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The ultimate bull case for the stock market: It keeps making new highs

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…","listText":"Nice …","text":"Nice …","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/831095870","repostId":"1114320591","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":830202933,"gmtCreate":1629073839522,"gmtModify":1676529920164,"author":{"id":"4091688991340270","authorId":"4091688991340270","name":"Dc7373","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ec2b1806dbd283527a38a34d3e79150","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4091688991340270","authorIdStr":"4091688991340270"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Call]&nbsp;[Call]&nbsp;[Call]&nbsp;","listText":"[Call]&nbsp;[Call]&nbsp;[Call]&nbsp;","text":"[Call] [Call] [Call]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e04e050d91fc81d4e4abcee56f3d838","width":"1125","height":"2740"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/830202933","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":64,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":830203258,"gmtCreate":1629073642074,"gmtModify":1676529920100,"author":{"id":"4091688991340270","authorId":"4091688991340270","name":"Dc7373","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ec2b1806dbd283527a38a34d3e79150","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4091688991340270","authorIdStr":"4091688991340270"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Call]&nbsp;[Call]&nbsp;[Call]&nbsp;","listText":"[Call]&nbsp;[Call]&nbsp;[Call]&nbsp;","text":"[Call] [Call] [Call]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/830203258","repostId":"1105143925","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1105143925","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1629071281,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1105143925?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-08-16 07:48","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The ultimate bull case for the stock market: It keeps making new highs","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1105143925","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"“Price is king,” so you have to respect the S&P 500’s chart, writes Lawrence G. McMillan\nThe broader","content":"<p>“Price is king,” so you have to respect the S&amp;P 500’s chart, writes Lawrence G. McMillan</p>\n<p>The broader stock market, as measured by the S&amp;P 500 Index, continues to plow ahead, making a series of all-time intraday and closing highs.</p>\n<p>This comes despite a nagging negative divergence with some of the market internals. But since “price is king,” one must respect the strong positive action of the S&amp;P 500SPX,+0.16%.The Index has support at 4370 points, which has been doubly tested, and as long as that is in place, negative divergences make little difference; it is necessary to be long in line with the positive trend of the chart.</p>\n<p>Below 4370, there are other support levels, too: 4233, 4165 and 4060 (the latter two of which have been doubly tested as well). However, 4370 is the “key” support level now, and if it were broken, that would call for a more bearish outlook.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9494e34242e7825ff2bfab942fe90d0a\" tg-width=\"1050\" tg-height=\"792\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>The McMillan Volatility Band (MVB) sell signal (marked in green on the accompanying chart) remains in place. The realized volatility of the S&amp;P 500 has begun to decline, which will pull the bands toward the center, making a resolution of this signal more likely. The signal would be stopped out by a close above the +4σ Band and would fulfill its target by hitting the -4σ Band — neither of which is imminent at this time.</p>\n<p>Speaking of realized volatility, the recent daily ranges of SPX have begun to shrink (even though the index is advancing). That has caused the realized volatility (20-day historical volatility, or HV20) of SPX to fall back to 11%. There is still a realized volatility sell signal in place, but it would be stopped out if HV20 fell to 9%.</p>\n<p>Equity-only put-call ratios remain on sell signals as well. Even though there is a slight “wiggle” on the<i>standard</i>chart, our computer analysis programs continue to predict that these ratios will continue to rise. A rising equity-only put-call ratio is bearish for stocks. These ratios have been on sell signals since early July, but SPX has certainly not responded to them over that period. Rather, the “average” stock has struggled since then. That’s one part of market internals that’s not so great. Traders have been buying puts on those struggling stocks, sending these equity-only put-call ratios higher.