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clamst
2023-08-02
$Apple(AAPL)$
good good to keep
clamst
2023-08-02
$SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$
clamst
2023-06-07
Nice event
clamst
2023-06-07
Great ariticle, would you like to share it?
@TigerEvents:Light up your investing with Tiger, play and win prizes worth up to USD 999
clamst
2023-04-05
Thanks tiger for this nice event
clamst
2023-04-04
Nice event thanks tiger
clamst
2023-04-04
Thanks for event
@TigerEvents:【Game】Easter Egg Hunting with Tiger, Win Disney Shares and USD 120 Voucher
clamst
2023-03-21
thanks
Sorry, the original content has been removed
clamst
2023-01-16
1
clamst
2023-01-15
0
clamst
2023-01-14
0
clamst
2023-01-13
0
clamst
2023-01-12
Ok
clamst
2023-01-11
0
clamst
2023-01-09
0
clamst
2023-01-08
0
clamst
2023-01-07
1
clamst
2023-01-06
Ok
clamst
2023-01-05
Ok
clamst
2023-01-04
0
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Join the game now and hop on your way to victory. 🥳🐣Join our Easter campaign 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08:52","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Apple’s Risk Is Limited","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1147045390","media":"Barrons","summary":"Apple faces real, but limited, risk to its revenue and profits from Friday’s ruling that requires it to allow developers to offer alternative payment methods for purchases made in apps downloaded through the Apple app store.In a case filed by Fortnite publisher Epic Games, U.S. District Judge Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers issued a permanent injunction that requires Apple to allow developers the option to include links to alternative payment methods in their apps. Apple’s own payment system takes a 30%","content":"<p>Apple faces real, but limited, risk to its revenue and profits from Friday’s ruling that requires it to allow developers to offer alternative payment methods for purchases made in apps downloaded through the Apple app store.</p>\n<p>In a case filed by Fortnite publisher Epic Games, U.S. District Judge Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers issued a permanent injunction that requires Apple (ticker: AAPL) to allow developers the option to include links to alternative payment methods in their apps. Apple’s own payment system takes a 30% cut from large developers.</p>\n<p>Data from the app tracker SensorTower shows that in calendar 2020, Apple had overall revenue from the App Store of $72.3 billion, generating an estimated $21.7 billion in fees, or about 7% of Apple’s overall revenues. That includes $21 billion in spending in the U.S., generating about $6.3 billion in fees, or about 2% of annualized revenues.</p>\n<p>SensorTower estimates that mobile-game spending in the App Store in calendar 2020 was $47.6 billion, generating $14.3 billion in fees, or a little under 5% of Apple’s total revenues.</p>\n<p>Gene Munster, managing director of the venture firm Loup Capital and a former sell-side analyst with a long history of tracking Apple, estimated that the App Store accounts for about 14% of the company’s profits. But he sees limited risk from Friday’s ruling.</p>\n<p>Munster thinks most app developers will stay inside of the Apple system. He sees “at most” a 2% headwind to overall revenue, and a potential 4% hit to profits.</p>\n<p>“After the first year of these changes, app store growth rates will return to normal,” he said. “Bottom line, it’s at most a one-year headwind and does not change the big picture of where Apple is going over the next 5 years.”</p>\n<p>Evercore ISI analyst Amit Daryanani said in a research note that the ruling is a setback for Apple, but that the eventual impact is likely to be manageable, given Apple has alternative ways to generate revenue from the store, including its growing in-store ad business. And he noted that Apple actually got a win on a bigger issue in the case: The judge rejected Epic’s assertion that the App Store is an illegal monopoly. Daryanani estimated the risk to Apple’s per-share earnings at 2% to 4%.</p>\n<p>Wedbush analyst Dan Ives told <i>Barron’s</i> he thinks the worst-case scenario is a 3% to 4% hit to revenues, describing the risk as a “rounding error.” While Ives said the Street had expected an across-the-board win for Apple, the mixed decision removes an overhang on the stock and that investors are likely relieved to put the issue to rest.</p>\n<p>The ruling is more a positive for companies like Spotify Technology and Match Group than it is a negative for Apple, he said. Apple stock fell 3.3% to $148.97 on Friday, while Spotify and March gained 0.7% and 4.2%, respectively.</p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Apple’s Risk Is Limited</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Apple’s Risk Is Limited\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-09-11 08:52 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/apple-app-store-epic-51631304007?mod=hp_LEAD_1_B_2><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Apple faces real, but limited, risk to its revenue and profits from Friday’s ruling that requires it to allow developers to offer alternative payment methods for purchases made in apps downloaded ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/apple-app-store-epic-51631304007?mod=hp_LEAD_1_B_2\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/apple-app-store-epic-51631304007?mod=hp_LEAD_1_B_2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1147045390","content_text":"Apple faces real, but limited, risk to its revenue and profits from Friday’s ruling that requires it to allow developers to offer alternative payment methods for purchases made in apps downloaded through the Apple app store.