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2022-10-24
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@CaptainTiger:[TOPIC] Where & When Will Hang Seng Index Bottom?
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2022-10-12
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2022-10-12
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2022-10-11
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2022-10-10
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2022-10-10
$VENTURE CORPORATION LIMITED(V03.SI)$
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2022-10-10
$DBS GROUP HOLDINGS LTD(D05.SI)$
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2022-10-10
$VENTURE CORPORATION LIMITED(V03.SI)$
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2022-10-09
$VENTURE CORPORATION LIMITED(V03.SI)$
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2022-10-09
$VENTURE CORPORATION LIMITED(V03.SI)$
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2022-10-07
$DBS GROUP HOLDINGS LTD(D05.SI)$
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2022-10-06
$DBS GROUP HOLDINGS LTD(D05.SI)$
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2022-10-05
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2022-10-04
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2022-10-03
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What Investors Need to Know About October's Complicated Stock-Market History
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2022-10-02
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2022-10-01
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2022-09-28
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2022-09-28
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LTD(D05.SI)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1950e0b886446de45136c6ff7beff531","width":"696","height":"1122"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/295405265813760","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":341,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9981778557,"gmtCreate":1666611278779,"gmtModify":1676537777378,"author":{"id":"3582615574866617","authorId":"3582615574866617","name":"Seah199","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed447d3bfaa313aa35a60489b9a109c2","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582615574866617","authorIdStr":"3582615574866617"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"đđ","listText":"đđ","text":"đđ","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9981778557","repostId":"9981465467","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9981465467,"gmtCreate":1666582433759,"gmtModify":1676537771840,"author":{"id":"3527667618000160","authorId":"3527667618000160","name":"CaptainTiger","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d0e54b757b231beb8b11fd49de85317","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667618000160","authorIdStr":"3527667618000160"},"themes":[],"title":"[TOPIC] Where & When Will Hang Seng Index Bottom?","htmlText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HSI\"></a><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/HSI\">$HSI(HSI)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\"></a><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/09988\">$Alibaba(09988)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\"></a><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/00700\">$TENCENT(00700)$</a>Hang Seng slid to a new 13-year low, plunging as much as 5%, and Alibaba Group Holding Ltd & Tencent Holdings Ltd both dropped more than 8% in the morning trading session, 24 Oct. ","listText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HSI\"></a><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/HSI\">$HSI(HSI)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\"></a><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/09988\">$Alibaba(09988)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\"></a><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/00700\">$TENCENT(00700)$</a>Hang Seng slid to a new 13-year low, plunging as much as 5%, and Alibaba Group Holding Ltd & Tencent Holdings Ltd both dropped more than 8% in the morning trading session, 24 Oct. ","text":"$HSI(HSI)$ $Alibaba(09988)$ $TENCENT(00700)$Hang Seng slid to a new 13-year low, plunging as much as 5%, and Alibaba Group Holding Ltd & Tencent Holdings Ltd both dropped more than 8% in the morning trading session, 24 Oct.","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7a4302e15ef87b399ce95b9e8d68805a","width":"1319","height":"739"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9981465467","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":425,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9917243153,"gmtCreate":1665533815372,"gmtModify":1676537621767,"author":{"id":"3582615574866617","authorId":"3582615574866617","name":"Seah199","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed447d3bfaa313aa35a60489b9a109c2","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582615574866617","authorIdStr":"3582615574866617"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SBUX\">$Starbucks(SBUX)$</a>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SBUX\">$Starbucks(SBUX)$</a>","text":"$Starbucks(SBUX)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/99b6579c9cb1b89d78272168680d2e0d","width":"750","height":"1305"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9917243153","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":302,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9917243068,"gmtCreate":1665533768755,"gmtModify":1676537621759,"author":{"id":"3582615574866617","authorId":"3582615574866617","name":"Seah199","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed447d3bfaa313aa35a60489b9a109c2","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582615574866617","authorIdStr":"3582615574866617"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/V03.SI\">$VENTURE CORPORATION LIMITED(V03.SI)$</a>đ","listText":"<a 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LTD(D05.SI)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/07b364e465bc7a547d1a7e923f033b40","width":"828","height":"1632"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9912578626","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":65,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9912345354,"gmtCreate":1664761873078,"gmtModify":1676537503949,"author":{"id":"3582615574866617","authorId":"3582615574866617","name":"Seah199","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed447d3bfaa313aa35a60489b9a109c2","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582615574866617","authorIdStr":"3582615574866617"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"đ","listText":"đ","text":"đ","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9912345354","repostId":"2272691220","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2272691220","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the worldâs most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1664755882,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2272691220?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-03 08:11","market":"us","language":"en","title":"What Investors Need to Know About October's Complicated Stock-Market History","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2272691220","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"While September lived up to its reputation as a brutal month for stocks, October tends to be a \"bear-market killer,\" associated with historically strong returns, especially in midterm election years.O","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>While September lived up to its reputation as a brutal month for stocks, October tends to be a "bear-market killer," associated with historically strong returns, especially in midterm election years.</p><p>October, however, is also associated with historic market plunges. And skeptics are warning investors that negative economic fundamentals could overwhelm seasonal trends as what's traditionally the roughest period for equities comes to an end.</p><h2>Rough stretch</h2><p>U.S. stocks ended sharply lower on Friday, posting their worst skid in the first nine months of any year in two decades. The S&P 500 recorded a monthly loss of 9.3%, its worst September performance since 2002. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 8.8%, while the Nasdaq Composite on Friday pushed its total monthly loss to 10.5%, according to Dow Jones Market Data.</p><p>The indexes had booked modest gains in the first half of the month after investors fully priced in a large interest-rate hike at the FOMC meeting late September as August's inflation data showed little sign of easing price pressures. However, the central bank's more-hawkish-than-expected stance caused stocks to give up all those early September gains. The Dow entered its first bear market since March 2020 in the last week of the month, while the benchmark S&P slid to another 2022 low.</p><h2>Bear markets and midterms</h2><p>October's track record may offer some comfort as it has been a turnaround month, or a "bear killer," according to the data from Stock Trader's Almanac.</p><p>"Twelve post-WWII bear markets have ended in October: 1946, 1957, 1960, 1962, 1966, 1974, 1987, 1990, 1998, 2001, 2002 and 2011 (S&P 500 declined 19.4%)," wrote Jeff Hirsch, editor of the Stock Trader's Almanac, in a note on Thursday. "Seven of these years were midterm bottoms."</p><p>Of course 2022 is also a midterm election year, with congressional elections coming up on Nov. 8.</p><p>According to Hirsch, Octobers in the midterm election years are "downright stellar" and usually where the "sweet spot" of the four-year presidential election cycle begins (see chart below).</p><p>"The fourth quarter of the midterm years combines with the first and second quarters of the pre-election years for the best three consecutive quarter span for the market, averaging 19.3% for the DJIA and 20.0% for the S&P 500 (since 1949), and an amazing 29.3% for NASDAQ (since 1971)," wrote Hirsch.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e12b4543bc89bc89d7601f09694c8c4\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"336\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><h2>'Atypical period'</h2><p>Skeptics aren't convinced the pattern will hold true this October. Ralph Bassett, head of investments at Abrdn, an asset-management firm based in Scotland, said these dynamics could only play out in "more normalized years."</p><p>"This is just such an atypical period for so many reasons," Bassett told MarketWatch in a phone interview on Thursday. "A lot of mutual funds have their fiscal year-end in October, so there tends to be a lot of buying and selling to manage tax losses. That's kind of something that we're going through and you have to be very sensitive to how you manage all of that."</p><p>An old Wall Street adage, "Sell in May and go away," refers to the market's historical underperformance during the six-month period from May to October. Stock Trader's Almanac, which is credited with coining the saying, found investing in stocks from November to April and switching into fixed income the other six months would have "produced reliable returns with reduced risk since 1950."</p><p>Strategists at Stifel, a wealth-management firm, contend the S&P 500, which has fallen more than 23% from its Jan. 3 record finish, is in a bottoming process. They see positive catalysts between the fourth quarter of 2022 and the start of 2023 as Fed policy plus S&P 500 negative seasonality are headwinds that should subside by then.</p><p>"Monetary policy works with a six-month lag, and between the [Nov. 2] and [Dec. 14] final two Fed meetings of 2022, we do see subtle movement toward a data-dependent Fed pause which would bullishly allow investors to focus on (improving) inflation data rather than policy," wrote strategists led by Barry Bannister, chief equity strategist, in a recent note. "This could reinforce positive market seasonality, which is historically strong for the S&P 500 from November to April."