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tigernoob
07-09
TIGER ROARS, DECADES SOAR.
Find out more here:
TIGER ROARS, DECADES SOAR.
Join me to discover exciting features with me on Tiger Trade & win $1,010 worth of rewards!
TIGER ROARS, DECADES SOAR.
tigernoob
01-14
Tiger tycoon fun to play
tigernoob
01-12
Tiger tycoon fun to play
tigernoob
01-11
Tiger tycoon fun to play
tigernoob
01-10
fun to play. half building
@TigerEvents:🐅🌟 TIGER TYCOON CHALLENGE IS ON! 🌟🐅
tigernoob
01-10
Fun to play. Happy building
tigernoob
01-09
Happy investing and trading
tigernoob
01-08
Tiger tycoon. Plat the game.
tigernoob
01-06
Tiger tycoon. Build and grow
tigernoob
01-06
happy new year 2024...
@TigerEvents:🐅🌟 TIGER TYCOON CHALLENGE IS ON! 🌟🐅
tigernoob
01-05
Happy new year 2024...
tigernoob
01-04
Happy new year 2024...
tigernoob
01-03
Happy new year 2024....
tigernoob
01-02
Happy new year 2024...
tigernoob
01-01
Happy new year 2024.
tigernoob
2023-12-31
Merry Christmas and happy new year
tigernoob
2023-12-30
Merry Christmas. Ho ho ho
tigernoob
2023-12-29
Merry u Christmas. Ho hongo
tigernoob
2023-12-28
Merry Christmas. Ho ho ho
tigernoob
2023-12-27
Merry Christmas. Good game
Go to Tiger App to see more news
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Introducing the Tiger Tycoon Challenge – where fortunes are made, and up to US$888 worth of prizes await the boldest players! 🏰🌈🎯 Objective: Build your empire, score big points, and unlock fabulous rewards!💰 Gold Rush: Every time you pass a gold coin spot, grab shiny gold coins! Cha-ching! 💰💵🏠 Construct & Conquer: Step on an empty tile to construct a building to get points! 🏰🏆 Prizes Galore: Hit the prize tile to claim your treasure – it could be anything! 🎁✨🔄 Lucky Draw: Land on the draw tile and brace yourself! You might move forward, backward, or unlock a secret power! 🔄🔮🚀 Airdrop Alert: Keep your eyes on the sky! Periodically, the Tiger Tycoon map will rain down special rewards like stocks, vouchers, and more. Act fast","text":"Hey Tycoons! 🎩💼 Ready to embark on the adventure of a lifetime? Introducing the Tiger Tycoon Challenge – where fortunes are made, and up to US$888 worth of prizes await the boldest players! 🏰🌈🎯 Objective: Build your empire, score big points, and unlock fabulous rewards!💰 Gold Rush: Every time you pass a gold coin spot, grab shiny gold coins! Cha-ching! 💰💵🏠 Construct & Conquer: Step on an empty tile to construct a building to get points! 🏰🏆 Prizes Galore: Hit the prize tile to claim your treasure – it could be anything! 🎁✨🔄 Lucky Draw: Land on the draw tile and brace yourself! You might move forward, backward, or unlock a secret power! 🔄🔮🚀 Airdrop Alert: Keep your eyes on the sky! Periodically, the Tiger Tycoon map will rain down special rewards like stocks, vouchers, and more. Act fast","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/248337530683464","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":1,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":310,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":259669312098520,"gmtCreate":1704406192074,"gmtModify":1704406196348,"author":{"id":"4106877226811620","authorId":"4106877226811620","name":"tigernoob","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4106877226811620","authorIdStr":"4106877226811620"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Happy new year 2024...","listText":"Happy new year 2024...","text":"Happy new year 2024...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/259669312098520","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":141,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":259293627990256,"gmtCreate":1704316585024,"gmtModify":1704316591750,"author":{"id":"4106877226811620","authorId":"4106877226811620","name":"tigernoob","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4106877226811620","authorIdStr":"4106877226811620"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Happy new year 2024...","listText":"Happy new year 2024...","text":"Happy new year 2024...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/259293627990256","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":51,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":258844041388208,"gmtCreate":1704228383395,"gmtModify":1704228387340,"author":{"id":"4106877226811620","authorId":"4106877226811620","name":"tigernoob","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4106877226811620","authorIdStr":"4106877226811620"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Happy new year 2024....","listText":"Happy new year 2024....","text":"Happy new year 2024....","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/258844041388208","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":173,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":258573128290376,"gmtCreate":1704162100551,"gmtModify":1704162104786,"author":{"id":"4106877226811620","authorId":"4106877226811620","name":"tigernoob","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4106877226811620","authorIdStr":"4106877226811620"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Happy new year 2024... ","listText":"Happy new year 2024... ","text":"Happy new year 2024...