Kmyong personal page - To The Moon

Kmyong

Kmyong

Lion City trader

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4Followers

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2021-09-08

MU heading north?

2021-08-27

Xiaomi up up up

2021-08-27

Yes , she will by 1Q2022??

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2021-08-06

Chips chips chips!

Why AMD Is a Top Growth Stock to Buy Right Now

2021-08-05

Novavax heading north??

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2021-08-05

Buy buy buy

Is Apple Stock A Buy Or Sell After Recently Announced Earnings?

2021-08-05

Shake shack best??

7 of the Best Restaurant Stocks to Buy Now as They Begin to Recover

2021-08-05

Novavac better than Pfizer?

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2021-08-05

Continue to hold or buy??

Is Apple Stock A Buy Or Sell After Recently Announced Earnings?

2021-08-02

Recovering??

2021-07-30

Great ??

BRIEF-Tongcheng-Elong Partners with Tencent Computer

2021-07-30

Climbing up slowly and surely

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2021-07-25

Long term investment??

2021-07-22

Yeah, recovery on the horizon??

China shares rise on financials boost, foreign buying

2021-07-22

Soaring soon

2021-07-22

Good news

Behind The Market's Furious Reversal: Record High Skew

2021-07-22

Reasonable target ????

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2021-07-22

Good . Coming back??

2021-07-22

Yes!Good news

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2021-07-22

[Grin] [Grin] Yeah

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Go to Tiger App to see more news

