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s0ulless
2022-04-25
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Why This Analyst Thinks Tesla's Disruptive Potential Can Put These Companies Out Of Business
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2022-03-16
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2022-02-03
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2022-01-21
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2022-01-15
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Are Electric Vehicle Stocks Overhyped?
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","listText":"[Like] ","text":"[Like]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":15,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9084163124","repostId":"1135284818","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1135284818","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1650793523,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1135284818?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-04-24 17:45","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why This Analyst Thinks Tesla's Disruptive Potential Can Put These Companies Out Of Business","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1135284818","media":"Benzinga","summary":"ZINGER BRIEFTraditional automakers are not positioned to challenge Tesla and will need to restructur","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>ZINGER BRIEF</b></p><ul><li>Traditional automakers are not positioned to challenge Tesla and will need to restructure</li><li>Ride-hailing services and insurance companies could also be bulldozed by Tesla</li></ul><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cae0e867be88e6ed54490877ce38142d\" tg-width=\"518\" tg-height=\"279\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><b>Tesla, Inc.</b> reported Wednesday forecast-beating results for its first quarter.Given the all-around strength and the management's positive commentary on the mainstay EV operations and other businesses, an analyst at <b>Loup Ventures</b> said Tesla is putting the prospects of companies across multiple sectors at risk.</p><p><b>More Than Car Company:</b>Tesla is more than a car company and more than a tech company, and it is in fact an "energy company" in the hiding, Loup cofounder <b>Gene Munster</b> said in a note.</p><p>"In reviewing the details of Tesla's March quarter, it has become increasingly clear that Tesla has the potential to be even more than an energy company," the analyst said.</p><p>Here are a few companies/sectors Tesla could put at risk:</p><p><b>Automakers:</b>Demand for Tesla is outpacing the broader auto industry, the analyst said. As Tesla scales to meet demand, the price-performance gap versus other automakers will widen, he added.</p><p>Traditional autos may have to price their cars 10-25% higher than Tesla, if they manufacture them with all the features contained in Tesla vehicles and choose to sell at cost, the analyst noted. If these companies choose to subsidize their vehicles, their margins will take a hit, he added.</p><p>"To that end, we believe that legacy car companies will eventually be forced to restructure or go out of business within the next decade," the analyst said.</p><p><b>Ride-hailing Services:</b>Autonomy will eventually be a mandated feature in all cars, the analyst said.<b>Elon Musk's</b>push to put full-self driving software on roads before it's ready, though a flawed approach, will hand Tesla a long-term competitive advantage for feeding the self-driving neural network, he added.</p><p>If Tesla wins, it could finalize on the ride-sharing service Musk has been sounding out recently, the analyst said. Going by the 2024 timeframe Musk has given for the launch and allowing some leeway for potential delays, the analyst said <b>Lyft, Inc.</b> and <b>Uber Technologies, Inc.</b> will have about four years left.</p><p><b>Insurers:</b>The <b>Allstate Corporation</b> and GEICO could be in trouble, going by how Tesla has grown its insurance business.</p><p>"Traditional auto insurance won't be able to compete because they will lack the vertically integrated, real-time data that Tesla can share and optimize," the analyst said.</p><p><b>Physical Labor</b> Musk sounded upbeat about the potential for the Optimus robot, Munster noted.</p><p>"If Musk pulls it off, physical labor will be shifted to robots, and the value created for shareholders would skyrocket past the value of EV and autonomy," the analyst said.</p><p>Tesla closed Friday's session down 0.37% at $1,005.05, according to BenzingaPro data.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why This Analyst Thinks Tesla's Disruptive Potential Can Put These Companies Out Of Business</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy This Analyst Thinks Tesla's Disruptive Potential Can Put These Companies Out Of Business\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-04-24 17:45</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p><b>ZINGER BRIEF</b></p><ul><li>Traditional automakers are not positioned to challenge Tesla and will need to restructure</li><li>Ride-hailing services and insurance companies could also be bulldozed by Tesla</li></ul><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cae0e867be88e6ed54490877ce38142d\" tg-width=\"518\" tg-height=\"279\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><b>Tesla, Inc.</b> reported Wednesday forecast-beating results for its first quarter.Given the all-around strength and the management's positive commentary on the mainstay EV operations and other businesses, an analyst at <b>Loup Ventures</b> said Tesla is putting the prospects of companies across multiple sectors at risk.</p><p><b>More Than Car Company:</b>Tesla is more than a car company and more than a tech company, and it is in fact an "energy company" in the hiding, Loup cofounder <b>Gene Munster</b> said in a note.</p><p>"In reviewing the details of Tesla's March quarter, it has become increasingly clear that Tesla has the potential to be even more than an energy company," the analyst said.</p><p>Here are a few companies/sectors Tesla could put at risk:</p><p><b>Automakers:</b>Demand for Tesla is outpacing the broader auto industry, the analyst said. As Tesla scales to meet demand, the price-performance gap versus other automakers will widen, he added.</p><p>Traditional autos may have to price their cars 10-25% higher than Tesla, if they manufacture them with all the features contained in Tesla vehicles and choose to sell at cost, the analyst noted. If these companies choose to subsidize their vehicles, their margins will take a hit, he added.</p><p>"To that end, we believe that legacy car companies will eventually be forced to restructure or go out of business within the next decade," the analyst said.</p><p><b>Ride-hailing Services:</b>Autonomy will eventually be a mandated feature in all cars, the analyst said.<b>Elon Musk's</b>push to put full-self driving software on roads before it's ready, though a flawed approach, will hand Tesla a long-term competitive advantage for feeding the self-driving neural network, he added.</p><p>If Tesla wins, it could finalize on the ride-sharing service Musk has been sounding out recently, the analyst said. Going by the 2024 timeframe Musk has given for the launch and allowing some leeway for potential delays, the analyst said <b>Lyft, Inc.</b> and <b>Uber Technologies, Inc.</b> will have about four years left.</p><p><b>Insurers:</b>The <b>Allstate Corporation</b> and GEICO could be in trouble, going by how Tesla has grown its insurance business.</p><p>"Traditional auto insurance won't be able to compete because they will lack the vertically integrated, real-time data that Tesla can share and optimize," the analyst said.</p><p><b>Physical Labor</b> Musk sounded upbeat about the potential for the Optimus robot, Munster noted.</p><p>"If Musk pulls it off, physical labor will be shifted to robots, and the value created for shareholders would skyrocket past the value of EV and autonomy," the analyst said.</p><p>Tesla closed Friday's session down 0.37% at $1,005.05, according to BenzingaPro data.