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2022-03-30

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Should investors be worried about the yield curve inversion?

2021-12-23

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Disney Stock: 3 Reasons to Buy DIS Before the New Year

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The inversion happened at a level of about 2.39%, but only lasted several minutes before things returned to a 5 basis point spread. A short-lived inversion also occurred in the summer of 2019 amid the trade war with China, and while that was followed by the COVID downturn of 2020, the last persistent inversion of the Treasury curve occurred in 2006-2007.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e6f703245783f3ae6c3cf7c712fd083f\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"497\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>G0d4ather/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><i>What it means:</i> Yield curves typically slope upward, so when short-term yields return more than longer-dated ones, it suggests there is reason to worry about the long-term economic outlook. It can also signal that the high levels of short-term yields are unlikely to be sustained as growth slows, which can have an impact on a range of asset prices. &#34;Historically, a recession has not happened without an inversion,&#34; said Ben Emons, global macro strategist with Medley Global Advisors. &#34;So likely, it will be a predictor of a future recession. Timing, however, is unknown. It could take up to two years.&#34;</p><p>A series of inversions besides the closely-watched 2s/10s proxy have recently occurred as traders price in more and more rate hikes. 20-year yields topped 30-year yields last October, while the gap between 5-year and 30-year yields turned upside down on Monday. As the Fed embarks on a cycle of quantitative tightening, there are fears that it will reduce consumer spending and business activity as the central bank battles the highest inflation rates in a generation.</p><p><b>False alarm?</b> &#34;There&#39;s reason to believe that this time around, yield curve inversion may not be as good of an indicator as it has been in the past, particularly given the enormous amount of quantitative easing undertaken by global central banks,&#34; said Erin Browne, a fund manager at PIMCO. Fed Chair Jerome Powell also said last week that he&#39;s paying more attention to the first 18 months of the yield curve rather than anything that goes on afterwards. The inversion could also be more of a blip than a lasting trend, and in fact, the curve steepened overnight with the 2-year and 10-year yield at 2.30% and 2.37%, respectively.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Should investors be worried about the yield curve inversion?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nShould investors be worried about the yield curve inversion?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-03-30 17:14 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/news/3818738-should-investors-be-worried-about-the-yield-curve-inversion><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The yield on the 2-year Treasury briefly exceeded the 10-year on Tuesday for the first time since 2019, in a warning sign that coming Fed rate hikes may trigger a recession. The inversion happened at ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3818738-should-investors-be-worried-about-the-yield-curve-inversion\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3818738-should-investors-be-worried-about-the-yield-curve-inversion","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2223809695","content_text":"The yield on the 2-year Treasury briefly exceeded the 10-year on Tuesday for the first time since 2019, in a warning sign that coming Fed rate hikes may trigger a recession. The inversion happened at a level of about 2.39%, but only lasted several minutes before things returned to a 5 basis point spread. A short-lived inversion also occurred in the summer of 2019 amid the trade war with China, and while that was followed by the COVID downturn of 2020, the last persistent inversion of the Treasury curve occurred in 2006-2007.G0d4ather/iStock via Getty ImagesWhat it means: Yield curves typically slope upward, so when short-term yields return more than longer-dated ones, it suggests there is reason to worry about the long-term economic outlook. It can also signal that the high levels of short-term yields are unlikely to be sustained as growth slows, which can have an impact on a range of asset prices. \"Historically, a recession has not happened without an inversion,\" said Ben Emons, global macro strategist with Medley Global Advisors. \"So likely, it will be a predictor of a future recession. Timing, however, is unknown. It could take up to two years.\"A series of inversions besides the closely-watched 2s/10s proxy have recently occurred as traders price in more and more rate hikes. 20-year yields topped 30-year yields last October, while the gap between 5-year and 30-year yields turned upside down on Monday. As the Fed embarks on a cycle of quantitative tightening, there are fears that it will reduce consumer spending and business activity as the central bank battles the highest inflation rates in a generation.False alarm? \"There's reason to believe that this time around, yield curve inversion may not be as good of an indicator as it has been in the past, particularly given the enormous amount of quantitative easing undertaken by global central banks,\" said Erin Browne, a fund manager at PIMCO. Fed Chair Jerome Powell also said last week that he's paying more attention to the first 18 months of the yield curve rather than anything that goes on afterwards. The inversion could also be more of a blip than a lasting trend, and in fact, the curve steepened overnight with the 2-year and 10-year yield at 2.30% and 2.37%, respectively.