Ting13 personal page - To The Moon

Ting13

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2Followers

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2022-06-27

Posting for attempts

2022-06-23

Hello posting for attempts

2022-06-22

Playing for attempts

2022-06-21

Writing for attempts😅😂🤣

2022-06-20

Hello, let's play

2022-06-19

👋🏻 hello

2022-06-18

Go and play the tiger game 🤩

2022-06-18

Come and play!!

@TigerEvents:Happy Birthday to TIGER!!! This year, we have prepared a time machine to go on an adventure with you. Come and find surprising gifts as we stroll down memory lane!There are so many wonderful little stories in our Tiger Quest. Collect as many coins as you can in the game, these will be your basic points of this game. Apart from one mini-game mission for SG/AU/NZ, the games will be open every week, and there are endless treasures waiting for you to discover. Points can be redeemed for multiple rewards, and you can win a share of up to USD 200,000 worth of prizes! Want to win extra points? Check out these mini-games, try them, stay with us and be PAWSITIVE!Remember to collect the cards and spell out "T.I.G.E.R" during your journey for a chance to receive the limited edition 8th Anniversary Gi

2022-04-25

Great

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2022-04-20

What we gonna do? What we gonna buy?? Tell me

2022-04-19

Buy buy buy

What should we buy today? Will Twitter drop further?

2022-04-18

Should buy Twitter share?

2022-04-17

Time to buy?

2022-04-16

What will happen to Twitter?

2022-04-15

What should I buy next? Newbie here

2022-04-14

Great game

@TigerEvents:🏆【GAME】Hunting Eggs for Extra Saving!

2022-04-13

What should I buy? 💰💸

2022-01-28

Come n join

@TigerEvents:Join Tiger Ski Championship, Win a Bonus of Up to USD 2022

2021-07-04

Buy now

Two new stock market acronyms — FOLO and YOMO — can save you a lot of grief (and money)

