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2021-07-30

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Nvidia Stock In 10 Years: What You Should Consider

2021-07-30

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The stock trades, however, at a pretty high valuation, compared to other semiconductor stocks and relative to other growth mega-caps. To some extent, this premium valuation is justified, but it seems logical to assume that total returns will, in the long run, be negatively impacted by multiple compression. Over the next decade, NVIDIA Corporation still has considerable upside potential, even though I assume that its valuation will compress significantly.</p>\n<p><b>Will NVIDIA Stock Continue To Rise?</b></p>\n<p>There are two answers to this question, I believe. In the short term, price action is driven by sentiment, news items, etc. to a large degree, so it is more or less impossible to forecast where the price will be a week, a month, or half a year from now. NVIDIA has a beta of 1.4, which means that, generally, it moves in the same direction as the broad market, but with more pronounced movements. So if the market rises by 10% over the next half-year, one may reasonably assume that NVIDIA will rise by 14% over the same time frame. Since short-term moves in the broad market are largely driven by things like Fed statements, sentiment, worries about the Delta variant, etc. there is a lot of uncertainty for where broad markets and NVIDIA will head over the near future. NVIDIA's current RSI (relative strength index) is 54, which indicates that shares are neither overbought nor oversold today. The current analyst price target, per YCharts, is $194, which is almost perfectly in line with the current share price. Prices could move up or down in the near term, the price target consensus and the RSI paint a mostly neutral picture for now. Shares could continue to climb, but this is far from certain, and I surely wouldn't speculate on significant gains in the near term.</p>\n<p>In the long run, share prices are largely driven by earnings growth and changes in a stock's valuation, thus sentiment or news items are less important when it comes to NVIDIA's share price a decade from now. It is, of course, not possible to forecast the share price exactly, but we can look at scenarios that paint a picture of where shares could be heading. As I am a long-term focused investor and not much of a trader, the question of where NVIDIA will be a decade from now is, I believe, the more important one compared to the question of where NVIDIA will be in September or December.</p>\n<p><b>Where Will NVIDIA Stock Be In 10 Years</b></p>\n<p>Let's start with the note that NVIDIA's performance over the last ten years, a 5,500% gain, will certainly not repeat over the next decade. This would make NVIDIA's market capitalization balloon to<i>$27 trillion</i>, which is absolutely unrealistic, I believe, even for a high-growth company like NVIDIA. Nevertheless, even if future share price gains are less exciting, NVIDIA could still be a very solid investment, as ten-year returns of 5,000%+ are not at all required to make a stock a solid choice.</p>\n<p>Today, NVIDIA trades at 49x this year's expected net profits, which is a rather high valuation, especially for a company with a market cap as large as NVIDIA's. Most other high-growth mega-caps, such as Facebook (FB), Alphabet (GOOG), and Microsoft (MSFT) trade at significantly lower valuations, with earnings multiples around 30. Tesla (TSLA) is even more expensive than NVIDIA, trading at more than 100x this year's net profits, but I believe that this is not a great example of where growth stocks should trade, as I believe that TSLA is&nbsp;significantly overvalued.</p>\n<p>Going back to NVIDIA, we can also look at how the company was valued in the past:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/21096a0f152ce54df29d8bc2e5c8aae6\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"450\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>The 5-year to 10-year median earnings multiples are 29-48 for NVDA, thus it looks like shares are definitely trading on the expensive side today. It should be noted that the growth outlook a couple of years ago, when NVIDIA was significantly smaller, was better than it is today, mainly due to the law of large numbers, which states that maintaining high relative growth rates becomes harder as a company grows in size. The fact that shares are currently trading well above the longer-term median valuation is thus noteworthy, as one might expect that valuations<i>decline</i>as a company matures.</p>\n<p>Compared to other semi stocks, NVIDIA looks relatively expensive as well:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8062ce7784ae57f6f527806ea7c1661\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"501\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>NVIDIA trades at a premium to direct peers such as AMD (AMD) and Intel (INTC), and its stock is also more expensive than that of other large-cap semis such as Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) and Broadcom (AVGO). An above-average valuation does make sense, thanks to NVIDIA's outstanding fundamentals and strong growth rates, but it seems highly doubtful whether the company will continue to trade at almost 50x net profits forever.</p>\n<p>NVIDIA addresses a range of growth markets, such as data centers, gaming equipment, and so on. These markets will continue to grow for the foreseeable future, but they do, of course, not grow by 80% a year forever, which was NVIDIA's top-line growth rate during the&nbsp;most recent quarter. It thus seems very likely that revenue growth will slow down considerably from the current level, even when we assume that NVIDIA will continue to take market share here and there, e.g. in data centers.</p>\n<p>Analysts do thus, not surprisingly, see a considerable slowdown in NVIDIA's business growth in the coming years, even though growth will remain highly attractive for sure:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0145bdde6aebd5b6b694c80e0addfa80\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"506\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Seeking Alpha</span></p>\n<p>Revenue growth of almost 50% this year, and of 11%-16% over the following four years is still pretty attractive for sure, relative to how the average company and the economy are growing. It also seems possible that NVIDIA will beat analyst estimates, delivering somewhat higher growth, as the company has a history of delivering upside estimates -- nine out of the last ten quarterly releases&nbsp;beat estimates&nbsp;on both lines. Even if we assume that analyst estimates are too conservative, it seems relatively logical that they will at least be in the ballpark of where actual results will land -- a revenue growth rate of 80% for the remainder of 2021, or a revenue growth rate of 50% for 2022, is not realistic.</p>\n<p>When we assume that the current revenue estimates for 2025 are too low by ~10%, and that actual revenues will total $45 billion, and that revenues will grow by 10% a year between 2026 and 2031, we get to a 2031 top line of $80 billion. Right now, NVDA's net margin is 34% (most recent quarter), which is outstanding. Operating leverage should lift NVDA's operating margin in the coming years, but on the other hand, NVDA's current tax rate is pretty low at 3% during the most recent quarter. When we assume that tax rates will climb to 10%, this could offset tailwinds from operating margin expansion, thus it is far from guaranteed that NVDA's net margin will rise by a lot. If the net margin stands at 35% in 2031, NVDA would earn about $28 billion in net profits a decade from now. If the share count remains unchanged, that would equate to earnings per share of $11.10. If NVDA were to trade at the same 49x net profits it trades at today, that would lead to a share price of $540, which would equate to total returns of 180%. As mentioned earlier, I believe that multiple compression is likely, due to a range of reasons -- slowing growth, the current premium to the historic median, and the current premium over the broad market and NVDA's peers.</p>\n<p>When we do, thus, assume that the valuation compresses to around 30x net profits, which would be relatively in-line with the 10-year median earnings multiple, then shares would trade at $330 a decade from now. Over the next decade, this would pencil out to returns of a little over 70%, or about 5%-6% a year. NVDA wouldn't be a bad choice in this scenario, but not an outstanding pick, either. We can also look at a somewhat more optimistic scenario where NVDA grows its revenue by 15% a year between 2026 and 2031, in that case, with everything else held constant, NVDA would trade at $430 in 2031, which would allow for total returns of 8%-9% a year from the current price of $195.</p>\n<p>Overall, I thus believe that it is very likely that investors will see gains from the current level in the long run, but those gains will likely be far lower compared to what we have seen in recent years. High-single-digit annual returns seem like a realistic target range from the current, elevated, valuation.</p>\n<p><b>Is NVIDIA A Good Long-Term Investment?</b></p>\n<p>NVIDIA has great fundamentals, a clean balance sheet, strong margins and returns on capital, excellent management, and is in a great position tech-wise. On top of that, NVDA operates in a growing industry that is integral to our way of life. Overall, those are some great reasons to invest in its stock, but there is one additional factor that investors should keep in mind. NVDA's valuation is well above the long-term median, well above the valuations of its peers, and it seems pretty likely that this valuation will eventually compress, as growth will inevitably decline from the current immense 80% year-over-year pace. I would thus say that NVDA is a good long-term investment for sure, but not at every price. At current prices, it seems like a solid long-term investment, but not like a spectacular one. Others that have different growth assumptions or that see a different target earnings multiple 5 or 10 years from now will potentially have a different opinion on that, however.</p>\n<p><b>Is NVIDIA Stock A Good Buy Right Now?</b></p>\n<p>NVIDIA undoubtedly has been a great buy for almost everyone that bought over the last decade, but past returns do not equate to future returns. It is almost guaranteed that returns in the coming years will be significantly lower than what we have seen over the last decade. I believe that returns, in the long run, will be solid, but I do not believe that the current return outlook makes NVDA a screaming buy at current prices. NVDA traded at less than $140 (split-adjusted) a couple of months ago, and at that price, I'd see shares as a way better investment. At $190+, shares are too expensive for me to buy right now, although they can be a solid hold for everyone that bought earlier for sure.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nvidia Stock In 10 Years: What You Should Consider</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNvidia Stock In 10 Years: What You Should Consider\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-30 22:05 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4442717-nvidia-stock-in-10-years-what-you-should-consider><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nNVIDIA Corporation has been an outstanding investment over the last decade, but that will not repeat over the next decade.\nThe company offers strong quality, great management, and has an ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4442717-nvidia-stock-in-10-years-what-you-should-consider\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4442717-nvidia-stock-in-10-years-what-you-should-consider","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1157771608","content_text":"Summary\n\nNVIDIA Corporation has been an outstanding investment over the last decade, but that will not repeat over the next decade.\nThe company offers strong quality, great management, and has an attractive growth outlook, but shares are expensive.\nIn the long run, returns will most likely be solid, but it may be better to wait for a lower price before entering or expanding a position.\n\nAntonio Bordunovi/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nArticle Thesis\nNVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) is one of the best growth mega-caps from a fundamental perspective and when it comes to the company's business growth potential. The stock trades, however, at a pretty high valuation, compared to other semiconductor stocks and relative to other growth mega-caps. To some extent, this premium valuation is justified, but it seems logical to assume that total returns will, in the long run, be negatively impacted by multiple compression. Over the next decade, NVIDIA Corporation still has considerable upside potential, even though I assume that its valuation will compress significantly.\nWill NVIDIA Stock Continue To Rise?\nThere are two answers to this question, I believe. In the short term, price action is driven by sentiment, news items, etc. to a large degree, so it is more or less impossible to forecast where the price will be a week, a month, or half a year from now. NVIDIA has a beta of 1.4, which means that, generally, it moves in the same direction as the broad market, but with more pronounced movements. So if the market rises by 10% over the next half-year, one may reasonably assume that NVIDIA will rise by 14% over the same time frame. Since short-term moves in the broad market are largely driven by things like Fed statements, sentiment, worries about the Delta variant, etc. there is a lot of uncertainty for where broad markets and NVIDIA will head over the near future. NVIDIA's current RSI (relative strength index) is 54, which indicates that shares are neither overbought nor oversold today. The current analyst price target, per YCharts, is $194, which is almost perfectly in line with the current share price. Prices could move up or down in the near term, the price target consensus and the RSI paint a mostly neutral picture for now. Shares could continue to climb, but this is far from certain, and I surely wouldn't speculate on significant gains in the near term.\nIn the long run, share prices are largely driven by earnings growth and changes in a stock's valuation, thus sentiment or news items are less important when it comes to NVIDIA's share price a decade from now. It is, of course, not possible to forecast the share price exactly, but we can look at scenarios that paint a picture of where shares could be heading. As I am a long-term focused investor and not much of a trader, the question of where NVIDIA will be a decade from now is, I believe, the more important one compared to the question of where NVIDIA will be in September or December.\nWhere Will NVIDIA Stock Be In 10 Years\nLet's start with the note that NVIDIA's performance over the last ten years, a 5,500% gain, will certainly not repeat over the next decade. This would make NVIDIA's market capitalization balloon to$27 trillion, which is absolutely unrealistic, I believe, even for a high-growth company like NVIDIA. Nevertheless, even if future share price gains are less exciting, NVIDIA could still be a very solid investment, as ten-year returns of 5,000%+ are not at all required to make a stock a solid choice.\nToday, NVIDIA trades at 49x this year's expected net profits, which is a rather high valuation, especially for a company with a market cap as large as NVIDIA's. Most other high-growth mega-caps, such as Facebook (FB), Alphabet (GOOG), and Microsoft (MSFT) trade at significantly lower valuations, with earnings multiples around 30. Tesla (TSLA) is even more expensive than NVIDIA, trading at more than 100x this year's net profits, but I believe that this is not a great example of where growth stocks should trade, as I believe that TSLA is significantly overvalued.\nGoing back to NVIDIA, we can also look at how the company was valued in the past:\nData by YCharts\nThe 5-year to 10-year median earnings multiples are 29-48 for NVDA, thus it looks like shares are definitely trading on the expensive side today. It should be noted that the growth outlook a couple of years ago, when NVIDIA was significantly smaller, was better than it is today, mainly due to the law of large numbers, which states that maintaining high relative growth rates becomes harder as a company grows in size. The fact that shares are currently trading well above the longer-term median valuation is thus noteworthy, as one might expect that valuationsdeclineas a company matures.\nCompared to other semi stocks, NVIDIA looks relatively expensive as well:\nData by YCharts\nNVIDIA trades at a premium to direct peers such as AMD (AMD) and Intel (INTC), and its stock is also more expensive than that of other large-cap semis such as Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) and Broadcom (AVGO). An above-average valuation does make sense, thanks to NVIDIA's outstanding fundamentals and strong growth rates, but it seems highly doubtful whether the company will continue to trade at almost 50x net profits forever.\nNVIDIA addresses a range of growth markets, such as data centers, gaming equipment, and so on. These markets will continue to grow for the foreseeable future, but they do, of course, not grow by 80% a year forever, which was NVIDIA's top-line growth rate during the most recent quarter. It thus seems very likely that revenue growth will slow down considerably from the current level, even when we assume that NVIDIA will continue to take market share here and there, e.g. in data centers.\nAnalysts do thus, not surprisingly, see a considerable slowdown in NVIDIA's business growth in the coming years, even though growth will remain highly attractive for sure:\nSource: Seeking Alpha\nRevenue growth of almost 50% this year, and of 11%-16% over the following four years is still pretty attractive for sure, relative to how the average company and the economy are growing. It also seems possible that NVIDIA will beat analyst estimates, delivering somewhat higher growth, as the company has a history of delivering upside estimates -- nine out of the last ten quarterly releases beat estimates on both lines. Even if we assume that analyst estimates are too conservative, it seems relatively logical that they will at least be in the ballpark of where actual results will land -- a revenue growth rate of 80% for the remainder of 2021, or a revenue growth rate of 50% for 2022, is not realistic.\nWhen we assume that the current revenue estimates for 2025 are too low by ~10%, and that actual revenues will total $45 billion, and that revenues will grow by 10% a year between 2026 and 2031, we get to a 2031 top line of $80 billion. Right now, NVDA's net margin is 34% (most recent quarter), which is outstanding. Operating leverage should lift NVDA's operating margin in the coming years, but on the other hand, NVDA's current tax rate is pretty low at 3% during the most recent quarter. When we assume that tax rates will climb to 10%, this could offset tailwinds from operating margin expansion, thus it is far from guaranteed that NVDA's net margin will rise by a lot. If the net margin stands at 35% in 2031, NVDA would earn about $28 billion in net profits a decade from now. If the share count remains unchanged, that would equate to earnings per share of $11.10. If NVDA were to trade at the same 49x net profits it trades at today, that would lead to a share price of $540, which would equate to total returns of 180%. As mentioned earlier, I believe that multiple compression is likely, due to a range of reasons -- slowing growth, the current premium to the historic median, and the current premium over the broad market and NVDA's peers.\nWhen we do, thus, assume that the valuation compresses to around 30x net profits, which would be relatively in-line with the 10-year median earnings multiple, then shares would trade at $330 a decade from now. Over the next decade, this would pencil out to returns of a little over 70%, or about 5%-6% a year. NVDA wouldn't be a bad choice in this scenario, but not an outstanding pick, either. We can also look at a somewhat more optimistic scenario where NVDA grows its revenue by 15% a year between 2026 and 2031, in that case, with everything else held constant, NVDA would trade at $430 in 2031, which would allow for total returns of 8%-9% a year from the current price of $195.\nOverall, I thus believe that it is very likely that investors will see gains from the current level in the long run, but those gains will likely be far lower compared to what we have seen in recent years. High-single-digit annual returns seem like a realistic target range from the current, elevated, valuation.\nIs NVIDIA A Good Long-Term Investment?\nNVIDIA has great fundamentals, a clean balance sheet, strong margins and returns on capital, excellent management, and is in a great position tech-wise. On top of that, NVDA operates in a growing industry that is integral to our way of life. Overall, those are some great reasons to invest in its stock, but there is one additional factor that investors should keep in mind. NVDA's valuation is well above the long-term median, well above the valuations of its peers, and it seems pretty likely that this valuation will eventually compress, as growth will inevitably decline from the current immense 80% year-over-year pace. I would thus say that NVDA is a good long-term investment for sure, but not at every price. At current prices, it seems like a solid long-term investment, but not like a spectacular one. Others that have different growth assumptions or that see a different target earnings multiple 5 or 10 years from now will potentially have a different opinion on that, however.\nIs NVIDIA Stock A Good Buy Right Now?\nNVIDIA undoubtedly has been a great buy for almost everyone that bought over the last decade, but past returns do not equate to future returns. It is almost guaranteed that returns in the coming years will be significantly lower than what we have seen over the last decade. I believe that returns, in the long run, will be solid, but I do not believe that the current return outlook makes NVDA a screaming buy at current prices. NVDA traded at less than $140 (split-adjusted) a couple of months ago, and at that price, I'd see shares as a way better investment. At $190+, shares are too expensive for me to buy right now, although they can be a solid hold for everyone that bought earlier for sure.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":814,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":806662711,"gmtCreate":1627654034833,"gmtModify":1703494211233,"author":{"id":"3587078333302518","authorId":"3587078333302518","name":"Joshuji","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a45cb00e95a6585e7073c60daa885bb6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3587078333302518","authorIdStr":"3587078333302518"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01810\">$XIAOMI-W(01810)$</a>cool","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01810\">$XIAOMI-W(01810)$</a>cool","text":"$XIAOMI-W(01810)$cool","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/594d75ad299bb508e2fd155447ca5799","width":"1242","height":"1767"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/806662711","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":461,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":808946894,"gmtCreate":1627553457018,"gmtModify":1703492232638,"author":{"id":"3587078333302518","authorId":"3587078333302518","name":"Joshuji","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a45cb00e95a6585e7073c60daa885bb6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3587078333302518","authorIdStr":"3587078333302518"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like&nbsp;","listText":"Like&nbsp;","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/808946894","repostId":"2155990524","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":452,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":143704102,"gmtCreate":1625815143006,"gmtModify":1703749105143,"author":{"id":"3587078333302518","authorId":"3587078333302518","name":"Joshuji","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a45cb00e95a6585e7073c60daa885bb6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3587078333302518","authorIdStr":"3587078333302518"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/143704102","repostId":"1193792352","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1193792352","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625813874,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1193792352?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-09 14:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Wharton’s Jeremy Siegel says the market pullback is just a ‘hiccup’ and to expect more like it","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1193792352","media":"CNBC","summary":"Wharton School’s Jeremy Siegelsaid stocks remain firmly in a bull market, but believes investors sho","content":"<div>\n<p>Wharton School’s Jeremy Siegelsaid stocks remain firmly in a bull market, but believes investors should ready themselves for more pullbacks like Thursday’s as the Federal Reserve navigates the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/08/jeremy-siegel-says-market-pullback-is-just-a-hiccup-but-expect-more-like-it.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"cnbc_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wharton’s Jeremy Siegel says the market pullback is just a ‘hiccup’ and to expect more like it</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWharton’s Jeremy Siegel says the market pullback is just a ‘hiccup’ and to expect more like it\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-09 14:57 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/08/jeremy-siegel-says-market-pullback-is-just-a-hiccup-but-expect-more-like-it.html><strong>CNBC</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Wharton School’s Jeremy Siegelsaid stocks remain firmly in a bull market, but believes investors should ready themselves for more pullbacks like Thursday’s as the Federal Reserve navigates the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/08/jeremy-siegel-says-market-pullback-is-just-a-hiccup-but-expect-more-like-it.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/08/jeremy-siegel-says-market-pullback-is-just-a-hiccup-but-expect-more-like-it.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/72bb72e1b84c09fca865c6dcb1bbcd16","article_id":"1193792352","content_text":"Wharton School’s Jeremy Siegelsaid stocks remain firmly in a bull market, but believes investors should ready themselves for more pullbacks like Thursday’s as the Federal Reserve navigates the pandemic economic recovery.\nThe prominent finance professor’s comments on CNBC’s“Closing Bell”came as all three major U.S. equity indexeswere off their lows of the day,but still solidly in the red. TheDow Jones Industrial Averageclosed down nearly 260 points, or 0.75%, while theS&P 500andNasdaqfell 0.86% and 0.72%, respectively.\nInvestors’ concerns about potentially slower economic growth and the threat of the Covid delta variant, especially in light of the decision to ban all spectators at the Olympics in Tokyo,all weighed on Wall Street on Thursday.\nHowever, going forward, Siegel said he feels the biggest risk to the stock market is not the delta variant derailing a pandemic recovery. Rather, he said it is inflation data and its implications for the Fed’s monetary policy.\n“I don’t think this bull market is over. There’s just going to be more hiccups as the Fed comes to the reality that they’re going to have to start to tighten,” said Siegel, who last monthcorrectly predictedthat members of the Fed’s policymaking arm would move up their timeline for when they expect to raise interest rates from their near-zero level.\nFed Chairman Jerome Powell and other central bank officials have maintained for months that the inflationary pressures seen in the U.S. are temporary increases stemming from the unprecedented economic reopening after manifold pandemic-related disruptions.\nAs a result, Powell believes the Fed’s highly accommodative monetary policy remains appropriate and necessary to help the U.S. labor market heal after millions of Americans lost their jobs due to the Covid crisis.\nSiegel is among the band of market observers who feels the Fed is making a mistake by sticking with its emergency policy stance, which in addition to near-zero interest rates includes at least $120 billion a month of asset purchases.\nSiegel told CNBC he’s very focused on next Tuesday’s Consumer Price Index report, followed by Wednesday’s Producer Price Index. The CPI, in particular, has the potential to be a “market-moving event” if it comes in higher than Wall Street expects, he said.\n“If we had a really hot CPI and the day following PPI, I wouldn’t be surprised if we get some announcement at the next Fed meeting — at the latest, it will be August, I believe — when we’ll get that tapering move,” Siegel said.\nThe Federal Open Market Committee is scheduled to meetJuly 27 and 28. Then, the Fed’s yearly economic policy symposium is set forAug. 26-28. in Jackson Hole, Wyoming.\n“I think the inflation is going to be running very hot, and I think the Fed will be forced to be respond earlier than, I think, a lot of people think, at least at this point,” Siegel said.\nSiegel said he thinks if the Fed “sensibly” changes its tune on inflation being transitory, the market “will say they’ve caught onto it. They’re going to be walking a tightrope over the next several months with the data that’ll be coming in.”\nBy contrast, the professor and longtime bull said he sees risks to the market if that does not play out.\n“We’re still in a strong recovery. The question is, is the Fed delaying too much that it’s going to have to pull back too strongly later on? … Other than that, I think stocks, you know, earnings are blockbuster and they’ll continue to be blockbuster this year, supporting it.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":279,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":140706758,"gmtCreate":1625671276674,"gmtModify":1703746212955,"author":{"id":"3587078333302518","authorId":"3587078333302518","name":"Joshuji","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a45cb00e95a6585e7073c60daa885bb6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3587078333302518","authorIdStr":"3587078333302518"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/140706758","repostId":"1128775379","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1128775379","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625671136,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1128775379?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-07 23:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"JPMorgan Bosses Predict Banks’ Long Trading Slump Gone for Good","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1128775379","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"(Bloomberg) -- Before 2020 unleashed a windfall for Wall Street traders, life in the business kept g","content":"<p>(Bloomberg) -- Before 2020 unleashed a windfall for Wall Street traders, life in the business kept getting harder as revenue weakened. Now, as the pandemic’s flurry of activity fades, the question is whether the decade-long slide will continue.</p>\n<p>The answer is no, according to Daniel Pinto, who oversees JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co.’s massive Wall Street operations.</p>\n<p>The industry’s collective revenue from trading -- its “wallet” -- probably reached its nadir before Covid-19, he said in an interview. And from those depths, things are likely to improve for years to come. That is, setting aside 2020.</p>\n<p>“You’re going to have, over time, an increasing wallet,” said Pinto, the bank’s co-president and co-chief operating officer. Post-crisis regulations and changes in market structure, such as electronification, that squeezed margins are now mostly in place, and the system is working well, he said. “From here you would expect that as the world grows and capital markets grow, the trading businesses will grow.”</p>\n<p>It might be hard for shareholders to remember that optimism in coming months as global banks face tough comparisons with 2020’s bonanza. JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. are set to kick off second-quarter earnings announcements next week. Already, JPMorgan Chief Executive Officer Jamie Dimon signaled a potential 38% decline from a year earlier, as he and executives from Morgan Stanley and Citigroup Inc. sought to temper expectations in recent weeks.</p>\n<p>For much of a decade after the financial crisis, total wallet for the 12 largest trading firms fell again and again. Their combined revenue from the business bottomed out at $110 billion in 2017 and hardly improved in the two years that followed, according to data from analytics firm Coalition Greenwich. The reasons were myriad: more stringent rules, the rise of electronic trading, persistently low interest rates, pressure from new entrants and the outright disappearance of some products post-crisis.</p>\n<p>Many of those changes have played out, and capital markets are expanding. Pinto and colleagues said that longer-term growth trend will be apparent this year.</p>\n<p>“If you put last year aside, which was a one-off, this year should be a very strong outcome when you put it on a multiyear basis,” said Troy Rohrbaugh, JPMorgan’s global head of markets.