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2023-01-30

Super hawk ftw

The Fed Needs To Send An Extremely Hawkish Message To Markets

2022-12-30

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great stuff...

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Black Friday sale...

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2022-11-15

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Nice

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Sorry, the original content has been removed

2022-10-30

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hawk ftw","listText":"Super hawk ftw","text":"Super hawk ftw","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9955035122","repostId":"2307213302","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2307213302","pubTimestamp":1675061373,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2307213302?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-01-30 14:49","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Fed Needs To Send An Extremely Hawkish Message To Markets","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2307213302","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"SummaryThe Federal Reserve appears to be losing control of the market.Financial conditions have ease","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2>Summary</h2><ul><li>The Federal Reserve appears to be losing control of the market.</li><li>Financial conditions have eased dramatically since the December FOMC meeting.</li><li>The Fed needs to push back against the market before it is too late.</li></ul><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df0b68892d8645315b783509081590f0\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"500\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>It appears that the Federal Reserve is losing control of the market. Financial conditions have eased to levels not seen since the spring of 2022. This easing has led to increases in commodity prices, drops in mortgage rates, a weakening ofthe dollar, and a rally in stocks.</p><p>The February FOMC will take on extra importance because the Fed will need to push back on the current easing of financial conditions. If the Fed truly believes that monetary policy is transmitted through financial conditions, then the Fed hasn&#39;t been successful. Conditions are currently at levels equal to when the Fed first started to raise rates. These conditions are accommodative to the economy and aid in its expansion, exactly the opposite of the Fed&#39;s desire to get the economy to grow at a below-trend rate.</p><p>Pushing back atthis point in the game may be even harder than it was when Powell gave his Jackson Hole speech. The market knows the Fed is closer to the end of its rate hiking cycle than the beginning. The market also expects inflation to continue to drop. This means the Fed can either raise rates by 50 bps, which would be a big surprise to markets, or give guidance that financial conditions have eased too much, which will extend the rate tightening cycle.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dbe207b1b71276d33c158bc7b06111f3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"351\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><h2><b>Prices Are Rising</b></h2><p>One effect of easing financial conditions is rising commodity prices. The average national price for regular unleaded gasoline increased by 9.4% in January, indicating that we may see a resurgence in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) on a month-over-month basis when the January report is released.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc6219bd4f36ea6727dd427f572c9f76\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"350\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>Also, copper prices have risen dramatically. Changes in copper prices can lead to changes in year-over-year changes in CPI. The recent increase in copper prices is due to two factors: the reopening of China and a weaker dollar. While the Federal Reserve cannot control the enthusiasm for a rebound in the Chinese economy, it can attempt to tighten financial conditions, strengthening the dollar and potentially slowing the copper rally.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cab717ffe912bd6c307e1a6c5a83d2ba\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"351\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>Meanwhile, lumber prices have risen dramatically this month as new home sales begin to pick up again. This appears to be a result of the easing of financial conditions.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd34110a43c078f78eedd1ffc1fc9757\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"351\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><h2><b>The Return of Inflation</b></h2><p>These issues challenge Powell and the Federal Open Market Committee because the easing of financial conditions has increased inflationary impulses. According to the latest estimates from the Cleveland Fed, this is expected to result in a 60 basis point month-over-month increase in the headline Consumer Price Index in January. This would be the most significant increase in the monthly change of CPI since June.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e61e00d682016c7784c65f6a79b3133e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"351\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>Based on those estimates, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) could rise by 6.4% in January, showing no significant improvement compared to December. Inflation swaps for January have also been ticking higher in recent weeks, indicating that the market is also now expecting a higher reading in January.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/700c6aacb37d131c8a6876e80ece1cb4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>This is a real risk for the Federal Reserve if the Cleveland Fed&#39;s predictions come true, as it would negate the progress the Fed has made since the summer peak in inflation and could call into question whether the downtrend we have witnessed in inflation has begun to reverse.</p><p>The bottom line is that the Fed cannot afford to have financial conditions ease any further and needs them to start tightening again to slow the inflationary impulses that appear to be coming back to life. According to the Bloomberg Financial Conditions Index, conditions have returned to levels seen in February 2022, before the Fed started raising rates and only discussed the possibility of raising rates.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4d8bcaf7ae973c1a5c9e15f6af9910c6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"261\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><h2><b>Sufficiently Restrictive</b></h2><p>Additionally, from a monetary policy standpoint, the overnight rate is roughly even with the core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation rate. The Fed has made it clear that it wants rates to be sufficiently restrictive, and for that to happen, rates will need to rise to a point where they are above the core PCE inflation rate.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b20ca05c73325fee19becf20aea637d4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"350\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>Chris Waller, a Fed official, indicated what the Fed considers to be sufficiently restrictive in aninterviewlast week when he noted that sufficiently restrictive rates are when real rates are 1.5% to 2% above the forecasted inflation rate. He said that if you look to the end of the year and market forecasts for an inflation rate of 2.5% to 3%, getting to a 5% rate would be sufficiently restrictive.</p><p>This may be the best indication yet that the Fed has given to the market about what it is thinking about when it comes to where it thinks rates need to be to bring the economy and inflation back into balance and why the Fed isn&#39;t going to back off raising rates before it reaches a 5% overnight rate at the lower bound.</p><p>Additionally, the key metric that the Fed is watching is the PCE core services ex-housing, and based on data from Bloomberg, that has been a stubborn number that hasn&#39;t come down and is hovering around 4.1%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e7f8453ed074a69535b1f6b1a3bbb711\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"240\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><h2><b>It Needs To Push Back</b></h2><p>If the Fed doesn&#39;t act at this point and push back against the current easing of financial conditions, which it has repeatedly noted helps to transmit monetary policy through the economy, then all may be lost. Because at this point, the market does not believe the Fed when it says that it wants monetary policy to be sufficiently restrictive and wants to slow growth to below trend and is willing to endure these things to kill inflationary impulses that still clearly exist.</p><p>The Fed&#39;s options are limited at this point but can do this by going against the collective belief that the Fed will only raise rates by 25 basis points and instead raise rates by 50 basis points. Or, Powell will have to give a very forceful message, possibly more forceful than the one given at Jackson Hole, and threaten that rates may not go higher than what was thought in December due to unwarranted easing of financial conditions. Otherwise, he may need to raise the topic of potentially increasing the pace of quantitative tightening and the balance sheet run-off.</p><p>Anything else would suggest that the Fed is okay with the current easing of financial conditions and is willing to tolerate the market taking control and driving monetary policy, which seems like a disaster just waiting to happen.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Fed Needs To Send An Extremely Hawkish Message To Markets</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Fed Needs To Send An Extremely Hawkish Message To Markets\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-01-30 14:49 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4573314-fed-send-extremely-hawkish-message-markets><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryThe Federal Reserve appears to be losing control of the market.Financial conditions have eased dramatically since the December FOMC meeting.The Fed needs to push back against the market before ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4573314-fed-send-extremely-hawkish-message-markets\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4573314-fed-send-extremely-hawkish-message-markets","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2307213302","content_text":"SummaryThe Federal Reserve appears to be losing control of the market.Financial conditions have eased dramatically since the December FOMC meeting.The Fed needs to push back against the market before it is too late.It appears that the Federal Reserve is losing control of the market. Financial conditions have eased to levels not seen since the spring of 2022. This easing has led to increases in commodity prices, drops in mortgage rates, a weakening ofthe dollar, and a rally in stocks.The February FOMC will take on extra importance because the Fed will need to push back on the current easing of financial conditions. If the Fed truly believes that monetary policy is transmitted through financial conditions, then the Fed hasn't been successful. Conditions are currently at levels equal to when the Fed first started to raise rates. These conditions are accommodative to the economy and aid in its expansion, exactly the opposite of the Fed's desire to get the economy to grow at a below-trend rate.Pushing back atthis point in the game may be even harder than it was when Powell gave his Jackson Hole speech. The market knows the Fed is closer to the end of its rate hiking cycle than the beginning. The market also expects inflation to continue to drop. This means the Fed can either raise rates by 50 bps, which would be a big surprise to markets, or give guidance that financial conditions have eased too much, which will extend the rate tightening cycle.BloombergPrices Are RisingOne effect of easing financial conditions is rising commodity prices. The average national price for regular unleaded gasoline increased by 9.4% in January, indicating that we may see a resurgence in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) on a month-over-month basis when the January report is released.BloombergAlso, copper prices have risen dramatically. Changes in copper prices can lead to changes in year-over-year changes in CPI. The recent increase in copper prices is due to two factors: the reopening of China and a weaker dollar. While the Federal Reserve cannot control the enthusiasm for a rebound in the Chinese economy, it can attempt to tighten financial conditions, strengthening the dollar and potentially slowing the copper rally.BloombergMeanwhile, lumber prices have risen dramatically this month as new home sales begin to pick up again. This appears to be a result of the easing of financial conditions.BloombergThe Return of InflationThese issues challenge Powell and the Federal Open Market Committee because the easing of financial conditions has increased inflationary impulses. According to the latest estimates from the Cleveland Fed, this is expected to result in a 60 basis point month-over-month increase in the headline Consumer Price Index in January. This would be the most significant increase in the monthly change of CPI since June.BloombergBased on those estimates, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) could rise by 6.4% in January, showing no significant improvement compared to December. Inflation swaps for January have also been ticking higher in recent weeks, indicating that the market is also now expecting a higher reading in January.BloombergThis is a real risk for the Federal Reserve if the Cleveland Fed's predictions come true, as it would negate the progress the Fed has made since the summer peak in inflation and could call into question whether the downtrend we have witnessed in inflation has begun to reverse.The bottom line is that the Fed cannot afford to have financial conditions ease any further and needs them to start tightening again to slow the inflationary impulses that appear to be coming back to life. According to the Bloomberg Financial Conditions Index, conditions have returned to levels seen in February 2022, before the Fed started raising rates and only discussed the possibility of raising rates.BloombergSufficiently RestrictiveAdditionally, from a monetary policy standpoint, the overnight rate is roughly even with the core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation rate. The Fed has made it clear that it wants rates to be sufficiently restrictive, and for that to happen, rates will need to rise to a point where they are above the core PCE inflation rate.BloombergChris Waller, a Fed official, indicated what the Fed considers to be sufficiently restrictive in aninterviewlast week when he noted that sufficiently restrictive rates are when real rates are 1.5% to 2% above the forecasted inflation rate. He said that if you look to the end of the year and market forecasts for an inflation rate of 2.5% to 3%, getting to a 5% rate would be sufficiently restrictive.This may be the best indication yet that the Fed has given to the market about what it is thinking about when it comes to where it thinks rates need to be to bring the economy and inflation back into balance and why the Fed isn't going to back off raising rates before it reaches a 5% overnight rate at the lower bound.Additionally, the key metric that the Fed is watching is the PCE core services ex-housing, and based on data from Bloomberg, that has been a stubborn number that hasn't come down and is hovering around 4.1%.BloombergIt Needs To Push BackIf the Fed doesn't act at this point and push back against the current easing of financial conditions, which it has repeatedly noted helps to transmit monetary policy through the economy, then all may be lost. Because at this point, the market does not believe the Fed when it says that it wants monetary policy to be sufficiently restrictive and wants to slow growth to below trend and is willing to endure these things to kill inflationary impulses that still clearly exist.The Fed's options are limited at this point but can do this by going against the collective belief that the Fed will only raise rates by 25 basis points and instead raise rates by 50 basis points. Or, Powell will have to give a very forceful message, possibly more forceful than the one given at Jackson Hole, and threaten that rates may not go higher than what was thought in December due to unwarranted easing of financial conditions. Otherwise, he may need to raise the topic of potentially increasing the pace of quantitative tightening and the balance sheet run-off.Anything else would suggest that the Fed is okay with the current easing of financial conditions and is willing to tolerate the market taking control and driving monetary policy, which seems like a disaster just waiting to happen.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":343,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9927364422,"gmtCreate":1672402125066,"gmtModify":1676538685758,"author":{"id":"4108629412181280","authorId":"4108629412181280","name":"tplian","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7ecc0302d7a6f2cd28a1199a63498645","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4108629412181280","authorIdStr":"4108629412181280"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9927364422","repostId":"2295798099","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2295798099","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1672392370,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2295798099?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-12-30 17:26","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Uxin, Sesen Bio, Dermata Therapeutics And More: U.S. Stocks To Watch","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2295798099","media":"Benzinga","summary":"With US stock futures trading lower this morning on Friday, some of the stocks that may grab investor focus today are as follows:\n","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>With US stock futures trading lower this morning on Friday, some of the stocks that may grab investor focus today are as follows:</p><ul><li><b>Uxin Limited</b> (NASDAQ:UXIN) is expected to report its unaudited financial results for the second quarter of fiscal year 2023 before the opening bell. Uxin shares gained 4.4% to $3.30 in the after-hours trading Thursday.</li><li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MESA\">Mesa Air Group, Inc.</a></b> (NASDAQ:MESA) reported a wider-than-expected loss for its fourth quarter, while sales topped estimates. Mesa Air shares dropped 2.2% to $1.32 in after-hours trading Thursday.</li><li><b>Heidrick &amp; Struggles International, Inc.</b> (NASDAQ:HSII) agreed to acquire Atreus for $61 million. Heidrick &amp; Struggles shares gained 1.5% to $28.92 in after-hours trading Thursday.</li></ul><ul><li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SESN\">Sesen Bio, Inc.</a></b> (NASDAQ:SESN) and Carisma Therapeutics reported an increased special dividend of approximately $0.34 per share, in connection with the pending merger. Sesen Bio shares surged 26.2% to $0.6376 in premarket trading Friday.</li><li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DRMA\">Dermata Therapeutics, Inc.</a></b> (NASDAQ:DRMA) requested to withdraw its registration on Form S-1 and said it does not intend to pursue the contemplated public offering. Dermata Therapeutics shares jumped 110% to $0.42 in premarket trading Friday.</li></ul></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Uxin, Sesen Bio, Dermata Therapeutics And More: U.S. Stocks To Watch</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUxin, Sesen Bio, Dermata Therapeutics And More: U.S. Stocks To Watch\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-12-30 17:26</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>With US stock futures trading lower this morning on Friday, some of the stocks that may grab investor focus today are as follows:</p><ul><li><b>Uxin Limited</b> (NASDAQ:UXIN) is expected to report its unaudited financial results for the second quarter of fiscal year 2023 before the opening bell. Uxin shares gained 4.4% to $3.30 in the after-hours trading Thursday.</li><li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MESA\">Mesa Air Group, Inc.</a></b> (NASDAQ:MESA) reported a wider-than-expected loss for its fourth quarter, while sales topped estimates. Mesa Air shares dropped 2.2% to $1.32 in after-hours trading Thursday.</li><li><b>Heidrick &amp; Struggles International, Inc.</b> (NASDAQ:HSII) agreed to acquire Atreus for $61 million. Heidrick &amp; Struggles shares gained 1.5% to $28.92 in after-hours trading Thursday.</li></ul><ul><li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SESN\">Sesen Bio, Inc.</a></b> (NASDAQ:SESN) and Carisma Therapeutics reported an increased special dividend of approximately $0.34 per share, in connection with the pending merger. Sesen Bio shares surged 26.2% to $0.6376 in premarket trading Friday.</li><li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DRMA\">Dermata Therapeutics, Inc.</a></b> (NASDAQ:DRMA) requested to withdraw its registration on Form S-1 and said it does not intend to pursue the contemplated public offering. Dermata Therapeutics shares jumped 110% to $0.42 in premarket trading Friday.</li></ul></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4500":"航空公司","BK4539":"次新股","BK4007":"制药","BK4130":"人力资源与就业服务","DRMA":"Dermata Therapeutics Inc","UXIN":"优信","BK4122":"互联网与直销零售","BK4563":"昨日强势股","MESA":"Mesa Air Group, Inc.","BK4008":"航空公司","BK4505":"高瓴资本持仓","HSII":"海德思哲服务","BK4139":"生物科技"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2295798099","content_text":"With US stock futures trading lower this morning on Friday, some of the stocks that may grab investor focus today are as follows:Uxin Limited (NASDAQ:UXIN) is expected to report its unaudited financial results for the second quarter of fiscal year 2023 before the opening bell. Uxin shares gained 4.4% to $3.30 in the after-hours trading Thursday.Mesa Air Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:MESA) reported a wider-than-expected loss for its fourth quarter, while sales topped estimates. Mesa Air shares dropped 2.2% to $1.32 in after-hours trading Thursday.Heidrick & Struggles International, Inc. (NASDAQ:HSII) agreed to acquire Atreus for $61 million. Heidrick & Struggles shares gained 1.5% to $28.92 in after-hours trading Thursday.Sesen Bio, Inc. (NASDAQ:SESN) and Carisma Therapeutics reported an increased special dividend of approximately $0.34 per share, in connection with the pending merger. Sesen Bio shares surged 26.2% to $0.6376 in premarket trading Friday.Dermata Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ:DRMA) requested to withdraw its registration on Form S-1 and said it does not intend to pursue the contemplated public offering. Dermata Therapeutics shares jumped 110% to $0.42 in premarket trading Friday.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":391,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9928103690,"gmtCreate":1671206329910,"gmtModify":1676538509270,"author":{"id":"4108629412181280","authorId":"4108629412181280","name":"tplian","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7ecc0302d7a6f2cd28a1199a63498645","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4108629412181280","authorIdStr":"4108629412181280"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9928103690","repostId":"1126302685","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1126302685","pubTimestamp":1671199623,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1126302685?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-12-16 22:07","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Quant Hedge Funds Post Historic Returns in Ugly Year for Wall Street","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1126302685","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"AQR, Systematica, Man and Aspect are among year’s big winnersLarge moves, stock rotations offer quan","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>AQR, Systematica, Man and Aspect are among year’s big winners</li><li>Large moves, stock rotations offer quants chance to shine</li></ul><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/87ca3919f1c7efdf596bc804d386842d\" tg-width=\"800\" tg-height=\"533\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>The math wizards of Wall Street are notching dream returns in this nightmare year for global markets.</p><p>Famous quant firms like AQR Capital Management, Man Group and Aspect Capital are riding high as inflation-fueled turmoil trashes many of their human counterparts in the stock and bond world.</p><p>Macro-driven volatility is fueling powerful one-way price trends, while creating new winners and losers as well as widening the performance gap between companies and assets — perfect conditions for this rules-based cohort.</p><p>AQR’s Absolute Return Strategy has surged 40.9% through November, set for its best year ever, according to a person familiar with the matter who declined to be identified discussing returns. Man’s $11.6 billion AHL Alpha is up 10.7% through November. Aspect’s Diversified fund jumped 37.9% through Dec. 7.</p><p>Overall, a benchmark for trend followers is set for its best year in data going back to 2000, while a typical factor portfolio is headed for its biggest annual gain since at least 2008.</p><p>It’s a world away from the low-volatility bull market that caused a near-existentialcrisisfor computer-powered portfolios.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4adf6be25008914ebc7ad36e314043e6\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"347\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Aspect returns are 2022 through Dec. 7. All others are through end-November. Source: Bloomberg</span></p><p>“There are some overarching macro themes that are alive and kicking at the moment: inflation, decarbonization, disruption of the supply chain, the war in Ukraine,” said Leda Braga, founder of the $16 billion money manager Systematica Investments, whose trend-following Alternative Markets fund is up 16.5% while its BlueTrend strategy has gained about 30%. “The next 10 years are going to be very different from the last 20 years.”</p><p>It’s hard to generalize when it comes to quants — a label that encompasses everything from factor funds trading on rules like how cheap a security looks to black-box investing styles that deploy artificial intelligence and alternative data. But while not every fund has thrived in 2022, the end of near-zero rates is proving a boon to a great number of systematic trades.</p><p>Matt Levine&#39;s Money Stuff is what&#39;s missing from your inbox.We know you&#39;re busy. Let Bloomberg Opinion&#39;s Matt Levine unpack all the Wall Street drama for you.Sign up to this newsletter</p><p>For equity funds, once-invincible Big Tech shares became laggards this year as rising interest rates made lofty valuations look perilous while formerly underperforming value stocks rebounded. Wider dispersions across stocks helped rules-based managers with diversified market exposures, especially those running long and short trades. A benchmark from research provider PivotalPath shows equity quants posted a 5% return through November, compared to a 1% loss for hedge funds overall.</p><p>Meanwhile for trend followers and systematic macro funds, inflation fueled big — and sustained — swings across assets from equities to Treasuries, just as discretionary managers struggled to adapt to the end of cheap money.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/54acc5416d8e8bdb73a42cc25ff3ed46\" tg-width=\"648\" tg-height=\"442\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>“The removal of the Fed put during 2022 has resulted in significant directional moves in markets,” said Razvan Remsing, director of investment solutions at Aspect Capital. “Some of the best opportunities have materialized on the short side of fixed-income.”</p><p>Consistent trading patterns from currencies to bonds also helped alternative risk premia strategies — factors across asset classes — gain nearly 4% this year, taking its rebound since end-2020 to 12%, a Societe Generale index shows.</p><p>It’s still too early to claim that quant managers are roaring back for good. Recently, as markets dialed back expectations for rate hikes on signs that inflation has peaked, this year’s big trends started toreverse, undercutting quant returns.</p><p>More broadly, the industry famously struggled in the decade of cheap money, stoking persistent concerns that the market has become too efficient for the strategies to work, or that the trades were too crowded.</p><p>The revival might have come too late, says Antti Suhonen, senior adviser at the hedge-fund consultancy MJ Hudson. He estimates total assets of alternative risk premia strategies, for instance, have dropped as much as 50% since his $200 billion estimate at the end of 2019.</p><p>“A lot of people have just given up,” Suhonen said, referring to clients. “They’re like: It’s not on my agenda because it hasn’t worked for the last 10 years and yes, this year has been good, but is it just a flash in the pan?”</p><p>Managed-futures funds – which include trend followers – have drawn $8.7 billion this year after a $13 billion haul in 2021, eVestment data show. Yet fund liquidations still exceeded launches this year – which has been the case for every year since 2015, according to figures from Preqin.</p><p>The pitch now is that markets are set to remain volatile in the era of ahawkishFederal Reserve. For quants that say their diversified investing methods offer an alternative to traditional strategies like the60/40 portfolio, gains this year are making that an easier sell.</p><p>“Allocators will need to rethink their allocation,” said Braga at Systematica. “They’ll have to rely on uncorrelated strategies much more. The idea that you can have a 60/40 as a solid baseline is gone forever.”</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Quant Hedge Funds Post Historic Returns in Ugly Year for Wall Street</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nQuant Hedge Funds Post Historic Returns in Ugly Year for Wall Street\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-16 22:07 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-12-16/quant-traders-are-big-winners-in-this-year-s-market-turmoil><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>AQR, Systematica, Man and Aspect are among year’s big winnersLarge moves, stock rotations offer quants chance to shineThe math wizards of Wall Street are notching dream returns in this nightmare year ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-12-16/quant-traders-are-big-winners-in-this-year-s-market-turmoil\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-12-16/quant-traders-are-big-winners-in-this-year-s-market-turmoil","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1126302685","content_text":"AQR, Systematica, Man and Aspect are among year’s big winnersLarge moves, stock rotations offer quants chance to shineThe math wizards of Wall Street are notching dream returns in this nightmare year for global markets.Famous quant firms like AQR Capital Management, Man Group and Aspect Capital are riding high as inflation-fueled turmoil trashes many of their human counterparts in the stock and bond world.Macro-driven volatility is fueling powerful one-way price trends, while creating new winners and losers as well as widening the performance gap between companies and assets — perfect conditions for this rules-based cohort.AQR’s Absolute Return Strategy has surged 40.9% through November, set for its best year ever, according to a person familiar with the matter who declined to be identified discussing returns. Man’s $11.6 billion AHL Alpha is up 10.7% through November. Aspect’s Diversified fund jumped 37.9% through Dec. 7.Overall, a benchmark for trend followers is set for its best year in data going back to 2000, while a typical factor portfolio is headed for its biggest annual gain since at least 2008.It’s a world away from the low-volatility bull market that caused a near-existentialcrisisfor computer-powered portfolios.Aspect returns are 2022 through Dec. 7. All others are through end-November. Source: Bloomberg“There are some overarching macro themes that are alive and kicking at the moment: inflation, decarbonization, disruption of the supply chain, the war in Ukraine,” said Leda Braga, founder of the $16 billion money manager Systematica Investments, whose trend-following Alternative Markets fund is up 16.5% while its BlueTrend strategy has gained about 30%. “The next 10 years are going to be very different from the last 20 years.”It’s hard to generalize when it comes to quants — a label that encompasses everything from factor funds trading on rules like how cheap a security looks to black-box investing styles that deploy artificial intelligence and alternative data. But while not every fund has thrived in 2022, the end of near-zero rates is proving a boon to a great number of systematic trades.Matt Levine's Money Stuff is what's missing from your inbox.We know you're busy. Let Bloomberg Opinion's Matt Levine unpack all the Wall Street drama for you.Sign up to this newsletterFor equity funds, once-invincible Big Tech shares became laggards this year as rising interest rates made lofty valuations look perilous while formerly underperforming value stocks rebounded. Wider dispersions across stocks helped rules-based managers with diversified market exposures, especially those running long and short trades. A benchmark from research provider PivotalPath shows equity quants posted a 5% return through November, compared to a 1% loss for hedge funds overall.Meanwhile for trend followers and systematic macro funds, inflation fueled big — and sustained — swings across assets from equities to Treasuries, just as discretionary managers struggled to adapt to the end of cheap money.“The removal of the Fed put during 2022 has resulted in significant directional moves in markets,” said Razvan Remsing, director of investment solutions at Aspect Capital. “Some of the best opportunities have materialized on the short side of fixed-income.”Consistent trading patterns from currencies to bonds also helped alternative risk premia strategies — factors across asset classes — gain nearly 4% this year, taking its rebound since end-2020 to 12%, a Societe Generale index shows.It’s still too early to claim that quant managers are roaring back for good. Recently, as markets dialed back expectations for rate hikes on signs that inflation has peaked, this year’s big trends started toreverse, undercutting quant returns.More broadly, the industry famously struggled in the decade of cheap money, stoking persistent concerns that the market has become too efficient for the strategies to work, or that the trades were too crowded.The revival might have come too late, says Antti Suhonen, senior adviser at the hedge-fund consultancy MJ Hudson. He estimates total assets of alternative risk premia strategies, for instance, have dropped as much as 50% since his $200 billion estimate at the end of 2019.“A lot of people have just given up,” Suhonen said, referring to clients. “They’re like: It’s not on my agenda because it hasn’t worked for the last 10 years and yes, this year has been good, but is it just a flash in the pan?”Managed-futures funds – which include trend followers – have drawn $8.7 billion this year after a $13 billion haul in 2021, eVestment data show. Yet fund liquidations still exceeded launches this year – which has been the case for every year since 2015, according to figures from Preqin.The pitch now is that markets are set to remain volatile in the era of ahawkishFederal Reserve. For quants that say their diversified investing methods offer an alternative to traditional strategies like the60/40 portfolio, gains this year are making that an easier sell.“Allocators will need to rethink their allocation,” said Braga at Systematica. “They’ll have to rely on uncorrelated strategies much more. The idea that you can have a 60/40 as a solid baseline is gone forever.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":347,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9923748756,"gmtCreate":1670923631575,"gmtModify":1676538460422,"author":{"id":"4108629412181280","authorId":"4108629412181280","name":"tplian","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7ecc0302d7a6f2cd28a1199a63498645","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4108629412181280","authorIdStr":"4108629412181280"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9923748756","repostId":"2290821687","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2290821687","pubTimestamp":1670882400,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2290821687?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-12-13 06:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Is Down 22% From Its High. Time to Buy?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2290821687","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Does Apple stock's sharp sell-off provide a good opportunity for long-term shareholders?","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Apple</b>&#39;s stock, like many others, has had a rough time in 2022. The shares have dropped by 22% since reaching an all-time high of $182 back in early January.</p><p>Apple&#39;s success has been well-documented. After all, even with this year&#39;s slide, its market value is more than $2 trillion. However, companies can&#39;t rest on their laurels and grow complacent. As the old saying goes, past success is no guarantee of future results.</p><p>Hence, investors must ask tough questions about Apple&#39;s future prospects. Has the price drop created a value opportunity? Or could investors find better investments at this time?</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6ce8d6f00b53c9c7a015f850564746e6\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p><h2>Resuming sales growth</h2><p>Apple&#39;s fiscal third-quarter results, covering the period that ended on June 25, showed weaker sales growth, to which shareholders have become accustomed. During the quarter, sales increased by 1.8% to about $83 billion. Apple&#39;s iPhone sales, representing roughly 50% of the top line, grew by only 2.8% to $40.7 billion.</p><p>Fast forward, and the company&#39;s fourth-quarter sales, which ended Sept. 24, rose by 8.1% to $90.1 billion. Importantly, iPhone sales were up by 9.7% to $42.6 billion. The company released a new version in September, meaning it was only selling for a few days during the quarter. However, in a tough smartphone market, CEO Tim Cook stated that the iPhone grew its market share.</p><p>Based on the number of units sold, Counterpoint Research estimates that the iPhone has more than a 50% market share in the U.S. In the premium space, the iPhone accounts for 57% of the worldwide market.</p><p>While iPhone sales are important to Apple&#39;s results, it has other products and services, too, of course. Notably, services such as technical product support, the App Store, and advertising have continued growing. In the fourth quarter, service revenue increased by 5% to $19.2 billion.</p><p>In short, the company continues offering highly desired products and services. Even in an economic downturn, I would expect the company to continue taking market share, leading to an even better competitive position when things get better.</p><h2>Returning cash</h2><p>Apple&#39;s business also generates a lot of free cash flow (FCF). In the latest fiscal year, its FCF was $114.4 billion versus $93 billion a year ago. Fortunately, the company doesn&#39;t just hoard this cash but returns some of this to shareholders via dividends and buybacks.</p><p>The board of directors has a history of raising dividends, including by a penny last May to $0.23 a quarter. Apple&#39;s stock has a 0.7% dividend yield.</p><p>While others have higher dividend yields, you shouldn&#39;t feel dismayed. Apple also rewards shareholders by repurchasing shares. Last year, it spent about $90 billion on buybacks. Historically, this has been a good use of shareholders&#39; money, too.</p><h2>Valuation</h2><p>With solid long-term prospects and a company that&#39;s willing to return cash, it&#39;s time to check on Apple&#39;s valuation. After all, everyone wants to pay a fair price.</p><p>The stock currently sells at a price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) of over 23. Although down from over 40 at the start of the year, the shares are more expensive than in past years. Therefore, while Apple&#39;s stock may not offer a bargain, it&#39;s not as widely overvalued as it was at the start of the year, either. It&#39;s still more expensive than the <b>S&amp;P 500</b>, which has a 20.5 P/E, but Apple has historically outperformed the overall market, and I believe the premium is warranted.</p><p>After weighing all the factors, the company&#39;s prospects make this a compelling opportunity to purchase shares.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Is Down 22% From Its High. Time to Buy?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Is Down 22% From Its High. Time to Buy?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-13 06:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/12/12/apple-is-down-22-from-its-high-time-to-buy/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Apple's stock, like many others, has had a rough time in 2022. The shares have dropped by 22% since reaching an all-time high of $182 back in early January.Apple's success has been well-documented. ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/12/12/apple-is-down-22-from-its-high-time-to-buy/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/12/12/apple-is-down-22-from-its-high-time-to-buy/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2290821687","content_text":"Apple's stock, like many others, has had a rough time in 2022. The shares have dropped by 22% since reaching an all-time high of $182 back in early January.Apple's success has been well-documented. After all, even with this year's slide, its market value is more than $2 trillion. However, companies can't rest on their laurels and grow complacent. As the old saying goes, past success is no guarantee of future results.Hence, investors must ask tough questions about Apple's future prospects. Has the price drop created a value opportunity? Or could investors find better investments at this time?Image source: Getty Images.Resuming sales growthApple's fiscal third-quarter results, covering the period that ended on June 25, showed weaker sales growth, to which shareholders have become accustomed. During the quarter, sales increased by 1.8% to about $83 billion. Apple's iPhone sales, representing roughly 50% of the top line, grew by only 2.8% to $40.7 billion.Fast forward, and the company's fourth-quarter sales, which ended Sept. 24, rose by 8.1% to $90.1 billion. Importantly, iPhone sales were up by 9.7% to $42.6 billion. The company released a new version in September, meaning it was only selling for a few days during the quarter. However, in a tough smartphone market, CEO Tim Cook stated that the iPhone grew its market share.Based on the number of units sold, Counterpoint Research estimates that the iPhone has more than a 50% market share in the U.S. In the premium space, the iPhone accounts for 57% of the worldwide market.While iPhone sales are important to Apple's results, it has other products and services, too, of course. Notably, services such as technical product support, the App Store, and advertising have continued growing. In the fourth quarter, service revenue increased by 5% to $19.2 billion.In short, the company continues offering highly desired products and services. Even in an economic downturn, I would expect the company to continue taking market share, leading to an even better competitive position when things get better.Returning cashApple's business also generates a lot of free cash flow (FCF). In the latest fiscal year, its FCF was $114.4 billion versus $93 billion a year ago. Fortunately, the company doesn't just hoard this cash but returns some of this to shareholders via dividends and buybacks.The board of directors has a history of raising dividends, including by a penny last May to $0.23 a quarter. Apple's stock has a 0.7% dividend yield.While others have higher dividend yields, you shouldn't feel dismayed. Apple also rewards shareholders by repurchasing shares. Last year, it spent about $90 billion on buybacks. Historically, this has been a good use of shareholders' money, too.ValuationWith solid long-term prospects and a company that's willing to return cash, it's time to check on Apple's valuation. After all, everyone wants to pay a fair price.The stock currently sells at a price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) of over 23. Although down from over 40 at the start of the year, the shares are more expensive than in past years. Therefore, while Apple's stock may not offer a bargain, it's not as widely overvalued as it was at the start of the year, either. It's still more expensive than the S&P 500, which has a 20.5 P/E, but Apple has historically outperformed the overall market, and I believe the premium is warranted.After weighing all the factors, the company's prospects make this a compelling opportunity to purchase shares.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":328,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9929057229,"gmtCreate":1670570123861,"gmtModify":1676538396239,"author":{"id":"4108629412181280","authorId":"4108629412181280","name":"tplian","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7ecc0302d7a6f2cd28a1199a63498645","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4108629412181280","authorIdStr":"4108629412181280"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9929057229","repostId":"2289465883","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2289465883","pubTimestamp":1670554539,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2289465883?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-12-09 10:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Buyers Shouldn't Underestimate Powell At These Levels","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2289465883","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryThe market has likely priced in a 50 bps hike for next week's FOMC meeting. However, as the m","content":"<html><head></head><body><h3>Summary</h3><ul><li>The market has likely priced in a 50 bps hike for next week&#39;s FOMC meeting. However, as the market parses the Fed&#39;s revised dot plot, it&#39;s also configured for a pullback.</li><li>Investors need to be cautious as the Dow Jones and S&amp;P 500 have rallied into critical resistance zones. We also gleaned that the S&amp;P 500&#39;s valuation is well-balanced at best.</li><li>Wall Street analysts seem to remain optimistic that the market could escape a deeper recession. However, they have also been over-optimistic based on earnings estimates over the past 25 years.</li><li>We highlight why investors need to be patient for the market to determine the directional bias from here.</li></ul><h2>The Market Is Cautious Heading Into The FOMC&#39;s Decision Week</h2><p>The market heads into the Fed&#39;s blackout period before its highly anticipated December FOMC meeting pressor on December 14, as Fed Chair Jerome Powell updates the committee&#39;s median terminal rate and its revised dot plot moving ahead.</p><p>With November&#39;s CPI reading preceding Powell&#39;s press conference on December 13, the FOMC will have an excellent opportunity to look into November&#39;s inflation reading. As such, the market&#39;s buying momentum has stalled decisively as the market awaits the Fed&#39;s rate decision, as the recent recovery has likely already priced in a 50 bps hike in December.</p><p>Despite that, Fed watchers reflect an outside chance of a 75 bps hike (23% probability as of November 6). As such, there remains a slim possibility of a post-CPI rally if the inflation readings are discernibly lower than anticipated.</p><h2>November&#39;s CPI Print Could Still Be A Significant Hurdle</h2><p>However, the Cleveland Fed&#39;s most updated forecasts suggest that the upcoming inflation print (including core) could remain stubbornly high.</p><p>Notably, it predicts a CPI print of 7.40% YoY, with core inflation (less food and energy) rising by 6.26%. Therefore, the forecasts suggest a lower print than October&#39;s headline figure of 7.7%.</p><p>However, core inflation is expected to remain sticky, in line with October&#39;s 6.3% metric. As such, we assess that investors need to be realistic about a Fed pivot in H1&#39;23, even as it could be heading into a data dependency phase in 2023. We believe a critical factor to watch is how the 5Y breakeven inflation could trend from here.</p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b9f0484f953730315c50d9609897f4a3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"340\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>5Y Breakeven inflation rate chart (weekly) (TradingView)</p><p>Our analysis of the current 5Y breakeven inflation rate suggests it has been making higher lows since September. However, the general trend since its March highs remains firmly in the downtrend, although the market doesn&#39;t expect the inflation rate to fall below 2% over the next five years.</p><p>Hence, we believe the market is cautiously positioned into next week&#39;s pivotal releases, which could shape the market&#39;s near-term directional bias.</p><p>Moreover, we believe the underlying market indicators have been pointing to a pullback over the past two weeks. Hence, the market seems ready to force a steeper selloff as it awaits the CPI reading and the Fed&#39;s decision.</p><h2>Market Likely Priced In A 50 Bps Hike</h2><p>While we don&#39;t think investors should short-sell the S&amp;P 500 (SP500) (SPX), we urge investors to be cautious about adding at the current levels. The Dow Jones (DJI) has also rallied into a bull trap, which doesn&#39;t augur well for its near-term buying upside. The NASDAQ (NDX) continues to lag behind the SPX and the DJI as investors poured into less expensive value stocks at the market&#39;s October lows.</p><p>However, we remain constructive over those lows. The risks of a recession in 2023 have been well-established and likely anticipated by the market. Edward Yardeni also highlighted in a recent commentary:</p><blockquote>If the economy is in for a hard landing next year, it would be the most widely anticipated recession ever. The Philly Fed&#39;s survey of forecasters, the WSJ&#39;s survey of economists, and even the Misery Index that reflects the sum of unemployment and inflation rates point to a recession. … But we think this time is different. There&#39;s been no broad-based credit crunch, liquidity is ample, consumer incomes are growing, multi-family housing remains strong, capital spending does too, and fiscal stimulus has been gushing. Real GDP shouldn&#39;t contract in such an environment but grow, slowly but surely. We&#39;re in the soft-landing camp. - Yardeni Research November 29 briefing</blockquote><p>Still, investors should not ignore the significant risks of the Fed remaining in the restrictive zone for longer than expected, which could result in a significant recession.</p><p>The Fed&#39;s James Bullard, a voting member on the 2022 FOMC, also suggested that investors shouldn&#39;t understate the Fed&#39;s hawkish stance. He reiterated his stance (before the blackout period) that &#34;the Fed needs to at least reach the bottom of the 5% to 7% range to meet policymakers&#39; goal of being restrictive enough to stamp out inflation near a four-decade high.&#34;</p><h2>Earnings Estimates Going Back Up</h2><p>Industry analysts have started to revise their earnings estimates for the S&amp;P 500 upward for 2023, seeing a more constructive environment in H2&#39;23. Accordingly, the revised forward estimates suggest that the SPX last traded at an NTM P/E of 17.1x.</p><p>Relative to the SPX&#39;s 10Y average of 17.7x, we postulate that its valuation is relatively well-balanced but with near-term risks skewed to the downside at the current levels.</p><p>Despite that, we gleaned that analysts have already downgraded their earnings estimates for the SPX through November, aligning with the weaker operating performances in Q3 and relatively weak guidance for Q4.</p><p>Still, FactSet data from 1997 to 2021 suggests that analysts overestimated SPX&#39;s earnings projections by an average of 2% (excluding outlier years). Hence, we believe investors must apply an appropriate margin of safety in their modeling.</p><p>Therefore, we believe it&#39;s appropriate for investors to be cautious at these levels as they wait for a resolution from the pivotal data points next week, given the remarkable recovery from October lows.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Buyers Shouldn't Underestimate Powell At These Levels</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBuyers Shouldn't Underestimate Powell At These Levels\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-09 10:55 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4562992-buyers-shouldnt-underestimate-powell-at-these-levels><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryThe market has likely priced in a 50 bps hike for next week's FOMC meeting. However, as the market parses the Fed's revised dot plot, it's also configured for a pullback.Investors need to be ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4562992-buyers-shouldnt-underestimate-powell-at-these-levels\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4562992-buyers-shouldnt-underestimate-powell-at-these-levels","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2289465883","content_text":"SummaryThe market has likely priced in a 50 bps hike for next week's FOMC meeting. However, as the market parses the Fed's revised dot plot, it's also configured for a pullback.Investors need to be cautious as the Dow Jones and S&P 500 have rallied into critical resistance zones. We also gleaned that the S&P 500's valuation is well-balanced at best.Wall Street analysts seem to remain optimistic that the market could escape a deeper recession. However, they have also been over-optimistic based on earnings estimates over the past 25 years.We highlight why investors need to be patient for the market to determine the directional bias from here.The Market Is Cautious Heading Into The FOMC's Decision WeekThe market heads into the Fed's blackout period before its highly anticipated December FOMC meeting pressor on December 14, as Fed Chair Jerome Powell updates the committee's median terminal rate and its revised dot plot moving ahead.With November's CPI reading preceding Powell's press conference on December 13, the FOMC will have an excellent opportunity to look into November's inflation reading. As such, the market's buying momentum has stalled decisively as the market awaits the Fed's rate decision, as the recent recovery has likely already priced in a 50 bps hike in December.Despite that, Fed watchers reflect an outside chance of a 75 bps hike (23% probability as of November 6). As such, there remains a slim possibility of a post-CPI rally if the inflation readings are discernibly lower than anticipated.November's CPI Print Could Still Be A Significant HurdleHowever, the Cleveland Fed's most updated forecasts suggest that the upcoming inflation print (including core) could remain stubbornly high.Notably, it predicts a CPI print of 7.40% YoY, with core inflation (less food and energy) rising by 6.26%. Therefore, the forecasts suggest a lower print than October's headline figure of 7.7%.However, core inflation is expected to remain sticky, in line with October's 6.3% metric. As such, we assess that investors need to be realistic about a Fed pivot in H1'23, even as it could be heading into a data dependency phase in 2023. We believe a critical factor to watch is how the 5Y breakeven inflation could trend from here.5Y Breakeven inflation rate chart (weekly) (TradingView)Our analysis of the current 5Y breakeven inflation rate suggests it has been making higher lows since September. However, the general trend since its March highs remains firmly in the downtrend, although the market doesn't expect the inflation rate to fall below 2% over the next five years.Hence, we believe the market is cautiously positioned into next week's pivotal releases, which could shape the market's near-term directional bias.Moreover, we believe the underlying market indicators have been pointing to a pullback over the past two weeks. Hence, the market seems ready to force a steeper selloff as it awaits the CPI reading and the Fed's decision.Market Likely Priced In A 50 Bps HikeWhile we don't think investors should short-sell the S&P 500 (SP500) (SPX), we urge investors to be cautious about adding at the current levels. The Dow Jones (DJI) has also rallied into a bull trap, which doesn't augur well for its near-term buying upside. The NASDAQ (NDX) continues to lag behind the SPX and the DJI as investors poured into less expensive value stocks at the market's October lows.However, we remain constructive over those lows. The risks of a recession in 2023 have been well-established and likely anticipated by the market. Edward Yardeni also highlighted in a recent commentary:If the economy is in for a hard landing next year, it would be the most widely anticipated recession ever. The Philly Fed's survey of forecasters, the WSJ's survey of economists, and even the Misery Index that reflects the sum of unemployment and inflation rates point to a recession. … But we think this time is different. There's been no broad-based credit crunch, liquidity is ample, consumer incomes are growing, multi-family housing remains strong, capital spending does too, and fiscal stimulus has been gushing. Real GDP shouldn't contract in such an environment but grow, slowly but surely. We're in the soft-landing camp. - Yardeni Research November 29 briefingStill, investors should not ignore the significant risks of the Fed remaining in the restrictive zone for longer than expected, which could result in a significant recession.The Fed's James Bullard, a voting member on the 2022 FOMC, also suggested that investors shouldn't understate the Fed's hawkish stance. He reiterated his stance (before the blackout period) that \"the Fed needs to at least reach the bottom of the 5% to 7% range to meet policymakers' goal of being restrictive enough to stamp out inflation near a four-decade high.\"Earnings Estimates Going Back UpIndustry analysts have started to revise their earnings estimates for the S&P 500 upward for 2023, seeing a more constructive environment in H2'23. Accordingly, the revised forward estimates suggest that the SPX last traded at an NTM P/E of 17.1x.Relative to the SPX's 10Y average of 17.7x, we postulate that its valuation is relatively well-balanced but with near-term risks skewed to the downside at the current levels.Despite that, we gleaned that analysts have already downgraded their earnings estimates for the SPX through November, aligning with the weaker operating performances in Q3 and relatively weak guidance for Q4.Still, FactSet data from 1997 to 2021 suggests that analysts overestimated SPX's earnings projections by an average of 2% (excluding outlier years). Hence, we believe investors must apply an appropriate margin of safety in their modeling.Therefore, we believe it's appropriate for investors to be cautious at these levels as they wait for a resolution from the pivotal data points next week, given the remarkable recovery from October lows.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":697,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9967500277,"gmtCreate":1670342491999,"gmtModify":1676538348439,"author":{"id":"4108629412181280","authorId":"4108629412181280","name":"tplian","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7ecc0302d7a6f2cd28a1199a63498645","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4108629412181280","authorIdStr":"4108629412181280"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"great stuff...","listText":"great stuff...","text":"great stuff...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9967500277","repostId":"1154681513","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1154681513","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1670340328,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1154681513?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-12-06 23:25","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. Stocks Extended Their Losses in Morning Trading; S&P 500 and Nasdaq Crashed Around 1%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1154681513","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. stocks extended their losses in morning trading; Dow Jones slid 0.42%, S&P 500 fell 0.86% while","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. stocks extended their losses in morning trading; Dow Jones slid 0.42%, S&amp;P 500 fell 0.86% while Nasdaq crashed 1.33%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b90251cdc74871e38896b8aea171c90a\" tg-width=\"621\" tg-height=\"105\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. Stocks Extended Their Losses in Morning Trading; S&P 500 and Nasdaq Crashed Around 1%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. Stocks Extended Their Losses in Morning Trading; S&P 500 and Nasdaq Crashed Around 1%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-12-06 23:25</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. stocks extended their losses in morning trading; Dow Jones slid 0.42%, S&amp;P 500 fell 0.86% while Nasdaq crashed 1.33%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b90251cdc74871e38896b8aea171c90a\" tg-width=\"621\" tg-height=\"105\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1154681513","content_text":"U.S. stocks extended their losses in morning trading; Dow Jones slid 0.42%, S&P 500 fell 0.86% while Nasdaq crashed 1.33%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":363,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9965581055,"gmtCreate":1669984909377,"gmtModify":1676538282806,"author":{"id":"4108629412181280","authorId":"4108629412181280","name":"tplian","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7ecc0302d7a6f2cd28a1199a63498645","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4108629412181280","authorIdStr":"4108629412181280"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9965581055","repostId":"2288939123","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":564,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9962276086,"gmtCreate":1669794625446,"gmtModify":1676538244578,"author":{"id":"4108629412181280","authorId":"4108629412181280","name":"tplian","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7ecc0302d7a6f2cd28a1199a63498645","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4108629412181280","authorIdStr":"4108629412181280"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>","text":"$Apple(AAPL)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9962276086","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":496,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9966919408,"gmtCreate":1669375754604,"gmtModify":1676538190831,"author":{"id":"4108629412181280","authorId":"4108629412181280","name":"tplian","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7ecc0302d7a6f2cd28a1199a63498645","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4108629412181280","authorIdStr":"4108629412181280"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9966919408","repostId":"1179538212","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1179538212","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1669367438,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1179538212?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-25 17:10","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Hot Chinese ADRs Slid in Premarket Trading","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1179538212","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Hot chinese ADRs slid in premarket trading. Alibaba, JD.com and Baidu fell 2%; NIO fell 1.7%; XPeng ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Hot chinese ADRs slid in premarket trading. Alibaba, JD.com and Baidu fell 2%; NIO fell 1.7%; XPeng fell 3%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba6152a501a04514474a5de14127c267\" tg-width=\"387\" tg-height=\"728\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Hot Chinese ADRs Slid in Premarket Trading</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHot Chinese ADRs Slid in Premarket Trading\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-11-25 17:10</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Hot chinese ADRs slid in premarket trading. Alibaba, JD.com and Baidu fell 2%; NIO fell 1.7%; XPeng fell 3%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba6152a501a04514474a5de14127c267\" tg-width=\"387\" tg-height=\"728\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"XPEV":"小鹏汽车","LI":"理想汽车","BIDU":"百度","NIO":"蔚来","BILI":"哔哩哔哩","JD":"京东","BABA":"阿里巴巴"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1179538212","content_text":"Hot chinese ADRs slid in premarket trading. Alibaba, JD.com and Baidu fell 2%; NIO fell 1.7%; XPeng fell 3%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":498,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9968884687,"gmtCreate":1669176697349,"gmtModify":1676538163106,"author":{"id":"4108629412181280","authorId":"4108629412181280","name":"tplian","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7ecc0302d7a6f2cd28a1199a63498645","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4108629412181280","authorIdStr":"4108629412181280"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9968884687","repostId":"1172313353","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1172313353","pubTimestamp":1669133168,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1172313353?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-23 00:06","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Mark Zuckerberg Is Set to Resign Next Year - The Leak","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1172313353","media":"The Leak","summary":"The birds are flying south at Meta as the company expects serious executive changesMeta’s journey ov","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The birds are flying south at Meta as the company expects serious executive changes</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/23896c59dc3668bf23a77da727680a21\" tg-width=\"800\" tg-height=\"430\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Meta’s journey over the last decade has been a rough one. Silicon Valley and Wall Street have been buzzing with rumors and speculations over the future of the company as pressure mounts on Mark Zuckerberg.</p><blockquote>Our insider source, privy to plans at Meta, informs us that “Zuckerberg is set to resign next year”.</blockquote><p>Information obtained by The Leak suggests that Zuckerberg has decided to step down himself. The decision, per our insider source, “will not affect metaverse” – Mark’s multi-billion dollar project, which has dragged Meta along with it as the company saw a significant profit decline earlier this year.</p><h2>Swimming against the tide</h2><p>Throughout the year, despite shareholder skepticism and concerns, Zuckerberg has been determined to aggressively push forward with his risky plan on the Metaverse – his VR bet, which he claims will pay off in the long run.</p><blockquote>This insider leak makes sense in the context of immense investor pressure</blockquote><p>According to a Financial Times report in October, investors vented frustrations with Zuckerberg’s plan to double down on investment into the Metaverse. This came after a scathing open letter by Brad Gerstner, whose fund Altimeter Capital owns hundreds of millions of dollars’ worth of Meta shares.</p><p>The open letter makes it clear that Zuckerberg is losing the trust of investors and even lays out a three-point plan, which includes:</p><blockquote>“Limit investment in metaverse / Reality Labs to no more than $5B per year.”</blockquote><p>This insider leak makes sense in the context of immense investor pressure. It’s very possibly Zuckerberg’s attempt at holding himself accountable for Metaverse’s underwhelming performance – which has seen its stock drop over 70% from its peak.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad01b536770135201f09a1f431f2757b\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"914\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Metaverse demo</span></p><p>While the information obtained underlines that this resignation will have no impact on the metaverse, it would make sense for this to simply be a PR move, i.e: Zuckerberg did not resign because of the metaverse.</p><p>Zuckerberg already has plans to let go of thousands of employees. This is in line with a general trend in the tech industry and with investor worries about headcount costs, which were outlined in the open letter by Altimeter Capital. Yet, it’s unlikely the two parties will see eye to eye when it comes to the metaverse.</p><p>Although he’s withstood similar pressures multiple times over the years, Metaverse’s over estimation of public interest in virtual escapism is might be the endgame of Zuckerberg’s long-standing reign.</p><p>The Leak has reached out to Meta for comments.</p><p><b>Note:</b> Andy Stone, spokesman of Meta Platforms, has replied to Twitter, denying that Zuckerberg will resign as CEO next year.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a7ad10486e1e77bdd5bea61840f933d\" tg-width=\"708\" tg-height=\"756\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>","source":"lsy1669133027583","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Mark Zuckerberg Is Set to Resign Next Year - The Leak</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMark Zuckerberg Is Set to Resign Next Year - The Leak\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-23 00:06 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://theleak.co/2022/11/22/mark-zuckerberg-is-set-to-resign-next-year/><strong>The Leak</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The birds are flying south at Meta as the company expects serious executive changesMeta’s journey over the last decade has been a rough one. Silicon Valley and Wall Street have been buzzing with ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://theleak.co/2022/11/22/mark-zuckerberg-is-set-to-resign-next-year/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"META":"Meta Platforms, Inc."},"source_url":"https://theleak.co/2022/11/22/mark-zuckerberg-is-set-to-resign-next-year/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1172313353","content_text":"The birds are flying south at Meta as the company expects serious executive changesMeta’s journey over the last decade has been a rough one. Silicon Valley and Wall Street have been buzzing with rumors and speculations over the future of the company as pressure mounts on Mark Zuckerberg.Our insider source, privy to plans at Meta, informs us that “Zuckerberg is set to resign next year”.Information obtained by The Leak suggests that Zuckerberg has decided to step down himself. The decision, per our insider source, “will not affect metaverse” – Mark’s multi-billion dollar project, which has dragged Meta along with it as the company saw a significant profit decline earlier this year.Swimming against the tideThroughout the year, despite shareholder skepticism and concerns, Zuckerberg has been determined to aggressively push forward with his risky plan on the Metaverse – his VR bet, which he claims will pay off in the long run.This insider leak makes sense in the context of immense investor pressureAccording to a Financial Times report in October, investors vented frustrations with Zuckerberg’s plan to double down on investment into the Metaverse. This came after a scathing open letter by Brad Gerstner, whose fund Altimeter Capital owns hundreds of millions of dollars’ worth of Meta shares.The open letter makes it clear that Zuckerberg is losing the trust of investors and even lays out a three-point plan, which includes:“Limit investment in metaverse / Reality Labs to no more than $5B per year.”This insider leak makes sense in the context of immense investor pressure. It’s very possibly Zuckerberg’s attempt at holding himself accountable for Metaverse’s underwhelming performance – which has seen its stock drop over 70% from its peak.Metaverse demoWhile the information obtained underlines that this resignation will have no impact on the metaverse, it would make sense for this to simply be a PR move, i.e: Zuckerberg did not resign because of the metaverse.Zuckerberg already has plans to let go of thousands of employees. This is in line with a general trend in the tech industry and with investor worries about headcount costs, which were outlined in the open letter by Altimeter Capital. Yet, it’s unlikely the two parties will see eye to eye when it comes to the metaverse.Although he’s withstood similar pressures multiple times over the years, Metaverse’s over estimation of public interest in virtual escapism is might be the endgame of Zuckerberg’s long-standing reign.The Leak has reached out to Meta for comments.Note: Andy Stone, spokesman of Meta Platforms, has replied to Twitter, denying that Zuckerberg will resign as CEO next year.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":367,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9961290511,"gmtCreate":1668966182634,"gmtModify":1676538132406,"author":{"id":"4108629412181280","authorId":"4108629412181280","name":"tplian","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7ecc0302d7a6f2cd28a1199a63498645","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4108629412181280","authorIdStr":"4108629412181280"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9961290511","repostId":"2284785084","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":268,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9963793711,"gmtCreate":1668749584433,"gmtModify":1676538107743,"author":{"id":"4108629412181280","authorId":"4108629412181280","name":"tplian","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7ecc0302d7a6f2cd28a1199a63498645","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4108629412181280","authorIdStr":"4108629412181280"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9963793711","repostId":"1103280772","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1103280772","pubTimestamp":1668736676,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1103280772?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-18 09:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Bullard Sets Tone for Fed Officials Signaling Hikes Will Roll On","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1103280772","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Borrowing costs should be high enough to curb inflationTightening has had limited effect on prices s","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Borrowing costs should be high enough to curb inflation</li><li>Tightening has had limited effect on prices so far, he says</li></ul><p>St. Louis Fed President James Bullard said policymakers should raise interest rates to at least 5% to 5.25%, hitting financial markets as investors recalibrated bets on how high officials would go.</p><p>“In the past I have said 4.75% to 5%,” he told reporters Thursday after giving a speech in Louisville, Kentucky. “Based on this analysis today, I would say 5% to 5.25%. That’s a minimum level. According to this analysis, that would at least get us in the zone.”</p><p>Chair Jerome Powell said earlier this month that rates will need to rise more than previously expected due to disappointing inflation data, while suggesting that officials could moderate the size of their increases going forward. A key reading on consumer prices since then was better than expected but policymakers continue to stress the need to keep raising rates.</p><p>Officials in September had projected rates rising to around 4.6% next year from a current target range of 3.75% to 4%. Those projections will be updated at the Fed’s Dec. 13-14 meeting.</p><p>US 10-year Treasury yields climbed after Bullard became the latest official to say that interest rates had further to rise to curb the strongest inflation in 40 years.</p><p>San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly said on Wednesday that “somewhere between 4.75 and 5.25 seems a reasonable place to think about” for the level that officials should raise rates to then go on hold.</p><p>Bullard’s hawkish tone was echoed later on Thursday by Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari, whosaidit’s an “open question” how far the central bank has to go with rates to bring demand back into balance.</p><p>“I need to be convinced that inflation has at least stopped climbing, that we’re not falling further behind the curve before I would advocate stopping a progression of future rate hikes, so we’re not there yet,” he told the Minnesota Chamber of Commerce’s 2022 Economic Summit.</p><p>“The Fed is still maintaining a outward appearance of hawkishness pending another month of inflation data,” said Guy LeBas, chief fixed-income strategist for Janney Montgomery Scott LLC in Philadelphia. “One month of lower inflation doesn’t mean the war is over.”</p><p>Data last week showed consumer inflation rising by a less-than-expected 7.7% in the 12 months through October. November’s reading will be released on Dec. 13, before officials begin their two days of policy deliberations.</p><p>During his presentation, Bullard showed charts that indicated rates will need to be between about 5% to 7% to meet policymakers’ goal of being “sufficiently restrictive” to curb inflation near a four-decade high.</p><p>The calculation used different versions of a Taylor Rule, a popular monetary policy guideline developed by Stanford University’s John Taylor.</p><h3>‘Minimal’ Level</h3><p>“It’s easy to make arguments that before this is all over you’d have to go to much higher levels of the policy rate” than 5.25%, said Bullard, who votes on policy this year. “But for now I’d be happy to get to the minimal level and that’s why I think the committee is going to have to do more.”</p><p>The St. Louis Fed leader, who has been among the more hawkish policymakers this year, was the latest central banker to call for additional action.</p><p>The Fed raised rates by 75 basis points on Nov. 2 for the fourth straight time as part of its most aggressive tightening since the 1980s to curb an inflation that started in the wake of the Covid-19 pandemic disruptions.</p><p>Bullard didn’t say whether he would favor a 50 or 75 basis-point move at the Fed’s December meeting, telling reporters that he would look to Powell to set the direction.</p><p>A number of his colleagues have called for a downshift in the size of the next rate increase following last week’s consumer price report, which showed a softening in core consumer goods inflation in October.</p><p>Investors expect the Fed will raise rates by a half percentage point next month and see rates peaking around 5% next year.</p><p>The St. Louis Fed president said he expected officials to keep rates high for an extended period to avoid the kind of monetary policy mistakes of the 1970s that resulted in persistently high inflation.</p><p>“We certainly don’t want to replay that episode,” he told reporters. “So we’re going to have to see very tangible evidence that inflation’s coming down meaningfully toward target, and I think we’re going to want to err on the side of staying higher for longer in order to get that to happen.”</p><p>Bullard said while he expected inflation to come down next year, there’s been relatively little evidence of that so far.</p><p>“Thus far, the change in the monetary-policy stance appears to have had only limited effects on observed inflation, but market pricing suggests disinflation is expected in 2023,” Bullard said in his prepared remarks, adding rate hikes so far have caused little financial stress.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bullard Sets Tone for Fed Officials Signaling Hikes Will Roll On</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBullard Sets Tone for Fed Officials Signaling Hikes Will Roll On\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-18 09:57 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-17/fed-s-bullard-says-more-hikes-needed-to-get-to-restrictive-level><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Borrowing costs should be high enough to curb inflationTightening has had limited effect on prices so far, he saysSt. Louis Fed President James Bullard said policymakers should raise interest rates to...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-17/fed-s-bullard-says-more-hikes-needed-to-get-to-restrictive-level\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-17/fed-s-bullard-says-more-hikes-needed-to-get-to-restrictive-level","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1103280772","content_text":"Borrowing costs should be high enough to curb inflationTightening has had limited effect on prices so far, he saysSt. Louis Fed President James Bullard said policymakers should raise interest rates to at least 5% to 5.25%, hitting financial markets as investors recalibrated bets on how high officials would go.“In the past I have said 4.75% to 5%,” he told reporters Thursday after giving a speech in Louisville, Kentucky. “Based on this analysis today, I would say 5% to 5.25%. That’s a minimum level. According to this analysis, that would at least get us in the zone.”Chair Jerome Powell said earlier this month that rates will need to rise more than previously expected due to disappointing inflation data, while suggesting that officials could moderate the size of their increases going forward. A key reading on consumer prices since then was better than expected but policymakers continue to stress the need to keep raising rates.Officials in September had projected rates rising to around 4.6% next year from a current target range of 3.75% to 4%. Those projections will be updated at the Fed’s Dec. 13-14 meeting.US 10-year Treasury yields climbed after Bullard became the latest official to say that interest rates had further to rise to curb the strongest inflation in 40 years.San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly said on Wednesday that “somewhere between 4.75 and 5.25 seems a reasonable place to think about” for the level that officials should raise rates to then go on hold.Bullard’s hawkish tone was echoed later on Thursday by Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari, whosaidit’s an “open question” how far the central bank has to go with rates to bring demand back into balance.“I need to be convinced that inflation has at least stopped climbing, that we’re not falling further behind the curve before I would advocate stopping a progression of future rate hikes, so we’re not there yet,” he told the Minnesota Chamber of Commerce’s 2022 Economic Summit.“The Fed is still maintaining a outward appearance of hawkishness pending another month of inflation data,” said Guy LeBas, chief fixed-income strategist for Janney Montgomery Scott LLC in Philadelphia. “One month of lower inflation doesn’t mean the war is over.”Data last week showed consumer inflation rising by a less-than-expected 7.7% in the 12 months through October. November’s reading will be released on Dec. 13, before officials begin their two days of policy deliberations.During his presentation, Bullard showed charts that indicated rates will need to be between about 5% to 7% to meet policymakers’ goal of being “sufficiently restrictive” to curb inflation near a four-decade high.The calculation used different versions of a Taylor Rule, a popular monetary policy guideline developed by Stanford University’s John Taylor.‘Minimal’ Level“It’s easy to make arguments that before this is all over you’d have to go to much higher levels of the policy rate” than 5.25%, said Bullard, who votes on policy this year. “But for now I’d be happy to get to the minimal level and that’s why I think the committee is going to have to do more.”The St. Louis Fed leader, who has been among the more hawkish policymakers this year, was the latest central banker to call for additional action.The Fed raised rates by 75 basis points on Nov. 2 for the fourth straight time as part of its most aggressive tightening since the 1980s to curb an inflation that started in the wake of the Covid-19 pandemic disruptions.Bullard didn’t say whether he would favor a 50 or 75 basis-point move at the Fed’s December meeting, telling reporters that he would look to Powell to set the direction.A number of his colleagues have called for a downshift in the size of the next rate increase following last week’s consumer price report, which showed a softening in core consumer goods inflation in October.Investors expect the Fed will raise rates by a half percentage point next month and see rates peaking around 5% next year.The St. Louis Fed president said he expected officials to keep rates high for an extended period to avoid the kind of monetary policy mistakes of the 1970s that resulted in persistently high inflation.“We certainly don’t want to replay that episode,” he told reporters. “So we’re going to have to see very tangible evidence that inflation’s coming down meaningfully toward target, and I think we’re going to want to err on the side of staying higher for longer in order to get that to happen.”Bullard said while he expected inflation to come down next year, there’s been relatively little evidence of that so far.“Thus far, the change in the monetary-policy stance appears to have had only limited effects on observed inflation, but market pricing suggests disinflation is expected in 2023,” Bullard said in his prepared remarks, adding rate hikes so far have caused little financial stress.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":290,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9963209185,"gmtCreate":1668679832047,"gmtModify":1676538096028,"author":{"id":"4108629412181280","authorId":"4108629412181280","name":"tplian","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7ecc0302d7a6f2cd28a1199a63498645","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4108629412181280","authorIdStr":"4108629412181280"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Black Friday sale...&nbsp;","listText":"Black Friday sale...&nbsp;","text":"Black Friday sale...