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heading north?","listText":"MU heading north?","text":"MU heading north?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45be70158109d6e687ff9077c2c7f77b","width":"1125","height":"2452"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/880851900","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":269,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":810472507,"gmtCreate":1629999853309,"gmtModify":1676530197307,"author":{"id":"4087548754587790","authorId":"4087548754587790","name":"Kmyong","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/285b1727eda76b0888c32eb184268abf","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087548754587790","authorIdStr":"4087548754587790"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Xiaomi up up up","listText":"Xiaomi up up up","text":"Xiaomi up up up","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/714cb019e2d7ee2236a3d91db895feaa","width":"1125","height":"2164"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/810472507","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":380,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":810476202,"gmtCreate":1629999525106,"gmtModify":1676530197276,"author":{"id":"4087548754587790","authorId":"4087548754587790","name":"Kmyong","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/285b1727eda76b0888c32eb184268abf","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087548754587790","authorIdStr":"4087548754587790"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yes , she will by 1Q2022??","listText":"Yes , she will by 1Q2022??","text":"Yes , she will by 1Q2022??","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/810476202","repostId":"1161561973","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":394,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":899292477,"gmtCreate":1628190950399,"gmtModify":1703502834933,"author":{"id":"4087548754587790","authorId":"4087548754587790","name":"Kmyong","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/285b1727eda76b0888c32eb184268abf","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087548754587790","authorIdStr":"4087548754587790"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Chips chips chips!","listText":"Chips chips chips!","text":"Chips chips chips!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/899292477","repostId":"2157431025","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2157431025","pubTimestamp":1628173500,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2157431025?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-08-05 22:25","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why AMD Is a Top Growth Stock to Buy Right Now","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2157431025","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The chipmaker's technology advantage over its bigger rival can add billions of dollars to its revenue.","content":"<p><b>Advanced Micro Devices</b> (NASDAQ:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">AMD</a>) is showing no signs of slowing down. The chipmaker is riding several fast-growing tech trends that have supercharged its revenue and earnings growth in recent quarters, and those catalysts aren't going to disappear anytime soon.</p>\n<p>In simple words, AMD seems to be in the middle of a multiyear growth curve. And if you haven't bought this growth stock just yet, now would be a great time to do so. Let's look at <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of the biggest reasons why you should consider adding AMD to your stock portfolio.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e3a0b0ee67bc486cd5307d517dfdc5a2\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>Image source: Getty Images.</p>\n<h3>AMD's CPU market share gains could be its biggest catalyst</h3>\n<p>AMD gets most of its revenue from the computing and graphics segment, through which it sells its Ryzen central processing units (CPUs) and Radeon graphics processing units (GPUs). The segment's revenue is directly related to the health of the PC market, as well as the data center space, where graphics cards are deployed for accelerating workloads.</p>\n<p>AMD's computing and graphics revenue shot up 65% year over year in the second quarter to $2.25 billion, accounting for 58% of the total revenue. The company credited this terrific growth to increases&nbsp;in the average selling price (ASP) and shipments of its Ryzen processors that are used in laptops and desktops. According to AMD, its revenue share&nbsp;in the client processor market has now improved for five straight quarters.</p>\n<p>The company is witnessing strong demand for its high-end processors like the Ryzen 9 series, which saw shipments more than double year over year. Meanwhile, AMD's new Ryzen 5000 series notebook processors helped it record a seventh straight quarter of record revenue in the mobile processor space.</p>\n<p>AMD is benefiting from a mix of higher volumes and stronger pricing in the client processor market. This isn't surprising, as the chipmaker has been eating away at <b>Intel</b>'s (NASDAQ:INTC) dominance in the CPU space. According to PC benchmark&nbsp;provider PassMark Software, AMD exited&nbsp;Q2 with a CPU market share of 44.1%, a nice jump from the year-ago period's share of 35%. Intel commands the rest of the market, though it has been losing ground to AMD since the arrival of the Ryzen series processors.</p>\n<p>It is also worth noting that AMD's improved pricing power has led to an increase in processor ASPs. Intel, on the other hand, is struggling with a steep decline in ASPs. Chipzilla's desktop processor ASP dropped 5% year over year last quarter, while notebook ASPs were down 17% after it resorted to discounting to move more units. AMD, on the other hand, is using its technology and performance advantage over Intel's chips to charge a premium for its processors, and customers are clearly willing to pay, given the higher shipments.</p>\n<p>AMD is likely to take more market share away from Intel, because the former is expected to launch its next-generation Zen 4 CPUs next year, which would be based on a 5-nanometer manufacturing process. AMD's current Zen 3 chips are based on a 7-nanometer node, which means that the next-generation chips can deliver improved computing performance and reduce power consumption.</p>\n<p>That's because the transistors on a smaller process node are closely packed together, which makes them more power efficient and capable of carrying out more calculations. More importantly, the move to a 5-nanometer process would put AMD at a great advantage over Intel.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3059a4b47cebad1d7140b0bbb7e232c\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"464\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>Image source: AMD.</p>\n<p>Intel's current Rocket Lake&nbsp;desktop processors are based on the old 14-nanometer process, while AMD uses a modern 7-nanometer process. As a result, AMD can pack more cores into its processors, make them more power-efficient, and generate superior performance&nbsp;at the same time.</p>\n<p>Chipzilla is expected to move to a 10-nanometer platform later this year once its Alder Lake desktop CPUs are launched. That could give AMD a headache, as Intel says that its 10-nanometer node packs in more transistors than AMD's 7-nanometer process. However, AMD should be ready to make the jump to the 5-nanometer process&nbsp;by the end of this year, which would help it maintain its advantage over Intel.</p>\n<h3>Big financial gains could be on the cards</h3>\n<p>AMD's computing and graphics segment is still quite small when compared to Intel's. For instance, Intel generated $10.6 billion in revenue&nbsp;from its client computing group (CCG) last quarter, which was more than four times AMD's revenue from its computing and graphics business.</p>\n<p>AMD launched its first-generation Ryzen processors in 2017, and they have supercharged the computing and graphics business. The segment's revenue had jumped to $3 billion&nbsp;in 2017 from $1.97 billion in 2016. In 2020, AMD generated&nbsp;$6.4 billion in revenue from the computing and graphics segment, so the business has more than doubled in three years.</p>\n<p>Meanwhile, Intel's CCG revenue stood&nbsp;at $40.1 billion in 2020, up just 22% from $32.9 billion&nbsp;at the end of 2016. Clearly, AMD is growing at a much faster pace than Intel thanks to its market share gains. More importantly, the size of Intel's CCG business indicates that AMD has a huge opportunity ahead to increase its revenue from the sale of client processors.</p>\n<p>AMD's technological advantage over Intel could help it maintain the terrific pace of growth of its largest business segment by way of additional market share and stronger pricing. Not surprisingly, analysts expect AMD to clock 32% annual earnings growth for the next five years. Given that AMD shares are now trading at 38 times trailing earnings as compared to their five-year average multiple&nbsp;of 120, it is a top growth stock to buy right now since it can add billions of dollars to its revenue and substantially boost earnings by consistently hurting its bigger rival.</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why AMD Is a Top Growth Stock to Buy Right Now</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy AMD Is a Top Growth Stock to Buy Right Now\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-05 22:25 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/08/05/why-amd-is-a-top-growth-stock-to-buy-right-now/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD) is showing no signs of slowing down. The chipmaker is riding several fast-growing tech trends that have supercharged its revenue and earnings growth in recent ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/08/05/why-amd-is-a-top-growth-stock-to-buy-right-now/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMD":"美国超微公司"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/08/05/why-amd-is-a-top-growth-stock-to-buy-right-now/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2157431025","content_text":"Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD) is showing no signs of slowing down. The chipmaker is riding several fast-growing tech trends that have supercharged its revenue and earnings growth in recent quarters, and those catalysts aren't going to disappear anytime soon.\nIn simple words, AMD seems to be in the middle of a multiyear growth curve. And if you haven't bought this growth stock just yet, now would be a great time to do so. Let's look at one of the biggest reasons why you should consider adding AMD to your stock portfolio.\n\nImage source: Getty Images.\nAMD's CPU market share gains could be its biggest catalyst\nAMD gets most of its revenue from the computing and graphics segment, through which it sells its Ryzen central processing units (CPUs) and Radeon graphics processing units (GPUs). The segment's revenue is directly related to the health of the PC market, as well as the data center space, where graphics cards are deployed for accelerating workloads.\nAMD's computing and graphics revenue shot up 65% year over year in the second quarter to $2.25 billion, accounting for 58% of the total revenue. The company credited this terrific growth to increases in the average selling price (ASP) and shipments of its Ryzen processors that are used in laptops and desktops. According to AMD, its revenue share in the client processor market has now improved for five straight quarters.\nThe company is witnessing strong demand for its high-end processors like the Ryzen 9 series, which saw shipments more than double year over year. Meanwhile, AMD's new Ryzen 5000 series notebook processors helped it record a seventh straight quarter of record revenue in the mobile processor space.\nAMD is benefiting from a mix of higher volumes and stronger pricing in the client processor market. This isn't surprising, as the chipmaker has been eating away at Intel's (NASDAQ:INTC) dominance in the CPU space. According to PC benchmark provider PassMark Software, AMD exited Q2 with a CPU market share of 44.1%, a nice jump from the year-ago period's share of 35%. Intel commands the rest of the market, though it has been losing ground to AMD since the arrival of the Ryzen series processors.\nIt is also worth noting that AMD's improved pricing power has led to an increase in processor ASPs. Intel, on the other hand, is struggling with a steep decline in ASPs. Chipzilla's desktop processor ASP dropped 5% year over year last quarter, while notebook ASPs were down 17% after it resorted to discounting to move more units. AMD, on the other hand, is using its technology and performance advantage over Intel's chips to charge a premium for its processors, and customers are clearly willing to pay, given the higher shipments.\nAMD is likely to take more market share away from Intel, because the former is expected to launch its next-generation Zen 4 CPUs next year, which would be based on a 5-nanometer manufacturing process. AMD's current Zen 3 chips are based on a 7-nanometer node, which means that the next-generation chips can deliver improved computing performance and reduce power consumption.\nThat's because the transistors on a smaller process node are closely packed together, which makes them more power efficient and capable of carrying out more calculations. More importantly, the move to a 5-nanometer process would put AMD at a great advantage over Intel.\n\nImage source: AMD.\nIntel's current Rocket Lake desktop processors are based on the old 14-nanometer process, while AMD uses a modern 7-nanometer process. As a result, AMD can pack more cores into its processors, make them more power-efficient, and generate superior performance at the same time.\nChipzilla is expected to move to a 10-nanometer platform later this year once its Alder Lake desktop CPUs are launched. That could give AMD a headache, as Intel says that its 10-nanometer node packs in more transistors than AMD's 7-nanometer process. However, AMD should be ready to make the jump to the 5-nanometer process by the end of this year, which would help it maintain its advantage over Intel.\nBig financial gains could be on the cards\nAMD's computing and graphics segment is still quite small when compared to Intel's. For instance, Intel generated $10.6 billion in revenue from its client computing group (CCG) last quarter, which was more than four times AMD's revenue from its computing and graphics business.\nAMD launched its first-generation Ryzen processors in 2017, and they have supercharged the computing and graphics business. The segment's revenue had jumped to $3 billion in 2017 from $1.97 billion in 2016. In 2020, AMD generated $6.4 billion in revenue from the computing and graphics segment, so the business has more than doubled in three years.\nMeanwhile, Intel's CCG revenue stood at $40.1 billion in 2020, up just 22% from $32.9 billion at the end of 2016. Clearly, AMD is growing at a much faster pace than Intel thanks to its market share gains. More importantly, the size of Intel's CCG business indicates that AMD has a huge opportunity ahead to increase its revenue from the sale of client processors.\nAMD's technological advantage over Intel could help it maintain the terrific pace of growth of its largest business segment by way of additional market share and stronger pricing. Not surprisingly, analysts expect AMD to clock 32% annual earnings growth for the next five years. Given that AMD shares are now trading at 38 times trailing earnings as compared to their five-year average multiple of 120, it is a top growth stock to buy right now since it can add billions of dollars to its revenue and substantially boost earnings by consistently hurting its bigger rival.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":328,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":899051878,"gmtCreate":1628145147294,"gmtModify":1703502060366,"author":{"id":"4087548754587790","authorId":"4087548754587790","name":"Kmyong","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/285b1727eda76b0888c32eb184268abf","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087548754587790","authorIdStr":"4087548754587790"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Novavax heading north??","listText":"Novavax heading north??","text":"Novavax heading north??","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/899051878","repostId":"1170468091","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":153,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":899053023,"gmtCreate":1628145060062,"gmtModify":1703502058234,"author":{"id":"4087548754587790","authorId":"4087548754587790","name":"Kmyong","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/285b1727eda76b0888c32eb184268abf","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087548754587790","authorIdStr":"4087548754587790"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Buy buy buy","listText":"Buy buy buy","text":"Buy buy buy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/899053023","repostId":"1158747638","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1158747638","pubTimestamp":1628130472,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1158747638?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-08-05 10:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is Apple Stock A Buy Or Sell After Recently Announced Earnings?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1158747638","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nIn last week's earnings release, Apple posted record-setting June quarter results, with tot","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>In last week's earnings release, Apple posted record-setting June quarter results, with total net sales of $81.4 billion, up 36% year-over-year.</li>\n <li>Yet, warnings about supply chain constraints and service revenues returning to more typical levels took its share price by surprise, with a same day drop of as much as 3%.</li>\n <li>However, the headwinds are expected to be temporary with no significant impacts to Apple's long-term growth prospects and valuation.</li>\n <li>Apple is expected to keep delivering unprecedented growth, underpinned by continued global demand for its products and services in the long run. And the recent price pullback makes a great buy opportunity for those looking to participate in the company's long-term gains.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c6ec3289e9b74b1c20fa47308bcbb20\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1063\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Justin Sullivan/Getty Images News</span></p>\n<p>Just a week ago, Apple (Nasdaq:AAPL) reported record-setting June quarter results that had crushed market expectations. The Cupertino-based tech giant recorded largest quarterly revenues ever of $81.4 billion, which were up 36% from the prior year and outperformed the average Wall Street forecast of $72.9 billion and our&nbsp;previous coverage&nbsp;projections of $76.5 billion by nearly $10 billion.</p>\n<p>The company also saw robust double-digit growth across the board from products and services to every geographic segment, with the installed base of devices and paid service subscriptions reaching an all-time high; the stellar results were also indicative of increased market penetration with the largest double-digit growth recorded for switchers and upgraders ever for a June-quarter, marking another record-breaking milestone in the books this quarter and continued dominance across all markets for Apple.</p>\n<p>Yet, Apple’s shares slipped as much as 3% following the earnings call and continues to be down close to 1% since July 27th. The stock also has not fared well amongst its FAANG counterparts in recent weeks from the stock sell-off triggered by fear that the latest resurgence of the coronavirus’ delta variant could erode economic growth.</p>\n<p>The contradicting movement in Apple’s share price compared to its stellar June quarter financial results allegedly stemmed from management’s warning of decelerated growth for the upcoming September quarter as lingering supply chain constraints are expected to place an adverse impact on product sales, especially on the revenue-leading iPhone and iPad categories; other headwinds also include weaker FX gains and anticipated slowed growth in the services category as demand returns to pre-pandemic levels following above-normal June quarter results.</p>\n<p>However, we consider anticipated headwinds as only short-term impacts that will not result in permanent losses for the company. The Apple stock remains primed for further upside considering the rising global demand for its products and services. Despite the supply crunch and decelerated growth anticipated for the upcoming September quarter, our outlook remains bullish on Apple with upside of more than 15% based on the last traded share price of $145.52 on August 2nd. With Apple’s stock price still down 0.85% from its earnings call on July 27thand down close to 3% from its mid-July peak, we consider the recent price pullback an advantage slated for long-term gains.</p>\n<p><b>Strength in Overcoming Lost Sales from Supply Constraints</b></p>\n<p>One of the key drivers for slowed growth anticipated for the September quarter is the ongoing chip supply shortage, which had previously caused more pervasive impact to the automotive industry but has now trickled down to consumer electronics. And Apple, who has its proprietary chips made by the world’s largest contract chip manufacturer, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (NYSE:TSMor “TSMC”), has not been spared from impact, with management warning of a supply constraint for the legacy semiconductor nodes used in the display and audio functions of its best-selling products, which is expected to drive lower sales in the near term.</p>\n<p>TSMC has also warned the chip shortage will likely continue into the&nbsp;following year, which is consistent with the timeline issued across all impacted industries. Although management has not provided a quantified range for the anticipated impact on the September quarter’s results, it is expected to be far more severe than what was experienced in the June quarter, which was on the low end of the $3 billion and $4 billion range estimate provided in April.</p>\n<p>However, the continued acceleration in global demand for iPhones and iPads is expected to more than compensate for the upcoming loss of revenues in later periods as “deferred” sales when raw material supplies return, and pending demand is fulfilled. To date, 97% of customers who have purchased from the iPhone 12 family have indicated appreciation for the enhanced 5G speeds, alongside improved chip technology and camera quality.</p>\n<p>The product category has also seen strong upgrade and switch rates in recent months as users continue their transition from legacy iPhones and other smartphones to the latest and greatest 5G-enabled iPhone. Considering 5G technology is still in early stages of adoption with low penetration rate, there is still significant additional growth opportunities available for the current and future 5G-enabled iPhone models.</p>\n<p>Global demand for 5G-enabled devices is expected to grow at a&nbsp;compounded annual growth rate (“CAGR”) of 38% into 2026, which further corroborates the expectation that potential lost sales from the ongoing supply shortage will not be permanent as demand for iPhones will continue to persist at high levels and make-whole lost sales in later periods when chip supplies return. A similar trend is expected for iPad demands in the long run, as it has proven itself during the pandemic to be a versatile and affordable tool to support creativity and social connection.</p>\n<p>The production and sales bottleneck caused by the ongoing global chip supply shortage will only be a temporary pause to Apple’s iPhone and iPad hot streak, which is expected to resume in strength when the supply chain finds alleviation to its current crunch sometime next year. And when this happens, we should be expecting above-normal sales levels underpinned by robust demand, similar to those observed in the June quarter.</p>\n<p><b>Outperforming Competition in the Services Segment with Innovation</b></p>\n<p>Although the above-normal growth in the services business segment observed during the June quarter is expected to revert to more moderated historical levels going forward, Apple has continued to be diligent in rolling out “innovative new features and programming” to increase reach and maintain market dominance in the increasingly competitive landscape.</p>\n<p>Apple’s services business segment – which includes iCloud, Apple TV+, App Store, Apple Music, Apple Podcasts, advertising, payment and other service offerings – currently competes head-on with other prominent service providers like Spotify (NYSE:SPOT), Netflix (Nasdaq:NFLX), Amazon.com (Nasdaq:AMZN),Google(Nasdaq:GOOG) (GOOGL) and&nbsp;Facebook(Nasdaq:FB). In order to maintain its established reputation for innovative technology and grow its loyal fanbase, Apple has recently introduced several new upgrades to existing service offerings at its most recent Worldwide Developers Conference (“WWDC”).</p>\n<p>The new exciting features include&nbsp;Spatial Audio and Lossless Audio&nbsp;for Apple Music, which enables an “immersive” listening experience and provides access to the studio quality of original audio files at no additional cost – a competitive advantage to audio streaming leader Spotify’s “HiFi” equivalent, which will likely come at a higher price tag upon launch. And for Apple TV+ – Apple’s gateway to the fast-growing&nbsp;video-streaming&nbsp;market – the company has continued to produce quality programming, which is proven through the&nbsp;35 Emmy Nominations&nbsp;that it has received this year.</p>\n<p>A new generation of the&nbsp;Apple TV, which includes a Siri-enabled remote and enhanced colour balance technology, has also been unveiled to complement its improved programming, which is expected to further enhance customer traction for the segment. The tech giant has also rebranded its iCloud service to&nbsp;iCloud+, with additional upgrades including enhanced privacy features and expanded HomeKit Secure Video support to accompany its suite of smart home devices at no additional costs.</p>\n<p>Other recently launched and enhanced services include Apple Podcast subscriptions, Apple News+ and Apple Fitness+, which could be bundled through Apple One at a discounted subscription rate. The Apple One bundle, which was launched in Q2, has already seen incredible success with increasing adoption rates that continue to drive overall growth within the services business segment.</p>\n<p><b>Overall Financial Prospects</b></p>\n<p>Considering the above analysis on Apple’s current operating environment, the recent headwinds that will drive decelerated growth during the September quarter are expected to be temporary and will be overcome with ease in the long run. Our base case forecast projects total net sales of $85.6 billion for the September quarter, representing 32% year-over-year growth, which is consistent with management’s expectations for strong double-digit year-over-year growth that will be slightly lower than the 36% reported for the June quarter.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/347e1ee20881f92c4563eeeaa5b1963c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"232\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal financial forecasts (Apple_-_Forecasted_Financial_Information.pdf).</span></p>\n<p>Our projected total net sales for the September quarter consist of $67.6 billion in product sales, up 35% from the prior year, and $18.0 billion in service sales, up 24% from the prior year. Altogether, our base case forecast projects total net sales of $368.1 billion for FY 2021, which represents year-over-year growth of 34%. The company’s net sales are expected to maintain accelerated growth at a CAGR of 8% towards $534.4 billion by FY 2026 due to increasing adoption and integration of technology and digital media into both professional and personal aspects of day-to-day routines.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/179a3a17abb5e6e4e0cb20196095a5eb\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"200\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal financial forecasts.</span></p>\n<p>Gross profit margins are projected at 41.7% for the September quarter, which is consistent with management’s guidance of approximately 41.5% to 42.5% considering the higher freight costs expected for this quarter, offset by an overall decline in component supply costs as product sales continue to scale.</p>\n<p>Total operating expenses are projected at $11.4 billion for the fiscal year’s fourth quarter, which consists of $6.0 billion related to research and development efforts, and $5.4 billion related to selling, general and administrative expenses; this is consistent with Apple’s cost structure observed in recent periods, and in line with the estimated range of $11.3 billion and $11.5 billion provided in management’s guidance.</p>\n<p>As a result, our base case forecast projects total cost of sales of $214.5 billion, and total operating expenses of $43.9 billion for FY 2021. And a similar cost structure is expected to apply into FY 2026 to support Apple’s continued growth in its products and services categories, as well as across all geographic segments in which it currently operates in.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/631897e055a326e11a137bad234bd0c9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"200\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal financial forecasts.</span></p>\n<p>Altogether, our base case forecast projects FY 2021 net income of $94.8 billion, which represents year-over-year growth of 65%. The bottom line is forecasted for further growth at a CAGR of 7% into the next five years, resulting in projected net income of $132.5 billion by 2026.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ce4ffc957a33598110dd5c193b77e637\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"198\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal financial forecasts.</span></p>\n<p><i>i. Base Case Financial Projections:</i></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3ce3157a7c707f88fa9542c0253d7e4a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"306\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal financial forecasts.</span></p>\n<p><b>AAPL Stock Valuation</b></p>\n<p>Our revised price target for Apple based on updated information from its recent earnings release is $170.91. This represents upside potential of 17.4% based on the last traded share price of $145.52 on August 2nd.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d398b8df89c54ecc26709392246469b0\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"210\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.</span></p>\n<p>To arrive at the $170.91 price target, we have applied a WACC of 8% to discount Apple’s projected free cash flows over a five-year discrete period; the WACC is consistent with Apple’s current risk profile and capital structure, which includes its latest&nbsp;four-part debt offering&nbsp;to&nbsp;taling $6.5 billion. Our valuation analysis also assumes a 19.7x EV/EBITDA multiple, which is in line with guideline public companies and precedent transactions within Apple’s industry peer group, and is reflective of current market expectations for Apple’s business growth potential in the long run.</p>\n<p><i>i. Base Case Valuation Analysis:</i></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b30bd02b3ef44a0cc3e7fef6501235c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"308\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.</span></p>\n<p>In order to validate our foregoing analysis that the adverse impacts to sales resulting from supply constraints, moderated services segment revenues and less favourable FX are only temporary and will not materially change Apple’s upside potential, we have also performed a sensitivity analysis to quantify the impact to FY 2021 revenues needed to decrease our base case price target of $170.91 by 10%.</p>\n<p>Based on our sensitivity analysis, FY 2021 revenues of $301.5 billion with growth at a CAGR of 10% into 2026, while holding all other valuation assumptions (i.e. cost structure, WACC, EV/EBITDA multiple) discussed above constant, would result in a price target of $153.82, which is 10% lower than our base case price target of $170.91.</p>\n<p>Considering year-to-date total net sales of $282.5 billion, Apple would only need to achieve total net sales of $19.0 billion for the September quarter to maintain a projected equity value of $2.5 trillion or $153.82 per share, which is highly unlikely even under supply constraint pressures and reduced services segment sales based on the company’s current growth trajectory. As such, we do not consider the near-term impacts related to supply constraints, moderated services segment revenues, and unfavourable FX a catalyst for permanent loss to Apple’s valuation.</p>\n<p><i>i. Revenue Sensitivity Analysis:</i></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/30976c090450f0576826720e5a1ab19a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"354\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.</span></p>\n<p><b>Conclusion - Is AAPL Stock A Good Buy?</b></p>\n<p>Considering Apple’s growth prospects, the recent price pullback makes a great buy opportunity for those looking to participate in the company’s long-term gains. The near-term headwinds related to industry-wide supply constraints and normalized services segment revenues are not expected to materially change Apple’s growth trajectory nor valuation in the long run.</p>\n<p>Any lost revenues in the September quarter will very likely be recouped when the supply chain restores its balance, considering the continued surge in demand for iPhones and iPads underpinned by ongoing 5G transition and the increasing need for versatile portable smart devices to enable online access at all times. As a global industry leader with successes achieved to date that very few could match, Apple is poised for further upside realization in the long run.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is Apple Stock A Buy Or Sell After Recently Announced Earnings?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs Apple Stock A Buy Or Sell After Recently Announced Earnings?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-05 10:27 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4444713-apple-stock-buy-sell-recent-earnings><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nIn last week's earnings release, Apple posted record-setting June quarter results, with total net sales of $81.4 billion, up 36% year-over-year.\nYet, warnings about supply chain constraints ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4444713-apple-stock-buy-sell-recent-earnings\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4444713-apple-stock-buy-sell-recent-earnings","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1158747638","content_text":"Summary\n\nIn last week's earnings release, Apple posted record-setting June quarter results, with total net sales of $81.4 billion, up 36% year-over-year.\nYet, warnings about supply chain constraints and service revenues returning to more typical levels took its share price by surprise, with a same day drop of as much as 3%.\nHowever, the headwinds are expected to be temporary with no significant impacts to Apple's long-term growth prospects and valuation.\nApple is expected to keep delivering unprecedented growth, underpinned by continued global demand for its products and services in the long run. And the recent price pullback makes a great buy opportunity for those looking to participate in the company's long-term gains.\n\nJustin Sullivan/Getty Images News\nJust a week ago, Apple (Nasdaq:AAPL) reported record-setting June quarter results that had crushed market expectations. The Cupertino-based tech giant recorded largest quarterly revenues ever of $81.4 billion, which were up 36% from the prior year and outperformed the average Wall Street forecast of $72.9 billion and our previous coverage projections of $76.5 billion by nearly $10 billion.\nThe company also saw robust double-digit growth across the board from products and services to every geographic segment, with the installed base of devices and paid service subscriptions reaching an all-time high; the stellar results were also indicative of increased market penetration with the largest double-digit growth recorded for switchers and upgraders ever for a June-quarter, marking another record-breaking milestone in the books this quarter and continued dominance across all markets for Apple.\nYet, Apple’s shares slipped as much as 3% following the earnings call and continues to be down close to 1% since July 27th. The stock also has not fared well amongst its FAANG counterparts in recent weeks from the stock sell-off triggered by fear that the latest resurgence of the coronavirus’ delta variant could erode economic growth.\nThe contradicting movement in Apple’s share price compared to its stellar June quarter financial results allegedly stemmed from management’s warning of decelerated growth for the upcoming September quarter as lingering supply chain constraints are expected to place an adverse impact on product sales, especially on the revenue-leading iPhone and iPad categories; other headwinds also include weaker FX gains and anticipated slowed growth in the services category as demand returns to pre-pandemic levels following above-normal June quarter results.\nHowever, we consider anticipated headwinds as only short-term impacts that will not result in permanent losses for the company. The Apple stock remains primed for further upside considering the rising global demand for its products and services. Despite the supply crunch and decelerated growth anticipated for the upcoming September quarter, our outlook remains bullish on Apple with upside of more than 15% based on the last traded share price of $145.52 on August 2nd. With Apple’s stock price still down 0.85% from its earnings call on July 27thand down close to 3% from its mid-July peak, we consider the recent price pullback an advantage slated for long-term gains.\nStrength in Overcoming Lost Sales from Supply Constraints\nOne of the key drivers for slowed growth anticipated for the September quarter is the ongoing chip supply shortage, which had previously caused more pervasive impact to the automotive industry but has now trickled down to consumer electronics. And Apple, who has its proprietary chips made by the world’s largest contract chip manufacturer, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (NYSE:TSMor “TSMC”), has not been spared from impact, with management warning of a supply constraint for the legacy semiconductor nodes used in the display and audio functions of its best-selling products, which is expected to drive lower sales in the near term.\nTSMC has also warned the chip shortage will likely continue into the following year, which is consistent with the timeline issued across all impacted industries. Although management has not provided a quantified range for the anticipated impact on the September quarter’s results, it is expected to be far more severe than what was experienced in the June quarter, which was on the low end of the $3 billion and $4 billion range estimate provided in April.\nHowever, the continued acceleration in global demand for iPhones and iPads is expected to more than compensate for the upcoming loss of revenues in later periods as “deferred” sales when raw material supplies return, and pending demand is fulfilled. To date, 97% of customers who have purchased from the iPhone 12 family have indicated appreciation for the enhanced 5G speeds, alongside improved chip technology and camera quality.\nThe product category has also seen strong upgrade and switch rates in recent months as users continue their transition from legacy iPhones and other smartphones to the latest and greatest 5G-enabled iPhone. Considering 5G technology is still in early stages of adoption with low penetration rate, there is still significant additional growth opportunities available for the current and future 5G-enabled iPhone models.\nGlobal demand for 5G-enabled devices is expected to grow at a compounded annual growth rate (“CAGR”) of 38% into 2026, which further corroborates the expectation that potential lost sales from the ongoing supply shortage will not be permanent as demand for iPhones will continue to persist at high levels and make-whole lost sales in later periods when chip supplies return. A similar trend is expected for iPad demands in the long run, as it has proven itself during the pandemic to be a versatile and affordable tool to support creativity and social connection.\nThe production and sales bottleneck caused by the ongoing global chip supply shortage will only be a temporary pause to Apple’s iPhone and iPad hot streak, which is expected to resume in strength when the supply chain finds alleviation to its current crunch sometime next year. And when this happens, we should be expecting above-normal sales levels underpinned by robust demand, similar to those observed in the June quarter.\nOutperforming Competition in the Services Segment with Innovation\nAlthough the above-normal growth in the services business segment observed during the June quarter is expected to revert to more moderated historical levels going forward, Apple has continued to be diligent in rolling out “innovative new features and programming” to increase reach and maintain market dominance in the increasingly competitive landscape.\nApple’s services business segment – which includes iCloud, Apple TV+, App Store, Apple Music, Apple Podcasts, advertising, payment and other service offerings – currently competes head-on with other prominent service providers like Spotify (NYSE:SPOT), Netflix (Nasdaq:NFLX), Amazon.com (Nasdaq:AMZN),Google(Nasdaq:GOOG) (GOOGL) and Facebook(Nasdaq:FB). In order to maintain its established reputation for innovative technology and grow its loyal fanbase, Apple has recently introduced several new upgrades to existing service offerings at its most recent Worldwide Developers Conference (“WWDC”).\nThe new exciting features include Spatial Audio and Lossless Audio for Apple Music, which enables an “immersive” listening experience and provides access to the studio quality of original audio files at no additional cost – a competitive advantage to audio streaming leader Spotify’s “HiFi” equivalent, which will likely come at a higher price tag upon launch. And for Apple TV+ – Apple’s gateway to the fast-growing video-streaming market – the company has continued to produce quality programming, which is proven through the 35 Emmy Nominations that it has received this year.\nA new generation of the Apple TV, which includes a Siri-enabled remote and enhanced colour balance technology, has also been unveiled to complement its improved programming, which is expected to further enhance customer traction for the segment. The tech giant has also rebranded its iCloud service to iCloud+, with additional upgrades including enhanced privacy features and expanded HomeKit Secure Video support to accompany its suite of smart home devices at no additional costs.