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KindnessPanG
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KindnessPanG
2022-09-20
$VIX Short-Term Futures 1.5X ETF(UVXY)$
KindnessPanG
2022-09-20
$TQQQ 20220930 30.0 CALL$
KindnessPanG
2022-09-17
$Nasdaq100 Bull 3X ETF(TQQQ)$
KindnessPanG
2022-09-17
$TQQQ 20220930 30.0 CALL$
KindnessPanG
2022-09-15
$VIX Short-Term Futures 1.5X ETF(UVXY)$
View on VIX Short-Term Futures 1.5X ETF(UVXY)BullishBearish
KindnessPanG
2022-09-15
$Apple(AAPL)$
KindnessPanG
2022-09-14
$VIX Short-Term Futures 1.5X ETF(UVXY)$
KindnessPanG
2022-09-13
$VIX Short-Term Futures 1.5X ETF(UVXY)$
KindnessPanG
2022-09-13
$UVXY 20220930 11.0 CALL$
KindnessPanG
2022-09-12
$VIX Short-Term Futures 1.5X ETF(UVXY)$
KindnessPanG
2022-09-12
$UVXY 20220930 11.0 CALL$
bullish
KindnessPanG
2022-09-09
$VIX Short-Term Futures 1.5X ETF(UVXY)$
KindnessPanG
2022-09-09
$Vinco Ventures, Inc.(BBIG)$
View on Vinco Ventures, Inc.(BBIG)BullishBearish
KindnessPanG
2022-09-08
$Nasdaq100 Bull 3X ETF(TQQQ)$
KindnessPanG
2022-09-08
$Apple(AAPL)$
View on Apple(AAPL)BullishBearish
KindnessPanG
2022-09-08
$Vinco Ventures, Inc.(BBIG)$
View on Vinco Ventures, Inc.(BBIG)BullishBearish
KindnessPanG
2022-09-07
$VIX Short-Term Futures 1.5X ETF(UVXY)$
View on VIX Short-Term Futures 1.5X ETF(UVXY)BullishBearish
KindnessPanG
2022-09-07
$Vinco Ventures, Inc.(BBIG)$
View on Vinco Ventures, Inc.(BBIG)BullishBearish
KindnessPanG
2022-09-06
$VIX Short-Term Futures 1.5X ETF(UVXY)$
View on VIX Short-Term Futures 1.5X ETF(UVXY)BullishBearish
KindnessPanG
2022-09-06
$Vinco Ventures, Inc.(BBIG)$
View on Vinco Ventures, Inc.(BBIG)BullishBearish
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data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","text":"$Apple(AAPL)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/21459ca8ab985d34622e7f61cc2af420","width":"1125","height":"2196"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9934207795","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":158,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9934082219,"gmtCreate":1663161333932,"gmtModify":1676537216758,"author":{"id":"4103088849754390","authorId":"4103088849754390","name":"KindnessPanG","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/61cea41910ec799d2f4c632d945c12e9","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4103088849754390","authorIdStr":"4103088849754390"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/UVXY\">$VIX Short-Term Futures 1.5X ETF(UVXY)$</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","listText":"<a 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Short-Term Futures 1.5X ETF(UVXY)$</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/UVXY\">$VIX Short-Term Futures 1.5X ETF(UVXY)$</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","text":"$VIX Short-Term Futures 1.5X ETF(UVXY)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4ce422d1081266240954ab9fd4be2f66","width":"1125","height":"2517"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9935849980","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":252,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9935849081,"gmtCreate":1663073224843,"gmtModify":1676537196491,"author":{"id":"4103088849754390","authorId":"4103088849754390","name":"KindnessPanG","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/61cea41910ec799d2f4c632d945c12e9","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4103088849754390","authorIdStr":"4103088849754390"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/UVXY 20220930 11.0 CALL\">$UVXY 20220930 11.0 CALL$</a>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/UVXY 20220930 11.0 CALL\">$UVXY 20220930 11.0 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Ventures, Inc.(BBIG)$</a>View on Vinco Ventures, Inc.(BBIG)BullishBearish","text":"$Vinco Ventures, Inc.(BBIG)$View on Vinco Ventures, Inc.(BBIG)BullishBearish","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9ec3cdc6f02ca15f178ad858e3d7787e","width":"1125","height":"2196"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9938002436","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":67,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9931664856,"gmtCreate":1662451417075,"gmtModify":1676537063046,"author":{"id":"4103088849754390","authorId":"4103088849754390","name":"KindnessPanG","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/61cea41910ec799d2f4c632d945c12e9","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4103088849754390","authorIdStr":"4103088849754390"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/UVXY\">$VIX 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Ventures, Inc.(BBIG)$</a>View on Vinco Ventures, Inc.(BBIG)BullishBearish","text":"$Vinco Ventures, Inc.(BBIG)$View on Vinco Ventures, Inc.