</p>\n<p>Equities will expand the industry’s wallet more than fixed-income products, Rohrbaugh predicted. The U.S. remains the region generating the biggest increase, though the trend is also positive in Europe, he said. The wallet from China will likely swell, but it’s unclear what share of the additional business will go to foreign firms. They will see some, at least, he said.</p>\n<p>Broadly, companies such as JPMorgan with the most scale and ability to invest in technology will have an advantage, though smaller firms will benefit too, he said.</p>\n<p>Does that mean that fewer traders will be around to participate in the upswing?</p>\n<p>“What you do will evolve,” Rohrbaugh said. “There are certainly some roles that will go away as you gain productivity. As more traditional jobs disappear, there are new jobs that pop up.</p>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>JPMorgan Bosses Predict Banks’ Long Trading Slump Gone for Good</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nJPMorgan Bosses Predict Banks’ Long Trading Slump Gone for Good\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-07 23:18 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/jpmorgan-bosses-predict-banks-long-120000722.html><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>(Bloomberg) -- Before 2020 unleashed a windfall for Wall Street traders, life in the business kept getting harder as revenue weakened. Now, as the pandemic’s flurry of activity fades, the question is ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/jpmorgan-bosses-predict-banks-long-120000722.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"JPM":"摩根大通"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/jpmorgan-bosses-predict-banks-long-120000722.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1128775379","content_text":"(Bloomberg) -- Before 2020 unleashed a windfall for Wall Street traders, life in the business kept getting harder as revenue weakened. Now, as the pandemic’s flurry of activity fades, the question is whether the decade-long slide will continue.\nThe answer is no, according to Daniel Pinto, who oversees JPMorgan Chase & Co.’s massive Wall Street operations.\nThe industry’s collective revenue from trading -- its “wallet” -- probably reached its nadir before Covid-19, he said in an interview. And from those depths, things are likely to improve for years to come. That is, setting aside 2020.\n“You’re going to have, over time, an increasing wallet,” said Pinto, the bank’s co-president and co-chief operating officer. Post-crisis regulations and changes in market structure, such as electronification, that squeezed margins are now mostly in place, and the system is working well, he said. “From here you would expect that as the world grows and capital markets grow, the trading businesses will grow.”\nIt might be hard for shareholders to remember that optimism in coming months as global banks face tough comparisons with 2020’s bonanza. JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. are set to kick off second-quarter earnings announcements next week. Already, JPMorgan Chief Executive Officer Jamie Dimon signaled a potential 38% decline from a year earlier, as he and executives from Morgan Stanley and Citigroup Inc. sought to temper expectations in recent weeks.\nFor much of a decade after the financial crisis, total wallet for the 12 largest trading firms fell again and again. Their combined revenue from the business bottomed out at $110 billion in 2017 and hardly improved in the two years that followed, according to data from analytics firm Coalition Greenwich. The reasons were myriad: more stringent rules, the rise of electronic trading, persistently low interest rates, pressure from new entrants and the outright disappearance of some products post-crisis.\nMany of those changes have played out, and capital markets are expanding. Pinto and colleagues said that longer-term growth trend will be apparent this year.\n“If you put last year aside, which was a one-off, this year should be a very strong outcome when you put it on a multiyear basis,” said Troy Rohrbaugh, JPMorgan’s global head of markets.\nEquities will expand the industry’s wallet more than fixed-income products, Rohrbaugh predicted. The U.S. remains the region generating the biggest increase, though the trend is also positive in Europe, he said. The wallet from China will likely swell, but it’s unclear what share of the additional business will go to foreign firms. They will see some, at least, he said.\nBroadly, companies such as JPMorgan with the most scale and ability to invest in technology will have an advantage, though smaller firms will benefit too, he said.\nDoes that mean that fewer traders will be around to participate in the upswing?\n“What you do will evolve,” Rohrbaugh said. “There are certainly some roles that will go away as you gain productivity. As more traditional jobs disappear, there are new jobs that pop up.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":505,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":157226032,"gmtCreate":1625584474126,"gmtModify":1703744458974,"author":{"id":"3587078333302518","authorId":"3587078333302518","name":"Joshuji","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a45cb00e95a6585e7073c60daa885bb6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3587078333302518","authorIdStr":"3587078333302518"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/157226032","repostId":"1150315172","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1150315172","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625582925,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1150315172?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-06 22:48","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Oil Slips as OPEC+ Uncertainty Raises Concerns of Oversupply","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1150315172","media":"Bloomberg","summary":" -- Oil in New York edged lower amid concerns that OPEC+’s failure to ratify an agreement may lead producers to lose the discipline they have maintained against rising demand.West Texas Intermediate futures for August fell as much as 1.3% in New York. With the collapse of talks on Monday, the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies won’t boost output in August, unless an agreement can be salvaged. The lack of OPEC+ unity could invite new barrels to the market and spell beari","content":"<p>(Bloomberg) -- Oil in New York edged lower amid concerns that OPEC+’s failure to ratify an agreement may lead producers to lose the discipline they have maintained against rising demand.</p>\n<p>West Texas Intermediate futures for August fell as much as 1.3% in New York. With the collapse of talks on Monday, the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies won’t boost output in August, unless an agreement can be salvaged. The lack of OPEC+ unity could invite new barrels to the market and spell bearish news for current prices, said Tom Finlon of Brownsville GTR LLC, a trading and logistics firm based in Houston.</p>\n<p>“I think if you have 23 oil-producing countries that are party to an agreement, and that agreement isn’t extended, and the price of crude is in the mid-70s, that’s an engraved invitation to overproduce,” said Finlon.</p>\n<p>Oil prices have rallied this year, as vaccination rates and economic reopening around the world have spurred fuel consumption. The extent to which the rally continues depends largely on OPEC+ ability to reach an agreement to limit output.</p>\n<p>Tuesday’s decline cames as most commodity and stock markets fell and the dollar edged higher.</p>\n<p>Discussions among the alliance dissolved acrimoniously as the United Arab Emirates blocked a proposal led by Saudi Arabia and Russia. While the situation is fluid and negotiations could be reactivated, the breakdown has damaged the group’s image as a responsible steward of the market.</p>\n<p>WTI earlier hit the highest since November 2014, as the breakdown in talks left the market without the extra supplies for next month it had been counting on. Analysts from Citigroup Inc. to UBS Group AG warned that withholding extra supplies as demand recovers rapidly from the coronavirus pandemic will push prices higher.</p>\n<p>A repeat of last year’s destructive price war, which sent oil crashing, is also no longer a “negligible” prospect, Goldman warned.</p>\n<p>“If there’s any indication that the UAE folks are adding barrels, there’s a chance, probably a good chance that others within the producer group will try and beat them to the punch,” said Bob Yawger, head of the futures division at Mizuho Securities.</p>\n<p>Oil and Dollars: Why the UAE Is Risking a Falling-Out With OPEC+</p>\n<p>Oil’s rally has been accompanied by sharp moves in price spreads between monthly contracts, an indication that traders see supply conditions growing tighter. The premium of Brent’s November contract over December jumped to 81 cents a barrel from 73 cents on Friday.</p>\n<p>The 23-nation OPEC+ coalition had been on the brink of an agreement to restore production halted during the pandemic, in monthly increments of 400,000 barrels a day. That plan could still be ratified, or members may choose to informally leak barrels to eager consumers.</p>\n<p>“A compromise will be reached which should allow additional barrels into the market from August,” said Ole Hansen, head of commodities research at Saxo Bank A/S. “The political pressure from large consumers such as India and China will grow, with Washington probably also adding some pressure.”</p>\n<p>Traders will also look to crude and gasoline inventories in the U.S. last week for signals about demand in the world’s biggest oil-consuming country, in the industry-funded American Petroleum Institute report released later Tuesday.</p>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Oil Slips as OPEC+ Uncertainty Raises Concerns of Oversupply</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOil Slips as OPEC+ Uncertainty Raises Concerns of Oversupply\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-06 22:48 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/u-oil-price-jumps-six-074615967.html><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>(Bloomberg) -- Oil in New York edged lower amid concerns that OPEC+’s failure to ratify an agreement may lead producers to lose the discipline they have maintained against rising demand.\nWest Texas ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/u-oil-price-jumps-six-074615967.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/u-oil-price-jumps-six-074615967.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1150315172","content_text":"(Bloomberg) -- Oil in New York edged lower amid concerns that OPEC+’s failure to ratify an agreement may lead producers to lose the discipline they have maintained against rising demand.\nWest Texas Intermediate futures for August fell as much as 1.3% in New York. With the collapse of talks on Monday, the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies won’t boost output in August, unless an agreement can be salvaged. The lack of OPEC+ unity could invite new barrels to the market and spell bearish news for current prices, said Tom Finlon of Brownsville GTR LLC, a trading and logistics firm based in Houston.\n“I think if you have 23 oil-producing countries that are party to an agreement, and that agreement isn’t extended, and the price of crude is in the mid-70s, that’s an engraved invitation to overproduce,” said Finlon.\nOil prices have rallied this year, as vaccination rates and economic reopening around the world have spurred fuel consumption. The extent to which the rally continues depends largely on OPEC+ ability to reach an agreement to limit output.\nTuesday’s decline cames as most commodity and stock markets fell and the dollar edged higher.\nDiscussions among the alliance dissolved acrimoniously as the United Arab Emirates blocked a proposal led by Saudi Arabia and Russia. While the situation is fluid and negotiations could be reactivated, the breakdown has damaged the group’s image as a responsible steward of the market.\nWTI earlier hit the highest since November 2014, as the breakdown in talks left the market without the extra supplies for next month it had been counting on. Analysts from Citigroup Inc. to UBS Group AG warned that withholding extra supplies as demand recovers rapidly from the coronavirus pandemic will push prices higher.\nA repeat of last year’s destructive price war, which sent oil crashing, is also no longer a “negligible” prospect, Goldman warned.\n“If there’s any indication that the UAE folks are adding barrels, there’s a chance, probably a good chance that others within the producer group will try and beat them to the punch,” said Bob Yawger, head of the futures division at Mizuho Securities.\nOil and Dollars: Why the UAE Is Risking a Falling-Out With OPEC+\nOil’s rally has been accompanied by sharp moves in price spreads between monthly contracts, an indication that traders see supply conditions growing tighter. The premium of Brent’s November contract over December jumped to 81 cents a barrel from 73 cents on Friday.\nThe 23-nation OPEC+ coalition had been on the brink of an agreement to restore production halted during the pandemic, in monthly increments of 400,000 barrels a day. That plan could still be ratified, or members may choose to informally leak barrels to eager consumers.\n“A compromise will be reached which should allow additional barrels into the market from August,” said Ole Hansen, head of commodities research at Saxo Bank A/S. “The political pressure from large consumers such as India and China will grow, with Washington probably also adding some pressure.”\nTraders will also look to crude and gasoline inventories in the U.S. last week for signals about demand in the world’s biggest oil-consuming country, in the industry-funded American Petroleum Institute report released later Tuesday.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":264,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":159855324,"gmtCreate":1624957722368,"gmtModify":1703848813448,"author":{"id":"3587078333302518","authorId":"3587078333302518","name":"Joshuji","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a45cb00e95a6585e7073c60daa885bb6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3587078333302518","authorIdStr":"3587078333302518"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like pls","listText":"Like pls","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/159855324","repostId":"1170697239","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":811,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":126122426,"gmtCreate":1624548354765,"gmtModify":1703840144735,"author":{"id":"3587078333302518","authorId":"3587078333302518","name":"Joshuji","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a45cb00e95a6585e7073c60daa885bb6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3587078333302518","authorIdStr":"3587078333302518"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like&nbsp;","listText":"Like&nbsp;","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/126122426","repostId":"1187819280","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1187819280","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624529642,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1187819280?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-24 18:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The ‘shelter in suburbia’ trade is about to reverse — and these stocks will suffer","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1187819280","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"5 reasons the pandemic megatrend is over.\n\nOne of the biggest investment stories of the COVID-19 pan","content":"<blockquote>\n <b>5 reasons the pandemic megatrend is over.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>One of the biggest investment stories of the COVID-19 pandemic has been the boom in consumer discretionary stocks with a “shelter in suburbia” theme. From e-commerce platforms to home improvement stores to furniture and housewares merchants, many of the top performers have fit this flavor.</p>\n<p>Take the broad-based Vanguard Consumer Discretionary Index Fund ETF VCR, +0.66% that surged more than 90% from March 2020 to March 2021. That was thanks to components like home improvement stocks Lowe’s LOW, -0.30% and Home Depot HD, -0.33% alongside retailers like TJX TJX, -0.08%.</p>\n<p>Lately, however, performance has started to lag for many of these names. In fact, since April 1 we’ve seen these three stocks all drift slightly into the red even as the S&amp;P 500 SPX, -0.11% has tacked on about 6% in the same period.</p>\n<p>And some fear that may only be the beginning. As one Wall Street insider said recently in a Bloomberg interview, a “huge unwind” is coming for stay-at-home stocks, including hardware stores and home-goods merchants.</p>\n<p>While some big-name “suburbia” trades are still relatively stable, signs of trouble are already emerging at the fringes. Century Communities CCS, -0.34% and Dream Finders Homes DFH, -2.55%, two mid-tier single family homebuilders, have seen shares crash by double digits over the last month. On the furnishings side, appliance giant Whirlpool Corporation WHR, -0.51% and department store Nordstrom JWN, +2.03% are down sharply from their spring highs.</p>\n<p><b>Here are five big reasons why:</b></p>\n<p><b>1.</b>&nbsp;<b>The upgrade cycle is over</b></p>\n<p>Last summer, white-collar workers who were stuck at home made note of overdue projects and took advantage of being able to easily meet with contractors. But in many ways, this growth is not sustainable.</p>\n<p>Consider the kind of purchases homeowners were making according to data from the NPD Group. Faucets, kitchen cabinets and even toilets were among the most popular products sold in 2020. Needless to say, even the most profligate homeowners aren’t going to follow this upgrade cycle of remodeling kitchens and bathrooms on an annual basis.</p>\n<p>The same is true for furniture and other home goods. Internet giant Comscore recorded the highest visitation to related websites in history in May 2020 with 133 million web surfers shopping for some kind of home goods. Once again, a new couch or lamp is not an annual purchase — so this trend seems unsustainable for much longer.</p>\n<p><b>2.&nbsp;Valuations are stretched</b></p>\n<p>Speaking of post-pandemic peaks for home-goods purveyors, we’ve seen the financials bear out these big increases via boosted profits and sales. However, we’ve also seen the stock of many related merchants surge even more — stretching their valuations from historical norms.</p>\n<p>Take TJX. Currently this discount retailer has a forward price-to-earnings ratio of more than 26, compared with a forward P/E of just 21 in spring 2020. Its trailing price-to-sales ratio is now 2.1 compared with 1.4.</p>\n<p>What’s more, valuations for previous darlings like TJX are out of line with peers, too. Consider the forward P/E of the overall S&amp;P 500 index is 22 right now, and other similar names like Macy’s M, +0.70% and Big Lots BIG, -3.71% actually have forward P/E ratios well under 10. You can argue TJX is unique, of course… but you also may want to be aware of what “fair value” looks like for many other stocks outside fashionable stay-at-home trades right now.</p>\n<p><b>3.&nbsp;Delays and shortages</b></p>\n<p>Future growth from pandemic-fueled peaks in these stocks is not impossible, of course. But given supply chain disruptions it seems highly unlikely. There are a host of reasons for these delays, including overseas shipping delays as well as capacity and output crunches that are affecting many industries, but “stay at home” stocks seem particularly hard hit.</p>\n<p>Home improvement products are simply nowhere to be found, with roughly 94% of builders reporting “at least some serious shortages of appliances” according to the National Association of Home Builders. Another 93% are running short on framing lumber and 87% say it is hard to obtain windows and doors.</p>\n<p>Even if you can get past demand concerns, without the raw materials to get to work it’s very hard to see future growth in this category.</p>\n<p><b>4.&nbsp;Inflationary pressures</b></p>\n<p>For the people who haven’t already ponied up the cash for a contractor or made their peace with extended delays for their expensive new furniture, there is a pretty big disincentive right now for new shoppers: inflation.</p>\n<p>The cost of living as measured by the Consumer Price Index jumped 0.6% in May to run at a 5% annual rate. That was not only higher than expectations, but the fastest pace since the summer of 2008. The inflation risks were so pronounced that the Federal Reserve publicly stated it could move up the schedule for expected interest rate increases to keep the risks under wraps.</p>\n<p>Inflation isn’t always a death knell, of course. But it has historically eroded purchasing power and could curtail some of the spending in “stay at home” stocks that we’ve seen in the last year or so.</p>\n<p><b>5.&nbsp;Home-equity hubris</b></p>\n<p>Speaking of red-hot inflation: In May, the median price for U.S. homes topped $350,000 for the first time ever — up 23.6% from 2020. What’s more, a Realtor.com survey showed roughly a third of selling homeowners expect to get more than their asking price, and roughly the same amount expect an offer within a week of listing.</p>\n<p>Some of this is justifiable. Many articles have been written in recent years about the dearth of supply in attractive markets, and it’s important to acknowledge the remote work of the pandemic has indeed created some disruptive introspection into why people live where they do.</p>\n<p>But here’s where things get dicey: homeowners who have already spent the expected premium on their home’s price well in advance. According to Freddie Mac, about $152.7 billion in equity loans were taken out on U.S. houses last year, a massive increase of 41.7% from 2019 and the highest refinancing cash-out dollar amount since 2007.</p>\n<p>Anyone remember what happened to the real-estate market in 2007? Or the similar sense of seller entitlement from those days? There’s no clear signs of a bubble bursting just yet, but there’s real risk American homeowners may be overly optimistic about what their homes are worth — and a chance this home equity loan free-for-all simply isn’t sustainable for much longer.</p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The ‘shelter in suburbia’ trade is about to reverse — and these stocks will suffer</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe ‘shelter in suburbia’ trade is about to reverse — and these stocks will suffer\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-24 18:14 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-shelter-in-suburbia-trade-is-about-to-reverse-and-these-stocks-will-suffer-11624457411?siteid=yhoof2><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>5 reasons the pandemic megatrend is over.\n\nOne of the biggest investment stories of the COVID-19 pandemic has been the boom in consumer discretionary stocks with a “shelter in suburbia” theme. From e-...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-shelter-in-suburbia-trade-is-about-to-reverse-and-these-stocks-will-suffer-11624457411?siteid=yhoof2\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-shelter-in-suburbia-trade-is-about-to-reverse-and-these-stocks-will-suffer-11624457411?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1187819280","content_text":"5 reasons the pandemic megatrend is over.\n\nOne of the biggest investment stories of the COVID-19 pandemic has been the boom in consumer discretionary stocks with a “shelter in suburbia” theme. From e-commerce platforms to home improvement stores to furniture and housewares merchants, many of the top performers have fit this flavor.\nTake the broad-based Vanguard Consumer Discretionary Index Fund ETF VCR, +0.66% that surged more than 90% from March 2020 to March 2021. That was thanks to components like home improvement stocks Lowe’s LOW, -0.30% and Home Depot HD, -0.33% alongside retailers like TJX TJX, -0.08%.\nLately, however, performance has started to lag for many of these names. In fact, since April 1 we’ve seen these three stocks all drift slightly into the red even as the S&P 500 SPX, -0.11% has tacked on about 6% in the same period.\nAnd some fear that may only be the beginning. As one Wall Street insider said recently in a Bloomberg interview, a “huge unwind” is coming for stay-at-home stocks, including hardware stores and home-goods merchants.\nWhile some big-name “suburbia” trades are still relatively stable, signs of trouble are already emerging at the fringes. Century Communities CCS, -0.34% and Dream Finders Homes DFH, -2.55%, two mid-tier single family homebuilders, have seen shares crash by double digits over the last month. On the furnishings side, appliance giant Whirlpool Corporation WHR, -0.51% and department store Nordstrom JWN, +2.03% are down sharply from their spring highs.\nHere are five big reasons why:\n1. The upgrade cycle is over\nLast summer, white-collar workers who were stuck at home made note of overdue projects and took advantage of being able to easily meet with contractors. But in many ways, this growth is not sustainable.\nConsider the kind of purchases homeowners were making according to data from the NPD Group. Faucets, kitchen cabinets and even toilets were among the most popular products sold in 2020. Needless to say, even the most profligate homeowners aren’t going to follow this upgrade cycle of remodeling kitchens and bathrooms on an annual basis.\nThe same is true for furniture and other home goods. Internet giant Comscore recorded the highest visitation to related websites in history in May 2020 with 133 million web surfers shopping for some kind of home goods. Once again, a new couch or lamp is not an annual purchase — so this trend seems unsustainable for much longer.\n2. Valuations are stretched\nSpeaking of post-pandemic peaks for home-goods purveyors, we’ve seen the financials bear out these big increases via boosted profits and sales. However, we’ve also seen the stock of many related merchants surge even more — stretching their valuations from historical norms.\nTake TJX. Currently this discount retailer has a forward price-to-earnings ratio of more than 26, compared with a forward P/E of just 21 in spring 2020. Its trailing price-to-sales ratio is now 2.1 compared with 1.4.\nWhat’s more, valuations for previous darlings like TJX are out of line with peers, too. Consider the forward P/E of the overall S&P 500 index is 22 right now, and other similar names like Macy’s M, +0.70% and Big Lots BIG, -3.71% actually have forward P/E ratios well under 10. You can argue TJX is unique, of course… but you also may want to be aware of what “fair value” looks like for many other stocks outside fashionable stay-at-home trades right now.\n3. Delays and shortages\nFuture growth from pandemic-fueled peaks in these stocks is not impossible, of course. But given supply chain disruptions it seems highly unlikely. There are a host of reasons for these delays, including overseas shipping delays as well as capacity and output crunches that are affecting many industries, but “stay at home” stocks seem particularly hard hit.\nHome improvement products are simply nowhere to be found, with roughly 94% of builders reporting “at least some serious shortages of appliances” according to the National Association of Home Builders. Another 93% are running short on framing lumber and 87% say it is hard to obtain windows and doors.\nEven if you can get past demand concerns, without the raw materials to get to work it’s very hard to see future growth in this category.\n4. Inflationary pressures\nFor the people who haven’t already ponied up the cash for a contractor or made their peace with extended delays for their expensive new furniture, there is a pretty big disincentive right now for new shoppers: inflation.\nThe cost of living as measured by the Consumer Price Index jumped 0.6% in May to run at a 5% annual rate. That was not only higher than expectations, but the fastest pace since the summer of 2008. The inflation risks were so pronounced that the Federal Reserve publicly stated it could move up the schedule for expected interest rate increases to keep the risks under wraps.\nInflation isn’t always a death knell, of course. But it has historically eroded purchasing power and could curtail some of the spending in “stay at home” stocks that we’ve seen in the last year or so.\n5. Home-equity hubris\nSpeaking of red-hot inflation: In May, the median price for U.S. homes topped $350,000 for the first time ever — up 23.6% from 2020. What’s more, a Realtor.com survey showed roughly a third of selling homeowners expect to get more than their asking price, and roughly the same amount expect an offer within a week of listing.\nSome of this is justifiable. Many articles have been written in recent years about the dearth of supply in attractive markets, and it’s important to acknowledge the remote work of the pandemic has indeed created some disruptive introspection into why people live where they do.\nBut here’s where things get dicey: homeowners who have already spent the expected premium on their home’s price well in advance. According to Freddie Mac, about $152.7 billion in equity loans were taken out on U.S. houses last year, a massive increase of 41.7% from 2019 and the highest refinancing cash-out dollar amount since 2007.\nAnyone remember what happened to the real-estate market in 2007? Or the similar sense of seller entitlement from those days? There’s no clear signs of a bubble bursting just yet, but there’s real risk American homeowners may be overly optimistic about what their homes are worth — and a chance this home equity loan free-for-all simply isn’t sustainable for much longer.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":701,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":129287699,"gmtCreate":1624374042911,"gmtModify":1703834884853,"author":{"id":"3587078333302518","authorId":"3587078333302518","name":"Joshuji","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a45cb00e95a6585e7073c60daa885bb6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3587078333302518","authorIdStr":"3587078333302518"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like:)","listText":"Pls like:)","text":"Pls like:)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/129287699","repostId":"1177499959","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1177499959","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624344919,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1177499959?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-22 14:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Forget Everything You Know: Morgan Stanley Reveals The Only Metric That Determines What The Market Will Do Next","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1177499959","media":"zerohedge","summary":"Traders of a certain age may recall that back in 2013, around the time the Fed's \"Taper Tantrum\" spa","content":"<p>Traders of a certain age may recall that back in 2013, around the time the Fed's \"Taper Tantrum\" sparked a surge in yields and led to a risk asset selloff, a big (if entirely artificial) debate emerged within financial media, where the Fed muppets and their media puppets would argue that \"tapering is not tightening\" while anyone with half a brain realized knew that this was total BS.</p>\n<p>Fast forward to today when Morgan Stanley's Michael Wilson opens up an old wound for clueless Fed apologists, saying in his latest Weekly Warm Up note that \"Tapering<i><b>is</b></i>Tightening\"... but then adds that contrary to the market's shocked reaction to last week's Fed meeting, tightening actually began months ago.</p>\n<p>Elaborating on this point, Wilson - who several months ago turned into Wall Street's most bearish strategist (again)-&nbsp; writes this morning that while the Fed's pivot to \"begin\" the tightening discussion caught most by surprise, in reality markets began discounting this inevitable process months ago as price action had indicated. It's exactly this discounting of the coming tightening, that is what Michael Wilson's mid-cycle transition is all about, and as the strategist adds, \"<b>fits nicely with our narrative for choppier equity markets and a 10-20% correction for the broader indices this year.\"</b></p>\n<p>Or to paraphrase Lester Burnham,<b>\"it's all downhill from here\"...</b>and as Wilson predicts, that won't change until M2 growth is done decelerating; or in other words, until the Fed unleashes another liquidity burst into the system \"<b><i>the transition is incomplete.\"</i></b></p>\n<p>Highlights aside, Wilson then elaborates on each point, noting that while last week's Fed meeting brought more uncertainty to markets one thing is becoming more obvious:<b>\"we are on the other side of the mountain with respect to monetary accommodation for this cycle.</b>\"</p>\n<p>Furthermore, having repeatedlywarned that the US is now mid-cycle...</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d95f296e4d1300cd3c95485a2333d270\" tg-width=\"906\" tg-height=\"571\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">... Wilson then takes a victory lap writing that what the Fed is doing is \"classic mid cycle transition behavior so investors really shouldn't be too surprised that the Fed would try to begin the long process of tightening.