CP_93 personal page - To The Moon

CP_93

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2023-10-31

Nice game, enjoying it

2023-10-30

Very nice game Happy Halloween and trading guys

2023-10-30

Have fun guys Happy Halloween

@TigerEvents:Join Tiger's Halloween Fun! Win Big!

2023-06-16

Lo

These Stocks Are Moving the Most on Thursday: Kroger, XPeng, SoFi, Cava, Domino’s, and More

2022-06-30

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Halloween","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/236115116576976","repostId":"234641357262864","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":234641357262864,"gmtCreate":1698311576543,"gmtModify":1698655637693,"author":{"id":"3527667667103859","authorId":"3527667667103859","name":"TigerEvents","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c266ef25181ace18bec1262357bbe1a8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667667103859","idStr":"3527667667103859"},"themes":[],"title":"Join Tiger's Halloween Fun! Win Big!","htmlText":"Hey there, spooky squad! 🎃Halloween is coming, and it's time for some fang-tastic fun with our new game - Trick Or Trade! Get ready for some fun, and earn points to win a USD 100 stock voucher and AAPL stock!*In this thrilling game, you'll have just 60 seconds to fend off a gang of mischievous Halloween spirits. It's your job to give them a fright and chase them away with a tap – the more, the merrier!Now, here's the twist: each ghostly friend will require different taps and will reward you with various points.Airy the Apparition - Just one tap, and poof, they vanish. Spooktacularly easy!Bubbles the Water Pixie - Disappears with zero taps - A true magic trick!Rocky the Earth Spirit - You'll need to tap twice to send it packing. He's grounded, you see.Flicker the Embergeist - Another one-ta","listText":"Hey there, spooky squad! 🎃Halloween is coming, and it's time for some fang-tastic fun with our new game - Trick Or Trade! 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Allegiant (ALGT) gained 2% after the travel services company also was upgraded to Buy from Hold at Deutsche Bank.</p><p>Jabil (JBL) gained 5% after the contract electronics manufacturer posted better-than-expected earnings for its third quarter.</p><p>Cava Group (CAVA) rose 97% to just over $43 after the Mediterranean fast-casual restaurant stock made its trading debut on the New York Stock Exchange on Thursday. Its initial public offering price was $22.</p><p>Mersana Therapeutics (MRSN) tumbled 59% after the biopharmaceutical company said the Food and Drug Administration has issued a partial clinical hold pausing new patient enrollment in its clinical trails for an ovarian cancer treatment following a safety report of bleeding events.</p><p>SoFi Technologies (SOFI) shed 2% after the financial services company was downgraded to Perform from Outperform by analysts at Oppenheimer.</p><p>Lennar (LEN) reported better-than-expected fiscal second-quarter earnings and revenue. Orders and deliveries also exceed analysts’ expectations in the period. The home builder said it sees fiscal third-quarter deliveries in a range from 17,750 to 18,250 homes, higher than forecasts. The stock was rising 4.4%.</p><p>Domino’s Pizza (DPZ) gained 6.5% after being upgraded to Buy from Hold at Stifel and its price target raised to $350 from $320. It was the top performer in the S&amp;P 500 on Thursday.</p><p>American depositary receipts of retailer Alibaba (BABA) rose 3.2% after the People’s Bank of China delivered rate cuts on short and medium-term loans and injected additional money into the banking system.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>These Stocks Are Moving the Most on Thursday: Kroger, XPeng, SoFi, Cava, Domino’s, and More</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThese Stocks Are Moving the Most on Thursday: Kroger, XPeng, SoFi, Cava, Domino’s, and More\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-06-16 09:55 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/articles/stock-market-movers-90f47bb9?mod=mw_latestnews><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Stock traded higher Thursday after the Federal Reserve held interest rates steady but signaled the potential for more rate increases later this year.These stocks were making moves Thursday: Kroger (...