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dlzy900

dlzy900

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2022-05-15

$Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.B)$yup

2022-05-15

$Starbucks(SBUX)$yup

2022-05-15

okay

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2022-05-11

$Starbucks(SBUX)$ok

2022-05-11

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$buy

2022-05-11

yup

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2022-05-11

yup

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2022-05-09

$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ok

2022-05-09

yep

Cathie Wood Just Bought More Coinbase (COIN) Stock. Here’s Why.

2022-05-09

yep

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2022-05-09

okay

Tesla: Overvalued By 85.26% And Not A Technology Company

2022-05-09

okay

Tesla: Overvalued By 85.26% And Not A Technology Company

2022-05-05

okay

Dow Tumbles 1,000 Points, Nasdaq Drops More Than 4% as Wall Street Sell-Off Intensifies

2022-05-02

$Starbucks(SBUX)$yup

2022-05-02

yes

An Incredible Stock Market Money-Making Opportunity Is Fast Approaching

2022-05-01

$Starbucks(SBUX)$yes

2022-05-01

yes

Why did Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway Spend Billions on Chevron? Look at "Shareholder Yield"

2022-04-30

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$up

2022-04-30

$Starbucks(SBUX)$okay

2022-04-29

yup

3 Stocks That Could Be Worth More Than Tesla by 2030

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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Motors(TSLA)$buy","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1b30b08fe2dc0afcf1f86134ef59a66e","width":"1125","height":"2832"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9064309071","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":311,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9064300887,"gmtCreate":1652274714849,"gmtModify":1676535066398,"author":{"id":"3583805940946266","authorId":"3583805940946266","name":"dlzy900","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a9296920deee300153d681f41bd09970","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583805940946266","authorIdStr":"3583805940946266"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"yup","listText":"yup","text":"yup","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9064300887","repostId":"1173203163","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":762,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9064300155,"gmtCreate":1652274691377,"gmtModify":1676535066390,"author":{"id":"3583805940946266","authorId":"3583805940946266","name":"dlzy900","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a9296920deee300153d681f41bd09970","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583805940946266","authorIdStr":"3583805940946266"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"yup","listText":"yup","text":"yup","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9064300155","repostId":"1173203163","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":163,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9062153631,"gmtCreate":1652029929823,"gmtModify":1676535015872,"author":{"id":"3583805940946266","authorId":"3583805940946266","name":"dlzy900","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a9296920deee300153d681f41bd09970","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583805940946266","authorIdStr":"3583805940946266"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a>ok","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a>ok","text":"$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ok","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/8bf32b929ec9ae5a865b8d27faf4f763","width":"1125","height":"2659"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9062153631","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":129,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9062153896,"gmtCreate":1652029911315,"gmtModify":1676535015856,"author":{"id":"3583805940946266","authorId":"3583805940946266","name":"dlzy900","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a9296920deee300153d681f41bd09970","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583805940946266","authorIdStr":"3583805940946266"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"yep","listText":"yep","text":"yep","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9062153896","repostId":"1142625267","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1142625267","pubTimestamp":1651979668,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1142625267?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-08 11:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Cathie Wood Just Bought More Coinbase (COIN) Stock. Here’s Why.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1142625267","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"Shares of Coinbase(NASDAQ:COIN) are in the spotlight after Cathie Wood’sArk Investreported buying CO","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Shares of <b>Coinbase</b>(NASDAQ:<b><u>COIN</u></b>) are in the spotlight after Cathie Wood’s<b>Ark Invest</b>reported buying COIN stock through two of its exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Shares of the cryptocurrency brokerage are down more than 55% year-to-date. In addition, Coinbase has lost about 65% of its value since its anticipated initial public offering (IPO).</p><p>On Wednesday, the company opened up its beta non-fungible token (NFT) marketplace to all users. However,<i>Bloomberg</i> reports that the marketplace is off to a slow start. On the same day, Coinbase recorded fewer than 100 transactions as of 5:15 p.m. Eastern, which equates to less than $60,000 in sales. In comparison, the leading NFT marketplace, <b>OpenSea</b>, reported $124 million in transaction volume on May 3.</p><p>Despite the slow start to Coinbase’s NFT marketplace, Cathie Wood remains bullish on the brokerage.</p><p>Cathie Wood Buys COIN Stock</p><p>On May 5, two Ark ETFs reported buying shares of Coinbase. The <b>Ark Next Generation Internet ETF</b>(NYSEMKT:<b><u>ARKW</u></b>) reported purchasing39,698 shares. Meanwhile, th e<b>Ark Fintech Innovation ETF</b>(NYSEMKT:<b><u>ARKF</u></b>) reported buying 23,341 shares. After the purchase, Coinbase accounts for9.24% of ARKF, making it the ETF’s third-largest position. Furthermore, Coinbase accounts for 8.08% of ARKW, making it the third-largest position as well. Across all Ark ETFs, the company is the fourth-largest holding with a 4.51% allocation.</p><p>Excluding yesterday’s purchase, the last time Ark Invest purchased COIN was on April 20. On that day, two Ark ETFs purchased 167,810 shares in total. Since Jan. 6, Ark Invest has not sold a single share of COIN.</p><p>Many people believe that cryptocurrency is still in its early stages, and Wood seems to think that as well. With a market capitalization of about $23 billion, the company currently trades at a low price-to-sales ratio of 3.1.</p><p>Coinbase to Report Earnings on May 10</p><p>Coinbase has confirmed it will report Q1 earnings on May 10 after the market close. For revenue, analysts are expecting$1.48 billion, which would reflect a year-over-year decline of 18%. Meanwhile, analysts are expecting earnings per share (EPS) of 17 cents. For Q2 guidance, analysts expect revenue of $1.58 billion and EPS of 16 cents.</p><p>However, <i>Zacks Equity Research</i> reports that increased competition may hamper operating income due to marketing, account verification and payment-processing expenses. As a result, investors should keep their eyes peeled for when Coinbase reports earnings.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Cathie Wood Just Bought More Coinbase (COIN) Stock. Here’s Why.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCathie Wood Just Bought More Coinbase (COIN) Stock. Here’s Why.\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-05-08 11:14 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://investorplace.com/2022/05/cathie-wood-just-bought-more-coinbase-coin-stock-heres-why/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Shares of Coinbase(NASDAQ:COIN) are in the spotlight after Cathie Wood’sArk Investreported buying COIN stock through two of its exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Shares of the cryptocurrency brokerage are...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/05/cathie-wood-just-bought-more-coinbase-coin-stock-heres-why/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc."},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2022/05/cathie-wood-just-bought-more-coinbase-coin-stock-heres-why/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1142625267","content_text":"Shares of Coinbase(NASDAQ:COIN) are in the spotlight after Cathie Wood’sArk Investreported buying COIN stock through two of its exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Shares of the cryptocurrency brokerage are down more than 55% year-to-date. In addition, Coinbase has lost about 65% of its value since its anticipated initial public offering (IPO).On Wednesday, the company opened up its beta non-fungible token (NFT) marketplace to all users. However,Bloomberg reports that the marketplace is off to a slow start. On the same day, Coinbase recorded fewer than 100 transactions as of 5:15 p.m. Eastern, which equates to less than $60,000 in sales. In comparison, the leading NFT marketplace, OpenSea, reported $124 million in transaction volume on May 3.Despite the slow start to Coinbase’s NFT marketplace, Cathie Wood remains bullish on the brokerage.Cathie Wood Buys COIN StockOn May 5, two Ark ETFs reported buying shares of Coinbase. The Ark Next Generation Internet ETF(NYSEMKT:ARKW) reported purchasing39,698 shares. Meanwhile, th eArk Fintech Innovation ETF(NYSEMKT:ARKF) reported buying 23,341 shares. After the purchase, Coinbase accounts for9.24% of ARKF, making it the ETF’s third-largest position. Furthermore, Coinbase accounts for 8.08% of ARKW, making it the third-largest position as well. Across all Ark ETFs, the company is the fourth-largest holding with a 4.51% allocation.Excluding yesterday’s purchase, the last time Ark Invest purchased COIN was on April 20. On that day, two Ark ETFs purchased 167,810 shares in total. Since Jan. 6, Ark Invest has not sold a single share of COIN.Many people believe that cryptocurrency is still in its early stages, and Wood seems to think that as well. With a market capitalization of about $23 billion, the company currently trades at a low price-to-sales ratio of 3.1.Coinbase to Report Earnings on May 10Coinbase has confirmed it will report Q1 earnings on May 10 after the market close. For revenue, analysts are expecting$1.48 billion, which would reflect a year-over-year decline of 18%. Meanwhile, analysts are expecting earnings per share (EPS) of 17 cents. For Q2 guidance, analysts expect revenue of $1.58 billion and EPS of 16 cents.However, Zacks Equity Research reports that increased competition may hamper operating income due to marketing, account verification and payment-processing expenses. As a result, investors should keep their eyes peeled for when Coinbase reports earnings.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":182,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9062153176,"gmtCreate":1652029901795,"gmtModify":1676535015872,"author":{"id":"3583805940946266","authorId":"3583805940946266","name":"dlzy900","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a9296920deee300153d681f41bd09970","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583805940946266","authorIdStr":"3583805940946266"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"yep","listText":"yep","text":"yep","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9062153176","repostId":"1142625267","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":176,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9062153985,"gmtCreate":1652029858347,"gmtModify":1676535015852,"author":{"id":"3583805940946266","authorId":"3583805940946266","name":"dlzy900","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a9296920deee300153d681f41bd09970","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583805940946266","authorIdStr":"3583805940946266"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"okay","listText":"okay","text":"okay","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9062153985","repostId":"1131831539","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1131831539","pubTimestamp":1651980653,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1131831539?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-08 11:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla: Overvalued By 85.26% And Not A Technology Company","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1131831539","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryMake no mistake, Tesla is a phenomenal company that has accomplished the unthinkable as it broke through extreme barriers of entry to disrupt the auto industry.Just because Tesla is a successfu","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Summary</p><ul><li>Make no mistake, Tesla is a phenomenal company that has accomplished the unthinkable as it broke through extreme barriers of entry to disrupt the auto industry.</li><li>Just because Tesla is a successful company that is causing automotive titans to change from combustible engines to EVs doesn&#39;t mean Tesla&#39;s stock is a good investment today.</li><li>100% of gross profit and net income is generated from the automotive sector as Tesla&#39;s other businesses lose money, making them an automobile manufacturing company, not a technology company.</li><li>I compared Tesla&#39;s metrics to the auto industry and big tech and the results are the same, Tesla&#39;s valuation is egregious.</li></ul><p>It&#39;s rare to find companies that have cult-like followings with loyalists willing to pay any price for its stock. The debate regarding Tesla, Inc.&#39;s (NASDAQ:TSLA) valuation continues to be a topic of conversation between the bulls and the bears. Oneside argues that TSLA&#39;s financial growth and future prospects, including FSD, insurance, and robotaxis, justify the current $902.12 billion valuations, while others argue that the current financials and cult-like following have led to a massive overvaluation in TSLA&#39;s stock.</p><p>I tip my hat to Elon Musk, as his accomplishments are second to none. When others called him crazy, Mr. Musk chose one of the hardest industries to compete in, started TSLA from the ground up, went to battle against the auto manufacturers, and succeeded. TSLA is one of the rare success stories that has truly shaped an industry, and the barriers of entry that were overcome are astonishing. TSLA didn&#39;t have the capital, manufacturing, credibility, or the infrastructure that its competitors did, yet they found a way to succeed. If the odds weren&#39;t enough which TSLA faced, they accomplished their goals without a combustible engine and pioneered an entirely new sector within the automotive industry.</p><p>Just because TSLA is a great company, it doesn&#39;t mean TSLA has a great stock, or it isn&#39;t overvalued. I am not bearish on TSLA the company because I believe they still have a long runway of growth ahead of them, but I am bearish on the valuation. Prior to leaving a comment on why I am wrong, please read the article and think about the metrics I am citing; then, I will happily discuss any viewpoints about the analysis.</p><p><b>Tesla Vs. The World In The Automotive Sector</b></p><p>It feels like TSLA vs. the world whenever TSLA is discussed. Discussing who makes a better automobile is a matter of opinion, and everyone is correct because it&#39;s their opinion. If person A thinks TSLA makes the best car and person B thinks Mercedes Benz makes the best car, they are both correct. Debating over this is pointless, so let&#39;s look at the raw numbers.</p><p>TSLA has a larger market cap than the combination ofToyota(TM),Volkswagen(OTCPK:VWAGY),Daimler(OTCPK:DDAIF),BMW(OTCPK:BMWYY),General Motors(GM),Ford(F),Honda(HMC),Ferrari(RACE),Nissan(OTCPK:NSANY),Subaru(OTCPK:FUJHY),Volvo(OTCPK:VOLAF), andMazda(OTCPK:MZDAY). TSLA&#39;s market cap is currently $986.92 billion, while the combination of these 12 companies is $777.41 billion.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff930d2442bf282c1bd880cca408eb94\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"327\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Steven Fiorillo</p><p>The P/S ratio is often cited to justify the valuation. The combination of TM, VWAGY, DDAIF, BMWYY, GM, F, HMC, RACE, NSANY, FUJHY, VOLAF, and MZDAY has generated $1.38 trillion in revenue over the TTM, putting their P/S at 0.56, while TSLA has generated $62.19 billion in revenue and has a 15.87 P/S.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c9b9661fde232925a758c38fd2e93f36\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"330\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Steven Fiorillo, Seeking Alpha</p><p>As a combined entity, these 12 companies have generated $118.29 billion in net income, while TSLA has produced $8.4 billion.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d25806eb839eb9ca2b4ef3c24218048c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"330\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Steven Fiorillo, Seeking Alpha</p><p>TSLA is a great company, but its current valuation has become overly inflated. TSLA&#39;s market cap is $209.52 billion larger than these 12 auto manufacturers, yet the combination of the 12 auto manufacturers generates $1.32 trillion more in revenue and $109.89 billion more in net income.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a1b686de4009ca733ff9651ce0d9fcaf\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"348\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Steven Fiorillo, Seeking Alpha</p><p>Looking at the market caps, one would assume that TSLA has a dominant majority over its competitors in auto sales within the U.S. According to the2021 data, TSLA sold 2.02% of all vehicles in the U.S. TSLA&#39;s market cap reflects a level of dominance that is non-existent.</p><p>Realistically, TSLA will have a hard time disrupting the sector further due to the price point of their vehicles. The reality is that, unless TSLA can sell a car that rivals a Honda or Toyota, doubling its market share is going to be a daunting task. It&#39;s just math. TSLA doesn&#39;t have a product for the masses, and while it may continue to grow in the luxury segment, the amount of growth that can be achieved is limited due to the pricing power of the consumer.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/442ffe151dd83bc524785857925f9797\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"227\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>www.goodcarbadcar.net</p><p><b>Tesla Isn&#39;t A Technology Company And Shouldn&#39;t Be Valued As One</b></p><p>The valuation rebuttal has always been that TSLA isn&#39;t an automobile company, rather, it&#39;s a technology company.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bbc9ccb2cb8a0e7d40804db24e183214\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"341\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Tesla</p><p>Page 23 ofTSLA&#39;s Q1 2022 slide deck from their earnings call is their statement of operations. Once again, 100% of TSLA&#39;s gross profit and net income are derived from automobiles. Energy generation and storage lose money as it generates $616 million in revenue while the cost of this revenue is $688 million. The same goes for Services and others, as this segment generates $1.279 billion in revenue while the cost of this revenue is $1.286 billion. This doesn&#39;t even factor in operating expenses.</p><p>TSLA manufacturers state of the art automobiles, but this doesn&#39;t classify them as a technology company, nor should they be classified as one. Since this is always the rebuttal and technology companies trade at larger earnings multiples, I will compare TSLA to Apple (AAPL), Microsoft (MSFT), Amazon (AMZN), Alphabet (GOOG) (GOOGL), and Meta Platforms (FB) and illustrate why TSLA is still drastically overvalued if the market was still to provide it with a tech multiple.</p><p>Prior to the comparisons, I want to frame the analysis by providing each company&#39;s market cap:</p><ul><li>AAPL $2.69 Trillion</li><li>MSFT $2.17 Trillion</li><li>GOOGL $1.62 Trillion</li><li>AMZN $1.28 Trillion</li><li>TSLA $986.92 Billion</li><li>FB $604.62 Billion</li></ul><p>I am going to start with growth because this is always the key metric bulls point out. Since the close of 2018, which is 3.25 fiscal years, TSLA has grown its revenue from $21.46 billion to $62.19 billion.</p><p>This is absolutely remarkable, but it doesn&#39;t place TSLA in the upper epsilon of technology companies. Over the same period, FB grew its revenue by $63.83 billion, which is more than what TSLA produced in the TTM. FB grew its revenue by more than what TSLA produces and generates just about double the revenue ($119.67 billion), yet TSLA has a larger market cap. For everyone who has used growth as their investment premise, FB having a market cap that&#39;s $382.30 less than TSLA nullifies that aspect of the bull thesis. AMZN&#39;s market cap is only $294.33 billion larger than TSLA, yet they generated $477.75 billion in revenue and grew their revenue by $341.76 billion in this period. Using revenue growth for TSLA doesn&#39;t support the valuation.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3c0fbd4eb93f026c4575ee8f77f53e4b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Steven Fiorillo, Seeking Alpha</p><p>Next, I will turn to profits because, at the end of the day, businesses are in the business of making money. Once again, TSLA has done a fantastic job of monetizing its business and, in 3.25 short years, has gone from losing -$976 million to make $8.4 billion in the TTM for an increase of $9.38 billion. FB has produced $37.34 billion in profit in the TTM, and its net income grew by $15.23 billion over this period. Using growth doesn&#39;t support the valuation when FB has a market cap that&#39;s $382.30 less than TSLA and grew its profits in this period by almost double what TSLA has generated in the TTM.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c9716477607711ee0b6d4f77eb24c890\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"382\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Steven Fiorillo, Seeking Alpha</p><p>The new metric bulls are using in their thesis is TSLA&#39;s free cash flow (FCF). Once again, TSLA has done an excellent job, going from -$221 million of FCF in 2018 to $6.93 billion of FCF in the TTM. Many companies would love to grow their annual FCF by $7.15 billion over a 3.25-year period, and this should be applauded.</p><p>Let&#39;s look at FB once again, since TSLA&#39;s valuation isn&#39;t based on its core segment as an automobile manufacturer. FB has grown its FCF over the previous 3.25 years by $23.45 billion, more than 3x TSLA&#39;s growth, and has generated $39.81 billion of FCF in the TTM. FB generated roughly 5.75x more FCF than TSLA and grew its FCF by more than 3x what TSLA produces, yet FB has a market cap that&#39;s almost $400 billion less than TSLA. Growth within the financials does not support TSLA&#39;s valuation, which is a breath away from $1 trillion.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/902a7074eda9e8f2f2765e0833423d2c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"373\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Steven Fiorillo, Seeking Alpha</p><p>Today you&#39;re paying a 113.81 P/E for TSLA. Paying a larger multiple for a company that&#39;s growing its earnings quickly is normal, but TSLA isn&#39;t growing by larger amounts than FB, and FB trades at a 16.66 P/E. I have seen TSLA bulls justify the P/E because of TSLA&#39;s growth factor, but this doesn&#39;t hold up when FB has grown by larger amounts from larger starting positions and has a P/E that&#39;s a fraction of TSLA. Look at AAPL, which is the largest company in the world. AAPL has grown its net income by $56.25 billion and its FCF by $52.3 billion over the past 3.25 years, and its P/E is 26.78. People are blindly paying any multiple the market places on TSLA.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75168f6e39ced721cf0c53d78481a983\" tg-width=\"614\" tg-height=\"335\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>TSLA is trading at a 15.38 P/S. The justification for this multiple is difficult to defend while AMZN trades at a P/S of 11.31. AMZN&#39;s revenue grew by $341.76 billion over the past 3.25 years while TSLA grew their revenue by $40.73 billion. Instead of an absolute basis, looking at this from a percentage aspect, TSLA grew its revenue by 189.78%, while AMZN&#39;s grew by 251.32%. The P/S ratio is not a supporting valuation metric as TSLA is trading at a larger multiple than AMZN yet produced $301.03 billion less in revenue growth compared to AMZN. At the very least, TSLA should trade at a lower P/S multiple than AMZN considering their revenue growth was a fraction of AMZN&#39;s.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aad00a6c490808962705a1a2dae45cfe\" tg-width=\"608\" tg-height=\"338\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>TSLA has done an excellent job monetizing its revenue, delivering exceptional margins, and generating FCF. Now that TSLA is generating billions in FCF, it&#39;s been inserted into the bull thesis. FCF is a measure of profitability that excludes the non-cash expenses of the income statement and includes spending on equipment and assets as well as changes in working capital from the balance sheet. FCF could be the most underrated and most important financial metric to look at, as this is the pool of capital that companies can utilize to repay debt, pay dividends, buy back shares, make acquisitions, or reinvest in the business.</p><p>Every investment is the present value of all future cash flow. This is why investors look at the price to FCF valuation. Investors want to pay the cheapest multiple for a company&#39;s FCF. Today, you&#39;re paying 142.52x TSLA&#39;s FCF. Going back to the FCF section, TSLA grew its FCF by $7.15 billion over the past 3.25 years. FB generated $23.45 billion of FCF in this period, which is 3x the amount TSLA grew, yet FB is trading at a 15.19x multiple on price to FCF.</p><p>Why on earth would you want to pay 142.52x for TSLA&#39;s FCF when you could pay 15.19x for FB, which is growing their FCF by more than 3x the amount that TSLA is growing by? How about AAPL? AAPL grew its FCF by $52.3 billion and trades at a 25.4x price to FCF. If I exclude FB for a moment, should TSLA trade at a larger FCF multiple than GOOGL, which has grown its FCF by $46.15 billion over the past 3.25 years? My answer is no because there is no guarantee that TSLA will ever generate $46.15 billion in annual FCF, let alone the $68.99 billion in FCF that GOOGL generates.</p><p>So what is a fair price to FCF multiple for TSLA? I don&#39;t believe TSLA has earned the right to trade at the same multiples as the rest of big tech considering the levels of FCF they produce. If I stick with the methodology that FB is egregiously undervalued, then TSLA should trade above 15.19x its FCF but lower than the 23.42x multiple GOOGL trades at.</p><p>I don&#39;t want to be overly bearish, so I will place a 21x multiple on TSLA&#39;s FCF, which is more than fair considering big tech metrics. A 21x multiple on TSLA&#39;s FCF puts its market cap at $145.43 billion, which is -85.26% from its current market cap of $986.92 billion. It&#39;s just math, and if TSLA is going to be valued as a technology company, it needs to be compared to the technology companies with similar market caps.</p><p>At the very least, there isn&#39;t a single reason why TSLA&#39;s market cap is larger than FB&#39;s. There isn&#39;t a single metric that TSLA beats FB in. Based on FB&#39;s valuation, if TSLA traded at the same FCF multiple, it would have a market cap of $105.19 billion.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b81a61d60d9ec098276569cc4a501da0\" tg-width=\"627\" tg-height=\"341\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>TSLA has a gross profit margin of 27.1% ($16.85b / $62.19b) and a profit margin of 13.51% ($8.4b / $62.19b). FB has a gross profit margin of 80.34% ($96.14b / $119.67b) and a profit margin of 31.2% ($37.34b / $119.67b). FB has much wider margins and is growing its revenue by larger amounts. This reinforces my methodology as to why TSLA is grossly overvalued. GOOGL has a gross profit margin of 56.93% ($153.9b / $270.33b) and a profit margin of 27.57% ($74.54b / $270.33b).</p><p>The chances are incredibly slim that TSLA can double its profit margin to be within striking distance of GOOGL&#39;s. TSLA should not trade at a larger FCF, P/E, or P/S multiple than FB or GOOGL. While the market would indicate that I am wrong today, eventually, the hype will wear off, and TSLA will trade at a realistic valuation.</p><p><b>TSLA&#39;s Future Catalysts Have A Long Way To Go Before Impacting Its Bottom Line</b></p><p>There are three main catalysts people discuss, which include insurance, robotaxis, and FSD.TSLA offers insurance using real-time driving behavior. This is currently available to all Model S, Model 3, Model X, and Model Y owners. The catch is that it&#39;s only available in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Ohio, Oregon, Texas, and Virginia as of now.</p><p>TSLA uses a safety rating score to determine the monthly premium for its vehicles. At the largest premium of $130/mo, this would be $1,560 per year. If TSLA converted 100% of their U.S sales in 2021 as an insurance customer, which I think could be possible if TSLA insurance was available in every state, it would have generated $471.12 million in revenue.</p><p>We have no idea what the margins would have been, but if the margin was 50%, it would have been an additional $235.56 million in net income in 2021. While this is nothing to sneeze at, an additional $235.56 million in net income hardly moves the needle. This could be a $1 billion top-line revenue segment in the future, but with availability in only 7 states, insurance&#39;s $1 billion revenue mark is a long way away.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e86de6232b9abf7cee46a9607eb09741\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"326\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Tesla</p><p>Next,FSD, for which TSLA has created two subscription models, a $99/mo price point and a $199/mo price point. The problem with FSD is that it doesn&#39;t make the vehicle fully autonomous, and you still need a driver to be attentive and alert. While I am not arguing that TSLA&#39;s FSD isn&#39;t leaps and bounds ahead of the competition, the problem is that it&#39;s not exactly a self-driving car.</p><p>The questions around legality and where you can use it pop into my head, and how many of TSLA&#39;s drivers opt for this upgrade. Until there is clear legislation and the technology advances to where vehicles can fully drive a person from point A to B while that person takes a nap or reads, I have a hard time believing enough TSLA owners will spend the extra $199/mo on FSD. If there is somewhere where TSLA produces the numbers about how many owners opt for this package, please let me know, and I will crunch the numbers.</p><p>Which Features Come With My Subscription?</p><blockquote>The FSD capability features you receive are based on your configuration and location. Not all features are available in all markets, and features are subject to change.Learn more about Autopilot and Full Self-Driving capability features.</blockquote><blockquote><i>Note: These features are designed to become more capable over time; however the currently enabled features do not make the vehicle autonomous. The currently enabled features require a fully attentive driver, who has their hands on the wheel and is prepared to take over at any moment.</i></blockquote><p>The last catalyst is Robotaxis which many have commented on in my articles before. We&#39;re so far off on Robotaxis that this can&#39;t be considered in TSLA&#39;s upcoming revenue. I would think major legislation would be needed for Robotaxis to exist, and there is no telling how many years away we are from this.</p><p>Also, what is the percentage of TSLA owners that would actually allow their vehicle to be used as a Robotaxi? Depending on what the profitability is, I can see people buying TSLAs to enroll them in this program, but, once again, we need to see the economics behind it. I know I am just one opinion, but I would never enroll one of my cars into a robotaxi program because I don&#39;t want other people that I don&#39;t know in my car. I would think there are many others that have similar viewpoints.</p><p>The real upcoming catalysts are future revenue growth and entering the Chinese market. In 2021 TSLA grew its YoY revenue by 70.67%, and their off to a great start after Q1 2022. Only time will tell what type of growth rate TSLA can maintain, but too many people are assuming that TSLA will obliterate the competition. Over the next several years, we could see TSLA&#39;s growth rate become significantly reduced as more luxury operators put EVs on the road.</p><p>At TSLA&#39;s current margins, they would need to increase their revenue by 444.55% to $276.47 billion to produce the same amount of net income ($37.34b) that FB produces today at their current 13.51% profit margin. Maybe TSLA can get there in the future, but why should TSLA be valued at almost $1 trillion today, considering not a single metric of theirs is similar to FB or GOOGL, and TSLA&#39;s growth across any of the sectors isn&#39;t larger than FB or GOOGL?</p><p><b>Tesla Continues To Dilute Shareholders, And Almost No Shareholders Care</b></p><p>Dilution kills shareholder value. Look, I am a shareholder of TSLA, and I hate that my shares continue to be diluted. These numbers are split-adjusted that I am using. Over the past decade,TSLA has diluted its shares by 80.93%. This is horrible compared to big tech, yet investors can&#39;t buy enough TSLA shares. TSLA finished 2012 with 572.6 million shares and, as of its last filing, had increased its outstanding shares to 1.036 billion shares.</p><p>This is the equivalent of me taking a pizza, and instead of giving you a slice, cutting another 6.5 slices, then giving you one. The pizza represents TSLA, the company, and they basically turned an 8-slice pie into a 14.5-slice pie, reducing shareholder&#39;s ownership and the amount of equity, revenue, and EPS our shares represent.</p><p>If you want to see what a true shepherd of shareholder value looks like, turn to AAPL. In 2012 AAPL had 26.3 billion shares outstanding. Over the past decade, AAPL has repurchased 10.09 billion shares, reducing its outstanding shares by 38.37%. Every quarter, AAPL is buying back shares and increasing the ownership its shares represent. TSLA, on the other hand, continues to dilute shareholders by increasing shares YOY.</p><p><b>I Could Be Completely Wrong, And Tesla Could Continue Growing At These Rates</b></p><p>TSLA&#39;s vehicle deliveries continue to outpace its growing production. YoY TSLA&#39;s deliveries increased by 68% in Q1, adding 125,171 delivered vehicles to its customers. TSLA just began Model Y deliveries from the Austin facility, and production at the Gigafactory in Berlin started in March of 2022. TSLA&#39;s Shanghai facility had strong production rates prior to the spike in COVID that resulted in temporary shutdowns. TSLA isn&#39;t just focusing on the U.S, they have Europe and China in their sights.</p><p>EVs accounted for 488,000 sales in the U.S for 2021, and the previous projection was that EVs would account for 670,000 units sold in 2022. Oil has hovered around $100 per barrel and could render the previous projections of 37% increased EV sales domestically for 2022 conservative. TSLA is in a prime position to capitalize on this trend. In 2021 TSLA vehicles accounted for 61.89% of EVs sold in the U.S (301,998 / 488,000).</p><p>Hypothetically, if the previous projection of 670,000 EV sales for 2022 is accurate and TSLA maintains its current margin, they would sell 414,628 vehicles throughout the U.S in 2022. If gas prices do alter the decision-making process when deciding between a combustible engine or an EV, then TSLA could continue surprising the market with QoQ earnings beats.</p><p>The U.S has a national goal of reaching 50% of domestic auto sales coming from EVs. In 2021, EVs accounted for 3.26% of total sales in the U.S auto market. Based on U.S auto sales in 2021, annual EV sales would need to grow by 6,989,403 to reach a 50% EV to combustible engine ratio. Hypothetically if U.S auto sales stayed flat but EVs reached 50% of the market in 2030 they would sell 7,477,403 vehicles. If TSLA&#39;s dominance in the EV sector was to drop from 61.89% to 15% due to increased competition, they would generate 1,121,610 in sales compared to 301,998 in 2021. When you add in Europe and China, TSLA certainly has the ability to become a top auto manufacturer by sales next decade.</p><p>Bulls aren&#39;t incorrect to be excited about TSLA. The world is moving toward EVs, and TSLA is the crème de la crème. As I said in the beginning, I am bullish about TSLA&#39;s future prospects, but I think the valuation today is overinflated. Nobody can predict the future, but I have no doubt that TSLA will continue to grow its sales YoY.</p><p>The question becomes, how much growth will they be able to achieve YoY? In 2021, TM generated $226.48 billion of revenue and, based on the future of EVs, TSLA certainly could achieve this level of revenue in the future. Based on TSLA&#39;s current 13.51% profit margin, if they achieved TM&#39;s level of revenue, they would generate $30.59 billion of net income, which would definitely make today&#39;s valuation look more realistic.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93c9176fa9bebc2c940e038cafd23229\" tg-width=\"603\" tg-height=\"631\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Tesla</p><p><b>Conclusion</b></p><p>You&#39;re probably wondering how I can be a shareholder and be a bear on TSLA&#39;s valuation at the same time. It&#39;s simple; my wife bought shares of TSLA, which makes me a shareholder. My stance has always been bullish on the company and bearish on the valuation. What Elon Musk and the team at TSLA has accomplished is astonishing, and they deserve nothing but respect.</p><p>Keep in mind a company and a company&#39;s stock are two separate things. TSLA continues to dilute shareholders, and they and the market are valuing TSLA as if it&#39;s FB or GOOGL. TSLA is not a technology company; it&#39;s an automobile company, as the automotive segments drive 100% of its gross revenue and net income.</p><p>TSLA is trading at a P/E of 113.81, a P/S of 15.38, and a 142.52x multiple on its FCF. The numbers are drastically inflated as TSLA has no business trading at a larger P/S multiple than AMZN, which trades at 11.31 P/S when it has grown its revenue by $341.76 billion over the previous 3.25 years compared to TSLA&#39;s $40.73 billion of revenue growth. TSLA has generated $6.93 billion in FCF over the TTM, while Mr. Market has placed a 142.52x multiple on TSLA due to $7.15 billion FCF growth over the past 3.25 years. FB trades at a 15.19x FCF multiple while growing FCF by $23.45 billion over this period which is more than 3x what TSLA has generated in the TTM.</p><p>With FB trading at 15.19x FCF, GOOGL at 23.42x FCF, and AAPL at 25.4x FCF, it&#39;s hard to justify any number above 20x for TSLA. I think a 21x FCF multiple is generous and that places TSLA at a market cap of $145.43 billion, which is -85.26% from its current market cap of $986.92 billion.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla: Overvalued By 85.26% And Not A Technology Company</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla: Overvalued By 85.26% And Not A Technology Company\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-05-08 11:30 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4507535-tesla-overvalued-by-85-26-percent-and-not-a-technology-company><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryMake no mistake, Tesla is a phenomenal company that has accomplished the unthinkable as it broke through extreme barriers of entry to disrupt the auto industry.Just because Tesla is a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4507535-tesla-overvalued-by-85-26-percent-and-not-a-technology-company\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4507535-tesla-overvalued-by-85-26-percent-and-not-a-technology-company","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1131831539","content_text":"SummaryMake no mistake, Tesla is a phenomenal company that has accomplished the unthinkable as it broke through extreme barriers of entry to disrupt the auto industry.Just because Tesla is a successful company that is causing automotive titans to change from combustible engines to EVs doesn't mean Tesla's stock is a good investment today.100% of gross profit and net income is generated from the automotive sector as Tesla's other businesses lose money, making them an automobile manufacturing company, not a technology company.I compared Tesla's metrics to the auto industry and big tech and the results are the same, Tesla's valuation is egregious.It's rare to find companies that have cult-like followings with loyalists willing to pay any price for its stock. The debate regarding Tesla, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:TSLA) valuation continues to be a topic of conversation between the bulls and the bears. Oneside argues that TSLA's financial growth and future prospects, including FSD, insurance, and robotaxis, justify the current $902.12 billion valuations, while others argue that the current financials and cult-like following have led to a massive overvaluation in TSLA's stock.I tip my hat to Elon Musk, as his accomplishments are second to none. When others called him crazy, Mr. Musk chose one of the hardest industries to compete in, started TSLA from the ground up, went to battle against the auto manufacturers, and succeeded. TSLA is one of the rare success stories that has truly shaped an industry, and the barriers of entry that were overcome are astonishing. TSLA didn't have the capital, manufacturing, credibility, or the infrastructure that its competitors did, yet they found a way to succeed. If the odds weren't enough which TSLA faced, they accomplished their goals without a combustible engine and pioneered an entirely new sector within the automotive industry.Just because TSLA is a great company, it doesn't mean TSLA has a great stock, or it isn't overvalued. I am not bearish on TSLA the company because I believe they still have a long runway of growth ahead of them, but I am bearish on the valuation. Prior to leaving a comment on why I am wrong, please read the article and think about the metrics I am citing; then, I will happily discuss any viewpoints about the analysis.Tesla Vs. The World In The Automotive SectorIt feels like TSLA vs. the world whenever TSLA is discussed. Discussing who makes a better automobile is a matter of opinion, and everyone is correct because it's their opinion. If person A thinks TSLA makes the best car and person B thinks Mercedes Benz makes the best car, they are both correct. Debating over this is pointless, so let's look at the raw numbers.TSLA has a larger market cap than the combination ofToyota(TM),Volkswagen(OTCPK:VWAGY),Daimler(OTCPK:DDAIF),BMW(OTCPK:BMWYY),General Motors(GM),Ford(F),Honda(HMC),Ferrari(RACE),Nissan(OTCPK:NSANY),Subaru(OTCPK:FUJHY),Volvo(OTCPK:VOLAF), andMazda(OTCPK:MZDAY). TSLA's market cap is currently $986.92 billion, while the combination of these 12 companies is $777.41 billion.Steven FiorilloThe P/S ratio is often cited to justify the valuation. The combination of TM, VWAGY, DDAIF, BMWYY, GM, F, HMC, RACE, NSANY, FUJHY, VOLAF, and MZDAY has generated $1.38 trillion in revenue over the TTM, putting their P/S at 0.56, while TSLA has generated $62.19 billion in revenue and has a 15.87 P/S.Steven Fiorillo, Seeking AlphaAs a combined entity, these 12 companies have generated $118.29 billion in net income, while TSLA has produced $8.4 billion.Steven Fiorillo, Seeking AlphaTSLA is a great company, but its current valuation has become overly inflated. TSLA's market cap is $209.52 billion larger than these 12 auto manufacturers, yet the combination of the 12 auto manufacturers generates $1.32 trillion more in revenue and $109.89 billion more in net income.Steven Fiorillo, Seeking AlphaLooking at the market caps, one would assume that TSLA has a dominant majority over its competitors in auto sales within the U.S. According to the2021 data, TSLA sold 2.02% of all vehicles in the U.S. TSLA's market cap reflects a level of dominance that is non-existent.Realistically, TSLA will have a hard time disrupting the sector further due to the price point of their vehicles. The reality is that, unless TSLA can sell a car that rivals a Honda or Toyota, doubling its market share is going to be a daunting task. It's just math. TSLA doesn't have a product for the masses, and while it may continue to grow in the luxury segment, the amount of growth that can be achieved is limited due to the pricing power of the consumer.www.goodcarbadcar.netTesla Isn't A Technology Company And Shouldn't Be Valued As OneThe valuation rebuttal has always been that TSLA isn't an automobile company, rather, it's a technology company.TeslaPage 23 ofTSLA's Q1 2022 slide deck from their earnings call is their statement of operations. Once again, 100% of TSLA's gross profit and net income are derived from automobiles. Energy generation and storage lose money as it generates $616 million in revenue while the cost of this revenue is $688 million. The same goes for Services and others, as this segment generates $1.279 billion in revenue while the cost of this revenue is $1.286 billion. This doesn't even factor in operating expenses.TSLA manufacturers state of the art automobiles, but this doesn't classify them as a technology company, nor should they be classified as one. Since this is always the rebuttal and technology companies trade at larger earnings multiples, I will compare TSLA to Apple (AAPL), Microsoft (MSFT), Amazon (AMZN), Alphabet (GOOG) (GOOGL), and Meta Platforms (FB) and illustrate why TSLA is still drastically overvalued if the market was still to provide it with a tech multiple.Prior to the comparisons, I want to frame the analysis by providing each company's market cap:AAPL $2.69 TrillionMSFT $2.17 TrillionGOOGL $1.62 TrillionAMZN $1.28 TrillionTSLA $986.92 BillionFB $604.62 BillionI am going to start with growth because this is always the key metric bulls point out. Since the close of 2018, which is 3.25 fiscal years, TSLA has grown its revenue from $21.46 billion to $62.19 billion.This is absolutely remarkable, but it doesn't place TSLA in the upper epsilon of technology companies. Over the same period, FB grew its revenue by $63.83 billion, which is more than what TSLA produced in the TTM. FB grew its revenue by more than what TSLA produces and generates just about double the revenue ($119.67 billion), yet TSLA has a larger market cap. For everyone who has used growth as their investment premise, FB having a market cap that's $382.30 less than TSLA nullifies that aspect of the bull thesis. AMZN's market cap is only $294.33 billion larger than TSLA, yet they generated $477.75 billion in revenue and grew their revenue by $341.76 billion in this period. Using revenue growth for TSLA doesn't support the valuation.Steven Fiorillo, Seeking AlphaNext, I will turn to profits because, at the end of the day, businesses are in the business of making money. Once again, TSLA has done a fantastic job of monetizing its business and, in 3.25 short years, has gone from losing -$976 million to make $8.4 billion in the TTM for an increase of $9.38 billion. FB has produced $37.34 billion in profit in the TTM, and its net income grew by $15.23 billion over this period. Using growth doesn't support the valuation when FB has a market cap that's $382.30 less than TSLA and grew its profits in this period by almost double what TSLA has generated in the TTM.Steven Fiorillo, Seeking AlphaThe new metric bulls are using in their thesis is TSLA's free cash flow (FCF). Once again, TSLA has done an excellent job, going from -$221 million of FCF in 2018 to $6.93 billion of FCF in the TTM. Many companies would love to grow their annual FCF by $7.15 billion over a 3.25-year period, and this should be applauded.Let's look at FB once again, since TSLA's valuation isn't based on its core segment as an automobile manufacturer. FB has grown its FCF over the previous 3.25 years by $23.45 billion, more than 3x TSLA's growth, and has generated $39.81 billion of FCF in the TTM. FB generated roughly 5.75x more FCF than TSLA and grew its FCF by more than 3x what TSLA produces, yet FB has a market cap that's almost $400 billion less than TSLA. Growth within the financials does not support TSLA's valuation, which is a breath away from $1 trillion.Steven Fiorillo, Seeking AlphaToday you're paying a 113.81 P/E for TSLA. Paying a larger multiple for a company that's growing its earnings quickly is normal, but TSLA isn't growing by larger amounts than FB, and FB trades at a 16.66 P/E. I have seen TSLA bulls justify the P/E because of TSLA's growth factor, but this doesn't hold up when FB has grown by larger amounts from larger starting positions and has a P/E that's a fraction of TSLA. Look at AAPL, which is the largest company in the world. AAPL has grown its net income by $56.25 billion and its FCF by $52.3 billion over the past 3.25 years, and its P/E is 26.78. People are blindly paying any multiple the market places on TSLA.TSLA is trading at a 15.38 P/S. The justification for this multiple is difficult to defend while AMZN trades at a P/S of 11.31. AMZN's revenue grew by $341.76 billion over the past 3.25 years while TSLA grew their revenue by $40.73 billion. Instead of an absolute basis, looking at this from a percentage aspect, TSLA grew its revenue by 189.78%, while AMZN's grew by 251.32%. The P/S ratio is not a supporting valuation metric as TSLA is trading at a larger multiple than AMZN yet produced $301.03 billion less in revenue growth compared to AMZN. At the very least, TSLA should trade at a lower P/S multiple than AMZN considering their revenue growth was a fraction of AMZN's.TSLA has done an excellent job monetizing its revenue, delivering exceptional margins, and generating FCF. Now that TSLA is generating billions in FCF, it's been inserted into the bull thesis. FCF is a measure of profitability that excludes the non-cash expenses of the income statement and includes spending on equipment and assets as well as changes in working capital from the balance sheet. FCF could be the most underrated and most important financial metric to look at, as this is the pool of capital that companies can utilize to repay debt, pay dividends, buy back shares, make acquisitions, or reinvest in the business.Every investment is the present value of all future cash flow. This is why investors look at the price to FCF valuation. Investors want to pay the cheapest multiple for a company's FCF. Today, you're paying 142.52x TSLA's FCF. Going back to the FCF section, TSLA grew its FCF by $7.15 billion over the past 3.25 years. FB generated $23.45 billion of FCF in this period, which is 3x the amount TSLA grew, yet FB is trading at a 15.19x multiple on price to FCF.Why on earth would you want to pay 142.52x for TSLA's FCF when you could pay 15.19x for FB, which is growing their FCF by more than 3x the amount that TSLA is growing by? How about AAPL? AAPL grew its FCF by $52.3 billion and trades at a 25.4x price to FCF. If I exclude FB for a moment, should TSLA trade at a larger FCF multiple than GOOGL, which has grown its FCF by $46.15 billion over the past 3.25 years? My answer is no because there is no guarantee that TSLA will ever generate $46.15 billion in annual FCF, let alone the $68.99 billion in FCF that GOOGL generates.So what is a fair price to FCF multiple for TSLA? I don't believe TSLA has earned the right to trade at the same multiples as the rest of big tech considering the levels of FCF they produce. If I stick with the methodology that FB is egregiously undervalued, then TSLA should trade above 15.19x its FCF but lower than the 23.42x multiple GOOGL trades at.I don't want to be overly bearish, so I will place a 21x multiple on TSLA's FCF, which is more than fair considering big tech metrics. A 21x multiple on TSLA's FCF puts its market cap at $145.43 billion, which is -85.26% from its current market cap of $986.92 billion. It's just math, and if TSLA is going to be valued as a technology company, it needs to be compared to the technology companies with similar market caps.At the very least, there isn't a single reason why TSLA's market cap is larger than FB's. There isn't a single metric that TSLA beats FB in. Based on FB's valuation, if TSLA traded at the same FCF multiple, it would have a market cap of $105.19 billion.TSLA has a gross profit margin of 27.1% ($16.85b / $62.19b) and a profit margin of 13.51% ($8.4b / $62.19b). FB has a gross profit margin of 80.34% ($96.14b / $119.67b) and a profit margin of 31.2% ($37.34b / $119.67b). FB has much wider margins and is growing its revenue by larger amounts. This reinforces my methodology as to why TSLA is grossly overvalued. GOOGL has a gross profit margin of 56.93% ($153.9b / $270.33b) and a profit margin of 27.57% ($74.54b / $270.33b).The chances are incredibly slim that TSLA can double its profit margin to be within striking distance of GOOGL's. TSLA should not trade at a larger FCF, P/E, or P/S multiple than FB or GOOGL. While the market would indicate that I am wrong today, eventually, the hype will wear off, and TSLA will trade at a realistic valuation.TSLA's Future Catalysts Have A Long Way To Go Before Impacting Its Bottom LineThere are three main catalysts people discuss, which include insurance, robotaxis, and FSD.TSLA offers insurance using real-time driving behavior. This is currently available to all Model S, Model 3, Model X, and Model Y owners. The catch is that it's only available in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Ohio, Oregon, Texas, and Virginia as of now.TSLA uses a safety rating score to determine the monthly premium for its vehicles. At the largest premium of $130/mo, this would be $1,560 per year. If TSLA converted 100% of their U.S sales in 2021 as an insurance customer, which I think could be possible if TSLA insurance was available in every state, it would have generated $471.12 million in revenue.We have no idea what the margins would have been, but if the margin was 50%, it would have been an additional $235.56 million in net income in 2021. While this is nothing to sneeze at, an additional $235.56 million in net income hardly moves the needle. This could be a $1 billion top-line revenue segment in the future, but with availability in only 7 states, insurance's $1 billion revenue mark is a long way away.TeslaNext,FSD, for which TSLA has created two subscription models, a $99/mo price point and a $199/mo price point. The problem with FSD is that it doesn't make the vehicle fully autonomous, and you still need a driver to be attentive and alert. While I am not arguing that TSLA's FSD isn't leaps and bounds ahead of the competition, the problem is that it's not exactly a self-driving car.The questions around legality and where you can use it pop into my head, and how many of TSLA's drivers opt for this upgrade. Until there is clear legislation and the technology advances to where vehicles can fully drive a person from point A to B while that person takes a nap or reads, I have a hard time believing enough TSLA owners will spend the extra $199/mo on FSD. If there is somewhere where TSLA produces the numbers about how many owners opt for this package, please let me know, and I will crunch the numbers.Which Features Come With My Subscription?The FSD capability features you receive are based on your configuration and location. Not all features are available in all markets, and features are subject to change.Learn more about Autopilot and Full Self-Driving capability features.Note: These features are designed to become more capable over time; however the currently enabled features do not make the vehicle autonomous. The currently enabled features require a fully attentive driver, who has their hands on the wheel and is prepared to take over at any moment.The last catalyst is Robotaxis which many have commented on in my articles before. We're so far off on Robotaxis that this can't be considered in TSLA's upcoming revenue. I would think major legislation would be needed for Robotaxis to exist, and there is no telling how many years away we are from this.Also, what is the percentage of TSLA owners that would actually allow their vehicle to be used as a Robotaxi? Depending on what the profitability is, I can see people buying TSLAs to enroll them in this program, but, once again, we need to see the economics behind it. I know I am just one opinion, but I would never enroll one of my cars into a robotaxi program because I don't want other people that I don't know in my car. I would think there are many others that have similar viewpoints.The real upcoming catalysts are future revenue growth and entering the Chinese market. In 2021 TSLA grew its YoY revenue by 70.67%, and their off to a great start after Q1 2022. Only time will tell what type of growth rate TSLA can maintain, but too many people are assuming that TSLA will obliterate the competition. Over the next several years, we could see TSLA's growth rate become significantly reduced as more luxury operators put EVs on the road.At TSLA's current margins, they would need to increase their revenue by 444.55% to $276.47 billion to produce the same amount of net income ($37.34b) that FB produces today at their current 13.51% profit margin. Maybe TSLA can get there in the future, but why should TSLA be valued at almost $1 trillion today, considering not a single metric of theirs is similar to FB or GOOGL, and TSLA's growth across any of the sectors isn't larger than FB or GOOGL?Tesla Continues To Dilute Shareholders, And Almost No Shareholders CareDilution kills shareholder value. Look, I am a shareholder of TSLA, and I hate that my shares continue to be diluted. These numbers are split-adjusted that I am using. Over the past decade,TSLA has diluted its shares by 80.93%. This is horrible compared to big tech, yet investors can't buy enough TSLA shares. TSLA finished 2012 with 572.6 million shares and, as of its last filing, had increased its outstanding shares to 1.036 billion shares.This is the equivalent of me taking a pizza, and instead of giving you a slice, cutting another 6.5 slices, then giving you one. The pizza represents TSLA, the company, and they basically turned an 8-slice pie into a 14.5-slice pie, reducing shareholder's ownership and the amount of equity, revenue, and EPS our shares represent.If you want to see what a true shepherd of shareholder value looks like, turn to AAPL. In 2012 AAPL had 26.3 billion shares outstanding. Over the past decade, AAPL has repurchased 10.09 billion shares, reducing its outstanding shares by 38.37%. Every quarter, AAPL is buying back shares and increasing the ownership its shares represent. TSLA, on the other hand, continues to dilute shareholders by increasing shares YOY.I Could Be Completely Wrong, And Tesla Could Continue Growing At These RatesTSLA's vehicle deliveries continue to outpace its growing production. YoY TSLA's deliveries increased by 68% in Q1, adding 125,171 delivered vehicles to its customers. TSLA just began Model Y deliveries from the Austin facility, and production at the Gigafactory in Berlin started in March of 2022. TSLA's Shanghai facility had strong production rates prior to the spike in COVID that resulted in temporary shutdowns. TSLA isn't just focusing on the U.S, they have Europe and China in their sights.EVs accounted for 488,000 sales in the U.S for 2021, and the previous projection was that EVs would account for 670,000 units sold in 2022. Oil has hovered around $100 per barrel and could render the previous projections of 37% increased EV sales domestically for 2022 conservative. TSLA is in a prime position to capitalize on this trend. In 2021 TSLA vehicles accounted for 61.89% of EVs sold in the U.S (301,998 / 488,000).Hypothetically, if the previous projection of 670,000 EV sales for 2022 is accurate and TSLA maintains its current margin, they would sell 414,628 vehicles throughout the U.S in 2022. If gas prices do alter the decision-making process when deciding between a combustible engine or an EV, then TSLA could continue surprising the market with QoQ earnings beats.The U.S has a national goal of reaching 50% of domestic auto sales coming from EVs. In 2021, EVs accounted for 3.26% of total sales in the U.S auto market. Based on U.S auto sales in 2021, annual EV sales would need to grow by 6,989,403 to reach a 50% EV to combustible engine ratio. Hypothetically if U.S auto sales stayed flat but EVs reached 50% of the market in 2030 they would sell 7,477,403 vehicles. If TSLA's dominance in the EV sector was to drop from 61.89% to 15% due to increased competition, they would generate 1,121,610 in sales compared to 301,998 in 2021. When you add in Europe and China, TSLA certainly has the ability to become a top auto manufacturer by sales next decade.Bulls aren't incorrect to be excited about TSLA. The world is moving toward EVs, and TSLA is the crème de la crème. As I said in the beginning, I am bullish about TSLA's future prospects, but I think the valuation today is overinflated. Nobody can predict the future, but I have no doubt that TSLA will continue to grow its sales YoY.The question becomes, how much growth will they be able to achieve YoY? In 2021, TM generated $226.48 billion of revenue and, based on the future of EVs, TSLA certainly could achieve this level of revenue in the future. Based on TSLA's current 13.51% profit margin, if they achieved TM's level of revenue, they would generate $30.59 billion of net income, which would definitely make today's valuation look more realistic.TeslaConclusionYou're probably wondering how I can be a shareholder and be a bear on TSLA's valuation at the same time. It's simple; my wife bought shares of TSLA, which makes me a shareholder. My stance has always been bullish on the company and bearish on the valuation. What Elon Musk and the team at TSLA has accomplished is astonishing, and they deserve nothing but respect.Keep in mind a company and a company's stock are two separate things. TSLA continues to dilute shareholders, and they and the market are valuing TSLA as if it's FB or GOOGL. TSLA is not a technology company; it's an automobile company, as the automotive segments drive 100% of its gross revenue and net income.TSLA is trading at a P/E of 113.81, a P/S of 15.38, and a 142.52x multiple on its FCF. The numbers are drastically inflated as TSLA has no business trading at a larger P/S multiple than AMZN, which trades at 11.31 P/S when it has grown its revenue by $341.76 billion over the previous 3.25 years compared to TSLA's $40.73 billion of revenue growth. TSLA has generated $6.93 billion in FCF over the TTM, while Mr. Market has placed a 142.52x multiple on TSLA due to $7.15 billion FCF growth over the past 3.25 years. FB trades at a 15.19x FCF multiple while growing FCF by $23.45 billion over this period which is more than 3x what TSLA has generated in the TTM.With FB trading at 15.19x FCF, GOOGL at 23.42x FCF, and AAPL at 25.4x FCF, it's hard to justify any number above 20x for TSLA. I think a 21x FCF multiple is generous and that places TSLA at a market cap of $145.43 billion, which is -85.26% from its current market cap of $986.92 billion.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":55,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9062153083,"gmtCreate":1652029840542,"gmtModify":1676535015856,"author":{"id":"3583805940946266","authorId":"3583805940946266","name":"dlzy900","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a9296920deee300153d681f41bd09970","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583805940946266","authorIdStr":"3583805940946266"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"okay","listText":"okay","text":"okay","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9062153083","repostId":"1131831539","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1131831539","pubTimestamp":1651980653,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1131831539?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-08 11:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla: Overvalued By 85.26% And Not A Technology Company","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1131831539","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryMake no mistake, Tesla is a phenomenal company that has accomplished the unthinkable as it broke through extreme barriers of entry to disrupt the auto industry.Just because Tesla is a successfu","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Summary</p><ul><li>Make no mistake, Tesla is a phenomenal company that has accomplished the unthinkable as it broke through extreme barriers of entry to disrupt the auto industry.</li><li>Just because Tesla is a successful company that is causing automotive titans to change from combustible engines to EVs doesn&#39;t mean Tesla&#39;s stock is a good investment today.</li><li>100% of gross profit and net income is generated from the automotive sector as Tesla&#39;s other businesses lose money, making them an automobile manufacturing company, not a technology company.