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Keith Wong
2022-08-19
Bullish already. Thanks for the insight
How to Make 300% in the Stock Market Without Really Trying
Keith Wong
2022-08-12
Finally there are news
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Thanks for the insight","listText":"Bullish already. Thanks for the insight","text":"Bullish already. Thanks for the insight","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9991266630","repostId":"2259268147","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2259268147","pubTimestamp":1660443357,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2259268147?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-08-14 10:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"How to Make 300% in the Stock Market Without Really Trying","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2259268147","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"In 2012, I made 300% returns in the stock market without really trying.It happened again in 2020…And","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7cec91627f47c890c9b15078a688d4f9\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"432\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>In 2012, I made 300% returns in the stock market without really trying.</p><p>It happened again in 2020…</p><p>And then again in 2021…</p><p>My secret?</p><p><i><b>I bought companies in consolidating industries</b></i>.</p><p>For 2012, it was the airline industry. Ammunition in 2020. And coal in 2021.</p><p>In each of these cases, a “terrible” industry would see profits rise 5x… 10x… 20x… after bankruptcies, liquidations and mergers left the industry with few remaining players. It’s a wellspring of easy profits.</p><p>The strategy only works every several years; industry consolidation doesn’t happen all the time.</p><p>But when it does happen, investors can outperform the market. And today, one new industry is teasing 300% returns. Read on to find which one.</p><p>And if you enjoy this article, <b>click here to subscribe to Tom Yeung’s </b><b><i>Profit & Protection</i></b><b> to get the latest updates in your inbox</b>.</p><h2>Exploiting Inefficient Markets</h2><p>The reason for airline outperformance was simple:</p><p>Markets are efficient vehicles for gathering consensus market views…</p><p><i><b>…but consensus views are sometimes slow to change, especially with consolidating industries</b></i>.</p><p>In the case of airlines, investors “knew” it was a terrible industry.</p><p>“For 100 years, airline transport has not been a good business,” Warren Buffett said in a 2013 interview on <i>CNBC</i>. “A seat on an airliner as a commodity to a great extent.”</p><p>But managers with billion-dollar funds often can’t see the changes that you and I do. The tight-fisted Mr. Buffett flies around in a private jet he once named “The Indefensible.” And how would an analyst sitting in Wall Street’s glass buildings (as I once did) know the price of a gallon of milk? Even I almost missed the rise of airline fares.</p><p>Yet, these Wall Street blind spots create enormous buying opportunities.</p><ul><li><b>Railways.</b> Companies like <b>Canadian Pacific Railway</b> (NYSE:<b><u>CP</u></b>) rose +600% between 2009-2014.</li><li><b>Ammunition.</b> Bullet-maker <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VGL.AU\">Vista</a> Outdoors</b> (NYSE:<b><u>VSTO</u></b>) jumped +550% between 2020-2021.</li><li><b>Coal.</b> Near-bankrupt miner <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BTU\">Peabody</a> Energy</b> (NYSE:<b><u>BTU</u></b>) skyrocketed +900% between 2021-2022</li></ul><p>In each of these instances, a “Main Street” industry would suddenly become a superstar winner because of one word:</p><p><i><b>Consolidation</b></i>.</p><p>In the case of airlines, mega-mergers between top players meant that the top 4 carriers controlled two-thirds of the industry by 2013. <b>Delta</b> (NYSE:<b><u>DAL</u></b>) would make up 80% of all flights from Atlanta’s Hartsfield-Jackson airport that year.</p><p>In rail, these same forces would turn a struggling industry into one of America’s most profitable sectors. Only seven Class I freight railroads exist today, down from 33 in 1980. And concentration in specific sectors is higher; two railroads now originate 65% of all U.S. grain.</p><p>These changes are apparent to anyone who works in the business. Try to buy ammunition at your local gun store, and you’ll have a choice between two manufacturers. Shells now easily cost over a dollar per round. And at the grocery store, our choice of meat and prepackaged bread is an illusion. 2-3 companies now own dozens of brands on store shelves.</p><p>Observant investors will notice these things in everyday life.</p><p>Meanwhile, outsiders on Wall Street are often slow in responding to these tectonic shifts, especially when they’re happening far away from the glass high-rise offices of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MHC.AU\">Manhattan</a> or Omaha.</p><h2>Beating the Street at Its Own Game</h2><p>There are three ingredients to these hidden gems:</p><ul><li><b>A “Hated” Industry.</b> A history of low returns, poor growth and high capital requirements will set the stage for cheap stock prices.</li><li><b>Consolidation.</b> Mergers, acquisitions and bankruptcies that give the remaining players pricing power.</li><li><b>Essential Goods.</b> Sectors that produce goods that are difficult or impossible to substitute.</li></ul><p>And today, one sector stands out as the next big winner:</p><p><i><b>Telecom</b></i>.