\"</p>\n<blockquote>\n After all, the US economy is booming and expected to grow close to 10 percent this year in nominal terms, a feat last witnessed in 1984. Meanwhile, no matter what one's view is on inflation being transient or not, prices are up significantly and likely higher than what the Fed, or most others were expecting 6 months ago. In other words, the facts and data have changed; therefore, so should Fed policy.\n</blockquote>\n<p>Nevertheless, as discussed here extensively, markets reacted as if this was a complete shock with both bonds and stocks trading as if the Fed had hiked rates already (instead of leaving over $2TN in QE still on deck) after the Fed meeting. Starting with bonds, both nominal 10 year yields and breakevens fell significantly. However, breakevens fell more leaving 10 year real rates higher by almost 20 bps Wednesday afternoon.</p>\n<p>While real rates did settle back a bit on Thursday and Friday, they have formed what appears to be a very solid base from which they are likely to rise as the economy continues to recover and the Fed appropriately pivots. In Wilson's view, \"<b>this looks very similar to 2013, the year after Peak Fed. Back then, Peak Fed was QE3 which was announced on September 12, 2012. This time Peak Fed was the announcement of Average Inflation Targeting last summer.\"</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/670f9e23e34953726583276c32a7b3f9\" tg-width=\"843\" tg-height=\"445\"></p>\n<p>That said, there is one notable difference between the taper tantrum and today: in 2013 \"tapering\" QE was a novel concept to markets and it came more abruptly with Bernanke's surprise mention during his congressional testimony on May 22, 2013.<b>This time, the markets understand what tapering is and see its arrival as inevitable as the economy recovers.</b>Therefore, while the path higher for real rates is unlikely to be as dramatic as witnessed in 2013, it is still likely to be higher from here and that is a change that will affect all risk markets, including equities, in Morgan Stanley's view.</p>\n<p>Wilson makes one final observation from the chart above, which is how real rates moved substantially<b>before</b>Bernanke's testimony in May 2013, prompting Wilson to notes that \"<i>perhaps it wasn't as much of a surprise as believed, at least to markets. We think it's the same situation today.\"</i></p>\n<blockquote>\n In our view, the data has been so strong, it would be naive not to think the Fed wasn't moving closer to tapering over the past several months. In fact, the idea that the Fed hasn't been thinking and/or talking about it seems absurd. Surely the market understands this, making the events of the past week not so much of a surprise. It's all part of the mid cycle transition that has been ongoing for months and fits with the choppier price action and unstable market leadership we have been witnessing.\n</blockquote>\n<p>The underperformance of early cycle stocks is another classic signal the market \"gets it.\" Nevertheless, in talking with clients the past few days, this view is still out of consensus. Most haven't been ready for tighter monetary policy, nor did they think it's something they needed to worry about, until now.</p>\n<p>Wrapping up the Fed \"surprise\" part of his note, Wilson writes that contrary to the FOMC shock,<b>monetary tightening actually began months ago if one is looking at the right metric, which to the top Morgan Stanley equity strategist - who emerges as yet another closet Austrian - is</b><b><u>money supply growth</u></b><b>:</b></p>\n<blockquote>\n <i>In a world where all of the major developed market central banks are stuck at the zero bound, or lower,</i>\n <i><b>the primary metric that determines if monetary policy is getting more or less accommodative is Money Supply Growth.</b></i>\n</blockquote>\n<p>Realizing that to most Keynesian this will be a controversial statement to say the least, Wilson digs in and says that \"it's absolutely the case and financial markets seem to agree.\"&nbsp; He explains:</p>\n<blockquote>\n <i>When money supply is accelerating, the more speculative / riskier assets tend to outperform and when it's decelerating these assets have more trouble. As noted here several times over the past few months, the Fed's balance sheet (M1) growth peaked in mid February and that coincided with a top in many of the most expensive/speculative stocks in the equity market just like the acceleration in the Fed's balance sheet in the prior 12 months contributed to their spectacular performance. Interestingly, the recently flattening out of the growth in M1 has coincided with more stability in these stocks, although they remain well below prior highs (Exhibit 2).</i>\n</blockquote>\n<p>And visually:</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/392b34be32740b00458d59adb2bb80a6\" tg-width=\"852\" tg-height=\"486\"></p>\n<p>But wait there's more, and also an explanation why the Fed has made it virtually impossible to track the weekly change in M2 (the aggregate is now updated only monthly).</p>\n<p>Taking Wilson's argument a step further,<b>M2 growth might be even more important to monitor than M1 because that's the net liquidity available to the economy</b><b><i>and</i></b><b>markets.</b>On that front, the deceleration also began at the end of February<b>but has not yet flattened out and appears to have much further to fall to a&nbsp; more \"normal\" level of annual growth</b>— i.e., 7-8%</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dd5f46571e7e27f9c00fed0a2d310a3c\" tg-width=\"610\" tg-height=\"376\"></p>\n<p>More ominously, this also suggests<b>liquidity is likely to tighten further from here whether the Fed's begins tapering later this year or next.</b></p>\n<p>Finally, when we look at M2 data on a global basis, we get the same picture.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c77fa806a6775bc562b18346590d26c9\" tg-width=\"613\" tg-height=\"376\"></p>\n<p>Wilson concludes that even ahead of last week's \"shock\" FOMC, the market had already started to de-rate lower into a mid-cycle transition as Fed balance sheet growth has materially slowed. Meanwhile, M2 is slowing just as rapidly and has further to fall, especially when the Fed begins to taper later this year or early next. Finally, global money supply growth is also slowing from elevated levels and every major region is contributing.</p>\n<p>This to Wilson<b>\"looks reminiscent of 2014 and 2018 when markets went through a rolling correction of risky assets\"</b>and he thinks 2021 will prove to be similar in that regard with the highest beta regions falling first (Kospi, China, Japan) and ending with the most defensive (US).</p>\n<p>Putting it all together, the MS strategist writes that \"tapering is tightening but the tightening process began with the rate of change in money supply growth. The good news is that<b>the market already knows it.</b>The bad news is that<b>a majority of investors seem to be just catching on with the Fed's \"surprise\" announcement this past week.</b>This means asset prices are far from done correcting as witnessed with the more cyclical, reflationary assets taking their turn the past few weeks.\"</p>\n<p>And while we completely agree with Wilson's newly discovered Austrian view of markets - funny how on a long enough timeline everyone turns Austrian - the real question is what will catalyze the next M2 boosting cycle, how high will it push stocks, and will the Fed be forced to come out and start buying equities this time after having nationalized the bond market back in 2020.</p>\n<p>We expect that the answer will be revealed after the next 20% drop at which point all of the Fed's hawkishness will evaporate, and Powell (or his replacement Kashkari) will shift to an uber dovish mode as they prepare to unleash the final and biggest asset bubble of all...</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Forget Everything You Know: Morgan Stanley Reveals The Only Metric That Determines What The Market Will Do Next</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nForget Everything You Know: Morgan Stanley Reveals The Only Metric That Determines What The Market Will Do Next\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-22 14:55 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/forget-everything-you-know-morgan-stanley-reveals-only-metric-determines-what-market-will><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Traders of a certain age may recall that back in 2013, around the time the Fed's \"Taper Tantrum\" sparked a surge in yields and led to a risk asset selloff, a big (if entirely artificial) debate ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/forget-everything-you-know-morgan-stanley-reveals-only-metric-determines-what-market-will\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/forget-everything-you-know-morgan-stanley-reveals-only-metric-determines-what-market-will","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1177499959","content_text":"Traders of a certain age may recall that back in 2013, around the time the Fed's \"Taper Tantrum\" sparked a surge in yields and led to a risk asset selloff, a big (if entirely artificial) debate emerged within financial media, where the Fed muppets and their media puppets would argue that \"tapering is not tightening\" while anyone with half a brain realized knew that this was total BS.\nFast forward to today when Morgan Stanley's Michael Wilson opens up an old wound for clueless Fed apologists, saying in his latest Weekly Warm Up note that \"TaperingisTightening\"... but then adds that contrary to the market's shocked reaction to last week's Fed meeting, tightening actually began months ago.\nElaborating on this point, Wilson - who several months ago turned into Wall Street's most bearish strategist (again)-  writes this morning that while the Fed's pivot to \"begin\" the tightening discussion caught most by surprise, in reality markets began discounting this inevitable process months ago as price action had indicated. It's exactly this discounting of the coming tightening, that is what Michael Wilson's mid-cycle transition is all about, and as the strategist adds, \"fits nicely with our narrative for choppier equity markets and a 10-20% correction for the broader indices this year.\"\nOr to paraphrase Lester Burnham,\"it's all downhill from here\"...and as Wilson predicts, that won't change until M2 growth is done decelerating; or in other words, until the Fed unleashes another liquidity burst into the system \"the transition is incomplete.\"\nHighlights aside, Wilson then elaborates on each point, noting that while last week's Fed meeting brought more uncertainty to markets one thing is becoming more obvious:\"we are on the other side of the mountain with respect to monetary accommodation for this cycle.\"\nFurthermore, having repeatedlywarned that the US is now mid-cycle...\n... Wilson then takes a victory lap writing that what the Fed is doing is \"classic mid cycle transition behavior so investors really shouldn't be too surprised that the Fed would try to begin the long process of tightening.\"\n\n After all, the US economy is booming and expected to grow close to 10 percent this year in nominal terms, a feat last witnessed in 1984. Meanwhile, no matter what one's view is on inflation being transient or not, prices are up significantly and likely higher than what the Fed, or most others were expecting 6 months ago. In other words, the facts and data have changed; therefore, so should Fed policy.\n\nNevertheless, as discussed here extensively, markets reacted as if this was a complete shock with both bonds and stocks trading as if the Fed had hiked rates already (instead of leaving over $2TN in QE still on deck) after the Fed meeting. Starting with bonds, both nominal 10 year yields and breakevens fell significantly. However, breakevens fell more leaving 10 year real rates higher by almost 20 bps Wednesday afternoon.\nWhile real rates did settle back a bit on Thursday and Friday, they have formed what appears to be a very solid base from which they are likely to rise as the economy continues to recover and the Fed appropriately pivots. In Wilson's view, \"this looks very similar to 2013, the year after Peak Fed. Back then, Peak Fed was QE3 which was announced on September 12, 2012. This time Peak Fed was the announcement of Average Inflation Targeting last summer.\"\n\nThat said, there is one notable difference between the taper tantrum and today: in 2013 \"tapering\" QE was a novel concept to markets and it came more abruptly with Bernanke's surprise mention during his congressional testimony on May 22, 2013.This time, the markets understand what tapering is and see its arrival as inevitable as the economy recovers.Therefore, while the path higher for real rates is unlikely to be as dramatic as witnessed in 2013, it is still likely to be higher from here and that is a change that will affect all risk markets, including equities, in Morgan Stanley's view.\nWilson makes one final observation from the chart above, which is how real rates moved substantiallybeforeBernanke's testimony in May 2013, prompting Wilson to notes that \"perhaps it wasn't as much of a surprise as believed, at least to markets. We think it's the same situation today.\"\n\n In our view, the data has been so strong, it would be naive not to think the Fed wasn't moving closer to tapering over the past several months. In fact, the idea that the Fed hasn't been thinking and/or talking about it seems absurd. Surely the market understands this, making the events of the past week not so much of a surprise. It's all part of the mid cycle transition that has been ongoing for months and fits with the choppier price action and unstable market leadership we have been witnessing.\n\nThe underperformance of early cycle stocks is another classic signal the market \"gets it.\" Nevertheless, in talking with clients the past few days, this view is still out of consensus. Most haven't been ready for tighter monetary policy, nor did they think it's something they needed to worry about, until now.\nWrapping up the Fed \"surprise\" part of his note, Wilson writes that contrary to the FOMC shock,monetary tightening actually began months ago if one is looking at the right metric, which to the top Morgan Stanley equity strategist - who emerges as yet another closet Austrian - ismoney supply growth:\n\nIn a world where all of the major developed market central banks are stuck at the zero bound, or lower,\nthe primary metric that determines if monetary policy is getting more or less accommodative is Money Supply Growth.\n\nRealizing that to most Keynesian this will be a controversial statement to say the least, Wilson digs in and says that \"it's absolutely the case and financial markets seem to agree.\"  He explains:\n\nWhen money supply is accelerating, the more speculative / riskier assets tend to outperform and when it's decelerating these assets have more trouble. As noted here several times over the past few months, the Fed's balance sheet (M1) growth peaked in mid February and that coincided with a top in many of the most expensive/speculative stocks in the equity market just like the acceleration in the Fed's balance sheet in the prior 12 months contributed to their spectacular performance. Interestingly, the recently flattening out of the growth in M1 has coincided with more stability in these stocks, although they remain well below prior highs (Exhibit 2).\n\nAnd visually:\n\nBut wait there's more, and also an explanation why the Fed has made it virtually impossible to track the weekly change in M2 (the aggregate is now updated only monthly).\nTaking Wilson's argument a step further,M2 growth might be even more important to monitor than M1 because that's the net liquidity available to the economyandmarkets.On that front, the deceleration also began at the end of Februarybut has not yet flattened out and appears to have much further to fall to a  more \"normal\" level of annual growth— i.e., 7-8%\n\nMore ominously, this also suggestsliquidity is likely to tighten further from here whether the Fed's begins tapering later this year or next.\nFinally, when we look at M2 data on a global basis, we get the same picture.\n\nWilson concludes that even ahead of last week's \"shock\" FOMC, the market had already started to de-rate lower into a mid-cycle transition as Fed balance sheet growth has materially slowed. Meanwhile, M2 is slowing just as rapidly and has further to fall, especially when the Fed begins to taper later this year or early next. Finally, global money supply growth is also slowing from elevated levels and every major region is contributing.\nThis to Wilson\"looks reminiscent of 2014 and 2018 when markets went through a rolling correction of risky assets\"and he thinks 2021 will prove to be similar in that regard with the highest beta regions falling first (Kospi, China, Japan) and ending with the most defensive (US).\nPutting it all together, the MS strategist writes that \"tapering is tightening but the tightening process began with the rate of change in money supply growth. The good news is thatthe market already knows it.The bad news is thata majority of investors seem to be just catching on with the Fed's \"surprise\" announcement this past week.This means asset prices are far from done correcting as witnessed with the more cyclical, reflationary assets taking their turn the past few weeks.\"\nAnd while we completely agree with Wilson's newly discovered Austrian view of markets - funny how on a long enough timeline everyone turns Austrian - the real question is what will catalyze the next M2 boosting cycle, how high will it push stocks, and will the Fed be forced to come out and start buying equities this time after having nationalized the bond market back in 2020.\nWe expect that the answer will be revealed after the next 20% drop at which point all of the Fed's hawkishness will evaporate, and Powell (or his replacement Kashkari) will shift to an uber dovish mode as they prepare to unleash the final and biggest asset bubble of all...","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":439,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":129284472,"gmtCreate":1624374011196,"gmtModify":1703834883704,"author":{"id":"3587078333302518","authorId":"3587078333302518","name":"Joshuji","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a45cb00e95a6585e7073c60daa885bb6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3587078333302518","authorIdStr":"3587078333302518"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like :)","listText":"Pls like :)","text":"Pls like :)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/129284472","repostId":"1148687043","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1148687043","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624372571,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1148687043?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-22 22:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. Existing Home Sales Fell for a Fourth Straight Month in May","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1148687043","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Sales of previously owned homes declined 0.9% from prior month\nSelling price rises to fresh record, ","content":"<ul>\n <li>Sales of previously owned homes declined 0.9% from prior month</li>\n <li>Selling price rises to fresh record, squeezing affordability</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Sales of previously owned U.S. homes fell for a fourth straight month in May as higher home prices and lean inventories weighed on home buying.</p>\n<p>Contract closings decreased 0.9% from the prior month to an annualized 5.8 million, according to data out Tuesday from the National Association of Realtors. The median forecast in a Bloomberg survey of economists called for a 5.73 million rate in May.</p>\n<p>Existing home sales continue to cool frommulti-year highs as rising prices increasingly offset low borrowing costs. Robust demand paired with a limited supply of available homes have pushed selling prices skyward, keeping some buyers out of the market.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/24ec325fcfa1539e4336ee13be92f662\" tg-width=\"558\" tg-height=\"313\"></p>\n<p>Home prices will likely remain elevated for some time as builders struggle to replace the deficit in existing homes with new builds. They cite high materials prices, supply shortages and a limited number of skilled workers as ongoing challenges. The median selling price rose 23.6% from a year ago to a record $350,300 in May.</p>\n<p>“Lack of inventory continues to be the overwhelming factor holding back home sales, but falling affordability is simply squeezing some first-time buyers out of the market,” Lawrence Yun, NAR’s chief economist, said in a statement.</p>\n<p>There were 1.23 million homes for sale last month, up 7% from the prior month, though well-below levels of a year ago. At the current pace, it would take 2.5 months to sell all the homes on the market. Realtors see anything below five months of supply as a sign of a tight market.</p>\n<p>On average, properties remained on the market for a 17 days in May, matching an all-time low. Eighty-ninepercentof the homes sold last month were on the market for less than a month, the NAR said.</p>\n<p>“If prices were to decline, there’s an army of potential homebuyers seeing it as a second-chance opportunity,” Yun said on a call with reporters.</p>\n<p><b>Digging Deeper</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Sales of previously owned single-family homes declined 1% in May to a 5.08 million pace</li>\n <li>Existing condominium and co-op sales were unchanged from the prior month</li>\n <li>Three of four regions in the U.S. posted sales declines last month, while sales rose in the Midwest</li>\n <li>Existing-home sales account for about 90% of U.S. housing and are calculated when a contract closes. New-home sales, which make up the remainder, are based on contract signings and will be released Wednesday</li>\n</ul>\n<p></p>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. Existing Home Sales Fell for a Fourth Straight Month in May</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. Existing Home Sales Fell for a Fourth Straight Month in May\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-22 22:36 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-06-22/u-s-existing-home-sales-fell-for-a-fourth-straight-month-in-may?srnd=markets-vp><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Sales of previously owned homes declined 0.9% from prior month\nSelling price rises to fresh record, squeezing affordability\n\nSales of previously owned U.S. homes fell for a fourth straight month in ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-06-22/u-s-existing-home-sales-fell-for-a-fourth-straight-month-in-may?srnd=markets-vp\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-06-22/u-s-existing-home-sales-fell-for-a-fourth-straight-month-in-may?srnd=markets-vp","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1148687043","content_text":"Sales of previously owned homes declined 0.9% from prior month\nSelling price rises to fresh record, squeezing affordability\n\nSales of previously owned U.S. homes fell for a fourth straight month in May as higher home prices and lean inventories weighed on home buying.\nContract closings decreased 0.9% from the prior month to an annualized 5.8 million, according to data out Tuesday from the National Association of Realtors. The median forecast in a Bloomberg survey of economists called for a 5.73 million rate in May.\nExisting home sales continue to cool frommulti-year highs as rising prices increasingly offset low borrowing costs. Robust demand paired with a limited supply of available homes have pushed selling prices skyward, keeping some buyers out of the market.\n\nHome prices will likely remain elevated for some time as builders struggle to replace the deficit in existing homes with new builds. They cite high materials prices, supply shortages and a limited number of skilled workers as ongoing challenges. The median selling price rose 23.6% from a year ago to a record $350,300 in May.\n“Lack of inventory continues to be the overwhelming factor holding back home sales, but falling affordability is simply squeezing some first-time buyers out of the market,” Lawrence Yun, NAR’s chief economist, said in a statement.\nThere were 1.23 million homes for sale last month, up 7% from the prior month, though well-below levels of a year ago. At the current pace, it would take 2.5 months to sell all the homes on the market. Realtors see anything below five months of supply as a sign of a tight market.\nOn average, properties remained on the market for a 17 days in May, matching an all-time low. Eighty-ninepercentof the homes sold last month were on the market for less than a month, the NAR said.\n“If prices were to decline, there’s an army of potential homebuyers seeing it as a second-chance opportunity,” Yun said on a call with reporters.\nDigging Deeper\n\nSales of previously owned single-family homes declined 1% in May to a 5.08 million pace\nExisting condominium and co-op sales were unchanged from the prior month\nThree of four regions in the U.S. posted sales declines last month, while sales rose in the Midwest\nExisting-home sales account for about 90% of U.S. housing and are calculated when a contract closes. New-home sales, which make up the remainder, are based on contract signings and will be released Wednesday","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":650,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":129285636,"gmtCreate":1624373985325,"gmtModify":1703834881752,"author":{"id":"3587078333302518","authorId":"3587078333302518","name":"Joshuji","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a45cb00e95a6585e7073c60daa885bb6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3587078333302518","authorIdStr":"3587078333302518"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like :)","listText":"Pls like :)","text":"Pls like :)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/129285636","repostId":"2145056554","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2145056554","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1624356900,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2145056554?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-22 18:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"These 3 Dow Stocks Are Set to Soar in 2021's Second Half","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2145056554","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Here are the companies investors are most excited about -- and why.","content":"<p>The <b>Dow Jones Industrial Average </b>(DJINDICES:^DJI) has had a solid year so far in 2021. Gains of 9% might not seem like all that much compared to the double-digit percentage gains we've seen in past years. But given everything that's happening in the economy, it's not surprising to see investors rein in their expectations somewhat on some of the top-performing stocks in the market.</p>\n<p>Yet even with the gains the overall market has seen, there are still some Dow stocks that haven't climbed as far as they might. In particular, analysts looking at three stocks among the Dow Jones Industrials see the potential for substantial gains in the second half of 2021 and beyond. Below, we'll look at these three companies to see what it'll take for them to produce the big returns that investors want right now.</p>\n<h3>UnitedHealth: 34% upside</h3>\n<p><b>UnitedHealth Group </b>(NYSE:UNH) has already put in a reasonable performance in the Dow so far this year. The health insurance giant's stock is up about 11% year to date, outpacing the broader average very slightly.</p>\n<p>Yet investors see a lot more upside for the healthcare giant. The top price target among Wall Street analysts for UnitedHealth is $522 per share, which implies roughly a 34% gain from current levels.</p>\n<p>UnitedHealth has done an excellent job of navigating the ever-changing landscape of the healthcare and health insurance industries. As the largest health insurance company in the world, UnitedHealth offers coverage not just for private businesses but also for those eligible for government programs like Medicare and Medicaid.</p>\n<p>Indeed, UnitedHealth's handling of plans under the Affordable Care Act has been masterful, with the company having participated in the program better known as Obamacare while not overcommitting to it. With the Supreme Court having recently upheld the validity of the Affordable Care Act, UnitedHealth finds itself in a strong position to keep benefiting from its mix of business.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffe66b7aafd67e07dd42007f2b60d638\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Image source: Getty Images.</p>\n<p>Yet many overlook the value of UnitedHealth's Optum health services unit. By aiming to help providers encourage health and wellness, Optum generates higher-margin revenue while often producing better outcomes for patients and members. With both growth drivers pushing the company forward, UnitedHealth looks well poised to keep climbing.</p>\n<h3>Goldman Sachs: 36% upside</h3>\n<p>Wall Street has enjoyed the bull market in stocks, and that's been a blessing for investment bank <b>Goldman Sachs </b>(NYSE:GS). The perennial financial giant has seen its stock rise 34% so far in 2021 after less impressive performance during 2020.</p>\n<p>On <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> hand, Goldman has reflected the broader performance of financial stocks across the market. Interest rates have generally been on the rise, and that's bolstered the prospects for more net-interest income from retail banking operations. Goldman lags behind its big-bank peers on the consumer banking front, but its relatively new Marcus unit has done a good job of attracting capital thus far.</p>\n<p>On the other hand, Goldman continues to rely on its investment banking operations, and strong activity levels among initial public offerings and mergers and acquisitions (M&amp;A) have fed the company's coffers nicely. Financing remains relatively easy to get, and that could spur more M&amp;A activity that in turn could keep growing revenue for Goldman's investment banking division. Add to that possible tailwinds from macroeconomic factors, and it is in a solid position to climb as high as the $484 per share that represents the top price target among those following the financial stock.</p>\n<h3>Apple: 42% upside</h3>\n<p>Lastly, <b>Apple </b>(NASDAQ:AAPL) rounds out this list. Recently fetching $130 per share, some see the iPhone maker's stock climbing to $185. That'd be a 42% jump to help Apple recover from its 2% loss so far in 2021.</p>\n<p>Apple's gains have continued to impress. Revenue jumped 54% in its most recent quarter, with sales of the iPhone 12 and various other products and accessories continuing to drive sales for the company. Returning capital to shareholders via dividends and stock buybacks has had a substantial impact on financial performance, especially with the number of outstanding shares having plunged by roughly 35% in just the past decade.</p>\n<p>Many fear that Apple hasn't generated the innovative product lines that drove its success in the mid-2000s. However, at least for now, consumers seem content with iterations on existing product lines, and as long as that remains a successful strategy, further gains for the stock seem realistic.</p>\n<h3>Further to run?</h3>\n<p>Even with solid gains for the Dow in 2021, the long-term trajectory for stocks remains upward. That's a big part of why Apple, Goldman Sachs, and UnitedHealth Group look as promising as they do. Smart investors should at least keep an eye on these three stocks to see if they can live up to their full potential.</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>These 3 Dow Stocks Are Set to Soar in 2021's Second Half</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThese 3 Dow Stocks Are Set to Soar in 2021's Second Half\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-22 18:15 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/22/these-3-dow-stocks-set-to-soar-2021s-second-half/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJINDICES:^DJI) has had a solid year so far in 2021. Gains of 9% might not seem like all that much compared to the double-digit percentage gains we've seen in past ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/22/these-3-dow-stocks-set-to-soar-2021s-second-half/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果","GS":"高盛","03086":"华夏纳指","09086":"华夏纳指-U","UNH":"联合健康"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/22/these-3-dow-stocks-set-to-soar-2021s-second-half/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2145056554","content_text":"The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJINDICES:^DJI) has had a solid year so far in 2021. Gains of 9% might not seem like all that much compared to the double-digit percentage gains we've seen in past years. But given everything that's happening in the economy, it's not surprising to see investors rein in their expectations somewhat on some of the top-performing stocks in the market.\nYet even with the gains the overall market has seen, there are still some Dow stocks that haven't climbed as far as they might. In particular, analysts looking at three stocks among the Dow Jones Industrials see the potential for substantial gains in the second half of 2021 and beyond. Below, we'll look at these three companies to see what it'll take for them to produce the big returns that investors want right now.\nUnitedHealth: 34% upside\nUnitedHealth Group (NYSE:UNH) has already put in a reasonable performance in the Dow so far this year. The health insurance giant's stock is up about 11% year to date, outpacing the broader average very slightly.