</li><li>I compared Tesla&#39;s metrics to the auto industry and big tech and the results are the same, Tesla&#39;s valuation is egregious.</li></ul><p>It&#39;s rare to find companies that have cult-like followings with loyalists willing to pay any price for its stock. The debate regarding Tesla, Inc.&#39;s (NASDAQ:TSLA) valuation continues to be a topic of conversation between the bulls and the bears. Oneside argues that TSLA&#39;s financial growth and future prospects, including FSD, insurance, and robotaxis, justify the current $902.12 billion valuations, while others argue that the current financials and cult-like following have led to a massive overvaluation in TSLA&#39;s stock.</p><p>I tip my hat to Elon Musk, as his accomplishments are second to none. When others called him crazy, Mr. Musk chose one of the hardest industries to compete in, started TSLA from the ground up, went to battle against the auto manufacturers, and succeeded. TSLA is one of the rare success stories that has truly shaped an industry, and the barriers of entry that were overcome are astonishing. TSLA didn&#39;t have the capital, manufacturing, credibility, or the infrastructure that its competitors did, yet they found a way to succeed. If the odds weren&#39;t enough which TSLA faced, they accomplished their goals without a combustible engine and pioneered an entirely new sector within the automotive industry.</p><p>Just because TSLA is a great company, it doesn&#39;t mean TSLA has a great stock, or it isn&#39;t overvalued. I am not bearish on TSLA the company because I believe they still have a long runway of growth ahead of them, but I am bearish on the valuation. Prior to leaving a comment on why I am wrong, please read the article and think about the metrics I am citing; then, I will happily discuss any viewpoints about the analysis.</p><p><b>Tesla Vs. The World In The Automotive Sector</b></p><p>It feels like TSLA vs. the world whenever TSLA is discussed. Discussing who makes a better automobile is a matter of opinion, and everyone is correct because it&#39;s their opinion. If person A thinks TSLA makes the best car and person B thinks Mercedes Benz makes the best car, they are both correct. Debating over this is pointless, so let&#39;s look at the raw numbers.</p><p>TSLA has a larger market cap than the combination ofToyota(TM),Volkswagen(OTCPK:VWAGY),Daimler(OTCPK:DDAIF),BMW(OTCPK:BMWYY),General Motors(GM),Ford(F),Honda(HMC),Ferrari(RACE),Nissan(OTCPK:NSANY),Subaru(OTCPK:FUJHY),Volvo(OTCPK:VOLAF), andMazda(OTCPK:MZDAY). TSLA&#39;s market cap is currently $986.92 billion, while the combination of these 12 companies is $777.41 billion.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff930d2442bf282c1bd880cca408eb94\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"327\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Steven Fiorillo</p><p>The P/S ratio is often cited to justify the valuation. The combination of TM, VWAGY, DDAIF, BMWYY, GM, F, HMC, RACE, NSANY, FUJHY, VOLAF, and MZDAY has generated $1.38 trillion in revenue over the TTM, putting their P/S at 0.56, while TSLA has generated $62.19 billion in revenue and has a 15.87 P/S.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c9b9661fde232925a758c38fd2e93f36\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"330\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Steven Fiorillo, Seeking Alpha</p><p>As a combined entity, these 12 companies have generated $118.29 billion in net income, while TSLA has produced $8.4 billion.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d25806eb839eb9ca2b4ef3c24218048c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"330\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Steven Fiorillo, Seeking Alpha</p><p>TSLA is a great company, but its current valuation has become overly inflated. TSLA&#39;s market cap is $209.52 billion larger than these 12 auto manufacturers, yet the combination of the 12 auto manufacturers generates $1.32 trillion more in revenue and $109.89 billion more in net income.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a1b686de4009ca733ff9651ce0d9fcaf\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"348\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Steven Fiorillo, Seeking Alpha</p><p>Looking at the market caps, one would assume that TSLA has a dominant majority over its competitors in auto sales within the U.S. According to the2021 data, TSLA sold 2.02% of all vehicles in the U.S. TSLA&#39;s market cap reflects a level of dominance that is non-existent.</p><p>Realistically, TSLA will have a hard time disrupting the sector further due to the price point of their vehicles. The reality is that, unless TSLA can sell a car that rivals a Honda or Toyota, doubling its market share is going to be a daunting task. It&#39;s just math. TSLA doesn&#39;t have a product for the masses, and while it may continue to grow in the luxury segment, the amount of growth that can be achieved is limited due to the pricing power of the consumer.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/442ffe151dd83bc524785857925f9797\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"227\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>www.goodcarbadcar.net</p><p><b>Tesla Isn&#39;t A Technology Company And Shouldn&#39;t Be Valued As One</b></p><p>The valuation rebuttal has always been that TSLA isn&#39;t an automobile company, rather, it&#39;s a technology company.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bbc9ccb2cb8a0e7d40804db24e183214\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"341\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Tesla</p><p>Page 23 ofTSLA&#39;s Q1 2022 slide deck from their earnings call is their statement of operations. Once again, 100% of TSLA&#39;s gross profit and net income are derived from automobiles. Energy generation and storage lose money as it generates $616 million in revenue while the cost of this revenue is $688 million. The same goes for Services and others, as this segment generates $1.279 billion in revenue while the cost of this revenue is $1.286 billion. This doesn&#39;t even factor in operating expenses.</p><p>TSLA manufacturers state of the art automobiles, but this doesn&#39;t classify them as a technology company, nor should they be classified as one. Since this is always the rebuttal and technology companies trade at larger earnings multiples, I will compare TSLA to Apple (AAPL), Microsoft (MSFT), Amazon (AMZN), Alphabet (GOOG) (GOOGL), and Meta Platforms (FB) and illustrate why TSLA is still drastically overvalued if the market was still to provide it with a tech multiple.</p><p>Prior to the comparisons, I want to frame the analysis by providing each company&#39;s market cap:</p><ul><li>AAPL $2.69 Trillion</li><li>MSFT $2.17 Trillion</li><li>GOOGL $1.62 Trillion</li><li>AMZN $1.28 Trillion</li><li>TSLA $986.92 Billion</li><li>FB $604.62 Billion</li></ul><p>I am going to start with growth because this is always the key metric bulls point out. Since the close of 2018, which is 3.25 fiscal years, TSLA has grown its revenue from $21.46 billion to $62.19 billion.</p><p>This is absolutely remarkable, but it doesn&#39;t place TSLA in the upper epsilon of technology companies. Over the same period, FB grew its revenue by $63.83 billion, which is more than what TSLA produced in the TTM. FB grew its revenue by more than what TSLA produces and generates just about double the revenue ($119.67 billion), yet TSLA has a larger market cap. For everyone who has used growth as their investment premise, FB having a market cap that&#39;s $382.30 less than TSLA nullifies that aspect of the bull thesis. AMZN&#39;s market cap is only $294.33 billion larger than TSLA, yet they generated $477.75 billion in revenue and grew their revenue by $341.76 billion in this period. Using revenue growth for TSLA doesn&#39;t support the valuation.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3c0fbd4eb93f026c4575ee8f77f53e4b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Steven Fiorillo, Seeking Alpha</p><p>Next, I will turn to profits because, at the end of the day, businesses are in the business of making money. Once again, TSLA has done a fantastic job of monetizing its business and, in 3.25 short years, has gone from losing -$976 million to make $8.4 billion in the TTM for an increase of $9.38 billion. FB has produced $37.34 billion in profit in the TTM, and its net income grew by $15.23 billion over this period. Using growth doesn&#39;t support the valuation when FB has a market cap that&#39;s $382.30 less than TSLA and grew its profits in this period by almost double what TSLA has generated in the TTM.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c9716477607711ee0b6d4f77eb24c890\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"382\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Steven Fiorillo, Seeking Alpha</p><p>The new metric bulls are using in their thesis is TSLA&#39;s free cash flow (FCF). Once again, TSLA has done an excellent job, going from -$221 million of FCF in 2018 to $6.93 billion of FCF in the TTM. Many companies would love to grow their annual FCF by $7.15 billion over a 3.25-year period, and this should be applauded.</p><p>Let&#39;s look at FB once again, since TSLA&#39;s valuation isn&#39;t based on its core segment as an automobile manufacturer. FB has grown its FCF over the previous 3.25 years by $23.45 billion, more than 3x TSLA&#39;s growth, and has generated $39.81 billion of FCF in the TTM. FB generated roughly 5.75x more FCF than TSLA and grew its FCF by more than 3x what TSLA produces, yet FB has a market cap that&#39;s almost $400 billion less than TSLA. Growth within the financials does not support TSLA&#39;s valuation, which is a breath away from $1 trillion.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/902a7074eda9e8f2f2765e0833423d2c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"373\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Steven Fiorillo, Seeking Alpha</p><p>Today you&#39;re paying a 113.81 P/E for TSLA. Paying a larger multiple for a company that&#39;s growing its earnings quickly is normal, but TSLA isn&#39;t growing by larger amounts than FB, and FB trades at a 16.66 P/E. I have seen TSLA bulls justify the P/E because of TSLA&#39;s growth factor, but this doesn&#39;t hold up when FB has grown by larger amounts from larger starting positions and has a P/E that&#39;s a fraction of TSLA. Look at AAPL, which is the largest company in the world. AAPL has grown its net income by $56.25 billion and its FCF by $52.3 billion over the past 3.25 years, and its P/E is 26.78. People are blindly paying any multiple the market places on TSLA.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75168f6e39ced721cf0c53d78481a983\" tg-width=\"614\" tg-height=\"335\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>TSLA is trading at a 15.38 P/S. The justification for this multiple is difficult to defend while AMZN trades at a P/S of 11.31. AMZN&#39;s revenue grew by $341.76 billion over the past 3.25 years while TSLA grew their revenue by $40.73 billion. Instead of an absolute basis, looking at this from a percentage aspect, TSLA grew its revenue by 189.78%, while AMZN&#39;s grew by 251.32%. The P/S ratio is not a supporting valuation metric as TSLA is trading at a larger multiple than AMZN yet produced $301.03 billion less in revenue growth compared to AMZN. At the very least, TSLA should trade at a lower P/S multiple than AMZN considering their revenue growth was a fraction of AMZN&#39;s.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aad00a6c490808962705a1a2dae45cfe\" tg-width=\"608\" tg-height=\"338\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>TSLA has done an excellent job monetizing its revenue, delivering exceptional margins, and generating FCF. Now that TSLA is generating billions in FCF, it&#39;s been inserted into the bull thesis. FCF is a measure of profitability that excludes the non-cash expenses of the income statement and includes spending on equipment and assets as well as changes in working capital from the balance sheet. FCF could be the most underrated and most important financial metric to look at, as this is the pool of capital that companies can utilize to repay debt, pay dividends, buy back shares, make acquisitions, or reinvest in the business.</p><p>Every investment is the present value of all future cash flow. This is why investors look at the price to FCF valuation. Investors want to pay the cheapest multiple for a company&#39;s FCF. Today, you&#39;re paying 142.52x TSLA&#39;s FCF. Going back to the FCF section, TSLA grew its FCF by $7.15 billion over the past 3.25 years. FB generated $23.45 billion of FCF in this period, which is 3x the amount TSLA grew, yet FB is trading at a 15.19x multiple on price to FCF.</p><p>Why on earth would you want to pay 142.52x for TSLA&#39;s FCF when you could pay 15.19x for FB, which is growing their FCF by more than 3x the amount that TSLA is growing by? How about AAPL? AAPL grew its FCF by $52.3 billion and trades at a 25.4x price to FCF. If I exclude FB for a moment, should TSLA trade at a larger FCF multiple than GOOGL, which has grown its FCF by $46.15 billion over the past 3.25 years? My answer is no because there is no guarantee that TSLA will ever generate $46.15 billion in annual FCF, let alone the $68.99 billion in FCF that GOOGL generates.</p><p>So what is a fair price to FCF multiple for TSLA? I don&#39;t believe TSLA has earned the right to trade at the same multiples as the rest of big tech considering the levels of FCF they produce. If I stick with the methodology that FB is egregiously undervalued, then TSLA should trade above 15.19x its FCF but lower than the 23.42x multiple GOOGL trades at.</p><p>I don&#39;t want to be overly bearish, so I will place a 21x multiple on TSLA&#39;s FCF, which is more than fair considering big tech metrics. A 21x multiple on TSLA&#39;s FCF puts its market cap at $145.43 billion, which is -85.26% from its current market cap of $986.92 billion. It&#39;s just math, and if TSLA is going to be valued as a technology company, it needs to be compared to the technology companies with similar market caps.</p><p>At the very least, there isn&#39;t a single reason why TSLA&#39;s market cap is larger than FB&#39;s. There isn&#39;t a single metric that TSLA beats FB in. Based on FB&#39;s valuation, if TSLA traded at the same FCF multiple, it would have a market cap of $105.19 billion.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b81a61d60d9ec098276569cc4a501da0\" tg-width=\"627\" tg-height=\"341\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>TSLA has a gross profit margin of 27.1% ($16.85b / $62.19b) and a profit margin of 13.51% ($8.4b / $62.19b). FB has a gross profit margin of 80.34% ($96.14b / $119.67b) and a profit margin of 31.2% ($37.34b / $119.67b). FB has much wider margins and is growing its revenue by larger amounts. This reinforces my methodology as to why TSLA is grossly overvalued. GOOGL has a gross profit margin of 56.93% ($153.9b / $270.33b) and a profit margin of 27.57% ($74.54b / $270.33b).</p><p>The chances are incredibly slim that TSLA can double its profit margin to be within striking distance of GOOGL&#39;s. TSLA should not trade at a larger FCF, P/E, or P/S multiple than FB or GOOGL. While the market would indicate that I am wrong today, eventually, the hype will wear off, and TSLA will trade at a realistic valuation.</p><p><b>TSLA&#39;s Future Catalysts Have A Long Way To Go Before Impacting Its Bottom Line</b></p><p>There are three main catalysts people discuss, which include insurance, robotaxis, and FSD.TSLA offers insurance using real-time driving behavior. This is currently available to all Model S, Model 3, Model X, and Model Y owners. The catch is that it&#39;s only available in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Ohio, Oregon, Texas, and Virginia as of now.</p><p>TSLA uses a safety rating score to determine the monthly premium for its vehicles. At the largest premium of $130/mo, this would be $1,560 per year. If TSLA converted 100% of their U.S sales in 2021 as an insurance customer, which I think could be possible if TSLA insurance was available in every state, it would have generated $471.12 million in revenue.</p><p>We have no idea what the margins would have been, but if the margin was 50%, it would have been an additional $235.56 million in net income in 2021. While this is nothing to sneeze at, an additional $235.56 million in net income hardly moves the needle. This could be a $1 billion top-line revenue segment in the future, but with availability in only 7 states, insurance&#39;s $1 billion revenue mark is a long way away.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e86de6232b9abf7cee46a9607eb09741\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"326\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Tesla</p><p>Next,FSD, for which TSLA has created two subscription models, a $99/mo price point and a $199/mo price point. The problem with FSD is that it doesn&#39;t make the vehicle fully autonomous, and you still need a driver to be attentive and alert. While I am not arguing that TSLA&#39;s FSD isn&#39;t leaps and bounds ahead of the competition, the problem is that it&#39;s not exactly a self-driving car.</p><p>The questions around legality and where you can use it pop into my head, and how many of TSLA&#39;s drivers opt for this upgrade. Until there is clear legislation and the technology advances to where vehicles can fully drive a person from point A to B while that person takes a nap or reads, I have a hard time believing enough TSLA owners will spend the extra $199/mo on FSD. If there is somewhere where TSLA produces the numbers about how many owners opt for this package, please let me know, and I will crunch the numbers.</p><p>Which Features Come With My Subscription?</p><blockquote>The FSD capability features you receive are based on your configuration and location. Not all features are available in all markets, and features are subject to change.Learn more about Autopilot and Full Self-Driving capability features.</blockquote><blockquote><i>Note: These features are designed to become more capable over time; however the currently enabled features do not make the vehicle autonomous. The currently enabled features require a fully attentive driver, who has their hands on the wheel and is prepared to take over at any moment.</i></blockquote><p>The last catalyst is Robotaxis which many have commented on in my articles before. We&#39;re so far off on Robotaxis that this can&#39;t be considered in TSLA&#39;s upcoming revenue. I would think major legislation would be needed for Robotaxis to exist, and there is no telling how many years away we are from this.</p><p>Also, what is the percentage of TSLA owners that would actually allow their vehicle to be used as a Robotaxi? Depending on what the profitability is, I can see people buying TSLAs to enroll them in this program, but, once again, we need to see the economics behind it. I know I am just one opinion, but I would never enroll one of my cars into a robotaxi program because I don&#39;t want other people that I don&#39;t know in my car. I would think there are many others that have similar viewpoints.</p><p>The real upcoming catalysts are future revenue growth and entering the Chinese market. In 2021 TSLA grew its YoY revenue by 70.67%, and their off to a great start after Q1 2022. Only time will tell what type of growth rate TSLA can maintain, but too many people are assuming that TSLA will obliterate the competition. Over the next several years, we could see TSLA&#39;s growth rate become significantly reduced as more luxury operators put EVs on the road.</p><p>At TSLA&#39;s current margins, they would need to increase their revenue by 444.55% to $276.47 billion to produce the same amount of net income ($37.34b) that FB produces today at their current 13.51% profit margin. Maybe TSLA can get there in the future, but why should TSLA be valued at almost $1 trillion today, considering not a single metric of theirs is similar to FB or GOOGL, and TSLA&#39;s growth across any of the sectors isn&#39;t larger than FB or GOOGL?</p><p><b>Tesla Continues To Dilute Shareholders, And Almost No Shareholders Care</b></p><p>Dilution kills shareholder value. Look, I am a shareholder of TSLA, and I hate that my shares continue to be diluted. These numbers are split-adjusted that I am using. Over the past decade,TSLA has diluted its shares by 80.93%. This is horrible compared to big tech, yet investors can&#39;t buy enough TSLA shares. TSLA finished 2012 with 572.6 million shares and, as of its last filing, had increased its outstanding shares to 1.036 billion shares.</p><p>This is the equivalent of me taking a pizza, and instead of giving you a slice, cutting another 6.5 slices, then giving you one. The pizza represents TSLA, the company, and they basically turned an 8-slice pie into a 14.5-slice pie, reducing shareholder&#39;s ownership and the amount of equity, revenue, and EPS our shares represent.</p><p>If you want to see what a true shepherd of shareholder value looks like, turn to AAPL. In 2012 AAPL had 26.3 billion shares outstanding. Over the past decade, AAPL has repurchased 10.09 billion shares, reducing its outstanding shares by 38.37%. Every quarter, AAPL is buying back shares and increasing the ownership its shares represent. TSLA, on the other hand, continues to dilute shareholders by increasing shares YOY.</p><p><b>I Could Be Completely Wrong, And Tesla Could Continue Growing At These Rates</b></p><p>TSLA&#39;s vehicle deliveries continue to outpace its growing production. YoY TSLA&#39;s deliveries increased by 68% in Q1, adding 125,171 delivered vehicles to its customers. TSLA just began Model Y deliveries from the Austin facility, and production at the Gigafactory in Berlin started in March of 2022. TSLA&#39;s Shanghai facility had strong production rates prior to the spike in COVID that resulted in temporary shutdowns. TSLA isn&#39;t just focusing on the U.S, they have Europe and China in their sights.</p><p>EVs accounted for 488,000 sales in the U.S for 2021, and the previous projection was that EVs would account for 670,000 units sold in 2022. Oil has hovered around $100 per barrel and could render the previous projections of 37% increased EV sales domestically for 2022 conservative. TSLA is in a prime position to capitalize on this trend. In 2021 TSLA vehicles accounted for 61.89% of EVs sold in the U.S (301,998 / 488,000).</p><p>Hypothetically, if the previous projection of 670,000 EV sales for 2022 is accurate and TSLA maintains its current margin, they would sell 414,628 vehicles throughout the U.S in 2022. If gas prices do alter the decision-making process when deciding between a combustible engine or an EV, then TSLA could continue surprising the market with QoQ earnings beats.</p><p>The U.S has a national goal of reaching 50% of domestic auto sales coming from EVs. In 2021, EVs accounted for 3.26% of total sales in the U.S auto market. Based on U.S auto sales in 2021, annual EV sales would need to grow by 6,989,403 to reach a 50% EV to combustible engine ratio. Hypothetically if U.S auto sales stayed flat but EVs reached 50% of the market in 2030 they would sell 7,477,403 vehicles. If TSLA&#39;s dominance in the EV sector was to drop from 61.89% to 15% due to increased competition, they would generate 1,121,610 in sales compared to 301,998 in 2021. When you add in Europe and China, TSLA certainly has the ability to become a top auto manufacturer by sales next decade.</p><p>Bulls aren&#39;t incorrect to be excited about TSLA. The world is moving toward EVs, and TSLA is the crème de la crème. As I said in the beginning, I am bullish about TSLA&#39;s future prospects, but I think the valuation today is overinflated. Nobody can predict the future, but I have no doubt that TSLA will continue to grow its sales YoY.</p><p>The question becomes, how much growth will they be able to achieve YoY? In 2021, TM generated $226.48 billion of revenue and, based on the future of EVs, TSLA certainly could achieve this level of revenue in the future. Based on TSLA&#39;s current 13.51% profit margin, if they achieved TM&#39;s level of revenue, they would generate $30.59 billion of net income, which would definitely make today&#39;s valuation look more realistic.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93c9176fa9bebc2c940e038cafd23229\" tg-width=\"603\" tg-height=\"631\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Tesla</p><p><b>Conclusion</b></p><p>You&#39;re probably wondering how I can be a shareholder and be a bear on TSLA&#39;s valuation at the same time. It&#39;s simple; my wife bought shares of TSLA, which makes me a shareholder. My stance has always been bullish on the company and bearish on the valuation. What Elon Musk and the team at TSLA has accomplished is astonishing, and they deserve nothing but respect.</p><p>Keep in mind a company and a company&#39;s stock are two separate things. TSLA continues to dilute shareholders, and they and the market are valuing TSLA as if it&#39;s FB or GOOGL. TSLA is not a technology company; it&#39;s an automobile company, as the automotive segments drive 100% of its gross revenue and net income.</p><p>TSLA is trading at a P/E of 113.81, a P/S of 15.38, and a 142.52x multiple on its FCF. The numbers are drastically inflated as TSLA has no business trading at a larger P/S multiple than AMZN, which trades at 11.31 P/S when it has grown its revenue by $341.76 billion over the previous 3.25 years compared to TSLA&#39;s $40.73 billion of revenue growth. TSLA has generated $6.93 billion in FCF over the TTM, while Mr. Market has placed a 142.52x multiple on TSLA due to $7.15 billion FCF growth over the past 3.25 years. FB trades at a 15.19x FCF multiple while growing FCF by $23.45 billion over this period which is more than 3x what TSLA has generated in the TTM.</p><p>With FB trading at 15.19x FCF, GOOGL at 23.42x FCF, and AAPL at 25.4x FCF, it&#39;s hard to justify any number above 20x for TSLA. I think a 21x FCF multiple is generous and that places TSLA at a market cap of $145.43 billion, which is -85.26% from its current market cap of $986.92 billion.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla: Overvalued By 85.26% And Not A Technology Company</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla: Overvalued By 85.26% And Not A Technology Company\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-05-08 11:30 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4507535-tesla-overvalued-by-85-26-percent-and-not-a-technology-company><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryMake no mistake, Tesla is a phenomenal company that has accomplished the unthinkable as it broke through extreme barriers of entry to disrupt the auto industry.Just because Tesla is a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4507535-tesla-overvalued-by-85-26-percent-and-not-a-technology-company\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4507535-tesla-overvalued-by-85-26-percent-and-not-a-technology-company","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1131831539","content_text":"SummaryMake no mistake, Tesla is a phenomenal company that has accomplished the unthinkable as it broke through extreme barriers of entry to disrupt the auto industry.Just because Tesla is a successful company that is causing automotive titans to change from combustible engines to EVs doesn't mean Tesla's stock is a good investment today.100% of gross profit and net income is generated from the automotive sector as Tesla's other businesses lose money, making them an automobile manufacturing company, not a technology company.I compared Tesla's metrics to the auto industry and big tech and the results are the same, Tesla's valuation is egregious.It's rare to find companies that have cult-like followings with loyalists willing to pay any price for its stock. The debate regarding Tesla, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:TSLA) valuation continues to be a topic of conversation between the bulls and the bears. Oneside argues that TSLA's financial growth and future prospects, including FSD, insurance, and robotaxis, justify the current $902.12 billion valuations, while others argue that the current financials and cult-like following have led to a massive overvaluation in TSLA's stock.I tip my hat to Elon Musk, as his accomplishments are second to none. When others called him crazy, Mr. Musk chose one of the hardest industries to compete in, started TSLA from the ground up, went to battle against the auto manufacturers, and succeeded. TSLA is one of the rare success stories that has truly shaped an industry, and the barriers of entry that were overcome are astonishing. TSLA didn't have the capital, manufacturing, credibility, or the infrastructure that its competitors did, yet they found a way to succeed. If the odds weren't enough which TSLA faced, they accomplished their goals without a combustible engine and pioneered an entirely new sector within the automotive industry.Just because TSLA is a great company, it doesn't mean TSLA has a great stock, or it isn't overvalued. I am not bearish on TSLA the company because I believe they still have a long runway of growth ahead of them, but I am bearish on the valuation. Prior to leaving a comment on why I am wrong, please read the article and think about the metrics I am citing; then, I will happily discuss any viewpoints about the analysis.Tesla Vs. The World In The Automotive SectorIt feels like TSLA vs. the world whenever TSLA is discussed. Discussing who makes a better automobile is a matter of opinion, and everyone is correct because it's their opinion. If person A thinks TSLA makes the best car and person B thinks Mercedes Benz makes the best car, they are both correct. Debating over this is pointless, so let's look at the raw numbers.TSLA has a larger market cap than the combination ofToyota(TM),Volkswagen(OTCPK:VWAGY),Daimler(OTCPK:DDAIF),BMW(OTCPK:BMWYY),General Motors(GM),Ford(F),Honda(HMC),Ferrari(RACE),Nissan(OTCPK:NSANY),Subaru(OTCPK:FUJHY),Volvo(OTCPK:VOLAF), andMazda(OTCPK:MZDAY). TSLA's market cap is currently $986.92 billion, while the combination of these 12 companies is $777.41 billion.Steven FiorilloThe P/S ratio is often cited to justify the valuation. The combination of TM, VWAGY, DDAIF, BMWYY, GM, F, HMC, RACE, NSANY, FUJHY, VOLAF, and MZDAY has generated $1.38 trillion in revenue over the TTM, putting their P/S at 0.56, while TSLA has generated $62.19 billion in revenue and has a 15.87 P/S.Steven Fiorillo, Seeking AlphaAs a combined entity, these 12 companies have generated $118.29 billion in net income, while TSLA has produced $8.4 billion.Steven Fiorillo, Seeking AlphaTSLA is a great company, but its current valuation has become overly inflated. TSLA's market cap is $209.52 billion larger than these 12 auto manufacturers, yet the combination of the 12 auto manufacturers generates $1.32 trillion more in revenue and $109.89 billion more in net income.Steven Fiorillo, Seeking AlphaLooking at the market caps, one would assume that TSLA has a dominant majority over its competitors in auto sales within the U.S. According to the2021 data, TSLA sold 2.02% of all vehicles in the U.S. TSLA's market cap reflects a level of dominance that is non-existent.Realistically, TSLA will have a hard time disrupting the sector further due to the price point of their vehicles. The reality is that, unless TSLA can sell a car that rivals a Honda or Toyota, doubling its market share is going to be a daunting task. It's just math. TSLA doesn't have a product for the masses, and while it may continue to grow in the luxury segment, the amount of growth that can be achieved is limited due to the pricing power of the consumer.www.goodcarbadcar.netTesla Isn't A Technology Company And Shouldn't Be Valued As OneThe valuation rebuttal has always been that TSLA isn't an automobile company, rather, it's a technology company.TeslaPage 23 ofTSLA's Q1 2022 slide deck from their earnings call is their statement of operations. Once again, 100% of TSLA's gross profit and net income are derived from automobiles. Energy generation and storage lose money as it generates $616 million in revenue while the cost of this revenue is $688 million. The same goes for Services and others, as this segment generates $1.279 billion in revenue while the cost of this revenue is $1.286 billion. This doesn't even factor in operating expenses.TSLA manufacturers state of the art automobiles, but this doesn't classify them as a technology company, nor should they be classified as one. Since this is always the rebuttal and technology companies trade at larger earnings multiples, I will compare TSLA to Apple (AAPL), Microsoft (MSFT), Amazon (AMZN), Alphabet (GOOG) (GOOGL), and Meta Platforms (FB) and illustrate why TSLA is still drastically overvalued if the market was still to provide it with a tech multiple.Prior to the comparisons, I want to frame the analysis by providing each company's market cap:AAPL $2.69 TrillionMSFT $2.17 TrillionGOOGL $1.62 TrillionAMZN $1.28 TrillionTSLA $986.92 BillionFB $604.62 BillionI am going to start with growth because this is always the key metric bulls point out. Since the close of 2018, which is 3.25 fiscal years, TSLA has grown its revenue from $21.46 billion to $62.19 billion.This is absolutely remarkable, but it doesn't place TSLA in the upper epsilon of technology companies. Over the same period, FB grew its revenue by $63.83 billion, which is more than what TSLA produced in the TTM. FB grew its revenue by more than what TSLA produces and generates just about double the revenue ($119.67 billion), yet TSLA has a larger market cap. For everyone who has used growth as their investment premise, FB having a market cap that's $382.30 less than TSLA nullifies that aspect of the bull thesis. AMZN's market cap is only $294.33 billion larger than TSLA, yet they generated $477.75 billion in revenue and grew their revenue by $341.76 billion in this period. Using revenue growth for TSLA doesn't support the valuation.Steven Fiorillo, Seeking AlphaNext, I will turn to profits because, at the end of the day, businesses are in the business of making money. Once again, TSLA has done a fantastic job of monetizing its business and, in 3.25 short years, has gone from losing -$976 million to make $8.4 billion in the TTM for an increase of $9.38 billion. FB has produced $37.34 billion in profit in the TTM, and its net income grew by $15.23 billion over this period. Using growth doesn't support the valuation when FB has a market cap that's $382.30 less than TSLA and grew its profits in this period by almost double what TSLA has generated in the TTM.Steven Fiorillo, Seeking AlphaThe new metric bulls are using in their thesis is TSLA's free cash flow (FCF). Once again, TSLA has done an excellent job, going from -$221 million of FCF in 2018 to $6.93 billion of FCF in the TTM. Many companies would love to grow their annual FCF by $7.15 billion over a 3.25-year period, and this should be applauded.Let's look at FB once again, since TSLA's valuation isn't based on its core segment as an automobile manufacturer. FB has grown its FCF over the previous 3.25 years by $23.45 billion, more than 3x TSLA's growth, and has generated $39.81 billion of FCF in the TTM. FB generated roughly 5.75x more FCF than TSLA and grew its FCF by more than 3x what TSLA produces, yet FB has a market cap that's almost $400 billion less than TSLA. Growth within the financials does not support TSLA's valuation, which is a breath away from $1 trillion.Steven Fiorillo, Seeking AlphaToday you're paying a 113.81 P/E for TSLA. Paying a larger multiple for a company that's growing its earnings quickly is normal, but TSLA isn't growing by larger amounts than FB, and FB trades at a 16.66 P/E. I have seen TSLA bulls justify the P/E because of TSLA's growth factor, but this doesn't hold up when FB has grown by larger amounts from larger starting positions and has a P/E that's a fraction of TSLA. Look at AAPL, which is the largest company in the world. AAPL has grown its net income by $56.25 billion and its FCF by $52.3 billion over the past 3.25 years, and its P/E is 26.78. People are blindly paying any multiple the market places on TSLA.TSLA is trading at a 15.38 P/S. The justification for this multiple is difficult to defend while AMZN trades at a P/S of 11.31. AMZN's revenue grew by $341.76 billion over the past 3.25 years while TSLA grew their revenue by $40.73 billion. Instead of an absolute basis, looking at this from a percentage aspect, TSLA grew its revenue by 189.78%, while AMZN's grew by 251.32%. The P/S ratio is not a supporting valuation metric as TSLA is trading at a larger multiple than AMZN yet produced $301.03 billion less in revenue growth compared to AMZN. At the very least, TSLA should trade at a lower P/S multiple than AMZN considering their revenue growth was a fraction of AMZN's.TSLA has done an excellent job monetizing its revenue, delivering exceptional margins, and generating FCF. Now that TSLA is generating billions in FCF, it's been inserted into the bull thesis. FCF is a measure of profitability that excludes the non-cash expenses of the income statement and includes spending on equipment and assets as well as changes in working capital from the balance sheet. FCF could be the most underrated and most important financial metric to look at, as this is the pool of capital that companies can utilize to repay debt, pay dividends, buy back shares, make acquisitions, or reinvest in the business.Every investment is the present value of all future cash flow. This is why investors look at the price to FCF valuation. Investors want to pay the cheapest multiple for a company's FCF. Today, you're paying 142.52x TSLA's FCF. Going back to the FCF section, TSLA grew its FCF by $7.15 billion over the past 3.25 years. FB generated $23.45 billion of FCF in this period, which is 3x the amount TSLA grew, yet FB is trading at a 15.19x multiple on price to FCF.Why on earth would you want to pay 142.52x for TSLA's FCF when you could pay 15.19x for FB, which is growing their FCF by more than 3x the amount that TSLA is growing by? How about AAPL? AAPL grew its FCF by $52.3 billion and trades at a 25.4x price to FCF. If I exclude FB for a moment, should TSLA trade at a larger FCF multiple than GOOGL, which has grown its FCF by $46.15 billion over the past 3.25 years? My answer is no because there is no guarantee that TSLA will ever generate $46.15 billion in annual FCF, let alone the $68.99 billion in FCF that GOOGL generates.So what is a fair price to FCF multiple for TSLA? I don't believe TSLA has earned the right to trade at the same multiples as the rest of big tech considering the levels of FCF they produce. If I stick with the methodology that FB is egregiously undervalued, then TSLA should trade above 15.19x its FCF but lower than the 23.42x multiple GOOGL trades at.I don't want to be overly bearish, so I will place a 21x multiple on TSLA's FCF, which is more than fair considering big tech metrics. A 21x multiple on TSLA's FCF puts its market cap at $145.43 billion, which is -85.26% from its current market cap of $986.92 billion. It's just math, and if TSLA is going to be valued as a technology company, it needs to be compared to the technology companies with similar market caps.At the very least, there isn't a single reason why TSLA's market cap is larger than FB's. There isn't a single metric that TSLA beats FB in. Based on FB's valuation, if TSLA traded at the same FCF multiple, it would have a market cap of $105.19 billion.TSLA has a gross profit margin of 27.1% ($16.85b / $62.19b) and a profit margin of 13.51% ($8.4b / $62.19b). FB has a gross profit margin of 80.34% ($96.14b / $119.67b) and a profit margin of 31.2% ($37.34b / $119.67b). FB has much wider margins and is growing its revenue by larger amounts. This reinforces my methodology as to why TSLA is grossly overvalued. GOOGL has a gross profit margin of 56.93% ($153.9b / $270.33b) and a profit margin of 27.57% ($74.54b / $270.33b).The chances are incredibly slim that TSLA can double its profit margin to be within striking distance of GOOGL's. TSLA should not trade at a larger FCF, P/E, or P/S multiple than FB or GOOGL. While the market would indicate that I am wrong today, eventually, the hype will wear off, and TSLA will trade at a realistic valuation.TSLA's Future Catalysts Have A Long Way To Go Before Impacting Its Bottom LineThere are three main catalysts people discuss, which include insurance, robotaxis, and FSD.TSLA offers insurance using real-time driving behavior. This is currently available to all Model S, Model 3, Model X, and Model Y owners. The catch is that it's only available in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Ohio, Oregon, Texas, and Virginia as of now.TSLA uses a safety rating score to determine the monthly premium for its vehicles. At the largest premium of $130/mo, this would be $1,560 per year. If TSLA converted 100% of their U.S sales in 2021 as an insurance customer, which I think could be possible if TSLA insurance was available in every state, it would have generated $471.12 million in revenue.We have no idea what the margins would have been, but if the margin was 50%, it would have been an additional $235.56 million in net income in 2021. While this is nothing to sneeze at, an additional $235.56 million in net income hardly moves the needle. This could be a $1 billion top-line revenue segment in the future, but with availability in only 7 states, insurance's $1 billion revenue mark is a long way away.TeslaNext,FSD, for which TSLA has created two subscription models, a $99/mo price point and a $199/mo price point. The problem with FSD is that it doesn't make the vehicle fully autonomous, and you still need a driver to be attentive and alert. While I am not arguing that TSLA's FSD isn't leaps and bounds ahead of the competition, the problem is that it's not exactly a self-driving car.The questions around legality and where you can use it pop into my head, and how many of TSLA's drivers opt for this upgrade. Until there is clear legislation and the technology advances to where vehicles can fully drive a person from point A to B while that person takes a nap or reads, I have a hard time believing enough TSLA owners will spend the extra $199/mo on FSD. If there is somewhere where TSLA produces the numbers about how many owners opt for this package, please let me know, and I will crunch the numbers.Which Features Come With My Subscription?The FSD capability features you receive are based on your configuration and location. Not all features are available in all markets, and features are subject to change.Learn more about Autopilot and Full Self-Driving capability features.Note: These features are designed to become more capable over time; however the currently enabled features do not make the vehicle autonomous. The currently enabled features require a fully attentive driver, who has their hands on the wheel and is prepared to take over at any moment.The last catalyst is Robotaxis which many have commented on in my articles before. We're so far off on Robotaxis that this can't be considered in TSLA's upcoming revenue. I would think major legislation would be needed for Robotaxis to exist, and there is no telling how many years away we are from this.Also, what is the percentage of TSLA owners that would actually allow their vehicle to be used as a Robotaxi? Depending on what the profitability is, I can see people buying TSLAs to enroll them in this program, but, once again, we need to see the economics behind it. I know I am just one opinion, but I would never enroll one of my cars into a robotaxi program because I don't want other people that I don't know in my car. I would think there are many others that have similar viewpoints.The real upcoming catalysts are future revenue growth and entering the Chinese market. In 2021 TSLA grew its YoY revenue by 70.67%, and their off to a great start after Q1 2022. Only time will tell what type of growth rate TSLA can maintain, but too many people are assuming that TSLA will obliterate the competition. Over the next several years, we could see TSLA's growth rate become significantly reduced as more luxury operators put EVs on the road.At TSLA's current margins, they would need to increase their revenue by 444.55% to $276.47 billion to produce the same amount of net income ($37.34b) that FB produces today at their current 13.51% profit margin. Maybe TSLA can get there in the future, but why should TSLA be valued at almost $1 trillion today, considering not a single metric of theirs is similar to FB or GOOGL, and TSLA's growth across any of the sectors isn't larger than FB or GOOGL?Tesla Continues To Dilute Shareholders, And Almost No Shareholders CareDilution kills shareholder value. Look, I am a shareholder of TSLA, and I hate that my shares continue to be diluted. These numbers are split-adjusted that I am using. Over the past decade,TSLA has diluted its shares by 80.93%. This is horrible compared to big tech, yet investors can't buy enough TSLA shares. TSLA finished 2012 with 572.6 million shares and, as of its last filing, had increased its outstanding shares to 1.036 billion shares.This is the equivalent of me taking a pizza, and instead of giving you a slice, cutting another 6.5 slices, then giving you one. The pizza represents TSLA, the company, and they basically turned an 8-slice pie into a 14.5-slice pie, reducing shareholder's ownership and the amount of equity, revenue, and EPS our shares represent.If you want to see what a true shepherd of shareholder value looks like, turn to AAPL. In 2012 AAPL had 26.3 billion shares outstanding. Over the past decade, AAPL has repurchased 10.09 billion shares, reducing its outstanding shares by 38.37%. Every quarter, AAPL is buying back shares and increasing the ownership its shares represent. TSLA, on the other hand, continues to dilute shareholders by increasing shares YOY.I Could Be Completely Wrong, And Tesla Could Continue Growing At These RatesTSLA's vehicle deliveries continue to outpace its growing production. YoY TSLA's deliveries increased by 68% in Q1, adding 125,171 delivered vehicles to its customers. TSLA just began Model Y deliveries from the Austin facility, and production at the Gigafactory in Berlin started in March of 2022. TSLA's Shanghai facility had strong production rates prior to the spike in COVID that resulted in temporary shutdowns. TSLA isn't just focusing on the U.S, they have Europe and China in their sights.EVs accounted for 488,000 sales in the U.S for 2021, and the previous projection was that EVs would account for 670,000 units sold in 2022. Oil has hovered around $100 per barrel and could render the previous projections of 37% increased EV sales domestically for 2022 conservative. TSLA is in a prime position to capitalize on this trend. In 2021 TSLA vehicles accounted for 61.89% of EVs sold in the U.S (301,998 / 488,000).Hypothetically, if the previous projection of 670,000 EV sales for 2022 is accurate and TSLA maintains its current margin, they would sell 414,628 vehicles throughout the U.S in 2022. If gas prices do alter the decision-making process when deciding between a combustible engine or an EV, then TSLA could continue surprising the market with QoQ earnings beats.The U.S has a national goal of reaching 50% of domestic auto sales coming from EVs. In 2021, EVs accounted for 3.26% of total sales in the U.S auto market. Based on U.S auto sales in 2021, annual EV sales would need to grow by 6,989,403 to reach a 50% EV to combustible engine ratio. Hypothetically if U.S auto sales stayed flat but EVs reached 50% of the market in 2030 they would sell 7,477,403 vehicles. If TSLA's dominance in the EV sector was to drop from 61.89% to 15% due to increased competition, they would generate 1,121,610 in sales compared to 301,998 in 2021. When you add in Europe and China, TSLA certainly has the ability to become a top auto manufacturer by sales next decade.Bulls aren't incorrect to be excited about TSLA. The world is moving toward EVs, and TSLA is the crème de la crème. As I said in the beginning, I am bullish about TSLA's future prospects, but I think the valuation today is overinflated. Nobody can predict the future, but I have no doubt that TSLA will continue to grow its sales YoY.The question becomes, how much growth will they be able to achieve YoY? In 2021, TM generated $226.48 billion of revenue and, based on the future of EVs, TSLA certainly could achieve this level of revenue in the future. Based on TSLA's current 13.51% profit margin, if they achieved TM's level of revenue, they would generate $30.59 billion of net income, which would definitely make today's valuation look more realistic.TeslaConclusionYou're probably wondering how I can be a shareholder and be a bear on TSLA's valuation at the same time. It's simple; my wife bought shares of TSLA, which makes me a shareholder. My stance has always been bullish on the company and bearish on the valuation. What Elon Musk and the team at TSLA has accomplished is astonishing, and they deserve nothing but respect.Keep in mind a company and a company's stock are two separate things. TSLA continues to dilute shareholders, and they and the market are valuing TSLA as if it's FB or GOOGL. TSLA is not a technology company; it's an automobile company, as the automotive segments drive 100% of its gross revenue and net income.TSLA is trading at a P/E of 113.81, a P/S of 15.38, and a 142.52x multiple on its FCF. The numbers are drastically inflated as TSLA has no business trading at a larger P/S multiple than AMZN, which trades at 11.31 P/S when it has grown its revenue by $341.76 billion over the previous 3.25 years compared to TSLA's $40.73 billion of revenue growth. TSLA has generated $6.93 billion in FCF over the TTM, while Mr. Market has placed a 142.52x multiple on TSLA due to $7.15 billion FCF growth over the past 3.25 years. FB trades at a 15.19x FCF multiple while growing FCF by $23.45 billion over this period which is more than 3x what TSLA has generated in the TTM.With FB trading at 15.19x FCF, GOOGL at 23.42x FCF, and AAPL at 25.4x FCF, it's hard to justify any number above 20x for TSLA. I think a 21x FCF multiple is generous and that places TSLA at a market cap of $145.43 billion, which is -85.26% from its current market cap of $986.92 billion.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":117,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9068670857,"gmtCreate":1651766136179,"gmtModify":1676534965731,"author":{"id":"3583805940946266","authorId":"3583805940946266","name":"dlzy900","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a9296920deee300153d681f41bd09970","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583805940946266","authorIdStr":"3583805940946266"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"okay","listText":"okay","text":"okay","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9068670857","repostId":"1161742465","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1161742465","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1651763586,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1161742465?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-05 23:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Dow Tumbles 1,000 Points, Nasdaq Drops More Than 4% as Wall Street Sell-Off Intensifies","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1161742465","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Stocks fell sharply on Thursday, erasing the gains seen in the previous session after the Federal Re","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Stocks fell sharply on Thursday, erasing the gains seen in the previous session after the Federal Reserve raised rates by half a point.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 890 points, or 2.6%. The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq Composite fell 3.1% and 4.2%, respectively.</p><p>The moves come after a major rally for stocks on Wednesday. The Dow surged 932 points, or 2.81%, and the S&amp;P 500 gained 2.99% for their biggest gains since 2020. The Nasdaq Composite jumped 3.19%.</p><p>The Fed increased its benchmark interest rate by 50 basis points, as expected, and said it would begin reducing its balance sheet in June. However, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said during his news conference that the central bank is “not actively considering” a larger 75 basis point rate hike, which appeared to spark a rally.</p><p>Still, the Fed remains open to the prospect of taking rates above neutral to rein in inflation, Zachary Hill, head of portfolio strategy at Horizon Investments, noted.</p><p>“Despite the tightening that we have seen in financial conditions over the last few months, it is clear that the Fed would like to see them tighten further,” he said. “Higher equity valuations are incompatible with that desire, so unless supply chains heal rapidly or workers flood back into the labor force, any equity rallies are likely on borrowed time as Fed messaging becomes more hawkish once again.”</p><p>Large tech stocks were under pressure, with Facebook-parent Meta Platforms and Amazon falling 5.8% and 7.1%, respectively. Microsoft dropped 4.7%. Salesforce tumbled 6.3%.</p><p>E-commerce stocks were a key source of weakness on Thursday following some disappointing quarterly reports.</p><p>Etsy and eBay dropped 15% and 8%, respectively, after issuing weaker-than-expected revenue guidance. Shopify fell more than 17% after missing estimates on the top and bottom lines.</p><p>The Treasury market also saw a dramatic reversal of Wednesday’s rally. The 10-year Treasury yield, which moves opposite of price, surged back above 3% on Thursday morning and hit its highest level since 2018. Rising rates can put pressure on growth-oriented tech stocks, as they make far-off earnings less attractive to investors.</p><p>Carlyle Group co-founder David Rubenstein said investors need to get “back to reality” about the headwinds for markets and the economy, including the war in Russia and high inflation.</p><p>“We’re also looking at 50-basis-point increases the next two FOMC meetings. So we are going to be tightening a bit. I don’t think that is going to be tightening so much so that we’re going slow down the economy. ... but we still have to recognize that we have some real economic challenges in the United States,” Rubenstein said Thursday on CNBC’s “Squawk Box.”</p><p>Some Wall Street strategists had suggested markets could see a relief rally after the rate increase. After Powell’s comments, investors seemed at ease about the central bank’s ability to slow inflation without triggering a recession. The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq Composite touched their lowest levels of the year earlier this week after a rough April for stocks, possibly making some areas of the market oversold and primed for a short-term bounce.</p><p>In economic data, weekly jobless claims came in slightly higher than expected and labor productivity dropped 7.5% in the first quarter for its fastest decline since 1947.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Dow Tumbles 1,000 Points, Nasdaq Drops More Than 4% as Wall Street Sell-Off Intensifies</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDow Tumbles 1,000 Points, Nasdaq Drops More Than 4% as Wall Street Sell-Off Intensifies\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-05-05 23:13</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Stocks fell sharply on Thursday, erasing the gains seen in the previous session after the Federal Reserve raised rates by half a point.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 890 points, or 2.6%. The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq Composite fell 3.1% and 4.2%, respectively.</p><p>The moves come after a major rally for stocks on Wednesday. The Dow surged 932 points, or 2.81%, and the S&amp;P 500 gained 2.99% for their biggest gains since 2020. The Nasdaq Composite jumped 3.19%.</p><p>The Fed increased its benchmark interest rate by 50 basis points, as expected, and said it would begin reducing its balance sheet in June. However, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said during his news conference that the central bank is “not actively considering” a larger 75 basis point rate hike, which appeared to spark a rally.</p><p>Still, the Fed remains open to the prospect of taking rates above neutral to rein in inflation, Zachary Hill, head of portfolio strategy at Horizon Investments, noted.</p><p>“Despite the tightening that we have seen in financial conditions over the last few months, it is clear that the Fed would like to see them tighten further,” he said. “Higher equity valuations are incompatible with that desire, so unless supply chains heal rapidly or workers flood back into the labor force, any equity rallies are likely on borrowed time as Fed messaging becomes more hawkish once again.”</p><p>Large tech stocks were under pressure, with Facebook-parent Meta Platforms and Amazon falling 5.8% and 7.1%, respectively. Microsoft dropped 4.7%. Salesforce tumbled 6.3%.</p><p>E-commerce stocks were a key source of weakness on Thursday following some disappointing quarterly reports.</p><p>Etsy and eBay dropped 15% and 8%, respectively, after issuing weaker-than-expected revenue guidance. Shopify fell more than 17% after missing estimates on the top and bottom lines.</p><p>The Treasury market also saw a dramatic reversal of Wednesday’s rally. The 10-year Treasury yield, which moves opposite of price, surged back above 3% on Thursday morning and hit its highest level since 2018. Rising rates can put pressure on growth-oriented tech stocks, as they make far-off earnings less attractive to investors.</p><p>Carlyle Group co-founder David Rubenstein said investors need to get “back to reality” about the headwinds for markets and the economy, including the war in Russia and high inflation.</p><p>“We’re also looking at 50-basis-point increases the next two FOMC meetings. So we are going to be tightening a bit. I don’t think that is going to be tightening so much so that we’re going slow down the economy. ... but we still have to recognize that we have some real economic challenges in the United States,” Rubenstein said Thursday on CNBC’s “Squawk Box.”</p><p>Some Wall Street strategists had suggested markets could see a relief rally after the rate increase. After Powell’s comments, investors seemed at ease about the central bank’s ability to slow inflation without triggering a recession. The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq Composite touched their lowest levels of the year earlier this week after a rough April for stocks, possibly making some areas of the market oversold and primed for a short-term bounce.</p><p>In economic data, weekly jobless claims came in slightly higher than expected and labor productivity dropped 7.5% in the first quarter for its fastest decline since 1947.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1161742465","content_text":"Stocks fell sharply on Thursday, erasing the gains seen in the previous session after the Federal Reserve raised rates by half a point.The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 890 points, or 2.6%. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite fell 3.1% and 4.2%, respectively.The moves come after a major rally for stocks on Wednesday. The Dow surged 932 points, or 2.81%, and the S&P 500 gained 2.99% for their biggest gains since 2020. The Nasdaq Composite jumped 3.19%.The Fed increased its benchmark interest rate by 50 basis points, as expected, and said it would begin reducing its balance sheet in June. However, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said during his news conference that the central bank is “not actively considering” a larger 75 basis point rate hike, which appeared to spark a rally.Still, the Fed remains open to the prospect of taking rates above neutral to rein in inflation, Zachary Hill, head of portfolio strategy at Horizon Investments, noted.“Despite the tightening that we have seen in financial conditions over the last few months, it is clear that the Fed would like to see them tighten further,” he said. “Higher equity valuations are incompatible with that desire, so unless supply chains heal rapidly or workers flood back into the labor force, any equity rallies are likely on borrowed time as Fed messaging becomes more hawkish once again.”Large tech stocks were under pressure, with Facebook-parent Meta Platforms and Amazon falling 5.8% and 7.1%, respectively. Microsoft dropped 4.7%. Salesforce tumbled 6.3%.E-commerce stocks were a key source of weakness on Thursday following some disappointing quarterly reports.Etsy and eBay dropped 15% and 8%, respectively, after issuing weaker-than-expected revenue guidance. Shopify fell more than 17% after missing estimates on the top and bottom lines.The Treasury market also saw a dramatic reversal of Wednesday’s rally. The 10-year Treasury yield, which moves opposite of price, surged back above 3% on Thursday morning and hit its highest level since 2018. Rising rates can put pressure on growth-oriented tech stocks, as they make far-off earnings less attractive to investors.Carlyle Group co-founder David Rubenstein said investors need to get “back to reality” about the headwinds for markets and the economy, including the war in Russia and high inflation.“We’re also looking at 50-basis-point increases the next two FOMC meetings. So we are going to be tightening a bit. I don’t think that is going to be tightening so much so that we’re going slow down the economy. ... but we still have to recognize that we have some real economic challenges in the United States,” Rubenstein said Thursday on CNBC’s “Squawk Box.”Some Wall Street strategists had suggested markets could see a relief rally after the rate increase. After Powell’s comments, investors seemed at ease about the central bank’s ability to slow inflation without triggering a recession. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite touched their lowest levels of the year earlier this week after a rough April for stocks, possibly making some areas of the market oversold and primed for a short-term bounce.In economic data, weekly jobless claims came in slightly higher than expected and labor productivity dropped 7.5% in the first quarter for its fastest decline since 1947.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":29,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9063416649,"gmtCreate":1651505969637,"gmtModify":1676534917951,"author":{"id":"3583805940946266","authorId":"3583805940946266","name":"dlzy900","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a9296920deee300153d681f41bd09970","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583805940946266","authorIdStr":"3583805940946266"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SBUX\">$Starbucks(SBUX)$</a>yup","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SBUX\">$Starbucks(SBUX)$</a>yup","text":"$Starbucks(SBUX)$yup","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/80d6b0398ae8c9e888e7e3ccbf189147","width":"1170","height":"2532"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9063416649","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":49,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9063411655,"gmtCreate":1651505799389,"gmtModify":1676534917896,"author":{"id":"3583805940946266","authorId":"3583805940946266","name":"dlzy900","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a9296920deee300153d681f41bd09970","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583805940946266","authorIdStr":"3583805940946266"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"yes","listText":"yes","text":"yes","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9063411655","repostId":"1162789970","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1162789970","pubTimestamp":1651503578,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1162789970?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-02 22:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"An Incredible Stock Market Money-Making Opportunity Is Fast Approaching","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1162789970","media":"investorplace","summary":"Absolutely.The Ultra-Rare Stock Market PhenomenonOver the past several months, my team and I have studied the intricacies of stock market crashes throughout modern history. And we discovered something amazing.Specifically, we’ve discovered an ultra-rare stock market phenomenon that occurs about once every 10 years. And it consistently provides the best buying opportunities in the history of the U.S. stock market.Moreover, we’ve figured out how to quantitatively identify this anomaly. Better yet,","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>It’s been a<i>wild</i>year for stocks, huh? There’s a lot of fear swirling in the stock market, not least of which is a looming recession. But what if I told you all this volatility is creatingthe money-making opportunity of the century?</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/77e330a44fc7c5ce2d8e0a9a29e1c767\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"169\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Source: Zakharchuk / Shutterstock</p><p>You’d look at me funny, quite skeptical. And that’s fine. Just don’t disregard it — because I have ton of data to prove that claim. Today we’re on the cusp of the biggest investment opportunity in the stock market…<i>ever</i>.</p><p>Yes, I’m aware of all the problems the world is facing today. There’s decades-high inflation and a U.S. Federal Reserve that’s embarking on the most aggressive tightening path since the 1970s. A war in Europe has begun for the first time since World War II. The highest gas and grocery prices are hitting us square in the wallet. There are more Covid-19 lockdowns in China, and the stock market’s had its worst start to a year since 1942.