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9963209185","repostId":"2283204537","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":84,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9969433765,"gmtCreate":1668487881457,"gmtModify":1676538064960,"author":{"id":"4108629412181280","authorId":"4108629412181280","name":"tplian","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7ecc0302d7a6f2cd28a1199a63498645","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4108629412181280","authorIdStr":"4108629412181280"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9969433765","repostId":"1194306738","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1194306738","pubTimestamp":1668468992,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1194306738?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-15 07:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Brainard Says Fed Should Probably \"Soon\" Slow Pace of Rate Hikes","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1194306738","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"‘We’ve done a lot but we have additional work to do’: BrainardFed vice chair speaks at Bloomberg eve","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>‘We’ve done a lot but we have additional work to do’: Brainard</li><li>Fed vice chair speaks at Bloomberg event in Washington</li></ul><p>Federal Reserve Vice Chair Lael Brainard said the central bank should soon moderate the size of its interest-rate increases, signaling she favors slowing to a half-point hike as early as next month.</p><p>“It will probably be appropriate soon to move to a slower pace of increases,” Brainard said Monday in a fireside-chat event at Bloomberg’s Washington bureau. “But I think what’s really important to emphasize: We’ve done a lot, but we have additional work to do.”</p><p>The US central bank has raised its benchmark interest rate this year from nearly zero in March to a target range of 3.75% to 4% this month in a bid to slow the economy and bring inflation down from four-decade highs. The most aggressive tightening campaign since the 1980s has included rate hikes of three-quarters of a percentage point at each of the last four policy meetings, triple the usual move.</p><p>“There are likely to be lags, and it’s going to take some time for that cumulative tightening to flow through,” Brainard said. “So, it makes sense to move to a more deliberate and a more data-dependent pace as we continue to make sure that there’s restraint that will bring inflation down over time.”</p><p>At the same time, Brainard stopped short of explicitly endorsing the idea that the Fed would likely need to raise rates higher than previously projected in September. That’s what Chair Jerome Powell and other officials have said this month.</p><p>Asked if she agreed with the chair’s expectation, Brainard stressed the importance of Fed policy being data dependent.</p><p>“Even for just the December meeting’s decision, we still will have additional data in hand by the time that we will -- members of the committee will be submitting their new projections. And of course, those projections are going to reflect that data, both on inflation as well as on the labor market activity more generally,” she said. “But it is the case that we do have additional work to do on raising rates.”</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/37a914d734b43a247afac724dfa23589\" tg-width=\"698\" tg-height=\"392\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Investors expect Fed officials to opt for a half-point hike at their Dec. 13-14 meeting following Powell’s signal on Nov. 2 that such a downshift was in the offing, and a subsequent Labor Department report last week which showed increases in US consumer prices may be starting to moderate.</p><p>That report showed inflation cooled by more than expected in October, with the consumer price index rising 7.7% from a year earlier versus 8.2% the month before.</p><p>But officials have stressed that they need to see a series of lower monthly readings to have confidence that price pressures are heading back down to levels consistent with the central bank’s 2% target, which is defined in terms of the Commerce Department’s price index for personal consumption expenditures. October data for that measure will be published later this month.</p><p>“The most recent CPI inflation print suggests that maybe the core PCE measure that we really focus on might be also showing a little bit of a reduction,” Brainard said. “That would be welcome. I think the inflation data was reassuring, preliminarily, just in terms of showing a slowing in categories that I had been anticipating.”</p><p>The Fed has two congressional mandates: price stability and maximum employment. In recent weeks, Democratic senators including Sherrod Brown, who plays a key role overseeing the central bank as head of the Senate Banking Committee, have written letters to Powell expressing concerns that the fight against inflation will lead to unnecessary job losses.</p><p>“Obviously risks are going to be more two-sided as we get into more restrictive -- or further into restrictive -- territory. So, we’ll be balancing those considerations, but we are very much focused on achieving our 2% inflation goal,” Brainard said.</p><p>“It’s very important to keep inflation expectations anchored around that goal. And so, we’ll just have to make judgments like that as we go forward: What is the appropriate level of restraint on a sustained basis that is going to be necessary to make that balance?”</p><p>The vice chair also pointed to data showing the pace of wage increases has begun to moderate.</p><p>“I think it’s important to remember that wages have actually not kept up with inflation. Real incomes have actually, on aggregate, fallen, even though wages are higher than what would be consistent with a run rate associated with 2% inflation,” she said. “So they really are in the middle there, and they are coming down.”</p><p>Officials in September forecast rates would reach 4.6% in 2023, but Powell on Nov. 2 suggested projections for the so-called terminal rate would probably move higher when they are next updated at the December meeting.</p><p>Investors now see rates peaking just below 5% by the middle of next year.</p><p>“By moving at a more deliberate pace, we’ll actually be able to see how that cumulative tightening is playing out,” Brainard said. “Exactly what that path looks like I think is really hard to say right now, but I think it will be very much better at balancing those risks by virtue of being able to take on board more data.”</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Brainard Says Fed Should Probably \"Soon\" Slow Pace of Rate Hikes</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBrainard Says Fed Should Probably \"Soon\" Slow Pace of Rate Hikes\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-15 07:36 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-14/brainard-says-fed-probably-will-soon-slow-pace-of-rate-hikes?srnd=premium><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>‘We’ve done a lot but we have additional work to do’: BrainardFed vice chair speaks at Bloomberg event in WashingtonFederal Reserve Vice Chair Lael Brainard said the central bank should soon moderate ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-14/brainard-says-fed-probably-will-soon-slow-pace-of-rate-hikes?srnd=premium\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-14/brainard-says-fed-probably-will-soon-slow-pace-of-rate-hikes?srnd=premium","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1194306738","content_text":"‘We’ve done a lot but we have additional work to do’: BrainardFed vice chair speaks at Bloomberg event in WashingtonFederal Reserve Vice Chair Lael Brainard said the central bank should soon moderate the size of its interest-rate increases, signaling she favors slowing to a half-point hike as early as next month.“It will probably be appropriate soon to move to a slower pace of increases,” Brainard said Monday in a fireside-chat event at Bloomberg’s Washington bureau. “But I think what’s really important to emphasize: We’ve done a lot, but we have additional work to do.”The US central bank has raised its benchmark interest rate this year from nearly zero in March to a target range of 3.75% to 4% this month in a bid to slow the economy and bring inflation down from four-decade highs. The most aggressive tightening campaign since the 1980s has included rate hikes of three-quarters of a percentage point at each of the last four policy meetings, triple the usual move.“There are likely to be lags, and it’s going to take some time for that cumulative tightening to flow through,” Brainard said. “So, it makes sense to move to a more deliberate and a more data-dependent pace as we continue to make sure that there’s restraint that will bring inflation down over time.”At the same time, Brainard stopped short of explicitly endorsing the idea that the Fed would likely need to raise rates higher than previously projected in September. That’s what Chair Jerome Powell and other officials have said this month.Asked if she agreed with the chair’s expectation, Brainard stressed the importance of Fed policy being data dependent.“Even for just the December meeting’s decision, we still will have additional data in hand by the time that we will -- members of the committee will be submitting their new projections. And of course, those projections are going to reflect that data, both on inflation as well as on the labor market activity more generally,” she said. “But it is the case that we do have additional work to do on raising rates.”Investors expect Fed officials to opt for a half-point hike at their Dec. 13-14 meeting following Powell’s signal on Nov. 2 that such a downshift was in the offing, and a subsequent Labor Department report last week which showed increases in US consumer prices may be starting to moderate.That report showed inflation cooled by more than expected in October, with the consumer price index rising 7.7% from a year earlier versus 8.2% the month before.But officials have stressed that they need to see a series of lower monthly readings to have confidence that price pressures are heading back down to levels consistent with the central bank’s 2% target, which is defined in terms of the Commerce Department’s price index for personal consumption expenditures. October data for that measure will be published later this month.“The most recent CPI inflation print suggests that maybe the core PCE measure that we really focus on might be also showing a little bit of a reduction,” Brainard said. “That would be welcome. I think the inflation data was reassuring, preliminarily, just in terms of showing a slowing in categories that I had been anticipating.”The Fed has two congressional mandates: price stability and maximum employment. In recent weeks, Democratic senators including Sherrod Brown, who plays a key role overseeing the central bank as head of the Senate Banking Committee, have written letters to Powell expressing concerns that the fight against inflation will lead to unnecessary job losses.“Obviously risks are going to be more two-sided as we get into more restrictive -- or further into restrictive -- territory. So, we’ll be balancing those considerations, but we are very much focused on achieving our 2% inflation goal,” Brainard said.“It’s very important to keep inflation expectations anchored around that goal. And so, we’ll just have to make judgments like that as we go forward: What is the appropriate level of restraint on a sustained basis that is going to be necessary to make that balance?”The vice chair also pointed to data showing the pace of wage increases has begun to moderate.“I think it’s important to remember that wages have actually not kept up with inflation. Real incomes have actually, on aggregate, fallen, even though wages are higher than what would be consistent with a run rate associated with 2% inflation,” she said. “So they really are in the middle there, and they are coming down.”Officials in September forecast rates would reach 4.6% in 2023, but Powell on Nov. 2 suggested projections for the so-called terminal rate would probably move higher when they are next updated at the December meeting.Investors now see rates peaking just below 5% by the middle of next year.“By moving at a more deliberate pace, we’ll actually be able to see how that cumulative tightening is playing out,” Brainard said. “Exactly what that path looks like I think is really hard to say right now, but I think it will be very much better at balancing those risks by virtue of being able to take on board more data.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":188,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9960246195,"gmtCreate":1668185087717,"gmtModify":1676538026111,"author":{"id":"4108629412181280","authorId":"4108629412181280","name":"tplian","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7ecc0302d7a6f2cd28a1199a63498645","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4108629412181280","authorIdStr":"4108629412181280"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9960246195","repostId":"1155100032","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1155100032","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1668177168,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1155100032?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-11 22:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Dow Opens Slightly Higher Friday, As Wall Street Tries to Build on Its Biggest One-Day Rally Since 2020","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1155100032","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Stock futures rose Friday after China said it would ease some Covid measures, building on optimism f","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Stock futures rose Friday after China said it would ease some Covid measures, building on optimism from lighter-than-feared inflation data that fueled a broad market rally in the previous session.</p><p>S&amp;P 500 gained 0.1%, and the Dow rose 0.1%, and the Nasdaq Composite was flat.</p><p>Shares of U.S.-listed Chinese stocks jumped in the premarket after China said it would lift some Covid restrictions, shortening quarantine time for international travelers by two days. Shares of Alibaba, Pinduoduo and JD.com were up about 5%, 5.5% and 8%, respectively.</p><p>Other stocks with high exposure to China popped on the news. Shares of casino operators Wynn Resorts and Las Vegas Sands were up more than 4% and 3% in the premarket.</p><p>The news built on Thursday’s rally when the major averages posted their biggest one-day gains since 2020. The Dow jumped more than 1,200 points following a smaller-than-expected rise in consumer prices for the month of October, giving investors hope that inflation may be cooling. The S&amp;P rose 5.5%, and the Nasdaq Composite surged about 7.4%.</p><p>Treasury yields plunged Thursday on the back of the weaker-than-expected inflation print, with the 10-year Treasury yield falling down to 3.811%. The 2-year yield dropped to 4.33%.</p><p>“From an equity market perspective, as long as the threat of much higher rates is out the way, this should remove a major headwind,” Barclays’ Emmanuel Cau wrote in a Friday note.</p><p>All of the indexes are on pace for a winning week. The Dow is up 4% on a weekly basis, while the S&amp;P and Nasdaq are on pace for increases of 4.9% and 6.1%, respectively. The three averages are also on track for a positive month.</p><p>Investors are looking forward to preliminary University of Michigan consumer sentiment data, due out at 10 a.m. ET.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Dow Opens Slightly Higher Friday, As Wall Street Tries to Build on Its Biggest One-Day Rally Since 2020</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDow Opens Slightly Higher Friday, As Wall Street Tries to Build on Its Biggest One-Day Rally Since 2020\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-11-11 22:32</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Stock futures rose Friday after China said it would ease some Covid measures, building on optimism from lighter-than-feared inflation data that fueled a broad market rally in the previous session.</p><p>S&amp;P 500 gained 0.1%, and the Dow rose 0.1%, and the Nasdaq Composite was flat.</p><p>Shares of U.S.-listed Chinese stocks jumped in the premarket after China said it would lift some Covid restrictions, shortening quarantine time for international travelers by two days. Shares of Alibaba, Pinduoduo and JD.com were up about 5%, 5.5% and 8%, respectively.</p><p>Other stocks with high exposure to China popped on the news. Shares of casino operators Wynn Resorts and Las Vegas Sands were up more than 4% and 3% in the premarket.</p><p>The news built on Thursday’s rally when the major averages posted their biggest one-day gains since 2020. The Dow jumped more than 1,200 points following a smaller-than-expected rise in consumer prices for the month of October, giving investors hope that inflation may be cooling. The S&amp;P rose 5.5%, and the Nasdaq Composite surged about 7.4%.</p><p>Treasury yields plunged Thursday on the back of the weaker-than-expected inflation print, with the 10-year Treasury yield falling down to 3.811%. The 2-year yield dropped to 4.33%.</p><p>“From an equity market perspective, as long as the threat of much higher rates is out the way, this should remove a major headwind,” Barclays’ Emmanuel Cau wrote in a Friday note.</p><p>All of the indexes are on pace for a winning week. The Dow is up 4% on a weekly basis, while the S&amp;P and Nasdaq are on pace for increases of 4.9% and 6.1%, respectively. The three averages are also on track for a positive month.</p><p>Investors are looking forward to preliminary University of Michigan consumer sentiment data, due out at 10 a.m. ET.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1155100032","content_text":"Stock futures rose Friday after China said it would ease some Covid measures, building on optimism from lighter-than-feared inflation data that fueled a broad market rally in the previous session.S&P 500 gained 0.1%, and the Dow rose 0.1%, and the Nasdaq Composite was flat.Shares of U.S.-listed Chinese stocks jumped in the premarket after China said it would lift some Covid restrictions, shortening quarantine time for international travelers by two days. Shares of Alibaba, Pinduoduo and JD.com were up about 5%, 5.5% and 8%, respectively.Other stocks with high exposure to China popped on the news. Shares of casino operators Wynn Resorts and Las Vegas Sands were up more than 4% and 3% in the premarket.The news built on Thursday’s rally when the major averages posted their biggest one-day gains since 2020. The Dow jumped more than 1,200 points following a smaller-than-expected rise in consumer prices for the month of October, giving investors hope that inflation may be cooling. The S&P rose 5.5%, and the Nasdaq Composite surged about 7.4%.Treasury yields plunged Thursday on the back of the weaker-than-expected inflation print, with the 10-year Treasury yield falling down to 3.811%. The 2-year yield dropped to 4.33%.“From an equity market perspective, as long as the threat of much higher rates is out the way, this should remove a major headwind,” Barclays’ Emmanuel Cau wrote in a Friday note.All of the indexes are on pace for a winning week. The Dow is up 4% on a weekly basis, while the S&P and Nasdaq are on pace for increases of 4.9% and 6.1%, respectively. The three averages are also on track for a positive month.Investors are looking forward to preliminary University of Michigan consumer sentiment data, due out at 10 a.m. ET.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":143,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9960136478,"gmtCreate":1668092476295,"gmtModify":1676538011567,"author":{"id":"4108629412181280","authorId":"4108629412181280","name":"tplian","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7ecc0302d7a6f2cd28a1199a63498645","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4108629412181280","authorIdStr":"4108629412181280"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9960136478","repostId":"1172039716","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1172039716","pubTimestamp":1668095318,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1172039716?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-10 23:48","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US Inflation Slows More Than Forecast, Gives Fed Downshift Room","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1172039716","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"CPI increased 7.7% in October from year ago, core up 6.3%Core prices eased as used cars, medical car","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>CPI increased 7.7% in October from year ago, core up 6.3%</li><li>Core prices eased as used cars, medical care and apparel fell</li></ul><p>US inflation cooled in October by more than forecast, offering hope that the fastest price increases in decades are ebbing and giving Federal Reserve officials room to slow down their steep interest-rate hikes.</p><p>The consumer price index was up 7.7% from a year earlier, the smallest annual advance since the start of the year and down from 8.2% in September, according to a Labor Department report Thursday. Core prices, which exclude food and energy and are regarded as a better underlying indicator of inflation, advanced 6.3%, pulling back from a 40-year high.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5be7f7f8929758d6f750c0a72d77be88\" tg-width=\"698\" tg-height=\"392\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>The core consumer price index increased 0.3% from the prior month, while the overall CPI advanced 0.4%. Both increases as well as the monthly rises were below the median economist estimates.</p><p>“I think the underlying elements of this report are actually good, they’re supportive, there’s some evidence that we’re moving from peak inflation down lower,” Matthew Luzzetti, chief US economist at Deutsche Bank AG, said on Bloomberg Television. “Where do we end up I think is the big question.”</p><p>While the deceleration in core prices is welcome news, inflation remains much too high for comfort for the Fed. Chair Jerome Powell, who said earlier this month that officials need to see a consistent pattern of weaker monthly inflation, also indicated interest rates will likely peak higher than policy makers previously envisioned.</p><p>Declines in the price gauges for medical care services and used vehicles restrained the core measure. Higher shelter costs contributed to more than half of the increase in overall CPI.</p><p>Treasury yields plunged while the S&amp;P 500 soared at the open and the dollar index tumbled. Traders moved closer to pricing in a half-point Fed hike in December, rather than 75 basis points, and cut to below 5% where they see the peak rate coming next year.</p><p>The median estimates in a Bloomberg survey of economists called for a 0.6% monthly gain in the CPI and a 0.5% advance in the core.</p><p>Fed officials will have both another CPI report and jobs report in hand before the end of their two-day policy meeting in mid-December.</p><p>What Bloomberg Economics Says...</p><blockquote>“The soft October core CPI print offers Fed doves a powerful justification to slow the pace of rate hikes going forward. More widespread disinflation across goods sectors, and a measurement quirk in medical care services -- factors we expect to continue in the months ahead -- helped bring down inflation in October.”-- Anna Wong, economist</blockquote><p>Meantime, elevated inflation continues to weigh on American households and the broader economy. High prices have eaten away at wage gains and led many to either tighten their belts or rely on savings and credit cards to keep spending.</p><p>Inflation and the broader performance of the economy played a role in Tuesday’s midterm elections, though exit polls suggest social issues proved a bigger factor than pre-election polling had suggested. As of Thursday morning, the results were unclear, but it appeared that Republicans will gain a narrow majority in the House of Representatives.</p><h3>Fed Campaign</h3><p>While the Fed has embarked on the most aggressive tightening campaign since the 1980s, the labor market and consumer demand, while cooling some, have proved to be largely resilient. The housing market, however, has rapidly deteriorated amid soaring mortgage rates.</p><p>Consumer price growth is expected to further moderate over the coming year, though some economists expect the path back to the Fed’s inflation goal to include both a recession and a rise in the unemployment rate.</p><p>Inflation is affecting economies globally, spurring the world’s most aggressive and synchronized monetary policy tightening in 40 years and raising risks of a global downturn.</p><p>Shelter costs -- which are the biggest services’ component and make up about a third of the overall CPI index -- increased 0.8% last month, the most since 1990. The acceleration was fueled by the biggest jump in costs of hotel stays in more than a year.</p><p>Though private-sector data points to a stabilization -- or even decline -- in rents in a range of cities across the country, there’s a lag between real-time changes and when those are reflected in Labor Department data. Bloomberg Economics estimates the shelter-related components will crest in the next two to three months, then begin slowing.</p><p>Stripping out food, energy and shelter, the CPI dropped 0.1%, the weakest reading since May 2020.</p><p>Monthly Movers</p><ul><li>Food rose 0.6%, smallest gain this year</li><li>Apparel fell 0.7%, biggest decline since April</li><li>Household furnishings fell 0.2%, most since January 2021</li><li>Health insurance decreased a record 4%</li><li>Overall medical care services fell 0.6%, most since 1971</li><li>Used cars decreased 2.4%, most since March</li><li>Airfares declined 1.1%</li></ul><p>While the Fed bases its 2% target on a separate inflation measure from the Commerce Department -- the personal consumption expenditures price index -- the CPI is closely watched by policy makers, traders and the public. Given the volatility of food and energy prices, the core index is generally considered a more reliable barometer of underlying inflation.</p><p>Excluding food and energy, the cost of goods decreased 0.4%, the biggest decline since March. Services prices less energy increased 0.5%.</p><p>Economists generally expect goods prices to continue to soften as a result of shifting consumer preferences, improving supply chains and lower commodity prices. However, services may keep upward pressure on wages and inflation for the foreseeable future.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d351fc2c690c700c609323ff9e14a552\" tg-width=\"698\" tg-height=\"392\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>A separate report Thursday highlighted how high inflation is depressing workers’ purchasing power. Real average hourly earnings decreased in October and were down 2.8% from a year earlier. After adjusting for inflation, annual wages have fallen each month since April 2021.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US Inflation Slows More Than Forecast, Gives Fed Downshift Room</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS Inflation Slows More Than Forecast, Gives Fed Downshift Room\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-10 23:48 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-10/us-core-cpi-slows-more-than-forecast-gives-fed-downshift-room><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>CPI increased 7.7% in October from year ago, core up 6.3%Core prices eased as used cars, medical care and apparel fellUS inflation cooled in October by more than forecast, offering hope that the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-10/us-core-cpi-slows-more-than-forecast-gives-fed-downshift-room\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-10/us-core-cpi-slows-more-than-forecast-gives-fed-downshift-room","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1172039716","content_text":"CPI increased 7.7% in October from year ago, core up 6.3%Core prices eased as used cars, medical care and apparel fellUS inflation cooled in October by more than forecast, offering hope that the fastest price increases in decades are ebbing and giving Federal Reserve officials room to slow down their steep interest-rate hikes.The consumer price index was up 7.7% from a year earlier, the smallest annual advance since the start of the year and down from 8.2% in September, according to a Labor Department report Thursday. Core prices, which exclude food and energy and are regarded as a better underlying indicator of inflation, advanced 6.3%, pulling back from a 40-year high.The core consumer price index increased 0.3% from the prior month, while the overall CPI advanced 0.4%. Both increases as well as the monthly rises were below the median economist estimates.“I think the underlying elements of this report are actually good, they’re supportive, there’s some evidence that we’re moving from peak inflation down lower,” Matthew Luzzetti, chief US economist at Deutsche Bank AG, said on Bloomberg Television. “Where do we end up I think is the big question.”While the deceleration in core prices is welcome news, inflation remains much too high for comfort for the Fed. Chair Jerome Powell, who said earlier this month that officials need to see a consistent pattern of weaker monthly inflation, also indicated interest rates will likely peak higher than policy makers previously envisioned.Declines in the price gauges for medical care services and used vehicles restrained the core measure. Higher shelter costs contributed to more than half of the increase in overall CPI.Treasury yields plunged while the S&P 500 soared at the open and the dollar index tumbled. Traders moved closer to pricing in a half-point Fed hike in December, rather than 75 basis points, and cut to below 5% where they see the peak rate coming next year.The median estimates in a Bloomberg survey of economists called for a 0.6% monthly gain in the CPI and a 0.5% advance in the core.Fed officials will have both another CPI report and jobs report in hand before the end of their two-day policy meeting in mid-December.What Bloomberg Economics Says...“The soft October core CPI print offers Fed doves a powerful justification to slow the pace of rate hikes going forward. More widespread disinflation across goods sectors, and a measurement quirk in medical care services -- factors we expect to continue in the months ahead -- helped bring down inflation in October.”-- Anna Wong, economistMeantime, elevated inflation continues to weigh on American households and the broader economy. High prices have eaten away at wage gains and led many to either tighten their belts or rely on savings and credit cards to keep spending.Inflation and the broader performance of the economy played a role in Tuesday’s midterm elections, though exit polls suggest social issues proved a bigger factor than pre-election polling had suggested. As of Thursday morning, the results were unclear, but it appeared that Republicans will gain a narrow majority in the House of Representatives.Fed CampaignWhile the Fed has embarked on the most aggressive tightening campaign since the 1980s, the labor market and consumer demand, while cooling some, have proved to be largely resilient. The housing market, however, has rapidly deteriorated amid soaring mortgage rates.Consumer price growth is expected to further moderate over the coming year, though some economists expect the path back to the Fed’s inflation goal to include both a recession and a rise in the unemployment rate.Inflation is affecting economies globally, spurring the world’s most aggressive and synchronized monetary policy tightening in 40 years and raising risks of a global downturn.Shelter costs -- which are the biggest services’ component and make up about a third of the overall CPI index -- increased 0.8% last month, the most since 1990. The acceleration was fueled by the biggest jump in costs of hotel stays in more than a year.Though private-sector data points to a stabilization -- or even decline -- in rents in a range of cities across the country, there’s a lag between real-time changes and when those are reflected in Labor Department data. Bloomberg Economics estimates the shelter-related components will crest in the next two to three months, then begin slowing.Stripping out food, energy and shelter, the CPI dropped 0.1%, the weakest reading since May 2020.Monthly MoversFood rose 0.6%, smallest gain this yearApparel fell 0.7%, biggest decline since AprilHousehold furnishings fell 0.2%, most since January 2021Health insurance decreased a record 4%Overall medical care services fell 0.6%, most since 1971Used cars decreased 2.4%, most since MarchAirfares declined 1.1%While the Fed bases its 2% target on a separate inflation measure from the Commerce Department -- the personal consumption expenditures price index -- the CPI is closely watched by policy makers, traders and the public. Given the volatility of food and energy prices, the core index is generally considered a more reliable barometer of underlying inflation.Excluding food and energy, the cost of goods decreased 0.4%, the biggest decline since March. Services prices less energy increased 0.5%.Economists generally expect goods prices to continue to soften as a result of shifting consumer preferences, improving supply chains and lower commodity prices. However, services may keep upward pressure on wages and inflation for the foreseeable future.A separate report Thursday highlighted how high inflation is depressing workers’ purchasing power. Real average hourly earnings decreased in October and were down 2.8% from a year earlier. After adjusting for inflation, annual wages have fallen each month since April 2021.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":156,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9984769143,"gmtCreate":1667746856583,"gmtModify":1676537958234,"author":{"id":"4108629412181280","authorId":"4108629412181280","name":"tplian","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7ecc0302d7a6f2cd28a1199a63498645","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4108629412181280","authorIdStr":"4108629412181280"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9984769143","repostId":"1150175524","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1150175524","pubTimestamp":1667703718,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1150175524?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-06 11:01","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Fall of Big Tech Is Boosting Stock Quants on Wall Street","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1150175524","media":"bloomberg","summary":"Factor trades are outperforming, from momentum to value betsInvesting approach is typically less tethered to tech megacapsMeta CEO Mark Zuckerberg unveils the Meta Quest Pro virtual-reality headset du","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Factor trades are outperforming, from momentum to value bets</li><li>Investing approach is typically less tethered to tech megacaps</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f8f65081ce9226625075ac95cb67e04a\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"666\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg unveils the Meta Quest Pro virtual-reality headset during the Meta Connect event on Oct. 11.</span></p><p>Another tech plunge, another shot in the arm for stock quants mounting a big comeback in Wall Street’s awful year.</p><p>As the Federal Reserve ramped up its hawkish policy guidance thisweekon still-raging inflation, the once-booming Faang megapcaps lost a further $568 billion in market value, bringing the cohort’s total capitalization to the lowest since mid-2020.</p><p>With rising interest rates spurring an abrupt end to the leadership of Big Tech, the largest technology companies are wielding less and less power over broader indexes, as former high-fliers likeMeta Platforms Inc.andAmazon.com Inc. crash anew in the latest wave of selling. Reversing the extremes of the cheap-money years, the capitalization-weighted S&amp;P 500 hit the lowest versus an equal-weighted version of the benchmark since 2019.</p><p>All this is a boon for so-called factor investors, who dissect equities according to their math-derived traits, from how cheap equities look to how fast they’ve risen. These funds are typically underweight the tech megacaps and have a propensity to spread out their exposures, a favorable setup in this era of improved market breadth.</p><p>In 11 of the last 13 sessions where the S&amp;P 500 has dropped more than 2%, strategies beloved by factor funds like value, quality, momentum and low volatility have all made money, according to Dow Jones’ market-neutral indexes.</p><p>“You got a much more diverse opportunity set that allows for more factors to come into play,” said Sean Phayre, head of quantitative investments at Abrdn Investment Management. “Previously 2019, 2020 was a very one-dimensional market.”</p><p>Systematic managers who deploy factor strategies in one form or another are on a winning streak. The AQR Equity Market NeutralFundhas rallied anew since October to notch a 21% gain so far this year. The Jupiter Merian Global Equity Absolute ReturnFund, whichbled assetsthroughout the tech bull run, is up nearly 7%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af9200d7f049c1445a2db5293ea641ab\" tg-width=\"930\" tg-height=\"523\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>The math whizzes of Wall Street crunch data to find patterns across the entire stock market. That means they’re mostly spreading out their wagers across a vast number of securities. So when market gains are concentrated in a few megacaps, quants almost by definition will own far less of those shares than a cheap-and-cheerful S&amp;P 500 tracker. That was the case in the low-rate years when the Faang block -- -- Facebook Inc., now known as Meta, Apple Inc., Amazon, Netflix Inc. and Google parent Alphabet Inc. -- drove the bull market.</p><p>Now a broader group of winners is giving money managers more opportunities. In a reversal of pre-2021 trends, the S&amp;P 500 pulled off an around-8% surge in October even with half of the Faangs falling.</p><p>Lately, the momentum factor, a popular quant trade, has also joined the party. A chameleon investing style that simply bets on the past year’s winners, it doesn’t do well at turning points like the start of 2022. But having rebalanced into outperformers like health-care and energy stocks, the strategy has rallied this quarter in a sign of persistent trends driven by sticky inflation.</p><p>The $12 billion iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF (tickerMTUM) drew a record $2 billion in inflows last month after its 13% surge beat the wider market by the most in its nine-year history. A market-neutral version compiled by Bloomberg is on track for the best year since 2015.</p><p>“Momentum is the all-weather strategy,” Christopher Harvey, head of equity strategy at Wells Fargo, wrote in a note. He expects more market damage caused by inflation and jobs data, touting momentum strategies as “they have a tendency to perform well” in stressed conditions.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2cbca206ffa153228ae07923cf7615b6\" tg-width=\"930\" tg-height=\"523\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Meanwhile, 87% of high-momentum firms have beaten earnings expectations this season, compared to 70% of the S&amp;P 500, per Harvey. These winning names are also getting rewarded more for good results and punished less for bad ones.</p><p>The value strategy of buying cheap shares has also seen another bump with rising rates driving investors away from stocks with high multiples. Meanwhile the low-volatility trade is shining as steadier stocks like health-care names win out.</p><p>These trends have only intensified lately with American heavyweights like Amazon, Alphabet and Microsoft posting disappointing earnings -- a big turnaround compared to the unbridled tech optimism of the low-rate era.</p><p>“The single dimension that was driving those names to excess returns -- that model is somewhat broken,” said Phayre at Abrdn. “Come 2021, 2022 there’s a realization there’s going to be some form of payback for all the cheap money.”</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Fall of Big Tech Is Boosting Stock Quants on Wall Street</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Fall of Big Tech Is Boosting Stock Quants on Wall Street\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-06 11:01 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-05/the-fall-of-big-tech-is-boosting-stock-quants-on-wall-street><strong>bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Factor trades are outperforming, from momentum to value betsInvesting approach is typically less tethered to tech megacapsMeta CEO Mark Zuckerberg unveils the Meta Quest Pro virtual-reality headset ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-05/the-fall-of-big-tech-is-boosting-stock-quants-on-wall-street\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊","GOOG":"谷歌","AAPL":"苹果","META":"Meta Platforms, Inc.",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-05/the-fall-of-big-tech-is-boosting-stock-quants-on-wall-street","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1150175524","content_text":"Factor trades are outperforming, from momentum to value betsInvesting approach is typically less tethered to tech megacapsMeta CEO Mark Zuckerberg unveils the Meta Quest Pro virtual-reality headset during the Meta Connect event on Oct. 11.Another tech plunge, another shot in the arm for stock quants mounting a big comeback in Wall Street’s awful year.As the Federal Reserve ramped up its hawkish policy guidance thisweekon still-raging inflation, the once-booming Faang megapcaps lost a further $568 billion in market value, bringing the cohort’s total capitalization to the lowest since mid-2020.With rising interest rates spurring an abrupt end to the leadership of Big Tech, the largest technology companies are wielding less and less power over broader indexes, as former high-fliers likeMeta Platforms Inc.andAmazon.com Inc. crash anew in the latest wave of selling. Reversing the extremes of the cheap-money years, the capitalization-weighted S&P 500 hit the lowest versus an equal-weighted version of the benchmark since 2019.All this is a boon for so-called factor investors, who dissect equities according to their math-derived traits, from how cheap equities look to how fast they’ve risen. These funds are typically underweight the tech megacaps and have a propensity to spread out their exposures, a favorable setup in this era of improved market breadth.In 11 of the last 13 sessions where the S&P 500 has dropped more than 2%, strategies beloved by factor funds like value, quality, momentum and low volatility have all made money, according to Dow Jones’ market-neutral indexes.