</p><h2>October crashes</h2><p>Seasonal trends, however, aren't written in stone. Dow Jones Market Data found the S&P 500 recorded positive returns between May and October in the past six years (see chart below).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ec700aa8aea3c05bd353dadb6dc79d9f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"394\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Anthony Saglimbene, chief markets strategist at Ameriprise Financial, said there are periods in history where October could evoke fear on Wall Street as some large historical market crashes, including those in 1987 and 1929, occurred during the month. The S&P 500 plunged nearly 17% in October 2008 after the implosion of Lehman Brothers, following a 9.1% fall in September.</p><p>"I think that any years where you've had a very difficult year for stocks, seasonality should discount it, because there are some other macro forces [that are] pushing on stocks, and you need to see more clarity on those macro forces that are pushing stocks down," Saglimbene told MarketWatch on Friday. "Frankly, I don't think we're going to see a lot of visibility at least over the next few months."</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What Investors Need to Know About October's Complicated Stock-Market History</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat Investors Need to Know About October's Complicated Stock-Market History\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-10-03 08:11</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>While September lived up to its reputation as a brutal month for stocks, October tends to be a "bear-market killer," associated with historically strong returns, especially in midterm election years.</p><p>October, however, is also associated with historic market plunges. And skeptics are warning investors that negative economic fundamentals could overwhelm seasonal trends as what's traditionally the roughest period for equities comes to an end.</p><h2>Rough stretch</h2><p>U.S. stocks ended sharply lower on Friday, posting their worst skid in the first nine months of any year in two decades. The S&P 500 recorded a monthly loss of 9.3%, its worst September performance since 2002. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 8.8%, while the Nasdaq Composite on Friday pushed its total monthly loss to 10.5%, according to Dow Jones Market Data.</p><p>The indexes had booked modest gains in the first half of the month after investors fully priced in a large interest-rate hike at the FOMC meeting late September as August's inflation data showed little sign of easing price pressures. However, the central bank's more-hawkish-than-expected stance caused stocks to give up all those early September gains. The Dow entered its first bear market since March 2020 in the last week of the month, while the benchmark S&P slid to another 2022 low.</p><h2>Bear markets and midterms</h2><p>October's track record may offer some comfort as it has been a turnaround month, or a "bear killer," according to the data from Stock Trader's Almanac.</p><p>"Twelve post-WWII bear markets have ended in October: 1946, 1957, 1960, 1962, 1966, 1974, 1987, 1990, 1998, 2001, 2002 and 2011 (S&P 500 declined 19.4%)," wrote Jeff Hirsch, editor of the Stock Trader's Almanac, in a note on Thursday. "Seven of these years were midterm bottoms."</p><p>Of course 2022 is also a midterm election year, with congressional elections coming up on Nov. 8.</p><p>According to Hirsch, Octobers in the midterm election years are "downright stellar" and usually where the "sweet spot" of the four-year presidential election cycle begins (see chart below).</p><p>"The fourth quarter of the midterm years combines with the first and second quarters of the pre-election years for the best three consecutive quarter span for the market, averaging 19.3% for the DJIA and 20.0% for the S&P 500 (since 1949), and an amazing 29.3% for NASDAQ (since 1971)," wrote Hirsch.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e12b4543bc89bc89d7601f09694c8c4\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"336\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><h2>'Atypical period'</h2><p>Skeptics aren't convinced the pattern will hold true this October. Ralph Bassett, head of investments at Abrdn, an asset-management firm based in Scotland, said these dynamics could only play out in "more normalized years."</p><p>"This is just such an atypical period for so many reasons," Bassett told MarketWatch in a phone interview on Thursday. "A lot of mutual funds have their fiscal year-end in October, so there tends to be a lot of buying and selling to manage tax losses. That's kind of something that we're going through and you have to be very sensitive to how you manage all of that."</p><p>An old Wall Street adage, "Sell in May and go away," refers to the market's historical underperformance during the six-month period from May to October. Stock Trader's Almanac, which is credited with coining the saying, found investing in stocks from November to April and switching into fixed income the other six months would have "produced reliable returns with reduced risk since 1950."</p><p>Strategists at Stifel, a wealth-management firm, contend the S&P 500, which has fallen more than 23% from its Jan. 3 record finish, is in a bottoming process. They see positive catalysts between the fourth quarter of 2022 and the start of 2023 as Fed policy plus S&P 500 negative seasonality are headwinds that should subside by then.</p><p>"Monetary policy works with a six-month lag, and between the [Nov. 2] and [Dec. 14] final two Fed meetings of 2022, we do see subtle movement toward a data-dependent Fed pause which would bullishly allow investors to focus on (improving) inflation data rather than policy," wrote strategists led by Barry Bannister, chief equity strategist, in a recent note. "This could reinforce positive market seasonality, which is historically strong for the S&P 500 from November to April."</p><h2>October crashes</h2><p>Seasonal trends, however, aren't written in stone. Dow Jones Market Data found the S&P 500 recorded positive returns between May and October in the past six years (see chart below).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ec700aa8aea3c05bd353dadb6dc79d9f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"394\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Anthony Saglimbene, chief markets strategist at Ameriprise Financial, said there are periods in history where October could evoke fear on Wall Street as some large historical market crashes, including those in 1987 and 1929, occurred during the month. The S&P 500 plunged nearly 17% in October 2008 after the implosion of Lehman Brothers, following a 9.1% fall in September.</p><p>"I think that any years where you've had a very difficult year for stocks, seasonality should discount it, because there are some other macro forces [that are] pushing on stocks, and you need to see more clarity on those macro forces that are pushing stocks down," Saglimbene told MarketWatch on Friday. "Frankly, I don't think we're going to see a lot of visibility at least over the next few months."</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"ć ćŽ500","513500":"ć ćŽ500ETF","SPXU":"ä¸ĺĺ犺ć ćŽ500ETF","OEF":"ć ćŽ100ćć°ETF-iShares","SDOW":"éćä¸ĺĺ犺ETF-ProShares","SPY":"ć ćŽ500ETF","BK4559":"塴č˛çšćäť","SDS":"两ĺĺ犺ć ćŽ500ETF","BK4550":"红ćčľćŹćäť","DXD":"éć两ĺĺ犺ETF",".DJI":"éçźćŻ","DDM":"éć两ĺĺĺ¤ETF","OEX":"ć ćŽ100",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","BK4581":"éŤçćäť","BK4504":"楼水ćäť","SH":"ć ćŽ500ĺĺETF","IVV":"ć ćŽ500ćć°ETF","DOG":"éćĺĺETF","DJX":"1/100éçźćŻ","BK4534":"ç壍俥贡ćäť","SSO":"两ĺĺĺ¤ć ćŽ500ETF","UDOW":"éćä¸ĺĺĺ¤ETF-ProShares","UPRO":"ä¸ĺĺĺ¤ć ćŽ500ETF"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2272691220","content_text":"While September lived up to its reputation as a brutal month for stocks, October tends to be a \"bear-market killer,\" associated with historically strong returns, especially in midterm election years.October, however, is also associated with historic market plunges. And skeptics are warning investors that negative economic fundamentals could overwhelm seasonal trends as what's traditionally the roughest period for equities comes to an end.Rough stretchU.S. stocks ended sharply lower on Friday, posting their worst skid in the first nine months of any year in two decades. The S&P 500 recorded a monthly loss of 9.3%, its worst September performance since 2002. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 8.8%, while the Nasdaq Composite on Friday pushed its total monthly loss to 10.5%, according to Dow Jones Market Data.The indexes had booked modest gains in the first half of the month after investors fully priced in a large interest-rate hike at the FOMC meeting late September as August's inflation data showed little sign of easing price pressures. However, the central bank's more-hawkish-than-expected stance caused stocks to give up all those early September gains. The Dow entered its first bear market since March 2020 in the last week of the month, while the benchmark S&P slid to another 2022 low.Bear markets and midtermsOctober's track record may offer some comfort as it has been a turnaround month, or a \"bear killer,\" according to the data from Stock Trader's Almanac.\"Twelve post-WWII bear markets have ended in October: 1946, 1957, 1960, 1962, 1966, 1974, 1987, 1990, 1998, 2001, 2002 and 2011 (S&P 500 declined 19.4%),\" wrote Jeff Hirsch, editor of the Stock Trader's Almanac, in a note on Thursday. \"Seven of these years were midterm bottoms.\"Of course 2022 is also a midterm election year, with congressional elections coming up on Nov. 8.According to Hirsch, Octobers in the midterm election years are \"downright stellar\" and usually where the \"sweet spot\" of the four-year presidential election cycle begins (see chart below).\"The fourth quarter of the midterm years combines with the first and second quarters of the pre-election years for the best three consecutive quarter span for the market, averaging 19.3% for the DJIA and 20.0% for the S&P 500 (since 1949), and an amazing 29.3% for NASDAQ (since 1971),\" wrote Hirsch.'Atypical period'Skeptics aren't convinced the pattern will hold true this October. Ralph Bassett, head of investments at Abrdn, an asset-management firm based in Scotland, said these dynamics could only play out in \"more normalized years.\"\"This is just such an atypical period for so many reasons,\" Bassett told MarketWatch in a phone interview on Thursday. \"A lot of mutual funds have their fiscal year-end in October, so there tends to be a lot of buying and selling to manage tax losses. That's kind of something that we're going through and you have to be very sensitive to how you manage all of that.\"An old Wall Street adage, \"Sell in May and go away,\" refers to the market's historical underperformance during the six-month period from May to October. Stock Trader's Almanac, which is credited with coining the saying, found investing in stocks from November to April and switching into fixed income the other six months would have \"produced reliable returns with reduced risk since 1950.\"Strategists at Stifel, a wealth-management firm, contend the S&P 500, which has fallen more than 23% from its Jan. 3 record finish, is in a bottoming process. They see positive catalysts between the fourth quarter of 2022 and the start of 2023 as Fed policy plus S&P 500 negative seasonality are headwinds that should subside by then.\"Monetary policy works with a six-month lag, and between the [Nov. 2] and [Dec. 14] final two Fed meetings of 2022, we do see subtle movement toward a data-dependent Fed pause which would bullishly allow investors to focus on (improving) inflation data rather than policy,\" wrote strategists led by Barry Bannister, chief equity strategist, in a recent note. \"This could reinforce positive market seasonality, which is historically strong for the S&P 500 from November to April.