Blackgarlic personal page - To The Moon

Blackgarlic

Blackgarlic

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2021-09-11

2021-09-06

$Uber(UBER)$be strong

2021-08-28

Yhanks

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2021-08-24

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@韭菜投资学:大跌之後，有了點新想法

2021-08-23

Oversold, time to buy

2021-08-14

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2021-08-02

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2021-08-02

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2021-08-02

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2021-07-28

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2021-07-28

$XIAOMI-W(01810)$up

2021-07-28

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2021-07-28

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2021-07-27

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2021-07-26

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2021-07-26

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2021-07-26

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2021-07-24

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2021-07-22

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2021-07-22

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我比較了兩個策略的長期表現。 第一個策略叫“追成長”。在每年年初，選出上市已經滿3年，且過去3年中，每年扣非淨利潤增速都超過30%的股票。 這其中，還要排除一些微利的僞成長股，比如有的公司一年就賺100萬，第二年一下子賺了300萬，好傢伙增幅200%。增速雖然高，但淨利潤金額太少，這種就不是真成長，要剔除。我要求，過去三年每年的扣非淨利潤，每年至少都要有5000萬。 這樣篩選出來的股票，就構成一個股票池，代表業績持續高成長股。 第二個策略叫“撿便宜”。在每年年初，選出上市已經滿5年，且市盈率PE處於過去5年10%分位以下的，也就是要求該股票的PE估值，比過去5年90%的時候都低。 同樣，爲了避免一些微利的小股票干擾，仍然要求過去三年每年的扣非淨利潤，至少都要有5000萬。 這樣篩選出來的股票，構成第二個股票池，代表低估值股。 每年年初，都這麼選出兩個組合，然後以5年爲期限，觀察5年後它們的收益表現。 我先貼結果，追成長組合表現如下表。說下這個表怎麼看，以第一行2012年爲例，意思就是2012年初買入當時選出的追成長組合，持有5年，組合內股票的平均漲幅、中位數漲幅是多少，我還列了同期滬深300指數的漲幅作爲參考。初始PE中位數，是買入組合時成分股PE的中位數，5年後PE中位數就是5年後的。第二行2013年，就是2013年初選出組合買入持有5年的情況，後面以此類推，只做到2016年，是因爲2017年再買的話，到現在滿不了5年。 