\nOther recently launched and enhanced services include Apple Podcast subscriptions, Apple News+ and Apple Fitness+, which could be bundled through Apple One at a discounted subscription rate. The Apple One bundle, which was launched in Q2, has already seen incredible success with increasing adoption rates that continue to drive overall growth within the services business segment.\nOverall Financial Prospects\nConsidering the above analysis on Apple’s current operating environment, the recent headwinds that will drive decelerated growth during the September quarter are expected to be temporary and will be overcome with ease in the long run. Our base case forecast projects total net sales of $85.6 billion for the September quarter, representing 32% year-over-year growth, which is consistent with management’s expectations for strong double-digit year-over-year growth that will be slightly lower than the 36% reported for the June quarter.\nSource: Author, with data from our internal financial forecasts (Apple_-_Forecasted_Financial_Information.pdf).\nOur projected total net sales for the September quarter consist of $67.6 billion in product sales, up 35% from the prior year, and $18.0 billion in service sales, up 24% from the prior year. Altogether, our base case forecast projects total net sales of $368.1 billion for FY 2021, which represents year-over-year growth of 34%. The company’s net sales are expected to maintain accelerated growth at a CAGR of 8% towards $534.4 billion by FY 2026 due to increasing adoption and integration of technology and digital media into both professional and personal aspects of day-to-day routines.\nSource: Author, with data from our internal financial forecasts.\nGross profit margins are projected at 41.7% for the September quarter, which is consistent with management’s guidance of approximately 41.5% to 42.5% considering the higher freight costs expected for this quarter, offset by an overall decline in component supply costs as product sales continue to scale.\nTotal operating expenses are projected at $11.4 billion for the fiscal year’s fourth quarter, which consists of $6.0 billion related to research and development efforts, and $5.4 billion related to selling, general and administrative expenses; this is consistent with Apple’s cost structure observed in recent periods, and in line with the estimated range of $11.3 billion and $11.5 billion provided in management’s guidance.\nAs a result, our base case forecast projects total cost of sales of $214.5 billion, and total operating expenses of $43.9 billion for FY 2021. And a similar cost structure is expected to apply into FY 2026 to support Apple’s continued growth in its products and services categories, as well as across all geographic segments in which it currently operates in.\nSource: Author, with data from our internal financial forecasts.\nAltogether, our base case forecast projects FY 2021 net income of $94.8 billion, which represents year-over-year growth of 65%. The bottom line is forecasted for further growth at a CAGR of 7% into the next five years, resulting in projected net income of $132.5 billion by 2026.\nSource: Author, with data from our internal financial forecasts.\ni. Base Case Financial Projections:\nSource: Author, with data from our internal financial forecasts.\nAAPL Stock Valuation\nOur revised price target for Apple based on updated information from its recent earnings release is $170.91. This represents upside potential of 17.4% based on the last traded share price of $145.52 on August 2nd.\nSource: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.\nTo arrive at the $170.91 price target, we have applied a WACC of 8% to discount Apple’s projected free cash flows over a five-year discrete period; the WACC is consistent with Apple’s current risk profile and capital structure, which includes its latest four-part debt offering to taling $6.5 billion. Our valuation analysis also assumes a 19.7x EV/EBITDA multiple, which is in line with guideline public companies and precedent transactions within Apple’s industry peer group, and is reflective of current market expectations for Apple’s business growth potential in the long run.\ni. Base Case Valuation Analysis:\nSource: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.\nIn order to validate our foregoing analysis that the adverse impacts to sales resulting from supply constraints, moderated services segment revenues and less favourable FX are only temporary and will not materially change Apple’s upside potential, we have also performed a sensitivity analysis to quantify the impact to FY 2021 revenues needed to decrease our base case price target of $170.91 by 10%.\nBased on our sensitivity analysis, FY 2021 revenues of $301.5 billion with growth at a CAGR of 10% into 2026, while holding all other valuation assumptions (i.e. cost structure, WACC, EV/EBITDA multiple) discussed above constant, would result in a price target of $153.82, which is 10% lower than our base case price target of $170.91.\nConsidering year-to-date total net sales of $282.5 billion, Apple would only need to achieve total net sales of $19.0 billion for the September quarter to maintain a projected equity value of $2.5 trillion or $153.82 per share, which is highly unlikely even under supply constraint pressures and reduced services segment sales based on the company’s current growth trajectory. As such, we do not consider the near-term impacts related to supply constraints, moderated services segment revenues, and unfavourable FX a catalyst for permanent loss to Apple’s valuation.\ni. Revenue Sensitivity Analysis:\nSource: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.\nConclusion - Is AAPL Stock A Good Buy?\nConsidering Apple’s growth prospects, the recent price pullback makes a great buy opportunity for those looking to participate in the company’s long-term gains. The near-term headwinds related to industry-wide supply constraints and normalized services segment revenues are not expected to materially change Apple’s growth trajectory nor valuation in the long run.\nAny lost revenues in the September quarter will very likely be recouped when the supply chain restores its balance, considering the continued surge in demand for iPhones and iPads underpinned by ongoing 5G transition and the increasing need for versatile portable smart devices to enable online access at all times. As a global industry leader with successes achieved to date that very few could match, Apple is poised for further upside realization in the long run.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":352,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":899059138,"gmtCreate":1628144980924,"gmtModify":1703502057743,"author":{"id":"4087548754587790","authorId":"4087548754587790","name":"Kmyong","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/285b1727eda76b0888c32eb184268abf","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087548754587790","authorIdStr":"4087548754587790"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Shake shack best??","listText":"Shake shack best??","text":"Shake shack best??","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/899059138","repostId":"1109459574","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1109459574","pubTimestamp":1628142993,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1109459574?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-08-05 13:56","market":"us","language":"en","title":"7 of the Best Restaurant Stocks to Buy Now as They Begin to Recover","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1109459574","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"Restaurant stocks were hit hard by the pandemic, but these chains are positioned for recovery and gr","content":"<p>Restaurant stocks were hit hard by the pandemic, but these chains are positioned for recovery and growth</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d2eb44424b42f94add678bc777f809c4\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"576\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Shutterstock</span></p>\n<p>At the start of the pandemic, few investments seemed as risky as restaurant stocks. According to research published by&nbsp;<i>Harvard Business School</i>, two months into the pandemic,40% of American restaurants were closed&nbsp;and 8 million employees were out of a job. That was three times the job losses experienced by any other industry. The National Restaurant Association projected an industry revenue shortfall of $240 billion in 2020.</p>\n<p>However, the restaurant industry also proved resilient.There were bankruptcies— including some well known, national chains — but many restaurants successfully pivoted to takeout and outdoor dining. Now, with the country re-opening, hard-hit sectors are recovering.</p>\n<p>Energy stocks&nbsp;have begun to rally. People returning to the office are picking up coffee again on their commute. Families are going to see movies. And these seven restaurant stocks are poised to benefit from the resurgence of dining out.</p>\n<ul>\n <li><b>Brinker International, Inc.</b>(NYSE:<b><u>EAT</u></b>)</li>\n <li><b>Cheesecake Factory Inc</b>(NASDAQ:<b><u>CAKE</u></b>)</li>\n <li><b>Darden Restaurants, Inc.</b>(NYSE:<b><u>DRI</u></b>)</li>\n <li><b>Denny’s Corp</b>(NASDAQ:<b><u>DENN</u></b>)</li>\n <li><b>Ruth’s Hospitality Group, Inc.</b>(NASDAQ:<b><u>RUTH</u></b>)</li>\n <li><b>Shake Shack Inc</b>(NYSE:<b><u>SHAK</u></b>)</li>\n <li><b>Starbucks Corporation</b>(NASDAQ:<b><u>SBUX</u></b>)</li>\n</ul>\n<p>While times were tough last year, some of these restaurant chains are now stronger than ever and positioned to grow their business at a faster pace thanks to adaptations they put in place because of the pandemic.</p>\n<p><b>Brinker International (EAT)</b></p>\n<p>Brinker International is the owner of several restaurant chains, the most notable being Chili’s. The company owns over 1,600 locations. Casual dining chains like Chili’s were hit hard by the pandemic. Families stopped going out to eat, people stopped going out at night for entertainment, and office workers stopped going out for lunch. With business travel at a standstill, there was no-one staying at airport hotels and looking for a familiar spot for a meal and a drink.</p>\n<p>As the end of January 2020 approached, EAT shares were worth nearly $46. By March 20, they were below $10. However, Chili’s worked hard to adapt. The chain “took the dining room to the parking lot” and was selling $1 million a week in margaritas to-go. In its most recent earnings, Brinker&nbsp;reported revenue down&nbsp;slightly from a year ago, reflecting “the continued impact from the COVID-19 pandemic.” That news was a big part of EAT stock sliding from its 2021 (and all-time) high close of $77.77 in March, to its current price in the $54 range.</p>\n<p>That price — just slightly above its 2021 open — offers opportunity. Restaurant stocks like EAT are expected to climb as the pandemic recovery continues.</p>\n<p>At the time of publication, EAT stock was rated “B” in&nbsp;<i>Portfolio Grader</i>.</p>\n<p><b>Cheesecake Factory (CAKE)</b></p>\n<p>Casual dining chain Cheesecake Factory was in real trouble in 2020. It was not only a sit-down restaurant chain, but most of its locations were in malls. The pandemic devastated dining room business and it killed off mall traffic — with many malls forced to close altogether during lockdowns.</p>\n<p>After plunging last February, CAKE stock rallied, but then the company ran into an&nbsp;Securities and Exchange Commission&nbsp;investigation. The SEC ruled that Cheesecake Factory told investors its locations were “operating sustainably” when in fact it was losing $6 million a week and had told mall landlords it would stop paying rent.</p>\n<p>The company reported its&nbsp;second-quarter 2021 earnings&nbsp;in July. Earnings and revenue beat estimates, thanks to indoor dining restrictions being lifted and its pandemic-kickstarted takeout operations performing well. Even now, takeout sales are double 2019 levels, which has opened up new business opportunity for this chain. The company even opened three new locations during the quarter. CAKE stock is currently trading in the $45 range, up 28% since the start of the year.</p>\n<p>The&nbsp;<i>Portfolio Grader</i>&nbsp;rating for CAKE stock is currently “B.”</p>\n<p><b>Darden Restaurants (DRI)</b></p>\n<p>Darden Restaurants owns several fine dining restaurant chains and a half dozen casual dining chains. The one most people know the company for is Olive Garden.</p>\n<p>Darden is turning into a post-pandemic success story. When the company reported fiscal fourth-quarter results at the end of June,it beat analyst expectations&nbsp;for both earnings and revenue. Darden said that same-store sales for its restaurants had nearly returned to 2019, pre-pandemic levels. In addition, management projected fiscal 2022 sales will top pre-pandemic levels. Naturally, DRI stock popped on that news.</p>\n<p>Darden was already a solid performer among restaurant stocks. DRI posted growth of 188% in the decade leading up to the pandemic. It tanked last March, but has been rallying since then. At this point, investors have seen a return of 25% since the start of 2021.</p>\n<p>DRI stock currently earns a “B” rating in&nbsp;<i>Portfolio Grader</i>.</p>\n<p><b>Denny’s (DENN)</b></p>\n<p>With a focus on breakfast (including an all-day breakfast menu), in-store dining and many locations located near transportation centers, Denny’s had a tougher time than many restaurants during the pandemic. Even last August — when many other restaurants had successfully pivoted to takeout — Denny’s was making lists of&nbsp;chains most likely to fail.</p>\n<p>Denny’s survived, and by spring, DENN stock rallied to near February 2020 levels. However, shares have taken a hit again after the company&nbsp;announced a stock offering in July. At this point, Denny’s stock is up slightly in 2021. It has potential to rally again if re-opening continues, travel picks up and dining room breakfast is once again in demand.</p>\n<p>At the time of publication, DENN stock was rated “B” in&nbsp;<i>Portfolio Grader</i>.</p>\n<p><b>Ruth’s Hospitality Group (RUTH)</b></p>\n<p>The pandemic turned into the perfect storm for Ruth’s Hospitality Group, owner of the popular Ruth’s Chris steakhouse restaurants. Ruth’s Chris was focused on dining room service, not takeout. It had a large business clientele. The pandemic emptied out big city downtown districts and steamrolled business travel. That meant business lunches and dinners were done.</p>\n<p>The company was&nbsp;forced to take dramatic steps to survive. This included closing 23 of its 135 U.S. Ruth’s Chris restaurants, with a focus on axing locations where takeout simply wasn’t viable. Staff were furloughed, while remaining staff and executives took pay cuts. In February 2020, RUTH shares were trading for over $22. Three weeks into March, they were approaching $4 — an 82% drop. The company even took a $20 million coronavirus Paycheck Protection loan, but ended up&nbsp;returning the money after public backlash.</p>\n<p>Today, Ruth’s is in a much stronger position. Most of its restaurants are open, it has a takeout business that didn’t exist before the pandemic, and its financial situation is improving. In addition, the company is looking to the future with several new restaurants planned for this year and three or four more in 2022. As workers return to the office and business travel begins to return, the RUTH stock recovery (now up 386% from that March 2020 low) should gain steam.</p>\n<p>The current<i>Portfolio Grader</i>&nbsp;rating for RUTH stock is “B.”</p>\n<p><b>Shake Shack (SHAK)</b></p>\n<p>Just like its home town of New York, Shake Shack was battered early on by the pandemic. While other burger chains were built around drive-throughs and thrived during lockdowns, Shake Shack locations were not. They were primarily located around urban downtowns and airports. Ground zero for business disruption. Shake Shack had to rely on curbside pickup and delivery services.</p>\n<p>However, this company used the pandemic as a teaching moment to redesign its stores and it is in expansion mode. The first Shake Shack drive-though will open this year. In addition, the company says it plans to open up to 90 new locations in 2021 and 2022.</p>\n<p>Currently trading at just over $100, SHAK stock is up 12% so far in 2021.</p>\n<p>SHAK stock currently rates a “B” in&nbsp;<i>Portfolio Grader</i>.</p>\n<p><b>Starbucks (SBUX)</b></p>\n<p>Finally, the most ubiquitous chain on this list of restaurant stocks. With nearly 15,000 locations in the U.S., Starbucks has the country blanketed. Many of those locations are drive-throughs as well. Unfortunately for Starbucks, many companies opted to allow staff to work from home. That hammered coffee and snack sales at downtown locations, while also cutting sales at drive-through Starbucks stores as commuters left their cars in the garage.</p>\n<p>In its first full quarter of the pandemic in 2020, the company said&nbsp;it had lost $3.2 billion in sales&nbsp;as a result.</p>\n<p>It seems safe to say that the turnaround in Starbucks’ fortune is well underway.In its most recent quarter, the company reported revenue hit a record $7.5 billion. In the U.S., its same-store sales were up 83% year-over-year, and 10% over pre-pandemic levels. Starbucks kicked back into expansion mode as well, opening 352 net new stores during the quarter.</p>\n<p>After a brief setback when the market crashed last March, SBUX stock quickly kicked back into growth mode. At this point, it’s up 14% in 2021. So far as restaurant stocks go, SBUX has been a model for long-term growth, with a trajectory that kicked off in 2009 and shows no sign of levelling off.</p>\n<p>The current rating for SVUX stock in&nbsp;<i>Portfolio Grader</i>is “B.”</p>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>7 of the Best Restaurant Stocks to Buy Now as They Begin to Recover</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n7 of the Best Restaurant Stocks to Buy Now as They Begin to Recover\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-05 13:56 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://investorplace.com/2021/08/7-of-the-best-restaurant-stocks-to-buy-now-as-they-begin-to-recover/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Restaurant stocks were hit hard by the pandemic, but these chains are positioned for recovery and growth\nSource: Shutterstock\nAt the start of the pandemic, few investments seemed as risky as ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/08/7-of-the-best-restaurant-stocks-to-buy-now-as-they-begin-to-recover/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"EAT":"布林克国际","DENN":"丹尼斯","SHAK":"Shake Shack Inc","DRI":"达登饭店","CAKE":"芝乐坊餐馆","RUTH":"鲁斯集团","SBUX":"星巴克"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2021/08/7-of-the-best-restaurant-stocks-to-buy-now-as-they-begin-to-recover/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1109459574","content_text":"Restaurant stocks were hit hard by the pandemic, but these chains are positioned for recovery and growth\nSource: Shutterstock\nAt the start of the pandemic, few investments seemed as risky as restaurant stocks. According to research published by Harvard Business School, two months into the pandemic,40% of American restaurants were closed and 8 million employees were out of a job. That was three times the job losses experienced by any other industry. The National Restaurant Association projected an industry revenue shortfall of $240 billion in 2020.\nHowever, the restaurant industry also proved resilient.There were bankruptcies— including some well known, national chains — but many restaurants successfully pivoted to takeout and outdoor dining. Now, with the country re-opening, hard-hit sectors are recovering.\nEnergy stocks have begun to rally. People returning to the office are picking up coffee again on their commute. Families are going to see movies. And these seven restaurant stocks are poised to benefit from the resurgence of dining out.\n\nBrinker International, Inc.(NYSE:EAT)\nCheesecake Factory Inc(NASDAQ:CAKE)\nDarden Restaurants, Inc.(NYSE:DRI)\nDenny’s Corp(NASDAQ:DENN)\nRuth’s Hospitality Group, Inc.(NASDAQ:RUTH)\nShake Shack Inc(NYSE:SHAK)\nStarbucks Corporation(NASDAQ:SBUX)\n\nWhile times were tough last year, some of these restaurant chains are now stronger than ever and positioned to grow their business at a faster pace thanks to adaptations they put in place because of the pandemic.\nBrinker International (EAT)\nBrinker International is the owner of several restaurant chains, the most notable being Chili’s. The company owns over 1,600 locations. Casual dining chains like Chili’s were hit hard by the pandemic. Families stopped going out to eat, people stopped going out at night for entertainment, and office workers stopped going out for lunch. With business travel at a standstill, there was no-one staying at airport hotels and looking for a familiar spot for a meal and a drink.\nAs the end of January 2020 approached, EAT shares were worth nearly $46. By March 20, they were below $10. However, Chili’s worked hard to adapt. The chain “took the dining room to the parking lot” and was selling $1 million a week in margaritas to-go. In its most recent earnings, Brinker reported revenue down slightly from a year ago, reflecting “the continued impact from the COVID-19 pandemic.” That news was a big part of EAT stock sliding from its 2021 (and all-time) high close of $77.77 in March, to its current price in the $54 range.\nThat price — just slightly above its 2021 open — offers opportunity. Restaurant stocks like EAT are expected to climb as the pandemic recovery continues.\nAt the time of publication, EAT stock was rated “B” in Portfolio Grader.\nCheesecake Factory (CAKE)\nCasual dining chain Cheesecake Factory was in real trouble in 2020. It was not only a sit-down restaurant chain, but most of its locations were in malls. The pandemic devastated dining room business and it killed off mall traffic — with many malls forced to close altogether during lockdowns.\nAfter plunging last February, CAKE stock rallied, but then the company ran into an Securities and Exchange Commission investigation. The SEC ruled that Cheesecake Factory told investors its locations were “operating sustainably” when in fact it was losing $6 million a week and had told mall landlords it would stop paying rent.\nThe company reported its second-quarter 2021 earnings in July. Earnings and revenue beat estimates, thanks to indoor dining restrictions being lifted and its pandemic-kickstarted takeout operations performing well. Even now, takeout sales are double 2019 levels, which has opened up new business opportunity for this chain. The company even opened three new locations during the quarter. CAKE stock is currently trading in the $45 range, up 28% since the start of the year.\nThe Portfolio Grader rating for CAKE stock is currently “B.”\nDarden Restaurants (DRI)\nDarden Restaurants owns several fine dining restaurant chains and a half dozen casual dining chains. The one most people know the company for is Olive Garden.\nDarden is turning into a post-pandemic success story. When the company reported fiscal fourth-quarter results at the end of June,it beat analyst expectations for both earnings and revenue. Darden said that same-store sales for its restaurants had nearly returned to 2019, pre-pandemic levels. In addition, management projected fiscal 2022 sales will top pre-pandemic levels. Naturally, DRI stock popped on that news.\nDarden was already a solid performer among restaurant stocks. DRI posted growth of 188% in the decade leading up to the pandemic. It tanked last March, but has been rallying since then. At this point, investors have seen a return of 25% since the start of 2021.\nDRI stock currently earns a “B” rating in Portfolio Grader.\nDenny’s (DENN)\nWith a focus on breakfast (including an all-day breakfast menu), in-store dining and many locations located near transportation centers, Denny’s had a tougher time than many restaurants during the pandemic. Even last August — when many other restaurants had successfully pivoted to takeout — Denny’s was making lists of chains most likely to fail.\nDenny’s survived, and by spring, DENN stock rallied to near February 2020 levels. However, shares have taken a hit again after the company announced a stock offering in July. At this point, Denny’s stock is up slightly in 2021. It has potential to rally again if re-opening continues, travel picks up and dining room breakfast is once again in demand.\nAt the time of publication, DENN stock was rated “B” in Portfolio Grader.\nRuth’s Hospitality Group (RUTH)\nThe pandemic turned into the perfect storm for Ruth’s Hospitality Group, owner of the popular Ruth’s Chris steakhouse restaurants. Ruth’s Chris was focused on dining room service, not takeout. It had a large business clientele. The pandemic emptied out big city downtown districts and steamrolled business travel. That meant business lunches and dinners were done.\nThe company was forced to take dramatic steps to survive. This included closing 23 of its 135 U.S. Ruth’s Chris restaurants, with a focus on axing locations where takeout simply wasn’t viable. Staff were furloughed, while remaining staff and executives took pay cuts. In February 2020, RUTH shares were trading for over $22. Three weeks into March, they were approaching $4 — an 82% drop. The company even took a $20 million coronavirus Paycheck Protection loan, but ended up returning the money after public backlash.\nToday, Ruth’s is in a much stronger position. Most of its restaurants are open, it has a takeout business that didn’t exist before the pandemic, and its financial situation is improving. In addition, the company is looking to the future with several new restaurants planned for this year and three or four more in 2022. As workers return to the office and business travel begins to return, the RUTH stock recovery (now up 386% from that March 2020 low) should gain steam.\nThe currentPortfolio Grader rating for RUTH stock is “B.”\nShake Shack (SHAK)\nJust like its home town of New York, Shake Shack was battered early on by the pandemic. While other burger chains were built around drive-throughs and thrived during lockdowns, Shake Shack locations were not. They were primarily located around urban downtowns and airports. Ground zero for business disruption. Shake Shack had to rely on curbside pickup and delivery services.\nHowever, this company used the pandemic as a teaching moment to redesign its stores and it is in expansion mode. The first Shake Shack drive-though will open this year. In addition, the company says it plans to open up to 90 new locations in 2021 and 2022.\nCurrently trading at just over $100, SHAK stock is up 12% so far in 2021.\nSHAK stock currently rates a “B” in Portfolio Grader.\nStarbucks (SBUX)\nFinally, the most ubiquitous chain on this list of restaurant stocks. With nearly 15,000 locations in the U.S., Starbucks has the country blanketed. Many of those locations are drive-throughs as well. Unfortunately for Starbucks, many companies opted to allow staff to work from home. That hammered coffee and snack sales at downtown locations, while also cutting sales at drive-through Starbucks stores as commuters left their cars in the garage.\nIn its first full quarter of the pandemic in 2020, the company said it had lost $3.2 billion in sales as a result.\nIt seems safe to say that the turnaround in Starbucks’ fortune is well underway.In its most recent quarter, the company reported revenue hit a record $7.5 billion. In the U.S., its same-store sales were up 83% year-over-year, and 10% over pre-pandemic levels. Starbucks kicked back into expansion mode as well, opening 352 net new stores during the quarter.\nAfter a brief setback when the market crashed last March, SBUX stock quickly kicked back into growth mode. At this point, it’s up 14% in 2021. So far as restaurant stocks go, SBUX has been a model for long-term growth, with a trajectory that kicked off in 2009 and shows no sign of levelling off.\nThe current rating for SVUX stock in Portfolio Graderis “B.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":354,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":899034395,"gmtCreate":1628141383017,"gmtModify":1703501996416,"author":{"id":"4087548754587790","authorId":"4087548754587790","name":"Kmyong","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/285b1727eda76b0888c32eb184268abf","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087548754587790","authorIdStr":"4087548754587790"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Novavac&nbsp;better than Pfizer?","listText":"Novavac&nbsp;better than Pfizer?","text":"Novavac better than Pfizer?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/899034395","repostId":"1170468091","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":171,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":899035251,"gmtCreate":1628141302973,"gmtModify":1703501994937,"author":{"id":"4087548754587790","authorId":"4087548754587790","name":"Kmyong","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/285b1727eda76b0888c32eb184268abf","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087548754587790","authorIdStr":"4087548754587790"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Continue to hold or buy??","listText":"Continue to hold or buy??","text":"Continue to hold or buy??","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/899035251","repostId":"1158747638","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1158747638","pubTimestamp":1628130472,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1158747638?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-08-05 10:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is Apple Stock A Buy Or Sell After Recently Announced Earnings?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1158747638","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nIn last week's earnings release, Apple posted record-setting June quarter results, with tot","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>In last week's earnings release, Apple posted record-setting June quarter results, with total net sales of $81.4 billion, up 36% year-over-year.</li>\n <li>Yet, warnings about supply chain constraints and service revenues returning to more typical levels took its share price by surprise, with a same day drop of as much as 3%.</li>\n <li>However, the headwinds are expected to be temporary with no significant impacts to Apple's long-term growth prospects and valuation.</li>\n <li>Apple is expected to keep delivering unprecedented growth, underpinned by continued global demand for its products and services in the long run. And the recent price pullback makes a great buy opportunity for those looking to participate in the company's long-term gains.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c6ec3289e9b74b1c20fa47308bcbb20\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1063\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Justin Sullivan/Getty Images News</span></p>\n<p>Just a week ago, Apple (Nasdaq:AAPL) reported record-setting June quarter results that had crushed market expectations. The Cupertino-based tech giant recorded largest quarterly revenues ever of $81.4 billion, which were up 36% from the prior year and outperformed the average Wall Street forecast of $72.9 billion and our&nbsp;previous coverage&nbsp;projections of $76.5 billion by nearly $10 billion.</p>\n<p>The company also saw robust double-digit growth across the board from products and services to every geographic segment, with the installed base of devices and paid service subscriptions reaching an all-time high; the stellar results were also indicative of increased market penetration with the largest double-digit growth recorded for switchers and upgraders ever for a June-quarter, marking another record-breaking milestone in the books this quarter and continued dominance across all markets for Apple.</p>\n<p>Yet, Apple’s shares slipped as much as 3% following the earnings call and continues to be down close to 1% since July 27th. The stock also has not fared well amongst its FAANG counterparts in recent weeks from the stock sell-off triggered by fear that the latest resurgence of the coronavirus’ delta variant could erode economic growth.</p>\n<p>The contradicting movement in Apple’s share price compared to its stellar June quarter financial results allegedly stemmed from management’s warning of decelerated growth for the upcoming September quarter as lingering supply chain constraints are expected to place an adverse impact on product sales, especially on the revenue-leading iPhone and iPad categories; other headwinds also include weaker FX gains and anticipated slowed growth in the services category as demand returns to pre-pandemic levels following above-normal June quarter results.</p>\n<p>However, we consider anticipated headwinds as only short-term impacts that will not result in permanent losses for the company. The Apple stock remains primed for further upside considering the rising global demand for its products and services. Despite the supply crunch and decelerated growth anticipated for the upcoming September quarter, our outlook remains bullish on Apple with upside of more than 15% based on the last traded share price of $145.52 on August 2nd. With Apple’s stock price still down 0.85% from its earnings call on July 27thand down close to 3% from its mid-July peak, we consider the recent price pullback an advantage slated for long-term gains.</p>\n<p><b>Strength in Overcoming Lost Sales from Supply Constraints</b></p>\n<p>One of the key drivers for slowed growth anticipated for the September quarter is the ongoing chip supply shortage, which had previously caused more pervasive impact to the automotive industry but has now trickled down to consumer electronics. And Apple, who has its proprietary chips made by the world’s largest contract chip manufacturer, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (NYSE:TSMor “TSMC”), has not been spared from impact, with management warning of a supply constraint for the legacy semiconductor nodes used in the display and audio functions of its best-selling products, which is expected to drive lower sales in the near term.</p>\n<p>TSMC has also warned the chip shortage will likely continue into the&nbsp;following year, which is consistent with the timeline issued across all impacted industries. Although management has not provided a quantified range for the anticipated impact on the September quarter’s results, it is expected to be far more severe than what was experienced in the June quarter, which was on the low end of the $3 billion and $4 billion range estimate provided in April.</p>\n<p>However, the continued acceleration in global demand for iPhones and iPads is expected to more than compensate for the upcoming loss of revenues in later periods as “deferred” sales when raw material supplies return, and pending demand is fulfilled. To date, 97% of customers who have purchased from the iPhone 12 family have indicated appreciation for the enhanced 5G speeds, alongside improved chip technology and camera quality.</p>\n<p>The product category has also seen strong upgrade and switch rates in recent months as users continue their transition from legacy iPhones and other smartphones to the latest and greatest 5G-enabled iPhone. Considering 5G technology is still in early stages of adoption with low penetration rate, there is still significant additional growth opportunities available for the current and future 5G-enabled iPhone models.</p>\n<p>Global demand for 5G-enabled devices is expected to grow at a&nbsp;compounded annual growth rate (“CAGR”) of 38% into 2026, which further corroborates the expectation that potential lost sales from the ongoing supply shortage will not be permanent as demand for iPhones will continue to persist at high levels and make-whole lost sales in later periods when chip supplies return. A similar trend is expected for iPad demands in the long run, as it has proven itself during the pandemic to be a versatile and affordable tool to support creativity and social connection.</p>\n<p>The production and sales bottleneck caused by the ongoing global chip supply shortage will only be a temporary pause to Apple’s iPhone and iPad hot streak, which is expected to resume in strength when the supply chain finds alleviation to its current crunch sometime next year. And when this happens, we should be expecting above-normal sales levels underpinned by robust demand, similar to those observed in the June quarter.</p>\n<p><b>Outperforming Competition in the Services Segment with Innovation</b></p>\n<p>Although the above-normal growth in the services business segment observed during the June quarter is expected to revert to more moderated historical levels going forward, Apple has continued to be diligent in rolling out “innovative new features and programming” to increase reach and maintain market dominance in the increasingly competitive landscape.</p>\n<p>Apple’s services business segment – which includes iCloud, Apple TV+, App Store, Apple Music, Apple Podcasts, advertising, payment and other service offerings – currently competes head-on with other prominent service providers like Spotify (NYSE:SPOT), Netflix (Nasdaq:NFLX), Amazon.com (Nasdaq:AMZN),Google(Nasdaq:GOOG) (GOOGL) and&nbsp;Facebook(Nasdaq:FB). In order to maintain its established reputation for innovative technology and grow its loyal fanbase, Apple has recently introduced several new upgrades to existing service offerings at its most recent Worldwide Developers Conference (“WWDC”).</p>\n<p>The new exciting features include&nbsp;Spatial Audio and Lossless Audio&nbsp;for Apple Music, which enables an “immersive” listening experience and provides access to the studio quality of original audio files at no additional cost – a competitive advantage to audio streaming leader Spotify’s “HiFi” equivalent, which will likely come at a higher price tag upon launch. And for Apple TV+ – Apple’s gateway to the fast-growing&nbsp;video-streaming&nbsp;market – the company has continued to produce quality programming, which is proven through the&nbsp;35 Emmy Nominations&nbsp;that it has received this year.</p>\n<p>A new generation of the&nbsp;Apple TV, which includes a Siri-enabled remote and enhanced colour balance technology, has also been unveiled to complement its improved programming, which is expected to further enhance customer traction for the segment. The tech giant has also rebranded its iCloud service to&nbsp;iCloud+, with additional upgrades including enhanced privacy features and expanded HomeKit Secure Video support to accompany its suite of smart home devices at no additional costs.</p>\n<p>Other recently launched and enhanced services include Apple Podcast subscriptions, Apple News+ and Apple Fitness+, which could be bundled through Apple One at a discounted subscription rate. The Apple One bundle, which was launched in Q2, has already seen incredible success with increasing adoption rates that continue to drive overall growth within the services business segment.</p>\n<p><b>Overall Financial Prospects</b></p>\n<p>Considering the above analysis on Apple’s current operating environment, the recent headwinds that will drive decelerated growth during the September quarter are expected to be temporary and will be overcome with ease in the long run. Our base case forecast projects total net sales of $85.6 billion for the September quarter, representing 32% year-over-year growth, which is consistent with management’s expectations for strong double-digit year-over-year growth that will be slightly lower than the 36% reported for the June quarter.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/347e1ee20881f92c4563eeeaa5b1963c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"232\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal financial forecasts (Apple_-_Forecasted_Financial_Information.pdf).</span></p>\n<p>Our projected total net sales for the September quarter consist of $67.6 billion in product sales, up 35% from the prior year, and $18.0 billion in service sales, up 24% from the prior year. Altogether, our base case forecast projects total net sales of $368.1 billion for FY 2021, which represents year-over-year growth of 34%. The company’s net sales are expected to maintain accelerated growth at a CAGR of 8% towards $534.4 billion by FY 2026 due to increasing adoption and integration of technology and digital media into both professional and personal aspects of day-to-day routines.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/179a3a17abb5e6e4e0cb20196095a5eb\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"200\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal financial forecasts.</span></p>\n<p>Gross profit margins are projected at 41.7% for the September quarter, which is consistent with management’s guidance of approximately 41.5% to 42.5% considering the higher freight costs expected for this quarter, offset by an overall decline in component supply costs as product sales continue to scale.</p>\n<p>Total operating expenses are projected at $11.4 billion for the fiscal year’s fourth quarter, which consists of $6.0 billion related to research and development efforts, and $5.4 billion related to selling, general and administrative expenses; this is consistent with Apple’s cost structure observed in recent periods, and in line with the estimated range of $11.3 billion and $11.5 billion provided in management’s guidance.</p>\n<p>As a result, our base case forecast projects total cost of sales of $214.5 billion, and total operating expenses of $43.9 billion for FY 2021. And a similar cost structure is expected to apply into FY 2026 to support Apple’s continued growth in its products and services categories, as well as across all geographic segments in which it currently operates in.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/631897e055a326e11a137bad234bd0c9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"200\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal financial forecasts.</span></p>\n<p>Altogether, our base case forecast projects FY 2021 net income of $94.8 billion, which represents year-over-year growth of 65%. The bottom line is forecasted for further growth at a CAGR of 7% into the next five years, resulting in projected net income of $132.5 billion by 2026.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ce4ffc957a33598110dd5c193b77e637\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"198\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal financial forecasts.</span></p>\n<p><i>i. Base Case Financial Projections:</i></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3ce3157a7c707f88fa9542c0253d7e4a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"306\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal financial forecasts.</span></p>\n<p><b>AAPL Stock Valuation</b></p>\n<p>Our revised price target for Apple based on updated information from its recent earnings release is $170.91. This represents upside potential of 17.4% based on the last traded share price of $145.52 on August 2nd.