(BBIG)BullishBearish","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5c325e81bb7c6e6b38810d4d1f7432a9","width":"1125","height":"2196"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9931664977","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":54,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9930764038,"gmtCreate":1662006202026,"gmtModify":1676536624085,"author":{"id":"4103088849754390","authorId":"4103088849754390","name":"KindnessPanG","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/61cea41910ec799d2f4c632d945c12e9","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4103088849754390","authorIdStr":"4103088849754390"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9930764038","repostId":"2264232068","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2264232068","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1661990277,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2264232068?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-01 07:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"\"Prepare for an Epic Finale\": Jeremy Grantham Warns \"Tragedy\" Looms as \"Superbubble\" May Burst","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2264232068","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Jeremy Grantham, co-founder of GMO, warns that a “superbubble” now appears between its third and fin","content":"<html><head></head><body><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e30283c0fa974f75392c6e017fc03beb\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"393\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Jeremy Grantham, co-founder of GMO, warns that a “superbubble” now appears between its third and final act.</span></p><p>A "superbubble" appears dangerously near its "final act" after the recent rally in U.S. stocks lured some investors back into the market just ahead of potential "tragedy," according to Jeremy Grantham, the legendary co-founder of Boston-based investment firm GMO.</p><p>Grantham, who has repeatedly warned investors of a bubble in markets, said in a paper Wednesday that "superbubbles are events unlike any others" and share some common features.</p><p>"One of those features is the bear-market rally after the initial derating stage of the decline but before the economy has clearly begun to deteriorate, as it always has when superbubbles burst," said Grantham. "This, in all three previous cases, recovered over half the market's initial losses, luring unwary investors back just in time for the market to turn down again, only more viciously, and the economy to weaken. This summer's rally has so far perfectly fit the pattern."</p><p>The U.S. stock market tumbled during the first half of 2022 as investors anticipated soaring inflation would lead to a hawkish Federal Reserve. The S&P 500 closed at a low this year of 3,666.77 on June 16, before surging over the summer along with other stock benchmarks amid investor optimism over signs that the highest inflation in decades was easing.</p><p>Fed Chair Jerome Powell recently ended that rally with his Aug. 26 speech at the Jackson Hole, Wyo., economic symposium, wiping out this month's gains as he reiterated that the central bank would keep tightening its monetary policy to tame soaring inflation. He warned that the Fed would battle inflation until the job was done, even as it may bring pain to households and businesses.</p><p>"The U.S. stock market remains very expensive and an increase in inflation like the one this year has always hurt multiples, although more slowly than normal this time," Grantham said. "But now the fundamentals have also started to deteriorate enormously and surprisingly: Between COVID in China, war in Europe, food and energy crises, record fiscal tightening, and more, the outlook is far grimmer than could have been foreseen in January."</p><p>Grantham had warned in a January paper that the U.S. was approaching the end of a "superbubble" spanning across stocks, bonds, real estate and commodities following massive stimulus during the COVID-19 pandemic.</p><p>In his paper Wednesday, Grantham said "the current superbubble features an unprecedentedly dangerous mix of cross-asset overvaluation (with bonds, housing, and stocks all critically overpriced and now rapidly losing momentum), commodity shock, and Fed hawkishness."</p><p>The bursting of superbubbles has multiple stages, according to Grantham.</p><p>First the bubble forms and then a "setback" in valuations -- such as the one seen in the first half of 2022 -- occurs as investors come to realize "perfection" won't last, he said. "Then there is what we have just seen -- the bear-market rally," before finally "fundamentals deteriorate" and the market drops to a low.</p><p>"Bear-market rallies in superbubbles are easier and faster than any other rallies," he said. "Investors surmise, this stock sold for $100 6 months ago, so now at $50, or $60, or $70, it must be cheap."</p><p>At the intraday peak on Aug. 16, the S&P 500 had made back 58% of its losses since its June low, according to Grantham. That was "eerily similar to these other historic superbubbles."</p><p>For example, "from the November low in 1929 to the April 1930 high, the market rallied 46% -- a 55% recovery of the loss from the peak," he said.</p><p>He also highlighted the "speed and scale" of other bear-market rallies.</p><p>"In 1973, the summer rally after the initial decline recovered 59% of the S&P 500's total loss from the high," he wrote. More recently, in 2000, Grantham wrote that "the Nasdaq (which had been the main event of the tech bubble) recovered 60% of its initial losses in just 2 months."