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/258573128290376","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":146,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":258347222106384,"gmtCreate":1704106954179,"gmtModify":1704106958263,"author":{"id":"4106877226811620","authorId":"4106877226811620","name":"tigernoob","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4106877226811620","authorIdStr":"4106877226811620"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Happy new year 2024. ","listText":"Happy new year 2024. ","text":"Happy new year 2024.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/258347222106384","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":181,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":257825695756464,"gmtCreate":1703979763856,"gmtModify":1703979768076,"author":{"id":"4106877226811620","authorId":"4106877226811620","name":"tigernoob","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4106877226811620","authorIdStr":"4106877226811620"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Merry Christmas and happy new year ","listText":"Merry Christmas and happy new year ","text":"Merry Christmas and happy new year","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/257825695756464","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":54,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":257379430744112,"gmtCreate":1703870766053,"gmtModify":1703870770211,"author":{"id":"4106877226811620","authorId":"4106877226811620","name":"tigernoob","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4106877226811620","authorIdStr":"4106877226811620"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Merry Christmas. Ho ho ho","listText":"Merry Christmas. Ho ho ho","text":"Merry Christmas. Ho ho ho","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/257379430744112","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":156,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":257152649461976,"gmtCreate":1703815306283,"gmtModify":1703815310378,"author":{"id":"4106877226811620","authorId":"4106877226811620","name":"tigernoob","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4106877226811620","authorIdStr":"4106877226811620"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Merry u Christmas. Ho hongo","listText":"Merry u Christmas. Ho hongo","text":"Merry u Christmas. Ho hongo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/257152649461976","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":95,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":256805013319880,"gmtCreate":1703730531113,"gmtModify":1703730535149,"author":{"id":"4106877226811620","authorId":"4106877226811620","name":"tigernoob","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4106877226811620","authorIdStr":"4106877226811620"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Merry Christmas. Ho ho ho","listText":"Merry Christmas. Ho ho ho","text":"Merry Christmas. Ho ho ho","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/256805013319880","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":40,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":256427644694696,"gmtCreate":1703623549508,"gmtModify":1703623553483,"author":{"id":"4106877226811620","authorId":"4106877226811620","name":"tigernoob","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4106877226811620","authorIdStr":"4106877226811620"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Merry Christmas. Good game","listText":"Merry Christmas. Good game","text":"Merry Christmas. Good game","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/256427644694696","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":138,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9943211237,"gmtCreate":1679479193829,"gmtModify":1679479278599,"author":{"id":"4106877226811620","authorId":"4106877226811620","name":"tigernoob","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4106877226811620","authorIdStr":"4106877226811620"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"https://youtu.be/FRLzUxqLK58 nice commentary","listText":"https://youtu.be/FRLzUxqLK58 nice commentary","text":"https://youtu.be/FRLzUxqLK58 nice commentary","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":28,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9943211237","repostId":"1115636242","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1115636242","pubTimestamp":1679473643,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1115636242?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-03-22 16:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Fed Caught Between Inflation and Bank Crisis in Crucial Meeting","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1115636242","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Central bank confronts hike-or-pause choice amid turmoilRate forecasts could shift — or be suspended","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Central bank confronts hike-or-pause choice amid turmoil</li><li>Rate forecasts could shift — or be suspended altogether</li></ul><p>All eyes in the financial and economic world will be laser-focused Wednesday on the Federal Reserve as Chair Jerome Powell tries to balance his fight against inflation against a sudden banking crisis.