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hrlee
2023-10-18
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$
hrlee
2022-06-21
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Tesla, Xpeng, Alphabet and More: U.S. Stocks To Watch
hrlee
2022-06-15
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Decision Day for the Federal Reserve - 50, 75 or 100 Basis Point Rate Hike?
hrlee
2022-06-10
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The Stock Market and Inflation: How the S&P 500 Performs on CPI Report Days
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href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ </a>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ </a>","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/231885288251688","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":367,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9049247414,"gmtCreate":1655808932138,"gmtModify":1676535708919,"author":{"id":"4093947821014950","authorId":"4093947821014950","name":"hrlee","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4093947821014950","authorIdStr":"4093947821014950"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9049247414","repostId":"2245883272","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2245883272","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1655806173,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2245883272?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-21 18:09","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla, Xpeng, Alphabet and More: U.S. Stocks To Watch","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2245883272","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Some of the stocks that may grab investor focus today are:","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Some of the stocks that may grab investor focus today are:</p><ul><li>Analysts are expecting <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LZB\">La-Z-Boy Incorporated</a> to have earned $0.92 per share on revenue of $664.91 million for the latest quarter. The company will release earnings after the markets close. La-Z-Boy shares gained 2.9% to close at $23.19 on Friday.</li></ul><ul><li>Analysts expect <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RSVR\">Reservoir Media, Inc. </a> to report quarterly earnings at $0.09 per share on revenue of $29.98 million before the opening bell. Reservoir Media shares gained 1.1% to close at $6.56 on Friday.</li><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla Inc.</a> is cutting its salaried workforce by about 10% over the next three months, resulting in an overall reduction of some 3.5% in total headcount as hourly staff numbers are still expected to grow, Chief Executive Officer Elon Musk said.</li><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">XPeng Motors</a> surpassed 200,000 cumulative deliveries this week, becoming the latest Chinese electric vehicle (EV) maker to reach the milestone after <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">NIO</a>.</li><li>The French antitrust authority said on Tuesday it had accepted a series of commitments made by Alphabet's <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOGL\">Google</a> over a copyright law aimed at remunerating news publishers for the use of content online.</li></ul></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla, Xpeng, Alphabet and More: U.S. Stocks To Watch</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla, Xpeng, Alphabet and More: U.S. Stocks To Watch\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-06-21 18:09</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Some of the stocks that may grab investor focus today are:</p><ul><li>Analysts are expecting <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LZB\">La-Z-Boy Incorporated</a> to have earned $0.92 per share on revenue of $664.91 million for the latest quarter. The company will release earnings after the markets close. La-Z-Boy shares gained 2.9% to close at $23.19 on Friday.</li></ul><ul><li>Analysts expect <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RSVR\">Reservoir Media, Inc. </a> to report quarterly earnings at $0.09 per share on revenue of $29.98 million before the opening bell. Reservoir Media shares gained 1.1% to close at $6.56 on Friday.</li><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla Inc.</a> is cutting its salaried workforce by about 10% over the next three months, resulting in an overall reduction of some 3.5% in total headcount as hourly staff numbers are still expected to grow, Chief Executive Officer Elon Musk said.</li><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">XPeng Motors</a> surpassed 200,000 cumulative deliveries this week, becoming the latest Chinese electric vehicle (EV) maker to reach the milestone after <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">NIO</a>.</li><li>The French antitrust authority said on Tuesday it had accepted a series of commitments made by Alphabet's <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOGL\">Google</a> over a copyright law aimed at remunerating news publishers for the use of content online.</li></ul></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"RSVR":"Reservoir Media Inc.","TSLA":"特斯拉","GOOG":"谷歌","XPEV":"小鹏汽车"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2245883272","content_text":"Some of the stocks that may grab investor focus today are:Analysts are expecting La-Z-Boy Incorporated to have earned $0.92 per share on revenue of $664.91 million for the latest quarter. The company will release earnings after the markets close. La-Z-Boy shares gained 2.9% to close at $23.19 on Friday.Analysts expect Reservoir Media, Inc. to report quarterly earnings at $0.09 per share on revenue of $29.98 million before the opening bell. Reservoir Media shares gained 1.1% to close at $6.56 on Friday.Tesla Inc. is cutting its salaried workforce by about 10% over the next three months, resulting in an overall reduction of some 3.5% in total headcount as hourly staff numbers are still expected to grow, Chief Executive Officer Elon Musk said.XPeng Motors surpassed 200,000 cumulative deliveries this week, becoming the latest Chinese electric vehicle (EV) maker to reach the milestone after NIO.The French antitrust authority said on Tuesday it had accepted a series of commitments made by Alphabet's Google over a copyright law aimed at remunerating news publishers for the use of content online.