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2023-12-24

$Alphabet(GOOGL)$ 🤩

2023-06-26

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@TigerObserver:Weekly: Market Pullback Healthy So Far, Russia Insurrection Over, What To Expect This Week

2023-06-23

🤔🤔

Tesla Stock Downgraded For Second Time In Two Days. Is Tesla's 140% Run Ending?

2023-06-21

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ 🤮🤮🤮🤮

2023-06-15

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Tesla: The Upside Seems Far From Over

2023-06-14

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2023-06-14

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@Ultrahisham:Euphoric exuberance all around The markets have been in a very buoyant mood lately. And calm despite the macroeconomics. That just makes me more cautious. Despite overbought levels and market worries as well as bearish sentiments, the market keeps driving up. Now, sentiments have turned bullish and many are saying the markets have entered a new bull market. Really? I beg to differ. In fact, the markets have all the hallmarks of a top. 1. Narrow breadth. Only 6 or 7 megacaps lead the market. This must be one of the thinnest 'bull market' ever! 2. The equal weight broad market market index is trending down. The divergence from the normal broad market index cannot be understated. 3. The market have never bottomed so way ahead of the Fed's final rate hike. And they may not be even done yet!

2023-06-14

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@NAI500:The AI Hot Will Continue to Boom, AI Stocks & ETFs to Buy

2023-06-13

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2023-06-13

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@TigerObserver:Weekly: Bull is Back, Small-cap Bounce, Low Volatility &Fed Ahead

2023-06-10

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We Asked ChatGPT What Will Be Tesla Stock Price End of 2023; Here’s What It Said

2023-06-09

[Spurting]

2023-06-07

[Surprised] [Spurting] [Spurting]

2023-06-02

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@pekss:Debt ceiling out, FOMC in

2023-06-02

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Tesla Stock Price Outlook: Why Musk's China Visit Means More Share Upside

2023-05-27

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Tesla Stock: You Have Been Pumped And Warned By Elon Musk

2023-05-23

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Hedge Funds Are Buying These AI Stocks

2023-05-19

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Google: Superinvestors Bill Ackman And Seth Klarman Take Massive Stakes. Should You?

2023-05-19

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2023-05-19

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BofA Strategist Says Sell US Stocks as AI Seen Forming a Bubble