</p><p>Talk about unusual. Talk about volatility. It’s downright scary.</p><p>Against that backdrop, I wouldn’t blame you for wanting to run for the hills and take cover from the storm. But the great Warren Buffett once said that it’s oftenn <b>best to be greedy when others are fearful</b>.</p><p>And everyone’s fearful right now. The percentage of bullish individual U.S. investors sits at 16.4% today. That’s its lowest reading since 1992. It means investors are less bullish today than during the Covid-19 pandemic, financial crisis of 2008 and the dot-com crash. Let that sink in for a moment.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89e8273ca24e000756e14058c9d4389e\" tg-width=\"624\" tg-height=\"391\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>There’s nothing but fear out there. And Buffett would tell us to get greedy here. Should we heed those words of advice?</p><p><b>Absolutely</b>.</p><h2>The Ultra-Rare Stock Market Phenomenon</h2><p>Over the past several months, my team and I have studied the intricacies of stock market crashes throughout modern history. And we discovered something amazing.</p><p>Specifically, we’ve discovered an ultra-rare stock market phenomenon that occurs about once every 10 years. And it consistently provides the best buying opportunities in the history of the U.S. stock market.</p><p>Moreover, we’ve figured out how to quantitatively identify this anomaly. Better yet, we’ve engineered a way to best take advantage of it to rake in massive profits.</p><p>Well, folks, guess what’s happening right now?</p><p><b>This ultra-rare market phenomenon is emerging right now.</b>And our models are flashing bright “buy” signals as the window of opportunity to capitalize on it is rapidly approaching.</p><p>I know. That may sound counterintuitive, given what’s going in the markets right now.</p><p>But I’m staking my career on this claim — because it’s not an opinion. It’s a fact backed by data, history, statistics and mathematics. It’s backed by the biggest market phenomenon in history.</p><p>So, I repeat:<u>We stand on the cusp of an opportunity of a lifetime</u>.</p><p>By now, you’re probably thinking,<i>OK, Luke, you have my attention. But where’s this proof?</i></p><p>I’m glad you asked because I have lots of that. Let’s take a deep look.</p><h2>Stock Prices Follow Fundamentals</h2><p>To understand the unique occurrence my team and I have identified, we need to first recognize stocks’ behavior pattern.</p><p>In the short-term, stocks are driven by a myriad of factors, like geopolitics, interest rates, inflation, elections, recession fears. The list goes on.</p><p>However, in the long-term, stocks are driven by one thing and one thing only: <b>fundamentals</b>.</p><p>At the end of the day, revenues and earnings drive stock prices. If those fundamentals trend upward over time, then a company’s stock price will follow suit and rise. Conversely, if revenues and earnings trend downward, then the stock price will drop.</p><p>That may sound like an oversimplification. But, honestly, it’s not.</p><p>Just look at the following chart. It graphs the earnings per share of the <b>S&amp;P 500</b>(blue) alongside the stock price (orange) from 1988 to 2022.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2764df0b2dda9b90a3acb18f4a2e1a33\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"611\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>As you can see, the blue line (earnings per share) lines up almost perfectly with the orange (price). The two could not be more strongly correlated. Indeed, the mathematical correlation between them is <b>0.93</b>. That’s incredibly strong. A perfect correlation is one. And a perfect anti-correlation is negative one.</p><p>Therefore, <b>the correlation between earnings and stock prices is about as perfectly correlated as anything gets in the real world</b>.</p><p>In other words, you can forget the Fed. You can forget inflation. You can forget geopolitics, trade wars, recessions, depressions and financial crises.</p><p>We’ve seen all that over the past 35 years. And through it all, the correlation between earnings and stock prices never broke or even faltered at all.</p><p>At the end of the day, earnings drive stock prices. History is clear on that. In fact, mathematically speaking, history is as clear on that as it is on anything.</p><h2>Great Divergences Create Great Opportunities</h2><p>The phenomenon my team and I have identified has to do with this correlation. In fact, it has to do with a “break” in this correlation.</p><p>Every once in a while — about once a decade — a rare anomaly emerges in the stock market there earnings and revenues temporarily<i>stop</i>driving stock prices.</p><p>We call this a “divergence.”</p><p>During these occurrences, companies see revenues and earnings rise, yet stock prices temporarily collapse due to macroeconomic fears. The result is that a company’s stock price diverges from its fundamental growth trend.</p><p>Every time these rare divergences emerge, they turn into generational buying opportunities wherein stock prices snap back to fundamental growth trends.</p><p>This has happened time and again throughout the history of the markets.</p><p>It happened in the <b>late 1980s</b>during the Savings and Loan crisis. High-quality growth companies like <b>Microsoft</b>(<b><u>MSFT</u></b>) saw stock prices collapse while revenues and earnings kept rising. Investors who capitalized on this divergence doubled their money in a year. And on average, they scored a jaw-dropping ~40,000% returns in the long run.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed939f9572e720344767acb3fd52ecc0\" tg-width=\"624\" tg-height=\"351\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>It happened again in the <b>early 2000s</b> after the dot-com crash. High-quality growth companies like <b>Amazon</b>(<b><u>AMZN</u></b>) saw stock prices plunge in the crash. But revenues and earnings kept rising. Investors who capitalized on this divergence more than doubled their money in a year. And they scored more than 20,000% returns in the long term.</p><p>And it happened during the financial crisis of <b>2008</b>. High-quality growth companies like <b>Salesforce</b>(<b><u>CRM</u></b>) saw stock prices collapse, while revenues and earnings kept rising. Investors who capitalized on this divergence almost tripled their money in year and hit 10X returns in just five years.</p><p>This is the most profitable repeating pattern in stock market history. And it’s happening again now for the first time in 14 years.</p><p>Volatility Creates Opportunity</p><p>Market volatility always creates market opportunity.</p><p>So, over the past six months of the market’s wild gyrations, we’ve made it our priority to research this volatility. We sought to develop a stock-picking strategy to make tons of money in unpredictable markets.</p><p>That led us to making the biggest discovery in<i>InvestorPlace</i>history: <b>the existence of rare divergence windows</b>.</p><p>These windows only appear about once a decade amid peak market volatility. They open for very brief moments in time — and only in certain stocks. But if you capitalize on them by buying the right stocks at the right moment, you can make huge gains. And you can do that while everyone else is struggling to survive in a choppy market.</p><p>Indeed, these divergence windows give you a real shot at turning $10,000 investments into multi-million-dollar paydays.</p><p>The more we researched these divergences, the more excited we became.</p><p>And then we made the biggest discovery of them all:A brand-new divergence is forming<i>right now</i>.</p><p>Final Word on the Greatest Stock Market Phenomenon</p><p>Our models indicate this is the biggest divergence ever. That means the potential profits to be made from it are going to be the biggest ever, too.</p><p><b>But timing is of the essence here.</b></p><p>The huge multi-thousand-percent gains made during previous divergences were only possible if you bought the<i>right</i>stocks at exactly the<i>right</i>time.</p><p>And it’s just not exactly the right time yet…</p><p>But our models are indicating that it could be any moment now. In fact, as I write this, our models are moving ever closer to flashing the perfect “buy” signal.</p><p>So, to keep you updated, we’ve started a <b><u>Divergence 2022 Watch list</u></b>.</p><p>We highly suggest you sign up for it today. After you do, I’ll send youall the information I have on these divergences. I’ll show you all the charts and the data. I’ll very clearly illustrate the opportunity here.</p><p>Most importantly, you’ll be put on a VIP list. And as soon as our models tell us the divergence window has opened, you’ll be the first to hear!</p><p>Again, that could happen any day now. And when it does, you’ll be presented with the rarest opportunity to score huge returns in stock market history.</p><p>This is the most excited I’ve ever been in my career. We’re days away from being presented the financial opportunity of a lifetime.</p><p>Get in on this incoming wave of wealth, and I’ll ensure you don’t miss it.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>An Incredible Stock Market Money-Making Opportunity Is Fast Approaching</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAn Incredible Stock Market Money-Making Opportunity Is Fast Approaching\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-05-02 22:59 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://investorplace.com/hypergrowthinvesting/2022/04/an-incredible-stock-market-money-making-opportunity-is-fast-approaching/><strong>investorplace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>It’s been awildyear for stocks, huh? There’s a lot of fear swirling in the stock market, not least of which is a looming recession. But what if I told you all this volatility is creatingthe money-...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/hypergrowthinvesting/2022/04/an-incredible-stock-market-money-making-opportunity-is-fast-approaching/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/hypergrowthinvesting/2022/04/an-incredible-stock-market-money-making-opportunity-is-fast-approaching/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1162789970","content_text":"It’s been awildyear for stocks, huh? There’s a lot of fear swirling in the stock market, not least of which is a looming recession. But what if I told you all this volatility is creatingthe money-making opportunity of the century?Source: Zakharchuk / ShutterstockYou’d look at me funny, quite skeptical. And that’s fine. Just don’t disregard it — because I have ton of data to prove that claim. Today we’re on the cusp of the biggest investment opportunity in the stock market…ever.Yes, I’m aware of all the problems the world is facing today. There’s decades-high inflation and a U.S. Federal Reserve that’s embarking on the most aggressive tightening path since the 1970s. A war in Europe has begun for the first time since World War II. The highest gas and grocery prices are hitting us square in the wallet. There are more Covid-19 lockdowns in China, and the stock market’s had its worst start to a year since 1942.Talk about unusual. Talk about volatility. It’s downright scary.Against that backdrop, I wouldn’t blame you for wanting to run for the hills and take cover from the storm. But the great Warren Buffett once said that it’s oftenn best to be greedy when others are fearful.And everyone’s fearful right now. The percentage of bullish individual U.S. investors sits at 16.4% today. That’s its lowest reading since 1992. It means investors are less bullish today than during the Covid-19 pandemic, financial crisis of 2008 and the dot-com crash. Let that sink in for a moment.There’s nothing but fear out there. And Buffett would tell us to get greedy here. Should we heed those words of advice?Absolutely.The Ultra-Rare Stock Market PhenomenonOver the past several months, my team and I have studied the intricacies of stock market crashes throughout modern history. And we discovered something amazing.Specifically, we’ve discovered an ultra-rare stock market phenomenon that occurs about once every 10 years. And it consistently provides the best buying opportunities in the history of the U.S. stock market.Moreover, we’ve figured out how to quantitatively identify this anomaly. Better yet, we’ve engineered a way to best take advantage of it to rake in massive profits.Well, folks, guess what’s happening right now?This ultra-rare market phenomenon is emerging right now.And our models are flashing bright “buy” signals as the window of opportunity to capitalize on it is rapidly approaching.I know. That may sound counterintuitive, given what’s going in the markets right now.But I’m staking my career on this claim — because it’s not an opinion. It’s a fact backed by data, history, statistics and mathematics. It’s backed by the biggest market phenomenon in history.So, I repeat:We stand on the cusp of an opportunity of a lifetime.By now, you’re probably thinking,OK, Luke, you have my attention. But where’s this proof?I’m glad you asked because I have lots of that. Let’s take a deep look.Stock Prices Follow FundamentalsTo understand the unique occurrence my team and I have identified, we need to first recognize stocks’ behavior pattern.In the short-term, stocks are driven by a myriad of factors, like geopolitics, interest rates, inflation, elections, recession fears. The list goes on.However, in the long-term, stocks are driven by one thing and one thing only: fundamentals.At the end of the day, revenues and earnings drive stock prices. If those fundamentals trend upward over time, then a company’s stock price will follow suit and rise. Conversely, if revenues and earnings trend downward, then the stock price will drop.That may sound like an oversimplification. But, honestly, it’s not.Just look at the following chart. It graphs the earnings per share of the S&P 500(blue) alongside the stock price (orange) from 1988 to 2022.As you can see, the blue line (earnings per share) lines up almost perfectly with the orange (price). The two could not be more strongly correlated. Indeed, the mathematical correlation between them is 0.93. That’s incredibly strong. A perfect correlation is one. And a perfect anti-correlation is negative one.Therefore, the correlation between earnings and stock prices is about as perfectly correlated as anything gets in the real world.In other words, you can forget the Fed. You can forget inflation. You can forget geopolitics, trade wars, recessions, depressions and financial crises.We’ve seen all that over the past 35 years. And through it all, the correlation between earnings and stock prices never broke or even faltered at all.At the end of the day, earnings drive stock prices. History is clear on that. In fact, mathematically speaking, history is as clear on that as it is on anything.Great Divergences Create Great OpportunitiesThe phenomenon my team and I have identified has to do with this correlation. In fact, it has to do with a “break” in this correlation.Every once in a while — about once a decade — a rare anomaly emerges in the stock market there earnings and revenues temporarilystopdriving stock prices.We call this a “divergence.”During these occurrences, companies see revenues and earnings rise, yet stock prices temporarily collapse due to macroeconomic fears. The result is that a company’s stock price diverges from its fundamental growth trend.Every time these rare divergences emerge, they turn into generational buying opportunities wherein stock prices snap back to fundamental growth trends.This has happened time and again throughout the history of the markets.It happened in the late 1980sduring the Savings and Loan crisis. High-quality growth companies like Microsoft(MSFT) saw stock prices collapse while revenues and earnings kept rising. Investors who capitalized on this divergence doubled their money in a year. And on average, they scored a jaw-dropping ~40,000% returns in the long run.It happened again in the early 2000s after the dot-com crash. High-quality growth companies like Amazon(AMZN) saw stock prices plunge in the crash. But revenues and earnings kept rising. Investors who capitalized on this divergence more than doubled their money in a year. And they scored more than 20,000% returns in the long term.And it happened during the financial crisis of 2008. High-quality growth companies like Salesforce(CRM) saw stock prices collapse, while revenues and earnings kept rising. Investors who capitalized on this divergence almost tripled their money in year and hit 10X returns in just five years.This is the most profitable repeating pattern in stock market history. And it’s happening again now for the first time in 14 years.Volatility Creates OpportunityMarket volatility always creates market opportunity.So, over the past six months of the market’s wild gyrations, we’ve made it our priority to research this volatility. We sought to develop a stock-picking strategy to make tons of money in unpredictable markets.That led us to making the biggest discovery inInvestorPlacehistory: the existence of rare divergence windows.These windows only appear about once a decade amid peak market volatility. They open for very brief moments in time — and only in certain stocks. But if you capitalize on them by buying the right stocks at the right moment, you can make huge gains. And you can do that while everyone else is struggling to survive in a choppy market.Indeed, these divergence windows give you a real shot at turning $10,000 investments into multi-million-dollar paydays.The more we researched these divergences, the more excited we became.And then we made the biggest discovery of them all:A brand-new divergence is formingright now.Final Word on the Greatest Stock Market PhenomenonOur models indicate this is the biggest divergence ever. That means the potential profits to be made from it are going to be the biggest ever, too.But timing is of the essence here.The huge multi-thousand-percent gains made during previous divergences were only possible if you bought therightstocks at exactly therighttime.And it’s just not exactly the right time yet…But our models are indicating that it could be any moment now. In fact, as I write this, our models are moving ever closer to flashing the perfect “buy” signal.So, to keep you updated, we’ve started a Divergence 2022 Watch list.We highly suggest you sign up for it today. After you do, I’ll send youall the information I have on these divergences. I’ll show you all the charts and the data. I’ll very clearly illustrate the opportunity here.Most importantly, you’ll be put on a VIP list. And as soon as our models tell us the divergence window has opened, you’ll be the first to hear!Again, that could happen any day now. And when it does, you’ll be presented with the rarest opportunity to score huge returns in stock market history.This is the most excited I’ve ever been in my career. We’re days away from being presented the financial opportunity of a lifetime.Get in on this incoming wave of wealth, and I’ll ensure you don’t miss it.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":40,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9063398652,"gmtCreate":1651401318610,"gmtModify":1676534901527,"author":{"id":"3583805940946266","authorId":"3583805940946266","name":"dlzy900","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a9296920deee300153d681f41bd09970","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583805940946266","authorIdStr":"3583805940946266"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SBUX\">$Starbucks(SBUX)$</a>yes","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SBUX\">$Starbucks(SBUX)$</a>yes","text":"$Starbucks(SBUX)$yes","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f77faa9ce6504d7e64cf462328c35c11","width":"1170","height":"2292"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9063398652","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":45,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9063391430,"gmtCreate":1651401202218,"gmtModify":1676534901504,"author":{"id":"3583805940946266","authorId":"3583805940946266","name":"dlzy900","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a9296920deee300153d681f41bd09970","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583805940946266","authorIdStr":"3583805940946266"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"yes","listText":"yes","text":"yes","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9063391430","repostId":"2232273392","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2232273392","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1651372684,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2232273392?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-01 10:38","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why did Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway Spend Billions on Chevron? Look at \"Shareholder Yield\"","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2232273392","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"There is a cottage industry on Wall Street predicting what would Warren would buy. That, of course, ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>There is a cottage industry on Wall Street predicting what would Warren would buy. That, of course, refers to <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BRK.A\">Berkshire Hathaway </a> Chairman and CEO Warren Buffett, one of the most successful investors in history.</p><p>This year, amid stormy investing seas, Buffett seems to be focusing on shareholder yield. Other investors might want to pay attention to that value-investing metric.</p><p>New Buffett-buying speculation sprouts in May, right around Berkshire&#39;s annual meeting in Omaha, Neb. This year&#39;s speculation is swirling around energy stocks after a note in the company&#39;s first quarter financial filing about a big investment in oil giant <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVX\">Chevron</a>.</p><p>&#34;Approximately 66% of the aggregate fair value was concentrated in four companies,&#34; reads Berkshire&#39;s 10-Q report. &#34; American Express Company, $28.4 billion; Apple Inc., $159.1 billion; Bank of America Corporation, $42.6 billion and Chevron Corporation, $25.9 billion.&#34; Chevron is a surprise number four. It looks as if Berkshire added about 120 million shares of Chevron in the quarter.</p><p>Buffett likes oil these days. Oil prices are up, but a reason he likes the stocks likely is more about how companies are spending their free cash flow. Chevron is giving more of its cash flow back to shareholders instead of investing it.</p><p>Buffett, answering an annual meeting question about equity purchases in the first quarter, also cited Occidental Petroleum <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OXY\">$(OXY)$</a>, saying its capital return plan was simple and made sense. Berkshire is the largest holder of Occidental stock.</p><p>Occidental pays a 13-cent quarterly dividend, which works out to about yield of almost 1%. The company also plans to buy back about $3 billion worth of its own stock over the coming few quarters. The dividend and buyback, at roughly $3.5 billion, are consuming about half of the company&#39;s free cash flow. Most of the remaining cash is going toward debt reduction.</p><p>Occidental&#39;s total shareholder yield, which can be defined as dividends and buybacks divided by a company&#39;s market capitalization, is about 7%. Chevron&#39;s total shareholder yield, based on the first- quarter repurchase of stock, is about 5%.</p><p>About one third of the nonfinancial companies in the S&amp;P 500 have a total shareholder yield of greater than 5%, based on numbers reported over the past 12 months. That&#39;s roughly 120 firms and gives investors a lot to choose from.</p><p>Two other oil-and-gas companies with shareholder yields greater than 5%: Marathon Petroleum <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MPC\">$(MPC)$</a> at about 13% and APA <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/APA\">$(APA)$</a> at about 6%.</p><p>The top defense company, based on a screen of S&amp;P 500 stocks, is L3Harris Technologies <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LHX\">$(LHX)$</a>, with a shareholder yield of about 9%. One of the top industrial firms is engine make Cummins <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CMI\">$(CMI)$</a> at about 8%. A handful of chemical producers sport attractive yields, including DuPont de Nemours <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DD\">$(DD)$</a>, Dow Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DOW\">$(DOW)$</a> and Celanese <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CE\">$(CE)$</a>.</p><p>It isn&#39;t just old-economy companies. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">Meta Platforms</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EBAY\">eBay</a> have yields 10% and 26%, respectively. ( eBay bought back about $7.2 billion worth of stock over the past 12 months.)</p><p>Logistic giant <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FDX\">FedEx</a>, which trades for just 9 times calendar year 2022 estimated earnings, has a shareholder yield of about 6%. And home-improvement retailers <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HD\">Home Depot</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LOW\">Lowe&#39;s</a> come in at about 12% and 7%, respectively.</p><p>A screen isn&#39;t a substitute for a more thorough investigation of a company and its stock. But Buffett&#39;s approach can help investors in uncertain times.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why did Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway Spend Billions on Chevron? Look at \"Shareholder Yield\"</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy did Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway Spend Billions on Chevron? Look at \"Shareholder Yield\"\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-05-01 10:38</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>There is a cottage industry on Wall Street predicting what would Warren would buy. That, of course, refers to <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BRK.A\">Berkshire Hathaway </a> Chairman and CEO Warren Buffett, one of the most successful investors in history.</p><p>This year, amid stormy investing seas, Buffett seems to be focusing on shareholder yield. Other investors might want to pay attention to that value-investing metric.</p><p>New Buffett-buying speculation sprouts in May, right around Berkshire&#39;s annual meeting in Omaha, Neb. This year&#39;s speculation is swirling around energy stocks after a note in the company&#39;s first quarter financial filing about a big investment in oil giant <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVX\">Chevron</a>.</p><p>&#34;Approximately 66% of the aggregate fair value was concentrated in four companies,&#34; reads Berkshire&#39;s 10-Q report. &#34; American Express Company, $28.4 billion; Apple Inc., $159.1 billion; Bank of America Corporation, $42.6 billion and Chevron Corporation, $25.9 billion.&#34; Chevron is a surprise number four. It looks as if Berkshire added about 120 million shares of Chevron in the quarter.</p><p>Buffett likes oil these days. Oil prices are up, but a reason he likes the stocks likely is more about how companies are spending their free cash flow. Chevron is giving more of its cash flow back to shareholders instead of investing it.</p><p>Buffett, answering an annual meeting question about equity purchases in the first quarter, also cited Occidental Petroleum <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OXY\">$(OXY)$</a>, saying its capital return plan was simple and made sense. Berkshire is the largest holder of Occidental stock.</p><p>Occidental pays a 13-cent quarterly dividend, which works out to about yield of almost 1%. The company also plans to buy back about $3 billion worth of its own stock over the coming few quarters. The dividend and buyback, at roughly $3.5 billion, are consuming about half of the company&#39;s free cash flow. Most of the remaining cash is going toward debt reduction.</p><p>Occidental&#39;s total shareholder yield, which can be defined as dividends and buybacks divided by a company&#39;s market capitalization, is about 7%. Chevron&#39;s total shareholder yield, based on the first- quarter repurchase of stock, is about 5%.</p><p>About one third of the nonfinancial companies in the S&amp;P 500 have a total shareholder yield of greater than 5%, based on numbers reported over the past 12 months. That&#39;s roughly 120 firms and gives investors a lot to choose from.</p><p>Two other oil-and-gas companies with shareholder yields greater than 5%: Marathon Petroleum <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MPC\">$(MPC)$</a> at about 13% and APA <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/APA\">$(APA)$</a> at about 6%.</p><p>The top defense company, based on a screen of S&amp;P 500 stocks, is L3Harris Technologies <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LHX\">$(LHX)$</a>, with a shareholder yield of about 9%. One of the top industrial firms is engine make Cummins <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CMI\">$(CMI)$</a> at about 8%. A handful of chemical producers sport attractive yields, including DuPont de Nemours <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DD\">$(DD)$</a>, Dow Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DOW\">$(DOW)$</a> and Celanese <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CE\">$(CE)$</a>.</p><p>It isn&#39;t just old-economy companies. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">Meta Platforms</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EBAY\">eBay</a> have yields 10% and 26%, respectively. ( eBay bought back about $7.2 billion worth of stock over the past 12 months.)</p><p>Logistic giant <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FDX\">FedEx</a>, which trades for just 9 times calendar year 2022 estimated earnings, has a shareholder yield of about 6%. And home-improvement retailers <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HD\">Home Depot</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LOW\">Lowe&#39;s</a> come in at about 12% and 7%, respectively.</p><p>A screen isn&#39;t a substitute for a more thorough investigation of a company and its stock. But Buffett&#39;s approach can help investors in uncertain times.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4566":"资本集团","BK4570":"地缘局势概念股","OXY":"西方石油","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","FDX":"联邦快递"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2232273392","content_text":"There is a cottage industry on Wall Street predicting what would Warren would buy. That, of course, refers to Berkshire Hathaway  Chairman and CEO Warren Buffett, one of the most successful investors in history.This year, amid stormy investing seas, Buffett seems to be focusing on shareholder yield. Other investors might want to pay attention to that value-investing metric.New Buffett-buying speculation sprouts in May, right around Berkshire's annual meeting in Omaha, Neb. This year's speculation is swirling around energy stocks after a note in the company's first quarter financial filing about a big investment in oil giant Chevron.\"Approximately 66% of the aggregate fair value was concentrated in four companies,\" reads Berkshire's 10-Q report. \" American Express Company, $28.4 billion; Apple Inc., $159.1 billion; Bank of America Corporation, $42.6 billion and Chevron Corporation, $25.9 billion.\" Chevron is a surprise number four. It looks as if Berkshire added about 120 million shares of Chevron in the quarter.Buffett likes oil these days. Oil prices are up, but a reason he likes the stocks likely is more about how companies are spending their free cash flow. Chevron is giving more of its cash flow back to shareholders instead of investing it.Buffett, answering an annual meeting question about equity purchases in the first quarter, also cited Occidental Petroleum $(OXY)$, saying its capital return plan was simple and made sense. Berkshire is the largest holder of Occidental stock.Occidental pays a 13-cent quarterly dividend, which works out to about yield of almost 1%. The company also plans to buy back about $3 billion worth of its own stock over the coming few quarters. The dividend and buyback, at roughly $3.5 billion, are consuming about half of the company's free cash flow. Most of the remaining cash is going toward debt reduction.Occidental's total shareholder yield, which can be defined as dividends and buybacks divided by a company's market capitalization, is about 7%. Chevron's total shareholder yield, based on the first- quarter repurchase of stock, is about 5%.About one third of the nonfinancial companies in the S&P 500 have a total shareholder yield of greater than 5%, based on numbers reported over the past 12 months. That's roughly 120 firms and gives investors a lot to choose from.Two other oil-and-gas companies with shareholder yields greater than 5%: Marathon Petroleum $(MPC)$ at about 13% and APA $(APA)$ at about 6%.The top defense company, based on a screen of S&P 500 stocks, is L3Harris Technologies $(LHX)$, with a shareholder yield of about 9%. One of the top industrial firms is engine make Cummins $(CMI)$ at about 8%. A handful of chemical producers sport attractive yields, including DuPont de Nemours $(DD)$, Dow Inc. $(DOW)$ and Celanese $(CE)$.It isn't just old-economy companies. Meta Platforms and eBay have yields 10% and 26%, respectively. ( eBay bought back about $7.2 billion worth of stock over the past 12 months.)Logistic giant FedEx, which trades for just 9 times calendar year 2022 estimated earnings, has a shareholder yield of about 6%. And home-improvement retailers Home Depot and Lowe's come in at about 12% and 7%, respectively.A screen isn't a substitute for a more thorough investigation of a company and its stock. But Buffett's approach can help investors in uncertain times.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":141,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9069580349,"gmtCreate":1651313062505,"gmtModify":1676534888913,"author":{"id":"3583805940946266","authorId":"3583805940946266","name":"dlzy900","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a9296920deee300153d681f41bd09970","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583805940946266","authorIdStr":"3583805940946266"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>up","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>up","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$up","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b19dc54d674f9bbd0b35d6cc9e799587","width":"1125","height":"2832"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9069580349","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":84,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9069517849,"gmtCreate":1651312892619,"gmtModify":1676534888890,"author":{"id":"3583805940946266","authorId":"3583805940946266","name":"dlzy900","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a9296920deee300153d681f41bd09970","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583805940946266","authorIdStr":"3583805940946266"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SBUX\">$Starbucks(SBUX)$</a>okay","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SBUX\">$Starbucks(SBUX)$</a>okay","text":"$Starbucks(SBUX)$okay","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7f7273e7686e41c55095fe2bdf99b1d6","width":"1170","height":"2292"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9069517849","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9060518209,"gmtCreate":1651166071942,"gmtModify":1676534862375,"author":{"id":"3583805940946266","authorId":"3583805940946266","name":"dlzy900","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a9296920deee300153d681f41bd09970","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583805940946266","authorIdStr":"3583805940946266"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"yup","listText":"yup","text":"yup","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9060518209","repostId":"2230611412","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2230611412","pubTimestamp":1651149968,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2230611412?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-04-28 20:46","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Stocks That Could Be Worth More Than Tesla by 2030","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2230611412","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"These proven winners could surpass electric vehicle (EV) kingpin Tesla within eight years.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The stock market is more dynamic than you probably realize. History has consistently shown that, due to innovation and execution, today&#39;s largest publicly traded companies are unlikely to retain their pedestal position for a significant length of time.</p><p>As an example, just one of the 10 largest publicly traded companies in 1999 is still in the top 10 (<b>Microsoft</b>). Meanwhile, previous giants like <b>Intel</b>, <b>Nokia</b>, and <b>American International Group</b> have fallen far down the pecking order, in terms of market cap.</p><p>Chances are that electric vehicle (EV) kingpin <b>Tesla</b> will also be dethroned as one of the world&#39;s largest publicly traded companies.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://g.foolcdn.com/image/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fg.foolcdn.com%2Feditorial%2Fimages%2F675971%2Fsearching-for-stocks-with-magnifying-glass-getty.jpg&amp;w=700&amp;op=resize\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"462\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p><h2>Tesla is the fifth-largest publicly traded stock... for now</h2><p>As of the closing bell last week, a single share of Tesla would set an investor back more than $1,000, which equates to a hearty market cap of $1.04 trillion. That makes Tesla the fifth-largest publicly traded company in the U.S., and only the sixth to ever reach the $1 trillion valuation plateau.</p><p>There are certainly valid reasons why Tesla&#39;s shares have skyrocketed over the past decade. For instance, it&#39;s the first automaker in over five decades that built itself from the ground up and reached mass production. In the first quarter, Tesla produced more than 305,000 EVs and delivered just north of 310,000 EVs. That puts it on track to easily surpass 1 million EVs produced and delivered in 2022.</p><p>To add to this point, Tesla&#39;s first-quarter operating results featured its largest quarterly profit in history. Despite supply chain challenges, Tesla generated $3.32 billion in net income in Q1 2022, which was a 658% improvement from the prior-year period.</p><p>But there are also plenty of reasons to believe Tesla&#39;s market cap, which is equal to most auto stocks on a <i>combined basis</i>, is due for a reversion. Although the company has been riding competitive advantages with regard to production, power, range, and battery capacity, competition is beginning to catch up. For instance, a handful of EVs offer better range than Tesla&#39;s flagship sedans (the Model 3 and Model S).</p><p>Another point of concern is CEO Elon Musk. While there&#39;s no question he&#39;s a visionary, he&#39;s also an unwanted distraction at times. Musk has a habit of overpromising and under-delivering when it comes to the launch of new technology or new EVs, and his side projects arguably get in the way of overseeing Tesla&#39;s operations.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://g.foolcdn.com/image/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fg.foolcdn.com%2Feditorial%2Fimages%2F675971%2F17171920167_b5afce5167_k.jpg&amp;w=700&amp;op=resize\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Berkshire Hathaway CEO, Warren Buffett. Image source: The Motley Fool.</span></p><h2>These stocks could surpass Tesla over the next eight years</h2><p>In other words, there&#39;s a very real chance Tesla&#39;s valuation could deflate by 2030 and other publicly traded stocks could surpass it. What follows are three stocks that could be worth more than Tesla by the turn of the decade.</p><h2>The logical choice: Berkshire Hathaway</h2><p>The no-brainer choice to surpass Tesla in market cap by (or well before) 2030 is Warren Buffett&#39;s conglomerate, <b>Berkshire Hathaway</b>. Berkshire would need to gain about $300 billion in market cap to catch Tesla, as of this past weekend.</p><p>Historically, Buffett&#39;s company has been virtually unstoppable. Even though Berkshire Hathaway doesn&#39;t increase in value every year, Buffett has overseen an average annual return of better than 20% since taking the helm as CEO in 1965. Put another way, shareholders have doubled their money holding Berkshire Hathaway stock, on average, every 3.6 years for close to six decades.</p><p>One of the key reasons Berkshire Hathaway is such a success -- aside from being led by Warren Buffett -- is due to its investment portfolio being packed with cyclical companies. Cyclical businesses perform well when the U.S. and global economy are expanding and struggle when recessions arise. The thing is, recessions typically last for a few months or a couple of quarters, whereas economic expansions are often measured in years. Buffett and his investing team are playing a simple numbers game where patience is the not-so-secret ingredient to wealth-building.</p><p>Berkshire Hathaway is also raking in passive income. This year alone, Buffett&#39;s company is on pace to collect well north of $5 billion in dividend income. Over $4 billion in payouts will come from just a half-dozen holdings. This dividend income allows Berkshire to thrive in virtually any economic environment.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://g.foolcdn.com/image/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fg.foolcdn.com%2Feditorial%2Fimages%2F675971%2Fcredit-card-credit-score-debt-consumption-getty.jpg&amp;w=700&amp;op=resize\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"531\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p><h2>If everything went just right: <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/V\">Visa</a></h2><p>A second well-known stock that has all the tools necessary to surpass Tesla&#39;s market cap, but would need things to continue to go its way, is payment processor <b>Visa</b>. To leapfrog Tesla, Visa must make up a nearly $590 billion valuation gap.</p><p>Arguably the biggest challenge is going to be the emergence of blockchain technology, as well as the rise of digital payment platforms. Blockchain offers a way to circumvent banks and financial institutions to process payments quickly and cheaply. Visa is a payment processor on traditional merchant networks and will need payments to continue to flow through those channels if it&#39;s to have any chance of surpassing Tesla&#39;s market cap.</p><p>Similar to Berkshire Hathaway, Visa benefits from the cyclical nature of financial stocks. Since economic expansions last disproportionately longer than contractions and recessions, Visa spends most of its time benefiting from an increase in consumer and enterprise spending. In the U.S., the largest market for consumption in the world, Visa holds a 54% share of credit card network purchase volume, as of 2020.</p><p>Additionally, Visa acts purely as a payment processor and not a lender. Although lending would generate net interest income and fee revenue, it would also expose Visa to loan delinquencies during recessions. Since there&#39;s no loan exposure, there&#39;s no need for the company to set aside capital to cover possible losses during recessions. This is a big reason why Visa&#39;s profit margin is consistently above 50%.</p><p>With the majority of global transactions still being conducted in cash, Visa&#39;s growth runway remains robust.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://g.foolcdn.com/image/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fg.foolcdn.com%2Feditorial%2Fimages%2F675971%2Fsemiconductor-chip-equipment-5g-electronics-fab-wafer-manufacturing-getty.jpg&amp;w=700&amp;op=resize\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"393\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p><h2>The long shot: Broadcom</h2><p>Lastly, the long shot of the group to surpass Tesla&#39;s market cap by 2030 is semiconductor solutions company <b>Broadcom</b>. With a market cap of $240 billion, Broadcom would need to more than quadruple just to catch Tesla at its current valuation.</p><p>The reason I&#39;ve classified Broadcom as a &#34;long shot&#34; is the cyclical nature of the semiconductor industry. Even though periods of expansion handily outlast contractions and recessions, Wall Street has typically kept a low ceiling on price-to-earnings multiples for large chipmakers.</p><p>On the other hand, there are multiple avenues for Broadcom to generate high-single-digit to low-double-digit annual sales growth throughout the decade. Currently, it generates the bulk of its revenue from wireless chips and assorted solutions used in next-generation smartphones. Telecom companies upgrading wireless infrastructure to 5G should lead to a multiyear device replacement cycle that keeps demand and pricing power high for Broadcom&#39;s smartphone solutions.</p><p>However, it&#39;s the company&#39;s ancillary opportunities that could hold the key to surpassing Tesla. For example, Broadcom supplies connectivity and access chips used in data centers. With businesses shifting their data and that of their clients into the cloud at an accelerated pace in the wake of the pandemic, data center demand shouldn&#39;t slow anytime soon. Broadcom supplies chips used in next-gen vehicles, too.</p><p>A final factor working in Broadcom&#39;s favor is its historically high backlog of $14.9 billion. This is a company that&#39;s booking production well into 2023, according to CEO Hock Tan. If Broadcom can maintain a large backlog of orders, its operating cash flow and valuation can steadily increase.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Stocks That Could Be Worth More Than Tesla by 2030</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Stocks That Could Be Worth More Than Tesla by 2030\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-04-28 20:46 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/04/28/3-stocks-could-be-worth-more-than-tesla-by-2030/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The stock market is more dynamic than you probably realize. History has consistently shown that, due to innovation and execution, today's largest publicly traded companies are unlikely to retain their...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/04/28/3-stocks-could-be-worth-more-than-tesla-by-2030/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4581":"高盛持仓","BRK.A":"伯克希尔","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BK4574":"无人驾驶","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","AVGO":"博通","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4555":"新能源车","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","TSLA":"特斯拉","V":"Visa","BRK.B":"伯克希尔B"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/04/28/3-stocks-could-be-worth-more-than-tesla-by-2030/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2230611412","content_text":"The stock market is more dynamic than you probably realize. History has consistently shown that, due to innovation and execution, today's largest publicly traded companies are unlikely to retain their pedestal position for a significant length of time.As an example, just one of the 10 largest publicly traded companies in 1999 is still in the top 10 (Microsoft). Meanwhile, previous giants like Intel, Nokia, and American International Group have fallen far down the pecking order, in terms of market cap.Chances are that electric vehicle (EV) kingpin Tesla will also be dethroned as one of the world's largest publicly traded companies.Image source: Getty Images.Tesla is the fifth-largest publicly traded stock... for nowAs of the closing bell last week, a single share of Tesla would set an investor back more than $1,000, which equates to a hearty market cap of $1.04 trillion. That makes Tesla the fifth-largest publicly traded company in the U.S., and only the sixth to ever reach the $1 trillion valuation plateau.There are certainly valid reasons why Tesla's shares have skyrocketed over the past decade. For instance, it's the first automaker in over five decades that built itself from the ground up and reached mass production. In the first quarter, Tesla produced more than 305,000 EVs and delivered just north of 310,000 EVs. That puts it on track to easily surpass 1 million EVs produced and delivered in 2022.To add to this point, Tesla's first-quarter operating results featured its largest quarterly profit in history. Despite supply chain challenges, Tesla generated $3.32 billion in net income in Q1 2022, which was a 658% improvement from the prior-year period.But there are also plenty of reasons to believe Tesla's market cap, which is equal to most auto stocks on a combined basis, is due for a reversion. Although the company has been riding competitive advantages with regard to production, power, range, and battery capacity, competition is beginning to catch up. For instance, a handful of EVs offer better range than Tesla's flagship sedans (the Model 3 and Model S).Another point of concern is CEO Elon Musk. While there's no question he's a visionary, he's also an unwanted distraction at times. Musk has a habit of overpromising and under-delivering when it comes to the launch of new technology or new EVs, and his side projects arguably get in the way of overseeing Tesla's operations.Berkshire Hathaway CEO, Warren Buffett. Image source: The Motley Fool.These stocks could surpass Tesla over the next eight yearsIn other words, there's a very real chance Tesla's valuation could deflate by 2030 and other publicly traded stocks could surpass it. What follows are three stocks that could be worth more than Tesla by the turn of the decade.The logical choice: Berkshire HathawayThe no-brainer choice to surpass Tesla in market cap by (or well before) 2030 is Warren Buffett's conglomerate, Berkshire Hathaway. Berkshire would need to gain about $300 billion in market cap to catch Tesla, as of this past weekend.Historically, Buffett's company has been virtually unstoppable. Even though Berkshire Hathaway doesn't increase in value every year, Buffett has overseen an average annual return of better than 20% since taking the helm as CEO in 1965. Put another way, shareholders have doubled their money holding Berkshire Hathaway stock, on average, every 3.6 years for close to six decades.One of the key reasons Berkshire Hathaway is such a success -- aside from being led by Warren Buffett -- is due to its investment portfolio being packed with cyclical companies. Cyclical businesses perform well when the U.S. and global economy are expanding and struggle when recessions arise. The thing is, recessions typically last for a few months or a couple of quarters, whereas economic expansions are often measured in years. Buffett and his investing team are playing a simple numbers game where patience is the not-so-secret ingredient to wealth-building.Berkshire Hathaway is also raking in passive income. This year alone, Buffett's company is on pace to collect well north of $5 billion in dividend income. Over $4 billion in payouts will come from just a half-dozen holdings. This dividend income allows Berkshire to thrive in virtually any economic environment.Image source: Getty Images.If everything went just right: VisaA second well-known stock that has all the tools necessary to surpass Tesla's market cap, but would need things to continue to go its way, is payment processor Visa. To leapfrog Tesla, Visa must make up a nearly $590 billion valuation gap.Arguably the biggest challenge is going to be the emergence of blockchain technology, as well as the rise of digital payment platforms. Blockchain offers a way to circumvent banks and financial institutions to process payments quickly and cheaply. Visa is a payment processor on traditional merchant networks and will need payments to continue to flow through those channels if it's to have any chance of surpassing Tesla's market cap.Similar to Berkshire Hathaway, Visa benefits from the cyclical nature of financial stocks. Since economic expansions last disproportionately longer than contractions and recessions, Visa spends most of its time benefiting from an increase in consumer and enterprise spending. In the U.S., the largest market for consumption in the world, Visa holds a 54% share of credit card network purchase volume, as of 2020.Additionally, Visa acts purely as a payment processor and not a lender. Although lending would generate net interest income and fee revenue, it would also expose Visa to loan delinquencies during recessions. Since there's no loan exposure, there's no need for the company to set aside capital to cover possible losses during recessions. This is a big reason why Visa's profit margin is consistently above 50%.With the majority of global transactions still being conducted in cash, Visa's growth runway remains robust.Image source: Getty Images.The long shot: BroadcomLastly, the long shot of the group to surpass Tesla's market cap by 2030 is semiconductor solutions company Broadcom. With a market cap of $240 billion, Broadcom would need to more than quadruple just to catch Tesla at its current valuation.The reason I've classified Broadcom as a \"long shot\" is the cyclical nature of the semiconductor industry. Even though periods of expansion handily outlast contractions and recessions, Wall Street has typically kept a low ceiling on price-to-earnings multiples for large chipmakers.On the other hand, there are multiple avenues for Broadcom to generate high-single-digit to low-double-digit annual sales growth throughout the decade. Currently, it generates the bulk of its revenue from wireless chips and assorted solutions used in next-generation smartphones. Telecom companies upgrading wireless infrastructure to 5G should lead to a multiyear device replacement cycle that keeps demand and pricing power high for Broadcom's smartphone solutions.However, it's the company's ancillary opportunities that could hold the key to surpassing Tesla. For example, Broadcom supplies connectivity and access chips used in data centers. With businesses shifting their data and that of their clients into the cloud at an accelerated pace in the wake of the pandemic, data center demand shouldn't slow anytime soon. Broadcom supplies chips used in next-gen vehicles, too.A final factor working in Broadcom's favor is its historically high backlog of $14.9 billion. This is a company that's booking production well into 2023, according to CEO Hock Tan. If Broadcom can maintain a large backlog of orders, its operating cash flow and valuation can steadily increase.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":64,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9083658012,"gmtCreate":1650113935564,"gmtModify":1676534649948,"author":{"id":"3583805940946266","authorId":"3583805940946266","name":"dlzy900","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a9296920deee300153d681f41bd09970","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583805940946266","idStr":"3583805940946266"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"okay","listText":"okay","text":"okay","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9083658012","repostId":"1133070824","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1133070824","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1649399100,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1133070824?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-04-08 14:25","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Reminder: Holiday Trading Hours during Good Friday and Easter","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1133070824","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. stock markets will be closed Friday, April 15in observance of Good Friday.The New York Stock Exchange and the Nasdaq will resume normal trading hours on Monday.The Securities Industry and Financi","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. stock markets will be closed Friday, April 15 in observance of Good Friday.</p><p>The New York Stock Exchange and the Nasdaq will resume normal trading hours on Monday.</p><p>The Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association recommended the U.S. bond market close Friday. It also advised that the bond market shutter early on Thursday, April14 at 2 p.m. Eastern.</p><p>U.S. commodities markets including gold and oil futures also won&#39;t be open for trading Friday.</p><p>Singapore stock markets will also close on Good Friday.</p><p>Stock markets in Europe, Hong Kong and Australia will close on Good Friday and on Monday in observance of Easter.</p><p>A-shares (Northbound) will be closed to April 18 from April 14.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d9bbb655e7216a0c27a0cb94e0d0875\" tg-width=\"1482\" tg-height=\"1328\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Good Friday commemorates the crucifixion of Jesus Christ. It isn’t a federal holiday, which means businesses often stay open. Good Friday is the only time U.S. markets close for the day outside of federal holidays.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Reminder: Holiday Trading Hours during Good Friday and Easter</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nReminder: Holiday Trading Hours during Good Friday and Easter\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-04-08 14:25</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. stock markets will be closed Friday, April 15 in observance of Good Friday.</p><p>The New York Stock Exchange and the Nasdaq will resume normal trading hours on Monday.</p><p>The Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association recommended the U.S. bond market close Friday. It also advised that the bond market shutter early on Thursday, April14 at 2 p.m. Eastern.</p><p>U.S. commodities markets including gold and oil futures also won&#39;t be open for trading Friday.</p><p>Singapore stock markets will also close on Good Friday.</p><p>Stock markets in Europe, Hong Kong and Australia will close on Good Friday and on Monday in observance of Easter.</p><p>A-shares (Northbound) will be closed to April 18 from April 14.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d9bbb655e7216a0c27a0cb94e0d0875\" tg-width=\"1482\" tg-height=\"1328\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Good Friday commemorates the crucifixion of Jesus Christ. It isn’t a federal holiday, which means businesses often stay open. Good Friday is the only time U.S. markets close for the day outside of federal holidays.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1133070824","content_text":"U.S. stock markets will be closed Friday, April 15 in observance of Good Friday.The New York Stock Exchange and the Nasdaq will resume normal trading hours on Monday.The Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association recommended the U.S. bond market close Friday. It also advised that the bond market shutter early on Thursday, April14 at 2 p.m. Eastern.U.S. commodities markets including gold and oil futures also won't be open for trading Friday.Singapore stock markets will also close on Good Friday.Stock markets in Europe, Hong Kong and Australia will close on Good Friday and on Monday in observance of Easter.A-shares (Northbound) will be closed to April 18 from April 14.Good Friday commemorates the crucifixion of Jesus Christ. It isn’t a federal holiday, which means businesses often stay open. Good Friday is the only time U.S. markets close for the day outside of federal holidays.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":58,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9089134649,"gmtCreate":1649972001032,"gmtModify":1676534617187,"author":{"id":"3583805940946266","authorId":"3583805940946266","name":"dlzy900","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a9296920deee300153d681f41bd09970","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583805940946266","idStr":"3583805940946266"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"yup","listText":"yup","text":"yup","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9089134649","repostId":"1189220790","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1189220790","pubTimestamp":1649950525,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1189220790?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-04-14 23:35","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Tesla Shares Are Falling As Musk Launches Bid for Twitter Takeover","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1189220790","media":"Barron's","summary":"Tesla CEO Elon Musk offered to buy social media platform Twitter on Thursday. Tesla shares were falling as investors might be worried about distraction for Musk as Tesla ramps up production at the new","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Tesla CEO Elon Musk offered to buy social media platform Twitter on Thursday. Tesla shares were falling as investors might be worried about distraction for Musk as Tesla ramps up production at the new plant. Investors might also be worried about something else.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla </a> stock fell 3% in morning trading Thursday.</p><p>Twitter investors seem to be happy. Twitter stock has risen about 30% since Musk disclosed his stake in the social media platform. Tesla investors aren’t too happy. Tesla stock is down about 7% while the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq Composite are off about 2.2% and 4.3%, respectively.</p><p>Tesla stock is typically more volatile than the market. That’s one reason shares are down more. But Tesla investors might also be a little concerned about what Twitter means for Musk.</p><p>There is the possibility of distraction. Twitter might steal focus away from Musk during a time when EV sales are ramping up across the globe. Tesla is expected to see rapidly rising sales — and competition — in coming years.</p><p>The distraction might also be making investors consider who can run Tesla other than Musk. Roth Capital analyst Craig Irwin told Barron’s that Tesla is Musk and Musk is Tesla. He doesn’t believe there is another executive at the company that can drive Tesla forward like Musk can.</p><p>The other reason Tesla stock might be down is Musk might have to pay for Twitter with Tesla stock. Don’t forget Tesla stock dropped a quick 16% the two days following a Twitter poll Musk ran asking if he should sell 10% of his Tesla stake in order to pay taxes on unrealized capital gains.</p><p>The Twitter-verse said “yes” and Musk sold more than 15 million shares worth more than $16 billion. Tesla stock still hasn’t reached its pre-poll high of more than $1,200 a share. Tesla stock’s 52-week high, at $1,243.49, was set just a few days before the poll ran. Tesla stock is at about $1,009 in premarket trading.</p><p>Selling large blocks of stock can result in outsized price moves in any shares. It isn’t easy to place a lot of stock. At the offer price of $54.20, and accounting for what Musk already owns, buying Twitter would take roughly 39 million shares of Tesla. That’s a lot of stock.</p><p>Of course, perhaps Musk could buy Twitter without selling shares. He could borrow against his Twitter stake, with the loan secured with his Tesla position. That isn’t an unconventional idea. It would avoid outright selling of Tesla shares.</p><p>Tesla stock might also be down, because the idea that richest man in the world buying one of the largest social media platforms on the planet is hard for investors to fathom.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Tesla Shares Are Falling As Musk Launches Bid for Twitter Takeover</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Tesla Shares Are Falling As Musk Launches Bid for Twitter Takeover\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-04-14 23:35 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-tsla-stock-elon-musk-offers-to-buy-twitter-51649936184?mod=hp_LEAD_1_B_4><strong>Barron's</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Tesla CEO Elon Musk offered to buy social media platform Twitter on Thursday. Tesla shares were falling as investors might be worried about distraction for Musk as Tesla ramps up production at the new...