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":503,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9055259743,"gmtCreate":1655280909282,"gmtModify":1676535603649,"author":{"id":"4093947821014950","authorId":"4093947821014950","name":"hrlee","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4093947821014950","authorIdStr":"4093947821014950"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9055259743","repostId":"2243881989","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2243881989","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1655251550,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2243881989?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-15 08:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Decision Day for the Federal Reserve - 50, 75 or 100 Basis Point Rate Hike?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2243881989","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"For weeks the members of the Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee have been saying they'r","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>For weeks the members of the Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee have been saying they're on board with boosting their key policy rate by 50 basis points at each of the next two meetings. Traders, though, are now pricing in a 75-bp hike.</p><p>Even though the central bankers have been unusually clear in stating that they plan to raise the federal funds rate target range by half a percentage point to 1.25%-1.50% at the June meeting, they always qualify the statement by saying their decision will be data-dependent.</p><p>And Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell has repeatedly said that the central bank will do what it takes to bring down inflation. Last month, he emphasized, "I think the one thing we really cannot do is to fail to restore price stability... Nothing in the economy works, the economy doesn't work for anybody without price stability."</p><p><b>Inflation gauge</b>: Data released on Friday could have the FOMC thinking about that bigger rate increase. The consumer price index climbed higher than expected in May, dashing hopes that inflation had already peaked. On a Y/Y basis, CPI rose 8.6% in May, exceeding the 8.2% expected and up from 8.3% in April. Stripping out volatile sectors of energy and food, CPI increased 6.0% from a year ago, just above the consensus and down from 6.2% in April.</p><p>And while the media and pundits have been making much of the hotter-than-expected CPI number, the Fed places greater weight on personal consumption expenditure numbers. In April, the most recent month PCE figures are available for, the PCE price index increased 6.3% Y/Y, as expected, and core PCE rose 4.9%, also in line. Whether CPI or PCE, both are rising far faster than the Fed's 2% inflation goal.</p><p>Steve Englander, Standard Chartered head of Global G10 FX Research and North America Macro Strategy, still expects a 50-bp hike this week, but doesn't preclude a 75 bp increase. He even sees "an outside chance of 100bps at the 15 June meeting. However, this is not a Fed that likes to surprise, and the consumer confidence is shocking, so we retain 50bps as our June baseline," he wrote in a note dated June 13.</p><p>Former New York Fed president William Dudley said on Tuesday he thinks the FOMC will go with the 75 bp increment, but brings up the possibility of 100 bps, too, the <i>Wall Street Journal'</i>s Michael Derby reported.</p><p>"Chairman Jerome Powell and his colleagues are walking a monetary policy tightrope hoping to avoid a recession while dampening demand. This year’s decline in stock prices and rise in bond yields are among the more obvious consequences of the Fed’s actions," said Bankrate Economic Analyst Mark Hamrick.</p><p><b>Good reason to surprise</b>: Barclays's Jonathan Millar is expecting a 75bp hike this week. "We think the U.S. central bank now has good reason to surprise markets by hiking more aggressively than expected in June," he wrote in a note after the CPI report was issued on Thursday. Millar also increased Barclays' forecast for the terminal rate by 25 bps to 3.00%-3.25% in early 2023.</p><p>Goldman Sachs' Jan Hatzius ratcheted up his expectations for the Fed to hike rates by 75 bp in both June and July, a move that would "quickly reset the level of the funds rate at 2.25-2.5%, The FOMC's median estimate of the neutral rate," he wrote in a note dated June 13. (The neutral rate is when the interest rate neither fuels the economy nor hinders it.) His expectation for the terminal rate is unchanged at 3.25%-3.5%.</p><p>Deutsche Bank Chief U.S. Economist Matthew Luzzetti still expected (as of June 10) 50 bps hikes at each of the June and July meetings, but is now expecting 50-bp hikes in both September and November, then "downshifting to a pace of 25bps hikes at the December meeting. The upshot is that we now see the fed funds rate ending this year at 3.125%, and peaking at 4.125% by the middle of 2023," he wrote in a note to clients.</p><p>Fed swaps trading priced a 4% terminal rate by mid-2023, Bloomberg reported on Monday. Some 175 bps of tightening is expected by September, implying two half-point increases and one 75-bp boost.