\"October crashesSeasonal trends, however, aren't written in stone. Dow Jones Market Data found the S&P 500 recorded positive returns between May and October in the past six years (see chart below).Anthony Saglimbene, chief markets strategist at Ameriprise Financial, said there are periods in history where October could evoke fear on Wall Street as some large historical market crashes, including those in 1987 and 1929, occurred during the month. The S&P 500 plunged nearly 17% in October 2008 after the implosion of Lehman Brothers, following a 9.1% fall in September.\"I think that any years where you've had a very difficult year for stocks, seasonality should discount it, because there are some other macro forces [that are] pushing on stocks, and you need to see more clarity on those macro forces that are pushing stocks down,\" Saglimbene told MarketWatch on Friday. \"Frankly, I don't think we're going to see a lot of visibility at least over the next few months.\"","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":74,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9916765487,"gmtCreate":1664682133349,"gmtModify":1676537493836,"author":{"id":"3582615574866617","authorId":"3582615574866617","name":"Seah199","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed447d3bfaa313aa35a60489b9a109c2","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582615574866617","authorIdStr":"3582615574866617"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/D05.SI\">$DBS GROUP HOLDINGS LTD(D05.SI)$</a>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/D05.SI\">$DBS GROUP HOLDINGS LTD(D05.SI)$</a>","text":"$DBS GROUP HOLDINGS 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sign","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/150781423","repostId":"2147837316","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2147837316","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1624921533,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2147837316?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-29 07:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tech stock rally sends S&P and Nasdaq to record highs","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2147837316","media":"Reuters","summary":" - The Nasdaq and S&P 500 hit all-time highs on Monday, fueled by tech stocks as investors expect a robust earnings season while interest rates remain low.Big tech companies including Facebook Inc, Netflix Inc, Twitter Inc and Nvidia Corp were among the biggest boosts to the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq.The S&P 500 continued its recent momentum after paring some earlier losses, recording its third record high in a row, after logging its best weekly performance in 20 weeks last Friday.In contrast, cycl","content":"<p>(Reuters) - The Nasdaq and S&P 500 hit all-time highs on Monday, fueled by tech stocks as investors expect a robust earnings season while interest rates remain low.</p>\n<p>Big tech companies including Facebook Inc, Netflix Inc, Twitter Inc and Nvidia Corp were among the biggest boosts to the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq.</p>\n<p>The S&P 500 continued its recent momentum after paring some earlier losses, recording its third record high in a row, after logging its best weekly performance in 20 weeks last Friday.</p>\n<p>In contrast, cyclical sectors dropped sharply amid fears over a spike in COVID-19 cases across Asia. Financials and energy posted the biggest sectoral loss on S&P 500, down by 0.81% and 3.33%, respectively.</p>\n<p>âItâs end of the quarter and investors may want to take some profits and rotate out of energy and stick with tech,â said Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA Research in New York.</p>\n<p>Stovall expects stocks should continue their near-term climb as investors await the new earnings season, in which year-over-year earnings growth of S&P 500 companies is expected to top 60%.</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 150.57 points, or 0.44%, to close at 34,283.27. The S&P 500 pared earlier losses and advanced from Fridayâs record high by gaining 9.91 points, or 0.23%, to 4,290.61. The Nasdaq Composite added 140.12 points, or 0.98%, to 14,500.51.</p>\n<p>Both the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq hit a series of record highs last week. the tech-heavy Nasdaqâs 5% gain in June is outpacing its peers as investors pile back in to tech-oriented growth stocks on diminishing worries about runaway inflation.</p>\n<p>âWe believe with the Fed putting a realistic goal post, investors now have much more of a risk-on mentality going into the second half of the year. A lot of these tech names have underperformed, while fundamentals were very robust going into the June quarter,â said Wedbush Securities analyst Daniel Ives, who expects the Nasdaq to hit 16,000 by year-end.</p>\n<p>Facebook jumped over 4% as a U.S. judge granted the companyâs motion to dismiss a Federal Trade Commission lawsuit. The social media giant finished Monday with over $1 trillion in market capitalization.</p>\n<p>On the Nasdaq 100, the largest gainer was Nvidia Corp, which rose 5.0% after major chip makers Broadcom Inc, Marvell and Taiwan-based MediaTek endorsed its $40 billion deal to buy UK chip designer Arm.</p>\n<p>With the S&P 500 up almost 14% as the first half of 2021 draws to a close, activity in some areas of the market indicates concern over potential volatility, with some investors suggesting the market may be overdue for a significant pullback.</p>\n<p>On the economic front, investor attention will be focused on consumer confidence data, a private jobs report and a crucial monthly employment report due later this week. Quarterly results from Micron Technology Inc and Walgreens Boots Alliance are also slated for this week.</p>\n<p>Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.38-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.09-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p>\n<p>The S&P 500 posted 36 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 100 new highs and 31 new lows.</p>\n<p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.55 billion shares, compared with the 11.17 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tech stock rally sends S&P and Nasdaq to record highs</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTech stock rally sends S&P and Nasdaq to record highs\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-06-29 07:05</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Reuters) - The Nasdaq and S&P 500 hit all-time highs on Monday, fueled by tech stocks as investors expect a robust earnings season while interest rates remain low.</p>\n<p>Big tech companies including Facebook Inc, Netflix Inc, Twitter Inc and Nvidia Corp were among the biggest boosts to the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq.</p>\n<p>The S&P 500 continued its recent momentum after paring some earlier losses, recording its third record high in a row, after logging its best weekly performance in 20 weeks last Friday.</p>\n<p>In contrast, cyclical sectors dropped sharply amid fears over a spike in COVID-19 cases across Asia. Financials and energy posted the biggest sectoral loss on S&P 500, down by 0.81% and 3.33%, respectively.</p>\n<p>âItâs end of the quarter and investors may want to take some profits and rotate out of energy and stick with tech,â said Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA Research in New York.</p>\n<p>Stovall expects stocks should continue their near-term climb as investors await the new earnings season, in which year-over-year earnings growth of S&P 500 companies is expected to top 60%.</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 150.57 points, or 0.44%, to close at 34,283.27. The S&P 500 pared earlier losses and advanced from Fridayâs record high by gaining 9.91 points, or 0.23%, to 4,290.61. The Nasdaq Composite added 140.12 points, or 0.98%, to 14,500.51.</p>\n<p>Both the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq hit a series of record highs last week. the tech-heavy Nasdaqâs 5% gain in June is outpacing its peers as investors pile back in to tech-oriented growth stocks on diminishing worries about runaway inflation.</p>\n<p>âWe believe with the Fed putting a realistic goal post, investors now have much more of a risk-on mentality going into the second half of the year. A lot of these tech names have underperformed, while fundamentals were very robust going into the June quarter,â said Wedbush Securities analyst Daniel Ives, who expects the Nasdaq to hit 16,000 by year-end.</p>\n<p>Facebook jumped over 4% as a U.S. judge granted the companyâs motion to dismiss a Federal Trade Commission lawsuit. The social media giant finished Monday with over $1 trillion in market capitalization.</p>\n<p>On the Nasdaq 100, the largest gainer was Nvidia Corp, which rose 5.0% after major chip makers Broadcom Inc, Marvell and Taiwan-based MediaTek endorsed its $40 billion deal to buy UK chip designer Arm.</p>\n<p>With the S&P 500 up almost 14% as the first half of 2021 draws to a close, activity in some areas of the market indicates concern over potential volatility, with some investors suggesting the market may be overdue for a significant pullback.</p>\n<p>On the economic front, investor attention will be focused on consumer confidence data, a private jobs report and a crucial monthly employment report due later this week. Quarterly results from Micron Technology Inc and Walgreens Boots Alliance are also slated for this week.</p>\n<p>Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.38-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.09-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p>\n<p>The S&P 500 posted 36 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 100 new highs and 31 new lows.</p>\n<p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.55 billion shares, compared with the 11.17 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"čąäźčžž","MU":"çžĺ ç§ć","SQQQ":"çşłćä¸ĺĺ犺ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","TWTR":"Twitter","NFLX":"ĺĽéŁ","QQQ":"çşłć100ETF","PSQ":"çşłćĺĺETF","QID":"çşłć两ĺĺ犺ETF","QLD":"çşłć两ĺĺĺ¤ETF","NDAQ":"çşłćŻčžžĺ OMX交ćć","TQQQ":"çşłćä¸ĺĺĺ¤ETF",".DJI":"éçźćŻ","WBA":"ć˛ĺ°ć źćčĺĺ姿",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2147837316","content_text":"(Reuters) - The Nasdaq and S&P 500 hit all-time highs on Monday, fueled by tech stocks as investors expect a robust earnings season while interest rates remain low.\nBig tech companies including Facebook Inc, Netflix Inc, Twitter Inc and Nvidia Corp were among the biggest boosts to the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq.\nThe S&P 500 continued its recent momentum after paring some earlier losses, recording its third record high in a row, after logging its best weekly performance in 20 weeks last Friday.\nIn contrast, cyclical sectors dropped sharply amid fears over a spike in COVID-19 cases across Asia. Financials and energy posted the biggest sectoral loss on S&P 500, down by 0.81% and 3.33%, respectively.\nâItâs end of the quarter and investors may want to take some profits and rotate out of energy and stick with tech,â said Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA Research in New York.\nStovall expects stocks should continue their near-term climb as investors await the new earnings season, in which year-over-year earnings growth of S&P 500 companies is expected to top 60%.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 150.57 points, or 0.44%, to close at 34,283.27. The S&P 500 pared earlier losses and advanced from Fridayâs record high by gaining 9.91 points, or 0.23%, to 4,290.61. The Nasdaq Composite added 140.12 points, or 0.98%, to 14,500.51.\nBoth the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq hit a series of record highs last week. the tech-heavy Nasdaqâs 5% gain in June is outpacing its peers as investors pile back in to tech-oriented growth stocks on diminishing worries about runaway inflation.\nâWe believe with the Fed putting a realistic goal post, investors now have much more of a risk-on mentality going into the second half of the year. A lot of these tech names have underperformed, while fundamentals were very robust going into the June quarter,â said Wedbush Securities analyst Daniel Ives, who expects the Nasdaq to hit 16,000 by year-end.