\nYet investors see a lot more upside for the healthcare giant. The top price target among Wall Street analysts for UnitedHealth is $522 per share, which implies roughly a 34% gain from current levels.\nUnitedHealth has done an excellent job of navigating the ever-changing landscape of the healthcare and health insurance industries. As the largest health insurance company in the world, UnitedHealth offers coverage not just for private businesses but also for those eligible for government programs like Medicare and Medicaid.\nIndeed, UnitedHealth's handling of plans under the Affordable Care Act has been masterful, with the company having participated in the program better known as Obamacare while not overcommitting to it. With the Supreme Court having recently upheld the validity of the Affordable Care Act, UnitedHealth finds itself in a strong position to keep benefiting from its mix of business.\n\nImage source: Getty Images.\nYet many overlook the value of UnitedHealth's Optum health services unit. By aiming to help providers encourage health and wellness, Optum generates higher-margin revenue while often producing better outcomes for patients and members. With both growth drivers pushing the company forward, UnitedHealth looks well poised to keep climbing.\nGoldman Sachs: 36% upside\nWall Street has enjoyed the bull market in stocks, and that's been a blessing for investment bank Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS). The perennial financial giant has seen its stock rise 34% so far in 2021 after less impressive performance during 2020.\nOn one hand, Goldman has reflected the broader performance of financial stocks across the market. Interest rates have generally been on the rise, and that's bolstered the prospects for more net-interest income from retail banking operations. Goldman lags behind its big-bank peers on the consumer banking front, but its relatively new Marcus unit has done a good job of attracting capital thus far.\nOn the other hand, Goldman continues to rely on its investment banking operations, and strong activity levels among initial public offerings and mergers and acquisitions (M&A) have fed the company's coffers nicely. Financing remains relatively easy to get, and that could spur more M&A activity that in turn could keep growing revenue for Goldman's investment banking division. Add to that possible tailwinds from macroeconomic factors, and it is in a solid position to climb as high as the $484 per share that represents the top price target among those following the financial stock.\nApple: 42% upside\nLastly, Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) rounds out this list. Recently fetching $130 per share, some see the iPhone maker's stock climbing to $185. That'd be a 42% jump to help Apple recover from its 2% loss so far in 2021.\nApple's gains have continued to impress. Revenue jumped 54% in its most recent quarter, with sales of the iPhone 12 and various other products and accessories continuing to drive sales for the company. Returning capital to shareholders via dividends and stock buybacks has had a substantial impact on financial performance, especially with the number of outstanding shares having plunged by roughly 35% in just the past decade.\nMany fear that Apple hasn't generated the innovative product lines that drove its success in the mid-2000s. However, at least for now, consumers seem content with iterations on existing product lines, and as long as that remains a successful strategy, further gains for the stock seem realistic.\nFurther to run?\nEven with solid gains for the Dow in 2021, the long-term trajectory for stocks remains upward. That's a big part of why Apple, Goldman Sachs, and UnitedHealth Group look as promising as they do. Smart investors should at least keep an eye on these three stocks to see if they can live up to their full potential.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":289,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":167120735,"gmtCreate":1624253127427,"gmtModify":1703831663738,"author":{"id":"3587078333302518","authorId":"3587078333302518","name":"Joshuji","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a45cb00e95a6585e7073c60daa885bb6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3587078333302518","authorIdStr":"3587078333302518"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment! :)","listText":"Like and comment! :)","text":"Like and comment! :)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/167120735","repostId":"1154249454","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1154249454","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624230573,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1154249454?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-21 07:09","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nike, FedEx, Johnson & Johnson, Darden, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1154249454","media":"barrons","summary":"A handful of notable companies will release their latest results toward the end of this week.Nike,FedEx,andDarden Restaurantswill report on Thursday, followed by CarMax and Paychex on Friday. Wednesday will also feature analyst days and investor events from Johnson & Johnson, GlaxoSmithKline,and Equinix.Economic data out this week include IHS’ Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers’ Indexes for June on Wednesday. Both are expected to hold near their record highs. The Census Bureau will r","content":"<p>A handful of notable companies will release their latest results toward the end of this week.Nike,FedEx,andDarden Restaurantswill report on Thursday, followed by CarMax and Paychex on Friday. Wednesday will also feature analyst days and investor events from&nbsp;Johnson &amp;&nbsp;Johnson,&nbsp;GlaxoSmithKline,and&nbsp;Equinix.</p>\n<p>Economic data out this week include IHS’ Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers’ Indexes for June on Wednesday. Both are expected to hold near their record highs. The Census Bureau will release the durable-goods report for May on Thursday. Orders—often seen as a decent proxy for business investment—are expected to rise 3.3% month over month.</p>\n<p>And on Friday, the Bureau of Economic Analysis will report personal income and consumption for May. Spending is forecast to continue rising despite a drop off in income as stimulus checks finished being sent out in April.</p>\n<p>Monday 6/21</p>\n<p><b>The Federal Reserve Bank</b>of Chicago releases its National Activity index, a gauge of overall economic activity, for May. Expectations are for a 0.50 reading, higher than April’s 0.24 figure. A positive reading indicates economic growth that is above historical trends.</p>\n<p>Tuesday 6/22</p>\n<p><b>The National Association</b>of Realtors reports existing-home sales for May. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.7 million homes sold, about 150,000 fewer than the April data. Existing-home sales have fallen for three consecutive months, as supply hasn’t been able to keep up with demand.</p>\n<p>Wednesday 6/23</p>\n<p>Equinix hosts its 2021 analyst day, when the company will update its long-term financial outlook.</p>\n<p>GlaxoSmithKline hosts a conference call, featuring its CEO, Emma Walmsley, to update investors on the company’s strategy for growth and shareholder value creation.</p>\n<p>Johnson &amp; Johnson hosts a webcast to discuss its ESG strategy.</p>\n<p><b>The Census Bureau</b>reports new residential construction data for May. Consensus estimate is for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 875,000 new single-family homes sold, slightly higher than April’s 863,000. Similar to existing-home sales, new-home sales have fallen from their recent peak of 993,000 in January of this year.</p>\n<p><b>IHS Markitreports</b>both its Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers’ indexes for June. Expectations are for a 61.5 reading for the Manufacturing PMI, and a 69.8 figure for the Services PMI. Both projections are comparable to the May data as well as being near record highs for their respective indexes.</p>\n<p>Thursday 6/24</p>\n<p><b>The Bureau of Economic Analysis</b>reports the third and final estimate of first-quarter gross-domestic-product growth. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual growth rate of 6.4%.</p>\n<p>Accenture,Darden Restaurants, FedEx, and Nike hold conference calls to discuss quarterly results.</p>\n<p><b>The Bank of England</b>announces its monetary-policy decision. The central bank is widely expected to keep its key interest rate at 0.1%.</p>\n<p><b>The Census Bureau</b>releases the durable-goods report for May. The consensus call is for new orders of manufactured goods to rise 2.8% month over month to $253 billion. Excluding transportation, new orders are projected at 1%, matching the April data.</p>\n<p>Friday 6/25</p>\n<p>CarMax and Paychex report earnings.</p>\n<p><b>The BEA reports</b>personal income and consumption for May. Income is expected to fall 3% month over month, after plummeting 13.1% in April. This reflects a dropoff in stimulus checks that first were sent out in March. Spending is seen rising 0.5%, comparable to the April data.</p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nike, FedEx, Johnson & Johnson, Darden, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNike, FedEx, Johnson & Johnson, Darden, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-21 07:09 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/nike-fedex-johnson-johnson-darden-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51624215603?mod=hp_LEAD_3><strong>barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>A handful of notable companies will release their latest results toward the end of this week.Nike,FedEx,andDarden Restaurantswill report on Thursday, followed by CarMax and Paychex on Friday. ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/nike-fedex-johnson-johnson-darden-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51624215603?mod=hp_LEAD_3\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"DRI":"达登饭店","JNJ":"强生","FDX":"联邦快递","NKE":"耐克"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/nike-fedex-johnson-johnson-darden-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51624215603?mod=hp_LEAD_3","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1154249454","content_text":"A handful of notable companies will release their latest results toward the end of this week.Nike,FedEx,andDarden Restaurantswill report on Thursday, followed by CarMax and Paychex on Friday. Wednesday will also feature analyst days and investor events from Johnson & Johnson, GlaxoSmithKline,and Equinix.\nEconomic data out this week include IHS’ Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers’ Indexes for June on Wednesday. Both are expected to hold near their record highs. The Census Bureau will release the durable-goods report for May on Thursday. Orders—often seen as a decent proxy for business investment—are expected to rise 3.3% month over month.\nAnd on Friday, the Bureau of Economic Analysis will report personal income and consumption for May. Spending is forecast to continue rising despite a drop off in income as stimulus checks finished being sent out in April.\nMonday 6/21\nThe Federal Reserve Bankof Chicago releases its National Activity index, a gauge of overall economic activity, for May. Expectations are for a 0.50 reading, higher than April’s 0.24 figure. A positive reading indicates economic growth that is above historical trends.\nTuesday 6/22\nThe National Associationof Realtors reports existing-home sales for May. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.7 million homes sold, about 150,000 fewer than the April data. Existing-home sales have fallen for three consecutive months, as supply hasn’t been able to keep up with demand.\nWednesday 6/23\nEquinix hosts its 2021 analyst day, when the company will update its long-term financial outlook.\nGlaxoSmithKline hosts a conference call, featuring its CEO, Emma Walmsley, to update investors on the company’s strategy for growth and shareholder value creation.\nJohnson & Johnson hosts a webcast to discuss its ESG strategy.\nThe Census Bureaureports new residential construction data for May. Consensus estimate is for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 875,000 new single-family homes sold, slightly higher than April’s 863,000. Similar to existing-home sales, new-home sales have fallen from their recent peak of 993,000 in January of this year.\nIHS Markitreportsboth its Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers’ indexes for June. Expectations are for a 61.5 reading for the Manufacturing PMI, and a 69.8 figure for the Services PMI. Both projections are comparable to the May data as well as being near record highs for their respective indexes.\nThursday 6/24\nThe Bureau of Economic Analysisreports the third and final estimate of first-quarter gross-domestic-product growth. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual growth rate of 6.4%.\nAccenture,Darden Restaurants, FedEx, and Nike hold conference calls to discuss quarterly results.\nThe Bank of Englandannounces its monetary-policy decision. The central bank is widely expected to keep its key interest rate at 0.1%.\nThe Census Bureaureleases the durable-goods report for May. The consensus call is for new orders of manufactured goods to rise 2.8% month over month to $253 billion. Excluding transportation, new orders are projected at 1%, matching the April data.\nFriday 6/25\nCarMax and Paychex report earnings.\nThe BEA reportspersonal income and consumption for May. Income is expected to fall 3% month over month, after plummeting 13.1% in April. This reflects a dropoff in stimulus checks that first were sent out in March. Spending is seen rising 0.5%, comparable to the April data.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":161,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":166580818,"gmtCreate":1624017541034,"gmtModify":1703826647128,"author":{"id":"3587078333302518","authorId":"3587078333302518","name":"Joshuji","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a45cb00e95a6585e7073c60daa885bb6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3587078333302518","authorIdStr":"3587078333302518"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like n comment","listText":"Like n comment","text":"Like n comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/166580818","repostId":"2144755197","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":334,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":166514261,"gmtCreate":1624017430753,"gmtModify":1703826644052,"author":{"id":"3587078333302518","authorId":"3587078333302518","name":"Joshuji","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a45cb00e95a6585e7073c60daa885bb6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3587078333302518","authorIdStr":"3587078333302518"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/166514261","repostId":"2144757377","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2144757377","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1624017300,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2144757377?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-18 19:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Can Corsair Gaming Be the Nike of Esports?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2144757377","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The company provides high-performance gear to video game players and esports professionals.","content":"<p>Video games are <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> of the largest industries worldwide. With an estimated $157 billion in global spending last year that is projected to reach almost $300 billion by 2027, there are tons of investment opportunities lurking within the gaming space.</p>\n<p>One of these opportunities may be <b>Corsair Gaming</b> (NASDAQ:CRSR), a company that just went public last fall and aims to become <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of the premier gaming equipment and gear brands, similar to what <b>Nike</b> (NYSE:NKE) has done within the traditional sports market. Does Corsair Gaming have the chops to be the Nike of video games? Let's take a look.</p>\n<h2>What is Corsair Gaming?</h2>\n<p>Founded in 1994, Corsair started out selling high-end gaming PCs and hardware. This operating segment, which it calls gaming components and systems, is still the majority of the company's revenue, generating $353.5 million of its $529.4 million in sales last quarter. Corsair sells high-performance PCs to hardcore gamers, most of which sell for more than $2,000 apiece.</p>\n<p>While its legacy business is components and systems, Corsair is investing heavily into what it calls gaming and creator peripherals. This is mainly gaming and live streaming accessories like microphones, headsets, keyboards, and chairs. This segment generated $175.9 million in sales last quarter, up from $75.9 million a year ago. That is 132% year-over-year revenue growth for this segment.</p>\n<p>Corsair is also making multiple acquisitions to bolster its fastest-growing operating segment. One company it just acquired, Elgato, is a top brand for live stream equipment and software. Seeing as live streaming is huge among the gaming community, Elgato should fit perfectly among Corsair's product portfolio.</p>\n<p>Late last year, Corsair acquired Gamer Sensei, the world's biggest esports coaching service. Like Elgato, Gamer Sensei is an easy upsell for Corsair customers, as many are likely already aspiring esports professionals.</p>\n<h2>How Corsair can follow the Nike playbook</h2>\n<p>The problem with Corsair is that, when you get down to it, a lot of what it and its competitors sell are commodity products. This means that Corsair needs to differentiate itself in other ways in order to attract customers, like with design or a quality brand. A great comparison, and possible inspiration for Corsair's advertising strategy, would be Nike's playbook that helped it dominate the athletic shoe and apparel market.</p>\n<p>For decades, Nike has paid billions of dollars to famous athletes and sports teams to make sure they exclusively wear Nike products when performing in front of millions of fans. For example, it is rumored the company's lifetime contract with NBA star Lebron James is worth more than $1 billion. At first glance, this may seem like wasteful spending, but Nike gets a great return on these athlete contracts because it convinces millions of other people to spend $100 or more on a pair of Nike shoes.</p>\n<p>Corsair can differentiate itself from other gaming equipment brands by using a similar strategy of paying famous gamers and esports athletes to exclusively use and wear Corsair products. It is already moving in this direction, with a few esports teams under its umbrella and a streamer program where people can apply to get free gear and discounts. However, the company has a lot more levers it could pull on this front. For example, it could sign top Twitch streamers to multi-year sponsorship deals, fitting them exclusively with Corsair gear. It could also go a step further by partnering with these top streamers to build custom gear, similar to what Nike does with NBA players and shoes. I'm no expert on the game streaming market, but if someone like Ninja (one of the most popular Twitch streamers) came out with a customer Corsair product it would likely do very well.</p>\n<h2>The stock trades at a reasonable valuation</h2>\n<p>As of this writing, Corsair has a market cap of $3 billion. With $1.92 billion in trailing 12-month revenue, that gives the stock a price-to-sales ratio (P/S) of 1.56. And with $185.5 million in free cash flow over the past 12 months, its price-to-free-cash-flow (P/FCF) is around 16.2.</p>\n<p>Both these metrics are cheap relative to the overall market, indicating that investors are not that confident in Corsair's prospects going forward. Management is only guiding for $1.9 billion to $2.1 billion in revenue in 2021, which may be spooking investors a bit as that would be a big slowdown in growth. But if you have a long-term time horizon and think Corsair can be a dominant brand in one of the world's fastest-growing industries, a market cap of only $3 billion may look like a steal five or 10 years from now.</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Can Corsair Gaming Be the Nike of Esports?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCan Corsair Gaming Be the Nike of Esports?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-18 19:55 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/18/can-corsair-gaming-be-the-nike-of-esports/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Video games are one of the largest industries worldwide. With an estimated $157 billion in global spending last year that is projected to reach almost $300 billion by 2027, there are tons of ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/18/can-corsair-gaming-be-the-nike-of-esports/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NKE":"耐克","CRSR":"Corsair Gaming, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/18/can-corsair-gaming-be-the-nike-of-esports/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2144757377","content_text":"Video games are one of the largest industries worldwide. With an estimated $157 billion in global spending last year that is projected to reach almost $300 billion by 2027, there are tons of investment opportunities lurking within the gaming space.\nOne of these opportunities may be Corsair Gaming (NASDAQ:CRSR), a company that just went public last fall and aims to become one of the premier gaming equipment and gear brands, similar to what Nike (NYSE:NKE) has done within the traditional sports market. Does Corsair Gaming have the chops to be the Nike of video games? Let's take a look.\nWhat is Corsair Gaming?\nFounded in 1994, Corsair started out selling high-end gaming PCs and hardware. This operating segment, which it calls gaming components and systems, is still the majority of the company's revenue, generating $353.5 million of its $529.4 million in sales last quarter. Corsair sells high-performance PCs to hardcore gamers, most of which sell for more than $2,000 apiece.\nWhile its legacy business is components and systems, Corsair is investing heavily into what it calls gaming and creator peripherals. This is mainly gaming and live streaming accessories like microphones, headsets, keyboards, and chairs. This segment generated $175.9 million in sales last quarter, up from $75.9 million a year ago. That is 132% year-over-year revenue growth for this segment.\nCorsair is also making multiple acquisitions to bolster its fastest-growing operating segment. One company it just acquired, Elgato, is a top brand for live stream equipment and software. Seeing as live streaming is huge among the gaming community, Elgato should fit perfectly among Corsair's product portfolio.\nLate last year, Corsair acquired Gamer Sensei, the world's biggest esports coaching service. Like Elgato, Gamer Sensei is an easy upsell for Corsair customers, as many are likely already aspiring esports professionals.\nHow Corsair can follow the Nike playbook\nThe problem with Corsair is that, when you get down to it, a lot of what it and its competitors sell are commodity products. This means that Corsair needs to differentiate itself in other ways in order to attract customers, like with design or a quality brand. A great comparison, and possible inspiration for Corsair's advertising strategy, would be Nike's playbook that helped it dominate the athletic shoe and apparel market.\nFor decades, Nike has paid billions of dollars to famous athletes and sports teams to make sure they exclusively wear Nike products when performing in front of millions of fans. For example, it is rumored the company's lifetime contract with NBA star Lebron James is worth more than $1 billion. At first glance, this may seem like wasteful spending, but Nike gets a great return on these athlete contracts because it convinces millions of other people to spend $100 or more on a pair of Nike shoes.\nCorsair can differentiate itself from other gaming equipment brands by using a similar strategy of paying famous gamers and esports athletes to exclusively use and wear Corsair products. It is already moving in this direction, with a few esports teams under its umbrella and a streamer program where people can apply to get free gear and discounts. However, the company has a lot more levers it could pull on this front. For example, it could sign top Twitch streamers to multi-year sponsorship deals, fitting them exclusively with Corsair gear. It could also go a step further by partnering with these top streamers to build custom gear, similar to what Nike does with NBA players and shoes. I'm no expert on the game streaming market, but if someone like Ninja (one of the most popular Twitch streamers) came out with a customer Corsair product it would likely do very well.\nThe stock trades at a reasonable valuation\nAs of this writing, Corsair has a market cap of $3 billion. With $1.92 billion in trailing 12-month revenue, that gives the stock a price-to-sales ratio (P/S) of 1.56. And with $185.5 million in free cash flow over the past 12 months, its price-to-free-cash-flow (P/FCF) is around 16.2.\nBoth these metrics are cheap relative to the overall market, indicating that investors are not that confident in Corsair's prospects going forward. Management is only guiding for $1.9 billion to $2.1 billion in revenue in 2021, which may be spooking investors a bit as that would be a big slowdown in growth. But if you have a long-term time horizon and think Corsair can be a dominant brand in one of the world's fastest-growing industries, a market cap of only $3 billion may look like a steal five or 10 years from now.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":150,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":166515900,"gmtCreate":1624017276100,"gmtModify":1703826642270,"author":{"id":"3587078333302518","authorId":"3587078333302518","name":"Joshuji","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a45cb00e95a6585e7073c60daa885bb6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3587078333302518","authorIdStr":"3587078333302518"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like my comment! Thanks :)","listText":"Like my comment! Thanks :)","text":"Like my comment! Thanks :)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/166515900","repostId":"1139060110","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1139060110","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624015692,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1139060110?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-18 19:28","market":"us","language":"en","title":"JPMorgan upgrades Lennar, sees nearly 50% upside amid hot housing market and potential buybacks","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1139060110","media":"cnbc","summary":"The market is under valuing Lennar’s internal improvements and potential in a hot housing market, ac","content":"<div>\n<p>The market is under valuing Lennar’s internal improvements and potential in a hot housing market, according to JPMorgan.\nThe homebuilder reported its second quarter earnings on Wednesday, delivering ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/18/lennar-stock-upgrade-jpmorgan.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"cnbc_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>JPMorgan upgrades Lennar, sees nearly 50% upside amid hot housing market and potential buybacks</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nJPMorgan upgrades Lennar, sees nearly 50% upside amid hot housing market and potential buybacks\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-18 19:28 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/18/lennar-stock-upgrade-jpmorgan.html><strong>cnbc</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The market is under valuing Lennar’s internal improvements and potential in a hot housing market, according to JPMorgan.\nThe homebuilder reported its second quarter earnings on Wednesday, delivering ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/18/lennar-stock-upgrade-jpmorgan.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LEN":"莱纳建筑公司"},"source_url":"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/18/lennar-stock-upgrade-jpmorgan.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/72bb72e1b84c09fca865c6dcb1bbcd16","article_id":"1139060110","content_text":"The market is under valuing Lennar’s internal improvements and potential in a hot housing market, according to JPMorgan.\nThe homebuilder reported its second quarter earnings on Wednesday, delivering revenue and earnings per share above expectations, according to FactSet. The company also raised its guidance for average sales prices and gross margins.\nAdditionally, the companyannounced in Marchthat it planned to spin-off some of its non-core assets to create a rental housing venture.\nJPMorgan analyst Michael Rehaut upgraded the stock to overweight from neutral, saying in a note to clients on Friday that the company appeared undervalued based on its strategic shift and potential for share buybacks.\n“At current levels, not only do we view LEN’s valuation as effectively not assigning much value to its proposed spin-off, but moreover, we expect the company to demonstrate further progress in its shift to an asset light model as well as, lastly, anticipate an increased level of returning cash to shareholders over time,” the note said.\nHome sales and starts have slowed in recent months as a short supply of houses on the market has hit at the same time as sky high lumber prices. However, JPMorgan said that Lennar’s management still seemed positive about the strength of the housing market overall.\nThe firm hiked its price target on Lennar to $141 per share from $115, representing upside of 49%. The stock has already gained 24% year to date.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":256,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":166512896,"gmtCreate":1624017220115,"gmtModify":1703826641302,"author":{"id":"3587078333302518","authorId":"3587078333302518","name":"Joshuji","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a45cb00e95a6585e7073c60daa885bb6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3587078333302518","authorIdStr":"3587078333302518"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like :-)","listText":"Pls like :-)","text":"Pls like :-)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/166512896","repostId":"1133025835","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1133025835","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624015886,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1133025835?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-18 19:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Piper Sandler upgrades Biogen, says Alzheimer's drug demand will be strong despite controversy","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1133025835","media":"cnbc","summary":"The demand outlook for Biogen’s new Alzheimer’s drug appears strong despite lingering concerns about","content":"<div>\n<p>The demand outlook for Biogen’s new Alzheimer’s drug appears strong despite lingering concerns about the new treatment, and that should push the company’s stock higher, according to Piper Sandler.\nThe...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/18/piper-sandler-upgrades-biogen-says-alzheimers-drug-demand-will-be-strong-despite-controversy.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"cnbc_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Piper Sandler upgrades Biogen, says Alzheimer's drug demand will be strong despite controversy</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPiper Sandler upgrades Biogen, says Alzheimer's drug demand will be strong despite controversy\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-18 19:31 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/18/piper-sandler-upgrades-biogen-says-alzheimers-drug-demand-will-be-strong-despite-controversy.html><strong>cnbc</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The demand outlook for Biogen’s new Alzheimer’s drug appears strong despite lingering concerns about the new treatment, and that should push the company’s stock higher, according to Piper Sandler.\nThe...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/18/piper-sandler-upgrades-biogen-says-alzheimers-drug-demand-will-be-strong-despite-controversy.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BIIB":"渤健公司"},"source_url":"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/18/piper-sandler-upgrades-biogen-says-alzheimers-drug-demand-will-be-strong-despite-controversy.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/72bb72e1b84c09fca865c6dcb1bbcd16","article_id":"1133025835","content_text":"The demand outlook for Biogen’s new Alzheimer’s drug appears strong despite lingering concerns about the new treatment, and that should push the company’s stock higher, according to Piper Sandler.\nThe Food and Drug Administration’s approval of Aduhelm has been controversial, with multiple members of an FDA advisory committeeresigning in protestover the decision. There are concerns about the effectiveness of the treatment.\nPiper Sandler analyst Christopher Raymond said in a note to clients on Friday that he shared some of those concerns but that Aduhelm would still be a winner for Biogen’s business. Raymond upgraded the stock to overweight from neutral.