TSY123 personal page - To The Moon

TSY123

TSY123

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01-13

[Anger] [Tongue] [Blush] [Call] [Heartbreak] [Love] [Applaud] [Heart] [Heart] [ShakeHands] [Salute] [Heart] [Strong] [Claw] [Call]

01-13

[Surprised] [Grin] [Anger] [Anger] [Tongue] [Facepalm] [Sick] [Blush] [Blush]

01-12

[Grin] [Surprised] [Angry] [Angry] [Facepalm] [Sick] [Allin] [Put] [Heartbreak] [Love] [Applaud] [ShakeHands]

01-11

[Surprised] [Blush] [Gosh] [Blush] [Mybad] [Gosh] [Heartbreak] [Heartbreak] [Love] [Love] [Salute] [Heart] [RIP] [OK]

01-10

[Tongue] [Surprised] [Angry] [Facepalm] [Speechless] [Smile] [Sad] [Sly] [Tongue] [Tongue] [Cool] [Cry] [Spurting] [LOL]

01-09

[Anger] [Cool] [Cry] [Sick] [Strong] [ShakeHands] [Salute] [Salute] [666] [Heartbreak] [Heartbreak] [Love] [Love] [Applaud] [Applaud]

01-08

[Surprised] [Angry] [Sick] [Yummy] [Doubt] [Blush] [Put] [Heartbreak] [Love] [Love] [666] [Heart]

01-07

[Anger] [Surprised] [Angry] [DOGE] [Sick] [Observation] [Observation] [Sick] [Mybad] [Mybad]

01-06

[Grin] [Great] [Shy] [Cry] [Angry] [Facepalm] [Spurting] [Spurting] [OMG] [Angry] [Heartbreak] [Heartbreak] [Heartbreak]

01-06

[Grin] [Great] [Shy] [Cry] [Angry] [Facepalm] [Spurting] [Spurting] [OMG] [Angry] [Heartbreak] [Heartbreak] [Heartbreak]

01-05

[Sick] [Victory] [Allin] [Allin] [Put] [Call] [Heart] [Strong] [Strong] [Allin] [RIP] [RIP] [RIP] [666] [ShakeHands]

01-04

[Anger] [Shy] [Great] [Blush] [Sick] [Sick] [Observation]

01-03

[Cool] [Cry] [Grin] [Speechless] [Happy] [Miser] [Shy] [Angry] [Angry] [Facepalm] [Surprised] [Grin] [Serious] [Sick]

01-02

[Anger] [Anger] [Grin] [Surprised] [Shy] [Anger] [Tongue] [Angry] [Angry] [Grin] [Grin] [Tongue] [Cool] [Grin]

01-02

[Grin] [Surprised] [Angry] [Facepalm] [Surprised] [Surprised] [Surprised] [Sick] [Sick] [Onlooker]

01-01

Can Gjjjf[Anger] [Grin] [Cry] [Shy] [Angry] [Facepalm] [OMG] [Drowsy] [Smug] [Lovely] [Sly] [Anger] [Anger] [Anger] [Anger] [Anger] [Anger]

2023-12-31

Foh chi THH adds Gunn cvbbb cvvbb vbbbb

2023-12-31

Thoug[Shy] [Anger] [Cry] [Surprised] [Anger] [Grin] [Surprised] [Angry] [Angry] [Tongue]

2023-12-31

[Anger] [Shy] [Miser] [Speechless] [Tongue] [Smile] [Smile] [Smile] [Smile] [Smile] [Tongue]

