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Jklya

Jklya

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2021-07-26

Wassupp

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2021-07-23

Not bad

Clover Health Might Drag Due to the ‘Free Lunch’ Problem

2021-07-22

Appl a buy now?

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2021-07-21

Winning

Here Is The One-Word Reason Why JPMorgan Just Raised Its S&P Target To 4,600

2021-07-21

Stocks rallying?

Airline stocks, Cruise Stocks rally continues in morning trading

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bad","listText":"Not bad","text":"Not bad","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/175599258","repostId":"1131589883","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1131589883","pubTimestamp":1627039556,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1131589883?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-23 19:25","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Clover Health Might Drag Due to the ‘Free Lunch’ Problem","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1131589883","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"CLOV stock is a feel-good story but economics matter, too.\n\nPresumably, most of us as children have ","content":"<blockquote>\n CLOV stock is a feel-good story but economics matter, too.\n</blockquote>\n<p>Presumably, most of us as children have had at least <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> experience where we joyously marveled at the concept of giveaway events, only to have our parents teach us that there’s no such thing as a free lunch: somebody always pays.&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CLOV\">Clover Health Corp</a> </b>is an excellent reminder of this truism. While CLOV stock appeals to our heartstrings, the economics still matter.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e8bd73c279e51d539d8df0863039a20\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"169\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Source: <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SSTK\">Shutterstock</a></p>\n<p>As the company proudly proclaims on its website, “Clover Health is Medicare done differently.” A specialist health insurance provider which offers low-to-zero cost premiums combined with low co-pays and prescription drug costs, the company is a godsend for those seeking affordable healthcare solutions. Although I can’t prove it, I believe this sentiment of providing positive services to the public emboldens CLOV stock bulls in their battle against the bears.</p>\n<p>If you think about it, you can see why this narrative is so appealing. I mean, what kind of monster would want to short a company that’s providing grandma with her arthritis medicine for a dollar or two less? Further, the morality play in other meme stocks is evident, with many folks jumping on the bandwagon because they remembered the pain the Great Recession caused their parents. This is a way for the little guys to get back at Wall Street.</p>\n<p>So, it wouldn’t be surprising that the same sentiment drives CLOV stock. In fact,social media-based hype drove shares higher previously, so the concept isn’t anything new. Essentially, if the bears are shorting it, CLOV bulls will go long, attempting to spark a short squeeze.</p>\n<p>I’ve discussed the mechanics of the short-squeeze tactic a few times before but the basic idea is that bears potentially face unlimited risk since there’s no limit to how high a stock can go. By taking the opposite trade, speculators can make substantial profits — but by no means is this a guarantee.</p>\n<p><b>CLOV Stock Is Running Itself Dry</b></p>\n<p>Another aphorism that we all learned as kids is if something is too good to be true, it usually is. Regarding CLOV stock, just jumping onto the long side of a heavily shorted security doesn’t guarantee profitability. Heck, it doesn’t even guarantee hurting the Wall Street hedge funds that are in everyone’s crosshairs lately.</p>\n<p>If it were that easy to be a successful trader, everybody would do it. You know all those trading books and subscription services? Yeah, they wouldn’t exist because you can fit the directive on a <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POST\">Post</a>-it Note (and I’m talking about the miniature variety): When they go short, you go long.</p>\n<p>Unfortunately, it’s not that easy. With CLOV stock, you should really consult the underlying company’s own documents — the primary source if you will — before making a decision.</p>\n<p>Interestingly, in Clover Health’sForm 10-Q filingwith the Securities and Exchange Commission, the company cites its key strength as follows:</p>\n<blockquote>\n We call our plans “Obvious” because we believe they are highly affordable — offering most of our members the lowest average out-of-pocket costs for primary care physician (“PCP”) co-pays, specialist co-pays, drug deductibles and drug costs in their markets—and provide wide network access and the same cost-sharing (co-pays and deductibles) for physicians who are in- and out-of-network. By empowering physicians with data-driven, personalized insights at the point of care through our software platform, we believe we can improve clinical decision-making and viably offer these “Obvious” plans at scale, through an asset-light approach.\n</blockquote>\n<p>Certainly, it’s obvious why someone would choose Clover Health. Money doesn’t fall out of the sky and controlling costs is vital when you’re living on a fixed income. However, somebody has to provide this service — and Clover isn’t doing a great job of it… or, at least in managing the costs of providing it.</p>\n<p>Over the last year-and-a-half, the company’s operating losses have been widening despite increasing memberships, which is something that seasoned investors will watch closely.</p>\n<p><b>Sometimes, Shorted Stocks Are That Way for a Reason</b></p>\n<p>While the optics of people shorting health insurance providers — particularly for those on Medicare — are understandably unsavory, I think prospective bullish speculators should consider the bigger picture. At some point, if Clover doesn’t generate profits, the business will fail. And grandma will have to look for another solution then.</p>\n<p>In a way, bears are the great white sharks of the market. While the media focuses on the titillating narrative of shark attacks, these apex predators’ main job is to control maritime ecology, primarily through eating sick and dying sea life. Without them, the balance of life in the deep waters would be completely out of whack, potentially causing problems for everything else.</p>\n<p>That’s what is going on with CLOV stock. Obviously, I can’t say for certain that Clover Health is an ailing company. But that’s what the bears are speculating on — and they have every right to do so, just like you have the right to think and act differently.</p>\n<p>Therefore, it’s better to throw away the morality argument because it clouds the main point. It boils down to which side has the better argument. Unless management has an answer to the free lunch problem, it’s hard to argue against the bears’ reasoning.</p>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Clover Health Might Drag Due to the ‘Free Lunch’ Problem</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nClover Health Might Drag Due to the ‘Free Lunch’ Problem\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-23 19:25 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://investorplace.com/2021/07/clov-stock-might-drag-free-lunch-problem/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>CLOV stock is a feel-good story but economics matter, too.\n\nPresumably, most of us as children have had at least one experience where we joyously marveled at the concept of giveaway events, only to ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/07/clov-stock-might-drag-free-lunch-problem/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CLOV":"Clover Health Corp"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2021/07/clov-stock-might-drag-free-lunch-problem/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1131589883","content_text":"CLOV stock is a feel-good story but economics matter, too.\n\nPresumably, most of us as children have had at least one experience where we joyously marveled at the concept of giveaway events, only to have our parents teach us that there’s no such thing as a free lunch: somebody always pays. Clover Health Corp is an excellent reminder of this truism. While CLOV stock appeals to our heartstrings, the economics still matter.\nSource: Shutterstock\nAs the company proudly proclaims on its website, “Clover Health is Medicare done differently.” A specialist health insurance provider which offers low-to-zero cost premiums combined with low co-pays and prescription drug costs, the company is a godsend for those seeking affordable healthcare solutions. Although I can’t prove it, I believe this sentiment of providing positive services to the public emboldens CLOV stock bulls in their battle against the bears.\nIf you think about it, you can see why this narrative is so appealing. I mean, what kind of monster would want to short a company that’s providing grandma with her arthritis medicine for a dollar or two less? Further, the morality play in other meme stocks is evident, with many folks jumping on the bandwagon because they remembered the pain the Great Recession caused their parents. This is a way for the little guys to get back at Wall Street.