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jellybelly

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2022-07-27

nice

@vcvcbc:Share you my new found love When i picked a stock i try to be rational, the company is profitable, revolve around our daily needs, paying sustainable dividend, good FA On the long term of course i wish the stock price appreciate too so today i bought $WILMAR INTERNATIONAL LIMITED(F34.SI)$ BullishI saw the price dip near yo 52weeks low, in my watch list for long time but did not dare to enter, just like go 🛍 i only window shopping too afraid to take the risk, but today I decided to buy, waiting for dividend in August Why I always talk about dividend ? Because to me it is like a bonus, aren't you happy if you get big bonus from work ? I am smiling as i am typing this Invest wisely my friends @TigerStars My older love $Olam Group(VC2.SI)$ $SHENG SIONG GROUP LTD(OV8.SI)$ started to green alrea

2022-04-29

Rich people

Elon Musk Sold Around $4 Billion Worth Of Tesla Shares

2022-04-29

Great

A Quarterly GDP Drop Doesn't Always Lead to Recession, What History Tells Us

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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Because to me it is like a bonus, aren't you happy if you get big bonus from work ? I am smiling as i am typing this Invest wisely my friends @TigerStars My older love $Olam Group(VC2.SI)$ $SHENG SIONG GROUP LTD(OV8.SI)$ started to green alrea","listText":"Share you my new found love When i picked a stock i try to be rational, the company is profitable, revolve around our daily needs, paying sustainable dividend, good FA On the long term of course i wish the stock price appreciate too so today i bought $WILMAR INTERNATIONAL LIMITED(F34.SI)$ BullishI saw the price dip near yo 52weeks low, in my watch list for long time but did not dare to enter, just like go 🛍 i only window shopping too afraid to take the risk, but today I decided to buy, waiting for dividend in August Why I always talk about dividend ? Because to me it is like a bonus, aren't you happy if you get big bonus from work ? 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I am smiling as i am typing this Invest wisely my friends @TigerStars My older love $Olam Group(VC2.SI)$ $SHENG SIONG GROUP LTD(OV8.SI)$ started to green alrea","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9909563355","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":1,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":277,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9069902602,"gmtCreate":1651212354331,"gmtModify":1676534871863,"author":{"id":"4113268516594982","authorId":"4113268516594982","authorIdStr":"4113268516594982","name":"jellybelly","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4113268516594982"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Rich people","listText":"Rich people","text":"Rich people","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9069902602","repostId":"2231940479","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2231940479","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1651197162,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2231940479?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-04-29 09:52","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Elon Musk Sold Around $4 Billion Worth Of Tesla Shares","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2231940479","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Elon Musk sold about $4 billion worth of Tesla Inc. shares after announcing a blockbuster $44 billio","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Elon Musk sold about $4 billion worth of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla Inc.</a> shares after announcing a blockbuster $44 billion deal to buy <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWTR\">Twitter Inc.</a>.</p><p>Tesla’s chief executive officer offloaded about 4.4 million shares on April 26 and April 27, filings showed late Thursday. Wall Street analysts and investors in the electric carmaker suspected that Musk may need to sell some stock to cover the $21 billion equity portion of the transaction that he’s personally guaranteed.</p><p>Musk tweeted shortly after the filings were made public that he has “no further Tesla sales planned after today.”</p><p>Musk and Twitter reached an agreement on Monday for the world’s richest man to buy the social media company. His quest raises several “key man risk” issues for Tesla, where Musk has been CEO since 2008 and has long been the largest shareholder. Meanwhile, confirmation of his sales may unnerve shareholders, scores of whom are retail investors.</p><p>Tesla shares fell 12% on April 26, the most since September 2020, and were little changed in the following two sessions, with the stock closing Thursday at $877.51. Another $12.5 billion of Musk’s deal for Twitter is secured by his Tesla stake.</p><p>“It’s a brutal cycle for Tesla investors to navigate and casts a shadow on the name with Musk selling more stock,” said Dan Ives of Wedbush. “The Twitter deal is becoming an albatross for Tesla’s stock and this pours gasoline on the raging fire.”</p><p>Twitter shares closed Thursday at $49.11, short of the $54.20 that investors will receive for each share they own under the company’s deal with Musk.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Elon Musk Sold Around $4 Billion Worth Of Tesla Shares</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nElon Musk Sold Around $4 Billion Worth Of Tesla Shares\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-04-29 09:52</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Elon Musk sold about $4 billion worth of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla Inc.