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2021-12-30

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These stocks are down at least 20% from 2021 highs, but Wall Street sees them gaining as much as 87% in 2022

2021-09-02

Great news for my calls

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2021-08-24

? party in singapore after ?????. Then the FUD spreaders can eat their words

AMC Stock Makes Little Sense to Own at $36 Per Share

2021-08-24

FUD.

AMC Stock Makes Little Sense to Own at $36 Per Share

2021-08-16

More FUD

3 High-Flying Stocks That May Fall 53% to 84%, According to Wall Street

2021-08-16

FUD

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Go to Tiger App to see more news

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23:35","market":"us","language":"en","title":"These stocks are down at least 20% from 2021 highs, but Wall Street sees them gaining as much as 87% in 2022","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2195450556","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"More than 90 large-cap stocks are down at least 20% from their 2021 highs, but analysts love many of","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>More than 90 large-cap stocks are down at least 20% from their 2021 highs, but analysts love many of them, including JD.com, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PYPL\">PayPal</a> and Disney</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3aebc95cbe7dbebe32f5045c9fa2f994\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Analysts polled by FactSet expect shares of Alaska Air Group to rise 47% over the next 12 months.Getty Images</span></p><p>This has been a remarkable year for stocks, but it may surprise you how many are in bear-market territory, usually defined as a decline of at least 20%.</p><p>Among a large group of beaten-down stocks, analysts working for brokerage firms expect dozens to soar in 2022. See them below.</p><p><b>A solid 2021, but look at  the cap-weighting</b></p><p>The benchmark S&amp;P 500 index  has risen 27.4% during 2021, following a 16.3% in 2020 -- two years of pandemic and two years of double-digit gains. (All price changed in this article exclude dividends.)</p><p>You probably know the S&amp;P 500 is weighted by market capitalization, but you might not be aware of how extreme the weighting can be. Take a look at the weighting and performance of the top five companies held by the SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust, which tracks the S&amp;P 500. Together, they make up 23% of the fund&#39;s portfolio and the index:</p><table><tbody><tr><td>Company</td><td>Ticker</td><td>Price change -- 2021</td><td>Share of SPY</td></tr><tr><td>Apple Inc.</td><td>AAPL</td><td>35.1%</td><td>6.9%</td></tr><tr><td>Microsoft Corp.</td><td>MSFT</td><td>53.4%</td><td>6.3%</td></tr><tr><td>Amazon.com Inc.</td><td>AMZN</td><td>4.8%</td><td>3.7%</td></tr><tr><td>Alphabet Inc. Class A</td><td>GOOGL</td><td>67.4%</td><td>2.2%</td></tr><tr><td>Tesla Inc.</td><td>TSLA</td><td>54.2%</td><td>2.2%</td></tr><tr><td>Alphabet Inc. Class C</td><td>GOOG</td><td>67.2%</td><td>2.1%</td></tr><tr></tr></tbody></table><p>Source: FactSet</p><p>SPY and the S&amp;P 500 include two common-share classes for Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) and two apiece for four other companies, for a total of 505 stocks.</p><p><b>Stocks in bear markets that analysts love</b></p><p>For a broader list of large-cap stocks listed in the U.S., including those of some of China&#39;s biggest internet players, we added the components of the Nasdaq-100 Index , comprised of the 100 largest Nasdaq-listed companies by market capitalization and tracked by the Invesco QQQ Trust.</p><p>After removing duplicates, this left a list of 529 stocks.</p><p>Within in the group, 94 are in a bear market -- that is, they were down at least 20% from their 2021 intraday highs through Dec. 28, according to data provided by FactSet.</p><p>Among the 94, there are 30 with &#34;buy&#34; or equivalent ratings from at least two-thirds of analysts polled by FactSet. Here they are, sorted by the 12-month upside potential implied by the consensus price targets:</p><table><tbody><tr><td>Company</td><td>Ticker</td><td>Decline from 2021 high</td><td>Closing price -- Dec. 28</td><td>2021 high</td><td>Date of 2021 high</td><td>Share &#34;buy&#34; ratings</td><td>Consensus price target</td><td>Implied 12-month upside potential</td></tr><tr><td>Pinduoduo Inc. ADR Class A</td><td>PDD</td><td>-73.6%</td><td>$56.04</td><td>$212.60</td><td>02/16/2021</td><td>76%</td><td>$104.54</td><td>87%</td></tr><tr><td>Baidu Inc. ADR Class A</td><td>BIDU</td><td>-60.3%</td><td>$140.88</td><td>$354.82</td><td>02/22/2021</td><td>83%</td><td>$232.32</td><td>65%</td></tr><tr><td>JD.com Inc. ADR Class A</td><td>JD</td><td>-39.2%</td><td>$65.87</td><td>$108.29</td><td>02/17/2021</td><td>94%</td><td>$106.30</td><td>61%</td></tr><tr><td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MELI\">MercadoLibre</a> Inc.</td><td>MELI</td><td>-34.8%</td><td>$1,316.28</td><td>$2,020.00</td><td>01/21/2021</td><td>87%</td><td>$2,011.00</td><td>53%</td></tr><tr><td>Caesars Entertainment Inc.</td><td>CZR</td><td>-22.6%</td><td>$92.78</td><td>$119.81</td><td>10/01/2021</td><td>94%</td><td>$137.36</td><td>48%</td></tr><tr><td>Generac Holdings Inc.</td><td>GNRC</td><td>-33.6%</td><td>$348.18</td><td>$524.31</td><td>11/02/2021</td><td>77%</td><td>$514.11</td><td>48%</td></tr><tr><td>Alaska Air Group Inc.</td><td>ALK</td><td>-28.8%</td><td>$52.90</td><td>$74.25</td><td>04/07/2021</td><td>93%</td><td>$77.71</td><td>47%</td></tr><tr><td>PayPal Holdings Inc.</td><td>PYPL</td><td>-38.7%</td><td>$190.10</td><td>$310.16</td><td>07/26/2021</td><td>84%</td><td>$273.65</td><td>44%</td></tr><tr><td>CrowdStrike Holdings Inc. Class A</td><td>CRWD</td><td>-30.6%</td><td>$207.23</td><td>$298.48</td><td>11/10/2021</td><td>86%</td><td>$291.88</td><td>41%</td></tr><tr><td>Trip.com Group Ltd. ADR</td><td>TCOM</td><td>-48.5%</td><td>$23.29</td><td>$45.19</td><td>03/17/2021</td><td>79%</td><td>$32.78</td><td>41%</td></tr><tr><td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TMUSR\">T-Mobile US Inc</a>.</td><td>TMUS</td><td>-21.3%</td><td>$118.16</td><td>$150.20</td><td>07/16/2021</td><td>81%</td><td>$165.51</td><td>40%</td></tr><tr><td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ENPH\">Enphase Energy</a> Inc.</td><td>ENPH</td><td>-33.9%</td><td>$186.79</td><td>$282.46</td><td>11/22/2021</td><td>67%</td><td>$260.92</td><td>40%</td></tr><tr><td>Global Payments Inc.</td><td>GPN</td><td>-38.8%</td><td>$135.15</td><td>$220.81</td><td>04/26/2021</td><td>85%</td><td>$188.41</td><td>39%</td></tr><tr><td>NetEase Inc. ADR</td><td>NTES</td><td>-27.7%</td><td>$97.15</td><td>$134.33</td><td>02/11/2021</td><td>97%</td><td>$134.53</td><td>38%</td></tr><tr><td>Activision Blizzard Inc.</td><td>ATVI</td><td>-36.2%</td><td>$66.67</td><td>$104.53</td><td>02/16/2021</td><td>71%</td><td>$90.86</td><td>36%</td></tr><tr><td>Southwest Airlines Co.</td><td>LUV</td><td>-34.7%</td><td>$42.29</td><td>$64.75</td><td>04/14/2021</td><td>78%</td><td>$57.32</td><td>36%</td></tr><tr><td>Fidelity National Information Services Inc.</td><td>FIS</td><td>-29.9%</td><td>$109.29</td><td>$155.96</td><td>04/29/2021</td><td>74%</td><td>$146.86</td><td>34%</td></tr><tr><td>Match Group Inc.</td><td>MTCH</td><td>-27.0%</td><td>$132.94</td><td>$182.00</td><td>10/21/2021</td><td>68%</td><td>$175.11</td><td>32%</td></tr><tr><td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LDOS\">Leidos Holdings Inc</a>.</td><td>LDOS</td><td>-22.4%</td><td>$88.26</td><td>$113.75</td><td>01/25/2021</td><td>71%</td><td>$115.00</td><td>30%</td></tr><tr><td>WestRock Co.</td><td>WRK</td><td>-28.8%</td><td>$44.19</td><td>$62.03</td><td>05/17/2021</td><td>67%</td><td>$56.92</td><td>29%</td></tr><tr><td>Medtronic <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLC\">PLC</a></td><td>MDT</td><td>-23.1%</td><td>$104.53</td><td>$135.89</td><td>09/09/2021</td><td>85%</td><td>$134.52</td><td>29%</td></tr><tr><td>Teleflex Inc.</td><td>TFX</td><td>-26.6%</td><td>$330.03</td><td>$449.38</td><td>04/28/2021</td><td>75%</td><td>$424.11</td><td>29%</td></tr><tr><td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZBH\">Zimmer Biomet Holdings Inc</a>.</td><td>ZBH</td><td>-28.9%</td><td>$128.21</td><td>$180.36</td><td>04/29/2021</td><td>68%</td><td>$163.71</td><td>28%</td></tr><tr><td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PTC\">PTC Inc.</a></td><td>PTC</td><td>-20.4%</td><td>$122.34</td><td>$153.73</td><td>07/23/2021</td><td>71%</td><td>$156.15</td><td>28%</td></tr><tr><td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PSX\">Phillips 66</a></td><td>PSX</td><td>-21.6%</td><td>$73.93</td><td>$94.34</td><td>06/10/2021</td><td>79%</td><td>$93.50</td><td>26%</td></tr><tr><td>Boeing Co.</td><td>BA</td><td>-26.0%</td><td>$206.13</td><td>$278.57</td><td>03/15/2021</td><td>73%</td><td>$259.61</td><td>26%</td></tr><tr><td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OKTA\">Okta Inc.</a> Class A</td><td>OKTA</td><td>-23.6%</td><td>$224.47</td><td>$294.00</td><td>02/12/2021</td><td>82%</td><td>$279.88</td><td>25%</td></tr><tr><td>Walt Disney Co.</td><td>DIS</td><td>-23.6%</td><td>$155.20</td><td>$203.02</td><td>03/08/2021</td><td>70%</td><td>$193.29</td><td>25%</td></tr><tr><td>Corning Inc.</td><td>GLW</td><td>-20.2%</td><td>$37.35</td><td>$46.82</td><td>04/26/2021</td><td>69%</td><td>$44.38</td><td>19%</td></tr><tr><td>Lamb Weston Holdings Inc.</td><td>LW</td><td>-28.0%</td><td>$62.22</td><td>$86.41</td><td>03/08/2021</td><td>78%</td><td>$73.29</td><td>18%</td></tr><tr></tr></tbody></table><p>Source: FactSet</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>These stocks are down at least 20% from 2021 highs, but Wall Street sees them gaining as much as 87% in 2022</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThese stocks are down at least 20% from 2021 highs, but Wall Street sees them gaining as much as 87% in 2022\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-12-29 23:35 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/these-stocks-are-down-at-least-20-from-2021-highs-but-wall-street-sees-them-gaining-as-much-as-87-in-2022-11640787635?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>More than 90 large-cap stocks are down at least 20% from their 2021 highs, but analysts love many of them, including JD.com, PayPal and DisneyAnalysts polled by FactSet expect shares of Alaska Air ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/these-stocks-are-down-at-least-20-from-2021-highs-but-wall-street-sees-them-gaining-as-much-as-87-in-2022-11640787635?mod=home-page\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4538":"云计算","BK4167":"医疗保健技术","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","CRCT":"Cricut, Inc.","BK4007":"制药","SH":"标普500反向ETF","BK4077":"互动媒体与服务","OLPX":"Olaplex Holdings, Inc.","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","PYPL":"PayPal","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","FWRG":"First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.","BK4561":"索罗斯持仓","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","BK4099":"汽车制造商","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","BK4106":"数据处理与外包服务","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","GOOGL":"谷歌A","OEX":"标普100","BK4514":"搜索引擎","SPY":"标普500ETF","BK4539":"次新股","TERN":"Terns Pharmaceuticals, Inc.","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","BK4183":"个人用品","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4191":"家用电器","BK4553":"喜马拉雅资本持仓","TSLA":"特斯拉","BK4507":"流媒体概念","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","DIS":"迪士尼","BK4555":"新能源车","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","BK4503":"景林资产持仓","BK4525":"远程办公概念","BK4566":"资本集团","BK4524":"宅经济概念","HCTI":"Healthcare Triangle, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/these-stocks-are-down-at-least-20-from-2021-highs-but-wall-street-sees-them-gaining-as-much-as-87-in-2022-11640787635?