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Daniel12321

Daniel12321

A value investor, journeying!

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2023-03-02

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Marathon Digital Stock Falls Nearly 5% in Morning Trading

2023-02-04

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C3.Ai Surges 18% As DA Davidson Calls It "Truly Scarce Asset"

2023-01-26

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Crypto Stocks Crashed in Morning Trading; Marathon Digital Fell Over 6% While Bit Digital Slid Over 3%

2023-01-25

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2 Growth Stocks Down More Than 50% to Buy Now

2023-01-14

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Netflix Q4 Earnings Preview: Another Decent Quarter in Sight but Concern Over Its Turnaround Story in 2023

2023-01-14

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Top Calls on Wall Street: Tesla, Credit Suisse, Lockheed Martin and More

2023-01-02

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Reminder: U.S. Market Closed for New Year's Day on Monday, Jan. 2, 2023

2022-12-30

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Got $1,000? 2 Smart Stocks to Buy Hand Over Fist

2022-12-28

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2022-12-15

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2022-12-15

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Hot Chinese ADRs Turned Down in Morning Trading with IQiyi Tumbling Over 10%

2022-12-13

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SPY: The Market Will Go Berserk If Core CPI Surprises To The Upside

2022-12-13

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Hot Chinese ADRs Turned Down in Morning Trading; Tuniu Slid Over 8% While Bilibili Slid Over 5%.

2022-12-09

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Why GameStop Stock Could Fall 75% From Here

2022-12-09

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US STOCKS-S&P 500, Nasdaq Snap Losing Streaks After Jobless Claims Rise

2022-12-07

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2022-12-03

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11 Hours With Sam Bankman-Fried: Inside the Bahamian Penthouse After FTX’s Fall

2022-11-30

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2022-11-24

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Tesla’s Stock Slump Has Gone Too Far, Morgan Stanley Says

2022-11-19

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More Than $2 Trillion in Stock Options Expire Friday With Put-Call Ratio Near Levels Unseen Since 2001