\nIn a case filed by Fortnite publisher Epic Games, U.S. District Judge Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers issued a permanent injunction that requires Apple (ticker: AAPL) to allow developers the option to include links to alternative payment methods in their apps. Apple’s own payment system takes a 30% cut from large developers.\nData from the app tracker SensorTower shows that in calendar 2020, Apple had overall revenue from the App Store of $72.3 billion, generating an estimated $21.7 billion in fees, or about 7% of Apple’s overall revenues. That includes $21 billion in spending in the U.S., generating about $6.3 billion in fees, or about 2% of annualized revenues.\nSensorTower estimates that mobile-game spending in the App Store in calendar 2020 was $47.6 billion, generating $14.3 billion in fees, or a little under 5% of Apple’s total revenues.\nGene Munster, managing director of the venture firm Loup Capital and a former sell-side analyst with a long history of tracking Apple, estimated that the App Store accounts for about 14% of the company’s profits. But he sees limited risk from Friday’s ruling.\nMunster thinks most app developers will stay inside of the Apple system. He sees “at most” a 2% headwind to overall revenue, and a potential 4% hit to profits.\n“After the first year of these changes, app store growth rates will return to normal,” he said. “Bottom line, it’s at most a one-year headwind and does not change the big picture of where Apple is going over the next 5 years.”\nEvercore ISI analyst Amit Daryanani said in a research note that the ruling is a setback for Apple, but that the eventual impact is likely to be manageable, given Apple has alternative ways to generate revenue from the store, including its growing in-store ad business. And he noted that Apple actually got a win on a bigger issue in the case: The judge rejected Epic’s assertion that the App Store is an illegal monopoly. Daryanani estimated the risk to Apple’s per-share earnings at 2% to 4%.\nWedbush analyst Dan Ives told Barron’s he thinks the worst-case scenario is a 3% to 4% hit to revenues, describing the risk as a “rounding error.” While Ives said the Street had expected an across-the-board win for Apple, the mixed decision removes an overhang on the stock and that investors are likely relieved to put the issue to rest.\nThe ruling is more a positive for companies like Spotify Technology and Match Group than it is a negative for Apple, he said. Apple stock fell 3.3% to $148.97 on Friday, while Spotify and March gained 0.7% and 4.2%, respectively.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":661,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9943857289,"gmtCreate":1679369118141,"gmtModify":1679369122269,"author":{"id":"3585541935596173","authorId":"3585541935596173","name":"clamst","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cf5fe2f49dda032a9e4837f83ed372bd","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585541935596173","authorIdStr":"3585541935596173"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"thanks","listText":"thanks","text":"thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":14,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9943857289","repostId":"1128215337","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1128215337","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1679381237,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1128215337?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2023-03-21 14:47","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Interest Rates May Surge As The Short Squeeze Nears Its End","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1128215337","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryIt appears there's a short squeeze taking place in Treasury rates.Liquidity in the Treasury f","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>It appears there's a short squeeze taking place in Treasury rates.</li><li>Liquidity in the Treasury futures has evaporated, making the short squeeze even more painful.</li><li>Once liquidity returns and short covering subsides, rates should rise sharply.</li></ul><p>The recent drop in Treasury rates may have gone too far and seems to have held critical technical levels thus far. This suggests that interest rates could rise from current levels.</p><p>The primary reason for the sudden move was thenews of Silicon Valley Bank's (SIVB) failure, which triggered a flight to safety and induced a massive wave of short covering across the entire yield curve. This has caused rates to drop sharply, giving the impression that the market is pricing in Fed rate cuts.</p><p><b>Short Covering</b></p><p>Short positions among leveraged funds across the yield curve have become very large, and these funds have suffered significant losses in recent days, as indicated by the SG Trend Index. The index, which tracks the commodity trade advisor's net daily rate of return, has fallen by 10.3% from March 8 to March 16, wiping out all of the index's gains over the past year.