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06-10

Buy if you don't have.added on dip.

3 Reasons to Buy Palantir Stock (and 1 Reason to Avoid It)

2023-12-21

Buy and hold.comeback in 3y time.

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2023-12-21

Great ariticle, would you like to share it?

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2023-12-21

Everyone shud buy and hold this magnificent stock.

Meta's Path To Over $1,000

2023-11-16

Buy more on dip

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2023-11-16

Hold tight the M7

One Chart Shows How the "Magnificent 7" Have Dominated the Stock Market in 2023

2023-11-16

Holding and buy on dip

Palantir Stock: Look Out Below

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if you don't have.added on dip.","listText":"Buy if you don't have.added on dip.","text":"Buy if you don't have.added on dip.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/315365725868088","repostId":"2441307342","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2441307342","pubTimestamp":1717988788,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2441307342?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2024-06-10 11:06","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Reasons to Buy Palantir Stock (and 1 Reason to Avoid It)","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2441307342","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Palantir's latest AI product has been a game changer for the company.","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul style=\"\"><li><p>Palantir&#39;s revenue growth accelerated, thanks to AIP.</p></li><li><p>Management steadily guided for its profit margins to increase.</p></li><li><p>However, the stock is expensive for its growth rate.</p></li></ul><p>In the realm of artificial intelligence (AI) software, Palantir Technologies sticks out from the rest. Palantir has been in the AI business since its founding in 2003. Originally created to assist governments in processing data to deliver actionable insights, it has since expanded into the public sector, opening up a new business avenue.</p><p>With Palantir&#39;s multiple decades of expertise, it&#39;s becoming a top pick for companies looking to integrate AI models and decision-making into their businesses. Investors are noticing that momentum, piling into the stock as a result.</p><p>I agree that Palantir is a top AI pick, and I have three reasons why it&#39;s a buy. But I have one reason to avoid the stock, and it may trump the rest.</p><h2 id=\"id_1590136905\">Reason to buy 1: Palantir&#39;s latest product has been a hit</h2><p>While some of Palantir&#39;s AI tools have been around for a while, its latest product, Artificial Intelligence Platform (AIP), has been all the rage. While AIP probably could have used a better name (Palantir&#39;s other products sport cooler names like Foundry, Gotham, and Apollo), it gets the point across for what it does.</p><p>AIP gives clients the tools they need to integrate AI into everyday workflows. By centralizing all data flows into one location, AIP helps businesses make decisions on the most up-to-date information they have. It also allows large language model integration (the technology behind generative AI), which further arms users to automate and streamline workflows.</p><p>Palantir&#39;s management consistently used the word &#34;unprecedented&#34; when discussing AIP demand, and this platform will be a major revenue driver for years to come.</p><h2 id=\"id_3457250373\">Reason to buy 2: Revenue growth is accelerating</h2><p>Due to the &#34;unprecedented&#34; demand, Palantir&#39;s revenue growth has been accelerating. In Q1, revenue grew at a 21% clip to $634 million, the fastest pace since late 2022.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/398901b69af0a0d6cedf1e6549522e0d\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"441\"/></p><p>PLTR Revenue (Quarterly YoY Growth) data by YCharts</p><p>But Palantir isn&#39;t stopping there. In Q2, management expects revenue of $651 million, indicating 22% revenue growth. Growth acceleration is something investors love to see, and its quicker growth rates help justify the stock price.</p><p>Still, Palantir isn&#39;t just a growth-at-all-costs company.</p><h2 id=\"id_1319693756\">Reason to buy 3: Palantir&#39;s margins continue to improve</h2><p>Palantir flipped the profitability switch in 2023 when it started producing small profits. Since then, its profit margins have continued to steadily tick up, which can be an incredibly powerful combination when revenue growth is also accelerating.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0a76b561140032c2fb8f417ebc677628\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"441\"/></p><p>PLTR Profit Margin (Quarterly) data by YCharts</p><p>Palantir&#39;s management understands that investors want to see profits eventually, so it is aligning business results with shareholder expectations. </p><h2 id=\"id_4137751275\">Reason to avoid: Palantir&#39;s stock is far from cheap</h2><p>Palantir checks all the boxes from a business outlook and financial standpoint, but there&#39;s still one more factor to consider: its price tag.</p><p>Even if everything about a stock is perfect, buying it at the wrong price can be a disaster. For example, <strong><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a> Video Communications</strong> was a no-brainer stock during the pandemic. It had unbelievable growth, strong profits, and an incredible outlook, but anyone who bought at elevated levels in late 2020 is down nearly 90% from their initial investment.</p><p>Palantir&#39;s stock hasn&#39;t reached near the hubris as Zoom Video&#39;s did, but it&#39;s still valued at a hefty premium.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3cb97bd6ab11a774071bcb94f5fa4077\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"441\"/></p><p>PLTR PS Ratio data by YCharts</p><p>At 21 times sales, its price-to-sales (P/S) ratio is nearly equal to its growth rate. This normally doesn&#39;t bode well for a stock, as it indicates incredibly high growth expectations.</p><p>But is that enough to completely avoid the stock? I don&#39;t think so. If investors avoided companies like <strong>Amazon </strong>or <strong>Nvidia </strong>because they were too expensive, they&#39;d have missed out on massive winners. However, highly priced stocks can be volatile, so you&#39;ll need to set a longer holding period of around five years to make it worth it.</p><p>If you can do that, then Palantir could be a fantastic AI investment at these levels.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Reasons to Buy Palantir Stock (and 1 Reason to Avoid It)</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Reasons to Buy Palantir Stock (and 1 Reason to Avoid It)\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-06-10 11:06 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2024/06/08/3-reasons-to-buy-palantir-stock-and-1-reason-to-av/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Palantir's revenue growth accelerated, thanks to AIP.Management steadily guided for its profit margins to increase.However, the stock is expensive for its growth rate.In the realm of artificial ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2024/06/08/3-reasons-to-buy-palantir-stock-and-1-reason-to-av/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4023":"应用软件","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","BK4525":"远程办公概念","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","LU1861558580.USD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B","BK4528":"SaaS概念","BK4535":"淡马锡持仓","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK4097":"系统软件","BK4505":"高瓴资本持仓","PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc.","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4547":"WSB热门概念","BK4543":"AI","LU1861559042.SGD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B SGD","BK4588":"碎股"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2024/06/08/3-reasons-to-buy-palantir-stock-and-1-reason-to-av/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2441307342","content_text":"Palantir's revenue growth accelerated, thanks to AIP.Management steadily guided for its profit margins to increase.However, the stock is expensive for its growth rate.In the realm of artificial intelligence (AI) software, Palantir Technologies sticks out from the rest. Palantir has been in the AI business since its founding in 2003. Originally created to assist governments in processing data to deliver actionable insights, it has since expanded into the public sector, opening up a new business avenue.With Palantir's multiple decades of expertise, it's becoming a top pick for companies looking to integrate AI models and decision-making into their businesses. Investors are noticing that momentum, piling into the stock as a result.I agree that Palantir is a top AI pick, and I have three reasons why it's a buy. But I have one reason to avoid the stock, and it may trump the rest.Reason to buy 1: Palantir's latest product has been a hitWhile some of Palantir's AI tools have been around for a while, its latest product, Artificial Intelligence Platform (AIP), has been all the rage. While AIP probably could have used a better name (Palantir's other products sport cooler names like Foundry, Gotham, and Apollo), it gets the point across for what it does.AIP gives clients the tools they need to integrate AI into everyday workflows. By centralizing all data flows into one location, AIP helps businesses make decisions on the most up-to-date information they have. It also allows large language model integration (the technology behind generative AI), which further arms users to automate and streamline workflows.Palantir's management consistently used the word \"unprecedented\" when discussing AIP demand, and this platform will be a major revenue driver for years to come.Reason to buy 2: Revenue growth is acceleratingDue to the \"unprecedented\" demand, Palantir's revenue growth has been accelerating. In Q1, revenue grew at a 21% clip to $634 million, the fastest pace since late 2022.PLTR Revenue (Quarterly YoY Growth) data by YChartsBut Palantir isn't stopping there. In Q2, management expects revenue of $651 million, indicating 22% revenue growth. Growth acceleration is something investors love to see, and its quicker growth rates help justify the stock price.Still, Palantir isn't just a growth-at-all-costs company.Reason to buy 3: Palantir's margins continue to improvePalantir flipped the profitability switch in 2023 when it started producing small profits. Since then, its profit margins have continued to steadily tick up, which can be an incredibly powerful combination when revenue growth is also accelerating.PLTR Profit Margin (Quarterly) data by YChartsPalantir's management understands that investors want to see profits eventually, so it is aligning business results with shareholder expectations. Reason to avoid: Palantir's stock is far from cheapPalantir checks all the boxes from a business outlook and financial standpoint, but there's still one more factor to consider: its price tag.Even if everything about a stock is perfect, buying it at the wrong price can be a disaster. For example, Zoom Video Communications was a no-brainer stock during the pandemic. It had unbelievable growth, strong profits, and an incredible outlook, but anyone who bought at elevated levels in late 2020 is down nearly 90% from their initial investment.Palantir's stock hasn't reached near the hubris as Zoom Video's did, but it's still valued at a hefty premium.PLTR PS Ratio data by YChartsAt 21 times sales, its price-to-sales (P/S) ratio is nearly equal to its growth rate. This normally doesn't bode well for a stock, as it indicates incredibly high growth expectations.But is that enough to completely avoid the stock? I don't think so. If investors avoided companies like Amazon or Nvidia because they were too expensive, they'd have missed out on massive winners. However, highly priced stocks can be volatile, so you'll need to set a longer holding period of around five years to make it worth it.If you can do that, then Palantir could be a fantastic AI investment at these levels.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":112,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":254400517533952,"gmtCreate":1703146154887,"gmtModify":1703146158960,"author":{"id":"3585011845632474","authorId":"3585011845632474","authorIdStr":"3585011845632474","name":"Chong5757","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/985512d6201b9adc3b8194721984cc6f","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585011845632474"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Buy and hold.comeback in 3y time.","listText":"Buy and hold.comeback in 3y time.","text":"Buy and hold.comeback in 3y time.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/254400517533952","repostId":"2392194408","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":134,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":254398612189432,"gmtCreate":1703145842660,"gmtModify":1703147385175,"author":{"id":"3585011845632474","authorId":"3585011845632474","authorIdStr":"3585011845632474","name":"Chong5757","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/985512d6201b9adc3b8194721984cc6f","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585011845632474"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/254398612189432","repostId":"2393195431","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":140,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":254399226327312,"gmtCreate":1703145841440,"gmtModify":1703147385083,"author":{"id":"3585011845632474","authorId":"3585011845632474","authorIdStr":"3585011845632474","name":"Chong5757","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/985512d6201b9adc3b8194721984cc6f","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585011845632474"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Everyone shud buy and hold this magnificent stock.","listText":"Everyone shud buy and hold this magnificent stock.","text":"Everyone shud buy and hold this magnificent stock.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/254399226327312","repostId":"2393195431","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2393195431","pubTimestamp":1703119500,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2393195431?