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GOOGL\">$Alphabet(GOOGL)$&nbsp;</a>🤩","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GOOGL\">$Alphabet(GOOGL)$&nbsp;</a>🤩","text":"$Alphabet(GOOGL)$ 🤩","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6595a49f902d3b858e2bc1947ae0d27c","width":"927","height":"1599"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":12,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":3,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/255545126162624","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":497,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":191315000225944,"gmtCreate":1687726301443,"gmtModify":1687726304685,"author":{"id":"4094588272208160","authorId":"4094588272208160","name":"钱神","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4094588272208160","idStr":"4094588272208160"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/191315000225944","repostId":"191026995273824","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":191026995273824,"gmtCreate":1687665735339,"gmtModify":1687671523311,"author":{"id":"9000000000000439","authorId":"9000000000000439","name":"TigerObserver","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f3a05d038882153678ee817929431fc","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000439","idStr":"9000000000000439"},"themes":[],"title":"Weekly: Market Pullback Healthy So Far, Russia Insurrection Over, What To Expect This Week","htmlText":"1. MAJOR INDEXES RETURNSThe major U.S. stock indexes each fell more than 1%, breaking strings of eight consecutive weekly gains for the <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.IXIC\">$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$</a> , five for the <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$S&amp;P 500(.SPX)$</a> , and three for the <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.DJI\">$DJIA(.DJI)$</a> . Concerns about further interest-rate hikes and a slowing global economy weighed on stocks.The <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/VIX\">$Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$</a> closed at 13.4 on Friday—just above its level before the start of the COVID-19 pandemic and down 33% from a recent high on May 24.As&nbsp;of&nbsp;Friday, both&nbsp;the<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/STI.SI\">$Straits Times Index(STI.SI)$</a> and&nbsp;","listText":"1. MAJOR INDEXES RETURNSThe major U.S. stock indexes each fell more than 1%, breaking strings of eight consecutive weekly gains for the <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.IXIC\">$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$</a> , five for the <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$S&amp;P 500(.SPX)$</a> , and three for the <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.DJI\">$DJIA(.DJI)$</a> . Concerns about further interest-rate hikes and a slowing global economy weighed on stocks.The <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/VIX\">$Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$</a> closed at 13.4 on Friday—just above its level before the start of the COVID-19 pandemic and down 33% from a recent high on May 24.As&nbsp;of&nbsp;Friday, both&nbsp;the<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/STI.SI\">$Straits Times Index(STI.SI)$</a> and&nbsp;","text":"1. MAJOR INDEXES RETURNSThe major U.S. stock indexes each fell more than 1%, breaking strings of eight consecutive weekly gains for the $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ , five for the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ , and three for the $DJIA(.DJI)$ . Concerns about further interest-rate hikes and a slowing global economy weighed on stocks.The $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ closed at 13.4 on Friday—just above its level before the start of the COVID-19 pandemic and down 33% from a recent high on May 24.As of Friday, both the$Straits Times Index(STI.SI)$ and","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/bb57fc47a73d837e67fff299b775482d","width":"1269","height":"708"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4482ca71544a14e0ca2287307226cd46","width":"742","height":"654"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ffb81490a7e5ffdc19efdda33442240b","width":"932","height":"399"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/191026995273824","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":490,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":190477304942856,"gmtCreate":1687528981194,"gmtModify":1687528987156,"author":{"id":"4094588272208160","authorId":"4094588272208160","name":"钱神","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4094588272208160","idStr":"4094588272208160"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"🤔🤔","listText":"🤔🤔","text":"🤔🤔","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/190477304942856","repostId":"1199762550","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1199762550","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1687491900,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1199762550?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-06-23 11:45","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Stock Downgraded For Second Time In Two Days. Is Tesla's 140% Run Ending?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1199762550","media":"Investor’s Business Daily","summary":"For the second time in as many days, Tesla (TSLA) stock received a downgrade Thursday, as analysts e","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>For the second time in as many days, <strong>Tesla</strong> (<strong>TSLA</strong>) stock received a downgrade Thursday, as analysts expect waning consumer demand and increased competition in China to cut into Tesla&#39;s value. The stock edged up Thursday after swooning around 5.5% Wednesday.</p><p>Morgan Stanley downgraded Tesla to equal weight, from overweight, Thursday and hiked its share price target to 250, up from 200 and about 3% below where shares closed on Wednesday. This comes after a Barclays downgrade on Wednesday.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The Barclay&#39;s note wrote cited Tesla as an artificial intelligence (A.I.) beneficiary as well as an auto company. Morgan Stanley&#39;s view is that high expectations on A.I. have brought Tesla stock to a fair valuation.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">&#34;We&#39;re not trying to call &#39;the end&#39; to the Tesla rally,&#34; Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas made clear on Thursday. &#34;And from our discussions (we) continue to find a significant degree of investor skepticism/lack of exposure around the name.&#34;</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Jonas added that despite the downgrade, Morgan Stanley views Tesla as a &#34;must own&#34; in an EV portfolio and as an industrial &#34;standard-bearer&#34; for electric transport and renewable energy economy.</p><p>&#34;Despite the recent rally, we expect material negative revisions for Tesla consensus earnings forecasts,&#34; Jonas told investors.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Morgan Stanley forecasts &#34;intensifying competition&#34; from China&#39;s EV players and slowing auto demand from consumers both present growing risks for Tesla stock. Jonas sees Tesla stock in a bull case hitting 450 and in a bear case 90, over the next 12 months.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8ea23cc8f8fdb299fda3e9a3cdafb73\" tg-width=\"1096\" tg-height=\"563\"/></p><p>Tesla stock dropped nearly before edging up around 2% to 264.46 Thursday during <strong>market trade</strong>. Tesla stock slumped 5.4% to 259.46 Wednesday. On Tuesday, shares jumped 5.3% to 274.31.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Wednesday morning, Barclays analyst Dan Levy also downgraded Tesla stock to equal weight, down from overweight. Levy hiked the firm&#39;s TSLA price target to 260, up from the previous 220.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The Barclays analyst wrote the stock&#39;s recent rally has been &#34;too sharp relative to challenging near-term fundamentals.&#34; Levy told investors questions about margins and demand for Tesla vehicles remain concerns.</p><h2 style=\"text-align: start;\">Tesla Stock</h2><p style=\"text-align: start;\">TSLA has advanced around 30% in June. Last week, the stock jumped more than 6% despite two straight consecutive sessions with losses.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Before shares slipped last Wednesday, Tesla enjoyed a run of 13 straight gains. Shares are up around 140% since Jan. 3. However, Tesla is down around 36% from the all-time high 414 it hit in November 2021.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Tesla is well extended past a 207.79 <strong>buy point</strong> from what&#39;s either a cup or a <strong>double-bottom base</strong>.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Shares are more than 30% above their 200-day/40-week moving average. That&#39;s the most extended they&#39;ve been since the stock marked its peak in November 2021.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Tesla stock ranks third in IBD&#39;s <strong>automaker industry group</strong>. It has a 99 <strong>Composite Rating</strong> out of 99. Tesla has a 90 <strong>Relative Strength Rating</strong> and its <strong>EPS Rating</strong> is 93 out of 99.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1671069246760","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Stock Downgraded For Second Time In Two Days. Is Tesla's 140% Run Ending?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Stock Downgraded For Second Time In Two Days. Is Tesla's 140% Run Ending?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-06-23 11:45 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.investors.com/news/tesla-stock-downgraded-for-second-time-in-two-days-is-tslas-140-run-ending/><strong>Investor’s Business Daily</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>For the second time in as many days, Tesla (TSLA) stock received a downgrade Thursday, as analysts expect waning consumer demand and increased competition in China to cut into Tesla's value. The stock...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.investors.com/news/tesla-stock-downgraded-for-second-time-in-two-days-is-tslas-140-run-ending/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.investors.com/news/tesla-stock-downgraded-for-second-time-in-two-days-is-tslas-140-run-ending/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1199762550","content_text":"For the second time in as many days, Tesla (TSLA) stock received a downgrade Thursday, as analysts expect waning consumer demand and increased competition in China to cut into Tesla's value. The stock edged up Thursday after swooning around 5.5% Wednesday.Morgan Stanley downgraded Tesla to equal weight, from overweight, Thursday and hiked its share price target to 250, up from 200 and about 3% below where shares closed on Wednesday. This comes after a Barclays downgrade on Wednesday.The Barclay's note wrote cited Tesla as an artificial intelligence (A.I.) beneficiary as well as an auto company. Morgan Stanley's view is that high expectations on A.I. have brought Tesla stock to a fair valuation.\"We're not trying to call 'the end' to the Tesla rally,\" Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas made clear on Thursday. \"And from our discussions (we) continue to find a significant degree of investor skepticism/lack of exposure around the name.\"Jonas added that despite the downgrade, Morgan Stanley views Tesla as a \"must own\" in an EV portfolio and as an industrial \"standard-bearer\" for electric transport and renewable energy economy.\"Despite the recent rally, we expect material negative revisions for Tesla consensus earnings forecasts,\" Jonas told investors.Morgan Stanley forecasts \"intensifying competition\" from China's EV players and slowing auto demand from consumers both present growing risks for Tesla stock. Jonas sees Tesla stock in a bull case hitting 450 and in a bear case 90, over the next 12 months.Tesla stock dropped nearly before edging up around 2% to 264.46 Thursday during market trade. Tesla stock slumped 5.4% to 259.46 Wednesday. On Tuesday, shares jumped 5.3% to 274.31.Wednesday morning, Barclays analyst Dan Levy also downgraded Tesla stock to equal weight, down from overweight. Levy hiked the firm's TSLA price target to 260, up from the previous 220.The Barclays analyst wrote the stock's recent rally has been \"too sharp relative to challenging near-term fundamentals.\" Levy told investors questions about margins and demand for Tesla vehicles remain concerns.Tesla StockTSLA has advanced around 30% in June. Last week, the stock jumped more than 6% despite two straight consecutive sessions with losses.Before shares slipped last Wednesday, Tesla enjoyed a run of 13 straight gains. Shares are up around 140% since Jan. 3. However, Tesla is down around 36% from the all-time high 414 it hit in November 2021.Tesla is well extended past a 207.79 buy point from what's either a cup or a double-bottom base.Shares are more than 30% above their 200-day/40-week moving average. That's the most extended they've been since the stock marked its peak in November 2021.Tesla stock ranks third in IBD's automaker industry group. It has a 99 Composite Rating out of 99. Tesla has a 90 Relative Strength Rating and its EPS Rating is 93 out of 99.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":426,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":189536536985744,"gmtCreate":1687299091996,"gmtModify":1687299098033,"author":{"id":"4094588272208160","authorId":"4094588272208160","name":"钱神","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4094588272208160","idStr":"4094588272208160"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a>🤮🤮🤮🤮","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a>🤮🤮🤮🤮","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ 🤮🤮🤮🤮","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4eca18957744b1ca905d92de8216bb90","width":"927","height":"1539"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/189536536985744","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":545,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187661130018920,"gmtCreate":1686843515825,"gmtModify":1686843519740,"author":{"id":"4094588272208160","authorId":"4094588272208160","name":"钱神","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4094588272208160","idStr":"4094588272208160"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/187661130018920","repostId":"2343969865","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2343969865","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1686831001,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2343969865?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-06-15 20:10","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla: The Upside Seems Far From Over","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2343969865","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"It's getting increasingly hard to say it's cheap. If I predicate my TSLA thesis solely based on valuation, TSLA is very expensive, not merely expensive. But where are the TSLA bears?Have they gone into hiding as TSLA surged?","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\">Summary</h2><ul><li><p>Tesla, Inc. will report its Q2 delivery updates in about two weeks. The consensus estimates suggest a favorable report.</p></li><li><p>Tesla&#39;s rivals partnering with the company to gain access to its fast-charging infrastructure demonstrates the significance of its EV ecosystem leadership.</p></li><li><p>Tesla dip buyers have proved their point, as they bought more at its April lows, overwhelming sellers and outperforming the market since then.</p></li><li><p>With Tesla primed to reverse from a downtrend to an uptrend, you shouldn&#39;t sell too early and miss the explosive upside that could come later.</p></li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f95882ca5c26944bd571917c1cf125e3\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"515\"/></p><p>Justin Sullivan/Getty Images News</p><p></p><p><strong>Tesla, Inc.</strong> (NASDAQ:TSLA) stock has significantly outperformed the market since my previous update. I must admit that I failed to give sufficient credit to Tesla Bulls, who supported its bottoming process in April, post-earnings.</p><p>I wanted a much better discount before adding further, but I should have followed TSLA&#39;s buying sentiments more closely, which showed a decisive bullish reversal in April (more on that later).</p><p>It also brought into mind the words of esteemed fellow Seeking Alpha contributor Avi Gilburt, who aptly highlighted in a recent market analysis:</p><blockquote>Valuations based upon earnings seem to be one of the biggest factors making people disbelieve the recent rally and view that the market is getting this wrong. It&#39;s not the market that is getting it wrong... it is you. I propose that anyone that is basing their investment thesis on valuations is looking in the wrong place. - <em>Sentiment Speaks: A New Bull Market Has Begun</em>.</blockquote><p>Tesla Bears are right to question why TSLA continued to surge higher, even though it traded at more than 40x forward earnings at its April lows. As of yesterday (June 13), TSLA&#39;s forward adjusted P/E multiple has surged to nearly 70x. Expensive? It&#39;s getting increasingly hard to say it&#39;s cheap. If I predicate my TSLA thesis solely based on valuation, TSLA is very expensive, not merely expensive.</p><p>But where are the TSLA bears? Have they gone into hiding as TSLA surged? Probably. The most recent data shows that TSLA&#39;s short interest as a percentage of its float fell further at the end of May. Moreover, with a metric of just 3.4%, TSLA bears likely don&#39;t have sufficient conviction to stick around for long these days in fear of getting overwhelmed by ardent TSLA investors.</p><p>Tesla&#39;s aggressive pricing strategy has likely worked. Analysts&#39; estimates for Tesla&#39;s upcoming Q2 delivery update have remained relatively robust since early April. The latest update shows a projection of 447K, up from Q1&#39;s 423K. It&#39;s also way above the 405K in deliveries that Tesla mustered in Q4&#39;22. As such, I think TSLA dip buyers have proven their point, as TSLA bottomed out in early January. Dip buyers will likely point to the company&#39;s improving operating performance as a sign of strength, not weakness, even as the EV market competition intensifies.</p><p>Furthermore, investors are likely buoyed by the recent pivotal development in the EV charging infrastructure space. Tesla announced partnerships with Ford Motor Company (F) and General Motors (GM), corroborating the immense market leadership of Tesla&#39;s well-defined ecosystem.</p><p>Ford CEO Jim Farley&#39;s initial salvo against his crosstown rival could have compelled GM CEO Marry Barra to follow suit. And for Barra to announce the partnership on Twitter Spaces as the host, joined by Tesla CEO Elon Musk as her guest while praising Musk and his team as &#34;fantastic,&#34; would have been &#34;unthinkable&#34; in late 2022, when she indicated that GM had paused advertising on Twitter.</p><p>Tesla has demonstrated the significant competitive moat of its ecosystem that even America&#39;s leading auto OEMs must also acknowledge is very significant. Tesla&#39;s North American Charging Standard, or NACS, is well-primed to assume leadership as the national charging standard in the future. With nascent pure-play charging players also adopting the NACS plugs in their bid to compete for market share, Tesla&#39;s lead will widen further.</p><p>However, I think it&#39;s essential for Tesla investors to question critically who are the biggest beneficiaries of this partnership. Analysts have rave reviews on how it could benefit Tesla. Piper Sandler suggested it could help Tesla generate $3B in revenue in 2030 before increasing to $5.4B in 2032. In other words, the near- to medium-term impact is likely insignificant. Moreover, Tesla is expected to generate nearly $160B in revenue by FY25. Hence, Tesla likely doesn&#39;t depend on revenue from charging to drive top line growth significantly. Morningstar also cautioned Tesla investors from going FOMO on the partnerships, as it opined:</p><blockquote>While this is positive for the industry, we see less of a positive impact to Tesla. Arguably, access to Tesla&#39;s fast charging network could be considered an advantage that would cause a consumer to choose a Tesla over other EVs. - <em>Morningstar</em>.</blockquote><p>Fellow contributor Anton Wahlman argued in his case that Tesla &#34;surrendered its key competitive advantage&#34; to its rivals by opening up its dominant fast-charging network.</p><p>I concur that Tesla has made it easier for EV customers who previously had range anxiety in deciding not to buy a Tesla. With the company now supporting GM and F in their pursuit of transforming their business models, what was Elon Musk thinking?</p><p>However, Wedbush&#39;s Dan Ives also reminded everyone that several key factors undergird Tesla&#39;s significant moat. He stressed the value of Tesla&#39;s ecosystem, &#34;including car sales, solar roofs, battery storage products, autonomous driving software, insurance, and EV-charging stations.&#34;</p><p>Ives also correctly pointed out that Tesla &#34;is playing chess while others play checkers.&#34; While there&#39;s likely insignificant near- and medium-term impact on Tesla&#39;s revenue, Tesla&#39;s ecosystem demonstrated that its EV peers are still far behind.</p><p>That perception of ecosystem leadership is important and could also work to strengthen what customers think of America&#39;s EV leader. While it seems like Tesla is lowering &#34;switching&#34; costs for its customers, I believe it could also be argued that Tesla is so confident of its superior product ecosystem that customers will likely remain loyal.</p><p>And what does the market think? I believe TSLA is now at a critical point. Let me explain TSLA&#39;s price action.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/12a53b2d43715ebd01a32f99e9ee9bb7\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"340\"/></p><p>TSLA price chart (weekly) (TradingView)</p><p></p><p>TSLA broke through its February highs, although the momentum could also reverse, given the surge. However, the momentum spike from its late April lows is significant for buyers/sellers.</p><p>Momentum buyers have likely returned in force, following through the stout defense executed by dip buyers at TSLA&#39;s April lows. Moreover, you could also notice that TSLA&#39;s medium-term downtrend could stage a reversal moving forward.</p><p>Yes, TSLA has been on a downtrend since topping out in September 2022, before the massive collapse leading to its peak pessimism in January 2023. However, that could reverse if more dip buyers could return to bolster TSLA holding above the 50-week moving average or MA (blue line).</p><p>With TSLA still trading (40.5x) below its 10Y EBITDA multiple average of 47x, I assessed that there&#39;s still potential for more buyers to return, as TSLA&#39;s valuation seems far below the FOMO levels we saw in late 2021.</p><p>Hence, the subsequent Tesla pullback is pivotal and could ascertain whether dip buyers are confident enough to help TSLA reverse decisively from its downtrend bias.</p><p>My view is it looks increasingly likely. But, as I don&#39;t buy on momentum spikes, I would likely join the dip buyers at the next steep Tesla pullback. However, you probably don&#39;t want to sell TSLA yet, as TSLA is primed to potentially stage a reversal from a downtrend to an uptrend bias.</p><p><em>Rating: Hold (On watch for a change)</em></p><p><em>Important note: Investors are reminded to do their own due diligence and not rely on the information provided as financial advice. The rating is also not intended to time a specific entry/exit at the point of writing unless otherwise specified.</em></p><p><strong>We Want To Hear From You</strong></p><p>Have additional commentary to improve our thesis? Spotted a critical gap in our thesis? Saw something important that we didn’t? Agree or disagree? Comment below and let us know why, and help everyone in the community to learn better!</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla: The Upside Seems Far From Over</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla: The Upside Seems Far From Over\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-06-15 20:10 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4611438-tesla-the-upside-seems-far-from-over><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryTesla, Inc. will report its Q2 delivery updates in about two weeks. The consensus estimates suggest a favorable report.Tesla's rivals partnering with the company to gain access to its fast-...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4611438-tesla-the-upside-seems-far-from-over\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LU2249611893.SGD":"BNP PARIBAS ENERGY TRANSITION \"CRH\" (SGD) ACC","IE00BSNM7G36.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN SYSTEMATIC GLOBAL SUSTAINABLE VALUE \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0234572021.USD":"高盛美国核心股票组合Acc","LU2063271972.USD":"富兰克林创新领域基金","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","LU0648000940.SGD":"Natixis Harris Associates Global Equity RA SGD","LU0823414478.USD":"法巴经典能源转换基金","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","LU0070302665.USD":"FRANKLIN MUTUAL U.S. VALUE \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU2087621335.USD":"ALLSPRING GLOBAL FACTOR ENHANCED EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0689472784.USD":"安联收益及增长基金Cl AM AT Acc","LU2326559502.SGD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity P/A SGD-H","BK4566":"资本集团","LU1852331112.SGD":"Blackrock World Technology Fund A2 SGD-H","LU1720051017.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence AT Acc H2-SGD","LU0198837287.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV - USA GROWTH \"P\" (USD) ACC","LU1861215975.USD":"贝莱德新一代科技基金 A2","BK4574":"无人驾驶","LU1548497426.USD":"安联环球人工智能AT Acc","F":"福特汽车","LU0130103400.USD":"Natixis Harris Associates Global Equity RA USD","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","LU0820561818.USD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金Cl AM DIS","LU1861220033.SGD":"Blackrock Next Generation Technology A2 SGD-H","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","LU1201861165.SGD":"Natixis Harris Associates Global Equity PA SGD","BK4588":"碎股","LU1551013425.SGD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS H2-SGD","TSLA":"特斯拉","LU0348723411.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL HI-TECH GROWTH \"A\" (USD) INC","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","LU1720051108.HKD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE \"AT\" (HKD) ACC","LU0943347566.SGD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金AM H2-SGD","BK4561":"索罗斯持仓","LU0234570918.USD":"高盛全球核心股票组合Acc Close","LU2357305700.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence ET H2-SGD","LU1839511570.USD":"WELLS FARGO GLOBAL FACTOR ENHANCED EQUITY \"I\" (USD) ACC","LU1429558221.USD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity RA USD","LU1861559042.SGD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B SGD","LU0053666078.USD":"摩根大通基金-美国股票A（离岸）美元","BK4511":"特斯拉概念","LU0823411888.USD":"法巴消费创新基金 Cap","LU1435385759.SGD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity RA SGD-H","LU0082616367.USD":"摩根大通美国科技A（dist）","LU1551013342.USD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS USD","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","LU0056508442.USD":"贝莱德世界科技基金A2","LU0208291251.USD":"FRANKLIN MUTUAL U.S. VALUE \"A\" (USD) INC","GM":"通用汽车"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4611438-tesla-the-upside-seems-far-from-over","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2343969865","content_text":"SummaryTesla, Inc. will report its Q2 delivery updates in about two weeks. The consensus estimates suggest a favorable report.Tesla's rivals partnering with the company to gain access to its fast-charging infrastructure demonstrates the significance of its EV ecosystem leadership.Tesla dip buyers have proved their point, as they bought more at its April lows, overwhelming sellers and outperforming the market since then.With Tesla primed to reverse from a downtrend to an uptrend, you shouldn't sell too early and miss the explosive upside that could come later.Justin Sullivan/Getty Images NewsTesla, Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA) stock has significantly outperformed the market since my previous update. I must admit that I failed to give sufficient credit to Tesla Bulls, who supported its bottoming process in April, post-earnings.I wanted a much better discount before adding further, but I should have followed TSLA's buying sentiments more closely, which showed a decisive bullish reversal in April (more on that later).It also brought into mind the words of esteemed fellow Seeking Alpha contributor Avi Gilburt, who aptly highlighted in a recent market analysis:Valuations based upon earnings seem to be one of the biggest factors making people disbelieve the recent rally and view that the market is getting this wrong. It's not the market that is getting it wrong... it is you. I propose that anyone that is basing their investment thesis on valuations is looking in the wrong place. - Sentiment Speaks: A New Bull Market Has Begun.Tesla Bears are right to question why TSLA continued to surge higher, even though it traded at more than 40x forward earnings at its April lows. As of yesterday (June 13), TSLA's forward adjusted P/E multiple has surged to nearly 70x. Expensive? It's getting increasingly hard to say it's cheap. If I predicate my TSLA thesis solely based on valuation, TSLA is very expensive, not merely expensive.But where are the TSLA bears? Have they gone into hiding as TSLA surged? Probably. The most recent data shows that TSLA's short interest as a percentage of its float fell further at the end of May. Moreover, with a metric of just 3.4%, TSLA bears likely don't have sufficient conviction to stick around for long these days in fear of getting overwhelmed by ardent TSLA investors.Tesla's aggressive pricing strategy has likely worked. Analysts' estimates for Tesla's upcoming Q2 delivery update have remained relatively robust since early April. The latest update shows a projection of 447K, up from Q1's 423K. It's also way above the 405K in deliveries that Tesla mustered in Q4'22. As such, I think TSLA dip buyers have proven their point, as TSLA bottomed out in early January. Dip buyers will likely point to the company's improving operating performance as a sign of strength, not weakness, even as the EV market competition intensifies.Furthermore, investors are likely buoyed by the recent pivotal development in the EV charging infrastructure space. Tesla announced partnerships with Ford Motor Company (F) and General Motors (GM), corroborating the immense market leadership of Tesla's well-defined ecosystem.Ford CEO Jim Farley's initial salvo against his crosstown rival could have compelled GM CEO Marry Barra to follow suit. And for Barra to announce the partnership on Twitter Spaces as the host, joined by Tesla CEO Elon Musk as her guest while praising Musk and his team as \"fantastic,\" would have been \"unthinkable\" in late 2022, when she indicated that GM had paused advertising on Twitter.Tesla has demonstrated the significant competitive moat of its ecosystem that even America's leading auto OEMs must also acknowledge is very significant. Tesla's North American Charging Standard, or NACS, is well-primed to assume leadership as the national charging standard in the future. With nascent pure-play charging players also adopting the NACS plugs in their bid to compete for market share, Tesla's lead will widen further.However, I think it's essential for Tesla investors to question critically who are the biggest beneficiaries of this partnership. Analysts have rave reviews on how it could benefit Tesla. Piper Sandler suggested it could help Tesla generate $3B in revenue in 2030 before increasing to $5.4B in 2032. In other words, the near- to medium-term impact is likely insignificant. Moreover, Tesla is expected to generate nearly $160B in revenue by FY25. Hence, Tesla likely doesn't depend on revenue from charging to drive top line growth significantly. Morningstar also cautioned Tesla investors from going FOMO on the partnerships, as it opined:While this is positive for the industry, we see less of a positive impact to Tesla. Arguably, access to Tesla's fast charging network could be considered an advantage that would cause a consumer to choose a Tesla over other EVs. - Morningstar.Fellow contributor Anton Wahlman argued in his case that Tesla \"surrendered its key competitive advantage\" to its rivals by opening up its dominant fast-charging network.I concur that Tesla has made it easier for EV customers who previously had range anxiety in deciding not to buy a Tesla. With the company now supporting GM and F in their pursuit of transforming their business models, what was Elon Musk thinking?However, Wedbush's Dan Ives also reminded everyone that several key factors undergird Tesla's significant moat. He stressed the value of Tesla's ecosystem, \"including car sales, solar roofs, battery storage products, autonomous driving software, insurance, and EV-charging stations.\"Ives also correctly pointed out that Tesla \"is playing chess while others play checkers.\" While there's likely insignificant near- and medium-term impact on Tesla's revenue, Tesla's ecosystem demonstrated that its EV peers are still far behind.That perception of ecosystem leadership is important and could also work to strengthen what customers think of America's EV leader. While it seems like Tesla is lowering \"switching\" costs for its customers, I believe it could also be argued that Tesla is so confident of its superior product ecosystem that customers will likely remain loyal.And what does the market think? I believe TSLA is now at a critical point. Let me explain TSLA's price action.TSLA price chart (weekly) (TradingView)TSLA broke through its February highs, although the momentum could also reverse, given the surge. However, the momentum spike from its late April lows is significant for buyers/sellers.Momentum buyers have likely returned in force, following through the stout defense executed by dip buyers at TSLA's April lows. Moreover, you could also notice that TSLA's medium-term downtrend could stage a reversal moving forward.Yes, TSLA has been on a downtrend since topping out in September 2022, before the massive collapse leading to its peak pessimism in January 2023. However, that could reverse if more dip buyers could return to bolster TSLA holding above the 50-week moving average or MA (blue line).With TSLA still trading (40.5x) below its 10Y EBITDA multiple average of 47x, I assessed that there's still potential for more buyers to return, as TSLA's valuation seems far below the FOMO levels we saw in late 2021.Hence, the subsequent Tesla pullback is pivotal and could ascertain whether dip buyers are confident enough to help TSLA reverse decisively from its downtrend bias.My view is it looks increasingly likely. But, as I don't buy on momentum spikes, I would likely join the dip buyers at the next steep Tesla pullback. However, you probably don't want to sell TSLA yet, as TSLA is primed to potentially stage a reversal from a downtrend to an uptrend bias.Rating: Hold (On watch for a change)Important note: Investors are reminded to do their own due diligence and not rely on the information provided as financial advice. The rating is also not intended to time a specific entry/exit at the point of writing unless otherwise specified.We Want To Hear From YouHave additional commentary to improve our thesis? Spotted a critical gap in our thesis? Saw something important that we didn’t? Agree or disagree? Comment below and let us know why, and help everyone in the community to learn better!","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":489,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187214681329784,"gmtCreate":1686734557984,"gmtModify":1686734563802,"author":{"id":"4094588272208160","authorId":"4094588272208160","name":"钱神","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4094588272208160","idStr":"4094588272208160"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"🙏🏻🙏🏻","listText":"🙏🏻🙏🏻","text":"🙏🏻🙏🏻","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b3723c8a11c691c1aaa87a609343d362","width":"927","height":"1539"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/187214681329784","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":443,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187029276590224,"gmtCreate":1686700864046,"gmtModify":1686700867550,"author":{"id":"4094588272208160","authorId":"4094588272208160","name":"钱神","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4094588272208160","idStr":"4094588272208160"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/187029276590224","repostId":"186504593072240","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":186504593072240,"gmtCreate":1686572814834,"gmtModify":1686573218101,"author":{"id":"3581730064782630","authorId":"3581730064782630","name":"Ultrahisham","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/bab3e4284f4d91bbf2336426480f1c44","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581730064782630","idStr":"3581730064782630"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Euphoric exuberance all around The markets have been in a very buoyant mood lately. And calm despite the macroeconomics. That just makes me more cautious. Despite overbought levels and market worries as well as bearish sentiments, the market keeps driving up. Now, sentiments have turned bullish and many are saying the markets have entered a new bull market. Really? I beg to differ. In fact, the markets have all the hallmarks of a top. 1. Narrow breadth. Only 6 or 7 megacaps lead the market. This must be one of the thinnest 'bull market' ever! 2. The equal weight broad market market index is trending down. The divergence from the normal broad market index cannot be understated. 3. The market have never bottomed so way ahead of the Fed's final rate hike. And they may not be even done yet!","listText":"Euphoric exuberance all around The markets have been in a very buoyant mood lately. And calm despite the macroeconomics. That just makes me more cautious. Despite overbought levels and market worries as well as bearish sentiments, the market keeps driving up. Now, sentiments have turned bullish and many are saying the markets have entered a new bull market. Really? I beg to differ. In fact, the markets have all the hallmarks of a top. 1. Narrow breadth. Only 6 or 7 megacaps lead the market. This must be one of the thinnest 'bull market' ever! 2. The equal weight broad market market index is trending down. The divergence from the normal broad market index cannot be understated. 3. The market have never bottomed so way ahead of the Fed's final rate hike. And they may not be even done yet!","text":"Euphoric exuberance all around The markets have been in a very buoyant mood lately. And calm despite the macroeconomics. That just makes me more cautious. Despite overbought levels and market worries as well as bearish sentiments, the market keeps driving up. Now, sentiments have turned bullish and many are saying the markets have entered a new bull market. Really? I beg to differ. In fact, the markets have all the hallmarks of a top. 1. Narrow breadth. Only 6 or 7 megacaps lead the market. This must be one of the thinnest 'bull market' ever! 2. The equal weight broad market market index is trending down. The divergence from the normal broad market index cannot be understated. 3. The market have never bottomed so way ahead of the Fed's final rate hike. And they may not be even done yet!