</a> shares after announcing a blockbuster $44 billion deal to buy <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWTR\">Twitter Inc.</a>.</p><p>Tesla’s chief executive officer offloaded about 4.4 million shares on April 26 and April 27, filings showed late Thursday. Wall Street analysts and investors in the electric carmaker suspected that Musk may need to sell some stock to cover the $21 billion equity portion of the transaction that he’s personally guaranteed.</p><p>Musk tweeted shortly after the filings were made public that he has “no further Tesla sales planned after today.”</p><p>Musk and Twitter reached an agreement on Monday for the world’s richest man to buy the social media company. His quest raises several “key man risk” issues for Tesla, where Musk has been CEO since 2008 and has long been the largest shareholder. Meanwhile, confirmation of his sales may unnerve shareholders, scores of whom are retail investors.</p><p>Tesla shares fell 12% on April 26, the most since September 2020, and were little changed in the following two sessions, with the stock closing Thursday at $877.51. Another $12.5 billion of Musk’s deal for Twitter is secured by his Tesla stake.</p><p>“It’s a brutal cycle for Tesla investors to navigate and casts a shadow on the name with Musk selling more stock,” said Dan Ives of Wedbush. “The Twitter deal is becoming an albatross for Tesla’s stock and this pours gasoline on the raging fire.”</p><p>Twitter shares closed Thursday at $49.11, short of the $54.20 that investors will receive for each share they own under the company’s deal with Musk.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TWTR":"Twitter"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2231940479","content_text":"Elon Musk sold about $4 billion worth of Tesla Inc. shares after announcing a blockbuster $44 billion deal to buy Twitter Inc..Tesla’s chief executive officer offloaded about 4.4 million shares on April 26 and April 27, filings showed late Thursday. Wall Street analysts and investors in the electric carmaker suspected that Musk may need to sell some stock to cover the $21 billion equity portion of the transaction that he’s personally guaranteed.Musk tweeted shortly after the filings were made public that he has “no further Tesla sales planned after today.”Musk and Twitter reached an agreement on Monday for the world’s richest man to buy the social media company. His quest raises several “key man risk” issues for Tesla, where Musk has been CEO since 2008 and has long been the largest shareholder. Meanwhile, confirmation of his sales may unnerve shareholders, scores of whom are retail investors.Tesla shares fell 12% on April 26, the most since September 2020, and were little changed in the following two sessions, with the stock closing Thursday at $877.51. Another $12.5 billion of Musk’s deal for Twitter is secured by his Tesla stake.“It’s a brutal cycle for Tesla investors to navigate and casts a shadow on the name with Musk selling more stock,” said Dan Ives of Wedbush. “The Twitter deal is becoming an albatross for Tesla’s stock and this pours gasoline on the raging fire.”Twitter shares closed Thursday at $49.11, short of the $54.20 that investors will receive for each share they own under the company’s deal with Musk.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":312,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9069902905,"gmtCreate":1651212309999,"gmtModify":1676534871847,"author":{"id":"4113268516594982","authorId":"4113268516594982","authorIdStr":"4113268516594982","name":"jellybelly","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4113268516594982"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great&nbsp;","listText":"Great&nbsp;","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9069902905","repostId":"2231967420","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2231967420","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1651200837,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2231967420?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-04-29 10:53","market":"us","language":"en","title":"A Quarterly GDP Drop Doesn't Always Lead to Recession, What History Tells Us","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2231967420","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"The U.S. economy shrunk at a 1.4% annualized pace in the first quarter of 2022, its first contractio","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The U.S. economy shrunk at a 1.4% annualized pace in the first quarter of 2022, its first contraction since the early months of the Covid-19 pandemic in 2020. Yet the stock market largely shrugged off the news. There are good reasons not to panic yet, if history offers any guidance.</p><p>The U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis has been tracking the gross domestic product numbers since 1947. Over the past 75 years or 300 quarters, the annualized rate of quarterly real GDP growth has turned negative 44 times. Not all resulted in recession, which typically requires two negative quarters back to back.</p><p>In the first quarter of 2011 and 2014, for example, the real GDP contracted 1% and 1.4%, respectively, but later jumped back to grow 2.7% and 5.2% in the respective second quarters. Those one-time blips didn&#39;t lead to recession.