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-12-21 08:45","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Meta's Path To Over $1,000","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2393195431","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"$Meta Platforms(META)$, Inc.'s stock price has increased by nearly 300% since late 2022 and is expected to have considerable upside ahead.Meta Platforms' dominance in social media and its role in AI a","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul style=\"\"><li><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/META\">Meta Platforms</a>, Inc.&#39;s stock price has increased by nearly 300% since late 2022 and is expected to have considerable upside ahead.</p></li><li><p>Meta Platforms&#39; dominance in social media and its role in AI and the Metaverse should contribute to its growth and profitability.</p></li><li><p>Meta&#39;s family of products, including Facebook, Messenger, WhatsApp, and Instagram, attract billions of monthly active users, making it the king of social media.</p></li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6cd6da4c653b5e096db3d8fe743bdc85\" alt=\"Galeanu Mihai\" title=\"Galeanu Mihai\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"388\"/><span>Galeanu Mihai</span></p><p><strong>Meta Platforms, Inc.</strong> (NASDAQ:META) is having a fantastic year. Its stock is up by nearly 300% since the tech wreck bottom. I was ultra-bullish on Meta when its stock crashed to below $100, adding to my position during this remarkably depressed timeframe. Despite the monster run-up, Meta&#39;s stock likely has considerable upside ahead.</p><p>Meta remains the dominant, monopolistic-style force in social media. Meta will likely benefit from increased ad spending as the economy continues improving. The more accessible monetary environment should also provide a constructive tailwind for Meta.</p><p>Moreover, Meta&#39;s leading role in the Metaverse, virtual/augmented reality space, should enable it to leverage the AI effect, allowing Meta&#39;s earnings to continue expanding in the future. Meta should continue posting impressive growth and profitability metrics, surpassing analysts&#39; expectations, leading its P/E multiple to grow and its stock price to appreciate considerably in future years.</p><h2 id=\"id_3115930055\">The Technical Blueprint - Excellent Recovery</h2><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d8a4c6d880218d0e0b07184bfa7c24d4\" alt=\"META (StockCharts.com)\" title=\"META (StockCharts.com)\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"676\"/><span>META (StockCharts.com)</span></p><p>Meta has clawed back most losses sustained during the tech market&#39;s earnings recession. Meta&#39;s stock was demolished due to a temporary growth slowdown and an earnings decline phase. However, once all the negative factors washed out, Meta bottomed and surpassed estimates several times after the stock bottomed.</p><p>Meta&#39;s momentum is solid, and its stock should continue outperforming after a brief pullback/consolidation phase. Meta should achieve new ATHs in the new year. Meta also has substantial support around the $300-280 level, making the downside risk minimal. Moreover, if we look out longer term (5-10 years), we see that Meta has substantial potential to increase its stock price severalfold in future years.</p><h2 id=\"id_3414895170\">Meta&#39;s Massive Metaverse and AI Potential</h2><p>Meta should benefit from a unique combination of AI and virtual/augmented reality potential. Meta is pioneering the way in seamless AI-enhanced communication. Moreover, Meta is developing a clever AI-propelled Ego How-to augmented reality video and tutorial system.</p><p>Meta is spearheading the AI Alliance, an AI collaboration effort with over 50 founding members and collaborators globally, including top AI market-leading companies, prestigious universities, and other organizations.</p><p>Meta has been one of the most prominent investors and developers of AI and the future platform of computing, the Metaverse. Next year, it will be ten years since the developments at Reality Labs started. These two emerging technologies are Meta&#39;s most significant bets for the future and represent enormous revenue and profitability growth opportunities.</p><p>The mega social media giant has a gigantic platform for marketing its future technologies, products, and services. Many active Internet users globally already utilize one or multiple Meta-owned social networking platforms daily.</p><p>Reaching potential customers and consumers won&#39;t be a problem for Meta. Additionally, we should witness increased efficiency with the advancements in AI and improving ad revenues as Meta makes it more advantageous for companies to reach customers from its platforms.</p><h2 id=\"id_2437376454\">Meta: The King Of All Social Media</h2><p>We all end up on Meta sooner or later. Cumulative, Meta&#39;s family of &#34;products&#34; - Facebook, Messenger, WhatsApp, and Instagram - attract nearly 4 billion monthly active users.</p><p><strong>Cumulative Number of Monthly Meta Product Users (billions)</strong></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93c084249f6fbf864f86fb99556c71de\" alt=\"Meta MAUs (Statista.com)\" title=\"Meta MAUs (Statista.com)\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"411\"/><span>Meta MAUs (Statista.com)</span></p><p>Roughly 80% of the MAUs (monthly active users) are daily active persons (DAPs). About 3.14 billion users log into one of Facebook&#39;s family platforms daily. Facebook, as a standalone platform, gets a whopping 3.05 billion MAUs. Some critics say Facebook is for &#34;older people,&#34; but it looks like we will all end up on Facebook someday.</p><p>WhatsApp, as a standalone platform, now has about 2 billion MAUs. It seemed like a big deal when Facebook acquired WhatsApp for $16 billion, but it now seems like one of the smartest deals of the last decade.</p><p>Instagram now gets more than two billion MAUs, and Facebook has done an excellent job monetizing it. About 75% of all active Internet users globally are Facebook-owned service MAUs, and about 49% of the world&#39;s entire population uses a Facebook-owned service monthly. These stats are remarkable, considering that people in China don&#39;t use Facebook.</p><h3 id=\"id_3276922162\">The Valuation Perspective - Meta is Still Cheap</h3><p>Consensus EPS estimates are for $17.32 next year. However, due to the better-than-expected growth atmosphere, higher earnings revisions, improving efficiency, and other factors, Meta could earn around $19 in EPS in 2024. This earnings dynamic implies that Meta may be trading around 18 times forward P/E estimates here.</p><p><strong>Earnings Estimates Likely to Move Higher</strong></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02e8d3380c19c26939d7c2442a58c92e\" alt=\"EPS growth (SeekingAlpha.com)\" title=\"EPS growth (SeekingAlpha.com)\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"249\"/><span>EPS growth (SeekingAlpha.com)</span></p><p>Moreover, we should continue seeing double-digit EPS growth of about 15-20% or higher in future years. Additionally, Meta could benefit from continued revenue growth. Consensus estimates predict annual sales growth of about 8-10% in the coming years, but Meta&#39;s growth could expand by about 10-12% or more. This dynamic implies that Meta&#39;s revenues and profitability could improve faster than anticipated, leading to a higher earnings multiple and higher stock price in the coming years.</p><p><strong>Where Meta&#39;s stock could go from here:</strong></p><table style=\"border-collapse:collapse;\"><tbody><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p><strong>Year</strong></p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p><strong>2024</strong></p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p><strong>2025</strong></p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p><strong>2026</strong></p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p><strong>2027</strong></p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p><strong>2028</strong></p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p><strong>2029</strong></p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p><strong>2030</strong></p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p><strong>Revenue Bs</strong></p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>$155</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>$175</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>$200</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>$226</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>$253</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>$281</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>$309</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p><strong>Revenue growth</strong></p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>16%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>13%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>14%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>13%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>12%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>11%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>10%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p><strong>EPS</strong></p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>$18.75</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>$21.90</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>$25.85</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>$30.21</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>$35</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>$40</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>$46</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p><strong>EPS growth</strong></p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>25%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>17%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>18%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>17%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>16%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>15%</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>14%</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p><strong>Forward P/E</strong></p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>20</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>21</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>22</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>23</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>22</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>21</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>20</p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p><strong>Stock price</strong></p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>$438</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>$543</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>$665</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>$805</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>$880</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>$966</p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\"><p>$1,050</p></td></tr></tbody></table><p><em>Source: The Financial Prophet.</em></p><p>I updated my previous analysis&#39; sales, earnings, valuation, and price target estimates for Meta. While I utilized more robust sales growth estimates in this analysis, I used a more modest EPS growth rate, arriving at roughly the same stock price as my previous analysis. In a more bullish case scenario, Meta may achieve a higher EPS growth rate, enabling its stock to advance higher. Also, Meta could see more rapid multiple expansion. Its forward P/E ratio may rise above the current high of 23, leading to higher price target estimates. Still, in a base case scenario, Meta&#39;s stock could achieve a <strong>$1,050</strong> price tag before 2030, making it a top stock candidate to buy and hold for the next ten years.</p><h2 id=\"id_3866692967\">The Meta Risks</h2><p>Despite having enormous potential, there are risks with investing in Meta. We could see another economic slowdown, leading to slower sales and lower profitability. We may also see increased competition from <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNAP\">Snap Inc</a>. (SNAP) or other social media competitors. Also, the Metaverse or AI may become less of a deal than some think. Meta may play a minor role, taking less market share in the AI/Metaverse emerging industries. There may be efficiency issues and government regulations that could weigh future growth down cutting into earnings in future years. Investors should examine these and other risks before investing in Meta.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Meta's Path To Over $1,000</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMeta's Path To Over $1,000\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-12-21 08:45 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4658880-metas-path-to-over-1000><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Meta Platforms, Inc.'s stock price has increased by nearly 300% since late 2022 and is expected to have considerable upside ahead.Meta Platforms' dominance in social media and its role in AI and the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4658880-metas-path-to-over-1000\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"IE00BJJMRX11.SGD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Acc SGD","LU0642271901.SGD":"Janus Henderson Horizon Global Technology Leaders A2 SGD-H","LU0053666078.USD":"摩根大通基金-美国股票A（离岸）美元","LU0170899867.USD":"EASTSPRING INVESTMENTS WORLD VALUE EQUITY  \"A\" (USD) ACC","IE00B19Z9505.USD":"美盛-美国大盘成长股A Acc","LU0068578508.USD":"First Eagle Amundi International Cl AU-C USD","LU0082616367.USD":"摩根大通美国科技A（dist）","LU0056508442.USD":"贝莱德世界科技基金A2","IE00B1XK9C88.USD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0719512351.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - 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USA GROWTH \"P\" (USD) ACC","LU0708995401.HKD":"FRANKLIN U.S. OPPORTUNITIES \"A\" (HKD) ACC","LU0690374961.EUR":"FUNDSMITH EQUITY \"R\" (EUR) INC","LU0820561818.USD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金Cl AM DIS","LU0211327993.USD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0149725797.USD":"汇丰美国股市经济规模基金","LU0690374615.EUR":"FUNDSMITH EQUITY \"R\" (EUR) ACC","LU0878866978.SGD":"First Eagle Amundi International AHS-QD SGD-H","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","IE00BJTD4N35.SGD":"Neuberger Berman US Long Short Equity A1  Acc SGD-H","LU0256863811.USD":"ALLIANZ US EQUITY \"A\" INC","IE00B7KXQ091.USD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Inc USD","LU0211331839.USD":"FRANKLIN MUTUAL GLB DISCOVERY \"A\" (USD) ACC","IE00B7SZLL34.SGD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - Value A Acc SGD-H","LU0211328371.USD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME \"A\" (MDIS) (USD)   INC","IE00B19Z3B42.SGD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - Value A Acc SGD","LU0348723411.