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2195450556","content_text":"More than 90 large-cap stocks are down at least 20% from their 2021 highs, but analysts love many of them, including JD.com, PayPal and DisneyAnalysts polled by FactSet expect shares of Alaska Air Group to rise 47% over the next 12 months.Getty ImagesThis has been a remarkable year for stocks, but it may surprise you how many are in bear-market territory, usually defined as a decline of at least 20%.Among a large group of beaten-down stocks, analysts working for brokerage firms expect dozens to soar in 2022. See them below.A solid 2021, but look at  the cap-weightingThe benchmark S&P 500 index  has risen 27.4% during 2021, following a 16.3% in 2020 -- two years of pandemic and two years of double-digit gains. (All price changed in this article exclude dividends.)You probably know the S&P 500 is weighted by market capitalization, but you might not be aware of how extreme the weighting can be. Take a look at the weighting and performance of the top five companies held by the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust, which tracks the S&P 500. Together, they make up 23% of the fund's portfolio and the index:CompanyTickerPrice change -- 2021Share of SPYApple Inc.AAPL35.1%6.9%Microsoft Corp.MSFT53.4%6.3%Amazon.com Inc.AMZN4.8%3.7%Alphabet Inc. Class AGOOGL67.4%2.2%Tesla Inc.TSLA54.2%2.2%Alphabet Inc. Class CGOOG67.2%2.1%Source: FactSetSPY and the S&P 500 include two common-share classes for Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) and two apiece for four other companies, for a total of 505 stocks.Stocks in bear markets that analysts loveFor a broader list of large-cap stocks listed in the U.S., including those of some of China's biggest internet players, we added the components of the Nasdaq-100 Index , comprised of the 100 largest Nasdaq-listed companies by market capitalization and tracked by the Invesco QQQ Trust.After removing duplicates, this left a list of 529 stocks.Within in the group, 94 are in a bear market -- that is, they were down at least 20% from their 2021 intraday highs through Dec. 28, according to data provided by FactSet.Among the 94, there are 30 with \"buy\" or equivalent ratings from at least two-thirds of analysts polled by FactSet. Here they are, sorted by the 12-month upside potential implied by the consensus price targets:CompanyTickerDecline from 2021 highClosing price -- Dec. 282021 highDate of 2021 highShare \"buy\" ratingsConsensus price targetImplied 12-month upside potentialPinduoduo Inc. ADR Class APDD-73.6%$56.04$212.6002/16/202176%$104.5487%Baidu Inc. ADR Class ABIDU-60.3%$140.88$354.8202/22/202183%$232.3265%JD.com Inc. ADR Class AJD-39.2%$65.87$108.2902/17/202194%$106.3061%MercadoLibre Inc.MELI-34.8%$1,316.28$2,020.0001/21/202187%$2,011.0053%Caesars Entertainment Inc.CZR-22.6%$92.78$119.8110/01/202194%$137.3648%Generac Holdings Inc.GNRC-33.6%$348.18$524.3111/02/202177%$514.1148%Alaska Air Group Inc.ALK-28.8%$52.90$74.2504/07/202193%$77.7147%PayPal Holdings Inc.PYPL-38.7%$190.10$310.1607/26/202184%$273.6544%CrowdStrike Holdings Inc. Class ACRWD-30.6%$207.23$298.4811/10/202186%$291.8841%Trip.com Group Ltd. ADRTCOM-48.5%$23.29$45.1903/17/202179%$32.7841%T-Mobile US Inc.TMUS-21.3%$118.16$150.2007/16/202181%$165.5140%Enphase Energy Inc.ENPH-33.9%$186.79$282.4611/22/202167%$260.9240%Global Payments Inc.GPN-38.8%$135.15$220.8104/26/202185%$188.4139%NetEase Inc. ADRNTES-27.7%$97.15$134.3302/11/202197%$134.5338%Activision Blizzard Inc.ATVI-36.2%$66.67$104.5302/16/202171%$90.8636%Southwest Airlines Co.LUV-34.7%$42.29$64.7504/14/202178%$57.3236%Fidelity National Information Services Inc.FIS-29.9%$109.29$155.9604/29/202174%$146.8634%Match Group Inc.MTCH-27.0%$132.94$182.0010/21/202168%$175.1132%Leidos Holdings Inc.LDOS-22.4%$88.26$113.7501/25/202171%$115.0030%WestRock Co.WRK-28.8%$44.19$62.0305/17/202167%$56.9229%Medtronic PLCMDT-23.1%$104.53$135.8909/09/202185%$134.5229%Teleflex Inc.TFX-26.6%$330.03$449.3804/28/202175%$424.1129%Zimmer Biomet Holdings Inc.ZBH-28.9%$128.21$180.3604/29/202168%$163.7128%PTC Inc.PTC-20.4%$122.34$153.7307/23/202171%$156.1528%Phillips 66PSX-21.6%$73.93$94.3406/10/202179%$93.5026%Boeing Co.BA-26.0%$206.13$278.5703/15/202173%$259.6126%Okta Inc. Class AOKTA-23.6%$224.47$294.0002/12/202182%$279.8825%Walt Disney Co.DIS-23.6%$155.20$203.0203/08/202170%$193.2925%Corning Inc.GLW-20.2%$37.35$46.8204/26/202169%$44.3819%Lamb Weston Holdings Inc.LW-28.0%$62.22$86.4103/08/202178%$73.2918%Source: FactSet","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":446,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":812873159,"gmtCreate":1630577495571,"gmtModify":1676530345441,"author":{"id":"4087542547312600","authorId":"4087542547312600","name":"Stu79","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087542547312600","authorIdStr":"4087542547312600"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great news for my calls","listText":"Great news for my calls","text":"Great news for my calls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/812873159","repostId":"1159580926","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":279,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":834213674,"gmtCreate":1629805820398,"gmtModify":1676530136581,"author":{"id":"4087542547312600","authorId":"4087542547312600","name":"Stu79","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087542547312600","authorIdStr":"4087542547312600"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"? party in singapore after ?????. Then the FUD spreaders can eat their words","listText":"? party in singapore after ?????. Then the FUD spreaders can eat their words","text":"? party in singapore after ?????. Then the FUD spreaders can eat their words","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/834213674","repostId":"1139894852","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1139894852","pubTimestamp":1629795640,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1139894852?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-08-24 17:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"AMC Stock Makes Little Sense to Own at $36 Per Share","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1139894852","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"If the short squeeze thesis collapses, so will the price of AMC stock, so avoid it ahead of what wil","content":"<p>If the short squeeze thesis collapses, so will the price of AMC stock, so avoid it ahead of what will likely be a substantial price decline</p>\n<p>A spate of positive developments&nbsp;may be helping to keep&nbsp;<b>AMC Entertainment</b>(NYSE:<b><u>AMC</u></b>) stock steady. But should investors take this as a sign that it’s wise to buy in now, ahead of this “meme stock” favorite of the Reddit trading community surging higher once again?</p>\n<p>Not so fast. Its recent resiliency may call into question my claim that the stock’s&nbsp;capitulation had already begun. Admittedly, my bear case for the stock may take longer than previously anticipated to play out. Don’t mistake this though, for me changing my take on the stock completely.</p>\n<p>Whether next month, next quarter, or even next year, the risk of a massive collapse remains on the table. Why? The self-proclaimed “Ape Army” of traders long the stock will at some point break. How? First, if or when the “mother of all short squeezes” thesis that’s been propping it up finally breaks.</p>\n<p>If this happens? The collapse will occur, as the company’s underlying value remains far below what shares change hands for today (around $36 per share). Compared to the other top “meme stock,”<b>GameStop</b>(NYSE:<b><u>GME</u></b>), the gap between trading price and underlying value is even wider with AMC. To avoid the risk of tremendous losses, it remains best to steer clear.</p>\n<p><b>AMC Entertainment and its Latest Quarterly Results</b></p>\n<p>On Aug 9, AMC reported results for the quarter ending June 30. Investors focused more on its&nbsp;revenue beat and lower-than-expected losses. But paying close attention to the details, it’s clear there really is not much to be excited about with this company’s results.</p>\n<p>What do I mean? Losses were lower than expected. Yet a quarterly loss of $344 million, versus projections of $561.2 million, is hardly anything to go bananas about. Revenue of $444.7 million, versus consensus estimates of $382.1 million, may have been a nice surprise. However, that’s still far below the&nbsp;$1.51 billion in quarterly sales&nbsp;the company was generating this time of year pre-Covid.</p>\n<p>Its theaters may be open again for business. Revenue is moving in the right direction. But this hardly justifies valuing AMC stock at a level many times what it was pre-pandemic. Now I understand that the “Ape Army” is not valuing this stock using traditional valuation metrics.</p>\n<p>Instead, they’ve mostly built it around insinuations that&nbsp; “dark pools” and other underhanded hedge fund tactics have resulted in a substantially higher level of short interest than has been reported (16.8% of outstanding float). Some see this as the&nbsp;perfect setup for the “mother of all short squeezes.”Yet given the low chances of this thesis playing out? Chances are, we’ll see the opposite happen, in a big way.</p>\n<p><b>If Short Squeeze Thesis Collapses, So Will AMC Stock</b></p>\n<p>Again, it’s hard to tell when. But at some point down the road, the longs will capitulate. Again, due to their “mother of all short squeezes” thesis on the stock fizzling out. With the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC)&nbsp;investigating dark pools, “AMC Apes” for now may have enough on their side to bolster the narrative they’ve crafted about it.</p>\n<p>But what happens if the SEC reins in dark pools, and it turns out AMC stock hasn’t been shorted to an extent larger than reported? What if, at the end of the day, only a moderate amount of its shares remain sold short, with said shorts biding their time until the long throw in the towel?</p>\n<p>Shares will likely fall back to a price more in line with the company’s underlying value. To say that’s bad news for those who entered the stock at or above today’s prices is an understatement. As I broke it down in June, even in a “best case scenario,” it may be tough for shares to justify even a&nbsp;low double-digit per share valuation.</p>\n<p>Putting it simply, the downside risk with this popular “meme stock” makes the downside with the other top dog, GameStop,seem more reasonable by comparison. That’s not to say you should buy that one, either. Yet if you thought that AMC had more potential to pop again, think otherwise.</p>\n<p><b>Resiliency May Continue, But Risk/Return is Clearly Not in Your Favor</b></p>\n<p>Despite my heavy bearishness about AMC Entertainment, I’ll concede that the madness could continue. At the very least, shares could remain between $30 and $40 per share, as the “smart money” short side is countered by retail “Apes” on the long side. But given the downside risk if this dynamic changes, in a way that benefits the shorts?</p>\n<p>Without the “mother of all short squeezes” narrative, it’ll be tough for AMC stock to remain at prices well above its true value for long. To avoid possible high double-digit percentage losses, your best move remains to skip out entirely on this situation.</p>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AMC Stock Makes Little Sense to Own at $36 Per Share</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAMC Stock Makes Little Sense to Own at $36 Per Share\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-24 17:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://investorplace.com/2021/08/amc-stock-makes-little-sense-to-own-at-36-per-share/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>If the short squeeze thesis collapses, so will the price of AMC stock, so avoid it ahead of what will likely be a substantial price decline\nA spate of positive developments may be helping to keep AMC ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/08/amc-stock-makes-little-sense-to-own-at-36-per-share/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2021/08/amc-stock-makes-little-sense-to-own-at-36-per-share/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1139894852","content_text":"If the short squeeze thesis collapses, so will the price of AMC stock, so avoid it ahead of what will likely be a substantial price decline\nA spate of positive developments may be helping to keep AMC Entertainment(NYSE:AMC) stock steady. But should investors take this as a sign that it’s wise to buy in now, ahead of this “meme stock” favorite of the Reddit trading community surging higher once again?\nNot so fast. Its recent resiliency may call into question my claim that the stock’s capitulation had already begun. Admittedly, my bear case for the stock may take longer than previously anticipated to play out. Don’t mistake this though, for me changing my take on the stock completely.\nWhether next month, next quarter, or even next year, the risk of a massive collapse remains on the table. Why? The self-proclaimed “Ape Army” of traders long the stock will at some point break. How? First, if or when the “mother of all short squeezes” thesis that’s been propping it up finally breaks.\nIf this happens? The collapse will occur, as the company’s underlying value remains far below what shares change hands for today (around $36 per share). Compared to the other top “meme stock,”GameStop(NYSE:GME), the gap between trading price and underlying value is even wider with AMC. To avoid the risk of tremendous losses, it remains best to steer clear.\nAMC Entertainment and its Latest Quarterly Results\nOn Aug 9, AMC reported results for the quarter ending June 30. Investors focused more on its revenue beat and lower-than-expected losses. But paying close attention to the details, it’s clear there really is not much to be excited about with this company’s results.\nWhat do I mean? Losses were lower than expected. Yet a quarterly loss of $344 million, versus projections of $561.2 million, is hardly anything to go bananas about. Revenue of $444.7 million, versus consensus estimates of $382.1 million, may have been a nice surprise. However, that’s still far below the $1.51 billion in quarterly sales the company was generating this time of year pre-Covid.\nIts theaters may be open again for business. Revenue is moving in the right direction. But this hardly justifies valuing AMC stock at a level many times what it was pre-pandemic. Now I understand that the “Ape Army” is not valuing this stock using traditional valuation metrics.\nInstead, they’ve mostly built it around insinuations that  “dark pools” and other underhanded hedge fund tactics have resulted in a substantially higher level of short interest than has been reported (16.8% of outstanding float). Some see this as the perfect setup for the “mother of all short squeezes.”Yet given the low chances of this thesis playing out? Chances are, we’ll see the opposite happen, in a big way.