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c55f1a0b7bb56e4b3efe08ab7a63fc7b\" tg-width=\"1050\" tg-height=\"794\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9c57212bed75cb9ffe3593e5f494e34\" tg-width=\"1049\" tg-height=\"794\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>Market breadth continues to be another problem for the market. The breadth oscillators have managed to stay on buy signals, so that is encouraging. However, they are much weaker than they “should” be. Normally, with SPX making a series of new all-time highs, breadth would be very accommodating, and these breadth oscillators would be deeply overbought. That is not the case now. In fact, they are not overbought at all — not even by a small amount.</p>\n<p>Perhaps the greatest area of negative divergence, and the one most easily measured, is with the<i>cumulative</i>breadth indicators. They have not made new all-time highs since June 11, but SPX has made a new all-time high on 23 trading days since then.<i>That</i>is a major divergence that has now lasted 42 trading days (since June 11).</p>\n<p>A recent study showed that these lengthy negative divergences often lead to bear markets, but that the<i>average</i>length of time of the divergence before the bear market started was<i>six months!</i>&nbsp; So, a negative divergence is certainly not a market-timing tool, but it is a valid warning sign that one should not be complacent when such a divergence is in place: monitor and heed your stops, and do not ignore confirmed sell signals from your indicators.</p>\n<p>On the NYSE, new 52-week highs continue to outnumber new 52-week Lows. That keeps this indicator on a bullish status. The differential has shrunk from where it was a couple of months ago, but it remains bullish.</p>\n<p><i>Implied</i>&nbsp;volatility measures — those having to do with VIX&nbsp;and its tradeable products — continue to be bullish indicators for stocks. The VIX “spike peak” buy signal of July 20 remains in place. That will remain true as long as it is not stopped by VIX returning to “spiking” mode. The signal lasts for 22 trading days if not stopped out, and that would take it out into next week.</p>\n<p>Furthermore, the<i>trend</i>of VIX is downward: VIX is below its 20-day moving average (MA), which is below the 200-day MA, and that is bullish for stocks. Finally, the<i>construct</i>of volatility derivatives is bullish for stocks, too: The VIX futures are trading at premiums to VIX, and their term structure slopes upward (as does that of the CBOE Volatility Indices).</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3caa96a718034d1d0e509e7efefbb4c\" tg-width=\"1050\" tg-height=\"786\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>In summary, the SPX chart is bullish, and that means you should have a “core” bullish position in place.</p>\n<p><b>New recommendation: Conditional S&amp;P 500 sell signal</b></p>\n<p>Based on the context above, we are going to lay out some parameters regarding taking a bearish position should SPX support be broken:</p>\n<p><b>IF $SPX</b><b><i>trades</i></b><b>below 4370 and stays there for an hour,</b></p>\n<p><b>THEN Buy 1 SPY Aug (27th) at-the-money put</b></p>\n<p><b>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; And Sell 1 SPY Aug (27th) put with a striking price 25 points lower.</b></p>\n<p><b>In addition,</b></p>\n<p><b>IF $SPX</b><b><i>closes</i></b><b>below 4370,</b></p>\n<p><b>THEN Buy another bear spread:</b></p>\n<p><b>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Buy 1 (more) SPY Aug (27th) at-the-money put</b></p>\n<p><b>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; And Sell 1 (more) SPY Aug (27th) put with a striking price 25 points lower.</b></p>\n<p>Note that it is possible that the second condition (close below 4370) could occur without the first condition being satisfied (if $SPX breaks below 4370 late in a trading day). If that is the case, then buy two of these spreads on the close.</p>\n<p>Finally, if these spreads are established, stop yourself out of all of these bear spreads on an SPX close above 4430.</p>\n<p><b>New recommendation: Veoneer</b></p>\n<p>VeoneerVNE,+1.24%is in a bidding war. The company had previously agreed to be acquired by&nbsp;<b>Magna International</b>&nbsp;for $31.25 per share. The stock traded slightly above that price, though, as some traders expected an improved bid. Now&nbsp;<b>Qualcomm</b>&nbsp;has bid $37. The stock is trading higher than $37 in anticipation of a bidding war. Stock volume patterns are very strong and improving. The option markets are wide and illiquid, but we want to put in a bid:</p>\n<p><b>Buy 5 VNE Sept (17th) 38 calls at a price of 1.20 or less.</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4247c92eddb4bbf06d70a80a2ae02b6d\" tg-width=\"1049\" tg-height=\"789\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p><b>Follow-up action</b></p>\n<p><b>Long 3 DUK Aug (20th) 100 calls:</b>raise the trailing stop to 103.80.</p>\n<p><b>Long 4 expiring DBX Aug (13th) 30.5 calls:</b>roll to the<b>Sept (3rd) 32 calls.</b>Raise the trailing stop to 31.20.</p>\n<p><b>Long 1 RAPT Aug (20th) 30 call.</b>The stop yourself remains at 26.