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d398b8df89c54ecc26709392246469b0\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"210\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.</span></p>\n<p>To arrive at the $170.91 price target, we have applied a WACC of 8% to discount Apple’s projected free cash flows over a five-year discrete period; the WACC is consistent with Apple’s current risk profile and capital structure, which includes its latest&nbsp;four-part debt offering&nbsp;to&nbsp;taling $6.5 billion. Our valuation analysis also assumes a 19.7x EV/EBITDA multiple, which is in line with guideline public companies and precedent transactions within Apple’s industry peer group, and is reflective of current market expectations for Apple’s business growth potential in the long run.</p>\n<p><i>i. Base Case Valuation Analysis:</i></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b30bd02b3ef44a0cc3e7fef6501235c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"308\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.</span></p>\n<p>In order to validate our foregoing analysis that the adverse impacts to sales resulting from supply constraints, moderated services segment revenues and less favourable FX are only temporary and will not materially change Apple’s upside potential, we have also performed a sensitivity analysis to quantify the impact to FY 2021 revenues needed to decrease our base case price target of $170.91 by 10%.</p>\n<p>Based on our sensitivity analysis, FY 2021 revenues of $301.5 billion with growth at a CAGR of 10% into 2026, while holding all other valuation assumptions (i.e. cost structure, WACC, EV/EBITDA multiple) discussed above constant, would result in a price target of $153.82, which is 10% lower than our base case price target of $170.91.</p>\n<p>Considering year-to-date total net sales of $282.5 billion, Apple would only need to achieve total net sales of $19.0 billion for the September quarter to maintain a projected equity value of $2.5 trillion or $153.82 per share, which is highly unlikely even under supply constraint pressures and reduced services segment sales based on the company’s current growth trajectory. As such, we do not consider the near-term impacts related to supply constraints, moderated services segment revenues, and unfavourable FX a catalyst for permanent loss to Apple’s valuation.</p>\n<p><i>i. Revenue Sensitivity Analysis:</i></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/30976c090450f0576826720e5a1ab19a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"354\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.</span></p>\n<p><b>Conclusion - Is AAPL Stock A Good Buy?</b></p>\n<p>Considering Apple’s growth prospects, the recent price pullback makes a great buy opportunity for those looking to participate in the company’s long-term gains. The near-term headwinds related to industry-wide supply constraints and normalized services segment revenues are not expected to materially change Apple’s growth trajectory nor valuation in the long run.</p>\n<p>Any lost revenues in the September quarter will very likely be recouped when the supply chain restores its balance, considering the continued surge in demand for iPhones and iPads underpinned by ongoing 5G transition and the increasing need for versatile portable smart devices to enable online access at all times. As a global industry leader with successes achieved to date that very few could match, Apple is poised for further upside realization in the long run.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is Apple Stock A Buy Or Sell After Recently Announced Earnings?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs Apple Stock A Buy Or Sell After Recently Announced Earnings?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-05 10:27 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4444713-apple-stock-buy-sell-recent-earnings><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nIn last week's earnings release, Apple posted record-setting June quarter results, with total net sales of $81.4 billion, up 36% year-over-year.\nYet, warnings about supply chain constraints ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4444713-apple-stock-buy-sell-recent-earnings\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4444713-apple-stock-buy-sell-recent-earnings","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1158747638","content_text":"Summary\n\nIn last week's earnings release, Apple posted record-setting June quarter results, with total net sales of $81.4 billion, up 36% year-over-year.\nYet, warnings about supply chain constraints and service revenues returning to more typical levels took its share price by surprise, with a same day drop of as much as 3%.\nHowever, the headwinds are expected to be temporary with no significant impacts to Apple's long-term growth prospects and valuation.\nApple is expected to keep delivering unprecedented growth, underpinned by continued global demand for its products and services in the long run. And the recent price pullback makes a great buy opportunity for those looking to participate in the company's long-term gains.\n\nJustin Sullivan/Getty Images News\nJust a week ago, Apple (Nasdaq:AAPL) reported record-setting June quarter results that had crushed market expectations. The Cupertino-based tech giant recorded largest quarterly revenues ever of $81.4 billion, which were up 36% from the prior year and outperformed the average Wall Street forecast of $72.9 billion and our previous coverage projections of $76.5 billion by nearly $10 billion.\nThe company also saw robust double-digit growth across the board from products and services to every geographic segment, with the installed base of devices and paid service subscriptions reaching an all-time high; the stellar results were also indicative of increased market penetration with the largest double-digit growth recorded for switchers and upgraders ever for a June-quarter, marking another record-breaking milestone in the books this quarter and continued dominance across all markets for Apple.\nYet, Apple’s shares slipped as much as 3% following the earnings call and continues to be down close to 1% since July 27th. The stock also has not fared well amongst its FAANG counterparts in recent weeks from the stock sell-off triggered by fear that the latest resurgence of the coronavirus’ delta variant could erode economic growth.\nThe contradicting movement in Apple’s share price compared to its stellar June quarter financial results allegedly stemmed from management’s warning of decelerated growth for the upcoming September quarter as lingering supply chain constraints are expected to place an adverse impact on product sales, especially on the revenue-leading iPhone and iPad categories; other headwinds also include weaker FX gains and anticipated slowed growth in the services category as demand returns to pre-pandemic levels following above-normal June quarter results.\nHowever, we consider anticipated headwinds as only short-term impacts that will not result in permanent losses for the company. The Apple stock remains primed for further upside considering the rising global demand for its products and services. Despite the supply crunch and decelerated growth anticipated for the upcoming September quarter, our outlook remains bullish on Apple with upside of more than 15% based on the last traded share price of $145.52 on August 2nd. With Apple’s stock price still down 0.85% from its earnings call on July 27thand down close to 3% from its mid-July peak, we consider the recent price pullback an advantage slated for long-term gains.\nStrength in Overcoming Lost Sales from Supply Constraints\nOne of the key drivers for slowed growth anticipated for the September quarter is the ongoing chip supply shortage, which had previously caused more pervasive impact to the automotive industry but has now trickled down to consumer electronics. And Apple, who has its proprietary chips made by the world’s largest contract chip manufacturer, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (NYSE:TSMor “TSMC”), has not been spared from impact, with management warning of a supply constraint for the legacy semiconductor nodes used in the display and audio functions of its best-selling products, which is expected to drive lower sales in the near term.\nTSMC has also warned the chip shortage will likely continue into the following year, which is consistent with the timeline issued across all impacted industries. Although management has not provided a quantified range for the anticipated impact on the September quarter’s results, it is expected to be far more severe than what was experienced in the June quarter, which was on the low end of the $3 billion and $4 billion range estimate provided in April.\nHowever, the continued acceleration in global demand for iPhones and iPads is expected to more than compensate for the upcoming loss of revenues in later periods as “deferred” sales when raw material supplies return, and pending demand is fulfilled. To date, 97% of customers who have purchased from the iPhone 12 family have indicated appreciation for the enhanced 5G speeds, alongside improved chip technology and camera quality.\nThe product category has also seen strong upgrade and switch rates in recent months as users continue their transition from legacy iPhones and other smartphones to the latest and greatest 5G-enabled iPhone. Considering 5G technology is still in early stages of adoption with low penetration rate, there is still significant additional growth opportunities available for the current and future 5G-enabled iPhone models.\nGlobal demand for 5G-enabled devices is expected to grow at a compounded annual growth rate (“CAGR”) of 38% into 2026, which further corroborates the expectation that potential lost sales from the ongoing supply shortage will not be permanent as demand for iPhones will continue to persist at high levels and make-whole lost sales in later periods when chip supplies return. A similar trend is expected for iPad demands in the long run, as it has proven itself during the pandemic to be a versatile and affordable tool to support creativity and social connection.\nThe production and sales bottleneck caused by the ongoing global chip supply shortage will only be a temporary pause to Apple’s iPhone and iPad hot streak, which is expected to resume in strength when the supply chain finds alleviation to its current crunch sometime next year. And when this happens, we should be expecting above-normal sales levels underpinned by robust demand, similar to those observed in the June quarter.\nOutperforming Competition in the Services Segment with Innovation\nAlthough the above-normal growth in the services business segment observed during the June quarter is expected to revert to more moderated historical levels going forward, Apple has continued to be diligent in rolling out “innovative new features and programming” to increase reach and maintain market dominance in the increasingly competitive landscape.\nApple’s services business segment – which includes iCloud, Apple TV+, App Store, Apple Music, Apple Podcasts, advertising, payment and other service offerings – currently competes head-on with other prominent service providers like Spotify (NYSE:SPOT), Netflix (Nasdaq:NFLX), Amazon.com (Nasdaq:AMZN),Google(Nasdaq:GOOG) (GOOGL) and Facebook(Nasdaq:FB). In order to maintain its established reputation for innovative technology and grow its loyal fanbase, Apple has recently introduced several new upgrades to existing service offerings at its most recent Worldwide Developers Conference (“WWDC”).\nThe new exciting features include Spatial Audio and Lossless Audio for Apple Music, which enables an “immersive” listening experience and provides access to the studio quality of original audio files at no additional cost – a competitive advantage to audio streaming leader Spotify’s “HiFi” equivalent, which will likely come at a higher price tag upon launch. And for Apple TV+ – Apple’s gateway to the fast-growing video-streaming market – the company has continued to produce quality programming, which is proven through the 35 Emmy Nominations that it has received this year.\nA new generation of the Apple TV, which includes a Siri-enabled remote and enhanced colour balance technology, has also been unveiled to complement its improved programming, which is expected to further enhance customer traction for the segment. The tech giant has also rebranded its iCloud service to iCloud+, with additional upgrades including enhanced privacy features and expanded HomeKit Secure Video support to accompany its suite of smart home devices at no additional costs.\nOther recently launched and enhanced services include Apple Podcast subscriptions, Apple News+ and Apple Fitness+, which could be bundled through Apple One at a discounted subscription rate. The Apple One bundle, which was launched in Q2, has already seen incredible success with increasing adoption rates that continue to drive overall growth within the services business segment.\nOverall Financial Prospects\nConsidering the above analysis on Apple’s current operating environment, the recent headwinds that will drive decelerated growth during the September quarter are expected to be temporary and will be overcome with ease in the long run. Our base case forecast projects total net sales of $85.6 billion for the September quarter, representing 32% year-over-year growth, which is consistent with management’s expectations for strong double-digit year-over-year growth that will be slightly lower than the 36% reported for the June quarter.\nSource: Author, with data from our internal financial forecasts (Apple_-_Forecasted_Financial_Information.pdf).\nOur projected total net sales for the September quarter consist of $67.6 billion in product sales, up 35% from the prior year, and $18.0 billion in service sales, up 24% from the prior year. Altogether, our base case forecast projects total net sales of $368.1 billion for FY 2021, which represents year-over-year growth of 34%. The company’s net sales are expected to maintain accelerated growth at a CAGR of 8% towards $534.4 billion by FY 2026 due to increasing adoption and integration of technology and digital media into both professional and personal aspects of day-to-day routines.\nSource: Author, with data from our internal financial forecasts.\nGross profit margins are projected at 41.7% for the September quarter, which is consistent with management’s guidance of approximately 41.5% to 42.5% considering the higher freight costs expected for this quarter, offset by an overall decline in component supply costs as product sales continue to scale.\nTotal operating expenses are projected at $11.4 billion for the fiscal year’s fourth quarter, which consists of $6.0 billion related to research and development efforts, and $5.4 billion related to selling, general and administrative expenses; this is consistent with Apple’s cost structure observed in recent periods, and in line with the estimated range of $11.3 billion and $11.5 billion provided in management’s guidance.\nAs a result, our base case forecast projects total cost of sales of $214.5 billion, and total operating expenses of $43.9 billion for FY 2021. And a similar cost structure is expected to apply into FY 2026 to support Apple’s continued growth in its products and services categories, as well as across all geographic segments in which it currently operates in.\nSource: Author, with data from our internal financial forecasts.\nAltogether, our base case forecast projects FY 2021 net income of $94.8 billion, which represents year-over-year growth of 65%. The bottom line is forecasted for further growth at a CAGR of 7% into the next five years, resulting in projected net income of $132.5 billion by 2026.\nSource: Author, with data from our internal financial forecasts.\ni. Base Case Financial Projections:\nSource: Author, with data from our internal financial forecasts.\nAAPL Stock Valuation\nOur revised price target for Apple based on updated information from its recent earnings release is $170.91. This represents upside potential of 17.4% based on the last traded share price of $145.52 on August 2nd.\nSource: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.\nTo arrive at the $170.91 price target, we have applied a WACC of 8% to discount Apple’s projected free cash flows over a five-year discrete period; the WACC is consistent with Apple’s current risk profile and capital structure, which includes its latest four-part debt offering to taling $6.5 billion. Our valuation analysis also assumes a 19.7x EV/EBITDA multiple, which is in line with guideline public companies and precedent transactions within Apple’s industry peer group, and is reflective of current market expectations for Apple’s business growth potential in the long run.\ni. Base Case Valuation Analysis:\nSource: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.\nIn order to validate our foregoing analysis that the adverse impacts to sales resulting from supply constraints, moderated services segment revenues and less favourable FX are only temporary and will not materially change Apple’s upside potential, we have also performed a sensitivity analysis to quantify the impact to FY 2021 revenues needed to decrease our base case price target of $170.91 by 10%.\nBased on our sensitivity analysis, FY 2021 revenues of $301.5 billion with growth at a CAGR of 10% into 2026, while holding all other valuation assumptions (i.e. cost structure, WACC, EV/EBITDA multiple) discussed above constant, would result in a price target of $153.82, which is 10% lower than our base case price target of $170.91.\nConsidering year-to-date total net sales of $282.5 billion, Apple would only need to achieve total net sales of $19.0 billion for the September quarter to maintain a projected equity value of $2.5 trillion or $153.82 per share, which is highly unlikely even under supply constraint pressures and reduced services segment sales based on the company’s current growth trajectory. As such, we do not consider the near-term impacts related to supply constraints, moderated services segment revenues, and unfavourable FX a catalyst for permanent loss to Apple’s valuation.\ni. Revenue Sensitivity Analysis:\nSource: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.\nConclusion - Is AAPL Stock A Good Buy?\nConsidering Apple’s growth prospects, the recent price pullback makes a great buy opportunity for those looking to participate in the company’s long-term gains. The near-term headwinds related to industry-wide supply constraints and normalized services segment revenues are not expected to materially change Apple’s growth trajectory nor valuation in the long run.\nAny lost revenues in the September quarter will very likely be recouped when the supply chain restores its balance, considering the continued surge in demand for iPhones and iPads underpinned by ongoing 5G transition and the increasing need for versatile portable smart devices to enable online access at all times. As a global industry leader with successes achieved to date that very few could match, Apple is poised for further upside realization in the long run.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":226,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":804982492,"gmtCreate":1627916330016,"gmtModify":1703497887738,"author":{"id":"4087548754587790","authorId":"4087548754587790","name":"Kmyong","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/285b1727eda76b0888c32eb184268abf","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087548754587790","authorIdStr":"4087548754587790"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Recovering??","listText":"Recovering??","text":"Recovering??","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd440264a3bfc5065cda360f1bfe13f2","width":"1125","height":"2164"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/804982492","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":303,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":806253884,"gmtCreate":1627659675048,"gmtModify":1703494377562,"author":{"id":"4087548754587790","authorId":"4087548754587790","name":"Kmyong","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/285b1727eda76b0888c32eb184268abf","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087548754587790","authorIdStr":"4087548754587790"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ??&nbsp;","listText":"Great ??&nbsp;","text":"Great ??","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/806253884","repostId":"2155766159","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2155766159","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1627656051,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2155766159?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-30 22:40","market":"sh","language":"en","title":"BRIEF-Tongcheng-Elong Partners with Tencent Computer","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2155766159","media":"Reuters","summary":"July 30 (Reuters) - Tongcheng-Elong Holdings Ltd   :   * TENCENT COMPUTER, CO ENTERED INTO TENCENT S","content":"<html><body><p>July 30 (Reuters) - Tongcheng-Elong Holdings Ltd   :</p><p>   * TENCENT COMPUTER, CO ENTERED INTO TENCENT STRATEGIC COOPERATION AND MARKETING PROMOTION FRAMEWORK AGREEMENT</p><p>   * SAYS  TENCENT COMPUTER TO PROVIDE TRAFFIC SUPPORT TO CO</p><p>   * TENCENT COMPUTER AND CO TO ENGAGE IN VARIOUS ADVERTISING AND MARKETING PROMOTION SERVICES FOR 3 YEARS</p><p>Source text for Eikon:    Further company coverage:   </p><p> ((Reuters.Briefs@thomsonreuters.com;))</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>BRIEF-Tongcheng-Elong Partners with Tencent Computer</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBRIEF-Tongcheng-Elong Partners with Tencent Computer\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-07-30 22:40</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><body><p>July 30 (Reuters) - Tongcheng-Elong Holdings Ltd   :</p><p>   * TENCENT COMPUTER, CO ENTERED INTO TENCENT STRATEGIC COOPERATION AND MARKETING PROMOTION FRAMEWORK AGREEMENT</p><p>   * SAYS  TENCENT COMPUTER TO PROVIDE TRAFFIC SUPPORT TO CO</p><p>   * TENCENT COMPUTER AND CO TO ENGAGE IN VARIOUS ADVERTISING AND MARKETING PROMOTION SERVICES FOR 3 YEARS</p><p>Source text for Eikon:    Further company coverage:   </p><p> ((Reuters.Briefs@thomsonreuters.com;))</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"00780":"同程旅行","00700":"腾讯控股","QNETCN":"纳斯达克中美互联网老虎指数","TCEHY":"腾讯控股ADR"},"source_url":"http://api.rkd.refinitiv.com/api/News/News.svc/REST/News_1/RetrieveStoryML_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2155766159","content_text":"July 30 (Reuters) - Tongcheng-Elong Holdings Ltd   :   * TENCENT COMPUTER, CO ENTERED INTO TENCENT STRATEGIC COOPERATION AND MARKETING PROMOTION FRAMEWORK AGREEMENT   * SAYS  TENCENT COMPUTER TO PROVIDE TRAFFIC SUPPORT TO CO   * TENCENT COMPUTER AND CO TO ENGAGE IN VARIOUS ADVERTISING AND MARKETING PROMOTION SERVICES FOR 3 YEARSSource text for Eikon:    Further company coverage:    ((Reuters.Briefs@thomsonreuters.com;))","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":87,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":806250934,"gmtCreate":1627659507428,"gmtModify":1703494373612,"author":{"id":"4087548754587790","authorId":"4087548754587790","name":"Kmyong","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/285b1727eda76b0888c32eb184268abf","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087548754587790","authorIdStr":"4087548754587790"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Climbing up slowly and surely","listText":"Climbing up slowly and surely","text":"Climbing up slowly and surely","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/806250934","repostId":"1194710219","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":237,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":174778011,"gmtCreate":1627150998733,"gmtModify":1703484804865,"author":{"id":"4087548754587790","authorId":"4087548754587790","name":"Kmyong","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/285b1727eda76b0888c32eb184268abf","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087548754587790","authorIdStr":"4087548754587790"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Long term investment??","listText":"Long term investment??","text":"Long term investment??","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7427ccddf450373c22d04fefaeb00fbd","width":"1125","height":"2178"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/174778011","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":128,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":172973351,"gmtCreate":1626931134673,"gmtModify":1703480825870,"author":{"id":"4087548754587790","authorId":"4087548754587790","name":"Kmyong","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/285b1727eda76b0888c32eb184268abf","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087548754587790","authorIdStr":"4087548754587790"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yeah, recovery on the horizon??","listText":"Yeah, recovery on the horizon??","text":"Yeah, recovery on the horizon??","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/172973351","repostId":"2153010629","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2153010629","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1626929199,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2153010629?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-22 12:46","market":"sh","language":"en","title":"China shares rise on financials boost, foreign buying","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2153010629","media":"Reuters","summary":"* SSEC +0.33%, CSI300 +0.16%, HSI +1.77%\n* Foreign investors net buyers of A-shares for fourth strai","content":"<p>* SSEC +0.33%, CSI300 +0.16%, HSI +1.77%</p>\n<p>* Foreign investors net buyers of A-shares for fourth straight day</p>\n<p>* Evergrande snaps 3-day losing streak as legal disputes solved</p>\n<p>SHANGHAI, July 22 (Reuters) - China shares rose on Thursday as gains in financials and materials firms overcame a slump in healthcare stocks and as foreign investors extended net buying through the Stock Connect scheme into a fourth session.</p>\n<p>** By the midday break, the Shanghai Composite index was up 0.33% at 3,574.30 points.</p>\n<p>** China's blue-chip CSI300 index was up 0.16%, with its financial sector sub-index higher by 1.36%, the CSI all share materials gaining 1.86% and the real estate index up 1.23%.</p>\n<p>** The healthcare sub-index slumped 3.09% after three days of strong gains.</p>\n<p>** Refinitiv data showed foreign investors were net buyers of A-shares through the Northbound leg of the Stock Connect programme , the fourth straight day of net purchases.</p>\n<p>** Chinese H-shares listed in Hong Kong rose 1.65% to 9,993.01, while the Hang Seng Index was up 1.77% at 27,705.25.</p>\n<p>** Sentiment in the property sector was boosted after developer <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EGRNF\">China Evergrande Group</a> said it had solved legal disputes with China Guangfa Bank and that the two sides would deepen business cooperation, easing investor concerns that sparked a three-day sell-off.</p>\n<p>** Evergrande shares surged 9.25% but were down more than 19% so far in the week. The Hang Seng property sub-index rose 1.84% and the CSI300 real estate sub-index climbed 1.23%.</p>\n<p>** But in a sign of continuing troubles for China's most indebted developer, HSBC and Standard Chartered&nbsp;are declining to extend new loans to buyers of property in two uncompleted Hong Kong residential projects developed by Evergrande, three mortgage brokers said on Wednesday.</p>\n<p>** The smaller Shenzhen index was up 0.19%, the start-up board ChiNext Composite index was weaker by 0.85% and Shanghai's tech-focused STAR50 index was up 0.1%.</p>\n<p>** The yuan was quoted at 6.4664 per U.S. dollar, 0.03% firmer than the previous close of 6.4685.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>China shares rise on financials boost, foreign buying</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nChina shares rise on financials boost, foreign buying\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-07-22 12:46</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>* SSEC +0.33%, CSI300 +0.16%, HSI +1.77%</p>\n<p>* Foreign investors net buyers of A-shares for fourth straight day</p>\n<p>* Evergrande snaps 3-day losing streak as legal disputes solved</p>\n<p>SHANGHAI, July 22 (Reuters) - China shares rose on Thursday as gains in financials and materials firms overcame a slump in healthcare stocks and as foreign investors extended net buying through the Stock Connect scheme into a fourth session.</p>\n<p>** By the midday break, the Shanghai Composite index was up 0.33% at 3,574.30 points.</p>\n<p>** China's blue-chip CSI300 index was up 0.16%, with its financial sector sub-index higher by 1.36%, the CSI all share materials gaining 1.86% and the real estate index up 1.23%.</p>\n<p>** The healthcare sub-index slumped 3.09% after three days of strong gains.</p>\n<p>** Refinitiv data showed foreign investors were net buyers of A-shares through the Northbound leg of the Stock Connect programme , the fourth straight day of net purchases.</p>\n<p>** Chinese H-shares listed in Hong Kong rose 1.65% to 9,993.01, while the Hang Seng Index was up 1.77% at 27,705.25.</p>\n<p>** Sentiment in the property sector was boosted after developer <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EGRNF\">China Evergrande Group</a> said it had solved legal disputes with China Guangfa Bank and that the two sides would deepen business cooperation, easing investor concerns that sparked a three-day sell-off.</p>\n<p>** Evergrande shares surged 9.25% but were down more than 19% so far in the week. The Hang Seng property sub-index rose 1.84% and the CSI300 real estate sub-index climbed 1.23%.</p>\n<p>** But in a sign of continuing troubles for China's most indebted developer, HSBC and Standard Chartered&nbsp;are declining to extend new loans to buyers of property in two uncompleted Hong Kong residential projects developed by Evergrande, three mortgage brokers said on Wednesday.</p>\n<p>** The smaller Shenzhen index was up 0.19%, the start-up board ChiNext Composite index was weaker by 0.85% and Shanghai's tech-focused STAR50 index was up 0.1%.</p>\n<p>** The yuan was quoted at 6.4664 per U.S. dollar, 0.03% firmer than the previous close of 6.4685.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"000001.SH":"上证指数"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2153010629","content_text":"* SSEC +0.33%, CSI300 +0.16%, HSI +1.77%\n* Foreign investors net buyers of A-shares for fourth straight day\n* Evergrande snaps 3-day losing streak as legal disputes solved\nSHANGHAI, July 22 (Reuters) - China shares rose on Thursday as gains in financials and materials firms overcame a slump in healthcare stocks and as foreign investors extended net buying through the Stock Connect scheme into a fourth session.\n** By the midday break, the Shanghai Composite index was up 0.33% at 3,574.30 points.\n** China's blue-chip CSI300 index was up 0.16%, with its financial sector sub-index higher by 1.36%, the CSI all share materials gaining 1.86% and the real estate index up 1.23%.\n** The healthcare sub-index slumped 3.09% after three days of strong gains.\n** Refinitiv data showed foreign investors were net buyers of A-shares through the Northbound leg of the Stock Connect programme , the fourth straight day of net purchases.\n** Chinese H-shares listed in Hong Kong rose 1.65% to 9,993.01, while the Hang Seng Index was up 1.77% at 27,705.25.\n** Sentiment in the property sector was boosted after developer China Evergrande Group said it had solved legal disputes with China Guangfa Bank and that the two sides would deepen business cooperation, easing investor concerns that sparked a three-day sell-off.\n** Evergrande shares surged 9.25% but were down more than 19% so far in the week. The Hang Seng property sub-index rose 1.84% and the CSI300 real estate sub-index climbed 1.23%.\n** But in a sign of continuing troubles for China's most indebted developer, HSBC and Standard Chartered are declining to extend new loans to buyers of property in two uncompleted Hong Kong residential projects developed by Evergrande, three mortgage brokers said on Wednesday.\n** The smaller Shenzhen index was up 0.19%, the start-up board ChiNext Composite index was weaker by 0.85% and Shanghai's tech-focused STAR50 index was up 0.1%.\n** The yuan was quoted at 6.4664 per U.S. dollar, 0.03% firmer than the previous close of 6.4685.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":230,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":176500683,"gmtCreate":1626904187642,"gmtModify":1703480123922,"author":{"id":"4087548754587790","authorId":"4087548754587790","name":"Kmyong","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/285b1727eda76b0888c32eb184268abf","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087548754587790","authorIdStr":"4087548754587790"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Soaring soon","listText":"Soaring soon","text":"Soaring soon","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f9437983ccfe616398587e322ba7df6","width":"1125","height":"1974"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/176500683","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":223,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":176260601,"gmtCreate":1626889025503,"gmtModify":1703480054161,"author":{"id":"4087548754587790","authorId":"4087548754587790","name":"Kmyong","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/285b1727eda76b0888c32eb184268abf","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087548754587790","authorIdStr":"4087548754587790"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good news","listText":"Good news","text":"Good news","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/176260601","repostId":"1144363960","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1144363960","pubTimestamp":1626877711,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1144363960?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-21 22:28","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Behind The Market's Furious Reversal: Record High Skew","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1144363960","media":"zerohedge","summary":"At the end of June, when the S&P was making new all time highs day after day, and when the VIX was t","content":"<p>At the end of June, when the S&amp;P was making new all time highs day after day, and when the VIX was touching fresh 2021 lows, we cautioned that the skew index just hit a new all time high - meaning that put options have been unusually expensive relative to at-the-money options, helping support the put-heavy VIX index. As we further added, high skew, which compares put option prices with at-the-money option prices, has reached new all-time high,&nbsp;<b>and reflected investor perception that high volatility would return should markets sell off.</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b30d4664cf3c973cc1a86d743bcae379\" tg-width=\"746\" tg-height=\"464\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Commenting on this unusual move, we said that it shows that while on one hand traders seem complacent, they have never been more nervous that even a modest wobble in the market could start a crash. By extension,<b>\"</b><b><u>they have also never been more protected against a full-blown market crash</u></b><b>.\"</b></p>\n<p>So fast forward to the violent, if brief, air pocket (and hardly a full-blown crash) the market experienced late last week and on Monday, which saw stocks tumble the most in months... only to soar right after. In retrospect, traders have the record high skew to thank for that because while risk reversed sharply on Tuesday and continuing today, traders were fully hedged and ready to pounce.</p>\n<p>So following up on his observations from a month ago, when he first noted the record high skew, Goldman's derivatives strategist Rocky Fishman wrote that this week’s volatility pushed equity implied and realized volatility higher, with the VIX briefly hitting 25 during the day on Monday (19-Jul)...</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44c28ca21fe15a17f5b7fa1e3236e5ad\" tg-width=\"651\" tg-height=\"375\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">... even if in absolute terms vol is not high: three-week SPX realized vol (12.1%) is still below year-to-date realized vol (13.4%),and Tuesday’s rally brought the VIX back under 20. More importantly,<b>in response to record downside skew correctly implying that a sell-off would bring much higher volatility, skew has now moved even higher - at least for the S&amp;P 500.</b></p>\n<p>Some more observations from Fishman: \"although Tuesday’s large SPX move and drop in implied vol has reduced vol risk premium, the VIX remains high relative to recent realized vol.\"</p>\n<p>Furthermore, the SPX has not had one-month realized vol as high as the current VIX level (19.7) since November - indicating that options continue to be persistently expensive,<b>which also means that traders are hedging to outsized moves both higher and lower and any selloffs are likely to be fleeting as hedges are cashed in</b>.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/002e0c79da541efcfb85fe1e04e29088\" tg-width=\"644\" tg-height=\"397\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>That said, given the recent precedent for quick sell-offs to be followed quickly by low volatility, Goldman expects volatility to subside in the near term with more likelihood of a sustained increase in Q4, and a big reason for this is the persistently high index skew.</p>\n<blockquote>\n SPX index skew continues to be at near-record levels, which we see as driven by a lack of downside sellers\n <b>as much as demand for hedging.</b>The strong reaction of the VIX to Monday’s sell-off, with the VIX up over six points at one point intraday,\n <b>proved that high skew was justified - at least on a very local level....</b>on a more persistent sell-off, it would be difficult to sustain the level of implied volatility that skew would indicate.\n</blockquote>\n<p>Meanwhile, from a cross-asset standpoint, Fishman adds that if interest rates staying this low has the potential to be a catalyst for further equity upside (unless they plunge<i><b>too</b></i>fast), leaving the potential for near-term asymmetry in SPX potential returns that is the opposite of what option markets are implying.</p>\n<p>So how does one trade the persistently sticky record high skew? Goldman continues to like levered risk reversals as a way to take advantage of this dynamic: Sell a 17-Sep 3800-strike put (12.1% OTM) to fund 2x 4550-strike (5.2% OTM) calls for zero net premium. The trade would be subject to dollar-for-dollar losses shouldthe SPX close below the downside strike at expiration.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Behind The Market's Furious Reversal: Record High Skew</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBehind The Market's Furious Reversal: Record High Skew\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-21 22:28 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/behind-markets-furious-reversal-record-high-skew?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>At the end of June, when the S&P was making new all time highs day after day, and when the VIX was touching fresh 2021 lows, we cautioned that the skew index just hit a new all time high - meaning ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/behind-markets-furious-reversal-record-high-skew?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/behind-markets-furious-reversal-record-high-skew?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1144363960","content_text":"At the end of June, when the S&P was making new all time highs day after day, and when the VIX was touching fresh 2021 lows, we cautioned that the skew index just hit a new all time high - meaning that put options have been unusually expensive relative to at-the-money options, helping support the put-heavy VIX index. As we further added, high skew, which compares put option prices with at-the-money option prices, has reached new all-time high, and reflected investor perception that high volatility would return should markets sell off.\nCommenting on this unusual move, we said that it shows that while on one hand traders seem complacent, they have never been more nervous that even a modest wobble in the market could start a crash. By extension,\"they have also never been more protected against a full-blown market crash.\"\nSo fast forward to the violent, if brief, air pocket (and hardly a full-blown crash) the market experienced late last week and on Monday, which saw stocks tumble the most in months... only to soar right after. In retrospect, traders have the record high skew to thank for that because while risk reversed sharply on Tuesday and continuing today, traders were fully hedged and ready to pounce.\nSo following up on his observations from a month ago, when he first noted the record high skew, Goldman's derivatives strategist Rocky Fishman wrote that this week’s volatility pushed equity implied and realized volatility higher, with the VIX briefly hitting 25 during the day on Monday (19-Jul)...\n... even if in absolute terms vol is not high: three-week SPX realized vol (12.1%) is still below year-to-date realized vol (13.4%),and Tuesday’s rally brought the VIX back under 20. More importantly,in response to record downside skew correctly implying that a sell-off would bring much higher volatility, skew has now moved even higher - at least for the S&P 500.\nSome more observations from Fishman: \"although Tuesday’s large SPX move and drop in implied vol has reduced vol risk premium, the VIX remains high relative to recent realized vol.\"\nFurthermore, the SPX has not had one-month realized vol as high as the current VIX level (19.7) since November - indicating that options continue to be persistently expensive,which also means that traders are hedging to outsized moves both higher and lower and any selloffs are likely to be fleeting as hedges are cashed in.\n\nThat said, given the recent precedent for quick sell-offs to be followed quickly by low volatility, Goldman expects volatility to subside in the near term with more likelihood of a sustained increase in Q4, and a big reason for this is the persistently high index skew.\n\n SPX index skew continues to be at near-record levels, which we see as driven by a lack of downside sellers\n as much as demand for hedging.The strong reaction of the VIX to Monday’s sell-off, with the VIX up over six points at one point intraday,\n proved that high skew was justified - at least on a very local level....on a more persistent sell-off, it would be difficult to sustain the level of implied volatility that skew would indicate.\n\nMeanwhile, from a cross-asset standpoint, Fishman adds that if interest rates staying this low has the potential to be a catalyst for further equity upside (unless they plungetoofast), leaving the potential for near-term asymmetry in SPX potential returns that is the opposite of what option markets are implying.