</p><p>Another example was during the 1950s. The real GDP contracted 1.5% and 0.4%, respectively, in the first and third quarter of 1956; bounced back strongly in between; and then again fell by 0.9% in the second quarter of 1957. But the economy didn&#39;t officially step into a recession until the economy shrank dramatically in the fourth quarter of 1957 and first quarter of 1958, falling 4.1% and 10%, respectively.</p><p>The upshot is that even if the second quarter of 2022 turns positive, investors shouldn&#39;t let down their guard. Historically, it&#39;s quite common after a quarter of contraction to see a &#34;rebound&#34; -- often stemming from falling interest rates and other stimulus policies -- only to be followed by bigger falls ahead. That&#39;s what happened in the 1974 and 1982 recessions, as well as the ones in 2000 and 2008.</p><p>Further complicating things, when U.S. recessions begin and end are based on the subjective judgment of a committee of the National Bureau of Economic Research. The NBER looks at a series of economic indicators----besides just the quarterly GDP data----before making a determination.</p><p>There have been recessions that didn&#39;t include two consecutive negative quarters. The NBER identified March to October 2001 as a recession, even though the GDP contraction -- in the first and third quarters of 2001 -- didn&#39;t happen consecutively. The second quarter of that year actually saw a 2.5% growth in real GDP.</p><p>Besides the top line numbers, investors need to examine why an economy is contracting in a particular quarter. The biggest factor behind the GDP drop in the first quarter of 2022 was a surge in imports and trade deficit, as Americans began buying more goods from overseas. That could be a sign that the U.S. economy has recovered more rapidly than others around the world, not necessarily a harbinger of future economic distress.</p><p>Government spending fell in the first quarter of 2022. And businesses slowed down their rapid inventory rebuild -- a major contributor to strong growth in the fourth quarter of 2021 -- which also put a dent into the first-quarter&#39;s economic growth. &#34;This is noise, not signal,&#34; said Ian Shepherdson, chief economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics, &#34;The economy is not falling into recession.&#34;</p><p>By contrast, consumer spending and private-sector investment -- most reflective of the economy&#39;s momentum -- remained strong in the first quarter. That likely will keep the Federal Reserve on track to raise interest rates at its policy meeting next week, likely by half a percentage point, economists say.</p><p>&#34;With strong growth of consumer spending, business investment, and employment in the first quarter, the U.S. economy was not in a recession at the beginning of the year,&#34; Bill Adams, chief economist for Comerica Bank, wrote Thursday, &#34;Growth should resume in the second quarter as the trade deficit and inventories become smaller headwinds.</p><p>Still, a second-quarter GDP rebound, even if it happens, won&#39;t be enough to assuage fears of  a recession later this year or next year. If inflation continues to soar and the Russia-Ukraine war leads to a global commodity crunch, it&#39;s unclear how long consumer demand will remain strong as Americans spend down excess savings accumulated during the pandemic.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>A Quarterly GDP Drop Doesn't Always Lead to Recession, What History Tells Us</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nA Quarterly GDP Drop Doesn't Always Lead to Recession, What History Tells Us\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-04-29 10:53</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>The U.S. economy shrunk at a 1.4% annualized pace in the first quarter of 2022, its first contraction since the early months of the Covid-19 pandemic in 2020. Yet the stock market largely shrugged off the news. There are good reasons not to panic yet, if history offers any guidance.</p><p>The U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis has been tracking the gross domestic product numbers since 1947. Over the past 75 years or 300 quarters, the annualized rate of quarterly real GDP growth has turned negative 44 times. Not all resulted in recession, which typically requires two negative quarters back to back.</p><p>In the first quarter of 2011 and 2014, for example, the real GDP contracted 1% and 1.4%, respectively, but later jumped back to grow 2.7% and 5.2% in the respective second quarters. Those one-time blips didn&#39;t lead to recession.</p><p>Another example was during the 1950s. The real GDP contracted 1.5% and 0.4%, respectively, in the first and third quarter of 1956; bounced back strongly in between; and then again fell by 0.9% in the second quarter of 1957. But the economy didn&#39;t officially step into a recession until the economy shrank dramatically in the fourth quarter of 1957 and first quarter of 1958, falling 4.1% and 10%, respectively.</p><p>The upshot is that even if the second quarter of 2022 turns positive, investors shouldn&#39;t let down their guard. Historically, it&#39;s quite common after a quarter of contraction to see a &#34;rebound&#34; -- often stemming from falling interest rates and other stimulus policies -- only to be followed by bigger falls ahead. That&#39;s what happened in the 1974 and 1982 recessions, as well as the ones in 2000 and 2008.</p><p>Further complicating things, when U.S. recessions begin and end are based on the subjective judgment of a committee of the National Bureau of Economic Research. The NBER looks at a series of economic indicators----besides just the quarterly GDP data----before making a determination.