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b824cd024646aac5ce19c977e668568\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"244\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>The SG Trend index has followed the changes in rates over the past two years. This suggests that the recent sharp decline in yields has been the primary driver of the sudden and significant decline in the SG Trend index.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/569e85caf980b63302902b9816f52fc2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"289\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>Over the past several months, the big trade was shorting the yield curve among levered funds because the outlook was for the Fed to raise rates pushing nominal rates higher. This led to a significant build-up in the short positions for the 2-year, 5-year, and 10-year Treasury futures contracts.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70368ab65c0fad2579496890574a74c9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"289\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>However, with the recent market scare and flight to safety, the models have likely shifted from a short signal to a cover signal, as evidenced by the 20-day moving average flipping from rising to falling.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9b19ee0974b5f4fe8b5a63903773e848\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"289\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p><b>Liquidity Has Evaporated</b></p><p>The primary problem is that liquidity in these futures contracts has dried up, and the bid-ask spread has widened, making it difficult to unwind bearish bets on the yield curve and exacerbating the move in rates.</p><p>When the depth of the book thins out, it means that there are not as many futures contracts available to buy or sell without significantly affecting the underlying contract. When the spread widens, it makes trading even more expensive. The wider the spreads become and the thinner the top of the book gets, the more challenging it is to execute transactions. The 2-year futures contract, for example, has experienced a significant decline in book depth and a significant widening of the bid-ask spread.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03023e4c596645c0855d62f4d8209662\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"500\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>CME</p><p>A similar situation is visible in the 5-year Treasury futures contract, with the bid-ask spread widening significantly and the book depth thinning out. This trend is also noticeable in the 10-year futures contracts.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44c9ebd69eb33f69c5115ac7937e0885\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"500\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>CME</p><p>Consider that leveraged funds are struggling to unwind short positions. At the same time, liquidity in the market evaporates has probably caused rates to drop sharply and the violent moves that have been recently witnessed.</p><p>Interestingly, this is visible on the technical charts, as the 200-day moving average has provided crucial support for the 2-year, 5-year, and 10-year Treasury rates. This level of technical support is significant because it can indicate the long-term direction of the overall movement in rates. As long as this moving average holds, it seems to suggest that rates could see a significant rebound in the coming weeks.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/42450c17316f250fee18bb6b53cfa981\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"238\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p><b>Rate Cuts?</b></p><p>At least on the surface, similar conditions seem to exist in the 3-month SOFR futures contracts, with substantial short positions built up over the past few months. If the race here is to cover short positions, it could be creating the impression that the markets are pricing in rate cuts when, in reality, it's just systematic short covering due to model signals.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/084ebecb81528bc06f71940801208b46\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"289\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>As short covering eases and liquidity improves in the market, rates in the US will likely recover and rise significantly, especially if the Fed raises rates this week and signals for more rate hikes to come.