\nFacebook jumped over 4% as a U.S. judge granted the companyâs motion to dismiss a Federal Trade Commission lawsuit. The social media giant finished Monday with over $1 trillion in market capitalization.\nOn the Nasdaq 100, the largest gainer was Nvidia Corp, which rose 5.0% after major chip makers Broadcom Inc, Marvell and Taiwan-based MediaTek endorsed its $40 billion deal to buy UK chip designer Arm.\nWith the S&P 500 up almost 14% as the first half of 2021 draws to a close, activity in some areas of the market indicates concern over potential volatility, with some investors suggesting the market may be overdue for a significant pullback.\nOn the economic front, investor attention will be focused on consumer confidence data, a private jobs report and a crucial monthly employment report due later this week. Quarterly results from Micron Technology Inc and Walgreens Boots Alliance are also slated for this week.\nDeclining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.38-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.09-to-1 ratio favored decliners.\nThe S&P 500 posted 36 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 100 new highs and 31 new lows.\nVolume on U.S. exchanges was 9.55 billion shares, compared with the 11.17 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":50,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9912345354,"gmtCreate":1664761873078,"gmtModify":1676537503949,"author":{"id":"3582615574866617","authorId":"3582615574866617","name":"Seah199","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed447d3bfaa313aa35a60489b9a109c2","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582615574866617","authorIdStr":"3582615574866617"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"đ","listText":"đ","text":"đ","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9912345354","repostId":"2272691220","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2272691220","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the worldâs most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1664755882,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2272691220?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-03 08:11","market":"us","language":"en","title":"What Investors Need to Know About October's Complicated Stock-Market History","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2272691220","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"While September lived up to its reputation as a brutal month for stocks, October tends to be a \"bear-market killer,\" associated with historically strong returns, especially in midterm election years.O","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>While September lived up to its reputation as a brutal month for stocks, October tends to be a "bear-market killer," associated with historically strong returns, especially in midterm election years.</p><p>October, however, is also associated with historic market plunges. And skeptics are warning investors that negative economic fundamentals could overwhelm seasonal trends as what's traditionally the roughest period for equities comes to an end.</p><h2>Rough stretch</h2><p>U.S. stocks ended sharply lower on Friday, posting their worst skid in the first nine months of any year in two decades. The S&P 500 recorded a monthly loss of 9.3%, its worst September performance since 2002. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 8.8%, while the Nasdaq Composite on Friday pushed its total monthly loss to 10.5%, according to Dow Jones Market Data.</p><p>The indexes had booked modest gains in the first half of the month after investors fully priced in a large interest-rate hike at the FOMC meeting late September as August's inflation data showed little sign of easing price pressures. However, the central bank's more-hawkish-than-expected stance caused stocks to give up all those early September gains. The Dow entered its first bear market since March 2020 in the last week of the month, while the benchmark S&P slid to another 2022 low.</p><h2>Bear markets and midterms</h2><p>October's track record may offer some comfort as it has been a turnaround month, or a "bear killer," according to the data from Stock Trader's Almanac.</p><p>"Twelve post-WWII bear markets have ended in October: 1946, 1957, 1960, 1962, 1966, 1974, 1987, 1990, 1998, 2001, 2002 and 2011 (S&P 500 declined 19.4%)," wrote Jeff Hirsch, editor of the Stock Trader's Almanac, in a note on Thursday. "Seven of these years were midterm bottoms."</p><p>Of course 2022 is also a midterm election year, with congressional elections coming up on Nov. 8.</p><p>According to Hirsch, Octobers in the midterm election years are "downright stellar" and usually where the "sweet spot" of the four-year presidential election cycle begins (see chart below).</p><p>"The fourth quarter of the midterm years combines with the first and second quarters of the pre-election years for the best three consecutive quarter span for the market, averaging 19.3% for the DJIA and 20.0% for the S&P 500 (since 1949), and an amazing 29.3% for NASDAQ (since 1971)," wrote Hirsch.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e12b4543bc89bc89d7601f09694c8c4\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"336\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><h2>'Atypical period'</h2><p>Skeptics aren't convinced the pattern will hold true this October. Ralph Bassett, head of investments at Abrdn, an asset-management firm based in Scotland, said these dynamics could only play out in "more normalized years."</p><p>"This is just such an atypical period for so many reasons," Bassett told MarketWatch in a phone interview on Thursday. "A lot of mutual funds have their fiscal year-end in October, so there tends to be a lot of buying and selling to manage tax losses. That's kind of something that we're going through and you have to be very sensitive to how you manage all of that."</p><p>An old Wall Street adage, "Sell in May and go away," refers to the market's historical underperformance during the six-month period from May to October. Stock Trader's Almanac, which is credited with coining the saying, found investing in stocks from November to April and switching into fixed income the other six months would have "produced reliable returns with reduced risk since 1950."</p><p>Strategists at Stifel, a wealth-management firm, contend the S&P 500, which has fallen more than 23% from its Jan. 3 record finish, is in a bottoming process. They see positive catalysts between the fourth quarter of 2022 and the start of 2023 as Fed policy plus S&P 500 negative seasonality are headwinds that should subside by then.</p><p>"Monetary policy works with a six-month lag, and between the [Nov. 2] and [Dec. 14] final two Fed meetings of 2022, we do see subtle movement toward a data-dependent Fed pause which would bullishly allow investors to focus on (improving) inflation data rather than policy," wrote strategists led by Barry Bannister, chief equity strategist, in a recent note. "This could reinforce positive market seasonality, which is historically strong for the S&P 500 from November to April."</p><h2>October crashes</h2><p>Seasonal trends, however, aren't written in stone. Dow Jones Market Data found the S&P 500 recorded positive returns between May and October in the past six years (see chart below).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ec700aa8aea3c05bd353dadb6dc79d9f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"394\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Anthony Saglimbene, chief markets strategist at Ameriprise Financial, said there are periods in history where October could evoke fear on Wall Street as some large historical market crashes, including those in 1987 and 1929, occurred during the month. The S&P 500 plunged nearly 17% in October 2008 after the implosion of Lehman Brothers, following a 9.1% fall in September.</p><p>"I think that any years where you've had a very difficult year for stocks, seasonality should discount it, because there are some other macro forces [that are] pushing on stocks, and you need to see more clarity on those macro forces that are pushing stocks down," Saglimbene told MarketWatch on Friday. "Frankly, I don't think we're going to see a lot of visibility at least over the next few months."</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What Investors Need to Know About October's Complicated Stock-Market History</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat Investors Need to Know About October's Complicated Stock-Market History\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-10-03 08:11</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>While September lived up to its reputation as a brutal month for stocks, October tends to be a "bear-market killer," associated with historically strong returns, especially in midterm election years.</p><p>October, however, is also associated with historic market plunges. And skeptics are warning investors that negative economic fundamentals could overwhelm seasonal trends as what's traditionally the roughest period for equities comes to an end.</p><h2>Rough stretch</h2><p>U.S. stocks ended sharply lower on Friday, posting their worst skid in the first nine months of any year in two decades. The S&P 500 recorded a monthly loss of 9.3%, its worst September performance since 2002. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 8.8%, while the Nasdaq Composite on Friday pushed its total monthly loss to 10.5%, according to Dow Jones Market Data.</p><p>The indexes had booked modest gains in the first half of the month after investors fully priced in a large interest-rate hike at the FOMC meeting late September as August's inflation data showed little sign of easing price pressures. However, the central bank's more-hawkish-than-expected stance caused stocks to give up all those early September gains. The Dow entered its first bear market since March 2020 in the last week of the month, while the benchmark S&P slid to another 2022 low.</p><h2>Bear markets and midterms</h2><p>October's track record may offer some comfort as it has been a turnaround month, or a "bear killer," according to the data from Stock Trader's Almanac.</p><p>"Twelve post-WWII bear markets have ended in October: 1946, 1957, 1960, 1962, 1966, 1974, 1987, 1990, 1998, 2001, 2002 and 2011 (S&P 500 declined 19.4%)," wrote Jeff Hirsch, editor of the Stock Trader's Almanac, in a note on Thursday. "Seven of these years were midterm bottoms."</p><p>Of course 2022 is also a midterm election year, with congressional elections coming up on Nov. 8.</p><p>According to Hirsch, Octobers in the midterm election years are "downright stellar" and usually where the "sweet spot" of the four-year presidential election cycle begins (see chart below).</p><p>"The fourth quarter of the midterm years combines with the first and second quarters of the pre-election years for the best three consecutive quarter span for the market, averaging 19.3% for the DJIA and 20.0% for the S&P 500 (since 1949), and an amazing 29.3% for NASDAQ (since 1971)," wrote Hirsch.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e12b4543bc89bc89d7601f09694c8c4\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"336\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><h2>'Atypical period'</h2><p>Skeptics aren't convinced the pattern will hold true this October. Ralph Bassett, head of investments at Abrdn, an asset-management firm based in Scotland, said these dynamics could only play out in "more normalized years."</p><p>"This is just such an atypical period for so many reasons," Bassett told MarketWatch in a phone interview on Thursday. "A lot of mutual funds have their fiscal year-end in October, so there tends to be a lot of buying and selling to manage tax losses. That's kind of something that we're going through and you have to be very sensitive to how you manage all of that."</p><p>An old Wall Street adage, "Sell in May and go away," refers to the market's historical underperformance during the six-month period from May to October. Stock Trader's Almanac, which is credited with coining the saying, found investing in stocks from November to April and switching into fixed income the other six months would have "produced reliable returns with reduced risk since 1950."