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stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1677683416,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1134452768?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-03-01 23:10","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Marathon Digital Stock Falls Nearly 5% in Morning Trading","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1134452768","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Marathon Digital Finds Accounting Errors, Will Restate 2021, 2022 Results","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Marathon Digital(MARA)$ said Tuesday it will restate its full year 2021 and quarterly earnings for that year and for the first three quarters of 2022 due to accounting errors.</p><p>Marathon Digital stock falls nearly 5% in morning trading.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f3b2e9da880a5ce5f60476d86ece6c5\" tg-width=\"831\" tg-height=\"674\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Specifically, the bitcoin miner determined that it had incorrectly calculated impairment on a daily basis of its digital assets and it had incorrectly accounted for revenue from a bitcoin mining pool that it had participated in and operated in late 2021 and early 2022.</p><p>Now that Marathon Digital (MARA) needs to restate its previously reported financial statements for 2021 and 2022, the company will not be able to file its 2022 annual 10-K statement by the filing deadline of March 1, it said in a filing. It cancelled its conference call for Q4 earnings and will postpone the publication of its financial results.</p><p>The company said its method for calculating the impairment of digital assets, chiefly bitcoin (BTC-USD), on a daily basis using a standard cutoff time wasn&#39;t in compliance with a requirement that calls for the intraday low price to be used.</p><p>Regarding the bitcoin mining pool&#39;s revenue recognition, Marathon (MARA) had determined that the company acted as an agent in the pool, which included a small number of unrelated third-party participants. As a result, it recorded revenue on a net basis, subtracting any revenue allocated to the third-party pool participants from its revenue as the operator of the pool.</p><p>It later found out that it&#39;s assessment was incorrect and should have concluded that it acted as principal. That means the company should have recorded gross revenue rather than net revenue.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MARA\">Marathon</a> now estimates that both its revenue and cost of revenue for the year ended Dec. 31, 202 were understated. Revenue and cost of revenue, energy, hosting and other, are expected to increase in the restated 2021 numbers.</p><p>The restatement of the impacted financial statement isn&#39;t expected to have any effect on total margin, operating income or net income in 2021 or any of the interim periods in 2021 or 2022, it said.</p><p>Marathon Digital (MARA) also said it no longer operates a pool that includes third parties.</p><p>The company was expected to post a Q4 loss per share of $0.17 and revenue of $33.98M, according to consensus estimates.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Marathon Digital Stock Falls Nearly 5% in Morning Trading</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMarathon Digital Stock Falls Nearly 5% in Morning Trading\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2023-03-01 23:10</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Marathon Digital(MARA)$ said Tuesday it will restate its full year 2021 and quarterly earnings for that year and for the first three quarters of 2022 due to accounting errors.</p><p>Marathon Digital stock falls nearly 5% in morning trading.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f3b2e9da880a5ce5f60476d86ece6c5\" tg-width=\"831\" tg-height=\"674\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Specifically, the bitcoin miner determined that it had incorrectly calculated impairment on a daily basis of its digital assets and it had incorrectly accounted for revenue from a bitcoin mining pool that it had participated in and operated in late 2021 and early 2022.</p><p>Now that Marathon Digital (MARA) needs to restate its previously reported financial statements for 2021 and 2022, the company will not be able to file its 2022 annual 10-K statement by the filing deadline of March 1, it said in a filing. It cancelled its conference call for Q4 earnings and will postpone the publication of its financial results.</p><p>The company said its method for calculating the impairment of digital assets, chiefly bitcoin (BTC-USD), on a daily basis using a standard cutoff time wasn&#39;t in compliance with a requirement that calls for the intraday low price to be used.</p><p>Regarding the bitcoin mining pool&#39;s revenue recognition, Marathon (MARA) had determined that the company acted as an agent in the pool, which included a small number of unrelated third-party participants. As a result, it recorded revenue on a net basis, subtracting any revenue allocated to the third-party pool participants from its revenue as the operator of the pool.</p><p>It later found out that it&#39;s assessment was incorrect and should have concluded that it acted as principal. That means the company should have recorded gross revenue rather than net revenue.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MARA\">Marathon</a> now estimates that both its revenue and cost of revenue for the year ended Dec. 31, 202 were understated. Revenue and cost of revenue, energy, hosting and other, are expected to increase in the restated 2021 numbers.</p><p>The restatement of the impacted financial statement isn&#39;t expected to have any effect on total margin, operating income or net income in 2021 or any of the interim periods in 2021 or 2022, it said.</p><p>Marathon Digital (MARA) also said it no longer operates a pool that includes third parties.</p><p>The company was expected to post a Q4 loss per share of $0.17 and revenue of $33.98M, according to consensus estimates.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MARA":"MARA Holdings"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1134452768","content_text":"Marathon Digital(MARA)$ said Tuesday it will restate its full year 2021 and quarterly earnings for that year and for the first three quarters of 2022 due to accounting errors.Marathon Digital stock falls nearly 5% in morning trading.Specifically, the bitcoin miner determined that it had incorrectly calculated impairment on a daily basis of its digital assets and it had incorrectly accounted for revenue from a bitcoin mining pool that it had participated in and operated in late 2021 and early 2022.Now that Marathon Digital (MARA) needs to restate its previously reported financial statements for 2021 and 2022, the company will not be able to file its 2022 annual 10-K statement by the filing deadline of March 1, it said in a filing. It cancelled its conference call for Q4 earnings and will postpone the publication of its financial results.The company said its method for calculating the impairment of digital assets, chiefly bitcoin (BTC-USD), on a daily basis using a standard cutoff time wasn't in compliance with a requirement that calls for the intraday low price to be used.Regarding the bitcoin mining pool's revenue recognition, Marathon (MARA) had determined that the company acted as an agent in the pool, which included a small number of unrelated third-party participants. As a result, it recorded revenue on a net basis, subtracting any revenue allocated to the third-party pool participants from its revenue as the operator of the pool.It later found out that it's assessment was incorrect and should have concluded that it acted as principal. That means the company should have recorded gross revenue rather than net revenue.Marathon now estimates that both its revenue and cost of revenue for the year ended Dec. 31, 202 were understated. Revenue and cost of revenue, energy, hosting and other, are expected to increase in the restated 2021 numbers.The restatement of the impacted financial statement isn't expected to have any effect on total margin, operating income or net income in 2021 or any of the interim periods in 2021 or 2022, it said.Marathon Digital (MARA) also said it no longer operates a pool that includes third parties.The company was expected to post a Q4 loss per share of $0.17 and revenue of $33.98M, according to consensus estimates.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":408,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9955216150,"gmtCreate":1675440140871,"gmtModify":1676539003569,"author":{"id":"3582962119812367","authorId":"3582962119812367","name":"Daniel12321","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a4ffcb9551bf9fffa55a10cf8b531d6","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582962119812367","authorIdStr":"3582962119812367"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9955216150","repostId":"1190166912","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1190166912","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1675439553,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1190166912?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-02-03 23:52","market":"us","language":"en","title":"C3.Ai Surges 18% As DA Davidson Calls It \"Truly Scarce Asset\"","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1190166912","media":"Seekingalpha","summary":"C3.ai  continued its surge to start 2023, gaining 18% on Friday, as investment firm D.A. Davidson & ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AI\">C3.ai </a> continued its surge to start 2023, gaining 18% on Friday, as investment firm D.A. Davidson &amp; Co. started coverage on the artificial intelligence software company, calling a &#34;truly scarce asset.&#34;</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/db96c15452742f791c5f1340cd1aecee\" tg-width=\"834\" tg-height=\"665\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Analyst Gil Luria initiated coverage on C3.ai (AI) with a buy rating and a $30 per-share price target, implying some 20% from current levels.</p><p>Luria noted that the emergence of generative artificial intelligence as a &#34;killer app&#34; for AI is giving the company the opportunity to monetize its investments in the space.</p><p>Led by software executive, Thomas Seibel, C3.ai (AI) has gained 132% year-to-date and is up nearly 8% over the past 12 months, erasing the losses seen in 2022.</p><p>Earlier this week, C3.ai (AI) announced a new artificial intelligence focused product suite, known as C3 Generative AI Product Suite.</p><p>The new suite uses natural language to &#34;rapidly locate, retrieve, and present all relevant data across the entire corpus of an enterprise’s information systems.&#34;</p><p>C3.ai (AI) added the suite integrates other AI systems, including Open AI&#39;s ChatGPT, as well as offerings from Google (GOOG) (GOOGL) and academics, into its enterprise AI products.</p><p>Morgan Stanley listed C3.ai (AI) among popular takeover targets for private equity in a research report last month.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>C3.Ai Surges 18% As DA Davidson Calls It \"Truly Scarce Asset\"</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nC3.Ai Surges 18% As DA Davidson Calls It \"Truly Scarce Asset\"\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-02-03 23:52 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/news/3931878-c3ai-continues-surge-da-davidson-calls-it-truly-scarce-asset><strong>Seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>C3.ai  continued its surge to start 2023, gaining 18% on Friday, as investment firm D.A. Davidson & Co. started coverage on the artificial intelligence software company, calling a \"truly scarce asset....</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3931878-c3ai-continues-surge-da-davidson-calls-it-truly-scarce-asset\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AI":"C3.ai, Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3931878-c3ai-continues-surge-da-davidson-calls-it-truly-scarce-asset","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1190166912","content_text":"C3.ai  continued its surge to start 2023, gaining 18% on Friday, as investment firm D.A. Davidson & Co. started coverage on the artificial intelligence software company, calling a \"truly scarce asset.\"Analyst Gil Luria initiated coverage on C3.ai (AI) with a buy rating and a $30 per-share price target, implying some 20% from current levels.Luria noted that the emergence of generative artificial intelligence as a \"killer app\" for AI is giving the company the opportunity to monetize its investments in the space.Led by software executive, Thomas Seibel, C3.ai (AI) has gained 132% year-to-date and is up nearly 8% over the past 12 months, erasing the losses seen in 2022.Earlier this week, C3.ai (AI) announced a new artificial intelligence focused product suite, known as C3 Generative AI Product Suite.The new suite uses natural language to \"rapidly locate, retrieve, and present all relevant data across the entire corpus of an enterprise’s information systems.\"C3.ai (AI) added the suite integrates other AI systems, including Open AI's ChatGPT, as well as offerings from Google (GOOG) (GOOGL) and academics, into its enterprise AI products.Morgan Stanley listed C3.ai (AI) among popular takeover targets for private equity in a research report last month.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":451,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9952633570,"gmtCreate":1674680448690,"gmtModify":1676538952079,"author":{"id":"3582962119812367","authorId":"3582962119812367","name":"Daniel12321","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a4ffcb9551bf9fffa55a10cf8b531d6","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582962119812367","authorIdStr":"3582962119812367"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9952633570","repostId":"1189432830","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1189432830","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1674657782,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1189432830?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-01-25 22:43","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Crypto Stocks Crashed in Morning Trading; Marathon Digital Fell Over 6% While Bit Digital Slid Over 3%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1189432830","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Crypto stocks crashed in morning trading; Marathon Digital Holdings Inc fell over 6% while Bit Digit","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Crypto stocks crashed in morning trading; <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MARA\">Marathon Digital Holdings Inc</a> fell over 6% while <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BTBT\">Bit Digital, Inc.</a> slid over 3%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/379c5ef4365527860ce04346d9df60c9\" tg-width=\"258\" tg-height=\"431\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Crypto Stocks Crashed in Morning Trading; Marathon Digital Fell Over 6% While Bit Digital Slid Over 3%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCrypto Stocks Crashed in Morning Trading; Marathon Digital Fell Over 6% While Bit Digital Slid Over 3%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2023-01-25 22:43</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Crypto stocks crashed in morning trading; <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MARA\">Marathon Digital Holdings Inc</a> fell over 6% while <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BTBT\">Bit Digital, Inc.</a> slid over 3%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/379c5ef4365527860ce04346d9df60c9\" tg-width=\"258\" tg-height=\"431\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BTBT":"Bit Digital, Inc.","MARA":"MARA Holdings"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1189432830","content_text":"Crypto stocks crashed in morning trading; Marathon Digital Holdings Inc fell over 6% while Bit Digital, Inc. slid over 3%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":508,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9952894018,"gmtCreate":1674594018335,"gmtModify":1676538948001,"author":{"id":"3582962119812367","authorId":"3582962119812367","name":"Daniel12321","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a4ffcb9551bf9fffa55a10cf8b531d6","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582962119812367","authorIdStr":"3582962119812367"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9952894018","repostId":"2305111142","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2305111142","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1674660541,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2305111142?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-01-25 23:29","market":"us","language":"en","title":"2 Growth Stocks Down More Than 50% to Buy Now","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2305111142","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Roku and Shopify are great bargains now.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Growth stocks have been crushed over the last year, but just as they ran too high during the pandemic, they now seem to have fallen too far during the sell-off.</p><p>Valuations have crumbled, and investors have gone from thinking industries like e-commerce would have limitless growth to believing that they&#39;re dead. That sell-off has created a buying opportunity, and two stocks down big that look especially promising are <b>Roku</b> and <b>Shopify</b>.</p><p>Here&#39;s a closer look at why each of these growth stocks holds significant long-term promise despite being down more than 50% over the past 12 months.</p><h2>1. Roku: Streaming is still growing</h2><p>Roku stock is down a whopping 89% from its peak in 2021, as seemingly everything has gone wrong for the leading streaming platform.</p><p>First, subscriber growth in services like <b>Netflix </b>seemed to hit a ceiling after a surge in growth earlier in the pandemic. The ad market also shriveled as brands are preparing for a recession and cutting spending. In fact, the slowdown is bad enough that Roku actually forecast a decline in revenue in the fourth quarter.</p><p>Roku has also swung from profits in 2021 to sizable losses as the company stepped up its investments in the business just as revenue growth started to slow.</p><p>However, it&#39;s a mistake to think the Roku growth story is dead. In fact, the company continues to grow users and viewing time, which is a sign that demand for its service remains strong.</p><p>Earlier in January, the company said it had topped 70 million active accounts globally, adding 9.9 million in 2022, more than the 8.9 million it gained in 2021. The company also said streaming hours increased 19% in the year to 87.4 billion, showing that Roku users are spending more time with the platform.</p><p>Roku&#39;s business is centered around advertising. It takes a 30% share of ad inventory from its streaming partners, and with several legacy media companies having recently launched streaming services and Netflix and <b>Disney</b> recently adding advertising tiers, Roku should get some significant tailwinds over time.</p><p>Despite the current headwinds, Roku&#39;s long-term growth still looks promising, and the stock should recover once the ad market picks up.</p><h2>2. Shopify: E-commerce will rebound</h2><p>Much like Roku stock plunged on weakness in the streaming industry, so has Shopify plunged due to the slowdown in e-commerce.</p><p>Shares of the e-commerce software leader have tumbled after surging on strong growth during the pandemic. Revenue growth has slowed as its profits have turned into losses, and it has seen a stretched valuation, which was up to a price-to-sales ratio over 50 at one point during the pandemic.</p><p>Shopify is far from the only e-commerce stock that&#39;s struggling lately. In fact, most have experienced the whipsaw effect of a boom and bust during the pandemic, including <b>Amazon</b>, <b>Etsy</b>, and <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/W\">Wayfair</a></b>.</p><p>Despite those headwinds, the long-term opportunity for Shopify is still intact. It&#39;s the clear leader in e-commerce software, and it&#39;s still outgrowing the industry, posting 21% constant-currency growth in gross merchandise volume during the Black Friday weekend. In addition, retail sales volume should continue to shift from brick-and-mortar stores to the online channel over time as delivery gets faster and more convenient and finding the product you want gets even easier.</p><p>As a software company, Shopify also has the capability to be highly profitable once the business scales and starts to mature, though the company has spent aggressively on growth throughout its history. For example, it spent $2.1 billion last year to acquire Deliverr, a fulfillment technology company, to beef up its own fulfillment network to better compete with Amazon. In fact, Shopify and Amazon increasingly appear to be on a collision course as Amazon as expanding its Buy with Prime program to all eligible merchants at the end of January, posing a potentially serious threat to Shopify.</p><p>However, if Shopify can fend off that threat, its growth should accelerate as it moves past the difficult comparisons from the pandemic, and it should get tailwinds from the economic recovery whenever that happens.</p><p>Expect Shopify to continue to develop its fulfillment network, and as it does, the platform will become more attractive to merchants and even more competitive with Amazon.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>2 Growth Stocks Down More Than 50% to Buy Now</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n2 Growth Stocks Down More Than 50% to Buy Now\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-01-25 23:29 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2023/01/24/2-growth-stocks-down-more-than-50-to-buy-now/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Growth stocks have been crushed over the last year, but just as they ran too high during the pandemic, they now seem to have fallen too far during the sell-off.Valuations have crumbled, and investors ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2023/01/24/2-growth-stocks-down-more-than-50-to-buy-now/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ROKU":"Roku Inc","SHOP":"Shopify Inc"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2023/01/24/2-growth-stocks-down-more-than-50-to-buy-now/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2305111142","content_text":"Growth stocks have been crushed over the last year, but just as they ran too high during the pandemic, they now seem to have fallen too far during the sell-off.Valuations have crumbled, and investors have gone from thinking industries like e-commerce would have limitless growth to believing that they're dead. That sell-off has created a buying opportunity, and two stocks down big that look especially promising are Roku and Shopify.Here's a closer look at why each of these growth stocks holds significant long-term promise despite being down more than 50% over the past 12 months.1. Roku: Streaming is still growingRoku stock is down a whopping 89% from its peak in 2021, as seemingly everything has gone wrong for the leading streaming platform.First, subscriber growth in services like Netflix seemed to hit a ceiling after a surge in growth earlier in the pandemic. The ad market also shriveled as brands are preparing for a recession and cutting spending. In fact, the slowdown is bad enough that Roku actually forecast a decline in revenue in the fourth quarter.Roku has also swung from profits in 2021 to sizable losses as the company stepped up its investments in the business just as revenue growth started to slow.However, it's a mistake to think the Roku growth story is dead. In fact, the company continues to grow users and viewing time, which is a sign that demand for its service remains strong.Earlier in January, the company said it had topped 70 million active accounts globally, adding 9.9 million in 2022, more than the 8.9 million it gained in 2021. The company also said streaming hours increased 19% in the year to 87.4 billion, showing that Roku users are spending more time with the platform.Roku's business is centered around advertising. It takes a 30% share of ad inventory from its streaming partners, and with several legacy media companies having recently launched streaming services and Netflix and Disney recently adding advertising tiers, Roku should get some significant tailwinds over time.Despite the current headwinds, Roku's long-term growth still looks promising, and the stock should recover once the ad market picks up.2. Shopify: E-commerce will reboundMuch like Roku stock plunged on weakness in the streaming industry, so has Shopify plunged due to the slowdown in e-commerce.Shares of the e-commerce software leader have tumbled after surging on strong growth during the pandemic. Revenue growth has slowed as its profits have turned into losses, and it has seen a stretched valuation, which was up to a price-to-sales ratio over 50 at one point during the pandemic.Shopify is far from the only e-commerce stock that's struggling lately. In fact, most have experienced the whipsaw effect of a boom and bust during the pandemic, including Amazon, Etsy, and Wayfair.Despite those headwinds, the long-term opportunity for Shopify is still intact. It's the clear leader in e-commerce software, and it's still outgrowing the industry, posting 21% constant-currency growth in gross merchandise volume during the Black Friday weekend. In addition, retail sales volume should continue to shift from brick-and-mortar stores to the online channel over time as delivery gets faster and more convenient and finding the product you want gets even easier.As a software company, Shopify also has the capability to be highly profitable once the business scales and starts to mature, though the company has spent aggressively on growth throughout its history. For example, it spent $2.1 billion last year to acquire Deliverr, a fulfillment technology company, to beef up its own fulfillment network to better compete with Amazon. In fact, Shopify and Amazon increasingly appear to be on a collision course as Amazon as expanding its Buy with Prime program to all eligible merchants at the end of January, posing a potentially serious threat to Shopify.However, if Shopify can fend off that threat, its growth should accelerate as it moves past the difficult comparisons from the pandemic, and it should get tailwinds from the economic recovery whenever that happens.Expect Shopify to continue to develop its fulfillment network, and as it does, the platform will become more attractive to merchants and even more competitive with Amazon.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":484,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9958853299,"gmtCreate":1673697783511,"gmtModify":1676538875902,"author":{"id":"3582962119812367","authorId":"3582962119812367","name":"Daniel12321","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a4ffcb9551bf9fffa55a10cf8b531d6","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582962119812367","authorIdStr":"3582962119812367"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9958853299","repostId":"1115174764","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1115174764","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1673667072,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1115174764?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-01-14 11:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Netflix Q4 Earnings Preview: Another Decent Quarter in Sight but Concern Over Its Turnaround Story in 2023","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1115174764","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"JPMorgan expected that Netflix’s ad-supported plan may bring in 250K users in Q4 and the company can","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote>JPMorgan expected that Netflix’s ad-supported plan may bring in 250K users in Q4 and the company can add 4.75 million net new subscribers in Q4, while Needham estimated that its Q4 revenue will be $7.78B and lowed FY23’s revenue to be $33.4B.</blockquote><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">Netflix</a></b> is scheduled to announce Q4 earnings results after the market closes on next Thursday, January 19.</p><h2>Latest Results</h2><p>It reported Q3 revenue of $7.93 billion, up from $7.48 billion a year earlier, earnings of $3.10 per share fell from $3.19 a year ago, and it added 2.41 million net new subscribers in Q3 after contracting by 200,000 and 970,000 in Q1 and Q2.</p><h2>Q4 Guidance</h2><p>The company expects EPS of $0.36 and sales of $7.78 billion in Q4, with the sequential drop due to a strengthening of the dollar. The currency hit to sales in 2022 is set to be about $1 billion, and it expects global steaming paid net additions of 4.5 million in Q4.</p><h2>Management&#39;s Top Priority for 2023 Is Revenue Growth</h2><p>In the UBS conference, management stated that their top priority for 2023 is to reaccelerate revenue growth. Also, management will return to margin expansion over time as it looks to overcome the current short-term challenges.</p><p>In terms of annual content spend, they believe that $17 billion is about the right amount of content spending they expect annually and will look to improve the efficiency of this spending by ensuring that in 2023, the release slate is smoother and that more popular local content can make its way globally.</p><h2>Ad Tier and Paid Sharing Initiatives Update</h2><p>Management expects the ad tier to be flexible and adjust the offering over time and make improvements for both consumers and advertisers. There were also suggestions that Netflix may launch additional tiers beyond Basic over time. More importantly, management does not expect much cannibalism in terms of migration between plans based on their historical records. In addition, they do not expect incremental costs for running the new ad tier.</p><p>For paid sharing, management expects that the paid sharing initiative will have an impact similar to normal price increases and expects that there will be a minimal negative impact when it is launched.</p><h2>Analyst Opinions</h2><p>Bloomberg analyst Geetha Ranganathan said a slow start for Netflix&#39;s ad-supported plan shouldn&#39;t cloud its long-term outlook, given it&#39;s still in the early days. The ad tier will help in password crackdown efforts apart from driving stable average revenue per user gains. Still, the consensus for 14 million-plus user additions in 2023 could be high, but 12 million should be achievable.</p><p>Needham analyst Laura Martin maintained the estimates of Q4 revenue of $7.78B (up 1% y/y), Adj EBITDA of $381.6mm(down 52% y/y), Operating Income of $146.6mm (down 77% y/y), Net Income of $163mm (down 73% y/y), and GAAP EPS of $0.36 (down 73% y/y), but lowered the estimate to FY23’s revenue of $33.4B (up 6% y/y and 7% below previous estimate), Adj EBITDA of $6.5B (up 6% y/y and 15% below previous estimate), and GAAP EPS of $9.31 (down 9% y/y and 20% below previous estimate).</p><p>JPMorgan analyst Doug Anmuth reiterated it as overweight and offered the price target of $330, he remained bullish on the company’s ability to reaccelerate revenue, expand operating margins &amp; grow FCF in 2023, and estimated that the ad-supported plan may bring in 250K users in Q4 and the company can add 4.75 million net new subscribers in Q4.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Netflix Q4 Earnings Preview: Another Decent Quarter in Sight but Concern Over Its Turnaround Story in 2023</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNetflix Q4 Earnings Preview: Another Decent Quarter in Sight but Concern Over Its Turnaround Story in 2023\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2023-01-14 11:31</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><blockquote>JPMorgan expected that Netflix’s ad-supported plan may bring in 250K users in Q4 and the company can add 4.75 million net new subscribers in Q4, while Needham estimated that its Q4 revenue will be $7.78B and lowed FY23’s revenue to be $33.4B.</blockquote><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">Netflix</a></b> is scheduled to announce Q4 earnings results after the market closes on next Thursday, January 19.</p><h2>Latest Results</h2><p>It reported Q3 revenue of $7.93 billion, up from $7.48 billion a year earlier, earnings of $3.10 per share fell from $3.19 a year ago, and it added 2.41 million net new subscribers in Q3 after contracting by 200,000 and 970,000 in Q1 and Q2.</p><h2>Q4 Guidance</h2><p>The company expects EPS of $0.36 and sales of $7.78 billion in Q4, with the sequential drop due to a strengthening of the dollar. The currency hit to sales in 2022 is set to be about $1 billion, and it expects global steaming paid net additions of 4.5 million in Q4.</p><h2>Management&#39;s Top Priority for 2023 Is Revenue Growth</h2><p>In the UBS conference, management stated that their top priority for 2023 is to reaccelerate revenue growth. Also, management will return to margin expansion over time as it looks to overcome the current short-term challenges.</p><p>In terms of annual content spend, they believe that $17 billion is about the right amount of content spending they expect annually and will look to improve the efficiency of this spending by ensuring that in 2023, the release slate is smoother and that more popular local content can make its way globally.</p><h2>Ad Tier and Paid Sharing Initiatives Update</h2><p>Management expects the ad tier to be flexible and adjust the offering over time and make improvements for both consumers and advertisers. There were also suggestions that Netflix may launch additional tiers beyond Basic over time. More importantly, management does not expect much cannibalism in terms of migration between plans based on their historical records. In addition, they do not expect incremental costs for running the new ad tier.</p><p>For paid sharing, management expects that the paid sharing initiative will have an impact similar to normal price increases and expects that there will be a minimal negative impact when it is launched.</p><h2>Analyst Opinions</h2><p>Bloomberg analyst Geetha Ranganathan said a slow start for Netflix&#39;s ad-supported plan shouldn&#39;t cloud its long-term outlook, given it&#39;s still in the early days. The ad tier will help in password crackdown efforts apart from driving stable average revenue per user gains. Still, the consensus for 14 million-plus user additions in 2023 could be high, but 12 million should be achievable.</p><p>Needham analyst Laura Martin maintained the estimates of Q4 revenue of $7.78B (up 1% y/y), Adj EBITDA of $381.6mm(down 52% y/y), Operating Income of $146.6mm (down 77% y/y), Net Income of $163mm (down 73% y/y), and GAAP EPS of $0.36 (down 73% y/y), but lowered the estimate to FY23’s revenue of $33.4B (up 6% y/y and 7% below previous estimate), Adj EBITDA of $6.5B (up 6% y/y and 15% below previous estimate), and GAAP EPS of $9.31 (down 9% y/y and 20% below previous estimate).</p><p>JPMorgan analyst Doug Anmuth reiterated it as overweight and offered the price target of $330, he remained bullish on the company’s ability to reaccelerate revenue, expand operating margins &amp; grow FCF in 2023, and estimated that the ad-supported plan may bring in 250K users in Q4 and the company can add 4.75 million net new subscribers in Q4.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NFLX":"奈飞"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1115174764","content_text":"JPMorgan expected that Netflix’s ad-supported plan may bring in 250K users in Q4 and the company can add 4.75 million net new subscribers in Q4, while Needham estimated that its Q4 revenue will be $7.78B and lowed FY23’s revenue to be $33.4B.Netflix is scheduled to announce Q4 earnings results after the market closes on next Thursday, January 19.Latest ResultsIt reported Q3 revenue of $7.93 billion, up from $7.48 billion a year earlier, earnings of $3.10 per share fell from $3.19 a year ago, and it added 2.41 million net new subscribers in Q3 after contracting by 200,000 and 970,000 in Q1 and Q2.Q4 GuidanceThe company expects EPS of $0.36 and sales of $7.78 billion in Q4, with the sequential drop due to a strengthening of the dollar. The currency hit to sales in 2022 is set to be about $1 billion, and it expects global steaming paid net additions of 4.5 million in Q4.Management's Top Priority for 2023 Is Revenue GrowthIn the UBS conference, management stated that their top priority for 2023 is to reaccelerate revenue growth. Also, management will return to margin expansion over time as it looks to overcome the current short-term challenges.In terms of annual content spend, they believe that $17 billion is about the right amount of content spending they expect annually and will look to improve the efficiency of this spending by ensuring that in 2023, the release slate is smoother and that more popular local content can make its way globally.Ad Tier and Paid Sharing Initiatives UpdateManagement expects the ad tier to be flexible and adjust the offering over time and make improvements for both consumers and advertisers. There were also suggestions that Netflix may launch additional tiers beyond Basic over time. More importantly, management does not expect much cannibalism in terms of migration between plans based on their historical records. In addition, they do not expect incremental costs for running the new ad tier.For paid sharing, management expects that the paid sharing initiative will have an impact similar to normal price increases and expects that there will be a minimal negative impact when it is launched.Analyst OpinionsBloomberg analyst Geetha Ranganathan said a slow start for Netflix's ad-supported plan shouldn't cloud its long-term outlook, given it's still in the early days. The ad tier will help in password crackdown efforts apart from driving stable average revenue per user gains. Still, the consensus for 14 million-plus user additions in 2023 could be high, but 12 million should be achievable.Needham analyst Laura Martin maintained the estimates of Q4 revenue of $7.78B (up 1% y/y), Adj EBITDA of $381.6mm(down 52% y/y), Operating Income of $146.6mm (down 77% y/y), Net Income of $163mm (down 73% y/y), and GAAP EPS of $0.36 (down 73% y/y), but lowered the estimate to FY23’s revenue of $33.4B (up 6% y/y and 7% below previous estimate), Adj EBITDA of $6.5B (up 6% y/y and 15% below previous estimate), and GAAP EPS of $9.31 (down 9% y/y and 20% below previous estimate).JPMorgan analyst Doug Anmuth reiterated it as overweight and offered the price target of $330, he remained bullish on the company’s ability to reaccelerate revenue, expand operating margins & grow FCF in 2023, and estimated that the ad-supported plan may bring in 250K users in Q4 and the company can add 4.75 million net new subscribers in Q4.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":332,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9958393345,"gmtCreate":1673625672987,"gmtModify":1676538867178,"author":{"id":"3582962119812367","authorId":"3582962119812367","name":"Daniel12321","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a4ffcb9551bf9fffa55a10cf8b531d6","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582962119812367","authorIdStr":"3582962119812367"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9958393345","repostId":"1167317624","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1167317624","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1673622237,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1167317624?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-01-13 23:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Top Calls on Wall Street: Tesla, Credit Suisse, Lockheed Martin and More","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1167317624","media":"TheFly","summary":"Top 5 Upgrades:BofA analyst Michael Feniger upgraded Caterpillar(CAT) to Buy from Neutral with a pri","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2><b>Top 5 Upgrades:</b></h2><ul><li>BofA analyst Michael Feniger upgraded <b>Caterpillar</b>(CAT) to Buy from Neutral with a price target of $295, up from $217. Rising prices versus costs can provide a tailwind that &#34;provides cover in the near-term&#34; at a time of heightened uncertainty, Feniger argues.</li><li>RBC Capital analyst Mike Dahl upgraded <b>Vulcan Materials</b>(VMC) to Outperform from Sector Perform with a price target of $191, up from $170. Ramping infrastructure tailwinds and &#34;lagged&#34; non-residential strength should largely offset &#34;sharp headwinds&#34; from new residential construction in 2023, Dahl tells investors in a research note.</li><li>Wells Fargo analyst Seth Weber upgraded <b>TransUnion</b>(TRU) to Overweight from Equal Weight with a price target of $88, up from $70. The stock&#39;s significant underperformance provides an attractive entry point for a company with valuable data/info assets and decisioning tools, Weber tells investors in a research note.</li><li>JPMorgan analyst Guilherme Mendes upgraded <b>Copa Holdings</b>(CPA) to Overweight from Neutral with a price target of $132, up from $105. The analyst says Copa offers an &#34;interesting combination&#34; of a discounted valuation to its historical average and a &#34;relatively comfortable balance sheet situation.&#34;</li><li>Stifel analyst Andrew Partheniou upgraded <b>Organigram</b>(OGI) to Buy from Hold with an unchanged price target of C$1.50 after the company reported &#34;strong&#34; Q1 results. Profitability beat expectations with meaningful cash generation, noted Partheniou, who is raising his profitability estimates to reflect Q1 performance, management&#39;s gross margin guidance and the company&#39;s production expansions and innovation &#34;bearing fruit.&#34;</li></ul><h2><b>Top 5 Downgrades:</b></h2><ul><li>Goldman Sachs analyst Noah Poponak downgraded <b>Lockheed Martin</b>(LMT) to Sell from Neutral with a price target of $332, down from $388. The U.S. defense budget has grown significantly to an all-time high level, and with a large level of cumulative government debt, focus on slowing spending growth or reducing it outright could return in 2023, Poponak tells investors in a research note.</li><li>BTIG analyst Gray Powell downgraded <b>Fortinet</b>(FTNT) to Neutral from Buy without a price target. The analyst has increased appliance refresh concerns following channel checks. He has consistently heard increased concerns on firewall refresh delays in 2023 from contacts who have a view on large enterprise spending and Fortinet is most exposed to this risk, Powell tells investors in a research note.</li><li>Guggenheim analyst Michael Morris downgraded <b>Warner Music</b>(WMG) to Neutral from Buy with a price target of $35, down from $38, after updating his fiscal Q1 model to better reflect weaker-than-previously forecast Recorded Music streaming revenue. While he is still confident in the company&#39;s ability to monetize unique intellectual property, Morris is taking &#34;a modestly more conservative view&#34; of a sustained growth trajectory in streaming revenue and recorded music margin expansion.</li><li>Deutsche Bank analyst George Brown downgraded <b>Logitech</b>(LOGI) to Hold from Buy with a price target of CHF 54, down from CHF 68. The current downturn in the PC market is more severe than anticipated and the stock&#39;s risk/reward is more balanced given the extended replacement cycles, Brown tells investors in a research note.</li><li>Guggenheim analyst Ronald Jewsikow downgraded <b>Tesla</b>(TSLA) to Sell from Neutral.  Jewsikow forecasts a &#34;sizable&#34; gross margin miss in Q4 to be driven mainly by price reductions and incentive actions taken during the quarter.</li></ul><h2><b>Top 5 Initiations:</b></h2><ul><li>Deutsche Bank analyst Benjamin Goy reinstated coverage of <b>Credit Suisse</b>(CS) with a Hold rating and CHF 3.40 price target. The bank is taking the right steps but lowering costs, regaining operational momentum, and reducing the complexity of funding costs will take time, Goy tells investors in a research note.</li><li>Jefferies analyst Vedvati Shrote initiated coverage of <b>Teradyne</b>(TER) with a Buy rating and $115 price target as the analyst launched coverage on a pair of Back-End Test Equipment stocks. The industry has transformed into a high-single- to low-double-digit growth segment after &#34;a decade uninspiring growth,&#34; said Shrote, who calls out view Teradyne as a test equipment beneficiary as the market leader with 50% share.</li><li>Truist analyst Keith Hughes initiated coverage of <b>Summit Materials</b>(SUM) with a Buy rating and $40 price target. The analyst believes that the strong pricing in aggregates and cement will continue and offset cost, leading to EBITDA growth this year.</li><li>UBS analyst Rayna Kumar initiated coverage of <b>Pagaya</b>(PGY) with a Neutral rating and $1.25 price target. While Kumar estimates that from 2022E-2025E, Pagaya&#39;s AI-powered network could fuel a 26% network volume and 23% top-line CAGR, the analyst expects mounting macro headwinds from rising interest rates and consumer credit deterioration to continue to pressure Pagaya&#39;s loan approval rate in 2023, making it unlikely the company will achieve its 3-5 year medium-term network volume ambition of $25B, Kumar tells investors in a research note.</li><li>Capital One analyst Connor Murphy initiated coverage of <b>Workday</b>(WDAY) with an Overweight rating and $200 price target.</li></ul></body></html>","source":"lsy1666364704704","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Top Calls on Wall Street: Tesla, Credit Suisse, Lockheed Martin and More</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTop Calls on Wall Street: Tesla, Credit Suisse, Lockheed Martin and More\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-01-13 23:03 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://thefly.com/landingPageNews.php?id=3645251&headline=FTNT;WMG;CAT;VMC;TRU;LMT;TSLA;LOGI;CPA;OGI;CS;TER;SUM;WDAY;PGY-Street-Wrap-Todays-Top--Upgrades-Downgrades-Initiations><strong>TheFly</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Top 5 Upgrades:BofA analyst Michael Feniger upgraded Caterpillar(CAT) to Buy from Neutral with a price target of $295, up from $217. Rising prices versus costs can provide a tailwind that \"provides ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://thefly.com/landingPageNews.php?id=3645251&headline=FTNT;WMG;CAT;VMC;TRU;LMT;TSLA;LOGI;CPA;OGI;CS;TER;SUM;WDAY;PGY-Street-Wrap-Todays-Top--Upgrades-Downgrades-Initiations\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LMT":"洛克希德马丁","TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://thefly.com/landingPageNews.php?id=3645251&headline=FTNT;WMG;CAT;VMC;TRU;LMT;TSLA;LOGI;CPA;OGI;CS;TER;SUM;WDAY;PGY-Street-Wrap-Todays-Top--Upgrades-Downgrades-Initiations","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1167317624","content_text":"Top 5 Upgrades:BofA analyst Michael Feniger upgraded Caterpillar(CAT) to Buy from Neutral with a price target of $295, up from $217. Rising prices versus costs can provide a tailwind that \"provides cover in the near-term\" at a time of heightened uncertainty, Feniger argues.RBC Capital analyst Mike Dahl upgraded Vulcan Materials(VMC) to Outperform from Sector Perform with a price target of $191, up from $170. Ramping infrastructure tailwinds and \"lagged\" non-residential strength should largely offset \"sharp headwinds\" from new residential construction in 2023, Dahl tells investors in a research note.Wells Fargo analyst Seth Weber upgraded TransUnion(TRU) to Overweight from Equal Weight with a price target of $88, up from $70. The stock's significant underperformance provides an attractive entry point for a company with valuable data/info assets and decisioning tools, Weber tells investors in a research note.JPMorgan analyst Guilherme Mendes upgraded Copa Holdings(CPA) to Overweight from Neutral with a price target of $132, up from $105. The analyst says Copa offers an \"interesting combination\" of a discounted valuation to its historical average and a \"relatively comfortable balance sheet situation.\"Stifel analyst Andrew Partheniou upgraded Organigram(OGI) to Buy from Hold with an unchanged price target of C$1.50 after the company reported \"strong\" Q1 results. Profitability beat expectations with meaningful cash generation, noted Partheniou, who is raising his profitability estimates to reflect Q1 performance, management's gross margin guidance and the company's production expansions and innovation \"bearing fruit.\"Top 5 Downgrades:Goldman Sachs analyst Noah Poponak downgraded Lockheed Martin(LMT) to Sell from Neutral with a price target of $332, down from $388. The U.S. defense budget has grown significantly to an all-time high level, and with a large level of cumulative government debt, focus on slowing spending growth or reducing it outright could return in 2023, Poponak tells investors in a research note.BTIG analyst Gray Powell downgraded Fortinet(FTNT) to Neutral from Buy without a price target. The analyst has increased appliance refresh concerns following channel checks. He has consistently heard increased concerns on firewall refresh delays in 2023 from contacts who have a view on large enterprise spending and Fortinet is most exposed to this risk, Powell tells investors in a research note.Guggenheim analyst Michael Morris downgraded Warner Music(WMG) to Neutral from Buy with a price target of $35, down from $38, after updating his fiscal Q1 model to better reflect weaker-than-previously forecast Recorded Music streaming revenue. While he is still confident in the company's ability to monetize unique intellectual property, Morris is taking \"a modestly more conservative view\" of a sustained growth trajectory in streaming revenue and recorded music margin expansion.Deutsche Bank analyst George Brown downgraded Logitech(LOGI) to Hold from Buy with a price target of CHF 54, down from CHF 68. The current downturn in the PC market is more severe than anticipated and the stock's risk/reward is more balanced given the extended replacement cycles, Brown tells investors in a research note.Guggenheim analyst Ronald Jewsikow downgraded Tesla(TSLA) to Sell from Neutral.  Jewsikow forecasts a \"sizable\" gross margin miss in Q4 to be driven mainly by price reductions and incentive actions taken during the quarter.Top 5 Initiations:Deutsche Bank analyst Benjamin Goy reinstated coverage of Credit Suisse(CS) with a Hold rating and CHF 3.40 price target. The bank is taking the right steps but lowering costs, regaining operational momentum, and reducing the complexity of funding costs will take time, Goy tells investors in a research note.Jefferies analyst Vedvati Shrote initiated coverage of Teradyne(TER) with a Buy rating and $115 price target as the analyst launched coverage on a pair of Back-End Test Equipment stocks. The industry has transformed into a high-single- to low-double-digit growth segment after \"a decade uninspiring growth,\" said Shrote, who calls out view Teradyne as a test equipment beneficiary as the market leader with 50% share.Truist analyst Keith Hughes initiated coverage of Summit Materials(SUM) with a Buy rating and $40 price target. The analyst believes that the strong pricing in aggregates and cement will continue and offset cost, leading to EBITDA growth this year.UBS analyst Rayna Kumar initiated coverage of Pagaya(PGY) with a Neutral rating and $1.25 price target. While Kumar estimates that from 2022E-2025E, Pagaya's AI-powered network could fuel a 26% network volume and 23% top-line CAGR, the analyst expects mounting macro headwinds from rising interest rates and consumer credit deterioration to continue to pressure Pagaya's loan approval rate in 2023, making it unlikely the company will achieve its 3-5 year medium-term network volume ambition of $25B, Kumar tells investors in a research note.Capital One analyst Connor Murphy initiated coverage of Workday(WDAY) with an Overweight rating and $200 price target.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":248,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9927770727,"gmtCreate":1672606807970,"gmtModify":1676538710010,"author":{"id":"3582962119812367","authorId":"3582962119812367","name":"Daniel12321","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a4ffcb9551bf9fffa55a10cf8b531d6","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582962119812367","authorIdStr":"3582962119812367"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9927770727","repostId":"1113081958","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1113081958","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1672535370,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1113081958?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-01-01 09:09","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Reminder: U.S. Market Closed for New Year's Day on Monday, Jan. 2, 2023","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1113081958","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"The New Year has arrived, please take note of the trading hours during the holiday period and make n","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a3325f9177c7cac9e0526b4554c62cd7\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>The New Year has arrived, please take note of the trading hours during the holiday period and make necessary preparations in advance.</p><p>The U.S. market will be closed at local time on Monday, Jan. 2, 2023.</p><p>The Singapore market will be closed at local time on Monday, Jan. 2, 2023.</p><p>The Hong Kong market will be closed at local time on Monday, Jan. 2, 2023.</p><p>The Australian market will be closed at local time on Monday, Jan. 2, 2023.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Reminder: U.S. Market Closed for New Year's Day on Monday, Jan. 2, 2023</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nReminder: U.S. Market Closed for New Year's Day on Monday, Jan. 2, 2023\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2023-01-01 09:09</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a3325f9177c7cac9e0526b4554c62cd7\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>The New Year has arrived, please take note of the trading hours during the holiday period and make necessary preparations in advance.</p><p>The U.S. market will be closed at local time on Monday, Jan. 2, 2023.</p><p>The Singapore market will be closed at local time on Monday, Jan. 2, 2023.</p><p>The Hong Kong market will be closed at local time on Monday, Jan. 2, 2023.</p><p>The Australian market will be closed at local time on Monday, Jan. 2, 2023.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1113081958","content_text":"The New Year has arrived, please take note of the trading hours during the holiday period and make necessary preparations in advance.The U.S. market will be closed at local time on Monday, Jan. 2, 2023.The Singapore market will be closed at local time on Monday, Jan. 2, 2023.The Hong Kong market will be closed at local time on Monday, Jan. 2, 2023.The Australian market will be closed at local time on Monday, Jan. 2, 2023.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":452,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9924765255,"gmtCreate":1672330296678,"gmtModify":1676538674167,"author":{"id":"3582962119812367","authorId":"3582962119812367","name":"Daniel12321","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a4ffcb9551bf9fffa55a10cf8b531d6","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582962119812367","authorIdStr":"3582962119812367"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9924765255","repostId":"2295939169","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2295939169","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1672328438,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2295939169?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-12-29 23:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Got $1,000? 2 Smart Stocks to Buy Hand Over Fist","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2295939169","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Investing in Apple and Microsoft can help set your portfolio up for long-term growth.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The stock market has dealt a tough hand to many investors in 2022, as prolonged volatility has afflicted virtually every sector to a certain degree. Even so, strong businesses with diverse catalysts for future growth can succeed beyond the current challenging period and enrich investors&#39; portfolios in the process.</p><p>That said, if you have $1,000 to invest in the current market, <b>Microsoft</b> and <b>Apple</b> are two smart stocks to consider loading up on before year&#39;s end.</p><h2>1. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">Microsoft</a></h2><p>Microsoft may be one of the most well-known names in tech, but that doesn&#39;t mean this giant has come close to exhausting its growth runway yet. The company is known by many investors for its productivity software, a market in which Microsoft controls a share to the tune of about 50%. Bear in mind, this is a market that hit a valuation of nearly $42 billion in 2020 and is expected to expand to roughly $123 billion by 2028.</p><p>Another huge driver of Microsoft&#39;s current and future growth is the cloud infrastructure market. This is a space worth roughly $60 billion globally at the time of this writing, in which it controls a market share of 21% with its Azure cloud platform.</p><p>The most recent quarter saw the company deliver revenue growth of 11% from the year-ago period to $50 billion, driven by a 24% jump in Microsoft Cloud revenue, a 9% jump in productivity and business processes revenue, and a 20% increase in intelligent cloud revenue. Microsoft remains highly profitable, with its net earnings in the most recent quarter totaling $18 billion.</p><p>Microsoft is in a better position than most to ride out the volatility of the near-term market environment and continue delivering strong growth in the years ahead. Its software offerings remain daily-use essentials for individuals and businesses globally, and its hardware business continues to be a key factor in its overall growth with its lineup of PCs, accessories, headsets, laptops, gaming devices, and more.</p><p>There&#39;s also a less-talked-about aspect of Microsoft&#39;s business, which is its advertising segment. While companies are pulling back on advertising spending in the near term, effective digital ad campaigns remain a must-have cost of doing business in order to remain competitive. While its ad business isn&#39;t yet at the scale of some other well-known tech giants, it hit a major revenue mark of $10 billion last year, while management is aiming to increase this figure to $20 billion in the years ahead.</p><p>A $1,000 investment in Microsoft would add about four shares to your portfolio right now.</p><h2>2. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a></h2><p>Apple is another tech giant that needs no introduction. Shares of Apple have taken a beating over the last few months, particularly as broad sentiment continues to go against tech-oriented growth stocks. Some investors also fear that a recessionary environment could slow down sales of Apple&#39;s key products, as these high-ticket items can be discretionary expenditures for households.</p><p>Apple still makes the lion&#39;s share of its revenue from smartphone sales and has a footprint of about 60% in the U.S. and 30% globally. Apple&#39;s market share within the global smartphone market, a space on track to hit just shy of $500 billion by the year 2026, is not only massive but growing. This can continue to be a durable driver of growth in the years to come, regardless of what happens in the near term. Even with the current macro situation, in the company&#39;s fiscal 2022, iPhone sales comprised about $205 billion of its total sales of $394 billion.</p><p>However, Apple isn&#39;t resting on its laurels. It&#39;s rapidly expanding into new areas of growth that can drive revenue and profits in the future. From its foray into the buy now, pay later space to its expansion in the streaming market to its VR headset, which could launch in early 2023, to its small but growing advertising business, there are plenty of ways the tech giant can continue to disrupt new and emerging industries in the years ahead while delivering returns for shareholders.</p><p>Apple&#39;s core products remain in demand and highly profitable. The company reported another year of steady growth in its fiscal 2022. Earnings jumped 4% year over year to $90 billion, and operating cash flow surged by a whopping $18 billion in the final quarter of the year alone.</p><p>This follows the trailing five years, in which Apple&#39;s revenue and earnings have grown by respective amounts of 131% and 170%, while the tech stock has delivered a total return of 720% for investors.</p><p>A $1,000 investment in Apple would add approximately seven shares to your portfolio.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Got $1,000? 2 Smart Stocks to Buy Hand Over Fist</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGot $1,000? 2 Smart Stocks to Buy Hand Over Fist\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-29 23:40 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/12/28/got-1000-2-smart-stocks-to-buy-hand-over-fist/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The stock market has dealt a tough hand to many investors in 2022, as prolonged volatility has afflicted virtually every sector to a certain degree. Even so, strong businesses with diverse catalysts ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/12/28/got-1000-2-smart-stocks-to-buy-hand-over-fist/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MSFT":"微软","AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/12/28/got-1000-2-smart-stocks-to-buy-hand-over-fist/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2295939169","content_text":"The stock market has dealt a tough hand to many investors in 2022, as prolonged volatility has afflicted virtually every sector to a certain degree. Even so, strong businesses with diverse catalysts for future growth can succeed beyond the current challenging period and enrich investors' portfolios in the process.That said, if you have $1,000 to invest in the current market, Microsoft and Apple are two smart stocks to consider loading up on before year's end.1. MicrosoftMicrosoft may be one of the most well-known names in tech, but that doesn't mean this giant has come close to exhausting its growth runway yet. The company is known by many investors for its productivity software, a market in which Microsoft controls a share to the tune of about 50%. Bear in mind, this is a market that hit a valuation of nearly $42 billion in 2020 and is expected to expand to roughly $123 billion by 2028.Another huge driver of Microsoft's current and future growth is the cloud infrastructure market. This is a space worth roughly $60 billion globally at the time of this writing, in which it controls a market share of 21% with its Azure cloud platform.The most recent quarter saw the company deliver revenue growth of 11% from the year-ago period to $50 billion, driven by a 24% jump in Microsoft Cloud revenue, a 9% jump in productivity and business processes revenue, and a 20% increase in intelligent cloud revenue. Microsoft remains highly profitable, with its net earnings in the most recent quarter totaling $18 billion.Microsoft is in a better position than most to ride out the volatility of the near-term market environment and continue delivering strong growth in the years ahead. Its software offerings remain daily-use essentials for individuals and businesses globally, and its hardware business continues to be a key factor in its overall growth with its lineup of PCs, accessories, headsets, laptops, gaming devices, and more.There's also a less-talked-about aspect of Microsoft's business, which is its advertising segment. While companies are pulling back on advertising spending in the near term, effective digital ad campaigns remain a must-have cost of doing business in order to remain competitive. While its ad business isn't yet at the scale of some other well-known tech giants, it hit a major revenue mark of $10 billion last year, while management is aiming to increase this figure to $20 billion in the years ahead.A $1,000 investment in Microsoft would add about four shares to your portfolio right now.2. AppleApple is another tech giant that needs no introduction. Shares of Apple have taken a beating over the last few months, particularly as broad sentiment continues to go against tech-oriented growth stocks. Some investors also fear that a recessionary environment could slow down sales of Apple's key products, as these high-ticket items can be discretionary expenditures for households.Apple still makes the lion's share of its revenue from smartphone sales and has a footprint of about 60% in the U.S. and 30% globally. Apple's market share within the global smartphone market, a space on track to hit just shy of $500 billion by the year 2026, is not only massive but growing. This can continue to be a durable driver of growth in the years to come, regardless of what happens in the near term. Even with the current macro situation, in the company's fiscal 2022, iPhone sales comprised about $205 billion of its total sales of $394 billion.However, Apple isn't resting on its laurels. It's rapidly expanding into new areas of growth that can drive revenue and profits in the future. From its foray into the buy now, pay later space to its expansion in the streaming market to its VR headset, which could launch in early 2023, to its small but growing advertising business, there are plenty of ways the tech giant can continue to disrupt new and emerging industries in the years ahead while delivering returns for shareholders.Apple's core products remain in demand and highly profitable. The company reported another year of steady growth in its fiscal 2022. Earnings jumped 4% year over year to $90 billion, and operating cash flow surged by a whopping $18 billion in the final quarter of the year alone.This follows the trailing five years, in which Apple's revenue and earnings have grown by respective amounts of 131% and 170%, while the tech stock has delivered a total return of 720% for investors.A $1,000 investment in Apple would add approximately seven shares to your portfolio.