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JoeKun

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2023-05-02

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@ToughCoyote:My strategic plan to enter market in second half of 2023

2022-08-10

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2022-08-08

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U.S. Stocks Open Higher As Wall Street Looks to Build on Three Weeks of Gains for S&P 500

2022-08-07

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Palantir Q2: Investors Beware

2022-08-06

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2022-08-05

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strategic plan to enter market in second half of 2023","htmlText":"The strategic entry plan in second half of 2023: Yesterday, US20Y reached the level of more than 3.9% again, and the factors causing the short-term sharp rise in colonial interest rates are nothing more than inflation and the upper limit of U.S. bonds and performance key market indicators like&nbsp;<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/XPEV\">$XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SQQQ\">$Nasdaq100 Bear 3X ETF(SQQQ)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SOXL\">$Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares(SOXL)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TQQQ\">$Nasdaq100 Bull 3X ETF(TQQQ)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>&nbsp; These two types of problems, as previously evaluated, may have a very short-term","listText":"The strategic entry plan in second half of 2023: Yesterday, US20Y reached the level of more than 3.9% again, and the factors causing the short-term sharp rise in colonial interest rates are nothing more than inflation and the upper limit of U.S. bonds and performance key market indicators like&nbsp;<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/XPEV\">$XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SQQQ\">$Nasdaq100 Bear 3X ETF(SQQQ)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SOXL\">$Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares(SOXL)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TQQQ\">$Nasdaq100 Bull 3X ETF(TQQQ)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>&nbsp; These two types of problems, as previously evaluated, may have a very short-term","text":"The strategic entry plan in second half of 2023: Yesterday, US20Y reached the level of more than 3.9% again, and the factors causing the short-term sharp rise in colonial interest rates are nothing more than inflation and the upper limit of U.S. bonds and performance key market indicators like $XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$ $Nasdaq100 Bear 3X ETF(SQQQ)$ $Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares(SOXL)$ $Nasdaq100 Bull 3X ETF(TQQQ)$ These two types of problems, as previously evaluated, may have a very short-term","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9947603913","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":314,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9907339191,"gmtCreate":1660139762719,"gmtModify":1703478312470,"author":{"id":"4087524360121530","authorId":"4087524360121530","name":"JoeKun","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a543b7a138549431b97b6bee2bc9e956","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087524360121530","authorIdStr":"4087524360121530"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9907339191","repostId":"1144768868","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":424,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9904072267,"gmtCreate":1659967736261,"gmtModify":1703476465804,"author":{"id":"4087524360121530","authorId":"4087524360121530","name":"JoeKun","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a543b7a138549431b97b6bee2bc9e956","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087524360121530","authorIdStr":"4087524360121530"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9904072267","repostId":"1144937408","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1144937408","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1659965572,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1144937408?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-08 21:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. Stocks Open Higher As Wall Street Looks to Build on Three Weeks of Gains for S&P 500","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1144937408","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. stock futures rose on Monday morning, following the S&P 500′s third straight weekly gain, as in","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. stock futures rose on Monday morning, following the S&amp;P 500′s third straight weekly gain, as investors shifted focus to a key inflation report this week.</p><p>Futures on the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 155 points or 0.5%. S&amp;P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures advanced 0.4% and 0.3%, respectively. The futures came off their highs after Nvidia announced weak revenue for the second quarter.</p><p>Monday’s gain follows a weekly rise for the S&amp;P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite as a surprisingly strong monthly jobs report eased some recession fears. The resilient labor market also signaled that the economy could withstand more rate hikes from the Federal Reserve.</p><p>“The stock market rally since the June 16 low looks to have legs in our view based on economic data and earnings results reported through last Friday,” Oppenheimer chief investment strategist John Stoltzfus said in a note to clients.</p><p>Some clean energy related shares gained after the Senate passed a $430 billion climate bill, the Inflation Reduction Act, which is expected to be passed by the House later this week. The Invesco Solar ETF was higher by 1.7% in early trading.</p><p>A new reading for the consumer price index, slated for release Wednesday, will give investors more clarification about the central bank’s next move at its policy meeting in September. Traders are now pricing in a higher likelihood of a 0.75 percentage point hike next month, which would be the third straight increase of that magnitude.</p><p>Headline CPI, which includes energy and food, is expected to dip to 8.7% in July, from a 40-year high of 9.1% in June, according to Dow Jones estimates.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. Stocks Open Higher As Wall Street Looks to Build on Three Weeks of Gains for S&P 500</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. Stocks Open Higher As Wall Street Looks to Build on Three Weeks of Gains for S&P 500\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-08-08 21:32</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. stock futures rose on Monday morning, following the S&amp;P 500′s third straight weekly gain, as investors shifted focus to a key inflation report this week.</p><p>Futures on the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 155 points or 0.5%. S&amp;P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures advanced 0.4% and 0.3%, respectively. The futures came off their highs after Nvidia announced weak revenue for the second quarter.</p><p>Monday’s gain follows a weekly rise for the S&amp;P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite as a surprisingly strong monthly jobs report eased some recession fears. The resilient labor market also signaled that the economy could withstand more rate hikes from the Federal Reserve.</p><p>“The stock market rally since the June 16 low looks to have legs in our view based on economic data and earnings results reported through last Friday,” Oppenheimer chief investment strategist John Stoltzfus said in a note to clients.</p><p>Some clean energy related shares gained after the Senate passed a $430 billion climate bill, the Inflation Reduction Act, which is expected to be passed by the House later this week. The Invesco Solar ETF was higher by 1.7% in early trading.</p><p>A new reading for the consumer price index, slated for release Wednesday, will give investors more clarification about the central bank’s next move at its policy meeting in September. Traders are now pricing in a higher likelihood of a 0.75 percentage point hike next month, which would be the third straight increase of that magnitude.</p><p>Headline CPI, which includes energy and food, is expected to dip to 8.7% in July, from a 40-year high of 9.1% in June, according to Dow Jones estimates.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1144937408","content_text":"U.S. stock futures rose on Monday morning, following the S&P 500′s third straight weekly gain, as investors shifted focus to a key inflation report this week.Futures on the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 155 points or 0.5%. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures advanced 0.4% and 0.3%, respectively. The futures came off their highs after Nvidia announced weak revenue for the second quarter.Monday’s gain follows a weekly rise for the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite as a surprisingly strong monthly jobs report eased some recession fears. The resilient labor market also signaled that the economy could withstand more rate hikes from the Federal Reserve.“The stock market rally since the June 16 low looks to have legs in our view based on economic data and earnings results reported through last Friday,” Oppenheimer chief investment strategist John Stoltzfus said in a note to clients.Some clean energy related shares gained after the Senate passed a $430 billion climate bill, the Inflation Reduction Act, which is expected to be passed by the House later this week. The Invesco Solar ETF was higher by 1.7% in early trading.A new reading for the consumer price index, slated for release Wednesday, will give investors more clarification about the central bank’s next move at its policy meeting in September. Traders are now pricing in a higher likelihood of a 0.75 percentage point hike next month, which would be the third straight increase of that magnitude.Headline CPI, which includes energy and food, is expected to dip to 8.7% in July, from a 40-year high of 9.1% in June, according to Dow Jones estimates.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":571,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9905650047,"gmtCreate":1659880647392,"gmtModify":1703767303387,"author":{"id":"4087524360121530","authorId":"4087524360121530","name":"JoeKun","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a543b7a138549431b97b6bee2bc9e956","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087524360121530","authorIdStr":"4087524360121530"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9905650047","repostId":"1166128821","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1166128821","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1659844984,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1166128821?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-07 12:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir Q2: Investors Beware","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1166128821","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryPalantir will be reporting its Q2 results before markets open on Monday.Its revenue is estima","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Palantir will be reporting its Q2 results before markets open on Monday.</li><li>Its revenue is estimated to be $474.1 million.</li><li>Palantir&#39;s government revenue likely to remain subdued on account of lackluster order wins from the US government during the quarter.</li></ul><p>Palantir (NYSE:PLTR) will be releasing its Q2resultsbefore markets open on Monday. The company&#39;s management issued an extremely conservative revenue guidance for the quarter, in light of the global macroeconomic uncertainty, and investors are now wondering if there&#39;s a possibility of a revenue beat. But in addition to tracking Palantir&#39;s top line figure, investors should also track its customer additions, billings growth, segment financials and its management&#39;s outlook for Q3. These items, collectively, will highlight Palantir&#39;s near-term growth prospects and are likely to determine where its shares head next.</p><p><b>Operating Metrics</b></p><p>There&#39;s no denying that Palantir is a rapidly growing company but we&#39;ve to keep a vigilant eye and check if its financial and operating growth momentums don&#39;t fizzle out during these times of macroeconomic uncertainty. For this, we can start by monitoring Palantir&#39;s customer additions, which essentially highlights its customer traction and indicates how competitive its platforms really are, in today&#39;s time.</p><p>Palantir has been able to expand its commercial customer base at an impressive pace over the past 6 quarters, exactly as I had forecasted in my prior articles like here, by undertaking a slew of initiatives. They rapidly expanded their sales team, offered free/limit trials to major enterprises and switched to a recurring payment model to reduce the inertia amongst its potential customer base. Since these initiatives are still ongoing, I expect them to continue bearing fruit and expect the company&#39;s commercial customer base to expand rapidly in the foreseeable future as well.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cfaddbc06e94e062dc724ff5af6593b7\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"544\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>BusinessQuant.com</p><p>However, Palantir seems to have hit a saturation point with regards to its government customer base. Maybe there&#39;s geopolitics at play, or maybe there aren&#39;t many government agencies in the world that are looking for data analytics solutions from a non-native company that has close ties with the US government. I welcome readers to speculate on the issue. But having said that, there haven&#39;t been any major announcements from Palantir to catapult growth in this area so I expect its government customer base to more or less remain flat sequentially.</p><p>Moving on, the customer adds figure alone won&#39;t be enough to reveal the entire picture. For instance, a sequentially flat billings figure, while customer growth continues, would imply that either existing customers slashed their spending on Palantir&#39;s platforms or its new customers signed up with miniscule contract values. On the other hand, healthy customer and billings growth would imply that Palantir&#39;s new and existing customers are in the process of ramping their spending on the company&#39;s platforms. A third scenario could be if Palantir&#39;s billings and customer growth declines, stagnates, or slows down, which would imply that Palantir has hit a saturation point and its platforms are no longer in vogue. So, pay close attention to Palantir&#39;s billings growth once the company reports its Q2 results this coming Monday.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cfef004ca3e7144d46683d030948280b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"425\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>BusinessQuant.com</p><p>Now, having discussed the operating levers, let&#39;s now shift attention to Palantir&#39;s financials.</p><p><b>Financial Bifurcation</b></p><p>It&#39;s worth noting that Palantir classifies its revenue in two reportable segments, namely commercial and government segments. The commercial segment happens to be the smaller one out of the two, at least in terms of revenue, and amounted to nearly 46% of the company&#39;s total sales last quarter.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c6c26bc211b592883ccfc648d76d754f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"545\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>BusinessQuant.com</p><p>Thanks to the rapid commercial customer adds in recent quarters, Palantir&#39;s commercial revenue has been growing at a breakneck pace of late and driving growth for the company as a whole. I expect this dynamic to continue in Q2 as well, with commercial revenue growing 10% sequentially and amounting to $225 million during Q2 2022.</p><p>The government segment contributed a little over 54% to Palantir&#39;s overall sales last quarter and the revenue stream has been growing at a relatively slower pace. This is, in part, due to the saturation in government customer additions as seen in the first section of this article. If the company&#39;s government customer base has saturated, then it&#39;s only natural that its government revenue stream would saturate as well.</p><p>What exacerbates the problem is that the inflow of federal government contracts has considerably slowed down in the last 2 quarters. Although Palantir&#39;s management noted in their last earnings call that they are &#34;seeing an acceleration of our U.S. government revenue&#34;, the ground reality isn&#39;t all that encouraging. As it turns out, the dollar-value of new orders signed with various US government agencies during Q2, is up 14% sequentially but still down 48% year over year. This means that even though Palantir has made some progress on this front, there&#39;s still a long way to go when compared to the company&#39;s own prior history with government contract wins.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/513e837064ffbf5b6adf1084eda3110b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"456\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>BusinessQuant.com</p><p>So, as far as Q2 is concerned, I expect Palantir&#39;s government revenue to grow marginally by 3% sequentially, with its revenue figure coming in at approximately $249 million. At this pace, I expect Palantir&#39;s commercial revenue to overtake its government revenue and become the leading contributor to the entire company&#39;s top line sometime in Q4 2022 or Q1 2023. But coming back to our discussion, this brings us to a company-wide revenue estimate of $474.1 million. My forecast is coincidentally in-line with the Street&#39;sestimatesthat are spanning from $470 million to $475.9 million.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a64133285cdbea23e36084f025bdfe2b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"209\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>BusinessQuant.com</p><p>But having said that, pay close attention to Palantir management&#39;s revenue and billings outlook for Q3. As companies and government agencies across the globe cut down on spending, Palantir might be affected as well. This could come in the form of order cancellations, deferred contract signings and/or slowing down revenue growth. So, look for management&#39;s comments on their growth momentum.</p><p><b>Final Thoughts</b></p><p>Palantir&#39;s shares are down 62% from their 52-week highs and they&#39;re now attractively valued at current levels. The stock is trading at 14-times its trailing twelve-month sales at the time of this writing, which is more or less in-line with many of the other rapidly growing software infrastructure stocks.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/54f28bcdbe209a2f5851224c7db57676\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"349\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>BusinessQuant.com</p><p>I, personally, expect Palantir to continue growing rapidly in the next 2 years at the very least. The company has compelling platform offerings and it has market validation in the form of rapid commercial customer additions. So, I remain bullish on Palantir. But, at the same time, I would recommend readers and investors to remain vigilant and monitor its customer additions, billings growth, segment financials and its management&#39;s outlook for Q3. These items will indicate if Palantir is succumbing to macroeconomic pressures or if its growth momentum remains intact. Good Luck!</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir Q2: Investors Beware</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir Q2: Investors Beware\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-07 12:03 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4529579-palantir-q2-investors-beware><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryPalantir will be reporting its Q2 results before markets open on Monday.Its revenue is estimated to be $474.1 million.Palantir's government revenue likely to remain subdued on account of ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4529579-palantir-q2-investors-beware\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4529579-palantir-q2-investors-beware","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1166128821","content_text":"SummaryPalantir will be reporting its Q2 results before markets open on Monday.Its revenue is estimated to be $474.1 million.Palantir's government revenue likely to remain subdued on account of lackluster order wins from the US government during the quarter.Palantir (NYSE:PLTR) will be releasing its Q2resultsbefore markets open on Monday. The company's management issued an extremely conservative revenue guidance for the quarter, in light of the global macroeconomic uncertainty, and investors are now wondering if there's a possibility of a revenue beat. But in addition to tracking Palantir's top line figure, investors should also track its customer additions, billings growth, segment financials and its management's outlook for Q3. These items, collectively, will highlight Palantir's near-term growth prospects and are likely to determine where its shares head next.Operating MetricsThere's no denying that Palantir is a rapidly growing company but we've to keep a vigilant eye and check if its financial and operating growth momentums don't fizzle out during these times of macroeconomic uncertainty. For this, we can start by monitoring Palantir's customer additions, which essentially highlights its customer traction and indicates how competitive its platforms really are, in today's time.Palantir has been able to expand its commercial customer base at an impressive pace over the past 6 quarters, exactly as I had forecasted in my prior articles like here, by undertaking a slew of initiatives. They rapidly expanded their sales team, offered free/limit trials to major enterprises and switched to a recurring payment model to reduce the inertia amongst its potential customer base. Since these initiatives are still ongoing, I expect them to continue bearing fruit and expect the company's commercial customer base to expand rapidly in the foreseeable future as well.BusinessQuant.comHowever, Palantir seems to have hit a saturation point with regards to its government customer base. Maybe there's geopolitics at play, or maybe there aren't many government agencies in the world that are looking for data analytics solutions from a non-native company that has close ties with the US government. I welcome readers to speculate on the issue. But having said that, there haven't been any major announcements from Palantir to catapult growth in this area so I expect its government customer base to more or less remain flat sequentially.Moving on, the customer adds figure alone won't be enough to reveal the entire picture. For instance, a sequentially flat billings figure, while customer growth continues, would imply that either existing customers slashed their spending on Palantir's platforms or its new customers signed up with miniscule contract values. On the other hand, healthy customer and billings growth would imply that Palantir's new and existing customers are in the process of ramping their spending on the company's platforms. A third scenario could be if Palantir's billings and customer growth declines, stagnates, or slows down, which would imply that Palantir has hit a saturation point and its platforms are no longer in vogue. So, pay close attention to Palantir's billings growth once the company reports its Q2 results this coming Monday.BusinessQuant.comNow, having discussed the operating levers, let's now shift attention to Palantir's financials.Financial BifurcationIt's worth noting that Palantir classifies its revenue in two reportable segments, namely commercial and government segments. The commercial segment happens to be the smaller one out of the two, at least in terms of revenue, and amounted to nearly 46% of the company's total sales last quarter.BusinessQuant.comThanks to the rapid commercial customer adds in recent quarters, Palantir's commercial revenue has been growing at a breakneck pace of late and driving growth for the company as a whole. I expect this dynamic to continue in Q2 as well, with commercial revenue growing 10% sequentially and amounting to $225 million during Q2 2022.The government segment contributed a little over 54% to Palantir's overall sales last quarter and the revenue stream has been growing at a relatively slower pace. This is, in part, due to the saturation in government customer additions as seen in the first section of this article. If the company's government customer base has saturated, then it's only natural that its government revenue stream would saturate as well.What exacerbates the problem is that the inflow of federal government contracts has considerably slowed down in the last 2 quarters. Although Palantir's management noted in their last earnings call that they are \"seeing an acceleration of our U.S. government revenue\", the ground reality isn't all that encouraging. As it turns out, the dollar-value of new orders signed with various US government agencies during Q2, is up 14% sequentially but still down 48% year over year. This means that even though Palantir has made some progress on this front, there's still a long way to go when compared to the company's own prior history with government contract wins.BusinessQuant.comSo, as far as Q2 is concerned, I expect Palantir's government revenue to grow marginally by 3% sequentially, with its revenue figure coming in at approximately $249 million. At this pace, I expect Palantir's commercial revenue to overtake its government revenue and become the leading contributor to the entire company's top line sometime in Q4 2022 or Q1 2023. But coming back to our discussion, this brings us to a company-wide revenue estimate of $474.1 million. My forecast is coincidentally in-line with the Street'sestimatesthat are spanning from $470 million to $475.9 million.BusinessQuant.comBut having said that, pay close attention to Palantir management's revenue and billings outlook for Q3. As companies and government agencies across the globe cut down on spending, Palantir might be affected as well. This could come in the form of order cancellations, deferred contract signings and/or slowing down revenue growth. So, look for management's comments on their growth momentum.Final ThoughtsPalantir's shares are down 62% from their 52-week highs and they're now attractively valued at current levels. The stock is trading at 14-times its trailing twelve-month sales at the time of this writing, which is more or less in-line with many of the other rapidly growing software infrastructure stocks.BusinessQuant.comI, personally, expect Palantir to continue growing rapidly in the next 2 years at the very least. The company has compelling platform offerings and it has market validation in the form of rapid commercial customer additions. So, I remain bullish on Palantir. But, at the same time, I would recommend readers and investors to remain vigilant and monitor its customer additions, billings growth, segment financials and its management's outlook for Q3. These items will indicate if Palantir is succumbing to macroeconomic pressures or if its growth momentum remains intact. Good Luck!","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":447,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9905998845,"gmtCreate":1659790101090,"gmtModify":1703766557266,"author":{"id":"4087524360121530","authorId":"4087524360121530","name":"JoeKun","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a543b7a138549431b97b6bee2bc9e956","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087524360121530","authorIdStr":"4087524360121530"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9905998845","repostId":"1136904781","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":435,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9902643957,"gmtCreate":1659695969583,"gmtModify":1704784954606,"author":{"id":"4087524360121530","authorId":"4087524360121530","name":"JoeKun","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a543b7a138549431b97b6bee2bc9e956","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087524360121530","authorIdStr":"4087524360121530"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9902643957","repostId":"1151284770","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1151284770","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1659713272,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1151284770?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-05 23:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Warren Buffett's Secret Portfolio Has 95% of Its Assets in These 2 Sectors","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1151284770","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"KEY POINTSThe Oracle of Omaha has a nose for making money, as evidenced by the 20.1% average annual ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>KEY POINTS</p><ul><li>The Oracle of Omaha has a nose for making money, as evidenced by the 20.1% average annual return for his company&#39;s stock since 1965.</li><li>As a result of an acquisition in 1998, Berkshire Hathaway owns an investment company with $6.3 billion in assets under management.</li><li>This &#34;hidden&#34; portfolio is highly concentrated.</li></ul><p>Berkshire Hathaway&#39;s $6.3 billion hidden portfolio has piled nearly all of its capital into two sectors.</p><p>Few investors have a more impressive track record than <b>Berkshire Hathaway</b> (BRK.A) (BRK.B) CEO Warren Buffett. In the 57 years he&#39;s held the reins at Berkshire, he&#39;s led his company&#39;s Class A shares (BRK.A) to an average annual return of 20.1%, which equates to an aggregate return of more than 3,600,000%.</p><p>Buffett&#39;s success as an investor is due tomyriad factors, including a willingness to hold investments for long periods of time, as well as his love of cyclical companies and dividend stocks.</p><p>But something you may not know about the Oracle of Omaha is that he has a secret portfolio containing $6.3 billion in assets under management, as of March 31, 2022. While it&#39;s relatively easy to follow Buffett&#39;s trading activity via 13F filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, you won&#39;t find these holdings in Berkshire&#39;s 13F filing.</p><p>In 1998, Buffett&#39;s company acquired insurer General Re for $22 billion. While the prized asset of the General Re buyout was the company&#39;s reinsurance operations, General Re also controlled specialty investment firm New England Asset Management (NEAM).</p><p>To be perfectly clear, Warren Buffett and the investing team making the decisions for Berkshire Hathaway&#39;s more than $350 billion investment portfolio don&#39;t oversee NEAM&#39;s $6.3 billion investment portfolio. Nevertheless, New England Asset Management is an owned entity of Buffett&#39;s company. This means the assets held in NEAM&#39;s investment portfolio are, ultimately, &#34;owned&#34; by the Oracle of Omaha.</p><p>With $6.3 billion in assets under management, New England Asset Management is required to file a 13F just like its parent company. But unlike Berkshire Hathaway, NEAM has its fingers in more than three times as many securities as Berkshire (52 for Berkshire, compared to more than 160 for NEAM).</p><p>What&#39;s similar is that Buffett&#39;s secret portfolio has invested the vast majority of its assets into a small concentration of sectors. In New England Asset Management&#39;s case, 95% of its assets are invested in just the following two sectors.</p><h3>Technology: 57.49% of invested assets</h3><p>The sector Warren Buffett&#39;s secret portfolio unquestionably favors the most is information technology. In total, NEAM has positions in 17 different tech stocks, including software behemoth <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">Microsoft</a>, semiconductor solutions-specialist <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">Broadcom</a>, payroll solutions-provider <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PAYX\">Paychex</a>, and legacy stalwarts like HP and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IBM\">IBM</a>.</p><p>But here&#39;s the jaw-dropping stat that really defines New England Asset Management&#39;s &#34;love of tech.&#34; Out of the 57.49% of assets invested in information technology at the end of March, virtually all of it (56.62%) was tied up in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple </a>. This means the other 16 tech stocks held by NEAM make up just 0.87% of invested assets, on a combined basis!</p><p>There&#39;s certainly something to be said about Berkshire Hathaway and New England Asset Management sharing their largest positions. Then again, Apple has given investors an abundance of reasons to trust in the company over the long run.</p><p>To begin with, Apple is arguably the most valuable and recognized brand in the world. Earlier this year, Brand Finance labeled Apple as the world&#39;s most valuable brand for a second consecutive year. Brand Finance cited the company&#39;s range of services, its bolstered privacy and environmental push, and its diversified product line as reasons for hanging onto the top spot among global brands.</p><p>Innovation is another reason Apple has been such a superstar for the investing community. Since Apple introduced a 5G-capable version of its iPhone in the fourth quarter of 2020, its U.S. smartphone market share has held at 50% or above in 5 out of 6 quarters, according to Counterpoint Research.</p><p>But it&#39;s not just product innovation that&#39;s driving results. Apple CEO Tim Cook is overseeing an ongoing transition of his company to a service-oriented business. A subscription-driven model should help boost long-term operating margins and lessen the bumpiness often associated with product-replacement cycles. Keep in mind that Apple isn&#39;t abandoning the product line that brought it fame. The company is simply evolving in order to grow.</p><p>Apple is also in a league of its own when it comes to capital-return programs. In addition to returning more than $14 billion a year to investors in the form of a dividend, the company has repurchased close to $520 billion worth of its common stock since initiating a buyback program in 2013. That&#39;s not pocket change, and it&#39;s an easy way to get the attention of Warren Buffet and New England Asset Management&#39;s investment-portfolio managers.</p><h2>Financials: 37.45% of invested assets</h2><p>The second sector that New England Asset Management has absolutely piled into is (drum roll) financials! Did you expect anything else from a company with an insurance-based background?</p><p>As a whole, NEAM holds stakes in 51 financial securities. I say &#34;securities,&#34; because NEAM invests in stocks, exchange-traded funds, and preferred stock. But once again, only a small handful of these investments account for the lion&#39;s share of the 37.45% of invested assets tied up in financial stocks. This includes <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/USB\">U.S. Bancorp </a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America </a>, the SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF, and the Bank of New York Mellon.</p><p>Together, these four securities account for 32.98% of the 37.45% in financial sector-invested assets. You might note that Berkshire Hathaway has stakes in all four of these financial securities, too, in its portfolio.</p><p>Regional bank U.S. Bancorp and money-center giant Bank of America each make up about 14.9% of invested assets (29.8% on a combined basis). When held for long periods of time, bank stocks benefit from the disproportionately longer period of time the U.S. economy spends expanding, relative to contracting.</p><p>Although downturns are inevitable, the U.S. economy naturally expands over time. That allows U.S. Bancorp and Bank of America to grow their loans and deposits.</p><p>Bank of America and U.S. Bancorp are also benefiting from a combination of rising interest rates and digitization investments. The former noted in its June-ended quarterly investor presentation that a 100 basis-point parallel shift in the interest-rate yield curve would generate an estimated $5 billion in added net-interest income over 12 months.</p><p>Meanwhile, U.S. Bancorp has set the standard for digital engagement. It ended June with 82% of its active customers banking digitally and had 64% of total sales completed online or via its app. Since digital transactions cost a fraction of what in-person or phone-based transactions do, this digital push is helping boost U.S. Bancorp&#39;s efficiency.</p><p>Financials may not be the sexiest place to put your money to work, but they have all the tools to take advantage of a steadily growing economy over the long term.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Warren Buffett's Secret Portfolio Has 95% of Its Assets in These 2 Sectors</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWarren Buffett's Secret Portfolio Has 95% of Its Assets in These 2 Sectors\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-05 23:27 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/08/05/warren-buffett-secret-portfolio-95-assets-2-sector/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>KEY POINTSThe Oracle of Omaha has a nose for making money, as evidenced by the 20.1% average annual return for his company's stock since 1965.As a result of an acquisition in 1998, Berkshire Hathaway ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/08/05/warren-buffett-secret-portfolio-95-assets-2-sector/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AVGO":"博通","IBM":"IBM","PAYX":"沛齐","AAPL":"苹果","BRK.A":"伯克希尔","HPQ":"惠普"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/08/05/warren-buffett-secret-portfolio-95-assets-2-sector/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1151284770","content_text":"KEY POINTSThe Oracle of Omaha has a nose for making money, as evidenced by the 20.1% average annual return for his company's stock since 1965.As a result of an acquisition in 1998, Berkshire Hathaway owns an investment company with $6.3 billion in assets under management.This \"hidden\" portfolio is highly concentrated.Berkshire Hathaway's $6.3 billion hidden portfolio has piled nearly all of its capital into two sectors.Few investors have a more impressive track record than Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A) (BRK.B) CEO Warren Buffett. In the 57 years he's held the reins at Berkshire, he's led his company's Class A shares (BRK.A) to an average annual return of 20.1%, which equates to an aggregate return of more than 3,600,000%.Buffett's success as an investor is due tomyriad factors, including a willingness to hold investments for long periods of time, as well as his love of cyclical companies and dividend stocks.But something you may not know about the Oracle of Omaha is that he has a secret portfolio containing $6.3 billion in assets under management, as of March 31, 2022. While it's relatively easy to follow Buffett's trading activity via 13F filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, you won't find these holdings in Berkshire's 13F filing.In 1998, Buffett's company acquired insurer General Re for $22 billion. While the prized asset of the General Re buyout was the company's reinsurance operations, General Re also controlled specialty investment firm New England Asset Management (NEAM).To be perfectly clear, Warren Buffett and the investing team making the decisions for Berkshire Hathaway's more than $350 billion investment portfolio don't oversee NEAM's $6.3 billion investment portfolio. Nevertheless, New England Asset Management is an owned entity of Buffett's company. This means the assets held in NEAM's investment portfolio are, ultimately, \"owned\" by the Oracle of Omaha.With $6.3 billion in assets under management, New England Asset Management is required to file a 13F just like its parent company. But unlike Berkshire Hathaway, NEAM has its fingers in more than three times as many securities as Berkshire (52 for Berkshire, compared to more than 160 for NEAM).What's similar is that Buffett's secret portfolio has invested the vast majority of its assets into a small concentration of sectors. In New England Asset Management's case, 95% of its assets are invested in just the following two sectors.Technology: 57.49% of invested assetsThe sector Warren Buffett's secret portfolio unquestionably favors the most is information technology. In total, NEAM has positions in 17 different tech stocks, including software behemoth Microsoft, semiconductor solutions-specialist Broadcom, payroll solutions-provider Paychex, and legacy stalwarts like HP and IBM.But here's the jaw-dropping stat that really defines New England Asset Management's \"love of tech.\" Out of the 57.49% of assets invested in information technology at the end of March, virtually all of it (56.62%) was tied up in Apple . This means the other 16 tech stocks held by NEAM make up just 0.87% of invested assets, on a combined basis!There's certainly something to be said about Berkshire Hathaway and New England Asset Management sharing their largest positions. Then again, Apple has given investors an abundance of reasons to trust in the company over the long run.To begin with, Apple is arguably the most valuable and recognized brand in the world. Earlier this year, Brand Finance labeled Apple as the world's most valuable brand for a second consecutive year. Brand Finance cited the company's range of services, its bolstered privacy and environmental push, and its diversified product line as reasons for hanging onto the top spot among global brands.Innovation is another reason Apple has been such a superstar for the investing community. Since Apple introduced a 5G-capable version of its iPhone in the fourth quarter of 2020, its U.S. smartphone market share has held at 50% or above in 5 out of 6 quarters, according to Counterpoint Research.But it's not just product innovation that's driving results. Apple CEO Tim Cook is overseeing an ongoing transition of his company to a service-oriented business. A subscription-driven model should help boost long-term operating margins and lessen the bumpiness often associated with product-replacement cycles. Keep in mind that Apple isn't abandoning the product line that brought it fame. The company is simply evolving in order to grow.Apple is also in a league of its own when it comes to capital-return programs. In addition to returning more than $14 billion a year to investors in the form of a dividend, the company has repurchased close to $520 billion worth of its common stock since initiating a buyback program in 2013. That's not pocket change, and it's an easy way to get the attention of Warren Buffet and New England Asset Management's investment-portfolio managers.Financials: 37.45% of invested assetsThe second sector that New England Asset Management has absolutely piled into is (drum roll) financials! Did you expect anything else from a company with an insurance-based background?As a whole, NEAM holds stakes in 51 financial securities. I say \"securities,\" because NEAM invests in stocks, exchange-traded funds, and preferred stock. But once again, only a small handful of these investments account for the lion's share of the 37.45% of invested assets tied up in financial stocks. This includes U.S. Bancorp , Bank of America , the SPDR S&P 500 ETF, and the Bank of New York Mellon.Together, these four securities account for 32.98% of the 37.45% in financial sector-invested assets. You might note that Berkshire Hathaway has stakes in all four of these financial securities, too, in its portfolio.Regional bank U.S. Bancorp and money-center giant Bank of America each make up about 14.9% of invested assets (29.8% on a combined basis). When held for long periods of time, bank stocks benefit from the disproportionately longer period of time the U.S. economy spends expanding, relative to contracting.Although downturns are inevitable, the U.S. economy naturally expands over time. That allows U.S. Bancorp and Bank of America to grow their loans and deposits.Bank of America and U.S. Bancorp are also benefiting from a combination of rising interest rates and digitization investments. The former noted in its June-ended quarterly investor presentation that a 100 basis-point parallel shift in the interest-rate yield curve would generate an estimated $5 billion in added net-interest income over 12 months.Meanwhile, U.S. Bancorp has set the standard for digital engagement. It ended June with 82% of its active customers banking digitally and had 64% of total sales completed online or via its app. Since digital transactions cost a fraction of what in-person or phone-based transactions do, this digital push is helping boost U.S. Bancorp's efficiency.Financials may not be the sexiest place to put your money to work, but they have all the tools to take advantage of a steadily growing economy over the long term.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":523,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9906462500,"gmtCreate":1659579185401,"gmtModify":1705981850733,"author":{"id":"4087524360121530","authorId":"4087524360121530","name":"JoeKun","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a543b7a138549431b97b6bee2bc9e956","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087524360121530","authorIdStr":"4087524360121530"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9906462500","repostId":"2256999219","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2256999219","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1659576660,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2256999219?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-04 09:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why the U.S. Stock Rally Is Starting to a Look like a New Bull Market, According to These Analysts","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2256999219","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Gains haven't yet ticked all the bull-market boxesBroader is better when it comes to the stock marke","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Gains haven&#39;t yet ticked all the bull-market boxes</b></p><p>Broader is better when it comes to the stock market rally and some analysts see technical signs that gains may be signaling the end of the 2022 bear market, though it&#39;s too early to say for sure.</p><p>&#34;The risk that the recent advance is merely a bear market rally has not been eliminated. But...the technical improvement up to this point is more akin to a new cyclical bull market than a bear market rally,&#34; said Ed Clissold and Thanh Nguyen of Ned Davis Research, in a Tuesday note.</p><p>Technical analysts pay close attention to various measures of market breadth -- or how many stocks are participating in a move up or down.</p><p>Clissold and Nguyen noted that the rally that followed Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell&#39;s July 27 news conference produced a pair of rare &#34;breadth thrust&#34; signals: first, the percentage of stocks hitting 20-day new highs rose above 55% for the first time since June 2020; second, the ratio of 10-day advances to 10-day declines rose to 1.9 for the first time since 2021. The moves came after a 10:1 up day for S&amp;P 500 stocks earlier in July.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cc602f4b86d96cc57e7d38df0ec969f5\" tg-width=\"523\" tg-height=\"1239\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>The S&amp;P 500 through Wednesday’s close had bounced 13.3% from its June 16 low. The S&amp;P 500 rose 1.6% on Wednesday, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average finished with a gain of more than 400 points, or 1.3%.</p><p>Breadth-thrust indicators are designed to be rare, but the growing role of exchange-traded funds, algorithmic trading and other factors have increased their frequency in the last 13 years, the analysts noted. Clissold and Nguyen said they still offer useful signals but require a &#34;trust but verify&#34; approach.</p><p>As for the latest moves, they noted that earlier rallies off the March and May lows triggered two other breadth thrust signals each. &#34;The fact that each of the three indicators that fired in July did not earlier in 2022 is a change worth noting,&#34; the analysts wrote.</p><p>Those earlier rallies, of course, proved to be head fakes. That means the abiding question for investors is whether the recent gains is just another in a series of failed rallies in a cyclical bear market or the early stages of a new bull market, the analysts acknowledged.</p><p>They found that three indicators -- the percentage of stocks at 21-day new highs, percentage of stocks at 63-day new highs, and the percentage of stocks above their 50-day moving averages, are higher than not only bear market rally medians, but the new bull market medians as well.</p><p>Clissold and Nguyen said NDR&#39;s &#34;Big Mo Tape,&#34; a measure of the percentage of subindustries in uptrends, stands in between the bear-rally median and the new bull market median.</p><p>Overall, the current market setup trails the technical improvement that was seen after lows in 2009, 2011 and 2016, but is stronger than the start of several bull markets from the late 1980s through the early 2000s for most breadth measures, they said.</p><p>The Big Mo Tape is the one to watch for additional technical confirmation, the analysts said. A continued climb in coming weeks would see it join other technical gauges in being &#34;clearly more consistent with a cyclical bull than a bear-market rally,&#34; they wrote.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why the U.S. Stock Rally Is Starting to a Look like a New Bull Market, According to These Analysts</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy the U.S. Stock Rally Is Starting to a Look like a New Bull Market, According to These Analysts\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-08-04 09:31</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p><b>Gains haven&#39;t yet ticked all the bull-market boxes</b></p><p>Broader is better when it comes to the stock market rally and some analysts see technical signs that gains may be signaling the end of the 2022 bear market, though it&#39;s too early to say for sure.</p><p>&#34;The risk that the recent advance is merely a bear market rally has not been eliminated. But...the technical improvement up to this point is more akin to a new cyclical bull market than a bear market rally,&#34; said Ed Clissold and Thanh Nguyen of Ned Davis Research, in a Tuesday note.</p><p>Technical analysts pay close attention to various measures of market breadth -- or how many stocks are participating in a move up or down.</p><p>Clissold and Nguyen noted that the rally that followed Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell&#39;s July 27 news conference produced a pair of rare &#34;breadth thrust&#34; signals: first, the percentage of stocks hitting 20-day new highs rose above 55% for the first time since June 2020; second, the ratio of 10-day advances to 10-day declines rose to 1.9 for the first time since 2021. The moves came after a 10:1 up day for S&amp;P 500 stocks earlier in July.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cc602f4b86d96cc57e7d38df0ec969f5\" tg-width=\"523\" tg-height=\"1239\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>The S&amp;P 500 through Wednesday’s close had bounced 13.3% from its June 16 low. The S&amp;P 500 rose 1.6% on Wednesday, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average finished with a gain of more than 400 points, or 1.3%.</p><p>Breadth-thrust indicators are designed to be rare, but the growing role of exchange-traded funds, algorithmic trading and other factors have increased their frequency in the last 13 years, the analysts noted. Clissold and Nguyen said they still offer useful signals but require a &#34;trust but verify&#34; approach.</p><p>As for the latest moves, they noted that earlier rallies off the March and May lows triggered two other breadth thrust signals each. &#34;The fact that each of the three indicators that fired in July did not earlier in 2022 is a change worth noting,&#34; the analysts wrote.</p><p>Those earlier rallies, of course, proved to be head fakes. That means the abiding question for investors is whether the recent gains is just another in a series of failed rallies in a cyclical bear market or the early stages of a new bull market, the analysts acknowledged.</p><p>They found that three indicators -- the percentage of stocks at 21-day new highs, percentage of stocks at 63-day new highs, and the percentage of stocks above their 50-day moving averages, are higher than not only bear market rally medians, but the new bull market medians as well.</p><p>Clissold and Nguyen said NDR&#39;s &#34;Big Mo Tape,&#34; a measure of the percentage of subindustries in uptrends, stands in between the bear-rally median and the new bull market median.</p><p>Overall, the current market setup trails the technical improvement that was seen after lows in 2009, 2011 and 2016, but is stronger than the start of several bull markets from the late 1980s through the early 2000s for most breadth measures, they said.</p><p>The Big Mo Tape is the one to watch for additional technical confirmation, the analysts said. A continued climb in coming weeks would see it join other technical gauges in being &#34;clearly more consistent with a cyclical bull than a bear-market rally,&#34; they wrote.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","SPY":"标普500ETF","BK4504":"桥水持仓","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","BK4581":"高盛持仓","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","SH":"标普500反向ETF","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","OEX":"标普100",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2256999219","content_text":"Gains haven't yet ticked all the bull-market boxesBroader is better when it comes to the stock market rally and some analysts see technical signs that gains may be signaling the end of the 2022 bear market, though it's too early to say for sure.\"The risk that the recent advance is merely a bear market rally has not been eliminated. But...the technical improvement up to this point is more akin to a new cyclical bull market than a bear market rally,\" said Ed Clissold and Thanh Nguyen of Ned Davis Research, in a Tuesday note.Technical analysts pay close attention to various measures of market breadth -- or how many stocks are participating in a move up or down.Clissold and Nguyen noted that the rally that followed Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's July 27 news conference produced a pair of rare \"breadth thrust\" signals: first, the percentage of stocks hitting 20-day new highs rose above 55% for the first time since June 2020; second, the ratio of 10-day advances to 10-day declines rose to 1.9 for the first time since 2021. The moves came after a 10:1 up day for S&P 500 stocks earlier in July.The S&P 500 through Wednesday’s close had bounced 13.3% from its June 16 low. The S&P 500 rose 1.6% on Wednesday, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average finished with a gain of more than 400 points, or 1.3%.Breadth-thrust indicators are designed to be rare, but the growing role of exchange-traded funds, algorithmic trading and other factors have increased their frequency in the last 13 years, the analysts noted. Clissold and Nguyen said they still offer useful signals but require a \"trust but verify\" approach.As for the latest moves, they noted that earlier rallies off the March and May lows triggered two other breadth thrust signals each. \"The fact that each of the three indicators that fired in July did not earlier in 2022 is a change worth noting,\" the analysts wrote.Those earlier rallies, of course, proved to be head fakes. That means the abiding question for investors is whether the recent gains is just another in a series of failed rallies in a cyclical bear market or the early stages of a new bull market, the analysts acknowledged.They found that three indicators -- the percentage of stocks at 21-day new highs, percentage of stocks at 63-day new highs, and the percentage of stocks above their 50-day moving averages, are higher than not only bear market rally medians, but the new bull market medians as well.Clissold and Nguyen said NDR's \"Big Mo Tape,\" a measure of the percentage of subindustries in uptrends, stands in between the bear-rally median and the new bull market median.Overall, the current market setup trails the technical improvement that was seen after lows in 2009, 2011 and 2016, but is stronger than the start of several bull markets from the late 1980s through the early 2000s for most breadth measures, they said.The Big Mo Tape is the one to watch for additional technical confirmation, the analysts said. A continued climb in coming weeks would see it join other technical gauges in being \"clearly more consistent with a cyclical bull than a bear-market rally,\" they wrote.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":408,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9906462181,"gmtCreate":1659579152445,"gmtModify":1705981850078,"author":{"id":"4087524360121530","authorId":"4087524360121530","name":"JoeKun","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a543b7a138549431b97b6bee2bc9e956","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087524360121530","authorIdStr":"4087524360121530"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9906462181","repostId":"1125114842","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1125114842","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1659578413,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1125114842?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-04 10:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"VOO: 3 Reasons To Avoid This Fund Right Now","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1125114842","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryThe Vanguard ETF indexed to the S&P 500 faces a number of current and long-standing issues th","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>The Vanguard ETF indexed to the S&amp;P 500 faces a number of current and long-standing issues that should result in this fund underperforming for some time.</li><li>Inflation and a rising dollar should limit most earnings growth of the main large-cap companies making up this index fund.</li><li>The overall market is likely to remain range bound for some time as earnings growth flat line, so investors will likely be better off investing in specific stocks or sectors.</li></ul><p>Evolution is usually required for survival. Adopting to an environment that a person or investors has become used to usually isn&#39;t overly challenging, but learning how to thrive when circumstances change is often more difficult.</p><p>The market isn&#39;t going straight up anymore. Inflation, rising rates, flatling earnings, and a rising dollar, all have resulted in funds indexed to the S&amp;P 500 (SPY) such as the Vanguard S&amp;P 500 ETF (NYSEARCA:VOO) selling off hard over the first six months of this year.