</p><p><b>Economic projection update</b>: The committee will also release its Summary of Economic Projections on Wednesday, updating their expectations for a range of economic measures, including GDP growth, inflation and the unemployment rate over the next couple of years. Fed watchers, of course, will be focused on the so-called dot plot that summarizes the expected path of the fed funds rate.</p><p>In the March SEP, Fed members' median projections were for federal funds rate of 1.9%, GDP growth of 2.8%, PCE inflation of 4.3%, and unemployment rate of 3.5% at the end of 2022. For the dot plot, more than half of the FOMC members expected at least seven quarter-point rate increases — or 175 bps; of that amount 75 have already been implemented this year.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Decision Day for the Federal Reserve - 50, 75 or 100 Basis Point Rate Hike?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDecision Day for the Federal Reserve - 50, 75 or 100 Basis Point Rate Hike?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-06-15 08:05 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/news/3848168-fomc-preview><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>For weeks the members of the Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee have been saying they're on board with boosting their key policy rate by 50 basis points at each of the next two meetings. ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3848168-fomc-preview\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3848168-fomc-preview","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2243881989","content_text":"For weeks the members of the Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee have been saying they're on board with boosting their key policy rate by 50 basis points at each of the next two meetings. Traders, though, are now pricing in a 75-bp hike.Even though the central bankers have been unusually clear in stating that they plan to raise the federal funds rate target range by half a percentage point to 1.25%-1.50% at the June meeting, they always qualify the statement by saying their decision will be data-dependent.And Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell has repeatedly said that the central bank will do what it takes to bring down inflation. Last month, he emphasized, \"I think the one thing we really cannot do is to fail to restore price stability... Nothing in the economy works, the economy doesn't work for anybody without price stability.\"Inflation gauge: Data released on Friday could have the FOMC thinking about that bigger rate increase. The consumer price index climbed higher than expected in May, dashing hopes that inflation had already peaked. On a Y/Y basis, CPI rose 8.6% in May, exceeding the 8.2% expected and up from 8.3% in April. Stripping out volatile sectors of energy and food, CPI increased 6.0% from a year ago, just above the consensus and down from 6.2% in April.And while the media and pundits have been making much of the hotter-than-expected CPI number, the Fed places greater weight on personal consumption expenditure numbers. In April, the most recent month PCE figures are available for, the PCE price index increased 6.3% Y/Y, as expected, and core PCE rose 4.9%, also in line. Whether CPI or PCE, both are rising far faster than the Fed's 2% inflation goal.Steve Englander, Standard Chartered head of Global G10 FX Research and North America Macro Strategy, still expects a 50-bp hike this week, but doesn't preclude a 75 bp increase. He even sees \"an outside chance of 100bps at the 15 June meeting. However, this is not a Fed that likes to surprise, and the consumer confidence is shocking, so we retain 50bps as our June baseline,\" he wrote in a note dated June 13.Former New York Fed president William Dudley said on Tuesday he thinks the FOMC will go with the 75 bp increment, but brings up the possibility of 100 bps, too, the Wall Street Journal's Michael Derby reported.\"Chairman Jerome Powell and his colleagues are walking a monetary policy tightrope hoping to avoid a recession while dampening demand. This year’s decline in stock prices and rise in bond yields are among the more obvious consequences of the Fed’s actions,\" said Bankrate Economic Analyst Mark Hamrick.Good reason to surprise: Barclays's Jonathan Millar is expecting a 75bp hike this week. \"We think the U.S. central bank now has good reason to surprise markets by hiking more aggressively than expected in June,\" he wrote in a note after the CPI report was issued on Thursday. Millar also increased Barclays' forecast for the terminal rate by 25 bps to 3.00%-3.25% in early 2023.Goldman Sachs' Jan Hatzius ratcheted up his expectations for the Fed to hike rates by 75 bp in both June and July, a move that would \"quickly reset the level of the funds rate at 2.25-2.5%, The FOMC's median estimate of the neutral rate,\" he wrote in a note dated June 13. (The neutral rate is when the interest rate neither fuels the economy nor hinders it.) His expectation for the terminal rate is unchanged at 3.25%-3.5%.Deutsche Bank Chief U.S. Economist Matthew Luzzetti still expected (as of June 10) 50 bps hikes at each of the June and July meetings, but is now expecting 50-bp hikes in both September and November, then \"downshifting to a pace of 25bps hikes at the December meeting. The upshot is that we now see the fed funds rate ending this year at 3.125%, and peaking at 4.125% by the middle of 2023,\" he wrote in a note to clients.Fed swaps trading priced a 4% terminal rate by mid-2023, Bloomberg reported on Monday. Some 175 bps of tightening is expected by September, implying two half-point increases and one 75-bp boost.Economic projection update: The committee will also release its Summary of Economic Projections on Wednesday, updating their expectations for a range of economic measures, including GDP growth, inflation and the unemployment rate over the next couple of years. Fed watchers, of course, will be focused on the so-called dot plot that summarizes the expected path of the fed funds rate.In the March SEP, Fed members' median projections were for federal funds rate of 1.9%, GDP growth of 2.8%, PCE inflation of 4.3%, and unemployment rate of 3.5% at the end of 2022. For the dot plot, more than half of the FOMC members expected at least seven quarter-point rate increases — or 175 bps; of that amount 75 have already been implemented this year.