</p><p>Powell and his colleagues began their meeting Tuesday with the outcome unusually unclear. While most economists expect a quarter-point interest-rate hike, some say policymakers should pause to shore up financial stability.</p><p>“This tension is leading to existential angst,” said Derek Tang, an economist at LH Meyer/Monetary Policy Analytics in Washington. “Have they gone too far, or not far enough? Both could be true at the same time.”</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ecb4316b865c805cdeb4350c2f9c6dd3\" tg-width=\"955\" tg-height=\"664\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Another important element of this week’s meeting: Policymakers are set to issue updated rate projections for the first time since December, offering crucial guidance on whether they still expect any additional hikes this year.</p><p>The decision and forecasts will be released at 2 p.m. in Washington. Powell will hold a press conference 30 minutes later.</p><h2>Market Odds</h2><p>As of Tuesday afternoon, markets were pricing in about 80% odds that the Fed will raise rates by a quarter point, to a range of 4.75% to 5%, the highest since 2007 on the eve of the global financial crisis.</p><p>Still, uncertainty over the decision is among the highest since the Covid-19 pandemic sparked emergency rate cuts in 2020.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f4fa02a2024bd7198ed172dad4ff4862\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"675\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Expectations for rate hikes among investors and economists have declined over the last two weeks, amid the collapse of three US regional banks and the takeover of Switzerland’sCredit Suisse Group AG.</p><p>Until the bank turmoil erupted, officials were expected to continue — or even potentially step up — their yearlong campaign to raise interest rates and dampen rising prices.</p><p>“The difficult thing for the FOMC at this meeting will be the tension between bringing down inflation and financial stability risks,” said Jonathan Millar, a senior economist at Barclays Plc in New York.</p><blockquote><b>What Bloomberg Economics Says...</b></blockquote><blockquote>“There are no easy options. A pause could signal that the Fed is not confident in the resiliency of the banking system or the economy, or sees problems that aren’t yet visible to the market. On the other hand, a hike could add to bank stress and spook investors.”</blockquote><blockquote>— Anna Wong, chief US economist. For full analysis</blockquote><p>Goldman Sachs Group Inc. economists took a look at how the Fed has reacted during past episodes of financial stress.</p><p>“The historical record suggests that the FOMC tends to avoid tightening monetary policy in times of financial stress and prefers to wait until the extent of the problem becomes clear, unless it is confident that other policy tools will successfully contain financial stability risks,” economists Manuel Abecasis and Tim Krupa wrote in a note.</p><h2>FOMC Forecasts</h2><p>In early March, Powell said the policy group might raise rates higher than previously expected, indicating the “dot plot” could move above the 5.1% median forecast officials penciled in for the end of 2023. Recent tightening in financial conditions in the wake of the bank crisis, if it lasts, would suggest there’s less need to go higher.</p><p>“The difficulty there is not just what’s happening in the financial markets right now, but also estimating to what extent banks might curtail lending as a result,” said Sonia Meskin, head of US Macro at BNY Mellon.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6c7143083404772fdf628653de24f9cc\" tg-width=\"936\" tg-height=\"460\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Torsten Slok, Apollo Global Management chief economist, estimated that the crisis was equivalent to a 1.5 percentage-point increase in the Fed’s target interest rate.</p><p>The Fed could choose to suspend its projections as it did in March 2020, when Powell said “the economic outlook is evolving on a daily basis” due to the pandemic and writing down a forecast didn’t seem useful.</p><p>Releasing projections now “could just add more confusion than clarity,” said Diane Swonk, chief economist at KPMG LLP.</p><h2>FOMC Statement</h2><p>The FOMC statement is likely to see substantial changes, and the committee could choose to drop its pledge of “ongoing increases” and substitute softer or conditional language that still hints at further tightening.</p><p>The Fed will probably also say it’s “closely monitoring developments in financial markets and their implications for the economic outlook,” Millar said.</p><h2>Dissents</h2><p>With the FOMC facing tough choices, the judgment could prompt dissent, which has been rare in the past two years. A possible dovish dissent may come from Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee, while Neel Kashkari, the Minneapolis Fed president, could argue for a more hawkish move.</p><h2>Balance Sheet</h2><p>The Fed’s balance sheet, which had been steadily declining on the central bank’s gradual reductions of Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities, has rebounded to almost $8.6 trillion with the latest emergency actions to prop up the banking system.