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"UBER":"优步","GM":"通用汽车","F":"福特汽车","TSLA":"特斯拉","LYFT":"Lyft, Inc.","ALL":"好事达"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1135284818","content_text":"ZINGER BRIEFTraditional automakers are not positioned to challenge Tesla and will need to restructureRide-hailing services and insurance companies could also be bulldozed by TeslaTesla, Inc. reported Wednesday forecast-beating results for its first quarter.Given the all-around strength and the management's positive commentary on the mainstay EV operations and other businesses, an analyst at Loup Ventures said Tesla is putting the prospects of companies across multiple sectors at risk.More Than Car Company:Tesla is more than a car company and more than a tech company, and it is in fact an \"energy company\" in the hiding, Loup cofounder Gene Munster said in a note.\"In reviewing the details of Tesla's March quarter, it has become increasingly clear that Tesla has the potential to be even more than an energy company,\" the analyst said.Here are a few companies/sectors Tesla could put at risk:Automakers:Demand for Tesla is outpacing the broader auto industry, the analyst said. As Tesla scales to meet demand, the price-performance gap versus other automakers will widen, he added.Traditional autos may have to price their cars 10-25% higher than Tesla, if they manufacture them with all the features contained in Tesla vehicles and choose to sell at cost, the analyst noted. If these companies choose to subsidize their vehicles, their margins will take a hit, he added.\"To that end, we believe that legacy car companies will eventually be forced to restructure or go out of business within the next decade,\" the analyst said.Ride-hailing Services:Autonomy will eventually be a mandated feature in all cars, the analyst said.Elon Musk'spush to put full-self driving software on roads before it's ready, though a flawed approach, will hand Tesla a long-term competitive advantage for feeding the self-driving neural network, he added.If Tesla wins, it could finalize on the ride-sharing service Musk has been sounding out recently, the analyst said. Going by the 2024 timeframe Musk has given for the launch and allowing some leeway for potential delays, the analyst said Lyft, Inc. and Uber Technologies, Inc. will have about four years left.Insurers:The Allstate Corporation and GEICO could be in trouble, going by how Tesla has grown its insurance business.\"Traditional auto insurance won't be able to compete because they will lack the vertically integrated, real-time data that Tesla can share and optimize,\" the analyst said.Physical Labor Musk sounded upbeat about the potential for the Optimus robot, Munster noted.\"If Musk pulls it off, physical labor will be shifted to robots, and the value created for shareholders would skyrocket past the value of EV and autonomy,\" the analyst said.Tesla closed Friday's session down 0.37% at $1,005.05, according to BenzingaPro data.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":743,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9032279495,"gmtCreate":1647392187149,"gmtModify":1676534223824,"author":{"id":"4088138547969780","authorId":"4088138547969780","name":"s0ulless","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3a8cdf43549cc2dee3b7999340ade20a","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088138547969780","authorIdStr":"4088138547969780"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Like] ","listText":"[Like] ","text":"[Like]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9032279495","repostId":"1136839858","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":663,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9091852217,"gmtCreate":1643845048633,"gmtModify":1676533861806,"author":{"id":"4088138547969780","authorId":"4088138547969780","name":"s0ulless","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3a8cdf43549cc2dee3b7999340ade20a","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088138547969780","authorIdStr":"4088138547969780"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Like] ","listText":"[Like] ","text":"[Like]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9091852217","repostId":"2208936459","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":607,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9007067284,"gmtCreate":1642723471437,"gmtModify":1676533739602,"author":{"id":"4088138547969780","authorId":"4088138547969780","name":"s0ulless","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3a8cdf43549cc2dee3b7999340ade20a","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088138547969780","authorIdStr":"4088138547969780"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[lovely] ","listText":"[lovely] ","text":"[lovely]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9007067284","repostId":"1147218437","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":743,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9005321135,"gmtCreate":1642177452209,"gmtModify":1676533689941,"author":{"id":"4088138547969780","authorId":"4088138547969780","name":"s0ulless","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3a8cdf43549cc2dee3b7999340ade20a","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4088138547969780","authorIdStr":"4088138547969780"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Glance] ","listText":"[Glance] ","text":"[Glance]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9005321135","repostId":"2203126977","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2203126977","pubTimestamp":1642174200,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2203126977?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-01-14 23:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Are Electric Vehicle Stocks Overhyped?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2203126977","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The short answer: Almost definitely.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The excitement around electric vehicle stocks is palpable. From <b>Rivian</b> (NASDAQ:RIVN) at a $76 billion market cap with no revenue to <b>Tesla</b> (NASDAQ:TSLA) breaching a $1.1 trillion market cap when it was valued under $100 billion less than three years ago, many investors are bullish on the opportunity in electric vehicles.</p><p>And why wouldn't they be? The industry is growing quickly, up 26% year over year from 2020, and is going after a gigantic market opportunity in the worldwide car market. But just because these stocks are in a large, growing industry doesn't mean they will be great investments over the next decade. Just ask <b>Cisco Systems</b> investors who bought stock in 1999 and 2000.</p><p>Are electric vehicle stocks overhyped? Yes. Let me explain why.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/90344f91dac6378d78934846de60ce59\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"465\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p><h2>Growth is strong, and the market opportunity is massive</h2><p>To start out, let's give some context around the global opportunity in electric vehicles and the overall automotive industry. In 2021, it is estimated that 6.4 million electric vehicles (EVs) were sold around the world, of which 4 million of these were all-electric and 2.4 million plug-in hybrids. That total number is up 26% from 2020.</p><p>In 2022, analysts are actually expecting this growth to accelerate due to the number of models being available in the U.S. jumping from 62 to 100. If that is the case, global annual sales for electric vehicles should hit 10 million in the near future. For reference, 66 million total cars are estimated to have been sold around the world in 2021.</p><p>Those are all high-level numbers, but what about the financial opportunity? Assuming an average selling price of $25,000, 10 million EV sales would equate to $250 billion in annual sales. At 50 million EVs, which assumes they take over the majority of the auto market, that equates to $1.25 trillion in sales. Clearly, the opportunity is massive from a revenue standpoint.</p><h2>Margins will be low</h2><p>While the revenue opportunity for EVs is large, these manufacturing businesses also have low margins. For example, let's look at <b>Toyota </b>(NYSE:TM), the largest automaker in the world, with an estimated 8.5% market share in 2019. Over the last 12 months, the company has brought in $281 billion in revenue. On that revenue, only $31 billion turned into operating income, or an 11% operating margin.