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":330,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9924303716,"gmtCreate":1672175027935,"gmtModify":1676538646096,"author":{"id":"3582962119812367","authorId":"3582962119812367","name":"Daniel12321","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a4ffcb9551bf9fffa55a10cf8b531d6","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582962119812367","authorIdStr":"3582962119812367"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9924303716","repostId":"2294866614","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":588,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9921683079,"gmtCreate":1671051798191,"gmtModify":1676538481114,"author":{"id":"3582962119812367","authorId":"3582962119812367","name":"Daniel12321","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a4ffcb9551bf9fffa55a10cf8b531d6","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582962119812367","authorIdStr":"3582962119812367"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9921683079","repostId":"1133619546","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":577,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9921842965,"gmtCreate":1671033652458,"gmtModify":1676538479289,"author":{"id":"3582962119812367","authorId":"3582962119812367","name":"Daniel12321","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a4ffcb9551bf9fffa55a10cf8b531d6","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582962119812367","authorIdStr":"3582962119812367"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ood","listText":"ood","text":"ood","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9921842965","repostId":"1133619546","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1133619546","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1671028925,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1133619546?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-12-14 22:42","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Hot Chinese ADRs Turned Down in Morning Trading with IQiyi Tumbling Over 10%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1133619546","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Hot Chinese ADRs turned down in morning trading with IQiyi tumbling over 10%.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Hot Chinese ADRs turned down in morning trading with IQiyi tumbling over 10%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a73da6a6f3a4cd835be82789c178460\" tg-width=\"254\" tg-height=\"619\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Hot Chinese ADRs Turned Down in Morning Trading with IQiyi Tumbling Over 10%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHot Chinese ADRs Turned Down in Morning Trading with IQiyi Tumbling Over 10%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-12-14 22:42</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Hot Chinese ADRs turned down in morning trading with IQiyi tumbling over 10%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a73da6a6f3a4cd835be82789c178460\" tg-width=\"254\" tg-height=\"619\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"IQ":"爱奇艺","BABA":"阿里巴巴"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1133619546","content_text":"Hot Chinese ADRs turned down in morning trading with IQiyi tumbling over 10%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":121,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9923446468,"gmtCreate":1670897838454,"gmtModify":1676538456378,"author":{"id":"3582962119812367","authorId":"3582962119812367","name":"Daniel12321","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a4ffcb9551bf9fffa55a10cf8b531d6","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582962119812367","authorIdStr":"3582962119812367"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"God","listText":"God","text":"God","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9923446468","repostId":"2291311557","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2291311557","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1670897810,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2291311557?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-12-13 10:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"SPY: The Market Will Go Berserk If Core CPI Surprises To The Upside","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2291311557","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryStocks are up about 10% off of their October lows. Underpinning the rally is the belief that ","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2>Summary</h2><ul><li>Stocks are up about 10% off of their October lows. Underpinning the rally is the belief that inflation has been defeated and that the Fed will soon pivot and dramatically cut rates.</li><li>This led stocks to trade for an improbably high 19x 2023 earnings estimates at the peak of the rally. With T-bills paying nearly 5%, that&#39;s excessive!</li><li>Having put Jerome Powell and the Fed on a pedestal, the market looks complacent here against the risk of yet another hot inflation print.</li><li>Runaway-spending consumers are in no mood to slow down or save. If core CPI does indeed come in hot, the algos will go berserk and stocks could retest the October lows within weeks.</li><li>Historical evidence (the 1970s!), econometric models, and countries that report inflation before the US are flashing a warning signal that executing an economic soft landing and whipping inflation won&#39;t be a cakewalk for the Fed.</li></ul><p>In the 1970s, inflation proved to be much more stubborn than policymakers anticipated. By and large, they kept policy rates too low for too long, engaged in dubious legislative gambits, and were forced to face the reality of shortages of energy,food, andqualified labor willing to work after blowing out the money supply. Does this sound familiar at all? We&#39;re about to get some clues as to whether history is repeating itself. This week brings two huge economic events, the first being the November CPI on Tuesday at 8:30 AM Eastern Time, and the second being the FOMC interest rate decision on Wednesday at 2 PM. The FOMC decision will be followed by Jerome Powell&#39;s all-important press conference afterward. CPI reports and FOMC meetings inthe past few months have seen daily swings of as much as 5% for the benchmark S&amp;P 500 Index (NYSEARCA:SPY). To top it off, Friday is expiration day for monthly stock options, index options, and futures, known on Wall Street as &#34;Triple Witching Hour&#34;. All signs point to potential trouble.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/610ee702b7e5f8e14fb750783698880f\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><h2>Is The Market Too Complacent?</h2><p>Since the October lows were set after a wild reversal from the ugly September CPI report, the market is up about 10%. The S&amp;P 500 rallied all the way to 4100, which seriously clashed with softening expectations for earnings. 19x is historically a very high multiple for stocks in the current environment, and index buyers at 4100 in my view got very poor compensation for the risk they&#39;re taking with risk-free returns near 5% in Treasury bills. This isn&#39;t a total bubble price, but it&#39;s on the very high range of normal.</p><p>Put another way, you can earn about the yield from simply parking your money in cash that you can earn by investing in businesses, so you want to be exceedingly careful about what stocks you buy. There&#39;s an old rule of thumb in the stock market called the &#34;rule of 20&#34; that states that the P/E ratio of the market plus the inflation rate should sum to about 20. Celebrity fund manager Peter Lynch was known to be a big proponent of this rule of thumb. In its original form, the rule of 20 would imply a valuation for the S&amp;P 500 of about 2700 index points. The S&amp;P 500 may not drop that low, but the insight here is that the rate of return over cash for the market is far below what investors historically can expect. To justify its current valuation, the market needs inflation to go down quickly and needs unemployment to stay low so corporate earnings don&#39;t tank along with it. That&#39;s a tall order.</p><p>Last month&#39;s inflation report that lifted the Dow by 1200 points in one day was quirky too. My modeling suggested a higher number, but the core CPI figures last month were helped a surprising amount by a technical data adjustment on the price of health insurance. The Fed prefers to use PCE data for policy because there are fewer quirks like this.</p><p>Interestingly, at roughly 24 as of my writing this, the VIX is much lower than it has been in previous months before CPI.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3ae9efe3eaa1621d404e8b4b88b35d3c\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p>Using the square root rule as a rough guide, you can divide the VIX by 7 to get the expected move in the S&amp;P 500 for a week. That implies a weekly move in the S&amp;P 500 of about 3.4%. The one-day swings alone on Fed and CPI days have been more than that in previous months. I&#39;d argue this is irrationally priced given the history of explosive moves in either direction from CPI, Fed, and options expirations, of which we have a trifecta this week. The algos will be locked and loaded for this week. And of course, more on my forecast for CPI below.</p><h2>Historically, Inflation Doesn&#39;t Just Go Away</h2><p>The lesson from the 1970s and early 1980s is that policymakers would get a few good CPI reports and then cut rates, and then inflation would come roaring back. Now we&#39;re potentially back in that kind of environment if we&#39;re not careful. We now have an inverted yield curve, a stubbornly high CPI, and all kinds of media calls for more government handouts to &#34;ease&#34; the burden of inflation. <i>Bloomberg</i> columnist Aaron Brown did a great piece recently on decoding the yield curve, posing the question to readers of whether the economy will be allowed to wash out unproductive companies or whether the government will continue to exert more and more influence on the economy, leading to years more of 1970s-style economic chaos. Disco may be dead, but the idea that millions of voters have that they can get something for nothing has endured.</p><p>Brown is fairly optimistic that lessons were learned from the 1970s. At least publicly, Powell seems to be showing some semblance of backbone. In Jackson Hole this summer, Powell acknowledged the 1970s-era trap of cutting rates too soon (leading to the dollar falling, speculative demand surging, and inflation roaring back). At the Brookings Institute in November, Powell admitted that the US had a national housing bubble and that the Fed would help fix it. Beating inflation likely won&#39;t just happen on its own. Social Security is about to increase by 8.7% in 2023, and millions of employees are currently negotiating their 2023 pay increases, which will be far in excess of numbers consistent with the Fed&#39;s 2% inflation target. Implicit in these wage negotiations are threats of either going on strike or quitting and leaving for other employers, which at an unemployment rate of 3.7% is a credible and effective threat to employers. Unions representing pilots (30% pay increase) and railroad workers (24% increase) scored big concessions from Corporate America, while West Coast dockworkers are next in line for grabbing big pay increases. With voter focus squarely on inflation and shortages, unions have a lot of leverage over the Biden administration, the most high-profile example being the extraction of a $36 billion payout to the Teamsters union from federal COVID-relief funds to keep the peace.</p><p>And then, you have the Fed&#39;s nightmare, which is the fact that consumer savings rates are near the lowest levels ever. Personal savings hit 2.3% in the last month, and this is with student loans paused. The only other time savings rates have been this low was in the run-up to the 2008 global financial crisis. Consumers are starting with more savings than they had then, but given enough time, these trends imply a serious day of reckoning for consumers. Saving 2.3% is not enough to cover the long-term obligations of consumers. 8% to 10% is considered healthy, and if personal savings go negative, it&#39;s a huge red flag.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f930918bfc4ac46e0e2e7db4a3ec8ae5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"351\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>The Fed&#39;s Nightmare? (Bloomberg)</span></p><p>As a result of this YOLO-driven economy, real incomes from wages continue to relentlessly fall for consumers, while spending continues to climb. The Fed has published reports on this to help shed light on where the money is coming from and where it&#39;s going– they&#39;re worth a read. The consensus here is that pent-up savings from pandemic stimulus are continuing to fuel the economy and that this money will soon run dry. The Fed&#39;s data that they&#39;ve published on consumer savings is mostly indirect– you can&#39;t tell from their PCE estimates just how much consumers have in reserves or how long it will last. Bank CEOs can fill the gaps. JPMorgan&#39;s (JPM) Jamie Dimon has suggested that the excess savings will run out around mid-year 2023. BofA (BAC) CEO Brian Moynihan often plays the optimistic foil to Dimon, but he&#39;s called for GDP contraction in 2023, albeit mild. Capital One (COF) is a key lender for subprime borrowers, and they&#39;ve struck a cautious tone, limiting some new accounts for borrowers with lower credit scores.</p><p>Consumers still have some pent-up savings from the pandemic, but rather than use them to shore up their retirement or follow the Fed&#39;s lead and put the money on deposit to earn 5%, they&#39;re spending with reckless enthusiasm. The <i>WSJ</i> recently published a report, &#34;The $42 Billion Question&#34;, asking why so few consumers are moving their money to earn more than the 0% interest that big banks pay. Thousands of dollars per year are up for grabs for millions of affluent households, and most of them effectively refuse to pick it up off of the sidewalk. Maybe they&#39;d rather spend it all.</p><p>As long as consumers have this cash pile, they&#39;re going to spend it (YOLO), rather than see their neighbors having all of the fun (FOMO). These personal savings rates are mind-blowing when you consider:</p><ul><li>The general level of affluence in the US vs. other countries. The US is by no means the only economy with speculative excess, but if anybody should be putting money away, it&#39;s Americans.</li><li>That most American households own a home bought at non-bubble prices with sub-4% mortgages (or none at all).</li><li>And that those who don&#39;t are often benefitting from the student loan pause (which is going to get axed by the conservative Supreme Court in late winter or spring).</li></ul><p>There&#39;s still way too much demand out there given the level of people willing and able to work– and too much (mainly borrowed) money chasing too few goods. This leads me to believe that we&#39;re still at least a good six months or so from inflation being pushed down to levels that are consistent with anywhere near the Fed&#39;s 2% inflation target. Another hint about whether inflation is defeated comes from the Mannheim used car index– it was falling steadily but now has leveled off. Why might this be? Of course, pent-up demand.</p><h2>Where Will November CPI Come In?</h2><p>It&#39;s now time for us to handicap the CPI figures. Economists expect 0.5% CPI inflation for November and 0.3% core CPI inflation. Last month, October CPI came in at 0.4% and core came in at 0.3%.</p><p>The preponderance of the evidence suggests that inflation is a bigger problem still than economists realize.</p><ol><li>The dollar is down about 10% off of its October highs. The US imported $3.4 trillion in goods and services in 2021. The move upward in the dollar previously had served to mask the true amount of inflation in the US and make inflation appear worse in places like the EU. Now, with the dollar coming back down, these same goods and services will cost about 10% more than they would have a month ago. This alone is enough to increase CPI by between 1% and 2% over the next year.</li><li>Stocks are back up and yields are down, encouraging people to borrow and spend. The Fed often speaks of &#34;financial conditions&#34; with respect to its monetary policy. What this means in the real world is that people see their accounts back up from where they were in October, so they go right back to spending, losing any caution they may have developed from the market rout earlier in the fall.</li><li>To this point, markets are reflexive. October&#39;s CPI print came about in large part because of a stronger dollar, lower stocks, and higher yields leading up to the report. This made the inflation number come in lower and made the market believe that the Fed would soon pivot. The last time this happened, it set the conditions for the next CPI report to come in hot, dashing any hopes of a Fed pivot and sending stocks to new lows and yields to new highs. Now since November, we&#39;ve seen a weaker dollar, higher stocks, and lower yields, all setting the conditions for another hot report and crazy swing in stocks. The paradox here is that the more traders get excited about lower inflation and a Fed pivot, the less likely it is to happen.</li></ol><p>The Cleveland Fed econometric model generally outperforms professional economists in forecasting inflation. The model predicts a core CPI of 0.51% for November, far higher than the 0.3% projected by economists. I think this is about the right number for November. CPI is projected to increase another 0.5% in December by the model, which I also agree with. If the Cleveland Fed model is correct, then equity markets will get a slap in the face as their hopes of a Fed pivot are filed away for the next six months.</p><p>Another approach is to look at other countries that report CPI before the US does in the month. My unscientific sample shows that core November CPI in Mexico was higher than expected, core CPI in South Korea was higher than expected, and core CPI in Hungary also surprised to the upside. In each case, the countries had seen a decrease in energy costs coupled with an increase in demand-driven core CPI. My forecast is therefore 0.5% for core CPI in the US for November for the reasons above. If this is so, the market won&#39;t like it.</p><h2>What Will the Fed Do This Week?</h2><p>The day after CPI we will get the Fed. My guess is that the Fed has boxed itself into a corner regarding a 50 basis point hike and that they won&#39;t backtrack to 75 bps if the inflation report comes in hot. Similarly, if inflation comes in as expected, raising by 25 bps would send the wrong message to the market and fuel round after round of technical, speculative buying. Therefore, almost regardless of where inflation comes in, I&#39;d expect a 50 basis point increase in the Federal Funds rate, followed by a hawkish press conference. But the key question is where the Fed funds rate is likely to top out, and how long they&#39;ll keep it there. I believe the rate will have to go higher than most people think and stay there for longer as well as a result of the unprecedented level of free government money and the wrecking ball effect it had on the real economy in 2021.</p><p>But let&#39;s get back to some econometrics.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e828ac964db149440a7bcd0af12fd575\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"422\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Taylor Rule Calculator (Atlanta Fed)</span></p><p>Under most assumptions for where Fed policy should be, the recommended interest rate is around 5%. Key to my assumption here is that roughly 50% of core inflation is supply driven and 50% is demand-driven. If you believe that two-thirds of core inflation is demand-driven, then you get this.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9b51071560e7ae0a6f8653bc3d392114\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"419\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Taylor Rule Calculator (Atlanta Fed)</span></p><p>These figures are in line with some vocal policy hawks like Larry Summers. The approach has some minority support inside the Fed as well from more hawkish members like St. Louis Fed president James Bullard. 6% rates would have some serious implications for stocks, as you&#39;d be silly to park much money in high-multiple growth stocks when you could get 6% for doing nothing. The Fed is likely to go 50 bps this week, but credible arguments are being made for bringing in the big guns later on if this week&#39;s inflation report shows a lack of progress on core inflation.</p><h2>Bottom Line</h2><p>Should you make any portfolio moves off of the Fed this week? Perhaps, or perhaps not. I understand the sentiment of not wanting to make short-term moves or trying to time the market. But even so, investors have discretion with when to deploy new money into the market or raise cash for sales. And the expected rate of return on cash, bonds, and stocks should absolutely color your asset allocation decisions. In this case, the message is that you want more cash and fewer stocks as part of your asset allocation mix. There are still good businesses you can buy at reasonable valuations, but it&#39;s a macro minefield out there for index investors with high valuations, an on/off recession on the horizon, and a Fed that is forced to hike rates into a weakening economy to wrest back control over inflation. However CPI and the Fed shake out this week, expect some fireworks from a heavily technicals-driven market going into triple witching on Friday. The preponderance of the evidence suggests that stocks will fall this week, possibly sharply. But in a market ruled by the algos, I wouldn&#39;t rule out a monster rally on at least one day of this week. In any case, the short-term risk/reward looks bad!</p><p><i>This article is written by Logan Kane for reference only. Please note the risks.</i></p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha_fund","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>SPY: The Market Will Go Berserk If Core CPI Surprises To The Upside</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSPY: The Market Will Go Berserk If Core CPI Surprises To The Upside\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-13 10:16 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4563948-spy-the-market-will-go-berserk-if-core-cpi-surprises-to-the-upside><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryStocks are up about 10% off of their October lows. Underpinning the rally is the belief that inflation has been defeated and that the Fed will soon pivot and dramatically cut rates.This led ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4563948-spy-the-market-will-go-berserk-if-core-cpi-surprises-to-the-upside\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4563948-spy-the-market-will-go-berserk-if-core-cpi-surprises-to-the-upside","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2291311557","content_text":"SummaryStocks are up about 10% off of their October lows. Underpinning the rally is the belief that inflation has been defeated and that the Fed will soon pivot and dramatically cut rates.This led stocks to trade for an improbably high 19x 2023 earnings estimates at the peak of the rally. With T-bills paying nearly 5%, that's excessive!Having put Jerome Powell and the Fed on a pedestal, the market looks complacent here against the risk of yet another hot inflation print.Runaway-spending consumers are in no mood to slow down or save. If core CPI does indeed come in hot, the algos will go berserk and stocks could retest the October lows within weeks.Historical evidence (the 1970s!), econometric models, and countries that report inflation before the US are flashing a warning signal that executing an economic soft landing and whipping inflation won't be a cakewalk for the Fed.In the 1970s, inflation proved to be much more stubborn than policymakers anticipated. By and large, they kept policy rates too low for too long, engaged in dubious legislative gambits, and were forced to face the reality of shortages of energy,food, andqualified labor willing to work after blowing out the money supply. Does this sound familiar at all? We're about to get some clues as to whether history is repeating itself. This week brings two huge economic events, the first being the November CPI on Tuesday at 8:30 AM Eastern Time, and the second being the FOMC interest rate decision on Wednesday at 2 PM. The FOMC decision will be followed by Jerome Powell's all-important press conference afterward. CPI reports and FOMC meetings inthe past few months have seen daily swings of as much as 5% for the benchmark S&P 500 Index (NYSEARCA:SPY). To top it off, Friday is expiration day for monthly stock options, index options, and futures, known on Wall Street as \"Triple Witching Hour\". All signs point to potential trouble.Data by YChartsIs The Market Too Complacent?Since the October lows were set after a wild reversal from the ugly September CPI report, the market is up about 10%. The S&P 500 rallied all the way to 4100, which seriously clashed with softening expectations for earnings. 19x is historically a very high multiple for stocks in the current environment, and index buyers at 4100 in my view got very poor compensation for the risk they're taking with risk-free returns near 5% in Treasury bills. This isn't a total bubble price, but it's on the very high range of normal.Put another way, you can earn about the yield from simply parking your money in cash that you can earn by investing in businesses, so you want to be exceedingly careful about what stocks you buy. There's an old rule of thumb in the stock market called the \"rule of 20\" that states that the P/E ratio of the market plus the inflation rate should sum to about 20. Celebrity fund manager Peter Lynch was known to be a big proponent of this rule of thumb. In its original form, the rule of 20 would imply a valuation for the S&P 500 of about 2700 index points. The S&P 500 may not drop that low, but the insight here is that the rate of return over cash for the market is far below what investors historically can expect. To justify its current valuation, the market needs inflation to go down quickly and needs unemployment to stay low so corporate earnings don't tank along with it. That's a tall order.Last month's inflation report that lifted the Dow by 1200 points in one day was quirky too. My modeling suggested a higher number, but the core CPI figures last month were helped a surprising amount by a technical data adjustment on the price of health insurance. The Fed prefers to use PCE data for policy because there are fewer quirks like this.Interestingly, at roughly 24 as of my writing this, the VIX is much lower than it has been in previous months before CPI.Data by YChartsUsing the square root rule as a rough guide, you can divide the VIX by 7 to get the expected move in the S&P 500 for a week. That implies a weekly move in the S&P 500 of about 3.4%. The one-day swings alone on Fed and CPI days have been more than that in previous months. I'd argue this is irrationally priced given the history of explosive moves in either direction from CPI, Fed, and options expirations, of which we have a trifecta this week. The algos will be locked and loaded for this week. And of course, more on my forecast for CPI below.Historically, Inflation Doesn't Just Go AwayThe lesson from the 1970s and early 1980s is that policymakers would get a few good CPI reports and then cut rates, and then inflation would come roaring back. Now we're potentially back in that kind of environment if we're not careful. We now have an inverted yield curve, a stubbornly high CPI, and all kinds of media calls for more government handouts to \"ease\" the burden of inflation. Bloomberg columnist Aaron Brown did a great piece recently on decoding the yield curve, posing the question to readers of whether the economy will be allowed to wash out unproductive companies or whether the government will continue to exert more and more influence on the economy, leading to years more of 1970s-style economic chaos. Disco may be dead, but the idea that millions of voters have that they can get something for nothing has endured.Brown is fairly optimistic that lessons were learned from the 1970s. At least publicly, Powell seems to be showing some semblance of backbone. In Jackson Hole this summer, Powell acknowledged the 1970s-era trap of cutting rates too soon (leading to the dollar falling, speculative demand surging, and inflation roaring back). At the Brookings Institute in November, Powell admitted that the US had a national housing bubble and that the Fed would help fix it. Beating inflation likely won't just happen on its own. Social Security is about to increase by 8.7% in 2023, and millions of employees are currently negotiating their 2023 pay increases, which will be far in excess of numbers consistent with the Fed's 2% inflation target. Implicit in these wage negotiations are threats of either going on strike or quitting and leaving for other employers, which at an unemployment rate of 3.7% is a credible and effective threat to employers. Unions representing pilots (30% pay increase) and railroad workers (24% increase) scored big concessions from Corporate America, while West Coast dockworkers are next in line for grabbing big pay increases. With voter focus squarely on inflation and shortages, unions have a lot of leverage over the Biden administration, the most high-profile example being the extraction of a $36 billion payout to the Teamsters union from federal COVID-relief funds to keep the peace.And then, you have the Fed's nightmare, which is the fact that consumer savings rates are near the lowest levels ever. Personal savings hit 2.3% in the last month, and this is with student loans paused. The only other time savings rates have been this low was in the run-up to the 2008 global financial crisis. Consumers are starting with more savings than they had then, but given enough time, these trends imply a serious day of reckoning for consumers. Saving 2.3% is not enough to cover the long-term obligations of consumers. 8% to 10% is considered healthy, and if personal savings go negative, it's a huge red flag.The Fed's Nightmare? (Bloomberg)As a result of this YOLO-driven economy, real incomes from wages continue to relentlessly fall for consumers, while spending continues to climb. The Fed has published reports on this to help shed light on where the money is coming from and where it's going– they're worth a read. The consensus here is that pent-up savings from pandemic stimulus are continuing to fuel the economy and that this money will soon run dry. The Fed's data that they've published on consumer savings is mostly indirect– you can't tell from their PCE estimates just how much consumers have in reserves or how long it will last. Bank CEOs can fill the gaps. JPMorgan's (JPM) Jamie Dimon has suggested that the excess savings will run out around mid-year 2023. BofA (BAC) CEO Brian Moynihan often plays the optimistic foil to Dimon, but he's called for GDP contraction in 2023, albeit mild. Capital One (COF) is a key lender for subprime borrowers, and they've struck a cautious tone, limiting some new accounts for borrowers with lower credit scores.Consumers still have some pent-up savings from the pandemic, but rather than use them to shore up their retirement or follow the Fed's lead and put the money on deposit to earn 5%, they're spending with reckless enthusiasm. The WSJ recently published a report, \"The $42 Billion Question\", asking why so few consumers are moving their money to earn more than the 0% interest that big banks pay. Thousands of dollars per year are up for grabs for millions of affluent households, and most of them effectively refuse to pick it up off of the sidewalk. Maybe they'd rather spend it all.As long as consumers have this cash pile, they're going to spend it (YOLO), rather than see their neighbors having all of the fun (FOMO). These personal savings rates are mind-blowing when you consider:The general level of affluence in the US vs. other countries. The US is by no means the only economy with speculative excess, but if anybody should be putting money away, it's Americans.That most American households own a home bought at non-bubble prices with sub-4% mortgages (or none at all).And that those who don't are often benefitting from the student loan pause (which is going to get axed by the conservative Supreme Court in late winter or spring).There's still way too much demand out there given the level of people willing and able to work– and too much (mainly borrowed) money chasing too few goods. This leads me to believe that we're still at least a good six months or so from inflation being pushed down to levels that are consistent with anywhere near the Fed's 2% inflation target. Another hint about whether inflation is defeated comes from the Mannheim used car index– it was falling steadily but now has leveled off. Why might this be? Of course, pent-up demand.Where Will November CPI Come In?It's now time for us to handicap the CPI figures. Economists expect 0.5% CPI inflation for November and 0.3% core CPI inflation. Last month, October CPI came in at 0.4% and core came in at 0.3%.The preponderance of the evidence suggests that inflation is a bigger problem still than economists realize.The dollar is down about 10% off of its October highs. The US imported $3.4 trillion in goods and services in 2021. The move upward in the dollar previously had served to mask the true amount of inflation in the US and make inflation appear worse in places like the EU. Now, with the dollar coming back down, these same goods and services will cost about 10% more than they would have a month ago. This alone is enough to increase CPI by between 1% and 2% over the next year.Stocks are back up and yields are down, encouraging people to borrow and spend. The Fed often speaks of \"financial conditions\" with respect to its monetary policy. What this means in the real world is that people see their accounts back up from where they were in October, so they go right back to spending, losing any caution they may have developed from the market rout earlier in the fall.To this point, markets are reflexive. October's CPI print came about in large part because of a stronger dollar, lower stocks, and higher yields leading up to the report. This made the inflation number come in lower and made the market believe that the Fed would soon pivot. The last time this happened, it set the conditions for the next CPI report to come in hot, dashing any hopes of a Fed pivot and sending stocks to new lows and yields to new highs. Now since November, we've seen a weaker dollar, higher stocks, and lower yields, all setting the conditions for another hot report and crazy swing in stocks. The paradox here is that the more traders get excited about lower inflation and a Fed pivot, the less likely it is to happen.The Cleveland Fed econometric model generally outperforms professional economists in forecasting inflation. The model predicts a core CPI of 0.51% for November, far higher than the 0.3% projected by economists. I think this is about the right number for November. CPI is projected to increase another 0.5% in December by the model, which I also agree with. If the Cleveland Fed model is correct, then equity markets will get a slap in the face as their hopes of a Fed pivot are filed away for the next six months.Another approach is to look at other countries that report CPI before the US does in the month. My unscientific sample shows that core November CPI in Mexico was higher than expected, core CPI in South Korea was higher than expected, and core CPI in Hungary also surprised to the upside. In each case, the countries had seen a decrease in energy costs coupled with an increase in demand-driven core CPI. My forecast is therefore 0.5% for core CPI in the US for November for the reasons above. If this is so, the market won't like it.What Will the Fed Do This Week?The day after CPI we will get the Fed. My guess is that the Fed has boxed itself into a corner regarding a 50 basis point hike and that they won't backtrack to 75 bps if the inflation report comes in hot. Similarly, if inflation comes in as expected, raising by 25 bps would send the wrong message to the market and fuel round after round of technical, speculative buying. Therefore, almost regardless of where inflation comes in, I'd expect a 50 basis point increase in the Federal Funds rate, followed by a hawkish press conference. But the key question is where the Fed funds rate is likely to top out, and how long they'll keep it there. I believe the rate will have to go higher than most people think and stay there for longer as well as a result of the unprecedented level of free government money and the wrecking ball effect it had on the real economy in 2021.But let's get back to some econometrics.Taylor Rule Calculator (Atlanta Fed)Under most assumptions for where Fed policy should be, the recommended interest rate is around 5%. Key to my assumption here is that roughly 50% of core inflation is supply driven and 50% is demand-driven. If you believe that two-thirds of core inflation is demand-driven, then you get this.Taylor Rule Calculator (Atlanta Fed)These figures are in line with some vocal policy hawks like Larry Summers. The approach has some minority support inside the Fed as well from more hawkish members like St. Louis Fed president James Bullard. 6% rates would have some serious implications for stocks, as you'd be silly to park much money in high-multiple growth stocks when you could get 6% for doing nothing. The Fed is likely to go 50 bps this week, but credible arguments are being made for bringing in the big guns later on if this week's inflation report shows a lack of progress on core inflation.Bottom LineShould you make any portfolio moves off of the Fed this week? Perhaps, or perhaps not. I understand the sentiment of not wanting to make short-term moves or trying to time the market. But even so, investors have discretion with when to deploy new money into the market or raise cash for sales. And the expected rate of return on cash, bonds, and stocks should absolutely color your asset allocation decisions. In this case, the message is that you want more cash and fewer stocks as part of your asset allocation mix. There are still good businesses you can buy at reasonable valuations, but it's a macro minefield out there for index investors with high valuations, an on/off recession on the horizon, and a Fed that is forced to hike rates into a weakening economy to wrest back control over inflation. However CPI and the Fed shake out this week, expect some fireworks from a heavily technicals-driven market going into triple witching on Friday. The preponderance of the evidence suggests that stocks will fall this week, possibly sharply. But in a market ruled by the algos, I wouldn't rule out a monster rally on at least one day of this week. In any case, the short-term risk/reward looks bad!This article is written by Logan Kane for reference only. Please note the risks.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":154,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9923238583,"gmtCreate":1670860849143,"gmtModify":1676538448207,"author":{"id":"3582962119812367","authorId":"3582962119812367","name":"Daniel12321","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a4ffcb9551bf9fffa55a10cf8b531d6","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582962119812367","authorIdStr":"3582962119812367"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9923238583","repostId":"1138430940","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1138430940","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1670855943,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1138430940?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-12-12 22:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Hot Chinese ADRs Turned Down in Morning Trading; Tuniu Slid Over 8% While Bilibili Slid Over 5%.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1138430940","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Hot Chinese ADRs Turned Down in Morning Trading; Tuniu Slid Over 8% While Bilibili Slid Over 5%.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Hot Chinese ADRs Turned Down in Morning Trading; Tuniu Slid Over 8% While Bilibili Slid Over 5%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1ead9adee570274fc7db8cd156d2d0bd\" tg-width=\"247\" tg-height=\"711\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Hot Chinese ADRs Turned Down in Morning Trading; Tuniu Slid Over 8% While Bilibili Slid Over 5%.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHot Chinese ADRs Turned Down in Morning Trading; Tuniu Slid Over 8% While Bilibili Slid Over 5%.\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-12-12 22:39</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Hot Chinese ADRs Turned Down in Morning Trading; Tuniu Slid Over 8% While Bilibili Slid Over 5%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1ead9adee570274fc7db8cd156d2d0bd\" tg-width=\"247\" tg-height=\"711\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴","PDD":"拼多多"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1138430940","content_text":"Hot Chinese ADRs Turned Down in Morning Trading; Tuniu Slid Over 8% While Bilibili Slid Over 5%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":211,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9920778295,"gmtCreate":1670554009417,"gmtModify":1676538392823,"author":{"id":"3582962119812367","authorId":"3582962119812367","name":"Daniel12321","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a4ffcb9551bf9fffa55a10cf8b531d6","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582962119812367","authorIdStr":"3582962119812367"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9920778295","repostId":"1147589791","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1147589791","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1670553469,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1147589791?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-12-09 10:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why GameStop Stock Could Fall 75% From Here","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1147589791","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"GameStop stock may fall 75% due to a failing turnaround plan.This prediction comes from Wedbush anal","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">GameStop</a> stock may fall 75% due to a failing turnaround plan.</li><li>This prediction comes from Wedbush analyst Michael Pachter.</li><li>Pachter set a new price target of $5.30 per share for GME stock.</li></ul><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">GameStop</a> stock could be ready to fall even further, with one analyst predicting a 75% drop in shares of the video game retailer.</p><p>Wedbush analyst Michael Pachter just gave GameStop shares a new price target of $5.30. That’s a decline from his previous price target of $6 per share for GME stock. It also represents a roughly 75% potential downside compared to GameStop’s closing price on Wednesday.</p><p>The reasoning behind Pachter’s latest price target has to do with GameStop’s turnaround plan. The Wedbush analyst hasn’t seen positive results from the plan so far and doesn’t believe the company’s current efforts, such as its non-fungible token (NFT) initiative, are helping. Pachter also has concerns about long-term headwinds for the retailer.</p><h3>The Price Target Drop Comes After Poor Q3 Results</h3><p>In its most recent quarter, GameStop failed to meet analysts’ estimate of -28 cents per share when it reported an EPS loss of 31 cents. The company also brought in revenue of $1.19 billion, which missed Wall Street’s expectation of $1.35 billion.</p><p>Despite all of this, heavy trading is pushing shares of GME stock higher today. As of this writing, some 6 million shares are on the move. That’s well above the daily average trading volume of about 4.5 million shares.</p><p>GME stock is up 8.3% as of Thursday afternoon but down 36.9% since the start of the year.</p><p>Investors seeking more of the latest stock market news are in luck!</p></body></html>","source":"investorplace","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why GameStop Stock Could Fall 75% From Here</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy GameStop Stock Could Fall 75% From Here\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-09 10:37 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://investorplace.com/2022/12/why-gamestop-gme-stock-could-fall-75-from-here/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>GameStop stock may fall 75% due to a failing turnaround plan.This prediction comes from Wedbush analyst Michael Pachter.Pachter set a new price target of $5.30 per share for GME stock.GameStop stock ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/12/why-gamestop-gme-stock-could-fall-75-from-here/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GME":"游戏驿站"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2022/12/why-gamestop-gme-stock-could-fall-75-from-here/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1147589791","content_text":"GameStop stock may fall 75% due to a failing turnaround plan.This prediction comes from Wedbush analyst Michael Pachter.Pachter set a new price target of $5.30 per share for GME stock.GameStop stock could be ready to fall even further, with one analyst predicting a 75% drop in shares of the video game retailer.Wedbush analyst Michael Pachter just gave GameStop shares a new price target of $5.30. That’s a decline from his previous price target of $6 per share for GME stock. It also represents a roughly 75% potential downside compared to GameStop’s closing price on Wednesday.The reasoning behind Pachter’s latest price target has to do with GameStop’s turnaround plan. The Wedbush analyst hasn’t seen positive results from the plan so far and doesn’t believe the company’s current efforts, such as its non-fungible token (NFT) initiative, are helping. Pachter also has concerns about long-term headwinds for the retailer.The Price Target Drop Comes After Poor Q3 ResultsIn its most recent quarter, GameStop failed to meet analysts’ estimate of -28 cents per share when it reported an EPS loss of 31 cents. The company also brought in revenue of $1.19 billion, which missed Wall Street’s expectation of $1.35 billion.Despite all of this, heavy trading is pushing shares of GME stock higher today. As of this writing, some 6 million shares are on the move. That’s well above the daily average trading volume of about 4.5 million shares.GME stock is up 8.3% as of Thursday afternoon but down 36.9% since the start of the year.Investors seeking more of the latest stock market news are in luck!","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":206,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9920771421,"gmtCreate":1670553976664,"gmtModify":1676538392788,"author":{"id":"3582962119812367","authorId":"3582962119812367","name":"Daniel12321","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a4ffcb9551bf9fffa55a10cf8b531d6","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582962119812367","authorIdStr":"3582962119812367"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9920771421","repostId":"2290422271","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2290422271","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1670536748,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2290422271?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-12-09 05:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US STOCKS-S&P 500, Nasdaq Snap Losing Streaks After Jobless Claims Rise","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2290422271","media":"Reuters","summary":"(Reuters) - The S&P 500 ended higher on Thursday, snapping a five-session losing streak, as investor","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>(Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 ended higher on Thursday, snapping a five-session losing streak, as investors interpreted data showing a rise in weekly jobless claims as a sign the pace of interest rate hikes could soon slow.</p><p>Wall Street&#39;s main indexes had come under pressure in recent days, with the S&amp;P 500 shedding 3.6% since the beginning of December on expectations of a longer rate-hike cycle and downbeat economic views from some top company executives.</p><p>Such thinking had also weighed on the Nasdaq Composite, which had posted four straight losing sessions prior to Thursday&#39;s advance on the tech-heavy index.</p><p>Stocks rose as investors cheered data showing the number of Americans filing claims for jobless benefits increased moderately last week, while unemployment rolls hit a 10-month high toward the end of November.</p><p>The report follows data last Friday that showed U.S. employers hired more workers than expected in November and increased wages, spurring fears that the Fed might stick to its aggressive stance to tame decades-high inflation.</p><p>Markets have been swayed by data releases in recent days, with investors lacking certainty ahead of Federal Reserve guidance next week on interest rates.</p><p>Such behavior means Friday&#39;s producer price index and the University of Michigan&#39;s consumer sentiment survey will likely dictate whether Wall Street can build on Thursday&#39;s rally.</p><p>&#34;The market has to adjust to the fact that we&#39;re moving from a stimulus-based economy - both fiscal and monetary - into a fundamentals-based economy, and that&#39;s what we&#39;re grappling with right now,&#34; said Wiley Angell, chief market strategist at Ziegler Capital Management.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 183.56 points, or 0.55%, to close at 33,781.48; the S&amp;P 500 gained 29.59 points, or 0.75%, to finish at 3,963.51; and the Nasdaq Composite added 123.45 points, or 1.13%, at 11,082.00.</p><p>Nine of the 11 major S&amp;P 500 sectors rose, led by a 1.6% gain in technology stocks.</p><p>Most mega-cap technology and growth stocks gained. Apple Inc, Nvidia Corp and Amazon.com Inc rose between 1.2% and 6.5%.</p><p>Microsoft Corp ended 1.2% higher, despite giving up some intraday gains after the Federal Trade Commission filed a complaint aimed at blocking the tech giant&#39;s $69 billion bid to buy Activision Blizzard Inc. The &#34;Call of Duty&#34; games maker closed 1.5% lower.</p><p>The energy index was an exception, slipping 0.5%, despite Exxon Mobil Corp gaining 0.7% after announcing it would expand its $30-billion share repurchase program. The sector had been under pressure in recent sessions as commodity prices slipped: U.S. crude is now hovering near its level at the start of 2022.</p><p>Meanwhile, Moderna Inc advanced 3.2% after the U.S. Food and Drug Administration authorized COVID-19 shots from the vaccine maker that target both the original coronavirus and Omicron sub-variants for use in children as young as six months old.</p><p>The regulator also approved similar guidance for fellow COVID vaccine maker Pfizer Inc, which rose 3.1%, and its partner BioNTech, whose U.S.-listed shares    gained 5.6%.</p><p>Rent the Runway Inc posted its biggest ever one-day gain, jumping 74.3%, after the clothing rental firm raised its 2022 revenue forecast.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.07 billion shares, compared with the 10.90 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 15 new 52-week highs and three new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 82 new highs and 232 new lows.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US STOCKS-S&P 500, Nasdaq Snap Losing Streaks After Jobless Claims Rise</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS STOCKS-S&P 500, Nasdaq Snap Losing Streaks After Jobless Claims Rise\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-12-09 05:59</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>(Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 ended higher on Thursday, snapping a five-session losing streak, as investors interpreted data showing a rise in weekly jobless claims as a sign the pace of interest rate hikes could soon slow.</p><p>Wall Street&#39;s main indexes had come under pressure in recent days, with the S&amp;P 500 shedding 3.6% since the beginning of December on expectations of a longer rate-hike cycle and downbeat economic views from some top company executives.</p><p>Such thinking had also weighed on the Nasdaq Composite, which had posted four straight losing sessions prior to Thursday&#39;s advance on the tech-heavy index.</p><p>Stocks rose as investors cheered data showing the number of Americans filing claims for jobless benefits increased moderately last week, while unemployment rolls hit a 10-month high toward the end of November.</p><p>The report follows data last Friday that showed U.S. employers hired more workers than expected in November and increased wages, spurring fears that the Fed might stick to its aggressive stance to tame decades-high inflation.</p><p>Markets have been swayed by data releases in recent days, with investors lacking certainty ahead of Federal Reserve guidance next week on interest rates.</p><p>Such behavior means Friday&#39;s producer price index and the University of Michigan&#39;s consumer sentiment survey will likely dictate whether Wall Street can build on Thursday&#39;s rally.</p><p>&#34;The market has to adjust to the fact that we&#39;re moving from a stimulus-based economy - both fiscal and monetary - into a fundamentals-based economy, and that&#39;s what we&#39;re grappling with right now,&#34; said Wiley Angell, chief market strategist at Ziegler Capital Management.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 183.56 points, or 0.55%, to close at 33,781.48; the S&amp;P 500 gained 29.59 points, or 0.75%, to finish at 3,963.51; and the Nasdaq Composite added 123.45 points, or 1.13%, at 11,082.00.</p><p>Nine of the 11 major S&amp;P 500 sectors rose, led by a 1.6% gain in technology stocks.</p><p>Most mega-cap technology and growth stocks gained. Apple Inc, Nvidia Corp and Amazon.com Inc rose between 1.2% and 6.5%.</p><p>Microsoft Corp ended 1.2% higher, despite giving up some intraday gains after the Federal Trade Commission filed a complaint aimed at blocking the tech giant&#39;s $69 billion bid to buy Activision Blizzard Inc. The &#34;Call of Duty&#34; games maker closed 1.5% lower.</p><p>The energy index was an exception, slipping 0.5%, despite Exxon Mobil Corp gaining 0.7% after announcing it would expand its $30-billion share repurchase program. The sector had been under pressure in recent sessions as commodity prices slipped: U.S. crude is now hovering near its level at the start of 2022.</p><p>Meanwhile, Moderna Inc advanced 3.2% after the U.S. Food and Drug Administration authorized COVID-19 shots from the vaccine maker that target both the original coronavirus and Omicron sub-variants for use in children as young as six months old.</p><p>The regulator also approved similar guidance for fellow COVID vaccine maker Pfizer Inc, which rose 3.1%, and its partner BioNTech, whose U.S.-listed shares    gained 5.6%.</p><p>Rent the Runway Inc posted its biggest ever one-day gain, jumping 74.3%, after the clothing rental firm raised its 2022 revenue forecast.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.07 billion shares, compared with the 10.90 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 15 new 52-week highs and three new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 82 new highs and 232 new lows.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2290422271","content_text":"(Reuters) - The S&P 500 ended higher on Thursday, snapping a five-session losing streak, as investors interpreted data showing a rise in weekly jobless claims as a sign the pace of interest rate hikes could soon slow.Wall Street's main indexes had come under pressure in recent days, with the S&P 500 shedding 3.6% since the beginning of December on expectations of a longer rate-hike cycle and downbeat economic views from some top company executives.Such thinking had also weighed on the Nasdaq Composite, which had posted four straight losing sessions prior to Thursday's advance on the tech-heavy index.Stocks rose as investors cheered data showing the number of Americans filing claims for jobless benefits increased moderately last week, while unemployment rolls hit a 10-month high toward the end of November.The report follows data last Friday that showed U.S. employers hired more workers than expected in November and increased wages, spurring fears that the Fed might stick to its aggressive stance to tame decades-high inflation.Markets have been swayed by data releases in recent days, with investors lacking certainty ahead of Federal Reserve guidance next week on interest rates.Such behavior means Friday's producer price index and the University of Michigan's consumer sentiment survey will likely dictate whether Wall Street can build on Thursday's rally.\"The market has to adjust to the fact that we're moving from a stimulus-based economy - both fiscal and monetary - into a fundamentals-based economy, and that's what we're grappling with right now,\" said Wiley Angell, chief market strategist at Ziegler Capital Management.The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 183.56 points, or 0.55%, to close at 33,781.48; the S&P 500 gained 29.59 points, or 0.75%, to finish at 3,963.51; and the Nasdaq Composite added 123.45 points, or 1.13%, at 11,082.00.Nine of the 11 major S&P 500 sectors rose, led by a 1.6% gain in technology stocks.Most mega-cap technology and growth stocks gained. Apple Inc, Nvidia Corp and Amazon.com Inc rose between 1.2% and 6.5%.Microsoft Corp ended 1.2% higher, despite giving up some intraday gains after the Federal Trade Commission filed a complaint aimed at blocking the tech giant's $69 billion bid to buy Activision Blizzard Inc. The \"Call of Duty\" games maker closed 1.5% lower.The energy index was an exception, slipping 0.5%, despite Exxon Mobil Corp gaining 0.7% after announcing it would expand its $30-billion share repurchase program. The sector had been under pressure in recent sessions as commodity prices slipped: U.S. crude is now hovering near its level at the start of 2022.Meanwhile, Moderna Inc advanced 3.2% after the U.S. Food and Drug Administration authorized COVID-19 shots from the vaccine maker that target both the original coronavirus and Omicron sub-variants for use in children as young as six months old.The regulator also approved similar guidance for fellow COVID vaccine maker Pfizer Inc, which rose 3.1%, and its partner BioNTech, whose U.S.-listed shares    gained 5.6%.Rent the Runway Inc posted its biggest ever one-day gain, jumping 74.3%, after the clothing rental firm raised its 2022 revenue forecast.Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.07 billion shares, compared with the 10.90 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.The S&P 500 posted 15 new 52-week highs and three new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 82 new highs and 232 new lows.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":134,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9967597756,"gmtCreate":1670344050475,"gmtModify":1676538349060,"author":{"id":"3582962119812367","authorId":"3582962119812367","name":"Daniel12321","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a4ffcb9551bf9fffa55a10cf8b531d6","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582962119812367","authorIdStr":"3582962119812367"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"good","listText":"good","text":"good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9967597756","repostId":"2289604154","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":58,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9965784169,"gmtCreate":1670025792457,"gmtModify":1676538289905,"author":{"id":"3582962119812367","authorId":"3582962119812367","name":"Daniel12321","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a4ffcb9551bf9fffa55a10cf8b531d6","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582962119812367","authorIdStr":"3582962119812367"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9965784169","repostId":"1152464265","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1152464265","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1670022054,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1152464265?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-12-03 07:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"11 Hours With Sam Bankman-Fried: Inside the Bahamian Penthouse After FTX’s Fall","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1152464265","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Sam Bankman-Fried’s $30 million Bahamas penthouse looks like a dorm after the students have left for winter break. The dishwasher is full. Towels are piled in the laundry room. Bat streamers from a Ha","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb8b5a354d9d687bd95cdff74dddc508\" tg-width=\"1214\" tg-height=\"811\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Sam Bankman-Fried’s $30 million Bahamas penthouse looks like a dorm after the students have left for winter break. The dishwasher is full. Towels are piled in the laundry room. Bat streamers from a Halloween party are still hanging from a doorway. Two boxes of Legos sit on the floor of one bedroom. And then there are the shoes—dozens of sneakers and heels piled in the foyer, left behind by employees who fled the island of New Providence last month when his cryptocurrency exchangeFTX imploded.</p><p>“It’s been an interesting few weeks,” Bankman-Fried says in a chipper tone as he greets me. It’s a muggy Saturday afternoon, eight days after FTX filed for bankruptcy. He’s shoeless, in white gym socks, a red T-shirt and wrinkled khaki shorts. His standard uniform.</p><p>This isn’t part of the typical tour Bankman-Fried gave to the many reporters who came to tell the tale of the boy-genius-crypto-billionaire who slept on a beanbag chair next to his desk and only got rich so he could give it all away, and it’s easy to see why. The apartment is at the top of one of the luxury condo buildings that border a marina in a gated community called Albany. Outside, deckhands buff the stanchions of a 200-foot yacht owned by a fracking billionaire. A bronze replica of Wall Street’s<i>Charging Bull</i>statue stands on the lawn, which is as manicured as the residents. I feel like I’ve crash-landed on an alien planet populated solely by the very rich and the people who work for them.</p><p>Bankman-Fried leads me down a marble-floored hallway to a small bedroom, where he perches on a plush brown couch. Always known for being jittery, he taps his foot so hard it rattles a coffee table, smacks gum and rubs his index finger with his thumb like he’s twirling an invisible fidget spinner. But he seems almost cheerful as he explains why he’s invited me into his 12,000-square-foot bolthole, against the advice of his lawyers, even as investigators from theUS Department of Justice probewhether he used customers’ funds to prop up his hedge fund, a crime that could send him to prison for years. (Spoiler alert: It sure looks like he did.)</p><p>“What I’m focusing on is what I can do, right now, to try and make things as right as possible,” Bankman-Fried says. “I can’t do that if I’m just focused on covering my ass.”</p><p>But he seems to be doing just that, with me here and all along the apology tour he’ll later embark on, which will include a video appearance at a<i>New York Times</i>conference and an interview on<i>Good Morning America</i>. He’s been trying to blame his firm’s failure on a hazy combination of comically poor bookkeeping, wildly misjudged risks and complete ignorance of what his hedge fund was doing. In other words, an alumnus of both MIT and the elite Wall Street trading firmJane Streetis arguing that he was just dumb with the numbers—not pulling a conscious fraud. Talking in detail to journalists about what’s certain to be the subject of extensive litigation seems like an unusual strategy, but it makes sense: The press helped him create his only-honest-man-in-crypto image, so why not use them to talk his way out of trouble?