</p><h2>From Four to Three</h2><p>Ask any Wall Street investor about telecom, and watch them respond with a mix of apathy and disgust. The <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EMDI\">iShares</a> Global Communication Services ETF</b> (NYSEARCA:<b><u>IXP</u></b>) has risen just 7% since 2005, underperforming every other sector of the Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d89746888da2d9510b64a9f031eaecd5\" tg-width=\"1\" tg-height=\"1\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/683bb6c2aa728f75d0baebfe009399e0\" tg-width=\"580\" tg-height=\"372\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>There’s a good reason for the dismal performance. For years, America’s telecom firms have fought in a seven-way battle. The two top players <b>AT&T</b> (NYSE:<b><u>T</u></b>) and <b>Verizon</b> (NYSE:<b><u>VZ</u></b>) competed against upstarts <b>Sprint</b> and <b>T-Mobile</b> (NASDAQ:<b><u>TMUS</u></b>), along with smaller players <b>Leap</b>, <b>MetroPCS</b> and <b>U.S. Cellular</b> (NYSE:<b><u>USM</u></b>).</p><p>It was a recipe for disaster. High capital expenditure, changing technologies and a massive country to cover meant that firms like Verizon could sink $20 billion per year since 2000 into capital investment and <i>still</i> see end-user prices stagnate.</p><p>Put another way, my $40-per-month cell phone bill had barely budged in the 20 years leading up to 2020</p><p><i><b>But that also gives telecom the perfect setup for 300% gains</b></i>.</p><p>Since 2011, the number of wireless providers has shrunk from seven to four. And with U.S. Cellular’s market share dropping to 1%, the wireless industry has become a three-way race.</p><p>Prices have already started creeping up. The cheapest plan from T-Mobile for a single line now costs $70 after taxes and fees, reversing years of price declines. According to the BLS, spending on cell phone services finally stopped falling in 2020.</p><p>“A stable competitive market never has more than three significant competitors,” BCG founder Bruce Henderson noted in 1976. The “rule of three” eventually makes it “neither practical nor advantageous for either competitor to increase or decrease share.”</p><p>In other words, telecom is no longer a race to the bottom.</p><h2>Which Telecom Stock Should You Buy?</h2><p>So, why do I say investors can make 300% with virtually no effort?</p><p>That’s because there’s no need for fancy 3-stage DCF models…</p><p>…Complicated intrinsic value calculations…</p><p>…Or reading the tea leaves of management guidance.</p><p>That’s because when industries consolidate, <b>all companies gain</b>.</p><p>For airlines in 2013, investors could have easily made the same high returns on <b>Southwest </b>(NYSE:<b><u>LUV</u></b>), <b>United</b> (NASDAQ:<b><u>UAL</u></b>) or <b>Hawaiian</b> (NASDAQ:<b><u>HA</u></b>).</p><p>Similarly, telecom’s three remaining players – AT&T, Verizon and T-Mobile – all stand to profit. Even though Profit & Protection has highlighted AT&T for its cheapest starting price, the trio all provide the same essential wireless services, and all have begun flexing their oligopolistic pricing power.</p><p><i><b>Bottom line: buy AT&T if you only pick one telecom, but all three should outperform over the next decade</b></i>.</p><h2>Some Patience Required… </h2><p>Consolidation plays are phenomenal for their high batting average and relative safety. AT&T has a 6% dividend yield, one of the highest rates for a blue-chip stock.</p><p>The strategy, however, can take years to play out. Freight railroad <b>CSX</b> (NASDAQ:<b><u>CSX</u></b>) took over a decade to rise 10x.</p><p>That means high-frequency traders are better off buying high-beta momentum stocks listed in Tuesday’s newsletter. But if you are willing to wait for returns without really trying, then AT&T and the telecom industry provides a stunningly attractive play.</p></body></html>","source":"investorplace","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>How to Make 300% in the Stock Market Without Really Trying</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHow to Make 300% in the Stock Market Without Really Trying\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-14 10:15 GMT+8 <a href=https://investorplace.com/2022/08/how-to-make-300-in-the-stock-market-without-really-trying/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>In 2012, I made 300% returns in the stock market without really trying.It happened again in 2020…And then again in 2021…My secret?I bought companies in consolidating industries.For 2012, it was the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/08/how-to-make-300-in-the-stock-market-without-really-trying/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","BK4515":"5G概念",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","BK4520":"美国基建股","BK4190":"消闲用品","BK4008":"航空公司","BK4507":"流媒体概念","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","PSQ":"纳指反向ETF","QID":"纳指两倍做空ETF","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4566":"资本集团","BK4016":"铁路","VSTO":"Vista Outdoor Inc","UAL":"联合大陆航空","BK4132":"无线电信业务","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4500":"航空公司","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4115":"综合电信业务","QLD":"纳指两倍做多ETF","T":"美国电话电报","HA":"夏威夷控股","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","BK4156":"煤与消费用燃料","BK4561":"索罗斯持仓","USM":"美国无线电话","BK4581":"高盛持仓","VZ":"威瑞森","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","BK4549":"软银资本持仓","DAL":"达美航空","CP":"加拿大太平洋铁路","CSX":"CSX运输","LUV":"西南航空","TMUS":"T-Mobile US Inc","BTU":"Peabody"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2022/08/how-to-make-300-in-the-stock-market-without-really-trying/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2259268147","content_text":"In 2012, I made 300% returns in the stock market without really trying.It happened again in 2020…And then again in 2021…My secret?I bought companies in consolidating industries.For 2012, it was the airline industry. Ammunition in 2020. And coal in 2021.In each of these cases, a “terrible” industry would see profits rise 5x… 10x… 20x… after bankruptcies, liquidations and mergers left the industry with few remaining players. It’s a wellspring of easy profits.The strategy only works every several years; industry consolidation doesn’t happen all the time.But when it does happen, investors can outperform the market. And today, one new industry is teasing 300% returns. Read on to find which one.And if you enjoy this article, click here to subscribe to Tom Yeung’s Profit & Protection to get the latest updates in your inbox.Exploiting Inefficient MarketsThe reason for airline outperformance was simple:Markets are efficient vehicles for gathering consensus market views……but consensus views are sometimes slow to change, especially with consolidating industries.In the case of airlines, investors “knew” it was a terrible industry.