\nSo how does one trade the persistently sticky record high skew? Goldman continues to like levered risk reversals as a way to take advantage of this dynamic: Sell a 17-Sep 3800-strike put (12.1% OTM) to fund 2x 4550-strike (5.2% OTM) calls for zero net premium. The trade would be subject to dollar-for-dollar losses shouldthe SPX close below the downside strike at expiration.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":170,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":176287026,"gmtCreate":1626888800765,"gmtModify":1703480052178,"author":{"id":"4087548754587790","authorId":"4087548754587790","name":"Kmyong","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/285b1727eda76b0888c32eb184268abf","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087548754587790","authorIdStr":"4087548754587790"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Reasonable target ????","listText":"Reasonable target ????","text":"Reasonable target ????","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/176287026","repostId":"1107219983","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":169,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":176284989,"gmtCreate":1626888575541,"gmtModify":1703480051191,"author":{"id":"4087548754587790","authorId":"4087548754587790","name":"Kmyong","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/285b1727eda76b0888c32eb184268abf","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087548754587790","authorIdStr":"4087548754587790"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good . Coming back??","listText":"Good . Coming back??","text":"Good . Coming back??","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b61548be575525db5da4991ca48cbd1e","width":"1125","height":"2493"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/176284989","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":95,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":176285891,"gmtCreate":1626888503413,"gmtModify":1703480049697,"author":{"id":"4087548754587790","authorId":"4087548754587790","name":"Kmyong","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/285b1727eda76b0888c32eb184268abf","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087548754587790","authorIdStr":"4087548754587790"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yes!Good news","listText":"Yes!Good news","text":"Yes!Good news","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/176285891","repostId":"1160993283","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":124,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":176285308,"gmtCreate":1626888453904,"gmtModify":1703480049532,"author":{"id":"4087548754587790","authorId":"4087548754587790","name":"Kmyong","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/285b1727eda76b0888c32eb184268abf","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087548754587790","authorIdStr":"4087548754587790"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Grin]&nbsp;[Grin]&nbsp;Yeah","listText":"[Grin]&nbsp;[Grin]&nbsp;Yeah","text":"[Grin] [Grin] Yeah","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/176285308","repostId":"1160993283","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":158,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":143428005,"gmtCreate":1625811154207,"gmtModify":1703749039088,"author":{"id":"4087548754587790","authorId":"4087548754587790","name":"Kmyong","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/285b1727eda76b0888c32eb184268abf","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087548754587790","authorIdStr":"4087548754587790"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Only 3 coy I m interested in.?","listText":"Only 3 coy I m interested in.?","text":"Only 3 coy I m interested in.?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":12,"commentSize":7,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/143428005","repostId":"1119741032","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1119741032","pubTimestamp":1625803532,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1119741032?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-09 12:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"5 Blue Chip Stocks to Buy With Huge Dividends as Interest Rates Plunge","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1119741032","media":"24/7 wall street","summary":"Just last month, we were being warned that interest rates were ready to move meaningfully higher as ","content":"<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">Just</a> last month, we were being warned that interest rates were ready to move meaningfully higher as inflation and the Federal Reserve were teaming up to end the massive low interest rate paradigm we have been stuck in for years. Then, seemingly out of nowhere, rates have dived lower, with the 10-year Treasury trading at a 1.32% yield, down from near 1.70% at the end of May. The benchmark 30-year Treasury bond is back at the 1.94% level. These are the lowest interest rate levels since last winter.</p>\n<p>For income investors, this is another setback in what has become over a ten-year problem. While rates certainly could rise again, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> thing seems certain: the Federal Reserve will not raise rates until it is positive the economy is back at full strength. The only move the Fed looks poised to make in the near term is the beginning of the tapering of the $120 billion per month purchase of Treasury and mortgage debt.</p>\n<p>We screened the BofA Securities research universe looking for blue chip stocks rated Buy that paid at least a 4% dividend. We found five that are very appealing now to growth and income investors. While all are rated Buy, it is important to remember that no single analyst report should be used as a sole basis for any buying or selling decision.</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MO\">Altria</a></p>\n<p>This maker of tobacco products offers value investors a great entry point now and was hit recently as cigarette sales have slowed. Altria Group Inc. (NYSE: MO) is the parent company of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PM\">Philip Morris</a> USA (cigarettes), UST (smokeless), John Middleton (cigars), Ste. Michelle Wine Estates and Philip Morris Capital. PMUSA enjoys a 51% share of the U.S. cigarette market, led by its top cigarette brand Marlboro.</p>\n<p>Altria also owns over 10% of Anheuser-Busch InBev, the world’s largest brewer. In March 2008, it spun off its international cigarette business to shareholders. In December 2018, the company acquired 35% of Juul Labs, and it has purchased a 45% stake in cannabis company Cronus for $1.8 billion.</p>\n<p>BofA Securities is very favorable toward the company’s plans for the future:</p>\n<blockquote>\n Management presented at CAGNY (Consumer Analyst Group of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">New York</a>) where it discussed a new corporate focus on ESG, additional details on its IQOS plans and its “Moving beyond smoking” 10-yr plan. Smokeables (cigarettes/cigars) will remain an important part of its strategy, providing funding behind its long-term growth and shareholder returns. Over the last 5-yrs, smokeable and other comprehensive income grew at a 5.5% compounded annual growth rate despite volume declines.\n</blockquote>\n<p>Shareholders receive a 7.35% dividend. The analyst has a $58 target price on the shares, while the consensus target is lower at $53.89. Altria stock closed on Wednesday at $46.79 per share.</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVX\">Chevron</a></p>\n<p>This energy giant is a solid way for investors who are more conservative to be positioned in the sector. Chevron Corp. (NYSE: CVX) is a U.S.-based integrated oil and gas company, with worldwide operations in exploration and production, refining and marketing, transportation and petrochemicals. The company sports a sizable dividend and has a solid place in the sector when it comes to natural gas and liquefied natural gas.</p>\n<p>With the strongest financial base of the majors, coupled with an attractive relative asset base, many on Wall Street feel that Chevron offers the most straightforwardly positive risk/reward. Although current conditions do not warrant a large focus on production growth, Chevron possesses numerous medium-term drivers (<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NBL\">Noble</a> integration, Permian, TCO/WPMP expansion, Gulf of Mexico exploration, Vaca Muerta, and so on) that should support production levels in the coming years.</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IBM\">IBM</a></p>\n<p>This old-school tech giant still offers investors a very solid entry point. International Business Machines Corp. (NYSE: IBM) is a leading provider of enterprise solutions, offering a broad portfolio of information technology (IT) hardware, business and IT services, and a full suite of software solutions.</p>\n<p>The company integrates its hardware products with its software and services offerings in order to provide high-value solutions. Analysts have cited the company’s potential in the public cloud as a reason for their positive outlook going forward.</p>\n<p>CEO Ginni Rommety, who had been in the position since 2012, stepped down in January, and the stock market greeted the news in a very positive manner. Arvind Krishna, who has led the company’s cloud computing business, became the new chief executive. Rometty will remain as executive board chair until the end of the year.</p>\n<p>Holders of IBM stock receive a 4.69% dividend. The $175 BofA Securities price target is well above the $144.14 consensus figure. The shares closed at $139.82 on Wednesday.</p>\n<p>Shareholders receive a 5.21% dividend, which analysts feel comfortable will remain at current levels. The BofA Securities price target is $125, which compares to a $122.48 consensus target and the last Chevron stock trade on Wednesday at $102.93 a share.</p>\n<p>LyondellBasell</p>\n<p>This top chemical company with a sterling balance sheet is another solid play for conservative investors. LyondellBasell Industries N.V. (NYSE: LYB) manufactures chemicals and polymers, refines crude oil, produces gasoline blending components and develops and licenses technologies for production of polymers.</p>\n<p>Over half of earnings are generated in the company’s Olefins and Polyolefins Americas segment, where costs are linked to the price of cheap natural gas in the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBNK\">United</a> States, while selling prices are correlated with the price of oil. The company has pursued a strategy of low-cost, high return on invested capital debottlenecks coupled with cash returns to shareholders.</p>\n<p>Note that debottlenecking is the process of identifying specific areas or equipment in oil and gas facilities that limit the flow of product (known as bottlenecks) and optimizing them so that overall capacity in the plant can be increased.</p>\n<p>The company offers a 4.50% dividend. BofA Securities has set a $117 price target. The consensus target is $118.41, and LyondellBasell stock ended Wednesday at $100.40 a share.</p>","source":"lsy1620372341666","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>5 Blue Chip Stocks to Buy With Huge Dividends as Interest Rates Plunge</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n5 Blue Chip Stocks to Buy With Huge Dividends as Interest Rates Plunge\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-09 12:05 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://247wallst.com/investing/2021/07/08/5-blue-chip-stocks-to-buy-with-huge-dividends-as-interest-rates-plunge/><strong>24/7 wall street</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Just last month, we were being warned that interest rates were ready to move meaningfully higher as inflation and the Federal Reserve were teaming up to end the massive low interest rate paradigm we ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://247wallst.com/investing/2021/07/08/5-blue-chip-stocks-to-buy-with-huge-dividends-as-interest-rates-plunge/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://247wallst.com/investing/2021/07/08/5-blue-chip-stocks-to-buy-with-huge-dividends-as-interest-rates-plunge/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1119741032","content_text":"Just last month, we were being warned that interest rates were ready to move meaningfully higher as inflation and the Federal Reserve were teaming up to end the massive low interest rate paradigm we have been stuck in for years. Then, seemingly out of nowhere, rates have dived lower, with the 10-year Treasury trading at a 1.32% yield, down from near 1.70% at the end of May. The benchmark 30-year Treasury bond is back at the 1.94% level. These are the lowest interest rate levels since last winter.\nFor income investors, this is another setback in what has become over a ten-year problem. While rates certainly could rise again, one thing seems certain: the Federal Reserve will not raise rates until it is positive the economy is back at full strength. The only move the Fed looks poised to make in the near term is the beginning of the tapering of the $120 billion per month purchase of Treasury and mortgage debt.\nWe screened the BofA Securities research universe looking for blue chip stocks rated Buy that paid at least a 4% dividend. We found five that are very appealing now to growth and income investors. While all are rated Buy, it is important to remember that no single analyst report should be used as a sole basis for any buying or selling decision.\nAltria\nThis maker of tobacco products offers value investors a great entry point now and was hit recently as cigarette sales have slowed. Altria Group Inc. (NYSE: MO) is the parent company of Philip Morris USA (cigarettes), UST (smokeless), John Middleton (cigars), Ste. Michelle Wine Estates and Philip Morris Capital. PMUSA enjoys a 51% share of the U.S. cigarette market, led by its top cigarette brand Marlboro.\nAltria also owns over 10% of Anheuser-Busch InBev, the world’s largest brewer. In March 2008, it spun off its international cigarette business to shareholders. In December 2018, the company acquired 35% of Juul Labs, and it has purchased a 45% stake in cannabis company Cronus for $1.8 billion.\nBofA Securities is very favorable toward the company’s plans for the future:\n\n Management presented at CAGNY (Consumer Analyst Group of New York) where it discussed a new corporate focus on ESG, additional details on its IQOS plans and its “Moving beyond smoking” 10-yr plan. Smokeables (cigarettes/cigars) will remain an important part of its strategy, providing funding behind its long-term growth and shareholder returns. Over the last 5-yrs, smokeable and other comprehensive income grew at a 5.5% compounded annual growth rate despite volume declines.\n\nShareholders receive a 7.35% dividend. The analyst has a $58 target price on the shares, while the consensus target is lower at $53.89. Altria stock closed on Wednesday at $46.79 per share.\nChevron\nThis energy giant is a solid way for investors who are more conservative to be positioned in the sector. Chevron Corp. (NYSE: CVX) is a U.S.-based integrated oil and gas company, with worldwide operations in exploration and production, refining and marketing, transportation and petrochemicals. The company sports a sizable dividend and has a solid place in the sector when it comes to natural gas and liquefied natural gas.\nWith the strongest financial base of the majors, coupled with an attractive relative asset base, many on Wall Street feel that Chevron offers the most straightforwardly positive risk/reward. Although current conditions do not warrant a large focus on production growth, Chevron possesses numerous medium-term drivers (Noble integration, Permian, TCO/WPMP expansion, Gulf of Mexico exploration, Vaca Muerta, and so on) that should support production levels in the coming years.\nIBM\nThis old-school tech giant still offers investors a very solid entry point. International Business Machines Corp. (NYSE: IBM) is a leading provider of enterprise solutions, offering a broad portfolio of information technology (IT) hardware, business and IT services, and a full suite of software solutions.\nThe company integrates its hardware products with its software and services offerings in order to provide high-value solutions. Analysts have cited the company’s potential in the public cloud as a reason for their positive outlook going forward.\nCEO Ginni Rommety, who had been in the position since 2012, stepped down in January, and the stock market greeted the news in a very positive manner. Arvind Krishna, who has led the company’s cloud computing business, became the new chief executive. Rometty will remain as executive board chair until the end of the year.\nHolders of IBM stock receive a 4.69% dividend. The $175 BofA Securities price target is well above the $144.14 consensus figure. The shares closed at $139.82 on Wednesday.\nShareholders receive a 5.21% dividend, which analysts feel comfortable will remain at current levels. The BofA Securities price target is $125, which compares to a $122.48 consensus target and the last Chevron stock trade on Wednesday at $102.93 a share.\nLyondellBasell\nThis top chemical company with a sterling balance sheet is another solid play for conservative investors. LyondellBasell Industries N.V. (NYSE: LYB) manufactures chemicals and polymers, refines crude oil, produces gasoline blending components and develops and licenses technologies for production of polymers.\nOver half of earnings are generated in the company’s Olefins and Polyolefins Americas segment, where costs are linked to the price of cheap natural gas in the United States, while selling prices are correlated with the price of oil. The company has pursued a strategy of low-cost, high return on invested capital debottlenecks coupled with cash returns to shareholders.\nNote that debottlenecking is the process of identifying specific areas or equipment in oil and gas facilities that limit the flow of product (known as bottlenecks) and optimizing them so that overall capacity in the plant can be increased.\nThe company offers a 4.50% dividend. BofA Securities has set a $117 price target. The consensus target is $118.41, and LyondellBasell stock ended Wednesday at $100.40 a share.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":96,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":810476202,"gmtCreate":1629999525106,"gmtModify":1676530197276,"author":{"id":"4087548754587790","authorId":"4087548754587790","name":"Kmyong","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/285b1727eda76b0888c32eb184268abf","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087548754587790","authorIdStr":"4087548754587790"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yes , she will by 1Q2022??","listText":"Yes , she will by 1Q2022??","text":"Yes , she will by 1Q2022??","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/810476202","repostId":"1161561973","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1161561973","pubTimestamp":1629991651,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1161561973?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-08-26 23:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Can Tesla Shares Hit $900 Again This Year?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1161561973","media":"investing.com","summary":"Electric vehicle maker Tesla Motors' (NASDAQ:TSLA) stock is picking up momentum again. After falling","content":"<p>Electric vehicle maker <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla Motors</a>' (NASDAQ:TSLA) stock is picking up momentum again. After falling from a record high $900.40, hit intraday on Jan. 25, TSLA shares have gained 17% during the past three months, outperforming the benchmark&nbsp;NASDAQ 100&nbsp;Index.</p>\n<p>The biggest question Tesla bulls now have is, whether, on top of the current gains, can the EV manufacturer's stock push through back to the all-time high of $900 this year?</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b4b9078f00190f208dd63b32c4f617c6\" tg-width=\"651\" tg-height=\"708\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Tesla Weekly Chart.</p>\n<p>Given the highly volatile nature of the stock, it’s tough to predict whether the current Tesla rally has legs. But it’s important to note that the outlook for its car sales is becoming more uncertain than it was a year ago.</p>\n<p>First, the global chip shortage continues to cast doubt on Tesla’s ambitious sales targets for 2021. Chief Executive Officer Elon Musk highlighted challenges that come from the unpredictability of chip supplies and the hurdles he expects in ramping production at two new factories in Austin, Texas, and Berlin, later this year.</p>\n<p>Tesla again delayed delivery of its semi-trailer truck—already two years late. The first trucks of this type are now slated for 2022. The company attributed the delay to supply-chain issues and limited battery-cell supply, as well as management trying to focus on getting new factories online. The company’s plans for its first pickup truck, once expected to go to customers as early as this year, are also being affected by parts issues.</p>\n<p>This is what Musk told analysts last month:</p>\n<blockquote>\n “While we’re making cars at full speed, the global chip-shortage situation remains quite serious. For the rest of this year, our growth rate will be determined by the slowest part in our supply chain.”\n</blockquote>\n<p>Regulatory Probe</p>\n<p>Besides the risks to the market’s earnings consensus for this fiscal year, Tesla is facing a regulatory probe that could result in a massive recall.</p>\n<p>The U.S.opened a formal investigation&nbsp;into Tesla’s Autopilot system last week after almost a dozen collisions involving first-responder vehicles. In the last seven years, Tesla has charged clients thousands of dollars for this feature.</p>\n<p>The probe by the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) covers an estimated 765,000 Tesla Model Y, X, S and 3 vehicles from the 2014 model year onward. The regulator—which has the power to deem cars defective and order recalls—said&nbsp;it launched the investigation after 11 crashes that resulted in 17 injuries and one fatality.</p>\n<p>Bloomberg reported&nbsp;that Tesla has been criticized for years for labeling the system in a potentially misleading way. Since late 2016, it has marketed this higher-level functionality feature as Full Self-Driving Capability. In reality, Autopilot is a driver-assistance system that maintains vehicles’ speed and keeps them centered in lanes when engaged, though the driver is supposed to supervise at all times.</p>\n<p>Tesla now sells that package of features—often referred to as FSD—for $10,000 or $199 a month.</p>\n<p>After the NHTSA launched of the probe, two Democratic senators asked the Federal Trade Commission to also investigate Tesla over the company’s advertising of its Autopilot and FSD technology.</p>\n<p>In a&nbsp;letter&nbsp;last Wednesday, Sen. Richard Blumenthal of Connecticut and Sen. Ed Markey of Massachusetts asked FTC Chair Lina Khan to examine whether Tesla used “potentially deceptive and unfair practices” in its marketing of those technologies.</p>\n<p>“We fear that Tesla’s Autopilot and FSD features are not as mature and reliable as the company pitches to the public,” they wrote, pointing to comments from Musk, as well as a 2019 YouTube video entitled “Full Self-Driving” and has a link to Tesla’s site.</p>\n<p>Highlighting these risks and how they could affect Tesla’s current stock price, however, shouldn’t hide the fact that there are many analysts who continue to remain bullish on TSLA. Piper Sandler reiterated its overweight rating on the stock and its price target of $1,200 this month.</p>\n<p>In a note, analysts Alexander Potter and Winnie Dong said:</p>\n<blockquote>\n “Bottom line: We still really like this stock. Tesla is still the driving force behind higher [battery electric vehicle] penetration globally.”\n</blockquote>\n<p><b>Bottom Line</b></p>\n<p>It’s difficult to predict the future course for Tesla stock given the huge amount of speculative interest in this name. But recent developments show that it will be quite hard for the EV automaker to exceed expectations in this tough manufacturing environment.</p>\n<p>Investors should trade this name with caution.</p>","source":"lsy1594375853987","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Can Tesla Shares Hit $900 Again This Year? </title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCan Tesla Shares Hit $900 Again This Year? \n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-26 23:27 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.investing.com/analysis/can-tesla-shares-hit-900-again-this-year-200599999><strong>investing.com</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Electric vehicle maker Tesla Motors' (NASDAQ:TSLA) stock is picking up momentum again. After falling from a record high $900.40, hit intraday on Jan. 25, TSLA shares have gained 17% during the past ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.investing.com/analysis/can-tesla-shares-hit-900-again-this-year-200599999\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.investing.com/analysis/can-tesla-shares-hit-900-again-this-year-200599999","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1161561973","content_text":"Electric vehicle maker Tesla Motors' (NASDAQ:TSLA) stock is picking up momentum again. After falling from a record high $900.40, hit intraday on Jan. 25, TSLA shares have gained 17% during the past three months, outperforming the benchmark NASDAQ 100 Index.\nThe biggest question Tesla bulls now have is, whether, on top of the current gains, can the EV manufacturer's stock push through back to the all-time high of $900 this year?\nTesla Weekly Chart.\nGiven the highly volatile nature of the stock, it’s tough to predict whether the current Tesla rally has legs. But it’s important to note that the outlook for its car sales is becoming more uncertain than it was a year ago.\nFirst, the global chip shortage continues to cast doubt on Tesla’s ambitious sales targets for 2021. Chief Executive Officer Elon Musk highlighted challenges that come from the unpredictability of chip supplies and the hurdles he expects in ramping production at two new factories in Austin, Texas, and Berlin, later this year.\nTesla again delayed delivery of its semi-trailer truck—already two years late. The first trucks of this type are now slated for 2022. The company attributed the delay to supply-chain issues and limited battery-cell supply, as well as management trying to focus on getting new factories online. The company’s plans for its first pickup truck, once expected to go to customers as early as this year, are also being affected by parts issues.\nThis is what Musk told analysts last month:\n\n “While we’re making cars at full speed, the global chip-shortage situation remains quite serious. For the rest of this year, our growth rate will be determined by the slowest part in our supply chain.”\n\nRegulatory Probe\nBesides the risks to the market’s earnings consensus for this fiscal year, Tesla is facing a regulatory probe that could result in a massive recall.\nThe U.S.opened a formal investigation into Tesla’s Autopilot system last week after almost a dozen collisions involving first-responder vehicles. In the last seven years, Tesla has charged clients thousands of dollars for this feature.\nThe probe by the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) covers an estimated 765,000 Tesla Model Y, X, S and 3 vehicles from the 2014 model year onward. The regulator—which has the power to deem cars defective and order recalls—said it launched the investigation after 11 crashes that resulted in 17 injuries and one fatality.\nBloomberg reported that Tesla has been criticized for years for labeling the system in a potentially misleading way. Since late 2016, it has marketed this higher-level functionality feature as Full Self-Driving Capability. In reality, Autopilot is a driver-assistance system that maintains vehicles’ speed and keeps them centered in lanes when engaged, though the driver is supposed to supervise at all times.\nTesla now sells that package of features—often referred to as FSD—for $10,000 or $199 a month.\nAfter the NHTSA launched of the probe, two Democratic senators asked the Federal Trade Commission to also investigate Tesla over the company’s advertising of its Autopilot and FSD technology.\nIn a letter last Wednesday, Sen. Richard Blumenthal of Connecticut and Sen. Ed Markey of Massachusetts asked FTC Chair Lina Khan to examine whether Tesla used “potentially deceptive and unfair practices” in its marketing of those technologies.\n“We fear that Tesla’s Autopilot and FSD features are not as mature and reliable as the company pitches to the public,” they wrote, pointing to comments from Musk, as well as a 2019 YouTube video entitled “Full Self-Driving” and has a link to Tesla’s site.\nHighlighting these risks and how they could affect Tesla’s current stock price, however, shouldn’t hide the fact that there are many analysts who continue to remain bullish on TSLA. Piper Sandler reiterated its overweight rating on the stock and its price target of $1,200 this month.\nIn a note, analysts Alexander Potter and Winnie Dong said:\n\n “Bottom line: We still really like this stock. Tesla is still the driving force behind higher [battery electric vehicle] penetration globally.”\n\nBottom Line\nIt’s difficult to predict the future course for Tesla stock given the huge amount of speculative interest in this name. But recent developments show that it will be quite hard for the EV automaker to exceed expectations in this tough manufacturing environment.\nInvestors should trade this name with caution.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":394,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":176260601,"gmtCreate":1626889025503,"gmtModify":1703480054161,"author":{"id":"4087548754587790","authorId":"4087548754587790","name":"Kmyong","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/285b1727eda76b0888c32eb184268abf","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087548754587790","authorIdStr":"4087548754587790"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good news","listText":"Good news","text":"Good news","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/176260601","repostId":"1144363960","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":170,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":899059138,"gmtCreate":1628144980924,"gmtModify":1703502057743,"author":{"id":"4087548754587790","authorId":"4087548754587790","name":"Kmyong","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/285b1727eda76b0888c32eb184268abf","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087548754587790","authorIdStr":"4087548754587790"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Shake shack best??","listText":"Shake shack best??","text":"Shake shack best??","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/899059138","repostId":"1109459574","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":354,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":179033414,"gmtCreate":1626470631038,"gmtModify":1703760645786,"author":{"id":"4087548754587790","authorId":"4087548754587790","name":"Kmyong","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/285b1727eda76b0888c32eb184268abf","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087548754587790","authorIdStr":"4087548754587790"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Not in 2021??","listText":"Not in 2021??","text":"Not in 2021??","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/179033414","repostId":"1149577900","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1149577900","pubTimestamp":1626483617,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1149577900?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-17 09:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Don't Fear A Stock Market Crash","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1149577900","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nWarnings and claims of a stock market crash keep surfacing as the markets continue to push ","content":"<p>Summary</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Warnings and claims of a stock market crash keep surfacing as the markets continue to push themselves to new records.</li>\n <li>There are four main factors that this market exhibits that have the potential to cause a crash.</li>\n <li>Those factors include excessive speculation, a growth slowdown, peak valuations, and low interest rates rising.</li>\n <li>Preparedness for the possible outcomes stemming from these factors and securing a portfolio against those outcomes could be necessary.</li>\n <li>A crash isn't something to fear, but rather something to take advantage of and capitalize from the bargains being offered.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Warnings and claims of a stock market crash keep surfacing as the markets continue to push themselves to new records. First it was March, then May, then June, then September, for when experts would say the crash would come. Has it? No. Will it? Possibly. Is it easy to predict? Hardly. The more you hear people talk about it, the more you see it, the more convincing a possible crash gets - yet it's still nothing to fear. There are unfavorable and unsightly factors in the markets - again, it's still nothing to fear; rather, it's something to keep in mind, prepare for, and ultimately, take advantage of and capitalize. Just like in sports such as basketball and soccer, a great player plays both offense and defense very well, and likewise a great investor can play both the bull and bear runs in the market, and capitalize off of either. A crash should be nothing to fear, when the cards are stacked right and the hedges are placed, as it can offer chances to buy high-quality companies often at large discounts.</p>\n<p>An Abundance of 'Warnings'</p>\n<p>Simply doing a quick search on Google (GOOG) for \"stock market crash\" or \"stock market crash expert\" returns dozens upon dozens of results of arguments laying out the pending doom of the markets, the arguments behind why the crash is bound to happen, why the crash didn't happen when it was supposed to,etc.; while there are many different 'expert warnings' for such a crash, let's take a look at three different perspectives, from Harry Dent, Jeremy Grantham, and John Hussman.</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Harry Denthas warned of an 80% crash coming this fall (a bit on the extreme side it seems, compared to others), saying that \"stocks have no place in investors' portfolios.\" His track record includes calling Japan's 1989 bubble and the dot-com bubble, and Dent is seeing that while investors remain bullish in the longer-term, the economy's recovery isn't the same and \"not as good as it used to be.\" Back in March, he had said that the biggest crash would happen in June, but as we all can see, it did not.</li>\n <li>Jeremy Granthamsees that the 2020 Covid-induced crash was a mere blip in the run to the market peak, with the past year shoring up to be the \"classic finale to an 11-year bull market.\" Overvaluation across each market decile, farther than in 2000, while margin and debt peak, and high speculative trading support his warning. He also sees deflating asset prices, such as housing, causing pain as well, as bonds, stocks and real estate have all inflated together.</li>\n <li>John Hussmanhas warned that valuations are extreme, and called for the S&amp;P 500 to see 12 years of negative returns ahead and a &gt;60% decline; Hussman's track record includes calling out the dot-com bubble burst and 80% decline, the 2008 crash, and the decade of negative returns following the dot-com bubble. He also warns about speculation on securities that have already seen large appreciation for future growth. One of the key factors that he points out for a likely snapping of this bull run is that \"the mental image in anticipation of a post-pandemic recovery may be more pleasant than the actual recovery itself,\" such that the \"glowing optimism currently built into record valuation extremes could be followed by quite a bit of disappointment.\"</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Yet they aren't alone, and while track records do show some big crashes, often times they can be wrong far more than they are right, banks are also seeing minimal returns over the decade - Bank of America (BAC) is predicting that the S&amp;P 500 would return an average of just 2% through the decade given the valuation landscape. That, plus other factors, do bring up the possibility of a crash, but with the signs and signals flashing, it shouldn't catch anyone off guard.</p>\n<p>Four Factors</p>\n<p>While there are many factors that have caused prior crashes and could cause future ones, four main factors that this current market exhibits that have the potential to cause a crash include: high amounts of speculative trading, slowdown in growth (economic recovery), peak valuations, and low interest rates that rise.</p>\n<p>Excessive Speculation</p>\n<p>Speculation comes in many forms, but the most recognizable instances of over-exuberant trading and excessive speculation include GameStop's (GME) January short-squeeze frenzy, Archegos' implosion and the crash of Viacom (VIAC), Discovery (DISCA), a basket of Chinese tech stocks including Baidu (BIDU), iQIYI (IQ) and Vipshop(NYSE:VIPS), and others, and the more recent AMC Entertainment (AMC) short squeeze. Dogecoin (DOGE-USD) also erupted in a speculative half social-media, half Elon Musk-fueled run.</p>\n<p>While single asset speculation through heavy volume trading not just in shares but in call options has been visible, less visible aspects of excessive speculative have persisted for months, with some surfacing in February or earlier.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dccc290398aed22a11cf41ae63a85bce\" tg-width=\"624\" tg-height=\"453\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Margin debt (above) has risen significantly since 2020's bottoming out, up over 70% to over $850 billion from just $500 billion in early 2020. Robinhood (HOOD), a facilitator of first-time investors entering the market, of which they did in herds during 2020, provided relatively easy access to margin trading, and a flood of new investors and a surge in 'FOMO' helped push both margin debt and the market higher through 2020. While spikes in margin debt have historically preceded both the dot-com and housing bubble bursts (a pre-recessionary indicator), margin debt has spiked during the recent recession, which could signal that more pain is yet to come.</p>\n<p>Back in early February, signs of excess speculation and a push in the ten-year past 1.25%, to me, signaled pain ahead for growth stocks - thatthesisplayed out starting that day, with the NASDAQ falling over 10% through early March. Now, yields are stumbling, with the ten-year dropping below 1.30%, as expectations for a growth slowdown amid a slew of factors including new lockdowns in Australia, rising cases from the Delta variant and higher-than-expected inflation.</p>\n<p>Speculation combines with other factors, like a growth slowdown and peak valuations, to create frothiness in trading, stretched multiples, and asymmetric risk-reward profiles, creating more risk than reward often.</p>\n<p>Growth Slowdown</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/034a916ba93dac9b099409c5906bee37\" tg-width=\"631\" tg-height=\"563\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Graphic fromWeForumvia Statista</span></p>\n<p>The economic recovery as the globe worked through and emerged from lockdowns last year is visible, with a nearV-recoveryin GDP through the back half of 2020. China has seen aslowdownin its recovery, with more policy support expected; U.S. job numbers have missed expectations multiple times so far this year. There are still pockets of the economy that have failed to recovery as fast as expected, such as family-owned businesses/restaurants.</p>\n<p>Unemployment, GDP, and inflation all factor into forecasts for economic growth, and inflation is posing a larger risk than the other two currently. High inflation, high[er] unemployment, and an economic growth slowdown can create stagflation, such as what was witnessed in the 1970s.Fears of stagflationhave risen through June; while wage stagnation has been fought off by companies raising wages to meet downfalls caused by labor shortages, inflation is driving prices higher - theCPIrose quicker than expectations, reaching its highest level since August 2008, while thePPImirrored that move, helped by supply chain issues across nearly all industries. Companies like PepsiCo (PEP) and Conagra (CAG) are raising prices to combat adverse effects to their operating performances stemming from inflation.</p>\n<p>The market hasn't necessarily reacted to the possibilities of an economic slowdown, and inflation isn't the only factor - Covid-19 is not close to being gone, with the Delta variant surging in non-vaccinated communities and countries.Lockdownshave been re-implemented in parts of Australia, and there's no telling if lockdowns will be needed in other regions if cases continue to spike, and that alone can revert economic growth.</p>\n<p>Peak Valuations</p>\n<p>Arguably one of the most noticeable and most mentioned factor in this list is peak valuations - that is, stocks are in a bubble, or certain groups of stocks are substantially overvalued.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/388dd5417e610209de84d8a86ca86f91\" tg-width=\"624\" tg-height=\"351\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Graphic fromBloomberg</span></p>\n<p>February and March marked a time where the markets 'reset' valuations for growth stocks - in particular, SPACs and unprofitable high-growth stocks who soared during 2020 (Goldman Sachs'Non-Profitable Tech Indexreached 393.1 in January 2021, up from 81.7 in March 2020). The SPAC cohort is a mix of heavy speculation and peak valuations, with SPACs rising &gt;100% on rumors of mergers, only to fall &gt;50% following those mergers - Churchill Capital IV (CCIV) and Lucid Motors is the prime example of this. This was a trend of the EV sector in general from January through March, with leaders Tesla (TSLA) and NIO (NIO) shedding over one-third of their value.</p>\n<p>SPACs also mirror some of the exuberance in 2000 - stocks that had that dot-com in the name were able to raise substantial cash via IPOs without much of a proven operating record, and many failed. Many of the SPACs that have come public in the past year exhibit those same features - a high investor appetite, ability to raise necessary cash from such appetite, multi-billion dollar valuations, and minimal revenues. General IPOs are also red-hot, with hundreds of companies already joining the markets this year, as investor snap them up quickly.