can be maintained without our incurring a long-term underwriting loss. I am certain, however, that there will be some years when we experience such losses, perhaps involving very large sums.Berkshire is constructed to handle catastrophic events as no other insurer – and that priority will remain long after Charlie and I are gone.Our Four GiantsThrough Berkshire, our shareholders own many dozens of businesses. Some of these, in turn, have a collection of subsidiaries of their own. For example, Marmon has more than 100 individual business operations, ranging from the leasing of railroad cars to the manufacture of medical devices.• Nevertheless, operations of our “Big Four” companies account for a very large chunk of Berkshire’s value. Leading this list is our cluster of insurers. Berkshire effectively owns 100% of this group, whose massive float value we earlier described. The invested assets of these insurers are further enlarged by the extraordinary amount of capital we invest to back up their promises.The insurance business is made to order for Berkshire. The product will never be obsolete, and sales volume will generally increase along with both economic growth and inflation. Also, integrity and capital will forever be important. Our company can and will behave well.There are, of course, other insurers with excellent business models and prospects. Replication of Berkshire’s operation, however, would be almost impossible.• Apple – our runner-up Giant as measured by its yearend market value – is a different sort of holding. Here, our ownership is a mere 5.55%, up from 5.39% a year earlier. That increase sounds like small potatoes. But consider that each 0.1% of Apple’s 2021 earnings amounted to $100 million. We spent no Berkshire funds to gain our accretion. Apple’s repurchases did the job.It’s important to understand that only dividends from Apple are counted in the GAAP earnings Berkshire reports – and last year, Apple paid us $785 million of those. Yet our “share” of Apple’s earnings amounted to a staggering $5.6 billion. Much of what the company retained was used to repurchase Apple shares, an act we applaud. Tim Cook, Apple’s brilliant CEO, quite properly regards users of Apple products as his first love, but all of his other constituencies benefit from Tim’s managerial touch as well.• BNSF, our third Giant, continues to be the number one artery of American commerce, which makes it an indispensable asset for America as well as for Berkshire. If the many essential products BNSF carries were instead hauled by truck, America’s carbon emissions would soar.Your railroad had record earnings of $6 billion in 2021. Here, it should be noted, we are talking about the old-fashioned sort of earnings that we favor: a figure calculated after interest, taxes, depreciation, amortization and all forms of compensation. (Our definition suggests a warning: Deceptive “adjustments” to earnings – to use a polite description – have become both more frequent and more fanciful as stocks have risen. Speaking less politely, I would say that bull markets breed bloviated bull )BNSF trains traveled 143 million miles last year and carried 535 million tons of cargo. Both accomplishments far exceed those of any other American carrier. You can be proud of your railroad.• BHE, our final Giant, earned a record $4 billion in 2021. That’s up more than 30-fold from the $122 million earned in 2000, the year that Berkshire first purchased a BHE stake. Now, Berkshire owns 91.1% of the company.BHE’s record of societal accomplishment is as remarkable as its financial performance. The company had no wind or solar generation in 2000. It was then regarded simply as a relatively new and minor participant in the huge electric utility industry. Subsequently, under David Sokol’s and Greg Abel’s leadership, BHE has become a utility powerhouse (no groaning, please) and a leading force in wind, solar and transmission throughout much of the United States.Greg’s report on these accomplishments appears on pages A-3 and A-4. The profile you will find there is not in any way one of those currently-fashionable “green-washing” stories. BHE has been faithfully detailing its plans and performance in renewables and transmissions every year since 2007.To further review this information, visit BHE’s website at brkenergy.com. There, you will see that the company has long been making climate-conscious moves that soak up all of its earnings. More opportunities lie ahead. BHE has the management, the experience, the capital and the appetite for the huge power projects that our country needs.InvestmentsNow let’s talk about companies we don’t control, a list that again references Apple. Below we list our fifteen largest equity holdings, several of which are selections of Berkshire’s two long-time investment managers, Todd Combs and Ted Weschler. At yearend, this valued pair had total authority in respect to $34 billion of investments, many of which do not meet the threshold value we use in the table. Also, a significant portion of the dollars that Todd and Ted manage are lodged in various pension plans of Berkshire-owned businesses, with the assets of these plans not included in this table.* This is our actual purchase price and also our tax basis.** Held by BHE; consequently, Berkshire shareholders have only a 91.1% interest in this position.*** Includes a $10 billion investment in Occidental Petroleum, consisting of preferred stock and warrants to buy common stock, a combination now being valued at $10.7 billion.In addition to the footnoted Occidental holding and our various common-stock positions, Berkshire also owns a 26.6% interest in Kraft Heinz (accounted for on the “equity” method, not market value, and carried at $13.1 billion) and 38.6% of Pilot Corp., a leader in travel centers that had revenues last year of $45 billion.Since we purchased our Pilot stake in 2017, this holding has warranted “equity” accounting treatment. Early in 2023, Berkshire will purchase an additional interest in Pilot that will raise our ownership to 80% and lead to our fully consolidating Pilot’s earnings, assets and liabilities in our financial statements.U.S. Treasury BillsBerkshire’s balance sheet includes $144 billion of cash and cash equivalents (excluding the holdings of BNSF and BHE). Of this sum, $120 billion is held in U.S. Treasury bills, all maturing in less than a year. That stake leaves Berkshire financing about 12 of 1% of the publicly-held national debt.Charlie and I have pledged that Berkshire (along with our subsidiaries other than BNSF and BHE) will always hold more than $30 billion of cash and equivalents. We want your company to be financially impregnable and never dependent on the kindness of strangers (or even that of friends). Both of us like to sleep soundly, and we want our creditors, insurance claimants and you to do so as well.But $144 billion?That imposing sum, I assure you, is not some deranged expression of patriotism. Nor have