</p>\n<p><b>Long 1 SPY Aug (20th) 431 call:</b>this positionwas bought in line with the VIX “spike peak” buy signal of July 20th. Continue to hold for 22 days from that date (this signal will “expire” next week). &nbsp;So, roll up to the<b>Sept (3rd) 443 calls.</b>The position would be stopped out if $VIX were to rise 3.00 points or more within any 3-day period, using closing prices. If it is stopped out, then re-enter with an at-the-money call on the ensuing buy signal.</p>\n<p><b>Long 2 HOLX Sept (17th) 75 calls:</b>these calls were rolled up previously.&nbsp; Raise the trailing stop to 73.</p>\n<p><b>Long 1 SPY Aug (20th) 433 put and Short 1 SPY Aug (20th) 408 put:</b>this spread was bought in line with the equity-only put-call ratio sell signals. Those sell signals are still in place, so continue to hold this spread. We will update the situation weekly.</p>\n<p><b>Long 5 STAR Aug (20th) 22.5 calls:</b>&nbsp; raise the stop to 24.60.</p>\n<p><b>Long 5 MGI Aug (20th) 10 calls:</b>hold this position without a stop initially, to see if a takeover bid can materialize.</p>\n<p><b>Long 2 DHI Sept (17th) 92.5 calls:</b>these calls were bought on July 29th, when DHI closed above 93. Since this recommendation was based on a put-call ratio buy signal for DHI, we will hold the position as long as that buy signal is still in effect, which it is.</p>\n<p><b>Long 2 AFRM Sept (17th) 65 calls and Short 2 AFRM Sept (17th) 80 calls:</b>hold without a stop while the takeover rumors play out.</p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The ultimate bull case for the stock market: It keeps making new highs</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe ultimate bull case for the stock market: It keeps making new highs\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-16 07:48 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-ultimate-bull-case-for-the-stock-market-it-keeps-making-new-highs-11628785490?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>“Price is king,” so you have to respect the S&P 500’s chart, writes Lawrence G. McMillan\nThe broader stock market, as measured by the S&P 500 Index, continues to plow ahead, making a series of all-...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-ultimate-bull-case-for-the-stock-market-it-keeps-making-new-highs-11628785490?mod=home-page\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-ultimate-bull-case-for-the-stock-market-it-keeps-making-new-highs-11628785490?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1105143925","content_text":"“Price is king,” so you have to respect the S&P 500’s chart, writes Lawrence G. McMillan\nThe broader stock market, as measured by the S&P 500 Index, continues to plow ahead, making a series of all-time intraday and closing highs.\nThis comes despite a nagging negative divergence with some of the market internals. But since “price is king,” one must respect the strong positive action of the S&P 500SPX,+0.16%.The Index has support at 4370 points, which has been doubly tested, and as long as that is in place, negative divergences make little difference; it is necessary to be long in line with the positive trend of the chart.\nBelow 4370, there are other support levels, too: 4233, 4165 and 4060 (the latter two of which have been doubly tested as well). However, 4370 is the “key” support level now, and if it were broken, that would call for a more bearish outlook.\n\nThe McMillan Volatility Band (MVB) sell signal (marked in green on the accompanying chart) remains in place. The realized volatility of the S&P 500 has begun to decline, which will pull the bands toward the center, making a resolution of this signal more likely. The signal would be stopped out by a close above the +4σ Band and would fulfill its target by hitting the -4σ Band — neither of which is imminent at this time.\nSpeaking of realized volatility, the recent daily ranges of SPX have begun to shrink (even though the index is advancing). That has caused the realized volatility (20-day historical volatility, or HV20) of SPX to fall back to 11%. There is still a realized volatility sell signal in place, but it would be stopped out if HV20 fell to 9%.\nEquity-only put-call ratios remain on sell signals as well. Even though there is a slight “wiggle” on thestandardchart, our computer analysis programs continue to predict that these ratios will continue to rise. A rising equity-only put-call ratio is bearish for stocks. These ratios have been on sell signals since early July, but SPX has certainly not responded to them over that period. Rather, the “average” stock has struggled since then. That’s one part of market internals that’s not so great. Traders have been buying puts on those struggling stocks, sending these equity-only put-call ratios higher.\n\nMarket breadth continues to be another problem for the market. The breadth oscillators have managed to stay on buy signals, so that is encouraging. However, they are much weaker than they “should” be. Normally, with SPX making a series of new all-time highs, breadth would be very accommodating, and these breadth oscillators would be deeply overbought. That is not the case now. In fact, they are not overbought at all — not even by a small amount.