</p><p>U.S. stocks ended lower Wednesday, with all three major benchmarks booking a fourth straight day of declines on the final day of August. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 0.9%, while the S&P 500 fell 0.8% and the technology-heavy Nasdaq Composite slid 0.6%.</p><p>"Economic data inevitably lags major turning points in the economy," said Grantham. "To make matters worse, at the turn of events like 2000 and 2007, data series like corporate profits and employment can subsequently be massively revised downwards."</p><p>"It is during this lag that the bear-market rally typically occurs," he said. And now the current superbubble appears to have "paused between the third and final act," according to Grantham.</p><p>"Prepare for an epic finale," he said. "If history repeats, the play will once again be a Tragedy. We must hope this time for a minor one."</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>\"Prepare for an Epic Finale\": Jeremy Grantham Warns \"Tragedy\" Looms as \"Superbubble\" May Burst</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n\"Prepare for an Epic Finale\": Jeremy Grantham Warns \"Tragedy\" Looms as \"Superbubble\" May Burst\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-09-01 07:57</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e30283c0fa974f75392c6e017fc03beb\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"393\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Jeremy Grantham, co-founder of GMO, warns that a “superbubble” now appears between its third and final act.</span></p><p>A "superbubble" appears dangerously near its "final act" after the recent rally in U.S. stocks lured some investors back into the market just ahead of potential "tragedy," according to Jeremy Grantham, the legendary co-founder of Boston-based investment firm GMO.</p><p>Grantham, who has repeatedly warned investors of a bubble in markets, said in a paper Wednesday that "superbubbles are events unlike any others" and share some common features.</p><p>"One of those features is the bear-market rally after the initial derating stage of the decline but before the economy has clearly begun to deteriorate, as it always has when superbubbles burst," said Grantham. "This, in all three previous cases, recovered over half the market's initial losses, luring unwary investors back just in time for the market to turn down again, only more viciously, and the economy to weaken. This summer's rally has so far perfectly fit the pattern."</p><p>The U.S. stock market tumbled during the first half of 2022 as investors anticipated soaring inflation would lead to a hawkish Federal Reserve. The S&P 500 closed at a low this year of 3,666.77 on June 16, before surging over the summer along with other stock benchmarks amid investor optimism over signs that the highest inflation in decades was easing.</p><p>Fed Chair Jerome Powell recently ended that rally with his Aug. 26 speech at the Jackson Hole, Wyo., economic symposium, wiping out this month's gains as he reiterated that the central bank would keep tightening its monetary policy to tame soaring inflation. He warned that the Fed would battle inflation until the job was done, even as it may bring pain to households and businesses.</p><p>"The U.S. stock market remains very expensive and an increase in inflation like the one this year has always hurt multiples, although more slowly than normal this time," Grantham said. "But now the fundamentals have also started to deteriorate enormously and surprisingly: Between COVID in China, war in Europe, food and energy crises, record fiscal tightening, and more, the outlook is far grimmer than could have been foreseen in January."</p><p>Grantham had warned in a January paper that the U.S. was approaching the end of a "superbubble" spanning across stocks, bonds, real estate and commodities following massive stimulus during the COVID-19 pandemic.</p><p>In his paper Wednesday, Grantham said "the current superbubble features an unprecedentedly dangerous mix of cross-asset overvaluation (with bonds, housing, and stocks all critically overpriced and now rapidly losing momentum), commodity shock, and Fed hawkishness."</p><p>The bursting of superbubbles has multiple stages, according to Grantham.</p><p>First the bubble forms and then a "setback" in valuations -- such as the one seen in the first half of 2022 -- occurs as investors come to realize "perfection" won't last, he said. "Then there is what we have just seen -- the bear-market rally," before finally "fundamentals deteriorate" and the market drops to a low.</p><p>"Bear-market rallies in superbubbles are easier and faster than any other rallies," he said. "Investors surmise, this stock sold for $100 6 months ago, so now at $50, or $60, or $70, it must be cheap."</p><p>At the intraday peak on Aug. 16, the S&P 500 had made back 58% of its losses since its June low, according to Grantham. That was "eerily similar to these other historic superbubbles."</p><p>For example, "from the November low in 1929 to the April 1930 high, the market rallied 46% -- a 55% recovery of the loss from the peak," he said.