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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Game points can be redeemed for various rewards, including different value stock vouchers worth up to USD 1,000 are waiting for you! Moreover, catching special eggs can get extra points and chances to crack open for some wonderful Easter treats.There are too many hidden surprises to find, oops, the game attempts run out too fast. Don't worry, complete different tasks to earn more game attempts. Also, invite your frien","text":"Tiger has prepared some Easter gifts for you, please click here to check them out!Easter can still be a bonus-boosting. Come and find the eggs in our Easter game to open the surprise! Each game contains 3 rounds, the more eggs you catch, the higher the points you can get. Game points can be redeemed for various rewards, including different value stock vouchers worth up to USD 1,000 are waiting for you! Moreover, catching special eggs can get extra points and chances to crack open for some wonderful Easter treats.There are too many hidden surprises to find, oops, the game attempts run out too fast. Don't worry, complete different tasks to earn more game attempts. Also, invite your frien","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/15b435c0d10e0e89ad3e06b7bbd04830","width":"2251","height":"1334"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ff9640a9df2f24446e07b7a9b658cb4b","width":"1200","height":"630"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/795038848b7c7b1d7dda27d92b580946","width":"1656","height":"948"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9016476123","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":58,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9080162470,"gmtCreate":1649858749177,"gmtModify":1676534591634,"author":{"id":"4088078239939980","authorId":"4088078239939980","authorIdStr":"4088078239939980","name":"Ting13","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088078239939980"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"What should I buy? 💰💸","listText":"What should I buy? 💰💸","text":"What should I buy? 💰💸","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9080162470","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":122,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9099580670,"gmtCreate":1643383192828,"gmtModify":1676533814504,"author":{"id":"4088078239939980","authorId":"4088078239939980","authorIdStr":"4088078239939980","name":"Ting13","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088078239939980"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Come n join&nbsp;","listText":"Come n join&nbsp;","text":"Come n join","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9099580670","repostId":"9004448317","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9004448317,"gmtCreate":1642676525258,"gmtModify":1676533734534,"author":{"id":"3527667667103859","authorId":"3527667667103859","authorIdStr":"3527667667103859","name":"TigerEvents","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c266ef25181ace18bec1262357bbe1a8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667667103859"},"themes":[],"title":"Join Tiger Ski Championship, Win a Bonus of Up to USD 2022","htmlText":"2022 is the Year of Tiger in Chinese lunar calendar, it’s also a special year for Tiger Brokers. To celebrate the special year, we want to invite you to join the ski game presented by Tiger Brokers specially, and it’s very easy and interesting game for users to play. Join the game and win a bonus of up to USD 2022 and limited-edition Tiger Toys Spring Festival and Winter Olympic are both on the way, open your Tiger Trade App and play the ski game with us, win golden medals as many as you can! You could have chance to try Lucky Draw when you win medals.The more medal you win, the bigger bonus you may win! Big Rewards are as follow: <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2022/happy-new-year/#/\" target=\"_blank\">Click to Join the Game</a>","listText":"2022 is the Year of Tiger in Chinese lunar calendar, it’s also a special year for Tiger Brokers. To celebrate the special year, we want to invite you to join the ski game presented by Tiger Brokers specially, and it’s very easy and interesting game for users to play. Join the game and win a bonus of up to USD 2022 and limited-edition Tiger Toys Spring Festival and Winter Olympic are both on the way, open your Tiger Trade App and play the ski game with us, win golden medals as many as you can! You could have chance to try Lucky Draw when you win medals.The more medal you win, the bigger bonus you may win! Big Rewards are as follow: <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2022/happy-new-year/#/\" target=\"_blank\">Click to Join the Game</a>","text":"2022 is the Year of Tiger in Chinese lunar calendar, it’s also a special year for Tiger Brokers. To celebrate the special year, we want to invite you to join the ski game presented by Tiger Brokers specially, and it’s very easy and interesting game for users to play. Join the game and win a bonus of up to USD 2022 and limited-edition Tiger Toys Spring Festival and Winter Olympic are both on the way, open your Tiger Trade App and play the ski game with us, win golden medals as many as you can! You could have chance to try Lucky Draw when you win medals.The more medal you win, the bigger bonus you may win! Big Rewards are as follow: Click to Join the Game","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a7b44fa056439fb4010fa55e163d27c3","width":"750","height":"1726"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9004448317","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":319,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":155666020,"gmtCreate":1625413281560,"gmtModify":1703741462384,"author":{"id":"4088078239939980","authorId":"4088078239939980","authorIdStr":"4088078239939980","name":"Ting13","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088078239939980"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Buy now","listText":"Buy now","text":"Buy now","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/155666020","repostId":"1160702483","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1160702483","pubTimestamp":1625369888,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1160702483?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-04 11:38","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Two new stock market acronyms — FOLO and YOMO — can save you a lot of grief (and money)","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1160702483","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"When stock market investing gets too easy, consider getting out of the market.\n\nYou’ve probably hear","content":"<blockquote>\n <b>When stock market investing gets too easy, consider getting out of the market.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>You’ve probably heard about people trading stocks based on two acronyms: FOMO (fear of missing out) and YOLO (you only live once). I searched Twitter for both terms with the word “stocks” included, and here’s what I found:</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4416d357ac2bc16d4fdcf60a3c4c3c56\" tg-width=\"916\" tg-height=\"463\"></p>\n<p>I have a proposition for you. In the name of flipping it, we should consider the following two terms as much more insightful and helpful to investors and traders:</p>\n<p>FOLO (fear of living once)&nbsp; and YOMO (you only miss out).</p>\n<p>Here’s a story I’ve told about how things can go wrong even when you’re think you’re trading well and outperforming the markets seems easy.</p>\n<p>Return to 2004</p>\n<p>It was late January 2004, and I was starting my second full year of running a hedge fund, and I was off to an incredible start to the year. I’d come into 2004 steadily scaling into ever-larger and more aggressive positions in mostly internet core equipment vendors like Nortel, JDSU, and Cisco, not to mention my largest position in Apple, which I’d first bought for the fund back in March of 2003. (I held Apple along with occasional Apple call options until I closed the fund, by the way.) I’d made big money already in my hedge fund, which was full of mostly long positions as the markets had been in a big rebound from their October 2002 lows.</p>\n<p>As 2004 started, the markets were in what I called a Steady Betty Rally Mode at the time, and internet-equipment stocks were the single hottest sector into the new year. I started trimming some of my biggest winners down, including the aforementioned Nortel, JDSU and Cisco, along with any stocks that were up 20%, 30% or even more as January wore on. By late January, I was nearly back up to half in cash and the hedge fund was already up nearly 25% for the year while the broader markets were barely up 5% on the year.</p>\n<p>In the last week of January, the markets turned south and the highest-flying winners of the year, like those that I’d just sold down and taken huge profits on, were the hardest hit. I’d previously learned the hard way over the years that you should never confuse a bull market with genius, but I’d even nailed the near-term top and my whole year was already in the pocket. I was feeling pretty good about myself and my trading prowess and listening to Willie cover Woody Guthrie’s classic, “Stay a little longer” chuckling about how I’d left before the party was busted!</p>\n<p>By early February, I was “only” up just over 20% on the year, as I still had half my fund in stocks and a few options, but the markets were now down year to date and the stocks I’d so smartly sold down at the top had themselves pulled back 20%-30% from their highs. They finally were stabilizing and the charts started to turn upward as the stocks were flattish to down on the year.</p>\n<p>Here I was sitting on a huge pile of cash and feeling like a genius for having sold at the top and here was a chance to just slowly start rebuilding and buying some new stocks while they were down. I started to buy back a few shares and to put just a little bit of that 50% cash, along with more cash coming in, to work in the markets.