</p><p>Even so, the FOMC views its so-called quantitative tightening as a separate matter that’s happening in the background, and this is likely to continue with no changes, economists said.</p><p>“I expect that quantitative tightening will continue,” former New York Fed President Bill Dudley, a senior adviser to Bloomberg Economics, said in a Bloomberg Television interview.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/82c177b6dfa6992e3cddb510ef377cf1\" tg-width=\"930\" tg-height=\"523\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><h2>Press Conference</h2><p>Powell is likely to be grilled on how the latest turmoil affects financial conditions and the economic outlook and whether he sees a path to reducing inflation without causing a recession.</p><p>His job is to “clearly separate the financial instability issue and the measures taken to address that from the inflation problem and the strong economy,” said Ellen Meade, economics professor at Duke University and former senior Fed staff member.</p><p>He’s also certain to get tough questions on why supervisors at the San Francisco Fed failed to spot or head off problems at Silicon Valley Bank, which suffered losses on securities when interest rates rose. Senator Elizabeth Warren has blasted Powell for “an astonishing list of failures” that she says helped fuel the current crisis.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Fed Caught Between Inflation and Bank Crisis in Crucial Meeting</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFed Caught Between Inflation and Bank Crisis in Crucial Meeting\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-03-22 16:27 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-03-21/fed-caught-between-inflation-and-bank-crisis-decision-day-guide?srnd=premium-asia><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Central bank confronts hike-or-pause choice amid turmoilRate forecasts could shift — or be suspended altogetherAll eyes in the financial and economic world will be laser-focused Wednesday on the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-03-21/fed-caught-between-inflation-and-bank-crisis-decision-day-guide?srnd=premium-asia\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-03-21/fed-caught-between-inflation-and-bank-crisis-decision-day-guide?srnd=premium-asia","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1115636242","content_text":"Central bank confronts hike-or-pause choice amid turmoilRate forecasts could shift — or be suspended altogetherAll eyes in the financial and economic world will be laser-focused Wednesday on the Federal Reserve as Chair Jerome Powell tries to balance his fight against inflation against a sudden banking crisis.Powell and his colleagues began their meeting Tuesday with the outcome unusually unclear. While most economists expect a quarter-point interest-rate hike, some say policymakers should pause to shore up financial stability.“This tension is leading to existential angst,” said Derek Tang, an economist at LH Meyer/Monetary Policy Analytics in Washington. “Have they gone too far, or not far enough? Both could be true at the same time.”Another important element of this week’s meeting: Policymakers are set to issue updated rate projections for the first time since December, offering crucial guidance on whether they still expect any additional hikes this year.The decision and forecasts will be released at 2 p.m. in Washington. Powell will hold a press conference 30 minutes later.Market OddsAs of Tuesday afternoon, markets were pricing in about 80% odds that the Fed will raise rates by a quarter point, to a range of 4.75% to 5%, the highest since 2007 on the eve of the global financial crisis.Still, uncertainty over the decision is among the highest since the Covid-19 pandemic sparked emergency rate cuts in 2020.Expectations for rate hikes among investors and economists have declined over the last two weeks, amid the collapse of three US regional banks and the takeover of Switzerland’sCredit Suisse Group AG.Until the bank turmoil erupted, officials were expected to continue — or even potentially step up — their yearlong campaign to raise interest rates and dampen rising prices.“The difficult thing for the FOMC at this meeting will be the tension between bringing down inflation and financial stability risks,” said Jonathan Millar, a senior economist at Barclays Plc in New York.What Bloomberg Economics Says...“There are no easy options. A pause could signal that the Fed is not confident in the resiliency of the banking system or the economy, or sees problems that aren’t yet visible to the market. On the other hand, a hike could add to bank stress and spook investors.”— Anna Wong, chief US economist. For full analysisGoldman Sachs Group Inc. economists took a look at how the Fed has reacted during past episodes of financial stress.