\n“Despite our misgivings regarding FDA’s handling of the Aduhelm approval, we find two new data points too positive to ignore, and thus believe the path of least resistance on this stock is decidedly higher,” the note said.\nThose positive data points include a survey that shows strong demand and expected uptake for the drug, despite concerns about its effectiveness, and an expectation that Medicare and Medicaid will not significantly limit the available patient base for reimbursement, Piper Sandler said.\n“Combining this with what we see as a low-probability but still completely free call option that Biogen wins on appeal with the Tecfidera IP case, we think the stock is likely to go higher in the near term,” the note said.\nThe firm hiked its price target to $450 from $384, representing upside of 17% from where the stock closed on Thursday.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":466,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":166513110,"gmtCreate":1624017020530,"gmtModify":1703826638219,"author":{"id":"3587078333302518","authorId":"3587078333302518","name":"Joshuji","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a45cb00e95a6585e7073c60daa885bb6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3587078333302518","authorIdStr":"3587078333302518"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like n comment :)","listText":"Pls like n comment :)","text":"Pls like n comment :)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/166513110","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":200,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":159855324,"gmtCreate":1624957722368,"gmtModify":1703848813448,"author":{"id":"3587078333302518","authorId":"3587078333302518","name":"Joshuji","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a45cb00e95a6585e7073c60daa885bb6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3587078333302518","authorIdStr":"3587078333302518"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like pls","listText":"Like pls","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/159855324","repostId":"1170697239","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1170697239","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624957101,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1170697239?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-29 16:58","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Tencent’s Stock Woes Deepen as Mainland Investors Turn Sellers","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1170697239","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Mainlanders have sold $1.4 billion of Tencent so far in June\nChinese traders had been net buyers of ","content":"<ul>\n <li>Mainlanders have sold $1.4 billion of Tencent so far in June</li>\n <li>Chinese traders had been net buyers of Tencent over past year</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Tencent Holdings Ltd., which has lost more than a fifth of its market value in the past few months, now appears to be losing its biggest supporter: Chinese investors.</p>\n<p>Mainland traders have sold a net HK$11.2 billion ($1.4 billion) worth of Tencent shares so far in June, exchange data compiled by Bloomberg show. This would mark the first month of outflow for the $730 billion internet giant via the trading link with Hong Kong since May 2020.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4219b7b69f7b6e17e4e920e902112b6c\" tg-width=\"949\" tg-height=\"599\"></p>\n<p>After rising to within a&nbsp;whisker&nbsp;of joining the trillion-dollar club earlier this year, Tencent began to slip as investors grew concerned about valuations and moves by the People’s Bank of China to reign in pandemic easy-money policies. With antitrust watchdogs probing alleged monopolistic behavior by the country’s internet titans over the past few months, the stock is now down 23% from its January record high.</p>\n<p>Loss of support from mainland investors, who account for almost a third of Tencent’s dailyturnover, could signal that the worst is not yet over.</p>\n<p>While the company’s sales have been boosted by increased demand for online content and services, investors have grown concerned over its profit margins due to its plans for major&nbsp;spending&nbsp;to fend off competitors such as Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. and ByteDance Ltd.</p>\n<p>“There haven’t been many bright spots in Tencent’s fundamentals,” said Dai Ming, a fund manager at Huichen Asset Management. “The advertising segment is not beating estimates, while the online gaming business may not see as high growth as last year when China recovers from the pandemic.”</p>\n<p>Even with June’s exit, mainland investors still hold about 7% of Tencent’s stock, near the highest since at least March 2017.</p>\n<p>“The shares won’t do well when there is lack of liquidity and earnings support,” he said. “Mainland traders’ selling of Tencent is likely to continue in the second half.”</p>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tencent’s Stock Woes Deepen as Mainland Investors Turn Sellers</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTencent’s Stock Woes Deepen as Mainland Investors Turn Sellers\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-29 16:58 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-06-29/tencent-s-stock-woes-deepen-as-mainland-investors-turn-sellers><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Mainlanders have sold $1.4 billion of Tencent so far in June\nChinese traders had been net buyers of Tencent over past year\n\nTencent Holdings Ltd., which has lost more than a fifth of its market value ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-06-29/tencent-s-stock-woes-deepen-as-mainland-investors-turn-sellers\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"00700":"腾讯控股"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-06-29/tencent-s-stock-woes-deepen-as-mainland-investors-turn-sellers","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1170697239","content_text":"Mainlanders have sold $1.4 billion of Tencent so far in June\nChinese traders had been net buyers of Tencent over past year\n\nTencent Holdings Ltd., which has lost more than a fifth of its market value in the past few months, now appears to be losing its biggest supporter: Chinese investors.\nMainland traders have sold a net HK$11.2 billion ($1.4 billion) worth of Tencent shares so far in June, exchange data compiled by Bloomberg show. This would mark the first month of outflow for the $730 billion internet giant via the trading link with Hong Kong since May 2020.\n\nAfter rising to within a whisker of joining the trillion-dollar club earlier this year, Tencent began to slip as investors grew concerned about valuations and moves by the People’s Bank of China to reign in pandemic easy-money policies. With antitrust watchdogs probing alleged monopolistic behavior by the country’s internet titans over the past few months, the stock is now down 23% from its January record high.\nLoss of support from mainland investors, who account for almost a third of Tencent’s dailyturnover, could signal that the worst is not yet over.\nWhile the company’s sales have been boosted by increased demand for online content and services, investors have grown concerned over its profit margins due to its plans for major spending to fend off competitors such as Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. and ByteDance Ltd.\n“There haven’t been many bright spots in Tencent’s fundamentals,” said Dai Ming, a fund manager at Huichen Asset Management. “The advertising segment is not beating estimates, while the online gaming business may not see as high growth as last year when China recovers from the pandemic.”\nEven with June’s exit, mainland investors still hold about 7% of Tencent’s stock, near the highest since at least March 2017.\n“The shares won’t do well when there is lack of liquidity and earnings support,” he said. “Mainland traders’ selling of Tencent is likely to continue in the second half.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":811,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":806665441,"gmtCreate":1627654061383,"gmtModify":1703494212220,"author":{"id":"3587078333302518","authorId":"3587078333302518","name":"Joshuji","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a45cb00e95a6585e7073c60daa885bb6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3587078333302518","authorIdStr":"3587078333302518"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/806665441","repostId":"1157771608","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1157771608","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627653929,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1157771608?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-30 22:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nvidia Stock In 10 Years: What You Should Consider","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1157771608","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nNVIDIA Corporation has been an outstanding investment over the last decade, but that will n","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>NVIDIA Corporation has been an outstanding investment over the last decade, but that will not repeat over the next decade.</li>\n <li>The company offers strong quality, great management, and has an attractive growth outlook, but shares are expensive.</li>\n <li>In the long run, returns will most likely be solid, but it may be better to wait for a lower price before entering or expanding a position.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65f0d217100f82ddae3cfb3e50178504\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1017\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Antonio Bordunovi/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p><b>Article Thesis</b></p>\n<p>NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) is one of the best growth mega-caps from a fundamental perspective and when it comes to the company's business growth potential. The stock trades, however, at a pretty high valuation, compared to other semiconductor stocks and relative to other growth mega-caps. To some extent, this premium valuation is justified, but it seems logical to assume that total returns will, in the long run, be negatively impacted by multiple compression. Over the next decade, NVIDIA Corporation still has considerable upside potential, even though I assume that its valuation will compress significantly.</p>\n<p><b>Will NVIDIA Stock Continue To Rise?</b></p>\n<p>There are two answers to this question, I believe. In the short term, price action is driven by sentiment, news items, etc. to a large degree, so it is more or less impossible to forecast where the price will be a week, a month, or half a year from now. NVIDIA has a beta of 1.4, which means that, generally, it moves in the same direction as the broad market, but with more pronounced movements. So if the market rises by 10% over the next half-year, one may reasonably assume that NVIDIA will rise by 14% over the same time frame. Since short-term moves in the broad market are largely driven by things like Fed statements, sentiment, worries about the Delta variant, etc. there is a lot of uncertainty for where broad markets and NVIDIA will head over the near future. NVIDIA's current RSI (relative strength index) is 54, which indicates that shares are neither overbought nor oversold today. The current analyst price target, per YCharts, is $194, which is almost perfectly in line with the current share price. Prices could move up or down in the near term, the price target consensus and the RSI paint a mostly neutral picture for now. Shares could continue to climb, but this is far from certain, and I surely wouldn't speculate on significant gains in the near term.</p>\n<p>In the long run, share prices are largely driven by earnings growth and changes in a stock's valuation, thus sentiment or news items are less important when it comes to NVIDIA's share price a decade from now. It is, of course, not possible to forecast the share price exactly, but we can look at scenarios that paint a picture of where shares could be heading. As I am a long-term focused investor and not much of a trader, the question of where NVIDIA will be a decade from now is, I believe, the more important one compared to the question of where NVIDIA will be in September or December.</p>\n<p><b>Where Will NVIDIA Stock Be In 10 Years</b></p>\n<p>Let's start with the note that NVIDIA's performance over the last ten years, a 5,500% gain, will certainly not repeat over the next decade. This would make NVIDIA's market capitalization balloon to<i>$27 trillion</i>, which is absolutely unrealistic, I believe, even for a high-growth company like NVIDIA. Nevertheless, even if future share price gains are less exciting, NVIDIA could still be a very solid investment, as ten-year returns of 5,000%+ are not at all required to make a stock a solid choice.</p>\n<p>Today, NVIDIA trades at 49x this year's expected net profits, which is a rather high valuation, especially for a company with a market cap as large as NVIDIA's. Most other high-growth mega-caps, such as Facebook (FB), Alphabet (GOOG), and Microsoft (MSFT) trade at significantly lower valuations, with earnings multiples around 30. Tesla (TSLA) is even more expensive than NVIDIA, trading at more than 100x this year's net profits, but I believe that this is not a great example of where growth stocks should trade, as I believe that TSLA is&nbsp;significantly overvalued.</p>\n<p>Going back to NVIDIA, we can also look at how the company was valued in the past:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/21096a0f152ce54df29d8bc2e5c8aae6\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"450\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>The 5-year to 10-year median earnings multiples are 29-48 for NVDA, thus it looks like shares are definitely trading on the expensive side today. It should be noted that the growth outlook a couple of years ago, when NVIDIA was significantly smaller, was better than it is today, mainly due to the law of large numbers, which states that maintaining high relative growth rates becomes harder as a company grows in size. The fact that shares are currently trading well above the longer-term median valuation is thus noteworthy, as one might expect that valuations<i>decline</i>as a company matures.</p>\n<p>Compared to other semi stocks, NVIDIA looks relatively expensive as well:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8062ce7784ae57f6f527806ea7c1661\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"501\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>NVIDIA trades at a premium to direct peers such as AMD (AMD) and Intel (INTC), and its stock is also more expensive than that of other large-cap semis such as Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) and Broadcom (AVGO). An above-average valuation does make sense, thanks to NVIDIA's outstanding fundamentals and strong growth rates, but it seems highly doubtful whether the company will continue to trade at almost 50x net profits forever.</p>\n<p>NVIDIA addresses a range of growth markets, such as data centers, gaming equipment, and so on. These markets will continue to grow for the foreseeable future, but they do, of course, not grow by 80% a year forever, which was NVIDIA's top-line growth rate during the&nbsp;most recent quarter. It thus seems very likely that revenue growth will slow down considerably from the current level, even when we assume that NVIDIA will continue to take market share here and there, e.g. in data centers.</p>\n<p>Analysts do thus, not surprisingly, see a considerable slowdown in NVIDIA's business growth in the coming years, even though growth will remain highly attractive for sure:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0145bdde6aebd5b6b694c80e0addfa80\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"506\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Seeking Alpha</span></p>\n<p>Revenue growth of almost 50% this year, and of 11%-16% over the following four years is still pretty attractive for sure, relative to how the average company and the economy are growing. It also seems possible that NVIDIA will beat analyst estimates, delivering somewhat higher growth, as the company has a history of delivering upside estimates -- nine out of the last ten quarterly releases&nbsp;beat estimates&nbsp;on both lines. Even if we assume that analyst estimates are too conservative, it seems relatively logical that they will at least be in the ballpark of where actual results will land -- a revenue growth rate of 80% for the remainder of 2021, or a revenue growth rate of 50% for 2022, is not realistic.</p>\n<p>When we assume that the current revenue estimates for 2025 are too low by ~10%, and that actual revenues will total $45 billion, and that revenues will grow by 10% a year between 2026 and 2031, we get to a 2031 top line of $80 billion. Right now, NVDA's net margin is 34% (most recent quarter), which is outstanding. Operating leverage should lift NVDA's operating margin in the coming years, but on the other hand, NVDA's current tax rate is pretty low at 3% during the most recent quarter. When we assume that tax rates will climb to 10%, this could offset tailwinds from operating margin expansion, thus it is far from guaranteed that NVDA's net margin will rise by a lot. If the net margin stands at 35% in 2031, NVDA would earn about $28 billion in net profits a decade from now. If the share count remains unchanged, that would equate to earnings per share of $11.10. If NVDA were to trade at the same 49x net profits it trades at today, that would lead to a share price of $540, which would equate to total returns of 180%. As mentioned earlier, I believe that multiple compression is likely, due to a range of reasons -- slowing growth, the current premium to the historic median, and the current premium over the broad market and NVDA's peers.</p>\n<p>When we do, thus, assume that the valuation compresses to around 30x net profits, which would be relatively in-line with the 10-year median earnings multiple, then shares would trade at $330 a decade from now. Over the next decade, this would pencil out to returns of a little over 70%, or about 5%-6% a year. NVDA wouldn't be a bad choice in this scenario, but not an outstanding pick, either. We can also look at a somewhat more optimistic scenario where NVDA grows its revenue by 15% a year between 2026 and 2031, in that case, with everything else held constant, NVDA would trade at $430 in 2031, which would allow for total returns of 8%-9% a year from the current price of $195.</p>\n<p>Overall, I thus believe that it is very likely that investors will see gains from the current level in the long run, but those gains will likely be far lower compared to what we have seen in recent years. High-single-digit annual returns seem like a realistic target range from the current, elevated, valuation.</p>\n<p><b>Is NVIDIA A Good Long-Term Investment?</b></p>\n<p>NVIDIA has great fundamentals, a clean balance sheet, strong margins and returns on capital, excellent management, and is in a great position tech-wise. On top of that, NVDA operates in a growing industry that is integral to our way of life. Overall, those are some great reasons to invest in its stock, but there is one additional factor that investors should keep in mind. NVDA's valuation is well above the long-term median, well above the valuations of its peers, and it seems pretty likely that this valuation will eventually compress, as growth will inevitably decline from the current immense 80% year-over-year pace. I would thus say that NVDA is a good long-term investment for sure, but not at every price. At current prices, it seems like a solid long-term investment, but not like a spectacular one. Others that have different growth assumptions or that see a different target earnings multiple 5 or 10 years from now will potentially have a different opinion on that, however.</p>\n<p><b>Is NVIDIA Stock A Good Buy Right Now?</b></p>\n<p>NVIDIA undoubtedly has been a great buy for almost everyone that bought over the last decade, but past returns do not equate to future returns. It is almost guaranteed that returns in the coming years will be significantly lower than what we have seen over the last decade. I believe that returns, in the long run, will be solid, but I do not believe that the current return outlook makes NVDA a screaming buy at current prices. NVDA traded at less than $140 (split-adjusted) a couple of months ago, and at that price, I'd see shares as a way better investment. At $190+, shares are too expensive for me to buy right now, although they can be a solid hold for everyone that bought earlier for sure.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nvidia Stock In 10 Years: What You Should Consider</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNvidia Stock In 10 Years: What You Should Consider\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-30 22:05 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4442717-nvidia-stock-in-10-years-what-you-should-consider><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nNVIDIA Corporation has been an outstanding investment over the last decade, but that will not repeat over the next decade.\nThe company offers strong quality, great management, and has an ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4442717-nvidia-stock-in-10-years-what-you-should-consider\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4442717-nvidia-stock-in-10-years-what-you-should-consider","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1157771608","content_text":"Summary\n\nNVIDIA Corporation has been an outstanding investment over the last decade, but that will not repeat over the next decade.\nThe company offers strong quality, great management, and has an attractive growth outlook, but shares are expensive.\nIn the long run, returns will most likely be solid, but it may be better to wait for a lower price before entering or expanding a position.\n\nAntonio Bordunovi/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nArticle Thesis\nNVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) is one of the best growth mega-caps from a fundamental perspective and when it comes to the company's business growth potential. The stock trades, however, at a pretty high valuation, compared to other semiconductor stocks and relative to other growth mega-caps. To some extent, this premium valuation is justified, but it seems logical to assume that total returns will, in the long run, be negatively impacted by multiple compression. Over the next decade, NVIDIA Corporation still has considerable upside potential, even though I assume that its valuation will compress significantly.\nWill NVIDIA Stock Continue To Rise?\nThere are two answers to this question, I believe. In the short term, price action is driven by sentiment, news items, etc. to a large degree, so it is more or less impossible to forecast where the price will be a week, a month, or half a year from now. NVIDIA has a beta of 1.4, which means that, generally, it moves in the same direction as the broad market, but with more pronounced movements. So if the market rises by 10% over the next half-year, one may reasonably assume that NVIDIA will rise by 14% over the same time frame. Since short-term moves in the broad market are largely driven by things like Fed statements, sentiment, worries about the Delta variant, etc. there is a lot of uncertainty for where broad markets and NVIDIA will head over the near future. NVIDIA's current RSI (relative strength index) is 54, which indicates that shares are neither overbought nor oversold today. The current analyst price target, per YCharts, is $194, which is almost perfectly in line with the current share price. Prices could move up or down in the near term, the price target consensus and the RSI paint a mostly neutral picture for now. Shares could continue to climb, but this is far from certain, and I surely wouldn't speculate on significant gains in the near term.\nIn the long run, share prices are largely driven by earnings growth and changes in a stock's valuation, thus sentiment or news items are less important when it comes to NVIDIA's share price a decade from now. It is, of course, not possible to forecast the share price exactly, but we can look at scenarios that paint a picture of where shares could be heading. As I am a long-term focused investor and not much of a trader, the question of where NVIDIA will be a decade from now is, I believe, the more important one compared to the question of where NVIDIA will be in September or December.\nWhere Will NVIDIA Stock Be In 10 Years\nLet's start with the note that NVIDIA's performance over the last ten years, a 5,500% gain, will certainly not repeat over the next decade. This would make NVIDIA's market capitalization balloon to$27 trillion, which is absolutely unrealistic, I believe, even for a high-growth company like NVIDIA. Nevertheless, even if future share price gains are less exciting, NVIDIA could still be a very solid investment, as ten-year returns of 5,000%+ are not at all required to make a stock a solid choice.\nToday, NVIDIA trades at 49x this year's expected net profits, which is a rather high valuation, especially for a company with a market cap as large as NVIDIA's. Most other high-growth mega-caps, such as Facebook (FB), Alphabet (GOOG), and Microsoft (MSFT) trade at significantly lower valuations, with earnings multiples around 30. Tesla (TSLA) is even more expensive than NVIDIA, trading at more than 100x this year's net profits, but I believe that this is not a great example of where growth stocks should trade, as I believe that TSLA is significantly overvalued.\nGoing back to NVIDIA, we can also look at how the company was valued in the past:\nData by YCharts\nThe 5-year to 10-year median earnings multiples are 29-48 for NVDA, thus it looks like shares are definitely trading on the expensive side today. It should be noted that the growth outlook a couple of years ago, when NVIDIA was significantly smaller, was better than it is today, mainly due to the law of large numbers, which states that maintaining high relative growth rates becomes harder as a company grows in size. The fact that shares are currently trading well above the longer-term median valuation is thus noteworthy, as one might expect that valuationsdeclineas a company matures.\nCompared to other semi stocks, NVIDIA looks relatively expensive as well:\nData by YCharts\nNVIDIA trades at a premium to direct peers such as AMD (AMD) and Intel (INTC), and its stock is also more expensive than that of other large-cap semis such as Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) and Broadcom (AVGO). An above-average valuation does make sense, thanks to NVIDIA's outstanding fundamentals and strong growth rates, but it seems highly doubtful whether the company will continue to trade at almost 50x net profits forever.\nNVIDIA addresses a range of growth markets, such as data centers, gaming equipment, and so on. These markets will continue to grow for the foreseeable future, but they do, of course, not grow by 80% a year forever, which was NVIDIA's top-line growth rate during the most recent quarter. It thus seems very likely that revenue growth will slow down considerably from the current level, even when we assume that NVIDIA will continue to take market share here and there, e.g. in data centers.\nAnalysts do thus, not surprisingly, see a considerable slowdown in NVIDIA's business growth in the coming years, even though growth will remain highly attractive for sure:\nSource: Seeking Alpha\nRevenue growth of almost 50% this year, and of 11%-16% over the following four years is still pretty attractive for sure, relative to how the average company and the economy are growing. It also seems possible that NVIDIA will beat analyst estimates, delivering somewhat higher growth, as the company has a history of delivering upside estimates -- nine out of the last ten quarterly releases beat estimates on both lines. Even if we assume that analyst estimates are too conservative, it seems relatively logical that they will at least be in the ballpark of where actual results will land -- a revenue growth rate of 80% for the remainder of 2021, or a revenue growth rate of 50% for 2022, is not realistic.\nWhen we assume that the current revenue estimates for 2025 are too low by ~10%, and that actual revenues will total $45 billion, and that revenues will grow by 10% a year between 2026 and 2031, we get to a 2031 top line of $80 billion. Right now, NVDA's net margin is 34% (most recent quarter), which is outstanding. Operating leverage should lift NVDA's operating margin in the coming years, but on the other hand, NVDA's current tax rate is pretty low at 3% during the most recent quarter. When we assume that tax rates will climb to 10%, this could offset tailwinds from operating margin expansion, thus it is far from guaranteed that NVDA's net margin will rise by a lot. If the net margin stands at 35% in 2031, NVDA would earn about $28 billion in net profits a decade from now. If the share count remains unchanged, that would equate to earnings per share of $11.10. If NVDA were to trade at the same 49x net profits it trades at today, that would lead to a share price of $540, which would equate to total returns of 180%. As mentioned earlier, I believe that multiple compression is likely, due to a range of reasons -- slowing growth, the current premium to the historic median, and the current premium over the broad market and NVDA's peers.\nWhen we do, thus, assume that the valuation compresses to around 30x net profits, which would be relatively in-line with the 10-year median earnings multiple, then shares would trade at $330 a decade from now. Over the next decade, this would pencil out to returns of a little over 70%, or about 5%-6% a year. NVDA wouldn't be a bad choice in this scenario, but not an outstanding pick, either. We can also look at a somewhat more optimistic scenario where NVDA grows its revenue by 15% a year between 2026 and 2031, in that case, with everything else held constant, NVDA would trade at $430 in 2031, which would allow for total returns of 8%-9% a year from the current price of $195.\nOverall, I thus believe that it is very likely that investors will see gains from the current level in the long run, but those gains will likely be far lower compared to what we have seen in recent years. High-single-digit annual returns seem like a realistic target range from the current, elevated, valuation.\nIs NVIDIA A Good Long-Term Investment?\nNVIDIA has great fundamentals, a clean balance sheet, strong margins and returns on capital, excellent management, and is in a great position tech-wise. On top of that, NVDA operates in a growing industry that is integral to our way of life. Overall, those are some great reasons to invest in its stock, but there is one additional factor that investors should keep in mind. NVDA's valuation is well above the long-term median, well above the valuations of its peers, and it seems pretty likely that this valuation will eventually compress, as growth will inevitably decline from the current immense 80% year-over-year pace. I would thus say that NVDA is a good long-term investment for sure, but not at every price. At current prices, it seems like a solid long-term investment, but not like a spectacular one. Others that have different growth assumptions or that see a different target earnings multiple 5 or 10 years from now will potentially have a different opinion on that, however.\nIs NVIDIA Stock A Good Buy Right Now?\nNVIDIA undoubtedly has been a great buy for almost everyone that bought over the last decade, but past returns do not equate to future returns. It is almost guaranteed that returns in the coming years will be significantly lower than what we have seen over the last decade. I believe that returns, in the long run, will be solid, but I do not believe that the current return outlook makes NVDA a screaming buy at current prices. NVDA traded at less than $140 (split-adjusted) a couple of months ago, and at that price, I'd see shares as a way better investment. At $190+, shares are too expensive for me to buy right now, although they can be a solid hold for everyone that bought earlier for sure.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":814,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":126122426,"gmtCreate":1624548354765,"gmtModify":1703840144735,"author":{"id":"3587078333302518","authorId":"3587078333302518","name":"Joshuji","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a45cb00e95a6585e7073c60daa885bb6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3587078333302518","authorIdStr":"3587078333302518"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like&nbsp;","listText":"Like&nbsp;","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/126122426","repostId":"1187819280","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1187819280","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624529642,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1187819280?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-24 18:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The ‘shelter in suburbia’ trade is about to reverse — and these stocks will suffer","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1187819280","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"5 reasons the pandemic megatrend is over.\n\nOne of the biggest investment stories of the COVID-19 pan","content":"<blockquote>\n <b>5 reasons the pandemic megatrend is over.