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":441,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9058617847,"gmtCreate":1654829137589,"gmtModify":1676535518934,"author":{"id":"4093947821014950","authorId":"4093947821014950","name":"hrlee","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4093947821014950","authorIdStr":"4093947821014950"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9058617847","repostId":"2242514365","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2242514365","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1654818218,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2242514365?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-10 07:43","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Stock Market and Inflation: How the S&P 500 Performs on CPI Report Days","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2242514365","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Stock-market investors crowded the exits on Thursday, sending major stock indexes sharply lower a da","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Stock-market investors crowded the exits on Thursday, sending major stock indexes sharply lower a day ahead of another eagerly anticipated consumer-price index reading. Recent history may offer a clue.</p><p>"While median returns for the S&P 500 have been right around the flatline over the last two years on CPI days, more recent returns have been much weaker," wrote analysts at Bespoke Investment Group, in a Thursday note. Since Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell stopped using the term "transitory" in late November to describe inflation, the S&P 500 has declined on the day of the CPI report four out of six times, including the past four reports.</p><p>Over the past six months, the S&P 500's median performance on CPI days has been a decline of 0.18%, the analysts said.</p><p>The S&P 500 dropped 2.4% on Thursday, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average slumped nearly 640 points, or 1.9%, and the Nasdaq Composite shed 2.7%.</p><p>The consumer-price index is expected to show a large, 0.7% increase when the report is released Friday morning -- more than double the gain in the prior month. The increase in inflation over the past year, meanwhile, is forecast to stay near a 40-year high of 8.4%.</p><p>The Bespoke analysts looked at sector performance over the past six reports and found that energy, unsurprisingly, has been the best performer on CPI days, with a median gain of 1.1%, while technology was the worst. Of course, 2022's stock-market fall has been led by tech-related stocks, while energy has soared in response to surging oil prices.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4a249d567c99dd8c9477bdce90f9089a\" tg-width=\"699\" tg-height=\"382\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Bespoke noted that for a market concerned about inflation, recent reports haven't offered investors much comfort. Over the past 24 months, there were just three months where headline CPI came in weaker than expected (6/10/20, 11/12/20, and 9/14/21), they said.</p><p>"Ironically enough, on each of those three days, the S&P 500 actually traded lower, although to be fair, all three of these reports were before Powell ditched the term 'transitory,'" the analysts wrote.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Stock Market and Inflation: How the S&P 500 Performs on CPI Report Days</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Stock Market and Inflation: How the S&P 500 Performs on CPI Report Days\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-06-10 07:43</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Stock-market investors crowded the exits on Thursday, sending major stock indexes sharply lower a day ahead of another eagerly anticipated consumer-price index reading. Recent history may offer a clue.</p><p>"While median returns for the S&P 500 have been right around the flatline over the last two years on CPI days, more recent returns have been much weaker," wrote analysts at Bespoke Investment Group, in a Thursday note. Since Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell stopped using the term "transitory" in late November to describe inflation, the S&P 500 has declined on the day of the CPI report four out of six times, including the past four reports.</p><p>Over the past six months, the S&P 500's median performance on CPI days has been a decline of 0.18%, the analysts said.</p><p>The S&P 500 dropped 2.4% on Thursday, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average slumped nearly 640 points, or 1.9%, and the Nasdaq Composite shed 2.7%.</p><p>The consumer-price index is expected to show a large, 0.7% increase when the report is released Friday morning -- more than double the gain in the prior month. The increase in inflation over the past year, meanwhile, is forecast to stay near a 40-year high of 8.4%.</p><p>The Bespoke analysts looked at sector performance over the past six reports and found that energy, unsurprisingly, has been the best performer on CPI days, with a median gain of 1.1%, while technology was the worst. Of course, 2022's stock-market fall has been led by tech-related stocks, while energy has soared in response to surging oil prices.