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":198,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9000525194,"gmtCreate":1640239017041,"gmtModify":1676533510813,"author":{"id":"4100093792981340","authorId":"4100093792981340","authorIdStr":"4100093792981340","name":"missbunny","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4100093792981340"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍🏻[Smile]&nbsp;","listText":"👍🏻[Smile]&nbsp;","text":"👍🏻[Smile]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9000525194","repostId":"1129043180","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1129043180","pubTimestamp":1640238582,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1129043180?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-12-23 13:49","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Disney Stock: 3 Reasons to Buy DIS Before the New Year","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1129043180","media":"TheStreet","summary":"After a year of disappointing revenue and sluggish growth, Disney is ready for a comeback in 2022. Here's why investors may want to consider buying shares now.In 2021, Disney stock disappointed investors with a roughly 15% loss. This poor performance was due largely to underwhelming revenue and Disney+'s sluggish subscriber growth.However, we think a stock rally is possible in 2022.Let's dig into three factors that could lift DIS shares over the next year and why investors may want to consider b","content":"<p>After a year of disappointing revenue and sluggish growth, Disney is ready for a comeback in 2022. Here's why investors may want to consider buying shares now.</p>\n<p>In 2021, Disney&nbsp;stock disappointed investors with a roughly 15% loss. This poor performance was due largely to underwhelming revenue and Disney+'s sluggish subscriber growth.</p>\n<p>However, we think a stock rally is possible in 2022.</p>\n<p>Let's dig into three factors that could lift DIS shares over the next year and why investors may want to consider buying Disney stock even before the end of this month.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab93c2bf2d0a5202a8ff019edf2a5153\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"827\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 1: Walt Disney Studios in Burbank, CA.</span></p>\n<p><b>1. Increased Revenue From Movie Theaters and Theme Parks</b></p>\n<p>Before the COVID-19 pandemic began, Disney's largest segment by revenue was its theme parks and resorts. However, since 2020, the company has had to cut capacity at most of its properties.</p>\n<p>As the number of COVID-19 cases worldwide begins to decrease and Disney parks, resorts, and cruises return to full capacity, this segment should become a top-earner again.</p>\n<p>In addition, the virus put a dent in Disney's box office earnings. As movie fans return to cinemas around the globe, the company's entertainment business will pick up too.</p>\n<p>In fact, if parks and movie theaters return to pre-COVID attendance levels, the company could add $26 billion in revenue in those segments alone (based on the last quarter before the pandemic began). That would positively impact DIS's valuation.</p>\n<p><b>2. Better Performance From Disney+</b></p>\n<p>Since its launch in 2019, Disney's streaming service, Disney+, has been a success. In just two short years, it has grabbed a huge market share and competed with industry giants such as Netflix&nbsp;and Amazon&nbsp;Prime Video.</p>\n<p>However, Disney+'s new subscriber growth slowed in 2021, even falling short of the company's own projections. That has caused shares to depreciate significantly since Disney's latest earnings reports.</p>\n<p>But subscriber growth can often be tied to new available content. Because of the pandemic, Disney was unable to keep up a steady pace of production. It's likely that negatively impacted the service's performance.</p>\n<p>With production studios returning to normal, Disney+ should see a growing number of new subscribers. And we may not have to wait until New Year's for new subscribers to start signing up.</p>\n<p>In fact, during the third-quarter earnings call, Disney CFO Christine McCarthy said, \"[The fourth quarter of fiscal 2021] will be the first time in Disney+ history that we plan to release original content… from Disney, Marvel, Star Wars, Pixar, and Nat Geo, all in one quarter.\"</p>\n<p><b>3. It's Relatively Cheap Right Now</b></p>\n<p>Since the start of 2021, Disney shares have dropped roughly 15%. And since this year's peak in March, the stock has plunged more than 25%.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/013efce484719721d9f3c1730f73fb9f\" tg-width=\"893\" tg-height=\"468\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 2: Disney stock performance in 2021.</span></p>\n<p>However, Disney is still a global company with many revenue segments. Just as all of these segments suffered during the pandemic, they all should experience a turnaround in the coming years… or even months.</p>\n<p><b>Our Take</b></p>\n<p>Although this year has been a lousy one for Disney bulls, there's light at the end of the tunnel. By buying DIS shares before 2022 begins, investors can take advantage of potential price increases in the new year.