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL HI-TECH GROWTH \"A\" (USD) INC","LU0433182093.SGD":"First Eagle Amundi International AS-C SGD","LU0109391861.USD":"富兰克林美国机遇基金A Acc","IE0004445239.USD":"JANUS HENDERSON US FORTY \"A2\" (USD) ACC"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4658880-metas-path-to-over-1000","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2393195431","content_text":"Meta Platforms, Inc.'s stock price has increased by nearly 300% since late 2022 and is expected to have considerable upside ahead.Meta Platforms' dominance in social media and its role in AI and the Metaverse should contribute to its growth and profitability.Meta's family of products, including Facebook, Messenger, WhatsApp, and Instagram, attract billions of monthly active users, making it the king of social media.Galeanu MihaiMeta Platforms, Inc. (NASDAQ:META) is having a fantastic year. Its stock is up by nearly 300% since the tech wreck bottom. I was ultra-bullish on Meta when its stock crashed to below $100, adding to my position during this remarkably depressed timeframe. Despite the monster run-up, Meta's stock likely has considerable upside ahead.Meta remains the dominant, monopolistic-style force in social media. Meta will likely benefit from increased ad spending as the economy continues improving. The more accessible monetary environment should also provide a constructive tailwind for Meta.Moreover, Meta's leading role in the Metaverse, virtual/augmented reality space, should enable it to leverage the AI effect, allowing Meta's earnings to continue expanding in the future. Meta should continue posting impressive growth and profitability metrics, surpassing analysts' expectations, leading its P/E multiple to grow and its stock price to appreciate considerably in future years.The Technical Blueprint - Excellent RecoveryMETA (StockCharts.com)Meta has clawed back most losses sustained during the tech market's earnings recession. Meta's stock was demolished due to a temporary growth slowdown and an earnings decline phase. However, once all the negative factors washed out, Meta bottomed and surpassed estimates several times after the stock bottomed.Meta's momentum is solid, and its stock should continue outperforming after a brief pullback/consolidation phase. Meta should achieve new ATHs in the new year. Meta also has substantial support around the $300-280 level, making the downside risk minimal. Moreover, if we look out longer term (5-10 years), we see that Meta has substantial potential to increase its stock price severalfold in future years.Meta's Massive Metaverse and AI PotentialMeta should benefit from a unique combination of AI and virtual/augmented reality potential. Meta is pioneering the way in seamless AI-enhanced communication. Moreover, Meta is developing a clever AI-propelled Ego How-to augmented reality video and tutorial system.Meta is spearheading the AI Alliance, an AI collaboration effort with over 50 founding members and collaborators globally, including top AI market-leading companies, prestigious universities, and other organizations.Meta has been one of the most prominent investors and developers of AI and the future platform of computing, the Metaverse. Next year, it will be ten years since the developments at Reality Labs started. These two emerging technologies are Meta's most significant bets for the future and represent enormous revenue and profitability growth opportunities.The mega social media giant has a gigantic platform for marketing its future technologies, products, and services. Many active Internet users globally already utilize one or multiple Meta-owned social networking platforms daily.Reaching potential customers and consumers won't be a problem for Meta. Additionally, we should witness increased efficiency with the advancements in AI and improving ad revenues as Meta makes it more advantageous for companies to reach customers from its platforms.Meta: The King Of All Social MediaWe all end up on Meta sooner or later. Cumulative, Meta's family of \"products\" - Facebook, Messenger, WhatsApp, and Instagram - attract nearly 4 billion monthly active users.Cumulative Number of Monthly Meta Product Users (billions)Meta MAUs (Statista.com)Roughly 80% of the MAUs (monthly active users) are daily active persons (DAPs). About 3.14 billion users log into one of Facebook's family platforms daily. Facebook, as a standalone platform, gets a whopping 3.05 billion MAUs. Some critics say Facebook is for \"older people,\" but it looks like we will all end up on Facebook someday.WhatsApp, as a standalone platform, now has about 2 billion MAUs. It seemed like a big deal when Facebook acquired WhatsApp for $16 billion, but it now seems like one of the smartest deals of the last decade.Instagram now gets more than two billion MAUs, and Facebook has done an excellent job monetizing it. About 75% of all active Internet users globally are Facebook-owned service MAUs, and about 49% of the world's entire population uses a Facebook-owned service monthly. These stats are remarkable, considering that people in China don't use Facebook.The Valuation Perspective - Meta is Still CheapConsensus EPS estimates are for $17.32 next year. However, due to the better-than-expected growth atmosphere, higher earnings revisions, improving efficiency, and other factors, Meta could earn around $19 in EPS in 2024. This earnings dynamic implies that Meta may be trading around 18 times forward P/E estimates here.Earnings Estimates Likely to Move HigherEPS growth (SeekingAlpha.com)Moreover, we should continue seeing double-digit EPS growth of about 15-20% or higher in future years. Additionally, Meta could benefit from continued revenue growth. Consensus estimates predict annual sales growth of about 8-10% in the coming years, but Meta's growth could expand by about 10-12% or more. This dynamic implies that Meta's revenues and profitability could improve faster than anticipated, leading to a higher earnings multiple and higher stock price in the coming years.Where Meta's stock could go from here:Year2024202520262027202820292030Revenue Bs$155$175$200$226$253$281$309Revenue growth16%13%14%13%12%11%10%EPS$18.75$21.90$25.85$30.21$35$40$46EPS growth25%17%18%17%16%15%14%Forward P/E20212223222120Stock price$438$543$665$805$880$966$1,050Source: The Financial Prophet.I updated my previous analysis' sales, earnings, valuation, and price target estimates for Meta. While I utilized more robust sales growth estimates in this analysis, I used a more modest EPS growth rate, arriving at roughly the same stock price as my previous analysis. In a more bullish case scenario, Meta may achieve a higher EPS growth rate, enabling its stock to advance higher. Also, Meta could see more rapid multiple expansion. Its forward P/E ratio may rise above the current high of 23, leading to higher price target estimates. Still, in a base case scenario, Meta's stock could achieve a $1,050 price tag before 2030, making it a top stock candidate to buy and hold for the next ten years.The Meta RisksDespite having enormous potential, there are risks with investing in Meta. We could see another economic slowdown, leading to slower sales and lower profitability. We may also see increased competition from Snap Inc. (SNAP) or other social media competitors. Also, the Metaverse or AI may become less of a deal than some think. Meta may play a minor role, taking less market share in the AI/Metaverse emerging industries. There may be efficiency issues and government regulations that could weigh future growth down cutting into earnings in future years. Investors should examine these and other risks before investing in Meta.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":62,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":242106671149280,"gmtCreate":1700145098047,"gmtModify":1700145630207,"author":{"id":"3585011845632474","authorId":"3585011845632474","authorIdStr":"3585011845632474","name":"Chong5757","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/985512d6201b9adc3b8194721984cc6f","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585011845632474"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Buy more on dip","listText":"Buy more on dip","text":"Buy more on dip","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/242106671149280","repostId":"2383253840","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":68,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":242105316282520,"gmtCreate":1700144958692,"gmtModify":1700145629378,"author":{"id":"3585011845632474","authorId":"3585011845632474","authorIdStr":"3585011845632474","name":"Chong5757","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/985512d6201b9adc3b8194721984cc6f","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585011845632474"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hold tight the M7","listText":"Hold tight the M7","text":"Hold tight the M7","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/242105316282520","repostId":"2383861861","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2383861861","pubTimestamp":1700123813,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2383861861?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-11-16 16:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"One Chart Shows How the \"Magnificent 7\" Have Dominated the Stock Market in 2023","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2383861861","media":"Yahoo Finance","summary":"The S&P 500  has never been this top heavy.The \"Magnificent 7\" tech stocks — Apple , Alphabet , Microsoft , Amazon , Meta , Tesla , and Nvidia  — make up 29% of the S&P 500's market cap.And a chart in Goldman Sach's 2024 US Equity Outlook shows that's the largest portion of S&P 500 market cap ever dominated by just seven stocks.That perspective helps explain a second chart from Goldman which shows the \"Magnificent 7\" have gained 71% while the other 493 stocks have added just 6%. Given the benchmark's market cap distribution which allows larger stocks to contribute more to the index's movements, the S&P 500 has added about 19% this year.Research from Goldman Sachs shows the S&P 500 has never been this top heavy, which is leading to gains in seven stocks driving the major average higher.\"The 7 stocks have faster expected sales growth, higher margins, a greater re-investment ratio, and stronger balance sheets than the other 493 stocks and trade at a re","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The S&amp;P 500 has never been this top heavy. </p><p>The &#34;Magnificent 7&#34; tech stocks — Apple (AAPL), Alphabet (GOOGL, GOOG), Microsoft (MSFT), Amazon (AMZN), Meta (META), Tesla (TSLA), and Nvidia (NVDA) — make up 29% of the S&amp;P 500&#39;s market cap. </p><p>And a chart in Goldman Sach&#39;s 2024 US Equity Outlook shows that&#39;s the largest portion of S&amp;P 500 market cap ever dominated by just seven stocks. </p><p>That perspective helps explain a second chart from Goldman which shows the &#34;Magnificent 7&#34; have gained 71% while the other 493 stocks have added just 6%. Given the benchmark&#39;s market cap distribution which allows larger stocks to contribute more to the index&#39;s movements, the S&amp;P 500 has added about 19% this year.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3300327ec10f477e5ee05fa876ae381f\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"976\" tg-height=\"451\"/></p><p>Research from Goldman Sachs shows the S&amp;P 500 has never been this top heavy, which is leading to gains in seven stocks driving the major average higher.</p><p>Goldman Sachs equity research team led by chief US equity strategist David Kostin described the &#34;Magnificent 7&#39;s&#34; outperformance as a &#34;defining feature of the equity market in 2023.&#34; And perhaps, rightfully so. </p><p>Two other charts included in Goldman&#39;s outlook show how the &#34;Magnificent 7&#34; have outperformed the other 493 stocks in key metrics that typically drive stock performance.</p><p>From 2013-2019, the &#34;Magnificent 7&#34; stocks grew at a compound annual growth rate of 15% compared to a 2% growth rate from the rest of the pack. That margin narrowed in the past two years to 18% and 15% respectively, but Goldman sees it widening again in the coming years. From 2023 to 2025, Goldman sees the &#34;Magnificent 7&#34; growing at a compound annual growth rate of 11% compared to a 3% rate for the rest of the S&amp;P 500. </p><p>The &#34;Magnificent 7&#39;s&#34; net profit<strong> </strong>margin also outperforms, where its 19% margins are above the 9.8% for the rest of the companies. Not to mention, the long-term earnings per share growth expectations are 17% for the &#34;Magnificent 7&#34; while that number sits at 9% for the other companies in the index. </p><p>&#34;From a fundamental perspective, in recent years the trajectory of earnings has explained the performance of the Magnificent 7 relative to the rest of the market,&#34; Kostin wrote. &#34;The outperformance of the Magnificent 7 this year has coincided with a rebound in margins and earnings that has outpaced the weakness across the rest of the market.&#34;</p><p>He added: &#34;Consensus expects the Magnificent 7 will continue to deliver faster growth than the rest of the index.&#34;</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44887825b43202983233ef30e47b03a2\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1272\" tg-height=\"549\"/></p><p>Two graphs from Goldman Sachs highlight why the Magnificent 7 tech stocks have outperformed the rest of the benchmark index.</p><p>Goldman Sachs Investment Research</p><p>Goldman sees the path forward for the &#34;Magnificent 7&#34; stocks to likely be higher, too, but that doesn&#39;t make it the ideal trade for 2024 given the group&#39;s rise over the last year.  </p><p>&#34;The 7 stocks have faster expected sales growth, higher margins, a greater re-investment ratio, and stronger balance sheets than the other 493 stocks and trade at a relative valuation in line with recent averages after accounting for expected growth,&#34; Kostin wrote. &#34;However, the risk/reward profile of this trade is not especially attractive given elevated expectations.