2023-12-30

🥐🍆🍇🥦🍠🥒🥖🍳🥨🥐🧇🥞🥕

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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[Victory] [Allin] [Allin] [Put] [Call] [Heart] [Strong] [Strong] [Allin] [RIP] [RIP] [RIP] [666] 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[Observation]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/259344149348528","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":249,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":258892728992008,"gmtCreate":1704240133966,"gmtModify":1704240138288,"author":{"id":"3583665662213187","authorId":"3583665662213187","name":"TSY123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af38fbc4f07efb7ae9b5ebd03aa4b79b","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583665662213187","authorIdStr":"3583665662213187"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Cool]&nbsp;[Cry]&nbsp;[Grin]&nbsp;[Speechless]&nbsp;[Happy]&nbsp;[Miser]&nbsp;[Shy]&nbsp;[Angry]&nbsp;[Angry]&nbsp;[Facepalm]&nbsp;[Surprised]&nbsp;[Grin]&nbsp;[Serious]&nbsp;[Sick]&nbsp;&nbsp;","listText":"[Cool]&nbsp;[Cry]&nbsp;[Grin]&nbsp;[Speechless]&nbsp;[Happy]&nbsp;[Miser]&nbsp;[Shy]&nbsp;[Angry]&nbsp;[Angry]&nbsp;[Facepalm]&nbsp;[Surprised]&nbsp;[Grin]&nbsp;[Serious]&nbsp;[Sick]&nbsp;&nbsp;","text":"[Cool] [Cry] [Grin] [Speechless] [Happy] [Miser] [Shy] [Angry] [Angry] [Facepalm] [Surprised] [Grin] [Serious] 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[Anger] [Grin] [Surprised] [Shy] [Anger] [Tongue] [Angry] [Angry] [Grin] [Grin] [Tongue] [Cool] [Grin]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/258449630322984","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":198,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":258449739149408,"gmtCreate":1704131976702,"gmtModify":1704131981633,"author":{"id":"3583665662213187","authorId":"3583665662213187","name":"TSY123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af38fbc4f07efb7ae9b5ebd03aa4b79b","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583665662213187","authorIdStr":"3583665662213187"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Grin]&nbsp;[Surprised]&nbsp;[Angry]&nbsp;[Facepalm]&nbsp;[Surprised]&nbsp;[Surprised]&nbsp;[Surprised]&nbsp;[Sick]&nbsp;[Sick]&nbsp;[Onlooker]&nbsp;&nbsp;","listText":"[Grin]&nbsp;[Surprised]&nbsp;[Angry]&nbsp;[Facepalm]&nbsp;[Surprised]&nbsp;[Surprised]&nbsp;[Surprised]&nbsp;[Sick]&nbsp;[Sick]&nbsp;[Onlooker]&nbsp;&nbsp;","text":"[Grin] [Surprised] [Angry] [Facepalm] [Surprised] [Surprised] [Surprised] [Sick] [Sick] [Onlooker]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/258449739149408","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":116,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":258212075765952,"gmtCreate":1704073954615,"gmtModify":1704073959169,"author":{"id":"3583665662213187","authorId":"3583665662213187","name":"TSY123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af38fbc4f07efb7ae9b5ebd03aa4b79b","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583665662213187","authorIdStr":"3583665662213187"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Can&nbsp; Gjjjf[Anger]&nbsp;[Grin]&nbsp;[Cry]&nbsp;[Shy]&nbsp;[Angry]&nbsp;[Facepalm]&nbsp;[OMG]&nbsp;[Drowsy]&nbsp;[Smug]&nbsp;[Lovely]&nbsp;[Sly]&nbsp;[Anger]&nbsp;[Anger]&nbsp;[Anger]&nbsp;[Anger]&nbsp;[Anger]&nbsp;[Anger]&nbsp;&nbsp;","listText":"Can&nbsp; Gjjjf[Anger]&nbsp;[Grin]&nbsp;[Cry]&nbsp;[Shy]&nbsp;[Angry]&nbsp;[Facepalm]&nbsp;[OMG]&nbsp;[Drowsy]&nbsp;[Smug]&nbsp;[Lovely]&nbsp;[Sly]&nbsp;[Anger]&nbsp;[Anger]&nbsp;[Anger]&nbsp;[Anger]&nbsp;[Anger]&nbsp;[Anger]&nbsp;&nbsp;","text":"Can Gjjjf[Anger] [Grin] [Cry] [Shy] [Angry] [Facepalm] [OMG] [Drowsy] [Smug] [Lovely] [Sly] [Anger] [Anger] [Anger] [Anger] [Anger] [Anger]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/258212075765952","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":147,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":257714027012264,"gmtCreate":1703952498560,"gmtModify":1703952503106,"author":{"id":"3583665662213187","authorId":"3583665662213187","name":"TSY123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af38fbc4f07efb7ae9b5ebd03aa4b79b","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583665662213187","authorIdStr":"3583665662213187"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Foh chi THH adds Gunn cvbbb cvvbb vbbbb","listText":"Foh chi THH adds Gunn cvbbb cvvbb vbbbb","text":"Foh chi THH adds Gunn cvbbb cvvbb vbbbb","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/257714027012264","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":140,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":257714157482056,"gmtCreate":1703952390881,"gmtModify":1703952395303,"author":{"id":"3583665662213187","authorId":"3583665662213187","name":"TSY123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af38fbc4f07efb7ae9b5ebd03aa4b79b","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583665662213187","authorIdStr":"3583665662213187"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thoug[Shy]&nbsp;[Anger]&nbsp;[Cry]&nbsp;[Surprised]&nbsp;[Anger]&nbsp;[Grin]&nbsp;[Surprised]&nbsp;[Angry]&nbsp;[Angry]&nbsp;[Tongue]&nbsp;&nbsp;","listText":"Thoug[Shy]&nbsp;[Anger]&nbsp;[Cry]&nbsp;[Surprised]&nbsp;[Anger]&nbsp;[Grin]&nbsp;[Surprised]&nbsp;[Angry]&nbsp;[Angry]&nbsp;[Tongue]&nbsp;&nbsp;","text":"Thoug[Shy] [Anger] [Cry] [Surprised] [Anger] [Grin] [Surprised] [Angry] [Angry] [Tongue]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/257714157482056","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":125,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":257713816670208,"gmtCreate":1703952295088,"gmtModify":1703952299348,"author":{"id":"3583665662213187","authorId":"3583665662213187","name":"TSY123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af38fbc4f07efb7ae9b5ebd03aa4b79b","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583665662213187","authorIdStr":"3583665662213187"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Anger]&nbsp;[Shy]&nbsp;[Miser]&nbsp;[Speechless]&nbsp;[Tongue]&nbsp;[Smile]&nbsp;[Smile]&nbsp;[Smile]&nbsp;[Smile]&nbsp;[Smile]&nbsp;[Tongue]&nbsp;&nbsp;","listText":"[Anger]&nbsp;[Shy]&nbsp;[Miser]&nbsp;[Speechless]&nbsp;[Tongue]&nbsp;[Smile]&nbsp;[Smile]&nbsp;[Smile]&nbsp;[Smile]&nbsp;[Smile]&nbsp;[Tongue]&nbsp;&nbsp;","text":"[Anger] [Shy] [Miser] [Speechless] [Tongue] [Smile] [Smile] [Smile] [Smile] [Smile] [Tongue]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/257713816670208","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":258,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":257478716408024,"gmtCreate":1703894912471,"gmtModify":1703894916614,"author":{"id":"3583665662213187","authorId":"3583665662213187","name":"TSY123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af38fbc4f07efb7ae9b5ebd03aa4b79b","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583665662213187","authorIdStr":"3583665662213187"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"🥐🍆🍇🥦🍠🥒🥖🍳🥨🥐🧇🥞🥕","listText":"🥐🍆🍇🥦🍠🥒🥖🍳🥨🥐🧇🥞🥕","text":"🥐🍆🍇🥦🍠🥒🥖🍳🥨🥐🧇🥞🥕","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/257478716408024","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":146,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9052844829,"gmtCreate":1655164837562,"gmtModify":1676535572476,"author":{"id":"3583665662213187","authorId":"3583665662213187","name":"TSY123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af38fbc4f07efb7ae9b5ebd03aa4b79b","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583665662213187","authorIdStr":"3583665662213187"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Okay&nbsp;//<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/U/4089028522442560\">@JLSE</a>:👌👌👌//<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/U/3559581955535845\">@koolgal</a>: <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/U/3527667621665671\">@Daily_Discussion</a>&nbsp;for your wonderful coins.&nbsp; Congratulations to all my Dear Tiger Friends who have shared your excellent trading ideas.The stocks were down last week due to worries about high inflation.&nbsp; Looks like this week would be the same too. The good thing is we can go treasure hunting for bargains.&nbsp;To your success and wealth creation!<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/U/3527667621665671\">@Daily_Discussion</a>","listText":"Okay&nbsp;//<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/U/4089028522442560\">@JLSE</a>:👌👌👌//<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/U/3559581955535845\">@koolgal</a>: <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/U/3527667621665671\">@Daily_Discussion</a>&nbsp;for your wonderful coins.&nbsp; Congratulations to all my Dear Tiger Friends who have shared your excellent trading ideas.The stocks were down last week due to worries about high inflation.&nbsp; Looks like this week would be the same too. The good thing is we can go treasure hunting for bargains.&nbsp;To your success and wealth creation!<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/U/3527667621665671\">@Daily_Discussion</a>","text":"Okay //@JLSE:👌👌👌//@koolgal: @Daily_Discussion for your wonderful coins. Congratulations to all my Dear Tiger Friends who have shared your excellent trading ideas.The stocks were down last week due to worries about high inflation. Looks like this week would be the same too. The good thing is we can go treasure hunting for bargains. To your success and wealth creation!@Daily_Discussion","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":104,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9052844829","repostId":"9052004163","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9052004163,"gmtCreate":1655087687926,"gmtModify":1676535559725,"author":{"id":"3527667621665671","authorId":"3527667621665671","name":"Daily_Discussion","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6973ef3354e752778088dfd8ca725c82","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667621665671","authorIdStr":"3527667621665671"},"themes":[],"title":"🚀Key events in the coming week, share your trading plans!","htmlText":"Hi, Tigers!Welcome to&nbsp;Daily Discussion! This is the place for you to share your trading ideas and win coins!<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/RN?name=RNTheme&amp;page=/theme/special/discussion&amp;rndata={&quot;themeId&quot;:&quot;e020a83ea15047ebaf152fe93ebc6328&quot;,&quot;type&quot;:3}\" target=\"_blank\">Click here to join the Topic &amp; Win coins &gt;&gt;</a>[Rewards] You will be given&nbsp;100 Tiger Coins according to the quality &amp; interaction of the post (NOTE: Comments posted under this article WILL NOT be counted)&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;2.You will be given&nbsp;10 Tiger coins&nbsp;if you tag more than 3 friends in the comment areaMeanwhile, we will be listing the stocks mentioned by those selected Tigers for your reference every day (not investment","listText":"Hi, Tigers!Welcome to&nbsp;Daily Discussion! This is the place for you to share your trading ideas and win coins!<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/RN?name=RNTheme&amp;page=/theme/special/discussion&amp;rndata={&quot;themeId&quot;:&quot;e020a83ea15047ebaf152fe93ebc6328&quot;,&quot;type&quot;:3}\" target=\"_blank\">Click here to join the Topic &amp; Win coins &gt;&gt;</a>[Rewards] You will be given&nbsp;100 Tiger Coins according to the quality &amp; interaction of the post (NOTE: Comments posted under this article WILL NOT be counted)&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;2.You will be given&nbsp;10 Tiger coins&nbsp;if you tag more than 3 friends in the comment areaMeanwhile, we will be listing the stocks mentioned by those selected Tigers for your reference every day (not investment","text":"Hi, Tigers!Welcome to Daily Discussion! This is the place for you to share your trading ideas and win coins!Click here to join the Topic & Win coins >>[Rewards] You will be given 100 Tiger Coins according to the quality & interaction of the post (NOTE: Comments posted under this article WILL NOT be counted) 2.You will be given 10 Tiger coins if you tag more than 3 friends in the comment areaMeanwhile, we will be listing the stocks mentioned by those selected Tigers for your reference every day (not investment","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/25af2be7d57d085b1e4002d55f8728e2","width":"1080","height":"1920"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/520792ca3191a5fd4f9e13d8474b2476","width":"1616","height":"590"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f31aea461347e4cb8390e3ed4d01176d","width":"1280","height":"720"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9052004163","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":5,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2005,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9988752479,"gmtCreate":1666837180391,"gmtModify":1676537814255,"author":{"id":"3583665662213187","authorId":"3583665662213187","name":"TSY123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af38fbc4f07efb7ae9b5ebd03aa4b79b","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583665662213187","authorIdStr":"3583665662213187"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"//<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/U/3578973207665480\">@blut</a>:I dont understand why so many analysts are recommending Tesla when the shares are overvalued. Theydont seems to be able to differentiate the branch from the Tree. The tree is infected with poor corporate governance of the CEO. It had been like this for years. For retirees please dont put funds&nbsp;&nbsp;in this counter for long term strategy. Do it for short-term gains. Once Musk snd his gang are out, the market will find the equilibrium price&nbsp;. For now just trade for such term gain. I will find opportunity to short rather&nbsp;than long.&nbsp;","listText":"//<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/U/3578973207665480\">@blut</a>:I dont understand why so many analysts are recommending Tesla when the shares are overvalued. Theydont seems to be able to differentiate the branch from the Tree. The tree is infected with poor corporate governance of the CEO. It had been like this for years. For retirees please dont put funds&nbsp;&nbsp;in this counter for long term strategy. Do it for short-term gains. Once Musk snd his gang are out, the market will find the equilibrium price&nbsp;. For now just trade for such term gain. I will find opportunity to short rather&nbsp;than long.&nbsp;","text":"//@blut:I dont understand why so many analysts are recommending Tesla when the shares are overvalued. Theydont seems to be able to differentiate the branch from the Tree. The tree is infected with poor corporate governance of the CEO. It had been like this for years. For retirees please dont put funds in this counter for long term strategy. Do it for short-term gains. Once Musk snd his gang are out, the market will find the equilibrium price . For now just trade for such term gain. I will find opportunity to short rather than long.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":30,"commentSize":33,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9988752479","repostId":"2278084109","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2278084109","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1666827120,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2278084109?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-27 07:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Faces US Criminal Probe Around Self-Driving Claims","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2278084109","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"US prosecutors are investigating whether Tesla Inc. made misleading claims about the capabilities of","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>US prosecutors are investigating whether Tesla Inc. made misleading claims about the capabilities of its Autopilot driver assistance system, according to a person familiar with the matter.</p><p>The Justice Department’s Washington and San Francisco offices are probing statements by the electric car company and its executives about Tesla automobiles’ ability to drive themselves, said the person who asked not to be named discussing the investigation. The Justice Department declined to comment and Tesla representatives didn’t immediately respond to requests to comment on the probe, which was first reported by Reuters.</p><p>Tesla has faced increasing scrutiny from US regulators over the safety of its automated driving systems and is poised for its first jury trial in February over a driver fatality blamed on Autopilot. The US National Highway Traffic Safety Administration has been investigating the feature and has demanded answers from the company on how it’s monitoring and enforcing driver engagement and attentiveness, including its use of in-car cameras.</p><p>The Justice Department’s criminal probe remains ongoing and may not lead to charges being brought. The investigation began last year, according to the person.</p><p>Meanwhile, the feature has been an important part of the company’s marketing materials and a boon to campaigns to attract customers.</p><p>In June, Tesla Chief Executive Officer Elon Musk told a Tesla owners club that solving full self-driving technology is “really the difference between Tesla being worth a lot of money and being worth basically zero.”</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Faces US Criminal Probe Around Self-Driving Claims</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Faces US Criminal Probe Around Self-Driving Claims\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-27 07:32 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/tesla-faces-us-criminal-probe-221815992.html><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>US prosecutors are investigating whether Tesla Inc. made misleading claims about the capabilities of its Autopilot driver assistance system, according to a person familiar with the matter.The Justice ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/tesla-faces-us-criminal-probe-221815992.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/tesla-faces-us-criminal-probe-221815992.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2278084109","content_text":"US prosecutors are investigating whether Tesla Inc. made misleading claims about the capabilities of its Autopilot driver assistance system, according to a person familiar with the matter.The Justice Department’s Washington and San Francisco offices are probing statements by the electric car company and its executives about Tesla automobiles’ ability to drive themselves, said the person who asked not to be named discussing the investigation. The Justice Department declined to comment and Tesla representatives didn’t immediately respond to requests to comment on the probe, which was first reported by Reuters.Tesla has faced increasing scrutiny from US regulators over the safety of its automated driving systems and is poised for its first jury trial in February over a driver fatality blamed on Autopilot. The US National Highway Traffic Safety Administration has been investigating the feature and has demanded answers from the company on how it’s monitoring and enforcing driver engagement and attentiveness, including its use of in-car cameras.The Justice Department’s criminal probe remains ongoing and may not lead to charges being brought. The investigation began last year, according to the person.Meanwhile, the feature has been an important part of the company’s marketing materials and a boon to campaigns to attract customers.In June, Tesla Chief Executive Officer Elon Musk told a Tesla owners club that solving full self-driving technology is “really the difference between Tesla being worth a lot of money and being worth basically zero.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":732,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9988752649,"gmtCreate":1666837077481,"gmtModify":1676537814246,"author":{"id":"3583665662213187","authorId":"3583665662213187","name":"TSY123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af38fbc4f07efb7ae9b5ebd03aa4b79b","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583665662213187","authorIdStr":"3583665662213187"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Oookkk//<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/U/3578973207665480\">@blut</a>:I dont understand why so many analysts are recommending Tesla when the shares are overvalued. Theydont seems to be able to differentiate the branch from the Tree. The tree is infected with poor corporate governance of the CEO. It had been like this for years. For retirees please dont put funds&nbsp;&nbsp;in this counter for long term strategy. Do it for short-term gains. Once Musk snd his gang are out, the market will find the equilibrium price&nbsp;. For now just trade for such term gain. I will find opportunity to short rather&nbsp;than long.&nbsp;","listText":"Oookkk//<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/U/3578973207665480\">@blut</a>:I dont understand why so many analysts are recommending Tesla when the shares are overvalued. Theydont seems to be able to differentiate the branch from the Tree. The tree is infected with poor corporate governance of the CEO. It had been like this for years. For retirees please dont put funds&nbsp;&nbsp;in this counter for long term strategy. Do it for short-term gains. Once Musk snd his gang are out, the market will find the equilibrium price&nbsp;. For now just trade for such term gain. I will find opportunity to short rather&nbsp;than long.&nbsp;","text":"Oookkk//@blut:I dont understand why so many analysts are recommending Tesla when the shares are overvalued. Theydont seems to be able to differentiate the branch from the Tree. The tree is infected with poor corporate governance of the CEO. It had been like this for years. For retirees please dont put funds in this counter for long term strategy. Do it for short-term gains. Once Musk snd his gang are out, the market will find the equilibrium price . For now just trade for such term gain. I will find opportunity to short rather than long.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":31,"commentSize":28,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9988752649","repostId":"2278084109","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2278084109","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1666827120,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2278084109?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-27 07:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Faces US Criminal Probe Around Self-Driving Claims","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2278084109","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"US prosecutors are investigating whether Tesla Inc. made misleading claims about the capabilities of","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>US prosecutors are investigating whether Tesla Inc. made misleading claims about the capabilities of its Autopilot driver assistance system, according to a person familiar with the matter.</p><p>The Justice Department’s Washington and San Francisco offices are probing statements by the electric car company and its executives about Tesla automobiles’ ability to drive themselves, said the person who asked not to be named discussing the investigation. The Justice Department declined to comment and Tesla representatives didn’t immediately respond to requests to comment on the probe, which was first reported by Reuters.</p><p>Tesla has faced increasing scrutiny from US regulators over the safety of its automated driving systems and is poised for its first jury trial in February over a driver fatality blamed on Autopilot. The US National Highway Traffic Safety Administration has been investigating the feature and has demanded answers from the company on how it’s monitoring and enforcing driver engagement and attentiveness, including its use of in-car cameras.</p><p>The Justice Department’s criminal probe remains ongoing and may not lead to charges being brought. The investigation began last year, according to the person.</p><p>Meanwhile, the feature has been an important part of the company’s marketing materials and a boon to campaigns to attract customers.</p><p>In June, Tesla Chief Executive Officer Elon Musk told a Tesla owners club that solving full self-driving technology is “really the difference between Tesla being worth a lot of money and being worth basically zero.”</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Faces US Criminal Probe Around Self-Driving Claims</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Faces US Criminal Probe Around Self-Driving Claims\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-27 07:32 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/tesla-faces-us-criminal-probe-221815992.html><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>US prosecutors are investigating whether Tesla Inc. made misleading claims about the capabilities of its Autopilot driver assistance system, according to a person familiar with the matter.The Justice ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/tesla-faces-us-criminal-probe-221815992.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/tesla-faces-us-criminal-probe-221815992.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2278084109","content_text":"US prosecutors are investigating whether Tesla Inc. made misleading claims about the capabilities of its Autopilot driver assistance system, according to a person familiar with the matter.The Justice Department’s Washington and San Francisco offices are probing statements by the electric car company and its executives about Tesla automobiles’ ability to drive themselves, said the person who asked not to be named discussing the investigation. The Justice Department declined to comment and Tesla representatives didn’t immediately respond to requests to comment on the probe, which was first reported by Reuters.Tesla has faced increasing scrutiny from US regulators over the safety of its automated driving systems and is poised for its first jury trial in February over a driver fatality blamed on Autopilot. The US National Highway Traffic Safety Administration has been investigating the feature and has demanded answers from the company on how it’s monitoring and enforcing driver engagement and attentiveness, including its use of in-car cameras.The Justice Department’s criminal probe remains ongoing and may not lead to charges being brought. The investigation began last year, according to the person.Meanwhile, the feature has been an important part of the company’s marketing materials and a boon to campaigns to attract customers.In June, Tesla Chief Executive Officer Elon Musk told a Tesla owners club that solving full self-driving technology is “really the difference between Tesla being worth a lot of money and being worth basically zero.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":640,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9927463423,"gmtCreate":1672563040662,"gmtModify":1676538705666,"author":{"id":"3583665662213187","authorId":"3583665662213187","name":"TSY123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af38fbc4f07efb7ae9b5ebd03aa4b79b","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583665662213187","authorIdStr":"3583665662213187"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok KL//<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/U/3581734227956830\">@SirBahamut</a>:Congratulations to Tiger on another successful year as an outstanding broker! Your hard work and dedication have clearly paid off, and it shows in the results you've achieved. The world of finance can be complex and fast-paced, but you've navigated well and achieved impressive results! I feel fortunate to be part of the Tiger community where I can learn and grow along with like-minded friends and investors. Cheers to another year of success for Tiger Broker!","listText":"Ok KL//<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/U/3581734227956830\">@SirBahamut</a>:Congratulations to Tiger on another successful year as an outstanding broker! Your hard work and dedication have clearly paid off, and it shows in the results you've achieved. The world of finance can be complex and fast-paced, but you've navigated well and achieved impressive results! I feel fortunate to be part of the Tiger community where I can learn and grow along with like-minded friends and investors. Cheers to another year of success for Tiger Broker!","text":"Ok KL//@SirBahamut:Congratulations to Tiger on another successful year as an outstanding broker! Your hard work and dedication have clearly paid off, and it shows in the results you've achieved. The world of finance can be complex and fast-paced, but you've navigated well and achieved impressive results! I feel fortunate to be part of the Tiger community where I can learn and grow along with like-minded friends and investors. Cheers to another year of success for Tiger Broker!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":15,"commentSize":16,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9927463423","repostId":"9927582587","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9927582587,"gmtCreate":1672537760050,"gmtModify":1676538702085,"author":{"id":"4106547232749330","authorId":"4106547232749330","name":"Tiger_SG","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9eb57a835b72d997d1941fb6605d80a4","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4106547232749330","authorIdStr":"4106547232749330"},"themes":[],"title":"To Tiger Brokers Singapore Clients: Happy New Year!","htmlText":"Dear Clients,On behalf of Tiger Brokers Singapore, we would like to say thank you for your loyal support. It has been a pleasure serving you with Tiger Trade and we look forward to supporting your investment journey in the long-term. From the bottom of our heart, thank you for continuing to use the Tiger Trade app.With 9 million users worldwide, Tiger Brokers believes everyone should have access to global markets, and everyone has the right to reach for the best and grow to their full potential as investors. Delivering knowledge, innovation, and next-generation technology, Tiger Brokers is putting the power of growth in the hands of everyday investors.Looking back, the past year has been one filled with the warmest of memories as Tiger Brokers bagged the Best Retail Broker Award and Best C","listText":"Dear Clients,On behalf of Tiger Brokers Singapore, we would like to say thank you for your loyal support. It has been a pleasure serving you with Tiger Trade and we look forward to supporting your investment journey in the long-term. From the bottom of our heart, thank you for continuing to use the Tiger Trade app.With 9 million users worldwide, Tiger Brokers believes everyone should have access to global markets, and everyone has the right to reach for the best and grow to their full potential as investors. Delivering knowledge, innovation, and next-generation technology, Tiger Brokers is putting the power of growth in the hands of everyday investors.Looking back, the past year has been one filled with the warmest of memories as Tiger Brokers bagged the Best Retail Broker Award and Best C","text":"Dear Clients,On behalf of Tiger Brokers Singapore, we would like to say thank you for your loyal support. It has been a pleasure serving you with Tiger Trade and we look forward to supporting your investment journey in the long-term. From the bottom of our heart, thank you for continuing to use the Tiger Trade app.With 9 million users worldwide, Tiger Brokers believes everyone should have access to global markets, and everyone has the right to reach for the best and grow to their full potential as investors. Delivering knowledge, innovation, and next-generation technology, Tiger Brokers is putting the power of growth in the hands of everyday investors.Looking back, the past year has been one filled with the warmest of memories as Tiger Brokers bagged the Best Retail Broker Award and Best C","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1d54ab9f1dfca9d5eff850d21724775a","width":"-1","height":"-1"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1c139a3c80324360ea04749ce0175579","width":"-1","height":"-1"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/962f565fde3cbf2bee74fde06bae49ea","width":"-1","height":"-1"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9927582587","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"subType":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":469,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9902138869,"gmtCreate":1659658854654,"gmtModify":1705413581105,"author":{"id":"3583665662213187","authorId":"3583665662213187","name":"TSY123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af38fbc4f07efb7ae9b5ebd03aa4b79b","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583665662213187","authorIdStr":"3583665662213187"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Okay&nbsp;//<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/U/3561713422683896\">@StonkerLL</a>:Yayayaya papaya//<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/U/3561713422683896\">@StonkerLL</a>: Yayayaya papaya//<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/U/3559581955535845\">@koolgal</a>: A Big Thank You <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/U/9000000000000149\">@ TigerStars</a>&nbsp;for your Tiger Space Exploration Program where you showcase the Best of the Best from our talented and wonderful Tiger Friends who shared their valuable ideas and tips&nbsp;with all of us.&nbsp;Congratulations to all my Dear Tiger Friends who have been awarded especially the New Astronauts.&nbsp;I am very grateful for the opportunity to share my ideas with all of you.&nbsp; Thank you for support and encouragement that you have given me.&nbsp;Learning is a lifelon","listText":"Okay&nbsp;//<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/U/3561713422683896\">@StonkerLL</a>:Yayayaya papaya//<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/U/3561713422683896\">@StonkerLL</a>: Yayayaya papaya//<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/U/3559581955535845\">@koolgal</a>: A Big Thank You <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/U/9000000000000149\">@ TigerStars</a>&nbsp;for your Tiger Space Exploration Program where you showcase the Best of the Best from our talented and wonderful Tiger Friends who shared their valuable ideas and tips&nbsp;with all of us.&nbsp;Congratulations to all my Dear Tiger Friends who have been awarded especially the New Astronauts.&nbsp;I am very grateful for the opportunity to share my ideas with all of you.&nbsp; Thank you for support and encouragement that you have given me.&nbsp;Learning is a lifelon","text":"Okay //@StonkerLL:Yayayaya papaya//@StonkerLL: Yayayaya papaya//@koolgal: A Big Thank You @ TigerStars for your Tiger Space Exploration Program where you showcase the Best of the Best from our talented and wonderful Tiger Friends who shared their valuable ideas and tips with all of us. Congratulations to all my Dear Tiger Friends who have been awarded especially the New Astronauts. I am very grateful for the opportunity to share my ideas with all of you. Thank you for support and encouragement that you have given me. Learning is a lifelon","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":17,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9902138869","repostId":"9908110316","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9908110316,"gmtCreate":1659334775699,"gmtModify":1676536288937,"author":{"id":"9000000000000149","authorId":"9000000000000149","name":"TigerStars","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e0b93d50cf0df54ce7b1b746f78db36c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"9000000000000149","authorIdStr":"9000000000000149"},"themes":[],"title":"Tiger Space Exploration: Popular Authors of the Week (25 July - 31 July)","htmlText":"Hey Tigers!Hope&nbsp;you&nbsp;have&nbsp;a&nbsp;good&nbsp;weekend.