\nSo, it wouldn’t be surprising that the same sentiment drives CLOV stock. In fact,social media-based hype drove shares higher previously, so the concept isn’t anything new. Essentially, if the bears are shorting it, CLOV bulls will go long, attempting to spark a short squeeze.\nI’ve discussed the mechanics of the short-squeeze tactic a few times before but the basic idea is that bears potentially face unlimited risk since there’s no limit to how high a stock can go. By taking the opposite trade, speculators can make substantial profits — but by no means is this a guarantee.\nCLOV Stock Is Running Itself Dry\nAnother aphorism that we all learned as kids is if something is too good to be true, it usually is. Regarding CLOV stock, just jumping onto the long side of a heavily shorted security doesn’t guarantee profitability. Heck, it doesn’t even guarantee hurting the Wall Street hedge funds that are in everyone’s crosshairs lately.\nIf it were that easy to be a successful trader, everybody would do it. You know all those trading books and subscription services? Yeah, they wouldn’t exist because you can fit the directive on a Post-it Note (and I’m talking about the miniature variety): When they go short, you go long.\nUnfortunately, it’s not that easy. With CLOV stock, you should really consult the underlying company’s own documents — the primary source if you will — before making a decision.\nInterestingly, in Clover Health’sForm 10-Q filingwith the Securities and Exchange Commission, the company cites its key strength as follows:\n\n We call our plans “Obvious” because we believe they are highly affordable — offering most of our members the lowest average out-of-pocket costs for primary care physician (“PCP”) co-pays, specialist co-pays, drug deductibles and drug costs in their markets—and provide wide network access and the same cost-sharing (co-pays and deductibles) for physicians who are in- and out-of-network. By empowering physicians with data-driven, personalized insights at the point of care through our software platform, we believe we can improve clinical decision-making and viably offer these “Obvious” plans at scale, through an asset-light approach.\n\nCertainly, it’s obvious why someone would choose Clover Health. Money doesn’t fall out of the sky and controlling costs is vital when you’re living on a fixed income. However, somebody has to provide this service — and Clover isn’t doing a great job of it… or, at least in managing the costs of providing it.\nOver the last year-and-a-half, the company’s operating losses have been widening despite increasing memberships, which is something that seasoned investors will watch closely.\nSometimes, Shorted Stocks Are That Way for a Reason\nWhile the optics of people shorting health insurance providers — particularly for those on Medicare — are understandably unsavory, I think prospective bullish speculators should consider the bigger picture. At some point, if Clover doesn’t generate profits, the business will fail. And grandma will have to look for another solution then.\nIn a way, bears are the great white sharks of the market. While the media focuses on the titillating narrative of shark attacks, these apex predators’ main job is to control maritime ecology, primarily through eating sick and dying sea life. Without them, the balance of life in the deep waters would be completely out of whack, potentially causing problems for everything else.\nThat’s what is going on with CLOV stock. Obviously, I can’t say for certain that Clover Health is an ailing company. But that’s what the bears are speculating on — and they have every right to do so, just like you have the right to think and act differently.\nTherefore, it’s better to throw away the morality argument because it clouds the main point. It boils down to which side has the better argument. Unless management has an answer to the free lunch problem, it’s hard to argue against the bears’ reasoning.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":372,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":172923743,"gmtCreate":1626928672482,"gmtModify":1703480783260,"author":{"id":"3586775290774178","authorId":"3586775290774178","name":"Jklya","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b4e775fb0c4b7c8e2f2396397c6c1d9","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586775290774178","idStr":"3586775290774178"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Appl a buy now?","listText":"Appl a buy now?","text":"Appl a buy now?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/172923743","repostId":"1170597291","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":447,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":176661659,"gmtCreate":1626880476071,"gmtModify":1703479919413,"author":{"id":"3586775290774178","authorId":"3586775290774178","name":"Jklya","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b4e775fb0c4b7c8e2f2396397c6c1d9","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586775290774178","idStr":"3586775290774178"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Winning","listText":"Winning","text":"Winning","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/176661659","repostId":"1107219983","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1107219983","pubTimestamp":1626858926,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1107219983?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-21 17:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Here Is The One-Word Reason Why JPMorgan Just Raised Its S&P Target To 4,600","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1107219983","media":"zerohedge","summary":"Mid-cycle?Late-cycle? Nope: according to the latest note published overnight from JPMorgan head glob","content":"<p>Mid-cycle?Late-cycle? Nope: according to the latest note published overnight from JPMorgan head global equity strategist Dubravko Lakos-Bujas, \"even though equity leadership and bonds are trading as if the global economy is entering late cycle,<b>our research suggests the recovery is still in early-cycle</b>and gradually transitioning towards mid-cycle.\" And echoing his JPM colleague and fellow Croat, Marko Kolanovic, who yesterdayadvised clients to stop freaking out about the delta variant(advise which markets are taking to heart today), Dubravko writes that the largest commercial bank remains \"constructive on equities and see the latest round of growth and slowdown fears premature and overblown.\"</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/52b0923c42b8b316b85e56a776fa3337\" tg-width=\"1132\" tg-height=\"1215\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Elaborating on why he is sanguine about the current Delta case breakout, Lakos-Bujas writes that \"we remain of the view that this latest wave will not derail the broader reopening process. While cases have gone up, deaths / hospitalizations remain low and stable due to broadening vaccination rollout and self-immunity from prior waves.\"</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d396ca943f750f3a3bcb38e01a53cbdf\" tg-width=\"772\" tg-height=\"546\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">The strategist then argues that \"reopening of the economy is not an event but rather a process, which in our opinion is still not priced-in, and especially not now given recent market moves. For instance, an increasing number of reopening stocks are now down 30-50% from 1Q21 highs (i.e. travel, cruise lines, oil) and some have reversed back to last year June levels when COVID-19 uncertainty and economic setup were vastly worse than today.\"</p>\n<p>Given the above, JPM sees \"increasingly compelling\" risk/reward for the reopening theme, which can be expressed through Consumer Recovery (JPAMCONR &lt;Index&gt;), Domestic Recovery (JPAMCRDB &lt;Index&gt;) and International Recovery (JPAMCRIB &lt;Index&gt;) baskets, see Fig 1.\" Additionally, JPm argues that global mobility remains nascent and its normalization will continue to release pent-up demand, while tight inventories and new orders bode positively for global growth.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc9c52172685e208ffe19abe53233205\" tg-width=\"958\" tg-height=\"959\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Combining all this bullishness,<b>the JPM equity strategist is revising his EPS estimates higher by an additional $5 to $205 for 2021 and raises the bank's long-held 2021 year-end price target of 4,400 to 4,600, due to the following considerations:</b></p>\n<blockquote>\n At a thematic/sector level, the risk/reward for reopening stocks has improved significantly with the recent pullback creating many unusually attractive opportunities for investors to re-enter various parts of the cyclical cohort. Consumer Discretionary (i.e. Retail, Travel &amp; Leisure), Semis, Banks and Energy are strong buys at current levels. For instance,\n <b>large-cap Energy is now trading at a ~10% FCF yield and a &gt;8% FCF/EV yield at $70 Brent in 2022, with leverage that is &lt;1x</b>. The sector has increasing potential for a sharp short squeeze and move higher, given its extreme disconnect from oil fundamentals (i.e. widest in 30+ years, Figure 10). In addition, our Semiconductor research argues that we are only 30-40% of the way into&nbsp; the current semiconductor upcycle and expect strong Y/Y growth into next year with positive EPS revisions for the next 3-4 quarters. Supply will likely remain tight into 2022, while demand remains strong (20-40% above companies’ ability to supply), thus this supply demand imbalance will persist through 2021. Although customers are responding to tight supply with higher than needed orders, ongoing supply tightness is limiting fulfillment. In fact, JPM expects channel and customer inventories to decline Q/Q again in the just completed June quarter.