</p><p>He also highlighted the "speed and scale" of other bear-market rallies.</p><p>"In 1973, the summer rally after the initial decline recovered 59% of the S&P 500's total loss from the high," he wrote. More recently, in 2000, Grantham wrote that "the Nasdaq (which had been the main event of the tech bubble) recovered 60% of its initial losses in just 2 months."</p><p>U.S. stocks ended lower Wednesday, with all three major benchmarks booking a fourth straight day of declines on the final day of August. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 0.9%, while the S&P 500 fell 0.8% and the technology-heavy Nasdaq Composite slid 0.6%.</p><p>"Economic data inevitably lags major turning points in the economy," said Grantham. "To make matters worse, at the turn of events like 2000 and 2007, data series like corporate profits and employment can subsequently be massively revised downwards."</p><p>"It is during this lag that the bear-market rally typically occurs," he said. And now the current superbubble appears to have "paused between the third and final act," according to Grantham.</p><p>"Prepare for an epic finale," he said. "If history repeats, the play will once again be a Tragedy. We must hope this time for a minor one."</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","OEX":"标普100","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","SH":"标普500反向ETF","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","SPY":"标普500ETF","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2264232068","content_text":"Jeremy Grantham, co-founder of GMO, warns that a “superbubble” now appears between its third and final act.A \"superbubble\" appears dangerously near its \"final act\" after the recent rally in U.S. stocks lured some investors back into the market just ahead of potential \"tragedy,\" according to Jeremy Grantham, the legendary co-founder of Boston-based investment firm GMO.Grantham, who has repeatedly warned investors of a bubble in markets, said in a paper Wednesday that \"superbubbles are events unlike any others\" and share some common features.\"One of those features is the bear-market rally after the initial derating stage of the decline but before the economy has clearly begun to deteriorate, as it always has when superbubbles burst,\" said Grantham. \"This, in all three previous cases, recovered over half the market's initial losses, luring unwary investors back just in time for the market to turn down again, only more viciously, and the economy to weaken. This summer's rally has so far perfectly fit the pattern.\"The U.S. stock market tumbled during the first half of 2022 as investors anticipated soaring inflation would lead to a hawkish Federal Reserve. The S&P 500 closed at a low this year of 3,666.77 on June 16, before surging over the summer along with other stock benchmarks amid investor optimism over signs that the highest inflation in decades was easing.Fed Chair Jerome Powell recently ended that rally with his Aug. 26 speech at the Jackson Hole, Wyo., economic symposium, wiping out this month's gains as he reiterated that the central bank would keep tightening its monetary policy to tame soaring inflation. He warned that the Fed would battle inflation until the job was done, even as it may bring pain to households and businesses.\"The U.S. stock market remains very expensive and an increase in inflation like the one this year has always hurt multiples, although more slowly than normal this time,\" Grantham said. \"But now the fundamentals have also started to deteriorate enormously and surprisingly: Between COVID in China, war in Europe, food and energy crises, record fiscal tightening, and more, the outlook is far grimmer than could have been foreseen in January.\"Grantham had warned in a January paper that the U.S. was approaching the end of a \"superbubble\" spanning across stocks, bonds, real estate and commodities following massive stimulus during the COVID-19 pandemic.In his paper Wednesday, Grantham said \"the current superbubble features an unprecedentedly dangerous mix of cross-asset overvaluation (with bonds, housing, and stocks all critically overpriced and now rapidly losing momentum), commodity shock, and Fed hawkishness.\"The bursting of superbubbles has multiple stages, according to Grantham.First the bubble forms and then a \"setback\" in valuations -- such as the one seen in the first half of 2022 -- occurs as investors come to realize \"perfection\" won't last, he said. \"Then there is what we have just seen -- the bear-market rally,\" before finally \"fundamentals deteriorate\" and the market drops to a low.\"Bear-market rallies in superbubbles are easier and faster than any other rallies,\" he said. \"Investors surmise, this stock sold for $100 6 months ago, so now at $50, or $60, or $70, it must be cheap.\"At the intraday peak on Aug. 16, the S&P 500 had made back 58% of its losses since its June low, according to Grantham. That was \"eerily similar to these other historic superbubbles.\"For example, \"from the November low in 1929 to the April 1930 high, the market rallied 46% -- a 55% recovery of the loss from the peak,\" he said.He also highlighted the \"speed and scale\" of other bear-market rallies.