“You got a much more diverse opportunity set that allows for more factors to come into play,” said Sean Phayre, head of quantitative investments at Abrdn Investment Management. “Previously 2019, 2020 was a very one-dimensional market.”Systematic managers who deploy factor strategies in one form or another are on a winning streak. The AQR Equity Market NeutralFundhas rallied anew since October to notch a 21% gain so far this year. The Jupiter Merian Global Equity Absolute ReturnFund, whichbled assetsthroughout the tech bull run, is up nearly 7%.The math whizzes of Wall Street crunch data to find patterns across the entire stock market. That means they’re mostly spreading out their wagers across a vast number of securities. So when market gains are concentrated in a few megacaps, quants almost by definition will own far less of those shares than a cheap-and-cheerful S&P 500 tracker. That was the case in the low-rate years when the Faang block -- -- Facebook Inc., now known as Meta, Apple Inc., Amazon, Netflix Inc. and Google parent Alphabet Inc. -- drove the bull market.Now a broader group of winners is giving money managers more opportunities. In a reversal of pre-2021 trends, the S&P 500 pulled off an around-8% surge in October even with half of the Faangs falling.Lately, the momentum factor, a popular quant trade, has also joined the party. A chameleon investing style that simply bets on the past year’s winners, it doesn’t do well at turning points like the start of 2022. But having rebalanced into outperformers like health-care and energy stocks, the strategy has rallied this quarter in a sign of persistent trends driven by sticky inflation.The $12 billion iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF (tickerMTUM) drew a record $2 billion in inflows last month after its 13% surge beat the wider market by the most in its nine-year history. A market-neutral version compiled by Bloomberg is on track for the best year since 2015.“Momentum is the all-weather strategy,” Christopher Harvey, head of equity strategy at Wells Fargo, wrote in a note. He expects more market damage caused by inflation and jobs data, touting momentum strategies as “they have a tendency to perform well” in stressed conditions.Meanwhile, 87% of high-momentum firms have beaten earnings expectations this season, compared to 70% of the S&P 500, per Harvey. These winning names are also getting rewarded more for good results and punished less for bad ones.The value strategy of buying cheap shares has also seen another bump with rising rates driving investors away from stocks with high multiples. Meanwhile the low-volatility trade is shining as steadier stocks like health-care names win out.These trends have only intensified lately with American heavyweights like Amazon, Alphabet and Microsoft posting disappointing earnings -- a big turnaround compared to the unbridled tech optimism of the low-rate era.“The single dimension that was driving those names to excess returns -- that model is somewhat broken,” said Phayre at Abrdn. “Come 2021, 2022 there’s a realization there’s going to be some form of payback for all the cheap money.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":316,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9984128500,"gmtCreate":1667572344301,"gmtModify":1676537939364,"author":{"id":"4108629412181280","authorId":"4108629412181280","name":"tplian","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7ecc0302d7a6f2cd28a1199a63498645","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4108629412181280","authorIdStr":"4108629412181280"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9984128500","repostId":"2280522137","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":101,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9982141043,"gmtCreate":1667129754482,"gmtModify":1676537864914,"author":{"id":"4108629412181280","authorId":"4108629412181280","name":"tplian","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7ecc0302d7a6f2cd28a1199a63498645","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4108629412181280","authorIdStr":"4108629412181280"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9982141043","repostId":"1195247398","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1195247398","pubTimestamp":1667095848,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1195247398?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-30 10:10","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Amazon's AWS Vs. Microsoft Azure Vs. Google Cloud: How The Cloud Race Shaped Up In Q3","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1195247398","media":"Benzinga","summary":"ZINGER KEY POINTSAlphabet has seen the fastest revenue growth among Cloud vendors.Amazon's AWS, though the top vendor, has seen slowing revenue growth.Big tech earnings mostly surprised to the downsid","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>ZINGER KEY POINTS</b></p><ul><li>Alphabet has seen the fastest revenue growth among Cloud vendors.</li><li>Amazon&#39;s AWS, though the top vendor, has seen slowing revenue growth.</li></ul><p>Big tech earnings mostly surprised to the downside, prompting market analysts to comment that the market leadership is moving away from techs. Although <b>Alphabet, Inc.’s</b> core search business and YouTube experienced weakness, its Cloud business was touted as a bright spot.</p><p>Here’s a look at how the lucrative Cloud business of each of the three major U.S. vendors fared in the third quarter:</p><p><b>AWS:</b> <b>Amazon, Inc.&#39;s</b> Cloud business, christened as Amazon Web Service or AWS, raked in sales of $20.54 billion in the quarter. This represented a 27.4% year-over-year increase and a 4.1% quarter-over-quarter increase.</p><p>The segment contributed $5.4 billion of Amazon’s operating income, helping to offset the operating losses collected by the company’s core eCommerce business.</p><p>AWS accounted for 16.2% of Amazon’s total revenue.</p><p>&#34;Our teams across AWS continue to work relentlessly to expand that breadth and depth, including recent launches of new EC2 machine learning training instances in AWS IoT fleet-wise,” CFO <b>Brian Olsavsky</b> said on the third-quarter earnings call.</p><p><b>Google Cloud:</b> Alphabet’s Google Cloud fetched the company $6.87 billion in revenue, up 37.6% year-over-year and 9.4% sequentially. The division, however, generated an operating loss of $699 million.</p><p>Alphabet derives just about 10% of its revenue from the Cloud business.</p><p>CEO <b>Sundar Pichai</b> said on the earnings call that Cloud is a key priority for the company, adding that long-term trends that are driving cloud adoption continue to play an even stronger role during uncertain times.</p><p><b>Microsoft Azure:</b> Software giant <b>Microsoft Corp.</b> said its Cloud revenue rose 24% year-over-year to $25.7 billion. In constant currency, the growth was a steeper 31%.</p><p>Revenue from its Intelligent Cloud business was up 20% to $20.3 billion, driven by 35% revenue growth at Azure and other cloud services. Azure is Microsoft’spublic cloud computing platform.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1606299360108","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Amazon's AWS Vs. Microsoft Azure Vs. Google Cloud: How The Cloud Race Shaped Up In Q3</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAmazon's AWS Vs. Microsoft Azure Vs. Google Cloud: How The Cloud Race Shaped Up In Q3\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-30 10:10 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.benzinga.com/news/22/10/29470386/amazons-ws-vs-microsoft-azure-vs-google-cloud-how-the-cloud-race-shaped-up-in-q3><strong>Benzinga</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>ZINGER KEY POINTSAlphabet has seen the fastest revenue growth among Cloud vendors.Amazon's AWS, though the top vendor, has seen slowing revenue growth.Big tech earnings mostly surprised to the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/22/10/29470386/amazons-ws-vs-microsoft-azure-vs-google-cloud-how-the-cloud-race-shaped-up-in-q3\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MSFT":"微软","GOOG":"谷歌","GOOGL":"谷歌A","AMZN":"亚马逊"},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/news/22/10/29470386/amazons-ws-vs-microsoft-azure-vs-google-cloud-how-the-cloud-race-shaped-up-in-q3","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1195247398","content_text":"ZINGER KEY POINTSAlphabet has seen the fastest revenue growth among Cloud vendors.Amazon's AWS, though the top vendor, has seen slowing revenue growth.Big tech earnings mostly surprised to the downside, prompting market analysts to comment that the market leadership is moving away from techs. Although Alphabet, Inc.’s core search business and YouTube experienced weakness, its Cloud business was touted as a bright spot.Here’s a look at how the lucrative Cloud business of each of the three major U.S. vendors fared in the third quarter:AWS: Amazon, Inc.'s Cloud business, christened as Amazon Web Service or AWS, raked in sales of $20.54 billion in the quarter. This represented a 27.4% year-over-year increase and a 4.1% quarter-over-quarter increase.The segment contributed $5.4 billion of Amazon’s operating income, helping to offset the operating losses collected by the company’s core eCommerce business.AWS accounted for 16.2% of Amazon’s total revenue.\"Our teams across AWS continue to work relentlessly to expand that breadth and depth, including recent launches of new EC2 machine learning training instances in AWS IoT fleet-wise,” CFO Brian Olsavsky said on the third-quarter earnings call.Google Cloud: Alphabet’s Google Cloud fetched the company $6.87 billion in revenue, up 37.6% year-over-year and 9.4% sequentially. The division, however, generated an operating loss of $699 million.Alphabet derives just about 10% of its revenue from the Cloud business.CEO Sundar Pichai said on the earnings call that Cloud is a key priority for the company, adding that long-term trends that are driving cloud adoption continue to play an even stronger role during uncertain times.Microsoft Azure: Software giant Microsoft Corp. said its Cloud revenue rose 24% year-over-year to $25.7 billion. In constant currency, the growth was a steeper 31%.Revenue from its Intelligent Cloud business was up 20% to $20.3 billion, driven by 35% revenue growth at Azure and other cloud services. Azure is Microsoft’spublic cloud computing platform.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":101,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9980679635,"gmtCreate":1665725171928,"gmtModify":1676537656037,"author":{"id":"4108629412181280","authorId":"4108629412181280","name":"tplian","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7ecc0302d7a6f2cd28a1199a63498645","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4108629412181280","authorIdStr":"4108629412181280"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cool","listText":"Cool","text":"Cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9980679635","repostId":"2275006628","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2275006628","pubTimestamp":1665720058,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2275006628?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-14 12:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple: The Safest Port In The Storm","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2275006628","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryApple's fully integrated model allows it to ensure the highest quality products with the best","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2>Summary</h2><ul><li>Apple&#39;s fully integrated model allows it to ensure the highest quality products with the best features at premium prices.</li><li>Apple is the best AAA rated high quality company to hide in a bear market giving you the safety net of a blue chip with moderate long-term growth.</li><li>Apple&#39;s brand loyalty and stickiness is priceless.</li><li>Apple generates a ton of cash and returns huge amounts to shareholders.</li><li>The Apple 14&#39;s Pro versions with higher ASPs will drive growth.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6188bafe265bad1c31915b22ed93319\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"500\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>South_agency/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><h2>The Safest Port in the Storm</h2><p>A hawkish Fed has raised interest rates five times this year, including a historic and unprecedented three hikes of 0.75% or 75 basis points each in their last three meetings. In a bid to curb raging inflation, ranging from the core 6% to the headline 8%, the Fed has clearly shown no mercy to investors, taking the Fed Funds rate from 0 to 0.25% to 3 to 3.25%. And it&#39;s not done yet - the markets areexpecting two further hikes of 75 and 50 basis points in the next two meetings left in 2022.</p><p>Interest rate hikes didn&#39;t spare anyone - the S&amp;P 500 has dropped 25% from its all time high of 4,819 to 3,597. The NASDAQ COMP.IND and market leaders &#34;The FAAMNNG&#39;s&#34; Meta (Formerly Facebook)(NASDAQ:META), Alphabet, (NASDAQ:GOOG), Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX) Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) and Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) suffered worse.</p><p>Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) not surprisingly, turned out to be the safest port in the storm that engulfed the markets this year, dropping &#34;only&#34; 24%, even edging the S&amp;P 500, <b>which is a huge sign of stability and faith in the company.</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7897610b12f272c531b6b0fc95fffd6d\" tg-width=\"535\" tg-height=\"164\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>The Drop in the Tech Bellwethers - FAAMNNG&#39;s (Seeking Alpha)</span></p><p>A flight to quality is common during corrections and bear markets and having seen a few! I&#39;ve usually resorted to consumer staples and other defensives. This time around I&#39;ve bought Apple on dips and <b>believe it would be best line of defense and then some</b>, as we work our way out of this bear market.</p><h2>Q4-2022 and Q1-2023 Revenue Outlook Remains Solid</h2><p>Long time Apple analyst Gene Muster re-iterated his faith in Apple claiming that lead times are higher at this stage for the iPhone 14, than it was for the iPhone 13.</p><p>There was some consternation about Apple ordering an extra 6 million units for the I-Phone 14 and then walking it back. The short term drama aside, it&#39;s still on its initial target of selling more than 90Mn phones in Q1-2023 (Oct-Dec 2022). Clearly, there&#39;s no lack of demand and as initial reports have shown, the larger and more expensive iPhone 14s are selling better than the smaller base models, whose ASP&#39;s (Average Selling Prices) will help Apple&#39;s Sep and Dec quarter revenues.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a66301ddad3ba28d76bc55f9f72911d4\" tg-width=\"510\" tg-height=\"230\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Apple&#39;s Revenue Segments (Apple, Fountainhead)</span></p><p>I expect iPhones to grow 5% in Q4-22 and 4% in Q1-22, its biggest quarter of the year. Importantly, this is the first post Covid Dec quarter and single digit growth is still impressive on the back of 33% revenue growth in 2021.</p><p>The drop in worldwide PC shipments also doesn&#39;t seem to have hurt Apple. According to IDC, Mac shipments grew 40% to 10,060 in Q3-22. However, more conservatively, I&#39;m estimating that Mac will grow 8% in Q4-22 and 2% in Q1-23.</p><p>As has been the trend in the past several years, wearables, (I-Watch) and Services will carry the lion&#39;s share of growth at 16-12%, and 15-11% in each quarter, respectively.</p><h2>The Bull Case</h2><p><b>Apple&#39;s Biggest Moat - It is a fully integrated company.</b> It designs its own system on chips (SOC), the hardware and architecture of all its devices and the operating system that goes in them. Unlike the &#34;Wintel&#34; combination of Microsoft Windows and Intel, which was produced as a commodity and sold under several brands of PC&#39;s worldwide - Dell, Lenovo, HP, Asus to name a few, Apple never stepped out of its walled garden. It valued and provided the best user experience, put in all the best features and charged 30-35% higher than the competition. The same thing repeated itself in mobile phones - The I-Phone comes with the IOS, while the Android is free to be used by anyone else in the industry. And guess what, there was a time when Apple was making 90% of the profits in the cell phone business! This is a fantastic business model and I don&#39;t see any immediate threats to it in the near future.</p><p><b>Growth from Wearables and Services</b> - The I Watch, with 30% of market share of wearables, is in a class by itself, with the next two competitors in the low and mid teens. Initially dismissed as a fad, it has grown to a must have in the Apple eco system and with its foray into health, it will remain a major catalyst for growth for Apple.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d60baec40171cb065732ebb3713cca0e\" tg-width=\"437\" tg-height=\"61\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Apple&#39;s wearables and Services Segments (Apple, Fountainhead)</span></p><p>Around 2015, when I-Phones were close to 70% of Apple&#39;s revenues, there was a lot of hand wringing about how difficult it would be to move the needle of a $234Bn behemoth. The general refrain was that I-Phones were saturated, we had seen the best of Apple and it was relegated to a low to mid teens PE ratio and some even dismissed it as a hardware company! Well, seven years later the Wearables segment, which consists mainly of the I-watch has grown at an astounding 23% per year to $42Bn!</p><p>Similarly, Services has grown at 22% to $80Bn and has the best margins. The $2.99 you pay each month for extra storage brings in a lot of green for Apple!</p><p><b>Brand Loyalty</b> - You can&#39;t cut the cord. Apple&#39;s brand value and stickiness is priceless. I started with a Fitbit and once I was gifted an I-Watch there&#39;s been no turning back. The user experience is excellent across all its products and <b>addictive.</b> I was at a dinner with some friends and someone had forgotten their I-Phone; a friend gave her a Samsung Galaxy to make a call. She was worse than a deer in headlights! Absolutely clueless and handed it back with a shudder! You can&#39;t pry an I-Phone out a dead person&#39;s fingers!</p><p><b>Rewarding its shareholders</b> - Apple throws up gobs of cash, $104Bn of operating cash in FY 2021 alone, of which $14Bn was returned as dividends and $86Bn used for buybacks. With net margins of 21-22% of almost $400Bn in sales, and growing at 6%, Apple should continue to generate about a $100Bn of cash each year.</p><p><b>Expanding its Eco System - Apple Pay</b> - Remember the derision and ridicule Apple Pay was subjected to when it was in in its infancy? Well, according to Statista, Apple Pay now has a <b>92%</b> overall share in overall US mobile wallet transactions. <b>The point here is that Apple has the luxury, the cash and the resilience to wait and keep expanding its eco system.</b> Something, smaller and weaker competitors don&#39;t.</p><p><b>Very disciplined with its cash</b> - Apple doesn&#39;t waste money chasing expensive acquisitions, in FY 2020 it spend only $1.5Bn on strategic investments. These are strictly within its areas of competence. It spent a hefty $22Bn in R&amp;D in 2021, which is essential and lifeblood of tech companies.</p><h2>Valuation and Summary</h2><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/039194dd18b6352532a347ca59387569\" tg-width=\"394\" tg-height=\"162\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Apple, Fountainhead</span></p><p>I&#39;m not recommending Apple as a growth story, the next 4 years are expected to grow at single digits, even as wearables and services hold up that mantle for years to come. And sure, there could be the A/R segment or autos in the future, which could well be the subject of another article and discussed at length.</p><p>At this juncture, the investment objective is two fold -- <b>one is clearly to own a AAA rated blue chip</b>, which has so far outperformed the broader, supposedly more hedged S&amp;P and other tech stalwarts and will be a solid bastion holding up to the Fed&#39;s whack a mole, whack anything strategy.</p><p><b>The second is the valuation.</b> Clearly, the 0.25% Fed Funds rate and the (ERP) Equity Risk Premium of 4.5% put equity valuations way beyond its long term averages. At its peak of 4,819 in Nov 2021, the S&amp;P 500 was about 24X, 2021 earnings of $200. With the Fed Funds rate rising and approaching 4.25% <b>that valuation and multiple was not tenable.It had to fall.</b> Now at 3,570 the S&amp;P 500 is valued at a more sedate 16.4 PE.</p><p>The same rationale applies to Apple. It&#39;s multiple too has come down from 29 to 21X forward earnings. As interest rates stop rising and inflation gets under control in 2023 the multiples will expand. <b>As the blue chip generating a ton of cash, fully integrated, best brand in the world, with all its moats and competitive advantages,</b> Apple will go back to a much higher multiple and valuation.</p><p>I own Apple and recommend buying it.</p><p><i>This article is written by Fountainhead for reference only. Please note the risks.</i></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple: The Safest Port In The Storm</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple: The Safest Port In The Storm\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-14 12:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4546327-apple-the-safest-port-in-the-storm><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryApple's fully integrated model allows it to ensure the highest quality products with the best features at premium prices.Apple is the best AAA rated high quality company to hide in a bear ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4546327-apple-the-safest-port-in-the-storm\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4546327-apple-the-safest-port-in-the-storm","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2275006628","content_text":"SummaryApple's fully integrated model allows it to ensure the highest quality products with the best features at premium prices.Apple is the best AAA rated high quality company to hide in a bear market giving you the safety net of a blue chip with moderate long-term growth.Apple's brand loyalty and stickiness is priceless.Apple generates a ton of cash and returns huge amounts to shareholders.The Apple 14's Pro versions with higher ASPs will drive growth.South_agency/iStock Unreleased via Getty ImagesThe Safest Port in the StormA hawkish Fed has raised interest rates five times this year, including a historic and unprecedented three hikes of 0.75% or 75 basis points each in their last three meetings. In a bid to curb raging inflation, ranging from the core 6% to the headline 8%, the Fed has clearly shown no mercy to investors, taking the Fed Funds rate from 0 to 0.25% to 3 to 3.25%. And it's not done yet - the markets areexpecting two further hikes of 75 and 50 basis points in the next two meetings left in 2022.Interest rate hikes didn't spare anyone - the S&P 500 has dropped 25% from its all time high of 4,819 to 3,597. The NASDAQ COMP.IND and market leaders \"The FAAMNNG's\" Meta (Formerly Facebook)(NASDAQ:META), Alphabet, (NASDAQ:GOOG), Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX) Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) and Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) suffered worse.Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) not surprisingly, turned out to be the safest port in the storm that engulfed the markets this year, dropping \"only\" 24%, even edging the S&P 500, which is a huge sign of stability and faith in the company.The Drop in the Tech Bellwethers - FAAMNNG's (Seeking Alpha)A flight to quality is common during corrections and bear markets and having seen a few! I've usually resorted to consumer staples and other defensives. This time around I've bought Apple on dips and believe it would be best line of defense and then some, as we work our way out of this bear market.Q4-2022 and Q1-2023 Revenue Outlook Remains SolidLong time Apple analyst Gene Muster re-iterated his faith in Apple claiming that lead times are higher at this stage for the iPhone 14, than it was for the iPhone 13.There was some consternation about Apple ordering an extra 6 million units for the I-Phone 14 and then walking it back. The short term drama aside, it's still on its initial target of selling more than 90Mn phones in Q1-2023 (Oct-Dec 2022). Clearly, there's no lack of demand and as initial reports have shown, the larger and more expensive iPhone 14s are selling better than the smaller base models, whose ASP's (Average Selling Prices) will help Apple's Sep and Dec quarter revenues.Apple's Revenue Segments (Apple, Fountainhead)I expect iPhones to grow 5% in Q4-22 and 4% in Q1-22, its biggest quarter of the year. Importantly, this is the first post Covid Dec quarter and single digit growth is still impressive on the back of 33% revenue growth in 2021.The drop in worldwide PC shipments also doesn't seem to have hurt Apple. According to IDC, Mac shipments grew 40% to 10,060 in Q3-22. However, more conservatively, I'm estimating that Mac will grow 8% in Q4-22 and 2% in Q1-23.As has been the trend in the past several years, wearables, (I-Watch) and Services will carry the lion's share of growth at 16-12%, and 15-11% in each quarter, respectively.The Bull CaseApple's Biggest Moat - It is a fully integrated company. It designs its own system on chips (SOC), the hardware and architecture of all its devices and the operating system that goes in them. Unlike the \"Wintel\" combination of Microsoft Windows and Intel, which was produced as a commodity and sold under several brands of PC's worldwide - Dell, Lenovo, HP, Asus to name a few, Apple never stepped out of its walled garden. It valued and provided the best user experience, put in all the best features and charged 30-35% higher than the competition. The same thing repeated itself in mobile phones - The I-Phone comes with the IOS, while the Android is free to be used by anyone else in the industry. And guess what, there was a time when Apple was making 90% of the profits in the cell phone business! This is a fantastic business model and I don't see any immediate threats to it in the near future.Growth from Wearables and Services - The I Watch, with 30% of market share of wearables, is in a class by itself, with the next two competitors in the low and mid teens. Initially dismissed as a fad, it has grown to a must have in the Apple eco system and with its foray into health, it will remain a major catalyst for growth for Apple.Apple's wearables and Services Segments (Apple, Fountainhead)Around 2015, when I-Phones were close to 70% of Apple's revenues, there was a lot of hand wringing about how difficult it would be to move the needle of a $234Bn behemoth. The general refrain was that I-Phones were saturated, we had seen the best of Apple and it was relegated to a low to mid teens PE ratio and some even dismissed it as a hardware company! Well, seven years later the Wearables segment, which consists mainly of the I-watch has grown at an astounding 23% per year to $42Bn!Similarly, Services has grown at 22% to $80Bn and has the best margins. The $2.99 you pay each month for extra storage brings in a lot of green for Apple!Brand Loyalty - You can't cut the cord. Apple's brand value and stickiness is priceless. I started with a Fitbit and once I was gifted an I-Watch there's been no turning back. The user experience is excellent across all its products and addictive. I was at a dinner with some friends and someone had forgotten their I-Phone; a friend gave her a Samsung Galaxy to make a call. She was worse than a deer in headlights! Absolutely clueless and handed it back with a shudder! You can't pry an I-Phone out a dead person's fingers!Rewarding its shareholders - Apple throws up gobs of cash, $104Bn of operating cash in FY 2021 alone, of which $14Bn was returned as dividends and $86Bn used for buybacks. With net margins of 21-22% of almost $400Bn in sales, and growing at 6%, Apple should continue to generate about a $100Bn of cash each year.Expanding its Eco System - Apple Pay - Remember the derision and ridicule Apple Pay was subjected to when it was in in its infancy? Well, according to Statista, Apple Pay now has a 92% overall share in overall US mobile wallet transactions. The point here is that Apple has the luxury, the cash and the resilience to wait and keep expanding its eco system. Something, smaller and weaker competitors don't.Very disciplined with its cash - Apple doesn't waste money chasing expensive acquisitions, in FY 2020 it spend only $1.5Bn on strategic investments. These are strictly within its areas of competence. It spent a hefty $22Bn in R&D in 2021, which is essential and lifeblood of tech companies.Valuation and SummaryApple, FountainheadI'm not recommending Apple as a growth story, the next 4 years are expected to grow at single digits, even as wearables and services hold up that mantle for years to come. And sure, there could be the A/R segment or autos in the future, which could well be the subject of another article and discussed at length.At this juncture, the investment objective is two fold -- one is clearly to own a AAA rated blue chip, which has so far outperformed the broader, supposedly more hedged S&P and other tech stalwarts and will be a solid bastion holding up to the Fed's whack a mole, whack anything strategy.The second is the valuation. Clearly, the 0.25% Fed Funds rate and the (ERP) Equity Risk Premium of 4.5% put equity valuations way beyond its long term averages. At its peak of 4,819 in Nov 2021, the S&P 500 was about 24X, 2021 earnings of $200. With the Fed Funds rate rising and approaching 4.25% that valuation and multiple was not tenable.It had to fall. Now at 3,570 the S&P 500 is valued at a more sedate 16.4 PE.The same rationale applies to Apple. It's multiple too has come down from 29 to 21X forward earnings. As interest rates stop rising and inflation gets under control in 2023 the multiples will expand. As the blue chip generating a ton of cash, fully integrated, best brand in the world, with all its moats and competitive advantages, Apple will go back to a much higher multiple and valuation.I own Apple and recommend buying it.This article is written by Fountainhead for reference only. Please note the risks.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":255,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9967500277,"gmtCreate":1670342491999,"gmtModify":1676538348439,"author":{"id":"4108629412181280","authorId":"4108629412181280","name":"tplian","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7ecc0302d7a6f2cd28a1199a63498645","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4108629412181280","authorIdStr":"4108629412181280"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"great stuff...","listText":"great stuff...","text":"great stuff...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9967500277","repostId":"1154681513","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":363,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9963793711,"gmtCreate":1668749584433,"gmtModify":1676538107743,"author":{"id":"4108629412181280","authorId":"4108629412181280","name":"tplian","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7ecc0302d7a6f2cd28a1199a63498645","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4108629412181280","authorIdStr":"4108629412181280"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9963793711","repostId":"1103280772","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1103280772","pubTimestamp":1668736676,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1103280772?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-18 09:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Bullard Sets Tone for Fed Officials Signaling Hikes Will Roll On","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1103280772","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Borrowing costs should be high enough to curb inflationTightening has had limited effect on prices s","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Borrowing costs should be high enough to curb inflation</li><li>Tightening has had limited effect on prices so far, he says</li></ul><p>St. Louis Fed President James Bullard said policymakers should raise interest rates to at least 5% to 5.25%, hitting financial markets as investors recalibrated bets on how high officials would go.</p><p>“In the past I have said 4.75% to 5%,” he told reporters Thursday after giving a speech in Louisville, Kentucky. “Based on this analysis today, I would say 5% to 5.25%. That’s a minimum level. According to this analysis, that would at least get us in the zone.”</p><p>Chair Jerome Powell said earlier this month that rates will need to rise more than previously expected due to disappointing inflation data, while suggesting that officials could moderate the size of their increases going forward. A key reading on consumer prices since then was better than expected but policymakers continue to stress the need to keep raising rates.</p><p>Officials in September had projected rates rising to around 4.6% next year from a current target range of 3.75% to 4%. Those projections will be updated at the Fed’s Dec. 13-14 meeting.</p><p>US 10-year Treasury yields climbed after Bullard became the latest official to say that interest rates had further to rise to curb the strongest inflation in 40 years.</p><p>San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly said on Wednesday that “somewhere between 4.75 and 5.25 seems a reasonable place to think about” for the level that officials should raise rates to then go on hold.</p><p>Bullard’s hawkish tone was echoed later on Thursday by Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari, whosaidit’s an “open question” how far the central bank has to go with rates to bring demand back into balance.</p><p>“I need to be convinced that inflation has at least stopped climbing, that we’re not falling further behind the curve before I would advocate stopping a progression of future rate hikes, so we’re not there yet,” he told the Minnesota Chamber of Commerce’s 2022 Economic Summit.</p><p>“The Fed is still maintaining a outward appearance of hawkishness pending another month of inflation data,” said Guy LeBas, chief fixed-income strategist for Janney Montgomery Scott LLC in Philadelphia. “One month of lower inflation doesn’t mean the war is over.”</p><p>Data last week showed consumer inflation rising by a less-than-expected 7.7% in the 12 months through October. November’s reading will be released on Dec. 13, before officials begin their two days of policy deliberations.</p><p>During his presentation, Bullard showed charts that indicated rates will need to be between about 5% to 7% to meet policymakers’ goal of being “sufficiently restrictive” to curb inflation near a four-decade high.</p><p>The calculation used different versions of a Taylor Rule, a popular monetary policy guideline developed by Stanford University’s John Taylor.</p><h3>‘Minimal’ Level</h3><p>“It’s easy to make arguments that before this is all over you’d have to go to much higher levels of the policy rate” than 5.25%, said Bullard, who votes on policy this year. “But for now I’d be happy to get to the minimal level and that’s why I think the committee is going to have to do more.”</p><p>The St. Louis Fed leader, who has been among the more hawkish policymakers this year, was the latest central banker to call for additional action.</p><p>The Fed raised rates by 75 basis points on Nov. 2 for the fourth straight time as part of its most aggressive tightening since the 1980s to curb an inflation that started in the wake of the Covid-19 pandemic disruptions.</p><p>Bullard didn’t say whether he would favor a 50 or 75 basis-point move at the Fed’s December meeting, telling reporters that he would look to Powell to set the direction.</p><p>A number of his colleagues have called for a downshift in the size of the next rate increase following last week’s consumer price report, which showed a softening in core consumer goods inflation in October.</p><p>Investors expect the Fed will raise rates by a half percentage point next month and see rates peaking around 5% next year.</p><p>The St. Louis Fed president said he expected officials to keep rates high for an extended period to avoid the kind of monetary policy mistakes of the 1970s that resulted in persistently high inflation.</p><p>“We certainly don’t want to replay that episode,” he told reporters. “So we’re going to have to see very tangible evidence that inflation’s coming down meaningfully toward target, and I think we’re going to want to err on the side of staying higher for longer in order to get that to happen.”</p><p>Bullard said while he expected inflation to come down next year, there’s been relatively little evidence of that so far.</p><p>“Thus far, the change in the monetary-policy stance appears to have had only limited effects on observed inflation, but market pricing suggests disinflation is expected in 2023,” Bullard said in his prepared remarks, adding rate hikes so far have caused little financial stress.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bullard Sets Tone for Fed Officials Signaling Hikes Will Roll On</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBullard Sets Tone for Fed Officials Signaling Hikes Will Roll On\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-18 09:57 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-17/fed-s-bullard-says-more-hikes-needed-to-get-to-restrictive-level><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Borrowing costs should be high enough to curb inflationTightening has had limited effect on prices so far, he saysSt. Louis Fed President James Bullard said policymakers should raise interest rates to...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-17/fed-s-bullard-says-more-hikes-needed-to-get-to-restrictive-level\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-17/fed-s-bullard-says-more-hikes-needed-to-get-to-restrictive-level","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1103280772","content_text":"Borrowing costs should be high enough to curb inflationTightening has had limited effect on prices so far, he saysSt. Louis Fed President James Bullard said policymakers should raise interest rates to at least 5% to 5.25%, hitting financial markets as investors recalibrated bets on how high officials would go.“In the past I have said 4.75% to 5%,” he told reporters Thursday after giving a speech in Louisville, Kentucky. “Based on this analysis today, I would say 5% to 5.25%. That’s a minimum level. According to this analysis, that would at least get us in the zone.”Chair Jerome Powell said earlier this month that rates will need to rise more than previously expected due to disappointing inflation data, while suggesting that officials could moderate the size of their increases going forward. A key reading on consumer prices since then was better than expected but policymakers continue to stress the need to keep raising rates.Officials in September had projected rates rising to around 4.6% next year from a current target range of 3.75% to 4%. Those projections will be updated at the Fed’s Dec. 13-14 meeting.US 10-year Treasury yields climbed after Bullard became the latest official to say that interest rates had further to rise to curb the strongest inflation in 40 years.San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly said on Wednesday that “somewhere between 4.75 and 5.25 seems a reasonable place to think about” for the level that officials should raise rates to then go on hold.Bullard’s hawkish tone was echoed later on Thursday by Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari, whosaidit’s an “open question” how far the central bank has to go with rates to bring demand back into balance.“I need to be convinced that inflation has at least stopped climbing, that we’re not falling further behind the curve before I would advocate stopping a progression of future rate hikes, so we’re not there yet,” he told the Minnesota Chamber of Commerce’s 2022 Economic Summit.“The Fed is still maintaining a outward appearance of hawkishness pending another month of inflation data,” said Guy LeBas, chief fixed-income strategist for Janney Montgomery Scott LLC in Philadelphia. “One month of lower inflation doesn’t mean the war is over.”Data last week showed consumer inflation rising by a less-than-expected 7.7% in the 12 months through October. November’s reading will be released on Dec. 13, before officials begin their two days of policy deliberations.During his presentation, Bullard showed charts that indicated rates will need to be between about 5% to 7% to meet policymakers’ goal of being “sufficiently restrictive” to curb inflation near a four-decade high.The calculation used different versions of a Taylor Rule, a popular monetary policy guideline developed by Stanford University’s John Taylor.‘Minimal’ Level“It’s easy to make arguments that before this is all over you’d have to go to much higher levels of the policy rate” than 5.25%, said Bullard, who votes on policy this year. “But for now I’d be happy to get to the minimal level and that’s why I think the committee is going to have to do more.”The St. Louis Fed leader, who has been among the more hawkish policymakers this year, was the latest central banker to call for additional action.The Fed raised rates by 75 basis points on Nov. 2 for the fourth straight time as part of its most aggressive tightening since the 1980s to curb an inflation that started in the wake of the Covid-19 pandemic disruptions.Bullard didn’t say whether he would favor a 50 or 75 basis-point move at the Fed’s December meeting, telling reporters that he would look to Powell to set the direction.A number of his colleagues have called for a downshift in the size of the next rate increase following last week’s consumer price report, which showed a softening in core consumer goods inflation in October.Investors expect the Fed will raise rates by a half percentage point next month and see rates peaking around 5% next year.The St. Louis Fed president said he expected officials to keep rates high for an extended period to avoid the kind of monetary policy mistakes of the 1970s that resulted in persistently high inflation.“We certainly don’t want to replay that episode,” he told reporters. “So we’re going to have to see very tangible evidence that inflation’s coming down meaningfully toward target, and I think we’re going to want to err on the side of staying higher for longer in order to get that to happen.”Bullard said while he expected inflation to come down next year, there’s been relatively little evidence of that so far.“Thus far, the change in the monetary-policy stance appears to have had only limited effects on observed inflation, but market pricing suggests disinflation is expected in 2023,” Bullard said in his prepared remarks, adding rate hikes so far have caused little financial stress.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":290,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9980350841,"gmtCreate":1665660627584,"gmtModify":1676537644417,"author":{"id":"4108629412181280","authorId":"4108629412181280","name":"tplian","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7ecc0302d7a6f2cd28a1199a63498645","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4108629412181280","authorIdStr":"4108629412181280"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cool","listText":"Cool","text":"Cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9980350841","repostId":"1183498593","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1183498593","pubTimestamp":1665651026,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1183498593?