&#34;</p></body></html>","source":"yahoofinance","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>One Chart Shows How the \"Magnificent 7\" Have Dominated the Stock Market in 2023</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOne Chart Shows How the \"Magnificent 7\" Have Dominated the Stock Market in 2023\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-11-16 16:36 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/one-chart-shows-how-the-magnificent-7-have-dominated-the-stock-market-in-2023-203250125.html><strong>Yahoo Finance</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The S&P 500 has never been this top heavy. The \"Magnificent 7\" tech stocks — Apple (AAPL), Alphabet (GOOGL, GOOG), Microsoft (MSFT), Amazon (AMZN), Meta (META), Tesla (TSLA), and Nvidia (NVDA) — make ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/one-chart-shows-how-the-magnificent-7-have-dominated-the-stock-market-in-2023-203250125.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"IVV":"标普500指数ETF","LU0211331839.USD":"FRANKLIN MUTUAL GLB DISCOVERY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU1551013342.USD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS USD","BK4504":"桥水持仓","SPY":"标普500ETF","LU0528227936.USD":"富达环球人口趋势基金A-ACC","OEX":"标普100","IE00B775SV38.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN US MULTICAP OPPORTUNITIES \"A\" (USD) ACC","NVDA":"英伟达",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","BK4505":"高瓴资本持仓","LU0943347566.SGD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金AM H2-SGD","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","IE00B3S45H60.SGD":"Neuberger Berman US Multicap Opportunities A Acc SGD-H","LU2357305700.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence ET H2-SGD","GS":"高盛","IE00BJJMRX11.SGD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Acc SGD","IE0004445239.USD":"JANUS HENDERSON US FORTY \"A2\" (USD) ACC","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","LU0256863811.USD":"ALLIANZ US EQUITY \"A\" INC","LU0079474960.USD":"联博美国增长基金A","BK4503":"景林资产持仓","LU0889565833.HKD":"FRANKLIN TECHNOLOGY \"A\" (HKD) ACC","GB00BDT5M118.USD":"天利环球扩展Alpha基金A Acc","LU0312595415.SGD":"Schroder ISF Global Climate Change Equity A Acc SGD","SH":"标普500反向ETF","AAPL":"苹果","MSFT":"微软","BK4592":"伊斯兰概念","TSLA":"特斯拉","IE00B1XK9C88.USD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A\" (USD) ACC","AMZN":"亚马逊","BK4501":"段永平概念","BK4527":"明星科技股","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","BK4524":"宅经济概念","LU1914381329.SGD":"Allianz Best Styles Global Equity Cl ET Acc H2-SGD","BK4525":"远程办公概念","GOOG":"谷歌","LU0310799852.SGD":"FTIF - Templeton Global Equity Income A MDIS SGD","META":"Meta Platforms","IE0004445015.USD":"JANUS HENDERSON BALANCED \"A2\" (USD) ACC","GOOGL":"谷歌A","LU0353189680.USD":"富国美国全盘成长基金Cl A Acc","BK4528":"SaaS概念","IE0034235188.USD":"PINEBRIDGE GLOBAL FOCUS EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0211327993.USD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME \"A\" (USD) ACC","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","LU1551013425.SGD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS H2-SGD","IE00BJTD4N35.SGD":"Neuberger Berman US Long Short Equity A1  Acc SGD-H"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/one-chart-shows-how-the-magnificent-7-have-dominated-the-stock-market-in-2023-203250125.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5f26f4a48f9cb3e29be4d71d3ba8c038","article_id":"2383861861","content_text":"The S&P 500 has never been this top heavy. The \"Magnificent 7\" tech stocks — Apple (AAPL), Alphabet (GOOGL, GOOG), Microsoft (MSFT), Amazon (AMZN), Meta (META), Tesla (TSLA), and Nvidia (NVDA) — make up 29% of the S&P 500's market cap. And a chart in Goldman Sach's 2024 US Equity Outlook shows that's the largest portion of S&P 500 market cap ever dominated by just seven stocks. That perspective helps explain a second chart from Goldman which shows the \"Magnificent 7\" have gained 71% while the other 493 stocks have added just 6%. Given the benchmark's market cap distribution which allows larger stocks to contribute more to the index's movements, the S&P 500 has added about 19% this year.Research from Goldman Sachs shows the S&P 500 has never been this top heavy, which is leading to gains in seven stocks driving the major average higher.Goldman Sachs equity research team led by chief US equity strategist David Kostin described the \"Magnificent 7's\" outperformance as a \"defining feature of the equity market in 2023.\" And perhaps, rightfully so. Two other charts included in Goldman's outlook show how the \"Magnificent 7\" have outperformed the other 493 stocks in key metrics that typically drive stock performance.From 2013-2019, the \"Magnificent 7\" stocks grew at a compound annual growth rate of 15% compared to a 2% growth rate from the rest of the pack. That margin narrowed in the past two years to 18% and 15% respectively, but Goldman sees it widening again in the coming years. From 2023 to 2025, Goldman sees the \"Magnificent 7\" growing at a compound annual growth rate of 11% compared to a 3% rate for the rest of the S&P 500. The \"Magnificent 7's\" net profit margin also outperforms, where its 19% margins are above the 9.8% for the rest of the companies. Not to mention, the long-term earnings per share growth expectations are 17% for the \"Magnificent 7\" while that number sits at 9% for the other companies in the index. \"From a fundamental perspective, in recent years the trajectory of earnings has explained the performance of the Magnificent 7 relative to the rest of the market,\" Kostin wrote. \"The outperformance of the Magnificent 7 this year has coincided with a rebound in margins and earnings that has outpaced the weakness across the rest of the market.\"He added: \"Consensus expects the Magnificent 7 will continue to deliver faster growth than the rest of the index.\"Two graphs from Goldman Sachs highlight why the Magnificent 7 tech stocks have outperformed the rest of the benchmark index.Goldman Sachs Investment ResearchGoldman sees the path forward for the \"Magnificent 7\" stocks to likely be higher, too, but that doesn't make it the ideal trade for 2024 given the group's rise over the last year.  \"The 7 stocks have faster expected sales growth, higher margins, a greater re-investment ratio, and stronger balance sheets than the other 493 stocks and trade at a relative valuation in line with recent averages after accounting for expected growth,\" Kostin wrote. \"However, the risk/reward profile of this trade is not especially attractive given elevated expectations.\"","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":76,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":242061479264256,"gmtCreate":1700134186069,"gmtModify":1700141194547,"author":{"id":"3585011845632474","authorId":"3585011845632474","authorIdStr":"3585011845632474","name":"Chong5757","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/985512d6201b9adc3b8194721984cc6f","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585011845632474"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Holding and buy on dip","listText":"Holding and buy on dip","text":"Holding and buy on dip","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/242061479264256","repostId":"2383696718","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2383696718","pubTimestamp":1700122345,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2383696718?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-11-16 16:12","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir Stock: Look Out Below","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2383696718","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Palantir Technologies Inc. recently released its Q3 results, showing impressive growth in revenue and international business.The company also achieved GAAP profitability for four consecutive quarters,","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul style=\"\"><li><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">Palantir Technologies Inc.</a> recently released its Q3 results, showing impressive growth in revenue and international business.</p></li><li><p>The company also achieved GAAP profitability for four consecutive quarters, proving its sustainable business model.</p></li><li><p>However, there are three big reasons why we are bearish on the stock.</p></li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/053e8f7209660fc698c584f5fa3a944e\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"422\"/></p><p>Palantir Technologies Inc. (NYSE:PLTR) recently released its latest quarterly results, and the market largely cheered the results as the stock has soared higher since the results came out. That being said, we remain firmly bearish on the stock and share in this article why we are reiterating our Sell rating.</p><h2 id=\"id_2886967972\">PLTR Stock Q3 Positives</h2><p>While we are overall negative on the stock, we do believe that the company itself is fundamentally healthy and is accomplishing some really good things. For example, PLTR has demonstrated impressive growth recently in several key areas of its business. Their overall revenue grew by 16.8% year-over-year during the quarter, reaching $558 million, which surpassed analyst consensus expectations. Perhaps the most impressive number from the report was that they grew their international business by 15% to a total revenue of $134 million. Given that this had been an area of significant struggle for the company recently, an acceleration of growth to a mid-teens rate is quite notable and could bode well for the company if they can continue to accelerate that growth rate moving forward.</p><p>Moreover, the remarkable 33% year-over-year growth in PLTR&#39;s U.S. commercial revenue showed the staying power of PLTR&#39;s most dynamic business and demonstrates the company&#39;s ability to be a major data analytics and AI player for a broad array of clients, rather than being confined to strictly being a government/defense contractor. The tripling of users for PLTR&#39;s Artificial Intelligence Platform (&#34;AIP&#34;) demonstrates the company&#39;s growing influence in the AI sector and bodes well for continued strong commercial growth for quarters and years to come.</p><p>Perhaps most important of all is that the company has now achieved GAAP profitability for four consecutive quarters, proving that it can truly generate value for shareholders and has a sustainable business model instead of just chasing unprofitable topline growth financed by continuous equity issuance.</p><h2 id=\"id_785573460\">PLTR Stock Q3 Negatives</h2><p>However, there were also some negatives. Stock-based compensation expenses remain elevated and likely to increase in Q4, continuing to dilute shareholders in the process. While the company touted its buyback authorization on its Q2 earnings call, nothing was said about it on the Q3 earnings call, proving that it was purely a publicity stunt by management (much like its short-lived investment in gold bars was previously).</p><p>Moreover, government revenue only grew at a 10% year-over-year rate, continuing a recent trend of fairly slow government revenue growth. While the U.S. commercial business is posting very robust growth numbers, the slowdown in the government business is weighing on the company&#39;s overall growth performance and calling into question the ultimate total growth runway of the company. While the recent pickup in international growth is promising, it remains below the company&#39;s overall average growth rate and will need to pick up considerably for the company to achieve its full long-term potential. Additionally, the company&#39;s dependence on large deals to continue fueling growth and the potential for operational risks as Palantir rapidly expands its AI business are also areas of concern.</p><h2 id=\"id_3194736248\">Why PLTR Stock Is A Sell</h2><p>PLTR is clearly expanding its presence in commercial markets, achieving some improvement in international growth, leveraging and enhancing its AI capabilities, and achieving consistent profitability. That said, these strengths are ultimately not enough for us to upgrade the stock from being a Sell for the following reasons:</p><p><strong>Valuation:</strong> The stock trades at a very rich valuation right now, as the company&#39;s lack of execution on its buyback over the past quarter (despite the company having plenty of cash on its balance sheet and the stock price plummeting significantly during parts of the quarter) demonstrates. It currently trades at nearly 19 times its LTM revenue and nearly 16 times its NTM revenue. Moreover, it trades at over 52 times its NTM EBITDA, nearly 70 times its NTM normalized earnings, and over 81 times its NTM free cash flow (translating to an NTM free cash flow yield of just 1.2%). In an environment where 10-year treasury yields are nearly four times PLTR&#39;s free cash flow yield, it is pretty difficult to justify its current valuation multiple.</p><p>Additionally, while some may think that 16 times NTM revenue and 70 times NTM normalized earnings are not outrageous for a leading AI software company, the reality is that PLTR is not truly a software company. PLTR&#39;s business model has often been likened to being a hybrid between a software company and a consulting company due to its labor-intensiveness. As a result, it does not scale nearly as easily as a pure software-as-a-service or even an enterprise software business model. As a result, its profit margins have not been increasing as rapidly as one might expect relative to its strong rate of revenue growth. For example, over the next two years, its revenue is expected to grow at a 20.2% CAGR whereas its normalized earnings per share are only expected to grow at a 20.5% CAGR, reflecting a very slight expansion in its profit margin. As a result, its valuation multiples appear to be far too high relative to the bottom-line growth potential of the company.