\nPerhaps the greatest area of negative divergence, and the one most easily measured, is with thecumulativebreadth indicators. They have not made new all-time highs since June 11, but SPX has made a new all-time high on 23 trading days since then.Thatis a major divergence that has now lasted 42 trading days (since June 11).\nA recent study showed that these lengthy negative divergences often lead to bear markets, but that theaveragelength of time of the divergence before the bear market started wassix months!  So, a negative divergence is certainly not a market-timing tool, but it is a valid warning sign that one should not be complacent when such a divergence is in place: monitor and heed your stops, and do not ignore confirmed sell signals from your indicators.\nOn the NYSE, new 52-week highs continue to outnumber new 52-week Lows. That keeps this indicator on a bullish status. The differential has shrunk from where it was a couple of months ago, but it remains bullish.\nImplied volatility measures — those having to do with VIX and its tradeable products — continue to be bullish indicators for stocks. The VIX “spike peak” buy signal of July 20 remains in place. That will remain true as long as it is not stopped by VIX returning to “spiking” mode. The signal lasts for 22 trading days if not stopped out, and that would take it out into next week.\nFurthermore, thetrendof VIX is downward: VIX is below its 20-day moving average (MA), which is below the 200-day MA, and that is bullish for stocks. Finally, theconstructof volatility derivatives is bullish for stocks, too: The VIX futures are trading at premiums to VIX, and their term structure slopes upward (as does that of the CBOE Volatility Indices).\n\nIn summary, the SPX chart is bullish, and that means you should have a “core” bullish position in place.\nNew recommendation: Conditional S&P 500 sell signal\nBased on the context above, we are going to lay out some parameters regarding taking a bearish position should SPX support be broken:\nIF $SPXtradesbelow 4370 and stays there for an hour,\nTHEN Buy 1 SPY Aug (27th) at-the-money put\n            And Sell 1 SPY Aug (27th) put with a striking price 25 points lower.\nIn addition,\nIF $SPXclosesbelow 4370,\nTHEN Buy another bear spread:\n            Buy 1 (more) SPY Aug (27th) at-the-money put\n            And Sell 1 (more) SPY Aug (27th) put with a striking price 25 points lower.\nNote that it is possible that the second condition (close below 4370) could occur without the first condition being satisfied (if $SPX breaks below 4370 late in a trading day). If that is the case, then buy two of these spreads on the close.\nFinally, if these spreads are established, stop yourself out of all of these bear spreads on an SPX close above 4430.\nNew recommendation: Veoneer\nVeoneerVNE,+1.24%is in a bidding war. The company had previously agreed to be acquired by Magna International for $31.25 per share. The stock traded slightly above that price, though, as some traders expected an improved bid. Now Qualcomm has bid $37. The stock is trading higher than $37 in anticipation of a bidding war. Stock volume patterns are very strong and improving. The option markets are wide and illiquid, but we want to put in a bid:\nBuy 5 VNE Sept (17th) 38 calls at a price of 1.20 or less.\n\nFollow-up action\nLong 3 DUK Aug (20th) 100 calls:raise the trailing stop to 103.80.\nLong 4 expiring DBX Aug (13th) 30.5 calls:roll to theSept (3rd) 32 calls.Raise the trailing stop to 31.20.\nLong 1 RAPT Aug (20th) 30 call.The stop yourself remains at 26.\nLong 1 SPY Aug (20th) 431 call:this positionwas bought in line with the VIX “spike peak” buy signal of July 20th. Continue to hold for 22 days from that date (this signal will “expire” next week).  So, roll up to theSept (3rd) 443 calls.The position would be stopped out if $VIX were to rise 3.00 points or more within any 3-day period, using closing prices. If it is stopped out, then re-enter with an at-the-money call on the ensuing buy signal.\nLong 2 HOLX Sept (17th) 75 calls:these calls were rolled up previously.  Raise the trailing stop to 73.\nLong 1 SPY Aug (20th) 433 put and Short 1 SPY Aug (20th) 408 put:this spread was bought in line with the equity-only put-call ratio sell signals. Those sell signals are still in place, so continue to hold this spread. We will update the situation weekly.\nLong 5 STAR Aug (20th) 22.5 calls:  raise the stop to 24.60.\nLong 5 MGI Aug (20th) 10 calls:hold this position without a stop initially, to see if a takeover bid can materialize.\nLong 2 DHI Sept (17th) 92.5 calls:these calls were bought on July 29th, when DHI closed above 93. Since this recommendation was based on a put-call ratio buy signal for DHI, we will hold the position as long as that buy signal is still in effect, which it is.\nLong 2 AFRM Sept (17th) 65 calls and Short 2 AFRM Sept (17th) 80 calls:hold without a stop while the takeover rumors play out.