</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/79b2ba9ef6da8454146f200cdc460f6e\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"666\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Bankman-Fried after an interview on<i>Bloomberg Wealth With David Rubenstein</i>on Aug. 17, 2022.Photographer: Jeenah Moon/Bloomberg</p><p>He doesn’t say so, but one reason he might be willing to speak with me is that I’m one of the reporters who helped build him up. After spending two days at FTX’s offices in February, I flew past the brightred flagsat his company—its lack of corporate governance, the ties to his Alameda Research hedge fund, its profligate spending on marketing, the fact that it operated largely outside US jurisdiction. Iwrote a storyfocused on whether Bankman-Fried would follow through on his plans to donate huge sums to charity and his connections to an unusual philanthropic movement calledeffective altruism.</p><p>It wasn’t the most embarrassingly puffy of the many puff pieces that came out about him. (“After my interview with SBF, I was convinced: I was talking to a future trillionaire,” one writer said in an article commissioned by a venture capital firm.) But my tone wasn’t entirely dissimilar. “Bankman-Fried is a thought experiment from a college philosophy seminar come to life,” I wrote. “Should someone who wants to save the world first amass as much money and power as possible, or will the pursuit corrupt him along the way?” Now it seems pretty clear that a better question would’ve been whether the business was ascam from the start.</p><p>I tell Bankman-Fried I want to talk about the decisions that led to FTX’s collapse, and why he took them. Earlier in the week, inlate-night DM exchangeswith a<i>Vox</i>reporter and on a phone call with a YouTuber, he made comments that many interpreted as an admission that everything he said was a lie. (“So the ethics stuff, mostly a front?” the<i>Vox</i>reporter asked. “Yeah,” Bankman-Fried replied.) He’d spoken so cynically about his motivations that to many it seemed like a comic book character was pulling off his mask to reveal the villain who’d been hiding there all along.</p><p>I set out on this visit with a different working theory. Maybe I was feeling the tug of my past reporting, but I still didn’t think the talk about charity was all made up. Since he was a teenager, Bankman-Fried has described himself as utilitarian—following the philosophy that the correct action is the one likely to result in the greatest good for the greatest number of people. He said his endgame was making and donating enough money to prevent pandemics and stop runaway artificial intelligence from destroying humanity. Faced with a crisis, and believing he was the hero of his own sci-fi movie, he might’ve thought it was right to make a crazy, even illegal, gamble to save his company.</p><p>To be clear, if that’s what happened, it’s the logic of a megalomaniac, not a martyr. The money wasn’t his to gamble with, and “the ends justify the means” is a cliché of bad ethics. But if it’s what he believed, he might still think he’d made the right decision, even if it didn’t work out. It seemed to me that’s what he meant when he messaged<i>Vox</i>, “The worst quadrant is sketchy + lose. The best is win + ???” I want to probe that, in part because it might get him to talk more candidly about what had happened to his customers’ money.</p><p>I decide to approach the topic gingerly, on terms I think he’ll relate to, as it seems he’s in less of a crime-confess-y mood. He’s said he likes to evaluate decisions in terms of expected value—the odds of success times the likely payoff—so I begin by asking: “Should I judge you by your impact, or by the expected value of your decision?”</p><p>“When all is said and done, what matters is your actual realized impact. Like, that’s what actually matters to the world,” he says. “But, obviously, there’s luck.”</p><p>That’s the in I’m looking for. For the next 11 hours—with breaks for fundraising calls and a very awkward dinner—I try to get him to tell me exactly what he meant. He denies that he’s committed fraud or lied to anyone and blames FTX’s failure on his sloppiness and inattention. But at points it seems like he’s saying he got<i>un</i>lucky, or miscalculated the odds.</p><p>Bankman-Fried tells me he’s still got a chance to raise $8 billion to save his company. He seems delusional, or committed to pretending this is still an error he can fix, and either way, the few supporters remaining at his penthouse seem unlikely to set him straight. The grim scene reminds me a bit of the end of<i>Scarface</i>, with Tony Montana holed up in his mansion, semi-incoherent, his unknown enemies sneaking closer. But instead of mountains of cocaine, Bankman-Fried is clinging to spreadsheet tabs filled with wildly optimistic cryptocurrency valuations.</p><p>Think of FTX like an offshore casino. Customers sent in money, then gambled on the price of hundreds ofcryptocurrencies—not just Bitcoin or Ether, but more obscure coins. In crypto slang, the latter are called shitcoins, because almost no one knows what they’re for. But in the past few years, otherwise respectable people, from retired dentists to heads of state, convinced themselves that these coins werethe future of finance. Or at least that enough other people might think so to make the price go up. Bankman-Fried’s casino was growing so fast that earlier this year some of Silicon Valley’s top venture capitalists invested in it at a $32 billion valuation.</p><p>The problem surfaced last month. After a rival crypto-casino kingpin raised concerns about FTX on Twitter, customers rushed to cash in their chips. But when Bankman-Fried’s casino opened the vault, their money wasn’t there. According to multiple news reports citing people familiar with the matter, it had been secretly lent to Bankman-Fried’s hedge fund, which had lost it in some mix of bad bets, insane spending and perhaps something even sketchier. John Ray III, the lawyer who’s now chief executive officer of the bankrupt exchange, has alleged in court that FTX covered up the loans using secret software.</p><p>Bankman-Fried denies this again to me. Returning to the framework of expected value, I ask him if the decisions he made were correct.</p><p>“I think that I’ve made a lot of plus-EV decisions and a few very large boneheaded decisions,” he says. “Certainly in retrospect, those very large decisions were very bad, and may end up overwhelming everything else.”</p><p>The chain of events, in his telling, started about four years ago. Bankman-Fried was in Hong Kong, where he’d moved from Berkeley, California, with a small group of friends from the effective-altruism community. Together they ran a successful startup crypto hedge fund,Alameda Research. (The name itself was an early example of his casual attitude toward rules—it was chosen to avoid scrutiny from banks, which frequently closed its accounts. “If we named our company like, Shitcoin Daytraders Inc., they’d probably just reject us,” Bankman-Fried told a podcaster in 2021. “But, I mean, no one doesn’t like research.”)</p><p>The fund had made millions of dollars exploiting inefficiencies across cryptocurrency exchanges. (Ex-employees, even those otherwise critical of Bankman-Fried, have said this is true, though some have said Alameda then lost some of that money because of bad trades and mismanagement.) Bankman-Fried and his friends began considering starting their own exchange—what would become FTX.</p><p>The way Bankman-Fried later described this decision reveals his attitude toward risk. He estimated there was an 80% chance the exchange would fail to attract enough customers. But he’s said one should always take a bet, even a long-shot one, if the expected value is positive, calling this stance “risk neutral.” But it actually meant he would take risks that to a normal person sound insane. “As an individual, to make a bet where it’s like, ‘I’m going to gamble my $10 billion and either get $20 billion or $0, with equal probability,’ would be madness,” Rob Wiblin, host of an effective-altruism podcast, said to Bankman-Fried in April. “But from an altruistic point of view, it’s not so crazy.”</p><p>“Completely agree,” Bankman-Fried replied. He told another interviewer that he’d make a bet described as a chance of “51% you double the earth out somewhere else, 49% it all disappears.”</p><p>Bankman-Fried and his friends jump-started FTX by having Alameda provide liquidity. It was a huge conflict of interest. Imagine if the top executives at an online poker site also entered its high-stakes tournaments—the temptation to cheat by peeking at other players’ cards would be huge. But Bankman-Fried assured customers that Alameda would play by the same rules as everyone else, and enough people came to trade that FTX took off. “Having Alameda provide liquidity on FTX early on was the right decision, because I think that helped make FTX a great product for users, even though it obviously ended up backfiring,” Bankman-Fried tells me.</p><p>Part of FTX’s appeal was that it was mostly a derivatives exchange, which allowed customers to trade “on margin,” meaning with borrowed money. That’s a key to his defense. Bankman-Fried argues no one should be surprised that big traders on FTX, including Alameda, were borrowing from the exchange, and that his fund’s position just somehow got out of hand. “Everyone was borrowing and lending,” he says. “That’s been its calling card.” But FTX’s normal margin system, crypto traders tell me, would never have permitted anyone to accumulate a debt that looked like Alameda’s. When I ask if Alameda had to follow the same margin rules as other traders, he admits the fund did not. “There was more leeway,” he says.</p><p>That wouldn’t have been so important had Alameda stuck to its original trading strategy of relatively low-risk arbitrage trades. But in 2020 and 2021, as Bankman-Fried became the face of FTX, amajor political donorand a favorite of Silicon Valley, Alameda faced more competition in that market-making business. It shifted its strategy to, essentially, gambling on shitcoins.</p><p>As Caroline Ellison, then Alameda’s co-CEO, explained in aMarch 2021 post on Twitter: “The way to really make money is figure out when the market is going to go up and get balls long before that,” she wrote, adding that she’d learned the strategy from the classic market-manipulation memoir,<i>Reminiscences of a Stock Operator.</i>Her co-CEO said in another tweet that a profitable strategy was buying Dogecoin becauseElon Musktweeted about it.</p><p>The reason they were bragging about what sounded like a high schooler’s tactics was that it was working better than anyone knew. When we spoke in February 2022, Bankman-Fried told me that Alameda had made $1 billion the previous year. He now says that was Alameda’s arbitrage profits. On top of that, its shitcoins gained tens of billions of dollars of value, at least on paper. “If you mark everything to market, I do believe at one point my net worth got to $100 billion,” Bankman-Fried says.</p><p>Any trader would know this wasn’t nearly as good as it sounded. The large pile of tokens couldn’t be turned into cash without crashing the market. Much of it was even made of tokens that Bankman-Fried and his friends had spun up themselves, such as FTT, Serum or Maps—the official currency of a nonsensical crypto-meets-mapping app—or were closely affiliated with, like Solana. While Bankman-Fried acknowledges the pile was worth something less than $100 billion—maybe he’d mark it down a third, he says—he maintains that he could have extracted quite a lot of real money from his holdings.</p><p>But he didn’t. Instead, Alameda borrowed billions of dollars from other crypto lenders—not FTX—and sunk them into more crypto bets. Publicly, Bankman-Fried presented himself as an ethical operator andcalled for regulationto rein in crypto’s worst excesses. But through his hedge fund, he’d actually become the market’s most degenerate gambler. I ask him why, if he really thought he could sell the tokens, he didn’t. “Why not, like, take some risk off?”</p><p>“OK. In retrospect, absolutely. That would’ve been the right, like, unambiguously the right thing to do,” he says. “But also it was just, like, hilariously well-capitalized.”</p><p>Near the peak of the great shitcoin boom, in April 2022, FTX hosted a lavish conference at a resort and casino in Nassau. It was Bankman-Fried’s coming out party. He got to share the stage with quarterback Tom Brady. Also there: former Prime Minister Tony Blair and ex-President Bill Clinton, who extended a fatherly hand when the young crypto executive seemed nervous. The author Michael Lewis, who’s working on a book about Bankman-Fried, praised him in a fawning interview onstage. “You’re breaking land speed records. And I don’t think people are really noticing what’s happened, just how dramatic the revolution has become,” Lewis said, asking when crypto would take over Wall Street.</p><p>The next month, thecrypto crash began. It started when a popular set of coins called Terra and Luna collapsed, wiping out $60 billion. Terra and Luna were almost openly a Ponzi scheme, but some of the biggest crypto funds had invested in them with borrowed money and went bankrupt. This made the lenders who’d lent billions of dollars to Alameda nervous. They asked Alameda to repay the loans, with real money. It needed billions of dollars, fast, or it would go bust.</p><p>There are two different versions of what happened next. Two people with knowledge of the matter told me that Ellison, by then the sole head of Alameda, had told her side of the story to her staff amid the crisis. Ellison said that she, Bankman-Fried and his two top lieutenants—Gary Wang and Nishad Singh—had discussed the shortfall. Instead of admitting Alameda’s failure, they decided to use FTX customer funds to cover it, according to the people. If that’s true, all four executives would’ve knowingly committed fraud. (Ellison, Wang and Singh didn’t respond to messages seeking comment.)</p><p>When I put this to Bankman-Fried, he screws up his eyes, furrows his eyebrows, puts his hands in his hair and thinks for a few seconds.</p><p>“So, it’s not how I remember what happened,” Bankman-Fried says. But he surprises me by acknowledging that there had been a meeting, post-Luna crash, where they debated what to do about Alameda’s debts. The way he tells it, he was packing for a trip to DC and “only kibitzing on parts of the discussion.” It didn’t seem like a crisis, he says. It was a matter of extending a bit more credit to a fund that already traded on margin and still had a pile of collateral worth way more than enough to cover the loan. (Although the pile of collateral was largely shitcoins.)</p><p>“That was the point at which Alameda’s margin position on FTX got, well, it got more leveraged substantially,” he says. “Obviously, in retrospect, we should’ve just said no. I sort of didn’t realize then how large the position had gotten.”</p><p>“You were all aware there was a chance this would not work,” I say.</p><p>“That’s right,” he says. “But I thought that the risk was substantially smaller.”</p><p>I try to imagine what he could’ve been thinking. If FTX had liquidated Alameda’s position, the fund would’ve gone bankrupt, and even if the exchange didn’t take direct losses, customers would’ve lost confidence in it. Bankman-Fried points out that the companies that lent money to Alameda might have failed, too, causing a hard-to-predict cascade of events.</p><p>“Now let’s say you don’t margin call Alameda,” I posit. “Maybe you think there’s like a 70% chance everything will be OK, it’ll all work out?”</p><p>“Yes, but also in the cases where it didn’t work out, I thought the downside was not nearly as high as it was,” he says. “I thought that there was the risk of a much smaller hole. I thought it was going to be manageable.”</p><p>Bankman-Fried pulls out his laptop (an Acer Predator) and opens a spreadsheet to show what he meant. It’s similar to thebalance sheethe reportedly showed investors when he was seeking a last-minute bailout, which he says consolidated FTX and Alameda’s positions because by then the fund had defaulted on its debt. On one line—labeled “What I *thought*”—he lists $8.9 billion in debts and way more than enough money to pay them: $9 billion in liquid assets, $15.4 billion in “less liquid” assets and $3.2 billion in “illiquid” ones. He tells me this was more or less the position he was considering when he had the meeting with the other executives.</p><p>“It looks naively to me like, you know, there’s still some significant liabilities out there, but, like, we should be able to cover it,” he says.</p><p>“So what’s the problem, then?”</p><p>Bankman-Fried points to another place on the spreadsheet, which he says shows the actual truth of the situation at the time of the meeting. This one shows similar numbers, but with $8 billion less liquid assets.</p><p>“What’s the difference between these two rows here?” he asks.</p><p>“You didn’t have $8 billion in cash that you thought you had,” I say.</p><p>“That’s correct. Yes.”</p><p>“You misplaced $8 billion?” I ask.</p><p>“Misaccounted,” Bankman-Fried says, sounding almost proud of his explanation. Sometimes, he says, customers would wire money to Alameda Research instead of sending it directly to FTX. (Some banks were more willing to work with the hedge fund than the exchange, for some reason.) He claims that somehow, FTX’s internal accounting system double-counted this money, essentially crediting it to both the exchange and the fund.</p><p>That still doesn’t explain why the money was gone. “Where did the $8 billion go?” I ask.</p><p>To answer, Bankman-Fried creates a new tab on the spreadsheet and starts typing. He lists Alameda and FTX’s biggest cash flows. One of the biggest expenses is paying a net $2.5 billion toBinance, a rival, to buy out its investment in FTX. He also lists $250 million for real estate, $1.5 billion for expenses, $4 billion for venture capital investments, $1.5 billion for acquisitions and $1 billion labeled “fuckups.” Even accounting for both firms’ profits, and all the venture capital money raised by FTX, it tallies to negative $6.5 billion.</p><p>Bankman-Fried is telling me that the billions of dollars customers wired to Alameda is gone simply because the companies spent way more than they made. He claims he paid so little attention to his expenses that he didn’t realize he was spending more than he was taking in. “I was real lazy about this mental math,” the former physics major says. He creates another column in his spreadsheet and types in much lower numbers to show what he thought he was spending at the time.</p><p>It seems to me like he is, without saying it exactly, blaming his underlings for FTX’s failure, especially Ellison, the head of Alameda. The two had dated and lived together at times. She was part of Bankman-Fried’s Future Fund, which was supposed to distribute FTX and Alameda’s earnings to effective-altruist-approved causes. It seems unlikely she would’ve blown billions of dollars without asking. “People might take, like, the TLDR as, like, it was my ex-girlfriend’s fault,” I tell him. “That is sort of what you’re saying.”</p><p>“I think the biggest failure was that it wasn’t entirely clear whose fault it was,” he says.</p><p>Bankman-Fried tells me he has to make a call. After a while, the sun goes down and I’m hungry. I’m allowed to join a group of Bankman-Fried’s supporters for dinner, as long as I don’t mention their names.</p><p>With the curtains drawn, the living room looks considerably less grand than it does in pictures. I’ve been told that FTX employees gathered here amid the crisis, while Bankman-Fried worked in another apartment. Addled by stress and sleep deprivation, they wept and hugged one another. Most didn’t say goodbye as they left the island, one by one. Many flew back to their childhood homes to be with their parents.</p><p>The supporters at the dinner tell me they feel like the press has been unfair. They say that Bankman-Fried and his friends weren’t the polyamorous partiers the tabloids have portrayed and that they did little besides work. Earlier in the week, a Bahamian man who’d served as FTX’s round-the-clock chauffeur and gofer also told me the reports weren’t true. “People make it seem like this big<i>Wolf of Wall Street</i>thing,” he said. “Bro, it was a bunch of nerds.”</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b87535c118f069e782e80762398d0a9c\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"1000\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Illustration: Maxime Mouysset for Bloomberg Businessweek</p><p>By the time I finish my plate of off-the-record rice and beans, Bankman-Fried is free again. We return to the study. He’s barefoot now, having balled up his gym socks and stuffed them behind a couch cushion. He lies on the couch, his computer on his lap. The light from the screen casts shadows of his curls on his forehead.</p><p>I notice a skin-colored patch on his arm. He tells me it’s a transdermal antidepressant, selegiline. I ask if he’s using it as a performance enhancer or to treat depression. “Nothing’s binary,” he says. “But I’ve been borderline depressed for my whole life.” He adds that he also sometimes takes Adderall—“10 milligrams at a time, a few times a day”—as did some of his colleagues, but that talk of drug use is overblown. “I don’t think that was the problem,” he says.</p><p>I tell Bankman-Fried my theory about his motivation, sidestepping the question of whether he misappropriated customer funds. Bankman-Fried denies that his world-saving goals made him willing to take giant gambles. As we talk more, it seems like he’s saying he made some kind of bet but hadn’t calculated the expected value properly.</p><p>“I was comfortable taking the risk that, like, I may end up kind of falling flat,” he says, staring at his computer screen, where he had pulled up a game and was leading an army of cartoon knights and fairies into battle. “But what actually happened was disastrously bad and, like, no significant chance of that happening would’ve made sense to risk, and that was a fuckup. Like, that was a mass miscalculation in downside.”</p><p>I read Bankman-Fried a post by Will MacAskill, one of the founders of the effective-altruism movement. He recruited Bankman-Fried into it when he was a junior at MIT and this year had joined the board of Bankman-Fried’s Future Fund. On Nov. 11,MacAskill wrote on Twitterthat Bankman-Fried had betrayed him. “For years, the EA community has emphasized the importance of integrity, honesty and the respect of common-sense moral constraints,” MacAskill wrote. “If customer funds were misused, then Sam did not listen; he must have thought he was above such considerations.”</p><p>Bankman-Fried closes his eyes and pushes his toes against one arm of the couch, clenching the other arm with his hands. “That’s not how I view what happened,” he says. “But I did fuck up. I think really what I want to say is, like, I’m really fucking sorry. By far the worst thing about this is that it will tarnish the reputation of people who are dedicated to doing nothing but what they thought was best for the world.” Bankman-Fried trails off. On his computer screen, his army casts spells and swings swords unattended.</p><p>I ask what he’d say to people who are comparing him to the most famous Ponzi schemer of recent times. “Bernie Madoff also said he had good intentions and gave a lot to charity,” I say.</p><p>“FTX was a legitimate, profitable, thriving business. And I fucked up by, like, allowing a margin position to get too big on it. One that endangered the platform. It was a completely unnecessary and unforced error, which like maybe I got super unlucky on, but, like, that was my bad.”</p><p>“It fucking sucks,” he adds. “But it wasn’t inherent to what the business was. It was just a fuckup. A huge fuckup.”</p><p>To me, it doesn’t really seem like a fuckup. Even if I believe that he misplaced and accidentally spent $8 billion, he’s already told me that Alameda had been allowed to violate FTX’s margin rules. This wasn’t some little technical thing. He was so proud of FTX’s margining system that he’d been lobbying regulators for it to be used on US exchanges instead of traditional safeguards. In May, Bankman-Fried himself said on Twitter that exchanges should never extend credit to a fund and put other customers’ assets at risk. He wrote that the idea an exchange would even have that discretion was “scary.” I read him the tweets and ask: “Isn’t that, like, exactly what you did, right around that time?”</p><p>“Yeah, I guess that’s kind of fair,” he says. Then he seems to claim that this was evidence the rules he was lobbying for were a good idea. “I think this is one of the things that would have stopped.”</p><p>“You had a rule on your platform. You didn’t follow it,” I say.</p><p>By now it’s past midnight, and—operating without the benefit of any prescription stimulants—I’m worn out. I ask Bankman-Fried if I can see the apartment’s deck before I leave. Outside, crickets chirp as we stand by the pool. The marina is dark, lit only by the spotlights of yachts. As I say goodbye, Bankman-Fried bites into a burger bun and starts talking about potential bailouts with one of his supporters.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>11 Hours With Sam Bankman-Fried: Inside the Bahamian Penthouse After FTX’s Fall</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n11 Hours With Sam Bankman-Fried: Inside the Bahamian Penthouse After FTX’s Fall\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-03 07:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2022-12-02/inside-sam-bankman-fried-s-bahamian-penthouse-after-ftx-s-collapse?srnd=premium-asia><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Sam Bankman-Fried’s $30 million Bahamas penthouse looks like a dorm after the students have left for winter break. The dishwasher is full. Towels are piled in the laundry room. Bat streamers from a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2022-12-02/inside-sam-bankman-fried-s-bahamian-penthouse-after-ftx-s-collapse?srnd=premium-asia\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GBTC":"Grayscale Bitcoin Trust","COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2022-12-02/inside-sam-bankman-fried-s-bahamian-penthouse-after-ftx-s-collapse?srnd=premium-asia","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1152464265","content_text":"Sam Bankman-Fried’s $30 million Bahamas penthouse looks like a dorm after the students have left for winter break. The dishwasher is full. Towels are piled in the laundry room. Bat streamers from a Halloween party are still hanging from a doorway. Two boxes of Legos sit on the floor of one bedroom. And then there are the shoes—dozens of sneakers and heels piled in the foyer, left behind by employees who fled the island of New Providence last month when his cryptocurrency exchangeFTX imploded.“It’s been an interesting few weeks,” Bankman-Fried says in a chipper tone as he greets me. It’s a muggy Saturday afternoon, eight days after FTX filed for bankruptcy. He’s shoeless, in white gym socks, a red T-shirt and wrinkled khaki shorts. His standard uniform.This isn’t part of the typical tour Bankman-Fried gave to the many reporters who came to tell the tale of the boy-genius-crypto-billionaire who slept on a beanbag chair next to his desk and only got rich so he could give it all away, and it’s easy to see why. The apartment is at the top of one of the luxury condo buildings that border a marina in a gated community called Albany. Outside, deckhands buff the stanchions of a 200-foot yacht owned by a fracking billionaire. A bronze replica of Wall Street’sCharging Bullstatue stands on the lawn, which is as manicured as the residents. I feel like I’ve crash-landed on an alien planet populated solely by the very rich and the people who work for them.Bankman-Fried leads me down a marble-floored hallway to a small bedroom, where he perches on a plush brown couch. Always known for being jittery, he taps his foot so hard it rattles a coffee table, smacks gum and rubs his index finger with his thumb like he’s twirling an invisible fidget spinner. But he seems almost cheerful as he explains why he’s invited me into his 12,000-square-foot bolthole, against the advice of his lawyers, even as investigators from theUS Department of Justice probewhether he used customers’ funds to prop up his hedge fund, a crime that could send him to prison for years. (Spoiler alert: It sure looks like he did.)“What I’m focusing on is what I can do, right now, to try and make things as right as possible,” Bankman-Fried says. “I can’t do that if I’m just focused on covering my ass.”But he seems to be doing just that, with me here and all along the apology tour he’ll later embark on, which will include a video appearance at aNew York Timesconference and an interview onGood Morning America. He’s been trying to blame his firm’s failure on a hazy combination of comically poor bookkeeping, wildly misjudged risks and complete ignorance of what his hedge fund was doing. In other words, an alumnus of both MIT and the elite Wall Street trading firmJane Streetis arguing that he was just dumb with the numbers—not pulling a conscious fraud. Talking in detail to journalists about what’s certain to be the subject of extensive litigation seems like an unusual strategy, but it makes sense: The press helped him create his only-honest-man-in-crypto image, so why not use them to talk his way out of trouble?Bankman-Fried after an interview onBloomberg Wealth With David Rubensteinon Aug. 17, 2022.Photographer: Jeenah Moon/BloombergHe doesn’t say so, but one reason he might be willing to speak with me is that I’m one of the reporters who helped build him up. After spending two days at FTX’s offices in February, I flew past the brightred flagsat his company—its lack of corporate governance, the ties to his Alameda Research hedge fund, its profligate spending on marketing, the fact that it operated largely outside US jurisdiction. Iwrote a storyfocused on whether Bankman-Fried would follow through on his plans to donate huge sums to charity and his connections to an unusual philanthropic movement calledeffective altruism.It wasn’t the most embarrassingly puffy of the many puff pieces that came out about him. (“After my interview with SBF, I was convinced: I was talking to a future trillionaire,” one writer said in an article commissioned by a venture capital firm.) But my tone wasn’t entirely dissimilar. “Bankman-Fried is a thought experiment from a college philosophy seminar come to life,” I wrote. “Should someone who wants to save the world first amass as much money and power as possible, or will the pursuit corrupt him along the way?” Now it seems pretty clear that a better question would’ve been whether the business was ascam from the start.I tell Bankman-Fried I want to talk about the decisions that led to FTX’s collapse, and why he took them. Earlier in the week, inlate-night DM exchangeswith aVoxreporter and on a phone call with a YouTuber, he made comments that many interpreted as an admission that everything he said was a lie. (“So the ethics stuff, mostly a front?” theVoxreporter asked. “Yeah,” Bankman-Fried replied.) He’d spoken so cynically about his motivations that to many it seemed like a comic book character was pulling off his mask to reveal the villain who’d been hiding there all along.I set out on this visit with a different working theory. Maybe I was feeling the tug of my past reporting, but I still didn’t think the talk about charity was all made up. Since he was a teenager, Bankman-Fried has described himself as utilitarian—following the philosophy that the correct action is the one likely to result in the greatest good for the greatest number of people. He said his endgame was making and donating enough money to prevent pandemics and stop runaway artificial intelligence from destroying humanity. Faced with a crisis, and believing he was the hero of his own sci-fi movie, he might’ve thought it was right to make a crazy, even illegal, gamble to save his company.To be clear, if that’s what happened, it’s the logic of a megalomaniac, not a martyr. The money wasn’t his to gamble with, and “the ends justify the means” is a cliché of bad ethics. But if it’s what he believed, he might still think he’d made the right decision, even if it didn’t work out. It seemed to me that’s what he meant when he messagedVox, “The worst quadrant is sketchy + lose. The best is win + ???” I want to probe that, in part because it might get him to talk more candidly about what had happened to his customers’ money.I decide to approach the topic gingerly, on terms I think he’ll relate to, as it seems he’s in less of a crime-confess-y mood. He’s said he likes to evaluate decisions in terms of expected value—the odds of success times the likely payoff—so I begin by asking: “Should I judge you by your impact, or by the expected value of your decision?”“When all is said and done, what matters is your actual realized impact. Like, that’s what actually matters to the world,” he says. “But, obviously, there’s luck.”That’s the in I’m looking for. For the next 11 hours—with breaks for fundraising calls and a very awkward dinner—I try to get him to tell me exactly what he meant. He denies that he’s committed fraud or lied to anyone and blames FTX’s failure on his sloppiness and inattention. But at points it seems like he’s saying he gotunlucky, or miscalculated the odds.Bankman-Fried tells me he’s still got a chance to raise $8 billion to save his company. He seems delusional, or committed to pretending this is still an error he can fix, and either way, the few supporters remaining at his penthouse seem unlikely to set him straight. The grim scene reminds me a bit of the end ofScarface, with Tony Montana holed up in his mansion, semi-incoherent, his unknown enemies sneaking closer. But instead of mountains of cocaine, Bankman-Fried is clinging to spreadsheet tabs filled with wildly optimistic cryptocurrency valuations.Think of FTX like an offshore casino. Customers sent in money, then gambled on the price of hundreds ofcryptocurrencies—not just Bitcoin or Ether, but more obscure coins. In crypto slang, the latter are called shitcoins, because almost no one knows what they’re for. But in the past few years, otherwise respectable people, from retired dentists to heads of state, convinced themselves that these coins werethe future of finance. Or at least that enough other people might think so to make the price go up. Bankman-Fried’s casino was growing so fast that earlier this year some of Silicon Valley’s top venture capitalists invested in it at a $32 billion valuation.The problem surfaced last month. After a rival crypto-casino kingpin raised concerns about FTX on Twitter, customers rushed to cash in their chips. But when Bankman-Fried’s casino opened the vault, their money wasn’t there. According to multiple news reports citing people familiar with the matter, it had been secretly lent to Bankman-Fried’s hedge fund, which had lost it in some mix of bad bets, insane spending and perhaps something even sketchier. John Ray III, the lawyer who’s now chief executive officer of the bankrupt exchange, has alleged in court that FTX covered up the loans using secret software.Bankman-Fried denies this again to me. Returning to the framework of expected value, I ask him if the decisions he made were correct.“I think that I’ve made a lot of plus-EV decisions and a few very large boneheaded decisions,” he says. “Certainly in retrospect, those very large decisions were very bad, and may end up overwhelming everything else.”The chain of events, in his telling, started about four years ago. Bankman-Fried was in Hong Kong, where he’d moved from Berkeley, California, with a small group of friends from the effective-altruism community. Together they ran a successful startup crypto hedge fund,Alameda Research. (The name itself was an early example of his casual attitude toward rules—it was chosen to avoid scrutiny from banks, which frequently closed its accounts. “If we named our company like, Shitcoin Daytraders Inc., they’d probably just reject us,” Bankman-Fried told a podcaster in 2021. “But, I mean, no one doesn’t like research.”)The fund had made millions of dollars exploiting inefficiencies across cryptocurrency exchanges. (Ex-employees, even those otherwise critical of Bankman-Fried, have said this is true, though some have said Alameda then lost some of that money because of bad trades and mismanagement.) Bankman-Fried and his friends began considering starting their own exchange—what would become FTX.The way Bankman-Fried later described this decision reveals his attitude toward risk. He estimated there was an 80% chance the exchange would fail to attract enough customers. But he’s said one should always take a bet, even a long-shot one, if the expected value is positive, calling this stance “risk neutral.” But it actually meant he would take risks that to a normal person sound insane. “As an individual, to make a bet where it’s like, ‘I’m going to gamble my $10 billion and either get $20 billion or $0, with equal probability,’ would be madness,” Rob Wiblin, host of an effective-altruism podcast, said to Bankman-Fried in April. “But from an altruistic point of view, it’s not so crazy.”“Completely agree,” Bankman-Fried replied. He told another interviewer that he’d make a bet described as a chance of “51% you double the earth out somewhere else, 49% it all disappears.”Bankman-Fried and his friends jump-started FTX by having Alameda provide liquidity. It was a huge conflict of interest. Imagine if the top executives at an online poker site also entered its high-stakes tournaments—the temptation to cheat by peeking at other players’ cards would be huge. But Bankman-Fried assured customers that Alameda would play by the same rules as everyone else, and enough people came to trade that FTX took off. “Having Alameda provide liquidity on FTX early on was the right decision, because I think that helped make FTX a great product for users, even though it obviously ended up backfiring,” Bankman-Fried tells me.Part of FTX’s appeal was that it was mostly a derivatives exchange, which allowed customers to trade “on margin,” meaning with borrowed money. That’s a key to his defense. Bankman-Fried argues no one should be surprised that big traders on FTX, including Alameda, were borrowing from the exchange, and that his fund’s position just somehow got out of hand. “Everyone was borrowing and lending,” he says. “That’s been its calling card.” But FTX’s normal margin system, crypto traders tell me, would never have permitted anyone to accumulate a debt that looked like Alameda’s. When I ask if Alameda had to follow the same margin rules as other traders, he admits the fund did not. “There was more leeway,” he says.That wouldn’t have been so important had Alameda stuck to its original trading strategy of relatively low-risk arbitrage trades. But in 2020 and 2021, as Bankman-Fried became the face of FTX, amajor political donorand a favorite of Silicon Valley, Alameda faced more competition in that market-making business. It shifted its strategy to, essentially, gambling on shitcoins.As Caroline Ellison, then Alameda’s co-CEO, explained in aMarch 2021 post on Twitter: “The way to really make money is figure out when the market is going to go up and get balls long before that,” she wrote, adding that she’d learned the strategy from the classic market-manipulation memoir,Reminiscences of a Stock Operator.Her co-CEO said in another tweet that a profitable strategy was buying Dogecoin becauseElon Musktweeted about it.The reason they were bragging about what sounded like a high schooler’s tactics was that it was working better than anyone knew. When we spoke in February 2022, Bankman-Fried told me that Alameda had made $1 billion the previous year. He now says that was Alameda’s arbitrage profits. On top of that, its shitcoins gained tens of billions of dollars of value, at least on paper. “If you mark everything to market, I do believe at one point my net worth got to $100 billion,” Bankman-Fried says.Any trader would know this wasn’t nearly as good as it sounded. The large pile of tokens couldn’t be turned into cash without crashing the market. Much of it was even made of tokens that Bankman-Fried and his friends had spun up themselves, such as FTT, Serum or Maps—the official currency of a nonsensical crypto-meets-mapping app—or were closely affiliated with, like Solana. While Bankman-Fried acknowledges the pile was worth something less than $100 billion—maybe he’d mark it down a third, he says—he maintains that he could have extracted quite a lot of real money from his holdings.But he didn’t. Instead, Alameda borrowed billions of dollars from other crypto lenders—not FTX—and sunk them into more crypto bets. Publicly, Bankman-Fried presented himself as an ethical operator andcalled for regulationto rein in crypto’s worst excesses. But through his hedge fund, he’d actually become the market’s most degenerate gambler. I ask him why, if he really thought he could sell the tokens, he didn’t. “Why not, like, take some risk off?”“OK. In retrospect, absolutely. That would’ve been the right, like, unambiguously the right thing to do,” he says. “But also it was just, like, hilariously well-capitalized.”Near the peak of the great shitcoin boom, in April 2022, FTX hosted a lavish conference at a resort and casino in Nassau. It was Bankman-Fried’s coming out party. He got to share the stage with quarterback Tom Brady. Also there: former Prime Minister Tony Blair and ex-President Bill Clinton, who extended a fatherly hand when the young crypto executive seemed nervous. The author Michael Lewis, who’s working on a book about Bankman-Fried, praised him in a fawning interview onstage. “You’re breaking land speed records. And I don’t think people are really noticing what’s happened, just how dramatic the revolution has become,” Lewis said, asking when crypto would take over Wall Street.The next month, thecrypto crash began. It started when a popular set of coins called Terra and Luna collapsed, wiping out $60 billion. Terra and Luna were almost openly a Ponzi scheme, but some of the biggest crypto funds had invested in them with borrowed money and went bankrupt. This made the lenders who’d lent billions of dollars to Alameda nervous. They asked Alameda to repay the loans, with real money. It needed billions of dollars, fast, or it would go bust.There are two different versions of what happened next. Two people with knowledge of the matter told me that Ellison, by then the sole head of Alameda, had told her side of the story to her staff amid the crisis. Ellison said that she, Bankman-Fried and his two top lieutenants—Gary Wang and Nishad Singh—had discussed the shortfall. Instead of admitting Alameda’s failure, they decided to use FTX customer funds to cover it, according to the people. If that’s true, all four executives would’ve knowingly committed fraud. (Ellison, Wang and Singh didn’t respond to messages seeking comment.)When I put this to Bankman-Fried, he screws up his eyes, furrows his eyebrows, puts his hands in his hair and thinks for a few seconds.“So, it’s not how I remember what happened,” Bankman-Fried says. But he surprises me by acknowledging that there had been a meeting, post-Luna crash, where they debated what to do about Alameda’s debts. The way he tells it, he was packing for a trip to DC and “only kibitzing on parts of the discussion.” It didn’t seem like a crisis, he says. It was a matter of extending a bit more credit to a fund that already traded on margin and still had a pile of collateral worth way more than enough to cover the loan. (Although the pile of collateral was largely shitcoins.)“That was the point at which Alameda’s margin position on FTX got, well, it got more leveraged substantially,” he says. “Obviously, in retrospect, we should’ve just said no. I sort of didn’t realize then how large the position had gotten.”“You were all aware there was a chance this would not work,” I say.“That’s right,” he says. “But I thought that the risk was substantially smaller.”I try to imagine what he could’ve been thinking. If FTX had liquidated Alameda’s position, the fund would’ve gone bankrupt, and even if the exchange didn’t take direct losses, customers would’ve lost confidence in it. Bankman-Fried points out that the companies that lent money to Alameda might have failed, too, causing a hard-to-predict cascade of events.“Now let’s say you don’t margin call Alameda,” I posit. “Maybe you think there’s like a 70% chance everything will be OK, it’ll all work out?”“Yes, but also in the cases where it didn’t work out, I thought the downside was not nearly as high as it was,” he says. “I thought that there was the risk of a much smaller hole. I thought it was going to be manageable.”Bankman-Fried pulls out his laptop (an Acer Predator) and opens a spreadsheet to show what he meant. It’s similar to thebalance sheethe reportedly showed investors when he was seeking a last-minute bailout, which he says consolidated FTX and Alameda’s positions because by then the fund had defaulted on its debt. On one line—labeled “What I *thought*”—he lists $8.9 billion in debts and way more than enough money to pay them: $9 billion in liquid assets, $15.4 billion in “less liquid” assets and $3.2 billion in “illiquid” ones. He tells me this was more or less the position he was considering when he had the meeting with the other executives.“It looks naively to me like, you know, there’s still some significant liabilities out there, but, like, we should be able to cover it,” he says.“So what’s the problem, then?”Bankman-Fried points to another place on the spreadsheet, which he says shows the actual truth of the situation at the time of the meeting. This one shows similar numbers, but with $8 billion less liquid assets.“What’s the difference between these two rows here?” he asks.“You didn’t have $8 billion in cash that you thought you had,” I say.“That’s correct. Yes.”“You misplaced $8 billion?” I ask.“Misaccounted,” Bankman-Fried says, sounding almost proud of his explanation. Sometimes, he says, customers would wire money to Alameda Research instead of sending it directly to FTX. (Some banks were more willing to work with the hedge fund than the exchange, for some reason.) He claims that somehow, FTX’s internal accounting system double-counted this money, essentially crediting it to both the exchange and the fund.That still doesn’t explain why the money was gone. “Where did the $8 billion go?” I ask.To answer, Bankman-Fried creates a new tab on the spreadsheet and starts typing. He lists Alameda and FTX’s biggest cash flows. One of the biggest expenses is paying a net $2.5 billion toBinance, a rival, to buy out its investment in FTX. He also lists $250 million for real estate, $1.5 billion for expenses, $4 billion for venture capital investments, $1.5 billion for acquisitions and $1 billion labeled “fuckups.” Even accounting for both firms’ profits, and all the venture capital money raised by FTX, it tallies to negative $6.5 billion.Bankman-Fried is telling me that the billions of dollars customers wired to Alameda is gone simply because the companies spent way more than they made. He claims he paid so little attention to his expenses that he didn’t realize he was spending more than he was taking in. “I was real lazy about this mental math,” the former physics major says. He creates another column in his spreadsheet and types in much lower numbers to show what he thought he was spending at the time.It seems to me like he is, without saying it exactly, blaming his underlings for FTX’s failure, especially Ellison, the head of Alameda. The two had dated and lived together at times. She was part of Bankman-Fried’s Future Fund, which was supposed to distribute FTX and Alameda’s earnings to effective-altruist-approved causes. It seems unlikely she would’ve blown billions of dollars without asking. “People might take, like, the TLDR as, like, it was my ex-girlfriend’s fault,” I tell him. “That is sort of what you’re saying.”“I think the biggest failure was that it wasn’t entirely clear whose fault it was,” he says.Bankman-Fried tells me he has to make a call. After a while, the sun goes down and I’m hungry. I’m allowed to join a group of Bankman-Fried’s supporters for dinner, as long as I don’t mention their names.With the curtains drawn, the living room looks considerably less grand than it does in pictures. I’ve been told that FTX employees gathered here amid the crisis, while Bankman-Fried worked in another apartment. Addled by stress and sleep deprivation, they wept and hugged one another. Most didn’t say goodbye as they left the island, one by one. Many flew back to their childhood homes to be with their parents.The supporters at the dinner tell me they feel like the press has been unfair. They say that Bankman-Fried and his friends weren’t the polyamorous partiers the tabloids have portrayed and that they did little besides work. Earlier in the week, a Bahamian man who’d served as FTX’s round-the-clock chauffeur and gofer also told me the reports weren’t true. “People make it seem like this bigWolf of Wall Streetthing,” he said. “Bro, it was a bunch of nerds.”Illustration: Maxime Mouysset for Bloomberg BusinessweekBy the time I finish my plate of off-the-record rice and beans, Bankman-Fried is free again. We return to the study. He’s barefoot now, having balled up his gym socks and stuffed them behind a couch cushion. He lies on the couch, his computer on his lap. The light from the screen casts shadows of his curls on his forehead.I notice a skin-colored patch on his arm. He tells me it’s a transdermal antidepressant, selegiline. I ask if he’s using it as a performance enhancer or to treat depression. “Nothing’s binary,” he says. “But I’ve been borderline depressed for my whole life.” He adds that he also sometimes takes Adderall—“10 milligrams at a time, a few times a day”—as did some of his colleagues, but that talk of drug use is overblown. “I don’t think that was the problem,” he says.I tell Bankman-Fried my theory about his motivation, sidestepping the question of whether he misappropriated customer funds. Bankman-Fried denies that his world-saving goals made him willing to take giant gambles. As we talk more, it seems like he’s saying he made some kind of bet but hadn’t calculated the expected value properly.“I was comfortable taking the risk that, like, I may end up kind of falling flat,” he says, staring at his computer screen, where he had pulled up a game and was leading an army of cartoon knights and fairies into battle. “But what actually happened was disastrously bad and, like, no significant chance of that happening would’ve made sense to risk, and that was a fuckup. Like, that was a mass miscalculation in downside.”I read Bankman-Fried a post by Will MacAskill, one of the founders of the effective-altruism movement. He recruited Bankman-Fried into it when he was a junior at MIT and this year had joined the board of Bankman-Fried’s Future Fund. On Nov. 11,MacAskill wrote on Twitterthat Bankman-Fried had betrayed him. “For years, the EA community has emphasized the importance of integrity, honesty and the respect of common-sense moral constraints,” MacAskill wrote. “If customer funds were misused, then Sam did not listen; he must have thought he was above such considerations.”Bankman-Fried closes his eyes and pushes his toes against one arm of the couch, clenching the other arm with his hands. “That’s not how I view what happened,” he says. “But I did fuck up. I think really what I want to say is, like, I’m really fucking sorry. By far the worst thing about this is that it will tarnish the reputation of people who are dedicated to doing nothing but what they thought was best for the world.” Bankman-Fried trails off. On his computer screen, his army casts spells and swings swords unattended.I ask what he’d say to people who are comparing him to the most famous Ponzi schemer of recent times. “Bernie Madoff also said he had good intentions and gave a lot to charity,” I say.“FTX was a legitimate, profitable, thriving business. And I fucked up by, like, allowing a margin position to get too big on it. One that endangered the platform. It was a completely unnecessary and unforced error, which like maybe I got super unlucky on, but, like, that was my bad.”“It fucking sucks,” he adds. “But it wasn’t inherent to what the business was. It was just a fuckup. A huge fuckup.”To me, it doesn’t really seem like a fuckup. Even if I believe that he misplaced and accidentally spent $8 billion, he’s already told me that Alameda had been allowed to violate FTX’s margin rules. This wasn’t some little technical thing. He was so proud of FTX’s margining system that he’d been lobbying regulators for it to be used on US exchanges instead of traditional safeguards. In May, Bankman-Fried himself said on Twitter that exchanges should never extend credit to a fund and put other customers’ assets at risk. He wrote that the idea an exchange would even have that discretion was “scary.” I read him the tweets and ask: “Isn’t that, like, exactly what you did, right around that time?”“Yeah, I guess that’s kind of fair,” he says. Then he seems to claim that this was evidence the rules he was lobbying for were a good idea. “I think this is one of the things that would have stopped.”“You had a rule on your platform. You didn’t follow it,” I say.By now it’s past midnight, and—operating without the benefit of any prescription stimulants—I’m worn out. I ask Bankman-Fried if I can see the apartment’s deck before I leave. Outside, crickets chirp as we stand by the pool. The marina is dark, lit only by the spotlights of yachts. As I say goodbye, Bankman-Fried bites into a burger bun and starts talking about potential bailouts with one of his supporters.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":137,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9962894377,"gmtCreate":1669755647599,"gmtModify":1676538235323,"author":{"id":"3582962119812367","authorId":"3582962119812367","name":"Daniel12321","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a4ffcb9551bf9fffa55a10cf8b531d6","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582962119812367","authorIdStr":"3582962119812367"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9962894377","repostId":"2286859887","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":117,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9968208259,"gmtCreate":1669237575772,"gmtModify":1676538170324,"author":{"id":"3582962119812367","authorId":"3582962119812367","name":"Daniel12321","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a4ffcb9551bf9fffa55a10cf8b531d6","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582962119812367","authorIdStr":"3582962119812367"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9968208259","repostId":"1168042484","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1168042484","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1669207575,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1168042484?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-23 20:46","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla’s Stock Slump Has Gone Too Far, Morgan Stanley Says","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1168042484","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Shares slumped 52% this year with $300b wipeout in two monthsMorgan Stanley sees value opportunity while Citi upgradesElon Musk.Photographer: Carina Johansen/AFPAfter losing nearly $300 billion in mar","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Shares slumped 52% this year with $300b wipeout in two months</li><li>Morgan Stanley sees value opportunity while Citi upgrades</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76d786e2fc285c0e8faa9755ba109fa5\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"665\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Elon Musk.Photographer: Carina Johansen/AFP</span></p><p>After losing nearly $300 billion in market value in two months, a growing chorus of Tesla Inc. analysts say the share-price decline has gone far enough.</p><p>Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas said on Wednesday that Tesla is approaching his “bear case” price target of $150, presenting an opportunity for investors to buy at a bargain price. Citi analysts upgraded the shares to neutral from sell, saying that a more than 50% slump this year “has balanced out the near-term risk/reward.”</p><p>Despite challenges including decelerating demand andprice cutsin China, Tesla is the only electric vehicle maker covered by Morgan Stanley that generates a profit on the sale of its cars, Jonas wrote in a note. The analyst -- who also highlighted Tesla’s potential to benefit from consumer tax credits in the US -- reiterated his $330 price target.</p><p>Shares rose as much as 1.9% in premarket trading to $173.11. The stock has slumped this year amid rising raw materials costs,issueswith production and sales in China and pressure on customer budgets. Latterly, Chief Executive Officer Elon Musk’s focus on turning around Twitter Inc. has also hit sentiment, with $300 billion wiped off Tesla’s market cap in the past two months, according to Bloomberg calculations.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/28418b2c1e10b82bdeec4788d9133a29\" tg-width=\"1235\" tg-height=\"695\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>The distraction caused by Twitter needs to end to stop the stock slide, according to Jonas. “There must be some form of sentiment ‘circuit breaker’ around the Twitter situation to calm investor concerns around Tesla,” he wrote.</p><p>Despite all of the challenges Tesla has faced this year, Wall Street has mainly stayed bullish. The majority of Tesla analysts tracked by Bloomberg rate the stock a buy or equivalent, while the shares would need to rally a whopping 80% to hit the median analyst target price. This year’s slump has left the stock trading at 31 times forward earnings, down from more than 200 times in early 2021.</p><p>Citi analyst Itay Michaeli, who upgraded the stock on Wednesday, has one of the lowest price targets on the Street, at $176. The analyst said he was turning more positive because Tesla’s slump means that some of the overly-bullish expectations in the stock, including on unit sales, have now been priced out.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla’s Stock Slump Has Gone Too Far, Morgan Stanley Says</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla’s Stock Slump Has Gone Too Far, Morgan Stanley Says\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-23 20:46 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-23/tesla-is-value-opportunity-as-it-nears-morgan-stanley-bear-case?srnd=markets-vp><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Shares slumped 52% this year with $300b wipeout in two monthsMorgan Stanley sees value opportunity while Citi upgradesElon Musk.Photographer: Carina Johansen/AFPAfter losing nearly $300 billion in ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-23/tesla-is-value-opportunity-as-it-nears-morgan-stanley-bear-case?srnd=markets-vp\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-23/tesla-is-value-opportunity-as-it-nears-morgan-stanley-bear-case?srnd=markets-vp","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1168042484","content_text":"Shares slumped 52% this year with $300b wipeout in two monthsMorgan Stanley sees value opportunity while Citi upgradesElon Musk.Photographer: Carina Johansen/AFPAfter losing nearly $300 billion in market value in two months, a growing chorus of Tesla Inc. analysts say the share-price decline has gone far enough.Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas said on Wednesday that Tesla is approaching his “bear case” price target of $150, presenting an opportunity for investors to buy at a bargain price. Citi analysts upgraded the shares to neutral from sell, saying that a more than 50% slump this year “has balanced out the near-term risk/reward.”Despite challenges including decelerating demand andprice cutsin China, Tesla is the only electric vehicle maker covered by Morgan Stanley that generates a profit on the sale of its cars, Jonas wrote in a note. The analyst -- who also highlighted Tesla’s potential to benefit from consumer tax credits in the US -- reiterated his $330 price target.Shares rose as much as 1.9% in premarket trading to $173.11. The stock has slumped this year amid rising raw materials costs,issueswith production and sales in China and pressure on customer budgets. Latterly, Chief Executive Officer Elon Musk’s focus on turning around Twitter Inc. has also hit sentiment, with $300 billion wiped off Tesla’s market cap in the past two months, according to Bloomberg calculations.The distraction caused by Twitter needs to end to stop the stock slide, according to Jonas. “There must be some form of sentiment ‘circuit breaker’ around the Twitter situation to calm investor concerns around Tesla,” he wrote.Despite all of the challenges Tesla has faced this year, Wall Street has mainly stayed bullish. The majority of Tesla analysts tracked by Bloomberg rate the stock a buy or equivalent, while the shares would need to rally a whopping 80% to hit the median analyst target price. This year’s slump has left the stock trading at 31 times forward earnings, down from more than 200 times in early 2021.Citi analyst Itay Michaeli, who upgraded the stock on Wednesday, has one of the lowest price targets on the Street, at $176. The analyst said he was turning more positive because Tesla’s slump means that some of the overly-bullish expectations in the stock, including on unit sales, have now been priced out.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":299,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9961027095,"gmtCreate":1668806077617,"gmtModify":1676538115009,"author":{"id":"3582962119812367","authorId":"3582962119812367","name":"Daniel12321","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a4ffcb9551bf9fffa55a10cf8b531d6","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582962119812367","authorIdStr":"3582962119812367"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9961027095","repostId":"1156523931","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1156523931","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1668782470,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1156523931?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-18 22:41","market":"us","language":"en","title":"More Than $2 Trillion in Stock Options Expire Friday With  Put-Call Ratio Near Levels Unseen Since 2001","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1156523931","media":"Market Watch","summary":"Equity options worth $2.1 trillion in notional value are set to expire on Friday in the latest month","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8dc787dcc3d9f01b78bad669dcbff58\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"497\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Equity options worth $2.1 trillion in notional value are set to expire on Friday in the latest monthly event where weekly and monthly options tied to single stocks, equity indexes and exchange-traded funds expire, risking an explosion of volatility across markets.</p><p>Every month, a team of analysts from Goldman Sachs publishes a breakdown of the options that are expiring. And one of the most notable details from this month’s report is a chart showing how much trading has shifted to options contracts with 24 hours or less left before they expire.</p><p>Trading in these types of options now represents 44% of all trading in options linked to the S&amp;P 500 index. They now trade an average of $470 billion in notional value per day, according to Goldman.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03093a53400808d597fb19b7f7fe18df\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Options directly linked to the S&amp;P 500 make up a plurality of all equity options expiring in the U.S. on Friday, as Goldman illustrated in the chart below.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d5ee3ea7c5480a4e90bab11f5bc68ac0\" tg-width=\"699\" tg-height=\"381\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Another notable trend in equity-derivatives trading this year has been increasing trading in options linked to indexes and exchange-traded funds. Previously, investors had favored options linked to individual stocks. But trading volume in these options has declined this year, although it remains elevated compared to its pre-pandemic level.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2fc707025c18b4c27a4534f19475112f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"516\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Investors will be paying particularly close attention to Friday’s options expiration after the equity put-call ratio — which measures trading volume of certain equity-linked options compared with trading volume in equity-linked calls —  exploded to levels unseen since 2001 earlier this week.</p><p>Most equity-linked options expire after the close of the trading day, but some index-linked options expire in the morning, according to CME Group.</p><p>One month ago, Nomura’s Charlie McElligott told clients that professional traders are increasingly buying options with one day to expiration or less, a trading strategy that he said first gained notoriety on the popular subreddit “Wall Street Bets.”