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/41aa7f5708cb70616d8fbbcf77cd0c09\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"802\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>VOOdata by YCharts</p><p>VOO is an ETF that is indexed to the S&amp;P 500 which holds the following sectors. The fund allocates assets 24.11% to technology, 15.14% to health care, 12.84% to the financials, 10.24% to consumer cyclicals, 8.82% to the communication sector, 8.26% to industrials, 7.36% to consumer defensives, 4.33% to the energy sector, 3.09% to utilities, 2.9% to the real estate sector, and 2.27% to basic materials. The fund has good expense ratio of .03% and $832.52 billion in assets under management. The fund&#39;s 5 biggest holdings are Amazon (AMZN), Microsoft (MSFT), Alphabet (GOOGL), Apple (AAPL), and Tesla (TSLA).</p><p>I think this fund should be sold for 3 main reasons; Falling earnings, slowing growth, and a rising dollar. All issues that should remain challenges for most large cap companies through the next year.</p><p>With inflation levels still at near record highs and the dollar rising fast against most major currencies over the last several months, earnings expectations for the S&amp;P 500 and most major indexes have fallen as well. S&amp;P 500 earnings have been well below 5-year averages so far with most reports nearly 5% below 4-year average earnings reports when it comes to beating analyst expectations.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b69dd2f6a95d6b7e76495181010ba5a\" tg-width=\"920\" tg-height=\"671\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Earni gs tBle(An Earnings Table (FactSet))</p><p>Even though the Fed recently suggested the future interest rate raises may be slowed as inflation expectations have eased, inflation levels remain near 40-year highs.</p><p>There are also a number of signs the US economy is at least going to enter a period of an extended slowdown. Jobless claims have risen to 8-month highs, the number of small businesses defaulting on leases have reached alarming levels with nearly 35% of small businesses having issues paying their rent. Growth estimates for leading emerging market economies such as India continue to fall as well. Consensus estimates for growth in India have already fallen by nearly 2% since the beginning of the year primarily because of inflation and Covid related issues.</p><p>The slowing economy and consistently high levels of inflation the companies continue to face have largely resulted in earnings expectation flatlining over the last 6 months.</p><p>Inflation and slower expectations for growth in the US and abroad aren&#39;t the only issues most large-cap companies that comprise funds such as VOO are facing. The rising dollar is also hurting large-cap companies significantly.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32d61dfd2a522a6cae2e6a40951709e4\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"802\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>UUPdata by YCharts</p><p>The dollar has risen significantly against most major currencies since September of 2021.About 37% of S&amp;P 500 earnings come from outside of the United States, so a 10% rise in the dollar usually equates to a near 4% drop in earnings expectations. The dollar has risen well over 10% against most major currencies just since early May.</p><p>With inflation, a slowing economy, and falling earnings expectations likely to continue for some time, the market is more than likely to remain range-bound for an extended period of time in this uncertain environment. With VOO yielding just 1.49%, most investors seeking income or capital gains are likely to be disappointed with the returns this fund can offer over the next year.</p><p>Given the Uncertain times and higher than average volatility levels that should be in the market for some time, investors will likely get better returns using more creative strategies that target funds that can thrive even if the market remains range bound. Funds that use a covered call strategy, which is selling calls against the underlying securities the funds hold, are capable of generating significant income even in a market that flatlines. The Amplify CWP Enhanced Dividend Income ETF (DIVO), The Global X S&amp;P 500 Covered Call Exchange Traded Fund (XYLD), and the Global X Russell 2000 Covered Call Fund (RYLD), have all consistently returned at least 9% a year, and each fund offer monthly payouts as well. Since these ETFs use a covered call strategy to generate income that is paid out monthly, these funds perform well even when markets remain range-bound.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>VOO: 3 Reasons To Avoid This Fund Right Now</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nVOO: 3 Reasons To Avoid This Fund Right Now\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-04 10:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4528496-voo-etf-three-reasons-avoid-this-fund-right-now><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryThe Vanguard ETF indexed to the S&P 500 faces a number of current and long-standing issues that should result in this fund underperforming for some time.Inflation and a rising dollar should ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4528496-voo-etf-three-reasons-avoid-this-fund-right-now\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"VOO":"Vanguard标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4528496-voo-etf-three-reasons-avoid-this-fund-right-now","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1125114842","content_text":"SummaryThe Vanguard ETF indexed to the S&P 500 faces a number of current and long-standing issues that should result in this fund underperforming for some time.Inflation and a rising dollar should limit most earnings growth of the main large-cap companies making up this index fund.The overall market is likely to remain range bound for some time as earnings growth flat line, so investors will likely be better off investing in specific stocks or sectors.Evolution is usually required for survival. Adopting to an environment that a person or investors has become used to usually isn't overly challenging, but learning how to thrive when circumstances change is often more difficult.The market isn't going straight up anymore. Inflation, rising rates, flatling earnings, and a rising dollar, all have resulted in funds indexed to the S&P 500 (SPY) such as the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (NYSEARCA:VOO) selling off hard over the first six months of this year.VOOdata by YChartsVOO is an ETF that is indexed to the S&P 500 which holds the following sectors. The fund allocates assets 24.11% to technology, 15.14% to health care, 12.84% to the financials, 10.24% to consumer cyclicals, 8.82% to the communication sector, 8.26% to industrials, 7.36% to consumer defensives, 4.33% to the energy sector, 3.09% to utilities, 2.9% to the real estate sector, and 2.27% to basic materials. The fund has good expense ratio of .03% and $832.52 billion in assets under management. The fund's 5 biggest holdings are Amazon (AMZN), Microsoft (MSFT), Alphabet (GOOGL), Apple (AAPL), and Tesla (TSLA).I think this fund should be sold for 3 main reasons; Falling earnings, slowing growth, and a rising dollar. All issues that should remain challenges for most large cap companies through the next year.With inflation levels still at near record highs and the dollar rising fast against most major currencies over the last several months, earnings expectations for the S&P 500 and most major indexes have fallen as well. S&P 500 earnings have been well below 5-year averages so far with most reports nearly 5% below 4-year average earnings reports when it comes to beating analyst expectations.Earni gs tBle(An Earnings Table (FactSet))Even though the Fed recently suggested the future interest rate raises may be slowed as inflation expectations have eased, inflation levels remain near 40-year highs.There are also a number of signs the US economy is at least going to enter a period of an extended slowdown. Jobless claims have risen to 8-month highs, the number of small businesses defaulting on leases have reached alarming levels with nearly 35% of small businesses having issues paying their rent. Growth estimates for leading emerging market economies such as India continue to fall as well. Consensus estimates for growth in India have already fallen by nearly 2% since the beginning of the year primarily because of inflation and Covid related issues.The slowing economy and consistently high levels of inflation the companies continue to face have largely resulted in earnings expectation flatlining over the last 6 months.Inflation and slower expectations for growth in the US and abroad aren't the only issues most large-cap companies that comprise funds such as VOO are facing. The rising dollar is also hurting large-cap companies significantly.UUPdata by YChartsThe dollar has risen significantly against most major currencies since September of 2021.About 37% of S&P 500 earnings come from outside of the United States, so a 10% rise in the dollar usually equates to a near 4% drop in earnings expectations. The dollar has risen well over 10% against most major currencies just since early May.With inflation, a slowing economy, and falling earnings expectations likely to continue for some time, the market is more than likely to remain range-bound for an extended period of time in this uncertain environment. With VOO yielding just 1.49%, most investors seeking income or capital gains are likely to be disappointed with the returns this fund can offer over the next year.Given the Uncertain times and higher than average volatility levels that should be in the market for some time, investors will likely get better returns using more creative strategies that target funds that can thrive even if the market remains range bound. Funds that use a covered call strategy, which is selling calls against the underlying securities the funds hold, are capable of generating significant income even in a market that flatlines. The Amplify CWP Enhanced Dividend Income ETF (DIVO), The Global X S&P 500 Covered Call Exchange Traded Fund (XYLD), and the Global X Russell 2000 Covered Call Fund (RYLD), have all consistently returned at least 9% a year, and each fund offer monthly payouts as well. Since these ETFs use a covered call strategy to generate income that is paid out monthly, these funds perform well even when markets remain range-bound.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":469,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9906611752,"gmtCreate":1659534261181,"gmtModify":1705981323064,"author":{"id":"4087524360121530","authorId":"4087524360121530","name":"JoeKun","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a543b7a138549431b97b6bee2bc9e956","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087524360121530","authorIdStr":"4087524360121530"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9906611752","repostId":"1110985693","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1110985693","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1659533903,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1110985693?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-03 21:38","market":"us","language":"en","title":"PayPal Stock Surges 12% in Morning Trading on Q2 Earnings Beat","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1110985693","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"PayPal Stock Surges 11.7% in Morning Trading on Q2 Earnings Beat.Revenue grew 9% (up 10% on an FX-ne","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>PayPal Stock Surges 11.7% in Morning Trading on Q2 Earnings Beat.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/046f0432b3a9bcdb415ee79f4c3d9163\" tg-width=\"850\" tg-height=\"729\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Revenue grew 9% (up 10% on an FX-neutral basis) to $6.8 billion, compared to the consensus estimate of $6.77 billion. Excluding <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EBAY\">eBay</a>, revenue grew 14% year-over-year.</p><p>Total Payment Volume (TPV) grew 9% year-over-year (up 13% on an FX-neutral basis) to $339.8 billion.</p><p>The company expects Q3/22 EPS in the range of $0.94-$0.96, compared to the consensus estimate of $0.97. Q3 net revenue is expected to reach $6.80 billion, representing a 10% year-over-year growth (or 12% on an FX-neutral basis). Revenue excluding eBay is expected to grow approximately 12% (or 13.5% on an FX-neutral basis).</p><p>For the full 2022-year, the company expects EPS in the range of $3.87-$3.97, compared to the consensus estimate of $3.85. TPV is expected to grow approximately 12% (or 16% on an FX-neutral basis) to around $1.4 trillion. Net revenue is expected to reach $27.85 billion, representing approximately 10% year-over-year growth (or 11% on an FX-neutral basis). Revenue excluding eBay is expected to grow approximately 13.5% year-over-year (or 14.5% on an FX-neutral basis).</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>PayPal Stock Surges 12% in Morning Trading on Q2 Earnings Beat</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPayPal Stock Surges 12% in Morning Trading on Q2 Earnings Beat\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-08-03 21:38</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>PayPal Stock Surges 11.7% in Morning Trading on Q2 Earnings Beat.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/046f0432b3a9bcdb415ee79f4c3d9163\" tg-width=\"850\" tg-height=\"729\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Revenue grew 9% (up 10% on an FX-neutral basis) to $6.8 billion, compared to the consensus estimate of $6.77 billion. Excluding <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EBAY\">eBay</a>, revenue grew 14% year-over-year.</p><p>Total Payment Volume (TPV) grew 9% year-over-year (up 13% on an FX-neutral basis) to $339.8 billion.</p><p>The company expects Q3/22 EPS in the range of $0.94-$0.96, compared to the consensus estimate of $0.97. Q3 net revenue is expected to reach $6.80 billion, representing a 10% year-over-year growth (or 12% on an FX-neutral basis). Revenue excluding eBay is expected to grow approximately 12% (or 13.5% on an FX-neutral basis).</p><p>For the full 2022-year, the company expects EPS in the range of $3.87-$3.97, compared to the consensus estimate of $3.85. TPV is expected to grow approximately 12% (or 16% on an FX-neutral basis) to around $1.4 trillion. Net revenue is expected to reach $27.85 billion, representing approximately 10% year-over-year growth (or 11% on an FX-neutral basis). Revenue excluding eBay is expected to grow approximately 13.5% year-over-year (or 14.5% on an FX-neutral basis).</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PYPL":"PayPal"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1110985693","content_text":"PayPal Stock Surges 11.7% in Morning Trading on Q2 Earnings Beat.Revenue grew 9% (up 10% on an FX-neutral basis) to $6.8 billion, compared to the consensus estimate of $6.77 billion. Excluding eBay, revenue grew 14% year-over-year.Total Payment Volume (TPV) grew 9% year-over-year (up 13% on an FX-neutral basis) to $339.8 billion.The company expects Q3/22 EPS in the range of $0.94-$0.96, compared to the consensus estimate of $0.97. Q3 net revenue is expected to reach $6.80 billion, representing a 10% year-over-year growth (or 12% on an FX-neutral basis). Revenue excluding eBay is expected to grow approximately 12% (or 13.5% on an FX-neutral basis).For the full 2022-year, the company expects EPS in the range of $3.87-$3.97, compared to the consensus estimate of $3.85. TPV is expected to grow approximately 12% (or 16% on an FX-neutral basis) to around $1.4 trillion. Net revenue is expected to reach $27.85 billion, representing approximately 10% year-over-year growth (or 11% on an FX-neutral basis). Revenue excluding eBay is expected to grow approximately 13.5% year-over-year (or 14.5% on an FX-neutral basis).","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":473,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9908758141,"gmtCreate":1659445414886,"gmtModify":1705980411708,"author":{"id":"4087524360121530","authorId":"4087524360121530","name":"JoeKun","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a543b7a138549431b97b6bee2bc9e956","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087524360121530","authorIdStr":"4087524360121530"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9908758141","repostId":"1170102764","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1170102764","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1659442186,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1170102764?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-02 20:09","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Pre-Bell｜Dow Futures Slid Over 150 Points; This Chinese Stock Surged 300% with Its Branch Gaining 10500% in 13 Days","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1170102764","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. stock futures fell Tuesday morning as geopolitical tensions escalate. The S&P, Dow, and Nasdaq ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. stock futures fell Tuesday morning as geopolitical tensions escalate. The S&amp;P, Dow, and Nasdaq each hinge on their 100-day moving average lines and are fighting to break higher in a constant battle with the bears. Traders are also awaiting another raft of earnings from companies such as Starbucks, PayPal and Advanced Micro Devices.</p><p><b>Market Snapshot</b></p><p>At 7:50 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were down 166 points, or 0.51%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were down 23.75 points, or 0.58%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 92.25 points, or 0.71%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca49ac0740a98da12019c06ebe1207f9\" tg-width=\"264\" tg-height=\"128\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>Pre-Market Movers</b></p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAT\">Caterpillar</a></b> – The heavy equipment maker’s stock fell 3.7% in the premarket after its quarterly earnings beat forecasts but revenue was slightly short of consensus. Caterpillar’s sales were hurt by its exit from Russia as well as supply chain issues, and it also saw elevated costs during the quarter.</p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBER\">Uber</a></b> – Uber reported a quarterly loss of $1.33 per share, including the impact of a $1.7 billion headwind from a drop in the value of its investments. The ride-hailing company’s revenue did come in better than expected, and it turned cash flow positive for the first time. Its shares rallied 10.8% in premarket action.</p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PINS\">Pinterest, Inc.</a></b> – Pinterest shares soared 18.6% in premarket trading following its quarterly results and the news that activist investor Elliott Management is now the image-sharing site’s largest shareholder. Pinterest reported lower-than-expected earnings, but revenue was only slightly below forecasts and user numbers were somewhat better than expected.</p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RCL\">Royal Caribbean Cruises</a></b> – Royal Caribbean fell 1.2% in premarket action after it announced the pricing of an upsized $1 billion debt offering. The cruise line operator will use the proceeds to refinance existing convertible notes.</p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPG\">Simon Property</a></b> – The shopping mall operator reported better-than-expected quarterly earnings, although its revenue was slightly below Street forecasts. Simon CEO David Simon said mall sales are doing well despite inflation concerns and that the company is positioned to do well in a potential recession. Simon shares added 2.2% in the premarket.</p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COWN\">Cowen</a></b> – The financial services firm’s shares rallied 7.5% on news that it agreed to be acquired byTD Bank(TD) for $39 per share or $1.3 billion in cash.</p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAR\">Avis Budget</a></b> – The rental car company’s stock jumped 4% in premarket trading after it reported better-than-expected quarterly results. Avis Budget said it benefited from strong demand and “stringent” cost controls.</p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ANET\">Arista Networks</a></b> – The cybersecurity firm reported better-than-expected profit and revenue for its most recent quarter and gave upbeat revenue guidance for the current period. Arista’s results got a boost from strong demand from cloud and data center customers, and its stock gained 5.4% in premarket action.</p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZI\">ZoomInfo Technologies Inc.</a></b> – The business software company’s stock surged 11.3% in the premarket after it reported better-than-expected quarterly results and raised its full-year guidance.</p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMTD\">AMTD International</a></b> – It rose 294.2% to $8.20 in pre-market trading after jumping 18% on Monday. The company owns 90%+ of AMTD Digital. While the latter one rose 11.32% after gaining 10500% in 13 days and its market value reached $150 billion.</p><p><b>Market News</b></p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PINS\">Pinterest, Inc.</a></b> reported a Q2 loss of $43.1 million, or 7 cents a share, on sales of $665.9 million, up from $613 million a year ago. Global active users declined 5% to 433 million year-over-year but were flat from the previous quarter, beating expectations for a sequential decline.</p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BP\">BP PLC</a></b> reported that its net income was $9.26 billion compared with a net loss of $20.38 billion inQ1. It raised the dividend to 6.006 cents a share from 5.460 cents in the previous quarter.</p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWTR\">Twitter</a></b> is probing associates of Elon Musk and other information in a series of far-reaching legal requests about the billionaire’s $44 billion deal to acquire the social media company.</p><p>California’s governor on Monday declared a state of emergency to speed efforts to combat the monkeypox outbreak, becoming the second state in three days to take the step.</p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ATVI\">Activision Blizzard</a></b> reported in-line second-quarter earnings per share of $0.48 on revenue of $1.64 billion, which was ahead of expectations for $1.57 billion.Net bookings, the number of products and services sold digitally or sold-in physically, fell to $1.64 billion from $1.94 billion in the prior-year period.</p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EL\">Estee Lauder</a></b> has entered into talks to purchase luxury fashion brand, Tom Ford. The potential deal with Tom Ford could be worth as much as $3 billion and would represent Estee Lauder’s largest-ever acquisition.</p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBER\">Uber</a></b> generated free cash flow of $382 million in Q2, the number of drivers and delivery agents on its platform rose 31% to an all-time high of almost 5 million.It now expects adjusted EBITDA of between $440 million and $470 million for Q3.</p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAT\">Caterpillar</a></b>&#39;s revenue for the quarter through June rose to $14.25 billion from $12.89 billion a year ago. Adjusted profit rose to $3.18 per share from $2.60 per share.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Pre-Bell｜Dow Futures Slid Over 150 Points; This Chinese Stock Surged 300% with Its Branch Gaining 10500% in 13 Days</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPre-Bell｜Dow Futures Slid Over 150 Points; This Chinese Stock Surged 300% with Its Branch Gaining 10500% in 13 Days\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-08-02 20:09</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. stock futures fell Tuesday morning as geopolitical tensions escalate. The S&amp;P, Dow, and Nasdaq each hinge on their 100-day moving average lines and are fighting to break higher in a constant battle with the bears. Traders are also awaiting another raft of earnings from companies such as Starbucks, PayPal and Advanced Micro Devices.</p><p><b>Market Snapshot</b></p><p>At 7:50 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were down 166 points, or 0.51%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were down 23.75 points, or 0.58%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 92.25 points, or 0.71%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca49ac0740a98da12019c06ebe1207f9\" tg-width=\"264\" tg-height=\"128\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>Pre-Market Movers</b></p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAT\">Caterpillar</a></b> – The heavy equipment maker’s stock fell 3.7% in the premarket after its quarterly earnings beat forecasts but revenue was slightly short of consensus. Caterpillar’s sales were hurt by its exit from Russia as well as supply chain issues, and it also saw elevated costs during the quarter.</p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBER\">Uber</a></b> – Uber reported a quarterly loss of $1.33 per share, including the impact of a $1.7 billion headwind from a drop in the value of its investments. The ride-hailing company’s revenue did come in better than expected, and it turned cash flow positive for the first time. Its shares rallied 10.8% in premarket action.</p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PINS\">Pinterest, Inc.</a></b> – Pinterest shares soared 18.6% in premarket trading following its quarterly results and the news that activist investor Elliott Management is now the image-sharing site’s largest shareholder. Pinterest reported lower-than-expected earnings, but revenue was only slightly below forecasts and user numbers were somewhat better than expected.</p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RCL\">Royal Caribbean Cruises</a></b> – Royal Caribbean fell 1.2% in premarket action after it announced the pricing of an upsized $1 billion debt offering. The cruise line operator will use the proceeds to refinance existing convertible notes.</p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPG\">Simon Property</a></b> – The shopping mall operator reported better-than-expected quarterly earnings, although its revenue was slightly below Street forecasts. Simon CEO David Simon said mall sales are doing well despite inflation concerns and that the company is positioned to do well in a potential recession. Simon shares added 2.2% in the premarket.</p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COWN\">Cowen</a></b> – The financial services firm’s shares rallied 7.5% on news that it agreed to be acquired byTD Bank(TD) for $39 per share or $1.3 billion in cash.</p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAR\">Avis Budget</a></b> – The rental car company’s stock jumped 4% in premarket trading after it reported better-than-expected quarterly results. Avis Budget said it benefited from strong demand and “stringent” cost controls.</p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ANET\">Arista Networks</a></b> – The cybersecurity firm reported better-than-expected profit and revenue for its most recent quarter and gave upbeat revenue guidance for the current period. Arista’s results got a boost from strong demand from cloud and data center customers, and its stock gained 5.4% in premarket action.</p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZI\">ZoomInfo Technologies Inc.</a></b> – The business software company’s stock surged 11.3% in the premarket after it reported better-than-expected quarterly results and raised its full-year guidance.</p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMTD\">AMTD International</a></b> – It rose 294.2% to $8.20 in pre-market trading after jumping 18% on Monday. The company owns 90%+ of AMTD Digital. While the latter one rose 11.32% after gaining 10500% in 13 days and its market value reached $150 billion.</p><p><b>Market News</b></p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PINS\">Pinterest, Inc.</a></b> reported a Q2 loss of $43.1 million, or 7 cents a share, on sales of $665.9 million, up from $613 million a year ago. Global active users declined 5% to 433 million year-over-year but were flat from the previous quarter, beating expectations for a sequential decline.</p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BP\">BP PLC</a></b> reported that its net income was $9.26 billion compared with a net loss of $20.38 billion inQ1. It raised the dividend to 6.006 cents a share from 5.460 cents in the previous quarter.</p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWTR\">Twitter</a></b> is probing associates of Elon Musk and other information in a series of far-reaching legal requests about the billionaire’s $44 billion deal to acquire the social media company.</p><p>California’s governor on Monday declared a state of emergency to speed efforts to combat the monkeypox outbreak, becoming the second state in three days to take the step.</p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ATVI\">Activision Blizzard</a></b> reported in-line second-quarter earnings per share of $0.48 on revenue of $1.64 billion, which was ahead of expectations for $1.57 billion.Net bookings, the number of products and services sold digitally or sold-in physically, fell to $1.64 billion from $1.94 billion in the prior-year period.</p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EL\">Estee Lauder</a></b> has entered into talks to purchase luxury fashion brand, Tom Ford. The potential deal with Tom Ford could be worth as much as $3 billion and would represent Estee Lauder’s largest-ever acquisition.</p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBER\">Uber</a></b> generated free cash flow of $382 million in Q2, the number of drivers and delivery agents on its platform rose 31% to an all-time high of almost 5 million.It now expects adjusted EBITDA of between $440 million and $470 million for Q3.</p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAT\">Caterpillar</a></b>&#39;s revenue for the quarter through June rose to $14.25 billion from $12.89 billion a year ago. Adjusted profit rose to $3.18 per share from $2.60 per share.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1170102764","content_text":"U.S. stock futures fell Tuesday morning as geopolitical tensions escalate. The S&P, Dow, and Nasdaq each hinge on their 100-day moving average lines and are fighting to break higher in a constant battle with the bears. Traders are also awaiting another raft of earnings from companies such as Starbucks, PayPal and Advanced Micro Devices.Market SnapshotAt 7:50 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were down 166 points, or 0.51%, S&P 500 e-minis were down 23.75 points, or 0.58%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 92.25 points, or 0.71%.Pre-Market MoversCaterpillar – The heavy equipment maker’s stock fell 3.7% in the premarket after its quarterly earnings beat forecasts but revenue was slightly short of consensus. Caterpillar’s sales were hurt by its exit from Russia as well as supply chain issues, and it also saw elevated costs during the quarter.Uber – Uber reported a quarterly loss of $1.33 per share, including the impact of a $1.7 billion headwind from a drop in the value of its investments. The ride-hailing company’s revenue did come in better than expected, and it turned cash flow positive for the first time. Its shares rallied 10.8% in premarket action.Pinterest, Inc. – Pinterest shares soared 18.6% in premarket trading following its quarterly results and the news that activist investor Elliott Management is now the image-sharing site’s largest shareholder. Pinterest reported lower-than-expected earnings, but revenue was only slightly below forecasts and user numbers were somewhat better than expected.Royal Caribbean Cruises – Royal Caribbean fell 1.2% in premarket action after it announced the pricing of an upsized $1 billion debt offering. The cruise line operator will use the proceeds to refinance existing convertible notes.Simon Property – The shopping mall operator reported better-than-expected quarterly earnings, although its revenue was slightly below Street forecasts. Simon CEO David Simon said mall sales are doing well despite inflation concerns and that the company is positioned to do well in a potential recession. Simon shares added 2.2% in the premarket.Cowen – The financial services firm’s shares rallied 7.5% on news that it agreed to be acquired byTD Bank(TD) for $39 per share or $1.3 billion in cash.Avis Budget – The rental car company’s stock jumped 4% in premarket trading after it reported better-than-expected quarterly results. Avis Budget said it benefited from strong demand and “stringent” cost controls.Arista Networks – The cybersecurity firm reported better-than-expected profit and revenue for its most recent quarter and gave upbeat revenue guidance for the current period. Arista’s results got a boost from strong demand from cloud and data center customers, and its stock gained 5.4% in premarket action.ZoomInfo Technologies Inc. – The business software company’s stock surged 11.3% in the premarket after it reported better-than-expected quarterly results and raised its full-year guidance.AMTD International – It rose 294.2% to $8.20 in pre-market trading after jumping 18% on Monday. The company owns 90%+ of AMTD Digital. While the latter one rose 11.32% after gaining 10500% in 13 days and its market value reached $150 billion.Market NewsPinterest, Inc. reported a Q2 loss of $43.1 million, or 7 cents a share, on sales of $665.9 million, up from $613 million a year ago. Global active users declined 5% to 433 million year-over-year but were flat from the previous quarter, beating expectations for a sequential decline.BP PLC reported that its net income was $9.26 billion compared with a net loss of $20.38 billion inQ1. It raised the dividend to 6.006 cents a share from 5.460 cents in the previous quarter.Twitter is probing associates of Elon Musk and other information in a series of far-reaching legal requests about the billionaire’s $44 billion deal to acquire the social media company.California’s governor on Monday declared a state of emergency to speed efforts to combat the monkeypox outbreak, becoming the second state in three days to take the step.Activision Blizzard reported in-line second-quarter earnings per share of $0.48 on revenue of $1.64 billion, which was ahead of expectations for $1.57 billion.Net bookings, the number of products and services sold digitally or sold-in physically, fell to $1.64 billion from $1.94 billion in the prior-year period.Estee Lauder has entered into talks to purchase luxury fashion brand, Tom Ford. The potential deal with Tom Ford could be worth as much as $3 billion and would represent Estee Lauder’s largest-ever acquisition.Uber generated free cash flow of $382 million in Q2, the number of drivers and delivery agents on its platform rose 31% to an all-time high of almost 5 million.It now expects adjusted EBITDA of between $440 million and $470 million for Q3.Caterpillar's revenue for the quarter through June rose to $14.25 billion from $12.89 billion a year ago. Adjusted profit rose to $3.18 per share from $2.60 per share.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":589,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9908167843,"gmtCreate":1659342410282,"gmtModify":1705979291696,"author":{"id":"4087524360121530","authorId":"4087524360121530","name":"JoeKun","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a543b7a138549431b97b6bee2bc9e956","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087524360121530","authorIdStr":"4087524360121530"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9908167843","repostId":"1126736216","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1126736216","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"1012688067","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1659520760,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1126736216?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-03 17:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Energy Stocks Have a Sustainable Future: It’s in Their Dividends","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1126736216","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"One of the few numbers growing faster than energy stock dividends is the size of crowds convinced th","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>One of the few numbers growing faster than energy stock dividends is the size of crowds convinced they are not sustainable. I’ve never witnessed a consensus opinion as negative on an entire sector as on traditional energy.</p><p>The debates are so one-sided that dividends’ simple clues are being overlooked, and instead more focus is placed on when traditional energy businesses will cease to exist.</p><p>Yet dividends offer investors better evidence of exactly what is working than any crowds. As a professional portfolio manager since 1996, I’ve studied every conceivable factor of investing success, and I’ve found no other metric with as long a track record. A dividend is delivered free of opinions about what is real — and that’s even more valuable when confusion about energy stocks is at an all-time high.</p><p>The potential for energy dividends to be paid and increased has never been greater, in large part because the sector is considered uninvestable by so many — a remarkable paradox.</p><p>Rather than single out individual stocks, it might be more helpful for investors if I can at least add some curiosity to their views of the group, far away from the consensus conviction.</p><p>Begin with simple supply and demand. Crowds of votes, regulations and protests to put an end to fossil fuels have resulted in the fewest oil CL.1, -1.10% and natural gas NG00, -3.44% discoveries last year, since 1946. Yet the number of global households has more than tripled since then, demanding more products, that in turn requires more petroleum to produce.</p><p>Between now and 2050, the United Nations goal of net zero carbon emissions, the demand for traditional energy will not only support dividends with more free cash flow but can increase those dividends substantially going forward.</p><p>The biggest surprise might be a special dividend for the climate from the most unlikely sources.</p><h3>Stakeholder math and mindset</h3><p>The silliest notion of ESG investors protesting the ownership of energy stocks by large institutions was that forcing them to sell would limit capital needed to operate.</p><p>Oil &amp; gas companies have no problem finding money. In the past, they have been so reckless in issuing shares and debt fueled by greed from chasing higher prices that they can go bankrupt all on their own just fine. Speculative investors poured money into shale projects that never produced cash flow and destroyed capital. The shale boom was a great lesson in geology and terrible math.</p><p>Focusing on a dividend requires discipline and more conservative math. A few of the highest-quality energy producers have begun to formally align their interests with stakeholders, showing the math they are basing dividend projections on and using commodity-price assumptions that are anything but greedy.</p><p>Investors are overlooking this monumental shift in mindset that has occurred since the last time oil and gas prices were this high.</p><p>Here’s an example from one of many companies that have learned from boom-and-bust cycles to use more conservative math. The green lines are oil and gas price assumptions used to forecast their free cash flow for dividends to be paid (one-half and one-third of current oil and gas prices as of July 2022).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f0ab7ce681646b016268181fe712096b\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"354\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Unlike previous cycles, some energy producers’ balance sheets are now pristine; their net long-term debt has been reduced or eliminated. Pair that with increasing their own internal investment hurdle rates before considering new projects, and they’ve made the math so much harder on themselves. Stakeholders are directly benefiting.</p><p>The best operators I study have learned hard lessons. But, as a portfolio manager I don’t take their word for it, I just stick to the math, which leaves no room for opinions.</p><p>Free cash flow is gushing, which support more dividends and less speculation. Even better, they can be acquired at cheap prices compared to the overall market thanks to forced selling pressure. This chart shows the current enterprise value divided by trailing 12 months of free cash flow. Each of the largest energy companies is considerably below the average of all sectors across the S&amp;P 500, which is 35.</p><h3><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93d5091cb6d2f219f8a1aaf8e2285a85\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"383\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>The upside of uncrowded truths</h3><p>Energy dividends are increasing as a result of our decreasing ability to have honest dialogues in this country. Our democracy has chosen to make it difficult or impossible for energy companies to grow their operations. So they are doing what they can with free cash flow: paying down debt, buying back shares and growing their dividends.</p><p>The crowds have made it ever harder on energy companies to transport oil and gas and even harder to refine it. Those gigantic pieces of energy’s puzzle more directly impact American household’s daily expenses than the price of a barrel of oil. To safely and affordably move energy through pipelines requires a growing infrastructure that is now close to impossible to build or expand.</p><p>A pipeline project with the most potential to add capacity was finally abandoned in 2021, after being proposed in 2008, and fully backed by long-term contracts from producers in Canada. Instead, oil sands are loaded on railcars and much less efficiently hauled into the U.S. with greater risks to the environment than pipelines.</p><p>I asked my good friend Hinds Howard, a leading expert of energy pipelines, about any other recent developments that have a chance. He pointed to another project that will battle to ever get finished after three years of permitting. The original cost estimates have almost doubled just from legal work around extra regulatory delays.</p><p>Energy’s refining capacity is even tighter. Rather than just face years of no growth and regulatory delays, refiners have been getting eliminated. In the last three years alone, four refineries have been shut down and two partially closed. Two more are scheduled to be closed. Six have been converted to renewable diesel. That is a net reduction of more than 1 million barrels a day.</p><p>Today there are 129 refineries, in 1982 there were 250.</p><p>Then we are surprised when growing demand for restricted supplies result in higher prices? The historically unique opportunity for investors is the irony of crowds of voters and protesters wanting to end the use of fossil fuels, ended up making energy dividends from the highest quality surviving operators safer than they have ever been.</p><h3>The most surprising dividend</h3><p>Up until now, I’ve relied on pure math, which I love because it leaves no room for any opinion, including my own. Here’s my only guess, based on the cleanest-burning motivation of capitalism to reward problem solvers: who better to lead us to cleaner energy than those who know exactly where it’s dirtiest?</p><p>I recently visited with an energy company CFO, and he was most excited about a closed-loop gas recapture project to reduce flaring gas. The company developed this first-of-its-kind technology to help solve a problem it created, and it has been considerably more successful than expected.</p><p>The new stated goal is “zero” routine flaring by 2025 and the company has more than doubled its climate technology budget in the past three years to help achieve that and try more projects.</p><p>Traditional energy was already getting cleaner and more efficient. The number of carbon emission kilograms for every $1 of U.S. GDP has been more than cut in half since 1990. That’s not a solution, but it’s the right direction and the common interest of stakeholders of this planet.</p><p>Innovation is more efficient than regulation. Energy companies in the U.S. already have the best climate technology in the world, and it’s not even close, and they can still improve it all substantially. We should lean into our advantages here. Traditional energy companies play a huge role in a more sustainable future and will pay increased dividends to get there.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Energy Stocks Have a Sustainable Future: It’s in Their Dividends</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nEnergy Stocks Have a Sustainable Future: It’s in Their Dividends\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1012688067\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-08-03 17:59</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>One of the few numbers growing faster than energy stock dividends is the size of crowds convinced they are not sustainable. I’ve never witnessed a consensus opinion as negative on an entire sector as on traditional energy.</p><p>The debates are so one-sided that dividends’ simple clues are being overlooked, and instead more focus is placed on when traditional energy businesses will cease to exist.</p><p>Yet dividends offer investors better evidence of exactly what is working than any crowds. As a professional portfolio manager since 1996, I’ve studied every conceivable factor of investing success, and I’ve found no other metric with as long a track record. A dividend is delivered free of opinions about what is real — and that’s even more valuable when confusion about energy stocks is at an all-time high.</p><p>The potential for energy dividends to be paid and increased has never been greater, in large part because the sector is considered uninvestable by so many — a remarkable paradox.</p><p>Rather than single out individual stocks, it might be more helpful for investors if I can at least add some curiosity to their views of the group, far away from the consensus conviction.</p><p>Begin with simple supply and demand. Crowds of votes, regulations and protests to put an end to fossil fuels have resulted in the fewest oil CL.1, -1.10% and natural gas NG00, -3.44% discoveries last year, since 1946. Yet the number of global households has more than tripled since then, demanding more products, that in turn requires more petroleum to produce.</p><p>Between now and 2050, the United Nations goal of net zero carbon emissions, the demand for traditional energy will not only support dividends with more free cash flow but can increase those dividends substantially going forward.</p><p>The biggest surprise might be a special dividend for the climate from the most unlikely sources.</p><h3>Stakeholder math and mindset</h3><p>The silliest notion of ESG investors protesting the ownership of energy stocks by large institutions was that forcing them to sell would limit capital needed to operate.</p><p>Oil &amp; gas companies have no problem finding money. In the past, they have been so reckless in issuing shares and debt fueled by greed from chasing higher prices that they can go bankrupt all on their own just fine. Speculative investors poured money into shale projects that never produced cash flow and destroyed capital. The shale boom was a great lesson in geology and terrible math.</p><p>Focusing on a dividend requires discipline and more conservative math. A few of the highest-quality energy producers have begun to formally align their interests with stakeholders, showing the math they are basing dividend projections on and using commodity-price assumptions that are anything but greedy.</p><p>Investors are overlooking this monumental shift in mindset that has occurred since the last time oil and gas prices were this high.</p><p>Here’s an example from one of many companies that have learned from boom-and-bust cycles to use more conservative math. The green lines are oil and gas price assumptions used to forecast their free cash flow for dividends to be paid (one-half and one-third of current oil and gas prices as of July 2022).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f0ab7ce681646b016268181fe712096b\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"354\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Unlike previous cycles, some energy producers’ balance sheets are now pristine; their net long-term debt has been reduced or eliminated. Pair that with increasing their own internal investment hurdle rates before considering new projects, and they’ve made the math so much harder on themselves. Stakeholders are directly benefiting.</p><p>The best operators I study have learned hard lessons. But, as a portfolio manager I don’t take their word for it, I just stick to the math, which leaves no room for opinions.</p><p>Free cash flow is gushing, which support more dividends and less speculation. Even better, they can be acquired at cheap prices compared to the overall market thanks to forced selling pressure. This chart shows the current enterprise value divided by trailing 12 months of free cash flow. Each of the largest energy companies is considerably below the average of all sectors across the S&amp;P 500, which is 35.</p><h3><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93d5091cb6d2f219f8a1aaf8e2285a85\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"383\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>The upside of uncrowded truths</h3><p>Energy dividends are increasing as a result of our decreasing ability to have honest dialogues in this country. Our democracy has chosen to make it difficult or impossible for energy companies to grow their operations. So they are doing what they can with free cash flow: paying down debt, buying back shares and growing their dividends.</p><p>The crowds have made it ever harder on energy companies to transport oil and gas and even harder to refine it. Those gigantic pieces of energy’s puzzle more directly impact American household’s daily expenses than the price of a barrel of oil. To safely and affordably move energy through pipelines requires a growing infrastructure that is now close to impossible to build or expand.</p><p>A pipeline project with the most potential to add capacity was finally abandoned in 2021, after being proposed in 2008, and fully backed by long-term contracts from producers in Canada. Instead, oil sands are loaded on railcars and much less efficiently hauled into the U.S. with greater risks to the environment than pipelines.</p><p>I asked my good friend Hinds Howard, a leading expert of energy pipelines, about any other recent developments that have a chance. He pointed to another project that will battle to ever get finished after three years of permitting. The original cost estimates have almost doubled just from legal work around extra regulatory delays.</p><p>Energy’s refining capacity is even tighter. Rather than just face years of no growth and regulatory delays, refiners have been getting eliminated. In the last three years alone, four refineries have been shut down and two partially closed. Two more are scheduled to be closed. Six have been converted to renewable diesel. That is a net reduction of more than 1 million barrels a day.</p><p>Today there are 129 refineries, in 1982 there were 250.</p><p>Then we are surprised when growing demand for restricted supplies result in higher prices? The historically unique opportunity for investors is the irony of crowds of voters and protesters wanting to end the use of fossil fuels, ended up making energy dividends from the highest quality surviving operators safer than they have ever been.</p><h3>The most surprising dividend</h3><p>Up until now, I’ve relied on pure math, which I love because it leaves no room for any opinion, including my own. Here’s my only guess, based on the cleanest-burning motivation of capitalism to reward problem solvers: who better to lead us to cleaner energy than those who know exactly where it’s dirtiest?</p><p>I recently visited with an energy company CFO, and he was most excited about a closed-loop gas recapture project to reduce flaring gas. The company developed this first-of-its-kind technology to help solve a problem it created, and it has been considerably more successful than expected.</p><p>The new stated goal is “zero” routine flaring by 2025 and the company has more than doubled its climate technology budget in the past three years to help achieve that and try more projects.</p><p>Traditional energy was already getting cleaner and more efficient. The number of carbon emission kilograms for every $1 of U.S. GDP has been more than cut in half since 1990. That’s not a solution, but it’s the right direction and the common interest of stakeholders of this planet.</p><p>Innovation is more efficient than regulation. Energy companies in the U.S. already have the best climate technology in the world, and it’s not even close, and they can still improve it all substantially. We should lean into our advantages here. Traditional energy companies play a huge role in a more sustainable future and will pay increased dividends to get there.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"OXY":"西方石油","CVX":"雪佛龙"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1126736216","content_text":"One of the few numbers growing faster than energy stock dividends is the size of crowds convinced they are not sustainable. I’ve never witnessed a consensus opinion as negative on an entire sector as on traditional energy.The debates are so one-sided that dividends’ simple clues are being overlooked, and instead more focus is placed on when traditional energy businesses will cease to exist.Yet dividends offer investors better evidence of exactly what is working than any crowds. As a professional portfolio manager since 1996, I’ve studied every conceivable factor of investing success, and I’ve found no other metric with as long a track record. A dividend is delivered free of opinions about what is real — and that’s even more valuable when confusion about energy stocks is at an all-time high.The potential for energy dividends to be paid and increased has never been greater, in large part because the sector is considered uninvestable by so many — a remarkable paradox.Rather than single out individual stocks, it might be more helpful for investors if I can at least add some curiosity to their views of the group, far away from the consensus conviction.Begin with simple supply and demand. Crowds of votes, regulations and protests to put an end to fossil fuels have resulted in the fewest oil CL.1, -1.10% and natural gas NG00, -3.44% discoveries last year, since 1946. Yet the number of global households has more than tripled since then, demanding more products, that in turn requires more petroleum to produce.Between now and 2050, the United Nations goal of net zero carbon emissions, the demand for traditional energy will not only support dividends with more free cash flow but can increase those dividends substantially going forward.The biggest surprise might be a special dividend for the climate from the most unlikely sources.Stakeholder math and mindsetThe silliest notion of ESG investors protesting the ownership of energy stocks by large institutions was that forcing them to sell would limit capital needed to operate.Oil & gas companies have no problem finding money. In the past, they have been so reckless in issuing shares and debt fueled by greed from chasing higher prices that they can go bankrupt all on their own just fine. Speculative investors poured money into shale projects that never produced cash flow and destroyed capital. The shale boom was a great lesson in geology and terrible math.Focusing on a dividend requires discipline and more conservative math. A few of the highest-quality energy producers have begun to formally align their interests with stakeholders, showing the math they are basing dividend projections on and using commodity-price assumptions that are anything but greedy.Investors are overlooking this monumental shift in mindset that has occurred since the last time oil and gas prices were this high.Here’s an example from one of many companies that have learned from boom-and-bust cycles to use more conservative math. The green lines are oil and gas price assumptions used to forecast their free cash flow for dividends to be paid (one-half and one-third of current oil and gas prices as of July 2022).Unlike previous cycles, some energy producers’ balance sheets are now pristine; their net long-term debt has been reduced or eliminated. Pair that with increasing their own internal investment hurdle rates before considering new projects, and they’ve made the math so much harder on themselves. Stakeholders are directly benefiting.The best operators I study have learned hard lessons. But, as a portfolio manager I don’t take their word for it, I just stick to the math, which leaves no room for opinions.Free cash flow is gushing, which support more dividends and less speculation. Even better, they can be acquired at cheap prices compared to the overall market thanks to forced selling pressure. This chart shows the current enterprise value divided by trailing 12 months of free cash flow. Each of the largest energy companies is considerably below the average of all sectors across the S&P 500, which is 35.The upside of uncrowded truthsEnergy dividends are increasing as a result of our decreasing ability to have honest dialogues in this country. Our democracy has chosen to make it difficult or impossible for energy companies to grow their operations. So they are doing what they can with free cash flow: paying down debt, buying back shares and growing their dividends.The crowds have made it ever harder on energy companies to transport oil and gas and even harder to refine it. Those gigantic pieces of energy’s puzzle more directly impact American household’s daily expenses than the price of a barrel of oil. To safely and affordably move energy through pipelines requires a growing infrastructure that is now close to impossible to build or expand.A pipeline project with the most potential to add capacity was finally abandoned in 2021, after being proposed in 2008, and fully backed by long-term contracts from producers in Canada. Instead, oil sands are loaded on railcars and much less efficiently hauled into the U.S. with greater risks to the environment than pipelines.I asked my good friend Hinds Howard, a leading expert of energy pipelines, about any other recent developments that have a chance. He pointed to another project that will battle to ever get finished after three years of permitting. The original cost estimates have almost doubled just from legal work around extra regulatory delays.Energy’s refining capacity is even tighter. Rather than just face years of no growth and regulatory delays, refiners have been getting eliminated. In the last three years alone, four refineries have been shut down and two partially closed. Two more are scheduled to be closed. Six have been converted to renewable diesel. That is a net reduction of more than 1 million barrels a day.Today there are 129 refineries, in 1982 there were 250.Then we are surprised when growing demand for restricted supplies result in higher prices? The historically unique opportunity for investors is the irony of crowds of voters and protesters wanting to end the use of fossil fuels, ended up making energy dividends from the highest quality surviving operators safer than they have ever been.The most surprising dividendUp until now, I’ve relied on pure math, which I love because it leaves no room for any opinion, including my own. Here’s my only guess, based on the cleanest-burning motivation of capitalism to reward problem solvers: who better to lead us to cleaner energy than those who know exactly where it’s dirtiest?I recently visited with an energy company CFO, and he was most excited about a closed-loop gas recapture project to reduce flaring gas. The company developed this first-of-its-kind technology to help solve a problem it created, and it has been considerably more successful than expected.The new stated goal is “zero” routine flaring by 2025 and the company has more than doubled its climate technology budget in the past three years to help achieve that and try more projects.Traditional energy was already getting cleaner and more efficient. The number of carbon emission kilograms for every $1 of U.S. GDP has been more than cut in half since 1990. That’s not a solution, but it’s the right direction and the common interest of stakeholders of this planet.Innovation is more efficient than regulation. Energy companies in the U.S. already have the best climate technology in the world, and it’s not even close, and they can still improve it all substantially. We should lean into our advantages here. Traditional energy companies play a huge role in a more sustainable future and will pay increased dividends to get there.