</p><p>Strategists at Stifel, a wealth-management firm, contend the S&P 500, which has fallen more than 23% from its Jan. 3 record finish, is in a bottoming process. They see positive catalysts between the fourth quarter of 2022 and the start of 2023 as Fed policy plus S&P 500 negative seasonality are headwinds that should subside by then.</p><p>"Monetary policy works with a six-month lag, and between the [Nov. 2] and [Dec. 14] final two Fed meetings of 2022, we do see subtle movement toward a data-dependent Fed pause which would bullishly allow investors to focus on (improving) inflation data rather than policy," wrote strategists led by Barry Bannister, chief equity strategist, in a recent note. "This could reinforce positive market seasonality, which is historically strong for the S&P 500 from November to April."</p><h2>October crashes</h2><p>Seasonal trends, however, aren't written in stone. Dow Jones Market Data found the S&P 500 recorded positive returns between May and October in the past six years (see chart below).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ec700aa8aea3c05bd353dadb6dc79d9f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"394\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Anthony Saglimbene, chief markets strategist at Ameriprise Financial, said there are periods in history where October could evoke fear on Wall Street as some large historical market crashes, including those in 1987 and 1929, occurred during the month. The S&P 500 plunged nearly 17% in October 2008 after the implosion of Lehman Brothers, following a 9.1% fall in September.</p><p>"I think that any years where you've had a very difficult year for stocks, seasonality should discount it, because there are some other macro forces [that are] pushing on stocks, and you need to see more clarity on those macro forces that are pushing stocks down," Saglimbene told MarketWatch on Friday. "Frankly, I don't think we're going to see a lot of visibility at least over the next few months."</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"ć ćŽ500","513500":"ć ćŽ500ETF","SPXU":"ä¸ĺĺ犺ć ćŽ500ETF","OEF":"ć ćŽ100ćć°ETF-iShares","SDOW":"éćä¸ĺĺ犺ETF-ProShares","SPY":"ć ćŽ500ETF","BK4559":"塴č˛çšćäť","SDS":"两ĺĺ犺ć ćŽ500ETF","BK4550":"红ćčľćŹćäť","DXD":"éć两ĺĺ犺ETF",".DJI":"éçźćŻ","DDM":"éć两ĺĺĺ¤ETF","OEX":"ć ćŽ100",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","BK4581":"éŤçćäť","BK4504":"楼水ćäť","SH":"ć ćŽ500ĺĺETF","IVV":"ć ćŽ500ćć°ETF","DOG":"éćĺĺETF","DJX":"1/100éçźćŻ","BK4534":"ç壍俥贡ćäť","SSO":"两ĺĺĺ¤ć ćŽ500ETF","UDOW":"éćä¸ĺĺĺ¤ETF-ProShares","UPRO":"ä¸ĺĺĺ¤ć ćŽ500ETF"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2272691220","content_text":"While September lived up to its reputation as a brutal month for stocks, October tends to be a \"bear-market killer,\" associated with historically strong returns, especially in midterm election years.October, however, is also associated with historic market plunges. And skeptics are warning investors that negative economic fundamentals could overwhelm seasonal trends as what's traditionally the roughest period for equities comes to an end.Rough stretchU.S. stocks ended sharply lower on Friday, posting their worst skid in the first nine months of any year in two decades. The S&P 500 recorded a monthly loss of 9.3%, its worst September performance since 2002. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 8.8%, while the Nasdaq Composite on Friday pushed its total monthly loss to 10.5%, according to Dow Jones Market Data.The indexes had booked modest gains in the first half of the month after investors fully priced in a large interest-rate hike at the FOMC meeting late September as August's inflation data showed little sign of easing price pressures. However, the central bank's more-hawkish-than-expected stance caused stocks to give up all those early September gains. The Dow entered its first bear market since March 2020 in the last week of the month, while the benchmark S&P slid to another 2022 low.Bear markets and midtermsOctober's track record may offer some comfort as it has been a turnaround month, or a \"bear killer,\" according to the data from Stock Trader's Almanac.\"Twelve post-WWII bear markets have ended in October: 1946, 1957, 1960, 1962, 1966, 1974, 1987, 1990, 1998, 2001, 2002 and 2011 (S&P 500 declined 19.4%),\" wrote Jeff Hirsch, editor of the Stock Trader's Almanac, in a note on Thursday. \"Seven of these years were midterm bottoms.\"Of course 2022 is also a midterm election year, with congressional elections coming up on Nov. 8.According to Hirsch, Octobers in the midterm election years are \"downright stellar\" and usually where the \"sweet spot\" of the four-year presidential election cycle begins (see chart below).\"The fourth quarter of the midterm years combines with the first and second quarters of the pre-election years for the best three consecutive quarter span for the market, averaging 19.3% for the DJIA and 20.0% for the S&P 500 (since 1949), and an amazing 29.3% for NASDAQ (since 1971),\" wrote Hirsch.'Atypical period'Skeptics aren't convinced the pattern will hold true this October. Ralph Bassett, head of investments at Abrdn, an asset-management firm based in Scotland, said these dynamics could only play out in \"more normalized years.\"\"This is just such an atypical period for so many reasons,\" Bassett told MarketWatch in a phone interview on Thursday. \"A lot of mutual funds have their fiscal year-end in October, so there tends to be a lot of buying and selling to manage tax losses. That's kind of something that we're going through and you have to be very sensitive to how you manage all of that.\"An old Wall Street adage, \"Sell in May and go away,\" refers to the market's historical underperformance during the six-month period from May to October. Stock Trader's Almanac, which is credited with coining the saying, found investing in stocks from November to April and switching into fixed income the other six months would have \"produced reliable returns with reduced risk since 1950.\"Strategists at Stifel, a wealth-management firm, contend the S&P 500, which has fallen more than 23% from its Jan. 3 record finish, is in a bottoming process. They see positive catalysts between the fourth quarter of 2022 and the start of 2023 as Fed policy plus S&P 500 negative seasonality are headwinds that should subside by then.\"Monetary policy works with a six-month lag, and between the [Nov. 2] and [Dec. 14] final two Fed meetings of 2022, we do see subtle movement toward a data-dependent Fed pause which would bullishly allow investors to focus on (improving) inflation data rather than policy,\" wrote strategists led by Barry Bannister, chief equity strategist, in a recent note. \"This could reinforce positive market seasonality, which is historically strong for the S&P 500 from November to April.\"October crashesSeasonal trends, however, aren't written in stone. Dow Jones Market Data found the S&P 500 recorded positive returns between May and October in the past six years (see chart below).Anthony Saglimbene, chief markets strategist at Ameriprise Financial, said there are periods in history where October could evoke fear on Wall Street as some large historical market crashes, including those in 1987 and 1929, occurred during the month. The S&P 500 plunged nearly 17% in October 2008 after the implosion of Lehman Brothers, following a 9.1% fall in September.\"I think that any years where you've had a very difficult year for stocks, seasonality should discount it, because there are some other macro forces [that are] pushing on stocks, and you need to see more clarity on those macro forces that are pushing stocks down,\" Saglimbene told MarketWatch on Friday. \"Frankly, I don't think we're going to see a lot of visibility at least over the next few months.\"","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":74,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9938697673,"gmtCreate":1662599107492,"gmtModify":1676537096939,"author":{"id":"3582615574866617","authorId":"3582615574866617","name":"Seah199","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed447d3bfaa313aa35a60489b9a109c2","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582615574866617","authorIdStr":"3582615574866617"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BSL.SI\">$RAFFLES MEDICAL GROUP LTD(BSL.SI)$</a>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BSL.SI\">$RAFFLES MEDICAL GROUP LTD(BSL.SI)$</a>","text":"$RAFFLES MEDICAL GROUP LTD(BSL.SI)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/cdb9ff974d41dcebaae2b525afbbd5e6","width":"828","height":"1632"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9938697673","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":315,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9933711936,"gmtCreate":1662343826225,"gmtModify":1676537040977,"author":{"id":"3582615574866617","authorId":"3582615574866617","name":"Seah199","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed447d3bfaa313aa35a60489b9a109c2","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582615574866617","authorIdStr":"3582615574866617"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BSL.SI\">$RAFFLES MEDICAL GROUP LTD(BSL.SI)$</a>Any room to go??","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BSL.SI\">$RAFFLES MEDICAL GROUP LTD(BSL.SI)$</a>Any room to go??","text":"$RAFFLES MEDICAL GROUP LTD(BSL.SI)$Any room to go??","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/375504eadf739299832764bcc80c87e2","width":"828","height":"1632"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9933711936","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":109,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9072360565,"gmtCreate":1657957138357,"gmtModify":1676536088230,"author":{"id":"3582615574866617","authorId":"3582615574866617","name":"Seah199","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed447d3bfaa313aa35a60489b9a109c2","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582615574866617","authorIdStr":"3582615574866617"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"đ","listText":"đ","text":"đ","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9072360565","repostId":"1198433593","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1198433593","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1657932409,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1198433593?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-16 08:46","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Should You Buy GOOG on Monday After Its Big Split?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1198433593","media":"investorplace","summary":"You will see that Monday morning with shares ofAlphabet.But donât get too excited. In this case, $113 = $2,260.Thatâs impossible, of course. So whatâs going on?Stock splits do tend to attract investors. I closely monitor buying pressure in stocks as it is a sizable chunk of my quantitative analysis, so I do follow splits closely.Stocks also usually get at least a minor bump. Over the last five years, stocks that split are up one year later 61% of the time, according to the folks at Bespoke. But ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cdb45c167e367ede602e740013e84dde\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"432\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Weâve talked about how some great stocks are on sale right now.</p><p>Hereâs one for you: What if a stock went from $2,260 per share to $113⌠in one day⌠and nothing about this dominant business changed?</p><p>You will see that Monday morning with shares of <b>Alphabet</b>(NASDAQ:<b><u>GOOG</u></b>, NASDAQ:<b><u>GOOGL</u></b>).</p><p>But donât get too excited. In this case, $113 = $2,260.</p><p>Thatâs impossible, of course. So whatâs going on?</p><p>GOOG shares are splitting 20:1. After Fridayâs close, every single GOOG share gets divided into 20 shares. There will now be 20X more shares on the market, but the price per share be 1/20th of what it used to be.