</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1616996754749","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>More Than $2 Trillion in Stock Options Expire Friday With  Put-Call Ratio Near Levels Unseen Since 2001</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMore Than $2 Trillion in Stock Options Expire Friday With  Put-Call Ratio Near Levels Unseen Since 2001\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-18 22:41 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/more-than-2-trillion-in-stock-options-expire-friday-with-put-call-ratio-near-levels-unseen-since-2001-11668782195?mod=mw_latestnews><strong>Market Watch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Equity options worth $2.1 trillion in notional value are set to expire on Friday in the latest monthly event where weekly and monthly options tied to single stocks, equity indexes and exchange-traded ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/more-than-2-trillion-in-stock-options-expire-friday-with-put-call-ratio-near-levels-unseen-since-2001-11668782195?mod=mw_latestnews\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"QQQ":"纳指100ETF","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/more-than-2-trillion-in-stock-options-expire-friday-with-put-call-ratio-near-levels-unseen-since-2001-11668782195?mod=mw_latestnews","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1156523931","content_text":"Equity options worth $2.1 trillion in notional value are set to expire on Friday in the latest monthly event where weekly and monthly options tied to single stocks, equity indexes and exchange-traded funds expire, risking an explosion of volatility across markets.Every month, a team of analysts from Goldman Sachs publishes a breakdown of the options that are expiring. And one of the most notable details from this month’s report is a chart showing how much trading has shifted to options contracts with 24 hours or less left before they expire.Trading in these types of options now represents 44% of all trading in options linked to the S&P 500 index. They now trade an average of $470 billion in notional value per day, according to Goldman.Options directly linked to the S&P 500 make up a plurality of all equity options expiring in the U.S. on Friday, as Goldman illustrated in the chart below.Another notable trend in equity-derivatives trading this year has been increasing trading in options linked to indexes and exchange-traded funds. Previously, investors had favored options linked to individual stocks. But trading volume in these options has declined this year, although it remains elevated compared to its pre-pandemic level.Investors will be paying particularly close attention to Friday’s options expiration after the equity put-call ratio — which measures trading volume of certain equity-linked options compared with trading volume in equity-linked calls —  exploded to levels unseen since 2001 earlier this week.Most equity-linked options expire after the close of the trading day, but some index-linked options expire in the morning, according to CME Group.One month ago, Nomura’s Charlie McElligott told clients that professional traders are increasingly buying options with one day to expiration or less, a trading strategy that he said first gained notoriety on the popular subreddit “Wall Street Bets.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":177,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9903643983,"gmtCreate":1659023981543,"gmtModify":1676536245688,"author":{"id":"3582962119812367","authorId":"3582962119812367","name":"Daniel12321","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a4ffcb9551bf9fffa55a10cf8b531d6","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582962119812367","authorIdStr":"3582962119812367"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9903643983","repostId":"2254340502","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2254340502","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1659012873,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2254340502?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-28 20:54","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Did Elon Musk Sell Tesla's Bitcoin?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2254340502","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The self-proclaimed \"Techno King\" of Tesla sold Bitcoin for reasons that actually make sense.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p></p><p>Back in February 2021, Elon Musk made headlines when he announced on <b>Twitter </b>(TWTR 1.30%) that his electric car company, <b>Tesla</b> (TSLA 6.17%), would buy <b>Bitcoin </b>(BTC 8.79%) as an alternative to cash. At the time, many viewed the purchase as one of the most significant events in Bitcoin&#39;s short history. The $1.5 billion purchase of Bitcoin caused a frenzy of buyers to pile in and drive the price of Bitcoin up nearly 20% in less than 24 hours.</p><p>Tesla and Musk are now back in the spotlight for the same Bitcoin bought over a year ago. In a quarterly earnings call, Musk disclosed that Tesla sold 75% of its Bitcoin holdings. He cited that the company faced a need for liquidity amid uncertainty in its Chinese operations due to extended COVID-19 lockdowns. With supply chain disruptions and labor shortages, the company needed cash on hand to ensure the disruption in production didn&#39;t have as large of an impact.</p><p>The announcement caused Bitcoin to dip slightly, but it regained those losses quickly after Musk further clarified his comments. He mentioned that the sale &#34;should not be taken as some verdict on Bitcoin&#34; and that the company would look to increase Bitcoin holdings in the future.</p><p>As one of the most prolific entrepreneurs and richest men in the world, any purchase or sale of Bitcoin draws considerable attention from the public. Even more attention is brought about when a sale occurs. However, it seems as though the decision to sell the Bitcoin was potentially the right move for the company.</p><h2>The real reasons behind the sale</h2><p>Although Tesla made the announcement of the sale just last week, the company actually sold roughly 31,500 Bitcoin at a price of roughly $30,000 some time back in May. The sale allowed Tesla to secure cash it badly needed and avoided the worst of the losses when Bitcoin fell below $19,000 this July. Had Tesla not sold when it did, the company would have lost about $11,000 per Bitcoin or roughly $346 million. Likely due to some good timing and a little bit of luck, the company only reported a loss of $106 million by selling at $30,000 instead of around $19,000.</p><p>Tesla is the second-largest electric car company in the world, only recently losing the title as No. 1 this July. The lockdowns caused some of its largest factories in cities like Shanghai to shut down for over a month this spring. This type of hit to production forced Tesla to find new means of cash. Without selling the Bitcoin, the most recent earnings report would have likely been one of the worst it had in quite some time. During normal production, Tesla usually sells roughly 60,000 vehicles in China per month. Despite selling a record number of cars in June, roughly 70,000 fewer cars were sold in the second quarter compared to the first quarter.</p><p>By selling its Bitcoin, Tesla was able to bolster its cash reserves and lessen the blow from lockdown-affected factories in China. Ultimately, it might have been the right move to ensure that any further impacts from the lockdowns were minimal and wouldn&#39;t damage Tesla&#39;s bottom line for Q2. It seems as though the decision was an attempt to minimize the damage that would have inevitably shown up on Tesla&#39;s earnings report. While production numbers took a hit, Tesla was able to offset this with an increased amount of cash on its balance sheets. While it&#39;s not always ideal to sell an asset for short term reasons, it seems to have worked in this case -- especially considering that after the earnings announcement, Tesla&#39;s stock was up about 10%.</p><p></p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Did Elon Musk Sell Tesla's Bitcoin?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Did Elon Musk Sell Tesla's Bitcoin?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-28 20:54 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/07/28/why-did-elon-musk-sell-teslas-bitcoin/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Back in February 2021, Elon Musk made headlines when he announced on Twitter (TWTR 1.30%) that his electric car company, Tesla (TSLA 6.17%), would buy Bitcoin (BTC 8.79%) as an alternative to cash. At...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/07/28/why-did-elon-musk-sell-teslas-bitcoin/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4555":"新能源车","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","TSLA":"特斯拉","BK4511":"特斯拉概念","BK4574":"无人驾驶","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BK4099":"汽车制造商"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/07/28/why-did-elon-musk-sell-teslas-bitcoin/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2254340502","content_text":"Back in February 2021, Elon Musk made headlines when he announced on Twitter (TWTR 1.30%) that his electric car company, Tesla (TSLA 6.17%), would buy Bitcoin (BTC 8.79%) as an alternative to cash. At the time, many viewed the purchase as one of the most significant events in Bitcoin's short history. The $1.5 billion purchase of Bitcoin caused a frenzy of buyers to pile in and drive the price of Bitcoin up nearly 20% in less than 24 hours.Tesla and Musk are now back in the spotlight for the same Bitcoin bought over a year ago. In a quarterly earnings call, Musk disclosed that Tesla sold 75% of its Bitcoin holdings. He cited that the company faced a need for liquidity amid uncertainty in its Chinese operations due to extended COVID-19 lockdowns. With supply chain disruptions and labor shortages, the company needed cash on hand to ensure the disruption in production didn't have as large of an impact.The announcement caused Bitcoin to dip slightly, but it regained those losses quickly after Musk further clarified his comments. He mentioned that the sale \"should not be taken as some verdict on Bitcoin\" and that the company would look to increase Bitcoin holdings in the future.As one of the most prolific entrepreneurs and richest men in the world, any purchase or sale of Bitcoin draws considerable attention from the public. Even more attention is brought about when a sale occurs. However, it seems as though the decision to sell the Bitcoin was potentially the right move for the company.The real reasons behind the saleAlthough Tesla made the announcement of the sale just last week, the company actually sold roughly 31,500 Bitcoin at a price of roughly $30,000 some time back in May. The sale allowed Tesla to secure cash it badly needed and avoided the worst of the losses when Bitcoin fell below $19,000 this July. Had Tesla not sold when it did, the company would have lost about $11,000 per Bitcoin or roughly $346 million. Likely due to some good timing and a little bit of luck, the company only reported a loss of $106 million by selling at $30,000 instead of around $19,000.Tesla is the second-largest electric car company in the world, only recently losing the title as No. 1 this July. The lockdowns caused some of its largest factories in cities like Shanghai to shut down for over a month this spring. This type of hit to production forced Tesla to find new means of cash. Without selling the Bitcoin, the most recent earnings report would have likely been one of the worst it had in quite some time. During normal production, Tesla usually sells roughly 60,000 vehicles in China per month. Despite selling a record number of cars in June, roughly 70,000 fewer cars were sold in the second quarter compared to the first quarter.By selling its Bitcoin, Tesla was able to bolster its cash reserves and lessen the blow from lockdown-affected factories in China. Ultimately, it might have been the right move to ensure that any further impacts from the lockdowns were minimal and wouldn't damage Tesla's bottom line for Q2. It seems as though the decision was an attempt to minimize the damage that would have inevitably shown up on Tesla's earnings report. While production numbers took a hit, Tesla was able to offset this with an increased amount of cash on its balance sheets. While it's not always ideal to sell an asset for short term reasons, it seems to have worked in this case -- especially considering that after the earnings announcement, Tesla's stock was up about 10%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":160,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9989111040,"gmtCreate":1665954011381,"gmtModify":1676537681285,"author":{"id":"3582962119812367","authorId":"3582962119812367","name":"Daniel12321","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a4ffcb9551bf9fffa55a10cf8b531d6","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582962119812367","authorIdStr":"3582962119812367"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9989111040","repostId":"2275698961","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2275698961","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1665804613,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2275698961?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-15 11:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alibaba Q3: Time To Consider An Option Play","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2275698961","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryAlibaba stock prices continue to be directed by short-term events and disjointed from busines","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2>Summary</h2><ul><li>Alibaba stock prices continue to be directed by short-term events and disjointed from business fundamentals.</li><li>Such disconnection creates both challenges and opportunities for value-oriented investors.</li><li>One such opportunity involves an observation that I’ve made about its implied volatility being mispriced.</li><li>As such, you can consider an option play here either to hedge your existing positions or to open a new position.</li><li>The upcoming earnings report in November for its September quarter (CY22 Q3) could amplify the mispricing based on its recent historical pattern.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/912293f2bb66d41dfe829d2eea80df38\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"500\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>remco86</span></p><h2>Thesis</h2><p>Alibaba&#39;s (NYSE:BABA) stock price continues to be directed by short-term events and disjointed from business fundamentals. While its financial performances are partly to blame (although quite healthy in my view), its stock price movements have been largely dominated by news events, such as the uncertainty in the Chinese regulatory environment, the lingering COVID-19 concerns, and the China-U.S. tension. To cite a few recent examples (shown in the chart below),</p><ul><li>On May 26, after reporting its March quarter results, its stock price climbed 14.8% in one day. And shortly afterward, on June 8, the Chinese government announced the approval of a new round of video game licenses, and its stock prices increased by another 14.7%.</li><li>Then in July, it was fined by antitrust regulators for the improper reporting of previous merger deals. In particular, on July 11, its stock declined by 9.2% even though the fine amounted to only $373k.</li><li>On July 29, it was added back to the U.S. SEC&#39;s watchlist of Chinese companies that might be delisted. The news triggered an 11% decline in its stock price to close at $89 from $100 the day before.</li><li>Then finally on August 4, 2022, when it reported its June Quarter earnings, the stock prices fluctuated between a low of $95 and a high of $103 in a single day, translating into an 8.4% daily fluctuation.</li></ul><p>I am citing all these detailed events and price movements to give you a concrete feeling of its price volatility so that you can see the main thesis of this article: the mispricing of its implied volatility (&#34;IV&#34;) in the options market.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8286a0926eebed47581d1a351970528\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"424\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Author based on Yahoo! data</span></p><p>The mispricing probably is best illustrated by comparison against its U.S. counterpart: Amazon (AMZN). The price movements of AMZN in the past 6 months are shown in the bottom panel of the above chart. In contrast to BABA&#39;s frequent ~10% DAILY price volatilities, AMZN stock price has been largely range-bound between $140 and $105, translating into a fluctuation of around 16% around a mean price of $122.5 over the past few MONTHS. Yet, as you will see in a later section, the options market currently assigns an IV of about 61% for BABA for its Dec 16, 2022, option. And the IV it assigns for AMZN is about the same (a bit below 60%), accentuating the IV mispricing.</p><p>Looking forward, BABA is expected to report earnings on 11/17/2022 according to Nasdaq&#39;s schedule. Considering the IV mispricing, an option with expiry after that (say Dec 16, 2022) could either help to hedge your existing positions or to open a new position. Directly holding the shares can help you to benefit from its compressed valuation (as to be detailed in the next section immediately below). But an option play can help you to benefit from the compression in its valuation AND also the IV mispricing.</p><h2>Business outlook and growth potential</h2><p>Admittedly, BABA&#39;s earning results have been a bit choppy lately. However, in its upcoming earnings report for the September 2022 quarter, I expected a number of promising growth avenues. These catalysts should support healthy earnings growth, especially in the near- to mid-term, say in the 2025-2027 timeframe. First, I expect the Chinese economy to recover considerably once COVID-19 concerns clear up. Second, BABA is still very successful at attracting new annual active customers from the vast population of China, especially from the less developed areas. Notably, Tmall and Taobao continue to perform well. Third, on the international stage, platforms such as Lazada and AliExpress logged solid double-digit order growth rates in fiscal 2021, and I foresee such growth to continue or even accelerate in the next few years. Finally, on top of all these, its cloud segment continues to capture market share within the burgeoning global cloud niche. All told, consensus estimates project an 11.5% EPS expansion in the next five years, as you can see from the first chart below. And I tend to agree with such a projection.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac8e0cf709dcbba649e38293b6c7f3a6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"238\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Author based on Seeking Alpha data</span></p><p>In the meantime, its financial position is strong. The balance sheet is in good condition, as seen in the next chart below, providing the liquidity and financial flexibility to fuel its continued expansion. Alibaba ended the last quarter with more than $69 billion in cash as seen. In addition, merely 13.4% of the capital structure is comprised of long-term debt (compared to AMZN&#39;s 45.4%), suggesting plenty of flexibility to support growth initiatives.</p><p>Although, note that the table below made a mistake on its cash per share (probably due to confusion about its share count vs its ADR counts). With $69 billion of cash and approximately 2.6 billion ADR outstanding, the total cash per share should be about $26.5. At its current stock price of $75 as of this writing, more than 1/3 of its stock price (35.4% to be exact) is just cash.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0fcf65098fee073a34c3bc89c3f81d3f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"348\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Author based on Seeking Alpha data</span></p><h2>Volatility mispricing and option play</h2><p>As mentioned above, holding the shares directly is a bet on its compressed valuation and growth potential. And an option play can provide a couple of additional advantages, as detailed in my other articles. To recap,</p><blockquote><ul><li><i>First, compared to the buy-and-hold strategy, an option can limit your exposure in terms of the total dollar amount.</i></li><li><i>Second, it can take advantage of both the valuation mispricing AND also volatility mispricing (the buy-and-hold strategy only benefit from the former).</i></li><li><i>Third, it provides a definitive expiration date.</i></li></ul></blockquote><p>As an example, as of this writing, a BABA call option with a $75 strike price (i.e., near the money) that expires on 12/16/2022 sells at about $7.8 as you can see from the first chart below provided by OIC. So $780 would provide exposure to 100 shares, versus $7.5k if you directly own the shares.</p><p>You can also see the implied volatility is only 60.8%. Again, to me, this is an underestimate. As you can see from the second chart below, its IV has ranged from about 50% to about 100% in the past 6 months. And the current IV of 60% is close to the floor of this range. Yet, as argued earlier, recent events and price movements suggest no muting in its actual volatility. Also, as you can see from the third chart below, AMZN&#39;s current IV is close to 60% too (about 56%). However, as aforementioned, the DAILY price actions in BABA shares are nearly on the same magnitude as AMZN&#39;s <i>monthly</i> price fluctuations.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/10ec73e15ba94f68c0e834fa09585379\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"320\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>oic.ivolatility.com</span></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c3f80465a4333814ee01ef3f76d585e\" tg-width=\"520\" tg-height=\"250\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>BABA historical and implied volatility provided by IVolatility.com</span></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/08c9f56d1ece63e4bfd5535e64d93b24\" tg-width=\"520\" tg-height=\"250\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>AMZN historical and implied volatility provided by IVolatility.com</span></p><h2>Baba risks and final thoughts</h2><p>Since an option play, in a sense, is a way to limit risks already, I won&#39;t detail the specific risks surrounding BABA shares. Other SA authors have elaborated on the risks eloquently already anyway. Here, let me just repeat the risks inherent in writing options:</p><blockquote><i>Writing options can limit risks in terms of the absolute dollar amount. But it is riskier in relative terms. You can lose 100% and there is actually a good chance of that.</i></blockquote><p>To conclude, the main thesis here is built on an observation that I&#39;ve made about BABA&#39;s implied volatility being mispriced. Yes, it is definitely attractive to own the shares directly in my mind (which I do) under current conditions. The stock is priced at single-digit FWD PE with double-digit growth rates. And it has about $26.5 of cash per ADR on its ledger, more than 1/3 of its stock current price. But an option play could bring an additional catalyst to the table. The upcoming earnings report in November could amplify the mispricing, judging by the recent historical pattern of its price movements around earnings reports.</p><p><i>This article is written by </i><i>Sensor Unlimited</i><i> for reference only. Please note the risks.</i></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba Q3: Time To Consider An Option Play</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba Q3: Time To Consider An Option Play\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-15 11:30 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4546617-alibaba-q3-time-to-consider-an-option-play><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryAlibaba stock prices continue to be directed by short-term events and disjointed from business fundamentals.Such disconnection creates both challenges and opportunities for value-oriented ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4546617-alibaba-q3-time-to-consider-an-option-play\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4546617-alibaba-q3-time-to-consider-an-option-play","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2275698961","content_text":"SummaryAlibaba stock prices continue to be directed by short-term events and disjointed from business fundamentals.Such disconnection creates both challenges and opportunities for value-oriented investors.One such opportunity involves an observation that I’ve made about its implied volatility being mispriced.As such, you can consider an option play here either to hedge your existing positions or to open a new position.The upcoming earnings report in November for its September quarter (CY22 Q3) could amplify the mispricing based on its recent historical pattern.remco86ThesisAlibaba's (NYSE:BABA) stock price continues to be directed by short-term events and disjointed from business fundamentals. While its financial performances are partly to blame (although quite healthy in my view), its stock price movements have been largely dominated by news events, such as the uncertainty in the Chinese regulatory environment, the lingering COVID-19 concerns, and the China-U.S. tension. To cite a few recent examples (shown in the chart below),On May 26, after reporting its March quarter results, its stock price climbed 14.8% in one day. And shortly afterward, on June 8, the Chinese government announced the approval of a new round of video game licenses, and its stock prices increased by another 14.7%.Then in July, it was fined by antitrust regulators for the improper reporting of previous merger deals. In particular, on July 11, its stock declined by 9.2% even though the fine amounted to only $373k.On July 29, it was added back to the U.S. SEC's watchlist of Chinese companies that might be delisted. The news triggered an 11% decline in its stock price to close at $89 from $100 the day before.Then finally on August 4, 2022, when it reported its June Quarter earnings, the stock prices fluctuated between a low of $95 and a high of $103 in a single day, translating into an 8.4% daily fluctuation.I am citing all these detailed events and price movements to give you a concrete feeling of its price volatility so that you can see the main thesis of this article: the mispricing of its implied volatility (\"IV\") in the options market.Author based on Yahoo! dataThe mispricing probably is best illustrated by comparison against its U.S. counterpart: Amazon (AMZN). The price movements of AMZN in the past 6 months are shown in the bottom panel of the above chart. In contrast to BABA's frequent ~10% DAILY price volatilities, AMZN stock price has been largely range-bound between $140 and $105, translating into a fluctuation of around 16% around a mean price of $122.5 over the past few MONTHS. Yet, as you will see in a later section, the options market currently assigns an IV of about 61% for BABA for its Dec 16, 2022, option. And the IV it assigns for AMZN is about the same (a bit below 60%), accentuating the IV mispricing.Looking forward, BABA is expected to report earnings on 11/17/2022 according to Nasdaq's schedule. Considering the IV mispricing, an option with expiry after that (say Dec 16, 2022) could either help to hedge your existing positions or to open a new position. Directly holding the shares can help you to benefit from its compressed valuation (as to be detailed in the next section immediately below). But an option play can help you to benefit from the compression in its valuation AND also the IV mispricing.Business outlook and growth potentialAdmittedly, BABA's earning results have been a bit choppy lately. However, in its upcoming earnings report for the September 2022 quarter, I expected a number of promising growth avenues. These catalysts should support healthy earnings growth, especially in the near- to mid-term, say in the 2025-2027 timeframe. First, I expect the Chinese economy to recover considerably once COVID-19 concerns clear up. Second, BABA is still very successful at attracting new annual active customers from the vast population of China, especially from the less developed areas. Notably, Tmall and Taobao continue to perform well. Third, on the international stage, platforms such as Lazada and AliExpress logged solid double-digit order growth rates in fiscal 2021, and I foresee such growth to continue or even accelerate in the next few years. Finally, on top of all these, its cloud segment continues to capture market share within the burgeoning global cloud niche. All told, consensus estimates project an 11.5% EPS expansion in the next five years, as you can see from the first chart below. And I tend to agree with such a projection.Author based on Seeking Alpha dataIn the meantime, its financial position is strong. The balance sheet is in good condition, as seen in the next chart below, providing the liquidity and financial flexibility to fuel its continued expansion. Alibaba ended the last quarter with more than $69 billion in cash as seen. In addition, merely 13.4% of the capital structure is comprised of long-term debt (compared to AMZN's 45.4%), suggesting plenty of flexibility to support growth initiatives.Although, note that the table below made a mistake on its cash per share (probably due to confusion about its share count vs its ADR counts). With $69 billion of cash and approximately 2.6 billion ADR outstanding, the total cash per share should be about $26.5. At its current stock price of $75 as of this writing, more than 1/3 of its stock price (35.4% to be exact) is just cash.Author based on Seeking Alpha dataVolatility mispricing and option playAs mentioned above, holding the shares directly is a bet on its compressed valuation and growth potential. And an option play can provide a couple of additional advantages, as detailed in my other articles. To recap,First, compared to the buy-and-hold strategy, an option can limit your exposure in terms of the total dollar amount.Second, it can take advantage of both the valuation mispricing AND also volatility mispricing (the buy-and-hold strategy only benefit from the former).Third, it provides a definitive expiration date.As an example, as of this writing, a BABA call option with a $75 strike price (i.e., near the money) that expires on 12/16/2022 sells at about $7.8 as you can see from the first chart below provided by OIC. So $780 would provide exposure to 100 shares, versus $7.5k if you directly own the shares.You can also see the implied volatility is only 60.8%. Again, to me, this is an underestimate. As you can see from the second chart below, its IV has ranged from about 50% to about 100% in the past 6 months. And the current IV of 60% is close to the floor of this range. Yet, as argued earlier, recent events and price movements suggest no muting in its actual volatility. Also, as you can see from the third chart below, AMZN's current IV is close to 60% too (about 56%). However, as aforementioned, the DAILY price actions in BABA shares are nearly on the same magnitude as AMZN's monthly price fluctuations.oic.ivolatility.comBABA historical and implied volatility provided by IVolatility.comAMZN historical and implied volatility provided by IVolatility.comBaba risks and final thoughtsSince an option play, in a sense, is a way to limit risks already, I won't detail the specific risks surrounding BABA shares. Other SA authors have elaborated on the risks eloquently already anyway. Here, let me just repeat the risks inherent in writing options:Writing options can limit risks in terms of the absolute dollar amount. But it is riskier in relative terms. You can lose 100% and there is actually a good chance of that.To conclude, the main thesis here is built on an observation that I've made about BABA's implied volatility being mispriced. Yes, it is definitely attractive to own the shares directly in my mind (which I do) under current conditions. The stock is priced at single-digit FWD PE with double-digit growth rates. And it has about $26.5 of cash per ADR on its ledger, more than 1/3 of its stock current price. But an option play could bring an additional catalyst to the table. The upcoming earnings report in November could amplify the mispricing, judging by the recent historical pattern of its price movements around earnings reports.This article is written by Sensor Unlimited for reference only. Please note the risks.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":140,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9900891507,"gmtCreate":1658679074809,"gmtModify":1676536190600,"author":{"id":"3582962119812367","authorId":"3582962119812367","name":"Daniel12321","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a4ffcb9551bf9fffa55a10cf8b531d6","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582962119812367","authorIdStr":"3582962119812367"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9900891507","repostId":"2253060728","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2253060728","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1658631601,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2253060728?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-24 11:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Amazon Is Ready To Rise Again","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2253060728","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Amazon's recent struggles in e-commerce are masking its continued dominance in the cloud. For invest","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon</a>&#39;s recent struggles in e-commerce are masking its continued dominance in the cloud. For investors, it&#39;s time to refocus. Amazon shares have never looked more attractive than they do right now.</p><p>Amazon.com has reported earnings about 100 times since it went public in 1997. Every one of those quarterly reports has shown a growing company, despite plenty of ups and downs in the economy -- and the internet. Amazon&#39;s worst quarter came in September 2001, when the internet bubble was blowing apart. Even then, revenue grew slightly from a year earlier. Now, though, Amazon&#39;s streak may be coming to an end.</p><p>When Amazon (AMZN) reports second-quarter earnings on July 28, Wall Street analysts expect revenue growth of just 5%. That&#39;s a tepid number by Amazon standards, and if things are just slightly worse than expected, revenue could actually decline. It would be a telling moment, with Amazon facing its greatest set of challenges since founder Jeff Bezos began selling books out of his house almost 30 years ago.</p><p>The company&#39;s longtime advantage in e-commerce has arguably become a weakness, with physical stores enjoying a post-Covid renaissance. Elevated fuel costs, meanwhile, are crimping Amazon&#39;s profits, with the cost of deliveries and returns on the rise.</p><p>Amazon&#39;s profit margins have never been rich, but analysts forecast a razor-thin 1.8% operating margin in the second quarter. After years of giving Amazon a pass on profits, investors have grown impatient. Since peaking last July, the stock is down 33% to a recent $125, shedding more than $600 billion in market value. Seen through the e-commerce lens, Amazon is one more struggling tech company.</p><p>And yet none of that should matter. Investors&#39; preoccupation with Amazon&#39;s retail operations overlooks the company&#39;s transformation. This year, the Amazon Web Services cloud business will be about 15% of the company&#39;s total revenue but more than 100% of its profits. Before, during, and after pandemic lockdowns, AWS revenue grew at a 30%-plus quarterly clip. In the long term, those trends should continue.</p><p>Meanwhile, Amazon has an advertising business that has annualized revenue of close to $40 billion. That&#39;s nearly four times the size of Twitter (TWTR) and Snap <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNAP\">$(SNAP)$</a> combined. And it&#39;s a media company that now controls the rights to a weekly National Football League game, a package that was once exclusive to broadcast giants Comcast <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CMCSA\">$(CMCSA)$</a>, Fox <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FOXA\">$(FOXA)$</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PARA\">Paramount Global</a> (PARA), and Walt Disney <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIS\">$(DIS)$</a> . There&#39;s also a growing logistics operation that increasingly rivals FedEx <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FDX.AU\">$(FDX.AU)$</a> and United Parcel Service <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UPS\">$(UPS)$</a>.</p><p>The challenge for investors is that the sprawling operation has made Amazon difficult to value. It&#39;s worth the effort -- Amazon shares have rarely been more attractive. The stock could double, or triple, over the next few years. Yes, the latest quarter will be bad. But the future couldn&#39;t be brighter.</p><p>Gene Munster, a portfolio manager at Loup Ventures, says his firm has been adding to its Amazon position. While Munster concedes that investors are concerned about e-commerce profitability in the short run, he&#39;s convinced that in the long run, &#34;no one is going to compete with Amazon&#34; in online shopping. Munster figures that AWS and the ad business together will generate $45 billion in operating income this year. Value that at 25 times earnings, says Munster, and you get $1.1 trillion, which is just about the company&#39;s current total market value. That means investors are currently getting everything else free: online stores, Prime, logistics, Whole Foods Market, and a host of other businesses that Amazon has acquired over the years.</p><p>Says Munster: &#34;It&#39;s hard not to like Amazon at this valuation.&#34;</p><p>To be sure, Amazon continues to face bad publicity. The company is pushing back against unions trying to organize Amazon workers, a difficult balance for a company that claims to be Earth&#39;s best employer. The company is also dealing with a newly empowered Federal Trade Commission led by Chair Lina Khan, who once wrote in the Yale Law Review that Amazon&#39;s dominant market position was clear evidence that U.S. antitrust laws weren&#39;t effectively regulating the U.S. internet sector. Amazon is sure to face intense government scrutiny for future acquisitions. And it could be forced to make concessions to the government.</p><p>For now, though, Amazon is still finding ways to grow through deals. Just this past week, the company agreed to buy One Medical, an owner of membership-based healthcare clinics, for $3.9 billion.</p><p>There&#39;s also a chance the slowing economy could weigh on AWS sales for the next few quarters. For this year, Wall Street currently expects total Amazon revenue of $520 billion, up 11%, with profits of 56 cents a share, down from $3.24 a year earlier.</p><p>But to Amazon bulls, the issues plaguing the company are fleeting and priced in. While the economy could fall into recession later this year or in 2023, that recession won&#39;t be permanent. Meanwhile, the e-commerce market continues to expand, and Amazon&#39;s slice of the pie remains vast, at about 40%. There&#39;s still room for additional market share gains, too.</p><p>The company&#39;s advertising business, meanwhile, is on the rise. Given Apple&#39;s <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$(AAPL)$</a> tough stance on sharing information about consumer activity on the iPhone, advertisers are looking beyond <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/META\">Meta Platforms</a>&#39; <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/META.UK\">$(META.UK)$</a> Facebook, Alphabet&#39;s <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOGL\">$(GOOGL)$</a> YouTube, and Snap for places to spend their ad dollars. Many ad buyers are turning to options where consumer buying intent is clear on the surface. Meta has to infer what you might want to buy; in Amazon&#39;s case, consumers type their exact shopping interests into a search box. In a marketplace crowded with consumer choice, Amazon&#39;s ad market is a gold mine.</p><p>And then there&#39;s Amazon Web Services, the company&#39;s mammoth cloud-computing platform. Since the company began breaking out results for AWS in 2015, the business has accounted for more than half of Amazon&#39;s operating profits, including almost 75% of the total in 2021. In 2022, with e-commerce operations likely to lose money, AWS is forecast to constitute 150% of Amazon&#39;s operating income.</p><p>With revenue close to $82 billion, AWS is one of the world&#39;s largest software and services companies -- bigger than Oracle <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ORCL\">$(ORCL)$</a>, IBM <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IBM\">$(IBM)$</a>, or SAP <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SAP\">$(SAP)$</a>, and more than twice the size of Salesforce <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRM.AU\">$(CRM.AU)$</a>, the largest of the so-called software-as-a-service companies. And AWS is going to get a lot bigger. It&#39;s no wonder that when Bezos chose to step down as CEO in 2021, he chose as his successor AWS architect Andy Jassy. (Amazon declined to make Jassy or any other executives available for this story, citing the quiet period ahead of earnings.)</p><p>One of Wall Street&#39;s favorite strategies for assessing corporate value is a &#34;sum of the parts&#34; approach: Make a list of what the company owns, put a value on each part, then add it all up.</p><p>For some of Amazon&#39;s businesses, appropriate comparisons are hard to find. There are no pure-play public cloud stocks that look anything like AWS; its primary rivals -- Microsoft <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">$(MSFT)$</a> Azure and Google Cloud -- are likewise buried inside large businesses. Amazon&#39;s ad business is valuable, but it&#39;s linked to the core e-commerce business and therefore defies an easy value.</p><p>Then there&#39;s Amazon Prime, which includes a Netflix-like video streaming service plus a Spotify-like music service. There are other businesses hidden in the company&#39;s financials, including the videogame streaming service Twitch, the audiobook company Audible, the podcasting producer Wondery, and autonomous-vehicle maker Zoox, just to name a few.</p><p>In reporting this story, Barron&#39;s found at least four different attempts by Wall Street analysts to suss out the company&#39;s true value. They involve different parts, different metrics, and varying conclusions. The only consistent theme? Amazon&#39;s parts add up to a lot more than its current market value.</p><p>Let&#39;s start with the entertainment-focused approach from Needham analyst Laura Martin. In her view, a large part of Amazon&#39;s value comes from its media businesses. She values Amazon Prime Video, Amazon Music, Twitch, and advertising at more than $500 billion. She values AWS at $650 billion. Those two numbers give you $1.15 trillion, or roughly Amazon&#39;s current market value. That doesn&#39;t include e-commerce, which Martin&#39;s calculations currently ignore.</p><p>Truist internet analyst Youssef Squali has a different approach. He puts a value of more than $500 billion on Amazon&#39;s &#34;third-party retail&#34; services business, which includes logistics and other services provided to millions of sellers. He adds $172 billion for &#34;first party&#34; retail -- Amazon-branded goods, including electronics like Fire TVs and Kindles, plus thousands of AmazonBasics products. He values the company&#39;s subscription business -- basically Prime -- at a little over $100 billion. Then, he values AWS at $867 billion, using a multiple of 30 times estimated pretax earnings for 2022. (Salesforce, which is growing more slowly than AWS, trades at roughly 30 times pretax earnings.) Ultimately, Squali comes up with an Amazon value of $1.7 trillion.</p><p>J.P. Morgan analyst Doug Anmuth takes the simplest view -- dividing Amazon into two pieces. He pegs the value of AWS at 20 times his estimate of $52 billion in 2023 earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, or Ebitda, which comes to just over $1 trillion. For the retail business, he applies a multiple of 1.25 times his estimated gross merchandise value for 2023, which comes to just over $950 billion. Anmuth notes that Walmart <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMT\">$(WMT)$</a> trades at about one times GMV, while Amazon&#39;s retail business has &#34;meaningfully higher&#34; growth, meriting a higher multiple. For Anmuth, that&#39;s a total Amazon value of $2 trillion.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Amazon Is Ready To Rise Again</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAmazon Is Ready To Rise Again\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-07-24 11:00</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon</a>&#39;s recent struggles in e-commerce are masking its continued dominance in the cloud. For investors, it&#39;s time to refocus. Amazon shares have never looked more attractive than they do right now.</p><p>Amazon.com has reported earnings about 100 times since it went public in 1997. Every one of those quarterly reports has shown a growing company, despite plenty of ups and downs in the economy -- and the internet. Amazon&#39;s worst quarter came in September 2001, when the internet bubble was blowing apart. Even then, revenue grew slightly from a year earlier. Now, though, Amazon&#39;s streak may be coming to an end.</p><p>When Amazon (AMZN) reports second-quarter earnings on July 28, Wall Street analysts expect revenue growth of just 5%. That&#39;s a tepid number by Amazon standards, and if things are just slightly worse than expected, revenue could actually decline. It would be a telling moment, with Amazon facing its greatest set of challenges since founder Jeff Bezos began selling books out of his house almost 30 years ago.</p><p>The company&#39;s longtime advantage in e-commerce has arguably become a weakness, with physical stores enjoying a post-Covid renaissance. Elevated fuel costs, meanwhile, are crimping Amazon&#39;s profits, with the cost of deliveries and returns on the rise.</p><p>Amazon&#39;s profit margins have never been rich, but analysts forecast a razor-thin 1.8% operating margin in the second quarter. After years of giving Amazon a pass on profits, investors have grown impatient. Since peaking last July, the stock is down 33% to a recent $125, shedding more than $600 billion in market value. Seen through the e-commerce lens, Amazon is one more struggling tech company.</p><p>And yet none of that should matter. Investors&#39; preoccupation with Amazon&#39;s retail operations overlooks the company&#39;s transformation. This year, the Amazon Web Services cloud business will be about 15% of the company&#39;s total revenue but more than 100% of its profits. Before, during, and after pandemic lockdowns, AWS revenue grew at a 30%-plus quarterly clip. In the long term, those trends should continue.</p><p>Meanwhile, Amazon has an advertising business that has annualized revenue of close to $40 billion. That&#39;s nearly four times the size of Twitter (TWTR) and Snap <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNAP\">$(SNAP)$</a> combined. And it&#39;s a media company that now controls the rights to a weekly National Football League game, a package that was once exclusive to broadcast giants Comcast <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CMCSA\">$(CMCSA)$</a>, Fox <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FOXA\">$(FOXA)$</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PARA\">Paramount Global</a> (PARA), and Walt Disney <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIS\">$(DIS)$</a> . There&#39;s also a growing logistics operation that increasingly rivals FedEx <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FDX.AU\">$(FDX.AU)$</a> and United Parcel Service <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UPS\">$(UPS)$</a>.</p><p>The challenge for investors is that the sprawling operation has made Amazon difficult to value. It&#39;s worth the effort -- Amazon shares have rarely been more attractive. The stock could double, or triple, over the next few years. Yes, the latest quarter will be bad. But the future couldn&#39;t be brighter.</p><p>Gene Munster, a portfolio manager at Loup Ventures, says his firm has been adding to its Amazon position. While Munster concedes that investors are concerned about e-commerce profitability in the short run, he&#39;s convinced that in the long run, &#34;no one is going to compete with Amazon&#34; in online shopping. Munster figures that AWS and the ad business together will generate $45 billion in operating income this year. Value that at 25 times earnings, says Munster, and you get $1.1 trillion, which is just about the company&#39;s current total market value. That means investors are currently getting everything else free: online stores, Prime, logistics, Whole Foods Market, and a host of other businesses that Amazon has acquired over the years.</p><p>Says Munster: &#34;It&#39;s hard not to like Amazon at this valuation.&#34;</p><p>To be sure, Amazon continues to face bad publicity. The company is pushing back against unions trying to organize Amazon workers, a difficult balance for a company that claims to be Earth&#39;s best employer. The company is also dealing with a newly empowered Federal Trade Commission led by Chair Lina Khan, who once wrote in the Yale Law Review that Amazon&#39;s dominant market position was clear evidence that U.S. antitrust laws weren&#39;t effectively regulating the U.S. internet sector. Amazon is sure to face intense government scrutiny for future acquisitions. And it could be forced to make concessions to the government.</p><p>For now, though, Amazon is still finding ways to grow through deals. Just this past week, the company agreed to buy One Medical, an owner of membership-based healthcare clinics, for $3.9 billion.</p><p>There&#39;s also a chance the slowing economy could weigh on AWS sales for the next few quarters. For this year, Wall Street currently expects total Amazon revenue of $520 billion, up 11%, with profits of 56 cents a share, down from $3.24 a year earlier.</p><p>But to Amazon bulls, the issues plaguing the company are fleeting and priced in. While the economy could fall into recession later this year or in 2023, that recession won&#39;t be permanent. Meanwhile, the e-commerce market continues to expand, and Amazon&#39;s slice of the pie remains vast, at about 40%. There&#39;s still room for additional market share gains, too.</p><p>The company&#39;s advertising business, meanwhile, is on the rise. Given Apple&#39;s <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$(AAPL)$</a> tough stance on sharing information about consumer activity on the iPhone, advertisers are looking beyond <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/META\">Meta Platforms</a>&#39; <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/META.UK\">$(META.UK)$</a> Facebook, Alphabet&#39;s <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOGL\">$(GOOGL)$</a> YouTube, and Snap for places to spend their ad dollars. Many ad buyers are turning to options where consumer buying intent is clear on the surface. Meta has to infer what you might want to buy; in Amazon&#39;s case, consumers type their exact shopping interests into a search box. In a marketplace crowded with consumer choice, Amazon&#39;s ad market is a gold mine.</p><p>And then there&#39;s Amazon Web Services, the company&#39;s mammoth cloud-computing platform. Since the company began breaking out results for AWS in 2015, the business has accounted for more than half of Amazon&#39;s operating profits, including almost 75% of the total in 2021. In 2022, with e-commerce operations likely to lose money, AWS is forecast to constitute 150% of Amazon&#39;s operating income.</p><p>With revenue close to $82 billion, AWS is one of the world&#39;s largest software and services companies -- bigger than Oracle <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ORCL\">$(ORCL)$</a>, IBM <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IBM\">$(IBM)$</a>, or SAP <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SAP\">$(SAP)$</a>, and more than twice the size of Salesforce <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRM.AU\">$(CRM.AU)$</a>, the largest of the so-called software-as-a-service companies. And AWS is going to get a lot bigger. It&#39;s no wonder that when Bezos chose to step down as CEO in 2021, he chose as his successor AWS architect Andy Jassy. (Amazon declined to make Jassy or any other executives available for this story, citing the quiet period ahead of earnings.)</p><p>One of Wall Street&#39;s favorite strategies for assessing corporate value is a &#34;sum of the parts&#34; approach: Make a list of what the company owns, put a value on each part, then add it all up.</p><p>For some of Amazon&#39;s businesses, appropriate comparisons are hard to find. There are no pure-play public cloud stocks that look anything like AWS; its primary rivals -- Microsoft <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">$(MSFT)$</a> Azure and Google Cloud -- are likewise buried inside large businesses. Amazon&#39;s ad business is valuable, but it&#39;s linked to the core e-commerce business and therefore defies an easy value.</p><p>Then there&#39;s Amazon Prime, which includes a Netflix-like video streaming service plus a Spotify-like music service. There are other businesses hidden in the company&#39;s financials, including the videogame streaming service Twitch, the audiobook company Audible, the podcasting producer Wondery, and autonomous-vehicle maker Zoox, just to name a few.</p><p>In reporting this story, Barron&#39;s found at least four different attempts by Wall Street analysts to suss out the company&#39;s true value. They involve different parts, different metrics, and varying conclusions. The only consistent theme? Amazon&#39;s parts add up to a lot more than its current market value.</p><p>Let&#39;s start with the entertainment-focused approach from Needham analyst Laura Martin. In her view, a large part of Amazon&#39;s value comes from its media businesses. She values Amazon Prime Video, Amazon Music, Twitch, and advertising at more than $500 billion. She values AWS at $650 billion. Those two numbers give you $1.15 trillion, or roughly Amazon&#39;s current market value. That doesn&#39;t include e-commerce, which Martin&#39;s calculations currently ignore.</p><p>Truist internet analyst Youssef Squali has a different approach. He puts a value of more than $500 billion on Amazon&#39;s &#34;third-party retail&#34; services business, which includes logistics and other services provided to millions of sellers. He adds $172 billion for &#34;first party&#34; retail -- Amazon-branded goods, including electronics like Fire TVs and Kindles, plus thousands of AmazonBasics products. He values the company&#39;s subscription business -- basically Prime -- at a little over $100 billion. Then, he values AWS at $867 billion, using a multiple of 30 times estimated pretax earnings for 2022. (Salesforce, which is growing more slowly than AWS, trades at roughly 30 times pretax earnings.) Ultimately, Squali comes up with an Amazon value of $1.7 trillion.</p><p>J.P. Morgan analyst Doug Anmuth takes the simplest view -- dividing Amazon into two pieces. He pegs the value of AWS at 20 times his estimate of $52 billion in 2023 earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, or Ebitda, which comes to just over $1 trillion. For the retail business, he applies a multiple of 1.25 times his estimated gross merchandise value for 2023, which comes to just over $950 billion. Anmuth notes that Walmart <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMT\">$(WMT)$</a> trades at about one times GMV, while Amazon&#39;s retail business has &#34;meaningfully higher&#34; growth, meriting a higher multiple. For Anmuth, that&#39;s a total Amazon value of $2 trillion.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2253060728","content_text":"Amazon's recent struggles in e-commerce are masking its continued dominance in the cloud. For investors, it's time to refocus. Amazon shares have never looked more attractive than they do right now.Amazon.com has reported earnings about 100 times since it went public in 1997. Every one of those quarterly reports has shown a growing company, despite plenty of ups and downs in the economy -- and the internet. Amazon's worst quarter came in September 2001, when the internet bubble was blowing apart. Even then, revenue grew slightly from a year earlier. Now, though, Amazon's streak may be coming to an end.When Amazon (AMZN) reports second-quarter earnings on July 28, Wall Street analysts expect revenue growth of just 5%. That's a tepid number by Amazon standards, and if things are just slightly worse than expected, revenue could actually decline. It would be a telling moment, with Amazon facing its greatest set of challenges since founder Jeff Bezos began selling books out of his house almost 30 years ago.The company's longtime advantage in e-commerce has arguably become a weakness, with physical stores enjoying a post-Covid renaissance. Elevated fuel costs, meanwhile, are crimping Amazon's profits, with the cost of deliveries and returns on the rise.Amazon's profit margins have never been rich, but analysts forecast a razor-thin 1.8% operating margin in the second quarter. After years of giving Amazon a pass on profits, investors have grown impatient. Since peaking last July, the stock is down 33% to a recent $125, shedding more than $600 billion in market value. Seen through the e-commerce lens, Amazon is one more struggling tech company.And yet none of that should matter. Investors' preoccupation with Amazon's retail operations overlooks the company's transformation. This year, the Amazon Web Services cloud business will be about 15% of the company's total revenue but more than 100% of its profits. Before, during, and after pandemic lockdowns, AWS revenue grew at a 30%-plus quarterly clip. In the long term, those trends should continue.Meanwhile, Amazon has an advertising business that has annualized revenue of close to $40 billion. That's nearly four times the size of Twitter (TWTR) and Snap $(SNAP)$ combined. And it's a media company that now controls the rights to a weekly National Football League game, a package that was once exclusive to broadcast giants Comcast $(CMCSA)$, Fox $(FOXA)$, Paramount Global (PARA), and Walt Disney $(DIS)$ . There's also a growing logistics operation that increasingly rivals FedEx $(FDX.AU)$ and United Parcel Service $(UPS)$.The challenge for investors is that the sprawling operation has made Amazon difficult to value. It's worth the effort -- Amazon shares have rarely been more attractive. The stock could double, or triple, over the next few years. Yes, the latest quarter will be bad. But the future couldn't be brighter.Gene Munster, a portfolio manager at Loup Ventures, says his firm has been adding to its Amazon position. While Munster concedes that investors are concerned about e-commerce profitability in the short run, he's convinced that in the long run, \"no one is going to compete with Amazon\" in online shopping. Munster figures that AWS and the ad business together will generate $45 billion in operating income this year. Value that at 25 times earnings, says Munster, and you get $1.1 trillion, which is just about the company's current total market value. That means investors are currently getting everything else free: online stores, Prime, logistics, Whole Foods Market, and a host of other businesses that Amazon has acquired over the years.Says Munster: \"It's hard not to like Amazon at this valuation.\"To be sure, Amazon continues to face bad publicity. The company is pushing back against unions trying to organize Amazon workers, a difficult balance for a company that claims to be Earth's best employer. The company is also dealing with a newly empowered Federal Trade Commission led by Chair Lina Khan, who once wrote in the Yale Law Review that Amazon's dominant market position was clear evidence that U.S. antitrust laws weren't effectively regulating the U.S. internet sector. Amazon is sure to face intense government scrutiny for future acquisitions. And it could be forced to make concessions to the government.For now, though, Amazon is still finding ways to grow through deals. Just this past week, the company agreed to buy One Medical, an owner of membership-based healthcare clinics, for $3.9 billion.There's also a chance the slowing economy could weigh on AWS sales for the next few quarters. For this year, Wall Street currently expects total Amazon revenue of $520 billion, up 11%, with profits of 56 cents a share, down from $3.24 a year earlier.But to Amazon bulls, the issues plaguing the company are fleeting and priced in. While the economy could fall into recession later this year or in 2023, that recession won't be permanent. Meanwhile, the e-commerce market continues to expand, and Amazon's slice of the pie remains vast, at about 40%. There's still room for additional market share gains, too.The company's advertising business, meanwhile, is on the rise. Given Apple's $(AAPL)$ tough stance on sharing information about consumer activity on the iPhone, advertisers are looking beyond Meta Platforms' $(META.UK)$ Facebook, Alphabet's $(GOOGL)$ YouTube, and Snap for places to spend their ad dollars. Many ad buyers are turning to options where consumer buying intent is clear on the surface. Meta has to infer what you might want to buy; in Amazon's case, consumers type their exact shopping interests into a search box. In a marketplace crowded with consumer choice, Amazon's ad market is a gold mine.And then there's Amazon Web Services, the company's mammoth cloud-computing platform. Since the company began breaking out results for AWS in 2015, the business has accounted for more than half of Amazon's operating profits, including almost 75% of the total in 2021. In 2022, with e-commerce operations likely to lose money, AWS is forecast to constitute 150% of Amazon's operating income.With revenue close to $82 billion, AWS is one of the world's largest software and services companies -- bigger than Oracle $(ORCL)$, IBM $(IBM)$, or SAP $(SAP)$, and more than twice the size of Salesforce $(CRM.AU)$, the largest of the so-called software-as-a-service companies. And AWS is going to get a lot bigger. It's no wonder that when Bezos chose to step down as CEO in 2021, he chose as his successor AWS architect Andy Jassy. (Amazon declined to make Jassy or any other executives available for this story, citing the quiet period ahead of earnings.)One of Wall Street's favorite strategies for assessing corporate value is a \"sum of the parts\" approach: Make a list of what the company owns, put a value on each part, then add it all up.For some of Amazon's businesses, appropriate comparisons are hard to find. There are no pure-play public cloud stocks that look anything like AWS; its primary rivals -- Microsoft $(MSFT)$ Azure and Google Cloud -- are likewise buried inside large businesses. Amazon's ad business is valuable, but it's linked to the core e-commerce business and therefore defies an easy value.Then there's Amazon Prime, which includes a Netflix-like video streaming service plus a Spotify-like music service. There are other businesses hidden in the company's financials, including the videogame streaming service Twitch, the audiobook company Audible, the podcasting producer Wondery, and autonomous-vehicle maker Zoox, just to name a few.In reporting this story, Barron's found at least four different attempts by Wall Street analysts to suss out the company's true value. They involve different parts, different metrics, and varying conclusions. The only consistent theme? Amazon's parts add up to a lot more than its current market value.Let's start with the entertainment-focused approach from Needham analyst Laura Martin. In her view, a large part of Amazon's value comes from its media businesses. She values Amazon Prime Video, Amazon Music, Twitch, and advertising at more than $500 billion. She values AWS at $650 billion. Those two numbers give you $1.15 trillion, or roughly Amazon's current market value. That doesn't include e-commerce, which Martin's calculations currently ignore.Truist internet analyst Youssef Squali has a different approach. He puts a value of more than $500 billion on Amazon's \"third-party retail\" services business, which includes logistics and other services provided to millions of sellers. He adds $172 billion for \"first party\" retail -- Amazon-branded goods, including electronics like Fire TVs and Kindles, plus thousands of AmazonBasics products. He values the company's subscription business -- basically Prime -- at a little over $100 billion. Then, he values AWS at $867 billion, using a multiple of 30 times estimated pretax earnings for 2022. (Salesforce, which is growing more slowly than AWS, trades at roughly 30 times pretax earnings.) Ultimately, Squali comes up with an Amazon value of $1.7 trillion.J.P. Morgan analyst Doug Anmuth takes the simplest view -- dividing Amazon into two pieces. He pegs the value of AWS at 20 times his estimate of $52 billion in 2023 earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, or Ebitda, which comes to just over $1 trillion. For the retail business, he applies a multiple of 1.25 times his estimated gross merchandise value for 2023, which comes to just over $950 billion. Anmuth notes that Walmart $(WMT)$ trades at about one times GMV, while Amazon's retail business has \"meaningfully higher\" growth, meriting a higher multiple. For Anmuth, that's a total Amazon value of $2 trillion.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":27,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3581983907375620","authorId":"3581983907375620","name":"CHanzhong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e5d4de2fa337d285889b33cba3bb8ea1","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3581983907375620","authorIdStr":"3581983907375620"},"content":"like please","text":"like please","html":"like please"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9952894018,"gmtCreate":1674594018335,"gmtModify":1676538948001,"author":{"id":"3582962119812367","authorId":"3582962119812367","name":"Daniel12321","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a4ffcb9551bf9fffa55a10cf8b531d6","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582962119812367","authorIdStr":"3582962119812367"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9952894018","repostId":"2305111142","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2305111142","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1674660541,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2305111142?