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a5ace269e2c48c6ad6bb5180ce32e48\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"535\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data byYCharts</span></p>\n<p>Tech stocks that have performed poorly since that 'peak' from January through March include some of those recent IPOs like C3.ai (AI), Lemonade (LMND), Snowflake (SNOW), and others including Appian (APPN) and Fastly (FSLY); aside from Snowflake, which is down 20%, the rest have fallen over 40% from those highs as high P/S multiples reset. On the other hand, CrowdStrike (CRWD) and Zscaler (ZS) have managed to maintain such a high multiple with growing cybersecurity tailwinds, and have performed about flat over the same period. While the former six do still have strong, positive growth prospects, sustaining a high multiple is never guaranteed, and a reset that shocks the market shocks these stocks significantly, as seen in their performance.</p>\n<p>But these peak valuations also spread to the blue-chips, and to FAANGM - Facebook (FB), Apple (AAPL), Amazon (AMZN), Netflix (NFLX), Google (GOOGL), and Microsoft (MSFT). This basket's PE valuations, on a weighted-by-market-cap basis, sat at 45x earnings in February, pushed higher by Amazon and Apple; at the moment, it sits just above 41.5x. This plays a role in exaggerating the overall S&amp;P PE due to the heavy weighting the group has in the index, which is over 2 standard deviations above its average.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/136219a2e6ea016fd91597c989fa1a9e\" tg-width=\"624\" tg-height=\"312\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Graphic fromCurrent Market Valuation</span></p>\n<p>And as a whole, valuations across the market are becoming more stretched, with each decile seeing its most extreme valuations on a PS basis, topping that of 2000. While high-beta, high-multiple stocks (primarily tech) in decline 10 have exceeded their 2000s level in a steep climb, decile 8 and 9 (likely more stable stocks given historical PS of 2x-4x) have seen that ratio double since 2011, with a surge in 2020 taking the deciles far past averages. While the exact components that make up each decile are unknown, are the drivers in place to solidify such a rapid expansion since 2019? For some stocks, possibly, but for others, it's not as likely. It could be down to a combination of high levels of bullishness in the market, FOMO, stimulus and low rates allowing stocks to run higher even with less fundamental backing.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d8ab71b923769effdde5d09e1d3cd3fd\" tg-width=\"624\" tg-height=\"354\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Graphic fromBusiness Insider</span></p>\n<p>Low Interest Rates</p>\n<p>The fourth factor here is low interest rates that begin to rise, which ultimately affect the flow/flood of money into the markets, of which the Fed has supported since 2020. Some experts are seeing that equities in general are exhibiting signs of peak valuations and irrational exuberance, but that can be sustained as long as 'stimulus' in the form of Fed support remains.</p>\n<p>When interest rates are kept lower for an extended period, it increases the chances of bubbles being formed in different asset classes. Thus, one of the biggest risks becomes inflation, the risk that the market is currently digesting.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e8cb16f3b4b962cfa8adbffa4127b92\" tg-width=\"960\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Graphic fromJP Morgan</span></p>\n<p>Although rates are still low as of right now, the Fed has been facing some different viewpoints as to when it will need to start raising rates to combat inflation. Some see rates as early asnext year,others see it remaining in 2023. A rise in interest rates can spark a crash by removing excess liquidity from the markets (removing the ease of access to liquidity). The Fed has reiterated its belief that inflation is stilltransitory, but a quarter-long spell of higher-than-expected inflation data (just like what has occurred this week with the CPI and PPI rising ahead of expectations), could definitely force a rethinking of rate hikes and shake the market.</p>\n<p>Is It Time To Prepare?</p>\n<p>Signs and signals of bubbly conditions are still here, and preparedness for the possible outcomes and securing a portfolio against those outcomes is a smart idea. All it takes is one catalyst to knock equities back from high valuations and back to lower levels; sings in bonds and the dollar are starting to show rising expectations of tapering and the eventual end of Fed asset-buying and support. While there are numerous experts warning of a crash, it can be nearly impossible to time, and while evidence many of them provide is sound, such claims of<i>x%</i>drops in<i>x</i>month are speculative in nature, unless that individual knows something unknown to the rest of the market.</p>\n<p>When facing a potential bubble or crash situation, hedging portfolios is key in minimizing losses and mitigating downside risk. Derivatives on index ETFs like&nbsp;SPY&nbsp;and&nbsp;DIA&nbsp;could offset potential selloffs in the market, while theQQQcan protect against losses in high-flying tech. For example, a quick case study for an SPY put play for Sept. 17: you assume an expectation for a 10% decline in the SPY to ~$390, and hedging your portfolio could come through a long put for ~$300, a $410/$390/$370 long butterfly for ~$100, or a $410/$390 put debit spread for ~$200. While the first trade has the highest return potential, it brings the highest risk, as the latter two strategies can start to profit on moves closer to -7%. For a $50,000 portfolio, a ~1% hedge could allow the purchase of 3 debit spreads, providing a maximum return of ~$6,000, or 12% of the portfolio value, which could effectively mitigate losses should the SPY fall to or below $390.<i>Note that options strategies are inherently risky, and each investor's risk appetite is different, and such a strategy may not be suitable for everyone. This is merely a case study and shows the potential that a small percentage hedge can have in mitigating downside risk. Be aware of risks to timing and theta decay, and options becoming worthless.</i></p>\n<p>Again, it's difficult to identify and even more difficult to time a bubble, given that the market can remain 'wrong' much longer than you can wait to be right. There's still room to run further with Fed support, but such signs of a potential bubble - excessive speculation, growth slowdown, peak valuations, and low interest rates rising - require awareness and preparedness. Yet it's nothing to fear. Small hedges can minimize downside risk, especially through options if timed well. Understanding the risks to high-flying growth stocks and those trading at or near peak valuations, regardless of sector, is important - many of the IPOs and SPACs have seen high valuations and minimal revenues, leading to exorbitant PS multiples pricing in years of growth, much like 2000. At the end of the day, if or when a crash happens, the opportunities to buy the 'best-of-the-best' companies at very attractive levels, and can provide generous returns.</p>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Don't Fear A Stock Market Crash</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDon't Fear A Stock Market Crash\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-17 09:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4439512-dont-fear-a-stock-market-crash><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nWarnings and claims of a stock market crash keep surfacing as the markets continue to push themselves to new records.\nThere are four main factors that this market exhibits that have the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4439512-dont-fear-a-stock-market-crash\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4439512-dont-fear-a-stock-market-crash","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1149577900","content_text":"Summary\n\nWarnings and claims of a stock market crash keep surfacing as the markets continue to push themselves to new records.\nThere are four main factors that this market exhibits that have the potential to cause a crash.\nThose factors include excessive speculation, a growth slowdown, peak valuations, and low interest rates rising.\nPreparedness for the possible outcomes stemming from these factors and securing a portfolio against those outcomes could be necessary.\nA crash isn't something to fear, but rather something to take advantage of and capitalize from the bargains being offered.\n\nWarnings and claims of a stock market crash keep surfacing as the markets continue to push themselves to new records. First it was March, then May, then June, then September, for when experts would say the crash would come. Has it? No. Will it? Possibly. Is it easy to predict? Hardly. The more you hear people talk about it, the more you see it, the more convincing a possible crash gets - yet it's still nothing to fear. There are unfavorable and unsightly factors in the markets - again, it's still nothing to fear; rather, it's something to keep in mind, prepare for, and ultimately, take advantage of and capitalize. Just like in sports such as basketball and soccer, a great player plays both offense and defense very well, and likewise a great investor can play both the bull and bear runs in the market, and capitalize off of either. A crash should be nothing to fear, when the cards are stacked right and the hedges are placed, as it can offer chances to buy high-quality companies often at large discounts.\nAn Abundance of 'Warnings'\nSimply doing a quick search on Google (GOOG) for \"stock market crash\" or \"stock market crash expert\" returns dozens upon dozens of results of arguments laying out the pending doom of the markets, the arguments behind why the crash is bound to happen, why the crash didn't happen when it was supposed to,etc.; while there are many different 'expert warnings' for such a crash, let's take a look at three different perspectives, from Harry Dent, Jeremy Grantham, and John Hussman.\n\nHarry Denthas warned of an 80% crash coming this fall (a bit on the extreme side it seems, compared to others), saying that \"stocks have no place in investors' portfolios.\" His track record includes calling Japan's 1989 bubble and the dot-com bubble, and Dent is seeing that while investors remain bullish in the longer-term, the economy's recovery isn't the same and \"not as good as it used to be.\" Back in March, he had said that the biggest crash would happen in June, but as we all can see, it did not.\nJeremy Granthamsees that the 2020 Covid-induced crash was a mere blip in the run to the market peak, with the past year shoring up to be the \"classic finale to an 11-year bull market.\" Overvaluation across each market decile, farther than in 2000, while margin and debt peak, and high speculative trading support his warning. He also sees deflating asset prices, such as housing, causing pain as well, as bonds, stocks and real estate have all inflated together.\nJohn Hussmanhas warned that valuations are extreme, and called for the S&P 500 to see 12 years of negative returns ahead and a >60% decline; Hussman's track record includes calling out the dot-com bubble burst and 80% decline, the 2008 crash, and the decade of negative returns following the dot-com bubble. He also warns about speculation on securities that have already seen large appreciation for future growth. One of the key factors that he points out for a likely snapping of this bull run is that \"the mental image in anticipation of a post-pandemic recovery may be more pleasant than the actual recovery itself,\" such that the \"glowing optimism currently built into record valuation extremes could be followed by quite a bit of disappointment.\"\n\nYet they aren't alone, and while track records do show some big crashes, often times they can be wrong far more than they are right, banks are also seeing minimal returns over the decade - Bank of America (BAC) is predicting that the S&P 500 would return an average of just 2% through the decade given the valuation landscape. That, plus other factors, do bring up the possibility of a crash, but with the signs and signals flashing, it shouldn't catch anyone off guard.\nFour Factors\nWhile there are many factors that have caused prior crashes and could cause future ones, four main factors that this current market exhibits that have the potential to cause a crash include: high amounts of speculative trading, slowdown in growth (economic recovery), peak valuations, and low interest rates that rise.\nExcessive Speculation\nSpeculation comes in many forms, but the most recognizable instances of over-exuberant trading and excessive speculation include GameStop's (GME) January short-squeeze frenzy, Archegos' implosion and the crash of Viacom (VIAC), Discovery (DISCA), a basket of Chinese tech stocks including Baidu (BIDU), iQIYI (IQ) and Vipshop(NYSE:VIPS), and others, and the more recent AMC Entertainment (AMC) short squeeze. Dogecoin (DOGE-USD) also erupted in a speculative half social-media, half Elon Musk-fueled run.\nWhile single asset speculation through heavy volume trading not just in shares but in call options has been visible, less visible aspects of excessive speculative have persisted for months, with some surfacing in February or earlier.\n\nMargin debt (above) has risen significantly since 2020's bottoming out, up over 70% to over $850 billion from just $500 billion in early 2020. Robinhood (HOOD), a facilitator of first-time investors entering the market, of which they did in herds during 2020, provided relatively easy access to margin trading, and a flood of new investors and a surge in 'FOMO' helped push both margin debt and the market higher through 2020. While spikes in margin debt have historically preceded both the dot-com and housing bubble bursts (a pre-recessionary indicator), margin debt has spiked during the recent recession, which could signal that more pain is yet to come.\nBack in early February, signs of excess speculation and a push in the ten-year past 1.25%, to me, signaled pain ahead for growth stocks - thatthesisplayed out starting that day, with the NASDAQ falling over 10% through early March. Now, yields are stumbling, with the ten-year dropping below 1.30%, as expectations for a growth slowdown amid a slew of factors including new lockdowns in Australia, rising cases from the Delta variant and higher-than-expected inflation.\nSpeculation combines with other factors, like a growth slowdown and peak valuations, to create frothiness in trading, stretched multiples, and asymmetric risk-reward profiles, creating more risk than reward often.\nGrowth Slowdown\nGraphic fromWeForumvia Statista\nThe economic recovery as the globe worked through and emerged from lockdowns last year is visible, with a nearV-recoveryin GDP through the back half of 2020. China has seen aslowdownin its recovery, with more policy support expected; U.S. job numbers have missed expectations multiple times so far this year. There are still pockets of the economy that have failed to recovery as fast as expected, such as family-owned businesses/restaurants.\nUnemployment, GDP, and inflation all factor into forecasts for economic growth, and inflation is posing a larger risk than the other two currently. High inflation, high[er] unemployment, and an economic growth slowdown can create stagflation, such as what was witnessed in the 1970s.Fears of stagflationhave risen through June; while wage stagnation has been fought off by companies raising wages to meet downfalls caused by labor shortages, inflation is driving prices higher - theCPIrose quicker than expectations, reaching its highest level since August 2008, while thePPImirrored that move, helped by supply chain issues across nearly all industries. Companies like PepsiCo (PEP) and Conagra (CAG) are raising prices to combat adverse effects to their operating performances stemming from inflation.\nThe market hasn't necessarily reacted to the possibilities of an economic slowdown, and inflation isn't the only factor - Covid-19 is not close to being gone, with the Delta variant surging in non-vaccinated communities and countries.Lockdownshave been re-implemented in parts of Australia, and there's no telling if lockdowns will be needed in other regions if cases continue to spike, and that alone can revert economic growth.\nPeak Valuations\nArguably one of the most noticeable and most mentioned factor in this list is peak valuations - that is, stocks are in a bubble, or certain groups of stocks are substantially overvalued.\nGraphic fromBloomberg\nFebruary and March marked a time where the markets 'reset' valuations for growth stocks - in particular, SPACs and unprofitable high-growth stocks who soared during 2020 (Goldman Sachs'Non-Profitable Tech Indexreached 393.1 in January 2021, up from 81.7 in March 2020). The SPAC cohort is a mix of heavy speculation and peak valuations, with SPACs rising >100% on rumors of mergers, only to fall >50% following those mergers - Churchill Capital IV (CCIV) and Lucid Motors is the prime example of this. This was a trend of the EV sector in general from January through March, with leaders Tesla (TSLA) and NIO (NIO) shedding over one-third of their value.\nSPACs also mirror some of the exuberance in 2000 - stocks that had that dot-com in the name were able to raise substantial cash via IPOs without much of a proven operating record, and many failed. Many of the SPACs that have come public in the past year exhibit those same features - a high investor appetite, ability to raise necessary cash from such appetite, multi-billion dollar valuations, and minimal revenues. General IPOs are also red-hot, with hundreds of companies already joining the markets this year, as investor snap them up quickly.\nData byYCharts\nTech stocks that have performed poorly since that 'peak' from January through March include some of those recent IPOs like C3.ai (AI), Lemonade (LMND), Snowflake (SNOW), and others including Appian (APPN) and Fastly (FSLY); aside from Snowflake, which is down 20%, the rest have fallen over 40% from those highs as high P/S multiples reset. On the other hand, CrowdStrike (CRWD) and Zscaler (ZS) have managed to maintain such a high multiple with growing cybersecurity tailwinds, and have performed about flat over the same period. While the former six do still have strong, positive growth prospects, sustaining a high multiple is never guaranteed, and a reset that shocks the market shocks these stocks significantly, as seen in their performance.\nBut these peak valuations also spread to the blue-chips, and to FAANGM - Facebook (FB), Apple (AAPL), Amazon (AMZN), Netflix (NFLX), Google (GOOGL), and Microsoft (MSFT). This basket's PE valuations, on a weighted-by-market-cap basis, sat at 45x earnings in February, pushed higher by Amazon and Apple; at the moment, it sits just above 41.5x. This plays a role in exaggerating the overall S&P PE due to the heavy weighting the group has in the index, which is over 2 standard deviations above its average.\nGraphic fromCurrent Market Valuation\nAnd as a whole, valuations across the market are becoming more stretched, with each decile seeing its most extreme valuations on a PS basis, topping that of 2000. While high-beta, high-multiple stocks (primarily tech) in decline 10 have exceeded their 2000s level in a steep climb, decile 8 and 9 (likely more stable stocks given historical PS of 2x-4x) have seen that ratio double since 2011, with a surge in 2020 taking the deciles far past averages. While the exact components that make up each decile are unknown, are the drivers in place to solidify such a rapid expansion since 2019? For some stocks, possibly, but for others, it's not as likely. It could be down to a combination of high levels of bullishness in the market, FOMO, stimulus and low rates allowing stocks to run higher even with less fundamental backing.\nGraphic fromBusiness Insider\nLow Interest Rates\nThe fourth factor here is low interest rates that begin to rise, which ultimately affect the flow/flood of money into the markets, of which the Fed has supported since 2020. Some experts are seeing that equities in general are exhibiting signs of peak valuations and irrational exuberance, but that can be sustained as long as 'stimulus' in the form of Fed support remains.\nWhen interest rates are kept lower for an extended period, it increases the chances of bubbles being formed in different asset classes. Thus, one of the biggest risks becomes inflation, the risk that the market is currently digesting.\nGraphic fromJP Morgan\nAlthough rates are still low as of right now, the Fed has been facing some different viewpoints as to when it will need to start raising rates to combat inflation. Some see rates as early asnext year,others see it remaining in 2023. A rise in interest rates can spark a crash by removing excess liquidity from the markets (removing the ease of access to liquidity). The Fed has reiterated its belief that inflation is stilltransitory, but a quarter-long spell of higher-than-expected inflation data (just like what has occurred this week with the CPI and PPI rising ahead of expectations), could definitely force a rethinking of rate hikes and shake the market.\nIs It Time To Prepare?\nSigns and signals of bubbly conditions are still here, and preparedness for the possible outcomes and securing a portfolio against those outcomes is a smart idea. All it takes is one catalyst to knock equities back from high valuations and back to lower levels; sings in bonds and the dollar are starting to show rising expectations of tapering and the eventual end of Fed asset-buying and support. While there are numerous experts warning of a crash, it can be nearly impossible to time, and while evidence many of them provide is sound, such claims ofx%drops inxmonth are speculative in nature, unless that individual knows something unknown to the rest of the market.\nWhen facing a potential bubble or crash situation, hedging portfolios is key in minimizing losses and mitigating downside risk. Derivatives on index ETFs like SPY and DIA could offset potential selloffs in the market, while theQQQcan protect against losses in high-flying tech. For example, a quick case study for an SPY put play for Sept. 17: you assume an expectation for a 10% decline in the SPY to ~$390, and hedging your portfolio could come through a long put for ~$300, a $410/$390/$370 long butterfly for ~$100, or a $410/$390 put debit spread for ~$200. While the first trade has the highest return potential, it brings the highest risk, as the latter two strategies can start to profit on moves closer to -7%. For a $50,000 portfolio, a ~1% hedge could allow the purchase of 3 debit spreads, providing a maximum return of ~$6,000, or 12% of the portfolio value, which could effectively mitigate losses should the SPY fall to or below $390.Note that options strategies are inherently risky, and each investor's risk appetite is different, and such a strategy may not be suitable for everyone. This is merely a case study and shows the potential that a small percentage hedge can have in mitigating downside risk. Be aware of risks to timing and theta decay, and options becoming worthless.\nAgain, it's difficult to identify and even more difficult to time a bubble, given that the market can remain 'wrong' much longer than you can wait to be right. There's still room to run further with Fed support, but such signs of a potential bubble - excessive speculation, growth slowdown, peak valuations, and low interest rates rising - require awareness and preparedness. Yet it's nothing to fear. Small hedges can minimize downside risk, especially through options if timed well. Understanding the risks to high-flying growth stocks and those trading at or near peak valuations, regardless of sector, is important - many of the IPOs and SPACs have seen high valuations and minimal revenues, leading to exorbitant PS multiples pricing in years of growth, much like 2000. At the end of the day, if or when a crash happens, the opportunities to buy the 'best-of-the-best' companies at very attractive levels, and can provide generous returns.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":141,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":899035251,"gmtCreate":1628141302973,"gmtModify":1703501994937,"author":{"id":"4087548754587790","authorId":"4087548754587790","name":"Kmyong","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/285b1727eda76b0888c32eb184268abf","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087548754587790","authorIdStr":"4087548754587790"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Continue to hold or buy??","listText":"Continue to hold or buy??","text":"Continue to hold or buy??","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/899035251","repostId":"1158747638","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1158747638","pubTimestamp":1628130472,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1158747638?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-08-05 10:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is Apple Stock A Buy Or Sell After Recently Announced Earnings?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1158747638","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nIn last week's earnings release, Apple posted record-setting June quarter results, with tot","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>In last week's earnings release, Apple posted record-setting June quarter results, with total net sales of $81.4 billion, up 36% year-over-year.</li>\n <li>Yet, warnings about supply chain constraints and service revenues returning to more typical levels took its share price by surprise, with a same day drop of as much as 3%.</li>\n <li>However, the headwinds are expected to be temporary with no significant impacts to Apple's long-term growth prospects and valuation.</li>\n <li>Apple is expected to keep delivering unprecedented growth, underpinned by continued global demand for its products and services in the long run. And the recent price pullback makes a great buy opportunity for those looking to participate in the company's long-term gains.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c6ec3289e9b74b1c20fa47308bcbb20\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1063\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Justin Sullivan/Getty Images News</span></p>\n<p>Just a week ago, Apple (Nasdaq:AAPL) reported record-setting June quarter results that had crushed market expectations. The Cupertino-based tech giant recorded largest quarterly revenues ever of $81.4 billion, which were up 36% from the prior year and outperformed the average Wall Street forecast of $72.9 billion and our&nbsp;previous coverage&nbsp;projections of $76.5 billion by nearly $10 billion.</p>\n<p>The company also saw robust double-digit growth across the board from products and services to every geographic segment, with the installed base of devices and paid service subscriptions reaching an all-time high; the stellar results were also indicative of increased market penetration with the largest double-digit growth recorded for switchers and upgraders ever for a June-quarter, marking another record-breaking milestone in the books this quarter and continued dominance across all markets for Apple.</p>\n<p>Yet, Apple’s shares slipped as much as 3% following the earnings call and continues to be down close to 1% since July 27th. The stock also has not fared well amongst its FAANG counterparts in recent weeks from the stock sell-off triggered by fear that the latest resurgence of the coronavirus’ delta variant could erode economic growth.</p>\n<p>The contradicting movement in Apple’s share price compared to its stellar June quarter financial results allegedly stemmed from management’s warning of decelerated growth for the upcoming September quarter as lingering supply chain constraints are expected to place an adverse impact on product sales, especially on the revenue-leading iPhone and iPad categories; other headwinds also include weaker FX gains and anticipated slowed growth in the services category as demand returns to pre-pandemic levels following above-normal June quarter results.</p>\n<p>However, we consider anticipated headwinds as only short-term impacts that will not result in permanent losses for the company. The Apple stock remains primed for further upside considering the rising global demand for its products and services. Despite the supply crunch and decelerated growth anticipated for the upcoming September quarter, our outlook remains bullish on Apple with upside of more than 15% based on the last traded share price of $145.52 on August 2nd. With Apple’s stock price still down 0.85% from its earnings call on July 27thand down close to 3% from its mid-July peak, we consider the recent price pullback an advantage slated for long-term gains.</p>\n<p><b>Strength in Overcoming Lost Sales from Supply Constraints</b></p>\n<p>One of the key drivers for slowed growth anticipated for the September quarter is the ongoing chip supply shortage, which had previously caused more pervasive impact to the automotive industry but has now trickled down to consumer electronics. And Apple, who has its proprietary chips made by the world’s largest contract chip manufacturer, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (NYSE:TSMor “TSMC”), has not been spared from impact, with management warning of a supply constraint for the legacy semiconductor nodes used in the display and audio functions of its best-selling products, which is expected to drive lower sales in the near term.</p>\n<p>TSMC has also warned the chip shortage will likely continue into the&nbsp;following year, which is consistent with the timeline issued across all impacted industries. Although management has not provided a quantified range for the anticipated impact on the September quarter’s results, it is expected to be far more severe than what was experienced in the June quarter, which was on the low end of the $3 billion and $4 billion range estimate provided in April.</p>\n<p>However, the continued acceleration in global demand for iPhones and iPads is expected to more than compensate for the upcoming loss of revenues in later periods as “deferred” sales when raw material supplies return, and pending demand is fulfilled. To date, 97% of customers who have purchased from the iPhone 12 family have indicated appreciation for the enhanced 5G speeds, alongside improved chip technology and camera quality.</p>\n<p>The product category has also seen strong upgrade and switch rates in recent months as users continue their transition from legacy iPhones and other smartphones to the latest and greatest 5G-enabled iPhone. Considering 5G technology is still in early stages of adoption with low penetration rate, there is still significant additional growth opportunities available for the current and future 5G-enabled iPhone models.</p>\n<p>Global demand for 5G-enabled devices is expected to grow at a&nbsp;compounded annual growth rate (“CAGR”) of 38% into 2026, which further corroborates the expectation that potential lost sales from the ongoing supply shortage will not be permanent as demand for iPhones will continue to persist at high levels and make-whole lost sales in later periods when chip supplies return. A similar trend is expected for iPad demands in the long run, as it has proven itself during the pandemic to be a versatile and affordable tool to support creativity and social connection.</p>\n<p>The production and sales bottleneck caused by the ongoing global chip supply shortage will only be a temporary pause to Apple’s iPhone and iPad hot streak, which is expected to resume in strength when the supply chain finds alleviation to its current crunch sometime next year. And when this happens, we should be expecting above-normal sales levels underpinned by robust demand, similar to those observed in the June quarter.</p>\n<p><b>Outperforming Competition in the Services Segment with Innovation</b></p>\n<p>Although the above-normal growth in the services business segment observed during the June quarter is expected to revert to more moderated historical levels going forward, Apple has continued to be diligent in rolling out “innovative new features and programming” to increase reach and maintain market dominance in the increasingly competitive landscape.</p>\n<p>Apple’s services business segment – which includes iCloud, Apple TV+, App Store, Apple Music, Apple Podcasts, advertising, payment and other service offerings – currently competes head-on with other prominent service providers like Spotify (NYSE:SPOT), Netflix (Nasdaq:NFLX), Amazon.com (Nasdaq:AMZN),Google(Nasdaq:GOOG) (GOOGL) and&nbsp;Facebook(Nasdaq:FB). In order to maintain its established reputation for innovative technology and grow its loyal fanbase, Apple has recently introduced several new upgrades to existing service offerings at its most recent Worldwide Developers Conference (“WWDC”).</p>\n<p>The new exciting features include&nbsp;Spatial Audio and Lossless Audio&nbsp;for Apple Music, which enables an “immersive” listening experience and provides access to the studio quality of original audio files at no additional cost – a competitive advantage to audio streaming leader Spotify’s “HiFi” equivalent, which will likely come at a higher price tag upon launch. And for Apple TV+ – Apple’s gateway to the fast-growing&nbsp;video-streaming&nbsp;market – the company has continued to produce quality programming, which is proven through the&nbsp;35 Emmy Nominations&nbsp;that it has received this year.</p>\n<p>A new generation of the&nbsp;Apple TV, which includes a Siri-enabled remote and enhanced colour balance technology, has also been unveiled to complement its improved programming, which is expected to further enhance customer traction for the segment. The tech giant has also rebranded its iCloud service to&nbsp;iCloud+, with additional upgrades including enhanced privacy features and expanded HomeKit Secure Video support to accompany its suite of smart home devices at no additional costs.</p>\n<p>Other recently launched and enhanced services include Apple Podcast subscriptions, Apple News+ and Apple Fitness+, which could be bundled through Apple One at a discounted subscription rate. The Apple One bundle, which was launched in Q2, has already seen incredible success with increasing adoption rates that continue to drive overall growth within the services business segment.</p>\n<p><b>Overall Financial Prospects</b></p>\n<p>Considering the above analysis on Apple’s current operating environment, the recent headwinds that will drive decelerated growth during the September quarter are expected to be temporary and will be overcome with ease in the long run. Our base case forecast projects total net sales of $85.6 billion for the September quarter, representing 32% year-over-year growth, which is consistent with management’s expectations for strong double-digit year-over-year growth that will be slightly lower than the 36% reported for the June quarter.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/347e1ee20881f92c4563eeeaa5b1963c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"232\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal financial forecasts (Apple_-_Forecasted_Financial_Information.pdf).</span></p>\n<p>Our projected total net sales for the September quarter consist of $67.6 billion in product sales, up 35% from the prior year, and $18.0 billion in service sales, up 24% from the prior year. Altogether, our base case forecast projects total net sales of $368.1 billion for FY 2021, which represents year-over-year growth of 34%. The company’s net sales are expected to maintain accelerated growth at a CAGR of 8% towards $534.4 billion by FY 2026 due to increasing adoption and integration of technology and digital media into both professional and personal aspects of day-to-day routines.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/179a3a17abb5e6e4e0cb20196095a5eb\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"200\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal financial forecasts.</span></p>\n<p>Gross profit margins are projected at 41.7% for the September quarter, which is consistent with management’s guidance of approximately 41.5% to 42.5% considering the higher freight costs expected for this quarter, offset by an overall decline in component supply costs as product sales continue to scale.</p>\n<p>Total operating expenses are projected at $11.4 billion for the fiscal year’s fourth quarter, which consists of $6.0 billion related to research and development efforts, and $5.4 billion related to selling, general and administrative expenses; this is consistent with Apple’s cost structure observed in recent periods, and in line with the estimated range of $11.3 billion and $11.5 billion provided in management’s guidance.</p>\n<p>As a result, our base case forecast projects total cost of sales of $214.5 billion, and total operating expenses of $43.9 billion for FY 2021. And a similar cost structure is expected to apply into FY 2026 to support Apple’s continued growth in its products and services categories, as well as across all geographic segments in which it currently operates in.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/631897e055a326e11a137bad234bd0c9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"200\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal financial forecasts.</span></p>\n<p>Altogether, our base case forecast projects FY 2021 net income of $94.8 billion, which represents year-over-year growth of 65%. The bottom line is forecasted for further growth at a CAGR of 7% into the next five years, resulting in projected net income of $132.5 billion by 2026.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ce4ffc957a33598110dd5c193b77e637\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"198\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal financial forecasts.</span></p>\n<p><i>i. Base Case Financial Projections:</i></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3ce3157a7c707f88fa9542c0253d7e4a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"306\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal financial forecasts.</span></p>\n<p><b>AAPL Stock Valuation</b></p>\n<p>Our revised price target for Apple based on updated information from its recent earnings release is $170.91. This represents upside potential of 17.4% based on the last traded share price of $145.52 on August 2nd.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d398b8df89c54ecc26709392246469b0\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"210\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.</span></p>\n<p>To arrive at the $170.91 price target, we have applied a WACC of 8% to discount Apple’s projected free cash flows over a five-year discrete period; the WACC is consistent with Apple’s current risk profile and capital structure, which includes its latest&nbsp;four-part debt offering&nbsp;to&nbsp;taling $6.5 billion. Our valuation analysis also assumes a 19.7x EV/EBITDA multiple, which is in line with guideline public companies and precedent transactions within Apple’s industry peer group, and is reflective of current market expectations for Apple’s business growth potential in the long run.</p>\n<p><i>i. Base Case Valuation Analysis:</i></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b30bd02b3ef44a0cc3e7fef6501235c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"308\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.</span></p>\n<p>In order to validate our foregoing analysis that the adverse impacts to sales resulting from supply constraints, moderated services segment revenues and less favourable FX are only temporary and will not materially change Apple’s upside potential, we have also performed a sensitivity analysis to quantify the impact to FY 2021 revenues needed to decrease our base case price target of $170.91 by 10%.</p>\n<p>Based on our sensitivity analysis, FY 2021 revenues of $301.5 billion with growth at a CAGR of 10% into 2026, while holding all other valuation assumptions (i.e. cost structure, WACC, EV/EBITDA multiple) discussed above constant, would result in a price target of $153.82, which is 10% lower than our base case price target of $170.91.</p>\n<p>Considering year-to-date total net sales of $282.5 billion, Apple would only need to achieve total net sales of $19.0 billion for the September quarter to maintain a projected equity value of $2.5 trillion or $153.82 per share, which is highly unlikely even under supply constraint pressures and reduced services segment sales based on the company’s current growth trajectory. As such, we do not consider the near-term impacts related to supply constraints, moderated services segment revenues, and unfavourable FX a catalyst for permanent loss to Apple’s valuation.</p>\n<p><i>i. Revenue Sensitivity Analysis:</i></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/30976c090450f0576826720e5a1ab19a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"354\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.</span></p>\n<p><b>Conclusion - Is AAPL Stock A Good Buy?</b></p>\n<p>Considering Apple’s growth prospects, the recent price pullback makes a great buy opportunity for those looking to participate in the company’s long-term gains. The near-term headwinds related to industry-wide supply constraints and normalized services segment revenues are not expected to materially change Apple’s growth trajectory nor valuation in the long run.</p>\n<p>Any lost revenues in the September quarter will very likely be recouped when the supply chain restores its balance, considering the continued surge in demand for iPhones and iPads underpinned by ongoing 5G transition and the increasing need for versatile portable smart devices to enable online access at all times. As a global industry leader with successes achieved to date that very few could match, Apple is poised for further upside realization in the long run.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is Apple Stock A Buy Or Sell After Recently Announced Earnings?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs Apple Stock A Buy Or Sell After Recently Announced Earnings?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-05 10:27 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4444713-apple-stock-buy-sell-recent-earnings><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nIn last week's earnings release, Apple posted record-setting June quarter results, with total net sales of $81.4 billion, up 36% year-over-year.\nYet, warnings about supply chain constraints ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4444713-apple-stock-buy-sell-recent-earnings\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4444713-apple-stock-buy-sell-recent-earnings","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1158747638","content_text":"Summary\n\nIn last week's earnings release, Apple posted record-setting June quarter results, with total net sales of $81.4 billion, up 36% year-over-year.\nYet, warnings about supply chain constraints and service revenues returning to more typical levels took its share price by surprise, with a same day drop of as much as 3%.\nHowever, the headwinds are expected to be temporary with no significant impacts to Apple's long-term growth prospects and valuation.\nApple is expected to keep delivering unprecedented growth, underpinned by continued global demand for its products and services in the long run. And the recent price pullback makes a great buy opportunity for those looking to participate in the company's long-term gains.