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":51,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":831095870,"gmtCreate":1629270949690,"gmtModify":1676529985793,"author":{"id":"4091688991340270","authorId":"4091688991340270","name":"Dc7373","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ec2b1806dbd283527a38a34d3e79150","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4091688991340270","authorIdStr":"4091688991340270"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice …","listText":"Nice …","text":"Nice …","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/831095870","repostId":"1114320591","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1114320591","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1629255336,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1114320591?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-08-18 10:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Stocks I'm Never Selling","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1114320591","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The best investors in the world swear by holding high-quality companies for decades on end. These stocks fit that bill.","content":"<p><b>Key Points</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Time plus patience adds up to wealth-building results in the stock market.</li>\n <li>These three business titans are leaders in their fields.</li>\n <li>They are also built to last for a very long time.</li>\n</ul>\n<p></p>\n<p>I'm about to show you my favorite stocks. Sometimes I invest with an eye to strong returns over the next few years. These are the ones that I expect to keep beating the market for the years and decades to come. It will take a lot to pry them out of my portfolio.</p>\n<p>Let me show you why I intend to hold&nbsp;<b>Netflix</b>(NASDAQ:NFLX),<b>Alphabet</b>(NASDAQ:GOOG)(NASDAQ:GOOGL), and&nbsp;<b>Walt Disney</b>(NYSE:DIS)for the long haul. These stocks may not be slam-dunk forever holdings for every investor, but you should absolutely take a close look at these top-notch investments.</p>\n<p><b>1. Netflix</b></p>\n<p>First, you knew Netflix as the sender of red mail-order DVD rentals. The company introduced digital video streams as a free add-on for DVD customers in&nbsp;2007, then separated the streaming business into a separate subscription service in 2011. The Qwikster event was a big marketing mess and could certainly have been handled better, but it was absolutely the right idea in the long run.</p>\n<p>Going all-in on the all-digital streaming service allowed Netflix to roll out its paid subscription plans on a global scale, supplemented by an ambitious focus on original content. The subscriber count has skyrocketed from 26 million in the summer of 2011 to 209 million today. That fantastic trend has worked wonders for the company's top and bottom lines:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/646be4c2a73d68810e962c19efe82476\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"449\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>NFLX REVENUE (TTM) DATA BY YCHARTS.</span></p>\n<p>Netflix saw an opportunity to lead the charge into a brand-new market, with low infrastructure costs compared to the DVD-mailing business and buckets of worldwide growth potential. So the DVD business that had come to dominate the video rental sector in America was unceremoniously tossed aside in favor of better ideas.</p>\n<p>These days, Netflix is an award-winning content producer with an unmatched distribution network in every market that matters (except forChina, where the company must operate through local partnerships). The stock has delivered a 2,240% return since the Qwikster event, which works out to a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 35.8%.</p>\n<p><b>2. Alphabet</b></p>\n<p>Alphabet is the parent company of online services giant Google. What started as a student project at Stanford quickly evolved into the world's leading online search tool. Paired with the moneymaking muscle of Google's digital advertising tools, the company generated strong cash flows early on. The cash profits were reinvested in more business ideas. Google eventually built or bought services with matchless market shares in important sectors such as web browsers, online video, email, and smartphone software.</p>\n<p>By 2015, co-founders Sergey Brin and Larry Page had concluded that Google's meat-and-potatoes search and advertising businesses eventually had to fade away, overtaken by mobile alternatives and other innovations. So the company made some big changes. Google hired CFO Ruth Porat, a banking executive with decades of experience in large-scale corporate finance. Later the same year, the company changed its name to Alphabet and reorganized itself into a loose conglomerate of different operations.