接下來是撿便宜組合的表現： 我說下結論和分析： 1. 無論是追成長組合，還是撿便宜組合，也無論從哪一年開始買，持有5年後，平均漲幅都好於中位數漲幅。 這是個很有意義的結論。平均漲幅，就是把組合內所有股票的漲幅做算數平均，就相當於一開始每個股票都買了相同金額，最後獲得的收益率。而中位數","listText":"今天股市大跌，我一邊吃麪，一邊做了個數據分析，發現了不少有意思的結論。 我比較了兩個策略的長期表現。 第一個策略叫“追成長”。在每年年初，選出上市已經滿3年，且過去3年中，每年扣非淨利潤增速都超過30%的股票。 這其中，還要排除一些微利的僞成長股，比如有的公司一年就賺100萬，第二年一下子賺了300萬，好傢伙增幅200%。增速雖然高，但淨利潤金額太少，這種就不是真成長，要剔除。我要求，過去三年每年的扣非淨利潤，每年至少都要有5000萬。 這樣篩選出來的股票，就構成一個股票池，代表業績持續高成長股。 第二個策略叫“撿便宜”。在每年年初，選出上市已經滿5年，且市盈率PE處於過去5年10%分位以下的，也就是要求該股票的PE估值，比過去5年90%的時候都低。 同樣，爲了避免一些微利的小股票干擾，仍然要求過去三年每年的扣非淨利潤，至少都要有5000萬。 這樣篩選出來的股票，構成第二個股票池，代表低估值股。 每年年初，都這麼選出兩個組合，然後以5年爲期限，觀察5年後它們的收益表現。 我先貼結果，追成長組合表現如下表。說下這個表怎麼看，以第一行2012年爲例，意思就是2012年初買入當時選出的追成長組合，持有5年，組合內股票的平均漲幅、中位數漲幅是多少，我還列了同期滬深300指數的漲幅作爲參考。初始PE中位數，是買入組合時成分股PE的中位數，5年後PE中位數就是5年後的。第二行2013年，就是2013年初選出組合買入持有5年的情況，後面以此類推，只做到2016年，是因爲2017年再買的話，到現在滿不了5年。 接下來是撿便宜組合的表現： 我說下結論和分析： 1. 無論是追成長組合，還是撿便宜組合，也無論從哪一年開始買，持有5年後，平均漲幅都好於中位數漲幅。 這是個很有意義的結論。平均漲幅，就是把組合內所有股票的漲幅做算數平均，就相當於一開始每個股票都買了相同金額，最後獲得的收益率。而中位數","text":"今天股市大跌，我一邊吃麪，一邊做了個數據分析，發現了不少有意思的結論。 我比較了兩個策略的長期表現。 第一個策略叫“追成長”。在每年年初，選出上市已經滿3年，且過去3年中，每年扣非淨利潤增速都超過30%的股票。 這其中，還要排除一些微利的僞成長股，比如有的公司一年就賺100萬，第二年一下子賺了300萬，好傢伙增幅200%。增速雖然高，但淨利潤金額太少，這種就不是真成長，要剔除。我要求，過去三年每年的扣非淨利潤，每年至少都要有5000萬。 這樣篩選出來的股票，就構成一個股票池，代表業績持續高成長股。 第二個策略叫“撿便宜”。在每年年初，選出上市已經滿5年，且市盈率PE處於過去5年10%分位以下的，也就是要求該股票的PE估值，比過去5年90%的時候都低。 同樣，爲了避免一些微利的小股票干擾，仍然要求過去三年每年的扣非淨利潤，至少都要有5000萬。 這樣篩選出來的股票，構成第二個股票池，代表低估值股。 每年年初，都這麼選出兩個組合，然後以5年爲期限，觀察5年後它們的收益表現。 我先貼結果，追成長組合表現如下表。說下這個表怎麼看，以第一行2012年爲例，意思就是2012年初買入當時選出的追成長組合，持有5年，組合內股票的平均漲幅、中位數漲幅是多少，我還列了同期滬深300指數的漲幅作爲參考。初始PE中位數，是買入組合時成分股PE的中位數，5年後PE中位數就是5年後的。第二行2013年，就是2013年初選出組合買入持有5年的情況，後面以此類推，只做到2016年，是因爲2017年再買的話，到現在滿不了5年。 接下來是撿便宜組合的表現： 我說下結論和分析： 1. 無論是追成長組合，還是撿便宜組合，也無論從哪一年開始買，持有5年後，平均漲幅都好於中位數漲幅。 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我比較了兩個策略的長期表現。 第一個策略叫“追成長”。在每年年初，選出上市已經滿3年，且過去3年中，每年扣非淨利潤增速都超過30%的股票。 這其中，還要排除一些微利的僞成長股，比如有的公司一年就賺100萬，第二年一下子賺了300萬，好傢伙增幅200%。