Don 007 personal page - To The Moon

Don 007

Don 007

No personal profile

18Follow

0Followers

0Topic

0Badge

2023-03-19

$UnitedHealth(UNH)$ it time to consider this stock?

2022-12-07

Market declining.

US STOCKS-S&P Posts 4th Straight Decline As Recession Talk Weighs on Wall Street

2022-11-03

Apple will not be alone.

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2022-10-20

Be patience. Wait for the right entry price.

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2022-10-20

Wait for 175

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2022-10-17

The price is still too high

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2022-10-17

Metaverse is unreal and is a dream but many people like to stay is the dream

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2022-10-17

Ark is an bad example

Ark's Cathie Wood Continues to Stumble

2022-10-17

Wait for the price to 38.5

Is AMD Stock a Buy After Its Latest Plunge?

2022-10-17

Reduce or stop trading with C###a, price will raise and see no reason will come down.

Costco Will Raise Prices, But Won't Make Key Membership Change

2022-10-16

Two big giants are fighting, hence it will not aettle anytime soon.

Down 58% to 75%, These 3 Growth Stocks Are Poised for a Comeback

2022-10-16

One day it will shone again

Alibaba Q3: Time To Consider An Option Play

2022-10-16

I'm holding on to it. A belief.

Alibaba Q3: Time To Consider An Option Play

2022-10-08

Interest rise, stock market down. When will this come to a turning point.

Fed’s Williams Sees Rates Heading to Around 4.5% to Cool Prices

2022-10-08

Be patient. Wait for unbelievable moment.

Is Now the Right Time to Buy Netflix Stock?

2022-10-07

Be patient, wait for the right entry price.

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2022-10-01

Where is the bottom?

US STOCKS-Wall St Posts Third Straight Quarterly Loss As Inflation Weighs, Recession Looms

2022-09-28

Can it be worst then now.

Option Movers｜Mega-Cap Stocks Like Tesla and Meta Stop Bleeding; This Bond ETF Shows a Bear Market Since 1946 Is Coming

2022-09-28

I not changing my phone. Current one can meet my requirements.