\n\nJustin Sullivan/Getty Images News\nJust a week ago, Apple (Nasdaq:AAPL) reported record-setting June quarter results that had crushed market expectations. The Cupertino-based tech giant recorded largest quarterly revenues ever of $81.4 billion, which were up 36% from the prior year and outperformed the average Wall Street forecast of $72.9 billion and our previous coverage projections of $76.5 billion by nearly $10 billion.\nThe company also saw robust double-digit growth across the board from products and services to every geographic segment, with the installed base of devices and paid service subscriptions reaching an all-time high; the stellar results were also indicative of increased market penetration with the largest double-digit growth recorded for switchers and upgraders ever for a June-quarter, marking another record-breaking milestone in the books this quarter and continued dominance across all markets for Apple.\nYet, Apple’s shares slipped as much as 3% following the earnings call and continues to be down close to 1% since July 27th. The stock also has not fared well amongst its FAANG counterparts in recent weeks from the stock sell-off triggered by fear that the latest resurgence of the coronavirus’ delta variant could erode economic growth.\nThe contradicting movement in Apple’s share price compared to its stellar June quarter financial results allegedly stemmed from management’s warning of decelerated growth for the upcoming September quarter as lingering supply chain constraints are expected to place an adverse impact on product sales, especially on the revenue-leading iPhone and iPad categories; other headwinds also include weaker FX gains and anticipated slowed growth in the services category as demand returns to pre-pandemic levels following above-normal June quarter results.\nHowever, we consider anticipated headwinds as only short-term impacts that will not result in permanent losses for the company. The Apple stock remains primed for further upside considering the rising global demand for its products and services. Despite the supply crunch and decelerated growth anticipated for the upcoming September quarter, our outlook remains bullish on Apple with upside of more than 15% based on the last traded share price of $145.52 on August 2nd. With Apple’s stock price still down 0.85% from its earnings call on July 27thand down close to 3% from its mid-July peak, we consider the recent price pullback an advantage slated for long-term gains.\nStrength in Overcoming Lost Sales from Supply Constraints\nOne of the key drivers for slowed growth anticipated for the September quarter is the ongoing chip supply shortage, which had previously caused more pervasive impact to the automotive industry but has now trickled down to consumer electronics. And Apple, who has its proprietary chips made by the world’s largest contract chip manufacturer, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (NYSE:TSMor “TSMC”), has not been spared from impact, with management warning of a supply constraint for the legacy semiconductor nodes used in the display and audio functions of its best-selling products, which is expected to drive lower sales in the near term.\nTSMC has also warned the chip shortage will likely continue into the following year, which is consistent with the timeline issued across all impacted industries. Although management has not provided a quantified range for the anticipated impact on the September quarter’s results, it is expected to be far more severe than what was experienced in the June quarter, which was on the low end of the $3 billion and $4 billion range estimate provided in April.\nHowever, the continued acceleration in global demand for iPhones and iPads is expected to more than compensate for the upcoming loss of revenues in later periods as “deferred” sales when raw material supplies return, and pending demand is fulfilled. To date, 97% of customers who have purchased from the iPhone 12 family have indicated appreciation for the enhanced 5G speeds, alongside improved chip technology and camera quality.\nThe product category has also seen strong upgrade and switch rates in recent months as users continue their transition from legacy iPhones and other smartphones to the latest and greatest 5G-enabled iPhone. Considering 5G technology is still in early stages of adoption with low penetration rate, there is still significant additional growth opportunities available for the current and future 5G-enabled iPhone models.\nGlobal demand for 5G-enabled devices is expected to grow at a compounded annual growth rate (“CAGR”) of 38% into 2026, which further corroborates the expectation that potential lost sales from the ongoing supply shortage will not be permanent as demand for iPhones will continue to persist at high levels and make-whole lost sales in later periods when chip supplies return. A similar trend is expected for iPad demands in the long run, as it has proven itself during the pandemic to be a versatile and affordable tool to support creativity and social connection.\nThe production and sales bottleneck caused by the ongoing global chip supply shortage will only be a temporary pause to Apple’s iPhone and iPad hot streak, which is expected to resume in strength when the supply chain finds alleviation to its current crunch sometime next year. And when this happens, we should be expecting above-normal sales levels underpinned by robust demand, similar to those observed in the June quarter.\nOutperforming Competition in the Services Segment with Innovation\nAlthough the above-normal growth in the services business segment observed during the June quarter is expected to revert to more moderated historical levels going forward, Apple has continued to be diligent in rolling out “innovative new features and programming” to increase reach and maintain market dominance in the increasingly competitive landscape.\nApple’s services business segment – which includes iCloud, Apple TV+, App Store, Apple Music, Apple Podcasts, advertising, payment and other service offerings – currently competes head-on with other prominent service providers like Spotify (NYSE:SPOT), Netflix (Nasdaq:NFLX), Amazon.com (Nasdaq:AMZN),Google(Nasdaq:GOOG) (GOOGL) and Facebook(Nasdaq:FB). In order to maintain its established reputation for innovative technology and grow its loyal fanbase, Apple has recently introduced several new upgrades to existing service offerings at its most recent Worldwide Developers Conference (“WWDC”).\nThe new exciting features include Spatial Audio and Lossless Audio for Apple Music, which enables an “immersive” listening experience and provides access to the studio quality of original audio files at no additional cost – a competitive advantage to audio streaming leader Spotify’s “HiFi” equivalent, which will likely come at a higher price tag upon launch. And for Apple TV+ – Apple’s gateway to the fast-growing video-streaming market – the company has continued to produce quality programming, which is proven through the 35 Emmy Nominations that it has received this year.\nA new generation of the Apple TV, which includes a Siri-enabled remote and enhanced colour balance technology, has also been unveiled to complement its improved programming, which is expected to further enhance customer traction for the segment. The tech giant has also rebranded its iCloud service to iCloud+, with additional upgrades including enhanced privacy features and expanded HomeKit Secure Video support to accompany its suite of smart home devices at no additional costs.\nOther recently launched and enhanced services include Apple Podcast subscriptions, Apple News+ and Apple Fitness+, which could be bundled through Apple One at a discounted subscription rate. The Apple One bundle, which was launched in Q2, has already seen incredible success with increasing adoption rates that continue to drive overall growth within the services business segment.\nOverall Financial Prospects\nConsidering the above analysis on Apple’s current operating environment, the recent headwinds that will drive decelerated growth during the September quarter are expected to be temporary and will be overcome with ease in the long run. Our base case forecast projects total net sales of $85.6 billion for the September quarter, representing 32% year-over-year growth, which is consistent with management’s expectations for strong double-digit year-over-year growth that will be slightly lower than the 36% reported for the June quarter.\nSource: Author, with data from our internal financial forecasts (Apple_-_Forecasted_Financial_Information.pdf).\nOur projected total net sales for the September quarter consist of $67.6 billion in product sales, up 35% from the prior year, and $18.0 billion in service sales, up 24% from the prior year. Altogether, our base case forecast projects total net sales of $368.1 billion for FY 2021, which represents year-over-year growth of 34%. The company’s net sales are expected to maintain accelerated growth at a CAGR of 8% towards $534.4 billion by FY 2026 due to increasing adoption and integration of technology and digital media into both professional and personal aspects of day-to-day routines.\nSource: Author, with data from our internal financial forecasts.\nGross profit margins are projected at 41.7% for the September quarter, which is consistent with management’s guidance of approximately 41.5% to 42.5% considering the higher freight costs expected for this quarter, offset by an overall decline in component supply costs as product sales continue to scale.\nTotal operating expenses are projected at $11.4 billion for the fiscal year’s fourth quarter, which consists of $6.0 billion related to research and development efforts, and $5.4 billion related to selling, general and administrative expenses; this is consistent with Apple’s cost structure observed in recent periods, and in line with the estimated range of $11.3 billion and $11.5 billion provided in management’s guidance.\nAs a result, our base case forecast projects total cost of sales of $214.5 billion, and total operating expenses of $43.9 billion for FY 2021. And a similar cost structure is expected to apply into FY 2026 to support Apple’s continued growth in its products and services categories, as well as across all geographic segments in which it currently operates in.\nSource: Author, with data from our internal financial forecasts.\nAltogether, our base case forecast projects FY 2021 net income of $94.8 billion, which represents year-over-year growth of 65%. The bottom line is forecasted for further growth at a CAGR of 7% into the next five years, resulting in projected net income of $132.5 billion by 2026.\nSource: Author, with data from our internal financial forecasts.\ni. Base Case Financial Projections:\nSource: Author, with data from our internal financial forecasts.\nAAPL Stock Valuation\nOur revised price target for Apple based on updated information from its recent earnings release is $170.91. This represents upside potential of 17.4% based on the last traded share price of $145.52 on August 2nd.\nSource: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.\nTo arrive at the $170.91 price target, we have applied a WACC of 8% to discount Apple’s projected free cash flows over a five-year discrete period; the WACC is consistent with Apple’s current risk profile and capital structure, which includes its latest four-part debt offering to taling $6.5 billion. Our valuation analysis also assumes a 19.7x EV/EBITDA multiple, which is in line with guideline public companies and precedent transactions within Apple’s industry peer group, and is reflective of current market expectations for Apple’s business growth potential in the long run.\ni. Base Case Valuation Analysis:\nSource: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.\nIn order to validate our foregoing analysis that the adverse impacts to sales resulting from supply constraints, moderated services segment revenues and less favourable FX are only temporary and will not materially change Apple’s upside potential, we have also performed a sensitivity analysis to quantify the impact to FY 2021 revenues needed to decrease our base case price target of $170.91 by 10%.\nBased on our sensitivity analysis, FY 2021 revenues of $301.5 billion with growth at a CAGR of 10% into 2026, while holding all other valuation assumptions (i.e. cost structure, WACC, EV/EBITDA multiple) discussed above constant, would result in a price target of $153.82, which is 10% lower than our base case price target of $170.91.\nConsidering year-to-date total net sales of $282.5 billion, Apple would only need to achieve total net sales of $19.0 billion for the September quarter to maintain a projected equity value of $2.5 trillion or $153.82 per share, which is highly unlikely even under supply constraint pressures and reduced services segment sales based on the company’s current growth trajectory. As such, we do not consider the near-term impacts related to supply constraints, moderated services segment revenues, and unfavourable FX a catalyst for permanent loss to Apple’s valuation.\ni. Revenue Sensitivity Analysis:\nSource: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.\nConclusion - Is AAPL Stock A Good Buy?\nConsidering Apple’s growth prospects, the recent price pullback makes a great buy opportunity for those looking to participate in the company’s long-term gains. The near-term headwinds related to industry-wide supply constraints and normalized services segment revenues are not expected to materially change Apple’s growth trajectory nor valuation in the long run.\nAny lost revenues in the September quarter will very likely be recouped when the supply chain restores its balance, considering the continued surge in demand for iPhones and iPads underpinned by ongoing 5G transition and the increasing need for versatile portable smart devices to enable online access at all times. As a global industry leader with successes achieved to date that very few could match, Apple is poised for further upside realization in the long run.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":226,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":176285891,"gmtCreate":1626888503413,"gmtModify":1703480049697,"author":{"id":"4087548754587790","authorId":"4087548754587790","name":"Kmyong","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/285b1727eda76b0888c32eb184268abf","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087548754587790","authorIdStr":"4087548754587790"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yes!Good news","listText":"Yes!Good news","text":"Yes!Good news","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/176285891","repostId":"1160993283","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1160993283","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1626881542,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1160993283?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-21 23:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nio Exec Jumps Ship To Join GM's New Electric Delivery Van Unit","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1160993283","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Chinese startupNio, Inc.NIO 5.98%has evolved as a premium maker of electric vehicles focusing on design and technology. It has now emerged that $one$ of its senior talents has been poached by legacy automakerGeneral Motor CompanyGM 1.22%.The new executives joining BrightDrop are: Anthony Armenta, who will join as chief technology officer; Rachad Youssef, chief product officer; Shaluinn Fullove, chief people officer; and Steve Hornyak, chief revenue officer.Armenta, Youssef and Fullove will be ba","content":"<p>Chinese startup<b>Nio, Inc.</b>NIO 5.98%has evolved as a premium maker of electric vehicles focusing on design and technology. It has now emerged that <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of its senior talents has been poached by legacy automaker<b>General Motor Company</b>GM 1.22%.</p>\n<p><b>What Happened:</b>GMannounced Tuesday that it has added four new executives to the leadership team of its BrightDrop brand. The company launched BrightDrop as a new business in January to focus on the manufacturing of electric delivery vehicles.</p>\n<p>The new executives joining BrightDrop are: Anthony Armenta, who will join as chief technology officer;&nbsp;Rachad Youssef,&nbsp;chief product officer;&nbsp;Shaluinn Fullove, chief people officer; and Steve Hornyak, chief revenue officer.</p>\n<p>Armenta, Youssef and Fullove will be based in BrightDrop's San Francisco Bay Area offices, and Hornyak in Atlanta, the company said.</p>\n<p>Youssef was previously employed at Nio's advanced research and innovation center in Silicon Valley. His LinkedIn bio, which has&nbsp;yet to be updated with the new position, shows&nbsp;he has been with Nio since June 2016 as <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VP..UK\">VP</a>, software product management.</p>\n<p>Before his tenure at Nio, Youssef was employed at<b>Amazon, Inc.</b>AMZN 0.2%-owned autonomous vehicle companyZooxfor about a year-and-a-half.</p>\n<p><b>Why It's Important:</b>GM's appointment of new talent at BrightDrop signals a serious intent to make headway into the ecosystem of electric first-to-last-mile products, software and services to empower delivery and logistics companies.</p>\n<p>BrightDrop is scheduled to launch the EV600 van this year, and it has signed<b>FedEx Corporation</b>FDX 0.03%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EXPR\">Express</a> as its first customer.</p>\n<p>Nio shares were up 5.16% at $46.45 at last check Wednesday, while GM was up 1.05% at $56.74.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nio Exec Jumps Ship To Join GM's New Electric Delivery Van Unit</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNio Exec Jumps Ship To Join GM's New Electric Delivery Van Unit\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-07-21 23:32</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Chinese startup<b>Nio, Inc.</b>NIO 5.98%has evolved as a premium maker of electric vehicles focusing on design and technology. It has now emerged that <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of its senior talents has been poached by legacy automaker<b>General Motor Company</b>GM 1.22%.</p>\n<p><b>What Happened:</b>GMannounced Tuesday that it has added four new executives to the leadership team of its BrightDrop brand. The company launched BrightDrop as a new business in January to focus on the manufacturing of electric delivery vehicles.</p>\n<p>The new executives joining BrightDrop are: Anthony Armenta, who will join as chief technology officer;&nbsp;Rachad Youssef,&nbsp;chief product officer;&nbsp;Shaluinn Fullove, chief people officer; and Steve Hornyak, chief revenue officer.</p>\n<p>Armenta, Youssef and Fullove will be based in BrightDrop's San Francisco Bay Area offices, and Hornyak in Atlanta, the company said.</p>\n<p>Youssef was previously employed at Nio's advanced research and innovation center in Silicon Valley. His LinkedIn bio, which has&nbsp;yet to be updated with the new position, shows&nbsp;he has been with Nio since June 2016 as <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VP..UK\">VP</a>, software product management.</p>\n<p>Before his tenure at Nio, Youssef was employed at<b>Amazon, Inc.</b>AMZN 0.2%-owned autonomous vehicle companyZooxfor about a year-and-a-half.</p>\n<p><b>Why It's Important:</b>GM's appointment of new talent at BrightDrop signals a serious intent to make headway into the ecosystem of electric first-to-last-mile products, software and services to empower delivery and logistics companies.</p>\n<p>BrightDrop is scheduled to launch the EV600 van this year, and it has signed<b>FedEx Corporation</b>FDX 0.03%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EXPR\">Express</a> as its first customer.</p>\n<p>Nio shares were up 5.16% at $46.45 at last check Wednesday, while GM was up 1.05% at $56.74.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来","NGD":"New Gold"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1160993283","content_text":"Chinese startupNio, Inc.NIO 5.98%has evolved as a premium maker of electric vehicles focusing on design and technology. It has now emerged that one of its senior talents has been poached by legacy automakerGeneral Motor CompanyGM 1.22%.\nWhat Happened:GMannounced Tuesday that it has added four new executives to the leadership team of its BrightDrop brand. The company launched BrightDrop as a new business in January to focus on the manufacturing of electric delivery vehicles.\nThe new executives joining BrightDrop are: Anthony Armenta, who will join as chief technology officer; Rachad Youssef, chief product officer; Shaluinn Fullove, chief people officer; and Steve Hornyak, chief revenue officer.\nArmenta, Youssef and Fullove will be based in BrightDrop's San Francisco Bay Area offices, and Hornyak in Atlanta, the company said.\nYoussef was previously employed at Nio's advanced research and innovation center in Silicon Valley. His LinkedIn bio, which has yet to be updated with the new position, shows he has been with Nio since June 2016 as VP, software product management.\nBefore his tenure at Nio, Youssef was employed atAmazon, Inc.AMZN 0.2%-owned autonomous vehicle companyZooxfor about a year-and-a-half.\nWhy It's Important:GM's appointment of new talent at BrightDrop signals a serious intent to make headway into the ecosystem of electric first-to-last-mile products, software and services to empower delivery and logistics companies.\nBrightDrop is scheduled to launch the EV600 van this year, and it has signedFedEx CorporationFDX 0.03%Express as its first customer.\nNio shares were up 5.16% at $46.45 at last check Wednesday, while GM was up 1.05% at $56.74.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":124,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":899292477,"gmtCreate":1628190950399,"gmtModify":1703502834933,"author":{"id":"4087548754587790","authorId":"4087548754587790","name":"Kmyong","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/285b1727eda76b0888c32eb184268abf","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087548754587790","authorIdStr":"4087548754587790"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Chips chips chips!","listText":"Chips chips chips!","text":"Chips chips chips!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/899292477","repostId":"2157431025","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":328,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":899053023,"gmtCreate":1628145060062,"gmtModify":1703502058234,"author":{"id":"4087548754587790","authorId":"4087548754587790","name":"Kmyong","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/285b1727eda76b0888c32eb184268abf","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087548754587790","authorIdStr":"4087548754587790"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Buy buy buy","listText":"Buy buy buy","text":"Buy buy buy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/899053023","repostId":"1158747638","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1158747638","pubTimestamp":1628130472,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1158747638?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-08-05 10:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is Apple Stock A Buy Or Sell After Recently Announced Earnings?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1158747638","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nIn last week's earnings release, Apple posted record-setting June quarter results, with tot","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>In last week's earnings release, Apple posted record-setting June quarter results, with total net sales of $81.4 billion, up 36% year-over-year.</li>\n <li>Yet, warnings about supply chain constraints and service revenues returning to more typical levels took its share price by surprise, with a same day drop of as much as 3%.</li>\n <li>However, the headwinds are expected to be temporary with no significant impacts to Apple's long-term growth prospects and valuation.</li>\n <li>Apple is expected to keep delivering unprecedented growth, underpinned by continued global demand for its products and services in the long run. And the recent price pullback makes a great buy opportunity for those looking to participate in the company's long-term gains.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c6ec3289e9b74b1c20fa47308bcbb20\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1063\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Justin Sullivan/Getty Images News</span></p>\n<p>Just a week ago, Apple (Nasdaq:AAPL) reported record-setting June quarter results that had crushed market expectations. The Cupertino-based tech giant recorded largest quarterly revenues ever of $81.4 billion, which were up 36% from the prior year and outperformed the average Wall Street forecast of $72.9 billion and our&nbsp;previous coverage&nbsp;projections of $76.5 billion by nearly $10 billion.</p>\n<p>The company also saw robust double-digit growth across the board from products and services to every geographic segment, with the installed base of devices and paid service subscriptions reaching an all-time high; the stellar results were also indicative of increased market penetration with the largest double-digit growth recorded for switchers and upgraders ever for a June-quarter, marking another record-breaking milestone in the books this quarter and continued dominance across all markets for Apple.</p>\n<p>Yet, Apple’s shares slipped as much as 3% following the earnings call and continues to be down close to 1% since July 27th. The stock also has not fared well amongst its FAANG counterparts in recent weeks from the stock sell-off triggered by fear that the latest resurgence of the coronavirus’ delta variant could erode economic growth.</p>\n<p>The contradicting movement in Apple’s share price compared to its stellar June quarter financial results allegedly stemmed from management’s warning of decelerated growth for the upcoming September quarter as lingering supply chain constraints are expected to place an adverse impact on product sales, especially on the revenue-leading iPhone and iPad categories; other headwinds also include weaker FX gains and anticipated slowed growth in the services category as demand returns to pre-pandemic levels following above-normal June quarter results.</p>\n<p>However, we consider anticipated headwinds as only short-term impacts that will not result in permanent losses for the company. The Apple stock remains primed for further upside considering the rising global demand for its products and services. Despite the supply crunch and decelerated growth anticipated for the upcoming September quarter, our outlook remains bullish on Apple with upside of more than 15% based on the last traded share price of $145.52 on August 2nd. With Apple’s stock price still down 0.85% from its earnings call on July 27thand down close to 3% from its mid-July peak, we consider the recent price pullback an advantage slated for long-term gains.</p>\n<p><b>Strength in Overcoming Lost Sales from Supply Constraints</b></p>\n<p>One of the key drivers for slowed growth anticipated for the September quarter is the ongoing chip supply shortage, which had previously caused more pervasive impact to the automotive industry but has now trickled down to consumer electronics. And Apple, who has its proprietary chips made by the world’s largest contract chip manufacturer, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (NYSE:TSMor “TSMC”), has not been spared from impact, with management warning of a supply constraint for the legacy semiconductor nodes used in the display and audio functions of its best-selling products, which is expected to drive lower sales in the near term.</p>\n<p>TSMC has also warned the chip shortage will likely continue into the&nbsp;following year, which is consistent with the timeline issued across all impacted industries. Although management has not provided a quantified range for the anticipated impact on the September quarter’s results, it is expected to be far more severe than what was experienced in the June quarter, which was on the low end of the $3 billion and $4 billion range estimate provided in April.</p>\n<p>However, the continued acceleration in global demand for iPhones and iPads is expected to more than compensate for the upcoming loss of revenues in later periods as “deferred” sales when raw material supplies return, and pending demand is fulfilled. To date, 97% of customers who have purchased from the iPhone 12 family have indicated appreciation for the enhanced 5G speeds, alongside improved chip technology and camera quality.</p>\n<p>The product category has also seen strong upgrade and switch rates in recent months as users continue their transition from legacy iPhones and other smartphones to the latest and greatest 5G-enabled iPhone. Considering 5G technology is still in early stages of adoption with low penetration rate, there is still significant additional growth opportunities available for the current and future 5G-enabled iPhone models.</p>\n<p>Global demand for 5G-enabled devices is expected to grow at a&nbsp;compounded annual growth rate (“CAGR”) of 38% into 2026, which further corroborates the expectation that potential lost sales from the ongoing supply shortage will not be permanent as demand for iPhones will continue to persist at high levels and make-whole lost sales in later periods when chip supplies return. A similar trend is expected for iPad demands in the long run, as it has proven itself during the pandemic to be a versatile and affordable tool to support creativity and social connection.</p>\n<p>The production and sales bottleneck caused by the ongoing global chip supply shortage will only be a temporary pause to Apple’s iPhone and iPad hot streak, which is expected to resume in strength when the supply chain finds alleviation to its current crunch sometime next year. And when this happens, we should be expecting above-normal sales levels underpinned by robust demand, similar to those observed in the June quarter.</p>\n<p><b>Outperforming Competition in the Services Segment with Innovation</b></p>\n<p>Although the above-normal growth in the services business segment observed during the June quarter is expected to revert to more moderated historical levels going forward, Apple has continued to be diligent in rolling out “innovative new features and programming” to increase reach and maintain market dominance in the increasingly competitive landscape.</p>\n<p>Apple’s services business segment – which includes iCloud, Apple TV+, App Store, Apple Music, Apple Podcasts, advertising, payment and other service offerings – currently competes head-on with other prominent service providers like Spotify (NYSE:SPOT), Netflix (Nasdaq:NFLX), Amazon.com (Nasdaq:AMZN),Google(Nasdaq:GOOG) (GOOGL) and&nbsp;Facebook(Nasdaq:FB). In order to maintain its established reputation for innovative technology and grow its loyal fanbase, Apple has recently introduced several new upgrades to existing service offerings at its most recent Worldwide Developers Conference (“WWDC”).</p>\n<p>The new exciting features include&nbsp;Spatial Audio and Lossless Audio&nbsp;for Apple Music, which enables an “immersive” listening experience and provides access to the studio quality of original audio files at no additional cost – a competitive advantage to audio streaming leader Spotify’s “HiFi” equivalent, which will likely come at a higher price tag upon launch. And for Apple TV+ – Apple’s gateway to the fast-growing&nbsp;video-streaming&nbsp;market – the company has continued to produce quality programming, which is proven through the&nbsp;35 Emmy Nominations&nbsp;that it has received this year.</p>\n<p>A new generation of the&nbsp;Apple TV, which includes a Siri-enabled remote and enhanced colour balance technology, has also been unveiled to complement its improved programming, which is expected to further enhance customer traction for the segment. The tech giant has also rebranded its iCloud service to&nbsp;iCloud+, with additional upgrades including enhanced privacy features and expanded HomeKit Secure Video support to accompany its suite of smart home devices at no additional costs.</p>\n<p>Other recently launched and enhanced services include Apple Podcast subscriptions, Apple News+ and Apple Fitness+, which could be bundled through Apple One at a discounted subscription rate. The Apple One bundle, which was launched in Q2, has already seen incredible success with increasing adoption rates that continue to drive overall growth within the services business segment.</p>\n<p><b>Overall Financial Prospects</b></p>\n<p>Considering the above analysis on Apple’s current operating environment, the recent headwinds that will drive decelerated growth during the September quarter are expected to be temporary and will be overcome with ease in the long run. Our base case forecast projects total net sales of $85.6 billion for the September quarter, representing 32% year-over-year growth, which is consistent with management’s expectations for strong double-digit year-over-year growth that will be slightly lower than the 36% reported for the June quarter.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/347e1ee20881f92c4563eeeaa5b1963c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"232\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal financial forecasts (Apple_-_Forecasted_Financial_Information.pdf).</span></p>\n<p>Our projected total net sales for the September quarter consist of $67.6 billion in product sales, up 35% from the prior year, and $18.0 billion in service sales, up 24% from the prior year. Altogether, our base case forecast projects total net sales of $368.1 billion for FY 2021, which represents year-over-year growth of 34%. The company’s net sales are expected to maintain accelerated growth at a CAGR of 8% towards $534.4 billion by FY 2026 due to increasing adoption and integration of technology and digital media into both professional and personal aspects of day-to-day routines.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/179a3a17abb5e6e4e0cb20196095a5eb\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"200\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal financial forecasts.</span></p>\n<p>Gross profit margins are projected at 41.7% for the September quarter, which is consistent with management’s guidance of approximately 41.5% to 42.5% considering the higher freight costs expected for this quarter, offset by an overall decline in component supply costs as product sales continue to scale.</p>\n<p>Total operating expenses are projected at $11.4 billion for the fiscal year’s fourth quarter, which consists of $6.0 billion related to research and development efforts, and $5.4 billion related to selling, general and administrative expenses; this is consistent with Apple’s cost structure observed in recent periods, and in line with the estimated range of $11.3 billion and $11.5 billion provided in management’s guidance.</p>\n<p>As a result, our base case forecast projects total cost of sales of $214.5 billion, and total operating expenses of $43.9 billion for FY 2021. And a similar cost structure is expected to apply into FY 2026 to support Apple’s continued growth in its products and services categories, as well as across all geographic segments in which it currently operates in.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/631897e055a326e11a137bad234bd0c9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"200\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal financial forecasts.</span></p>\n<p>Altogether, our base case forecast projects FY 2021 net income of $94.8 billion, which represents year-over-year growth of 65%. The bottom line is forecasted for further growth at a CAGR of 7% into the next five years, resulting in projected net income of $132.5 billion by 2026.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ce4ffc957a33598110dd5c193b77e637\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"198\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal financial forecasts.</span></p>\n<p><i>i. Base Case Financial Projections:</i></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3ce3157a7c707f88fa9542c0253d7e4a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"306\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal financial forecasts.</span></p>\n<p><b>AAPL Stock Valuation</b></p>\n<p>Our revised price target for Apple based on updated information from its recent earnings release is $170.91. This represents upside potential of 17.4% based on the last traded share price of $145.52 on August 2nd.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d398b8df89c54ecc26709392246469b0\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"210\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.</span></p>\n<p>To arrive at the $170.91 price target, we have applied a WACC of 8% to discount Apple’s projected free cash flows over a five-year discrete period; the WACC is consistent with Apple’s current risk profile and capital structure, which includes its latest&nbsp;four-part debt offering&nbsp;to&nbsp;taling $6.5 billion. Our valuation analysis also assumes a 19.7x EV/EBITDA multiple, which is in line with guideline public companies and precedent transactions within Apple’s industry peer group, and is reflective of current market expectations for Apple’s business growth potential in the long run.</p>\n<p><i>i. Base Case Valuation Analysis:</i></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b30bd02b3ef44a0cc3e7fef6501235c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"308\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.</span></p>\n<p>In order to validate our foregoing analysis that the adverse impacts to sales resulting from supply constraints, moderated services segment revenues and less favourable FX are only temporary and will not materially change Apple’s upside potential, we have also performed a sensitivity analysis to quantify the impact to FY 2021 revenues needed to decrease our base case price target of $170.91 by 10%.</p>\n<p>Based on our sensitivity analysis, FY 2021 revenues of $301.5 billion with growth at a CAGR of 10% into 2026, while holding all other valuation assumptions (i.e. cost structure, WACC, EV/EBITDA multiple) discussed above constant, would result in a price target of $153.82, which is 10% lower than our base case price target of $170.91.</p>\n<p>Considering year-to-date total net sales of $282.5 billion, Apple would only need to achieve total net sales of $19.0 billion for the September quarter to maintain a projected equity value of $2.5 trillion or $153.82 per share, which is highly unlikely even under supply constraint pressures and reduced services segment sales based on the company’s current growth trajectory. As such, we do not consider the near-term impacts related to supply constraints, moderated services segment revenues, and unfavourable FX a catalyst for permanent loss to Apple’s valuation.</p>\n<p><i>i. Revenue Sensitivity Analysis:</i></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/30976c090450f0576826720e5a1ab19a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"354\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.</span></p>\n<p><b>Conclusion - Is AAPL Stock A Good Buy?</b></p>\n<p>Considering Apple’s growth prospects, the recent price pullback makes a great buy opportunity for those looking to participate in the company’s long-term gains. The near-term headwinds related to industry-wide supply constraints and normalized services segment revenues are not expected to materially change Apple’s growth trajectory nor valuation in the long run.</p>\n<p>Any lost revenues in the September quarter will very likely be recouped when the supply chain restores its balance, considering the continued surge in demand for iPhones and iPads underpinned by ongoing 5G transition and the increasing need for versatile portable smart devices to enable online access at all times. As a global industry leader with successes achieved to date that very few could match, Apple is poised for further upside realization in the long run.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is Apple Stock A Buy Or Sell After Recently Announced Earnings?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs Apple Stock A Buy Or Sell After Recently Announced Earnings?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-05 10:27 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4444713-apple-stock-buy-sell-recent-earnings><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nIn last week's earnings release, Apple posted record-setting June quarter results, with total net sales of $81.4 billion, up 36% year-over-year.\nYet, warnings about supply chain constraints ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4444713-apple-stock-buy-sell-recent-earnings\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4444713-apple-stock-buy-sell-recent-earnings","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1158747638","content_text":"Summary\n\nIn last week's earnings release, Apple posted record-setting June quarter results, with total net sales of $81.4 billion, up 36% year-over-year.\nYet, warnings about supply chain constraints and service revenues returning to more typical levels took its share price by surprise, with a same day drop of as much as 3%.\nHowever, the headwinds are expected to be temporary with no significant impacts to Apple's long-term growth prospects and valuation.\nApple is expected to keep delivering unprecedented growth, underpinned by continued global demand for its products and services in the long run. And the recent price pullback makes a great buy opportunity for those looking to participate in the company's long-term gains.\n\nJustin Sullivan/Getty Images News\nJust a week ago, Apple (Nasdaq:AAPL) reported record-setting June quarter results that had crushed market expectations. The Cupertino-based tech giant recorded largest quarterly revenues ever of $81.4 billion, which were up 36% from the prior year and outperformed the average Wall Street forecast of $72.9 billion and our previous coverage projections of $76.5 billion by nearly $10 billion.\nThe company also saw robust double-digit growth across the board from products and services to every geographic segment, with the installed base of devices and paid service subscriptions reaching an all-time high; the stellar results were also indicative of increased market penetration with the largest double-digit growth recorded for switchers and upgraders ever for a June-quarter, marking another record-breaking milestone in the books this quarter and continued dominance across all markets for Apple.\nYet, Apple’s shares slipped as much as 3% following the earnings call and continues to be down close to 1% since July 27th. The stock also has not fared well amongst its FAANG counterparts in recent weeks from the stock sell-off triggered by fear that the latest resurgence of the coronavirus’ delta variant could erode economic growth.