</p>\n<p>By the time March rolled around, I was back fully invested and mostly long, up single digits on the year, and the markets were down about 10% or so on the year. One morning as I walked into my hedge fund hotel office that I rented from Bear Stearns on the 40th floor in midtown New York, I was shocked to see the Nasdaq futures were down huge. I pulled up the Bloomberg terminal and my heart sank as the headline screamed “Nortel admits fraud; Major telecom equipment vendors under investigation” or something along those lines. Nortel was cut in half and most every internet-equipment-related stock in the market was down 20% or more on the day. I puked my guts out that whole day and cried myself to sleep that night.</p>\n<p>I spent the rest of the year digging out of that hole and getting back ahead of the market and had a lot of success in that hedge fund from that bottom.</p>\n<p>Lesson of the week — do not dig yourself a hole, OK?</p>\n<p>Foreshadowing</p>\n<p>Here’s something I wrote in 2007, the last time I started turning from bullish to bearish and eventually traded my hedge fund for a TV gig right before the markets started tanking in late 2007: “Concerned about complacency” (May 3, 2007).</p>\n<p>Here’s an excerpt:</p>\n<p><i>I’m worried. That’s no news flash, as I’m&nbsp;always&nbsp;worried, but I am really concerned about the complacency out there. Earnings are great, as evidenced by the booming season we’re experiencing. The global economy is lifting a lot of boats. And every time I try to get bearish, I feel almost silly when the action, fundamentals and environment are this strong.</i></p>\n<p><i>Just about everybody is long real estate. … Wasn’t almost every rationalization for why we shouldn’t fret about any real estate bubble true when real estate crashed the last few times?</i></p>\n<p><i>Last month, the IMF reported that “the global economy remains on track for robust growth in 2007 and 2008. … Moreover, downside risks to the outlook seem less threatening than at the time of the September 2006&nbsp;World Economic Outlook.” Has the IMF ever gotten the outlook right?</i></p>\n<p><i>This utter disregard for risk permeates the sell side, too, as evidenced by this broker note from Bear this morning: “Worries —&nbsp;the market is running out of major concerns.” Not surprisingly, I suppose, I’m going to&nbsp;flip&nbsp;that statement as I find I have more major concerns about the market and economy today than I’ve had at any point in the past five years.</i></p>\n<p><i>A&nbsp;Citi&nbsp;board member recently told me that I had a “lot of guts” for having launched a tech fund in October 2002. I think you’d have to have a lot of guts to launch a tech fund in May 2007! I’m focusing more on the short side than anything else right now.</i></p>\n<p>Beware when things are too easy</p>\n<p>Cody&nbsp;back in real time, 2021. I’m not saying the markets are about to tank like they did in 2008. But I am saying, once again, that I know way too many random hard-working people who are convinced that they can make big money in cryptos and meme stocks and by trading, trading, trading.</p>\n<p>And all my analysis points to an unfortunate risk/reward set up for the aggressive bulls here.</p>\n<p>That story above about Nortel: I’m here to tell you that you won’t always get a chance to sell when the charts stop working. You don’t always get a chance to lock in your gains while you think it’s easy.</p>\n<p>I’ve been in this business, picking stocks and helping people manage their money for 25 years, and it seems obvious to me that trading and investing and making profits and keeping those profits is very hard to do over many years. There are times it seems easy. That’s often the best time to get cautious. Because if it really were easy, nobody would work their real jobs. We could all just trade stocks to each other all day and make all the money we need. Yeah, right.</p>\n<p>I have a new name or two I’m digging hard into this week, one in AI and another that’s trying to revolutionize long-term gig employment trends. Until then, I’m staying steady as she goes, even as so many others think YOLO and FOMO are just fun, little acronyms.</p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Two new stock market acronyms — FOLO and YOMO — can save you a lot of grief (and money)</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTwo new stock market acronyms — FOLO and YOMO — can save you a lot of grief (and money)\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-04 11:38 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/two-new-stock-market-acronyms-folo-and-yomo-can-save-you-a-lot-of-grief-and-money-11625247142?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>When stock market investing gets too easy, consider getting out of the market.\n\nYou’ve probably heard about people trading stocks based on two acronyms: FOMO (fear of missing out) and YOLO (you only ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/two-new-stock-market-acronyms-folo-and-yomo-can-save-you-a-lot-of-grief-and-money-11625247142?mod=home-page\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/two-new-stock-market-acronyms-folo-and-yomo-can-save-you-a-lot-of-grief-and-money-11625247142?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1160702483","content_text":"When stock market investing gets too easy, consider getting out of the market.\n\nYou’ve probably heard about people trading stocks based on two acronyms: FOMO (fear of missing out) and YOLO (you only live once). I searched Twitter for both terms with the word “stocks” included, and here’s what I found:\n\nI have a proposition for you. In the name of flipping it, we should consider the following two terms as much more insightful and helpful to investors and traders:\nFOLO (fear of living once)  and YOMO (you only miss out).\nHere’s a story I’ve told about how things can go wrong even when you’re think you’re trading well and outperforming the markets seems easy.\nReturn to 2004\nIt was late January 2004, and I was starting my second full year of running a hedge fund, and I was off to an incredible start to the year. I’d come into 2004 steadily scaling into ever-larger and more aggressive positions in mostly internet core equipment vendors like Nortel, JDSU, and Cisco, not to mention my largest position in Apple, which I’d first bought for the fund back in March of 2003. (I held Apple along with occasional Apple call options until I closed the fund, by the way.) I’d made big money already in my hedge fund, which was full of mostly long positions as the markets had been in a big rebound from their October 2002 lows.\nAs 2004 started, the markets were in what I called a Steady Betty Rally Mode at the time, and internet-equipment stocks were the single hottest sector into the new year. I started trimming some of my biggest winners down, including the aforementioned Nortel, JDSU and Cisco, along with any stocks that were up 20%, 30% or even more as January wore on. By late January, I was nearly back up to half in cash and the hedge fund was already up nearly 25% for the year while the broader markets were barely up 5% on the year.\nIn the last week of January, the markets turned south and the highest-flying winners of the year, like those that I’d just sold down and taken huge profits on, were the hardest hit. I’d previously learned the hard way over the years that you should never confuse a bull market with genius, but I’d even nailed the near-term top and my whole year was already in the pocket. I was feeling pretty good about myself and my trading prowess and listening to Willie cover Woody Guthrie’s classic, “Stay a little longer” chuckling about how I’d left before the party was busted!\nBy early February, I was “only” up just over 20% on the year, as I still had half my fund in stocks and a few options, but the markets were now down year to date and the stocks I’d so smartly sold down at the top had themselves pulled back 20%-30% from their highs. They finally were stabilizing and the charts started to turn upward as the stocks were flattish to down on the year.\nHere I was sitting on a huge pile of cash and feeling like a genius for having sold at the top and here was a chance to just slowly start rebuilding and buying some new stocks while they were down. I started to buy back a few shares and to put just a little bit of that 50% cash, along with more cash coming in, to work in the markets.\nBy the time March rolled around, I was back fully invested and mostly long, up single digits on the year, and the markets were down about 10% or so on the year. One morning as I walked into my hedge fund hotel office that I rented from Bear Stearns on the 40th floor in midtown New York, I was shocked to see the Nasdaq futures were down huge. I pulled up the Bloomberg terminal and my heart sank as the headline screamed “Nortel admits fraud; Major telecom equipment vendors under investigation” or something along those lines. Nortel was cut in half and most every internet-equipment-related stock in the market was down 20% or more on the day. I puked my guts out that whole day and cried myself to sleep that night.\nI spent the rest of the year digging out of that hole and getting back ahead of the market and had a lot of success in that hedge fund from that bottom.\nLesson of the week — do not dig yourself a hole, OK?\nForeshadowing\nHere’s something I wrote in 2007, the last time I started turning from bullish to bearish and eventually traded my hedge fund for a TV gig right before the markets started tanking in late 2007: “Concerned about complacency” (May 3, 2007).\nHere’s an excerpt:\nI’m worried. That’s no news flash, as I’m always worried, but I am really concerned about the complacency out there. Earnings are great, as evidenced by the booming season we’re experiencing. The global economy is lifting a lot of boats. And every time I try to get bearish, I feel almost silly when the action, fundamentals and environment are this strong.