Stock Futures Slide Amid Report Apple Is Ditching iPhone Production Boost

2022-09-18

Wait for good entry price

Sorry, the original content has been removed

Go to Tiger App to see more news

{"i18n":{"language":"en_US"},"userPageInfo":{"id":"4114039699852602","uuid":"4114039699852602","gmtCreate":1650946309254,"gmtModify":1658299845100,"name":"Don 007","pinyin":"don007don007","introduction":"","introductionEn":"","signature":"","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/cf8491b1bcaf8eb7027783be64d82761","hat":null,"hatId":null,"hatName":null,"vip":1,"status":2,"fanSize":0,"headSize":18,"tweetSize":39,"questionSize":0,"limitLevel":999,"accountStatus":4,"level":{"id":1,"name":"萌萌虎","nameTw":"萌萌虎","represent":"呱呱坠地","factor":"评论帖子3次或发布1条主帖（非转发）","iconColor":"3C9E83","bgColor":"A2F1D9"},"themeCounts":0,"badgeCounts":0,"badges":[],"moderator":false,"superModerator":false,"manageSymbols":null,"badgeLevel":null,"boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"favoriteSize":0,"symbols":null,"coverImage":null,"realNameVerified":"init","userBadges":[{"badgeId":"1026c425416b44e0aac28c11a0848493-2","templateUuid":"1026c425416b44e0aac28c11a0848493","name":"Senior Tiger","description":"Join the tiger community for 1000 days","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0063fb68ea29c9ae6858c58630e182d5","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/96c699a93be4214d4b49aea6a5a5d1a4","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/35b0e542a9ff77046ed69ef602bc105d","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2025.01.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001},{"badgeId":"7a9f168ff73447fe856ed6c938b61789-1","templateUuid":"7a9f168ff73447fe856ed6c938b61789","name":"Knowledgeable Investor","description":"Traded more than 10 stocks","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e74cc24115c4fbae6154ec1b1041bf47","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d48265cbfd97c57f9048db29f22227b0","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76c6d6898b073c77e1c537ebe9ac1c57","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2023.02.08","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1102},{"badgeId":"972123088c9646f7b6091ae0662215be-3","templateUuid":"972123088c9646f7b6091ae0662215be","name":"Legendary Trader","description":"Total number of securities or futures transactions reached 300","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/656db16598a0b8f21429e10d6c1cb033","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03f10910d4dd9234f9b5702a3342193a","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c767e35268feb729d50d3fa9a386c5a","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.09.07","exceedPercentage":"93.25%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100},{"badgeId":"44212b71d0be4ec88898348dbe882e03-3","templateUuid":"44212b71d0be4ec88898348dbe882e03","name":"President Tiger","description":"The transaction amount of the securities account reaches $1,000,000","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fbeac6bb240db7da8b972e5183d050ba","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/436cdf80292b99f0a992e78750ac4e3a","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/506a259a7b456f037592c3b23c779599","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.07.12","exceedPercentage":"93.48%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1101},{"badgeId":"a83d7582f45846ffbccbce770ce65d84-1","templateUuid":"a83d7582f45846ffbccbce770ce65d84","name":"Real Trader","description":"Completed a transaction","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e08a1cc2087a1de93402c2c290fa65b","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4504a6397ce1137932d56e5f4ce27166","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b22c79415b4cd6e3d8ebc4a0fa32604","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.05.11","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100}],"userBadgeCount":5,"currentWearingBadge":null,"individualDisplayBadges":null,"crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"location":null,"starInvestorFollowerNum":0,"starInvestorFlag":false,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":0,"subscribeStarInvestorNum":0,"ror":null,"winRationPercentage":null,"showRor":false,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"baikeInfo":{},"tab":"post","tweets":[{"id":9943340982,"gmtCreate":1679187748546,"gmtModify":1679187752732,"author":{"id":"4114039699852602","authorId":"4114039699852602","name":"Don 007","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/cf8491b1bcaf8eb7027783be64d82761","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4114039699852602","idStr":"4114039699852602"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/UNH\">$UnitedHealth(UNH)$ &nbsp;</a>it time to consider this stock?","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/UNH\">$UnitedHealth(UNH)$ &nbsp;</a>it time to consider this stock?","text":"$UnitedHealth(UNH)$ it time to consider this stock?","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1d3036c7f63c8e528e5e1de282c0e4bb","width":"1080","height":"2287"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9943340982","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2855,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3579592180464188","authorId":"3579592180464188","name":"Omega88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af85c47a34d1bf9d2534738ed77bef05","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3579592180464188","idStr":"3579592180464188"},"content":"It's relatively cheaper now, I just added some last week!","text":"It's relatively cheaper now, I just added some last week!","html":"It's relatively cheaper now, I just added some last week!"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9920083215,"gmtCreate":1670393906437,"gmtModify":1676538359467,"author":{"id":"4114039699852602","authorId":"4114039699852602","name":"Don 007","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/cf8491b1bcaf8eb7027783be64d82761","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4114039699852602","idStr":"4114039699852602"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Market declining.&nbsp;","listText":"Market declining.&nbsp;","text":"Market declining.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9920083215","repostId":"2289364177","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2289364177","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1670362711,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2289364177?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-12-07 05:38","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US STOCKS-S&P Posts 4th Straight Decline As Recession Talk Weighs on Wall Street","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2289364177","media":"Reuters","summary":"(Reuters) - Wall Street ended lower on Tuesday, with the S&P 500 extending its losing streak to four","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>(Reuters) - Wall Street ended lower on Tuesday, with the S&amp;P 500 extending its losing streak to four sessions, as skittish investors fretted over Federal Reserve rate hikes and further talk of a looming recession.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/META\">Meta Platforms</a> Inc dragged down markets, with its shares sliding 6.8% following reports that European Union regulators have ruled the company should not require users to agree to personalized ads based on their digital activity.</p><p>However, technology names generally suffered as investors applied caution toward high-growth companies whose performance would be sluggish in a challenging economy. Apple Inc, Amazon.com Inc and Alphabet Inc fell between 2.5% and 3%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq was pulled lower for a third straight session.</p><p>Most of the 11 major S&amp;P sectors declined, with energy and communications services joining technology as leading laggards. Utilities, a defensive sector often preferred during times of economic uncertainty, was the only exception, gaining 0.7%.</p><p>Future economic growth prospects were in focus on Tuesday following comments from financial titans pointing toward uncertain times ahead.</p><p>Bank of America Corp&#39;s chief executive predicted three quarters of mild negative growth next year, while JPMorgan Chase and Co&#39;s CEO Jamie Dimon said inflation will erode consumer spending power and that a mild to more pronounced recession was likely ahead.</p><p>Their comments came on the heels of recent views from BlackRock and others that believe the U.S. Federal Reserve&#39;s aggressive monetary tightening to combat stubbornly high price rises could induce an economic downturn in 2023.</p><p>&#34;The market is very reactive right now,&#34; said David Sadkin, president at Bel Air Investment Advisors.</p><p>He noted that, while markets traditionally reflect the future, right now they are moving up and down based on the latest headlines.</p><p>Fears about economic growth come amid a re-evaluation by traders of what path future interest rate hikes will take, following strong data on jobs and the services sector in recent days.</p><p>Money market bets are pointing to a 91% chance that the U.S. central bank might raise rates by 50 basis points at its Dec. 13-14 policy meeting, with rates expected to peak at 4.98% in May 2023, up from 4.92% estimated on Monday before service-sector data was released.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 rallied 13.8% in October and November on hopes of smaller rate hikes and better-than-expected earnings, although such Fed expectations could be undermined by further data releases, including producer prices due out on Friday.</p><p>&#34;The market got ahead of itself at the end of November, but then we got some good economic data, so people are re-evaluating what the Fed is going to do next week,&#34; said Bel Air&#39;s Sadkin.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 350.76 points, or 1.03%, to close at 33,596.34, the S&amp;P 500 lost 57.58 points, or 1.44%, to finish at 3,941.26 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 225.05 points, or 2%, to end on 11,014.89.</p><p>Jitters on the direction of global growth have also weighed on oil prices, with U.S. crude slipping to levels last seen in January, before Russia&#39;s invasion of Ukraine disrupted supply markets. The energy sector fell 2.7% on Tuesday.</p><p>Banks are among the most sensitive stocks to an economic downturn, as they potentially face negative effects from bad loans or slowing loan growth. The S&amp;P banks index slipped 1.4% to its lowest close since Oct. 21.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 11.01 billion shares, in line with the average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted three new 52-week highs and nine new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 52 new highs and 262 new lows. (Reporting by Devik Jain, Ankika Biswas and Johann M Cherian in Bengaluru and David French in New York; Editing by Vinay Dwivedi, Shounak Dasgupta and Lisa Shumaker)</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US STOCKS-S&P Posts 4th Straight Decline As Recession Talk Weighs on Wall Street</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS STOCKS-S&P Posts 4th Straight Decline As Recession Talk Weighs on Wall Street\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-12-07 05:38</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>(Reuters) - Wall Street ended lower on Tuesday, with the S&amp;P 500 extending its losing streak to four sessions, as skittish investors fretted over Federal Reserve rate hikes and further talk of a looming recession.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/META\">Meta Platforms</a> Inc dragged down markets, with its shares sliding 6.8% following reports that European Union regulators have ruled the company should not require users to agree to personalized ads based on their digital activity.</p><p>However, technology names generally suffered as investors applied caution toward high-growth companies whose performance would be sluggish in a challenging economy. Apple Inc, Amazon.com Inc and Alphabet Inc fell between 2.5% and 3%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq was pulled lower for a third straight session.</p><p>Most of the 11 major S&amp;P sectors declined, with energy and communications services joining technology as leading laggards. Utilities, a defensive sector often preferred during times of economic uncertainty, was the only exception, gaining 0.7%.</p><p>Future economic growth prospects were in focus on Tuesday following comments from financial titans pointing toward uncertain times ahead.</p><p>Bank of America Corp&#39;s chief executive predicted three quarters of mild negative growth next year, while JPMorgan Chase and Co&#39;s CEO Jamie Dimon said inflation will erode consumer spending power and that a mild to more pronounced recession was likely ahead.</p><p>Their comments came on the heels of recent views from BlackRock and others that believe the U.S. Federal Reserve&#39;s aggressive monetary tightening to combat stubbornly high price rises could induce an economic downturn in 2023.</p><p>&#34;The market is very reactive right now,&#34; said David Sadkin, president at Bel Air Investment Advisors.</p><p>He noted that, while markets traditionally reflect the future, right now they are moving up and down based on the latest headlines.</p><p>Fears about economic growth come amid a re-evaluation by traders of what path future interest rate hikes will take, following strong data on jobs and the services sector in recent days.</p><p>Money market bets are pointing to a 91% chance that the U.S. central bank might raise rates by 50 basis points at its Dec. 13-14 policy meeting, with rates expected to peak at 4.98% in May 2023, up from 4.92% estimated on Monday before service-sector data was released.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 rallied 13.8% in October and November on hopes of smaller rate hikes and better-than-expected earnings, although such Fed expectations could be undermined by further data releases, including producer prices due out on Friday.</p><p>&#34;The market got ahead of itself at the end of November, but then we got some good economic data, so people are re-evaluating what the Fed is going to do next week,&#34; said Bel Air&#39;s Sadkin.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 350.76 points, or 1.03%, to close at 33,596.34, the S&amp;P 500 lost 57.58 points, or 1.44%, to finish at 3,941.26 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 225.05 points, or 2%, to end on 11,014.89.</p><p>Jitters on the direction of global growth have also weighed on oil prices, with U.S. crude slipping to levels last seen in January, before Russia&#39;s invasion of Ukraine disrupted supply markets. The energy sector fell 2.7% on Tuesday.</p><p>Banks are among the most sensitive stocks to an economic downturn, as they potentially face negative effects from bad loans or slowing loan growth. The S&amp;P banks index slipped 1.4% to its lowest close since Oct. 21.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 11.01 billion shares, in line with the average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted three new 52-week highs and nine new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 52 new highs and 262 new lows. (Reporting by Devik Jain, Ankika Biswas and Johann M Cherian in Bengaluru and David French in New York; Editing by Vinay Dwivedi, Shounak Dasgupta and Lisa Shumaker)</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2289364177","content_text":"(Reuters) - Wall Street ended lower on Tuesday, with the S&P 500 extending its losing streak to four sessions, as skittish investors fretted over Federal Reserve rate hikes and further talk of a looming recession.Meta Platforms Inc dragged down markets, with its shares sliding 6.8% following reports that European Union regulators have ruled the company should not require users to agree to personalized ads based on their digital activity.However, technology names generally suffered as investors applied caution toward high-growth companies whose performance would be sluggish in a challenging economy. Apple Inc, Amazon.com Inc and Alphabet Inc fell between 2.5% and 3%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq was pulled lower for a third straight session.Most of the 11 major S&P sectors declined, with energy and communications services joining technology as leading laggards. Utilities, a defensive sector often preferred during times of economic uncertainty, was the only exception, gaining 0.7%.Future economic growth prospects were in focus on Tuesday following comments from financial titans pointing toward uncertain times ahead.Bank of America Corp's chief executive predicted three quarters of mild negative growth next year, while JPMorgan Chase and Co's CEO Jamie Dimon said inflation will erode consumer spending power and that a mild to more pronounced recession was likely ahead.Their comments came on the heels of recent views from BlackRock and others that believe the U.S. Federal Reserve's aggressive monetary tightening to combat stubbornly high price rises could induce an economic downturn in 2023.\"The market is very reactive right now,\" said David Sadkin, president at Bel Air Investment Advisors.He noted that, while markets traditionally reflect the future, right now they are moving up and down based on the latest headlines.Fears about economic growth come amid a re-evaluation by traders of what path future interest rate hikes will take, following strong data on jobs and the services sector in recent days.Money market bets are pointing to a 91% chance that the U.S. central bank might raise rates by 50 basis points at its Dec. 13-14 policy meeting, with rates expected to peak at 4.98% in May 2023, up from 4.92% estimated on Monday before service-sector data was released.The S&P 500 rallied 13.8% in October and November on hopes of smaller rate hikes and better-than-expected earnings, although such Fed expectations could be undermined by further data releases, including producer prices due out on Friday.\"The market got ahead of itself at the end of November, but then we got some good economic data, so people are re-evaluating what the Fed is going to do next week,\" said Bel Air's Sadkin.The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 350.76 points, or 1.03%, to close at 33,596.34, the S&P 500 lost 57.58 points, or 1.44%, to finish at 3,941.26 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 225.05 points, or 2%, to end on 11,014.89.Jitters on the direction of global growth have also weighed on oil prices, with U.S. crude slipping to levels last seen in January, before Russia's invasion of Ukraine disrupted supply markets. The energy sector fell 2.7% on Tuesday.Banks are among the most sensitive stocks to an economic downturn, as they potentially face negative effects from bad loans or slowing loan growth. The S&P banks index slipped 1.4% to its lowest close since Oct. 21.Volume on U.S. exchanges was 11.01 billion shares, in line with the average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.The S&P 500 posted three new 52-week highs and nine new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 52 new highs and 262 new lows. (Reporting by Devik Jain, Ankika Biswas and Johann M Cherian in Bengaluru and David French in New York; Editing by Vinay Dwivedi, Shounak Dasgupta and Lisa Shumaker)","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.6,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2197,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9985542460,"gmtCreate":1667434146051,"gmtModify":1676537916478,"author":{"id":"4114039699852602","authorId":"4114039699852602","name":"Don 007","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/cf8491b1bcaf8eb7027783be64d82761","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4114039699852602","idStr":"4114039699852602"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Apple will not be alone.