&nbsp;It&nbsp;is&nbsp;a&nbsp;new&nbsp;week&nbsp;to&nbsp;announce&nbsp;the&nbsp;weekly&nbsp;rewards&nbsp;Creator Incentive Program - Tiger Space Exploration,&nbsp;where&nbsp;we&nbsp;encourage &amp; reward authors according to their content creation &amp; contribution to the Tiger Community.<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/activity/market/2022/tiger-space-exploration/#/\" target=\"_blank\">CLICK&nbsp;ME&nbsp;FOR&nbsp;MORE&nbsp;DETAILS!</a>A quick wrap up of the&nbsp;past&nbsp;week:1.&nbsp;Monthly Top AstronautsCongratulations&nbsp;to&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3559581955535845\">@koolgal</a>&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3574381076586256\">@KYHBKO</a>&nbsp;","listText":"Hey Tigers!Hope&nbsp;you&nbsp;have&nbsp;a&nbsp;good&nbsp;weekend.&nbsp;It&nbsp;is&nbsp;a&nbsp;new&nbsp;week&nbsp;to&nbsp;announce&nbsp;the&nbsp;weekly&nbsp;rewards&nbsp;Creator Incentive Program - Tiger Space Exploration,&nbsp;where&nbsp;we&nbsp;encourage &amp; reward authors according to their content creation &amp; contribution to the Tiger Community.<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/activity/market/2022/tiger-space-exploration/#/\" target=\"_blank\">CLICK&nbsp;ME&nbsp;FOR&nbsp;MORE&nbsp;DETAILS!</a>A quick wrap up of the&nbsp;past&nbsp;week:1.&nbsp;Monthly Top AstronautsCongratulations&nbsp;to&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3559581955535845\">@koolgal</a>&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3574381076586256\">@KYHBKO</a>&nbsp;","text":"Hey Tigers!Hope you have a good weekend. It is a new week to announce the weekly rewards Creator Incentive Program - Tiger Space Exploration, where we encourage & reward authors according to their content creation & contribution to the Tiger Community.CLICK ME FOR MORE DETAILS!A quick wrap up of the past week:1. Monthly Top AstronautsCongratulations to @koolgal @KYHBKO","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b68356427d7ba923a7fc339cc0a903d6","width":"-1","height":"-1"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/97e755bd2d176a1ce3146e2eebcdced8","width":"-1","height":"-1"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0d777df131e3cf24a999ea5942faa811","width":"840","height":"540"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9908110316","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":387,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9980420814,"gmtCreate":1665798800739,"gmtModify":1676537666115,"author":{"id":"3583665662213187","authorId":"3583665662213187","name":"TSY123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af38fbc4f07efb7ae9b5ebd03aa4b79b","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583665662213187","authorIdStr":"3583665662213187"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Okay&nbsp;//<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/U/3581908489262448\">@Luckygim74</a>:3 Reasons Apple Stock Is a Great Buy TodayMotley Fool2022-10-14 22:31Apple-0.03%PostApple is down less than the S&amp;P 500 year to date, and some investors may be overlooking it as a good investment opportunity today. Instead, they may be searching for stocks that have seen worse declines.Investors may conclude that a rebound in the stock price will likely be less impressive than it will be for stocks that have seen steeper drops. But there's a reason the tech-giant's shares have been resilient: Apple is an outstanding business with strong long-term growth prospects.Here are several reasons why investors may want to consider buying shares of the tech company today while they're down about 20% year to date.1. Ap","listText":"Okay&nbsp;//<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/U/3581908489262448\">@Luckygim74</a>:3 Reasons Apple Stock Is a Great Buy TodayMotley Fool2022-10-14 22:31Apple-0.03%PostApple is down less than the S&amp;P 500 year to date, and some investors may be overlooking it as a good investment opportunity today. Instead, they may be searching for stocks that have seen worse declines.Investors may conclude that a rebound in the stock price will likely be less impressive than it will be for stocks that have seen steeper drops. But there's a reason the tech-giant's shares have been resilient: Apple is an outstanding business with strong long-term growth prospects.Here are several reasons why investors may want to consider buying shares of the tech company today while they're down about 20% year to date.1. Ap","text":"Okay //@Luckygim74:3 Reasons Apple Stock Is a Great Buy TodayMotley Fool2022-10-14 22:31Apple-0.03%PostApple is down less than the S&P 500 year to date, and some investors may be overlooking it as a good investment opportunity today. Instead, they may be searching for stocks that have seen worse declines.Investors may conclude that a rebound in the stock price will likely be less impressive than it will be for stocks that have seen steeper drops. But there's a reason the tech-giant's shares have been resilient: Apple is an outstanding business with strong long-term growth prospects.Here are several reasons why investors may want to consider buying shares of the tech company today while they're down about 20% year to date.1. Ap","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":15,"commentSize":12,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9980420814","repostId":"2275937852","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":311,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9947579071,"gmtCreate":1683350752594,"gmtModify":1683350756377,"author":{"id":"3583665662213187","authorId":"3583665662213187","name":"TSY123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af38fbc4f07efb7ae9b5ebd03aa4b79b","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583665662213187","authorIdStr":"3583665662213187"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BRK.B\">$Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.B)$&nbsp;</a>ilrecently BRKB is more than 2% cheaper than BRKA. Worth buying BRKA&amp; BRK should do well in this uncertain time","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BRK.B\">$Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.B)$&nbsp;</a>ilrecently BRKB is more than 2% cheaper than BRKA. Worth buying BRKA&amp; BRK should do well in this uncertain time","text":"$Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.B)$ ilrecently BRKB is more than 2% cheaper than BRKA. Worth buying BRKA& BRK should do well in this uncertain time","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e72f5807d9e12ed6a2b8ab21f8ea11d4","width":"1284","height":"2538"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9947579071","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":694,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9944972422,"gmtCreate":1681690879767,"gmtModify":1681690884175,"author":{"id":"3583665662213187","authorId":"3583665662213187","name":"TSY123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af38fbc4f07efb7ae9b5ebd03aa4b79b","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583665662213187","authorIdStr":"3583665662213187"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"The game is easy but it is difficult to get attempts and impossible to redeem Disney share unless have recommended friends to make the very FIRST DEPOSITS&nbsp;","listText":"The game is easy but it is difficult to get attempts and impossible to redeem Disney share unless have recommended friends to make the very FIRST DEPOSITS&nbsp;","text":"The game is easy but it is difficult to get attempts and impossible to redeem Disney share unless have recommended friends to make the very FIRST DEPOSITS","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9944972422","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":201,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9966384841,"gmtCreate":1669422276584,"gmtModify":1676538194747,"author":{"id":"3583665662213187","authorId":"3583665662213187","name":"TSY123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af38fbc4f07efb7ae9b5ebd03aa4b79b","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583665662213187","authorIdStr":"3583665662213187"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":12,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9966384841","repostId":"2286314522","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2286314522","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1669418115,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2286314522?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-26 07:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US STOCKS-Nasdaq Down As Investors Watch Black Friday Sales, China Infections","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2286314522","media":"Reuters","summary":"The Nasdaq closed lower on Friday with pressure from Apple Inc in a subdued trading session for Wall","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The Nasdaq closed lower on Friday with pressure from Apple Inc in a subdued trading session for Wall Street&#39;s main stock indexes.</p><p>Apple slipped on news of reduced iPhone shipments in November from a Foxconn plant in China as production was hit by COVID-related worker unrest.</p><p>The holiday-shortened trading session focused on retailers as Black Friday sales kicked off against the backdrop of stubbornly high inflation and cooling economic growth.</p><p>Shoppers were expected to turn out in record numbers to shop for Black Friday deals, but with inclement weather, crowds outside stores were thin on the traditionally busiest shopping day of the year.</p><p>U.S. retail stocks have become a barometer of consumer confidence as inflation bites. Year-to-date the S&amp;P 500 retail index is down a little over 30%, while the S&amp;P 500 is down 15% so far this year.</p><p>Shares of retailers Target Corp, Macy&#39;s Inc and Best Buy Co Inc were mixed, while the S&amp;P consumer discretionary index was slightly up.</p><p>&#34;It&#39;s such a low volume trading day as most people are at home that I never count Friday after Thanksgiving,&#34; said Ed Cofrancesco, chief executive officer at International Assets Advisory, in Orlando.</p><p>Starting next week, the focus will be on retail sales, China&#39;s newest COVID outbreak and the Federal Reserve&#39;s next steps, he added.</p><p>Wall street&#39;s main indexes have rallied strongly since hitting their early October lows, with the S&amp;P 500 up more than 15% on a boost from a better-than-expected earnings season and more recently on hopes of less aggressive interest rates hikes by the U.S. Federal Reserve.</p><p>Expectations are now of a 75.8% chance that the Fed will increase its key benchmark rate by 50 basis points in December, with the rates seen peaking in June 2023.</p><p>Unofficially, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 152.97 points, or 0.45%, to 34,347.03, the S&amp;P 500 lost 1.14 points, or 0.03%, to 4,026.12 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 58.96 points, or 0.52%, to 11,226.36.</p><p>Weighing on Nasdaq, Activision Blizzard Inc fell on a media report that the U.S. Federal Trade Commission was likely to file an antitrust lawsuit to block Microsoft Corp&#39;s $69 billion takeover bid for the video game publisher.</p><p>U.S. stock markets closed at 1 p.m. ET on Friday, after being closed on Thursday for Thanksgiving.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US STOCKS-Nasdaq Down As Investors Watch Black Friday Sales, China Infections</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS STOCKS-Nasdaq Down As Investors Watch Black Friday Sales, China Infections\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-26 07:15 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-stocks-nasdaq-down-investors-180459846.html><strong>Reuters</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The Nasdaq closed lower on Friday with pressure from Apple Inc in a subdued trading session for Wall Street's main stock indexes.Apple slipped on news of reduced iPhone shipments in November from a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-stocks-nasdaq-down-investors-180459846.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-stocks-nasdaq-down-investors-180459846.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2286314522","content_text":"The Nasdaq closed lower on Friday with pressure from Apple Inc in a subdued trading session for Wall Street's main stock indexes.Apple slipped on news of reduced iPhone shipments in November from a Foxconn plant in China as production was hit by COVID-related worker unrest.The holiday-shortened trading session focused on retailers as Black Friday sales kicked off against the backdrop of stubbornly high inflation and cooling economic growth.Shoppers were expected to turn out in record numbers to shop for Black Friday deals, but with inclement weather, crowds outside stores were thin on the traditionally busiest shopping day of the year.U.S. retail stocks have become a barometer of consumer confidence as inflation bites. Year-to-date the S&P 500 retail index is down a little over 30%, while the S&P 500 is down 15% so far this year.Shares of retailers Target Corp, Macy's Inc and Best Buy Co Inc were mixed, while the S&P consumer discretionary index was slightly up.\"It's such a low volume trading day as most people are at home that I never count Friday after Thanksgiving,\" said Ed Cofrancesco, chief executive officer at International Assets Advisory, in Orlando.Starting next week, the focus will be on retail sales, China's newest COVID outbreak and the Federal Reserve's next steps, he added.Wall street's main indexes have rallied strongly since hitting their early October lows, with the S&P 500 up more than 15% on a boost from a better-than-expected earnings season and more recently on hopes of less aggressive interest rates hikes by the U.S. Federal Reserve.Expectations are now of a 75.8% chance that the Fed will increase its key benchmark rate by 50 basis points in December, with the rates seen peaking in June 2023.Unofficially, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 152.97 points, or 0.45%, to 34,347.03, the S&P 500 lost 1.14 points, or 0.03%, to 4,026.12 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 58.96 points, or 0.52%, to 11,226.36.Weighing on Nasdaq, Activision Blizzard Inc fell on a media report that the U.S. Federal Trade Commission was likely to file an antitrust lawsuit to block Microsoft Corp's $69 billion takeover bid for the video game publisher.U.S. stock markets closed at 1 p.m. ET on Friday, after being closed on Thursday for Thanksgiving.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":210,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9957922198,"gmtCreate":1676938538815,"gmtModify":1676938542841,"author":{"id":"3583665662213187","authorId":"3583665662213187","name":"TSY123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af38fbc4f07efb7ae9b5ebd03aa4b79b","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583665662213187","authorIdStr":"3583665662213187"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Noted&nbsp;","listText":"Noted&nbsp;","text":"Noted","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":19,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9957922198","repostId":"1144079267","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1144079267","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1676952051,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1144079267?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-02-21 12:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Fed Is Likely Leading The S&P 500 Into A Crushing Zone","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1144079267","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryIt appears to us as if the Fed is fighting an asset bubble rather than trying to lower inflat","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>It appears to us as if the Fed is fighting an asset bubble rather than trying to lower inflation, looking at the shelter component of CPI.</li><li>We think the Fed, like every other time in history, will continue to raise interest rates and keep them there until something breaks, listening to their Fed talk.</li><li>As the Fed continues to raise interest rates, the 20-year-old concept of &#39;TINA&#39; appears to be called into question as treasuries become more attractive.</li><li>With a P/E ratio near 22 and crushing yields hanging over its head, we caution investors buying into this S&amp;P 500 rally so far, and suggest what better alternatives might be.</li></ul><p>The S&amp;P 500 (NYSEARCA:SPY) has had an explosive year so far, rebounding and already up more than 6% YTD. This is in stark contrast to the Federal Reserve, which continues to raise interest rates and maintains its hawkish stance.</p><p>Fed fund futures are already currently assuming a Fed Funds rate of 5.50% in November 2023. It also means that the Fed is playing with fire or lighting a fire under what used to be &#34;TINA&#34; or &#34;there is no alternative,&#34; now that the 6-month interest rate has broken through the 5% barrier.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3915a64f7c54d36224064ee760b8e9f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"320\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>CME Group</p><p><b>Fed Talk</b></p><p>Last week, the calendar was full of FOMC members speaking out and giving subtle hints about the future of interest rates and where they believe inflation to be going. For example, one of the disturbing trends we noticed was that FOMC members were constantly drawingcomparisons between the current inflationary environment and that of the 1970s.</p><blockquote>Inflation is a pernicious problem. One of the lessons of the last two years is that everybody feels the effects of inflation. It&#39;s pretty much across the spectrum. So rich and poor, young and old, everybody notices. So if we can&#39;t get this problem under control soon, we risk a replay of the 1970s. (St. Louis President James Bullard)</blockquote><p>He also said he would not rule out a 50bp rate hike at the March meeting, and reportedly advocated that at the previous meeting. Bullard also said he would like to bring the Fed&#39;s policy rate to 5.375% and reaffirmed his position on the duration of this inflation:</p><blockquote>My overall judgment is it will be a long battle against inflation, and we’ll probably have to continue to show inflation-fighting resolve as we go through 2023.</blockquote><p>Bullard is another member who has advocated the &#34;front-loading&#34; of monetary policy in the past. Worse, the FOMC member opposed monetary policy slowdowns, one of the main factors preventing the Fed from raising interest rates faster:</p><blockquote>I have pushed back against the long and variable lags argument… because I think in the modern era the transmission of monetary policy is much faster than it would have been in the 50s, 60s and 70s.</blockquote><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b109962eb2ab4752b70c19586b893e20\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"247\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Federal Reserve (FRED)</p><p>Loretta Mester, another hawkish FOMC member,also sawa &#34;compelling case for another 50 basis point rate hike&#34; earlier this month. But more importantly, about what steps to expect at subsequent meetings, she said in the question-and-answer session:</p><blockquote>The Fed could accelerate the pace of rate increases again if economic conditions warrant. It’s not always going to be, you know, 25(bp).</blockquote><p>A pause certainly does not seem to be on FOMC member Mester&#39;s books just yet, for when asked when they would pause, she noted that Fed officials are still raising interest rates to levels that are restrictive enough. Finally, she also noted that inflation risks are still on the upside, and those upside risks argue for &#34;overshooting.&#34;</p><blockquote>Nothing right now is leading me to think that I need to really be focused on that question at this point.</blockquote><p>Other members, such as Member Bowman and Member Barkin, affirm their view that it will be a long battle against inflation. Richmond Fed Chairman Thomas Barkin also raises the message not to make the mistakes made in the 1970s.</p><blockquote>I think there&#39;s a very good case for leaving rates higher, for a longer period of time to allow the tightening to hit. I do think the lesson of the 70s was very clear, which is don&#39;t give up too early.</blockquote><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/49d0be7534585d5ec78780547ee31e31\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"247\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Federal Reserve (FRED)</p><p>Remarkably, Barkin also referred on Bloomberg to that period that &#34;their predecessors did the right thing,&#34; by which he probably meant Paul Volcker and called it a pursuit of him and the Fed.</p><p>To sum up all the Fed talk: FOMC members don&#39;t even think or consider a pivot, some would even prefer to overshoot and like to refer to the 1970s, basically calling for keeping interest rates higher for longer despite seeing inflation already coming down.</p><p>Our position is that while the markets continue to rally, Fed members still seem to want to take the stance of Volcker. And eventually, something has to give. In this game of chicken, it looks like the Fed will stick to its game plan to get inflation back to 2%, which seems impossible at the moment without causing a recession. Though thing seems certain: interest rates are probably going nowhere but up this year.</p><p><b>What Recession?</b></p><p>We believe the Federal Reserve will continue to raise interest rates until the economy breaks, and also like to refer to the Federal Reserve&#39;s attitude toward economic growth in the past for that matter. After GDP was negative for 2 consecutive quarters last year, theFed&#39;s attitudewas essentially: recession? What recession?</p><blockquote>I do not think the U.S. is currently in a recession. And the reason is, there are just too many areas of the economy that are performing, you know, too well, and of course I would point to the labor market in particular.</blockquote><p>A rather strange statement, as most people and the Fed itself knows thatthe labor market is seen as a lagging indicator. In the past, whenever the labor market began to deteriorate, it was already too late to take action because the recession was already underway.</p><p>Take even recent data, from 2000 and 2008, where the Fed cut interest rates, and the labor market just kept deteriorating with a slowing effect until the end of the recession.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/420375d7371091dcc65814a84c0f363b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"247\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Federal Reserve (FRED)</p><p>There are very few reasons to believe that some sort of &#34;soft landing&#34; is in the books, as the Fed has single-handedly crashed the economy in the past every time it raised interest rates. The notion &#34;the Fed raises interest rates until something breaks&#34; has proven true throughout history.</p><p>Returning to the Fed&#39;s earlier speech, it is in fact what FOMC members have also indicated, with member Mester, for example, indicating that they prefer to &#34;overshoot.&#34; Will it be different this time? The yield curve tells us a story.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd0cbd4c768b625546b8a3dae1396c4c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"247\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Federal Reserve (FRED)</p><p>The Fed and the National Bureau for Economic Research (NBER) do not want to label current economic conditions as a recession yet. But funnily enough, by the time a period is defined as a recession, employment is already in the gutter and the S&amp;P 500 is down by more than 30% in recent history.</p><p><b>Fighting An Asset Bubble?</b></p><p>When we talk about CPI, we are often surprised how little the various components of that inflation are mentioned. If we look at the CPI index, it is still up 6.34% year-on-year, well above the 2% target.</p><p>But if we take the shelter component out of the equation, we see that inflation has been absolutely flat in recent months. When we hear &#34;sticky inflation,&#34; we hear little about the housing market.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8662689574e19e672618e43e0275c953\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"247\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Federal Reserve (FRED)</p><p>The shelter component consists of both rent and &#39;owners&#39; equivalent rent&#39;. When we plot both elements of the shelter component, we see something remarkable.</p><p>Owner-equivalent rent and rent itself have still gone completely vertical in recent months, despite reports from the housing market showing a notable slowdown due to higher mortgage rates, which nearly reached 7% last November.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4d983834d249d8fb23ffdb83fcccd3f5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"247\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Federal Reserve (FRED)</p><p>Both of these are known as lagging indicators, and yet market participants seem to overlook them completely. Because if we look at actual data, from sources that have real-time data, such asRedfinand theNational Association of Realtors, we see that the median sales price of a home is more than 11% lower than at its peak.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c71c9635b3528d1e9a937e8e052b224b\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Data by YCharts</p><p>Every measurement of the housing market showed cracks last year, with the median sales price falling significantly from its highest point ever.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cf769db91ffb67d8430a1edf232c3234\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"433\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Data by YCharts</p><p>And so it should be, as interest rates have risen at the fastest pace since the 1980s, and mortgages have become much more expensive, with 30-year mortgage rates well above 6%.</p><p>Yet the Federal Reserve&#39;s website shows that housing indicators are still resilient and stagnant around current levels. On the Fed&#39;s website, the median sales price of a home sold in the United States rose from $329K in early 2020 to $468K today. That&#39;s a 45.34% increase over three years.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/542c27fd88a8edc2fe0e2fb40fc50f61\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"247\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Federal Reserve (FRED)</p><p>Rents, according toreal-time datafrom mostsources, also point to a decline, in contrast to the Federal Reserve&#39;s lagging data, which indicates that the huge inflationary pressures in that market are still being felt.</p><p>This discrepancy between the Federal Reserve and many economists looking at lagging data raises many questions for us as to whether, when they talk about sticky inflation, they are looking at all components of the CPI.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c774102e8f7d636eec260577104a5f9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"467\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Rent.com</p><p>To put that in perspective, we have seen exactly the same increase in house prices over the past three years that we saw between Q4 2004 and 2020. So we ask: is the Fed fighting inflation, or an asset bubble?</p><p>In our view, if the Fed wants to get interest rates below 2%, they are either waiting for the year-over-year equations in the housing market to fall, which is a lagging indicator, or have profound deflation in other parts of the economy. And right now we don&#39;t see those other parts showing strong deflation. On the other hand, if the housing market cracks, or the equations drop from year to year, we could end up with inflation well below target.</p><p>And if that happens, we end up as usual in a recession with a significant drop in the S&amp;P 500 and perhaps even deflation on a YoY basis. This could be the scenario as the Fed is keen to keep interest rates higher for longer.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d3a7ed8ec638ac7c9659b9706673ba5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"247\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Federal Reserve (FRED)</p><p>And that also raises the question of what would happen when we finally felt the effect of these interest rates. As some FOMC members pointed out, they have come to believe that &#34;long and variable lags&#34; in this modern economy may not be that long or variable.</p><p>Whereas research shows that it takes 12 months formonetary policy changes, such as interest rate changes, to take effect and 18 months for the full effect to be felt. To put that into context, we have already experienced profound deflationary forces recently, while according to the research, no interest rate hike has been felt yet.</p><p>These changes should not be felt until the end of this year and take full effect in 2024. Therefore, we still see a recession by the end of this year or at the start of 2024.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9fb018e391c21e8c335d2d1d028f4ce9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"247\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Federal Reserve (FRED)</p><p>But what was the Fed focusing on this week? The main focus seems to be onretail sales, which came in hot and indicated that consumer spending remains strong. This raises the odds of the Fed raising interest rates.</p><p>And for us, it increases the likelihood that the Fed will continue to raise interest rates to a much too tight level, and that the Fed will make such policy mistake worse if just a couple of bad inflation prints show up. We urge investors to ask the question: when was the last time the Fed made the right decision? And let&#39;s face it: we don&#39;t know where the Fed will go with interest rates, we can&#39;t predict the future. But right now, looking at the Fed&#39;s past actions and their comments, it doesn&#39;t look good.</p><p>One thing we can take away from every meeting that is a given is that under no circumstances will the Fed consider a 2% inflation target increase. And it seems that certain market participants don&#39;t understand why that should be, and just tolerate a 3% or 4% target.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6c9effa5f7f712226a3f45f752bdcfb3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"298\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Federal Reserve (FRED)</p><p>Wages are not keeping up with inflation, and personal savings at its lowest point in decades. For example, more than half of Americanscannot cover $1,000 for emergencies with savings.</p><p>If inflation continues at these levels, the average American will be crushed by it. This time the Fed will rally behind the average American, who does not own the assets that have been inflated, and the Fed will keep going, probably until those assets are crushed.</p><p>The Fed has reiterated, time and again, that difficult markets are not as bad as vastly increased inflation for the average household. Also from a technical standpoint, we think the 2022 lows will be tested again this year.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b80b58760ac95a0add6a96e4fbb71bc\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"402\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>TradingView, Author</p><p>Finally, another factor is how this higher interest rate may affect the dynamic we have had over the last 20 years or so of &#34;TINA,&#34; or lack of good alternatives to stocks.</p><p>As you can see in the chart below, we took Federal Reserve data and plotted the earnings yield of the S&amp;P 500 over the past 60 years and compared it to the yield investors get from 10-year Treasuries. We chose 10-year Treasuries because this is often used as the discount rate in discounted cash flow models, looking 10 years ahead. The 10-year yield broke 4% last year and currently stands at 3.82% in an upward trend.</p><p>This compares with an earnings yield for the S&amp;P 500, which is only 4.59%. For example, if that 10-year yield approaches the earnings yield of the S&amp;P 500, investors are essentially only getting earnings growth as a premium. In short, the 10-year yield could put severe pressure on the S&amp;P 500 multiple if it keeps going higher.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2fc88085e3e826dcdbb8e67eb3127fc9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"401\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Author&#39;s Visualization, Federal Reserve Data</p><p>The last time the 10-year yield was around 4%, in the early to mid-2000s, the earnings yield was closer to 6%, or a historical average valuation of about 16x the P/E ratio. And that does not include any earnings deterioration that usually occurs in a recession.</p><p>Currently, stocks justaren&#39;t cheapat 22x earnings, we think, with a Federal Reserve that wants to keep interest rates above 5% for a long time, perhaps until something breaks.</p><p><b>The Bottom Line</b></p><p>While the Fed focuses on lagging indicators such as the labor market or prefers not to take too much account of what is going on in the housing market and its effect on the CPI, we believe these questions should be raised and made a real concern.</p><p>We think that the Federal Reserve, as always in history, will raise interest rates until something breaks. The deflationary forces we are seeing, along with the Fed&#39;s attitude that it thinks it is fighting inflation as it did in the 1970s, lead us to believe that the Fed will massively overshoot and keep interest rates high until the jobs market breaks and the S&amp;P 500 is once again down more than 30% than ever before. Since it looks to us like the Fed is in pole position to crash the economy, we advise investors to be cautious about equity rallies based on the assumption that the Federal Reserve will pivot soon.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1ca1ca125b1e2c70f08cbd9d9830b30c\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Data by YCharts</p><p>We are cautious about long-duration, such as pure growth stocks, and prefer short-term t-bills with yields around 5%, cash, and a concentrated portfolio of stocks that already have strong free cash flow. Or ones who have the potential to generate said cash soon to buy back shares or pay dividends.