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4a249d567c99dd8c9477bdce90f9089a\" tg-width=\"699\" tg-height=\"382\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Bespoke noted that for a market concerned about inflation, recent reports haven't offered investors much comfort. Over the past 24 months, there were just three months where headline CPI came in weaker than expected (6/10/20, 11/12/20, and 9/14/21), they said.</p><p>"Ironically enough, on each of those three days, the S&P 500 actually traded lower, although to be fair, all three of these reports were before Powell ditched the term 'transitory,'" the analysts wrote.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","SPY":"标普500ETF","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓","OEX":"标普100","SH":"标普500反向ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2242514365","content_text":"Stock-market investors crowded the exits on Thursday, sending major stock indexes sharply lower a day ahead of another eagerly anticipated consumer-price index reading. Recent history may offer a clue.\"While median returns for the S&P 500 have been right around the flatline over the last two years on CPI days, more recent returns have been much weaker,\" wrote analysts at Bespoke Investment Group, in a Thursday note. Since Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell stopped using the term \"transitory\" in late November to describe inflation, the S&P 500 has declined on the day of the CPI report four out of six times, including the past four reports.Over the past six months, the S&P 500's median performance on CPI days has been a decline of 0.18%, the analysts said.The S&P 500 dropped 2.4% on Thursday, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average slumped nearly 640 points, or 1.9%, and the Nasdaq Composite shed 2.7%.The consumer-price index is expected to show a large, 0.7% increase when the report is released Friday morning -- more than double the gain in the prior month. The increase in inflation over the past year, meanwhile, is forecast to stay near a 40-year high of 8.4%.The Bespoke analysts looked at sector performance over the past six reports and found that energy, unsurprisingly, has been the best performer on CPI days, with a median gain of 1.1%, while technology was the worst. Of course, 2022's stock-market fall has been led by tech-related stocks, while energy has soared in response to surging oil prices.Bespoke noted that for a market concerned about inflation, recent reports haven't offered investors much comfort. Over the past 24 months, there were just three months where headline CPI came in weaker than expected (6/10/20, 11/12/20, and 9/14/21), they said.\"Ironically enough, on each of those three days, the S&P 500 actually traded lower, although to be fair, all three of these reports were before Powell ditched the term 'transitory,'\" the analysts wrote.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":323,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9055259743,"gmtCreate":1655280909282,"gmtModify":1676535603649,"author":{"id":"4093947821014950","authorId":"4093947821014950","name":"hrlee","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4093947821014950","authorIdStr":"4093947821014950"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9055259743","repostId":"2243881989","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2243881989","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1655251550,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2243881989?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-15 08:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Decision Day for the Federal Reserve - 50, 75 or 100 Basis Point Rate Hike?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2243881989","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"For weeks the members of the Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee have been saying they'r","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>For weeks the members of the Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee have been saying they're on board with boosting their key policy rate by 50 basis points at each of the next two meetings. Traders, though, are now pricing in a 75-bp hike.</p><p>Even though the central bankers have been unusually clear in stating that they plan to raise the federal funds rate target range by half a percentage point to 1.25%-1.50% at the June meeting, they always qualify the statement by saying their decision will be data-dependent.</p><p>And Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell has repeatedly said that the central bank will do what it takes to bring down inflation. Last month, he emphasized, "I think the one thing we really cannot do is to fail to restore price stability... Nothing in the economy works, the economy doesn't work for anybody without price stability."</p><p><b>Inflation gauge</b>: Data released on Friday could have the FOMC thinking about that bigger rate increase. The consumer price index climbed higher than expected in May, dashing hopes that inflation had already peaked. On a Y/Y basis, CPI rose 8.6% in May, exceeding the 8.2% expected and up from 8.3% in April. Stripping out volatile sectors of energy and food, CPI increased 6.0% from a year ago, just above the consensus and down from 6.2% in April.</p><p>And while the media and pundits have been making much of the hotter-than-expected CPI number, the Fed places greater weight on personal consumption expenditure numbers. In April, the most recent month PCE figures are available for, the PCE price index increased 6.3% Y/Y, as expected, and core PCE rose 4.9%, also in line. Whether CPI or PCE, both are rising far faster than the Fed's 2% inflation goal.</p><p>Steve Englander, Standard Chartered head of Global G10 FX Research and North America Macro Strategy, still expects a 50-bp hike this week, but doesn't preclude a 75 bp increase. He even sees "an outside chance of 100bps at the 15 June meeting. However, this is not a Fed that likes to surprise, and the consumer confidence is shocking, so we retain 50bps as our June baseline," he wrote in a note dated June 13.