Charlie and I lost our overwhelming preference for business ownership. Indeed, I first manifested my enthusiasm for that 80 years ago, on March 11, 1942, when I purchased three shares of Cities Services preferred stock. Their cost was $114.75 and required all of my savings. (The Dow Jones Industrial Average that day closed at 99, a fact that should scream to you: Never bet against America.)After my initial plunge, I always kept at least 80% of my net worth in equities. My favored status throughout that period was 100% – and still is. Berkshire’s current 80%-or-so position in businesses is a consequence of my failure to find entire companies or small portions thereof (that is, marketable stocks) which meet our criteria for long- term holding.Charlie and I have endured similar cash-heavy positions from time to time in the past. These periods are never pleasant; they are also never permanent. And, fortunately, we have had a mildly attractive alternative during 2020 and 2021 for deploying capital. Read on.Share RepurchasesThere are three ways that we can increase the value of your investment. The first is always front and center in our minds: Increase the long-term earning power of Berkshire’s controlled businesses through internal growth or by making acquisitions. Today, internal opportunities deliver far better returns than acquisitions. The size of those opportunities, however, is small compared to Berkshire’s resources.Our second choice is to buy non-controlling part-interests in the many good or great businesses that are publicly traded. From time to time, such possibilities are both numerous and blatantly attractive. Today, though, we find little that excites us.That’s largely because of a truism: Long-term interest rates that are low push the prices of all productive investments upward, whether these are stocks, apartments, farms, oil wells, whatever. Other factors influence valuations as well, but interest rates will always be important.Our final path to value creation is to repurchase Berkshire shares. Through that simple act, we increase your share of the many controlled and non-controlled businesses Berkshire owns. When the price/value equation is right, this path is the easiest and most certain way for us to increase your wealth. (Alongside the accretion of value to continuing shareholders, a couple of other parties gain: Repurchases are modestly beneficial to the seller of the repurchased shares and to society as well.)Periodically, as alternative paths become unattractive, repurchases make good sense for Berkshire’s owners. During the past two years, we therefore repurchased 9% of the shares that were outstanding at yearend 2019 for a total cost of $51.7 billion. That expenditure left our continuing shareholders owning about 10% more of all Berkshire businesses, whether these are wholly-owned (such as BNSF and GEICO) or partly-owned (such as Coca-Cola and Moody’s).I want to underscore that for Berkshire repurchases to make sense, our shares must offer appropriate value. We don’t want to overpay for the shares of other companies, and it would be value-destroying if we were to overpay when we are buying Berkshire. As of February 23, 2022, since yearend we repurchased additional shares at a cost of $1.2 billion. Our appetite remains large but will always remain price-dependent.It should be noted that Berkshire’s buyback opportunities are limited because of its high-class investor base. If our shares were heavily held by short-term speculators, both price volatility and transaction volumes would materially increase. That kind of reshaping would offer us far greater opportunities for creating value by making repurchases. Nevertheless, Charlie and I far prefer the owners we have, even though their admirable buy-and-keep attitudes limit the extent to which long-term shareholders can profit from opportunistic repurchases.Finally, one easily-overlooked value calculation specific to Berkshire: As we’ve discussed, insurance “float” of the right sort is of great value to us. As it happens, repurchases automatically increase the amount of “float” per share. That figure has increased during the past two years by 25% – going from $79,387 per “A” share to $99,497, a meaningful gain that, as noted, owes some thanks to repurchases.A Wonderful Man and a Wonderful BusinessLast year, Paul Andrews died. Paul was the founder and CEO of TTI, a Fort Worth-based subsidiary of Berkshire. Throughout his life – in both his business and his personal pursuits – Paul quietly displayed all the qualities that Charlie and I admire. His story should be told.In 1971, Paul was working as a purchasing agent for General Dynamics when the roof fell in. After losing a huge defense contract, the company fired thousands of employees, including Paul.With his first child due soon, Paul decided to bet on himself, using $500 of his savings to found Tex-Tronics (later renamed TTI). The company set itself up to distribute small electronic components, and first-year sales totaled $112,000. Today, TTI markets more than one million different items with annual volume of $7.7 billion.But back to 2006: Paul, at 63, then found himself happy with his family, his job, and his associates. But he had one nagging worry, heightened because he had recently witnessed a friend’s early death and the disastrous results that followed for that man’s family and business. What, Paul asked himself in 2006, would happen to the many people depending on him if he should unexpectedly die?For a year, Paul wrestled with his options. Sell to a competitor? From a strictly economic viewpoint, that course made the most sense. After all, competitors could envision lucrative “synergies” – savings that would be achieved as the acquiror slashed duplicated functions at TTI.But . . . Such a purchaser would most certainly also retain its CFO, its legal counsel, its HR unit. Their TTI counterparts would therefore be sent packing. And ugh! If a new distribution center were to be needed, the acquirer’s home city would certainly be favored over Fort Worth.Whatever the financial benefits, Paul quickly concluded that selling to a competitor was not for him. He next considered seeking a financial buyer, a species once labeled – aptly so – a leveraged buyout firm. Paul knew, however, that such a purchaser would be focused on an “exit strategy.” And who could know what that would be? Brooding over it all, Paul found himself having no interest in handing his 35-year-old creation over to a reseller.When Paul met me, he explained why he had eliminated these two alternatives as buyers. He then summed up his dilemma by saying – in far more tactful phrasing than this – “After a year of pondering the alternatives, I want to sell to Berkshire because you are the only guy left.” So, I made an offer and Paul said “Yes.” One meeting; one lunch; one deal.To say we both lived happily ever after is an understatement. When Berkshire purchased TTI, the company employed 2,387. Now the number is 8,043. A large percentage of that growth took place in Fort Worth and environs. Earnings have increased 673%.Annually, I would call Paul and tell him his salary should be substantially increased. Annually, he would tell me, “We can talk about that next year, Warren; I’m too busy now.”When Greg Abel and I attended Paul’s memorial service, we met children, grandchildren, long-time associates (including TTI’s first employee) and John Roach, the former CEO of a Fort Worth company Berkshire had purchased in 2000. John had steered his friend Paul to Omaha, instinctively knowing we would be a match.At the service, Greg and I heard about the multitudes of people and organizations that Paul had silently supported. The breadth of his generosity was extraordinary – geared always to improving the lives of others, particularly those in Fort Worth.In all ways, Paul was a class act.