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":170,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9901731235,"gmtCreate":1659264850927,"gmtModify":1676536278894,"author":{"id":"4087524360121530","authorId":"4087524360121530","name":"JoeKun","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a543b7a138549431b97b6bee2bc9e956","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087524360121530","authorIdStr":"4087524360121530"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9901731235","repostId":"1165172007","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1165172007","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1659229304,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1165172007?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-31 09:01","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alibaba: The Delisting Fears Are Back - Time To Turn Bullish Again?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1165172007","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"SummaryAlibaba was struck by delisting fears again on July 29, as the US SEC added China's leading e","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Alibaba was struck by delisting fears again on July 29, as the US SEC added China&#39;s leading e-commerce player to its delisting list. As a result, BABA slumped.</li><li>However, we urge investors not to overreact to such fears. Alibaba is seeking a primary listing in Hong Kong that would enable it to access capital and liquidity from Chinese investors.</li><li>We also believe the recent statement by Politburo, which suggested that China could miss its 5.5% GDP growth target, could have unsettled some investors.</li><li>Notwithstanding, we believe it sets up BABA very well, heading into its upcoming Q1 card on August 4.</li><li>Therefore, we revise our rating from Hold to Buy. We urge investors to use the recent pessimism and add exposure, as its price action is leaning increasingly bullish.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/349a5bf19a4fd08047fdb45cb2ec1bb8\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Robert Way</span></p><p><b>Thesis</b></p><p>Alibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:BABA) is slated to report its FQ1&#39;23 earnings release on August 4. BABA investors have been hammered (again) over the past month as the bears returned to haunt Chinese stocks. The delisting fears are back!</p><p>In our June downgrade (Hold rating), we cautioned investors that we noted significant selling pressure at its critical resistance zone ($125) and urged them to avoid adding at those levels. Despite the sharp recovery from its May lows, we were concerned that the market could use the bullish sentiments in June to attract buyers into a trap before digesting those gains.</p><p>Consequently, since our June article, BABA has significantly underperformed the SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF (SPY). As a result, it posted a return of -14.5%, against the SPY&#39;s 11.06% gain over the same period.</p><p>The market has leveraged the recent pessimism astutely over its delisting risks and China&#39;s increasingly tenuous GDP growth target to shake out weak hands. As a result, the market pessimism has presented investors with another opportunity to consider adding BABA again!</p><p>Therefore, we revise our rating on BABA from Hold to Buy. Notwithstanding, we caution investors that our price action analysis has yet to indicate any potential bear trap (indicating that the market decisively denied further selling downside) yet. Therefore, we are &#34;front-running&#34; the market in anticipation of robust buying support at the current levels to appear soon.</p><p><b>Delisting And GDP Growth Target Fears!</b></p><p>BABA slumped on July 29 as the US SEC added China&#39;s e-commerce behemoth to its delisting list, which stunned the market.</p><p>However, are such headwinds new? Absolutely not. So, we urge investors not to overreact to such a move by the market to shake out weak hands. BABA got a boost recently as the company highlighted that it could seek a primary listing in Hong Kong, quelling fears of its delisting in the US. Furthermore, a primary listing in Hong Kong would enable Alibaba to leverage investors in mainland China to invest in its stock.</p><p>Citi&#39;s (C) recent commentary was favorable of the move by Alibaba to seek a primary listing in Hong Kong. It emphasized (edited):</p><blockquote>We view the move as positive given the continued overhang on ADRs from the threat of delisting. A smooth transition to the new primary listing could pave the wave for other companies that already have dual listings. We view this as an important sentiment shift to attract more capital and liquidity to Alibaba and other China Internet stocks over time. - Barron&#39;s</blockquote><p>Notwithstanding, KGI Asia (a leading Hong Kong brokerage firm) noted that the process could be more complex than what investors assessed. Accordingly, it accentuated (edited):</p><blockquote>On top of earnings concerns, there are some worries that the listing timetable for Ant might be delayed by Jack Ma&#39;s decision to give up his control over Ant Group. It&#39;s hard for A-share companies to obtain approval if there is a change in key shareholding structure within three years. - Bloomberg</blockquote><p>Furthermore, the market could also have been spooked by the language used by the Chinese government after its recent Politburo (China&#39;s highest decision-making body) meeting.</p><p>The language in its statement suggested that China seems to be moving away from trying to maintain its 5.5% GDP growth target, which economists have emphasized for months is improbable. Bloomberg reported (edited):</p><blockquote>China&#39;s top leadership gave a downbeat assessment of economic growth but didn&#39;t announce new stimulus policies at a key meeting. It stated the country should achieve &#34;the best outcome&#34; possible for economic growth this year while sticking to a strict Covid Zero policy. There was no mention of the national economic goals as there was at the April meeting, suggesting the government is downplaying the target of &#34;around 5.5%&#34; growth for this year that most economists think is impossible after a slump last quarter. - Bloomberg</blockquote><p><b>Investors Could Be Concerned With A Downbeat Q1 Earnings</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d6acf7fa059008eb6e2bf0f3eef947d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Alibaba revenue change % and adjusted EPS change % consensus estimates (S&amp;P Cap IQ)</span></p><p>As a result, we believe the market is attempting to de-risk its valuation of BABA, heading into its Q1 earnings.</p><p>The revised consensus estimates (very bullish) suggest that Alibaba could post revenue growth of -0.9% YoY in FQ1, following Q4&#39;s 8.9% increase. However, its profitability could continue to see further headwinds, as its adjusted EPS is projected to fall by 36.7% YoY.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/944e41609958c9613f4c0ec4325bb22a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Alibaba adjusted EBITA by segment (Company filings)</span></p><p>However, we believe investors should not be stunned. There shouldn&#39;t be any surprises, right? Despite the growth momentum seen in Ali Cloud, commerce (physical and e-commerce) remains Alibaba&#39;s most critical adjusted EBITA driver, as seen above.</p><p>Therefore, the current macro headwinds that have continued to impact China&#39;s consumer discretionary spending, coupled with the COVID lockdowns, would likely be persistent.</p><p>Furthermore, the ongoing property market malaise has seen little signs of turning for the better, as homebuyers have gone on strike over making further mortgage payments on unfinished homes.</p><p><b>Is BABA Stock A Buy, Sell, Or Hold?</b></p><p><i>We revise our rating on BABA from Hold to Buy.</i></p><p>We believe the recent pessimistic sentiments on BABA sets up the stock very nicely, heading into its Q1 card. In addition, positive commentary from management about its expected recovery from 2023 should help stabilize the stock. With a net cash position of $43.92B, Alibaba is in an enviable position to continue making strategic stock repurchases to underpin its recovery momentum moving forward.</p><p>While we do not expect BABA to break below its March lows of $73, we have yet to observe constructive price structures that suggest its selling downside is facing significant buying pressure. Therefore, our Buy rating attempts to front-run the market, and investors should be ready for potential downside volatility.</p><p><i>This article was written by JR Research</i></p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba: The Delisting Fears Are Back - Time To Turn Bullish Again?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba: The Delisting Fears Are Back - Time To Turn Bullish Again?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-31 09:01 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4527781-alibaba-delisting-fears-back-time-to-turn-bullish?source=content_type%3Areact%7Cfirst_level_url%3Ahome%7Csection%3Atrending_articles%7Cline%3A6><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryAlibaba was struck by delisting fears again on July 29, as the US SEC added China's leading e-commerce player to its delisting list. As a result, BABA slumped.However, we urge investors not to ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4527781-alibaba-delisting-fears-back-time-to-turn-bullish?source=content_type%3Areact%7Cfirst_level_url%3Ahome%7Csection%3Atrending_articles%7Cline%3A6\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴","09988":"阿里巴巴-W"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4527781-alibaba-delisting-fears-back-time-to-turn-bullish?source=content_type%3Areact%7Cfirst_level_url%3Ahome%7Csection%3Atrending_articles%7Cline%3A6","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1165172007","content_text":"SummaryAlibaba was struck by delisting fears again on July 29, as the US SEC added China's leading e-commerce player to its delisting list. As a result, BABA slumped.However, we urge investors not to overreact to such fears. Alibaba is seeking a primary listing in Hong Kong that would enable it to access capital and liquidity from Chinese investors.We also believe the recent statement by Politburo, which suggested that China could miss its 5.5% GDP growth target, could have unsettled some investors.Notwithstanding, we believe it sets up BABA very well, heading into its upcoming Q1 card on August 4.Therefore, we revise our rating from Hold to Buy. We urge investors to use the recent pessimism and add exposure, as its price action is leaning increasingly bullish.Robert WayThesisAlibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:BABA) is slated to report its FQ1'23 earnings release on August 4. BABA investors have been hammered (again) over the past month as the bears returned to haunt Chinese stocks. The delisting fears are back!In our June downgrade (Hold rating), we cautioned investors that we noted significant selling pressure at its critical resistance zone ($125) and urged them to avoid adding at those levels. Despite the sharp recovery from its May lows, we were concerned that the market could use the bullish sentiments in June to attract buyers into a trap before digesting those gains.Consequently, since our June article, BABA has significantly underperformed the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY). As a result, it posted a return of -14.5%, against the SPY's 11.06% gain over the same period.The market has leveraged the recent pessimism astutely over its delisting risks and China's increasingly tenuous GDP growth target to shake out weak hands. As a result, the market pessimism has presented investors with another opportunity to consider adding BABA again!Therefore, we revise our rating on BABA from Hold to Buy. Notwithstanding, we caution investors that our price action analysis has yet to indicate any potential bear trap (indicating that the market decisively denied further selling downside) yet. Therefore, we are \"front-running\" the market in anticipation of robust buying support at the current levels to appear soon.Delisting And GDP Growth Target Fears!BABA slumped on July 29 as the US SEC added China's e-commerce behemoth to its delisting list, which stunned the market.However, are such headwinds new? Absolutely not. So, we urge investors not to overreact to such a move by the market to shake out weak hands. BABA got a boost recently as the company highlighted that it could seek a primary listing in Hong Kong, quelling fears of its delisting in the US. Furthermore, a primary listing in Hong Kong would enable Alibaba to leverage investors in mainland China to invest in its stock.Citi's (C) recent commentary was favorable of the move by Alibaba to seek a primary listing in Hong Kong. It emphasized (edited):We view the move as positive given the continued overhang on ADRs from the threat of delisting. A smooth transition to the new primary listing could pave the wave for other companies that already have dual listings. We view this as an important sentiment shift to attract more capital and liquidity to Alibaba and other China Internet stocks over time. - Barron'sNotwithstanding, KGI Asia (a leading Hong Kong brokerage firm) noted that the process could be more complex than what investors assessed. Accordingly, it accentuated (edited):On top of earnings concerns, there are some worries that the listing timetable for Ant might be delayed by Jack Ma's decision to give up his control over Ant Group. It's hard for A-share companies to obtain approval if there is a change in key shareholding structure within three years. - BloombergFurthermore, the market could also have been spooked by the language used by the Chinese government after its recent Politburo (China's highest decision-making body) meeting.The language in its statement suggested that China seems to be moving away from trying to maintain its 5.5% GDP growth target, which economists have emphasized for months is improbable. Bloomberg reported (edited):China's top leadership gave a downbeat assessment of economic growth but didn't announce new stimulus policies at a key meeting. It stated the country should achieve \"the best outcome\" possible for economic growth this year while sticking to a strict Covid Zero policy. There was no mention of the national economic goals as there was at the April meeting, suggesting the government is downplaying the target of \"around 5.5%\" growth for this year that most economists think is impossible after a slump last quarter. - BloombergInvestors Could Be Concerned With A Downbeat Q1 EarningsAlibaba revenue change % and adjusted EPS change % consensus estimates (S&P Cap IQ)As a result, we believe the market is attempting to de-risk its valuation of BABA, heading into its Q1 earnings.The revised consensus estimates (very bullish) suggest that Alibaba could post revenue growth of -0.9% YoY in FQ1, following Q4's 8.9% increase. However, its profitability could continue to see further headwinds, as its adjusted EPS is projected to fall by 36.7% YoY.Alibaba adjusted EBITA by segment (Company filings)However, we believe investors should not be stunned. There shouldn't be any surprises, right? Despite the growth momentum seen in Ali Cloud, commerce (physical and e-commerce) remains Alibaba's most critical adjusted EBITA driver, as seen above.Therefore, the current macro headwinds that have continued to impact China's consumer discretionary spending, coupled with the COVID lockdowns, would likely be persistent.Furthermore, the ongoing property market malaise has seen little signs of turning for the better, as homebuyers have gone on strike over making further mortgage payments on unfinished homes.Is BABA Stock A Buy, Sell, Or Hold?We revise our rating on BABA from Hold to Buy.We believe the recent pessimistic sentiments on BABA sets up the stock very nicely, heading into its Q1 card. In addition, positive commentary from management about its expected recovery from 2023 should help stabilize the stock. With a net cash position of $43.92B, Alibaba is in an enviable position to continue making strategic stock repurchases to underpin its recovery momentum moving forward.While we do not expect BABA to break below its March lows of $73, we have yet to observe constructive price structures that suggest its selling downside is facing significant buying pressure. Therefore, our Buy rating attempts to front-run the market, and investors should be ready for potential downside volatility.This article was written by JR Research","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":237,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9901918237,"gmtCreate":1659110576430,"gmtModify":1676536259447,"author":{"id":"4087524360121530","authorId":"4087524360121530","name":"JoeKun","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a543b7a138549431b97b6bee2bc9e956","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087524360121530","authorIdStr":"4087524360121530"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9901918237","repostId":"1127120005","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1127120005","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1659108221,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1127120005?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-29 23:23","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple: I'd Rather Buy The SPY","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1127120005","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryApple is a phenomenal company, but their enormous size will be a barrier to market-beating re","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Apple is a phenomenal company, but their enormous size will be a barrier to market-beating returns.</li><li>Apple is innovating, but, in my opinion, new offerings will likely pale in comparison to the iPhone and fail to move the needle to satisfy growth investors.</li><li>In Peter Lynch&#39;s terms, Apple has fully transitioned from Fast Grower to Stalwart.</li><li>Investors can de-risk their portfolios by buying the SPY, which has a good chance of matching or beating Apple&#39;s future returns.</li></ul><p><b>Investment Thesis</b></p><p>There&#39;s no denying the incredible success of Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) as a company and as an investment. Indeed, Apple even enticed investing legend Warren Buffett, who typically stays away from technology stocks, to take up a billion-dollar position back in 2016. But, as many of us know, the larger a snowball gets the harder it is to roll, to the point where it&#39;s so large it can&#39;t be rolled at all. With a nearly $2.5 trillion market cap, Apple is an enormous snowball. To put it in perspective, Apple is the size of 25 PayPal&#39;s (PYPL). It takes an enormous amount of money to move Apple, whether that be revenue, earnings, or investors.</p><p>Apple has an impressive track record of innovation with products such as the Apple Watch, Air Pods, Apple TV, and Apple Pay. But how many more home runs could be left in this behemoth? Just as important a question, how far outside the park must Apple hit these home runs to have a meaningful impact on revenue and earnings?</p><p>I&#39;m not betting against Apple&#39;s ability to innovate. I&#39;m betting against their ability to replicate past success in a manner that&#39;ll grow EPS well above the S&amp;P 500. In my opinion, Apple is a snowball that&#39;s just too hard to move. Because of this, I think investors are better off buying theSPY.</p><p><b>Where is Future Growth Coming From?</b></p><p>I think most of us will agree Apple has pretty well saturated the smartphone market in the US. As of 2021,datashows Apple had 46.9% of the US smartphone market with share gains growing at a very slow pace. I see no reason to believe iPhone share gains will be any better than the recent past.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f5a8230f021553bdab552ae6cb8ce70\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"344\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>iPhone Market Share (statista.com)</p><p>Apple&#39;s second-largest market is Europe where they hold a 32.3% share. Apple holds a microscopic edge over Samsung as a market leader. Share gains in Europe have also moderated in recent years similar to the US.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f0becc8c9b730dc6c023bcefce1e0646\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"315\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Apple Market Share - Europe (Statcounter.com)</p><p>Perhaps China can save the day? Apple recently reclaimed the number one spot as a smartphone provider in China. Apple overtook competitor Huawei after Huawei was negatively impacted by US sanctions. So, one could argue Apple&#39;s 23% leading market position is somewhat artificial.</p><p>Either way, with saturated markets in the US and Europe and a fiercely competitive environment in China, I don&#39;t see market-beating returns coming as a result of increasing iPhone sales which are the backbone of the company.</p><p>So, where will Apple turn to produce the +15% per year (or approximately $15 billion in year one) earnings growth investors are accustomed to?</p><p><b>Share Repurchases</b></p><p>Over the past 10 years, Apple has spent an astonishing$467 billion on share repurchases, reducing a total number of shares outstanding by 4.4% annually. Share repurchases have been a foundation of Apple&#39;s annual EPS growth and I fully expect this to continue in the future. While I&#39;m a fan of share repurchases, I don&#39;t prefer when they&#39;re the primary form of EPS growth.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/664dc00f07bea24b2eb1aa207937ae30\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"376\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Shares Outstanding (Quickfs.com)</p><p>To put it in perspective, share repurchases accounted for the following percentage (approximate) of annual EPS growth for Apple:</p><ul><li>2017: 47% of YOY EPS growth</li><li>2018: 21% of YOY EPS growth</li><li>2019: Not measurable because EPS growth was negative</li><li>2020: 62% of YOY EPS growth</li><li>2021: 9% of YOY EPS growth</li></ul><p>Prior to 2021, share repurchases often accounted for a significant portion of EPS growth. I view 2021 as an outlier due to the amount of fiscal stimulus injected into the economy, which drove up revenue for many companies, including Apple.</p><p><b>Products &amp; Services</b></p><p>Apple has numerous products and services of which I am a satisfied customer. These include the iPhone, iPad, Apple Watch, Air Pods, AppStore, Apple Pay, and Apple Music. I greatly enjoy each of these and believe they offer excellent value.</p><p>Apple&#39;s fastest growing categories are Wearables, Home &amp; Accessories and Services. Over the past 5 years, Wearables, Home &amp; Accessories has grown revenue at a 31.5% CAGR while Services clocks in at 20.3%.</p><p>Here&#39;s what&#39;s included in each per Apple&#39;s 2021 10-K filing.</p><blockquote>Wearables, Home and Accessories net sales include sales of AirPods, Apple TV, Apple Watch, Beats products, HomePod, iPod touch and accessories.</blockquote><blockquote>Services net sales include sales from the Company&#39;s advertising, AppleCare, cloud, digital content, payment and other services. Services net sales also include amortization of the deferred value of services bundled in the sales price of certain products.</blockquote><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b67155a2ae8b688f5fddfede0b0344b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"168\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Revenue by Category (Author&#39;s personal data)</p><p>As seen in the table above, iPhone, Mac, and iPad sales have been fairly lumpy whereas Wearables, Home &amp; Accessories and Services has been steadily increasing.</p><p>Using this information, I can make an educated guess on future revenue growth for Apple. In the table below, I de-rated the revenue CAGR for each category to reflect a more modest expectation of growth.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d0e23bc5acddfa2604ba624d20446f19\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"166\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Forecast Revenue by Category (Author&#39;s personal data)</p><p><b>Valuation</b></p><p>Using the market multiple approaches, I arrive at a 2026 target price of $197 for Apple, which includes share repurchases but excludes dividends. I assumed revenue growth of 10.3% (table above), net margins of 23.2% (5YR avg), a long-term PE of 20, and reducing shares outstanding by 4.5% annually.</p><ul><li>2026 revenue estimate = $593 billion</li><li>Net income = $593 billion x 23.2% = $137.6 billion</li><li>Shares outstanding reducing from 16.9 billion in 2022 to 14.0 billion in 2026</li><li>2026 EPS estimate = $137.6 billion / 14.0 billion = $9.83</li><li>Fair value = 20 (PE) x $9.83 = $196.60</li></ul><p>With today&#39;s price of $154 per share, a target price of $196.60 would constitute a 5-year CAGR of 5%. Not exactly a market-beating return in my opinion.</p><p>From a DCF perspective, I show an intrinsic value of $156, which doesn&#39;t offer an acceptable margin of safety. I used an 8% discount rate and 2.5% terminal growth rate. I assumed Apple will continue reducing a total number of shares outstanding by 2.5% annually and grow FCF by 7.4% annually (below the 10 YR CAGR of 10.8%).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89bb0473ac235d24fd63d6a47a1f565f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"340\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>DCF Valuation (Author&#39;s personal data)</p><p><b>Aren&#39;t There Risks To The SPY?</b></p><p>Of course, stocks and ETFs aren&#39;t called risk-assets for nothing. In the current macro environment of rising interest rates, sky-high inflation, and a looming recession, investing anywhere is risky. To quote Mr. Buffett:</p><blockquote>Unless you can watch your stock holding decline by 50% without becoming panic-stricken, you should not be in the stock market.</blockquote><p>History says 10 or 20 years from now, the market will be higher than what it is today, so it&#39;s important to keep a long-term perspective. In the current environment,dollar-cost averaging may be the best approach. And if you find yourself stressed about unrealized losses in 2022, that&#39;s probably a good sign you&#39;re invested too heavily, either in general or in an individual position. How well you sleep at night is often a good gauge of portfolio health.</p><p><b>Conclusion</b></p><p>Apple is a phenomenal company with a bright future, but I find it hard to believe it&#39;ll offer market-beating returns in the coming years. At its current share price, Apple appears to be fairly valued and doesn&#39;t offer an acceptable margin of safety. Investors looking to 5x their money in the next 5 to 10 years likely won&#39;t be able to do so owning Apple. It&#39;s simply too large a snowball. Because of this, I think investors are better served buying the SPY where they&#39;ll get indirect exposure to Apple, de-risk their portfolio, and have a decent chance of outperforming Apple in the long term.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple: I'd Rather Buy The SPY</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple: I'd Rather Buy The SPY\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-29 23:23 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4527039-apple-rather-buy-spy><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryApple is a phenomenal company, but their enormous size will be a barrier to market-beating returns.Apple is innovating, but, in my opinion, new offerings will likely pale in comparison to the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4527039-apple-rather-buy-spy\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF","AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4527039-apple-rather-buy-spy","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1127120005","content_text":"SummaryApple is a phenomenal company, but their enormous size will be a barrier to market-beating returns.Apple is innovating, but, in my opinion, new offerings will likely pale in comparison to the iPhone and fail to move the needle to satisfy growth investors.In Peter Lynch's terms, Apple has fully transitioned from Fast Grower to Stalwart.Investors can de-risk their portfolios by buying the SPY, which has a good chance of matching or beating Apple's future returns.Investment ThesisThere's no denying the incredible success of Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) as a company and as an investment. Indeed, Apple even enticed investing legend Warren Buffett, who typically stays away from technology stocks, to take up a billion-dollar position back in 2016. But, as many of us know, the larger a snowball gets the harder it is to roll, to the point where it's so large it can't be rolled at all. With a nearly $2.5 trillion market cap, Apple is an enormous snowball. To put it in perspective, Apple is the size of 25 PayPal's (PYPL). It takes an enormous amount of money to move Apple, whether that be revenue, earnings, or investors.Apple has an impressive track record of innovation with products such as the Apple Watch, Air Pods, Apple TV, and Apple Pay. But how many more home runs could be left in this behemoth? Just as important a question, how far outside the park must Apple hit these home runs to have a meaningful impact on revenue and earnings?I'm not betting against Apple's ability to innovate. I'm betting against their ability to replicate past success in a manner that'll grow EPS well above the S&P 500. In my opinion, Apple is a snowball that's just too hard to move. Because of this, I think investors are better off buying theSPY.Where is Future Growth Coming From?I think most of us will agree Apple has pretty well saturated the smartphone market in the US. As of 2021,datashows Apple had 46.9% of the US smartphone market with share gains growing at a very slow pace. I see no reason to believe iPhone share gains will be any better than the recent past.iPhone Market Share (statista.com)Apple's second-largest market is Europe where they hold a 32.3% share. Apple holds a microscopic edge over Samsung as a market leader. Share gains in Europe have also moderated in recent years similar to the US.Apple Market Share - Europe (Statcounter.com)Perhaps China can save the day? Apple recently reclaimed the number one spot as a smartphone provider in China. Apple overtook competitor Huawei after Huawei was negatively impacted by US sanctions. So, one could argue Apple's 23% leading market position is somewhat artificial.Either way, with saturated markets in the US and Europe and a fiercely competitive environment in China, I don't see market-beating returns coming as a result of increasing iPhone sales which are the backbone of the company.So, where will Apple turn to produce the +15% per year (or approximately $15 billion in year one) earnings growth investors are accustomed to?Share RepurchasesOver the past 10 years, Apple has spent an astonishing$467 billion on share repurchases, reducing a total number of shares outstanding by 4.4% annually. Share repurchases have been a foundation of Apple's annual EPS growth and I fully expect this to continue in the future. While I'm a fan of share repurchases, I don't prefer when they're the primary form of EPS growth.Shares Outstanding (Quickfs.com)To put it in perspective, share repurchases accounted for the following percentage (approximate) of annual EPS growth for Apple:2017: 47% of YOY EPS growth2018: 21% of YOY EPS growth2019: Not measurable because EPS growth was negative2020: 62% of YOY EPS growth2021: 9% of YOY EPS growthPrior to 2021, share repurchases often accounted for a significant portion of EPS growth. I view 2021 as an outlier due to the amount of fiscal stimulus injected into the economy, which drove up revenue for many companies, including Apple.Products & ServicesApple has numerous products and services of which I am a satisfied customer. These include the iPhone, iPad, Apple Watch, Air Pods, AppStore, Apple Pay, and Apple Music. I greatly enjoy each of these and believe they offer excellent value.Apple's fastest growing categories are Wearables, Home & Accessories and Services. Over the past 5 years, Wearables, Home & Accessories has grown revenue at a 31.5% CAGR while Services clocks in at 20.3%.Here's what's included in each per Apple's 2021 10-K filing.Wearables, Home and Accessories net sales include sales of AirPods, Apple TV, Apple Watch, Beats products, HomePod, iPod touch and accessories.Services net sales include sales from the Company's advertising, AppleCare, cloud, digital content, payment and other services. Services net sales also include amortization of the deferred value of services bundled in the sales price of certain products.Revenue by Category (Author's personal data)As seen in the table above, iPhone, Mac, and iPad sales have been fairly lumpy whereas Wearables, Home & Accessories and Services has been steadily increasing.Using this information, I can make an educated guess on future revenue growth for Apple. In the table below, I de-rated the revenue CAGR for each category to reflect a more modest expectation of growth.Forecast Revenue by Category (Author's personal data)ValuationUsing the market multiple approaches, I arrive at a 2026 target price of $197 for Apple, which includes share repurchases but excludes dividends. I assumed revenue growth of 10.3% (table above), net margins of 23.2% (5YR avg), a long-term PE of 20, and reducing shares outstanding by 4.5% annually.2026 revenue estimate = $593 billionNet income = $593 billion x 23.2% = $137.6 billionShares outstanding reducing from 16.9 billion in 2022 to 14.0 billion in 20262026 EPS estimate = $137.6 billion / 14.0 billion = $9.83Fair value = 20 (PE) x $9.83 = $196.60With today's price of $154 per share, a target price of $196.60 would constitute a 5-year CAGR of 5%. Not exactly a market-beating return in my opinion.From a DCF perspective, I show an intrinsic value of $156, which doesn't offer an acceptable margin of safety. I used an 8% discount rate and 2.5% terminal growth rate. I assumed Apple will continue reducing a total number of shares outstanding by 2.5% annually and grow FCF by 7.4% annually (below the 10 YR CAGR of 10.8%).DCF Valuation (Author's personal data)Aren't There Risks To The SPY?Of course, stocks and ETFs aren't called risk-assets for nothing. In the current macro environment of rising interest rates, sky-high inflation, and a looming recession, investing anywhere is risky. To quote Mr. Buffett:Unless you can watch your stock holding decline by 50% without becoming panic-stricken, you should not be in the stock market.History says 10 or 20 years from now, the market will be higher than what it is today, so it's important to keep a long-term perspective. In the current environment,dollar-cost averaging may be the best approach. And if you find yourself stressed about unrealized losses in 2022, that's probably a good sign you're invested too heavily, either in general or in an individual position. How well you sleep at night is often a good gauge of portfolio health.ConclusionApple is a phenomenal company with a bright future, but I find it hard to believe it'll offer market-beating returns in the coming years. At its current share price, Apple appears to be fairly valued and doesn't offer an acceptable margin of safety. Investors looking to 5x their money in the next 5 to 10 years likely won't be able to do so owning Apple. It's simply too large a snowball. Because of this, I think investors are better served buying the SPY where they'll get indirect exposure to Apple, de-risk their portfolio, and have a decent chance of outperforming Apple in the long term.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":145,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9901918646,"gmtCreate":1659110565685,"gmtModify":1676536259431,"author":{"id":"4087524360121530","authorId":"4087524360121530","name":"JoeKun","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a543b7a138549431b97b6bee2bc9e956","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087524360121530","authorIdStr":"4087524360121530"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9901918646","repostId":"1127120005","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1127120005","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1659108221,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1127120005?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-29 23:23","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple: I'd Rather Buy The SPY","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1127120005","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryApple is a phenomenal company, but their enormous size will be a barrier to market-beating re","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Apple is a phenomenal company, but their enormous size will be a barrier to market-beating returns.</li><li>Apple is innovating, but, in my opinion, new offerings will likely pale in comparison to the iPhone and fail to move the needle to satisfy growth investors.</li><li>In Peter Lynch&#39;s terms, Apple has fully transitioned from Fast Grower to Stalwart.</li><li>Investors can de-risk their portfolios by buying the SPY, which has a good chance of matching or beating Apple&#39;s future returns.</li></ul><p><b>Investment Thesis</b></p><p>There&#39;s no denying the incredible success of Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) as a company and as an investment. Indeed, Apple even enticed investing legend Warren Buffett, who typically stays away from technology stocks, to take up a billion-dollar position back in 2016. But, as many of us know, the larger a snowball gets the harder it is to roll, to the point where it&#39;s so large it can&#39;t be rolled at all. With a nearly $2.5 trillion market cap, Apple is an enormous snowball. To put it in perspective, Apple is the size of 25 PayPal&#39;s (PYPL). It takes an enormous amount of money to move Apple, whether that be revenue, earnings, or investors.</p><p>Apple has an impressive track record of innovation with products such as the Apple Watch, Air Pods, Apple TV, and Apple Pay. But how many more home runs could be left in this behemoth? Just as important a question, how far outside the park must Apple hit these home runs to have a meaningful impact on revenue and earnings?</p><p>I&#39;m not betting against Apple&#39;s ability to innovate. I&#39;m betting against their ability to replicate past success in a manner that&#39;ll grow EPS well above the S&amp;P 500. In my opinion, Apple is a snowball that&#39;s just too hard to move. Because of this, I think investors are better off buying theSPY.</p><p><b>Where is Future Growth Coming From?</b></p><p>I think most of us will agree Apple has pretty well saturated the smartphone market in the US. As of 2021,datashows Apple had 46.9% of the US smartphone market with share gains growing at a very slow pace. I see no reason to believe iPhone share gains will be any better than the recent past.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f5a8230f021553bdab552ae6cb8ce70\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"344\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>iPhone Market Share (statista.com)</p><p>Apple&#39;s second-largest market is Europe where they hold a 32.3% share. Apple holds a microscopic edge over Samsung as a market leader. Share gains in Europe have also moderated in recent years similar to the US.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f0becc8c9b730dc6c023bcefce1e0646\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"315\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Apple Market Share - Europe (Statcounter.com)</p><p>Perhaps China can save the day? Apple recently reclaimed the number one spot as a smartphone provider in China. Apple overtook competitor Huawei after Huawei was negatively impacted by US sanctions. So, one could argue Apple&#39;s 23% leading market position is somewhat artificial.</p><p>Either way, with saturated markets in the US and Europe and a fiercely competitive environment in China, I don&#39;t see market-beating returns coming as a result of increasing iPhone sales which are the backbone of the company.</p><p>So, where will Apple turn to produce the +15% per year (or approximately $15 billion in year one) earnings growth investors are accustomed to?</p><p><b>Share Repurchases</b></p><p>Over the past 10 years, Apple has spent an astonishing$467 billion on share repurchases, reducing a total number of shares outstanding by 4.4% annually. Share repurchases have been a foundation of Apple&#39;s annual EPS growth and I fully expect this to continue in the future. While I&#39;m a fan of share repurchases, I don&#39;t prefer when they&#39;re the primary form of EPS growth.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/664dc00f07bea24b2eb1aa207937ae30\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"376\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Shares Outstanding (Quickfs.com)</p><p>To put it in perspective, share repurchases accounted for the following percentage (approximate) of annual EPS growth for Apple:</p><ul><li>2017: 47% of YOY EPS growth</li><li>2018: 21% of YOY EPS growth</li><li>2019: Not measurable because EPS growth was negative</li><li>2020: 62% of YOY EPS growth</li><li>2021: 9% of YOY EPS growth</li></ul><p>Prior to 2021, share repurchases often accounted for a significant portion of EPS growth. I view 2021 as an outlier due to the amount of fiscal stimulus injected into the economy, which drove up revenue for many companies, including Apple.</p><p><b>Products &amp; Services</b></p><p>Apple has numerous products and services of which I am a satisfied customer. These include the iPhone, iPad, Apple Watch, Air Pods, AppStore, Apple Pay, and Apple Music. I greatly enjoy each of these and believe they offer excellent value.</p><p>Apple&#39;s fastest growing categories are Wearables, Home &amp; Accessories and Services. Over the past 5 years, Wearables, Home &amp; Accessories has grown revenue at a 31.5% CAGR while Services clocks in at 20.3%.</p><p>Here&#39;s what&#39;s included in each per Apple&#39;s 2021 10-K filing.</p><blockquote>Wearables, Home and Accessories net sales include sales of AirPods, Apple TV, Apple Watch, Beats products, HomePod, iPod touch and accessories.</blockquote><blockquote>Services net sales include sales from the Company&#39;s advertising, AppleCare, cloud, digital content, payment and other services. Services net sales also include amortization of the deferred value of services bundled in the sales price of certain products.</blockquote><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b67155a2ae8b688f5fddfede0b0344b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"168\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Revenue by Category (Author&#39;s personal data)</p><p>As seen in the table above, iPhone, Mac, and iPad sales have been fairly lumpy whereas Wearables, Home &amp; Accessories and Services has been steadily increasing.</p><p>Using this information, I can make an educated guess on future revenue growth for Apple. In the table below, I de-rated the revenue CAGR for each category to reflect a more modest expectation of growth.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d0e23bc5acddfa2604ba624d20446f19\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"166\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Forecast Revenue by Category (Author&#39;s personal data)</p><p><b>Valuation</b></p><p>Using the market multiple approaches, I arrive at a 2026 target price of $197 for Apple, which includes share repurchases but excludes dividends. I assumed revenue growth of 10.3% (table above), net margins of 23.2% (5YR avg), a long-term PE of 20, and reducing shares outstanding by 4.5% annually.</p><ul><li>2026 revenue estimate = $593 billion</li><li>Net income = $593 billion x 23.2% = $137.6 billion</li><li>Shares outstanding reducing from 16.9 billion in 2022 to 14.0 billion in 2026</li><li>2026 EPS estimate = $137.6 billion / 14.0 billion = $9.83</li><li>Fair value = 20 (PE) x $9.83 = $196.60</li></ul><p>With today&#39;s price of $154 per share, a target price of $196.60 would constitute a 5-year CAGR of 5%. Not exactly a market-beating return in my opinion.</p><p>From a DCF perspective, I show an intrinsic value of $156, which doesn&#39;t offer an acceptable margin of safety. I used an 8% discount rate and 2.5% terminal growth rate. I assumed Apple will continue reducing a total number of shares outstanding by 2.5% annually and grow FCF by 7.4% annually (below the 10 YR CAGR of 10.8%).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89bb0473ac235d24fd63d6a47a1f565f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"340\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>DCF Valuation (Author&#39;s personal data)</p><p><b>Aren&#39;t There Risks To The SPY?</b></p><p>Of course, stocks and ETFs aren&#39;t called risk-assets for nothing. In the current macro environment of rising interest rates, sky-high inflation, and a looming recession, investing anywhere is risky. To quote Mr. Buffett:</p><blockquote>Unless you can watch your stock holding decline by 50% without becoming panic-stricken, you should not be in the stock market.</blockquote><p>History says 10 or 20 years from now, the market will be higher than what it is today, so it&#39;s important to keep a long-term perspective. In the current environment,dollar-cost averaging may be the best approach. And if you find yourself stressed about unrealized losses in 2022, that&#39;s probably a good sign you&#39;re invested too heavily, either in general or in an individual position. How well you sleep at night is often a good gauge of portfolio health.</p><p><b>Conclusion</b></p><p>Apple is a phenomenal company with a bright future, but I find it hard to believe it&#39;ll offer market-beating returns in the coming years. At its current share price, Apple appears to be fairly valued and doesn&#39;t offer an acceptable margin of safety. Investors looking to 5x their money in the next 5 to 10 years likely won&#39;t be able to do so owning Apple. It&#39;s simply too large a snowball. Because of this, I think investors are better served buying the SPY where they&#39;ll get indirect exposure to Apple, de-risk their portfolio, and have a decent chance of outperforming Apple in the long term.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple: I'd Rather Buy The SPY</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple: I'd Rather Buy The SPY\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-29 23:23 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4527039-apple-rather-buy-spy><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryApple is a phenomenal company, but their enormous size will be a barrier to market-beating returns.Apple is innovating, but, in my opinion, new offerings will likely pale in comparison to the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4527039-apple-rather-buy-spy\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF","AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4527039-apple-rather-buy-spy","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1127120005","content_text":"SummaryApple is a phenomenal company, but their enormous size will be a barrier to market-beating returns.Apple is innovating, but, in my opinion, new offerings will likely pale in comparison to the iPhone and fail to move the needle to satisfy growth investors.In Peter Lynch's terms, Apple has fully transitioned from Fast Grower to Stalwart.Investors can de-risk their portfolios by buying the SPY, which has a good chance of matching or beating Apple's future returns.Investment ThesisThere's no denying the incredible success of Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) as a company and as an investment. Indeed, Apple even enticed investing legend Warren Buffett, who typically stays away from technology stocks, to take up a billion-dollar position back in 2016. But, as many of us know, the larger a snowball gets the harder it is to roll, to the point where it's so large it can't be rolled at all. With a nearly $2.5 trillion market cap, Apple is an enormous snowball. To put it in perspective, Apple is the size of 25 PayPal's (PYPL). It takes an enormous amount of money to move Apple, whether that be revenue, earnings, or investors.Apple has an impressive track record of innovation with products such as the Apple Watch, Air Pods, Apple TV, and Apple Pay. But how many more home runs could be left in this behemoth? Just as important a question, how far outside the park must Apple hit these home runs to have a meaningful impact on revenue and earnings?I'm not betting against Apple's ability to innovate. I'm betting against their ability to replicate past success in a manner that'll grow EPS well above the S&P 500. In my opinion, Apple is a snowball that's just too hard to move. Because of this, I think investors are better off buying theSPY.Where is Future Growth Coming From?I think most of us will agree Apple has pretty well saturated the smartphone market in the US. As of 2021,datashows Apple had 46.9% of the US smartphone market with share gains growing at a very slow pace. I see no reason to believe iPhone share gains will be any better than the recent past.iPhone Market Share (statista.com)Apple's second-largest market is Europe where they hold a 32.3% share. Apple holds a microscopic edge over Samsung as a market leader. Share gains in Europe have also moderated in recent years similar to the US.Apple Market Share - Europe (Statcounter.com)Perhaps China can save the day? Apple recently reclaimed the number one spot as a smartphone provider in China. Apple overtook competitor Huawei after Huawei was negatively impacted by US sanctions. So, one could argue Apple's 23% leading market position is somewhat artificial.Either way, with saturated markets in the US and Europe and a fiercely competitive environment in China, I don't see market-beating returns coming as a result of increasing iPhone sales which are the backbone of the company.So, where will Apple turn to produce the +15% per year (or approximately $15 billion in year one) earnings growth investors are accustomed to?Share RepurchasesOver the past 10 years, Apple has spent an astonishing$467 billion on share repurchases, reducing a total number of shares outstanding by 4.4% annually. Share repurchases have been a foundation of Apple's annual EPS growth and I fully expect this to continue in the future. While I'm a fan of share repurchases, I don't prefer when they're the primary form of EPS growth.Shares Outstanding (Quickfs.com)To put it in perspective, share repurchases accounted for the following percentage (approximate) of annual EPS growth for Apple:2017: 47% of YOY EPS growth2018: 21% of YOY EPS growth2019: Not measurable because EPS growth was negative2020: 62% of YOY EPS growth2021: 9% of YOY EPS growthPrior to 2021, share repurchases often accounted for a significant portion of EPS growth. I view 2021 as an outlier due to the amount of fiscal stimulus injected into the economy, which drove up revenue for many companies, including Apple.Products & ServicesApple has numerous products and services of which I am a satisfied customer. These include the iPhone, iPad, Apple Watch, Air Pods, AppStore, Apple Pay, and Apple Music. I greatly enjoy each of these and believe they offer excellent value.Apple's fastest growing categories are Wearables, Home & Accessories and Services. Over the past 5 years, Wearables, Home & Accessories has grown revenue at a 31.5% CAGR while Services clocks in at 20.3%.Here's what's included in each per Apple's 2021 10-K filing.Wearables, Home and Accessories net sales include sales of AirPods, Apple TV, Apple Watch, Beats products, HomePod, iPod touch and accessories.Services net sales include sales from the Company's advertising, AppleCare, cloud, digital content, payment and other services. Services net sales also include amortization of the deferred value of services bundled in the sales price of certain products.Revenue by Category (Author's personal data)As seen in the table above, iPhone, Mac, and iPad sales have been fairly lumpy whereas Wearables, Home & Accessories and Services has been steadily increasing.Using this information, I can make an educated guess on future revenue growth for Apple. In the table below, I de-rated the revenue CAGR for each category to reflect a more modest expectation of growth.Forecast Revenue by Category (Author's personal data)ValuationUsing the market multiple approaches, I arrive at a 2026 target price of $197 for Apple, which includes share repurchases but excludes dividends. I assumed revenue growth of 10.3% (table above), net margins of 23.2% (5YR avg), a long-term PE of 20, and reducing shares outstanding by 4.5% annually.2026 revenue estimate = $593 billionNet income = $593 billion x 23.2% = $137.6 billionShares outstanding reducing from 16.9 billion in 2022 to 14.0 billion in 20262026 EPS estimate = $137.6 billion / 14.0 billion = $9.83Fair value = 20 (PE) x $9.83 = $196.60With today's price of $154 per share, a target price of $196.60 would constitute a 5-year CAGR of 5%. Not exactly a market-beating return in my opinion.From a DCF perspective, I show an intrinsic value of $156, which doesn't offer an acceptable margin of safety. I used an 8% discount rate and 2.5% terminal growth rate. I assumed Apple will continue reducing a total number of shares outstanding by 2.5% annually and grow FCF by 7.4% annually (below the 10 YR CAGR of 10.8%).DCF Valuation (Author's personal data)Aren't There Risks To The SPY?Of course, stocks and ETFs aren't called risk-assets for nothing. In the current macro environment of rising interest rates, sky-high inflation, and a looming recession, investing anywhere is risky. To quote Mr. Buffett:Unless you can watch your stock holding decline by 50% without becoming panic-stricken, you should not be in the stock market.History says 10 or 20 years from now, the market will be higher than what it is today, so it's important to keep a long-term perspective. In the current environment,dollar-cost averaging may be the best approach. And if you find yourself stressed about unrealized losses in 2022, that's probably a good sign you're invested too heavily, either in general or in an individual position. How well you sleep at night is often a good gauge of portfolio health.ConclusionApple is a phenomenal company with a bright future, but I find it hard to believe it'll offer market-beating returns in the coming years. At its current share price, Apple appears to be fairly valued and doesn't offer an acceptable margin of safety. Investors looking to 5x their money in the next 5 to 10 years likely won't be able to do so owning Apple. It's simply too large a snowball. Because of this, I think investors are better served buying the SPY where they'll get indirect exposure to Apple, de-risk their portfolio, and have a decent chance of outperforming Apple in the long term.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":232,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9909444328,"gmtCreate":1658915602464,"gmtModify":1676536228262,"author":{"id":"4087524360121530","authorId":"4087524360121530","name":"JoeKun","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a543b7a138549431b97b6bee2bc9e956","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087524360121530","authorIdStr":"4087524360121530"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9909444328","repostId":"2254804278","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2254804278","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1658899741,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2254804278?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-27 13:29","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. Consumer Watchdog to Scrutinize Crypto Payments, Big Tech Moves Into Finance -Director","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2254804278","media":"Reuters","summary":"WASHINGTON, July 27 (Reuters) - The top U.S. consumer watchdog plans to scrutinize the use of crypto","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>WASHINGTON, July 27 (Reuters) - The top U.S. consumer watchdog plans to scrutinize the use of cryptocurrencies for real-time payments and ramp up oversight of Big Tech companies as they expand into the traditional financial sector, its director told Reuters.</p><p>The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) also will publish a report this fall on &#34;buy-now, pay later&#34; or BNPL products, and expects to propose a rule to boost consumer finance competition around early next year, Rohit Chopra said in an interview.</p><p>&#34;Is America ready for Big Tech entering financial services? We already have started to see how the industry is entering payments. We&#39;re starting to see how there&#39;s interest in other areas,&#34; said Chopra, citing companies&#39; branded credit and pre-paid cards. &#34;That raises a lot of questions about really the future of financial services,&#34; especially data privacy, he said.</p><p>Cryptocurrencies have come under scrutiny in recent months after the market cratered, toppling some crypto companies.</p><p>Big online companies could drive the widespread adoption of cryptocurrencies for real-time payments, which would be a &#34;heavy&#34; focus for the agency, said Chopra, adding that the agency is concerned about the risks of hacks, errors and fraud.</p><p>&#34;The regulators all had a wakeup call when Facebook proposed its Libra project, which potentially could be a currency that rapidly scaled across Facebook&#39;s networks,&#34; said Chopra.</p><p>That prompted the agency last year to ask Facebook , Amazon.com, Apple and Alphabet&#39;s Google, among others, to provide information on how they gather and use consumer payment data, he said.</p><p>Facebook ultimately abandoned its Libra project due to regulatory opposition.</p><p>A long-time consumer advocate, Chopra was tapped by U.S. President Joe Biden to lead the CFPB last year. Before that, he was a Democratic commissioner at the Federal Trade Commission, where he targeted Big Tech companies over competition concerns.