</p><p>Tesla, the biggest pure-play EV maker, is seeing just shy of 10% operating margins on $47 billion in revenue. Given the reduction in manufacturing complications of a battery pack versus an internal combustion engine, EV makers may achieve better operating margins than 11% at scale. But they still require bending metal to succeed, so the likelihood they will be much higher than 11% on average over the long term seems unlikely.</p><p>What's more, automotive businesses require tons of capital expenditures relative to their sales just to stay afloat. For example, Toyota spent almost $35 billion on capital investments over the last 12 months. Given its profit margins, that makes it very difficult for the company to return excess cash to shareholders -- which is the <i>only</i> driver of shareholder value in the long run. This is why Toyota's stock historically trades at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio at or around 10. And EV stocks will have a similar fate due to this capital intensity.</p><h2>Expectations are too high</h2><p>Let's move back to our revenue example. If annual EV sales reach $1.25 trillion and we assign a generous 15% operating margin across the industry, there will be $180 billion in annual operating income once EV sales hit 50 million a year. Remember, sales are currently at only 6.4 million, including plug-in hybrids, so this is a long way off. On that $180 billion in operating income, if you give it a 21% corporate tax rate, that is $142.2 billion in annual net income across the industry.</p><p>Put an average P/E of 10 (remember, this is typical for automotive companies because of the capital intensity) on the stocks, and you have $1.42 trillion in combined market value once EVs reach maturity. Looking at the five pure-play EV stocks right now, which are Tesla, Rivian, <b>Lucid Motors </b>(NASDAQ:LCID), <b>Nio </b>(NYSE:NIO), and <b>Xpeng </b>(NYSE:XPEV), their combined market caps are <i>currently</i> $1.34 trillion, or pretty darn close to what the whole industry will be worth at maturity with optimistic margin and growth assumptions.</p><p>And this doesn't include the legacy automakers like Toyota, <b>Ford Motor Company</b>, <b>GM</b>, and <b>Volkswagen</b>, which are all making major investments into EVs. Assuming none of these legacy manufacturers will at least capture some of the $1.42 trillion market value is naive, in my opinion.</p><p>Given all these numbers, it is clear that the electric vehicle market is overhyped. If you are invested in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of these companies, or even a legacy automaker, you need to be confident in that specific company's ability to win market share and beat all these competitors. If that doesn't happen, it is likely your investment will go very poorly over the next decade.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Are Electric Vehicle Stocks Overhyped?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAre Electric Vehicle Stocks Overhyped?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-01-14 23:30 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/01/14/are-electric-vehicle-stocks-overhyped-tesla/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The excitement around electric vehicle stocks is palpable. From Rivian (NASDAQ:RIVN) at a $76 billion market cap with no revenue to Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) breaching a $1.1 trillion market cap when it was...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/01/14/are-electric-vehicle-stocks-overhyped-tesla/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4525":"远程办公概念","BK4509":"腾讯概念","XPEV":"小鹏汽车","LCID":"Lucid Group Inc","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4020":"通信设备","BK4526":"热门中概股","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BK4505":"高瓴资本持仓","BK4560":"网络安全概念","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4099":"汽车制造商","NIO":"蔚来","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","TM":"丰田汽车","CSCO":"思科","RIVN":"Rivian Automotive, Inc.","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","BK4515":"5G概念","BK4531":"中概回港概念","TSLA":"特斯拉","BK4555":"新能源车","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/01/14/are-electric-vehicle-stocks-overhyped-tesla/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2203126977","content_text":"The excitement around electric vehicle stocks is palpable. From Rivian (NASDAQ:RIVN) at a $76 billion market cap with no revenue to Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) breaching a $1.1 trillion market cap when it was valued under $100 billion less than three years ago, many investors are bullish on the opportunity in electric vehicles.And why wouldn't they be? The industry is growing quickly, up 26% year over year from 2020, and is going after a gigantic market opportunity in the worldwide car market. But just because these stocks are in a large, growing industry doesn't mean they will be great investments over the next decade. Just ask Cisco Systems investors who bought stock in 1999 and 2000.Are electric vehicle stocks overhyped? Yes. Let me explain why.Image source: Getty Images.Growth is strong, and the market opportunity is massiveTo start out, let's give some context around the global opportunity in electric vehicles and the overall automotive industry. In 2021, it is estimated that 6.4 million electric vehicles (EVs) were sold around the world, of which 4 million of these were all-electric and 2.4 million plug-in hybrids. That total number is up 26% from 2020.In 2022, analysts are actually expecting this growth to accelerate due to the number of models being available in the U.S. jumping from 62 to 100. If that is the case, global annual sales for electric vehicles should hit 10 million in the near future. For reference, 66 million total cars are estimated to have been sold around the world in 2021.Those are all high-level numbers, but what about the financial opportunity? Assuming an average selling price of $25,000, 10 million EV sales would equate to $250 billion in annual sales. At 50 million EVs, which assumes they take over the majority of the auto market, that equates to $1.25 trillion in sales. Clearly, the opportunity is massive from a revenue standpoint.Margins will be lowWhile the revenue opportunity for EVs is large, these manufacturing businesses also have low margins. For example, let's look at Toyota (NYSE:TM), the largest automaker in the world, with an estimated 8.5% market share in 2019. Over the last 12 months, the company has brought in $281 billion in revenue. On that revenue, only $31 billion turned into operating income, or an 11% operating margin.Tesla, the biggest pure-play EV maker, is seeing just shy of 10% operating margins on $47 billion in revenue. Given the reduction in manufacturing complications of a battery pack versus an internal combustion engine, EV makers may achieve better operating margins than 11% at scale. But they still require bending metal to succeed, so the likelihood they will be much higher than 11% on average over the long term seems unlikely.What's more, automotive businesses require tons of capital expenditures relative to their sales just to stay afloat. For example, Toyota spent almost $35 billion on capital investments over the last 12 months. Given its profit margins, that makes it very difficult for the company to return excess cash to shareholders -- which is the only driver of shareholder value in the long run. This is why Toyota's stock historically trades at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio at or around 10. And EV stocks will have a similar fate due to this capital intensity.Expectations are too highLet's move back to our revenue example. If annual EV sales reach $1.25 trillion and we assign a generous 15% operating margin across the industry, there will be $180 billion in annual operating income once EV sales hit 50 million a year. Remember, sales are currently at only 6.4 million, including plug-in hybrids, so this is a long way off. On that $180 billion in operating income, if you give it a 21% corporate tax rate, that is $142.2 billion in annual net income across the industry.Put an average P/E of 10 (remember, this is typical for automotive companies because of the capital intensity) on the stocks, and you have $1.42 trillion in combined market value once EVs reach maturity. Looking at the five pure-play EV stocks right now, which are Tesla, Rivian, Lucid Motors (NASDAQ:LCID), Nio (NYSE:NIO), and Xpeng (NYSE:XPEV), their combined market caps are currently $1.34 trillion, or pretty darn close to what the whole industry will be worth at maturity with optimistic margin and growth assumptions.And this doesn't include the legacy automakers like Toyota, Ford Motor Company, GM, and Volkswagen, which are all making major investments into EVs. Assuming none of these legacy manufacturers will at least capture some of the $1.42 trillion market value is naive, in my opinion.Given all these numbers, it is clear that the electric vehicle market is overhyped. If you are invested in one of these companies, or even a legacy automaker, you need to be confident in that specific company's ability to win market share and beat all these competitors. If that doesn't happen, it is likely your investment will go very poorly over the next decade.