“The historical record suggests that the FOMC tends to avoid tightening monetary policy in times of financial stress and prefers to wait until the extent of the problem becomes clear, unless it is confident that other policy tools will successfully contain financial stability risks,” economists Manuel Abecasis and Tim Krupa wrote in a note.FOMC ForecastsIn early March, Powell said the policy group might raise rates higher than previously expected, indicating the “dot plot” could move above the 5.1% median forecast officials penciled in for the end of 2023. Recent tightening in financial conditions in the wake of the bank crisis, if it lasts, would suggest there’s less need to go higher.“The difficulty there is not just what’s happening in the financial markets right now, but also estimating to what extent banks might curtail lending as a result,” said Sonia Meskin, head of US Macro at BNY Mellon.Torsten Slok, Apollo Global Management chief economist, estimated that the crisis was equivalent to a 1.5 percentage-point increase in the Fed’s target interest rate.The Fed could choose to suspend its projections as it did in March 2020, when Powell said “the economic outlook is evolving on a daily basis” due to the pandemic and writing down a forecast didn’t seem useful.Releasing projections now “could just add more confusion than clarity,” said Diane Swonk, chief economist at KPMG LLP.FOMC StatementThe FOMC statement is likely to see substantial changes, and the committee could choose to drop its pledge of “ongoing increases” and substitute softer or conditional language that still hints at further tightening.The Fed will probably also say it’s “closely monitoring developments in financial markets and their implications for the economic outlook,” Millar said.DissentsWith the FOMC facing tough choices, the judgment could prompt dissent, which has been rare in the past two years. A possible dovish dissent may come from Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee, while Neel Kashkari, the Minneapolis Fed president, could argue for a more hawkish move.Balance SheetThe Fed’s balance sheet, which had been steadily declining on the central bank’s gradual reductions of Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities, has rebounded to almost $8.6 trillion with the latest emergency actions to prop up the banking system.Even so, the FOMC views its so-called quantitative tightening as a separate matter that’s happening in the background, and this is likely to continue with no changes, economists said.“I expect that quantitative tightening will continue,” former New York Fed President Bill Dudley, a senior adviser to Bloomberg Economics, said in a Bloomberg Television interview.Press ConferencePowell is likely to be grilled on how the latest turmoil affects financial conditions and the economic outlook and whether he sees a path to reducing inflation without causing a recession.His job is to “clearly separate the financial instability issue and the measures taken to address that from the inflation problem and the strong economy,” said Ellen Meade, economics professor at Duke University and former senior Fed staff member.He’s also certain to get tough questions on why supervisors at the San Francisco Fed failed to spot or head off problems at Silicon Valley Bank, which suffered losses on securities when interest rates rose. 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Options on the table include a sale, a capital infusion and asset sales, the sources said, according to the Journal.</p><p>Separately, Reuters reported Tuesday that the bank could downsize if a capital raise fails, and Bloomberg reported First Republic may rely on government backing to facilitate a deal to shore it up.</p><p>The bank issued “a message to our clients” late Tuesday, as its stock was falling in after-hours trading, that noted recent “unprecedented events,” and promised an update.</p><p>“Our commitment to client service is unchanged, and we remain well-positioned to continue to manage deposit activity,” the statement reads. “Today, as every day, we are processing transactions, opening accounts, funding loans, answering questions, and serving clients’ overall banking and wealth management needs.”</p><p>First Republic stock has swung wildly in recent days, ending Monday’s session at a record low, and several trade halts plagued it during the day.</p><p>San Francisco-based First Republic last week got $30 billion in deposits from 11 major U.S. banks, but the stock promptly resumed its slide as it suspended its dividend to preserve cash.</p><p>That followed the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank earlier this month and contagion fears that have rocked bank stocks.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFirst Republic Stock Dropped 6% As Bank Reportedly Hires More Advisers\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2023-03-22 20:06</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Shares of First Republic Bank dropped about 6% in premarket trading Wednesday after news that the troubled bank reportedly has hired advisers to review its options and manage the crisis.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7d12258aabbcdc4c3c032e80b1213c3f\" tg-width=\"823\" tg-height=\"622\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>First Republic stock rallied 30% in the regular trading day Tuesday, buoyed by reports that JPMorgan Chase & Co.JPM,+2.68%was working to help bolster the bank’s capital.