&nbsp;","listText":"Apple will not be alone.&nbsp;","text":"Apple will not be alone.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9985542460","repostId":"1124568203","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2538,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9983219373,"gmtCreate":1666242858192,"gmtModify":1676537729000,"author":{"id":"4114039699852602","authorId":"4114039699852602","name":"Don 007","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/cf8491b1bcaf8eb7027783be64d82761","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4114039699852602","idStr":"4114039699852602"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Be patience. Wait for the right entry price.","listText":"Be patience. Wait for the right entry price.","text":"Be patience. Wait for the right entry price.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9983219373","repostId":"2276745435","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2551,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9983210743,"gmtCreate":1666242771382,"gmtModify":1676537728992,"author":{"id":"4114039699852602","authorId":"4114039699852602","name":"Don 007","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/cf8491b1bcaf8eb7027783be64d82761","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4114039699852602","idStr":"4114039699852602"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wait for 175","listText":"Wait for 175","text":"Wait for 175","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9983210743","repostId":"2276745435","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2823,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9989850385,"gmtCreate":1665972783847,"gmtModify":1676537685387,"author":{"id":"4114039699852602","authorId":"4114039699852602","name":"Don 007","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/cf8491b1bcaf8eb7027783be64d82761","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4114039699852602","idStr":"4114039699852602"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"The price is&nbsp;still too high","listText":"The price is&nbsp;still too high","text":"The price is still too high","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9989850385","repostId":"2275997619","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2698,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9989827480,"gmtCreate":1665972719040,"gmtModify":1676537685361,"author":{"id":"4114039699852602","authorId":"4114039699852602","name":"Don 007","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/cf8491b1bcaf8eb7027783be64d82761","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4114039699852602","idStr":"4114039699852602"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Metaverse&nbsp;is unreal and is a dream but many people like to stay is the dream","listText":"Metaverse&nbsp;is unreal and is a dream but many people like to stay is the dream","text":"Metaverse is unreal and is a dream but many people like to stay is the dream","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9989827480","repostId":"1114716682","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2271,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9989827328,"gmtCreate":1665972604464,"gmtModify":1676537685290,"author":{"id":"4114039699852602","authorId":"4114039699852602","name":"Don 007","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/cf8491b1bcaf8eb7027783be64d82761","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4114039699852602","idStr":"4114039699852602"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ark is an bad example","listText":"Ark is an bad example","text":"Ark is an bad example","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9989827328","repostId":"2276892975","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2276892975","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1665967556,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2276892975?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-17 08:45","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Ark's Cathie Wood Continues to Stumble","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2276892975","media":"TheStreet","summary":"It’s been a rough 2022 for famed money manager Cathie Wood, chief executive of Ark Investment Manage","content":"<div>\n<p>It’s been a rough 2022 for famed money manager Cathie Wood, chief executive of Ark Investment Management, as her exchange-traded funds sink.Wood’s flagship fund, Ark Innovation ETF  (ARKK) , plunged ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/ark-cathie-wood-continues-stumble\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"thestreet_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Ark's Cathie Wood Continues to Stumble</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nArk's Cathie Wood Continues to Stumble\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-17 08:45 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.thestreet.com/investing/ark-cathie-wood-continues-stumble><strong>TheStreet</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>It’s been a rough 2022 for famed money manager Cathie Wood, chief executive of Ark Investment Management, as her exchange-traded funds sink.Wood’s flagship fund, Ark Innovation ETF  (ARKK) , plunged ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/ark-cathie-wood-continues-stumble\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ARKK":"ARK Innovation ETF","BK4544":"ARK ETF合集"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/ark-cathie-wood-continues-stumble","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2276892975","content_text":"It’s been a rough 2022 for famed money manager Cathie Wood, chief executive of Ark Investment Management, as her exchange-traded funds sink.Wood’s flagship fund, Ark Innovation ETF  (ARKK) , plunged 64% year to date through Oct. 14, hitting a five-year low. Ark Innovation has tumbled 79% from its February 2021 record high.Soaring interest rates and sluggish economic growth have dented Wood’s young, “disruptive” (as she describes them) technology companies. Rising rates hurt them because their earnings stream will come down the road (if at all), while the safe yields of Treasury bonds are rising now.Ark Innovation’s biggest holding, electric vehicle titan Tesla  (TSLA) , has lost 42% year to date. No. 2, video conferencing company Zoom Video Communications  (ZM) , has plummeted 61%. And No. 3, video streaming service Roku  (ROKU) , has dived 78%.Wood calls this year’s descent by tech stocks a buying opportunity. And she defends her recent losses by noting that she has a five-year investment horizon.Five-Year UnderperformanceThe five-year track record of Ark Innovation could indeed give investors comfort up to May 9. The fund’s five-year return beat that of the S&P 500 until then.But the five-year annualized return of Ark Innovation totaled a paltry 1.07% through Oct. 14, far behind the S&P 500’s 8.93% return, according to Morningstar.Despite that underperformance, the $6.7 billion fund enjoyed a net inflow of $1.27 billion year to date through Oct. 13, according to VettaFi, an ETF research firm. Clearly many investors are loyal to Mama Cathie, as some fans call her.But the tide may be starting to turn. Over the five days through Oct. 13, Ark Innovation suffered a $204 million outflow.Investor LoyaltyYou might wonder why so many investors have stuck with Wood, despite her mediocre returns. The fact that she had one spectacular year certainly helps. Ark Innovation ETF skyrocketed 153% in 2020.Also, Wood has become something of a rock star in the investment world. She has appeared frequently in the media over the last couple years. She is clearly intelligent and articulate, explaining financial concepts in ways that novice investors can understand.Still, Wood has drawn detractors. On March 29, Morningstar analyst Robby Greengold issued a scathing critique of Ark Innovation.“ARKK shows few signs of improving its risk management or ability to successfully navigate the challenging territory it explores,” he wrote.Wood countered Greengold’s points in an interview with Magnifi Media by Tifin. “I do know there are companies like that one [Morningstar] that do not understand what we're doing,” she said.If Wood’s investment performance rebounds, her true believers will say, “I told you so.” If it doesn’t, it will be interesting to see how long investors are willing to stick with her.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ARKIU":1,"ARKK":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1805,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9989825747,"gmtCreate":1665972498889,"gmtModify":1676537685219,"author":{"id":"4114039699852602","authorId":"4114039699852602","name":"Don 007","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/cf8491b1bcaf8eb7027783be64d82761","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4114039699852602","idStr":"4114039699852602"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wait for the price to 38.5","listText":"Wait for the price to 38.5","text":"Wait for the price to 38.5","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9989825747","repostId":"2275924772","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2275924772","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1665970406,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2275924772?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-17 09:33","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is AMD Stock a Buy After Its Latest Plunge?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2275924772","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Should investors start buying this chipmaker after its latest plunge?","content":"<div>\n<p>Advanced Micro Devices' (AMD) year went from bad to worse after the company released preliminary results for the third quarter of 2022 on Oct. 6. Shares of the chipmaker fell over 13%.AMD investors ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/10/16/is-amd-a-buy/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is AMD Stock a Buy After Its Latest Plunge?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs AMD Stock a Buy After Its Latest Plunge?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-17 09:33 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/10/16/is-amd-a-buy/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Advanced Micro Devices' (AMD) year went from bad to worse after the company released preliminary results for the third quarter of 2022 on Oct. 6. Shares of the chipmaker fell over 13%.AMD investors ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/10/16/is-amd-a-buy/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMD":"美国超微公司"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/10/16/is-amd-a-buy/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2275924772","content_text":"Advanced Micro Devices' (AMD) year went from bad to worse after the company released preliminary results for the third quarter of 2022 on Oct. 6. Shares of the chipmaker fell over 13%.AMD investors pressed the panic button hard after the company revealed that its quarterly revenue would land at an estimated $5.6 billion at the midpoint of its updated guidance range. The company originally expected $6.7 billion in Q3 revenue, but a weak PC (personal computer) market has knocked the wind out of AMD's sails.Thanks to the latest setback, AMD stock has now lost nearly 60% of its value in 2022 and is trading at 52-week lows. Investors may be tempted to buy this high-flying chipmaker following its sharp pullback. It is trading at an attractive valuation and set to grow impressively despite the PC market's weakness.But should they give in to the temptation? Let's find out.There are some silver liningsThough AMD's updated revenue guidance of $5.6 billion for Q3 is a huge miss over its prior expectation, its top line is still on track to increase 29% year over year. Of course, that's a big drop over the earlier expectation of 55% top-line growth, but it is worth noting that the company can deliver respectable growth despite the headwinds in the PC market.Specifically, AMD's revenue from the client processor segment, which includes sales of CPUs (central processing units) used in desktops and notebooks, was down 40% year over year to $1 billion. AMD also saw a drop in the average selling price of its processors last quarter, which will lower its non-generally accepted accounting principles (non-GAAP) gross margin to 50% from the prior expectation of 54%.CEO Lisa Su remarked that \"macroeconomic conditions drove lower than expected PC demand and a significant inventory correction across the PC supply chain.\" The good part is that AMD's diversified businesses helped it overcome the same to quite an extent.For instance, AMD's data center revenue increased 45% year over year to $1.6 billion last quarter. Additionally, the company's gaming revenue was up 14% to $1.6 billion despite the weakness in the graphics card market. The embedded business also delivered $1.3 billion in revenue, powered by the acquisition of Xilinx, which was completed earlier in the year.So it wasn't all doom and gloom for AMD last quarter. Investors will now be looking to Nov. 1, when AMD releases its complete Q3 results, and all eyes will be on the guidance. Don't be surprised to see gloomy guidance from the company; according to IDC, the PC market is expected to contract by 12.8% this year. The situation is likely to improve slightly in 2023, with shipments of PCs and tablets expected to drop just 2.6% before a recovery in 2024.As such, the PC market's weakness could cause AMD stock to head lower. But investors looking for a top semiconductor stock may want to add AMD to their watchlists. Its diversified customer base and market share gains in the client processor space could eventually lead to a turnaround, and savvy investors would want to buy the stock before that happens.An attractive valuation, but investors need patienceAMD is now trading at less than 25 times trailing earnings and just 12 on a forward basis. That's close to the Nasdaq 100's trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 24 and a sharp discount to the index's forward earnings multiple of 21.Analysts still expect a big bump in the company's earnings. But the gloomy PC market and negative sentiment around the semiconductor industry could send AMD stock lower, giving investors an opportunity to buy the stock at a cheaper valuation.Given that AMD has solid catalysts that could help it grow immensely in the next five years, it would be a good idea to accumulate this semiconductor stock for long-term gains if it falls further and becomes cheaper.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMD":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2542,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9989825965,"gmtCreate":1665972440357,"gmtModify":1676537685203,"author":{"id":"4114039699852602","authorId":"4114039699852602","name":"Don 007","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/cf8491b1bcaf8eb7027783be64d82761","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4114039699852602","idStr":"4114039699852602"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Reduce or stop trading with C###a, price will raise and see no reason will come down.&nbsp;","listText":"Reduce or stop trading with C###a, price will raise and see no reason will come down.&nbsp;","text":"Reduce or stop trading with C###a, price will raise and see no reason will come down.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9989825965","repostId":"2275914059","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2275914059","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1665970191,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2275914059?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-17 09:29","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Costco Will Raise Prices, But Won't Make Key Membership Change","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2275914059","media":"TheStreet","summary":"As a membership-based warehouse club, Costco has different priorities than other retailers. Above al","content":"<div>\n<p>As a membership-based warehouse club, Costco has different priorities than other retailers. Above all else, the chain has to keep its members happy so they keep renewing. That's something the company ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/costco-will-raise-prices-wont-make-key-membership-change\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"thestreet_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Costco Will Raise Prices, But Won't Make Key Membership Change</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCostco Will Raise Prices, But Won't Make Key Membership Change\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-17 09:29 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.thestreet.com/investing/costco-will-raise-prices-wont-make-key-membership-change><strong>TheStreet</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>As a membership-based warehouse club, Costco has different priorities than other retailers. Above all else, the chain has to keep its members happy so they keep renewing. That's something the company ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/costco-will-raise-prices-wont-make-key-membership-change\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"COST":"好市多"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/costco-will-raise-prices-wont-make-key-membership-change","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2275914059","content_text":"As a membership-based warehouse club, Costco has different priorities than other retailers. Above all else, the chain has to keep its members happy so they keep renewing. That's something the company has been doing in increasingly large numbers.\"At Q4 end, our U.S. and Canada renewal rate came in at 92.6%, which is 0.3 percentage points higher from 16 weeks earlier at Q3 end when we were at 92.3%. And our worldwide renewal rate came in at the end of the fiscal year at 90.4%, up 0.4 percentage points from Q3 end when it was 90%,\" CFO Richard Galanti said during the retailer's fourth-quarter earnings call.That's incredible loyalty that Costco earns through a combination of low prices and treating members very well. The chain always thinks of its members first and that's why one big change will happen (eventually) and another will not.Costco Will Raise Its Membership PriceDuring the call, Galanti once again spoke about the possibility the chain would increase the price of its membership. It was widely reported that the warehouse club was not raising prices, but that's not really what the CFO said.\"Certainly, as we've increased members' fees historically about every five, five and a half years, we've turned around and used it to drive more value,\" he said. \"And whenever we do it, we'll do that. I think at the end of the day, it's -- and I also want to point out, of course, if you look at the last three increases, on average, they were five years and seven months apart. If you look at June of '17, plus five years and seven months, you're talking roughly January '23.\"That's not Galanti saying a price increase won't happen, he's actually pretty much guaranteeing that it will, but leaving the timing vague,\"Now I'm not suggesting it's January '23. I'm just saying it's not there yet anyway. And our view is, is we are confident in our ability to do so. And at some point, we will, but it's a question of when, not if,\" he added.Costco Won't Make This Membership ChangeCostco has two kinds of memberships for household members. It offers a basic $60 Gold Star membership and a $120 Executive membership that comes with 2% cash back on most purchases up to $1,000 in a year.During the call, Galanti was asked about whether the chain would add a third category.