\nJust about everybody is long real estate. … Wasn’t almost every rationalization for why we shouldn’t fret about any real estate bubble true when real estate crashed the last few times?\nLast month, the IMF reported that “the global economy remains on track for robust growth in 2007 and 2008. … Moreover, downside risks to the outlook seem less threatening than at the time of the September 2006 World Economic Outlook.” Has the IMF ever gotten the outlook right?\nThis utter disregard for risk permeates the sell side, too, as evidenced by this broker note from Bear this morning: “Worries — the market is running out of major concerns.” Not surprisingly, I suppose, I’m going to flip that statement as I find I have more major concerns about the market and economy today than I’ve had at any point in the past five years.\nA Citi board member recently told me that I had a “lot of guts” for having launched a tech fund in October 2002. I think you’d have to have a lot of guts to launch a tech fund in May 2007! I’m focusing more on the short side than anything else right now.\nBeware when things are too easy\nCody back in real time, 2021. I’m not saying the markets are about to tank like they did in 2008. But I am saying, once again, that I know way too many random hard-working people who are convinced that they can make big money in cryptos and meme stocks and by trading, trading, trading.\nAnd all my analysis points to an unfortunate risk/reward set up for the aggressive bulls here.\nThat story above about Nortel: I’m here to tell you that you won’t always get a chance to sell when the charts stop working. You don’t always get a chance to lock in your gains while you think it’s easy.\nI’ve been in this business, picking stocks and helping people manage their money for 25 years, and it seems obvious to me that trading and investing and making profits and keeping those profits is very hard to do over many years. There are times it seems easy. That’s often the best time to get cautious. Because if it really were easy, nobody would work their real jobs. We could all just trade stocks to each other all day and make all the money we need. Yeah, right.\nI have a new name or two I’m digging hard into this week, one in AI and another that’s trying to revolutionize long-term gig employment trends. Until then, I’m staying steady as she goes, even as so many others think YOLO and FOMO are just fun, little acronyms.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":220,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9084487399,"gmtCreate":1650902032427,"gmtModify":1676534812325,"author":{"id":"4088078239939980","authorId":"4088078239939980","authorIdStr":"4088078239939980","name":"Ting13","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088078239939980"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great","listText":"Great","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9084487399","repostId":"2230614999","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2230614999","pubTimestamp":1650890927,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2230614999?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-04-25 20:48","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple - Time To Take Another Bite","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2230614999","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"SummaryRecord quarterly revenues reported in the first quarter of 2022 are expected to be reported a","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Record quarterly revenues reported in the first quarter of 2022 are expected to be reported again in Q2 (quarter ending in March).</li><li>Apple is likely to announce another dividend increase and additional share buybacks in the Q2 earnings report.</li><li>Potential slowdowns in the June quarter due to China lockdowns and supply chain constraints may impact the share price in short-term but in long-term, the stock is a solid buy and hold.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ea532592996230e7f06219ea644f8da4\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"500\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Sam Diephuis/DigitalVision via Getty Images</span></p><p>If you are an investor in growth and technology stocks, you are probably wondering when the sentiment is going to turn back around in favor of those stocks as a long-term investment. Starting in the fall of 2021, many of the top growth and technology stocks have fallen in price by 10 to 30% or more as interest rates are expected to rise, supply chain issues have impacted semiconductor production, and inflation has driven up prices. The price of Apple, Inc (NASDAQ:AAPL) stock rose to a high of nearly $183 before dropping back down to the current price of $161.79 as of market close on 4/22/22.</p><p>With the company due to report earnings after the market close on Wednesday, April 27, investors will be looking for clues to forward guidance in light of the current bearish market environment. It is my opinion that Apple will once again surprise with an earnings beat, and at the same time are likely to announce a new product, such as an iCar (which they filed a patent on), or the AR/VR headset that is rumored to be on the horizon, that will once again shake up the marketplace and raise the stock to a new level.</p><p>Considering the fundamental, technical, and macroeconomic factors, as well as investor sentiment and favorable shareholder actions, all indications are that Apple is fairly priced today but still offers a good value for the long-term investor. I rate Apple a Buy ahead of earnings, especially if the price drops below $160 in the next few days ahead of the report. In this article I want to explain my reasoning by considering each of the factors.</p><p><b>Fundamentally Sound</b></p><p>The current EV/EBITDA ratio is near a recent low based on the past 3 years history, currently at 19.97. The last time it was much lower than that was in summer of 2020 as the stock was recovering from the March 2020 low.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/115a5774467bf3b71d1f9f1d7f592b0f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"236\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>AAPL 3-yr EV/EBITDA ratio (Seeking Alpha)</span></p><p>The forward P/E sits at about 26, which is slightly above the 5-year average, and slightly above the sector median. But Apple gets an A+ in Profitability based on SA quant factors, so the quality of earnings justifies the higher valuation. Apple is a cash flow machine with a net income margin of 26.5% and levered FCF margin of 21%. Operating cash flow growth is not too shabby either, at 26% YOY.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8883d2c7a307f223544fedb9ae128b31\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"427\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Profitability grades (Seeking Alpha)</span></p><p>Profitability grades (Seeking Alpha)Revenue growth YOY is at 28.6% and EBITDA growth YOY sits at a whopping 50.5%. The trend in consensus EPS revisions has been moving upward with 26 up revisions in the past 3 months and only 1 down revision along with 24 up revenue revisions and 1 down.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/38b4f7a69a160f1011888f5077728006\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"222\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Consensus EPS Revisions (Seeking Alpha)</span></p><p>With about $64B in cash and an enterprise value of over $2.6T, Apple is financially sound and fundamentally strong. Company management under Tim Cook has been excellent at capital allocation and in capitalizing on additional service revenues above and beyond the core product lines of iPhones, wearables, Macs, iPads, and other hardware devices. Winning an Oscar for best picture on Apple TV+ did not hurt their business either.</p><p>In January, the company reported an all-time revenue record reaching $123.9B for the FY22 first quarter, up 11% YOY. All-time highs were reached for iPhone, Mac, Wearables, and Services revenues in that quarter.</p><p><b>Technically Speaking</b></p><p>The chart for Apple has shown some resistance recently as the stock attempts to reach new highs. AAPL stock is currently trading below the 6-month moving average and is starting to look oversold. The Money Flow index and RSI both indicate that the stock is becoming somewhat oversold.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ccb51716a162d62f2cab44a7bb402e7f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"472\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>AAPL technical chart (TD Ameritrade)</span></p><p>Over the past 6 months AAPL stock has traded in a similar manner to the overall market and the technology sector (using XLK as a benchmark) but offering a higher return. The stock is finding support at the $150 level and could drop as low as that level before turning upward again if the earnings report is favorable, as I expect it will be.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/648f1a2d001c9cb72b6ceb8121641911\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"232\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>AAPL Stock chart (Seeking Alpha)</span></p><p>What About Rising Rates, Supply Chain Issues, and Inflation?</p><p>There is some speculation that rising interest rates could negatively impact Apple’s forward earnings. That fear is partly responsible for the recent selloff in technology stocks, including Apple. However, the opposite may actually be true based on past events. In fact, according to this report, Apple is <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of the best performing stocks when interest rates rise.</p><blockquote>Nine stocks in the S&amp;P 500 — including information-technology giants like Advanced Micro Devices (<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">AMD</a>) and Apple as well as health care firm Bio-Techne (TECH) — have powered higher when interest rates entered periods of multiple Fed rate hikes since 1990, says an Investor&#39;s Business Daily analysis of data from LPL Financial and S&amp;P Global Market Intelligence.