</p><p>Big online companies also are driving adoption of BNPL financing products. The CFPB in December sought data from BNPL companies to better understand their practices, and will publish its findings later this year, said Chopra.</p><p>While BNPL offers alternatives to other credit products, Chopra said there is a lack of transparency because the loans are not typically included in consumer credit reports, which mortgage and auto lenders have complained about, he said.</p><p>&#34;You should expect in that report to see quite a bit of data about industry trends, to identify places where... there may be some risks to consumers,&#34; he said.</p><p>The agency has also been working on an &#34;open banking&#34; rule that could increase Americans&#39; access to financial services. That has been delayed by privacy concerns, Reuters reported.</p><p>The agency is assessing the rule&#39;s implications for data protection and competition, and expects to issue a draft after receiving feedback from small businesses later this year, Chopra said.</p><p>He is under pressure from progressives in the Democratic party to reinvigorate the CFPB, which they say pulled back from enforcement and tough policymaking under former Republican President Donald Trump.</p><p>Corporate groups, however, have accused Chopra of being ideologically driven, heavy-handed and unwilling to engage with the industry, criticisms he rebuffed.</p><p>&#34;We have met with hundreds of banks and credit unions, and have really provided a lot more guidance on how we expect to exercise existing authorities,&#34; he said.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. Consumer Watchdog to Scrutinize Crypto Payments, Big Tech Moves Into Finance -Director</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. Consumer Watchdog to Scrutinize Crypto Payments, Big Tech Moves Into Finance -Director\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-07-27 13:29</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>WASHINGTON, July 27 (Reuters) - The top U.S. consumer watchdog plans to scrutinize the use of cryptocurrencies for real-time payments and ramp up oversight of Big Tech companies as they expand into the traditional financial sector, its director told Reuters.</p><p>The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) also will publish a report this fall on &#34;buy-now, pay later&#34; or BNPL products, and expects to propose a rule to boost consumer finance competition around early next year, Rohit Chopra said in an interview.</p><p>&#34;Is America ready for Big Tech entering financial services? We already have started to see how the industry is entering payments. We&#39;re starting to see how there&#39;s interest in other areas,&#34; said Chopra, citing companies&#39; branded credit and pre-paid cards. &#34;That raises a lot of questions about really the future of financial services,&#34; especially data privacy, he said.</p><p>Cryptocurrencies have come under scrutiny in recent months after the market cratered, toppling some crypto companies.</p><p>Big online companies could drive the widespread adoption of cryptocurrencies for real-time payments, which would be a &#34;heavy&#34; focus for the agency, said Chopra, adding that the agency is concerned about the risks of hacks, errors and fraud.</p><p>&#34;The regulators all had a wakeup call when Facebook proposed its Libra project, which potentially could be a currency that rapidly scaled across Facebook&#39;s networks,&#34; said Chopra.</p><p>That prompted the agency last year to ask Facebook , Amazon.com, Apple and Alphabet&#39;s Google, among others, to provide information on how they gather and use consumer payment data, he said.</p><p>Facebook ultimately abandoned its Libra project due to regulatory opposition.</p><p>A long-time consumer advocate, Chopra was tapped by U.S. President Joe Biden to lead the CFPB last year. Before that, he was a Democratic commissioner at the Federal Trade Commission, where he targeted Big Tech companies over competition concerns.</p><p>Big online companies also are driving adoption of BNPL financing products. The CFPB in December sought data from BNPL companies to better understand their practices, and will publish its findings later this year, said Chopra.</p><p>While BNPL offers alternatives to other credit products, Chopra said there is a lack of transparency because the loans are not typically included in consumer credit reports, which mortgage and auto lenders have complained about, he said.</p><p>&#34;You should expect in that report to see quite a bit of data about industry trends, to identify places where... there may be some risks to consumers,&#34; he said.</p><p>The agency has also been working on an &#34;open banking&#34; rule that could increase Americans&#39; access to financial services. That has been delayed by privacy concerns, Reuters reported.</p><p>The agency is assessing the rule&#39;s implications for data protection and competition, and expects to issue a draft after receiving feedback from small businesses later this year, Chopra said.</p><p>He is under pressure from progressives in the Democratic party to reinvigorate the CFPB, which they say pulled back from enforcement and tough policymaking under former Republican President Donald Trump.</p><p>Corporate groups, however, have accused Chopra of being ideologically driven, heavy-handed and unwilling to engage with the industry, criticisms he rebuffed.</p><p>&#34;We have met with hundreds of banks and credit unions, and have really provided a lot more guidance on how we expect to exercise existing authorities,&#34; he said.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果","AMZN":"亚马逊","META":"Meta Platforms, Inc.","GOOGL":"谷歌A","GOOG":"谷歌"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2254804278","content_text":"WASHINGTON, July 27 (Reuters) - The top U.S. consumer watchdog plans to scrutinize the use of cryptocurrencies for real-time payments and ramp up oversight of Big Tech companies as they expand into the traditional financial sector, its director told Reuters.The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) also will publish a report this fall on \"buy-now, pay later\" or BNPL products, and expects to propose a rule to boost consumer finance competition around early next year, Rohit Chopra said in an interview.\"Is America ready for Big Tech entering financial services? We already have started to see how the industry is entering payments. We're starting to see how there's interest in other areas,\" said Chopra, citing companies' branded credit and pre-paid cards. \"That raises a lot of questions about really the future of financial services,\" especially data privacy, he said.Cryptocurrencies have come under scrutiny in recent months after the market cratered, toppling some crypto companies.Big online companies could drive the widespread adoption of cryptocurrencies for real-time payments, which would be a \"heavy\" focus for the agency, said Chopra, adding that the agency is concerned about the risks of hacks, errors and fraud.\"The regulators all had a wakeup call when Facebook proposed its Libra project, which potentially could be a currency that rapidly scaled across Facebook's networks,\" said Chopra.That prompted the agency last year to ask Facebook , Amazon.com, Apple and Alphabet's Google, among others, to provide information on how they gather and use consumer payment data, he said.Facebook ultimately abandoned its Libra project due to regulatory opposition.A long-time consumer advocate, Chopra was tapped by U.S. President Joe Biden to lead the CFPB last year. Before that, he was a Democratic commissioner at the Federal Trade Commission, where he targeted Big Tech companies over competition concerns.Big online companies also are driving adoption of BNPL financing products. The CFPB in December sought data from BNPL companies to better understand their practices, and will publish its findings later this year, said Chopra.While BNPL offers alternatives to other credit products, Chopra said there is a lack of transparency because the loans are not typically included in consumer credit reports, which mortgage and auto lenders have complained about, he said.\"You should expect in that report to see quite a bit of data about industry trends, to identify places where... there may be some risks to consumers,\" he said.The agency has also been working on an \"open banking\" rule that could increase Americans' access to financial services. That has been delayed by privacy concerns, Reuters reported.The agency is assessing the rule's implications for data protection and competition, and expects to issue a draft after receiving feedback from small businesses later this year, Chopra said.He is under pressure from progressives in the Democratic party to reinvigorate the CFPB, which they say pulled back from enforcement and tough policymaking under former Republican President Donald Trump.Corporate groups, however, have accused Chopra of being ideologically driven, heavy-handed and unwilling to engage with the industry, criticisms he rebuffed.\"We have met with hundreds of banks and credit unions, and have really provided a lot more guidance on how we expect to exercise existing authorities,\" he said.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":132,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9909444934,"gmtCreate":1658915577028,"gmtModify":1676536228255,"author":{"id":"4087524360121530","authorId":"4087524360121530","name":"JoeKun","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a543b7a138549431b97b6bee2bc9e956","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087524360121530","authorIdStr":"4087524360121530"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9909444934","repostId":"1146248533","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1146248533","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1658901230,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1146248533?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-27 13:53","market":"uk","language":"en","title":"Deutsche Bank Extends Profit Streak in Q2 but Warns on Economy","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1146248533","media":"Reuters","summary":"FRANKFURT, July 27 (Reuters) - Deutsche Bank posted a better-than-expected 51% rise in second-quarte","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>FRANKFURT, July 27 (Reuters) - Deutsche Bank posted a better-than-expected 51% rise in second-quarter profit on Wednesday as investment banking revenues rose, though the lender was less optimistic about the division&#39;s prospects for the full year and warned about the economic outlook.</p><p>The results come amid a week of earnings reports by major lenders across Europe, where investors are watching for signs that a weaker economy, higher interest rates and the war in Ukraine are weighing on their operations and outlooks.</p><p>Germany&#39;s banks are at the centre of a geopolitical storm because the country is particularly dependent on Russian energy and its economy will be hit hard by any supply shortages.</p><p>Net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.046 billion euros ($1.06 billion). That compares with profit of 692 million euros a year earlier, and it is better than analyst expectations for profit of around 788 million euros.</p><p>It was the eighth consecutive quarter of profit, a notable streak after years of losses.</p><p>This year is crucial for Germany&#39;s largest lender and Chief Executive Christian Sewing as he tries to deliver on targets he set out in a costly overhaul of the bank embarked upon in 2019.</p><p>Sewing wrote to staff that they should be proud of the results but in the memo sounded bleak about the near-term economic outlook.</p><p>&#34;The months ahead will continue to be challenging. There is reason to believe that things will become even more difficult economically,&#34; he wrote.</p><p>The bank revised down its revenue guidance for the investment bank, now expecting revenues to be &#34;essentially flat&#34; this year, compared with previous expectations for &#34;slightly higher&#34;.</p><p>Investment banking revenues were up 11% in the quarter, and revenues at the corporate bank rose 26%, helped by rising interest rates.</p><p>($1 = 0.9854 euros)</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Deutsche Bank Extends Profit Streak in Q2 but Warns on Economy</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDeutsche Bank Extends Profit Streak in Q2 but Warns on Economy\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-07-27 13:53</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>FRANKFURT, July 27 (Reuters) - Deutsche Bank posted a better-than-expected 51% rise in second-quarter profit on Wednesday as investment banking revenues rose, though the lender was less optimistic about the division&#39;s prospects for the full year and warned about the economic outlook.</p><p>The results come amid a week of earnings reports by major lenders across Europe, where investors are watching for signs that a weaker economy, higher interest rates and the war in Ukraine are weighing on their operations and outlooks.</p><p>Germany&#39;s banks are at the centre of a geopolitical storm because the country is particularly dependent on Russian energy and its economy will be hit hard by any supply shortages.</p><p>Net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.046 billion euros ($1.06 billion). That compares with profit of 692 million euros a year earlier, and it is better than analyst expectations for profit of around 788 million euros.</p><p>It was the eighth consecutive quarter of profit, a notable streak after years of losses.</p><p>This year is crucial for Germany&#39;s largest lender and Chief Executive Christian Sewing as he tries to deliver on targets he set out in a costly overhaul of the bank embarked upon in 2019.</p><p>Sewing wrote to staff that they should be proud of the results but in the memo sounded bleak about the near-term economic outlook.</p><p>&#34;The months ahead will continue to be challenging. There is reason to believe that things will become even more difficult economically,&#34; he wrote.</p><p>The bank revised down its revenue guidance for the investment bank, now expecting revenues to be &#34;essentially flat&#34; this year, compared with previous expectations for &#34;slightly higher&#34;.</p><p>Investment banking revenues were up 11% in the quarter, and revenues at the corporate bank rose 26%, helped by rising interest rates.</p><p>($1 = 0.9854 euros)</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"0H7D.UK":"德意志银行","DB":"德意志银行"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1146248533","content_text":"FRANKFURT, July 27 (Reuters) - Deutsche Bank posted a better-than-expected 51% rise in second-quarter profit on Wednesday as investment banking revenues rose, though the lender was less optimistic about the division's prospects for the full year and warned about the economic outlook.The results come amid a week of earnings reports by major lenders across Europe, where investors are watching for signs that a weaker economy, higher interest rates and the war in Ukraine are weighing on their operations and outlooks.Germany's banks are at the centre of a geopolitical storm because the country is particularly dependent on Russian energy and its economy will be hit hard by any supply shortages.Net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.046 billion euros ($1.06 billion). That compares with profit of 692 million euros a year earlier, and it is better than analyst expectations for profit of around 788 million euros.It was the eighth consecutive quarter of profit, a notable streak after years of losses.This year is crucial for Germany's largest lender and Chief Executive Christian Sewing as he tries to deliver on targets he set out in a costly overhaul of the bank embarked upon in 2019.Sewing wrote to staff that they should be proud of the results but in the memo sounded bleak about the near-term economic outlook.\"The months ahead will continue to be challenging. There is reason to believe that things will become even more difficult economically,\" he wrote.The bank revised down its revenue guidance for the investment bank, now expecting revenues to be \"essentially flat\" this year, compared with previous expectations for \"slightly higher\".Investment banking revenues were up 11% in the quarter, and revenues at the corporate bank rose 26%, helped by rising interest rates.($1 = 0.9854 euros)","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":201,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9909444093,"gmtCreate":1658915570712,"gmtModify":1676536228255,"author":{"id":"4087524360121530","authorId":"4087524360121530","name":"JoeKun","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a543b7a138549431b97b6bee2bc9e956","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087524360121530","authorIdStr":"4087524360121530"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9909444093","repostId":"2254385482","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2254385482","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1658906796,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2254385482?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-27 15:26","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Italy's Antitrust Probes Samsung Over Alleged Unfair Commercial Practices","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2254385482","media":"Reuters","summary":"MILAN, July 27 (Reuters) - Italy's antitrust authority said on Wednesday it had opened an investigat","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>MILAN, July 27 (Reuters) - Italy&#39;s antitrust authority said on Wednesday it had opened an investigation against Samsung in Italy and two other companies over alleged misleading and aggressive commercial practices.</p><p>The regulator said it was looking into the deals offered by the companies to customers seeking to buy new mobile phones while selling their used devices as not enough nor adequate information was being supplied.</p><p>On Tuesday officials from the watchdog searched the offices of the companies involved, it added in the statement.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Italy's Antitrust Probes Samsung Over Alleged Unfair Commercial Practices</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nItaly's Antitrust Probes Samsung Over Alleged Unfair Commercial Practices\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-07-27 15:26</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>MILAN, July 27 (Reuters) - Italy&#39;s antitrust authority said on Wednesday it had opened an investigation against Samsung in Italy and two other companies over alleged misleading and aggressive commercial practices.</p><p>The regulator said it was looking into the deals offered by the companies to customers seeking to buy new mobile phones while selling their used devices as not enough nor adequate information was being supplied.</p><p>On Tuesday officials from the watchdog searched the offices of the companies involved, it added in the statement.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SSNLF":"三星电子"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2254385482","content_text":"MILAN, July 27 (Reuters) - Italy's antitrust authority said on Wednesday it had opened an investigation against Samsung in Italy and two other companies over alleged misleading and aggressive commercial practices.The regulator said it was looking into the deals offered by the companies to customers seeking to buy new mobile phones while selling their used devices as not enough nor adequate information was being supplied.On Tuesday officials from the watchdog searched the offices of the companies involved, it added in the statement.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":240,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9909445761,"gmtCreate":1658915563853,"gmtModify":1676536228255,"author":{"id":"4087524360121530","authorId":"4087524360121530","name":"JoeKun","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a543b7a138549431b97b6bee2bc9e956","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087524360121530","authorIdStr":"4087524360121530"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9909445761","repostId":"1111882695","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1111882695","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1658908748,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1111882695?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-27 15:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Inside Volatility Trading: Is VIX Backwardation Necessarily A Sign Of A Future Down Market?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1111882695","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummarySince the beginning of 2022, the Cboe Volatility Index® (“VIX”) futures curve has shifted hig","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Summary</p><ul><li>Since the beginning of 2022, the Cboe Volatility Index® (“VIX”) futures curve has shifted higher, indicating that expectations for volatility in the market remain elevated.</li><li>A state of contango represents the expectation that the VIX index will increase from its current level moving forward.</li><li>When the VIX futures curve does go into backwardation it could signal weakness and overall risk in the market but the market can recover quickly.</li></ul><p>Since the beginning of 2022, the Cboe Volatility Index (VIX) futures curve has shifted higher, indicating that expectations for volatility in the market remain elevated. In fact, the 200 Day Simple Moving Average has risen from 18.59 on January 3rd to its current level of 24.03, a 29% increase. But what has happened to the shape of the VIX futures curve and how might this be a precursor of market performance?</p><p>The VIX Index is a financial benchmark designed to be a market estimate of expected 30-day volatility of the S&amp;P 500 Index® and is calculated from both call and put options. It represents the expected range of movement (not necessarily direction), over the next 30 days. There are numerous VIX futures maturity dates and the VIX futures term structure is the relationship between VIX futures prices and VIX futures maturity dates. When a futures curve is trading in its “normal” pattern, it is said to be in contango, meaning the shape of the curve is upward sloping from left to right. Applied to the VIX futures, the VIX futures curve is in contango when near-term VIX futures are cheaper than longer-term VIX futures.</p><p>Here is an example of the VIX futures curve on July 15th:</p><h3>Term Structure Data and Implied Volatility of Options on the S&amp;P 500</h3><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cc37e6a9bc16178afdef043c064f817f\" tg-width=\"613\" tg-height=\"450\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>A state of contango represents the expectation that the VIX index will increase from its current level moving forward. The VIX futures curve is in contango more than 80% of the time since 2010. One possible explanation for this is the mean reverting nature of volatility where volatility can spend longer periods of time at lower or stable levels with occasional but mostly short-term spikes. The VIX futures contango is typically the steepest when the spot VIX Index is extremely low.</p><p>The opposite situation occurs when near-term futures are more expensive and the shape of the futures curve becomes downward sloping and is known as backwardation. This may happen when near-term market conditions have more uncertainty than the longer term and hedging becomes more expensive (from a volatility standpoint) in the short term. Backwardation is not as common in the VIX futures curve as contango and happens less than 20% of the time since 2010. Periods of backwardation also tend not to last as long as periods of contango.</p><h3>Here is an example of the VIX futures curve on May 2nd:</h3><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3cad5411eb07a54eb92bf25689828fdf\" tg-width=\"596\" tg-height=\"450\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>But is backwardation really a sign that the market may be headed for a fall? Outside of some of the biggest and most memorable market selloffs the results don’t pan out. When the VIX futures curve does go into backwardation it could signal weakness and overall risk in the market but the market can recover quickly. Examples of when this has occurred include the financial crisis in 2008, the European debt crisis in 2011, and more recently the Q4 2018 selloff that saw markets down for three straight months and then the start of the global pandemic in 2020. Shorting the market during those times may have worked out well but again, those gains may be given back rather quickly as some of the very best periods of stock market performance are immediately following some of the biggest selloffs.</p><p>The below chart shows the number of times the VIX futures curve has been in backwardation since 2018 and the S&amp;P 500 30-day return following the month of the backwardation:</p><h3>Month Beginning Backwardation vs. S&amp;P 500 30-Day Return</h3><h3><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe2729a558a7a977743319b9f6a4a947\" tg-width=\"677\" tg-height=\"374\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></h3></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Inside Volatility Trading: Is VIX Backwardation Necessarily A Sign Of A Future Down Market?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nInside Volatility Trading: Is VIX Backwardation Necessarily A Sign Of A Future Down Market?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-27 15:59 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4526156-inside-volatility-trading-is-vix-backwardation-necessarily-a-sign-of-a-future-down-market><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummarySince the beginning of 2022, the Cboe Volatility Index® (“VIX”) futures curve has shifted higher, indicating that expectations for volatility in the market remain elevated.A state of contango ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4526156-inside-volatility-trading-is-vix-backwardation-necessarily-a-sign-of-a-future-down-market\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"VIX":"标普500波动率指数","VIXY":"波动率短期期货指数ETF"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4526156-inside-volatility-trading-is-vix-backwardation-necessarily-a-sign-of-a-future-down-market","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1111882695","content_text":"SummarySince the beginning of 2022, the Cboe Volatility Index® (“VIX”) futures curve has shifted higher, indicating that expectations for volatility in the market remain elevated.A state of contango represents the expectation that the VIX index will increase from its current level moving forward.When the VIX futures curve does go into backwardation it could signal weakness and overall risk in the market but the market can recover quickly.Since the beginning of 2022, the Cboe Volatility Index (VIX) futures curve has shifted higher, indicating that expectations for volatility in the market remain elevated. In fact, the 200 Day Simple Moving Average has risen from 18.59 on January 3rd to its current level of 24.03, a 29% increase. But what has happened to the shape of the VIX futures curve and how might this be a precursor of market performance?The VIX Index is a financial benchmark designed to be a market estimate of expected 30-day volatility of the S&P 500 Index® and is calculated from both call and put options. It represents the expected range of movement (not necessarily direction), over the next 30 days. There are numerous VIX futures maturity dates and the VIX futures term structure is the relationship between VIX futures prices and VIX futures maturity dates. When a futures curve is trading in its “normal” pattern, it is said to be in contango, meaning the shape of the curve is upward sloping from left to right. Applied to the VIX futures, the VIX futures curve is in contango when near-term VIX futures are cheaper than longer-term VIX futures.Here is an example of the VIX futures curve on July 15th:Term Structure Data and Implied Volatility of Options on the S&P 500A state of contango represents the expectation that the VIX index will increase from its current level moving forward. The VIX futures curve is in contango more than 80% of the time since 2010. One possible explanation for this is the mean reverting nature of volatility where volatility can spend longer periods of time at lower or stable levels with occasional but mostly short-term spikes. The VIX futures contango is typically the steepest when the spot VIX Index is extremely low.The opposite situation occurs when near-term futures are more expensive and the shape of the futures curve becomes downward sloping and is known as backwardation. This may happen when near-term market conditions have more uncertainty than the longer term and hedging becomes more expensive (from a volatility standpoint) in the short term. Backwardation is not as common in the VIX futures curve as contango and happens less than 20% of the time since 2010. Periods of backwardation also tend not to last as long as periods of contango.Here is an example of the VIX futures curve on May 2nd:But is backwardation really a sign that the market may be headed for a fall? Outside of some of the biggest and most memorable market selloffs the results don’t pan out. When the VIX futures curve does go into backwardation it could signal weakness and overall risk in the market but the market can recover quickly. Examples of when this has occurred include the financial crisis in 2008, the European debt crisis in 2011, and more recently the Q4 2018 selloff that saw markets down for three straight months and then the start of the global pandemic in 2020. Shorting the market during those times may have worked out well but again, those gains may be given back rather quickly as some of the very best periods of stock market performance are immediately following some of the biggest selloffs.The below chart shows the number of times the VIX futures curve has been in backwardation since 2018 and the S&P 500 30-day return following the month of the backwardation:Month Beginning Backwardation vs. S&P 500 30-Day Return","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":158,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9909445074,"gmtCreate":1658915405698,"gmtModify":1676536228231,"author":{"id":"4087524360121530","authorId":"4087524360121530","name":"JoeKun","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a543b7a138549431b97b6bee2bc9e956","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087524360121530","authorIdStr":"4087524360121530"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9909445074","repostId":"1114743155","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1114743155","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1658910624,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1114743155?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-27 16:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alphabet, Boeing And Meta Platforms: U.S. Stocks To Watch","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1114743155","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Wall Street expects The Boeing Company to report a quarterly loss at $0.16 per share on revenue of $","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Wall Street expects The <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BA\">Boeing Company</a> to report a quarterly loss at $0.16 per share on revenue of $17.55 billion before the opening bell. Boeing shares rose 1.3% to $157.95 in after-hours trading.</li><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOGL\">Alphabet Inc.</a> reported downbeat earnings for its second quarter on Tuesday. However, revenue for the company’s Search and Other segment was $40.7 billion, up 13.7% year-over-year. Alphabet shares surged 5% to $110.25 in the after-hours trading session.</li><li>Analysts are expecting <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BMY\">Bristol-Myers Squibb Company</a> to have earned $1.82 per share on revenue of $11.45 billion for the latest quarter. The company will release earnings before the markets open. Bristol-Myers Squibb shares fell 0.6% to $73.22 in after-hours trading.</li></ul><ul><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">Microsoft Corporation</a> reported weaker-than-expected results for its fourth quarter on Tuesday. However, the company issued an upbeat sales outlook for the fiscal year. Microsoft shares gained 4% to $261.95 in the after-hours trading session.</li><li>Analysts expect <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/META\">Meta Platforms, Inc.</a> to report quarterly earnings at $2.61 per share on revenue of $28.97 billion after the closing bell. Meta Platforms shares rose 2.5% to $163.20 in pre-market trading.</li><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/V\">Visa Inc</a> reported better-than-expected results for its fiscal third-quarter on Tuesday. Visa shares, however, fell 0.2% to $212.00 in the after-hours trading session.</li><li>After the closing bell, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">Ford Motor Company</a> is projected to post quarterly earnings at $0.45 per share on revenue of $34.32 billion. Ford shares gained 1.6% to $12.74 in after-hours trading.</li></ul></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alphabet, Boeing And Meta Platforms: U.S. Stocks To Watch</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlphabet, Boeing And Meta Platforms: U.S. Stocks To Watch\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-07-27 16:30</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Wall Street expects The <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BA\">Boeing Company</a> to report a quarterly loss at $0.16 per share on revenue of $17.55 billion before the opening bell. Boeing shares rose 1.3% to $157.95 in after-hours trading.</li><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOGL\">Alphabet Inc.</a> reported downbeat earnings for its second quarter on Tuesday. However, revenue for the company’s Search and Other segment was $40.7 billion, up 13.7% year-over-year. Alphabet shares surged 5% to $110.25 in the after-hours trading session.</li><li>Analysts are expecting <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BMY\">Bristol-Myers Squibb Company</a> to have earned $1.82 per share on revenue of $11.45 billion for the latest quarter. The company will release earnings before the markets open. Bristol-Myers Squibb shares fell 0.6% to $73.22 in after-hours trading.</li></ul><ul><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">Microsoft Corporation</a> reported weaker-than-expected results for its fourth quarter on Tuesday. However, the company issued an upbeat sales outlook for the fiscal year. Microsoft shares gained 4% to $261.95 in the after-hours trading session.</li><li>Analysts expect <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/META\">Meta Platforms, Inc.</a> to report quarterly earnings at $2.61 per share on revenue of $28.97 billion after the closing bell. Meta Platforms shares rose 2.5% to $163.20 in pre-market trading.</li><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/V\">Visa Inc</a> reported better-than-expected results for its fiscal third-quarter on Tuesday. Visa shares, however, fell 0.2% to $212.00 in the after-hours trading session.</li><li>After the closing bell, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">Ford Motor Company</a> is projected to post quarterly earnings at $0.45 per share on revenue of $34.32 billion. Ford shares gained 1.6% to $12.74 in after-hours trading.</li></ul></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"META":"Meta Platforms, Inc.","MSFT":"微软","BA":"波音","V":"Visa","GOOG":"谷歌","F":"福特汽车","GOOGL":"谷歌A"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1114743155","content_text":"Wall Street expects The Boeing Company to report a quarterly loss at $0.16 per share on revenue of $17.55 billion before the opening bell. Boeing shares rose 1.3% to $157.95 in after-hours trading.Alphabet Inc. reported downbeat earnings for its second quarter on Tuesday. However, revenue for the company’s Search and Other segment was $40.7 billion, up 13.7% year-over-year. Alphabet shares surged 5% to $110.25 in the after-hours trading session.Analysts are expecting Bristol-Myers Squibb Company to have earned $1.82 per share on revenue of $11.45 billion for the latest quarter. The company will release earnings before the markets open. Bristol-Myers Squibb shares fell 0.6% to $73.22 in after-hours trading.Microsoft Corporation reported weaker-than-expected results for its fourth quarter on Tuesday. However, the company issued an upbeat sales outlook for the fiscal year. Microsoft shares gained 4% to $261.95 in the after-hours trading session.Analysts expect Meta Platforms, Inc. to report quarterly earnings at $2.61 per share on revenue of $28.97 billion after the closing bell. Meta Platforms shares rose 2.5% to $163.20 in pre-market trading.Visa Inc reported better-than-expected results for its fiscal third-quarter on Tuesday. Visa shares, however, fell 0.2% to $212.00 in the after-hours trading session.After the closing bell, Ford Motor Company is projected to post quarterly earnings at $0.45 per share on revenue of $34.32 billion. Ford shares gained 1.6% to $12.74 in after-hours trading.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":173,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9909372124,"gmtCreate":1658822258069,"gmtModify":1676536212976,"author":{"id":"4087524360121530","authorId":"4087524360121530","name":"JoeKun","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a543b7a138549431b97b6bee2bc9e956","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087524360121530","authorIdStr":"4087524360121530"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9909372124","repostId":"2254859517","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2254859517","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1658793235,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2254859517?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-26 07:53","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is Apple Stock A Buy Before Upcoming Earnings?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2254859517","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"SummaryEarnings season hits its peak this week. Apple reports earnings after the bell on Thursday, J","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Earnings season hits its peak this week. Apple reports earnings after the bell on Thursday, July 28th.</li><li>It&#39;s a do-or-die moment for the stock market. The FOMC meeting wraps up on Wednesday before a rush of Big Tech earnings reports.</li><li>Why Apple is one of the most thematic stocks of 2022, and why I think the market is uniquely vulnerable to being routed this week.</li><li>Apple comes to the corporate confessional booth after the bell Thursday. but will the stock deliver? We consider the angles.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1cc3520820f72789188c257042356f8e\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"815\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Pasticcio/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p>Studying abroad in Barcelona a few years back, there was a bar popular with American and British students called Dow Jones. At the bar, the price of drinks rose and fell like the stock market. When prices werehigh, you were better off sitting tight. When prices crashed, it was time to buy. Of course, at Dow Jones, most everyone got drunk and wandered off at the end of the night empty-handed. Lo and behold, the pandemic came out of nowhere a few years later, and $5+ trillion in stimulus and QE turned the global market for stocks and housing into the Dow Jones bar. To this point, Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL) reports earnings Thursday of this week after skyrocketing in price during the pandemic. As the most popular stock among retail investors, Apple&#39;s business success in its Q3 fiscal quarter earnings will be an important litmus test for whether the pandemic bull market was for real or was only a temporary high driven by government borrowing and fiscal stimulus. Up until late fall, Apple looked invincible, but investors are starting to question the status quo rather than accept it at face value.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/734a504384f29600759e772a7b89cbbb\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p>As of my writing this, AAPL has spun up to $154, making this the third sharp rally in the last six months. But every time this has happened, the stock has sold off right back to where it came from and made a new low.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15de93febc7a103afa01188527f76bfa\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p>Let&#39;s look at the fundamentals.</p><p><b>Is Apple Doing Well Financially?</b></p><p>Yes, but is the current pace sustainable?</p><p>Apple did extraordinarily well financially during the pandemic. Consumers were stuck at home and got hefty amounts of stimulus, funneling spending towards goods, especially tech. Apple did very well to manage the supply chain and was able to keep its products in stock far better than its competitors could.</p><p>But now, as consumer spending shifts from goods back to services like travel, dining out, and live entertainment, it&#39;s an open question whether this pace will continue. For example, the used-car market is still heavily out of whack, and consumers not wanting to deal with the supply chain and continued issues like chip shortages seem happy to direct spending towards areas less impacted.</p><p>Apple&#39;s success is one of the most thematic stories of the pandemic. A $1400 stimulus check would buy an upgraded iPhone and a few meals out, and that&#39;s exactly what many consumers seemed to do in 2021 as AAPL&#39;s earnings nearly doubled from pre-pandemic levels. But the history of AAPL will tell you that it&#39;s a cyclical stock, and earnings are more than capable of falling. Apple is doing well financially, but the assumptions being made about the company&#39;s future growth by retail investors are not realistic and were likely driven by a massive rush of stimulus in 2021, rather than long-term, sustainable business fundamentals. Bulls want Apple&#39;s growth to be secular, while the bears&#39; argument is that like many other pandemic winners, Apple&#39;s growth trajectory was simply pulled forward by the pandemic, not permanently increased.</p><p><b>Does AAPL&#39;s Valuation Make Sense?</b></p><p>Not really.</p><p>A basic test when analyzing a stock that has gone up a lot over the past few years is to see if the change in price has been primarily driven by earnings (business success), or if the multiple investors are willing to payhas expanded (speculation). Sometimes stocks can change the narrative and find new ways to grow, and end up deserving a higher multiple. More commonly, investors and sell-side analysts fall in love with stocks and end up overpaying.</p><p>AAPL&#39;s multiple went from about 10x seven years ago to over 30x during the pandemic! This means the stock price increases have dramatically outrun their business success. Analysts make the argument that AAPL changed everything by building services revenue, but I think this is way overdone.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/59b1cd6d62f4b5b338dbd779b9aaccd2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"196\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>AAPL PE Ratio Over Time (MacroTrends)</span></p><p>But when you dig into the story of services-you realize that the growth in services is going to be seriously constrained by antitrust issues going forward. Google is now paying Apple a little less than $20 billion per year to be the default search engine in Safari. By my count, that&#39;s nearly 20% of AAPL&#39;s net income from one client,which just so happens to be another massive tech company less than a 20 minutes drive away!</p><p>Monetizing the services platform sounds great on quarterly conference calls. But do the US or EU governments agree that the App Store monopoly or these types of arrangements with competitors are okay to have in a democracy? They generally don&#39;t, and antitrust cases will be a mounting drain on Apple&#39;s resources to defend. There&#39;s an index called the Herfindahl-Hirschman Index (HHI) that provides clues. Governments use the HHI to determine when to launch antitrust lawsuits against companies, and studies show that this index is useful in multiple ways at predicting when companies will underperform. It&#39;s used both to gauge anticompetitive incentives in the marketplace and alternately, to gauge index concentration in the S&amp;P 500 (SPY). What does this mean?</p><ul><li>High HHI predicts low future returns for Big Tech.</li><li>HHI for tech, in general, has risen dramatically over the past 10 years.</li><li>Antitrust action isbad for future stock returns.</li></ul><p>Apple&#39;s services business is a great profit center, but it&#39;s not something that is going to double every 3-4 years going forward. Their revenue from services could easily stagnate as the enforcement environment for antitrust heats up.</p><p><b>Will Apple Beat Earnings?</b></p><p>For the quarter? Probably. But going forward, the picture is much murkier.</p><p>Apple is expected to report $1.15 in quarterly earnings on Thursday. Like almost all tech companies, this number is somewhat sandbagged, so AAPL should report a &#34;beat&#34; of at least 2-3 cents. But the more interesting question is what will happen 6-12 months down the road. Apple so far has declined to give earnings guidance since the pandemic. I believe this is a serious mistake given that it removes transparency from the marketplace and is causing retail investors to chase mania and hype.</p><p>Wall Street analysts expect 9% earnings growth for FY 2022, 6% for 2023, and 4% for 2024. Given that AAPL is trading for 25x earnings at the moment, this isn&#39;t giving you much of a margin of safety. There are so many disconnects with Apple stock, but this is one of the larger ones. The great thing about Apple was as much as the company had gone up over time, the stock was relatively cheap. This all changed in the summer/fall of 2019 and accelerated into the pandemic when AAPL stock quadrupled. Earnings increased 2x, but for the stock to go up over 4x makes a prima facie case that some real business success got whipped up into hype.</p><p><b>What Is Apple&#39;s Long-Term Outlook?</b></p><p>AAPL will likely be fine in the long run. But if you&#39;re buying the stock now, I believe you&#39;re overpaying. Earnings are at a cyclical peak and are likely to decline, and when this happens, the multiple is going to need to come back closer to its historical range.</p><p>This isn&#39;t an exact science, but a 20% decrease in earnings to $5 or so and a 20% decrease in the PE multiple to around 20x implies a price target for AAPL of around $100. The pendulum tends to swing the other way on the downside, and I wouldn&#39;t be surprised to see this stock at $80 if the hype fades away (note that AAPL would be nicely undervalued at that price). If you have a very long timeframe, I think you&#39;ll make money in AAPL. But the current price doesn&#39;t make much sense. You&#39;re looking at a total return of perhaps 5-6% annually by buying at today&#39;s price, less than the market at large and far less than you could make if you were willing to take time and dig into the financials of the companies you invest in.</p><p><b>Is AAPL A Buy, Sell, Or Hold?</b></p><p>I believe AAPL is a sell here.</p><p>This is a uniquely wild week for stocks. We have the Fed meeting at 2:00 PM Eastern on Wednesday, and it&#39;s coming before an onslaught of Big Tech earnings, including Microsoft (MSFT), Amazon (AMZN), and of course, Apple.</p><p>I&#39;ve covered this several times before, but 2021 was the best year ever for corporate profits in the US, smashing 2019&#39;s record by roughly 30%. So far, Wall Street is operating under the assumption that corporate profits will be permanently higher than they were pre-pandemic. However, unless you believe government money printing is a cheat code to prosperity, this almost certainly is not true. This week could very well be when the easy-street perception is truly shattered for stocks.</p><p>So far, the entire move down in stocks has come from market participants lowering the multiples on stocks, rather than analysts marking down earnings estimates. If the current crop of Big Tech companies ends up showing that their earnings are cyclical in the end and they can&#39;t grow EPS at double-digit compound annual rates going forward, there is a serious shoe to drop in the market. Look at the gap here between discount rates and earnings from Bridgewater from a few weeks ago-something has to give.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d8d1baea32d8a2952f28991aee1a11f7\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"520\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Fed Vs. Earnings (Bridgewater)</span></p><p>The market is uniquely vulnerable this week because the Fed is going to hike rates another 75 basis points or more, and then Big Tech companies report earnings. If the Fed comes out much more hawkish than expected and Big Tech comes out afterward on Wednesday and Thursday and whiffs on earnings, it&#39;s checkmate for the current rally in stocks. It&#39;s not certain that this will happen, but rarely is there such a clear path to stocks being routed like this in such a short period of time.</p><p><b>Bottom Line</b></p><p>Nothing is certain in the stock market, but Apple&#39;s stock has increasingly come unhinged from its business, not much different than how the price of drinks did at the Dow Jones bar years ago in Spain. Apple is far from the only company to have this happen during the past couple of years, but the popularity of the stock makes Apple one of the more thematic examples of this trend. Apple&#39;s last two quarters haven&#39;t been great, and I think the stock is quite vulnerable here. Don&#39;t buy this stock, and sell some if you own it. I get that Apple shareholders have done extremely well over the years, but the choice is clear. Diversify some money out of Apple, pay some capital gains taxes, and put the money to work anywhere else in areas where valuations are more in line with fundamentals.</p><p><i>This article was written by Logan Kane</i></p><p><i>This article is for reference only</i></p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is Apple Stock A Buy Before Upcoming Earnings?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs Apple Stock A Buy Before Upcoming Earnings?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-26 07:53 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4525564-is-apple-stock-buy-before-upcoming-earnings><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryEarnings season hits its peak this week. Apple reports earnings after the bell on Thursday, July 28th.It's a do-or-die moment for the stock market. The FOMC meeting wraps up on Wednesday before...