</p><p>The Wall Street Journal reported late Tuesday that First Republic had tapped Lazard to help it review its options, and consultant McKinsey for post-crisis planning, citing people familiar with the matter. Options on the table include a sale, a capital infusion and asset sales, the sources said, according to the Journal.</p><p>Separately, Reuters reported Tuesday that the bank could downsize if a capital raise fails, and Bloomberg reported First Republic may rely on government backing to facilitate a deal to shore it up.</p><p>The bank issued “a message to our clients” late Tuesday, as its stock was falling in after-hours trading, that noted recent “unprecedented events,” and promised an update.</p><p>“Our commitment to client service is unchanged, and we remain well-positioned to continue to manage deposit activity,” the statement reads. “Today, as every day, we are processing transactions, opening accounts, funding loans, answering questions, and serving clients’ overall banking and wealth management needs.”</p><p>First Republic stock has swung wildly in recent days, ending Monday’s session at a record low, and several trade halts plagued it during the day.</p><p>San Francisco-based First Republic last week got $30 billion in deposits from 11 major U.S. banks, but the stock promptly resumed its slide as it suspended its dividend to preserve cash.</p><p>That followed the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank earlier this month and contagion fears that have rocked bank stocks.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1166258698","content_text":"Shares of First Republic Bank dropped about 6% in premarket trading Wednesday after news that the troubled bank reportedly has hired advisers to review its options and manage the crisis.First Republic stock rallied 30% in the regular trading day Tuesday, buoyed by reports that JPMorgan Chase & Co.JPM,+2.68%was working to help bolster the bank’s capital.The Wall Street Journal reported late Tuesday that First Republic had tapped Lazard to help it review its options, and consultant McKinsey for post-crisis planning, citing people familiar with the matter. Options on the table include a sale, a capital infusion and asset sales, the sources said, according to the Journal.Separately, Reuters reported Tuesday that the bank could downsize if a capital raise fails, and Bloomberg reported First Republic may rely on government backing to facilitate a deal to shore it up.The bank issued “a message to our clients” late Tuesday, as its stock was falling in after-hours trading, that noted recent “unprecedented events,” and promised an update.“Our commitment to client service is unchanged, and we remain well-positioned to continue to manage deposit activity,” the statement reads. “Today, as every day, we are processing transactions, opening accounts, funding loans, answering questions, and serving clients’ overall banking and wealth management needs.”First Republic stock has swung wildly in recent days, ending Monday’s session at a record low, and several trade halts plagued it during the day.San Francisco-based First Republic last week got $30 billion in deposits from 11 major U.S. banks, but the stock promptly resumed its slide as it suspended its dividend to preserve cash.That followed the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank earlier this month and contagion fears that have rocked bank stocks.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":103,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":325621815968016,"gmtCreate":1720521703973,"gmtModify":1720530167863,"author":{"id":"4106877226811620","authorId":"4106877226811620","name":"tigernoob","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4106877226811620","authorIdStr":"4106877226811620"},"themes":[],"title":"TIGER ROARS, DECADES SOAR.","htmlText":"Find out more here:<a href=\"https://tigr.link/8ZnAw0\">TIGER ROARS, DECADES SOAR.</a> Join me to discover exciting features with me on Tiger Trade & win $1,010 worth of rewards!","listText":"Find out more here:<a href=\"https://tigr.link/8ZnAw0\">TIGER ROARS, DECADES SOAR.</a> Join me to discover exciting features with me on Tiger Trade & win $1,010 worth of rewards!","text":"Find out more here:TIGER ROARS, DECADES SOAR. Join me to discover exciting features with me on Tiger Trade & win $1,010 worth of rewards!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/325621815968016","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":127,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":262937742974976,"gmtCreate":1705227944182,"gmtModify":1705227948277,"author":{"id":"4106877226811620","authorId":"4106877226811620","name":"tigernoob","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4106877226811620","authorIdStr":"4106877226811620"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Tiger tycoon fun to play","listText":"Tiger tycoon fun to play","text":"Tiger tycoon fun to play","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/262937742974976","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":232,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}