</p>\n<p>Google is still the backbone of Alphabet, accounting for 99.6% of the holding company's total sales in 2020. The non-Google operations are still losing money on a regular basis, despite some progress in the fields of self-driving vehicles and fiber-optic internet connections. At the same time, the company is preparing for an uncertain future by developing a plethora of online and offline business projects with massive long-term growth prospects and equally large development risks.</p>\n<p>If the self-driving cars don't work out in the long run, Alphabet might find a cash machine in medical research or novel wind energy generators. We may never even have heard of the next big winner in Alphabet's sprawling portfolio. If and when Alphabet starts to make serious money from artificial intelligence tools or cancer drugs, most consumers probably won't think of that stuff as a Google business at all.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bb97b6814df65240bd8f0b4a0690e77e\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"449\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>GOOGL REVENUE (TTM) DATA BY YCHARTS.</span></p>\n<p>Alphabet continues to ride its Google heritage as far as it will go, but there is no shortage of completely unrelated operations that can take over when the browser-based search and advertising business starts to falter. Until then, the traditional search business is booming and Alphabet has rewarded investors with a 912% return in 10 years. That's an annual growth rate of 23.3%.</p>\n<p><b>3. Walt Disney</b></p>\n<p>And then there's the near-centennial entertainment giant. The House of Mouse was founded in 1923 by two cartoon-making brothers with a vision. The company has survived a world war, several terrible recessions, 10 decades of progress in distribution and production technologies, and much more.</p>\n<p>The leisure and entertainment conglomerate you see today is a far cry from the original business, which was a pure-play cartoon production studio. Disney World and Disneyland are cultural touchstones. The company is a leading provider of hotel and resort services, including a cruise line. I can't think of another company that has mastered the art of monetizing its intellectual property as effectively as Disney has. And that intellectual property -- characters, fictional worlds, and storylines that most Americans know by heart -- will always be the lifeblood of Disney's business.</p>\n<p>Times are tough right now, as the coronavirus pandemic closed down movie theaters, theme parks, resorts, and cruise ships around the world. So Disney took a good, hard look at the drastic changes in the entertainment industry and decided to put its full weight behind media-streaming platforms.</p>\n<p>The company has been reorganized from the top down to support Disney's streaming platforms. The Disney+, Hulu, Hotstar, and ESPN+ streaming services are poised to challenge Netflix for the global media-streaming market, adding up to 174 million subscribers in the third quarter of 2021. Disney took on some extra debt in the darkest days of the health crisis and will most likely use some of that spare cash to accelerate its streaming operations.</p>\n<p>The coronavirus caught Disney unprepared, but management didn't hesitate to turn on a dime. The whole behemoth is heading in a different direction now, supported by the same treasure trove of storytelling assets that took the company this far. This supremely well-managed company is also beating the market in the long run, with a 439% 10-year gain that works out to a CAGR of 13%.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/110cd288830d0e354767349fe36259e6\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p>\n<p><b>The common denominator</b></p>\n<p>These three companies are very different, but they still have one all-important quality in common. I'm looking for flexibility in the face of good times and bad. If your company stands ready to make drastic changes to its operating plan when the business environment around it changes, you know you have an organization that will stand the test of time.</p>\n<p>Lots of&nbsp;time in the market equals wealth-building returns. That's the main lesson you can learn from the writings of Benjamin Graham and the stellar results of his star student, Warren Buffett. Building life-changing wealth does not require a couple of years of fantastic returns. All you need is generally solid gains for several decades.</p>\n<p>For example, an annual return of 10% -- in line with&nbsp;the long-term market average-- adds up to a 673% profit over 20 years. Beating the Street by a small margin makes a big difference on this long time scale. Boost your average gains to just 11%, and you'll see 806% returns over those 20 years. Larger increases bring even greater total long-haul returns. The three stocks discussed above are set up to do better than that, and their very survival in the long run is just about guaranteed by that willingness to change when market conditions require it.</p>\n<p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Stocks I'm Never Selling</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Stocks I'm Never Selling\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-18 10:55 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/08/17/3-stocks-im-never-selling/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Key Points\n\nTime plus patience adds up to wealth-building results in the stock market.