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-13 16:50","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, Delta Air Lines, Domino's Pizza, Applied Materials And More: U.S. Stocks To Watch","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1183498593","media":"Benzinga","summary":"With US stock futures trading higher this morning on Thursday, some of the stocks that may grab inve","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>With US stock futures trading higher this morning on Thursday, some of the stocks that may grab investor focus today are as follows:</p><ul><li><b>Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing</b> posted an 80% surge in third-quarter net profit on Thursday, buoyed by strong sales of its advanced chips despite a slowdown in the global chip industry because of economic headwinds. Stocks rose nearly 2% in premarket trading.</li></ul><ul><li>Wall Street expects <b>Walgreens Boots Alliance, Inc.</b> to report quarterly earnings at $0.77 per share on revenue of $32.12 billion before the opening bell.</li><li><b>Applied Materials Inc</b> lowered its fourth-quarter guidance. Applied Materials now expects fourth-quarter revenue of approximately $6.4 billion, plus or minus $250 million versus average analyst estimates of $6.67 billion. Applied Materials shares fell 1.3% to $75.02 in the pre-market trading session.</li><li>Analysts are expecting <b>Delta Air Lines, Inc.</b> to have earned $1.56 per share on revenue of $12.91 billion for the latest quarter. The company will release earnings before the markets open.</li></ul><ul><li>After the closing bell, <b>The Progressive Corporation</b> is projected to post quarterly earnings at $1.49 per share on revenue of $13.47 billion. Progressive shares rose 0.2% to $121.68 in after-hours trading.</li><li>Analysts expect <b>Domino&#39;s Pizza, Inc.</b> to post quarterly earnings at $3.00 per share on revenue of $1.07 billion after the closing bell. Domino&#39;s shares rose 3% to $310.82 in pre-market trading.</li></ul></body></html>","source":"lsy1606299360108","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, Delta Air Lines, Domino's Pizza, Applied Materials And More: U.S. Stocks To Watch</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTaiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, Delta Air Lines, Domino's Pizza, Applied Materials And More: U.S. Stocks To Watch\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-13 16:50 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/22/10/29247425/walgreens-delta-air-lines-and-3-stocks-to-watch-heading-into-thursday><strong>Benzinga</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>With US stock futures trading higher this morning on Thursday, some of the stocks that may grab investor focus today are as follows:Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing posted an 80% surge in third-...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/22/10/29247425/walgreens-delta-air-lines-and-3-stocks-to-watch-heading-into-thursday\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMAT":"应用材料","DAL":"达美航空","DPZ":"达美乐比萨","WBA":"沃尔格林联合博姿","TSM":"台积电","PGR":"美国前进保险公司"},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/22/10/29247425/walgreens-delta-air-lines-and-3-stocks-to-watch-heading-into-thursday","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1183498593","content_text":"With US stock futures trading higher this morning on Thursday, some of the stocks that may grab investor focus today are as follows:Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing posted an 80% surge in third-quarter net profit on Thursday, buoyed by strong sales of its advanced chips despite a slowdown in the global chip industry because of economic headwinds. Stocks rose nearly 2% in premarket trading.Wall Street expects Walgreens Boots Alliance, Inc. to report quarterly earnings at $0.77 per share on revenue of $32.12 billion before the opening bell.Applied Materials Inc lowered its fourth-quarter guidance. Applied Materials now expects fourth-quarter revenue of approximately $6.4 billion, plus or minus $250 million versus average analyst estimates of $6.67 billion. Applied Materials shares fell 1.3% to $75.02 in the pre-market trading session.Analysts are expecting Delta Air Lines, Inc. to have earned $1.56 per share on revenue of $12.91 billion for the latest quarter. The company will release earnings before the markets open.After the closing bell, The Progressive Corporation is projected to post quarterly earnings at $1.49 per share on revenue of $13.47 billion. Progressive shares rose 0.2% to $121.68 in after-hours trading.Analysts expect Domino's Pizza, Inc. to post quarterly earnings at $3.00 per share on revenue of $1.07 billion after the closing bell. Domino's shares rose 3% to $310.82 in pre-market trading.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":197,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9918938490,"gmtCreate":1664305773810,"gmtModify":1676537428438,"author":{"id":"4108629412181280","authorId":"4108629412181280","name":"tplian","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7ecc0302d7a6f2cd28a1199a63498645","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4108629412181280","authorIdStr":"4108629412181280"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9918938490","repostId":"2270587233","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2270587233","pubTimestamp":1664291828,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2270587233?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-27 23:17","market":"us","language":"en","title":"2 Top Index Funds That Could Make Retirees Richer Over the Next Decade","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2270587233","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Warren Buffett has often said low-cost index funds are the best option for most investors.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Generally speaking, retirees should err on the side of caution when managing their money. That means a good portion of their net worth should be allocated to low-risk assets like bonds and cash, while a smaller portion should be invested in stocks. That said, buying individual stocks may be too risky or require too much research for some retirees.</p><p>Fortunately, there is another option. Index funds are a great way to gain exposure to the stock market while minimizing the risk and work involved. In fact, Warren Buffett once told Vanguard founder Jack Bogle that index funds are &#34;the most sensible equity investment for the great majority of investors.&#34;</p><p>With that in mind, these index funds could make retirees richer over the next decade.</p><h2>1. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VOO\">Vanguard S&amp;P 500 ETF</a></h2><p>The <b>Vanguard S&amp;P 500 ETF</b> (VOO) tracks the <b>S&amp;P 500</b>, an index containing 500 of the largest U.S. companies that covers approximately 80% of the market capitalization of all publicly traded companies in the U.S. To that end, the S&amp;P 500 is often viewed as a benchmark for the entire U.S. stock market.</p><p><b>Sector breakdown:</b> The S&amp;P 500 includes companies from all 11 market sectors, though five sectors account for 72% of its total weight: Information technology (27.3%), healthcare (14.1%), consumer discretionary (11.4%), financials (10.9%), and communications services (8.4%). Its three largest holdings are <b>Apple</b>, <b>Microsoft</b>, and <b>Amazon</b>.</p><p><b>Past performance:</b> The Vanguard S&amp;P 500 ETF has generated a total return of nearly 220% over the last decade, which is equivalent to an annualized return of 12.3%. At that pace, an initial investment of $10,000 would grow into $31,900 over the next decade.</p><p>Beyond its broad scope, the Vanguard S&amp;P 500 ETF is a particularly compelling investment for two other reasons. First, the S&amp;P 500 has recovered from every past downturn, and the index generated a positive return 94.1% of the time over all 10-year periods between 1926 and 2017. Second, it bears an expense ratio of just 0.03%, meaning investors would pay $3 per year on a $10,000 portfolio.</p><h2>2. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VIG\">Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF</a></h2><p>The <b>Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF</b> (VIG) is designed to track the <b>S&amp;P U.S. Dividend Growers Index</b>, which includes 289 U.S. companies that have increased their dividend payments each year for at least 10 consecutive years.</p><p><b>Sector breakdown:</b> The S&amp;P U.S. Dividend Growers Index includes companies from 10 of the 11 market sectors (real estate is the one exclusion), and the top five sectors account for 80% of its total weight: Information technology (23.4%), healthcare (15.6%), financials (14.7%), consumer staples (13.6%), and industrials (13.3%). Its three largest holdings are <b>UnitedHealth Group</b>, Microsoft, and <b>Johnson &amp; Johnson</b>.</p><p><b>Past performance:</b> The Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF has generated a total return of nearly 193% over the last decade, which is equivalent to an annualized return of 11.3%. At that pace, an initial investment of $10,000 would grow into $29,100 over the next decade.</p><p>Beyond its broad scope, the Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF is a compelling investment for two other reasons. First, companies that consistently generate enough cash to raise their dividend tend to have strong fundamentals, and that often coincides with share price stability during periods of market volatility. In fact, the Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF is down only 5.6% over the past year, while the broader S&amp;P 500 has fallen 10.1%. Second, the ETF bears an expense ratio of 0.06%, meaning investors would pay just $6 per year on a $10,000 portfolio.</p><p>As a final thought, retirees should keep at least two years&#39; worth of cash on hand to cover living expenses, though some experts recommend a five-year cash cushion. Additionally, any money retirees will need in the next decade should not be invested in the stock market.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>2 Top Index Funds That Could Make Retirees Richer Over the Next Decade</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n2 Top Index Funds That Could Make Retirees Richer Over the Next Decade\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-27 23:17 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/09/26/2-top-index-funds-could-make-retirees-richer/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Generally speaking, retirees should err on the side of caution when managing their money. That means a good portion of their net worth should be allocated to low-risk assets like bonds and cash, while...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/09/26/2-top-index-funds-could-make-retirees-richer/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"VIG":"股利增长指数ETF-Vanguard","VOO":"Vanguard标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/09/26/2-top-index-funds-could-make-retirees-richer/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2270587233","content_text":"Generally speaking, retirees should err on the side of caution when managing their money. That means a good portion of their net worth should be allocated to low-risk assets like bonds and cash, while a smaller portion should be invested in stocks. That said, buying individual stocks may be too risky or require too much research for some retirees.Fortunately, there is another option. Index funds are a great way to gain exposure to the stock market while minimizing the risk and work involved. In fact, Warren Buffett once told Vanguard founder Jack Bogle that index funds are \"the most sensible equity investment for the great majority of investors.\"With that in mind, these index funds could make retirees richer over the next decade.1. Vanguard S&P 500 ETFThe Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VOO) tracks the S&P 500, an index containing 500 of the largest U.S. companies that covers approximately 80% of the market capitalization of all publicly traded companies in the U.S. To that end, the S&P 500 is often viewed as a benchmark for the entire U.S. stock market.Sector breakdown: The S&P 500 includes companies from all 11 market sectors, though five sectors account for 72% of its total weight: Information technology (27.3%), healthcare (14.1%), consumer discretionary (11.4%), financials (10.9%), and communications services (8.4%). Its three largest holdings are Apple, Microsoft, and Amazon.Past performance: The Vanguard S&P 500 ETF has generated a total return of nearly 220% over the last decade, which is equivalent to an annualized return of 12.3%. At that pace, an initial investment of $10,000 would grow into $31,900 over the next decade.Beyond its broad scope, the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF is a particularly compelling investment for two other reasons. First, the S&P 500 has recovered from every past downturn, and the index generated a positive return 94.1% of the time over all 10-year periods between 1926 and 2017. Second, it bears an expense ratio of just 0.03%, meaning investors would pay $3 per year on a $10,000 portfolio.2. Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETFThe Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF (VIG) is designed to track the S&P U.S. Dividend Growers Index, which includes 289 U.S. companies that have increased their dividend payments each year for at least 10 consecutive years.Sector breakdown: The S&P U.S. Dividend Growers Index includes companies from 10 of the 11 market sectors (real estate is the one exclusion), and the top five sectors account for 80% of its total weight: Information technology (23.4%), healthcare (15.6%), financials (14.7%), consumer staples (13.6%), and industrials (13.3%). Its three largest holdings are UnitedHealth Group, Microsoft, and Johnson & Johnson.Past performance: The Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF has generated a total return of nearly 193% over the last decade, which is equivalent to an annualized return of 11.3%. At that pace, an initial investment of $10,000 would grow into $29,100 over the next decade.Beyond its broad scope, the Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF is a compelling investment for two other reasons. First, companies that consistently generate enough cash to raise their dividend tend to have strong fundamentals, and that often coincides with share price stability during periods of market volatility. In fact, the Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF is down only 5.6% over the past year, while the broader S&P 500 has fallen 10.1%. Second, the ETF bears an expense ratio of 0.06%, meaning investors would pay just $6 per year on a $10,000 portfolio.As a final thought, retirees should keep at least two years' worth of cash on hand to cover living expenses, though some experts recommend a five-year cash cushion. Additionally, any money retirees will need in the next decade should not be invested in the stock market.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":93,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9914030309,"gmtCreate":1665124174602,"gmtModify":1676537561508,"author":{"id":"4108629412181280","authorId":"4108629412181280","name":"tplian","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7ecc0302d7a6f2cd28a1199a63498645","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4108629412181280","authorIdStr":"4108629412181280"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Sell","listText":"Sell","text":"Sell","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9914030309","repostId":"2273829845","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2273829845","pubTimestamp":1665107872,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2273829845?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-07 09:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Now Is Not the Time to Park Any Money in NIO Stock","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2273829845","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"Nio (NIO), like other Chinese EV manufacturers, is struggling with battery-material sourcing and supply-chain woes in general.However, a deal with a lithium producer may help to alleviate these issues","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li><b>Nio</b> (<b><u>NIO</u></b>), like other Chinese EV manufacturers, is struggling with battery-material sourcing and supply-chain woes in general.</li><li>However, a deal with a lithium producer may help to alleviate these issues.</li><li>Nevertheless, investors should tread carefully with NIO stock.</li></ul><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8f283dcf01ba7103e8690f23edfaaf8f\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"432\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>Nio</b> (NYSE:<b><u>NIO</u></b>) has to deal with many of the same issues that other Chinese electric vehicle (EV) manufacturers do. For example, the company has to contend with supply-chain constraints and the challenge of sourcing lithium for EV batteries. On the other hand, an arrangement with a lithium producer may provide an advantage for Nio. That said, it’s too early to declare victory and load up on NIO stock.</p><p>Overeager EV-market investors have to face the facts. The industry has its growing pains, and it’s not always going to be a smooth ride. For instance, Britain-based research indicates that EV charge points are actually almost as expensive as gasoline.</p><p>Meanwhile, EV makers in China have their own problems to deal with. Covid-19 lockdowns made already acute supply-chain issues even worse. Don’t misunderstand — Nio is a promising company in the global EV space. It’s just that the situation is too problematic to recommend making an investment now.</p><h2>What’s Happening With NIO Stock?</h2><p>2022 hasn’t been a great year for EV stocks generally. However, NIO stock has been particularly brutal, sliding from $33 in January to $15 and change by the end of September.</p><p>The primary culprits, along with Covid-19 lockdowns, are supply-chain delays and the rising prices of EV batteries. These factors have increased costs for China-based EV manufacturers like Nio.</p><p>A <i>Wall Street Journal</i> article described the Chinese EV market as “cutthroat” but also as “lucrative.” Industry-favorable policies in China include tax breaks and cash subsidies.</p><p>These policies have boosted the nation’s EV use, to the point where in August, “nearly 30% of all passenger cars sold used new energy” in China. This bodes well for Nio, but sourcing lithium remains a challenge for all of China’s EV makers.</p><h2>A Deal With a Lithium Producer Might Help Nio</h2><p>This isn’t to suggest that the situation is hopeless. Indeed, Nio is being proactive by purchasing a stake in an Australian lithium producer, <b>Greenwing Resources</b> (OTCMKTS:<b><u>BSSMF</u></b>), to secure lithium for EV batteries.</p><p>Granted, it will cost Nio a pretty penny as the automaker has agreed to pay $12 million for what will amount to a 12.16% stake in Greenwing. However, this deal should help to get battery-essential lithium out of the ground. Reportedly, “At least 80% of the proceeds from the placement will fund Greenwing’s exploration efforts in the San Jorge lithium project.”</p><p>Of course, this deal won’t solve all of Nio’s supply-chain problems. Still, it’s a step in the right direction as the Greenwing Resources deal could make Nio more self-sufficient.</p><h2>What You Can Do Now</h2><p>Nio’s arrangement with Greenwing Resources is certainly encouraging. That said, it’s probably not enough to inspire confidence in Nio’s investors right now.</p><p>As long as investors are jittery about China’s EV industry, NIO stock is susceptible to further downside. Therefore, cautious traders ought to consider holding off and waiting on the sidelines until conditions improve.</p></body></html>","source":"investorplace","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Now Is Not the Time to Park Any Money in NIO Stock</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNow Is Not the Time to Park Any Money in NIO Stock\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-07 09:57 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://investorplace.com/2022/10/now-is-not-the-time-to-park-any-money-in-nio-stock/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Nio (NIO), like other Chinese EV manufacturers, is struggling with battery-material sourcing and supply-chain woes in general.However, a deal with a lithium producer may help to alleviate these issues...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/10/now-is-not-the-time-to-park-any-money-in-nio-stock/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO.SI":"蔚来","09866":"蔚来-SW","NIO":"蔚来"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2022/10/now-is-not-the-time-to-park-any-money-in-nio-stock/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2273829845","content_text":"Nio (NIO), like other Chinese EV manufacturers, is struggling with battery-material sourcing and supply-chain woes in general.However, a deal with a lithium producer may help to alleviate these issues.Nevertheless, investors should tread carefully with NIO stock.Nio (NYSE:NIO) has to deal with many of the same issues that other Chinese electric vehicle (EV) manufacturers do. For example, the company has to contend with supply-chain constraints and the challenge of sourcing lithium for EV batteries. On the other hand, an arrangement with a lithium producer may provide an advantage for Nio. That said, it’s too early to declare victory and load up on NIO stock.Overeager EV-market investors have to face the facts. The industry has its growing pains, and it’s not always going to be a smooth ride. For instance, Britain-based research indicates that EV charge points are actually almost as expensive as gasoline.Meanwhile, EV makers in China have their own problems to deal with. Covid-19 lockdowns made already acute supply-chain issues even worse. Don’t misunderstand — Nio is a promising company in the global EV space. It’s just that the situation is too problematic to recommend making an investment now.What’s Happening With NIO Stock?2022 hasn’t been a great year for EV stocks generally. However, NIO stock has been particularly brutal, sliding from $33 in January to $15 and change by the end of September.The primary culprits, along with Covid-19 lockdowns, are supply-chain delays and the rising prices of EV batteries. These factors have increased costs for China-based EV manufacturers like Nio.A Wall Street Journal article described the Chinese EV market as “cutthroat” but also as “lucrative.” Industry-favorable policies in China include tax breaks and cash subsidies.These policies have boosted the nation’s EV use, to the point where in August, “nearly 30% of all passenger cars sold used new energy” in China. This bodes well for Nio, but sourcing lithium remains a challenge for all of China’s EV makers.A Deal With a Lithium Producer Might Help NioThis isn’t to suggest that the situation is hopeless. Indeed, Nio is being proactive by purchasing a stake in an Australian lithium producer, Greenwing Resources (OTCMKTS:BSSMF), to secure lithium for EV batteries.Granted, it will cost Nio a pretty penny as the automaker has agreed to pay $12 million for what will amount to a 12.16% stake in Greenwing. However, this deal should help to get battery-essential lithium out of the ground. Reportedly, “At least 80% of the proceeds from the placement will fund Greenwing’s exploration efforts in the San Jorge lithium project.”Of course, this deal won’t solve all of Nio’s supply-chain problems. Still, it’s a step in the right direction as the Greenwing Resources deal could make Nio more self-sufficient.What You Can Do NowNio’s arrangement with Greenwing Resources is certainly encouraging. That said, it’s probably not enough to inspire confidence in Nio’s investors right now.As long as investors are jittery about China’s EV industry, NIO stock is susceptible to further downside. Therefore, cautious traders ought to consider holding off and waiting on the sidelines until conditions improve.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":158,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9912148025,"gmtCreate":1664779871067,"gmtModify":1676537507260,"author":{"id":"4108629412181280","authorId":"4108629412181280","name":"tplian","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7ecc0302d7a6f2cd28a1199a63498645","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4108629412181280","authorIdStr":"4108629412181280"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cool","listText":"Cool","text":"Cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9912148025","repostId":"1137600007","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1137600007","pubTimestamp":1664774850,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1137600007?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-03 13:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Investors Are Skating On Thin Ice","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1137600007","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryMy bearish thesis goes against the flow of current market investor trend.I base it on global business, political, and economic trends.Added to those are concerns that Elon Musk and other inside","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Summary</p><ul><li>My bearish thesis goes against the flow of current market investor trend.</li><li>I base it on global business, political, and economic trends.</li><li>Added to those are concerns that Elon Musk and other insiders have long been heavy sellers and - like its defective self-drive - they could cause Tesla to crash.</li><li>Many outsider investors do not want to know and just keep on skating despite the ice getting ever-thinner.</li><li>I recommend selling or staying away because, mostly, only dead fish go with the flow.</li></ul><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a> has a strong base of retail investors who own around 37% of the stock, according to S&amp;P Global data. Many of those can only be described as Elon Musk worshippers and they account for much of Tesla&#39;s valuation that putsit way above other car makers.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4ee0fbd48b025faf07859743bb35e4c4\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"500\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Financial Times/S&amp;P Capital IQ</p><p>But even Musk cannot walk on water and has demonstrated that by selling more than $15bn of shares this year in an apparent anticipation of the ice melt. So far Tesla&#39;s shares are down around 34% YTD. If he is compelled to go ahead with distracting takeover of Twitter (TWTR) for $44bn, he may have to sell a lot more. And had he had confidence the price would increase this year he would not have sold that large amount so early to prepare for an event that may still be months away.</p><p>I cannot walk on water either but I have been proved right since my first article <b>Tesla&#39;s Ticking Time Bomb</b> published on November 16, 2021, that advised investors to stay away</p><p>The following chart shows that:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b365abe183f753e43487624317919d61\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"500\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Financial Times/S&amp;P Capital IQ</p><p>I strongly believe the ice will continue to crack and the price will sink much further, drowning those that stay with it.</p><p>That is a strong and very much contrarian statement given Tesla&#39;s incredibly good development under Elon Musk and I shall show some of those points here first, then expand on my outlook for a sinking future later.</p><p>Tesla&#39;s outstanding performance<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/39490ba295fd38a06edef6f50b6fe926\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"500\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Financial Times/S&amp;P Capital IQ</p><p>Tesla makes the most popular electric vehicles, EVs, in the world. In the last quarter its sales rose 42% continuing a trend that started in 2019 and taking profits up with those.</p><p>Despite that 34% decline YTD the stock price is around 1,200% over the past 5 years. Many Musk worshippers would say that it because it is tech stock but many tech stocks have collapsed some 70 to 80% in the market crash this year. Tesla is a car maker and it has done outstandingly well against other car makers as it has against most tech stocks.</p><p>The latest results from Tesla&#39;s website were good, but the Gross Margin is declining.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e92045dc26f1b2ad4ba033b7a46a4e8\" tg-width=\"661\" tg-height=\"674\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><b>Sales</b> in the current quarter are likely to be good as well.</p><p><b>Cash and cash equivalents</b> are good but in June this year Elon Musk said that Tesla’s new German and Texas factories were “gigantic money furnaces” losing “billions of dollars”. Billions will also be needed to build the additional giant factories required, as might the many existing problems that remain unresolved with new ones still emerging.</p><p>I will now move on to those...</p><p>Ice BreakersInternal ones...</p><p>Many are self-inflicted. I mentioned some of those inTesla Is Past Its Sell By Date.They included problems with the authorities in California, many lawsuits against them and a multitude of recall problems.</p><p>More have since been added to those recalls including 1.1 million cars mentioned in thisrecent SA report.</p><p>There are others too...</p><p>Bitcoin</p><p>Why Musk bought into this is a question I cannot answer as I see no connection with car making. He bought $1.5bn of Bitcoin on Feb 8,2021, at $46,365. The price as I write is $19,334, a plunge of 58%. Some has been sold but Tesla still has around 25% of that original bad buy.</p><p>Batteries</p><p>Tesla is spending billions building factories to make the batteries for its cars. That seems logical but others are doing so too meaning there will be a glut in the not too distant future. As it is Tesla sits way down in “Others&#34; in the world league of EV battery makers</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2bfdb2bed521637cedcbb9ed98e224f1\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"613\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>LI-ion Battery Industry News</p><p>Solar</p><p>Using Tesla money, Musk rescued a loss solar panel builder owned by relatives. That sector has nothing to do with car making, is saturated with low-cost producers and Tesla has no chance - and never had - to become a global player, as it is with cars.</p><p>Robots</p><p>Tesla has just held its long-awaited AI Day event in Palo Alto, California. A prototype <b>Optimus</b> humanoid robot was shown off. Analysts think that could prove Tesla is a tech player as much as an automaker and think that creating a working prototype will move the company up a few notches if a production date for the first version of Tesla Bot is seen as being closer. Musk said “Our goal is to make a useful humanoid robot as quickly as possible. There’s still a lot of work to be done to refine Optimus and prove it.”</p><p>He also wants to make it in huge volumes so that the price can become affordable for many thousands at around $20,000. I suspect most people would rather cut their own lawn and spend that money on something else.</p><p>Also, analysts might think that but <b>robots are not what investors in a car maker want</b> plus there are many well established robot makers already around the world; Swiss giantABB(ABB), Chinese owned German companyKuka, US conglomerateGE(GE) and many more. Near Tesla’s Palo Alto office,Agility Roboticsare pioneers in humanoid robot developments.</p><p>Tesla cars are built by robots and more complex ones are used for delicate surgical operations on the human body. Along the road from Palo Alto, in Sunnyvale, CA,Intuitive Surgical(ISRG) has long been the world leader in making those surgical robots.</p><p>Since Tesla is also aiming for self-driving cars, they will not be needed for that purpose either.</p><p>To make robots in the huge quantities Tesla envisages requires years in time and giga bucks being spent on building the factories!</p><p>One would have to be an Optimist to see how Optimus will make profits for Tesla shareholders in any foreseeable timeframe and perhaps ever.</p><p>I might take a more positive view if Musk soon announces an Opti <b>Mrs</b> that would look like my lovely wife but not have her Command and Control capabilities!</p><p>Talking of those, Musk broke through such capabilities - that German bureaucracies thought they had - in order to get the money burning factory there built. In many ways one could admire that but now those offended are getting their own back. Bloomberg recently reported thatElon Musk May Regret Putting Tesla’s First European Plant in Germany.</p><p>All those internally created problems are cash burners with Bitcoin, making solar panels and robots having nothing to do with growing Tesla as a world leading car maker. Those and Twitter plus Musk&#39;s other activities such as SpecEx are distractions from the job of growing Tesla.</p><p>In the above are several key words starting with the letter C, as does Contrarian. There are more C words to come in the...</p><p><b>External Ice Breakers</b></p><p><b>Competition</b> has become huge and is growing fast. All major car makers have been pouring billions of dollars into developing their own EVs and converting existing factories/building new ones in which to make those. Some are also building factories to make their own batteries.</p><p>Competition from <b>China</b> is coming fast. <b>China has for some time been the world’s largest car market and is now also the largest for electric cars.</b> Of those the largest is Chinese car BYD Company Limited (OTCPK:BYDDF,OTCPK:BYDDY) that started as a battery maker. BYD stands for Build Your Dreams (比亚迪 bǐyàdí) and was founded by a guy - Wang Chuanfu - from a poor family background who became a professor at a research institute for non-ferrous metals in Beijing.</p><p>Today, he is among the world&#39;s richest men, because while in Beijing he had the vision that China’s startup battery producers could compete with Japan. In the mid-1990s, Wang relocated to Shenzhen just as it was transforming from a sleepy fishing village into a global manufacturing hub. The mass migration from rural areas gave the city’s factories the cheap labor they needed to compete with rivals in Japan, Korea, and Taiwan. In the next 20 years, BYD in some ways followed the proven path among leading East Asian corporations of examining Japanese and U.S. products and finding ways to duplicate the basic technologies without actually making direct copies of them.</p><p>Today, BYD has overtaken South Korea’s LG as the world’s second-biggest producer of EV batteries, behind China’s Contemporary Amperex Technology, known as CATL.</p><p>Along the way, its EV unit was born in 2002 from an acquisition of Tsinchuan Automobile, then the sixth-largest car manufacturer in China by sales volume. Wang took out the petrol engines from existing models and put in electric motors. In some ways he was ahead of Tesla and now is way ahead because Wang set about a process of mastering technologies from their finished batteries all the way to the lithium and nickel mines.</p><p>BYD is the largest EV maker in China and is now taking the first steps to export. Its prices are way lower than Tesla’s and its cars look ok too...</p><p>According to a recent SA report <b>Toyota</b>(TM) - the world&#39;s largest car maker is going to make alow cost EV for the Chinese market in a jv with BYD.</p><p><b>There are around 300 EV makers in China.</b> The Chinese government wants to whittle those down to around 30 by mergers in order to make them big and able to enter world markets too. Tesla is number three in China.</p><p>Leapmotor is one of those unknowns in the west that may one day be well known; Zhejiang Leapmotor Technology is seeking to raise as much as $1bn in what would be Hong Kong’s largest initial public offering this year, in the latest test of investor appetite for China’s fast-growing EV market. Leapmotor plans to raise as much as HK$8.1bn (US$1bn) from the sale of about 131mn shares in Hong Kong in a range of HK$48-HK$62 each.</p><p>A report from Merics says &#34;Europe is now the main target for electric vehicle exports from China.&#34;</p><p>New EV names are heading for US highways as are old established names. Many of those are detailed with photos in thisCar and Driver report</p><p><b>Many of those are targeting Tesla!</b> Volkswagen (OTCPK:VLKAF) has said it aims to pass Tesla in EV sales by 2025. GM has said similar things. All are targeting a market that is not growing as fast as Tesla&#39;s production ambitions. As a visionary, Musk has achieved near miracles to get Tesla where it is today. However, it will need another miracle in the near future if his target of 20 million cars are to be made, and even aiming for them could put Tesla into reverse gear financially. At Tesla&#39;s last Cyber Round Up in Austin, Texas, Musk said the company would &#34;end up building at least 10 or 12 Gigafactories.&#34; Those <b>Gigafactories cost Gigabucks to build.</b> They also require years to build, and he needs them soon if he is to make <b>20 million cars per year by2030.</b> That means completion before the end of 2029 - just over 7 years away. None have been started, nor even have locations been announced!</p><p>In the unlikely event Tesla achieved that number, it would require another miracle to sell that many cars, because gaining 16.4% of the entire world car market - including ICEs - is probably impossible for any car maker.GlobeNewswiremade the 2030 estimate of total car market size in 2030 of 122.83 million units that I used to calculate that market share percentage. It makes worthwhile reading.</p><p>It also looks rather stupid ifS&amp;P Global&#39;s estimateof 26.8 million EV sales by 2030 proves correct. That would mean <b>Tesla has to achieve 75% EV market share!</b> It may have had that until now but there is no way it will by 2030.</p><p><b>Hydrogen fuelled cars</b>are all also hitting some roads in growing numbers. Toyota who led the world into hybrids are leading with that. Toyota’s Mirai - pictured below - looks good and is priced from $49,500.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ab951a2178f4987f13f493226d64de5\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"323\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Toyota</p><p>Their fuel cells Elon Musk dismissed as fool cells. Those &#34;fool&#34; cells use much less lithium than batteries and growth in EV sales means lithium is becoming scarcer and more expensive so they may yet make Musk look like a fool.</p><p>Politics and Economics</p><p><b>China heads the list</b> for both. Economically it is growing still but the bigger threat for Tesla is political.</p><p>Among the latest flash points, Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s visit to Taiwan, a de-facto independent nation that China considers its territory, only stands to inflame tensions on the topic already stoked by President Biden’sconsistent undermining of US strategic ambiguity. Military drills conducted around the island following the visit have onlyraised alarms among Taiwanese military officials. In recent days, President Biden discarded ambiguity completely by saying the US will indeed defend Taiwan.</p><p>China is no innocent and such tensions could accidentally trigger a new world war. Hopefully, that will not happen but Tesla’s huge investment in China is a sitting target in a trade war with the US.</p><p>Elon Musk’s SpaceX company may also compound Tesla’s potential problems in China. The South China Morning Post published this article, titled &#34;China military must be able to destroy Elon Musk’s Starlink satellites if they threaten national security.&#34;</p><p>There are also many reports that the Chinese government sees Tesla’s cars as a spying threat, having banned them in places requiring tight security and stopped government departments from buying them for official use. Thisgetjerry reporttells some of that story.</p><p>Given the influence the government has over its people, it could easily encourage them to buy Chinese brands in preference to Tesla.</p><p><b>Emerging markets.</b>The ice has already cracked for some of those such as Sri Lanka and they are <b>now submerging markets.</b> They will not be car buying markets.</p><p><b>Europe.</b>The fundamentals are not good for any car maker at present.</p><p><b>Britainis again the sick man of Europe</b>- an accolade it enjoyed in the 1970s- and now renamed <b>Stagnation Nation</b>. Today it has C words in abundance; a housing<b>c</b>risis, a healthcare<b>c</b>risis, an energy<b>c</b>risis, a<b>c</b>ost of living<b>c</b>risis and now a<b>c</b>urrency<b>c</b>risis too, the latter caused by a<b>c</b>ivil war. It is no surprise that the Bank of England projects British households are facing the biggest collapse in living standards since such records were first kept 60 years ago. The chief economist at that monetary policy custodian - the BoE - said the UK government&#39;s recent mini-budget loosening of fiscal policy &#34;will require a significant monetary response&#34;. That response means raising interest rates thus making things worse and that civil war has driven <b>British pound down to record lows</b> in a country already in recession and heavily dependent on imports of many things. That means Tesla&#39;s cars - all of which are imported - have become more expensive unless Tesla absorbs the difference.</p><p>Those warring policy makers there have had the BoE buying bonds while the Treasury needs to sell them to fund tax cuts! They have become the real life manifestation of the mythical Doctor Dolittle Pushmi-Pullyu creature which has two heads at opposite ends of the body pulling in opposite directions.</p><p>That creature was a Do Little but its re-creators in Britain are doing a huge amount of economic damage!</p><p>I may have used a lot of words on Britain - a country that may not be of importance to most investors and nor to me - but until fairly recently it was the 4th largest car market in the world and remains a large one ...for now.</p><p><b>Germany</b> is also a recession or nearly so. It is Europe&#39;s largest economy and the world&#39;s 4th largest.</p><p>Cars are aconsumer discretionary and sales crash in recessions taking Tesla&#39;s (and others) stock price down with it.</p><p><b>The US</b> is in ok shape for now with employment in relatively good shape but a less obvious civil war is taking place there too with tight fiscal/loose monetary combination pulling in opposite directions. Maybe <b>contagion</b> from Britain’s illness is happening in the US.</p><p>President Biden&#39;s new Inflation Reduction Act introduced a spending boost of $467bn that a much more hawkish Fed is trying to counter with higher interest rates to stop spending. That has already pushed 30 year mortgage rates over 7%. Buying a house and other essentials is more important than buying a new car.