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-tsla-stock-elon-musk-offers-to-buy-twitter-51649936184?mod=hp_LEAD_1_B_4\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TWTR":"Twitter","TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-tsla-stock-elon-musk-offers-to-buy-twitter-51649936184?mod=hp_LEAD_1_B_4","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1189220790","content_text":"Tesla CEO Elon Musk offered to buy social media platform Twitter on Thursday. Tesla shares were falling as investors might be worried about distraction for Musk as Tesla ramps up production at the new plant. Investors might also be worried about something else.Tesla  stock fell 3% in morning trading Thursday.Twitter investors seem to be happy. Twitter stock has risen about 30% since Musk disclosed his stake in the social media platform. Tesla investors aren’t too happy. Tesla stock is down about 7% while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite are off about 2.2% and 4.3%, respectively.Tesla stock is typically more volatile than the market. That’s one reason shares are down more. But Tesla investors might also be a little concerned about what Twitter means for Musk.There is the possibility of distraction. Twitter might steal focus away from Musk during a time when EV sales are ramping up across the globe. Tesla is expected to see rapidly rising sales — and competition — in coming years.The distraction might also be making investors consider who can run Tesla other than Musk. Roth Capital analyst Craig Irwin told Barron’s that Tesla is Musk and Musk is Tesla. He doesn’t believe there is another executive at the company that can drive Tesla forward like Musk can.The other reason Tesla stock might be down is Musk might have to pay for Twitter with Tesla stock. Don’t forget Tesla stock dropped a quick 16% the two days following a Twitter poll Musk ran asking if he should sell 10% of his Tesla stake in order to pay taxes on unrealized capital gains.The Twitter-verse said “yes” and Musk sold more than 15 million shares worth more than $16 billion. Tesla stock still hasn’t reached its pre-poll high of more than $1,200 a share. Tesla stock’s 52-week high, at $1,243.49, was set just a few days before the poll ran. Tesla stock is at about $1,009 in premarket trading.Selling large blocks of stock can result in outsized price moves in any shares. It isn’t easy to place a lot of stock. At the offer price of $54.20, and accounting for what Musk already owns, buying Twitter would take roughly 39 million shares of Tesla. That’s a lot of stock.Of course, perhaps Musk could buy Twitter without selling shares. He could borrow against his Twitter stake, with the loan secured with his Tesla position. That isn’t an unconventional idea. It would avoid outright selling of Tesla shares.Tesla stock might also be down, because the idea that richest man in the world buying one of the largest social media platforms on the planet is hard for investors to fathom.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9060518209,"gmtCreate":1651166071942,"gmtModify":1676534862375,"author":{"id":"3583805940946266","authorId":"3583805940946266","name":"dlzy900","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a9296920deee300153d681f41bd09970","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583805940946266","idStr":"3583805940946266"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"yup","listText":"yup","text":"yup","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9060518209","repostId":"2230611412","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2230611412","pubTimestamp":1651149968,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2230611412?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-04-28 20:46","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Stocks That Could Be Worth More Than Tesla by 2030","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2230611412","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"These proven winners could surpass electric vehicle (EV) kingpin Tesla within eight years.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The stock market is more dynamic than you probably realize. History has consistently shown that, due to innovation and execution, today&#39;s largest publicly traded companies are unlikely to retain their pedestal position for a significant length of time.</p><p>As an example, just one of the 10 largest publicly traded companies in 1999 is still in the top 10 (<b>Microsoft</b>). Meanwhile, previous giants like <b>Intel</b>, <b>Nokia</b>, and <b>American International Group</b> have fallen far down the pecking order, in terms of market cap.</p><p>Chances are that electric vehicle (EV) kingpin <b>Tesla</b> will also be dethroned as one of the world&#39;s largest publicly traded companies.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://g.foolcdn.com/image/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fg.foolcdn.com%2Feditorial%2Fimages%2F675971%2Fsearching-for-stocks-with-magnifying-glass-getty.jpg&amp;w=700&amp;op=resize\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"462\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p><h2>Tesla is the fifth-largest publicly traded stock... for now</h2><p>As of the closing bell last week, a single share of Tesla would set an investor back more than $1,000, which equates to a hearty market cap of $1.04 trillion. That makes Tesla the fifth-largest publicly traded company in the U.S., and only the sixth to ever reach the $1 trillion valuation plateau.</p><p>There are certainly valid reasons why Tesla&#39;s shares have skyrocketed over the past decade. For instance, it&#39;s the first automaker in over five decades that built itself from the ground up and reached mass production. In the first quarter, Tesla produced more than 305,000 EVs and delivered just north of 310,000 EVs. That puts it on track to easily surpass 1 million EVs produced and delivered in 2022.</p><p>To add to this point, Tesla&#39;s first-quarter operating results featured its largest quarterly profit in history. Despite supply chain challenges, Tesla generated $3.32 billion in net income in Q1 2022, which was a 658% improvement from the prior-year period.</p><p>But there are also plenty of reasons to believe Tesla&#39;s market cap, which is equal to most auto stocks on a <i>combined basis</i>, is due for a reversion. Although the company has been riding competitive advantages with regard to production, power, range, and battery capacity, competition is beginning to catch up. For instance, a handful of EVs offer better range than Tesla&#39;s flagship sedans (the Model 3 and Model S).</p><p>Another point of concern is CEO Elon Musk. While there&#39;s no question he&#39;s a visionary, he&#39;s also an unwanted distraction at times. Musk has a habit of overpromising and under-delivering when it comes to the launch of new technology or new EVs, and his side projects arguably get in the way of overseeing Tesla&#39;s operations.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://g.foolcdn.com/image/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fg.foolcdn.com%2Feditorial%2Fimages%2F675971%2F17171920167_b5afce5167_k.jpg&amp;w=700&amp;op=resize\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Berkshire Hathaway CEO, Warren Buffett. Image source: The Motley Fool.</span></p><h2>These stocks could surpass Tesla over the next eight years</h2><p>In other words, there&#39;s a very real chance Tesla&#39;s valuation could deflate by 2030 and other publicly traded stocks could surpass it. What follows are three stocks that could be worth more than Tesla by the turn of the decade.</p><h2>The logical choice: Berkshire Hathaway</h2><p>The no-brainer choice to surpass Tesla in market cap by (or well before) 2030 is Warren Buffett&#39;s conglomerate, <b>Berkshire Hathaway</b>. Berkshire would need to gain about $300 billion in market cap to catch Tesla, as of this past weekend.</p><p>Historically, Buffett&#39;s company has been virtually unstoppable. Even though Berkshire Hathaway doesn&#39;t increase in value every year, Buffett has overseen an average annual return of better than 20% since taking the helm as CEO in 1965. Put another way, shareholders have doubled their money holding Berkshire Hathaway stock, on average, every 3.6 years for close to six decades.</p><p>One of the key reasons Berkshire Hathaway is such a success -- aside from being led by Warren Buffett -- is due to its investment portfolio being packed with cyclical companies. Cyclical businesses perform well when the U.S. and global economy are expanding and struggle when recessions arise. The thing is, recessions typically last for a few months or a couple of quarters, whereas economic expansions are often measured in years. Buffett and his investing team are playing a simple numbers game where patience is the not-so-secret ingredient to wealth-building.</p><p>Berkshire Hathaway is also raking in passive income. This year alone, Buffett&#39;s company is on pace to collect well north of $5 billion in dividend income. Over $4 billion in payouts will come from just a half-dozen holdings. This dividend income allows Berkshire to thrive in virtually any economic environment.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://g.foolcdn.com/image/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fg.foolcdn.com%2Feditorial%2Fimages%2F675971%2Fcredit-card-credit-score-debt-consumption-getty.jpg&amp;w=700&amp;op=resize\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"531\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p><h2>If everything went just right: <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/V\">Visa</a></h2><p>A second well-known stock that has all the tools necessary to surpass Tesla&#39;s market cap, but would need things to continue to go its way, is payment processor <b>Visa</b>. To leapfrog Tesla, Visa must make up a nearly $590 billion valuation gap.</p><p>Arguably the biggest challenge is going to be the emergence of blockchain technology, as well as the rise of digital payment platforms. Blockchain offers a way to circumvent banks and financial institutions to process payments quickly and cheaply. Visa is a payment processor on traditional merchant networks and will need payments to continue to flow through those channels if it&#39;s to have any chance of surpassing Tesla&#39;s market cap.</p><p>Similar to Berkshire Hathaway, Visa benefits from the cyclical nature of financial stocks. Since economic expansions last disproportionately longer than contractions and recessions, Visa spends most of its time benefiting from an increase in consumer and enterprise spending. In the U.S., the largest market for consumption in the world, Visa holds a 54% share of credit card network purchase volume, as of 2020.</p><p>Additionally, Visa acts purely as a payment processor and not a lender. Although lending would generate net interest income and fee revenue, it would also expose Visa to loan delinquencies during recessions. Since there&#39;s no loan exposure, there&#39;s no need for the company to set aside capital to cover possible losses during recessions. This is a big reason why Visa&#39;s profit margin is consistently above 50%.</p><p>With the majority of global transactions still being conducted in cash, Visa&#39;s growth runway remains robust.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://g.foolcdn.com/image/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fg.foolcdn.com%2Feditorial%2Fimages%2F675971%2Fsemiconductor-chip-equipment-5g-electronics-fab-wafer-manufacturing-getty.jpg&amp;w=700&amp;op=resize\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"393\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p><h2>The long shot: Broadcom</h2><p>Lastly, the long shot of the group to surpass Tesla&#39;s market cap by 2030 is semiconductor solutions company <b>Broadcom</b>. With a market cap of $240 billion, Broadcom would need to more than quadruple just to catch Tesla at its current valuation.</p><p>The reason I&#39;ve classified Broadcom as a &#34;long shot&#34; is the cyclical nature of the semiconductor industry. Even though periods of expansion handily outlast contractions and recessions, Wall Street has typically kept a low ceiling on price-to-earnings multiples for large chipmakers.</p><p>On the other hand, there are multiple avenues for Broadcom to generate high-single-digit to low-double-digit annual sales growth throughout the decade. Currently, it generates the bulk of its revenue from wireless chips and assorted solutions used in next-generation smartphones. Telecom companies upgrading wireless infrastructure to 5G should lead to a multiyear device replacement cycle that keeps demand and pricing power high for Broadcom&#39;s smartphone solutions.</p><p>However, it&#39;s the company&#39;s ancillary opportunities that could hold the key to surpassing Tesla. For example, Broadcom supplies connectivity and access chips used in data centers. With businesses shifting their data and that of their clients into the cloud at an accelerated pace in the wake of the pandemic, data center demand shouldn&#39;t slow anytime soon. Broadcom supplies chips used in next-gen vehicles, too.</p><p>A final factor working in Broadcom&#39;s favor is its historically high backlog of $14.9 billion. This is a company that&#39;s booking production well into 2023, according to CEO Hock Tan. If Broadcom can maintain a large backlog of orders, its operating cash flow and valuation can steadily increase.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Stocks That Could Be Worth More Than Tesla by 2030</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Stocks That Could Be Worth More Than Tesla by 2030\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-04-28 20:46 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/04/28/3-stocks-could-be-worth-more-than-tesla-by-2030/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The stock market is more dynamic than you probably realize. History has consistently shown that, due to innovation and execution, today's largest publicly traded companies are unlikely to retain their...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/04/28/3-stocks-could-be-worth-more-than-tesla-by-2030/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4581":"高盛持仓","BRK.A":"伯克希尔","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BK4574":"无人驾驶","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","AVGO":"博通","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4555":"新能源车","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","TSLA":"特斯拉","V":"Visa","BRK.B":"伯克希尔B"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/04/28/3-stocks-could-be-worth-more-than-tesla-by-2030/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2230611412","content_text":"The stock market is more dynamic than you probably realize. History has consistently shown that, due to innovation and execution, today's largest publicly traded companies are unlikely to retain their pedestal position for a significant length of time.As an example, just one of the 10 largest publicly traded companies in 1999 is still in the top 10 (Microsoft). Meanwhile, previous giants like Intel, Nokia, and American International Group have fallen far down the pecking order, in terms of market cap.Chances are that electric vehicle (EV) kingpin Tesla will also be dethroned as one of the world's largest publicly traded companies.Image source: Getty Images.Tesla is the fifth-largest publicly traded stock... for nowAs of the closing bell last week, a single share of Tesla would set an investor back more than $1,000, which equates to a hearty market cap of $1.04 trillion. That makes Tesla the fifth-largest publicly traded company in the U.S., and only the sixth to ever reach the $1 trillion valuation plateau.There are certainly valid reasons why Tesla's shares have skyrocketed over the past decade. For instance, it's the first automaker in over five decades that built itself from the ground up and reached mass production. In the first quarter, Tesla produced more than 305,000 EVs and delivered just north of 310,000 EVs. That puts it on track to easily surpass 1 million EVs produced and delivered in 2022.To add to this point, Tesla's first-quarter operating results featured its largest quarterly profit in history. Despite supply chain challenges, Tesla generated $3.32 billion in net income in Q1 2022, which was a 658% improvement from the prior-year period.But there are also plenty of reasons to believe Tesla's market cap, which is equal to most auto stocks on a combined basis, is due for a reversion. Although the company has been riding competitive advantages with regard to production, power, range, and battery capacity, competition is beginning to catch up. For instance, a handful of EVs offer better range than Tesla's flagship sedans (the Model 3 and Model S).Another point of concern is CEO Elon Musk. While there's no question he's a visionary, he's also an unwanted distraction at times. Musk has a habit of overpromising and under-delivering when it comes to the launch of new technology or new EVs, and his side projects arguably get in the way of overseeing Tesla's operations.Berkshire Hathaway CEO, Warren Buffett. Image source: The Motley Fool.These stocks could surpass Tesla over the next eight yearsIn other words, there's a very real chance Tesla's valuation could deflate by 2030 and other publicly traded stocks could surpass it. What follows are three stocks that could be worth more than Tesla by the turn of the decade.The logical choice: Berkshire HathawayThe no-brainer choice to surpass Tesla in market cap by (or well before) 2030 is Warren Buffett's conglomerate, Berkshire Hathaway. Berkshire would need to gain about $300 billion in market cap to catch Tesla, as of this past weekend.Historically, Buffett's company has been virtually unstoppable. Even though Berkshire Hathaway doesn't increase in value every year, Buffett has overseen an average annual return of better than 20% since taking the helm as CEO in 1965. Put another way, shareholders have doubled their money holding Berkshire Hathaway stock, on average, every 3.6 years for close to six decades.One of the key reasons Berkshire Hathaway is such a success -- aside from being led by Warren Buffett -- is due to its investment portfolio being packed with cyclical companies. Cyclical businesses perform well when the U.S. and global economy are expanding and struggle when recessions arise. The thing is, recessions typically last for a few months or a couple of quarters, whereas economic expansions are often measured in years. Buffett and his investing team are playing a simple numbers game where patience is the not-so-secret ingredient to wealth-building.Berkshire Hathaway is also raking in passive income. This year alone, Buffett's company is on pace to collect well north of $5 billion in dividend income. Over $4 billion in payouts will come from just a half-dozen holdings. This dividend income allows Berkshire to thrive in virtually any economic environment.Image source: Getty Images.If everything went just right: VisaA second well-known stock that has all the tools necessary to surpass Tesla's market cap, but would need things to continue to go its way, is payment processor Visa. To leapfrog Tesla, Visa must make up a nearly $590 billion valuation gap.Arguably the biggest challenge is going to be the emergence of blockchain technology, as well as the rise of digital payment platforms. Blockchain offers a way to circumvent banks and financial institutions to process payments quickly and cheaply. Visa is a payment processor on traditional merchant networks and will need payments to continue to flow through those channels if it's to have any chance of surpassing Tesla's market cap.Similar to Berkshire Hathaway, Visa benefits from the cyclical nature of financial stocks. Since economic expansions last disproportionately longer than contractions and recessions, Visa spends most of its time benefiting from an increase in consumer and enterprise spending. In the U.S., the largest market for consumption in the world, Visa holds a 54% share of credit card network purchase volume, as of 2020.Additionally, Visa acts purely as a payment processor and not a lender. Although lending would generate net interest income and fee revenue, it would also expose Visa to loan delinquencies during recessions. Since there's no loan exposure, there's no need for the company to set aside capital to cover possible losses during recessions. This is a big reason why Visa's profit margin is consistently above 50%.With the majority of global transactions still being conducted in cash, Visa's growth runway remains robust.Image source: Getty Images.The long shot: BroadcomLastly, the long shot of the group to surpass Tesla's market cap by 2030 is semiconductor solutions company Broadcom. With a market cap of $240 billion, Broadcom would need to more than quadruple just to catch Tesla at its current valuation.The reason I've classified Broadcom as a \"long shot\" is the cyclical nature of the semiconductor industry. Even though periods of expansion handily outlast contractions and recessions, Wall Street has typically kept a low ceiling on price-to-earnings multiples for large chipmakers.On the other hand, there are multiple avenues for Broadcom to generate high-single-digit to low-double-digit annual sales growth throughout the decade. Currently, it generates the bulk of its revenue from wireless chips and assorted solutions used in next-generation smartphones. Telecom companies upgrading wireless infrastructure to 5G should lead to a multiyear device replacement cycle that keeps demand and pricing power high for Broadcom's smartphone solutions.However, it's the company's ancillary opportunities that could hold the key to surpassing Tesla. For example, Broadcom supplies connectivity and access chips used in data centers. With businesses shifting their data and that of their clients into the cloud at an accelerated pace in the wake of the pandemic, data center demand shouldn't slow anytime soon. Broadcom supplies chips used in next-gen vehicles, too.A final factor working in Broadcom's favor is its historically high backlog of $14.9 billion. This is a company that's booking production well into 2023, according to CEO Hock Tan. If Broadcom can maintain a large backlog of orders, its operating cash flow and valuation can steadily increase.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":64,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9084491638,"gmtCreate":1650897631897,"gmtModify":1676534811458,"author":{"id":"3583805940946266","authorId":"3583805940946266","name":"dlzy900","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a9296920deee300153d681f41bd09970","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583805940946266","idStr":"3583805940946266"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"okay","listText":"okay","text":"okay","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9084491638","repostId":"2230614999","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2230614999","pubTimestamp":1650890927,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2230614999?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-04-25 20:48","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple - Time To Take Another Bite","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2230614999","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"SummaryRecord quarterly revenues reported in the first quarter of 2022 are expected to be reported a","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Record quarterly revenues reported in the first quarter of 2022 are expected to be reported again in Q2 (quarter ending in March).</li><li>Apple is likely to announce another dividend increase and additional share buybacks in the Q2 earnings report.</li><li>Potential slowdowns in the June quarter due to China lockdowns and supply chain constraints may impact the share price in short-term but in long-term, the stock is a solid buy and hold.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ea532592996230e7f06219ea644f8da4\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"500\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Sam Diephuis/DigitalVision via Getty Images</span></p><p>If you are an investor in growth and technology stocks, you are probably wondering when the sentiment is going to turn back around in favor of those stocks as a long-term investment. Starting in the fall of 2021, many of the top growth and technology stocks have fallen in price by 10 to 30% or more as interest rates are expected to rise, supply chain issues have impacted semiconductor production, and inflation has driven up prices. The price of Apple, Inc (NASDAQ:AAPL) stock rose to a high of nearly $183 before dropping back down to the current price of $161.79 as of market close on 4/22/22.</p><p>With the company due to report earnings after the market close on Wednesday, April 27, investors will be looking for clues to forward guidance in light of the current bearish market environment. It is my opinion that Apple will once again surprise with an earnings beat, and at the same time are likely to announce a new product, such as an iCar (which they filed a patent on), or the AR/VR headset that is rumored to be on the horizon, that will once again shake up the marketplace and raise the stock to a new level.</p><p>Considering the fundamental, technical, and macroeconomic factors, as well as investor sentiment and favorable shareholder actions, all indications are that Apple is fairly priced today but still offers a good value for the long-term investor. I rate Apple a Buy ahead of earnings, especially if the price drops below $160 in the next few days ahead of the report. In this article I want to explain my reasoning by considering each of the factors.</p><p><b>Fundamentally Sound</b></p><p>The current EV/EBITDA ratio is near a recent low based on the past 3 years history, currently at 19.97. The last time it was much lower than that was in summer of 2020 as the stock was recovering from the March 2020 low.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/115a5774467bf3b71d1f9f1d7f592b0f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"236\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>AAPL 3-yr EV/EBITDA ratio (Seeking Alpha)</span></p><p>The forward P/E sits at about 26, which is slightly above the 5-year average, and slightly above the sector median. But Apple gets an A+ in Profitability based on SA quant factors, so the quality of earnings justifies the higher valuation. Apple is a cash flow machine with a net income margin of 26.5% and levered FCF margin of 21%. Operating cash flow growth is not too shabby either, at 26% YOY.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8883d2c7a307f223544fedb9ae128b31\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"427\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Profitability grades (Seeking Alpha)</span></p><p>Profitability grades (Seeking Alpha)Revenue growth YOY is at 28.6% and EBITDA growth YOY sits at a whopping 50.5%. The trend in consensus EPS revisions has been moving upward with 26 up revisions in the past 3 months and only 1 down revision along with 24 up revenue revisions and 1 down.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/38b4f7a69a160f1011888f5077728006\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"222\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Consensus EPS Revisions (Seeking Alpha)</span></p><p>With about $64B in cash and an enterprise value of over $2.6T, Apple is financially sound and fundamentally strong. Company management under Tim Cook has been excellent at capital allocation and in capitalizing on additional service revenues above and beyond the core product lines of iPhones, wearables, Macs, iPads, and other hardware devices. Winning an Oscar for best picture on Apple TV+ did not hurt their business either.</p><p>In January, the company reported an all-time revenue record reaching $123.9B for the FY22 first quarter, up 11% YOY. All-time highs were reached for iPhone, Mac, Wearables, and Services revenues in that quarter.</p><p><b>Technically Speaking</b></p><p>The chart for Apple has shown some resistance recently as the stock attempts to reach new highs. AAPL stock is currently trading below the 6-month moving average and is starting to look oversold. The Money Flow index and RSI both indicate that the stock is becoming somewhat oversold.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ccb51716a162d62f2cab44a7bb402e7f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"472\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>AAPL technical chart (TD Ameritrade)</span></p><p>Over the past 6 months AAPL stock has traded in a similar manner to the overall market and the technology sector (using XLK as a benchmark) but offering a higher return. The stock is finding support at the $150 level and could drop as low as that level before turning upward again if the earnings report is favorable, as I expect it will be.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/648f1a2d001c9cb72b6ceb8121641911\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"232\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>AAPL Stock chart (Seeking Alpha)</span></p><p>What About Rising Rates, Supply Chain Issues, and Inflation?</p><p>There is some speculation that rising interest rates could negatively impact Apple’s forward earnings. That fear is partly responsible for the recent selloff in technology stocks, including Apple. However, the opposite may actually be true based on past events. In fact, according to this report, Apple is <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of the best performing stocks when interest rates rise.</p><blockquote>Nine stocks in the S&amp;P 500 — including information-technology giants like Advanced Micro Devices (<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">AMD</a>) and Apple as well as health care firm Bio-Techne (TECH) — have powered higher when interest rates entered periods of multiple Fed rate hikes since 1990, says an Investor&#39;s Business Daily analysis of data from LPL Financial and S&amp;P Global Market Intelligence.</blockquote><p>Concerns about supply chain issues are valid and could impact Mac deliveries as well as iPhone demand as China endures further lockdowns related to Covid cases on the rise in Shanghai and other cities where Apple has a large manufacturing presence such as Zhengzhou, although one report states that manufacturing there is unaffected. Inflationary pressures due to rising commodity prices and reduced consumer demand due to concerns about the Ukraine war and impacts to the global economy may be reflected in the upcoming earnings report.</p><p>However, based on recent upward consensus earnings revisions and reports of growing consumer demand, I think that it is unlikely that a reduction in demand will be reflected in the current quarter’s earnings report. In fact, one source reports that the growing demand for iPhone 13 is helping Apple capture market share in the smartphone space.</p><blockquote>The Cupertino, California-based Apple accounted for 18% of the smartphone market, up from 15% in the first-quarter of 2021, even as overall smartphone shipments fell 11%, due to &#34;unfavorable economic conditions and sluggish seasonal demand.&#34;</blockquote><blockquote>&#34;While the iPhone 13 series continues to capture consumer demand, the new iPhone SE launched in March is becoming an important mid-range volume driver for Apple,&#34; Canalys Analyst Sanyam Chaurasia said in a statement.</blockquote><p><b>Investor Sentiment and Analyst Ratings</b></p><p>Wall Street analysts are bullish on Apple stock with 27 Strong Buy, 7 Buy, 1 Sell and 1 Strong Sell rating.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fe377b4b2f8b7fd49a71f243b3a7fc4\" tg-width=\"517\" tg-height=\"295\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Analyst Ratings (Seeking Alpha)</span></p><p>The consensus of SA authors and current Quant ratings give AAPL a Hold rating overall. Often, just before an earnings report there are many conflicting opinions on whether to buy, sell, or hold Apple stock and this quarter is no exception with several recent articles published on SA that suggest selling the stock ahead of earnings.</p><p>Some analysts are expecting Apple to announce an increase in share buybacks, a dividend increase, or both.</p><blockquote>Apple typically announces its latest buyback and dividend strategies in conjunction with its March-quarter earnings, and this year’s update could be the “most incremental potential positive” element of Apple’s entire report, according to Wells Fargo analyst Aaron Rakers.</blockquote><blockquote>CFRA’s Angelo Zino sees the potential for a more buyback-heavy update, predicting a $100 billion increase to Apple’s share-repurchase authorization and a roughly 7% bump to its dividend.</blockquote><p>Chief Financial Officer Luca Maestri said on Apple’s last earnings call that the company expects to recognize record quarterly revenues in the March quarter, but that the YOY comparison may be challenging.</p><blockquote>We expect to achieve solid year-over-year revenue growth and set a March quarter revenue record despite significant supply constraints, which we estimate to be less than what we experienced during the December quarter. We expect our revenue growth rate to decelerate from the December quarter, primarily due to 2 factors. First, during the March quarter a year ago, we grew revenue by 54%. Remember that last year, we launched our new iPhones during the December quarter. While this year, we launched them during the September quarter. Due to the later launch a year ago, some of the associated channel inventory fill occurred during the March quarter last year. As a result of the different launch timing, we will face a more challenging year-over-year compare.</blockquote><p>Shareholder Actions – Dividends and Buybacks</p><p>Apple has been paying a small but growing dividend and most recently declared a cash dividend of $0.22 per share of common stock payable on February 10, 2022, to shareholders of record as of February 7, 2022. The dividend was increased by 7% in the March 2021 quarter and represents 9 years of consecutive dividend increases as shown in the dividend history chart from the Seeking Alpha Dividends page for AAPL.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/345f4ee69e9bb5548c5ff561edca975c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"245\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>AAPL Dividend History (Seeking Alpha)</span></p><p>The current yield sits at about 0.5% and the 4-year average dividend yield is 1%. However, the 5-year yield on cost is currently at about 2.5%, so for dividend growth investors who plan to hold the stock long-term that is an appealing consideration.</p><p>In the March 2021 quarter, the dividend increase and share repurchase announcement included good news for Apple investors as explained by CFO Luca Maestri:</p><blockquote>As we continue to execute at an extremely high level, we were also able to return nearly $23 billion to shareholders during the March quarter. This included $3.4 billion in dividends and equivalents and $19 billion through open market repurchases of 147 million Apple shares. We continue to believe there is great value in our stock and maintain our target of reaching a net cash neutral position over time.</blockquote><blockquote>Given the confidence we have in our business today and into the future, our Board has authorized an additional $90 billion for share repurchases. We&#39;re also raising our dividend by 7% to $0.22 per share, and we continue to plan for annual increases in the dividend going forward.</blockquote><p>Given that announcement and the record revenues recognized in the December quarter, analysts and investors are expecting another dividend increase and additional share repurchases to be announced in the upcoming earnings report on April 27.</p><p><b>Looking Ahead with Caution</b></p><p>One potential caution for investors to look for in the earnings report for the quarter ending in March is the outlook and guidance for the next quarter ending in June. Ongoing lockdowns in China and continuing supply chain issues may not have had a detrimental impact on the early part of 2022 but could negatively impact earnings for the second quarter (which is Apple’s fiscal Q3).</p><p>According to some analysts the shipments of Macs could be impacted by ongoing lockdowns and supply chain disruptions in China:</p><blockquote>Huberty cautioned that COVID-related lockdowns in major China manufacturing hubs, such as Shanghai, Kunshan, and Zhengzhou, could cause Apple to &#34;take a more cautious stance when providing commentary on the June quarter given the unpredictable nature of potential future lockdowns.</blockquote><p>Another analyst gave a neutral rating on Apple stock given the uncertainty around China:</p><blockquote>Crockett set a price target of $184 a share on Apple&#39;s stock in addition to setting his neutral rating on the company&#39;s shares. Crockett said that while Apple saw its Mac and iPad businesses get a boost due to the COVID-19 pandemic, and the company had a strong new iPhone release last year, it is facing new obstacles coming from China, where many of its products are made.</blockquote><p>Earnings are also due next week for Alphabet (GOOG), Amazon (AMZN) and Meta (FB). If any of those megacap tech stocks have a poor earnings report or suggest a slowdown in consumer spending that could have a negative impact on Apple stock as well.</p><p>I am long AAPL and holding in my No Guts No Glory portfolio as a core long-term position. I will be looking to add to my position if the price drops below $160.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple - Time To Take Another Bite</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple - Time To Take Another Bite\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-04-25 20:48 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4503283-apple-time-to-take-another-bite><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryRecord quarterly revenues reported in the first quarter of 2022 are expected to be reported again in Q2 (quarter ending in March).Apple is likely to announce another dividend increase and ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4503283-apple-time-to-take-another-bite\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","BK4515":"5G概念","BK4553":"喜马拉雅资本持仓","BK4571":"数字音乐概念","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4507":"流媒体概念","BK4576":"AR","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4575":"芯片概念","BK4566":"资本集团","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4501":"段永平概念","BK4579":"人工智能","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","AAPL":"苹果","BK4574":"无人驾驶","BK4573":"虚拟现实","BK4505":"高瓴资本持仓","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4512":"苹果概念","BK4170":"电脑硬件、储存设备及电脑周边"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4503283-apple-time-to-take-another-bite","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2230614999","content_text":"SummaryRecord quarterly revenues reported in the first quarter of 2022 are expected to be reported again in Q2 (quarter ending in March).Apple is likely to announce another dividend increase and additional share buybacks in the Q2 earnings report.Potential slowdowns in the June quarter due to China lockdowns and supply chain constraints may impact the share price in short-term but in long-term, the stock is a solid buy and hold.Sam Diephuis/DigitalVision via Getty ImagesIf you are an investor in growth and technology stocks, you are probably wondering when the sentiment is going to turn back around in favor of those stocks as a long-term investment. Starting in the fall of 2021, many of the top growth and technology stocks have fallen in price by 10 to 30% or more as interest rates are expected to rise, supply chain issues have impacted semiconductor production, and inflation has driven up prices. The price of Apple, Inc (NASDAQ:AAPL) stock rose to a high of nearly $183 before dropping back down to the current price of $161.79 as of market close on 4/22/22.With the company due to report earnings after the market close on Wednesday, April 27, investors will be looking for clues to forward guidance in light of the current bearish market environment. It is my opinion that Apple will once again surprise with an earnings beat, and at the same time are likely to announce a new product, such as an iCar (which they filed a patent on), or the AR/VR headset that is rumored to be on the horizon, that will once again shake up the marketplace and raise the stock to a new level.Considering the fundamental, technical, and macroeconomic factors, as well as investor sentiment and favorable shareholder actions, all indications are that Apple is fairly priced today but still offers a good value for the long-term investor. I rate Apple a Buy ahead of earnings, especially if the price drops below $160 in the next few days ahead of the report. In this article I want to explain my reasoning by considering each of the factors.Fundamentally SoundThe current EV/EBITDA ratio is near a recent low based on the past 3 years history, currently at 19.97. The last time it was much lower than that was in summer of 2020 as the stock was recovering from the March 2020 low.AAPL 3-yr EV/EBITDA ratio (Seeking Alpha)The forward P/E sits at about 26, which is slightly above the 5-year average, and slightly above the sector median. But Apple gets an A+ in Profitability based on SA quant factors, so the quality of earnings justifies the higher valuation. Apple is a cash flow machine with a net income margin of 26.5% and levered FCF margin of 21%. Operating cash flow growth is not too shabby either, at 26% YOY.Profitability grades (Seeking Alpha)Profitability grades (Seeking Alpha)Revenue growth YOY is at 28.6% and EBITDA growth YOY sits at a whopping 50.5%. The trend in consensus EPS revisions has been moving upward with 26 up revisions in the past 3 months and only 1 down revision along with 24 up revenue revisions and 1 down.Consensus EPS Revisions (Seeking Alpha)With about $64B in cash and an enterprise value of over $2.6T, Apple is financially sound and fundamentally strong. Company management under Tim Cook has been excellent at capital allocation and in capitalizing on additional service revenues above and beyond the core product lines of iPhones, wearables, Macs, iPads, and other hardware devices. Winning an Oscar for best picture on Apple TV+ did not hurt their business either.In January, the company reported an all-time revenue record reaching $123.9B for the FY22 first quarter, up 11% YOY. All-time highs were reached for iPhone, Mac, Wearables, and Services revenues in that quarter.Technically SpeakingThe chart for Apple has shown some resistance recently as the stock attempts to reach new highs. AAPL stock is currently trading below the 6-month moving average and is starting to look oversold. The Money Flow index and RSI both indicate that the stock is becoming somewhat oversold.AAPL technical chart (TD Ameritrade)Over the past 6 months AAPL stock has traded in a similar manner to the overall market and the technology sector (using XLK as a benchmark) but offering a higher return. The stock is finding support at the $150 level and could drop as low as that level before turning upward again if the earnings report is favorable, as I expect it will be.AAPL Stock chart (Seeking Alpha)What About Rising Rates, Supply Chain Issues, and Inflation?There is some speculation that rising interest rates could negatively impact Apple’s forward earnings. That fear is partly responsible for the recent selloff in technology stocks, including Apple. However, the opposite may actually be true based on past events. In fact, according to this report, Apple is one of the best performing stocks when interest rates rise.Nine stocks in the S&P 500 — including information-technology giants like Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) and Apple as well as health care firm Bio-Techne (TECH) — have powered higher when interest rates entered periods of multiple Fed rate hikes since 1990, says an Investor's Business Daily analysis of data from LPL Financial and S&P Global Market Intelligence.Concerns about supply chain issues are valid and could impact Mac deliveries as well as iPhone demand as China endures further lockdowns related to Covid cases on the rise in Shanghai and other cities where Apple has a large manufacturing presence such as Zhengzhou, although one report states that manufacturing there is unaffected. Inflationary pressures due to rising commodity prices and reduced consumer demand due to concerns about the Ukraine war and impacts to the global economy may be reflected in the upcoming earnings report.However, based on recent upward consensus earnings revisions and reports of growing consumer demand, I think that it is unlikely that a reduction in demand will be reflected in the current quarter’s earnings report. In fact, one source reports that the growing demand for iPhone 13 is helping Apple capture market share in the smartphone space.The Cupertino, California-based Apple accounted for 18% of the smartphone market, up from 15% in the first-quarter of 2021, even as overall smartphone shipments fell 11%, due to \"unfavorable economic conditions and sluggish seasonal demand.\"\"While the iPhone 13 series continues to capture consumer demand, the new iPhone SE launched in March is becoming an important mid-range volume driver for Apple,\" Canalys Analyst Sanyam Chaurasia said in a statement.Investor Sentiment and Analyst RatingsWall Street analysts are bullish on Apple stock with 27 Strong Buy, 7 Buy, 1 Sell and 1 Strong Sell rating.Analyst Ratings (Seeking Alpha)The consensus of SA authors and current Quant ratings give AAPL a Hold rating overall. Often, just before an earnings report there are many conflicting opinions on whether to buy, sell, or hold Apple stock and this quarter is no exception with several recent articles published on SA that suggest selling the stock ahead of earnings.Some analysts are expecting Apple to announce an increase in share buybacks, a dividend increase, or both.Apple typically announces its latest buyback and dividend strategies in conjunction with its March-quarter earnings, and this year’s update could be the “most incremental potential positive” element of Apple’s entire report, according to Wells Fargo analyst Aaron Rakers.CFRA’s Angelo Zino sees the potential for a more buyback-heavy update, predicting a $100 billion increase to Apple’s share-repurchase authorization and a roughly 7% bump to its dividend.Chief Financial Officer Luca Maestri said on Apple’s last earnings call that the company expects to recognize record quarterly revenues in the March quarter, but that the YOY comparison may be challenging.We expect to achieve solid year-over-year revenue growth and set a March quarter revenue record despite significant supply constraints, which we estimate to be less than what we experienced during the December quarter. We expect our revenue growth rate to decelerate from the December quarter, primarily due to 2 factors. First, during the March quarter a year ago, we grew revenue by 54%. Remember that last year, we launched our new iPhones during the December quarter. While this year, we launched them during the September quarter. Due to the later launch a year ago, some of the associated channel inventory fill occurred during the March quarter last year. As a result of the different launch timing, we will face a more challenging year-over-year compare.Shareholder Actions – Dividends and BuybacksApple has been paying a small but growing dividend and most recently declared a cash dividend of $0.22 per share of common stock payable on February 10, 2022, to shareholders of record as of February 7, 2022. The dividend was increased by 7% in the March 2021 quarter and represents 9 years of consecutive dividend increases as shown in the dividend history chart from the Seeking Alpha Dividends page for AAPL.AAPL Dividend History (Seeking Alpha)The current yield sits at about 0.5% and the 4-year average dividend yield is 1%. However, the 5-year yield on cost is currently at about 2.5%, so for dividend growth investors who plan to hold the stock long-term that is an appealing consideration.In the March 2021 quarter, the dividend increase and share repurchase announcement included good news for Apple investors as explained by CFO Luca Maestri:As we continue to execute at an extremely high level, we were also able to return nearly $23 billion to shareholders during the March quarter. This included $3.4 billion in dividends and equivalents and $19 billion through open market repurchases of 147 million Apple shares. We continue to believe there is great value in our stock and maintain our target of reaching a net cash neutral position over time.Given the confidence we have in our business today and into the future, our Board has authorized an additional $90 billion for share repurchases. We're also raising our dividend by 7% to $0.22 per share, and we continue to plan for annual increases in the dividend going forward.Given that announcement and the record revenues recognized in the December quarter, analysts and investors are expecting another dividend increase and additional share repurchases to be announced in the upcoming earnings report on April 27.Looking Ahead with CautionOne potential caution for investors to look for in the earnings report for the quarter ending in March is the outlook and guidance for the next quarter ending in June. Ongoing lockdowns in China and continuing supply chain issues may not have had a detrimental impact on the early part of 2022 but could negatively impact earnings for the second quarter (which is Apple’s fiscal Q3).According to some analysts the shipments of Macs could be impacted by ongoing lockdowns and supply chain disruptions in China:Huberty cautioned that COVID-related lockdowns in major China manufacturing hubs, such as Shanghai, Kunshan, and Zhengzhou, could cause Apple to \"take a more cautious stance when providing commentary on the June quarter given the unpredictable nature of potential future lockdowns.Another analyst gave a neutral rating on Apple stock given the uncertainty around China:Crockett set a price target of $184 a share on Apple's stock in addition to setting his neutral rating on the company's shares. Crockett said that while Apple saw its Mac and iPad businesses get a boost due to the COVID-19 pandemic, and the company had a strong new iPhone release last year, it is facing new obstacles coming from China, where many of its products are made.Earnings are also due next week for Alphabet (GOOG), Amazon (AMZN) and Meta (FB). If any of those megacap tech stocks have a poor earnings report or suggest a slowdown in consumer spending that could have a negative impact on Apple stock as well.I am long AAPL and holding in my No Guts No Glory portfolio as a core long-term position. I will be looking to add to my position if the price drops below $160.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":96,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9064300155,"gmtCreate":1652274691377,"gmtModify":1676535066390,"author":{"id":"3583805940946266","authorId":"3583805940946266","name":"dlzy900","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a9296920deee300153d681f41bd09970","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583805940946266","idStr":"3583805940946266"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"yup","listText":"yup","text":"yup","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9064300155","repostId":"1173203163","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":163,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9087174433,"gmtCreate":1650982292711,"gmtModify":1676534826955,"author":{"id":"3583805940946266","authorId":"3583805940946266","name":"dlzy900","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a9296920deee300153d681f41bd09970","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583805940946266","idStr":"3583805940946266"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"yes","listText":"yes","text":"yes","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9087174433","repostId":"2230510690","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":11,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9088752454,"gmtCreate":1650385825937,"gmtModify":1676534711387,"author":{"id":"3583805940946266","authorId":"3583805940946266","name":"dlzy900","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a9296920deee300153d681f41bd09970","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583805940946266","idStr":"3583805940946266"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"upupup","listText":"upupup","text":"upupup","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9088752454","repostId":"1134362695","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1134362695","pubTimestamp":1650382064,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1134362695?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-04-19 23:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alibaba: 3 Reasons To Sell In May And Go Away","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1134362695","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryAlibaba is heading towards disastrous quarterly and end-of-year results in May. I can't imagine a scenario where BABA delivers on its shareholder's high growth expectations.Charlie Munger sold ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Summary</p><ul><li>Alibaba is heading towards disastrous quarterly and end-of-year results in May. I can&#39;t imagine a scenario where BABA delivers on its shareholder&#39;s high growth expectations.</li><li>Charlie Munger sold half of his BABA shares, sensing the rough patch ahead.</li><li>BABA&#39;s volatility will sure test the loyalty of Softbank, BABA&#39;s largest shareholder.</li></ul><p>Executive Summary</p><p>This year, Alibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:BABA) faces multiple revenue headwinds hampering its growth prospects. Management&#39;s growth initiatives have long-run potential but are too small to make a meaningful difference in the short and medium run. Alibaba&#39;s growth-oriented shareholder base will exacerbate a volatile market reaction over what we see as a disappointing earnings release in May.</p><p>Investment Thesis</p><p>News of Charlie Mungersellingsignificant portions of his Alibaba position doesn&#39;t come as a surprise. My last two articles offered a rebuttal of The Daily Journal (DJCO) mogul&#39;s investment thesis touting Alibaba&#39;s shares on news media, citing competitive advantage, growth, and &#34;value for the dollar invested.&#34; Hearing him, I realized that his investment thesis needed updating and, more importantly, how oblivious Alibaba&#39;s investors are to its new realities.</p><p>Until recently, Alibaba abused its market position to force merchants to sign exclusivity agreements, prohibiting them from marketing products on other platforms. What Charlie Munger thought was &#34;competitive advantage&#34; is, to a large extent, a monopoly that has come to an end after a brutal corruption and regulatory crackdown.</p><p>Munger also mentions a &#34;higher value of a dollar invested&#34; in Alibaba than its US and European counterparts. This hypothesis was true six months ago, but today, there are many western tech companies trading at discounts after the growth-to-value rotation.</p><p>Finally, the growth argument is also no longer helpful because of a maturing core segment and the low revenue base of growth drivers such as Cloud and the international market. The Q3 (December quarter) mediocre revenue growth mirrors these dynamics.</p><p>Revenue Trends</p><p>Alibaba investors should prepare for volatile quarterly results this May. Realizing the rough patch ahead, Munger shrank his position, and you should consider doing the same. As always, be careful using leverage. Contrary to popular opinion, Alibaba is not necessarily at the bottom.</p><p>Last month, growth-hungry shareholders weren&#39;t kind to the ticker after disappointing topline results, pushing shares to multi-year lows. Regardless of how much data and price multiples support your hypothesis, nothing can prevent shares from dipping again. Market prices are determined by supply and demand, and I believe there is a discrepancy between what Alibaba can deliver and what its shareholders expect in terms of growth.</p><p>The company faces three main headwinds:</p><ol><li>Macro-economic challenges</li><li>Maturing Chinese Market</li><li>Rising Competition</li></ol><p>The zero-COVID policy is squeezing China consumers, dragging down consumer confidence. Google &#34;China Lockdown,&#34; and you&#39;ll find chilling videos of desperate Chinese citizens struggling with lockdowns. In this video, Shanghai residents are heard screaming from their balconies in protest of the lockdowns, and they don&#39;t seem in the mood for shopping on Alibaba. Instead, they appear more concerned about increasing prices, lack of income, depleting savings, food shortages, and inadequate food rations. The economic environment is not accommodative for Alibaba to meet Wall Street&#39;s 33% 2022 revenue growth expectations.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/59845a06664129959a3d7afc696f959b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"258\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Alibaba Revenue Estimates(Seeking Alpha)</p><p>Alibaba&#39;s macroeconomic challenges are the least of its troubles. One might argue that business cycles are temporary, similar to COVID policies, despite their short-term impact on this year&#39;s revenue. This would make a solid contrarian strategy, especially for those with a stomach to sit on losses for long periods of time, if it wasn&#39;t for the fundamental, long-term revenue disruption impacting Alibaba.</p><p>The China e-commerce &#34;CEC&#34; segment constitutes 70% of Alibaba&#39;s revenue. Annual active users now stand at 937 million against a total population of 1.4 billion, with 260 million below the age of 15, pointing to a saturated market. Last quarter, CEC grew 7%, a disappointing figure given it includes inorganic growth from the Sun Art acquisition, mirroring demographic challenges facing its core segment.</p><p>Management is trying to find growth in rural China. However, sales data from its competitor, Pinduoduo Inc. (PDD), which focuses on this market and posts 900 million annual active users, points to a weak purchasing power that is not enough to create meaningful growth.</p><p>The same goes for cloud computing and international markets, which, together with rural China expansion, represent the company&#39;s official growth strategy. The Cloud and International Segment represent 8% and 7% of total revenue. For these segments to compensate for a 10% decrease in core operations, both need to grow by 50% just for revenue to remain constant, still a hard-to-swallow proposition for a growth-hungry shareholder base.</p><p>I don&#39;t believe that those buying the dip had enough time to analyze and study the company&#39;s revenue trends and drivers. Alibaba&#39;s fall was abrupt, accelerated by a brutal anti-monopoly crackdown that permanently changed the IT competitive landscape in favor of smaller peers. While new investors are showing courage in buying the dip, management is terrified, as reflected in merchant subsidies, which dragged net income 74% last quarter in an unsustainable attempt to maintain revenue and users.</p><p>Cash Flow And Share Buybacks</p><p>Fundamentally, Alibaba&#39;s business model is sound, generating lucrative, scalable operating cash flows that encouraged the e-commerce giant to extend a share buyback program last month. Alibaba&#39;s challenges stem from its inability to manage investors&#39; expectations. Historically, Alibaba attracted a growth-oriented shareholder base, and now that its core operations are maturing, management is finding it hard to communicate its transitionary state to shareholders. Investor presentations still market Alibaba as a growth company.</p><p>The problem is that many are falling for it. A few weeks ago, Kevin O&#39;Leary was touting his new Alibaba position, citing the growth potential of Chinese tech. Munger and O&#39;Leary are representative of this growth-hungry shareholder base.</p><p>How Loyal Is Softbank</p><p>SoftBank Group (OTCPK:SFTBY) owns about a third of Alibaba&#39;s share, rendering the Japanese financial giant its largest shareholder. Softbank is known for its risk-taking and support for emerging tech companies. However, its participation in early capital-raising cycles means the dollar-average price of its position is far less than ordinary investors. For example, in FQ4 2021, Softbank reported a $558 million gain on selling some Alibaba shares, despite the ticker&#39;s selloff.</p><p>Softbank is facing renewed capitalization issues. The Japanese lender might be forced to sell Alibaba stock, especially if shares tumble further after a potentially disappointing earnings release. One thing is for sure, and the current situation is testing Softbank&#39;s loyalty to Alibaba.</p><p>Summary</p><p>Alibaba is heading towards disastrous quarterly and end-of-year results in May. I can&#39;t imagine a scenario where Alibaba delivers on its shareholder&#39;s high growth expectations. The Chinese economy, where Alibaba generates most of its income, struggles with rising COVID cases and rigid lockdown rules. The timing couldn&#39;t be worse for Alibaba, currently toiling with new regulations that stripped it from its &#34;competitive advantage.&#34; The core segment, i.e., China e-commerce, has reached maturity with 973 million users.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba: 3 Reasons To Sell In May And Go Away</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba: 3 Reasons To Sell In May And Go Away\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-04-19 23:27 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4502007-alibaba-3-reasons-to-sell-in-may-and-go-away><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryAlibaba is heading towards disastrous quarterly and end-of-year results in May. I can't imagine a scenario where BABA delivers on its shareholder's high growth expectations.Charlie Munger sold ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4502007-alibaba-3-reasons-to-sell-in-may-and-go-away\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4502007-alibaba-3-reasons-to-sell-in-may-and-go-away","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1134362695","content_text":"SummaryAlibaba is heading towards disastrous quarterly and end-of-year results in May. I can't imagine a scenario where BABA delivers on its shareholder's high growth expectations.Charlie Munger sold half of his BABA shares, sensing the rough patch ahead.BABA's volatility will sure test the loyalty of Softbank, BABA's largest shareholder.Executive SummaryThis year, Alibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:BABA) faces multiple revenue headwinds hampering its growth prospects. Management's growth initiatives have long-run potential but are too small to make a meaningful difference in the short and medium run. Alibaba's growth-oriented shareholder base will exacerbate a volatile market reaction over what we see as a disappointing earnings release in May.Investment ThesisNews of Charlie Mungersellingsignificant portions of his Alibaba position doesn't come as a surprise. My last two articles offered a rebuttal of The Daily Journal (DJCO) mogul's investment thesis touting Alibaba's shares on news media, citing competitive advantage, growth, and \"value for the dollar invested.