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4525564-is-apple-stock-buy-before-upcoming-earnings\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4525564-is-apple-stock-buy-before-upcoming-earnings","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2254859517","content_text":"SummaryEarnings season hits its peak this week. Apple reports earnings after the bell on Thursday, July 28th.It's a do-or-die moment for the stock market. The FOMC meeting wraps up on Wednesday before a rush of Big Tech earnings reports.Why Apple is one of the most thematic stocks of 2022, and why I think the market is uniquely vulnerable to being routed this week.Apple comes to the corporate confessional booth after the bell Thursday. but will the stock deliver? We consider the angles.Pasticcio/iStock via Getty ImagesStudying abroad in Barcelona a few years back, there was a bar popular with American and British students called Dow Jones. At the bar, the price of drinks rose and fell like the stock market. When prices werehigh, you were better off sitting tight. When prices crashed, it was time to buy. Of course, at Dow Jones, most everyone got drunk and wandered off at the end of the night empty-handed. Lo and behold, the pandemic came out of nowhere a few years later, and $5+ trillion in stimulus and QE turned the global market for stocks and housing into the Dow Jones bar. To this point, Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL) reports earnings Thursday of this week after skyrocketing in price during the pandemic. As the most popular stock among retail investors, Apple's business success in its Q3 fiscal quarter earnings will be an important litmus test for whether the pandemic bull market was for real or was only a temporary high driven by government borrowing and fiscal stimulus. Up until late fall, Apple looked invincible, but investors are starting to question the status quo rather than accept it at face value.Data by YChartsAs of my writing this, AAPL has spun up to $154, making this the third sharp rally in the last six months. But every time this has happened, the stock has sold off right back to where it came from and made a new low.Data by YChartsLet's look at the fundamentals.Is Apple Doing Well Financially?Yes, but is the current pace sustainable?Apple did extraordinarily well financially during the pandemic. Consumers were stuck at home and got hefty amounts of stimulus, funneling spending towards goods, especially tech. Apple did very well to manage the supply chain and was able to keep its products in stock far better than its competitors could.But now, as consumer spending shifts from goods back to services like travel, dining out, and live entertainment, it's an open question whether this pace will continue. For example, the used-car market is still heavily out of whack, and consumers not wanting to deal with the supply chain and continued issues like chip shortages seem happy to direct spending towards areas less impacted.Apple's success is one of the most thematic stories of the pandemic. A $1400 stimulus check would buy an upgraded iPhone and a few meals out, and that's exactly what many consumers seemed to do in 2021 as AAPL's earnings nearly doubled from pre-pandemic levels. But the history of AAPL will tell you that it's a cyclical stock, and earnings are more than capable of falling. Apple is doing well financially, but the assumptions being made about the company's future growth by retail investors are not realistic and were likely driven by a massive rush of stimulus in 2021, rather than long-term, sustainable business fundamentals. Bulls want Apple's growth to be secular, while the bears' argument is that like many other pandemic winners, Apple's growth trajectory was simply pulled forward by the pandemic, not permanently increased.Does AAPL's Valuation Make Sense?Not really.A basic test when analyzing a stock that has gone up a lot over the past few years is to see if the change in price has been primarily driven by earnings (business success), or if the multiple investors are willing to payhas expanded (speculation). Sometimes stocks can change the narrative and find new ways to grow, and end up deserving a higher multiple. More commonly, investors and sell-side analysts fall in love with stocks and end up overpaying.AAPL's multiple went from about 10x seven years ago to over 30x during the pandemic! This means the stock price increases have dramatically outrun their business success. Analysts make the argument that AAPL changed everything by building services revenue, but I think this is way overdone.AAPL PE Ratio Over Time (MacroTrends)But when you dig into the story of services-you realize that the growth in services is going to be seriously constrained by antitrust issues going forward. Google is now paying Apple a little less than $20 billion per year to be the default search engine in Safari. By my count, that's nearly 20% of AAPL's net income from one client,which just so happens to be another massive tech company less than a 20 minutes drive away!Monetizing the services platform sounds great on quarterly conference calls. But do the US or EU governments agree that the App Store monopoly or these types of arrangements with competitors are okay to have in a democracy? They generally don't, and antitrust cases will be a mounting drain on Apple's resources to defend. There's an index called the Herfindahl-Hirschman Index (HHI) that provides clues. Governments use the HHI to determine when to launch antitrust lawsuits against companies, and studies show that this index is useful in multiple ways at predicting when companies will underperform. It's used both to gauge anticompetitive incentives in the marketplace and alternately, to gauge index concentration in the S&P 500 (SPY). What does this mean?High HHI predicts low future returns for Big Tech.HHI for tech, in general, has risen dramatically over the past 10 years.Antitrust action isbad for future stock returns.Apple's services business is a great profit center, but it's not something that is going to double every 3-4 years going forward. Their revenue from services could easily stagnate as the enforcement environment for antitrust heats up.Will Apple Beat Earnings?For the quarter? Probably. But going forward, the picture is much murkier.Apple is expected to report $1.15 in quarterly earnings on Thursday. Like almost all tech companies, this number is somewhat sandbagged, so AAPL should report a \"beat\" of at least 2-3 cents. But the more interesting question is what will happen 6-12 months down the road. Apple so far has declined to give earnings guidance since the pandemic. I believe this is a serious mistake given that it removes transparency from the marketplace and is causing retail investors to chase mania and hype.Wall Street analysts expect 9% earnings growth for FY 2022, 6% for 2023, and 4% for 2024. Given that AAPL is trading for 25x earnings at the moment, this isn't giving you much of a margin of safety. There are so many disconnects with Apple stock, but this is one of the larger ones. The great thing about Apple was as much as the company had gone up over time, the stock was relatively cheap. This all changed in the summer/fall of 2019 and accelerated into the pandemic when AAPL stock quadrupled. Earnings increased 2x, but for the stock to go up over 4x makes a prima facie case that some real business success got whipped up into hype.What Is Apple's Long-Term Outlook?AAPL will likely be fine in the long run. But if you're buying the stock now, I believe you're overpaying. Earnings are at a cyclical peak and are likely to decline, and when this happens, the multiple is going to need to come back closer to its historical range.This isn't an exact science, but a 20% decrease in earnings to $5 or so and a 20% decrease in the PE multiple to around 20x implies a price target for AAPL of around $100. The pendulum tends to swing the other way on the downside, and I wouldn't be surprised to see this stock at $80 if the hype fades away (note that AAPL would be nicely undervalued at that price). If you have a very long timeframe, I think you'll make money in AAPL. But the current price doesn't make much sense. You're looking at a total return of perhaps 5-6% annually by buying at today's price, less than the market at large and far less than you could make if you were willing to take time and dig into the financials of the companies you invest in.Is AAPL A Buy, Sell, Or Hold?I believe AAPL is a sell here.This is a uniquely wild week for stocks. We have the Fed meeting at 2:00 PM Eastern on Wednesday, and it's coming before an onslaught of Big Tech earnings, including Microsoft (MSFT), Amazon (AMZN), and of course, Apple.I've covered this several times before, but 2021 was the best year ever for corporate profits in the US, smashing 2019's record by roughly 30%. So far, Wall Street is operating under the assumption that corporate profits will be permanently higher than they were pre-pandemic. However, unless you believe government money printing is a cheat code to prosperity, this almost certainly is not true. This week could very well be when the easy-street perception is truly shattered for stocks.So far, the entire move down in stocks has come from market participants lowering the multiples on stocks, rather than analysts marking down earnings estimates. If the current crop of Big Tech companies ends up showing that their earnings are cyclical in the end and they can't grow EPS at double-digit compound annual rates going forward, there is a serious shoe to drop in the market. Look at the gap here between discount rates and earnings from Bridgewater from a few weeks ago-something has to give.Fed Vs. Earnings (Bridgewater)The market is uniquely vulnerable this week because the Fed is going to hike rates another 75 basis points or more, and then Big Tech companies report earnings. If the Fed comes out much more hawkish than expected and Big Tech comes out afterward on Wednesday and Thursday and whiffs on earnings, it's checkmate for the current rally in stocks. It's not certain that this will happen, but rarely is there such a clear path to stocks being routed like this in such a short period of time.Bottom LineNothing is certain in the stock market, but Apple's stock has increasingly come unhinged from its business, not much different than how the price of drinks did at the Dow Jones bar years ago in Spain. Apple is far from the only company to have this happen during the past couple of years, but the popularity of the stock makes Apple one of the more thematic examples of this trend. Apple's last two quarters haven't been great, and I think the stock is quite vulnerable here. Don't buy this stock, and sell some if you own it. I get that Apple shareholders have done extremely well over the years, but the choice is clear. Diversify some money out of Apple, pay some capital gains taxes, and put the money to work anywhere else in areas where valuations are more in line with fundamentals.This article was written by Logan KaneThis article is for reference only","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":399,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9059738338,"gmtCreate":1654428417124,"gmtModify":1676535446306,"author":{"id":"4087524360121530","authorId":"4087524360121530","name":"JoeKun","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a543b7a138549431b97b6bee2bc9e956","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087524360121530","idStr":"4087524360121530"},"themes":[],"title":"Day Trading Introduction","htmlText":"There was a time years ago when the only people able to trade actively in the stock market were those working for large financial institutions, brokerages, and trading houses. However, over the past 25 years, developments such as the growth of discount brokerages and online trading, coupled with instantaneous dissemination of news worldwide and very low commissions, have leveled the playing—or should we say trading—field. In recent years, the popularity of trading platforms like Robinhood and 0% commissions have made it easier than ever for retail investors to attempt to trade like the pros.Day trading can turn out to be a lucrative career (as long as you do it properly). But it can also be a little challenging for novices—especially those who aren’t fully prepared with a well-planned stra","listText":"There was a time years ago when the only people able to trade actively in the stock market were those working for large financial institutions, brokerages, and trading houses. However, over the past 25 years, developments such as the growth of discount brokerages and online trading, coupled with instantaneous dissemination of news worldwide and very low commissions, have leveled the playing—or should we say trading—field. In recent years, the popularity of trading platforms like Robinhood and 0% commissions have made it easier than ever for retail investors to attempt to trade like the pros.Day trading can turn out to be a lucrative career (as long as you do it properly). But it can also be a little challenging for novices—especially those who aren’t fully prepared with a well-planned stra","text":"There was a time years ago when the only people able to trade actively in the stock market were those working for large financial institutions, brokerages, and trading houses. However, over the past 25 years, developments such as the growth of discount brokerages and online trading, coupled with instantaneous dissemination of news worldwide and very low commissions, have leveled the playing—or should we say trading—field. In recent years, the popularity of trading platforms like Robinhood and 0% commissions have made it easier than ever for retail investors to attempt to trade like the pros.Day trading can turn out to be a lucrative career (as long as you do it properly). But it can also be a little challenging for novices—especially those who aren’t fully prepared with a well-planned stra","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":32,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9059738338","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":764,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4091798526384710","authorId":"4091798526384710","name":"DragonTycoon","avatar":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/8af6e712e5444b40a3791ba5e8d75035","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"4091798526384710","idStr":"4091798526384710"},"content":"day trading can be very lucrative when done successfully you need to have nerves of steel and ice in your veins otherwise if done wrongly can lead to great losses leave your emotions behind","text":"day trading can be very lucrative when done successfully you need to have nerves of steel and ice in your veins otherwise if done wrongly can lead to great losses leave your emotions behind","html":"day trading can be very lucrative when done successfully you need to have nerves of steel and ice in your veins otherwise if done wrongly can lead to great losses leave your emotions behind"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9053159685,"gmtCreate":1654502931847,"gmtModify":1676535458660,"author":{"id":"4087524360121530","authorId":"4087524360121530","name":"JoeKun","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a543b7a138549431b97b6bee2bc9e956","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087524360121530","idStr":"4087524360121530"},"themes":[],"title":"Moving Average Line","htmlText":"The moving average (MA) is a straightforward technical analysis tool that smooths out price data by calculating an average price that is constantly updated. The average is calculated over a set length of time, such as 10 days, 20 minutes, 30 weeks, or any other time period selected by the trader. There are benefits to employing a moving average in your trading, as well as many types of moving averages to choose from.Moving average methods are also popular and can be customized to any time frame, making them suitable for both long and short-term investors and traders.A moving average (MA) is a popular technical indicator for smoothing out price patterns by removing noise from short-term price swings.Moving averages can be built in a variety of methods and with varying amounts of days for th","listText":"The moving average (MA) is a straightforward technical analysis tool that smooths out price data by calculating an average price that is constantly updated. The average is calculated over a set length of time, such as 10 days, 20 minutes, 30 weeks, or any other time period selected by the trader. There are benefits to employing a moving average in your trading, as well as many types of moving averages to choose from.Moving average methods are also popular and can be customized to any time frame, making them suitable for both long and short-term investors and traders.A moving average (MA) is a popular technical indicator for smoothing out price patterns by removing noise from short-term price swings.Moving averages can be built in a variety of methods and with varying amounts of days for th","text":"The moving average (MA) is a straightforward technical analysis tool that smooths out price data by calculating an average price that is constantly updated. The average is calculated over a set length of time, such as 10 days, 20 minutes, 30 weeks, or any other time period selected by the trader. There are benefits to employing a moving average in your trading, as well as many types of moving averages to choose from.Moving average methods are also popular and can be customized to any time frame, making them suitable for both long and short-term investors and traders.A moving average (MA) is a popular technical indicator for smoothing out price patterns by removing noise from short-term price swings.Moving averages can be built in a variety of methods and with varying amounts of days for th","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":29,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9053159685","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":578,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000350","authorId":"9000000000000350","name":"WendyDelia","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/36f25b4af7998a90a0205e568a910bb3","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000350","idStr":"9000000000000350"},"content":"MA is a great tech indicator. Do you know GMMA and do you use it?","text":"MA is a great tech indicator. Do you know GMMA and do you use it?","html":"MA is a great tech indicator. Do you know GMMA and do you use it?"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9059734946,"gmtCreate":1654429619186,"gmtModify":1676535446398,"author":{"id":"4087524360121530","authorId":"4087524360121530","name":"JoeKun","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a543b7a138549431b97b6bee2bc9e956","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087524360121530","idStr":"4087524360121530"},"themes":[],"title":"10 Days Trading Strategy For Beginner","htmlText":"The act of buying and selling a financial instrument on the same day, or numerous times throughout the day, is known as day trading. If done correctly, taking advantage of modest price movements can be a rewarding game. However, it can be harmful for rookies and anyone who does not follow a well-planned approach.The huge volume of trades generated by day trading does not fit all brokers. Some, on the other hand, are ideal for day traders. Check out our list of the finest day trading brokers to see which ones accept day traders.Interactive Brokers and Tiger Brokers, two of the online brokers on my list, offer professional or advanced editions of their platforms that include real-time streaming quotes, extensive charting tools, and the ability to quickly place and alter complex orders.We'll","listText":"The act of buying and selling a financial instrument on the same day, or numerous times throughout the day, is known as day trading. If done correctly, taking advantage of modest price movements can be a rewarding game. However, it can be harmful for rookies and anyone who does not follow a well-planned approach.The huge volume of trades generated by day trading does not fit all brokers. Some, on the other hand, are ideal for day traders. Check out our list of the finest day trading brokers to see which ones accept day traders.Interactive Brokers and Tiger Brokers, two of the online brokers on my list, offer professional or advanced editions of their platforms that include real-time streaming quotes, extensive charting tools, and the ability to quickly place and alter complex orders.We'll","text":"The act of buying and selling a financial instrument on the same day, or numerous times throughout the day, is known as day trading. If done correctly, taking advantage of modest price movements can be a rewarding game. However, it can be harmful for rookies and anyone who does not follow a well-planned approach.The huge volume of trades generated by day trading does not fit all brokers. Some, on the other hand, are ideal for day traders. Check out our list of the finest day trading brokers to see which ones accept day traders.Interactive Brokers and Tiger Brokers, two of the online brokers on my list, offer professional or advanced editions of their platforms that include real-time streaming quotes, extensive charting tools, and the ability to quickly place and alter complex orders.We'll","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":16,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9059734946","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":466,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000167","authorId":"9000000000000167","name":"JohnMitchell","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f348ed259c16ca350a06124ce87ee8bb","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000167","idStr":"9000000000000167"},"content":"Thanks for sharing. Day trading is very important at the moment. Can you please share more?","text":"Thanks for sharing. Day trading is very important at the moment. Can you please share more?","html":"Thanks for sharing. Day trading is very important at the moment. Can you please share more?"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9035249673,"gmtCreate":1647616612618,"gmtModify":1676534251390,"author":{"id":"4087524360121530","authorId":"4087524360121530","name":"JoeKun","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a543b7a138549431b97b6bee2bc9e956","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087524360121530","idStr":"4087524360121530"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":13,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9035249673","repostId":"1165847563","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1165847563","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1647616101,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1165847563?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-03-18 23:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Berkshire-Backed StoneCo Issued a Bullish Outlook. The Stock Soared Nearly 40%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1165847563","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Shares of Brazilian payment processor StoneCo were skyrocketing Friday after Citigroup upgraded the ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Shares of Brazilian payment processor StoneCo were skyrocketing Friday after Citigroup upgraded the stock, citing an attractive valuation and the company’s strong outlook for the first quarter.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/67ae6f7ed374b8fdd6f524db52d21042\" tg-width=\"707\" tg-height=\"611\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Citigroup analyst Gabriel Gusan upgraded shares of the Berkshire Hathaway-backed stock to a Buy from Neutral with a $15 price target, down from $18.</p><p>“We think valuation looks attractive, as we believe positive trends for the business such as take rate expansion and strong client additions indicate stronger short-term results than market expected, which was corroborated by the guidance for 1Q22 and positive message for 2022,” Gusan wrote in a research note on Friday.</p><p>StoneCo (ticker: STNE) said it expects total revenue and income to grow between 113% and 119% year over year during the first quarter of 2022, ranging between1.85 billion Brazilian reals ($366.4 million) and 1.9 billion reals ($376.3 million). Analysts polled by FactSet were expecting first-quarter sales to clock in at $344.5 million.</p><p>StoneCo also said it was working to improve margins throughout 2022. The company has worked on repricing its software offerings, and said it was becoming more efficient with expense management as segments mature.</p><p>Berkshire Hathaway owns about 4% of StoneCo, according to FactSet. Cathie Wood’s Ark Invest owns a 1% stake.</p><p>The stock has been battered over the last 12 months, losing about 80% amid a selloff of global fintech stocks and disappointing performance that impacted the company’s profitability, Gusan said.</p><p>“We lost some focus and execution precision, and as a result our performance suffered, and our profitability declined,” said CEO Thiago Piau. “2021 was not our best year. Period.”</p><p>Even so, the company ended the year on a high note, wrote Susquehanna analyst James Friedman. Revenue increased by 87% year over year to 1.87 billion reals ($369.3 million), which Friedman said “reflects improved execution not contemplated in the depressed share price.” The figure beat consensus estimates for $339 million. Earnings per share were 3 cents, in line with expectations.</p><p>Friedman also was encouraged by the increasing percentage of recently acquired Linx software payments converting to consolidated revenue for StoneCo.</p><p>Friedman maintained a Positive rating and $28 price target on the stock, while raising estimates for 2023.</p><p>“We maintain the multiple based on the potential for margin expansion after rate hikes stop and Linx has been fully integrated,” he wrote in a research note on Friday.</p><p>Citi’s Gusan said the results reflected marginal improvement amid a challenging scenario, but believes “there are signs of a slightly better future.”</p><p>Evercore ISI analyst Sheriq Sumar was more cautious, maintaining a Hold rating and $14 price target. Although revenue outperformed estimates, earnings per share fell short of his forecasts, he wrote in a research note to investors. He believes the company’s rate hikes could slow the pace of net additions in the first quarter, but it could improve profitability.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Berkshire-Backed StoneCo Issued a Bullish Outlook. The Stock Soared Nearly 40%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBerkshire-Backed StoneCo Issued a Bullish Outlook. The Stock Soared Nearly 40%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-03-18 23:08</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Shares of Brazilian payment processor StoneCo were skyrocketing Friday after Citigroup upgraded the stock, citing an attractive valuation and the company’s strong outlook for the first quarter.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/67ae6f7ed374b8fdd6f524db52d21042\" tg-width=\"707\" tg-height=\"611\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Citigroup analyst Gabriel Gusan upgraded shares of the Berkshire Hathaway-backed stock to a Buy from Neutral with a $15 price target, down from $18.</p><p>“We think valuation looks attractive, as we believe positive trends for the business such as take rate expansion and strong client additions indicate stronger short-term results than market expected, which was corroborated by the guidance for 1Q22 and positive message for 2022,” Gusan wrote in a research note on Friday.</p><p>StoneCo (ticker: STNE) said it expects total revenue and income to grow between 113% and 119% year over year during the first quarter of 2022, ranging between1.85 billion Brazilian reals ($366.4 million) and 1.9 billion reals ($376.3 million). Analysts polled by FactSet were expecting first-quarter sales to clock in at $344.5 million.</p><p>StoneCo also said it was working to improve margins throughout 2022. The company has worked on repricing its software offerings, and said it was becoming more efficient with expense management as segments mature.</p><p>Berkshire Hathaway owns about 4% of StoneCo, according to FactSet. Cathie Wood’s Ark Invest owns a 1% stake.</p><p>The stock has been battered over the last 12 months, losing about 80% amid a selloff of global fintech stocks and disappointing performance that impacted the company’s profitability, Gusan said.</p><p>“We lost some focus and execution precision, and as a result our performance suffered, and our profitability declined,” said CEO Thiago Piau. “2021 was not our best year. Period.”</p><p>Even so, the company ended the year on a high note, wrote Susquehanna analyst James Friedman. Revenue increased by 87% year over year to 1.87 billion reals ($369.3 million), which Friedman said “reflects improved execution not contemplated in the depressed share price.” The figure beat consensus estimates for $339 million. Earnings per share were 3 cents, in line with expectations.</p><p>Friedman also was encouraged by the increasing percentage of recently acquired Linx software payments converting to consolidated revenue for StoneCo.</p><p>Friedman maintained a Positive rating and $28 price target on the stock, while raising estimates for 2023.</p><p>“We maintain the multiple based on the potential for margin expansion after rate hikes stop and Linx has been fully integrated,” he wrote in a research note on Friday.</p><p>Citi’s Gusan said the results reflected marginal improvement amid a challenging scenario, but believes “there are signs of a slightly better future.”</p><p>Evercore ISI analyst Sheriq Sumar was more cautious, maintaining a Hold rating and $14 price target. Although revenue outperformed estimates, earnings per share fell short of his forecasts, he wrote in a research note to investors. He believes the company’s rate hikes could slow the pace of net additions in the first quarter, but it could improve profitability.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"STNE":"StoneCo"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1165847563","content_text":"Shares of Brazilian payment processor StoneCo were skyrocketing Friday after Citigroup upgraded the stock, citing an attractive valuation and the company’s strong outlook for the first quarter.Citigroup analyst Gabriel Gusan upgraded shares of the Berkshire Hathaway-backed stock to a Buy from Neutral with a $15 price target, down from $18.“We think valuation looks attractive, as we believe positive trends for the business such as take rate expansion and strong client additions indicate stronger short-term results than market expected, which was corroborated by the guidance for 1Q22 and positive message for 2022,” Gusan wrote in a research note on Friday.StoneCo (ticker: STNE) said it expects total revenue and income to grow between 113% and 119% year over year during the first quarter of 2022, ranging between1.85 billion Brazilian reals ($366.4 million) and 1.9 billion reals ($376.3 million). Analysts polled by FactSet were expecting first-quarter sales to clock in at $344.5 million.StoneCo also said it was working to improve margins throughout 2022. The company has worked on repricing its software offerings, and said it was becoming more efficient with expense management as segments mature.Berkshire Hathaway owns about 4% of StoneCo, according to FactSet. Cathie Wood’s Ark Invest owns a 1% stake.The stock has been battered over the last 12 months, losing about 80% amid a selloff of global fintech stocks and disappointing performance that impacted the company’s profitability, Gusan said.“We lost some focus and execution precision, and as a result our performance suffered, and our profitability declined,” said CEO Thiago Piau. “2021 was not our best year. Period.”Even so, the company ended the year on a high note, wrote Susquehanna analyst James Friedman. Revenue increased by 87% year over year to 1.87 billion reals ($369.3 million), which Friedman said “reflects improved execution not contemplated in the depressed share price.” The figure beat consensus estimates for $339 million. Earnings per share were 3 cents, in line with expectations.Friedman also was encouraged by the increasing percentage of recently acquired Linx software payments converting to consolidated revenue for StoneCo.Friedman maintained a Positive rating and $28 price target on the stock, while raising estimates for 2023.“We maintain the multiple based on the potential for margin expansion after rate hikes stop and Linx has been fully integrated,” he wrote in a research note on Friday.Citi’s Gusan said the results reflected marginal improvement amid a challenging scenario, but believes “there are signs of a slightly better future.”Evercore ISI analyst Sheriq Sumar was more cautious, maintaining a Hold rating and $14 price target. Although revenue outperformed estimates, earnings per share fell short of his forecasts, he wrote in a research note to investors. He believes the company’s rate hikes could slow the pace of net additions in the first quarter, but it could improve profitability.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":39,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9021745022,"gmtCreate":1653107418766,"gmtModify":1676535226191,"author":{"id":"4087524360121530","authorId":"4087524360121530","name":"JoeKun","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a543b7a138549431b97b6bee2bc9e956","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087524360121530","idStr":"4087524360121530"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9021745022","repostId":"2236012808","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2236012808","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1653089869,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2236012808?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-21 07:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"It's Down Almost 40% Year to Date -- Should Investors Buy Tesla Stock?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2236012808","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"As the broader market continues to fall, some investors may view the EV leader's stock slump as a buying opportunity. Are they right?","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>After joining the $1 trillion market capitalization club at the end of 2021, shares of electric vehicle (EV) juggernaut <b>Tesla</b> have shifted into reverse. Between macroeconomic headwinds like 40-year-high inflation, the Fed&#39;s consequent move to raise interest rates, and concerns about the war between Russia and Ukraine, the stock market has been in quite the frenzy.</p><p>Many high-growth stocks, Tesla included, have been humbled lately as investors seek protection by shifting their attention to value companies and safer assets. CEO Elon Musk&#39;s move to potentially acquire <b>Twitter</b> certainly hasn&#39;t aided the company&#39;s case, either. With uncertainty around whether or not the deal will actually close, investors have raced to dump shares of the EV leader.</p><p>But in terms of fundamentals, Tesla continues to look dominant. The company is rapidly expanding its business on all fronts and has strengthened its balance sheet and cash generation in the process. With the stock down almost 40% year to date, should investors pull the trigger on buying Tesla today?</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ecb47944e9c0966d2182e999d9a81cba\"/><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p><h2>Fundamentals aren&#39;t the problem</h2><p>In a quarter when investors weren&#39;t sure what to expect due to COVID-19-related shutdowns at Tesla&#39;s Shanghai factory, the EV leader delivered, and it delivered big. The company&#39;s $18.8 billion in total sales, which climbed 81% year over year, beat Wall Street expectations by $918 million. Likewise, its non-GAAP earnings per share of $3.22, equal to 246% growth, crushed consensus estimates by a whopping 42%.</p><p>To top off a record quarter, the Musk-led enterprise grew total production and vehicle deliveries by a respective 69% and 68%, producing 305,407 vehicles and delivering 310,048. Per management&#39;s guidance, investors can expect the company to achieve 50% average annual growth in deliveries over a multi-year time horizon. In fiscal 2022, analysts are modeling a top line and adjusted bottom line of $86.5 billion and $12.32/share, translating to robust year-over-year ascents of 61% and 82%, respectively.</p><p>Amid such incredible growth, the company&#39;s balance sheet and cash generation are equally thriving. In its latest quarter, the EV commander revealed that total debt excluding vehicle and energy product financing fell below $100 million. The company is manifesting the &#34;cash is king&#34; mantra as well: In the first quarter, free cash flow surged an astonishing 660% to $2.2 billion. Provided that the global EV market is projected to expand at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 25% through 2028 to nearly $1 trillion, it could be said with exceedingly high confidence that Tesla is poised for more success in the coming years.</p><h2>Tesla&#39;s valuation is still high</h2><p>Even without context, though, Tesla&#39;s valuation is extremely high. The stock is trading at 98.2 times earnings at the moment, an extremely lofty multiple even post-correction.</p><p>Comparing the EV behemoth to other automobile manufacturers further underscores its expensive stock price. As seen in the below chart, competitors <b>General Motors </b>(GM 0.81%), <b>Ford</b> (F 0.55%), and <b>Toyota </b>(TM 0.26%) have price-to-earnings multiples of 6.2, 4.6, and 7.9, respectively. Whether or not Tesla deserves a premium valuation is a frequent debate among the bulls and the bears. However, it&#39;s rather indisputable that the EV stock is richly priced. It would take a major share price collapse for Tesla to truly be considered cheap.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4664e23d164238b9ae09f5957b8e89b9\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"387\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>TSLA PE Ratio data by YCharts</span></p><h2>Should investors buy the stock now?</h2><p>Tesla&#39;s pullback has certainly grabbed my attention -- the company is the unequivocal pacesetter in the EV market, an industry that is still in the earlier innings of development. That said, the company&#39;s valuation isn&#39;t exactly attractive yet, and it would take far more downward pressure to make the stock appear cheap. Investors should keep a close eye on Tesla moving forward, as there&#39;s surely a chance it&#39;ll continue on a downward path in the periods ahead.</p><p>While it&#39;s a fantastic company and a sure winner in the EV space, I don&#39;t suggest buying the stock just yet. Take advantage of the recent tech sell-off and look for other companies that carry more enticing valuations today.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>It's Down Almost 40% Year to Date -- Should Investors Buy Tesla Stock?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIt's Down Almost 40% Year to Date -- Should Investors Buy Tesla Stock?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-05-21 07:37 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/05/20/its-down-almost-40-year-to-date-should-investors-b/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>After joining the $1 trillion market capitalization club at the end of 2021, shares of electric vehicle (EV) juggernaut Tesla have shifted into reverse. Between macroeconomic headwinds like 40-year-...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/05/20/its-down-almost-40-year-to-date-should-investors-b/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/05/20/its-down-almost-40-year-to-date-should-investors-b/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2236012808","content_text":"After joining the $1 trillion market capitalization club at the end of 2021, shares of electric vehicle (EV) juggernaut Tesla have shifted into reverse. Between macroeconomic headwinds like 40-year-high inflation, the Fed's consequent move to raise interest rates, and concerns about the war between Russia and Ukraine, the stock market has been in quite the frenzy.Many high-growth stocks, Tesla included, have been humbled lately as investors seek protection by shifting their attention to value companies and safer assets. CEO Elon Musk's move to potentially acquire Twitter certainly hasn't aided the company's case, either. With uncertainty around whether or not the deal will actually close, investors have raced to dump shares of the EV leader.But in terms of fundamentals, Tesla continues to look dominant. The company is rapidly expanding its business on all fronts and has strengthened its balance sheet and cash generation in the process. With the stock down almost 40% year to date, should investors pull the trigger on buying Tesla today?Image source: Getty Images.Fundamentals aren't the problemIn a quarter when investors weren't sure what to expect due to COVID-19-related shutdowns at Tesla's Shanghai factory, the EV leader delivered, and it delivered big. The company's $18.8 billion in total sales, which climbed 81% year over year, beat Wall Street expectations by $918 million. Likewise, its non-GAAP earnings per share of $3.22, equal to 246% growth, crushed consensus estimates by a whopping 42%.To top off a record quarter, the Musk-led enterprise grew total production and vehicle deliveries by a respective 69% and 68%, producing 305,407 vehicles and delivering 310,048. Per management's guidance, investors can expect the company to achieve 50% average annual growth in deliveries over a multi-year time horizon. In fiscal 2022, analysts are modeling a top line and adjusted bottom line of $86.5 billion and $12.32/share, translating to robust year-over-year ascents of 61% and 82%, respectively.Amid such incredible growth, the company's balance sheet and cash generation are equally thriving. In its latest quarter, the EV commander revealed that total debt excluding vehicle and energy product financing fell below $100 million. The company is manifesting the \"cash is king\" mantra as well: In the first quarter, free cash flow surged an astonishing 660% to $2.2 billion. Provided that the global EV market is projected to expand at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 25% through 2028 to nearly $1 trillion, it could be said with exceedingly high confidence that Tesla is poised for more success in the coming years.Tesla's valuation is still highEven without context, though, Tesla's valuation is extremely high. The stock is trading at 98.2 times earnings at the moment, an extremely lofty multiple even post-correction.Comparing the EV behemoth to other automobile manufacturers further underscores its expensive stock price. As seen in the below chart, competitors General Motors (GM 0.81%), Ford (F 0.55%), and Toyota (TM 0.26%) have price-to-earnings multiples of 6.2, 4.6, and 7.9, respectively. Whether or not Tesla deserves a premium valuation is a frequent debate among the bulls and the bears. However, it's rather indisputable that the EV stock is richly priced. It would take a major share price collapse for Tesla to truly be considered cheap.TSLA PE Ratio data by YChartsShould investors buy the stock now?Tesla's pullback has certainly grabbed my attention -- the company is the unequivocal pacesetter in the EV market, an industry that is still in the earlier innings of development. That said, the company's valuation isn't exactly attractive yet, and it would take far more downward pressure to make the stock appear cheap. Investors should keep a close eye on Tesla moving forward, as there's surely a chance it'll continue on a downward path in the periods ahead.While it's a fantastic company and a sure winner in the EV space, I don't suggest buying the stock just yet. Take advantage of the recent tech sell-off and look for other companies that carry more enticing valuations today.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":46,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9034305705,"gmtCreate":1647784764302,"gmtModify":1676534265477,"author":{"id":"4087524360121530","authorId":"4087524360121530","name":"JoeKun","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a543b7a138549431b97b6bee2bc9e956","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087524360121530","idStr":"4087524360121530"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9034305705","repostId":"2220430742","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2220430742","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1647741823,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2220430742?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-03-20 10:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alibaba: Why I'm Not Selling A Single Share","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2220430742","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"SummaryAlibaba has been a challenging investment over the last year, dropping by as much as 77% from","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Alibaba has been a challenging investment over the last year, dropping by as much as 77% from its ATH.</li><li>Despite increasing revenues by more than tenfold, its stock price dropped down to levels not seen since its early post-IPO days.</li><li>However, things are likely to change in a big way for Alibaba investors.</li><li>Much of the transitory detrimental factors are now behind the company, and more emphasis should go towards positive developments now.</li><li>Alibaba&#39;s business remains solid, growth should resume, and the company will likely become more profitable in future years.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70ca27bada17fe6e115be1eaa4822061\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"513\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Philiphotographer/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p>I began investing in Alibaba (NYSE:BABA) in early 2015, shortly after the company IPOed in the U.S. Incidentally, I started buying the stock at a similar price point to Alibaba&#39;s recent low ($70-80). I would be lying if I said that this was not a challenging investment, but Alibaba is remarkably cheap right now. Furthermore, the ongoing concerns surrounding the company are overexaggerated. Moreover, the Chinese government is now taking market-friendly measures to stabilize markets and support stock prices. We could be looking at a tectonic shift in China, and Alibaba shares will likely get a substantial bid moving forward. Despite the recent monster 40% rebound, Alibaba remains a strong buy around the $100 level. Additionally, the company&#39;s share price should continue appreciating as we advance through 2022 and beyond and could reach $300 within the next three years.</p><p><b>Alibaba Skyrockets On Beijing News</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa856eb9a75ce4c55e67c3d28a956fd7\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"676\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>BABA (StockCharts)</span></p><p>We just saw one of the most violent up moves in history. Alibaba soared by approximately $100 billion in market cap in a single day. China will provide additional support to the Chinese economy through monetary policy, and the government reaffirmed that it supports foreign IPOs. The report also stated that China supports listings overseas and will work with the SEC to resolve any issues.</p><p>Concerns over increased regulation, possible delisting fears, and other transitory concerns led Alibaba to unprecedented declines over the last year. The stock cratered by about 77% (peak to trough) from its recent highs, illustrating one of the most significant market cap declines. Recent selling became indiscriminate and panic-driven, likely leading to one of the best buying opportunities in Alibaba&#39;s history. The most striking thing is that nothing material changed about Alibaba&#39;s business. The company&#39;s growth slowed a bit more than expected, and it&#39;s going through a transitory margin compression phase. However, this is not something that warrants a 77% decline or anything even close, and Alibaba&#39;s stock remains exceptionally cheap.</p><p><b>Alibaba Back Then And Now</b></p><p>Back then (in 2015), when I first began buying Alibaba, its stock was around $80. In recent sessions, Alibaba&#39;s stock dipped below $80 for the first time in about six years. In 2015 Alibaba&#39;s revenues were $12.3 billion, and the company recorded approximately $131.6 billion in revenues in its trailing twelve months (&#34;TTM&#34;). Its gross profit was at about $8.4 billion then, and nearly $50 billion in its TTM. I think you get the picture here. Revenues and many profitability metrics have surged in the past six years, yet Alibaba&#39;s stock price was back at its post-IPO lows in recent days. I&#39;ve written many articles on Alibaba, I own the stock, and I continue to argue that Alibaba&#39;s stock price is unjustly low and has a strong probability of moving significantly higher in future years.</p><p><b>Alibaba&#39;s Stock Is Remarkably Cheap</b></p><p>How cheap is Alibaba, even after its unprecedented 40% move higher? Consensus EPS estimates are for approximately $10 in 2023, illustrating that at $100, the stock is only trading at ten times forward EPS estimates. If we look at Alibaba&#39;s revenue projections, we see that the company should still grow revenues by 10-15% in the coming years. Moreover, Alibaba has the potential to become more profitable in future years, suggesting that its EPS projections may be muted and lowballed. The company&#39;s growth dynamic, profitability potential, and low valuation illustrate that its stock remains exceptionally cheap and has a high probability of appreciating substantially in future years.</p><p><b>The Bottom Line: Not Selling A Single Share</b></p><p>I&#39;m not selling a single Alibaba share here. As I&#39;ve written many times, Alibaba and Chinese stocks, in general, went through a transitory phase where overly negative news flow put enormous pressure on stock prices. This problematic period lasted for over one year and caused stock prices, including Alibaba&#39;s, to decline to obscenely oversold and undervalued levels. Now that the negative news is behind us, we will likely see more emphasis on positive developments regarding Alibaba. The company does not face significant threats from the regulation, and the U.S. delisting fears are overblown. Moreover, Alibaba remains a dominant, market-leading e-commerce giant that should continue growing double-digit for several years. Furthermore, the company&#39;s stock is dirt cheap right now, and Alibaba&#39;s share price will likely appreciate considerably as the company advances in future years.</p><p><b>Here&#39;s what Alibaba&#39;s financials could look like as the company moves forward into 2025:</b></p><table><tbody><tr><td>Year</td><td>2022</td><td>2023</td><td>2024</td><td>2025</td></tr><tr><td>Revenues</td><td>$151B</td><td>$167B</td><td>$184B</td><td>$203B</td></tr><tr><td>Revenue growth</td><td>15.3%</td><td>10.6%</td><td>10.2%</td><td>10.3%</td></tr><tr><td>EPS</td><td>$10.25</td><td>$10.55</td><td>$13.12</td><td>$15.85</td></tr><tr><td>Forward P/E</td><td>12</td><td>15</td><td>18</td><td>20</td></tr><tr><td>Price</td><td>$127</td><td>$197</td><td>$285</td><td>$375</td></tr></tbody></table><p>Source: The Author</p><p>As we advance, Alibaba&#39;s revenue growth should continue to expand, and the company&#39;s profitability should continue improving. Moreover, the company&#39;s transitory negative news flow stage should continue to pass. Therefore, sentiment should strengthen, and Alibaba&#39;s P/E multiple should gradually expand. It is not uncommon for companies with similar growth and profitability dynamics to trade at 20-30 times EPS estimates or higher. Thus, Alibaba should not have a problem getting back up to a 20 P/E multiple in future years. As sentiment improves, its share price could appreciate considerably in the coming years, to my price target of $375 in 2025.</p><p><b>Risks To Consider</b></p><p>While I&#39;m bullish on Alibaba, various factors could occur that may derail my expectations for the company. For instance, the regulation could clamp down further on Alibaba and other Chinese tech giants. Moreover, U.S. regulators could decide to delist the company&#39;s ADRs. Increased competition could impact Alibaba&#39;s growth and profits. The company&#39;s growth could be worse than my current anticipation. Also, Alibaba&#39;s profitability could continue to struggle for various reasons. There are multiple risks to this investment, which is why shares are very cheap right now. In my view, Alibaba remains an elevated risk/high reward investment, and investors should carefully examine the risks before opening a position in Alibaba stock.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba: Why I'm Not Selling A Single Share</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba: Why I'm Not Selling A Single Share\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-03-20 10:03 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4496224-alibaba-why-im-not-selling-single-share><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryAlibaba has been a challenging investment over the last year, dropping by as much as 77% from its ATH.Despite increasing revenues by more than tenfold, its stock price dropped down to levels ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4496224-alibaba-why-im-not-selling-single-share\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴","09988":"阿里巴巴-W"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4496224-alibaba-why-im-not-selling-single-share","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2220430742","content_text":"SummaryAlibaba has been a challenging investment over the last year, dropping by as much as 77% from its ATH.Despite increasing revenues by more than tenfold, its stock price dropped down to levels not seen since its early post-IPO days.However, things are likely to change in a big way for Alibaba investors.Much of the transitory detrimental factors are now behind the company, and more emphasis should go towards positive developments now.Alibaba's business remains solid, growth should resume, and the company will likely become more profitable in future years.Philiphotographer/iStock Unreleased via Getty ImagesI began investing in Alibaba (NYSE:BABA) in early 2015, shortly after the company IPOed in the U.S. Incidentally, I started buying the stock at a similar price point to Alibaba's recent low ($70-80). I would be lying if I said that this was not a challenging investment, but Alibaba is remarkably cheap right now. Furthermore, the ongoing concerns surrounding the company are overexaggerated. Moreover, the Chinese government is now taking market-friendly measures to stabilize markets and support stock prices. We could be looking at a tectonic shift in China, and Alibaba shares will likely get a substantial bid moving forward. Despite the recent monster 40% rebound, Alibaba remains a strong buy around the $100 level. Additionally, the company's share price should continue appreciating as we advance through 2022 and beyond and could reach $300 within the next three years.Alibaba Skyrockets On Beijing NewsBABA (StockCharts)We just saw one of the most violent up moves in history. Alibaba soared by approximately $100 billion in market cap in a single day. China will provide additional support to the Chinese economy through monetary policy, and the government reaffirmed that it supports foreign IPOs. The report also stated that China supports listings overseas and will work with the SEC to resolve any issues.Concerns over increased regulation, possible delisting fears, and other transitory concerns led Alibaba to unprecedented declines over the last year. The stock cratered by about 77% (peak to trough) from its recent highs, illustrating one of the most significant market cap declines. Recent selling became indiscriminate and panic-driven, likely leading to one of the best buying opportunities in Alibaba's history. The most striking thing is that nothing material changed about Alibaba's business. The company's growth slowed a bit more than expected, and it's going through a transitory margin compression phase. However, this is not something that warrants a 77% decline or anything even close, and Alibaba's stock remains exceptionally cheap.Alibaba Back Then And NowBack then (in 2015), when I first began buying Alibaba, its stock was around $80. In recent sessions, Alibaba's stock dipped below $80 for the first time in about six years. In 2015 Alibaba's revenues were $12.3 billion, and the company recorded approximately $131.6 billion in revenues in its trailing twelve months (\"TTM\"). Its gross profit was at about $8.4 billion then, and nearly $50 billion in its TTM. I think you get the picture here. Revenues and many profitability metrics have surged in the past six years, yet Alibaba's stock price was back at its post-IPO lows in recent days. I've written many articles on Alibaba, I own the stock, and I continue to argue that Alibaba's stock price is unjustly low and has a strong probability of moving significantly higher in future years.Alibaba's Stock Is Remarkably CheapHow cheap is Alibaba, even after its unprecedented 40% move higher? Consensus EPS estimates are for approximately $10 in 2023, illustrating that at $100, the stock is only trading at ten times forward EPS estimates. If we look at Alibaba's revenue projections, we see that the company should still grow revenues by 10-15% in the coming years. Moreover, Alibaba has the potential to become more profitable in future years, suggesting that its EPS projections may be muted and lowballed. The company's growth dynamic, profitability potential, and low valuation illustrate that its stock remains exceptionally cheap and has a high probability of appreciating substantially in future years.The Bottom Line: Not Selling A Single ShareI'm not selling a single Alibaba share here. As I've written many times, Alibaba and Chinese stocks, in general, went through a transitory phase where overly negative news flow put enormous pressure on stock prices. This problematic period lasted for over one year and caused stock prices, including Alibaba's, to decline to obscenely oversold and undervalued levels. Now that the negative news is behind us, we will likely see more emphasis on positive developments regarding Alibaba. The company does not face significant threats from the regulation, and the U.S. delisting fears are overblown. Moreover, Alibaba remains a dominant, market-leading e-commerce giant that should continue growing double-digit for several years. Furthermore, the company's stock is dirt cheap right now, and Alibaba's share price will likely appreciate considerably as the company advances in future years.Here's what Alibaba's financials could look like as the company moves forward into 2025:Year2022202320242025Revenues$151B$167B$184B$203BRevenue growth15.3%10.6%10.2%10.3%EPS$10.25$10.55$13.12$15.85Forward P/E12151820Price$127$197$285$375Source: The AuthorAs we advance, Alibaba's revenue growth should continue to expand, and the company's profitability should continue improving. Moreover, the company's transitory negative news flow stage should continue to pass. Therefore, sentiment should strengthen, and Alibaba's P/E multiple should gradually expand. It is not uncommon for companies with similar growth and profitability dynamics to trade at 20-30 times EPS estimates or higher. Thus, Alibaba should not have a problem getting back up to a 20 P/E multiple in future years. As sentiment improves, its share price could appreciate considerably in the coming years, to my price target of $375 in 2025.Risks To ConsiderWhile I'm bullish on Alibaba, various factors could occur that may derail my expectations for the company. For instance, the regulation could clamp down further on Alibaba and other Chinese tech giants. Moreover, U.S. regulators could decide to delist the company's ADRs. Increased competition could impact Alibaba's growth and profits. The company's growth could be worse than my current anticipation. Also, Alibaba's profitability could continue to struggle for various reasons. There are multiple risks to this investment, which is why shares are very cheap right now. In my view, Alibaba remains an elevated risk/high reward investment, and investors should carefully examine the risks before opening a position in Alibaba stock.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":36,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9035249868,"gmtCreate":1647616604212,"gmtModify":1676534251415,"author":{"id":"4087524360121530","authorId":"4087524360121530","name":"JoeKun","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a543b7a138549431b97b6bee2bc9e956","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087524360121530","idStr":"4087524360121530"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":12,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9035249868","repostId":"1165847563","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":44,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9039427364,"gmtCreate":1646104791217,"gmtModify":1676534091709,"author":{"id":"4087524360121530","authorId":"4087524360121530","name":"JoeKun","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a543b7a138549431b97b6bee2bc9e956","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087524360121530","idStr":"4087524360121530"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9039427364","repostId":"1135185997","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1135185997","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1646089666,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1135185997?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-03-01 07:07","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P 500 Ends Lower as West Hits Russia with Sanctions","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1135185997","media":"Reuters","summary":"(Reuters) - The S&P 500 ended lower after a volatile session on Monday, with investors wrestling with uncertainty and bank stocks dropping following powerful Western sanctions against Russia as it con","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>(Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 ended lower after a volatile session on Monday, with investors wrestling with uncertainty and bank stocks dropping following powerful Western sanctions against Russia as it continued its invasion of Ukraine.</p><p>Helping the Nasdaq close in positive territory after opening at a loss, electric car makers Tesla and Rivian Automotive jumped 7.5% and 6.5%, respectively.</p><p>Citigroup fell 4.5% and helped push the S&amp;P 500 banks index down 2.35% as the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield slipped. The broader S&amp;P 500 financial index dropped 1.5%.</p><p>Global stocks slumped, the Russian rouble tanked to record lows and safe-haven assets got a boost after Western allies imposed new sanctions that limited Moscow&#39;s ability to deploy its $630 billion foreign reserves and cut off some of its banks from the SWIFT global payments system.</p><p>Russian artillery bombarded residential districts of Ukraine&#39;s second-largest city, as Moscow&#39;s invading forces met stiff resistance on a fifth day of conflict.</p><p>&#34;The Russia-Ukraine invasion in itself is not likely going to be a long-term headwind for U.S. equities. But I think in the short term, it&#39;s a massive contributor to the equity pullback,&#34; said Sylvia Jablonski, chief investment officer at Defiance ETFs.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 energy sector rallied 2.6%, thanks to higher oil prices. [O/R]</p><p>Defense stocks Raytheon Technologies, Lockheed Martin Corp, General Dynamics Corp, Northrop Grumman and L3Harris Technologies gained between 2.8% and 8% following news that Germany would increase its military spending.</p><p>Cybersecurity stocks also rallied, with <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PANW\">Palo Alto Networks</a>, Fortinet, Zscaler and CrowdStrike Holdings all climbing more than 4%.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.49% to end at 33,892.6 points, while the S&amp;P 500 lost 0.24% to 4,373.94.</p><p>The Nasdaq Composite climbed 0.41% to 13,751.40, ending higher for the third straight session.</p><p>Monday&#39;s session was busy. Volume on U.S. exchanges was 14.5 billion shares, compared with the 12.2 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 fell 3.15% in February, while the Nasdaq lost 3.43%. So far in 2022, the S&amp;P 500 has lost over 8%, the index&#39;s deepest two-month decline since March 2020.</p><p>The worsening geopolitical crisis has added to investors&#39; concerns about soaring inflation and the Federal Reserve&#39;s rate-hike plans. The S&amp;P 500 and the Nasdaq logged their biggest two-month declines since the pandemic-led crash in March 2020.</p><p>The CBOE volatility index, also known as Wall Street&#39;s fear gauge, rose for a second straight session.</p><p>Delta Air Lines Inc dropped 3.9% after Russia closed its airspace to airlines from 36 countries in response to Ukraine-related sanctions targeting its aviation sector.</p><p>First Horizon Corp surged 29% after TD Bank Group offered to acquire the U.S. bank in an all-cash deal valued at $13.4 billion.</p><p>Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.10-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.03-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 20 new 52-week highs and five new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 45 new highs and 92 new lows.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P 500 Ends Lower as West Hits Russia with Sanctions</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500 Ends Lower as West Hits Russia with Sanctions\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-03-01 07:07</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>(Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 ended lower after a volatile session on Monday, with investors wrestling with uncertainty and bank stocks dropping following powerful Western sanctions against Russia as it continued its invasion of Ukraine.</p><p>Helping the Nasdaq close in positive territory after opening at a loss, electric car makers Tesla and Rivian Automotive jumped 7.5% and 6.5%, respectively.</p><p>Citigroup fell 4.5% and helped push the S&amp;P 500 banks index down 2.35% as the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield slipped. The broader S&amp;P 500 financial index dropped 1.5%.</p><p>Global stocks slumped, the Russian rouble tanked to record lows and safe-haven assets got a boost after Western allies imposed new sanctions that limited Moscow&#39;s ability to deploy its $630 billion foreign reserves and cut off some of its banks from the SWIFT global payments system.</p><p>Russian artillery bombarded residential districts of Ukraine&#39;s second-largest city, as Moscow&#39;s invading forces met stiff resistance on a fifth day of conflict.</p><p>&#34;The Russia-Ukraine invasion in itself is not likely going to be a long-term headwind for U.S. equities. But I think in the short term, it&#39;s a massive contributor to the equity pullback,&#34; said Sylvia Jablonski, chief investment officer at Defiance ETFs.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 energy sector rallied 2.6%, thanks to higher oil prices. [O/R]</p><p>Defense stocks Raytheon Technologies, Lockheed Martin Corp, General Dynamics Corp, Northrop Grumman and L3Harris Technologies gained between 2.8% and 8% following news that Germany would increase its military spending.</p><p>Cybersecurity stocks also rallied, with <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PANW\">Palo Alto Networks</a>, Fortinet, Zscaler and CrowdStrike Holdings all climbing more than 4%.