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Disney Stock: 3 Reasons to Buy DIS Before the New Year</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDisney Stock: 3 Reasons to Buy DIS Before the New Year\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-12-23 13:49 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.thestreet.com/streaming/dis/disney-stock-3-reasons-to-buy-dis-before-the-new-year><strong>TheStreet</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>After a year of disappointing revenue and sluggish growth, Disney is ready for a comeback in 2022. Here's why investors may want to consider buying shares now.\nIn 2021, Disney stock disappointed ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/streaming/dis/disney-stock-3-reasons-to-buy-dis-before-the-new-year\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"DIS":"迪士尼"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/streaming/dis/disney-stock-3-reasons-to-buy-dis-before-the-new-year","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1129043180","content_text":"After a year of disappointing revenue and sluggish growth, Disney is ready for a comeback in 2022. Here's why investors may want to consider buying shares now.\nIn 2021, Disney stock disappointed investors with a roughly 15% loss. This poor performance was due largely to underwhelming revenue and Disney+'s sluggish subscriber growth.\nHowever, we think a stock rally is possible in 2022.\nLet's dig into three factors that could lift DIS shares over the next year and why investors may want to consider buying Disney stock even before the end of this month.\nFigure 1: Walt Disney Studios in Burbank, CA.\n1. Increased Revenue From Movie Theaters and Theme Parks\nBefore the COVID-19 pandemic began, Disney's largest segment by revenue was its theme parks and resorts. However, since 2020, the company has had to cut capacity at most of its properties.\nAs the number of COVID-19 cases worldwide begins to decrease and Disney parks, resorts, and cruises return to full capacity, this segment should become a top-earner again.\nIn addition, the virus put a dent in Disney's box office earnings. As movie fans return to cinemas around the globe, the company's entertainment business will pick up too.\nIn fact, if parks and movie theaters return to pre-COVID attendance levels, the company could add $26 billion in revenue in those segments alone (based on the last quarter before the pandemic began). That would positively impact DIS's valuation.\n2. Better Performance From Disney+\nSince its launch in 2019, Disney's streaming service, Disney+, has been a success. In just two short years, it has grabbed a huge market share and competed with industry giants such as Netflix and Amazon Prime Video.\nHowever, Disney+'s new subscriber growth slowed in 2021, even falling short of the company's own projections. That has caused shares to depreciate significantly since Disney's latest earnings reports.\nBut subscriber growth can often be tied to new available content. Because of the pandemic, Disney was unable to keep up a steady pace of production. It's likely that negatively impacted the service's performance.\nWith production studios returning to normal, Disney+ should see a growing number of new subscribers. And we may not have to wait until New Year's for new subscribers to start signing up.\nIn fact, during the third-quarter earnings call, Disney CFO Christine McCarthy said, \"[The fourth quarter of fiscal 2021] will be the first time in Disney+ history that we plan to release original content… from Disney, Marvel, Star Wars, Pixar, and Nat Geo, all in one quarter.\"\n3. It's Relatively Cheap Right Now\nSince the start of 2021, Disney shares have dropped roughly 15%. And since this year's peak in March, the stock has plunged more than 25%.\nFigure 2: Disney stock performance in 2021.\nHowever, Disney is still a global company with many revenue segments. Just as all of these segments suffered during the pandemic, they all should experience a turnaround in the coming years… or even months.\nOur Take\nAlthough this year has been a lousy one for Disney bulls, there's light at the end of the tunnel. By buying DIS shares before 2022 begins, investors can take advantage of potential price increases in the new year.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":140,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9019444947,"gmtCreate":1648632146708,"gmtModify":1676534368249,"author":{"id":"4100093792981340","authorId":"4100093792981340","authorIdStr":"4100093792981340","name":"missbunny","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4100093792981340"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Smile]&nbsp;","listText":"[Smile]&nbsp;","text":"[Smile]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9019444947","repostId":"2223809695","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":198,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9000525194,"gmtCreate":1640239017041,"gmtModify":1676533510813,"author":{"id":"4100093792981340","authorId":"4100093792981340","authorIdStr":"4100093792981340","name":"missbunny","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4100093792981340"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍🏻[Smile]&nbsp;","listText":"👍🏻[Smile]&nbsp;","text":"👍🏻[Smile]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9000525194","repostId":"1129043180","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":140,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}