\nIf Short Squeeze Thesis Collapses, So Will AMC Stock\nAgain, it’s hard to tell when. But at some point down the road, the longs will capitulate. Again, due to their “mother of all short squeezes” thesis on the stock fizzling out. With the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) investigating dark pools, “AMC Apes” for now may have enough on their side to bolster the narrative they’ve crafted about it.\nBut what happens if the SEC reins in dark pools, and it turns out AMC stock hasn’t been shorted to an extent larger than reported? What if, at the end of the day, only a moderate amount of its shares remain sold short, with said shorts biding their time until the long throw in the towel?\nShares will likely fall back to a price more in line with the company’s underlying value. To say that’s bad news for those who entered the stock at or above today’s prices is an understatement. As I broke it down in June, even in a “best case scenario,” it may be tough for shares to justify even a low double-digit per share valuation.\nPutting it simply, the downside risk with this popular “meme stock” makes the downside with the other top dog, GameStop,seem more reasonable by comparison. That’s not to say you should buy that one, either. Yet if you thought that AMC had more potential to pop again, think otherwise.\nResiliency May Continue, But Risk/Return is Clearly Not in Your Favor\nDespite my heavy bearishness about AMC Entertainment, I’ll concede that the madness could continue. At the very least, shares could remain between $30 and $40 per share, as the “smart money” short side is countered by retail “Apes” on the long side. But given the downside risk if this dynamic changes, in a way that benefits the shorts?\nWithout the “mother of all short squeezes” narrative, it’ll be tough for AMC stock to remain at prices well above its true value for long. To avoid possible high double-digit percentage losses, your best move remains to skip out entirely on this situation.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":448,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":834237094,"gmtCreate":1629805551518,"gmtModify":1676530136501,"author":{"id":"4087542547312600","authorId":"4087542547312600","name":"Stu79","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087542547312600","authorIdStr":"4087542547312600"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"FUD.&nbsp;","listText":"FUD.&nbsp;","text":"FUD.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/834237094","repostId":"1139894852","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1139894852","pubTimestamp":1629795640,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1139894852?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-08-24 17:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"AMC Stock Makes Little Sense to Own at $36 Per Share","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1139894852","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"If the short squeeze thesis collapses, so will the price of AMC stock, so avoid it ahead of what wil","content":"<p>If the short squeeze thesis collapses, so will the price of AMC stock, so avoid it ahead of what will likely be a substantial price decline</p>\n<p>A spate of positive developments&nbsp;may be helping to keep&nbsp;<b>AMC Entertainment</b>(NYSE:<b><u>AMC</u></b>) stock steady. But should investors take this as a sign that it’s wise to buy in now, ahead of this “meme stock” favorite of the Reddit trading community surging higher once again?</p>\n<p>Not so fast. Its recent resiliency may call into question my claim that the stock’s&nbsp;capitulation had already begun. Admittedly, my bear case for the stock may take longer than previously anticipated to play out. Don’t mistake this though, for me changing my take on the stock completely.</p>\n<p>Whether next month, next quarter, or even next year, the risk of a massive collapse remains on the table. Why? The self-proclaimed “Ape Army” of traders long the stock will at some point break. How? First, if or when the “mother of all short squeezes” thesis that’s been propping it up finally breaks.</p>\n<p>If this happens? The collapse will occur, as the company’s underlying value remains far below what shares change hands for today (around $36 per share). Compared to the other top “meme stock,”<b>GameStop</b>(NYSE:<b><u>GME</u></b>), the gap between trading price and underlying value is even wider with AMC. To avoid the risk of tremendous losses, it remains best to steer clear.</p>\n<p><b>AMC Entertainment and its Latest Quarterly Results</b></p>\n<p>On Aug 9, AMC reported results for the quarter ending June 30. Investors focused more on its&nbsp;revenue beat and lower-than-expected losses. But paying close attention to the details, it’s clear there really is not much to be excited about with this company’s results.</p>\n<p>What do I mean? Losses were lower than expected. Yet a quarterly loss of $344 million, versus projections of $561.2 million, is hardly anything to go bananas about. Revenue of $444.7 million, versus consensus estimates of $382.1 million, may have been a nice surprise. However, that’s still far below the&nbsp;$1.51 billion in quarterly sales&nbsp;the company was generating this time of year pre-Covid.</p>\n<p>Its theaters may be open again for business. Revenue is moving in the right direction. But this hardly justifies valuing AMC stock at a level many times what it was pre-pandemic. Now I understand that the “Ape Army” is not valuing this stock using traditional valuation metrics.</p>\n<p>Instead, they’ve mostly built it around insinuations that&nbsp; “dark pools” and other underhanded hedge fund tactics have resulted in a substantially higher level of short interest than has been reported (16.8% of outstanding float). Some see this as the&nbsp;perfect setup for the “mother of all short squeezes.”Yet given the low chances of this thesis playing out? Chances are, we’ll see the opposite happen, in a big way.</p>\n<p><b>If Short Squeeze Thesis Collapses, So Will AMC Stock</b></p>\n<p>Again, it’s hard to tell when. But at some point down the road, the longs will capitulate. Again, due to their “mother of all short squeezes” thesis on the stock fizzling out. With the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC)&nbsp;investigating dark pools, “AMC Apes” for now may have enough on their side to bolster the narrative they’ve crafted about it.</p>\n<p>But what happens if the SEC reins in dark pools, and it turns out AMC stock hasn’t been shorted to an extent larger than reported? What if, at the end of the day, only a moderate amount of its shares remain sold short, with said shorts biding their time until the long throw in the towel?</p>\n<p>Shares will likely fall back to a price more in line with the company’s underlying value. To say that’s bad news for those who entered the stock at or above today’s prices is an understatement. As I broke it down in June, even in a “best case scenario,” it may be tough for shares to justify even a&nbsp;low double-digit per share valuation.</p>\n<p>Putting it simply, the downside risk with this popular “meme stock” makes the downside with the other top dog, GameStop,seem more reasonable by comparison. That’s not to say you should buy that one, either. Yet if you thought that AMC had more potential to pop again, think otherwise.</p>\n<p><b>Resiliency May Continue, But Risk/Return is Clearly Not in Your Favor</b></p>\n<p>Despite my heavy bearishness about AMC Entertainment, I’ll concede that the madness could continue. At the very least, shares could remain between $30 and $40 per share, as the “smart money” short side is countered by retail “Apes” on the long side. But given the downside risk if this dynamic changes, in a way that benefits the shorts?</p>\n<p>Without the “mother of all short squeezes” narrative, it’ll be tough for AMC stock to remain at prices well above its true value for long. To avoid possible high double-digit percentage losses, your best move remains to skip out entirely on this situation.</p>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AMC Stock Makes Little Sense to Own at $36 Per Share</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAMC Stock Makes Little Sense to Own at $36 Per Share\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-24 17:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://investorplace.com/2021/08/amc-stock-makes-little-sense-to-own-at-36-per-share/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>If the short squeeze thesis collapses, so will the price of AMC stock, so avoid it ahead of what will likely be a substantial price decline\nA spate of positive developments may be helping to keep AMC ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/08/amc-stock-makes-little-sense-to-own-at-36-per-share/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2021/08/amc-stock-makes-little-sense-to-own-at-36-per-share/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1139894852","content_text":"If the short squeeze thesis collapses, so will the price of AMC stock, so avoid it ahead of what will likely be a substantial price decline\nA spate of positive developments may be helping to keep AMC Entertainment(NYSE:AMC) stock steady. But should investors take this as a sign that it’s wise to buy in now, ahead of this “meme stock” favorite of the Reddit trading community surging higher once again?\nNot so fast. Its recent resiliency may call into question my claim that the stock’s capitulation had already begun. Admittedly, my bear case for the stock may take longer than previously anticipated to play out. Don’t mistake this though, for me changing my take on the stock completely.\nWhether next month, next quarter, or even next year, the risk of a massive collapse remains on the table. Why? The self-proclaimed “Ape Army” of traders long the stock will at some point break. How? First, if or when the “mother of all short squeezes” thesis that’s been propping it up finally breaks.\nIf this happens? The collapse will occur, as the company’s underlying value remains far below what shares change hands for today (around $36 per share). Compared to the other top “meme stock,”GameStop(NYSE:GME), the gap between trading price and underlying value is even wider with AMC. To avoid the risk of tremendous losses, it remains best to steer clear.\nAMC Entertainment and its Latest Quarterly Results\nOn Aug 9, AMC reported results for the quarter ending June 30. Investors focused more on its revenue beat and lower-than-expected losses. But paying close attention to the details, it’s clear there really is not much to be excited about with this company’s results.\nWhat do I mean? Losses were lower than expected. Yet a quarterly loss of $344 million, versus projections of $561.2 million, is hardly anything to go bananas about. Revenue of $444.7 million, versus consensus estimates of $382.1 million, may have been a nice surprise. However, that’s still far below the $1.51 billion in quarterly sales the company was generating this time of year pre-Covid.\nIts theaters may be open again for business. Revenue is moving in the right direction. But this hardly justifies valuing AMC stock at a level many times what it was pre-pandemic. Now I understand that the “Ape Army” is not valuing this stock using traditional valuation metrics.\nInstead, they’ve mostly built it around insinuations that  “dark pools” and other underhanded hedge fund tactics have resulted in a substantially higher level of short interest than has been reported (16.8% of outstanding float). Some see this as the perfect setup for the “mother of all short squeezes.”Yet given the low chances of this thesis playing out? Chances are, we’ll see the opposite happen, in a big way.\nIf Short Squeeze Thesis Collapses, So Will AMC Stock\nAgain, it’s hard to tell when. But at some point down the road, the longs will capitulate. Again, due to their “mother of all short squeezes” thesis on the stock fizzling out. With the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) investigating dark pools, “AMC Apes” for now may have enough on their side to bolster the narrative they’ve crafted about it.\nBut what happens if the SEC reins in dark pools, and it turns out AMC stock hasn’t been shorted to an extent larger than reported? What if, at the end of the day, only a moderate amount of its shares remain sold short, with said shorts biding their time until the long throw in the towel?\nShares will likely fall back to a price more in line with the company’s underlying value. To say that’s bad news for those who entered the stock at or above today’s prices is an understatement. As I broke it down in June, even in a “best case scenario,” it may be tough for shares to justify even a low double-digit per share valuation.\nPutting it simply, the downside risk with this popular “meme stock” makes the downside with the other top dog, GameStop,seem more reasonable by comparison. That’s not to say you should buy that one, either. Yet if you thought that AMC had more potential to pop again, think otherwise.\nResiliency May Continue, But Risk/Return is Clearly Not in Your Favor\nDespite my heavy bearishness about AMC Entertainment, I’ll concede that the madness could continue. At the very least, shares could remain between $30 and $40 per share, as the “smart money” short side is countered by retail “Apes” on the long side. But given the downside risk if this dynamic changes, in a way that benefits the shorts?