</p><p>Former New York Fed president William Dudley said on Tuesday he thinks the FOMC will go with the 75 bp increment, but brings up the possibility of 100 bps, too, the <i>Wall Street Journal'</i>s Michael Derby reported.</p><p>"Chairman Jerome Powell and his colleagues are walking a monetary policy tightrope hoping to avoid a recession while dampening demand. This year’s decline in stock prices and rise in bond yields are among the more obvious consequences of the Fed’s actions," said Bankrate Economic Analyst Mark Hamrick.</p><p><b>Good reason to surprise</b>: Barclays's Jonathan Millar is expecting a 75bp hike this week. "We think the U.S. central bank now has good reason to surprise markets by hiking more aggressively than expected in June," he wrote in a note after the CPI report was issued on Thursday. Millar also increased Barclays' forecast for the terminal rate by 25 bps to 3.00%-3.25% in early 2023.</p><p>Goldman Sachs' Jan Hatzius ratcheted up his expectations for the Fed to hike rates by 75 bp in both June and July, a move that would "quickly reset the level of the funds rate at 2.25-2.5%, The FOMC's median estimate of the neutral rate," he wrote in a note dated June 13. (The neutral rate is when the interest rate neither fuels the economy nor hinders it.) His expectation for the terminal rate is unchanged at 3.25%-3.5%.</p><p>Deutsche Bank Chief U.S. Economist Matthew Luzzetti still expected (as of June 10) 50 bps hikes at each of the June and July meetings, but is now expecting 50-bp hikes in both September and November, then "downshifting to a pace of 25bps hikes at the December meeting. The upshot is that we now see the fed funds rate ending this year at 3.125%, and peaking at 4.125% by the middle of 2023," he wrote in a note to clients.</p><p>Fed swaps trading priced a 4% terminal rate by mid-2023, Bloomberg reported on Monday. Some 175 bps of tightening is expected by September, implying two half-point increases and one 75-bp boost.</p><p><b>Economic projection update</b>: The committee will also release its Summary of Economic Projections on Wednesday, updating their expectations for a range of economic measures, including GDP growth, inflation and the unemployment rate over the next couple of years. Fed watchers, of course, will be focused on the so-called dot plot that summarizes the expected path of the fed funds rate.</p><p>In the March SEP, Fed members' median projections were for federal funds rate of 1.9%, GDP growth of 2.8%, PCE inflation of 4.3%, and unemployment rate of 3.5% at the end of 2022. For the dot plot, more than half of the FOMC members expected at least seven quarter-point rate increases — or 175 bps; of that amount 75 have already been implemented this year.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Decision Day for the Federal Reserve - 50, 75 or 100 Basis Point Rate Hike?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDecision Day for the Federal Reserve - 50, 75 or 100 Basis Point Rate Hike?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-06-15 08:05 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/news/3848168-fomc-preview><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>For weeks the members of the Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee have been saying they're on board with boosting their key policy rate by 50 basis points at each of the next two meetings. ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3848168-fomc-preview\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3848168-fomc-preview","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2243881989","content_text":"For weeks the members of the Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee have been saying they're on board with boosting their key policy rate by 50 basis points at each of the next two meetings. Traders, though, are now pricing in a 75-bp hike.Even though the central bankers have been unusually clear in stating that they plan to raise the federal funds rate target range by half a percentage point to 1.25%-1.50% at the June meeting, they always qualify the statement by saying their decision will be data-dependent.And Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell has repeatedly said that the central bank will do what it takes to bring down inflation. Last month, he emphasized, \"I think the one thing we really cannot do is to fail to restore price stability... Nothing in the economy works, the economy doesn't work for anybody without price stability.\"Inflation gauge: Data released on Friday could have the FOMC thinking about that bigger rate increase. The consumer price index climbed higher than expected in May, dashing hopes that inflation had already peaked. On a Y/Y basis, CPI rose 8.6% in May, exceeding the 8.2% expected and up from 8.3% in April. Stripping out volatile sectors of energy and food, CPI increased 6.0% from a year ago, just above the consensus and down from 6.2% in April.And while the media and pundits have been making much of the hotter-than-expected CPI number, the Fed places greater weight on personal consumption expenditure numbers. In April, the most recent month PCE figures are available for, the PCE price index increased 6.3% Y/Y, as expected, and core PCE rose 4.9%, also in line. Whether CPI or PCE, both are rising far faster than the Fed's 2% inflation goal.Steve Englander, Standard Chartered head of Global G10 FX Research and North America Macro Strategy, still expects a 50-bp hike this week, but doesn't preclude a 75 bp increase. He even sees \"an outside chance of 100bps at the 15 June meeting. However, this is not a Fed that likes to surprise, and the consumer confidence is shocking, so we retain 50bps as our June baseline,\" he wrote in a note dated June 13.Former New York Fed president William Dudley said on Tuesday he thinks the FOMC will go with the 75 bp increment, but brings up the possibility of 100 bps, too, the Wall Street Journal's Michael Derby reported.