“For 100 years, airline transport has not been a good business,” Warren Buffett said in a 2013 interview on CNBC. “A seat on an airliner as a commodity to a great extent.”But managers with billion-dollar funds often can’t see the changes that you and I do. The tight-fisted Mr. Buffett flies around in a private jet he once named “The Indefensible.” And how would an analyst sitting in Wall Street’s glass buildings (as I once did) know the price of a gallon of milk? Even I almost missed the rise of airline fares.Yet, these Wall Street blind spots create enormous buying opportunities.Railways. Companies like Canadian Pacific Railway (NYSE:CP) rose +600% between 2009-2014.Ammunition. Bullet-maker Vista Outdoors (NYSE:VSTO) jumped +550% between 2020-2021.Coal. Near-bankrupt miner Peabody Energy (NYSE:BTU) skyrocketed +900% between 2021-2022In each of these instances, a “Main Street” industry would suddenly become a superstar winner because of one word:Consolidation.In the case of airlines, mega-mergers between top players meant that the top 4 carriers controlled two-thirds of the industry by 2013. Delta (NYSE:DAL) would make up 80% of all flights from Atlanta’s Hartsfield-Jackson airport that year.In rail, these same forces would turn a struggling industry into one of America’s most profitable sectors. Only seven Class I freight railroads exist today, down from 33 in 1980. And concentration in specific sectors is higher; two railroads now originate 65% of all U.S. grain.These changes are apparent to anyone who works in the business. Try to buy ammunition at your local gun store, and you’ll have a choice between two manufacturers. Shells now easily cost over a dollar per round. And at the grocery store, our choice of meat and prepackaged bread is an illusion. 2-3 companies now own dozens of brands on store shelves.Observant investors will notice these things in everyday life.Meanwhile, outsiders on Wall Street are often slow in responding to these tectonic shifts, especially when they’re happening far away from the glass high-rise offices of Manhattan or Omaha.Beating the Street at Its Own GameThere are three ingredients to these hidden gems:A “Hated” Industry. A history of low returns, poor growth and high capital requirements will set the stage for cheap stock prices.Consolidation. Mergers, acquisitions and bankruptcies that give the remaining players pricing power.Essential Goods. Sectors that produce goods that are difficult or impossible to substitute.And today, one sector stands out as the next big winner:Telecom.From Four to ThreeAsk any Wall Street investor about telecom, and watch them respond with a mix of apathy and disgust. The iShares Global Communication Services ETF (NYSEARCA:IXP) has risen just 7% since 2005, underperforming every other sector of the Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS).There’s a good reason for the dismal performance. For years, America’s telecom firms have fought in a seven-way battle. The two top players AT&T (NYSE:T) and Verizon (NYSE:VZ) competed against upstarts Sprint and T-Mobile (NASDAQ:TMUS), along with smaller players Leap, MetroPCS and U.S. Cellular (NYSE:USM).It was a recipe for disaster. High capital expenditure, changing technologies and a massive country to cover meant that firms like Verizon could sink $20 billion per year since 2000 into capital investment and still see end-user prices stagnate.Put another way, my $40-per-month cell phone bill had barely budged in the 20 years leading up to 2020But that also gives telecom the perfect setup for 300% gains.Since 2011, the number of wireless providers has shrunk from seven to four. And with U.S. Cellular’s market share dropping to 1%, the wireless industry has become a three-way race.Prices have already started creeping up. The cheapest plan from T-Mobile for a single line now costs $70 after taxes and fees, reversing years of price declines. According to the BLS, spending on cell phone services finally stopped falling in 2020.“A stable competitive market never has more than three significant competitors,” BCG founder Bruce Henderson noted in 1976. The “rule of three” eventually makes it “neither practical nor advantageous for either competitor to increase or decrease share.”In other words, telecom is no longer a race to the bottom.Which Telecom Stock Should You Buy?So, why do I say investors can make 300% with virtually no effort?That’s because there’s no need for fancy 3-stage DCF models……Complicated intrinsic value calculations……Or reading the tea leaves of management guidance.That’s because when industries consolidate, all companies gain.For airlines in 2013, investors could have easily made the same high returns on Southwest (NYSE:LUV), United (NASDAQ:UAL) or Hawaiian (NASDAQ:HA).Similarly, telecom’s three remaining players – AT&T, Verizon and T-Mobile – all stand to profit. Even though Profit & Protection has highlighted AT&T for its cheapest starting price, the trio all provide the same essential wireless services, and all have begun flexing their oligopolistic pricing power.Bottom line: buy AT&T if you only pick one telecom, but all three should outperform over the next decade.Some Patience Required… Consolidation plays are phenomenal for their high batting average and relative safety. AT&T has a 6% dividend yield, one of the highest rates for a blue-chip stock.The strategy, however, can take years to play out. Freight railroad CSX (NASDAQ:CSX) took over a decade to rise 10x.That means high-frequency traders are better off buying high-beta momentum stocks listed in Tuesday’s newsletter. But if you are willing to wait for returns without really trying, then AT&T and the telecom industry provides a stunningly attractive play.