\n</blockquote>\n<p>Looking at the fundamentals, JPM predicts that S&amp;P 500 gains should also be supported by strong earnings growth and capital return until 2023,<b>and is why JPM is adjusting its above consensus S&amp;P 500 EPS by another $5 for 2022 to $230 (consensus $214) and 2023 to $250 (consensus $233).</b></p>\n<blockquote>\n This revision is largely due to global reopening which is delayed and bound to release further pent-up demand, inventory replenishment, rising profitability for Energy companies, and ongoing policy actions (childcare, infrastructure, etc). We expect cumulative revenue growth of ~30% by 2023 relative to pre-COVID (FY 2019), ~150bp net income margin expansion to a record high at over 13%, and gross buybacks nearing an annual pace of ~$1t during this period.\n</blockquote>\n<p>While all sectors are expected to contribute to earnings growth, JPM expects reflation sensitive sectors (Commodities, Financials, Industrials) and Consumer to do the heaviest lifting in the coming quarters in terms of beats and revisions.</p>\n<p>Putting it all together, Lakos-Bujas says that \"<b>considering this outlook for earnings and shareholder return, we are raising our Price Target to 4,600 for year-end 2021.\"</b></p>\n<p>But while any first year strategist can goalseek a fundamentally bullish narrative and chart it, as JPM has done below...</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/41e87174356d968c69893caff66745e0\" tg-width=\"1072\" tg-height=\"1304\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">... there is a very specific reason behind JPM's bullish reversal:<b>the coming surge in buybacks which will result in a boom in shareholder returns,</b>or as Dubravko notes, \"corporates have already increased gross buybacks from pandemic era low of $525b (trailing twelve months as of 1Q21) to an annualized run rate of ~$775b YTD and should surpass previous record of ~$850b (as of 1Q19).\"</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b09d295af263e87277eaffbda47bb7c\" tg-width=\"1076\" tg-height=\"435\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">In practical terms, JPM expects a sharp drop in the S&amp;P's share count in the next 24 months as the buyback-facilitated slow-motion LBO continues.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae94ad29f188e3aac5cdf92b9df65fc3\" tg-width=\"1048\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Some more details below on the one biggest catalyst behind JPM's SPX price target hike:</p>\n<blockquote>\n <b>Expecting a boom in shareholder return led by buybacks.</b>Buybacks are reemerging as a key theme with net buyback activity significantly improving this year after bottoming in 2Q20. Corporate buyback announcements, typically a leading indicator of buyback execution activity and corporate confidence, have already well-exceeded 2020 levels ($431B YTD vs. $307B 2020, see Figure 25). In fact,\n <b>the rebound in announcement activity is similar to the surge post-TCJA (see Figure 23) which is tracking towards and it is likely to easily surpass ~$650B by year-end and likely to see rolling 12-month announcements surpass prior record level of ~$1T.</b>Historically, buyback announcements have been concentrated within Technology and Financials. However, YTD we are seeing strong announcement activity from Communications as well (driven by GOOGL ~$50B in Apr). As a reminder, ~$90B of Tech’s $133B in announcements YTD is supported by AAPL and ~$25B of Financials' ~$92B is supported by BAC.\n</blockquote>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/774d4e9c2550b27c62d10733947c8de4\" tg-width=\"1077\" tg-height=\"384\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">With the June 30th lifting of pandemic era restriction on US Banks,<b>we could see some further pick-up in buyback announcements.</b>Dry powder (i.e. announced repurchase programs not yet executed) levels have been recovering to pre-pandemic levels (~$658B, see Figure 27) as executions have been relatively slower to rebound but should show a material sequential growth in the coming quarters. With record profit margins (~13% in 2022 vs ~11.5% in 2019), bloated cash levels of $2.0T ex-financials (vs. $1.6T pre- COVID), and lower high grade debt yields (JULI at 2.6% now, vs 3.3% prepandemic),<b>we are expecting a boom in buyback activity over the next year.</b>Gross buybacks should surpass the prior executed high of $850b.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/053354e7e2fc9ea74585b437e0d77f78\" tg-width=\"1076\" tg-height=\"415\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">In summary,<i>assuming $875b in buybacks and dividend income of $575 over the next year,</i>JPM calculates that<b>the expected shareholder yield is 3.9%.</b>This, as Dubravko concludes, \"is a significant cross-asset valuation support for equities at a time when 10yr US bonds are yielding 1.2% and $13 trillion of global debt has a negative yield.\"</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Here Is The One-Word Reason Why JPMorgan Just Raised Its S&P Target To 4,600</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHere Is The One-Word Reason Why JPMorgan Just Raised Its S&P Target To 4,600\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-21 17:15 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/here-one-word-reason-why-jpmorgan-just-raised-its-sp-target-4600><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Mid-cycle?Late-cycle? Nope: according to the latest note published overnight from JPMorgan head global equity strategist Dubravko Lakos-Bujas, \"even though equity leadership and bonds are trading as ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/here-one-word-reason-why-jpmorgan-just-raised-its-sp-target-4600\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/here-one-word-reason-why-jpmorgan-just-raised-its-sp-target-4600","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1107219983","content_text":"Mid-cycle?Late-cycle? Nope: according to the latest note published overnight from JPMorgan head global equity strategist Dubravko Lakos-Bujas, \"even though equity leadership and bonds are trading as if the global economy is entering late cycle,our research suggests the recovery is still in early-cycleand gradually transitioning towards mid-cycle.\" And echoing his JPM colleague and fellow Croat, Marko Kolanovic, who yesterdayadvised clients to stop freaking out about the delta variant(advise which markets are taking to heart today), Dubravko writes that the largest commercial bank remains \"constructive on equities and see the latest round of growth and slowdown fears premature and overblown.\"\nElaborating on why he is sanguine about the current Delta case breakout, Lakos-Bujas writes that \"we remain of the view that this latest wave will not derail the broader reopening process. While cases have gone up, deaths / hospitalizations remain low and stable due to broadening vaccination rollout and self-immunity from prior waves.\"\nThe strategist then argues that \"reopening of the economy is not an event but rather a process, which in our opinion is still not priced-in, and especially not now given recent market moves. For instance, an increasing number of reopening stocks are now down 30-50% from 1Q21 highs (i.e. travel, cruise lines, oil) and some have reversed back to last year June levels when COVID-19 uncertainty and economic setup were vastly worse than today.\"\nGiven the above, JPM sees \"increasingly compelling\" risk/reward for the reopening theme, which can be expressed through Consumer Recovery (JPAMCONR <Index>), Domestic Recovery (JPAMCRDB <Index>) and International Recovery (JPAMCRIB <Index>) baskets, see Fig 1.\" Additionally, JPm argues that global mobility remains nascent and its normalization will continue to release pent-up demand, while tight inventories and new orders bode positively for global growth.\nCombining all this bullishness,the JPM equity strategist is revising his EPS estimates higher by an additional $5 to $205 for 2021 and raises the bank's long-held 2021 year-end price target of 4,400 to 4,600, due to the following considerations:\n\n At a thematic/sector level, the risk/reward for reopening stocks has improved significantly with the recent pullback creating many unusually attractive opportunities for investors to re-enter various parts of the cyclical cohort. Consumer Discretionary (i.e. Retail, Travel & Leisure), Semis, Banks and Energy are strong buys at current levels. For instance,\n large-cap Energy is now trading at a ~10% FCF yield and a >8% FCF/EV yield at $70 Brent in 2022, with leverage that is <1x. The sector has increasing potential for a sharp short squeeze and move higher, given its extreme disconnect from oil fundamentals (i.e. widest in 30+ years, Figure 10). In addition, our Semiconductor research argues that we are only 30-40% of the way into  the current semiconductor upcycle and expect strong Y/Y growth into next year with positive EPS revisions for the next 3-4 quarters. Supply will likely remain tight into 2022, while demand remains strong (20-40% above companies’ ability to supply), thus this supply demand imbalance will persist through 2021. Although customers are responding to tight supply with higher than needed orders, ongoing supply tightness is limiting fulfillment. In fact, JPM expects channel and customer inventories to decline Q/Q again in the just completed June quarter.