</blockquote><p>Concerns about supply chain issues are valid and could impact Mac deliveries as well as iPhone demand as China endures further lockdowns related to Covid cases on the rise in Shanghai and other cities where Apple has a large manufacturing presence such as Zhengzhou, although one report states that manufacturing there is unaffected. Inflationary pressures due to rising commodity prices and reduced consumer demand due to concerns about the Ukraine war and impacts to the global economy may be reflected in the upcoming earnings report.</p><p>However, based on recent upward consensus earnings revisions and reports of growing consumer demand, I think that it is unlikely that a reduction in demand will be reflected in the current quarter’s earnings report. In fact, one source reports that the growing demand for iPhone 13 is helping Apple capture market share in the smartphone space.</p><blockquote>The Cupertino, California-based Apple accounted for 18% of the smartphone market, up from 15% in the first-quarter of 2021, even as overall smartphone shipments fell 11%, due to &#34;unfavorable economic conditions and sluggish seasonal demand.&#34;</blockquote><blockquote>&#34;While the iPhone 13 series continues to capture consumer demand, the new iPhone SE launched in March is becoming an important mid-range volume driver for Apple,&#34; Canalys Analyst Sanyam Chaurasia said in a statement.</blockquote><p><b>Investor Sentiment and Analyst Ratings</b></p><p>Wall Street analysts are bullish on Apple stock with 27 Strong Buy, 7 Buy, 1 Sell and 1 Strong Sell rating.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fe377b4b2f8b7fd49a71f243b3a7fc4\" tg-width=\"517\" tg-height=\"295\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Analyst Ratings (Seeking Alpha)</span></p><p>The consensus of SA authors and current Quant ratings give AAPL a Hold rating overall. Often, just before an earnings report there are many conflicting opinions on whether to buy, sell, or hold Apple stock and this quarter is no exception with several recent articles published on SA that suggest selling the stock ahead of earnings.</p><p>Some analysts are expecting Apple to announce an increase in share buybacks, a dividend increase, or both.</p><blockquote>Apple typically announces its latest buyback and dividend strategies in conjunction with its March-quarter earnings, and this year’s update could be the “most incremental potential positive” element of Apple’s entire report, according to Wells Fargo analyst Aaron Rakers.</blockquote><blockquote>CFRA’s Angelo Zino sees the potential for a more buyback-heavy update, predicting a $100 billion increase to Apple’s share-repurchase authorization and a roughly 7% bump to its dividend.</blockquote><p>Chief Financial Officer Luca Maestri said on Apple’s last earnings call that the company expects to recognize record quarterly revenues in the March quarter, but that the YOY comparison may be challenging.</p><blockquote>We expect to achieve solid year-over-year revenue growth and set a March quarter revenue record despite significant supply constraints, which we estimate to be less than what we experienced during the December quarter. We expect our revenue growth rate to decelerate from the December quarter, primarily due to 2 factors. First, during the March quarter a year ago, we grew revenue by 54%. Remember that last year, we launched our new iPhones during the December quarter. While this year, we launched them during the September quarter. Due to the later launch a year ago, some of the associated channel inventory fill occurred during the March quarter last year. As a result of the different launch timing, we will face a more challenging year-over-year compare.</blockquote><p>Shareholder Actions – Dividends and Buybacks</p><p>Apple has been paying a small but growing dividend and most recently declared a cash dividend of $0.22 per share of common stock payable on February 10, 2022, to shareholders of record as of February 7, 2022. The dividend was increased by 7% in the March 2021 quarter and represents 9 years of consecutive dividend increases as shown in the dividend history chart from the Seeking Alpha Dividends page for AAPL.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/345f4ee69e9bb5548c5ff561edca975c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"245\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>AAPL Dividend History (Seeking Alpha)</span></p><p>The current yield sits at about 0.5% and the 4-year average dividend yield is 1%. However, the 5-year yield on cost is currently at about 2.5%, so for dividend growth investors who plan to hold the stock long-term that is an appealing consideration.</p><p>In the March 2021 quarter, the dividend increase and share repurchase announcement included good news for Apple investors as explained by CFO Luca Maestri:</p><blockquote>As we continue to execute at an extremely high level, we were also able to return nearly $23 billion to shareholders during the March quarter. This included $3.4 billion in dividends and equivalents and $19 billion through open market repurchases of 147 million Apple shares. We continue to believe there is great value in our stock and maintain our target of reaching a net cash neutral position over time.</blockquote><blockquote>Given the confidence we have in our business today and into the future, our Board has authorized an additional $90 billion for share repurchases. We&#39;re also raising our dividend by 7% to $0.22 per share, and we continue to plan for annual increases in the dividend going forward.</blockquote><p>Given that announcement and the record revenues recognized in the December quarter, analysts and investors are expecting another dividend increase and additional share repurchases to be announced in the upcoming earnings report on April 27.</p><p><b>Looking Ahead with Caution</b></p><p>One potential caution for investors to look for in the earnings report for the quarter ending in March is the outlook and guidance for the next quarter ending in June. Ongoing lockdowns in China and continuing supply chain issues may not have had a detrimental impact on the early part of 2022 but could negatively impact earnings for the second quarter (which is Apple’s fiscal Q3).</p><p>According to some analysts the shipments of Macs could be impacted by ongoing lockdowns and supply chain disruptions in China:</p><blockquote>Huberty cautioned that COVID-related lockdowns in major China manufacturing hubs, such as Shanghai, Kunshan, and Zhengzhou, could cause Apple to &#34;take a more cautious stance when providing commentary on the June quarter given the unpredictable nature of potential future lockdowns.</blockquote><p>Another analyst gave a neutral rating on Apple stock given the uncertainty around China:</p><blockquote>Crockett set a price target of $184 a share on Apple&#39;s stock in addition to setting his neutral rating on the company&#39;s shares. Crockett said that while Apple saw its Mac and iPad businesses get a boost due to the COVID-19 pandemic, and the company had a strong new iPhone release last year, it is facing new obstacles coming from China, where many of its products are made.</blockquote><p>Earnings are also due next week for Alphabet (GOOG), Amazon (AMZN) and Meta (FB). If any of those megacap tech stocks have a poor earnings report or suggest a slowdown in consumer spending that could have a negative impact on Apple stock as well.</p><p>I am long AAPL and holding in my No Guts No Glory portfolio as a core long-term position. I will be looking to add to my position if the price drops below $160.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple - Time To Take Another Bite</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple - Time To Take Another Bite\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-04-25 20:48 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4503283-apple-time-to-take-another-bite><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryRecord quarterly revenues reported in the first quarter of 2022 are expected to be reported again in Q2 (quarter ending in March).Apple is likely to announce another dividend increase and ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4503283-apple-time-to-take-another-bite\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4505":"高瓴资本持仓","BK4579":"人工智能","BK4512":"苹果概念","BK4575":"芯片概念","BK4170":"电脑硬件、储存设备及电脑周边","BK4576":"AR","BK4571":"数字音乐概念","BK4515":"5G概念","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","AAPL":"苹果","BK4553":"喜马拉雅资本持仓","BK4507":"流媒体概念","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4566":"资本集团","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4501":"段永平概念","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4573":"虚拟现实","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4574":"无人驾驶"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4503283-apple-time-to-take-another-bite","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2230614999","content_text":"SummaryRecord quarterly revenues reported in the first quarter of 2022 are expected to be reported again in Q2 (quarter ending in March).Apple is likely to announce another dividend increase and additional share buybacks in the Q2 earnings report.Potential slowdowns in the June quarter due to China lockdowns and supply chain constraints may impact the share price in short-term but in long-term, the stock is a solid buy and hold.Sam Diephuis/DigitalVision via Getty ImagesIf you are an investor in growth and technology stocks, you are probably wondering when the sentiment is going to turn back around in favor of those stocks as a long-term investment. Starting in the fall of 2021, many of the top growth and technology stocks have fallen in price by 10 to 30% or more as interest rates are expected to rise, supply chain issues have impacted semiconductor production, and