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":662,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9084163124,"gmtCreate":1650842135265,"gmtModify":1676534799690,"author":{"id":"4088138547969780","authorId":"4088138547969780","name":"s0ulless","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3a8cdf43549cc2dee3b7999340ade20a","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4088138547969780","idStr":"4088138547969780"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Like] ","listText":"[Like] ","text":"[Like]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":15,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9084163124","repostId":"1135284818","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":743,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9091852217,"gmtCreate":1643845048633,"gmtModify":1676533861806,"author":{"id":"4088138547969780","authorId":"4088138547969780","name":"s0ulless","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3a8cdf43549cc2dee3b7999340ade20a","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4088138547969780","idStr":"4088138547969780"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Like] ","listText":"[Like] ","text":"[Like]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9091852217","repostId":"2208936459","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":607,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9007067284,"gmtCreate":1642723471437,"gmtModify":1676533739602,"author":{"id":"4088138547969780","authorId":"4088138547969780","name":"s0ulless","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3a8cdf43549cc2dee3b7999340ade20a","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4088138547969780","idStr":"4088138547969780"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[lovely] ","listText":"[lovely] ","text":"[lovely]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9007067284","repostId":"1147218437","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1147218437","pubTimestamp":1642723101,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1147218437?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-01-21 07:58","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why GameStop Couldn't Hold Onto Its Gains Today","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1147218437","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"And just like that,GameStop's(NYSE:GME)gains for the dayvanished, performing a perfect 180-degree U-","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>And just like that,<b>GameStop</b>'s(NYSE:GME)gains for the dayvanished, performing a perfect 180-degree U-turn from where they stood at the middle of the day, Thursday, to close in the red, down 3.7%.</p><p>The loss brought to eight the number of consecutive days the video game retailer has fallen. So far in 2022, the stock is down 28%, an ignominious start to the new year.</p><p>Of course, one of the most recent reasons for its failing fortunes is the announcement by<b>Microsoft</b>(NASDAQ:MSFT)that it would be acquiring<b>Activision Blizzard</b>(NASDAQ:ATVI)for almost $70 billion, or $95 per share in cash. The fear is that byabsorbing the video game developer into its ecosystem,Microsoft would make most or all of Activision's games exclusive to its own Game Pass platform, and this could starve GameStop for customers in the future.</p><p>The pre-owned video game market has long been one of GameStop's crutches even as the industry continues to transition to digital gaming and game downloads. Some (perhaps many) people still want or prefer physical media to play, but pulling in one of the biggest game developers could deny GameStop access.</p><p>Also, in making the acquisition, Microsoft will become the world's third largest video game company behind Sony and<b>Tencent</b>.</p><p>Yet GameStop's stock trading, at least today, seems more in sync with what's happening in the broader market than with any particular issue specific to video games. The Dow Jones Industrial Average has also been on a week-long losing streak and looked like it was going to rebound today, having risen over 300 points by midday.</p><p>Yet it also steadily lost ground until it ultimately was down 313 points at the close. Being one of the original meme stocks means GameStop is going to be a volatile issue, and because it rarely trades on the fundamentals of its business, thevideo game retailerwill suffer such misfortunes more regularly, just as it did today.</p><p></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why GameStop Couldn't Hold Onto Its Gains Today</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy GameStop Couldn't Hold Onto Its Gains Today\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-01-21 07:58 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/01/20/why-gamestop-couldnt-hold-onto-its-gains-today/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>And just like that,GameStop's(NYSE:GME)gains for the dayvanished, performing a perfect 180-degree U-turn from where they stood at the middle of the day, Thursday, to close in the red, down 3.7%.The ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/01/20/why-gamestop-couldnt-hold-onto-its-gains-today/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GME":"游戏驿站"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/01/20/why-gamestop-couldnt-hold-onto-its-gains-today/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1147218437","content_text":"And just like that,GameStop's(NYSE:GME)gains for the dayvanished, performing a perfect 180-degree U-turn from where they stood at the middle of the day, Thursday, to close in the red, down 3.7%.The loss brought to eight the number of consecutive days the video game retailer has fallen. So far in 2022, the stock is down 28%, an ignominious start to the new year.Of course, one of the most recent reasons for its failing fortunes is the announcement byMicrosoft(NASDAQ:MSFT)that it would be acquiringActivision Blizzard(NASDAQ:ATVI)for almost $70 billion, or $95 per share in cash. The fear is that byabsorbing the video game developer into its ecosystem,Microsoft would make most or all of Activision's games exclusive to its own Game Pass platform, and this could starve GameStop for customers in the future.The pre-owned video game market has long been one of GameStop's crutches even as the industry continues to transition to digital gaming and game downloads. Some (perhaps many) people still want or prefer physical media to play, but pulling in one of the biggest game developers could deny GameStop access.Also, in making the acquisition, Microsoft will become the world's third largest video game company behind Sony andTencent.Yet GameStop's stock trading, at least today, seems more in sync with what's happening in the broader market than with any particular issue specific to video games. The Dow Jones Industrial Average has also been on a week-long losing streak and looked like it was going to rebound today, having risen over 300 points by midday.Yet it also steadily lost ground until it ultimately was down 313 points at the close. Being one of the original meme stocks means GameStop is going to be a volatile issue, and because it rarely trades on the fundamentals of its business, thevideo game retailerwill suffer such misfortunes more regularly, just as it did today.