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/articles/stock-market-movers-90f47bb9?mod=mw_latestnews\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"DPZ":"达美乐比萨","KR":"克罗格","CAVA":"CAVA Group Inc.","XPEV":"小鹏汽车","SOFI":"SoFi Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/articles/stock-market-movers-90f47bb9?mod=mw_latestnews","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1124679608","content_text":"Stock traded higher Thursday after the Federal Reserve held interest rates steady but signaled the potential for more rate increases later this year.These stocks were making moves Thursday: Kroger (ticker: KR) shed 2.7% after the grocer beat profit expectations for its latest quarter but maintained guidance for fiscal-year earnings.American depositary receipts of XPeng (XPEV) were up 7.4% after the Chinese electric-vehicle maker said it has received approval to launch its assisted-driving technology on major ring roads and expressways in Beijing.Skywest (SKYW) rose 4.5% after the airline was upgraded to Buy from Hold by analysts at Deutsche Bank. Allegiant (ALGT) gained 2% after the travel services company also was upgraded to Buy from Hold at Deutsche Bank.Jabil (JBL) gained 5% after the contract electronics manufacturer posted better-than-expected earnings for its third quarter.Cava Group (CAVA) rose 97% to just over $43 after the Mediterranean fast-casual restaurant stock made its trading debut on the New York Stock Exchange on Thursday. Its initial public offering price was $22.Mersana Therapeutics (MRSN) tumbled 59% after the biopharmaceutical company said the Food and Drug Administration has issued a partial clinical hold pausing new patient enrollment in its clinical trails for an ovarian cancer treatment following a safety report of bleeding events.SoFi Technologies (SOFI) shed 2% after the financial services company was downgraded to Perform from Outperform by analysts at Oppenheimer.Lennar (LEN) reported better-than-expected fiscal second-quarter earnings and revenue. Orders and deliveries also exceed analysts’ expectations in the period. The home builder said it sees fiscal third-quarter deliveries in a range from 17,750 to 18,250 homes, higher than forecasts. The stock was rising 4.4%.Domino’s Pizza (DPZ) gained 6.5% after being upgraded to Buy from Hold at Stifel and its price target raised to $350 from $320. It was the top performer in the S&P 500 on Thursday.American depositary receipts of retailer Alibaba (BABA) rose 3.2% after the People’s Bank of China delivered rate cuts on short and medium-term loans and injected additional money into the banking system.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":249,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9042470306,"gmtCreate":1656518536905,"gmtModify":1676535844713,"author":{"id":"4113358555722592","authorId":"4113358555722592","name":"CP_93","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4113358555722592","idStr":"4113358555722592"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Like]&nbsp;","listText":"[Like]&nbsp;","text":"[Like]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9042470306","repostId":"2247335031","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":353,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":187823975715056,"gmtCreate":1686883088036,"gmtModify":1686885345941,"author":{"id":"4113358555722592","authorId":"4113358555722592","name":"CP_93","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4113358555722592","authorIdStr":"4113358555722592"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Lo","listText":"Lo","text":"Lo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/187823975715056","repostId":"1124679608","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":249,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9042470306,"gmtCreate":1656518536905,"gmtModify":1676535844713,"author":{"id":"4113358555722592","authorId":"4113358555722592","name":"CP_93","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4113358555722592","authorIdStr":"4113358555722592"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Like]&nbsp;","listText":"[Like]&nbsp;","text":"[Like]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9042470306","repostId":"2247335031","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2247335031","pubTimestamp":1656515616,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2247335031?