\"Would you leave Gold Star where it is, take Executive up, and maybe add an Executive Plus, right, that either has more than 2% or some other features, right? So you're catering to people through the income spectrum,\" Guggenheim Partners Analyst John Heinbockel asked.Galanti was pretty definitive in his response.\"As you know, John, I think we try to keep things simple. We talk about all kinds of things, but we always come back home and say, let's do this and keep it simple. One of the issues -- one of the other issues about doing a higher level of membership than executive is the sales taxability in some states that is currently non-sales taxable, but at a certain level, states say it's sales taxable, not just the increment, but the whole membership fee,\" he said, \"So that's something we take into account also. At this juncture, I think we still went toward simple.\"","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"COST":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2517,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9989989768,"gmtCreate":1665885843154,"gmtModify":1676537675264,"author":{"id":"4114039699852602","authorId":"4114039699852602","name":"Don 007","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/cf8491b1bcaf8eb7027783be64d82761","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4114039699852602","idStr":"4114039699852602"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Two big giants are fighting, hence it will not aettle anytime soon.","listText":"Two big giants are fighting, hence it will not aettle anytime soon.","text":"Two big giants are fighting, hence it will not aettle anytime soon.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9989989768","repostId":"2275403939","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2275403939","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1665802807,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2275403939?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-15 11:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Down 58% to 75%, These 3 Growth Stocks Are Poised for a Comeback","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2275403939","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"They are down but certainly not out.","content":"<div>\n<p>Jeff Bezos, the founder of Amazon, started his 2000 shareholder letter with the word \"ouch.\" The company's stock had fallen more than 80% in the past year, a tough time for shareholders when the dot-...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/10/14/down-58-to-75-these-3-growth-stocks-are-poised-for/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Down 58% to 75%, These 3 Growth Stocks Are Poised for a Comeback</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDown 58% to 75%, These 3 Growth Stocks Are Poised for a Comeback\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-15 11:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/10/14/down-58-to-75-these-3-growth-stocks-are-poised-for/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Jeff Bezos, the founder of Amazon, started his 2000 shareholder letter with the word \"ouch.\" The company's stock had fallen more than 80% in the past year, a tough time for shareholders when the dot-...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/10/14/down-58-to-75-these-3-growth-stocks-are-poised-for/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPOT":"Spotify Technology S.A.","ZS":"Zscaler Inc.","PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/10/14/down-58-to-75-these-3-growth-stocks-are-poised-for/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2275403939","content_text":"Jeff Bezos, the founder of Amazon, started his 2000 shareholder letter with the word \"ouch.\" The company's stock had fallen more than 80% in the past year, a tough time for shareholders when the dot-com bubble had burst, and Wall Street was selling everything out of fear. But Amazon's business was growing despite the disappointing investment returns. Today, Amazon is one of the world's largest companies, which means that 2000 was a wonderful time to buy shares.Sound familiar? Just over two decades later, the stock market is again in a tumultuous spot. Growth stocks are again taking it on the chin, including Palantir Technologies, Zscaler, and Spotify Technology, down 75%, 58%, and 74% from their respective highs. Despite these steep declines, each stock could make a strong comeback and reward long-term investors. Here is what you need to know.Building a new world on top of dataJustin Pope (Palantir Technologies): Almost everything you do in life today creates a digital record, and understanding and leveraging this data better than others can drive success in both public and private organizations. Palantir makes custom software solutions for its customers using its proprietary platforms: Gotham specializes in government applications, and Foundry in commercial projects. For example, Palantir helped determine which areas needed the most assistance during Hurricane Sandy in 2012 using GPS data, photos, damage reports, and census/demographics records.Palantir's relationship with the government remains strong today. It works with various departments, announcing new contracts from the Army and Department of Homeland Security totaling over $200 million just in the past couple of months. This close relationship also makes Palantir reliant on the government, which accounted for 57% of revenue over the first six months of 2022. Palantir must grow its private sector business, and it's doing that -- U.S. commercial revenue grew 120% year over year in the second quarter of this year.The company is now doing more than $1.7 billion in revenue and converting 15% of that into free cash flow. Palantir uses stock-based compensation to pay its employees, which is a non-cash expense. So while cash profits are positive, the bottom line (net income) is negative $539 million over the past four quarters. Positive free cash flow adds to a balance sheet with $2.4 billion in cash against zero debt. Investors will want to see net income trend toward a positive figure; look for revenue to grow faster than stock-based compensation over the coming years.This bear market has hammered Palantir's valuation. The stock's price-to-sales ratio (P/S) was more than 40 last year but has fallen to just 9. The company's long relationship with the U.S. government and strong commercial growth underlines the value Palantir's platform creates. The company still has just 304 customers, so there's plenty of room for long-term growth. Palantir could eventually be a very large and influential company if data continues to become a critical asset for organizations worldwide. In that case, investors might look back on 2022 fondly as an opportunity to buy low.The zero-trust company that deserves your full confidenceWill Healy (Zscaler): The rise of the cloud changed the nature of cybersecurity. Previous models built trust via IP addresses. However, with increasing numbers of devices and more interactions, securing networks from continuously changing locations demands a different solution.Hence, companies increasingly turn to zero-trust security solutions like the ones offered by Zscaler. Zero-trust treats every user as a threat and uses \"context-based identity\" (job responsibilities, location, etc.) and policy enforcement to determine access. Also, since users access resources and apps rather than networks, Zscaler's software can prevent and mitigate security breaches.Zscaler also stands out by operating as an edge computing solution. With 150 data centers worldwide, it reduces the lag time for clients. Its approach led to Gartner naming it a leader in the 2022 Gartner Magic Quadrant for Security Service Edge. Additionally, it claims almost 2,100 customers with over $100,000 in annual recurring revenue, including 40% of the Fortune 500.Those numbers should continue to increase. Allied Market Research predicts the industry will grow at a compound annual growth rate of 19% through 2031, taking the market size to $126 billion. Thus, it may pleasantly surprise investors that in fiscal 2022 (which ended July 31), Zscaler generated $1.1 billion in revenue, rising 61% year over year. Due to the constant need for cybersecurity, recession threats are unlikely to slow company growth significantly, keeping revenue growth at an elevated level.Moreover, Zscaler turned a non-GAAP profit for fiscal 2022 of $101 million, rising 34%. The rapid increases in costs and expenses, foreign currency losses, and revaluations of derivative investments reduced earnings.Those fast-rising costs and expenses may also have caught Zscaler up in the bear market. The cybersecurity stock now sells at about a 60% discount to its all-time high in November. Additionally, given the current bear market, the price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 19 may seem intolerably high.However, those challenges should not alter the likely growth in the zero-trust security industry. Given its competitive advantages and rapid revenue growth, Zscaler looks like a screaming buy despite its elevated valuation.By one measure, Spotify stock has never been cheaperJake Lerch (Spotify Technology): Like many so-called \"stay-at-home\" stocks, Spotify shares skyrocketed during the height of the COVID-19 pandemic. If you'd invested $10,000 in Spotify stock in March 2020, it would have grown to more than $23,000 in March 2021. However, the last 18 months have not been kind to Spotify.And while the damage to its stock price is undeniable, the company's fundamentals remain untouched. In fact, they've improved.User growth is accelerating. In its most recent quarter (the three months ending on June 30, 2022), Spotify reported 433 monthly active users -- 5 million more than the company had projected.Both premium (i.e., subscription) and ad-supported revenue have surged. Premium revenue increased 22% year over year to 2.5 billion euros, while ad-supported revenue jumped 31% to 360 million euros. Spotify's ad-supported revenue now stands at 13% of overall revenue, the highest percentage in the company's history.Meanwhile, Spotify's valuation looks more sensible than ever. Its current price-to-sales ratio of 1.3 is an all-time low for the company -- and far below its lifetime average of 4.3. SPOT PS Ratio data by YChartsOf course, broader economic conditions are not great. Interest rates are rising and economic growth appears to be slowing. However, for long-term investors, economic slowdowns can present opportunities to build positions in the companies that will benefit when the inevitable turnaround arrives. To my eyes, Spotify -- a stock with strong fundamentals and its lowest valuation in years -- looks poised for a comeback.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PLTR":0.9,"ZS":0.9,"SPOT":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1235,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9989980861,"gmtCreate":1665885693053,"gmtModify":1676537675217,"author":{"id":"4114039699852602","authorId":"4114039699852602","name":"Don 007","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/cf8491b1bcaf8eb7027783be64d82761","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4114039699852602","idStr":"4114039699852602"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"One day it will shone again","listText":"One day it will shone again","text":"One day it will shone again","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9989980861","repostId":"2275698961","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2275698961","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1665804613,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2275698961?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-15 11:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alibaba Q3: Time To Consider An Option Play","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2275698961","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryAlibaba stock prices continue to be directed by short-term events and disjointed from busines","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2>Summary</h2><ul><li>Alibaba stock prices continue to be directed by short-term events and disjointed from business fundamentals.</li><li>Such disconnection creates both challenges and opportunities for value-oriented investors.</li><li>One such opportunity involves an observation that I’ve made about its implied volatility being mispriced.</li><li>As such, you can consider an option play here either to hedge your existing positions or to open a new position.</li><li>The upcoming earnings report in November for its September quarter (CY22 Q3) could amplify the mispricing based on its recent historical pattern.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/912293f2bb66d41dfe829d2eea80df38\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"500\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>remco86</span></p><h2>Thesis</h2><p>Alibaba&#39;s (NYSE:BABA) stock price continues to be directed by short-term events and disjointed from business fundamentals. While its financial performances are partly to blame (although quite healthy in my view), its stock price movements have been largely dominated by news events, such as the uncertainty in the Chinese regulatory environment, the lingering COVID-19 concerns, and the China-U.S. tension. To cite a few recent examples (shown in the chart below),</p><ul><li>On May 26, after reporting its March quarter results, its stock price climbed 14.8% in one day. And shortly afterward, on June 8, the Chinese government announced the approval of a new round of video game licenses, and its stock prices increased by another 14.7%.</li><li>Then in July, it was fined by antitrust regulators for the improper reporting of previous merger deals. In particular, on July 11, its stock declined by 9.2% even though the fine amounted to only $373k.</li><li>On July 29, it was added back to the U.S. SEC&#39;s watchlist of Chinese companies that might be delisted. The news triggered an 11% decline in its stock price to close at $89 from $100 the day before.</li><li>Then finally on August 4, 2022, when it reported its June Quarter earnings, the stock prices fluctuated between a low of $95 and a high of $103 in a single day, translating into an 8.4% daily fluctuation.</li></ul><p>I am citing all these detailed events and price movements to give you a concrete feeling of its price volatility so that you can see the main thesis of this article: the mispricing of its implied volatility (&#34;IV&#34;) in the options market.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8286a0926eebed47581d1a351970528\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"424\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Author based on Yahoo! data</span></p><p>The mispricing probably is best illustrated by comparison against its U.S. counterpart: Amazon (AMZN). The price movements of AMZN in the past 6 months are shown in the bottom panel of the above chart. In contrast to BABA&#39;s frequent ~10% DAILY price volatilities, AMZN stock price has been largely range-bound between $140 and $105, translating into a fluctuation of around 16% around a mean price of $122.5 over the past few MONTHS. Yet, as you will see in a later section, the options market currently assigns an IV of about 61% for BABA for its Dec 16, 2022, option. And the IV it assigns for AMZN is about the same (a bit below 60%), accentuating the IV mispricing.</p><p>Looking forward, BABA is expected to report earnings on 11/17/2022 according to Nasdaq&#39;s schedule. Considering the IV mispricing, an option with expiry after that (say Dec 16, 2022) could either help to hedge your existing positions or to open a new position. Directly holding the shares can help you to benefit from its compressed valuation (as to be detailed in the next section immediately below). But an option play can help you to benefit from the compression in its valuation AND also the IV mispricing.</p><h2>Business outlook and growth potential</h2><p>Admittedly, BABA&#39;s earning results have been a bit choppy lately. However, in its upcoming earnings report for the September 2022 quarter, I expected a number of promising growth avenues. These catalysts should support healthy earnings growth, especially in the near- to mid-term, say in the 2025-2027 timeframe. First, I expect the Chinese economy to recover considerably once COVID-19 concerns clear up. Second, BABA is still very successful at attracting new annual active customers from the vast population of China, especially from the less developed areas. Notably, Tmall and Taobao continue to perform well. Third, on the international stage, platforms such as Lazada and AliExpress logged solid double-digit order growth rates in fiscal 2021, and I foresee such growth to continue or even accelerate in the next few years. Finally, on top of all these, its cloud segment continues to capture market share within the burgeoning global cloud niche. All told, consensus estimates project an 11.5% EPS expansion in the next five years, as you can see from the first chart below. And I tend to agree with such a projection.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac8e0cf709dcbba649e38293b6c7f3a6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"238\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Author based on Seeking Alpha data</span></p><p>In the meantime, its financial position is strong. The balance sheet is in good condition, as seen in the next chart below, providing the liquidity and financial flexibility to fuel its continued expansion. Alibaba ended the last quarter with more than $69 billion in cash as seen. In addition, merely 13.4% of the capital structure is comprised of long-term debt (compared to AMZN&#39;s 45.4%), suggesting plenty of flexibility to support growth initiatives.</p><p>Although, note that the table below made a mistake on its cash per share (probably due to confusion about its share count vs its ADR counts). With $69 billion of cash and approximately 2.6 billion ADR outstanding, the total cash per share should be about $26.5. At its current stock price of $75 as of this writing, more than 1/3 of its stock price (35.4% to be exact) is just cash.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0fcf65098fee073a34c3bc89c3f81d3f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"348\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Author based on Seeking Alpha data</span></p><h2>Volatility mispricing and option play</h2><p>As mentioned above, holding the shares directly is a bet on its compressed valuation and growth potential. And an option play can provide a couple of additional advantages, as detailed in my other articles. To recap,</p><blockquote><ul><li><i>First, compared to the buy-and-hold strategy, an option can limit your exposure in terms of the total dollar amount.</i></li><li><i>Second, it can take advantage of both the valuation mispricing AND also volatility mispricing (the buy-and-hold strategy only benefit from the former).</i></li><li><i>Third, it provides a definitive expiration date.</i></li></ul></blockquote><p>As an example, as of this writing, a BABA call option with a $75 strike price (i.e., near the money) that expires on 12/16/2022 sells at about $7.8 as you can see from the first chart below provided by OIC. So $780 would provide exposure to 100 shares, versus $7.5k if you directly own the shares.</p><p>You can also see the implied volatility is only 60.8%. Again, to me, this is an underestimate. As you can see from the second chart below, its IV has ranged from about 50% to about 100% in the past 6 months. And the current IV of 60% is close to the floor of this range. Yet, as argued earlier, recent events and price movements suggest no muting in its actual volatility. Also, as you can see from the third chart below, AMZN&#39;s current IV is close to 60% too (about 56%). However, as aforementioned, the DAILY price actions in BABA shares are nearly on the same magnitude as AMZN&#39;s <i>monthly</i> price fluctuations.