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/186504593072240","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":719,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":186953245868048,"gmtCreate":1686682422226,"gmtModify":1686682426906,"author":{"id":"4094588272208160","authorId":"4094588272208160","name":"钱神","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4094588272208160","idStr":"4094588272208160"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/186953245868048","repostId":"186980737589296","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":186980737589296,"gmtCreate":1686657913346,"gmtModify":1686657932490,"author":{"id":"4144906086863692","authorId":"4144906086863692","name":"NAI500","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/01a5cfb1c65c21d31f28a3934107c034","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4144906086863692","idStr":"4144906086863692"},"themes":[],"title":"The AI Hot Will Continue to Boom, AI Stocks & ETFs to Buy","htmlText":"The AI boom in the U.S. stock market technology sector has boosted the <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.IXIC\">$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$</a> and <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$S&amp;P 500(.SPX)$</a> this year.To put things into perspective: 10 stocks have contributed 90% of <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$S&amp;P 500(.SPX)$</a> 's 13.0% gain this year, the most concentrated market ever, Bernstein says. The stocks are <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a> (up 41.45%), <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/MSFT\">$Microsoft(MSFT)$</a> (+38.37%), <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$</a> (+170.17%), <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GOOG\">$Alphabet(GOOG)$</a> (+40.14%), <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AMZN\">$Amazon.com(AMZN)$</a> (+50.68%),","listText":"The AI boom in the U.S. stock market technology sector has boosted the <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.IXIC\">$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$</a> and <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$S&amp;P 500(.SPX)$</a> this year.To put things into perspective: 10 stocks have contributed 90% of <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$S&amp;P 500(.SPX)$</a> 's 13.0% gain this year, the most concentrated market ever, Bernstein says. The stocks are <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a> (up 41.45%), <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/MSFT\">$Microsoft(MSFT)$</a> (+38.37%), <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$</a> (+170.17%), <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GOOG\">$Alphabet(GOOG)$</a> (+40.14%), <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AMZN\">$Amazon.com(AMZN)$</a> (+50.68%),","text":"The AI boom in the U.S. stock market technology sector has boosted the $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ and $S&P 500(.SPX)$ this year.To put things into perspective: 10 stocks have contributed 90% of $S&P 500(.SPX)$ 's 13.0% gain this year, the most concentrated market ever, Bernstein says. The stocks are $Apple(AAPL)$ (up 41.45%), $Microsoft(MSFT)$ (+38.37%), $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ (+170.17%), $Alphabet(GOOG)$ (+40.14%), $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ (+50.68%),","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0107505fe4a0383b383951a61207b642","width":"1010","height":"630"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/37d41e03717b8212bb7558b55da6fb02","width":"680","height":"503"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/cf8bad7c7410c477e06bf63519c177de","width":"1765","height":"649"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/186980737589296","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":552,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":186819367981160,"gmtCreate":1686649477068,"gmtModify":1686649480734,"author":{"id":"4094588272208160","authorId":"4094588272208160","name":"钱神","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4094588272208160","idStr":"4094588272208160"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/186819367981160","repostId":"1198593050","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":290,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":186593690894416,"gmtCreate":1686594376143,"gmtModify":1686594379755,"author":{"id":"4094588272208160","authorId":"4094588272208160","name":"钱神","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4094588272208160","idStr":"4094588272208160"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/186593690894416","repostId":"186481101099008","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":186481101099008,"gmtCreate":1686535755838,"gmtModify":1686535781262,"author":{"id":"9000000000000439","authorId":"9000000000000439","name":"TigerObserver","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f3a05d038882153678ee817929431fc","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000439","idStr":"9000000000000439"},"themes":[],"title":"Weekly: Bull is Back, Small-cap Bounce, Low Volatility &Fed Ahead","htmlText":"1. MAJOR INDEXES RETURNSThe <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$S&amp;P 500(.SPX)$</a> rose for the fourth week in a row, climbing to its highest level in nearly 10 months. Each of the major U.S. indexes produced a fractional weekly gain in a mostly quiet week of trading.&nbsp;After closing on Thursday at 4,293.9, the <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$S&amp;P 500(.SPX)$</a> eclipsed the level needed to exit the bear market that it had been in since January 2022. The index now has entered a bull market after rising 20% since a low on October 12, 2022U.S. small-cap stock benchmark outperformed its large-cap peers for the second week in a row, narrowing small caps’ year-to-date underperformance gap versus large caps. The <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/IWM\">$iShares Russell 2000 ET</a>","listText":"1. MAJOR INDEXES RETURNSThe <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$S&amp;P 500(.SPX)$</a> rose for the fourth week in a row, climbing to its highest level in nearly 10 months. Each of the major U.S. indexes produced a fractional weekly gain in a mostly quiet week of trading.&nbsp;After closing on Thursday at 4,293.9, the <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$S&amp;P 500(.SPX)$</a> eclipsed the level needed to exit the bear market that it had been in since January 2022. The index now has entered a bull market after rising 20% since a low on October 12, 2022U.S. small-cap stock benchmark outperformed its large-cap peers for the second week in a row, narrowing small caps’ year-to-date underperformance gap versus large caps. The <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/IWM\">$iShares Russell 2000 ET</a>","text":"1. MAJOR INDEXES RETURNSThe $S&P 500(.SPX)$ rose for the fourth week in a row, climbing to its highest level in nearly 10 months. Each of the major U.S. indexes produced a fractional weekly gain in a mostly quiet week of trading. After closing on Thursday at 4,293.9, the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ eclipsed the level needed to exit the bear market that it had been in since January 2022. The index now has entered a bull market after rising 20% since a low on October 12, 2022U.S. small-cap stock benchmark outperformed its large-cap peers for the second week in a row, narrowing small caps’ year-to-date underperformance gap versus large caps. The $iShares Russell 2000 ET","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/66c071cb34399b581a7aff485af17b17","width":"1262","height":"693"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c6a1146760cf99f967da7828afdcf444","width":"744","height":"663"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e241ab7e3c40717d2b6436cac61b8ce8","width":"930","height":"378"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/186481101099008","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":376,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":185507165823080,"gmtCreate":1686329115212,"gmtModify":1686329118851,"author":{"id":"4094588272208160","authorId":"4094588272208160","name":"钱神","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4094588272208160","idStr":"4094588272208160"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/185507165823080","repostId":"1105590547","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1105590547","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1686324340,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1105590547?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-06-09 23:25","market":"us","language":"en","title":"We Asked ChatGPT What Will Be Tesla Stock Price End of 2023; Here’s What It Said","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1105590547","media":"Finbold","summary":"After losing roughly 50% of its stock value in 2022, Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) has reignited investors’ i","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>After losing roughly 50% of its <strong>stock</strong> value in 2022, Tesla (NASDAQ: <strong>TSLA</strong>) has reignited investors’ interest this year following its robust recovery driven by a number of factors, including a series of aggressive price cuts, improving macroeconomic conditions, and the broader market rebound. </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/032169ad54f722b2ec91feedb708165b\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"682\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">With many investors still keen on the world’s largest electric vehicle (EV) maker, predicting Tesla’s future stock price remains the subject of high speculation and debate. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">In that light, Finbold decided to leverage the powerful artificial intelligence (<strong>AI</strong>) tool, <strong>ChatGPT</strong>, asking it to offer potential insights into TSLA’s price by the end of 2023 and what are the key factors that could affect it. </p><h2 style=\"text-align: start;\">What did ChatGPT say?</h2><p style=\"text-align: start;\">While the impressive chatbot did not provide a specific price prediction on Tesla’s stock price, it listed the most important points that could make an impact in the coming months.  </p><p>Those include Tesla’s past performance in the <strong>stock market</strong>, the potential influence of its CEO Elon Musk, shifting market sentiment, and the company’s financial performance.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Regarding past performance, ChatGPT said Tesla’s “historical volatility and financial performance can impact investor sentiment” and its possible price movements. The carmaker’s latest <strong>quarterly report</strong> was very close to Wall Street estimates, with earnings matching expectations, while revenue growth was slightly ahead. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Another factor that investors should keep an eye on, according to the chatbot, is the global <strong>demand</strong> for EVs as Tesla’s position as a market leader could “influence investor sentiment and potentially drive the stock price.” </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f58575e3c2fd3c14a901e129d861ee2\" title=\"ChatGPT’s prediction on TSLA. Source: ChatGPT\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"661\"/><span>ChatGPT’s prediction on TSLA. Source: ChatGPT</span></p><h2 style=\"text-align: start;\">Other AI predictions on Tesla</h2><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Last week, Finbold also tapped Alphabet’s rival AI language model, Google Bard, to forecast TSLA’s potential share price for the end of 2023. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>Google’s</strong> AI bot was more specific, <strong>estimating</strong> that Tesla’s shares will “trade between $200 and $300 per share by the end of the year.” Bard said its prediction is based on Tesla being “well-positioned to continue to grow its sales and earnings” while risks to its share price remain “manageable.”</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Meanwhile, the estimates offered by CoinPriceForecast, the finance prediction platform that utilizes machine self-learning technology, were significantly more <strong>bullish</strong>. The platform <strong>expects</strong> TSLA’s price to hit $365 by the end of 2023, implying a strong upside of 65% compared to current price levels, according to data retrieved by Finbold. </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6aff5d157815cc31bec6b8a4efef8c48\" title=\"Tesla price prediction by CoinPriceForecast. Source: CoinPriceForecast\" tg-width=\"694\" tg-height=\"560\"/><span>Tesla price prediction by CoinPriceForecast. Source: CoinPriceForecast</span></p><h2 style=\"text-align: start;\">Tesla stock price analysis</h2><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Shares of Tesla Inc. rose Thursday for the 10th straight session and closed at their highest price since October, as data out of China showed that the electric-vehicle giant sold more cars in May than the previous month. That marks its longest winning streak since an 11-session run that ended in January 2021.</p><p>Tesla shares shined again in morning trading as GM will joined Tesla&#39;s EV charging network in step closer to US industry standard.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Over the past week and month, the carmaker’s stock gained 10.6% and 35%, respectively. </p><p>Year-to-date, TSLA saw a significant rebound, rising more than 90% since the start of 2023. </p></body></html>","source":"lsy1686302271270","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>We Asked ChatGPT What Will Be Tesla Stock Price End of 2023; Here’s What It Said</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWe Asked ChatGPT What Will Be Tesla Stock Price End of 2023; Here’s What It Said\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-06-09 23:25 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finbold.com/we-asked-chatgpt-what-will-be-tesla-stock-price-end-of-2023-heres-what-it-said/><strong>Finbold</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>After losing roughly 50% of its stock value in 2022, Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) has reignited investors’ interest this year following its robust recovery driven by a number of factors, including a series of...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finbold.com/we-asked-chatgpt-what-will-be-tesla-stock-price-end-of-2023-heres-what-it-said/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://finbold.com/we-asked-chatgpt-what-will-be-tesla-stock-price-end-of-2023-heres-what-it-said/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1105590547","content_text":"After losing roughly 50% of its stock value in 2022, Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) has reignited investors’ interest this year following its robust recovery driven by a number of factors, including a series of aggressive price cuts, improving macroeconomic conditions, and the broader market rebound. With many investors still keen on the world’s largest electric vehicle (EV) maker, predicting Tesla’s future stock price remains the subject of high speculation and debate. In that light, Finbold decided to leverage the powerful artificial intelligence (AI) tool, ChatGPT, asking it to offer potential insights into TSLA’s price by the end of 2023 and what are the key factors that could affect it. What did ChatGPT say?While the impressive chatbot did not provide a specific price prediction on Tesla’s stock price, it listed the most important points that could make an impact in the coming months.  Those include Tesla’s past performance in the stock market, the potential influence of its CEO Elon Musk, shifting market sentiment, and the company’s financial performance.Regarding past performance, ChatGPT said Tesla’s “historical volatility and financial performance can impact investor sentiment” and its possible price movements. The carmaker’s latest quarterly report was very close to Wall Street estimates, with earnings matching expectations, while revenue growth was slightly ahead. Another factor that investors should keep an eye on, according to the chatbot, is the global demand for EVs as Tesla’s position as a market leader could “influence investor sentiment and potentially drive the stock price.” ChatGPT’s prediction on TSLA. Source: ChatGPTOther AI predictions on TeslaLast week, Finbold also tapped Alphabet’s rival AI language model, Google Bard, to forecast TSLA’s potential share price for the end of 2023. Google’s AI bot was more specific, estimating that Tesla’s shares will “trade between $200 and $300 per share by the end of the year.” Bard said its prediction is based on Tesla being “well-positioned to continue to grow its sales and earnings” while risks to its share price remain “manageable.”Meanwhile, the estimates offered by CoinPriceForecast, the finance prediction platform that utilizes machine self-learning technology, were significantly more bullish. The platform expects TSLA’s price to hit $365 by the end of 2023, implying a strong upside of 65% compared to current price levels, according to data retrieved by Finbold. Tesla price prediction by CoinPriceForecast. Source: CoinPriceForecastTesla stock price analysisShares of Tesla Inc. rose Thursday for the 10th straight session and closed at their highest price since October, as data out of China showed that the electric-vehicle giant sold more cars in May than the previous month. That marks its longest winning streak since an 11-session run that ended in January 2021.Tesla shares shined again in morning trading as GM will joined Tesla's EV charging network in step closer to US industry standard.Over the past week and month, the carmaker’s stock gained 10.6% and 35%, respectively. Year-to-date, TSLA saw a significant rebound, rising more than 90% since the start of 2023.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":200,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":185431627575440,"gmtCreate":1686310813017,"gmtModify":1686310819216,"author":{"id":"4094588272208160","authorId":"4094588272208160","name":"钱神","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4094588272208160","idStr":"4094588272208160"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Spurting]&nbsp;","listText":"[Spurting]&nbsp;","text":"[Spurting]","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/46f3f573fe7ac438918444aea3e80e2c","width":"927","height":"1539"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/185431627575440","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":247,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":184565680435376,"gmtCreate":1686084369086,"gmtModify":1686084373960,"author":{"id":"4094588272208160","authorId":"4094588272208160","name":"钱神","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4094588272208160","idStr":"4094588272208160"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Surprised]&nbsp;[Spurting]&nbsp;[Spurting]&nbsp;","listText":"[Surprised]&nbsp;[Spurting]&nbsp;[Spurting]&nbsp;","text":"[Surprised] [Spurting] [Spurting]","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/adc6aa36475458577e2577ca78a74489","width":"927","height":"1539"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/184565680435376","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":175,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":182984047001640,"gmtCreate":1685695006152,"gmtModify":1685695009812,"author":{"id":"4094588272208160","authorId":"4094588272208160","name":"钱神","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4094588272208160","idStr":"4094588272208160"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/182984047001640","repostId":"182967362965520","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":182967362965520,"gmtCreate":1685691380743,"gmtModify":1685691462436,"author":{"id":"3581636635898281","authorId":"3581636635898281","name":"pekss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7dfef98c44b3810cffef7f3eb78524ba","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581636635898281","idStr":"3581636635898281"},"themes":[],"title":"Debt ceiling out, FOMC in","htmlText":"US market is expected to heave a sigh of relief tonight after US Congress finally approved to suspend the debt ceiling, after weeks of contention between the Republican and Democratic parties, avoiding a catastrophic default on US government bills that will be sure to plunge the US economy into a deep recession that may take years to recover. With the debt overhang removed, the market’s attention is poised to return to the monetary policies by the Fed and its outlook on the economy after the next FOMC scheduled on June 13-14. The market has been increasingly pricing in a pause in the interest rate hike after a number of bank failures that have reduced liquidity in the market, as banks seek to shore up their balance sheets and reduce exposures to risky loans, effectively aiding the Fed in i","listText":"US market is expected to heave a sigh of relief tonight after US Congress finally approved to suspend the debt ceiling, after weeks of contention between the Republican and Democratic parties, avoiding a catastrophic default on US government bills that will be sure to plunge the US economy into a deep recession that may take years to recover. With the debt overhang removed, the market’s attention is poised to return to the monetary policies by the Fed and its outlook on the economy after the next FOMC scheduled on June 13-14. The market has been increasingly pricing in a pause in the interest rate hike after a number of bank failures that have reduced liquidity in the market, as banks seek to shore up their balance sheets and reduce exposures to risky loans, effectively aiding the Fed in i","text":"US market is expected to heave a sigh of relief tonight after US Congress finally approved to suspend the debt ceiling, after weeks of contention between the Republican and Democratic parties, avoiding a catastrophic default on US government bills that will be sure to plunge the US economy into a deep recession that may take years to recover. With the debt overhang removed, the market’s attention is poised to return to the monetary policies by the Fed and its outlook on the economy after the next FOMC scheduled on June 13-14. The market has been increasingly pricing in a pause in the interest rate hike after a number of bank failures that have reduced liquidity in the market, as banks seek to shore up their balance sheets and reduce exposures to risky loans, effectively aiding the Fed in i","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/182967362965520","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":118,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":182981590057000,"gmtCreate":1685694406312,"gmtModify":1685694409933,"author":{"id":"4094588272208160","authorId":"4094588272208160","name":"钱神","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4094588272208160","idStr":"4094588272208160"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/182981590057000","repostId":"2339328910","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2339328910","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1685499346,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2339328910?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-05-31 10:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Stock Price Outlook: Why Musk's China Visit Means More Share Upside","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2339328910","media":"Markets Insider","summary":"Elon Musk's trip to China shows Tesla is \"playing nice\" with Beijing amid US-China tensions, Wedbush","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li><p>Elon Musk&#39;s trip to China shows Tesla is &#34;playing nice&#34; with Beijing amid US-China tensions, Wedbush said.</p></li><li><p>Musk&#39;s private jet landed in Beijing on Tuesday, marking his first trip to China in 3 years, Reuters reported.</p></li><li><p>Wedbush says these developments around Musk&#39;s China relationship could mean more upside for Tesla stock.</p></li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/803386b23c0fa1d15df25da4de8808b6\" alt=\"REUTERS/Aly Song\" title=\"REUTERS/Aly Song\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"350\"/><span>REUTERS/Aly Song</span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Elon Musk visiting China is a sign that Tesla is aiming to get in the good graces with Beijing — and it could be another event that propels its stock to outperform this year, Wedbush said.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Analysts pointed to Musk&#39;s trip to China amid rising US-China tensions, with the Tesla CEO&#39;s private jet landing in Beijing on Tuesday, Reuters originally reported.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Musk&#39;s arrival marks his first visit to China in about 3 years, where he is expected meet with Chinese officials – possibly with Chinese premier Li Qiang, which sources told Reuters Musk has been trying to meet since March.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Musk is also expected to visit to Tesla&#39;s Shanghai factory, which will be essential, Wedbush added, as the plant is a major producer of vehicle units and is one of the company&#39;s &#34;key advantages&#34; as it faces competition from rivals like Nio and BYD.</p><p>&#34;While the geopolitical tensions between the US and China are increasing, Tesla … finds itself in a tight wire act to balance its success and production within China which remains a vital market in both the supply and demand front,&#34; Wedbush said in a note on Tuesday. &#34;Playing nice in the sandbox in Beijing is something the Street is laser focused on to make sure there are no disruptions to Tesla&#39;s expansions and tentacles within China.&#34;</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Analysts predicted that Tesla stock would outperform this year, rising 11% from current levels to notch $215 a share by the end of 2023.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">That comes amid Tesla&#39;s fight to stay competitive in the EV market under the current macro conditions. Already, the company has slashed prices on its models six times over the past year, and has also floated building another battery factory in Shanghai, which could potentially boost production while lowering costs.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">It makes business in China an important factor for Tesla&#39;s success -- something it and other tech firms could be concerned about as tensions between the US and China potentially reach a breaking point. Chinese officials have expressed fury over US politicians&#39; show of support for Taiwan and Congress&#39;s heated grilling of TikTok&#39;s CEO. Lawmakers are reportedly considering limit US investment in Chinese firms, with China suggesting that it could retaliate if its firms continue to face harsh treatment by the US.</p></body></html>","source":"marketsinsider","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Stock Price Outlook: Why Musk's China Visit Means More Share Upside</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Stock Price Outlook: Why Musk's China Visit Means More Share Upside\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-05-31 10:15 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/tesla-stock-price-outlook-forecast-elon-musk-china-factory-visit-2023-5><strong>Markets Insider</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Elon Musk's trip to China shows Tesla is \"playing nice\" with Beijing amid US-China tensions, Wedbush said.Musk's private jet landed in Beijing on Tuesday, marking his first trip to China in 3 years, ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/tesla-stock-price-outlook-forecast-elon-musk-china-factory-visit-2023-5\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉","LU1720051108.HKD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE \"AT\" (HKD) ACC","LU0943347566.SGD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金AM H2-SGD","LU0234570918.USD":"高盛全球核心股票组合Acc Close","LU1861559042.SGD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B SGD","LU1429558221.USD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity RA USD","LU2357305700.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence ET H2-SGD","LU1839511570.USD":"WELLS FARGO GLOBAL FACTOR ENHANCED EQUITY \"I\" (USD) ACC","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","LU0053666078.USD":"摩根大通基金-美国股票A（离岸）美元","LU0823411888.USD":"法巴消费创新基金 Cap","LU1435385759.SGD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity RA SGD-H","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4555":"新能源车","LU1551013342.USD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS USD","LU0082616367.USD":"摩根大通美国科技A（dist）","LU0719512351.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - US Technology A (acc) SGD","IE00B1XK9C88.USD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0234572021.USD":"高盛美国核心股票组合Acc","LU0820561909.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AM\" (HKD) INC","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4574":"无人驾驶","LU2063271972.USD":"富兰克林创新领域基金","LU0823414478.USD":"法巴经典能源转换基金","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","IE00BWXC8680.SGD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A5\" (SGD) ACC","LU0097036916.USD":"贝莱德美国增长A2 USD","LU0689472784.USD":"安联收益及增长基金Cl AM AT Acc","LU2087621335.USD":"ALLSPRING GLOBAL FACTOR ENHANCED EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU2326559502.SGD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity P/A SGD-H","LU1852331112.SGD":"Blackrock World Technology Fund A2 SGD-H","LU2249611893.SGD":"BNP PARIBAS ENERGY TRANSITION \"CRH\" (SGD) ACC","BK4581":"高盛持仓","LU1720051017.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence AT Acc H2-SGD","LU1861215975.USD":"贝莱德新一代科技基金 A2","LU0198837287.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV - USA GROWTH \"P\" (USD) ACC","BK4099":"汽车制造商","LU1548497426.USD":"安联环球人工智能AT Acc","BK4511":"特斯拉概念","LU0316494557.USD":"FRANKLIN GLOBAL FUNDAMENTAL STRATEGIES \"A\" ACC","BK4124":"机动车零配件与设备","LU1861220033.SGD":"Blackrock Next Generation Technology A2 SGD-H","LU1861558580.USD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B","LU0056508442.USD":"贝莱德世界科技基金A2","LU0820561818.USD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金Cl AM DIS","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","LU1551013425.SGD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS H2-SGD","LU0348723411.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL HI-TECH GROWTH \"A\" (USD) INC"},"source_url":"https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/tesla-stock-price-outlook-forecast-elon-musk-china-factory-visit-2023-5","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2339328910","content_text":"Elon Musk's trip to China shows Tesla is \"playing nice\" with Beijing amid US-China tensions, Wedbush said.Musk's private jet landed in Beijing on Tuesday, marking his first trip to China in 3 years, Reuters reported.Wedbush says these developments around Musk's China relationship could mean more upside for Tesla stock.REUTERS/Aly SongElon Musk visiting China is a sign that Tesla is aiming to get in the good graces with Beijing — and it could be another event that propels its stock to outperform this year, Wedbush said.Analysts pointed to Musk's trip to China amid rising US-China tensions, with the Tesla CEO's private jet landing in Beijing on Tuesday, Reuters originally reported.Musk's arrival marks his first visit to China in about 3 years, where he is expected meet with Chinese officials – possibly with Chinese premier Li Qiang, which sources told Reuters Musk has been trying to meet since March.Musk is also expected to visit to Tesla's Shanghai factory, which will be essential, Wedbush added, as the plant is a major producer of vehicle units and is one of the company's \"key advantages\" as it faces competition from rivals like Nio and BYD.\"While the geopolitical tensions between the US and China are increasing, Tesla … finds itself in a tight wire act to balance its success and production within China which remains a vital market in both the supply and demand front,\" Wedbush said in a note on Tuesday. \"Playing nice in the sandbox in Beijing is something the Street is laser focused on to make sure there are no disruptions to Tesla's expansions and tentacles within China.\"Analysts predicted that Tesla stock would outperform this year, rising 11% from current levels to notch $215 a share by the end of 2023.That comes amid Tesla's fight to stay competitive in the EV market under the current macro conditions. Already, the company has slashed prices on its models six times over the past year, and has also floated building another battery factory in Shanghai, which could potentially boost production while lowering costs.It makes business in China an important factor for Tesla's success -- something it and other tech firms could be concerned about as tensions between the US and China potentially reach a breaking point. Chinese officials have expressed fury over US politicians' show of support for Taiwan and Congress's heated grilling of TikTok's CEO. Lawmakers are reportedly considering limit US investment in Chinese firms, with China suggesting that it could retaliate if its firms continue to face harsh treatment by the US.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":177,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9979032673,"gmtCreate":1685128937892,"gmtModify":1685128941583,"author":{"id":"4094588272208160","authorId":"4094588272208160","name":"钱神","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4094588272208160","idStr":"4094588272208160"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9979032673","repostId":"2338936771","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2338936771","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1685058490,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2338936771?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-05-26 07:48","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Stock: You Have Been Pumped And Warned By Elon Musk","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2338936771","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"IntroductionA new wave of investor optimism seems to be pushing Tesla, Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA) stock high","content":"<html><head></head><body><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60060ea4ed77cab6914815108d99f297\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"500\"/></p><h2>Introduction</h2><p>A new wave of investor optimism seems to be pushing <strong>Tesla, Inc.</strong> (NASDAQ:TSLA) stock higher in the aftermath of its shareholder meeting (held on 16th May 2023), wherein CEO Elon Musk highlighted Tesla&#39;s long-term business prospects in emerging areas such as autonomous driving [FSD] and robotics [Optimus].</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f135306ba0c019ad80a128b7839433f2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"497\"/></p><p>GoogleFinance</p><p>In late-2022/early-2023, I was incredibly bullish on Tesla in the mid to low $100s, at a time when Mr. Market was selling it off like a drunken psycho on a daily basis. After having accumulated Tesla for several months in the mid to low $100s, we sold half of our Tesla position at ~$194 a few weeks ago as the wild rally in TSLA took a pause at a key technical level at ~$200-215.</p><p>While market participants are clearly getting excited about Tesla once again, I am sticking to a &#34;Neutral&#34; rating for TSLA after having shifted my stance in light of Tesla&#39;s Q1 earnings back in April. If you have been following my work on Tesla, you know that my rationale for the downgrade was based on greater macroeconomic uncertainties, dangers of Tesla&#39;s recession playbook [making it a binary bet on FSD], and ominous technical setup. Find a more detailed explanation here:</p><ul><li><p>Tesla Stock: The Good, The Bad, And The Ugly</p></li><li><p>Tesla Stock: Mr. Musk Is Betting The Farm On FSD, And Mr. Market Is Clearly Not Happy About It.</p></li></ul><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05f58107d2dfe45774b424f4a57d0072\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"370\"/></p><p>SeekingAlpha</p><p></p><p>Despite Elon Musk&#39;s dire warnings on the economy, investors have been piling into TSLA stock, which apparently looks set to re-test the <strong><em>neckline</em></strong> of its head and shoulders pattern. As you can observe in the chart below, Tesla&#39;s stock has already been rejected twice at this key technical level. If Tesla fails to break past this area of resistance, technically, the stock could be headed back down to the mid $100s [and even to the low $100s] in a continuation of the reverse gamma squeeze we saw in late-2022.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e9d81593b8a8477df71c81cbe2ddc401\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"460\"/></p><p>WeBull Desktop</p><p></p><p>In this note, we will discuss major takeaways from Tesla&#39;s Annual Shareholder Meeting. And then check up on TSLA&#39;s ominous-looking technical chart.</p><h2>Highlights Of Tesla 2023 Shareholder Meeting</h2><p>Keeping in tradition with past investor events, Tesla&#39;s 2023 Annual Shareholder Meeting and Musk&#39;s subsequent CNBC interview (with David Faber) were filled with lots of hyperbolic statements such as &#34;FSD could be the ChatGPT moment for Tesla&#34; and &#34;Demand for Tesla&#39;s Optimus Humanoid Bot could be 10 billion units.&#34;</p><p><strong>Here&#39;s a list of noteworthy announcements from the meeting:</strong></p><ul><li><p>Elon Musk is staying on as CEO of Tesla for the foreseeable future and is planning to refocus his efforts on the EV giant&#39;s AI products (FSD and Optimus) after handing over the reins at Twitter to Linda Yaccarino.</p></li><li><p>The macroeconomic environment is likely to remain tough for the next 12 months, and Tesla is not immune to global economic conditions.</p></li><li><p>Tesla will try traditional advertising to spur additional demand for its electric vehicles (&#34;EVs&#34;).</p></li><li><p>Tesla is set to start deliveries for Cybertruck in 2023, targeting production of 250-500K units per year (at scale).</p></li><li><p>Tesla is working on two new EV models that can result in additional production of 5M units per year. (<em>Potentially a compact car and a van.</em>)</p></li><li><p>Tesla FSD is close to reaching full autonomy, and reaching this feat could lead to the greatest increase in asset value of all time, as Tesla FSD can boost the value of Tesla&#39;s fleet by 4-5x. Tesla EV gross margins could shoot up to ~80% (from ~20%) when FSD reaches full autonomy.</p></li><li><p>Optimus bot will use the same generalized AI being created for FSD. And demand for Optimus could be ~10B or ~20B units because every human will want one or two. (<em>The video shared during the meeting showed that Optimus had come a long way from where it was at the last reveal, but I would take that demand figure with a pinch of salt.</em>)</p></li><li><p>Musk strongly believes &#34;Optimus will be the majority of Tesla&#39;s value over the long-term.&#34;</p></li><li><p>Tesla&#39;s energy business is scaling well, and the margins here are likely to remain in the 20-30% range.</p></li></ul><p>The above list covers all the key developments from Tesla&#39;s annual shareholder meeting, and since this event has been widely covered, we will not go deeper into it in this note. If you are interested in learning more, I suggest you watch the presentation at Tesla.com or read this detailed SA note.</p><p>Now, let&#39;s discuss Tesla&#39;s business outlook in light of its shareholder meeting.</p><h2>What Is The Long-Term Business Outlook?</h2><p>While Musk stoked the hype engine quite a bit with positive commentary on ambitious projects such as FSD, Cybertruck, Optimus humanoid bot, and two new EV vehicle models (likely a compact car and a Van), none of these are likely to move the needle for Tesla in the near-term.</p><p>That said, Tesla&#39;s recession playbook is still expected to result in volume growth during 2023. According to consensus street estimates (and Musk), Tesla is likely to do $100B in revenue this year.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a6c6d5a8ccdf107baff40886323c62f8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"255\"/></p><p>SeekingAlpha</p><p></p><p>Going forward, consensus analyst estimates peg CAGR sales growth to be in the low-to-mid-20s, which is a far cry from where Tesla&#39;s growth has been over the past decade. Given Tesla&#39;s scale, I think a slowdown is natural; however, a growth slowdown raises question marks over TSLA&#39;s valuation premium. Now, bulls like to value Tesla as a high-margin software company, whereas bears prefer a valuation more in line with other automakers.</p><p>Personally, I think the reality is somewhere in between. As I said in my previous note, Tesla is turning into a binary bet on FSD. According to Musk, FSD could boost Tesla&#39;s gross margins to ~80%. While I am skeptical about that figure, I think that if FSD achieves full autonomy, Tesla can deliver software-like margins. In this scenario, Tesla would deserve a multiple similar to an Apple Inc. (AAPL) (~25-30x earnings) and not a Ford Motor Company (F) (~5-10x earnings).</p><p>Will Tesla FSD reach full autonomy in 2023 or 2024? I don&#39;t know. While the likes of Cathie Wood (and many Tesla bulls) think it could happen this year, the jury is still out there. As an investor, I prefer to wait for evidence before trying to model something like FSD into my valuation estimate for the company. And so, I am not altering my model based on Musk&#39;s positive FSD commentary from the annual shareholder meeting.</p><h2>TQI&#39;s Valuation Model For Tesla</h2><p>With Q1 results coming (more or less) in line with expectations, I am sticking to most of my pre-earnings assumptions for Tesla. However, in order to factor in the added risk of Tesla turning into a binary bet on FSD due to Musk&#39;s recession playbook, I raised our model&#39;s &#34;Required IRR&#34; from 15% to 20%.</p><p>Also, Tesla&#39;s recession playbook is killing its free cash flow (&#34;FCF&#34;) generation, and in the interest of improving the margin of safety in our model, I reduced the &#34;Buyback as a % of FCF&#34; (capital return program) assumption from 25% to 0%.</p><p><strong>Here&#39;s my updated valuation for Tesla:</strong></p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1dc2ca3e0fbdc675fe74cc43eaae9968\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"575\"/></p><p>TQI Valuation Model (TQIG.org)</p><p></p><p>According to these results, Tesla&#39;s fair value is ~$155 per share. With the stock trading at $188 per share, it is currently overvalued by ~17.5%. Now, I am happy to pay a premium for a high-quality company like Tesla; however, is the risk/reward attractive enough to justify an investment at current levels?</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7c66cdee68829fa9cb1b0d9568410616\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"320\"/></p><p>TQI Valuation Model (TQIG.org)</p><p></p><p>Assuming a base case P/FCF exit multiple of 25x, I see Tesla hitting $377 per share by 2027. As can be seen below, Tesla is projected to deliver CAGR returns of 14.94% for the next five years, which more or less meets my investment hurdle rate of 15%.