* * * * * * * * * * * *Good luck – occasionally extraordinary luck – has played its part at Berkshire. If Paul and I had not enjoyed a mutual friend – John Roach – TTI would not have found its home with us. But that ample serving of luck was only the beginning. TTI was soon to lead Berkshire to its most important acquisition.Every fall, Berkshire directors gather for a presentation by a few of our executives. We sometimes choose the site based upon the location of a recent acquisition, by that means allowing directors to meet the new subsidiary’s CEO and learn more about the acquiree’s activities.In the fall of 2009, we consequently selected Fort Worth so that we could visit TTI. At that time, BNSF, which also had Fort Worth as its hometown, was the third-largest holding among our marketable equities. Despite that large stake, I had never visited the railroad’s headquarters.Deb Bosanek, my assistant, scheduled our board’s opening dinner for October 22. Meanwhile, I arranged to arrive earlier that day to meet with Matt Rose, CEO of BNSF, whose accomplishments I had long admired. When I made the date, I had no idea that our get-together would coincide with BNSF’s third-quarter earnings report, which was released late on the 22nd.The market reacted badly to the railroad’s results. The Great Recession was in full force in the third quarter, and BNSF’s earnings reflected that slump. The economic outlook was also bleak, and Wall Street wasn’t feeling friendly to railroads – or much else.On the following day, I again got together with Matt and suggested that Berkshire would offer the railroad a better long-term home than it could expect as a public company. I also told him the maximum price that Berkshire would pay.Matt relayed the offer to his directors and advisors. Eleven busy days later, Berkshire and BNSF announced a firm deal. And here I’ll venture a rare prediction: BNSF will be a key asset for Berkshire and our country a century from now.The BNSF acquisition would never have happened if Paul Andrews hadn’t sized up Berkshire as the right home for TTI.ThanksI taught my first investing class 70 years ago. Since then, I have enjoyed working almost every year with students of all ages, finally “retiring” from that pursuit in 2018.Along the way, my toughest audience was my grandson’s fifth-grade class. The 11-year-olds were squirming in their seats and giving me blank stares until I mentioned Coca-Cola and its famous secret formula. Instantly, every hand went up, and I learned that “secrets” are catnip to kids.Teaching, like writing, has helped me develop and clarify my own thoughts. Charlie calls this phenomenon the orangutan effect: If you sit down with an orangutan and carefully explain to it one of your cherished ideas, you may leave behind a puzzled primate, but will yourself exit thinking more clearly.Talking to university students is far superior. I have urged that they seek employment in (1) the field and (2) with the kind of people they would select, if they had no need for money. Economic realities, I acknowledge, may interfere with that kind of search. Even so, I urge the students never to give up the quest, for when they find that sort of job, they will no longer be “working.”Charlie and I, ourselves, followed that liberating course after a few early stumbles. We both started as part- timers at my grandfather’s grocery store, Charlie in 1940 and I in 1942. We were each assigned boring tasks and paid little, definitely not what we had in mind. Charlie later took up law, and I tried selling securities. Job satisfaction continued to elude us.Finally, at Berkshire, we found what we love to do. With very few exceptions, we have now “worked” for many decades with people whom we like and trust. It’s a joy in life to join with managers such as Paul Andrews or the Berkshire families I told you about last year. In our home office, we employ decent and talented people – no jerks. Turnover averages, perhaps, one person per year.I would like, however, to emphasize a further item that turns our jobs into fun and satisfaction workingfor you. There is nothing more rewarding to Charlie and me than enjoying the trust of individual long-term shareholders who, for many decades, have joined us with the expectation that we would be a reliable custodian of their funds.Obviously, we can’t select our owners, as we could do if our form of operation were a partnership. Anyone can buy shares of Berkshire today with the intention of soon reselling them. For sure, we get a few of that type of shareholder, just as we get index funds that own huge amounts of Berkshire simply because they are required to do so.To a truly unusual degree, however, Berkshire has as owners a very large corps of individuals and families that have elected to join us with an intent approaching “til death do us part.” Often, they have trusted us with a large – some might say excessive – portion of their savings.Berkshire, these shareholders would sometimes acknowledge, might be far from the best selection they could have made. But they would add that Berkshire would rank high among those with which they would be most comfortable. And people who are comfortable with their investments will, on average, achieve better results than those who are motivated by ever-changing headlines, chatter and promises.Long-term individual owners are both the “partners” Charlie and I have always sought and the ones we constantly have in mind as we make decisions at Berkshire. To them we say, “It feels good to ‘work’ for you, and you have our thanks for your trust.”The Annual MeetingClear your calendar! Berkshire will have its annual gathering of capitalists in Omaha on Friday, April 29th through Sunday, May 1st. The details regarding the weekend are laid out on pages A-1 and A-2. Omaha eagerly awaits you, as do I.I will end this letter with a sales pitch. “Cousin” Jimmy Buffett has designed a pontoon “party” boat that is now being manufactured by Forest River, a Berkshire subsidiary. The boat will be introduced on April 29 at our Berkshire Bazaar of