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":743,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9032279495,"gmtCreate":1647392187149,"gmtModify":1676534223824,"author":{"id":"4088138547969780","authorId":"4088138547969780","name":"s0ulless","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3a8cdf43549cc2dee3b7999340ade20a","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4088138547969780","idStr":"4088138547969780"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Like] ","listText":"[Like] ","text":"[Like]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9032279495","repostId":"1136839858","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1136839858","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据,旨在帮助投资者理解世界,做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1647389029,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1136839858?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-03-16 08:03","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"昨夜今晨 | 原油重挫跌入熊市!中概股大幅反弹","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1136839858","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"纳指涨近3%,中概股大反攻雾芯科技涨超40%;②原油连日重挫跌入熊市,较近期高位均下挫逾20%;③俄乌谈判16日将继续进行,双方存在妥协可能;④俄罗斯宣布对美国总统拜登等实施制裁。伊朗外长称,完成伊核谈判的决定权在美国手中。","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote>摘要:①美股集体收涨!纳指涨近3%,中概股大反攻雾芯科技涨超40%;②原油连日重挫跌入熊市,较近期高位均下挫逾20%;③俄乌谈判16日将继续进行,双方存在妥协可能;④俄罗斯宣布对美国总统拜登等实施制裁。</blockquote><p>海外市场</p><p>1、美股集体收涨!纳指涨近3%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>涨超4% 中概股大反攻雾芯科技涨近40%</p><p>美股三大股指集体收涨,因油价再度大跌,且美国PPI指数低于预期,帮助缓解了投资者对于通胀持续恶化的担忧,市场焦点转向美联储即将公布的政策声明。截止收盘,道指收涨1.82%,标普500指数涨2.14%,纳指涨2.92%。</p><p>2、热门中概股周二普遍止跌回涨 雾芯科技暴涨超40%</p><p>热门中概股周二收盘普遍止跌回涨,雾芯科技暴涨超40%,领跑一众中概股;纳斯达克中国金龙指数收高近5%。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KC\">金山云</a>涨超25%,此前宣布计划探索在香港上市;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EDU\">新东方</a>涨超22%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BZ\">BOSS直聘</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TME\">腾讯音乐</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">哔哩哔哩</a>等涨超10%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">京东</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">拼多多</a>涨7%。新能源汽车股中,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">理想汽车</a>涨超12%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">小鹏汽车</a>涨超7%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>汽车涨近6%。</p><p>3、美布两油跌入熊市 较近期高位均下挫逾20%</p><p>美国WTI原油与ICE布伦特原油周二收跌,且二者从3月8日创造的近期高位均已下跌20%以上,标志着跌入技术性熊市。</p><p>周二,纽约商品交易所4月交割的西德克萨斯中质原油(WTI)期货价格下跌6.57美元,跌幅为6.4%,收于每桶96.44美元。</p><p>4、伦镍周三下午返场伦交所 每日价格引入5%涨跌幅的限制</p><p>伦敦金属交易所(LME)在“22/067”声明中表示,镍期货的交易将于伦敦时间周三早08:00(北京时间周三下午16:00)恢复。</p><p>在声明中,16日起,伦交所将镍期货的每日价格变动幅度上限设定为5%。15日起,其他基础金属的的每日价格变动幅度上限设定为15%,但达到任何价格限制都不会自动触发暂停交易。除此以外,LME还要求交易商上报镍头寸。</p><p>5、黄金期货收跌1.6% 创近两周新低</p><p>黄金期货周二大幅下跌,创下近两周来的最低收盘价。纽约商品交易所4月交割的黄金期货价格下跌31.10美元,跌幅为1.6%,收于每盎司1929.70美元。</p><p>俄乌周二继续进行第四轮谈判,以结束他们在东欧的敌对行动。自2月24日俄乌冲突爆发以来,黄金得到了避险买盘的支撑。但在美联储周三作出货币政策决定之前,金价已经开始缩水。</p><p>6、欧股收盘涨跌不一,法国CAC40指数跌0.23%</p><p>欧股主要指数收盘涨跌不一,德国DAX30指数涨0.12%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VUKE.UK\">英国富时100</a>指数跌0.22%,法国CAC40指数跌0.23%,欧洲斯托克50指数涨0.15%。</p><p>俄乌局势相关</p><p>1、乌总统办公室主任顾问:俄乌谈判16日将继续进行 双方存在妥协可能</p><p>当地时间15日,乌克兰总统办公室主任顾问波多利亚克表示,俄乌谈判明天将继续进行,双方代表团在谈判中的立场存在根本性矛盾,但存在妥协的可能。</p><p>2、乌克兰副总理:泽连斯基已准备好和普京谈判</p><p>当地时间3月15日,乌克兰副总理韦列舒克表示,乌克兰总统泽连斯基已经准备好与俄罗斯总统普京谈判。韦列舒克说,谈判的首要问题是停火。</p><p>3、乌方称俄罗斯军队目前没有试图占领基辅</p><p>周二晚间据市场消息,乌克兰当局发布全国空袭警报。乌克兰总统顾问称,俄罗斯军队目前没有试图占领基辅。据国际文传电讯社,俄罗斯国防部表示,俄罗斯军队已经控制了乌克兰赫尔松地区的所有领土。俄罗斯联邦安全会议秘书帕特鲁舍夫称,乌克兰的军事行动将按计划进行。</p><p>4、欧美逾万枚反坦克导弹运往乌克兰 更严酷的城市作战或等待着双方</p><p>大量反坦克导弹已被送往乌克兰,这可能改变整个俄乌局势进程,俄罗斯或需调遣足够多部队以应对局势变化。据美媒,拜登周三还将宣布向乌克兰提供价值10亿美元的新军事援助。</p><p>5、俄方称伊核协议即将达成,已收到美国关于恢复全面核协议的书面保证</p><p>俄罗斯外长拉夫罗夫表示,关于恢复JCPOA(伊朗核协议)的协议即将完成。俄罗斯收到了美国关于恢复全面核协议的书面保证,这些保证包括在文本中。伊朗外长称,完成伊核谈判的决定权在美国手中。</p><p>6、欧佩克2月份超量增产 称全球经济面临的挑战将影响需求</p><p>欧佩克2月份的石油产量增加了44万桶/日,达到2847万桶/日,超过了根据欧佩克+协议承诺的增加量。月报将2022年全球原油需求预测从1.008亿桶/日小幅上调至1.009亿桶/日。欧佩克称,全球经济面临的挑战,尤其是经济增长放缓、通胀上升和地缘政治动荡将影响各地区的需求。</p><p>7、俄罗斯央行称将从3月15日起暂停向银行购买黄金</p><p>面对西方国家对俄罗斯出口的制裁,俄罗斯政府表示,计划创建新的供应路线,为企业和公民争取新的供应商。此外,俄罗斯央行表示从3月15日起暂停向银行购买黄金。</p><p>8、欧盟领导人同意“尽快”逐步停止俄能源的依赖</p><p>欧盟委员会15日发布声明,宣布将对俄罗斯实施第四轮制裁措施。峰会声明草案显示,欧盟领导人同意“尽快”逐步停止对俄罗斯天然气、石油和煤炭的依赖。新制裁还禁止对俄罗斯能源领域的新投资,禁止欧盟信用评级机构对俄罗斯和俄罗斯公司进行评级。此外,据官方报刊,作为对俄罗斯更广泛制裁的一部分,欧盟禁止对俄罗斯天然气公司Gazprom、俄罗斯石油公司Rosneft和俄罗斯石油运输公司进行投资,但相关制裁不包括涉及化石燃料和其他原材料的交易。</p><p>国际宏观</p><p>1、国际货币基金组织:俄乌冲突或将改变全球经济和地缘政治秩序</p><p>当地时间3月15日,国际货币基金组织发布文章说,俄乌冲突除了带来苦难和人道主义危机之外,也会造成世界经济的增长放缓和通胀加快。</p><p>文章还指出,拥有直接贸易、旅游和金融风险的国家将感受额外压力,依赖石油进口的经济体将面临更大的财政和贸易逆差及更大的通胀压力。从长远来看,俄乌冲突可能会从根本上改变全球经济和地缘政治秩序,地缘政治紧张局势的加剧进一步增加了经济分裂的风险,尤其是在贸易和技术方面。</p><p>2、俄罗斯决定退出欧洲委员会</p><p>当地时间15日,俄罗斯国家杜马副主席彼得·托尔斯泰在社交媒体表示,俄罗斯决定退出欧洲委员会,俄外长拉夫罗夫的有关信件已交给该组织秘书长。</p><p>托尔斯泰说,破坏与欧洲委员会对话的全部责任在于北约国家,他们一直以人权为主题来实现自己的地缘政治利益和对俄罗斯的攻击。鉴于俄罗斯面临前所未有的政治和制裁压力,故不打算继续向该组织缴纳会费。</p><p>3、乌克兰总统泽连斯基会见波兰、捷克、斯洛文尼亚三国总理</p><p>乌克兰总统泽连斯基当地时间15日会见波兰总理莫拉维茨基、捷克总理菲亚拉和斯洛文尼亚总理扬沙。当天早些时候,三国总理抵达基辅。波兰总理府官网发布消息说,三国总理将作为欧洲理事会的代表于当天访问乌克兰基辅,并与乌克兰总统泽连斯基、总理什梅加尔举行会见。</p><p>4、随着美联储加息以对抗通胀 预测者认为经济衰退可能性越来越大</p><p>据最新媒体调查,由于美联储面临物价快速上涨和俄乌冲突带来的更大不确定性的困境,预测者已经提高了对美国经济衰退的预期,同时提高了通胀预测。</p><p>调查显示,未来12个月美国经济衰退的可能性上升到了33%,比2月1日调查时高出10个百分点。欧洲经济衰退的可能性为50%。</p><p>5、俄乌谈判代表积极评价谈判进程</p><p>当地时间3月15日,乌克兰总统办公室副主任表示,俄乌会谈现在更富有建设性,双方已经在商讨未来即将签署的协议。</p><p>俄罗斯代表团团长梅津斯基在社交媒体写道,俄乌谈判代表每天都通过视频进行谈判,这样既节约时间又节约资源。</p><p>乌克兰总统办公室主任顾问波多利亚克表示,俄乌谈判明天将继续进行,双方代表团在谈判中的立场存在根本性矛盾,但存在妥协的可能。</p><p>6、俄罗斯宣布对美国总统拜登等实施制裁</p><p>当地时间15日,据俄罗斯外交部消息,俄罗斯宣布对美国总统拜登实施制裁。</p><p>俄罗斯外交部发布的公告说,为了回应包括禁止俄罗斯联邦高级官员进入美国等一系列前所未有的制裁,自今年3月15日起,俄罗斯将美国总统拜登、国务卿布林肯、国防部长奥斯汀和参谋长联席会议主席米利等13名机构负责人和美国知名人士在对等基础上列入俄罗斯“禁止入境名单”。</p><p>公司新闻</p><p>1、<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/NW/1180331634\" target=\"_blank\">全球最大院线进军大宗商品行业 明确表态将传授“丰富融资经验”</a></p><p>美国当地时间周二,全球最大电影院线AMC娱乐宣布了一项重要决定:公司买矿了!</p><p>根据公告说明,被这家“超短线散户爆炒股”看中的是位于美国内华达州的Hycroft矿产控股公司,拥有占地7.1万英亩的Hycroft矿。根据第三方独立机构的研究,这处矿产拥有1500万盎司的黄金储备和接近6亿盎司的白银储备。</p><p>2、<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/NW/2219363947\" target=\"_blank\">泡泡玛特回应与肯德基联名引发炒作:暂停定制盲盒业务</a></p><p>针对此前与餐饮品牌联名引发的炒作现象,泡泡玛特回应称全部暂停定制盲盒业务以杜绝可能的食品浪费,并提醒被授权方避免过度营销,在活动机制的设计上遵守公序良俗,提醒消费者理性消费。</p><p>3、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2219382786\" target=\"_blank\">金山云称正探索在香港联交所主板双重上市</a></p><p>金山云今日宣布,公司正在探求在香港主板双重上市的机会,以便更好地在当前的市场及监管环境下给公司股东提供更加充裕的流动性和保障性。具体上市计划将取决于相关监管机构的批准和市场情况。金山云称,尽管近期股价波动较大,但公司业务日常运营保持正常运转,无重大异动。</p><p>4、大众汽车:俄乌冲突可能影响增长前景 计划将产能转移至中国和美国</p><p>当地时间周二(3月15日),大众汽车警告称,汽车行业面临的挑战越来越大,鉴于半导体短缺、供应链瓶颈、大宗商品价格高企以及俄乌冲突等因素,公司2022年的增长前景可能会受到影响。</p><p>大众表示,俄乌冲突加剧了大宗商品的涨势,并且大宗商品市场可能会一直动荡到2026年。俄乌冲突升级后,出于对供应前景的担忧,镍和钯等生产汽车的重要原材料价格飙升。</p><p>5、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2219473772\" target=\"_blank\">沃尔沃与星巴克合作在美建设公用电动汽车充电网络</a></p><p>沃尔沃汽车美国公司周二表示,该公司正在与咖啡连锁巨头星巴克合作以建设一个公用电动汽车充电网络,这个网络将于今年夏天开始启用。</p><p>这家瑞典汽车制造商表示,这个充电网络的试点安装项目将涵盖最多15个星巴克门店,提供最多60个沃尔沃品牌的ChargePoint DC快速充电桩。</p><p>6、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2219473100\" target=\"_blank\">英特尔计划投资360亿美元在欧洲建厂 欲大幅提升欧洲半导体产能</a></p><p>芯片制造商英特尔在美东时间周二(3月15日)宣布,计划投资逾330亿欧元(约合360亿美元)提振在欧洲的芯片产能,因欧盟希望在半导体领域变得更加独立自主,并解决困扰汽车行业的供应危机。</p><p>英特尔表示,作为投资计划的一部分,将在德国马德堡建造两家新工厂,这项投资得到了公共资金的补贴。如果没有监管方面的问题,施工将于2023年上半年开始,将于2027年正式投产。</p><p>7、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2219784710\" target=\"_blank\">立讯精密回应美国337调查:新设计的专利技术不构成侵权</a></p><p>立讯精密官方微信公众号发布文章,解释了美国对公司进行的“337调查”进展。立讯精密表示,公司紧急成立应对337调查专项工作组,并协同美国专业的诉讼律师团队积极应诉。在此基础上,立讯精密与国内外律师团队以合法、合规、合理的方式向国家知识产权局、美国专利商标局同步提出了针对安费诺集团相关专利的无效申请,其中端子横排注塑成型技术于中国对应的专利已经由国家知识产权局宣告专利权全部无效,其他相关专利的无效申请正处于受理审查阶段。</p><p>8、<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/NW/2219673760\" target=\"_blank\">法拉第未来重新准备纳斯达克上市</a></p><p>法拉第未来收到了来自纳斯达克上市资格部的信函,准许公司重新符合纳斯达克上市规则,公司必须在2022年5月6日之前提交截至2021年9月30日的10-Q报表和其他必要文件(10-K报表),如果未能提交,将导致公司退市。</p><p>9、<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/NW/2219398637\" target=\"_blank\">小牛电动回应央视315晚会报道违规提速:内部正在核实</a></p><p>针对央视315晚会曝出“小牛电动自行车提供解码装置,使得产品得以违规提速”的问题,小牛电动相关人士向记者回应表示,“我们内部正在核实,有消息第一时间同步。”</p><p>10<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/NW/1169323090\" target=\"_blank\">、新股首日 | Akanda一度上涨650%,专攻国际医用大麻市场</a></p><p>英国的医用大麻公司Akanda登陆纳斯达克,盘中一度上涨650%,截至收盘,涨162.5%触发熔断,报10.5美元。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>昨夜今晨 | 原油重挫跌入熊市!中概股大幅反弹</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n昨夜今晨 | 原油重挫跌入熊市!