</p><p>However, the valuation is not exciting enough to justify a long position by itself, as was the case in late-2022 when Tesla was trading in the low $100s. Since then, macroeconomic conditions have worsened, with multiple bank failures threatening a credit crunch for the economy and a demand crunch for Tesla. In response to flagging demand, Tesla&#39;s management has instituted multiple price cuts this year, and this move is causing margin pressures. The longer Musk and Co. execute this aggressive playbook, Tesla&#39;s margins are likely to remain under pressure. While we are modeling Tesla using long-term steady-state margins, Mr. Market is a far short-sighted person, and he could sell TSLA off during lean economic times.</p><p>And Musk warned about this during the annual shareholder meeting (emphasis added):</p><blockquote>This is going to be a challenging 12 months, I sort of want to be realistic about it that Tesla is not immune to the global economic environment. I expect things to be just at a macroeconomic level difficult for at least the next 12 months. Like, Tesla will get through it, and we&#39;ll do well and I think we&#39;ll see a lot of companies go bankrupt. The economy moves in cycles, and we&#39;ve had a very long period of upcycle, and next twelve months will be [I think] difficult for everyone. During Berkshire Hathaway&#39;s annual meeting, Warren and Charlie actually said this year Berkshire companies are going to make less money. These are very well run organizations and that is generally true for the economy. It&#39;s important to remember that there are good times, and there are dark times, which are followed by good times. So my advice would be - <strong>Don&#39;t look at the market for the next 12 months.</strong> If there&#39;s a dip, buy the dip, and you&#39;ll not be sorry. <strong>My guess is tough times for a year and then Tesla will emerge stronger than ever.</strong> Net present value of future cash flows will be incredibly high in my opinion.</blockquote><p>The long-term future for Tesla remains bright; however, near-term price action is likely to be volatile, and the technical chart does look ominous.</p><h2>Final Thoughts: Tesla&#39;s Ominous-Looking Tryst With Technicals</h2><p>Earlier in this note, we looked at the H&amp;S pattern on Tesla&#39;s chart, and in my view, another rejection from the neckline would be extremely bearish for the stock. From a technical perspective, a breakdown of an H&amp;S formation could result in a downward move equivalent to the gap between the head and the neckline. In Tesla&#39;s case, that level falls in the range of $40-60 (based on how you draw the neckline [horizontal or slanted]).</p><p>Now, I am not saying Tesla, Inc. stock is headed down to the mid-double digits; however, technicals suggest that this is a possible outcome. From a valuation perspective, Tesla can trade at such levels if it loses growth in a dire economy and the stock gets priced like a traditional automaker (~5-10x earnings). Hence, it is not unrealistic.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a7d078e717d509469e7abfb3160b7cff\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"463\"/></p><p>WeBull Desktop</p><p></p><p>While I don&#39;t think Tesla should be valued like a traditional automaker, I wouldn&#39;t rule it out, as Mr. Market can do crazy things. That said, I would view such a sharp selloff as a massive buying opportunity. Now, such a move is very unlikely to materialize until and unless we end up in a deep recession, which is certainly not my base case right now.</p><p>In the short term, I think a move down to $145 is very much on the table, given we still haven&#39;t filled the gap there. And if Tesla fails to hold that level, I can even see a re-test of recent lows, i.e., the low $100s.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b94dd90ae4f2f66cc5a6eace0962871\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"463\"/></p><p>WeBull Desktop</p><p></p><p>In a nutshell, Tesla&#39;s technical chart is looking ominous. A breakout of the neckline at $215 would make me change my view here. However, for the time being, I think investors can afford to remain patient with Tesla, Inc. stock and wait for a better entry point. If Tesla gets down to the mid-$100s, I will resume accumulation via a DCA plan.</p><p><strong>Key Takeaway:</strong> I continue to rate Tesla, Inc. stock &#34;Neutral&#34; at ~$188 per share.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Stock: You Have Been Pumped And Warned By Elon Musk</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Stock: You Have Been Pumped And Warned By Elon Musk\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-05-26 07:48 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4607026-tesla-stock-pumped-and-warned-by-elon-musk><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>IntroductionA new wave of investor optimism seems to be pushing Tesla, Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA) stock higher in the aftermath of its shareholder meeting (held on 16th May 2023), wherein CEO Elon Musk ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4607026-tesla-stock-pumped-and-warned-by-elon-musk\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"IE00BJJMRX11.SGD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Acc SGD","LU1280957306.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) US CONTRARIAN CORE EQUITIES \"AUP\" (USD) INC","LU0072462426.USD":"贝莱德全球配置 A2","IE00BBT3K403.USD":"LEGG MASON CLEARBRIDGE TACTICAL DIVIDEND INCOME \"A(USD) ACC","LU2249611893.SGD":"BNP PARIBAS ENERGY TRANSITION \"CRH\" (SGD) ACC","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","LU2063271972.USD":"富兰克林创新领域基金","LU0251142724.SGD":"Fidelity America A-SGD","LU1551013425.SGD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS H2-SGD","LU2087621335.USD":"ALLSPRING GLOBAL FACTOR ENHANCED EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU2326559502.SGD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity P/A SGD-H","LU0316494557.USD":"FRANKLIN GLOBAL FUNDAMENTAL STRATEGIES \"A\" ACC","LU1720051017.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence AT Acc H2-SGD","IE00B1BXHZ80.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - US Appreciation A Acc USD","LU0198837287.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV - USA GROWTH \"P\" (USD) ACC","LU0648001328.SGD":"Natixis Harris Associates US Equity RA SGD","BK4588":"碎股","LU1548497426.USD":"安联环球人工智能AT Acc","IE00BFSS8Q28.SGD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Inc SGD-H","F":"福特汽车","LU1861558580.USD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B","LU0149725797.USD":"汇丰美国股市经济规模基金","LU1074936037.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - US Value A (acc) SGD","LU1861220033.SGD":"Blackrock Next Generation Technology A2 SGD-H","IE00BKVL7J92.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - US Equity Sustainability Leaders A Acc USD","LU0127658192.USD":"EASTSPRING INVESTMENTS GLOBAL TECHNOLOGY \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","LU0256863811.USD":"ALLIANZ US EQUITY \"A\" INC","LU1201861249.SGD":"Natixis Harris Associates US Equity PA SGD-H","IE0004445015.USD":"JANUS HENDERSON BALANCED \"A2\" (USD) ACC","LU0289739343.SGD":"SUSTAINABLE GLOBAL THEMATIC PORTFOLIO \"A\" (SGD) ACC","BK4573":"虚拟现实","LU0348723411.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL HI-TECH GROWTH \"A\" (USD) INC","LU0980610538.SGD":"Natixis Harris Associates US Equity RA SGD-H","TSLA":"特斯拉","IE00BFSS7M15.SGD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Acc SGD-H","BK4512":"苹果概念","LU0109392836.USD":"富兰克林科技股A","IE00BJJMRY28.SGD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Inc SGD","LU0109391861.USD":"富兰克林美国机遇基金A Acc","IE00B3S45H60.SGD":"Neuberger Berman US Multicap Opportunities A Acc SGD-H","LU2357305700.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence ET H2-SGD","BK4511":"特斯拉概念","LU0456855351.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - Global Equity A (acc) SGD","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","LU1435385759.SGD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity RA SGD-H","LU0053666078.USD":"摩根大通基金-美国股票A（离岸）美元","LU0823411888.USD":"法巴消费创新基金 Cap","LU1551013342.USD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS USD","LU0080751232.USD":"富达环球多元动力基金A"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4607026-tesla-stock-pumped-and-warned-by-elon-musk","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2338936771","content_text":"IntroductionA new wave of investor optimism seems to be pushing Tesla, Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA) stock higher in the aftermath of its shareholder meeting (held on 16th May 2023), wherein CEO Elon Musk highlighted Tesla's long-term business prospects in emerging areas such as autonomous driving [FSD] and robotics [Optimus].GoogleFinanceIn late-2022/early-2023, I was incredibly bullish on Tesla in the mid to low $100s, at a time when Mr. Market was selling it off like a drunken psycho on a daily basis. After having accumulated Tesla for several months in the mid to low $100s, we sold half of our Tesla position at ~$194 a few weeks ago as the wild rally in TSLA took a pause at a key technical level at ~$200-215.While market participants are clearly getting excited about Tesla once again, I am sticking to a \"Neutral\" rating for TSLA after having shifted my stance in light of Tesla's Q1 earnings back in April. If you have been following my work on Tesla, you know that my rationale for the downgrade was based on greater macroeconomic uncertainties, dangers of Tesla's recession playbook [making it a binary bet on FSD], and ominous technical setup. Find a more detailed explanation here:Tesla Stock: The Good, The Bad, And The UglyTesla Stock: Mr. Musk Is Betting The Farm On FSD, And Mr. Market Is Clearly Not Happy About It.SeekingAlphaDespite Elon Musk's dire warnings on the economy, investors have been piling into TSLA stock, which apparently looks set to re-test the neckline of its head and shoulders pattern. As you can observe in the chart below, Tesla's stock has already been rejected twice at this key technical level. If Tesla fails to break past this area of resistance, technically, the stock could be headed back down to the mid $100s [and even to the low $100s] in a continuation of the reverse gamma squeeze we saw in late-2022.WeBull DesktopIn this note, we will discuss major takeaways from Tesla's Annual Shareholder Meeting. And then check up on TSLA's ominous-looking technical chart.Highlights Of Tesla 2023 Shareholder MeetingKeeping in tradition with past investor events, Tesla's 2023 Annual Shareholder Meeting and Musk's subsequent CNBC interview (with David Faber) were filled with lots of hyperbolic statements such as \"FSD could be the ChatGPT moment for Tesla\" and \"Demand for Tesla's Optimus Humanoid Bot could be 10 billion units.\"Here's a list of noteworthy announcements from the meeting:Elon Musk is staying on as CEO of Tesla for the foreseeable future and is planning to refocus his efforts on the EV giant's AI products (FSD and Optimus) after handing over the reins at Twitter to Linda Yaccarino.The macroeconomic environment is likely to remain tough for the next 12 months, and Tesla is not immune to global economic conditions.Tesla will try traditional advertising to spur additional demand for its electric vehicles (\"EVs\").Tesla is set to start deliveries for Cybertruck in 2023, targeting production of 250-500K units per year (at scale).Tesla is working on two new EV models that can result in additional production of 5M units per year. (Potentially a compact car and a van.)Tesla FSD is close to reaching full autonomy, and reaching this feat could lead to the greatest increase in asset value of all time, as Tesla FSD can boost the value of Tesla's fleet by 4-5x. Tesla EV gross margins could shoot up to ~80% (from ~20%) when FSD reaches full autonomy.Optimus bot will use the same generalized AI being created for FSD. And demand for Optimus could be ~10B or ~20B units because every human will want one or two. (The video shared during the meeting showed that Optimus had come a long way from where it was at the last reveal, but I would take that demand figure with a pinch of salt.)Musk strongly believes \"Optimus will be the majority of Tesla's value over the long-term.\"Tesla's energy business is scaling well, and the margins here are likely to remain in the 20-30% range.The above list covers all the key developments from Tesla's annual shareholder meeting, and since this event has been widely covered, we will not go deeper into it in this note. If you are interested in learning more, I suggest you watch the presentation at Tesla.com or read this detailed SA note.Now, let's discuss Tesla's business outlook in light of its shareholder meeting.What Is The Long-Term Business Outlook?While Musk stoked the hype engine quite a bit with positive commentary on ambitious projects such as FSD, Cybertruck, Optimus humanoid bot, and two new EV vehicle models (likely a compact car and a Van), none of these are likely to move the needle for Tesla in the near-term.That said, Tesla's recession playbook is still expected to result in volume growth during 2023. According to consensus street estimates (and Musk), Tesla is likely to do $100B in revenue this year.SeekingAlphaGoing forward, consensus analyst estimates peg CAGR sales growth to be in the low-to-mid-20s, which is a far cry from where Tesla's growth has been over the past decade. Given Tesla's scale, I think a slowdown is natural; however, a growth slowdown raises question marks over TSLA's valuation premium. Now, bulls like to value Tesla as a high-margin software company, whereas bears prefer a valuation more in line with other automakers.Personally, I think the reality is somewhere in between. As I said in my previous note, Tesla is turning into a binary bet on FSD. According to Musk, FSD could boost Tesla's gross margins to ~80%. While I am skeptical about that figure, I think that if FSD achieves full autonomy, Tesla can deliver software-like margins. In this scenario, Tesla would deserve a multiple similar to an Apple Inc. (AAPL) (~25-30x earnings) and not a Ford Motor Company (F) (~5-10x earnings).Will Tesla FSD reach full autonomy in 2023 or 2024? I don't know. While the likes of Cathie Wood (and many Tesla bulls) think it could happen this year, the jury is still out there. As an investor, I prefer to wait for evidence before trying to model something like FSD into my valuation estimate for the company. And so, I am not altering my model based on Musk's positive FSD commentary from the annual shareholder meeting.TQI's Valuation Model For TeslaWith Q1 results coming (more or less) in line with expectations, I am sticking to most of my pre-earnings assumptions for Tesla. However, in order to factor in the added risk of Tesla turning into a binary bet on FSD due to Musk's recession playbook, I raised our model's \"Required IRR\" from 15% to 20%.Also, Tesla's recession playbook is killing its free cash flow (\"FCF\") generation, and in the interest of improving the margin of safety in our model, I reduced the \"Buyback as a % of FCF\" (capital return program) assumption from 25% to 0%.Here's my updated valuation for Tesla:TQI Valuation Model (TQIG.org)According to these results, Tesla's fair value is ~$155 per share. With the stock trading at $188 per share, it is currently overvalued by ~17.5%. Now, I am happy to pay a premium for a high-quality company like Tesla; however, is the risk/reward attractive enough to justify an investment at current levels?TQI Valuation Model (TQIG.org)Assuming a base case P/FCF exit multiple of 25x, I see Tesla hitting $377 per share by 2027. As can be seen below, Tesla is projected to deliver CAGR returns of 14.94% for the next five years, which more or less meets my investment hurdle rate of 15%.However, the valuation is not exciting enough to justify a long position by itself, as was the case in late-2022 when Tesla was trading in the low $100s. Since then, macroeconomic conditions have worsened, with multiple bank failures threatening a credit crunch for the economy and a demand crunch for Tesla. In response to flagging demand, Tesla's management has instituted multiple price cuts this year, and this move is causing margin pressures. The longer Musk and Co. execute this aggressive playbook, Tesla's margins are likely to remain under pressure. While we are modeling Tesla using long-term steady-state margins, Mr. Market is a far short-sighted person, and he could sell TSLA off during lean economic times.And Musk warned about this during the annual shareholder meeting (emphasis added):This is going to be a challenging 12 months, I sort of want to be realistic about it that Tesla is not immune to the global economic environment. I expect things to be just at a macroeconomic level difficult for at least the next 12 months. Like, Tesla will get through it, and we'll do well and I think we'll see a lot of companies go bankrupt. The economy moves in cycles, and we've had a very long period of upcycle, and next twelve months will be [I think] difficult for everyone. During Berkshire Hathaway's annual meeting, Warren and Charlie actually said this year Berkshire companies are going to make less money. These are very well run organizations and that is generally true for the economy. It's important to remember that there are good times, and there are dark times, which are followed by good times. So my advice would be - Don't look at the market for the next 12 months. If there's a dip, buy the dip, and you'll not be sorry. My guess is tough times for a year and then Tesla will emerge stronger than ever. Net present value of future cash flows will be incredibly high in my opinion.The long-term future for Tesla remains bright; however, near-term price action is likely to be volatile, and the technical chart does look ominous.Final Thoughts: Tesla's Ominous-Looking Tryst With TechnicalsEarlier in this note, we looked at the H&S pattern on Tesla's chart, and in my view, another rejection from the neckline would be extremely bearish for the stock. From a technical perspective, a breakdown of an H&S formation could result in a downward move equivalent to the gap between the head and the neckline. In Tesla's case, that level falls in the range of $40-60 (based on how you draw the neckline [horizontal or slanted]).Now, I am not saying Tesla, Inc. stock is headed down to the mid-double digits; however, technicals suggest that this is a possible outcome. From a valuation perspective, Tesla can trade at such levels if it loses growth in a dire economy and the stock gets priced like a traditional automaker (~5-10x earnings). Hence, it is not unrealistic.WeBull DesktopWhile I don't think Tesla should be valued like a traditional automaker, I wouldn't rule it out, as Mr. Market can do crazy things. That said, I would view such a sharp selloff as a massive buying opportunity. Now, such a move is very unlikely to materialize until and unless we end up in a deep recession, which is certainly not my base case right now.In the short term, I think a move down to $145 is very much on the table, given we still haven't filled the gap there. And if Tesla fails to hold that level, I can even see a re-test of recent lows, i.e., the low $100s.WeBull DesktopIn a nutshell, Tesla's technical chart is looking ominous. A breakout of the neckline at $215 would make me change my view here. However, for the time being, I think investors can afford to remain patient with Tesla, Inc. stock and wait for a better entry point. If Tesla gets down to the mid-$100s, I will resume accumulation via a DCA plan.Key Takeaway: I continue to rate Tesla, Inc. stock \"Neutral\" at ~$188 per share.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":106,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9970491973,"gmtCreate":1684782091293,"gmtModify":1684782095188,"author":{"id":"4094588272208160","authorId":"4094588272208160","name":"钱神","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4094588272208160","idStr":"4094588272208160"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9970491973","repostId":"2336260526","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2336260526","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1684767981,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2336260526?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-05-22 23:06","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Hedge Funds Are Buying These AI Stocks","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2336260526","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"Collectively, hedge funds increased their holdings in technology stocks by 2.5% last quarter. For co","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li><p>Collectively, hedge funds increased their holdings in technology stocks by 2.5% last quarter. For context, that’s a huge jump, and it represents the biggest increase among any sector – by a wide margin. The common theme? They’re all AI stocks.</p></li><li><p>Year-to-date, the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AIQ\">Global X Artificial Intelligence &amp; Technology ETF</a> is up 25%. Meanwhile, Meta stock is up 105%. Nvidia stock has risen nearly 120%!</p></li><li><p>This revolution will accelerate in the coming weeks, months, and years. As it does, red-hot AI stocks will only get hotter.</p></li></ul><p>What is the one common thread that connects billionaire hedge fund managers Steve Cohen, Stanley Druckenmiller, and David Tepper together? <strong>They’re all making a huge push into AI stocks right now. </strong></p><p>According to recent 13-F filings, all three fund managers poured millions of dollars into AI stocks in the first quarter of 2023. </p><p>Cohen said this week that there is a “big wave” of opportunities emerging in the stock market right now thanks to AI. Last week, Druckenmiller said that AI is “very, very real” and that it could be “every bit as impactful as the internet.” </p><p>They aren’t alone in their bullishness. </p><p><strong><em>Hedge funds everywhere are loading up on AI stocks right now.</em></strong></p><p>Collectively, hedge funds increased their holdings in technology stocks by 2.5% last quarter. For context, that’s a huge jump, and it represents the biggest increase among any sector – by a wide margin. </p><p>Hedge funds went on a tech stock buying spree. </p><p>What tech stocks did they buy specifically? <strong>AI stocks.</strong> <strong><em> </em></strong></p><p>Take a look at the data table below. It shows the most-bought individual stocks by hedge funds last quarter, which were <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">Microsoft</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">Nvidia </a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/META\">Meta</a>, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon</a>. </p><p>The common theme? They’re all AI stocks. </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3119f6d28823ed3e3834a41acbc8e4aa\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"937\" tg-height=\"589\"/></p><p>The data is crystal clear. Hedge funds are loading up on AI stocks right now. </p><p><strong><em>You should be, too. </em></strong></p><h2>The Final Word on AI Stocks</h2><p>These hedge funds are already making a bunch of money on their AI positions. Year-to-date, the <strong>Global X Artificial Intelligence &amp; Technology ETF</strong> (<strong><u>AIQ</u></strong>) is up 25%. Meanwhile, Meta stock is up 105%. Nvidia stock has risen nearly 120%!</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/61fd0e97773840e5ddafaa2ca33f90c2\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1331\"/></p><p>The AI Revolution has arrived, and AI stocks are soaring. </p><p>This revolution will accelerate in the coming weeks, months, and years. As it does, red-hot AI stocks will only get hotter. </p><p>It’s time to go “all-in” on AI.</p></body></html>","source":"investorplace","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Hedge Funds Are Buying These AI Stocks</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHedge Funds Are Buying These AI Stocks\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-05-22 23:06 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://investorplace.com/hypergrowthinvesting/2023/05/hedge-funds-are-buying-these-ai-stocks/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Collectively, hedge funds increased their holdings in technology stocks by 2.5% last quarter. For context, that’s a huge jump, and it represents the biggest increase among any sector – by a wide ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/hypergrowthinvesting/2023/05/hedge-funds-are-buying-these-ai-stocks/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊","MSFT":"微软","NVDA":"英伟达","META":"Meta Platforms, Inc.","AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/hypergrowthinvesting/2023/05/hedge-funds-are-buying-these-ai-stocks/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2336260526","content_text":"Collectively, hedge funds increased their holdings in technology stocks by 2.5% last quarter. For context, that’s a huge jump, and it represents the biggest increase among any sector – by a wide margin. The common theme? They’re all AI stocks.Year-to-date, the Global X Artificial Intelligence & Technology ETF is up 25%. Meanwhile, Meta stock is up 105%. Nvidia stock has risen nearly 120%!This revolution will accelerate in the coming weeks, months, and years. As it does, red-hot AI stocks will only get hotter.What is the one common thread that connects billionaire hedge fund managers Steve Cohen, Stanley Druckenmiller, and David Tepper together? They’re all making a huge push into AI stocks right now. According to recent 13-F filings, all three fund managers poured millions of dollars into AI stocks in the first quarter of 2023. Cohen said this week that there is a “big wave” of opportunities emerging in the stock market right now thanks to AI. Last week, Druckenmiller said that AI is “very, very real” and that it could be “every bit as impactful as the internet.” They aren’t alone in their bullishness. Hedge funds everywhere are loading up on AI stocks right now.Collectively, hedge funds increased their holdings in technology stocks by 2.5% last quarter. For context, that’s a huge jump, and it represents the biggest increase among any sector – by a wide margin. Hedge funds went on a tech stock buying spree. What tech stocks did they buy specifically? AI stocks.  Take a look at the data table below. It shows the most-bought individual stocks by hedge funds last quarter, which were Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia , Meta, and Amazon. The common theme? They’re all AI stocks. The data is crystal clear. Hedge funds are loading up on AI stocks right now. You should be, too. The Final Word on AI StocksThese hedge funds are already making a bunch of money on their AI positions. Year-to-date, the Global X Artificial Intelligence & Technology ETF (AIQ) is up 25%. Meanwhile, Meta stock is up 105%. Nvidia stock has risen nearly 120%!The AI Revolution has arrived, and AI stocks are soaring. This revolution will accelerate in the coming weeks, months, and years. As it does, red-hot AI stocks will only get hotter. It’s time to go “all-in” on AI.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":254,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9970226617,"gmtCreate":1684497112640,"gmtModify":1684497116200,"author":{"id":"4094588272208160","authorId":"4094588272208160","name":"钱神","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4094588272208160","idStr":"4094588272208160"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9970226617","repostId":"2336318749","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2336318749","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1684413650,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2336318749?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-05-18 20:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Google: Superinvestors Bill Ackman And Seth Klarman Take Massive Stakes. Should You?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2336318749","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"SummaryBoth Bill Ackman and Seth Klarman have a 10%+ allocation of their portfolio in Alphabet.Googl","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\">Summary</h2><ul><li><p>Both Bill Ackman and Seth Klarman have a 10%+ allocation of their portfolio in Alphabet.</p></li><li><p>Google&#39;s AI power has been underestimated and investors could&#39;ve profited from a drawback in the latest quarter.</p></li><li><p>Google I/O event was a massive hit with a ton of new AI features that will decrease the friction to get started with AI.</p></li><li><p>Valuation is looking less attractive right now to add shares, but I do think Alphabet is going to do fine in AI and integrating it properly in their core products.</p></li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/111092358fdbe73ae0aa4f93905f0e51\" alt=\"400tmax\" title=\"400tmax\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"500\"/><span>400tmax</span></p><p>Every quarter we have 13-F filings of institutional investment managers with at least $100 million in assets under management. This gives us a way to look into the portfolio&#39;s and strategies of arguably the best investors in the world. In the latest quarter, Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL) (NASDAQ:GOOG) was the most bought stock by superinvestors. Two investors in particular are interesting to watch: Bill Ackman and Seth Klarman.</p><h2>Bill Ackman</h2><p>Bill Ackman is a billionaire hedge fund manager and founder of Pershing Square Capital Management. He is one of those investors, who loves a good crisis and manages to take large stakes in businesses that everyone is scared of owning. For example in 2020, the Covid-19 crisis, he bought hotels and restaurants that had to close their doors, but those that were still fundamentally really strong. That played out really well as most of those stocks have doubled since then.</p><p>Right now, Bill has acquired a large 10.43% stake in GOOG and GOOGL. The average reported price is $103-104 per share, which is still rather high knowing Alphabet traded below $100 for quite some time.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b02d7bb4233dc8eec6471eae565ba3d6\" alt=\"Dataroma\" title=\"Dataroma\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"281\"/><span>Dataroma</span></p><h2>Seth Klarman</h2><p>Seth Klarman is another billionaire hedge fund manager and founder of Baupost Group. He is a well-known value investor and has written his own book called &#39;Margin of Safety&#39;. In the book, he explains how value is found in his hedge fund, with an investment at a discount to its intrinsic value to protect against downside risk.</p><p>Seth has increased his stake by 46.5%, making Alphabet a 10%+ stake in his hedge fund. Similar to Bill, the reported average price is around $104 a share, which is not the best one could get in the latest quarter.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/713d2c69bd2900bed3a7c24ce8d0aa3b\" alt=\"Dataroma\" title=\"Dataroma\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"234\"/><span>Dataroma</span></p><h2>Underestimated and AI showcase</h2><p>So far, I have covered Alphabet twice before. Back in October I called investors at $101 a share: &#39;<em>If You Are Not Buying Now, When Will You&#39;. </em>Some were buying, some wanted to wait for lower prices. Anyways, the stock outperformed the S&amp;P 500 with a 15% return.</p><p>A little later, I wrote a new article in March: <em>Alphabet Vs. Meta: Easy Choice</em>, after Alphabet saw another pullback because of AI worries.</p><p>I mentioned:</p><blockquote>Next to that Investors seem to forget the investments Alphabet has done over the past years. Alphabet was one of the first companies to invest in AI. Back in 2014, the company spent $10 million on Dark Blue Labs &amp; Vision Factory, which is now integrated in DeepMind. Further, Alphabet has its own conversational AI bot named LaMDA, which is built on the Transformer neural network architecture. Transformer was invented by Google Research and has also helped building ChatGPT. Google gains more data than any other company and should easily replicate ChatGPT with Bard (based on LaMDA).</blockquote><p>At this moment, Alphabet is 26% higher compared to a modest 3.9% gain of the S&amp;P 500.</p><p>On the 10th of May, Google launched its Google I/O event, about all their new products, with AI being one of the main themes. And ooh boy did they deliver... The stock jumped 10% in a span of 2 days.</p><p>Some of new AI features:</p><p>- Magic Editor: Adjusting pictures has never been easier with AI features that can erase, add and replace objects.</p><p>- Google Maps: Some cities will now have a 3D map with AI replication of local weather and traffic. You can even scroll to a later hour and check the estimated conditions for specific locations.</p><p>- PaLM 2: Google&#39;s next generation language model got launched with reasoning, multilingual translation and coding.</p><p>- Bard: Pictures are no longer an exception for Bard, upload one and ask about it. Bard is now available in more than 180 countries. PaLM 2 helps Bard with coding. Additionally, Google tools and extensions with partners like Spotify, Gmail, Maps, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ADBE\">Adobe</a> Firefly will be integrated in Bard and will create less friction and more synergies.</p><p>- Workspace: AI will soon be included in Google Slides and documents, upgrading Google&#39;s Workspace.</p><p>- Google Search: Of course, Google Search cannot be left behind. There will be a new integrated AI response for what you are looking for, with possible follow up questions you might have.</p><h2>Takeaway</h2><p>Alphabet is up 40% from the bottom in November 2022. The free cash flow yield has gone back down and is now closer to the other big tech companies. Therefore, I am downgrading the stock from &#39;Strong Buy&#39; to &#39;Hold&#39;. While I do think Alphabet is going to do fine in both AI and integrating it properly in their core products. Valuation is something you will always have to keep in mind. In my latest article, you could buy Alphabet for a 5%+ free cash flow yield, which is obviously better than the 3.98% you are getting now. I am happy with the 11% allocation I have now and would only add more shares, when we see prices below $100 a share.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4d8df645b2fb15fea709c4d8f0268284\" alt=\"Data by YCharts\" title=\"Data by YCharts\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"467\"/><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p>Nonetheless, in my opinion, Alphabet is still a solid investment, as the company did not show its full cost-efficiency yet. Stock-based compensation did still grow year-over-year, which is 30% of free cash flow. This has to go down so that investors can be properly rewarded by share buybacks. Once we see the impact of AI on top-line revenue combined with more cost-efficiency, then Alphabet will have more upside going forward. Obviously, looking for a pullback to jump in, seems better than joining the hype train now.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/926c1eb027376821b6f902199f0748b5\" alt=\"23Q1 Investor Relations\" title=\"23Q1 Investor Relations\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"199\"/><span>23Q1 Investor Relations</span></p><p>Be careful with replicating superinvestors, because they have done their purchases in the previous quarter at (most of the time) lower prices. Starting a position now can definitely have an impact on your performance.</p><p><em>Thank you for reading!</em></p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Google: Superinvestors Bill Ackman And Seth Klarman Take Massive Stakes. Should You?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGoogle: Superinvestors Bill Ackman And Seth Klarman Take Massive Stakes. Should You?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-05-18 20:40 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4605365-google-superinvestors-bill-ackman-seth-klarman-take-massive-stakes><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryBoth Bill Ackman and Seth Klarman have a 10%+ allocation of their portfolio in Alphabet.Google's AI power has been underestimated and investors could've profited from a drawback in the latest ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4605365-google-superinvestors-bill-ackman-seth-klarman-take-massive-stakes\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"IE00BJJMRY28.SGD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Inc SGD","LU0061474960.USD":"天利环球焦点基金AU Acc","LU2237443978.SGD":"Aberdeen Standard SICAV I - Global Dynamic Dividend A Acc SGD-H","IE00BSNM7G36.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN SYSTEMATIC GLOBAL SUSTAINABLE VALUE \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU1914381329.SGD":"Allianz Best Styles Global Equity Cl ET Acc H2-SGD","LU0234572021.USD":"高盛美国核心股票组合Acc","LU0128525689.USD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL BALANCED \"A\"(USD) ACC","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","BK4077":"互动媒体与服务","BK4553":"喜马拉雅资本持仓","LU1803068979.SGD":"FTIF - Franklin Technology A (acc) SGD-H1","IE00BZ1G4Q59.USD":"LEGG MASON CLEARBRIDGE US EQUITY SUSTAINABILITY LEADER \"A\"(USD) INC (A)","LU0310800965.SGD":"FTIF - Templeton Global Balanced A Acc SGD","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","LU0648000940.SGD":"Natixis Harris Associates Global Equity RA SGD","LU0061474705.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) GLOBAL DYNAMIC REAL RETURN \"AU\" (USD) ACC","LU0130102774.USD":"Natixis Harris Associates US Equity RA USD","LU0353189680.USD":"富国美国全盘成长基金Cl A Acc","BK4566":"资本集团","SG9999018857.SGD":"United Global Quality Growth Fd Cl Acc SGD-H","LU1691799644.USD":"Amundi Funds Polen Capital Global Growth A2 (C) USD","LU0289960550.SGD":"AB FCP I - GLOBAL EQUITY BLEND PORTFOLIO 'A' (SGD) ACC","LU0648001328.SGD":"Natixis Harris Associates US Equity RA SGD","LU0061475181.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) AMERICAN \"AU\" (USD) ACC","LU0198837287.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV - USA GROWTH \"P\" (USD) ACC","LU0276348264.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) GLOBAL DYNAMIC REAL RETURN\"AUP\" (USD) INC","LU0130103400.USD":"Natixis Harris Associates Global Equity RA USD","BK4538":"云计算","LU0820561818.USD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金Cl AM DIS","LU0354030511.USD":"ALLSPRING  U.S. LARGE CAP GROWTH \"I\" (USD) ACC","BK4579":"人工智能","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","SG9999014906.USD":"大华全球优质成长基金Acc USD","LU0957791311.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) GLOBAL FOCUS \"ZU\" (USD) ACC","LU0354030438.USD":"富国美国大盘成长基金Cl A Acc","IE0009356076.USD":"JANUS HENDERSON GLOBAL TECHNOLOGY AND INNOVATION \"A2\" (USD) ACC","LU0256863811.USD":"ALLIANZ US EQUITY \"A\" INC","LU1316542783.SGD":"Janus Henderson Horizon Global Technology Leaders A2 SGD","LU0170899867.USD":"EASTSPRING INVESTMENTS WORLD VALUE EQUITY  \"A\" (USD) ACC","IE00BJJMRX11.SGD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Acc SGD","LU0642271901.SGD":"Janus Henderson Horizon Global Technology Leaders A2 SGD-H","LU0417517546.SGD":"Allianz US Equity Cl AT Acc SGD","LU0082616367.USD":"摩根大通美国科技A（dist）","LU0079474960.USD":"联博美国增长基金A","LU0889565833.HKD":"FRANKLIN TECHNOLOGY \"A\" (HKD) ACC","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","LU0056508442.USD":"贝莱德世界科技基金A2","GOOG":"谷歌","IE00B1XK9C88.USD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A\" (USD) ACC","GOOGL":"谷歌A"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4605365-google-superinvestors-bill-ackman-seth-klarman-take-massive-stakes","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2336318749","content_text":"SummaryBoth Bill Ackman and Seth Klarman have a 10%+ allocation of their portfolio in Alphabet.Google's AI power has been underestimated and investors could've profited from a drawback in the latest quarter.Google I/O event was a massive hit with a ton of new AI features that will decrease the friction to get started with AI.Valuation is looking less attractive right now to add shares, but I do think Alphabet is going to do fine in AI and integrating it properly in their core products.400tmaxEvery quarter we have 13-F filings of institutional investment managers with at least $100 million in assets under management. This gives us a way to look into the portfolio's and strategies of arguably the best investors in the world. In the latest quarter, Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL) (NASDAQ:GOOG) was the most bought stock by superinvestors. Two investors in particular are interesting to watch: Bill Ackman and Seth Klarman.Bill AckmanBill Ackman is a billionaire hedge fund manager and founder of Pershing Square Capital Management. He is one of those investors, who loves a good crisis and manages to take large stakes in businesses that everyone is scared of owning. For example in 2020, the Covid-19 crisis, he bought hotels and restaurants that had to close their doors, but those that were still fundamentally really strong. That played out really well as most of those stocks have doubled since then.Right now, Bill has acquired a large 10.43% stake in GOOG and GOOGL. The average reported price is $103-104 per share, which is still rather high knowing Alphabet traded below $100 for quite some time.DataromaSeth KlarmanSeth Klarman is another billionaire hedge fund manager and founder of Baupost Group. He is a well-known value investor and has written his own book called 'Margin of Safety'. In the book, he explains how value is found in his hedge fund, with an investment at a discount to its intrinsic value to protect against downside risk.Seth has increased his stake by 46.5%, making Alphabet a 10%+ stake in his hedge fund. Similar to Bill, the reported average price is around $104 a share, which is not the best one could get in the latest quarter.DataromaUnderestimated and AI showcaseSo far, I have covered Alphabet twice before. Back in October I called investors at $101 a share: 'If You Are Not Buying Now, When Will You'. Some were buying, some wanted to wait for lower prices. Anyways, the stock outperformed the S&P 500 with a 15% return.A little later, I wrote a new article in March: Alphabet Vs. Meta: Easy Choice, after Alphabet saw another pullback because of AI worries.I mentioned:Next to that Investors seem to forget the investments Alphabet has done over the past years. Alphabet was one of the first companies to invest in AI. Back in 2014, the company spent $10 million on Dark Blue Labs & Vision Factory, which is now integrated in DeepMind. Further, Alphabet has its own conversational AI bot named LaMDA, which is built on the Transformer neural network architecture. Transformer was invented by Google Research and has also helped building ChatGPT. Google gains more data than any other company and should easily replicate ChatGPT with Bard (based on LaMDA).At this moment, Alphabet is 26% higher compared to a modest 3.9% gain of the S&P 500.On the 10th of May, Google launched its Google I/O event, about all their new products, with AI being one of the main themes. And ooh boy did they deliver... The stock jumped 10% in a span of 2 days.Some of new AI features:- Magic Editor: Adjusting pictures has never been easier with AI features that can erase, add and replace objects.