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":184,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9990020134,"gmtCreate":1660265029230,"gmtModify":1676532562742,"author":{"id":"4110885239761252","authorId":"4110885239761252","name":"Keith Wong","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Finally there are news","listText":"Finally there are news","text":"Finally there are news","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9990020134","repostId":"2258528887","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":150,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9990020134,"gmtCreate":1660265029230,"gmtModify":1676532562742,"author":{"id":"4110885239761252","authorId":"4110885239761252","name":"Keith Wong","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Finally there are news","listText":"Finally there are news","text":"Finally there are news","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9990020134","repostId":"2258528887","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2258528887","pubTimestamp":1660260894,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2258528887?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-08-12 07:34","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Johnson & Johnson Drops Talc Powder Globally as Lawsuits Pile On","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2258528887","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Decision follows move to pull talc baby power in US in 2020J&J cites commercial reasons; settlements","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Decision follows move to pull talc baby power in US in 2020</li><li>J&J cites commercial reasons; settlements near $3.5 billion</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/47b4649d41b95691e878f41946e7b549\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"562\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Johnson & Johnson baby powderPhotographer: Justin Sullivan/Getty Images</span></p><p>Johnson & Johnson said it plans to stop selling its legacy talc-based baby-powder products globally in 2023, a move that comes amid continued legal battles and years after the company discontinued the product in the US and Canada.</p><p>J&J said Thursday that it had made the “commercial decision” to transition all its baby powder products to use cornstarch instead of talcum powder after conducting an assessment of its portfolio. The health conglomerate, which maintains the product is safe, has for almost a decade faced lawsuits accusing it of hiding cancer risks tied its talc-based baby powder.</p><p>“We continuously evaluate and optimize our portfolio to best position the business for long-term growth,” spokesperson Melissa Witt said in an emailed statement. “Today’s decision is part of a worldwide portfolio assessment, which evaluated several factors, including differences in demand for our products across geographic regions and evolving consumer trends and preferences.”</p><p>Shares of the New Brunswick, New Jersey-based company rose less than 1% in post-market trading and had fallen 2.3% so far this year through Thursday’s close.</p><p>In May 2020, as J&J navigated thousands of lawsuits accusing the product of causing some users’ cancers, the company pulled its talc-based powders from the US and Canadian markets, citing another “commercial decision” based on declining sales.</p><p>“After decades of selling talc-based products the company knew could cause deadly cancers to unsuspecting women and men around the world, J&J has finally done the right thing,” Leigh O’Dell, a lawyer for former talc users, said in an emailed statement Thursday. “They stopped sales in North America more than two years ago. The delay in taking this step is inexcusable.”</p><p><b>Talcum Powder</b></p><p>Talcum powder has long been used in baby products because the mineral keeps skin dry and prevents diaper rash. The mines that produce the powder, however, can also yield asbestos, a mineral once used in products such as building insulation that researchers have linked to cancers. Some consumer companies have found corn starch can offer the same benefits of talc without the asbestos risk.</p><p>J&J said Thursday that its “position on the safety of our cosmetic talc remains unchanged.”</p><p>The health conglomerate has spent years seeking ways to contain its legal liabilities. It faces 40,300 lawsuits in the US over its talc-based powders, according to a company filing last month with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.</p><p>J&J sought bankruptcy protection for its newly created LTL Management LLC unit last year after arguing it was struggling to contain the lawsuits.</p><p><b>$2 Billion Trust</b></p><p>The company put $2 billion into a trust as part of the unit’s bankruptcy to resolve all current and future talc claims. In February, a judge said the case could proceed in order to seek settlements, but his ruling is being appealed.</p><p>Lawyers for former talc users have challenged J&J’s move to have the unit seek Chapter 11 protection to deal with the talc unit. A federal appeals court in Philadelphia will hear plaintiffs’ arguments Sept. 19 that the move amounted to a “bad faith” bankruptcy filing because they contend J&J’s financial position wasn’t threatened by the talc litigation.</p><p>In court filings, J&J’s lawyers have noted the company ran into stumbling blocks in working out a global settlement of the talc cases and faced mounting legal costs. The drugmaker’s attorneys noted it paid more than $1 billion in legal fees over the last five years in the talc cases and had to deal with inconsistent jury verdicts.</p><p>J&J has been forced to pay about $3.5 billion in settlements so far to resolve talc cases, according to the company’s bankruptcy filings. A 2018 jury verdict out of state court in St. Louis ultimately forced J&J to pay $2.5 billion to 20 women who targeted its baby powder for their ovarian cancer. Both the Missouri Supreme Court and the US Supreme Court refused to overturn the verdict.