</p><p><strong>Decelerating Revenue Growth:</strong> Since PLTR went public, there has been a notable deceleration in Palantir&#39;s revenue growth, from nearly 50% to the mid-teens most recently. In fact, management has abandoned its original guidance for over $4 billion in 2025 revenue, and the company is now expected by the consensus of Wall Street analysts to generate only $3.2 billion in revenue in 2025 revenue. This deceleration could stem from several issues, including market saturation, increased competition, or a plateau in the adoption rate of Palantir&#39;s services. It appears that the market is counting on AI to accelerate PLTR&#39;s growth, but thus far there has not been much concrete evidence that this is happening in a meaningful way.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c02a88ae7c557aa7f04f5d93e3f6b9bb\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"384\"/></p><p>PLTR Recent Revenue Growth % (TIKR.com)</p><p></p><p>While analysts do seem to expect that AI will bolster PLTR&#39;s revenue growth rate, it is still only expected to grow its topline at a 23.7% CAGR through 2027:</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/50d93662bc87abdbf3093c1f2147e24e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"384\"/></p><p>PLTR Projected Revenue Growth % (TIKR.com)</p><p></p><p><strong>Recession Concerns:</strong> Moreover, given that it appears that we are headed for a recession, it is entirely possible that PLTR may face some stiff growth headwinds moving forward. This is because in an economic downturn, companies often scale back on new and unproven technologies in order to cut costs and maximize short-term profitability during challenging economic periods.</p><p>Moreover, given the massive government deficits facing the United States and many of its allies right now, if tax revenues take a hit during a recession, it is very possible that they may cut back on nonessential spending across their departments. This poses a risk to Palantir, as its big data solutions, while valuable, may not be perceived as critical to near-term profitability and operations, resulting in delayed and/or reduced spending on Palantir&#39;s services by current and prospective clients.</p><h2 id=\"id_3986110713\">Investor Takeaway</h2><p>While PLTR is clearly a prominent player in the AI and big data analytics space for both government and commercial enterprises, the current valuation is just too rich in our view. The stock will need to dramatically accelerate the growth rate of its government and international segments while sustaining its commercial growth rate and/or find a way to improve its economies of scale significantly in order to justify the lofty expectations being placed on it by Mr. Market. The elevated level of interest rates and growing risks of a recession further exacerbate the valuation issue at PLTR.</p><p>The company is clearly doing fine fundamentally and continues to generate consistent profitability for shareholders, which is a very good thing. However, until the valuation picture improves considerably, we remain bearish on the stock.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir Stock: Look Out Below</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir Stock: Look Out Below\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-11-16 16:12 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4651946-palantir-stock-look-out-below><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Palantir Technologies Inc. recently released its Q3 results, showing impressive growth in revenue and international business.The company also achieved GAAP profitability for four consecutive quarters,...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4651946-palantir-stock-look-out-below\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4588":"碎股","BK4023":"应用软件","BK4543":"AI","BK4547":"WSB热门概念","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4651946-palantir-stock-look-out-below","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2383696718","content_text":"Palantir Technologies Inc. recently released its Q3 results, showing impressive growth in revenue and international business.The company also achieved GAAP profitability for four consecutive quarters, proving its sustainable business model.However, there are three big reasons why we are bearish on the stock.Palantir Technologies Inc. (NYSE:PLTR) recently released its latest quarterly results, and the market largely cheered the results as the stock has soared higher since the results came out. That being said, we remain firmly bearish on the stock and share in this article why we are reiterating our Sell rating.PLTR Stock Q3 PositivesWhile we are overall negative on the stock, we do believe that the company itself is fundamentally healthy and is accomplishing some really good things. For example, PLTR has demonstrated impressive growth recently in several key areas of its business. Their overall revenue grew by 16.8% year-over-year during the quarter, reaching $558 million, which surpassed analyst consensus expectations. Perhaps the most impressive number from the report was that they grew their international business by 15% to a total revenue of $134 million. Given that this had been an area of significant struggle for the company recently, an acceleration of growth to a mid-teens rate is quite notable and could bode well for the company if they can continue to accelerate that growth rate moving forward.Moreover, the remarkable 33% year-over-year growth in PLTR's U.S. commercial revenue showed the staying power of PLTR's most dynamic business and demonstrates the company's ability to be a major data analytics and AI player for a broad array of clients, rather than being confined to strictly being a government/defense contractor. The tripling of users for PLTR's Artificial Intelligence Platform (\"AIP\") demonstrates the company's growing influence in the AI sector and bodes well for continued strong commercial growth for quarters and years to come.Perhaps most important of all is that the company has now achieved GAAP profitability for four consecutive quarters, proving that it can truly generate value for shareholders and has a sustainable business model instead of just chasing unprofitable topline growth financed by continuous equity issuance.PLTR Stock Q3 NegativesHowever, there were also some negatives. Stock-based compensation expenses remain elevated and likely to increase in Q4, continuing to dilute shareholders in the process. While the company touted its buyback authorization on its Q2 earnings call, nothing was said about it on the Q3 earnings call, proving that it was purely a publicity stunt by management (much like its short-lived investment in gold bars was previously).Moreover, government revenue only grew at a 10% year-over-year rate, continuing a recent trend of fairly slow government revenue growth. While the U.S. commercial business is posting very robust growth numbers, the slowdown in the government business is weighing on the company's overall growth performance and calling into question the ultimate total growth runway of the company. While the recent pickup in international growth is promising, it remains below the company's overall average growth rate and will need to pick up considerably for the company to achieve its full long-term potential. Additionally, the company's dependence on large deals to continue fueling growth and the potential for operational risks as Palantir rapidly expands its AI business are also areas of concern.Why PLTR Stock Is A SellPLTR is clearly expanding its presence in commercial markets, achieving some improvement in international growth, leveraging and enhancing its AI capabilities, and achieving consistent profitability. That said, these strengths are ultimately not enough for us to upgrade the stock from being a Sell for the following reasons:Valuation: The stock trades at a very rich valuation right now, as the company's lack of execution on its buyback over the past quarter (despite the company having plenty of cash on its balance sheet and the stock price plummeting significantly during parts of the quarter) demonstrates. It currently trades at nearly 19 times its LTM revenue and nearly 16 times its NTM revenue. Moreover, it trades at over 52 times its NTM EBITDA, nearly 70 times its NTM normalized earnings, and over 81 times its NTM free cash flow (translating to an NTM free cash flow yield of just 1.2%). In an environment where 10-year treasury yields are nearly four times PLTR's free cash flow yield, it is pretty difficult to justify its current valuation multiple.Additionally, while some may think that 16 times NTM revenue and 70 times NTM normalized earnings are not outrageous for a leading AI software company, the reality is that PLTR is not truly a software company. PLTR's business model has often been likened to being a hybrid between a software company and a consulting company due to its labor-intensiveness. As a result, it does not scale nearly as easily as a pure software-as-a-service or even an enterprise software business model. As a result, its profit margins have not been increasing as rapidly as one might expect relative to its strong rate of revenue growth. For example, over the next two years, its revenue is expected to grow at a 20.2% CAGR whereas its normalized earnings per share are only expected to grow at a 20.5% CAGR, reflecting a very slight expansion in its profit margin. As a result, its valuation multiples appear to be far too high relative to the bottom-line growth potential of the company.Decelerating Revenue Growth: Since PLTR went public, there has been a notable deceleration in Palantir's revenue growth, from nearly 50% to the mid-teens most recently. In fact, management has abandoned its original guidance for over $4 billion in 2025 revenue, and the company is now expected by the consensus of Wall Street analysts to generate only $3.2 billion in revenue in 2025 revenue. This deceleration could stem from several issues, including market saturation, increased competition, or a plateau in the adoption rate of Palantir's services. It appears that the market is counting on AI to accelerate PLTR's growth, but thus far there has not been much concrete evidence that this is happening in a meaningful way.PLTR Recent Revenue Growth % (TIKR.com)While analysts do seem to expect that AI will bolster PLTR's revenue growth rate, it is still only expected to grow its topline at a 23.7% CAGR through 2027:PLTR Projected Revenue Growth % (TIKR.com)Recession Concerns: Moreover, given that it appears that we are headed for a recession, it is entirely possible that PLTR may face some stiff growth headwinds moving forward. This is because in an economic downturn, companies often scale back on new and unproven technologies in order to cut costs and maximize short-term profitability during challenging economic periods.Moreover, given the massive government deficits facing the United States and many of its allies right now, if tax revenues take a hit during a recession, it is very possible that they may cut back on nonessential spending across their departments. This poses a risk to Palantir, as its big data solutions, while valuable, may not be perceived as critical to near-term profitability and operations, resulting in delayed and/or reduced spending on Palantir's services by current and prospective clients.Investor TakeawayWhile PLTR is clearly a prominent player in the AI and big data analytics space for both government and commercial enterprises, the current valuation is just too rich in our view. The stock will need to dramatically accelerate the growth rate of its government and international segments while sustaining its commercial growth rate and/or find a way to improve its economies of scale significantly in order to justify the lofty expectations being placed on it by Mr. Market. The elevated level of interest rates and growing risks of a recession further exacerbate the valuation issue at PLTR.The company is clearly doing fine fundamentally and continues to generate consistent profitability for shareholders, which is a very good thing. However, until the valuation picture improves considerably, we remain bearish on the stock.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":192,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":254400517533952,"gmtCreate":1703146154887,"gmtModify":1703146158960,"author":{"id":"3585011845632474","authorId":"3585011845632474","authorIdStr":"3585011845632474","name":"Chong5757","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/985512d6201b9adc3b8194721984cc6f","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585011845632474"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Buy and hold.comeback in 3y time.","listText":"Buy and hold.comeback in 3y time.","text":"Buy and hold.comeback in 3y time.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/254400517533952","repostId":"2392194408","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2392194408","pubTimestamp":1703140200,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2392194408?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-12-21 14:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir Stock: Hard To Stay Bearish","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2392194408","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"In today's article, I want to look at Palantir Technologies Inc. with no initial bias in order to understand its growth prospects.I find that the acceleration of Palantir Technologies' sales growth co","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul style=\"\"><li><p>In today&#39;s article, I want to look at <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">Palantir Technologies Inc.</a> with no initial bias in order to understand its growth prospects.</p></li><li><p>I find that the acceleration of Palantir Technologies&#39; sales growth could be much more sustainable than I previously thought.</p></li><li><p>Palantir&#39;s long-term EPS growth (7-year CAGR) of 23.7% is 456 b.p. above the median of the sample I use for comparison.</p></li><li><p>The company&#39;s FY2030 price-to-earnings ratio is ~10.3% higher than the median, while FY2025 EV/EBITDA is even higher (by ~28%).</p></li><li><p>I&#39;m upgrading Palantir Technologies Inc. stock from &#39;Sell&#39; to &#39;Hold,&#39; which means that I&#39;m neutral on the stock until I see a margin of safety in it.</p></li></ul><p>I&#39;ve been covering <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">Palantir Technologies Inc.</a> for years and have always been very skeptical about the company. My sell thesis worked fine throughout 2022, but the rise of new artificial intelligence, or AI, technologies gave the company&#39;s shares a huge boost, as did the development of its internal operational processes, which revived the growth rates of sales, EBITDA, and earnings per share figures.