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-29 23:13","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Alibaba: 5 Reasons To Buy, 2 Reasons To Sell","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2247335031","media":"Seekingalpha","summary":"IntroductionAlibaba (NYSE:BABA) (OTCPK:BABAF) is one of the most contentious holdings in my portfoli","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2>Introduction</h2><p>Alibaba (NYSE:BABA) (OTCPK:BABAF) is <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of the most contentious holdings in my portfolio. For starters, Alibaba is the only Chinese stock I own [having initiated a small position in mid-November 2021]. Secondly, I believe that Alibaba&#39;s stock is ridiculously cheap based on its business fundamentals. However, I am still not entirely convinced about this investment due to macroeconomic and regulatory headwinds in China. The consensus noise in broader investment media is very bearish for Chinese tech stocks, and I don&#39;t think the sentiment will improve anytime soon.</p><p>After analyzing Alibaba&#39;s Q4 numbers, I performed an exercise to nail down the bullish and bearish arguments for a long-term investment in Alibaba. In today&#39;s note, we will be discussing five reasons to buy and two reasons to sell Alibaba&#39;s stock at current levels. Here we go.</p><h2>5 Reasons To Buy Alibaba</h2><ul><li><b>Solid Business Fundamentals</b></li></ul><p>In Q4, Alibaba reported an earnings miss; however, revenue came in stronger-than-expected at $32.1B (vs. analyst estimates of ~$31B). As you may know, the Chinese economy is still suffering from draconian lockdowns, inflation, and slowing consumer demand. Despite all the noise around its business, Alibaba&#39;s fundamentals remain robust. After experiencing a pull forward in demand during the first wave of COVID, the fact that Alibaba is still growing its revenues is heartening. With inflation causing intense margin pressures, Alibaba&#39;s gross and operating margins declined considerably in Q4; however, these numbers are still very healthy. As the Chinese economy opens up and resumes growth, I think Alibaba&#39;s revenues and margins will start expanding once again.</p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/35f832b08e66d361bbb5c51f7355f977\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"460\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>YCharts</p><p>In recent quarters, Alibaba&#39;s margins have come under pressure, which in turn has led to compression in free cash flow generation. For Q4, Alibaba reported a negative free cash flow of -$1.18B; however, if you look at historical trends, Alibaba has burnt cash in Q4 for the last three years, and this year&#39;s burn is the smallest. At the end of the day, Alibaba is still a free cash flow machine.</p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b4b8f7d033c114324988b2dc1f3407c8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"413\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>YCharts</p><p>With roughly $50B of net cash, Alibaba has little to no liquidity or bankruptcy risk. Due to a violent valuation reset in its stock, Alibaba&#39;s management has adopted a more aggressive capital return program (upsizing its share buyback authorization to $25B in March 2022).</p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/52a65cd79cb85db43d377e4030d3f406\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"413\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>YCharts</p><p>According to Alibaba&#39;s Deputy CFO, Toby Xu -</p><blockquote>The upsized share buyback underscores our confidence in Alibaba&#39;s long-term, sustainable growth potential and value creation. Alibaba&#39;s stock price does not fairly reflect the company&#39;s value given our robust financial health and expansion plans.</blockquote><p>I agree with Toby. Let&#39;s find out why.</p><ul><li><b>Dirt Cheap Valuations</b></li></ul><p>When I rated Alibaba a strong buy before its earnings report, the stock was trading at a ridiculously low P/FCF multiple of ~8.55x. I must reiterate that I had no clue as to what Alibaba would report in Q4 or how the stock would react to these numbers. However, the valuation made Alibaba a no-brainer, and it still is a no-brainer (despite the +40% move in Alibaba&#39;s stock). Today, Alibaba is trading at ~14x P/FCF (well below the 3-yr median P/FCF of ~21x).</p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/97154790c41df6813966a9c0226a5d43\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"413\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>YCharts</p><p>Honestly, I don&#39;t think Alibaba&#39;s Q4 numbers justify the quick 40% bounce we have seen in its stock over the last few days; however, Alibaba&#39;s valuation remains depressed, and the upside move may continue in the near future (quantitative factor data and technical charts suggest so).