\" Hearing him, I realized that his investment thesis needed updating and, more importantly, how oblivious Alibaba's investors are to its new realities.Until recently, Alibaba abused its market position to force merchants to sign exclusivity agreements, prohibiting them from marketing products on other platforms. What Charlie Munger thought was \"competitive advantage\" is, to a large extent, a monopoly that has come to an end after a brutal corruption and regulatory crackdown.Munger also mentions a \"higher value of a dollar invested\" in Alibaba than its US and European counterparts. This hypothesis was true six months ago, but today, there are many western tech companies trading at discounts after the growth-to-value rotation.Finally, the growth argument is also no longer helpful because of a maturing core segment and the low revenue base of growth drivers such as Cloud and the international market. The Q3 (December quarter) mediocre revenue growth mirrors these dynamics.Revenue TrendsAlibaba investors should prepare for volatile quarterly results this May. Realizing the rough patch ahead, Munger shrank his position, and you should consider doing the same. As always, be careful using leverage. Contrary to popular opinion, Alibaba is not necessarily at the bottom.Last month, growth-hungry shareholders weren't kind to the ticker after disappointing topline results, pushing shares to multi-year lows. Regardless of how much data and price multiples support your hypothesis, nothing can prevent shares from dipping again. Market prices are determined by supply and demand, and I believe there is a discrepancy between what Alibaba can deliver and what its shareholders expect in terms of growth.The company faces three main headwinds:Macro-economic challengesMaturing Chinese MarketRising CompetitionThe zero-COVID policy is squeezing China consumers, dragging down consumer confidence. Google \"China Lockdown,\" and you'll find chilling videos of desperate Chinese citizens struggling with lockdowns. In this video, Shanghai residents are heard screaming from their balconies in protest of the lockdowns, and they don't seem in the mood for shopping on Alibaba. Instead, they appear more concerned about increasing prices, lack of income, depleting savings, food shortages, and inadequate food rations. The economic environment is not accommodative for Alibaba to meet Wall Street's 33% 2022 revenue growth expectations.Alibaba Revenue Estimates(Seeking Alpha)Alibaba's macroeconomic challenges are the least of its troubles. One might argue that business cycles are temporary, similar to COVID policies, despite their short-term impact on this year's revenue. This would make a solid contrarian strategy, especially for those with a stomach to sit on losses for long periods of time, if it wasn't for the fundamental, long-term revenue disruption impacting Alibaba.The China e-commerce \"CEC\" segment constitutes 70% of Alibaba's revenue. Annual active users now stand at 937 million against a total population of 1.4 billion, with 260 million below the age of 15, pointing to a saturated market. Last quarter, CEC grew 7%, a disappointing figure given it includes inorganic growth from the Sun Art acquisition, mirroring demographic challenges facing its core segment.Management is trying to find growth in rural China. However, sales data from its competitor, Pinduoduo Inc. (PDD), which focuses on this market and posts 900 million annual active users, points to a weak purchasing power that is not enough to create meaningful growth.The same goes for cloud computing and international markets, which, together with rural China expansion, represent the company's official growth strategy. The Cloud and International Segment represent 8% and 7% of total revenue. For these segments to compensate for a 10% decrease in core operations, both need to grow by 50% just for revenue to remain constant, still a hard-to-swallow proposition for a growth-hungry shareholder base.I don't believe that those buying the dip had enough time to analyze and study the company's revenue trends and drivers. Alibaba's fall was abrupt, accelerated by a brutal anti-monopoly crackdown that permanently changed the IT competitive landscape in favor of smaller peers. While new investors are showing courage in buying the dip, management is terrified, as reflected in merchant subsidies, which dragged net income 74% last quarter in an unsustainable attempt to maintain revenue and users.Cash Flow And Share BuybacksFundamentally, Alibaba's business model is sound, generating lucrative, scalable operating cash flows that encouraged the e-commerce giant to extend a share buyback program last month. Alibaba's challenges stem from its inability to manage investors' expectations. Historically, Alibaba attracted a growth-oriented shareholder base, and now that its core operations are maturing, management is finding it hard to communicate its transitionary state to shareholders. Investor presentations still market Alibaba as a growth company.The problem is that many are falling for it. A few weeks ago, Kevin O'Leary was touting his new Alibaba position, citing the growth potential of Chinese tech. Munger and O'Leary are representative of this growth-hungry shareholder base.How Loyal Is SoftbankSoftBank Group (OTCPK:SFTBY) owns about a third of Alibaba's share, rendering the Japanese financial giant its largest shareholder. Softbank is known for its risk-taking and support for emerging tech companies. However, its participation in early capital-raising cycles means the dollar-average price of its position is far less than ordinary investors. For example, in FQ4 2021, Softbank reported a $558 million gain on selling some Alibaba shares, despite the ticker's selloff.Softbank is facing renewed capitalization issues. The Japanese lender might be forced to sell Alibaba stock, especially if shares tumble further after a potentially disappointing earnings release. One thing is for sure, and the current situation is testing Softbank's loyalty to Alibaba.SummaryAlibaba is heading towards disastrous quarterly and end-of-year results in May. I can't imagine a scenario where Alibaba delivers on its shareholder's high growth expectations. The Chinese economy, where Alibaba generates most of its income, struggles with rising COVID cases and rigid lockdown rules. The timing couldn't be worse for Alibaba, currently toiling with new regulations that stripped it from its \"competitive advantage.\" The core segment, i.e., China e-commerce, has reached maturity with 973 million users.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":32,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9063391430,"gmtCreate":1651401202218,"gmtModify":1676534901504,"author":{"id":"3583805940946266","authorId":"3583805940946266","name":"dlzy900","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a9296920deee300153d681f41bd09970","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583805940946266","idStr":"3583805940946266"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"yes","listText":"yes","text":"yes","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9063391430","repostId":"2232273392","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2232273392","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1651372684,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2232273392?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-01 10:38","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why did Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway Spend Billions on Chevron? Look at \"Shareholder Yield\"","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2232273392","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"There is a cottage industry on Wall Street predicting what would Warren would buy. That, of course, ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>There is a cottage industry on Wall Street predicting what would Warren would buy. That, of course, refers to <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BRK.A\">Berkshire Hathaway </a> Chairman and CEO Warren Buffett, one of the most successful investors in history.</p><p>This year, amid stormy investing seas, Buffett seems to be focusing on shareholder yield. Other investors might want to pay attention to that value-investing metric.</p><p>New Buffett-buying speculation sprouts in May, right around Berkshire&#39;s annual meeting in Omaha, Neb. This year&#39;s speculation is swirling around energy stocks after a note in the company&#39;s first quarter financial filing about a big investment in oil giant <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVX\">Chevron</a>.</p><p>&#34;Approximately 66% of the aggregate fair value was concentrated in four companies,&#34; reads Berkshire&#39;s 10-Q report. &#34; American Express Company, $28.4 billion; Apple Inc., $159.1 billion; Bank of America Corporation, $42.6 billion and Chevron Corporation, $25.9 billion.&#34; Chevron is a surprise number four. It looks as if Berkshire added about 120 million shares of Chevron in the quarter.</p><p>Buffett likes oil these days. Oil prices are up, but a reason he likes the stocks likely is more about how companies are spending their free cash flow. Chevron is giving more of its cash flow back to shareholders instead of investing it.</p><p>Buffett, answering an annual meeting question about equity purchases in the first quarter, also cited Occidental Petroleum <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OXY\">$(OXY)$</a>, saying its capital return plan was simple and made sense. Berkshire is the largest holder of Occidental stock.</p><p>Occidental pays a 13-cent quarterly dividend, which works out to about yield of almost 1%. The company also plans to buy back about $3 billion worth of its own stock over the coming few quarters. The dividend and buyback, at roughly $3.5 billion, are consuming about half of the company&#39;s free cash flow. Most of the remaining cash is going toward debt reduction.</p><p>Occidental&#39;s total shareholder yield, which can be defined as dividends and buybacks divided by a company&#39;s market capitalization, is about 7%. Chevron&#39;s total shareholder yield, based on the first- quarter repurchase of stock, is about 5%.</p><p>About one third of the nonfinancial companies in the S&amp;P 500 have a total shareholder yield of greater than 5%, based on numbers reported over the past 12 months. That&#39;s roughly 120 firms and gives investors a lot to choose from.</p><p>Two other oil-and-gas companies with shareholder yields greater than 5%: Marathon Petroleum <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MPC\">$(MPC)$</a> at about 13% and APA <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/APA\">$(APA)$</a> at about 6%.</p><p>The top defense company, based on a screen of S&amp;P 500 stocks, is L3Harris Technologies <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LHX\">$(LHX)$</a>, with a shareholder yield of about 9%. One of the top industrial firms is engine make Cummins <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CMI\">$(CMI)$</a> at about 8%. A handful of chemical producers sport attractive yields, including DuPont de Nemours <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DD\">$(DD)$</a>, Dow Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DOW\">$(DOW)$</a> and Celanese <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CE\">$(CE)$</a>.</p><p>It isn&#39;t just old-economy companies. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">Meta Platforms</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EBAY\">eBay</a> have yields 10% and 26%, respectively. ( eBay bought back about $7.2 billion worth of stock over the past 12 months.)</p><p>Logistic giant <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FDX\">FedEx</a>, which trades for just 9 times calendar year 2022 estimated earnings, has a shareholder yield of about 6%. And home-improvement retailers <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HD\">Home Depot</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LOW\">Lowe&#39;s</a> come in at about 12% and 7%, respectively.</p><p>A screen isn&#39;t a substitute for a more thorough investigation of a company and its stock. But Buffett&#39;s approach can help investors in uncertain times.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why did Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway Spend Billions on Chevron? Look at \"Shareholder Yield\"</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy did Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway Spend Billions on Chevron? Look at \"Shareholder Yield\"\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-05-01 10:38</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>There is a cottage industry on Wall Street predicting what would Warren would buy. That, of course, refers to <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BRK.A\">Berkshire Hathaway </a> Chairman and CEO Warren Buffett, one of the most successful investors in history.</p><p>This year, amid stormy investing seas, Buffett seems to be focusing on shareholder yield. Other investors might want to pay attention to that value-investing metric.</p><p>New Buffett-buying speculation sprouts in May, right around Berkshire&#39;s annual meeting in Omaha, Neb. This year&#39;s speculation is swirling around energy stocks after a note in the company&#39;s first quarter financial filing about a big investment in oil giant <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVX\">Chevron</a>.</p><p>&#34;Approximately 66% of the aggregate fair value was concentrated in four companies,&#34; reads Berkshire&#39;s 10-Q report. &#34; American Express Company, $28.4 billion; Apple Inc., $159.1 billion; Bank of America Corporation, $42.6 billion and Chevron Corporation, $25.9 billion.&#34; Chevron is a surprise number four. It looks as if Berkshire added about 120 million shares of Chevron in the quarter.</p><p>Buffett likes oil these days. Oil prices are up, but a reason he likes the stocks likely is more about how companies are spending their free cash flow. Chevron is giving more of its cash flow back to shareholders instead of investing it.</p><p>Buffett, answering an annual meeting question about equity purchases in the first quarter, also cited Occidental Petroleum <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OXY\">$(OXY)$</a>, saying its capital return plan was simple and made sense. Berkshire is the largest holder of Occidental stock.</p><p>Occidental pays a 13-cent quarterly dividend, which works out to about yield of almost 1%. The company also plans to buy back about $3 billion worth of its own stock over the coming few quarters. The dividend and buyback, at roughly $3.5 billion, are consuming about half of the company&#39;s free cash flow. Most of the remaining cash is going toward debt reduction.</p><p>Occidental&#39;s total shareholder yield, which can be defined as dividends and buybacks divided by a company&#39;s market capitalization, is about 7%. Chevron&#39;s total shareholder yield, based on the first- quarter repurchase of stock, is about 5%.</p><p>About one third of the nonfinancial companies in the S&amp;P 500 have a total shareholder yield of greater than 5%, based on numbers reported over the past 12 months. That&#39;s roughly 120 firms and gives investors a lot to choose from.</p><p>Two other oil-and-gas companies with shareholder yields greater than 5%: Marathon Petroleum <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MPC\">$(MPC)$</a> at about 13% and APA <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/APA\">$(APA)$</a> at about 6%.</p><p>The top defense company, based on a screen of S&amp;P 500 stocks, is L3Harris Technologies <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LHX\">$(LHX)$</a>, with a shareholder yield of about 9%. One of the top industrial firms is engine make Cummins <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CMI\">$(CMI)$</a> at about 8%. A handful of chemical producers sport attractive yields, including DuPont de Nemours <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DD\">$(DD)$</a>, Dow Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DOW\">$(DOW)$</a> and Celanese <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CE\">$(CE)$</a>.</p><p>It isn&#39;t just old-economy companies. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">Meta Platforms</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EBAY\">eBay</a> have yields 10% and 26%, respectively. ( eBay bought back about $7.2 billion worth of stock over the past 12 months.)</p><p>Logistic giant <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FDX\">FedEx</a>, which trades for just 9 times calendar year 2022 estimated earnings, has a shareholder yield of about 6%. And home-improvement retailers <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HD\">Home Depot</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LOW\">Lowe&#39;s</a> come in at about 12% and 7%, respectively.</p><p>A screen isn&#39;t a substitute for a more thorough investigation of a company and its stock. But Buffett&#39;s approach can help investors in uncertain times.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4566":"资本集团","BK4570":"地缘局势概念股","OXY":"西方石油","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","FDX":"联邦快递"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2232273392","content_text":"There is a cottage industry on Wall Street predicting what would Warren would buy. That, of course, refers to Berkshire Hathaway  Chairman and CEO Warren Buffett, one of the most successful investors in history.This year, amid stormy investing seas, Buffett seems to be focusing on shareholder yield. Other investors might want to pay attention to that value-investing metric.New Buffett-buying speculation sprouts in May, right around Berkshire's annual meeting in Omaha, Neb. This year's speculation is swirling around energy stocks after a note in the company's first quarter financial filing about a big investment in oil giant Chevron.\"Approximately 66% of the aggregate fair value was concentrated in four companies,\" reads Berkshire's 10-Q report. \" American Express Company, $28.4 billion; Apple Inc., $159.1 billion; Bank of America Corporation, $42.6 billion and Chevron Corporation, $25.9 billion.\" Chevron is a surprise number four. It looks as if Berkshire added about 120 million shares of Chevron in the quarter.Buffett likes oil these days. Oil prices are up, but a reason he likes the stocks likely is more about how companies are spending their free cash flow. Chevron is giving more of its cash flow back to shareholders instead of investing it.Buffett, answering an annual meeting question about equity purchases in the first quarter, also cited Occidental Petroleum $(OXY)$, saying its capital return plan was simple and made sense. Berkshire is the largest holder of Occidental stock.Occidental pays a 13-cent quarterly dividend, which works out to about yield of almost 1%. The company also plans to buy back about $3 billion worth of its own stock over the coming few quarters. The dividend and buyback, at roughly $3.5 billion, are consuming about half of the company's free cash flow. Most of the remaining cash is going toward debt reduction.Occidental's total shareholder yield, which can be defined as dividends and buybacks divided by a company's market capitalization, is about 7%. Chevron's total shareholder yield, based on the first- quarter repurchase of stock, is about 5%.About one third of the nonfinancial companies in the S&P 500 have a total shareholder yield of greater than 5%, based on numbers reported over the past 12 months. That's roughly 120 firms and gives investors a lot to choose from.Two other oil-and-gas companies with shareholder yields greater than 5%: Marathon Petroleum $(MPC)$ at about 13% and APA $(APA)$ at about 6%.The top defense company, based on a screen of S&P 500 stocks, is L3Harris Technologies $(LHX)$, with a shareholder yield of about 9%. One of the top industrial firms is engine make Cummins $(CMI)$ at about 8%. A handful of chemical producers sport attractive yields, including DuPont de Nemours $(DD)$, Dow Inc. $(DOW)$ and Celanese $(CE)$.It isn't just old-economy companies. Meta Platforms and eBay have yields 10% and 26%, respectively. ( eBay bought back about $7.2 billion worth of stock over the past 12 months.)Logistic giant FedEx, which trades for just 9 times calendar year 2022 estimated earnings, has a shareholder yield of about 6%. And home-improvement retailers Home Depot and Lowe's come in at about 12% and 7%, respectively.A screen isn't a substitute for a more thorough investigation of a company and its stock. But Buffett's approach can help investors in uncertain times.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":141,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9082687627,"gmtCreate":1650558446763,"gmtModify":1676534752339,"author":{"id":"3583805940946266","authorId":"3583805940946266","name":"dlzy900","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a9296920deee300153d681f41bd09970","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583805940946266","idStr":"3583805940946266"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"yes","listText":"yes","text":"yes","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9082687627","repostId":"2228292962","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2228292962","pubTimestamp":1650555050,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2228292962?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-04-21 23:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Growth Stocks That Could 3x or More in 2022","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2228292962","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The three stocks have been beaten down, but Wall Street still sees tremendous upside ahead.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>It was a little over 13 years ago that the <b>S&amp;P 500</b> hit a market low on March 6, 2009, after which it reversed course and went on a tear. The bull run saw it rise 420%, for a compounded growth rate of 13.8% a year, turning $1,000 into a total return of over $4,360 today.</p><p>That&#39;s not bad for doing nothing more than buying an index fund and going to sleep for more than a decade, but there are stocks on the market that promise to generate those kinds of returns in just <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> year.</p><p>It&#39;s not always advisable to swing for the fences, because even Babe Ruth would strike out more often than he hit home runs. But you can vastly improve your odds of connecting with the ball by focusing on companies with solid sales and earnings growth. Wall Street thinks the three stocks below have some of the best chances for touching all the bases.</p><h2>a.k.a Brands</h2><p>Retailers like e-commerce play <b>a.k.a Brands</b> got a boost from the reopened economy early last year. However, the persistence of COVID-19 variants took a toll on its initial public offering in September, which saw it price its shares at $11 each, or the low end of its expected valuation.</p><p>After peaking at over $15 a share, a.k.a Brands was tossed into the discount bin. Today the stock goes for just $4 a share, an excellent opportunity for investors who believe this online retailer is just getting started.</p><p>The digitally native, direct-to-consumer retailer targets Gen Z and millennial consumers through four distinct brands: Culture Kings, Princess Polly, Petal &amp; Pup, and Rebdolls. It seeks to remain relevant and on trend by acquiring founder-led small businesses also targeting these demographics.</p><p>Adjusted sales to account for the acquisition of Culture Kings last year were up 59% from 2020, to $562 million. Management is guiding to full-year revenue of between $785 million and $805 million, with adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) of between $90 million and $100 million.</p><p>Wall Street forecasts that profits will grow at a compounded rate of 57% annually for the next five years, and believes this stock can rise as high as $20 per share within the next year for a 400% increase. With dozens of potential brand acquisitions available, there&#39;s a lot of runway for future growth with a.k.a Brands.</p><h2>Carvana</h2><p><b>Carvana</b> put a different spin on the car buying process. It&#39;s an e-commerce-focused used car operation featuring some 70,000 vehicles that can be delivered directly to your door as soon as the following day. You can also pick one up at one of its 32 &#34;car vending machines&#34; across the U.S. Carvana offers financing and a seven-day return policy. Consumers can also sell their vehicles to Carvana, and it recently acquired a vehicle auction company to offer a broader selection of vehicles.</p><p>Shares of Carvana have been wrecked by the ongoing supply chain issues affecting the auto industry. Because there&#39;s been a dearth of new cars hitting showroom floors due to the critical shortage of computer chips, used car demand has soared even as people have held onto their existing vehicles longer, driving used car prices higher.</p><p>While that&#39;s been beneficial for Carvana&#39;s profit margins, it also means it has had difficulty acquiring new inventory. While it recorded its 32nd consecutive quarter of higher unit sales, it warned in its fourth-quarter earnings report that the first quarter would prove difficult because of supply chain challenges. Even so, it expects full-year car sales of over 550,000 vehicles -- yet another year of growth.</p><p>With the stock down 73% to $101 per share, even as analysts have muted their price targets, the consensus is that Carvana can still double over the next year and can rise as high as $470 a share, a 365% increase.</p><h2>Fiverr</h2><p>Add freelancing marketplace operator <b>Fiverr</b> to the list of former high-flying companies that have seen their shares beaten back, but which Wall Street believes still have significant growth potential.</p><p>Fiverr got a big boost during the lockdown phase of the pandemic as people struck out on their own in the gig economy. Its technology platform connects freelancers with people and companies who need their services, rather than going through an agency or looking for someone through a social media listing. Sellers present their services as gigs, or packages with set prices for their work, providing surety to the buyer.</p><p>That also makes the purchase process easy and straightforward, and it&#39;s one of the reasons Fiverr has demonstrated explosive success. It puts the company in a great position to profit from this growing trend. Yet it&#39;s also why the stock is down 75% from its high -- because the market anticipates the meteoric growth it witnessed will slow with the economy reopened.</p><p>That hasn&#39;t exactly panned out. Last year&#39;s revenue was up 57% from a year ago and is 178% more than in 2019, suggesting buyers and sellers on the marketplace aren&#39;t abandoning Fiverr.</p><p>Wall Street still sees tremendous upside, with the stock potentially rising from under $64 a share today to $280, a 339% one-year gain.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Growth Stocks That Could 3x or More in 2022</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Growth Stocks That Could 3x or More in 2022\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-04-21 23:30 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/04/20/3-growth-stocks-that-could-3x-or-more-in-2022/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>It was a little over 13 years ago that the S&P 500 hit a market low on March 6, 2009, after which it reversed course and went on a tear. The bull run saw it rise 420%, for a compounded growth rate of ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/04/20/3-growth-stocks-that-could-3x-or-more-in-2022/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AKA":"a.k.a. Brands Holding Corp.","FVRR":"Fiverr International Ltd.","CVNA":"Carvana Co."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/04/20/3-growth-stocks-that-could-3x-or-more-in-2022/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2228292962","content_text":"It was a little over 13 years ago that the S&P 500 hit a market low on March 6, 2009, after which it reversed course and went on a tear. The bull run saw it rise 420%, for a compounded growth rate of 13.8% a year, turning $1,000 into a total return of over $4,360 today.That's not bad for doing nothing more than buying an index fund and going to sleep for more than a decade, but there are stocks on the market that promise to generate those kinds of returns in just one year.It's not always advisable to swing for the fences, because even Babe Ruth would strike out more often than he hit home runs. But you can vastly improve your odds of connecting with the ball by focusing on companies with solid sales and earnings growth. Wall Street thinks the three stocks below have some of the best chances for touching all the bases.a.k.a BrandsRetailers like e-commerce play a.k.a Brands got a boost from the reopened economy early last year. However, the persistence of COVID-19 variants took a toll on its initial public offering in September, which saw it price its shares at $11 each, or the low end of its expected valuation.After peaking at over $15 a share, a.k.a Brands was tossed into the discount bin. Today the stock goes for just $4 a share, an excellent opportunity for investors who believe this online retailer is just getting started.The digitally native, direct-to-consumer retailer targets Gen Z and millennial consumers through four distinct brands: Culture Kings, Princess Polly, Petal & Pup, and Rebdolls. It seeks to remain relevant and on trend by acquiring founder-led small businesses also targeting these demographics.Adjusted sales to account for the acquisition of Culture Kings last year were up 59% from 2020, to $562 million. Management is guiding to full-year revenue of between $785 million and $805 million, with adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) of between $90 million and $100 million.Wall Street forecasts that profits will grow at a compounded rate of 57% annually for the next five years, and believes this stock can rise as high as $20 per share within the next year for a 400% increase. With dozens of potential brand acquisitions available, there's a lot of runway for future growth with a.k.a Brands.CarvanaCarvana put a different spin on the car buying process. It's an e-commerce-focused used car operation featuring some 70,000 vehicles that can be delivered directly to your door as soon as the following day. You can also pick one up at one of its 32 \"car vending machines\" across the U.S. Carvana offers financing and a seven-day return policy. Consumers can also sell their vehicles to Carvana, and it recently acquired a vehicle auction company to offer a broader selection of vehicles.Shares of Carvana have been wrecked by the ongoing supply chain issues affecting the auto industry. Because there's been a dearth of new cars hitting showroom floors due to the critical shortage of computer chips, used car demand has soared even as people have held onto their existing vehicles longer, driving used car prices higher.While that's been beneficial for Carvana's profit margins, it also means it has had difficulty acquiring new inventory. While it recorded its 32nd consecutive quarter of higher unit sales, it warned in its fourth-quarter earnings report that the first quarter would prove difficult because of supply chain challenges. Even so, it expects full-year car sales of over 550,000 vehicles -- yet another year of growth.With the stock down 73% to $101 per share, even as analysts have muted their price targets, the consensus is that Carvana can still double over the next year and can rise as high as $470 a share, a 365% increase.FiverrAdd freelancing marketplace operator Fiverr to the list of former high-flying companies that have seen their shares beaten back, but which Wall Street believes still have significant growth potential.Fiverr got a big boost during the lockdown phase of the pandemic as people struck out on their own in the gig economy. Its technology platform connects freelancers with people and companies who need their services, rather than going through an agency or looking for someone through a social media listing. Sellers present their services as gigs, or packages with set prices for their work, providing surety to the buyer.That also makes the purchase process easy and straightforward, and it's one of the reasons Fiverr has demonstrated explosive success. It puts the company in a great position to profit from this growing trend. Yet it's also why the stock is down 75% from its high -- because the market anticipates the meteoric growth it witnessed will slow with the economy reopened.That hasn't exactly panned out. Last year's revenue was up 57% from a year ago and is 178% more than in 2019, suggesting buyers and sellers on the marketplace aren't abandoning Fiverr.Wall Street still sees tremendous upside, with the stock potentially rising from under $64 a share today to $280, a 339% one-year gain.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":40,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9086510838,"gmtCreate":1650468936560,"gmtModify":1676534731407,"author":{"id":"3583805940946266","authorId":"3583805940946266","name":"dlzy900","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a9296920deee300153d681f41bd09970","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583805940946266","idStr":"3583805940946266"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9086510838","repostId":"1105569285","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1105569285","pubTimestamp":1650468622,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1105569285?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-04-20 23:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is The End Near For Musk And Tesla?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1105569285","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryDespite recent gains, investors should consider selling Tesla and other meme stocks now, before institutional money bails.While regulators may still be too frightened to hold Musk accountable, ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Summary</p><ul><li>Despite recent gains, investors should consider selling Tesla and other meme stocks now, before institutional money bails.</li><li>While regulators may still be too frightened to hold Musk accountable, a change in public opinion would be far more consequential to Musk and his empire.</li><li>The hype around Musk’s stake in Twitter and the speculation around his plans for the social media platform takes focus away from the troubles, which are many, ahead of Tesla.</li></ul><p>For years, Elon Musk has used hype to prop up Tesla’s stock. It’s worked so well that other companies have followed his lead. But now, we think the world has seen that the emperor has no clothes. The attempted Twitter (TWTR) takeover is yet another example of Musk bullying his way into what he wants and underscores how his super-star status cannot always convince people to overlook his irreverent, reckless, and potentially illegal behavior. As the recent lawsuit againstMusk shows, he is not completely immune from the consequences of his actions. Despite recent gains, investors should consider selling Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) and other meme stocks now, before institutional money bails.</p><p><b>End of the Road for Musk</b></p><p>Most investors are keenly aware of Musk’s long history of making grand promises that don’t come true – the Roadster, the Semi, the Cybertruck, full-self driving (FSD) etc. – and at times are blatantly unethical, such as tweeting “funding secured” to go private, and pumping Doge coin. But now, we have evidence that he may have acted illegally in the way he reported his purchases of Twitter stock. Given the clear rules about how investors should report large stakes in public companies – like what Musk has in Twitter – this case seems straightforward: Musk broke the rules.</p><p>The next question is how severely he will be punished. If the past is any guide, regulators will not muster more than a slap on the wrist. The real question is how institutional investors will react to signs Musk has pushed the envelope too far.</p><p>Institutional investors own Tesla stock more often because they must, given its influence on their performance, than because they see it as a good investment. Any investor with a rigorous process can see the stock is ridiculously overvalued; so, you own it for the “Musk effect”. Accordingly, the institutional investors’ decision to sell Tesla stock will be based on when Musk’s outsized influence begins to wane.</p><p>We think that moment has come.</p><p><b>Musk Meets His Maker: Twitter</b></p><p>In our view, Musk’s repeated rule-breaking behavior has finally gone too far. Details of the case are still emerging, but Musk’s failure to disclose his more than 5% stake in Twitter arguably hurt investors who sold shares after he crossed that ownership threshold. Instead, Musk kept purchasing shares until reaching a 9% stake in Twitter before disclosing his position. The initial class-action lawsuit and the potential for more have finally gotten the attention of investors, if not regulators.</p><p>The poor reception Twitter’s employees gave the news of Musk’s stake is a very public rejection of his super-star influencer status and provide the first tangible evidence that maybe his star power has limitations. If a hostile takeover prompts a mass exodus of talent, then Musk might end up destroying the company in the process of buying it. That being said, the loudest voices in the company are not necessarily the most valuable.</p><p>As more people join lawsuits against Musk, and Twitter employees continue to express their mistrust of the company’s largest shareholder, institutional investors may seize this moment to quietly unload their shares of overvalued Tesla stock. Now is the time to sell because the price of the stock to this point has been more a reflection of Musk’s ability to draw an audience than any underlying fundamental value in the company.</p><p><b>Live by the Stunt, Die by the Stunt</b></p><p>Ultimately, it appears that as much as Twitter was the launch pad for Musk’s super influence powers, his failure thus far to win the publicity battle could mark the beginning-of-the-end of his super-star status.</p><p>Musk’s Twitter play, which is another in a long series of distractions, could end poorly for Musk. Instead of addressing Tesla’s issues, Musk appears to be attempting to position himself as a defender of free speech. The risk he faces is that instead of looking like a hero he looks more like a bully running an ego-driven takeover with little regard for the rules. While regulators may still be too frightened to hold Musk accountable (more on this below), a change in public opinion would be far more consequential to Musk and his empire.</p><p>Tesla’s investors have not been impressed with Musk’s Twitter antics either, as the stock is down 11% since he announced his ownership in the social media giant. Likewise, the “Musk bump” in Twitter shares is likely to fade as investors realize the only value Musk brought was publicity, and not good publicity either. Although Twitter remains a popular platform, it has its own problems and suggestions such as removing a letter from its name can do more harm than good.</p><p><b>Why Haven’t Regulators Done Anything Before Now?</b></p><p>Tesla’s high stock price has, thus far, kept its CEO well beyond an arm’s length of regulators. Other executives in other times likely would have faced consequences for many of the things Musk has said and done. Today, Tesla’s high stock price indicates investors’ collective belief in Musk’s promises and protects Musk. Regulators don’t want to be accused of causing the company’s stock price to fall, thereby destroying the wealth of many investors and, as a result, footing the cost of defending against numerous shareholder lawsuits.</p><p>Furthermore, Musk can claim Tesla’s elevated stock price and the wealth it endows is what he needs to fulfill his outlandish promises over time. However, should Tesla’s stock price ever reflect realistic expectations for the company, authorities may feel emboldened to pursue legal or regulatory action against Musk and/or Tesla. Credible claims can be made for several offenses, including:</p><ul><li>stock and cryptocurrency manipulation</li><li>false advertising of Full Self Driving (FSD)</li><li>ignoring safety authorities</li><li>neglecting to file documentation on time related to his purchase of Twitter’s shares</li><li>and other claims of dubious veracity</li></ul><p><b>What Will Regulators Do When the Bubble Pops?</b></p><p>Musk has positioned himself as a pop-culture icon. Though society loves to build up celebrities, so too does it love tearing them down even more. Once Tesla’s stock price falls from its overly inflated levels, Musk will lose his cover that has protected him from all his unethical and arguably illegal behavior. Regulators are likely to come after Musk with knives out after all the humiliation they had to suffer at his hand.</p><p><b>Trouble on the Horizon</b></p><p>All the hype around Musk’s large stake in Twitter and the speculation around his plans for the social media platform takes focus away from the troubles, which are many, ahead for Tesla. Of course, that is likely his goal. Below we discuss the fundamentals of Tesla’s business, which cannot be wished away or made irrelevant with hype.</p><p><b>Incumbents Are Catching Up:</b> Tesla’s first-mover advantage has long been cited as reason enough for investors to pile their money into the company. However, that advantage is gone, and in some cases turning into a lag. Ford (F), Rivian (RIVN), and General Motors (GM) aim to produce EV trucks in 2022, but Tesla will be on the sidelines until at least 2023 before launching its Cybertruck.</p><p>The rising competition from incumbents means the days of Tesla’s rising profitability could be numbered. For starters, 26% of the company’s GAAP earnings in 2021 were from the sale of regulatory credits, not from the underlying economics of making and selling vehicles and other ancillary services.</p><p>Once incumbents increase production of EVs they will need to purchase fewer credits from Elon. That means Tesla needs to actually start <i>selling</i> <i>cars</i>to make money. The catch-22 is that for the company to sell more cars, it first needs to increase its production capacity. If Tesla’s succeeds in selling more cars capital expenditure and working capital are primed to grow along with sales. Tesla needs to build economies of scale before it can benefit from them.</p><p><b>Market Share Losses Continue:</b> Incumbent automakers have entered the EV market with scale and are already taking market share from Tesla. Per Figure 2, Tesla’s share of global EV sales fell from 16% in 2019 to 14% in 2021.</p><p>Tesla’s share of the U.S. EV market fell from 79% in2020to 70% in2021. With light truck sales comprising more than three out of every four vehicles sold in the U.S. in January 2022, Tesla falling behind in truck EVs means its share of the U.S. market could fall further.</p><p><b>Figure 2: Tesla’s Share of the Global EV Sales</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bc4dd16dde86e1ab31f85bd8a2af4aee\" tg-width=\"630\" tg-height=\"260\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>TSLA Market Share Since 2019(New Constructs, LLC)</p><p>Sources: New Constructs, LLC, EV-volumes.com and Statista</p><p><b>Slow Start to 2022:</b>Though Teslaforecastedan at least 50% YoY rise in deliveries in 2022, the company is feeling the effects of supply chain problems – just like every other automaker. The company delivered 310,000 vehicles in the quarter, while consensus estimates were for 313,000.</p><p><b>Reverse DCF Math: Valuation Implies Tesla Will Own at Least 57% of the Global Passenger EV Market</b></p><p>Despite the increased competition, failure to meet delivery expectations, and diminutive share of the global EV market in 2021, Tesla’s valuation implies the company will own 57% of the global passenger EV market in 2030.</p><p>Even if Tesla increases the average selling price (ASP) per vehicle to $55K vs. ($49K in 2021), Tesla’s stock price at ~$1,100/share implies the firm will sell 15 million vehicles in 2030 versus ~936k in 2021. That figure represents 57% of the projected base case global EV passenger vehicle market in 2030 and the implied vehicle sales based on a lower ASP looks even more unrealistic.</p><p>To provide inarguably best-case scenarios for assessing the expectations reflected in Tesla’s stock price, we assume Tesla achieves profit margins 1.5x Toyota Motor Corp (TM) and triples its current auto manufacturing efficiency.</p><p>Per Figure 3, an $1,100/share price implies that, in 2030, Tesla will sell the following number of vehicles based on these ASP benchmarks:</p><ul><li>15 million vehicles – ASP of $55K (above average U.S. new car price of $47K in 2021)</li><li>7 million vehicles – ASP of $49K (equal to Tesla’s 2021 ASP[1])</li><li>21 million vehicles – ASP of $38K (equal to General Motors’ ASP[2] of $38K in 2021)</li></ul><p>If Tesla achieves those EV sales, the implied market share for the company would be the following (assuming global passenger EV sales reach 26 million in 2030, the base case projection from the IEA):</p><ul><li>57% for 15 million vehicles</li><li>64% for 17 million vehicles</li><li>83% for 21 million vehicles</li></ul><p>If we assume the IEA’s best case for global passenger EV sales in 2030, 47 million vehicles, the above vehicle sales represent:</p><ul><li>31% for 15 million vehicles</li><li>35% for 17 million vehicles</li><li>45% for 21 million vehicles</li></ul><p><b>Figure 3: Tesla’s Implied Vehicle Sales in 2030 to Justify $1,100/Share</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bad84793f241565c81ebb0d29b01242c\" tg-width=\"630\" tg-height=\"284\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>TSLA DCF Implied Vehicle Production(New Constructs, LLC)</p><p>Sources: New Constructs, LLC and company filings</p><p><b>Tesla Must Generate More Profits Than Apple For Investors to Make Money</b></p><p>Below are the assumptions we use in our reverse discounted cash flow model to calculate the implied production levels above.</p><p>Bulls should understand what Tesla needs to accomplish to justify ~$1,100/share:</p><ul><li>immediately achieve a 14% NOPAT margin (1.5x Toyota’s margin, which is the highest of the large-scale automakers we cover), compared to Tesla’s TTM margin of 8%) and</li><li>grow revenue by 32% compounded annually from 2022 to 2030.</li></ul><p>In this scenario, Tesla generates <i>$811 billion</i> in revenue in 2030, which is 116% of the combined revenues of Toyota, Stellantis (STLA), Ford, General Motors, and Honda (HMC) over the past twelve months. Tesla must replace the U.S. auto industry before 2030 to justify current valuations.</p><p>This scenario also implies Tesla grows net operating profit after-tax (NOPAT) by 2,458% from 2021 to 2030. In this scenario, Tesla generates $112 billion in NOPAT in 2030, or 12% higher than Apple’s (AAPL) TTM NOPAT, which, at $100 billion, is the highest of all companies we cover, and 65% higher than Microsoft (MSFT), the second-highest. Those companies have intertwined themselves in the lives of consumers and businesses around the world, which seems an unlikely feat for Tesla at this point.</p><p><b>TSLA Has 46% Downside If Morgan Stanley Is Right About Sales</b></p><p>If we assume Tesla reaches Morgan Stanley’s estimate of selling 8.1 million cars in 2030 (which implies a 31% share of the global passenger EV market in 2030), at an ASP of $55k, the stock is worth just $542/share. Details:</p><ul><li>NOPAT margin improves to 14% and</li><li>revenue grows 27% compounded annually over the next decade, then</li></ul><p>the stock is worth just $547/share today – a 46% downside to the current price. See the math behind this reverse DCF scenario. In this scenario, Tesla grows NOPAT to $62 billion, or nearly 14x its 2021 NOPAT, and just 7% below Alphabet’s (GOOGL) 2021 NOPAT.</p><p><b>TSLA Has 80%+ Downside Even with 27% Market Share and Realistic Margins</b></p><p>If we estimate more reasonable (but still very optimistic) margins and market share achievements for Tesla, the stock is worth just $200/share. Here’s the math:</p><ul><li>NOPAT margin improves to 9% (equal to Toyota’s TTM margin) and</li><li>revenue grows by consensus estimates from 2022 to 2024 and</li><li>revenue grows 17% a year from 2025 to 2030, then</li></ul><p>the stock is worth just $200/share today – an 80% downside to the current price.</p><p>In this scenario, Tesla sells 7 million cars (27% of the global passenger EV market in 2030) at an ASP of $47K (average new car price in U.S. in 2021) and grows NOPAT by 24% compounded annually from 2022 to 2030.</p><p>We also assume a more realistic NOPAT margin of 9% in this scenario, which is 1.3x higher than Toyota’s industry-leading five-year average NOPAT margin of 7%. Given the required capital requirements to fund manufacturing and match increased competition in the EV market, Tesla is unlikely to achieve and sustain a margin as high as 9% from 2022 to 2030. If Tesla fails to meet these expectations, then the stock is worth less than $200/share.</p><p>Figure 4 compares the firm’s historical NOPAT to the NOPAT implied in the above scenarios to illustrate just how high the expectations baked into Tesla’s stock price remain. For additional context, we show Toyota’s, General Motors’, and Apple’s TTM NOPAT.</p><p><b>Figure 4: Tesla’s Historical and Implied NOPAT: DCF Valuation Scenarios</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3e43f865637ac4c84e8199df2b05d061\" tg-width=\"630\" tg-height=\"330\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>TSLA DCF Implied NOPAT(New Constructs, LLC)</p><p>Sources: New Constructs, LLC and company filings</p><p>Each of the above scenarios assumes Tesla’s invested capital grows 14% compounded annually through 2030. For reference, Tesla’s invested capital grew 49% compounded annually from 2011 to 2021 and 30% compounded annually since 2015.</p><p>An invested capital CAGR of 14% represents 1/3rdthe CAGR of Tesla’s property, plant, and equipment since 2011 and assumes the company can build future plants and produce cars 3x more efficiently than it has so far.</p><p>In other words, we aim to provide inarguably best-case scenarios for assessing the expectations for future market share and profits reflected in Tesla’s stock market valuation.</p><p><b>Tesla Won’t Be the Only One to Fall</b></p><p>Other meme stocks have taken pages from the Musk playbook and will likely suffer the same fate we expect Tesla to suffer once the game is up. GameStop (GME) promised to transform itself into an ecommerce powerhouse, yet the company continues to head in the opposite direction and earnings continue to disappoint. GameStop’s Core Earnings fell from -$200 million in fiscal 2021 to -$321 million in fiscal 2022.</p><p>Despite the company’s inability to quickly execute operational change, GameStop’s stock has remained well above a reasonable valuation thanks in part to announcing the launch of a marketplace for nonfungible tokens (NFTs) and partnerships with blockchain firms.</p><p>AMC Entertainment Holdings (AMC) has also run several Tesla-esque plays to prop up its stock. Indeed, the company’s CEO recently tweeted that the company is “playing on offense again” with its investment in a microcap gold mine. Before gold mines, the company got on the crypto bandwagon in 2021 by accepting Bitcoin, Ethereum, Bitcoin Cash, and Litecoin.</p><p>Beyond the repeated attempts at propping up their stocks, the fundamentally weak business models of Tesla, GameStop, and AMC Entertainment in highly competitive industries burn cash and continue to dilute shareholders whenever possible. Per Figure 5, despite combining for more than $1.1 trillion of market cap, Tesla, AMC Entertainment, and GameStop have a combined economic book value, our measure of the no growth value of a stock, of -$52 billion and -$4.3 billion of free cash flow over the past twelve months.</p><p><b>Figure 5: Meme Stock’s Market Cap, Economic Book Value &amp; FCF: TTM</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/add55782c8e6b0e8a891f84c9ec7421f\" tg-width=\"630\" tg-height=\"119\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Meme Stocks Market Cap, Economic Book Value, FCF(New Constructs, LLC)</p><p>Sources: New Constructs, LLC and company filings</p><p><i>This article originally published on April 14, 2022.</i></p><p><i>Disclosure: David Trainer, Kyle Guske II, and Matt Shuler receive no compensation to write about any specific stock, sector, style, or theme.</i></p><p>[1] Tesla’s ASP = (total automotive revenues – regulatory credits) / deliveries</p><p>[2] General Motors’ ASP = Vehicle, parts and accessories / wholesale vehicle sales</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is The End Near For Musk And Tesla?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs The End Near For Musk And Tesla?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-04-20 23:30 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4501979-is-the-end-near-for-musk-and-tesla><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryDespite recent gains, investors should consider selling Tesla and other meme stocks now, before institutional money bails.While regulators may still be too frightened to hold Musk accountable, ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4501979-is-the-end-near-for-musk-and-tesla\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4501979-is-the-end-near-for-musk-and-tesla","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1105569285","content_text":"SummaryDespite recent gains, investors should consider selling Tesla and other meme stocks now, before institutional money bails.While regulators may still be too frightened to hold Musk accountable, a change in public opinion would be far more consequential to Musk and his empire.The hype around Musk’s stake in Twitter and the speculation around his plans for the social media platform takes focus away from the troubles, which are many, ahead of Tesla.For years, Elon Musk has used hype to prop up Tesla’s stock. It’s worked so well that other companies have followed his lead. But now, we think the world has seen that the emperor has no clothes. The attempted Twitter (TWTR) takeover is yet another example of Musk bullying his way into what he wants and underscores how his super-star status cannot always convince people to overlook his irreverent, reckless, and potentially illegal behavior. As the recent lawsuit againstMusk shows, he is not completely immune from the consequences of his actions. Despite recent gains, investors should consider selling Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) and other meme stocks now, before institutional money bails.End of the Road for MuskMost investors are keenly aware of Musk’s long history of making grand promises that don’t come true – the Roadster, the Semi, the Cybertruck, full-self driving (FSD) etc. – and at times are blatantly unethical, such as tweeting “funding secured” to go private, and pumping Doge coin. But now, we have evidence that he may have acted illegally in the way he reported his purchases of Twitter stock. Given the clear rules about how investors should report large stakes in public companies – like what Musk has in Twitter – this case seems straightforward: Musk broke the rules.The next question is how severely he will be punished. If the past is any guide, regulators will not muster more than a slap on the wrist. The real question is how institutional investors will react to signs Musk has pushed the envelope too far.Institutional investors own Tesla stock more often because they must, given its influence on their performance, than because they see it as a good investment. Any investor with a rigorous process can see the stock is ridiculously overvalued; so, you own it for the “Musk effect”. Accordingly, the institutional investors’ decision to sell Tesla stock will be based on when Musk’s outsized influence begins to wane.We think that moment has come.Musk Meets His Maker: TwitterIn our view, Musk’s repeated rule-breaking behavior has finally gone too far. Details of the case are still emerging, but Musk’s failure to disclose his more than 5% stake in Twitter arguably hurt investors who sold shares after he crossed that ownership threshold. Instead, Musk kept purchasing shares until reaching a 9% stake in Twitter before disclosing his position. The initial class-action lawsuit and the potential for more have finally gotten the attention of investors, if not regulators.The poor reception Twitter’s employees gave the news of Musk’s stake is a very public rejection of his super-star influencer status and provide the first tangible evidence that maybe his star power has limitations. If a hostile takeover prompts a mass exodus of talent, then Musk might end up destroying the company in the process of buying it. That being said, the loudest voices in the company are not necessarily the most valuable.As more people join lawsuits against Musk, and Twitter employees continue to express their mistrust of the company’s largest shareholder, institutional investors may seize this moment to quietly unload their shares of overvalued Tesla stock. Now is the time to sell because the price of the stock to this point has been more a reflection of Musk’s ability to draw an audience than any underlying fundamental value in the company.Live by the Stunt, Die by the StuntUltimately, it appears that as much as Twitter was the launch pad for Musk’s super influence powers, his failure thus far to win the publicity battle could mark the beginning-of-the-end of his super-star status.Musk’s Twitter play, which is another in a long series of distractions, could end poorly for Musk. Instead of addressing Tesla’s issues, Musk appears to be attempting to position himself as a defender of free speech. The risk he faces is that instead of looking like a hero he looks more like a bully running an ego-driven takeover with little regard for the rules. While regulators may still be too frightened to hold Musk accountable (more on this below), a change in public opinion would be far more consequential to Musk and his empire.Tesla’s investors have not been impressed with Musk’s Twitter antics either, as the stock is down 11% since he announced his ownership in the social media giant. Likewise, the “Musk bump” in Twitter shares is likely to fade as investors realize the only value Musk brought was publicity, and not good publicity either. Although Twitter remains a popular platform, it has its own problems and suggestions such as removing a letter from its name can do more harm than good.Why Haven’t Regulators Done Anything Before Now?Tesla’s high stock price has, thus far, kept its CEO well beyond an arm’s length of regulators. Other executives in other times likely would have faced consequences for many of the things Musk has said and done. Today, Tesla’s high stock price indicates investors’ collective belief in Musk’s promises and protects Musk. Regulators don’t want to be accused of causing the company’s stock price to fall, thereby destroying the wealth of many investors and, as a result, footing the cost of defending against numerous shareholder lawsuits.Furthermore, Musk can claim Tesla’s elevated stock price and the wealth it endows is what he needs to fulfill his outlandish promises over time. However, should Tesla’s stock price ever reflect realistic expectations for the company, authorities may feel emboldened to pursue legal or regulatory action against Musk and/or Tesla. Credible claims can be made for several offenses, including:stock and cryptocurrency manipulationfalse advertising of Full Self Driving (FSD)ignoring safety authoritiesneglecting to file documentation on time related to his purchase of Twitter’s sharesand other claims of dubious veracityWhat Will Regulators Do When the Bubble Pops?Musk has positioned himself as a pop-culture icon. Though society loves to build up celebrities, so too does it love tearing them down even more. Once Tesla’s stock price falls from its overly inflated levels, Musk will lose his cover that has protected him from all his unethical and arguably illegal behavior. Regulators are likely to come after Musk with knives out after all the humiliation they had to suffer at his hand.Trouble on the HorizonAll the hype around Musk’s large stake in Twitter and the speculation around his plans for the social media platform takes focus away from the troubles, which are many, ahead for Tesla. Of course, that is likely his goal. Below we discuss the fundamentals of Tesla’s business, which cannot be wished away or made irrelevant with hype.Incumbents Are Catching Up: Tesla’s first-mover advantage has long been cited as reason enough for investors to pile their money into the company. However, that advantage is gone, and in some cases turning into a lag. Ford (F), Rivian (RIVN), and General Motors (GM) aim to produce EV trucks in 2022, but Tesla will be on the sidelines until at least 2023 before launching its Cybertruck.The rising competition from incumbents means the days of Tesla’s rising profitability could be numbered. For starters, 26% of the company’s GAAP earnings in 2021 were from the sale of regulatory credits, not from the underlying economics of making and selling vehicles and other ancillary services.Once incumbents increase production of EVs they will need to purchase fewer credits from Elon. That means Tesla needs to actually start selling carsto make money. The catch-22 is that for the company to sell more cars, it first needs to increase its production capacity. If Tesla’s succeeds in selling more cars capital expenditure and working capital are primed to grow along with sales. Tesla needs to build economies of scale before it can benefit from them.Market Share Losses Continue: Incumbent automakers have entered the EV market with scale and are already taking market share from Tesla. Per Figure 2, Tesla’s share of global EV sales fell from 16% in 2019 to 14% in 2021.Tesla’s share of the U.S. EV market fell from 79% in2020to 70% in2021. With light truck sales comprising more than three out of every four vehicles sold in the U.S. in January 2022, Tesla falling behind in truck EVs means its share of the U.S. market could fall further.Figure 2: Tesla’s Share of the Global EV SalesTSLA Market Share Since 2019(New Constructs, LLC)Sources: New Constructs, LLC, EV-volumes.com and StatistaSlow Start to 2022:Though Teslaforecastedan at least 50% YoY rise in deliveries in 2022, the company is feeling the effects of supply chain problems – just like every other automaker. The company delivered 310,000 vehicles in the quarter, while consensus estimates were for 313,000.Reverse DCF Math: Valuation Implies Tesla Will Own at Least 57% of the Global Passenger EV MarketDespite the increased competition, failure to meet delivery expectations, and diminutive share of the global EV market in 2021, Tesla’s valuation implies the company will own 57% of the global passenger EV market in 2030.Even if Tesla increases the average selling price (ASP) per vehicle to $55K vs. ($49K in 2021), Tesla’s stock price at ~$1,100/share implies the firm will sell 15 million vehicles in 2030 versus ~936k in 2021. That figure represents 57% of the projected base case global EV passenger vehicle market in 2030 and the implied vehicle sales based on a lower ASP looks even more unrealistic.To provide inarguably best-case scenarios for assessing the expectations reflected in Tesla’s stock price, we assume Tesla achieves profit margins 1.5x Toyota Motor Corp (TM) and triples its current auto manufacturing efficiency.Per Figure 3, an $1,100/share price implies that, in 2030, Tesla will sell the following number of vehicles based on these ASP benchmarks:15 million vehicles – ASP of $55K (above average U.S. new car price of $47K in 2021)7 million vehicles – ASP of $49K (equal to Tesla’s 2021 ASP[1])21 million vehicles – ASP of $38K (equal to General Motors’ ASP[2] of $38K in 2021)If Tesla achieves those EV sales, the implied market share for the company would be the following (assuming global passenger EV sales reach 26 million in 2030, the base case projection from the IEA):57% for 15 million vehicles64% for 17 million vehicles83% for 21 million vehiclesIf we assume the IEA’s best case for global passenger EV sales in 2030, 47 million vehicles, the above vehicle sales represent:31% for 15 million vehicles35% for 17 million vehicles45% for 21 million vehiclesFigure 3: Tesla’s Implied Vehicle Sales in 2030 to Justify $1,100/ShareTSLA DCF Implied Vehicle Production(New Constructs, LLC)Sources: New Constructs, LLC and company filingsTesla Must Generate More Profits Than Apple For Investors to Make MoneyBelow are the assumptions we use in our reverse discounted cash flow model to calculate the implied production levels above.Bulls should understand what Tesla needs to accomplish to justify ~$1,100/share:immediately achieve a 14% NOPAT margin (1.5x Toyota’s margin, which is the highest of the large-scale automakers we cover), compared to Tesla’s TTM margin of 8%) andgrow revenue by 32% compounded annually from 2022 to 2030.In this scenario, Tesla generates $811 billion in revenue in 2030, which is 116% of the combined revenues of Toyota, Stellantis (STLA), Ford, General Motors, and Honda (HMC) over the past twelve months. Tesla must replace the U.S. auto industry before 2030 to justify current valuations.This scenario also implies Tesla grows net operating profit after-tax (NOPAT) by 2,458% from 2021 to 2030. In this scenario, Tesla generates $112 billion in NOPAT in 2030, or 12% higher than Apple’s (AAPL) TTM NOPAT, which, at $100 billion, is the highest of all companies we cover, and 65% higher than Microsoft (MSFT), the second-highest. Those companies have intertwined themselves in the lives of consumers and businesses around the world, which seems an unlikely feat for Tesla at this point.TSLA Has 46% Downside If Morgan Stanley Is Right About SalesIf we assume Tesla reaches Morgan Stanley’s estimate of selling 8.1 million cars in 2030 (which implies a 31% share of the global passenger EV market in 2030), at an ASP of $55k, the stock is worth just $542/share. Details:NOPAT margin improves to 14% andrevenue grows 27% compounded annually over the next decade, thenthe stock is worth just $547/share today – a 46% downside to the current price. See the math behind this reverse DCF scenario. In this scenario, Tesla grows NOPAT to $62 billion, or nearly 14x its 2021 NOPAT, and just 7% below Alphabet’s (GOOGL) 2021 NOPAT.TSLA Has 80%+ Downside Even with 27% Market Share and Realistic MarginsIf we estimate more reasonable (but still very optimistic) margins and market share achievements for Tesla, the stock is worth just $200/share. Here’s the math:NOPAT margin improves to 9% (equal to Toyota’s TTM margin) andrevenue grows by consensus estimates from 2022 to 2024 andrevenue grows 17% a year from 2025 to 2030, thenthe stock is worth just $200/share today – an 80% downside to the current price.In this scenario, Tesla sells 7 million cars (27% of the global passenger EV market in 2030) at an ASP of $47K (average new car price in U.S. in 2021) and grows NOPAT by 24% compounded annually from 2022 to 2030.We also assume a more realistic NOPAT margin of 9% in this scenario, which is 1.3x higher than Toyota’s industry-leading five-year average NOPAT margin of 7%. Given the required capital requirements to fund manufacturing and match increased competition in the EV market, Tesla is unlikely to achieve and sustain a margin as high as 9% from 2022 to 2030. If Tesla fails to meet these expectations, then the stock is worth less than $200/share.Figure 4 compares the firm’s historical NOPAT to the NOPAT implied in the above scenarios to illustrate just how high the expectations baked into Tesla’s stock price remain. For additional context, we show Toyota’s, General Motors’, and Apple’s TTM NOPAT.Figure 4: Tesla’s Historical and Implied NOPAT: DCF Valuation ScenariosTSLA DCF Implied NOPAT(New Constructs, LLC)Sources: New Constructs, LLC and company filingsEach of the above scenarios assumes Tesla’s invested capital grows 14% compounded annually through 2030. For reference, Tesla’s invested capital grew 49% compounded annually from 2011 to 2021 and 30% compounded annually since 2015.An invested capital CAGR of 14% represents 1/3rdthe CAGR of Tesla’s property, plant, and equipment since 2011 and assumes the company can build future plants and produce cars 3x more efficiently than it has so far.In other words, we aim to provide inarguably best-case scenarios for assessing the expectations for future market share and profits reflected in Tesla’s stock market valuation.Tesla Won’t Be the Only One to FallOther meme stocks have taken pages from the Musk playbook and will likely suffer the same fate we expect Tesla to suffer once the game is up. GameStop (GME) promised to transform itself into an ecommerce powerhouse, yet the company continues to head in the opposite direction and earnings continue to disappoint. GameStop’s Core Earnings fell from -$200 million in fiscal 2021 to -$321 million in fiscal 2022.Despite the company’s inability to quickly execute operational change, GameStop’s stock has remained well above a reasonable valuation thanks in part to announcing the launch of a marketplace for nonfungible tokens (NFTs) and partnerships with blockchain firms.AMC Entertainment Holdings (AMC) has also run several Tesla-esque plays to prop up its stock. Indeed, the company’s CEO recently tweeted that the company is “playing on offense again” with its investment in a microcap gold mine. Before gold mines, the company got on the crypto bandwagon in 2021 by accepting Bitcoin, Ethereum, Bitcoin Cash, and Litecoin.Beyond the repeated attempts at propping up their stocks, the fundamentally weak business models of Tesla, GameStop, and AMC Entertainment in highly competitive industries burn cash and continue to dilute shareholders whenever possible. Per Figure 5, despite combining for more than $1.1 trillion of market cap, Tesla, AMC Entertainment, and GameStop have a combined economic book value, our measure of the no growth value of a stock, of -$52 billion and -$4.3 billion of free cash flow over the past twelve months.Figure 5: Meme Stock’s Market Cap, Economic Book Value & FCF: TTMMeme Stocks Market Cap, Economic Book Value, FCF(New Constructs, LLC)Sources: New Constructs, LLC and company filingsThis article originally published on April 14, 2022.Disclosure: David Trainer, Kyle Guske II, and Matt Shuler receive no compensation to write about any specific stock, sector, style, or theme.