\n\nLooking at the fundamentals, JPM predicts that S&P 500 gains should also be supported by strong earnings growth and capital return until 2023,and is why JPM is adjusting its above consensus S&P 500 EPS by another $5 for 2022 to $230 (consensus $214) and 2023 to $250 (consensus $233).\n\n This revision is largely due to global reopening which is delayed and bound to release further pent-up demand, inventory replenishment, rising profitability for Energy companies, and ongoing policy actions (childcare, infrastructure, etc). We expect cumulative revenue growth of ~30% by 2023 relative to pre-COVID (FY 2019), ~150bp net income margin expansion to a record high at over 13%, and gross buybacks nearing an annual pace of ~$1t during this period.\n\nWhile all sectors are expected to contribute to earnings growth, JPM expects reflation sensitive sectors (Commodities, Financials, Industrials) and Consumer to do the heaviest lifting in the coming quarters in terms of beats and revisions.\nPutting it all together, Lakos-Bujas says that \"considering this outlook for earnings and shareholder return, we are raising our Price Target to 4,600 for year-end 2021.\"\nBut while any first year strategist can goalseek a fundamentally bullish narrative and chart it, as JPM has done below...\n... there is a very specific reason behind JPM's bullish reversal:the coming surge in buybacks which will result in a boom in shareholder returns,or as Dubravko notes, \"corporates have already increased gross buybacks from pandemic era low of $525b (trailing twelve months as of 1Q21) to an annualized run rate of ~$775b YTD and should surpass previous record of ~$850b (as of 1Q19).\"\nIn practical terms, JPM expects a sharp drop in the S&P's share count in the next 24 months as the buyback-facilitated slow-motion LBO continues.\nSome more details below on the one biggest catalyst behind JPM's SPX price target hike:\n\nExpecting a boom in shareholder return led by buybacks.Buybacks are reemerging as a key theme with net buyback activity significantly improving this year after bottoming in 2Q20. Corporate buyback announcements, typically a leading indicator of buyback execution activity and corporate confidence, have already well-exceeded 2020 levels ($431B YTD vs. $307B 2020, see Figure 25). In fact,\n the rebound in announcement activity is similar to the surge post-TCJA (see Figure 23) which is tracking towards and it is likely to easily surpass ~$650B by year-end and likely to see rolling 12-month announcements surpass prior record level of ~$1T.Historically, buyback announcements have been concentrated within Technology and Financials. However, YTD we are seeing strong announcement activity from Communications as well (driven by GOOGL ~$50B in Apr). As a reminder, ~$90B of Tech’s $133B in announcements YTD is supported by AAPL and ~$25B of Financials' ~$92B is supported by BAC.\n\nWith the June 30th lifting of pandemic era restriction on US Banks,we could see some further pick-up in buyback announcements.Dry powder (i.e. announced repurchase programs not yet executed) levels have been recovering to pre-pandemic levels (~$658B, see Figure 27) as executions have been relatively slower to rebound but should show a material sequential growth in the coming quarters. With record profit margins (~13% in 2022 vs ~11.5% in 2019), bloated cash levels of $2.0T ex-financials (vs. $1.6T pre- COVID), and lower high grade debt yields (JULI at 2.6% now, vs 3.3% prepandemic),we are expecting a boom in buyback activity over the next year.Gross buybacks should surpass the prior executed high of $850b.\nIn summary,assuming $875b in buybacks and dividend income of $575 over the next year,JPM calculates thatthe expected shareholder yield is 3.9%.This, as Dubravko concludes, \"is a significant cross-asset valuation support for equities at a time when 10yr US bonds are yielding 1.2% and $13 trillion of global debt has a negative yield.\"","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":312,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":176669950,"gmtCreate":1626880386870,"gmtModify":1703479913277,"author":{"id":"3586775290774178","authorId":"3586775290774178","name":"Jklya","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b4e775fb0c4b7c8e2f2396397c6c1d9","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586775290774178","idStr":"3586775290774178"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Stocks rallying?","listText":"Stocks rallying?","text":"Stocks rallying?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/176669950","repostId":"1156292040","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1156292040","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1626880084,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1156292040?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-21 23:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Airline stocks, Cruise Stocks rally continues in morning trading","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1156292040","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(July 21) Airline stocks, Cruise Stocks rally continues in morning trading.\nShares of Carnival  rose","content":"<p>(July&nbsp;21)&nbsp;Airline stocks, Cruise Stocks rally continues in morning trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/552c4c7cf72c26141391a54bd44731bc\" tg-width=\"307\" tg-height=\"364\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>Shares of&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CCL\">Carnival</a> &nbsp;rose&nbsp;over&nbsp;3%&nbsp;in&nbsp;premarket trading,&nbsp;after&nbsp;the company said it plans to resume guest cruise operations across eight of its cruise line brands by the end of 2021. This would bring Carnival's total operating capacity to nearly 75% by the end of 2021.</p>\n<p>A total of 54 ships across AIDA Cruises, Carnival Cruise Line, Costa Cruises, Cunard, Holland America Line, Princess Cruises, P&amp;O Cruises, and Seabourn plan to resume operations by the end of 2021.&nbsp;Carnival Cruise Line plans to return its full fleet to service this year, which would bring a total of 63 ships back to operations in 2021.</p>\n<p>Carnival stock has rebounded 32% over the last year but tumbled in June&nbsp;as it ran into some hurdles with the state of Florida's pushback over COVID-19 vaccine mandates, which Carnival views as important to making passengers feel safe on board.Cruise stockshave come under more selling pressure in July over a recent spike in COVID-19 cases.</p>\n<p>Nonetheless, the updated roadmap on returning to normal operations gives investors some near-term visibility on Carnival's recovery. There seems to be tremendous pent-up demand for people to travel again. Carnival announced in early July that a 40-night winter sun Caribbean cruise on P&amp;O Cruises sold out in the first day.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Airline stocks, Cruise Stocks rally continues in morning trading</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAirline stocks, Cruise Stocks rally continues in morning trading\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-07-21 23:08</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(July&nbsp;21)&nbsp;Airline stocks, Cruise Stocks rally continues in morning trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/552c4c7cf72c26141391a54bd44731bc\" tg-width=\"307\" tg-height=\"364\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>Shares of&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CCL\">Carnival</a> &nbsp;rose&nbsp;over&nbsp;3%&nbsp;in&nbsp;premarket trading,&nbsp;after&nbsp;the company said it plans to resume guest cruise operations across eight of its cruise line brands by the end of 2021. This would bring Carnival's total operating capacity to nearly 75% by the end of 2021.</p>\n<p>A total of 54 ships across AIDA Cruises, Carnival Cruise Line, Costa Cruises, Cunard, Holland America Line, Princess Cruises, P&amp;O Cruises, and Seabourn plan to resume operations by the end of 2021.&nbsp;Carnival Cruise Line plans to return its full fleet to service this year, which would bring a total of 63 ships back to operations in 2021.</p>\n<p>Carnival stock has rebounded 32% over the last year but tumbled in June&nbsp;as it ran into some hurdles with the state of Florida's pushback over COVID-19 vaccine mandates, which Carnival views as important to making passengers feel safe on board.Cruise stockshave come under more selling pressure in July over a recent spike in COVID-19 cases.</p>\n<p>Nonetheless, the updated roadmap on returning to normal operations gives investors some near-term visibility on Carnival's recovery. There seems to be tremendous pent-up demand for people to travel again. Carnival announced in early July that a 40-night winter sun Caribbean cruise on P&amp;O Cruises sold out in the first day.