</p><ul><li><b>Improving Quant Factor Grades</b></li></ul><p>After the recent run-up in Alibaba&#39;s stock, its momentum factor grade has improved from &#34;C-&#34; to &#34;B+&#34;. I previously highlighted the positive trend in Alibaba&#39;s momentum factor grade as a potential sign of a turnaround in the stock. While momentum may continue to carry the stock higher towards the $140-$150 range, Alibaba&#39;s factor grades for valuation and (earnings) revisions are getting weaker.</p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c7da606c3f053f0884d0de15d76984d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"251\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha Quant Rating</p><p>With profitability and growth factor grades holding up, Alibaba&#39;s stock could ride the momentum train higher. Furthermore, Alibaba&#39;s fundamentals are likely to rebound in the coming 4-8 quarters. Hence, I view the current quantitative factor grades for Alibaba favorably, despite an overall rating of &#39;Hold&#39; [3.30] on SA&#39;s Quant Rating System.</p><ul><li><b>A Trend Reversal On The Technical Charts</b></li></ul><p>Alibaba&#39;s technical chart is showing signs of a major trend reversal with a breakout from its downward falling wedge pattern. While I don&#39;t expect Alibaba&#39;s stock to go up in a straight line, I will be looking for the stock to recapture its 200-EMA of ~$130 to confirm the trend reversal.</p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da230de0660c27b79cb293f0e3a75813\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"440\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>On 25th May 2022, I wrote the following:</p><blockquote>As of today, Alibaba is still stuck in the downward wedge pattern; however, there are signs of RSI divergence, and the MACD is also moving up slowly as the stock hovers above a demand zone (shown on the chart). While I do not see a trend reversal just yet, I think the technical setup is improving. A breakout to the upside could send Alibaba back up to $140-$150 in quick order.</blockquote><p>Today, the RSI and MACD divergence that we observed a month ago is far more evident. While this bounce may yet fizzle out in the coming weeks and months, I think the technical setup is favorable for bulls (especially for ones with a long-term investment horizon).</p><ul><li><b>Signs of regulatory policy relaxation</b></li></ul><p>Over the past few months, the Chinese government has been seemingly easing up on its ongoing technology crackdown. Out of the five reasons I laid out in support of buying Alibaba, I think policy relaxation is probably the weakest one due to its abstract nature. However, if we do see a policy reversal from the Chinese government or even an easing of its technology crackdown, Alibaba could get rid of a major overhang on its stock, and if the negative sentiment abates, the stock could re-rate higher to a normalized valuation multiple.</p><h2>2 Reasons To Sell Alibaba</h2><p>Considering Alibaba&#39;s healthy fundamentals, dirt-cheap valuation, improving quant factor grades, and bullish technical setup, I don&#39;t think there is a straightforward, data-driven bear thesis against Alibaba. However, if I had to look for reasons to sell Alibaba at this throwaway price, they would have to be extrinsic reasons.</p><ul><li><b>Poor Macroeconomic Environment</b></li></ul><p>Like most businesses, Alibaba is exposed to macroeconomic factors. With most of its revenues coming from China, Alibaba&#39;s sales growth and margins could remain unimpressive for the foreseeable future. If Alibaba&#39;s free cash flows were to contract further in the event of a recession, the stock could go lower even if multiples were to return to normalized levels.</p><ul><li><b>Potential Delisting in the US</b></li></ul><p>While Alibaba has not been named as a (potential) violator of the HFCAA (Holding Foreign Companies Accountable Act) by the US SEC, the risk of potential delisting from US exchanges is non-zero for Alibaba. Institutional investors like Blackrock have exited Alibaba&#39;s ADRs and invested in Alibaba directly on Hong Kong exchanges. In my view, a potential delisting of ADRs is not a significant risk for Alibaba, but if you wish to get ahead of this risk, you should look to sell Alibaba ADRs [and consider investing in Alibaba on Hong Kong exchanges].</p><h2>Bottom Line</h2><p>Even after a rapid 40%+ move off its lows, fundamental, quantitative, and technical data render Alibaba&#39;s stock a &#34;Buy&#34;. As we saw today, the good in Alibaba (reasons to buy) far outweighs the bad (reasons to sell). Hence, I continue to be bullish on Alibaba.