\"In 1973, the summer rally after the initial decline recovered 59% of the S&P 500's total loss from the high,\" he wrote. More recently, in 2000, Grantham wrote that \"the Nasdaq (which had been the main event of the tech bubble) recovered 60% of its initial losses in just 2 months.\"U.S. stocks ended lower Wednesday, with all three major benchmarks booking a fourth straight day of declines on the final day of August. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 0.9%, while the S&P 500 fell 0.8% and the technology-heavy Nasdaq Composite slid 0.6%.\"Economic data inevitably lags major turning points in the economy,\" said Grantham. \"To make matters worse, at the turn of events like 2000 and 2007, data series like corporate profits and employment can subsequently be massively revised downwards.\"\"It is during this lag that the bear-market rally typically occurs,\" he said. And now the current superbubble appears to have \"paused between the third and final act,\" according to Grantham.\"Prepare for an epic finale,\" he said. \"If history repeats, the play will once again be a Tragedy. We must hope this time for a minor one.\"","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":17,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9936349610,"gmtCreate":1662714243830,"gmtModify":1676537125478,"author":{"id":"4103088849754390","authorId":"4103088849754390","name":"KindnessPanG","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/61cea41910ec799d2f4c632d945c12e9","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4103088849754390","authorIdStr":"4103088849754390"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BBIG\">$Vinco Ventures, Inc.(BBIG)$</a>View on Vinco Ventures, Inc.(BBIG)BullishBearish","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BBIG\">$Vinco Ventures, Inc.(BBIG)$</a>View on Vinco Ventures, Inc.(BBIG)BullishBearish","text":"$Vinco Ventures, Inc.(BBIG)$View on Vinco Ventures, 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Ventures, Inc.(BBIG)$</a>View on Vinco Ventures, Inc.(BBIG)BullishBearish","text":"$Vinco Ventures, Inc.(BBIG)$View on Vinco Ventures, Inc.(BBIG)BullishBearish","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/94eada8683e1b60183e27d155a39b45c","width":"1125","height":"2196"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9939568123","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":23,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9997077020,"gmtCreate":1661730834563,"gmtModify":1676536567283,"author":{"id":"4103088849754390","authorId":"4103088849754390","name":"KindnessPanG","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/61cea41910ec799d2f4c632d945c12e9","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4103088849754390","authorIdStr":"4103088849754390"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9997077020","repostId":"1164924578","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":16,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9997074807,"gmtCreate":1661730809112,"gmtModify":1676536567267,"author":{"id":"4103088849754390","authorId":"4103088849754390","name":"KindnessPanG","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/61cea41910ec799d2f4c632d945c12e9","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4103088849754390","authorIdStr":"4103088849754390"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9997074807","repostId":"1164924578","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1164924578","pubTimestamp":1661727544,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1164924578?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-29 06:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Jobs in Focus after Hawkish Powell Speech: What to Know This Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1164924578","media":"Yahoo Finance","summary":"The latest monthly jobs report is this week’s main attraction as investors barrel into September.Aug","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The latest monthly jobs report is this week’s main attraction as investors barrel into September.</p><p>August employment data from the Labor Department is set for release at 8:30 a.m. ET Friday morning, and is expected to show another strong month for the U.S. labor market. Economists expect nonfarm payrolls rose by 300,000 in August, according to data from Bloomberg.</p><p>The figure is likely to serve a key role in dictating the Federal Reserve’s next rate decision at its policy-setting meeting later this month. Investors will keep a close eye on jobs data after Fed Chair Jerome Powell asserted in ahawkish speech at the Jackson Hole symposium Fridayhe is willing to accept a softening labor market in exchange for mitigating inflation.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/354281bbcc2edd592cdebfe0f8a5a9a9\" tg-width=\"705\" tg-height=\"484\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Jerome Powell, chair of the Federal Reserve walks in Teton National Park where financial leaders from around the world gathered for the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium outside Jackson, Wyoming, U.S., August 26, 2022. REUTERS/Jim Urquhart</span></p><p>“If there is a conflict in the Fed’s two mandates as they work to slow inflation, Chair Powell ranks price stability head and shoulders above maximum employment,” Jeff Klingelhofer, co-head of investments at Thornburg Investment Management said in a note on Friday.