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha_fund","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Fed Is Likely Leading The S&P 500 Into A Crushing Zone</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Fed Is Likely Leading The S&P 500 Into A Crushing Zone\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-02-21 12:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4579934-the-fed-is-likely-leading-the-s-and-p-500-into-a-crushing-zone><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryIt appears to us as if the Fed is fighting an asset bubble rather than trying to lower inflation, looking at the shelter component of CPI.We think the Fed, like every other time in history, ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4579934-the-fed-is-likely-leading-the-s-and-p-500-into-a-crushing-zone\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4579934-the-fed-is-likely-leading-the-s-and-p-500-into-a-crushing-zone","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1144079267","content_text":"SummaryIt appears to us as if the Fed is fighting an asset bubble rather than trying to lower inflation, looking at the shelter component of CPI.We think the Fed, like every other time in history, will continue to raise interest rates and keep them there until something breaks, listening to their Fed talk.As the Fed continues to raise interest rates, the 20-year-old concept of 'TINA' appears to be called into question as treasuries become more attractive.With a P/E ratio near 22 and crushing yields hanging over its head, we caution investors buying into this S&P 500 rally so far, and suggest what better alternatives might be.The S&P 500 (NYSEARCA:SPY) has had an explosive year so far, rebounding and already up more than 6% YTD. This is in stark contrast to the Federal Reserve, which continues to raise interest rates and maintains its hawkish stance.Fed fund futures are already currently assuming a Fed Funds rate of 5.50% in November 2023. It also means that the Fed is playing with fire or lighting a fire under what used to be \"TINA\" or \"there is no alternative,\" now that the 6-month interest rate has broken through the 5% barrier.CME GroupFed TalkLast week, the calendar was full of FOMC members speaking out and giving subtle hints about the future of interest rates and where they believe inflation to be going. For example, one of the disturbing trends we noticed was that FOMC members were constantly drawingcomparisons between the current inflationary environment and that of the 1970s.Inflation is a pernicious problem. One of the lessons of the last two years is that everybody feels the effects of inflation. It's pretty much across the spectrum. So rich and poor, young and old, everybody notices. So if we can't get this problem under control soon, we risk a replay of the 1970s. (St. Louis President James Bullard)He also said he would not rule out a 50bp rate hike at the March meeting, and reportedly advocated that at the previous meeting. Bullard also said he would like to bring the Fed's policy rate to 5.375% and reaffirmed his position on the duration of this inflation:My overall judgment is it will be a long battle against inflation, and we’ll probably have to continue to show inflation-fighting resolve as we go through 2023.Bullard is another member who has advocated the \"front-loading\" of monetary policy in the past. Worse, the FOMC member opposed monetary policy slowdowns, one of the main factors preventing the Fed from raising interest rates faster:I have pushed back against the long and variable lags argument… because I think in the modern era the transmission of monetary policy is much faster than it would have been in the 50s, 60s and 70s.Federal Reserve (FRED)Loretta Mester, another hawkish FOMC member,also sawa \"compelling case for another 50 basis point rate hike\" earlier this month. But more importantly, about what steps to expect at subsequent meetings, she said in the question-and-answer session:The Fed could accelerate the pace of rate increases again if economic conditions warrant. It’s not always going to be, you know, 25(bp).A pause certainly does not seem to be on FOMC member Mester's books just yet, for when asked when they would pause, she noted that Fed officials are still raising interest rates to levels that are restrictive enough. Finally, she also noted that inflation risks are still on the upside, and those upside risks argue for \"overshooting.\"Nothing right now is leading me to think that I need to really be focused on that question at this point.Other members, such as Member Bowman and Member Barkin, affirm their view that it will be a long battle against inflation. Richmond Fed Chairman Thomas Barkin also raises the message not to make the mistakes made in the 1970s.I think there's a very good case for leaving rates higher, for a longer period of time to allow the tightening to hit. I do think the lesson of the 70s was very clear, which is don't give up too early.Federal Reserve (FRED)Remarkably, Barkin also referred on Bloomberg to that period that \"their predecessors did the right thing,\" by which he probably meant Paul Volcker and called it a pursuit of him and the Fed.To sum up all the Fed talk: FOMC members don't even think or consider a pivot, some would even prefer to overshoot and like to refer to the 1970s, basically calling for keeping interest rates higher for longer despite seeing inflation already coming down.Our position is that while the markets continue to rally, Fed members still seem to want to take the stance of Volcker. And eventually, something has to give. In this game of chicken, it looks like the Fed will stick to its game plan to get inflation back to 2%, which seems impossible at the moment without causing a recession. Though thing seems certain: interest rates are probably going nowhere but up this year.What Recession?We believe the Federal Reserve will continue to raise interest rates until the economy breaks, and also like to refer to the Federal Reserve's attitude toward economic growth in the past for that matter. After GDP was negative for 2 consecutive quarters last year, theFed's attitudewas essentially: recession? What recession?I do not think the U.S. is currently in a recession. And the reason is, there are just too many areas of the economy that are performing, you know, too well, and of course I would point to the labor market in particular.A rather strange statement, as most people and the Fed itself knows thatthe labor market is seen as a lagging indicator. In the past, whenever the labor market began to deteriorate, it was already too late to take action because the recession was already underway.Take even recent data, from 2000 and 2008, where the Fed cut interest rates, and the labor market just kept deteriorating with a slowing effect until the end of the recession.Federal Reserve (FRED)There are very few reasons to believe that some sort of \"soft landing\" is in the books, as the Fed has single-handedly crashed the economy in the past every time it raised interest rates. The notion \"the Fed raises interest rates until something breaks\" has proven true throughout history.Returning to the Fed's earlier speech, it is in fact what FOMC members have also indicated, with member Mester, for example, indicating that they prefer to \"overshoot.\" Will it be different this time? The yield curve tells us a story.Federal Reserve (FRED)The Fed and the National Bureau for Economic Research (NBER) do not want to label current economic conditions as a recession yet. But funnily enough, by the time a period is defined as a recession, employment is already in the gutter and the S&P 500 is down by more than 30% in recent history.Fighting An Asset Bubble?When we talk about CPI, we are often surprised how little the various components of that inflation are mentioned. If we look at the CPI index, it is still up 6.34% year-on-year, well above the 2% target.But if we take the shelter component out of the equation, we see that inflation has been absolutely flat in recent months. When we hear \"sticky inflation,\" we hear little about the housing market.Federal Reserve (FRED)The shelter component consists of both rent and 'owners' equivalent rent'. When we plot both elements of the shelter component, we see something remarkable.Owner-equivalent rent and rent itself have still gone completely vertical in recent months, despite reports from the housing market showing a notable slowdown due to higher mortgage rates, which nearly reached 7% last November.Federal Reserve (FRED)Both of these are known as lagging indicators, and yet market participants seem to overlook them completely. Because if we look at actual data, from sources that have real-time data, such asRedfinand theNational Association of Realtors, we see that the median sales price of a home is more than 11% lower than at its peak.Data by YChartsEvery measurement of the housing market showed cracks last year, with the median sales price falling significantly from its highest point ever.Data by YChartsAnd so it should be, as interest rates have risen at the fastest pace since the 1980s, and mortgages have become much more expensive, with 30-year mortgage rates well above 6%.Yet the Federal Reserve's website shows that housing indicators are still resilient and stagnant around current levels. On the Fed's website, the median sales price of a home sold in the United States rose from $329K in early 2020 to $468K today. That's a 45.34% increase over three years.Federal Reserve (FRED)Rents, according toreal-time datafrom mostsources, also point to a decline, in contrast to the Federal Reserve's lagging data, which indicates that the huge inflationary pressures in that market are still being felt.This discrepancy between the Federal Reserve and many economists looking at lagging data raises many questions for us as to whether, when they talk about sticky inflation, they are looking at all components of the CPI.Rent.comTo put that in perspective, we have seen exactly the same increase in house prices over the past three years that we saw between Q4 2004 and 2020. So we ask: is the Fed fighting inflation, or an asset bubble?In our view, if the Fed wants to get interest rates below 2%, they are either waiting for the year-over-year equations in the housing market to fall, which is a lagging indicator, or have profound deflation in other parts of the economy. And right now we don't see those other parts showing strong deflation. On the other hand, if the housing market cracks, or the equations drop from year to year, we could end up with inflation well below target.And if that happens, we end up as usual in a recession with a significant drop in the S&P 500 and perhaps even deflation on a YoY basis. This could be the scenario as the Fed is keen to keep interest rates higher for longer.Federal Reserve (FRED)And that also raises the question of what would happen when we finally felt the effect of these interest rates. As some FOMC members pointed out, they have come to believe that \"long and variable lags\" in this modern economy may not be that long or variable.Whereas research shows that it takes 12 months formonetary policy changes, such as interest rate changes, to take effect and 18 months for the full effect to be felt. To put that into context, we have already experienced profound deflationary forces recently, while according to the research, no interest rate hike has been felt yet.These changes should not be felt until the end of this year and take full effect in 2024. Therefore, we still see a recession by the end of this year or at the start of 2024.Federal Reserve (FRED)But what was the Fed focusing on this week? The main focus seems to be onretail sales, which came in hot and indicated that consumer spending remains strong. This raises the odds of the Fed raising interest rates.And for us, it increases the likelihood that the Fed will continue to raise interest rates to a much too tight level, and that the Fed will make such policy mistake worse if just a couple of bad inflation prints show up. We urge investors to ask the question: when was the last time the Fed made the right decision? And let's face it: we don't know where the Fed will go with interest rates, we can't predict the future. But right now, looking at the Fed's past actions and their comments, it doesn't look good.One thing we can take away from every meeting that is a given is that under no circumstances will the Fed consider a 2% inflation target increase. And it seems that certain market participants don't understand why that should be, and just tolerate a 3% or 4% target.Federal Reserve (FRED)Wages are not keeping up with inflation, and personal savings at its lowest point in decades. For example, more than half of Americanscannot cover $1,000 for emergencies with savings.If inflation continues at these levels, the average American will be crushed by it. This time the Fed will rally behind the average American, who does not own the assets that have been inflated, and the Fed will keep going, probably until those assets are crushed.The Fed has reiterated, time and again, that difficult markets are not as bad as vastly increased inflation for the average household. Also from a technical standpoint, we think the 2022 lows will be tested again this year.TradingView, AuthorFinally, another factor is how this higher interest rate may affect the dynamic we have had over the last 20 years or so of \"TINA,\" or lack of good alternatives to stocks.As you can see in the chart below, we took Federal Reserve data and plotted the earnings yield of the S&P 500 over the past 60 years and compared it to the yield investors get from 10-year Treasuries. We chose 10-year Treasuries because this is often used as the discount rate in discounted cash flow models, looking 10 years ahead. The 10-year yield broke 4% last year and currently stands at 3.82% in an upward trend.This compares with an earnings yield for the S&P 500, which is only 4.59%. For example, if that 10-year yield approaches the earnings yield of the S&P 500, investors are essentially only getting earnings growth as a premium. In short, the 10-year yield could put severe pressure on the S&P 500 multiple if it keeps going higher.Author's Visualization, Federal Reserve DataThe last time the 10-year yield was around 4%, in the early to mid-2000s, the earnings yield was closer to 6%, or a historical average valuation of about 16x the P/E ratio. And that does not include any earnings deterioration that usually occurs in a recession.Currently, stocks justaren't cheapat 22x earnings, we think, with a Federal Reserve that wants to keep interest rates above 5% for a long time, perhaps until something breaks.The Bottom LineWhile the Fed focuses on lagging indicators such as the labor market or prefers not to take too much account of what is going on in the housing market and its effect on the CPI, we believe these questions should be raised and made a real concern.We think that the Federal Reserve, as always in history, will raise interest rates until something breaks. The deflationary forces we are seeing, along with the Fed's attitude that it thinks it is fighting inflation as it did in the 1970s, lead us to believe that the Fed will massively overshoot and keep interest rates high until the jobs market breaks and the S&P 500 is once again down more than 30% than ever before. Since it looks to us like the Fed is in pole position to crash the economy, we advise investors to be cautious about equity rallies based on the assumption that the Federal Reserve will pivot soon.Data by YChartsWe are cautious about long-duration, such as pure growth stocks, and prefer short-term t-bills with yields around 5%, cash, and a concentrated portfolio of stocks that already have strong free cash flow. Or ones who have the potential to generate said cash soon to buy back shares or pay dividends.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":164,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9982213084,"gmtCreate":1667183808548,"gmtModify":1676537872980,"author":{"id":"3583665662213187","authorId":"3583665662213187","name":"TSY123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af38fbc4f07efb7ae9b5ebd03aa4b79b","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583665662213187","authorIdStr":"3583665662213187"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9982213084","repostId":"2279823208","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2279823208","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1667172399,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2279823208?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-31 07:26","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Federal Reserve Meeting, October Jobs Data, Uber and PayPal Earnings, and More for Investors to Watch this Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2279823208","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"By Nicholas Jasinski \n\n\n     It's another busy week of third-quarter earnings, plus an expected inte","content":"<font class=\"NormalMinus1\" face=\"Arial\">\n<pre>\nBy Nicholas Jasinski \n</pre>\n<p>\n     It's another busy week of third-quarter earnings, plus an expected interest-rate increase by the Federal Reserve. The central bank's policy committee meets on Tuesday and Wednesday, and is widely projected to lift its target rate by three-quarters of a percentage point for a fourth-straight time, to 3.75%-4%. The week closes with the October jobs report. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Some 160 S&amp;P 500 companies are scheduled to report this week. Arista Networks, NXP Semiconductors, and Stryker kick things off on Monday, followed by a busy Tuesday: Airbnb, Advanced Micro Devices, BP, Marathon Petroleum, Newmont, Pfizer, Simon Property Group, and Uber Technologies all report. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Wednesday's earnings highlights will include <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BKNG\">Booking Holdings</a>, CVS Health, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EBAY\">eBay</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PARA\">Paramount Global</a>, and Qualcomm. ConocoPhillips, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ILMN\">Illumina</a>, Moderna, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PYPL\">PayPal</a> Holdings, Starbucks, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WBD\">Warner Bros. Discovery</a> report on Thursday, then Cardinal Health and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DEX.AU\">Duke</a> Energy, close the week on Friday. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Economic data to watch this week will include October employment figures from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. On average, economists are forecasting a gain of 225,00 nonfarm payrolls, following growth of 263,000 in September. The unemployment rate is seen ticking up to 3.6%. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Tuesday's Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey will provide additional insight into the state of the U.S. labor market. Economist consensus calls for 9.75 million job openings on the last business day of September, which would be down by 300,000 from a month earlier. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Other economic data out this week includes th e Institute for Supply Management's Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index for October on Tuesday and the Services equivalent on Thursday. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Monday 10/31 \n</p>\n<p>\n     Aflac, Arista Networks, NXP Semiconductors, Stryker, and Williams Cos. release earnings. \n</p>\n<p>\n     The Institute for Supply Management releases its Chicago Business Barometer for October. Consensus estimate is for a 47.1 reading, about two points more than September's 45.7. The September figure was the lowest and the first reading below 50 since June 2020, indicating a contracting economy. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Tuesday 11/1 \n</p>\n<p>\n     Airbnb, Advanced Micro Devices, BP, Clorox, Devon Energy, Eaton, Electronic Arts, Eli Lilly, Marathon Petroleum, Mondelez International, Newmont, Pfizer, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PSX\">Phillips 66</a>, Simon Property Group, and Uber Technologies report quarterly results. \n</p>\n<p>\n     The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey. Economists forecast 10 million job openings on the last business day of September, 53,000 fewer than in August. Job openings fell by 1.1 million in August, the largest decline since the onset of the pandemic, suggesting that a historically tight job market might be loosening. \n</p>\n<p>\n     The ISM releases its Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index for October. Expectations are for a 50 reading, one point less than in September. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Wednesday 11/2 \n</p>\n<p>\n     The Federal Open Market Committee announces its monetary-policy decision. Wall Street expects a three-quarters of a percentage point increase, bringing the federal-funds rate to 3.75%-4%. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Allstate, APA, Booking Holdings, CVS Health, eBay, Emerson Electric, Equinix, Estée Lauder, Humana, MetLife, Novo Nordisk, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PARAA\">Paramount Global</a>, Qualcomm, and Yum! Brands announce earnings. \n</p>\n<p>\n     ADP releases its National Employment Report for October. The consensus call is for private-sector employment to increase by 199,000, slightly below the 208,000 gain in September. Job growth has moderated somewhat following a torrid 18-month stretch. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Thursday 11/3 \n</p>\n<p>\n     Amgen, Cigna, ConocoPhillips, Cummins, Exelon, Illumina, Intercontinental Exchange, Kellogg, Marriott International, Moderna, PayPal Holdings, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Starbucks, Warner Bros. Discovery, and Zoetis hold conference calls to discuss quarterly results. \n</p>\n<p>\n     ISM releases its Services PMI for October. Economists forecast a 55.3 reading, which would be slightly less than the September data. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Friday 11/4 \n</p>\n<p>\n     Cardinal Health, Cboe Global Markets, Dominion Energy, Duke Energy, and Hershey release earnings. \n</p>\n<p>\n     The BLS releases the jobs report for October. The economy is expected to add 200,000 nonfarm payrolls after a 263,000 increase in September. The unemployment rate is seen edging up to 3.6% from 3.5%, near half-century lows. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Write to Nicholas Jasinski at nicholas.jasinski@barrons.com \n</p>\n<pre>\n \n</pre>\n<p>\n  (END) Dow Jones Newswires\n</p>\n<p>\n  October 30, 2022 18:09 ET (22:09 GMT)\n</p>\n<p>\n  Copyright (c) 2022 Dow Jones &amp; Company, Inc.\n</p>\n</font>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Federal Reserve Meeting, October Jobs Data, Uber and PayPal Earnings, and More for Investors to Watch this Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFederal Reserve Meeting, October Jobs Data, Uber and PayPal Earnings, and More for Investors to Watch this Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-10-31 07:26</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<font class=\"NormalMinus1\" face=\"Arial\">\n<pre>\nBy Nicholas Jasinski \n</pre>\n<p>\n     It's another busy week of third-quarter earnings, plus an expected interest-rate increase by the Federal Reserve. The central bank's policy committee meets on Tuesday and Wednesday, and is widely projected to lift its target rate by three-quarters of a percentage point for a fourth-straight time, to 3.75%-4%. The week closes with the October jobs report. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Some 160 S&amp;P 500 companies are scheduled to report this week. Arista Networks, NXP Semiconductors, and Stryker kick things off on Monday, followed by a busy Tuesday: Airbnb, Advanced Micro Devices, BP, Marathon Petroleum, Newmont, Pfizer, Simon Property Group, and Uber Technologies all report. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Wednesday's earnings highlights will include <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BKNG\">Booking Holdings</a>, CVS Health, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EBAY\">eBay</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PARA\">Paramount Global</a>, and Qualcomm. ConocoPhillips, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ILMN\">Illumina</a>, Moderna, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PYPL\">PayPal</a> Holdings, Starbucks, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WBD\">Warner Bros. Discovery</a> report on Thursday, then Cardinal Health and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DEX.AU\">Duke</a> Energy, close the week on Friday. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Economic data to watch this week will include October employment figures from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. On average, economists are forecasting a gain of 225,00 nonfarm payrolls, following growth of 263,000 in September. The unemployment rate is seen ticking up to 3.6%. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Tuesday's Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey will provide additional insight into the state of the U.S. labor market. Economist consensus calls for 9.75 million job openings on the last business day of September, which would be down by 300,000 from a month earlier. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Other economic data out this week includes th e Institute for Supply Management's Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index for October on Tuesday and the Services equivalent on Thursday. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Monday 10/31 \n</p>\n<p>\n     Aflac, Arista Networks, NXP Semiconductors, Stryker, and Williams Cos. release earnings. \n</p>\n<p>\n     The Institute for Supply Management releases its Chicago Business Barometer for October. Consensus estimate is for a 47.1 reading, about two points more than September's 45.7. The September figure was the lowest and the first reading below 50 since June 2020, indicating a contracting economy. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Tuesday 11/1 \n</p>\n<p>\n     Airbnb, Advanced Micro Devices, BP, Clorox, Devon Energy, Eaton, Electronic Arts, Eli Lilly, Marathon Petroleum, Mondelez International, Newmont, Pfizer, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PSX\">Phillips 66</a>, Simon Property Group, and Uber Technologies report quarterly results. \n</p>\n<p>\n     The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey. Economists forecast 10 million job openings on the last business day of September, 53,000 fewer than in August. Job openings fell by 1.1 million in August, the largest decline since the onset of the pandemic, suggesting that a historically tight job market might be loosening. \n</p>\n<p>\n     The ISM releases its Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index for October. Expectations are for a 50 reading, one point less than in September. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Wednesday 11/2 \n</p>\n<p>\n     The Federal Open Market Committee announces its monetary-policy decision. Wall Street expects a three-quarters of a percentage point increase, bringing the federal-funds rate to 3.75%-4%. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Allstate, APA, Booking Holdings, CVS Health, eBay, Emerson Electric, Equinix, Estée Lauder, Humana, MetLife, Novo Nordisk, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PARAA\">Paramount Global</a>, Qualcomm, and Yum! Brands announce earnings. \n</p>\n<p>\n     ADP releases its National Employment Report for October. The consensus call is for private-sector employment to increase by 199,000, slightly below the 208,000 gain in September. Job growth has moderated somewhat following a torrid 18-month stretch. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Thursday 11/3 \n</p>\n<p>\n     Amgen, Cigna, ConocoPhillips, Cummins, Exelon, Illumina, Intercontinental Exchange, Kellogg, Marriott International, Moderna, PayPal Holdings, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Starbucks, Warner Bros. Discovery, and Zoetis hold conference calls to discuss quarterly results. \n</p>\n<p>\n     ISM releases its Services PMI for October. Economists forecast a 55.3 reading, which would be slightly less than the September data. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Friday 11/4 \n</p>\n<p>\n     Cardinal Health, Cboe Global Markets, Dominion Energy, Duke Energy, and Hershey release earnings. \n</p>\n<p>\n     The BLS releases the jobs report for October. The economy is expected to add 200,000 nonfarm payrolls after a 263,000 increase in September. The unemployment rate is seen edging up to 3.6% from 3.5%, near half-century lows. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Write to Nicholas Jasinski at nicholas.jasinski@barrons.com \n</p>\n<pre>\n \n</pre>\n<p>\n  (END) Dow Jones Newswires\n</p>\n<p>\n  October 30, 2022 18:09 ET (22:09 GMT)\n</p>\n<p>\n  Copyright (c) 2022 Dow Jones &amp; Company, Inc.\n</p>\n</font>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯","ISBC":"投资者银行",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","WBD":"Warner Bros. Discovery","MPC":"马拉松原油","CAH":"卡地纳健康",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","UBER":"优步","PYPL":"PayPal","AMD":"美国超微公司"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2279823208","content_text":"By Nicholas Jasinski \n\n\n     It's another busy week of third-quarter earnings, plus an expected interest-rate increase by the Federal Reserve. The central bank's policy committee meets on Tuesday and Wednesday, and is widely projected to lift its target rate by three-quarters of a percentage point for a fourth-straight time, to 3.75%-4%. The week closes with the October jobs report. \n\n\n     Some 160 S&P 500 companies are scheduled to report this week. Arista Networks, NXP Semiconductors, and Stryker kick things off on Monday, followed by a busy Tuesday: Airbnb, Advanced Micro Devices, BP, Marathon Petroleum, Newmont, Pfizer, Simon Property Group, and Uber Technologies all report. \n\n\n     Wednesday's earnings highlights will include Booking Holdings, CVS Health, eBay, Paramount Global, and Qualcomm. ConocoPhillips, Illumina, Moderna, PayPal Holdings, Starbucks, and Warner Bros. Discovery report on Thursday, then Cardinal Health and Duke Energy, close the week on Friday. \n\n\n     Economic data to watch this week will include October employment figures from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. On average, economists are forecasting a gain of 225,00 nonfarm payrolls, following growth of 263,000 in September. The unemployment rate is seen ticking up to 3.6%. \n\n\n     Tuesday's Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey will provide additional insight into the state of the U.S. labor market. Economist consensus calls for 9.75 million job openings on the last business day of September, which would be down by 300,000 from a month earlier. \n\n\n     Other economic data out this week includes th e Institute for Supply Management's Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index for October on Tuesday and the Services equivalent on Thursday. \n\n\n     Monday 10/31 \n\n\n     Aflac, Arista Networks, NXP Semiconductors, Stryker, and Williams Cos. release earnings. \n\n\n     The Institute for Supply Management releases its Chicago Business Barometer for October. Consensus estimate is for a 47.1 reading, about two points more than September's 45.7. The September figure was the lowest and the first reading below 50 since June 2020, indicating a contracting economy. \n\n\n     Tuesday 11/1 \n\n\n     Airbnb, Advanced Micro Devices, BP, Clorox, Devon Energy, Eaton, Electronic Arts, Eli Lilly, Marathon Petroleum, Mondelez International, Newmont, Pfizer, Phillips 66, Simon Property Group, and Uber Technologies report quarterly results. \n\n\n     The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey. Economists forecast 10 million job openings on the last business day of September, 53,000 fewer than in August. Job openings fell by 1.1 million in August, the largest decline since the onset of the pandemic, suggesting that a historically tight job market might be loosening. \n\n\n     The ISM releases its Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index for October. Expectations are for a 50 reading, one point less than in September. \n\n\n     Wednesday 11/2 \n\n\n     The Federal Open Market Committee announces its monetary-policy decision. Wall Street expects a three-quarters of a percentage point increase, bringing the federal-funds rate to 3.75%-4%. \n\n\n     Allstate, APA, Booking Holdings, CVS Health, eBay, Emerson Electric, Equinix, Estée Lauder, Humana, MetLife, Novo Nordisk, Paramount Global, Qualcomm, and Yum! Brands announce earnings. \n\n\n     ADP releases its National Employment Report for October. The consensus call is for private-sector employment to increase by 199,000, slightly below the 208,000 gain in September. Job growth has moderated somewhat following a torrid 18-month stretch. \n\n\n     Thursday 11/3 \n\n\n     Amgen, Cigna, ConocoPhillips, Cummins, Exelon, Illumina, Intercontinental Exchange, Kellogg, Marriott International, Moderna, PayPal Holdings, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Starbucks, Warner Bros. Discovery, and Zoetis hold conference calls to discuss quarterly results. \n\n\n     ISM releases its Services PMI for October. Economists forecast a 55.3 reading, which would be slightly less than the September data. \n\n\n     Friday 11/4 \n\n\n     Cardinal Health, Cboe Global Markets, Dominion Energy, Duke Energy, and Hershey release earnings. \n\n\n     The BLS releases the jobs report for October. The economy is expected to add 200,000 nonfarm payrolls after a 263,000 increase in September. The unemployment rate is seen edging up to 3.6% from 3.5%, near half-century lows. \n\n\n     Write to Nicholas Jasinski at nicholas.jasinski@barrons.com \n\n\n \n\n\n  (END) Dow Jones Newswires\n\n\n  October 30, 2022 18:09 ET (22:09 GMT)\n\n\n  Copyright (c) 2022 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":58,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9968742231,"gmtCreate":1669337324523,"gmtModify":1676538184554,"author":{"id":"3583665662213187","authorId":"3583665662213187","name":"TSY123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af38fbc4f07efb7ae9b5ebd03aa4b79b","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583665662213187","authorIdStr":"3583665662213187"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like&nbsp;","listText":"Like&nbsp;","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9968742231","repostId":"1193137731","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1193137731","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1669336801,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1193137731?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-25 08:40","market":"sg","language":"en","title":"Singapore Stocks to Watch: Chip Eng Seng, Kimly, Marco Polo Marine, Keppel Corp, Golden Agri","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1193137731","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"The following companies saw new developments that may affect the trading of their securities on Frid","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The following companies saw new developments that may affect the trading of their securities on Friday (Nov 25):</p><p>Chip Eng Seng’s chairman Celine Tang and her husband Gordon Tang have together tabled a voluntary conditional cash offer to acquire all issued ordinary shares in the property player at a price tag of S$0.72 apiece, with the end goal of privatising and delisting the company from the Singapore Exchange (SGX) should they attain more than 90 percent of shares.</p><p>Kimly posted a 13.4 percent drop in net profit to S$34 million for the 2022 full year, from S$39.3 million a year earlier, despite a revenue jump. This was mainly due to lower non-taxable government grants, the company said in a Thursday (Nov 24) bourse filing.</p><p>Marco Polo Marine on Thursday (Nov 24) reported a net profit of S$10.5 million for the second half of the fiscal year ended September, a 19 percent increase from earnings of S$8.8 million in the year-ago period.</p><p>Keppel Corporation’s offshore and marine (O&amp;M) arm, Keppel O&amp;M, has received a payment of about US$160 million following the delivery of the first of three jackup rigs to ADNOC Drilling Company PJSC (ADNOC Drilling).