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"RCL":"皇家加勒比邮轮","LUV":"西南航空","CCL":"嘉年华邮轮","AAL":"美国航空","SAVE":"Spirit Airlines","DAL":"达美航空","NCLH":"挪威邮轮","UAL":"联合大陆航空","BA":"波音"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1156292040","content_text":"(July 21) Airline stocks, Cruise Stocks rally continues in morning trading.\nShares of Carnival  rose over 3% in premarket trading, after the company said it plans to resume guest cruise operations across eight of its cruise line brands by the end of 2021. This would bring Carnival's total operating capacity to nearly 75% by the end of 2021.\nA total of 54 ships across AIDA Cruises, Carnival Cruise Line, Costa Cruises, Cunard, Holland America Line, Princess Cruises, P&O Cruises, and Seabourn plan to resume operations by the end of 2021. Carnival Cruise Line plans to return its full fleet to service this year, which would bring a total of 63 ships back to operations in 2021.\nCarnival stock has rebounded 32% over the last year but tumbled in June as it ran into some hurdles with the state of Florida's pushback over COVID-19 vaccine mandates, which Carnival views as important to making passengers feel safe on board.Cruise stockshave come under more selling pressure in July over a recent spike in COVID-19 cases.\nNonetheless, the updated roadmap on returning to normal operations gives investors some near-term visibility on Carnival's recovery. There seems to be tremendous pent-up demand for people to travel again. Carnival announced in early July that a 40-night winter sun Caribbean cruise on P&O Cruises sold out in the first day.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":359,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":176661659,"gmtCreate":1626880476071,"gmtModify":1703479919413,"author":{"id":"3586775290774178","authorId":"3586775290774178","name":"Jklya","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b4e775fb0c4b7c8e2f2396397c6c1d9","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586775290774178","authorIdStr":"3586775290774178"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Winning","listText":"Winning","text":"Winning","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/176661659","repostId":"1107219983","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1107219983","pubTimestamp":1626858926,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1107219983?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-21 17:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Here Is The One-Word Reason Why JPMorgan Just Raised Its S&P Target To 4,600","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1107219983","media":"zerohedge","summary":"Mid-cycle?Late-cycle? Nope: according to the latest note published overnight from JPMorgan head glob","content":"<p>Mid-cycle?Late-cycle? Nope: according to the latest note published overnight from JPMorgan head global equity strategist Dubravko Lakos-Bujas, \"even though equity leadership and bonds are trading as if the global economy is entering late cycle,<b>our research suggests the recovery is still in early-cycle</b>and gradually transitioning towards mid-cycle.\" And echoing his JPM colleague and fellow Croat, Marko Kolanovic, who yesterdayadvised clients to stop freaking out about the delta variant(advise which markets are taking to heart today), Dubravko writes that the largest commercial bank remains \"constructive on equities and see the latest round of growth and slowdown fears premature and overblown.\"</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/52b0923c42b8b316b85e56a776fa3337\" tg-width=\"1132\" tg-height=\"1215\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Elaborating on why he is sanguine about the current Delta case breakout, Lakos-Bujas writes that \"we remain of the view that this latest wave will not derail the broader reopening process. While cases have gone up, deaths / hospitalizations remain low and stable due to broadening vaccination rollout and self-immunity from prior waves.\"</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d396ca943f750f3a3bcb38e01a53cbdf\" tg-width=\"772\" tg-height=\"546\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">The strategist then argues that \"reopening of the economy is not an event but rather a process, which in our opinion is still not priced-in, and especially not now given recent market moves. For instance, an increasing number of reopening stocks are now down 30-50% from 1Q21 highs (i.e. travel, cruise lines, oil) and some have reversed back to last year June levels when COVID-19 uncertainty and economic setup were vastly worse than today.\"</p>\n<p>Given the above, JPM sees \"increasingly compelling\" risk/reward for the reopening theme, which can be expressed through Consumer Recovery (JPAMCONR &lt;Index&gt;), Domestic Recovery (JPAMCRDB &lt;Index&gt;) and International Recovery (JPAMCRIB &lt;Index&gt;) baskets, see Fig 1.\" Additionally, JPm argues that global mobility remains nascent and its normalization will continue to release pent-up demand, while tight inventories and new orders bode positively for global growth.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc9c52172685e208ffe19abe53233205\" tg-width=\"958\" tg-height=\"959\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Combining all this bullishness,<b>the JPM equity strategist is revising his EPS estimates higher by an additional $5 to $205 for 2021 and raises the bank's long-held 2021 year-end price target of 4,400 to 4,600, due to the following considerations:</b></p>\n<blockquote>\n At a thematic/sector level, the risk/reward for reopening stocks has improved significantly with the recent pullback creating many unusually attractive opportunities for investors to re-enter various parts of the cyclical cohort. Consumer Discretionary (i.e. Retail, Travel &amp; Leisure), Semis, Banks and Energy are strong buys at current levels. For instance,\n <b>large-cap Energy is now trading at a ~10% FCF yield and a &gt;8% FCF/EV yield at $70 Brent in 2022, with leverage that is &lt;1x</b>. The sector has increasing potential for a sharp short squeeze and move higher, given its extreme disconnect from oil fundamentals (i.e. widest in 30+ years, Figure 10). In addition, our Semiconductor research argues that we are only 30-40% of the way into&nbsp; the current semiconductor upcycle and expect strong Y/Y growth into next year with positive EPS revisions for the next 3-4 quarters. Supply will likely remain tight into 2022, while demand remains strong (20-40% above companies’ ability to supply), thus this supply demand imbalance will persist through 2021. Although customers are responding to tight supply with higher than needed orders, ongoing supply tightness is limiting fulfillment. In fact, JPM expects channel and customer inventories to decline Q/Q again in the just completed June quarter.\n</blockquote>\n<p>Looking at the fundamentals, JPM predicts that S&amp;P 500 gains should also be supported by strong earnings growth and capital return until 2023,<b>and is why JPM is adjusting its above consensus S&amp;P 500 EPS by another $5 for 2022 to $230 (consensus $214) and 2023 to $250 (consensus $233).</b></p>\n<blockquote>\n This revision is largely due to global reopening which is delayed and bound to release further pent-up demand, inventory replenishment, rising profitability for Energy companies, and ongoing policy actions (childcare, infrastructure, etc). We expect cumulative revenue growth of ~30% by 2023 relative to pre-COVID (FY 2019), ~150bp net income margin expansion to a record high at over 13%, and gross buybacks nearing an annual pace of ~$1t during this period.\n</blockquote>\n<p>While all sectors are expected to contribute to earnings growth, JPM expects reflation sensitive sectors (Commodities, Financials, Industrials) and Consumer to do the heaviest lifting in the coming quarters in terms of beats and revisions.</p>\n<p>Putting it all together, Lakos-Bujas says that \"<b>considering this outlook for earnings and shareholder return, we are raising our Price Target to 4,600 for year-end 2021.\"</b></p>\n<p>But while any first year strategist can goalseek a fundamentally bullish narrative and chart it, as JPM has done below...</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/41e87174356d968c69893caff66745e0\" tg-width=\"1072\" tg-height=\"1304\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">... there is a very specific reason behind JPM's bullish reversal:<b>the coming surge in buybacks which will result in a boom in shareholder returns,</b>or as Dubravko notes, \"corporates have already increased gross buybacks from pandemic era low of $525b (trailing twelve months as of 1Q21) to an annualized run rate of ~$775b YTD and should surpass previous record of ~$850b (as of 1Q19).\"</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b09d295af263e87277eaffbda47bb7c\" tg-width=\"1076\" tg-height=\"435\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">In practical terms, JPM expects a sharp drop in the S&amp;P's share count in the next 24 months as the buyback-facilitated slow-motion LBO continues.