Bargains. And, for two days only, shareholders will be able to purchase Jimmy’s masterpiece at a 10% discount. Your bargain-hunting chairman will be buying a boat for his family’s use. Join me.February 26, 2022Warren E. Buffett Chairman of the Board","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":136,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":153824379,"gmtCreate":1625018230191,"gmtModify":1703850219092,"author":{"id":"3581853261599921","authorId":"3581853261599921","name":"Jayden86_","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e0a3979b2998dfa9c0fddbce29da3ab9","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581853261599921","idStr":"3581853261599921"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls help to like and comment&nbsp;","listText":"Pls help to like and comment&nbsp;","text":"Pls help to like and 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back"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":108526677,"gmtCreate":1620043705499,"gmtModify":1704337763591,"author":{"id":"3581853261599921","authorId":"3581853261599921","name":"Jayden86_","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e0a3979b2998dfa9c0fddbce29da3ab9","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581853261599921","idStr":"3581853261599921"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls help to like and comment ?","listText":"Pls help to like and comment ?","text":"Pls help to like and comment ?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/108526677","repostId":"1135819410","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":344,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9991365135,"gmtCreate":1660782298929,"gmtModify":1676536397821,"author":{"id":"3581853261599921","authorId":"3581853261599921","name":"Jayden86_","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e0a3979b2998dfa9c0fddbce29da3ab9","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581853261599921","idStr":"3581853261599921"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ya&nbsp;","listText":"Ya&nbsp;","text":"Ya","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9991365135","repostId":"1196990768","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1196990768","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1660777736,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1196990768?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2022-08-18 07:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Fed Officials Saw Need to Slow Rate-Hike Pace “At Some Point”","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1196990768","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Many participants saw risk of over-tightening policyOfficials saw significant risk of entrenched inf","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Many participants saw risk of over-tightening policy</li><li>Officials saw significant risk of entrenched inflation</li></ul><p>Federal Reserve officials agreed last month on the need to eventually dial back the pace of interest-rate hikes but also wanted to gauge how their monetary tightening was working toward curbing US inflation.</p><p>“As the stance of monetary policy tightened further, it likely would become appropriate at some point to slow the pace of policy rate increases while assessing the effects of cumulative policy adjustments on economic activity and inflation,” according to minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee’s July 26-27 meeting released Wednesday in Washington.</p><p>“Many participants remarked that, in view of the constantly changing nature of the economic environment and the existence of long and variable lags in monetary policy’s effect on the economy, there was also a risk that the committee could tighten the stance of policy by more than necessary to restore price stability,” the minutes showed.</p><p>Fed officials raised their benchmark interest rate by 75 basis points at that meeting for a second straight month, marking the fastest pace of tightening since the early 1980s in a battle against red-hot inflation.</p><p>Even so, the S&amp;P 500 index of US stocks has risen about 9% since the July gathering. Fed officials will have a chance to offer fresh views on the outlook during their Aug. 25-27 retreat in Jackson Hole, Wyoming.</p><p>Following the minutes release, two-year Treasury yields and the dollar pared gains, while US stocks trimmed losses. Swaps traders increasingly bet that the Fed will boost rates by a half percentage point next month, rather than three-quarters of a point.</p><p>“While the FOMC minutes continue to emphasize the need to contain inflation, there is also an emerging concern the Fed could tighten more than necessary,” said Christopher Low, chief economist at FHN Financial. “There is an inkling of improvement on the supply side of the economy, there is a bit of hope in some product prices moderating, but there is still a great deal of concern about inflation and inflation expectations.”</p><p>The language used in the minutes echoed what Powell said at the press conference after the July meeting. His comments ignited the move higher in stocks when he suggested that the central bank could transition to smaller rate hikes going forward. Even so, he left the door open to another “unusually large” increase at the next meeting in September, depending on economic data to be published in the interim.</p><p>A Labor Department report published Aug. 5 -- which showed companies added 528,000 employees to payrolls last month, more than double what forecasters were expecting -- prompted investors to bet on a third straight 75-basis-point hike when the Fed meets Sept. 20-21.</p><p>At the July meeting, “participants judged that a significant risk facing the committee was that elevated inflation could become entrenched if the public began to question the committee’s resolve to adjust the stance of policy sufficiently,” according to the minutes.</p><p>But the department’s Aug. 10 readout on consumer prices showed they rose 8.5% in the 12 months through July, down from the 9.1% increase the month before that marked the highest inflation rate since 1981.</p><p>The softer July inflation figures gave legs to the stock-market rally as previous bets on a big rate hike in September were unwound, and investors are now assigning similar odds to a half-point or a three-quarter-point increase, according to prices of futures contracts tied to the Fed’s benchmark rate.</p><p>August numbers on jobs and consumer prices are due out before the September meeting.