- Google Maps: Some cities will now have a 3D map with AI replication of local weather and traffic. You can even scroll to a later hour and check the estimated conditions for specific locations.- PaLM 2: Google's next generation language model got launched with reasoning, multilingual translation and coding.- Bard: Pictures are no longer an exception for Bard, upload one and ask about it. Bard is now available in more than 180 countries. PaLM 2 helps Bard with coding. Additionally, Google tools and extensions with partners like Spotify, Gmail, Maps, Adobe Firefly will be integrated in Bard and will create less friction and more synergies.- Workspace: AI will soon be included in Google Slides and documents, upgrading Google's Workspace.- Google Search: Of course, Google Search cannot be left behind. There will be a new integrated AI response for what you are looking for, with possible follow up questions you might have.TakeawayAlphabet is up 40% from the bottom in November 2022. The free cash flow yield has gone back down and is now closer to the other big tech companies. Therefore, I am downgrading the stock from 'Strong Buy' to 'Hold'. While I do think Alphabet is going to do fine in both AI and integrating it properly in their core products. Valuation is something you will always have to keep in mind. In my latest article, you could buy Alphabet for a 5%+ free cash flow yield, which is obviously better than the 3.98% you are getting now. I am happy with the 11% allocation I have now and would only add more shares, when we see prices below $100 a share.Data by YChartsNonetheless, in my opinion, Alphabet is still a solid investment, as the company did not show its full cost-efficiency yet. Stock-based compensation did still grow year-over-year, which is 30% of free cash flow. This has to go down so that investors can be properly rewarded by share buybacks. Once we see the impact of AI on top-line revenue combined with more cost-efficiency, then Alphabet will have more upside going forward. Obviously, looking for a pullback to jump in, seems better than joining the hype train now.23Q1 Investor RelationsBe careful with replicating superinvestors, because they have done their purchases in the previous quarter at (most of the time) lower prices. Starting a position now can definitely have an impact on your performance.Thank you for reading!","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":140,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9970229749,"gmtCreate":1684495366782,"gmtModify":1684495370414,"author":{"id":"4094588272208160","authorId":"4094588272208160","name":"钱神","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4094588272208160","idStr":"4094588272208160"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9970229749","repostId":"1104107828","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":172,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9970229416,"gmtCreate":1684495359036,"gmtModify":1684495363329,"author":{"id":"4094588272208160","authorId":"4094588272208160","name":"钱神","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4094588272208160","idStr":"4094588272208160"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9970229416","repostId":"1104107828","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1104107828","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1684487400,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1104107828?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-05-19 17:10","market":"us","language":"en","title":"BofA Strategist Says Sell US Stocks as AI Seen Forming a Bubble","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1104107828","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Strategists recommend selling S&P 500 at 4,200 — current levelOverall equity funds had weekly outflo","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li><p>Strategists recommend selling S&amp;P 500 at 4,200 — current level</p></li><li><p>Overall equity funds had weekly outflows, bonds saw inflows</p></li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1f16e06877f256204c547ce198a0470d\" alt=\"A Bank of America bank branch in Austin, Texas. Photographer: Sergio Flores/Bloomberg\" title=\"A Bank of America bank branch in Austin, Texas. Photographer: Sergio Flores/Bloomberg\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"665\"/><span>A Bank of America bank branch in Austin, Texas. Photographer: Sergio Flores/Bloomberg</span></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Bank of America Corp. strategist Michael Hartnett reiterated his call to sell US stocks, saying tech and artificial intelligence are forming a bubble and the Federal Reserve’s rate hikes may not be over, with rising bond yields posing a risk.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Hartnett, who correctly predicted last year that recession fears would fuel a stock exodus, recommended selling the S&amp;P 500 at 4,200 — the index’s current level.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">If the Fed “mistakenly” pauses rate hikes this year, US bond yields will reflect that by rising above 4%, “and if so we most certainly ain’t seen the last Fed rate hike of the cycle,” strategists led by Hartnett wrote in a note on Friday. The 10-year US Treasury yield traded at about 3.6% on Friday, having surged in the past week amid the debt-ceiling debate.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8dc284954240cd01a1fd6b9874e5246e\" alt=\"Source: Bloomberg\" title=\"Source: Bloomberg\" tg-width=\"867\" tg-height=\"465\"/><span>Source: Bloomberg</span></p><p>BofA said AI for now is a “baby bubble,” noting that in the past bubbles always started with “easy money” and ended with rate hikes. They cited the lesson from 1999, when a rally in internet stocks and strong economic data caused the Fed to restart monetary tightening, and the bubble in tech stocks burst nine months later.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The biggest “pain trade” in the next 12 months is the Fed funds rate rising to 6% instead of falling to 3%, given that the market expects rate cuts, according to the strategists.</p><p>US equities rallied on Thursday as optimism over steps toward resolving Washington’s debt-ceiling standoff outweighed concerns that the Fed may not suspend its rate-hiking campaign next month. The Nasdaq 100 soared to the highest level since April 2022, with its 14-day relative strength index closing in overbought territory for the first time since early February. The tech-heavy gauge is up 26% this year, one of the best performers among global indexes. </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/12721b26677539a2bb472c3c1ae6abc0\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"675\"/></p><p>Tech stocks had their fifth week of inflows, while financials saw a third week of outflows, and REITs had the largest withdrawals since November 2022, BofA said, citing EPFR Global data.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Overall, equity funds had $7.7 billion outflows in the week through May 17, while bonds have seen inflows in the past eight weeks. </p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>BofA Strategist Says Sell US Stocks as AI Seen Forming a Bubble</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBofA Strategist Says Sell US Stocks as AI Seen Forming a Bubble\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-05-19 17:10 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-05-19/bofa-s-hartnett-says-sell-us-stocks-as-ai-seen-forming-a-bubble?srnd=premium><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Strategists recommend selling S&P 500 at 4,200 — current levelOverall equity funds had weekly outflows, bonds saw inflowsA Bank of America bank branch in Austin, Texas. Photographer: Sergio Flores/...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-05-19/bofa-s-hartnett-says-sell-us-stocks-as-ai-seen-forming-a-bubble?srnd=premium\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-05-19/bofa-s-hartnett-says-sell-us-stocks-as-ai-seen-forming-a-bubble?srnd=premium","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1104107828","content_text":"Strategists recommend selling S&P 500 at 4,200 — current levelOverall equity funds had weekly outflows, bonds saw inflowsA Bank of America bank branch in Austin, Texas. Photographer: Sergio Flores/BloombergBank of America Corp. strategist Michael Hartnett reiterated his call to sell US stocks, saying tech and artificial intelligence are forming a bubble and the Federal Reserve’s rate hikes may not be over, with rising bond yields posing a risk.Hartnett, who correctly predicted last year that recession fears would fuel a stock exodus, recommended selling the S&P 500 at 4,200 — the index’s current level.If the Fed “mistakenly” pauses rate hikes this year, US bond yields will reflect that by rising above 4%, “and if so we most certainly ain’t seen the last Fed rate hike of the cycle,” strategists led by Hartnett wrote in a note on Friday. The 10-year US Treasury yield traded at about 3.6% on Friday, having surged in the past week amid the debt-ceiling debate.Source: BloombergBofA said AI for now is a “baby bubble,” noting that in the past bubbles always started with “easy money” and ended with rate hikes. They cited the lesson from 1999, when a rally in internet stocks and strong economic data caused the Fed to restart monetary tightening, and the bubble in tech stocks burst nine months later.The biggest “pain trade” in the next 12 months is the Fed funds rate rising to 6% instead of falling to 3%, given that the market expects rate cuts, according to the strategists.US equities rallied on Thursday as optimism over steps toward resolving Washington’s debt-ceiling standoff outweighed concerns that the Fed may not suspend its rate-hiking campaign next month. The Nasdaq 100 soared to the highest level since April 2022, with its 14-day relative strength index closing in overbought territory for the first time since early February. The tech-heavy gauge is up 26% this year, one of the best performers among global indexes. Tech stocks had their fifth week of inflows, while financials saw a third week of outflows, and REITs had the largest withdrawals since November 2022, BofA said, citing EPFR Global data.Overall, equity funds had $7.7 billion outflows in the week through May 17, while bonds have seen inflows in the past eight weeks.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":183,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9954233044,"gmtCreate":1676378762889,"gmtModify":1676378766255,"author":{"id":"4094588272208160","authorId":"4094588272208160","name":"钱神","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4094588272208160","authorIdStr":"4094588272208160"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hm","listText":"hm","text":"hm","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":14,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9954233044","repostId":"1120289401","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1120289401","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1676359725,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1120289401?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-02-14 15:28","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Stock: Get Ready For A Sell-Off","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1120289401","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryToday I see a fairly high risk of profit-taking in Tesla, Inc. stock and a further downward m","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2>Summary</h2><ul><li>Today I see a fairly high risk of profit-taking in Tesla, Inc. stock and a further downward movement shortly.</li><li>This is supported by both the general market indicators and the idiosyncratic technical signs in Tesla&#39;s price action.</li><li>The company&#39;s market cap now is much higher than its fair value, despite the doubling of my discounted cash flow analysis price output.</li><li>I believe that in 2023, investors will have even better chances to buy Tesla stock for a lot cheaper.</li></ul><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15402ca3ce706835733f8b286527cedb\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"500\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>jetcityimage</p><h2>My Coverage History</h2><p>You are now reading my 6th article on<b>Tesla, Inc.</b>(NASDAQ:TSLA). I initiated coverage of TSLA on October 18, 2021, with a buy recommendation. At that time, the company&#39;s outlook seemed rosy and somefundamental tailwinds could support the continuation of the stock rally. Exactly 2 weeks and 3 days after that call, TSLA surged more than 46% and marked its all-time high, which was never reached again.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f520233e45c16f09424f3b27c2170986\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"308\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>TrendSpider, author&#39;s notes</p><p>In mid-June 2022, I proposeda pair trade idea- a long position in Tesla and a short position in <b>Lucid Group, Inc.</b>(LCID) for the same dollar amount. I reasoned that the most robust company would continue to outperform the fast-growing niche of the auto market. In contrast, the most overvalued company in the group would continue to experience strong multiple contraction andfall much deeper. Since then, the spread between the two stocks has been comfortable enough to make money even after factoring in the commission on the short position and the sharp drop in TSLA in December 2022:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/351f491c1849c318143c36ee85f28264\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"433\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Data byYCharts</p><p>On October 21, I was Neutral, saying Tesla stock was overvalued and warning about the risks in the company&#39;s accounting - this call coincided with the start of &#34;the great meltdown.&#34;</p><p>At the end of December, I caught the news that Elon Musk had stopped selling his stock and would not sell for 1-2 more years - at least that&#39;s what he announced publicly. Few people wrote about it at the time, but as it turned out later, my guess about reducing supply in the market had a positive effect on the price action.</p><p>Inthe last article- &#34;<i>Tesla Stock: Go Fishing Below $100</i>&#34; - I wrote the following:</p><blockquote>No one knows exactly when the downward slide of Tesla stock will end. However, one thing seems clear to me -<b>TSLA&#39;s 43% drop in just 2 last months looks like a textbook stock market overreaction</b>against a backdrop of plenty of negative news and a lack of positive news for the company.</blockquote><blockquote>[emphasis added by the author]</blockquote><p>Then I expected TSLA to fall even lower - that&#39;s when I suggested taking a position in the portfolio. I was wrong - after my call, the stock has not fallen below $116 and has gained &gt;80% in 2 weeks and 2 days.</p><h2>My Updated Thesis Today</h2><p>Today <b>I see a fairly high risk of profit-taking and a further downward movement shortly.</b>This is supported by both the general market indicators and the idiosyncratic technical signs in TSLA&#39;s price action. All of this is coupled with a strong gap between the company&#39;s market capitalization and its fair value [I update my discounted cash flow, or DCF, model upward in today&#39;s article, but that does not solve the overvaluation problem]. I am Neutral on the stock again, but this time more bearish in the short term than before.</p><h2>Profit-Taking Is Around The Corner</h2><p>In recent weeks - and indeed since late December, when the market (SP500) refused to go lower after bouncing off its 200-day moving average - we have seen strong advances in sentiment. The extreme fear of mid-October 2022 has turned into extreme greed by early February 2023, and we are still in an environment of heightened greed, according toCNN&#39;s Fear &amp; Greed Index:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/420ce6e30e8d175acd52aa1614ba7a9f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"344\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>CNN Business</p><p>It may seem to you in recent days that everyone is expecting another correction from current levels -<i>but that is not the case!</i>The consensus view, if you break down the above index into its component parts, is that the market should continue to rise shortly after the upcoming publication of the February CPI figures.</p><p>The McClellan Volume Summation Index - the volume of shares on the NYSE that are rising compared to the number of shares that are going down - peaked on Feb. 2 and is still at a very high level, which means the market still has a lot more buyers than sellers.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e6d9a80d128086a1fbcd9253302b38d3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"308\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>CNN Business</p><p>The previous highs of this indicator - April 4, August 18, and December 3, 2022 - coincided with the local highs of the S&amp;P 500 Index (SPY). The 5-day average of the put/call ratio behaved inversely proportional, which now also indicates an extremely bullish view of the general market:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/119d62daa3efc23c3ce1cf80bdcfc4d5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"313\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>CNN Business</p><p>I point out these indicators in the Tesla article for two reasons.</p><p><b>First</b>, TSLA is a high-beta [2.11] stock whose 30-day rolling volatility exceeds the market by almost five times [YCharts data]. Simply put, this means that the usually positive correlation between TSLA and SPX forces the former to follow the movement of the latter at double or even triple speed. Now the correlation between Tesla stock and the broader market is broken - this goes against normality and is an anomaly that usually does not last long.</p><p><b>The second reason</b>is that the market rally we have seen recently appears to have been fueled by Tesla buyers. Just look at the volumes of the biggest 12 names:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/64359c3491b3ce1db858a6488801de55\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"441\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Bloomberg, shared by jeroen blokland [Twitter: @jsblokland]</p><p>The trading volume of Tesla has seen a drastic change in 2023 compared to 2022. In 2022, a 20-day average trading volume between 60 to 90 million shares per day was considered normal, with volumes exceeding 90 to 100 million being considered remarkable. However, in 2023, days with trading volumes below 150 million are now considered modest.</p><p>In my opinion, this is because in the last few weeks, more people wanted to buy the stock every day - the excitement was enormous when the mood of the crowd changed:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b2deed2224374a4d0aac83767ac08b1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"459\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>socialsentiment.io, author&#39;s notes</p><p>I expect massive profit-taking in TSLA stock now that we are moving from greed to fear again in the market -<b>those who came to chase the rally will most likely start closing their positions en masse, triggering an avalanche effect.</b></p><h2>Tesla&#39;s Technicals Are Bearish</h2><p>I am not a professional technician orCMT holder- just sharing my view on technical things that I find interesting for both bulls and bears.</p><p>The influx of new buyers in recent weeks has pushed the RSI indicator higher - this indicator reached the 85 mark on the 4-hour chart in late January. Since then, however, the strength gradually began to cool down, falling to 63 by February 11. Actually, everything would be fine, but during that time [2 weeks] the stock rose by almost 20%, while the RSI fell - an RSI divergence took place, continuing to this day:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a6182ea18a6a3631f1f008ebf066a291\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"511\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>TrendSpider, TSLA [4-hour], author&#39;s notes</p><p>The daily chart confirms the bearish outlook for TSLA. We see that on February 9, TSLA stock failed to break through its local resistance zone - the lows of May, June, and October of 2022 - after which the price cooled down slightly (on February 10, we saw a 5% decline). The resulting candlestick pattern is known as the &#34;Bearish abandoned baby&#34;:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e9a2254681f7ed5e22aae46a4a3af0a0\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"319\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>TrendSpider, TSLA (session), author&#39;s notes</p><p>This reversal pattern was, for example, on April 5 the beginning of a new downward trend:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0055c71df4962c92750049a5e7375223\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"315\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>TrendSpider, TSLA, author&#39;s notes</p><p>Or, for example, at the end of November 2021, when the price tried twice to overcome its local resistance but finally gave up and fell by 17% within a few days:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/826001c4e91889dad8fb32141a7f059c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"311\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>TrendSpider, TSLA, author&#39;s notes</p><p>This is just an indirect sign that Tesla has a difficult road ahead - you cannot just rely on these patterns. However, against the backdrop of the extreme greed I mentioned earlier, <b>the current technical picture is becoming way clearer in the short term</b>. Clearly bearish.</p><h2>Valuation, Again</h2><p>Let me briefly describe the conclusions I have come to in valuing Tesla last time [Jan. 10, 2023].</p><p>I took some investment banks&#39; reports and the consensus and made the DCF assumptions much more conservative - from the working capital estimates to the WACC. I also tried to use an exit multiple [EV/EBITDA] for the Enterprise Value calculation instead of Gordon&#39;s growth rate to minimize the sensitivity of the model and thus the extent to which the forecast deviates from reality. Then TSLA was valued at $98.53 per share.</p><p>As the company&#39;s subsequent Q4 2022reportshowed, the business has performed much better than I expected - so I have now decided to revise my assumptions again.</p><p>Despite falling prices and an apparent cooling of demand in China and globally, Teslabeatthe EPS consensus forecast [by 7.28%] for the 8th consecutive quarter.</p><p>On Feb. 1, 2023, Goldman Sachs&#39; U.S. Autos &amp; Industrial Tech team released a report [proprietary source] on how the automotive industry and some manufacturing companies, in particular, are doing in the U.S. market. According to GS estimates, Tesla has increased its share of the U.S. light vehicle market from 3.9% to 5% over the past year, while finished vehicle inventory in that market remains below historical levels - a clear bullish sign for TSLA investors and an excellent reason to note how the cuts in selling prices are making a positive impact on sales.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3fd96b3221aaf3e3cdf890fc23bd56ad\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"569\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Feb. 1, 2023, Goldman Sachs&#39; U.S. Autos &amp; Industrial Tech team</p><p>Tyler Durden from ZeroHedgegave interesting figuresa few days after the publication of that GS report. Based onVisual Capitalist&#39;s data, Tyler notes that Tesla is the absolute leader among its competitors in terms of net profit [and so gross profit and EBIT] per car sold.</p><p>It seems like Tesla&#39;s hard work is paying off. The company, known for having trouble keeping up with demand in the past, has seen a major decrease in its order backlog. In just a matter of months, thebacklog has gonefrom a whopping 476,000 units in July 2022 to a much smaller 74,000 units by December 2022. This decrease can be credited to Tesla&#39;s incredible production growth, which saw a 41% increase from 2021 to 2022.</p><p>I cannot update my model by just tweaking the exit multiple or the WACC part - I have to take into account the positive part of the company&#39;s resilience. I decided to stick to consensus revenue growth data; I expect the EBITDA margin to be 8.5% in FY2023 and gradually increase to 15% by E2026. According to my calculations, the EBIT margin will be affected by the upcoming slowdown in the economy, but it will then grow quite actively [1% in FY2023 -&gt; 10% in FY2026].</p><p>The ratios for working capital - including the ratio of receivables to sales, inventories to sales, and payables to sales - appear to be fairly steady and can be predicted for several years into the future without significant changes, based on the average figures. The ratio of CAPEX to sales is a crucial factor, as it greatly impacts the generation of FCF. In the past, this ratio showed a lot of variabilities, but as Tesla has grown, the ratio has steadily decreased. If there is a recession in late 2023, I anticipate that the ratio of CAPEX to sales will drop even further, possibly to as low as 7%. However, I expect it to rebound in 2024 to 8% and gradually reach 9% by E2026 as production continues to increase. Given all that, I am not making any alterations to my previous CAPEX and NWC predictions.</p><p>Just like last time, I calculate my WACC based on the CAPM model. But now my inputs shifted a little bit:</p><ul><li>beta = 2.03;</li><li>cost of debt = 8%;</li><li>tax rate = 12.99%;</li><li>risk-free rate = 3.5%;</li><li>cost of equity = 4.5%.</li></ul><p>So my WACC is only 0.3% higher than JPM&#39;s - 12.55%. In my opinion, this is a very reasonable discount rate for the risk investors take in buying Tesla shares.</p><p>However, I have decided to increase the exit EV/EBITDA multiple from 12x to 15x so that my valuation model takes into account the hopes of all investors for abnormal growth in the post-forecast period [which will start in only 4 forecast years].</p><p>Here&#39;s the output table I&#39;ve got:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/258f1e7ef0f2f41491fd1c7d42880994\" tg-width=\"503\" tg-height=\"669\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/> </p><p>As you can see, <b>my &#34;fair&#34; price target doubled from $98.53 to $196.89 per share.</b>However, the overvaluation has increased by a factor of ~2.5, as TSLA has already made strong gains in recent weeks.</p><p>It is nice to see that the results of my valuation - despite the rather simple approach of modeling - are around the 60-70% percentile, accordingto Aswath Damodaran&#39;s model. This means that I may be not very far from reality.</p><p>Also, the fact that Tesla&#39;s rally was so fast is not just my opinion. Analysts at Morgan Stanley, whose assumptions I discussed in great detail in one of my earlier Tesla articles, have noted that the recent rally severely limits the upside potential of TSLA stock in the near term [proprietary source]. The bulls will need a lot more tailwinds and positive news to keep the stock on the upswing:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d72b9d46f30b9fefc071f20f6c060a2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"552\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Morgan Stanley [02/09/2023] + author&#39;s notes</p><h2>The Verdict</h2><p>The market&#39;s feeling pretty greedy right now, according to CNN&#39;s Fear &amp; Greed Index - and it looks like Tesla buyers have been driving the recent stock rally. But when the market even hints at slowing down, these buyers are likely to bail and take their profits. The normal relationship between Tesla and the overall market has gone haywire, which probably won&#39;t stick around for long. When the bears get the chance, it looks like Tesla stock will be the first to take a nosedive. Technical signals and a huge divergence from the stock&#39;s &#34;fair value&#34; are already showing this risk.</p><p>However, I may be wrong on all points of my analysis. If, for example, the February figures CPI turn out better than expected, the markets could receive additional growth impetus - investors now have enough cash to spend. Another risk to my thesis is the subjectivity of technical analysis and valuation. Everyone reads and analyzes charts differently, and different time frames lead to different conclusions. On the monthly chart, TSLA is far from being overbought, and even more - it may seem like a great buy right now.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/badab3c2ce2e4808f5965df3e350755f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"312\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>TrendSpider, TSLA [monthly], author&#39;s notes</p><p>The Morningstar&#39;s systemdisagrees with my fair value conclusions - it thinks TSLA is ~12% undervalued even after its big rally:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3ad094da2ea771e3dabce7c88c90c2cb\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"308\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Morningstar Premium</p><p>Even though I&#39;ve doubled my price target, I still think Tesla, Inc. is more likely to see a big sell-off now compared to a few weeks ago or the last time I wrote about the company. I&#39;m keeping my Hold [Neutral] rating but can&#39;t suggest buying TSLA because of the reasons mentioned above. I believe that in 2023, investors will have even better chances to buy this stock for a lot cheaper.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha_fund","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Stock: Get Ready For A Sell-Off</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Stock: Get Ready For A Sell-Off\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-02-14 15:28 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4577781-tesla-stock-get-ready-for-a-sell-off><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryToday I see a fairly high risk of profit-taking in Tesla, Inc. stock and a further downward movement shortly.This is supported by both the general market indicators and the idiosyncratic ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4577781-tesla-stock-get-ready-for-a-sell-off\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4577781-tesla-stock-get-ready-for-a-sell-off","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1120289401","content_text":"SummaryToday I see a fairly high risk of profit-taking in Tesla, Inc. stock and a further downward movement shortly.This is supported by both the general market indicators and the idiosyncratic technical signs in Tesla's price action.The company's market cap now is much higher than its fair value, despite the doubling of my discounted cash flow analysis price output.I believe that in 2023, investors will have even better chances to buy Tesla stock for a lot cheaper.jetcityimageMy Coverage HistoryYou are now reading my 6th article onTesla, Inc.(NASDAQ:TSLA). I initiated coverage of TSLA on October 18, 2021, with a buy recommendation. At that time, the company's outlook seemed rosy and somefundamental tailwinds could support the continuation of the stock rally. Exactly 2 weeks and 3 days after that call, TSLA surged more than 46% and marked its all-time high, which was never reached again.TrendSpider, author's notesIn mid-June 2022, I proposeda pair trade idea- a long position in Tesla and a short position in Lucid Group, Inc.(LCID) for the same dollar amount. I reasoned that the most robust company would continue to outperform the fast-growing niche of the auto market. In contrast, the most overvalued company in the group would continue to experience strong multiple contraction andfall much deeper. Since then, the spread between the two stocks has been comfortable enough to make money even after factoring in the commission on the short position and the sharp drop in TSLA in December 2022:Data byYChartsOn October 21, I was Neutral, saying Tesla stock was overvalued and warning about the risks in the company's accounting - this call coincided with the start of \"the great meltdown.\"At the end of December, I caught the news that Elon Musk had stopped selling his stock and would not sell for 1-2 more years - at least that's what he announced publicly. Few people wrote about it at the time, but as it turned out later, my guess about reducing supply in the market had a positive effect on the price action.Inthe last article- \"Tesla Stock: Go Fishing Below $100\" - I wrote the following:No one knows exactly when the downward slide of Tesla stock will end. However, one thing seems clear to me -TSLA's 43% drop in just 2 last months looks like a textbook stock market overreactionagainst a backdrop of plenty of negative news and a lack of positive news for the company.[emphasis added by the author]Then I expected TSLA to fall even lower - that's when I suggested taking a position in the portfolio. I was wrong - after my call, the stock has not fallen below $116 and has gained >80% in 2 weeks and 2 days.My Updated Thesis TodayToday I see a fairly high risk of profit-taking and a further downward movement shortly.This is supported by both the general market indicators and the idiosyncratic technical signs in TSLA's price action. All of this is coupled with a strong gap between the company's market capitalization and its fair value [I update my discounted cash flow, or DCF, model upward in today's article, but that does not solve the overvaluation problem]. I am Neutral on the stock again, but this time more bearish in the short term than before.Profit-Taking Is Around The CornerIn recent weeks - and indeed since late December, when the market (SP500) refused to go lower after bouncing off its 200-day moving average - we have seen strong advances in sentiment. The extreme fear of mid-October 2022 has turned into extreme greed by early February 2023, and we are still in an environment of heightened greed, according toCNN's Fear & Greed Index:CNN BusinessIt may seem to you in recent days that everyone is expecting another correction from current levels -but that is not the case!The consensus view, if you break down the above index into its component parts, is that the market should continue to rise shortly after the upcoming publication of the February CPI figures.The McClellan Volume Summation Index - the volume of shares on the NYSE that are rising compared to the number of shares that are going down - peaked on Feb. 2 and is still at a very high level, which means the market still has a lot more buyers than sellers.CNN BusinessThe previous highs of this indicator - April 4, August 18, and December 3, 2022 - coincided with the local highs of the S&P 500 Index (SPY). The 5-day average of the put/call ratio behaved inversely proportional, which now also indicates an extremely bullish view of the general market:CNN BusinessI point out these indicators in the Tesla article for two reasons.First, TSLA is a high-beta [2.11] stock whose 30-day rolling volatility exceeds the market by almost five times [YCharts data]. Simply put, this means that the usually positive correlation between TSLA and SPX forces the former to follow the movement of the latter at double or even triple speed. Now the correlation between Tesla stock and the broader market is broken - this goes against normality and is an anomaly that usually does not last long.The second reasonis that the market rally we have seen recently appears to have been fueled by Tesla buyers. Just look at the volumes of the biggest 12 names:Bloomberg, shared by jeroen blokland [Twitter: @jsblokland]The trading volume of Tesla has seen a drastic change in 2023 compared to 2022. In 2022, a 20-day average trading volume between 60 to 90 million shares per day was considered normal, with volumes exceeding 90 to 100 million being considered remarkable. However, in 2023, days with trading volumes below 150 million are now considered modest.In my opinion, this is because in the last few weeks, more people wanted to buy the stock every day - the excitement was enormous when the mood of the crowd changed:socialsentiment.io, author's notesI expect massive profit-taking in TSLA stock now that we are moving from greed to fear again in the market -those who came to chase the rally will most likely start closing their positions en masse, triggering an avalanche effect.Tesla's Technicals Are BearishI am not a professional technician orCMT holder- just sharing my view on technical things that I find interesting for both bulls and bears.The influx of new buyers in recent weeks has pushed the RSI indicator higher - this indicator reached the 85 mark on the 4-hour chart in late January. Since then, however, the strength gradually began to cool down, falling to 63 by February 11. Actually, everything would be fine, but during that time [2 weeks] the stock rose by almost 20%, while the RSI fell - an RSI divergence took place, continuing to this day:TrendSpider, TSLA [4-hour], author's notesThe daily chart confirms the bearish outlook for TSLA. We see that on February 9, TSLA stock failed to break through its local resistance zone - the lows of May, June, and October of 2022 - after which the price cooled down slightly (on February 10, we saw a 5% decline). The resulting candlestick pattern is known as the \"Bearish abandoned baby\":TrendSpider, TSLA (session), author's notesThis reversal pattern was, for example, on April 5 the beginning of a new downward trend:TrendSpider, TSLA, author's notesOr, for example, at the end of November 2021, when the price tried twice to overcome its local resistance but finally gave up and fell by 17% within a few days:TrendSpider, TSLA, author's notesThis is just an indirect sign that Tesla has a difficult road ahead - you cannot just rely on these patterns. However, against the backdrop of the extreme greed I mentioned earlier, the current technical picture is becoming way clearer in the short term. Clearly bearish.Valuation, AgainLet me briefly describe the conclusions I have come to in valuing Tesla last time [Jan. 10, 2023].I took some investment banks' reports and the consensus and made the DCF assumptions much more conservative - from the working capital estimates to the WACC. I also tried to use an exit multiple [EV/EBITDA] for the Enterprise Value calculation instead of Gordon's growth rate to minimize the sensitivity of the model and thus the extent to which the forecast deviates from reality. Then TSLA was valued at $98.53 per share.As the company's subsequent Q4 2022reportshowed, the business has performed much better than I expected - so I have now decided to revise my assumptions again.Despite falling prices and an apparent cooling of demand in China and globally, Teslabeatthe EPS consensus forecast [by 7.28%] for the 8th consecutive quarter.On Feb. 1, 2023, Goldman Sachs' U.S. Autos & Industrial Tech team released a report [proprietary source] on how the automotive industry and some manufacturing companies, in particular, are doing in the U.S. market. According to GS estimates, Tesla has increased its share of the U.S. light vehicle market from 3.9% to 5% over the past year, while finished vehicle inventory in that market remains below historical levels - a clear bullish sign for TSLA investors and an excellent reason to note how the cuts in selling prices are making a positive impact on sales.Feb. 1, 2023, Goldman Sachs' U.S. Autos & Industrial Tech teamTyler Durden from ZeroHedgegave interesting figuresa few days after the publication of that GS report. Based onVisual Capitalist's data, Tyler notes that Tesla is the absolute leader among its competitors in terms of net profit [and so gross profit and EBIT] per car sold.It seems like Tesla's hard work is paying off. The company, known for having trouble keeping up with demand in the past, has seen a major decrease in its order backlog. In just a matter of months, thebacklog has gonefrom a whopping 476,000 units in July 2022 to a much smaller 74,000 units by December 2022. This decrease can be credited to Tesla's incredible production growth, which saw a 41% increase from 2021 to 2022.I cannot update my model by just tweaking the exit multiple or the WACC part - I have to take into account the positive part of the company's resilience. I decided to stick to consensus revenue growth data; I expect the EBITDA margin to be 8.5% in FY2023 and gradually increase to 15% by E2026. According to my calculations, the EBIT margin will be affected by the upcoming slowdown in the economy, but it will then grow quite actively [1% in FY2023 -> 10% in FY2026].The ratios for working capital - including the ratio of receivables to sales, inventories to sales, and payables to sales - appear to be fairly steady and can be predicted for several years into the future without significant changes, based on the average figures. The ratio of CAPEX to sales is a crucial factor, as it greatly impacts the generation of FCF. In the past, this ratio showed a lot of variabilities, but as Tesla has grown, the ratio has steadily decreased. If there is a recession in late 2023, I anticipate that the ratio of CAPEX to sales will drop even further, possibly to as low as 7%. However, I expect it to rebound in 2024 to 8% and gradually reach 9% by E2026 as production continues to increase. Given all that, I am not making any alterations to my previous CAPEX and NWC predictions.Just like last time, I calculate my WACC based on the CAPM model. But now my inputs shifted a little bit:beta = 2.03;cost of debt = 8%;tax rate = 12.99%;risk-free rate = 3.5%;cost of equity = 4.5%.So my WACC is only 0.3% higher than JPM's - 12.55%. In my opinion, this is a very reasonable discount rate for the risk investors take in buying Tesla shares.However, I have decided to increase the exit EV/EBITDA multiple from 12x to 15x so that my valuation model takes into account the hopes of all investors for abnormal growth in the post-forecast period [which will start in only 4 forecast years].Here's the output table I've got: As you can see, my \"fair\" price target doubled from $98.53 to $196.89 per share.However, the overvaluation has increased by a factor of ~2.5, as TSLA has already made strong gains in recent weeks.It is nice to see that the results of my valuation - despite the rather simple approach of modeling - are around the 60-70% percentile, accordingto Aswath Damodaran's model. This means that I may be not very far from reality.Also, the fact that Tesla's rally was so fast is not just my opinion. Analysts at Morgan Stanley, whose assumptions I discussed in great detail in one of my earlier Tesla articles, have noted that the recent rally severely limits the upside potential of TSLA stock in the near term [proprietary source]. The bulls will need a lot more tailwinds and positive news to keep the stock on the upswing:Morgan Stanley [02/09/2023] + author's notesThe VerdictThe market's feeling pretty greedy right now, according to CNN's Fear & Greed Index - and it looks like Tesla buyers have been driving the recent stock rally. But when the market even hints at slowing down, these buyers are likely to bail and take their profits. The normal relationship between Tesla and the overall market has gone haywire, which probably won't stick around for long. When the bears get the chance, it looks like Tesla stock will be the first to take a nosedive. Technical signals and a huge divergence from the stock's \"fair value\" are already showing this risk.However, I may be wrong on all points of my analysis. If, for example, the February figures CPI turn out better than expected, the markets could receive additional growth impetus - investors now have enough cash to spend. Another risk to my thesis is the subjectivity of technical analysis and valuation. Everyone reads and analyzes charts differently, and different time frames lead to different conclusions. On the monthly chart, TSLA is far from being overbought, and even more - it may seem like a great buy right now.TrendSpider, TSLA [monthly], author's notesThe Morningstar's systemdisagrees with my fair value conclusions - it thinks TSLA is ~12% undervalued even after its big rally:Morningstar PremiumEven though I've doubled my price target, I still think Tesla, Inc. is more likely to see a big sell-off now compared to a few weeks ago or the last time I wrote about the company. I'm keeping my Hold [Neutral] rating but can't suggest buying TSLA because of the reasons mentioned above. I believe that in 2023, investors will have even better chances to buy this stock for a lot cheaper.