</p><p>Koperink Global Investors LLC – an investment management company headquartered in Tampa, Florida – has ceased to be a substantial shareholder of local palm oil player Golden Agri-Resources.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Singapore Stocks to Watch: Chip Eng Seng, Kimly, Marco Polo Marine, Keppel Corp, Golden Agri</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSingapore Stocks to Watch: Chip Eng Seng, Kimly, Marco Polo Marine, Keppel Corp, Golden Agri\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-11-25 08:40</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>The following companies saw new developments that may affect the trading of their securities on Friday (Nov 25):</p><p>Chip Eng Seng’s chairman Celine Tang and her husband Gordon Tang have together tabled a voluntary conditional cash offer to acquire all issued ordinary shares in the property player at a price tag of S$0.72 apiece, with the end goal of privatising and delisting the company from the Singapore Exchange (SGX) should they attain more than 90 percent of shares.</p><p>Kimly posted a 13.4 percent drop in net profit to S$34 million for the 2022 full year, from S$39.3 million a year earlier, despite a revenue jump. This was mainly due to lower non-taxable government grants, the company said in a Thursday (Nov 24) bourse filing.</p><p>Marco Polo Marine on Thursday (Nov 24) reported a net profit of S$10.5 million for the second half of the fiscal year ended September, a 19 percent increase from earnings of S$8.8 million in the year-ago period.</p><p>Keppel Corporation’s offshore and marine (O&amp;M) arm, Keppel O&amp;M, has received a payment of about US$160 million following the delivery of the first of three jackup rigs to ADNOC Drilling Company PJSC (ADNOC Drilling).</p><p>Koperink Global Investors LLC – an investment management company headquartered in Tampa, Florida – has ceased to be a substantial shareholder of local palm oil player Golden Agri-Resources.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BN4.SI":"吉宝有限公司","E5H.SI":"金光农业资源","5LY.SI":"马可波罗海业","1D0.SI":"金味有限公司"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1193137731","content_text":"The following companies saw new developments that may affect the trading of their securities on Friday (Nov 25):Chip Eng Seng’s chairman Celine Tang and her husband Gordon Tang have together tabled a voluntary conditional cash offer to acquire all issued ordinary shares in the property player at a price tag of S$0.72 apiece, with the end goal of privatising and delisting the company from the Singapore Exchange (SGX) should they attain more than 90 percent of shares.Kimly posted a 13.4 percent drop in net profit to S$34 million for the 2022 full year, from S$39.3 million a year earlier, despite a revenue jump. This was mainly due to lower non-taxable government grants, the company said in a Thursday (Nov 24) bourse filing.Marco Polo Marine on Thursday (Nov 24) reported a net profit of S$10.5 million for the second half of the fiscal year ended September, a 19 percent increase from earnings of S$8.8 million in the year-ago period.Keppel Corporation’s offshore and marine (O&M) arm, Keppel O&M, has received a payment of about US$160 million following the delivery of the first of three jackup rigs to ADNOC Drilling Company PJSC (ADNOC Drilling).Koperink Global Investors LLC – an investment management company headquartered in Tampa, Florida – has ceased to be a substantial shareholder of local palm oil player Golden Agri-Resources.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":175,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9968121297,"gmtCreate":1669163430219,"gmtModify":1676538160122,"author":{"id":"3583665662213187","authorId":"3583665662213187","name":"TSY123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af38fbc4f07efb7ae9b5ebd03aa4b79b","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583665662213187","authorIdStr":"3583665662213187"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9968121297","repostId":"1120816334","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1120816334","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1669175704,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1120816334?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-23 11:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Best Cathie Wood Stocks to Buy Now","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1120816334","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"Despite a brutal bear market, investors are still looking for the best Cathie Wood stocks to buy.Tesla(TSLA) is hard to ignore with its shares trading near their 52-week lows, but the company still le","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Despite a brutal bear market, investors are still looking for the best Cathie Wood stocks to buy.</li><li><b>Tesla</b>(<b><u>TSLA</u></b>) is hard to ignore with its shares trading near their 52-week lows, but the company still leading the EV revolution.</li><li><b>Zoom Video</b>(<b><u>ZM</u></b>) stock has been decimated, and while it is growing slowly, it also has a low valuation and is free cash flow positive.</li><li><b>Nvidia</b>(<b><u>NVDA</u></b>) is a high-quality tech giant, making critical chip components for top-level technology. It will rebound off its lows.</li></ul><p>In a bear market, a bull market or a flat market, investors will be interested in what <b>Ark’s</b> Cathie Wood is doing. Because of her big, bold bets that have paid off in the past, investors are enthralled with her investments. Even following the brutal bear market, investors are wondering what the best Cathie Wood stocks to buy are.</p><p>That’s a tough question to answer because nearly every one of them has fallen very sharply.</p><p>The stock, bond and cryptocurrency markets ae all in brutal bear markets. That has made life incredibly tough for growth stocks, and Cathie Wood’s Ark funds primarily invests in growth stocks.</p><p>As a result, Wood’s flagship fund —<b>ARK Innovation ETF</b>(NYSEARCA: <b><u>ARKK</u></b>) — is down 78% from its all-time high, and the ETF is down 63% for the year.</p><p>With that said, however, here are the three best Cathie Wood stocks to buy now.</p><p><b>Best Cathie Wood Stocks: Tesla (TSLA)</b></p><p><b>Tesla</b>(NASDAQ: <b><u>TSLA</u></b>) is perhaps Cathie Wood’s most notorious holding. She took a large position in the name before its torrid rally. The move netted Ark a lot of money and made it a big name in finance. In recent months, though, Tesla has fallen sharply.</p><p>CEO Elon Musk recently bought <b>Twitter</b> and began managing the social network. So at the moment,  he’s running Tesla, <b>SpaceX</b>, <b>Boring Co</b>, and Twitter, along with other companies. One human can only do so much, right?</p><p>Add in the automaker’s quarterly earnings results and its Q3 deliveries total that both disappointed the Street,  and Tesla stock is now close to its 52-week lows.</p><p>But with the shares down just over 50% from their highs, TSLA may have become a value name.</p><p>And although its revenue is expected to surge 55% this year, analysts, on average expect the automaker’s top line to jump another 44% next year, and the mean estimate calls for Tesla to deliver at least 10% revenue growth through fiscal 2026.</p><p>Further, Tesla is profitable. At some point, this leader will find its way. Finally, TSLA stock’s support is not too far below its current levels.</p><p><b>Best Cathie Wood Stocks: Zoom Video (ZM)</b></p><p>While Tesla gets the most publicity, it’s no longer Ark’s biggest holding. Instead, that honor belongs to <b>Zoom Video</b>(NYSE:<b><u>ZM</u></b>).</p><p>ZM was probably one of the most widely discussed companies during the pandemic. In fact, Zoom was probably <i>the</i> top Covid-era growth stock.</p><p>During the pandemic, Zoom became a very widely used verb, much like Google. When the name of a company’s product becomes a widely used verb, the firm’s business is usually performing very well. But this year, ZM stock has been punished, as it’s currently down about 90% from its high.</p><p>That said, is Zoom’s <i>business</i> performing really badly?</p><p>On Nov. 21, the company’s earnings surpassed analysts’ average outlook, and its revenue was in-line with their mean estimate. Its revenue outlook would have topped analysts’ average estimate if not for currency fluctuations, while the firm ended the quarter with $5.2 billion of cash.</p><p>Yet the shares are falling 3.87% today. Additionally, the company is profitable and generates positive free cash flow. If the stock falls close to $60, speculative investors should consider buying it.</p><p><b>Nvidia (NVDA)</b></p><p>Last but not least is <b>Nvidia</b>(NASDAQ:<b><u>NVDA</u></b>). This stock is one of investors’ favorite holdings because during a good bull market, it can roar higher. And in reality, the shares deserve to rally during the next bull market.</p><p>Nvidia makes high-quality chips which are used to power the world’s most advanced technologies. In the latter category are gaming, supercomputing, cloud-computing, artificial intelligence, machine learning, autonomous driving, data centers and more.</p><p>That said, the stock has been killed.</p><p>The shares have suffered a peak-to-trough decline of over 65%, and they may not have bottomed yet. Analysts, on average,expect roughly flat revenue growth in fiscal 2023, but their mean estimate calls for Nvidia’s revenue to rebound in fiscal 2024 and beyond.</p><p>It’s worth noting that the company just completed its fiscal third quarter of FY 23, so, given analysts’ estimates, its business may have bottomed and could start to rebound soon. Even if that does not turn out to be the case, Nvidia is a high-quality stock.</p><p>Whether the peak-to-trough decline is going to be 69% or 75% or something else,  investors ought to buy top-notch companies that are trading at cheap levels when they can. Nvidia may not be a top position for Ark, but it’s, without question, one of the best Cathie Wood stocks.</p></body></html>","source":"investorplace","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Best Cathie Wood Stocks to Buy Now</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Best Cathie Wood Stocks to Buy Now\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-23 11:55 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://investorplace.com/best-cathie-wood-stocks/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Despite a brutal bear market, investors are still looking for the best Cathie Wood stocks to buy.Tesla(TSLA) is hard to ignore with its shares trading near their 52-week lows, but the company still ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/best-cathie-wood-stocks/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达","ZM":"Zoom","TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/best-cathie-wood-stocks/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1120816334","content_text":"Despite a brutal bear market, investors are still looking for the best Cathie Wood stocks to buy.Tesla(TSLA) is hard to ignore with its shares trading near their 52-week lows, but the company still leading the EV revolution.Zoom Video(ZM) stock has been decimated, and while it is growing slowly, it also has a low valuation and is free cash flow positive.Nvidia(NVDA) is a high-quality tech giant, making critical chip components for top-level technology. It will rebound off its lows.In a bear market, a bull market or a flat market, investors will be interested in what Ark’s Cathie Wood is doing. Because of her big, bold bets that have paid off in the past, investors are enthralled with her investments. Even following the brutal bear market, investors are wondering what the best Cathie Wood stocks to buy are.That’s a tough question to answer because nearly every one of them has fallen very sharply.The stock, bond and cryptocurrency markets ae all in brutal bear markets. That has made life incredibly tough for growth stocks, and Cathie Wood’s Ark funds primarily invests in growth stocks.As a result, Wood’s flagship fund —ARK Innovation ETF(NYSEARCA: ARKK) — is down 78% from its all-time high, and the ETF is down 63% for the year.With that said, however, here are the three best Cathie Wood stocks to buy now.Best Cathie Wood Stocks: Tesla (TSLA)Tesla(NASDAQ: TSLA) is perhaps Cathie Wood’s most notorious holding. She took a large position in the name before its torrid rally. The move netted Ark a lot of money and made it a big name in finance. In recent months, though, Tesla has fallen sharply.CEO Elon Musk recently bought Twitter and began managing the social network. So at the moment,  he’s running Tesla, SpaceX, Boring Co, and Twitter, along with other companies. One human can only do so much, right?Add in the automaker’s quarterly earnings results and its Q3 deliveries total that both disappointed the Street,  and Tesla stock is now close to its 52-week lows.But with the shares down just over 50% from their highs, TSLA may have become a value name.And although its revenue is expected to surge 55% this year, analysts, on average expect the automaker’s top line to jump another 44% next year, and the mean estimate calls for Tesla to deliver at least 10% revenue growth through fiscal 2026.Further, Tesla is profitable. At some point, this leader will find its way. Finally, TSLA stock’s support is not too far below its current levels.Best Cathie Wood Stocks: Zoom Video (ZM)While Tesla gets the most publicity, it’s no longer Ark’s biggest holding. Instead, that honor belongs to Zoom Video(NYSE:ZM).ZM was probably one of the most widely discussed companies during the pandemic. In fact, Zoom was probably the top Covid-era growth stock.During the pandemic, Zoom became a very widely used verb, much like Google. When the name of a company’s product becomes a widely used verb, the firm’s business is usually performing very well. But this year, ZM stock has been punished, as it’s currently down about 90% from its high.That said, is Zoom’s business performing really badly?On Nov. 21, the company’s earnings surpassed analysts’ average outlook, and its revenue was in-line with their mean estimate. Its revenue outlook would have topped analysts’ average estimate if not for currency fluctuations, while the firm ended the quarter with $5.2 billion of cash.Yet the shares are falling 3.87% today. Additionally, the company is profitable and generates positive free cash flow. If the stock falls close to $60, speculative investors should consider buying it.Nvidia (NVDA)Last but not least is Nvidia(NASDAQ:NVDA). This stock is one of investors’ favorite holdings because during a good bull market, it can roar higher. And in reality, the shares deserve to rally during the next bull market.Nvidia makes high-quality chips which are used to power the world’s most advanced technologies. In the latter category are gaming, supercomputing, cloud-computing, artificial intelligence, machine learning, autonomous driving, data centers and more.That said, the stock has been killed.The shares have suffered a peak-to-trough decline of over 65%, and they may not have bottomed yet. Analysts, on average,expect roughly flat revenue growth in fiscal 2023, but their mean estimate calls for Nvidia’s revenue to rebound in fiscal 2024 and beyond.It’s worth noting that the company just completed its fiscal third quarter of FY 23, so, given analysts’ estimates, its business may have bottomed and could start to rebound soon. Even if that does not turn out to be the case, Nvidia is a high-quality stock.Whether the peak-to-trough decline is going to be 69% or 75% or something else,  investors ought to buy top-notch companies that are trading at cheap levels when they can. Nvidia may not be a top position for Ark, but it’s, without question, one of the best Cathie Wood stocks.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":75,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9966858440,"gmtCreate":1669507304780,"gmtModify":1676538201863,"author":{"id":"3583665662213187","authorId":"3583665662213187","name":"TSY123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af38fbc4f07efb7ae9b5ebd03aa4b79b","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583665662213187","authorIdStr":"3583665662213187"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Okay&nbsp;","listText":"Okay&nbsp;","text":"Okay","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9966858440","repostId":"1170146184","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1170146184","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1669522674,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1170146184?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-27 12:17","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Tech Stocks You Can Count on in This Uncertain Market","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1170146184","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"Here are three top-quality tech stocks investors can count on in the long term.Apple(AAPL): Warren B","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Here are three top-quality tech stocks investors can count on in the long term.</li><li><b>Apple</b>(<b>AAPL</b>): Warren Buffett continues to buy because of its economic moat.</li><li><b>Advanced Micro Devices</b>(<b>AMD</b>): Analysts love this beaten-down tech name.</li><li><b>Nvidia</b>(<b>NVDA</b>): The bad news is already priced into downed stocks like Nvidia.</li></ul><p>2022 was a tough one for tech stocks. Most were walloped with higher interest rates, fears of aggressive rate hikes, geopolitical issues, economic concerns, and fed-up consumers. It chased even the sanest investors from the market. While it’s impossible to find a risk-free investment, some are safer than others – especially if they’re leaders in their sectors, with wide economic moats.</p><p>In fact, one of the best ways to spot strong tech stocks is to follow the Warren Buffett model, which is to invest in simple companies that are easy to understand; companies with predictable and proven earnings; companies that can be bought at a reasonable price; and companies with“economic moat,”or a unique advantage over its competition. Seeing that Warren Buffett is now worth about $108.2 billion, it’s a safe bet he knows a thing or two about safe investing.</p><p><b>Apple (AAPL)</b></p><p>With a diversified revenue stream, and an ability to adapt to new consumer trends, <b>Apple</b> (NASDAQ:<b>AAPL</b>) will always be one of the strong tech stocks to bet on. Even Warren Buffett once said he continues to invest in Apple because of its brand, ecosystem, and strong economic moat.</p><p>In addition, we have to consider that Apple is a global leader in innovation. Just look at the iPhone alone. First introduced to the public in 2007, it’s now one of the most popular mobile phones in the world, with a growing market share. Better, earnings have been solid.</p><p>The company just beat expectations on revenue and profits, and it showed that global demand for its products is still high. In its fourth quarter, the company’s revenue was up 8% to $90 billion. Mac sales were up 25% to $11.5 billion in the quarter. iPhone sales were up 10% to $42.6 billion. Operating income was up by 5% to $25 billion. EPS was up 4% to $1.29, putting it above expectations for $1.27.</p><p>Also, analysts, such as Deutsche Bank’s Sidney Ho, say Apple is trading at a reasonable valuation and has a buy rating with a price target of $175. Apple also carries a dividend yield of 0.66%, and it’s been aggressive with stock buybacks.</p><p><b>Tech Stocks: Advanced Micro Devices (AMD)</b></p><p><b>Advanced Micro Devices</b> (NASDAQ: <b>AMD</b>) was butchered for most of the year. But that’ll happen when most of the tech stock sector is dragging just about everything lower. However, after falling from about $150 to a low of about $60, the AMD stock is showing strong signs of life. With patience, I’d like to see the AMD stock run from its current price of $75.25 to $120 in the near term.</p><p>Analysts like the AMD stock, too. UBS upgraded AMD to a buy rating with a price target of $95 a share. Baird analyst Tristan Gerra also just upgraded the beaten-down tech name to outperform with a price target of $100. He believes the company’s newest Genoa chips could widen the company’s competitive moat. Credit Suisse analyst Chris Caso also initiated coverage of AMD with an outperform rating, with a price target of $90.</p><p>Piper Sandler analyst Harsh Kumar is also overweight on the stock, with a price target of $90. He added that earnings appear to be bottoming and that PC inventory should start to clear out in the early part of 2023. In addition, he believes AMD is a great way to trade the server uptrend and cloud strength.</p><p><b>Tech Stocks: Nvidia (NVDA)</b></p><p>While <b>Nvidia</b> (NASDAQ:<b>NVDA</b>) was cut in half this year, it’s still one quality, safe name investors can count on. For one, the company makes the chips that are used to power some of the world’s most advanced technologies, including gaming, supercomputing, the cloud, artificial intelligence, machine learning, virtual reality, augmented reality, autonomous driving, etc. Again, NVDA was destroyed in 2022. But it’s still a high-quality name to count on.</p><p>Better, it’s also getting a jump on the Industrial Omniverse, which is already being used by major companies, like <b>Lowe’s</b> (NYSE:LOW), <b>BMW</b>(OTCMKTS:BMWYY), <b>Siemens</b>(OTCMKTS:SIEGY), and <b>Lockheed Martin</b> (NYSE:LMT).</p><p>Analysts, like Credit Suisse’s Chris Casso, say there’s been enough bad news for semiconductors to lower the risk of investing. The firm also said Nvidia was one of its top picks thanks to its strength in artificial intelligence, computing, and data centers. Better, the firm now has an outperform rating on the stock, with a $210 price target. Piper Sandler analyst Harsh Kumar also sees a near-term turnaround for Nvidia and has an overweight rating on the stock. For me, from a current price of $160.38, I’d like to see the stock run back to $195 by the first half of the New Year.</p></body></html>","source":"investorplace","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Tech Stocks You Can Count on in This Uncertain Market</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Tech Stocks You Can Count on in This Uncertain Market\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-27 12:17 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://investorplace.com/2022/11/3-tech-stocks-you-can-count-on-in-this-uncertain-market/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Here are three top-quality tech stocks investors can count on in the long term.Apple(AAPL): Warren Buffett continues to buy because of its economic moat.Advanced Micro Devices(AMD): Analysts love this...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/11/3-tech-stocks-you-can-count-on-in-this-uncertain-market/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMD":"美国超微公司","NVDA":"英伟达","AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2022/11/3-tech-stocks-you-can-count-on-in-this-uncertain-market/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1170146184","content_text":"Here are three top-quality tech stocks investors can count on in the long term.Apple(AAPL): Warren Buffett continues to buy because of its economic moat.Advanced Micro Devices(AMD): Analysts love this beaten-down tech name.Nvidia(NVDA): The bad news is already priced into downed stocks like Nvidia.2022 was a tough one for tech stocks. Most were walloped with higher interest rates, fears of aggressive rate hikes, geopolitical issues, economic concerns, and fed-up consumers. It chased even the sanest investors from the market. While it’s impossible to find a risk-free investment, some are safer than others – especially if they’re leaders in their sectors, with wide economic moats.In fact, one of the best ways to spot strong tech stocks is to follow the Warren Buffett model, which is to invest in simple companies that are easy to understand; companies with predictable and proven earnings; companies that can be bought at a reasonable price; and companies with“economic moat,”or a unique advantage over its competition. Seeing that Warren Buffett is now worth about $108.2 billion, it’s a safe bet he knows a thing or two about safe investing.Apple (AAPL)With a diversified revenue stream, and an ability to adapt to new consumer trends, Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) will always be one of the strong tech stocks to bet on. Even Warren Buffett once said he continues to invest in Apple because of its brand, ecosystem, and strong economic moat.In addition, we have to consider that Apple is a global leader in innovation. Just look at the iPhone alone. First introduced to the public in 2007, it’s now one of the most popular mobile phones in the world, with a growing market share. Better, earnings have been solid.The company just beat expectations on revenue and profits, and it showed that global demand for its products is still high. In its fourth quarter, the company’s revenue was up 8% to $90 billion. Mac sales were up 25% to $11.5 billion in the quarter. iPhone sales were up 10% to $42.6 billion. Operating income was up by 5% to $25 billion. EPS was up 4% to $1.29, putting it above expectations for $1.27.Also, analysts, such as Deutsche Bank’s Sidney Ho, say Apple is trading at a reasonable valuation and has a buy rating with a price target of $175. Apple also carries a dividend yield of 0.66%, and it’s been aggressive with stock buybacks.Tech Stocks: Advanced Micro Devices (AMD)Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ: AMD) was butchered for most of the year. But that’ll happen when most of the tech stock sector is dragging just about everything lower. However, after falling from about $150 to a low of about $60, the AMD stock is showing strong signs of life. With patience, I’d like to see the AMD stock run from its current price of $75.25 to $120 in the near term.Analysts like the AMD stock, too. UBS upgraded AMD to a buy rating with a price target of $95 a share. Baird analyst Tristan Gerra also just upgraded the beaten-down tech name to outperform with a price target of $100. He believes the company’s newest Genoa chips could widen the company’s competitive moat. Credit Suisse analyst Chris Caso also initiated coverage of AMD with an outperform rating, with a price target of $90.Piper Sandler analyst Harsh Kumar is also overweight on the stock, with a price target of $90. He added that earnings appear to be bottoming and that PC inventory should start to clear out in the early part of 2023. In addition, he believes AMD is a great way to trade the server uptrend and cloud strength.Tech Stocks: Nvidia (NVDA)While Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) was cut in half this year, it’s still one quality, safe name investors can count on. For one, the company makes the chips that are used to power some of the world’s most advanced technologies, including gaming, supercomputing, the cloud, artificial intelligence, machine learning, virtual reality, augmented reality, autonomous driving, etc. Again, NVDA was destroyed in 2022. But it’s still a high-quality name to count on.Better, it’s also getting a jump on the Industrial Omniverse, which is already being used by major companies, like Lowe’s (NYSE:LOW), BMW(OTCMKTS:BMWYY), Siemens(OTCMKTS:SIEGY), and Lockheed Martin (NYSE:LMT).Analysts, like Credit Suisse’s Chris Casso, say there’s been enough bad news for semiconductors to lower the risk of investing. The firm also said Nvidia was one of its top picks thanks to its strength in artificial intelligence, computing, and data centers. Better, the firm now has an outperform rating on the stock, with a $210 price target. Piper Sandler analyst Harsh Kumar also sees a near-term turnaround for Nvidia and has an overweight rating on the stock. For me, from a current price of $160.38, I’d like to see the stock run back to $195 by the first half of the New Year.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":74,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9910942838,"gmtCreate":1663551010824,"gmtModify":1676537288084,"author":{"id":"3583665662213187","authorId":"3583665662213187","name":"TSY123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af38fbc4f07efb7ae9b5ebd03aa4b79b","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583665662213187","authorIdStr":"3583665662213187"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9910942838","repostId":"1100137906","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1100137906","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1663560476,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1100137906?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-19 12:07","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Fed Needs To Break The Market At This Week's Meeting","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1100137906","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryThe Fed has no room for errors at this week's FOMC meeting.The communications must be crystal","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>The Fed has no room for errors at this week&#39;s FOMC meeting.</li><li>The communications must be crystal to avoid a repeat of the July disaster.</li><li>The Fed needs the market to cave in to its demands.</li></ul><p>No matter how much the Fed has tried, the market still doesn&#39;t believe how serious the Fed is about bringing down inflation. The Fed has consistently said that it plans to raise rates to restrictive territory and hold rates there until there are clear signs that inflation is heading lower.</p><p>Yes, the Fed made a massive attempt to rein in the markets at Jackson Hole and hammered the point further in the days after Jackson Hole. Now, it needs to seal the deal. Yes, the market has started to buckle, but not enough. Fed Funds futures have repriced rapidly and now see terminal rates hitting nearly 4.4% by April.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/747885c2bf42aec7edd0434de89ff03d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"500\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p><b>Markets Still Don&#39;t Believe The Fed</b></p><p>But still, the market is pricing in rate cuts by the end of 2023 and sees rates falling back to 4%. So yes, while the market agrees that rates need to go higher, it still believes the Fed will be cutting rates by around 40 bps by the end of next year. The spread between the April 2023 Fed Fund futures and December 2023 contracts on August 25 was 32 bps. The current spread suggests the market believes the Fed may be more aggressive in cutting rates next year.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8f8a05f27f21f9f58f44993c24f0daa1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"244\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>Sure, the Fed is making progress on higher rates, but the market doesn&#39;t believe that the Fed will be holding rates at the terminal level. That is where the Fed needs to finish what it started at Jackson Hole, and the best place for the Fed to deliver that final blow will be in its Summary of Economic Projections, or dot plots.</p><p><b>Higher For Longer</b></p><p>If the Fed wants to make its point clear, it will need to ensure that it not only sees rates getting to 4.4% or higher by the middle of 2023 but that it sees rates staying there for all of 2023 and perhaps through 2024. That is the message the Fed needs to send the market so that the Fed Funds futures begin repricing with that terminal rate holding at 4.4% so that the back of the futures curve lifts.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c6a3147d1203e0785cbe84a8f5761d45\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"312\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Mott Capital</p><p>It is a critical message because if the Fed can deliver it, it would help to reprice the Treasury and Real Yield curve, pulling longer-term rates higher. It would help to steepen the yield curve, especially on rates beyond the 2-year, where a clear inversion occurs on both nominal and real yields.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/077b423c22c6af690494f068eac8c266\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"342\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>This curve reshaping would be very bullish for the dollar and help it continue strengthening over the euro, yen, and yuan. Meanwhile, it would be bad news for risk assets, especially stocks, as rising real yields would weigh heavily on equity valuations.</p><p><b>No Room For Error</b></p><p>The Fed can&#39;t afford to have the same disaster at the July FOMC meeting, which made financial conditions materially ease. As much as financial conditions have tightened since Jackson Hole, they have not tightened enough. The Chicago Fed Financial Conditions Index (NFCI) and adjusted NFCI is still well below their late June highs, while the Bloomberg Financial Conditions Index (the measurements are inverted) has also failed to get back to June levels. The Goldman Sachs US Financial Conditions Index is the only index that shows financial conditions have tightened back to their June levels.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/466b229bd2abeb5cbc959893c58891b4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"337\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>The Fed cannot afford to get further behind the inflation battle and needs rates to continue pushing higher and financial conditions to tighten further. The Fed is still very much behind in bringing inflation down. The Fed Funds rates are profoundly negative against the inflation rate on CPI and PCE measures, including or excluding energy.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00da5e8bda75fedfab02d3efed87ff04\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"336\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p><b>The Fed Needs To Break The Market</b></p><p>This is the Fed&#39;s battle, and it needs the market to align with its view if it has any chance of bringing inflation down. Because the Fed can only really move the front of the yield curve, but through communications and projections, it can heavily influence the longer-dated side of the curve, and that is the part of the curve the Fed has struggled the most with.</p><p>So while stocks may rise sharply if the Fed only delivers a 75 bps rate, don&#39;t be surprised if that rally fades quickly if the Fed can provide a hawkish message through its forward guidance. That is where the Fed can finally shock the markets and get them to break.</p><p>Because for the first time in many years, it may be the market that finally gives into the Fed, not the Fed giving into the market.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Fed Needs To Break The Market At This Week's Meeting</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Fed Needs To Break The Market At This Week's Meeting\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-19 12:07 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4541678-fed-needs-break-market-this-week-meeting><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryThe Fed has no room for errors at this week's FOMC meeting.The communications must be crystal to avoid a repeat of the July disaster.The Fed needs the market to cave in to its demands.No matter...