[1] Tesla’s ASP = (total automotive revenues – regulatory credits) / deliveries[2] General Motors’ ASP = Vehicle, parts and accessories / wholesale vehicle sales","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":69,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9020885040,"gmtCreate":1652605177680,"gmtModify":1676535128135,"author":{"id":"3583805940946266","authorId":"3583805940946266","name":"dlzy900","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a9296920deee300153d681f41bd09970","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583805940946266","idStr":"3583805940946266"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"okay","listText":"okay","text":"okay","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9020885040","repostId":"2235110483","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2235110483","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1652577589,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2235110483?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-15 09:19","market":"us","language":"en","title":"How a Bitcoin Market \"in Extreme Fear\" Compares with the Past, and What to Expect Next","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2235110483","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"It has been a bloodbath week, as some called it, for the crypto market.Stablecoin USDTerra, or UST ,","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>It has been a bloodbath week, as some called it, for the crypto market.</p><p>Stablecoin USDTerra, or UST , once among the top 10 largest cryptocurrency by market cap, lost its 1 to 1 peg against the U.S. dollar, falling to as low as 6 cents on Friday, according to CoinDesk data. LUNA , another cryptocurrency backing UST, fell nearly to zero from over $80 in early May, with its market capitalization shrinking by more than $40 billion from early April.</p><p>It marks &#34;the largest wealth destruction event in the short history of the crypto markets,&#34; since bitcoin was created in 2019, crypto trading firm QCP Capital wrote in a Friday note.</p><p>Meanwhile, bitcoin  on Thursday fell to $25,402, the lowest level since December 2020, before it rebounded to about $30,000 on Friday, according to CoinDesk data. The bitcoin fear and greed index currently stands at <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of its lowest points, indicating extreme fear</p><p>Tether , the largest stablecoin, briefly fell to as low as 96 cents against the dollar on Thursday, before it rebounded to $1.</p><p>More than$400 billionhas been wiped out from the crypto market during the past seven days, according to CoinGecko. All sectors within the crypto space have seen double-digit losses during this period, with cryptocurrencies related to Web 3, the so-called next generation of the internet, posting the biggest loss of 41% on average, according to analysts at Messari.</p><p>The series of events may herald the beginning of another &#34;crypto winter,&#34; said one industry participant, echoing a common theme this week on <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWTR\">Twitter</a>.</p><p>Some are more optimistic. &#34;It&#39;s a pattern. Back when we look at what happened in 2014, the crash happened and there&#39;s a big panic. People say, oh, crypto is dead. It&#39;s not coming back. But of course, it has come back,&#34; Mike Belshe, founder and chief executive at crypto infrastructure provider BitGo, told MarketWatch in an interview.</p><p>To be sure, the industry is still nascent and lightly regulated, while the crypto market remains volatile with high risks.</p><h2>Bitcoin drawdown</h2><p>At a Thursday low of $25,402, bitcoin was down 63% from its all-time high of $68,990 in November. The percentage of decline is larger than the 54% fall from the cycle high in July 2021, but smaller than that in other bear markets.</p><p>The chart below shows bitcoin&#39;s previous drawdown from each cycle highs.</p><p>In March 2020, bitcoin was down up to 77% from the cycle high, according to Glassnode data. In the bear markets of January 2015 and December 2018, bitcoin capitulated at lows of 85.5% and 83.8% from local highs, respectively, according to Glassnode data.</p><h2>Market bottom?</h2><p>Some said bitcoin is nearing a &#34;generational cyclical bottom.&#34;</p><p>Bitcoin&#39;s low on Thursday is close to its realized price, the aggregated cost basis of investors on-chain, which currently stands at $24,000, Will Clemente, lead insights analyst at bitcoin mining company Blockware Solutions, wrote in a Friday note.  &#34;Any prices below realized price should be seen as extreme value,&#34; Clemente wrote.</p><p>Historically, whenever bitcoin&#39;s price approached the realized price, it indicated a buying opportunity, Clemente told MarketWatch in a recent interview.</p><p>It&#39;s also worth watching bitcoin&#39;s 200-week moving average price, which usually indicates a cyclical bottom, Clemente said. It currently stands slightly above $21,500.</p><p>Still, great uncertainties remain in financial markets, as demonstrated by price actions across equities.</p><p>Read:Despite bounce, S&amp;P 500 hovers perilously close to bear market. Here&#39;s the number that counts</p><p>&#34;I think that this is just the beginning of an ongoing decline in crypto,&#34; Jay Hatfield, chief investment officer at Infrastructure Capital Management, told MarketWatch in a recent interview.</p><p>Hatfield attributed bitcoin&#39;s high return in 2020 and 2021 partly to the Federal Reserve&#39;s quantitative easing policy. &#34;We had an unprecedented increase in Fed liquidity, buying $120 billion a month of securities. And now we will have an erratic shift to a reduction in liquidity for $95 billion per month,&#34; Hatfield said.</p><p>&#34;The Fed hasn&#39;t even begun to do quantitative tightening. They just said they&#39;re going to,&#34; Hatfield said.</p><p>Hatfield estimated bitcoin could fall to $20,000 by the end of this year, and said in the worst scenario, it may drop back to its pre-pandemic level, which was about $10,000. &#34;I&#39;m not predicting we&#39;ll get there, but $10,000 would be a reasonable target,&#34; Hatfield said. Hatfield compared bitcoin with Cathie Wood&#39;s flagship Ark Innovation <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PSFF\">Pacer Swan SOS Fund of Funds ETF|ETF</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARKK\">$(ARKK)$</a>, which is down more than 70% from its peak and at about the same level in March 2020.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>How a Bitcoin Market \"in Extreme Fear\" Compares with the Past, and What to Expect Next</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHow a Bitcoin Market \"in Extreme Fear\" Compares with the Past, and What to Expect Next\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-05-15 09:19</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>It has been a bloodbath week, as some called it, for the crypto market.</p><p>Stablecoin USDTerra, or UST , once among the top 10 largest cryptocurrency by market cap, lost its 1 to 1 peg against the U.S. dollar, falling to as low as 6 cents on Friday, according to CoinDesk data. LUNA , another cryptocurrency backing UST, fell nearly to zero from over $80 in early May, with its market capitalization shrinking by more than $40 billion from early April.</p><p>It marks &#34;the largest wealth destruction event in the short history of the crypto markets,&#34; since bitcoin was created in 2019, crypto trading firm QCP Capital wrote in a Friday note.</p><p>Meanwhile, bitcoin  on Thursday fell to $25,402, the lowest level since December 2020, before it rebounded to about $30,000 on Friday, according to CoinDesk data. The bitcoin fear and greed index currently stands at <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of its lowest points, indicating extreme fear</p><p>Tether , the largest stablecoin, briefly fell to as low as 96 cents against the dollar on Thursday, before it rebounded to $1.</p><p>More than$400 billionhas been wiped out from the crypto market during the past seven days, according to CoinGecko. All sectors within the crypto space have seen double-digit losses during this period, with cryptocurrencies related to Web 3, the so-called next generation of the internet, posting the biggest loss of 41% on average, according to analysts at Messari.</p><p>The series of events may herald the beginning of another &#34;crypto winter,&#34; said one industry participant, echoing a common theme this week on <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWTR\">Twitter</a>.</p><p>Some are more optimistic. &#34;It&#39;s a pattern. Back when we look at what happened in 2014, the crash happened and there&#39;s a big panic. People say, oh, crypto is dead. It&#39;s not coming back. But of course, it has come back,&#34; Mike Belshe, founder and chief executive at crypto infrastructure provider BitGo, told MarketWatch in an interview.</p><p>To be sure, the industry is still nascent and lightly regulated, while the crypto market remains volatile with high risks.</p><h2>Bitcoin drawdown</h2><p>At a Thursday low of $25,402, bitcoin was down 63% from its all-time high of $68,990 in November. The percentage of decline is larger than the 54% fall from the cycle high in July 2021, but smaller than that in other bear markets.</p><p>The chart below shows bitcoin&#39;s previous drawdown from each cycle highs.</p><p>In March 2020, bitcoin was down up to 77% from the cycle high, according to Glassnode data. In the bear markets of January 2015 and December 2018, bitcoin capitulated at lows of 85.5% and 83.8% from local highs, respectively, according to Glassnode data.</p><h2>Market bottom?</h2><p>Some said bitcoin is nearing a &#34;generational cyclical bottom.&#34;</p><p>Bitcoin&#39;s low on Thursday is close to its realized price, the aggregated cost basis of investors on-chain, which currently stands at $24,000, Will Clemente, lead insights analyst at bitcoin mining company Blockware Solutions, wrote in a Friday note.  &#34;Any prices below realized price should be seen as extreme value,&#34; Clemente wrote.</p><p>Historically, whenever bitcoin&#39;s price approached the realized price, it indicated a buying opportunity, Clemente told MarketWatch in a recent interview.</p><p>It&#39;s also worth watching bitcoin&#39;s 200-week moving average price, which usually indicates a cyclical bottom, Clemente said. It currently stands slightly above $21,500.</p><p>Still, great uncertainties remain in financial markets, as demonstrated by price actions across equities.</p><p>Read:Despite bounce, S&amp;P 500 hovers perilously close to bear market. Here&#39;s the number that counts</p><p>&#34;I think that this is just the beginning of an ongoing decline in crypto,&#34; Jay Hatfield, chief investment officer at Infrastructure Capital Management, told MarketWatch in a recent interview.</p><p>Hatfield attributed bitcoin&#39;s high return in 2020 and 2021 partly to the Federal Reserve&#39;s quantitative easing policy. &#34;We had an unprecedented increase in Fed liquidity, buying $120 billion a month of securities. And now we will have an erratic shift to a reduction in liquidity for $95 billion per month,&#34; Hatfield said.</p><p>&#34;The Fed hasn&#39;t even begun to do quantitative tightening. They just said they&#39;re going to,&#34; Hatfield said.</p><p>Hatfield estimated bitcoin could fall to $20,000 by the end of this year, and said in the worst scenario, it may drop back to its pre-pandemic level, which was about $10,000. &#34;I&#39;m not predicting we&#39;ll get there, but $10,000 would be a reasonable target,&#34; Hatfield said. Hatfield compared bitcoin with Cathie Wood&#39;s flagship Ark Innovation <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PSFF\">Pacer Swan SOS Fund of Funds ETF|ETF</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARKK\">$(ARKK)$</a>, which is down more than 70% from its peak and at about the same level in March 2020.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ARKK":"ARK Innovation ETF","BK4544":"ARK ETF合集"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2235110483","content_text":"It has been a bloodbath week, as some called it, for the crypto market.Stablecoin USDTerra, or UST , once among the top 10 largest cryptocurrency by market cap, lost its 1 to 1 peg against the U.S. dollar, falling to as low as 6 cents on Friday, according to CoinDesk data. LUNA , another cryptocurrency backing UST, fell nearly to zero from over $80 in early May, with its market capitalization shrinking by more than $40 billion from early April.It marks \"the largest wealth destruction event in the short history of the crypto markets,\" since bitcoin was created in 2019, crypto trading firm QCP Capital wrote in a Friday note.Meanwhile, bitcoin  on Thursday fell to $25,402, the lowest level since December 2020, before it rebounded to about $30,000 on Friday, according to CoinDesk data. The bitcoin fear and greed index currently stands at one of its lowest points, indicating extreme fearTether , the largest stablecoin, briefly fell to as low as 96 cents against the dollar on Thursday, before it rebounded to $1.More than$400 billionhas been wiped out from the crypto market during the past seven days, according to CoinGecko. All sectors within the crypto space have seen double-digit losses during this period, with cryptocurrencies related to Web 3, the so-called next generation of the internet, posting the biggest loss of 41% on average, according to analysts at Messari.The series of events may herald the beginning of another \"crypto winter,\" said one industry participant, echoing a common theme this week on Twitter.Some are more optimistic. \"It's a pattern. Back when we look at what happened in 2014, the crash happened and there's a big panic. People say, oh, crypto is dead. It's not coming back. But of course, it has come back,\" Mike Belshe, founder and chief executive at crypto infrastructure provider BitGo, told MarketWatch in an interview.To be sure, the industry is still nascent and lightly regulated, while the crypto market remains volatile with high risks.Bitcoin drawdownAt a Thursday low of $25,402, bitcoin was down 63% from its all-time high of $68,990 in November. The percentage of decline is larger than the 54% fall from the cycle high in July 2021, but smaller than that in other bear markets.The chart below shows bitcoin's previous drawdown from each cycle highs.In March 2020, bitcoin was down up to 77% from the cycle high, according to Glassnode data. In the bear markets of January 2015 and December 2018, bitcoin capitulated at lows of 85.5% and 83.8% from local highs, respectively, according to Glassnode data.Market bottom?Some said bitcoin is nearing a \"generational cyclical bottom.\"Bitcoin's low on Thursday is close to its realized price, the aggregated cost basis of investors on-chain, which currently stands at $24,000, Will Clemente, lead insights analyst at bitcoin mining company Blockware Solutions, wrote in a Friday note.  \"Any prices below realized price should be seen as extreme value,\" Clemente wrote.Historically, whenever bitcoin's price approached the realized price, it indicated a buying opportunity, Clemente told MarketWatch in a recent interview.It's also worth watching bitcoin's 200-week moving average price, which usually indicates a cyclical bottom, Clemente said. It currently stands slightly above $21,500.Still, great uncertainties remain in financial markets, as demonstrated by price actions across equities.Read:Despite bounce, S&P 500 hovers perilously close to bear market. Here's the number that counts\"I think that this is just the beginning of an ongoing decline in crypto,\" Jay Hatfield, chief investment officer at Infrastructure Capital Management, told MarketWatch in a recent interview.Hatfield attributed bitcoin's high return in 2020 and 2021 partly to the Federal Reserve's quantitative easing policy. \"We had an unprecedented increase in Fed liquidity, buying $120 billion a month of securities. And now we will have an erratic shift to a reduction in liquidity for $95 billion per month,\" Hatfield said.\"The Fed hasn't even begun to do quantitative tightening. They just said they're going to,\" Hatfield said.Hatfield estimated bitcoin could fall to $20,000 by the end of this year, and said in the worst scenario, it may drop back to its pre-pandemic level, which was about $10,000. \"I'm not predicting we'll get there, but $10,000 would be a reasonable target,\" Hatfield said. Hatfield compared bitcoin with Cathie Wood's flagship Ark Innovation Pacer Swan SOS Fund of Funds ETF|ETF $(ARKK)$, which is down more than 70% from its peak and at about the same level in March 2020.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":454,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9063411655,"gmtCreate":1651505799389,"gmtModify":1676534917896,"author":{"id":"3583805940946266","authorId":"3583805940946266","name":"dlzy900","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a9296920deee300153d681f41bd09970","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583805940946266","idStr":"3583805940946266"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"yes","listText":"yes","text":"yes","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9063411655","repostId":"1162789970","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1162789970","pubTimestamp":1651503578,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1162789970?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-02 22:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"An Incredible Stock Market Money-Making Opportunity Is Fast Approaching","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1162789970","media":"investorplace","summary":"Absolutely.The Ultra-Rare Stock Market PhenomenonOver the past several months, my team and I have studied the intricacies of stock market crashes throughout modern history. And we discovered something amazing.Specifically, we’ve discovered an ultra-rare stock market phenomenon that occurs about once every 10 years. And it consistently provides the best buying opportunities in the history of the U.S. stock market.Moreover, we’ve figured out how to quantitatively identify this anomaly. Better yet,","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>It’s been a<i>wild</i>year for stocks, huh? There’s a lot of fear swirling in the stock market, not least of which is a looming recession. But what if I told you all this volatility is creatingthe money-making opportunity of the century?</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/77e330a44fc7c5ce2d8e0a9a29e1c767\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"169\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Source: Zakharchuk / Shutterstock</p><p>You’d look at me funny, quite skeptical. And that’s fine. Just don’t disregard it — because I have ton of data to prove that claim. Today we’re on the cusp of the biggest investment opportunity in the stock market…<i>ever</i>.</p><p>Yes, I’m aware of all the problems the world is facing today. There’s decades-high inflation and a U.S. Federal Reserve that’s embarking on the most aggressive tightening path since the 1970s. A war in Europe has begun for the first time since World War II. The highest gas and grocery prices are hitting us square in the wallet. There are more Covid-19 lockdowns in China, and the stock market’s had its worst start to a year since 1942.</p><p>Talk about unusual. Talk about volatility. It’s downright scary.</p><p>Against that backdrop, I wouldn’t blame you for wanting to run for the hills and take cover from the storm. But the great Warren Buffett once said that it’s oftenn <b>best to be greedy when others are fearful</b>.</p><p>And everyone’s fearful right now. The percentage of bullish individual U.S. investors sits at 16.4% today. That’s its lowest reading since 1992. It means investors are less bullish today than during the Covid-19 pandemic, financial crisis of 2008 and the dot-com crash. Let that sink in for a moment.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89e8273ca24e000756e14058c9d4389e\" tg-width=\"624\" tg-height=\"391\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>There’s nothing but fear out there. And Buffett would tell us to get greedy here. Should we heed those words of advice?</p><p><b>Absolutely</b>.</p><h2>The Ultra-Rare Stock Market Phenomenon</h2><p>Over the past several months, my team and I have studied the intricacies of stock market crashes throughout modern history. And we discovered something amazing.</p><p>Specifically, we’ve discovered an ultra-rare stock market phenomenon that occurs about once every 10 years. And it consistently provides the best buying opportunities in the history of the U.S. stock market.</p><p>Moreover, we’ve figured out how to quantitatively identify this anomaly. Better yet, we’ve engineered a way to best take advantage of it to rake in massive profits.</p><p>Well, folks, guess what’s happening right now?</p><p><b>This ultra-rare market phenomenon is emerging right now.</b>And our models are flashing bright “buy” signals as the window of opportunity to capitalize on it is rapidly approaching.</p><p>I know. That may sound counterintuitive, given what’s going in the markets right now.</p><p>But I’m staking my career on this claim — because it’s not an opinion. It’s a fact backed by data, history, statistics and mathematics. It’s backed by the biggest market phenomenon in history.</p><p>So, I repeat:<u>We stand on the cusp of an opportunity of a lifetime</u>.</p><p>By now, you’re probably thinking,<i>OK, Luke, you have my attention. But where’s this proof?</i></p><p>I’m glad you asked because I have lots of that. Let’s take a deep look.</p><h2>Stock Prices Follow Fundamentals</h2><p>To understand the unique occurrence my team and I have identified, we need to first recognize stocks’ behavior pattern.</p><p>In the short-term, stocks are driven by a myriad of factors, like geopolitics, interest rates, inflation, elections, recession fears. The list goes on.</p><p>However, in the long-term, stocks are driven by one thing and one thing only: <b>fundamentals</b>.</p><p>At the end of the day, revenues and earnings drive stock prices. If those fundamentals trend upward over time, then a company’s stock price will follow suit and rise. Conversely, if revenues and earnings trend downward, then the stock price will drop.</p><p>That may sound like an oversimplification. But, honestly, it’s not.</p><p>Just look at the following chart. It graphs the earnings per share of the <b>S&amp;P 500</b>(blue) alongside the stock price (orange) from 1988 to 2022.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2764df0b2dda9b90a3acb18f4a2e1a33\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"611\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>As you can see, the blue line (earnings per share) lines up almost perfectly with the orange (price). The two could not be more strongly correlated. Indeed, the mathematical correlation between them is <b>0.93</b>. That’s incredibly strong. A perfect correlation is one. And a perfect anti-correlation is negative one.</p><p>Therefore, <b>the correlation between earnings and stock prices is about as perfectly correlated as anything gets in the real world</b>.</p><p>In other words, you can forget the Fed. You can forget inflation. You can forget geopolitics, trade wars, recessions, depressions and financial crises.</p><p>We’ve seen all that over the past 35 years. And through it all, the correlation between earnings and stock prices never broke or even faltered at all.</p><p>At the end of the day, earnings drive stock prices. History is clear on that. In fact, mathematically speaking, history is as clear on that as it is on anything.</p><h2>Great Divergences Create Great Opportunities</h2><p>The phenomenon my team and I have identified has to do with this correlation. In fact, it has to do with a “break” in this correlation.</p><p>Every once in a while — about once a decade — a rare anomaly emerges in the stock market there earnings and revenues temporarily<i>stop</i>driving stock prices.</p><p>We call this a “divergence.”</p><p>During these occurrences, companies see revenues and earnings rise, yet stock prices temporarily collapse due to macroeconomic fears. The result is that a company’s stock price diverges from its fundamental growth trend.</p><p>Every time these rare divergences emerge, they turn into generational buying opportunities wherein stock prices snap back to fundamental growth trends.</p><p>This has happened time and again throughout the history of the markets.</p><p>It happened in the <b>late 1980s</b>during the Savings and Loan crisis. High-quality growth companies like <b>Microsoft</b>(<b><u>MSFT</u></b>) saw stock prices collapse while revenues and earnings kept rising. Investors who capitalized on this divergence doubled their money in a year. And on average, they scored a jaw-dropping ~40,000% returns in the long run.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed939f9572e720344767acb3fd52ecc0\" tg-width=\"624\" tg-height=\"351\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>It happened again in the <b>early 2000s</b> after the dot-com crash. High-quality growth companies like <b>Amazon</b>(<b><u>AMZN</u></b>) saw stock prices plunge in the crash. But revenues and earnings kept rising. Investors who capitalized on this divergence more than doubled their money in a year. And they scored more than 20,000% returns in the long term.</p><p>And it happened during the financial crisis of <b>2008</b>. High-quality growth companies like <b>Salesforce</b>(<b><u>CRM</u></b>) saw stock prices collapse, while revenues and earnings kept rising. Investors who capitalized on this divergence almost tripled their money in year and hit 10X returns in just five years.</p><p>This is the most profitable repeating pattern in stock market history. And it’s happening again now for the first time in 14 years.</p><p>Volatility Creates Opportunity</p><p>Market volatility always creates market opportunity.</p><p>So, over the past six months of the market’s wild gyrations, we’ve made it our priority to research this volatility. We sought to develop a stock-picking strategy to make tons of money in unpredictable markets.</p><p>That led us to making the biggest discovery in<i>InvestorPlace</i>history: <b>the existence of rare divergence windows</b>.</p><p>These windows only appear about once a decade amid peak market volatility. They open for very brief moments in time — and only in certain stocks. But if you capitalize on them by buying the right stocks at the right moment, you can make huge gains. And you can do that while everyone else is struggling to survive in a choppy market.</p><p>Indeed, these divergence windows give you a real shot at turning $10,000 investments into multi-million-dollar paydays.</p><p>The more we researched these divergences, the more excited we became.</p><p>And then we made the biggest discovery of them all:A brand-new divergence is forming<i>right now</i>.</p><p>Final Word on the Greatest Stock Market Phenomenon</p><p>Our models indicate this is the biggest divergence ever. That means the potential profits to be made from it are going to be the biggest ever, too.</p><p><b>But timing is of the essence here.</b></p><p>The huge multi-thousand-percent gains made during previous divergences were only possible if you bought the<i>right</i>stocks at exactly the<i>right</i>time.</p><p>And it’s just not exactly the right time yet…</p><p>But our models are indicating that it could be any moment now. In fact, as I write this, our models are moving ever closer to flashing the perfect “buy” signal.</p><p>So, to keep you updated, we’ve started a <b><u>Divergence 2022 Watch list</u></b>.</p><p>We highly suggest you sign up for it today. After you do, I’ll send youall the information I have on these divergences. I’ll show you all the charts and the data. I’ll very clearly illustrate the opportunity here.</p><p>Most importantly, you’ll be put on a VIP list. And as soon as our models tell us the divergence window has opened, you’ll be the first to hear!</p><p>Again, that could happen any day now. And when it does, you’ll be presented with the rarest opportunity to score huge returns in stock market history.</p><p>This is the most excited I’ve ever been in my career. We’re days away from being presented the financial opportunity of a lifetime.</p><p>Get in on this incoming wave of wealth, and I’ll ensure you don’t miss it.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>An Incredible Stock Market Money-Making Opportunity Is Fast Approaching</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAn Incredible Stock Market Money-Making Opportunity Is Fast Approaching\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-05-02 22:59 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://investorplace.com/hypergrowthinvesting/2022/04/an-incredible-stock-market-money-making-opportunity-is-fast-approaching/><strong>investorplace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>It’s been awildyear for stocks, huh? There’s a lot of fear swirling in the stock market, not least of which is a looming recession. But what if I told you all this volatility is creatingthe money-...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/hypergrowthinvesting/2022/04/an-incredible-stock-market-money-making-opportunity-is-fast-approaching/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/hypergrowthinvesting/2022/04/an-incredible-stock-market-money-making-opportunity-is-fast-approaching/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1162789970","content_text":"It’s been awildyear for stocks, huh? There’s a lot of fear swirling in the stock market, not least of which is a looming recession. But what if I told you all this volatility is creatingthe money-making opportunity of the century?Source: Zakharchuk / ShutterstockYou’d look at me funny, quite skeptical. And that’s fine. Just don’t disregard it — because I have ton of data to prove that claim. Today we’re on the cusp of the biggest investment opportunity in the stock market…ever.Yes, I’m aware of all the problems the world is facing today. There’s decades-high inflation and a U.S. Federal Reserve that’s embarking on the most aggressive tightening path since the 1970s. A war in Europe has begun for the first time since World War II. The highest gas and grocery prices are hitting us square in the wallet. There are more Covid-19 lockdowns in China, and the stock market’s had its worst start to a year since 1942.Talk about unusual. Talk about volatility. It’s downright scary.Against that backdrop, I wouldn’t blame you for wanting to run for the hills and take cover from the storm. But the great Warren Buffett once said that it’s oftenn best to be greedy when others are fearful.And everyone’s fearful right now. The percentage of bullish individual U.S. investors sits at 16.4% today. That’s its lowest reading since 1992. It means investors are less bullish today than during the Covid-19 pandemic, financial crisis of 2008 and the dot-com crash. Let that sink in for a moment.There’s nothing but fear out there. And Buffett would tell us to get greedy here. Should we heed those words of advice?Absolutely.The Ultra-Rare Stock Market PhenomenonOver the past several months, my team and I have studied the intricacies of stock market crashes throughout modern history. And we discovered something amazing.Specifically, we’ve discovered an ultra-rare stock market phenomenon that occurs about once every 10 years. And it consistently provides the best buying opportunities in the history of the U.S. stock market.Moreover, we’ve figured out how to quantitatively identify this anomaly. Better yet, we’ve engineered a way to best take advantage of it to rake in massive profits.Well, folks, guess what’s happening right now?This ultra-rare market phenomenon is emerging right now.And our models are flashing bright “buy” signals as the window of opportunity to capitalize on it is rapidly approaching.I know. That may sound counterintuitive, given what’s going in the markets right now.But I’m staking my career on this claim — because it’s not an opinion. It’s a fact backed by data, history, statistics and mathematics. It’s backed by the biggest market phenomenon in history.So, I repeat:We stand on the cusp of an opportunity of a lifetime.By now, you’re probably thinking,OK, Luke, you have my attention. But where’s this proof?I’m glad you asked because I have lots of that. Let’s take a deep look.Stock Prices Follow FundamentalsTo understand the unique occurrence my team and I have identified, we need to first recognize stocks’ behavior pattern.In the short-term, stocks are driven by a myriad of factors, like geopolitics, interest rates, inflation, elections, recession fears. The list goes on.However, in the long-term, stocks are driven by one thing and one thing only: fundamentals.At the end of the day, revenues and earnings drive stock prices. If those fundamentals trend upward over time, then a company’s stock price will follow suit and rise. Conversely, if revenues and earnings trend downward, then the stock price will drop.That may sound like an oversimplification. But, honestly, it’s not.Just look at the following chart. It graphs the earnings per share of the S&P 500(blue) alongside the stock price (orange) from 1988 to 2022.As you can see, the blue line (earnings per share) lines up almost perfectly with the orange (price). The two could not be more strongly correlated. Indeed, the mathematical correlation between them is 0.93. That’s incredibly strong. A perfect correlation is one. And a perfect anti-correlation is negative one.Therefore, the correlation between earnings and stock prices is about as perfectly correlated as anything gets in the real world.In other words, you can forget the Fed. You can forget inflation. You can forget geopolitics, trade wars, recessions, depressions and financial crises.We’ve seen all that over the past 35 years. And through it all, the correlation between earnings and stock prices never broke or even faltered at all.At the end of the day, earnings drive stock prices. History is clear on that. In fact, mathematically speaking, history is as clear on that as it is on anything.Great Divergences Create Great OpportunitiesThe phenomenon my team and I have identified has to do with this correlation. In fact, it has to do with a “break” in this correlation.Every once in a while — about once a decade — a rare anomaly emerges in the stock market there earnings and revenues temporarilystopdriving stock prices.We call this a “divergence.”During these occurrences, companies see revenues and earnings rise, yet stock prices temporarily collapse due to macroeconomic fears. The result is that a company’s stock price diverges from its fundamental growth trend.Every time these rare divergences emerge, they turn into generational buying opportunities wherein stock prices snap back to fundamental growth trends.This has happened time and again throughout the history of the markets.It happened in the late 1980sduring the Savings and Loan crisis. High-quality growth companies like Microsoft(MSFT) saw stock prices collapse while revenues and earnings kept rising. Investors who capitalized on this divergence doubled their money in a year. And on average, they scored a jaw-dropping ~40,000% returns in the long run.It happened again in the early 2000s after the dot-com crash. High-quality growth companies like Amazon(AMZN) saw stock prices plunge in the crash. But revenues and earnings kept rising. Investors who capitalized on this divergence more than doubled their money in a year. And they scored more than 20,000% returns in the long term.And it happened during the financial crisis of 2008. High-quality growth companies like Salesforce(CRM) saw stock prices collapse, while revenues and earnings kept rising. Investors who capitalized on this divergence almost tripled their money in year and hit 10X returns in just five years.This is the most profitable repeating pattern in stock market history. And it’s happening again now for the first time in 14 years.Volatility Creates OpportunityMarket volatility always creates market opportunity.So, over the past six months of the market’s wild gyrations, we’ve made it our priority to research this volatility. We sought to develop a stock-picking strategy to make tons of money in unpredictable markets.That led us to making the biggest discovery inInvestorPlacehistory: the existence of rare divergence windows.These windows only appear about once a decade amid peak market volatility. They open for very brief moments in time — and only in certain stocks. But if you capitalize on them by buying the right stocks at the right moment, you can make huge gains. And you can do that while everyone else is struggling to survive in a choppy market.Indeed, these divergence windows give you a real shot at turning $10,000 investments into multi-million-dollar paydays.The more we researched these divergences, the more excited we became.And then we made the biggest discovery of them all:A brand-new divergence is formingright now.Final Word on the Greatest Stock Market PhenomenonOur models indicate this is the biggest divergence ever. That means the potential profits to be made from it are going to be the biggest ever, too.But timing is of the essence here.The huge multi-thousand-percent gains made during previous divergences were only possible if you bought therightstocks at exactly therighttime.And it’s just not exactly the right time yet…But our models are indicating that it could be any moment now. In fact, as I write this, our models are moving ever closer to flashing the perfect “buy” signal.So, to keep you updated, we’ve started a Divergence 2022 Watch list.We highly suggest you sign up for it today. After you do, I’ll send youall the information I have on these divergences. I’ll show you all the charts and the data. I’ll very clearly illustrate the opportunity here.Most importantly, you’ll be put on a VIP list. And as soon as our models tell us the divergence window has opened, you’ll be the first to hear!Again, that could happen any day now. And when it does, you’ll be presented with the rarest opportunity to score huge returns in stock market history.This is the most excited I’ve ever been in my career. We’re days away from being presented the financial opportunity of a lifetime.Get in on this incoming wave of wealth, and I’ll ensure you don’t miss it.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":40,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9081457034,"gmtCreate":1650270766228,"gmtModify":1676534683366,"author":{"id":"3583805940946266","authorId":"3583805940946266","name":"dlzy900","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a9296920deee300153d681f41bd09970","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583805940946266","idStr":"3583805940946266"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9081457034","repostId":"2228982655","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2228982655","pubTimestamp":1650268804,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2228982655?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-04-18 16:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Monster Growth Stocks That Can Turn $200,000 Into $1 Million by 2030","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2228982655","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"These supercharged growth stocks can make patient investors a lot richer.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Since the end of the Great Recession 13 years ago, growth stocks have proved virtually unstoppable. This shouldn&#39;t be a surprise given that historically low lending rates have afforded fast-paced companies access to cheap capital that they&#39;ve used to hire and retain talent, acquire other businesses, and innovate.</p><p>Although growth stocks have also taken it on the chin during the recent pullback in the broader market, history has shown that fast-growing companies often outperform during periods of economic weakness or contractions. In other words, it could be the perfect time to go shopping for high-quality growth stocks.</p><p>If your investing time frame is measured in years, the following three monster growth stocks all have the potential to turn a $200,000 initial investment into a cool $1 million by 2030.</p><h2>Pinterest</h2><p>The first monster growth stock that has all the tools necessary to deliver a 400% gain by the turn of the decade is social media platform <b>Pinterest</b>.</p><p>To say that shares of Pinterest have been clobbered would probably be an understatement. Since hitting an all-time high of nearly $90 in mid-February 2021, Pinterest&#39;s stock has lost just shy of three-quarters of its value. Skeptics appear worried about the company&#39;s nine-month decline in monthly active users (MAU) as well as the ramifications of what <b>Apple</b>&#39;s iOS privacy changes might have on ad-driven businesses. I&#39;m here to tell you that neither of these concerns has legs.</p><p>Although it&#39;s absolutely true that Pinterest is working on a three-quarter streak of declining MAUs, keep in mind that its user growth accelerated well above normal during the initial stages of the pandemic. The decline over the past three quarters corresponds with vaccination rates ticking up and people returning to some semblance of normal. But if you were to pan out and examine Pinterest&#39;s MAU growth over a five-year period, you&#39;d still see a steady uptrend.</p><p>Arguably far more important is the fact that Pinterest is monetizing its 431 million MAUs with ease. Last year, global average revenue per user (ARPU) rose 36%, with international ARPU rocketing higher by 80%.  There&#39;s a lot of room for ARPU expansion overseas, which is what should help Pinterest maintain a double-digit growth rate. It also demonstrates that advertisers are willing to pay quite the premium to reach Pinterest&#39;s large base of users.</p><p>Meanwhile, Apple&#39;s iOS privacy change, which allows users to opt out of data tracking, is a non-event for Pinterest. While Apple&#39;s changes could adversely affect platforms that rely on features such as &#34;likes&#34; to determine users&#39; interests, Pinterest&#39;s entire premise is users sharing the things, places, and services they like. Pinterest&#39;s 431 million MAUs are putting their interests on a silver platter for merchants. All Pinterest has to do is keep users engaged and be an effective middleman.</p><p>Given Pinterest&#39;s steady history of growth, it looks like a screaming bargain at its current level.</p><h2>Lovesac</h2><p>When you think of monster growth industries, things like cloud computing, the metaverse, and artificial intelligence probably come to mind. But what would you say if I told you <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of the most consistently fast-growing companies that could quintuple your initial investment over the next eight years is a furniture stock? Think I&#39;m crazy? Let&#39;s take a closer look at small-cap stock <b>Lovesac</b>.</p><p>Generally, the furniture industry is stodgy and unexciting. It&#39;s comprised of brick-and-mortar retailers relying on foot traffic into their stores and purchasing similar products from a small number of wholesalers. Lovesac is attempting to disrupt this industry with both its unique products and its multiple sales channels.</p><p>Years ago, Lovesac was known for its beanbag-styled chairs (&#34;sacs&#34;). But nearly 88% of the company&#39;s fiscal 2022 revenue (the company&#39;s fiscal year ended Jan. 30, 2022) derived from the sale of &#34;sactionals.&#34;  A sactional is a modular couch that buyers can rearrange dozens of ways to fit virtually any living space.</p><p>Aside from function, there are three big advantages with sactionals. First, they&#39;re upgradable with everything from charging ports to surround-sound speakers. Second, there are over 200 different cover choices, meaning a sactional can match any color or theme of a home. And third, the yarn used in these covers is made entirely from recycled plastic water bottles. That&#39;s eco-friendly furniture, incredible choice, and function all rolled up into one product.</p><p>The other big difference between Lovesac and the rest of the furniture industry is its omnichannel sales platform. For example, Lovesac shifted nearly half of its sales online during the pandemic. It also operates pop-up showrooms, has a handful of brand-name showroom partnerships, and operates 146 retail locations in 39 states. With a bigger reliance on direct-to-consumer sales than traditional furniture retailers, Lovesac&#39;s overhead expenses are considerably lower.</p><p>I believe Lovesac is fully capable of sustaining a 20% growth rate, which makes it a no-brainer buy on this dip.</p><h2><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TRUP\">Trupanion</a></h2><p>A third and final monster growth stock with the capacity to turn a $200,000 initial investment into $1 million by 2030 is companion animal health insurance company <b>Trupanion</b>.</p><p>While spending growth on companion animals isn&#39;t going to knock investors&#39; socks off, it&#39;s arguably one of the most recession-resistant industries on the planet. Last year, an estimated $109.6 billion was spent on pets in the U.S., with more than $32 billion of that spending going toward veterinary care and product sales. It&#39;s been more than a quarter of a century since year-over-year spending on companion animals has declined in the United States. In short, pet owners are willingly opening their wallets for their furry, gilled, scaled, and feathered family members.</p><p>What makes Trupanion such an intriguing investment opportunity is its addressable market. Only an estimated 2% of companion animals in the U.S. and Canada are covered by a health insurance plan. Comparatively, the U.K. and Sweden have pet-coverage penetration rates of 25% and 40%, respectively. If Trupanion, which is already the leading pet insurance company, were to reach a 25% penetration rate in the U.S. and Canada, its addressable market would be more than $38 billion!  For context, the company delivered $699 million in full-year sales in 2021.</p><p>Even though competition is picking up in the pet insurance space, Trupanion has a few competitive advantages on its side. For instance, it has more than two decades of rapport built up with veterinarians and clinics working in its favor.</p><p>Furthermore, Trupanion is the only major health insurer that offers software to handle payments to veterinarians at the time of checkout. That means less hassle for its members and all the more reason for veterinarians and clinics to promote Trupanion insurance plans.</p><p>This is a company that has the tools to sustain a 20% top-line growth rate through at least the midpoint of the decade. It&#39;s the perfect fast-paced stock to fetch big gains for patient investors by the turn of the decade.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Monster Growth Stocks That Can Turn $200,000 Into $1 Million by 2030</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Monster Growth Stocks That Can Turn $200,000 Into $1 Million by 2030\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-04-18 16:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/04/17/3-growth-stocks-turn-200000-into-1-million-by-2030/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Since the end of the Great Recession 13 years ago, growth stocks have proved virtually unstoppable. This shouldn't be a surprise given that historically low lending rates have afforded fast-paced ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/04/17/3-growth-stocks-turn-200000-into-1-million-by-2030/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LOVE":"Lovesac Co.","TRUP":"Trupanion","PINS":"Pinterest, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/04/17/3-growth-stocks-turn-200000-into-1-million-by-2030/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2228982655","content_text":"Since the end of the Great Recession 13 years ago, growth stocks have proved virtually unstoppable. This shouldn't be a surprise given that historically low lending rates have afforded fast-paced companies access to cheap capital that they've used to hire and retain talent, acquire other businesses, and innovate.Although growth stocks have also taken it on the chin during the recent pullback in the broader market, history has shown that fast-growing companies often outperform during periods of economic weakness or contractions. In other words, it could be the perfect time to go shopping for high-quality growth stocks.If your investing time frame is measured in years, the following three monster growth stocks all have the potential to turn a $200,000 initial investment into a cool $1 million by 2030.PinterestThe first monster growth stock that has all the tools necessary to deliver a 400% gain by the turn of the decade is social media platform Pinterest.To say that shares of Pinterest have been clobbered would probably be an understatement. Since hitting an all-time high of nearly $90 in mid-February 2021, Pinterest's stock has lost just shy of three-quarters of its value. Skeptics appear worried about the company's nine-month decline in monthly active users (MAU) as well as the ramifications of what Apple's iOS privacy changes might have on ad-driven businesses. I'm here to tell you that neither of these concerns has legs.Although it's absolutely true that Pinterest is working on a three-quarter streak of declining MAUs, keep in mind that its user growth accelerated well above normal during the initial stages of the pandemic. The decline over the past three quarters corresponds with vaccination rates ticking up and people returning to some semblance of normal. But if you were to pan out and examine Pinterest's MAU growth over a five-year period, you'd still see a steady uptrend.Arguably far more important is the fact that Pinterest is monetizing its 431 million MAUs with ease. Last year, global average revenue per user (ARPU) rose 36%, with international ARPU rocketing higher by 80%.  There's a lot of room for ARPU expansion overseas, which is what should help Pinterest maintain a double-digit growth rate. It also demonstrates that advertisers are willing to pay quite the premium to reach Pinterest's large base of users.Meanwhile, Apple's iOS privacy change, which allows users to opt out of data tracking, is a non-event for Pinterest. While Apple's changes could adversely affect platforms that rely on features such as \"likes\" to determine users' interests, Pinterest's entire premise is users sharing the things, places, and services they like. Pinterest's 431 million MAUs are putting their interests on a silver platter for merchants. All Pinterest has to do is keep users engaged and be an effective middleman.Given Pinterest's steady history of growth, it looks like a screaming bargain at its current level.LovesacWhen you think of monster growth industries, things like cloud computing, the metaverse, and artificial intelligence probably come to mind. But what would you say if I told you one of the most consistently fast-growing companies that could quintuple your initial investment over the next eight years is a furniture stock? Think I'm crazy? Let's take a closer look at small-cap stock Lovesac.Generally, the furniture industry is stodgy and unexciting. It's comprised of brick-and-mortar retailers relying on foot traffic into their stores and purchasing similar products from a small number of wholesalers. Lovesac is attempting to disrupt this industry with both its unique products and its multiple sales channels.Years ago, Lovesac was known for its beanbag-styled chairs (\"sacs\"). But nearly 88% of the company's fiscal 2022 revenue (the company's fiscal year ended Jan. 30, 2022) derived from the sale of \"sactionals.\"  A sactional is a modular couch that buyers can rearrange dozens of ways to fit virtually any living space.Aside from function, there are three big advantages with sactionals. First, they're upgradable with everything from charging ports to surround-sound speakers. Second, there are over 200 different cover choices, meaning a sactional can match any color or theme of a home. And third, the yarn used in these covers is made entirely from recycled plastic water bottles. That's eco-friendly furniture, incredible choice, and function all rolled up into one product.The other big difference between Lovesac and the rest of the furniture industry is its omnichannel sales platform. For example, Lovesac shifted nearly half of its sales online during the pandemic. It also operates pop-up showrooms, has a handful of brand-name showroom partnerships, and operates 146 retail locations in 39 states. With a bigger reliance on direct-to-consumer sales than traditional furniture retailers, Lovesac's overhead expenses are considerably lower.I believe Lovesac is fully capable of sustaining a 20% growth rate, which makes it a no-brainer buy on this dip.TrupanionA third and final monster growth stock with the capacity to turn a $200,000 initial investment into $1 million by 2030 is companion animal health insurance company Trupanion.While spending growth on companion animals isn't going to knock investors' socks off, it's arguably one of the most recession-resistant industries on the planet. Last year, an estimated $109.6 billion was spent on pets in the U.S., with more than $32 billion of that spending going toward veterinary care and product sales. It's been more than a quarter of a century since year-over-year spending on companion animals has declined in the United States. In short, pet owners are willingly opening their wallets for their furry, gilled, scaled, and feathered family members.What makes Trupanion such an intriguing investment opportunity is its addressable market. Only an estimated 2% of companion animals in the U.S. and Canada are covered by a health insurance plan. Comparatively, the U.K. and Sweden have pet-coverage penetration rates of 25% and 40%, respectively. If Trupanion, which is already the leading pet insurance company, were to reach a 25% penetration rate in the U.S. and Canada, its addressable market would be more than $38 billion!  For context, the company delivered $699 million in full-year sales in 2021.Even though competition is picking up in the pet insurance space, Trupanion has a few competitive advantages on its side. For instance, it has more than two decades of rapport built up with veterinarians and clinics working in its favor.Furthermore, Trupanion is the only major health insurer that offers software to handle payments to veterinarians at the time of checkout. That means less hassle for its members and all the more reason for veterinarians and clinics to promote Trupanion insurance plans.This is a company that has the tools to sustain a 20% top-line growth rate through at least the midpoint of the decade. It's the perfect fast-paced stock to fetch big gains for patient investors by the turn of the decade.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":65,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9064300887,"gmtCreate":1652274714849,"gmtModify":1676535066398,"author":{"id":"3583805940946266","authorId":"3583805940946266","name":"dlzy900","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a9296920deee300153d681f41bd09970","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583805940946266","idStr":"3583805940946266"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"yup","listText":"yup","text":"yup","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9064300887","repostId":"1173203163","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1173203163","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1652273202,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1173203163?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-11 20:46","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Pre-Bell｜S&P 500 Futures Cut Gains; Coinbase Slumped 18%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1173203163","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. Stock futures were lower in trading Wednesday after a key U.S. inflation report. S&P 500 future","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. Stock futures were lower in trading Wednesday after a key U.S. inflation report. S&amp;P 500 futures cut gains, turn negative after April inflation rises more than expected.</p><p><b>Market Snapshot</b></p><p>At 8:45 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were down 121 points, or 0.38%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were up 25 points, or 0.63%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 139 points, or 1.13%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb33b756bb421ee512d6272d9793609c\" tg-width=\"438\" tg-height=\"266\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><h2><b>Pre-Market Movers</b></h2><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WEN\">Wendy’s</a> –Wendy’s reported adjusted profit of 17 cents per share, 1 cent below estimates, with revenue and same-store sales also missing analyst forecasts. The restaurant chain is seeing a negative impact from higher costs for supplies and labor, and its shares slid 3.4% in premarket trading.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DNUT\">Krispy Kreme</a> – Krispy Kreme gained 1.6% in the premarket after beating top and bottom line estimates for its latest quarter. The donut chain’s “sales per hub” metric jumped 49.2% for international markets and 19.4% for the U.S. and Canada.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PRGO\">Perrigo</a> – Perrigo fell 4.1% in premarket trading after reporting a mixed quarter, with adjusted profit of 33 cents per share falling short of the 42 cent consensus estimate. However, the over-the-counter drug maker did report better than expected revenue and raised its full-year outlook after completing the acquisition of consumer health care company HRA Pharma earlier this month.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RBLX\">Roblox</a> – Roblox posted a wider than expected loss for its latest quarter as well as sales that fell shy of Street forecasts. The gaming platform company also said it expects losses to continue for the foreseeable future, as expenses rise and as pandemic-induced demand increases fade. Roblox fell 1.1% in premarket action, paring an earlier 10% off-hours loss.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/U\">Unity Software</a> – Unity Software plunged 23% in the premarket, after the video game software developer issued weaker than expected revenue guidance. Its latest quarterly loss matched estimates, but it sales were shy of consensus.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">Coinbase</a> – Coinbase slumped 18% in premarket trading after it reported an unexpected quarterly loss. The cryptocurrency exchange operator lost $1.98 per share for its latest quarter, compared to consensus forecasts of an 18 cents per share profit. Coinbase noted a decline in users amid an ongoing slump in the crypto market.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OXY\">Occidental Petroleum</a> – Occidental Petroleum added 1.3% in premarket action following an earnings beat for its latest quarter, helped by surging oil prices. Occidental is the top gainer among S&amp;P 500 stocks, having more than doubled this year.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TM\">Toyota</a> – Toyota said its profit for the current fiscal year could take a 20% hit due to a jump in raw materials costs. The automaker said it would work with suppliers to come up with alternative materials and other ways to reduce expenses. Shares fell 2.2% in premarket trading.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/REAL\">RealReal</a> – RealReal rallied 9.3% in the premarket after the seller of secondhand luxury goods reported better than expected quarterly sales. It did report a wider than expected loss, but it said it was poised to benefit from an inflationary trend in the prices of new luxury goods.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HRB\">H&amp;R Block</a> – H&amp;R Block reported better than expected quarterly sales and profit, with the tax-preparation company also raising its forecast on upbeat tax season results. H&amp;R Block shares jumped 3.3% in premarket trading.</p><h2><b>Market News</b></h2><p><b>Apple to Discontinue the iPod Touch, Signaling the End of Iconic iPod Line</b></p><p>Apple Inc.&#39;s iPod helped revolutionize the music industry when it was introduced more than two decades ago. Now, music fans will soon bid adieu to the portable player.</p><p>The tech giant said Tuesday that its iPod Touch will only be available while supplies last. It also highlighted other ways people can listen to music across its various products.</p><p><b>Elon Musk Says Tesla Will Expand Giga Shanghai But No New Plant Planned In China</b></p><p>Tesla Inc CEO Elon Musk said on Tuesday that the electric vehicle maker would expand its Giga Shanghai factory but has no plans to launch any new plants in China.</p><p><b>Ford Sells 8 Million Shares of Rivian for $214 Million, Or $26.80 a Piece</b></p><p>Ford Motor Co sold 8 million shares of electric carmaker Rivian Automotive Inc for $214 million, or $26.80 apiece, the U.S. automaker said in a filing on Tuesday.</p><p>Ford now holds 93.9 million shares in the California-headquartered company.</p><p>Rivian&#39;s shares opened at a record low on Monday after the sale was reported by CNBC over the weekend.</p><p><b>Toyota Warns Annual Profit to Skid 20% on Materials, Logistics Costs</b></p><p>Toyota Motor Corp warned that operating earnings this year could slump by a fifth &#34;due to unprecedented increases in materials and logistics costs,&#34; on the back of a 33% slide in fourth-quarter profit, sending its shares down more than 5%.</p><p>Toyota said it expects materials costs to more than double to 1.45 trillion yen ($11.1 billion) in the fiscal year that started in April.</p><p><b>NIO Expects to List on the Singapore Exchange on May 20th</b></p><p>NIO Inc. , a pioneer and a leading company in the premium smart electric vehicle market, today announced that it expects its Class A ordinary shares, par value US$0.00025 per share to be listed and commence trading on the Main Board of the Singapore Exchange Securities Trading Limited on May 20, 2022 (Singapore Time), subject to fulfilment of the conditions set out in the eligibility-to-list letter from the SGX-ST.</p><p>On May 5, 2022, the Company announced that it received the ETL from the SGX-ST with regard to its proposed secondary listing of its Shares by way of introduction on the Main Board of the SGX-ST.</p><p><b>SoFi Tops Expectations with Latest Earnings, Gives Mixed Outlook</b></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SOFI\">SoFi Technologies Inc.</a> topped expectations with its latest results Tuesday but delivered a mixed forecast in an earnings report that came out several hours before it was officially expected.</p><p>The financial services and loans company posted a net loss of $110.4 million, or 14 cents a share, compared with a loss of $177.6 million, or $1.61 a share, in the year-prior period. Analysts tracked by FactSet were expecting 13 cents a share in net earnings.</p><p>The company also logged adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (Ebitda) of $8.7 million, up from $4.1 million a year before, whereas analysts were modeling $5 million.