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f19463bb47fe9af9ed2d6cd212f640af\" alt=\"Data by YCharts\" title=\"Data by YCharts\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"481\"/><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p>Many analysts, once they have issued a rating, stick to it for a very long time, even when the fundamentals change dramatically and the whole thesis no longer makes sense. I have to admit that I suffer from this &#34;analyst disease&#34; myself from time to time - perhaps this is the disease I experienced in the case of PLTR when the stock started to recover on faster-than-expected EPS growth rates and I continued to view it as just another &#34;rip.&#34;</p><p>In today&#39;s article, however, I want to look at the company with no initial bias in order to understand its growth prospects and what at first glance appears to be a high valuation.</p><h2 id=\"id_1649727308\">Palantir&#39;s Operations Growth And Financials</h2><p>The recent financial quarter (Q3 FY2023) became Palantir&#39;s 4th consecutive quarter of GAAP profitability. The company closed 80 deals of $1 million or more across 30 industries, according to the press release. The U.S. commercial business grew 33% year-over-year, with a significant impact from customers that started with Palantir in 2023. The U.S. commercial customer count rose by 12% QoQ, reaching 10x the count of just 3 years ago.</p><p>The company highlighted the success of its go-to-market approach around the AIP (Apollo Intelligence Platform) bootcamps, which made it possible to create real workflows with real customer data in five days or less. This resulted in faster time-to-value for customers, IT stakeholder engagement, and a greater number of companies working with PLTR. By the end of November, the company had conducted boot camps for over 140 organizations, almost half of them that month alone.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dd718d245c0aaef635fe3404c196369f\" alt=\"PLTR&#39;s IR materials\" title=\"PLTR&#39;s IR materials\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"313\"/><span>PLTR&#39;s IR materials</span></p><p>During the Q3 earnings call, Palantir emphasized the vast improvements in unit economics from initial contact to customer conversion. It helped PLTR to achieve a reacceleration in revenue growth, reaching $558 million in Q3, reflecting a 17% YoY increase and a 5% sequential uptick.</p><p>Of particular note, the U.S. commercial business demonstrated substantial growth, expanding by 33% YoY. The company is focusing on conquering the health industry with its new boot camps, breaking my old assumption of a further slowdown in sales growth.</p><p>Adjusted gross margin stood at an impressive 82%, excluding stock-based compensation (&#34;SBC&#34;) expense. Moreover, the adjusted EBIT margin reached 29%, surpassing expectations and marking the 4th consecutive quarter of expanding margins.</p><p>But my old assumption that PLTR is dependent on SBC still holds. Moreover, PLTR&#39;s shares outstanding kept going even higher than I expected:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9825f79b01164ba86b697c8596580a69\" alt=\"Data by YCharts\" title=\"Data by YCharts\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"450\"/><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p>The positive thing on this front is that the company has finally generated positive cash flow excluding SBC, which is not comparable to what we saw last year:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/07b83b6b3852c3360fec5ad4cac36a1b\" alt=\"PLTR&#39;s 10-Q, author&#39;s notes\" title=\"PLTR&#39;s 10-Q, author&#39;s notes\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"263\"/><span>PLTR&#39;s 10-Q, author&#39;s notes</span></p><p>Another concern that lies on the surface is rising DSO, as another Seeking Alpha analyst, Ironside Research, noted in his analysis earlier this month. And indeed, PLTR&#39;s DSO is rising much faster than what we are seeing in the industry. In case you don&#39;t know, DSO measures the average number of days it takes for a company to collect payment after a sale has been made. So, an increasing DSO suggests that cash is tied up in accounts receivable for a more extended period. But in absolute terms, the ratio appears to be in line with norms (maybe slightly higher).</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b95f00a32b37d2dafd01bf321ca92349\" alt=\"YCharts, author&#39;s notes\" title=\"YCharts, author&#39;s notes\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"286\"/><span>YCharts, author&#39;s notes</span></p><p>In addition, the growth in this metric may be related to the revenue stream shift that the company is currently undergoing, so the net impact of this increase on future sales growth remains to be seen, in my view.</p><p>Looking at the company&#39;s financials and plans for scaling operations in healthcare and other areas of their Commercial segment, I see that the acceleration of PLTR&#39;s sales growth could be much more sustainable than I previously thought.</p><p><em>But will this growth be enough to grow out of the current valuation multiples?</em></p><h2 id=\"id_1906971587\">Palantir Stock Is Not As Expensive As You Think</h2><p>During the time I&#39;ve been covering PLTR stock here on Seeking Alpha, I&#39;ve tried many valuation models to value the stock: discounted cash flow (&#34;DCF&#34;), absolute and relative valuation multiples, the sum of the parts (&#34;SOTP&#34;) - you name it. Today, I want to show you my next development based on a combination of COMPS and future financial data (expectations). I have taken several companies that are similar in nature of operations to compare with PLTR. I even included Nvidia (NVDA) in this list, which is not a direct peer to PLTR, but roughly represents the same sector.</p><p>What do I look at? First of all, the P/E ratio. Many say that PLTR&#39;s P/E ratio is too high, while the bulls say that PLTR is a growth company whose P/E ratio is irrelevant. In my opinion, both camps should meet in the middle: When evaluating a growth stock, I propose looking at the long-term P/E ratio and long-term EPS growth together. By long-term EPS growth, I mean Wall Street&#39;s projections for the company&#39;s earnings in a few years, and by long-term P/E ratio, I mean the implied valuation multiple (e.g., EPS in FY2030 divided by today&#39;s market capitalization).</p><p><em>So, what do we have on our 2D dot plot?</em></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1287dcb56ccd76045058caec5c04e3e8\" alt=\"Author&#39;s work, Seeking Alpha data\" title=\"Author&#39;s work, Seeking Alpha data\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"385\"/><span>Author&#39;s work, Seeking Alpha data</span></p><p>PLTR appears to be a fairly valued company with a projected long-term EPS growth (7-year CAGR) of 23.7%, which is 456 basis points above the median of the sample. The company&#39;s FY2030 price-to-earnings ratio is ~10.3% higher than the median, but this appears to be offset by the EPS growth.</p><p>Now let&#39;s look at the EV/EBITDA ratio and the growth of the underlying. Let&#39;s not think ahead to 2030, but stop at 2025. In 2025, PLTR&#39;s EBITDA is expected to grow by 25.4% year-on-year (i.e., compared to FY2024), resulting in an implied EV/EBITDA ratio of 37.08x for FY2025 - that&#39;s a lot. But that&#39;s only at first glance, because compared to other companies in the industry, PLTR&#39;s dot is below the trend line, quite close to the median value:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88b073da536772e618aa9f3cc8258685\" alt=\"Author&#39;s work, Seeking Alpha data\" title=\"Author&#39;s work, Seeking Alpha data\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"385\"/><span>Author&#39;s work, Seeking Alpha data</span></p><p><em>Palantir has turned out to be not as expensive as I initially thought, but on the other hand, I can’t say that the stock is cheap, either.</em></p><p>The fact is that PLTR&#39;s EV/EBITDA is ~28% higher than peers&#39; growth, while its projected EBITDA growth in FY2025 is only 3% higher (25.4% vs. median of 22.4%).</p><h2 id=\"id_1546672287\">Conclusion</h2><p>To be honest, I find it difficult to remain bearish on PLTR stock today. When I look at the company&#39;s latest financial results, I realize that they are completely different from what I expected a year ago (or even earlier this year). Palantir Technologies Inc.&#39;s business is growing much faster, and it seems that the company has found another lever for growth through its bootcamps and thanks to its focus on the healthcare industry.</p><p>The valuation of the stock doesn&#39;t seem too high if we look at PLTR multiples through the lens of future EPS growth. There are certain issues with EBITDA-related multiples, but still, Palantir seems to be close to its fair value despite the seemingly high multiples. However, my findings are based only on comparative analysis and consensus estimates, which are subject to change at any time. We cannot rule out the possibility that the entire industry is overvalued today - soft landing or not, when the period of multiple contraction comes, PLTR will be one of the first to fall. A multiple contraction seems to me to be one of the most likely scenarios for next year, but that is a topic for a full-length macro report.</p><p>Based on the above, I&#39;m upgrading Palantir Technologies Inc. stock from &#34;Sell&#34; to &#34;Hold,&#34; which means that I&#39;m neutral on the stock until I see a margin of safety in it.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir Stock: Hard To Stay Bearish</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir Stock: Hard To Stay Bearish\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-12-21 14:30 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4658715-palantir-stock-hard-to-stay-bearish-rating-upgrade><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>In today's article, I want to look at Palantir Technologies Inc. with no initial bias in order to understand its growth prospects.I find that the acceleration of Palantir Technologies' sales growth ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4658715-palantir-stock-hard-to-stay-bearish-rating-upgrade\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4658715-palantir-stock-hard-to-stay-bearish-rating-upgrade","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2392194408","content_text":"In today's article, I want to look at Palantir Technologies Inc. with no initial bias in order to understand its growth prospects.I find that the acceleration of Palantir Technologies' sales growth could be much more sustainable than I previously thought.Palantir's long-term EPS growth (7-year CAGR) of 23.7% is 456 b.p. above the median of the sample I use for comparison.The company's FY2030 price-to-earnings ratio is ~10.3% higher than the median, while FY2025 EV/EBITDA is even higher (by ~28%).I'm upgrading Palantir Technologies Inc. stock from 'Sell' to 'Hold,' which means that I'm neutral on the stock until I see a margin of safety in it.I've been covering Palantir Technologies Inc. for years and have always been very skeptical about the company. My sell thesis worked fine throughout 2022, but the rise of new artificial intelligence, or AI, technologies gave the company's shares a huge boost, as did the development of its internal operational processes, which revived the growth rates of sales, EBITDA, and earnings per share figures.Data by YChartsMany analysts, once they have issued a rating, stick to it for a very long time, even when the fundamentals change dramatically and the whole thesis no longer makes sense. I have to admit that I suffer from this \"analyst disease\" myself from time to time - perhaps this is the disease I experienced in the case of PLTR when the stock started to recover on faster-than-expected EPS growth rates and I continued to view it as just another \"rip.\"In today's article, however, I want to look at the company with no initial bias in order to understand its growth prospects and what at first glance appears to be a high valuation.Palantir's Operations Growth And FinancialsThe recent financial quarter (Q3 FY2023) became Palantir's 4th consecutive quarter of GAAP profitability. The company closed 80 deals of $1 million or more across 30 industries, according to the press release. The U.S. commercial business grew 33% year-over-year, with a significant impact from customers that started with Palantir in 2023. The U.S. commercial customer count rose by 12% QoQ, reaching 10x the count of just 3 years ago.The company highlighted the success of its go-to-market approach around the AIP (Apollo Intelligence Platform) bootcamps, which made it possible to create real workflows with real customer data in five days or less. This resulted in faster time-to-value for customers, IT stakeholder engagement, and a greater number of companies working with PLTR. By the end of November, the company had conducted boot camps for over 140 organizations, almost half of them that month alone.PLTR's IR materialsDuring the Q3 earnings call, Palantir emphasized the vast improvements in unit economics from initial contact to customer conversion. It helped PLTR to achieve a reacceleration in revenue growth, reaching $558 million in Q3, reflecting a 17% YoY increase and a 5% sequential uptick.Of particular note, the U.S. commercial business demonstrated substantial growth, expanding by 33% YoY. The company is focusing on conquering the health industry with its new boot camps, breaking my old assumption of a further slowdown in sales growth.Adjusted gross margin stood at an impressive 82%, excluding stock-based compensation (\"SBC\") expense. Moreover, the adjusted EBIT margin reached 29%, surpassing expectations and marking the 4th consecutive quarter of expanding margins.But my old assumption that PLTR is dependent on SBC still holds. Moreover, PLTR's shares outstanding kept going even higher than I expected:Data by YChartsThe positive thing on this front is that the company has finally generated positive cash flow excluding SBC, which is not comparable to what we saw last year:PLTR's 10-Q, author's notesAnother concern that lies on the surface is rising DSO, as another Seeking Alpha analyst, Ironside Research, noted in his analysis earlier this month. And indeed, PLTR's DSO is rising much faster than what we are seeing in the industry. In case you don't know, DSO measures the