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4541678-fed-needs-break-market-this-week-meeting\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4541678-fed-needs-break-market-this-week-meeting","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1100137906","content_text":"SummaryThe Fed has no room for errors at this week's FOMC meeting.The communications must be crystal to avoid a repeat of the July disaster.The Fed needs the market to cave in to its demands.No matter how much the Fed has tried, the market still doesn't believe how serious the Fed is about bringing down inflation. The Fed has consistently said that it plans to raise rates to restrictive territory and hold rates there until there are clear signs that inflation is heading lower.Yes, the Fed made a massive attempt to rein in the markets at Jackson Hole and hammered the point further in the days after Jackson Hole. Now, it needs to seal the deal. Yes, the market has started to buckle, but not enough. Fed Funds futures have repriced rapidly and now see terminal rates hitting nearly 4.4% by April.BloombergMarkets Still Don't Believe The FedBut still, the market is pricing in rate cuts by the end of 2023 and sees rates falling back to 4%. So yes, while the market agrees that rates need to go higher, it still believes the Fed will be cutting rates by around 40 bps by the end of next year. The spread between the April 2023 Fed Fund futures and December 2023 contracts on August 25 was 32 bps. The current spread suggests the market believes the Fed may be more aggressive in cutting rates next year.BloombergSure, the Fed is making progress on higher rates, but the market doesn't believe that the Fed will be holding rates at the terminal level. That is where the Fed needs to finish what it started at Jackson Hole, and the best place for the Fed to deliver that final blow will be in its Summary of Economic Projections, or dot plots.Higher For LongerIf the Fed wants to make its point clear, it will need to ensure that it not only sees rates getting to 4.4% or higher by the middle of 2023 but that it sees rates staying there for all of 2023 and perhaps through 2024. That is the message the Fed needs to send the market so that the Fed Funds futures begin repricing with that terminal rate holding at 4.4% so that the back of the futures curve lifts.Mott CapitalIt is a critical message because if the Fed can deliver it, it would help to reprice the Treasury and Real Yield curve, pulling longer-term rates higher. It would help to steepen the yield curve, especially on rates beyond the 2-year, where a clear inversion occurs on both nominal and real yields.BloombergThis curve reshaping would be very bullish for the dollar and help it continue strengthening over the euro, yen, and yuan. Meanwhile, it would be bad news for risk assets, especially stocks, as rising real yields would weigh heavily on equity valuations.No Room For ErrorThe Fed can't afford to have the same disaster at the July FOMC meeting, which made financial conditions materially ease. As much as financial conditions have tightened since Jackson Hole, they have not tightened enough. The Chicago Fed Financial Conditions Index (NFCI) and adjusted NFCI is still well below their late June highs, while the Bloomberg Financial Conditions Index (the measurements are inverted) has also failed to get back to June levels. The Goldman Sachs US Financial Conditions Index is the only index that shows financial conditions have tightened back to their June levels.BloombergThe Fed cannot afford to get further behind the inflation battle and needs rates to continue pushing higher and financial conditions to tighten further. The Fed is still very much behind in bringing inflation down. The Fed Funds rates are profoundly negative against the inflation rate on CPI and PCE measures, including or excluding energy.BloombergThe Fed Needs To Break The MarketThis is the Fed's battle, and it needs the market to align with its view if it has any chance of bringing inflation down. Because the Fed can only really move the front of the yield curve, but through communications and projections, it can heavily influence the longer-dated side of the curve, and that is the part of the curve the Fed has struggled the most with.So while stocks may rise sharply if the Fed only delivers a 75 bps rate, don't be surprised if that rally fades quickly if the Fed can provide a hawkish message through its forward guidance. That is where the Fed can finally shock the markets and get them to break.Because for the first time in many years, it may be the market that finally gives into the Fed, not the Fed giving into the market.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":87,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9939120019,"gmtCreate":1662078059534,"gmtModify":1676536801186,"author":{"id":"3583665662213187","authorId":"3583665662213187","name":"TSY123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af38fbc4f07efb7ae9b5ebd03aa4b79b","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583665662213187","authorIdStr":"3583665662213187"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9939120019","repostId":"2264210771","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2264210771","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1662076475,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2264210771?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-02 07:54","market":"us","language":"en","title":"What Does Friday's Jobs Report Mean for the Market? \"Too Hot\" and Stocks Could Tumble, Says Market Pro","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2264210771","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"August jobs report may once again carry risks for stocks, but in a 'less intense' way than last Frid","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>August jobs report may once again carry risks for stocks, but in a &#39;less intense&#39; way than last Friday&#39;s Powell speech, says Tom Essaye</p><p>With Federal Reserve Chair Powell last week reaffirming plans to keep raising interest rates to bring down inflation despite the risk of recession, Friday&#39;s monthly U.S. jobs report may once again carry risks for the stock market, said Tom Essaye, a former Merrill Lynch trader and the founder of the Sevens Report newsletter.</p><p>The Labor Department&#39;s monthly jobs report on Friday, which tracks employment across the public and private sectors, is expected to show the U.S. economy added 318,000 jobs in August, far fewer than the 528,000 jobs that were created in July, according to a survey of economists by The Wall Street Journal. The unemployment rate is seen steady at 3.5%, while the average hourly earnings are estimated to rise 0.4%, following a 0.5% rise in the previous month.</p><p>&#34;The labor market needs to show signs that it&#39;s on the path to returning to a state of relative balance, where job openings are roughly the same as the number of people looking for jobs--and if it does not show that, then concerns about a more hawkish-for-longer Fed will rise, and that&#39;s not good for stocks,&#34; wrote Essaye in a note on Thursday.</p><h2>&#39;Too Hot&#39;</h2><p>According to Essaye, if the employment results come in &#34;too hot&#34; with nonfarm payrolls rising more than 350,000 for the month and the unemployment rate falling below 3.5%, stocks would drop sharply in what might be a &#34;less-intense repeat&#34; of last Friday, as markets price in higher interest rates for longer.</p><p>U.S. stocks tumbled last Friday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average  closing down more than 1,000 points for its worst daily percentage drop in three months, after Chair Powell said in his Jackson Hole address that the central bank will continue its battle to get the annual inflation rate back to its 2% target &#34;until the job is done&#34;.</p><p>&#34;Numbers this strong would underscore that the labor market remains out of balance, and that would keep the Fed focused on slowing demand via higher rates,&#34; said Essaye. &#34;Practically, this would increase the chances the &#39;terminal&#39; fed funds rate moves above 4% and hopes for a rate cut in 2023 would likely be dashed.&#34;</p><p>He expects the yield-curve spread between the 10-year and 2-year Treasurys to rise as the 2-year yield shoots higher on the prospect of higher rates, while the 10-year yield would also likely rise, but less so.</p><p>The 2-year Treasury yield hit a fresh 15-year high  at 3.528% on Thursday, while the 10-year Treasury yield  climbed to 3.266%, its highest level since late June.</p><h2>&#39;Just Right&#39;</h2><p>However, if job growth falls in a range of zero to 300,000 while the unemployment rate rises above 3.7%, the stock market may expect a modest rally given the drop in stocks over the past five days, according to Essaye.</p><p>U.S. stocks were mixed in late trade on Thursday.  The Dow Jones Industrial Average  was up 40 points, or 0.1%. The S&amp;P 500  lost 0.1%, while the Nasdaq Composite  was off 0.8%. All three major indexes have fallen for four straight sessions.</p><p>&#34;We wouldn&#39;t expect an explosion higher in stocks because a &#39;Just Right&#39; jobs report still wouldn&#39;t bring back the idea of an imminent Fed pivot,&#34; said Essaye. &#34;(It) would not make the Fed get more hawkish and keep alive the hope that the Fed could cut rates in 2023.&#34;</p><h2>&#39;Too Cold&#39;</h2><p>In the worst case scenario with a negative jobs print for August and a spike in the unemployment rate, stocks may jump on a &#34;bad is good&#34; mindset though the Fed won&#39;t pivot away from its monetary tightening as &#34;a soft number won&#39;t change the Fed&#39;s calculus for the next several meetings -- &#39;we&#39;re still getting 50-75 bps in September&#39;, so we would not be inclined to chase that rally,&#34; according to Essaye.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What Does Friday's Jobs Report Mean for the Market? \"Too Hot\" and Stocks Could Tumble, Says Market Pro</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat Does Friday's Jobs Report Mean for the Market? \"Too Hot\" and Stocks Could Tumble, Says Market Pro\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-09-02 07:54</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>August jobs report may once again carry risks for stocks, but in a &#39;less intense&#39; way than last Friday&#39;s Powell speech, says Tom Essaye</p><p>With Federal Reserve Chair Powell last week reaffirming plans to keep raising interest rates to bring down inflation despite the risk of recession, Friday&#39;s monthly U.S. jobs report may once again carry risks for the stock market, said Tom Essaye, a former Merrill Lynch trader and the founder of the Sevens Report newsletter.</p><p>The Labor Department&#39;s monthly jobs report on Friday, which tracks employment across the public and private sectors, is expected to show the U.S. economy added 318,000 jobs in August, far fewer than the 528,000 jobs that were created in July, according to a survey of economists by The Wall Street Journal. The unemployment rate is seen steady at 3.5%, while the average hourly earnings are estimated to rise 0.4%, following a 0.5% rise in the previous month.</p><p>&#34;The labor market needs to show signs that it&#39;s on the path to returning to a state of relative balance, where job openings are roughly the same as the number of people looking for jobs--and if it does not show that, then concerns about a more hawkish-for-longer Fed will rise, and that&#39;s not good for stocks,&#34; wrote Essaye in a note on Thursday.</p><h2>&#39;Too Hot&#39;</h2><p>According to Essaye, if the employment results come in &#34;too hot&#34; with nonfarm payrolls rising more than 350,000 for the month and the unemployment rate falling below 3.5%, stocks would drop sharply in what might be a &#34;less-intense repeat&#34; of last Friday, as markets price in higher interest rates for longer.</p><p>U.S. stocks tumbled last Friday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average  closing down more than 1,000 points for its worst daily percentage drop in three months, after Chair Powell said in his Jackson Hole address that the central bank will continue its battle to get the annual inflation rate back to its 2% target &#34;until the job is done&#34;.</p><p>&#34;Numbers this strong would underscore that the labor market remains out of balance, and that would keep the Fed focused on slowing demand via higher rates,&#34; said Essaye. &#34;Practically, this would increase the chances the &#39;terminal&#39; fed funds rate moves above 4% and hopes for a rate cut in 2023 would likely be dashed.&#34;</p><p>He expects the yield-curve spread between the 10-year and 2-year Treasurys to rise as the 2-year yield shoots higher on the prospect of higher rates, while the 10-year yield would also likely rise, but less so.</p><p>The 2-year Treasury yield hit a fresh 15-year high  at 3.528% on Thursday, while the 10-year Treasury yield  climbed to 3.266%, its highest level since late June.</p><h2>&#39;Just Right&#39;</h2><p>However, if job growth falls in a range of zero to 300,000 while the unemployment rate rises above 3.7%, the stock market may expect a modest rally given the drop in stocks over the past five days, according to Essaye.</p><p>U.S. stocks were mixed in late trade on Thursday.  The Dow Jones Industrial Average  was up 40 points, or 0.1%. The S&amp;P 500  lost 0.1%, while the Nasdaq Composite  was off 0.8%. All three major indexes have fallen for four straight sessions.</p><p>&#34;We wouldn&#39;t expect an explosion higher in stocks because a &#39;Just Right&#39; jobs report still wouldn&#39;t bring back the idea of an imminent Fed pivot,&#34; said Essaye. &#34;(It) would not make the Fed get more hawkish and keep alive the hope that the Fed could cut rates in 2023.&#34;</p><h2>&#39;Too Cold&#39;</h2><p>In the worst case scenario with a negative jobs print for August and a spike in the unemployment rate, stocks may jump on a &#34;bad is good&#34; mindset though the Fed won&#39;t pivot away from its monetary tightening as &#34;a soft number won&#39;t change the Fed&#39;s calculus for the next several meetings -- &#39;we&#39;re still getting 50-75 bps in September&#39;, so we would not be inclined to chase that rally,&#34; according to Essaye.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF","QQQ":"纳指100ETF"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2264210771","content_text":"August jobs report may once again carry risks for stocks, but in a 'less intense' way than last Friday's Powell speech, says Tom EssayeWith Federal Reserve Chair Powell last week reaffirming plans to keep raising interest rates to bring down inflation despite the risk of recession, Friday's monthly U.S. jobs report may once again carry risks for the stock market, said Tom Essaye, a former Merrill Lynch trader and the founder of the Sevens Report newsletter.The Labor Department's monthly jobs report on Friday, which tracks employment across the public and private sectors, is expected to show the U.S. economy added 318,000 jobs in August, far fewer than the 528,000 jobs that were created in July, according to a survey of economists by The Wall Street Journal. The unemployment rate is seen steady at 3.5%, while the average hourly earnings are estimated to rise 0.4%, following a 0.5% rise in the previous month.\"The labor market needs to show signs that it's on the path to returning to a state of relative balance, where job openings are roughly the same as the number of people looking for jobs--and if it does not show that, then concerns about a more hawkish-for-longer Fed will rise, and that's not good for stocks,\" wrote Essaye in a note on Thursday.'Too Hot'According to Essaye, if the employment results come in \"too hot\" with nonfarm payrolls rising more than 350,000 for the month and the unemployment rate falling below 3.5%, stocks would drop sharply in what might be a \"less-intense repeat\" of last Friday, as markets price in higher interest rates for longer.U.S. stocks tumbled last Friday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average  closing down more than 1,000 points for its worst daily percentage drop in three months, after Chair Powell said in his Jackson Hole address that the central bank will continue its battle to get the annual inflation rate back to its 2% target \"until the job is done\".\"Numbers this strong would underscore that the labor market remains out of balance, and that would keep the Fed focused on slowing demand via higher rates,\" said Essaye. \"Practically, this would increase the chances the 'terminal' fed funds rate moves above 4% and hopes for a rate cut in 2023 would likely be dashed.\"He expects the yield-curve spread between the 10-year and 2-year Treasurys to rise as the 2-year yield shoots higher on the prospect of higher rates, while the 10-year yield would also likely rise, but less so.The 2-year Treasury yield hit a fresh 15-year high  at 3.528% on Thursday, while the 10-year Treasury yield  climbed to 3.266%, its highest level since late June.'Just Right'However, if job growth falls in a range of zero to 300,000 while the unemployment rate rises above 3.7%, the stock market may expect a modest rally given the drop in stocks over the past five days, according to Essaye.U.S. stocks were mixed in late trade on Thursday.  The Dow Jones Industrial Average  was up 40 points, or 0.1%. The S&P 500  lost 0.1%, while the Nasdaq Composite  was off 0.8%. All three major indexes have fallen for four straight sessions.\"We wouldn't expect an explosion higher in stocks because a 'Just Right' jobs report still wouldn't bring back the idea of an imminent Fed pivot,\" said Essaye. \"(It) would not make the Fed get more hawkish and keep alive the hope that the Fed could cut rates in 2023.\"'Too Cold'In the worst case scenario with a negative jobs print for August and a spike in the unemployment rate, stocks may jump on a \"bad is good\" mindset though the Fed won't pivot away from its monetary tightening as \"a soft number won't change the Fed's calculus for the next several meetings -- 'we're still getting 50-75 bps in September', so we would not be inclined to chase that rally,\" according to Essaye.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":175,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9969274739,"gmtCreate":1668470167322,"gmtModify":1676538060487,"author":{"id":"3583665662213187","authorId":"3583665662213187","name":"TSY123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af38fbc4f07efb7ae9b5ebd03aa4b79b","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583665662213187","authorIdStr":"3583665662213187"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Okay&nbsp;","listText":"Okay&nbsp;","text":"Okay","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9969274739","repostId":"1194306738","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1194306738","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1668468992,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1194306738?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-15 07:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Brainard Says Fed Should Probably \"Soon\" Slow Pace of Rate Hikes","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1194306738","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"‘We’ve done a lot but we have additional work to do’: BrainardFed vice chair speaks at Bloomberg eve","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>‘We’ve done a lot but we have additional work to do’: Brainard</li><li>Fed vice chair speaks at Bloomberg event in Washington</li></ul><p>Federal Reserve Vice Chair Lael Brainard said the central bank should soon moderate the size of its interest-rate increases, signaling she favors slowing to a half-point hike as early as next month.</p><p>“It will probably be appropriate soon to move to a slower pace of increases,” Brainard said Monday in a fireside-chat event at Bloomberg’s Washington bureau. “But I think what’s really important to emphasize: We’ve done a lot, but we have additional work to do.”</p><p>The US central bank has raised its benchmark interest rate this year from nearly zero in March to a target range of 3.75% to 4% this month in a bid to slow the economy and bring inflation down from four-decade highs. The most aggressive tightening campaign since the 1980s has included rate hikes of three-quarters of a percentage point at each of the last four policy meetings, triple the usual move.</p><p>“There are likely to be lags, and it’s going to take some time for that cumulative tightening to flow through,” Brainard said. “So, it makes sense to move to a more deliberate and a more data-dependent pace as we continue to make sure that there’s restraint that will bring inflation down over time.”</p><p>At the same time, Brainard stopped short of explicitly endorsing the idea that the Fed would likely need to raise rates higher than previously projected in September. That’s what Chair Jerome Powell and other officials have said this month.</p><p>Asked if she agreed with the chair’s expectation, Brainard stressed the importance of Fed policy being data dependent.</p><p>“Even for just the December meeting’s decision, we still will have additional data in hand by the time that we will -- members of the committee will be submitting their new projections. And of course, those projections are going to reflect that data, both on inflation as well as on the labor market activity more generally,” she said. “But it is the case that we do have additional work to do on raising rates.”</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/37a914d734b43a247afac724dfa23589\" tg-width=\"698\" tg-height=\"392\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Investors expect Fed officials to opt for a half-point hike at their Dec. 13-14 meeting following Powell’s signal on Nov. 2 that such a downshift was in the offing, and a subsequent Labor Department report last week which showed increases in US consumer prices may be starting to moderate.</p><p>That report showed inflation cooled by more than expected in October, with the consumer price index rising 7.7% from a year earlier versus 8.2% the month before.</p><p>But officials have stressed that they need to see a series of lower monthly readings to have confidence that price pressures are heading back down to levels consistent with the central bank’s 2% target, which is defined in terms of the Commerce Department’s price index for personal consumption expenditures. October data for that measure will be published later this month.</p><p>“The most recent CPI inflation print suggests that maybe the core PCE measure that we really focus on might be also showing a little bit of a reduction,” Brainard said. “That would be welcome. I think the inflation data was reassuring, preliminarily, just in terms of showing a slowing in categories that I had been anticipating.”</p><p>The Fed has two congressional mandates: price stability and maximum employment. In recent weeks, Democratic senators including Sherrod Brown, who plays a key role overseeing the central bank as head of the Senate Banking Committee, have written letters to Powell expressing concerns that the fight against inflation will lead to unnecessary job losses.</p><p>“Obviously risks are going to be more two-sided as we get into more restrictive -- or further into restrictive -- territory. So, we’ll be balancing those considerations, but we are very much focused on achieving our 2% inflation goal,” Brainard said.</p><p>“It’s very important to keep inflation expectations anchored around that goal. And so, we’ll just have to make judgments like that as we go forward: What is the appropriate level of restraint on a sustained basis that is going to be necessary to make that balance?”</p><p>The vice chair also pointed to data showing the pace of wage increases has begun to moderate.</p><p>“I think it’s important to remember that wages have actually not kept up with inflation. Real incomes have actually, on aggregate, fallen, even though wages are higher than what would be consistent with a run rate associated with 2% inflation,” she said. “So they really are in the middle there, and they are coming down.”</p><p>Officials in September forecast rates would reach 4.6% in 2023, but Powell on Nov. 2 suggested projections for the so-called terminal rate would probably move higher when they are next updated at the December meeting.</p><p>Investors now see rates peaking just below 5% by the middle of next year.</p><p>“By moving at a more deliberate pace, we’ll actually be able to see how that cumulative tightening is playing out,” Brainard said. “Exactly what that path looks like I think is really hard to say right now, but I think it will be very much better at balancing those risks by virtue of being able to take on board more data.”</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Brainard Says Fed Should Probably \"Soon\" Slow Pace of Rate Hikes</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBrainard Says Fed Should Probably \"Soon\" Slow Pace of Rate Hikes\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-15 07:36 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-14/brainard-says-fed-probably-will-soon-slow-pace-of-rate-hikes?srnd=premium><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>‘We’ve done a lot but we have additional work to do’: BrainardFed vice chair speaks at Bloomberg event in WashingtonFederal Reserve Vice Chair Lael Brainard said the central bank should soon moderate ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-14/brainard-says-fed-probably-will-soon-slow-pace-of-rate-hikes?srnd=premium\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-14/brainard-says-fed-probably-will-soon-slow-pace-of-rate-hikes?srnd=premium","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1194306738","content_text":"‘We’ve done a lot but we have additional work to do’: BrainardFed vice chair speaks at Bloomberg event in WashingtonFederal Reserve Vice Chair Lael Brainard said the central bank should soon moderate the size of its interest-rate increases, signaling she favors slowing to a half-point hike as early as next month.“It will probably be appropriate soon to move to a slower pace of increases,” Brainard said Monday in a fireside-chat event at Bloomberg’s Washington bureau. “But I think what’s really important to emphasize: We’ve done a lot, but we have additional work to do.”The US central bank has raised its benchmark interest rate this year from nearly zero in March to a target range of 3.75% to 4% this month in a bid to slow the economy and bring inflation down from four-decade highs. The most aggressive tightening campaign since the 1980s has included rate hikes of three-quarters of a percentage point at each of the last four policy meetings, triple the usual move.“There are likely to be lags, and it’s going to take some time for that cumulative tightening to flow through,” Brainard said. “So, it makes sense to move to a more deliberate and a more data-dependent pace as we continue to make sure that there’s restraint that will bring inflation down over time.”At the same time, Brainard stopped short of explicitly endorsing the idea that the Fed would likely need to raise rates higher than previously projected in September. That’s what Chair Jerome Powell and other officials have said this month.Asked if she agreed with the chair’s expectation, Brainard stressed the importance of Fed policy being data dependent.“Even for just the December meeting’s decision, we still will have additional data in hand by the time that we will -- members of the committee will be submitting their new projections. And of course, those projections are going to reflect that data, both on inflation as well as on the labor market activity more generally,” she said. “But it is the case that we do have additional work to do on raising rates.”Investors expect Fed officials to opt for a half-point hike at their Dec. 13-14 meeting following Powell’s signal on Nov. 2 that such a downshift was in the offing, and a subsequent Labor Department report last week which showed increases in US consumer prices may be starting to moderate.That report showed inflation cooled by more than expected in October, with the consumer price index rising 7.7% from a year earlier versus 8.2% the month before.But officials have stressed that they need to see a series of lower monthly readings to have confidence that price pressures are heading back down to levels consistent with the central bank’s 2% target, which is defined in terms of the Commerce Department’s price index for personal consumption expenditures. October data for that measure will be published later this month.“The most recent CPI inflation print suggests that maybe the core PCE measure that we really focus on might be also showing a little bit of a reduction,” Brainard said. “That would be welcome. I think the inflation data was reassuring, preliminarily, just in terms of showing a slowing in categories that I had been anticipating.”The Fed has two congressional mandates: price stability and maximum employment. In recent weeks, Democratic senators including Sherrod Brown, who plays a key role overseeing the central bank as head of the Senate Banking Committee, have written letters to Powell expressing concerns that the fight against inflation will lead to unnecessary job losses.“Obviously risks are going to be more two-sided as we get into more restrictive -- or further into restrictive -- territory. So, we’ll be balancing those considerations, but we are very much focused on achieving our 2% inflation goal,” Brainard said.“It’s very important to keep inflation expectations anchored around that goal. And so, we’ll just have to make judgments like that as we go forward: What is the appropriate level of restraint on a sustained basis that is going to be necessary to make that balance?”The vice chair also pointed to data showing the pace of wage increases has begun to moderate.“I think it’s important to remember that wages have actually not kept up with inflation. Real incomes have actually, on aggregate, fallen, even though wages are higher than what would be consistent with a run rate associated with 2% inflation,” she said. “So they really are in the middle there, and they are coming down.”Officials in September forecast rates would reach 4.6% in 2023, but Powell on Nov. 2 suggested projections for the so-called terminal rate would probably move higher when they are next updated at the December meeting.Investors now see rates peaking just below 5% by the middle of next year.“By moving at a more deliberate pace, we’ll actually be able to see how that cumulative tightening is playing out,” Brainard said. “Exactly what that path looks like I think is really hard to say right now, but I think it will be very much better at balancing those risks by virtue of being able to take on board more data.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":136,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9960827443,"gmtCreate":1668128009782,"gmtModify":1676538016573,"author":{"id":"3583665662213187","authorId":"3583665662213187","name":"TSY123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af38fbc4f07efb7ae9b5ebd03aa4b79b","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583665662213187","authorIdStr":"3583665662213187"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good&nbsp;","listText":"Good&nbsp;","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9960827443","repostId":"2282143862","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2282143862","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1668126446,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2282143862?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-11 08:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Wall Street Ends Sharply Higher on Sign of Cooling Inflation","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2282143862","media":"Reuters","summary":"* U.S. consumer prices increase less than expected in Oct* Traders expect 50 bps rate hike in Dec* E","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>* U.S. consumer prices increase less than expected in Oct</p><p>* Traders expect 50 bps rate hike in Dec</p><p>* EV maker Rivian gains on strong demand, outlook</p><p>* Indexes end: S&amp;P 500 +5.54%, Nasdaq +7.35%, Dow +3.70%</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f0f996b5037282c993b6fcc9cb2b0181\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1920\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Nov 10 (Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq jumped on Thursday, racking up their biggest daily percentage gains in over 2-1/2 years as a sign of slowing inflation in October sparked speculation the Federal Reserve might become less aggressive with interest rate hikes.</p><p>Stocks in sectors across the board surged as the latest consumer price data cheered investors worried that ongoing interest rate hikes could hobble the U.S. economy.</p><p>One-time Wall Street darlings tarnished in 2022&#39;s bear market were among Thursday&#39;s strongest performers, with Nvidia jumping about 14%, Meta Platforms climbing 10% and Alphabet rising 7.6%.</p><p>The Labor Department&#39;s data showed the annual CPI number below 8% for the first time in eight months.</p><p>&#34;This is a big deal,&#34; said King Lip, chief strategist at Baker Avenue Asset Management in San Francisco. &#34;We have been calling the peak of inflation for the last couple of months and just have been incredibly frustrated that it hasn’t shown up in the data. For the first time, it has actually shown up in the data.&#34;</p><p>Growing recession worries have hammered Wall Street this year. The S&amp;P 500 remains down about 17% year to date, and it is on course for its biggest annual decline since 2008.</p><p>The inflation data prompted traders to adjust rate hike bets, with odds of a 50-basis point rate hike in December, rather than a 75-basis point hike, jumping to about 85% from 52% before the data was released, according to the CME FedWatch tool.</p><p>San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly and Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan welcomed the most recent inflation data, but warned that the fight with rising priceswas far from over.</p><p>Amazon.com Inc surged more than 12% after the Wall Street Journal reported that the e-commerce heavyweight was reviewing unprofitable business unitsto cut costs.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26cc495baa1612e31596cfe111710352\" tg-width=\"900\" tg-height=\"700\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>S&amp;P 500&#39;s busiest trades</span></p><p>The S&amp;P 500 climbed 5.54% to end the session at 3,956.31 points.</p><p>The Nasdaq gained 7.35% to 11,114.15 points, while Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 3.70% to 33,715.37 points.</p><p>All 11 S&amp;P 500 sector indexes rallied, led by information technology, up 8.33%, followed by a 7.74% gain in real estate.</p><p>The Philadelphia semiconductor index surged 10.2%, cutting its loss in 2022 to about 32%.</p><p>The CBOE volatility index (VIX), also known as Wall Street&#39;s fear gauge, fell to a near two-month low of about 23 points.</p><p>Some investors urged caution that Thursday&#39;s rally may be overdone.</p><p>&#34;The market is - as it has been a few times this year - very eager to trade a &#39;Fed pivot&#39; ... but we think the market is getting a little ahead of itself based on one print,&#34; said Zach Hill, head of portfolio management at Horizon Investments in Charlotte.</p><p>The PHLX Housing index jumped 10.3% to its highest since August after tumbling this year over concerns about higher mortgage rates denting affordability.</p><p>Rivian Automotive Inc surged 17.4% after the electric-vehicle maker reported a smaller-than-expected loss, higher number of pre-orders and reaffirmed its full-year production outlook.</p><p>The Dow has now recovered about 17% from its closing low on Sept. 30, and it remains down about 9% from its record high close in early January.</p><p>Advancing issues outnumbered falling ones within the S&amp;P 500 by a 26.9-to-one ratio.