inflation has driven up prices. The price of Apple, Inc (NASDAQ:AAPL) stock rose to a high of nearly $183 before dropping back down to the current price of $161.79 as of market close on 4/22/22.With the company due to report earnings after the market close on Wednesday, April 27, investors will be looking for clues to forward guidance in light of the current bearish market environment. It is my opinion that Apple will once again surprise with an earnings beat, and at the same time are likely to announce a new product, such as an iCar (which they filed a patent on), or the AR/VR headset that is rumored to be on the horizon, that will once again shake up the marketplace and raise the stock to a new level.Considering the fundamental, technical, and macroeconomic factors, as well as investor sentiment and favorable shareholder actions, all indications are that Apple is fairly priced today but still offers a good value for the long-term investor. I rate Apple a Buy ahead of earnings, especially if the price drops below $160 in the next few days ahead of the report. In this article I want to explain my reasoning by considering each of the factors.Fundamentally SoundThe current EV/EBITDA ratio is near a recent low based on the past 3 years history, currently at 19.97. The last time it was much lower than that was in summer of 2020 as the stock was recovering from the March 2020 low.AAPL 3-yr EV/EBITDA ratio (Seeking Alpha)The forward P/E sits at about 26, which is slightly above the 5-year average, and slightly above the sector median. But Apple gets an A+ in Profitability based on SA quant factors, so the quality of earnings justifies the higher valuation. Apple is a cash flow machine with a net income margin of 26.5% and levered FCF margin of 21%. Operating cash flow growth is not too shabby either, at 26% YOY.Profitability grades (Seeking Alpha)Profitability grades (Seeking Alpha)Revenue growth YOY is at 28.6% and EBITDA growth YOY sits at a whopping 50.5%. The trend in consensus EPS revisions has been moving upward with 26 up revisions in the past 3 months and only 1 down revision along with 24 up revenue revisions and 1 down.Consensus EPS Revisions (Seeking Alpha)With about $64B in cash and an enterprise value of over $2.6T, Apple is financially sound and fundamentally strong. Company management under Tim Cook has been excellent at capital allocation and in capitalizing on additional service revenues above and beyond the core product lines of iPhones, wearables, Macs, iPads, and other hardware devices. Winning an Oscar for best picture on Apple TV+ did not hurt their business either.In January, the company reported an all-time revenue record reaching $123.9B for the FY22 first quarter, up 11% YOY. All-time highs were reached for iPhone, Mac, Wearables, and Services revenues in that quarter.Technically SpeakingThe chart for Apple has shown some resistance recently as the stock attempts to reach new highs. AAPL stock is currently trading below the 6-month moving average and is starting to look oversold. The Money Flow index and RSI both indicate that the stock is becoming somewhat oversold.AAPL technical chart (TD Ameritrade)Over the past 6 months AAPL stock has traded in a similar manner to the overall market and the technology sector (using XLK as a benchmark) but offering a higher return. The stock is finding support at the $150 level and could drop as low as that level before turning upward again if the earnings report is favorable, as I expect it will be.AAPL Stock chart (Seeking Alpha)What About Rising Rates, Supply Chain Issues, and Inflation?There is some speculation that rising interest rates could negatively impact Apple’s forward earnings. That fear is partly responsible for the recent selloff in technology stocks, including Apple. However, the opposite may actually be true based on past events. In fact, according to this report, Apple is one of the best performing stocks when interest rates rise.Nine stocks in the S&P 500 — including information-technology giants like Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) and Apple as well as health care firm Bio-Techne (TECH) — have powered higher when interest rates entered periods of multiple Fed rate hikes since 1990, says an Investor's Business Daily analysis of data from LPL Financial and S&P Global Market Intelligence.Concerns about supply chain issues are valid and could impact Mac deliveries as well as iPhone demand as China endures further lockdowns related to Covid cases on the rise in Shanghai and other cities where Apple has a large manufacturing presence such as Zhengzhou, although one report states that manufacturing there is unaffected. Inflationary pressures due to rising commodity prices and reduced consumer demand due to concerns about the Ukraine war and impacts to the global economy may be reflected in the upcoming earnings report.However, based on recent upward consensus earnings revisions and reports of growing consumer demand, I think that it is unlikely that a reduction in demand will be reflected in the current quarter’s earnings report. In fact, one source reports that the growing demand for iPhone 13 is helping Apple capture market share in the smartphone space.The Cupertino, California-based Apple accounted for 18% of the smartphone market, up from 15% in the first-quarter of 2021, even as overall smartphone shipments fell 11%, due to \"unfavorable economic conditions and sluggish seasonal demand.\"\"While the iPhone 13 series continues to capture consumer demand, the new iPhone SE launched in March is becoming an important mid-range volume driver for Apple,\" Canalys Analyst Sanyam Chaurasia said in a statement.Investor Sentiment and Analyst RatingsWall Street analysts are bullish on Apple stock with 27 Strong Buy, 7 Buy, 1 Sell and 1 Strong Sell rating.Analyst Ratings (Seeking Alpha)The consensus of SA authors and current Quant ratings give AAPL a Hold rating overall. Often, just before an earnings report there are many conflicting opinions on whether to buy, sell, or hold Apple stock and this quarter is no exception with several recent articles published on SA that suggest selling the stock ahead of earnings.Some analysts are expecting Apple to announce an increase in share buybacks, a dividend increase, or both.Apple typically announces its latest buyback and dividend strategies in conjunction with its March-quarter earnings, and this year’s update could be the “most incremental potential positive” element of Apple’s entire report, according to Wells Fargo analyst Aaron Rakers.CFRA’s Angelo Zino sees the potential for a more buyback-heavy update, predicting a $100 billion increase to Apple’s share-repurchase authorization and a roughly 7% bump to its dividend.Chief Financial Officer Luca Maestri said on Apple’s last earnings call that the company expects to recognize record quarterly revenues in the March quarter, but that the YOY comparison may be challenging.We expect to achieve solid year-over-year revenue growth and set a March quarter revenue record despite significant supply constraints, which we estimate to be less than what we experienced during the December quarter. We expect our revenue growth rate to decelerate from the December quarter, primarily due to 2 factors. First, during the March quarter a year ago, we grew revenue by 54%. Remember that last year, we launched our new iPhones during the December quarter. While this year, we launched them during the September quarter. Due to the later launch a year ago, some of the associated channel inventory fill occurred during the March quarter last year. As a result of the different launch timing, we will face a more challenging year-over-year compare.Shareholder Actions – Dividends and BuybacksApple has been paying a small but growing dividend and most recently declared a cash dividend of $0.22 per share of common stock payable on February 10, 2022, to shareholders of record as of February 7, 2022. The dividend was increased by 7% in the March 2021 quarter and represents 9 years of consecutive dividend increases as shown in the dividend history chart from the Seeking Alpha Dividends page for AAPL.AAPL Dividend History (Seeking Alpha)The current yield sits at about 0.5% and the 4-year average dividend yield is 1%. However, the 5-year yield on cost is currently at about 2.5%, so for dividend growth investors who plan to hold the stock long-term that is an appealing consideration.In the March 2021 quarter, the dividend increase and share repurchase announcement included good news for Apple investors as explained by CFO Luca Maestri:As we continue to execute at an extremely high level, we were also able to return nearly $23 billion to shareholders during the March quarter. This included $3.4 billion in dividends and equivalents and $19 billion through open market repurchases of 147 million Apple shares. We continue to believe there is great value in our stock and maintain our target of reaching a net cash neutral position over time.Given the confidence we have in our business today and into the future, our Board has authorized an additional $90 billion for share repurchases. We're also raising our dividend by 7% to $0.22 per share, and we continue to plan for annual increases in the dividend going forward.Given that announcement and the record revenues recognized in the December quarter, analysts and investors are expecting another dividend increase and additional share repurchases to be announced in the upcoming earnings report on April 27.Looking Ahead with CautionOne potential caution for investors to look for in the earnings report for the quarter ending in March is the outlook and guidance for the next quarter ending in June. Ongoing lockdowns in China and continuing supply chain issues may not have had a detrimental impact on the early part of 2022 but could negatively impact earnings for the second quarter (which is Apple’s fiscal Q3).According to some analysts the shipments of Macs could be impacted by ongoing lockdowns and supply chain disruptions in China:Huberty cautioned that COVID-related lockdowns in major China manufacturing hubs, such as Shanghai, Kunshan, and Zhengzhou, could cause Apple to \"take a more cautious stance when providing commentary on the June quarter given the unpredictable nature of potential future lockdowns.Another analyst gave a neutral rating on Apple stock given the uncertainty around China:Crockett set a price target of $184 a share on Apple's stock in addition to setting his neutral rating on the company's shares. Crockett said that while Apple saw its Mac and iPad businesses get a boost due to the COVID-19 pandemic, and the company had a strong new iPhone release last year, it is facing new obstacles coming from China, where many of its products are made.Earnings are also due next week for Alphabet (GOOG), Amazon (AMZN) and Meta (FB). If any of those megacap tech stocks have a poor earnings report or suggest a slowdown in consumer spending that could have a negative impact on Apple stock as well.I am long AAPL and holding in my No Guts No Glory portfolio as a core long-term position. I will be looking to add to my position if the price drops below $160.