</p><p><b>Key Takeaway:</b> I rate Alibaba a strong buy at $117.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba: 5 Reasons To Buy, 2 Reasons To Sell</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba: 5 Reasons To Buy, 2 Reasons To Sell\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-06-29 23:13 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4520712-alibaba-stock-5-reasons-buy-2-reasons-sell><strong>Seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>IntroductionAlibaba (NYSE:BABA) (OTCPK:BABAF) is one of the most contentious holdings in my portfolio. For starters, Alibaba is the only Chinese stock I own [having initiated a small position in mid-...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4520712-alibaba-stock-5-reasons-buy-2-reasons-sell\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴","09988":"阿里巴巴-W"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4520712-alibaba-stock-5-reasons-buy-2-reasons-sell","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2247335031","content_text":"IntroductionAlibaba (NYSE:BABA) (OTCPK:BABAF) is one of the most contentious holdings in my portfolio. For starters, Alibaba is the only Chinese stock I own [having initiated a small position in mid-November 2021]. Secondly, I believe that Alibaba's stock is ridiculously cheap based on its business fundamentals. However, I am still not entirely convinced about this investment due to macroeconomic and regulatory headwinds in China. The consensus noise in broader investment media is very bearish for Chinese tech stocks, and I don't think the sentiment will improve anytime soon.After analyzing Alibaba's Q4 numbers, I performed an exercise to nail down the bullish and bearish arguments for a long-term investment in Alibaba. In today's note, we will be discussing five reasons to buy and two reasons to sell Alibaba's stock at current levels. Here we go.5 Reasons To Buy AlibabaSolid Business FundamentalsIn Q4, Alibaba reported an earnings miss; however, revenue came in stronger-than-expected at $32.1B (vs. analyst estimates of ~$31B). As you may know, the Chinese economy is still suffering from draconian lockdowns, inflation, and slowing consumer demand. Despite all the noise around its business, Alibaba's fundamentals remain robust. After experiencing a pull forward in demand during the first wave of COVID, the fact that Alibaba is still growing its revenues is heartening. With inflation causing intense margin pressures, Alibaba's gross and operating margins declined considerably in Q4; however, these numbers are still very healthy. As the Chinese economy opens up and resumes growth, I think Alibaba's revenues and margins will start expanding once again.YChartsIn recent quarters, Alibaba's margins have come under pressure, which in turn has led to compression in free cash flow generation. For Q4, Alibaba reported a negative free cash flow of -$1.18B; however, if you look at historical trends, Alibaba has burnt cash in Q4 for the last three years, and this year's burn is the smallest. At the end of the day, Alibaba is still a free cash flow machine.YChartsWith roughly $50B of net cash, Alibaba has little to no liquidity or bankruptcy risk. Due to a violent valuation reset in its stock, Alibaba's management has adopted a more aggressive capital return program (upsizing its share buyback authorization to $25B in March 2022).YChartsAccording to Alibaba's Deputy CFO, Toby Xu -The upsized share buyback underscores our confidence in Alibaba's long-term, sustainable growth potential and value creation. Alibaba's stock price does not fairly reflect the company's value given our robust financial health and expansion plans.I agree with Toby. Let's find out why.Dirt Cheap ValuationsWhen I rated Alibaba a strong buy before its earnings report, the stock was trading at a ridiculously low P/FCF multiple of ~8.55x. I must reiterate that I had no clue as to what Alibaba would report in Q4 or how the stock would react to these numbers. However, the valuation made Alibaba a no-brainer, and it still is a no-brainer (despite the +40% move in Alibaba's stock). Today, Alibaba is trading at ~14x P/FCF (well below the 3-yr median P/FCF of ~21x).YChartsHonestly, I don't think Alibaba's Q4 numbers justify the quick 40% bounce we have seen in its stock over the last few days; however, Alibaba's valuation remains depressed, and the upside move may continue in the near future (quantitative factor