\nWithout the “mother of all short squeezes” narrative, it’ll be tough for AMC stock to remain at prices well above its true value for long. To avoid possible high double-digit percentage losses, your best move remains to skip out entirely on this situation.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":260,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":839123328,"gmtCreate":1629127843064,"gmtModify":1676529941065,"author":{"id":"4087542547312600","authorId":"4087542547312600","name":"Stu79","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087542547312600","authorIdStr":"4087542547312600"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"More FUD","listText":"More FUD","text":"More FUD","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/839123328","repostId":"1137437693","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1137437693","pubTimestamp":1629116844,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1137437693?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-08-16 20:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 High-Flying Stocks That May Fall 53% to 84%, According to Wall Street","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1137437693","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Analysts expect these soaring stocks to come crashing back to Earth.\n\nKey Points\n\nThe pandemic and/o","content":"<blockquote>\n Analysts expect these soaring stocks to come crashing back to Earth.\n</blockquote>\n<p><b>Key Points</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>The pandemic and/or short squeezes have treated these three companies very well in 2021.</li>\n <li>Though Wall Street's price targets can often be taken with a grain of salt, these are likely on point.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>It's a great time to be an investor. In the close to 17 months since the widely followed&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">S&amp;P 500</a></b> bottomed out during the coronavirus crash in March 2020, the index has doubled in value. Time and again, patience begets profits on Wall Street.</p>\n<p>However, it's also common knowledge that not every stock is going to be a winner. According to Wall Street analysts and investment firms, there are three high-flying stocks that could lose anywhere from 53% to 84% of their value over the coming year, based on the consensus price target for each company.</p>\n<p><b>Moderna: Implied downside of 53%</b></p>\n<p>First up is skyrocketing&nbsp;biotech stock&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRNA\">Moderna, Inc.</a></b>, which has gained almost 1,900% since the beginning of 2020. Even after pulling back more than 20% from its intraday high last week, Moderna's share price would have to fall by another 53% just to hit the consensus price target of $184.92.</p>\n<p>As you can probably guess, the reason Moderna has ascended to the heavens is the success of its emergency-use authorized (EUA) coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccine, mRNA-1273. In clinical trials, Moderna's vaccine candidate led to a vaccine efficacy (VE) of about 94%. With the exception of the<b>&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">Pfizer</a>/</b><b>BioNTech</b>&nbsp;vaccine, which presented with a 95% VE, no other EUA vaccines have come close on the efficacy front.</p>\n<p>The rise of the COVID-19 delta variant has been another major boon for Moderna. The transmissibility of delta has lifted vaccination rates in a number of developed countries, and it encouraged the U.S. Food and Drug Administration toauthorize a booster shotfor those people with compromised immune systems.</p>\n<p>Ultimately, Moderna's skyrocketing share price appears to indicate that things could worsen before they get better on the COVID-19 front, and that booster shots will offer a beefier stream of revenue than once predicted.</p>\n<p>However, the issue with Moderna's valuation is twofold. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FFBC\">First</a>, competition for COVID-19 vaccinations is increasing, not decreasing.&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVAX\">Novavax</a></b>&nbsp;is a good bet to receive EUA within the coming months, and&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JNJ\">Johnson &amp; Johnson</a></b> shouldn't have any trouble ramping up production of its single-dose vaccine. We'reprobably looking at Moderna's peak revenue year in 2021.</p>\n<p>The other issue is mRNA-1273 is Moderna's only marketable drug. A $157 billion market cap based on a single therapy that may or may not have staying powersounds very risky.</p>\n<p><b>Dillard's: Implied downside of 55%</b></p>\n<p>The next high-flying stock might come as a bit of a surprise... department store chain&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DDS\">Dillard's</a></b>. Shares of Dillard's hit an all-time closing high of $196 on Friday, Aug. 13, pushing its market cap north of $4 billion. But according to analysts, which have a consensus price target of $87.33 on the company, this department store could be hitting the clearance rack with a 55% haircut over the next year.</p>\n<p>If you're wondering why Dillard's stock is up 625% over the trailing year, itsoperating performance would be a good place to start. The company drastically cut costs in the wake of the pandemic, strongly pushed direct-to-consumer sales, and has tightly managed its inventory. Without these burdensome overhead costs, profits have absolutely skyrocketed over the past two quarters as pent-up demand encouraged consumers to get out of their homes and into retail stores.</p>\n<p>Dillard's has done a good job of attempting to boost shareholder value, too. In the 26 weeks, ended July 31, the company repurchased about 1.4 million shares totaling $171 million. This may not sound like a lot, but it reduced the company's outstanding share count by more than 6%.</p>\n<p>It's also worth pointing out that Dillard's has a relatively small tradable float, and it's been a fairly heavily short-sold stock. This combination made it the perfect target for a short squeeze.</p>\n<p>Despite all these positives, it's important for investors to recognize that retail department stores are generally slow-growing and cyclical. Even though Dillard's year-over-year comparisons are lights-out impressive, its 26-week retail sales for 2021 are only 1% higher than its 26-week retail sales for the comparable period in 2019. Further, comparable-store sales are only 4% higher in 2021 compared to 2019. While gross margin is notably higher, this has more to do with cost-cutting than significant sales traction.</p>\n<p>Though Dillard's might defy Wall Street for a bit longer than expected, history suggestsit has no chance to keep up this pace. More than likely, Wall Street's price target will eventually become a reality.</p>\n<p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC Entertainment</a>: Implied downside of 84%</b></p>\n<p>Sporting the most potential downside, according to Wall Street's consensus price target, is movie theater stock&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC Entertainment</a></b>. Although it's one of the year's top-performing stocks, AMC would need to decline by 84% from its current share price to hit the consensus target of $5.25 a share.</p>\n<p>AMC received a huge boost in January, when the company was able to save itself from bankruptcy by issuing common stock and debt. Short-sellers who'd been betting on additional downside in the company were caught off-guard by AMC's capital raise, which effected a viciousshort squeeze.</p>\n<p>Today, AMC's impassioned retail investors share the same goal -- i.e., to see another short squeeze take place. As of July 30, 85.85 million shares were held short, representing almost 17% of the float.</p>\n<p>The problem for AMC and its retail investors is that fundamentals always matter, and AMC's operating performance and balance sheet arenothing short of a horror movie. While having increased capacity in its theaters drove sequential quarterly sales higher in the second quarter, it doesn't excuse the fact that AMC has burned through $576.5 million in cash over the past six months or that it's a long way from being profitable.</p>\n<p>The balance sheet is a bigger concern. AMC ended June with $5.5 billion in corporate borrowing and had an additional $420 million in deferred rent that needs to be paid. With the company effectively maxing out its share issuances, AMC will be forced to rely on its $1.81 billion in cash and $212 million revolving credit facility to make good on its rent obligations and pay off its debt. With its 2026 and 2027 bonds going for 58% and 62% of par value, the clear implication from bondholders isthere's concern AMC won't remain solvent.</p>\n<p>The icing on the cake is we'vewitnessed theatrical exclusivity dwindle. For instance, AMC's agreement with&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/T\">AT&amp;T Inc</a>'s Warner Bros. offers only a 45-day exclusivity window, which is down from the traditional 75-day to 90-day period of exclusivity prior to the pandemic.</p>\n<p>It may take longer than 12 months, but AMC does look to beheaded back to its February low.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 High-Flying Stocks That May Fall 53% to 84%, According to Wall Street</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 High-Flying Stocks That May Fall 53% to 84%, According to Wall Street\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-16 20:27 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/08/16/3-high-flying-stocks-may-fall-53-to-84-wall-street/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Analysts expect these soaring stocks to come crashing back to Earth.\n\nKey Points\n\nThe pandemic and/or short squeezes have treated these three companies very well in 2021.\nThough Wall Street's price ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/08/16/3-high-flying-stocks-may-fall-53-to-84-wall-street/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"DDS":"狄乐百货","JNJ":"强生",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","AMC":"AMC院线","MRNA":"Moderna, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/08/16/3-high-flying-stocks-may-fall-53-to-84-wall-street/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1137437693","content_text":"Analysts expect these soaring stocks to come crashing back to Earth.\n\nKey Points\n\nThe pandemic and/or short squeezes have treated these three companies very well in 2021.\nThough Wall Street's price targets can often be taken with a grain of salt, these are likely on point.\n\nIt's a great time to be an investor. In the close to 17 months since the widely followed S&P 500 bottomed out during the coronavirus crash in March 2020, the index has doubled in value. Time and again, patience begets profits on Wall Street.\nHowever, it's also common knowledge that not every stock is going to be a winner. According to Wall Street analysts and investment firms, there are three high-flying stocks that could lose anywhere from 53% to 84% of their value over the coming year, based on the consensus price target for each company.\nModerna: Implied downside of 53%\nFirst up is skyrocketing biotech stock Moderna, Inc., which has gained almost 1,900% since the beginning of 2020. Even after pulling back more than 20% from its intraday high last week, Moderna's share price would have to fall by another 53% just to hit the consensus price target of $184.92.\nAs you can probably guess, the reason Moderna has ascended to the heavens is the success of its emergency-use authorized (EUA) coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccine, mRNA-1273. In clinical trials, Moderna's vaccine candidate led to a vaccine efficacy (VE) of about 94%. With the exception of the Pfizer/BioNTech vaccine, which presented with a 95% VE, no other EUA vaccines have come close on the efficacy front.\nThe rise of the COVID-19 delta variant has been another major boon for Moderna. The transmissibility of delta has lifted vaccination rates in a number of developed countries, and it encouraged the U.S. Food and Drug Administration toauthorize a booster shotfor those people with compromised immune systems.\nUltimately, Moderna's skyrocketing share price appears to indicate that things could worsen before they get better on the COVID-19 front, and that booster shots will offer a beefier stream of revenue than once predicted.\nHowever, the issue with Moderna's valuation is twofold. First, competition for COVID-19 vaccinations is increasing, not decreasing. Novavax is a good bet to receive EUA within the coming months, and Johnson & Johnson shouldn't have any trouble ramping up production of its single-dose vaccine. We'reprobably looking at Moderna's peak revenue year in 2021.\nThe other issue is mRNA-1273 is Moderna's only marketable drug. A $157 billion market cap based on a single therapy that may or may not have staying powersounds very risky.\nDillard's: Implied downside of 55%\nThe next high-flying stock might come as a bit of a surprise... department store chain Dillard's. Shares of Dillard's hit an all-time closing high of $196 on Friday, Aug. 13, pushing its market cap north of $4 billion. But according to analysts, which have a consensus price target of $87.33 on the company, this department store could be hitting the clearance rack with a 55% haircut over the next year.