</p><p>The concern about people not buying cars with those that do having more and more EV brands to choose from means many investors have already headed back onto firm ground.</p><p>Tesla&#39;s stock price is below the 200 day moving average...<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e9be350238860071dbd4bb85f95ba3fe\" tg-width=\"729\" tg-height=\"449\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>BTIG and Bloomberg</p><p>But not all are heading for safety given the</p><p><b>Investment Ratings...</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/39e3287af16f23cad0736759be90e1bc\" tg-width=\"310\" tg-height=\"52\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>CNBC</p><p>The Financial Times shows 37 analysts offering 12 month price targets for Tesla Inc have a median target of 333.33, with a high estimate of 461.00 and a low estimate of 24.33. The median estimate represents a 25.66% increase from the last price of 265.25.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/082feafec508738c83ee30aed6458e8b\" tg-width=\"628\" tg-height=\"156\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>The vast majority of those analysts say the price will increase leaving <b>very few in the contrarian camp - that includes myself.</b></p><p>That differing conclusion is made more stark by the fact those analysts also know - or should know - that much of the world is in or near recession when car sales crumble plus the other danger factors I mention.</p><p>SA ratings summary...</p><p>SA Authors Hold 3.10</p><p>Wall Street Buy 3.86</p><p>Quant Hold 3.47</p><p><b>Insider sentiment may summarise it all:</b> Elon Musk and other insiders have long been sellers. The last time one of them bought was in 2019. Musk sold even more just a few weeks ago, in August!</p><p>Joining all those dots leads me also to only one conclusion...</p><p>Tesla Investors Are Skating On Thin Ice</p><p>Musk selling is tantamount to pulling the rug out from underneath investors.</p><p>He and the company face many challenges including potentially very damaging legal ones.</p><p>In my opinion his diversification into unrelated areas of business is both a distraction and a misuse of Tesla shareholders money.</p><p>Tesla&#39;s price has long been at a PE multiple far higher than any other car maker during a time it was virtually alone and far ahead of all in making EVs. Today the EV market will soon be crowded in a worsening economic and political climate.</p><p>Musk’s diversification into unrelated and overcrowded areas has been the downfall of all conglomerates in the past and may be is provingPeter’s Principleright!</p><p>Tesla faces a mountain of challenges many of which have built up over a long time and remain unresolved with more added in recent times plus recessions now adding to those.</p><p>Despite all that the majority of analysts - most of whom work for large, respected organisations - only see upside from here.</p><p>Earlier this year my target was $100. That was before the split, meaning around $34 now.</p><p>My conclusion is therefore starkly opposite those optimistic analysts. I see that above <b>low forecast of $24.33</b> within the next 12 months as being <b>closer to the mark</b> than any of the others.</p><p>Contrarian view that maybe but I am staying well away from Tesla and recommend that others get off that thin ice soon...before it finally cracks under them!</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Investors Are Skating On Thin Ice</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Investors Are Skating On Thin Ice\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-03 13:27 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4544232-tesla-investors-are-skating-on-thin-ice><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryMy bearish thesis goes against the flow of current market investor trend.I base it on global business, political, and economic trends.Added to those are concerns that Elon Musk and other ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4544232-tesla-investors-are-skating-on-thin-ice\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4544232-tesla-investors-are-skating-on-thin-ice","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1137600007","content_text":"SummaryMy bearish thesis goes against the flow of current market investor trend.I base it on global business, political, and economic trends.Added to those are concerns that Elon Musk and other insiders have long been heavy sellers and - like its defective self-drive - they could cause Tesla to crash.Many outsider investors do not want to know and just keep on skating despite the ice getting ever-thinner.I recommend selling or staying away because, mostly, only dead fish go with the flow.Tesla has a strong base of retail investors who own around 37% of the stock, according to S&P Global data. Many of those can only be described as Elon Musk worshippers and they account for much of Tesla's valuation that putsit way above other car makers.Financial Times/S&P Capital IQBut even Musk cannot walk on water and has demonstrated that by selling more than $15bn of shares this year in an apparent anticipation of the ice melt. So far Tesla's shares are down around 34% YTD. If he is compelled to go ahead with distracting takeover of Twitter (TWTR) for $44bn, he may have to sell a lot more. And had he had confidence the price would increase this year he would not have sold that large amount so early to prepare for an event that may still be months away.I cannot walk on water either but I have been proved right since my first article Tesla's Ticking Time Bomb published on November 16, 2021, that advised investors to stay awayThe following chart shows that:Financial Times/S&P Capital IQI strongly believe the ice will continue to crack and the price will sink much further, drowning those that stay with it.That is a strong and very much contrarian statement given Tesla's incredibly good development under Elon Musk and I shall show some of those points here first, then expand on my outlook for a sinking future later.Tesla's outstanding performanceFinancial Times/S&P Capital IQTesla makes the most popular electric vehicles, EVs, in the world. In the last quarter its sales rose 42% continuing a trend that started in 2019 and taking profits up with those.Despite that 34% decline YTD the stock price is around 1,200% over the past 5 years. Many Musk worshippers would say that it because it is tech stock but many tech stocks have collapsed some 70 to 80% in the market crash this year. Tesla is a car maker and it has done outstandingly well against other car makers as it has against most tech stocks.The latest results from Tesla's website were good, but the Gross Margin is declining.Sales in the current quarter are likely to be good as well.Cash and cash equivalents are good but in June this year Elon Musk said that Tesla’s new German and Texas factories were “gigantic money furnaces” losing “billions of dollars”. Billions will also be needed to build the additional giant factories required, as might the many existing problems that remain unresolved with new ones still emerging.I will now move on to those...Ice BreakersInternal ones...Many are self-inflicted. I mentioned some of those inTesla Is Past Its Sell By Date.They included problems with the authorities in California, many lawsuits against them and a multitude of recall problems.More have since been added to those recalls including 1.1 million cars mentioned in thisrecent SA report.There are others too...BitcoinWhy Musk bought into this is a question I cannot answer as I see no connection with car making. He bought $1.5bn of Bitcoin on Feb 8,2021, at $46,365. The price as I write is $19,334, a plunge of 58%. Some has been sold but Tesla still has around 25% of that original bad buy.BatteriesTesla is spending billions building factories to make the batteries for its cars. That seems logical but others are doing so too meaning there will be a glut in the not too distant future. As it is Tesla sits way down in “Others\" in the world league of EV battery makersLI-ion Battery Industry NewsSolarUsing Tesla money, Musk rescued a loss solar panel builder owned by relatives. That sector has nothing to do with car making, is saturated with low-cost producers and Tesla has no chance - and never had - to become a global player, as it is with cars.RobotsTesla has just held its long-awaited AI Day event in Palo Alto, California. A prototype Optimus humanoid robot was shown off. Analysts think that could prove Tesla is a tech player as much as an automaker and think that creating a working prototype will move the company up a few notches if a production date for the first version of Tesla Bot is seen as being closer. Musk said “Our goal is to make a useful humanoid robot as quickly as possible. There’s still a lot of work to be done to refine Optimus and prove it.”He also wants to make it in huge volumes so that the price can become affordable for many thousands at around $20,000. I suspect most people would rather cut their own lawn and spend that money on something else.Also, analysts might think that but robots are not what investors in a car maker want plus there are many well established robot makers already around the world; Swiss giantABB(ABB), Chinese owned German companyKuka, US conglomerateGE(GE) and many more. Near Tesla’s Palo Alto office,Agility Roboticsare pioneers in humanoid robot developments.Tesla cars are built by robots and more complex ones are used for delicate surgical operations on the human body. Along the road from Palo Alto, in Sunnyvale, CA,Intuitive Surgical(ISRG) has long been the world leader in making those surgical robots.Since Tesla is also aiming for self-driving cars, they will not be needed for that purpose either.To make robots in the huge quantities Tesla envisages requires years in time and giga bucks being spent on building the factories!One would have to be an Optimist to see how Optimus will make profits for Tesla shareholders in any foreseeable timeframe and perhaps ever.I might take a more positive view if Musk soon announces an Opti Mrs that would look like my lovely wife but not have her Command and Control capabilities!Talking of those, Musk broke through such capabilities - that German bureaucracies thought they had - in order to get the money burning factory there built. In many ways one could admire that but now those offended are getting their own back. Bloomberg recently reported thatElon Musk May Regret Putting Tesla’s First European Plant in Germany.All those internally created problems are cash burners with Bitcoin, making solar panels and robots having nothing to do with growing Tesla as a world leading car maker. Those and Twitter plus Musk's other activities such as SpecEx are distractions from the job of growing Tesla.In the above are several key words starting with the letter C, as does Contrarian. There are more C words to come in the...External Ice BreakersCompetition has become huge and is growing fast. All major car makers have been pouring billions of dollars into developing their own EVs and converting existing factories/building new ones in which to make those. Some are also building factories to make their own batteries.Competition from China is coming fast. China has for some time been the world’s largest car market and is now also the largest for electric cars. Of those the largest is Chinese car BYD Company Limited (OTCPK:BYDDF,OTCPK:BYDDY) that started as a battery maker. BYD stands for Build Your Dreams (比亚迪 bǐyàdí) and was founded by a guy - Wang Chuanfu - from a poor family background who became a professor at a research institute for non-ferrous metals in Beijing.Today, he is among the world's richest men, because while in Beijing he had the vision that China’s startup battery producers could compete with Japan. In the mid-1990s, Wang relocated to Shenzhen just as it was transforming from a sleepy fishing village into a global manufacturing hub. The mass migration from rural areas gave the city’s factories the cheap labor they needed to compete with rivals in Japan, Korea, and Taiwan. In the next 20 years, BYD in some ways followed the proven path among leading East Asian corporations of examining Japanese and U.S. products and finding ways to duplicate the basic technologies without actually making direct copies of them.Today, BYD has overtaken South Korea’s LG as the world’s second-biggest producer of EV batteries, behind China’s Contemporary Amperex Technology, known as CATL.Along the way, its EV unit was born in 2002 from an acquisition of Tsinchuan Automobile, then the sixth-largest car manufacturer in China by sales volume. Wang took out the petrol engines from existing models and put in electric motors. In some ways he was ahead of Tesla and now is way ahead because Wang set about a process of mastering technologies from their finished batteries all the way to the lithium and nickel mines.BYD is the largest EV maker in China and is now taking the first steps to export. Its prices are way lower than Tesla’s and its cars look ok too...According to a recent SA report Toyota(TM) - the world's largest car maker is going to make alow cost EV for the Chinese market in a jv with BYD.There are around 300 EV makers in China. The Chinese government wants to whittle those down to around 30 by mergers in order to make them big and able to enter world markets too. Tesla is number three in China.Leapmotor is one of those unknowns in the west that may one day be well known; Zhejiang Leapmotor Technology is seeking to raise as much as $1bn in what would be Hong Kong’s largest initial public offering this year, in the latest test of investor appetite for China’s fast-growing EV market. Leapmotor plans to raise as much as HK$8.1bn (US$1bn) from the sale of about 131mn shares in Hong Kong in a range of HK$48-HK$62 each.A report from Merics says \"Europe is now the main target for electric vehicle exports from China.\"New EV names are heading for US highways as are old established names. Many of those are detailed with photos in thisCar and Driver reportMany of those are targeting Tesla! Volkswagen (OTCPK:VLKAF) has said it aims to pass Tesla in EV sales by 2025. GM has said similar things. All are targeting a market that is not growing as fast as Tesla's production ambitions. As a visionary, Musk has achieved near miracles to get Tesla where it is today. However, it will need another miracle in the near future if his target of 20 million cars are to be made, and even aiming for them could put Tesla into reverse gear financially. At Tesla's last Cyber Round Up in Austin, Texas, Musk said the company would \"end up building at least 10 or 12 Gigafactories.\" Those Gigafactories cost Gigabucks to build. They also require years to build, and he needs them soon if he is to make 20 million cars per year by2030. That means completion before the end of 2029 - just over 7 years away. None have been started, nor even have locations been announced!In the unlikely event Tesla achieved that number, it would require another miracle to sell that many cars, because gaining 16.4% of the entire world car market - including ICEs - is probably impossible for any car maker.GlobeNewswiremade the 2030 estimate of total car market size in 2030 of 122.83 million units that I used to calculate that market share percentage. It makes worthwhile reading.It also looks rather stupid ifS&P Global's estimateof 26.8 million EV sales by 2030 proves correct. That would mean Tesla has to achieve 75% EV market share! It may have had that until now but there is no way it will by 2030.Hydrogen fuelled carsare all also hitting some roads in growing numbers. Toyota who led the world into hybrids are leading with that. Toyota’s Mirai - pictured below - looks good and is priced from $49,500.ToyotaTheir fuel cells Elon Musk dismissed as fool cells. Those \"fool\" cells use much less lithium than batteries and growth in EV sales means lithium is becoming scarcer and more expensive so they may yet make Musk look like a fool.Politics and EconomicsChina heads the list for both. Economically it is growing still but the bigger threat for Tesla is political.Among the latest flash points, Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s visit to Taiwan, a de-facto independent nation that China considers its territory, only stands to inflame tensions on the topic already stoked by President Biden’sconsistent undermining of US strategic ambiguity. Military drills conducted around the island following the visit have onlyraised alarms among Taiwanese military officials. In recent days, President Biden discarded ambiguity completely by saying the US will indeed defend Taiwan.China is no innocent and such tensions could accidentally trigger a new world war. Hopefully, that will not happen but Tesla’s huge investment in China is a sitting target in a trade war with the US.Elon Musk’s SpaceX company may also compound Tesla’s potential problems in China. The South China Morning Post published this article, titled \"China military must be able to destroy Elon Musk’s Starlink satellites if they threaten national security.\"There are also many reports that the Chinese government sees Tesla’s cars as a spying threat, having banned them in places requiring tight security and stopped government departments from buying them for official use. Thisgetjerry reporttells some of that story.Given the influence the government has over its people, it could easily encourage them to buy Chinese brands in preference to Tesla.Emerging markets.The ice has already cracked for some of those such as Sri Lanka and they are now submerging markets. They will not be car buying markets.Europe.The fundamentals are not good for any car maker at present.Britainis again the sick man of Europe- an accolade it enjoyed in the 1970s- and now renamed Stagnation Nation. Today it has C words in abundance; a housingcrisis, a healthcarecrisis, an energycrisis, acost of livingcrisis and now acurrencycrisis too, the latter caused by acivil war. It is no surprise that the Bank of England projects British households are facing the biggest collapse in living standards since such records were first kept 60 years ago. The chief economist at that monetary policy custodian - the BoE - said the UK government's recent mini-budget loosening of fiscal policy \"will require a significant monetary response\". That response means raising interest rates thus making things worse and that civil war has driven British pound down to record lows in a country already in recession and heavily dependent on imports of many things. That means Tesla's cars - all of which are imported - have become more expensive unless Tesla absorbs the difference.Those warring policy makers there have had the BoE buying bonds while the Treasury needs to sell them to fund tax cuts! They have become the real life manifestation of the mythical Doctor Dolittle Pushmi-Pullyu creature which has two heads at opposite ends of the body pulling in opposite directions.That creature was a Do Little but its re-creators in Britain are doing a huge amount of economic damage!I may have used a lot of words on Britain - a country that may not be of importance to most investors and nor to me - but until fairly recently it was the 4th largest car market in the world and remains a large one ...for now.Germany is also a recession or nearly so. It is Europe's largest economy and the world's 4th largest.Cars are aconsumer discretionary and sales crash in recessions taking Tesla's (and others) stock price down with it.The US is in ok shape for now with employment in relatively good shape but a less obvious civil war is taking place there too with tight fiscal/loose monetary combination pulling in opposite directions. Maybe contagion from Britain’s illness is happening in the US.President Biden's new Inflation Reduction Act introduced a spending boost of $467bn that a much more hawkish Fed is trying to counter with higher interest rates to stop spending. That has already pushed 30 year mortgage rates over 7%. Buying a house and other essentials is more important than buying a new car.The concern about people not buying cars with those that do having more and more EV brands to choose from means many investors have already headed back onto firm ground.Tesla's stock price is below the 200 day moving average...BTIG and BloombergBut not all are heading for safety given theInvestment Ratings...CNBCThe Financial Times shows 37 analysts offering 12 month price targets for Tesla Inc have a median target of 333.33, with a high estimate of 461.00 and a low estimate of 24.33. The median estimate represents a 25.66% increase from the last price of 265.25.The vast majority of those analysts say the price will increase leaving very few in the contrarian camp - that includes myself.That differing conclusion is made more stark by the fact those analysts also know - or should know - that much of the world is in or near recession when car sales crumble plus the other danger factors I mention.SA ratings summary...SA Authors Hold 3.10Wall Street Buy 3.86Quant Hold 3.47Insider sentiment may summarise it all: Elon Musk and other insiders have long been sellers. The last time one of them bought was in 2019. Musk sold even more just a few weeks ago, in August!Joining all those dots leads me also to only one conclusion...Tesla Investors Are Skating On Thin IceMusk selling is tantamount to pulling the rug out from underneath investors.He and the company face many challenges including potentially very damaging legal ones.In my opinion his diversification into unrelated areas of business is both a distraction and a misuse of Tesla shareholders money.Tesla's price has long been at a PE multiple far higher than any other car maker during a time it was virtually alone and far ahead of all in making EVs. Today the EV market will soon be crowded in a worsening economic and political climate.Musk’s diversification into unrelated and overcrowded areas has been the downfall of all conglomerates in the past and may be is provingPeter’s Principleright!Tesla faces a mountain of challenges many of which have built up over a long time and remain unresolved with more added in recent times plus recessions now adding to those.Despite all that the majority of analysts - most of whom work for large, respected organisations - only see upside from here.Earlier this year my target was $100. That was before the split, meaning around $34 now.My conclusion is therefore starkly opposite those optimistic analysts. I see that above low forecast of $24.33 within the next 12 months as being closer to the mark than any of the others.Contrarian view that maybe but I am staying well away from Tesla and recommend that others get off that thin ice soon...before it finally cracks under them!","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":423,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9919477449,"gmtCreate":1663855574482,"gmtModify":1676537350383,"author":{"id":"4108629412181280","authorId":"4108629412181280","name":"tplian","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7ecc0302d7a6f2cd28a1199a63498645","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4108629412181280","authorIdStr":"4108629412181280"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great shorts","listText":"Great shorts","text":"Great shorts","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9919477449","repostId":"1168375426","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1168375426","pubTimestamp":1663860442,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1168375426?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-22 23:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Beaten-Down Stocks That Could Soar 51% to 70% From Their 52-Week Lows, According to Wall Street","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1168375426","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Its valuation is no doubt high on the list. Meta's shares currently trade at only 12.2 times expected earnings. The company's social media platforms also still draw 2.88 billion active users on a daily basis and 3.65 billion on a monthly basis. Those numbers represent an audience that's still very attractive to advertisers.A rebound in digital-advertising growth would help Meta meet analysts' expectations. Over the longer term, the stock could be a monster winner if CEO Mark Zuckerberg's vision ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>KEY POINTS</b></p><ul><li>Nvidia plans to launch several new chips that could improve its fortunes.</li><li>Meta Platforms trades at a bargain price with a still-huge global user base for its social media platforms.</li><li>Moderna hopes to market its COVID-19 vaccines in China and achieve success with its omicron boosters.</li></ul><p>Analysts remain very bullish about these former big winners.</p><p>Down but not out. That old adage applies to many one-time high-flying growth stocks.</p><p>Some stocks have taken it on the chin more than others. But some also could rebound more strongly, too. Here are three beaten-down stocks that could soar from 58% to 88%, according to Wall Street.</p><p>1. Nvidia: New chips on the way</p><p><b>Nvidia</b> is a former rising star that&#39;s crashing and burning this year. Shares of the graphics chipmaker have plunged close to 55% so far in 2022. Macroeconomic issues and a cryptocurrency crash combined to pull the stock down.</p><p>Analysts don&#39;t appear to be overly worried about any of these challenges, though. The average price target for the stock is nearly 51% higher than Nvidia&#39;s current share price.</p><p>Nvidia CFO Colette Kress noted in the Q2 conference call that the company has several launches of next-generation superchip platforms on the way soon. Nvidia also recently launched an update to its NeMo Megatron artificial-intelligence framework that can increase the speed of training large language models by as much as 30%.</p><p>Wall Street likely expects positive results from these launches. Analysts also recognize that Nvidia operates in a cyclical market. The current downturn won&#39;t last forever.</p><p>2. Meta Platforms: A big-tech bargain</p><p>Facebook-parent <b>Meta Platforms</b> hasn&#39;t received many &#34;likes&#34; from investors in 2022. The stock has fallen more than 50% year to date. Shareholders are worried about a slowing digital ad market, combined with Meta&#39;s massive and risky investment in the metaverse.</p><p>However, Wall Street remains highly optimistic about Meta&#39;s prospects. The consensus 12-month price target for the stock reflects an upside potential of 53%.</p><p>What do analysts like about Meta Platforms? Its valuation is no doubt high on the list. Meta&#39;s shares currently trade at only 12.2 times expected earnings. The company&#39;s social media platforms also still draw 2.88 billion active users on a daily basis and 3.65 billion on a monthly basis. Those numbers represent an audience that&#39;s still very attractive to advertisers.</p><p>A rebound in digital-advertising growth would help Meta meet analysts&#39; expectations. Over the longer term, the stock could be a monster winner if CEO Mark Zuckerberg&#39;s vision of the metaverse is fulfilled.</p><p>3. Moderna: A potential bull in the China shop</p><p><b>Moderna</b> is yet another company that&#39;s seen its high-flying ways of the past disappear. The vaccine stock has plummeted close to 50% year to date. It&#39;s now down more than 70% from the peak set in the summer of 2021.</p><p>The biggest problem for Moderna is that COVID-19 cases are falling while the demand for vaccines seems to have plateaued. But analysts still think the best is yet to come for the messenger RNA (mRNA) pioneer. The average 12-month price target for Moderna is a whopping 70% higher than the current share price.</p><p>Wall Street seems to believe that Moderna could have a big opportunity for its COVID-19 vaccines in China. The company is in discussions with the Chinese government about potentially marketing its vaccines in the country.</p><p>Moderna could also regain momentum in North America and Europe with its boosters targeting the coronavirus omicron variant. It has recently won several authorizations for the new omicron booster.</p><p>Over the longer term, Moderna hopes to expand beyond COVID-19. The company&#39;s pipeline includes three non-COVID candidates in late-stage testing -- experimental mRNA vaccines targeting flu, cytomegalovirus, and respiratory syncytial virus.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Beaten-Down Stocks That Could Soar 51% to 70% From Their 52-Week Lows, According to Wall Street</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Beaten-Down Stocks That Could Soar 51% to 70% From Their 52-Week Lows, According to Wall Street\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-22 23:27 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/09/21/3-beaten-down-stocks-that-could-soar-51-to-70-from/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>KEY POINTSNvidia plans to launch several new chips that could improve its fortunes.Meta Platforms trades at a bargain price with a still-huge global user base for its social media platforms.Moderna ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/09/21/3-beaten-down-stocks-that-could-soar-51-to-70-from/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MRNA":"Moderna, Inc.","META":"Meta Platforms, Inc.","NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/09/21/3-beaten-down-stocks-that-could-soar-51-to-70-from/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1168375426","content_text":"KEY POINTSNvidia plans to launch several new chips that could improve its fortunes.Meta Platforms trades at a bargain price with a still-huge global user base for its social media platforms.Moderna hopes to market its COVID-19 vaccines in China and achieve success with its omicron boosters.Analysts remain very bullish about these former big winners.Down but not out. That old adage applies to many one-time high-flying growth stocks.Some stocks have taken it on the chin more than others. But some also could rebound more strongly, too. Here are three beaten-down stocks that could soar from 58% to 88%, according to Wall Street.1. Nvidia: New chips on the wayNvidia is a former rising star that's crashing and burning this year. Shares of the graphics chipmaker have plunged close to 55% so far in 2022. Macroeconomic issues and a cryptocurrency crash combined to pull the stock down.Analysts don't appear to be overly worried about any of these challenges, though. The average price target for the stock is nearly 51% higher than Nvidia's current share price.Nvidia CFO Colette Kress noted in the Q2 conference call that the company has several launches of next-generation superchip platforms on the way soon. Nvidia also recently launched an update to its NeMo Megatron artificial-intelligence framework that can increase the speed of training large language models by as much as 30%.Wall Street likely expects positive results from these launches. Analysts also recognize that Nvidia operates in a cyclical market. The current downturn won't last forever.2. Meta Platforms: A big-tech bargainFacebook-parent Meta Platforms hasn't received many \"likes\" from investors in 2022. The stock has fallen more than 50% year to date. Shareholders are worried about a slowing digital ad market, combined with Meta's massive and risky investment in the metaverse.However, Wall Street remains highly optimistic about Meta's prospects. The consensus 12-month price target for the stock reflects an upside potential of 53%.What do analysts like about Meta Platforms? Its valuation is no doubt high on the list. Meta's shares currently trade at only 12.2 times expected earnings. The company's social media platforms also still draw 2.88 billion active users on a daily basis and 3.65 billion on a monthly basis. Those numbers represent an audience that's still very attractive to advertisers.A rebound in digital-advertising growth would help Meta meet analysts' expectations. Over the longer term, the stock could be a monster winner if CEO Mark Zuckerberg's vision of the metaverse is fulfilled.3. Moderna: A potential bull in the China shopModerna is yet another company that's seen its high-flying ways of the past disappear. The vaccine stock has plummeted close to 50% year to date. It's now down more than 70% from the peak set in the summer of 2021.The biggest problem for Moderna is that COVID-19 cases are falling while the demand for vaccines seems to have plateaued. But analysts still think the best is yet to come for the messenger RNA (mRNA) pioneer. The average 12-month price target for Moderna is a whopping 70% higher than the current share price.Wall Street seems to believe that Moderna could have a big opportunity for its COVID-19 vaccines in China. The company is in discussions with the Chinese government about potentially marketing its vaccines in the country.Moderna could also regain momentum in North America and Europe with its boosters targeting the coronavirus omicron variant. It has recently won several authorizations for the new omicron booster.Over the longer term, Moderna hopes to expand beyond COVID-19. The company's pipeline includes three non-COVID candidates in late-stage testing -- experimental mRNA vaccines targeting flu, cytomegalovirus, and respiratory syncytial virus.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":126,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9969433765,"gmtCreate":1668487881457,"gmtModify":1676538064960,"author":{"id":"4108629412181280","authorId":"4108629412181280","name":"tplian","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7ecc0302d7a6f2cd28a1199a63498645","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4108629412181280","authorIdStr":"4108629412181280"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9969433765","repostId":"1194306738","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1194306738","pubTimestamp":1668468992,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1194306738?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-15 07:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Brainard Says Fed Should Probably \"Soon\" Slow Pace of Rate Hikes","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1194306738","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"‘We’ve done a lot but we have additional work to do’: BrainardFed vice chair speaks at Bloomberg eve","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>‘We’ve done a lot but we have additional work to do’: Brainard</li><li>Fed vice chair speaks at Bloomberg event in Washington</li></ul><p>Federal Reserve Vice Chair Lael Brainard said the central bank should soon moderate the size of its interest-rate increases, signaling she favors slowing to a half-point hike as early as next month.</p><p>“It will probably be appropriate soon to move to a slower pace of increases,” Brainard said Monday in a fireside-chat event at Bloomberg’s Washington bureau. “But I think what’s really important to emphasize: We’ve done a lot, but we have additional work to do.”</p><p>The US central bank has raised its benchmark interest rate this year from nearly zero in March to a target range of 3.75% to 4% this month in a bid to slow the economy and bring inflation down from four-decade highs. The most aggressive tightening campaign since the 1980s has included rate hikes of three-quarters of a percentage point at each of the last four policy meetings, triple the usual move.</p><p>“There are likely to be lags, and it’s going to take some time for that cumulative tightening to flow through,” Brainard said. “So, it makes sense to move to a more deliberate and a more data-dependent pace as we continue to make sure that there’s restraint that will bring inflation down over time.”</p><p>At the same time, Brainard stopped short of explicitly endorsing the idea that the Fed would likely need to raise rates higher than previously projected in September. That’s what Chair Jerome Powell and other officials have said this month.</p><p>Asked if she agreed with the chair’s expectation, Brainard stressed the importance of Fed policy being data dependent.</p><p>“Even for just the December meeting’s decision, we still will have additional data in hand by the time that we will -- members of the committee will be submitting their new projections. And of course, those projections are going to reflect that data, both on inflation as well as on the labor market activity more generally,” she said. “But it is the case that we do have additional work to do on raising rates.”</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/37a914d734b43a247afac724dfa23589\" tg-width=\"698\" tg-height=\"392\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Investors expect Fed officials to opt for a half-point hike at their Dec. 13-14 meeting following Powell’s signal on Nov. 2 that such a downshift was in the offing, and a subsequent Labor Department report last week which showed increases in US consumer prices may be starting to moderate.</p><p>That report showed inflation cooled by more than expected in October, with the consumer price index rising 7.7% from a year earlier versus 8.2% the month before.</p><p>But officials have stressed that they need to see a series of lower monthly readings to have confidence that price pressures are heading back down to levels consistent with the central bank’s 2% target, which is defined in terms of the Commerce Department’s price index for personal consumption expenditures. October data for that measure will be published later this month.</p><p>“The most recent CPI inflation print suggests that maybe the core PCE measure that we really focus on might be also showing a little bit of a reduction,” Brainard said. “That would be welcome. I think the inflation data was reassuring, preliminarily, just in terms of showing a slowing in categories that I had been anticipating.”</p><p>The Fed has two congressional mandates: price stability and maximum employment. In recent weeks, Democratic senators including Sherrod Brown, who plays a key role overseeing the central bank as head of the Senate Banking Committee, have written letters to Powell expressing concerns that the fight against inflation will lead to unnecessary job losses.</p><p>“Obviously risks are going to be more two-sided as we get into more restrictive -- or further into restrictive -- territory. So, we’ll be balancing those considerations, but we are very much focused on achieving our 2% inflation goal,” Brainard said.</p><p>“It’s very important to keep inflation expectations anchored around that goal. And so, we’ll just have to make judgments like that as we go forward: What is the appropriate level of restraint on a sustained basis that is going to be necessary to make that balance?”</p><p>The vice chair also pointed to data showing the pace of wage increases has begun to moderate.</p><p>“I think it’s important to remember that wages have actually not kept up with inflation. Real incomes have actually, on aggregate, fallen, even though wages are higher than what would be consistent with a run rate associated with 2% inflation,” she said. “So they really are in the middle there, and they are coming down.”</p><p>Officials in September forecast rates would reach 4.6% in 2023, but Powell on Nov. 2 suggested projections for the so-called terminal rate would probably move higher when they are next updated at the December meeting.</p><p>Investors now see rates peaking just below 5% by the middle of next year.</p><p>“By moving at a more deliberate pace, we’ll actually be able to see how that cumulative tightening is playing out,” Brainard said. “Exactly what that path looks like I think is really hard to say right now, but I think it will be very much better at balancing those risks by virtue of being able to take on board more data.”</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Brainard Says Fed Should Probably \"Soon\" Slow Pace of Rate Hikes</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBrainard Says Fed Should Probably \"Soon\" Slow Pace of Rate Hikes\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-15 07:36 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-14/brainard-says-fed-probably-will-soon-slow-pace-of-rate-hikes?srnd=premium><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>‘We’ve done a lot but we have additional work to do’: BrainardFed vice chair speaks at Bloomberg event in WashingtonFederal Reserve Vice Chair Lael Brainard said the central bank should soon moderate ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-14/brainard-says-fed-probably-will-soon-slow-pace-of-rate-hikes?srnd=premium\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-14/brainard-says-fed-probably-will-soon-slow-pace-of-rate-hikes?srnd=premium","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1194306738","content_text":"‘We’ve done a lot but we have additional work to do’: BrainardFed vice chair speaks at Bloomberg event in WashingtonFederal Reserve Vice Chair Lael Brainard said the central bank should soon moderate the size of its interest-rate increases, signaling she favors slowing to a half-point hike as early as next month.“It will probably be appropriate soon to move to a slower pace of increases,” Brainard said Monday in a fireside-chat event at Bloomberg’s Washington bureau. “But I think what’s really important to emphasize: We’ve done a lot, but we have additional work to do.”The US central bank has raised its benchmark interest rate this year from nearly zero in March to a target range of 3.75% to 4% this month in a bid to slow the economy and bring inflation down from four-decade highs. The most aggressive tightening campaign since the 1980s has included rate hikes of three-quarters of a percentage point at each of the last four policy meetings, triple the usual move.“There are likely to be lags, and it’s going to take some time for that cumulative tightening to flow through,” Brainard said. “So, it makes sense to move to a more deliberate and a more data-dependent pace as we continue to make sure that there’s restraint that will bring inflation down over time.”At the same time, Brainard stopped short of explicitly endorsing the idea that the Fed would likely need to raise rates higher than previously projected in September. That’s what Chair Jerome Powell and other officials have said this month.Asked if she agreed with the chair’s expectation, Brainard stressed the importance of Fed policy being data dependent.“Even for just the December meeting’s decision, we still will have additional data in hand by the time that we will -- members of the committee will be submitting their new projections. And of course, those projections are going to reflect that data, both on inflation as well as on the labor market activity more generally,” she said. “But it is the case that we do have additional work to do on raising rates.”Investors expect Fed officials to opt for a half-point hike at their Dec. 13-14 meeting following Powell’s signal on Nov. 2 that such a downshift was in the offing, and a subsequent Labor Department report last week which showed increases in US consumer prices may be starting to moderate.That report showed inflation cooled by more than expected in October, with the consumer price index rising 7.7% from a year earlier versus 8.2% the month before.But officials have stressed that they need to see a series of lower monthly readings to have confidence that price pressures are heading back down to levels consistent with the central bank’s 2% target, which is defined in terms of the Commerce Department’s price index for personal consumption expenditures. October data for that measure will be published later this month.