</p><p>There have been recessions that didn&#39;t include two consecutive negative quarters. The NBER identified March to October 2001 as a recession, even though the GDP contraction -- in the first and third quarters of 2001 -- didn&#39;t happen consecutively. The second quarter of that year actually saw a 2.5% growth in real GDP.</p><p>Besides the top line numbers, investors need to examine why an economy is contracting in a particular quarter. The biggest factor behind the GDP drop in the first quarter of 2022 was a surge in imports and trade deficit, as Americans began buying more goods from overseas. That could be a sign that the U.S. economy has recovered more rapidly than others around the world, not necessarily a harbinger of future economic distress.</p><p>Government spending fell in the first quarter of 2022. And businesses slowed down their rapid inventory rebuild -- a major contributor to strong growth in the fourth quarter of 2021 -- which also put a dent into the first-quarter&#39;s economic growth. &#34;This is noise, not signal,&#34; said Ian Shepherdson, chief economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics, &#34;The economy is not falling into recession.&#34;</p><p>By contrast, consumer spending and private-sector investment -- most reflective of the economy&#39;s momentum -- remained strong in the first quarter. That likely will keep the Federal Reserve on track to raise interest rates at its policy meeting next week, likely by half a percentage point, economists say.</p><p>&#34;With strong growth of consumer spending, business investment, and employment in the first quarter, the U.S. economy was not in a recession at the beginning of the year,&#34; Bill Adams, chief economist for Comerica Bank, wrote Thursday, &#34;Growth should resume in the second quarter as the trade deficit and inventories become smaller headwinds.</p><p>Still, a second-quarter GDP rebound, even if it happens, won&#39;t be enough to assuage fears of  a recession later this year or next year. If inflation continues to soar and the Russia-Ukraine war leads to a global commodity crunch, it&#39;s unclear how long consumer demand will remain strong as Americans spend down excess savings accumulated during the pandemic.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2231967420","content_text":"The U.S. economy shrunk at a 1.4% annualized pace in the first quarter of 2022, its first contraction since the early months of the Covid-19 pandemic in 2020. Yet the stock market largely shrugged off the news. There are good reasons not to panic yet, if history offers any guidance.The U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis has been tracking the gross domestic product numbers since 1947. Over the past 75 years or 300 quarters, the annualized rate of quarterly real GDP growth has turned negative 44 times. Not all resulted in recession, which typically requires two negative quarters back to back.In the first quarter of 2011 and 2014, for example, the real GDP contracted 1% and 1.4%, respectively, but later jumped back to grow 2.7% and 5.2% in the respective second quarters. Those one-time blips didn't lead to recession.Another example was during the 1950s. The real GDP contracted 1.5% and 0.4%, respectively, in the first and third quarter of 1956; bounced back strongly in between; and then again fell by 0.9% in the second quarter of 1957. But the economy didn't officially step into a recession until the economy shrank dramatically in the fourth quarter of 1957 and first quarter of 1958, falling 4.1% and 10%, respectively.The upshot is that even if the second quarter of 2022 turns positive, investors shouldn't let down their guard. Historically, it's quite common after a quarter of contraction to see a \"rebound\" -- often stemming from falling interest rates and other stimulus policies -- only to be followed by bigger falls ahead. That's what happened in the 1974 and 1982 recessions, as well as the ones in 2000 and 2008.Further complicating things, when U.S. recessions begin and end are based on the subjective judgment of a committee of the National Bureau of Economic Research. The NBER looks at a series of economic indicators----besides just the quarterly GDP data----before making a determination.There have been recessions that didn't include two consecutive negative quarters. The NBER identified March to October 2001 as a recession, even though the GDP contraction -- in the first and third quarters of 2001 -- didn't happen consecutively. The second quarter of that year actually saw a 2.5% growth in real GDP.Besides the top line numbers, investors need to examine why an economy is contracting in a particular quarter. The biggest factor behind the GDP drop in the first quarter of 2022 was a surge in imports and trade deficit, as Americans began buying more goods from overseas. That could be a sign that the U.S. economy has recovered more rapidly than others around the world, not necessarily a harbinger of future economic distress.Government spending fell in the first quarter of 2022. And businesses slowed down their rapid inventory rebuild -- a major contributor to strong growth in the fourth quarter of 2021 -- which also put a dent into the first-quarter's economic growth. \"This is noise, not signal,\" said Ian Shepherdson, chief economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics, \"The economy is not falling into recession.