average number of days it takes for a company to collect payment after a sale has been made. So, an increasing DSO suggests that cash is tied up in accounts receivable for a more extended period. But in absolute terms, the ratio appears to be in line with norms (maybe slightly higher).YCharts, author's notesIn addition, the growth in this metric may be related to the revenue stream shift that the company is currently undergoing, so the net impact of this increase on future sales growth remains to be seen, in my view.Looking at the company's financials and plans for scaling operations in healthcare and other areas of their Commercial segment, I see that the acceleration of PLTR's sales growth could be much more sustainable than I previously thought.But will this growth be enough to grow out of the current valuation multiples?Palantir Stock Is Not As Expensive As You ThinkDuring the time I've been covering PLTR stock here on Seeking Alpha, I've tried many valuation models to value the stock: discounted cash flow (\"DCF\"), absolute and relative valuation multiples, the sum of the parts (\"SOTP\") - you name it. Today, I want to show you my next development based on a combination of COMPS and future financial data (expectations). I have taken several companies that are similar in nature of operations to compare with PLTR. I even included Nvidia (NVDA) in this list, which is not a direct peer to PLTR, but roughly represents the same sector.What do I look at? First of all, the P/E ratio. Many say that PLTR's P/E ratio is too high, while the bulls say that PLTR is a growth company whose P/E ratio is irrelevant. In my opinion, both camps should meet in the middle: When evaluating a growth stock, I propose looking at the long-term P/E ratio and long-term EPS growth together. By long-term EPS growth, I mean Wall Street's projections for the company's earnings in a few years, and by long-term P/E ratio, I mean the implied valuation multiple (e.g., EPS in FY2030 divided by today's market capitalization).So, what do we have on our 2D dot plot?Author's work, Seeking Alpha dataPLTR appears to be a fairly valued company with a projected long-term EPS growth (7-year CAGR) of 23.7%, which is 456 basis points above the median of the sample. The company's FY2030 price-to-earnings ratio is ~10.3% higher than the median, but this appears to be offset by the EPS growth.Now let's look at the EV/EBITDA ratio and the growth of the underlying. Let's not think ahead to 2030, but stop at 2025. In 2025, PLTR's EBITDA is expected to grow by 25.4% year-on-year (i.e., compared to FY2024), resulting in an implied EV/EBITDA ratio of 37.08x for FY2025 - that's a lot. But that's only at first glance, because compared to other companies in the industry, PLTR's dot is below the trend line, quite close to the median value:Author's work, Seeking Alpha dataPalantir has turned out to be not as expensive as I initially thought, but on the other hand, I can’t say that the stock is cheap, either.The fact is that PLTR's EV/EBITDA is ~28% higher than peers' growth, while its projected EBITDA growth in FY2025 is only 3% higher (25.4% vs. median of 22.4%).ConclusionTo be honest, I find it difficult to remain bearish on PLTR stock today. When I look at the company's latest financial results, I realize that they are completely different from what I expected a year ago (or even earlier this year). Palantir Technologies Inc.'s business is growing much faster, and it seems that the company has found another lever for growth through its bootcamps and thanks to its focus on the healthcare industry.The valuation of the stock doesn't seem too high if we look at PLTR multiples through the lens of future EPS growth. There are certain issues with EBITDA-related multiples, but still, Palantir seems to be close to its fair value despite the seemingly high multiples. However, my findings are based only on comparative analysis and consensus estimates, which are subject to change at any time. We cannot rule out the possibility that the entire industry is overvalued today - soft landing or not, when the period of multiple contraction comes, PLTR will be one of the first to fall. A multiple contraction seems to me to be one of the most likely scenarios for next year, but that is a topic for a full-length macro report.Based on the above, I'm upgrading Palantir Technologies Inc. stock from \"Sell\" to \"Hold,\" which means that I'm neutral on the stock until I see a margin of safety in it.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":134,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":315365725868088,"gmtCreate":1718024955179,"gmtModify":1718029183570,"author":{"id":"3585011845632474","authorId":"3585011845632474","authorIdStr":"3585011845632474","name":"Chong5757","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/985512d6201b9adc3b8194721984cc6f","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585011845632474"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Buy if you don't have.added on dip.","listText":"Buy if you don't have.added on dip.","text":"Buy if you don't have.added on dip.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/315365725868088","repostId":"2441307342","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":112,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":254398612189432,"gmtCreate":1703145842660,"gmtModify":1703147385175,"author":{"id":"3585011845632474","authorId":"3585011845632474","authorIdStr":"3585011845632474","name":"Chong5757","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/985512d6201b9adc3b8194721984cc6f","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585011845632474"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/254398612189432","repostId":"2393195431","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":140,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":254399226327312,"gmtCreate":1703145841440,"gmtModify":1703147385083,"author":{"id":"3585011845632474","authorId":"3585011845632474","authorIdStr":"3585011845632474","name":"Chong5757","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/985512d6201b9adc3b8194721984cc6f","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585011845632474"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Everyone shud buy and hold this magnificent stock.","listText":"Everyone shud buy and hold this magnificent stock.","text":"Everyone shud buy and hold this magnificent stock.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/254399226327312","repostId":"2393195431","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":62,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":242106671149280,"gmtCreate":1700145098047,"gmtModify":1700145630207,"author":{"id":"3585011845632474","authorId":"3585011845632474","authorIdStr":"3585011845632474","name":"Chong5757","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/985512d6201b9adc3b8194721984cc6f","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585011845632474"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Buy more on dip","listText":"Buy more on dip","text":"Buy more on dip","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/242106671149280","repostId":"2383253840","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2383253840","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1700138787,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2383253840?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-11-16 20:46","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Alibaba Group Holding Q2 Adj EPS $0.27, up 21% YoY, Sales $30.81B up 9% YoY","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2383253840","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Alibaba Group Holding Q2 Adj EPS $0.27, up 21% YoY, Sales $30.81B up 9% YoY","content":"<html><body><p>Alibaba Group Holding Q2 Adj EPS $0.27, up 21% YoY, Sales $30.81B up 9% YoY</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba Group Holding Q2 Adj EPS $0.27, up 21% YoY, Sales $30.81B up 9% YoY</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba Group Holding Q2 Adj EPS $0.27, up 21% YoY, Sales $30.81B up 9% YoY\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2023-11-16 20:46</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><body><p>Alibaba Group Holding Q2 Adj EPS $0.27, up 21% YoY, Sales $30.81B up 9% YoY</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴"},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/23/11/35823222/alibaba-group-holding-q2-adj-eps-0-27-up-21-yoy-sales-30-81b-up-9-yoy","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2383253840","content_text":"Alibaba Group Holding Q2 Adj EPS $0.27, up 21% YoY, Sales $30.81B up 9% YoY","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":68,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":242105316282520,"gmtCreate":1700144958692,"gmtModify":1700145629378,"author":{"id":"3585011845632474","authorId":"3585011845632474","authorIdStr":"3585011845632474","name":"Chong5757","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/985512d6201b9adc3b8194721984cc6f","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585011845632474"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hold tight the M7","listText":"Hold tight the M7","text":"Hold tight the M7","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/242105316282520","repostId":"2383861861","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":76,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":242061479264256,"gmtCreate":1700134186069,"gmtModify":1700141194547,"author":{"id":"3585011845632474","authorId":"3585011845632474","authorIdStr":"3585011845632474","name":"Chong5757","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/985512d6201b9adc3b8194721984cc6f","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585011845632474"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Holding and buy on dip","listText":"Holding and buy on dip","text":"Holding and buy on dip","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/242061479264256","repostId":"2383696718","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2383696718","pubTimestamp":1700122345,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2383696718?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-11-16 16:12","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir Stock: Look Out Below","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2383696718","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Palantir Technologies Inc. recently released its Q3 results, showing impressive growth in revenue and international business.The company also achieved GAAP profitability for four consecutive quarters,","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul style=\"\"><li><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">Palantir Technologies Inc.</a> recently released its Q3 results, showing impressive growth in revenue and international business.</p></li><li><p>The company also achieved GAAP profitability for four consecutive quarters, proving its sustainable business model.</p></li><li><p>However, there are three big reasons why we are bearish on the stock.</p></li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/053e8f7209660fc698c584f5fa3a944e\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"422\"/></p><p>Palantir Technologies Inc. (NYSE:PLTR) recently released its latest quarterly results, and the market largely cheered the results as the stock has soared higher since the results came out. That being said, we remain firmly bearish on the stock and share in this article why we are reiterating our Sell rating.</p><h2 id=\"id_2886967972\">PLTR Stock Q3 Positives</h2><p>While we are overall negative on the stock, we do believe that the company itself is fundamentally healthy and is accomplishing some really good things. For example, PLTR has demonstrated impressive growth recently in several key areas of its business. Their overall revenue grew by 16.8% year-over-year during the quarter, reaching $558 million, which surpassed analyst consensus expectations. Perhaps the most impressive number from the report was that they grew their international business by 15% to a total revenue of $134 million. Given that this had been an area of significant struggle for the company recently, an acceleration of growth to a mid-teens rate is quite notable and could bode well for the company if they can continue to accelerate that growth rate moving forward.</p><p>Moreover, the remarkable 33% year-over-year growth in PLTR&#39;s U.S. commercial revenue showed the staying power of PLTR&#39;s most dynamic business and demonstrates the company&#39;s ability to be a major data analytics and AI player for a broad array of clients, rather than being confined to strictly being a government/defense contractor. The tripling of users for PLTR&#39;s Artificial Intelligence Platform (&#34;AIP&#34;) demonstrates the company&#39;s growing influence in the AI sector and bodes well for continued strong commercial growth for quarters and years to come.</p><p>Perhaps most important of all is that the company has now achieved GAAP profitability for four consecutive quarters, proving that it can truly generate value for shareholders and has a sustainable business model instead of just chasing unprofitable topline growth financed by continuous equity issuance.</p><h2 id=\"id_785573460\">PLTR Stock Q3 Negatives</h2><p>However, there were also some negatives. Stock-based compensation expenses remain elevated and likely to increase in Q4, continuing to dilute shareholders in the process. While the company touted its buyback authorization on its Q2 earnings call, nothing was said about it on the Q3 earnings call, proving that it was purely a publicity stunt by management (much like its short-lived investment in gold bars was previously).</p><p>Moreover, government revenue only grew at a 10% year-over-year rate, continuing a recent trend of fairly slow government revenue growth. While the U.S. commercial business is posting very robust growth numbers, the slowdown in the government business is weighing on the company&#39;s overall growth performance and calling into question the ultimate total growth runway of the company. While the recent pickup in international growth is promising, it remains below the company&#39;s overall average growth rate and will need to pick up considerably for the company to achieve its full long-term potential. Additionally, the company&#39;s dependence on large deals to continue fueling growth and the potential for operational risks as Palantir rapidly expands its AI business are also areas of concern.