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Interest Rates May Surge As The Short Squeeze Nears Its End</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nInterest Rates May Surge As The Short Squeeze Nears Its End\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-03-21 14:47 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4588775-fed-interest-rates-may-surge-short-squeeze-nears-end><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryIt appears there's a short squeeze taking place in Treasury rates.Liquidity in the Treasury futures has evaporated, making the short squeeze even more painful.Once liquidity returns and short ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4588775-fed-interest-rates-may-surge-short-squeeze-nears-end\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4588775-fed-interest-rates-may-surge-short-squeeze-nears-end","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1128215337","content_text":"SummaryIt appears there's a short squeeze taking place in Treasury rates.Liquidity in the Treasury futures has evaporated, making the short squeeze even more painful.Once liquidity returns and short covering subsides, rates should rise sharply.The recent drop in Treasury rates may have gone too far and seems to have held critical technical levels thus far. This suggests that interest rates could rise from current levels.The primary reason for the sudden move was thenews of Silicon Valley Bank's (SIVB) failure, which triggered a flight to safety and induced a massive wave of short covering across the entire yield curve. This has caused rates to drop sharply, giving the impression that the market is pricing in Fed rate cuts.Short CoveringShort positions among leveraged funds across the yield curve have become very large, and these funds have suffered significant losses in recent days, as indicated by the SG Trend Index. The index, which tracks the commodity trade advisor's net daily rate of return, has fallen by 10.3% from March 8 to March 16, wiping out all of the index's gains over the past year.BloombergThe SG Trend index has followed the changes in rates over the past two years. This suggests that the recent sharp decline in yields has been the primary driver of the sudden and significant decline in the SG Trend index.BloombergOver the past several months, the big trade was shorting the yield curve among levered funds because the outlook was for the Fed to raise rates pushing nominal rates higher. This led to a significant build-up in the short positions for the 2-year, 5-year, and 10-year Treasury futures contracts.BloombergHowever, with the recent market scare and flight to safety, the models have likely shifted from a short signal to a cover signal, as evidenced by the 20-day moving average flipping from rising to falling.BloombergLiquidity Has EvaporatedThe primary problem is that liquidity in these futures contracts has dried up, and the bid-ask spread has widened, making it difficult to unwind bearish bets on the yield curve and exacerbating the move in rates.When the depth of the book thins out, it means that there are not as many futures contracts available to buy or sell without significantly affecting the underlying contract. When the spread widens, it makes trading even more expensive. The wider the spreads become and the thinner the top of the book gets, the more challenging it is to execute transactions. The 2-year futures contract, for example, has experienced a significant decline in book depth and a significant widening of the bid-ask spread.CMEA similar situation is visible in the 5-year Treasury futures contract, with the bid-ask spread widening significantly and the book depth thinning out. This trend is also noticeable in the 10-year futures contracts.CMEConsider that leveraged funds are struggling to unwind short positions. At the same time, liquidity in the market evaporates has probably caused rates to drop sharply and the violent moves that have been recently witnessed.Interestingly, this is visible on the technical charts, as the 200-day moving average has provided crucial support for the 2-year, 5-year, and 10-year Treasury rates. This level of technical support is significant because it can indicate the long-term direction of the overall movement in rates. As long as this moving average holds, it seems to suggest that rates could see a significant rebound in the coming weeks.BloombergRate Cuts?At least on the surface, similar conditions seem to exist in the 3-month SOFR futures contracts, with substantial short positions built up over the past few months. If the race here is to cover short positions, it could be creating the impression that the markets are pricing in rate cuts when, in reality, it's just systematic short covering due to model signals.BloombergAs short covering eases and liquidity improves in the market, rates in the US will likely recover and rise significantly, especially if the Fed raises rates this week and signals for more rate hikes to come.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":632,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":150171924,"gmtCreate":1624891162468,"gmtModify":1703847271349,"author":{"id":"3585541935596173","authorId":"3585541935596173","name":"clamst","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cf5fe2f49dda032a9e4837f83ed372bd","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585541935596173","authorIdStr":"3585541935596173"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/150171924","repostId":"2146393938","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":367,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":165703816,"gmtCreate":1624156508035,"gmtModify":1703829654888,"author":{"id":"3585541935596173","authorId":"3585541935596173","name":"clamst","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cf5fe2f49dda032a9e4837f83ed372bd","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585541935596173","authorIdStr":"3585541935596173"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Make 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