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":293,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4105705644484190","authorId":"4105705644484190","name":"Meeshell","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"4105705644484190","authorIdStr":"4105705644484190"},"content":"Welcome back to darkness","text":"Welcome back to darkness","html":"Welcome back to darkness"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":255545126162624,"gmtCreate":1703402451761,"gmtModify":1703505267781,"author":{"id":"4094588272208160","authorId":"4094588272208160","name":"钱神","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4094588272208160","authorIdStr":"4094588272208160"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GOOGL\">$Alphabet(GOOGL)$&nbsp;</a>🤩","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GOOGL\">$Alphabet(GOOGL)$&nbsp;</a>🤩","text":"$Alphabet(GOOGL)$ 🤩","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6595a49f902d3b858e2bc1947ae0d27c","width":"927","height":"1599"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":12,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":3,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/255545126162624","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":497,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9952230596,"gmtCreate":1674728658415,"gmtModify":1676538955701,"author":{"id":"4094588272208160","authorId":"4094588272208160","name":"钱神","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4094588272208160","authorIdStr":"4094588272208160"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"sweechai butterflies","listText":"sweechai butterflies","text":"sweechai butterflies","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9952230596","repostId":"9952646322","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9952646322,"gmtCreate":1674707517367,"gmtModify":1676538954372,"author":{"id":"3527667575564749","authorId":"3527667575564749","name":"Tom_Brady","avatar":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/b95551980766456e2ff4fbc6ca94e456","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667575564749","authorIdStr":"3527667575564749"},"themes":[],"title":"🚗Tesla reports record revenue⬆️ and beats on earnings📈","htmlText":"Tesla reported&nbsp;fourth- quarter&nbsp;earnings after the bell, beating on both earnings and revenue. Shares were ticking higher after hours.Here&nbsp;are&nbsp;the&nbsp;resultsIn the fourth quarter, the operating income was US $24.318 billion, up 37% year-on-year, refreshing the quarterly revenue set in the first quarter for the second consecutive quarter, Bloomberg's consensus expectation of $24.18 billion;The adjusted net profit in the fourth quarter was US $4.106 billion, setting a new high of US $3.318 billion in the first quarter, up 43% year-on-year, Bloomberg's consensus expectation of $3.98 billion;In the fourth quarter, the adjusted earnings per share (EPS) under non-GAAP was US $1.19, up 40% year-on-year. Bloomberg's consensus expectation of $1.12;In the fourth quarter, the ove","listText":"Tesla reported&nbsp;fourth- quarter&nbsp;earnings after the bell, beating on both earnings and revenue. Shares were ticking higher after hours.Here&nbsp;are&nbsp;the&nbsp;resultsIn the fourth quarter, the operating income was US $24.318 billion, up 37% year-on-year, refreshing the quarterly revenue set in the first quarter for the second consecutive quarter, Bloomberg's consensus expectation of $24.18 billion;The adjusted net profit in the fourth quarter was US $4.106 billion, setting a new high of US $3.318 billion in the first quarter, up 43% year-on-year, Bloomberg's consensus expectation of $3.98 billion;In the fourth quarter, the adjusted earnings per share (EPS) under non-GAAP was US $1.19, up 40% year-on-year. Bloomberg's consensus expectation of $1.12;In the fourth quarter, the ove","text":"Tesla reported fourth- quarter earnings after the bell, beating on both earnings and revenue. Shares were ticking higher after hours.Here are the resultsIn the fourth quarter, the operating income was US $24.318 billion, up 37% year-on-year, refreshing the quarterly revenue set in the first quarter for the second consecutive quarter, Bloomberg's consensus expectation of $24.18 billion;The adjusted net profit in the fourth quarter was US $4.106 billion, setting a new high of US $3.318 billion in the first quarter, up 43% year-on-year, Bloomberg's consensus expectation of $3.98 billion;In the fourth quarter, the adjusted earnings per share (EPS) under non-GAAP was US $1.19, up 40% year-on-year. Bloomberg's consensus expectation of $1.12;In the fourth quarter, the ove","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/8b290d85f48c6a69efba1ae4de4bf2fe","width":"-1","height":"-1"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a4b499ddded77cdd5a57a57bbed228fa","width":"-1","height":"-1"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3c9482f62a39713dc606c14fb8a19b46","width":"-1","height":"-1"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9952646322","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":10,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":211,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9022570640,"gmtCreate":1653558936580,"gmtModify":1676535303705,"author":{"id":"4094588272208160","authorId":"4094588272208160","name":"钱神","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4094588272208160","authorIdStr":"4094588272208160"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/JLB.SI\">$GRAND VENTURE TECHNOLOGY LTD(JLB.SI)$</a>Hold?","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/JLB.SI\">$GRAND VENTURE TECHNOLOGY LTD(JLB.SI)$</a>Hold?","text":"$GRAND VENTURE TECHNOLOGY LTD(JLB.SI)$Hold?","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/87ba06e5037dee2c946dce45b63fd160","width":"1125","height":"2436"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9022570640","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":698,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3568029600236413","authorId":"3568029600236413","name":"ngmkc","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/37523a6f6d08a24a84efcadaf9ab3655","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3568029600236413","authorIdStr":"3568029600236413"},"content":"i'm still holding","text":"i'm still holding","html":"i'm still holding"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9096719658,"gmtCreate":1644459125091,"gmtModify":1676533929541,"author":{"id":"4094588272208160","authorId":"4094588272208160","name":"钱神","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4094588272208160","authorIdStr":"4094588272208160"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/M44U.SI\">$MAPLETREE LOGISTICS TRUST(M44U.SI)$</a>1.76 good price to buy in?","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/M44U.SI\">$MAPLETREE LOGISTICS TRUST(M44U.SI)$</a>1.76 good price to buy in?","text":"$MAPLETREE LOGISTICS TRUST(M44U.SI)$1.76 good price to buy in?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9096719658","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":475,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":189536536985744,"gmtCreate":1687299091996,"gmtModify":1687299098033,"author":{"id":"4094588272208160","authorId":"4094588272208160","name":"钱神","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4094588272208160","authorIdStr":"4094588272208160"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a>🤮🤮🤮🤮","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a>🤮🤮🤮🤮","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ 🤮🤮🤮🤮","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4eca18957744b1ca905d92de8216bb90","width":"927","height":"1539"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/189536536985744","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":545,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9955884655,"gmtCreate":1675337468778,"gmtModify":1676538994245,"author":{"id":"4094588272208160","authorId":"4094588272208160","name":"钱神","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4094588272208160","authorIdStr":"4094588272208160"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9955884655","repostId":"2308403758","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2308403758","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1675337124,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2308403758?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-02-02 19:25","market":"us","language":"en","title":"1 Thing Tesla Bulls Get Wrong, and Why It Might Tank the Stock","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2308403758","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"A focus on production growth misses the big picture.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Electric vehicle (EV) pioneer <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a> had a rough 2022. After it grew into one of the world&#39;s largest companies in 2021 with a market cap of over $1 trillion, its value fell by more than 50% last year. But the downtrend in the stock has started to reverse rapidly in the first month of 2023. After Tesla reported solid fourth-quarter earnings on Jan. 25 and offered an optimistic outlook, its stock popped more than 20% over the next two trading days.</p><p>Shares are now up by about 40% year to date, and the automaker is back to a market cap of more than $500 billion.</p><p>Tesla is projecting its EV production will grow yet again in 2023. But that doesn&#39;t mean the stock is a buy. Here&#39;s what Tesla bulls are missing that could tank the stock in 2023.</p><h2>Q4: No big surprises</h2><p>Tesla reported solid if unsurprising Q4 results. Revenue came in at $24.3 billion, up 37% year over year. Net income grew at an even larger 59% to $3.7 billion. The company has rapidly scaled its manufacturing over the past few years and started putting up impressive profit margins for an automaker.</p><p>For all of 2022, Tesla&#39;s net income was $12.6 billion on $81.5 billion in revenue, giving it a net income margin of 15.4%. This is much higher than its automotive peers, a key reason why investors have bid up the stock. Tesla has achieved these strong margins by spending less on research and development than its competitors do, and by charging premium prices for most of its vehicles.</p><p>Tesla is forecasting that it will manufacture 1.8 million vehicles in 2023, up from 1.37 million in 2022, but CEO Elon Musk said on the Q4 conference call with analysts that production could reach 2 million if there aren&#39;t any major hiccups. Many investors cheered this news. But this doesn&#39;t solve Tesla&#39;s major issue at the moment: maintaining demand for its vehicles while pricing them profitably.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ca407cedfe5c9a8b0642650f463e17a\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"449\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>TSLA Net Income (TTM) data by YCharts.</p><h2>All signs point to margin compression</h2><p>Restricted supply across the automotive market in 2021 and early 2022 enabled Tesla to raise its prices significantly, which led to margin expansion. The company also benefited from older contracts on commodity inputs like lithium, nickel, and cobalt, which allowed it to buy them at lower prices.</p><p>Now, all these factors that powered rapid margin expansion are starting to unravel. Since the August peak, the price of a used Tesla has started to plummet and currently sits at around $51,000. This, in turn, has hurt demand for new Tesla vehicles at higher prices, and the company lowered the cost of cars across its fleet by 5% to 20% in early January to spur demand. The company is also dealing with soaring input prices, with commodities like lithium up significantly in the last few years. Tesla just signed a new lithium contract, which includes market-based pricing, that should start showing up on its income statement within the next few quarters, and not in a good way.</p><p>On top of decreasing selling prices and rising commodity costs, Tesla is likely getting squeezed by growth in average hourly wages across the U.S. Add up all these factors and Tesla&#39;s profit margins are likely headed much lower. You can already see it in the company&#39;s gross margin, which fell to 25.9% in Q4 compared to its peak of 32.9% in Q1 2022. This will only continue after its latest price cuts. If gross margins decline closer to 20%, it will be almost impossible for the company to maintain a 15% net income margin.</p><p>Profit margins are much more important than production growth. If Tesla continues on this margin compression path, its earnings will be much lower in 2023 than they were in 2022.</p><h2>The stock is wildly overvalued</h2><p>Tesla is guiding for production of 1.8 million vehicles in 2023, up about 30% from 2022. It is unlikely that the company will be able to raise prices on new vehicles because of declining used car prices -- lower used car prices almost always force a manufacturer to lower new car prices -- and new price cuts from competitors. With selling prices 10% to 20% lower, this production growth could still lead to Tesla&#39;s revenue going from $80 billion last year to $100 billion this year. Good news, right? Well, not exactly.</p><p>If Tesla&#39;s net margin declines to around 10% in 2023 -- and all signs point to that being likely, given lower car prices and higher input costs -- that would give it $10 billion in earnings on $100 billion in annual revenue, which would be lower than the $12.6 billion in earnings it generated in 2022.</p><p>At a market cap of $550 billion (roughly where the stock is now), $10 billion in net income would give Tesla&#39;s stock a price-to-earnings ratio of 55 -- almost triple the current market average. Declining earnings and a price-to-earnings ratio of 55 look like a recipe for disastrous stock returns, especially for more mature businesses like Tesla. The average automotive company trades at a P/E ratio below 10. If Tesla fails to grow its earnings at a high rate as it has in the past, there is major downside for shareholders as the stock will likely start trading in line with competitors.</p><p>Unless Musk can pull another rabbit out of his hat, Tesla&#39;s stock looks to be in a precarious spot right now, regardless of how fast its production grows in 2023.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>1 Thing Tesla Bulls Get Wrong, and Why It Might Tank the Stock</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n1 Thing Tesla Bulls Get Wrong, and Why It Might Tank the Stock\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-02-02 19:25 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2023/02/01/1-thing-tesla-bulls-get-wrong-and-why-it-might-tan/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Electric vehicle (EV) pioneer Tesla had a rough 2022. After it grew into one of the world's largest companies in 2021 with a market cap of over $1 trillion, its value fell by more than 50% last year. ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2023/02/01/1-thing-tesla-bulls-get-wrong-and-why-it-might-tan/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2023/02/01/1-thing-tesla-bulls-get-wrong-and-why-it-might-tan/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2308403758","content_text":"Electric vehicle (EV) pioneer Tesla had a rough 2022. After it grew into one of the world's largest companies in 2021 with a market cap of over $1 trillion, its value fell by more than 50% last year. But the downtrend in the stock has started to reverse rapidly in the first month of 2023. After Tesla reported solid fourth-quarter earnings on Jan. 25 and offered an optimistic outlook, its stock popped more than 20% over the next two trading days.Shares are now up by about 40% year to date, and the automaker is back to a market cap of more than $500 billion.Tesla is projecting its EV production will grow yet again in 2023. But that doesn't mean the stock is a buy. Here's what Tesla bulls are missing that could tank the stock in 2023.Q4: No big surprisesTesla reported solid if unsurprising Q4 results. Revenue came in at $24.3 billion, up 37% year over year. Net income grew at an even larger 59% to $3.7 billion. The company has rapidly scaled its manufacturing over the past few years and started putting up impressive profit margins for an automaker.For all of 2022, Tesla's net income was $12.6 billion on $81.5 billion in revenue, giving it a net income margin of 15.4%. This is much higher than its automotive peers, a key reason why investors have bid up the stock. Tesla has achieved these strong margins by spending less on research and development than its competitors do, and by charging premium prices for most of its vehicles.Tesla is forecasting that it will manufacture 1.8 million vehicles in 2023, up from 1.37 million in 2022, but CEO Elon Musk said on the Q4 conference call with analysts that production could reach 2 million if there aren't any major hiccups. Many investors cheered this news. But this doesn't solve Tesla's major issue at the moment: maintaining demand for its vehicles while pricing them profitably.TSLA Net Income (TTM) data by YCharts.All signs point to margin compressionRestricted supply across the automotive market in 2021 and early 2022 enabled Tesla to raise its prices significantly, which led to margin expansion. The company also benefited from older contracts on commodity inputs like lithium, nickel, and cobalt, which allowed it to buy them at lower prices.Now, all these factors that powered rapid margin expansion are starting to unravel. Since the August peak, the price of a used Tesla has started to plummet and currently sits at around $51,000. This, in turn, has hurt demand for new Tesla vehicles at higher prices, and the company lowered the cost of cars across its fleet by 5% to 20% in early January to spur demand. The company is also dealing with soaring input prices, with commodities like lithium up significantly in the last few years. Tesla just signed a new lithium contract, which includes market-based pricing, that should start showing up on its income statement within the next few quarters, and not in a good way.On top of decreasing selling prices and rising commodity costs, Tesla is likely getting squeezed by growth in average hourly wages across the U.S. Add up all these factors and Tesla's profit margins are likely headed much lower. You can already see it in the company's gross margin, which fell to 25.9% in Q4 compared to its peak of 32.9% in Q1 2022. This will only continue after its latest price cuts. If gross margins decline closer to 20%, it will be almost impossible for the company to maintain a 15% net income margin.Profit margins are much more important than production growth. If Tesla continues on this margin compression path, its earnings will be much lower in 2023 than they were in 2022.The stock is wildly overvaluedTesla is guiding for production of 1.8 million vehicles in 2023, up about 30% from 2022. It is unlikely that the company will be able to raise prices on new vehicles because of declining used car prices -- lower used car prices almost always force a manufacturer to lower new car prices -- and new price cuts from competitors. With selling prices 10% to 20% lower, this production growth could still lead to Tesla's revenue going from $80 billion last year to $100 billion this year. Good news, right? Well, not exactly.If Tesla's net margin declines to around 10% in 2023 -- and all signs point to that being likely, given lower car prices and higher input costs -- that would give it $10 billion in earnings on $100 billion in annual revenue, which would be lower than the $12.6 billion in earnings it generated in 2022.At a market cap of $550 billion (roughly where the stock is now), $10 billion in net income would give Tesla's stock a price-to-earnings ratio of 55 -- almost triple the current market average. Declining earnings and a price-to-earnings ratio of 55 look like a recipe for disastrous stock returns, especially for more mature businesses like Tesla. The average automotive company trades at a P/E ratio below 10. If Tesla fails to grow its earnings at a high rate as it has in the past, there is major downside for shareholders as the stock will likely start trading in line with competitors.Unless Musk can pull another rabbit out of his hat, Tesla's stock looks to be in a precarious spot right now, regardless of how fast its production grows in 2023.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":33,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9927004546,"gmtCreate":1672345641285,"gmtModify":1676538675927,"author":{"id":"4094588272208160","authorId":"4094588272208160","name":"钱神","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4094588272208160","authorIdStr":"4094588272208160"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9927004546","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":74,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9941824773,"gmtCreate":1680145515693,"gmtModify":1680145519500,"author":{"id":"4094588272208160","authorId":"4094588272208160","name":"钱神","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4094588272208160","authorIdStr":"4094588272208160"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9941824773","repostId":"9954715636","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9954715636,"gmtCreate":1676629091225,"gmtModify":1676629157134,"author":{"id":"3527667618000160","authorId":"3527667618000160","name":"CaptainTiger","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d0e54b757b231beb8b11fd49de85317","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667618000160","authorIdStr":"3527667618000160"},"themes":[],"title":"WHAT ARE SOME COMMON INVESTMENT SCAMS?","htmlText":"Affinity Fraud: Scammers try to trick members of a group that has formed based on a common characteristic such as age, ethnicity, or religion. Scammers act like they are part of the group to win the trust of the group leader and its members. The scammers hope that if the group leader invests, others will invest too.High Yield Investment Programs: Scammers claim you’ll make high returns on your money if you invest with them. They say you’re guaranteed to make money off the investment. Often these investments aren’t real, or they’re really selling stocks that have almost no value.Pyramid Schemes: Scammers will tell you that a small investment can earn a large pay out—or profit. But you have to find others to invest too. The “profit” that you get is really just money paid by other investors.","listText":"Affinity Fraud: Scammers try to trick members of a group that has formed based on a common characteristic such as age, ethnicity, or religion. Scammers act like they are part of the group to win the trust of the group leader and its members. The scammers hope that if the group leader invests, others will invest too.High Yield Investment Programs: Scammers claim you’ll make high returns on your money if you invest with them. They say you’re guaranteed to make money off the investment. Often these investments aren’t real, or they’re really selling stocks that have almost no value.Pyramid Schemes: Scammers will tell you that a small investment can earn a large pay out—or profit. But you have to find others to invest too. The “profit” that you get is really just money paid by other investors.","text":"Affinity Fraud: Scammers try to trick members of a group that has formed based on a common characteristic such as age, ethnicity, or religion. Scammers act like they are part of the group to win the trust of the group leader and its members. The scammers hope that if the group leader invests, others will invest too.High Yield Investment Programs: Scammers claim you’ll make high returns on your money if you invest with them. They say you’re guaranteed to make money off the investment. Often these investments aren’t real, or they’re really selling stocks that have almost no value.Pyramid Schemes: Scammers will tell you that a small investment can earn a large pay out—or profit. But you have to find others to invest too. The “profit” that you get is really just money paid by other investors.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9954715636","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":109,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9954437462,"gmtCreate":1676537132656,"gmtModify":1676537136451,"author":{"id":"4094588272208160","authorId":"4094588272208160","name":"钱神","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4094588272208160","authorIdStr":"4094588272208160"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9954437462","repostId":"2311103543","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2311103543","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1676528639,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2311103543?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-02-16 14:23","market":"us","language":"en","title":"These 2 FAANG Stocks Are Once-in-a-Decade Buys Right Now","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2311103543","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"These FAANG stocks could soar when economic conditions improve and consumer spending rebounds.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>All five FAANG stocks have fallen sharply in response to recession fears, but two stand out from the pack. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">Netflix</a> saw their share prices tumble 47% and 48%, respectively, from all-time highs. Neither stock has fallen more sharply at any point in last 10 years (aside from the current bear market), but the future still looks promising for both businesses. That means investors have a once-in-a-decade buying opportunity.</p><p>Here&#39;s why shares of Amazon and Netflix are worth owning.</p><h2>1. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon</a></h2><p>Amazon got rocked by high inflation last year. Revenue growth slowed as business and consumer spending softened, and operating expenses soared as the rising cost of fuel and electricity put pressure on its logistics network and data center footprint. Those headwinds led to an underwhelming financial performance. Full-year revenue increased 9% to $514 billion and cash from operating activities rose just 1% to $46.8 billion.</p><p>However, investors need to ignore the temporary economic headwinds and focus on the big picture. The investment thesis remains rock solid. First, Amazon operates the most popular online marketplace in the world as measured by monthly visitors, and its brand is synonymous with e-commerce. Second, Amazon Web Services is the innovation leader in cloud computing, and it holds more market share than <b>Microsoft </b>Azure and <b>Alphabet</b>&#39;s Google Cloud combined. Third, Amazon is the fourth-largest digital advertiser in the world, and the company is taking market share from the leaders, Alphabet and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/META\">Meta Platforms</a>.</p><p>In a nutshell, Amazon is a major player in the three large and growing markets. In fact, according to forecasts from industry analysts, retail e-commerce sales will increase by 13% annually through 2030, cloud computing spend will increase by 16% annually through 2030, and digital advertising spend will increase by 9% annually through 2030.</p><p>Shareholders have good reason to believe Amazon can grow revenue at a double-digit pace (perhaps as high as 15%) through the end of the decade. That makes its current valuation of 2 times sales look relatively inexpensive, and it&#39;s certainly a bargain compared to the five-year average of 3.7 times sales. That&#39;s why this FAANG stock is a buy.</p><h2>2. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">Netflix</a></h2><p>Netflix got off to a bad start last year. In the first quarter, the streaming giant reported its first subscriber loss in more than a decade, as high inflation and password sharing created disincentives for would-be members. Netflix also struggled with unfavorable foreign exchange rates as the U.S. dollar strengthened throughout the year. Taken together, those headwinds led to underwhelming financial results. Revenue increased just 6% to $31.6 billion in 2022, and earnings fell 11% to $9.95 per diluted share.</p><p>On the bright side, Netflix generated positive free cash flow (FCF) of $1.6 billion, and management expects FCF to reach $3 billion in 2023. The company also gave investors two more reasons to be optimistic. First, its ad-supported streaming service that launched in November is already reenergizing subscriber growth. Paid memberships increased by 4% to 230.7 million in the fourth quarter. Second, Netflix has a plan to crack down on password sharing, a problem that currently allows an estimated 100 million households to access content without paying. The company is mid-launch on a paid sharing product to help monetize those viewers.</p><p>More broadly, Netflix is the gold standard in streaming entertainment. It leads the industry in engagement, revenue, and profits, and its ability to churn out viral content far surpasses most of its peers. According to Parrot Analytics, Netflix accounted for 41.5% of original content demand in 2022, more than the next five rivals combined. The company also produced 13 of the top 15 original streaming series last year.</p><p>Here&#39;s the upshot: Netflix benefits from a virtually unassailable moat. Its brand is synonymous with streaming, and the company is engaging viewers more effectively than its peers. That should draw more subscribers to Netflix in the coming years, but it also positions the company as a valuable advertising partner for brands.</p><p>On that note, Netflix has plenty of room to grow its business. Consumers spend about $300 billion on pay TV and streaming content each year, while brands spend $180 billion on TV advertising. That puts Netflix in front of a $480 billion addressable market. With that in mind, shares currently trade at 5.1 times sales, a discount to the five-year average of 8.4 times sales and a reasonable price to pay given the potential upside. Now is a good time for investors to buy a small position in this growth stock.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>These 2 FAANG Stocks Are Once-in-a-Decade Buys Right Now</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThese 2 FAANG Stocks Are Once-in-a-Decade Buys Right Now\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-02-16 14:23 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2023/02/15/2-faang-stocks-are-once-in-a-decade-buys/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>All five FAANG stocks have fallen sharply in response to recession fears, but two stand out from the pack. Amazon and Netflix saw their share prices tumble 47% and 48%, respectively, from all-time ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2023/02/15/2-faang-stocks-are-once-in-a-decade-buys/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊","NFLX":"奈飞"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2023/02/15/2-faang-stocks-are-once-in-a-decade-buys/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2311103543","content_text":"All five FAANG stocks have fallen sharply in response to recession fears, but two stand out from the pack. Amazon and Netflix saw their share prices tumble 47% and 48%, respectively, from all-time highs. Neither stock has fallen more sharply at any point in last 10 years (aside from the current bear market), but the future still looks promising for both businesses. That means investors have a once-in-a-decade buying opportunity.Here's why shares of Amazon and Netflix are worth owning.1. AmazonAmazon got rocked by high inflation last year. Revenue growth slowed as business and consumer spending softened, and operating expenses soared as the rising cost of fuel and electricity put pressure on its logistics network and data center footprint. Those headwinds led to an underwhelming financial performance. Full-year revenue increased 9% to $514 billion and cash from operating activities rose just 1% to $46.8 billion.However, investors need to ignore the temporary economic headwinds and focus on the big picture. The investment thesis remains rock solid. First, Amazon operates the most popular online marketplace in the world as measured by monthly visitors, and its brand is synonymous with e-commerce. Second, Amazon Web Services is the innovation leader in cloud computing, and it holds more market share than Microsoft Azure and Alphabet's Google Cloud combined. Third, Amazon is the fourth-largest digital advertiser in the world, and the company is taking market share from the leaders, Alphabet and Meta Platforms.In a nutshell, Amazon is a major player in the three large and growing markets. In fact, according to forecasts from industry analysts, retail e-commerce sales will increase by 13% annually through 2030, cloud computing spend will increase by 16% annually through 2030, and digital advertising spend will increase by 9% annually through 2030.Shareholders have good reason to believe Amazon can grow revenue at a double-digit pace (perhaps as high as 15%) through the end of the decade. That makes its current valuation of 2 times sales look relatively inexpensive, and it's certainly a bargain compared to the five-year average of 3.7 times sales. That's why this FAANG stock is a buy.2. NetflixNetflix got off to a bad start last year. In the first quarter, the streaming giant reported its first subscriber loss in more than a decade, as high inflation and password sharing created disincentives for would-be members. Netflix also struggled with unfavorable foreign exchange rates as the U.S. dollar strengthened throughout the year. Taken together, those headwinds led to underwhelming financial results. Revenue increased just 6% to $31.6 billion in 2022, and earnings fell 11% to $9.95 per diluted share.On the bright side, Netflix generated positive free cash flow (FCF) of $1.6 billion, and management expects FCF to reach $3 billion in 2023. The company also gave investors two more reasons to be optimistic. First, its ad-supported streaming service that launched in November is already reenergizing subscriber growth. Paid memberships increased by 4% to 230.7 million in the fourth quarter. Second, Netflix has a plan to crack down on password sharing, a problem that currently allows an estimated 100 million households to access content without paying. The company is mid-launch on a paid sharing product to help monetize those viewers.More broadly, Netflix is the gold standard in streaming entertainment. It leads the industry in engagement, revenue, and profits, and its ability to churn out viral content far surpasses most of its peers. According to Parrot Analytics, Netflix accounted for 41.5% of original content demand in 2022, more than the next five rivals combined. The company also produced 13 of the top 15 original streaming series last year.Here's the upshot: Netflix benefits from a virtually unassailable moat. Its brand is synonymous with streaming, and the company is engaging viewers more effectively than its peers. That should draw more subscribers to Netflix in the coming years, but it also positions the company as a valuable advertising partner for brands.On that note, Netflix has plenty of room to grow its business. Consumers spend about $300 billion on pay TV and streaming content each year, while brands spend $180 billion on TV advertising. That puts Netflix in front of a $480 billion addressable market. With that in mind, shares currently trade at 5.1 times sales, a discount to the five-year average of 8.4 times sales and a reasonable price to pay given the potential upside. Now is a good time for investors to buy a small position in this growth stock.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":142,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9955604092,"gmtCreate":1675379454316,"gmtModify":1676538997342,"author":{"id":"4094588272208160","authorId":"4094588272208160","name":"钱神","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4094588272208160","authorIdStr":"4094588272208160"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"haissssssss","listText":"haissssssss","text":"haissssssss","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9955604092","repostId":"2308005696","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2308005696","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1675384334,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2308005696?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-02-03 08:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Earnings Fall Short on Underwhelming Sales of iPhones and Macs","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2308005696","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Apple Inc.'s business came under pressure in the holiday quarter, as the company posted a 5% decline","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Apple Inc.&#39;s business came under pressure in the holiday quarter, as the company posted a 5% decline in revenue amid underwhelming sales of iPhones, Macs and wearables.</p><p>Apple&#39;s iPhone revenue fell to $65.8 billion in the fiscal first quarter from $71.6 billion a year before, whereas analysts tracked by FactSet were looking for $67.8 billion. The performance comes after Apple warned in November that its iPhone 14 Pro and Pro Max shipments would be impacted by pandemic-fueled production constraints at a major Foxconn  facility in China.</p><p>After reporting a quarterly revenue record for Macs in the September quarter, Apple fell way short of those heights in the December quarter with its Thursday afternoon report, and the company missed expectations by a wide margin. Mac sales declined to $7.7 billion from $10.9 billion a year earlier, while analysts had been looking for $9.4 billion.