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.49% to end at 33,892.6 points, while the S&amp;P 500 lost 0.24% to 4,373.94.</p><p>The Nasdaq Composite climbed 0.41% to 13,751.40, ending higher for the third straight session.</p><p>Monday&#39;s session was busy. Volume on U.S. exchanges was 14.5 billion shares, compared with the 12.2 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 fell 3.15% in February, while the Nasdaq lost 3.43%. So far in 2022, the S&amp;P 500 has lost over 8%, the index&#39;s deepest two-month decline since March 2020.</p><p>The worsening geopolitical crisis has added to investors&#39; concerns about soaring inflation and the Federal Reserve&#39;s rate-hike plans. The S&amp;P 500 and the Nasdaq logged their biggest two-month declines since the pandemic-led crash in March 2020.</p><p>The CBOE volatility index, also known as Wall Street&#39;s fear gauge, rose for a second straight session.</p><p>Delta Air Lines Inc dropped 3.9% after Russia closed its airspace to airlines from 36 countries in response to Ukraine-related sanctions targeting its aviation sector.</p><p>First Horizon Corp surged 29% after TD Bank Group offered to acquire the U.S. bank in an all-cash deal valued at $13.4 billion.</p><p>Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.10-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.03-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 20 new 52-week highs and five new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 45 new highs and 92 new lows.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","OEX":"标普100",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","SH":"标普500反向ETF","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","SPY":"标普500ETF","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","BK4504":"桥水持仓","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1135185997","content_text":"(Reuters) - The S&P 500 ended lower after a volatile session on Monday, with investors wrestling with uncertainty and bank stocks dropping following powerful Western sanctions against Russia as it continued its invasion of Ukraine.Helping the Nasdaq close in positive territory after opening at a loss, electric car makers Tesla and Rivian Automotive jumped 7.5% and 6.5%, respectively.Citigroup fell 4.5% and helped push the S&P 500 banks index down 2.35% as the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield slipped. The broader S&P 500 financial index dropped 1.5%.Global stocks slumped, the Russian rouble tanked to record lows and safe-haven assets got a boost after Western allies imposed new sanctions that limited Moscow's ability to deploy its $630 billion foreign reserves and cut off some of its banks from the SWIFT global payments system.Russian artillery bombarded residential districts of Ukraine's second-largest city, as Moscow's invading forces met stiff resistance on a fifth day of conflict.\"The Russia-Ukraine invasion in itself is not likely going to be a long-term headwind for U.S. equities. But I think in the short term, it's a massive contributor to the equity pullback,\" said Sylvia Jablonski, chief investment officer at Defiance ETFs.The S&P 500 energy sector rallied 2.6%, thanks to higher oil prices. [O/R]Defense stocks Raytheon Technologies, Lockheed Martin Corp, General Dynamics Corp, Northrop Grumman and L3Harris Technologies gained between 2.8% and 8% following news that Germany would increase its military spending.Cybersecurity stocks also rallied, with Palo Alto Networks, Fortinet, Zscaler and CrowdStrike Holdings all climbing more than 4%.The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.49% to end at 33,892.6 points, while the S&P 500 lost 0.24% to 4,373.94.The Nasdaq Composite climbed 0.41% to 13,751.40, ending higher for the third straight session.Monday's session was busy. Volume on U.S. exchanges was 14.5 billion shares, compared with the 12.2 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.The S&P 500 fell 3.15% in February, while the Nasdaq lost 3.43%. So far in 2022, the S&P 500 has lost over 8%, the index's deepest two-month decline since March 2020.The worsening geopolitical crisis has added to investors' concerns about soaring inflation and the Federal Reserve's rate-hike plans. The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq logged their biggest two-month declines since the pandemic-led crash in March 2020.The CBOE volatility index, also known as Wall Street's fear gauge, rose for a second straight session.Delta Air Lines Inc dropped 3.9% after Russia closed its airspace to airlines from 36 countries in response to Ukraine-related sanctions targeting its aviation sector.First Horizon Corp surged 29% after TD Bank Group offered to acquire the U.S. bank in an all-cash deal valued at $13.4 billion.Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.10-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.03-to-1 ratio favored decliners.The S&P 500 posted 20 new 52-week highs and five new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 45 new highs and 92 new lows.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":91,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9039077948,"gmtCreate":1645858068711,"gmtModify":1676534071151,"author":{"id":"4087524360121530","authorId":"4087524360121530","name":"JoeKun","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a543b7a138549431b97b6bee2bc9e956","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087524360121530","idStr":"4087524360121530"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9039077948","repostId":"2214433184","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2214433184","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1645830512,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2214433184?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-02-26 07:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Dow Posts Biggest Gain since Nov 2020 as Wall St Rebounds Second Day","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2214433184","media":"Reuters","summary":"* All sectors higher, led by gains in materials* Oil prices ease* Indexes: Dow up 2.5%, S&P 500 up 2.2%, Nasdaq up 1.6% (Updates close with volume, additional quotes, details)The Dow on Friday registe","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>* All sectors higher, led by gains in materials</p><p>* Oil prices ease</p><p>* Indexes: Dow up 2.5%, S&amp;P 500 up 2.2%, Nasdaq up 1.6% (Updates close with volume, additional quotes, details)</p><p>The Dow on Friday registered its biggest daily percentage gain since November 2020 with the market rebounding for a second day from the sharp selloff leading up to Russia&#39;s invasion of Ukraine.</p><p>Oil prices fell below $100 a barrel, easing some concerns about higher energy costs, and all 11 of the major S&amp;P 500 sectors ended up on the day. The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq also posted gains for the week.</p><p>Russian missiles pounded Kyiv and families cowered in shelters on Friday, a day after Russia unleashed a three-pronged invasion of Ukraine in the biggest attack on a European state since World War <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWOA.U\">Two</a>.</p><p>Investors also were assessing news that Russian President Vladimir Putin told his Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping in a call that Russia was willing to hold high-level talks with Ukraine, according to China&#39;s foreign ministry.</p><p>Some strategists say stock-selling may have been overdone. The S&amp;P 500 confirmed earlier this week it was in a correction when it ended down more than 10% from its Jan. 3 record closing high.</p><p>&#34;It sure feels a lot more like we&#39;ve really exhausted sentiment in this correction,&#34; said Jim Paulsen, chief investment strategist at The Leuthold Group in Minneapolis, noting that economic fundamentals and corporate health remain favorable.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 834.92 points, or 2.51%, to 34,058.75, the S&amp;P 500 gained 95.95 points, or 2.24%, to 4,384.65 and the Nasdaq Composite added 221.04 points, or 1.64%, to 13,694.62.</p><p>For the week, the Dow was down 0.1%, the S&amp;P 500 was up 0.8% and the Nasdaq was up 1.1%.</p><p>The West on Thursday unveiled new sanctions on Russia, while NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg said on Friday the alliance was deploying parts of its combat-ready response force and would continue to send weapons to Ukraine.</p><p>&#34;In general, the sanctions are going to have some bite,&#34; but investors seem to be relieved that Washington dismissed the idea of going to war with Russia, said Kristina Hooper, chief global market strategist at Invesco.</p><p>She said volatility should remain high in the coming days as events in Ukraine dictate market moves, but that focus eventually will turn back to the Federal Reserve and the outlook for interest rates.</p><p>Some strategists noted that the sanctions announced Thursday targeted Russia&#39;s banks but left its energy sector largely untouched.</p><p>Health care gave the S&amp;P 500 its biggest boost.</p><p>Shares of Johnson &amp; Johnson climbed 5% after a U.S. judge ruled that the drugmaker&#39;s subsidiary can remain in bankruptcy, preventing plaintiffs from pursuing 38,000 lawsuits against the company alleging its baby powder and other talc products cause cancer.</p><p>The Cboe Volatility index, Wall Street&#39;s fear gauge, ended down at 27.59.</p><p>Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 4.29-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.63-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 15 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 39 new highs and 66 new lows.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 12.47 billion shares, compared with the 12.1 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p></body></html>","source":"yahoofinance","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Dow Posts Biggest Gain since Nov 2020 as Wall St Rebounds Second Day</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDow Posts Biggest Gain since Nov 2020 as Wall St Rebounds Second Day\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-02-26 07:08 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-stocks-dow-posts-biggest-214015544.html><strong>Reuters</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>* All sectors higher, led by gains in materials* Oil prices ease* Indexes: Dow up 2.5%, S&P 500 up 2.2%, Nasdaq up 1.6% (Updates close with volume, additional quotes, details)The Dow on Friday ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-stocks-dow-posts-biggest-214015544.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","SH":"标普500反向ETF","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","SPY":"标普500ETF","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","OEX":"标普100","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","BK4079":"房地产服务","COMP":"Compass, Inc.","BK4504":"桥水持仓","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","BK4539":"次新股"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-stocks-dow-posts-biggest-214015544.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5f26f4a48f9cb3e29be4d71d3ba8c038","article_id":"2214433184","content_text":"* All sectors higher, led by gains in materials* Oil prices ease* Indexes: Dow up 2.5%, S&P 500 up 2.2%, Nasdaq up 1.6% (Updates close with volume, additional quotes, details)The Dow on Friday registered its biggest daily percentage gain since November 2020 with the market rebounding for a second day from the sharp selloff leading up to Russia's invasion of Ukraine.Oil prices fell below $100 a barrel, easing some concerns about higher energy costs, and all 11 of the major S&P 500 sectors ended up on the day. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq also posted gains for the week.Russian missiles pounded Kyiv and families cowered in shelters on Friday, a day after Russia unleashed a three-pronged invasion of Ukraine in the biggest attack on a European state since World War Two.Investors also were assessing news that Russian President Vladimir Putin told his Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping in a call that Russia was willing to hold high-level talks with Ukraine, according to China's foreign ministry.Some strategists say stock-selling may have been overdone. The S&P 500 confirmed earlier this week it was in a correction when it ended down more than 10% from its Jan. 3 record closing high.\"It sure feels a lot more like we've really exhausted sentiment in this correction,\" said Jim Paulsen, chief investment strategist at The Leuthold Group in Minneapolis, noting that economic fundamentals and corporate health remain favorable.The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 834.92 points, or 2.51%, to 34,058.75, the S&P 500 gained 95.95 points, or 2.24%, to 4,384.65 and the Nasdaq Composite added 221.04 points, or 1.64%, to 13,694.62.For the week, the Dow was down 0.1%, the S&P 500 was up 0.8% and the Nasdaq was up 1.1%.The West on Thursday unveiled new sanctions on Russia, while NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg said on Friday the alliance was deploying parts of its combat-ready response force and would continue to send weapons to Ukraine.\"In general, the sanctions are going to have some bite,\" but investors seem to be relieved that Washington dismissed the idea of going to war with Russia, said Kristina Hooper, chief global market strategist at Invesco.She said volatility should remain high in the coming days as events in Ukraine dictate market moves, but that focus eventually will turn back to the Federal Reserve and the outlook for interest rates.Some strategists noted that the sanctions announced Thursday targeted Russia's banks but left its energy sector largely untouched.Health care gave the S&P 500 its biggest boost.Shares of Johnson & Johnson climbed 5% after a U.S. judge ruled that the drugmaker's subsidiary can remain in bankruptcy, preventing plaintiffs from pursuing 38,000 lawsuits against the company alleging its baby powder and other talc products cause cancer.The Cboe Volatility index, Wall Street's fear gauge, ended down at 27.59.Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 4.29-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.63-to-1 ratio favored advancers.The S&P 500 posted 15 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 39 new highs and 66 new lows.Volume on U.S. exchanges was 12.47 billion shares, compared with the 12.1 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":73,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9092457687,"gmtCreate":1644718444868,"gmtModify":1676533955547,"author":{"id":"4087524360121530","authorId":"4087524360121530","name":"JoeKun","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a543b7a138549431b97b6bee2bc9e956","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087524360121530","idStr":"4087524360121530"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9092457687","repostId":"2210752103","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2210752103","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1644714900,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2210752103?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-02-13 09:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"This Disruptive Company Has Explosive Growth Potential","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2210752103","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The company's latest innovation transforms how companies perform a routine task.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Paycom Software</b> (NYSE:PAYC) has been at the forefront of disrupting the payroll sector since CEO Chad Richison founded the company in 1998. His company revolutionized the payroll process by taking it entirely online. It has continued to be a disruptive force over the years, developing a single cloud-based software solution to help companies manage all their human resources (HR) processes.</p><p>The company&#39;s latest innovation, Beti, is once again disrupting the industry by changing the entire payroll procedure. It&#39;s helping drive explosive growth for Paycom, which could continue for years to come.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/933b605f0da9ea748d7fd549f8360a85\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p><h2>A better payroll system</h2><p>Richison discussed Paycom&#39;s latest disruptive move on the fourth-quarter conference call. He noted that the company &#34;extended our platform to the employee even further through innovations like BETI, which enables employees to do their own payroll, and we are seeing very strong adoption and record employee usage.&#34;</p><p>The company sees Beti, which stands for Better Employee Transaction Interface, as the new way of doing payroll. The industry-first employee-driven payroll solution improves data accuracy, oversight, and user experience. It puts the payroll responsibility into the hands of employees, eliminating a multistep, imperfect, and time-consuming process for HR departments while giving employees more insight into their pay.</p><p>Richison stated on the call:</p><blockquote>For years, I have been predicting the end of the old model, whereby HR and payroll personnel&#39;s routine of inputting data for employees, is replaced by a self-service model that provides employees direct access to the database. The old model is dying and that is good for both the business and the employee. Paycom is leading this transformation.</blockquote><p>That&#39;s just the latest innovation from the company. The company&#39;s single-database HR platform works better than the cobbled-together systems that most companies use today. That has enabled Paycom to capitalize by offering companies an easy-to-use system that improves user experiences, allowing them to maximize the return on this investment in Paycom&#39;s software.</p><h2>An unstoppable growth driver</h2><p>This award-winning solution has been a smashing success. It helped drive record annual revenue retention of 94% in 2021, up from 93% in the prior year. It was also a key growth driver. The company ended the year with nearly 34,000 clients, up 9% compared to 2020. Meanwhile, revenue surged 29% year-over-year in the fourth quarter and 25.4% for the full year. Earnings grew even faster as its margin expanded despite aggressive spending to grow the business. The company delivered an adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) margin of 39.7% of its revenue in 2021, up from 39.3% in 2020.</p><p>Paycom is only scratching the surface of its potential. Richison noted on the call that &#34;we still only have approximately 5% of the TAM (total available market) today, so there&#39;s plenty of runway ahead to expand and continue to capture market share.&#34; It&#39;s investing heavily to continue taking more market share. It opened five new outside sales offices over the last five months (<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MHC.AU\">Manhattan</a>, Las Vegas, Jacksonville, New England, and South Jersey) -- bringing the total to 54 -- to expand its geographic reach. In addition, it has expanded the upper end of its target client size from those with up to 5,000 employees to those with upwards of 10,000 employees.</p><p>These catalysts have Paycom positioned to continue growing fast in 2022 and beyond. The cloud-based software company sees its revenue rising to more than $1.3 billion this year, putting it up nearly 25% from last year&#39;s total. Meanwhile, it sees a further improvement in its adjusted EBITDA margin to around 40% this year, suggesting continued strong profit growth.</p><h2>Lots of growth still ahead</h2><p>Paycom continues to disrupt the payroll industry by launching innovative software solutions that improve the process. While it has grown tremendously over the years, it still has lots of room to run. That upside potential makes it a stock that investors won&#39;t want to miss.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>This Disruptive Company Has Explosive Growth Potential</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThis Disruptive Company Has Explosive Growth Potential\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-02-13 09:15 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/02/12/this-disruptive-company-has-explosive-growth-poten/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Paycom Software (NYSE:PAYC) has been at the forefront of disrupting the payroll sector since CEO Chad Richison founded the company in 1998. His company revolutionized the payroll process by taking it ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/02/12/this-disruptive-company-has-explosive-growth-poten/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4023":"应用软件","BK4528":"SaaS概念","BK4203":"医疗保健房地产投资信托","PAYC":"Paycom Software, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/02/12/this-disruptive-company-has-explosive-growth-poten/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2210752103","content_text":"Paycom Software (NYSE:PAYC) has been at the forefront of disrupting the payroll sector since CEO Chad Richison founded the company in 1998. His company revolutionized the payroll process by taking it entirely online. It has continued to be a disruptive force over the years, developing a single cloud-based software solution to help companies manage all their human resources (HR) processes.The company's latest innovation, Beti, is once again disrupting the industry by changing the entire payroll procedure. It's helping drive explosive growth for Paycom, which could continue for years to come.Image source: Getty Images.A better payroll systemRichison discussed Paycom's latest disruptive move on the fourth-quarter conference call. He noted that the company \"extended our platform to the employee even further through innovations like BETI, which enables employees to do their own payroll, and we are seeing very strong adoption and record employee usage.\"The company sees Beti, which stands for Better Employee Transaction Interface, as the new way of doing payroll. The industry-first employee-driven payroll solution improves data accuracy, oversight, and user experience. It puts the payroll responsibility into the hands of employees, eliminating a multistep, imperfect, and time-consuming process for HR departments while giving employees more insight into their pay.Richison stated on the call:For years, I have been predicting the end of the old model, whereby HR and payroll personnel's routine of inputting data for employees, is replaced by a self-service model that provides employees direct access to the database. The old model is dying and that is good for both the business and the employee. Paycom is leading this transformation.That's just the latest innovation from the company. The company's single-database HR platform works better than the cobbled-together systems that most companies use today. That has enabled Paycom to capitalize by offering companies an easy-to-use system that improves user experiences, allowing them to maximize the return on this investment in Paycom's software.An unstoppable growth driverThis award-winning solution has been a smashing success. It helped drive record annual revenue retention of 94% in 2021, up from 93% in the prior year. It was also a key growth driver. The company ended the year with nearly 34,000 clients, up 9% compared to 2020. Meanwhile, revenue surged 29% year-over-year in the fourth quarter and 25.4% for the full year. Earnings grew even faster as its margin expanded despite aggressive spending to grow the business. The company delivered an adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) margin of 39.7% of its revenue in 2021, up from 39.3% in 2020.Paycom is only scratching the surface of its potential. Richison noted on the call that \"we still only have approximately 5% of the TAM (total available market) today, so there's plenty of runway ahead to expand and continue to capture market share.\" It's investing heavily to continue taking more market share. It opened five new outside sales offices over the last five months (Manhattan, Las Vegas, Jacksonville, New England, and South Jersey) -- bringing the total to 54 -- to expand its geographic reach. In addition, it has expanded the upper end of its target client size from those with up to 5,000 employees to those with upwards of 10,000 employees.These catalysts have Paycom positioned to continue growing fast in 2022 and beyond. The cloud-based software company sees its revenue rising to more than $1.3 billion this year, putting it up nearly 25% from last year's total. Meanwhile, it sees a further improvement in its adjusted EBITDA margin to around 40% this year, suggesting continued strong profit growth.Lots of growth still aheadPaycom continues to disrupt the payroll industry by launching innovative software solutions that improve the process. While it has grown tremendously over the years, it still has lots of room to run. That upside potential makes it a stock that investors won't want to miss.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":134,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9058216632,"gmtCreate":1654842280226,"gmtModify":1676535521622,"author":{"id":"4087524360121530","authorId":"4087524360121530","name":"JoeKun","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a543b7a138549431b97b6bee2bc9e956","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087524360121530","idStr":"4087524360121530"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9058216632","repostId":"2242514365","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2242514365","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1654818218,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2242514365?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-10 07:43","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Stock Market and Inflation: How the S&P 500 Performs on CPI Report Days","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2242514365","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Stock-market investors crowded the exits on Thursday, sending major stock indexes sharply lower a da","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Stock-market investors crowded the exits on Thursday, sending major stock indexes sharply lower a day ahead of another eagerly anticipated consumer-price index reading. Recent history may offer a clue.</p><p>&#34;While median returns for the S&amp;P 500 have been right around the flatline over the last two years on CPI days, more recent returns have been much weaker,&#34; wrote analysts at Bespoke Investment Group, in a Thursday note. Since Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell stopped using the term &#34;transitory&#34; in late November to describe inflation, the S&amp;P 500 has declined on the day of the CPI report four out of six times, including the past four reports.</p><p>Over the past six months, the S&amp;P 500&#39;s median performance on CPI days has been a decline of 0.18%, the analysts said.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500  dropped 2.4% on Thursday, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average  slumped nearly 640 points, or 1.9%, and the Nasdaq Composite  shed 2.7%.</p><p>The consumer-price index is expected to show a large, 0.7% increase when the report is released Friday morning -- more than double the gain in the prior month. The increase in inflation over the past year, meanwhile, is forecast to stay near a 40-year high of 8.4%.</p><p>The Bespoke analysts looked at sector performance over the past six reports and found that energy, unsurprisingly, has been the best performer on CPI days, with a median gain of 1.1%, while technology was the worst. Of course, 2022&#39;s stock-market fall has been led by tech-related stocks, while energy has soared in response to surging oil prices.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4a249d567c99dd8c9477bdce90f9089a\" tg-width=\"699\" tg-height=\"382\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Bespoke noted that for a market concerned about inflation, recent reports haven&#39;t offered investors much comfort. Over the past 24 months, there were just three months where headline CPI came in weaker than expected (6/10/20, 11/12/20, and 9/14/21), they said.</p><p>&#34;Ironically enough, on each of those three days, the S&amp;P 500 actually traded lower, although to be fair, all three of these reports were before Powell ditched the term &#39;transitory,&#39;&#34; the analysts wrote.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Stock Market and Inflation: How the S&P 500 Performs on CPI Report Days</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Stock Market and Inflation: How the S&P 500 Performs on CPI Report Days\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-06-10 07:43</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Stock-market investors crowded the exits on Thursday, sending major stock indexes sharply lower a day ahead of another eagerly anticipated consumer-price index reading. Recent history may offer a clue.</p><p>&#34;While median returns for the S&amp;P 500 have been right around the flatline over the last two years on CPI days, more recent returns have been much weaker,&#34; wrote analysts at Bespoke Investment Group, in a Thursday note. Since Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell stopped using the term &#34;transitory&#34; in late November to describe inflation, the S&amp;P 500 has declined on the day of the CPI report four out of six times, including the past four reports.</p><p>Over the past six months, the S&amp;P 500&#39;s median performance on CPI days has been a decline of 0.18%, the analysts said.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500  dropped 2.4% on Thursday, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average  slumped nearly 640 points, or 1.9%, and the Nasdaq Composite  shed 2.7%.</p><p>The consumer-price index is expected to show a large, 0.7% increase when the report is released Friday morning -- more than double the gain in the prior month. The increase in inflation over the past year, meanwhile, is forecast to stay near a 40-year high of 8.4%.</p><p>The Bespoke analysts looked at sector performance over the past six reports and found that energy, unsurprisingly, has been the best performer on CPI days, with a median gain of 1.1%, while technology was the worst. Of course, 2022&#39;s stock-market fall has been led by tech-related stocks, while energy has soared in response to surging oil prices.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4a249d567c99dd8c9477bdce90f9089a\" tg-width=\"699\" tg-height=\"382\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Bespoke noted that for a market concerned about inflation, recent reports haven&#39;t offered investors much comfort. Over the past 24 months, there were just three months where headline CPI came in weaker than expected (6/10/20, 11/12/20, and 9/14/21), they said.</p><p>&#34;Ironically enough, on each of those three days, the S&amp;P 500 actually traded lower, although to be fair, all three of these reports were before Powell ditched the term &#39;transitory,&#39;&#34; the analysts wrote.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","SPY":"标普500ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","SH":"标普500反向ETF","OEX":"标普100","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","IVV":"标普500指数ETF"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2242514365","content_text":"Stock-market investors crowded the exits on Thursday, sending major stock indexes sharply lower a day ahead of another eagerly anticipated consumer-price index reading. Recent history may offer a clue.\"While median returns for the S&P 500 have been right around the flatline over the last two years on CPI days, more recent returns have been much weaker,\" wrote analysts at Bespoke Investment Group, in a Thursday note. Since Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell stopped using the term \"transitory\" in late November to describe inflation, the S&P 500 has declined on the day of the CPI report four out of six times, including the past four reports.Over the past six months, the S&P 500's median performance on CPI days has been a decline of 0.18%, the analysts said.The S&P 500  dropped 2.4% on Thursday, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average  slumped nearly 640 points, or 1.9%, and the Nasdaq Composite  shed 2.7%.The consumer-price index is expected to show a large, 0.7% increase when the report is released Friday morning -- more than double the gain in the prior month. The increase in inflation over the past year, meanwhile, is forecast to stay near a 40-year high of 8.4%.The Bespoke analysts looked at sector performance over the past six reports and found that energy, unsurprisingly, has been the best performer on CPI days, with a median gain of 1.1%, while technology was the worst. Of course, 2022's stock-market fall has been led by tech-related stocks, while energy has soared in response to surging oil prices.Bespoke noted that for a market concerned about inflation, recent reports haven't offered investors much comfort. Over the past 24 months, there were just three months where headline CPI came in weaker than expected (6/10/20, 11/12/20, and 9/14/21), they said.\"Ironically enough, on each of those three days, the S&P 500 actually traded lower, although to be fair, all three of these reports were before Powell ditched the term 'transitory,'\" the analysts wrote.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":122,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9033424246,"gmtCreate":1646350286423,"gmtModify":1676534119667,"author":{"id":"4087524360121530","authorId":"4087524360121530","name":"JoeKun","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a543b7a138549431b97b6bee2bc9e956","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087524360121530","idStr":"4087524360121530"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9033424246","repostId":"2216431836","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2216431836","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1646349900,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2216431836?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-03-04 07:25","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Costco Stock Falls as Retailer's Sales Pace Slows","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2216431836","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Costco Wholesale Corp. late Thursday reported quarterly results and sales that topped Wall Street ex","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Costco Wholesale Corp. late Thursday reported quarterly results and sales that topped Wall Street expectations, but the stock headed lower as same-store sales growth slowed.</p><p>Costco <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COST\">$(COST)$</a> said it earned $1.3 billion, or $2.92 a share, in the fiscal second quarter, compared with earnings of $951 million, or  $2.14 a share, in the year-ago quarter.</p><p>Revenue rose to $51.9 billion, from $44.8 billion a year ago.</p><p>An earlier-than-usual Lunar New Year holiday this year negatively impacted February&#39;s sales, Costco said.</p><p>FactSet consensus called for earnings of $2.76 a share on sales of $51.5 billion.</p><p>Fiscal second-quarter same-store sales rose 14.4%, the retailer said, beating FactSect consensus around a 12% rise but a drop from fiscal first quarter&#39;s 14.9% rise.</p><p>Shares of Costco lost 1.7% in the extended session, after ending the regular trading day up 1%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/46a27af8466d7618d0fd9006bee5e82b\" tg-width=\"724\" tg-height=\"628\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Costco Stock Falls as Retailer's Sales Pace Slows</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCostco Stock Falls as Retailer's Sales Pace Slows\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-03-04 07:25</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Costco Wholesale Corp. late Thursday reported quarterly results and sales that topped Wall Street expectations, but the stock headed lower as same-store sales growth slowed.</p><p>Costco <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COST\">$(COST)$</a> said it earned $1.3 billion, or $2.92 a share, in the fiscal second quarter, compared with earnings of $951 million, or  $2.14 a share, in the year-ago quarter.</p><p>Revenue rose to $51.9 billion, from $44.8 billion a year ago.</p><p>An earlier-than-usual Lunar New Year holiday this year negatively impacted February&#39;s sales, Costco said.</p><p>FactSet consensus called for earnings of $2.76 a share on sales of $51.5 billion.</p><p>Fiscal second-quarter same-store sales rose 14.4%, the retailer said, beating FactSect consensus around a 12% rise but a drop from fiscal first quarter&#39;s 14.9% rise.</p><p>Shares of Costco lost 1.7% in the extended session, after ending the regular trading day up 1%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/46a27af8466d7618d0fd9006bee5e82b\" tg-width=\"724\" tg-height=\"628\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"COST":"好市多"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2216431836","content_text":"Costco Wholesale Corp. late Thursday reported quarterly results and sales that topped Wall Street expectations, but the stock headed lower as same-store sales growth slowed.Costco $(COST)$ said it earned $1.3 billion, or $2.92 a share, in the fiscal second quarter, compared with earnings of $951 million, or  $2.14 a share, in the year-ago quarter.Revenue rose to $51.9 billion, from $44.8 billion a year ago.An earlier-than-usual Lunar New Year holiday this year negatively impacted February's sales, Costco said.FactSet consensus called for earnings of $2.76 a share on sales of $51.5 billion.Fiscal second-quarter same-store sales rose 14.4%, the retailer said, beating FactSect consensus around a 12% rise but a drop from fiscal first quarter's 14.9% rise.Shares of Costco lost 1.7% in the extended session, after ending the regular trading day up 1%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":193,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9052674386,"gmtCreate":1655172343745,"gmtModify":1676535575578,"author":{"id":"4087524360121530","authorId":"4087524360121530","name":"JoeKun","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a543b7a138549431b97b6bee2bc9e956","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087524360121530","idStr":"4087524360121530"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9052674386","repostId":"2243261112","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2243261112","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1655171274,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2243261112?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-14 09:47","market":"us","language":"en","title":"News Highlights: Top Company News of the Day","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2243261112","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Elon Musk to Participate in Twitter All-Hands Meeting ThursdayIt would mark the first time the billi","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/NW/2243611551\" target=\"_blank\">Elon Musk to Participate in Twitter All-Hands Meeting Thursday</a></p><p>It would mark the first time the billionaire will have spoken directly with the company&#39;s workforce since he began his courtship of it in April.Disney Loses Streaming Rights for Indian Premier League Cricket</p><p>Viacom18, a partnership between <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PARA\">Paramount Global</a> and Reliance Industries, will stream matches from the popular sports league.</p><p><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/NW/1115135447\" target=\"_blank\">Oracle Sales Top Expectations</a></p><p>The business-software giant posted higher quarterly revenue and its shares rebounded in after-hours trading.</p><p><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/NW/2243869602\" target=\"_blank\">SpaceX&#39;s Starship Moves Closer to Orbital Launches Following FAA Review</a></p><p>Flight-safety regulators have listed steps that the company led by Elon Musk must take to conduct launches.</p><p><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/NW/2243616266\" target=\"_blank\">Disney CEO Bob Chapek Supported Peter Rice. Until He Didn&#39;t.</a></p><p>The decision by Mr. Chapek to fire Mr. Rice from his position as head of the company&#39;s General Entertainment Content unit last week had been under consideration for months, say people familiar with the matter.</p><p><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/NW/2243923016\" target=\"_blank\">MicroStrategy Stock Falls 25% on Bitcoin Plunge</a></p><p>The company had said it would face a margin call if the price of bitcoin drops to about $21,000.</p><p><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/NW/2243667732\" target=\"_blank\">Amazon to Make Deliveries by Drone in California Later This Year</a></p><p>The e-commerce giant said it has developed a sense and detection system so drones can avoid midair or ground collisions.</p><p><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/NW/2243666763\" target=\"_blank\">Coinbase Shares Succumb to Crypto Rout</a></p><p>The cryptocurrency exchange&#39;s stock traded to an all-time low on Monday as investors retreated further from cryptocurrency and other risky assets.</p><p><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/NW/2243552693\" target=\"_blank\">Microsoft to Make It Easier for Activision Employees to Unionize</a></p><p>The software company reached a labor neutrality agreement with the Communications Workers of America as it seeks regulatory approval to acquire videogame maker Activision for $75 billion.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>News Highlights: Top Company News of the Day</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNews Highlights: Top Company News of the Day\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-06-14 09:47</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/NW/2243611551\" target=\"_blank\">Elon Musk to Participate in Twitter All-Hands Meeting Thursday</a></p><p>It would mark the first time the billionaire will have spoken directly with the company&#39;s workforce since he began his courtship of it in April.Disney Loses Streaming Rights for Indian Premier League Cricket</p><p>Viacom18, a partnership between <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PARA\">Paramount Global</a> and Reliance Industries, will stream matches from the popular sports league.</p><p><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/NW/1115135447\" target=\"_blank\">Oracle Sales Top Expectations</a></p><p>The business-software giant posted higher quarterly revenue and its shares rebounded in after-hours trading.</p><p><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/NW/2243869602\" target=\"_blank\">SpaceX&#39;s Starship Moves Closer to Orbital Launches Following FAA Review</a></p><p>Flight-safety regulators have listed steps that the company led by Elon Musk must take to conduct launches.</p><p><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/NW/2243616266\" target=\"_blank\">Disney CEO Bob Chapek Supported Peter Rice. Until He Didn&#39;t.</a></p><p>The decision by Mr. Chapek to fire Mr. Rice from his position as head of the company&#39;s General Entertainment Content unit last week had been under consideration for months, say people familiar with the matter.</p><p><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/NW/2243923016\" target=\"_blank\">MicroStrategy Stock Falls 25% on Bitcoin Plunge</a></p><p>The company had said it would face a margin call if the price of bitcoin drops to about $21,000.</p><p><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/NW/2243667732\" target=\"_blank\">Amazon to Make Deliveries by Drone in California Later This Year</a></p><p>The e-commerce giant said it has developed a sense and detection system so drones can avoid midair or ground collisions.</p><p><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/NW/2243666763\" target=\"_blank\">Coinbase Shares Succumb to Crypto Rout</a></p><p>The cryptocurrency exchange&#39;s stock traded to an all-time low on Monday as investors retreated further from cryptocurrency and other risky assets.</p><p><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/NW/2243552693\" target=\"_blank\">Microsoft to Make It Easier for Activision Employees to Unionize</a></p><p>The software company reached a labor neutrality agreement with the Communications Workers of America as it seeks regulatory approval to acquire videogame maker Activision for $75 billion.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MSTR":"MicroStrategy","AMZN":"亚马逊","MSFT":"微软","ORCL":"甲骨文","COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc.","TWTR":"Twitter"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2243261112","content_text":"Elon Musk to Participate in Twitter All-Hands Meeting ThursdayIt would mark the first time the billionaire will have spoken directly with the company's workforce since he began his courtship of it in April.Disney Loses Streaming Rights for Indian Premier League CricketViacom18, a partnership between Paramount Global and Reliance Industries, will stream matches from the popular sports league.Oracle Sales Top ExpectationsThe business-software giant posted higher quarterly revenue and its shares rebounded in after-hours trading.SpaceX's Starship Moves Closer to Orbital Launches Following FAA ReviewFlight-safety regulators have listed steps that the company led by Elon Musk must take to conduct launches.Disney CEO Bob Chapek Supported Peter Rice. Until He Didn't.The decision by Mr. Chapek to fire Mr. Rice from his position as head of the company's General Entertainment Content unit last week had been under consideration for months, say people familiar with the matter.MicroStrategy Stock Falls 25% on Bitcoin PlungeThe company had said it would face a margin call if the price of bitcoin drops to about $21,000.Amazon to Make Deliveries by Drone in California Later This YearThe e-commerce giant said it has developed a sense and detection system so drones can avoid midair or ground collisions.Coinbase Shares Succumb to Crypto RoutThe cryptocurrency exchange's stock traded to an all-time low on Monday as investors retreated further from cryptocurrency and other risky assets.Microsoft to Make It Easier for Activision Employees to UnionizeThe software company reached a labor neutrality agreement with the Communications Workers of America as it seeks regulatory approval to acquire videogame maker Activision for $75 billion.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":120,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9081516274,"gmtCreate":1650252216023,"gmtModify":1676534679705,"author":{"id":"4087524360121530","authorId":"4087524360121530","name":"JoeKun","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a543b7a138549431b97b6bee2bc9e956","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087524360121530","idStr":"4087524360121530"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9081516274","repostId":"2228379987","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2228379987","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1650237595,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2228379987?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-04-18 07:19","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Netflix, Tesla Earnings: What to Know in Markets This Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2228379987","media":"Yahoo Finance","summary":"This week, earnings season is set to ramp up, offering investors a fresh set of data on the strength of corporate profits in the face of elevated inflationary pressure.Two of the major names reporting","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>This week, earnings season is set to ramp up, offering investors a fresh set of data on the strength of corporate profits in the face of elevated inflationary pressure.</p><p>Two of the major names reporting this week will include Netflix (NFLX) and Tesla (TSLA), offering an early look at how some of the mega-cap technology companies performed in the early part of the year.</p><p>The other names set to report this week will span a range of industries, broadening out from last week&#39;s bank-dominated results. Companies including United Airlines (UAL), American Express (AXP), Johnson &amp; Johnson (JNJ) and Kimberly-Clark (KMB) are each on deck to report in the coming days.</p><p>For earnings season so far, results have been mixed, albeit heavily skewed toward the slew of financial names that reported last week including JPMorgan Chase (JPM) and Goldman Sachs (GS). About 7% of S&amp;P 500 index components have reported actual Q1 results so far, and 77% of these have topped Wall Street&#39;s earnings per share (EPS) estimates, matching the five-year average percentage, according to data from FactSet. The estimated earnings growth rate for the index currently stands at 5.1%, which if carried through the rest of the season would mark the lowest earnings growth rate for the index since the fourth quarter of 2020.</p><h2><b>Netflix earnings</b></h2><p>Netflix is set to report results on Tuesday, with investors closely watching for further signs of a slowdown in the streaming giant&#39;s growth after a pandemic-era surge in subscriber numbers.</p><p>Analysts&#39; consensus estimates are looking for Netflix to have added about 2.51 million subscribers for the first quarter, which would mark the least since the second quarter of 2021. This would bring Netflix&#39;s total subscribers to just under 225 million. In the same quarter last year, subscribers grew by nearly 4 million.</p><p>Though Netflix has already seen subscriber growth slow sharply from a pandemic-era peak, the streaming giant&#39;s exit from Russia in early March is also set to further contribute to the deceleration. The Los Gatos, Calif.-based company suspended operations in Russia on March 6 over the country&#39;s invasion of Ukraine, and since then, analysts further trimmed their subscriber estimates.</p><p>&#34;We now expect paid net adds of 1.45MM, below guide of 2.5MM given Russia suspension (~1MM subs),&#34; Cowen analyst John Blackledge wrote in a note last week. The firm also lowered its price target on Netflix to $590 a share from $600 previously, on account of the lower subscriber growth forecast.</p><p>Other analysts also suggested that Netflix&#39;s churn, or subscriber losses, could increase in the quarter after the company announced a price increase for subscribers in the U.S. and Canada in January. But revenue pulled from these price increases could also be used to help Netflix build out bigger content slates and drive growth in less saturated markets internationally, others pointed out.</p><p>&#34;Netflix appears to be nearing a ceiling on UCAN (U.S. and Canada) subscribers, and is pulling new levers to lower churn,&#34; Wedbush analyst Michael Pachter wrote in a note. &#34;Subscription price increases in the West should fuel additional content production and growth in other regions, and our bias is that cash flow will turn positive in 2022 and beyond, as management has guided. However, subscriber growth will likely occur primarily in less developed regions at lower subscription prices, with Western subscribers paying higher rates to fund new content.&#34;</p><p>&#34;Content dumps, where all episodes of a new season are delivered at the same instant, will likely keep churn high, as price conscious consumers can swap out of Netflix and shift to a competitor service after viewing the content they desire,&#34; he added. &#34;Sustainable profit growth should continue so long as Netflix is able to continue raising subscription prices, but competition may limit future price increases.&#34;</p><p>Overall, Netflix is expected to report GAAP earnings of $2.91 per share on revenue of $7.95 billion, which on the top line would represent just a 11% increase over last year. In the same quarter in 2021, revenue grew 24%.</p><p>Shares of Netflix have fallen 43% for the year-to-date in 2022, underperforming against the S&amp;P 500&#39;s 7.8% drop over that same period.</p><h2>Tesla earnings</h2><p>Meanwhile, another major company set to report results this week will be Tesla.</p><p>The electric vehicle maker is scheduled to post its quarterly report Wednesday after market close. Ahead of these results, Tesla announced record deliveries of more than 310,000 during the first three months of this year. That represented a 68% jump over last year&#39;s deliveries. Tesla has sought to average 50% growth in annual vehicle deliveries.</p><p>Production, however, slipped slightly on a quarter-over-quarter basis, with output coming in at 305,407 for the first quarter compared to 305,840 during the final three months of 2021. Tesla, like many other automakers, has continued to grapple with lingering supply chain challenges and rising input costs, leading CEO Elon Musk to suggest that the company may begin mining its own lithium for batteries as metal prices soar.</p><p>&#34;Right now Tesla has a high-class problem of demand outstripping supply with this issue now translating into ~5-6 month delays for Model Ys, some Model 3s in different parts of the globe,&#34; Wedbush analyst Dan Ives wrote in a note. &#34;The key to alleviating these issues is centered around the key Giga openings in Austin and Berlin which will alleviate the bottlenecks of production for Tesla globally.&#34;</p><p>Just earlier this month, Tesla officially began delivering its first Texas-made vehicles from its new Austin Gigafactory. At Tesla&#39;s &#34;Cyber Rodeo&#34; launch party on April 7, Musk said the facility was aiming to begin building the Tesla Cybertruck starting in 2023 and has targeted making 500,000 units of the Model Y per year.</p><p>The newly made U.S. Gigafactory is set to be pivotal in helping Tesla further ramp production and help meet demand domestically, especially given snarls internationally as Tesla&#39;s Shanghai Gigafactory closed for weeks due to a COVID outbreak in the region.</p><p><i>&#34;</i>We believe by the end of 2022 Tesla will have the run rate capacity for overall ~2 million units annually from roughly 1 million today,&#34; Ives added. &#34;While the China zero COVID policy is causing shutdowns in Shanghai for Tesla (and others) and remains a worrying trend if it continues, seeing the forest through the trees with Austin and Berlin now live and ramping, Musk &amp; Co. will continue to flex its distribution muscles in the EV landscape while many other automakers struggle to get things off the ground.&#34;</p><p>While Tesla shares have outperformed the S&amp;P 500 for the year-to-date, the stock came under pressure on Thursday after Musk disclosed he made an offer to buy social media company <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWTR\">Twitter</a> (TWTR) for $54.20 per share, or about $43 billion in cash. Many have noted Musk would likely have to sell Tesla shares in order to finance the deal if it were to go through.</p><p>In Tesla&#39;s first-quarter results, Wall Street is looking for the company to post adjusted earnings of $2.27 per share on revenue of $17.85 billion, representing sales growth of 65%.</p><h2>Economic calendar</h2><ul><li><p><b>Monday: </b>NAHB Housing Market Index, April (77 expected, 79 in March)</p></li><li><p><b>Tuesday: </b>Housing starts, March (1.745 million expected, 1.769 million in February); Building permits, March (1.830 million expected, 1.859 million in February)</p></li><li><p><b>Wednesday: </b>MBA Mortgage Applications, week ended April 15 (-1.3% during prior week); Existing home sales, March (5.78 million expected, 6.02 million in February); Federal Reserve releases Beige Book</p></li><li><p><b>Thursday: </b>Philadelphia Fed Business Outlook index, April (20.5 expected, 27.4 in March); Initial jobless claims, week ended April 16 (185,000 during prior week); Continuing claims, week ended April 9 (1.475 million during prior week); Leading Index, March (0.3% expected, 0.3% in February)</p></li><li><p><b>Friday: </b>S&amp;P Global U.S. Manufacturing PMI, April preliminary (57.8 expected, 58.8 in March); S&amp;P Global U.S. Services PMI, April preliminary (58.1 expected, 58.0 in March); S&amp;P Global U.S. Composite PMI, April preliminary (57.7 in March)</p></li></ul><h2>Earnings calendar</h2><h2><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c5fcaf90030c6d8be015e91c8c372d74\" tg-width=\"1800\" tg-height=\"1430\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></h2><p><b>Monday</b></p><p>Before market open: <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SYF\">Synchrony Financial</a> (SYF), Bank of New York Mellon Corp. (BK), Bank of America (BAC), Charles Schwab (SCHW)</p><p>After market close: JB Hunt Transport Services (JBHT)</p><p><b>Tuesday</b></p><p>Before market open: <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FITBO\">Fifth Third Bancorp</a>. (FITB), Johnson &amp; Johnson (JNJ), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CFG\">Citizens Financial Group</a> (CFG), Halliburton (HAL), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TFC\">Truist Financial Corp</a>. (TFC), Hasbro (HAS), Lockheed Martin (LMT)</p><p>After market close: Netflix (NFLX), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IBM\">IBM</a> (IBM), First Horizon Corp. (FHN)</p><p><b>Wednesday</b></p><p>Before market open: Anthem (ANTM), Nasdaq (NDAQ), Baker Hughes (BKR), Procter &amp; Gamble (PG), Abbott Laboratories (ABT)</p><p>After market close: CSX Corp. (CSX), United Airlines (UAL), Crown Castle International (CCI), Alcoa Corp. (AA), Equifax (EFX), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STLD\">Steel Dynamics</a> (STLD), Tesla (TSLA), Tenet Healthcare (THC), Kinder Morgan (KMI)</p><p><b>Thursday</b></p><p>Before market open: Xerox (XRX), AT&amp;T (T), Dow Inc. (DOW), Las Vegas Sands (LVS), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SAVE\">Spirit Airlines</a> (SAVE), Blackstone (BX), Danaher (DHR), American Airlines (AAL), Pool Corp. (POOL), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AN\">AutoNation</a> (AN), Alaska Air Group (ALK), Tractor Supply Co. (TSCO), Philip Morris International (PM), Union Pacific (UNP),</p><p>After market close: Boston Beer Co. (SAM), Snap (SNAP)</p><p><b>Friday</b></p><p>Before market open: Verizon (VZ), Schlumberger (SLB), American Express (AXP), Kimberly-Clark (KMB)</p><p>After market close: <i>No notable reports scheduled for release</i></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Netflix, Tesla Earnings: What to Know in Markets This Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNetflix, Tesla Earnings: What to Know in Markets This Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-04-18 07:19 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/netflix-tesla-earnings-what-to-know-in-markets-this-week-154106070.html><strong>Yahoo Finance</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>This week, earnings season is set to ramp up, offering investors a fresh set of data on the strength of corporate profits in the face of elevated inflationary pressure.Two of the major names reporting...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/netflix-tesla-earnings-what-to-know-in-markets-this-week-154106070.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉","NFLX":"奈飞",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/netflix-tesla-earnings-what-to-know-in-markets-this-week-154106070.