增速雖然高，但淨利潤金額太少，這種就不是真成長，要剔除。我要求，過去三年每年的扣非淨利潤，每年至少都要有5000萬。 這樣篩選出來的股票，就構成一個股票池，代表業績持續高成長股。 第二個策略叫“撿便宜”。在每年年初，選出上市已經滿5年，且市盈率PE處於過去5年10%分位以下的，也就是要求該股票的PE估值，比過去5年90%的時候都低。 同樣，爲了避免一些微利的小股票干擾，仍然要求過去三年每年的扣非淨利潤，至少都要有5000萬。 這樣篩選出來的股票，構成第二個股票池，代表低估值股。 每年年初，都這麼選出兩個組合，然後以5年爲期限，觀察5年後它們的收益表現。 我先貼結果，追成長組合表現如下表。說下這個表怎麼看，以第一行2012年爲例，意思就是2012年初買入當時選出的追成長組合，持有5年，組合內股票的平均漲幅、中位數漲幅是多少，我還列了同期滬深300指數的漲幅作爲參考。初始PE中位數，是買入組合時成分股PE的中位數，5年後PE中位數就是5年後的。第二行2013年，就是2013年初選出組合買入持有5年的情況，後面以此類推，只做到2016年，是因爲2017年再買的話，到現在滿不了5年。 接下來是撿便宜組合的表現： 我說下結論和分析： 1. 無論是追成長組合，還是撿便宜組合，也無論從哪一年開始買，持有5年後，平均漲幅都好於中位數漲幅。 這是個很有意義的結論。平均漲幅，就是把組合內所有股票的漲幅做算數平均，就相當於一開始每個股票都買了相同金額，最後獲得的收益率。而中位數","listText":"今天股市大跌，我一邊吃麪，一邊做了個數據分析，發現了不少有意思的結論。 我比較了兩個策略的長期表現。 第一個策略叫“追成長”。在每年年初，選出上市已經滿3年，且過去3年中，每年扣非淨利潤增速都超過30%的股票。 這其中，還要排除一些微利的僞成長股，比如有的公司一年就賺100萬，第二年一下子賺了300萬，好傢伙增幅200%。增速雖然高，但淨利潤金額太少，這種就不是真成長，要剔除。我要求，過去三年每年的扣非淨利潤，每年至少都要有5000萬。 這樣篩選出來的股票，就構成一個股票池，代表業績持續高成長股。 第二個策略叫“撿便宜”。在每年年初，選出上市已經滿5年，且市盈率PE處於過去5年10%分位以下的，也就是要求該股票的PE估值，比過去5年90%的時候都低。 同樣，爲了避免一些微利的小股票干擾，仍然要求過去三年每年的扣非淨利潤，至少都要有5000萬。 這樣篩選出來的股票，構成第二個股票池，代表低估值股。 每年年初，都這麼選出兩個組合，然後以5年爲期限，觀察5年後它們的收益表現。 我先貼結果，追成長組合表現如下表。說下這個表怎麼看，以第一行2012年爲例，意思就是2012年初買入當時選出的追成長組合，持有5年，組合內股票的平均漲幅、中位數漲幅是多少，我還列了同期滬深300指數的漲幅作爲參考。初始PE中位數，是買入組合時成分股PE的中位數，5年後PE中位數就是5年後的。第二行2013年，就是2013年初選出組合買入持有5年的情況，後面以此類推，只做到2016年，是因爲2017年再買的話，到現在滿不了5年。 接下來是撿便宜組合的表現： 我說下結論和分析： 1. 無論是追成長組合，還是撿便宜組合，也無論從哪一年開始買，持有5年後，平均漲幅都好於中位數漲幅。 這是個很有意義的結論。平均漲幅，就是把組合內所有股票的漲幅做算數平均，就相當於一開始每個股票都買了相同金額，最後獲得的收益率。而中位數","text":"今天股市大跌，我一邊吃麪，一邊做了個數據分析，發現了不少有意思的結論。 我比較了兩個策略的長期表現。 第一個策略叫“追成長”。在每年年初，選出上市已經滿3年，且過去3年中，每年扣非淨利潤增速都超過30%的股票。 這其中，還要排除一些微利的僞成長股，比如有的公司一年就賺100萬，第二年一下子賺了300萬，好傢伙增幅200%。增速雖然高，但淨利潤金額太少，這種就不是真成長，要剔除。我要求，過去三年每年的扣非淨利潤，每年至少都要有5000萬。 這樣篩選出來的股票，就構成一個股票池，代表業績持續高成長股。 第二個策略叫“撿便宜”。在每年年初，選出上市已經滿5年，且市盈率PE處於過去5年10%分位以下的，也就是要求該股票的PE估值，比過去5年90%的時候都低。 同樣，爲了避免一些微利的小股票干擾，仍然要求過去三年每年的扣非淨利潤，至少都要有5000萬。 這樣篩選出來的股票，構成第二個股票池，代表低估值股。 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