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/10ec73e15ba94f68c0e834fa09585379\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"320\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>oic.ivolatility.com</span></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c3f80465a4333814ee01ef3f76d585e\" tg-width=\"520\" tg-height=\"250\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>BABA historical and implied volatility provided by IVolatility.com</span></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/08c9f56d1ece63e4bfd5535e64d93b24\" tg-width=\"520\" tg-height=\"250\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>AMZN historical and implied volatility provided by IVolatility.com</span></p><h2>Baba risks and final thoughts</h2><p>Since an option play, in a sense, is a way to limit risks already, I won&#39;t detail the specific risks surrounding BABA shares. Other SA authors have elaborated on the risks eloquently already anyway. Here, let me just repeat the risks inherent in writing options:</p><blockquote><i>Writing options can limit risks in terms of the absolute dollar amount. But it is riskier in relative terms. You can lose 100% and there is actually a good chance of that.</i></blockquote><p>To conclude, the main thesis here is built on an observation that I&#39;ve made about BABA&#39;s implied volatility being mispriced. Yes, it is definitely attractive to own the shares directly in my mind (which I do) under current conditions. The stock is priced at single-digit FWD PE with double-digit growth rates. And it has about $26.5 of cash per ADR on its ledger, more than 1/3 of its stock current price. But an option play could bring an additional catalyst to the table. The upcoming earnings report in November could amplify the mispricing, judging by the recent historical pattern of its price movements around earnings reports.</p><p><i>This article is written by </i><i>Sensor Unlimited</i><i> for reference only. Please note the risks.</i></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba Q3: Time To Consider An Option Play</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba Q3: Time To Consider An Option Play\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-15 11:30 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4546617-alibaba-q3-time-to-consider-an-option-play><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryAlibaba stock prices continue to be directed by short-term events and disjointed from business fundamentals.Such disconnection creates both challenges and opportunities for value-oriented ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4546617-alibaba-q3-time-to-consider-an-option-play\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4546617-alibaba-q3-time-to-consider-an-option-play","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2275698961","content_text":"SummaryAlibaba stock prices continue to be directed by short-term events and disjointed from business fundamentals.Such disconnection creates both challenges and opportunities for value-oriented investors.One such opportunity involves an observation that I’ve made about its implied volatility being mispriced.As such, you can consider an option play here either to hedge your existing positions or to open a new position.The upcoming earnings report in November for its September quarter (CY22 Q3) could amplify the mispricing based on its recent historical pattern.remco86ThesisAlibaba's (NYSE:BABA) stock price continues to be directed by short-term events and disjointed from business fundamentals. While its financial performances are partly to blame (although quite healthy in my view), its stock price movements have been largely dominated by news events, such as the uncertainty in the Chinese regulatory environment, the lingering COVID-19 concerns, and the China-U.S. tension. To cite a few recent examples (shown in the chart below),On May 26, after reporting its March quarter results, its stock price climbed 14.8% in one day. And shortly afterward, on June 8, the Chinese government announced the approval of a new round of video game licenses, and its stock prices increased by another 14.7%.Then in July, it was fined by antitrust regulators for the improper reporting of previous merger deals. In particular, on July 11, its stock declined by 9.2% even though the fine amounted to only $373k.On July 29, it was added back to the U.S. SEC's watchlist of Chinese companies that might be delisted. The news triggered an 11% decline in its stock price to close at $89 from $100 the day before.Then finally on August 4, 2022, when it reported its June Quarter earnings, the stock prices fluctuated between a low of $95 and a high of $103 in a single day, translating into an 8.4% daily fluctuation.I am citing all these detailed events and price movements to give you a concrete feeling of its price volatility so that you can see the main thesis of this article: the mispricing of its implied volatility (\"IV\") in the options market.Author based on Yahoo! dataThe mispricing probably is best illustrated by comparison against its U.S. counterpart: Amazon (AMZN). The price movements of AMZN in the past 6 months are shown in the bottom panel of the above chart. In contrast to BABA's frequent ~10% DAILY price volatilities, AMZN stock price has been largely range-bound between $140 and $105, translating into a fluctuation of around 16% around a mean price of $122.5 over the past few MONTHS. Yet, as you will see in a later section, the options market currently assigns an IV of about 61% for BABA for its Dec 16, 2022, option. And the IV it assigns for AMZN is about the same (a bit below 60%), accentuating the IV mispricing.Looking forward, BABA is expected to report earnings on 11/17/2022 according to Nasdaq's schedule. Considering the IV mispricing, an option with expiry after that (say Dec 16, 2022) could either help to hedge your existing positions or to open a new position. Directly holding the shares can help you to benefit from its compressed valuation (as to be detailed in the next section immediately below). But an option play can help you to benefit from the compression in its valuation AND also the IV mispricing.Business outlook and growth potentialAdmittedly, BABA's earning results have been a bit choppy lately. However, in its upcoming earnings report for the September 2022 quarter, I expected a number of promising growth avenues. These catalysts should support healthy earnings growth, especially in the near- to mid-term, say in the 2025-2027 timeframe. First, I expect the Chinese economy to recover considerably once COVID-19 concerns clear up. Second, BABA is still very successful at attracting new annual active customers from the vast population of China, especially from the less developed areas. Notably, Tmall and Taobao continue to perform well. Third, on the international stage, platforms such as Lazada and AliExpress logged solid double-digit order growth rates in fiscal 2021, and I foresee such growth to continue or even accelerate in the next few years. Finally, on top of all these, its cloud segment continues to capture market share within the burgeoning global cloud niche. All told, consensus estimates project an 11.5% EPS expansion in the next five years, as you can see from the first chart below. And I tend to agree with such a projection.Author based on Seeking Alpha dataIn the meantime, its financial position is strong. The balance sheet is in good condition, as seen in the next chart below, providing the liquidity and financial flexibility to fuel its continued expansion. Alibaba ended the last quarter with more than $69 billion in cash as seen. In addition, merely 13.4% of the capital structure is comprised of long-term debt (compared to AMZN's 45.4%), suggesting plenty of flexibility to support growth initiatives.Although, note that the table below made a mistake on its cash per share (probably due to confusion about its share count vs its ADR counts). With $69 billion of cash and approximately 2.6 billion ADR outstanding, the total cash per share should be about $26.5. At its current stock price of $75 as of this writing, more than 1/3 of its stock price (35.4% to be exact) is just cash.Author based on Seeking Alpha dataVolatility mispricing and option playAs mentioned above, holding the shares directly is a bet on its compressed valuation and growth potential. And an option play can provide a couple of additional advantages, as detailed in my other articles. To recap,First, compared to the buy-and-hold strategy, an option can limit your exposure in terms of the total dollar amount.Second, it can take advantage of both the valuation mispricing AND also volatility mispricing (the buy-and-hold strategy only benefit from the former).Third, it provides a definitive expiration date.As an example, as of this writing, a BABA call option with a $75 strike price (i.e., near the money) that expires on 12/16/2022 sells at about $7.8 as you can see from the first chart below provided by OIC. So $780 would provide exposure to 100 shares, versus $7.5k if you directly own the shares.You can also see the implied volatility is only 60.8%. Again, to me, this is an underestimate. As you can see from the second chart below, its IV has ranged from about 50% to about 100% in the past 6 months. And the current IV of 60% is close to the floor of this range. Yet, as argued earlier, recent events and price movements suggest no muting in its actual volatility. Also, as you can see from the third chart below, AMZN's current IV is close to 60% too (about 56%). However, as aforementioned, the DAILY price actions in BABA shares are nearly on the same magnitude as AMZN's monthly price fluctuations.oic.ivolatility.comBABA historical and implied volatility provided by IVolatility.comAMZN historical and implied volatility provided by IVolatility.comBaba risks and final thoughtsSince an option play, in a sense, is a way to limit risks already, I won't detail the specific risks surrounding BABA shares. Other SA authors have elaborated on the risks eloquently already anyway. Here, let me just repeat the risks inherent in writing options:Writing options can limit risks in terms of the absolute dollar amount. But it is riskier in relative terms. You can lose 100% and there is actually a good chance of that.To conclude, the main thesis here is built on an observation that I've made about BABA's implied volatility being mispriced. Yes, it is definitely attractive to own the shares directly in my mind (which I do) under current conditions. The stock is priced at single-digit FWD PE with double-digit growth rates. And it has about $26.5 of cash per ADR on its ledger, more than 1/3 of its stock current price. But an option play could bring an additional catalyst to the table. The upcoming earnings report in November could amplify the mispricing, judging by the recent historical pattern of its price movements around earnings reports.This article is written by Sensor Unlimited for reference only. Please note the risks.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BABA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":861,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9989917795,"gmtCreate":1665885629617,"gmtModify":1676537675209,"author":{"id":"4114039699852602","authorId":"4114039699852602","name":"Don 007","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/cf8491b1bcaf8eb7027783be64d82761","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4114039699852602","idStr":"4114039699852602"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I'm holding on to it. A belief.","listText":"I'm holding on to it. A belief.","text":"I'm holding on to it. A belief.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9989917795","repostId":"2275698961","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2275698961","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1665804613,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2275698961?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-15 11:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alibaba Q3: Time To Consider An Option Play","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2275698961","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryAlibaba stock prices continue to be directed by short-term events and disjointed from busines","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2>Summary</h2><ul><li>Alibaba stock prices continue to be directed by short-term events and disjointed from business fundamentals.</li><li>Such disconnection creates both challenges and opportunities for value-oriented investors.</li><li>One such opportunity involves an observation that I’ve made about its implied volatility being mispriced.</li><li>As such, you can consider an option play here either to hedge your existing positions or to open a new position.</li><li>The upcoming earnings report in November for its September quarter (CY22 Q3) could amplify the mispricing based on its recent historical pattern.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/912293f2bb66d41dfe829d2eea80df38\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"500\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>remco86</span></p><h2>Thesis</h2><p>Alibaba&#39;s (NYSE:BABA) stock price continues to be directed by short-term events and disjointed from business fundamentals. While its financial performances are partly to blame (although quite healthy in my view), its stock price movements have been largely dominated by news events, such as the uncertainty in the Chinese regulatory environment, the lingering COVID-19 concerns, and the China-U.S. tension. To cite a few recent examples (shown in the chart below),</p><ul><li>On May 26, after reporting its March quarter results, its stock price climbed 14.8% in one day. And shortly afterward, on June 8, the Chinese government announced the approval of a new round of video game licenses, and its stock prices increased by another 14.7%.</li><li>Then in July, it was fined by antitrust regulators for the improper reporting of previous merger deals. In particular, on July 11, its stock declined by 9.2% even though the fine amounted to only $373k.</li><li>On July 29, it was added back to the U.S. SEC&#39;s watchlist of Chinese companies that might be delisted. The news triggered an 11% decline in its stock price to close at $89 from $100 the day before.</li><li>Then finally on August 4, 2022, when it reported its June Quarter earnings, the stock prices fluctuated between a low of $95 and a high of $103 in a single day, translating into an 8.4% daily fluctuation.</li></ul><p>I am citing all these detailed events and price movements to give you a concrete feeling of its price volatility so that you can see the main thesis of this article: the mispricing of its implied volatility (&#34;IV&#34;) in the options market.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8286a0926eebed47581d1a351970528\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"424\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Author based on Yahoo! data</span></p><p>The mispricing probably is best illustrated by comparison against its U.S. counterpart: Amazon (AMZN). The price movements of AMZN in the past 6 months are shown in the bottom panel of the above chart. In contrast to BABA&#39;s frequent ~10% DAILY price volatilities, AMZN stock price has been largely range-bound between $140 and $105, translating into a fluctuation of around 16% around a mean price of $122.5 over the past few MONTHS. Yet, as you will see in a later section, the options market currently assigns an IV of about 61% for BABA for its Dec 16, 2022, option. And the IV it assigns for AMZN is about the same (a bit below 60%), accentuating the IV mispricing.</p><p>Looking forward, BABA is expected to report earnings on 11/17/2022 according to Nasdaq&#39;s schedule. Considering the IV mispricing, an option with expiry after that (say Dec 16, 2022) could either help to hedge your existing positions or to open a new position. Directly holding the shares can help you to benefit from its compressed valuation (as to be detailed in the next section immediately below). But an option play can help you to benefit from the compression in its valuation AND also the IV mispricing.</p><h2>Business outlook and growth potential</h2><p>Admittedly, BABA&#39;s earning results have been a bit choppy lately. However, in its upcoming earnings report for the September 2022 quarter, I expected a number of promising growth avenues. These catalysts should support healthy earnings growth, especially in the near- to mid-term, say in the 2025-2027 timeframe. First, I expect the Chinese economy to recover considerably once COVID-19 concerns clear up. Second, BABA is still very successful at attracting new annual active customers from the vast population of China, especially from the less developed areas. Notably, Tmall and Taobao continue to perform well. Third, on the international stage, platforms such as Lazada and AliExpress logged solid double-digit order growth rates in fiscal 2021, and I foresee such growth to continue or even accelerate in the next few years. Finally, on top of all these, its cloud segment continues to capture market share within the burgeoning global cloud niche. All told, consensus estimates project an 11.5% EPS expansion in the next five years, as you can see from the first chart below. And I tend to agree with such a projection.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac8e0cf709dcbba649e38293b6c7f3a6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"238\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Author based on Seeking Alpha data</span></p><p>In the meantime, its financial position is strong. The balance sheet is in good condition, as seen in the next chart below, providing the liquidity and financial flexibility to fuel its continued expansion. Alibaba ended the last quarter with more than $69 billion in cash as seen. In addition, merely 13.4% of the capital structure is comprised of long-term debt (compared to AMZN&#39;s 45.4%), suggesting plenty of flexibility to support growth initiatives.</p><p>Although, note that the table below made a mistake on its cash per share (probably due to confusion about its share count vs its ADR counts). With $69 billion of cash and approximately 2.6 billion ADR outstanding, the total cash per share should be about $26.5. At its current stock price of $75 as of this writing, more than 1/3 of its stock price (35.4% to be exact) is just cash.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0fcf65098fee073a34c3bc89c3f81d3f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"348\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Author based on Seeking Alpha data</span></p><h2>Volatility mispricing and option play</h2><p>As mentioned above, holding the shares directly is a bet on its compressed valuation and growth potential. And an option play can provide a couple of additional advantages, as detailed in my other articles. To recap,</p><blockquote><ul><li><i>First, compared to the buy-and-hold strategy, an option can limit your exposure in terms of the total dollar amount.</i></li><li><i>Second, it can take advantage of both the valuation mispricing AND also volatility mispricing (the buy-and-hold strategy only benefit from the former).</i></li><li><i>Third, it provides a definitive expiration date.</i></li></ul></blockquote><p>As an example, as of this writing, a BABA call option with a $75 strike price (i.e., near the money) that expires on 12/16/2022 sells at about $7.8 as you can see from the first chart below provided by OIC. So $780 would provide exposure to 100 shares, versus $7.5k if you directly own the shares.</p><p>You can also see the implied volatility is only 60.8%. Again, to me, this is an underestimate. As you can see from the second chart below, its IV has ranged from about 50% to about 100% in the past 6 months. And the current IV of 60% is close to the floor of this range. Yet, as argued earlier, recent events and price movements suggest no muting in its actual volatility. Also, as you can see from the third chart below, AMZN&#39;s current IV is close to 60% too (about 56%). However, as aforementioned, the DAILY price actions in BABA shares are nearly on the same magnitude as AMZN&#39;s <i>monthly</i> price fluctuations.