</p><p>This is not some once-in-a-lifetime bargain to jump on.</p><p>However, interesting things can and do happen around stock splits. So in todayâs <i>Market360</i>, letâs look at whether this particular split is a buying opportunity.</p><h2>Why Would GOOG Split?</h2><p>This is the second time in six weeks that a $2,000 stock has split 20-to-1.</p><p><b>Amazon</b>(NASDAQ:<b><u>AMZN</u></b>) closed at $2,447 on Friday, June 3. On Monday, June 6, it opened $125.25 after the split. Perhaps not coincidentally, the stock hit its highest price that day since the end of April. As of this writing, it is down about 10% since then.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c0f064946217768fa441a97fbd220a27\" tg-width=\"624\" tg-height=\"268\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>If it feels like youâve been hearing a lot about stock splits, thatâs not because the number of splits has gone up. Itâs because big and well-known stocks are doing the splitting.</p><p>In the last two years, Amazon,<b>Apple</b>(NASDAQ:<b><u>AAPL</u></b>),<b>NVIDIA</b> (NASDAQ:<b><u>NVDA</u></b>), and<b>Tesla</b> (NASDAQ:<b><u>TSLA</u></b>) have all split. Tesla has another one in the works â a proposed 3-for-1 split shareholders will vote on at the companyâs annual meeting Aug. 4. And one of the crazy meme stocks,<b>GameStop</b>(NYSE:<b><u>GME</u></b>), will split 4-for-1 next Friday, July 22.</p><p>The main reason companies split is to make their shares cheaper. In Alphabetâs case, the 20-to-1 split is an instant 95% price cut. That makes the stock more affordable, especially to individual investors.</p><p>Honestly, now that investors can buy fractional shares, splitting changes things less than it used to. Still, the companies want to make their stock as accessible as possible to retail investors, and a lower price is the best way to do that.</p><h2>Is the Split an Opportunity?</h2><p>Stock splits do tend to attract investors. I closely monitor buying pressure in stocks as it is a sizable chunk of my quantitative analysis, so I do follow splits closely.</p><p>Stocks also usually get at least a minor bump. Over the last five years, stocks that split are up one year later 61% of the time, according to the folks at Bespoke. But the bottom line is less encouraging. Stocks that split outperformed the market less than half the time.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e5cff440c13bdc1951ec77d5e65eddb\" tg-width=\"624\" tg-height=\"641\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>A split by itself is not an automatic buy signal. It is a minor factor when compared to a companyâs fundamentals.</p><p>I have followed Alphabet for a long time. I still think of it as Google, even though it has been almost seven years since the name changed. As you may have seen,<i>MarketWatch</i>has called me âthe advisor who recommended Google before anyone else.â</p><p>I still like it all of these years later. It is one of the biggest business success stories of our time.</p><p>But that doesnât mean I view the stock as a buy all of the time. In fact, right now I would consider it more of a hold.</p><p>While I think the split could bring in new investors â in fact, I think it could pop 8% on Monday â the biggest problem right now is earnings momentum. Earnings are expected to shrink nearly 3% in the current quarter and about 1% for the fiscal year. Alphabet fell short of expectations last quarter by 3.6%, which isnât a huge miss, but any miss for the company has been rare in recent years.</p><p>So, should you run out and snap up shares of GOOG after the split?</p><p>Well, according to myPortfolio Grader, the answer is no â though that doesnât mean itâs a sell either.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3af42132465d8a0ad361ab68744dfc02\" tg-width=\"590\" tg-height=\"459\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>As you can see in the Report Card above, GOOG has been a âHoldâ in my Portfolio Grader for about three months now. It holds a C-rating for its Fundamental Grade, which is not bad but reflective of the current earnings situation. Its Quantitative Rating is a bit higher at B, and that may hold up after the split if buying pressure builds.</p><p>My recommendation is to hang on to GOOG if you own it, but I would be hesitant to buy it now if you donât. Alphabet is a great company in the midst of an earnings lull, not unlike a lot of other companies. When that tide starts to run, I would expect it to again be a buy at its post-split share price.</p><p><b>P.S.</b>If you are looking for a stock to buy right now, I encourage you to<b>check out my latest presentation</b>with the investor known as âThe Prophetâ â Whitney Tilson.</p><p>Together, weâve recommended 37 different stocks for gains of 1,000+%. And today, weâre both making the exact same big prediction.</p><p><b>We cover a historic demo</b>in downtown Houston, Texas, that could reshape the market and create millionaires on a single investment.</p><p>And yes, we provide<b>a free recommendation</b>.</p><p>The only catch is, youâll want to get in now⌠while prices are still cheap.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Should You Buy GOOG on Monday After Its Big Split?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nShould You Buy GOOG on Monday After Its Big Split?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-16 08:46 GMT+8 <a href=https://investorplace.com/2022/07/should-you-buy-goog-on-monday-after-its-big-split/><strong>investorplace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Weâve talked about how some great stocks are on sale right now.Hereâs one for you: What if a stock went from $2,260 per share to $113⌠in one day⌠and nothing about this dominant business changed?You ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/07/should-you-buy-goog-on-monday-after-its-big-split/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GOOGL":"č°ˇćA","GOOG":"č°ˇć"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2022/07/should-you-buy-goog-on-monday-after-its-big-split/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1198433593","content_text":"Weâve talked about how some great stocks are on sale right now.Hereâs one for you: What if a stock went from $2,260 per share to $113⌠in one day⌠and nothing about this dominant business changed?You will see that Monday morning with shares of Alphabet(NASDAQ:GOOG, NASDAQ:GOOGL).But donât get too excited. In this case, $113 = $2,260.Thatâs impossible, of course. So whatâs going on?GOOG shares are splitting 20:1. After Fridayâs close, every single GOOG share gets divided into 20 shares. There will now be 20X more shares on the market, but the price per share be 1/20th of what it used to be.This is not some once-in-a-lifetime bargain to jump on.However, interesting things can and do happen around stock splits. So in todayâs Market360, letâs look at whether this particular split is a buying opportunity.Why Would GOOG Split?This is the second time in six weeks that a $2,000 stock has split 20-to-1.Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN) closed at $2,447 on Friday, June 3. On Monday, June 6, it opened $125.25 after the split. Perhaps not coincidentally, the stock hit its highest price that day since the end of April. As of this writing, it is down about 10% since then.If it feels like youâve been hearing a lot about stock splits, thatâs not because the number of splits has gone up. Itâs because big and well-known stocks are doing the splitting.In the last two years, Amazon,Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL),NVIDIA (NASDAQ:NVDA), andTesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) have all split. Tesla has another one in the works â a proposed 3-for-1 split shareholders will vote on at the companyâs annual meeting Aug. 4. And one of the crazy meme stocks,GameStop(NYSE:GME), will split 4-for-1 next Friday, July 22.The main reason companies split is to make their shares cheaper. In Alphabetâs case, the 20-to-1 split is an instant 95% price cut. That makes the stock more affordable, especially to individual investors.Honestly, now that investors can buy fractional shares, splitting changes things less than it used to. Still, the companies want to make their stock as accessible as possible to retail investors, and a lower price is the best way to do that.Is the Split an Opportunity?Stock splits do tend to attract investors. I closely monitor buying pressure in stocks as it is a sizable chunk of my quantitative analysis, so I do follow splits closely.Stocks also usually get at least a minor bump. Over the last five years, stocks that split are up one year later 61% of the time, according to the folks at Bespoke. But the bottom line is less encouraging. Stocks that split outperformed the market less than half the time.A split by itself is not an automatic buy signal. It is a minor factor when compared to a companyâs fundamentals.I have followed Alphabet for a long time. I still think of it as Google, even though it has been almost seven years since the name changed. As you may have seen,MarketWatchhas called me âthe advisor who recommended Google before anyone else.âI still like it all of these years later. It is one of the biggest business success stories of our time.But that doesnât mean I view the stock as a buy all of the time. In fact, right now I would consider it more of a hold.While I think the split could bring in new investors â in fact, I think it could pop 8% on Monday â the biggest problem right now is earnings momentum. Earnings are expected to shrink nearly 3% in the current quarter and about 1% for the fiscal year. Alphabet fell short of expectations last quarter by 3.6%, which isnât a huge miss, but any miss for the company has been rare in recent years.So, should you run out and snap up shares of GOOG after the split?Well, according to myPortfolio Grader, the answer is no â though that doesnât mean itâs a sell either.As you can see in the Report Card above, GOOG has been a âHoldâ in my Portfolio Grader for about three months now. It holds a C-rating for its Fundamental Grade, which is not bad but reflective of the current earnings situation. Its Quantitative Rating is a bit higher at B, and that may hold up after the split if buying pressure builds.My recommendation is to hang on to GOOG if you own it, but I would be hesitant to buy it now if you donât. Alphabet is a great company in the midst of an earnings lull, not unlike a lot of other companies. When that tide starts to run, I would expect it to again be a buy at its post-split share price.P.S.If you are looking for a stock to buy right now, I encourage you tocheck out my latest presentationwith the investor known as âThe Prophetâ â Whitney Tilson.Together, weâve recommended 37 different stocks for gains of 1,000+%. And today, weâre both making the exact same big prediction.We cover a historic demoin downtown Houston, Texas, that could reshape the market and create millionaires on a single investment.And yes, we providea free recommendation.The only catch is, youâll want to get in now⌠while prices are still cheap.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":146,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9071728976,"gmtCreate":1657587279495,"gmtModify":1676536030327,"author":{"id":"3582615574866617","authorId":"3582615574866617","name":"Seah199","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed447d3bfaa313aa35a60489b9a109c2","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582615574866617","authorIdStr":"3582615574866617"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Noted","listText":"Noted","text":"Noted","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9071728976","repostId":"2250196595","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2250196595","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the worldâs most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1657610294,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2250196595?