</p><p>Those big misses helped drive total revenue lower on the year and fueled a miss on the top line, despite a sizable beat in the iPad category a year prior, while the FactSet consensus was for $121.4 billion.</p><p>Dating back to its report for the December 2017 quarter, Apple has only missed revenue expectations twice, according to FactSet, including one time when the company issued a formal warning ahead of its official results.</p><p>Apple shares <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$(AAPL)$</a> were down 3.28% in after-hours trading Thursday.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/63f0bf8a6fbfa96c247b6ef132a4e8a3\" tg-width=\"830\" tg-height=\"864\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Apple&#39;s profits fell as well in the latest period, as the company generated net income of $30.0 billion, or $1.88 a share, compared with $34.6 billion, or $2.10 a share, a year earlier. Analysts were modeling $1.94 in earnings per share.</p><p>Within its iPad segment, Apple showed sharp growth. Revenue increased to $9.4 billion from $7.3 billion a year earlier. The FactSet consensus was for $7.8 billion.</p><p>Revenue for wearables, home and accessories came in at $13.5 billion, down from $14.7 billion a year before and far below the $15.3 billion that analysts were modeling. Services revenue rose to $20.8 billion from $19.5 billion and beat the FactSet consensus, which was for $20.4 billion.</p><p>The results were consistent with the &#34;cautious&#34; expectations that Wells Fargo analyst Aaron Rakers had ahead of the report, he wrote in a note to clients.</p><p>One focus on the earnings call later Thursday will be how Apple is managing expenses in a tougher economic climate. While Chief Executive Tim Cook said in November that Apple was being &#34;very deliberate&#34; with its hiring, other big technology companies, including Amazon.com Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$(AMZN)$</a> and Alphabet Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOGL\">$(GOOGL)$</a>(GOOGL), have since moved to lay off workers.</p><p>Investors will also want to know how consumer spending is holding up in a weaker economic climate, and whether Apple executives expect to be able to make up for iPhone sales lost during the period when the company was seeing supply constraints.</p><p>Wall Street will &#34;have to wait for the guide here, but the question will be &#39;how much of the revenue miss was driven by production issues in China and how does that ramp up into the March [quarter] and beyond?&#39;&#34; Evercore ISI analyst Amit Daryanani wrote in a note.</p><p>Apple didn&#39;t provide a forecast in its statement, as has been the case throughout the pandemic. The company typically provides some sort of future commentary on its earnings call, though it hasn&#39;t been offering traditional guidance since the pandemic began.</p><p>Shares of Apple have fallen 14.2% over the past 12 months, though they&#39;re up 16.1% to start 2023. The Dow Jones Industrial Average  is off 4.4% over a 12-month span but ahead 2.7% so far this year.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Earnings Fall Short on Underwhelming Sales of iPhones and Macs</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Earnings Fall Short on Underwhelming Sales of iPhones and Macs\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2023-02-03 08:32</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Apple Inc.&#39;s business came under pressure in the holiday quarter, as the company posted a 5% decline in revenue amid underwhelming sales of iPhones, Macs and wearables.</p><p>Apple&#39;s iPhone revenue fell to $65.8 billion in the fiscal first quarter from $71.6 billion a year before, whereas analysts tracked by FactSet were looking for $67.8 billion. The performance comes after Apple warned in November that its iPhone 14 Pro and Pro Max shipments would be impacted by pandemic-fueled production constraints at a major Foxconn  facility in China.</p><p>After reporting a quarterly revenue record for Macs in the September quarter, Apple fell way short of those heights in the December quarter with its Thursday afternoon report, and the company missed expectations by a wide margin. Mac sales declined to $7.7 billion from $10.9 billion a year earlier, while analysts had been looking for $9.4 billion.</p><p>Those big misses helped drive total revenue lower on the year and fueled a miss on the top line, despite a sizable beat in the iPad category a year prior, while the FactSet consensus was for $121.4 billion.</p><p>Dating back to its report for the December 2017 quarter, Apple has only missed revenue expectations twice, according to FactSet, including one time when the company issued a formal warning ahead of its official results.</p><p>Apple shares <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$(AAPL)$</a> were down 3.28% in after-hours trading Thursday.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/63f0bf8a6fbfa96c247b6ef132a4e8a3\" tg-width=\"830\" tg-height=\"864\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Apple&#39;s profits fell as well in the latest period, as the company generated net income of $30.0 billion, or $1.88 a share, compared with $34.6 billion, or $2.10 a share, a year earlier. Analysts were modeling $1.94 in earnings per share.</p><p>Within its iPad segment, Apple showed sharp growth. Revenue increased to $9.4 billion from $7.3 billion a year earlier. The FactSet consensus was for $7.8 billion.</p><p>Revenue for wearables, home and accessories came in at $13.5 billion, down from $14.7 billion a year before and far below the $15.3 billion that analysts were modeling. Services revenue rose to $20.8 billion from $19.5 billion and beat the FactSet consensus, which was for $20.4 billion.</p><p>The results were consistent with the &#34;cautious&#34; expectations that Wells Fargo analyst Aaron Rakers had ahead of the report, he wrote in a note to clients.</p><p>One focus on the earnings call later Thursday will be how Apple is managing expenses in a tougher economic climate. While Chief Executive Tim Cook said in November that Apple was being &#34;very deliberate&#34; with its hiring, other big technology companies, including Amazon.com Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$(AMZN)$</a> and Alphabet Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOGL\">$(GOOGL)$</a>(GOOGL), have since moved to lay off workers.</p><p>Investors will also want to know how consumer spending is holding up in a weaker economic climate, and whether Apple executives expect to be able to make up for iPhone sales lost during the period when the company was seeing supply constraints.</p><p>Wall Street will &#34;have to wait for the guide here, but the question will be &#39;how much of the revenue miss was driven by production issues in China and how does that ramp up into the March [quarter] and beyond?&#39;&#34; Evercore ISI analyst Amit Daryanani wrote in a note.</p><p>Apple didn&#39;t provide a forecast in its statement, as has been the case throughout the pandemic. The company typically provides some sort of future commentary on its earnings call, though it hasn&#39;t been offering traditional guidance since the pandemic began.</p><p>Shares of Apple have fallen 14.2% over the past 12 months, though they&#39;re up 16.1% to start 2023. The Dow Jones Industrial Average  is off 4.4% over a 12-month span but ahead 2.7% so far this year.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2308005696","content_text":"Apple Inc.'s business came under pressure in the holiday quarter, as the company posted a 5% decline in revenue amid underwhelming sales of iPhones, Macs and wearables.Apple's iPhone revenue fell to $65.8 billion in the fiscal first quarter from $71.6 billion a year before, whereas analysts tracked by FactSet were looking for $67.8 billion. The performance comes after Apple warned in November that its iPhone 14 Pro and Pro Max shipments would be impacted by pandemic-fueled production constraints at a major Foxconn  facility in China.After reporting a quarterly revenue record for Macs in the September quarter, Apple fell way short of those heights in the December quarter with its Thursday afternoon report, and the company missed expectations by a wide margin. Mac sales declined to $7.7 billion from $10.9 billion a year earlier, while analysts had been looking for $9.4 billion.Those big misses helped drive total revenue lower on the year and fueled a miss on the top line, despite a sizable beat in the iPad category a year prior, while the FactSet consensus was for $121.4 billion.Dating back to its report for the December 2017 quarter, Apple has only missed revenue expectations twice, according to FactSet, including one time when the company issued a formal warning ahead of its official results.Apple shares $(AAPL)$ were down 3.28% in after-hours trading Thursday.Apple's profits fell as well in the latest period, as the company generated net income of $30.0 billion, or $1.88 a share, compared with $34.6 billion, or $2.10 a share, a year earlier. Analysts were modeling $1.94 in earnings per share.Within its iPad segment, Apple showed sharp growth. Revenue increased to $9.4 billion from $7.3 billion a year earlier. The FactSet consensus was for $7.8 billion.Revenue for wearables, home and accessories came in at $13.5 billion, down from $14.7 billion a year before and far below the $15.3 billion that analysts were modeling. Services revenue rose to $20.8 billion from $19.5 billion and beat the FactSet consensus, which was for $20.4 billion.The results were consistent with the \"cautious\" expectations that Wells Fargo analyst Aaron Rakers had ahead of the report, he wrote in a note to clients.One focus on the earnings call later Thursday will be how Apple is managing expenses in a tougher economic climate. While Chief Executive Tim Cook said in November that Apple was being \"very deliberate\" with its hiring, other big technology companies, including Amazon.com Inc. $(AMZN)$ and Alphabet Inc. $(GOOGL)$(GOOGL), have since moved to lay off workers.Investors will also want to know how consumer spending is holding up in a weaker economic climate, and whether Apple executives expect to be able to make up for iPhone sales lost during the period when the company was seeing supply constraints.Wall Street will \"have to wait for the guide here, but the question will be 'how much of the revenue miss was driven by production issues in China and how does that ramp up into the March [quarter] and beyond?'\" Evercore ISI analyst Amit Daryanani wrote in a note.Apple didn't provide a forecast in its statement, as has been the case throughout the pandemic. The company typically provides some sort of future commentary on its earnings call, though it hasn't been offering traditional guidance since the pandemic began.Shares of Apple have fallen 14.2% over the past 12 months, though they're up 16.1% to start 2023. The Dow Jones Industrial Average  is off 4.4% over a 12-month span but ahead 2.7% so far this year.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":92,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9921573351,"gmtCreate":1671102424573,"gmtModify":1676538490378,"author":{"id":"4094588272208160","authorId":"4094588272208160","name":"钱神","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4094588272208160","authorIdStr":"4094588272208160"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9921573351","repostId":"9921066148","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9921066148,"gmtCreate":1670941433285,"gmtModify":1676538463255,"author":{"id":"3577965120664925","authorId":"3577965120664925","name":"SR050321","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7a02781de36c0ac0f4851adb1cee54ff","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577965120664925","authorIdStr":"3577965120664925"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"✅&nbsp;Nov&nbsp;CPI is lower than estimated, market reaction is&nbsp;good 😍&nbsp; Today&nbsp;i am very&nbsp;happy that <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/META\">$Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$&nbsp;</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BRK.B\">$Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.B)$&nbsp;</a>and&nbsp;<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GOOGL\">$Alphabet(GOOGL)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$&nbsp;</a>will be&nbsp;green. I hope the trend will continue!&nbsp; ⚠️&nbsp;Tonight market will close with gain 5-10% 😁 (my prediction only)&nbsp; Why does the Consumer Price Index matter? The CPI is one of the most commonly used tools to measure inflation and deflation. Inflation is an important indicator of an economy's health. Governments and central banks use the CP","listText":"✅&nbsp;Nov&nbsp;CPI is lower than estimated, market reaction is&nbsp;good 😍&nbsp; Today&nbsp;i am very&nbsp;happy that <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/META\">$Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$&nbsp;</a> <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BRK.B\">$Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.B)$&nbsp;</a>and&nbsp;<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GOOGL\">$Alphabet(GOOGL)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$&nbsp;</a>will be&nbsp;green. I hope the trend will continue!&nbsp; ⚠️&nbsp;Tonight market will close with gain 5-10% 😁 (my prediction only)&nbsp; Why does the Consumer Price Index matter? The CPI is one of the most commonly used tools to measure inflation and deflation. Inflation is an important indicator of an economy's health. Governments and central banks use the CP","text":"✅ Nov CPI is lower than estimated, market reaction is good 😍 Today i am very happy that $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ $Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.B)$ and $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ $Apple(AAPL)$ will be green. I hope the trend will continue! ⚠️ Tonight market will close with gain 5-10% 😁 (my prediction only) Why does the Consumer Price Index matter? The CPI is one of the most commonly used tools to measure inflation and deflation. Inflation is an important indicator of an economy's health. Governments and central banks use the CP","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6936885a4985e5a6f6c7bb19d552c59c","width":"750","height":"722"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9921066148","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":73,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9944439958,"gmtCreate":1681995545474,"gmtModify":1681995548675,"author":{"id":"4094588272208160","authorId":"4094588272208160","name":"钱神","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4094588272208160","authorIdStr":"4094588272208160"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9944439958","repostId":"9944550434","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9944550434,"gmtCreate":1681949658029,"gmtModify":1681955462275,"author":{"id":"3566532164444643","authorId":"3566532164444643","name":"ZEROHERO","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62813b6df1c4722e559d112fadd5486a","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3566532164444643","authorIdStr":"3566532164444643"},"themes":[],"title":"How To Trade The Usual Dump At TSLA Earnings 😉","htmlText":"Without fail, the dump repeats after the Tesla's earning most often than not. No difference this time as anticipated&nbsp;from my post on 17 April expecting a big move with the very rare&nbsp;double inside bar candlestick pattern. Elon Musk's electric-vehicle maker has lowered prices for models in the U.S. by between 14% and 25% this year as it&nbsp;contends with weaker demand, higher interest rates and burgeoning competition. The latest round of reductions came on&nbsp;the eve of earnings. Teslas sold for an average of around $46,000 in the first quarter, less than the company had forecast and down from&nbsp;some $52,200 in the first three months of 2022. Higher volume with a lower margin \"We've taken a view that pushing for higher volumes and a larger fleet is the right choice here versu","listText":"Without fail, the dump repeats after the Tesla's earning most often than not. No difference this time as anticipated&nbsp;from my post on 17 April expecting a big move with the very rare&nbsp;double inside bar candlestick pattern. Elon Musk's electric-vehicle maker has lowered prices for models in the U.S. by between 14% and 25% this year as it&nbsp;contends with weaker demand, higher interest rates and burgeoning competition. The latest round of reductions came on&nbsp;the eve of earnings. Teslas sold for an average of around $46,000 in the first quarter, less than the company had forecast and down from&nbsp;some $52,200 in the first three months of 2022. Higher volume with a lower margin \"We've taken a view that pushing for higher volumes and a larger fleet is the right choice here versu","text":"Without fail, the dump repeats after the Tesla's earning most often than not. No difference this time as anticipated from my post on 17 April expecting a big move with the very rare double inside bar candlestick pattern. Elon Musk's electric-vehicle maker has lowered prices for models in the U.S. by between 14% and 25% this year as it contends with weaker demand, higher interest rates and burgeoning competition. The latest round of reductions came on the eve of earnings. Teslas sold for an average of around $46,000 in the first quarter, less than the company had forecast and down from some $52,200 in the first three months of 2022. Higher volume with a lower margin \"We've taken a view that pushing for higher volumes and a larger fleet is the right choice here versu","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ec48a9531162842072e33babf3023b32","width":"1455","height":"749"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0fff1f905ce921ed88b083a82af42e82","width":"1284","height":"1026"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0d0d12a97a2644922097e186d90b038c","width":"1284","height":"1323"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9944550434","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":6,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":69,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9941247778,"gmtCreate":1680331470794,"gmtModify":1680331475270,"author":{"id":"4094588272208160","authorId":"4094588272208160","name":"钱神","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4094588272208160","authorIdStr":"4094588272208160"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ummm","listText":"ummm","text":"ummm","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9941247778","repostId":"2324093903","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2324093903","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1680315097,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2324093903?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-04-01 10:11","language":"en","title":"SPY: The Recession Expected To Start Next Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2324093903","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryThe US economy is expected to enter the recession in Q2 2023.The S&P 500 is still overvalued,","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\">Summary</h2><ul><li><p>The US economy is expected to enter the recession in Q2 2023.</p></li><li><p>The S&amp;P 500 is still overvalued, and earnings expectations don&#39;t yet reflect an imminent recession.</p></li><li><p>Thus, there is a considerable downside to SPY.</p></li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dfea4a052824511fde132a80490e6b7f\" alt=\"ZargonDesign\" title=\"ZargonDesign\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"600\"/><span>ZargonDesign</span></p><p></p><h2>The Phase 2 recessionary selloff approaching</h2><p>I separate the full bear market into the three phases:</p><ol><li><p>Phase 1 is the Fed-induced Liquidity selloff. During this Phase 1, the Fed tightens the monetary policy, which bursts the asset price bubbles and causes the contraction in PE multiple. The 2022 selloff was the Fed-induced Liquidity selloff, which caused the contraction of S&amp;P 500 PE ratio from 35 to 18, and busted the bubbles in cryptocurrencies, meme stocks, tech, and other speculative bets.</p></li><li><p>Phase 2 is the Recessionary selloff. The Fed&#39;s tightening policy usually causes a recession, during which corporate earnings decline, and the PE ratio further contracts. We are about the enter this stage, as I will explain in this article.</p></li><li><p>Phase 3 is the major Credit Crunch caused by the deeper and longer recessions, during which the credit spreads spike, as the overleveraged corporate/consumer/government sectors default on loans, hedge funds collapse due to margin calls, and the counterparty risk freezes the credit markets. Not all recessions end with the credit crunch, and it&#39;s too early to predict whether the current cycle will produce the major credit crunch.</p></li></ol><p>This is the chart for the ETF that tracks the S&amp;P 500 (NYSEARCA:SPY). The Liquidity based selloff started with the rise in 2Y yields in January 2O22 due to expectations of monetary policy tightening. There have been two major bear market rallies based on the expectations of the &#34;Fed pivot&#34;. The Banking Crisis in March of 2023 is the turning point, which transitions the Liquidity Selloff into the Recessionary selloff - as it acts as the catalyst for recession due to the resulting credit tightness.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66497e4f96b6a95079c3cb61cc76ab69\" alt=\"Barchart\" title=\"Barchart\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"372\"/><span>Barchart</span></p><p></p><h2>When is the recession coming?</h2><p>People always ask me for the timing: when is the recession coming, and how long will it last? I don&#39;t try to predict the actual timing, but I react as the preliminary signals emerge. I also closely monitor the opinions and research of Wall Street analysts, just to make sure my opinion is not as contrarian, even though I do tend to see things before the others. So, this is the sample of what appears to be the consensus on Wall Street at this point:</p><p>The Conference Board sees the recession starting in Q2 of 2023, and last for three quarters, until Q1 2024. Here is the quote and the recent forecast:</p><blockquote>US GDP growth defied expectations in late 2022 and early 2023 data has shown unexpected strength. The US economy, and especially the US consumer, has resisted the duel headwinds of high inflation and rising interest rates. Because of this, we are increasing our Q1 2023 forecast to 1 percent. However, we continue to forecast that the US economy will slip into recession in 2023 and expect GDP growth to contract for three consecutive quarters starting in Q2 2023. These changes to the quarterly forecast result in an upgrade to our annual forecast for 2023 and a downgrade to our annual forecast for 2024.</blockquote><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3e3132d37805b3612a43f957708ce6d\" alt=\"The Conference Board\" title=\"The Conference Board\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"461\"/><span>The Conference Board</span></p><p></p><p>ING agrees, they also see the US recession in Q2 2023 and lasting for three quarters:</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5c54ab0866222de65803f0f2b3a63bbd\" alt=\"ING 3/31/2023\" title=\"ING 3/31/2023\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"383\"/><span>ING 3/31/2023</span></p><p></p><p>Blackrock weekly commentary as of March 27th, 2023 not only sees the recession forthcoming, but also sees the Fed keeping the monetary policy tight during the recession:</p><blockquote>Markets have been quick to price in rate cuts as a result of the banking sector turmoil and the Fed signaling a coming pause. We don&#39;t see rate cuts this year - that&#39;s the old playbook when central banks would rush to rescue the economy as recession hit. Now they&#39;re causing the recession to fight sticky inflation - and that makes rate cuts unlikely, in our view. Stocks have held up due to hopes for rates cuts that we don&#39;t see coming.</blockquote><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d8903a77c449ec7cbeaaf59e6482044\" alt=\"Blackrock 3/27/2023\" title=\"Blackrock 3/27/2023\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"387\"/><span>Blackrock 3/27/2023</span></p><p></p><p>This is a sample, but it represents the Wall Street consensus, the US economy is likely to be in a recession, possibly in Q2 2023 - that&#39;s next week. Also, Wall Street seems to agree with the Fed, there will be no rate cuts this year, despite the recession.</p><h2>Implications for S&amp;P 500</h2><p>S&amp;P 500 is exiting the Fed-induced Liquidity selloff with still overvalued forward PE ratio at 18. More importantly, the earnings for S&amp;P 500 have not been revised lower by bottom-up analysts. Thus, not only we can expect the selloff due to the expected downside revisions of corporate earnings, but also the selloff due to further contraction of the PE ratio down to the 15 level. Thus, there is a considerable downside to S&amp;P 500.</p><p>The chart above shows that SPY has been stuck in the range which corresponds to about 3700-4200 on S&amp;P 500 (SP500).</p><p>The October bottom was due to the expected Fed pivot - before the recession arrives, which I considered as a possible scenario, but at this point this is extremely unlikely due to (at this point really) an imminent recession.</p><p>SPY is up around 5.5% YTD in 2023, but the gains are unproportionally driven by the big tech stocks in Communications (XLC), Discretionary (XLY) and Technology (XLK) sectors. This could be due to the specific AI theme, also due to lower interest rates since October, but I think it&#39;s mostly a bear-market bounce from the deep selloff in 2022 and driven by short-covering and retail investor inflows.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e898b2ac6791660af1438d1b7d2944ab\" alt=\"SPDRSectorSelect\" title=\"SPDRSectorSelect\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"693\"/><span>SPDRSectorSelect</span></p><p></p><p>In fact, Goldman Sachs states in the March issue of Market Pulse that the stock market performance this year is driven by short-covering:</p><blockquote>MOMENTUM: This year&#39;s rally has been driven by short covering, fueling a liquidity comeback. We anticipate momentum and technical factors to further elevate market volatility. In this environment, we believe managed futures may be able to exploit such opportunities.</blockquote><h2>What&#39;s next?</h2><p>The near-term recession will have to be confirmed with the data. Wall Street does not expect a sharp increase in the unemployment rate, but we do have to see some weakness in the weekly initial unemployment claims.</p><p>More importantly, the earnings season will have to support the expected decline in earnings via downgrades in earnings guidance from the cyclical companies, and especially the banks, which have to confirm the expected credit tightness.</p><p>Longer term, all recessions end with the policy support: monetary and fiscal. This time, however, the monetary policy support is limited by sticky inflation, which I expect to remain above the 2% target due to the unfolding trend of de-globalization. Further, the political divide in the US political sphere will make it very difficult to pass any effective policy support - especially before the 2024 election. In my view, this increases the probability of a much deeper and longer recession.</p><p><em>This article is written by Damir Tokic for reference only. Please note the risks.</em></p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha_fund","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>SPY: The Recession Expected To Start Next Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSPY: The Recession Expected To Start Next Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-04-01 10:11 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4591562-spy-the-recession-expected-to-start-next-week><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryThe US economy is expected to enter the recession in Q2 2023.The S&P 500 is still overvalued, and earnings expectations don't yet reflect an imminent recession.Thus, there is a considerable ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4591562-spy-the-recession-expected-to-start-next-week\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4591562-spy-the-recession-expected-to-start-next-week","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2324093903","content_text":"SummaryThe US economy is expected to enter the recession in Q2 2023.The S&P 500 is still overvalued, and earnings expectations don't yet reflect an imminent recession.Thus, there is a considerable downside to SPY.ZargonDesignThe Phase 2 recessionary selloff approachingI separate the full bear market into the three phases:Phase 1 is the Fed-induced Liquidity selloff. During this Phase 1, the Fed tightens the monetary policy, which bursts the asset price bubbles and causes the contraction in PE multiple. The 2022 selloff was the Fed-induced Liquidity selloff, which caused the contraction of S&P 500 PE ratio from 35 to 18, and busted the bubbles in cryptocurrencies, meme stocks, tech, and other speculative bets.Phase 2 is the Recessionary selloff. The Fed's tightening policy usually causes a recession, during which corporate earnings decline, and the PE ratio further contracts. We are about the enter this stage, as I will explain in this article.Phase 3 is the major Credit Crunch caused by the deeper and longer recessions, during which the credit spreads spike, as the overleveraged corporate/consumer/government sectors default on loans, hedge funds collapse due to margin calls, and the counterparty risk freezes the credit markets. Not all recessions end with the credit crunch, and it's too early to predict whether the current cycle will produce the major credit crunch.This is the chart for the ETF that tracks the S&P 500 (NYSEARCA:SPY). The Liquidity based selloff started with the rise in 2Y yields in January 2O22 due to expectations of monetary policy tightening. There have been two major bear market rallies based on the expectations of the \"Fed pivot\". The Banking Crisis in March of 2023 is the turning point, which transitions the Liquidity Selloff into the Recessionary selloff - as it acts as the catalyst for recession due to the resulting credit tightness.BarchartWhen is the recession coming?People always ask me for the timing: when is the recession coming, and how long will it last? I don't try to predict the actual timing, but I react as the preliminary signals emerge. I also closely monitor the opinions and research of Wall Street analysts, just to make sure my opinion is not as contrarian, even though I do tend to see things before the others. So, this is the sample of what appears to be the consensus on Wall Street at this point:The Conference Board sees the recession starting in Q2 of 2023, and last for three quarters, until Q1 2024. Here is the quote and the recent forecast:US GDP growth defied expectations in late 2022 and early 2023 data has shown unexpected strength. The US economy, and especially the US consumer, has resisted the duel headwinds of high inflation and rising interest rates. Because of this, we are increasing our Q1 2023 forecast to 1 percent. However, we continue to forecast that the US economy will slip into recession in 2023 and expect GDP growth to contract for three consecutive quarters starting in Q2 2023. These changes to the quarterly forecast result in an upgrade to our annual forecast for 2023 and a downgrade to our annual forecast for 2024.The Conference BoardING agrees, they also see the US recession in Q2 2023 and lasting for three quarters:ING 3/31/2023Blackrock weekly commentary as of March 27th, 2023 not only sees the recession forthcoming, but also sees the Fed keeping the monetary policy tight during the recession:Markets have been quick to price in rate cuts as a result of the banking sector turmoil and the Fed signaling a coming pause. We don't see rate cuts this year - that's the old playbook when central banks would rush to rescue the economy as recession hit. Now they're causing the recession to fight sticky inflation - and that makes rate cuts unlikely, in our view. Stocks have held up due to hopes for rates cuts that we don't see coming.Blackrock 3/27/2023This is a sample, but it represents the Wall Street consensus, the US economy is likely to be in a recession, possibly in Q2 2023 - that's next week. Also, Wall Street seems to agree with the Fed, there will be no rate cuts this year, despite the recession.Implications for S&P 500S&P 500 is exiting the Fed-induced Liquidity selloff with still overvalued forward PE ratio at 18. More importantly, the earnings for S&P 500 have not been revised lower by bottom-up analysts. Thus, not only we can expect the selloff due to the expected downside revisions of corporate earnings, but also the selloff due to further contraction of the PE ratio down to the 15 level. Thus, there is a considerable downside to S&P 500.The chart above shows that SPY has been stuck in the range which corresponds to about 3700-4200 on S&P 500 (SP500).The October bottom was due to the expected Fed pivot - before the recession arrives, which I considered as a possible scenario, but at this point this is extremely unlikely due to (at this point really) an imminent recession.SPY is up around 5.5% YTD in 2023, but the gains are unproportionally driven by the big tech stocks in Communications (XLC), Discretionary (XLY) and Technology (XLK) sectors. This could be due to the specific AI theme, also due to lower interest rates since October, but I think it's mostly a bear-market bounce from the deep selloff in 2022 and driven by short-covering and retail investor inflows.SPDRSectorSelectIn fact, Goldman Sachs states in the March issue of Market Pulse that the stock market performance this year is driven by short-covering:MOMENTUM: This year's rally has been driven by short covering, fueling a liquidity comeback. We anticipate momentum and technical factors to further elevate market volatility. In this environment, we believe managed futures may be able to exploit such opportunities.What's next?The near-term recession will have to be confirmed with the data. Wall Street does not expect a sharp increase in the unemployment rate, but we do have to see some weakness in the weekly initial unemployment claims.More importantly, the earnings season will have to support the expected decline in earnings via downgrades in earnings guidance from the cyclical companies, and especially the banks, which have to confirm the expected credit tightness.Longer term, all recessions end with the policy support: monetary and fiscal. This time, however, the monetary policy support is limited by sticky inflation, which I expect to remain above the 2% target due to the unfolding trend of de-globalization. Further, the political divide in the US political sphere will make it very difficult to pass any effective policy support - especially before the 2024 election. In my view, this increases the probability of a much deeper and longer recession.This article is written by Damir Tokic for reference only. Please note the risks.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":108,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9957109881,"gmtCreate":1677054997543,"gmtModify":1677055000687,"author":{"id":"4094588272208160","authorId":"4094588272208160","name":"钱神","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4094588272208160","authorIdStr":"4094588272208160"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9957109881","repostId":"2313705639","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":38,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9954106938,"gmtCreate":1676045661626,"gmtModify":1676045665369,"author":{"id":"4094588272208160","authorId":"4094588272208160","name":"钱神","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4094588272208160","authorIdStr":"4094588272208160"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9954106938","repostId":"9954350654","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9954350654,"gmtCreate":1676020160278,"gmtModify":1676020314545,"author":{"id":"3527667628464496","authorId":"3527667628464496","name":"Tiger_Newspress","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667628464496","authorIdStr":"3527667628464496"},"themes":[],"title":"Option Movers｜Tesla's Bullish Sentiment Heats Up and Trading Volume Surges 50%","htmlText":"Market OverviewU.S. stock indexes ended lower on Thursday(Feb.&nbsp;9), erasing earlier gains as Treasury yields rose after an auction of 30-year bonds went poorly and overshadowed strong earnings from corporate giants like Disney and PepsiCo.&nbsp;Dow down 0.73%, S&amp;P 500 down 0.88%, and&nbsp;Nasdaq down 1.02%.Regarding the options market, a total volume of 44,814,274 contracts was traded, up 12% from the previous trading day.Top 10 Option VolumesTop 10: SPY, TSLA,&nbsp;QQQ, GOOGL,&nbsp;IWM,&nbsp;GOOG,&nbsp;NVDA,&nbsp;AAPL,&nbsp;AMZN, DISOptions related to equity index ETFs are still popular with investors, with 9.43 million <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SPY\">$SPDR S&amp;P500 ETF Trust(SPY)$</a> and 2.87 million <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/QQQ\">$Invest QQQ Trust ETF(QQQ)$</a> o","listText":"Market OverviewU.S. stock indexes ended lower on Thursday(Feb.&nbsp;9), erasing earlier gains as Treasury yields rose after an auction of 30-year bonds went poorly and overshadowed strong earnings from corporate giants like Disney and PepsiCo.&nbsp;Dow down 0.73%, S&amp;P 500 down 0.88%, and&nbsp;Nasdaq down 1.02%.Regarding the options market, a total volume of 44,814,274 contracts was traded, up 12% from the previous trading day.Top 10 Option VolumesTop 10: SPY, TSLA,&nbsp;QQQ, GOOGL,&nbsp;IWM,&nbsp;GOOG,&nbsp;NVDA,&nbsp;AAPL,&nbsp;AMZN, DISOptions related to equity index ETFs are still popular with investors, with 9.43 million <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SPY\">$SPDR S&amp;P500 ETF Trust(SPY)$</a> and 2.87 million <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/QQQ\">$Invest QQQ Trust ETF(QQQ)$</a> o","text":"Market OverviewU.S. stock indexes ended lower on Thursday(Feb. 9), erasing earlier gains as Treasury yields rose after an auction of 30-year bonds went poorly and overshadowed strong earnings from corporate giants like Disney and PepsiCo. Dow down 0.73%, S&P 500 down 0.88%, and Nasdaq down 1.02%.Regarding the options market, a total volume of 44,814,274 contracts was traded, up 12% from the previous trading day.Top 10 Option VolumesTop 10: SPY, TSLA, QQQ, GOOGL, IWM, GOOG, NVDA, AAPL, AMZN, DISOptions related to equity index ETFs are still popular with investors, with 9.43 million $SPDR S&P500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ and 2.87 million $Invest QQQ Trust ETF(QQQ)$ o","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/2d80ef64935e5bc6db955399f84eb865","width":"-1","height":"-1"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/bcb5c47db25a988e64f13e3489449858","width":"-1","height":"-1"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/983c9822cd260d6d152ea9ed96ac3ed3","width":"-1","height":"-1"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9954350654","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":35,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9955261608,"gmtCreate":1675465697704,"gmtModify":1676539004346,"author":{"id":"4094588272208160","authorId":"4094588272208160","name":"钱神","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4094588272208160","authorIdStr":"4094588272208160"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9955261608","repostId":"2308899487","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2308899487","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1675465566,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2308899487?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-02-04 07:06","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Wall Street Ends Down After Stunning Jobs Growth Raises Fed Questions","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2308899487","media":"Reuters","summary":"* Nasdaq posts 5th straight weekly gain* U.S. reports blowout job data; unemployment lowest since 19","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>* Nasdaq posts 5th straight weekly gain</p><p>* U.S. reports blowout job data; unemployment lowest since 1969</p><p>* Megapcap earnings reactions: Apple up; Amazon, Alphabet slump</p><p>* Ford Motor drops on downbeat outlook</p><p>* Indexes down: Dow 0.38%, S&amp;P 1.04%, Nasdaq 1.59%</p><p>Feb 3 (Reuters) - Major U.S. stock indexes ended lower on Friday after surprisingly strong jobs data sparked concerns about aggressive Federal Reserve action, while investors digested a mixed bag of megacap company earnings reports.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 still posted a gain for the week, which included a string of major market events, and stood not far from five-month highs. The Nasdaq tallied its fifth straight weekly rise, its longest such streak since late 2021.</p><p>U.S. job growth accelerated sharply in January, with nonfarm payrolls surging by 517,000 jobs, well above an estimate of 185,000. The unemployment rate hit a more than 53-1/2-year low of 3.4%.</p><p>In another sign of economic strength, U.S. services industry activity rebounded strongly in January.</p><p>Investors have been balancing hopeful signs that the economy could avoid a feared recession against concerns about how long the Fed will keep interest rates high to rein in inflation. The S&amp;P 500 gained earlier this week after comments that were more dovish than expected from Fed Chair Jerome Powell, who acknowledged progress in the fight against inflation.