</p><p>Powell’sremarks sent markets tumbling, with all three major averages settling at four-week lows on Friday.</p><p>The Nasdaq plunged 3.9%, and the S&P 500 shed 3.3%, with both indexes logging their biggest one-day drops since June 13. The Dow Jones Industrial Average erased 1,000 points, or roughly 3% on Friday.</p><p>“There will very likely be some softening of labor market conditions,” Powell said in his speech.</p><p>“While higher interest rates, slower growth and softer labor market conditions will bring down inflation, they will also bring some pain to households and businesses,” Powell added. “These are the unfortunate costs of reducing inflation. But a failure to restore price stability would mean far greater pain.”</p><p>Up until Friday, some market participants had expected the U.S. central bank may pivot in its monetary tightening plans, but Powell and other officials have pushed back on the possibility of notching down rate hikes this year.</p><p>Inflation has shown signs of moderating, but continues to run sharply higher than the Federal Reserve’s target of 2%. Data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis on Friday showed consumer prices fell slightly last month, with headline PCE falling 0.1% between June and July, driven primarily by a 4.8% decline in energy prices. On a year-over-year basis, headline PCE rose 6.3% in July.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f62c6fb463c5b5689ca97018d6f8a7f6\" tg-width=\"705\" tg-height=\"483\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>David Malpass, president of the World Bank Group, looks on next to a stuffed grizzly bear at Teton National Park, where financial leaders from around the world gathered for the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium, outside Jackson, Wyoming, U.S., August 26, 2022. REUTERS/Jim Urquhart</span></p><p>And core PCE, the Fed's preferred measure of inflation, rose 0.1% month-on-month in July and 4.6% from the prior year, marking the lowest annual increase since October 2021.</p><p>Still, Powell indicated another “unusually large” rate hike was possible in September after the central bank raised rates by 75 basis points inJuneandJuly.</p><p>"Restoring price stability will likely require maintaining a restrictive policy stance for some time," Powell said. "The historical record cautions strongly against prematurely loosening policy.”</p><p>Elsewhere in labor market data,ADP will resume its private payrolls reportwith new a methodology on Wednesday after a temporary pause in June and July. Economists surveyed by Bloomberg expect the release to show 300,000 private payrolls were added in August.</p><p>ADP's monthly private jobs report comes two days before the Labor Department releases its official jobs report. While the company’s print is an imperfect precursor to the government’s release, it offers a snapshot of job growth during the period.</p><p>The Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS), Challenger Job Cuts, and initial weekly jobless claims are also on the docket of employment data set for release this week.</p><p>On the earnings front, the reporting season has largely wound down, but a few potentially market-moving results are still on tap. Traders will get figures from headliners including Best Buy (BBY), HP (HPQ), Big Lots (BIG), Chewy (CHWY), Lululemon Athletica (LULU), and Broadcom (AVGO).</p><p>—</p><h2>Economic Calendar</h2><p><b>Monday:Dallas Fed Manufacturing Activity</b>, August (-12.7 expected, -22.6 during prior month)</p><p><b>Tuesday: FHFA House Pricing Index</b>, month-over-month, June (0.8% expected, 1.4% during prior month);<b>House Price Purchasing Index</b>, quarter-over-quarter, Q2 (4.6% during prior quarter);<b>S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City Composite</b>, month-over-month, June (0.90% expected, 1.32% during prior month);<b>S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City Composite</b>, year-over-year, June (19.20% expected, 20.50% during prior month);<b>S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index</b>, year-over-year, June (19.75% during prior month);<b>Conference Board Consumer Confidence</b>, August (97.7 expected, 95.7 during prior month);<b>JOLTS Job openings</b>, July (10.475 million expected, 10.698 million during prior month)</p><p><b>Wednesday: MBA Mortgage Applications</b>, week ended August 26 (-1.2% during prior week);<b>ADP Employment Change</b>, August (300,000 expected);<b>MNI Chicago PMI</b>, August (52.5 expected, 52.1 during prior month)</p><p><b>Thursday: Challenger Job Cuts</b>, year-over-year, August (36.3% during prior month);<b>Initial Jobless Claims</b>, week ended August 27 (249,000 expected, 243,000 during prior week);<b>Continuing Claims</b>, week ended August 20 (1.450 million expected, 1.415 million during prior week);<b>Nonfarm