</p><p>Meanwhile, J&J plans to break off its consumer health business into a standalone company next year in a move that legal experts say could help it isolate liability should the Chapter 11 vehicle not succeed.</p><p>The case is LTL Management LLC, 21-30589, U.S. Bankruptcy Court, District of New Jersey (Trenton).</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Johnson & Johnson Drops Talc Powder Globally as Lawsuits Pile On</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nJohnson & Johnson Drops Talc Powder Globally as Lawsuits Pile On\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-12 07:34 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-08-11/j-j-to-halt-talc-baby-powder-implicated-in-cancer-litigation?srnd=premium><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Decision follows move to pull talc baby power in US in 2020J&J cites commercial reasons; settlements near $3.5 billionJohnson & Johnson baby powderPhotographer: Justin Sullivan/Getty ImagesJohnson & ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-08-11/j-j-to-halt-talc-baby-powder-implicated-in-cancer-litigation?srnd=premium\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"JNJ":"强生"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-08-11/j-j-to-halt-talc-baby-powder-implicated-in-cancer-litigation?srnd=premium","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2258528887","content_text":"Decision follows move to pull talc baby power in US in 2020J&J cites commercial reasons; settlements near $3.5 billionJohnson & Johnson baby powderPhotographer: Justin Sullivan/Getty ImagesJohnson & Johnson said it plans to stop selling its legacy talc-based baby-powder products globally in 2023, a move that comes amid continued legal battles and years after the company discontinued the product in the US and Canada.J&J said Thursday that it had made the “commercial decision” to transition all its baby powder products to use cornstarch instead of talcum powder after conducting an assessment of its portfolio. The health conglomerate, which maintains the product is safe, has for almost a decade faced lawsuits accusing it of hiding cancer risks tied its talc-based baby powder.“We continuously evaluate and optimize our portfolio to best position the business for long-term growth,” spokesperson Melissa Witt said in an emailed statement. “Today’s decision is part of a worldwide portfolio assessment, which evaluated several factors, including differences in demand for our products across geographic regions and evolving consumer trends and preferences.”Shares of the New Brunswick, New Jersey-based company rose less than 1% in post-market trading and had fallen 2.3% so far this year through Thursday’s close.In May 2020, as J&J navigated thousands of lawsuits accusing the product of causing some users’ cancers, the company pulled its talc-based powders from the US and Canadian markets, citing another “commercial decision” based on declining sales.“After decades of selling talc-based products the company knew could cause deadly cancers to unsuspecting women and men around the world, J&J has finally done the right thing,” Leigh O’Dell, a lawyer for former talc users, said in an emailed statement Thursday. “They stopped sales in North America more than two years ago. The delay in taking this step is inexcusable.”Talcum PowderTalcum powder has long been used in baby products because the mineral keeps skin dry and prevents diaper rash. The mines that produce the powder, however, can also yield asbestos, a mineral once used in products such as building insulation that researchers have linked to cancers. Some consumer companies have found corn starch can offer the same benefits of talc without the asbestos risk.J&J said Thursday that its “position on the safety of our cosmetic talc remains unchanged.”The health conglomerate has spent years seeking ways to contain its legal liabilities. It faces 40,300 lawsuits in the US over its talc-based powders, according to a company filing last month with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.J&J sought bankruptcy protection for its newly created LTL Management LLC unit last year after arguing it was struggling to contain the lawsuits.$2 Billion TrustThe company put $2 billion into a trust as part of the unit’s bankruptcy to resolve all current and future talc claims. In February, a judge said the case could proceed in order to seek settlements, but his ruling is being appealed.Lawyers for former talc users have challenged J&J’s move to have the unit seek Chapter 11 protection to deal with the talc unit. A federal appeals court in Philadelphia will hear plaintiffs’ arguments Sept. 19 that the move amounted to a “bad faith” bankruptcy filing because they contend J&J’s financial position wasn’t threatened by the talc litigation.In court filings, J&J’s lawyers have noted the company ran into stumbling blocks in working out a global settlement of the talc cases and faced mounting legal costs. The drugmaker’s attorneys noted it paid more than $1 billion in legal fees over the last five years in the talc cases and had to deal with inconsistent jury verdicts.J&J has been forced to pay about $3.5 billion in settlements so far to resolve talc cases, according to the company’s bankruptcy filings. A 2018 jury verdict out of state court in St. Louis ultimately forced J&J to pay $2.5 billion to 20 women who targeted its baby powder for their ovarian cancer. Both the Missouri Supreme Court and the US Supreme Court refused to overturn the verdict.Meanwhile, J&J plans to break off its consumer health business into a standalone company next year in a move that legal experts say could help it isolate liability should the Chapter 11 vehicle not succeed.The case is LTL Management LLC, 21-30589, U.S. Bankruptcy Court, District of New Jersey (Trenton).","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":150,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9991266630,"gmtCreate":1660850924823,"gmtModify":1676536409312,"author":{"id":"4110885239761252","authorId":"4110885239761252","name":"Keith Wong","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Bullish already. Thanks for the insight","listText":"Bullish already. Thanks for the insight","text":"Bullish already. Thanks for the insight","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9991266630","repostId":"2259268147","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2259268147","pubTimestamp":1660443357,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2259268147?