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":420,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9088734734,"gmtCreate":1650382446487,"gmtModify":1676534710238,"author":{"id":"4088078239939980","authorId":"4088078239939980","authorIdStr":"4088078239939980","name":"Ting13","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088078239939980"},"themes":[],"title":"Buy buy buy","htmlText":"What should we buy today? Will Twitter drop further?","listText":"What should we buy today? Will Twitter drop further?","text":"What should we buy today? Will Twitter drop further?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9088734734","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":210,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000701","authorId":"9000000000000701","authorIdStr":"9000000000000701","name":"AthenaVeblen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fb48733f77d50133639e148b840f87ae","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000701"},"content":"In the current market, I think the share prices of many companies are reasonable. But the main reason for my hesitation is the uncertainty of the market and the potential war risk.","text":"In the current market, I think the share prices of many companies are reasonable. But the main reason for my hesitation is the uncertainty of the market and the potential war risk.","html":"In the current market, I think the share prices of many companies are reasonable. But the main reason for my hesitation is the uncertainty of the market and the potential war risk."}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":155666020,"gmtCreate":1625413281560,"gmtModify":1703741462384,"author":{"id":"4088078239939980","authorId":"4088078239939980","authorIdStr":"4088078239939980","name":"Ting13","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088078239939980"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Buy now","listText":"Buy now","text":"Buy now","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/155666020","repostId":"1160702483","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1160702483","pubTimestamp":1625369888,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1160702483?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-04 11:38","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Two new stock market acronyms — FOLO and YOMO — can save you a lot of grief (and money)","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1160702483","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"When stock market investing gets too easy, consider getting out of the market.\n\nYou’ve probably hear","content":"<blockquote>\n <b>When stock market investing gets too easy, consider getting out of the market.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>You’ve probably heard about people trading stocks based on two acronyms: FOMO (fear of missing out) and YOLO (you only live once). I searched Twitter for both terms with the word “stocks” included, and here’s what I found:</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4416d357ac2bc16d4fdcf60a3c4c3c56\" tg-width=\"916\" tg-height=\"463\"></p>\n<p>I have a proposition for you. In the name of flipping it, we should consider the following two terms as much more insightful and helpful to investors and traders:</p>\n<p>FOLO (fear of living once)&nbsp; and YOMO (you only miss out).</p>\n<p>Here’s a story I’ve told about how things can go wrong even when you’re think you’re trading well and outperforming the markets seems easy.</p>\n<p>Return to 2004</p>\n<p>It was late January 2004, and I was starting my second full year of running a hedge fund, and I was off to an incredible start to the year. I’d come into 2004 steadily scaling into ever-larger and more aggressive positions in mostly internet core equipment vendors like Nortel, JDSU, and Cisco, not to mention my largest position in Apple, which I’d first bought for the fund back in March of 2003. (I held Apple along with occasional Apple call options until I closed the fund, by the way.) I’d made big money already in my hedge fund, which was full of mostly long positions as the markets had been in a big rebound from their October 2002 lows.</p>\n<p>As 2004 started, the markets were in what I called a Steady Betty Rally Mode at the time, and internet-equipment stocks were the single hottest sector into the new year. I started trimming some of my biggest winners down, including the aforementioned Nortel, JDSU and Cisco, along with any stocks that were up 20%, 30% or even more as January wore on. By late January, I was nearly back up to half in cash and the hedge fund was already up nearly 25% for the year while the broader markets were barely up 5% on the year.</p>\n<p>In the last week of January, the markets turned south and the highest-flying winners of the year, like those that I’d just sold down and taken huge profits on, were the hardest hit. I’d previously learned the hard way over the years that you should never confuse a bull market with genius, but I’d even nailed the near-term top and my whole year was already in the pocket. I was feeling pretty good about myself and my trading prowess and listening to Willie cover Woody Guthrie’s classic, “Stay a little longer” chuckling about how I’d left before the party was busted!</p>\n<p>By early February, I was “only” up just over 20% on the year, as I still had half my fund in stocks and a few options, but the markets were now down year to date and the stocks I’d so smartly sold down at the top had themselves pulled back 20%-30% from their highs. They finally were stabilizing and the charts started to turn upward as the stocks were flattish to down on the year.</p>\n<p>Here I was sitting on a huge pile of cash and feeling like a genius for having sold at the top and here was a chance to just slowly start rebuilding and buying some new stocks while they were down. I started to buy back a few shares and to put just a little bit of that 50% cash, along with more cash coming in, to work in the markets.</p>\n<p>By the time March rolled around, I was back fully invested and mostly long, up single digits on the year, and the markets were down about 10% or so on the year. One morning as I walked into my hedge fund hotel office that I rented from Bear Stearns on the 40th floor in midtown New York, I was shocked to see the Nasdaq futures were down huge. I pulled up the Bloomberg terminal and my heart sank as the headline screamed “Nortel admits fraud; Major telecom equipment vendors under investigation” or something along those lines. Nortel was cut in half and most every internet-equipment-related stock in the market was down 20% or more on the day. I puked my guts out that whole day and cried myself to sleep that night.</p>\n<p>I spent the rest of the year digging out of that hole and getting back ahead of the market and had a lot of success in that hedge fund from that bottom.</p>\n<p>Lesson of the week — do not dig yourself a hole, OK?</p>\n<p>Foreshadowing</p>\n<p>Here’s something I wrote in 2007, the last time I started turning from bullish to bearish and eventually traded my hedge fund for a TV gig right before the markets started tanking in late 2007: “Concerned about complacency” (May 3, 2007).</p>\n<p>Here’s an excerpt:</p>\n<p><i>I’m worried. That’s no news flash, as I’m&nbsp;always&nbsp;worried, but I am really concerned about the complacency out there. Earnings are great, as evidenced by the booming season we’re experiencing. The global economy is lifting a lot of boats. And every time I try to get bearish, I feel almost silly when the action, fundamentals and environment are this strong.</i></p>\n<p><i>Just about everybody is long real estate. … Wasn’t almost every rationalization for why we shouldn’t fret about any real estate bubble true when real estate crashed the last few times?</i></p>\n<p><i>Last month, the IMF reported that “the global economy remains on track for robust growth in 2007 and 2008. … Moreover, downside risks to the outlook seem less threatening than at the time of the September 2006&nbsp;World Economic Outlook.” Has the IMF ever gotten the outlook right?</i></p>\n<p><i>This utter disregard for risk permeates the sell side, too, as evidenced by this broker note from Bear this morning: “Worries —&nbsp;the market is running out of major concerns.” Not surprisingly, I suppose, I’m going to&nbsp;flip&nbsp;that statement as I find I have more major concerns about the market and economy today than I’ve had at any point in the past five years.</i></p>\n<p><i>A&nbsp;Citi&nbsp;board member recently told me that I had a “lot of guts” for having launched a tech fund in October 2002. I think you’d have to have a lot of guts to launch a tech fund in May 2007! I’m focusing more on the short side than anything else right now.