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 19 new highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq recorded 120 new highs and 166 new lows.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was heavy, with 14.9 billion shares traded, compared to an average of 11.9 billion shares over the previous 20 sessions.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wall Street Ends Sharply Higher on Sign of Cooling Inflation</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWall Street Ends Sharply Higher on Sign of Cooling Inflation\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-11-11 08:27</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>* U.S. consumer prices increase less than expected in Oct</p><p>* Traders expect 50 bps rate hike in Dec</p><p>* EV maker Rivian gains on strong demand, outlook</p><p>* Indexes end: S&amp;P 500 +5.54%, Nasdaq +7.35%, Dow +3.70%</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f0f996b5037282c993b6fcc9cb2b0181\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1920\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Nov 10 (Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq jumped on Thursday, racking up their biggest daily percentage gains in over 2-1/2 years as a sign of slowing inflation in October sparked speculation the Federal Reserve might become less aggressive with interest rate hikes.</p><p>Stocks in sectors across the board surged as the latest consumer price data cheered investors worried that ongoing interest rate hikes could hobble the U.S. economy.</p><p>One-time Wall Street darlings tarnished in 2022&#39;s bear market were among Thursday&#39;s strongest performers, with Nvidia jumping about 14%, Meta Platforms climbing 10% and Alphabet rising 7.6%.</p><p>The Labor Department&#39;s data showed the annual CPI number below 8% for the first time in eight months.</p><p>&#34;This is a big deal,&#34; said King Lip, chief strategist at Baker Avenue Asset Management in San Francisco. &#34;We have been calling the peak of inflation for the last couple of months and just have been incredibly frustrated that it hasn’t shown up in the data. For the first time, it has actually shown up in the data.&#34;</p><p>Growing recession worries have hammered Wall Street this year. The S&amp;P 500 remains down about 17% year to date, and it is on course for its biggest annual decline since 2008.</p><p>The inflation data prompted traders to adjust rate hike bets, with odds of a 50-basis point rate hike in December, rather than a 75-basis point hike, jumping to about 85% from 52% before the data was released, according to the CME FedWatch tool.</p><p>San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly and Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan welcomed the most recent inflation data, but warned that the fight with rising priceswas far from over.</p><p>Amazon.com Inc surged more than 12% after the Wall Street Journal reported that the e-commerce heavyweight was reviewing unprofitable business unitsto cut costs.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26cc495baa1612e31596cfe111710352\" tg-width=\"900\" tg-height=\"700\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>S&amp;P 500&#39;s busiest trades</span></p><p>The S&amp;P 500 climbed 5.54% to end the session at 3,956.31 points.</p><p>The Nasdaq gained 7.35% to 11,114.15 points, while Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 3.70% to 33,715.37 points.</p><p>All 11 S&amp;P 500 sector indexes rallied, led by information technology, up 8.33%, followed by a 7.74% gain in real estate.</p><p>The Philadelphia semiconductor index surged 10.2%, cutting its loss in 2022 to about 32%.</p><p>The CBOE volatility index (VIX), also known as Wall Street&#39;s fear gauge, fell to a near two-month low of about 23 points.</p><p>Some investors urged caution that Thursday&#39;s rally may be overdone.</p><p>&#34;The market is - as it has been a few times this year - very eager to trade a &#39;Fed pivot&#39; ... but we think the market is getting a little ahead of itself based on one print,&#34; said Zach Hill, head of portfolio management at Horizon Investments in Charlotte.</p><p>The PHLX Housing index jumped 10.3% to its highest since August after tumbling this year over concerns about higher mortgage rates denting affordability.</p><p>Rivian Automotive Inc surged 17.4% after the electric-vehicle maker reported a smaller-than-expected loss, higher number of pre-orders and reaffirmed its full-year production outlook.</p><p>The Dow has now recovered about 17% from its closing low on Sept. 30, and it remains down about 9% from its record high close in early January.</p><p>Advancing issues outnumbered falling ones within the S&amp;P 500 by a 26.9-to-one ratio.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 19 new highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq recorded 120 new highs and 166 new lows.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was heavy, with 14.9 billion shares traded, compared to an average of 11.9 billion shares over the previous 20 sessions.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉","NVDA":"英伟达","AAPL":"苹果","RIVN":"Rivian Automotive, Inc.","VIX":"标普500波动率指数","META":"Meta Platforms, Inc.","GOOGL":"谷歌A","AMZN":"亚马逊",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯","GOOG":"谷歌",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2282143862","content_text":"* U.S. consumer prices increase less than expected in Oct* Traders expect 50 bps rate hike in Dec* EV maker Rivian gains on strong demand, outlook* Indexes end: S&P 500 +5.54%, Nasdaq +7.35%, Dow +3.70%Nov 10 (Reuters) - The S&P 500 and Nasdaq jumped on Thursday, racking up their biggest daily percentage gains in over 2-1/2 years as a sign of slowing inflation in October sparked speculation the Federal Reserve might become less aggressive with interest rate hikes.Stocks in sectors across the board surged as the latest consumer price data cheered investors worried that ongoing interest rate hikes could hobble the U.S. economy.One-time Wall Street darlings tarnished in 2022's bear market were among Thursday's strongest performers, with Nvidia jumping about 14%, Meta Platforms climbing 10% and Alphabet rising 7.6%.The Labor Department's data showed the annual CPI number below 8% for the first time in eight months.\"This is a big deal,\" said King Lip, chief strategist at Baker Avenue Asset Management in San Francisco. \"We have been calling the peak of inflation for the last couple of months and just have been incredibly frustrated that it hasn’t shown up in the data. For the first time, it has actually shown up in the data.\"Growing recession worries have hammered Wall Street this year. The S&P 500 remains down about 17% year to date, and it is on course for its biggest annual decline since 2008.The inflation data prompted traders to adjust rate hike bets, with odds of a 50-basis point rate hike in December, rather than a 75-basis point hike, jumping to about 85% from 52% before the data was released, according to the CME FedWatch tool.San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly and Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan welcomed the most recent inflation data, but warned that the fight with rising priceswas far from over.Amazon.com Inc surged more than 12% after the Wall Street Journal reported that the e-commerce heavyweight was reviewing unprofitable business unitsto cut costs.S&P 500's busiest tradesThe S&P 500 climbed 5.54% to end the session at 3,956.31 points.The Nasdaq gained 7.35% to 11,114.15 points, while Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 3.70% to 33,715.37 points.All 11 S&P 500 sector indexes rallied, led by information technology, up 8.33%, followed by a 7.74% gain in real estate.The Philadelphia semiconductor index surged 10.2%, cutting its loss in 2022 to about 32%.The CBOE volatility index (VIX), also known as Wall Street's fear gauge, fell to a near two-month low of about 23 points.Some investors urged caution that Thursday's rally may be overdone.\"The market is - as it has been a few times this year - very eager to trade a 'Fed pivot' ... but we think the market is getting a little ahead of itself based on one print,\" said Zach Hill, head of portfolio management at Horizon Investments in Charlotte.The PHLX Housing index jumped 10.3% to its highest since August after tumbling this year over concerns about higher mortgage rates denting affordability.Rivian Automotive Inc surged 17.4% after the electric-vehicle maker reported a smaller-than-expected loss, higher number of pre-orders and reaffirmed its full-year production outlook.The Dow has now recovered about 17% from its closing low on Sept. 30, and it remains down about 9% from its record high close in early January.Advancing issues outnumbered falling ones within the S&P 500 by a 26.9-to-one ratio.The S&P 500 posted 19 new highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq recorded 120 new highs and 166 new lows.Volume on U.S. exchanges was heavy, with 14.9 billion shares traded, compared to an average of 11.9 billion shares over the previous 20 sessions.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":83,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9981467567,"gmtCreate":1666582727959,"gmtModify":1676537771909,"author":{"id":"3583665662213187","authorId":"3583665662213187","name":"TSY123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af38fbc4f07efb7ae9b5ebd03aa4b79b","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583665662213187","authorIdStr":"3583665662213187"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9981467567","repostId":"1133583383","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1133583383","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1666582585,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1133583383?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-24 11:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla: Accounting And Valuation Concerns","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1133583383","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryIn this article, I analyze recent reports from banks that have updated their price targets fo","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>In this article, I analyze recent reports from banks that have updated their price targets for Tesla stock since the release of Q3 results.</li><li>BofA and Morgan Stanley are overly optimistic, in my view, while JPMorgan seems closest to reality.</li><li>GLJ Research&#39;s analysts give you 5 reasons to believe TSLA is artificially boosting its revenue numbers.</li><li>Waiting and watching as the price is exposed to the consequences of multiple contractions - which are logical today - does not look optimal, in my view.</li><li>This time, I rate Tesla stock as Hold.</li></ul><p><b>Introduction</b></p><p>In late June 2022, I posted a pair trade idea in which I recommended buying Tesla, Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA) and selling Lucid Group, Inc. (LCID) stock short (in equal dollar amounts). My pitch was simple enough. Both companies look overvalued in terms of absolute multiples. Still, due to more efficient operational growth, Tesla should have experienced a much less noticeable multiple contraction than Lucid while receiving much more support from retail investors.</p><p>A few months have passed since then. The S&amp;P 500 (SPX) fell even lower, dragging the rest of the market with it, including the companies mentioned above. But my thesis was justified - the difference in the magnitude of the declines in TSLA and LCID would bring a potential investor +22.9% (gross, before deducting brokerage commissions for shorting LCID):</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/876778b7ede509db5346250fe56fec97\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"615\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha, Ycharts, author&#39;s notes</p><p>At the time, I recommended holding this deal until the end of the year. However, in my article today, I want to look at the recent banks&#39; equity research reports on Tesla&#39;s financial results. Let us take a look at them and try to assess how logical their forecasts and conclusions are and whether they should be trusted.</p><p>Bank of America - 3Q results look pretty good to us – first take [October 19]</p><p>Analysts John Murphy, CFA, John P. Babcock, and Federico Merendi reiterated a Neutral rating on Tesla with a price objective (PO) of $325 per share - that&#39;s 3.17% higher than their previous PO of $315.</p><p>Moreover, BofA said much the same thing as I did when I put forward my thesis in June - TSLA&#39;s self-funding status is a notable advantage over some startup competitors in the electric car space, but because its valuation is the result of optimistic projections for a long future (recall the 50% growth target), it will be quite difficult for the quotes to grow strongly in the near future.</p><p>However, why did the bank raise its TSLA price target anyway? The issue is how the actual results differed from what analysts had expected from the company:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed4dc14a81b28e60a2032d559c526278\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"335\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>BofA, TSLA report, October 19</p><p>I can understand why the analysts were wrong in forecasting gross profit - the variance seems negligible. But to be wrong on operating expenses (OPEX) by 15% and on taxes by 38.8%? If Tesla really is not just faking its books - we will get into that later - but is working as we see in the statements, then the company&#39;s operating efficiency makes one sit up and take notice because even top analysts could not imagine how Elon Musk could save so much on OPEX this quarter.</p><p>BofA values the company using EV/Sales and EV/EBITDA multiples, but $325/share is too optimistic a target in my opinion. Let us look at their logic. BofA analysts expect EV/EBITDA to be 41x in 2022, down 37.1% from 2021. At the same time, EBITDA growth will be 59.2% in 2022. This is such a sharp decline in the multiple against the backdrop of such a high growth rate in the underlying financial metric. In 2023, however, EBITDA is expected to grow by only 7% - many times less than in the previous year. However, the analysts&#39; forecast includes a much less modest contraction of 6.6% in 2023, which is not in line with the trend of recent years:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/146388aab7013b33a9f50032c16ec0f7\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"567\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>BofA, TSLA report, with author&#39;s calculations and notes</p><p>In my view, the EV/EBITDA multiple in 2023 should be at least 30x, if not lower, if the multiple contraction continues - and it should, given lower growth forecasts and a generally higher interest rate environment - implying a 27% reduction in the multiple from 2022 to 2023. At EBITDA of $19.916 billion in 2023 (BofA&#39;s estimate), enterprise value should be about $600 billion - that&#39;s 5.5% below the current one.</p><p>Morgan Stanley - 3Q Margins Beat, But FY23 Outlook Still at Risk [October 19]</p><p>AnalystsAdam Jonas, CFA, Evan Silverberg, CFA, CPA, et al. released an update of their Overweight rating, having $350 per share as a new price objective - below its pre-split target of $1300(about $433 per share).</p><p>Morgan Stanley, like BofA, was wrong about growth in OPEX, interest expense, and stock-based compensation. The company&#39;s lower-than-expected CAPEX coupled with stronger EPS growth resulted in a 153.6% undervaluation of FCF:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d31a9c6b04a11e6fa0bfb86d24468c71\" tg-width=\"492\" tg-height=\"730\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>MS, TSLA report, October 19</p><p>The key takeaways from their analysis of TSLA&#39;s report:</p><ul><li>expected cost inflation related to logistics/shipping as well as adverse timing differences related to supplier payments given significant input cost inflation on the battery and non-battery side. That didn&#39;t happen;</li><li>If one were to inflation adjust the YoY moves in CAPEX and OPEX, Tesla&#39;s clearly doing more with less;</li><li>Supercharging revenue will most likely get above 10% of Tesla&#39;s total revenue within the next 12 to 18 months;</li><li>Production is ramping up at the 40-GWh Megapack factory in California - a solid win for the company, demonstrating its strength and focus on the battery front.</li></ul><p><b>Okay, but why did analysts lower their TSLA price target?</b></p><p>Here you have to look at the input data for their SOTP 6-component model:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/182723ae2d8888a7435a237b5408867c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"181\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>MS, TSLA report, October 19</p><blockquote>Our PT of $433 is comprised of 6 components:<b>(1)</b>$203/share for core Tesla Auto business on 8.6mm units in 2030, 8.5% WACC, 15x 2030 exit EBITDA multiple, exit EBITDA margin of 20%.<b>(2)</b>Tesla Mobility at $25 on DCF with ~500k cars at $1.7/mile by 2030.<b>(3)</b>Tesla as a 3rd party supplier at $44/share.<b>4)</b>Energy at $37/share,<b>5)</b>Insurance at $12/share, &amp;<b>6)</b>Network Services at $113, 25mm MAUs, $100 ARPU by 2030, 20% discount.</blockquote><blockquote>Source: Investing.com, author&#39;s adjustment for the split (3:1)</blockquote><table><tbody><tr><td><b>Segment / Date</b></td><td><p><b>Jun 16, 2022(rounded)</b></p></td><td><b>Now</b></td><td><b>Change</b></td></tr><tr><td>Core Tesla Auto business</td><td>$203</td><td>$287</td></tr><tr><td>Tesla Mobility</td><td>$25</td><td>$22</td><td>1.4%</td></tr><tr><td>3rd party supplier</td><td>$44</td><td>$27</td><td>-38.2%</td></tr><tr><td>Energy</td><td>$37</td><td>$31</td><td>-16.2%</td></tr><tr><td>Insurance</td><td>$12</td><td>$8</td><td>-35.1%</td></tr><tr><td>Network Services</td><td>$113</td><td>$75</td><td>-33.4%</td></tr><tr><td><b>Sum Of The Parts</b></td><td><b>$433</b></td><td><b>$450</b></td><td><b>4.6%</b></td></tr></tbody></table><p>Source: Author&#39;s compilation</p><p>If you add up all the parts of the analysts&#39; outputs, it shows that their SOTP model does indeed show a price target of $453 per share - I suspect that the Morgan Stanley analysts mistyped their report and wrote $287 instead of $187 because the difference is exactly $100 while the WACC is higher and the sales volume is lower than before. Here&#39;s how the above table should most likely look like:</p><table><tbody><tr><td><b>Segment / Date</b></td><td><b>Jun 16, 2022 (rounded)</b></td><td><b>Now</b></td><td><b>Change</b></td></tr><tr><td>Core Tesla Auto business</td><td>$203</td><td>$187</td><td>-7.7%</td></tr><tr><td>Tesla Mobility</td><td>$25</td><td>$22</td><td>1.4%</td></tr><tr><td>3rd party supplier</td><td>$45</td><td>$27</td><td>-38.2%</td></tr><tr><td>Energy</td><td>$37</td><td>$31</td><td>-16.2%</td></tr><tr><td>Insurance</td><td>$12</td><td>$8</td><td>-35.1%</td></tr><tr><td>Network Services</td><td>$113</td><td>$75</td><td>-33.4%</td></tr><tr><td><b>Sum Of The Parts</b></td><td><b>$433</b></td><td><b>$350</b></td><td><b>-18.5%</b></td></tr></tbody></table><p>Source: Author&#39;s compilation</p><p>If you look at how the analysts&#39; assumptions have changed, we see only 3 concrete changes here: 1) the number of vehicles produced in 2030 is now reduced by 0.9 million units (-10.5%); 2) the WACC is increased by 0.2% (8.7% vs. 8.5%); and 3) the exit EBITDA margin is increased from 20% to 21%. This applies directly to the main revenue stream (Core Tesla Auto business) - the assumptions for the other parts are not disclosed (I assume the WACC has been applied to them as well, considering that Tesla Mobility&#39;s DCF has decreased by 12.5% without any visible adjustments in inputs).</p><p>That is, broadly speaking, the entire decline in the target price (the top rightmost column above) is due to A) a slight slowdown in operations, and B) a slight 0.2% increase in WACC. At the same time, a new, more positive improvement in business margins has by no means kept the target price for TSLA from correcting. In my opinion, the WACC was not raised high enough by analysts and should have been raised by more than 1% instead of 0.2%. Why do I think so?</p><p><b>First,</b> the analysts had to account for higher betas, that mostly increased since their previous call (June 16, 2022):</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d2a07a7f6dd7206ed566e9dcc98a2649\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"484\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Data by YCharts</p><p>Higher beta - higher WACC. Of course, it is possible that they took a 3-year coefficient, but then it would be cherry-picking. It is unlikely that the Morgan Stanley analysts did this (I really hope so).</p><p><b>The second</b> is the rising risk-free rate, which mostly corresponds to 10-year Treasuries yield, which (theoretically) have no credit risk. The rate has risen since June 15, 2022, from 3.292% to 4.274% at the time of writing. Effective 7-10 year yields on corporate bonds have jumped even higher since then:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/63df41aa9b262fde5ad07913778940a5\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Data by YCharts</p><p><b>The third point</b> that analysts may not have taken into account in their WACC calculation is the slowdown in economic growth in China and globally, which should have been reflected in the discount rate in the form of an additional premium. Since mid-June 2022, the geopolitical situation in the world has only gotten worse (in my opinion), and the forecast for global economic growth was just recently lowered by the IMF. Therefore, this premium should have been larger, if it was included in their calculations at all.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c8ea24a9cde929b8b6ba9278044bd269\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"483\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>IMF, author&#39;s notes</p><p>If a minor 0.2% increase in WACC has led to such severe corrections in price targets for the company&#39;s various businesses, imagine how long the analysts&#39; model should run - apparently they predict all segments to 2030, using huge growth rates in their models. Even a slight deviation from these rates will cause the model to collapse. In my opinion, this is a serious risk for those who want to rely on the DCF calculations of Morgan Stanley&#39;s analysts.</p><p>JPMorgan - Trim Estimates and Price Target After Softer Trend in 3Q Volume &amp; Pricing [October 20]</p><p>AnalystsRyan Brinkman, Rajat Gupta, CFA, Manasvi Garg, et al. stick to an oppositional opinion concerning the other two banks above. They are Underweight Tesla with a price target of $150/share, revised down from $153/share, having the following reasoning:</p><blockquote>We are lowering our estimates and price target after Tesla reported modestly softer than expected 3Q22 results Wednesday after the close, featuring lower-than-consensus margin on lower-than-expected revenue. Average transaction prices rose strongly y/y, but to a level that was lower than expected, driving a -3% revenue miss given that deliveries were previously disclosed. The results will likely add to debates about demand destruction that ensued after 3Q deliveries tracked -5% below company-compiled consensus. Management itself reined in near-term growth expectations, now looking for just less than its original target of more than +50% unit growth this year vs. previous indication only that the target would be more difficult to achieve. We continue to see risk to guidance for +50% annual unit volume growth over time (in some years more, in some years less), including given higher prices, higher interest rates, an increasingly tapped-out consumer, and given the paucity of new model introductions, with Tesla&#39;s lineup essentially the same as at the start of 2021 after the last Model S &amp; X refresh, with the Cybertruck (originally slated for 2021) still on tap. Automotive gross margin of 26.8% missed Bloomberg consensus of 27.7%, with management citing persistent inflationary pressures, including higher logistics costs. We remain cautious on valuation, particularly in the context of lofty unit volume growth expectations, and continue to see material downside risk to our December 2023 price target, which declines today to $150 from $153, on account of unchanged target multiples applied to our slightly lower estimates, which decline primarily on flow-through of 3Q&#39;s softer-than-expected trend in demand expressed in the form of lower transaction prices.</blockquote><blockquote>Source: JPMorgan&#39;s TSLA report, October 20</blockquote><p>Their price target methodology is less sophisticated than Morgan Stanley&#39;s one (and more reasonable, in my opinion, than that of BofA) and is predicated upon a 50/50 blend of DCF and 2025E-based multiples analysis (itself a blend of P/E, EV/EBITDA, and price-to-sales).</p><p>And if you take a look at JPM&#39;s Key Figures table, theirs seem much more realistic - at least the analysts take into account a more reasonable multiple and margin contractions as Tesla expands its business and matures:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6bc5018373d282566815bd6816da0b6\" tg-width=\"581\" tg-height=\"631\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>JPMorgan, TSLA report, October 20</p><p>They propose to focus on equal weighting of 3 coefficients to find fair value (50% of the model) and DCF calculations for the remaining half. If they had focused solely on DCF, they would have received $129 per share on exit - and against a backdrop of rapidly growing FCF. However, FCF-based valuation has shown in practice how indifferent the market is to it concerning Tesla - just take a look at the stock rating history from Ryan Brinkman, the lead author of the above JPM report:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58a254263a2a3a5480f2c67ead96566c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"364\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>TipRanks, Ryan Brinkman, October 21</p><p>I am not saying Ryan is wrong this time either - &#34;past performance is no guarantee of future performance&#34; applies in reverse as well, let us not forget that. However, I am skeptical about FCF as a driver for determining Tesla&#39;s intrinsic value - it is much more correct to look at multiples and their compression over time. The current state of the company&#39;s valuation is more in line with JPMorgan than BofA or MS - given the increasing risks of Tesla losing its 50% growth rate in 2023 and 2024, I think we are in for a bumpy ride, and the only opportunity for buy-and-hold investors, if you consider yourself one, is to hedge.</p><p>GLJ Research - the numbers TSLA reports are LIKELY NOT REAL [October 20]</p><p>One risk that has long been talked about and is unlikely to be taken seriously by experts is the possibility of falsified reporting. More and more people keep doubting that Tesla can grow such volumes based on sub-ten percent OPEX and CAPEX growth (you may have noticed that this was one of Morgan Stanley&#39;s bullish arguments).</p><p>Gordon Johnson from GLJ Research - ranked by Bloomberg among the top stock pickers in the steel, iron ore, graphite electrode, electric vehicle, and solar spaces since initiating coverage in 2008 - writes, that with 2 of its 4 plants operating at just ~10% capacity, TSLA&#39;s gross margins expansion from 25.0% to 26.61% (per Bloomberg) is not possible.</p><blockquote>In short, we believe the numbers TSLA reports are largely &#34;fiction,&#34; resulting from aggressive accounting applied via the Shanghai plant, among other &#34;tricks&#34; used. And, given modeling numbers that are &#34;fiction&#34; is impossible, this time (i.e., for 3Q22), we aren’t going to even try (we see LARGE incentive for E. Musk to be as aggressive as possible, from an accounting perspective, given he has ~$15B-$20B worth of shares still left to sell to close the Twitter buyout... by our calculation). That is, using one example of TSLA&#39;s many accounting shenanigans, while pretty much every other automaker includes R&amp;D in the gross profit they report, TSLA pushes this metric below the gross profit line, allowing it to claim industry leading margins; yet, when adjusting R&amp;D out of COGS for TSLA, TSLA’s margins rank 11th among global automakers according to Bloomberg.</blockquote><blockquote>Source: Gordon Johnson from GLJ Research</blockquote><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88b14d65af952a9e91fd7bf618a44557\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"594\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg, GLJ Research</p><p>Mr. Johnson warns us - demand today is quite meager on all fronts, as evidenced by the company&#39;s own preliminary statistics and official government sources:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bdab92dd02be42cc98d2eea0f9b03473\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"115\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>GLJ Research LLC</p><p>GLJ Research&#39;s analysts give 5 reasons to believe TSLA is artificially boosting its revenue numbers:</p><ol><li>Revenues up 56% (YoY) amid expenses up only 2% (YoY);</li><li>CAPEX is flat (YoY) when construction of Berlin and Austin is done, which seems impossible. TSLA may be capitalizing more expenses than it should on the balance sheet, thus possibly overstating margins;</li><li>TSLA&#39;s SG&amp;A is still running at $1B/qtr, roughly the same as two years ago, despite selling 2x as many cars;</li><li>Gross margins staying up with 2 new factories open, making just a fraction of their vehicle capacity;</li><li>Inventory is up 98% (YoY) while sales up 56%. Inventory should keep pace with sales, not outpace it - unless you capitalize raw materials for inventory which you can&#39;t move and don&#39;t impair so as not to take a profit hit.</li></ol><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c0ba728f76aeae0a3d1f51a7d7769e2e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"124\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>GLJ Research LLC</p><p>All this looks strange, but it looks even stranger that no one can clearly refute these arguments that support TSLA&#39;s balance sheet fraud. If you can - I am really interested, please share your take in the comments.</p><p><b>Bottom Line</b></p><p>In this article, I took a closer look at the banks&#39; recent analysis and reaction to Tesla&#39;s latest quarterly report. After reading and analyzing everything I had on hands, and also examining the banks&#39; methods of calculating their price targets, I conclude that JPM has come closest to the truth with a reasonable estimate of the multiple and margin contractions over the next 5 years.</p><p>Yes, JPM&#39;s history of &#34;sell&#34; ratings looks depressing - but what if they are right this time? What if Tesla is actually fudging its books to inflate margins and boost net income above consensus?</p><p>The risks to the company are increasing, and while I do not think Tesla is going to repeat Enron&#39;s story, I understand those who think Tesla is an overvalued company. However, it is far from the only company in the market, nor is it the most overvalued. Given the support from retail investors, and assuming that the company&#39;s operational growth continues (if it is a reality), I believe that long-term investors need to hedge against growing risks anyway. Methods can vary - selling puts, pair trading ideas like the one I wrote about earlier, tactical positioning, etc. Waiting and watching as the price is exposed to the consequences of multiple contractions - which are logical today - does not look optimal, in my view.</p><p><i>This time, I rate Tesla stock as Hold.</i></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla: Accounting And Valuation Concerns</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla: Accounting And Valuation Concerns\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-24 11:36 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4548158-tesla-accounting-and-valuation-concerns><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryIn this article, I analyze recent reports from banks that have updated their price targets for Tesla stock since the release of Q3 results.BofA and Morgan Stanley are overly optimistic, in my ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4548158-tesla-accounting-and-valuation-concerns\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4548158-tesla-accounting-and-valuation-concerns","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1133583383","content_text":"SummaryIn this article, I analyze recent reports from banks that have updated their price targets for Tesla stock since the release of Q3 results.BofA and Morgan Stanley are overly optimistic, in my view, while JPMorgan seems closest to reality.GLJ Research's analysts give you 5 reasons to believe TSLA is artificially boosting its revenue numbers.Waiting and watching as the price is exposed to the consequences of multiple contractions - which are logical today - does not look optimal, in my view.This time, I rate Tesla stock as Hold.IntroductionIn late June 2022, I posted a pair trade idea in which I recommended buying Tesla, Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA) and selling Lucid Group, Inc. (LCID) stock short (in equal dollar amounts). My pitch was simple enough. Both companies look overvalued in terms of absolute multiples. Still, due to more efficient operational growth, Tesla should have experienced a much less noticeable multiple contraction than Lucid while receiving much more support from retail investors.A few months have passed since then. The S&P 500 (SPX) fell even lower, dragging the rest of the market with it, including the companies mentioned above. But my thesis was justified - the difference in the magnitude of the declines in TSLA and LCID would bring a potential investor +22.9% (gross, before deducting brokerage commissions for shorting LCID):Seeking Alpha, Ycharts, author's notesAt the time, I recommended holding this deal until the end of the year. However, in my article today, I want to look at the recent banks' equity research reports on Tesla's financial results. Let us take a look at them and try to assess how logical their forecasts and conclusions are and whether they should be trusted.Bank of America - 3Q results look pretty good to us – first take [October 19]Analysts John Murphy, CFA, John P. Babcock, and Federico Merendi reiterated a Neutral rating on Tesla with a price objective (PO) of $325 per share - that's 3.17% higher than their previous PO of $315.Moreover, BofA said much the same thing as I did when I put forward my thesis in June - TSLA's self-funding status is a notable advantage over some startup competitors in the electric car space, but because its valuation is the result of optimistic projections for a long future (recall the 50% growth target), it will be quite difficult for the quotes to grow strongly in the near future.However, why did the bank raise its TSLA price target anyway? The issue is how the actual results differed from what analysts had expected from the company:BofA, TSLA report, October 19I can understand why the analysts were wrong in forecasting gross profit - the variance seems negligible. But to be wrong on operating expenses (OPEX) by 15% and on taxes by 38.8%? If Tesla really is not just faking its books - we will get into that later - but is working as we see in the statements, then the company's operating efficiency makes one sit up and take notice because even top analysts could not imagine how Elon Musk could save so much on OPEX this quarter.BofA values the company using EV/Sales and EV/EBITDA multiples, but $325/share is too optimistic a target in my opinion. Let us look at their logic. BofA analysts expect EV/EBITDA to be 41x in 2022, down 37.1% from 2021. At the same time, EBITDA growth will be 59.2% in 2022. This is such a sharp decline in the multiple against the backdrop of such a high growth rate in the underlying financial metric. In 2023, however, EBITDA is expected to grow by only 7% - many times less than in the previous year. However, the analysts' forecast includes a much less modest contraction of 6.6% in 2023, which is not in line with the trend of recent years:BofA, TSLA report, with author's calculations and notesIn my view, the EV/EBITDA multiple in 2023 should be at least 30x, if not lower, if the multiple contraction continues - and it should, given lower growth forecasts and a generally higher interest rate environment - implying a 27% reduction in the multiple from 2022 to 2023. At EBITDA of $19.916 billion in 2023 (BofA's estimate), enterprise value should be about $600 billion - that's 5.5% below the current one.Morgan Stanley - 3Q Margins Beat, But FY23 Outlook Still at Risk [October 19]AnalystsAdam Jonas, CFA, Evan Silverberg, CFA, CPA, et al. released an update of their Overweight rating, having $350 per share as a new price objective - below its pre-split target of $1300(about $433 per share).Morgan Stanley, like BofA, was wrong about growth in OPEX, interest expense, and stock-based compensation. The company's lower-than-expected CAPEX coupled with stronger EPS growth resulted in a 153.6% undervaluation of FCF:MS, TSLA report, October 19The key takeaways from their analysis of TSLA's report:expected cost inflation related to logistics/shipping as well as adverse timing differences related to supplier payments given significant input cost inflation on the battery and non-battery side. That didn't happen;If one were to inflation adjust the YoY moves in CAPEX and OPEX, Tesla's clearly doing more with less;Supercharging revenue will most likely get above 10% of Tesla's total revenue within the next 12 to 18 months;Production is ramping up at the 40-GWh Megapack factory in California - a solid win for the company, demonstrating its strength and focus on the battery front.Okay, but why did analysts lower their TSLA price target?Here you have to look at the input data for their SOTP 6-component model:MS, TSLA report, October 19Our PT of $433 is comprised of 6 components:(1)$203/share for core Tesla Auto business on 8.6mm units in 2030, 8.5% WACC, 15x 2030 exit EBITDA multiple, exit EBITDA margin of 20%.