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Fed Officials Saw Need to Slow Rate-Hike Pace “At Some Point”</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFed Officials Saw Need to Slow Rate-Hike Pace “At Some Point”\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-18 07:08 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-08-17/fed-saw-smaller-hikes-ahead-to-assess-prior-moves-minutes-show?srnd=premium><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Many participants saw risk of over-tightening policyOfficials saw significant risk of entrenched inflationFederal Reserve officials agreed last month on the need to eventually dial back the pace of ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-08-17/fed-saw-smaller-hikes-ahead-to-assess-prior-moves-minutes-show?srnd=premium\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-08-17/fed-saw-smaller-hikes-ahead-to-assess-prior-moves-minutes-show?srnd=premium","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1196990768","content_text":"Many participants saw risk of over-tightening policyOfficials saw significant risk of entrenched inflationFederal Reserve officials agreed last month on the need to eventually dial back the pace of interest-rate hikes but also wanted to gauge how their monetary tightening was working toward curbing US inflation.“As the stance of monetary policy tightened further, it likely would become appropriate at some point to slow the pace of policy rate increases while assessing the effects of cumulative policy adjustments on economic activity and inflation,” according to minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee’s July 26-27 meeting released Wednesday in Washington.“Many participants remarked that, in view of the constantly changing nature of the economic environment and the existence of long and variable lags in monetary policy’s effect on the economy, there was also a risk that the committee could tighten the stance of policy by more than necessary to restore price stability,” the minutes showed.Fed officials raised their benchmark interest rate by 75 basis points at that meeting for a second straight month, marking the fastest pace of tightening since the early 1980s in a battle against red-hot inflation.Even so, the S&P 500 index of US stocks has risen about 9% since the July gathering. Fed officials will have a chance to offer fresh views on the outlook during their Aug. 25-27 retreat in Jackson Hole, Wyoming.Following the minutes release, two-year Treasury yields and the dollar pared gains, while US stocks trimmed losses. Swaps traders increasingly bet that the Fed will boost rates by a half percentage point next month, rather than three-quarters of a point.“While the FOMC minutes continue to emphasize the need to contain inflation, there is also an emerging concern the Fed could tighten more than necessary,” said Christopher Low, chief economist at FHN Financial. “There is an inkling of improvement on the supply side of the economy, there is a bit of hope in some product prices moderating, but there is still a great deal of concern about inflation and inflation expectations.”The language used in the minutes echoed what Powell said at the press conference after the July meeting. His comments ignited the move higher in stocks when he suggested that the central bank could transition to smaller rate hikes going forward. Even so, he left the door open to another “unusually large” increase at the next meeting in September, depending on economic data to be published in the interim.A Labor Department report published Aug. 5 -- which showed companies added 528,000 employees to payrolls last month, more than double what forecasters were expecting -- prompted investors to bet on a third straight 75-basis-point hike when the Fed meets Sept. 20-21.At the July meeting, “participants judged that a significant risk facing the committee was that elevated inflation could become entrenched if the public began to question the committee’s resolve to adjust the stance of policy sufficiently,” according to the minutes.But the department’s Aug. 10 readout on consumer prices showed they rose 8.5% in the 12 months through July, down from the 9.1% increase the month before that marked the highest inflation rate since 1981.The softer July inflation figures gave legs to the stock-market rally as previous bets on a big rate hike in September were unwound, and investors are now assigning similar odds to a half-point or a three-quarter-point increase, according to prices of futures contracts tied to the Fed’s benchmark rate.August numbers on jobs and consumer prices are due out before the September meeting.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":412,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":836738649,"gmtCreate":1629521520381,"gmtModify":1676530065232,"author":{"id":"3581853261599921","authorId":"3581853261599921","name":"Jayden86_","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e0a3979b2998dfa9c0fddbce29da3ab9","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581853261599921","idStr":"3581853261599921"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yea","listText":"Yea","text":"Yea","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/836738649","repostId":"1151608193","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1151608193","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1629728324,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1151608193?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2021-08-23 22:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Buy the pullback in chip stocks — and focus on these 6 companies for the long haul","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1151608193","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs.\nISTOCKPHOTO\nIn the rolling correcti","content":"<p><b>The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs.</b></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b24e4a76a5d1cd0ff030cf1b0eeac0f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>ISTOCKPHOTO</span></p>\n<p>In the rolling correction that’s running through the stock market, chip makers have been hit harder than most.</p>\n<p>The iShares Semiconductor ETF&nbsp;is down over 6% from recent highs, compared to declines of 2% or less for the S&amp;P 500,Nasdaq&nbsp;Composite&nbsp;and the Dow Jones Industrial Average.</p>\n<p>Does that make chip stocks a buy? Or is this historically cyclical sector up to its old tricks and headed into a sustained downtrend that will rip your face off.</p>\n<p>A lot depends on your timeline but if you like to own stocks for years rather than rent them for days, the group is a buy. The chief reason: “It’s different this time.”</p>\n<p>Those are admittedly among the scariest words in investing. But the chip sector has changed so much it really is different now – in ways that suggest it is less likely to crush you.</p>\n<p>You’d be a fool to think there are no risks. I’ll go over those. But first, here are the three main reasons why the group is “safer” now – and six names favored by the half-dozen sector experts I’ve talked with over the past several days.