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/10ec73e15ba94f68c0e834fa09585379\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"320\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>oic.ivolatility.com</span></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c3f80465a4333814ee01ef3f76d585e\" tg-width=\"520\" tg-height=\"250\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>BABA historical and implied volatility provided by IVolatility.com</span></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/08c9f56d1ece63e4bfd5535e64d93b24\" tg-width=\"520\" tg-height=\"250\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>AMZN historical and implied volatility provided by IVolatility.com</span></p><h2>Baba risks and final thoughts</h2><p>Since an option play, in a sense, is a way to limit risks already, I won&#39;t detail the specific risks surrounding BABA shares. Other SA authors have elaborated on the risks eloquently already anyway. Here, let me just repeat the risks inherent in writing options:</p><blockquote><i>Writing options can limit risks in terms of the absolute dollar amount. But it is riskier in relative terms. You can lose 100% and there is actually a good chance of that.</i></blockquote><p>To conclude, the main thesis here is built on an observation that I&#39;ve made about BABA&#39;s implied volatility being mispriced. Yes, it is definitely attractive to own the shares directly in my mind (which I do) under current conditions. The stock is priced at single-digit FWD PE with double-digit growth rates. And it has about $26.5 of cash per ADR on its ledger, more than 1/3 of its stock current price. But an option play could bring an additional catalyst to the table. The upcoming earnings report in November could amplify the mispricing, judging by the recent historical pattern of its price movements around earnings reports.</p><p><i>This article is written by </i><i>Sensor Unlimited</i><i> for reference only. Please note the risks.</i></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba Q3: Time To Consider An Option Play</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba Q3: Time To Consider An Option Play\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-15 11:30 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4546617-alibaba-q3-time-to-consider-an-option-play><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryAlibaba stock prices continue to be directed by short-term events and disjointed from business fundamentals.Such disconnection creates both challenges and opportunities for value-oriented ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4546617-alibaba-q3-time-to-consider-an-option-play\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4546617-alibaba-q3-time-to-consider-an-option-play","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2275698961","content_text":"SummaryAlibaba stock prices continue to be directed by short-term events and disjointed from business fundamentals.Such disconnection creates both challenges and opportunities for value-oriented investors.One such opportunity involves an observation that I’ve made about its implied volatility being mispriced.As such, you can consider an option play here either to hedge your existing positions or to open a new position.The upcoming earnings report in November for its September quarter (CY22 Q3) could amplify the mispricing based on its recent historical pattern.remco86ThesisAlibaba's (NYSE:BABA) stock price continues to be directed by short-term events and disjointed from business fundamentals. While its financial performances are partly to blame (although quite healthy in my view), its stock price movements have been largely dominated by news events, such as the uncertainty in the Chinese regulatory environment, the lingering COVID-19 concerns, and the China-U.S. tension. To cite a few recent examples (shown in the chart below),On May 26, after reporting its March quarter results, its stock price climbed 14.8% in one day. And shortly afterward, on June 8, the Chinese government announced the approval of a new round of video game licenses, and its stock prices increased by another 14.7%.Then in July, it was fined by antitrust regulators for the improper reporting of previous merger deals. In particular, on July 11, its stock declined by 9.2% even though the fine amounted to only $373k.On July 29, it was added back to the U.S. SEC's watchlist of Chinese companies that might be delisted. The news triggered an 11% decline in its stock price to close at $89 from $100 the day before.Then finally on August 4, 2022, when it reported its June Quarter earnings, the stock prices fluctuated between a low of $95 and a high of $103 in a single day, translating into an 8.4% daily fluctuation.I am citing all these detailed events and price movements to give you a concrete feeling of its price volatility so that you can see the main thesis of this article: the mispricing of its implied volatility (\"IV\") in the options market.Author based on Yahoo! dataThe mispricing probably is best illustrated by comparison against its U.S. counterpart: Amazon (AMZN). The price movements of AMZN in the past 6 months are shown in the bottom panel of the above chart. In contrast to BABA's frequent ~10% DAILY price volatilities, AMZN stock price has been largely range-bound between $140 and $105, translating into a fluctuation of around 16% around a mean price of $122.5 over the past few MONTHS. Yet, as you will see in a later section, the options market currently assigns an IV of about 61% for BABA for its Dec 16, 2022, option. And the IV it assigns for AMZN is about the same (a bit below 60%), accentuating the IV mispricing.Looking forward, BABA is expected to report earnings on 11/17/2022 according to Nasdaq's schedule. Considering the IV mispricing, an option with expiry after that (say Dec 16, 2022) could either help to hedge your existing positions or to open a new position. Directly holding the shares can help you to benefit from its compressed valuation (as to be detailed in the next section immediately below). But an option play can help you to benefit from the compression in its valuation AND also the IV mispricing.Business outlook and growth potentialAdmittedly, BABA's earning results have been a bit choppy lately. However, in its upcoming earnings report for the September 2022 quarter, I expected a number of promising growth avenues. These catalysts should support healthy earnings growth, especially in the near- to mid-term, say in the 2025-2027 timeframe. First, I expect the Chinese economy to recover considerably once COVID-19 concerns clear up. Second, BABA is still very successful at attracting new annual active customers from the vast population of China, especially from the less developed areas. Notably, Tmall and Taobao continue to perform well. Third, on the international stage, platforms such as Lazada and AliExpress logged solid double-digit order growth rates in fiscal 2021, and I foresee such growth to continue or even accelerate in the next few years. Finally, on top of all these, its cloud segment continues to capture market share within the burgeoning global cloud niche. All told, consensus estimates project an 11.5% EPS expansion in the next five years, as you can see from the first chart below. And I tend to agree with such a projection.Author based on Seeking Alpha dataIn the meantime, its financial position is strong. The balance sheet is in good condition, as seen in the next chart below, providing the liquidity and financial flexibility to fuel its continued expansion. Alibaba ended the last quarter with more than $69 billion in cash as seen. In addition, merely 13.4% of the capital structure is comprised of long-term debt (compared to AMZN's 45.4%), suggesting plenty of flexibility to support growth initiatives.Although, note that the table below made a mistake on its cash per share (probably due to confusion about its share count vs its ADR counts). With $69 billion of cash and approximately 2.6 billion ADR outstanding, the total cash per share should be about $26.5. At its current stock price of $75 as of this writing, more than 1/3 of its stock price (35.4% to be exact) is just cash.Author based on Seeking Alpha dataVolatility mispricing and option playAs mentioned above, holding the shares directly is a bet on its compressed valuation and growth potential. And an option play can provide a couple of additional advantages, as detailed in my other articles. To recap,First, compared to the buy-and-hold strategy, an option can limit your exposure in terms of the total dollar amount.Second, it can take advantage of both the valuation mispricing AND also volatility mispricing (the buy-and-hold strategy only benefit from the former).Third, it provides a definitive expiration date.As an example, as of this writing, a BABA call option with a $75 strike price (i.e., near the money) that expires on 12/16/2022 sells at about $7.8 as you can see from the first chart below provided by OIC. So $780 would provide exposure to 100 shares, versus $7.5k if you directly own the shares.You can also see the implied volatility is only 60.8%. Again, to me, this is an underestimate. As you can see from the second chart below, its IV has ranged from about 50% to about 100% in the past 6 months. And the current IV of 60% is close to the floor of this range. Yet, as argued earlier, recent events and price movements suggest no muting in its actual volatility. Also, as you can see from the third chart below, AMZN's current IV is close to 60% too (about 56%). However, as aforementioned, the DAILY price actions in BABA shares are nearly on the same magnitude as AMZN's monthly price fluctuations.oic.ivolatility.comBABA historical and implied volatility provided by IVolatility.comAMZN historical and implied volatility provided by IVolatility.comBaba risks and final thoughtsSince an option play, in a sense, is a way to limit risks already, I won't detail the specific risks surrounding BABA shares. Other SA authors have elaborated on the risks eloquently already anyway. Here, let me just repeat the risks inherent in writing options:Writing options can limit risks in terms of the absolute dollar amount. But it is riskier in relative terms. You can lose 100% and there is actually a good chance of that.To conclude, the main thesis here is built on an observation that I've made about BABA's implied volatility being mispriced. Yes, it is definitely attractive to own the shares directly in my mind (which I do) under current conditions. The stock is priced at single-digit FWD PE with double-digit growth rates. And it has about $26.5 of cash per ADR on its ledger, more than 1/3 of its stock current price. But an option play could bring an additional catalyst to the table. The upcoming earnings report in November could amplify the mispricing, judging by the recent historical pattern of its price movements around earnings reports.This article is written by Sensor Unlimited for reference only. Please note the risks.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BABA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":807,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9914315321,"gmtCreate":1665188003863,"gmtModify":1676537568931,"author":{"id":"4114039699852602","authorId":"4114039699852602","name":"Don 007","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/cf8491b1bcaf8eb7027783be64d82761","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4114039699852602","idStr":"4114039699852602"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Interest rise, stock market down. When will this come to a turning point.&nbsp;","listText":"Interest rise, stock market down. When will this come to a turning point.&nbsp;","text":"Interest rise, stock market down. When will this come to a turning point.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9914315321","repostId":"1195734170","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1195734170","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1665156618,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1195734170?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-07 23:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Fed’s Williams Sees Rates Heading to Around 4.5% to Cool Prices","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1195734170","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Fed focused on reducing inflation to 2%, Williams saysAcknowledges international spillovers but says","content":"<div>\n<p>Fed focused on reducing inflation to 2%, Williams saysAcknowledges international spillovers but says Fed focus is USJohn WilliamsPhotographer: Andrew Harrer/BloombergFederal Reserve Bank of New York ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-10-07/fed-s-williams-sees-rates-heading-to-around-4-5-over-time\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Fed’s Williams Sees Rates Heading to Around 4.5% to Cool Prices</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFed’s Williams Sees Rates Heading to Around 4.5% to Cool Prices\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-07 23:30 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-10-07/fed-s-williams-sees-rates-heading-to-around-4-5-over-time><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Fed focused on reducing inflation to 2%, Williams saysAcknowledges international spillovers but says Fed focus is USJohn WilliamsPhotographer: Andrew Harrer/BloombergFederal Reserve Bank of New York ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-10-07/fed-s-williams-sees-rates-heading-to-around-4-5-over-time\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-10-07/fed-s-williams-sees-rates-heading-to-around-4-5-over-time","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1195734170","content_text":"Fed focused on reducing inflation to 2%, Williams saysAcknowledges international spillovers but says Fed focus is USJohn WilliamsPhotographer: Andrew Harrer/BloombergFederal Reserve Bank of New York President John Williams said interest rates need to rise to around 4.5% over time but the pace and ultimate peak of the tightening campaign will hinge on how the economy performs.“The timing of that and how high do we have to raise interest rates is going to depend on the data,” Williams said Friday during a moderated discussion organized by SUNY Buffalo in western New York. “Right now the focus is getting inflation back down to 2%.”Williams is vice chair of the rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee and a key member of Chair Jerome Powell’s leadership team. His remarks follow a string of hawkish comments from other policymakers that has hardened bets that they will forge ahead with its aggressive tightening campaign to curb the hottest inflation in nearly 40 years.Fed officials are raising interest rates at the fastest clip since the 1980s as they aim to squash the hottest inflation in a generation. Policymakers are anticipated to raise their benchmark rate by 75 basis points in early November for a fourth straight meeting following data Friday showing unemployment unexpectedly returned to a historic low of 3.5%.That would bring the Fed’s main rate to a range of 3.75% to 4%. Median projections from Fed officials show they expect rates to rise to 4.4% by the end of this year and 4.6% in 2023. The US central bank is hoping higher borrowing costs will cool spending and reduce demand for workers, in turn slowing the growth of prices and wages.Officials say they will incorporate a range of economic data at their next meeting on Nov. 1-2, including an update on consumer prices coming next week.The Fed’s swift action, which has lifted rates by three percentage points since March, has roiled global financial markets and sent the dollar surging in value against other currencies.Williams acknowledged that the Fed’s actions had international consequences and said he was in contact with his counterparts at foreign central banks, who also face high inflation. But he stressed that the Fed’s focus was its domestic goal to restore price stability.“We’re all working on our own to make the decisions to bring the economy back into balance,” he said.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":579,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9914312822,"gmtCreate":1665187881566,"gmtModify":1676537568909,"author":{"id":"4114039699852602","authorId":"4114039699852602","name":"Don 007","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/cf8491b1bcaf8eb7027783be64d82761","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4114039699852602","idStr":"4114039699852602"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Be patient. Wait for unbelievable moment.&nbsp;","listText":"Be patient. Wait for unbelievable moment.&nbsp;","text":"Be patient. Wait for unbelievable moment.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9914312822","repostId":"2273816362","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2273816362","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1665156353,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2273816362?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-07 23:25","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is Now the Right Time to Buy Netflix Stock?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2273816362","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The leading streaming service is up 28% in the past three months.","content":"<div>\n<p>We're slightly more than nine months into 2022, and Netflix shares are down 62% for the year. For a stock that produced a remarkable return of 6,000% from the start of 2012 through the end of 2021, ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/10/07/is-now-the-right-time-to-buy-netflix-stock/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is Now the Right Time to Buy Netflix Stock?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs Now the Right Time to Buy Netflix Stock?