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2228379987","content_text":"This week, earnings season is set to ramp up, offering investors a fresh set of data on the strength of corporate profits in the face of elevated inflationary pressure.Two of the major names reporting this week will include Netflix (NFLX) and Tesla (TSLA), offering an early look at how some of the mega-cap technology companies performed in the early part of the year.The other names set to report this week will span a range of industries, broadening out from last week's bank-dominated results. Companies including United Airlines (UAL), American Express (AXP), Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) and Kimberly-Clark (KMB) are each on deck to report in the coming days.For earnings season so far, results have been mixed, albeit heavily skewed toward the slew of financial names that reported last week including JPMorgan Chase (JPM) and Goldman Sachs (GS). About 7% of S&P 500 index components have reported actual Q1 results so far, and 77% of these have topped Wall Street's earnings per share (EPS) estimates, matching the five-year average percentage, according to data from FactSet. The estimated earnings growth rate for the index currently stands at 5.1%, which if carried through the rest of the season would mark the lowest earnings growth rate for the index since the fourth quarter of 2020.Netflix earningsNetflix is set to report results on Tuesday, with investors closely watching for further signs of a slowdown in the streaming giant's growth after a pandemic-era surge in subscriber numbers.Analysts' consensus estimates are looking for Netflix to have added about 2.51 million subscribers for the first quarter, which would mark the least since the second quarter of 2021. This would bring Netflix's total subscribers to just under 225 million. In the same quarter last year, subscribers grew by nearly 4 million.Though Netflix has already seen subscriber growth slow sharply from a pandemic-era peak, the streaming giant's exit from Russia in early March is also set to further contribute to the deceleration. The Los Gatos, Calif.-based company suspended operations in Russia on March 6 over the country's invasion of Ukraine, and since then, analysts further trimmed their subscriber estimates.\"We now expect paid net adds of 1.45MM, below guide of 2.5MM given Russia suspension (~1MM subs),\" Cowen analyst John Blackledge wrote in a note last week. The firm also lowered its price target on Netflix to $590 a share from $600 previously, on account of the lower subscriber growth forecast.Other analysts also suggested that Netflix's churn, or subscriber losses, could increase in the quarter after the company announced a price increase for subscribers in the U.S. and Canada in January. But revenue pulled from these price increases could also be used to help Netflix build out bigger content slates and drive growth in less saturated markets internationally, others pointed out.\"Netflix appears to be nearing a ceiling on UCAN (U.S. and Canada) subscribers, and is pulling new levers to lower churn,\" Wedbush analyst Michael Pachter wrote in a note. \"Subscription price increases in the West should fuel additional content production and growth in other regions, and our bias is that cash flow will turn positive in 2022 and beyond, as management has guided. However, subscriber growth will likely occur primarily in less developed regions at lower subscription prices, with Western subscribers paying higher rates to fund new content.\"\"Content dumps, where all episodes of a new season are delivered at the same instant, will likely keep churn high, as price conscious consumers can swap out of Netflix and shift to a competitor service after viewing the content they desire,\" he added. \"Sustainable profit growth should continue so long as Netflix is able to continue raising subscription prices, but competition may limit future price increases.\"Overall, Netflix is expected to report GAAP earnings of $2.91 per share on revenue of $7.95 billion, which on the top line would represent just a 11% increase over last year. In the same quarter in 2021, revenue grew 24%.Shares of Netflix have fallen 43% for the year-to-date in 2022, underperforming against the S&P 500's 7.8% drop over that same period.Tesla earningsMeanwhile, another major company set to report results this week will be Tesla.The electric vehicle maker is scheduled to post its quarterly report Wednesday after market close. Ahead of these results, Tesla announced record deliveries of more than 310,000 during the first three months of this year. That represented a 68% jump over last year's deliveries. Tesla has sought to average 50% growth in annual vehicle deliveries.Production, however, slipped slightly on a quarter-over-quarter basis, with output coming in at 305,407 for the first quarter compared to 305,840 during the final three months of 2021. Tesla, like many other automakers, has continued to grapple with lingering supply chain challenges and rising input costs, leading CEO Elon Musk to suggest that the company may begin mining its own lithium for batteries as metal prices soar.\"Right now Tesla has a high-class problem of demand outstripping supply with this issue now translating into ~5-6 month delays for Model Ys, some Model 3s in different parts of the globe,\" Wedbush analyst Dan Ives wrote in a note. \"The key to alleviating these issues is centered around the key Giga openings in Austin and Berlin which will alleviate the bottlenecks of production for Tesla globally.\"Just earlier this month, Tesla officially began delivering its first Texas-made vehicles from its new Austin Gigafactory. At Tesla's \"Cyber Rodeo\" launch party on April 7, Musk said the facility was aiming to begin building the Tesla Cybertruck starting in 2023 and has targeted making 500,000 units of the Model Y per year.The newly made U.S. Gigafactory is set to be pivotal in helping Tesla further ramp production and help meet demand domestically, especially given snarls internationally as Tesla's Shanghai Gigafactory closed for weeks due to a COVID outbreak in the region.\"We believe by the end of 2022 Tesla will have the run rate capacity for overall ~2 million units annually from roughly 1 million today,\" Ives added. \"While the China zero COVID policy is causing shutdowns in Shanghai for Tesla (and others) and remains a worrying trend if it continues, seeing the forest through the trees with Austin and Berlin now live and ramping, Musk & Co. will continue to flex its distribution muscles in the EV landscape while many other automakers struggle to get things off the ground.\"While Tesla shares have outperformed the S&P 500 for the year-to-date, the stock came under pressure on Thursday after Musk disclosed he made an offer to buy social media company Twitter (TWTR) for $54.20 per share, or about $43 billion in cash. Many have noted Musk would likely have to sell Tesla shares in order to finance the deal if it were to go through.In Tesla's first-quarter results, Wall Street is looking for the company to post adjusted earnings of $2.27 per share on revenue of $17.85 billion, representing sales growth of 65%.Economic calendarMonday: NAHB Housing Market Index, April (77 expected, 79 in March)Tuesday: Housing starts, March (1.745 million expected, 1.769 million in February); Building permits, March (1.830 million expected, 1.859 million in February)Wednesday: MBA Mortgage Applications, week ended April 15 (-1.3% during prior week); Existing home sales, March (5.78 million expected, 6.02 million in February); Federal Reserve releases Beige BookThursday: Philadelphia Fed Business Outlook index, April (20.5 expected, 27.4 in March); Initial jobless claims, week ended April 16 (185,000 during prior week); Continuing claims, week ended April 9 (1.475 million during prior week); Leading Index, March (0.3% expected, 0.3% in February)Friday: S&P Global U.S. Manufacturing PMI, April preliminary (57.8 expected, 58.8 in March); S&P Global U.S. Services PMI, April preliminary (58.1 expected, 58.0 in March); S&P Global U.S. Composite PMI, April preliminary (57.7 in March)Earnings calendarMondayBefore market open: Synchrony Financial (SYF), Bank of New York Mellon Corp. (BK), Bank of America (BAC), Charles Schwab (SCHW)After market close: JB Hunt Transport Services (JBHT)TuesdayBefore market open: Fifth Third Bancorp. (FITB), Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), Citizens Financial Group (CFG), Halliburton (HAL), Truist Financial Corp. (TFC), Hasbro (HAS), Lockheed Martin (LMT)After market close: Netflix (NFLX), IBM (IBM), First Horizon Corp. (FHN)WednesdayBefore market open: Anthem (ANTM), Nasdaq (NDAQ), Baker Hughes (BKR), Procter & Gamble (PG), Abbott Laboratories (ABT)After market close: CSX Corp. (CSX), United Airlines (UAL), Crown Castle International (CCI), Alcoa Corp. (AA), Equifax (EFX), Steel Dynamics (STLD), Tesla (TSLA), Tenet Healthcare (THC), Kinder Morgan (KMI)ThursdayBefore market open: Xerox (XRX), AT&T (T), Dow Inc. (DOW), Las Vegas Sands (LVS), Spirit Airlines (SAVE), Blackstone (BX), Danaher (DHR), American Airlines (AAL), Pool Corp. (POOL), AutoNation (AN), Alaska Air Group (ALK), Tractor Supply Co. (TSCO), Philip Morris International (PM), Union Pacific (UNP),After market close: Boston Beer Co. (SAM), Snap (SNAP)FridayBefore market open: Verizon (VZ), Schlumberger (SLB), American Express (AXP), Kimberly-Clark (KMB)After market close: No notable reports scheduled for release","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":100,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9035249219,"gmtCreate":1647616620861,"gmtModify":1676534251390,"author":{"id":"4087524360121530","authorId":"4087524360121530","name":"JoeKun","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a543b7a138549431b97b6bee2bc9e956","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087524360121530","idStr":"4087524360121530"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":12,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9035249219","repostId":"1165847563","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":43,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9004021541,"gmtCreate":1642462086775,"gmtModify":1676533711781,"author":{"id":"4087524360121530","authorId":"4087524360121530","name":"JoeKun","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a543b7a138549431b97b6bee2bc9e956","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087524360121530","idStr":"4087524360121530"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"9k","listText":"9k","text":"9k","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9004021541","repostId":"2204779745","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2204779745","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1642461698,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2204779745?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-01-18 07:21","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Canada Approves Pfizer's COVID-19 Oral Antiviral Treatment for Adults","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2204779745","media":"Reuters","summary":"Canada on Monday approved Pfizer Inc's oral antiviral treatment to treat mild to moderate cases of C","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Canada on Monday approved Pfizer Inc&#39;s oral antiviral treatment to treat mild to moderate cases of COVID-19 in people aged 18 and older, according to a notice posted on Health Canada&#39;s website.</p><p>Cases and hospitalisations due the Omicron variant has been rising in Canada, forcing provinces to put restrictions and the federal government to support impacted businesses.</p><p>Pfizer&#39;s antiviral regimen, Paxlovid, was nearly 90% effective in preventing hospitalizations and deaths in patients at high risk of severe illness, according to data from the company&#39;s clinical trial. Recent lab data suggests the drug retains its effectiveness against Omicron, Pfizer said.</p><p>Ottawa said last month that it had signed a deal with Pfizer for a million doses of the drug, pending approval by federal health regulators.</p><p>The U.S. authorized the treatment for people ages 12 and older last month. (Reporting by David Ljunggren. Editing by Franklin Paul)</p></body></html>","source":"yahoofinance","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Canada Approves Pfizer's COVID-19 Oral Antiviral Treatment for Adults</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCanada Approves Pfizer's COVID-19 Oral Antiviral Treatment for Adults\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-01-18 07:21 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/1-canada-approves-pfizers-covid-153721842.html><strong>Reuters</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Canada on Monday approved Pfizer Inc's oral antiviral treatment to treat mild to moderate cases of COVID-19 in people aged 18 and older, according to a notice posted on Health Canada's website.Cases ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/1-canada-approves-pfizers-covid-153721842.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4568":"美国抗疫概念","BK4139":"生物科技","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4007":"制药","BNTX":"BioNTech SE","PFE":"辉瑞","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BK4535":"淡马锡持仓","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/1-canada-approves-pfizers-covid-153721842.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5f26f4a48f9cb3e29be4d71d3ba8c038","article_id":"2204779745","content_text":"Canada on Monday approved Pfizer Inc's oral antiviral treatment to treat mild to moderate cases of COVID-19 in people aged 18 and older, according to a notice posted on Health Canada's website.Cases and hospitalisations due the Omicron variant has been rising in Canada, forcing provinces to put restrictions and the federal government to support impacted businesses.Pfizer's antiviral regimen, Paxlovid, was nearly 90% effective in preventing hospitalizations and deaths in patients at high risk of severe illness, according to data from the company's clinical trial. Recent lab data suggests the drug retains its effectiveness against Omicron, Pfizer said.Ottawa said last month that it had signed a deal with Pfizer for a million doses of the drug, pending approval by federal health regulators.The U.S. authorized the treatment for people ages 12 and older last month. (Reporting by David Ljunggren. Editing by Franklin Paul)","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":41,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":819343090,"gmtCreate":1630037824110,"gmtModify":1676530207573,"author":{"id":"4087524360121530","authorId":"4087524360121530","name":"JoeKun","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a543b7a138549431b97b6bee2bc9e956","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087524360121530","idStr":"4087524360121530"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/819343090","repostId":"2162847016","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2162847016","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1630008724,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2162847016?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-08-27 04:12","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Wall Street loses ground, snapping rally on Afghanistan, Fed concerns","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2162847016","media":"Reuters","summary":"NEW YORK, Aug 26 (Reuters) - Wall Street closed lower on Thursday, ending a streak of all-time closi","content":"<p>NEW YORK, Aug 26 (Reuters) - Wall Street closed lower on Thursday, ending a streak of all-time closing highs on concerns over developments in Afghanistan, while fears of a potential shift in U.S. Federal Reserve policy prompted a broad but shallow sell-off the day before the Jackson Hole Symposium.</p>\n<p>All three major U.S. stock indexes ended the session in the red, with the S&amp;P and the Nasdaq notching their first down day in six.</p>\n<p>The sell-off firmed after hawkish commentary from Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan and a blast outside the Kabul airport in Afghanistan helped strengthen the risk-off sentiment.</p>\n<p>Kaplan, who is not currently a voting member of the Federal Open Markets Committee, said he believes the progress of economic recovery warrants tapering of the Fed's asset purchases to commence in October or shortly thereafter.</p>\n<p>Kaplan's remarks followed earlier comments from the St. Louis Fed President James Bullard, who said that the central bank is \"coalescing\" around a plan to begin tapering process.</p>\n<p>\"(Kaplan’s statements) caused a little confusion about the taper timeline, but in my opinion the equity markets are focused on geopolitical issues,\" said Megan Horneman, director of portfolio strategy at Verdence Capital Advisors in Hunt Valley, Maryland. \"There’s a flight to safety during geopolitical tensions.\"</p>\n<p>\"I am surprised the market the market hasn’t fallen more, given the fear that it could take focus away from (U.S. President Joe Biden's) domestic agenda,\" Horneman added.</p>\n<p>The economy grew at a slightly faster pace than originally reported in the second quarter, fully recovering its losses from the most abrupt downturn in U.S. history, according to the Commerce Department. But jobless claims, though still on a downward trajectory, ticked higher last week.</p>\n<p>The data did little to move the needle with respect to expectations that the Fed is unlikely tip its hand regarding the taper timeline when Chairman Jerome Powell unmutes and delivers his speech at Friday's virtual Jackson Hole Symposium.</p>\n<p>\"We’re going to see a lot of market participants analyze every word (Powell) uses, but at the end of the day, they will begin tapering,\" Horneman said. \"I’m more concerned about the speed at which they taper. What are they going to start with? That will give us a clearer indication as whether they’re getting more hawkish.\"</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 192.38 points, or 0.54%, to 35,213.12, the S&amp;P 500 lost 26.19 points, or 0.58%, to 4,470 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 96.05 points, or 0.64%, to 14,945.81.</p>\n<p>Of the 11 major sectors in the S&amp;P 500, all but real estate ended the session lower, with energy stocks suffering the steepest percentage loss.</p>\n<p>Discount retailers Dollar General Corp and Dollar Tree Inc slid 3.8% and 12.1%, respectively, after warning higher transportation costs will hurt their bottom lines.</p>\n<p>Coty Inc jumped 14.7% after the cosmetics firm said it expects to post full-year sales growth for the first time in three years.</p>\n<p>Salesforce.com Inc hiked its earnings forecast as the shift to a hybrid work model is expected to fuel strong demand. Its shares advanced 2.7%.</p>\n<p>NetApp Inc jumped 4.7% as brokerages raised their price targets in the wake of the cloud computing firm's better-than-expected 2022 earnings outlook.</p>\n<p>Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 2.99-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.83-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 31 new 52-week highs and two new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 82 new highs and 39 new lows.</p>\n<p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 8.27 billion shares, compared with the 8.96 billion average over the last 20 trading days. (Reporting by Stephen Culp; Additional reporting by Devik Jain in Bengaluru Editing by Marguerita Choy)</p>","source":"yahoofinance","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wall Street loses ground, snapping rally on Afghanistan, Fed concerns</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWall Street loses ground, snapping rally on Afghanistan, Fed concerns\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-27 04:12 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-stocks-wall-street-loses-201204459.html><strong>Reuters</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>NEW YORK, Aug 26 (Reuters) - Wall Street closed lower on Thursday, ending a streak of all-time closing highs on concerns over developments in Afghanistan, while fears of a potential shift in U.S. ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-stocks-wall-street-loses-201204459.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","SH":"标普500反向ETF","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","OEX":"标普100","COMP":"Compass, Inc."},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-stocks-wall-street-loses-201204459.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5f26f4a48f9cb3e29be4d71d3ba8c038","article_id":"2162847016","content_text":"NEW YORK, Aug 26 (Reuters) - Wall Street closed lower on Thursday, ending a streak of all-time closing highs on concerns over developments in Afghanistan, while fears of a potential shift in U.S. Federal Reserve policy prompted a broad but shallow sell-off the day before the Jackson Hole Symposium.\nAll three major U.S. stock indexes ended the session in the red, with the S&P and the Nasdaq notching their first down day in six.\nThe sell-off firmed after hawkish commentary from Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan and a blast outside the Kabul airport in Afghanistan helped strengthen the risk-off sentiment.\nKaplan, who is not currently a voting member of the Federal Open Markets Committee, said he believes the progress of economic recovery warrants tapering of the Fed's asset purchases to commence in October or shortly thereafter.\nKaplan's remarks followed earlier comments from the St. Louis Fed President James Bullard, who said that the central bank is \"coalescing\" around a plan to begin tapering process.\n\"(Kaplan’s statements) caused a little confusion about the taper timeline, but in my opinion the equity markets are focused on geopolitical issues,\" said Megan Horneman, director of portfolio strategy at Verdence Capital Advisors in Hunt Valley, Maryland. \"There’s a flight to safety during geopolitical tensions.\"\n\"I am surprised the market the market hasn’t fallen more, given the fear that it could take focus away from (U.S. President Joe Biden's) domestic agenda,\" Horneman added.\nThe economy grew at a slightly faster pace than originally reported in the second quarter, fully recovering its losses from the most abrupt downturn in U.S. history, according to the Commerce Department. But jobless claims, though still on a downward trajectory, ticked higher last week.\nThe data did little to move the needle with respect to expectations that the Fed is unlikely tip its hand regarding the taper timeline when Chairman Jerome Powell unmutes and delivers his speech at Friday's virtual Jackson Hole Symposium.\n\"We’re going to see a lot of market participants analyze every word (Powell) uses, but at the end of the day, they will begin tapering,\" Horneman said. \"I’m more concerned about the speed at which they taper. What are they going to start with? That will give us a clearer indication as whether they’re getting more hawkish.\"\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 192.38 points, or 0.54%, to 35,213.12, the S&P 500 lost 26.19 points, or 0.58%, to 4,470 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 96.05 points, or 0.64%, to 14,945.81.\nOf the 11 major sectors in the S&P 500, all but real estate ended the session lower, with energy stocks suffering the steepest percentage loss.\nDiscount retailers Dollar General Corp and Dollar Tree Inc slid 3.8% and 12.1%, respectively, after warning higher transportation costs will hurt their bottom lines.\nCoty Inc jumped 14.7% after the cosmetics firm said it expects to post full-year sales growth for the first time in three years.\nSalesforce.com Inc hiked its earnings forecast as the shift to a hybrid work model is expected to fuel strong demand. Its shares advanced 2.7%.\nNetApp Inc jumped 4.7% as brokerages raised their price targets in the wake of the cloud computing firm's better-than-expected 2022 earnings outlook.\nDeclining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 2.99-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.83-to-1 ratio favored decliners.\nThe S&P 500 posted 31 new 52-week highs and two new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 82 new highs and 39 new lows.\nVolume on U.S. exchanges was 8.27 billion shares, compared with the 8.96 billion average over the last 20 trading days. (Reporting by Stephen Culp; Additional reporting by Devik Jain in Bengaluru Editing by Marguerita Choy)","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":148,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9905998845,"gmtCreate":1659790101090,"gmtModify":1703766557266,"author":{"id":"4087524360121530","authorId":"4087524360121530","name":"JoeKun","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a543b7a138549431b97b6bee2bc9e956","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087524360121530","idStr":"4087524360121530"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9905998845","repostId":"1136904781","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1136904781","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1659757961,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1136904781?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-06 11:52","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alibaba Is Still Not A Buy, Here's Why","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1136904781","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryBABA gained close to 7% in pre-market trading on August 4th after reporting stronger-than-exp","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>BABA gained close to 7% in pre-market trading on August 4th after reporting stronger-than-expected F1Q23 results.</li><li>Revenues were flat from the prior year, its slowest growth on record, but still better than earlier expectations for declines given the challenging operating environment during the June quarter.</li><li>However, the risks that were associated with Alibaba stock&#39;s selloff over the past ~2 years remain in a fluid state, with no signs of respite in sight.</li><li>Paired with added challenges from a faltering economy at home and overseas, the stock is in for further volatility over coming months.</li></ul><p>Alibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:BABA,OTCPK:BABAF) stock rose close to 7% in post-earnings pre-market trading Thursday morning (August 4) after reporting better-than-expected results for its challenging fiscal first quarter. It beat consensus estimates on both revenues and EPS. Revenue came in at RMB 205.6 billion ($30.7 billion) for the June quarter, flat from the same period last year. Although it represented the slowest pace of growth on record, it was still welcomed by investors, as consensus had previously expected a decline for the first time in Alibaba&#39;s history due to sprawling city-wide lockdowns during April and May to stem the spread of COVID. Earnings for the June quarter also beat consensus estimates by $0.19 at $1.75, underscoring prudent cost controls amid inflationary pressure and increased costs of navigating through COVID disruptions.</p><p>Yet, sentiment on the Alibaba stock remains fragile. All of its gains from the May to July rally have been wiped out in recent weeks, with the stock now down close to 20% since the beginning of the year. Volatility remains the broad-based theme for Alibaba stock, as positive uptrends supported by signs of easing regulatory crackdowns, an improving COVID situation in China, and government stimulus to shore up the Chinese economy get torn down once again on news of heightened worries. The moderate uptrend in pre-market trading following a positive earnings surprise this morning also underscores market&#39;s cautions about the Alibaba stock.</p><p>While Alibaba&#39;s valuation appears attractive at current levels considering its robust balance sheet and still-dominant market share in e-commerce and cloud services in China, the investment continues to be overshadowed by risks that remain in a fluid situation. The fragility of Alibaba&#39;s rebounds observed over the past year underscores that the underlying risks to the investment continue to &#34;outweigh any favorable valuation.&#34;</p><p>Considering Alibaba&#39;s long-term fundamental growth and valuation multiple expansion outlook remains a big question mark, with all of its biggest underlying risks still in a highly fluid situation that exhibits no structural signs of improvement, the stock holds almost nothing to stand on its own against the added challenge from brewing broad-based macro headwinds. Alibaba could potentially trend lower in the near-term, as its core Chinese market and adjacent international markets grapple with a faltering macroeconomic backdrop, making it a high-risk investment pick despite what look like attractive valuations compared to peers in a similar business.</p><p><b>The Risks Are Still There</b></p><p>Alibaba stock&#39;s downturn began in late 2020, when heightening regulatory concerns drove a &#34;valuation reset&#34; in U.S.-listed Chinese equities. The situation has continued to take a turn for the worse since, as the regulatory headwinds started to take an effect on Alibaba&#39;s fundamental performance. The added impact from recent macroeconomic headwinds, spanning COVID disruptions in China, and a faltering domestic and global economy have only exacerbated the unfavorable results.</p><p><b>1. Regulatory Crackdowns</b></p><p>Recent signs of easing scrutiny by Chinese authorities have done little in salvaging the losses sustained by the broader cohort of U.S.-listed Chinese stocks, including Alibaba.</p><p>Despite repeated vows to support market stability and calls that the extended regulatory crackdowns on the private sector - especially internet companies - are nearing an end, the ensuing rally was short-lived as investors&#39; confidence buckled at the lack of concrete measures taken to date to salvage the carnage across Chinese equities.</p><p>And, despite recent optimism stemming from the end to high-profile probes, the regulatory risks remain prominent, with investors&#39; confidence also giving in. Markets continued to punish the stock at the first sign of regulatory weakness, as observed in recent declines following reports that Alibaba was levied a RMB 2.5 million($375,000) fine in early July for violating state rules on previous acquisition disclosures. Its cloud unit was recently investigated for association with one of the country&#39;s largest data breaches in history.</p><p>In addition to fines, the regulatory scrutiny surrounding Alibaba&#39;s business has also resulted in other adverse impacts to its fundamental performance. The company&#39;s cloud-computing unit, Alicloud, is slowly losing market share to its state-backed peers due to increasing national security concerns within the public sector. The unit&#39;s market share in China fell from 46% in 2019 to 37% in 2021, while state-backed peer Huawei&#39;s cloud market share doubled over the same period. Despite still being the largest public cloud service provider in China, Alicloud is no longer the preferred choice, threatening Alibaba&#39;s consolidated bottom-line performance. This is further corroborated by the deceleration in Alibaba&#39;s highly profitable cloud business observed in the fiscal first quarter - the segment&#39;s revenues only grew 10% y/y, the slowest pace on record.</p><p>The company has also reduced the size of its in-house investments unit. This is consistent with our earlier observations that it will only be a matter of time until Alibaba follows suit on its peers&#39; pre-emptive moves in unloading investments and shutting down internal deal departments. Investments have played a substantial role in the development of Alibaba&#39;s comprehensive Internet ecosystem and related success in past years. The recent downsizing of Alibaba&#39;s deals, team operations, and subsequent reduction on external investments are expected to drive significant adverse implications to its fundamental performance, in addition to slowed growth observed in recent quarters, adding further pressure to its valuation prospects down the road.</p><p>Yet, given the regulatory overhaul that has taken place over the past year, Alibaba&#39;s growth profile is unlikely to return to its explosive past, meaning any structural valuation upsides - which remains an area of high uncertainty - will be in moderation.</p><p><b>2. Holding Foreign Companies Accountable Act (&#34;HFCAA&#34;)</b></p><p>Chinese equities also remain hostages to the HFCAA still, as the U.S. SEC steps up efforts to ensure all issuers in the U.S. stock exchange are subject to the same rules and regulatory treatment, including compliance with PCAOB audit inspection requirements. Mainland China and Hong Kong remain the only regions that have not yet complied with PCAOB audit inspection requests.</p><p>Alibaba was recently added to the rolling list of delinquent issuers whose auditors have failed to comply with PCAOB inspection requests, renewing investors&#39; fears of delisting risks for the stock. This has effectively started the clock on a three-year countdown for Alibaba, subjecting it to potential delisting from the NYSE if Chinese regulators cannot reach an agreement with the SEC and PCAOB on opening up the books of its domestic enterprises for inspection.</p><p>In the latest development, the China Securities Regulatory Commission (&#34;CSRC&#34;) is &#34;considering allowing U.S. officials to inspect documents on firms that do not possess sensitive data,&#34; but the agency would still like the ability to &#34;withhold sensitive data from inspection&#34; where applicable on the grounds of national security concerns. However, the offer still does not address the key reason for PCAOB audit inspections, which is the need to assess &#34;unredacted&#34; audit papers to ensure information reported in publicly disclosed financial statements are reasonable and free from material misstatements. Negotiations are ongoing, but the two countries &#34;have yet to reach a conclusive agreement on moving forward with the checks.&#34;</p><p>As mentioned in our initial coverages on Chinese equities, increasing institutional exits due to burgeoning regulatory and economic risks in China will continue to drive downward valuation adjustments to the cohort until a concrete resolution is reached. This is further corroborated by the recent pullback in foreign funding allocation towards Chinese equities as discussed in earlier sections, given &#34;increased skepticism among U.S. pension funds and endowments about the growing political and market risks of Asia&#39;s largest economy.&#34; Many foreign investors have abstained from committing new allocations to Chinese funds over the past 12 months, while &#34;Florida&#39;s pension system has halted new investments in China [altogether] as it assesses the risks.&#34; Investments in China stemming from U.S. dollar-denominated funds have fallen for the third consecutive quarter to $1.4 billion as of March 31, marking the lowest sum since 2018. As a result, the valuation multiples on Chinese equities are continuing to lose their luster as institutional investors remain on the side-lines.</p><p>While Alibaba&#39;s recent plans to pursue a primary listing in Hong Kong would open the door to incremental capital from mainland investors, related trading volumes remain a far cry from those in the U.S. - the average daily trading volume for Alibaba stocks in Hong Kong last month was &#34;about $700 million, compared to about $3.2 billion in the U.S.&#34; Although plans for a primary Hong Kong listing were viewed as a positive development by market participants, uncertainties over the Alibaba stock&#39;s future on the U.S. exchange remain a deterring factor to investors, considering declines observed last week following the announcement of the company&#39;s addition to the SEC&#39;s HFCAA shortlist as discussed in the earlier section.</p><p><b>3. Global Economic Uncertainties</b></p><p>Even internal improvements at Alibaba, including stronger-than-expected March quarter results, improved retail trends observed during the &#34;618&#34; bargain shopping event, and plans for a primary listing in Hong Kong by year-end, have been unsuccessful in staging a sustained rally for the stock.</p><p>This has added pressure to Alibaba&#39;s recent intentions to pivot its core Chinese commerce strategy from user acquisition to retention. Gross merchandise value - which measures the total value of transactions completed on Alibaba&#39;s core commerce platforms - in its core China commerce retail segment &#34;declined mid-single-digit y/y&#34; during the June quarter, with a meaningful drop in demand for discretionary goods accounting for the bulk of the setback. However, Alibaba&#39;s &#34;88VIP&#34; members - similar to Amazon Prime(AMZN) members - demonstrated strong purchasing behavior during the annual 618 shopping event, providing slight relief to the period&#39;s GMV decline thanks to budget-conscious bargain hunting as consumer wallets shrink.</p><p>The slowing global economy is also threatening to derail Alibaba&#39;s recent shift in focus to growing its international e-commerce platforms. Alibaba&#39;s international commerce retail segment revenues declined by 3% y/y, while order volumes declined by 4% y/y during the June quarter. Rising inflation and tightening central bank policies across Alibaba&#39;s major overseas markets, including the U.S. and Europe, have resulted in weakening consumer discretionary spending, disrupting Alibaba&#39;s plans to compensate for deceleration in its domestic commerce business with international growth. The challenges have been further exacerbated by the EU&#39;s removal of VAT exemptions on Chinese imports, which has directly impacted order volumes on AliExpress in recent quarters. Increasing competition in Southeast Asia is also thwarting Alibaba&#39;s ambitions in international e-commerce, as observed by consecutive quarters of deceleration in order volumes at Lazada.</p><p><b>Alibaba Stock - Fundamental and Valuation Update</b></p><p>Adjusting our previous forecast for Alibaba&#39;s actual June quarter financial results and recent developments in its operating environment as discussed in the foregoing analysis, the company is expected to generate consolidated revenues of RMB 901.5 billion ($135.2 billion) for fiscal 2023, which represents moderate y/y growth of 6%. The adjustments take into consideration the downward shift in performance at segments - namely, Alicloud and international retail commerce - that were supposed to uplift Alibaba&#39;s growth trajectory and offset the near-term uncertainties within its core Chinese retail commerce business. Specifically, the modest growth rate applied on fiscal 2023 revenue projections intend to reflect the near-term headwinds pertaining to fundamental impacts from ongoing regulatory challenges, as well as global macro uncertainties.</p><p>And over the longer-term, we expect the consolidated business to grow at a modest five-year CAGR of 4.6%, with Alicloud being the core driver. As mentioned in the foregoing analysis, the regulatory have materially transformed the explosive growth that Chinese big tech had once benefited from over the past few years. We expect any recovery to Alibaba&#39;s business over the longer-term to remain in moderation.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b23ccb7b6e755cf0baabe2ebb626b35\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"167\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Alibaba Financial Forecast (RMB) (Author)</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/49f4dec53abacb221e7b157ebc0da0ec\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"166\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Alibaba Financial Forecast (USD) (Author)</p><p>On the valuation front, we are maintaining a neutral stance on the stock with an expectation that the shares will remain in flux within the $100-range in the near-term. The valuation analysis assumes a perpetual growth rate in line with China&#39;s long-term GDP outlook considering Alibaba&#39;s growth profile as one of the largest big tech businesses in the world, adjusted by its current trading discount to U.S. counterparts like Amazon to account for the Chinese sector&#39;s risks.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7d51c258a7e0988da0491680f467d4a9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"250\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Alibaba Valuation Analysis (Author)</p><p>However, considering the near-term macro uncertainties across both its domestic Chinese market and international markets, the Alibaba stock could potentially trend lower and contest the $80-range again - this bear case figure implies a perpetual growth rate in line with China&#39;s long-term GDP outlook, further discounted by a downward valuation adjustment in the extent of those experienced by peers in the tech industry during the heights of their regulatory turmoil.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/478fbc394cf5dd111f0a9104aebcd4b0\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"153\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Alibaba Valuation Sensitivity (Author)</p><p>Any structural momentum above the $100-range would require concrete evidence from both Alibaba and the Chinese government in maintaining resilience in the face of a faltering economy, and providing support for the private sector, respectively, in order to restore investors&#39; confidence in the performance of U.S.-listed Chinese equities.</p><p><b>Final Thoughts</b></p><p>In the ongoing tug-of-war between attractive valuations and a growing profile of underlying risks, the latter continues to take a stronger hold on the Alibaba stock. Reiterating our stance from previous discussions, volatility remains the broad-based theme for the Alibaba stock, with no concrete near-term catalysts to offer respite.</p><p>For one, ongoing regulatory and delisting headwinds are not only warranting a downward valuation reset compared to its U.S. counterparts, but also risking erosion into Alibaba&#39;s fundamental performance - a double-whammy to its market value.</p><p>Investors continue to yearn for concrete resolutions to the challenging external environment for Chinese equities. However, this is likely still a while away, and even then, any upside recovery will be in moderation given that the old days of sprawling growth are likely no more.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba Is Still Not A Buy, Here's Why</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba Is Still Not A Buy, Here's Why\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-06 11:52 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4529653-alibaba-is-still-not-a-buy-heres-why?source=content_type%3Aall%7Cfirst_level_url%3Aportfolio%7Csection%3Aportfolio_content_unit%7Csection_asset%3Alatest%7Cline%3A71><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryBABA gained close to 7% in pre-market trading on August 4th after reporting stronger-than-expected F1Q23 results.Revenues were flat from the prior year, its slowest growth on record, but still ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4529653-alibaba-is-still-not-a-buy-heres-why?source=content_type%3Aall%7Cfirst_level_url%3Aportfolio%7Csection%3Aportfolio_content_unit%7Csection_asset%3Alatest%7Cline%3A71\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"09988":"阿里巴巴-W","BABA":"阿里巴巴"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4529653-alibaba-is-still-not-a-buy-heres-why?source=content_type%3Aall%7Cfirst_level_url%3Aportfolio%7Csection%3Aportfolio_content_unit%7Csection_asset%3Alatest%7Cline%3A71","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1136904781","content_text":"SummaryBABA gained close to 7% in pre-market trading on August 4th after reporting stronger-than-expected F1Q23 results.Revenues were flat from the prior year, its slowest growth on record, but still better than earlier expectations for declines given the challenging operating environment during the June quarter.However, the risks that were associated with Alibaba stock's selloff over the past ~2 years remain in a fluid state, with no signs of respite in sight.Paired with added challenges from a faltering economy at home and overseas, the stock is in for further volatility over coming months.Alibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:BABA,OTCPK:BABAF) stock rose close to 7% in post-earnings pre-market trading Thursday morning (August 4) after reporting better-than-expected results for its challenging fiscal first quarter. It beat consensus estimates on both revenues and EPS. Revenue came in at RMB 205.6 billion ($30.7 billion) for the June quarter, flat from the same period last year. Although it represented the slowest pace of growth on record, it was still welcomed by investors, as consensus had previously expected a decline for the first time in Alibaba's history due to sprawling city-wide lockdowns during April and May to stem the spread of COVID. Earnings for the June quarter also beat consensus estimates by $0.19 at $1.75, underscoring prudent cost controls amid inflationary pressure and increased costs of navigating through COVID disruptions.Yet, sentiment on the Alibaba stock remains fragile. All of its gains from the May to July rally have been wiped out in recent weeks, with the stock now down close to 20% since the beginning of the year. Volatility remains the broad-based theme for Alibaba stock, as positive uptrends supported by signs of easing regulatory crackdowns, an improving COVID situation in China, and government stimulus to shore up the Chinese economy get torn down once again on news of heightened worries. The moderate uptrend in pre-market trading following a positive earnings surprise this morning also underscores market's cautions about the Alibaba stock.While Alibaba's valuation appears attractive at current levels considering its robust balance sheet and still-dominant market share in e-commerce and cloud services in China, the investment continues to be overshadowed by risks that remain in a fluid situation. The fragility of Alibaba's rebounds observed over the past year underscores that the underlying risks to the investment continue to \"outweigh any favorable valuation.\"Considering Alibaba's long-term fundamental growth and valuation multiple expansion outlook remains a big question mark, with all of its biggest underlying risks still in a highly fluid situation that exhibits no structural signs of improvement, the stock holds almost nothing to stand on its own against the added challenge from brewing broad-based macro headwinds. Alibaba could potentially trend lower in the near-term, as its core Chinese market and adjacent international markets grapple with a faltering macroeconomic backdrop, making it a high-risk investment pick despite what look like attractive valuations compared to peers in a similar business.The Risks Are Still ThereAlibaba stock's downturn began in late 2020, when heightening regulatory concerns drove a \"valuation reset\" in U.S.-listed Chinese equities. The situation has continued to take a turn for the worse since, as the regulatory headwinds started to take an effect on Alibaba's fundamental performance. The added impact from recent macroeconomic headwinds, spanning COVID disruptions in China, and a faltering domestic and global economy have only exacerbated the unfavorable results.1. Regulatory CrackdownsRecent signs of easing scrutiny by Chinese authorities have done little in salvaging the losses sustained by the broader cohort of U.S.-listed Chinese stocks, including Alibaba.Despite repeated vows to support market stability and calls that the extended regulatory crackdowns on the private sector - especially internet companies - are nearing an end, the ensuing rally was short-lived as investors' confidence buckled at the lack of concrete measures taken to date to salvage the carnage across Chinese equities.And, despite recent optimism stemming from the end to high-profile probes, the regulatory risks remain prominent, with investors' confidence also giving in. Markets continued to punish the stock at the first sign of regulatory weakness, as observed in recent declines following reports that Alibaba was levied a RMB 2.5 million($375,000) fine in early July for violating state rules on previous acquisition disclosures. Its cloud unit was recently investigated for association with one of the country's largest data breaches in history.In addition to fines, the regulatory scrutiny surrounding Alibaba's business has also resulted in other adverse impacts to its fundamental performance. The company's cloud-computing unit, Alicloud, is slowly losing market share to its state-backed peers due to increasing national security concerns within the public sector. The unit's market share in China fell from 46% in 2019 to 37% in 2021, while state-backed peer Huawei's cloud market share doubled over the same period. Despite still being the largest public cloud service provider in China, Alicloud is no longer the preferred choice, threatening Alibaba's consolidated bottom-line performance. This is further corroborated by the deceleration in Alibaba's highly profitable cloud business observed in the fiscal first quarter - the segment's revenues only grew 10% y/y, the slowest pace on record.The company has also reduced the size of its in-house investments unit. This is consistent with our earlier observations that it will only be a matter of time until Alibaba follows suit on its peers' pre-emptive moves in unloading investments and shutting down internal deal departments. Investments have played a substantial role in the development of Alibaba's comprehensive Internet ecosystem and related success in past years. The recent downsizing of Alibaba's deals, team operations, and subsequent reduction on external investments are expected to drive significant adverse implications to its fundamental performance, in addition to slowed growth observed in recent quarters, adding further pressure to its valuation prospects down the road.Yet, given the regulatory overhaul that has taken place over the past year, Alibaba's growth profile is unlikely to return to its explosive past, meaning any structural valuation upsides - which remains an area of high uncertainty - will be in moderation.2. Holding Foreign Companies Accountable Act (\"HFCAA\")Chinese equities also remain hostages to the HFCAA still, as the U.S. SEC steps up efforts to ensure all issuers in the U.S. stock exchange are subject to the same rules and regulatory treatment, including compliance with PCAOB audit inspection requirements. Mainland China and Hong Kong remain the only regions that have not yet complied with PCAOB audit inspection requests.Alibaba was recently added to the rolling list of delinquent issuers whose auditors have failed to comply with PCAOB inspection requests, renewing investors' fears of delisting risks for the stock. This has effectively started the clock on a three-year countdown for Alibaba, subjecting it to potential delisting from the NYSE if Chinese regulators cannot reach an agreement with the SEC and PCAOB on opening up the books of its domestic enterprises for inspection.In the latest development, the China Securities Regulatory Commission (\"CSRC\") is \"considering allowing U.S. officials to inspect documents on firms that do not possess sensitive data,\" but the agency would still like the ability to \"withhold sensitive data from inspection\" where applicable on the grounds of national security concerns. However, the offer still does not address the key reason for PCAOB audit inspections, which is the need to assess \"unredacted\" audit papers to ensure information reported in publicly disclosed financial statements are reasonable and free from material misstatements. Negotiations are ongoing, but the two countries \"have yet to reach a conclusive agreement on moving forward with the checks.\"As mentioned in our initial coverages on Chinese equities, increasing institutional exits due to burgeoning regulatory and economic risks in China will continue to drive downward valuation adjustments to the cohort until a concrete resolution is reached. This is further corroborated by the recent pullback in foreign funding allocation towards Chinese equities as discussed in earlier sections, given \"increased skepticism among U.S. pension funds and endowments about the growing political and market risks of Asia's largest economy.\" Many foreign investors have abstained from committing new allocations to Chinese funds over the past 12 months, while \"Florida's pension system has halted new investments in China [altogether] as it assesses the risks.\" Investments in China stemming from U.S. dollar-denominated funds have fallen for the third consecutive quarter to $1.4 billion as of March 31, marking the lowest sum since 2018. As a result, the valuation multiples on Chinese equities are continuing to lose their luster as institutional investors remain on the side-lines.While Alibaba's recent plans to pursue a primary listing in Hong Kong would open the door to incremental capital from mainland investors, related trading volumes remain a far cry from those in the U.S. - the average daily trading volume for Alibaba stocks in Hong Kong last month was \"about $700 million, compared to about $3.2 billion in the U.S.\" Although plans for a primary Hong Kong listing were viewed as a positive development by market participants, uncertainties over the Alibaba stock's future on the U.S. exchange remain a deterring factor to investors, considering declines observed last week following the announcement of the company's addition to the SEC's HFCAA shortlist as discussed in the earlier section.3. Global Economic UncertaintiesEven internal improvements at Alibaba, including stronger-than-expected March quarter results, improved retail trends observed during the \"618\" bargain shopping event, and plans for a primary listing in Hong Kong by year-end, have been unsuccessful in staging a sustained rally for the stock.This has added pressure to Alibaba's recent intentions to pivot its core Chinese commerce strategy from user acquisition to retention. Gross merchandise value - which measures the total value of transactions completed on Alibaba's core commerce platforms - in its core China commerce retail segment \"declined mid-single-digit y/y\" during the June quarter, with a meaningful drop in demand for discretionary goods accounting for the bulk of the setback. However, Alibaba's \"88VIP\" members - similar to Amazon Prime(AMZN) members - demonstrated strong purchasing behavior during the annual 618 shopping event, providing slight relief to the period's GMV decline thanks to budget-conscious bargain hunting as consumer wallets shrink.The slowing global economy is also threatening to derail Alibaba's recent shift in focus to growing its international e-commerce platforms. Alibaba's international commerce retail segment revenues declined by 3% y/y, while order volumes declined by 4% y/y during the June quarter. Rising inflation and tightening central bank policies across Alibaba's major overseas markets, including the U.S. and Europe, have resulted in weakening consumer discretionary spending, disrupting Alibaba's plans to compensate for deceleration in its domestic commerce business with international growth. The challenges have been further exacerbated by the EU's removal of VAT exemptions on Chinese imports, which has directly impacted order volumes on AliExpress in recent quarters. Increasing competition in Southeast Asia is also thwarting Alibaba's ambitions in international e-commerce, as observed by consecutive quarters of deceleration in order volumes at Lazada.Alibaba Stock - Fundamental and Valuation UpdateAdjusting our previous forecast for Alibaba's actual June quarter financial results and recent developments in its operating environment as discussed in the foregoing analysis, the company is expected to generate consolidated revenues of RMB 901.5 billion ($135.2 billion) for fiscal 2023, which represents moderate y/y growth of 6%. The adjustments take into consideration the downward shift in performance at segments - namely, Alicloud and international retail commerce - that were supposed to uplift Alibaba's growth trajectory and offset the near-term uncertainties within its core Chinese retail commerce business. Specifically, the modest growth rate applied on fiscal 2023 revenue projections intend to reflect the near-term headwinds pertaining to fundamental impacts from ongoing regulatory challenges, as well as global macro uncertainties.And over the longer-term, we expect the consolidated business to grow at a modest five-year CAGR of 4.6%, with Alicloud being the core driver. As mentioned in the foregoing analysis, the regulatory have materially transformed the explosive growth that Chinese big tech had once benefited from over the past few years. We expect any recovery to Alibaba's business over the longer-term to remain in moderation.Alibaba Financial Forecast (RMB) (Author)Alibaba Financial Forecast (USD) (Author)On the valuation front, we are maintaining a neutral stance on the stock with an expectation that the shares will remain in flux within the $100-range in the near-term. The valuation analysis assumes a perpetual growth rate in line with China's long-term GDP outlook considering Alibaba's growth profile as one of the largest big tech businesses in the world, adjusted by its current trading discount to U.S. counterparts like Amazon to account for the Chinese sector's risks.Alibaba Valuation Analysis (Author)However, considering the near-term macro uncertainties across both its domestic Chinese market and international markets, the Alibaba stock could potentially trend lower and contest the $80-range again - this bear case figure implies a perpetual growth rate in line with China's long-term GDP outlook, further discounted by a downward valuation adjustment in the extent of those experienced by peers in the tech industry during the heights of their regulatory turmoil.Alibaba Valuation Sensitivity (Author)Any structural momentum above the $100-range would require concrete evidence from both Alibaba and the Chinese government in maintaining resilience in the face of a faltering economy, and providing support for the private sector, respectively, in order to restore investors' confidence in the performance of U.S.-listed Chinese equities.Final ThoughtsIn the ongoing tug-of-war between attractive valuations and a growing profile of underlying risks, the latter continues to take a stronger hold on the Alibaba stock. Reiterating our stance from previous discussions, volatility remains the broad-based theme for the Alibaba stock, with no concrete near-term catalysts to offer respite.For one, ongoing regulatory and delisting headwinds are not only warranting a downward valuation reset compared to its U.S. counterparts, but also risking erosion into Alibaba's fundamental performance - a double-whammy to its market value.Investors continue to yearn for concrete resolutions to the challenging external environment for Chinese equities. However, this is likely still a while away, and even then, any upside recovery will be in moderation given that the old days of sprawling growth are likely no more.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":435,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9053411458,"gmtCreate":1654569530274,"gmtModify":1676535471132,"author":{"id":"4087524360121530","authorId":"4087524360121530","name":"JoeKun","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a543b7a138549431b97b6bee2bc9e956","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087524360121530","idStr":"4087524360121530"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9053411458","repostId":"1156277271","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1156277271","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1654561042,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1156277271?