\nThe contradicting movement in Apple’s share price compared to its stellar June quarter financial results allegedly stemmed from management’s warning of decelerated growth for the upcoming September quarter as lingering supply chain constraints are expected to place an adverse impact on product sales, especially on the revenue-leading iPhone and iPad categories; other headwinds also include weaker FX gains and anticipated slowed growth in the services category as demand returns to pre-pandemic levels following above-normal June quarter results.\nHowever, we consider anticipated headwinds as only short-term impacts that will not result in permanent losses for the company. The Apple stock remains primed for further upside considering the rising global demand for its products and services. Despite the supply crunch and decelerated growth anticipated for the upcoming September quarter, our outlook remains bullish on Apple with upside of more than 15% based on the last traded share price of $145.52 on August 2nd. With Apple’s stock price still down 0.85% from its earnings call on July 27thand down close to 3% from its mid-July peak, we consider the recent price pullback an advantage slated for long-term gains.\nStrength in Overcoming Lost Sales from Supply Constraints\nOne of the key drivers for slowed growth anticipated for the September quarter is the ongoing chip supply shortage, which had previously caused more pervasive impact to the automotive industry but has now trickled down to consumer electronics. And Apple, who has its proprietary chips made by the world’s largest contract chip manufacturer, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (NYSE:TSMor “TSMC”), has not been spared from impact, with management warning of a supply constraint for the legacy semiconductor nodes used in the display and audio functions of its best-selling products, which is expected to drive lower sales in the near term.\nTSMC has also warned the chip shortage will likely continue into the following year, which is consistent with the timeline issued across all impacted industries. Although management has not provided a quantified range for the anticipated impact on the September quarter’s results, it is expected to be far more severe than what was experienced in the June quarter, which was on the low end of the $3 billion and $4 billion range estimate provided in April.\nHowever, the continued acceleration in global demand for iPhones and iPads is expected to more than compensate for the upcoming loss of revenues in later periods as “deferred” sales when raw material supplies return, and pending demand is fulfilled. To date, 97% of customers who have purchased from the iPhone 12 family have indicated appreciation for the enhanced 5G speeds, alongside improved chip technology and camera quality.\nThe product category has also seen strong upgrade and switch rates in recent months as users continue their transition from legacy iPhones and other smartphones to the latest and greatest 5G-enabled iPhone. Considering 5G technology is still in early stages of adoption with low penetration rate, there is still significant additional growth opportunities available for the current and future 5G-enabled iPhone models.\nGlobal demand for 5G-enabled devices is expected to grow at a compounded annual growth rate (“CAGR”) of 38% into 2026, which further corroborates the expectation that potential lost sales from the ongoing supply shortage will not be permanent as demand for iPhones will continue to persist at high levels and make-whole lost sales in later periods when chip supplies return. A similar trend is expected for iPad demands in the long run, as it has proven itself during the pandemic to be a versatile and affordable tool to support creativity and social connection.\nThe production and sales bottleneck caused by the ongoing global chip supply shortage will only be a temporary pause to Apple’s iPhone and iPad hot streak, which is expected to resume in strength when the supply chain finds alleviation to its current crunch sometime next year. And when this happens, we should be expecting above-normal sales levels underpinned by robust demand, similar to those observed in the June quarter.\nOutperforming Competition in the Services Segment with Innovation\nAlthough the above-normal growth in the services business segment observed during the June quarter is expected to revert to more moderated historical levels going forward, Apple has continued to be diligent in rolling out “innovative new features and programming” to increase reach and maintain market dominance in the increasingly competitive landscape.\nApple’s services business segment – which includes iCloud, Apple TV+, App Store, Apple Music, Apple Podcasts, advertising, payment and other service offerings – currently competes head-on with other prominent service providers like Spotify (NYSE:SPOT), Netflix (Nasdaq:NFLX), Amazon.com (Nasdaq:AMZN),Google(Nasdaq:GOOG) (GOOGL) and Facebook(Nasdaq:FB). In order to maintain its established reputation for innovative technology and grow its loyal fanbase, Apple has recently introduced several new upgrades to existing service offerings at its most recent Worldwide Developers Conference (“WWDC”).\nThe new exciting features include Spatial Audio and Lossless Audio for Apple Music, which enables an “immersive” listening experience and provides access to the studio quality of original audio files at no additional cost – a competitive advantage to audio streaming leader Spotify’s “HiFi” equivalent, which will likely come at a higher price tag upon launch. And for Apple TV+ – Apple’s gateway to the fast-growing video-streaming market – the company has continued to produce quality programming, which is proven through the 35 Emmy Nominations that it has received this year.\nA new generation of the Apple TV, which includes a Siri-enabled remote and enhanced colour balance technology, has also been unveiled to complement its improved programming, which is expected to further enhance customer traction for the segment. The tech giant has also rebranded its iCloud service to iCloud+, with additional upgrades including enhanced privacy features and expanded HomeKit Secure Video support to accompany its suite of smart home devices at no additional costs.\nOther recently launched and enhanced services include Apple Podcast subscriptions, Apple News+ and Apple Fitness+, which could be bundled through Apple One at a discounted subscription rate. The Apple One bundle, which was launched in Q2, has already seen incredible success with increasing adoption rates that continue to drive overall growth within the services business segment.\nOverall Financial Prospects\nConsidering the above analysis on Apple’s current operating environment, the recent headwinds that will drive decelerated growth during the September quarter are expected to be temporary and will be overcome with ease in the long run. Our base case forecast projects total net sales of $85.6 billion for the September quarter, representing 32% year-over-year growth, which is consistent with management’s expectations for strong double-digit year-over-year growth that will be slightly lower than the 36% reported for the June quarter.\nSource: Author, with data from our internal financial forecasts (Apple_-_Forecasted_Financial_Information.pdf).\nOur projected total net sales for the September quarter consist of $67.6 billion in product sales, up 35% from the prior year, and $18.0 billion in service sales, up 24% from the prior year. Altogether, our base case forecast projects total net sales of $368.1 billion for FY 2021, which represents year-over-year growth of 34%. The company’s net sales are expected to maintain accelerated growth at a CAGR of 8% towards $534.4 billion by FY 2026 due to increasing adoption and integration of technology and digital media into both professional and personal aspects of day-to-day routines.\nSource: Author, with data from our internal financial forecasts.\nGross profit margins are projected at 41.7% for the September quarter, which is consistent with management’s guidance of approximately 41.5% to 42.5% considering the higher freight costs expected for this quarter, offset by an overall decline in component supply costs as product sales continue to scale.\nTotal operating expenses are projected at $11.4 billion for the fiscal year’s fourth quarter, which consists of $6.0 billion related to research and development efforts, and $5.4 billion related to selling, general and administrative expenses; this is consistent with Apple’s cost structure observed in recent periods, and in line with the estimated range of $11.3 billion and $11.5 billion provided in management’s guidance.\nAs a result, our base case forecast projects total cost of sales of $214.5 billion, and total operating expenses of $43.9 billion for FY 2021. And a similar cost structure is expected to apply into FY 2026 to support Apple’s continued growth in its products and services categories, as well as across all geographic segments in which it currently operates in.\nSource: Author, with data from our internal financial forecasts.\nAltogether, our base case forecast projects FY 2021 net income of $94.8 billion, which represents year-over-year growth of 65%. The bottom line is forecasted for further growth at a CAGR of 7% into the next five years, resulting in projected net income of $132.5 billion by 2026.\nSource: Author, with data from our internal financial forecasts.\ni. Base Case Financial Projections:\nSource: Author, with data from our internal financial forecasts.\nAAPL Stock Valuation\nOur revised price target for Apple based on updated information from its recent earnings release is $170.91. This represents upside potential of 17.4% based on the last traded share price of $145.52 on August 2nd.\nSource: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.\nTo arrive at the $170.91 price target, we have applied a WACC of 8% to discount Apple’s projected free cash flows over a five-year discrete period; the WACC is consistent with Apple’s current risk profile and capital structure, which includes its latest four-part debt offering to taling $6.5 billion. Our valuation analysis also assumes a 19.7x EV/EBITDA multiple, which is in line with guideline public companies and precedent transactions within Apple’s industry peer group, and is reflective of current market expectations for Apple’s business growth potential in the long run.\ni. Base Case Valuation Analysis:\nSource: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.\nIn order to validate our foregoing analysis that the adverse impacts to sales resulting from supply constraints, moderated services segment revenues and less favourable FX are only temporary and will not materially change Apple’s upside potential, we have also performed a sensitivity analysis to quantify the impact to FY 2021 revenues needed to decrease our base case price target of $170.91 by 10%.\nBased on our sensitivity analysis, FY 2021 revenues of $301.5 billion with growth at a CAGR of 10% into 2026, while holding all other valuation assumptions (i.e. cost structure, WACC, EV/EBITDA multiple) discussed above constant, would result in a price target of $153.82, which is 10% lower than our base case price target of $170.91.\nConsidering year-to-date total net sales of $282.5 billion, Apple would only need to achieve total net sales of $19.0 billion for the September quarter to maintain a projected equity value of $2.5 trillion or $153.82 per share, which is highly unlikely even under supply constraint pressures and reduced services segment sales based on the company’s current growth trajectory. As such, we do not consider the near-term impacts related to supply constraints, moderated services segment revenues, and unfavourable FX a catalyst for permanent loss to Apple’s valuation.\ni. Revenue Sensitivity Analysis:\nSource: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.\nConclusion - Is AAPL Stock A Good Buy?\nConsidering Apple’s growth prospects, the recent price pullback makes a great buy opportunity for those looking to participate in the company’s long-term gains. The near-term headwinds related to industry-wide supply constraints and normalized services segment revenues are not expected to materially change Apple’s growth trajectory nor valuation in the long run.\nAny lost revenues in the September quarter will very likely be recouped when the supply chain restores its balance, considering the continued surge in demand for iPhones and iPads underpinned by ongoing 5G transition and the increasing need for versatile portable smart devices to enable online access at all times. As a global industry leader with successes achieved to date that very few could match, Apple is poised for further upside realization in the long run.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":352,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":806250934,"gmtCreate":1627659507428,"gmtModify":1703494373612,"author":{"id":"4087548754587790","authorId":"4087548754587790","name":"Kmyong","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/285b1727eda76b0888c32eb184268abf","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087548754587790","authorIdStr":"4087548754587790"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Climbing up slowly and surely","listText":"Climbing up slowly and surely","text":"Climbing up slowly and surely","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/806250934","repostId":"1194710219","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1194710219","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1627652868,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1194710219?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-30 21:47","market":"us","language":"en","title":"EV Stocks surged in Friday morning trading","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1194710219","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"EV Stocks surged in Friday morning trading.Tesla,Nio,Xpeng Motors and Li Auto&nbsp;climbed between 1% and 6%.","content":"<p>EV Stocks surged in Friday morning trading.Tesla,Nio,Xpeng Motors and Li Auto&nbsp;climbed between 1% and 6%.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c821968998f7b667eae78a4ed3ede421\" tg-width=\"352\" tg-height=\"594\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>EV Stocks surged in Friday morning trading</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nEV Stocks surged in Friday morning trading\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-07-30 21:47</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>EV Stocks surged in Friday morning trading.Tesla,Nio,Xpeng Motors and Li Auto&nbsp;climbed between 1% and 6%.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c821968998f7b667eae78a4ed3ede421\" tg-width=\"352\" tg-height=\"594\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LI":"理想汽车","NIO":"蔚来","TSLA":"特斯拉","NIU":"小牛电动","XPEV":"小鹏汽车"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1194710219","content_text":"EV Stocks surged in Friday morning trading.Tesla,Nio,Xpeng Motors and Li Auto climbed between 1% and 6%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":237,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":172973351,"gmtCreate":1626931134673,"gmtModify":1703480825870,"author":{"id":"4087548754587790","authorId":"4087548754587790","name":"Kmyong","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/285b1727eda76b0888c32eb184268abf","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087548754587790","authorIdStr":"4087548754587790"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yeah, recovery on the horizon??","listText":"Yeah, recovery on the horizon??","text":"Yeah, recovery on the horizon??","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/172973351","repostId":"2153010629","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":230,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":173441644,"gmtCreate":1626682803688,"gmtModify":1703763263717,"author":{"id":"4087548754587790","authorId":"4087548754587790","name":"Kmyong","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/285b1727eda76b0888c32eb184268abf","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087548754587790","authorIdStr":"4087548754587790"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yah, Time to go down price too high??","listText":"Yah, Time to go down price too high??","text":"Yah, Time to go down price too high??","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/173441644","repostId":"1112826934","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1112826934","pubTimestamp":1626680238,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1112826934?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-19 15:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"OPEC+ oil deal sends prices lower — and this could be a buying opportunity","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112826934","media":"CNBC","summary":"Oil prices fell nearly 1% on Monday morning during Asia hours after OPEC and its allies agreed to en","content":"<div>\n<p>Oil prices fell nearly 1% on Monday morning during Asia hours after OPEC and its allies agreed to end oil production cuts.\nBrent crude futures fell 0.88% to $72.94 a barrel, whileU.S. crude ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/19/opec-oil-deal-sends-prices-lower-could-be-a-buying-opportunity.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"cnbc_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>OPEC+ oil deal sends prices lower — and this could be a buying opportunity</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOPEC+ oil deal sends prices lower — and this could be a buying opportunity\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-19 15:37 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/19/opec-oil-deal-sends-prices-lower-could-be-a-buying-opportunity.html><strong>CNBC</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Oil prices fell nearly 1% on Monday morning during Asia hours after OPEC and its allies agreed to end oil production cuts.\nBrent crude futures fell 0.88% to $72.94 a barrel, whileU.S. crude ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/19/opec-oil-deal-sends-prices-lower-could-be-a-buying-opportunity.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"OXY":"西方石油","XOM":"埃克森美孚"},"source_url":"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/19/opec-oil-deal-sends-prices-lower-could-be-a-buying-opportunity.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/72bb72e1b84c09fca865c6dcb1bbcd16","article_id":"1112826934","content_text":"Oil prices fell nearly 1% on Monday morning during Asia hours after OPEC and its allies agreed to end oil production cuts.\nBrent crude futures fell 0.88% to $72.94 a barrel, whileU.S. crude futuresfell 0.97% to around $71.11 a barrel.\nBut having a deal is \"better than no deal\" for the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies — known collectively as OPEC+, according to an oil analyst who said a continued stalemate could mean rising production and plunging prices.\n\"I think they decided that having a deal was better than no deal,\" Andy Lipow, president of Lipow Oil Associates, told CNBC.\nThe group agreed to increase production by 400,000 barrels per day on a monthly basis from August, as it moves to phase out production cuts of about 5.8 million barrels per day by September 2022. It comes as oil prices hover close to their highest levels in more than two years.\nNegotiations to increase production previously stalled, after the United Arab Emirates rejected the group's proposal for the rollback of the oil cuts. It left the industry as well as investors in limbo asexperts warned that prices could either hit the roof or collapsewithout an agreement.\n\n This agreement should give market participants comfort that the group is not headed for a messy breakup and will not be opening up the production floodgates anytime soon.Helima CroftRBC CAPITAL MARKETS\n\n\"If they didn't have a deal, they would be left to their own devices and we could really see a free for all on increasing production from all of them, at a time when the return of demand still remains in question, due to the delta variant,\" Lipow told CNBC's \"Street Signs Asia\" on Monday.\nHe was referring to the highly transmissible Covid variant that's spread to more than 100 countries, pushing cases to record highs in several countries.\n\"This agreement should give market participants comfort that the group is not headed for a messy breakup and will not be opening up the production floodgates anytime soon,\" said Helima Croft, head of global commodity strategy at RBC Capital Markets.\n\n Really, this is a buying opportunity for well over the next six months, as those inventories around the world continue to decline.Andy LipowPRESIDENT, LIPOW OIL ASSOCIATES\n\nLast year, to cope with lower demand as the Covid crisis hurt economies and people could not travel much, OPEC and its allies agreed to curb output by almost 10 million barrels a day from May 2020 to April 2022.\n\"So the one thing that we do know is that OPEC+ did not want to see a return to prices last year in the $10 to $20 a barrel range,\" Lipow said.\nPrices fell to historical lowslast year, as the impact of the pandemic wiped out oil demand. TheWest Texas Intermediate crude fell below zero for the first time, before recovering to over $10 a barrel at one point. Brent oil fell to a nearly two-decade low of nearly $20 per barrel.\nTime to buy\nThis could be a buying opportunity for investors, says Lipow.\nThe \"silver lining\" is that the pace that OPEC+ is restoring oil production is still slower than the increase in global demand for oil, he said. That will support prices ahead.\n\"Really, this is a buying opportunity for well over the next six months, as those inventories around the world continue to decline. Here in the United States, we've reduced our crude oil inventories by 75 million barrels since April 1, and that's indicative of what's happening around the rest of the world.\"\nLipow said oil prices could go up to $78 a barrel for international benchmark Brent.\n\"I still think that the world has to wrestle with a return of demand and this delta variant that we're seeing spreading around the world. And that, of course, is keeping a dampener on prices,\" he said.\nCroft, too, cautioned that uncertainty could still lie ahead, as OPEC might reverse the 400,000 barrels a day increase.\n\"As the Saudi oil minister stated, the group can pause, reverse or continue with the 400 kb/d monthly increase based on key contingencies such as Iran ... and global COVID case counts,\" she wrote in a note on Sunday.\nThe U.S. and Iran are re-negotiating a 2015 nuclear deal, which could mean a return of Iranian oil to the market.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":106,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4087218051185710","authorId":"4087218051185710","name":"JCBL","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d52754657c86fcbf3892ea1fec33f39d","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4087218051185710","authorIdStr":"4087218051185710"},"content":"yes! but if prices goes down then projects will be delayed again and recovery will be further down the road. dilemma","text":"yes! but if prices goes down then projects will be delayed again and recovery will be further down the road. dilemma","html":"yes! but if prices goes down then projects will be delayed again and recovery will be further down the road. dilemma"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":899051878,"gmtCreate":1628145147294,"gmtModify":1703502060366,"author":{"id":"4087548754587790","authorId":"4087548754587790","name":"Kmyong","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/285b1727eda76b0888c32eb184268abf","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087548754587790","authorIdStr":"4087548754587790"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Novavax heading north??","listText":"Novavax heading north??","text":"Novavax heading north??","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/899051878","repostId":"1170468091","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":153,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":176287026,"gmtCreate":1626888800765,"gmtModify":1703480052178,"author":{"id":"4087548754587790","authorId":"4087548754587790","name":"Kmyong","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/285b1727eda76b0888c32eb184268abf","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087548754587790","authorIdStr":"4087548754587790"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Reasonable target ????","listText":"Reasonable target ????","text":"Reasonable target ????","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/176287026","repostId":"1107219983","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1107219983","pubTimestamp":1626858926,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1107219983?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-21 17:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Here Is The One-Word Reason Why JPMorgan Just Raised Its S&P Target To 4,600","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1107219983","media":"zerohedge","summary":"Mid-cycle?Late-cycle? Nope: according to the latest note published overnight from JPMorgan head glob","content":"<p>Mid-cycle?Late-cycle? Nope: according to the latest note published overnight from JPMorgan head global equity strategist Dubravko Lakos-Bujas, \"even though equity leadership and bonds are trading as if the global economy is entering late cycle,<b>our research suggests the recovery is still in early-cycle</b>and gradually transitioning towards mid-cycle.\" And echoing his JPM colleague and fellow Croat, Marko Kolanovic, who yesterdayadvised clients to stop freaking out about the delta variant(advise which markets are taking to heart today), Dubravko writes that the largest commercial bank remains \"constructive on equities and see the latest round of growth and slowdown fears premature and overblown.\"</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/52b0923c42b8b316b85e56a776fa3337\" tg-width=\"1132\" tg-height=\"1215\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Elaborating on why he is sanguine about the current Delta case breakout, Lakos-Bujas writes that \"we remain of the view that this latest wave will not derail the broader reopening process. While cases have gone up, deaths / hospitalizations remain low and stable due to broadening vaccination rollout and self-immunity from prior waves.\"</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d396ca943f750f3a3bcb38e01a53cbdf\" tg-width=\"772\" tg-height=\"546\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">The strategist then argues that \"reopening of the economy is not an event but rather a process, which in our opinion is still not priced-in, and especially not now given recent market moves. For instance, an increasing number of reopening stocks are now down 30-50% from 1Q21 highs (i.e. travel, cruise lines, oil) and some have reversed back to last year June levels when COVID-19 uncertainty and economic setup were vastly worse than today.\"</p>\n<p>Given the above, JPM sees \"increasingly compelling\" risk/reward for the reopening theme, which can be expressed through Consumer Recovery (JPAMCONR &lt;Index&gt;), Domestic Recovery (JPAMCRDB &lt;Index&gt;) and International Recovery (JPAMCRIB &lt;Index&gt;) baskets, see Fig 1.\" Additionally, JPm argues that global mobility remains nascent and its normalization will continue to release pent-up demand, while tight inventories and new orders bode positively for global growth.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc9c52172685e208ffe19abe53233205\" tg-width=\"958\" tg-height=\"959\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Combining all this bullishness,<b>the JPM equity strategist is revising his EPS estimates higher by an additional $5 to $205 for 2021 and raises the bank's long-held 2021 year-end price target of 4,400 to 4,600, due to the following considerations:</b></p>\n<blockquote>\n At a thematic/sector level, the risk/reward for reopening stocks has improved significantly with the recent pullback creating many unusually attractive opportunities for investors to re-enter various parts of the cyclical cohort. Consumer Discretionary (i.e. Retail, Travel &amp; Leisure), Semis, Banks and Energy are strong buys at current levels. For instance,\n <b>large-cap Energy is now trading at a ~10% FCF yield and a &gt;8% FCF/EV yield at $70 Brent in 2022, with leverage that is &lt;1x</b>. The sector has increasing potential for a sharp short squeeze and move higher, given its extreme disconnect from oil fundamentals (i.e. widest in 30+ years, Figure 10). In addition, our Semiconductor research argues that we are only 30-40% of the way into&nbsp; the current semiconductor upcycle and expect strong Y/Y growth into next year with positive EPS revisions for the next 3-4 quarters. Supply will likely remain tight into 2022, while demand remains strong (20-40% above companies’ ability to supply), thus this supply demand imbalance will persist through 2021. Although customers are responding to tight supply with higher than needed orders, ongoing supply tightness is limiting fulfillment. In fact, JPM expects channel and customer inventories to decline Q/Q again in the just completed June quarter.\n</blockquote>\n<p>Looking at the fundamentals, JPM predicts that S&amp;P 500 gains should also be supported by strong earnings growth and capital return until 2023,<b>and is why JPM is adjusting its above consensus S&amp;P 500 EPS by another $5 for 2022 to $230 (consensus $214) and 2023 to $250 (consensus $233).</b></p>\n<blockquote>\n This revision is largely due to global reopening which is delayed and bound to release further pent-up demand, inventory replenishment, rising profitability for Energy companies, and ongoing policy actions (childcare, infrastructure, etc). We expect cumulative revenue growth of ~30% by 2023 relative to pre-COVID (FY 2019), ~150bp net income margin expansion to a record high at over 13%, and gross buybacks nearing an annual pace of ~$1t during this period.\n</blockquote>\n<p>While all sectors are expected to contribute to earnings growth, JPM expects reflation sensitive sectors (Commodities, Financials, Industrials) and Consumer to do the heaviest lifting in the coming quarters in terms of beats and revisions.</p>\n<p>Putting it all together, Lakos-Bujas says that \"<b>considering this outlook for earnings and shareholder return, we are raising our Price Target to 4,600 for year-end 2021.\"</b></p>\n<p>But while any first year strategist can goalseek a fundamentally bullish narrative and chart it, as JPM has done below...</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/41e87174356d968c69893caff66745e0\" tg-width=\"1072\" tg-height=\"1304\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">... there is a very specific reason behind JPM's bullish reversal:<b>the coming surge in buybacks which will result in a boom in shareholder returns,</b>or as Dubravko notes, \"corporates have already increased gross buybacks from pandemic era low of $525b (trailing twelve months as of 1Q21) to an annualized run rate of ~$775b YTD and should surpass previous record of ~$850b (as of 1Q19).\"</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b09d295af263e87277eaffbda47bb7c\" tg-width=\"1076\" tg-height=\"435\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">In practical terms, JPM expects a sharp drop in the S&amp;P's share count in the next 24 months as the buyback-facilitated slow-motion LBO continues.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae94ad29f188e3aac5cdf92b9df65fc3\" tg-width=\"1048\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Some more details below on the one biggest catalyst behind JPM's SPX price target hike:</p>\n<blockquote>\n <b>Expecting a boom in shareholder return led by buybacks.</b>Buybacks are reemerging as a key theme with net buyback activity significantly improving this year after bottoming in 2Q20. Corporate buyback announcements, typically a leading indicator of buyback execution activity and corporate confidence, have already well-exceeded 2020 levels ($431B YTD vs. $307B 2020, see Figure 25). In fact,\n <b>the rebound in announcement activity is similar to the surge post-TCJA (see Figure 23) which is tracking towards and it is likely to easily surpass ~$650B by year-end and likely to see rolling 12-month announcements surpass prior record level of ~$1T.</b>Historically, buyback announcements have been concentrated within Technology and Financials. However, YTD we are seeing strong announcement activity from Communications as well (driven by GOOGL ~$50B in Apr). As a reminder, ~$90B of Tech’s $133B in announcements YTD is supported by AAPL and ~$25B of Financials' ~$92B is supported by BAC.\n</blockquote>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/774d4e9c2550b27c62d10733947c8de4\" tg-width=\"1077\" tg-height=\"384\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">With the June 30th lifting of pandemic era restriction on US Banks,<b>we could see some further pick-up in buyback announcements.</b>Dry powder (i.e. announced repurchase programs not yet executed) levels have been recovering to pre-pandemic levels (~$658B, see Figure 27) as executions have been relatively slower to rebound but should show a material sequential growth in the coming quarters. With record profit margins (~13% in 2022 vs ~11.5% in 2019), bloated cash levels of $2.0T ex-financials (vs. $1.6T pre- COVID), and lower high grade debt yields (JULI at 2.6% now, vs 3.3% prepandemic),<b>we are expecting a boom in buyback activity over the next year.</b>Gross buybacks should surpass the prior executed high of $850b.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/053354e7e2fc9ea74585b437e0d77f78\" tg-width=\"1076\" tg-height=\"415\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">In summary,<i>assuming $875b in buybacks and dividend income of $575 over the next year,</i>JPM calculates that<b>the expected shareholder yield is 3.9%.</b>This, as Dubravko concludes, \"is a significant cross-asset valuation support for equities at a time when 10yr US bonds are yielding 1.2% and $13 trillion of global debt has a negative yield.\"</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Here Is The One-Word Reason Why JPMorgan Just Raised Its S&P Target To 4,600</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHere Is The One-Word Reason Why JPMorgan Just Raised Its S&P Target To 4,600\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-21 17:15 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/here-one-word-reason-why-jpmorgan-just-raised-its-sp-target-4600><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Mid-cycle?Late-cycle? Nope: according to the latest note published overnight from JPMorgan head global equity strategist Dubravko Lakos-Bujas, \"even though equity leadership and bonds are trading as ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/here-one-word-reason-why-jpmorgan-just-raised-its-sp-target-4600\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/here-one-word-reason-why-jpmorgan-just-raised-its-sp-target-4600","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1107219983","content_text":"Mid-cycle?Late-cycle? Nope: according to the latest note published overnight from JPMorgan head global equity strategist Dubravko Lakos-Bujas, \"even though equity leadership and bonds are trading as if the global economy is entering late cycle,our research suggests the recovery is still in early-cycleand gradually transitioning towards mid-cycle.\" And echoing his JPM colleague and fellow Croat, Marko Kolanovic, who yesterdayadvised clients to stop freaking out about the delta variant(advise which markets are taking to heart today), Dubravko writes that the largest commercial bank remains \"constructive on equities and see the latest round of growth and slowdown fears premature and overblown.\"\nElaborating on why he is sanguine about the current Delta case breakout, Lakos-Bujas writes that \"we remain of the view that this latest wave will not derail the broader reopening process. While cases have gone up, deaths / hospitalizations remain low and stable due to broadening vaccination rollout and self-immunity from prior waves.\"\nThe strategist then argues that \"reopening of the economy is not an event but rather a process, which in our opinion is still not priced-in, and especially not now given recent market moves. For instance, an increasing number of reopening stocks are now down 30-50% from 1Q21 highs (i.e. travel, cruise lines, oil) and some have reversed back to last year June levels when COVID-19 uncertainty and economic setup were vastly worse than today.\"\nGiven the above, JPM sees \"increasingly compelling\" risk/reward for the reopening theme, which can be expressed through Consumer Recovery (JPAMCONR <Index>), Domestic Recovery (JPAMCRDB <Index>) and International Recovery (JPAMCRIB <Index>) baskets, see Fig 1.\" Additionally, JPm argues that global mobility remains nascent and its normalization will continue to release pent-up demand, while tight inventories and new orders bode positively for global growth.\nCombining all this bullishness,the JPM equity strategist is revising his EPS estimates higher by an additional $5 to $205 for 2021 and raises the bank's long-held 2021 year-end price target of 4,400 to 4,600, due to the following considerations:\n\n At a thematic/sector level, the risk/reward for reopening stocks has improved significantly with the recent pullback creating many unusually attractive opportunities for investors to re-enter various parts of the cyclical cohort. Consumer Discretionary (i.e. Retail, Travel & Leisure), Semis, Banks and Energy are strong buys at current levels. For instance,\n large-cap Energy is now trading at a ~10% FCF yield and a >8% FCF/EV yield at $70 Brent in 2022, with leverage that is <1x. The sector has increasing potential for a sharp short squeeze and move higher, given its extreme disconnect from oil fundamentals (i.e. widest in 30+ years, Figure 10). In addition, our Semiconductor research argues that we are only 30-40% of the way into  the current semiconductor upcycle and expect strong Y/Y growth into next year with positive EPS revisions for the next 3-4 quarters. Supply will likely remain tight into 2022, while demand remains strong (20-40% above companies’ ability to supply), thus this supply demand imbalance will persist through 2021. Although customers are responding to tight supply with higher than needed orders, ongoing supply tightness is limiting fulfillment. In fact, JPM expects channel and customer inventories to decline Q/Q again in the just completed June quarter.\n\nLooking at the fundamentals, JPM predicts that S&P 500 gains should also be supported by strong earnings growth and capital return until 2023,and is why JPM is adjusting its above consensus S&P 500 EPS by another $5 for 2022 to $230 (consensus $214) and 2023 to $250 (consensus $233).\n\n This revision is largely due to global reopening which is delayed and bound to release further pent-up demand, inventory replenishment, rising profitability for Energy companies, and ongoing policy actions (childcare, infrastructure, etc). We expect cumulative revenue growth of ~30% by 2023 relative to pre-COVID (FY 2019), ~150bp net income margin expansion to a record high at over 13%, and gross buybacks nearing an annual pace of ~$1t during this period.\n\nWhile all sectors are expected to contribute to earnings growth, JPM expects reflation sensitive sectors (Commodities, Financials, Industrials) and Consumer to do the heaviest lifting in the coming quarters in terms of beats and revisions.\nPutting it all together, Lakos-Bujas says that \"considering this outlook for earnings and shareholder return, we are raising our Price Target to 4,600 for year-end 2021.\"\nBut while any first year strategist can goalseek a fundamentally bullish narrative and chart it, as JPM has done below...\n... there is a very specific reason behind JPM's bullish reversal:the coming surge in buybacks which will result in a boom in shareholder returns,or as Dubravko notes, \"corporates have already increased gross buybacks from pandemic era low of $525b (trailing twelve months as of 1Q21) to an annualized run rate of ~$775b YTD and should surpass previous record of ~$850b (as of 1Q19).\"\nIn practical terms, JPM expects a sharp drop in the S&P's share count in the next 24 months as the buyback-facilitated slow-motion LBO continues.\nSome more details below on the one biggest catalyst behind JPM's SPX price target hike:\n\nExpecting a boom in shareholder return led by buybacks.Buybacks are reemerging as a key theme with net buyback activity significantly improving this year after bottoming in 2Q20. Corporate buyback announcements, typically a leading indicator of buyback execution activity and corporate confidence, have already well-exceeded 2020 levels ($431B YTD vs. $307B 2020, see Figure 25). In fact,\n the rebound in announcement activity is similar to the surge post-TCJA (see Figure 23) which is tracking towards and it is likely to easily surpass ~$650B by year-end and likely to see rolling 12-month announcements surpass prior record level of ~$1T.Historically, buyback announcements have been concentrated within Technology and Financials. However, YTD we are seeing strong announcement activity from Communications as well (driven by GOOGL ~$50B in Apr). As a reminder, ~$90B of Tech’s $133B in announcements YTD is supported by AAPL and ~$25B of Financials' ~$92B is supported by BAC.\n\nWith the June 30th lifting of pandemic era restriction on US Banks,we could see some further pick-up in buyback announcements.Dry powder (i.e. announced repurchase programs not yet executed) levels have been recovering to pre-pandemic levels (~$658B, see Figure 27) as executions have been relatively slower to rebound but should show a material sequential growth in the coming quarters. With record profit margins (~13% in 2022 vs ~11.5% in 2019), bloated cash levels of $2.0T ex-financials (vs. $1.6T pre- COVID), and lower high grade debt yields (JULI at 2.6% now, vs 3.3% prepandemic),we are expecting a boom in buyback activity over the next year.Gross buybacks should surpass the prior executed high of $850b.\nIn summary,assuming $875b in buybacks and dividend income of $575 over the next year,JPM calculates thatthe expected shareholder yield is 3.9%.This, as Dubravko concludes, \"is a significant cross-asset valuation support for equities at a time when 10yr US bonds are yielding 1.2% and $13 trillion of global debt has a negative yield.\"","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":169,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":176285308,"gmtCreate":1626888453904,"gmtModify":1703480049532,"author":{"id":"4087548754587790","authorId":"4087548754587790","name":"Kmyong","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/285b1727eda76b0888c32eb184268abf","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087548754587790","authorIdStr":"4087548754587790"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Grin]&nbsp;[Grin]&nbsp;Yeah","listText":"[Grin]&nbsp;[Grin]&nbsp;Yeah","text":"[Grin] [Grin] 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