data and technical charts suggest so).Improving Quant Factor GradesAfter the recent run-up in Alibaba's stock, its momentum factor grade has improved from \"C-\" to \"B+\". I previously highlighted the positive trend in Alibaba's momentum factor grade as a potential sign of a turnaround in the stock. While momentum may continue to carry the stock higher towards the $140-$150 range, Alibaba's factor grades for valuation and (earnings) revisions are getting weaker.Seeking Alpha Quant RatingWith profitability and growth factor grades holding up, Alibaba's stock could ride the momentum train higher. Furthermore, Alibaba's fundamentals are likely to rebound in the coming 4-8 quarters. Hence, I view the current quantitative factor grades for Alibaba favorably, despite an overall rating of 'Hold' [3.30] on SA's Quant Rating System.A Trend Reversal On The Technical ChartsAlibaba's technical chart is showing signs of a major trend reversal with a breakout from its downward falling wedge pattern. While I don't expect Alibaba's stock to go up in a straight line, I will be looking for the stock to recapture its 200-EMA of ~$130 to confirm the trend reversal.On 25th May 2022, I wrote the following:As of today, Alibaba is still stuck in the downward wedge pattern; however, there are signs of RSI divergence, and the MACD is also moving up slowly as the stock hovers above a demand zone (shown on the chart). While I do not see a trend reversal just yet, I think the technical setup is improving. A breakout to the upside could send Alibaba back up to $140-$150 in quick order.Today, the RSI and MACD divergence that we observed a month ago is far more evident. While this bounce may yet fizzle out in the coming weeks and months, I think the technical setup is favorable for bulls (especially for ones with a long-term investment horizon).Signs of regulatory policy relaxationOver the past few months, the Chinese government has been seemingly easing up on its ongoing technology crackdown. Out of the five reasons I laid out in support of buying Alibaba, I think policy relaxation is probably the weakest one due to its abstract nature. However, if we do see a policy reversal from the Chinese government or even an easing of its technology crackdown, Alibaba could get rid of a major overhang on its stock, and if the negative sentiment abates, the stock could re-rate higher to a normalized valuation multiple.2 Reasons To Sell AlibabaConsidering Alibaba's healthy fundamentals, dirt-cheap valuation, improving quant factor grades, and bullish technical setup, I don't think there is a straightforward, data-driven bear thesis against Alibaba. However, if I had to look for reasons to sell Alibaba at this throwaway price, they would have to be extrinsic reasons.Poor Macroeconomic EnvironmentLike most businesses, Alibaba is exposed to macroeconomic factors. With most of its revenues coming from China, Alibaba's sales growth and margins could remain unimpressive for the foreseeable future. If Alibaba's free cash flows were to contract further in the event of a recession, the stock could go lower even if multiples were to return to normalized levels.Potential Delisting in the USWhile Alibaba has not been named as a (potential) violator of the HFCAA (Holding Foreign Companies Accountable Act) by the US SEC, the risk of potential delisting from US exchanges is non-zero for Alibaba. Institutional investors like Blackrock have exited Alibaba's ADRs and invested in Alibaba directly on Hong Kong exchanges. In my view, a potential delisting of ADRs is not a significant risk for Alibaba, but if you wish to get ahead of this risk, you should look to sell Alibaba ADRs [and consider investing in Alibaba on Hong Kong exchanges].Bottom LineEven after a rapid 40%+ move off its lows, fundamental, quantitative, and technical data render Alibaba's stock a \"Buy\". As we saw today, the good in Alibaba (reasons to buy) far outweighs the bad (reasons to sell). Hence, I continue to be bullish on Alibaba.Key Takeaway: I rate Alibaba a strong buy at $117.