(2)Tesla Mobility at $25 on DCF with ~500k cars at $1.7/mile by 2030.(3)Tesla as a 3rd party supplier at $44/share.4)Energy at $37/share,5)Insurance at $12/share, &6)Network Services at $113, 25mm MAUs, $100 ARPU by 2030, 20% discount.Source: Investing.com, author's adjustment for the split (3:1)Segment / DateJun 16, 2022(rounded)NowChangeCore Tesla Auto business$203$287Tesla Mobility$25$221.4%3rd party supplier$44$27-38.2%Energy$37$31-16.2%Insurance$12$8-35.1%Network Services$113$75-33.4%Sum Of The Parts$433$4504.6%Source: Author's compilationIf you add up all the parts of the analysts' outputs, it shows that their SOTP model does indeed show a price target of $453 per share - I suspect that the Morgan Stanley analysts mistyped their report and wrote $287 instead of $187 because the difference is exactly $100 while the WACC is higher and the sales volume is lower than before. Here's how the above table should most likely look like:Segment / DateJun 16, 2022 (rounded)NowChangeCore Tesla Auto business$203$187-7.7%Tesla Mobility$25$221.4%3rd party supplier$45$27-38.2%Energy$37$31-16.2%Insurance$12$8-35.1%Network Services$113$75-33.4%Sum Of The Parts$433$350-18.5%Source: Author's compilationIf you look at how the analysts' assumptions have changed, we see only 3 concrete changes here: 1) the number of vehicles produced in 2030 is now reduced by 0.9 million units (-10.5%); 2) the WACC is increased by 0.2% (8.7% vs. 8.5%); and 3) the exit EBITDA margin is increased from 20% to 21%. This applies directly to the main revenue stream (Core Tesla Auto business) - the assumptions for the other parts are not disclosed (I assume the WACC has been applied to them as well, considering that Tesla Mobility's DCF has decreased by 12.5% without any visible adjustments in inputs).That is, broadly speaking, the entire decline in the target price (the top rightmost column above) is due to A) a slight slowdown in operations, and B) a slight 0.2% increase in WACC. At the same time, a new, more positive improvement in business margins has by no means kept the target price for TSLA from correcting. In my opinion, the WACC was not raised high enough by analysts and should have been raised by more than 1% instead of 0.2%. Why do I think so?First, the analysts had to account for higher betas, that mostly increased since their previous call (June 16, 2022):Data by YChartsHigher beta - higher WACC. Of course, it is possible that they took a 3-year coefficient, but then it would be cherry-picking. It is unlikely that the Morgan Stanley analysts did this (I really hope so).The second is the rising risk-free rate, which mostly corresponds to 10-year Treasuries yield, which (theoretically) have no credit risk. The rate has risen since June 15, 2022, from 3.292% to 4.274% at the time of writing. Effective 7-10 year yields on corporate bonds have jumped even higher since then:Data by YChartsThe third point that analysts may not have taken into account in their WACC calculation is the slowdown in economic growth in China and globally, which should have been reflected in the discount rate in the form of an additional premium. Since mid-June 2022, the geopolitical situation in the world has only gotten worse (in my opinion), and the forecast for global economic growth was just recently lowered by the IMF. Therefore, this premium should have been larger, if it was included in their calculations at all.IMF, author's notesIf a minor 0.2% increase in WACC has led to such severe corrections in price targets for the company's various businesses, imagine how long the analysts' model should run - apparently they predict all segments to 2030, using huge growth rates in their models. Even a slight deviation from these rates will cause the model to collapse. In my opinion, this is a serious risk for those who want to rely on the DCF calculations of Morgan Stanley's analysts.JPMorgan - Trim Estimates and Price Target After Softer Trend in 3Q Volume & Pricing [October 20]AnalystsRyan Brinkman, Rajat Gupta, CFA, Manasvi Garg, et al. stick to an oppositional opinion concerning the other two banks above. They are Underweight Tesla with a price target of $150/share, revised down from $153/share, having the following reasoning:We are lowering our estimates and price target after Tesla reported modestly softer than expected 3Q22 results Wednesday after the close, featuring lower-than-consensus margin on lower-than-expected revenue. Average transaction prices rose strongly y/y, but to a level that was lower than expected, driving a -3% revenue miss given that deliveries were previously disclosed. The results will likely add to debates about demand destruction that ensued after 3Q deliveries tracked -5% below company-compiled consensus. Management itself reined in near-term growth expectations, now looking for just less than its original target of more than +50% unit growth this year vs. previous indication only that the target would be more difficult to achieve. We continue to see risk to guidance for +50% annual unit volume growth over time (in some years more, in some years less), including given higher prices, higher interest rates, an increasingly tapped-out consumer, and given the paucity of new model introductions, with Tesla's lineup essentially the same as at the start of 2021 after the last Model S & X refresh, with the Cybertruck (originally slated for 2021) still on tap. Automotive gross margin of 26.8% missed Bloomberg consensus of 27.7%, with management citing persistent inflationary pressures, including higher logistics costs. We remain cautious on valuation, particularly in the context of lofty unit volume growth expectations, and continue to see material downside risk to our December 2023 price target, which declines today to $150 from $153, on account of unchanged target multiples applied to our slightly lower estimates, which decline primarily on flow-through of 3Q's softer-than-expected trend in demand expressed in the form of lower transaction prices.Source: JPMorgan's TSLA report, October 20Their price target methodology is less sophisticated than Morgan Stanley's one (and more reasonable, in my opinion, than that of BofA) and is predicated upon a 50/50 blend of DCF and 2025E-based multiples analysis (itself a blend of P/E, EV/EBITDA, and price-to-sales).And if you take a look at JPM's Key Figures table, theirs seem much more realistic - at least the analysts take into account a more reasonable multiple and margin contractions as Tesla expands its business and matures:JPMorgan, TSLA report, October 20They propose to focus on equal weighting of 3 coefficients to find fair value (50% of the model) and DCF calculations for the remaining half. If they had focused solely on DCF, they would have received $129 per share on exit - and against a backdrop of rapidly growing FCF. However, FCF-based valuation has shown in practice how indifferent the market is to it concerning Tesla - just take a look at the stock rating history from Ryan Brinkman, the lead author of the above JPM report:TipRanks, Ryan Brinkman, October 21I am not saying Ryan is wrong this time either - \"past performance is no guarantee of future performance\" applies in reverse as well, let us not forget that. However, I am skeptical about FCF as a driver for determining Tesla's intrinsic value - it is much more correct to look at multiples and their compression over time. The current state of the company's valuation is more in line with JPMorgan than BofA or MS - given the increasing risks of Tesla losing its 50% growth rate in 2023 and 2024, I think we are in for a bumpy ride, and the only opportunity for buy-and-hold investors, if you consider yourself one, is to hedge.GLJ Research - the numbers TSLA reports are LIKELY NOT REAL [October 20]One risk that has long been talked about and is unlikely to be taken seriously by experts is the possibility of falsified reporting. More and more people keep doubting that Tesla can grow such volumes based on sub-ten percent OPEX and CAPEX growth (you may have noticed that this was one of Morgan Stanley's bullish arguments).Gordon Johnson from GLJ Research - ranked by Bloomberg among the top stock pickers in the steel, iron ore, graphite electrode, electric vehicle, and solar spaces since initiating coverage in 2008 - writes, that with 2 of its 4 plants operating at just ~10% capacity, TSLA's gross margins expansion from 25.0% to 26.61% (per Bloomberg) is not possible.In short, we believe the numbers TSLA reports are largely \"fiction,\" resulting from aggressive accounting applied via the Shanghai plant, among other \"tricks\" used. And, given modeling numbers that are \"fiction\" is impossible, this time (i.e., for 3Q22), we aren’t going to even try (we see LARGE incentive for E. Musk to be as aggressive as possible, from an accounting perspective, given he has ~$15B-$20B worth of shares still left to sell to close the Twitter buyout... by our calculation). That is, using one example of TSLA's many accounting shenanigans, while pretty much every other automaker includes R&D in the gross profit they report, TSLA pushes this metric below the gross profit line, allowing it to claim industry leading margins; yet, when adjusting R&D out of COGS for TSLA, TSLA’s margins rank 11th among global automakers according to Bloomberg.Source: Gordon Johnson from GLJ ResearchBloomberg, GLJ ResearchMr. Johnson warns us - demand today is quite meager on all fronts, as evidenced by the company's own preliminary statistics and official government sources:GLJ Research LLCGLJ Research's analysts give 5 reasons to believe TSLA is artificially boosting its revenue numbers:Revenues up 56% (YoY) amid expenses up only 2% (YoY);CAPEX is flat (YoY) when construction of Berlin and Austin is done, which seems impossible. TSLA may be capitalizing more expenses than it should on the balance sheet, thus possibly overstating margins;TSLA's SG&A is still running at $1B/qtr, roughly the same as two years ago, despite selling 2x as many cars;Gross margins staying up with 2 new factories open, making just a fraction of their vehicle capacity;Inventory is up 98% (YoY) while sales up 56%. Inventory should keep pace with sales, not outpace it - unless you capitalize raw materials for inventory which you can't move and don't impair so as not to take a profit hit.GLJ Research LLCAll this looks strange, but it looks even stranger that no one can clearly refute these arguments that support TSLA's balance sheet fraud. If you can - I am really interested, please share your take in the comments.Bottom LineIn this article, I took a closer look at the banks' recent analysis and reaction to Tesla's latest quarterly report. After reading and analyzing everything I had on hands, and also examining the banks' methods of calculating their price targets, I conclude that JPM has come closest to the truth with a reasonable estimate of the multiple and margin contractions over the next 5 years.Yes, JPM's history of \"sell\" ratings looks depressing - but what if they are right this time? What if Tesla is actually fudging its books to inflate margins and boost net income above consensus?The risks to the company are increasing, and while I do not think Tesla is going to repeat Enron's story, I understand those who think Tesla is an overvalued company. However, it is far from the only company in the market, nor is it the most overvalued. Given the support from retail investors, and assuming that the company's operational growth continues (if it is a reality), I believe that long-term investors need to hedge against growing risks anyway. Methods can vary - selling puts, pair trading ideas like the one I wrote about earlier, tactical positioning, etc. Waiting and watching as the price is exposed to the consequences of multiple contractions - which are logical today - does not look optimal, in my view.This time, I rate Tesla stock as Hold.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":279,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9916427756,"gmtCreate":1664672473975,"gmtModify":1676537491053,"author":{"id":"3583665662213187","authorId":"3583665662213187","name":"TSY123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af38fbc4f07efb7ae9b5ebd03aa4b79b","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583665662213187","authorIdStr":"3583665662213187"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9916427756","repostId":"1178408038","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1178408038","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1664676766,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1178408038?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-02 10:12","market":"us","language":"en","title":"7 Stocks to Sell in October","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1178408038","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"Let's start the coming new year fresh by identifying some top stocks to sell.Nike(NKE): Nike’s brand power did not save it during the most recent quarter.Abercrombie & Fitch(ANF): Weak consumer sentim","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Let&#39;s start the coming new year fresh by identifying some top stocks to sell.</li><li><b>Nike</b>(<b>NKE</b>): Nike’s brand power did not save it during the most recent quarter.</li><li><b>Abercrombie &amp; Fitch</b>(<b>ANF</b>): Weak consumer sentiment hurts the retailer.</li><li><b>Lyft</b>(<b>LYFT</b>): A rival threatens to make Lyft irrelevant.</li><li><b>Tanger Factory Outlet</b>(<b>SKT</b>): A new retail paradigm threatens the stock.</li><li><b>Redfin</b>(<b>RDFN</b>): Housing sector woes cloud Redfin.</li><li><b>KB Home</b>(<b>KBH</b>): Rising days inventory presents problems for KB Home.</li><li><b>Opendoor</b>(<b>OPEN</b>): Opendoor is on the wrong side of the housing cycle.</li></ul><p>Stocks to sell is a necessary discussion. Although it may feel good to remain loyal to an organization in the hopes of a substantial turnaround, it’s time to let go of some of the weaker entities.</p><p>Fundamentally, the Federal Reserve plays an incredibly significant role in the red ink. With the central bank raising the key benchmark interest rate, borrowing costs increased, thereby hurting risk-on sentiments. For instance, heading into the final day of trading in September, the<b>S&amp;P 500</b>slipped 24% on a year-to-date basis. Therefore, it’s prudent to consider certain stocks to sell.</p><p>In addition, <i>InvestorPlace’s</i> Louis Navellier probably said it best regarding troubled corporate entities. Essentially, their problems become your problems if you acquire their securities. The point about stocks to sell isn’t about “hating” on certain companies. Rather, you want to keep your portfolio drama free heading into a contentious October.</p><p><b>Nike (NKE)</b></p><p>Prior to the fiscal first-quarter earnings report for <b>Nike</b>(NYSE: <b>NKE</b>), I mentioned that Wall Street was waiting anxiously for the results. While the general consensus appeared pessimistic due to a range of macroeconomic headwinds impacting NKE, some analysts broadcasted optimism. Because Nike commanded a global branding powerhouse, some data points suggested that it could pull off a positive surprise.</p><p>Unfortunately, those folks were wrong. According to the<i>Wall Street Journal</i>, Nike reported that “inventories rose 44% to $9.7 billion in the latest quarter.” In addition, “higher discounts and freight costs squeezed profit margins.” Further, Nike executives mentioned that they had to mark down more goods heading into the holidays.</p><p>In the open market following the Sept. 29 disclosure, NKE finished the day down 3.4%. However, in the afterhours session, it slipped nearly 9%. Frankly, it might be time to call the athletic apparel giant one of the top stocks to sell.</p><p>If any company could have beat the discretionary consumer sector blues, it was Nike. It failed. It’s time to face reality.</p><p><b>Abercrombie &amp; Fitch (ANF)</b></p><p>One of the most popular apparel companies in the 1990s and 2000s, <b>Abercrombie &amp; Fitch</b>(NYSE:<b>ANF</b>) long tied in to youth culture. Before digitalization took over everything, the cool kids wore Abercrombie &amp; Fitch. Today, the younger folks, including those in Generation Z, don’t really care about name brands. As this demographic grew older, young adult consumer behaviors shifted.</p><p>Unfortunately, it shifted in the wrong direction for Abercrombie &amp; Fitch. Over the trailing five years, ANF only gained a bit under 7%. Since the start of this year, shares hemorrhaged 56% of market value. Circumstances will likely worsen for ANF moving forward.</p><p>In late August, the company stated “it lost $16.83 million, or 33 cents a share, in its second quarter, compared to a net income of $108.5 million, or $1.69 a share, in the year-ago quarter,” according to <i>MarketWatch</i>.</p><p>Now that almighty Nike struggled to resonate with hard-hit consumers, it’s probably time to consider ANF as one of the stocks to sell, as well.</p><p><b>Lyft (LYFT)</b></p><p>Although companies like <b>Lyft</b>(NASDAQ:<b>LYFT</b>) helped spark the ride-sharing revolution, the underlying industry is presenting us with worrying vulnerabilities. Honestly, the phenomenon must be driving urban survivalists crazy. After all, using an app as a trust mechanism for someone you don’t know presents incredible security issues. Sadly, we’re finding this out now with Lyft.</p><p>According to <i>NPR</i>, Lyft faces “17 new lawsuits brought by users of its service from around the country, who claim the company failed to protect passengers and drivers from physical and [prurient] assault.” You can read the details yourself but the main point is that ride sharing presents risks. The lawsuits represent a significant reason to consider LYFT as one of the stocks to sell.</p><p>The other stems from rival <b>Uber</b>(NYSE:<b>UBER</b>). While Uber features a far more aggressive financial profile than Lyft – retained earnings loss for Uber is$32 billion versus $8.9 billion for Lyft – the former’s expansionary efforts could effectively monopolize the ride-sharing business. Therefore, LYFT risks relevance loss, making it one of the candidates for stocks to sell.</p><p><b>Tanger Factory Outlet (SKT)</b></p><p>A shopping center-focused real estate investment trust (or REIT), <b>Tanger Factory Outlet</b>(NYSE:<b>SKT</b>) represents an idea for stocks to sell that I’m borrowing from<i>InvestorPlace</i>contributor Ian Bezek. As Bezek mentioned, Tanger’s business model featured extraordinary relevance about two decades ago.</p><p>Operators in the shopping center category “would build a major shopping destination in a tourist area or along a major highway in between two big cities. People would go to the outlet center and get bargains that weren’t available at shopping malls or in downtown shopping areas. The thinking was that outlets gave retailers an alternative venue to clear out certain kinds of products, while giving shoppers a fun and novel bargain-hunting experience,” mentioned Bezek.</p><p>Unfortunately, Bezek stated that Tanger’s “financial results were poor prior to the pandemic.” With the crisis, circumstances worsened. Thus, the analyst rated the long-term prognosis as “grim.”</p><p>For me, the retained earnings line item presents significant concerns. In 2019, this metric saw a loss of $317 million. In the trailing-12-month basis, it’s down $483 million. Thus, SKT could be one of the stocks to sell.</p><p><b>Redfin (RDFN)</b></p><p>Throughout this year, the real estate market and its broader price trajectory sparked much debate. With theFed committed to raising the benchmark interest rate, prices fundamentally seem on their way down. It’s just simple math: put barriers to affordability to prospective buyers and demand diminishes. Therefore, I believe it makes perfect sense to consider <b>Redfin</b>(NASDAQ:<b>RDFN</b>) as one of the stocks to sell.</p><p>Before discussing this and other stocks to sell in the housing sector, I must disclose my bias. Every time I saw real estate experts talk about housing prices moving even higher, I kept yelling a certain word. It begins with “B” and ends with “T.” In fact, I laid out my case earlier this year for a possible recession on the horizon.</p><p>As mentioned earlier, the fundamental problem with real estate brokerage services such as Redfin is the math. As affordability metrics become further constrained for more people, the price of assets must decline to reflect reality. The problem for RDFN is that it may still be financially problematic, making it one of the stocks to sell.</p><p><b>KB Home (KBH)</b></p><p>Among several market ideas to acquire during the heyday of 2021, homebuilding firm <b>KB Home</b>(NYSE:<b>KBH</b>) now arguably represents one of the top stocks to sell. Prior to the heightened interest rate environment, many folks talked about a housing unit shortage. Therefore, the easy solution appeared to be that homebuilders should simply build more homes.</p><p>However, I argued that the idea of a housing shortage represented a myth. Long story short, just because the U.S. has more people does not mean it has more qualified homebuyers. For instance, married couples represent a major catalyst for homebuying incentivization. However, the ratio of married couples to housing units has been stable (and adequate) for several years.</p><p>Recently, KB Home disclosed its fiscal third-quarter earnings report. It beat on earnings expectations but missed against revenue. Still, I believe the more important stat is days inventory. This figure stood at nearly 382 in fiscal Q3, up 7.5% year-over-year.</p><p>KBH is one of the stocks to sell.</p><p><b>Opendoor (OPEN)</b></p><p>At first glance, the iBuyer model for <b>Opendoor</b>(NASDAQ:<b>OPEN</b>) seemed incredibly attractive. Essentially, the company makes instant cash offers on homes through an online process. By doing so, the process of selling real estate is much quicker and more convenient. The implication undergirding OPEN stock was that the model could eventually do away with the cumbersome nature of home-related transactions.</p><p>But then, nobody seemed to ask the obvious question: why would anyone want real estate transactions to be quicker and more convenient? You’re not upgrading your smartphone. Rather, you’re buying a home, which is typically the most expensive purchase for the average person. Therefore, you want to make sure that every relevant party to the transaction does their job appropriately. If it takes some time, so what? You don’t want to make a mistake here.</p><p>Turns out, another reason to consider OPEN as one of the stocks to sell is the lack of viability. Recently, a report revealed that Opendoorlost money on 42% of transactions in August. That’s startling because the company obviously doesn’t offer top dollar for what is essentially a home-flipping service. So, buyer beware.</p></body></html>","source":"investorplace","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>7 Stocks to Sell in October</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n7 Stocks to Sell in October\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-02 10:12 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://investorplace.com/2022/09/7-stocks-to-sell-in-october/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Let's start the coming new year fresh by identifying some top stocks to sell.Nike(NKE): Nike’s brand power did not save it during the most recent quarter.Abercrombie & Fitch(ANF): Weak consumer ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/09/7-stocks-to-sell-in-october/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NKE":"耐克","ANF":"爱芬奇","RDFN":"Redfin Corp","SKT":"Tanger Factory Outlet Centers In","LYFT":"Lyft, Inc.","OPEN":"Opendoor Technologies Inc","KBH":"KB Home"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2022/09/7-stocks-to-sell-in-october/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1178408038","content_text":"Let's start the coming new year fresh by identifying some top stocks to sell.Nike(NKE): Nike’s brand power did not save it during the most recent quarter.Abercrombie & Fitch(ANF): Weak consumer sentiment hurts the retailer.Lyft(LYFT): A rival threatens to make Lyft irrelevant.Tanger Factory Outlet(SKT): A new retail paradigm threatens the stock.Redfin(RDFN): Housing sector woes cloud Redfin.KB Home(KBH): Rising days inventory presents problems for KB Home.Opendoor(OPEN): Opendoor is on the wrong side of the housing cycle.Stocks to sell is a necessary discussion. Although it may feel good to remain loyal to an organization in the hopes of a substantial turnaround, it’s time to let go of some of the weaker entities.Fundamentally, the Federal Reserve plays an incredibly significant role in the red ink. With the central bank raising the key benchmark interest rate, borrowing costs increased, thereby hurting risk-on sentiments. For instance, heading into the final day of trading in September, theS&P 500slipped 24% on a year-to-date basis. Therefore, it’s prudent to consider certain stocks to sell.In addition, InvestorPlace’s Louis Navellier probably said it best regarding troubled corporate entities. Essentially, their problems become your problems if you acquire their securities. The point about stocks to sell isn’t about “hating” on certain companies. Rather, you want to keep your portfolio drama free heading into a contentious October.Nike (NKE)Prior to the fiscal first-quarter earnings report for Nike(NYSE: NKE), I mentioned that Wall Street was waiting anxiously for the results. While the general consensus appeared pessimistic due to a range of macroeconomic headwinds impacting NKE, some analysts broadcasted optimism. Because Nike commanded a global branding powerhouse, some data points suggested that it could pull off a positive surprise.Unfortunately, those folks were wrong. According to theWall Street Journal, Nike reported that “inventories rose 44% to $9.7 billion in the latest quarter.” In addition, “higher discounts and freight costs squeezed profit margins.” Further, Nike executives mentioned that they had to mark down more goods heading into the holidays.In the open market following the Sept. 29 disclosure, NKE finished the day down 3.4%. However, in the afterhours session, it slipped nearly 9%. Frankly, it might be time to call the athletic apparel giant one of the top stocks to sell.If any company could have beat the discretionary consumer sector blues, it was Nike. It failed. It’s time to face reality.Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF)One of the most popular apparel companies in the 1990s and 2000s, Abercrombie & Fitch(NYSE:ANF) long tied in to youth culture. Before digitalization took over everything, the cool kids wore Abercrombie & Fitch. Today, the younger folks, including those in Generation Z, don’t really care about name brands. As this demographic grew older, young adult consumer behaviors shifted.Unfortunately, it shifted in the wrong direction for Abercrombie & Fitch. Over the trailing five years, ANF only gained a bit under 7%. Since the start of this year, shares hemorrhaged 56% of market value. Circumstances will likely worsen for ANF moving forward.In late August, the company stated “it lost $16.83 million, or 33 cents a share, in its second quarter, compared to a net income of $108.5 million, or $1.69 a share, in the year-ago quarter,” according to MarketWatch.Now that almighty Nike struggled to resonate with hard-hit consumers, it’s probably time to consider ANF as one of the stocks to sell, as well.Lyft (LYFT)Although companies like Lyft(NASDAQ:LYFT) helped spark the ride-sharing revolution, the underlying industry is presenting us with worrying vulnerabilities. Honestly, the phenomenon must be driving urban survivalists crazy. After all, using an app as a trust mechanism for someone you don’t know presents incredible security issues. Sadly, we’re finding this out now with Lyft.According to NPR, Lyft faces “17 new lawsuits brought by users of its service from around the country, who claim the company failed to protect passengers and drivers from physical and [prurient] assault.” You can read the details yourself but the main point is that ride sharing presents risks. The lawsuits represent a significant reason to consider LYFT as one of the stocks to sell.The other stems from rival Uber(NYSE:UBER). While Uber features a far more aggressive financial profile than Lyft – retained earnings loss for Uber is$32 billion versus $8.9 billion for Lyft – the former’s expansionary efforts could effectively monopolize the ride-sharing business. Therefore, LYFT risks relevance loss, making it one of the candidates for stocks to sell.Tanger Factory Outlet (SKT)A shopping center-focused real estate investment trust (or REIT), Tanger Factory Outlet(NYSE:SKT) represents an idea for stocks to sell that I’m borrowing fromInvestorPlacecontributor Ian Bezek. As Bezek mentioned, Tanger’s business model featured extraordinary relevance about two decades ago.Operators in the shopping center category “would build a major shopping destination in a tourist area or along a major highway in between two big cities. People would go to the outlet center and get bargains that weren’t available at shopping malls or in downtown shopping areas. The thinking was that outlets gave retailers an alternative venue to clear out certain kinds of products, while giving shoppers a fun and novel bargain-hunting experience,” mentioned Bezek.Unfortunately, Bezek stated that Tanger’s “financial results were poor prior to the pandemic.” With the crisis, circumstances worsened. Thus, the analyst rated the long-term prognosis as “grim.”For me, the retained earnings line item presents significant concerns. In 2019, this metric saw a loss of $317 million. In the trailing-12-month basis, it’s down $483 million. Thus, SKT could be one of the stocks to sell.Redfin (RDFN)Throughout this year, the real estate market and its broader price trajectory sparked much debate. With theFed committed to raising the benchmark interest rate, prices fundamentally seem on their way down. It’s just simple math: put barriers to affordability to prospective buyers and demand diminishes. Therefore, I believe it makes perfect sense to consider Redfin(NASDAQ:RDFN) as one of the stocks to sell.Before discussing this and other stocks to sell in the housing sector, I must disclose my bias. Every time I saw real estate experts talk about housing prices moving even higher, I kept yelling a certain word. It begins with “B” and ends with “T.” In fact, I laid out my case earlier this year for a possible recession on the horizon.As mentioned earlier, the fundamental problem with real estate brokerage services such as Redfin is the math. As affordability metrics become further constrained for more people, the price of assets must decline to reflect reality. The problem for RDFN is that it may still be financially problematic, making it one of the stocks to sell.KB Home (KBH)Among several market ideas to acquire during the heyday of 2021, homebuilding firm KB Home(NYSE:KBH) now arguably represents one of the top stocks to sell. Prior to the heightened interest rate environment, many folks talked about a housing unit shortage. Therefore, the easy solution appeared to be that homebuilders should simply build more homes.However, I argued that the idea of a housing shortage represented a myth. Long story short, just because the U.S. has more people does not mean it has more qualified homebuyers. For instance, married couples represent a major catalyst for homebuying incentivization. However, the ratio of married couples to housing units has been stable (and adequate) for several years.Recently, KB Home disclosed its fiscal third-quarter earnings report. It beat on earnings expectations but missed against revenue. Still, I believe the more important stat is days inventory. This figure stood at nearly 382 in fiscal Q3, up 7.5% year-over-year.KBH is one of the stocks to sell.Opendoor (OPEN)At first glance, the iBuyer model for Opendoor(NASDAQ:OPEN) seemed incredibly attractive. Essentially, the company makes instant cash offers on homes through an online process. By doing so, the process of selling real estate is much quicker and more convenient. The implication undergirding OPEN stock was that the model could eventually do away with the cumbersome nature of home-related transactions.But then, nobody seemed to ask the obvious question: why would anyone want real estate transactions to be quicker and more convenient? You’re not upgrading your smartphone. Rather, you’re buying a home, which is typically the most expensive purchase for the average person. Therefore, you want to make sure that every relevant party to the transaction does their job appropriately. If it takes some time, so what? You don’t want to make a mistake here.Turns out, another reason to consider OPEN as one of the stocks to sell is the lack of viability. Recently, a report revealed that Opendoorlost money on 42% of transactions in August. That’s startling because the company obviously doesn’t offer top dollar for what is essentially a home-flipping service. So, buyer beware.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":54,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}