\nIf you're wondering why Dillard's stock is up 625% over the trailing year, itsoperating performance would be a good place to start. The company drastically cut costs in the wake of the pandemic, strongly pushed direct-to-consumer sales, and has tightly managed its inventory. Without these burdensome overhead costs, profits have absolutely skyrocketed over the past two quarters as pent-up demand encouraged consumers to get out of their homes and into retail stores.\nDillard's has done a good job of attempting to boost shareholder value, too. In the 26 weeks, ended July 31, the company repurchased about 1.4 million shares totaling $171 million. This may not sound like a lot, but it reduced the company's outstanding share count by more than 6%.\nIt's also worth pointing out that Dillard's has a relatively small tradable float, and it's been a fairly heavily short-sold stock. This combination made it the perfect target for a short squeeze.\nDespite all these positives, it's important for investors to recognize that retail department stores are generally slow-growing and cyclical. Even though Dillard's year-over-year comparisons are lights-out impressive, its 26-week retail sales for 2021 are only 1% higher than its 26-week retail sales for the comparable period in 2019. Further, comparable-store sales are only 4% higher in 2021 compared to 2019. While gross margin is notably higher, this has more to do with cost-cutting than significant sales traction.\nThough Dillard's might defy Wall Street for a bit longer than expected, history suggestsit has no chance to keep up this pace. More than likely, Wall Street's price target will eventually become a reality.\nAMC Entertainment: Implied downside of 84%\nSporting the most potential downside, according to Wall Street's consensus price target, is movie theater stock AMC Entertainment. Although it's one of the year's top-performing stocks, AMC would need to decline by 84% from its current share price to hit the consensus target of $5.25 a share.\nAMC received a huge boost in January, when the company was able to save itself from bankruptcy by issuing common stock and debt. Short-sellers who'd been betting on additional downside in the company were caught off-guard by AMC's capital raise, which effected a viciousshort squeeze.\nToday, AMC's impassioned retail investors share the same goal -- i.e., to see another short squeeze take place. As of July 30, 85.85 million shares were held short, representing almost 17% of the float.\nThe problem for AMC and its retail investors is that fundamentals always matter, and AMC's operating performance and balance sheet arenothing short of a horror movie. While having increased capacity in its theaters drove sequential quarterly sales higher in the second quarter, it doesn't excuse the fact that AMC has burned through $576.5 million in cash over the past six months or that it's a long way from being profitable.\nThe balance sheet is a bigger concern. AMC ended June with $5.5 billion in corporate borrowing and had an additional $420 million in deferred rent that needs to be paid. With the company effectively maxing out its share issuances, AMC will be forced to rely on its $1.81 billion in cash and $212 million revolving credit facility to make good on its rent obligations and pay off its debt. With its 2026 and 2027 bonds going for 58% and 62% of par value, the clear implication from bondholders isthere's concern AMC won't remain solvent.\nThe icing on the cake is we'vewitnessed theatrical exclusivity dwindle. For instance, AMC's agreement with AT&T Inc's Warner Bros. offers only a 45-day exclusivity window, which is down from the traditional 75-day to 90-day period of exclusivity prior to the pandemic.\nIt may take longer than 12 months, but AMC does look to beheaded back to its February low.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":217,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":839906789,"gmtCreate":1629112968341,"gmtModify":1676529933957,"author":{"id":"4087542547312600","authorId":"4087542547312600","name":"Stu79","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087542547312600","authorIdStr":"4087542547312600"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"FUD","listText":"FUD","text":"FUD","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/839906789","repostId":"1100841503","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":560,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9009752338,"gmtCreate":1640815874724,"gmtModify":1676533543233,"author":{"id":"4087542547312600","authorId":"4087542547312600","name":"Stu79","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087542547312600","authorIdStr":"4087542547312600"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9009752338","repostId":"2195450556","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":446,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":834213674,"gmtCreate":1629805820398,"gmtModify":1676530136581,"author":{"id":"4087542547312600","authorId":"4087542547312600","name":"Stu79","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087542547312600","authorIdStr":"4087542547312600"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"? party in singapore after ?????. Then the FUD spreaders can eat their words","listText":"? party in singapore after ?????. Then the FUD spreaders can eat their words","text":"? party in singapore after ?????. Then the FUD spreaders can eat their words","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/834213674","repostId":"1139894852","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1139894852","pubTimestamp":1629795640,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1139894852?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-08-24 17:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"AMC Stock Makes Little Sense to Own at $36 Per Share","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1139894852","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"If the short squeeze thesis collapses, so will the price of AMC stock, so avoid it ahead of what wil","content":"<p>If the short squeeze thesis collapses, so will the price of AMC stock, so avoid it ahead of what will likely be a substantial price decline</p>\n<p>A spate of positive developments&nbsp;may be helping to keep&nbsp;<b>AMC Entertainment</b>(NYSE:<b><u>AMC</u></b>) stock steady. But should investors take this as a sign that it’s wise to buy in now, ahead of this “meme stock” favorite of the Reddit trading community surging higher once again?</p>\n<p>Not so fast. Its recent resiliency may call into question my claim that the stock’s&nbsp;capitulation had already begun. Admittedly, my bear case for the stock may take longer than previously anticipated to play out. Don’t mistake this though, for me changing my take on the stock completely.</p>\n<p>Whether next month, next quarter, or even next year, the risk of a massive collapse remains on the table. Why? The self-proclaimed “Ape Army” of traders long the stock will at some point break. How? First, if or when the “mother of all short squeezes” thesis that’s been propping it up finally breaks.</p>\n<p>If this happens? The collapse will occur, as the company’s underlying value remains far below what shares change hands for today (around $36 per share). Compared to the other top “meme stock,”<b>GameStop</b>(NYSE:<b><u>GME</u></b>), the gap between trading price and underlying value is even wider with AMC. To avoid the risk of tremendous losses, it remains best to steer clear.</p>\n<p><b>AMC Entertainment and its Latest Quarterly Results</b></p>\n<p>On Aug 9, AMC reported results for the quarter ending June 30. Investors focused more on its&nbsp;revenue beat and lower-than-expected losses. But paying close attention to the details, it’s clear there really is not much to be excited about with this company’s results.</p>\n<p>What do I mean? Losses were lower than expected. Yet a quarterly loss of $344 million, versus projections of $561.2 million, is hardly anything to go bananas about. Revenue of $444.7 million, versus consensus estimates of $382.1 million, may have been a nice surprise. However, that’s still far below the&nbsp;$1.51 billion in quarterly sales&nbsp;the company was generating this time of year pre-Covid.</p>\n<p>Its theaters may be open again for business. Revenue is moving in the right direction. But this hardly justifies valuing AMC stock at a level many times what it was pre-pandemic. Now I understand that the “Ape Army” is not valuing this stock using traditional valuation metrics.</p>\n<p>Instead, they’ve mostly built it around insinuations that&nbsp; “dark pools” and other underhanded hedge fund tactics have resulted in a substantially higher level of short interest than has been reported (16.8% of outstanding float). Some see this as the&nbsp;perfect setup for the “mother of all short squeezes.”Yet given the low chances of this thesis playing out? Chances are, we’ll see the opposite happen, in a big way.</p>\n<p><b>If Short Squeeze Thesis Collapses, So Will AMC Stock</b></p>\n<p>Again, it’s hard to tell when. But at some point down the road, the longs will capitulate. Again, due to their “mother of all short squeezes” thesis on the stock fizzling out. With the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC)&nbsp;investigating dark pools, “AMC Apes” for now may have enough on their side to bolster the narrative they’ve crafted about it.</p>\n<p>But what happens if the SEC reins in dark pools, and it turns out AMC stock hasn’t been shorted to an extent larger than reported? What if, at the end of the day, only a moderate amount of its shares remain sold short, with said shorts biding their time until the long throw in the towel?</p>\n<p>Shares will likely fall back to a price more in line with the company’s underlying value. To say that’s bad news for those who entered the stock at or above today’s prices is an understatement. As I broke it down in June, even in a “best case scenario,” it may be tough for shares to justify even a&nbsp;low double-digit per share valuation.</p>\n<p>Putting it simply, the downside risk with this popular “meme stock” makes the downside with the other top dog, GameStop,seem more reasonable by comparison. That’s not to say you should buy that one, either. Yet if you thought that AMC had more potential to pop again, think otherwise.</p>\n<p><b>Resiliency May Continue, But Risk/Return is Clearly Not in Your Favor</b></p>\n<p>Despite my heavy bearishness about AMC Entertainment, I’ll concede that the madness could continue. At the very least, shares could remain between $30 and $40 per share, as the “smart money” short side is countered by retail “Apes” on the long side. But given the downside risk if this dynamic changes, in a way that benefits the shorts?</p>\n<p>Without the “mother of all short squeezes” narrative, it’ll be tough for AMC stock to remain at prices well above its true value for long. To avoid possible high double-digit percentage losses, your best move remains to skip out entirely on this situation.</p>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AMC Stock Makes Little Sense to Own at $36 Per Share</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAMC Stock Makes Little Sense to Own at $36 Per Share\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-24 17:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://investorplace.com/2021/08/amc-stock-makes-little-sense-to-own-at-36-per-share/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>If the short squeeze thesis collapses, so will the price of AMC stock, so avoid it ahead of what will likely be a substantial price decline\nA spate of positive developments may be helping to keep AMC ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/08/amc-stock-makes-little-sense-to-own-at-36-per-share/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2021/08/amc-stock-makes-little-sense-to-own-at-36-per-share/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1139894852","content_text":"If the short squeeze thesis collapses, so will the price of AMC stock, so avoid it ahead of what will likely be a substantial price decline\nA spate of positive developments may be helping to keep AMC Entertainment(NYSE:AMC) stock steady. But should investors take this as a sign that it’s wise to buy in now, ahead of this “meme stock” favorite of the Reddit trading community surging higher once again?\nNot so fast. Its recent resiliency may call into question my claim that the stock’s capitulation had already begun. Admittedly, my bear case for the stock may take longer than previously anticipated to play out. Don’t mistake this though, for me changing my take on the stock completely.\nWhether next month, next quarter, or even next year, the risk of a massive collapse remains on the table. Why? The self-proclaimed “Ape Army” of traders long the stock will at some point break. How? First, if or when the “mother of all short squeezes” thesis that’s been propping it up finally breaks.\nIf this happens? The collapse will occur, as the company’s underlying value remains far below what shares change hands for today (around $36 per share). Compared to the other top “meme stock,”GameStop(NYSE:GME), the gap between trading price and underlying value is even wider with AMC. To avoid the risk of tremendous losses, it remains best to steer clear.