Productivity</b>, Q1 final (-7.5% expected, 7.5% during prior month);<b>S&P Global U.S. Composite PMI</b>, August final (51.3 expected, 51.3 during prior month);<b>Construction Spending</b>, month-over-month, July (-0.1% expected, -1.1% during prior month);<b>ISM Manufacturing</b>, August (52.0 expected, 52.8 during prior month);<b>ISM Prices Paid</b>, March (60.0 during prior month);<b>ISM New Orders</b>, August (48.0 during prior month);<b>ISM Employment</b>, August (49.9 during prior month);<b>WARDS Total Vehicle Sales</b>, August (13.50 million expected, 13.35 million prior month)</p><p><b>Friday: Nonfarm Payrolls</b>, August (300,000 expected, 528,000 during prior month);<b>Unemployment Rate</b>, August (3.5% expected, 3.5% during prior month);<b>Average Hourly Earnings</b>, month-over-month, August (0.4% expected, 0.5% during prior month);<b>Average Hourly Earnings</b>, year-over-year, August (5.2% expected, 5.2% prior month);<b>Average Weekly Hours All Employees</b>, August (34.6 expected, 34.6 during prior month);<b>Labor Force Participation Rate</b>, August (62.2% expected, 62.1% during prior month);<b>Underemployment Rate</b>, August (6.7% during prior month);<b>Factory Orders</b>, July (0.2% expected, 2.0% during prior month);<b>Durable Goods Orders</b>, July final (0.0% expected, 0.0% during prior month);<b>Durables excluding transportation</b>, July final (0.3% expected, 0.3% during prior month);<b>Non-defense capital goods orders excluding aircraft</b>, July final (0.4% during prior month);<b>Non-defense capital goods shipments excluding aircraft</b>, July final (0.7% during prior month)</p><p>—</p><h2>Earnings Calendar:</h2><p><b>Monday: Catalent</b>(CTLT),<b>SelectQuote</b>(SLQT)</p><p><b>Tuesday: Best</b> <b>Buy</b>(BBY),<b>HP</b>(HPQ),<b>Ambarella</b>(AMBA),<b>Baidu</b>(BIDU),<b>Big</b> <b>Lots</b>(BIG),<b>Chewy</b>(CHWY)<b>Conn's</b>(CONN),<b>CrowdStrike</b>(CRWD),<b>Hewlett Packard Enterprise</b>(HPE),<b>Photronics</b>(PLAB)</p><p><b>Wednesday:Anaplan</b>(PLAN),<b>Cooper</b>(COO),<b>DesignerBrands</b>(DBI),<b>Donaldson</b>(DCI),<b>FiveBelow</b>(FIVE),<b>MongoDB</b>(MDB),<b>Okta</b>(OKTA),<b>PureStorage</b>(PSTG),<b>Semtech</b>(SMTC),<b>VeevaSystems</b>(VEEV),<b>Vera Bradley</b>(VRA)</p><p><b>Thursday: LululemonAthletica</b>(LULU),<b>Broadcom</b>(AVGO),<b>CampbellSoup</b>(CPB),<b>Ciena</b>(CIEN),<b>Genesco</b>(GCO),<b>Hormel</b> <b>Foods</b>(HRL),<b>JOANN</b>(JOAN),<b>Ollie’s Bargain Outlet</b>(OLLI),<b>SecureWorks</b>(SCWX),<b>Signet Jewelers</b>(SIG),<b>Sportsman's Warehouse</b>(SPWH),<b>Toro</b>(TTC),<b>Weibo</b>(WB)</p><p><b>Friday:</b><i>No notable reports scheduled for release.</i></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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Economists expect nonfarm payrolls rose by 300,000 in August, according to data from Bloomberg.The figure is likely to serve a key role in dictating the Federal Reserve’s next rate decision at its policy-setting meeting later this month. Investors will keep a close eye on jobs data after Fed Chair Jerome Powell asserted in ahawkish speech at the Jackson Hole symposium Fridayhe is willing to accept a softening labor market in exchange for mitigating inflation.Jerome Powell, chair of the Federal Reserve walks in Teton National Park where financial leaders from around the world gathered for the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium outside Jackson, Wyoming, U.S., August 26, 2022. REUTERS/Jim Urquhart“If there is a conflict in the Fed’s two mandates as they work to slow inflation, Chair Powell ranks price stability head and shoulders above maximum employment,” Jeff Klingelhofer, co-head of investments at Thornburg Investment Management said in a note on Friday.Powell’sremarks sent markets tumbling, with all three major averages settling at four-week lows on Friday.The Nasdaq plunged 3.9%, and the S&P 500 shed 3.3%, with both indexes logging their biggest one-day drops since June 13. The Dow Jones Industrial Average erased 1,000 points, or roughly 3% on Friday.“There will very likely be some softening of labor market conditions,” Powell said in his speech.“While higher interest rates, slower growth and softer labor market conditions will bring down inflation, they will also bring some pain to households and businesses,” Powell added. “These are the unfortunate costs of reducing inflation. But a failure to restore price stability would mean far greater pain.”Up until Friday, some market participants had expected the U.S. central bank may pivot in its monetary tightening plans, but Powell and other officials have pushed back on the possibility of notching down rate hikes this year.Inflation has shown signs of moderating, but continues to run sharply higher than the Federal Reserve’s target of 2%. Data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis on Friday showed consumer prices fell slightly last month, with headline PCE falling 0.1% between June and July, driven primarily by a 4.8% decline in energy prices. On a year-over-year basis, headline PCE rose 6.3% in July.David Malpass, president of the World Bank Group, looks on next to a stuffed grizzly bear at Teton National Park, where financial leaders from around the world gathered for the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium, outside Jackson, Wyoming, U.S., August 26, 2022. REUTERS/Jim UrquhartAnd core PCE, the Fed's preferred measure of inflation, rose 0.1% month-on-month in July and 4.6% from the prior year, marking the lowest annual increase since October 2021.Still, Powell indicated another “unusually large” rate hike was possible in September after the central bank raised rates by 75 basis points inJuneandJuly.