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae94ad29f188e3aac5cdf92b9df65fc3\" tg-width=\"1048\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Some more details below on the one biggest catalyst behind JPM's SPX price target hike:</p>\n<blockquote>\n <b>Expecting a boom in shareholder return led by buybacks.</b>Buybacks are reemerging as a key theme with net buyback activity significantly improving this year after bottoming in 2Q20. Corporate buyback announcements, typically a leading indicator of buyback execution activity and corporate confidence, have already well-exceeded 2020 levels ($431B YTD vs. $307B 2020, see Figure 25). In fact,\n <b>the rebound in announcement activity is similar to the surge post-TCJA (see Figure 23) which is tracking towards and it is likely to easily surpass ~$650B by year-end and likely to see rolling 12-month announcements surpass prior record level of ~$1T.</b>Historically, buyback announcements have been concentrated within Technology and Financials. However, YTD we are seeing strong announcement activity from Communications as well (driven by GOOGL ~$50B in Apr). As a reminder, ~$90B of Tech’s $133B in announcements YTD is supported by AAPL and ~$25B of Financials' ~$92B is supported by BAC.\n</blockquote>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/774d4e9c2550b27c62d10733947c8de4\" tg-width=\"1077\" tg-height=\"384\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">With the June 30th lifting of pandemic era restriction on US Banks,<b>we could see some further pick-up in buyback announcements.</b>Dry powder (i.e. announced repurchase programs not yet executed) levels have been recovering to pre-pandemic levels (~$658B, see Figure 27) as executions have been relatively slower to rebound but should show a material sequential growth in the coming quarters. With record profit margins (~13% in 2022 vs ~11.5% in 2019), bloated cash levels of $2.0T ex-financials (vs. $1.6T pre- COVID), and lower high grade debt yields (JULI at 2.6% now, vs 3.3% prepandemic),<b>we are expecting a boom in buyback activity over the next year.</b>Gross buybacks should surpass the prior executed high of $850b.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/053354e7e2fc9ea74585b437e0d77f78\" tg-width=\"1076\" tg-height=\"415\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">In summary,<i>assuming $875b in buybacks and dividend income of $575 over the next year,</i>JPM calculates that<b>the expected shareholder yield is 3.9%.</b>This, as Dubravko concludes, \"is a significant cross-asset valuation support for equities at a time when 10yr US bonds are yielding 1.2% and $13 trillion of global debt has a negative yield.\"</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Here Is The One-Word Reason Why JPMorgan Just Raised Its S&P Target To 4,600</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHere Is The One-Word Reason Why JPMorgan Just Raised Its S&P Target To 4,600\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-21 17:15 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/here-one-word-reason-why-jpmorgan-just-raised-its-sp-target-4600><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Mid-cycle?Late-cycle? Nope: according to the latest note published overnight from JPMorgan head global equity strategist Dubravko Lakos-Bujas, \"even though equity leadership and bonds are trading as ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/here-one-word-reason-why-jpmorgan-just-raised-its-sp-target-4600\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/here-one-word-reason-why-jpmorgan-just-raised-its-sp-target-4600","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1107219983","content_text":"Mid-cycle?Late-cycle? Nope: according to the latest note published overnight from JPMorgan head global equity strategist Dubravko Lakos-Bujas, \"even though equity leadership and bonds are trading as if the global economy is entering late cycle,our research suggests the recovery is still in early-cycleand gradually transitioning towards mid-cycle.\" And echoing his JPM colleague and fellow Croat, Marko Kolanovic, who yesterdayadvised clients to stop freaking out about the delta variant(advise which markets are taking to heart today), Dubravko writes that the largest commercial bank remains \"constructive on equities and see the latest round of growth and slowdown fears premature and overblown.\"\nElaborating on why he is sanguine about the current Delta case breakout, Lakos-Bujas writes that \"we remain of the view that this latest wave will not derail the broader reopening process. While cases have gone up, deaths / hospitalizations remain low and stable due to broadening vaccination rollout and self-immunity from prior waves.\"\nThe strategist then argues that \"reopening of the economy is not an event but rather a process, which in our opinion is still not priced-in, and especially not now given recent market moves. For instance, an increasing number of reopening stocks are now down 30-50% from 1Q21 highs (i.e. travel, cruise lines, oil) and some have reversed back to last year June levels when COVID-19 uncertainty and economic setup were vastly worse than today.\"\nGiven the above, JPM sees \"increasingly compelling\" risk/reward for the reopening theme, which can be expressed through Consumer Recovery (JPAMCONR <Index>), Domestic Recovery (JPAMCRDB <Index>) and International Recovery (JPAMCRIB <Index>) baskets, see Fig 1.\" Additionally, JPm argues that global mobility remains nascent and its normalization will continue to release pent-up demand, while tight inventories and new orders bode positively for global growth.\nCombining all this bullishness,the JPM equity strategist is revising his EPS estimates higher by an additional $5 to $205 for 2021 and raises the bank's long-held 2021 year-end price target of 4,400 to 4,600, due to the following considerations:\n\n At a thematic/sector level, the risk/reward for reopening stocks has improved significantly with the recent pullback creating many unusually attractive opportunities for investors to re-enter various parts of the cyclical cohort. Consumer Discretionary (i.e. Retail, Travel & Leisure), Semis, Banks and Energy are strong buys at current levels. For instance,\n large-cap Energy is now trading at a ~10% FCF yield and a >8% FCF/EV yield at $70 Brent in 2022, with leverage that is <1x. The sector has increasing potential for a sharp short squeeze and move higher, given its extreme disconnect from oil fundamentals (i.e. widest in 30+ years, Figure 10). In addition, our Semiconductor research argues that we are only 30-40% of the way into  the current semiconductor upcycle and expect strong Y/Y growth into next year with positive EPS revisions for the next 3-4 quarters. Supply will likely remain tight into 2022, while demand remains strong (20-40% above companies’ ability to supply), thus this supply demand imbalance will persist through 2021. Although customers are responding to tight supply with higher than needed orders, ongoing supply tightness is limiting fulfillment. In fact, JPM expects channel and customer inventories to decline Q/Q again in the just completed June quarter.\n\nLooking at the fundamentals, JPM predicts that S&P 500 gains should also be supported by strong earnings growth and capital return until 2023,and is why JPM is adjusting its above consensus S&P 500 EPS by another $5 for 2022 to $230 (consensus $214) and 2023 to $250 (consensus $233).\n\n This revision is largely due to global reopening which is delayed and bound to release further pent-up demand, inventory replenishment, rising profitability for Energy companies, and ongoing policy actions (childcare, infrastructure, etc). We expect cumulative revenue growth of ~30% by 2023 relative to pre-COVID (FY 2019), ~150bp net income margin expansion to a record high at over 13%, and gross buybacks nearing an annual pace of ~$1t during this period.\n\nWhile all sectors are expected to contribute to earnings growth, JPM expects reflation sensitive sectors (Commodities, Financials, Industrials) and Consumer to do the heaviest lifting in the coming quarters in terms of beats and revisions.\nPutting it all together, Lakos-Bujas says that \"considering this outlook for earnings and shareholder return, we are raising our Price Target to 4,600 for year-end 2021.\"\nBut while any first year strategist can goalseek a fundamentally bullish narrative and chart it, as JPM has done below...\n... there is a very specific reason behind JPM's bullish reversal:the coming surge in buybacks which will result in a boom in shareholder returns,or as Dubravko notes, \"corporates have already increased gross buybacks from pandemic era low of $525b (trailing twelve months as of 1Q21) to an annualized run rate of ~$775b YTD and should surpass previous record of ~$850b (as of 1Q19).\"\nIn practical terms, JPM expects a sharp drop in the S&P's share count in the next 24 months as the buyback-facilitated slow-motion LBO continues.