“The most recent CPI inflation print suggests that maybe the core PCE measure that we really focus on might be also showing a little bit of a reduction,” Brainard said. “That would be welcome. I think the inflation data was reassuring, preliminarily, just in terms of showing a slowing in categories that I had been anticipating.”The Fed has two congressional mandates: price stability and maximum employment. In recent weeks, Democratic senators including Sherrod Brown, who plays a key role overseeing the central bank as head of the Senate Banking Committee, have written letters to Powell expressing concerns that the fight against inflation will lead to unnecessary job losses.“Obviously risks are going to be more two-sided as we get into more restrictive -- or further into restrictive -- territory. So, we’ll be balancing those considerations, but we are very much focused on achieving our 2% inflation goal,” Brainard said.“It’s very important to keep inflation expectations anchored around that goal. And so, we’ll just have to make judgments like that as we go forward: What is the appropriate level of restraint on a sustained basis that is going to be necessary to make that balance?”The vice chair also pointed to data showing the pace of wage increases has begun to moderate.“I think it’s important to remember that wages have actually not kept up with inflation. Real incomes have actually, on aggregate, fallen, even though wages are higher than what would be consistent with a run rate associated with 2% inflation,” she said. “So they really are in the middle there, and they are coming down.”Officials in September forecast rates would reach 4.6% in 2023, but Powell on Nov. 2 suggested projections for the so-called terminal rate would probably move higher when they are next updated at the December meeting.Investors now see rates peaking just below 5% by the middle of next year.“By moving at a more deliberate pace, we’ll actually be able to see how that cumulative tightening is playing out,” Brainard said. “Exactly what that path looks like I think is really hard to say right now, but I think it will be very much better at balancing those risks by virtue of being able to take on board more data.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":188,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9919474034,"gmtCreate":1663855392928,"gmtModify":1676537350330,"author":{"id":"4108629412181280","authorId":"4108629412181280","name":"tplian","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7ecc0302d7a6f2cd28a1199a63498645","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4108629412181280","authorIdStr":"4108629412181280"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice one","listText":"Nice one","text":"Nice one","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9919474034","repostId":"1104523508","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":40,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9980679635,"gmtCreate":1665725171928,"gmtModify":1676537656037,"author":{"id":"4108629412181280","authorId":"4108629412181280","name":"tplian","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7ecc0302d7a6f2cd28a1199a63498645","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4108629412181280","authorIdStr":"4108629412181280"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cool","listText":"Cool","text":"Cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9980679635","repostId":"2275006628","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":255,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9911685161,"gmtCreate":1664195589354,"gmtModify":1676537407298,"author":{"id":"4108629412181280","authorId":"4108629412181280","name":"tplian","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7ecc0302d7a6f2cd28a1199a63498645","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4108629412181280","authorIdStr":"4108629412181280"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yeah&nbsp;Big short 2","listText":"Yeah&nbsp;Big short 2","text":"Yeah Big short 2","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9911685161","repostId":"1154262778","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1154262778","pubTimestamp":1664205477,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1154262778?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-26 23:17","market":"us","language":"en","title":"If Not The Bottom, Then What?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1154262778","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryLeading central bank interest rates, set by to fight inflation, are attempting to peak in the","content":"<html><head></head><body><h3>Summary</h3><ul><li>Leading central bank interest rates, set by to fight inflation, are attempting to peak in the near future.</li><li>With sub-4% rates for US Treasuries, 10-year high-grade corporates at 4.6%, and medium-grades at 5.23%, the premium for government paper appears to be in place. However, it’s insufficient if demand curtailment works and drives up defaults.</li><li>Did Friday’s stock market decline signal a bottom? Possibly, but it did not completely fit historical patterns.</li></ul><h3>Caveat</h3><p>We admit we don’t know what the future holds for us. I am falling back on my instinct to view things as bets with their own uncertain odds.</p><h3>Investment Markets Decline on September 23rd</h3><p>Leading central bank interest rates, sertt by to fight inflation, are attempting to peak in the near future. (My guess is that they won’t be successful at current levels until they switch from attempting to reduce demand to increasing supply, which is more difficult.) With sub-4% rates for US Treasuries, 10-year high-grade corporates at 4.6%, and medium-grades at 5.23%, the premium for government paper appears to be in place. However, it’s insufficient if demand curtailment works and drives up defaults.</p><p>The battle against industrial goods inflation may be close to won, with the year-over-year change in the JOC-ECRI industrial price at -9.69%, gasoline demand down almost -8%, and distillates down about -16%. (I think it is going to be more difficult to address inflation in services, which is mostly comprised of wages for talented people.) Furthermore, food prices are much more dependent on the global decline in land use and availability.</p><p>As usual, the high-quality fixed-income markets are more advanced than the equity markets.</p><p>Did Friday’s stock market decline signal a bottom? Possibly, but it did not completely fit historical patterns. While the Dow Jones Industrial Average established a new low for the year, the S&amp;P 500 was the third-lowest, and the Nasdaq the fifth-lowest. Considering the latter two indices had greater gains, the fall of the DJIA is less impressive. While there was an increase in transaction volume from a low base, it was not impressive. There are no signs of mass capitulation at public or institutional levels.</p><h3>Outlook</h3><p>There are four possible paths forward. In order of time, magnitude and pain, they are:</p><p>A bear market without a recession has happened a few times and is largely a price correction. We are closing in on that.</p><p>A cyclical recession is usually driven by commodity prices or other supply issues. This is satisfactorily addressed in a few years.</p><p>A structural recession due to systemic imbalances of power and leadership requires major changes, which drastically alter society. Depending on the level of violence, it can take many years.</p><p>Stagflation, where a portion of the society/economy sacrifices involuntarily to the other until there is a counter-revolutionary force. There is usually a period of mismanagement and legal turmoil. We have experienced two periods like this in the past beginning in the 1930s and 1970s.</p><p>Each alternative is possible. Prudent investors should make up their own minds as to what is probable for their beneficiaries and careers. (To be discussed later.)</p><p>Before choosing your expected future, there is a new threat and lesson which surfaced this week.</p><h3>London’s Future Lesson and Threat</h3><p>This week, the brand-new Prime Minister announced a very expensive plan of pump-priming and tax reduction for individuals. The reaction of the London investment market and currency was shock and fear. The former US Secretary of Treasury and former President of Harvard summed up the view of many on both sides of the Atlantic that these were “the worst possible policies”.</p><p>There are two lessons for the US from these policies which march down the same road as the current US administration.</p><p>The lesson for US and other investors is that the value of one’s currency shapes the willingness of foreigners to invest in the currency. The independent Bank of England, their central bank, raised interest rates by 100 basis points earlier in the week before this announcement. On Friday, there was a call for the BOE to immediately raise rates another 100 basis points.</p><p>This controversy is important for the US with its highly rated currency, which somewhat ironically had the second-biggest gain for the week, according to The Wall Street Journal. (The only currency that had a bigger gain was the Russian ruble, +4.54% vs.+2.57%.)</p><p>Investors, traders, and customers look at the currency behind the source of earnings in today’s currency markets. We are all familiar with the “Petrodollar”, which is based on the earnings derived from petroleum production and sale. To some degree, the tag of Petrodollar has also been placed on the currencies of Russia and Canada, among others, in addition to various Middle Eastern countries.</p><p>While it hasn’t been popularly done before, I believe we may now see a financial pound label placed on the British currency. A major part of its earnings come from its transaction markets and multinationals headquartered in the UK with export earnings, as well as contributions from my wife at her favorite shopping location.</p><p>We should watch what happens in the UK as an indication of a possible trend for the US.</p><h3>Investing Equity Reserves</h3><p>Last week’s blog suggested a tactical plan to reinvest reserves coming from equity investments, or from cash flows to be invested in equities.</p><p>Investors will be benefit from dollar-cost averaging, no matter which frequency is used. They will also benefit from the selection of one of the four alternative futures outlined above.</p><p>The most important long-term decision regarding the ultimate value of the account is to not get too comfortable with cash reserves while interest rates earn single-digit returns. This will be costly, as stock markets go up as rates come down, resulting in some principal loss. More important, time not invested in equities at low prices will be lost. For taxable investors, the difference in taxes on interest and gains can be meaningful, particularly in well-constructed estates.</p><p>In making choices where time horizon is appropriate for your investments, I expect the last two scenarios to be the most likely, based on today’s information. For example, Walmart (WMT) is not building inventory and staff for the holiday season. Their shoppers, for the most part, are modest-income, savvy buyers. If Walmart is not expecting a good holiday season for itself, one should question how quickly inflation will drop below 5%.</p><p>Typically, a well-known name disappears from the marketplace due to severe financial trouble. None has so far, but you might see a rescue merger or court action.</p><p>I have no inside information, but I am concerned that reported earnings and, more importantly, values are overstated for the current economy, making market valuations questionable. One such possible company is Credit Suisse (CS). The pundits are quoting it as selling for almost 20% of book value! I am sure this is not a singular situation.</p><p>Please share your views.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>If Not The Bottom, Then What?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIf Not The Bottom, Then What?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-26 23:17 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4543053-if-not-bottom-then-what><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryLeading central bank interest rates, set by to fight inflation, are attempting to peak in the near future.With sub-4% rates for US Treasuries, 10-year high-grade corporates at 4.6%, and medium-...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4543053-if-not-bottom-then-what\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4543053-if-not-bottom-then-what","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1154262778","content_text":"SummaryLeading central bank interest rates, set by to fight inflation, are attempting to peak in the near future.With sub-4% rates for US Treasuries, 10-year high-grade corporates at 4.6%, and medium-grades at 5.23%, the premium for government paper appears to be in place. However, it’s insufficient if demand curtailment works and drives up defaults.Did Friday’s stock market decline signal a bottom? Possibly, but it did not completely fit historical patterns.CaveatWe admit we don’t know what the future holds for us. I am falling back on my instinct to view things as bets with their own uncertain odds.Investment Markets Decline on September 23rdLeading central bank interest rates, sertt by to fight inflation, are attempting to peak in the near future. (My guess is that they won’t be successful at current levels until they switch from attempting to reduce demand to increasing supply, which is more difficult.) With sub-4% rates for US Treasuries, 10-year high-grade corporates at 4.6%, and medium-grades at 5.23%, the premium for government paper appears to be in place. However, it’s insufficient if demand curtailment works and drives up defaults.The battle against industrial goods inflation may be close to won, with the year-over-year change in the JOC-ECRI industrial price at -9.69%, gasoline demand down almost -8%, and distillates down about -16%. (I think it is going to be more difficult to address inflation in services, which is mostly comprised of wages for talented people.) Furthermore, food prices are much more dependent on the global decline in land use and availability.As usual, the high-quality fixed-income markets are more advanced than the equity markets.Did Friday’s stock market decline signal a bottom? Possibly, but it did not completely fit historical patterns. While the Dow Jones Industrial Average established a new low for the year, the S&P 500 was the third-lowest, and the Nasdaq the fifth-lowest. Considering the latter two indices had greater gains, the fall of the DJIA is less impressive. While there was an increase in transaction volume from a low base, it was not impressive. There are no signs of mass capitulation at public or institutional levels.OutlookThere are four possible paths forward. In order of time, magnitude and pain, they are:A bear market without a recession has happened a few times and is largely a price correction. We are closing in on that.A cyclical recession is usually driven by commodity prices or other supply issues. This is satisfactorily addressed in a few years.A structural recession due to systemic imbalances of power and leadership requires major changes, which drastically alter society. Depending on the level of violence, it can take many years.Stagflation, where a portion of the society/economy sacrifices involuntarily to the other until there is a counter-revolutionary force. There is usually a period of mismanagement and legal turmoil. We have experienced two periods like this in the past beginning in the 1930s and 1970s.Each alternative is possible. Prudent investors should make up their own minds as to what is probable for their beneficiaries and careers. (To be discussed later.)Before choosing your expected future, there is a new threat and lesson which surfaced this week.London’s Future Lesson and ThreatThis week, the brand-new Prime Minister announced a very expensive plan of pump-priming and tax reduction for individuals. The reaction of the London investment market and currency was shock and fear. The former US Secretary of Treasury and former President of Harvard summed up the view of many on both sides of the Atlantic that these were “the worst possible policies”.There are two lessons for the US from these policies which march down the same road as the current US administration.The lesson for US and other investors is that the value of one’s currency shapes the willingness of foreigners to invest in the currency. The independent Bank of England, their central bank, raised interest rates by 100 basis points earlier in the week before this announcement. On Friday, there was a call for the BOE to immediately raise rates another 100 basis points.This controversy is important for the US with its highly rated currency, which somewhat ironically had the second-biggest gain for the week, according to The Wall Street Journal. (The only currency that had a bigger gain was the Russian ruble, +4.54% vs.+2.57%.)Investors, traders, and customers look at the currency behind the source of earnings in today’s currency markets. We are all familiar with the “Petrodollar”, which is based on the earnings derived from petroleum production and sale. To some degree, the tag of Petrodollar has also been placed on the currencies of Russia and Canada, among others, in addition to various Middle Eastern countries.While it hasn’t been popularly done before, I believe we may now see a financial pound label placed on the British currency. A major part of its earnings come from its transaction markets and multinationals headquartered in the UK with export earnings, as well as contributions from my wife at her favorite shopping location.We should watch what happens in the UK as an indication of a possible trend for the US.Investing Equity ReservesLast week’s blog suggested a tactical plan to reinvest reserves coming from equity investments, or from cash flows to be invested in equities.Investors will be benefit from dollar-cost averaging, no matter which frequency is used. They will also benefit from the selection of one of the four alternative futures outlined above.The most important long-term decision regarding the ultimate value of the account is to not get too comfortable with cash reserves while interest rates earn single-digit returns. This will be costly, as stock markets go up as rates come down, resulting in some principal loss. More important, time not invested in equities at low prices will be lost. For taxable investors, the difference in taxes on interest and gains can be meaningful, particularly in well-constructed estates.In making choices where time horizon is appropriate for your investments, I expect the last two scenarios to be the most likely, based on today’s information. For example, Walmart (WMT) is not building inventory and staff for the holiday season. Their shoppers, for the most part, are modest-income, savvy buyers. If Walmart is not expecting a good holiday season for itself, one should question how quickly inflation will drop below 5%.Typically, a well-known name disappears from the marketplace due to severe financial trouble. None has so far, but you might see a rescue merger or court action.I have no inside information, but I am concerned that reported earnings and, more importantly, values are overstated for the current economy, making market valuations questionable. One such possible company is Credit Suisse (CS). The pundits are quoting it as selling for almost 20% of book value! I am sure this is not a singular situation.Please share your views.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":13,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9913800223,"gmtCreate":1663946489062,"gmtModify":1676537368850,"author":{"id":"4108629412181280","authorId":"4108629412181280","name":"tplian","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7ecc0302d7a6f2cd28a1199a63498645","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4108629412181280","authorIdStr":"4108629412181280"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow the big short 2!","listText":"Wow the big short 2!","text":"Wow the big short 2!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9913800223","repostId":"1177261377","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":11,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9961290511,"gmtCreate":1668966182634,"gmtModify":1676538132406,"author":{"id":"4108629412181280","authorId":"4108629412181280","name":"tplian","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7ecc0302d7a6f2cd28a1199a63498645","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4108629412181280","authorIdStr":"4108629412181280"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9961290511","repostId":"2284785084","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2284785084","pubTimestamp":1668905591,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2284785084?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-20 08:53","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alphabet Vs. Meta Platforms: Which Stock Is The Better Investment?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2284785084","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryAlphabet and Meta are two giants in highly competitive markets, both with their specific risk","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Summary</p><ul><li>Alphabet and Meta are two giants in highly competitive markets, both with their specific risk profiles, while also offering massive opportunities to investors.</li><li>GOOG reported a superior performance over the past years, while both stocks may offer great opportunities for investors, the ability to achieve the targets and the optionality will be determinant.</li><li>Both companies share the same Achilles heel, in an industry that is forecasted to grow substantially over the next decade, while it also exposes their revenue stream to demand-driven fluctuations.</li><li>This article focuses on long-term investment opportunities based on in-depth fundamental analysis and I offer two valuation models structured around multiple outcome scenarios.</li></ul><p>The technology sector is among the worst performers in the past year, losing over 30% of its value. While many stocks may have been excessively hyped during the massive rebound out of the pandemic-lows, others have been under pressure because of rising inflation, a higher cost of capital, bottlenecks among the supply chains, as well as headwinds caused by pandemic-related restrictions, geo-political tensions, and the ongoing war in Ukraine. Companies in the Information technology services industry could perform better from a yearly perspective but lately have been struggling to rebound, while others, such as the semiconductor and the solar industries, have recently been leading the sector.</p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/24926893763e4d5e2c2059c3a396961e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"102\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>finviz</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1f119d5f53fe3121bf55f9c893934749\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"98\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>finviz</p><p>The two selected companies are two global giants in their industry, with Alphabet (NASDAQ:NASDAQ:GOOG) (NASDAQ:GOOGL) having nearly a monopoly in the online search field, as Google processes over 92% of online search volume worldwide, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/META\">Meta Platforms</a> (NASDAQ:NASDAQ:META) counting 3.71B monthly users in Q3 2022, among the company’s core products, Facebook, WhatsApp, Instagram, or Messenger, up 4% Year-over-Year [YoY].</p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/466ecae9b7a6150d62e4e702446ea1b7\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"162\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Author, using TIKR</p><p>While the two companies once were identified as a digital duopoly, because of their massive market share in global online advertising, more recently, companies such as Amazon.com (NASDAQ:AMZN), Alibaba (NYSE:BABA), Tencent (OTCX:OTCPK:TCEHY), or ByteDance through their social media TikTok, have penetrated the market and contributed to the erosion of this duopoly.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0ba8cba90ad500702aed27aa4769d952\" tg-width=\"398\" tg-height=\"476\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Author, using data from Insider Intelligence, Research and Markets, Company filings</p><p>The global IT Services market is projected to grow at a 9.5% Compound Annual Growth Rate [CAGR] through 2031, while the global digital advertising market is forecasted to grow even faster at a 13.9% CAGR, reaching a size of $1.79T through 2031. The sustained market growth is driven by the broader penetration of internet users, technological advancement, rising spending in digital advertising, and the expanding popularity of mobile phones and digital media across the world, while platforms such as in-app, mobile ads, connected TV or social media advertising are increasingly important vectors in the industry.</p><h2><b>An in-depth company comparison</b></h2><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3b292a512ca86202c0549254543bfb5\" tg-width=\"472\" tg-height=\"546\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Author, using data from S&amp;P Capital IQ</p><p>The financial comparison highlights the major relative strengths and weaknesses of the two giants. In terms of their Return on Invested Capital [ROIC], a very important metric I consider when pondering an investment decision, as a company must be able to consistently create value to be a sustainable investment, Alphabet seems to gradually increase its capital allocation efficiency over the past few years. Although Meta has been more efficient in the past, the metric has progressively dropped, until recently significantly falling under Alphabet’s level. The latter seems to have a more efficient core business, but Meta has seemingly more efficient cash management, observed in the relatively narrow spread between their ROIC and the Return on Capital Employed [ROCE], while Alphabet could significantly increase its capital allocation efficiency as the company reported a massive cash position of over $116B.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa03acf041d1be505b4a32558b182c46\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"315\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Author, using data from S&amp;P Capital IQ</p><p>Although Meta reports by far the higher gross margin, this metric’s growth is seemingly dropping from 21.94% CAGR in the past 5 years to 17.88% CAGR in the past 3 years. While Alphabet reported a lower actual value, the company saw this metric slightly increase from 19.38% CAGR to 20.72% CAGR, over the same time window. Meta’s main source of revenue began faltering as the widely popular video app TikTok massively increased its audience, and other companies increased their market share in the online advertising space, while Apple’s (NASDAQ:AAPL) shift to a strict app tracking transparency privacy policy, requiring the user’s approval for apps to be able to track their data, had an estimated two-digit billion impact on Meta’s revenue. On the operational side, the companies have an even more divergent profile, as Alphabet demonstrated being capable of significantly increasing its operational profitability from 22.13% CAGR in the past 5 years, to 29.80% CAGR over the past 3 years, while Meta’s operating margin growth is decelerating from 11.96% CAGR to 7.03% CAGR over the same period. Meta is massively investing in the development of the Metaverse while rising doubts emerge concerning the company’s ability to reach its ambitious goals in a concept that only a few people understand, while at the same time the company struggles with a weakening advertising business.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8f1f88c88d16069afac3b3d995567a30\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"153\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Author, using data from S&amp;P Capital IQ</p><p>Meta reportedly has a more cash-rich business than the analyzed peer, while none of them is paying a dividend, both companies spend billions in share-repurchase programs. Alphabet announced its biggest share-buyback program of over $70B earlier this year, a major increase after the authorized buyback of $50B in 2021 and $25B in 2019. Meta has reportedly spent $91B to repurchase 377M stocks at an average price of $242, between 2017 and September 2022, a price that seems steep, considering that the actual share price is valued at -53% of that price. Meta also reports significantly higher EPS, while in those terms, Alphabet has had a less negative development over the most recent quarters and reported significantly higher growth over the past few years. Both companies are relying on debt for sustaining their business, increasing significantly their debt reliance since 2019, as the historically low-interest rates pushed many companies to consider more debt in their financing strategy. That said, both companies could repay the entirety of their debt exposure as shown in their net debt position and low leverage ratio.</p><h2>The stocks’ performance</h2><p>Considering both stocks’ performance in the past 5 years, GOOG reported a solid performance of 93.44%, while META performed significantly worse, losing 37.65% over the analyzed period. The most significant references show a mixed picture, with the S&amp;P 500 (SP500) returning approximately 53%, and the Nasdaq technology index, tracked by the Invesco QQQ ETF (QQQ) marked over 85% performance, while more industry-focused references, such as the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XLC\">Communication Services Select Sector SPDR Fund</a> (XLC) performed flat, while the Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLK) is the strongest outperformer of the analyzed references.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51b316e664d2e9457222c2ae8e80185d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"198\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Author, using SeekingAlpha.com</p><p>While both stocks display periods of relative strength, GOOG reported massive resilience after every major drop, while META has significantly suffered after its All-Time-High [ATH] in September 2021, leading to massive value destruction for its investors, being priced at levels not seen since 2016. In the next section, I will show how the next few years are forecasted to play out for both companies and if the actual stock price may offer an interesting opportunity, while also assessing the possible risks in different scenarios.</p><h2>Valuation</h2><p>To determine the actual fair value for both company&#39;s stock prices, I rely on the following Discounted Cash Flow [DCF] model, which extends over a forecast period of 5 years with 3 different sets of assumptions ranging from a more conservative to a more optimistic scenario, based on the metrics determining the WACC and the terminal value. As forecasted by the street consensus, Alphabet is anticipated to generate a massive 17.27% Free Cash Flow [FCF] CAGR over the coming 5 years, with its operating and net profitability increasing at respectively 12.73% and 13.80% CAGR, while its revenue is projected to expand at solid 10.98%, above the expected growth in the relevant industries.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f307c189819f83e89ac5301f675e985\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"395\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Author, using data from S&amp;P Capital IQ</p><p>The valuation takes into account a tighter monetary policy, which will undeniably be a reality in many economies worldwide in the coming years and lead to a higher weighted average cost of capital.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dfdac1fd157fda94ba58871ccb1c7b3f\" tg-width=\"573\" tg-height=\"599\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Author</p><p>I compute my opinion in terms of likelihood for the three different scenarios, and I, therefore, consider the stock to be significantly undervalued with a weighted average price target with about 54% upside potential at $152.</p><p>Meta is forecasted to expand slower, with its sales growing at 9.20% CAGR over the next 5 years, and its operating and net profit margins are expected to grow between 8.5% and 8.9%, in terms of FCF the company is anticipated to substantially increase its metric, with 17.61% CAGR through 2026.</p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15cc9d6404157e698d23631783f3f4cd\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"398\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Author, using data from S&amp;P Capital IQ</p><p>I then consider the same three scenarios affected by the company’s fundamentals and by the exogenous factors.</p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c566b27f98414ced096c76621fbf9c00\" tg-width=\"573\" tg-height=\"598\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Author</p><p>Despite both stocks seemingly being undervalued, when considering the weighted average price target, the two modelizations suggest that GOOG may offer a higher expected return, while META’s expected performance is seen 50% higher than the latest closing price, or at about $167. Both modelizations emphasize the still substantial expected return, also in the less optimistic scenario.</p><p>Investors should consider that those forecasts are based on a relatively conservative assumption in terms of perpetual growth rates, higher discount rates, and the recent trend in increased interest rates, which reflects the actual situation and forecast possible scenarios. An inversion of this trend would change this perspective and value the company at a higher price.</p><h2>Outlook and Risk discussion</h2><p>With both companies having tremendous possibilities to expand their powerful product ecosystem, it’s quite difficult to estimate their relevant total addressable market [TAM], as both peers have shown to be able to significantly grow their business either organically or through strategic acquisitions. Alphabet and Meta own strong brands with Google ranked in the fourth position in Interbrand&#39;s Best Global Brands, while Facebook is ranked 17th. Google’s essentially monopolistic position in search engines, its gigantic database with no equal data-harvesting worldwide, and the dominant position in the smartphone industry with Android estimated to hold a share of 72% in the mobile operating systems’ market, while Apple is progressively gaining market shares, are only some of the company’s major strengths. Despite this, with approximately 80% of its revenue originating from income related to advertising, the company’s revenue model is highly exposed to demand fluctuations, and with a recession likely seen coming in major global economies, dropping consumer spending and cuts in expenses on advertising, will likely have a tangible negative effect on the company’s results. Privacy concerns and regulatory pressure, as well as data security, are also possible future threats to Alphabet, Meta, and their peers, as the biggest strength for the companies, the massive data collection, is the most damaging weakness for their users. Among Alphabet’s most promising opportunities I do like to underscore the company’s positioning in terms of Artificial Intelligence [AI], Machine Learning [ML], and cloud-based business, as well as its expansion into the wearable OS market, and the great diversification opportunities the company could access or create through its colossal financial strength.</p><p>Meta is building a strong product portfolio including WhatsApp, Instagram, Messenger, Oculus, Workplace, Portal, and Calibra to diversify from Facebook and create expanded opportunities in strong secular trends. With over 45% of the world’s population using Facebook or its family products, the company holds an extremely powerful and irreplaceable position. But with approximately 98% of revenue originating from advertising, Meta is even more exposed to demand-driven fluctuations than Alphabet, and since the company is massively investing and focusing its resources on developing its visionary Metaverse, the diversification opportunities are, at least for the moment, seemingly more limited than Alphabet’s. Facebook has been losing popularity after facing backlash over its negligence in protecting the user’s privacy, while negative publicity, allegations of racial basis, or the platform’s inability to control the spread of fake and misleading information, may have cast a shadow on the company’s once brighter outlook. Despite this, Meta faces many opportunities in terms of possible monetization of its platforms through paid services such as news subscriptions, peer-to-peer marketplaces, online dating apps, e-wallets, or the development of other hardware devices, while its existing technologies could also be integrated or connected with a variety of other applications, such as e-commerce, gaming, or expanded into the digital creators&#39; space, or by offering remote-work solutions. In terms of future-oriented secular growth vectors, Meta has extensive expertise in AI and ML, which the company could use to penetrate markets such as the technologies used for autonomous vehicles, where other competitors like Google, Amazon, and Apple are already massively investing.</p><p>Alphabet is rated with a Strong Buy rating from Seeking Alpha’s Quant Rating since August 25, 2022, and holds the first two positions in the Interactive Media and Services industry through its two share classes.</p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5b711fdd651560e12eb413b5c4321377\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"183\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>SeekingAlpha.com</p><p>Meta has instead been qualified as a Hold position since the end of 2021 and is ranked 22 out of 62 in the relevant industry. Both companies are without seen excelling in terms of profitability, while growth and valuation seem to be less favorable factors in the actual uncertain market environment, with Meta also significantly suffering from the negative momentum in its more recent price action.</p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c27a653d50c6e2a961374aeaa87c1171\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"183\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>SeekingAlpha.com</p><h2>The Verdict: Which stock is the better buy?</h2><p>The two analyzed companies are two global leaders in the technology services industry, with their respective strengths and weaknesses, but also offering inherent opportunities with their correlated risks. From an investor&#39;s point of view, it’s important to consider the company’s ability to create value for its shareholders, while minimizing the risks. Past performance is not a guarantee for future results, and despite GOOG overall performing significantly better than META in the past few years, the latter is seemingly offering great opportunities ahead, and my rather conservative modelization hints at the significant undervaluation of both stocks. Both companies have strong financials and report high profitability, but Alphabet is seemingly on a better path, as the company reported an overall better trend and is expected to optimize its profitability even further, while also owning a massive idling cash position that offers incredibly many options, and could even further increase the company’s already superior capital allocation efficiency. </p><p>Meta’s huge bet on the Metaverse may lead to great success, but it also bears a major risk, in times when the company’s great dependency on advertising spending is under pressure. While both companies’ Achilles heel is seemingly their dependency on spending in digital advertising, Meta is more reliant on it than Alphabet, and may also have shown less intention to diversify its revenue streams, when compared to its colossal peers. </p><p>I consider both companies as being a buy position for long-term oriented investors, but overall in this comparative analysis, I chose Alphabet as my favorite stock pick, for its preeminent opportunities and lower risk profile, while seemingly also offering the greater potential in its stock performance, when considering all three forecasted scenarios.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alphabet Vs. Meta Platforms: Which Stock Is The Better Investment?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlphabet Vs. Meta Platforms: Which Stock Is The Better Investment?