</p>\n<p><b>1. The wicked witch of cyclicality is dead</b></p>\n<p>“Demand in the chip sector was always boom and bust, driven by product cycles,” says David Winborne, a portfolio manager at Impax Asset Management. “<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FBNC\">First</a> PCs, then servers, then phones.” But now demand for chips has broadened across the economy so the secular growth story is more predictable, he says.</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">Just</a> look around you. Because of the increased “digitalization” of our lives and work, there’s greater diversity of end market demand from all angles. Think remote office services like <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a>, online shopping, cloud services, electric vehicles, 5G phones, smart factories, big data computing and even washing machines, points out Hendi Susanto, a portfolio manager and tech analyst at Gabelli Funds who is bullish on the group.</p>\n<p>“There is no aspect of the modern digital economy that can function without semiconductors,” says Motley Fool chip sector analyst John Rotonti. “That means more chips going into everything. The long-term demand is there.”</p>\n<p>He’s not kidding. Chip sector revenue will double by 2030 to $1 trillion from $465 billion in 2020, predicts William&nbsp;Blair&nbsp;analyst Greg Scolaro.</p>\n<p>All of this means the widespread supply shortages you’ve been hearing about “likely won’t be cured until sometime late next year,” says <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a> chip sector analyst Vivek Arya. “That’s not just our view, but <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> confirmed by a majority of large customers.”</p>\n<p><b>2. The players have consolidated</b></p>\n<p>All up and down the production chain, from design through the various types of equipment producers to manufacturing, industry players have consolidated down into what Rotonti calls “earned” duopolies or monopolies.</p>\n<p>In chip design software, you have Cadence Design Systems&nbsp;and Synopsys.In production equipment, companies dominate specialized niches like ASML&nbsp;in extreme ultraviolet lithography&nbsp;(EUV). Manufacturing is dominated by Taiwan Semiconductor&nbsp;and Samsung Electronics.</p>\n<p>These companies earned their niche or duopoly status by being the best at what they do. This makes them interesting for investors. The consolidation also means players behave more rationally in terms of pricing and production capacity, says Rotonti.</p>\n<p><b>3. Profitability has improved</b></p>\n<p>This more rational behavior, combined with cost cutting, means profitability is now much higher than it was historically. “The economics of chip making has improved massively over past few years,” says Winbourne. Cash flow or EBITDA margins are often now over 30% whereas a decade ago they were in the 20% range.</p>\n<p>This has implications for valuation. Though chip stocks trade at about a market multiple, they appear cheap because they are better companies, points out Lamar Villere, portfolio manager with Villere &amp; Co. “They are not trading at a frothy multiple.”</p>\n<p><b>The stocks to buy</b></p>\n<p>Here are six names favored by chip experts I recently checked in with.</p>\n<p><b>New management plays</b></p>\n<p>Though Peter Karazeris, a senior equity research analyst at Thrivent, has reasons to be cautious on the group (see below), he singles out two companies whose performance may get a boost because they are under new management: Qualcomm&nbsp;and ON Semiconductor.</p>\n<p>Both have solid profitability. Qualcomm was recently hit by one-off issues like bad weather in Texas that disrupted production, but the company has good exposure to the 5G phone trend. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ON\">ON Semiconductor</a> is expanding beyond phones into new areas like autos, industrial and the Internet of Things connected-device space.</p>\n<p><b>A data center and gaming play</b></p>\n<p>Karazeris also singles out Nvidia,which gets a continuing boost from its exposure to data center and gaming device chip demand — because of its superior design prowess.</p>\n<p><b>Design tool companies</b></p>\n<p>Speaking of design, when companies like Qualcomm and NVIDIA want to design chips, they turn to the design tools supplied by Cadence Design Systems and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNPS\">Synopsys</a>.</p>\n<p>Their software-based design tools help chip innovators create the blueprint for their chips, explains Rotonti at Motley Fool, who singles out these names. “They are not the fastest growers in the world, but they have good profit margins.” They also dominate the space.</p>\n<p><b>An EUV&nbsp;play</b></p>\n<p>To put those blueprints onto silicon in the early stages of chip production, companies like Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung turn to ASML. Its machines use tiny bursts of light to stencil chip designs onto silicon wafers, in a process called extreme ultraviolet lithography. “No one else has figured out how to do it,” says Rotonti.</p>\n<p>In other words, it has a monopoly position in supplying machines that do this – which are necessary for any company that wants to make leading edge chips.</p>\n<p><b>Risks</b></p>\n<p>Here are some of the chief risks for chip sector investors to watch.</p>\n<p><b>Oversupply</b></p>\n<p>Chip production has become politicized. The U.S. wants more production at home so it is not vulnerable to disruptions in Chinese supply chains. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAAS\">China</a> wants to make 70% of the chips it uses by 2025, up from 5% now, says Winborne.</p>\n<p>The upshot here is that there’s lots of government support to boost manufacturing – so there will be much more of it. The risk is oversupply at some point in the future. This might also create a pull forward in chip equipment purchases — leading to a lull down the road which could hurt sales and margin trends at equipment makers.</p>\n<p>Next, big tech companies like Alphabet,Apple&nbsp;and Ammazon.com&nbsp;are all doing their own chip design, which threatens specialized chip companies that do the same thing.</p>\n<p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTM\">Quantum</a> computing</b></p>\n<p>Computers using chip designs based on quantum physics instead of traditional semiconductor architectures have superior performance, points out Scolaro at William Blair. “While it probably won’t become mainstream for at least another five years, quantum computing has the potential to transform everything from technology to healthcare.”</p>\n<p><b>A disturbing signal</b></p>\n<p>A blend of global purchasing managers (PMI) indexes peaked in April and then decelerated for three months. Meanwhile chip sales growth continued. Normally the two follow the same trend, points out Karazeris, who tracks this indicator at Thrivent. He chalks the divergence up to inventory building which is less sustainable than true end-market demand. So, he takes the divergence as a bearish signal for the chip sector.