\nAMC Entertainment and its Latest Quarterly Results\nOn Aug 9, AMC reported results for the quarter ending June 30. Investors focused more on its revenue beat and lower-than-expected losses. But paying close attention to the details, it’s clear there really is not much to be excited about with this company’s results.\nWhat do I mean? Losses were lower than expected. Yet a quarterly loss of $344 million, versus projections of $561.2 million, is hardly anything to go bananas about. Revenue of $444.7 million, versus consensus estimates of $382.1 million, may have been a nice surprise. However, that’s still far below the $1.51 billion in quarterly sales the company was generating this time of year pre-Covid.\nIts theaters may be open again for business. Revenue is moving in the right direction. But this hardly justifies valuing AMC stock at a level many times what it was pre-pandemic. Now I understand that the “Ape Army” is not valuing this stock using traditional valuation metrics.\nInstead, they’ve mostly built it around insinuations that  “dark pools” and other underhanded hedge fund tactics have resulted in a substantially higher level of short interest than has been reported (16.8% of outstanding float). Some see this as the perfect setup for the “mother of all short squeezes.”Yet given the low chances of this thesis playing out? Chances are, we’ll see the opposite happen, in a big way.\nIf Short Squeeze Thesis Collapses, So Will AMC Stock\nAgain, it’s hard to tell when. But at some point down the road, the longs will capitulate. Again, due to their “mother of all short squeezes” thesis on the stock fizzling out. With the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) investigating dark pools, “AMC Apes” for now may have enough on their side to bolster the narrative they’ve crafted about it.\nBut what happens if the SEC reins in dark pools, and it turns out AMC stock hasn’t been shorted to an extent larger than reported? What if, at the end of the day, only a moderate amount of its shares remain sold short, with said shorts biding their time until the long throw in the towel?\nShares will likely fall back to a price more in line with the company’s underlying value. To say that’s bad news for those who entered the stock at or above today’s prices is an understatement. As I broke it down in June, even in a “best case scenario,” it may be tough for shares to justify even a low double-digit per share valuation.\nPutting it simply, the downside risk with this popular “meme stock” makes the downside with the other top dog, GameStop,seem more reasonable by comparison. That’s not to say you should buy that one, either. Yet if you thought that AMC had more potential to pop again, think otherwise.\nResiliency May Continue, But Risk/Return is Clearly Not in Your Favor\nDespite my heavy bearishness about AMC Entertainment, I’ll concede that the madness could continue. At the very least, shares could remain between $30 and $40 per share, as the “smart money” short side is countered by retail “Apes” on the long side. But given the downside risk if this dynamic changes, in a way that benefits the shorts?\nWithout the “mother of all short squeezes” narrative, it’ll be tough for AMC stock to remain at prices well above its true value for long. To avoid possible high double-digit percentage losses, your best move remains to skip out entirely on this situation.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":448,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":839906789,"gmtCreate":1629112968341,"gmtModify":1676529933957,"author":{"id":"4087542547312600","authorId":"4087542547312600","name":"Stu79","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087542547312600","authorIdStr":"4087542547312600"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"FUD","listText":"FUD","text":"FUD","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/839906789","repostId":"1100841503","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1100841503","pubTimestamp":1629076932,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1100841503?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-08-16 09:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"7 Popular Stocks You Should Avoid At All Costs","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1100841503","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"A possible market downturn could knock these stocks down to substantially lower prices\nSource: Shutt","content":"<p>A possible market downturn could knock these stocks down to substantially lower prices</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a664fbb38c9dc51ffe98b77292c1e5a7\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"576\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Shutterstock</span></p>\n<p>It may be too early to say that a stock market correction is just around the corner. Markets may be able to&nbsp;withstand the delta variant of Covid-19. Yet other possibilities in the near term, such as&nbsp;America’s post-pandemic economic hitting a wall, or the recent rise in inflation&nbsp;ending up being more than “transitory,”could have a negative impact on equities. So, ahead of a correction, meltdown, or sell-off, what are some top stocks to avoid?</p>\n<p>How about popular stocks? This includes many of the meme stocks sent “to the moon” by&nbsp;<b>Reddit</b>&nbsp;traders. But it also encompasses many richly priced, high-growth names that have performed well since the start of the pandemic, yet could see significant pullback due to multiple compression.</p>\n<p>That is not to say these types of stocks no longer stand to become long-term winner. It’s just that, with the possibility of stocks experiencing a double-digit decline, you may be able to enter/re-enter them at a more favorable entry point soon down the road.</p>\n<p>So, what are some of the top popular stocks to avoid? Or, if you own them now, cash out as soon as possible. Consider these seven, meme stocks and non-meme stocks alike, names to stay away from for now:</p>\n<ul>\n <li><b>AMC Entertainment</b>(NYSE:<b><u>AMC</u></b>)</li>\n <li><b>Clover Health</b>(NASDAQ:<b><u>CLOV</u></b>)</li>\n <li><b>Nio</b>(NYSE:<b><u>NIO</u></b>)</li>\n <li><b>Palantir</b>(NYSE:<b><u>PLTR</u></b>)</li>\n <li><b>Peloton</b>(NASDAQ:<b><u>PTON</u></b>)</li>\n <li><b>SOS Ltd</b>(NYSE:<b><u>SOS</u></b>)</li>\n <li><b>Virgin Galactic Holdings</b>(NASDAQ:<b><u>SPCE</u></b>)</li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>AMC Entertainment (AMC)</b></p>\n<p>Its popularity among Reddit traders may be waning. So far, though, AMC Entertainment shares have managed to hold onto the majority of its meme stock gains. It’s down more than 56% from its 52-week high of $72.62. But at $31.75 per share, it’s still up a staggering 1479.6% since the start of 2021.</p>\n<p>That being said, don’t expect shares in this movie theater chain to remain resilient from here. Like with&nbsp;<b>GameStop</b>(NYSE:<b><u>GME</u></b>) stock, Main Street investors may have clobbered Wall Street short-sellers in this name earlier this year. But the short side may be coming back with a vengeance. Even legendary short seller Jim Chanos has&nbsp;decided to take a shot at betting against&nbsp;AMC stock.</p>\n<p>Worse yet, this time, the so-called smart money could prevail against the<i>r/WallStreetBets</i>community. The overall meme stock trend has lost momentum, as it’s failing to expand the pool of investors willing to use its counter-intuitive yet once highly-profitable strategy. Without investors buying it on hype and momentum, it’ll continue to trade more on its fundamentals, which Chanos himself have said are deteriorating, as movie theaters are struggling to recover from Covid-19.</p>\n<p>Add in the fact the stock would&nbsp;still be pricey at between $10 and $15 per share, and a possible correction making even those still holding it with diamond hands skittish. More at play to sink it than send it bouncing back, consider AMC one of the top stocks to avoid right now.</p>\n<p><b>Clover Health (CLOV)</b></p>\n<p>Clover Health was one of the top-performing names during the second meme stock wave in late May and early June. Primarily, due to hype at the time surrounding its ability to get short-squeezed. More than two months back, it may have gone parabolic, surging from around $7 per share, to as much as $28.85 per share.</p>\n<p>But as investors have given up on this angle, shares in the insurtech company trying to disrupt the Medicare Advantage business are back to around $8.40 per share. Even worse? Further declines may be on the way.</p>\n<p>Why? There’s a&nbsp;good reason why CLOV stock has been so heavily shorted. First, the&nbsp; red flags surrounding its business model. These were detailed in&nbsp;Hindenburg Research’s scathing “short-report”earlier this year. Second, concerns that its business model will not prove successful in the long term. This is due to its growth plateauing sooner than expected. Or, its financial performance (which has already disappointed Wall Street analysts), will be continuing to underwhelm.</p>\n<p>As its floundering while markets remain strong, you can imagine its possible downside if stocks in-general enter bear-market mode within the next few months. Ahead of Clover heading to even lower lows, it may be best throw in the towel if you own it, and steer clear if you do not.</p>\n<p><b>Nio (NIO)</b></p>\n<p>Lately, renewed interest in EV (electric vehicle) plays has helped to counter&nbsp;rising China regulatory crackdown fears&nbsp;when it comes to NIO stock. Yet there are some other factors that could put even more pressure on shares in the luxury EV maker, located in what’s become&nbsp;the world’s largest electrified vehicle market.</p>\n<p>Namely, it’s still-stretched valuation. As<i>InvestorPlace’s</i>&nbsp;Will Ashworth recently wrote, Nio continues to be priced based on&nbsp;very optimistic delivery growth projections. The implication? Shares could sell off, if its delivery numbers and financial results end up falling short of expectations. Trading for around&nbsp;13.2x projected 2021 sales, it needs to continue growing at a very high rate to remain at, or move above, today’s prices (around $40 per share).</p>\n<p>But even remaining firmly on the growth train may not be enough to prevent this high-flyer from experiencing multiple compression, if that starts to happen going forward due to inflation/interest rate worries. Like with many overvalued growth stocks, shares could experience a high double-digit decline, and still sport a premium valuation.</p>\n<p>Investors who got into this at around $3 per share, before the EV bubble emerged in mid-2020, have seen tremendous trading profits. Yet investors buying it today, or who have bought it anytime this year? They may be at risk of heavy losses, if they decide to hold instead of selling now.</p>\n<p><b>Palantir (PLTR)</b></p>\n<p>As I recently put it, Palantir is a wonderful company, but its stock is&nbsp;trading at an inflated price. That is, it makes sense why investors are bullish on this big data play. It continues to have big advantages when it comes to obtaining contracts with agencies of the U.S. federal government.</p>\n<p>Growing its client base in the private sector has so far been a work-in-progress. But that could soon change. As a<i>Seeking Alpha</i>commentator recently broke it down, the company’s&nbsp;commercial sales growth may be set to accelerate.</p>\n<p>The problem? That’s more than accounted for in the PLTR stock price. Trading for a forward price-to-earnings, or P/E, ratio of 157x, this is a prime example of a priced for perfection situation. Yet just like with some of the other promising growth plays discussed in this gallery, meeting expectations by-itself may not be enough to keep shares from holding steady, much less help shares rally higher, from here.</p>\n<p>Putting it simply, this is another situation where multiple compression could result in a big declines. Shares could fall 50%, and still trade at a valuation that more than reflects its growth prospects. It may have a high quality underlying business. But don’t leave yourself exposed to holding the bag. Avoid Palantir stock.</p>\n<p><b>Peloton (PTON)</b></p>\n<p>Starting in June, the&nbsp;delta variant’s spread&nbsp;has given investors hope that stay-at-home-economy winner PTON stock could continue to stay winning. Other factors, such as&nbsp;<b>UnitedHealthcare</b>(NYSE:<b><u>UNH</u></b>) announcing it will provide millions covered by its health insurance policies with&nbsp;free access&nbsp;to the company’s fitness class subscription service, have helped to boost shares in the at-home fitness company as well.</p>\n<p>However, these positive developments far from insure Peloton doesn’t continue to give back more of its pandemic-related gains. Also a stock trading for a triple-digit P/E ratio (127x estimated earnings for its fiscal year ending June 2023), multiple compression risk runs high with this name too.</p>\n<p>Not only that, as&nbsp;<i>InvestorPlace’s</i>&nbsp;Alex Siriois recently made the case, it’s up for debate whether it’ll continue to see above-average growth thanks to&nbsp;delta and subsequent Covid-19 variants. This may mean sales growth with its stationary bikes and treadmill equipment, and more importantly, subscriber growth for its high-margin connected fitness classes, falls short of expectations.</p>\n<p>In turn, it’ll be tough for PTON stock to keep on sporting a P/E ratio north of 100x. With both company-specific and market-wide risks potentially sending it crashing down, there’s no need to buy or hold this still-popular stock right now.