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-08-14 10:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"How to Make 300% in the Stock Market Without Really Trying","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2259268147","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"In 2012, I made 300% returns in the stock market without really trying.It happened again in 2020…And","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7cec91627f47c890c9b15078a688d4f9\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"432\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>In 2012, I made 300% returns in the stock market without really trying.</p><p>It happened again in 2020…</p><p>And then again in 2021…</p><p>My secret?</p><p><i><b>I bought companies in consolidating industries</b></i>.</p><p>For 2012, it was the airline industry. Ammunition in 2020. And coal in 2021.</p><p>In each of these cases, a “terrible” industry would see profits rise 5x… 10x… 20x… after bankruptcies, liquidations and mergers left the industry with few remaining players. It’s a wellspring of easy profits.</p><p>The strategy only works every several years; industry consolidation doesn’t happen all the time.</p><p>But when it does happen, investors can outperform the market. And today, one new industry is teasing 300% returns. Read on to find which one.</p><p>And if you enjoy this article, <b>click here to subscribe to Tom Yeung’s </b><b><i>Profit & Protection</i></b><b> to get the latest updates in your inbox</b>.</p><h2>Exploiting Inefficient Markets</h2><p>The reason for airline outperformance was simple:</p><p>Markets are efficient vehicles for gathering consensus market views…</p><p><i><b>…but consensus views are sometimes slow to change, especially with consolidating industries</b></i>.</p><p>In the case of airlines, investors “knew” it was a terrible industry.</p><p>“For 100 years, airline transport has not been a good business,” Warren Buffett said in a 2013 interview on <i>CNBC</i>. “A seat on an airliner as a commodity to a great extent.”</p><p>But managers with billion-dollar funds often can’t see the changes that you and I do. The tight-fisted Mr. Buffett flies around in a private jet he once named “The Indefensible.” And how would an analyst sitting in Wall Street’s glass buildings (as I once did) know the price of a gallon of milk? Even I almost missed the rise of airline fares.</p><p>Yet, these Wall Street blind spots create enormous buying opportunities.</p><ul><li><b>Railways.</b> Companies like <b>Canadian Pacific Railway</b> (NYSE:<b><u>CP</u></b>) rose +600% between 2009-2014.</li><li><b>Ammunition.</b> Bullet-maker <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VGL.AU\">Vista</a> Outdoors</b> (NYSE:<b><u>VSTO</u></b>) jumped +550% between 2020-2021.</li><li><b>Coal.</b> Near-bankrupt miner <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BTU\">Peabody</a> Energy</b> (NYSE:<b><u>BTU</u></b>) skyrocketed +900% between 2021-2022</li></ul><p>In each of these instances, a “Main Street” industry would suddenly become a superstar winner because of one word:</p><p><i><b>Consolidation</b></i>.</p><p>In the case of airlines, mega-mergers between top players meant that the top 4 carriers controlled two-thirds of the industry by 2013. <b>Delta</b> (NYSE:<b><u>DAL</u></b>) would make up 80% of all flights from Atlanta’s Hartsfield-Jackson airport that year.</p><p>In rail, these same forces would turn a struggling industry into one of America’s most profitable sectors. Only seven Class I freight railroads exist today, down from 33 in 1980. And concentration in specific sectors is higher; two railroads now originate 65% of all U.S. grain.</p><p>These changes are apparent to anyone who works in the business. Try to buy ammunition at your local gun store, and you’ll have a choice between two manufacturers. Shells now easily cost over a dollar per round. And at the grocery store, our choice of meat and prepackaged bread is an illusion. 2-3 companies now own dozens of brands on store shelves.</p><p>Observant investors will notice these things in everyday life.</p><p>Meanwhile, outsiders on Wall Street are often slow in responding to these tectonic shifts, especially when they’re happening far away from the glass high-rise offices of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MHC.AU\">Manhattan</a> or Omaha.</p><h2>Beating the Street at Its Own Game</h2><p>There are three ingredients to these hidden gems:</p><ul><li><b>A “Hated” Industry.</b> A history of low returns, poor growth and high capital requirements will set the stage for cheap stock prices.</li><li><b>Consolidation.</b> Mergers, acquisitions and bankruptcies that give the remaining players pricing power.</li><li><b>Essential Goods.</b> Sectors that produce goods that are difficult or impossible to substitute.</li></ul><p>And today, one sector stands out as the next big winner:</p><p><i><b>Telecom</b></i>.</p><h2>From Four to Three</h2><p>Ask any Wall Street investor about telecom, and watch them respond with a mix of apathy and disgust. The <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EMDI\">iShares</a> Global Communication Services ETF</b> (NYSEARCA:<b><u>IXP</u></b>) has risen just 7% since 2005, underperforming every other sector of the Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d89746888da2d9510b64a9f031eaecd5\" tg-width=\"1\" tg-height=\"1\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/683bb6c2aa728f75d0baebfe009399e0\" tg-width=\"580\" tg-height=\"372\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>There’s a good reason for the dismal performance. For years, America’s telecom firms have fought in a seven-way battle. The two top players <b>AT&T</b> (NYSE:<b><u>T</u></b>) and <b>Verizon</b> (NYSE:<b><u>VZ</u></b>) competed against upstarts <b>Sprint</b> and <b>T-Mobile</b> (NASDAQ:<b><u>TMUS</u></b>), along with smaller players <b>Leap</b>, <b>MetroPCS</b> and <b>U.S. Cellular</b> (NYSE:<b><u>USM</u></b>).