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>One of the biggest investment stories of the COVID-19 pandemic has been the boom in consumer discretionary stocks with a “shelter in suburbia” theme. From e-commerce platforms to home improvement stores to furniture and housewares merchants, many of the top performers have fit this flavor.</p>\n<p>Take the broad-based Vanguard Consumer Discretionary Index Fund ETF VCR, +0.66% that surged more than 90% from March 2020 to March 2021. That was thanks to components like home improvement stocks Lowe’s LOW, -0.30% and Home Depot HD, -0.33% alongside retailers like TJX TJX, -0.08%.</p>\n<p>Lately, however, performance has started to lag for many of these names. In fact, since April 1 we’ve seen these three stocks all drift slightly into the red even as the S&amp;P 500 SPX, -0.11% has tacked on about 6% in the same period.</p>\n<p>And some fear that may only be the beginning. As one Wall Street insider said recently in a Bloomberg interview, a “huge unwind” is coming for stay-at-home stocks, including hardware stores and home-goods merchants.</p>\n<p>While some big-name “suburbia” trades are still relatively stable, signs of trouble are already emerging at the fringes. Century Communities CCS, -0.34% and Dream Finders Homes DFH, -2.55%, two mid-tier single family homebuilders, have seen shares crash by double digits over the last month. On the furnishings side, appliance giant Whirlpool Corporation WHR, -0.51% and department store Nordstrom JWN, +2.03% are down sharply from their spring highs.</p>\n<p><b>Here are five big reasons why:</b></p>\n<p><b>1.</b>&nbsp;<b>The upgrade cycle is over</b></p>\n<p>Last summer, white-collar workers who were stuck at home made note of overdue projects and took advantage of being able to easily meet with contractors. But in many ways, this growth is not sustainable.</p>\n<p>Consider the kind of purchases homeowners were making according to data from the NPD Group. Faucets, kitchen cabinets and even toilets were among the most popular products sold in 2020. Needless to say, even the most profligate homeowners aren’t going to follow this upgrade cycle of remodeling kitchens and bathrooms on an annual basis.</p>\n<p>The same is true for furniture and other home goods. Internet giant Comscore recorded the highest visitation to related websites in history in May 2020 with 133 million web surfers shopping for some kind of home goods. Once again, a new couch or lamp is not an annual purchase — so this trend seems unsustainable for much longer.</p>\n<p><b>2.&nbsp;Valuations are stretched</b></p>\n<p>Speaking of post-pandemic peaks for home-goods purveyors, we’ve seen the financials bear out these big increases via boosted profits and sales. However, we’ve also seen the stock of many related merchants surge even more — stretching their valuations from historical norms.</p>\n<p>Take TJX. Currently this discount retailer has a forward price-to-earnings ratio of more than 26, compared with a forward P/E of just 21 in spring 2020. Its trailing price-to-sales ratio is now 2.1 compared with 1.4.</p>\n<p>What’s more, valuations for previous darlings like TJX are out of line with peers, too. Consider the forward P/E of the overall S&amp;P 500 index is 22 right now, and other similar names like Macy’s M, +0.70% and Big Lots BIG, -3.71% actually have forward P/E ratios well under 10. You can argue TJX is unique, of course… but you also may want to be aware of what “fair value” looks like for many other stocks outside fashionable stay-at-home trades right now.</p>\n<p><b>3.&nbsp;Delays and shortages</b></p>\n<p>Future growth from pandemic-fueled peaks in these stocks is not impossible, of course. But given supply chain disruptions it seems highly unlikely. There are a host of reasons for these delays, including overseas shipping delays as well as capacity and output crunches that are affecting many industries, but “stay at home” stocks seem particularly hard hit.</p>\n<p>Home improvement products are simply nowhere to be found, with roughly 94% of builders reporting “at least some serious shortages of appliances” according to the National Association of Home Builders. Another 93% are running short on framing lumber and 87% say it is hard to obtain windows and doors.</p>\n<p>Even if you can get past demand concerns, without the raw materials to get to work it’s very hard to see future growth in this category.</p>\n<p><b>4.&nbsp;Inflationary pressures</b></p>\n<p>For the people who haven’t already ponied up the cash for a contractor or made their peace with extended delays for their expensive new furniture, there is a pretty big disincentive right now for new shoppers: inflation.</p>\n<p>The cost of living as measured by the Consumer Price Index jumped 0.6% in May to run at a 5% annual rate. That was not only higher than expectations, but the fastest pace since the summer of 2008. The inflation risks were so pronounced that the Federal Reserve publicly stated it could move up the schedule for expected interest rate increases to keep the risks under wraps.</p>\n<p>Inflation isn’t always a death knell, of course. But it has historically eroded purchasing power and could curtail some of the spending in “stay at home” stocks that we’ve seen in the last year or so.</p>\n<p><b>5.&nbsp;Home-equity hubris</b></p>\n<p>Speaking of red-hot inflation: In May, the median price for U.S. homes topped $350,000 for the first time ever — up 23.6% from 2020. What’s more, a Realtor.com survey showed roughly a third of selling homeowners expect to get more than their asking price, and roughly the same amount expect an offer within a week of listing.</p>\n<p>Some of this is justifiable. Many articles have been written in recent years about the dearth of supply in attractive markets, and it’s important to acknowledge the remote work of the pandemic has indeed created some disruptive introspection into why people live where they do.</p>\n<p>But here’s where things get dicey: homeowners who have already spent the expected premium on their home’s price well in advance. According to Freddie Mac, about $152.7 billion in equity loans were taken out on U.S. houses last year, a massive increase of 41.7% from 2019 and the highest refinancing cash-out dollar amount since 2007.</p>\n<p>Anyone remember what happened to the real-estate market in 2007? Or the similar sense of seller entitlement from those days? There’s no clear signs of a bubble bursting just yet, but there’s real risk American homeowners may be overly optimistic about what their homes are worth — and a chance this home equity loan free-for-all simply isn’t sustainable for much longer.</p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The ‘shelter in suburbia’ trade is about to reverse — and these stocks will suffer</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe ‘shelter in suburbia’ trade is about to reverse — and these stocks will suffer\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-24 18:14 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-shelter-in-suburbia-trade-is-about-to-reverse-and-these-stocks-will-suffer-11624457411?siteid=yhoof2><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>5 reasons the pandemic megatrend is over.\n\nOne of the biggest investment stories of the COVID-19 pandemic has been the boom in consumer discretionary stocks with a “shelter in suburbia” theme. From e-...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-shelter-in-suburbia-trade-is-about-to-reverse-and-these-stocks-will-suffer-11624457411?siteid=yhoof2\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-shelter-in-suburbia-trade-is-about-to-reverse-and-these-stocks-will-suffer-11624457411?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1187819280","content_text":"5 reasons the pandemic megatrend is over.\n\nOne of the biggest investment stories of the COVID-19 pandemic has been the boom in consumer discretionary stocks with a “shelter in suburbia” theme. From e-commerce platforms to home improvement stores to furniture and housewares merchants, many of the top performers have fit this flavor.\nTake the broad-based Vanguard Consumer Discretionary Index Fund ETF VCR, +0.66% that surged more than 90% from March 2020 to March 2021. That was thanks to components like home improvement stocks Lowe’s LOW, -0.30% and Home Depot HD, -0.33% alongside retailers like TJX TJX, -0.08%.\nLately, however, performance has started to lag for many of these names. In fact, since April 1 we’ve seen these three stocks all drift slightly into the red even as the S&P 500 SPX, -0.11% has tacked on about 6% in the same period.\nAnd some fear that may only be the beginning. As one Wall Street insider said recently in a Bloomberg interview, a “huge unwind” is coming for stay-at-home stocks, including hardware stores and home-goods merchants.\nWhile some big-name “suburbia” trades are still relatively stable, signs of trouble are already emerging at the fringes. Century Communities CCS, -0.34% and Dream Finders Homes DFH, -2.55%, two mid-tier single family homebuilders, have seen shares crash by double digits over the last month. On the furnishings side, appliance giant Whirlpool Corporation WHR, -0.51% and department store Nordstrom JWN, +2.03% are down sharply from their spring highs.\nHere are five big reasons why:\n1. The upgrade cycle is over\nLast summer, white-collar workers who were stuck at home made note of overdue projects and took advantage of being able to easily meet with contractors. But in many ways, this growth is not sustainable.\nConsider the kind of purchases homeowners were making according to data from the NPD Group. Faucets, kitchen cabinets and even toilets were among the most popular products sold in 2020. Needless to say, even the most profligate homeowners aren’t going to follow this upgrade cycle of remodeling kitchens and bathrooms on an annual basis.\nThe same is true for furniture and other home goods. Internet giant Comscore recorded the highest visitation to related websites in history in May 2020 with 133 million web surfers shopping for some kind of home goods. Once again, a new couch or lamp is not an annual purchase — so this trend seems unsustainable for much longer.\n2. Valuations are stretched\nSpeaking of post-pandemic peaks for home-goods purveyors, we’ve seen the financials bear out these big increases via boosted profits and sales. However, we’ve also seen the stock of many related merchants surge even more — stretching their valuations from historical norms.\nTake TJX. Currently this discount retailer has a forward price-to-earnings ratio of more than 26, compared with a forward P/E of just 21 in spring 2020. Its trailing price-to-sales ratio is now 2.1 compared with 1.4.\nWhat’s more, valuations for previous darlings like TJX are out of line with peers, too. Consider the forward P/E of the overall S&P 500 index is 22 right now, and other similar names like Macy’s M, +0.70% and Big Lots BIG, -3.71% actually have forward P/E ratios well under 10. You can argue TJX is unique, of course… but you also may want to be aware of what “fair value” looks like for many other stocks outside fashionable stay-at-home trades right now.\n3. Delays and shortages\nFuture growth from pandemic-fueled peaks in these stocks is not impossible, of course. But given supply chain disruptions it seems highly unlikely. There are a host of reasons for these delays, including overseas shipping delays as well as capacity and output crunches that are affecting many industries, but “stay at home” stocks seem particularly hard hit.\nHome improvement products are simply nowhere to be found, with roughly 94% of builders reporting “at least some serious shortages of appliances” according to the National Association of Home Builders. Another 93% are running short on framing lumber and 87% say it is hard to obtain windows and doors.\nEven if you can get past demand concerns, without the raw materials to get to work it’s very hard to see future growth in this category.\n4. Inflationary pressures\nFor the people who haven’t already ponied up the cash for a contractor or made their peace with extended delays for their expensive new furniture, there is a pretty big disincentive right now for new shoppers: inflation.\nThe cost of living as measured by the Consumer Price Index jumped 0.6% in May to run at a 5% annual rate. That was not only higher than expectations, but the fastest pace since the summer of 2008. The inflation risks were so pronounced that the Federal Reserve publicly stated it could move up the schedule for expected interest rate increases to keep the risks under wraps.\nInflation isn’t always a death knell, of course. But it has historically eroded purchasing power and could curtail some of the spending in “stay at home” stocks that we’ve seen in the last year or so.\n5. Home-equity hubris\nSpeaking of red-hot inflation: In May, the median price for U.S. homes topped $350,000 for the first time ever — up 23.6% from 2020. What’s more, a Realtor.com survey showed roughly a third of selling homeowners expect to get more than their asking price, and roughly the same amount expect an offer within a week of listing.\nSome of this is justifiable. Many articles have been written in recent years about the dearth of supply in attractive markets, and it’s important to acknowledge the remote work of the pandemic has indeed created some disruptive introspection into why people live where they do.\nBut here’s where things get dicey: homeowners who have already spent the expected premium on their home’s price well in advance. According to Freddie Mac, about $152.7 billion in equity loans were taken out on U.S. houses last year, a massive increase of 41.7% from 2019 and the highest refinancing cash-out dollar amount since 2007.\nAnyone remember what happened to the real-estate market in 2007? Or the similar sense of seller entitlement from those days? There’s no clear signs of a bubble bursting just yet, but there’s real risk American homeowners may be overly optimistic about what their homes are worth — and a chance this home equity loan free-for-all simply isn’t sustainable for much longer.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":701,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":129287699,"gmtCreate":1624374042911,"gmtModify":1703834884853,"author":{"id":"3587078333302518","authorId":"3587078333302518","name":"Joshuji","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a45cb00e95a6585e7073c60daa885bb6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3587078333302518","authorIdStr":"3587078333302518"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like:)","listText":"Pls like:)","text":"Pls like:)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/129287699","repostId":"1177499959","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1177499959","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624344919,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1177499959?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-22 14:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Forget Everything You Know: Morgan Stanley Reveals The Only Metric That Determines What The Market Will Do Next","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1177499959","media":"zerohedge","summary":"Traders of a certain age may recall that back in 2013, around the time the Fed's \"Taper Tantrum\" spa","content":"<p>Traders of a certain age may recall that back in 2013, around the time the Fed's \"Taper Tantrum\" sparked a surge in yields and led to a risk asset selloff, a big (if entirely artificial) debate emerged within financial media, where the Fed muppets and their media puppets would argue that \"tapering is not tightening\" while anyone with half a brain realized knew that this was total BS.</p>\n<p>Fast forward to today when Morgan Stanley's Michael Wilson opens up an old wound for clueless Fed apologists, saying in his latest Weekly Warm Up note that \"Tapering<i><b>is</b></i>Tightening\"... but then adds that contrary to the market's shocked reaction to last week's Fed meeting, tightening actually began months ago.</p>\n<p>Elaborating on this point, Wilson - who several months ago turned into Wall Street's most bearish strategist (again)-&nbsp; writes this morning that while the Fed's pivot to \"begin\" the tightening discussion caught most by surprise, in reality markets began discounting this inevitable process months ago as price action had indicated. It's exactly this discounting of the coming tightening, that is what Michael Wilson's mid-cycle transition is all about, and as the strategist adds, \"<b>fits nicely with our narrative for choppier equity markets and a 10-20% correction for the broader indices this year.\"</b></p>\n<p>Or to paraphrase Lester Burnham,<b>\"it's all downhill from here\"...</b>and as Wilson predicts, that won't change until M2 growth is done decelerating; or in other words, until the Fed unleashes another liquidity burst into the system \"<b><i>the transition is incomplete.\"</i></b></p>\n<p>Highlights aside, Wilson then elaborates on each point, noting that while last week's Fed meeting brought more uncertainty to markets one thing is becoming more obvious:<b>\"we are on the other side of the mountain with respect to monetary accommodation for this cycle.</b>\"</p>\n<p>Furthermore, having repeatedlywarned that the US is now mid-cycle...</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d95f296e4d1300cd3c95485a2333d270\" tg-width=\"906\" tg-height=\"571\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">... Wilson then takes a victory lap writing that what the Fed is doing is \"classic mid cycle transition behavior so investors really shouldn't be too surprised that the Fed would try to begin the long process of tightening.\"</p>\n<blockquote>\n After all, the US economy is booming and expected to grow close to 10 percent this year in nominal terms, a feat last witnessed in 1984. Meanwhile, no matter what one's view is on inflation being transient or not, prices are up significantly and likely higher than what the Fed, or most others were expecting 6 months ago. In other words, the facts and data have changed; therefore, so should Fed policy.\n</blockquote>\n<p>Nevertheless, as discussed here extensively, markets reacted as if this was a complete shock with both bonds and stocks trading as if the Fed had hiked rates already (instead of leaving over $2TN in QE still on deck) after the Fed meeting. Starting with bonds, both nominal 10 year yields and breakevens fell significantly. However, breakevens fell more leaving 10 year real rates higher by almost 20 bps Wednesday afternoon.</p>\n<p>While real rates did settle back a bit on Thursday and Friday, they have formed what appears to be a very solid base from which they are likely to rise as the economy continues to recover and the Fed appropriately pivots. In Wilson's view, \"<b>this looks very similar to 2013, the year after Peak Fed. Back then, Peak Fed was QE3 which was announced on September 12, 2012. This time Peak Fed was the announcement of Average Inflation Targeting last summer.\"</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/670f9e23e34953726583276c32a7b3f9\" tg-width=\"843\" tg-height=\"445\"></p>\n<p>That said, there is one notable difference between the taper tantrum and today: in 2013 \"tapering\" QE was a novel concept to markets and it came more abruptly with Bernanke's surprise mention during his congressional testimony on May 22, 2013.<b>This time, the markets understand what tapering is and see its arrival as inevitable as the economy recovers.</b>Therefore, while the path higher for real rates is unlikely to be as dramatic as witnessed in 2013, it is still likely to be higher from here and that is a change that will affect all risk markets, including equities, in Morgan Stanley's view.</p>\n<p>Wilson makes one final observation from the chart above, which is how real rates moved substantially<b>before</b>Bernanke's testimony in May 2013, prompting Wilson to notes that \"<i>perhaps it wasn't as much of a surprise as believed, at least to markets. We think it's the same situation today.\"</i></p>\n<blockquote>\n In our view, the data has been so strong, it would be naive not to think the Fed wasn't moving closer to tapering over the past several months. In fact, the idea that the Fed hasn't been thinking and/or talking about it seems absurd. Surely the market understands this, making the events of the past week not so much of a surprise. It's all part of the mid cycle transition that has been ongoing for months and fits with the choppier price action and unstable market leadership we have been witnessing.\n</blockquote>\n<p>The underperformance of early cycle stocks is another classic signal the market \"gets it.\" Nevertheless, in talking with clients the past few days, this view is still out of consensus. Most haven't been ready for tighter monetary policy, nor did they think it's something they needed to worry about, until now.</p>\n<p>Wrapping up the Fed \"surprise\" part of his note, Wilson writes that contrary to the FOMC shock,<b>monetary tightening actually began months ago if one is looking at the right metric, which to the top Morgan Stanley equity strategist - who emerges as yet another closet Austrian - is</b><b><u>money supply growth</u></b><b>:</b></p>\n<blockquote>\n <i>In a world where all of the major developed market central banks are stuck at the zero bound, or lower,</i>\n <i><b>the primary metric that determines if monetary policy is getting more or less accommodative is Money Supply Growth.</b></i>\n</blockquote>\n<p>Realizing that to most Keynesian this will be a controversial statement to say the least, Wilson digs in and says that \"it's absolutely the case and financial markets seem to agree.\"&nbsp; He explains:</p>\n<blockquote>\n <i>When money supply is accelerating, the more speculative / riskier assets tend to outperform and when it's decelerating these assets have more trouble. As noted here several times over the past few months, the Fed's balance sheet (M1) growth peaked in mid February and that coincided with a top in many of the most expensive/speculative stocks in the equity market just like the acceleration in the Fed's balance sheet in the prior 12 months contributed to their spectacular performance. Interestingly, the recently flattening out of the growth in M1 has coincided with more stability in these stocks, although they remain well below prior highs (Exhibit 2).</i>\n</blockquote>\n<p>And visually:</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/392b34be32740b00458d59adb2bb80a6\" tg-width=\"852\" tg-height=\"486\"></p>\n<p>But wait there's more, and also an explanation why the Fed has made it virtually impossible to track the weekly change in M2 (the aggregate is now updated only monthly).</p>\n<p>Taking Wilson's argument a step further,<b>M2 growth might be even more important to monitor than M1 because that's the net liquidity available to the economy</b><b><i>and</i></b><b>markets.</b>On that front, the deceleration also began at the end of February<b>but has not yet flattened out and appears to have much further to fall to a&nbsp; more \"normal\" level of annual growth</b>— i.e., 7-8%</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dd5f46571e7e27f9c00fed0a2d310a3c\" tg-width=\"610\" tg-height=\"376\"></p>\n<p>More ominously, this also suggests<b>liquidity is likely to tighten further from here whether the Fed's begins tapering later this year or next.</b></p>\n<p>Finally, when we look at M2 data on a global basis, we get the same picture.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c77fa806a6775bc562b18346590d26c9\" tg-width=\"613\" tg-height=\"376\"></p>\n<p>Wilson concludes that even ahead of last week's \"shock\" FOMC, the market had already started to de-rate lower into a mid-cycle transition as Fed balance sheet growth has materially slowed. Meanwhile, M2 is slowing just as rapidly and has further to fall, especially when the Fed begins to taper later this year or early next. Finally, global money supply growth is also slowing from elevated levels and every major region is contributing.</p>\n<p>This to Wilson<b>\"looks reminiscent of 2014 and 2018 when markets went through a rolling correction of risky assets\"</b>and he thinks 2021 will prove to be similar in that regard with the highest beta regions falling first (Kospi, China, Japan) and ending with the most defensive (US).</p>\n<p>Putting it all together, the MS strategist writes that \"tapering is tightening but the tightening process began with the rate of change in money supply growth. The good news is that<b>the market already knows it.</b>The bad news is that<b>a majority of investors seem to be just catching on with the Fed's \"surprise\" announcement this past week.</b>This means asset prices are far from done correcting as witnessed with the more cyclical, reflationary assets taking their turn the past few weeks.\"</p>\n<p>And while we completely agree with Wilson's newly discovered Austrian view of markets - funny how on a long enough timeline everyone turns Austrian - the real question is what will catalyze the next M2 boosting cycle, how high will it push stocks, and will the Fed be forced to come out and start buying equities this time after having nationalized the bond market back in 2020.</p>\n<p>We expect that the answer will be revealed after the next 20% drop at which point all of the Fed's hawkishness will evaporate, and Powell (or his replacement Kashkari) will shift to an uber dovish mode as they prepare to unleash the final and biggest asset bubble of all...</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Forget Everything You Know: Morgan Stanley Reveals The Only Metric That Determines What The Market Will Do Next</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nForget Everything You Know: Morgan Stanley Reveals The Only Metric That Determines What The Market Will Do Next\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-22 14:55 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/forget-everything-you-know-morgan-stanley-reveals-only-metric-determines-what-market-will><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Traders of a certain age may recall that back in 2013, around the time the Fed's \"Taper Tantrum\" sparked a surge in yields and led to a risk asset selloff, a big (if entirely artificial) debate ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/forget-everything-you-know-morgan-stanley-reveals-only-metric-determines-what-market-will\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/forget-everything-you-know-morgan-stanley-reveals-only-metric-determines-what-market-will","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1177499959","content_text":"Traders of a certain age may recall that back in 2013, around the time the Fed's \"Taper Tantrum\" sparked a surge in yields and led to a risk asset selloff, a big (if entirely artificial) debate emerged within financial media, where the Fed muppets and their media puppets would argue that \"tapering is not tightening\" while anyone with half a brain realized knew that this was total BS.\nFast forward to today when Morgan Stanley's Michael Wilson opens up an old wound for clueless Fed apologists, saying in his latest Weekly Warm Up note that \"TaperingisTightening\"... but then adds that contrary to the market's shocked reaction to last week's Fed meeting, tightening actually began months ago.\nElaborating on this point, Wilson - who several months ago turned into Wall Street's most bearish strategist (again)-  writes this morning that while the Fed's pivot to \"begin\" the tightening discussion caught most by surprise, in reality markets began discounting this inevitable process months ago as price action had indicated. It's exactly this discounting of the coming tightening, that is what Michael Wilson's mid-cycle transition is all about, and as the strategist adds, \"fits nicely with our narrative for choppier equity markets and a 10-20% correction for the broader indices this year.\"\nOr to paraphrase Lester Burnham,\"it's all downhill from here\"...and as Wilson predicts, that won't change until M2 growth is done decelerating; or in other words, until the Fed unleashes another liquidity burst into the system \"the transition is incomplete.\"\nHighlights aside, Wilson then elaborates on each point, noting that while last week's Fed meeting brought more uncertainty to markets one thing is becoming more obvious:\"we are on the other side of the mountain with respect to monetary accommodation for this cycle.\"\nFurthermore, having repeatedlywarned that the US is now mid-cycle...\n... Wilson then takes a victory lap writing that what the Fed is doing is \"classic mid cycle transition behavior so investors really shouldn't be too surprised that the Fed would try to begin the long process of tightening.\"\n\n After all, the US economy is booming and expected to grow close to 10 percent this year in nominal terms, a feat last witnessed in 1984. Meanwhile, no matter what one's view is on inflation being transient or not, prices are up significantly and likely higher than what the Fed, or most others were expecting 6 months ago. In other words, the facts and data have changed; therefore, so should Fed policy.\n\nNevertheless, as discussed here extensively, markets reacted as if this was a complete shock with both bonds and stocks trading as if the Fed had hiked rates already (instead of leaving over $2TN in QE still on deck) after the Fed meeting. Starting with bonds, both nominal 10 year yields and breakevens fell significantly. However, breakevens fell more leaving 10 year real rates higher by almost 20 bps Wednesday afternoon.\nWhile real rates did settle back a bit on Thursday and Friday, they have formed what appears to be a very solid base from which they are likely to rise as the economy continues to recover and the Fed appropriately pivots. In Wilson's view, \"this looks very similar to 2013, the year after Peak Fed. Back then, Peak Fed was QE3 which was announced on September 12, 2012. This time Peak Fed was the announcement of Average Inflation Targeting last summer.\"\n\nThat said, there is one notable difference between the taper tantrum and today: in 2013 \"tapering\" QE was a novel concept to markets and it came more abruptly with Bernanke's surprise mention during his congressional testimony on May 22, 2013.This time, the markets understand what tapering is and see its arrival as inevitable as the economy recovers.Therefore, while the path higher for real rates is unlikely to be as dramatic as witnessed in 2013, it is still likely to be higher from here and that is a change that will affect all risk markets, including equities, in Morgan Stanley's view.\nWilson makes one final observation from the chart above, which is how real rates moved substantiallybeforeBernanke's testimony in May 2013, prompting Wilson to notes that \"perhaps it wasn't as much of a surprise as believed, at least to markets. We think it's the same situation today.\"\n\n In our view, the data has been so strong, it would be naive not to think the Fed wasn't moving closer to tapering over the past several months. In fact, the idea that the Fed hasn't been thinking and/or talking about it seems absurd. Surely the market understands this, making the events of the past week not so much of a surprise. It's all part of the mid cycle transition that has been ongoing for months and fits with the choppier price action and unstable market leadership we have been witnessing.\n\nThe underperformance of early cycle stocks is another classic signal the market \"gets it.\" Nevertheless, in talking with clients the past few days, this view is still out of consensus. Most haven't been ready for tighter monetary policy, nor did they think it's something they needed to worry about, until now.\nWrapping up the Fed \"surprise\" part of his note, Wilson writes that contrary to the FOMC shock,monetary tightening actually began months ago if one is looking at the right metric, which to the top Morgan Stanley equity strategist - who emerges as yet another closet Austrian - ismoney supply growth:\n\nIn a world where all of the major developed market central banks are stuck at the zero bound, or lower,\nthe primary metric that determines if monetary policy is getting more or less accommodative is Money Supply Growth.\n\nRealizing that to most Keynesian this will be a controversial statement to say the least, Wilson digs in and says that \"it's absolutely the case and financial markets seem to agree.\"  He explains:\n\nWhen money supply is accelerating, the more speculative / riskier assets tend to outperform and when it's decelerating these assets have more trouble. As noted here several times over the past few months, the Fed's balance sheet (M1) growth peaked in mid February and that coincided with a top in many of the most expensive/speculative stocks in the equity market just like the acceleration in the Fed's balance sheet in the prior 12 months contributed to their spectacular performance. Interestingly, the recently flattening out of the growth in M1 has coincided with more stability in these stocks, although they remain well below prior highs (Exhibit 2).\n\nAnd visually:\n\nBut wait there's more, and also an explanation why the Fed has made it virtually impossible to track the weekly change in M2 (the aggregate is now updated only monthly).\nTaking Wilson's argument a step further,M2 growth might be even more important to monitor than M1 because that's the net liquidity available to the economyandmarkets.On that front, the deceleration also began at the end of Februarybut has not yet flattened out and appears to have much further to fall to a  more \"normal\" level of annual growth— i.e., 7-8%\n\nMore ominously, this also suggestsliquidity is likely to tighten further from here whether the Fed's begins tapering later this year or next.