\nSome more details below on the one biggest catalyst behind JPM's SPX price target hike:\n\nExpecting a boom in shareholder return led by buybacks.Buybacks are reemerging as a key theme with net buyback activity significantly improving this year after bottoming in 2Q20. Corporate buyback announcements, typically a leading indicator of buyback execution activity and corporate confidence, have already well-exceeded 2020 levels ($431B YTD vs. $307B 2020, see Figure 25). In fact,\n the rebound in announcement activity is similar to the surge post-TCJA (see Figure 23) which is tracking towards and it is likely to easily surpass ~$650B by year-end and likely to see rolling 12-month announcements surpass prior record level of ~$1T.Historically, buyback announcements have been concentrated within Technology and Financials. However, YTD we are seeing strong announcement activity from Communications as well (driven by GOOGL ~$50B in Apr). As a reminder, ~$90B of Tech’s $133B in announcements YTD is supported by AAPL and ~$25B of Financials' ~$92B is supported by BAC.\n\nWith the June 30th lifting of pandemic era restriction on US Banks,we could see some further pick-up in buyback announcements.Dry powder (i.e. announced repurchase programs not yet executed) levels have been recovering to pre-pandemic levels (~$658B, see Figure 27) as executions have been relatively slower to rebound but should show a material sequential growth in the coming quarters. With record profit margins (~13% in 2022 vs ~11.5% in 2019), bloated cash levels of $2.0T ex-financials (vs. $1.6T pre- COVID), and lower high grade debt yields (JULI at 2.6% now, vs 3.3% prepandemic),we are expecting a boom in buyback activity over the next year.Gross buybacks should surpass the prior executed high of $850b.\nIn summary,assuming $875b in buybacks and dividend income of $575 over the next year,JPM calculates thatthe expected shareholder yield is 3.9%.This, as Dubravko concludes, \"is a significant cross-asset valuation support for equities at a time when 10yr US bonds are yielding 1.2% and $13 trillion of global debt has a negative yield.\"","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":312,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":176669950,"gmtCreate":1626880386870,"gmtModify":1703479913277,"author":{"id":"3586775290774178","authorId":"3586775290774178","name":"Jklya","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b4e775fb0c4b7c8e2f2396397c6c1d9","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586775290774178","authorIdStr":"3586775290774178"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Stocks rallying?","listText":"Stocks rallying?","text":"Stocks rallying?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/176669950","repostId":"1156292040","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":359,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":175599258,"gmtCreate":1627039689674,"gmtModify":1703482995533,"author":{"id":"3586775290774178","authorId":"3586775290774178","name":"Jklya","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b4e775fb0c4b7c8e2f2396397c6c1d9","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586775290774178","authorIdStr":"3586775290774178"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Not bad","listText":"Not bad","text":"Not bad","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/175599258","repostId":"1131589883","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":372,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":800456400,"gmtCreate":1627313936800,"gmtModify":1703487513510,"author":{"id":"3586775290774178","authorId":"3586775290774178","name":"Jklya","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b4e775fb0c4b7c8e2f2396397c6c1d9","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586775290774178","authorIdStr":"3586775290774178"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wassupp","listText":"Wassupp","text":"Wassupp","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/800456400","repostId":"1134886568","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1134886568","pubTimestamp":1627309058,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1134886568?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-26 22:17","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Here’s what every major analyst expects from Tesla’s second-quarter earnings report","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1134886568","media":"CNBC","summary":"Tesla shares have underperformed this year, but Wall Street analysts will be paying close attention ","content":"<div>\n<p>Tesla shares have underperformed this year, but Wall Street analysts will be paying close attention to the electric vehicle maker’s second-quarter earnings call Monday for news that could send the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/26/what-every-major-analyst-expects-from-teslas-second-quarter-earnings.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"cnbc_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Here’s what every major analyst expects from Tesla’s second-quarter earnings report</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHere’s what every major analyst expects from Tesla’s second-quarter earnings report\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-26 22:17 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/26/what-every-major-analyst-expects-from-teslas-second-quarter-earnings.html><strong>CNBC</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Tesla shares have underperformed this year, but Wall Street analysts will be paying close attention to the electric vehicle maker’s second-quarter earnings call Monday for news that could send the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/26/what-every-major-analyst-expects-from-teslas-second-quarter-earnings.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/26/what-every-major-analyst-expects-from-teslas-second-quarter-earnings.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/72bb72e1b84c09fca865c6dcb1bbcd16","article_id":"1134886568","content_text":"Tesla shares have underperformed this year, but Wall Street analysts will be paying close attention to the electric vehicle maker’s second-quarter earnings call Monday for news that could send the stock higher.\nThe stock is down more than 7% in 2021 and about 27% off its 52-week high notched in January.\nAutomakers across the industry faced higher input costs due to supply shortages, and Tesla was no exception. The company raised prices to offset increased costs.\nDespite the supply chain headwinds, Tesla earlier in July announced 201,250 vehicle deliveries in the second quarter— the first time the electric vehicle maker crossed the 200,000 level in a three-month period.\nThe strong delivery figure provided Wall Street analysts with a foundation going into second-quarter earnings as they look for insights into the company’s key business areas.\n“This seems to be shaping up to be a relatively unexciting financial earnings report for TSLA. The fireworks seem to be more focused on the commentary and updates Tesla provides on the call,” RBC Capital Markets’ Joseph Spak said.\nHere’s what analysts expect from Tesla earnings:\nAnalysts anticipate insight into Tesla’s business in China, a key market for the company. Tesla in the past several months has faced challenges with its brand’s reputation in the country. Most recently in June, China’s vehicle safety authority announced a voluntary recall via software update of about 285,000 Tesla vehicles due to reported issues with driver-assistance systems.\n″[W]e expect Tesla’s upcoming earnings report will also provide investors a status update on the trend in sales in China (following several high profile product quality and customer relations issues in that country during the quarter),” JPMorgan’s Ryan Brinkman wrote.\nTesla’s bitcoin holdings also loom large over the company’s second-quarter earnings report. The cryptocurrency has been volatile, with the price of bitcoin briefly dropping below $30,000in June, butsurging above $39,000 on Monday.\n“The impact of bitcoin will depend on the definition of fair valueat any time. If measured at closing, we see no impairment, but at intraday lows, we see a ~$104m (~$0.09) impairment... Any impairment would be viewed as one-time,” Wells Fargo’s Colin M. Langan said in a note.\nAnalysts additionally are looking for updates regarding Tesla’s full self-driving capability and new manufacturing facilities in Berlin, Germany, and Austin, Texas.\nJPMorgan — Underweight rating\n\n “Beyond the now known trend in deliveries, we expect Tesla’s upcoming earnings report will also provide investors a status update on the trend in sales in China (following several high profile product quality and customer relations issues in that country during the quarter) as well as the Model S Plaid launch in the U.S. We will also be looking for indications as to how Tesla is navigating the current inflationary environment”\n\nWedbush — Outperform rating\n\n “After a Cinderella story ride last year for Tesla (and the bulls), this year shares have underperformed as the trifecta of: 1) increasing EV competition, 2) China PR/safety issues negatively impacting demand, and 3) the chip shortage overhang. With all of these headwinds, Tesla still impressively hit 200k+ deliveries in the June quarter and appear to be on a trajectory to possibly hit 900k for the year with a stronger 2H on the horizon in our opinion.”\n\nCredit Suisse — Neutral rating\n\n “Arguably the most critical item we can learn on the call is updated timing on launch of new capacity, esp. in Europe...[W]e believe the core focus for Tesla in 2021 is capacity expansion, which can help to unlock further volume growth. With expansion in Shanghai, and new facilities in Texas and Berlin, we estimate Tesla will exit 2021 with installed capacity of 1.44mn units vs. 1.05mn currently.”