</p>\n<p>Another cautionary sign comes from the forecasted weakness in pricing for dynamic random-access memory&nbsp;(DRAM) chips. “These are typically things you see at tops of cycles not the bottoms,” says Karazeris.</p>\n<p>But it’s also possible the slowdown in the global PMI is more a reflection of chip shortages than a sign that the shortages aren’t real (and are just inventory building). “The divergence doesn’t necessarily mean that chip orders are going to roll over and die. It means chip manufacturing has to catch up,” says Leuthold economist and strategist Jim Paulsen.</p>\n<p>Ford,for example, just announced it had to curtail production because of chip shortages, not a shortfall in underlying demand.</p>\n<p>Paulsen predicts decent economic growth is sustainable because of factors like high savings rates, the rebound in employment and incomes as well as pent-up demand for big ticket items. If he’s right, the continued economic strength would support demand for all the products that use chips – including <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">Ford</a> cars.</p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Buy the pullback in chip stocks — and focus on these 6 companies for the long haul</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBuy the pullback in chip stocks — and focus on these 6 companies for the long haul\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-23 22:18 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/buy-the-pullback-in-chip-stocks-and-focus-on-these-6-companies-for-the-long-haul-11629468380?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs.\nISTOCKPHOTO\nIn the rolling correction that’s running through the stock market, chip makers have been hit harder than most.\nThe iShares ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/buy-the-pullback-in-chip-stocks-and-focus-on-these-6-companies-for-the-long-haul-11629468380?mod=home-page\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GOOGL":"谷歌A","SNPS":"新思科技","QCOM":"高通","TSM":"台积电","SOXX":"iShares费城交易所半导体ETF","SSNLF":"三星电子","CDNS":"铿腾电子","ASML":"阿斯麦","AAPL":"苹果","AMZN":"亚马逊","ON":"安森美半导体","GOOG":"谷歌","NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/buy-the-pullback-in-chip-stocks-and-focus-on-these-6-companies-for-the-long-haul-11629468380?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1151608193","content_text":"The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs.\nISTOCKPHOTO\nIn the rolling correction that’s running through the stock market, chip makers have been hit harder than most.\nThe iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs, compared to declines of 2% or less for the S&P 500,Nasdaq Composite and the Dow Jones Industrial Average.\nDoes that make chip stocks a buy? Or is this historically cyclical sector up to its old tricks and headed into a sustained downtrend that will rip your face off.\nA lot depends on your timeline but if you like to own stocks for years rather than rent them for days, the group is a buy. The chief reason: “It’s different this time.”\nThose are admittedly among the scariest words in investing. But the chip sector has changed so much it really is different now – in ways that suggest it is less likely to crush you.\nYou’d be a fool to think there are no risks. I’ll go over those. But first, here are the three main reasons why the group is “safer” now – and six names favored by the half-dozen sector experts I’ve talked with over the past several days.\n1. The wicked witch of cyclicality is dead\n“Demand in the chip sector was always boom and bust, driven by product cycles,” says David Winborne, a portfolio manager at Impax Asset Management. “First PCs, then servers, then phones.” But now demand for chips has broadened across the economy so the secular growth story is more predictable, he says.\nJust look around you. Because of the increased “digitalization” of our lives and work, there’s greater diversity of end market demand from all angles. Think remote office services like Zoom, online shopping, cloud services, electric vehicles, 5G phones, smart factories, big data computing and even washing machines, points out Hendi Susanto, a portfolio manager and tech analyst at Gabelli Funds who is bullish on the group.\n“There is no aspect of the modern digital economy that can function without semiconductors,” says Motley Fool chip sector analyst John Rotonti. “That means more chips going into everything. The long-term demand is there.”\nHe’s not kidding. Chip sector revenue will double by 2030 to $1 trillion from $465 billion in 2020, predicts William Blair analyst Greg Scolaro.\nAll of this means the widespread supply shortages you’ve been hearing about “likely won’t be cured until sometime late next year,” says Bank of America chip sector analyst Vivek Arya. “That’s not just our view, but one confirmed by a majority of large customers.”\n2. The players have consolidated\nAll up and down the production chain, from design through the various types of equipment producers to manufacturing, industry players have consolidated down into what Rotonti calls “earned” duopolies or monopolies.\nIn chip design software, you have Cadence Design Systems and Synopsys.In production equipment, companies dominate specialized niches like ASML in extreme ultraviolet lithography (EUV). Manufacturing is dominated by Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung Electronics.\nThese companies earned their niche or duopoly status by being the best at what they do. This makes them interesting for investors. The consolidation also means players behave more rationally in terms of pricing and production capacity, says Rotonti.\n3. Profitability has improved\nThis more rational behavior, combined with cost cutting, means profitability is now much higher than it was historically. “The economics of chip making has improved massively over past few years,” says Winbourne. Cash flow or EBITDA margins are often now over 30% whereas a decade ago they were in the 20% range.\nThis has implications for valuation. Though chip stocks trade at about a market multiple, they appear cheap because they are better companies, points out Lamar Villere, portfolio manager with Villere & Co. “They are not trading at a frothy multiple.”\nThe stocks to buy\nHere are six names favored by chip experts I recently checked in with.\nNew management plays\nThough Peter Karazeris, a senior equity research analyst at Thrivent, has reasons to be cautious on the group (see below), he singles out two companies whose performance may get a boost because they are under new management: Qualcomm and ON Semiconductor.\nBoth have solid profitability. Qualcomm was recently hit by one-off issues like bad weather in Texas that disrupted production, but the company has good exposure to the 5G phone trend. ON Semiconductor is expanding beyond phones into new areas like autos, industrial and the Internet of Things connected-device space.