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Pre-Bell｜S&P 500 Futures Cut Gains; Coinbase Slumped 18%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPre-Bell｜S&P 500 Futures Cut Gains; Coinbase Slumped 18%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-05-11 20:46</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. Stock futures were lower in trading Wednesday after a key U.S. inflation report. S&amp;P 500 futures cut gains, turn negative after April inflation rises more than expected.</p><p><b>Market Snapshot</b></p><p>At 8:45 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were down 121 points, or 0.38%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were up 25 points, or 0.63%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 139 points, or 1.13%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb33b756bb421ee512d6272d9793609c\" tg-width=\"438\" tg-height=\"266\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><h2><b>Pre-Market Movers</b></h2><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WEN\">Wendy’s</a> –Wendy’s reported adjusted profit of 17 cents per share, 1 cent below estimates, with revenue and same-store sales also missing analyst forecasts. The restaurant chain is seeing a negative impact from higher costs for supplies and labor, and its shares slid 3.4% in premarket trading.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DNUT\">Krispy Kreme</a> – Krispy Kreme gained 1.6% in the premarket after beating top and bottom line estimates for its latest quarter. The donut chain’s “sales per hub” metric jumped 49.2% for international markets and 19.4% for the U.S. and Canada.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PRGO\">Perrigo</a> – Perrigo fell 4.1% in premarket trading after reporting a mixed quarter, with adjusted profit of 33 cents per share falling short of the 42 cent consensus estimate. However, the over-the-counter drug maker did report better than expected revenue and raised its full-year outlook after completing the acquisition of consumer health care company HRA Pharma earlier this month.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RBLX\">Roblox</a> – Roblox posted a wider than expected loss for its latest quarter as well as sales that fell shy of Street forecasts. The gaming platform company also said it expects losses to continue for the foreseeable future, as expenses rise and as pandemic-induced demand increases fade. Roblox fell 1.1% in premarket action, paring an earlier 10% off-hours loss.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/U\">Unity Software</a> – Unity Software plunged 23% in the premarket, after the video game software developer issued weaker than expected revenue guidance. Its latest quarterly loss matched estimates, but it sales were shy of consensus.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">Coinbase</a> – Coinbase slumped 18% in premarket trading after it reported an unexpected quarterly loss. The cryptocurrency exchange operator lost $1.98 per share for its latest quarter, compared to consensus forecasts of an 18 cents per share profit. Coinbase noted a decline in users amid an ongoing slump in the crypto market.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OXY\">Occidental Petroleum</a> – Occidental Petroleum added 1.3% in premarket action following an earnings beat for its latest quarter, helped by surging oil prices. Occidental is the top gainer among S&amp;P 500 stocks, having more than doubled this year.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TM\">Toyota</a> – Toyota said its profit for the current fiscal year could take a 20% hit due to a jump in raw materials costs. The automaker said it would work with suppliers to come up with alternative materials and other ways to reduce expenses. Shares fell 2.2% in premarket trading.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/REAL\">RealReal</a> – RealReal rallied 9.3% in the premarket after the seller of secondhand luxury goods reported better than expected quarterly sales. It did report a wider than expected loss, but it said it was poised to benefit from an inflationary trend in the prices of new luxury goods.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HRB\">H&amp;R Block</a> – H&amp;R Block reported better than expected quarterly sales and profit, with the tax-preparation company also raising its forecast on upbeat tax season results. H&amp;R Block shares jumped 3.3% in premarket trading.</p><h2><b>Market News</b></h2><p><b>Apple to Discontinue the iPod Touch, Signaling the End of Iconic iPod Line</b></p><p>Apple Inc.&#39;s iPod helped revolutionize the music industry when it was introduced more than two decades ago. Now, music fans will soon bid adieu to the portable player.</p><p>The tech giant said Tuesday that its iPod Touch will only be available while supplies last. It also highlighted other ways people can listen to music across its various products.</p><p><b>Elon Musk Says Tesla Will Expand Giga Shanghai But No New Plant Planned In China</b></p><p>Tesla Inc CEO Elon Musk said on Tuesday that the electric vehicle maker would expand its Giga Shanghai factory but has no plans to launch any new plants in China.</p><p><b>Ford Sells 8 Million Shares of Rivian for $214 Million, Or $26.80 a Piece</b></p><p>Ford Motor Co sold 8 million shares of electric carmaker Rivian Automotive Inc for $214 million, or $26.80 apiece, the U.S. automaker said in a filing on Tuesday.</p><p>Ford now holds 93.9 million shares in the California-headquartered company.</p><p>Rivian&#39;s shares opened at a record low on Monday after the sale was reported by CNBC over the weekend.</p><p><b>Toyota Warns Annual Profit to Skid 20% on Materials, Logistics Costs</b></p><p>Toyota Motor Corp warned that operating earnings this year could slump by a fifth &#34;due to unprecedented increases in materials and logistics costs,&#34; on the back of a 33% slide in fourth-quarter profit, sending its shares down more than 5%.</p><p>Toyota said it expects materials costs to more than double to 1.45 trillion yen ($11.1 billion) in the fiscal year that started in April.</p><p><b>NIO Expects to List on the Singapore Exchange on May 20th</b></p><p>NIO Inc. , a pioneer and a leading company in the premium smart electric vehicle market, today announced that it expects its Class A ordinary shares, par value US$0.00025 per share to be listed and commence trading on the Main Board of the Singapore Exchange Securities Trading Limited on May 20, 2022 (Singapore Time), subject to fulfilment of the conditions set out in the eligibility-to-list letter from the SGX-ST.</p><p>On May 5, 2022, the Company announced that it received the ETL from the SGX-ST with regard to its proposed secondary listing of its Shares by way of introduction on the Main Board of the SGX-ST.</p><p><b>SoFi Tops Expectations with Latest Earnings, Gives Mixed Outlook</b></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SOFI\">SoFi Technologies Inc.</a> topped expectations with its latest results Tuesday but delivered a mixed forecast in an earnings report that came out several hours before it was officially expected.</p><p>The financial services and loans company posted a net loss of $110.4 million, or 14 cents a share, compared with a loss of $177.6 million, or $1.61 a share, in the year-prior period. Analysts tracked by FactSet were expecting 13 cents a share in net earnings.</p><p>The company also logged adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (Ebitda) of $8.7 million, up from $4.1 million a year before, whereas analysts were modeling $5 million.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1173203163","content_text":"U.S. Stock futures were lower in trading Wednesday after a key U.S. inflation report. S&P 500 futures cut gains, turn negative after April inflation rises more than expected.Market SnapshotAt 8:45 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were down 121 points, or 0.38%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 25 points, or 0.63%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 139 points, or 1.13%.Pre-Market MoversWendy’s –Wendy’s reported adjusted profit of 17 cents per share, 1 cent below estimates, with revenue and same-store sales also missing analyst forecasts. The restaurant chain is seeing a negative impact from higher costs for supplies and labor, and its shares slid 3.4% in premarket trading.Krispy Kreme – Krispy Kreme gained 1.6% in the premarket after beating top and bottom line estimates for its latest quarter. The donut chain’s “sales per hub” metric jumped 49.2% for international markets and 19.4% for the U.S. and Canada.Perrigo – Perrigo fell 4.1% in premarket trading after reporting a mixed quarter, with adjusted profit of 33 cents per share falling short of the 42 cent consensus estimate. However, the over-the-counter drug maker did report better than expected revenue and raised its full-year outlook after completing the acquisition of consumer health care company HRA Pharma earlier this month.Roblox – Roblox posted a wider than expected loss for its latest quarter as well as sales that fell shy of Street forecasts. The gaming platform company also said it expects losses to continue for the foreseeable future, as expenses rise and as pandemic-induced demand increases fade. Roblox fell 1.1% in premarket action, paring an earlier 10% off-hours loss.Unity Software – Unity Software plunged 23% in the premarket, after the video game software developer issued weaker than expected revenue guidance. Its latest quarterly loss matched estimates, but it sales were shy of consensus.Coinbase – Coinbase slumped 18% in premarket trading after it reported an unexpected quarterly loss. The cryptocurrency exchange operator lost $1.98 per share for its latest quarter, compared to consensus forecasts of an 18 cents per share profit. Coinbase noted a decline in users amid an ongoing slump in the crypto market.Occidental Petroleum – Occidental Petroleum added 1.3% in premarket action following an earnings beat for its latest quarter, helped by surging oil prices. Occidental is the top gainer among S&P 500 stocks, having more than doubled this year.Toyota – Toyota said its profit for the current fiscal year could take a 20% hit due to a jump in raw materials costs. The automaker said it would work with suppliers to come up with alternative materials and other ways to reduce expenses. Shares fell 2.2% in premarket trading.RealReal – RealReal rallied 9.3% in the premarket after the seller of secondhand luxury goods reported better than expected quarterly sales. It did report a wider than expected loss, but it said it was poised to benefit from an inflationary trend in the prices of new luxury goods.H&R Block – H&R Block reported better than expected quarterly sales and profit, with the tax-preparation company also raising its forecast on upbeat tax season results. H&R Block shares jumped 3.3% in premarket trading.Market NewsApple to Discontinue the iPod Touch, Signaling the End of Iconic iPod LineApple Inc.'s iPod helped revolutionize the music industry when it was introduced more than two decades ago. Now, music fans will soon bid adieu to the portable player.The tech giant said Tuesday that its iPod Touch will only be available while supplies last. It also highlighted other ways people can listen to music across its various products.Elon Musk Says Tesla Will Expand Giga Shanghai But No New Plant Planned In ChinaTesla Inc CEO Elon Musk said on Tuesday that the electric vehicle maker would expand its Giga Shanghai factory but has no plans to launch any new plants in China.Ford Sells 8 Million Shares of Rivian for $214 Million, Or $26.80 a PieceFord Motor Co sold 8 million shares of electric carmaker Rivian Automotive Inc for $214 million, or $26.80 apiece, the U.S. automaker said in a filing on Tuesday.Ford now holds 93.9 million shares in the California-headquartered company.Rivian's shares opened at a record low on Monday after the sale was reported by CNBC over the weekend.Toyota Warns Annual Profit to Skid 20% on Materials, Logistics CostsToyota Motor Corp warned that operating earnings this year could slump by a fifth \"due to unprecedented increases in materials and logistics costs,\" on the back of a 33% slide in fourth-quarter profit, sending its shares down more than 5%.Toyota said it expects materials costs to more than double to 1.45 trillion yen ($11.1 billion) in the fiscal year that started in April.NIO Expects to List on the Singapore Exchange on May 20thNIO Inc. , a pioneer and a leading company in the premium smart electric vehicle market, today announced that it expects its Class A ordinary shares, par value US$0.00025 per share to be listed and commence trading on the Main Board of the Singapore Exchange Securities Trading Limited on May 20, 2022 (Singapore Time), subject to fulfilment of the conditions set out in the eligibility-to-list letter from the SGX-ST.On May 5, 2022, the Company announced that it received the ETL from the SGX-ST with regard to its proposed secondary listing of its Shares by way of introduction on the Main Board of the SGX-ST.SoFi Tops Expectations with Latest Earnings, Gives Mixed OutlookSoFi Technologies Inc. topped expectations with its latest results Tuesday but delivered a mixed forecast in an earnings report that came out several hours before it was officially expected.The financial services and loans company posted a net loss of $110.4 million, or 14 cents a share, compared with a loss of $177.6 million, or $1.61 a share, in the year-prior period. Analysts tracked by FactSet were expecting 13 cents a share in net earnings.The company also logged adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (Ebitda) of $8.7 million, up from $4.1 million a year before, whereas analysts were modeling $5 million.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":762,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9062153083,"gmtCreate":1652029840542,"gmtModify":1676535015856,"author":{"id":"3583805940946266","authorId":"3583805940946266","name":"dlzy900","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a9296920deee300153d681f41bd09970","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583805940946266","idStr":"3583805940946266"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"okay","listText":"okay","text":"okay","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9062153083","repostId":"1131831539","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1131831539","pubTimestamp":1651980653,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1131831539?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-08 11:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla: Overvalued By 85.26% And Not A Technology Company","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1131831539","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryMake no mistake, Tesla is a phenomenal company that has accomplished the unthinkable as it broke through extreme barriers of entry to disrupt the auto industry.Just because Tesla is a successfu","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Summary</p><ul><li>Make no mistake, Tesla is a phenomenal company that has accomplished the unthinkable as it broke through extreme barriers of entry to disrupt the auto industry.</li><li>Just because Tesla is a successful company that is causing automotive titans to change from combustible engines to EVs doesn&#39;t mean Tesla&#39;s stock is a good investment today.</li><li>100% of gross profit and net income is generated from the automotive sector as Tesla&#39;s other businesses lose money, making them an automobile manufacturing company, not a technology company.</li><li>I compared Tesla&#39;s metrics to the auto industry and big tech and the results are the same, Tesla&#39;s valuation is egregious.</li></ul><p>It&#39;s rare to find companies that have cult-like followings with loyalists willing to pay any price for its stock. The debate regarding Tesla, Inc.&#39;s (NASDAQ:TSLA) valuation continues to be a topic of conversation between the bulls and the bears. Oneside argues that TSLA&#39;s financial growth and future prospects, including FSD, insurance, and robotaxis, justify the current $902.12 billion valuations, while others argue that the current financials and cult-like following have led to a massive overvaluation in TSLA&#39;s stock.</p><p>I tip my hat to Elon Musk, as his accomplishments are second to none. When others called him crazy, Mr. Musk chose one of the hardest industries to compete in, started TSLA from the ground up, went to battle against the auto manufacturers, and succeeded. TSLA is one of the rare success stories that has truly shaped an industry, and the barriers of entry that were overcome are astonishing. TSLA didn&#39;t have the capital, manufacturing, credibility, or the infrastructure that its competitors did, yet they found a way to succeed. If the odds weren&#39;t enough which TSLA faced, they accomplished their goals without a combustible engine and pioneered an entirely new sector within the automotive industry.</p><p>Just because TSLA is a great company, it doesn&#39;t mean TSLA has a great stock, or it isn&#39;t overvalued. I am not bearish on TSLA the company because I believe they still have a long runway of growth ahead of them, but I am bearish on the valuation. Prior to leaving a comment on why I am wrong, please read the article and think about the metrics I am citing; then, I will happily discuss any viewpoints about the analysis.</p><p><b>Tesla Vs. The World In The Automotive Sector</b></p><p>It feels like TSLA vs. the world whenever TSLA is discussed. Discussing who makes a better automobile is a matter of opinion, and everyone is correct because it&#39;s their opinion. If person A thinks TSLA makes the best car and person B thinks Mercedes Benz makes the best car, they are both correct. Debating over this is pointless, so let&#39;s look at the raw numbers.</p><p>TSLA has a larger market cap than the combination ofToyota(TM),Volkswagen(OTCPK:VWAGY),Daimler(OTCPK:DDAIF),BMW(OTCPK:BMWYY),General Motors(GM),Ford(F),Honda(HMC),Ferrari(RACE),Nissan(OTCPK:NSANY),Subaru(OTCPK:FUJHY),Volvo(OTCPK:VOLAF), andMazda(OTCPK:MZDAY). TSLA&#39;s market cap is currently $986.92 billion, while the combination of these 12 companies is $777.41 billion.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff930d2442bf282c1bd880cca408eb94\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"327\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Steven Fiorillo</p><p>The P/S ratio is often cited to justify the valuation. The combination of TM, VWAGY, DDAIF, BMWYY, GM, F, HMC, RACE, NSANY, FUJHY, VOLAF, and MZDAY has generated $1.38 trillion in revenue over the TTM, putting their P/S at 0.56, while TSLA has generated $62.19 billion in revenue and has a 15.87 P/S.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c9b9661fde232925a758c38fd2e93f36\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"330\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Steven Fiorillo, Seeking Alpha</p><p>As a combined entity, these 12 companies have generated $118.29 billion in net income, while TSLA has produced $8.4 billion.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d25806eb839eb9ca2b4ef3c24218048c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"330\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Steven Fiorillo, Seeking Alpha</p><p>TSLA is a great company, but its current valuation has become overly inflated. TSLA&#39;s market cap is $209.52 billion larger than these 12 auto manufacturers, yet the combination of the 12 auto manufacturers generates $1.32 trillion more in revenue and $109.89 billion more in net income.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a1b686de4009ca733ff9651ce0d9fcaf\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"348\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Steven Fiorillo, Seeking Alpha</p><p>Looking at the market caps, one would assume that TSLA has a dominant majority over its competitors in auto sales within the U.S. According to the2021 data, TSLA sold 2.02% of all vehicles in the U.S. TSLA&#39;s market cap reflects a level of dominance that is non-existent.</p><p>Realistically, TSLA will have a hard time disrupting the sector further due to the price point of their vehicles. The reality is that, unless TSLA can sell a car that rivals a Honda or Toyota, doubling its market share is going to be a daunting task. It&#39;s just math. TSLA doesn&#39;t have a product for the masses, and while it may continue to grow in the luxury segment, the amount of growth that can be achieved is limited due to the pricing power of the consumer.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/442ffe151dd83bc524785857925f9797\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"227\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>www.goodcarbadcar.net</p><p><b>Tesla Isn&#39;t A Technology Company And Shouldn&#39;t Be Valued As One</b></p><p>The valuation rebuttal has always been that TSLA isn&#39;t an automobile company, rather, it&#39;s a technology company.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bbc9ccb2cb8a0e7d40804db24e183214\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"341\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Tesla</p><p>Page 23 ofTSLA&#39;s Q1 2022 slide deck from their earnings call is their statement of operations. Once again, 100% of TSLA&#39;s gross profit and net income are derived from automobiles. Energy generation and storage lose money as it generates $616 million in revenue while the cost of this revenue is $688 million. The same goes for Services and others, as this segment generates $1.279 billion in revenue while the cost of this revenue is $1.286 billion. This doesn&#39;t even factor in operating expenses.</p><p>TSLA manufacturers state of the art automobiles, but this doesn&#39;t classify them as a technology company, nor should they be classified as one. Since this is always the rebuttal and technology companies trade at larger earnings multiples, I will compare TSLA to Apple (AAPL), Microsoft (MSFT), Amazon (AMZN), Alphabet (GOOG) (GOOGL), and Meta Platforms (FB) and illustrate why TSLA is still drastically overvalued if the market was still to provide it with a tech multiple.</p><p>Prior to the comparisons, I want to frame the analysis by providing each company&#39;s market cap:</p><ul><li>AAPL $2.69 Trillion</li><li>MSFT $2.17 Trillion</li><li>GOOGL $1.62 Trillion</li><li>AMZN $1.28 Trillion</li><li>TSLA $986.92 Billion</li><li>FB $604.62 Billion</li></ul><p>I am going to start with growth because this is always the key metric bulls point out. Since the close of 2018, which is 3.25 fiscal years, TSLA has grown its revenue from $21.46 billion to $62.19 billion.</p><p>This is absolutely remarkable, but it doesn&#39;t place TSLA in the upper epsilon of technology companies. Over the same period, FB grew its revenue by $63.83 billion, which is more than what TSLA produced in the TTM. FB grew its revenue by more than what TSLA produces and generates just about double the revenue ($119.67 billion), yet TSLA has a larger market cap. For everyone who has used growth as their investment premise, FB having a market cap that&#39;s $382.30 less than TSLA nullifies that aspect of the bull thesis. AMZN&#39;s market cap is only $294.33 billion larger than TSLA, yet they generated $477.75 billion in revenue and grew their revenue by $341.76 billion in this period. Using revenue growth for TSLA doesn&#39;t support the valuation.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3c0fbd4eb93f026c4575ee8f77f53e4b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Steven Fiorillo, Seeking Alpha</p><p>Next, I will turn to profits because, at the end of the day, businesses are in the business of making money. Once again, TSLA has done a fantastic job of monetizing its business and, in 3.25 short years, has gone from losing -$976 million to make $8.4 billion in the TTM for an increase of $9.38 billion. FB has produced $37.34 billion in profit in the TTM, and its net income grew by $15.23 billion over this period. Using growth doesn&#39;t support the valuation when FB has a market cap that&#39;s $382.30 less than TSLA and grew its profits in this period by almost double what TSLA has generated in the TTM.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c9716477607711ee0b6d4f77eb24c890\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"382\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Steven Fiorillo, Seeking Alpha</p><p>The new metric bulls are using in their thesis is TSLA&#39;s free cash flow (FCF). Once again, TSLA has done an excellent job, going from -$221 million of FCF in 2018 to $6.93 billion of FCF in the TTM. Many companies would love to grow their annual FCF by $7.15 billion over a 3.25-year period, and this should be applauded.</p><p>Let&#39;s look at FB once again, since TSLA&#39;s valuation isn&#39;t based on its core segment as an automobile manufacturer. FB has grown its FCF over the previous 3.25 years by $23.45 billion, more than 3x TSLA&#39;s growth, and has generated $39.81 billion of FCF in the TTM. FB generated roughly 5.75x more FCF than TSLA and grew its FCF by more than 3x what TSLA produces, yet FB has a market cap that&#39;s almost $400 billion less than TSLA. Growth within the financials does not support TSLA&#39;s valuation, which is a breath away from $1 trillion.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/902a7074eda9e8f2f2765e0833423d2c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"373\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Steven Fiorillo, Seeking Alpha</p><p>Today you&#39;re paying a 113.81 P/E for TSLA. Paying a larger multiple for a company that&#39;s growing its earnings quickly is normal, but TSLA isn&#39;t growing by larger amounts than FB, and FB trades at a 16.66 P/E. I have seen TSLA bulls justify the P/E because of TSLA&#39;s growth factor, but this doesn&#39;t hold up when FB has grown by larger amounts from larger starting positions and has a P/E that&#39;s a fraction of TSLA. Look at AAPL, which is the largest company in the world. AAPL has grown its net income by $56.25 billion and its FCF by $52.3 billion over the past 3.25 years, and its P/E is 26.78. People are blindly paying any multiple the market places on TSLA.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75168f6e39ced721cf0c53d78481a983\" tg-width=\"614\" tg-height=\"335\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>TSLA is trading at a 15.38 P/S. The justification for this multiple is difficult to defend while AMZN trades at a P/S of 11.31. AMZN&#39;s revenue grew by $341.76 billion over the past 3.25 years while TSLA grew their revenue by $40.73 billion. Instead of an absolute basis, looking at this from a percentage aspect, TSLA grew its revenue by 189.78%, while AMZN&#39;s grew by 251.32%. The P/S ratio is not a supporting valuation metric as TSLA is trading at a larger multiple than AMZN yet produced $301.03 billion less in revenue growth compared to AMZN. At the very least, TSLA should trade at a lower P/S multiple than AMZN considering their revenue growth was a fraction of AMZN&#39;s.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aad00a6c490808962705a1a2dae45cfe\" tg-width=\"608\" tg-height=\"338\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>TSLA has done an excellent job monetizing its revenue, delivering exceptional margins, and generating FCF. Now that TSLA is generating billions in FCF, it&#39;s been inserted into the bull thesis. FCF is a measure of profitability that excludes the non-cash expenses of the income statement and includes spending on equipment and assets as well as changes in working capital from the balance sheet. FCF could be the most underrated and most important financial metric to look at, as this is the pool of capital that companies can utilize to repay debt, pay dividends, buy back shares, make acquisitions, or reinvest in the business.</p><p>Every investment is the present value of all future cash flow. This is why investors look at the price to FCF valuation. Investors want to pay the cheapest multiple for a company&#39;s FCF. Today, you&#39;re paying 142.52x TSLA&#39;s FCF. Going back to the FCF section, TSLA grew its FCF by $7.15 billion over the past 3.25 years. FB generated $23.45 billion of FCF in this period, which is 3x the amount TSLA grew, yet FB is trading at a 15.19x multiple on price to FCF.</p><p>Why on earth would you want to pay 142.52x for TSLA&#39;s FCF when you could pay 15.19x for FB, which is growing their FCF by more than 3x the amount that TSLA is growing by? How about AAPL? AAPL grew its FCF by $52.3 billion and trades at a 25.4x price to FCF. If I exclude FB for a moment, should TSLA trade at a larger FCF multiple than GOOGL, which has grown its FCF by $46.15 billion over the past 3.25 years? My answer is no because there is no guarantee that TSLA will ever generate $46.15 billion in annual FCF, let alone the $68.99 billion in FCF that GOOGL generates.</p><p>So what is a fair price to FCF multiple for TSLA? I don&#39;t believe TSLA has earned the right to trade at the same multiples as the rest of big tech considering the levels of FCF they produce. If I stick with the methodology that FB is egregiously undervalued, then TSLA should trade above 15.19x its FCF but lower than the 23.42x multiple GOOGL trades at.</p><p>I don&#39;t want to be overly bearish, so I will place a 21x multiple on TSLA&#39;s FCF, which is more than fair considering big tech metrics. A 21x multiple on TSLA&#39;s FCF puts its market cap at $145.43 billion, which is -85.26% from its current market cap of $986.92 billion. It&#39;s just math, and if TSLA is going to be valued as a technology company, it needs to be compared to the technology companies with similar market caps.</p><p>At the very least, there isn&#39;t a single reason why TSLA&#39;s market cap is larger than FB&#39;s. There isn&#39;t a single metric that TSLA beats FB in. Based on FB&#39;s valuation, if TSLA traded at the same FCF multiple, it would have a market cap of $105.19 billion.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b81a61d60d9ec098276569cc4a501da0\" tg-width=\"627\" tg-height=\"341\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>TSLA has a gross profit margin of 27.1% ($16.85b / $62.19b) and a profit margin of 13.51% ($8.4b / $62.19b). FB has a gross profit margin of 80.34% ($96.14b / $119.67b) and a profit margin of 31.2% ($37.34b / $119.67b). FB has much wider margins and is growing its revenue by larger amounts. This reinforces my methodology as to why TSLA is grossly overvalued. GOOGL has a gross profit margin of 56.93% ($153.9b / $270.33b) and a profit margin of 27.57% ($74.54b / $270.33b).</p><p>The chances are incredibly slim that TSLA can double its profit margin to be within striking distance of GOOGL&#39;s. TSLA should not trade at a larger FCF, P/E, or P/S multiple than FB or GOOGL. While the market would indicate that I am wrong today, eventually, the hype will wear off, and TSLA will trade at a realistic valuation.</p><p><b>TSLA&#39;s Future Catalysts Have A Long Way To Go Before Impacting Its Bottom Line</b></p><p>There are three main catalysts people discuss, which include insurance, robotaxis, and FSD.TSLA offers insurance using real-time driving behavior. This is currently available to all Model S, Model 3, Model X, and Model Y owners. The catch is that it&#39;s only available in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Ohio, Oregon, Texas, and Virginia as of now.</p><p>TSLA uses a safety rating score to determine the monthly premium for its vehicles. At the largest premium of $130/mo, this would be $1,560 per year. If TSLA converted 100% of their U.S sales in 2021 as an insurance customer, which I think could be possible if TSLA insurance was available in every state, it would have generated $471.12 million in revenue.</p><p>We have no idea what the margins would have been, but if the margin was 50%, it would have been an additional $235.56 million in net income in 2021. While this is nothing to sneeze at, an additional $235.56 million in net income hardly moves the needle. This could be a $1 billion top-line revenue segment in the future, but with availability in only 7 states, insurance&#39;s $1 billion revenue mark is a long way away.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e86de6232b9abf7cee46a9607eb09741\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"326\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Tesla</p><p>Next,FSD, for which TSLA has created two subscription models, a $99/mo price point and a $199/mo price point. The problem with FSD is that it doesn&#39;t make the vehicle fully autonomous, and you still need a driver to be attentive and alert. While I am not arguing that TSLA&#39;s FSD isn&#39;t leaps and bounds ahead of the competition, the problem is that it&#39;s not exactly a self-driving car.</p><p>The questions around legality and where you can use it pop into my head, and how many of TSLA&#39;s drivers opt for this upgrade. Until there is clear legislation and the technology advances to where vehicles can fully drive a person from point A to B while that person takes a nap or reads, I have a hard time believing enough TSLA owners will spend the extra $199/mo on FSD. If there is somewhere where TSLA produces the numbers about how many owners opt for this package, please let me know, and I will crunch the numbers.</p><p>Which Features Come With My Subscription?</p><blockquote>The FSD capability features you receive are based on your configuration and location. Not all features are available in all markets, and features are subject to change.Learn more about Autopilot and Full Self-Driving capability features.</blockquote><blockquote><i>Note: These features are designed to become more capable over time; however the currently enabled features do not make the vehicle autonomous. The currently enabled features require a fully attentive driver, who has their hands on the wheel and is prepared to take over at any moment.</i></blockquote><p>The last catalyst is Robotaxis which many have commented on in my articles before. We&#39;re so far off on Robotaxis that this can&#39;t be considered in TSLA&#39;s upcoming revenue. I would think major legislation would be needed for Robotaxis to exist, and there is no telling how many years away we are from this.</p><p>Also, what is the percentage of TSLA owners that would actually allow their vehicle to be used as a Robotaxi? Depending on what the profitability is, I can see people buying TSLAs to enroll them in this program, but, once again, we need to see the economics behind it. I know I am just one opinion, but I would never enroll one of my cars into a robotaxi program because I don&#39;t want other people that I don&#39;t know in my car. I would think there are many others that have similar viewpoints.</p><p>The real upcoming catalysts are future revenue growth and entering the Chinese market. In 2021 TSLA grew its YoY revenue by 70.67%, and their off to a great start after Q1 2022. Only time will tell what type of growth rate TSLA can maintain, but too many people are assuming that TSLA will obliterate the competition. Over the next several years, we could see TSLA&#39;s growth rate become significantly reduced as more luxury operators put EVs on the road.</p><p>At TSLA&#39;s current margins, they would need to increase their revenue by 444.55% to $276.47 billion to produce the same amount of net income ($37.34b) that FB produces today at their current 13.51% profit margin. Maybe TSLA can get there in the future, but why should TSLA be valued at almost $1 trillion today, considering not a single metric of theirs is similar to FB or GOOGL, and TSLA&#39;s growth across any of the sectors isn&#39;t larger than FB or GOOGL?</p><p><b>Tesla Continues To Dilute Shareholders, And Almost No Shareholders Care</b></p><p>Dilution kills shareholder value. Look, I am a shareholder of TSLA, and I hate that my shares continue to be diluted. These numbers are split-adjusted that I am using. Over the past decade,TSLA has diluted its shares by 80.93%. This is horrible compared to big tech, yet investors can&#39;t buy enough TSLA shares. TSLA finished 2012 with 572.6 million shares and, as of its last filing, had increased its outstanding shares to 1.036 billion shares.</p><p>This is the equivalent of me taking a pizza, and instead of giving you a slice, cutting another 6.5 slices, then giving you one. The pizza represents TSLA, the company, and they basically turned an 8-slice pie into a 14.5-slice pie, reducing shareholder&#39;s ownership and the amount of equity, revenue, and EPS our shares represent.</p><p>If you want to see what a true shepherd of shareholder value looks like, turn to AAPL. In 2012 AAPL had 26.3 billion shares outstanding. Over the past decade, AAPL has repurchased 10.09 billion shares, reducing its outstanding shares by 38.37%. Every quarter, AAPL is buying back shares and increasing the ownership its shares represent. TSLA, on the other hand, continues to dilute shareholders by increasing shares YOY.</p><p><b>I Could Be Completely Wrong, And Tesla Could Continue Growing At These Rates</b></p><p>TSLA&#39;s vehicle deliveries continue to outpace its growing production. YoY TSLA&#39;s deliveries increased by 68% in Q1, adding 125,171 delivered vehicles to its customers. TSLA just began Model Y deliveries from the Austin facility, and production at the Gigafactory in Berlin started in March of 2022. TSLA&#39;s Shanghai facility had strong production rates prior to the spike in COVID that resulted in temporary shutdowns. TSLA isn&#39;t just focusing on the U.S, they have Europe and China in their sights.</p><p>EVs accounted for 488,000 sales in the U.S for 2021, and the previous projection was that EVs would account for 670,000 units sold in 2022. Oil has hovered around $100 per barrel and could render the previous projections of 37% increased EV sales domestically for 2022 conservative. TSLA is in a prime position to capitalize on this trend. In 2021 TSLA vehicles accounted for 61.89% of EVs sold in the U.S (301,998 / 488,000).</p><p>Hypothetically, if the previous projection of 670,000 EV sales for 2022 is accurate and TSLA maintains its current margin, they would sell 414,628 vehicles throughout the U.S in 2022. If gas prices do alter the decision-making process when deciding between a combustible engine or an EV, then TSLA could continue surprising the market with QoQ earnings beats.</p><p>The U.S has a national goal of reaching 50% of domestic auto sales coming from EVs. In 2021, EVs accounted for 3.26% of total sales in the U.S auto market. Based on U.S auto sales in 2021, annual EV sales would need to grow by 6,989,403 to reach a 50% EV to combustible engine ratio. Hypothetically if U.S auto sales stayed flat but EVs reached 50% of the market in 2030 they would sell 7,477,403 vehicles. If TSLA&#39;s dominance in the EV sector was to drop from 61.89% to 15% due to increased competition, they would generate 1,121,610 in sales compared to 301,998 in 2021. When you add in Europe and China, TSLA certainly has the ability to become a top auto manufacturer by sales next decade.</p><p>Bulls aren&#39;t incorrect to be excited about TSLA. The world is moving toward EVs, and TSLA is the crème de la crème. As I said in the beginning, I am bullish about TSLA&#39;s future prospects, but I think the valuation today is overinflated. Nobody can predict the future, but I have no doubt that TSLA will continue to grow its sales YoY.</p><p>The question becomes, how much growth will they be able to achieve YoY? In 2021, TM generated $226.48 billion of revenue and, based on the future of EVs, TSLA certainly could achieve this level of revenue in the future. Based on TSLA&#39;s current 13.51% profit margin, if they achieved TM&#39;s level of revenue, they would generate $30.59 billion of net income, which would definitely make today&#39;s valuation look more realistic.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93c9176fa9bebc2c940e038cafd23229\" tg-width=\"603\" tg-height=\"631\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Tesla</p><p><b>Conclusion</b></p><p>You&#39;re probably wondering how I can be a shareholder and be a bear on TSLA&#39;s valuation at the same time. It&#39;s simple; my wife bought shares of TSLA, which makes me a shareholder. My stance has always been bullish on the company and bearish on the valuation. What Elon Musk and the team at TSLA has accomplished is astonishing, and they deserve nothing but respect.</p><p>Keep in mind a company and a company&#39;s stock are two separate things. TSLA continues to dilute shareholders, and they and the market are valuing TSLA as if it&#39;s FB or GOOGL. TSLA is not a technology company; it&#39;s an automobile company, as the automotive segments drive 100% of its gross revenue and net income.</p><p>TSLA is trading at a P/E of 113.81, a P/S of 15.38, and a 142.52x multiple on its FCF. The numbers are drastically inflated as TSLA has no business trading at a larger P/S multiple than AMZN, which trades at 11.31 P/S when it has grown its revenue by $341.76 billion over the previous 3.25 years compared to TSLA&#39;s $40.73 billion of revenue growth. TSLA has generated $6.93 billion in FCF over the TTM, while Mr. Market has placed a 142.52x multiple on TSLA due to $7.15 billion FCF growth over the past 3.25 years. FB trades at a 15.19x FCF multiple while growing FCF by $23.45 billion over this period which is more than 3x what TSLA has generated in the TTM.</p><p>With FB trading at 15.19x FCF, GOOGL at 23.42x FCF, and AAPL at 25.4x FCF, it&#39;s hard to justify any number above 20x for TSLA. I think a 21x FCF multiple is generous and that places TSLA at a market cap of $145.43 billion, which is -85.26% from its current market cap of $986.92 billion.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla: Overvalued By 85.26% And Not A Technology Company</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla: Overvalued By 85.26% And Not A Technology Company\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-05-08 11:30 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4507535-tesla-overvalued-by-85-26-percent-and-not-a-technology-company><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryMake no mistake, Tesla is a phenomenal company that has accomplished the unthinkable as it broke through extreme barriers of entry to disrupt the auto industry.Just because Tesla is a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4507535-tesla-overvalued-by-85-26-percent-and-not-a-technology-company\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4507535-tesla-overvalued-by-85-26-percent-and-not-a-technology-company","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1131831539","content_text":"SummaryMake no mistake, Tesla is a phenomenal company that has accomplished the unthinkable as it broke through extreme barriers of entry to disrupt the auto industry.Just because Tesla is a successful company that is causing automotive titans to change from combustible engines to EVs doesn't mean Tesla's stock is a good investment today.100% of gross profit and net income is generated from the automotive sector as Tesla's other businesses lose money, making them an automobile manufacturing company, not a technology company.I compared Tesla's metrics to the auto industry and big tech and the results are the same, Tesla's valuation is egregious.It's rare to find companies that have cult-like followings with loyalists willing to pay any price for its stock. The debate regarding Tesla, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:TSLA) valuation continues to be a topic of conversation between the bulls and the bears. Oneside argues that TSLA's financial growth and future prospects, including FSD, insurance, and robotaxis, justify the current $902.12 billion valuations, while others argue that the current financials and cult-like following have led to a massive overvaluation in TSLA's stock.I tip my hat to Elon Musk, as his accomplishments are second to none. When others called him crazy, Mr. Musk chose one of the hardest industries to compete in, started TSLA from the ground up, went to battle against the auto manufacturers, and succeeded. TSLA is one of the rare success stories that has truly shaped an industry, and the barriers of entry that were overcome are astonishing. TSLA didn't have the capital, manufacturing, credibility, or the infrastructure that its competitors did, yet they found a way to succeed. If the odds weren't enough which TSLA faced, they accomplished their goals without a combustible engine and pioneered an entirely new sector within the automotive industry.Just because TSLA is a great company, it doesn't mean TSLA has a great stock, or it isn't overvalued. I am not bearish on TSLA the company because I believe they still have a long runway of growth ahead of them, but I am bearish on the valuation. Prior to leaving a comment on why I am wrong, please read the article and think about the metrics I am citing; then, I will happily discuss any viewpoints about the analysis.Tesla Vs. The World In The Automotive SectorIt feels like TSLA vs. the world whenever TSLA is discussed. Discussing who makes a better automobile is a matter of opinion, and everyone is correct because it's their opinion. If person A thinks TSLA makes the best car and person B thinks Mercedes Benz makes the best car, they are both correct. Debating over this is pointless, so let's look at the raw numbers.TSLA has a larger market cap than the combination ofToyota(TM),Volkswagen(OTCPK:VWAGY),Daimler(OTCPK:DDAIF),BMW(OTCPK:BMWYY),General Motors(GM),Ford(F),Honda(HMC),Ferrari(RACE),Nissan(OTCPK:NSANY),Subaru(OTCPK:FUJHY),Volvo(OTCPK:VOLAF), andMazda(OTCPK:MZDAY). TSLA's market cap is currently $986.92 billion, while the combination of these 12 companies is $777.41 billion.Steven FiorilloThe P/S ratio is often cited to justify the valuation. The combination of TM, VWAGY, DDAIF, BMWYY, GM, F, HMC, RACE, NSANY, FUJHY, VOLAF, and MZDAY has generated $1.38 trillion in revenue over the TTM, putting their P/S at 0.56, while TSLA has generated $62.19 billion in revenue and has a 15.87 P/S.Steven Fiorillo, Seeking AlphaAs a combined entity, these 12 companies have generated $118.29 billion in net income, while TSLA has produced $8.4 billion.Steven Fiorillo, Seeking AlphaTSLA is a great company, but its current valuation has become overly inflated. TSLA's market cap is $209.52 billion larger than these 12 auto manufacturers, yet the combination of the 12 auto manufacturers generates $1.32 trillion more in revenue and $109.89 billion more in net income.Steven Fiorillo, Seeking AlphaLooking at the market caps, one would assume that TSLA has a dominant majority over its competitors in auto sales within the U.S. According to the2021 data, TSLA sold 2.02% of all vehicles in the U.S. TSLA's market cap reflects a level of dominance that is non-existent.Realistically, TSLA will have a hard time disrupting the sector further due to the price point of their vehicles. The reality is that, unless TSLA can sell a car that rivals a Honda or Toyota, doubling its market share is going to be a daunting task. It's just math. TSLA doesn't have a product for the masses, and while it may continue to grow in the luxury segment, the amount of growth that can be achieved is limited due to the pricing power of the consumer.www.goodcarbadcar.netTesla Isn't A Technology Company And Shouldn't Be Valued As OneThe valuation rebuttal has always been that TSLA isn't an automobile company, rather, it's a technology company.TeslaPage 23 ofTSLA's Q1 2022 slide deck from their earnings call is their statement of operations. Once again, 100% of TSLA's gross profit and net income are derived from automobiles. Energy generation and storage lose money as it generates $616 million in revenue while the cost of this revenue is $688 million. The same goes for Services and others, as this segment generates $1.279 billion in revenue while the cost of this revenue is $1.286 billion. This doesn't even factor in operating expenses.TSLA manufacturers state of the art automobiles, but this doesn't classify them as a technology company, nor should they be classified as one. Since this is always the rebuttal and technology companies trade at larger earnings multiples, I will compare TSLA to Apple (AAPL), Microsoft (MSFT), Amazon (AMZN), Alphabet (GOOG) (GOOGL), and Meta Platforms (FB) and illustrate why TSLA is still drastically overvalued if the market was still to provide it with a tech multiple.Prior to the comparisons, I want to frame the analysis by providing each company's market cap:AAPL $2.69 TrillionMSFT $2.17 TrillionGOOGL $1.62 TrillionAMZN $1.28 TrillionTSLA $986.92 BillionFB $604.62 BillionI am going to start with growth because this is always the key metric bulls point out. Since the close of 2018, which is 3.25 fiscal years, TSLA has grown its revenue from $21.46 billion to $62.19 billion.This is absolutely remarkable, but it doesn't place TSLA in the upper epsilon of technology companies. Over the same period, FB grew its revenue by $63.83 billion, which is more than what TSLA produced in the TTM. FB grew its revenue by more than what TSLA produces and generates just about double the revenue ($119.67 billion), yet TSLA has a larger market cap. For everyone who has used growth as their investment premise, FB having a market cap that's $382.30 less than TSLA nullifies that aspect of the bull thesis. AMZN's market cap is only $294.33 billion larger than TSLA, yet they generated $477.75 billion in revenue and grew their revenue by $341.76 billion in this period. Using revenue growth for TSLA doesn't support the valuation.Steven Fiorillo, Seeking AlphaNext, I will turn to profits because, at the end of the day, businesses are in the business of making money. Once again, TSLA has done a fantastic job of monetizing its business and, in 3.25 short years, has gone from losing -$976 million to make $8.4 billion in the TTM for an increase of $9.38 billion. FB has produced $37.34 billion in profit in the TTM, and its net income grew by $15.23 billion over this period. Using growth doesn't support the valuation when FB has a market cap that's $382.30 less than TSLA and grew its profits in this period by almost double what TSLA has generated in the TTM.Steven Fiorillo, Seeking AlphaThe new metric bulls are using in their thesis is TSLA's free cash flow (FCF). Once again, TSLA has done an excellent job, going from -$221 million of FCF in 2018 to $6.93 billion of FCF in the TTM. Many companies would love to grow their annual FCF by $7.15 billion over a 3.25-year period, and this should be applauded.Let's look at FB once again, since TSLA's valuation isn't based on its core segment as an automobile manufacturer. FB has grown its FCF over the previous 3.25 years by $23.45 billion, more than 3x TSLA's growth, and has generated $39.81 billion of FCF in the TTM. FB generated roughly 5.75x more FCF than TSLA and grew its FCF by more than 3x what TSLA produces, yet FB has a market cap that's almost $400 billion less than TSLA. Growth within the financials does not support TSLA's valuation, which is a breath away from $1 trillion.Steven Fiorillo, Seeking AlphaToday you're paying a 113.81 P/E for TSLA. Paying a larger multiple for a company that's growing its earnings quickly is normal, but TSLA isn't growing by larger amounts than FB, and FB trades at a 16.66 P/E. I have seen TSLA bulls justify the P/E because of TSLA's growth factor, but this doesn't hold up when FB has grown by larger amounts from larger starting positions and has a P/E that's a fraction of TSLA. Look at AAPL, which is the largest company in the world. AAPL has grown its net income by $56.25 billion and its FCF by $52.3 billion over the past 3.25 years, and its P/E is 26.78. People are blindly paying any multiple the market places on TSLA.TSLA is trading at a 15.38 P/S. The justification for this multiple is difficult to defend while AMZN trades at a P/S of 11.31. AMZN's revenue grew by $341.76 billion over the past 3.25 years while TSLA grew their revenue by $40.73 billion. Instead of an absolute basis, looking at this from a percentage aspect, TSLA grew its revenue by 189.78%, while AMZN's grew by 251.32%. The P/S ratio is not a supporting valuation metric as TSLA is trading at a larger multiple than AMZN yet produced $301.03 billion less in revenue growth compared to AMZN. At the very least, TSLA should trade at a lower P/S multiple than AMZN considering their revenue growth was a fraction of AMZN's.TSLA has done an excellent job monetizing its revenue, delivering exceptional margins, and generating FCF. Now that TSLA is generating billions in FCF, it's been inserted into the bull thesis. FCF is a measure of profitability that excludes the non-cash expenses of the income statement and includes spending on equipment and assets as well as changes in working capital from the balance sheet. FCF could be the most underrated and most important financial metric to look at, as this is the pool of capital that companies can utilize to repay debt, pay dividends, buy back shares, make acquisitions, or reinvest in the business.Every investment is the present value of all future cash flow. This is why investors look at the price to FCF valuation. Investors want to pay the cheapest multiple for a company's FCF. Today, you're paying 142.52x TSLA's FCF. Going back to the FCF section, TSLA grew its FCF by $7.15 billion over the past 3.25 years. FB generated $23.45 billion of FCF in this period, which is 3x the amount TSLA grew, yet FB is trading at a 15.19x multiple on price to FCF.Why on earth would you want to pay 142.52x for TSLA's FCF when you could pay 15.19x for FB, which is growing their FCF by more than 3x the amount that TSLA is growing by? How about AAPL? AAPL grew its FCF by $52.3 billion and trades at a 25.4x price to FCF. If I exclude FB for a moment, should TSLA trade at a larger FCF multiple than GOOGL, which has grown its FCF by $46.15 billion over the past 3.25 years? My answer is no because there is no guarantee that TSLA will ever generate $46.15 billion in annual FCF, let alone the $68.99 billion in FCF that GOOGL generates.So what is a fair price to FCF multiple for TSLA? I don't believe TSLA has earned the right to trade at the same multiples as the rest of big tech considering the levels of FCF they produce. If I stick with the methodology that FB is egregiously undervalued, then TSLA should trade above 15.19x its FCF but lower than the 23.42x multiple GOOGL trades at.I don't want to be overly bearish, so I will place a 21x multiple on TSLA's FCF, which is more than fair considering big tech metrics. A 21x multiple on TSLA's FCF puts its market cap at $145.43 billion, which is -85.26% from its current market cap of $986.92 billion. It's just math, and if TSLA is going to be valued as a technology company, it needs to be compared to the technology companies with similar market caps.At the very least, there isn't a single reason why TSLA's market cap is larger than FB's. There isn't a single metric that TSLA beats FB in. Based on FB's valuation, if TSLA traded at the same FCF multiple, it would have a market cap of $105.19 billion.TSLA has a gross profit margin of 27.1% ($16.85b / $62.19b) and a profit margin of 13.51% ($8.4b / $62.19b). FB has a gross profit margin of 80.34% ($96.14b / $119.67b) and a profit margin of 31.2% ($37.34b / $119.67b). FB has much wider margins and is growing its revenue by larger amounts. This reinforces my methodology as to why TSLA is grossly overvalued. GOOGL has a gross profit margin of 56.93% ($153.9b / $270.33b) and a profit margin of 27.57% ($74.54b / $270.33b).The chances are incredibly slim that TSLA can double its profit margin to be within striking distance of GOOGL's. TSLA should not trade at a larger FCF, P/E, or P/S multiple than FB or GOOGL. While the market would indicate that I am wrong today, eventually, the hype will wear off, and TSLA will trade at a realistic valuation.TSLA's Future Catalysts Have A Long Way To Go Before Impacting Its Bottom LineThere are three main catalysts people discuss, which include insurance, robotaxis, and FSD.TSLA offers insurance using real-time driving behavior. This is currently available to all Model S, Model 3, Model X, and Model Y owners. The catch is that it's only available in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Ohio, Oregon, Texas, and Virginia as of now.TSLA uses a safety rating score to determine the monthly premium for its vehicles. At the largest premium of $130/mo, this would be $1,560 per year. If TSLA converted 100% of their U.S sales in 2021 as an insurance customer, which I think could be possible if TSLA insurance was available in every state, it would have generated $471.12 million in revenue.We have no idea what the margins would have been, but if the margin was 50%, it would have been an additional $235.56 million in net income in 2021. While this is nothing to sneeze at, an additional $235.56 million in net income hardly moves the needle. This could be a $1 billion top-line revenue segment in the future, but with availability in only 7 states, insurance's $1 billion revenue mark is a long way away.TeslaNext,FSD, for which TSLA has created two subscription models, a $99/mo price point and a $199/mo price point. The problem with FSD is that it doesn't make the vehicle fully autonomous, and you still need a driver to be attentive and alert. While I am not arguing that TSLA's FSD isn't leaps and bounds ahead of the competition, the problem is that it's not exactly a self-driving car.The questions around legality and where you can use it pop into my head, and how many of TSLA's drivers opt for this upgrade. Until there is clear legislation and the technology advances to where vehicles can fully drive a person from point A to B while that person takes a nap or reads, I have a hard time believing enough TSLA owners will spend the extra $199/mo on FSD. If there is somewhere where TSLA produces the numbers about how many owners opt for this package, please let me know, and I will crunch the numbers.Which Features Come With My Subscription?The FSD capability features you receive are based on your configuration and location. Not all features are available in all markets, and features are subject to change.Learn more about Autopilot and Full Self-Driving capability features.Note: These features are designed to become more capable over time; however the currently enabled features do not make the vehicle autonomous. The currently enabled features require a fully attentive driver, who has their hands on the wheel and is prepared to take over at any moment.The last catalyst is Robotaxis which many have commented on in my articles before. We're so far off on Robotaxis that this can't be considered in TSLA's upcoming revenue. I would think major legislation would be needed for Robotaxis to exist, and there is no telling how many years away we are from this.Also, what is the percentage of TSLA owners that would actually allow their vehicle to be used as a Robotaxi? Depending on what the profitability is, I can see people buying TSLAs to enroll them in this program, but, once again, we need to see the economics behind it. I know I am just one opinion, but I would never enroll one of my cars into a robotaxi program because I don't want other people that I don't know in my car. I would think there are many others that have similar viewpoints.The real upcoming catalysts are future revenue growth and entering the Chinese market. In 2021 TSLA grew its YoY revenue by 70.67%, and their off to a great start after Q1 2022. Only time will tell what type of growth rate TSLA can maintain, but too many people are assuming that TSLA will obliterate the competition. Over the next several years, we could see TSLA's growth rate become significantly reduced as more luxury operators put EVs on the road.At TSLA's current margins, they would need to increase their revenue by 444.55% to $276.47 billion to produce the same amount of net income ($37.34b) that FB produces today at their current 13.51% profit margin. Maybe TSLA can get there in the future, but why should TSLA be valued at almost $1 trillion today, considering not a single metric of theirs is similar to FB or GOOGL, and TSLA's growth across any of the sectors isn't larger than FB or GOOGL?Tesla Continues To Dilute Shareholders, And Almost No Shareholders CareDilution kills shareholder value. Look, I am a shareholder of TSLA, and I hate that my shares continue to be diluted. These numbers are split-adjusted that I am using. Over the past decade,TSLA has diluted its shares by 80.93%. This is horrible compared to big tech, yet investors can't buy enough TSLA shares. TSLA finished 2012 with 572.6 million shares and, as of its last filing, had increased its outstanding shares to 1.036 billion shares.This is the equivalent of me taking a pizza, and instead of giving you a slice, cutting another 6.5 slices, then giving you one. The pizza represents TSLA, the company, and they basically turned an 8-slice pie into a 14.5-slice pie, reducing shareholder's ownership and the amount of equity, revenue, and EPS our shares represent.If you want to see what a true shepherd of shareholder value looks like, turn to AAPL. In 2012 AAPL had 26.3 billion shares outstanding. Over the past decade, AAPL has repurchased 10.09 billion shares, reducing its outstanding shares by 38.37%. Every quarter, AAPL is buying back shares and increasing the ownership its shares represent. TSLA, on the other hand, continues to dilute shareholders by increasing shares YOY.I Could Be Completely Wrong, And Tesla Could Continue Growing At These RatesTSLA's vehicle deliveries continue to outpace its growing production. YoY TSLA's deliveries increased by 68% in Q1, adding 125,171 delivered vehicles to its customers. TSLA just began Model Y deliveries from the Austin facility, and production at the Gigafactory in Berlin started in March of 2022. TSLA's Shanghai facility had strong production rates prior to the spike in COVID that resulted in temporary shutdowns. TSLA isn't just focusing on the U.S, they have Europe and China in their sights.EVs accounted for 488,000 sales in the U.S for 2021, and the previous projection was that EVs would account for 670,000 units sold in 2022. Oil has hovered around $100 per barrel and could render the previous projections of 37% increased EV sales domestically for 2022 conservative. TSLA is in a prime position to capitalize on this trend. In 2021 TSLA vehicles accounted for 61.89% of EVs sold in the U.S (301,998 / 488,000).Hypothetically, if the previous projection of 670,000 EV sales for 2022 is accurate and TSLA maintains its current margin, they would sell 414,628 vehicles throughout the U.S in 2022. If gas prices do alter the decision-making process when deciding between a combustible engine or an EV, then TSLA could continue surprising the market with QoQ earnings beats.The U.S has a national goal of reaching 50% of domestic auto sales coming from EVs. In 2021, EVs accounted for 3.26% of total sales in the U.S auto market. Based on U.S auto sales in 2021, annual EV sales would need to grow by 6,989,403 to reach a 50% EV to combustible engine ratio. Hypothetically if U.S auto sales stayed flat but EVs reached 50% of the market in 2030 they would sell 7,477,403 vehicles. If TSLA's dominance in the EV sector was to drop from 61.89% to 15% due to increased competition, they would generate 1,121,610 in sales compared to 301,998 in 2021. When you add in Europe and China, TSLA certainly has the ability to become a top auto manufacturer by sales next decade.Bulls aren't incorrect to be excited about TSLA. The world is moving toward EVs, and TSLA is the crème de la crème. As I said in the beginning, I am bullish about TSLA's future prospects, but I think the valuation today is overinflated. Nobody can predict the future, but I have no doubt that TSLA will continue to grow its sales YoY.The question becomes, how much growth will they be able to achieve YoY? In 2021, TM generated $226.48 billion of revenue and, based on the future of EVs, TSLA certainly could achieve this level of revenue in the future. Based on TSLA's current 13.51% profit margin, if they achieved TM's level of revenue, they would generate $30.59 billion of net income, which would definitely make today's valuation look more realistic.TeslaConclusionYou're probably wondering how I can be a shareholder and be a bear on TSLA's valuation at the same time. It's simple; my wife bought shares of TSLA, which makes me a shareholder. My stance has always been bullish on the company and bearish on the valuation. What Elon Musk and the team at TSLA has accomplished is astonishing, and they deserve nothing but respect.Keep in mind a company and a company's stock are two separate things. TSLA continues to dilute shareholders, and they and the market are valuing TSLA as if it's FB or GOOGL. TSLA is not a technology company; it's an automobile company, as the automotive segments drive 100% of its gross revenue and net income.TSLA is trading at a P/E of 113.81, a P/S of 15.38, and a 142.52x multiple on its FCF. The numbers are drastically inflated as TSLA has no business trading at a larger P/S multiple than AMZN, which trades at 11.31 P/S when it has grown its revenue by $341.76 billion over the previous 3.25 years compared to TSLA's $40.73 billion of revenue growth. TSLA has generated $6.93 billion in FCF over the TTM, while Mr. Market has placed a 142.52x multiple on TSLA due to $7.15 billion FCF growth over the past 3.25 years. FB trades at a 15.19x FCF multiple while growing FCF by $23.45 billion over this period which is more than 3x what TSLA has generated in the TTM.With FB trading at 15.19x FCF, GOOGL at 23.42x FCF, and AAPL at 25.4x FCF, it's hard to justify any number above 20x for TSLA. I think a 21x FCF multiple is generous and that places TSLA at a market cap of $145.43 billion, which is -85.26% from its current market cap of $986.92 billion.