\nFinally, when we look at M2 data on a global basis, we get the same picture.\n\nWilson concludes that even ahead of last week's \"shock\" FOMC, the market had already started to de-rate lower into a mid-cycle transition as Fed balance sheet growth has materially slowed. Meanwhile, M2 is slowing just as rapidly and has further to fall, especially when the Fed begins to taper later this year or early next. Finally, global money supply growth is also slowing from elevated levels and every major region is contributing.\nThis to Wilson\"looks reminiscent of 2014 and 2018 when markets went through a rolling correction of risky assets\"and he thinks 2021 will prove to be similar in that regard with the highest beta regions falling first (Kospi, China, Japan) and ending with the most defensive (US).\nPutting it all together, the MS strategist writes that \"tapering is tightening but the tightening process began with the rate of change in money supply growth. The good news is thatthe market already knows it.The bad news is thata majority of investors seem to be just catching on with the Fed's \"surprise\" announcement this past week.This means asset prices are far from done correcting as witnessed with the more cyclical, reflationary assets taking their turn the past few weeks.\"\nAnd while we completely agree with Wilson's newly discovered Austrian view of markets - funny how on a long enough timeline everyone turns Austrian - the real question is what will catalyze the next M2 boosting cycle, how high will it push stocks, and will the Fed be forced to come out and start buying equities this time after having nationalized the bond market back in 2020.\nWe expect that the answer will be revealed after the next 20% drop at which point all of the Fed's hawkishness will evaporate, and Powell (or his replacement Kashkari) will shift to an uber dovish mode as they prepare to unleash the final and biggest asset bubble of all...","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":439,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":140706758,"gmtCreate":1625671276674,"gmtModify":1703746212955,"author":{"id":"3587078333302518","authorId":"3587078333302518","name":"Joshuji","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a45cb00e95a6585e7073c60daa885bb6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3587078333302518","authorIdStr":"3587078333302518"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/140706758","repostId":"1128775379","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1128775379","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625671136,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1128775379?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-07 23:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"JPMorgan Bosses Predict Banks’ Long Trading Slump Gone for Good","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1128775379","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"(Bloomberg) -- Before 2020 unleashed a windfall for Wall Street traders, life in the business kept g","content":"<p>(Bloomberg) -- Before 2020 unleashed a windfall for Wall Street traders, life in the business kept getting harder as revenue weakened. Now, as the pandemic’s flurry of activity fades, the question is whether the decade-long slide will continue.</p>\n<p>The answer is no, according to Daniel Pinto, who oversees JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co.’s massive Wall Street operations.</p>\n<p>The industry’s collective revenue from trading -- its “wallet” -- probably reached its nadir before Covid-19, he said in an interview. And from those depths, things are likely to improve for years to come. That is, setting aside 2020.</p>\n<p>“You’re going to have, over time, an increasing wallet,” said Pinto, the bank’s co-president and co-chief operating officer. Post-crisis regulations and changes in market structure, such as electronification, that squeezed margins are now mostly in place, and the system is working well, he said. “From here you would expect that as the world grows and capital markets grow, the trading businesses will grow.”</p>\n<p>It might be hard for shareholders to remember that optimism in coming months as global banks face tough comparisons with 2020’s bonanza. JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. are set to kick off second-quarter earnings announcements next week. Already, JPMorgan Chief Executive Officer Jamie Dimon signaled a potential 38% decline from a year earlier, as he and executives from Morgan Stanley and Citigroup Inc. sought to temper expectations in recent weeks.</p>\n<p>For much of a decade after the financial crisis, total wallet for the 12 largest trading firms fell again and again. Their combined revenue from the business bottomed out at $110 billion in 2017 and hardly improved in the two years that followed, according to data from analytics firm Coalition Greenwich. The reasons were myriad: more stringent rules, the rise of electronic trading, persistently low interest rates, pressure from new entrants and the outright disappearance of some products post-crisis.</p>\n<p>Many of those changes have played out, and capital markets are expanding. Pinto and colleagues said that longer-term growth trend will be apparent this year.</p>\n<p>“If you put last year aside, which was a one-off, this year should be a very strong outcome when you put it on a multiyear basis,” said Troy Rohrbaugh, JPMorgan’s global head of markets.</p>\n<p>Equities will expand the industry’s wallet more than fixed-income products, Rohrbaugh predicted. The U.S. remains the region generating the biggest increase, though the trend is also positive in Europe, he said. The wallet from China will likely swell, but it’s unclear what share of the additional business will go to foreign firms. They will see some, at least, he said.</p>\n<p>Broadly, companies such as JPMorgan with the most scale and ability to invest in technology will have an advantage, though smaller firms will benefit too, he said.</p>\n<p>Does that mean that fewer traders will be around to participate in the upswing?</p>\n<p>“What you do will evolve,” Rohrbaugh said. “There are certainly some roles that will go away as you gain productivity. As more traditional jobs disappear, there are new jobs that pop up.</p>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>JPMorgan Bosses Predict Banks’ Long Trading Slump Gone for Good</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nJPMorgan Bosses Predict Banks’ Long Trading Slump Gone for Good\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-07 23:18 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/jpmorgan-bosses-predict-banks-long-120000722.html><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>(Bloomberg) -- Before 2020 unleashed a windfall for Wall Street traders, life in the business kept getting harder as revenue weakened. Now, as the pandemic’s flurry of activity fades, the question is ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/jpmorgan-bosses-predict-banks-long-120000722.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"JPM":"摩根大通"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/jpmorgan-bosses-predict-banks-long-120000722.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1128775379","content_text":"(Bloomberg) -- Before 2020 unleashed a windfall for Wall Street traders, life in the business kept getting harder as revenue weakened. Now, as the pandemic’s flurry of activity fades, the question is whether the decade-long slide will continue.\nThe answer is no, according to Daniel Pinto, who oversees JPMorgan Chase & Co.’s massive Wall Street operations.\nThe industry’s collective revenue from trading -- its “wallet” -- probably reached its nadir before Covid-19, he said in an interview. And from those depths, things are likely to improve for years to come. That is, setting aside 2020.\n“You’re going to have, over time, an increasing wallet,” said Pinto, the bank’s co-president and co-chief operating officer. Post-crisis regulations and changes in market structure, such as electronification, that squeezed margins are now mostly in place, and the system is working well, he said. “From here you would expect that as the world grows and capital markets grow, the trading businesses will grow.”\nIt might be hard for shareholders to remember that optimism in coming months as global banks face tough comparisons with 2020’s bonanza. JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. are set to kick off second-quarter earnings announcements next week. Already, JPMorgan Chief Executive Officer Jamie Dimon signaled a potential 38% decline from a year earlier, as he and executives from Morgan Stanley and Citigroup Inc. sought to temper expectations in recent weeks.\nFor much of a decade after the financial crisis, total wallet for the 12 largest trading firms fell again and again. Their combined revenue from the business bottomed out at $110 billion in 2017 and hardly improved in the two years that followed, according to data from analytics firm Coalition Greenwich. The reasons were myriad: more stringent rules, the rise of electronic trading, persistently low interest rates, pressure from new entrants and the outright disappearance of some products post-crisis.\nMany of those changes have played out, and capital markets are expanding. Pinto and colleagues said that longer-term growth trend will be apparent this year.\n“If you put last year aside, which was a one-off, this year should be a very strong outcome when you put it on a multiyear basis,” said Troy Rohrbaugh, JPMorgan’s global head of markets.\nEquities will expand the industry’s wallet more than fixed-income products, Rohrbaugh predicted. The U.S. remains the region generating the biggest increase, though the trend is also positive in Europe, he said. The wallet from China will likely swell, but it’s unclear what share of the additional business will go to foreign firms. They will see some, at least, he said.\nBroadly, companies such as JPMorgan with the most scale and ability to invest in technology will have an advantage, though smaller firms will benefit too, he said.\nDoes that mean that fewer traders will be around to participate in the upswing?\n“What you do will evolve,” Rohrbaugh said. “There are certainly some roles that will go away as you gain productivity. As more traditional jobs disappear, there are new jobs that pop up.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":505,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":167120735,"gmtCreate":1624253127427,"gmtModify":1703831663738,"author":{"id":"3587078333302518","authorId":"3587078333302518","name":"Joshuji","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a45cb00e95a6585e7073c60daa885bb6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3587078333302518","authorIdStr":"3587078333302518"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment! :)","listText":"Like and comment! :)","text":"Like and comment! :)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/167120735","repostId":"1154249454","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1154249454","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624230573,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1154249454?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-21 07:09","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nike, FedEx, Johnson & Johnson, Darden, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1154249454","media":"barrons","summary":"A handful of notable companies will release their latest results toward the end of this week.Nike,FedEx,andDarden Restaurantswill report on Thursday, followed by CarMax and Paychex on Friday. Wednesday will also feature analyst days and investor events from Johnson & Johnson, GlaxoSmithKline,and Equinix.Economic data out this week include IHS’ Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers’ Indexes for June on Wednesday. Both are expected to hold near their record highs. The Census Bureau will r","content":"<p>A handful of notable companies will release their latest results toward the end of this week.Nike,FedEx,andDarden Restaurantswill report on Thursday, followed by CarMax and Paychex on Friday. Wednesday will also feature analyst days and investor events from&nbsp;Johnson &amp;&nbsp;Johnson,&nbsp;GlaxoSmithKline,and&nbsp;Equinix.</p>\n<p>Economic data out this week include IHS’ Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers’ Indexes for June on Wednesday. Both are expected to hold near their record highs. The Census Bureau will release the durable-goods report for May on Thursday. Orders—often seen as a decent proxy for business investment—are expected to rise 3.3% month over month.</p>\n<p>And on Friday, the Bureau of Economic Analysis will report personal income and consumption for May. Spending is forecast to continue rising despite a drop off in income as stimulus checks finished being sent out in April.</p>\n<p>Monday 6/21</p>\n<p><b>The Federal Reserve Bank</b>of Chicago releases its National Activity index, a gauge of overall economic activity, for May. Expectations are for a 0.50 reading, higher than April’s 0.24 figure. A positive reading indicates economic growth that is above historical trends.</p>\n<p>Tuesday 6/22</p>\n<p><b>The National Association</b>of Realtors reports existing-home sales for May. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.7 million homes sold, about 150,000 fewer than the April data. Existing-home sales have fallen for three consecutive months, as supply hasn’t been able to keep up with demand.</p>\n<p>Wednesday 6/23</p>\n<p>Equinix hosts its 2021 analyst day, when the company will update its long-term financial outlook.</p>\n<p>GlaxoSmithKline hosts a conference call, featuring its CEO, Emma Walmsley, to update investors on the company’s strategy for growth and shareholder value creation.</p>\n<p>Johnson &amp; Johnson hosts a webcast to discuss its ESG strategy.</p>\n<p><b>The Census Bureau</b>reports new residential construction data for May. Consensus estimate is for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 875,000 new single-family homes sold, slightly higher than April’s 863,000. Similar to existing-home sales, new-home sales have fallen from their recent peak of 993,000 in January of this year.</p>\n<p><b>IHS Markitreports</b>both its Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers’ indexes for June. Expectations are for a 61.5 reading for the Manufacturing PMI, and a 69.8 figure for the Services PMI. Both projections are comparable to the May data as well as being near record highs for their respective indexes.</p>\n<p>Thursday 6/24</p>\n<p><b>The Bureau of Economic Analysis</b>reports the third and final estimate of first-quarter gross-domestic-product growth. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual growth rate of 6.4%.</p>\n<p>Accenture,Darden Restaurants, FedEx, and Nike hold conference calls to discuss quarterly results.</p>\n<p><b>The Bank of England</b>announces its monetary-policy decision. The central bank is widely expected to keep its key interest rate at 0.1%.</p>\n<p><b>The Census Bureau</b>releases the durable-goods report for May. The consensus call is for new orders of manufactured goods to rise 2.8% month over month to $253 billion. Excluding transportation, new orders are projected at 1%, matching the April data.</p>\n<p>Friday 6/25</p>\n<p>CarMax and Paychex report earnings.</p>\n<p><b>The BEA reports</b>personal income and consumption for May. Income is expected to fall 3% month over month, after plummeting 13.1% in April. This reflects a dropoff in stimulus checks that first were sent out in March. Spending is seen rising 0.5%, comparable to the April data.</p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nike, FedEx, Johnson & Johnson, Darden, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNike, FedEx, Johnson & Johnson, Darden, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-21 07:09 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/nike-fedex-johnson-johnson-darden-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51624215603?mod=hp_LEAD_3><strong>barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>A handful of notable companies will release their latest results toward the end of this week.Nike,FedEx,andDarden Restaurantswill report on Thursday, followed by CarMax and Paychex on Friday. ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/nike-fedex-johnson-johnson-darden-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51624215603?mod=hp_LEAD_3\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"DRI":"达登饭店","JNJ":"强生","FDX":"联邦快递","NKE":"耐克"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/nike-fedex-johnson-johnson-darden-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51624215603?mod=hp_LEAD_3","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1154249454","content_text":"A handful of notable companies will release their latest results toward the end of this week.Nike,FedEx,andDarden Restaurantswill report on Thursday, followed by CarMax and Paychex on Friday. Wednesday will also feature analyst days and investor events from Johnson & Johnson, GlaxoSmithKline,and Equinix.\nEconomic data out this week include IHS’ Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers’ Indexes for June on Wednesday. Both are expected to hold near their record highs. The Census Bureau will release the durable-goods report for May on Thursday. Orders—often seen as a decent proxy for business investment—are expected to rise 3.3% month over month.\nAnd on Friday, the Bureau of Economic Analysis will report personal income and consumption for May. Spending is forecast to continue rising despite a drop off in income as stimulus checks finished being sent out in April.\nMonday 6/21\nThe Federal Reserve Bankof Chicago releases its National Activity index, a gauge of overall economic activity, for May. Expectations are for a 0.50 reading, higher than April’s 0.24 figure. A positive reading indicates economic growth that is above historical trends.\nTuesday 6/22\nThe National Associationof Realtors reports existing-home sales for May. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.7 million homes sold, about 150,000 fewer than the April data. Existing-home sales have fallen for three consecutive months, as supply hasn’t been able to keep up with demand.\nWednesday 6/23\nEquinix hosts its 2021 analyst day, when the company will update its long-term financial outlook.\nGlaxoSmithKline hosts a conference call, featuring its CEO, Emma Walmsley, to update investors on the company’s strategy for growth and shareholder value creation.\nJohnson & Johnson hosts a webcast to discuss its ESG strategy.\nThe Census Bureaureports new residential construction data for May. Consensus estimate is for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 875,000 new single-family homes sold, slightly higher than April’s 863,000. Similar to existing-home sales, new-home sales have fallen from their recent peak of 993,000 in January of this year.\nIHS Markitreportsboth its Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers’ indexes for June. Expectations are for a 61.5 reading for the Manufacturing PMI, and a 69.8 figure for the Services PMI. Both projections are comparable to the May data as well as being near record highs for their respective indexes.\nThursday 6/24\nThe Bureau of Economic Analysisreports the third and final estimate of first-quarter gross-domestic-product growth. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual growth rate of 6.4%.\nAccenture,Darden Restaurants, FedEx, and Nike hold conference calls to discuss quarterly results.\nThe Bank of Englandannounces its monetary-policy decision. The central bank is widely expected to keep its key interest rate at 0.1%.\nThe Census Bureaureleases the durable-goods report for May. The consensus call is for new orders of manufactured goods to rise 2.8% month over month to $253 billion. Excluding transportation, new orders are projected at 1%, matching the April data.\nFriday 6/25\nCarMax and Paychex report earnings.\nThe BEA reportspersonal income and consumption for May. Income is expected to fall 3% month over month, after plummeting 13.1% in April. This reflects a dropoff in stimulus checks that first were sent out in March. Spending is seen rising 0.5%, comparable to the April data.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":161,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":166512896,"gmtCreate":1624017220115,"gmtModify":1703826641302,"author":{"id":"3587078333302518","authorId":"3587078333302518","name":"Joshuji","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a45cb00e95a6585e7073c60daa885bb6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3587078333302518","authorIdStr":"3587078333302518"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like :-)","listText":"Pls like :-)","text":"Pls like :-)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/166512896","repostId":"1133025835","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1133025835","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624015886,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1133025835?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-18 19:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Piper Sandler upgrades Biogen, says Alzheimer's drug demand will be strong despite controversy","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1133025835","media":"cnbc","summary":"The demand outlook for Biogen’s new Alzheimer’s drug appears strong despite lingering concerns about","content":"<div>\n<p>The demand outlook for Biogen’s new Alzheimer’s drug appears strong despite lingering concerns about the new treatment, and that should push the company’s stock higher, according to Piper Sandler.\nThe...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/18/piper-sandler-upgrades-biogen-says-alzheimers-drug-demand-will-be-strong-despite-controversy.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"cnbc_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Piper Sandler upgrades Biogen, says Alzheimer's drug demand will be strong despite controversy</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPiper Sandler upgrades Biogen, says Alzheimer's drug demand will be strong despite controversy\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-18 19:31 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/18/piper-sandler-upgrades-biogen-says-alzheimers-drug-demand-will-be-strong-despite-controversy.html><strong>cnbc</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The demand outlook for Biogen’s new Alzheimer’s drug appears strong despite lingering concerns about the new treatment, and that should push the company’s stock higher, according to Piper Sandler.\nThe...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/18/piper-sandler-upgrades-biogen-says-alzheimers-drug-demand-will-be-strong-despite-controversy.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BIIB":"渤健公司"},"source_url":"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/18/piper-sandler-upgrades-biogen-says-alzheimers-drug-demand-will-be-strong-despite-controversy.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/72bb72e1b84c09fca865c6dcb1bbcd16","article_id":"1133025835","content_text":"The demand outlook for Biogen’s new Alzheimer’s drug appears strong despite lingering concerns about the new treatment, and that should push the company’s stock higher, according to Piper Sandler.\nThe Food and Drug Administration’s approval of Aduhelm has been controversial, with multiple members of an FDA advisory committeeresigning in protestover the decision. There are concerns about the effectiveness of the treatment.\nPiper Sandler analyst Christopher Raymond said in a note to clients on Friday that he shared some of those concerns but that Aduhelm would still be a winner for Biogen’s business. Raymond upgraded the stock to overweight from neutral.\n“Despite our misgivings regarding FDA’s handling of the Aduhelm approval, we find two new data points too positive to ignore, and thus believe the path of least resistance on this stock is decidedly higher,” the note said.\nThose positive data points include a survey that shows strong demand and expected uptake for the drug, despite concerns about its effectiveness, and an expectation that Medicare and Medicaid will not significantly limit the available patient base for reimbursement, Piper Sandler said.\n“Combining this with what we see as a low-probability but still completely free call option that Biogen wins on appeal with the Tecfidera IP case, we think the stock is likely to go higher in the near term,” the note said.\nThe firm hiked its price target to $450 from $384, representing upside of 17% from where the stock closed on Thursday.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":466,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":808946894,"gmtCreate":1627553457018,"gmtModify":1703492232638,"author":{"id":"3587078333302518","authorId":"3587078333302518","name":"Joshuji","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a45cb00e95a6585e7073c60daa885bb6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3587078333302518","authorIdStr":"3587078333302518"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like&nbsp;","listText":"Like&nbsp;","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/808946894","repostId":"2155990524","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2155990524","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1627549354,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2155990524?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-29 17:02","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"7 Stocks To Watch For July 29, 2021","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2155990524","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Some of the stocks that may grab investor focus today are:\n\tWall Street expects  Mastercard Inc (NYSE: MA) to report quarterly earnings at $1.72 per share on revenue of $4.34 billion before the opening bell. Mastercard shares fell 0.2% to $382.88 in after-hours trading.\n","content":"<p>Some of the stocks that may grab investor focus today are:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Wall Street expects <b>Mastercard Inc</b> (NYSE:MA) to report quarterly earnings at $1.72 per share on revenue of $4.34 billion before the opening bell. Mastercard shares rose 0.2% to $384.23 in premarket trading.</li>\n <li><b>Ford Motor Company</b> (NYSE:F) reported a surprise profit for the second quarter, while sales also exceeded market estimates. The company also raised its profit guidance for the year. Ford shares gained 3.8% to $14.38 in premarket trading.</li>\n <li>Analysts expect <b>Merck &amp; Co., Inc.</b> (NYSE:MRK) to post quarterly earnings at $1.44 per share on revenue of $11.54 billion before the opening bell. Merck shares rose 0.2% to $78.46 in premarket trading.</li>\n <li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">Facebook</a> Inc</b> (NASDAQ:FB) reported better-than-expected earnings for its second quarter. The company saw its daily active users grow 7% year-over-year to 1.91 billion in the quarter. Monthly active users increased 7% to 2.9 billion. Facebook said its third- and fourth-quarter revenue growth rates could decelerate “significantly” due to going against tough comp periods from the prior year. Facebook shares, however, fell 3.6% to $359.98 in premarket trading.</li>\n</ul>\n<ul>\n <li>Analysts are expecting <b>AstraZeneca plc</b> (NASDAQ:AZN) to have earned $0.43 per share on revenue of $7.36 billion for the latest quarter. The company will release earnings before the markets open. AstraZeneca shares rose 1.8% to $57.84 in premarket trading.</li>\n <li><b>Paypal Holdings Inc</b> (NASDAQ:PYPL) posted upbeat earnings for its second quarter, but issued weak profit forecast for the current quarter. Paypal shares dropped 5% to $286.80 in premarket trading.</li>\n <li>Analysts expect <b>Comcast Corporation</b> (NASDAQ:CMCSA) to report quarterly earnings at $0.66 per share on revenue of $27.16 billion before the opening bell. Comcast shares fell 0.8% to $57.52 in premarket trading.</li>\n</ul>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>7 Stocks To Watch For July 29, 2021</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n7 Stocks To Watch For July 29, 2021\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-07-29 17:02</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Some of the stocks that may grab investor focus today are:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Wall Street expects <b>Mastercard Inc</b> (NYSE:MA) to report quarterly earnings at $1.72 per share on revenue of $4.34 billion before the opening bell. Mastercard shares rose 0.2% to $384.23 in premarket trading.</li>\n <li><b>Ford Motor Company</b> (NYSE:F) reported a surprise profit for the second quarter, while sales also exceeded market estimates. The company also raised its profit guidance for the year. Ford shares gained 3.8% to $14.38 in premarket trading.</li>\n <li>Analysts expect <b>Merck &amp; Co., Inc.</b> (NYSE:MRK) to post quarterly earnings at $1.44 per share on revenue of $11.54 billion before the opening bell. Merck shares rose 0.2% to $78.46 in premarket trading.</li>\n <li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">Facebook</a> Inc</b> (NASDAQ:FB) reported better-than-expected earnings for its second quarter. The company saw its daily active users grow 7% year-over-year to 1.91 billion in the quarter. Monthly active users increased 7% to 2.9 billion. Facebook said its third- and fourth-quarter revenue growth rates could decelerate “significantly” due to going against tough comp periods from the prior year. Facebook shares, however, fell 3.6% to $359.98 in premarket trading.</li>\n</ul>\n<ul>\n <li>Analysts are expecting <b>AstraZeneca plc</b> (NASDAQ:AZN) to have earned $0.43 per share on revenue of $7.36 billion for the latest quarter. The company will release earnings before the markets open. AstraZeneca shares rose 1.8% to $57.84 in premarket trading.</li>\n <li><b>Paypal Holdings Inc</b> (NASDAQ:PYPL) posted upbeat earnings for its second quarter, but issued weak profit forecast for the current quarter. Paypal shares dropped 5% to $286.80 in premarket trading.</li>\n <li>Analysts expect <b>Comcast Corporation</b> (NASDAQ:CMCSA) to report quarterly earnings at $0.66 per share on revenue of $27.16 billion before the opening bell. Comcast shares fell 0.8% to $57.52 in premarket trading.</li>\n</ul>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MA":"万事达","AZN":"阿斯利康"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2155990524","content_text":"Some of the stocks that may grab investor focus today are:\n\nWall Street expects Mastercard Inc (NYSE:MA) to report quarterly earnings at $1.72 per share on revenue of $4.34 billion before the opening bell. Mastercard shares rose 0.2% to $384.23 in premarket trading.\nFord Motor Company (NYSE:F) reported a surprise profit for the second quarter, while sales also exceeded market estimates. The company also raised its profit guidance for the year. Ford shares gained 3.8% to $14.38 in premarket trading.\nAnalysts expect Merck & Co., Inc. (NYSE:MRK) to post quarterly earnings at $1.44 per share on revenue of $11.54 billion before the opening bell. Merck shares rose 0.2% to $78.46 in premarket trading.\nFacebook Inc (NASDAQ:FB) reported better-than-expected earnings for its second quarter. The company saw its daily active users grow 7% year-over-year to 1.91 billion in the quarter. Monthly active users increased 7% to 2.9 billion. Facebook said its third- and fourth-quarter revenue growth rates could decelerate “significantly” due to going against tough comp periods from the prior year. Facebook shares, however, fell 3.6% to $359.98 in premarket trading.\n\n\nAnalysts are expecting AstraZeneca plc (NASDAQ:AZN) to have earned $0.43 per share on revenue of $7.36 billion for the latest quarter. The company will release earnings before the markets open. AstraZeneca shares rose 1.8% to $57.84 in premarket trading.\nPaypal Holdings Inc (NASDAQ:PYPL) posted upbeat earnings for its second quarter, but issued weak profit forecast for the current quarter. Paypal shares dropped 5% to $286.80 in premarket trading.\nAnalysts expect Comcast Corporation (NASDAQ:CMCSA) to report quarterly earnings at $0.66 per share on revenue of $27.16 billion before the opening bell. Comcast shares fell 0.8% to $57.52 in premarket trading.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":452,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":157226032,"gmtCreate":1625584474126,"gmtModify":1703744458974,"author":{"id":"3587078333302518","authorId":"3587078333302518","name":"Joshuji","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a45cb00e95a6585e7073c60daa885bb6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3587078333302518","authorIdStr":"3587078333302518"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/157226032","repostId":"1150315172","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":264,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":129284472,"gmtCreate":1624374011196,"gmtModify":1703834883704,"author":{"id":"3587078333302518","authorId":"3587078333302518","name":"Joshuji","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a45cb00e95a6585e7073c60daa885bb6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3587078333302518","authorIdStr":"3587078333302518"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like :)","listText":"Pls like :)","text":"Pls like :)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/129284472","repostId":"1148687043","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":650,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":166580818,"gmtCreate":1624017541034,"gmtModify":1703826647128,"author":{"id":"3587078333302518","authorId":"3587078333302518","name":"Joshuji","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a45cb00e95a6585e7073c60daa885bb6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3587078333302518","authorIdStr":"3587078333302518"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like n comment","listText":"Like n comment","text":"Like n comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/166580818","repostId":"2144755197","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2144755197","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624014942,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2144755197?