</p>\n<p><b>SOS Ltd (SOS)</b></p>\n<p>Even as&nbsp;<b>Bitcoin</b>(CCC:<b><u>BTC</u></b>)&nbsp;makes a recovery, it’s best to stay away from SOS stock. Why? Among the many publicly traded companies in the business of crypto mining, this may be the riskiest. As you may recall, this was another popular stock&nbsp;targeted by vocal short-sellersearlier this year.</p>\n<p>Hindenburg Research, along with a lesser-known short research outfit (Culper Research), each released to investors a laundry list of red flags with this China-based Bitcoin miner. Mostly, concerns that not everything was on the up-and-up with the company.</p>\n<p>SOS&nbsp;responded within a few weeks, with a press release that attempted to assuage concerns raised by both short reports. Yet, while the allegations made could have been overblown, there’s still a lot of questions surrounding this company. It hasn’t been the most timely when it comes to releasing financial results. Also, little has been said about the impact of China’s crypto crackdown (which may result in a ban on mining within its borders) on the company’s operations.</p>\n<p><b>Virgin Galactic Holdings (SPCE)</b></p>\n<p>Richard Branson, the public face of Virgin Galactic, may have&nbsp;successfully gone up into space last monthon one of the company’s rockets. It’s making progress for sure. But don’t see this as a reason to buy its stock following its recent pullback.</p>\n<p>Falling from around $49 per share just before Branson’s launch, to around $25 recently, SPCE stock may look like a solid buy-the-dip situation. Yet it’s important to remember that the company remains many years of turning its business model inspired by science fiction into economic reality.</p>\n<p>With only more test flights planned in the immediate future? It’s still going to take time before the company starts making money from its out-of-this-world operations. That’s along with the fact that tickets today sell for&nbsp;$450,000 a pop. Eventually, this ticket price will come down. But don’t expect to happen on a time-frame short enough to allow it to grow into its $7.5 billion valuation.</p>\n<p>To top it all off, it a market correction and/or if multiple compression happens? Shares could make a fast ascent back to Earth. If you are bullish on space, there are&nbsp;scores of other plays you can buy. Stick with them, and hold off on SPCE stock.</p>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>7 Popular Stocks You Should Avoid At All Costs</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n7 Popular Stocks You Should Avoid At All Costs\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-16 09:22 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://investorplace.com/2021/08/stocks-to-avoid-7-popular-stocks-to-skip-at-all-costs/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>A possible market downturn could knock these stocks down to substantially lower prices\nSource: Shutterstock\nIt may be too early to say that a stock market correction is just around the corner. Markets...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/08/stocks-to-avoid-7-popular-stocks-to-skip-at-all-costs/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPCE":"维珍银河","CLOV":"Clover Health Corp","SOS":"SOS Limited","NIO":"蔚来","AMC":"AMC院线","PTON":"Peloton Interactive, Inc.","PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2021/08/stocks-to-avoid-7-popular-stocks-to-skip-at-all-costs/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1100841503","content_text":"A possible market downturn could knock these stocks down to substantially lower prices\nSource: Shutterstock\nIt may be too early to say that a stock market correction is just around the corner. Markets may be able to withstand the delta variant of Covid-19. Yet other possibilities in the near term, such as America’s post-pandemic economic hitting a wall, or the recent rise in inflation ending up being more than “transitory,”could have a negative impact on equities. So, ahead of a correction, meltdown, or sell-off, what are some top stocks to avoid?\nHow about popular stocks? This includes many of the meme stocks sent “to the moon” by Reddit traders. But it also encompasses many richly priced, high-growth names that have performed well since the start of the pandemic, yet could see significant pullback due to multiple compression.\nThat is not to say these types of stocks no longer stand to become long-term winner. It’s just that, with the possibility of stocks experiencing a double-digit decline, you may be able to enter/re-enter them at a more favorable entry point soon down the road.\nSo, what are some of the top popular stocks to avoid? Or, if you own them now, cash out as soon as possible. Consider these seven, meme stocks and non-meme stocks alike, names to stay away from for now:\n\nAMC Entertainment(NYSE:AMC)\nClover Health(NASDAQ:CLOV)\nNio(NYSE:NIO)\nPalantir(NYSE:PLTR)\nPeloton(NASDAQ:PTON)\nSOS Ltd(NYSE:SOS)\nVirgin Galactic Holdings(NASDAQ:SPCE)\n\nAMC Entertainment (AMC)\nIts popularity among Reddit traders may be waning. So far, though, AMC Entertainment shares have managed to hold onto the majority of its meme stock gains. It’s down more than 56% from its 52-week high of $72.62. But at $31.75 per share, it’s still up a staggering 1479.6% since the start of 2021.\nThat being said, don’t expect shares in this movie theater chain to remain resilient from here. Like with GameStop(NYSE:GME) stock, Main Street investors may have clobbered Wall Street short-sellers in this name earlier this year. But the short side may be coming back with a vengeance. Even legendary short seller Jim Chanos has decided to take a shot at betting against AMC stock.\nWorse yet, this time, the so-called smart money could prevail against ther/WallStreetBetscommunity. The overall meme stock trend has lost momentum, as it’s failing to expand the pool of investors willing to use its counter-intuitive yet once highly-profitable strategy. Without investors buying it on hype and momentum, it’ll continue to trade more on its fundamentals, which Chanos himself have said are deteriorating, as movie theaters are struggling to recover from Covid-19.\nAdd in the fact the stock would still be pricey at between $10 and $15 per share, and a possible correction making even those still holding it with diamond hands skittish. More at play to sink it than send it bouncing back, consider AMC one of the top stocks to avoid right now.\nClover Health (CLOV)\nClover Health was one of the top-performing names during the second meme stock wave in late May and early June. Primarily, due to hype at the time surrounding its ability to get short-squeezed. More than two months back, it may have gone parabolic, surging from around $7 per share, to as much as $28.85 per share.\nBut as investors have given up on this angle, shares in the insurtech company trying to disrupt the Medicare Advantage business are back to around $8.40 per share. Even worse? Further declines may be on the way.\nWhy? There’s a good reason why CLOV stock has been so heavily shorted. First, the  red flags surrounding its business model. These were detailed in Hindenburg Research’s scathing “short-report”earlier this year. Second, concerns that its business model will not prove successful in the long term. This is due to its growth plateauing sooner than expected. Or, its financial performance (which has already disappointed Wall Street analysts), will be continuing to underwhelm.\nAs its floundering while markets remain strong, you can imagine its possible downside if stocks in-general enter bear-market mode within the next few months. Ahead of Clover heading to even lower lows, it may be best throw in the towel if you own it, and steer clear if you do not.\nNio (NIO)\nLately, renewed interest in EV (electric vehicle) plays has helped to counter rising China regulatory crackdown fears when it comes to NIO stock. Yet there are some other factors that could put even more pressure on shares in the luxury EV maker, located in what’s become the world’s largest electrified vehicle market.\nNamely, it’s still-stretched valuation. AsInvestorPlace’s Will Ashworth recently wrote, Nio continues to be priced based on very optimistic delivery growth projections. The implication? Shares could sell off, if its delivery numbers and financial results end up falling short of expectations. Trading for around 13.2x projected 2021 sales, it needs to continue growing at a very high rate to remain at, or move above, today’s prices (around $40 per share).\nBut even remaining firmly on the growth train may not be enough to prevent this high-flyer from experiencing multiple compression, if that starts to happen going forward due to inflation/interest rate worries. Like with many overvalued growth stocks, shares could experience a high double-digit decline, and still sport a premium valuation.\nInvestors who got into this at around $3 per share, before the EV bubble emerged in mid-2020, have seen tremendous trading profits. Yet investors buying it today, or who have bought it anytime this year? They may be at risk of heavy losses, if they decide to hold instead of selling now.\nPalantir (PLTR)\nAs I recently put it, Palantir is a wonderful company, but its stock is trading at an inflated price. That is, it makes sense why investors are bullish on this big data play. It continues to have big advantages when it comes to obtaining contracts with agencies of the U.S. federal government.\nGrowing its client base in the private sector has so far been a work-in-progress. But that could soon change. As aSeeking Alphacommentator recently broke it down, the company’s commercial sales growth may be set to accelerate.\nThe problem? That’s more than accounted for in the PLTR stock price. Trading for a forward price-to-earnings, or P/E, ratio of 157x, this is a prime example of a priced for perfection situation. Yet just like with some of the other promising growth plays discussed in this gallery, meeting expectations by-itself may not be enough to keep shares from holding steady, much less help shares rally higher, from here.\nPutting it simply, this is another situation where multiple compression could result in a big declines. Shares could fall 50%, and still trade at a valuation that more than reflects its growth prospects. It may have a high quality underlying business. But don’t leave yourself exposed to holding the bag. Avoid Palantir stock.\nPeloton (PTON)\nStarting in June, the delta variant’s spread has given investors hope that stay-at-home-economy winner PTON stock could continue to stay winning. Other factors, such as UnitedHealthcare(NYSE:UNH) announcing it will provide millions covered by its health insurance policies with free access to the company’s fitness class subscription service, have helped to boost shares in the at-home fitness company as well.\nHowever, these positive developments far from insure Peloton doesn’t continue to give back more of its pandemic-related gains. Also a stock trading for a triple-digit P/E ratio (127x estimated earnings for its fiscal year ending June 2023), multiple compression risk runs high with this name too.\nNot only that, as InvestorPlace’s Alex Siriois recently made the case, it’s up for debate whether it’ll continue to see above-average growth thanks to delta and subsequent Covid-19 variants. This may mean sales growth with its stationary bikes and treadmill equipment, and more importantly, subscriber growth for its high-margin connected fitness classes, falls short of expectations.\nIn turn, it’ll be tough for PTON stock to keep on sporting a P/E ratio north of 100x. With both company-specific and market-wide risks potentially sending it crashing down, there’s no need to buy or hold this still-popular stock right now.\nSOS Ltd (SOS)\nEven as Bitcoin(CCC:BTC) makes a recovery, it’s best to stay away from SOS stock. Why? Among the many publicly traded companies in the business of crypto mining, this may be the riskiest. As you may recall, this was another popular stock targeted by vocal short-sellersearlier this year.\nHindenburg Research, along with a lesser-known short research outfit (Culper Research), each released to investors a laundry list of red flags with this China-based Bitcoin miner. Mostly, concerns that not everything was on the up-and-up with the company.\nSOS responded within a few weeks, with a press release that attempted to assuage concerns raised by both short reports. Yet, while the allegations made could have been overblown, there’s still a lot of questions surrounding this company. It hasn’t been the most timely when it comes to releasing financial results. Also, little has been said about the impact of China’s crypto crackdown (which may result in a ban on mining within its borders) on the company’s operations.\nVirgin Galactic Holdings (SPCE)\nRichard Branson, the public face of Virgin Galactic, may have successfully gone up into space last monthon one of the company’s rockets. It’s making progress for sure. But don’t see this as a reason to buy its stock following its recent pullback.\nFalling from around $49 per share just before Branson’s launch, to around $25 recently, SPCE stock may look like a solid buy-the-dip situation. Yet it’s important to remember that the company remains many years of turning its business model inspired by science fiction into economic reality.