\"By contrast, consumer spending and private-sector investment -- most reflective of the economy's momentum -- remained strong in the first quarter. That likely will keep the Federal Reserve on track to raise interest rates at its policy meeting next week, likely by half a percentage point, economists say.\"With strong growth of consumer spending, business investment, and employment in the first quarter, the U.S. economy was not in a recession at the beginning of the year,\" Bill Adams, chief economist for Comerica Bank, wrote Thursday, \"Growth should resume in the second quarter as the trade deficit and inventories become smaller headwinds.Still, a second-quarter GDP rebound, even if it happens, won't be enough to assuage fears of  a recession later this year or next year. If inflation continues to soar and the Russia-Ukraine war leads to a global commodity crunch, it's unclear how long consumer demand will remain strong as Americans spend down excess savings accumulated during the pandemic.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":429,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9069902602,"gmtCreate":1651212354331,"gmtModify":1676534871863,"author":{"id":"4113268516594982","authorId":"4113268516594982","authorIdStr":"4113268516594982","name":"jellybelly","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4113268516594982"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Rich people","listText":"Rich people","text":"Rich people","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9069902602","repostId":"2231940479","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":312,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9909520135,"gmtCreate":1658889985527,"gmtModify":1676536224855,"author":{"id":"4113268516594982","authorId":"4113268516594982","authorIdStr":"4113268516594982","name":"jellybelly","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4113268516594982"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"nice","listText":"nice","text":"nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9909520135","repostId":"9909563355","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9909563355,"gmtCreate":1658889094877,"gmtModify":1676536224627,"author":{"id":"3583897064119156","authorId":"3583897064119156","authorIdStr":"3583897064119156","name":"vcvcbc","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/90dcd0f544e6b3d9d7fbe65dbe16a0d3","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583897064119156"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Share you my new found love When i picked a stock i try to be rational, the company is profitable, revolve around our daily needs, paying sustainable dividend, good FA On the long term of course i wish the stock price appreciate too so today i bought $WILMAR INTERNATIONAL LIMITED(F34.SI)$ BullishI saw the price dip near yo 52weeks low, in my watch list for long time but did not dare to enter, just like go 🛍 i only window shopping too afraid to take the risk, but today I decided to buy, waiting for dividend in August Why I always talk about dividend ? Because to me it is like a bonus, aren't you happy if you get big bonus from work ? I am smiling as i am typing this Invest wisely my friends @TigerStars My older love $Olam Group(VC2.SI)$ $SHENG SIONG GROUP LTD(OV8.SI)$ started to green alrea","listText":"Share you my new found love When i picked a stock i try to be rational, the company is profitable, revolve around our daily needs, paying sustainable dividend, good FA On the long term of course i wish the stock price appreciate too so today i bought $WILMAR INTERNATIONAL LIMITED(F34.SI)$ BullishI saw the price dip near yo 52weeks low, in my watch list for long time but did not dare to enter, just like go 🛍 i only window shopping too afraid to take the risk, but today I decided to buy, waiting for dividend in August Why I always talk about dividend ? Because to me it is like a bonus, aren't you happy if you get big bonus from work ? I am smiling as i am typing this Invest wisely my friends @TigerStars My older love $Olam Group(VC2.SI)$ $SHENG SIONG GROUP LTD(OV8.SI)$ started to green alrea","text":"Share you my new found love When i picked a stock i try to be rational, the company is profitable, revolve around our daily needs, paying sustainable dividend, good FA On the long term of course i wish the stock price appreciate too so today i bought $WILMAR INTERNATIONAL LIMITED(F34.SI)$ BullishI saw the price dip near yo 52weeks low, in my watch list for long time but did not dare to enter, just like go 🛍 i only window shopping too afraid to take the risk, but today I decided to buy, waiting for dividend in August Why I always talk about dividend ? Because to me it is like a bonus, aren't you happy if you get big bonus from work ? I am smiling as i am typing this Invest wisely my friends @TigerStars My older love $Olam Group(VC2.SI)$ $SHENG SIONG GROUP LTD(OV8.SI)$ started to green alrea","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9909563355","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":1,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":277,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9069902905,"gmtCreate":1651212309999,"gmtModify":1676534871847,"author":{"id":"4113268516594982","authorId":"4113268516594982","authorIdStr":"4113268516594982","name":"jellybelly","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4113268516594982"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great&nbsp;","listText":"Great&nbsp;","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9069902905","repostId":"2231967420","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":429,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}