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-01-25 23:29","market":"us","language":"en","title":"2 Growth Stocks Down More Than 50% to Buy Now","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2305111142","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Roku and Shopify are great bargains now.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Growth stocks have been crushed over the last year, but just as they ran too high during the pandemic, they now seem to have fallen too far during the sell-off.</p><p>Valuations have crumbled, and investors have gone from thinking industries like e-commerce would have limitless growth to believing that they&#39;re dead. That sell-off has created a buying opportunity, and two stocks down big that look especially promising are <b>Roku</b> and <b>Shopify</b>.</p><p>Here&#39;s a closer look at why each of these growth stocks holds significant long-term promise despite being down more than 50% over the past 12 months.</p><h2>1. Roku: Streaming is still growing</h2><p>Roku stock is down a whopping 89% from its peak in 2021, as seemingly everything has gone wrong for the leading streaming platform.</p><p>First, subscriber growth in services like <b>Netflix </b>seemed to hit a ceiling after a surge in growth earlier in the pandemic. The ad market also shriveled as brands are preparing for a recession and cutting spending. In fact, the slowdown is bad enough that Roku actually forecast a decline in revenue in the fourth quarter.</p><p>Roku has also swung from profits in 2021 to sizable losses as the company stepped up its investments in the business just as revenue growth started to slow.</p><p>However, it&#39;s a mistake to think the Roku growth story is dead. In fact, the company continues to grow users and viewing time, which is a sign that demand for its service remains strong.</p><p>Earlier in January, the company said it had topped 70 million active accounts globally, adding 9.9 million in 2022, more than the 8.9 million it gained in 2021. The company also said streaming hours increased 19% in the year to 87.4 billion, showing that Roku users are spending more time with the platform.</p><p>Roku&#39;s business is centered around advertising. It takes a 30% share of ad inventory from its streaming partners, and with several legacy media companies having recently launched streaming services and Netflix and <b>Disney</b> recently adding advertising tiers, Roku should get some significant tailwinds over time.</p><p>Despite the current headwinds, Roku&#39;s long-term growth still looks promising, and the stock should recover once the ad market picks up.</p><h2>2. Shopify: E-commerce will rebound</h2><p>Much like Roku stock plunged on weakness in the streaming industry, so has Shopify plunged due to the slowdown in e-commerce.</p><p>Shares of the e-commerce software leader have tumbled after surging on strong growth during the pandemic. Revenue growth has slowed as its profits have turned into losses, and it has seen a stretched valuation, which was up to a price-to-sales ratio over 50 at one point during the pandemic.</p><p>Shopify is far from the only e-commerce stock that&#39;s struggling lately. In fact, most have experienced the whipsaw effect of a boom and bust during the pandemic, including <b>Amazon</b>, <b>Etsy</b>, and <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/W\">Wayfair</a></b>.</p><p>Despite those headwinds, the long-term opportunity for Shopify is still intact. It&#39;s the clear leader in e-commerce software, and it&#39;s still outgrowing the industry, posting 21% constant-currency growth in gross merchandise volume during the Black Friday weekend. In addition, retail sales volume should continue to shift from brick-and-mortar stores to the online channel over time as delivery gets faster and more convenient and finding the product you want gets even easier.</p><p>As a software company, Shopify also has the capability to be highly profitable once the business scales and starts to mature, though the company has spent aggressively on growth throughout its history. For example, it spent $2.1 billion last year to acquire Deliverr, a fulfillment technology company, to beef up its own fulfillment network to better compete with Amazon. In fact, Shopify and Amazon increasingly appear to be on a collision course as Amazon as expanding its Buy with Prime program to all eligible merchants at the end of January, posing a potentially serious threat to Shopify.</p><p>However, if Shopify can fend off that threat, its growth should accelerate as it moves past the difficult comparisons from the pandemic, and it should get tailwinds from the economic recovery whenever that happens.</p><p>Expect Shopify to continue to develop its fulfillment network, and as it does, the platform will become more attractive to merchants and even more competitive with Amazon.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>2 Growth Stocks Down More Than 50% to Buy Now</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n2 Growth Stocks Down More Than 50% to Buy Now\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-01-25 23:29 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2023/01/24/2-growth-stocks-down-more-than-50-to-buy-now/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Growth stocks have been crushed over the last year, but just as they ran too high during the pandemic, they now seem to have fallen too far during the sell-off.Valuations have crumbled, and investors ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2023/01/24/2-growth-stocks-down-more-than-50-to-buy-now/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ROKU":"Roku Inc","SHOP":"Shopify Inc"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2023/01/24/2-growth-stocks-down-more-than-50-to-buy-now/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2305111142","content_text":"Growth stocks have been crushed over the last year, but just as they ran too high during the pandemic, they now seem to have fallen too far during the sell-off.Valuations have crumbled, and investors have gone from thinking industries like e-commerce would have limitless growth to believing that they're dead. That sell-off has created a buying opportunity, and two stocks down big that look especially promising are Roku and Shopify.Here's a closer look at why each of these growth stocks holds significant long-term promise despite being down more than 50% over the past 12 months.1. Roku: Streaming is still growingRoku stock is down a whopping 89% from its peak in 2021, as seemingly everything has gone wrong for the leading streaming platform.First, subscriber growth in services like Netflix seemed to hit a ceiling after a surge in growth earlier in the pandemic. The ad market also shriveled as brands are preparing for a recession and cutting spending. In fact, the slowdown is bad enough that Roku actually forecast a decline in revenue in the fourth quarter.Roku has also swung from profits in 2021 to sizable losses as the company stepped up its investments in the business just as revenue growth started to slow.However, it's a mistake to think the Roku growth story is dead. In fact, the company continues to grow users and viewing time, which is a sign that demand for its service remains strong.Earlier in January, the company said it had topped 70 million active accounts globally, adding 9.9 million in 2022, more than the 8.9 million it gained in 2021. The company also said streaming hours increased 19% in the year to 87.4 billion, showing that Roku users are spending more time with the platform.Roku's business is centered around advertising. It takes a 30% share of ad inventory from its streaming partners, and with several legacy media companies having recently launched streaming services and Netflix and Disney recently adding advertising tiers, Roku should get some significant tailwinds over time.Despite the current headwinds, Roku's long-term growth still looks promising, and the stock should recover once the ad market picks up.2. Shopify: E-commerce will reboundMuch like Roku stock plunged on weakness in the streaming industry, so has Shopify plunged due to the slowdown in e-commerce.Shares of the e-commerce software leader have tumbled after surging on strong growth during the pandemic. Revenue growth has slowed as its profits have turned into losses, and it has seen a stretched valuation, which was up to a price-to-sales ratio over 50 at one point during the pandemic.Shopify is far from the only e-commerce stock that's struggling lately. In fact, most have experienced the whipsaw effect of a boom and bust during the pandemic, including Amazon, Etsy, and Wayfair.Despite those headwinds, the long-term opportunity for Shopify is still intact. It's the clear leader in e-commerce software, and it's still outgrowing the industry, posting 21% constant-currency growth in gross merchandise volume during the Black Friday weekend. In addition, retail sales volume should continue to shift from brick-and-mortar stores to the online channel over time as delivery gets faster and more convenient and finding the product you want gets even easier.As a software company, Shopify also has the capability to be highly profitable once the business scales and starts to mature, though the company has spent aggressively on growth throughout its history. For example, it spent $2.1 billion last year to acquire Deliverr, a fulfillment technology company, to beef up its own fulfillment network to better compete with Amazon. In fact, Shopify and Amazon increasingly appear to be on a collision course as Amazon as expanding its Buy with Prime program to all eligible merchants at the end of January, posing a potentially serious threat to Shopify.However, if Shopify can fend off that threat, its growth should accelerate as it moves past the difficult comparisons from the pandemic, and it should get tailwinds from the economic recovery whenever that happens.Expect Shopify to continue to develop its fulfillment network, and as it does, the platform will become more attractive to merchants and even more competitive with Amazon.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":484,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9958393345,"gmtCreate":1673625672987,"gmtModify":1676538867178,"author":{"id":"3582962119812367","authorId":"3582962119812367","name":"Daniel12321","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a4ffcb9551bf9fffa55a10cf8b531d6","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582962119812367","authorIdStr":"3582962119812367"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9958393345","repostId":"1167317624","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1167317624","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1673622237,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1167317624?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-01-13 23:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Top Calls on Wall Street: Tesla, Credit Suisse, Lockheed Martin and More","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1167317624","media":"TheFly","summary":"Top 5 Upgrades:BofA analyst Michael Feniger upgraded Caterpillar(CAT) to Buy from Neutral with a pri","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2><b>Top 5 Upgrades:</b></h2><ul><li>BofA analyst Michael Feniger upgraded <b>Caterpillar</b>(CAT) to Buy from Neutral with a price target of $295, up from $217. Rising prices versus costs can provide a tailwind that &#34;provides cover in the near-term&#34; at a time of heightened uncertainty, Feniger argues.</li><li>RBC Capital analyst Mike Dahl upgraded <b>Vulcan Materials</b>(VMC) to Outperform from Sector Perform with a price target of $191, up from $170. Ramping infrastructure tailwinds and &#34;lagged&#34; non-residential strength should largely offset &#34;sharp headwinds&#34; from new residential construction in 2023, Dahl tells investors in a research note.</li><li>Wells Fargo analyst Seth Weber upgraded <b>TransUnion</b>(TRU) to Overweight from Equal Weight with a price target of $88, up from $70. The stock&#39;s significant underperformance provides an attractive entry point for a company with valuable data/info assets and decisioning tools, Weber tells investors in a research note.</li><li>JPMorgan analyst Guilherme Mendes upgraded <b>Copa Holdings</b>(CPA) to Overweight from Neutral with a price target of $132, up from $105. The analyst says Copa offers an &#34;interesting combination&#34; of a discounted valuation to its historical average and a &#34;relatively comfortable balance sheet situation.&#34;</li><li>Stifel analyst Andrew Partheniou upgraded <b>Organigram</b>(OGI) to Buy from Hold with an unchanged price target of C$1.50 after the company reported &#34;strong&#34; Q1 results. Profitability beat expectations with meaningful cash generation, noted Partheniou, who is raising his profitability estimates to reflect Q1 performance, management&#39;s gross margin guidance and the company&#39;s production expansions and innovation &#34;bearing fruit.&#34;</li></ul><h2><b>Top 5 Downgrades:</b></h2><ul><li>Goldman Sachs analyst Noah Poponak downgraded <b>Lockheed Martin</b>(LMT) to Sell from Neutral with a price target of $332, down from $388. The U.S. defense budget has grown significantly to an all-time high level, and with a large level of cumulative government debt, focus on slowing spending growth or reducing it outright could return in 2023, Poponak tells investors in a research note.</li><li>BTIG analyst Gray Powell downgraded <b>Fortinet</b>(FTNT) to Neutral from Buy without a price target. The analyst has increased appliance refresh concerns following channel checks. He has consistently heard increased concerns on firewall refresh delays in 2023 from contacts who have a view on large enterprise spending and Fortinet is most exposed to this risk, Powell tells investors in a research note.</li><li>Guggenheim analyst Michael Morris downgraded <b>Warner Music</b>(WMG) to Neutral from Buy with a price target of $35, down from $38, after updating his fiscal Q1 model to better reflect weaker-than-previously forecast Recorded Music streaming revenue. While he is still confident in the company&#39;s ability to monetize unique intellectual property, Morris is taking &#34;a modestly more conservative view&#34; of a sustained growth trajectory in streaming revenue and recorded music margin expansion.</li><li>Deutsche Bank analyst George Brown downgraded <b>Logitech</b>(LOGI) to Hold from Buy with a price target of CHF 54, down from CHF 68. The current downturn in the PC market is more severe than anticipated and the stock&#39;s risk/reward is more balanced given the extended replacement cycles, Brown tells investors in a research note.</li><li>Guggenheim analyst Ronald Jewsikow downgraded <b>Tesla</b>(TSLA) to Sell from Neutral.  Jewsikow forecasts a &#34;sizable&#34; gross margin miss in Q4 to be driven mainly by price reductions and incentive actions taken during the quarter.</li></ul><h2><b>Top 5 Initiations:</b></h2><ul><li>Deutsche Bank analyst Benjamin Goy reinstated coverage of <b>Credit Suisse</b>(CS) with a Hold rating and CHF 3.40 price target. The bank is taking the right steps but lowering costs, regaining operational momentum, and reducing the complexity of funding costs will take time, Goy tells investors in a research note.</li><li>Jefferies analyst Vedvati Shrote initiated coverage of <b>Teradyne</b>(TER) with a Buy rating and $115 price target as the analyst launched coverage on a pair of Back-End Test Equipment stocks. The industry has transformed into a high-single- to low-double-digit growth segment after &#34;a decade uninspiring growth,&#34; said Shrote, who calls out view Teradyne as a test equipment beneficiary as the market leader with 50% share.</li><li>Truist analyst Keith Hughes initiated coverage of <b>Summit Materials</b>(SUM) with a Buy rating and $40 price target. The analyst believes that the strong pricing in aggregates and cement will continue and offset cost, leading to EBITDA growth this year.</li><li>UBS analyst Rayna Kumar initiated coverage of <b>Pagaya</b>(PGY) with a Neutral rating and $1.25 price target. While Kumar estimates that from 2022E-2025E, Pagaya&#39;s AI-powered network could fuel a 26% network volume and 23% top-line CAGR, the analyst expects mounting macro headwinds from rising interest rates and consumer credit deterioration to continue to pressure Pagaya&#39;s loan approval rate in 2023, making it unlikely the company will achieve its 3-5 year medium-term network volume ambition of $25B, Kumar tells investors in a research note.</li><li>Capital One analyst Connor Murphy initiated coverage of <b>Workday</b>(WDAY) with an Overweight rating and $200 price target.</li></ul></body></html>","source":"lsy1666364704704","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Top Calls on Wall Street: Tesla, Credit Suisse, Lockheed Martin and More</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTop Calls on Wall Street: Tesla, Credit Suisse, Lockheed Martin and More\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-01-13 23:03 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://thefly.com/landingPageNews.php?id=3645251&headline=FTNT;WMG;CAT;VMC;TRU;LMT;TSLA;LOGI;CPA;OGI;CS;TER;SUM;WDAY;PGY-Street-Wrap-Todays-Top--Upgrades-Downgrades-Initiations><strong>TheFly</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Top 5 Upgrades:BofA analyst Michael Feniger upgraded Caterpillar(CAT) to Buy from Neutral with a price target of $295, up from $217. Rising prices versus costs can provide a tailwind that \"provides ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://thefly.com/landingPageNews.php?id=3645251&headline=FTNT;WMG;CAT;VMC;TRU;LMT;TSLA;LOGI;CPA;OGI;CS;TER;SUM;WDAY;PGY-Street-Wrap-Todays-Top--Upgrades-Downgrades-Initiations\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LMT":"洛克希德马丁","TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://thefly.com/landingPageNews.php?id=3645251&headline=FTNT;WMG;CAT;VMC;TRU;LMT;TSLA;LOGI;CPA;OGI;CS;TER;SUM;WDAY;PGY-Street-Wrap-Todays-Top--Upgrades-Downgrades-Initiations","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1167317624","content_text":"Top 5 Upgrades:BofA analyst Michael Feniger upgraded Caterpillar(CAT) to Buy from Neutral with a price target of $295, up from $217. Rising prices versus costs can provide a tailwind that \"provides cover in the near-term\" at a time of heightened uncertainty, Feniger argues.RBC Capital analyst Mike Dahl upgraded Vulcan Materials(VMC) to Outperform from Sector Perform with a price target of $191, up from $170. Ramping infrastructure tailwinds and \"lagged\" non-residential strength should largely offset \"sharp headwinds\" from new residential construction in 2023, Dahl tells investors in a research note.Wells Fargo analyst Seth Weber upgraded TransUnion(TRU) to Overweight from Equal Weight with a price target of $88, up from $70. The stock's significant underperformance provides an attractive entry point for a company with valuable data/info assets and decisioning tools, Weber tells investors in a research note.JPMorgan analyst Guilherme Mendes upgraded Copa Holdings(CPA) to Overweight from Neutral with a price target of $132, up from $105. The analyst says Copa offers an \"interesting combination\" of a discounted valuation to its historical average and a \"relatively comfortable balance sheet situation.\"Stifel analyst Andrew Partheniou upgraded Organigram(OGI) to Buy from Hold with an unchanged price target of C$1.50 after the company reported \"strong\" Q1 results. Profitability beat expectations with meaningful cash generation, noted Partheniou, who is raising his profitability estimates to reflect Q1 performance, management's gross margin guidance and the company's production expansions and innovation \"bearing fruit.\"Top 5 Downgrades:Goldman Sachs analyst Noah Poponak downgraded Lockheed Martin(LMT) to Sell from Neutral with a price target of $332, down from $388. The U.S. defense budget has grown significantly to an all-time high level, and with a large level of cumulative government debt, focus on slowing spending growth or reducing it outright could return in 2023, Poponak tells investors in a research note.BTIG analyst Gray Powell downgraded Fortinet(FTNT) to Neutral from Buy without a price target. The analyst has increased appliance refresh concerns following channel checks. He has consistently heard increased concerns on firewall refresh delays in 2023 from contacts who have a view on large enterprise spending and Fortinet is most exposed to this risk, Powell tells investors in a research note.Guggenheim analyst Michael Morris downgraded Warner Music(WMG) to Neutral from Buy with a price target of $35, down from $38, after updating his fiscal Q1 model to better reflect weaker-than-previously forecast Recorded Music streaming revenue. While he is still confident in the company's ability to monetize unique intellectual property, Morris is taking \"a modestly more conservative view\" of a sustained growth trajectory in streaming revenue and recorded music margin expansion.Deutsche Bank analyst George Brown downgraded Logitech(LOGI) to Hold from Buy with a price target of CHF 54, down from CHF 68. The current downturn in the PC market is more severe than anticipated and the stock's risk/reward is more balanced given the extended replacement cycles, Brown tells investors in a research note.Guggenheim analyst Ronald Jewsikow downgraded Tesla(TSLA) to Sell from Neutral.  Jewsikow forecasts a \"sizable\" gross margin miss in Q4 to be driven mainly by price reductions and incentive actions taken during the quarter.Top 5 Initiations:Deutsche Bank analyst Benjamin Goy reinstated coverage of Credit Suisse(CS) with a Hold rating and CHF 3.40 price target. The bank is taking the right steps but lowering costs, regaining operational momentum, and reducing the complexity of funding costs will take time, Goy tells investors in a research note.Jefferies analyst Vedvati Shrote initiated coverage of Teradyne(TER) with a Buy rating and $115 price target as the analyst launched coverage on a pair of Back-End Test Equipment stocks. The industry has transformed into a high-single- to low-double-digit growth segment after \"a decade uninspiring growth,\" said Shrote, who calls out view Teradyne as a test equipment beneficiary as the market leader with 50% share.Truist analyst Keith Hughes initiated coverage of Summit Materials(SUM) with a Buy rating and $40 price target. The analyst believes that the strong pricing in aggregates and cement will continue and offset cost, leading to EBITDA growth this year.UBS analyst Rayna Kumar initiated coverage of Pagaya(PGY) with a Neutral rating and $1.25 price target. While Kumar estimates that from 2022E-2025E, Pagaya's AI-powered network could fuel a 26% network volume and 23% top-line CAGR, the analyst expects mounting macro headwinds from rising interest rates and consumer credit deterioration to continue to pressure Pagaya's loan approval rate in 2023, making it unlikely the company will achieve its 3-5 year medium-term network volume ambition of $25B, Kumar tells investors in a research note.Capital One analyst Connor Murphy initiated coverage of Workday(WDAY) with an Overweight rating and $200 price target.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":248,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9923238583,"gmtCreate":1670860849143,"gmtModify":1676538448207,"author":{"id":"3582962119812367","authorId":"3582962119812367","name":"Daniel12321","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a4ffcb9551bf9fffa55a10cf8b531d6","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582962119812367","authorIdStr":"3582962119812367"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9923238583","repostId":"1138430940","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1138430940","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1670855943,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1138430940?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-12-12 22:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Hot Chinese ADRs Turned Down in Morning Trading; Tuniu Slid Over 8% While Bilibili Slid Over 5%.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1138430940","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Hot Chinese ADRs Turned Down in Morning Trading; Tuniu Slid Over 8% While Bilibili Slid Over 5%.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Hot Chinese ADRs Turned Down in Morning Trading; Tuniu Slid Over 8% While Bilibili Slid Over 5%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1ead9adee570274fc7db8cd156d2d0bd\" tg-width=\"247\" tg-height=\"711\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Hot Chinese ADRs Turned Down in Morning Trading; Tuniu Slid Over 8% While Bilibili Slid Over 5%.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHot Chinese ADRs Turned Down in Morning Trading; Tuniu Slid Over 8% While Bilibili Slid Over 5%.\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-12-12 22:39</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Hot Chinese ADRs Turned Down in Morning Trading; Tuniu Slid Over 8% While Bilibili Slid Over 5%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1ead9adee570274fc7db8cd156d2d0bd\" tg-width=\"247\" tg-height=\"711\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴","PDD":"拼多多"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1138430940","content_text":"Hot Chinese ADRs Turned Down in Morning Trading; Tuniu Slid Over 8% While Bilibili Slid Over 5%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":211,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9968208259,"gmtCreate":1669237575772,"gmtModify":1676538170324,"author":{"id":"3582962119812367","authorId":"3582962119812367","name":"Daniel12321","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a4ffcb9551bf9fffa55a10cf8b531d6","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582962119812367","authorIdStr":"3582962119812367"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9968208259","repostId":"1168042484","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1168042484","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1669207575,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1168042484?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-23 20:46","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla’s Stock Slump Has Gone Too Far, Morgan Stanley Says","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1168042484","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Shares slumped 52% this year with $300b wipeout in two monthsMorgan Stanley sees value opportunity while Citi upgradesElon Musk.Photographer: Carina Johansen/AFPAfter losing nearly $300 billion in mar","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Shares slumped 52% this year with $300b wipeout in two months</li><li>Morgan Stanley sees value opportunity while Citi upgrades</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76d786e2fc285c0e8faa9755ba109fa5\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"665\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Elon Musk.Photographer: Carina Johansen/AFP</span></p><p>After losing nearly $300 billion in market value in two months, a growing chorus of Tesla Inc. analysts say the share-price decline has gone far enough.</p><p>Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas said on Wednesday that Tesla is approaching his “bear case” price target of $150, presenting an opportunity for investors to buy at a bargain price. Citi analysts upgraded the shares to neutral from sell, saying that a more than 50% slump this year “has balanced out the near-term risk/reward.”</p><p>Despite challenges including decelerating demand andprice cutsin China, Tesla is the only electric vehicle maker covered by Morgan Stanley that generates a profit on the sale of its cars, Jonas wrote in a note. The analyst -- who also highlighted Tesla’s potential to benefit from consumer tax credits in the US -- reiterated his $330 price target.</p><p>Shares rose as much as 1.9% in premarket trading to $173.11. The stock has slumped this year amid rising raw materials costs,issueswith production and sales in China and pressure on customer budgets. Latterly, Chief Executive Officer Elon Musk’s focus on turning around Twitter Inc. has also hit sentiment, with $300 billion wiped off Tesla’s market cap in the past two months, according to Bloomberg calculations.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/28418b2c1e10b82bdeec4788d9133a29\" tg-width=\"1235\" tg-height=\"695\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>The distraction caused by Twitter needs to end to stop the stock slide, according to Jonas. “There must be some form of sentiment ‘circuit breaker’ around the Twitter situation to calm investor concerns around Tesla,” he wrote.</p><p>Despite all of the challenges Tesla has faced this year, Wall Street has mainly stayed bullish. The majority of Tesla analysts tracked by Bloomberg rate the stock a buy or equivalent, while the shares would need to rally a whopping 80% to hit the median analyst target price. This year’s slump has left the stock trading at 31 times forward earnings, down from more than 200 times in early 2021.</p><p>Citi analyst Itay Michaeli, who upgraded the stock on Wednesday, has one of the lowest price targets on the Street, at $176. The analyst said he was turning more positive because Tesla’s slump means that some of the overly-bullish expectations in the stock, including on unit sales, have now been priced out.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla’s Stock Slump Has Gone Too Far, Morgan Stanley Says</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla’s Stock Slump Has Gone Too Far, Morgan Stanley Says\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-23 20:46 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-23/tesla-is-value-opportunity-as-it-nears-morgan-stanley-bear-case?srnd=markets-vp><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Shares slumped 52% this year with $300b wipeout in two monthsMorgan Stanley sees value opportunity while Citi upgradesElon Musk.Photographer: Carina Johansen/AFPAfter losing nearly $300 billion in ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-23/tesla-is-value-opportunity-as-it-nears-morgan-stanley-bear-case?srnd=markets-vp\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-23/tesla-is-value-opportunity-as-it-nears-morgan-stanley-bear-case?srnd=markets-vp","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1168042484","content_text":"Shares slumped 52% this year with $300b wipeout in two monthsMorgan Stanley sees value opportunity while Citi upgradesElon Musk.Photographer: Carina Johansen/AFPAfter losing nearly $300 billion in market value in two months, a growing chorus of Tesla Inc. analysts say the share-price decline has gone far enough.Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas said on Wednesday that Tesla is approaching his “bear case” price target of $150, presenting an opportunity for investors to buy at a bargain price. Citi analysts upgraded the shares to neutral from sell, saying that a more than 50% slump this year “has balanced out the near-term risk/reward.”Despite challenges including decelerating demand andprice cutsin China, Tesla is the only electric vehicle maker covered by Morgan Stanley that generates a profit on the sale of its cars, Jonas wrote in a note. The analyst -- who also highlighted Tesla’s potential to benefit from consumer tax credits in the US -- reiterated his $330 price target.Shares rose as much as 1.9% in premarket trading to $173.11. The stock has slumped this year amid rising raw materials costs,issueswith production and sales in China and pressure on customer budgets. Latterly, Chief Executive Officer Elon Musk’s focus on turning around Twitter Inc. has also hit sentiment, with $300 billion wiped off Tesla’s market cap in the past two months, according to Bloomberg calculations.The distraction caused by Twitter needs to end to stop the stock slide, according to Jonas. “There must be some form of sentiment ‘circuit breaker’ around the Twitter situation to calm investor concerns around Tesla,” he wrote.Despite all of the challenges Tesla has faced this year, Wall Street has mainly stayed bullish. The majority of Tesla analysts tracked by Bloomberg rate the stock a buy or equivalent, while the shares would need to rally a whopping 80% to hit the median analyst target price. This year’s slump has left the stock trading at 31 times forward earnings, down from more than 200 times in early 2021.Citi analyst Itay Michaeli, who upgraded the stock on Wednesday, has one of the lowest price targets on the Street, at $176. The analyst said he was turning more positive because Tesla’s slump means that some of the overly-bullish expectations in the stock, including on unit sales, have now been priced out.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":299,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9044082302,"gmtCreate":1656676153106,"gmtModify":1676535875259,"author":{"id":"3582962119812367","authorId":"3582962119812367","name":"Daniel12321","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a4ffcb9551bf9fffa55a10cf8b531d6","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582962119812367","authorIdStr":"3582962119812367"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9044082302","repostId":"1129634609","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1129634609","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1656554042,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1129634609?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-30 09:54","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Reminder: U.S. Market Will be Closed on July 4 for Independence Day","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1129634609","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"US Independence Day are around the corner. The U.S. market will be closed on Monday, 4 July 2022. Pl","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>US Independence Day are around the corner. The U.S. market will be closed on Monday, 4 July 2022. Please take note of the trading arrangements during the holiday period and make the necessary preparations in advance.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3652d76f0953e0c2d017b2fd446fbca\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1080\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Reminder: U.S. Market Will be Closed on July 4 for Independence Day</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nReminder: U.S. Market Will be Closed on July 4 for Independence Day\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-06-30 09:54</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>US Independence Day are around the corner. The U.S. market will be closed on Monday, 4 July 2022. Please take note of the trading arrangements during the holiday period and make the necessary preparations in advance.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3652d76f0953e0c2d017b2fd446fbca\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1080\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"HSI":"恒生指数",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","HSTECH":"恒生科技指数",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1129634609","content_text":"US Independence Day are around the corner. The U.S. market will be closed on Monday, 4 July 2022. Please take note of the trading arrangements during the holiday period and make the necessary preparations in advance.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":369,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9961027095,"gmtCreate":1668806077617,"gmtModify":1676538115009,"author":{"id":"3582962119812367","authorId":"3582962119812367","name":"Daniel12321","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a4ffcb9551bf9fffa55a10cf8b531d6","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582962119812367","authorIdStr":"3582962119812367"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9961027095","repostId":"1156523931","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1156523931","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1668782470,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1156523931?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-18 22:41","market":"us","language":"en","title":"More Than $2 Trillion in Stock Options Expire Friday With  Put-Call Ratio Near Levels Unseen Since 2001","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1156523931","media":"Market Watch","summary":"Equity options worth $2.1 trillion in notional value are set to expire on Friday in the latest month","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8dc787dcc3d9f01b78bad669dcbff58\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"497\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Equity options worth $2.1 trillion in notional value are set to expire on Friday in the latest monthly event where weekly and monthly options tied to single stocks, equity indexes and exchange-traded funds expire, risking an explosion of volatility across markets.</p><p>Every month, a team of analysts from Goldman Sachs publishes a breakdown of the options that are expiring. And one of the most notable details from this month’s report is a chart showing how much trading has shifted to options contracts with 24 hours or less left before they expire.</p><p>Trading in these types of options now represents 44% of all trading in options linked to the S&amp;P 500 index. They now trade an average of $470 billion in notional value per day, according to Goldman.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03093a53400808d597fb19b7f7fe18df\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Options directly linked to the S&amp;P 500 make up a plurality of all equity options expiring in the U.S. on Friday, as Goldman illustrated in the chart below.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d5ee3ea7c5480a4e90bab11f5bc68ac0\" tg-width=\"699\" tg-height=\"381\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Another notable trend in equity-derivatives trading this year has been increasing trading in options linked to indexes and exchange-traded funds. Previously, investors had favored options linked to individual stocks. But trading volume in these options has declined this year, although it remains elevated compared to its pre-pandemic level.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2fc707025c18b4c27a4534f19475112f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"516\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Investors will be paying particularly close attention to Friday’s options expiration after the equity put-call ratio — which measures trading volume of certain equity-linked options compared with trading volume in equity-linked calls —  exploded to levels unseen since 2001 earlier this week.</p><p>Most equity-linked options expire after the close of the trading day, but some index-linked options expire in the morning, according to CME Group.</p><p>One month ago, Nomura’s Charlie McElligott told clients that professional traders are increasingly buying options with one day to expiration or less, a trading strategy that he said first gained notoriety on the popular subreddit “Wall Street Bets.”</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1616996754749","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>More Than $2 Trillion in Stock Options Expire Friday With  Put-Call Ratio Near Levels Unseen Since 2001</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMore Than $2 Trillion in Stock Options Expire Friday With  Put-Call Ratio Near Levels Unseen Since 2001\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-18 22:41 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/more-than-2-trillion-in-stock-options-expire-friday-with-put-call-ratio-near-levels-unseen-since-2001-11668782195?mod=mw_latestnews><strong>Market Watch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Equity options worth $2.1 trillion in notional value are set to expire on Friday in the latest monthly event where weekly and monthly options tied to single stocks, equity indexes and exchange-traded ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/more-than-2-trillion-in-stock-options-expire-friday-with-put-call-ratio-near-levels-unseen-since-2001-11668782195?mod=mw_latestnews\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"QQQ":"纳指100ETF","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/more-than-2-trillion-in-stock-options-expire-friday-with-put-call-ratio-near-levels-unseen-since-2001-11668782195?mod=mw_latestnews","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1156523931","content_text":"Equity options worth $2.1 trillion in notional value are set to expire on Friday in the latest monthly event where weekly and monthly options tied to single stocks, equity indexes and exchange-traded funds expire, risking an explosion of volatility across markets.Every month, a team of analysts from Goldman Sachs publishes a breakdown of the options that are expiring. And one of the most notable details from this month’s report is a chart showing how much trading has shifted to options contracts with 24 hours or less left before they expire.Trading in these types of options now represents 44% of all trading in options linked to the S&P 500 index. They now trade an average of $470 billion in notional value per day, according to Goldman.Options directly linked to the S&P 500 make up a plurality of all equity options expiring in the U.S. on Friday, as Goldman illustrated in the chart below.Another notable trend in equity-derivatives trading this year has been increasing trading in options linked to indexes and exchange-traded funds. Previously, investors had favored options linked to individual stocks. But trading volume in these options has declined this year, although it remains elevated compared to its pre-pandemic level.Investors will be paying particularly close attention to Friday’s options expiration after the equity put-call ratio — which measures trading volume of certain equity-linked options compared with trading volume in equity-linked calls —  exploded to levels unseen since 2001 earlier this week.Most equity-linked options expire after the close of the trading day, but some index-linked options expire in the morning, according to CME Group.One month ago, Nomura’s Charlie McElligott told clients that professional traders are increasingly buying options with one day to expiration or less, a trading strategy that he said first gained notoriety on the popular subreddit “Wall Street Bets.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":177,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9962894377,"gmtCreate":1669755647599,"gmtModify":1676538235323,"author":{"id":"3582962119812367","authorId":"3582962119812367","name":"Daniel12321","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a4ffcb9551bf9fffa55a10cf8b531d6","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582962119812367","authorIdStr":"3582962119812367"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9962894377","repostId":"2286859887","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":117,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9960757192,"gmtCreate":1668287066016,"gmtModify":1676538035995,"author":{"id":"3582962119812367","authorId":"3582962119812367","name":"Daniel12321","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a4ffcb9551bf9fffa55a10cf8b531d6","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582962119812367","authorIdStr":"3582962119812367"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9960757192","repostId":"1137748454","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1137748454","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1668216439,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1137748454?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-12 09:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"A $32 Billion Crypto Empire Has Crashed. The Fallout Is Spreading Far Beyond Crypto","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1137748454","media":"Barron's","summary":"How long does it take to wipe out a $32 billion company, shatter confidence in an entire industry, a","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>How long does it take to wipe out a $32 billion company, shatter confidence in an entire industry, and leave a trail of destruction from Wall Street to Silicon Valley?</p><p>In crypto, about a week.</p><p>The debacle unfolded in real time on Twitter as the crypto empire run by Sam Bankman-Fried collapsed. FTX Group, his conglomerate of 130 entities—including the FTX exchange and Alameda Research, a market maker and trading firm—filed for U.S. bankruptcy protection on Friday.</p><p>Bankman-Fried resigned as CEO from the group, issuing a mea culpa on Twitter. “I’m really sorry, again, that we ended up here,” he said in a stream of tweets. “I’m piecing together all of the details, but I was shocked to see things unravel the way they did earlier this week,” he added.</p><p>Bankman-Fried wasn’t the only one expressing shock. FTX, the world’s second largest crypto exchange, collapsed over a few chaotic days, brought down by a liquidity crisis as customers lost confidence in the exchange. Essentially, it was an old-fashioned run on the bank, with no federal regulator or private entity willing to prop up FTX, unwind the operations, or contain the fallout.</p><p>The collateral damage is likely to be vast. FTX and Alameda played central roles in crypto trading, market making, lending, and bailouts of other firms. FTX had attracted investment from prominent venture-capital firms, pension funds, and hedge funds. Some of them invested in FTX at a valuation of $32 billion just a few months ago. They are now marking down their investments to zero.</p><p>The unraveling has already knocked more than $125 billion in market cap off Bitcoin and other tokens. FTX has frozen customer accounts. Its U.S. entity, FTX US, had said it would probably halt trading within days, though its website was still operational on Friday, including a pitch to “join some of the world’s biggest names who trust FTX,” showing photos of Tom Brady and Stephen Curry.</p><p>Other entities that have paused withdrawals include BlockFi, a crypto lender that FTX bailed out last summer. More entities and counterparties with exposure to FTX are likely to be revealed as the bankruptcy proceedings get rolling.</p><p>Regulators are now under far more pressure to ramp up supervision of an industry that has so far thrived on opacity and a lack of clear rules. “I hope some of these firms take note and actually work with us and get registered, or we’ll certainly be doing what we need to do, being a cop on the beat,” said Securities and Exchange Commission Chair Gary Gensler at a conference on Wednesday.</p><p>It’s unclear how crypto will clean up its latest mess. Indeed, what little credibility crypto had is being tested anew, raising questions about whether the whole edifice will simply crumble under its own weight.</p><p>“Those who were skeptical about crypto will become even more skeptical. They’re not wrong to feel that way,” says Ric Edelman, head of the Digital Assets Council of Financial Professionals.</p><p>Before his empire fell apart, Bankman-Fried had been viewed as a kind of crypto philosopher king. A 30-year-old Californian, educated at Massachusetts Institute of Technology, he built FTX and Alameda into the very fabric of crypto infrastructure, playing a leading role in derivatives, trading, and market-making activity.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c380e6b530fb0a8f21ae5df380dcfabf\" tg-width=\"939\" tg-height=\"639\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>As FTX and its related entities grew into a multibillion-dollar empire, Bankman-Fried parlayed his wealth and prominence widely. He spent millions on sports, including naming rights to the Miami Heat’s National Basketball Association arena and sponsorship of Formula 1 racing cars. He also promised to donate most of his fortune to charities. And he became a fixture on Capitol Hill, arguing for regulation and donating to political campaigns in a bid to bring crypto into the mainstream.</p><p>Bankman-Fried also built a reputation as a crypto white knight—a banker of last resort. BlockFi and Voyager Digitalboth got bailouts or lines of credit, though Voyager didn’t survive. Bankman-Fried also invested in other crypto platforms, including Robinhood Markets (ticker: HOOD), owning a 7.5% stake in the company worth $570 million at recent prices.</p><p>The collapse of FTX could prove costly, well beyond crypto. FTX’s venture-capital investors included big names like Sequoia Capital, Tiger Global Management, and the Ontario Teachers’ Pension Plan. Sequoia now says that its investment is worth zero.</p><p>Analysts expect more companies to reveal exposures and losses. “There could be other cascading failures that could emerge,” says Lucas Nuzzi, head of research and development at Coin Metrics, a research firm working on a report that may identify additional counterparties to FTX and Alameda.</p><p>One immediate impact, of course, is sheer fear of crypto. Potential investors in start-ups are now more likely to shy away, says Antonio Juliano, CEO of dYdX, one of the largest decentralized-finance, or DeFi, exchanges. “This will decrease interest in crypto for the short to medium term,” he says.</p><p>There may also be a chill on crypto demand as investors question whether their tokens, custodied through brokerages and exchanges, will be accessible in the event of a bankruptcy. FTX used customer assets for trading at Alameda without their knowledge, according to media reports. When Alameda couldn’t meet its obligations, it spilled over to FTX’s customer base.</p><p>Equity brokerages and exchanges regulated by the SEC would never be allowed to use customer assets in that way. Those lines are largely absent in crypto, however. U.S. exchange are licensed by states as money-transfer businesses. And there is no regulatory body supervising operations of global exchanges like Bahamas-based FTX.</p><p>Coinbase Global (COIN), the largest U.S.-based exchange, said this past week that “there can’t be a run on the bank” at the firm and that it lends customer assets only with approval.</p><p>Nonetheless, the collapse of FTX underscores the market’s concentration in a handful of companies. And it reveals how even two of the big players can shake the foundations.</p><p>FTX’s demise started when CoinDesk reported that Alameda’s balance sheet consisted partly of a token called FTT, which is used for trading and commissions on the FTX exchange. Days later, Changpeng Zhao, the leader of Binance—the world’s largest crypto exchange—said he planned to unload more than $500 million worth of FTT that his firm had acquired.</p><p>With that, the run on FTX began. On Sunday, FTX saw $5 billion in customer withdrawals. Bankman-Fried then sought emerging funding to cover shortfalls, estimated at $8 billion. On Tuesday, Binance appeared to be a savior, signing a letter of intent to buy FTX. The next day, Binance pulled out, saying that “the issues are beyond our control or ability to help.”</p><p>Bankman-Fried has said that he thought it likely that Zhao never intended to buy FTX. “Well played; you won,” he said on Twitter, in an apparent allusion to Zhao taking out a rival.</p><p>FTX did not respond to a request for comment. Binance declined to comment.</p><p>The regulatory fallout is just starting. Democrats in Congress are calling for hearings, and the White House has weighed in. “The most recent news...highlights why prudent regulation of cryptocurrencies is indeed needed,” press secretary Karine Jean-Pierre told reporters.</p><p>U.S. enforcement agencies are now expanding inquiries. If the SEC alleges that FTX broke securities laws, it could create liability for the entire industry. “That’s what can really shake the industry,” says Tyler Gellasch, a former SEC senior counsel.</p><p>Representatives for the SEC and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission declined to comment.</p><p>Even if FTX’s troubles seem remote, the damage is likely to keep affecting tokens, brokerages like Coinbase and Robinhood, and the many banks, lenders, and tech companies trying to build crypto businesses.</p><p>“FTX and SBF were these megawatt stars in crypto and had garnered a lot of trust, not just among institutional investors but also among regulators,” says Morningstar’s Madeline Hume, referring to Bankman-Fried. “The risk of contagion has never been higher.”</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>A $32 Billion Crypto Empire Has Crashed. The Fallout Is Spreading Far Beyond Crypto</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nA $32 Billion Crypto Empire Has Crashed. The Fallout Is Spreading Far Beyond Crypto\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-12 09:27 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/ftx-binance-sam-bankman-fried-crypto-bitcoin-solana-price-crash-51668135110><strong>Barron's</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>How long does it take to wipe out a $32 billion company, shatter confidence in an entire industry, and leave a trail of destruction from Wall Street to Silicon Valley?In crypto, about a week.The ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/ftx-binance-sam-bankman-fried-crypto-bitcoin-solana-price-crash-51668135110\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GBTC":"Grayscale Bitcoin Trust","COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/ftx-binance-sam-bankman-fried-crypto-bitcoin-solana-price-crash-51668135110","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1137748454","content_text":"How long does it take to wipe out a $32 billion company, shatter confidence in an entire industry, and leave a trail of destruction from Wall Street to Silicon Valley?In crypto, about a week.The debacle unfolded in real time on Twitter as the crypto empire run by Sam Bankman-Fried collapsed. FTX Group, his conglomerate of 130 entities—including the FTX exchange and Alameda Research, a market maker and trading firm—filed for U.S. bankruptcy protection on Friday.Bankman-Fried resigned as CEO from the group, issuing a mea culpa on Twitter. “I’m really sorry, again, that we ended up here,” he said in a stream of tweets. “I’m piecing together all of the details, but I was shocked to see things unravel the way they did earlier this week,” he added.Bankman-Fried wasn’t the only one expressing shock. FTX, the world’s second largest crypto exchange, collapsed over a few chaotic days, brought down by a liquidity crisis as customers lost confidence in the exchange. Essentially, it was an old-fashioned run on the bank, with no federal regulator or private entity willing to prop up FTX, unwind the operations, or contain the fallout.The collateral damage is likely to be vast. FTX and Alameda played central roles in crypto trading, market making, lending, and bailouts of other firms. FTX had attracted investment from prominent venture-capital firms, pension funds, and hedge funds. Some of them invested in FTX at a valuation of $32 billion just a few months ago. They are now marking down their investments to zero.The unraveling has already knocked more than $125 billion in market cap off Bitcoin and other tokens. FTX has frozen customer accounts. Its U.S. entity, FTX US, had said it would probably halt trading within days, though its website was still operational on Friday, including a pitch to “join some of the world’s biggest names who trust FTX,” showing photos of Tom Brady and Stephen Curry.Other entities that have paused withdrawals include BlockFi, a crypto lender that FTX bailed out last summer. More entities and counterparties with exposure to FTX are likely to be revealed as the bankruptcy proceedings get rolling.Regulators are now under far more pressure to ramp up supervision of an industry that has so far thrived on opacity and a lack of clear rules. “I hope some of these firms take note and actually work with us and get registered, or we’ll certainly be doing what we need to do, being a cop on the beat,” said Securities and Exchange Commission Chair Gary Gensler at a conference on Wednesday.It’s unclear how crypto will clean up its latest mess. Indeed, what little credibility crypto had is being tested anew, raising questions about whether the whole edifice will simply crumble under its own weight.“Those who were skeptical about crypto will become even more skeptical. They’re not wrong to feel that way,” says Ric Edelman, head of the Digital Assets Council of Financial Professionals.Before his empire fell apart, Bankman-Fried had been viewed as a kind of crypto philosopher king. A 30-year-old Californian, educated at Massachusetts Institute of Technology, he built FTX and Alameda into the very fabric of crypto infrastructure, playing a leading role in derivatives, trading, and market-making activity.As FTX and its related entities grew into a multibillion-dollar empire, Bankman-Fried parlayed his wealth and prominence widely. He spent millions on sports, including naming rights to the Miami Heat’s National Basketball Association arena and sponsorship of Formula 1 racing cars. He also promised to donate most of his fortune to charities. And he became a fixture on Capitol Hill, arguing for regulation and donating to political campaigns in a bid to bring crypto into the mainstream.Bankman-Fried also built a reputation as a crypto white knight—a banker of last resort. BlockFi and Voyager Digitalboth got bailouts or lines of credit, though Voyager didn’t survive. Bankman-Fried also invested in other crypto platforms, including Robinhood Markets (ticker: HOOD), owning a 7.5% stake in the company worth $570 million at recent prices.The collapse of FTX could prove costly, well beyond crypto. FTX’s venture-capital investors included big names like Sequoia Capital, Tiger Global Management, and the Ontario Teachers’ Pension Plan. Sequoia now says that its investment is worth zero.Analysts expect more companies to reveal exposures and losses. “There could be other cascading failures that could emerge,” says Lucas Nuzzi, head of research and development at Coin Metrics, a research firm working on a report that may identify additional counterparties to FTX and Alameda.One immediate impact, of course, is sheer fear of crypto. Potential investors in start-ups are now more likely to shy away, says Antonio Juliano, CEO of dYdX, one of the largest decentralized-finance, or DeFi, exchanges. “This will decrease interest in crypto for the short to medium term,” he says.There may also be a chill on crypto demand as investors question whether their tokens, custodied through brokerages and exchanges, will be accessible in the event of a bankruptcy. FTX used customer assets for trading at Alameda without their knowledge, according to media reports. When Alameda couldn’t meet its obligations, it spilled over to FTX’s customer base.Equity brokerages and exchanges regulated by the SEC would never be allowed to use customer assets in that way. Those lines are largely absent in crypto, however. U.S. exchange are licensed by states as money-transfer businesses. And there is no regulatory body supervising operations of global exchanges like Bahamas-based FTX.Coinbase Global (COIN), the largest U.S.-based exchange, said this past week that “there can’t be a run on the bank” at the firm and that it lends customer assets only with approval.Nonetheless, the collapse of FTX underscores the market’s concentration in a handful of companies. And it reveals how even two of the big players can shake the foundations.FTX’s demise started when CoinDesk reported that Alameda’s balance sheet consisted partly of a token called FTT, which is used for trading and commissions on the FTX exchange. Days later, Changpeng Zhao, the leader of Binance—the world’s largest crypto exchange—said he planned to unload more than $500 million worth of FTT that his firm had acquired.With that, the run on FTX began. On Sunday, FTX saw $5 billion in customer withdrawals. Bankman-Fried then sought emerging funding to cover shortfalls, estimated at $8 billion. On Tuesday, Binance appeared to be a savior, signing a letter of intent to buy FTX. The next day, Binance pulled out, saying that “the issues are beyond our control or ability to help.”Bankman-Fried has said that he thought it likely that Zhao never intended to buy FTX. “Well played; you won,” he said on Twitter, in an apparent allusion to Zhao taking out a rival.FTX did not respond to a request for comment. Binance declined to comment.The regulatory fallout is just starting. Democrats in Congress are calling for hearings, and the White House has weighed in. “The most recent news...highlights why prudent regulation of cryptocurrencies is indeed needed,” press secretary Karine Jean-Pierre told reporters.U.S. enforcement agencies are now expanding inquiries. If the SEC alleges that FTX broke securities laws, it could create liability for the entire industry. “That’s what can really shake the industry,” says Tyler Gellasch, a former SEC senior counsel.Representatives for the SEC and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission declined to comment.Even if FTX’s troubles seem remote, the damage is likely to keep affecting tokens, brokerages like Coinbase and Robinhood, and the many banks, lenders, and tech companies trying to build crypto businesses.“FTX and SBF were these megawatt stars in crypto and had garnered a lot of trust, not just among institutional investors but also among regulators,” says Morningstar’s Madeline Hume, referring to Bankman-Fried. “The risk of contagion has never been higher.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":101,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9907190378,"gmtCreate":1660166092497,"gmtModify":1703478460138,"author":{"id":"3582962119812367","authorId":"3582962119812367","name":"Daniel12321","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a4ffcb9551bf9fffa55a10cf8b531d6","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582962119812367","authorIdStr":"3582962119812367"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9907190378","repostId":"1115772826","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1115772826","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1660145520,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1115772826?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-10 23:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Dividend Stocks to Buy to Beat Runaway Inflation","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1115772826","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"These dividend stocks to buy all represent solid companies with a yield of 2% or more.Johnson & John","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>These dividend stocks to buy all represent solid companies with a yield of 2% or more.</li><li><b>Johnson &amp; Johnson</b>(<b><u>JNJ</u></b>): Johnson &amp; Johnson products will continue to do well during inflation because it has a large portfolio of non-discretionary goods.</li><li><b>3M Company</b>(<b><u>MMM</u></b>): 3M&#39;s status as a Dividend King makes it a next-level dividend buy.</li><li><b>Dicks Sporting Goods</b>(<b><u>DKS</u></b>): Dick&#39;s has beaten analysts&#39; expectations in the last four quarters, a sign that it has the potential to weather the storm.</li></ul><p>Inflation has encouraged investors to look for solid dividend stocks to buy, and it makes sense. Strong dividends usually mean that management is taking care to generate profits.</p><p>Searching for the best dividend stocks to buy as a hedge during times of inflation has several advantages.</p><p>First, dividend stocks are less volatile. Second, dividend stocks provide a steady income stream that can help offset the rising costs of goods and services. Lastly, dividend stocks are often considered “all-weather” investments, meaning they perform well in both good and bad economic conditions.</p><p>The stocks on this list are some of the best dividend stocks to buy during periods of inflation. These established companies have strong operating models and are trading at a discount. Now is the time to invest in these companies.</p><p><b>Johnson &amp; Johnson (JNJ)</b></p><p><b>Johnson &amp; Johnson</b>(NYSE:<b><u>JNJ</u></b>) is a diversified company with a strong track record of financial stability. Plus it is a reliable dividend payer. It has increased its dividend for 60 consecutive years, making it an attractive choice among the best dividend stocks to buy.</p><p>Johnson &amp; Johnson offers investors a fair amount of downside protection.</p><p>In particular, the company’s focus on essential goods is often viewed as a “recession-resistant” business. Consumers still need Johnson &amp; Johnson’s products even when spending is tight. With its broad range of products, this company has a competitive edge and is growing steadily. There are many benefits to investing in it, such as stability and growth.</p><p>Johnson &amp; Johnson also happens to be trading at a huge discount after reporting its second-quarter results. The company’s sales were up 3.0%– beating analyst estimates. The company’s adjusted operational growth grew 8.1%.