\nThese three business titans are leaders in their fields.\nThey are also built to last for a very long time.\n\n\nI'm ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/08/17/3-stocks-im-never-selling/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GOOG":"谷歌","NFLX":"奈飞","DIS":"迪士尼","GOOGL":"谷歌A"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/08/17/3-stocks-im-never-selling/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1114320591","content_text":"Key Points\n\nTime plus patience adds up to wealth-building results in the stock market.\nThese three business titans are leaders in their fields.\nThey are also built to last for a very long time.\n\n\nI'm about to show you my favorite stocks. Sometimes I invest with an eye to strong returns over the next few years. These are the ones that I expect to keep beating the market for the years and decades to come. It will take a lot to pry them out of my portfolio.\nLet me show you why I intend to hold Netflix(NASDAQ:NFLX),Alphabet(NASDAQ:GOOG)(NASDAQ:GOOGL), and Walt Disney(NYSE:DIS)for the long haul. These stocks may not be slam-dunk forever holdings for every investor, but you should absolutely take a close look at these top-notch investments.\n1. Netflix\nFirst, you knew Netflix as the sender of red mail-order DVD rentals. The company introduced digital video streams as a free add-on for DVD customers in 2007, then separated the streaming business into a separate subscription service in 2011. The Qwikster event was a big marketing mess and could certainly have been handled better, but it was absolutely the right idea in the long run.\nGoing all-in on the all-digital streaming service allowed Netflix to roll out its paid subscription plans on a global scale, supplemented by an ambitious focus on original content. The subscriber count has skyrocketed from 26 million in the summer of 2011 to 209 million today. That fantastic trend has worked wonders for the company's top and bottom lines:\nNFLX REVENUE (TTM) DATA BY YCHARTS.\nNetflix saw an opportunity to lead the charge into a brand-new market, with low infrastructure costs compared to the DVD-mailing business and buckets of worldwide growth potential. So the DVD business that had come to dominate the video rental sector in America was unceremoniously tossed aside in favor of better ideas.\nThese days, Netflix is an award-winning content producer with an unmatched distribution network in every market that matters (except forChina, where the company must operate through local partnerships). The stock has delivered a 2,240% return since the Qwikster event, which works out to a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 35.8%.\n2. Alphabet\nAlphabet is the parent company of online services giant Google. What started as a student project at Stanford quickly evolved into the world's leading online search tool. Paired with the moneymaking muscle of Google's digital advertising tools, the company generated strong cash flows early on. The cash profits were reinvested in more business ideas. Google eventually built or bought services with matchless market shares in important sectors such as web browsers, online video, email, and smartphone software.\nBy 2015, co-founders Sergey Brin and Larry Page had concluded that Google's meat-and-potatoes search and advertising businesses eventually had to fade away, overtaken by mobile alternatives and other innovations. So the company made some big changes. Google hired CFO Ruth Porat, a banking executive with decades of experience in large-scale corporate finance. Later the same year, the company changed its name to Alphabet and reorganized itself into a loose conglomerate of different operations.\nGoogle is still the backbone of Alphabet, accounting for 99.6% of the holding company's total sales in 2020. The non-Google operations are still losing money on a regular basis, despite some progress in the fields of self-driving vehicles and fiber-optic internet connections. At the same time, the company is preparing for an uncertain future by developing a plethora of online and offline business projects with massive long-term growth prospects and equally large development risks.\nIf the self-driving cars don't work out in the long run, Alphabet might find a cash machine in medical research or novel wind energy generators. We may never even have heard of the next big winner in Alphabet's sprawling portfolio. If and when Alphabet starts to make serious money from artificial intelligence tools or cancer drugs, most consumers probably won't think of that stuff as a Google business at all.\nGOOGL REVENUE (TTM) DATA BY YCHARTS.\nAlphabet continues to ride its Google heritage as far as it will go, but there is no shortage of completely unrelated operations that can take over when the browser-based search and advertising business starts to falter. Until then, the traditional search business is booming and Alphabet has rewarded investors with a 912% return in 10 years. That's an annual growth rate of 23.3%.