</i></p>\n<p>Beware when things are too easy</p>\n<p>Cody&nbsp;back in real time, 2021. I’m not saying the markets are about to tank like they did in 2008. But I am saying, once again, that I know way too many random hard-working people who are convinced that they can make big money in cryptos and meme stocks and by trading, trading, trading.</p>\n<p>And all my analysis points to an unfortunate risk/reward set up for the aggressive bulls here.</p>\n<p>That story above about Nortel: I’m here to tell you that you won’t always get a chance to sell when the charts stop working. You don’t always get a chance to lock in your gains while you think it’s easy.</p>\n<p>I’ve been in this business, picking stocks and helping people manage their money for 25 years, and it seems obvious to me that trading and investing and making profits and keeping those profits is very hard to do over many years. There are times it seems easy. That’s often the best time to get cautious. Because if it really were easy, nobody would work their real jobs. We could all just trade stocks to each other all day and make all the money we need. Yeah, right.</p>\n<p>I have a new name or two I’m digging hard into this week, one in AI and another that’s trying to revolutionize long-term gig employment trends. Until then, I’m staying steady as she goes, even as so many others think YOLO and FOMO are just fun, little acronyms.</p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Two new stock market acronyms — FOLO and YOMO — can save you a lot of grief (and money)</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTwo new stock market acronyms — FOLO and YOMO — can save you a lot of grief (and money)\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-04 11:38 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/two-new-stock-market-acronyms-folo-and-yomo-can-save-you-a-lot-of-grief-and-money-11625247142?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>When stock market investing gets too easy, consider getting out of the market.\n\nYou’ve probably heard about people trading stocks based on two acronyms: FOMO (fear of missing out) and YOLO (you only ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/two-new-stock-market-acronyms-folo-and-yomo-can-save-you-a-lot-of-grief-and-money-11625247142?mod=home-page\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/two-new-stock-market-acronyms-folo-and-yomo-can-save-you-a-lot-of-grief-and-money-11625247142?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1160702483","content_text":"When stock market investing gets too easy, consider getting out of the market.\n\nYou’ve probably heard about people trading stocks based on two acronyms: FOMO (fear of missing out) and YOLO (you only live once). I searched Twitter for both terms with the word “stocks” included, and here’s what I found:\n\nI have a proposition for you. In the name of flipping it, we should consider the following two terms as much more insightful and helpful to investors and traders:\nFOLO (fear of living once)  and YOMO (you only miss out).\nHere’s a story I’ve told about how things can go wrong even when you’re think you’re trading well and outperforming the markets seems easy.\nReturn to 2004\nIt was late January 2004, and I was starting my second full year of running a hedge fund, and I was off to an incredible start to the year. I’d come into 2004 steadily scaling into ever-larger and more aggressive positions in mostly internet core equipment vendors like Nortel, JDSU, and Cisco, not to mention my largest position in Apple, which I’d first bought for the fund back in March of 2003. (I held Apple along with occasional Apple call options until I closed the fund, by the way.) I’d made big money already in my hedge fund, which was full of mostly long positions as the markets had been in a big rebound from their October 2002 lows.\nAs 2004 started, the markets were in what I called a Steady Betty Rally Mode at the time, and internet-equipment stocks were the single hottest sector into the new year. I started trimming some of my biggest winners down, including the aforementioned Nortel, JDSU and Cisco, along with any stocks that were up 20%, 30% or even more as January wore on. By late January, I was nearly back up to half in cash and the hedge fund was already up nearly 25% for the year while the broader markets were barely up 5% on the year.\nIn the last week of January, the markets turned south and the highest-flying winners of the year, like those that I’d just sold down and taken huge profits on, were the hardest hit. I’d previously learned the hard way over the years that you should never confuse a bull market with genius, but I’d even nailed the near-term top and my whole year was already in the pocket. I was feeling pretty good about myself and my trading prowess and listening to Willie cover Woody Guthrie’s classic, “Stay a little longer” chuckling about how I’d left before the party was busted!\nBy early February, I was “only” up just over 20% on the year, as I still had half my fund in stocks and a few options, but the markets were now down year to date and the stocks I’d so smartly sold down at the top had themselves pulled back 20%-30% from their highs. They finally were stabilizing and the charts started to turn upward as the stocks were flattish to down on the year.\nHere I was sitting on a huge pile of cash and feeling like a genius for having sold at the top and here was a chance to just slowly start rebuilding and buying some new stocks while they were down. I started to buy back a few shares and to put just a little bit of that 50% cash, along with more cash coming in, to work in the markets.\nBy the time March rolled around, I was back fully invested and mostly long, up single digits on the year, and the markets were down about 10% or so on the year. One morning as I walked into my hedge fund hotel office that I rented from Bear Stearns on the 40th floor in midtown New York, I was shocked to see the Nasdaq futures were down huge. I pulled up the Bloomberg terminal and my heart sank as the headline screamed “Nortel admits fraud; Major telecom equipment vendors under investigation” or something along those lines. Nortel was cut in half and most every internet-equipment-related stock in the market was down 20% or more on the day. I puked my guts out that whole day and cried myself to sleep that night.\nI spent the rest of the year digging out of that hole and getting back ahead of the market and had a lot of success in that hedge fund from that bottom.\nLesson of the week — do not dig yourself a hole, OK?\nForeshadowing\nHere’s something I wrote in 2007, the last time I started turning from bullish to bearish and eventually traded my hedge fund for a TV gig right before the markets started tanking in late 2007: “Concerned about complacency” (May 3, 2007).\nHere’s an excerpt:\nI’m worried. That’s no news flash, as I’m always worried, but I am really concerned about the complacency out there. Earnings are great, as evidenced by the booming season we’re experiencing. The global economy is lifting a lot of boats. And every time I try to get bearish, I feel almost silly when the action, fundamentals and environment are this strong.\nJust about everybody is long real estate. … Wasn’t almost every rationalization for why we shouldn’t fret about any real estate bubble true when real estate crashed the last few times?\nLast month, the IMF reported that “the global economy remains on track for robust growth in 2007 and 2008. … Moreover, downside risks to the outlook seem less threatening than at the time of the September 2006 World Economic Outlook.” Has the IMF ever gotten the outlook right?\nThis utter disregard for risk permeates the sell side, too, as evidenced by this broker note from Bear this morning: “Worries — the market is running out of major concerns.” Not surprisingly, I suppose, I’m going to flip that statement as I find I have more major concerns about the market and economy today than I’ve had at any point in the past five years.\nA Citi board member recently told me that I had a “lot of guts” for having launched a tech fund in October 2002. I think you’d have to have a lot of guts to launch a tech fund in May 2007! I’m focusing more on the short side than anything else right now.\nBeware when things are too easy\nCody back in real time, 2021. I’m not saying the markets are about to tank like they did in 2008. But I am saying, once again, that I know way too many random hard-working people who are convinced that they can make big money in cryptos and meme stocks and by trading, trading, trading.\nAnd all my analysis points to an unfortunate risk/reward set up for the aggressive bulls here.\nThat story above about Nortel: I’m here to tell you that you won’t always get a chance to sell when the charts stop working. You don’t always get a chance to lock in your gains while you think it’s easy.\nI’ve been in this business, picking stocks and helping people manage their money for 25 years, and it seems obvious to me that trading and investing and making profits and keeping those profits is very hard to do over many years. There are times it seems easy. That’s often the best time to get cautious. Because if it really were easy, nobody would work their real jobs. We could all just trade stocks to each other all day and make all the money we need. Yeah, right.\nI have a new name or two I’m digging hard into this week, one in AI and another that’s trying to revolutionize long-term gig employment trends. Until then, I’m staying steady as she goes, even as so many others think YOLO and FOMO are just fun, little acronyms.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":220,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9046642733,"gmtCreate":1656344175322,"gmtModify":1676535810284,"author":{"id":"4088078239939980","authorId":"4088078239939980","authorIdStr":"4088078239939980","name":"Ting13","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088078239939980"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Posting for attempts","listText":"Posting for attempts","text":"Posting for 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