</p><h2 id=\"id_3194736248\">Why PLTR Stock Is A Sell</h2><p>PLTR is clearly expanding its presence in commercial markets, achieving some improvement in international growth, leveraging and enhancing its AI capabilities, and achieving consistent profitability. That said, these strengths are ultimately not enough for us to upgrade the stock from being a Sell for the following reasons:</p><p><strong>Valuation:</strong> The stock trades at a very rich valuation right now, as the company&#39;s lack of execution on its buyback over the past quarter (despite the company having plenty of cash on its balance sheet and the stock price plummeting significantly during parts of the quarter) demonstrates. It currently trades at nearly 19 times its LTM revenue and nearly 16 times its NTM revenue. Moreover, it trades at over 52 times its NTM EBITDA, nearly 70 times its NTM normalized earnings, and over 81 times its NTM free cash flow (translating to an NTM free cash flow yield of just 1.2%). In an environment where 10-year treasury yields are nearly four times PLTR&#39;s free cash flow yield, it is pretty difficult to justify its current valuation multiple.</p><p>Additionally, while some may think that 16 times NTM revenue and 70 times NTM normalized earnings are not outrageous for a leading AI software company, the reality is that PLTR is not truly a software company. PLTR&#39;s business model has often been likened to being a hybrid between a software company and a consulting company due to its labor-intensiveness. As a result, it does not scale nearly as easily as a pure software-as-a-service or even an enterprise software business model. As a result, its profit margins have not been increasing as rapidly as one might expect relative to its strong rate of revenue growth. For example, over the next two years, its revenue is expected to grow at a 20.2% CAGR whereas its normalized earnings per share are only expected to grow at a 20.5% CAGR, reflecting a very slight expansion in its profit margin. As a result, its valuation multiples appear to be far too high relative to the bottom-line growth potential of the company.</p><p><strong>Decelerating Revenue Growth:</strong> Since PLTR went public, there has been a notable deceleration in Palantir&#39;s revenue growth, from nearly 50% to the mid-teens most recently. In fact, management has abandoned its original guidance for over $4 billion in 2025 revenue, and the company is now expected by the consensus of Wall Street analysts to generate only $3.2 billion in revenue in 2025 revenue. This deceleration could stem from several issues, including market saturation, increased competition, or a plateau in the adoption rate of Palantir&#39;s services. It appears that the market is counting on AI to accelerate PLTR&#39;s growth, but thus far there has not been much concrete evidence that this is happening in a meaningful way.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c02a88ae7c557aa7f04f5d93e3f6b9bb\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"384\"/></p><p>PLTR Recent Revenue Growth % (TIKR.com)</p><p></p><p>While analysts do seem to expect that AI will bolster PLTR&#39;s revenue growth rate, it is still only expected to grow its topline at a 23.7% CAGR through 2027:</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/50d93662bc87abdbf3093c1f2147e24e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"384\"/></p><p>PLTR Projected Revenue Growth % (TIKR.com)</p><p></p><p><strong>Recession Concerns:</strong> Moreover, given that it appears that we are headed for a recession, it is entirely possible that PLTR may face some stiff growth headwinds moving forward. This is because in an economic downturn, companies often scale back on new and unproven technologies in order to cut costs and maximize short-term profitability during challenging economic periods.</p><p>Moreover, given the massive government deficits facing the United States and many of its allies right now, if tax revenues take a hit during a recession, it is very possible that they may cut back on nonessential spending across their departments. This poses a risk to Palantir, as its big data solutions, while valuable, may not be perceived as critical to near-term profitability and operations, resulting in delayed and/or reduced spending on Palantir&#39;s services by current and prospective clients.</p><h2 id=\"id_3986110713\">Investor Takeaway</h2><p>While PLTR is clearly a prominent player in the AI and big data analytics space for both government and commercial enterprises, the current valuation is just too rich in our view. The stock will need to dramatically accelerate the growth rate of its government and international segments while sustaining its commercial growth rate and/or find a way to improve its economies of scale significantly in order to justify the lofty expectations being placed on it by Mr. Market. The elevated level of interest rates and growing risks of a recession further exacerbate the valuation issue at PLTR.</p><p>The company is clearly doing fine fundamentally and continues to generate consistent profitability for shareholders, which is a very good thing. However, until the valuation picture improves considerably, we remain bearish on the stock.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir Stock: Look Out Below</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir Stock: Look Out Below\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-11-16 16:12 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4651946-palantir-stock-look-out-below><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Palantir Technologies Inc. recently released its Q3 results, showing impressive growth in revenue and international business.The company also achieved GAAP profitability for four consecutive quarters,...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4651946-palantir-stock-look-out-below\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4588":"碎股","BK4023":"应用软件","BK4543":"AI","BK4547":"WSB热门概念","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4651946-palantir-stock-look-out-below","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2383696718","content_text":"Palantir Technologies Inc. recently released its Q3 results, showing impressive growth in revenue and international business.The company also achieved GAAP profitability for four consecutive quarters, proving its sustainable business model.However, there are three big reasons why we are bearish on the stock.Palantir Technologies Inc. (NYSE:PLTR) recently released its latest quarterly results, and the market largely cheered the results as the stock has soared higher since the results came out. That being said, we remain firmly bearish on the stock and share in this article why we are reiterating our Sell rating.PLTR Stock Q3 PositivesWhile we are overall negative on the stock, we do believe that the company itself is fundamentally healthy and is accomplishing some really good things. For example, PLTR has demonstrated impressive growth recently in several key areas of its business. Their overall revenue grew by 16.8% year-over-year during the quarter, reaching $558 million, which surpassed analyst consensus expectations. Perhaps the most impressive number from the report was that they grew their international business by 15% to a total revenue of $134 million. Given that this had been an area of significant struggle for the company recently, an acceleration of growth to a mid-teens rate is quite notable and could bode well for the company if they can continue to accelerate that growth rate moving forward.Moreover, the remarkable 33% year-over-year growth in PLTR's U.S. commercial revenue showed the staying power of PLTR's most dynamic business and demonstrates the company's ability to be a major data analytics and AI player for a broad array of clients, rather than being confined to strictly being a government/defense contractor. The tripling of users for PLTR's Artificial Intelligence Platform (\"AIP\") demonstrates the company's growing influence in the AI sector and bodes well for continued strong commercial growth for quarters and years to come.Perhaps most important of all is that the company has now achieved GAAP profitability for four consecutive quarters, proving that it can truly generate value for shareholders and has a sustainable business model instead of just chasing unprofitable topline growth financed by continuous equity issuance.PLTR Stock Q3 NegativesHowever, there were also some negatives. Stock-based compensation expenses remain elevated and likely to increase in Q4, continuing to dilute shareholders in the process. While the company touted its buyback authorization on its Q2 earnings call, nothing was said about it on the Q3 earnings call, proving that it was purely a publicity stunt by management (much like its short-lived investment in gold bars was previously).Moreover, government revenue only grew at a 10% year-over-year rate, continuing a recent trend of fairly slow government revenue growth. While the U.S. commercial business is posting very robust growth numbers, the slowdown in the government business is weighing on the company's overall growth performance and calling into question the ultimate total growth runway of the company. While the recent pickup in international growth is promising, it remains below the company's overall average growth rate and will need to pick up considerably for the company to achieve its full long-term potential. Additionally, the company's dependence on large deals to continue fueling growth and the potential for operational risks as Palantir rapidly expands its AI business are also areas of concern.Why PLTR Stock Is A SellPLTR is clearly expanding its presence in commercial markets, achieving some improvement in international growth, leveraging and enhancing its AI capabilities, and achieving consistent profitability. That said, these strengths are ultimately not enough for us to upgrade the stock from being a Sell for the following reasons:Valuation: The stock trades at a very rich valuation right now, as the company's lack of execution on its buyback over the past quarter (despite the company having plenty of cash on its balance sheet and the stock price plummeting significantly during parts of the quarter) demonstrates. It currently trades at nearly 19 times its LTM revenue and nearly 16 times its NTM revenue. Moreover, it trades at over 52 times its NTM EBITDA, nearly 70 times its NTM normalized earnings, and over 81 times its NTM free cash flow (translating to an NTM free cash flow yield of just 1.2%). In an environment where 10-year treasury yields are nearly four times PLTR's free cash flow yield, it is pretty difficult to justify its current valuation multiple.Additionally, while some may think that 16 times NTM revenue and 70 times NTM normalized earnings are not outrageous for a leading AI software company, the reality is that PLTR is not truly a software company. PLTR's business model has often been likened to being a hybrid between a software company and a consulting company due to its labor-intensiveness. As a result, it does not scale nearly as easily as a pure software-as-a-service or even an enterprise software business model. As a result, its profit margins have not been increasing as rapidly as one might expect relative to its strong rate of revenue growth. For example, over the next two years, its revenue is expected to grow at a 20.2% CAGR whereas its normalized earnings per share are only expected to grow at a 20.5% CAGR, reflecting a very slight expansion in its profit margin. As a result, its valuation multiples appear to be far too high relative to the bottom-line growth potential of the company.Decelerating Revenue Growth: Since PLTR went public, there has been a notable deceleration in Palantir's revenue growth, from nearly 50% to the mid-teens most recently. In fact, management has abandoned its original guidance for over $4 billion in 2025 revenue, and the company is now expected by the consensus of Wall Street analysts to generate only $3.2 billion in revenue in 2025 revenue. This deceleration could stem from several issues, including market saturation, increased competition, or a plateau in the adoption rate of Palantir's services. It appears that the market is counting on AI to accelerate PLTR's growth, but thus far there has not been much concrete evidence that this is happening in a meaningful way.PLTR Recent Revenue Growth % (TIKR.com)While analysts do seem to expect that AI will bolster PLTR's revenue growth rate, it is still only expected to grow its topline at a 23.7% CAGR through 2027:PLTR Projected Revenue Growth % (TIKR.com)Recession Concerns: Moreover, given that it appears that we are headed for a recession, it is entirely possible that PLTR may face some stiff growth headwinds moving forward. This is because in an economic downturn, companies often scale back on new and unproven technologies in order to cut costs and maximize short-term profitability during challenging economic periods.Moreover, given the massive government deficits facing the United States and many of its allies right now, if tax revenues take a hit during a recession, it is very possible that they may cut back on nonessential spending across their departments. This poses a risk to Palantir, as its big data solutions, while valuable, may not be perceived as critical to near-term profitability and operations, resulting in delayed and/or reduced spending on Palantir's services by current and prospective clients.Investor TakeawayWhile PLTR is clearly a prominent player in the AI and big data analytics space for both government and commercial enterprises, the current valuation is just too rich in our view. The stock will need to dramatically accelerate the growth rate of its government and international segments while sustaining its commercial growth rate and/or find a way to improve its economies of scale significantly in order to justify the lofty expectations being placed on it by Mr. Market. The elevated level of interest rates and growing risks of a recession further exacerbate the valuation issue at PLTR.The company is clearly doing fine fundamentally and continues to generate consistent profitability for shareholders, which is a very good thing. However, until the valuation picture improves considerably, we remain bearish on the stock.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":192,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}