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-12 15:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"4 Big Risks Facing the Stock Market As Earnings Season Kicks off","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2250196595","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"As investors' concerns about slowing U.S. economic growth manifested in the form of falling commodit","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>As investors' concerns about slowing U.S. economic growth manifested in the form of falling commodity prices, while the strong U.S. dollar weighs on American multinationals' international earnings, analysts with Bank of America Global Research <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">$(BAC)$</a> and other sell-side research shops have highlighted the following paradox: expectations for corporate earnings growth remain relatively robust, even as analysts' fears that inflation and tightening financial conditions could provoke a recession before the end of the year.</p><p>Given the difficult performance that U.S. stocks have endured this year, many beaten-down investors are hoping that strong corporate results (at least, relative to expectations) might catalyze a durable rebound in U.S. equities. Others fear that a disappointment might remove one of the last supports for U.S. equities as corporate earnings experienced a durable post-COVID rebound and even surpassed expectations during the first quarter of 2022.</p><p>Expectations for quarterly earnings-per-share growth for the S&P 500 have risen to 5.5% as of Monday, compared with 5.3% as of one month ago, according to S&P Global Market Intelligence. According to data from FactSet, earnings for the first 18 S&P 500 companies have been stronger than expected -- but the bulk of corporate earnings, including the most valuable members of the market-capitalization-weighted benchmark, lie ahead.</p><p>That will begin to change later this week. "Earnings season" -- as analysts call it -- begins Thursday with J.P. Morgan Chase & Co., <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">$(JPM)$</a> and a slew of reports from the biggest U.S. banks. By July 29, more than 70% of S&P 500 constituents will have reported their second-quarter results.</p><p>Although quarterly earnings for S&P 500 firms typically exceed expectations, FactSet pointed out that merely meeting expectations for earnings during April, May and June would leave U.S. companies with their slowest growth in profits since the fourth quarter of 2020.</p><p>Still, as investors prepare for the torrent of earnings ahead, MarketWatch has put together a roundup of what some of the big investment banks are telling their clients ahead of the quarterly earnings deluge., which starts Thursday with reports from J.P. Morgan Chase & Co.</p><p>Read:Wall Street profit expectations for megabanks have cooled ahead of earnings amid a deep freeze in stocks</p><h3>Strong dollar brings risks</h3><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">Morgan Stanley</a>'s <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">$(MS)$</a> Chief Equity Strategist Michael Wilson has received a lot of credit for correctly calling the selloff in equities this year (he was one of Wall Street's most skeptical voices during most of the COVID rally as well). Looking ahead, he remains bearish, warning clients in a research note dated Monday that the strong dollar could create an unexpectedly large tailwind for second-quarter corporate earnings.</p><p>In aggregate, U.S. companies generate about 30% of their sales abroad. A strong dollar means corporations lose money to the exchange rate, while making it increasingly expensive to hedge their risk.</p><p>"From the standpoint of stocks, the stronger dollar is going to be a major headwind to earnings for many large multinationals. This could not be coming at a worse time as companies are already struggling with margin pressure from cost inflation, higher/unwanted inventories, and slower demand," Wilson and his team wrote.</p><p>Pointing to a negative correlation between S&P 500 earnings revisions and the stronger dollar, Wilson said the math here is relatively simple: every percentage point increase in the dollar on a year-over-year basis results in approximately a 0.5 percentage point hit to EPS growth. At today's 16% year-on-year level, thattranslates into an 8 percentage point headwind, all else equal.</p><h3>Recession risks skewed toward later in the year</h3><p>A group of equity strategists led by Citigroup's <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C\">$(C)$</a> Scott Chronert wrote in a note on Friday that they expect the U.S. economic picture in the second half of 2022 to be more robust, with the risk of a recession more likely in 2023. If second-quarter earnings prove to be as resilient as Citi expects, it could trigger a rally in stocks over the short term in what the Citi team described as a "mean reversion" trade into year end.</p><p>They also argued that the inflation surge that began roughly one year ago has likely helped corporate earnings since corporations can charge more for their products and services. There is also a strong correlation between corporate earnings growth and Federal Reserve interest-rate hikes, with corporate earnings slowing as the central bank starts cutting rates, and rising when rates are being increased.</p><h3>'Difficult comps' could also be a problem</h3><p>As Credit Suisse's (CSGN.EB) Jonathan Golub pointed out, corporate earnings increased by a staggering amount during the second quarter of 2021 as the global economic reopening accelerated into full swing. According to FactSet, S&P 500 EPS increased by more than 90% during the second quarter of 2021. That means it will be a difficult quarter to beat this year.</p><p>A company's performance in every quarter is ultimately judged against its performance during the same quarter one year ago. And the strength of last year's second quarter means S&P 500 firms are facing "difficult comps" this year, especially with EPS growth expected at just 5%.</p><p>The setup looks better for the third and fourth quarters.</p><h3>'Margin compression' is a threat</h3><p>Another threat facing corporate earnings is "margin compression" -- that is, when profit margins contract, even as overall sales rise. It's difficult to avoid during periods of intense inflation.</p><p>According to a team of analysts led by Goldman Sachs Group Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">$(GS)$</a>U.S. Equity Strategist David Kostin, sales for S&P 500 firms are expected to grow by 15% during the second quarter thanks to the boost provided by inflation. However, higher input prices, wages and borrowing costs mean profit margins are expected to contract by 18 basis points to 12.2%.</p><p>What's more, if one excludes the 239% surge in earnings from the energy sector, the expectation is that corporate earnings would experience a 3% contraction during 2022.</p><p>Analysts at both Bank of America and Goldman Sachs said they expected EPS growth would likely slow during the second quarter due to the stronger dollar and ructions in the U.S. economy.</p><p>To be sure, corporate earnings aren't the only highlight on the economic calendar that could impact markets this week. On the inflation front, the Labor Department's consumer-price index for June is due out Wednesday. The market will be watching closely, and although the data won't fully reflect a drop in commodity prices over the past five weeks, it could influence the Federal Reserve's plans for rate hikes. In recent weeks, the expectation that slowing growth will lead to lower commodity prices has prompted investors and economists alike to dial back their expectations for the Fed's hiking cycle. According to FactSet, the consensus expectation is for headline inflation to rise 8.8% year-over-year, which would be higher than the 8.6% rate recorded in May.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>4 Big Risks Facing the Stock Market As Earnings Season Kicks off</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n4 Big Risks Facing the Stock Market As Earnings Season Kicks off\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-07-12 15:18</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>As investors' concerns about slowing U.S. economic growth manifested in the form of falling commodity prices, while the strong U.S. dollar weighs on American multinationals' international earnings, analysts with Bank of America Global Research <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">$(BAC)$</a> and other sell-side research shops have highlighted the following paradox: expectations for corporate earnings growth remain relatively robust, even as analysts' fears that inflation and tightening financial conditions could provoke a recession before the end of the year.</p><p>Given the difficult performance that U.S. stocks have endured this year, many beaten-down investors are hoping that strong corporate results (at least, relative to expectations) might catalyze a durable rebound in U.S. equities. Others fear that a disappointment might remove one of the last supports for U.S. equities as corporate earnings experienced a durable post-COVID rebound and even surpassed expectations during the first quarter of 2022.</p><p>Expectations for quarterly earnings-per-share growth for the S&P 500 have risen to 5.5% as of Monday, compared with 5.3% as of one month ago, according to S&P Global Market Intelligence. According to data from FactSet, earnings for the first 18 S&P 500 companies have been stronger than expected -- but the bulk of corporate earnings, including the most valuable members of the market-capitalization-weighted benchmark, lie ahead.</p><p>That will begin to change later this week. "Earnings season" -- as analysts call it -- begins Thursday with J.P. Morgan Chase & Co., <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">$(JPM)$</a> and a slew of reports from the biggest U.S. banks. By July 29, more than 70% of S&P 500 constituents will have reported their second-quarter results.</p><p>Although quarterly earnings for S&P 500 firms typically exceed expectations, FactSet pointed out that merely meeting expectations for earnings during April, May and June would leave U.S. companies with their slowest growth in profits since the fourth quarter of 2020.</p><p>Still, as investors prepare for the torrent of earnings ahead, MarketWatch has put together a roundup of what some of the big investment banks are telling their clients ahead of the quarterly earnings deluge., which starts Thursday with reports from J.P. Morgan Chase & Co.</p><p>Read:Wall Street profit expectations for megabanks have cooled ahead of earnings amid a deep freeze in stocks</p><h3>Strong dollar brings risks</h3><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">Morgan Stanley</a>'s <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">$(MS)$</a> Chief Equity Strategist Michael Wilson has received a lot of credit for correctly calling the selloff in equities this year (he was one of Wall Street's most skeptical voices during most of the COVID rally as well). Looking ahead, he remains bearish, warning clients in a research note dated Monday that the strong dollar could create an unexpectedly large tailwind for second-quarter corporate earnings.</p><p>In aggregate, U.S. companies generate about 30% of their sales abroad. A strong dollar means corporations lose money to the exchange rate, while making it increasingly expensive to hedge their risk.</p><p>"From the standpoint of stocks, the stronger dollar is going to be a major headwind to earnings for many large multinationals. This could not be coming at a worse time as companies are already struggling with margin pressure from cost inflation, higher/unwanted inventories, and slower demand," Wilson and his team wrote.</p><p>Pointing to a negative correlation between S&P 500 earnings revisions and the stronger dollar, Wilson said the math here is relatively simple: every percentage point increase in the dollar on a year-over-year basis results in approximately a 0.5 percentage point hit to EPS growth. At today's 16% year-on-year level, thattranslates into an 8 percentage point headwind, all else equal.