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-20 08:53 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4559206-alphabet-vs-meta-platforms-which-stock-is-the-better-investment><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryAlphabet and Meta are two giants in highly competitive markets, both with their specific risk profiles, while also offering massive opportunities to investors.GOOG reported a superior ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4559206-alphabet-vs-meta-platforms-which-stock-is-the-better-investment\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"META":"Meta Platforms, Inc.","GOOGL":"谷歌A","GOOG":"谷歌"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4559206-alphabet-vs-meta-platforms-which-stock-is-the-better-investment","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2284785084","content_text":"SummaryAlphabet and Meta are two giants in highly competitive markets, both with their specific risk profiles, while also offering massive opportunities to investors.GOOG reported a superior performance over the past years, while both stocks may offer great opportunities for investors, the ability to achieve the targets and the optionality will be determinant.Both companies share the same Achilles heel, in an industry that is forecasted to grow substantially over the next decade, while it also exposes their revenue stream to demand-driven fluctuations.This article focuses on long-term investment opportunities based on in-depth fundamental analysis and I offer two valuation models structured around multiple outcome scenarios.The technology sector is among the worst performers in the past year, losing over 30% of its value. While many stocks may have been excessively hyped during the massive rebound out of the pandemic-lows, others have been under pressure because of rising inflation, a higher cost of capital, bottlenecks among the supply chains, as well as headwinds caused by pandemic-related restrictions, geo-political tensions, and the ongoing war in Ukraine. Companies in the Information technology services industry could perform better from a yearly perspective but lately have been struggling to rebound, while others, such as the semiconductor and the solar industries, have recently been leading the sector.finvizfinvizThe two selected companies are two global giants in their industry, with Alphabet (NASDAQ:NASDAQ:GOOG) (NASDAQ:GOOGL) having nearly a monopoly in the online search field, as Google processes over 92% of online search volume worldwide, and Meta Platforms (NASDAQ:NASDAQ:META) counting 3.71B monthly users in Q3 2022, among the company’s core products, Facebook, WhatsApp, Instagram, or Messenger, up 4% Year-over-Year [YoY].Author, using TIKRWhile the two companies once were identified as a digital duopoly, because of their massive market share in global online advertising, more recently, companies such as Amazon.com (NASDAQ:AMZN), Alibaba (NYSE:BABA), Tencent (OTCX:OTCPK:TCEHY), or ByteDance through their social media TikTok, have penetrated the market and contributed to the erosion of this duopoly.Author, using data from Insider Intelligence, Research and Markets, Company filingsThe global IT Services market is projected to grow at a 9.5% Compound Annual Growth Rate [CAGR] through 2031, while the global digital advertising market is forecasted to grow even faster at a 13.9% CAGR, reaching a size of $1.79T through 2031. The sustained market growth is driven by the broader penetration of internet users, technological advancement, rising spending in digital advertising, and the expanding popularity of mobile phones and digital media across the world, while platforms such as in-app, mobile ads, connected TV or social media advertising are increasingly important vectors in the industry.An in-depth company comparisonAuthor, using data from S&P Capital IQThe financial comparison highlights the major relative strengths and weaknesses of the two giants. In terms of their Return on Invested Capital [ROIC], a very important metric I consider when pondering an investment decision, as a company must be able to consistently create value to be a sustainable investment, Alphabet seems to gradually increase its capital allocation efficiency over the past few years. Although Meta has been more efficient in the past, the metric has progressively dropped, until recently significantly falling under Alphabet’s level. The latter seems to have a more efficient core business, but Meta has seemingly more efficient cash management, observed in the relatively narrow spread between their ROIC and the Return on Capital Employed [ROCE], while Alphabet could significantly increase its capital allocation efficiency as the company reported a massive cash position of over $116B.Author, using data from S&P Capital IQAlthough Meta reports by far the higher gross margin, this metric’s growth is seemingly dropping from 21.94% CAGR in the past 5 years to 17.88% CAGR in the past 3 years. While Alphabet reported a lower actual value, the company saw this metric slightly increase from 19.38% CAGR to 20.72% CAGR, over the same time window. Meta’s main source of revenue began faltering as the widely popular video app TikTok massively increased its audience, and other companies increased their market share in the online advertising space, while Apple’s (NASDAQ:AAPL) shift to a strict app tracking transparency privacy policy, requiring the user’s approval for apps to be able to track their data, had an estimated two-digit billion impact on Meta’s revenue. On the operational side, the companies have an even more divergent profile, as Alphabet demonstrated being capable of significantly increasing its operational profitability from 22.13% CAGR in the past 5 years, to 29.80% CAGR over the past 3 years, while Meta’s operating margin growth is decelerating from 11.96% CAGR to 7.03% CAGR over the same period. Meta is massively investing in the development of the Metaverse while rising doubts emerge concerning the company’s ability to reach its ambitious goals in a concept that only a few people understand, while at the same time the company struggles with a weakening advertising business.Author, using data from S&P Capital IQMeta reportedly has a more cash-rich business than the analyzed peer, while none of them is paying a dividend, both companies spend billions in share-repurchase programs. Alphabet announced its biggest share-buyback program of over $70B earlier this year, a major increase after the authorized buyback of $50B in 2021 and $25B in 2019. Meta has reportedly spent $91B to repurchase 377M stocks at an average price of $242, between 2017 and September 2022, a price that seems steep, considering that the actual share price is valued at -53% of that price. Meta also reports significantly higher EPS, while in those terms, Alphabet has had a less negative development over the most recent quarters and reported significantly higher growth over the past few years. Both companies are relying on debt for sustaining their business, increasing significantly their debt reliance since 2019, as the historically low-interest rates pushed many companies to consider more debt in their financing strategy. That said, both companies could repay the entirety of their debt exposure as shown in their net debt position and low leverage ratio.The stocks’ performanceConsidering both stocks’ performance in the past 5 years, GOOG reported a solid performance of 93.44%, while META performed significantly worse, losing 37.65% over the analyzed period. The most significant references show a mixed picture, with the S&P 500 (SP500) returning approximately 53%, and the Nasdaq technology index, tracked by the Invesco QQQ ETF (QQQ) marked over 85% performance, while more industry-focused references, such as the Communication Services Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLC) performed flat, while the Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLK) is the strongest outperformer of the analyzed references.Author, using SeekingAlpha.comWhile both stocks display periods of relative strength, GOOG reported massive resilience after every major drop, while META has significantly suffered after its All-Time-High [ATH] in September 2021, leading to massive value destruction for its investors, being priced at levels not seen since 2016. In the next section, I will show how the next few years are forecasted to play out for both companies and if the actual stock price may offer an interesting opportunity, while also assessing the possible risks in different scenarios.ValuationTo determine the actual fair value for both company's stock prices, I rely on the following Discounted Cash Flow [DCF] model, which extends over a forecast period of 5 years with 3 different sets of assumptions ranging from a more conservative to a more optimistic scenario, based on the metrics determining the WACC and the terminal value. As forecasted by the street consensus, Alphabet is anticipated to generate a massive 17.27% Free Cash Flow [FCF] CAGR over the coming 5 years, with its operating and net profitability increasing at respectively 12.73% and 13.80% CAGR, while its revenue is projected to expand at solid 10.98%, above the expected growth in the relevant industries.Author, using data from S&P Capital IQThe valuation takes into account a tighter monetary policy, which will undeniably be a reality in many economies worldwide in the coming years and lead to a higher weighted average cost of capital.AuthorI compute my opinion in terms of likelihood for the three different scenarios, and I, therefore, consider the stock to be significantly undervalued with a weighted average price target with about 54% upside potential at $152.Meta is forecasted to expand slower, with its sales growing at 9.20% CAGR over the next 5 years, and its operating and net profit margins are expected to grow between 8.5% and 8.9%, in terms of FCF the company is anticipated to substantially increase its metric, with 17.61% CAGR through 2026.Author, using data from S&P Capital IQI then consider the same three scenarios affected by the company’s fundamentals and by the exogenous factors.AuthorDespite both stocks seemingly being undervalued, when considering the weighted average price target, the two modelizations suggest that GOOG may offer a higher expected return, while META’s expected performance is seen 50% higher than the latest closing price, or at about $167. Both modelizations emphasize the still substantial expected return, also in the less optimistic scenario.Investors should consider that those forecasts are based on a relatively conservative assumption in terms of perpetual growth rates, higher discount rates, and the recent trend in increased interest rates, which reflects the actual situation and forecast possible scenarios. An inversion of this trend would change this perspective and value the company at a higher price.Outlook and Risk discussionWith both companies having tremendous possibilities to expand their powerful product ecosystem, it’s quite difficult to estimate their relevant total addressable market [TAM], as both peers have shown to be able to significantly grow their business either organically or through strategic acquisitions. Alphabet and Meta own strong brands with Google ranked in the fourth position in Interbrand's Best Global Brands, while Facebook is ranked 17th. Google’s essentially monopolistic position in search engines, its gigantic database with no equal data-harvesting worldwide, and the dominant position in the smartphone industry with Android estimated to hold a share of 72% in the mobile operating systems’ market, while Apple is progressively gaining market shares, are only some of the company’s major strengths. Despite this, with approximately 80% of its revenue originating from income related to advertising, the company’s revenue model is highly exposed to demand fluctuations, and with a recession likely seen coming in major global economies, dropping consumer spending and cuts in expenses on advertising, will likely have a tangible negative effect on the company’s results. Privacy concerns and regulatory pressure, as well as data security, are also possible future threats to Alphabet, Meta, and their peers, as the biggest strength for the companies, the massive data collection, is the most damaging weakness for their users. Among Alphabet’s most promising opportunities I do like to underscore the company’s positioning in terms of Artificial Intelligence [AI], Machine Learning [ML], and cloud-based business, as well as its expansion into the wearable OS market, and the great diversification opportunities the company could access or create through its colossal financial strength.Meta is building a strong product portfolio including WhatsApp, Instagram, Messenger, Oculus, Workplace, Portal, and Calibra to diversify from Facebook and create expanded opportunities in strong secular trends. With over 45% of the world’s population using Facebook or its family products, the company holds an extremely powerful and irreplaceable position. But with approximately 98% of revenue originating from advertising, Meta is even more exposed to demand-driven fluctuations than Alphabet, and since the company is massively investing and focusing its resources on developing its visionary Metaverse, the diversification opportunities are, at least for the moment, seemingly more limited than Alphabet’s. Facebook has been losing popularity after facing backlash over its negligence in protecting the user’s privacy, while negative publicity, allegations of racial basis, or the platform’s inability to control the spread of fake and misleading information, may have cast a shadow on the company’s once brighter outlook. Despite this, Meta faces many opportunities in terms of possible monetization of its platforms through paid services such as news subscriptions, peer-to-peer marketplaces, online dating apps, e-wallets, or the development of other hardware devices, while its existing technologies could also be integrated or connected with a variety of other applications, such as e-commerce, gaming, or expanded into the digital creators' space, or by offering remote-work solutions. In terms of future-oriented secular growth vectors, Meta has extensive expertise in AI and ML, which the company could use to penetrate markets such as the technologies used for autonomous vehicles, where other competitors like Google, Amazon, and Apple are already massively investing.Alphabet is rated with a Strong Buy rating from Seeking Alpha’s Quant Rating since August 25, 2022, and holds the first two positions in the Interactive Media and Services industry through its two share classes.SeekingAlpha.comMeta has instead been qualified as a Hold position since the end of 2021 and is ranked 22 out of 62 in the relevant industry. Both companies are without seen excelling in terms of profitability, while growth and valuation seem to be less favorable factors in the actual uncertain market environment, with Meta also significantly suffering from the negative momentum in its more recent price action.SeekingAlpha.comThe Verdict: Which stock is the better buy?The two analyzed companies are two global leaders in the technology services industry, with their respective strengths and weaknesses, but also offering inherent opportunities with their correlated risks. From an investor's point of view, it’s important to consider the company’s ability to create value for its shareholders, while minimizing the risks. Past performance is not a guarantee for future results, and despite GOOG overall performing significantly better than META in the past few years, the latter is seemingly offering great opportunities ahead, and my rather conservative modelization hints at the significant undervaluation of both stocks. Both companies have strong financials and report high profitability, but Alphabet is seemingly on a better path, as the company reported an overall better trend and is expected to optimize its profitability even further, while also owning a massive idling cash position that offers incredibly many options, and could even further increase the company’s already superior capital allocation efficiency. Meta’s huge bet on the Metaverse may lead to great success, but it also bears a major risk, in times when the company’s great dependency on advertising spending is under pressure. While both companies’ Achilles heel is seemingly their dependency on spending in digital advertising, Meta is more reliant on it than Alphabet, and may also have shown less intention to diversify its revenue streams, when compared to its colossal peers. I consider both companies as being a buy position for long-term oriented investors, but overall in this comparative analysis, I chose Alphabet as my favorite stock pick, for its preeminent opportunities and lower risk profile, while seemingly also offering the greater potential in its stock performance, when considering all three forecasted scenarios.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":268,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9982141043,"gmtCreate":1667129754482,"gmtModify":1676537864914,"author":{"id":"4108629412181280","authorId":"4108629412181280","name":"tplian","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7ecc0302d7a6f2cd28a1199a63498645","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4108629412181280","authorIdStr":"4108629412181280"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9982141043","repostId":"1195247398","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":101,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9912148378,"gmtCreate":1664779885294,"gmtModify":1676537507267,"author":{"id":"4108629412181280","authorId":"4108629412181280","name":"tplian","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7ecc0302d7a6f2cd28a1199a63498645","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4108629412181280","authorIdStr":"4108629412181280"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9912148378","repostId":"1181872738","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1181872738","pubTimestamp":1664751653,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1181872738?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-03 07:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Q4 Kicks off Amid Volatility, Jobs Report in Focus: What to Know This Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1181872738","media":"Yahoo Finance","summary":"The latest monthly jobs report is this week’s headline event as battered and bruised investors barre","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The latest monthly jobs report is this week’s headline event as battered and bruised investors barrel into a new month and quarter writhing from a vicious downtrend that has plagued the year.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e13c744516b1471c295a870f510c9ac1\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1920\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>On Friday, the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq Composite closed out a three-quarter losing streak for the first time since the 2008 Global Financial Crisis. The Dow Jones Industrial Average also posted a third-straight losing quarter, its first such time since 2015.</p><p>At 269 days and counting, the benchmark S&amp;P 500 is now in its longest correction, peak to trough, since March 2009, according to figures from Compound Advisors’ Charlie Bilello. The current 8-month bear market is the longest since 2007-2009’s downturn, with the average length of a bear market since 1929 standing at 14 months.</p><p>A survey by the American Association of Individual Investors showed 60% of retail investors hold a bearish view of the stock market, the highest level since 2008 and the eighth most pessimistic reading in the 35 years the survey has been conducted.</p><p>The Labor Department’s September employment data is set for release at 8:30 a.m. ET on Friday morning. Economists expect nonfarm payrolls rose by 250,000 last month, per consensus estimates from Bloomberg. If realized, the figure would mark an anticipated moderation for Federal Reserve policymakers trying to tamp down the labor market in their battle against inflation – but not enough for officials to scale back on their rate hiking plans.</p><p>Strong labor market readings have stoked worries that Fed officials will stay on path with aggressive rate hikes and over tighten monetary conditions. And while strategists anticipated the impact of rate hikes showing up in employment data, figures have so far surprised to the upside. On Thursday, Labor Department data showed initial jobless claims slid to 193,000, the lowest since April, for the week that ended on Sept. 24.</p><p>Analysts at Bank of America said in a Friday note they expect strong payroll growth to continue, with indicators of labor market activity — like initial jobless claims and the Conference Board&#39;s labor market differential — that feed into the institutions projections remaining red-hot since August’s report.</p><p>“Investors are hunting for confirmation bias that inflation is abating but strong jobs data has dashed all hopes,” Thornburg Investment Management portfolio manager Sean Sun said in emailed commentary.</p><p>“While there are some signs of disinflation out there, the strong jobless claims data is as if the Fed is trying to step on the brakes of a car that still hurtling downhill at a steep angle,” Sun added. “Investors shouldn&#39;t ask if the Fed will pivot, but rather how deep into the recession we&#39;ll find ourselves before they finally act.”</p><p>Other labor market readings due out through Friday include the ADP’s employment report, which measures levels of non-farm private employment, the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS), and the Challenger Job-Cut report, which offers information on the number of tracked corporate layoffs by industry and region.</p><p>Elsewhere in economic releases on the docket this week are ISM manufacturing and services data, construction spending figures, and a reading on total vehicle sales.</p><p>The corporate calendar will be light before a new earnings season gets underway, but some notable names on the docket include Constellation Brands (STZ), Levi Strauss (LEVI), and McCormick (MKC).</p><p>After a brutal September — worse for the Dow than even September 2008 — some Wall Street optimists look ahead to October, which based on seasonal trends has been dubbed a “bear-market killer” due to historically strong returns, especially in midterm election years. Every time the S&amp;P 500 has dropped 7% or more in September, stocks have done well in October, Carson Group’s Ryan Detrick noted.</p><p>However, even if markets get a reprieve, a high-stakes earnings season is likely to prove any bounce fleeting, with analysts rushing to slash their year-end forecasts amid worsening fundamentals tied to persistent inflation, rising interest rates, and slowing growth.</p><p>“Now I think for us it’s not about inflation and central banks; it’s about earnings,” Luca Paolini, chief strategist at Pictet Asset Management, told Yahoo Finance Live. “The focus will be on earnings because we’re going from a moderation shock, with higher interest rates, to a growth shock. This is where we feel more worried, and next earnings season is going to be really critical.”</p><p>—</p><p>Economic Calendar</p><p>Monday: S&amp;P Global U.S. Manufacturing PMI, September final (51.8 expected, 51.8 during prior month); Construction Spending, month-over-month, August (-0.2% expected, -0.4% during prior month); ISM Manufacturing, September (52.1 expected, 52.8 during prior month); ISM Prices Paid, September (52.0 expected, 52.5 prior month); ISM New Orders, September (50.5 expected, 51.3 during prior month); ISM Employment, September (53.0 expected, 54.2 during prior month); WARDS Total Vehicle Sales, September (13.50 million expected, 13.18 million prior month)</p><p>Tuesday: Factory Orders Excluding Transportation, August (0.2% expected, -1.0% during prior month); Factory Orders, August (0.2 expected, -1.1% during prior month); Durable Goods Orders, August final (-0.2% during prior month); Durables Excluding Transportation, August final (0.2% during prior month); Non-defense Capital Goods Orders Excluding aircraft, August final (1.3% during prior month); Non-defense Capital Goods Shipments Excluding Aircraft, August final (0.3% during prior month); JOLTS Job Openings, August (11.075 million expected, 11.239 million during prior month)</p><p>Wednesday: MBA Mortgage Applications, week ended Sep. 30 (-3.7% during prior week); ADP Employment Change, September (200,000 expected, 132,000 during prior month); Trade Balance, August (-$68.0 billion expected, -$70.7 billion during prior month); S&amp;P Global U.S. Services PMI, September final (49.2 expected, 49.2 during prior month); S&amp;P Global U.S. Composite PMI, September final (49.3 expected, 49.3 during prior month); ISM Services Index, September (56.0 expected, 56.9 during prior month)</p><p>Thursday: Challenger Job Cuts, year-over-year, September (30.3% during prior month); Initial Jobless Claims, week ended Oct. 1 (203,000 expected, 193,000 during prior week); Continuing Claims, week ended Sep. 24 (1.387 million expected, 1.347 million during prior week)</p><p>Friday: Two-Month Payroll Net Revision, September (-107,000 prior); Change in Nonfarm Payrolls, September (250,000 expected, 315,000 during prior month); Change in Private Payrolls, September (275,000 expected, 308,000 during prior month); Change in Manufacturing Payrolls, September (20,000 expected, 22,000 during prior month); Unemployment Rate, September (3.7% expected, 3.7% during prior month); Average Hourly Earnings, month-over-month, September (0.3% expected, 0.3% during prior month); Average Hourly Earnings, year-over-year, September (5.1% expected, 5.2% prior month); Average Weekly Hours All Employees, September (34.5 expected, 34.5 during prior month); Labor Force Participation Rate, September (62.4% expected, 62.4% during prior month); Underemployment Rate, September (7.0% prior month); Wholesale Inventories, month-over-month, August final (1.3% expected, 1.3% during prior month); Wholesale Trade Sales, month-over-month, August (0.5% expected, -1.4% during prior month)</p><p>—</p><p>Earnings Calendar</p><p>Monday: No notable reports scheduled for release.</p><p>Tuesday: Acuity Brands (AYI)</p><p>Wednesday: Helen of Troy (HELE)</p><p>Thursday: AngioDynamics (ANGO), Conagra (CAG), Constellation Brands (STZ), Levi Strauss (LEVI), McCormick (MKC)</p><p>Friday: Tilray (TLRY)</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Q4 Kicks off Amid Volatility, Jobs Report in Focus: What to Know This Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nQ4 Kicks off Amid Volatility, Jobs Report in Focus: What to Know This Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-03 07:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/stock-market-week-ahead-september-jobs-report-volatility-economy-145141301.html><strong>Yahoo Finance</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The latest monthly jobs report is this week’s headline event as battered and bruised investors barrel into a new month and quarter writhing from a vicious downtrend that has plagued the year.On Friday...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/stock-market-week-ahead-september-jobs-report-volatility-economy-145141301.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/stock-market-week-ahead-september-jobs-report-volatility-economy-145141301.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1181872738","content_text":"The latest monthly jobs report is this week’s headline event as battered and bruised investors barrel into a new month and quarter writhing from a vicious downtrend that has plagued the year.On Friday, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite closed out a three-quarter losing streak for the first time since the 2008 Global Financial Crisis. The Dow Jones Industrial Average also posted a third-straight losing quarter, its first such time since 2015.At 269 days and counting, the benchmark S&P 500 is now in its longest correction, peak to trough, since March 2009, according to figures from Compound Advisors’ Charlie Bilello. The current 8-month bear market is the longest since 2007-2009’s downturn, with the average length of a bear market since 1929 standing at 14 months.A survey by the American Association of Individual Investors showed 60% of retail investors hold a bearish view of the stock market, the highest level since 2008 and the eighth most pessimistic reading in the 35 years the survey has been conducted.The Labor Department’s September employment data is set for release at 8:30 a.m. ET on Friday morning. Economists expect nonfarm payrolls rose by 250,000 last month, per consensus estimates from Bloomberg. If realized, the figure would mark an anticipated moderation for Federal Reserve policymakers trying to tamp down the labor market in their battle against inflation – but not enough for officials to scale back on their rate hiking plans.Strong labor market readings have stoked worries that Fed officials will stay on path with aggressive rate hikes and over tighten monetary conditions. And while strategists anticipated the impact of rate hikes showing up in employment data, figures have so far surprised to the upside. On Thursday, Labor Department data showed initial jobless claims slid to 193,000, the lowest since April, for the week that ended on Sept. 24.Analysts at Bank of America said in a Friday note they expect strong payroll growth to continue, with indicators of labor market activity — like initial jobless claims and the Conference Board's labor market differential — that feed into the institutions projections remaining red-hot since August’s report.“Investors are hunting for confirmation bias that inflation is abating but strong jobs data has dashed all hopes,” Thornburg Investment Management portfolio manager Sean Sun said in emailed commentary.“While there are some signs of disinflation out there, the strong jobless claims data is as if the Fed is trying to step on the brakes of a car that still hurtling downhill at a steep angle,” Sun added. “Investors shouldn't ask if the Fed will pivot, but rather how deep into the recession we'll find ourselves before they finally act.”Other labor market readings due out through Friday include the ADP’s employment report, which measures levels of non-farm private employment, the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS), and the Challenger Job-Cut report, which offers information on the number of tracked corporate layoffs by industry and region.Elsewhere in economic releases on the docket this week are ISM manufacturing and services data, construction spending figures, and a reading on total vehicle sales.The corporate calendar will be light before a new earnings season gets underway, but some notable names on the docket include Constellation Brands (STZ), Levi Strauss (LEVI), and McCormick (MKC).After a brutal September — worse for the Dow than even September 2008 — some Wall Street optimists look ahead to October, which based on seasonal trends has been dubbed a “bear-market killer” due to historically strong returns, especially in midterm election years. Every time the S&P 500 has dropped 7% or more in September, stocks have done well in October, Carson Group’s Ryan Detrick noted.However, even if markets get a reprieve, a high-stakes earnings season is likely to prove any bounce fleeting, with analysts rushing to slash their year-end forecasts amid worsening fundamentals tied to persistent inflation, rising interest rates, and slowing growth.“Now I think for us it’s not about inflation and central banks; it’s about earnings,” Luca Paolini, chief strategist at Pictet Asset Management, told Yahoo Finance Live. “The focus will be on earnings because we’re going from a moderation shock, with higher interest rates, to a growth shock. This is where we feel more worried, and next earnings season is going to be really critical.”—Economic CalendarMonday: S&P Global U.S. Manufacturing PMI, September final (51.8 expected, 51.8 during prior month); Construction Spending, month-over-month, August (-0.2% expected, -0.4% during prior month); ISM Manufacturing, September (52.1 expected, 52.8 during prior month); ISM Prices Paid, September (52.0 expected, 52.5 prior month); ISM New Orders, September (50.5 expected, 51.3 during prior month); ISM Employment, September (53.0 expected, 54.2 during prior month); WARDS Total Vehicle Sales, September (13.50 million expected, 13.18 million prior month)Tuesday: Factory Orders Excluding Transportation, August (0.2% expected, -1.0% during prior month); Factory Orders, August (0.2 expected, -1.1% during prior month); Durable Goods Orders, August final (-0.2% during prior month); Durables Excluding Transportation, August final (0.2% during prior month); Non-defense Capital Goods Orders Excluding aircraft, August final (1.3% during prior month); Non-defense Capital Goods Shipments Excluding Aircraft, August final (0.3% during prior month); JOLTS Job Openings, August (11.075 million expected, 11.239 million during prior month)Wednesday: MBA Mortgage Applications, week ended Sep. 30 (-3.7% during prior week); ADP Employment Change, September (200,000 expected, 132,000 during prior month); Trade Balance, August (-$68.0 billion expected, -$70.7 billion during prior month); S&P Global U.S. Services PMI, September final (49.2 expected, 49.2 during prior month); S&P Global U.S. Composite PMI, September final (49.3 expected, 49.3 during prior month); ISM Services Index, September (56.0 expected, 56.9 during prior month)Thursday: Challenger Job Cuts, year-over-year, September (30.3% during prior month); Initial Jobless Claims, week ended Oct. 1 (203,000 expected, 193,000 during prior week); Continuing Claims, week ended Sep. 24 (1.387 million expected, 1.347 million during prior week)Friday: Two-Month Payroll Net Revision, September (-107,000 prior); Change in Nonfarm Payrolls, September (250,000 expected, 315,000 during prior month); Change in Private Payrolls, September (275,000 expected, 308,000 during prior month); Change in Manufacturing Payrolls, September (20,000 expected, 22,000 during prior month); Unemployment Rate, September (3.7% expected, 3.7% during prior month); Average Hourly Earnings, month-over-month, September (0.3% expected, 0.3% during prior month); Average Hourly Earnings, year-over-year, September (5.1% expected, 5.2% prior month); Average Weekly Hours All Employees, September (34.5 expected, 34.5 during prior month); Labor Force Participation Rate, September (62.4% expected, 62.4% during prior month); Underemployment Rate, September (7.0% prior month); Wholesale Inventories, month-over-month, August final (1.3% expected, 1.3% during prior month); Wholesale Trade Sales, month-over-month, August (0.5% expected, -1.4% during prior month)—Earnings CalendarMonday: No notable reports scheduled for release.Tuesday: Acuity Brands (AYI)Wednesday: Helen of Troy (HELE)Thursday: AngioDynamics (ANGO), Conagra (CAG), Constellation Brands (STZ), Levi Strauss (LEVI), McCormick (MKC)Friday: Tilray (TLRY)","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":245,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9935788715,"gmtCreate":1663137360637,"gmtModify":1676537212390,"author":{"id":"4108629412181280","authorId":"4108629412181280","name":"tplian","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7ecc0302d7a6f2cd28a1199a63498645","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4108629412181280","authorIdStr":"4108629412181280"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9935788715","repostId":"1138060784","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1138060784","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"1012688067","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1663134739,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1138060784?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-14 13:52","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Biggest Fed Rate Hike in 40 Years? It Could Be Coming Next Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1138060784","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Desperate times call for desperate measures, and times are, arguably, increasingly desperate. The pe","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Desperate times call for desperate measures, and times are, arguably, increasingly desperate. The persistence of high inflation might force the Federal Reserve to resort to the biggest increase in a key U.S. interest rate in more than 40 years.</p><p>After another dismal U.S. inflation report, economists at the brokerage Nomura Securities on Tuesday became the first on Wall Street to predict a full-percentage-point increase in the Fed’s benchmark short-term rate.</p><p>“We continue to believe markets underappreciate just how entrenched U.S. inflation has become and the magnitude of response that will likely be required from the Fed to dislodge it,” the economists at Nomura wrote in a report to clients.</p><p>The last time the Fed made such a drastic move was in the early 1980s — another period marked by sky-high inflation.</p><p>At each of the last two meetings, the monetary-policy-setting Federal Open Market Committee raised the targeted rate by 0.75 point.</p><p>In August, the consumer price index rose a scant 0.1%, largely because of another big drop in energy prices. And the annual pace of inflation slowed a bit to 8.3% from 8.5%.</p><p>But that was virtually all of the good news. The cost of almost everything rose last month, including food, rent, clothes, furniture, cars, medical care and so forth.</p><p>The result: Another price measure viewed by the Fed as a better indicator of future inflation trends rose sharply in August and hit the highest yearly rate in five months.</p><p>The so-called core rate of consumer inflation climbed to a yearly pace of 6.3% in August from 5.9% in the prior month, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics data.</p><p>The backup in the core rate is a call to bolder action, Nomura said. “We believe it is increasingly clear that a more aggressive path of interest-rate hikes will be needed to combat increasingly entrenched inflation stemming from an overheating labor market, unsustainably strong wage growth and higher inflation expectations,” the firm’s analysts wrote.</p><p>The federal funds rate, the central bank’s short-term rate, now hovers in a range of 2.25% to 2.5%. The cost of most consumer and business loans are tied to that rate.</p><p>Nomura predicts the rate will be increased to a range of 3.25% to 3.5% at the Fed’s policy meeting next week, and the Fed, in Nomura’s view, will ultimately push that key rate as high as 4.75% in 2023.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Biggest Fed Rate Hike in 40 Years? It Could Be Coming Next Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Biggest Fed Rate Hike in 40 Years? It Could Be Coming Next Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1012688067\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-09-14 13:52</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Desperate times call for desperate measures, and times are, arguably, increasingly desperate. The persistence of high inflation might force the Federal Reserve to resort to the biggest increase in a key U.S. interest rate in more than 40 years.</p><p>After another dismal U.S. inflation report, economists at the brokerage Nomura Securities on Tuesday became the first on Wall Street to predict a full-percentage-point increase in the Fed’s benchmark short-term rate.</p><p>“We continue to believe markets underappreciate just how entrenched U.S. inflation has become and the magnitude of response that will likely be required from the Fed to dislodge it,” the economists at Nomura wrote in a report to clients.</p><p>The last time the Fed made such a drastic move was in the early 1980s — another period marked by sky-high inflation.</p><p>At each of the last two meetings, the monetary-policy-setting Federal Open Market Committee raised the targeted rate by 0.75 point.</p><p>In August, the consumer price index rose a scant 0.1%, largely because of another big drop in energy prices. And the annual pace of inflation slowed a bit to 8.3% from 8.5%.</p><p>But that was virtually all of the good news. The cost of almost everything rose last month, including food, rent, clothes, furniture, cars, medical care and so forth.</p><p>The result: Another price measure viewed by the Fed as a better indicator of future inflation trends rose sharply in August and hit the highest yearly rate in five months.</p><p>The so-called core rate of consumer inflation climbed to a yearly pace of 6.3% in August from 5.9% in the prior month, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics data.</p><p>The backup in the core rate is a call to bolder action, Nomura said. “We believe it is increasingly clear that a more aggressive path of interest-rate hikes will be needed to combat increasingly entrenched inflation stemming from an overheating labor market, unsustainably strong wage growth and higher inflation expectations,” the firm’s analysts wrote.</p><p>The federal funds rate, the central bank’s short-term rate, now hovers in a range of 2.25% to 2.5%. The cost of most consumer and business loans are tied to that rate.</p><p>Nomura predicts the rate will be increased to a range of 3.25% to 3.5% at the Fed’s policy meeting next week, and the Fed, in Nomura’s view, will ultimately push that key rate as high as 4.75% in 2023.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1138060784","content_text":"Desperate times call for desperate measures, and times are, arguably, increasingly desperate. The persistence of high inflation might force the Federal Reserve to resort to the biggest increase in a key U.S. interest rate in more than 40 years.After another dismal U.S. inflation report, economists at the brokerage Nomura Securities on Tuesday became the first on Wall Street to predict a full-percentage-point increase in the Fed’s benchmark short-term rate.“We continue to believe markets underappreciate just how entrenched U.S. inflation has become and the magnitude of response that will likely be required from the Fed to dislodge it,” the economists at Nomura wrote in a report to clients.The last time the Fed made such a drastic move was in the early 1980s — another period marked by sky-high inflation.At each of the last two meetings, the monetary-policy-setting Federal Open Market Committee raised the targeted rate by 0.75 point.In August, the consumer price index rose a scant 0.1%, largely because of another big drop in energy prices. And the annual pace of inflation slowed a bit to 8.3% from 8.5%.But that was virtually all of the good news. The cost of almost everything rose last month, including food, rent, clothes, furniture, cars, medical care and so forth.The result: Another price measure viewed by the Fed as a better indicator of future inflation trends rose sharply in August and hit the highest yearly rate in five months.The so-called core rate of consumer inflation climbed to a yearly pace of 6.3% in August from 5.9% in the prior month, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics data.The backup in the core rate is a call to bolder action, Nomura said. “We believe it is increasingly clear that a more aggressive path of interest-rate hikes will be needed to combat increasingly entrenched inflation stemming from an overheating labor market, unsustainably strong wage growth and higher inflation expectations,” the firm’s analysts wrote.The federal funds rate, the central bank’s short-term rate, now hovers in a range of 2.25% to 2.5%. The cost of most consumer and business loans are tied to that rate.Nomura predicts the rate will be increased to a range of 3.25% to 3.5% at the Fed’s policy meeting next week, and the Fed, in Nomura’s view, will ultimately push that key rate as high as 4.75% in 2023.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":28,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9927364422,"gmtCreate":1672402125066,"gmtModify":1676538685758,"author":{"id":"4108629412181280","authorId":"4108629412181280","name":"tplian","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7ecc0302d7a6f2cd28a1199a63498645","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4108629412181280","authorIdStr":"4108629412181280"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9927364422","repostId":"2295798099","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":391,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9929057229,"gmtCreate":1670570123861,"gmtModify":1676538396239,"author":{"id":"4108629412181280","authorId":"4108629412181280","name":"tplian","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7ecc0302d7a6f2cd28a1199a63498645","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4108629412181280","authorIdStr":"4108629412181280"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9929057229","repostId":"2289465883","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":697,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9966919408,"gmtCreate":1669375754604,"gmtModify":1676538190831,"author":{"id":"4108629412181280","authorId":"4108629412181280","name":"tplian","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7ecc0302d7a6f2cd28a1199a63498645","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4108629412181280","authorIdStr":"4108629412181280"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9966919408","repostId":"1179538212","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":498,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9960246195,"gmtCreate":1668185087717,"gmtModify":1676538026111,"author":{"id":"4108629412181280","authorId":"4108629412181280","name":"tplian","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7ecc0302d7a6f2cd28a1199a63498645","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4108629412181280","authorIdStr":"4108629412181280"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9960246195","repostId":"1155100032","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":143,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}