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":353,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":236457686044808,"gmtCreate":1698764481000,"gmtModify":1698764485623,"author":{"id":"4113358555722592","authorId":"4113358555722592","name":"CP_93","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4113358555722592","authorIdStr":"4113358555722592"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice game, enjoying it&nbsp;","listText":"Nice game, enjoying it&nbsp;","text":"Nice game, enjoying it","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/236457686044808","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":333,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":236115458617464,"gmtCreate":1698678239872,"gmtModify":1698678594297,"author":{"id":"4113358555722592","authorId":"4113358555722592","name":"CP_93","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4113358555722592","authorIdStr":"4113358555722592"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Very nice game Happy Halloween and trading guys&nbsp;","listText":"Very nice game Happy Halloween and trading guys&nbsp;","text":"Very nice game Happy Halloween and trading guys","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/236115458617464","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":321,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":236115116576976,"gmtCreate":1698677991665,"gmtModify":1698678582781,"author":{"id":"4113358555722592","authorId":"4113358555722592","name":"CP_93","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4113358555722592","authorIdStr":"4113358555722592"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Have fun guys Happy Halloween&nbsp;","listText":"Have fun guys Happy Halloween&nbsp;","text":"Have fun guys Happy Halloween","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/236115116576976","repostId":"234641357262864","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":234641357262864,"gmtCreate":1698311576543,"gmtModify":1698655637693,"author":{"id":"3527667667103859","authorId":"3527667667103859","name":"TigerEvents","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c266ef25181ace18bec1262357bbe1a8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667667103859","authorIdStr":"3527667667103859"},"themes":[],"title":"Join Tiger's Halloween Fun! Win Big!","htmlText":"Hey there, spooky squad! 🎃Halloween is coming, and it's time for some fang-tastic fun with our new game - Trick Or Trade! Get ready for some fun, and earn points to win a USD 100 stock voucher and AAPL stock!*In this thrilling game, you'll have just 60 seconds to fend off a gang of mischievous Halloween spirits. It's your job to give them a fright and chase them away with a tap – the more, the merrier!Now, here's the twist: each ghostly friend will require different taps and will reward you with various points.Airy the Apparition - Just one tap, and poof, they vanish. Spooktacularly easy!Bubbles the Water Pixie - Disappears with zero taps - A true magic trick!Rocky the Earth Spirit - You'll need to tap twice to send it packing. He's grounded, you see.Flicker the Embergeist - Another one-ta","listText":"Hey there, spooky squad! 🎃Halloween is coming, and it's time for some fang-tastic fun with our new game - Trick Or Trade! Get ready for some fun, and earn points to win a USD 100 stock voucher and AAPL stock!*In this thrilling game, you'll have just 60 seconds to fend off a gang of mischievous Halloween spirits. It's your job to give them a fright and chase them away with a tap – the more, the merrier!Now, here's the twist: each ghostly friend will require different taps and will reward you with various points.Airy the Apparition - Just one tap, and poof, they vanish. Spooktacularly easy!Bubbles the Water Pixie - Disappears with zero taps - A true magic trick!Rocky the Earth Spirit - You'll need to tap twice to send it packing. He's grounded, you see.Flicker the Embergeist - Another one-ta","text":"Hey there, spooky squad! 🎃Halloween is coming, and it's time for some fang-tastic fun with our new game - Trick Or Trade! Get ready for some fun, and earn points to win a USD 100 stock voucher and AAPL stock!*In this thrilling game, you'll have just 60 seconds to fend off a gang of mischievous Halloween spirits. It's your job to give them a fright and chase them away with a tap – the more, the merrier!Now, here's the twist: each ghostly friend will require different taps and will reward you with various points.Airy the Apparition - Just one tap, and poof, they vanish. Spooktacularly easy!Bubbles the Water Pixie - Disappears with zero taps - A true magic trick!Rocky the Earth Spirit - You'll need to tap twice to send it packing. He's grounded, you see.Flicker the Embergeist - Another one-ta","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ad478b709732d53302c395a52fa1c8e1","width":"1200","height":"630"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/234641357262864","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":263,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}