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-07 23:25 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/10/07/is-now-the-right-time-to-buy-netflix-stock/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>We're slightly more than nine months into 2022, and Netflix shares are down 62% for the year. For a stock that produced a remarkable return of 6,000% from the start of 2012 through the end of 2021, ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/10/07/is-now-the-right-time-to-buy-netflix-stock/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NFLX":"奈飞"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/10/07/is-now-the-right-time-to-buy-netflix-stock/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2273816362","content_text":"We're slightly more than nine months into 2022, and Netflix shares are down 62% for the year. For a stock that produced a remarkable return of 6,000% from the start of 2012 through the end of 2021, this is a rude awakening.The streaming industry is becoming hyper-competitive, a fact that management can no longer ignore. What's more, Netflix itself is undergoing a major strategic shift in an effort to spur growth once again. Should investors buy the top streaming stock today? Let's take a closer look.Recent troublesNetflix has had a rough time in 2022, losing a combined 1.2 million subscribers in the first six months of the year. This is a far cry from the massive customer additions investors have become used to seeing in recent years. And unsurprisingly, revenue growth has dramatically slowed. Sales of $8 billion in the second quarter were up just 8.6% year over year, the slowest pace in at least the last nine years.I really think this shift comes down to one key factor: the intense competition for consumers' eyeballs. With a seemingly unlimited number of streaming options on the market, Netflix is no longer the only game in town -- not to mention all of the other entertainment choices people have that don't involve staring at a screen.The company is set to announce Q3 financial results on Tuesday, Oct. 18. Management expects the business to increase revenue by 4.7% year over year, and forecasts 1 million net new subscribers. A strong showing will certainly support a higher stock price.Growth outlookDespite recent headwinds, Netflix's global opportunity is still massive. There are currently roughly 800 million broadband households worldwide (excluding China, where Netflix isn't offered), a figure that can be viewed as Netflix's total addressable market. With 221 million subscribers today, there's still a large growth opportunity ahead.It's starting to look like Netflix's most mature markets, the U.S. and Canada, are saturated, as these two countries lost a combined 1.9 million members over the past two quarters. Therefore, international markets will be the key driver when it comes to attracting more customers. The Asia-Pacific region, in particular, is the fastest growing segment for Netflix, adding almost 7 million subscribers over the last four quarters.To boost the company's prospects, management earlier this year announced plans to introduce a cheaper, ad-supported subscription tier. Reed Hastings, Netflix's co-founder and co-CEO, long rejected this idea because he thought it would damage the brand and consumer experience. But with growth hitting a wall, and heightened competition in the industry, this seems like a no-brainer strategic move.The company believes that some 40 million accounts will be signed up for this option by the end of Q3 2023. But undoubtedly, some customers who pay for the ad-free version will move over to the lower-cost option, making it hard to pinpoint the incremental revenue opportunity. Partnering with tech giant Microsoft on this endeavor, Netflix will make its ad-based subscription option available in select markets starting in November.It's also worth mentioning Netflix's gaming push. While the company wants to bring more games to market in order to raise the value proposition of being a Netflix subscriber, and has purchased multiple studios to help this initiative, gaming hasn't moved the financial needle just yet.Current valuationAfter hitting an all-time high closing price of $692 last November, Netflix shares are down 67%. And as a result, the stock is currently trading hands at a price-to-earnings ratio of under 21, which is about as cheap as it has been at any point over the past decade. This simple metric signals an attractive entry price.However, looking at Netflix's earnings might not be the right approach to valuation. This is because the company spends huge amounts of cash on content -- more than $17 billion in 2021 -- rendering accounting profits essentially meaningless. Therefore, the price-to-sales (P/S) multiple might be more appropriate in this situation. Currently, the P/S ratio stands at 3.4, about half the trailing 10-year average. Again, this shows us that Netflix stock is cheap by historical measures.It certainly looks like the monster growth that investors have expecting from Netflix over the past decade is coming to an end. But that doesn't mean it's time to abandon the stock. In fact, the business, which has long been a cash-burning machine, is on the cusp of generating sustainable positive free cash flow, starting with this year. Add this to an undemanding valuation, and investors should consider buying shares in the streaming pioneer now.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NFLX":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":590,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9915471962,"gmtCreate":1665103549856,"gmtModify":1676537557353,"author":{"id":"4114039699852602","authorId":"4114039699852602","name":"Don 007","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/cf8491b1bcaf8eb7027783be64d82761","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4114039699852602","idStr":"4114039699852602"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Be patient, wait for the right entry price.&nbsp;","listText":"Be patient, wait for the right entry price.&nbsp;","text":"Be patient, wait for the right entry price.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9915471962","repostId":"2273380106","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":683,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9916691914,"gmtCreate":1664583335338,"gmtModify":1676537479371,"author":{"id":"4114039699852602","authorId":"4114039699852602","name":"Don 007","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/cf8491b1bcaf8eb7027783be64d82761","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4114039699852602","idStr":"4114039699852602"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Where is the bottom?&nbsp;","listText":"Where is the bottom?&nbsp;","text":"Where is the bottom?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9916691914","repostId":"2272080774","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2272080774","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1664579994,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2272080774?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-01 07:19","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US STOCKS-Wall St Posts Third Straight Quarterly Loss As Inflation Weighs, Recession Looms","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2272080774","media":"Reuters","summary":"The S&P 500 closed the books on its steepest September decline in two decades on Friday, skidding ac","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The S&amp;P 500 closed the books on its steepest September decline in two decades on Friday, skidding across the finish line of a tumultuous quarter fraught with historically hot inflation, rising interest rates and recession fears.</p><p>All three major indexes veered to a sharply lower end, having quashed a brief rally early in the session.</p><p>The S&amp;P and the Dow notched their third consecutive weekly declines, and all three indexes posted their second straight monthly losses.</p><p>In the first nine months of 2022, Wall Street suffered three quarterly declines in a row, the longest losing streak for the S&amp;P and the Nasdaq since 2008 and the Dow&#39;s longest quarterly slump in seven years.</p><p>&#34;It&#39;s another ugly day to end an ugly quarter in what’s looking like a very ugly year,&#34; said Ryan Detrick, chief market strategist at Carson Group in Omaha, Nebraska. &#34;Investors will look back and realize this was the year the Fed pulled a total 180 on their views on inflation and quickly turned incredibly hawkish.&#34;</p><p>The Federal Reserve has rattled markets by engaging in its most relentless series of interest rate hikes in decades in order to rein in stubbornly high inflation, which has many market participants eyeing key economic data for signs of a looming recession.</p><p>&#34;The realization that the Fed is doing anything they can to combat 40-year-high inflation has investors worried they will push the economy over the edge and into recession,&#34; Detrick added.</p><p>The Commerce Department&#39;s personal consumption expenditures (PCE) report did little to assuage those fears, showing that while consumers continue to spend, the prices they are paying have accelerated, drifting further beyond the Fed&#39;s inflation target and all but ensuring the central bank&#39;s hawkish monetary policy will continue longer than investors had hoped.</p><p>Recession fears also echoed through dire warnings from Nike Inc and cruise operator Carnival Corp, both citing inflation-related margin pressures.</p><p>Shares of the companies tanked by 12.8% and 23.3%, respectively.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 500.1 points, or 1.71%, to 28,725.51; the S&amp;P 500    lost 54.85 points, or 1.51%, to 3,585.62; and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 161.89 points, or 1.51%, to 10,575.62.</p><p>Among the 11 major sectors of the S&amp;P 500, real estate was the sole gainer, while utilities tech suffered the largest percentage losses.</p><p>Apple Inc, Microsoft Corp, Amazon.com and Nike weighed heaviest.</p><p>Corporate earnings reports for the quarter that ends with Friday&#39;s closing bell will begin landing in a few weeks, and analyst expectations are trending downward.</p><p>Analysts now see annual S&amp;P 500 earnings growth of 4.5%, on aggregate, down from the 11.1% estimate when the quarter began.</p><p>Quarter-end fund reallocations and so-called &#34;window dressing&#34; is likely contributed to the session&#39;s volatility.</p><p>Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.45-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.38-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted no new 52-week highs and 93 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 27 new highs and 380 new lows.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 12.44 billion shares, compared with the 11.45 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US STOCKS-Wall St Posts Third Straight Quarterly Loss As Inflation Weighs, Recession Looms</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS STOCKS-Wall St Posts Third Straight Quarterly Loss As Inflation Weighs, Recession Looms\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-10-01 07:19</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>The S&amp;P 500 closed the books on its steepest September decline in two decades on Friday, skidding across the finish line of a tumultuous quarter fraught with historically hot inflation, rising interest rates and recession fears.</p><p>All three major indexes veered to a sharply lower end, having quashed a brief rally early in the session.</p><p>The S&amp;P and the Dow notched their third consecutive weekly declines, and all three indexes posted their second straight monthly losses.</p><p>In the first nine months of 2022, Wall Street suffered three quarterly declines in a row, the longest losing streak for the S&amp;P and the Nasdaq since 2008 and the Dow&#39;s longest quarterly slump in seven years.</p><p>&#34;It&#39;s another ugly day to end an ugly quarter in what’s looking like a very ugly year,&#34; said Ryan Detrick, chief market strategist at Carson Group in Omaha, Nebraska. &#34;Investors will look back and realize this was the year the Fed pulled a total 180 on their views on inflation and quickly turned incredibly hawkish.&#34;</p><p>The Federal Reserve has rattled markets by engaging in its most relentless series of interest rate hikes in decades in order to rein in stubbornly high inflation, which has many market participants eyeing key economic data for signs of a looming recession.</p><p>&#34;The realization that the Fed is doing anything they can to combat 40-year-high inflation has investors worried they will push the economy over the edge and into recession,&#34; Detrick added.</p><p>The Commerce Department&#39;s personal consumption expenditures (PCE) report did little to assuage those fears, showing that while consumers continue to spend, the prices they are paying have accelerated, drifting further beyond the Fed&#39;s inflation target and all but ensuring the central bank&#39;s hawkish monetary policy will continue longer than investors had hoped.</p><p>Recession fears also echoed through dire warnings from Nike Inc and cruise operator Carnival Corp, both citing inflation-related margin pressures.</p><p>Shares of the companies tanked by 12.8% and 23.3%, respectively.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 500.1 points, or 1.71%, to 28,725.51; the S&amp;P 500    lost 54.85 points, or 1.51%, to 3,585.62; and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 161.89 points, or 1.51%, to 10,575.62.</p><p>Among the 11 major sectors of the S&amp;P 500, real estate was the sole gainer, while utilities tech suffered the largest percentage losses.</p><p>Apple Inc, Microsoft Corp, Amazon.com and Nike weighed heaviest.</p><p>Corporate earnings reports for the quarter that ends with Friday&#39;s closing bell will begin landing in a few weeks, and analyst expectations are trending downward.</p><p>Analysts now see annual S&amp;P 500 earnings growth of 4.5%, on aggregate, down from the 11.1% estimate when the quarter began.</p><p>Quarter-end fund reallocations and so-called &#34;window dressing&#34; is likely contributed to the session&#39;s volatility.</p><p>Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.45-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.38-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted no new 52-week highs and 93 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 27 new highs and 380 new lows.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 12.44 billion shares, compared with the 11.45 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2272080774","content_text":"The S&P 500 closed the books on its steepest September decline in two decades on Friday, skidding across the finish line of a tumultuous quarter fraught with historically hot inflation, rising interest rates and recession fears.All three major indexes veered to a sharply lower end, having quashed a brief rally early in the session.The S&P and the Dow notched their third consecutive weekly declines, and all three indexes posted their second straight monthly losses.In the first nine months of 2022, Wall Street suffered three quarterly declines in a row, the longest losing streak for the S&P and the Nasdaq since 2008 and the Dow's longest quarterly slump in seven years.\"It's another ugly day to end an ugly quarter in what’s looking like a very ugly year,\" said Ryan Detrick, chief market strategist at Carson Group in Omaha, Nebraska. \"Investors will look back and realize this was the year the Fed pulled a total 180 on their views on inflation and quickly turned incredibly hawkish.\"The Federal Reserve has rattled markets by engaging in its most relentless series of interest rate hikes in decades in order to rein in stubbornly high inflation, which has many market participants eyeing key economic data for signs of a looming recession.\"The realization that the Fed is doing anything they can to combat 40-year-high inflation has investors worried they will push the economy over the edge and into recession,\" Detrick added.The Commerce Department's personal consumption expenditures (PCE) report did little to assuage those fears, showing that while consumers continue to spend, the prices they are paying have accelerated, drifting further beyond the Fed's inflation target and all but ensuring the central bank's hawkish monetary policy will continue longer than investors had hoped.Recession fears also echoed through dire warnings from Nike Inc and cruise operator Carnival Corp, both citing inflation-related margin pressures.Shares of the companies tanked by 12.8% and 23.3%, respectively.The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 500.1 points, or 1.71%, to 28,725.51; the S&P 500    lost 54.85 points, or 1.51%, to 3,585.62; and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 161.89 points, or 1.51%, to 10,575.62.Among the 11 major sectors of the S&P 500, real estate was the sole gainer, while utilities tech suffered the largest percentage losses.Apple Inc, Microsoft Corp, Amazon.com and Nike weighed heaviest.Corporate earnings reports for the quarter that ends with Friday's closing bell will begin landing in a few weeks, and analyst expectations are trending downward.Analysts now see annual S&P 500 earnings growth of 4.5%, on aggregate, down from the 11.1% estimate when the quarter began.Quarter-end fund reallocations and so-called \"window dressing\" is likely contributed to the session's volatility.Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.45-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.38-to-1 ratio favored decliners.The S&P 500 posted no new 52-week highs and 93 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 27 new highs and 380 new lows.Volume on U.S. exchanges was 12.44 billion shares, compared with the 11.45 billion average over the last 20 trading days.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":946,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9918141331,"gmtCreate":1664342238924,"gmtModify":1676537437168,"author":{"id":"4114039699852602","authorId":"4114039699852602","name":"Don 007","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/cf8491b1bcaf8eb7027783be64d82761","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4114039699852602","idStr":"4114039699852602"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Can it be worst then now.","listText":"Can it be worst then now.","text":"Can it be worst then now.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9918141331","repostId":"1185646921","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1185646921","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1664352593,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1185646921?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-28 16:09","market":"other","language":"en","title":"Option Movers｜Mega-Cap Stocks Like Tesla and Meta Stop Bleeding; This Bond ETF Shows a Bear Market Since 1946 Is Coming","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1185646921","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Wall Street sank deeper into a bear market on Tuesday(Sep.27), with the S&P 500 recording its lowest","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Wall Street sank deeper into a bear market on Tuesday(Sep.27), with the S&amp;P 500 recording its lowest close in almost two-years as Federal Reserve policymakers showed an appetite for more interest rate hikes, even at the risk of throwing the economy into a downturn.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.43% to end at 29,134.99 points, while the S&amp;P 500 lost 0.21% to 3,647.29.The Nasdaq Composite climbed 0.25% to 10,829.50.</p><h2>Options Broad View</h2><p>A total volume of 36,200,473 contracts were traded on Tuesday, down 4.08% from the previous day. Call options account for49% of total options trades.</p><p>There are 9.17 million <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust</a></b> options traded on Tuesday. Call options account for 41% in overall option trades. Particularly high volume was seen for the $360 strike put option expiring September 28, with 262,506 contracts trading on Tuesday.</p><h2>Top 10 Option Volumes</h2><p><b>Top 10:SPY, QQQ,TSLA,IWM,AAPL, VIX, LQD, AMZN, HYG, TQQQ</b></p><p>Options related to equity index ETFs are still top choices for investors, with 2.6 million <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QQQ\">Invesco QQQ Trust</a></b> options contracts trading on Tuesday. Call options account for 45% in overall option trades. Total trading volume for <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust</a></b> rose 0.88% while <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QQQ\">Invesco QQQ Trust</a></b>’s trading volume slid 15.03%, respectively, from the previous day.</p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla Motors</a></b> rose 2.51% on Tuesday as it was expecting a “very high volume” of vehicle deliveries during the end of the quarter, and it is asking all employees to help – even those outside of the sale and delivery organization.</p><p>There are 1,630,000 option contracts traded on Tuesday. Call options account for 53% of overall option trades. Particularly high volume was seen for the $285 strike call option expiring September 30, with 88,071 contracts trading on Tuesday.</p><h2><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f1f60815616a3d013afe8cba8bf89b9\" tg-width=\"467\" tg-height=\"929\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Tiger Trade APP</span></p>Unusual Options Activity</h2><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/07572182a26c8057619ff1359b959043\" tg-width=\"933\" tg-height=\"348\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Market Chameleon</span></p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/META\">Meta Platforms, Inc.