\nWith only more test flights planned in the immediate future? It’s still going to take time before the company starts making money from its out-of-this-world operations. That’s along with the fact that tickets today sell for $450,000 a pop. Eventually, this ticket price will come down. But don’t expect to happen on a time-frame short enough to allow it to grow into its $7.5 billion valuation.\nTo top it all off, it a market correction and/or if multiple compression happens? Shares could make a fast ascent back to Earth. If you are bullish on space, there are scores of other plays you can buy. Stick with them, and hold off on SPCE stock.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":560,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":834237094,"gmtCreate":1629805551518,"gmtModify":1676530136501,"author":{"id":"4087542547312600","authorId":"4087542547312600","name":"Stu79","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087542547312600","authorIdStr":"4087542547312600"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"FUD.&nbsp;","listText":"FUD.&nbsp;","text":"FUD.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/834237094","repostId":"1139894852","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1139894852","pubTimestamp":1629795640,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1139894852?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-08-24 17:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"AMC Stock Makes Little Sense to Own at $36 Per Share","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1139894852","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"If the short squeeze thesis collapses, so will the price of AMC stock, so avoid it ahead of what wil","content":"<p>If the short squeeze thesis collapses, so will the price of AMC stock, so avoid it ahead of what will likely be a substantial price decline</p>\n<p>A spate of positive developments&nbsp;may be helping to keep&nbsp;<b>AMC Entertainment</b>(NYSE:<b><u>AMC</u></b>) stock steady. But should investors take this as a sign that it’s wise to buy in now, ahead of this “meme stock” favorite of the Reddit trading community surging higher once again?</p>\n<p>Not so fast. Its recent resiliency may call into question my claim that the stock’s&nbsp;capitulation had already begun. Admittedly, my bear case for the stock may take longer than previously anticipated to play out. Don’t mistake this though, for me changing my take on the stock completely.</p>\n<p>Whether next month, next quarter, or even next year, the risk of a massive collapse remains on the table. Why? The self-proclaimed “Ape Army” of traders long the stock will at some point break. How? First, if or when the “mother of all short squeezes” thesis that’s been propping it up finally breaks.</p>\n<p>If this happens? The collapse will occur, as the company’s underlying value remains far below what shares change hands for today (around $36 per share). Compared to the other top “meme stock,”<b>GameStop</b>(NYSE:<b><u>GME</u></b>), the gap between trading price and underlying value is even wider with AMC. To avoid the risk of tremendous losses, it remains best to steer clear.</p>\n<p><b>AMC Entertainment and its Latest Quarterly Results</b></p>\n<p>On Aug 9, AMC reported results for the quarter ending June 30. Investors focused more on its&nbsp;revenue beat and lower-than-expected losses. But paying close attention to the details, it’s clear there really is not much to be excited about with this company’s results.</p>\n<p>What do I mean? Losses were lower than expected. Yet a quarterly loss of $344 million, versus projections of $561.2 million, is hardly anything to go bananas about. Revenue of $444.7 million, versus consensus estimates of $382.1 million, may have been a nice surprise. However, that’s still far below the&nbsp;$1.51 billion in quarterly sales&nbsp;the company was generating this time of year pre-Covid.</p>\n<p>Its theaters may be open again for business. Revenue is moving in the right direction. But this hardly justifies valuing AMC stock at a level many times what it was pre-pandemic. Now I understand that the “Ape Army” is not valuing this stock using traditional valuation metrics.</p>\n<p>Instead, they’ve mostly built it around insinuations that&nbsp; “dark pools” and other underhanded hedge fund tactics have resulted in a substantially higher level of short interest than has been reported (16.8% of outstanding float). Some see this as the&nbsp;perfect setup for the “mother of all short squeezes.”Yet given the low chances of this thesis playing out? Chances are, we’ll see the opposite happen, in a big way.</p>\n<p><b>If Short Squeeze Thesis Collapses, So Will AMC Stock</b></p>\n<p>Again, it’s hard to tell when. But at some point down the road, the longs will capitulate. Again, due to their “mother of all short squeezes” thesis on the stock fizzling out. With the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC)&nbsp;investigating dark pools, “AMC Apes” for now may have enough on their side to bolster the narrative they’ve crafted about it.</p>\n<p>But what happens if the SEC reins in dark pools, and it turns out AMC stock hasn’t been shorted to an extent larger than reported? What if, at the end of the day, only a moderate amount of its shares remain sold short, with said shorts biding their time until the long throw in the towel?</p>\n<p>Shares will likely fall back to a price more in line with the company’s underlying value. To say that’s bad news for those who entered the stock at or above today’s prices is an understatement. As I broke it down in June, even in a “best case scenario,” it may be tough for shares to justify even a&nbsp;low double-digit per share valuation.</p>\n<p>Putting it simply, the downside risk with this popular “meme stock” makes the downside with the other top dog, GameStop,seem more reasonable by comparison. That’s not to say you should buy that one, either. Yet if you thought that AMC had more potential to pop again, think otherwise.</p>\n<p><b>Resiliency May Continue, But Risk/Return is Clearly Not in Your Favor</b></p>\n<p>Despite my heavy bearishness about AMC Entertainment, I’ll concede that the madness could continue. At the very least, shares could remain between $30 and $40 per share, as the “smart money” short side is countered by retail “Apes” on the long side. But given the downside risk if this dynamic changes, in a way that benefits the shorts?</p>\n<p>Without the “mother of all short squeezes” narrative, it’ll be tough for AMC stock to remain at prices well above its true value for long. To avoid possible high double-digit percentage losses, your best move remains to skip out entirely on this situation.</p>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AMC Stock Makes Little Sense to Own at $36 Per Share</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAMC Stock Makes Little Sense to Own at $36 Per Share\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-24 17:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://investorplace.com/2021/08/amc-stock-makes-little-sense-to-own-at-36-per-share/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>If the short squeeze thesis collapses, so will the price of AMC stock, so avoid it ahead of what will likely be a substantial price decline\nA spate of positive developments may be helping to keep AMC ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/08/amc-stock-makes-little-sense-to-own-at-36-per-share/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2021/08/amc-stock-makes-little-sense-to-own-at-36-per-share/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1139894852","content_text":"If the short squeeze thesis collapses, so will the price of AMC stock, so avoid it ahead of what will likely be a substantial price decline\nA spate of positive developments may be helping to keep AMC Entertainment(NYSE:AMC) stock steady. But should investors take this as a sign that it’s wise to buy in now, ahead of this “meme stock” favorite of the Reddit trading community surging higher once again?\nNot so fast. Its recent resiliency may call into question my claim that the stock’s capitulation had already begun. Admittedly, my bear case for the stock may take longer than previously anticipated to play out. Don’t mistake this though, for me changing my take on the stock completely.\nWhether next month, next quarter, or even next year, the risk of a massive collapse remains on the table. Why? The self-proclaimed “Ape Army” of traders long the stock will at some point break. How? First, if or when the “mother of all short squeezes” thesis that’s been propping it up finally breaks.\nIf this happens? The collapse will occur, as the company’s underlying value remains far below what shares change hands for today (around $36 per share). Compared to the other top “meme stock,”GameStop(NYSE:GME), the gap between trading price and underlying value is even wider with AMC. To avoid the risk of tremendous losses, it remains best to steer clear.\nAMC Entertainment and its Latest Quarterly Results\nOn Aug 9, AMC reported results for the quarter ending June 30. Investors focused more on its revenue beat and lower-than-expected losses. But paying close attention to the details, it’s clear there really is not much to be excited about with this company’s results.\nWhat do I mean? Losses were lower than expected. Yet a quarterly loss of $344 million, versus projections of $561.2 million, is hardly anything to go bananas about. Revenue of $444.7 million, versus consensus estimates of $382.1 million, may have been a nice surprise. However, that’s still far below the $1.51 billion in quarterly sales the company was generating this time of year pre-Covid.\nIts theaters may be open again for business. Revenue is moving in the right direction. But this hardly justifies valuing AMC stock at a level many times what it was pre-pandemic. Now I understand that the “Ape Army” is not valuing this stock using traditional valuation metrics.\nInstead, they’ve mostly built it around insinuations that  “dark pools” and other underhanded hedge fund tactics have resulted in a substantially higher level of short interest than has been reported (16.8% of outstanding float). Some see this as the perfect setup for the “mother of all short squeezes.”Yet given the low chances of this thesis playing out? Chances are, we’ll see the opposite happen, in a big way.\nIf Short Squeeze Thesis Collapses, So Will AMC Stock\nAgain, it’s hard to tell when. But at some point down the road, the longs will capitulate. Again, due to their “mother of all short squeezes” thesis on the stock fizzling out. With the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) investigating dark pools, “AMC Apes” for now may have enough on their side to bolster the narrative they’ve crafted about it.\nBut what happens if the SEC reins in dark pools, and it turns out AMC stock hasn’t been shorted to an extent larger than reported? What if, at the end of the day, only a moderate amount of its shares remain sold short, with said shorts biding their time until the long throw in the towel?\nShares will likely fall back to a price more in line with the company’s underlying value. To say that’s bad news for those who entered the stock at or above today’s prices is an understatement. As I broke it down in June, even in a “best case scenario,” it may be tough for shares to justify even a low double-digit per share valuation.\nPutting it simply, the downside risk with this popular “meme stock” makes the downside with the other top dog, GameStop,seem more reasonable by comparison. That’s not to say you should buy that one, either. Yet if you thought that AMC had more potential to pop again, think otherwise.\nResiliency May Continue, But Risk/Return is Clearly Not in Your Favor\nDespite my heavy bearishness about AMC Entertainment, I’ll concede that the madness could continue. At the very least, shares could remain between $30 and $40 per share, as the “smart money” short side is countered by retail “Apes” on the long side. But given the downside risk if this dynamic changes, in a way that benefits the shorts?\nWithout the “mother of all short squeezes” narrative, it’ll be tough for AMC stock to remain at prices well above its true value for long. To avoid possible high double-digit percentage losses, your best move remains to skip out entirely on this situation.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":260,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":839123328,"gmtCreate":1629127843064,"gmtModify":1676529941065,"author":{"id":"4087542547312600","authorId":"4087542547312600","name":"Stu79","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087542547312600","authorIdStr":"4087542547312600"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"More FUD","listText":"More FUD","text":"More FUD","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/839123328","repostId":"1137437693","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":217,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":812873159,"gmtCreate":1630577495571,"gmtModify":1676530345441,"author":{"id":"4087542547312600","authorId":"4087542547312600","name":"Stu79","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087542547312600","authorIdStr":"4087542547312600"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great news for my calls","listText":"Great news for my calls","text":"Great news for my calls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/812873159","repostId":"1159580926","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":279,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}