</p><p>Plus, its adjusted earnings per share increased 4.4% from last year even as the company decided to lower its profitability outlook for the full year. In the current climate, cutting guidance has an outsized effect on any stock. However, on the positive side, shares of the multinational conglomerate are trading at a nice discount to their 52-week high.</p><p>For all these reasons, Johnson &amp; Johnson is an ideal dividend stock for long-term investors.</p><p><b>3M Company (MMM)</b></p><p><b>3M Company</b>(NYSE:<b><u>MMM</u></b>) is a household name in many countries, with operations spanning the globe. It is best known for its health care products like bandages and masks, but they also produce consumer goods such as Post-It notes that you can find at your local grocery store or gas station.</p><p>3M also produces other valuable surgical products, such as drapes, gowns, and masks. In addition, the company manufactures various products for the electronics and energy industries, including batteries, solar panels, and LCD screens. 3M is a global innovation leader and has more than 60,000 products to its name.</p><p>During times of inflation, the companies that will do well tend to be diversified conglomerates. 3M ticks that box because it has a product range that users will demand regardless of economic circumstances.</p><p>3M has the distinction of being a Dividend King. This is a select group of companies that have raised dividends yearly for at least the past 50 years, which makes this among the more reliable dividend stocks to buy. 3M has increased its annual dividend payout formore than 64 consecutive yearsof increases, which places it in an elite category.</p><p><b>Dicks Sporting Goods (DKS)</b></p><p><b>Dick’s Sporting Goods</b>(NYSE:<b><u>DKS</u></b>) has been a consistent performer for investors over the past few years. In these difficult economic times, it has managed to post strong numbers, showing the robustness of its business model. Dick’s has staying power making it one of the dividend stocks to buy and hold in the long term.</p><p>The stock is down almost 15% in the year thus far. The economy is slowing down, the inflation rate is rising and people are worrying more about their investments. This, in turn, causes pressure on stocks like Dick’s Sporting Goods.</p><p>The pandemic was a boon for sporting goods companies. Therefore, the company now faces tough year-over-year comparisons. However, Dick’s Sporting Goods is doing well considering the macro-economic environment.</p><p>In the last four quarters, it has consistently beat analyst expectations. Yes, revenues are declining; in the latest quarter, the top line shrank by 7.49%, and EPS fell 27.57% year on year. Also, the company is projecting comps to decline between 2% and 8%versus earlier guidance of flat to down 4%. However, management deserves credit for navigating the ship in troubled waters.</p><p>Besides, the company’s yearly dividend payout is a great way to shield yourself from the effects of volatility during these times. DKS has increased its dividend regularly, and its latest offering of 49 cents translates into an excellent yield.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Dividend Stocks to Buy to Beat Runaway Inflation</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Dividend Stocks to Buy to Beat Runaway Inflation\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-10 23:32 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://investorplace.com/2022/08/dividend-stocks-to-buy-to-beat-runaway-inflation/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>These dividend stocks to buy all represent solid companies with a yield of 2% or more.Johnson & Johnson(JNJ): Johnson & Johnson products will continue to do well during inflation because it has a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/08/dividend-stocks-to-buy-to-beat-runaway-inflation/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MMM":"3M","DKS":"迪克体育用品","JNJ":"强生"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2022/08/dividend-stocks-to-buy-to-beat-runaway-inflation/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1115772826","content_text":"These dividend stocks to buy all represent solid companies with a yield of 2% or more.Johnson & Johnson(JNJ): Johnson & Johnson products will continue to do well during inflation because it has a large portfolio of non-discretionary goods.3M Company(MMM): 3M's status as a Dividend King makes it a next-level dividend buy.Dicks Sporting Goods(DKS): Dick's has beaten analysts' expectations in the last four quarters, a sign that it has the potential to weather the storm.Inflation has encouraged investors to look for solid dividend stocks to buy, and it makes sense. Strong dividends usually mean that management is taking care to generate profits.Searching for the best dividend stocks to buy as a hedge during times of inflation has several advantages.First, dividend stocks are less volatile. Second, dividend stocks provide a steady income stream that can help offset the rising costs of goods and services. Lastly, dividend stocks are often considered “all-weather” investments, meaning they perform well in both good and bad economic conditions.The stocks on this list are some of the best dividend stocks to buy during periods of inflation. These established companies have strong operating models and are trading at a discount. Now is the time to invest in these companies.Johnson & Johnson (JNJ)Johnson & Johnson(NYSE:JNJ) is a diversified company with a strong track record of financial stability. Plus it is a reliable dividend payer. It has increased its dividend for 60 consecutive years, making it an attractive choice among the best dividend stocks to buy.Johnson & Johnson offers investors a fair amount of downside protection.In particular, the company’s focus on essential goods is often viewed as a “recession-resistant” business. Consumers still need Johnson & Johnson’s products even when spending is tight. With its broad range of products, this company has a competitive edge and is growing steadily. There are many benefits to investing in it, such as stability and growth.Johnson & Johnson also happens to be trading at a huge discount after reporting its second-quarter results. The company’s sales were up 3.0%– beating analyst estimates. The company’s adjusted operational growth grew 8.1%.Plus, its adjusted earnings per share increased 4.4% from last year even as the company decided to lower its profitability outlook for the full year. In the current climate, cutting guidance has an outsized effect on any stock. However, on the positive side, shares of the multinational conglomerate are trading at a nice discount to their 52-week high.For all these reasons, Johnson & Johnson is an ideal dividend stock for long-term investors.3M Company (MMM)3M Company(NYSE:MMM) is a household name in many countries, with operations spanning the globe. It is best known for its health care products like bandages and masks, but they also produce consumer goods such as Post-It notes that you can find at your local grocery store or gas station.3M also produces other valuable surgical products, such as drapes, gowns, and masks. In addition, the company manufactures various products for the electronics and energy industries, including batteries, solar panels, and LCD screens. 3M is a global innovation leader and has more than 60,000 products to its name.During times of inflation, the companies that will do well tend to be diversified conglomerates. 3M ticks that box because it has a product range that users will demand regardless of economic circumstances.3M has the distinction of being a Dividend King. This is a select group of companies that have raised dividends yearly for at least the past 50 years, which makes this among the more reliable dividend stocks to buy. 3M has increased its annual dividend payout formore than 64 consecutive yearsof increases, which places it in an elite category.Dicks Sporting Goods (DKS)Dick’s Sporting Goods(NYSE:DKS) has been a consistent performer for investors over the past few years. In these difficult economic times, it has managed to post strong numbers, showing the robustness of its business model. Dick’s has staying power making it one of the dividend stocks to buy and hold in the long term.The stock is down almost 15% in the year thus far. The economy is slowing down, the inflation rate is rising and people are worrying more about their investments. This, in turn, causes pressure on stocks like Dick’s Sporting Goods.The pandemic was a boon for sporting goods companies. Therefore, the company now faces tough year-over-year comparisons. However, Dick’s Sporting Goods is doing well considering the macro-economic environment.In the last four quarters, it has consistently beat analyst expectations. Yes, revenues are declining; in the latest quarter, the top line shrank by 7.49%, and EPS fell 27.57% year on year. Also, the company is projecting comps to decline between 2% and 8%versus earlier guidance of flat to down 4%. However, management deserves credit for navigating the ship in troubled waters.Besides, the company’s yearly dividend payout is a great way to shield yourself from the effects of volatility during these times. DKS has increased its dividend regularly, and its latest offering of 49 cents translates into an excellent yield.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":10,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9908636341,"gmtCreate":1659370146983,"gmtModify":1705979618088,"author":{"id":"3582962119812367","authorId":"3582962119812367","name":"Daniel12321","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a4ffcb9551bf9fffa55a10cf8b531d6","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582962119812367","authorIdStr":"3582962119812367"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9908636341","repostId":"1142849270","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1142849270","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1659367195,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1142849270?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-01 23:19","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Income Obsession Sweeps Across Asset Classes as Stocks Swerve","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1142849270","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Dividend ETFs, fixed-income in demand amid equity volatilityFed pivot optimism fuels S&P 500 to best","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Dividend ETFs, fixed-income in demand amid equity volatility</li><li>Fed pivot optimism fuels S&amp;P 500 to best month since Nov 2020</li></ul><p>Behind the scenes of the latest rebound in stocks is a growing penchant for steady income streams as risk appetite runs hot and cold this year.</p><p>In the $6.6 trillion exchange-traded fund arena, three dividend-focused ETFs rank among the top 10 in terms of equity inflows, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. The leader, the $36.5 billion Schwab US Dividend Equity ETF (ticker SCHD), has only posted five outflows this year.</p><p>In the bond market, a mix of dip-buying behavior and growth concerns has sparked a fierce rally in Treasuries after benchmark yields hit multiyear highs last month. Billions have been funneled into corporate debt, with the S&amp;P 500’s earnings yield holding the slimmest advantage to the average yield on blue-chip bonds in over a decade.</p><p>The demand for coupon-clipping and reliable payouts casts a cautious light on the biggest two-day rally on record following the Federal Reserve’s rate decision. While Fed Chair Jerome Powell on Wednesday raised the potential for smaller rate hikes in the future, skeptics warn that still-high inflation will prevent a pivot and send the economy into a recession. Against that backdrop, it makes sense to play it safe, according to AlphaTrAI’s Max Gokhman.</p><p>“The common denominator is defense,” said Gokhman, the firm’s chief investment officer. “High-quality corporate debt and buying stocks of companies with resilient balance sheets that can afford to pay a consistent dividend without worrying about excess leverage or margin pressure makes sense.”</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e85bc40de18118437b82218c7aeb3032\" tg-width=\"698\" tg-height=\"392\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>While the S&amp;P 500 has soared 9% in July, on track for its biggest month of gains since November 2020, the index is still down 13% this year. Strong earnings have recently reassured traders, but uncertainty around a US recession and the path of the Fed’s rate hikes has kept traders on their toes.</p><p>The back-and-forth nature of stocks has made bonds more appealing to some investors. The average yield on investment-grade bonds is currently 4.35% while the S&amp;P 500 “pays out” about 4.8% in earnings. That’s close to the smallest gap since 2010.</p><p>“Really where we’re starting to see opportunity is credit markets,” Russ Koesterich, portfolio manager of BlackRock’s global allocation fund, said on Bloomberg Television. “If we’re going to be in an environment where equity is going to be choppy over the next few months, one of the things you can do in your portfolio is you can add carry. You can add income.”</p><p>Relatively high yields on investment-grade bonds means unlike much of the past decade, investors don’t even have to “dive down” in quality for worthwhile returns, according to Karissa McDonough of Community Bank Trust Services. That’s an attractive proposition with recession fears on high alert.</p><p>“In corporate bonds, especially high-quality corporates, we’re seeing over 5% yields in some of those areas, which we haven’t seen in a long time,” McDonough, a fixed-income strategist, said in a Bloomberg Television interview. “That’s real money, real income and a good opportunity as long as you’re selective.”</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/daa38c68313f0bc1c0866bde4a87bc3b\" tg-width=\"698\" tg-height=\"392\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Similarly, a volatile stock market this year has pushed investors toward ETFs that somewhat guarantee a stable income. SCHD, which has garnered nearly $8.3 billion this year, is on track to surpass 2021’s record $9.8 billion haul. And more than $6.3 billion has flowed into the $11.5 billion JPMorgan Equity Premium Income ETF (JEPI) year-to-date, while the $46.1 billion Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF (VYM) has taken in $6 billion in 2022 -- a record.</p><p>ETF issuers have also been quick to try and capitalize on the trend. Launches and applications for income-oriented funds have multiplied this year, with strategies ranging from buying stocks of dividend-paying companies to selling call options on the S&amp;P 500.</p><p>But the hunt for income isn’t as simple as chasing the stocks with the highest payouts, according to Richard Bernstein Advisors’s Dan Suzuki, whose firm has been adding high-quality dividend stocks and long-duration bonds in recent weeks.</p><p>“High-dividend payers are like high-yield bonds -- there’s a risk priced in that the dividend gets cut,” said Suzuki, the firm’s deputy chief investment officer. But longer-dated Treasuries and higher-quality dividend stocks are “both an attractive way to get defensive in the portfolio.”</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Income Obsession Sweeps Across Asset Classes as Stocks Swerve</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIncome Obsession Sweeps Across Asset Classes as Stocks Swerve\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-01 23:19 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-07-30/income-obsession-sweeps-across-asset-classes-as-stocks-swerve?srnd=etfs><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Dividend ETFs, fixed-income in demand amid equity volatilityFed pivot optimism fuels S&P 500 to best month since Nov 2020Behind the scenes of the latest rebound in stocks is a growing penchant for ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-07-30/income-obsession-sweeps-across-asset-classes-as-stocks-swerve?srnd=etfs\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SCHD":"Schwab US Dividend Equity ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-07-30/income-obsession-sweeps-across-asset-classes-as-stocks-swerve?srnd=etfs","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1142849270","content_text":"Dividend ETFs, fixed-income in demand amid equity volatilityFed pivot optimism fuels S&P 500 to best month since Nov 2020Behind the scenes of the latest rebound in stocks is a growing penchant for steady income streams as risk appetite runs hot and cold this year.In the $6.6 trillion exchange-traded fund arena, three dividend-focused ETFs rank among the top 10 in terms of equity inflows, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. The leader, the $36.5 billion Schwab US Dividend Equity ETF (ticker SCHD), has only posted five outflows this year.In the bond market, a mix of dip-buying behavior and growth concerns has sparked a fierce rally in Treasuries after benchmark yields hit multiyear highs last month. Billions have been funneled into corporate debt, with the S&P 500’s earnings yield holding the slimmest advantage to the average yield on blue-chip bonds in over a decade.The demand for coupon-clipping and reliable payouts casts a cautious light on the biggest two-day rally on record following the Federal Reserve’s rate decision. While Fed Chair Jerome Powell on Wednesday raised the potential for smaller rate hikes in the future, skeptics warn that still-high inflation will prevent a pivot and send the economy into a recession. Against that backdrop, it makes sense to play it safe, according to AlphaTrAI’s Max Gokhman.“The common denominator is defense,” said Gokhman, the firm’s chief investment officer. “High-quality corporate debt and buying stocks of companies with resilient balance sheets that can afford to pay a consistent dividend without worrying about excess leverage or margin pressure makes sense.”While the S&P 500 has soared 9% in July, on track for its biggest month of gains since November 2020, the index is still down 13% this year. Strong earnings have recently reassured traders, but uncertainty around a US recession and the path of the Fed’s rate hikes has kept traders on their toes.The back-and-forth nature of stocks has made bonds more appealing to some investors. The average yield on investment-grade bonds is currently 4.35% while the S&P 500 “pays out” about 4.8% in earnings. That’s close to the smallest gap since 2010.“Really where we’re starting to see opportunity is credit markets,” Russ Koesterich, portfolio manager of BlackRock’s global allocation fund, said on Bloomberg Television. “If we’re going to be in an environment where equity is going to be choppy over the next few months, one of the things you can do in your portfolio is you can add carry. You can add income.”Relatively high yields on investment-grade bonds means unlike much of the past decade, investors don’t even have to “dive down” in quality for worthwhile returns, according to Karissa McDonough of Community Bank Trust Services. That’s an attractive proposition with recession fears on high alert.“In corporate bonds, especially high-quality corporates, we’re seeing over 5% yields in some of those areas, which we haven’t seen in a long time,” McDonough, a fixed-income strategist, said in a Bloomberg Television interview. “That’s real money, real income and a good opportunity as long as you’re selective.”Similarly, a volatile stock market this year has pushed investors toward ETFs that somewhat guarantee a stable income. SCHD, which has garnered nearly $8.3 billion this year, is on track to surpass 2021’s record $9.8 billion haul. And more than $6.3 billion has flowed into the $11.5 billion JPMorgan Equity Premium Income ETF (JEPI) year-to-date, while the $46.1 billion Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF (VYM) has taken in $6 billion in 2022 -- a record.ETF issuers have also been quick to try and capitalize on the trend. Launches and applications for income-oriented funds have multiplied this year, with strategies ranging from buying stocks of dividend-paying companies to selling call options on the S&P 500.But the hunt for income isn’t as simple as chasing the stocks with the highest payouts, according to Richard Bernstein Advisors’s Dan Suzuki, whose firm has been adding high-quality dividend stocks and long-duration bonds in recent weeks.“High-dividend payers are like high-yield bonds -- there’s a risk priced in that the dividend gets cut,” said Suzuki, the firm’s deputy chief investment officer. But longer-dated Treasuries and higher-quality dividend stocks are “both an attractive way to get defensive in the portfolio.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":34,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9965784169,"gmtCreate":1670025792457,"gmtModify":1676538289905,"author":{"id":"3582962119812367","authorId":"3582962119812367","name":"Daniel12321","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a4ffcb9551bf9fffa55a10cf8b531d6","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582962119812367","authorIdStr":"3582962119812367"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9965784169","repostId":"1152464265","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1152464265","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1670022054,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1152464265?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-12-03 07:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"11 Hours With Sam Bankman-Fried: Inside the Bahamian Penthouse After FTX’s Fall","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1152464265","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Sam Bankman-Fried’s $30 million Bahamas penthouse looks like a dorm after the students have left for winter break. The dishwasher is full. Towels are piled in the laundry room. Bat streamers from a Ha","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb8b5a354d9d687bd95cdff74dddc508\" tg-width=\"1214\" tg-height=\"811\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Sam Bankman-Fried’s $30 million Bahamas penthouse looks like a dorm after the students have left for winter break. The dishwasher is full. Towels are piled in the laundry room. Bat streamers from a Halloween party are still hanging from a doorway. Two boxes of Legos sit on the floor of one bedroom. And then there are the shoes—dozens of sneakers and heels piled in the foyer, left behind by employees who fled the island of New Providence last month when his cryptocurrency exchangeFTX imploded.</p><p>“It’s been an interesting few weeks,” Bankman-Fried says in a chipper tone as he greets me. It’s a muggy Saturday afternoon, eight days after FTX filed for bankruptcy. He’s shoeless, in white gym socks, a red T-shirt and wrinkled khaki shorts. His standard uniform.</p><p>This isn’t part of the typical tour Bankman-Fried gave to the many reporters who came to tell the tale of the boy-genius-crypto-billionaire who slept on a beanbag chair next to his desk and only got rich so he could give it all away, and it’s easy to see why. The apartment is at the top of one of the luxury condo buildings that border a marina in a gated community called Albany. Outside, deckhands buff the stanchions of a 200-foot yacht owned by a fracking billionaire. A bronze replica of Wall Street’s<i>Charging Bull</i>statue stands on the lawn, which is as manicured as the residents. I feel like I’ve crash-landed on an alien planet populated solely by the very rich and the people who work for them.</p><p>Bankman-Fried leads me down a marble-floored hallway to a small bedroom, where he perches on a plush brown couch. Always known for being jittery, he taps his foot so hard it rattles a coffee table, smacks gum and rubs his index finger with his thumb like he’s twirling an invisible fidget spinner. But he seems almost cheerful as he explains why he’s invited me into his 12,000-square-foot bolthole, against the advice of his lawyers, even as investigators from theUS Department of Justice probewhether he used customers’ funds to prop up his hedge fund, a crime that could send him to prison for years. (Spoiler alert: It sure looks like he did.)</p><p>“What I’m focusing on is what I can do, right now, to try and make things as right as possible,” Bankman-Fried says. “I can’t do that if I’m just focused on covering my ass.”</p><p>But he seems to be doing just that, with me here and all along the apology tour he’ll later embark on, which will include a video appearance at a<i>New York Times</i>conference and an interview on<i>Good Morning America</i>. He’s been trying to blame his firm’s failure on a hazy combination of comically poor bookkeeping, wildly misjudged risks and complete ignorance of what his hedge fund was doing. In other words, an alumnus of both MIT and the elite Wall Street trading firmJane Streetis arguing that he was just dumb with the numbers—not pulling a conscious fraud. Talking in detail to journalists about what’s certain to be the subject of extensive litigation seems like an unusual strategy, but it makes sense: The press helped him create his only-honest-man-in-crypto image, so why not use them to talk his way out of trouble?</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/79b2ba9ef6da8454146f200cdc460f6e\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"666\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Bankman-Fried after an interview on<i>Bloomberg Wealth With David Rubenstein</i>on Aug. 17, 2022.Photographer: Jeenah Moon/Bloomberg</p><p>He doesn’t say so, but one reason he might be willing to speak with me is that I’m one of the reporters who helped build him up. After spending two days at FTX’s offices in February, I flew past the brightred flagsat his company—its lack of corporate governance, the ties to his Alameda Research hedge fund, its profligate spending on marketing, the fact that it operated largely outside US jurisdiction. Iwrote a storyfocused on whether Bankman-Fried would follow through on his plans to donate huge sums to charity and his connections to an unusual philanthropic movement calledeffective altruism.</p><p>It wasn’t the most embarrassingly puffy of the many puff pieces that came out about him. (“After my interview with SBF, I was convinced: I was talking to a future trillionaire,” one writer said in an article commissioned by a venture capital firm.) But my tone wasn’t entirely dissimilar. “Bankman-Fried is a thought experiment from a college philosophy seminar come to life,” I wrote. “Should someone who wants to save the world first amass as much money and power as possible, or will the pursuit corrupt him along the way?” Now it seems pretty clear that a better question would’ve been whether the business was ascam from the start.</p><p>I tell Bankman-Fried I want to talk about the decisions that led to FTX’s collapse, and why he took them. Earlier in the week, inlate-night DM exchangeswith a<i>Vox</i>reporter and on a phone call with a YouTuber, he made comments that many interpreted as an admission that everything he said was a lie. (“So the ethics stuff, mostly a front?” the<i>Vox</i>reporter asked. “Yeah,” Bankman-Fried replied.) He’d spoken so cynically about his motivations that to many it seemed like a comic book character was pulling off his mask to reveal the villain who’d been hiding there all along.</p><p>I set out on this visit with a different working theory. Maybe I was feeling the tug of my past reporting, but I still didn’t think the talk about charity was all made up. Since he was a teenager, Bankman-Fried has described himself as utilitarian—following the philosophy that the correct action is the one likely to result in the greatest good for the greatest number of people. He said his endgame was making and donating enough money to prevent pandemics and stop runaway artificial intelligence from destroying humanity. Faced with a crisis, and believing he was the hero of his own sci-fi movie, he might’ve thought it was right to make a crazy, even illegal, gamble to save his company.</p><p>To be clear, if that’s what happened, it’s the logic of a megalomaniac, not a martyr. The money wasn’t his to gamble with, and “the ends justify the means” is a cliché of bad ethics. But if it’s what he believed, he might still think he’d made the right decision, even if it didn’t work out. It seemed to me that’s what he meant when he messaged<i>Vox</i>, “The worst quadrant is sketchy + lose. The best is win + ???” I want to probe that, in part because it might get him to talk more candidly about what had happened to his customers’ money.</p><p>I decide to approach the topic gingerly, on terms I think he’ll relate to, as it seems he’s in less of a crime-confess-y mood. He’s said he likes to evaluate decisions in terms of expected value—the odds of success times the likely payoff—so I begin by asking: “Should I judge you by your impact, or by the expected value of your decision?”</p><p>“When all is said and done, what matters is your actual realized impact. Like, that’s what actually matters to the world,” he says. “But, obviously, there’s luck.”</p><p>That’s the in I’m looking for. For the next 11 hours—with breaks for fundraising calls and a very awkward dinner—I try to get him to tell me exactly what he meant. He denies that he’s committed fraud or lied to anyone and blames FTX’s failure on his sloppiness and inattention. But at points it seems like he’s saying he got<i>un</i>lucky, or miscalculated the odds.</p><p>Bankman-Fried tells me he’s still got a chance to raise $8 billion to save his company. He seems delusional, or committed to pretending this is still an error he can fix, and either way, the few supporters remaining at his penthouse seem unlikely to set him straight. The grim scene reminds me a bit of the end of<i>Scarface</i>, with Tony Montana holed up in his mansion, semi-incoherent, his unknown enemies sneaking closer. But instead of mountains of cocaine, Bankman-Fried is clinging to spreadsheet tabs filled with wildly optimistic cryptocurrency valuations.</p><p>Think of FTX like an offshore casino. Customers sent in money, then gambled on the price of hundreds ofcryptocurrencies—not just Bitcoin or Ether, but more obscure coins. In crypto slang, the latter are called shitcoins, because almost no one knows what they’re for. But in the past few years, otherwise respectable people, from retired dentists to heads of state, convinced themselves that these coins werethe future of finance. Or at least that enough other people might think so to make the price go up. Bankman-Fried’s casino was growing so fast that earlier this year some of Silicon Valley’s top venture capitalists invested in it at a $32 billion valuation.</p><p>The problem surfaced last month. After a rival crypto-casino kingpin raised concerns about FTX on Twitter, customers rushed to cash in their chips. But when Bankman-Fried’s casino opened the vault, their money wasn’t there. According to multiple news reports citing people familiar with the matter, it had been secretly lent to Bankman-Fried’s hedge fund, which had lost it in some mix of bad bets, insane spending and perhaps something even sketchier. John Ray III, the lawyer who’s now chief executive officer of the bankrupt exchange, has alleged in court that FTX covered up the loans using secret software.</p><p>Bankman-Fried denies this again to me. Returning to the framework of expected value, I ask him if the decisions he made were correct.</p><p>“I think that I’ve made a lot of plus-EV decisions and a few very large boneheaded decisions,” he says. “Certainly in retrospect, those very large decisions were very bad, and may end up overwhelming everything else.”</p><p>The chain of events, in his telling, started about four years ago. Bankman-Fried was in Hong Kong, where he’d moved from Berkeley, California, with a small group of friends from the effective-altruism community. Together they ran a successful startup crypto hedge fund,Alameda Research. (The name itself was an early example of his casual attitude toward rules—it was chosen to avoid scrutiny from banks, which frequently closed its accounts. “If we named our company like, Shitcoin Daytraders Inc., they’d probably just reject us,” Bankman-Fried told a podcaster in 2021. “But, I mean, no one doesn’t like research.”)</p><p>The fund had made millions of dollars exploiting inefficiencies across cryptocurrency exchanges. (Ex-employees, even those otherwise critical of Bankman-Fried, have said this is true, though some have said Alameda then lost some of that money because of bad trades and mismanagement.) Bankman-Fried and his friends began considering starting their own exchange—what would become FTX.</p><p>The way Bankman-Fried later described this decision reveals his attitude toward risk. He estimated there was an 80% chance the exchange would fail to attract enough customers. But he’s said one should always take a bet, even a long-shot one, if the expected value is positive, calling this stance “risk neutral.” But it actually meant he would take risks that to a normal person sound insane. “As an individual, to make a bet where it’s like, ‘I’m going to gamble my $10 billion and either get $20 billion or $0, with equal probability,’ would be madness,” Rob Wiblin, host of an effective-altruism podcast, said to Bankman-Fried in April. “But from an altruistic point of view, it’s not so crazy.”</p><p>“Completely agree,” Bankman-Fried replied. He told another interviewer that he’d make a bet described as a chance of “51% you double the earth out somewhere else, 49% it all disappears.”</p><p>Bankman-Fried and his friends jump-started FTX by having Alameda provide liquidity. It was a huge conflict of interest. Imagine if the top executives at an online poker site also entered its high-stakes tournaments—the temptation to cheat by peeking at other players’ cards would be huge. But Bankman-Fried assured customers that Alameda would play by the same rules as everyone else, and enough people came to trade that FTX took off. “Having Alameda provide liquidity on FTX early on was the right decision, because I think that helped make FTX a great product for users, even though it obviously ended up backfiring,” Bankman-Fried tells me.</p><p>Part of FTX’s appeal was that it was mostly a derivatives exchange, which allowed customers to trade “on margin,” meaning with borrowed money. That’s a key to his defense. Bankman-Fried argues no one should be surprised that big traders on FTX, including Alameda, were borrowing from the exchange, and that his fund’s position just somehow got out of hand. “Everyone was borrowing and lending,” he says. “That’s been its calling card.” But FTX’s normal margin system, crypto traders tell me, would never have permitted anyone to accumulate a debt that looked like Alameda’s. When I ask if Alameda had to follow the same margin rules as other traders, he admits the fund did not. “There was more leeway,” he says.</p><p>That wouldn’t have been so important had Alameda stuck to its original trading strategy of relatively low-risk arbitrage trades. But in 2020 and 2021, as Bankman-Fried became the face of FTX, amajor political donorand a favorite of Silicon Valley, Alameda faced more competition in that market-making business. It shifted its strategy to, essentially, gambling on shitcoins.</p><p>As Caroline Ellison, then Alameda’s co-CEO, explained in aMarch 2021 post on Twitter: “The way to really make money is figure out when the market is going to go up and get balls long before that,” she wrote, adding that she’d learned the strategy from the classic market-manipulation memoir,<i>Reminiscences of a Stock Operator.</i>Her co-CEO said in another tweet that a profitable strategy was buying Dogecoin becauseElon Musktweeted about it.</p><p>The reason they were bragging about what sounded like a high schooler’s tactics was that it was working better than anyone knew. When we spoke in February 2022, Bankman-Fried told me that Alameda had made $1 billion the previous year. He now says that was Alameda’s arbitrage profits. On top of that, its shitcoins gained tens of billions of dollars of value, at least on paper. “If you mark everything to market, I do believe at one point my net worth got to $100 billion,” Bankman-Fried says.</p><p>Any trader would know this wasn’t nearly as good as it sounded. The large pile of tokens couldn’t be turned into cash without crashing the market. Much of it was even made of tokens that Bankman-Fried and his friends had spun up themselves, such as FTT, Serum or Maps—the official currency of a nonsensical crypto-meets-mapping app—or were closely affiliated with, like Solana. While Bankman-Fried acknowledges the pile was worth something less than $100 billion—maybe he’d mark it down a third, he says—he maintains that he could have extracted quite a lot of real money from his holdings.</p><p>But he didn’t. Instead, Alameda borrowed billions of dollars from other crypto lenders—not FTX—and sunk them into more crypto bets. Publicly, Bankman-Fried presented himself as an ethical operator andcalled for regulationto rein in crypto’s worst excesses. But through his hedge fund, he’d actually become the market’s most degenerate gambler. I ask him why, if he really thought he could sell the tokens, he didn’t. “Why not, like, take some risk off?”</p><p>“OK. In retrospect, absolutely. That would’ve been the right, like, unambiguously the right thing to do,” he says. “But also it was just, like, hilariously well-capitalized.”</p><p>Near the peak of the great shitcoin boom, in April 2022, FTX hosted a lavish conference at a resort and casino in Nassau. It was Bankman-Fried’s coming out party. He got to share the stage with quarterback Tom Brady. Also there: former Prime Minister Tony Blair and ex-President Bill Clinton, who extended a fatherly hand when the young crypto executive seemed nervous. The author Michael Lewis, who’s working on a book about Bankman-Fried, praised him in a fawning interview onstage. “You’re breaking land speed records. And I don’t think people are really noticing what’s happened, just how dramatic the revolution has become,” Lewis said, asking when crypto would take over Wall Street.</p><p>The next month, thecrypto crash began. It started when a popular set of coins called Terra and Luna collapsed, wiping out $60 billion. Terra and Luna were almost openly a Ponzi scheme, but some of the biggest crypto funds had invested in them with borrowed money and went bankrupt. This made the lenders who’d lent billions of dollars to Alameda nervous. They asked Alameda to repay the loans, with real money. It needed billions of dollars, fast, or it would go bust.</p><p>There are two different versions of what happened next. Two people with knowledge of the matter told me that Ellison, by then the sole head of Alameda, had told her side of the story to her staff amid the crisis. Ellison said that she, Bankman-Fried and his two top lieutenants—Gary Wang and Nishad Singh—had discussed the shortfall. Instead of admitting Alameda’s failure, they decided to use FTX customer funds to cover it, according to the people. If that’s true, all four executives would’ve knowingly committed fraud. (Ellison, Wang and Singh didn’t respond to messages seeking comment.)</p><p>When I put this to Bankman-Fried, he screws up his eyes, furrows his eyebrows, puts his hands in his hair and thinks for a few seconds.</p><p>“So, it’s not how I remember what happened,” Bankman-Fried says. But he surprises me by acknowledging that there had been a meeting, post-Luna crash, where they debated what to do about Alameda’s debts. The way he tells it, he was packing for a trip to DC and “only kibitzing on parts of the discussion.” It didn’t seem like a crisis, he says. It was a matter of extending a bit more credit to a fund that already traded on margin and still had a pile of collateral worth way more than enough to cover the loan. (Although the pile of collateral was largely shitcoins.)</p><p>“That was the point at which Alameda’s margin position on FTX got, well, it got more leveraged substantially,” he says. “Obviously, in retrospect, we should’ve just said no. I sort of didn’t realize then how large the position had gotten.”</p><p>“You were all aware there was a chance this would not work,” I say.</p><p>“That’s right,” he says. “But I thought that the risk was substantially smaller.”</p><p>I try to imagine what he could’ve been thinking. If FTX had liquidated Alameda’s position, the fund would’ve gone bankrupt, and even if the exchange didn’t take direct losses, customers would’ve lost confidence in it. Bankman-Fried points out that the companies that lent money to Alameda might have failed, too, causing a hard-to-predict cascade of events.</p><p>“Now let’s say you don’t margin call Alameda,” I posit. “Maybe you think there’s like a 70% chance everything will be OK, it’ll all work out?”</p><p>“Yes, but also in the cases where it didn’t work out, I thought the downside was not nearly as high as it was,” he says. “I thought that there was the risk of a much smaller hole. I thought it was going to be manageable.”</p><p>Bankman-Fried pulls out his laptop (an Acer Predator) and opens a spreadsheet to show what he meant. It’s similar to thebalance sheethe reportedly showed investors when he was seeking a last-minute bailout, which he says consolidated FTX and Alameda’s positions because by then the fund had defaulted on its debt. On one line—labeled “What I *thought*”—he lists $8.9 billion in debts and way more than enough money to pay them: $9 billion in liquid assets, $15.4 billion in “less liquid” assets and $3.2 billion in “illiquid” ones. He tells me this was more or less the position he was considering when he had the meeting with the other executives.</p><p>“It looks naively to me like, you know, there’s still some significant liabilities out there, but, like, we should be able to cover it,” he says.</p><p>“So what’s the problem, then?”</p><p>Bankman-Fried points to another place on the spreadsheet, which he says shows the actual truth of the situation at the time of the meeting. This one shows similar numbers, but with $8 billion less liquid assets.</p><p>“What’s the difference between these two rows here?” he asks.</p><p>“You didn’t have $8 billion in cash that you thought you had,” I say.</p><p>“That’s correct. Yes.”</p><p>“You misplaced $8 billion?” I ask.</p><p>“Misaccounted,” Bankman-Fried says, sounding almost proud of his explanation. Sometimes, he says, customers would wire money to Alameda Research instead of sending it directly to FTX. (Some banks were more willing to work with the hedge fund than the exchange, for some reason.) He claims that somehow, FTX’s internal accounting system double-counted this money, essentially crediting it to both the exchange and the fund.</p><p>That still doesn’t explain why the money was gone. “Where did the $8 billion go?” I ask.</p><p>To answer, Bankman-Fried creates a new tab on the spreadsheet and starts typing. He lists Alameda and FTX’s biggest cash flows. One of the biggest expenses is paying a net $2.5 billion toBinance, a rival, to buy out its investment in FTX. He also lists $250 million for real estate, $1.5 billion for expenses, $4 billion for venture capital investments, $1.5 billion for acquisitions and $1 billion labeled “fuckups.” Even accounting for both firms’ profits, and all the venture capital money raised by FTX, it tallies to negative $6.5 billion.</p><p>Bankman-Fried is telling me that the billions of dollars customers wired to Alameda is gone simply because the companies spent way more than they made. He claims he paid so little attention to his expenses that he didn’t realize he was spending more than he was taking in. “I was real lazy about this mental math,” the former physics major says. He creates another column in his spreadsheet and types in much lower numbers to show what he thought he was spending at the time.</p><p>It seems to me like he is, without saying it exactly, blaming his underlings for FTX’s failure, especially Ellison, the head of Alameda. The two had dated and lived together at times. She was part of Bankman-Fried’s Future Fund, which was supposed to distribute FTX and Alameda’s earnings to effective-altruist-approved causes. It seems unlikely she would’ve blown billions of dollars without asking. “People might take, like, the TLDR as, like, it was my ex-girlfriend’s fault,” I tell him. “That is sort of what you’re saying.”</p><p>“I think the biggest failure was that it wasn’t entirely clear whose fault it was,” he says.</p><p>Bankman-Fried tells me he has to make a call. After a while, the sun goes down and I’m hungry. I’m allowed to join a group of Bankman-Fried’s supporters for dinner, as long as I don’t mention their names.</p><p>With the curtains drawn, the living room looks considerably less grand than it does in pictures. I’ve been told that FTX employees gathered here amid the crisis, while Bankman-Fried worked in another apartment. Addled by stress and sleep deprivation, they wept and hugged one another. Most didn’t say goodbye as they left the island, one by one. Many flew back to their childhood homes to be with their parents.</p><p>The supporters at the dinner tell me they feel like the press has been unfair. They say that Bankman-Fried and his friends weren’t the polyamorous partiers the tabloids have portrayed and that they did little besides work. Earlier in the week, a Bahamian man who’d served as FTX’s round-the-clock chauffeur and gofer also told me the reports weren’t true. “People make it seem like this big<i>Wolf of Wall Street</i>thing,” he said. “Bro, it was a bunch of nerds.”</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b87535c118f069e782e80762398d0a9c\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"1000\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Illustration: Maxime Mouysset for Bloomberg Businessweek</p><p>By the time I finish my plate of off-the-record rice and beans, Bankman-Fried is free again. We return to the study. He’s barefoot now, having balled up his gym socks and stuffed them behind a couch cushion. He lies on the couch, his computer on his lap. The light from the screen casts shadows of his curls on his forehead.</p><p>I notice a skin-colored patch on his arm. He tells me it’s a transdermal antidepressant, selegiline. I ask if he’s using it as a performance enhancer or to treat depression. “Nothing’s binary,” he says. “But I’ve been borderline depressed for my whole life.” He adds that he also sometimes takes Adderall—“10 milligrams at a time, a few times a day”—as did some of his colleagues, but that talk of drug use is overblown. “I don’t think that was the problem,” he says.</p><p>I tell Bankman-Fried my theory about his motivation, sidestepping the question of whether he misappropriated customer funds. Bankman-Fried denies that his world-saving goals made him willing to take giant gambles. As we talk more, it seems like he’s saying he made some kind of bet but hadn’t calculated the expected value properly.</p><p>“I was comfortable taking the risk that, like, I may end up kind of falling flat,” he says, staring at his computer screen, where he had pulled up a game and was leading an army of cartoon knights and fairies into battle. “But what actually happened was disastrously bad and, like, no significant chance of that happening would’ve made sense to risk, and that was a fuckup. Like, that was a mass miscalculation in downside.”</p><p>I read Bankman-Fried a post by Will MacAskill, one of the founders of the effective-altruism movement. He recruited Bankman-Fried into it when he was a junior at MIT and this year had joined the board of Bankman-Fried’s Future Fund. On Nov. 11,MacAskill wrote on Twitterthat Bankman-Fried had betrayed him. “For years, the EA community has emphasized the importance of integrity, honesty and the respect of common-sense moral constraints,” MacAskill wrote. “If customer funds were misused, then Sam did not listen; he must have thought he was above such considerations.”</p><p>Bankman-Fried closes his eyes and pushes his toes against one arm of the couch, clenching the other arm with his hands. “That’s not how I view what happened,” he says. “But I did fuck up. I think really what I want to say is, like, I’m really fucking sorry. By far the worst thing about this is that it will tarnish the reputation of people who are dedicated to doing nothing but what they thought was best for the world.” Bankman-Fried trails off. On his computer screen, his army casts spells and swings swords unattended.</p><p>I ask what he’d say to people who are comparing him to the most famous Ponzi schemer of recent times. “Bernie Madoff also said he had good intentions and gave a lot to charity,” I say.</p><p>“FTX was a legitimate, profitable, thriving business. And I fucked up by, like, allowing a margin position to get too big on it. One that endangered the platform. It was a completely unnecessary and unforced error, which like maybe I got super unlucky on, but, like, that was my bad.”</p><p>“It fucking sucks,” he adds. “But it wasn’t inherent to what the business was. It was just a fuckup. A huge fuckup.”</p><p>To me, it doesn’t really seem like a fuckup. Even if I believe that he misplaced and accidentally spent $8 billion, he’s already told me that Alameda had been allowed to violate FTX’s margin rules. This wasn’t some little technical thing. He was so proud of FTX’s margining system that he’d been lobbying regulators for it to be used on US exchanges instead of traditional safeguards. In May, Bankman-Fried himself said on Twitter that exchanges should never extend credit to a fund and put other customers’ assets at risk. He wrote that the idea an exchange would even have that discretion was “scary.” I read him the tweets and ask: “Isn’t that, like, exactly what you did, right around that time?”</p><p>“Yeah, I guess that’s kind of fair,” he says. Then he seems to claim that this was evidence the rules he was lobbying for were a good idea. “I think this is one of the things that would have stopped.”</p><p>“You had a rule on your platform. You didn’t follow it,” I say.</p><p>By now it’s past midnight, and—operating without the benefit of any prescription stimulants—I’m worn out. I ask Bankman-Fried if I can see the apartment’s deck before I leave. Outside, crickets chirp as we stand by the pool. The marina is dark, lit only by the spotlights of yachts. As I say goodbye, Bankman-Fried bites into a burger bun and starts talking about potential bailouts with one of his supporters.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>11 Hours With Sam Bankman-Fried: Inside the Bahamian Penthouse After FTX’s Fall</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n11 Hours With Sam Bankman-Fried: Inside the Bahamian Penthouse After FTX’s Fall\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-03 07:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2022-12-02/inside-sam-bankman-fried-s-bahamian-penthouse-after-ftx-s-collapse?srnd=premium-asia><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Sam Bankman-Fried’s $30 million Bahamas penthouse looks like a dorm after the students have left for winter break. The dishwasher is full. Towels are piled in the laundry room. Bat streamers from a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2022-12-02/inside-sam-bankman-fried-s-bahamian-penthouse-after-ftx-s-collapse?srnd=premium-asia\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GBTC":"Grayscale Bitcoin Trust","COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2022-12-02/inside-sam-bankman-fried-s-bahamian-penthouse-after-ftx-s-collapse?srnd=premium-asia","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1152464265","content_text":"Sam Bankman-Fried’s $30 million Bahamas penthouse looks like a dorm after the students have left for winter break. The dishwasher is full. Towels are piled in the laundry room. Bat streamers from a Halloween party are still hanging from a doorway. Two boxes of Legos sit on the floor of one bedroom. And then there are the shoes—dozens of sneakers and heels piled in the foyer, left behind by employees who fled the island of New Providence last month when his cryptocurrency exchangeFTX imploded.“It’s been an interesting few weeks,” Bankman-Fried says in a chipper tone as he greets me. It’s a muggy Saturday afternoon, eight days after FTX filed for bankruptcy. He’s shoeless, in white gym socks, a red T-shirt and wrinkled khaki shorts. His standard uniform.This isn’t part of the typical tour Bankman-Fried gave to the many reporters who came to tell the tale of the boy-genius-crypto-billionaire who slept on a beanbag chair next to his desk and only got rich so he could give it all away, and it’s easy to see why. The apartment is at the top of one of the luxury condo buildings that border a marina in a gated community called Albany. Outside, deckhands buff the stanchions of a 200-foot yacht owned by a fracking billionaire. A bronze replica of Wall Street’sCharging Bullstatue stands on the lawn, which is as manicured as the residents. I feel like I’ve crash-landed on an alien planet populated solely by the very rich and the people who work for them.Bankman-Fried leads me down a marble-floored hallway to a small bedroom, where he perches on a plush brown couch. Always known for being jittery, he taps his foot so hard it rattles a coffee table, smacks gum and rubs his index finger with his thumb like he’s twirling an invisible fidget spinner. But he seems almost cheerful as he explains why he’s invited me into his 12,000-square-foot bolthole, against the advice of his lawyers, even as investigators from theUS Department of Justice probewhether he used customers’ funds to prop up his hedge fund, a crime that could send him to prison for years. (Spoiler alert: It sure looks like he did.)“What I’m focusing on is what I can do, right now, to try and make things as right as possible,” Bankman-Fried says. “I can’t do that if I’m just focused on covering my ass.”But he seems to be doing just that, with me here and all along the apology tour he’ll later embark on, which will include a video appearance at aNew York Timesconference and an interview onGood Morning America. He’s been trying to blame his firm’s failure on a hazy combination of comically poor bookkeeping, wildly misjudged risks and complete ignorance of what his hedge fund was doing. In other words, an alumnus of both MIT and the elite Wall Street trading firmJane Streetis arguing that he was just dumb with the numbers—not pulling a conscious fraud. Talking in detail to journalists about what’s certain to be the subject of extensive litigation seems like an unusual strategy, but it makes sense: The press helped him create his only-honest-man-in-crypto image, so why not use them to talk his way out of trouble?Bankman-Fried after an interview onBloomberg Wealth With David Rubensteinon Aug. 17, 2022.Photographer: Jeenah Moon/BloombergHe doesn’t say so, but one reason he might be willing to speak with me is that I’m one of the reporters who helped build him up. After spending two days at FTX’s offices in February, I flew past the brightred flagsat his company—its lack of corporate governance, the ties to his Alameda Research hedge fund, its profligate spending on marketing, the fact that it operated largely outside US jurisdiction. Iwrote a storyfocused on whether Bankman-Fried would follow through on his plans to donate huge sums to charity and his connections to an unusual philanthropic movement calledeffective altruism.It wasn’t the most embarrassingly puffy of the many puff pieces that came out about him. (“After my interview with SBF, I was convinced: I was talking to a future trillionaire,” one writer said in an article commissioned by a venture capital firm.) But my tone wasn’t entirely dissimilar. “Bankman-Fried is a thought experiment from a college philosophy seminar come to life,” I wrote. “Should someone who wants to save the world first amass as much money and power as possible, or will the pursuit corrupt him along the way?” Now it seems pretty clear that a better question would’ve been whether the business was ascam from the start.I tell Bankman-Fried I want to talk about the decisions that led to FTX’s collapse, and why he took them. Earlier in the week, inlate-night DM exchangeswith aVoxreporter and on a phone call with a YouTuber, he made comments that many interpreted as an admission that everything he said was a lie. (“So the ethics stuff, mostly a front?” theVoxreporter asked. “Yeah,” Bankman-Fried replied.) He’d spoken so cynically about his motivations that to many it seemed like a comic book character was pulling off his mask to reveal the villain who’d been hiding there all along.I set out on this visit with a different working theory. Maybe I was feeling the tug of my past reporting, but I still didn’t think the talk about charity was all made up. Since he was a teenager, Bankman-Fried has described himself as utilitarian—following the philosophy that the correct action is the one likely to result in the greatest good for the greatest number of people. He said his endgame was making and donating enough money to prevent pandemics and stop runaway artificial intelligence from destroying humanity. Faced with a crisis, and believing he was the hero of his own sci-fi movie, he might’ve thought it was right to make a crazy, even illegal, gamble to save his company.To be clear, if that’s what happened, it’s the logic of a megalomaniac, not a martyr. The money wasn’t his to gamble with, and “the ends justify the means” is a cliché of bad ethics. But if it’s what he believed, he might still think he’d made the right decision, even if it didn’t work out. It seemed to me that’s what he meant when he messagedVox, “The worst quadrant is sketchy + lose. The best is win + ???” I want to probe that, in part because it might get him to talk more candidly about what had happened to his customers’ money.I decide to approach the topic gingerly, on terms I think he’ll relate to, as it seems he’s in less of a crime-confess-y mood. He’s said he likes to evaluate decisions in terms of expected value—the odds of success times the likely payoff—so I begin by asking: “Should I judge you by your impact, or by the expected value of your decision?”“When all is said and done, what matters is your actual realized impact. Like, that’s what actually matters to the world,” he says. “But, obviously, there’s luck.”That’s the in I’m looking for. For the next 11 hours—with breaks for fundraising calls and a very awkward dinner—I try to get him to tell me exactly what he meant. He denies that he’s committed fraud or lied to anyone and blames FTX’s failure on his sloppiness and inattention. But at points it seems like he’s saying he gotunlucky, or miscalculated the odds.Bankman-Fried tells me he’s still got a chance to raise $8 billion to save his company. He seems delusional, or committed to pretending this is still an error he can fix, and either way, the few supporters remaining at his penthouse seem unlikely to set him straight. The grim scene reminds me a bit of the end ofScarface, with Tony Montana holed up in his mansion, semi-incoherent, his unknown enemies sneaking closer. But instead of mountains of cocaine, Bankman-Fried is clinging to spreadsheet tabs filled with wildly optimistic cryptocurrency valuations.Think of FTX like an offshore casino. Customers sent in money, then gambled on the price of hundreds ofcryptocurrencies—not just Bitcoin or Ether, but more obscure coins. In crypto slang, the latter are called shitcoins, because almost no one knows what they’re for. But in the past few years, otherwise respectable people, from retired dentists to heads of state, convinced themselves that these coins werethe future of finance. Or at least that enough other people might think so to make the price go up. Bankman-Fried’s casino was growing so fast that earlier this year some of Silicon Valley’s top venture capitalists invested in it at a $32 billion valuation.The problem surfaced last month. After a rival crypto-casino kingpin raised concerns about FTX on Twitter, customers rushed to cash in their chips. But when Bankman-Fried’s casino opened the vault, their money wasn’t there. According to multiple news reports citing people familiar with the matter, it had been secretly lent to Bankman-Fried’s hedge fund, which had lost it in some mix of bad bets, insane spending and perhaps something even sketchier. John Ray III, the lawyer who’s now chief executive officer of the bankrupt exchange, has alleged in court that FTX covered up the loans using secret software.Bankman-Fried denies this again to me. Returning to the framework of expected value, I ask him if the decisions he made were correct.“I think that I’ve made a lot of plus-EV decisions and a few very large boneheaded decisions,” he says. “Certainly in retrospect, those very large decisions were very bad, and may end up overwhelming everything else.”The chain of events, in his telling, started about four years ago. Bankman-Fried was in Hong Kong, where he’d moved from Berkeley, California, with a small group of friends from the effective-altruism community. Together they ran a successful startup crypto hedge fund,Alameda Research. (The name itself was an early example of his casual attitude toward rules—it was chosen to avoid scrutiny from banks, which frequently closed its accounts. “If we named our company like, Shitcoin Daytraders Inc., they’d probably just reject us,” Bankman-Fried told a podcaster in 2021. “But, I mean, no one doesn’t like research.”)The fund had made millions of dollars exploiting inefficiencies across cryptocurrency exchanges. (Ex-employees, even those otherwise critical of Bankman-Fried, have said this is true, though some have said Alameda then lost some of that money because of bad trades and mismanagement.) Bankman-Fried and his friends began considering starting their own exchange—what would become FTX.The way Bankman-Fried later described this decision reveals his attitude toward risk. He estimated there was an 80% chance the exchange would fail to attract enough customers. But he’s said one should always take a bet, even a long-shot one, if the expected value is positive, calling this stance “risk neutral.” But it actually meant he would take risks that to a normal person sound insane. “As an individual, to make a bet where it’s like, ‘I’m going to gamble my $10 billion and either get $20 billion or $0, with equal probability,’ would be madness,” Rob Wiblin, host of an effective-altruism podcast, said to Bankman-Fried in April. “But from an altruistic point of view, it’s not so crazy.”“Completely agree,” Bankman-Fried replied. He told another interviewer that he’d make a bet described as a chance of “51% you double the earth out somewhere else, 49% it all disappears.”Bankman-Fried and his friends jump-started FTX by having Alameda provide liquidity. It was a huge conflict of interest. Imagine if the top executives at an online poker site also entered its high-stakes tournaments—the temptation to cheat by peeking at other players’ cards would be huge. But Bankman-Fried assured customers that Alameda would play by the same rules as everyone else, and enough people came to trade that FTX took off. “Having Alameda provide liquidity on FTX early on was the right decision, because I think that helped make FTX a great product for users, even though it obviously ended up backfiring,” Bankman-Fried tells me.Part of FTX’s appeal was that it was mostly a derivatives exchange, which allowed customers to trade “on margin,” meaning with borrowed money. That’s a key to his defense. Bankman-Fried argues no one should be surprised that big traders on FTX, including Alameda, were borrowing from the exchange, and that his fund’s position just somehow got out of hand. “Everyone was borrowing and lending,” he says. “That’s been its calling card.” But FTX’s normal margin system, crypto traders tell me, would never have permitted anyone to accumulate a debt that looked like Alameda’s. When I ask if Alameda had to follow the same margin rules as other traders, he admits the fund did not. “There was more leeway,” he says.That wouldn’t have been so important had Alameda stuck to its original trading strategy of relatively low-risk arbitrage trades. But in 2020 and 2021, as Bankman-Fried became the face of FTX, amajor political donorand a favorite of Silicon Valley, Alameda faced more competition in that market-making business. It shifted its strategy to, essentially, gambling on shitcoins.As Caroline Ellison, then Alameda’s co-CEO, explained in aMarch 2021 post on Twitter: “The way to really make money is figure out when the market is going to go up and get balls long before that,” she wrote, adding that she’d learned the strategy from the classic market-manipulation memoir,Reminiscences of a Stock Operator.Her co-CEO said in another tweet that a profitable strategy was buying Dogecoin becauseElon Musktweeted about it.The reason they were bragging about what sounded like a high schooler’s tactics was that it was working better than anyone knew. When we spoke in February 2022, Bankman-Fried told me that Alameda had made $1 billion the previous year. He now says that was Alameda’s arbitrage profits. On top of that, its shitcoins gained tens of billions of dollars of value, at least on paper. “If you mark everything to market, I do believe at one point my net worth got to $100 billion,” Bankman-Fried says.Any trader would know this wasn’t nearly as good as it sounded. The large pile of tokens couldn’t be turned into cash without crashing the market. Much of it was even made of tokens that Bankman-Fried and his friends had spun up themselves, such as FTT, Serum or Maps—the official currency of a nonsensical crypto-meets-mapping app—or were closely affiliated with, like Solana. While Bankman-Fried acknowledges the pile was worth something less than $100 billion—maybe he’d mark it down a third, he says—he maintains that he could have extracted quite a lot of real money from his holdings.But he didn’t. Instead, Alameda borrowed billions of dollars from other crypto lenders—not FTX—and sunk them into more crypto bets. Publicly, Bankman-Fried presented himself as an ethical operator andcalled for regulationto rein in crypto’s worst excesses. But through his hedge fund, he’d actually become the market’s most degenerate gambler. I ask him why, if he really thought he could sell the tokens, he didn’t. “Why not, like, take some risk off?”