\n3. Walt Disney\nAnd then there's the near-centennial entertainment giant. The House of Mouse was founded in 1923 by two cartoon-making brothers with a vision. The company has survived a world war, several terrible recessions, 10 decades of progress in distribution and production technologies, and much more.\nThe leisure and entertainment conglomerate you see today is a far cry from the original business, which was a pure-play cartoon production studio. Disney World and Disneyland are cultural touchstones. The company is a leading provider of hotel and resort services, including a cruise line. I can't think of another company that has mastered the art of monetizing its intellectual property as effectively as Disney has. And that intellectual property -- characters, fictional worlds, and storylines that most Americans know by heart -- will always be the lifeblood of Disney's business.\nTimes are tough right now, as the coronavirus pandemic closed down movie theaters, theme parks, resorts, and cruise ships around the world. So Disney took a good, hard look at the drastic changes in the entertainment industry and decided to put its full weight behind media-streaming platforms.\nThe company has been reorganized from the top down to support Disney's streaming platforms. The Disney+, Hulu, Hotstar, and ESPN+ streaming services are poised to challenge Netflix for the global media-streaming market, adding up to 174 million subscribers in the third quarter of 2021. Disney took on some extra debt in the darkest days of the health crisis and will most likely use some of that spare cash to accelerate its streaming operations.\nThe coronavirus caught Disney unprepared, but management didn't hesitate to turn on a dime. The whole behemoth is heading in a different direction now, supported by the same treasure trove of storytelling assets that took the company this far. This supremely well-managed company is also beating the market in the long run, with a 439% 10-year gain that works out to a CAGR of 13%.\nIMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.\nThe common denominator\nThese three companies are very different, but they still have one all-important quality in common. I'm looking for flexibility in the face of good times and bad. If your company stands ready to make drastic changes to its operating plan when the business environment around it changes, you know you have an organization that will stand the test of time.\nLots of time in the market equals wealth-building returns. That's the main lesson you can learn from the writings of Benjamin Graham and the stellar results of his star student, Warren Buffett. Building life-changing wealth does not require a couple of years of fantastic returns. All you need is generally solid gains for several decades.\nFor example, an annual return of 10% -- in line with the long-term market average-- adds up to a 673% profit over 20 years. Beating the Street by a small margin makes a big difference on this long time scale. Boost your average gains to just 11%, and you'll see 806% returns over those 20 years. Larger increases bring even greater total long-haul returns. The three stocks discussed above are set up to do better than that, and their very survival in the long run is just about guaranteed by that willingness to change when market conditions require it.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":830203258,"gmtCreate":1629073642074,"gmtModify":1676529920100,"author":{"id":"4091688991340270","authorId":"4091688991340270","name":"Dc7373","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ec2b1806dbd283527a38a34d3e79150","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4091688991340270","authorIdStr":"4091688991340270"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Call]&nbsp;[Call]&nbsp;[Call]&nbsp;","listText":"[Call]&nbsp;[Call]&nbsp;[Call]&nbsp;","text":"[Call] [Call] [Call]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/830203258","repostId":"1105143925","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":51,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":830202933,"gmtCreate":1629073839522,"gmtModify":1676529920164,"author":{"id":"4091688991340270","authorId":"4091688991340270","name":"Dc7373","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ec2b1806dbd283527a38a34d3e79150","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4091688991340270","authorIdStr":"4091688991340270"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Call]&nbsp;[Call]&nbsp;[Call]&nbsp;","listText":"[Call]&nbsp;[Call]&nbsp;[Call]&nbsp;","text":"[Call] [Call] [Call]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e04e050d91fc81d4e4abcee56f3d838","width":"1125","height":"2740"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/830202933","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":64,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}