中概股大幅反弹\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-03-16 08:03</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><blockquote>摘要:①美股集体收涨!纳指涨近3%,中概股大反攻雾芯科技涨超40%;②原油连日重挫跌入熊市,较近期高位均下挫逾20%;③俄乌谈判16日将继续进行,双方存在妥协可能;④俄罗斯宣布对美国总统拜登等实施制裁。</blockquote><p>海外市场</p><p>1、美股集体收涨!纳指涨近3%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>涨超4% 中概股大反攻雾芯科技涨近40%</p><p>美股三大股指集体收涨,因油价再度大跌,且美国PPI指数低于预期,帮助缓解了投资者对于通胀持续恶化的担忧,市场焦点转向美联储即将公布的政策声明。截止收盘,道指收涨1.82%,标普500指数涨2.14%,纳指涨2.92%。</p><p>2、热门中概股周二普遍止跌回涨 雾芯科技暴涨超40%</p><p>热门中概股周二收盘普遍止跌回涨,雾芯科技暴涨超40%,领跑一众中概股;纳斯达克中国金龙指数收高近5%。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KC\">金山云</a>涨超25%,此前宣布计划探索在香港上市;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EDU\">新东方</a>涨超22%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BZ\">BOSS直聘</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TME\">腾讯音乐</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">哔哩哔哩</a>等涨超10%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">京东</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">拼多多</a>涨7%。新能源汽车股中,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">理想汽车</a>涨超12%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">小鹏汽车</a>涨超7%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>汽车涨近6%。</p><p>3、美布两油跌入熊市 较近期高位均下挫逾20%</p><p>美国WTI原油与ICE布伦特原油周二收跌,且二者从3月8日创造的近期高位均已下跌20%以上,标志着跌入技术性熊市。</p><p>周二,纽约商品交易所4月交割的西德克萨斯中质原油(WTI)期货价格下跌6.57美元,跌幅为6.4%,收于每桶96.44美元。</p><p>4、伦镍周三下午返场伦交所 每日价格引入5%涨跌幅的限制</p><p>伦敦金属交易所(LME)在“22/067”声明中表示,镍期货的交易将于伦敦时间周三早08:00(北京时间周三下午16:00)恢复。</p><p>在声明中,16日起,伦交所将镍期货的每日价格变动幅度上限设定为5%。15日起,其他基础金属的的每日价格变动幅度上限设定为15%,但达到任何价格限制都不会自动触发暂停交易。除此以外,LME还要求交易商上报镍头寸。</p><p>5、黄金期货收跌1.6% 创近两周新低</p><p>黄金期货周二大幅下跌,创下近两周来的最低收盘价。纽约商品交易所4月交割的黄金期货价格下跌31.10美元,跌幅为1.6%,收于每盎司1929.70美元。</p><p>俄乌周二继续进行第四轮谈判,以结束他们在东欧的敌对行动。自2月24日俄乌冲突爆发以来,黄金得到了避险买盘的支撑。但在美联储周三作出货币政策决定之前,金价已经开始缩水。</p><p>6、欧股收盘涨跌不一,法国CAC40指数跌0.23%</p><p>欧股主要指数收盘涨跌不一,德国DAX30指数涨0.12%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VUKE.UK\">英国富时100</a>指数跌0.22%,法国CAC40指数跌0.23%,欧洲斯托克50指数涨0.15%。</p><p>俄乌局势相关</p><p>1、乌总统办公室主任顾问:俄乌谈判16日将继续进行 双方存在妥协可能</p><p>当地时间15日,乌克兰总统办公室主任顾问波多利亚克表示,俄乌谈判明天将继续进行,双方代表团在谈判中的立场存在根本性矛盾,但存在妥协的可能。</p><p>2、乌克兰副总理:泽连斯基已准备好和普京谈判</p><p>当地时间3月15日,乌克兰副总理韦列舒克表示,乌克兰总统泽连斯基已经准备好与俄罗斯总统普京谈判。韦列舒克说,谈判的首要问题是停火。</p><p>3、乌方称俄罗斯军队目前没有试图占领基辅</p><p>周二晚间据市场消息,乌克兰当局发布全国空袭警报。乌克兰总统顾问称,俄罗斯军队目前没有试图占领基辅。据国际文传电讯社,俄罗斯国防部表示,俄罗斯军队已经控制了乌克兰赫尔松地区的所有领土。俄罗斯联邦安全会议秘书帕特鲁舍夫称,乌克兰的军事行动将按计划进行。</p><p>4、欧美逾万枚反坦克导弹运往乌克兰 更严酷的城市作战或等待着双方</p><p>大量反坦克导弹已被送往乌克兰,这可能改变整个俄乌局势进程,俄罗斯或需调遣足够多部队以应对局势变化。据美媒,拜登周三还将宣布向乌克兰提供价值10亿美元的新军事援助。</p><p>5、俄方称伊核协议即将达成,已收到美国关于恢复全面核协议的书面保证</p><p>俄罗斯外长拉夫罗夫表示,关于恢复JCPOA(伊朗核协议)的协议即将完成。俄罗斯收到了美国关于恢复全面核协议的书面保证,这些保证包括在文本中。伊朗外长称,完成伊核谈判的决定权在美国手中。</p><p>6、欧佩克2月份超量增产 称全球经济面临的挑战将影响需求</p><p>欧佩克2月份的石油产量增加了44万桶/日,达到2847万桶/日,超过了根据欧佩克+协议承诺的增加量。月报将2022年全球原油需求预测从1.008亿桶/日小幅上调至1.009亿桶/日。欧佩克称,全球经济面临的挑战,尤其是经济增长放缓、通胀上升和地缘政治动荡将影响各地区的需求。</p><p>7、俄罗斯央行称将从3月15日起暂停向银行购买黄金</p><p>面对西方国家对俄罗斯出口的制裁,俄罗斯政府表示,计划创建新的供应路线,为企业和公民争取新的供应商。此外,俄罗斯央行表示从3月15日起暂停向银行购买黄金。</p><p>8、欧盟领导人同意“尽快”逐步停止俄能源的依赖</p><p>欧盟委员会15日发布声明,宣布将对俄罗斯实施第四轮制裁措施。峰会声明草案显示,欧盟领导人同意“尽快”逐步停止对俄罗斯天然气、石油和煤炭的依赖。新制裁还禁止对俄罗斯能源领域的新投资,禁止欧盟信用评级机构对俄罗斯和俄罗斯公司进行评级。此外,据官方报刊,作为对俄罗斯更广泛制裁的一部分,欧盟禁止对俄罗斯天然气公司Gazprom、俄罗斯石油公司Rosneft和俄罗斯石油运输公司进行投资,但相关制裁不包括涉及化石燃料和其他原材料的交易。</p><p>国际宏观</p><p>1、国际货币基金组织:俄乌冲突或将改变全球经济和地缘政治秩序</p><p>当地时间3月15日,国际货币基金组织发布文章说,俄乌冲突除了带来苦难和人道主义危机之外,也会造成世界经济的增长放缓和通胀加快。</p><p>文章还指出,拥有直接贸易、旅游和金融风险的国家将感受额外压力,依赖石油进口的经济体将面临更大的财政和贸易逆差及更大的通胀压力。从长远来看,俄乌冲突可能会从根本上改变全球经济和地缘政治秩序,地缘政治紧张局势的加剧进一步增加了经济分裂的风险,尤其是在贸易和技术方面。</p><p>2、俄罗斯决定退出欧洲委员会</p><p>当地时间15日,俄罗斯国家杜马副主席彼得·托尔斯泰在社交媒体表示,俄罗斯决定退出欧洲委员会,俄外长拉夫罗夫的有关信件已交给该组织秘书长。</p><p>托尔斯泰说,破坏与欧洲委员会对话的全部责任在于北约国家,他们一直以人权为主题来实现自己的地缘政治利益和对俄罗斯的攻击。鉴于俄罗斯面临前所未有的政治和制裁压力,故不打算继续向该组织缴纳会费。</p><p>3、乌克兰总统泽连斯基会见波兰、捷克、斯洛文尼亚三国总理</p><p>乌克兰总统泽连斯基当地时间15日会见波兰总理莫拉维茨基、捷克总理菲亚拉和斯洛文尼亚总理扬沙。当天早些时候,三国总理抵达基辅。波兰总理府官网发布消息说,三国总理将作为欧洲理事会的代表于当天访问乌克兰基辅,并与乌克兰总统泽连斯基、总理什梅加尔举行会见。</p><p>4、随着美联储加息以对抗通胀 预测者认为经济衰退可能性越来越大</p><p>据最新媒体调查,由于美联储面临物价快速上涨和俄乌冲突带来的更大不确定性的困境,预测者已经提高了对美国经济衰退的预期,同时提高了通胀预测。</p><p>调查显示,未来12个月美国经济衰退的可能性上升到了33%,比2月1日调查时高出10个百分点。欧洲经济衰退的可能性为50%。</p><p>5、俄乌谈判代表积极评价谈判进程</p><p>当地时间3月15日,乌克兰总统办公室副主任表示,俄乌会谈现在更富有建设性,双方已经在商讨未来即将签署的协议。</p><p>俄罗斯代表团团长梅津斯基在社交媒体写道,俄乌谈判代表每天都通过视频进行谈判,这样既节约时间又节约资源。</p><p>乌克兰总统办公室主任顾问波多利亚克表示,俄乌谈判明天将继续进行,双方代表团在谈判中的立场存在根本性矛盾,但存在妥协的可能。</p><p>6、俄罗斯宣布对美国总统拜登等实施制裁</p><p>当地时间15日,据俄罗斯外交部消息,俄罗斯宣布对美国总统拜登实施制裁。</p><p>俄罗斯外交部发布的公告说,为了回应包括禁止俄罗斯联邦高级官员进入美国等一系列前所未有的制裁,自今年3月15日起,俄罗斯将美国总统拜登、国务卿布林肯、国防部长奥斯汀和参谋长联席会议主席米利等13名机构负责人和美国知名人士在对等基础上列入俄罗斯“禁止入境名单”。</p><p>公司新闻</p><p>1、<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/NW/1180331634\" target=\"_blank\">全球最大院线进军大宗商品行业 明确表态将传授“丰富融资经验”</a></p><p>美国当地时间周二,全球最大电影院线AMC娱乐宣布了一项重要决定:公司买矿了!</p><p>根据公告说明,被这家“超短线散户爆炒股”看中的是位于美国内华达州的Hycroft矿产控股公司,拥有占地7.1万英亩的Hycroft矿。根据第三方独立机构的研究,这处矿产拥有1500万盎司的黄金储备和接近6亿盎司的白银储备。</p><p>2、<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/NW/2219363947\" target=\"_blank\">泡泡玛特回应与肯德基联名引发炒作:暂停定制盲盒业务</a></p><p>针对此前与餐饮品牌联名引发的炒作现象,泡泡玛特回应称全部暂停定制盲盒业务以杜绝可能的食品浪费,并提醒被授权方避免过度营销,在活动机制的设计上遵守公序良俗,提醒消费者理性消费。</p><p>3、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2219382786\" target=\"_blank\">金山云称正探索在香港联交所主板双重上市</a></p><p>金山云今日宣布,公司正在探求在香港主板双重上市的机会,以便更好地在当前的市场及监管环境下给公司股东提供更加充裕的流动性和保障性。具体上市计划将取决于相关监管机构的批准和市场情况。金山云称,尽管近期股价波动较大,但公司业务日常运营保持正常运转,无重大异动。</p><p>4、大众汽车:俄乌冲突可能影响增长前景 计划将产能转移至中国和美国</p><p>当地时间周二(3月15日),大众汽车警告称,汽车行业面临的挑战越来越大,鉴于半导体短缺、供应链瓶颈、大宗商品价格高企以及俄乌冲突等因素,公司2022年的增长前景可能会受到影响。</p><p>大众表示,俄乌冲突加剧了大宗商品的涨势,并且大宗商品市场可能会一直动荡到2026年。俄乌冲突升级后,出于对供应前景的担忧,镍和钯等生产汽车的重要原材料价格飙升。</p><p>5、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2219473772\" target=\"_blank\">沃尔沃与星巴克合作在美建设公用电动汽车充电网络</a></p><p>沃尔沃汽车美国公司周二表示,该公司正在与咖啡连锁巨头星巴克合作以建设一个公用电动汽车充电网络,这个网络将于今年夏天开始启用。</p><p>这家瑞典汽车制造商表示,这个充电网络的试点安装项目将涵盖最多15个星巴克门店,提供最多60个沃尔沃品牌的ChargePoint DC快速充电桩。</p><p>6、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2219473100\" target=\"_blank\">英特尔计划投资360亿美元在欧洲建厂 欲大幅提升欧洲半导体产能</a></p><p>芯片制造商英特尔在美东时间周二(3月15日)宣布,计划投资逾330亿欧元(约合360亿美元)提振在欧洲的芯片产能,因欧盟希望在半导体领域变得更加独立自主,并解决困扰汽车行业的供应危机。</p><p>英特尔表示,作为投资计划的一部分,将在德国马德堡建造两家新工厂,这项投资得到了公共资金的补贴。如果没有监管方面的问题,施工将于2023年上半年开始,将于2027年正式投产。</p><p>7、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2219784710\" target=\"_blank\">立讯精密回应美国337调查:新设计的专利技术不构成侵权</a></p><p>立讯精密官方微信公众号发布文章,解释了美国对公司进行的“337调查”进展。立讯精密表示,公司紧急成立应对337调查专项工作组,并协同美国专业的诉讼律师团队积极应诉。在此基础上,立讯精密与国内外律师团队以合法、合规、合理的方式向国家知识产权局、美国专利商标局同步提出了针对安费诺集团相关专利的无效申请,其中端子横排注塑成型技术于中国对应的专利已经由国家知识产权局宣告专利权全部无效,其他相关专利的无效申请正处于受理审查阶段。</p><p>8、<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/NW/2219673760\" target=\"_blank\">法拉第未来重新准备纳斯达克上市</a></p><p>法拉第未来收到了来自纳斯达克上市资格部的信函,准许公司重新符合纳斯达克上市规则,公司必须在2022年5月6日之前提交截至2021年9月30日的10-Q报表和其他必要文件(10-K报表),如果未能提交,将导致公司退市。</p><p>9、<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/NW/2219398637\" target=\"_blank\">小牛电动回应央视315晚会报道违规提速:内部正在核实</a></p><p>针对央视315晚会曝出“小牛电动自行车提供解码装置,使得产品得以违规提速”的问题,小牛电动相关人士向记者回应表示,“我们内部正在核实,有消息第一时间同步。”</p><p>10<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/NW/1169323090\" target=\"_blank\">、新股首日 | Akanda一度上涨650%,专攻国际医用大麻市场</a></p><p>英国的医用大麻公司Akanda登陆纳斯达克,盘中一度上涨650%,截至收盘,涨162.5%触发熔断,报10.5美元。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b23574aac95526c9e5c62ebc8dd25130","relate_stocks":{"AKAN":"Akanda Corp"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1136839858","content_text":"摘要:①美股集体收涨!纳指涨近3%,中概股大反攻雾芯科技涨超40%;②原油连日重挫跌入熊市,较近期高位均下挫逾20%;③俄乌谈判16日将继续进行,双方存在妥协可能;④俄罗斯宣布对美国总统拜登等实施制裁。海外市场1、美股集体收涨!纳指涨近3%特斯拉涨超4% 中概股大反攻雾芯科技涨近40%美股三大股指集体收涨,因油价再度大跌,且美国PPI指数低于预期,帮助缓解了投资者对于通胀持续恶化的担忧,市场焦点转向美联储即将公布的政策声明。截止收盘,道指收涨1.82%,标普500指数涨2.14%,纳指涨2.92%。2、热门中概股周二普遍止跌回涨 雾芯科技暴涨超40%热门中概股周二收盘普遍止跌回涨,雾芯科技暴涨超40%,领跑一众中概股;纳斯达克中国金龙指数收高近5%。金山云涨超25%,此前宣布计划探索在香港上市;新东方涨超22%,BOSS直聘、腾讯音乐、哔哩哔哩等涨超10%,京东、拼多多涨7%。新能源汽车股中,理想汽车涨超12%,小鹏汽车涨超7%,蔚来汽车涨近6%。3、美布两油跌入熊市 较近期高位均下挫逾20%美国WTI原油与ICE布伦特原油周二收跌,且二者从3月8日创造的近期高位均已下跌20%以上,标志着跌入技术性熊市。周二,纽约商品交易所4月交割的西德克萨斯中质原油(WTI)期货价格下跌6.57美元,跌幅为6.4%,收于每桶96.44美元。4、伦镍周三下午返场伦交所 每日价格引入5%涨跌幅的限制伦敦金属交易所(LME)在“22/067”声明中表示,镍期货的交易将于伦敦时间周三早08:00(北京时间周三下午16:00)恢复。在声明中,16日起,伦交所将镍期货的每日价格变动幅度上限设定为5%。15日起,其他基础金属的的每日价格变动幅度上限设定为15%,但达到任何价格限制都不会自动触发暂停交易。除此以外,LME还要求交易商上报镍头寸。5、黄金期货收跌1.6% 创近两周新低黄金期货周二大幅下跌,创下近两周来的最低收盘价。纽约商品交易所4月交割的黄金期货价格下跌31.10美元,跌幅为1.6%,收于每盎司1929.70美元。俄乌周二继续进行第四轮谈判,以结束他们在东欧的敌对行动。自2月24日俄乌冲突爆发以来,黄金得到了避险买盘的支撑。但在美联储周三作出货币政策决定之前,金价已经开始缩水。6、欧股收盘涨跌不一,法国CAC40指数跌0.23%欧股主要指数收盘涨跌不一,德国DAX30指数涨0.12%,英国富时100指数跌0.22%,法国CAC40指数跌0.23%,欧洲斯托克50指数涨0.15%。俄乌局势相关1、乌总统办公室主任顾问:俄乌谈判16日将继续进行 双方存在妥协可能当地时间15日,乌克兰总统办公室主任顾问波多利亚克表示,俄乌谈判明天将继续进行,双方代表团在谈判中的立场存在根本性矛盾,但存在妥协的可能。2、乌克兰副总理:泽连斯基已准备好和普京谈判当地时间3月15日,乌克兰副总理韦列舒克表示,乌克兰总统泽连斯基已经准备好与俄罗斯总统普京谈判。