</p><p>The jobs report &#34;was an incredible surprise and it raises a lot of questions about what the Fed is going to do next,” said Kristina Hooper, chief global market strategist at Invesco. “What I think is causing some of the volatility is markets trying to make sense of how the Fed will perceive this.”</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 127.93 points, or 0.38%, to 33,926.01, the S&amp;P 500 lost 43.28 points, or 1.04%, to 4,136.48 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 193.86 points, or 1.59%, to 12,006.96.</p><p>For the week, the S&amp;P 500 rose 1.6%, the Dow slipped 0.15%, and the Nasdaq gained 3.3%.</p><p>Wall Street&#39;s main indexes have had a solid start to the year as tech and other stocks that struggled in 2022 have rebounded, fueled by hopes that the Fed&#39;s rate hikes would soon end and the economy might be able to navigate a soft landing.</p><p>“So many things were trading at bargain-basement prices three, four months ago,&#34; said Eric Kuby, chief investment officer at North Star Investment Management Corp. &#34;That has gone away... I think we are in a fair game now.”</p><p>On Friday, investors were also digesting another heavy batch of corporate results.</p><p>Shares of Apple, the largest U.S. company by market value, rose 2.4%. The company forecast that revenue would fall for a second quarter in a row but that iPhone sales were likely to improve as production had returned to normal in China.</p><p>Shares of Amazon slumped 8.4% as the company said operating profit could fall to zero in the current quarter as savings from layoffs do not make up for the financial impact of consumers and cloud customers clamping down on spending.</p><p>Alphabet shares dropped 2.7% after the Google parent posted fourth-quarter profit and sales short of Wall Street expectations.</p><p>In other corporate news,Ford Motor shares slid 7.6% after the automaker predicted a difficult year ahead.</p><p>Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 2.82-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.66-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 16 new 52-week highs and one new low; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 127 new highs and 16 new lows.</p><p>About 12.8 billion shares changed hands in U.S. exchanges, compared with the 11.9 billion daily average over the last 20 sessions.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wall Street Ends Down After Stunning Jobs Growth Raises Fed Questions</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWall Street Ends Down After Stunning Jobs Growth Raises Fed Questions\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2023-02-04 07:06</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>* Nasdaq posts 5th straight weekly gain</p><p>* U.S. reports blowout job data; unemployment lowest since 1969</p><p>* Megapcap earnings reactions: Apple up; Amazon, Alphabet slump</p><p>* Ford Motor drops on downbeat outlook</p><p>* Indexes down: Dow 0.38%, S&amp;P 1.04%, Nasdaq 1.59%</p><p>Feb 3 (Reuters) - Major U.S. stock indexes ended lower on Friday after surprisingly strong jobs data sparked concerns about aggressive Federal Reserve action, while investors digested a mixed bag of megacap company earnings reports.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 still posted a gain for the week, which included a string of major market events, and stood not far from five-month highs. The Nasdaq tallied its fifth straight weekly rise, its longest such streak since late 2021.</p><p>U.S. job growth accelerated sharply in January, with nonfarm payrolls surging by 517,000 jobs, well above an estimate of 185,000. The unemployment rate hit a more than 53-1/2-year low of 3.4%.</p><p>In another sign of economic strength, U.S. services industry activity rebounded strongly in January.</p><p>Investors have been balancing hopeful signs that the economy could avoid a feared recession against concerns about how long the Fed will keep interest rates high to rein in inflation. The S&amp;P 500 gained earlier this week after comments that were more dovish than expected from Fed Chair Jerome Powell, who acknowledged progress in the fight against inflation.</p><p>The jobs report &#34;was an incredible surprise and it raises a lot of questions about what the Fed is going to do next,” said Kristina Hooper, chief global market strategist at Invesco. “What I think is causing some of the volatility is markets trying to make sense of how the Fed will perceive this.”</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 127.93 points, or 0.38%, to 33,926.01, the S&amp;P 500 lost 43.28 points, or 1.04%, to 4,136.48 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 193.86 points, or 1.59%, to 12,006.96.</p><p>For the week, the S&amp;P 500 rose 1.6%, the Dow slipped 0.15%, and the Nasdaq gained 3.3%.</p><p>Wall Street&#39;s main indexes have had a solid start to the year as tech and other stocks that struggled in 2022 have rebounded, fueled by hopes that the Fed&#39;s rate hikes would soon end and the economy might be able to navigate a soft landing.</p><p>“So many things were trading at bargain-basement prices three, four months ago,&#34; said Eric Kuby, chief investment officer at North Star Investment Management Corp. &#34;That has gone away... I think we are in a fair game now.”</p><p>On Friday, investors were also digesting another heavy batch of corporate results.</p><p>Shares of Apple, the largest U.S. company by market value, rose 2.4%. The company forecast that revenue would fall for a second quarter in a row but that iPhone sales were likely to improve as production had returned to normal in China.</p><p>Shares of Amazon slumped 8.4% as the company said operating profit could fall to zero in the current quarter as savings from layoffs do not make up for the financial impact of consumers and cloud customers clamping down on spending.</p><p>Alphabet shares dropped 2.7% after the Google parent posted fourth-quarter profit and sales short of Wall Street expectations.</p><p>In other corporate news,Ford Motor shares slid 7.6% after the automaker predicted a difficult year ahead.</p><p>Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 2.82-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.66-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 16 new 52-week highs and one new low; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 127 new highs and 16 new lows.</p><p>About 12.8 billion shares changed hands in U.S. exchanges, compared with the 11.9 billion daily average over the last 20 sessions.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LU1839511570.USD":"WELLS FARGO GLOBAL FACTOR ENHANCED EQUITY \"I\" (USD) ACC","BK4079":"房地产服务","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4561":"索罗斯持仓","LU0312595415.SGD":"Schroder ISF Global Climate Change Equity A Acc SGD","LU0056508442.USD":"贝莱德世界科技基金A2","LU2237443622.USD":"Aberdeen Standard SICAV I - Global Dynamic Dividend A Acc USD","LU1914381329.SGD":"Allianz Best Styles Global Equity Cl ET Acc H2-SGD","LU1261432733.SGD":"Fidelity World A-ACC-SGD","LU0820561909.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AM\" (HKD) INC","F":"福特汽车","LU0109391861.USD":"富兰克林美国机遇基金A Acc","GOOGL":"谷歌A","SG9999014914.USD":"UNITED GLOBAL QUALITY GROWTH (USDHDG) INC",".DJI":"道琼斯","LU0130102774.USD":"Natixis Harris Associates US Equity RA USD","BK4507":"流媒体概念",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","LU1066051498.USD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL EQUITY VOLATILITY FOCUSED \"AM2\" (USD) INC","BK4576":"AR",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","LU2087621335.USD":"ALLSPRING GLOBAL FACTOR ENHANCED EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0689472784.USD":"安联收益及增长基金Cl AM AT Acc","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","AMZN":"亚马逊","SG9999014898.SGD":"United Global Quality Growth Fund Dis SGD","LU0648001328.SGD":"Natixis Harris Associates US Equity RA SGD","LU0198837287.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV - USA GROWTH \"P\" (USD) ACC","IE00B1BXHZ80.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - US Appreciation A Acc USD","BK4525":"远程办公概念","BK4566":"资本集团","LU0444971666.USD":"天利全球科技基金","LU0672654240.SGD":"FTIF - Franklin US Opportunities A Acc SGD-H1","AAPL":"苹果","LU0708995401.HKD":"FRANKLIN U.S. OPPORTUNITIES \"A\" (HKD) ACC","IE00BKVL7J92.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - US Equity Sustainability Leaders A Acc USD","LU1201861249.SGD":"Natixis Harris Associates US Equity PA SGD-H","BK4579":"人工智能","BK4077":"互动媒体与服务","LU0354030438.USD":"富国美国大盘成长基金Cl A Acc","SG9999014906.USD":"大华全球优质成长基金Acc USD","LU0256863811.USD":"ALLIANZ US EQUITY \"A\" INC","LU0980610538.SGD":"Natixis Harris Associates US Equity RA SGD-H","IE00B7KXQ091.USD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Inc USD","BK4503":"景林资产持仓","LU0557290698.USD":"施罗德环球可持续增长基金","BK4574":"无人驾驶","SG9999018865.SGD":"United Global Quality Growth Fd Cl Dist SGD-H","LU0456855351.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - Global Equity A (acc) SGD"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2308899487","content_text":"* Nasdaq posts 5th straight weekly gain* U.S. reports blowout job data; unemployment lowest since 1969* Megapcap earnings reactions: Apple up; Amazon, Alphabet slump* Ford Motor drops on downbeat outlook* Indexes down: Dow 0.38%, S&P 1.04%, Nasdaq 1.59%Feb 3 (Reuters) - Major U.S. stock indexes ended lower on Friday after surprisingly strong jobs data sparked concerns about aggressive Federal Reserve action, while investors digested a mixed bag of megacap company earnings reports.The S&P 500 still posted a gain for the week, which included a string of major market events, and stood not far from five-month highs. The Nasdaq tallied its fifth straight weekly rise, its longest such streak since late 2021.U.S. job growth accelerated sharply in January, with nonfarm payrolls surging by 517,000 jobs, well above an estimate of 185,000. The unemployment rate hit a more than 53-1/2-year low of 3.4%.In another sign of economic strength, U.S. services industry activity rebounded strongly in January.Investors have been balancing hopeful signs that the economy could avoid a feared recession against concerns about how long the Fed will keep interest rates high to rein in inflation. The S&P 500 gained earlier this week after comments that were more dovish than expected from Fed Chair Jerome Powell, who acknowledged progress in the fight against inflation.The jobs report \"was an incredible surprise and it raises a lot of questions about what the Fed is going to do next,” said Kristina Hooper, chief global market strategist at Invesco. “What I think is causing some of the volatility is markets trying to make sense of how the Fed will perceive this.”The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 127.93 points, or 0.38%, to 33,926.01, the S&P 500 lost 43.28 points, or 1.04%, to 4,136.48 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 193.86 points, or 1.59%, to 12,006.96.For the week, the S&P 500 rose 1.6%, the Dow slipped 0.15%, and the Nasdaq gained 3.3%.Wall Street's main indexes have had a solid start to the year as tech and other stocks that struggled in 2022 have rebounded, fueled by hopes that the Fed's rate hikes would soon end and the economy might be able to navigate a soft landing.“So many things were trading at bargain-basement prices three, four months ago,\" said Eric Kuby, chief investment officer at North Star Investment Management Corp. \"That has gone away... I think we are in a fair game now.”On Friday, investors were also digesting another heavy batch of corporate results.Shares of Apple, the largest U.S. company by market value, rose 2.4%. The company forecast that revenue would fall for a second quarter in a row but that iPhone sales were likely to improve as production had returned to normal in China.Shares of Amazon slumped 8.4% as the company said operating profit could fall to zero in the current quarter as savings from layoffs do not make up for the financial impact of consumers and cloud customers clamping down on spending.Alphabet shares dropped 2.7% after the Google parent posted fourth-quarter profit and sales short of Wall Street expectations.In other corporate news,Ford Motor shares slid 7.6% after the automaker predicted a difficult year ahead.Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 2.82-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.66-to-1 ratio favored decliners.The S&P 500 posted 16 new 52-week highs and one new low; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 127 new highs and 16 new lows.About 12.8 billion shares changed hands in U.S. exchanges, compared with the 11.9 billion daily average over the last 20 sessions.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":72,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9955291104,"gmtCreate":1675431633309,"gmtModify":1676539002360,"author":{"id":"4094588272208160","authorId":"4094588272208160","name":"钱神","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4094588272208160","authorIdStr":"4094588272208160"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9955291104","repostId":"1132011563","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1132011563","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1675431517,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1132011563?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-02-03 21:38","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Pre-Bell｜Dow Futures Fall 200 Points After Hot January Jobs Number","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1132011563","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. stock index futures dropped on Friday after disappointing results from megacap growth companies","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. stock index futures dropped on Friday after disappointing results from megacap growth companies including <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon</a>. Dow futures fall 200 points as hot January jobs number is likely to keep the Fed in hiking mode.</p><h2>Market Snapshot</h2><p>At 8:40 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were down 215 points, or 0.63%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were down 50 points, or 1.2%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 250 points, or 1.95%.</p><ul><li>Nonfarm payrolls increased by 517,000 for January, above the Dow Jones estimate of 187,000. The unemployment rate fell to 3.4% vs. the estimate for 3.6%.</li></ul><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/802fc5e78c9f79d112b216f56165e7c6\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"368\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><h2>Pre-Market Movers</h2><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> was down 1.5% in premarket trading after the iPhone maker reportedfiscal first-quarter earnings and salesthat missed Wall Street estimates. Revenue of $117.2 billion fell 5% from a year earlier, marking the first quarterly revenue decline for Apple in nearly four years.</p><p>Sales in the company’s iPhone, Mac and wearables segments, in particular, came up well short of expectations.</p><p>Google parent Alphabet(GOOGL) reportedslowing revenue growth in the fourth quarter and an earnings miss,sending the stock down 3.5% in premarket trading. An advertising slowdown weighed on the results.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon.com</a> was falling 4% after the tech and online retailing giant reportedbetter-than-expected fourth-quarter sales growthbut weaker-than-anticipated profit, due largely to a loss on the company’s stake in electric-truck maker Rivian(RIVN). Revenue at the company’s Amazon Web Services unit fell shy of expectations.</p><p>Amazon’s first-quarter revenue outlook, meanwhile, was well below Wall Street estimates.</p><p>Auto maker <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">Ford</a> reportedfourth-quarter earningsthat missed analysts’ expectations and the stock was tumbling 6.6% in premarket trading. Fordsaid it expects to generate operating profit in 2023 of about $9 billion to $11 billion; Wall Street had projected operating profit this year of about $10 billion.</p><p>Ford also announced a special dividend of 65 cents a share, and said it had sold almost all of its stake in Rivian.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JWN\">Nordstrom</a> surged more than 26% after The Wall Street Journal reportedactivist investor Ryan Cohen has taken a big stake in the retailer. The Journal reported that Cohen has become one of the top five non-family shareholders of the company.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QCOM\">Qualcomm</a> was down 2.6% after the chip company issueda revenue outlookbelow expectations, citing deteriorating demand for smartphones and a challenging macro environment.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CLX\">Clorox</a> was rising 4.2% after the cleaning products company posted better-than-expected fiscal second-quarter profit.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GILD\">Gilead Sciences</a> was up 4% after fourth-quarter earnings and sales beat Wall Street expectations. The pharma company also raised its dividend.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TEAM\">Atlassian</a> fell nearly 10%. The software company’s fiscal second-quarter loss was wider than a year earlier.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SBUX\">Starbucks</a> was down 2% after the coffee chain reportedfiscal first-quarter earningsthat missed Wall Street forecasts.</p><h2>Market News</h2><h3>Tesla Shipments of China-Made Cars Climbed 18% in January</h3><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla Inc.</a>’s deliveries from its Shanghai plant rose in January despite the typically quieter Lunar New Year break, spurred by aggressive price cuts on the two models it makes in China.</p><p>The US electric vehicle maker shipped 66,051 China-built cars in January, according to preliminary data from China’s Passenger Car Association released Friday. That’s an 18% increase from December.</p><h3>Nordstrom Stock Surges on Report Activist Investor Ryan Cohen Has a Stake</h3><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JWN\">Nordstrom</a> was up 28% in premarket trading. The Wall Street Journal reported that Cohen, known for sparking big jumps in meme stocks such as GameStop a few years ago, has become one of the top five nonfamily shareholders of the company.</p><p>Cohen plans to recommend changes to the board to enact cost cutting that will reverse the stock’s poor performance, the Journal said, citing people familiar with the matter. His aim is to replace at least one director. On the current board, he may target former Bed Bath &amp; Beyond (BBBY) chief executive Mark Tritton for removal, the people said.</p><h3>NIO Releases Official Incentive Package Over Reported Big Discounts</h3><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">NIO</a> has released its official purchase discount package, with an executive again clarifying yesterday&#39;s media report after local media said the company was offering discounts of up to 100,000 yuan ($14,900).</p><p>The company&#39;s program released today includes subsidies for the purchase of its NT 1.0 platform models, additional discounts for stock vehicles and a small cash discount for the purchase of NT 2.0 platform models.</p><h3>XPeng Launches Two Flagship EVs in Europe to Build Presence Overseas</h3><p>Chinese EV automaker <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">XPeng Motors</a> officially launched two new models in Europe on Friday, the long anticipated G9 SUV, and an optimized P7 sedan featuring added range and faster charging.</p><p>Both XPeng (XPEV) EV models are on display at the eCar Expo in Stockholm this weekend, and will begin deliveries in four countries - Denmark, Norway, the Netherlands and Sweden - later this year.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPre-Bell｜Dow Futures Fall 200 Points After Hot January Jobs Number\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2023-02-03 21:38</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. stock index futures dropped on Friday after disappointing results from megacap growth companies including <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon</a>. Dow futures fall 200 points as hot January jobs number is likely to keep the Fed in hiking mode.</p><h2>Market Snapshot</h2><p>At 8:40 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were down 215 points, or 0.63%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were down 50 points, or 1.2%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 250 points, or 1.95%.</p><ul><li>Nonfarm payrolls increased by 517,000 for January, above the Dow Jones estimate of 187,000. The unemployment rate fell to 3.4% vs. the estimate for 3.6%.</li></ul><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/802fc5e78c9f79d112b216f56165e7c6\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"368\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><h2>Pre-Market Movers</h2><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> was down 1.5% in premarket trading after the iPhone maker reportedfiscal first-quarter earnings and salesthat missed Wall Street estimates. Revenue of $117.2 billion fell 5% from a year earlier, marking the first quarterly revenue decline for Apple in nearly four years.</p><p>Sales in the company’s iPhone, Mac and wearables segments, in particular, came up well short of expectations.</p><p>Google parent Alphabet(GOOGL) reportedslowing revenue growth in the fourth quarter and an earnings miss,sending the stock down 3.5% in premarket trading. An advertising slowdown weighed on the results.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon.com</a> was falling 4% after the tech and online retailing giant reportedbetter-than-expected fourth-quarter sales growthbut weaker-than-anticipated profit, due largely to a loss on the company’s stake in electric-truck maker Rivian(RIVN). Revenue at the company’s Amazon Web Services unit fell shy of expectations.</p><p>Amazon’s first-quarter revenue outlook, meanwhile, was well below Wall Street estimates.</p><p>Auto maker <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">Ford</a> reportedfourth-quarter earningsthat missed analysts’ expectations and the stock was tumbling 6.6% in premarket trading. Fordsaid it expects to generate operating profit in 2023 of about $9 billion to $11 billion; Wall Street had projected operating profit this year of about $10 billion.</p><p>Ford also announced a special dividend of 65 cents a share, and said it had sold almost all of its stake in Rivian.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JWN\">Nordstrom</a> surged more than 26% after The Wall Street Journal reportedactivist investor Ryan Cohen has taken a big stake in the retailer. The Journal reported that Cohen has become one of the top five non-family shareholders of the company.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QCOM\">Qualcomm</a> was down 2.6% after the chip company issueda revenue outlookbelow expectations, citing deteriorating demand for smartphones and a challenging macro environment.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CLX\">Clorox</a> was rising 4.2% after the cleaning products company posted better-than-expected fiscal second-quarter profit.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GILD\">Gilead Sciences</a> was up 4% after fourth-quarter earnings and sales beat Wall Street expectations. The pharma company also raised its dividend.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TEAM\">Atlassian</a> fell nearly 10%. The software company’s fiscal second-quarter loss was wider than a year earlier.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SBUX\">Starbucks</a> was down 2% after the coffee chain reportedfiscal first-quarter earningsthat missed Wall Street forecasts.</p><h2>Market News</h2><h3>Tesla Shipments of China-Made Cars Climbed 18% in January</h3><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla Inc.</a>’s deliveries from its Shanghai plant rose in January despite the typically quieter Lunar New Year break, spurred by aggressive price cuts on the two models it makes in China.</p><p>The US electric vehicle maker shipped 66,051 China-built cars in January, according to preliminary data from China’s Passenger Car Association released Friday. That’s an 18% increase from December.</p><h3>Nordstrom Stock Surges on Report Activist Investor Ryan Cohen Has a Stake</h3><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JWN\">Nordstrom</a> was up 28% in premarket trading. The Wall Street Journal reported that Cohen, known for sparking big jumps in meme stocks such as GameStop a few years ago, has become one of the top five nonfamily shareholders of the company.</p><p>Cohen plans to recommend changes to the board to enact cost cutting that will reverse the stock’s poor performance, the Journal said, citing people familiar with the matter. His aim is to replace at least one director. On the current board, he may target former Bed Bath &amp; Beyond (BBBY) chief executive Mark Tritton for removal, the people said.</p><h3>NIO Releases Official Incentive Package Over Reported Big Discounts</h3><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">NIO</a> has released its official purchase discount package, with an executive again clarifying yesterday&#39;s media report after local media said the company was offering discounts of up to 100,000 yuan ($14,900).</p><p>The company&#39;s program released today includes subsidies for the purchase of its NT 1.0 platform models, additional discounts for stock vehicles and a small cash discount for the purchase of NT 2.0 platform models.</p><h3>XPeng Launches Two Flagship EVs in Europe to Build Presence Overseas</h3><p>Chinese EV automaker <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">XPeng Motors</a> officially launched two new models in Europe on Friday, the long anticipated G9 SUV, and an optimized P7 sedan featuring added range and faster charging.</p><p>Both XPeng (XPEV) EV models are on display at the eCar Expo in Stockholm this weekend, and will begin deliveries in four countries - Denmark, Norway, the Netherlands and Sweden - later this year.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1132011563","content_text":"U.S. stock index futures dropped on Friday after disappointing results from megacap growth companies including Apple and Amazon. Dow futures fall 200 points as hot January jobs number is likely to keep the Fed in hiking mode.Market SnapshotAt 8:40 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were down 215 points, or 0.63%, S&P 500 e-minis were down 50 points, or 1.2%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 250 points, or 1.95%.Nonfarm payrolls increased by 517,000 for January, above the Dow Jones estimate of 187,000. The unemployment rate fell to 3.4% vs. the estimate for 3.6%.Pre-Market MoversApple was down 1.5% in premarket trading after the iPhone maker reportedfiscal first-quarter earnings and salesthat missed Wall Street estimates. Revenue of $117.2 billion fell 5% from a year earlier, marking the first quarterly revenue decline for Apple in nearly four years.Sales in the company’s iPhone, Mac and wearables segments, in particular, came up well short of expectations.Google parent Alphabet(GOOGL) reportedslowing revenue growth in the fourth quarter and an earnings miss,sending the stock down 3.5% in premarket trading. An advertising slowdown weighed on the results.Amazon.com was falling 4% after the tech and online retailing giant reportedbetter-than-expected fourth-quarter sales growthbut weaker-than-anticipated profit, due largely to a loss on the company’s stake in electric-truck maker Rivian(RIVN). Revenue at the company’s Amazon Web Services unit fell shy of expectations.Amazon’s first-quarter revenue outlook, meanwhile, was well below Wall Street estimates.Auto maker Ford reportedfourth-quarter earningsthat missed analysts’ expectations and the stock was tumbling 6.6% in premarket trading. Fordsaid it expects to generate operating profit in 2023 of about $9 billion to $11 billion; Wall Street had projected operating profit this year of about $10 billion.Ford also announced a special dividend of 65 cents a share, and said it had sold almost all of its stake in Rivian.Nordstrom surged more than 26% after The Wall Street Journal reportedactivist investor Ryan Cohen has taken a big stake in the retailer. The Journal reported that Cohen has become one of the top five non-family shareholders of the company.Qualcomm was down 2.6% after the chip company issueda revenue outlookbelow expectations, citing deteriorating demand for smartphones and a challenging macro environment.Clorox was rising 4.2% after the cleaning products company posted better-than-expected fiscal second-quarter profit.Gilead Sciences was up 4% after fourth-quarter earnings and sales beat Wall Street expectations. The pharma company also raised its dividend.Atlassian fell nearly 10%. The software company’s fiscal second-quarter loss was wider than a year earlier.Starbucks was down 2% after the coffee chain reportedfiscal first-quarter earningsthat missed Wall Street forecasts.Market NewsTesla Shipments of China-Made Cars Climbed 18% in JanuaryTesla Inc.’s deliveries from its Shanghai plant rose in January despite the typically quieter Lunar New Year break, spurred by aggressive price cuts on the two models it makes in China.The US electric vehicle maker shipped 66,051 China-built cars in January, according to preliminary data from China’s Passenger Car Association released Friday. That’s an 18% increase from December.Nordstrom Stock Surges on Report Activist Investor Ryan Cohen Has a StakeNordstrom was up 28% in premarket trading. The Wall Street Journal reported that Cohen, known for sparking big jumps in meme stocks such as GameStop a few years ago, has become one of the top five nonfamily shareholders of the company.Cohen plans to recommend changes to the board to enact cost cutting that will reverse the stock’s poor performance, the Journal said, citing people familiar with the matter. His aim is to replace at least one director. On the current board, he may target former Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) chief executive Mark Tritton for removal, the people said.NIO Releases Official Incentive Package Over Reported Big DiscountsNIO has released its official purchase discount package, with an executive again clarifying yesterday's media report after local media said the company was offering discounts of up to 100,000 yuan ($14,900).The company's program released today includes subsidies for the purchase of its NT 1.0 platform models, additional discounts for stock vehicles and a small cash discount for the purchase of NT 2.0 platform models.XPeng Launches Two Flagship EVs in Europe to Build Presence OverseasChinese EV automaker XPeng Motors officially launched two new models in Europe on Friday, the long anticipated G9 SUV, and an optimized P7 sedan featuring added range and faster charging.Both XPeng (XPEV) EV models are on display at the eCar Expo in Stockholm this weekend, and will begin deliveries in four countries - Denmark, Norway, the Netherlands and Sweden - later this year.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9955680954,"gmtCreate":1675386525679,"gmtModify":1676538998291,"author":{"id":"4094588272208160","authorId":"4094588272208160","name":"钱神","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4094588272208160","authorIdStr":"4094588272208160"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/M44U.SI\">$MAPLETREE LOGISTICS TRUST(M44U.SI)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/M44U.SI\">$MAPLETREE LOGISTICS TRUST(M44U.SI)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","text":"$MAPLETREE LOGISTICS TRUST(M44U.SI)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9955680954","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":117,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9955398581,"gmtCreate":1675180758343,"gmtModify":1676538982449,"author":{"id":"4094588272208160","authorId":"4094588272208160","name":"钱神","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4094588272208160","authorIdStr":"4094588272208160"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9955398581","repostId":"1124767673","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1124767673","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1675178723,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1124767673?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-01-31 23:25","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Fed Points Toward a Pause in May Once Hikes Have Time to Sink In","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1124767673","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Three more months of price data to be in hand by May meetingOfficials expected to slow hikes to 25 b","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Three more months of price data to be in hand by May meeting</li><li>Officials expected to slow hikes to 25 basis points this week</li></ul><p>Federal Reserve officials are on track to consider pausing interest rate hikes following their March meeting if more evidence of cooling inflation rolls in.</p><p>That’s based on a timeline sketched out by one of the Fed’s most closely watched hawks, Governor Christopher Waller, who was an early advocate of the Fed’s front-loading rate-hike strategy last year.</p><p>Policymakers are widely expected to raise rates by a quarter percentage point at the conclusion of a two-day gathering Wednesday,  to a range of 4.5% to 4.75%, slowing from December’s 50-basis-point increase after four straight 75-basis-point moves.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/769a3a8628d2895e0f50b794911021cb\" tg-width=\"648\" tg-height=\"374\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Fed officials projected in December that they would pause when rates move above 5%, but Wall Street traders bet they will halt slightly below that level.</p><p>US central bankers have said that October, November and December inflation data, which all showed steady declines in price increases, was welcome news but they still need to see more.</p><p>Waller, in recent comments, spelled out how much more evidence he needed to call a halt.</p><p>“The argument is just whether you should pause after three months of data or pause after six months of data,” Waller said on Jan. 20. “From the risk management side — I need six months of data, not just three.”</p><p>The core personal consumption expenditures index rose 2.2% in the three months through December on an annualized basis, and 3.7% over the past six months, a slowdown from its 4.4% pace in the last 12 months, a report Friday showed.</p><p>Vice Chair Lael Brainard, speaking a day before Waller, also pointed to declines in three- and six-month measures of inflation.</p><p>Should these trends continue for three more months, per Waller’s benchmark, policymakers could have seen enough to be confident of pausing by their May 2-3 meeting, when they will have data for January, February and March in hand.</p><p>“The messaging shifts — before it was you’ve got to get moving quickly and hunker down because we’re going to be jacking rates,” said Brett Ryan, a senior US economist at Deutsche Bank. “Now it’s not about the pace, it’s about the end point and we have to feel our way around where the end point is.”</p><p>Mindful of how they got head-faked in 2021 when prices cooled and then heated back up, officials have stressed the need to see a few more months of similar soft readings to convince them the gauges are on a meaningful decline back to their 2% target.</p><p>Waller pointed to encouraging trends in wage numbers that show a deceleration over the past few months. But he noted that some monthly measures of inflation are largely unchanged from where they were at the start of 2022.</p><p>He was among officials who explicitly said they were ok with slowing to 25 basis points this week while continuing to tighten.</p><p>The change in tone and appearance of consensus about slowing the pace of rate increases as they coast to a halt was eye-catching.</p><p>“December was still early enough that they were trying to be very grumpy and resistant to any kind of optimism that they might be able to pause,” said Julia Coronado, president of MacroPolicy Perspectives in Austin, Texas.</p><p>“But now it’s kind of noteworthy that coming into this meeting both the more dovish members and the not dovish members are comfortable with 25,” she said.</p><p>Shifting to a slower pace of increases allows policymakers to transition policy into a risk-management mode in which they keep putting pressure on demand while reducing the risk of overtightening.</p><p>“In this environment, I believe we need a strategy that is both flexible and robust,” Lorie Logan, president of the Dallas Fed, said earlier this month. “We need to continually and carefully assess what the incoming data imply about the economic outlook and adjust course accordingly.”</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFed Points Toward a Pause in May Once Hikes Have Time to Sink In\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-01-31 23:25 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-01-31/fed-points-toward-a-pause-in-may-once-hikes-have-time-to-sink-in><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Three more months of price data to be in hand by May meetingOfficials expected to slow hikes to 25 basis points this weekFederal Reserve officials are on track to consider pausing interest rate hikes ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-01-31/fed-points-toward-a-pause-in-may-once-hikes-have-time-to-sink-in\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-01-31/fed-points-toward-a-pause-in-may-once-hikes-have-time-to-sink-in","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1124767673","content_text":"Three more months of price data to be in hand by May meetingOfficials expected to slow hikes to 25 basis points this weekFederal Reserve officials are on track to consider pausing interest rate hikes following their March meeting if more evidence of cooling inflation rolls in.That’s based on a timeline sketched out by one of the Fed’s most closely watched hawks, Governor Christopher Waller, who was an early advocate of the Fed’s front-loading rate-hike strategy last year.Policymakers are widely expected to raise rates by a quarter percentage point at the conclusion of a two-day gathering Wednesday,  to a range of 4.5% to 4.75%, slowing from December’s 50-basis-point increase after four straight 75-basis-point moves.Fed officials projected in December that they would pause when rates move above 5%, but Wall Street traders bet they will halt slightly below that level.US central bankers have said that October, November and December inflation data, which all showed steady declines in price increases, was welcome news but they still need to see more.Waller, in recent comments, spelled out how much more evidence he needed to call a halt.“The argument is just whether you should pause after three months of data or pause after six months of data,” Waller said on Jan. 20. “From the risk management side — I need six months of data, not just three.”The core personal consumption expenditures index rose 2.2% in the three months through December on an annualized basis, and 3.7% over the past six months, a slowdown from its 4.4% pace in the last 12 months, a report Friday showed.Vice Chair Lael Brainard, speaking a day before Waller, also pointed to declines in three- and six-month measures of inflation.Should these trends continue for three more months, per Waller’s benchmark, policymakers could have seen enough to be confident of pausing by their May 2-3 meeting, when they will have data for January, February and March in hand.“The messaging shifts — before it was you’ve got to get moving quickly and hunker down because we’re going to be jacking rates,” said Brett Ryan, a senior US economist at Deutsche Bank. “Now it’s not about the pace, it’s about the end point and we have to feel our way around where the end point is.”Mindful of how they got head-faked in 2021 when prices cooled and then heated back up, officials have stressed the need to see a few more months of similar soft readings to convince them the gauges are on a meaningful decline back to their 2% target.Waller pointed to encouraging trends in wage numbers that show a deceleration over the past few months. But he noted that some monthly measures of inflation are largely unchanged from where they were at the start of 2022.He was among officials who explicitly said they were ok with slowing to 25 basis points this week while continuing to tighten.The change in tone and appearance of consensus about slowing the pace of rate increases as they coast to a halt was eye-catching.“December was still early enough that they were trying to be very grumpy and resistant to any kind of optimism that they might be able to pause,” said Julia Coronado, president of MacroPolicy Perspectives in Austin, Texas.“But now it’s kind of noteworthy that coming into this meeting both the more dovish members and the not dovish members are comfortable with 25,” she said.Shifting to a slower pace of increases allows policymakers to transition policy into a risk-management mode in which they keep putting pressure on demand while reducing the risk of overtightening.“In this environment, I believe we need a strategy that is both flexible and robust,” Lorie Logan, president of the Dallas Fed, said earlier this month. “We need to continually and carefully assess what the incoming data imply about the economic outlook and adjust course accordingly.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":129,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}