</p><h3>Recession risks skewed toward later in the year</h3><p>A group of equity strategists led by Citigroup's <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C\">$(C)$</a> Scott Chronert wrote in a note on Friday that they expect the U.S. economic picture in the second half of 2022 to be more robust, with the risk of a recession more likely in 2023. If second-quarter earnings prove to be as resilient as Citi expects, it could trigger a rally in stocks over the short term in what the Citi team described as a "mean reversion" trade into year end.</p><p>They also argued that the inflation surge that began roughly one year ago has likely helped corporate earnings since corporations can charge more for their products and services. There is also a strong correlation between corporate earnings growth and Federal Reserve interest-rate hikes, with corporate earnings slowing as the central bank starts cutting rates, and rising when rates are being increased.</p><h3>'Difficult comps' could also be a problem</h3><p>As Credit Suisse's (CSGN.EB) Jonathan Golub pointed out, corporate earnings increased by a staggering amount during the second quarter of 2021 as the global economic reopening accelerated into full swing. According to FactSet, S&P 500 EPS increased by more than 90% during the second quarter of 2021. That means it will be a difficult quarter to beat this year.</p><p>A company's performance in every quarter is ultimately judged against its performance during the same quarter one year ago. And the strength of last year's second quarter means S&P 500 firms are facing "difficult comps" this year, especially with EPS growth expected at just 5%.</p><p>The setup looks better for the third and fourth quarters.</p><h3>'Margin compression' is a threat</h3><p>Another threat facing corporate earnings is "margin compression" -- that is, when profit margins contract, even as overall sales rise. It's difficult to avoid during periods of intense inflation.</p><p>According to a team of analysts led by Goldman Sachs Group Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">$(GS)$</a>U.S. Equity Strategist David Kostin, sales for S&P 500 firms are expected to grow by 15% during the second quarter thanks to the boost provided by inflation. However, higher input prices, wages and borrowing costs mean profit margins are expected to contract by 18 basis points to 12.2%.</p><p>What's more, if one excludes the 239% surge in earnings from the energy sector, the expectation is that corporate earnings would experience a 3% contraction during 2022.</p><p>Analysts at both Bank of America and Goldman Sachs said they expected EPS growth would likely slow during the second quarter due to the stronger dollar and ructions in the U.S. economy.</p><p>To be sure, corporate earnings aren't the only highlight on the economic calendar that could impact markets this week. On the inflation front, the Labor Department's consumer-price index for June is due out Wednesday. The market will be watching closely, and although the data won't fully reflect a drop in commodity prices over the past five weeks, it could influence the Federal Reserve's plans for rate hikes. In recent weeks, the expectation that slowing growth will lead to lower commodity prices has prompted investors and economists alike to dial back their expectations for the Fed's hiking cycle. According to FactSet, the consensus expectation is for headline inflation to rise 8.8% year-over-year, which would be higher than the 8.6% rate recorded in May.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"éçźćŻ",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2250196595","content_text":"As investors' concerns about slowing U.S. economic growth manifested in the form of falling commodity prices, while the strong U.S. dollar weighs on American multinationals' international earnings, analysts with Bank of America Global Research $(BAC)$ and other sell-side research shops have highlighted the following paradox: expectations for corporate earnings growth remain relatively robust, even as analysts' fears that inflation and tightening financial conditions could provoke a recession before the end of the year.Given the difficult performance that U.S. stocks have endured this year, many beaten-down investors are hoping that strong corporate results (at least, relative to expectations) might catalyze a durable rebound in U.S. equities. Others fear that a disappointment might remove one of the last supports for U.S. equities as corporate earnings experienced a durable post-COVID rebound and even surpassed expectations during the first quarter of 2022.Expectations for quarterly earnings-per-share growth for the S&P 500 have risen to 5.5% as of Monday, compared with 5.3% as of one month ago, according to S&P Global Market Intelligence. According to data from FactSet, earnings for the first 18 S&P 500 companies have been stronger than expected -- but the bulk of corporate earnings, including the most valuable members of the market-capitalization-weighted benchmark, lie ahead.That will begin to change later this week. \"Earnings season\" -- as analysts call it -- begins Thursday with J.P. Morgan Chase & Co., $(JPM)$ and a slew of reports from the biggest U.S. banks. By July 29, more than 70% of S&P 500 constituents will have reported their second-quarter results.Although quarterly earnings for S&P 500 firms typically exceed expectations, FactSet pointed out that merely meeting expectations for earnings during April, May and June would leave U.S. companies with their slowest growth in profits since the fourth quarter of 2020.Still, as investors prepare for the torrent of earnings ahead, MarketWatch has put together a roundup of what some of the big investment banks are telling their clients ahead of the quarterly earnings deluge., which starts Thursday with reports from J.P. Morgan Chase & Co.Read:Wall Street profit expectations for megabanks have cooled ahead of earnings amid a deep freeze in stocksStrong dollar brings risksMorgan Stanley's $(MS)$ Chief Equity Strategist Michael Wilson has received a lot of credit for correctly calling the selloff in equities this year (he was one of Wall Street's most skeptical voices during most of the COVID rally as well). Looking ahead, he remains bearish, warning clients in a research note dated Monday that the strong dollar could create an unexpectedly large tailwind for second-quarter corporate earnings.In aggregate, U.S. companies generate about 30% of their sales abroad. A strong dollar means corporations lose money to the exchange rate, while making it increasingly expensive to hedge their risk.\"From the standpoint of stocks, the stronger dollar is going to be a major headwind to earnings for many large multinationals. This could not be coming at a worse time as companies are already struggling with margin pressure from cost inflation, higher/unwanted inventories, and slower demand,\" Wilson and his team wrote.Pointing to a negative correlation between S&P 500 earnings revisions and the stronger dollar, Wilson said the math here is relatively simple: every percentage point increase in the dollar on a year-over-year basis results in approximately a 0.5 percentage point hit to EPS growth. At today's 16% year-on-year level, thattranslates into an 8 percentage point headwind, all else equal.Recession risks skewed toward later in the yearA group of equity strategists led by Citigroup's $(C)$ Scott Chronert wrote in a note on Friday that they expect the U.S. economic picture in the second half of 2022 to be more robust, with the risk of a recession more likely in 2023. If second-quarter earnings prove to be as resilient as Citi expects, it could trigger a rally in stocks over the short term in what the Citi team described as a \"mean reversion\" trade into year end.They also argued that the inflation surge that began roughly one year ago has likely helped corporate earnings since corporations can charge more for their products and services. There is also a strong correlation between corporate earnings growth and Federal Reserve interest-rate hikes, with corporate earnings slowing as the central bank starts cutting rates, and rising when rates are being increased.'Difficult comps' could also be a problemAs Credit Suisse's (CSGN.EB) Jonathan Golub pointed out, corporate earnings increased by a staggering amount during the second quarter of 2021 as the global economic reopening accelerated into full swing. According to FactSet, S&P 500 EPS increased by more than 90% during the second quarter of 2021. That means it will be a difficult quarter to beat this year.A company's performance in every quarter is ultimately judged against its performance during the same quarter one year ago. And the strength of last year's second quarter means S&P 500 firms are facing \"difficult comps\" this year, especially with EPS growth expected at just 5%.The setup looks better for the third and fourth quarters.'Margin compression' is a threatAnother threat facing corporate earnings is \"margin compression\" -- that is, when profit margins contract, even as overall sales rise. It's difficult to avoid during periods of intense inflation.According to a team of analysts led by Goldman Sachs Group Inc. $(GS)$U.S. Equity Strategist David Kostin, sales for S&P 500 firms are expected to grow by 15% during the second quarter thanks to the boost provided by inflation. However, higher input prices, wages and borrowing costs mean profit margins are expected to contract by 18 basis points to 12.2%.What's more, if one excludes the 239% surge in earnings from the energy sector, the expectation is that corporate earnings would experience a 3% contraction during 2022.Analysts at both Bank of America and Goldman Sachs said they expected EPS growth would likely slow during the second quarter due to the stronger dollar and ructions in the U.S. economy.To be sure, corporate earnings aren't the only highlight on the economic calendar that could impact markets this week. On the inflation front, the Labor Department's consumer-price index for June is due out Wednesday. The market will be watching closely, and although the data won't fully reflect a drop in commodity prices over the past five weeks, it could influence the Federal Reserve's plans for rate hikes. In recent weeks, the expectation that slowing growth will lead to lower commodity prices has prompted investors and economists alike to dial back their expectations for the Fed's hiking cycle. According to FactSet, the consensus expectation is for headline inflation to rise 8.8% year-over-year, which would be higher than the 8.6% rate recorded in May.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":44,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9073874721,"gmtCreate":1657330779963,"gmtModify":1676535992157,"author":{"id":"3582615574866617","authorId":"3582615574866617","name":"Seah199","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed447d3bfaa313aa35a60489b9a109c2","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582615574866617","authorIdStr":"3582615574866617"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BSL.SI\">$RAFFLES MEDICAL GROUP LTD(BSL.SI)$</a>Whenwill upđ","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BSL.SI\">$RAFFLES MEDICAL GROUP LTD(BSL.SI)$</a>Whenwill upđ","text":"$RAFFLES MEDICAL GROUP LTD(BSL.SI)$Whenwill 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LIMITED(V03.SI)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/13eaf218b576f41535b999db57314aaf","width":"828","height":"2046"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9918833066","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":131,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9919253597,"gmtCreate":1663810488619,"gmtModify":1676537340775,"author":{"id":"3582615574866617","authorId":"3582615574866617","name":"Seah199","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed447d3bfaa313aa35a60489b9a109c2","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582615574866617","authorIdStr":"3582615574866617"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BSL.SI\">$RAFFLES MEDICAL GROUP LTD(BSL.SI)$</a>Still can go?","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BSL.SI\">$RAFFLES MEDICAL GROUP LTD(BSL.SI)$</a>Still can 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