</p><p>It was a recipe for disaster. High capital expenditure, changing technologies and a massive country to cover meant that firms like Verizon could sink $20 billion per year since 2000 into capital investment and <i>still</i> see end-user prices stagnate.</p><p>Put another way, my $40-per-month cell phone bill had barely budged in the 20 years leading up to 2020</p><p><i><b>But that also gives telecom the perfect setup for 300% gains</b></i>.</p><p>Since 2011, the number of wireless providers has shrunk from seven to four. And with U.S. Cellular’s market share dropping to 1%, the wireless industry has become a three-way race.</p><p>Prices have already started creeping up. The cheapest plan from T-Mobile for a single line now costs $70 after taxes and fees, reversing years of price declines. According to the BLS, spending on cell phone services finally stopped falling in 2020.</p><p>“A stable competitive market never has more than three significant competitors,” BCG founder Bruce Henderson noted in 1976. The “rule of three” eventually makes it “neither practical nor advantageous for either competitor to increase or decrease share.”</p><p>In other words, telecom is no longer a race to the bottom.</p><h2>Which Telecom Stock Should You Buy?</h2><p>So, why do I say investors can make 300% with virtually no effort?</p><p>That’s because there’s no need for fancy 3-stage DCF models…</p><p>…Complicated intrinsic value calculations…</p><p>…Or reading the tea leaves of management guidance.</p><p>That’s because when industries consolidate, <b>all companies gain</b>.</p><p>For airlines in 2013, investors could have easily made the same high returns on <b>Southwest </b>(NYSE:<b><u>LUV</u></b>), <b>United</b> (NASDAQ:<b><u>UAL</u></b>) or <b>Hawaiian</b> (NASDAQ:<b><u>HA</u></b>).</p><p>Similarly, telecom’s three remaining players – AT&T, Verizon and T-Mobile – all stand to profit. Even though Profit & Protection has highlighted AT&T for its cheapest starting price, the trio all provide the same essential wireless services, and all have begun flexing their oligopolistic pricing power.</p><p><i><b>Bottom line: buy AT&T if you only pick one telecom, but all three should outperform over the next decade</b></i>.</p><h2>Some Patience Required… </h2><p>Consolidation plays are phenomenal for their high batting average and relative safety. AT&T has a 6% dividend yield, one of the highest rates for a blue-chip stock.</p><p>The strategy, however, can take years to play out. Freight railroad <b>CSX</b> (NASDAQ:<b><u>CSX</u></b>) took over a decade to rise 10x.</p><p>That means high-frequency traders are better off buying high-beta momentum stocks listed in Tuesday’s newsletter. But if you are willing to wait for returns without really trying, then AT&T and the telecom industry provides a stunningly attractive play.</p></body></html>","source":"investorplace","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>How to Make 300% in the Stock Market Without Really Trying</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHow to Make 300% in the Stock Market Without Really Trying\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-14 10:15 GMT+8 <a href=https://investorplace.com/2022/08/how-to-make-300-in-the-stock-market-without-really-trying/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>In 2012, I made 300% returns in the stock market without really trying.It happened again in 2020…And then again in 2021…My secret?I bought companies in consolidating industries.For 2012, it was the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/08/how-to-make-300-in-the-stock-market-without-really-trying/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","BK4515":"5G概念",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","BK4520":"美国基建股","BK4190":"消闲用品","BK4008":"航空公司","BK4507":"流媒体概念","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","PSQ":"纳指反向ETF","QID":"纳指两倍做空ETF","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4566":"资本集团","BK4016":"铁路","VSTO":"Vista Outdoor Inc","UAL":"联合大陆航空","BK4132":"无线电信业务","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4500":"航空公司","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4115":"综合电信业务","QLD":"纳指两倍做多ETF","T":"美国电话电报","HA":"夏威夷控股","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","BK4156":"煤与消费用燃料","BK4561":"索罗斯持仓","USM":"美国无线电话","BK4581":"高盛持仓","VZ":"威瑞森","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","BK4549":"软银资本持仓","DAL":"达美航空","CP":"加拿大太平洋铁路","CSX":"CSX运输","LUV":"西南航空","TMUS":"T-Mobile US Inc","BTU":"Peabody"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2022/08/how-to-make-300-in-the-stock-market-without-really-trying/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2259268147","content_text":"In 2012, I made 300% returns in the stock market without really trying.It happened again in 2020…And then again in 2021…My secret?I bought companies in consolidating industries.For 2012, it was the airline industry. Ammunition in 2020. And coal in 2021.In each of these cases, a “terrible” industry would see profits rise 5x… 10x… 20x… after bankruptcies, liquidations and mergers left the industry with few remaining players. It’s a wellspring of easy profits.The strategy only works every several years; industry consolidation doesn’t happen all the time.But when it does happen, investors can outperform the market. And today, one new industry is teasing 300% returns. Read on to find which one.And if you enjoy this article, click here to subscribe to Tom Yeung’s Profit & Protection to get the latest updates in your inbox.Exploiting Inefficient MarketsThe reason for airline outperformance was simple:Markets are efficient vehicles for gathering consensus market views……but consensus views are sometimes slow to change, especially with consolidating industries.In the case of airlines, investors “knew” it was a terrible industry.