\nA data center and gaming play\nKarazeris also singles out Nvidia,which gets a continuing boost from its exposure to data center and gaming device chip demand — because of its superior design prowess.\nDesign tool companies\nSpeaking of design, when companies like Qualcomm and NVIDIA want to design chips, they turn to the design tools supplied by Cadence Design Systems and Synopsys.\nTheir software-based design tools help chip innovators create the blueprint for their chips, explains Rotonti at Motley Fool, who singles out these names. “They are not the fastest growers in the world, but they have good profit margins.” They also dominate the space.\nAn EUV play\nTo put those blueprints onto silicon in the early stages of chip production, companies like Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung turn to ASML. Its machines use tiny bursts of light to stencil chip designs onto silicon wafers, in a process called extreme ultraviolet lithography. “No one else has figured out how to do it,” says Rotonti.\nIn other words, it has a monopoly position in supplying machines that do this – which are necessary for any company that wants to make leading edge chips.\nRisks\nHere are some of the chief risks for chip sector investors to watch.\nOversupply\nChip production has become politicized. The U.S. wants more production at home so it is not vulnerable to disruptions in Chinese supply chains. China wants to make 70% of the chips it uses by 2025, up from 5% now, says Winborne.\nThe upshot here is that there’s lots of government support to boost manufacturing – so there will be much more of it. The risk is oversupply at some point in the future. This might also create a pull forward in chip equipment purchases — leading to a lull down the road which could hurt sales and margin trends at equipment makers.\nNext, big tech companies like Alphabet,Apple and Ammazon.com are all doing their own chip design, which threatens specialized chip companies that do the same thing.\nQuantum computing\nComputers using chip designs based on quantum physics instead of traditional semiconductor architectures have superior performance, points out Scolaro at William Blair. “While it probably won’t become mainstream for at least another five years, quantum computing has the potential to transform everything from technology to healthcare.”\nA disturbing signal\nA blend of global purchasing managers (PMI) indexes peaked in April and then decelerated for three months. Meanwhile chip sales growth continued. Normally the two follow the same trend, points out Karazeris, who tracks this indicator at Thrivent. He chalks the divergence up to inventory building which is less sustainable than true end-market demand. So, he takes the divergence as a bearish signal for the chip sector.\nAnother cautionary sign comes from the forecasted weakness in pricing for dynamic random-access memory (DRAM) chips. “These are typically things you see at tops of cycles not the bottoms,” says Karazeris.\nBut it’s also possible the slowdown in the global PMI is more a reflection of chip shortages than a sign that the shortages aren’t real (and are just inventory building). “The divergence doesn’t necessarily mean that chip orders are going to roll over and die. It means chip manufacturing has to catch up,” says Leuthold economist and strategist Jim Paulsen.\nFord,for example, just announced it had to curtail production because of chip shortages, not a shortfall in underlying demand.\nPaulsen predicts decent economic growth is sustainable because of factors like high savings rates, the rebound in employment and incomes as well as pent-up demand for big ticket items. If he’s right, the continued economic strength would support demand for all the products that use chips – including Ford cars.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":182,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":124748288,"gmtCreate":1624797620544,"gmtModify":1703845272670,"author":{"id":"3581853261599921","authorId":"3581853261599921","name":"Jayden86_","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e0a3979b2998dfa9c0fddbce29da3ab9","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581853261599921","idStr":"3581853261599921"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls help to like and comment&nbsp;","listText":"Pls help to like and comment&nbsp;","text":"Pls help to like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/124748288","repostId":"2146090006","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":134,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":161020730,"gmtCreate":1623897088620,"gmtModify":1703822916304,"author":{"id":"3581853261599921","authorId":"3581853261599921","name":"Jayden86_","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e0a3979b2998dfa9c0fddbce29da3ab9","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581853261599921","idStr":"3581853261599921"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls help to like and comment&nbsp;","listText":"Pls help to like and comment&nbsp;","text":"Pls help to like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/161020730","repostId":"2144713861","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":383,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3581853725647272","authorId":"3581853725647272","name":"JerlinTan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06e97d9d1f6e585d5dc673ff8fcc8386","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3581853725647272","idStr":"3581853725647272"},"content":"Done, pls response","text":"Done, pls response","html":"Done, pls response"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":182510840,"gmtCreate":1623587710880,"gmtModify":1704206650775,"author":{"id":"3581853261599921","authorId":"3581853261599921","name":"Jayden86_","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e0a3979b2998dfa9c0fddbce29da3ab9","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581853261599921","idStr":"3581853261599921"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls help to like and comment&nbsp;","listText":"Pls help to like and comment&nbsp;","text":"Pls help to like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/182510840","repostId":"2142204074","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":297,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":104416105,"gmtCreate":1620402788007,"gmtModify":1704343288751,"author":{"id":"3581853261599921","authorId":"3581853261599921","name":"Jayden86_","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e0a3979b2998dfa9c0fddbce29da3ab9","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581853261599921","idStr":"3581853261599921"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like and comment ?","listText":"Pls like and comment ?","text":"Pls like and comment ?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/104416105","repostId":"1197495100","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":164,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}