\n\nWells Fargo — Equal weight rating\n\n “The Q2 price increases should more than offset our estimated ~$230/vehicle raw mat headwind. Servicing should again benefit from higher used pricing. The impact of bitcoin will depend on the definition of fair value\n at any time. If measured at closing, we see no impairment, but at intraday lows, we see a ~$104m (~$0.09) impairment... Any impairment would be viewed as one-time.”\n\nBarclays — Underweight rating\n\n ″[R]ather than debate whether [full self-driving] robotaxis are real or not, we drill into those ‘traditional factors’ – and conclude that TSLA may post an earning beat as price increases outweigh likely cost pressures. While we acknowledge the profit improvement from pricing moves in 2Q21, and potential near-term upside to the shares, we believe some of these will dissipate over time and remain stubbornly Underweight on valuation.”\n\nUBS — Neutral rating\n\n “The main positive margin drivers during the quarter were: higher volumes q/q, higher contribution from made-in-China Model Y and price increases in the U.S. and Europe whereas the low contribution from the re-launched Model S & X (which started mid-June) has been a negative driver. … What’s even more relevant to the share price over the next few quarters will be Tesla’s comments during the Q2 call on the timing of the ramp-up in Berlin and Austin, Tesla’s proprietary 4680 battery and the launch of [full self-driving] (the latter two are running behind schedule).”\n\nRBC Capital Markets — Sector perform rating\n\n “This seems to be shaping up to be a relatively unexciting financial earnings report for TSLA. The fireworks seem to be more focused on the commentary and updates Tesla provides on the call. In particular, we are focused on China and [full self-driving]. China remains an increasing and under-appreciated risk in our view.”\n\nOppenheimer — Outperform rating\n\n “With TSLA delivering vehicle volumes largely in line with expectations, we believe there are several areas of significant interest for investors. First, we are looking for indicators of progress on its Berlin and Austin manufacturing capacity. Second, we expect geographic and feature mix along with the ability to pass higher supply chain costs on to consumers to drive margins. Third, we believe upside in shares from here is premised on the successful introduction of incremental self-driving functionality toward full self-driving performance in the urban environment.”\n\nDeutsche Bank — Buy rating\n\n “Mid-term, we continue to believe Tesla’s impressive target trajectory for its battery technology, capacity and especially cost could help accelerate the world’s shift to electric vehicles and extend Tesla’s EV lead considerably. In-house cell manufacturing efforts are well on track, with cells likely to be at target quality by end of this year, and ramp up of its cell capacity to large scale over the next 12-18 months.”\n\nMizuho — Buy rating\n\n ″[W]hile we believe TSLA could see competition from legacy automakers such as VW, Ford and Mercedes, TSLA’s lead remains unchallenged with 1H′21 deliveries up 115% y/ y at 385k units vs VW’s ID.3/4 estimated at ~65-70k. TSLA remained the global BEV market share leader in the MarQ at 24% share, with a vertically integrated battery, software and hardware roadmap.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":385,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":172923743,"gmtCreate":1626928672482,"gmtModify":1703480783260,"author":{"id":"3586775290774178","authorId":"3586775290774178","name":"Jklya","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b4e775fb0c4b7c8e2f2396397c6c1d9","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586775290774178","authorIdStr":"3586775290774178"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Appl a buy now?","listText":"Appl a buy now?","text":"Appl a buy now?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/172923743","repostId":"1170597291","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1170597291","pubTimestamp":1626923172,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1170597291?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-22 11:06","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Planning 5G-Enabled Budget iPhone: Report","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1170597291","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Apple, Inc. is gearing up to launch the next iteration of its iPhone — theiPhone 13— in September, a","content":"<p><b>Apple, Inc.</b>&nbsp;is gearing up to launch the next iteration of its iPhone —&nbsp;theiPhone 13—&nbsp;in September, and analysts are optimistic concerning continued momentum for Cupertino's flagship product.</p>\n<p>It now appears the tech giant is laying&nbsp;the groundwork for a follow-up budget model.</p>\n<p><b>What Happened:</b>Apple's next budget iPhone, which is suffixed \"SE,\"&nbsp;could be launched as early as the first half of 2022, and it will come armed with an in-house A15 processor that is an integral part of premium iPhones, the Nikkei reported.</p>\n<p>The iPhone SE model will have 5G connectivity powered by&nbsp;<b>Qualcomm Incorporated's</b>&nbsp;X60 modem chips, the report said.</p>\n<p>With the planned 5G-enabled iPhone SE, Apple's iPhone portfolio will be complete with a full range of 5G offerings, Nikkei said.</p>\n<p>Apple's budget 5G iPhone, according to the report, will look like a refreshed iPhone 8 version, and have a 4.7-inch liquid crystal diode display as opposed to the OLED displays used in theiPhone 12 lineup.</p>\n<p><b>Why It's Important:</b>The first iPhone SE was released in 2016, and the next budget model came out in April 2020. The iPhone SE released in 2020 was priced at $399.</p>\n<p>The SE version makes iPhones affordable to the low end of the market, benefiting unit sales.</p>\n<p>Apple plans to transition fully to 5G phones in 2021, Nikkei said.</p>\n<p><b>Mini On Its Way Out:</b>Additionally, Apple plans to phase out its iPhone Mini model in 2022&nbsp;given its lack of appeal among users. Instead, the company is likely to release a relatively cost-effective iPhone Pro Max version, according to the report.</p>\n<p>This will keep the iPhone models released in the second half of 2022 at four —&nbsp;two 6.1-inch handsets and two 6.7-inch ones, the report said, citing sources.</p>\n<p>At last check, Apple shares were down 0.53% at $145.37.</p>","source":"lsy1606299360108","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Planning 5G-Enabled Budget iPhone: Report</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Planning 5G-Enabled Budget iPhone: Report\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-22 11:06 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.benzinga.com/tech/21/07/22085978/apple-planning-5g-enabled-budget-iphone-report><strong>Benzinga</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Apple, Inc. is gearing up to launch the next iteration of its iPhone — theiPhone 13— in September, and analysts are optimistic concerning continued momentum for Cupertino's flagship product.\nIt now ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/tech/21/07/22085978/apple-planning-5g-enabled-budget-iphone-report\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果","QCOM":"高通"},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/tech/21/07/22085978/apple-planning-5g-enabled-budget-iphone-report","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1170597291","content_text":"Apple, Inc. is gearing up to launch the next iteration of its iPhone — theiPhone 13— in September, and analysts are optimistic concerning continued momentum for Cupertino's flagship product.\nIt now appears the tech giant is laying the groundwork for a follow-up budget model.\nWhat Happened:Apple's next budget iPhone, which is suffixed \"SE,\" could be launched as early as the first half of 2022, and it will come armed with an in-house A15 processor that is an integral part of premium iPhones, the Nikkei reported.\nThe iPhone SE model will have 5G connectivity powered by Qualcomm Incorporated's X60 modem chips, the report said.\nWith the planned 5G-enabled iPhone SE, Apple's iPhone portfolio will be complete with a full range of 5G offerings, Nikkei said.\nApple's budget 5G iPhone, according to the report, will look like a refreshed iPhone 8 version, and have a 4.7-inch liquid crystal diode display as opposed to the OLED displays used in theiPhone 12 lineup.\nWhy It's Important:The first iPhone SE was released in 2016, and the next budget model came out in April 2020. The iPhone SE released in 2020 was priced at $399.\nThe SE version makes iPhones affordable to the low end of the market, benefiting unit sales.\nApple plans to transition fully to 5G phones in 2021, Nikkei said.\nMini On Its Way Out:Additionally, Apple plans to phase out its iPhone Mini model in 2022 given its lack of appeal among users. Instead, the company is likely to release a relatively cost-effective iPhone Pro Max version, according to the report.\nThis will keep the iPhone models released in the second half of 2022 at four — two 6.1-inch handsets and two 6.7-inch ones, the report said, citing sources.\nAt last check, Apple shares were down 0.53% at $145.37.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":447,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}