\"Chairman Jerome Powell and his colleagues are walking a monetary policy tightrope hoping to avoid a recession while dampening demand. This year’s decline in stock prices and rise in bond yields are among the more obvious consequences of the Fed’s actions,\" said Bankrate Economic Analyst Mark Hamrick.Good reason to surprise: Barclays's Jonathan Millar is expecting a 75bp hike this week. \"We think the U.S. central bank now has good reason to surprise markets by hiking more aggressively than expected in June,\" he wrote in a note after the CPI report was issued on Thursday. Millar also increased Barclays' forecast for the terminal rate by 25 bps to 3.00%-3.25% in early 2023.Goldman Sachs' Jan Hatzius ratcheted up his expectations for the Fed to hike rates by 75 bp in both June and July, a move that would \"quickly reset the level of the funds rate at 2.25-2.5%, The FOMC's median estimate of the neutral rate,\" he wrote in a note dated June 13. (The neutral rate is when the interest rate neither fuels the economy nor hinders it.) His expectation for the terminal rate is unchanged at 3.25%-3.5%.Deutsche Bank Chief U.S. Economist Matthew Luzzetti still expected (as of June 10) 50 bps hikes at each of the June and July meetings, but is now expecting 50-bp hikes in both September and November, then \"downshifting to a pace of 25bps hikes at the December meeting. The upshot is that we now see the fed funds rate ending this year at 3.125%, and peaking at 4.125% by the middle of 2023,\" he wrote in a note to clients.Fed swaps trading priced a 4% terminal rate by mid-2023, Bloomberg reported on Monday. Some 175 bps of tightening is expected by September, implying two half-point increases and one 75-bp boost.Economic projection update: The committee will also release its Summary of Economic Projections on Wednesday, updating their expectations for a range of economic measures, including GDP growth, inflation and the unemployment rate over the next couple of years. Fed watchers, of course, will be focused on the so-called dot plot that summarizes the expected path of the fed funds rate.In the March SEP, Fed members' median projections were for federal funds rate of 1.9%, GDP growth of 2.8%, PCE inflation of 4.3%, and unemployment rate of 3.5% at the end of 2022. For the dot plot, more than half of the FOMC members expected at least seven quarter-point rate increases — or 175 bps; of that amount 75 have already been implemented this year.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":441,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9058617847,"gmtCreate":1654829137589,"gmtModify":1676535518934,"author":{"id":"4093947821014950","authorId":"4093947821014950","name":"hrlee","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4093947821014950","authorIdStr":"4093947821014950"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9058617847","repostId":"2242514365","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2242514365","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1654818218,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2242514365?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-10 07:43","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Stock Market and Inflation: How the S&P 500 Performs on CPI Report Days","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2242514365","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Stock-market investors crowded the exits on Thursday, sending major stock indexes sharply lower a da","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Stock-market investors crowded the exits on Thursday, sending major stock indexes sharply lower a day ahead of another eagerly anticipated consumer-price index reading. Recent history may offer a clue.</p><p>"While median returns for the S&P 500 have been right around the flatline over the last two years on CPI days, more recent returns have been much weaker," wrote analysts at Bespoke Investment Group, in a Thursday note. Since Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell stopped using the term "transitory" in late November to describe inflation, the S&P 500 has declined on the day of the CPI report four out of six times, including the past four reports.</p><p>Over the past six months, the S&P 500's median performance on CPI days has been a decline of 0.18%, the analysts said.</p><p>The S&P 500 dropped 2.4% on Thursday, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average slumped nearly 640 points, or 1.9%, and the Nasdaq Composite shed 2.7%.</p><p>The consumer-price index is expected to show a large, 0.7% increase when the report is released Friday morning -- more than double the gain in the prior month. The increase in inflation over the past year, meanwhile, is forecast to stay near a 40-year high of 8.4%.</p><p>The Bespoke analysts looked at sector performance over the past six reports and found that energy, unsurprisingly, has been the best performer on CPI days, with a median gain of 1.1%, while technology was the worst. Of course, 2022's stock-market fall has been led by tech-related stocks, while energy has soared in response to surging oil prices.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4a249d567c99dd8c9477bdce90f9089a\" tg-width=\"699\" tg-height=\"382\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Bespoke noted that for a market concerned about inflation, recent reports haven't offered investors much comfort. Over the past 24 months, there were just three months where headline CPI came in weaker than expected (6/10/20, 11/12/20, and 9/14/21), they said.</p><p>"Ironically enough, on each of those three days, the S&P 500 actually traded lower, although to be fair, all three of these reports were before Powell ditched the term 'transitory,'" the analysts wrote.