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-18 19:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Fox Corp Gains After Lifting Its Share Buyback Plan","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2144755197","media":"Investing.com","summary":"Investing.com – Fox Corp .  (NASDAQ:FOXA) stock was up approximately 1% in Friday's premarket trade ","content":"<p>Investing.com – <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FOXBV\">Fox Corp</a> .&nbsp; (NASDAQ:FOXA) stock was up approximately 1% in Friday's premarket trade after the media and entertainment giant announced it will add $2 billion to its share repurchase program.</p>\n<p>The company already had a $2 billion share buyback plan. Of this, share buybacks of $1.56 billion have already been completed.</p>\n<p>Subject to market conditions and other factors, the company intends to repurchase in the open market or otherwise a combination of Class A common stock and Class B common stock.</p>\n<p>This stock repurchase program has no time limit and may be modified, suspended or discontinued at any time, a company release said.</p>","source":"yahoofinance","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Fox Corp Gains After Lifting Its Share Buyback Plan</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFox Corp Gains After Lifting Its Share Buyback Plan\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-18 19:15 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/fox-corp-gains-lifting-share-063142236.html><strong>Investing.com</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Investing.com – Fox Corp .  (NASDAQ:FOXA) stock was up approximately 1% in Friday's premarket trade after the media and entertainment giant announced it will add $2 billion to its share repurchase ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/fox-corp-gains-lifting-share-063142236.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"FOXA":"福克斯-A","FOX":"福克斯-B"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/fox-corp-gains-lifting-share-063142236.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5f26f4a48f9cb3e29be4d71d3ba8c038","article_id":"2144755197","content_text":"Investing.com – Fox Corp .  (NASDAQ:FOXA) stock was up approximately 1% in Friday's premarket trade after the media and entertainment giant announced it will add $2 billion to its share repurchase program.\nThe company already had a $2 billion share buyback plan. Of this, share buybacks of $1.56 billion have already been completed.\nSubject to market conditions and other factors, the company intends to repurchase in the open market or otherwise a combination of Class A common stock and Class B common stock.\nThis stock repurchase program has no time limit and may be modified, suspended or discontinued at any time, a company release said.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":334,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":806662711,"gmtCreate":1627654034833,"gmtModify":1703494211233,"author":{"id":"3587078333302518","authorId":"3587078333302518","name":"Joshuji","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a45cb00e95a6585e7073c60daa885bb6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3587078333302518","authorIdStr":"3587078333302518"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01810\">$XIAOMI-W(01810)$</a>cool","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01810\">$XIAOMI-W(01810)$</a>cool","text":"$XIAOMI-W(01810)$cool","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/594d75ad299bb508e2fd155447ca5799","width":"1242","height":"1767"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/806662711","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":461,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":129285636,"gmtCreate":1624373985325,"gmtModify":1703834881752,"author":{"id":"3587078333302518","authorId":"3587078333302518","name":"Joshuji","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a45cb00e95a6585e7073c60daa885bb6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3587078333302518","authorIdStr":"3587078333302518"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like :)","listText":"Pls like :)","text":"Pls like :)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/129285636","repostId":"2145056554","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2145056554","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1624356900,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2145056554?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-22 18:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"These 3 Dow Stocks Are Set to Soar in 2021's Second Half","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2145056554","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Here are the companies investors are most excited about -- and why.","content":"<p>The <b>Dow Jones Industrial Average </b>(DJINDICES:^DJI) has had a solid year so far in 2021. Gains of 9% might not seem like all that much compared to the double-digit percentage gains we've seen in past years. But given everything that's happening in the economy, it's not surprising to see investors rein in their expectations somewhat on some of the top-performing stocks in the market.</p>\n<p>Yet even with the gains the overall market has seen, there are still some Dow stocks that haven't climbed as far as they might. In particular, analysts looking at three stocks among the Dow Jones Industrials see the potential for substantial gains in the second half of 2021 and beyond. Below, we'll look at these three companies to see what it'll take for them to produce the big returns that investors want right now.</p>\n<h3>UnitedHealth: 34% upside</h3>\n<p><b>UnitedHealth Group </b>(NYSE:UNH) has already put in a reasonable performance in the Dow so far this year. The health insurance giant's stock is up about 11% year to date, outpacing the broader average very slightly.</p>\n<p>Yet investors see a lot more upside for the healthcare giant. The top price target among Wall Street analysts for UnitedHealth is $522 per share, which implies roughly a 34% gain from current levels.</p>\n<p>UnitedHealth has done an excellent job of navigating the ever-changing landscape of the healthcare and health insurance industries. As the largest health insurance company in the world, UnitedHealth offers coverage not just for private businesses but also for those eligible for government programs like Medicare and Medicaid.</p>\n<p>Indeed, UnitedHealth's handling of plans under the Affordable Care Act has been masterful, with the company having participated in the program better known as Obamacare while not overcommitting to it. With the Supreme Court having recently upheld the validity of the Affordable Care Act, UnitedHealth finds itself in a strong position to keep benefiting from its mix of business.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffe66b7aafd67e07dd42007f2b60d638\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Image source: Getty Images.</p>\n<p>Yet many overlook the value of UnitedHealth's Optum health services unit. By aiming to help providers encourage health and wellness, Optum generates higher-margin revenue while often producing better outcomes for patients and members. With both growth drivers pushing the company forward, UnitedHealth looks well poised to keep climbing.</p>\n<h3>Goldman Sachs: 36% upside</h3>\n<p>Wall Street has enjoyed the bull market in stocks, and that's been a blessing for investment bank <b>Goldman Sachs </b>(NYSE:GS). The perennial financial giant has seen its stock rise 34% so far in 2021 after less impressive performance during 2020.</p>\n<p>On <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> hand, Goldman has reflected the broader performance of financial stocks across the market. Interest rates have generally been on the rise, and that's bolstered the prospects for more net-interest income from retail banking operations. Goldman lags behind its big-bank peers on the consumer banking front, but its relatively new Marcus unit has done a good job of attracting capital thus far.</p>\n<p>On the other hand, Goldman continues to rely on its investment banking operations, and strong activity levels among initial public offerings and mergers and acquisitions (M&amp;A) have fed the company's coffers nicely. Financing remains relatively easy to get, and that could spur more M&amp;A activity that in turn could keep growing revenue for Goldman's investment banking division. Add to that possible tailwinds from macroeconomic factors, and it is in a solid position to climb as high as the $484 per share that represents the top price target among those following the financial stock.</p>\n<h3>Apple: 42% upside</h3>\n<p>Lastly, <b>Apple </b>(NASDAQ:AAPL) rounds out this list. Recently fetching $130 per share, some see the iPhone maker's stock climbing to $185. That'd be a 42% jump to help Apple recover from its 2% loss so far in 2021.</p>\n<p>Apple's gains have continued to impress. Revenue jumped 54% in its most recent quarter, with sales of the iPhone 12 and various other products and accessories continuing to drive sales for the company. Returning capital to shareholders via dividends and stock buybacks has had a substantial impact on financial performance, especially with the number of outstanding shares having plunged by roughly 35% in just the past decade.</p>\n<p>Many fear that Apple hasn't generated the innovative product lines that drove its success in the mid-2000s. However, at least for now, consumers seem content with iterations on existing product lines, and as long as that remains a successful strategy, further gains for the stock seem realistic.</p>\n<h3>Further to run?</h3>\n<p>Even with solid gains for the Dow in 2021, the long-term trajectory for stocks remains upward. That's a big part of why Apple, Goldman Sachs, and UnitedHealth Group look as promising as they do. Smart investors should at least keep an eye on these three stocks to see if they can live up to their full potential.</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>These 3 Dow Stocks Are Set to Soar in 2021's Second Half</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThese 3 Dow Stocks Are Set to Soar in 2021's Second Half\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-22 18:15 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/22/these-3-dow-stocks-set-to-soar-2021s-second-half/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJINDICES:^DJI) has had a solid year so far in 2021. Gains of 9% might not seem like all that much compared to the double-digit percentage gains we've seen in past ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/22/these-3-dow-stocks-set-to-soar-2021s-second-half/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果","GS":"高盛","03086":"华夏纳指","09086":"华夏纳指-U","UNH":"联合健康"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/22/these-3-dow-stocks-set-to-soar-2021s-second-half/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2145056554","content_text":"The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJINDICES:^DJI) has had a solid year so far in 2021. Gains of 9% might not seem like all that much compared to the double-digit percentage gains we've seen in past years. But given everything that's happening in the economy, it's not surprising to see investors rein in their expectations somewhat on some of the top-performing stocks in the market.\nYet even with the gains the overall market has seen, there are still some Dow stocks that haven't climbed as far as they might. In particular, analysts looking at three stocks among the Dow Jones Industrials see the potential for substantial gains in the second half of 2021 and beyond. Below, we'll look at these three companies to see what it'll take for them to produce the big returns that investors want right now.\nUnitedHealth: 34% upside\nUnitedHealth Group (NYSE:UNH) has already put in a reasonable performance in the Dow so far this year. The health insurance giant's stock is up about 11% year to date, outpacing the broader average very slightly.\nYet investors see a lot more upside for the healthcare giant. The top price target among Wall Street analysts for UnitedHealth is $522 per share, which implies roughly a 34% gain from current levels.\nUnitedHealth has done an excellent job of navigating the ever-changing landscape of the healthcare and health insurance industries. As the largest health insurance company in the world, UnitedHealth offers coverage not just for private businesses but also for those eligible for government programs like Medicare and Medicaid.\nIndeed, UnitedHealth's handling of plans under the Affordable Care Act has been masterful, with the company having participated in the program better known as Obamacare while not overcommitting to it. With the Supreme Court having recently upheld the validity of the Affordable Care Act, UnitedHealth finds itself in a strong position to keep benefiting from its mix of business.\n\nImage source: Getty Images.\nYet many overlook the value of UnitedHealth's Optum health services unit. By aiming to help providers encourage health and wellness, Optum generates higher-margin revenue while often producing better outcomes for patients and members. With both growth drivers pushing the company forward, UnitedHealth looks well poised to keep climbing.\nGoldman Sachs: 36% upside\nWall Street has enjoyed the bull market in stocks, and that's been a blessing for investment bank Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS). The perennial financial giant has seen its stock rise 34% so far in 2021 after less impressive performance during 2020.\nOn one hand, Goldman has reflected the broader performance of financial stocks across the market. Interest rates have generally been on the rise, and that's bolstered the prospects for more net-interest income from retail banking operations. Goldman lags behind its big-bank peers on the consumer banking front, but its relatively new Marcus unit has done a good job of attracting capital thus far.\nOn the other hand, Goldman continues to rely on its investment banking operations, and strong activity levels among initial public offerings and mergers and acquisitions (M&A) have fed the company's coffers nicely. Financing remains relatively easy to get, and that could spur more M&A activity that in turn could keep growing revenue for Goldman's investment banking division. Add to that possible tailwinds from macroeconomic factors, and it is in a solid position to climb as high as the $484 per share that represents the top price target among those following the financial stock.\nApple: 42% upside\nLastly, Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) rounds out this list. Recently fetching $130 per share, some see the iPhone maker's stock climbing to $185. That'd be a 42% jump to help Apple recover from its 2% loss so far in 2021.\nApple's gains have continued to impress. Revenue jumped 54% in its most recent quarter, with sales of the iPhone 12 and various other products and accessories continuing to drive sales for the company. Returning capital to shareholders via dividends and stock buybacks has had a substantial impact on financial performance, especially with the number of outstanding shares having plunged by roughly 35% in just the past decade.\nMany fear that Apple hasn't generated the innovative product lines that drove its success in the mid-2000s. However, at least for now, consumers seem content with iterations on existing product lines, and as long as that remains a successful strategy, further gains for the stock seem realistic.\nFurther to run?\nEven with solid gains for the Dow in 2021, the long-term trajectory for stocks remains upward. That's a big part of why Apple, Goldman Sachs, and UnitedHealth Group look as promising as they do. Smart investors should at least keep an eye on these three stocks to see if they can live up to their full potential.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":289,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":166514261,"gmtCreate":1624017430753,"gmtModify":1703826644052,"author":{"id":"3587078333302518","authorId":"3587078333302518","name":"Joshuji","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a45cb00e95a6585e7073c60daa885bb6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3587078333302518","authorIdStr":"3587078333302518"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/166514261","repostId":"2144757377","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2144757377","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1624017300,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2144757377?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-18 19:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Can Corsair Gaming Be the Nike of Esports?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2144757377","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The company provides high-performance gear to video game players and esports professionals.","content":"<p>Video games are <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> of the largest industries worldwide. With an estimated $157 billion in global spending last year that is projected to reach almost $300 billion by 2027, there are tons of investment opportunities lurking within the gaming space.</p>\n<p>One of these opportunities may be <b>Corsair Gaming</b> (NASDAQ:CRSR), a company that just went public last fall and aims to become <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of the premier gaming equipment and gear brands, similar to what <b>Nike</b> (NYSE:NKE) has done within the traditional sports market. Does Corsair Gaming have the chops to be the Nike of video games? Let's take a look.</p>\n<h2>What is Corsair Gaming?</h2>\n<p>Founded in 1994, Corsair started out selling high-end gaming PCs and hardware. This operating segment, which it calls gaming components and systems, is still the majority of the company's revenue, generating $353.5 million of its $529.4 million in sales last quarter. Corsair sells high-performance PCs to hardcore gamers, most of which sell for more than $2,000 apiece.</p>\n<p>While its legacy business is components and systems, Corsair is investing heavily into what it calls gaming and creator peripherals. This is mainly gaming and live streaming accessories like microphones, headsets, keyboards, and chairs. This segment generated $175.9 million in sales last quarter, up from $75.9 million a year ago. That is 132% year-over-year revenue growth for this segment.</p>\n<p>Corsair is also making multiple acquisitions to bolster its fastest-growing operating segment. One company it just acquired, Elgato, is a top brand for live stream equipment and software. Seeing as live streaming is huge among the gaming community, Elgato should fit perfectly among Corsair's product portfolio.</p>\n<p>Late last year, Corsair acquired Gamer Sensei, the world's biggest esports coaching service. Like Elgato, Gamer Sensei is an easy upsell for Corsair customers, as many are likely already aspiring esports professionals.</p>\n<h2>How Corsair can follow the Nike playbook</h2>\n<p>The problem with Corsair is that, when you get down to it, a lot of what it and its competitors sell are commodity products. This means that Corsair needs to differentiate itself in other ways in order to attract customers, like with design or a quality brand. A great comparison, and possible inspiration for Corsair's advertising strategy, would be Nike's playbook that helped it dominate the athletic shoe and apparel market.</p>\n<p>For decades, Nike has paid billions of dollars to famous athletes and sports teams to make sure they exclusively wear Nike products when performing in front of millions of fans. For example, it is rumored the company's lifetime contract with NBA star Lebron James is worth more than $1 billion. At first glance, this may seem like wasteful spending, but Nike gets a great return on these athlete contracts because it convinces millions of other people to spend $100 or more on a pair of Nike shoes.</p>\n<p>Corsair can differentiate itself from other gaming equipment brands by using a similar strategy of paying famous gamers and esports athletes to exclusively use and wear Corsair products. It is already moving in this direction, with a few esports teams under its umbrella and a streamer program where people can apply to get free gear and discounts. However, the company has a lot more levers it could pull on this front. For example, it could sign top Twitch streamers to multi-year sponsorship deals, fitting them exclusively with Corsair gear. It could also go a step further by partnering with these top streamers to build custom gear, similar to what Nike does with NBA players and shoes. I'm no expert on the game streaming market, but if someone like Ninja (one of the most popular Twitch streamers) came out with a customer Corsair product it would likely do very well.</p>\n<h2>The stock trades at a reasonable valuation</h2>\n<p>As of this writing, Corsair has a market cap of $3 billion. With $1.92 billion in trailing 12-month revenue, that gives the stock a price-to-sales ratio (P/S) of 1.56. And with $185.5 million in free cash flow over the past 12 months, its price-to-free-cash-flow (P/FCF) is around 16.2.</p>\n<p>Both these metrics are cheap relative to the overall market, indicating that investors are not that confident in Corsair's prospects going forward. Management is only guiding for $1.9 billion to $2.1 billion in revenue in 2021, which may be spooking investors a bit as that would be a big slowdown in growth. But if you have a long-term time horizon and think Corsair can be a dominant brand in one of the world's fastest-growing industries, a market cap of only $3 billion may look like a steal five or 10 years from now.</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Can Corsair Gaming Be the Nike of Esports?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCan Corsair Gaming Be the Nike of Esports?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-18 19:55 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/18/can-corsair-gaming-be-the-nike-of-esports/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Video games are one of the largest industries worldwide. With an estimated $157 billion in global spending last year that is projected to reach almost $300 billion by 2027, there are tons of ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/18/can-corsair-gaming-be-the-nike-of-esports/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NKE":"耐克","CRSR":"Corsair Gaming, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/18/can-corsair-gaming-be-the-nike-of-esports/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2144757377","content_text":"Video games are one of the largest industries worldwide. With an estimated $157 billion in global spending last year that is projected to reach almost $300 billion by 2027, there are tons of investment opportunities lurking within the gaming space.\nOne of these opportunities may be Corsair Gaming (NASDAQ:CRSR), a company that just went public last fall and aims to become one of the premier gaming equipment and gear brands, similar to what Nike (NYSE:NKE) has done within the traditional sports market. Does Corsair Gaming have the chops to be the Nike of video games? Let's take a look.\nWhat is Corsair Gaming?\nFounded in 1994, Corsair started out selling high-end gaming PCs and hardware. This operating segment, which it calls gaming components and systems, is still the majority of the company's revenue, generating $353.5 million of its $529.4 million in sales last quarter. Corsair sells high-performance PCs to hardcore gamers, most of which sell for more than $2,000 apiece.\nWhile its legacy business is components and systems, Corsair is investing heavily into what it calls gaming and creator peripherals. This is mainly gaming and live streaming accessories like microphones, headsets, keyboards, and chairs. This segment generated $175.9 million in sales last quarter, up from $75.9 million a year ago. That is 132% year-over-year revenue growth for this segment.\nCorsair is also making multiple acquisitions to bolster its fastest-growing operating segment. One company it just acquired, Elgato, is a top brand for live stream equipment and software. Seeing as live streaming is huge among the gaming community, Elgato should fit perfectly among Corsair's product portfolio.\nLate last year, Corsair acquired Gamer Sensei, the world's biggest esports coaching service. Like Elgato, Gamer Sensei is an easy upsell for Corsair customers, as many are likely already aspiring esports professionals.\nHow Corsair can follow the Nike playbook\nThe problem with Corsair is that, when you get down to it, a lot of what it and its competitors sell are commodity products. This means that Corsair needs to differentiate itself in other ways in order to attract customers, like with design or a quality brand. A great comparison, and possible inspiration for Corsair's advertising strategy, would be Nike's playbook that helped it dominate the athletic shoe and apparel market.\nFor decades, Nike has paid billions of dollars to famous athletes and sports teams to make sure they exclusively wear Nike products when performing in front of millions of fans. For example, it is rumored the company's lifetime contract with NBA star Lebron James is worth more than $1 billion. At first glance, this may seem like wasteful spending, but Nike gets a great return on these athlete contracts because it convinces millions of other people to spend $100 or more on a pair of Nike shoes.\nCorsair can differentiate itself from other gaming equipment brands by using a similar strategy of paying famous gamers and esports athletes to exclusively use and wear Corsair products. It is already moving in this direction, with a few esports teams under its umbrella and a streamer program where people can apply to get free gear and discounts. However, the company has a lot more levers it could pull on this front. For example, it could sign top Twitch streamers to multi-year sponsorship deals, fitting them exclusively with Corsair gear. It could also go a step further by partnering with these top streamers to build custom gear, similar to what Nike does with NBA players and shoes. I'm no expert on the game streaming market, but if someone like Ninja (one of the most popular Twitch streamers) came out with a customer Corsair product it would likely do very well.\nThe stock trades at a reasonable valuation\nAs of this writing, Corsair has a market cap of $3 billion. With $1.92 billion in trailing 12-month revenue, that gives the stock a price-to-sales ratio (P/S) of 1.56. And with $185.5 million in free cash flow over the past 12 months, its price-to-free-cash-flow (P/FCF) is around 16.2.\nBoth these metrics are cheap relative to the overall market, indicating that investors are not that confident in Corsair's prospects going forward. Management is only guiding for $1.9 billion to $2.1 billion in revenue in 2021, which may be spooking investors a bit as that would be a big slowdown in growth. But if you have a long-term time horizon and think Corsair can be a dominant brand in one of the world's fastest-growing industries, a market cap of only $3 billion may look like a steal five or 10 years from now.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":150,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":166515900,"gmtCreate":1624017276100,"gmtModify":1703826642270,"author":{"id":"3587078333302518","authorId":"3587078333302518","name":"Joshuji","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a45cb00e95a6585e7073c60daa885bb6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3587078333302518","authorIdStr":"3587078333302518"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like my comment! Thanks :)","listText":"Like my comment! Thanks :)","text":"Like my comment! Thanks :)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/166515900","repostId":"1139060110","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1139060110","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624015692,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1139060110?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-18 19:28","market":"us","language":"en","title":"JPMorgan upgrades Lennar, sees nearly 50% upside amid hot housing market and potential buybacks","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1139060110","media":"cnbc","summary":"The market is under valuing Lennar’s internal improvements and potential in a hot housing market, ac","content":"<div>\n<p>The market is under valuing Lennar’s internal improvements and potential in a hot housing market, according to JPMorgan.\nThe homebuilder reported its second quarter earnings on Wednesday, delivering ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/18/lennar-stock-upgrade-jpmorgan.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"cnbc_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>JPMorgan upgrades Lennar, sees nearly 50% upside amid hot housing market and potential buybacks</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nJPMorgan upgrades Lennar, sees nearly 50% upside amid hot housing market and potential buybacks\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-18 19:28 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/18/lennar-stock-upgrade-jpmorgan.html><strong>cnbc</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The market is under valuing Lennar’s internal improvements and potential in a hot housing market, according to JPMorgan.\nThe homebuilder reported its second quarter earnings on Wednesday, delivering ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/18/lennar-stock-upgrade-jpmorgan.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LEN":"莱纳建筑公司"},"source_url":"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/18/lennar-stock-upgrade-jpmorgan.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/72bb72e1b84c09fca865c6dcb1bbcd16","article_id":"1139060110","content_text":"The market is under valuing Lennar’s internal improvements and potential in a hot housing market, according to JPMorgan.\nThe homebuilder reported its second quarter earnings on Wednesday, delivering revenue and earnings per share above expectations, according to FactSet. The company also raised its guidance for average sales prices and gross margins.\nAdditionally, the companyannounced in Marchthat it planned to spin-off some of its non-core assets to create a rental housing venture.\nJPMorgan analyst Michael Rehaut upgraded the stock to overweight from neutral, saying in a note to clients on Friday that the company appeared undervalued based on its strategic shift and potential for share buybacks.\n“At current levels, not only do we view LEN’s valuation as effectively not assigning much value to its proposed spin-off, but moreover, we expect the company to demonstrate further progress in its shift to an asset light model as well as, lastly, anticipate an increased level of returning cash to shareholders over time,” the note said.\nHome sales and starts have slowed in recent months as a short supply of houses on the market has hit at the same time as sky high lumber prices. However, JPMorgan said that Lennar’s management still seemed positive about the strength of the housing market overall.\nThe firm hiked its price target on Lennar to $141 per share from $115, representing upside of 49%. The stock has already gained 24% year to date.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":256,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":143704102,"gmtCreate":1625815143006,"gmtModify":1703749105143,"author":{"id":"3587078333302518","authorId":"3587078333302518","name":"Joshuji","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a45cb00e95a6585e7073c60daa885bb6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3587078333302518","authorIdStr":"3587078333302518"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/143704102","repostId":"1193792352","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":279,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":166513110,"gmtCreate":1624017020530,"gmtModify":1703826638219,"author":{"id":"3587078333302518","authorId":"3587078333302518","name":"Joshuji","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a45cb00e95a6585e7073c60daa885bb6","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3587078333302518","authorIdStr":"3587078333302518"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like n comment :)","listText":"Pls like n comment :)","text":"Pls like n comment :)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/166513110","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":200,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}