“For 100 years, airline transport has not been a good business,” Warren Buffett said in a 2013 interview on CNBC. “A seat on an airliner as a commodity to a great extent.”But managers with billion-dollar funds often can’t see the changes that you and I do. The tight-fisted Mr. Buffett flies around in a private jet he once named “The Indefensible.” And how would an analyst sitting in Wall Street’s glass buildings (as I once did) know the price of a gallon of milk? Even I almost missed the rise of airline fares.Yet, these Wall Street blind spots create enormous buying opportunities.Railways. Companies like Canadian Pacific Railway (NYSE:CP) rose +600% between 2009-2014.Ammunition. Bullet-maker Vista Outdoors (NYSE:VSTO) jumped +550% between 2020-2021.Coal. Near-bankrupt miner Peabody Energy (NYSE:BTU) skyrocketed +900% between 2021-2022In each of these instances, a “Main Street” industry would suddenly become a superstar winner because of one word:Consolidation.In the case of airlines, mega-mergers between top players meant that the top 4 carriers controlled two-thirds of the industry by 2013. Delta (NYSE:DAL) would make up 80% of all flights from Atlanta’s Hartsfield-Jackson airport that year.In rail, these same forces would turn a struggling industry into one of America’s most profitable sectors. Only seven Class I freight railroads exist today, down from 33 in 1980. And concentration in specific sectors is higher; two railroads now originate 65% of all U.S. grain.These changes are apparent to anyone who works in the business. Try to buy ammunition at your local gun store, and you’ll have a choice between two manufacturers. Shells now easily cost over a dollar per round. And at the grocery store, our choice of meat and prepackaged bread is an illusion. 2-3 companies now own dozens of brands on store shelves.Observant investors will notice these things in everyday life.Meanwhile, outsiders on Wall Street are often slow in responding to these tectonic shifts, especially when they’re happening far away from the glass high-rise offices of Manhattan or Omaha.Beating the Street at Its Own GameThere are three ingredients to these hidden gems:A “Hated” Industry. A history of low returns, poor growth and high capital requirements will set the stage for cheap stock prices.Consolidation. Mergers, acquisitions and bankruptcies that give the remaining players pricing power.Essential Goods. Sectors that produce goods that are difficult or impossible to substitute.And today, one sector stands out as the next big winner:Telecom.From Four to ThreeAsk any Wall Street investor about telecom, and watch them respond with a mix of apathy and disgust. The iShares Global Communication Services ETF (NYSEARCA:IXP) has risen just 7% since 2005, underperforming every other sector of the Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS).There’s a good reason for the dismal performance. For years, America’s telecom firms have fought in a seven-way battle. The two top players AT&T (NYSE:T) and Verizon (NYSE:VZ) competed against upstarts Sprint and T-Mobile (NASDAQ:TMUS), along with smaller players Leap, MetroPCS and U.S. Cellular (NYSE:USM).It was a recipe for disaster. High capital expenditure, changing technologies and a massive country to cover meant that firms like Verizon could sink $20 billion per year since 2000 into capital investment and still see end-user prices stagnate.Put another way, my $40-per-month cell phone bill had barely budged in the 20 years leading up to 2020But that also gives telecom the perfect setup for 300% gains.Since 2011, the number of wireless providers has shrunk from seven to four. And with U.S. Cellular’s market share dropping to 1%, the wireless industry has become a three-way race.Prices have already started creeping up. The cheapest plan from T-Mobile for a single line now costs $70 after taxes and fees, reversing years of price declines. According to the BLS, spending on cell phone services finally stopped falling in 2020.“A stable competitive market never has more than three significant competitors,” BCG founder Bruce Henderson noted in 1976. The “rule of three” eventually makes it “neither practical nor advantageous for either competitor to increase or decrease share.”In other words, telecom is no longer a race to the bottom.Which Telecom Stock Should You Buy?So, why do I say investors can make 300% with virtually no effort?That’s because there’s no need for fancy 3-stage DCF models……Complicated intrinsic value calculations……Or reading the tea leaves of management guidance.That’s because when industries consolidate, all companies gain.For airlines in 2013, investors could have easily made the same high returns on Southwest (NYSE:LUV), United (NASDAQ:UAL) or Hawaiian (NASDAQ:HA).Similarly, telecom’s three remaining players – AT&T, Verizon and T-Mobile – all stand to profit. Even though Profit & Protection has highlighted AT&T for its cheapest starting price, the trio all provide the same essential wireless services, and all have begun flexing their oligopolistic pricing power.Bottom line: buy AT&T if you only pick one telecom, but all three should outperform over the next decade.Some Patience Required… Consolidation plays are phenomenal for their high batting average and relative safety. AT&T has a 6% dividend yield, one of the highest rates for a blue-chip stock.The strategy, however, can take years to play out. Freight railroad CSX (NASDAQ:CSX) took over a decade to rise 10x.That means high-frequency traders are better off buying high-beta momentum stocks listed in Tuesday’s newsletter. But if you are willing to wait for returns without really trying, then AT&T and the telecom industry provides a stunningly attractive play.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":184,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}