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-07 08:17","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Amazon Stock Price Prediction After the Split: Where Will AMZN Go From Here?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1156277271","media":"investorplace","summary":"Amazon(AMZN) has enacted its highly anticipated 20-for-1 stock split.AMZN stock is cheap at under $1","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li><b>Amazon</b>(<b><u>AMZN</u></b>) has enacted its highly anticipated 20-for-1 stock split.</li><li>AMZN stock is cheap at under $125 currently, but experts aren&#39;t worried.</li><li>Investors now have an opportunity to own shares before Amazon rises again.</li></ul><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/63172eb7ac4af60360c26572dd0f690c\" tg-width=\"1600\" tg-height=\"900\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Source: Jonathan Weiss / Shutterstock.com</p><p>The summer of stock splits is off to a good start. Last Friday, <b>Amazon</b>(NASDAQ:<b><u>AMZN</u></b>) enacted its 20-for-1 stock split.</p><p>Currently, AMZN stock trades at just under $125 per share. That’s a much lower price from where it closed before the split. In fact, this is Amazon’slowest level in 25 years, although experts remain unworried. Each time shares of Amazon have split, they have come back stronger. Typically, stock splits are enacted to make shares of a given company more accessible for investors.</p><p><i>InvestorPlace</i>contributor Chris Tyler says buying Amazon stock is “anything but a split decision” now. But Tyler isn’t the only voice calling this a buying opportunity. One expert in particular is<i>quite bullish</i>on shares.</p><h2>AMZN Stock After the Split</h2><p>David Wagner is a portfolio manager atinvestment advisor firm Aptus Capital Advisors. Wagner is also an AMZN shareholder in Aptus exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Following the split, Wagner shared his insights in an email to<i>InvestorPlace</i>:</p><blockquote>“For arguably the first time in 20 years, Amazon has significant excess capacity, and we expect Retail margins to improve from recent lows as utilization scales. An uncertain consumer outlook adds risk, but with [e-commerce] at 15-20% penetration of Retail, y/y [e-commerce] growth trends likely bottoming, and the company seemingly cost focused from here, we see Amazon as well positioned for resumption of [e-commerce] penetration growth.”</blockquote><p>That isn’t the only positive mark Wagner sees for AMZN stock, either. “[T]his stock tends to outperform well when its harvesting instead of investing,” the analyst adds. “And right now, it’s finally harvesting.”</p><p>Wagner does note that stock splits aren’t a guaranteed magic pill to maximize returns for investors. However, he says that “splits lately have been a source of relative alpha.” The analyst and his firm continue to regard AMZN stock with favor, although Aptus would be willing to “pare back” if the share price grew to exceed $150.</p><h2>The Road Ahead for Amazon</h2><p>Stock splits don’t instantly create value for a company. However, they can certainly prove beneficial to investors.</p><p>Back in 2020, <b>Tesla</b>(NASDAQ:<b><u>TSLA</u></b>) announced a stock split,sending shares up 80%between the announcement and actual split date. That type of success has compelled Amazon and otherhigh-growth tech companies to split sharesas well.</p><p>AMZN stock may indeed reach $150 down the line. For now, though, shares are at a great price for small-scale investors looking to buy into the tech behemoth.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Amazon Stock Price Prediction After the Split: Where Will AMZN Go From Here?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAmazon Stock Price Prediction After the Split: Where Will AMZN Go From Here?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-06-07 08:17 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://investorplace.com/2022/06/amazon-stock-price-prediction-after-the-split-where-will-amzn-go-from-here/><strong>investorplace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Amazon(AMZN) has enacted its highly anticipated 20-for-1 stock split.AMZN stock is cheap at under $125 currently, but experts aren't worried.Investors now have an opportunity to own shares before ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/06/amazon-stock-price-prediction-after-the-split-where-will-amzn-go-from-here/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2022/06/amazon-stock-price-prediction-after-the-split-where-will-amzn-go-from-here/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1156277271","content_text":"Amazon(AMZN) has enacted its highly anticipated 20-for-1 stock split.AMZN stock is cheap at under $125 currently, but experts aren't worried.Investors now have an opportunity to own shares before Amazon rises again.Source: Jonathan Weiss / Shutterstock.comThe summer of stock splits is off to a good start. Last Friday, Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN) enacted its 20-for-1 stock split.Currently, AMZN stock trades at just under $125 per share. That’s a much lower price from where it closed before the split. In fact, this is Amazon’slowest level in 25 years, although experts remain unworried. Each time shares of Amazon have split, they have come back stronger. Typically, stock splits are enacted to make shares of a given company more accessible for investors.InvestorPlacecontributor Chris Tyler says buying Amazon stock is “anything but a split decision” now. But Tyler isn’t the only voice calling this a buying opportunity. One expert in particular isquite bullishon shares.AMZN Stock After the SplitDavid Wagner is a portfolio manager atinvestment advisor firm Aptus Capital Advisors. Wagner is also an AMZN shareholder in Aptus exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Following the split, Wagner shared his insights in an email toInvestorPlace:“For arguably the first time in 20 years, Amazon has significant excess capacity, and we expect Retail margins to improve from recent lows as utilization scales. An uncertain consumer outlook adds risk, but with [e-commerce] at 15-20% penetration of Retail, y/y [e-commerce] growth trends likely bottoming, and the company seemingly cost focused from here, we see Amazon as well positioned for resumption of [e-commerce] penetration growth.”That isn’t the only positive mark Wagner sees for AMZN stock, either. “[T]his stock tends to outperform well when its harvesting instead of investing,” the analyst adds. “And right now, it’s finally harvesting.”Wagner does note that stock splits aren’t a guaranteed magic pill to maximize returns for investors. However, he says that “splits lately have been a source of relative alpha.” The analyst and his firm continue to regard AMZN stock with favor, although Aptus would be willing to “pare back” if the share price grew to exceed $150.The Road Ahead for AmazonStock splits don’t instantly create value for a company. However, they can certainly prove beneficial to investors.Back in 2020, Tesla(NASDAQ:TSLA) announced a stock split,sending shares up 80%between the announcement and actual split date. That type of success has compelled Amazon and otherhigh-growth tech companies to split sharesas well.AMZN stock may indeed reach $150 down the line. For now, though, shares are at a great price for small-scale investors looking to buy into the tech behemoth.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":28,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9021806496,"gmtCreate":1653020515115,"gmtModify":1676535210072,"author":{"id":"4087524360121530","authorId":"4087524360121530","name":"JoeKun","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a543b7a138549431b97b6bee2bc9e956","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087524360121530","idStr":"4087524360121530"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9021806496","repostId":"2236338440","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2236338440","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1653014957,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2236338440?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-20 10:49","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir: Visibility Into The Upside","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2236338440","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"SummaryPalantir shares have been rocked as the market prices in an underlying growth rate closer to ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Palantir shares have been rocked as the market prices in an underlying growth rate closer to 20% rather than the company’s 30% guidance.</li><li>Management stated that its Foundry platform could be to the coming decade what Amazon’s AWS was to the last, offering a glimpse into the vast upside potential.</li><li>Palantir has suspended its SPAC investment strategy, eliminating a major customer acquisition red flag after unrealized losses surpassed $200 million.</li><li>With growth slowing, the open question is whether Palantir can broadly penetrate the enterprise software market and the non-US and UK government market.</li><li>Palantir offers one of the largest long-term growth opportunities in the marketplace. With the shares down 87% and expectations adjusting lower, there is increasing visibility into the upside potential.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b22457c73fde6bb9452530e03e739c60\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"580\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>agawa288/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p>I am assigning Palantir (NYSE:PLTR) a positive risk/reward rating based on the vast nature of its long-term opportunity set, its increasingly attractive valuation, and its deeply oversold technical position. In my prior Palantir report from February 3, 2022, I made the following observation of the likely downside potential for Palantir:</p><blockquote>To estimate downside potential beneath $10, I apply an earnings multiple of 40x the 2022 non-GAAP consensus earnings estimate… would place Palantir shares at $8… If the 39% consensus earnings estimate for 2022 is too high, further downside from $8 is in the realm of possibility… I apply the same 40x non-GAAP earnings to my estimate of Palantir&#39;s current annual run rate… If earnings growth comes in at 25% for 2022 (my estimate of adjusted gross profit growth as of Q3 2021)… the shares could trade down to $6.</blockquote><p>In fact, the shares touched a low of $6.44 on May 12, 2022, punctuating a vicious -32% selloff following the company&#39;s Q1 2022 earnings release. Interestingly, consensus earnings growth estimates are now aligned with my previous 25% earnings growth estimate for 2022. The extraordinary volatility is a reminder that Palantir is for those seeking exceptional growth potential with the associated risk.</p><p>Nonetheless, the shares are testing a reasonable valuation zone, as outlined in my prior report. Additionally, Palantir&#39;s stock is down roughly 87% from its all-time high reached in 2021. As a result, it is fair to say that a significant amount of risk has already materialized and thus has been removed from Palantir&#39;s share price.</p><p><b>Risk/Reward Rating: Positive</b></p><p>While taking notes during Palantir&#39;s Q1 2022 earnings conference call, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> line, in particular, stood out and captures the essence of the Palantir investment case. The following is a paraphrase of my notes from the call: &#34;What AWS was to the last decade, Foundry will be to the next.&#34;</p><p>Foundry is one of three primary platforms offered by Palantir. This type of vision speaks to the upside opportunity that many envision for Palantir&#39;s future. Most investors attribute the majority of Amazon&#39;s (AMZN) $1.2 trillion market value to its AWS division. As a result, even a fraction of an AWS-like opportunity represents extraordinary growth potential for Palantir and its shareholders. Palantir&#39;s current valuation is near $18 billion (using the fully diluted share count) and trending lower.</p><p><b>Growth Trajectory</b></p><p>In terms of its growth potential, Palantir continues to guide investors to 30% revenue growth per year through 2025. The 32% selloff in the shares following the reiteration of this guidance speaks to the challenge facing Palantir&#39;s stock in the near term. The market has clearly signaled that it doubts whether management&#39;s 30% growth guidance can be achieved. I spoke to the high likelihood that growth would disappoint in my February report after breaking down Palantir&#39;s growth by customer cohort (emphasis added):</p><blockquote>Similar to the Scale cohort growth rate annualizing at 20% in 2021, the new customer sales growth rate is annualizing at 22% through Q3 2021… As a result<b>, Palantir appears to be trending toward an underlying sales growth rate closer to 20%</b> than the company&#39;s 30% sales growth guidance through mid-decade.</blockquote><p>Now that the risk of disappointment has materialized, the market is increasingly uncertain about the sustainable growth trajectory for Palantir. To tackle this question, I compiled Palantir&#39;s segment sales performance for Q1 2022 and the full year of 2021 to construct a picture of the near-term growth trajectory. The following two tables were compiled from Palantir&#39;s Q1 2022 10-Q and 2021 10-K filed with the SEC. The first table displays Q1 2022 and the second displays 2021. Please note that I have color-coded the related cells for comparison within and between the tables.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6014209021f3fa2f8092daf4a26dba11\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"464\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>Before adding the 2021 table for comparison, note that Palantir grew its revenue by just over 19% in Q1 2022, excluding revenue from Investees (the lower blue highlighted cell). Please compare the 19% growth in Q1 2022 to the blue highlighted cells in the table below for 2021. The growth deceleration is material excluding Investee revenue.</p><p>I would highly recommend reading my prior report for a detailed discussion of the Investee situation. A summary of the current Investees is included at the end of this article for those interested. In essence, investing in companies in return for software sales to those same companies is not a sustainable customer acquisition strategy.</p><p>As a result, I and many others exclude sales to Investees from view when trying to determine Palantir&#39;s sustainable growth trajectory. Interestingly, Palantir stated on the Q1 2022 conference call that they have discontinued the Investee program thus removing a major red flag going forward.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0a7b062d439185403c6bcd0841413601\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"464\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>Notice that total sales grew nearly 37% excluding Investees in 2021 (the lower blue highlighted cell). It should be noted that the growth rate in Q3 2021 was 29% and in Q4 2021 it was 25% (not shown here). The 19% growth posted in Q1 2022 is a substantial deceleration, however, it is generally in line with what one would expect given the preexisting slowdown in Palantir&#39;s growth trajectory.</p><p>I have highlighted in yellow the total dollar growth of revenue for Q1 2022 and the full year of 2021 (excluding sales to Investees). The $66 million of revenue growth in Q1 2022 annualizes at $264 million, in comparison to the $401 million of revenue growth posted in 2021. While Palantir experiences some cyclicality, with the potential for stronger sales in the second half of the year, the Q1 2022 sales figure looks quite weak.</p><p>In fact, in Q1 2021, Palantir grew sales by $112 million (not shown here) which annualized at $448 million compared to the actual sales growth achieved in 2021 of $401 million (excluding Investee revenue). As a result, the Q1 2022 sales growth figure, which annualizes at $264 million, is worrisome when compared to 2021 and the company&#39;s 30% sales growth guidance.</p><p>If sales growth were to come in at $264 million for all of 2022 (excluding Investees), Palantir would grow at 17%. With 19% growth in Q1 2022, down from 37% in 2021, 17% growth would represent a stabilization of the existing downtrend rather than a continuation of Palantir&#39;s growth deceleration.</p><p>Growth stabilization looks to be a possibility as the following paraphrase from my Q1 2022 conference call notes highlights. The paraphrase pertains to management&#39;s discussion of Palantir&#39;s near-term sales guidance which disappointed investors (emphasis added): <i>&#34;We have visibility into the upside,</i> and the upside is quite large.&#34;</p><p><b>Upside Visibility</b></p><p>The bolded text in the above quote inspired the title for this report. It also captures the increasing upside visibility available to investors as Palantir&#39;s share price continues to fall. In terms of what could drive Palantir&#39;s revenue upside, management believes that US government sales will reaccelerate as 2022 unfolds. The 16% growth posted in Q1 2022 is well below the historical Government segment growth rate of 30% per year. This segment could certainly stabilize Palantir&#39;s growth rate as it represents 54% of sales as of Q1.</p><p>With Commercial segment sales growth stable in 2021 and Q1 2022 near 24% per year (excluding Investee revenue), the Government segment trending back towards its historical growth rate of 30% would return Palantir to the ballpark of its 30% annual sales growth guidance.</p><p>The following table highlights another Government segment growth vector that could open up given the extreme level of geopolitical instability and the structural ripple effects into the Commercial segment. These ripple effects are most clearly visible in the widespread failure of supply chains in recent times. The table was compiled from Palantir&#39;s Q1 2022 10-Q filed with the SEC. I have highlighted the additional Government growth vector.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cde3ec929a5825c2fbed7e6a378b108a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"135\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>The US government represented 42% of Palantir&#39;s total sales in Q1 2022 or approximately $187 million. The UK is a large government customer as well, with the Royal Navy and NHS being notable Palantir customers. I estimate that the US and UK governments account for approximately 92% of Palantir&#39;s total Government segment sales. As a result, the vast majority of the rest of world sales in the above table represent Commercial segment sales. I estimate commercial sales comprise 84% of Palantir&#39;s rest of world revenue.</p><p>There is extraordinary upside potential for Palantir in the Government segment globally at only 16% of rest of world sales. With the US and UK governments serving as early adopters, other governments are likely to be incentivized to explore Palantir&#39;s capabilities.</p><p>Greater integration with the US and UK should become increasingly attractive for the rest of the world category. This is especially true given the geopolitical situation and associated commercial disruptions. The possibility that this could become a growth vector for Palantir is highlighted by the following two paraphrases from my Q1 2022 conference call notes: &#34;The nuclear threat is much higher than is believed or than is being portrayed in the media.&#34;</p><p>The underappreciated risk of nuclear events, while at the extreme end of the risk spectrum that Palantir&#39;s products help address, serves to accentuate the opportunity set for Palantir. There are an unlimited number of geopolitical risk vectors for the Government segment with direct ripple effects into the Commercial segment. These risks are now on the front burner for the world&#39;s governments and enterprises alike.</p><p>The second paraphrase from my notes pertains to the spillover of geopolitical tensions into the commercial realm and the disruption of supply chains in particular: &#34;Literally every function of every business is breaking.&#34;</p><p>In essence, Palantir believes that the rapid escalation of geopolitical risks (Russia and China in particular) and the spillover into the commercial sector represents an ideal backdrop for Palantir to sell into, given the company&#39;s deep roots in national security and mission-critical operations. I tend to agree overall with this positive competitive assessment for the coming years. These dynamics could very well lead to nearer-term growth opportunities that could surprise to the upside once the current growth disappointment dissipates and expectations are fully reset.</p><p><b>Consensus Growth Estimates</b></p><p>Interestingly, consensus revenue growth estimates remain unchanged since my February report. As evidenced by Palantir&#39;s collapsing share price, the market has sent a clear signal of no confidence in Palantir achieving 30% sales growth. That said, consensus growth estimates continue to embed the company&#39;s 30% sales growth guidance. Please note that consensus sales estimates include Investee revenue which should account for 6% of total sales in 2022. The following tables were compiled from Seeking Alpha and my prior article and display consensus estimates as of 5-15-22 compared to 2-2-22.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/796c39436a333158793cf93601e3da5f\" tg-width=\"638\" tg-height=\"242\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Seeking Alpha. Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>I have highlighted 2022 and 2023 for ease of comparison. Based on the underlying 17% to 19% sales growth trajectory as of Q1 2022 discussed above, the likelihood of missing estimates in 2022 and 2023 is elevated. This is especially true for sales in light of the termination of the Investee customer acquisition strategy. While consensus revenue estimates remain unchanged and at risk, earnings estimates have ratcheted lower since my last report as can be seen in the following table.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f7c561c18fb35635a76c9ce58f477db0\" tg-width=\"638\" tg-height=\"242\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Seeking Alpha. Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>I have highlighted in yellow the consensus earnings estimates for 2022 and 2023 which have declined by -20% and -14%, respectively, since February 2. Additionally, notice that the valuation multiple has contracted by 18%, from 62x to 51x the 2022 consensus estimate (highlighted in blue). The valuation multiple contracted 22%, from 45x to 35x the 2023 consensus earnings estimate. Please note that these are non-GAAP earnings estimates as Palantir currently operates at a loss on a GAAP basis.</p><p>Nonetheless, when earnings and valuation multiples are moving in the same direction, amplified price volatility is the end result. As investors, we are looking for situations in which earnings estimates and valuation multiples are moving up together, creating amplified upside opportunities. Palantir is clearly undergoing the opposite at the moment.</p><p><b>Profitability Trends</b></p><p>There remains further risk to consensus earnings estimates for 2022 and 2023 as is evidenced by the company&#39;s various profitability measures. When reviewing the underlying trend in Palantir&#39;s profitability measures, consensus estimates for 25% and 47% growth in 2022 and 2023, respectively, appear to be at risk. The following table was compiled from Palantir&#39;s Q1 2022 10-Q filed with the SEC and displays the company&#39;s adjusted operating income growth (highlighted in yellow).</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e6c7104e38d18395dea8d8d4d8aa3b03\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"132\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>While Palantir&#39;s GAAP income is improving from -$114 million to -$39 million, its adjusted operating income has stagnated for all intents and purposes. The signs of profitability stagnation are also evident in Palantir&#39;s cash flow statement below (compiled from the same 10-Q). I have highlighted the key data points.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4643407d0c54c1abe4e12ae6e9a370de\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"464\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>Importantly, Palantir&#39;s Q1 cash flow from operations declined by 70% to $35 million in Q1 2022, while free cash flow turned decidedly negative (the yellow highlighted cells versus the blue highlighted cells). I have included Palantir&#39;s investments in Investees in my free cash flow estimation. This amounted to $89.5 million in Q1 and was recently discontinued. Regardless, Palantir&#39;s declining cash flows fully support the message from its stagnant adjusted income. The consensus earnings estimates of 25% for 2022 and 47% for 2023 are clearly at risk.</p><p><b>Key Business Measure</b></p><p>Palantir utilizes a KPI or Key Performance Indicator for allocating resources internally, which is closely related to the concept of gross profit margin, called Contribution Margin. For a more detailed discussion of this metric, please see my February report. The underlying trajectory of this KPI is similar to the adjusted income and cash flow trends above, if less extreme.</p><p>The following tables display Palantir&#39;s Contribution Margin and were compiled from the company&#39;s Q1 2022 10-Q and my previous Palantir report. The first table displays Q1 2022 and the second displays the trend through Q3 2021. Please note that I have color-coded the related cells for comparison within and between the tables.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f1976698261d14d8ba419b33b43766a8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"423\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>Before displaying the 2021 data, please note that the Contribution Margin grew 24% in Q1 2022 (highlighted in yellow). The growth through Q3 2021 is displayed below and is also highlighted in yellow. Through the first three quarters of 2021, Contribution Margin grew by 64%, however, it slowed dramatically to 37% in Q3 2021 and 27% in Q4 2021 (not shown below). The research and development expense stagnation highlighted in blue, both above and below, will shed some light on the dynamics at play.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1eb3259f5f1b0ee57573816b7dd3484e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"247\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>While the Contribution Margin is in a similar deceleration trend as most of Palantir&#39;s business metrics, at 24% growth in Q1 2022, the growth rate remains above all other metrics. The higher growth rate of Palantir&#39;s Contribution Margin in the face of stagnating adjusted income and declining cash flows is likely an artifact of the Investee program that was active through Q1 2022 and which was recently terminated.</p><p>In essence, Palantir invested in companies (Investees) in return for software sales commitments. Sales to such customers accounted for $39 million of Q1 2022 total sales. Notice in the first table that the 24% Contribution Margin growth in Q1 2022 equates to an increase of $48 million compared to Q1 2021. The Investee sales likely required little in the way of research and development or general and administrative expenses. Palantir acquired and implemented the relationships via an investment agreement.</p><p>As a result, the Contribution Margin growth of 24% in Q1 2022 is likely inflated by up to $39 million. Removing this would result in Contribution Margin growth of just 4%, which is more in line with the adjusted income stagnation and cash flow contraction. The stagnation of research and development expenses from Q3 2021 to Q1 2022 (highlighted in blue in the above tables) suggests that this is the correct inference regarding the inflated growth of Palantir&#39;s Contribution Margin compared to its other performance metrics.</p><p><b>Research and Development</b></p><p>In my February report, I highlighted the rapid slowdown of research and development expenses as a likely negative signal. The reason for this is Palantir&#39;s unique sales cycle compared to standard enterprise software companies. I covered the details of Palantir&#39;s unique sales cycle and customer cohorts in the prior report. The essence is captured by the following quote from the February article:</p><blockquote>The research and development investment slowdown could be a negative read through for sales growth as R&amp;D is an integral part of the sales process. Research and development expenses should track the sales cycle through the three customer phases: Acquire, Expand, and Scale… This does not appear to be happening at the moment.</blockquote><p>The following passage from Palantir&#39;s 2021 10-K supports my interpretation of the signal being sent by Palantir&#39;s stagnant research and development investment.</p><blockquote>We believe that in order to fully address the most complex and valuable challenges that our customers face, we must experience and understand their problems firsthand… we embed with our users. Our research and development function is responsible for the design, development, testing, validation, and refinement of our platforms, and embedding with our users allows us to identify research and development opportunities…</blockquote><p>In summary, all profit growth measures look to be on a stagnating trajectory at minimum and point to an elevated risk of disappointment in regard to consensus earnings growth estimates. As a result, a primary challenge in evaluating the timing of an investment in Palantir is inferring what is priced into the shares on the sales and earnings growth front. With consensus growth estimates and the underlying trends in hand, we can begin to construct Palantir&#39;s potential return spectrum.</p><p><b>Technicals</b></p><p>The technical backdrop provides an excellent bird&#39;s eye view of Palantir&#39;s upside return potential, while fundamental measures will dominate the downside return potential given that Palantir is testing new all-time lows. The following 2-year daily chart captures Palantir&#39;s IPO and the essence of the technical backdrop. I have highlighted the key resistance levels (technical upside targets) with orange lines.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a7a15fef920f0c09c71a9d697b708eaa\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"372\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Palantir 2-year daily chart (Created by Brian Kapp using a chart from Barchart.com)</span></p><p>Given the recent break to all-time lows, there are no visible technical support levels. The 1-year daily chart below provides a closer look.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/806868dae1d9a75949a30a224137e08e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"372\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Palantir 1-year daily chart (Created by Brian Kapp using a chart from Barchart.com)</span></p><p>Please note that the gold line represents the 50-day moving average and the grey line denotes the 200-day moving average. At roughly $8 per share, Palantir is deeply oversold as is evidenced by it being 128% away from its 200-day moving average. The 200-day moving average happens to coincide with the second resistance level. This is likely to be a very heavy resistance zone as it served as the primary support level during Q2 and Q4 of 2021.</p><p>Before testing the upper resistance levels, Palantir will first have to clear the first resistance level near the IPO price of $10. The following 6-month daily chart zooms in on this first resistance level.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94142f6bc2a59a08e88cd3e3422a9c12\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"372\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Palantir 6-month daily chart (Created by Brian Kapp using a chart from Barchart.com)</span></p><p>Notice that trading volume is dropping off following the two-day rally off the recent all-time low. This suggests that Palantir is likely to retest the all-time lows toward $6. A retest of the lows and the need for more extensive base building is well supported by the fundamental deterioration discussed above, as well as in my February report. This interpretation is also supported by the fact that Palantir still trades at an elevated valuation of 8.5x the 2022 consensus sales estimate and 51x the consensus non-GAAP EPS estimate.</p><p><b>Potential Return Spectrum</b></p><p>The upside return potential to each of the technical resistance levels is summarized in the table below. I have estimated the downside return potential using various comparable company valuations in the software industry: <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRM\">Salesforce</a> (CRM), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WDAY\">Workday</a> (WDAY), and Splunk (SPLK). These comparables are a good representation of current valuations throughout the software sector. The lowest downside return estimate is arrived at by applying the market multiple to Palantir&#39;s 2022 EPS estimate.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/69450b8413221d5ba42faa5de2a4591f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"402\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Seeking Alpha. Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>I have highlighted in yellow what I view as the most likely nearer-term return spectrum of -30% to +128%. The blue highlighted cells represent my estimation of the nearer-term (1-3 years) extremes of the potential return spectrum, which ranges from -44% to +239%.</p><p>The -60% downside potential cannot be ruled out if Palantir&#39;s growth disappointment persists, however, I view this as a low probability level even with further disappointment. On the upside, assuming Palantir begins to gain material traction in the Commercial segment, all-time highs within a 5-year time frame are a reasonable possibility. If so, the upside opportunity is extraordinary at +463%.</p><p><b>Summary</b></p><p>All told, Palantir&#39;s risk/reward asymmetry is heavily skewed to the upside. The vast nature of its long-term opportunity combined with its well-advanced valuation correction should bring all secular growth investors to attention. With the stock highly likely to retest recent lows or lower while building a base, the time is now to plan and execute an accumulation strategy for those seeking exceptional return potential.</p><p>If Palantir can execute on its growth plan and become some version of what AWS was to the last decade, the upside potential is truly vast. In conclusion, my prior quote captures the essence of the Palantir investment case, from the perspective of the company and its business as well as that of an investor: &#34;We have visibility into the upside, and the upside is quite large.&#34;</p><p><b>Investee Details</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/54e74788c15daaafe35356e42375e00c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"474\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir: Visibility Into The Upside</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir: Visibility Into The Upside\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-05-20 10:49 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4513235-palantir-visibility-into-the-upside><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryPalantir shares have been rocked as the market prices in an underlying growth rate closer to 20% rather than the company’s 30% guidance.Management stated that its Foundry platform could be to ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4513235-palantir-visibility-into-the-upside\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4513235-palantir-visibility-into-the-upside","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2236338440","content_text":"SummaryPalantir shares have been rocked as the market prices in an underlying growth rate closer to 20% rather than the company’s 30% guidance.Management stated that its Foundry platform could be to the coming decade what Amazon’s AWS was to the last, offering a glimpse into the vast upside potential.Palantir has suspended its SPAC investment strategy, eliminating a major customer acquisition red flag after unrealized losses surpassed $200 million.With growth slowing, the open question is whether Palantir can broadly penetrate the enterprise software market and the non-US and UK government market.Palantir offers one of the largest long-term growth opportunities in the marketplace. With the shares down 87% and expectations adjusting lower, there is increasing visibility into the upside potential.agawa288/iStock via Getty ImagesI am assigning Palantir (NYSE:PLTR) a positive risk/reward rating based on the vast nature of its long-term opportunity set, its increasingly attractive valuation, and its deeply oversold technical position. In my prior Palantir report from February 3, 2022, I made the following observation of the likely downside potential for Palantir:To estimate downside potential beneath $10, I apply an earnings multiple of 40x the 2022 non-GAAP consensus earnings estimate… would place Palantir shares at $8… If the 39% consensus earnings estimate for 2022 is too high, further downside from $8 is in the realm of possibility… I apply the same 40x non-GAAP earnings to my estimate of Palantir's current annual run rate… If earnings growth comes in at 25% for 2022 (my estimate of adjusted gross profit growth as of Q3 2021)… the shares could trade down to $6.In fact, the shares touched a low of $6.44 on May 12, 2022, punctuating a vicious -32% selloff following the company's Q1 2022 earnings release. Interestingly, consensus earnings growth estimates are now aligned with my previous 25% earnings growth estimate for 2022. The extraordinary volatility is a reminder that Palantir is for those seeking exceptional growth potential with the associated risk.Nonetheless, the shares are testing a reasonable valuation zone, as outlined in my prior report. Additionally, Palantir's stock is down roughly 87% from its all-time high reached in 2021. As a result, it is fair to say that a significant amount of risk has already materialized and thus has been removed from Palantir's share price.Risk/Reward Rating: PositiveWhile taking notes during Palantir's Q1 2022 earnings conference call, one line, in particular, stood out and captures the essence of the Palantir investment case. The following is a paraphrase of my notes from the call: \"What AWS was to the last decade, Foundry will be to the next.\"Foundry is one of three primary platforms offered by Palantir. This type of vision speaks to the upside opportunity that many envision for Palantir's future. Most investors attribute the majority of Amazon's (AMZN) $1.2 trillion market value to its AWS division. As a result, even a fraction of an AWS-like opportunity represents extraordinary growth potential for Palantir and its shareholders. Palantir's current valuation is near $18 billion (using the fully diluted share count) and trending lower.Growth TrajectoryIn terms of its growth potential, Palantir continues to guide investors to 30% revenue growth per year through 2025. The 32% selloff in the shares following the reiteration of this guidance speaks to the challenge facing Palantir's stock in the near term. The market has clearly signaled that it doubts whether management's 30% growth guidance can be achieved. I spoke to the high likelihood that growth would disappoint in my February report after breaking down Palantir's growth by customer cohort (emphasis added):Similar to the Scale cohort growth rate annualizing at 20% in 2021, the new customer sales growth rate is annualizing at 22% through Q3 2021… As a result, Palantir appears to be trending toward an underlying sales growth rate closer to 20% than the company's 30% sales growth guidance through mid-decade.Now that the risk of disappointment has materialized, the market is increasingly uncertain about the sustainable growth trajectory for Palantir. To tackle this question, I compiled Palantir's segment sales performance for Q1 2022 and the full year of 2021 to construct a picture of the near-term growth trajectory. The following two tables were compiled from Palantir's Q1 2022 10-Q and 2021 10-K filed with the SEC. The first table displays Q1 2022 and the second displays 2021. Please note that I have color-coded the related cells for comparison within and between the tables.Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxBefore adding the 2021 table for comparison, note that Palantir grew its revenue by just over 19% in Q1 2022, excluding revenue from Investees (the lower blue highlighted cell). Please compare the 19% growth in Q1 2022 to the blue highlighted cells in the table below for 2021. The growth deceleration is material excluding Investee revenue.I would highly recommend reading my prior report for a detailed discussion of the Investee situation. A summary of the current Investees is included at the end of this article for those interested. In essence, investing in companies in return for software sales to those same companies is not a sustainable customer acquisition strategy.As a result, I and many others exclude sales to Investees from view when trying to determine Palantir's sustainable growth trajectory. Interestingly, Palantir stated on the Q1 2022 conference call that they have discontinued the Investee program thus removing a major red flag going forward.Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxNotice that total sales grew nearly 37% excluding Investees in 2021 (the lower blue highlighted cell). It should be noted that the growth rate in Q3 2021 was 29% and in Q4 2021 it was 25% (not shown here). The 19% growth posted in Q1 2022 is a substantial deceleration, however, it is generally in line with what one would expect given the preexisting slowdown in Palantir's growth trajectory.I have highlighted in yellow the total dollar growth of revenue for Q1 2022 and the full year of 2021 (excluding sales to Investees). The $66 million of revenue growth in Q1 2022 annualizes at $264 million, in comparison to the $401 million of revenue growth posted in 2021. While Palantir experiences some cyclicality, with the potential for stronger sales in the second half of the year, the Q1 2022 sales figure looks quite weak.In fact, in Q1 2021, Palantir grew sales by $112 million (not shown here) which annualized at $448 million compared to the actual sales growth achieved in 2021 of $401 million (excluding Investee revenue). As a result, the Q1 2022 sales growth figure, which annualizes at $264 million, is worrisome when compared to 2021 and the company's 30% sales growth guidance.If sales growth were to come in at $264 million for all of 2022 (excluding Investees), Palantir would grow at 17%. With 19% growth in Q1 2022, down from 37% in 2021, 17% growth would represent a stabilization of the existing downtrend rather than a continuation of Palantir's growth deceleration.Growth stabilization looks to be a possibility as the following paraphrase from my Q1 2022 conference call notes highlights. The paraphrase pertains to management's discussion of Palantir's near-term sales guidance which disappointed investors (emphasis added): \"We have visibility into the upside, and the upside is quite large.\"Upside VisibilityThe bolded text in the above quote inspired the title for this report. It also captures the increasing upside visibility available to investors as Palantir's share price continues to fall. In terms of what could drive Palantir's revenue upside, management believes that US government sales will reaccelerate as 2022 unfolds. The 16% growth posted in Q1 2022 is well below the historical Government segment growth rate of 30% per year. This segment could certainly stabilize Palantir's growth rate as it represents 54% of sales as of Q1.With Commercial segment sales growth stable in 2021 and Q1 2022 near 24% per year (excluding Investee revenue), the Government segment trending back towards its historical growth rate of 30% would return Palantir to the ballpark of its 30% annual sales growth guidance.The following table highlights another Government segment growth vector that could open up given the extreme level of geopolitical instability and the structural ripple effects into the Commercial segment. These ripple effects are most clearly visible in the widespread failure of supply chains in recent times. The table was compiled from Palantir's Q1 2022 10-Q filed with the SEC. I have highlighted the additional Government growth vector.Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxThe US government represented 42% of Palantir's total sales in Q1 2022 or approximately $187 million. The UK is a large government customer as well, with the Royal Navy and NHS being notable Palantir customers. I estimate that the US and UK governments account for approximately 92% of Palantir's total Government segment sales. As a result, the vast majority of the rest of world sales in the above table represent Commercial segment sales. I estimate commercial sales comprise 84% of Palantir's rest of world revenue.There is extraordinary upside potential for Palantir in the Government segment globally at only 16% of rest of world sales. With the US and UK governments serving as early adopters, other governments are likely to be incentivized to explore Palantir's capabilities.Greater integration with the US and UK should become increasingly attractive for the rest of the world category. This is especially true given the geopolitical situation and associated commercial disruptions. The possibility that this could become a growth vector for Palantir is highlighted by the following two paraphrases from my Q1 2022 conference call notes: \"The nuclear threat is much higher than is believed or than is being portrayed in the media.\"The underappreciated risk of nuclear events, while at the extreme end of the risk spectrum that Palantir's products help address, serves to accentuate the opportunity set for Palantir. There are an unlimited number of geopolitical risk vectors for the Government segment with direct ripple effects into the Commercial segment. These risks are now on the front burner for the world's governments and enterprises alike.The second paraphrase from my notes pertains to the spillover of geopolitical tensions into the commercial realm and the disruption of supply chains in particular: \"Literally every function of every business is breaking.\"In essence, Palantir believes that the rapid escalation of geopolitical risks (Russia and China in particular) and the spillover into the commercial sector represents an ideal backdrop for Palantir to sell into, given the company's deep roots in national security and mission-critical operations. I tend to agree overall with this positive competitive assessment for the coming years. These dynamics could very well lead to nearer-term growth opportunities that could surprise to the upside once the current growth disappointment dissipates and expectations are fully reset.Consensus Growth EstimatesInterestingly, consensus revenue growth estimates remain unchanged since my February report. As evidenced by Palantir's collapsing share price, the market has sent a clear signal of no confidence in Palantir achieving 30% sales growth. That said, consensus growth estimates continue to embed the company's 30% sales growth guidance. Please note that consensus sales estimates include Investee revenue which should account for 6% of total sales in 2022. The following tables were compiled from Seeking Alpha and my prior article and display consensus estimates as of 5-15-22 compared to 2-2-22.Seeking Alpha. Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxI have highlighted 2022 and 2023 for ease of comparison. Based on the underlying 17% to 19% sales growth trajectory as of Q1 2022 discussed above, the likelihood of missing estimates in 2022 and 2023 is elevated. This is especially true for sales in light of the termination of the Investee customer acquisition strategy. While consensus revenue estimates remain unchanged and at risk, earnings estimates have ratcheted lower since my last report as can be seen in the following table.Seeking Alpha. Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxI have highlighted in yellow the consensus earnings estimates for 2022 and 2023 which have declined by -20% and -14%, respectively, since February 2. Additionally, notice that the valuation multiple has contracted by 18%, from 62x to 51x the 2022 consensus estimate (highlighted in blue). The valuation multiple contracted 22%, from 45x to 35x the 2023 consensus earnings estimate. Please note that these are non-GAAP earnings estimates as Palantir currently operates at a loss on a GAAP basis.Nonetheless, when earnings and valuation multiples are moving in the same direction, amplified price volatility is the end result. As investors, we are looking for situations in which earnings estimates and valuation multiples are moving up together, creating amplified upside opportunities. Palantir is clearly undergoing the opposite at the moment.Profitability TrendsThere remains further risk to consensus earnings estimates for 2022 and 2023 as is evidenced by the company's various profitability measures. When reviewing the underlying trend in Palantir's profitability measures, consensus estimates for 25% and 47% growth in 2022 and 2023, respectively, appear to be at risk. The following table was compiled from Palantir's Q1 2022 10-Q filed with the SEC and displays the company's adjusted operating income growth (highlighted in yellow).Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxWhile Palantir's GAAP income is improving from -$114 million to -$39 million, its adjusted operating income has stagnated for all intents and purposes. The signs of profitability stagnation are also evident in Palantir's cash flow statement below (compiled from the same 10-Q). I have highlighted the key data points.Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxImportantly, Palantir's Q1 cash flow from operations declined by 70% to $35 million in Q1 2022, while free cash flow turned decidedly negative (the yellow highlighted cells versus the blue highlighted cells). I have included Palantir's investments in Investees in my free cash flow estimation. This amounted to $89.5 million in Q1 and was recently discontinued. Regardless, Palantir's declining cash flows fully support the message from its stagnant adjusted income. The consensus earnings estimates of 25% for 2022 and 47% for 2023 are clearly at risk.Key Business MeasurePalantir utilizes a KPI or Key Performance Indicator for allocating resources internally, which is closely related to the concept of gross profit margin, called Contribution Margin. For a more detailed discussion of this metric, please see my February report. The underlying trajectory of this KPI is similar to the adjusted income and cash flow trends above, if less extreme.The following tables display Palantir's Contribution Margin and were compiled from the company's Q1 2022 10-Q and my previous Palantir report. The first table displays Q1 2022 and the second displays the trend through Q3 2021. Please note that I have color-coded the related cells for comparison within and between the tables.Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxBefore displaying the 2021 data, please note that the Contribution Margin grew 24% in Q1 2022 (highlighted in yellow). The growth through Q3 2021 is displayed below and is also highlighted in yellow. Through the first three quarters of 2021, Contribution Margin grew by 64%, however, it slowed dramatically to 37% in Q3 2021 and 27% in Q4 2021 (not shown below). The research and development expense stagnation highlighted in blue, both above and below, will shed some light on the dynamics at play.Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxWhile the Contribution Margin is in a similar deceleration trend as most of Palantir's business metrics, at 24% growth in Q1 2022, the growth rate remains above all other metrics. The higher growth rate of Palantir's Contribution Margin in the face of stagnating adjusted income and declining cash flows is likely an artifact of the Investee program that was active through Q1 2022 and which was recently terminated.In essence, Palantir invested in companies (Investees) in return for software sales commitments. Sales to such customers accounted for $39 million of Q1 2022 total sales. Notice in the first table that the 24% Contribution Margin growth in Q1 2022 equates to an increase of $48 million compared to Q1 2021. The Investee sales likely required little in the way of research and development or general and administrative expenses. Palantir acquired and implemented the relationships via an investment agreement.As a result, the Contribution Margin growth of 24% in Q1 2022 is likely inflated by up to $39 million. Removing this would result in Contribution Margin growth of just 4%, which is more in line with the adjusted income stagnation and cash flow contraction. The stagnation of research and development expenses from Q3 2021 to Q1 2022 (highlighted in blue in the above tables) suggests that this is the correct inference regarding the inflated growth of Palantir's Contribution Margin compared to its other performance metrics.Research and DevelopmentIn my February report, I highlighted the rapid slowdown of research and development expenses as a likely negative signal. The reason for this is Palantir's unique sales cycle compared to standard enterprise software companies. I covered the details of Palantir's unique sales cycle and customer cohorts in the prior report. The essence is captured by the following quote from the February article:The research and development investment slowdown could be a negative read through for sales growth as R&D is an integral part of the sales process. Research and development expenses should track the sales cycle through the three customer phases: Acquire, Expand, and Scale… This does not appear to be happening at the moment.The following passage from Palantir's 2021 10-K supports my interpretation of the signal being sent by Palantir's stagnant research and development investment.We believe that in order to fully address the most complex and valuable challenges that our customers face, we must experience and understand their problems firsthand… we embed with our users. Our research and development function is responsible for the design, development, testing, validation, and refinement of our platforms, and embedding with our users allows us to identify research and development opportunities…In summary, all profit growth measures look to be on a stagnating trajectory at minimum and point to an elevated risk of disappointment in regard to consensus earnings growth estimates. As a result, a primary challenge in evaluating the timing of an investment in Palantir is inferring what is priced into the shares on the sales and earnings growth front. With consensus growth estimates and the underlying trends in hand, we can begin to construct Palantir's potential return spectrum.TechnicalsThe technical backdrop provides an excellent bird's eye view of Palantir's upside return potential, while fundamental measures will dominate the downside return potential given that Palantir is testing new all-time lows. The following 2-year daily chart captures Palantir's IPO and the essence of the technical backdrop. I have highlighted the key resistance levels (technical upside targets) with orange lines.Palantir 2-year daily chart (Created by Brian Kapp using a chart from Barchart.com)Given the recent break to all-time lows, there are no visible technical support levels. The 1-year daily chart below provides a closer look.Palantir 1-year daily chart (Created by Brian Kapp using a chart from Barchart.com)Please note that the gold line represents the 50-day moving average and the grey line denotes the 200-day moving average. At roughly $8 per share, Palantir is deeply oversold as is evidenced by it being 128% away from its 200-day moving average. The 200-day moving average happens to coincide with the second resistance level. This is likely to be a very heavy resistance zone as it served as the primary support level during Q2 and Q4 of 2021.Before testing the upper resistance levels, Palantir will first have to clear the first resistance level near the IPO price of $10. The following 6-month daily chart zooms in on this first resistance level.Palantir 6-month daily chart (Created by Brian Kapp using a chart from Barchart.com)Notice that trading volume is dropping off following the two-day rally off the recent all-time low. This suggests that Palantir is likely to retest the all-time lows toward $6. A retest of the lows and the need for more extensive base building is well supported by the fundamental deterioration discussed above, as well as in my February report. This interpretation is also supported by the fact that Palantir still trades at an elevated valuation of 8.5x the 2022 consensus sales estimate and 51x the consensus non-GAAP EPS estimate.Potential Return SpectrumThe upside return potential to each of the technical resistance levels is summarized in the table below. I have estimated the downside return potential using various comparable company valuations in the software industry: Salesforce (CRM), Workday (WDAY), and Splunk (SPLK). These comparables are a good representation of current valuations throughout the software sector. The lowest downside return estimate is arrived at by applying the market multiple to Palantir's 2022 EPS estimate.Seeking Alpha. Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxI have highlighted in yellow what I view as the most likely nearer-term return spectrum of -30% to +128%. The blue highlighted cells represent my estimation of the nearer-term (1-3 years) extremes of the potential return spectrum, which ranges from -44% to +239%.The -60% downside potential cannot be ruled out if Palantir's growth disappointment persists, however, I view this as a low probability level even with further disappointment. On the upside, assuming Palantir begins to gain material traction in the Commercial segment, all-time highs within a 5-year time frame are a reasonable possibility. If so, the upside opportunity is extraordinary at +463%.SummaryAll told, Palantir's risk/reward asymmetry is heavily skewed to the upside. The vast nature of its long-term opportunity combined with its well-advanced valuation correction should bring all secular growth investors to attention. With the stock highly likely to retest recent lows or lower while building a base, the time is now to plan and execute an accumulation strategy for those seeking exceptional return potential.If Palantir can execute on its growth plan and become some version of what AWS was to the last decade, the upside potential is truly vast. In conclusion, my prior quote captures the essence of the Palantir investment case, from the perspective of the company and its business as well as that of an investor: \"We have visibility into the upside, and the upside is quite large.\"Investee DetailsCreated by Brian Kapp, stoxdox","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":86,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}