\"Restoring price stability will likely require maintaining a restrictive policy stance for some time,\" Powell said. \"The historical record cautions strongly against prematurely loosening policy.”Elsewhere in labor market data,ADP will resume its private payrolls reportwith new a methodology on Wednesday after a temporary pause in June and July. Economists surveyed by Bloomberg expect the release to show 300,000 private payrolls were added in August.ADP's monthly private jobs report comes two days before the Labor Department releases its official jobs report. While the company’s print is an imperfect precursor to the government’s release, it offers a snapshot of job growth during the period.The Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS), Challenger Job Cuts, and initial weekly jobless claims are also on the docket of employment data set for release this week.On the earnings front, the reporting season has largely wound down, but a few potentially market-moving results are still on tap. Traders will get figures from headliners including Best Buy (BBY), HP (HPQ), Big Lots (BIG), Chewy (CHWY), Lululemon Athletica (LULU), and Broadcom (AVGO).—Economic CalendarMonday:Dallas Fed Manufacturing Activity, August (-12.7 expected, -22.6 during prior month)Tuesday: FHFA House Pricing Index, month-over-month, June (0.8% expected, 1.4% during prior month);House Price Purchasing Index, quarter-over-quarter, Q2 (4.6% during prior quarter);S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City Composite, month-over-month, June (0.90% expected, 1.32% during prior month);S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City Composite, year-over-year, June (19.20% expected, 20.50% during prior month);S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index, year-over-year, June (19.75% during prior month);Conference Board Consumer Confidence, August (97.7 expected, 95.7 during prior month);JOLTS Job openings, July (10.475 million expected, 10.698 million during prior month)Wednesday: MBA Mortgage Applications, week ended August 26 (-1.2% during prior week);ADP Employment Change, August (300,000 expected);MNI Chicago PMI, August (52.5 expected, 52.1 during prior month)Thursday: Challenger Job Cuts, year-over-year, August (36.3% during prior month);Initial Jobless Claims, week ended August 27 (249,000 expected, 243,000 during prior week);Continuing Claims, week ended August 20 (1.450 million expected, 1.415 million during prior week);Nonfarm Productivity, Q1 final (-7.5% expected, 7.5% during prior month);S&P Global U.S. Composite PMI, August final (51.3 expected, 51.3 during prior month);Construction Spending, month-over-month, July (-0.1% expected, -1.1% during prior month);ISM Manufacturing, August (52.0 expected, 52.8 during prior month);ISM Prices Paid, March (60.0 during prior month);ISM New Orders, August (48.0 during prior month);ISM Employment, August (49.9 during prior month);WARDS Total Vehicle Sales, August (13.50 million expected, 13.35 million prior month)Friday: Nonfarm Payrolls, August (300,000 expected, 528,000 during prior month);Unemployment Rate, August (3.5% expected, 3.5% during prior month);Average Hourly Earnings, month-over-month, August (0.4% expected, 0.5% during prior month);Average Hourly Earnings, year-over-year, August (5.2% expected, 5.2% prior month);Average Weekly Hours All Employees, August (34.6 expected, 34.6 during prior month);Labor Force Participation Rate, August (62.2% expected, 62.1% during prior month);Underemployment Rate, August (6.7% during prior month);Factory Orders, July (0.2% expected, 2.0% during prior month);Durable Goods Orders, July final (0.0% expected, 0.0% during prior month);Durables excluding transportation, July final (0.3% expected, 0.3% during prior month);Non-defense capital goods orders excluding aircraft, July final (0.4% during prior month);Non-defense capital goods shipments excluding aircraft, July final (0.7% during prior month)—Earnings Calendar:Monday: Catalent(CTLT),SelectQuote(SLQT)Tuesday: Best Buy(BBY),HP(HPQ),Ambarella(AMBA),Baidu(BIDU),Big Lots(BIG),Chewy(CHWY)Conn's(CONN),CrowdStrike(CRWD),Hewlett Packard Enterprise(HPE),Photronics(PLAB)Wednesday:Anaplan(PLAN),Cooper(COO),DesignerBrands(DBI),Donaldson(DCI),FiveBelow(FIVE),MongoDB(MDB),Okta(OKTA),PureStorage(PSTG),Semtech(SMTC),VeevaSystems(VEEV),Vera Bradley(VRA)Thursday: LululemonAthletica(LULU),Broadcom(AVGO),CampbellSoup(CPB),Ciena(CIEN),Genesco(GCO),Hormel Foods(HRL),JOANN(JOAN),Ollie’s Bargain Outlet(OLLI),SecureWorks(SCWX),Signet Jewelers(SIG),Sportsman's Warehouse(SPWH),Toro(TTC),Weibo(WB)Friday:No notable reports scheduled for 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