韦列舒克说,谈判的首要问题是停火。3、乌方称俄罗斯军队目前没有试图占领基辅周二晚间据市场消息,乌克兰当局发布全国空袭警报。乌克兰总统顾问称,俄罗斯军队目前没有试图占领基辅。据国际文传电讯社,俄罗斯国防部表示,俄罗斯军队已经控制了乌克兰赫尔松地区的所有领土。俄罗斯联邦安全会议秘书帕特鲁舍夫称,乌克兰的军事行动将按计划进行。4、欧美逾万枚反坦克导弹运往乌克兰 更严酷的城市作战或等待着双方大量反坦克导弹已被送往乌克兰,这可能改变整个俄乌局势进程,俄罗斯或需调遣足够多部队以应对局势变化。据美媒,拜登周三还将宣布向乌克兰提供价值10亿美元的新军事援助。5、俄方称伊核协议即将达成,已收到美国关于恢复全面核协议的书面保证俄罗斯外长拉夫罗夫表示,关于恢复JCPOA(伊朗核协议)的协议即将完成。俄罗斯收到了美国关于恢复全面核协议的书面保证,这些保证包括在文本中。伊朗外长称,完成伊核谈判的决定权在美国手中。6、欧佩克2月份超量增产 称全球经济面临的挑战将影响需求欧佩克2月份的石油产量增加了44万桶/日,达到2847万桶/日,超过了根据欧佩克+协议承诺的增加量。月报将2022年全球原油需求预测从1.008亿桶/日小幅上调至1.009亿桶/日。欧佩克称,全球经济面临的挑战,尤其是经济增长放缓、通胀上升和地缘政治动荡将影响各地区的需求。7、俄罗斯央行称将从3月15日起暂停向银行购买黄金面对西方国家对俄罗斯出口的制裁,俄罗斯政府表示,计划创建新的供应路线,为企业和公民争取新的供应商。此外,俄罗斯央行表示从3月15日起暂停向银行购买黄金。8、欧盟领导人同意“尽快”逐步停止俄能源的依赖欧盟委员会15日发布声明,宣布将对俄罗斯实施第四轮制裁措施。峰会声明草案显示,欧盟领导人同意“尽快”逐步停止对俄罗斯天然气、石油和煤炭的依赖。新制裁还禁止对俄罗斯能源领域的新投资,禁止欧盟信用评级机构对俄罗斯和俄罗斯公司进行评级。此外,据官方报刊,作为对俄罗斯更广泛制裁的一部分,欧盟禁止对俄罗斯天然气公司Gazprom、俄罗斯石油公司Rosneft和俄罗斯石油运输公司进行投资,但相关制裁不包括涉及化石燃料和其他原材料的交易。国际宏观1、国际货币基金组织:俄乌冲突或将改变全球经济和地缘政治秩序当地时间3月15日,国际货币基金组织发布文章说,俄乌冲突除了带来苦难和人道主义危机之外,也会造成世界经济的增长放缓和通胀加快。文章还指出,拥有直接贸易、旅游和金融风险的国家将感受额外压力,依赖石油进口的经济体将面临更大的财政和贸易逆差及更大的通胀压力。从长远来看,俄乌冲突可能会从根本上改变全球经济和地缘政治秩序,地缘政治紧张局势的加剧进一步增加了经济分裂的风险,尤其是在贸易和技术方面。2、俄罗斯决定退出欧洲委员会当地时间15日,俄罗斯国家杜马副主席彼得·托尔斯泰在社交媒体表示,俄罗斯决定退出欧洲委员会,俄外长拉夫罗夫的有关信件已交给该组织秘书长。托尔斯泰说,破坏与欧洲委员会对话的全部责任在于北约国家,他们一直以人权为主题来实现自己的地缘政治利益和对俄罗斯的攻击。鉴于俄罗斯面临前所未有的政治和制裁压力,故不打算继续向该组织缴纳会费。3、乌克兰总统泽连斯基会见波兰、捷克、斯洛文尼亚三国总理乌克兰总统泽连斯基当地时间15日会见波兰总理莫拉维茨基、捷克总理菲亚拉和斯洛文尼亚总理扬沙。当天早些时候,三国总理抵达基辅。波兰总理府官网发布消息说,三国总理将作为欧洲理事会的代表于当天访问乌克兰基辅,并与乌克兰总统泽连斯基、总理什梅加尔举行会见。4、随着美联储加息以对抗通胀 预测者认为经济衰退可能性越来越大据最新媒体调查,由于美联储面临物价快速上涨和俄乌冲突带来的更大不确定性的困境,预测者已经提高了对美国经济衰退的预期,同时提高了通胀预测。调查显示,未来12个月美国经济衰退的可能性上升到了33%,比2月1日调查时高出10个百分点。欧洲经济衰退的可能性为50%。5、俄乌谈判代表积极评价谈判进程当地时间3月15日,乌克兰总统办公室副主任表示,俄乌会谈现在更富有建设性,双方已经在商讨未来即将签署的协议。俄罗斯代表团团长梅津斯基在社交媒体写道,俄乌谈判代表每天都通过视频进行谈判,这样既节约时间又节约资源。乌克兰总统办公室主任顾问波多利亚克表示,俄乌谈判明天将继续进行,双方代表团在谈判中的立场存在根本性矛盾,但存在妥协的可能。6、俄罗斯宣布对美国总统拜登等实施制裁当地时间15日,据俄罗斯外交部消息,俄罗斯宣布对美国总统拜登实施制裁。俄罗斯外交部发布的公告说,为了回应包括禁止俄罗斯联邦高级官员进入美国等一系列前所未有的制裁,自今年3月15日起,俄罗斯将美国总统拜登、国务卿布林肯、国防部长奥斯汀和参谋长联席会议主席米利等13名机构负责人和美国知名人士在对等基础上列入俄罗斯“禁止入境名单”。公司新闻1、全球最大院线进军大宗商品行业 明确表态将传授“丰富融资经验”美国当地时间周二,全球最大电影院线AMC娱乐宣布了一项重要决定:公司买矿了!根据公告说明,被这家“超短线散户爆炒股”看中的是位于美国内华达州的Hycroft矿产控股公司,拥有占地7.1万英亩的Hycroft矿。根据第三方独立机构的研究,这处矿产拥有1500万盎司的黄金储备和接近6亿盎司的白银储备。2、泡泡玛特回应与肯德基联名引发炒作:暂停定制盲盒业务针对此前与餐饮品牌联名引发的炒作现象,泡泡玛特回应称全部暂停定制盲盒业务以杜绝可能的食品浪费,并提醒被授权方避免过度营销,在活动机制的设计上遵守公序良俗,提醒消费者理性消费。3、金山云称正探索在香港联交所主板双重上市金山云今日宣布,公司正在探求在香港主板双重上市的机会,以便更好地在当前的市场及监管环境下给公司股东提供更加充裕的流动性和保障性。具体上市计划将取决于相关监管机构的批准和市场情况。金山云称,尽管近期股价波动较大,但公司业务日常运营保持正常运转,无重大异动。4、大众汽车:俄乌冲突可能影响增长前景 计划将产能转移至中国和美国当地时间周二(3月15日),大众汽车警告称,汽车行业面临的挑战越来越大,鉴于半导体短缺、供应链瓶颈、大宗商品价格高企以及俄乌冲突等因素,公司2022年的增长前景可能会受到影响。大众表示,俄乌冲突加剧了大宗商品的涨势,并且大宗商品市场可能会一直动荡到2026年。俄乌冲突升级后,出于对供应前景的担忧,镍和钯等生产汽车的重要原材料价格飙升。5、沃尔沃与星巴克合作在美建设公用电动汽车充电网络沃尔沃汽车美国公司周二表示,该公司正在与咖啡连锁巨头星巴克合作以建设一个公用电动汽车充电网络,这个网络将于今年夏天开始启用。这家瑞典汽车制造商表示,这个充电网络的试点安装项目将涵盖最多15个星巴克门店,提供最多60个沃尔沃品牌的ChargePoint DC快速充电桩。6、英特尔计划投资360亿美元在欧洲建厂 欲大幅提升欧洲半导体产能芯片制造商英特尔在美东时间周二(3月15日)宣布,计划投资逾330亿欧元(约合360亿美元)提振在欧洲的芯片产能,因欧盟希望在半导体领域变得更加独立自主,并解决困扰汽车行业的供应危机。英特尔表示,作为投资计划的一部分,将在德国马德堡建造两家新工厂,这项投资得到了公共资金的补贴。如果没有监管方面的问题,施工将于2023年上半年开始,将于2027年正式投产。7、立讯精密回应美国337调查:新设计的专利技术不构成侵权立讯精密官方微信公众号发布文章,解释了美国对公司进行的“337调查”进展。立讯精密表示,公司紧急成立应对337调查专项工作组,并协同美国专业的诉讼律师团队积极应诉。在此基础上,立讯精密与国内外律师团队以合法、合规、合理的方式向国家知识产权局、美国专利商标局同步提出了针对安费诺集团相关专利的无效申请,其中端子横排注塑成型技术于中国对应的专利已经由国家知识产权局宣告专利权全部无效,其他相关专利的无效申请正处于受理审查阶段。8、法拉第未来重新准备纳斯达克上市法拉第未来收到了来自纳斯达克上市资格部的信函,准许公司重新符合纳斯达克上市规则,公司必须在2022年5月6日之前提交截至2021年9月30日的10-Q报表和其他必要文件(10-K报表),如果未能提交,将导致公司退市。9、小牛电动回应央视315晚会报道违规提速:内部正在核实针对央视315晚会曝出“小牛电动自行车提供解码装置,使得产品得以违规提速”的问题,小牛电动相关人士向记者回应表示,“我们内部正在核实,有消息第一时间同步。”10、新股首日 | Akanda一度上涨650%,专攻国际医用大麻市场英国的医用大麻公司Akanda登陆纳斯达克,盘中一度上涨650%,截至收盘,涨162.5%触发熔断,报10.5美元。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":663,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9005321135,"gmtCreate":1642177452209,"gmtModify":1676533689941,"author":{"id":"4088138547969780","authorId":"4088138547969780","name":"s0ulless","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3a8cdf43549cc2dee3b7999340ade20a","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4088138547969780","idStr":"4088138547969780"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Glance] ","listText":"[Glance] ","text":"[Glance]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9005321135","repostId":"2203126977","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2203126977","pubTimestamp":1642174200,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2203126977?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-01-14 23:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Are Electric Vehicle Stocks Overhyped?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2203126977","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The short answer: Almost definitely.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The excitement around electric vehicle stocks is palpable. From <b>Rivian</b> (NASDAQ:RIVN) at a $76 billion market cap with no revenue to <b>Tesla</b> (NASDAQ:TSLA) breaching a $1.1 trillion market cap when it was valued under $100 billion less than three years ago, many investors are bullish on the opportunity in electric vehicles.</p><p>And why wouldn't they be? The industry is growing quickly, up 26% year over year from 2020, and is going after a gigantic market opportunity in the worldwide car market. But just because these stocks are in a large, growing industry doesn't mean they will be great investments over the next decade. Just ask <b>Cisco Systems</b> investors who bought stock in 1999 and 2000.</p><p>Are electric vehicle stocks overhyped? Yes. Let me explain why.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/90344f91dac6378d78934846de60ce59\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"465\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p><h2>Growth is strong, and the market opportunity is massive</h2><p>To start out, let's give some context around the global opportunity in electric vehicles and the overall automotive industry. In 2021, it is estimated that 6.4 million electric vehicles (EVs) were sold around the world, of which 4 million of these were all-electric and 2.4 million plug-in hybrids. That total number is up 26% from 2020.</p><p>In 2022, analysts are actually expecting this growth to accelerate due to the number of models being available in the U.S. jumping from 62 to 100. If that is the case, global annual sales for electric vehicles should hit 10 million in the near future. For reference, 66 million total cars are estimated to have been sold around the world in 2021.</p><p>Those are all high-level numbers, but what about the financial opportunity? Assuming an average selling price of $25,000, 10 million EV sales would equate to $250 billion in annual sales. At 50 million EVs, which assumes they take over the majority of the auto market, that equates to $1.25 trillion in sales. Clearly, the opportunity is massive from a revenue standpoint.</p><h2>Margins will be low</h2><p>While the revenue opportunity for EVs is large, these manufacturing businesses also have low margins. For example, let's look at <b>Toyota </b>(NYSE:TM), the largest automaker in the world, with an estimated 8.5% market share in 2019. Over the last 12 months, the company has brought in $281 billion in revenue. On that revenue, only $31 billion turned into operating income, or an 11% operating margin.</p><p>Tesla, the biggest pure-play EV maker, is seeing just shy of 10% operating margins on $47 billion in revenue. Given the reduction in manufacturing complications of a battery pack versus an internal combustion engine, EV makers may achieve better operating margins than 11% at scale. But they still require bending metal to succeed, so the likelihood they will be much higher than 11% on average over the long term seems unlikely.</p><p>What's more, automotive businesses require tons of capital expenditures relative to their sales just to stay afloat. For example, Toyota spent almost $35 billion on capital investments over the last 12 months. Given its profit margins, that makes it very difficult for the company to return excess cash to shareholders -- which is the <i>only</i> driver of shareholder value in the long run. This is why Toyota's stock historically trades at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio at or around 10. And EV stocks will have a similar fate due to this capital intensity.