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":117,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9068670857,"gmtCreate":1651766136179,"gmtModify":1676534965731,"author":{"id":"3583805940946266","authorId":"3583805940946266","name":"dlzy900","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a9296920deee300153d681f41bd09970","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583805940946266","idStr":"3583805940946266"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"okay","listText":"okay","text":"okay","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9068670857","repostId":"1161742465","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1161742465","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1651763586,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1161742465?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-05 23:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Dow Tumbles 1,000 Points, Nasdaq Drops More Than 4% as Wall Street Sell-Off Intensifies","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1161742465","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Stocks fell sharply on Thursday, erasing the gains seen in the previous session after the Federal Re","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Stocks fell sharply on Thursday, erasing the gains seen in the previous session after the Federal Reserve raised rates by half a point.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 890 points, or 2.6%. The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq Composite fell 3.1% and 4.2%, respectively.</p><p>The moves come after a major rally for stocks on Wednesday. The Dow surged 932 points, or 2.81%, and the S&amp;P 500 gained 2.99% for their biggest gains since 2020. The Nasdaq Composite jumped 3.19%.</p><p>The Fed increased its benchmark interest rate by 50 basis points, as expected, and said it would begin reducing its balance sheet in June. However, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said during his news conference that the central bank is “not actively considering” a larger 75 basis point rate hike, which appeared to spark a rally.</p><p>Still, the Fed remains open to the prospect of taking rates above neutral to rein in inflation, Zachary Hill, head of portfolio strategy at Horizon Investments, noted.</p><p>“Despite the tightening that we have seen in financial conditions over the last few months, it is clear that the Fed would like to see them tighten further,” he said. “Higher equity valuations are incompatible with that desire, so unless supply chains heal rapidly or workers flood back into the labor force, any equity rallies are likely on borrowed time as Fed messaging becomes more hawkish once again.”</p><p>Large tech stocks were under pressure, with Facebook-parent Meta Platforms and Amazon falling 5.8% and 7.1%, respectively. Microsoft dropped 4.7%. Salesforce tumbled 6.3%.</p><p>E-commerce stocks were a key source of weakness on Thursday following some disappointing quarterly reports.</p><p>Etsy and eBay dropped 15% and 8%, respectively, after issuing weaker-than-expected revenue guidance. Shopify fell more than 17% after missing estimates on the top and bottom lines.</p><p>The Treasury market also saw a dramatic reversal of Wednesday’s rally. The 10-year Treasury yield, which moves opposite of price, surged back above 3% on Thursday morning and hit its highest level since 2018. Rising rates can put pressure on growth-oriented tech stocks, as they make far-off earnings less attractive to investors.</p><p>Carlyle Group co-founder David Rubenstein said investors need to get “back to reality” about the headwinds for markets and the economy, including the war in Russia and high inflation.</p><p>“We’re also looking at 50-basis-point increases the next two FOMC meetings. So we are going to be tightening a bit. I don’t think that is going to be tightening so much so that we’re going slow down the economy. ... but we still have to recognize that we have some real economic challenges in the United States,” Rubenstein said Thursday on CNBC’s “Squawk Box.”</p><p>Some Wall Street strategists had suggested markets could see a relief rally after the rate increase. After Powell’s comments, investors seemed at ease about the central bank’s ability to slow inflation without triggering a recession. The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq Composite touched their lowest levels of the year earlier this week after a rough April for stocks, possibly making some areas of the market oversold and primed for a short-term bounce.</p><p>In economic data, weekly jobless claims came in slightly higher than expected and labor productivity dropped 7.5% in the first quarter for its fastest decline since 1947.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Dow Tumbles 1,000 Points, Nasdaq Drops More Than 4% as Wall Street Sell-Off Intensifies</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDow Tumbles 1,000 Points, Nasdaq Drops More Than 4% as Wall Street Sell-Off Intensifies\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-05-05 23:13</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Stocks fell sharply on Thursday, erasing the gains seen in the previous session after the Federal Reserve raised rates by half a point.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 890 points, or 2.6%. The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq Composite fell 3.1% and 4.2%, respectively.</p><p>The moves come after a major rally for stocks on Wednesday. The Dow surged 932 points, or 2.81%, and the S&amp;P 500 gained 2.99% for their biggest gains since 2020. The Nasdaq Composite jumped 3.19%.</p><p>The Fed increased its benchmark interest rate by 50 basis points, as expected, and said it would begin reducing its balance sheet in June. However, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said during his news conference that the central bank is “not actively considering” a larger 75 basis point rate hike, which appeared to spark a rally.</p><p>Still, the Fed remains open to the prospect of taking rates above neutral to rein in inflation, Zachary Hill, head of portfolio strategy at Horizon Investments, noted.</p><p>“Despite the tightening that we have seen in financial conditions over the last few months, it is clear that the Fed would like to see them tighten further,” he said. “Higher equity valuations are incompatible with that desire, so unless supply chains heal rapidly or workers flood back into the labor force, any equity rallies are likely on borrowed time as Fed messaging becomes more hawkish once again.”</p><p>Large tech stocks were under pressure, with Facebook-parent Meta Platforms and Amazon falling 5.8% and 7.1%, respectively. Microsoft dropped 4.7%. Salesforce tumbled 6.3%.</p><p>E-commerce stocks were a key source of weakness on Thursday following some disappointing quarterly reports.</p><p>Etsy and eBay dropped 15% and 8%, respectively, after issuing weaker-than-expected revenue guidance. Shopify fell more than 17% after missing estimates on the top and bottom lines.</p><p>The Treasury market also saw a dramatic reversal of Wednesday’s rally. The 10-year Treasury yield, which moves opposite of price, surged back above 3% on Thursday morning and hit its highest level since 2018. Rising rates can put pressure on growth-oriented tech stocks, as they make far-off earnings less attractive to investors.</p><p>Carlyle Group co-founder David Rubenstein said investors need to get “back to reality” about the headwinds for markets and the economy, including the war in Russia and high inflation.</p><p>“We’re also looking at 50-basis-point increases the next two FOMC meetings. So we are going to be tightening a bit. I don’t think that is going to be tightening so much so that we’re going slow down the economy. ... but we still have to recognize that we have some real economic challenges in the United States,” Rubenstein said Thursday on CNBC’s “Squawk Box.”</p><p>Some Wall Street strategists had suggested markets could see a relief rally after the rate increase. After Powell’s comments, investors seemed at ease about the central bank’s ability to slow inflation without triggering a recession. The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq Composite touched their lowest levels of the year earlier this week after a rough April for stocks, possibly making some areas of the market oversold and primed for a short-term bounce.</p><p>In economic data, weekly jobless claims came in slightly higher than expected and labor productivity dropped 7.5% in the first quarter for its fastest decline since 1947.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1161742465","content_text":"Stocks fell sharply on Thursday, erasing the gains seen in the previous session after the Federal Reserve raised rates by half a point.The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 890 points, or 2.6%. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite fell 3.1% and 4.2%, respectively.The moves come after a major rally for stocks on Wednesday. The Dow surged 932 points, or 2.81%, and the S&P 500 gained 2.99% for their biggest gains since 2020. The Nasdaq Composite jumped 3.19%.The Fed increased its benchmark interest rate by 50 basis points, as expected, and said it would begin reducing its balance sheet in June. However, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said during his news conference that the central bank is “not actively considering” a larger 75 basis point rate hike, which appeared to spark a rally.Still, the Fed remains open to the prospect of taking rates above neutral to rein in inflation, Zachary Hill, head of portfolio strategy at Horizon Investments, noted.“Despite the tightening that we have seen in financial conditions over the last few months, it is clear that the Fed would like to see them tighten further,” he said. “Higher equity valuations are incompatible with that desire, so unless supply chains heal rapidly or workers flood back into the labor force, any equity rallies are likely on borrowed time as Fed messaging becomes more hawkish once again.”Large tech stocks were under pressure, with Facebook-parent Meta Platforms and Amazon falling 5.8% and 7.1%, respectively. Microsoft dropped 4.7%. Salesforce tumbled 6.3%.E-commerce stocks were a key source of weakness on Thursday following some disappointing quarterly reports.Etsy and eBay dropped 15% and 8%, respectively, after issuing weaker-than-expected revenue guidance. Shopify fell more than 17% after missing estimates on the top and bottom lines.The Treasury market also saw a dramatic reversal of Wednesday’s rally. The 10-year Treasury yield, which moves opposite of price, surged back above 3% on Thursday morning and hit its highest level since 2018. Rising rates can put pressure on growth-oriented tech stocks, as they make far-off earnings less attractive to investors.Carlyle Group co-founder David Rubenstein said investors need to get “back to reality” about the headwinds for markets and the economy, including the war in Russia and high inflation.“We’re also looking at 50-basis-point increases the next two FOMC meetings. So we are going to be tightening a bit. I don’t think that is going to be tightening so much so that we’re going slow down the economy. ... but we still have to recognize that we have some real economic challenges in the United States,” Rubenstein said Thursday on CNBC’s “Squawk Box.”Some Wall Street strategists had suggested markets could see a relief rally after the rate increase. After Powell’s comments, investors seemed at ease about the central bank’s ability to slow inflation without triggering a recession. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite touched their lowest levels of the year earlier this week after a rough April for stocks, possibly making some areas of the market oversold and primed for a short-term bounce.In economic data, weekly jobless claims came in slightly higher than expected and labor productivity dropped 7.5% in the first quarter for its fastest decline since 1947.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":29,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9062153176,"gmtCreate":1652029901795,"gmtModify":1676535015872,"author":{"id":"3583805940946266","authorId":"3583805940946266","name":"dlzy900","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a9296920deee300153d681f41bd09970","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583805940946266","idStr":"3583805940946266"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"yep","listText":"yep","text":"yep","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9062153176","repostId":"1142625267","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":176,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9062153985,"gmtCreate":1652029858347,"gmtModify":1676535015852,"author":{"id":"3583805940946266","authorId":"3583805940946266","name":"dlzy900","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a9296920deee300153d681f41bd09970","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583805940946266","idStr":"3583805940946266"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"okay","listText":"okay","text":"okay","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9062153985","repostId":"1131831539","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1131831539","pubTimestamp":1651980653,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1131831539?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-08 11:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla: Overvalued By 85.26% And Not A Technology Company","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1131831539","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryMake no mistake, Tesla is a phenomenal company that has accomplished the unthinkable as it broke through extreme barriers of entry to disrupt the auto industry.Just because Tesla is a successfu","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Summary</p><ul><li>Make no mistake, Tesla is a phenomenal company that has accomplished the unthinkable as it broke through extreme barriers of entry to disrupt the auto industry.</li><li>Just because Tesla is a successful company that is causing automotive titans to change from combustible engines to EVs doesn&#39;t mean Tesla&#39;s stock is a good investment today.</li><li>100% of gross profit and net income is generated from the automotive sector as Tesla&#39;s other businesses lose money, making them an automobile manufacturing company, not a technology company.</li><li>I compared Tesla&#39;s metrics to the auto industry and big tech and the results are the same, Tesla&#39;s valuation is egregious.</li></ul><p>It&#39;s rare to find companies that have cult-like followings with loyalists willing to pay any price for its stock. The debate regarding Tesla, Inc.&#39;s (NASDAQ:TSLA) valuation continues to be a topic of conversation between the bulls and the bears. Oneside argues that TSLA&#39;s financial growth and future prospects, including FSD, insurance, and robotaxis, justify the current $902.12 billion valuations, while others argue that the current financials and cult-like following have led to a massive overvaluation in TSLA&#39;s stock.</p><p>I tip my hat to Elon Musk, as his accomplishments are second to none. When others called him crazy, Mr. Musk chose one of the hardest industries to compete in, started TSLA from the ground up, went to battle against the auto manufacturers, and succeeded. TSLA is one of the rare success stories that has truly shaped an industry, and the barriers of entry that were overcome are astonishing. TSLA didn&#39;t have the capital, manufacturing, credibility, or the infrastructure that its competitors did, yet they found a way to succeed. If the odds weren&#39;t enough which TSLA faced, they accomplished their goals without a combustible engine and pioneered an entirely new sector within the automotive industry.</p><p>Just because TSLA is a great company, it doesn&#39;t mean TSLA has a great stock, or it isn&#39;t overvalued. I am not bearish on TSLA the company because I believe they still have a long runway of growth ahead of them, but I am bearish on the valuation. Prior to leaving a comment on why I am wrong, please read the article and think about the metrics I am citing; then, I will happily discuss any viewpoints about the analysis.</p><p><b>Tesla Vs. The World In The Automotive Sector</b></p><p>It feels like TSLA vs. the world whenever TSLA is discussed. Discussing who makes a better automobile is a matter of opinion, and everyone is correct because it&#39;s their opinion. If person A thinks TSLA makes the best car and person B thinks Mercedes Benz makes the best car, they are both correct. Debating over this is pointless, so let&#39;s look at the raw numbers.</p><p>TSLA has a larger market cap than the combination ofToyota(TM),Volkswagen(OTCPK:VWAGY),Daimler(OTCPK:DDAIF),BMW(OTCPK:BMWYY),General Motors(GM),Ford(F),Honda(HMC),Ferrari(RACE),Nissan(OTCPK:NSANY),Subaru(OTCPK:FUJHY),Volvo(OTCPK:VOLAF), andMazda(OTCPK:MZDAY). TSLA&#39;s market cap is currently $986.92 billion, while the combination of these 12 companies is $777.41 billion.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff930d2442bf282c1bd880cca408eb94\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"327\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Steven Fiorillo</p><p>The P/S ratio is often cited to justify the valuation. The combination of TM, VWAGY, DDAIF, BMWYY, GM, F, HMC, RACE, NSANY, FUJHY, VOLAF, and MZDAY has generated $1.38 trillion in revenue over the TTM, putting their P/S at 0.56, while TSLA has generated $62.19 billion in revenue and has a 15.87 P/S.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c9b9661fde232925a758c38fd2e93f36\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"330\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Steven Fiorillo, Seeking Alpha</p><p>As a combined entity, these 12 companies have generated $118.29 billion in net income, while TSLA has produced $8.4 billion.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d25806eb839eb9ca2b4ef3c24218048c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"330\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Steven Fiorillo, Seeking Alpha</p><p>TSLA is a great company, but its current valuation has become overly inflated. TSLA&#39;s market cap is $209.52 billion larger than these 12 auto manufacturers, yet the combination of the 12 auto manufacturers generates $1.32 trillion more in revenue and $109.89 billion more in net income.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a1b686de4009ca733ff9651ce0d9fcaf\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"348\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Steven Fiorillo, Seeking Alpha</p><p>Looking at the market caps, one would assume that TSLA has a dominant majority over its competitors in auto sales within the U.S. According to the2021 data, TSLA sold 2.02% of all vehicles in the U.S. TSLA&#39;s market cap reflects a level of dominance that is non-existent.</p><p>Realistically, TSLA will have a hard time disrupting the sector further due to the price point of their vehicles. The reality is that, unless TSLA can sell a car that rivals a Honda or Toyota, doubling its market share is going to be a daunting task. It&#39;s just math. TSLA doesn&#39;t have a product for the masses, and while it may continue to grow in the luxury segment, the amount of growth that can be achieved is limited due to the pricing power of the consumer.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/442ffe151dd83bc524785857925f9797\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"227\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>www.goodcarbadcar.net</p><p><b>Tesla Isn&#39;t A Technology Company And Shouldn&#39;t Be Valued As One</b></p><p>The valuation rebuttal has always been that TSLA isn&#39;t an automobile company, rather, it&#39;s a technology company.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bbc9ccb2cb8a0e7d40804db24e183214\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"341\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Tesla</p><p>Page 23 ofTSLA&#39;s Q1 2022 slide deck from their earnings call is their statement of operations. Once again, 100% of TSLA&#39;s gross profit and net income are derived from automobiles. Energy generation and storage lose money as it generates $616 million in revenue while the cost of this revenue is $688 million. The same goes for Services and others, as this segment generates $1.279 billion in revenue while the cost of this revenue is $1.286 billion. This doesn&#39;t even factor in operating expenses.</p><p>TSLA manufacturers state of the art automobiles, but this doesn&#39;t classify them as a technology company, nor should they be classified as one. Since this is always the rebuttal and technology companies trade at larger earnings multiples, I will compare TSLA to Apple (AAPL), Microsoft (MSFT), Amazon (AMZN), Alphabet (GOOG) (GOOGL), and Meta Platforms (FB) and illustrate why TSLA is still drastically overvalued if the market was still to provide it with a tech multiple.</p><p>Prior to the comparisons, I want to frame the analysis by providing each company&#39;s market cap:</p><ul><li>AAPL $2.69 Trillion</li><li>MSFT $2.17 Trillion</li><li>GOOGL $1.62 Trillion</li><li>AMZN $1.28 Trillion</li><li>TSLA $986.92 Billion</li><li>FB $604.62 Billion</li></ul><p>I am going to start with growth because this is always the key metric bulls point out. Since the close of 2018, which is 3.25 fiscal years, TSLA has grown its revenue from $21.46 billion to $62.19 billion.</p><p>This is absolutely remarkable, but it doesn&#39;t place TSLA in the upper epsilon of technology companies. Over the same period, FB grew its revenue by $63.83 billion, which is more than what TSLA produced in the TTM. FB grew its revenue by more than what TSLA produces and generates just about double the revenue ($119.67 billion), yet TSLA has a larger market cap. For everyone who has used growth as their investment premise, FB having a market cap that&#39;s $382.30 less than TSLA nullifies that aspect of the bull thesis. AMZN&#39;s market cap is only $294.33 billion larger than TSLA, yet they generated $477.75 billion in revenue and grew their revenue by $341.76 billion in this period. Using revenue growth for TSLA doesn&#39;t support the valuation.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3c0fbd4eb93f026c4575ee8f77f53e4b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Steven Fiorillo, Seeking Alpha</p><p>Next, I will turn to profits because, at the end of the day, businesses are in the business of making money. Once again, TSLA has done a fantastic job of monetizing its business and, in 3.25 short years, has gone from losing -$976 million to make $8.4 billion in the TTM for an increase of $9.38 billion. FB has produced $37.34 billion in profit in the TTM, and its net income grew by $15.23 billion over this period. Using growth doesn&#39;t support the valuation when FB has a market cap that&#39;s $382.30 less than TSLA and grew its profits in this period by almost double what TSLA has generated in the TTM.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c9716477607711ee0b6d4f77eb24c890\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"382\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Steven Fiorillo, Seeking Alpha</p><p>The new metric bulls are using in their thesis is TSLA&#39;s free cash flow (FCF). Once again, TSLA has done an excellent job, going from -$221 million of FCF in 2018 to $6.93 billion of FCF in the TTM. Many companies would love to grow their annual FCF by $7.15 billion over a 3.25-year period, and this should be applauded.</p><p>Let&#39;s look at FB once again, since TSLA&#39;s valuation isn&#39;t based on its core segment as an automobile manufacturer. FB has grown its FCF over the previous 3.25 years by $23.45 billion, more than 3x TSLA&#39;s growth, and has generated $39.81 billion of FCF in the TTM. FB generated roughly 5.75x more FCF than TSLA and grew its FCF by more than 3x what TSLA produces, yet FB has a market cap that&#39;s almost $400 billion less than TSLA. Growth within the financials does not support TSLA&#39;s valuation, which is a breath away from $1 trillion.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/902a7074eda9e8f2f2765e0833423d2c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"373\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Steven Fiorillo, Seeking Alpha</p><p>Today you&#39;re paying a 113.81 P/E for TSLA. Paying a larger multiple for a company that&#39;s growing its earnings quickly is normal, but TSLA isn&#39;t growing by larger amounts than FB, and FB trades at a 16.66 P/E. I have seen TSLA bulls justify the P/E because of TSLA&#39;s growth factor, but this doesn&#39;t hold up when FB has grown by larger amounts from larger starting positions and has a P/E that&#39;s a fraction of TSLA. Look at AAPL, which is the largest company in the world. AAPL has grown its net income by $56.25 billion and its FCF by $52.3 billion over the past 3.25 years, and its P/E is 26.78. People are blindly paying any multiple the market places on TSLA.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75168f6e39ced721cf0c53d78481a983\" tg-width=\"614\" tg-height=\"335\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>TSLA is trading at a 15.38 P/S. The justification for this multiple is difficult to defend while AMZN trades at a P/S of 11.31. AMZN&#39;s revenue grew by $341.76 billion over the past 3.25 years while TSLA grew their revenue by $40.73 billion. Instead of an absolute basis, looking at this from a percentage aspect, TSLA grew its revenue by 189.78%, while AMZN&#39;s grew by 251.32%. The P/S ratio is not a supporting valuation metric as TSLA is trading at a larger multiple than AMZN yet produced $301.03 billion less in revenue growth compared to AMZN. At the very least, TSLA should trade at a lower P/S multiple than AMZN considering their revenue growth was a fraction of AMZN&#39;s.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aad00a6c490808962705a1a2dae45cfe\" tg-width=\"608\" tg-height=\"338\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>TSLA has done an excellent job monetizing its revenue, delivering exceptional margins, and generating FCF. Now that TSLA is generating billions in FCF, it&#39;s been inserted into the bull thesis. FCF is a measure of profitability that excludes the non-cash expenses of the income statement and includes spending on equipment and assets as well as changes in working capital from the balance sheet. FCF could be the most underrated and most important financial metric to look at, as this is the pool of capital that companies can utilize to repay debt, pay dividends, buy back shares, make acquisitions, or reinvest in the business.</p><p>Every investment is the present value of all future cash flow. This is why investors look at the price to FCF valuation. Investors want to pay the cheapest multiple for a company&#39;s FCF. Today, you&#39;re paying 142.52x TSLA&#39;s FCF. Going back to the FCF section, TSLA grew its FCF by $7.15 billion over the past 3.25 years. FB generated $23.45 billion of FCF in this period, which is 3x the amount TSLA grew, yet FB is trading at a 15.19x multiple on price to FCF.</p><p>Why on earth would you want to pay 142.52x for TSLA&#39;s FCF when you could pay 15.19x for FB, which is growing their FCF by more than 3x the amount that TSLA is growing by? How about AAPL? AAPL grew its FCF by $52.3 billion and trades at a 25.4x price to FCF. If I exclude FB for a moment, should TSLA trade at a larger FCF multiple than GOOGL, which has grown its FCF by $46.15 billion over the past 3.25 years? My answer is no because there is no guarantee that TSLA will ever generate $46.15 billion in annual FCF, let alone the $68.99 billion in FCF that GOOGL generates.</p><p>So what is a fair price to FCF multiple for TSLA? I don&#39;t believe TSLA has earned the right to trade at the same multiples as the rest of big tech considering the levels of FCF they produce. If I stick with the methodology that FB is egregiously undervalued, then TSLA should trade above 15.19x its FCF but lower than the 23.42x multiple GOOGL trades at.</p><p>I don&#39;t want to be overly bearish, so I will place a 21x multiple on TSLA&#39;s FCF, which is more than fair considering big tech metrics. A 21x multiple on TSLA&#39;s FCF puts its market cap at $145.43 billion, which is -85.26% from its current market cap of $986.92 billion. It&#39;s just math, and if TSLA is going to be valued as a technology company, it needs to be compared to the technology companies with similar market caps.</p><p>At the very least, there isn&#39;t a single reason why TSLA&#39;s market cap is larger than FB&#39;s. There isn&#39;t a single metric that TSLA beats FB in. Based on FB&#39;s valuation, if TSLA traded at the same FCF multiple, it would have a market cap of $105.19 billion.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b81a61d60d9ec098276569cc4a501da0\" tg-width=\"627\" tg-height=\"341\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>TSLA has a gross profit margin of 27.1% ($16.85b / $62.19b) and a profit margin of 13.51% ($8.4b / $62.19b). FB has a gross profit margin of 80.34% ($96.14b / $119.67b) and a profit margin of 31.2% ($37.34b / $119.67b). FB has much wider margins and is growing its revenue by larger amounts. This reinforces my methodology as to why TSLA is grossly overvalued. GOOGL has a gross profit margin of 56.93% ($153.9b / $270.33b) and a profit margin of 27.57% ($74.54b / $270.33b).</p><p>The chances are incredibly slim that TSLA can double its profit margin to be within striking distance of GOOGL&#39;s. TSLA should not trade at a larger FCF, P/E, or P/S multiple than FB or GOOGL. While the market would indicate that I am wrong today, eventually, the hype will wear off, and TSLA will trade at a realistic valuation.</p><p><b>TSLA&#39;s Future Catalysts Have A Long Way To Go Before Impacting Its Bottom Line</b></p><p>There are three main catalysts people discuss, which include insurance, robotaxis, and FSD.TSLA offers insurance using real-time driving behavior. This is currently available to all Model S, Model 3, Model X, and Model Y owners. The catch is that it&#39;s only available in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Ohio, Oregon, Texas, and Virginia as of now.</p><p>TSLA uses a safety rating score to determine the monthly premium for its vehicles. At the largest premium of $130/mo, this would be $1,560 per year. If TSLA converted 100% of their U.S sales in 2021 as an insurance customer, which I think could be possible if TSLA insurance was available in every state, it would have generated $471.12 million in revenue.</p><p>We have no idea what the margins would have been, but if the margin was 50%, it would have been an additional $235.56 million in net income in 2021. While this is nothing to sneeze at, an additional $235.56 million in net income hardly moves the needle. This could be a $1 billion top-line revenue segment in the future, but with availability in only 7 states, insurance&#39;s $1 billion revenue mark is a long way away.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e86de6232b9abf7cee46a9607eb09741\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"326\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Tesla</p><p>Next,FSD, for which TSLA has created two subscription models, a $99/mo price point and a $199/mo price point. The problem with FSD is that it doesn&#39;t make the vehicle fully autonomous, and you still need a driver to be attentive and alert. While I am not arguing that TSLA&#39;s FSD isn&#39;t leaps and bounds ahead of the competition, the problem is that it&#39;s not exactly a self-driving car.</p><p>The questions around legality and where you can use it pop into my head, and how many of TSLA&#39;s drivers opt for this upgrade. Until there is clear legislation and the technology advances to where vehicles can fully drive a person from point A to B while that person takes a nap or reads, I have a hard time believing enough TSLA owners will spend the extra $199/mo on FSD. If there is somewhere where TSLA produces the numbers about how many owners opt for this package, please let me know, and I will crunch the numbers.</p><p>Which Features Come With My Subscription?</p><blockquote>The FSD capability features you receive are based on your configuration and location. Not all features are available in all markets, and features are subject to change.Learn more about Autopilot and Full Self-Driving capability features.</blockquote><blockquote><i>Note: These features are designed to become more capable over time; however the currently enabled features do not make the vehicle autonomous. The currently enabled features require a fully attentive driver, who has their hands on the wheel and is prepared to take over at any moment.</i></blockquote><p>The last catalyst is Robotaxis which many have commented on in my articles before. We&#39;re so far off on Robotaxis that this can&#39;t be considered in TSLA&#39;s upcoming revenue. I would think major legislation would be needed for Robotaxis to exist, and there is no telling how many years away we are from this.</p><p>Also, what is the percentage of TSLA owners that would actually allow their vehicle to be used as a Robotaxi? Depending on what the profitability is, I can see people buying TSLAs to enroll them in this program, but, once again, we need to see the economics behind it. I know I am just one opinion, but I would never enroll one of my cars into a robotaxi program because I don&#39;t want other people that I don&#39;t know in my car. I would think there are many others that have similar viewpoints.</p><p>The real upcoming catalysts are future revenue growth and entering the Chinese market. In 2021 TSLA grew its YoY revenue by 70.67%, and their off to a great start after Q1 2022. Only time will tell what type of growth rate TSLA can maintain, but too many people are assuming that TSLA will obliterate the competition. Over the next several years, we could see TSLA&#39;s growth rate become significantly reduced as more luxury operators put EVs on the road.</p><p>At TSLA&#39;s current margins, they would need to increase their revenue by 444.55% to $276.47 billion to produce the same amount of net income ($37.34b) that FB produces today at their current 13.51% profit margin. Maybe TSLA can get there in the future, but why should TSLA be valued at almost $1 trillion today, considering not a single metric of theirs is similar to FB or GOOGL, and TSLA&#39;s growth across any of the sectors isn&#39;t larger than FB or GOOGL?</p><p><b>Tesla Continues To Dilute Shareholders, And Almost No Shareholders Care</b></p><p>Dilution kills shareholder value. Look, I am a shareholder of TSLA, and I hate that my shares continue to be diluted. These numbers are split-adjusted that I am using. Over the past decade,TSLA has diluted its shares by 80.93%. This is horrible compared to big tech, yet investors can&#39;t buy enough TSLA shares. TSLA finished 2012 with 572.6 million shares and, as of its last filing, had increased its outstanding shares to 1.036 billion shares.</p><p>This is the equivalent of me taking a pizza, and instead of giving you a slice, cutting another 6.5 slices, then giving you one. The pizza represents TSLA, the company, and they basically turned an 8-slice pie into a 14.5-slice pie, reducing shareholder&#39;s ownership and the amount of equity, revenue, and EPS our shares represent.</p><p>If you want to see what a true shepherd of shareholder value looks like, turn to AAPL. In 2012 AAPL had 26.3 billion shares outstanding. Over the past decade, AAPL has repurchased 10.09 billion shares, reducing its outstanding shares by 38.37%. Every quarter, AAPL is buying back shares and increasing the ownership its shares represent. TSLA, on the other hand, continues to dilute shareholders by increasing shares YOY.</p><p><b>I Could Be Completely Wrong, And Tesla Could Continue Growing At These Rates</b></p><p>TSLA&#39;s vehicle deliveries continue to outpace its growing production. YoY TSLA&#39;s deliveries increased by 68% in Q1, adding 125,171 delivered vehicles to its customers. TSLA just began Model Y deliveries from the Austin facility, and production at the Gigafactory in Berlin started in March of 2022. TSLA&#39;s Shanghai facility had strong production rates prior to the spike in COVID that resulted in temporary shutdowns. TSLA isn&#39;t just focusing on the U.S, they have Europe and China in their sights.</p><p>EVs accounted for 488,000 sales in the U.S for 2021, and the previous projection was that EVs would account for 670,000 units sold in 2022. Oil has hovered around $100 per barrel and could render the previous projections of 37% increased EV sales domestically for 2022 conservative. TSLA is in a prime position to capitalize on this trend. In 2021 TSLA vehicles accounted for 61.89% of EVs sold in the U.S (301,998 / 488,000).</p><p>Hypothetically, if the previous projection of 670,000 EV sales for 2022 is accurate and TSLA maintains its current margin, they would sell 414,628 vehicles throughout the U.S in 2022. If gas prices do alter the decision-making process when deciding between a combustible engine or an EV, then TSLA could continue surprising the market with QoQ earnings beats.</p><p>The U.S has a national goal of reaching 50% of domestic auto sales coming from EVs. In 2021, EVs accounted for 3.26% of total sales in the U.S auto market. Based on U.S auto sales in 2021, annual EV sales would need to grow by 6,989,403 to reach a 50% EV to combustible engine ratio. Hypothetically if U.S auto sales stayed flat but EVs reached 50% of the market in 2030 they would sell 7,477,403 vehicles. If TSLA&#39;s dominance in the EV sector was to drop from 61.89% to 15% due to increased competition, they would generate 1,121,610 in sales compared to 301,998 in 2021. When you add in Europe and China, TSLA certainly has the ability to become a top auto manufacturer by sales next decade.</p><p>Bulls aren&#39;t incorrect to be excited about TSLA. The world is moving toward EVs, and TSLA is the crème de la crème. As I said in the beginning, I am bullish about TSLA&#39;s future prospects, but I think the valuation today is overinflated. Nobody can predict the future, but I have no doubt that TSLA will continue to grow its sales YoY.</p><p>The question becomes, how much growth will they be able to achieve YoY? In 2021, TM generated $226.48 billion of revenue and, based on the future of EVs, TSLA certainly could achieve this level of revenue in the future. Based on TSLA&#39;s current 13.51% profit margin, if they achieved TM&#39;s level of revenue, they would generate $30.59 billion of net income, which would definitely make today&#39;s valuation look more realistic.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93c9176fa9bebc2c940e038cafd23229\" tg-width=\"603\" tg-height=\"631\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Tesla</p><p><b>Conclusion</b></p><p>You&#39;re probably wondering how I can be a shareholder and be a bear on TSLA&#39;s valuation at the same time. It&#39;s simple; my wife bought shares of TSLA, which makes me a shareholder. My stance has always been bullish on the company and bearish on the valuation. What Elon Musk and the team at TSLA has accomplished is astonishing, and they deserve nothing but respect.</p><p>Keep in mind a company and a company&#39;s stock are two separate things. TSLA continues to dilute shareholders, and they and the market are valuing TSLA as if it&#39;s FB or GOOGL. TSLA is not a technology company; it&#39;s an automobile company, as the automotive segments drive 100% of its gross revenue and net income.</p><p>TSLA is trading at a P/E of 113.81, a P/S of 15.38, and a 142.52x multiple on its FCF. The numbers are drastically inflated as TSLA has no business trading at a larger P/S multiple than AMZN, which trades at 11.31 P/S when it has grown its revenue by $341.76 billion over the previous 3.25 years compared to TSLA&#39;s $40.73 billion of revenue growth. TSLA has generated $6.93 billion in FCF over the TTM, while Mr. Market has placed a 142.52x multiple on TSLA due to $7.15 billion FCF growth over the past 3.25 years. FB trades at a 15.19x FCF multiple while growing FCF by $23.45 billion over this period which is more than 3x what TSLA has generated in the TTM.</p><p>With FB trading at 15.19x FCF, GOOGL at 23.42x FCF, and AAPL at 25.4x FCF, it&#39;s hard to justify any number above 20x for TSLA. I think a 21x FCF multiple is generous and that places TSLA at a market cap of $145.43 billion, which is -85.26% from its current market cap of $986.92 billion.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla: Overvalued By 85.26% And Not A Technology Company</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla: Overvalued By 85.26% And Not A Technology Company\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-05-08 11:30 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4507535-tesla-overvalued-by-85-26-percent-and-not-a-technology-company><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryMake no mistake, Tesla is a phenomenal company that has accomplished the unthinkable as it broke through extreme barriers of entry to disrupt the auto industry.Just because Tesla is a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4507535-tesla-overvalued-by-85-26-percent-and-not-a-technology-company\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4507535-tesla-overvalued-by-85-26-percent-and-not-a-technology-company","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1131831539","content_text":"SummaryMake no mistake, Tesla is a phenomenal company that has accomplished the unthinkable as it broke through extreme barriers of entry to disrupt the auto industry.Just because Tesla is a successful company that is causing automotive titans to change from combustible engines to EVs doesn't mean Tesla's stock is a good investment today.100% of gross profit and net income is generated from the automotive sector as Tesla's other businesses lose money, making them an automobile manufacturing company, not a technology company.I compared Tesla's metrics to the auto industry and big tech and the results are the same, Tesla's valuation is egregious.It's rare to find companies that have cult-like followings with loyalists willing to pay any price for its stock. The debate regarding Tesla, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:TSLA) valuation continues to be a topic of conversation between the bulls and the bears. Oneside argues that TSLA's financial growth and future prospects, including FSD, insurance, and robotaxis, justify the current $902.12 billion valuations, while others argue that the current financials and cult-like following have led to a massive overvaluation in TSLA's stock.I tip my hat to Elon Musk, as his accomplishments are second to none. When others called him crazy, Mr. Musk chose one of the hardest industries to compete in, started TSLA from the ground up, went to battle against the auto manufacturers, and succeeded. TSLA is one of the rare success stories that has truly shaped an industry, and the barriers of entry that were overcome are astonishing. TSLA didn't have the capital, manufacturing, credibility, or the infrastructure that its competitors did, yet they found a way to succeed. If the odds weren't enough which TSLA faced, they accomplished their goals without a combustible engine and pioneered an entirely new sector within the automotive industry.Just because TSLA is a great company, it doesn't mean TSLA has a great stock, or it isn't overvalued. I am not bearish on TSLA the company because I believe they still have a long runway of growth ahead of them, but I am bearish on the valuation. Prior to leaving a comment on why I am wrong, please read the article and think about the metrics I am citing; then, I will happily discuss any viewpoints about the analysis.Tesla Vs. The World In The Automotive SectorIt feels like TSLA vs. the world whenever TSLA is discussed. Discussing who makes a better automobile is a matter of opinion, and everyone is correct because it's their opinion. If person A thinks TSLA makes the best car and person B thinks Mercedes Benz makes the best car, they are both correct. Debating over this is pointless, so let's look at the raw numbers.TSLA has a larger market cap than the combination ofToyota(TM),Volkswagen(OTCPK:VWAGY),Daimler(OTCPK:DDAIF),BMW(OTCPK:BMWYY),General Motors(GM),Ford(F),Honda(HMC),Ferrari(RACE),Nissan(OTCPK:NSANY),Subaru(OTCPK:FUJHY),Volvo(OTCPK:VOLAF), andMazda(OTCPK:MZDAY). TSLA's market cap is currently $986.92 billion, while the combination of these 12 companies is $777.41 billion.Steven FiorilloThe P/S ratio is often cited to justify the valuation. The combination of TM, VWAGY, DDAIF, BMWYY, GM, F, HMC, RACE, NSANY, FUJHY, VOLAF, and MZDAY has generated $1.38 trillion in revenue over the TTM, putting their P/S at 0.56, while TSLA has generated $62.19 billion in revenue and has a 15.87 P/S.Steven Fiorillo, Seeking AlphaAs a combined entity, these 12 companies have generated $118.29 billion in net income, while TSLA has produced $8.4 billion.Steven Fiorillo, Seeking AlphaTSLA is a great company, but its current valuation has become overly inflated. TSLA's market cap is $209.52 billion larger than these 12 auto manufacturers, yet the combination of the 12 auto manufacturers generates $1.32 trillion more in revenue and $109.89 billion more in net income.Steven Fiorillo, Seeking AlphaLooking at the market caps, one would assume that TSLA has a dominant majority over its competitors in auto sales within the U.S. According to the2021 data, TSLA sold 2.02% of all vehicles in the U.S. TSLA's market cap reflects a level of dominance that is non-existent.Realistically, TSLA will have a hard time disrupting the sector further due to the price point of their vehicles. The reality is that, unless TSLA can sell a car that rivals a Honda or Toyota, doubling its market share is going to be a daunting task. It's just math. TSLA doesn't have a product for the masses, and while it may continue to grow in the luxury segment, the amount of growth that can be achieved is limited due to the pricing power of the consumer.www.goodcarbadcar.netTesla Isn't A Technology Company And Shouldn't Be Valued As OneThe valuation rebuttal has always been that TSLA isn't an automobile company, rather, it's a technology company.TeslaPage 23 ofTSLA's Q1 2022 slide deck from their earnings call is their statement of operations. Once again, 100% of TSLA's gross profit and net income are derived from automobiles. Energy generation and storage lose money as it generates $616 million in revenue while the cost of this revenue is $688 million. The same goes for Services and others, as this segment generates $1.279 billion in revenue while the cost of this revenue is $1.286 billion. This doesn't even factor in operating expenses.TSLA manufacturers state of the art automobiles, but this doesn't classify them as a technology company, nor should they be classified as one. Since this is always the rebuttal and technology companies trade at larger earnings multiples, I will compare TSLA to Apple (AAPL), Microsoft (MSFT), Amazon (AMZN), Alphabet (GOOG) (GOOGL), and Meta Platforms (FB) and illustrate why TSLA is still drastically overvalued if the market was still to provide it with a tech multiple.Prior to the comparisons, I want to frame the analysis by providing each company's market cap:AAPL $2.69 TrillionMSFT $2.17 TrillionGOOGL $1.62 TrillionAMZN $1.28 TrillionTSLA $986.92 BillionFB $604.62 BillionI am going to start with growth because this is always the key metric bulls point out. Since the close of 2018, which is 3.25 fiscal years, TSLA has grown its revenue from $21.46 billion to $62.19 billion.This is absolutely remarkable, but it doesn't place TSLA in the upper epsilon of technology companies. Over the same period, FB grew its revenue by $63.83 billion, which is more than what TSLA produced in the TTM. FB grew its revenue by more than what TSLA produces and generates just about double the revenue ($119.67 billion), yet TSLA has a larger market cap. For everyone who has used growth as their investment premise, FB having a market cap that's $382.30 less than TSLA nullifies that aspect of the bull thesis. AMZN's market cap is only $294.33 billion larger than TSLA, yet they generated $477.75 billion in revenue and grew their revenue by $341.76 billion in this period. Using revenue growth for TSLA doesn't support the valuation.Steven Fiorillo, Seeking AlphaNext, I will turn to profits because, at the end of the day, businesses are in the business of making money. Once again, TSLA has done a fantastic job of monetizing its business and, in 3.25 short years, has gone from losing -$976 million to make $8.4 billion in the TTM for an increase of $9.38 billion. FB has produced $37.34 billion in profit in the TTM, and its net income grew by $15.23 billion over this period. Using growth doesn't support the valuation when FB has a market cap that's $382.30 less than TSLA and grew its profits in this period by almost double what TSLA has generated in the TTM.Steven Fiorillo, Seeking AlphaThe new metric bulls are using in their thesis is TSLA's free cash flow (FCF). Once again, TSLA has done an excellent job, going from -$221 million of FCF in 2018 to $6.93 billion of FCF in the TTM. Many companies would love to grow their annual FCF by $7.15 billion over a 3.25-year period, and this should be applauded.Let's look at FB once again, since TSLA's valuation isn't based on its core segment as an automobile manufacturer. FB has grown its FCF over the previous 3.25 years by $23.45 billion, more than 3x TSLA's growth, and has generated $39.81 billion of FCF in the TTM. FB generated roughly 5.75x more FCF than TSLA and grew its FCF by more than 3x what TSLA produces, yet FB has a market cap that's almost $400 billion less than TSLA. Growth within the financials does not support TSLA's valuation, which is a breath away from $1 trillion.Steven Fiorillo, Seeking AlphaToday you're paying a 113.81 P/E for TSLA. Paying a larger multiple for a company that's growing its earnings quickly is normal, but TSLA isn't growing by larger amounts than FB, and FB trades at a 16.66 P/E. I have seen TSLA bulls justify the P/E because of TSLA's growth factor, but this doesn't hold up when FB has grown by larger amounts from larger starting positions and has a P/E that's a fraction of TSLA. Look at AAPL, which is the largest company in the world. AAPL has grown its net income by $56.25 billion and its FCF by $52.3 billion over the past 3.25 years, and its P/E is 26.78. People are blindly paying any multiple the market places on TSLA.TSLA is trading at a 15.38 P/S. The justification for this multiple is difficult to defend while AMZN trades at a P/S of 11.31. AMZN's revenue grew by $341.76 billion over the past 3.25 years while TSLA grew their revenue by $40.73 billion. Instead of an absolute basis, looking at this from a percentage aspect, TSLA grew its revenue by 189.78%, while AMZN's grew by 251.32%. The P/S ratio is not a supporting valuation metric as TSLA is trading at a larger multiple than AMZN yet produced $301.03 billion less in revenue growth compared to AMZN. At the very least, TSLA should trade at a lower P/S multiple than AMZN considering their revenue growth was a fraction of AMZN's.TSLA has done an excellent job monetizing its revenue, delivering exceptional margins, and generating FCF. Now that TSLA is generating billions in FCF, it's been inserted into the bull thesis. FCF is a measure of profitability that excludes the non-cash expenses of the income statement and includes spending on equipment and assets as well as changes in working capital from the balance sheet. FCF could be the most underrated and most important financial metric to look at, as this is the pool of capital that companies can utilize to repay debt, pay dividends, buy back shares, make acquisitions, or reinvest in the business.Every investment is the present value of all future cash flow. This is why investors look at the price to FCF valuation. Investors want to pay the cheapest multiple for a company's FCF. Today, you're paying 142.52x TSLA's FCF. Going back to the FCF section, TSLA grew its FCF by $7.15 billion over the past 3.25 years. FB generated $23.45 billion of FCF in this period, which is 3x the amount TSLA grew, yet FB is trading at a 15.19x multiple on price to FCF.Why on earth would you want to pay 142.52x for TSLA's FCF when you could pay 15.19x for FB, which is growing their FCF by more than 3x the amount that TSLA is growing by? How about AAPL? AAPL grew its FCF by $52.3 billion and trades at a 25.4x price to FCF. If I exclude FB for a moment, should TSLA trade at a larger FCF multiple than GOOGL, which has grown its FCF by $46.15 billion over the past 3.25 years? My answer is no because there is no guarantee that TSLA will ever generate $46.15 billion in annual FCF, let alone the $68.99 billion in FCF that GOOGL generates.So what is a fair price to FCF multiple for TSLA? I don't believe TSLA has earned the right to trade at the same multiples as the rest of big tech considering the levels of FCF they produce. If I stick with the methodology that FB is egregiously undervalued, then TSLA should trade above 15.19x its FCF but lower than the 23.42x multiple GOOGL trades at.I don't want to be overly bearish, so I will place a 21x multiple on TSLA's FCF, which is more than fair considering big tech metrics. A 21x multiple on TSLA's FCF puts its market cap at $145.43 billion, which is -85.26% from its current market cap of $986.92 billion. It's just math, and if TSLA is going to be valued as a technology company, it needs to be compared to the technology companies with similar market caps.At the very least, there isn't a single reason why TSLA's market cap is larger than FB's. There isn't a single metric that TSLA beats FB in. Based on FB's valuation, if TSLA traded at the same FCF multiple, it would have a market cap of $105.19 billion.TSLA has a gross profit margin of 27.1% ($16.85b / $62.19b) and a profit margin of 13.51% ($8.4b / $62.19b). FB has a gross profit margin of 80.34% ($96.14b / $119.67b) and a profit margin of 31.2% ($37.34b / $119.67b). FB has much wider margins and is growing its revenue by larger amounts. This reinforces my methodology as to why TSLA is grossly overvalued. GOOGL has a gross profit margin of 56.93% ($153.9b / $270.33b) and a profit margin of 27.57% ($74.54b / $270.33b).The chances are incredibly slim that TSLA can double its profit margin to be within striking distance of GOOGL's. TSLA should not trade at a larger FCF, P/E, or P/S multiple than FB or GOOGL. While the market would indicate that I am wrong today, eventually, the hype will wear off, and TSLA will trade at a realistic valuation.TSLA's Future Catalysts Have A Long Way To Go Before Impacting Its Bottom LineThere are three main catalysts people discuss, which include insurance, robotaxis, and FSD.TSLA offers insurance using real-time driving behavior. This is currently available to all Model S, Model 3, Model X, and Model Y owners. The catch is that it's only available in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Ohio, Oregon, Texas, and Virginia as of now.TSLA uses a safety rating score to determine the monthly premium for its vehicles. At the largest premium of $130/mo, this would be $1,560 per year. If TSLA converted 100% of their U.S sales in 2021 as an insurance customer, which I think could be possible if TSLA insurance was available in every state, it would have generated $471.12 million in revenue.We have no idea what the margins would have been, but if the margin was 50%, it would have been an additional $235.56 million in net income in 2021. While this is nothing to sneeze at, an additional $235.56 million in net income hardly moves the needle. This could be a $1 billion top-line revenue segment in the future, but with availability in only 7 states, insurance's $1 billion revenue mark is a long way away.TeslaNext,FSD, for which TSLA has created two subscription models, a $99/mo price point and a $199/mo price point. The problem with FSD is that it doesn't make the vehicle fully autonomous, and you still need a driver to be attentive and alert. While I am not arguing that TSLA's FSD isn't leaps and bounds ahead of the competition, the problem is that it's not exactly a self-driving car.The questions around legality and where you can use it pop into my head, and how many of TSLA's drivers opt for this upgrade. Until there is clear legislation and the technology advances to where vehicles can fully drive a person from point A to B while that person takes a nap or reads, I have a hard time believing enough TSLA owners will spend the extra $199/mo on FSD. If there is somewhere where TSLA produces the numbers about how many owners opt for this package, please let me know, and I will crunch the numbers.Which Features Come With My Subscription?The FSD capability features you receive are based on your configuration and location. Not all features are available in all markets, and features are subject to change.Learn more about Autopilot and Full Self-Driving capability features.Note: These features are designed to become more capable over time; however the currently enabled features do not make the vehicle autonomous. The currently enabled features require a fully attentive driver, who has their hands on the wheel and is prepared to take over at any moment.The last catalyst is Robotaxis which many have commented on in my articles before. We're so far off on Robotaxis that this can't be considered in TSLA's upcoming revenue. I would think major legislation would be needed for Robotaxis to exist, and there is no telling how many years away we are from this.Also, what is the percentage of TSLA owners that would actually allow their vehicle to be used as a Robotaxi? Depending on what the profitability is, I can see people buying TSLAs to enroll them in this program, but, once again, we need to see the economics behind it. I know I am just one opinion, but I would never enroll one of my cars into a robotaxi program because I don't want other people that I don't know in my car. I would think there are many others that have similar viewpoints.The real upcoming catalysts are future revenue growth and entering the Chinese market. In 2021 TSLA grew its YoY revenue by 70.67%, and their off to a great start after Q1 2022. Only time will tell what type of growth rate TSLA can maintain, but too many people are assuming that TSLA will obliterate the competition. Over the next several years, we could see TSLA's growth rate become significantly reduced as more luxury operators put EVs on the road.At TSLA's current margins, they would need to increase their revenue by 444.55% to $276.47 billion to produce the same amount of net income ($37.34b) that FB produces today at their current 13.51% profit margin. Maybe TSLA can get there in the future, but why should TSLA be valued at almost $1 trillion today, considering not a single metric of theirs is similar to FB or GOOGL, and TSLA's growth across any of the sectors isn't larger than FB or GOOGL?Tesla Continues To Dilute Shareholders, And Almost No Shareholders CareDilution kills shareholder value. Look, I am a shareholder of TSLA, and I hate that my shares continue to be diluted. These numbers are split-adjusted that I am using. Over the past decade,TSLA has diluted its shares by 80.93%. This is horrible compared to big tech, yet investors can't buy enough TSLA shares. TSLA finished 2012 with 572.6 million shares and, as of its last filing, had increased its outstanding shares to 1.036 billion shares.This is the equivalent of me taking a pizza, and instead of giving you a slice, cutting another 6.5 slices, then giving you one. The pizza represents TSLA, the company, and they basically turned an 8-slice pie into a 14.5-slice pie, reducing shareholder's ownership and the amount of equity, revenue, and EPS our shares represent.If you want to see what a true shepherd of shareholder value looks like, turn to AAPL. In 2012 AAPL had 26.3 billion shares outstanding. Over the past decade, AAPL has repurchased 10.09 billion shares, reducing its outstanding shares by 38.37%. Every quarter, AAPL is buying back shares and increasing the ownership its shares represent. TSLA, on the other hand, continues to dilute shareholders by increasing shares YOY.I Could Be Completely Wrong, And Tesla Could Continue Growing At These RatesTSLA's vehicle deliveries continue to outpace its growing production. YoY TSLA's deliveries increased by 68% in Q1, adding 125,171 delivered vehicles to its customers. TSLA just began Model Y deliveries from the Austin facility, and production at the Gigafactory in Berlin started in March of 2022. TSLA's Shanghai facility had strong production rates prior to the spike in COVID that resulted in temporary shutdowns. TSLA isn't just focusing on the U.S, they have Europe and China in their sights.EVs accounted for 488,000 sales in the U.S for 2021, and the previous projection was that EVs would account for 670,000 units sold in 2022. Oil has hovered around $100 per barrel and could render the previous projections of 37% increased EV sales domestically for 2022 conservative. TSLA is in a prime position to capitalize on this trend. In 2021 TSLA vehicles accounted for 61.89% of EVs sold in the U.S (301,998 / 488,000).Hypothetically, if the previous projection of 670,000 EV sales for 2022 is accurate and TSLA maintains its current margin, they would sell 414,628 vehicles throughout the U.S in 2022. If gas prices do alter the decision-making process when deciding between a combustible engine or an EV, then TSLA could continue surprising the market with QoQ earnings beats.The U.S has a national goal of reaching 50% of domestic auto sales coming from EVs. In 2021, EVs accounted for 3.26% of total sales in the U.S auto market. Based on U.S auto sales in 2021, annual EV sales would need to grow by 6,989,403 to reach a 50% EV to combustible engine ratio. Hypothetically if U.S auto sales stayed flat but EVs reached 50% of the market in 2030 they would sell 7,477,403 vehicles. If TSLA's dominance in the EV sector was to drop from 61.89% to 15% due to increased competition, they would generate 1,121,610 in sales compared to 301,998 in 2021. When you add in Europe and China, TSLA certainly has the ability to become a top auto manufacturer by sales next decade.Bulls aren't incorrect to be excited about TSLA. The world is moving toward EVs, and TSLA is the crème de la crème. As I said in the beginning, I am bullish about TSLA's future prospects, but I think the valuation today is overinflated. Nobody can predict the future, but I have no doubt that TSLA will continue to grow its sales YoY.The question becomes, how much growth will they be able to achieve YoY? In 2021, TM generated $226.48 billion of revenue and, based on the future of EVs, TSLA certainly could achieve this level of revenue in the future. Based on TSLA's current 13.51% profit margin, if they achieved TM's level of revenue, they would generate $30.59 billion of net income, which would definitely make today's valuation look more realistic.TeslaConclusionYou're probably wondering how I can be a shareholder and be a bear on TSLA's valuation at the same time. It's simple; my wife bought shares of TSLA, which makes me a shareholder. My stance has always been bullish on the company and bearish on the valuation. What Elon Musk and the team at TSLA has accomplished is astonishing, and they deserve nothing but respect.Keep in mind a company and a company's stock are two separate things. TSLA continues to dilute shareholders, and they and the market are valuing TSLA as if it's FB or GOOGL. TSLA is not a technology company; it's an automobile company, as the automotive segments drive 100% of its gross revenue and net income.TSLA is trading at a P/E of 113.81, a P/S of 15.38, and a 142.52x multiple on its FCF. The numbers are drastically inflated as TSLA has no business trading at a larger P/S multiple than AMZN, which trades at 11.31 P/S when it has grown its revenue by $341.76 billion over the previous 3.25 years compared to TSLA's $40.73 billion of revenue growth. TSLA has generated $6.93 billion in FCF over the TTM, while Mr. Market has placed a 142.52x multiple on TSLA due to $7.15 billion FCF growth over the past 3.25 years. FB trades at a 15.19x FCF multiple while growing FCF by $23.45 billion over this period which is more than 3x what TSLA has generated in the TTM.With FB trading at 15.19x FCF, GOOGL at 23.42x FCF, and AAPL at 25.4x FCF, it's hard to justify any number above 20x for TSLA. I think a 21x FCF multiple is generous and that places TSLA at a market cap of $145.43 billion, which is -85.26% from its current market cap of $986.92 billion.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":55,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9063416649,"gmtCreate":1651505969637,"gmtModify":1676534917951,"author":{"id":"3583805940946266","authorId":"3583805940946266","name":"dlzy900","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a9296920deee300153d681f41bd09970","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583805940946266","idStr":"3583805940946266"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SBUX\">$Starbucks(SBUX)$</a>yup","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SBUX\">$Starbucks(SBUX)$</a>yup","text":"$Starbucks(SBUX)$yup","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/80d6b0398ae8c9e888e7e3ccbf189147","width":"1170","height":"2532"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9063416649","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":49,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}