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Stock Market and Inflation: How the S&P 500 Performs on CPI Report Days</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Stock Market and Inflation: How the S&P 500 Performs on CPI Report Days\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-06-10 07:43</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Stock-market investors crowded the exits on Thursday, sending major stock indexes sharply lower a day ahead of another eagerly anticipated consumer-price index reading. Recent history may offer a clue.</p><p>"While median returns for the S&P 500 have been right around the flatline over the last two years on CPI days, more recent returns have been much weaker," wrote analysts at Bespoke Investment Group, in a Thursday note. Since Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell stopped using the term "transitory" in late November to describe inflation, the S&P 500 has declined on the day of the CPI report four out of six times, including the past four reports.</p><p>Over the past six months, the S&P 500's median performance on CPI days has been a decline of 0.18%, the analysts said.</p><p>The S&P 500 dropped 2.4% on Thursday, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average slumped nearly 640 points, or 1.9%, and the Nasdaq Composite shed 2.7%.</p><p>The consumer-price index is expected to show a large, 0.7% increase when the report is released Friday morning -- more than double the gain in the prior month. The increase in inflation over the past year, meanwhile, is forecast to stay near a 40-year high of 8.4%.</p><p>The Bespoke analysts looked at sector performance over the past six reports and found that energy, unsurprisingly, has been the best performer on CPI days, with a median gain of 1.1%, while technology was the worst. Of course, 2022's stock-market fall has been led by tech-related stocks, while energy has soared in response to surging oil prices.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4a249d567c99dd8c9477bdce90f9089a\" tg-width=\"699\" tg-height=\"382\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Bespoke noted that for a market concerned about inflation, recent reports haven't offered investors much comfort. Over the past 24 months, there were just three months where headline CPI came in weaker than expected (6/10/20, 11/12/20, and 9/14/21), they said.</p><p>"Ironically enough, on each of those three days, the S&P 500 actually traded lower, although to be fair, all three of these reports were before Powell ditched the term 'transitory,'" the analysts wrote.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","SPY":"标普500ETF","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓","OEX":"标普100","SH":"标普500反向ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2242514365","content_text":"Stock-market investors crowded the exits on Thursday, sending major stock indexes sharply lower a day ahead of another eagerly anticipated consumer-price index reading. Recent history may offer a clue.\"While median returns for the S&P 500 have been right around the flatline over the last two years on CPI days, more recent returns have been much weaker,\" wrote analysts at Bespoke Investment Group, in a Thursday note. Since Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell stopped using the term \"transitory\" in late November to describe inflation, the S&P 500 has declined on the day of the CPI report four out of six times, including the past four reports.Over the past six months, the S&P 500's median performance on CPI days has been a decline of 0.18%, the analysts said.The S&P 500 dropped 2.4% on Thursday, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average slumped nearly 640 points, or 1.9%, and the Nasdaq Composite shed 2.7%.The consumer-price index is expected to show a large, 0.7% increase when the report is released Friday morning -- more than double the gain in the prior month. The increase in inflation over the past year, meanwhile, is forecast to stay near a 40-year high of 8.4%.The Bespoke analysts looked at sector performance over the past six reports and found that energy, unsurprisingly, has been the best performer on CPI days, with a median gain of 1.1%, while technology was the worst. Of course, 2022's stock-market fall has been led by tech-related stocks, while energy has soared in response to surging oil prices.Bespoke noted that for a market concerned about inflation, recent reports haven't offered investors much comfort. Over the past 24 months, there were just three months where headline CPI came in weaker than expected (6/10/20, 11/12/20, and 9/14/21), they said.\"Ironically enough, on each of those three days, the S&P 500 actually traded lower, although to be fair, all three of these reports were before Powell ditched the term 'transitory,'\" the analysts wrote.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":323,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9049247414,"gmtCreate":1655808932138,"gmtModify":1676535708919,"author":{"id":"4093947821014950","authorId":"4093947821014950","name":"hrlee","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4093947821014950","authorIdStr":"4093947821014950"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9049247414","repostId":"2245883272","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":503,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":231885288251688,"gmtCreate":1697621678820,"gmtModify":1697623129640,"author":{"id":"4093947821014950","authorId":"4093947821014950","name":"hrlee","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4093947821014950","authorIdStr":"4093947821014950"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ </a>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ </a>","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/231885288251688","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":367,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}