</p><h2>Expectations are too high</h2><p>Let's move back to our revenue example. If annual EV sales reach $1.25 trillion and we assign a generous 15% operating margin across the industry, there will be $180 billion in annual operating income once EV sales hit 50 million a year. Remember, sales are currently at only 6.4 million, including plug-in hybrids, so this is a long way off. On that $180 billion in operating income, if you give it a 21% corporate tax rate, that is $142.2 billion in annual net income across the industry.</p><p>Put an average P/E of 10 (remember, this is typical for automotive companies because of the capital intensity) on the stocks, and you have $1.42 trillion in combined market value once EVs reach maturity. Looking at the five pure-play EV stocks right now, which are Tesla, Rivian, <b>Lucid Motors </b>(NASDAQ:LCID), <b>Nio </b>(NYSE:NIO), and <b>Xpeng </b>(NYSE:XPEV), their combined market caps are <i>currently</i> $1.34 trillion, or pretty darn close to what the whole industry will be worth at maturity with optimistic margin and growth assumptions.</p><p>And this doesn't include the legacy automakers like Toyota, <b>Ford Motor Company</b>, <b>GM</b>, and <b>Volkswagen</b>, which are all making major investments into EVs. Assuming none of these legacy manufacturers will at least capture some of the $1.42 trillion market value is naive, in my opinion.</p><p>Given all these numbers, it is clear that the electric vehicle market is overhyped. If you are invested in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of these companies, or even a legacy automaker, you need to be confident in that specific company's ability to win market share and beat all these competitors. If that doesn't happen, it is likely your investment will go very poorly over the next decade.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Are Electric Vehicle Stocks Overhyped?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAre Electric Vehicle Stocks Overhyped?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-01-14 23:30 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/01/14/are-electric-vehicle-stocks-overhyped-tesla/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The excitement around electric vehicle stocks is palpable. From Rivian (NASDAQ:RIVN) at a $76 billion market cap with no revenue to Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) breaching a $1.1 trillion market cap when it was...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/01/14/are-electric-vehicle-stocks-overhyped-tesla/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4525":"远程办公概念","BK4509":"腾讯概念","XPEV":"小鹏汽车","LCID":"Lucid Group Inc","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4020":"通信设备","BK4526":"热门中概股","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BK4505":"高瓴资本持仓","BK4560":"网络安全概念","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4099":"汽车制造商","NIO":"蔚来","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","TM":"丰田汽车","CSCO":"思科","RIVN":"Rivian Automotive, Inc.","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","BK4515":"5G概念","BK4531":"中概回港概念","TSLA":"特斯拉","BK4555":"新能源车","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/01/14/are-electric-vehicle-stocks-overhyped-tesla/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2203126977","content_text":"The excitement around electric vehicle stocks is palpable. From Rivian (NASDAQ:RIVN) at a $76 billion market cap with no revenue to Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) breaching a $1.1 trillion market cap when it was valued under $100 billion less than three years ago, many investors are bullish on the opportunity in electric vehicles.And why wouldn't they be? The industry is growing quickly, up 26% year over year from 2020, and is going after a gigantic market opportunity in the worldwide car market. But just because these stocks are in a large, growing industry doesn't mean they will be great investments over the next decade. Just ask Cisco Systems investors who bought stock in 1999 and 2000.Are electric vehicle stocks overhyped? Yes. Let me explain why.Image source: Getty Images.Growth is strong, and the market opportunity is massiveTo start out, let's give some context around the global opportunity in electric vehicles and the overall automotive industry. In 2021, it is estimated that 6.4 million electric vehicles (EVs) were sold around the world, of which 4 million of these were all-electric and 2.4 million plug-in hybrids. That total number is up 26% from 2020.In 2022, analysts are actually expecting this growth to accelerate due to the number of models being available in the U.S. jumping from 62 to 100. If that is the case, global annual sales for electric vehicles should hit 10 million in the near future. For reference, 66 million total cars are estimated to have been sold around the world in 2021.Those are all high-level numbers, but what about the financial opportunity? Assuming an average selling price of $25,000, 10 million EV sales would equate to $250 billion in annual sales. At 50 million EVs, which assumes they take over the majority of the auto market, that equates to $1.25 trillion in sales. Clearly, the opportunity is massive from a revenue standpoint.Margins will be lowWhile the revenue opportunity for EVs is large, these manufacturing businesses also have low margins. For example, let's look at Toyota (NYSE:TM), the largest automaker in the world, with an estimated 8.5% market share in 2019. Over the last 12 months, the company has brought in $281 billion in revenue. On that revenue, only $31 billion turned into operating income, or an 11% operating margin.Tesla, the biggest pure-play EV maker, is seeing just shy of 10% operating margins on $47 billion in revenue. Given the reduction in manufacturing complications of a battery pack versus an internal combustion engine, EV makers may achieve better operating margins than 11% at scale. But they still require bending metal to succeed, so the likelihood they will be much higher than 11% on average over the long term seems unlikely.What's more, automotive businesses require tons of capital expenditures relative to their sales just to stay afloat. For example, Toyota spent almost $35 billion on capital investments over the last 12 months. Given its profit margins, that makes it very difficult for the company to return excess cash to shareholders -- which is the only driver of shareholder value in the long run. This is why Toyota's stock historically trades at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio at or around 10. And EV stocks will have a similar fate due to this capital intensity.Expectations are too highLet's move back to our revenue example. If annual EV sales reach $1.25 trillion and we assign a generous 15% operating margin across the industry, there will be $180 billion in annual operating income once EV sales hit 50 million a year. Remember, sales are currently at only 6.4 million, including plug-in hybrids, so this is a long way off. On that $180 billion in operating income, if you give it a 21% corporate tax rate, that is $142.2 billion in annual net income across the industry.Put an average P/E of 10 (remember, this is typical for automotive companies because of the capital intensity) on the stocks, and you have $1.42 trillion in combined market value once EVs reach maturity. Looking at the five pure-play EV stocks right now, which are Tesla, Rivian, Lucid Motors (NASDAQ:LCID), Nio (NYSE:NIO), and Xpeng (NYSE:XPEV), their combined market caps are currently $1.34 trillion, or pretty darn close to what the whole industry will be worth at maturity with optimistic margin and growth assumptions.And this doesn't include the legacy automakers like Toyota, Ford Motor Company, GM, and Volkswagen, which are all making major investments into EVs. Assuming none of these legacy manufacturers will at least capture some of the $1.42 trillion market value is naive, in my opinion.Given all these numbers, it is clear that the electric vehicle market is overhyped. If you are invested in one of these companies, or even a legacy automaker, you need to be confident in that specific company's ability to win market share and beat all these competitors. If that doesn't happen, it is likely your investment will go very poorly over the next decade.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":662,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}