“OK. In retrospect, absolutely. That would’ve been the right, like, unambiguously the right thing to do,” he says. “But also it was just, like, hilariously well-capitalized.”Near the peak of the great shitcoin boom, in April 2022, FTX hosted a lavish conference at a resort and casino in Nassau. It was Bankman-Fried’s coming out party. He got to share the stage with quarterback Tom Brady. Also there: former Prime Minister Tony Blair and ex-President Bill Clinton, who extended a fatherly hand when the young crypto executive seemed nervous. The author Michael Lewis, who’s working on a book about Bankman-Fried, praised him in a fawning interview onstage. “You’re breaking land speed records. And I don’t think people are really noticing what’s happened, just how dramatic the revolution has become,” Lewis said, asking when crypto would take over Wall Street.The next month, thecrypto crash began. It started when a popular set of coins called Terra and Luna collapsed, wiping out $60 billion. Terra and Luna were almost openly a Ponzi scheme, but some of the biggest crypto funds had invested in them with borrowed money and went bankrupt. This made the lenders who’d lent billions of dollars to Alameda nervous. They asked Alameda to repay the loans, with real money. It needed billions of dollars, fast, or it would go bust.There are two different versions of what happened next. Two people with knowledge of the matter told me that Ellison, by then the sole head of Alameda, had told her side of the story to her staff amid the crisis. Ellison said that she, Bankman-Fried and his two top lieutenants—Gary Wang and Nishad Singh—had discussed the shortfall. Instead of admitting Alameda’s failure, they decided to use FTX customer funds to cover it, according to the people. If that’s true, all four executives would’ve knowingly committed fraud. (Ellison, Wang and Singh didn’t respond to messages seeking comment.)When I put this to Bankman-Fried, he screws up his eyes, furrows his eyebrows, puts his hands in his hair and thinks for a few seconds.“So, it’s not how I remember what happened,” Bankman-Fried says. But he surprises me by acknowledging that there had been a meeting, post-Luna crash, where they debated what to do about Alameda’s debts. The way he tells it, he was packing for a trip to DC and “only kibitzing on parts of the discussion.” It didn’t seem like a crisis, he says. It was a matter of extending a bit more credit to a fund that already traded on margin and still had a pile of collateral worth way more than enough to cover the loan. (Although the pile of collateral was largely shitcoins.)“That was the point at which Alameda’s margin position on FTX got, well, it got more leveraged substantially,” he says. “Obviously, in retrospect, we should’ve just said no. I sort of didn’t realize then how large the position had gotten.”“You were all aware there was a chance this would not work,” I say.“That’s right,” he says. “But I thought that the risk was substantially smaller.”I try to imagine what he could’ve been thinking. If FTX had liquidated Alameda’s position, the fund would’ve gone bankrupt, and even if the exchange didn’t take direct losses, customers would’ve lost confidence in it. Bankman-Fried points out that the companies that lent money to Alameda might have failed, too, causing a hard-to-predict cascade of events.“Now let’s say you don’t margin call Alameda,” I posit. “Maybe you think there’s like a 70% chance everything will be OK, it’ll all work out?”“Yes, but also in the cases where it didn’t work out, I thought the downside was not nearly as high as it was,” he says. “I thought that there was the risk of a much smaller hole. I thought it was going to be manageable.”Bankman-Fried pulls out his laptop (an Acer Predator) and opens a spreadsheet to show what he meant. It’s similar to thebalance sheethe reportedly showed investors when he was seeking a last-minute bailout, which he says consolidated FTX and Alameda’s positions because by then the fund had defaulted on its debt. On one line—labeled “What I *thought*”—he lists $8.9 billion in debts and way more than enough money to pay them: $9 billion in liquid assets, $15.4 billion in “less liquid” assets and $3.2 billion in “illiquid” ones. He tells me this was more or less the position he was considering when he had the meeting with the other executives.“It looks naively to me like, you know, there’s still some significant liabilities out there, but, like, we should be able to cover it,” he says.“So what’s the problem, then?”Bankman-Fried points to another place on the spreadsheet, which he says shows the actual truth of the situation at the time of the meeting. This one shows similar numbers, but with $8 billion less liquid assets.“What’s the difference between these two rows here?” he asks.“You didn’t have $8 billion in cash that you thought you had,” I say.“That’s correct. Yes.”“You misplaced $8 billion?” I ask.“Misaccounted,” Bankman-Fried says, sounding almost proud of his explanation. Sometimes, he says, customers would wire money to Alameda Research instead of sending it directly to FTX. (Some banks were more willing to work with the hedge fund than the exchange, for some reason.) He claims that somehow, FTX’s internal accounting system double-counted this money, essentially crediting it to both the exchange and the fund.That still doesn’t explain why the money was gone. “Where did the $8 billion go?” I ask.To answer, Bankman-Fried creates a new tab on the spreadsheet and starts typing. He lists Alameda and FTX’s biggest cash flows. One of the biggest expenses is paying a net $2.5 billion toBinance, a rival, to buy out its investment in FTX. He also lists $250 million for real estate, $1.5 billion for expenses, $4 billion for venture capital investments, $1.5 billion for acquisitions and $1 billion labeled “fuckups.” Even accounting for both firms’ profits, and all the venture capital money raised by FTX, it tallies to negative $6.5 billion.Bankman-Fried is telling me that the billions of dollars customers wired to Alameda is gone simply because the companies spent way more than they made. He claims he paid so little attention to his expenses that he didn’t realize he was spending more than he was taking in. “I was real lazy about this mental math,” the former physics major says. He creates another column in his spreadsheet and types in much lower numbers to show what he thought he was spending at the time.It seems to me like he is, without saying it exactly, blaming his underlings for FTX’s failure, especially Ellison, the head of Alameda. The two had dated and lived together at times. She was part of Bankman-Fried’s Future Fund, which was supposed to distribute FTX and Alameda’s earnings to effective-altruist-approved causes. It seems unlikely she would’ve blown billions of dollars without asking. “People might take, like, the TLDR as, like, it was my ex-girlfriend’s fault,” I tell him. “That is sort of what you’re saying.”“I think the biggest failure was that it wasn’t entirely clear whose fault it was,” he says.Bankman-Fried tells me he has to make a call. After a while, the sun goes down and I’m hungry. I’m allowed to join a group of Bankman-Fried’s supporters for dinner, as long as I don’t mention their names.With the curtains drawn, the living room looks considerably less grand than it does in pictures. I’ve been told that FTX employees gathered here amid the crisis, while Bankman-Fried worked in another apartment. Addled by stress and sleep deprivation, they wept and hugged one another. Most didn’t say goodbye as they left the island, one by one. Many flew back to their childhood homes to be with their parents.The supporters at the dinner tell me they feel like the press has been unfair. They say that Bankman-Fried and his friends weren’t the polyamorous partiers the tabloids have portrayed and that they did little besides work. Earlier in the week, a Bahamian man who’d served as FTX’s round-the-clock chauffeur and gofer also told me the reports weren’t true. “People make it seem like this bigWolf of Wall Streetthing,” he said. “Bro, it was a bunch of nerds.”Illustration: Maxime Mouysset for Bloomberg BusinessweekBy the time I finish my plate of off-the-record rice and beans, Bankman-Fried is free again. We return to the study. He’s barefoot now, having balled up his gym socks and stuffed them behind a couch cushion. He lies on the couch, his computer on his lap. The light from the screen casts shadows of his curls on his forehead.I notice a skin-colored patch on his arm. He tells me it’s a transdermal antidepressant, selegiline. I ask if he’s using it as a performance enhancer or to treat depression. “Nothing’s binary,” he says. “But I’ve been borderline depressed for my whole life.” He adds that he also sometimes takes Adderall—“10 milligrams at a time, a few times a day”—as did some of his colleagues, but that talk of drug use is overblown. “I don’t think that was the problem,” he says.I tell Bankman-Fried my theory about his motivation, sidestepping the question of whether he misappropriated customer funds. Bankman-Fried denies that his world-saving goals made him willing to take giant gambles. As we talk more, it seems like he’s saying he made some kind of bet but hadn’t calculated the expected value properly.“I was comfortable taking the risk that, like, I may end up kind of falling flat,” he says, staring at his computer screen, where he had pulled up a game and was leading an army of cartoon knights and fairies into battle. “But what actually happened was disastrously bad and, like, no significant chance of that happening would’ve made sense to risk, and that was a fuckup. Like, that was a mass miscalculation in downside.”I read Bankman-Fried a post by Will MacAskill, one of the founders of the effective-altruism movement. He recruited Bankman-Fried into it when he was a junior at MIT and this year had joined the board of Bankman-Fried’s Future Fund. On Nov. 11,MacAskill wrote on Twitterthat Bankman-Fried had betrayed him. “For years, the EA community has emphasized the importance of integrity, honesty and the respect of common-sense moral constraints,” MacAskill wrote. “If customer funds were misused, then Sam did not listen; he must have thought he was above such considerations.”Bankman-Fried closes his eyes and pushes his toes against one arm of the couch, clenching the other arm with his hands. “That’s not how I view what happened,” he says. “But I did fuck up. I think really what I want to say is, like, I’m really fucking sorry. By far the worst thing about this is that it will tarnish the reputation of people who are dedicated to doing nothing but what they thought was best for the world.” Bankman-Fried trails off. On his computer screen, his army casts spells and swings swords unattended.I ask what he’d say to people who are comparing him to the most famous Ponzi schemer of recent times. “Bernie Madoff also said he had good intentions and gave a lot to charity,” I say.“FTX was a legitimate, profitable, thriving business. And I fucked up by, like, allowing a margin position to get too big on it. One that endangered the platform. It was a completely unnecessary and unforced error, which like maybe I got super unlucky on, but, like, that was my bad.”“It fucking sucks,” he adds. “But it wasn’t inherent to what the business was. It was just a fuckup. A huge fuckup.”To me, it doesn’t really seem like a fuckup. Even if I believe that he misplaced and accidentally spent $8 billion, he’s already told me that Alameda had been allowed to violate FTX’s margin rules. This wasn’t some little technical thing. He was so proud of FTX’s margining system that he’d been lobbying regulators for it to be used on US exchanges instead of traditional safeguards. In May, Bankman-Fried himself said on Twitter that exchanges should never extend credit to a fund and put other customers’ assets at risk. He wrote that the idea an exchange would even have that discretion was “scary.” I read him the tweets and ask: “Isn’t that, like, exactly what you did, right around that time?”“Yeah, I guess that’s kind of fair,” he says. Then he seems to claim that this was evidence the rules he was lobbying for were a good idea. “I think this is one of the things that would have stopped.”“You had a rule on your platform. You didn’t follow it,” I say.By now it’s past midnight, and—operating without the benefit of any prescription stimulants—I’m worn out. I ask Bankman-Fried if I can see the apartment’s deck before I leave. Outside, crickets chirp as we stand by the pool. The marina is dark, lit only by the spotlights of yachts. As I say goodbye, Bankman-Fried bites into a burger bun and starts talking about potential bailouts with one of his supporters.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":137,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9917333001,"gmtCreate":1665441104803,"gmtModify":1676537604641,"author":{"id":"3582962119812367","authorId":"3582962119812367","name":"Daniel12321","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a4ffcb9551bf9fffa55a10cf8b531d6","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582962119812367","authorIdStr":"3582962119812367"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9917333001","repostId":"1129204631","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1129204631","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1665415321,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1129204631?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-10 23:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The 2022 Bear Market Cycle May Be Far From Over","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1129204631","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryThe bear markets of 1937, 2000, and 2008 suggest a short-term bottom may be found in October.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>The bear markets of 1937, 2000, and 2008 suggest a short-term bottom may be found in October.</li><li>However, that doesn&#39;t mean it will be the bottom.</li><li>Whether the market bottoms or not will depend on interest rates.</li></ul><p>The bear market of 2022 still has further to run based on historical trends and valuations versus interest rates. The 2022 S&amp;P 500 continues to trace bear markets of 1937, 2000, and 2008, which is more an indication of the ebb and flow of human nature than past and future events.</p><p>The mid-August peak served as another turning point for the S&amp;P 500, leading to a new September low. At this point, the historical references of the great bear markets of the past suggest another low is due sometime around October 25, give or take a couple of days, followed by an upward move and perhaps some consolidation.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/49a5b3b87d56cd4bd4441ffe78d7917b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"249\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p><b>An October New Low?</b></p><p>From a perspective of events that could lead to a continued decline and bottom at the end of October, a better-than-feared earnings season could be one such event. Whether a late October low will be the bottom or a short-term low is yet to be seen, but given how high valuations are, more work will need to be done for the bottom to be put in place.</p><p>It&#39;s All About Rates</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 earnings yield for 2022 minus the 10-Yr real yield is currently 4.56%. Historically, that is at the lower end of the range and associated with market tops, not bottoms. For example, the 4.5% region was visited in December 2016, January 2018, October 2018, and June 2020. The only case that didn&#39;t see a significant decline was in December 2016, when the index consolidated sideways for nearly three months.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cbe9b42330ab57d8cb7fcad9ad287b66\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"249\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>Since 2014, the average spread between the S&amp;P 500 current year earnings yields and the 10-Yr real yield has been around 5.2%, with a standard deviation range of 4.87% to 5.57%. Currently, the S&amp;P 500 premium to the 10-yr TIP is more than two standard deviations from the average. The spread would need to rise by 30 bps to get the index back to within one standard deviation, or by 65 bps to return to the historical average.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/716b902ff03171d3d6501fc54cd5e4ff\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"348\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>Another 9% Decline?</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 has an earnings yield based on 2022 earnings estimates of 6.17%. An increase of 30 bps would increase the yield to 6.47%, and an increase of 60 bps would increase the yield to 6.77%. The earnings yield is simply the inverse of the PE ratio, which means the current PE ratio is 16.2 and would need to fall to 15.4 or 14.7 to bring the S&amp;P 500 back to a historically average fair value.</p><p>With the earnings estimates for 2022 currently tracking at $224.73, it would value the S&amp;P 500 in a range of 3,460 to 3,300. That would equal a further decline in the index of around 5% to 9%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65e039fb8224601f45af66fa8d842e51\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"346\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>What will tell us when this bear market is over is more likely to be interest rates and the dollar index, as these will likely provide a much better signal than other metrics. Because if rates continue to rise, the S&amp;P 500 will need to continue to decline with the pace of rates risings.</p><p>Rate Cuts?</p><p>Typically, the 10-year minus the 2-year spread tells us when the Fed is about to start cutting rates. It is at the point where the spread begins to rise that tends to serve as the best reference for the end of a rate-hiking cycle and the start of a rate-cutting cycle.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/446920a17ef8c631f042c4e6c66a83c5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"249\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>As the market anticipates Fed rate cuts, the 2-Year yield begins to fall back to the 10-Year. It is the opposite, with the 10-2 year spread just recently making a new low in September and showing very little if no signs of turning higher.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4ebdd77840eddc274c550c53a8b6d962\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"249\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>Meanwhile, the best way to determine when the 10-2 Year spread may begin to rise is by looking at the unemployment rate because that tends to be a very good predictor of where yields are heading. Typically, when the unemployment starts to run higher, it indicates that the 10-2 year spread will widen, suggesting a rate cut cycle is near.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a37e7dfd2cd888c6f32ea805482bc8b2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"249\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>In this case, Friday&#39;s job report showed the unemployment rate fell to 3.5% from 3.7% last month and back to its July lows. That leaves the spread between the ten and 2-year Treasury nowhere close to putting in a bottom, and means the Fed is probably nowhere close to finishing its rate hiking cycle.</p><p>If the Fed is nowhere close to finishing its rate hiking cycle, then rates probably aren&#39;t finished rising. Thus, the equity market bear market cycle probably still has further to run, even if the equity market finds a short-term bottom at the end of October.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The 2022 Bear Market Cycle May Be Far From Over</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe 2022 Bear Market Cycle May Be Far From Over\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-10 23:22 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4545463-2022-bear-market-cycle-far-from-over><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryThe bear markets of 1937, 2000, and 2008 suggest a short-term bottom may be found in October.However, that doesn't mean it will be the bottom.Whether the market bottoms or not will depend on ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4545463-2022-bear-market-cycle-far-from-over\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4545463-2022-bear-market-cycle-far-from-over","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1129204631","content_text":"SummaryThe bear markets of 1937, 2000, and 2008 suggest a short-term bottom may be found in October.However, that doesn't mean it will be the bottom.Whether the market bottoms or not will depend on interest rates.The bear market of 2022 still has further to run based on historical trends and valuations versus interest rates. The 2022 S&P 500 continues to trace bear markets of 1937, 2000, and 2008, which is more an indication of the ebb and flow of human nature than past and future events.The mid-August peak served as another turning point for the S&P 500, leading to a new September low. At this point, the historical references of the great bear markets of the past suggest another low is due sometime around October 25, give or take a couple of days, followed by an upward move and perhaps some consolidation.BloombergAn October New Low?From a perspective of events that could lead to a continued decline and bottom at the end of October, a better-than-feared earnings season could be one such event. Whether a late October low will be the bottom or a short-term low is yet to be seen, but given how high valuations are, more work will need to be done for the bottom to be put in place.It's All About RatesThe S&P 500 earnings yield for 2022 minus the 10-Yr real yield is currently 4.56%. Historically, that is at the lower end of the range and associated with market tops, not bottoms. For example, the 4.5% region was visited in December 2016, January 2018, October 2018, and June 2020. The only case that didn't see a significant decline was in December 2016, when the index consolidated sideways for nearly three months.BloombergSince 2014, the average spread between the S&P 500 current year earnings yields and the 10-Yr real yield has been around 5.2%, with a standard deviation range of 4.87% to 5.57%. Currently, the S&P 500 premium to the 10-yr TIP is more than two standard deviations from the average. The spread would need to rise by 30 bps to get the index back to within one standard deviation, or by 65 bps to return to the historical average.BloombergAnother 9% Decline?The S&P 500 has an earnings yield based on 2022 earnings estimates of 6.17%. An increase of 30 bps would increase the yield to 6.47%, and an increase of 60 bps would increase the yield to 6.77%. The earnings yield is simply the inverse of the PE ratio, which means the current PE ratio is 16.2 and would need to fall to 15.4 or 14.7 to bring the S&P 500 back to a historically average fair value.With the earnings estimates for 2022 currently tracking at $224.73, it would value the S&P 500 in a range of 3,460 to 3,300. That would equal a further decline in the index of around 5% to 9%.BloombergWhat will tell us when this bear market is over is more likely to be interest rates and the dollar index, as these will likely provide a much better signal than other metrics. Because if rates continue to rise, the S&P 500 will need to continue to decline with the pace of rates risings.Rate Cuts?Typically, the 10-year minus the 2-year spread tells us when the Fed is about to start cutting rates. It is at the point where the spread begins to rise that tends to serve as the best reference for the end of a rate-hiking cycle and the start of a rate-cutting cycle.BloombergAs the market anticipates Fed rate cuts, the 2-Year yield begins to fall back to the 10-Year. It is the opposite, with the 10-2 year spread just recently making a new low in September and showing very little if no signs of turning higher.BloombergMeanwhile, the best way to determine when the 10-2 Year spread may begin to rise is by looking at the unemployment rate because that tends to be a very good predictor of where yields are heading. Typically, when the unemployment starts to run higher, it indicates that the 10-2 year spread will widen, suggesting a rate cut cycle is near.BloombergIn this case, Friday's job report showed the unemployment rate fell to 3.5% from 3.7% last month and back to its July lows. That leaves the spread between the ten and 2-year Treasury nowhere close to putting in a bottom, and means the Fed is probably nowhere close to finishing its rate hiking cycle.If the Fed is nowhere close to finishing its rate hiking cycle, then rates probably aren't finished rising. Thus, the equity market bear market cycle probably still has further to run, even if the equity market finds a short-term bottom at the end of October.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":66,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9916037094,"gmtCreate":1664485753218,"gmtModify":1676537462030,"author":{"id":"3582962119812367","authorId":"3582962119812367","name":"Daniel12321","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a4ffcb9551bf9fffa55a10cf8b531d6","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582962119812367","authorIdStr":"3582962119812367"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9916037094","repostId":"1152954810","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1152954810","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1664466614,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1152954810?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-29 23:50","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Fed Officials Reinforce Rate-Hike Calls, Say Markets Got Message","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1152954810","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Bullard says markets have ‘digested’ message on rate hikesMester says rates are ‘still not even in r","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Bullard says markets have ‘digested’ message on rate hikes</li><li>Mester says rates are ‘still not even in restricted territory’</li></ul><p>Federal Reserve officials reiterated Thursday that they will keep raising interest rates to restrain high inflation, and that markets are now understanding the message.</p><p>“If you look at the dots, it does look like the committee is expecting a fair amount of additional moves this year,” St. Louis Fed President James Bullard told a virtual emerging-market forum, referring to the bank’s so-called dot plot of projections. “I think that that was digested by markets and does seem to be the right interpretation.”</p><p>Cleveland Fed chief Loretta Mester repeated that officials are resolute in their quest to increase rates to a level seen as restrictive.</p><p>“Real interest rates -- judged by the expectations over the next year of inflation -- have to be in positive territory and held there for a time,” she said earlier in an interview on CNBC. “We’re still not even in restricted territory on the funds rate.”</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/972431d8bf1881bb5d4349f65cfcd300\" tg-width=\"698\" tg-height=\"343\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Fed officials raised interest rates by 75 basis points on Sept. 21 for the third straight meeting, bringing the target for the benchmark federal funds rate to a range of 3% to 3.25%.</p><p>Their quarterly Summary of Economic Projections, or dot plot, shows a median forecast of rates reaching 4.4% by the end of this year, implying a further 1.25 percentage points of tightening over their remaining two meetings in November and December.</p><p>Mester said her forecast is probably a bit above the median path because she sees inflation being persistent, based on her conversations with businesses, community development groups and other sources.</p><p>“In my SEP I have inflation coming down, but we have to bring interest rates up to get that downward shift in inflation,” she said, adding that the US economy has so far been able to handle the higher interest rates.</p><h3>UK Turmoil</h3><p>She drew a distinction between US markets and what is happening in the UK, where the Bank of England announced Wednesday that it would launch unlimited bond buying to address market dysfunction. When the Fed announced its bond purchases in the early months of the pandemic, it did so at a time when it was also lowering rates to support the economy, she said.</p><p>The BOE faces some communication issues because it is lifting rates but needed to purchase assets, which is typically viewed as a method for easing monetary policy, in order to support financial stability, Mester said.</p><p>“It’s a challenging situation for them,” Mester said. “For financial stability reasons and for market functioning reasons they had to go in and buy bonds.”</p><p>“Market functioning is incredibly important because you won’t be able to hit any monetary policy goals if the markets aren’t functioning,” she said. “That’s different than worrying about volatility in the markets.” Mester said that so far, there had been no sign of dysfunction in US financial markets.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Fed Officials Reinforce Rate-Hike Calls, Say Markets Got Message</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFed Officials Reinforce Rate-Hike Calls, Say Markets Got Message\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-29 23:50 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-29/fed-s-bullard-says-markets-have-gotten-the-message-on-rate-hikes><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Bullard says markets have ‘digested’ message on rate hikesMester says rates are ‘still not even in restricted territory’Federal Reserve officials reiterated Thursday that they will keep raising ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-29/fed-s-bullard-says-markets-have-gotten-the-message-on-rate-hikes\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-29/fed-s-bullard-says-markets-have-gotten-the-message-on-rate-hikes","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1152954810","content_text":"Bullard says markets have ‘digested’ message on rate hikesMester says rates are ‘still not even in restricted territory’Federal Reserve officials reiterated Thursday that they will keep raising interest rates to restrain high inflation, and that markets are now understanding the message.“If you look at the dots, it does look like the committee is expecting a fair amount of additional moves this year,” St. Louis Fed President James Bullard told a virtual emerging-market forum, referring to the bank’s so-called dot plot of projections. “I think that that was digested by markets and does seem to be the right interpretation.”Cleveland Fed chief Loretta Mester repeated that officials are resolute in their quest to increase rates to a level seen as restrictive.“Real interest rates -- judged by the expectations over the next year of inflation -- have to be in positive territory and held there for a time,” she said earlier in an interview on CNBC. “We’re still not even in restricted territory on the funds rate.”Fed officials raised interest rates by 75 basis points on Sept. 21 for the third straight meeting, bringing the target for the benchmark federal funds rate to a range of 3% to 3.25%.Their quarterly Summary of Economic Projections, or dot plot, shows a median forecast of rates reaching 4.4% by the end of this year, implying a further 1.25 percentage points of tightening over their remaining two meetings in November and December.Mester said her forecast is probably a bit above the median path because she sees inflation being persistent, based on her conversations with businesses, community development groups and other sources.“In my SEP I have inflation coming down, but we have to bring interest rates up to get that downward shift in inflation,” she said, adding that the US economy has so far been able to handle the higher interest rates.UK TurmoilShe drew a distinction between US markets and what is happening in the UK, where the Bank of England announced Wednesday that it would launch unlimited bond buying to address market dysfunction. When the Fed announced its bond purchases in the early months of the pandemic, it did so at a time when it was also lowering rates to support the economy, she said.The BOE faces some communication issues because it is lifting rates but needed to purchase assets, which is typically viewed as a method for easing monetary policy, in order to support financial stability, Mester said.“It’s a challenging situation for them,” Mester said. “For financial stability reasons and for market functioning reasons they had to go in and buy bonds.”“Market functioning is incredibly important because you won’t be able to hit any monetary policy goals if the markets aren’t functioning,” she said. “That’s different than worrying about volatility in the markets.” Mester said that so far, there had been no sign of dysfunction in US financial markets.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":249,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9074860754,"gmtCreate":1658332849778,"gmtModify":1676536142382,"author":{"id":"3582962119812367","authorId":"3582962119812367","name":"Daniel12321","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a4ffcb9551bf9fffa55a10cf8b531d6","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582962119812367","authorIdStr":"3582962119812367"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"great","listText":"great","text":"great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9074860754","repostId":"2252243415","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2252243415","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1658310695,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2252243415?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-20 17:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"2 Stocks That Could Grow Sales 100% (or More) in 2 Years, According to Wall Street","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2252243415","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"These are two of the fastest-growing companies on the market.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Strong revenue growth is often an indicator of a high-quality business, especially if it&#39;s sustained over a long period of time. Many of the best-performing stocks have that trait in common. And few companies are growing their top lines more quickly than <b>CrowdStrike Holdings</b> and <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNOW\">Snowflake</a></b>.</p><p>Between fiscal 2022 and fiscal 2024 (ends Jan. 31, 2024), CrowdStrike and Snowflake are expected to see revenues soar 110% and 158%, respectively, according to Wall Street&#39;s consensus estimates. Better yet, these two stocks are backed by solid investment theses, and now looks like a good time to buy.</p><p>Here&#39;s why.</p><h2>1. CrowdStrike</h2><p>Cybersecurity specialist CrowdStrike is flourishing thanks to the unique architecture of its cloud platform. Many vendors burden endpoint devices by installing multiple software products, and those products often result in downtime due to required reboots. But CrowdStrike delivers 22 different software modules through a single lightweight agent that can be installed without a reboot. That makes adoption frictionless.</p><p>Additionally, CrowdStrike&#39;s platform captures trillions of security signals each week, helping its artificial intelligence engine predict and prevent even the most sophisticated attacks. In fact, as the market leader in endpoint security, CrowdStrike has more data than other vendors, which theoretically makes its AI models uniquely effective. That edge has propelled the company to the forefront of other cybersecurity verticals, including digital threat intelligence and incident response services.</p><p>Building on that momentum, CrowdStrike has delivered impressive growth on a consistent basis. Revenue skyrocketed 64% to $1.6 billion over the past year, and free cash flow climbed 49% to $481 million. Even so, CrowdStrike has hardly scratched the surface of its $58 billion market opportunity -- but investors have good reason to believe the company will continue to grow at a rapid clip.</p><p>CrowdStrike has a track record of strong execution and rapid innovation. It recently introduced the industry&#39;s first fully managed identity threat protection solution, meaning organizations that lack the time or talent can outsource identity protection to CrowdStrike&#39;s team of experts. That product enhances its already-robust suite of managed services, including endpoint security and cloud workload protection. More broadly, that type of innovation should keep CrowdStrike ahead of the competition. That&#39;s why this growth stock is a buy.</p><h2>2. Snowflake</h2><p>Snowflake helps organizations make sense of big data. Its cloud platform (known as the Data Cloud) supports workloads like data ingestion, storage, and analytics, as well as more sophisticated use cases like application development and data sharing. The Snowflake Data Marketplace even makes it possible for organizations to buy and sell data sets.</p><p>Beyond that broad functionality, Snowflake benefits from its targeted approach to customer acquisition. The company offers industry-specific versions of its platform tailored to end markets like financial services, healthcare, and retail. That strategy has helped Snowflake win big customers like <b>Mastercard</b>, <b>McKesson</b>, and <b>PepsiCo</b>.</p><p>In the past year, Snowflake saw its customer base grow 40%, and the average customer spent 74% more, evidencing its ability to form sticky relationships. In turn, revenue soared 98% to $1.4 billion, and the company generated a positive free cash flow of $227 million, up from a loss of $75 million in the prior year. But management sees a $90 billion addressable market, meaning Snowflake still has a lot of room to grow.</p><p>Last summer the company launched  Powered by Snowflake, a program that helps customers build and operate applications in the Snowflake Data Cloud. Over 425 organizations had joined the program as of fiscal Q1 2023 (ended April 30, 2022), up 48% from the previous quarter. That rapid adoption highlights the value Snowflake creates for its clients.</p><p>More broadly, Snowflake benefits from a powerful network effect. The more customers adopt the Data Cloud, the more data can be exchanged on the platform, creating incremental value for every user. That virtuous cycle should keep Snowflake growing for the foreseeable future. In fact, management believes product revenue will hit $10 billion by fiscal 2029 (ends Jan. 31, 2029), representing sevenfold growth in less than seven years. That&#39;s why this stock is worth buying today.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>2 Stocks That Could Grow Sales 100% (or More) in 2 Years, According to Wall Street</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n2 Stocks That Could Grow Sales 100% (or More) in 2 Years, According to Wall Street\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-20 17:51 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/07/19/2-growth-stocks-that-could-double-sales-in-2-years/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Strong revenue growth is often an indicator of a high-quality business, especially if it's sustained over a long period of time. Many of the best-performing stocks have that trait in common. And few ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/07/19/2-growth-stocks-that-could-double-sales-in-2-years/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CRWD":"CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.","SNOW":"Snowflake"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/07/19/2-growth-stocks-that-could-double-sales-in-2-years/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2252243415","content_text":"Strong revenue growth is often an indicator of a high-quality business, especially if it's sustained over a long period of time. Many of the best-performing stocks have that trait in common. And few companies are growing their top lines more quickly than CrowdStrike Holdings and Snowflake.Between fiscal 2022 and fiscal 2024 (ends Jan. 31, 2024), CrowdStrike and Snowflake are expected to see revenues soar 110% and 158%, respectively, according to Wall Street's consensus estimates. Better yet, these two stocks are backed by solid investment theses, and now looks like a good time to buy.Here's why.1. CrowdStrikeCybersecurity specialist CrowdStrike is flourishing thanks to the unique architecture of its cloud platform. Many vendors burden endpoint devices by installing multiple software products, and those products often result in downtime due to required reboots. But CrowdStrike delivers 22 different software modules through a single lightweight agent that can be installed without a reboot. That makes adoption frictionless.Additionally, CrowdStrike's platform captures trillions of security signals each week, helping its artificial intelligence engine predict and prevent even the most sophisticated attacks. In fact, as the market leader in endpoint security, CrowdStrike has more data than other vendors, which theoretically makes its AI models uniquely effective. That edge has propelled the company to the forefront of other cybersecurity verticals, including digital threat intelligence and incident response services.Building on that momentum, CrowdStrike has delivered impressive growth on a consistent basis. Revenue skyrocketed 64% to $1.6 billion over the past year, and free cash flow climbed 49% to $481 million. Even so, CrowdStrike has hardly scratched the surface of its $58 billion market opportunity -- but investors have good reason to believe the company will continue to grow at a rapid clip.CrowdStrike has a track record of strong execution and rapid innovation. It recently introduced the industry's first fully managed identity threat protection solution, meaning organizations that lack the time or talent can outsource identity protection to CrowdStrike's team of experts. That product enhances its already-robust suite of managed services, including endpoint security and cloud workload protection. More broadly, that type of innovation should keep CrowdStrike ahead of the competition. That's why this growth stock is a buy.2. SnowflakeSnowflake helps organizations make sense of big data. Its cloud platform (known as the Data Cloud) supports workloads like data ingestion, storage, and analytics, as well as more sophisticated use cases like application development and data sharing. The Snowflake Data Marketplace even makes it possible for organizations to buy and sell data sets.Beyond that broad functionality, Snowflake benefits from its targeted approach to customer acquisition. The company offers industry-specific versions of its platform tailored to end markets like financial services, healthcare, and retail. That strategy has helped Snowflake win big customers like Mastercard, McKesson, and PepsiCo.In the past year, Snowflake saw its customer base grow 40%, and the average customer spent 74% more, evidencing its ability to form sticky relationships. In turn, revenue soared 98% to $1.4 billion, and the company generated a positive free cash flow of $227 million, up from a loss of $75 million in the prior year. But management sees a $90 billion addressable market, meaning Snowflake still has a lot of room to grow.Last summer the company launched  Powered by Snowflake, a program that helps customers build and operate applications in the Snowflake Data Cloud. Over 425 organizations had joined the program as of fiscal Q1 2023 (ended April 30, 2022), up 48% from the previous quarter. That rapid adoption highlights the value Snowflake creates for its clients.More broadly, Snowflake benefits from a powerful network effect. The more customers adopt the Data Cloud, the more data can be exchanged on the platform, creating incremental value for every user. That virtuous cycle should keep Snowflake growing for the foreseeable future. In fact, management believes product revenue will hit $10 billion by fiscal 2029 (ends Jan. 31, 2029), representing sevenfold growth in less than seven years. That's why this stock is worth buying today.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":58,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9044082630,"gmtCreate":1656676161520,"gmtModify":1676535875267,"author":{"id":"3582962119812367","authorId":"3582962119812367","name":"Daniel12321","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a4ffcb9551bf9fffa55a10cf8b531d6","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582962119812367","authorIdStr":"3582962119812367"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Goo","listText":"Goo","text":"Goo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9044082630","repostId":"1129634609","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1129634609","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1656554042,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1129634609?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-30 09:54","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Reminder: U.S. Market Will be Closed on July 4 for Independence Day","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1129634609","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"US Independence Day are around the corner. The U.S. market will be closed on Monday, 4 July 2022. Pl","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>US Independence Day are around the corner. The U.S. market will be closed on Monday, 4 July 2022. Please take note of the trading arrangements during the holiday period and make the necessary preparations in advance.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3652d76f0953e0c2d017b2fd446fbca\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1080\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Reminder: U.S. Market Will be Closed on July 4 for Independence Day</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nReminder: U.S. Market Will be Closed on July 4 for Independence Day\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-06-30 09:54</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>US Independence Day are around the corner. The U.S. market will be closed on Monday, 4 July 2022. Please take note of the trading arrangements during the holiday period and make the necessary preparations in advance.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3652d76f0953e0c2d017b2fd446fbca\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1080\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"HSI":"恒生指数",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","HSTECH":"恒生科技指数",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1129634609","content_text":"US Independence Day are around the corner. The U.S. market will be closed on Monday, 4 July 2022. Please take note of the trading arrangements during the holiday period and make the necessary preparations in advance.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":143,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9053023741,"gmtCreate":1654470183283,"gmtModify":1676535450400,"author":{"id":"3582962119812367","authorId":"3582962119812367","name":"Daniel12321","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a4ffcb9551bf9fffa55a10cf8b531d6","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582962119812367","authorIdStr":"3582962119812367"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9053023741","repostId":"2240732040","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2240732040","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1654409668,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2240732040?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-05 14:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Down More Than 30%: 3 Top Nasdaq Growth Stocks to Buy in June","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2240732040","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"These beaten-down stocks stand out as fantastic buys this month.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Facing a weaker economy, rising interest rates, and other destabilizing market forces, investors generally have been shifting their portfolios away from growth stocks. The growth-heavy <b>Nasdaq Composite</b> index has fallen by roughly 25% from the peak it hit last year, and there&#39;s a good chance your portfolio is feeling the squeeze.</p><p>The market is undeniably shaky right now, but the volatility has also created opportunities to invest in top companies at amazing discounts. With that in mind, we asked a trio of Motley Fool contributors to identify which stocks they viewed as most worth pouncing on at today&#39;s prices. From where they sit, <b>Starbucks</b>, <b>Airbnb</b>, and <b>Netflix</b> look like some of the best beaten-down growth stocks you can buy right now.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9fd36c482fa49b5c4ef7981c03aff83f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"465\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p><h2>Take a summertime sip from this beverage behemoth</h2><p><b>Daniel Foelber (Starbucks):</b> Starbucks, both as a company and a stock, is undergoing a makeover. The company&#39;s early growth was powered by its proliferation of the espresso/internet café business model. But today, that model is widespread and gives Starbucks few competitive advantages over locally owned coffee shops that offer comparable products with arguably better atmospheres. However, the coffee giant has more than 27 million Starbucks Rewards members and generates 75% of its sales from mobile orders, deliveries, and drive-thru customers. That gives Starbucks a major leg up over competitors large and small.</p><p>To grow its grab-and-go ordering infrastructure, Starbucks needs investment capital. And that means fewer stock buybacks. When former CEO Howard Schultz stepped back in as interim CEO in early April, he immediately suspended what would have been the largest share buyback program in the company&#39;s history in favor of investing in the core business. It&#39;s a bit of a gamble, as Starbucks will need to prove that it can allocate capital in a way that benefits shareholders more than directly buying back stock would. But Starbucks returns capital in ways other than buybacks.</p><p>Unlike many growth stocks, Starbucks pays a sizable dividend. At the current share price, that payout offers a 2.5% yield, and management has raised the dividend for 11 consecutive years. And while the company cut its share repurchase program, there has been no suggestion that it will alter its pattern of dividend hikes. Starbucks typically announces a dividend raise of $0.04 or $0.05 per share per quarter in August or September. So if we don&#39;t hear anything from Starbucks when it reports fiscal Q3 2022 earnings in a couple of months, that would be cause for concern. But for now, more dividend raises appear to still be in the cards.</p><p>The next growth chapter for Starbucks looks like a massive global market opportunity. Yet the stock is down 40% from its all-time high and trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 20.5. Throw in the appealing dividend, and this looks like a great opportunity to add a name-brand company to your portfolio that will pay off for decades.</p><h2>Use the market&#39;s skittishness to buy this travel leader</h2><p><b>Keith Noonan (Airbnb): </b>Many of the market&#39;s biggest losers in recent months had previously been riding performance tailwinds stemming from pandemic conditions. Software, entertainment, and communications companies that experienced surging engagement when people were making their most intense social distancing efforts now face difficult performance comparisons as our behaviors shift back toward their pre-pandemic norms.</p><p>That&#39;s all coming in conjunction with multiple compression for the market at large, which has led to some brutal stock price declines.</p><p>Meanwhile, Airbnb has actually seen its business surge as social distancing and travel restrictions have eased, but the company&#39;s stock has still participated in the stark pullback for growth stocks at large. The short-term rental specialist&#39;s share price is down 30% year to date and off 46% from its high. Yet its business and long-term outlook have never looked stronger.</p><p>Airbnb&#39;s revenue surged by roughly 70% year over year in the first quarter to $1.51 billion, and its adjusted loss of $0.03 per share was far better than the average analyst estimate for a loss of $0.29 per share. Accounting for seasonality, the business will almost certainly post a substantial profit this year, and with the shares trading at roughly 43 times this year&#39;s expected earnings, they look attractively valued -- particularly given the strength of the growth underway.</p><p>The travel industry remains poised for long-term expansion, and Airbnb looks well-positioned to take advantage of the unfolding digital-transformation and work-from-anywhere trends. With the company posting stellar pandemic-rebound performances, its substantial valuation decline looks to be a case of the baby being thrown out with the bathwater. The stock&#39;s risk-reward profile is very attractive, and I think investors who take a buy-and-hold approach will bank fantastic returns.</p><h2>Netflix is down, but certainly not out</h2><p><b>James Brumley</b> <b>(Netflix):</b> I completely understand why Netflix shares have been up-ended this year. This company is not only the biggest and best-known name in video streaming, it arguably created the entire industry. Serious competition has been building since late 2019, but we&#39;ve never really seen Netflix struggle to maintain its historical growth pace -- until now. In part due to the impact of alternatives like HBO Max and <b>Walt Disney</b>&#39;s (DIS -1.98%) Disney+, Netflix is suddenly experiencing a growth stall that was once unthinkable.</p><p>However, the stock is down by more than 70% from November&#39;s high, and I don&#39;t think it&#39;s a stretch to say that the sellers have overshot their target.</p><p>For instance, the market is not pricing the looming launch of a cheaper, ad-supported service into Netflix shares. Co-CEO Reed Hastings initially floated that idea back in April as something the company would &#34;figure out over the next year or two.&#34; Now, the rumors say the schedule has been accelerated, and suggest it could launch as soon as October.</p><p>And we know the ad-supported model works. Most subscribers to Disney&#39;s Hulu service take the option with commercials, and the bulk of HBO Max&#39;s most recent growth seems to coincide with last June&#39;s launch of an ad-supported tier. Disney is also developing an advertising-backed version of Disney+ that&#39;s slated to debut before the end of this year. These options are important to increasingly cost-conscious consumers, and I see no reason Netflix won&#39;t be able to rekindle its growth by jumping on the bandwagon. I wouldn&#39;t be at all surprised if its results from doing so are even better than expected. If they are, the stock&#39;s recent weakness will look, in retrospect, like an even stronger buying opportunity.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Down More Than 30%: 3 Top Nasdaq Growth Stocks to Buy in June</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDown More Than 30%: 3 Top Nasdaq Growth Stocks to Buy in June\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-06-05 14:14 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/06/04/down-more-than-30-3-top-nasdaq-growth-stocks-to-bu/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Facing a weaker economy, rising interest rates, and other destabilizing market forces, investors generally have been shifting their portfolios away from growth stocks. The growth-heavy Nasdaq ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/06/04/down-more-than-30-3-top-nasdaq-growth-stocks-to-bu/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SBUX":"星巴克","NFLX":"奈飞","ABNB":"爱彼迎"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/06/04/down-more-than-30-3-top-nasdaq-growth-stocks-to-bu/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2240732040","content_text":"Facing a weaker economy, rising interest rates, and other destabilizing market forces, investors generally have been shifting their portfolios away from growth stocks. The growth-heavy Nasdaq Composite index has fallen by roughly 25% from the peak it hit last year, and there's a good chance your portfolio is feeling the squeeze.The market is undeniably shaky right now, but the volatility has also created opportunities to invest in top companies at amazing discounts. With that in mind, we asked a trio of Motley Fool contributors to identify which stocks they viewed as most worth pouncing on at today's prices. From where they sit, Starbucks, Airbnb, and Netflix look like some of the best beaten-down growth stocks you can buy right now.Image source: Getty Images.Take a summertime sip from this beverage behemothDaniel Foelber (Starbucks): Starbucks, both as a company and a stock, is undergoing a makeover. The company's early growth was powered by its proliferation of the espresso/internet café business model. But today, that model is widespread and gives Starbucks few competitive advantages over locally owned coffee shops that offer comparable products with arguably better atmospheres. However, the coffee giant has more than 27 million Starbucks Rewards members and generates 75% of its sales from mobile orders, deliveries, and drive-thru customers. That gives Starbucks a major leg up over competitors large and small.To grow its grab-and-go ordering infrastructure, Starbucks needs investment capital. And that means fewer stock buybacks. When former CEO Howard Schultz stepped back in as interim CEO in early April, he immediately suspended what would have been the largest share buyback program in the company's history in favor of investing in the core business. It's a bit of a gamble, as Starbucks will need to prove that it can allocate capital in a way that benefits shareholders more than directly buying back stock would. But Starbucks returns capital in ways other than buybacks.Unlike many growth stocks, Starbucks pays a sizable dividend. At the current share price, that payout offers a 2.5% yield, and management has raised the dividend for 11 consecutive years. And while the company cut its share repurchase program, there has been no suggestion that it will alter its pattern of dividend hikes. Starbucks typically announces a dividend raise of $0.04 or $0.05 per share per quarter in August or September. So if we don't hear anything from Starbucks when it reports fiscal Q3 2022 earnings in a couple of months, that would be cause for concern. But for now, more dividend raises appear to still be in the cards.The next growth chapter for Starbucks looks like a massive global market opportunity. Yet the stock is down 40% from its all-time high and trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 20.5. Throw in the appealing dividend, and this looks like a great opportunity to add a name-brand company to your portfolio that will pay off for decades.Use the market's skittishness to buy this travel leaderKeith Noonan (Airbnb): Many of the market's biggest losers in recent months had previously been riding performance tailwinds stemming from pandemic conditions. Software, entertainment, and communications companies that experienced surging engagement when people were making their most intense social distancing efforts now face difficult performance comparisons as our behaviors shift back toward their pre-pandemic norms.That's all coming in conjunction with multiple compression for the market at large, which has led to some brutal stock price declines.Meanwhile, Airbnb has actually seen its business surge as social distancing and travel restrictions have eased, but the company's stock has still participated in the stark pullback for growth stocks at large. The short-term rental specialist's share price is down 30% year to date and off 46% from its high. Yet its business and long-term outlook have never looked stronger.Airbnb's revenue surged by roughly 70% year over year in the first quarter to $1.51 billion, and its adjusted loss of $0.03 per share was far better than the average analyst estimate for a loss of $0.29 per share. Accounting for seasonality, the business will almost certainly post a substantial profit this year, and with the shares trading at roughly 43 times this year's expected earnings, they look attractively valued -- particularly given the strength of the growth underway.The travel industry remains poised for long-term expansion, and Airbnb looks well-positioned to take advantage of the unfolding digital-transformation and work-from-anywhere trends. With the company posting stellar pandemic-rebound performances, its substantial valuation decline looks to be a case of the baby being thrown out with the bathwater. The stock's risk-reward profile is very attractive, and I think investors who take a buy-and-hold approach will bank fantastic returns.Netflix is down, but certainly not outJames Brumley (Netflix): I completely understand why Netflix shares have been up-ended this year. This company is not only the biggest and best-known name in video streaming, it arguably created the entire industry. Serious competition has been building since late 2019, but we've never really seen Netflix struggle to maintain its historical growth pace -- until now. In part due to the impact of alternatives like HBO Max and Walt Disney's (DIS -1.98%) Disney+, Netflix is suddenly experiencing a growth stall that was once unthinkable.However, the stock is down by more than 70% from November's high, and I don't think it's a stretch to say that the sellers have overshot their target.For instance, the market is not pricing the looming launch of a cheaper, ad-supported service into Netflix shares. Co-CEO Reed Hastings initially floated that idea back in April as something the company would \"figure out over the next year or two.\" Now, the rumors say the schedule has been accelerated, and suggest it could launch as soon as October.And we know the ad-supported model works. Most subscribers to Disney's Hulu service take the option with commercials, and the bulk of HBO Max's most recent growth seems to coincide with last June's launch of an ad-supported tier. Disney is also developing an advertising-backed version of Disney+ that's slated to debut before the end of this year. These options are important to increasingly cost-conscious consumers, and I see no reason Netflix won't be able to rekindle its growth by jumping on the bandwagon. I wouldn't be at all surprised if its results from doing so are even better than expected. If they are, the stock's recent weakness will look, in retrospect, like an even stronger buying opportunity.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":112795544,"gmtCreate":1622920820488,"gmtModify":1704193245942,"author":{"id":"3582962119812367","authorId":"3582962119812367","name":"Daniel12321","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a4ffcb9551bf9fffa55a10cf8b531d6","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582962119812367","authorIdStr":"3582962119812367"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Gr","listText":"Gr","text":"Gr","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/112795544","repostId":"1160563289","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1160563289","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1622864224,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1160563289?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-05 11:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"FTSE Russell removed GameStop from the small-cap index","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1160563289","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"FTSE Russell removed GameStop from the small-cap index, with Tesla and JPMorgan among the top 10 in ","content":"<p>FTSE Russell removed GameStop from the small-cap index, with Tesla and JPMorgan among the top 10 in the Russell U.S. index.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>FTSE Russell removed GameStop from the small-cap index</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; 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height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFTSE Russell removed GameStop from the small-cap index\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-06-05 11:37</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>FTSE Russell removed GameStop from the small-cap index, with Tesla and JPMorgan among the top 10 in the Russell U.S. index.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉","IWM":"罗素2000指数ETF","JPM":"摩根大通","GME":"游戏驿站"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1160563289","content_text":"FTSE Russell removed GameStop from the small-cap index, with Tesla and JPMorgan among the top 10 in the Russell U.S. index.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":260,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}