</a></b> slid 1.44% on Tuesday, RBC Capital Markets said the concerns over its Reels video product have reached a &#34;fever pitch&#34; and shares are still &#34;attractive on a risk-reward basis. It had an outperform rating and a $190 price target on Meta Platforms (META) shares.</p><p>There are 383,200 option contracts traded on Tuesday. Call options account for 70% of overall option trades. Particularly high volume was seen for the $138 strike call option expiring September 30, with 7,421 contracts trading on Tuesday.</p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TLT\">iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF</a></b> slid 2.63% on Tuesday, global bonds are now in their first bear market in 76 years, after having dropped 20% from their peaks, according to Deutsche Bank research dating back to 1786. The last time global bonds fared so poorly was in 1946, the year that the first session of the United Nations was held in London after the end of World War II.</p><p>There are 331,200 option contracts traded on Tuesday. Call options account for 69% of overall option trades. Particularly high volume was seen for the $105 strike call option expiring September 30, with 15,171 contracts trading on Tuesday.</p><h2>TOP Bullish &amp; Bearish Single Stocks</h2><p>This report shows stocks with the highest volume of bullish and bearish activity by option delta volume, which converts option volume to an equivalent stock volume (bought or sold).</p><p>If we take the total positive option delta volume and subtract the total negative option delta volume, we will get the net imbalance. If the net imbalance is positive, there is more bullish pressure. If the net is negative, there is more bearish pressure.</p><p><b>Top 10 bullish stocks: FXI, SPY, IWM, QQQ, ASHR, XLE, XLU, TLT, GLD, MFA</b></p><p><b>Top 10 bearish stocks: IPOF, TSLA, SAVE, NLY, GM, PBR, SNAP, PLTR, AAPL, SOFI</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f48c3d22631eb2dd753aa97670f6bc6\" tg-width=\"553\" tg-height=\"274\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Market Chameleon</span></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Option Movers｜Mega-Cap Stocks Like Tesla and Meta Stop Bleeding; This Bond ETF Shows a Bear Market Since 1946 Is Coming</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOption Movers｜Mega-Cap Stocks Like Tesla and Meta Stop Bleeding; This Bond ETF Shows a Bear Market Since 1946 Is Coming\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-09-28 16:09</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Wall Street sank deeper into a bear market on Tuesday(Sep.27), with the S&amp;P 500 recording its lowest close in almost two-years as Federal Reserve policymakers showed an appetite for more interest rate hikes, even at the risk of throwing the economy into a downturn.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.43% to end at 29,134.99 points, while the S&amp;P 500 lost 0.21% to 3,647.29.The Nasdaq Composite climbed 0.25% to 10,829.50.</p><h2>Options Broad View</h2><p>A total volume of 36,200,473 contracts were traded on Tuesday, down 4.08% from the previous day. Call options account for49% of total options trades.</p><p>There are 9.17 million <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust</a></b> options traded on Tuesday. Call options account for 41% in overall option trades. Particularly high volume was seen for the $360 strike put option expiring September 28, with 262,506 contracts trading on Tuesday.</p><h2>Top 10 Option Volumes</h2><p><b>Top 10:SPY, QQQ,TSLA,IWM,AAPL, VIX, LQD, AMZN, HYG, TQQQ</b></p><p>Options related to equity index ETFs are still top choices for investors, with 2.6 million <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QQQ\">Invesco QQQ Trust</a></b> options contracts trading on Tuesday. Call options account for 45% in overall option trades. Total trading volume for <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust</a></b> rose 0.88% while <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QQQ\">Invesco QQQ Trust</a></b>’s trading volume slid 15.03%, respectively, from the previous day.</p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla Motors</a></b> rose 2.51% on Tuesday as it was expecting a “very high volume” of vehicle deliveries during the end of the quarter, and it is asking all employees to help – even those outside of the sale and delivery organization.</p><p>There are 1,630,000 option contracts traded on Tuesday. Call options account for 53% of overall option trades. Particularly high volume was seen for the $285 strike call option expiring September 30, with 88,071 contracts trading on Tuesday.</p><h2><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f1f60815616a3d013afe8cba8bf89b9\" tg-width=\"467\" tg-height=\"929\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Tiger Trade APP</span></p>Unusual Options Activity</h2><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/07572182a26c8057619ff1359b959043\" tg-width=\"933\" tg-height=\"348\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Market Chameleon</span></p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/META\">Meta Platforms, Inc.</a></b> slid 1.44% on Tuesday, RBC Capital Markets said the concerns over its Reels video product have reached a &#34;fever pitch&#34; and shares are still &#34;attractive on a risk-reward basis. It had an outperform rating and a $190 price target on Meta Platforms (META) shares.</p><p>There are 383,200 option contracts traded on Tuesday. Call options account for 70% of overall option trades. Particularly high volume was seen for the $138 strike call option expiring September 30, with 7,421 contracts trading on Tuesday.</p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TLT\">iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF</a></b> slid 2.63% on Tuesday, global bonds are now in their first bear market in 76 years, after having dropped 20% from their peaks, according to Deutsche Bank research dating back to 1786. The last time global bonds fared so poorly was in 1946, the year that the first session of the United Nations was held in London after the end of World War II.</p><p>There are 331,200 option contracts traded on Tuesday. Call options account for 69% of overall option trades. Particularly high volume was seen for the $105 strike call option expiring September 30, with 15,171 contracts trading on Tuesday.</p><h2>TOP Bullish &amp; Bearish Single Stocks</h2><p>This report shows stocks with the highest volume of bullish and bearish activity by option delta volume, which converts option volume to an equivalent stock volume (bought or sold).</p><p>If we take the total positive option delta volume and subtract the total negative option delta volume, we will get the net imbalance. If the net imbalance is positive, there is more bullish pressure. If the net is negative, there is more bearish pressure.</p><p><b>Top 10 bullish stocks: FXI, SPY, IWM, QQQ, ASHR, XLE, XLU, TLT, GLD, MFA</b></p><p><b>Top 10 bearish stocks: IPOF, TSLA, SAVE, NLY, GM, PBR, SNAP, PLTR, AAPL, SOFI</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f48c3d22631eb2dd753aa97670f6bc6\" tg-width=\"553\" tg-height=\"274\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Market Chameleon</span></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉","TLT":"20+年以上美国国债ETF-iShares","META":"Meta Platforms, Inc."},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1185646921","content_text":"Wall Street sank deeper into a bear market on Tuesday(Sep.27), with the S&P 500 recording its lowest close in almost two-years as Federal Reserve policymakers showed an appetite for more interest rate hikes, even at the risk of throwing the economy into a downturn.The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.43% to end at 29,134.99 points, while the S&P 500 lost 0.21% to 3,647.29.The Nasdaq Composite climbed 0.25% to 10,829.50.Options Broad ViewA total volume of 36,200,473 contracts were traded on Tuesday, down 4.08% from the previous day. Call options account for49% of total options trades.There are 9.17 million SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust options traded on Tuesday. Call options account for 41% in overall option trades. Particularly high volume was seen for the $360 strike put option expiring September 28, with 262,506 contracts trading on Tuesday.Top 10 Option VolumesTop 10:SPY, QQQ,TSLA,IWM,AAPL, VIX, LQD, AMZN, HYG, TQQQOptions related to equity index ETFs are still top choices for investors, with 2.6 million Invesco QQQ Trust options contracts trading on Tuesday. Call options account for 45% in overall option trades. Total trading volume for SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust rose 0.88% while Invesco QQQ Trust’s trading volume slid 15.03%, respectively, from the previous day.Tesla Motors rose 2.51% on Tuesday as it was expecting a “very high volume” of vehicle deliveries during the end of the quarter, and it is asking all employees to help – even those outside of the sale and delivery organization.There are 1,630,000 option contracts traded on Tuesday. Call options account for 53% of overall option trades. Particularly high volume was seen for the $285 strike call option expiring September 30, with 88,071 contracts trading on Tuesday.Source: Tiger Trade APPUnusual Options ActivitySource: Market ChameleonMeta Platforms, Inc. slid 1.44% on Tuesday, RBC Capital Markets said the concerns over its Reels video product have reached a \"fever pitch\" and shares are still \"attractive on a risk-reward basis. It had an outperform rating and a $190 price target on Meta Platforms (META) shares.There are 383,200 option contracts traded on Tuesday. Call options account for 70% of overall option trades. Particularly high volume was seen for the $138 strike call option expiring September 30, with 7,421 contracts trading on Tuesday.iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF slid 2.63% on Tuesday, global bonds are now in their first bear market in 76 years, after having dropped 20% from their peaks, according to Deutsche Bank research dating back to 1786. The last time global bonds fared so poorly was in 1946, the year that the first session of the United Nations was held in London after the end of World War II.There are 331,200 option contracts traded on Tuesday. Call options account for 69% of overall option trades. Particularly high volume was seen for the $105 strike call option expiring September 30, with 15,171 contracts trading on Tuesday.TOP Bullish & Bearish Single StocksThis report shows stocks with the highest volume of bullish and bearish activity by option delta volume, which converts option volume to an equivalent stock volume (bought or sold).If we take the total positive option delta volume and subtract the total negative option delta volume, we will get the net imbalance. If the net imbalance is positive, there is more bullish pressure. If the net is negative, there is more bearish pressure.Top 10 bullish stocks: FXI, SPY, IWM, QQQ, ASHR, XLE, XLU, TLT, GLD, MFATop 10 bearish stocks: IPOF, TSLA, SAVE, NLY, GM, PBR, SNAP, PLTR, AAPL, SOFISource: Market Chameleon","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9,"TLT":0.9,"META":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":834,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9918156668,"gmtCreate":1664339950254,"gmtModify":1676537436766,"author":{"id":"4114039699852602","authorId":"4114039699852602","name":"Don 007","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/cf8491b1bcaf8eb7027783be64d82761","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4114039699852602","idStr":"4114039699852602"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I not changing my phone. Current one can meet my requirements.&nbsp;","listText":"I not changing my phone. Current one can meet my requirements.&nbsp;","text":"I not changing my phone. Current one can meet my requirements.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9918156668","repostId":"1168366695","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1168366695","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1664336485,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1168366695?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-28 11:41","market":"fut","language":"en","title":"Stock Futures Slide Amid Report Apple Is Ditching iPhone Production Boost","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1168366695","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Stock futures are setting up for a bigger Wednesday fall, after Tuesday's late fizzle from a relief ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80fafa461e3b8dcbf0a9bb245ecb4004\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"519\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Stock futures are setting up for a bigger Wednesday fall, after Tuesday&#39;s late fizzle from a relief rally, following a report that Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) ispulling back from plansto boost iPhone productionwhen an expected demand spike didn&#39;t show up.</p><p>Apple (AAPL) is telling suppliers to back off from an effort to boost assembly of iPhone 14 models by up to 6M units in the second half, Bloomberg reports, instead focusing on a flat 90M-handset forecast consistent with the prior year.</p><p>Dow Jones (DJI) futures slid about 0.55%, while S&amp;P 500 (SP500) futures dropped 0.68% and Nasdaq (COMP.IND) futures tumbled 0.93%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c8f5f5513bf918ebd23011c575e256d9\" tg-width=\"289\" tg-height=\"118\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>The 10-year Treasury yield (US10Y) has cracked the 4% barrier for the first time since 2010, while 2-year Treasury yields (US2Y) hit 4.295%.</p><p>Apple (AAPL) had boosted projections as it headed into its launch event for the iPhone 14, and suppliers had started preparing for a 7% boost to orders. But the anticipated demand hasn&#39;t materialized, and Apple is reversing course, according to the report.</p><p>The higher-priced iPhone 14 Pro models are reportedlyseeing more demandthan the lower-priced phones, and at least one supplier is shifting capacity toward the premium models in response.</p><p>Apple has confirmed it was moving iPhone productioninto India as it diversified away from China.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Stock Futures Slide Amid Report Apple Is Ditching iPhone Production Boost</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nStock Futures Slide Amid Report Apple Is Ditching iPhone Production Boost\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-28 11:41 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/news/3886588-stock-futures-slide-on-report-apple-is-ditching-iphone-production-boost><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Stock futures are setting up for a bigger Wednesday fall, after Tuesday's late fizzle from a relief rally, following a report that Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) ispulling back from plansto boost iPhone ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3886588-stock-futures-slide-on-report-apple-is-ditching-iphone-production-boost\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3886588-stock-futures-slide-on-report-apple-is-ditching-iphone-production-boost","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1168366695","content_text":"Stock futures are setting up for a bigger Wednesday fall, after Tuesday's late fizzle from a relief rally, following a report that Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) ispulling back from plansto boost iPhone productionwhen an expected demand spike didn't show up.Apple (AAPL) is telling suppliers to back off from an effort to boost assembly of iPhone 14 models by up to 6M units in the second half, Bloomberg reports, instead focusing on a flat 90M-handset forecast consistent with the prior year.Dow Jones (DJI) futures slid about 0.55%, while S&P 500 (SP500) futures dropped 0.68% and Nasdaq (COMP.IND) futures tumbled 0.93%.The 10-year Treasury yield (US10Y) has cracked the 4% barrier for the first time since 2010, while 2-year Treasury yields (US2Y) hit 4.295%.Apple (AAPL) had boosted projections as it headed into its launch event for the iPhone 14, and suppliers had started preparing for a 7% boost to orders. But the anticipated demand hasn't materialized, and Apple is reversing course, according to the report.The higher-priced iPhone 14 Pro models are reportedlyseeing more demandthan the lower-priced phones, and at least one supplier is shifting capacity toward the premium models in response.Apple has confirmed it was moving iPhone productioninto India as it diversified away from China.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ESmain":0.9,"YMmain":0.9,"NQmain":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1107,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9937472084,"gmtCreate":1663493518648,"gmtModify":1676537279105,"author":{"id":"4114039699852602","authorId":"4114039699852602","name":"Don 007","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/cf8491b1bcaf8eb7027783be64d82761","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4114039699852602","idStr":"4114039699852602"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wait for good entry price","listText":"Wait for good entry price","text":"Wait for good entry price","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9937472084","repostId":"1178217025","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":869,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9915471962,"gmtCreate":1665103549856,"gmtModify":1676537557353,"author":{"id":"4114039699852602","authorId":"4114039699852602","name":"Don 007","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/cf8491b1bcaf8eb7027783be64d82761","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4114039699852602","authorIdStr":"4114039699852602"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Be patient, wait for the right entry price.&nbsp;","listText":"Be patient, wait for the right entry price.&nbsp;","text":"Be patient, wait for the right entry price.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9915471962","repostId":"2273380106","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":683,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9989917795,"gmtCreate":1665885629617,"gmtModify":1676537675209,"author":{"id":"4114039699852602","authorId":"4114039699852602","name":"Don 007","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/cf8491b1bcaf8eb7027783be64d82761","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4114039699852602","authorIdStr":"4114039699852602"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I'm holding on to it. A belief.","listText":"I'm holding on to it. A belief.","text":"I'm holding on to it. A belief.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9989917795","repostId":"2275698961","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2275698961","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1665804613,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2275698961?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-15 11:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alibaba Q3: Time To Consider An Option Play","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2275698961","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryAlibaba stock prices continue to be directed by short-term events and disjointed from busines","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2>Summary</h2><ul><li>Alibaba stock prices continue to be directed by short-term events and disjointed from business fundamentals.</li><li>Such disconnection creates both challenges and opportunities for value-oriented investors.</li><li>One such opportunity involves an observation that I’ve made about its implied volatility being mispriced.</li><li>As such, you can consider an option play here either to hedge your existing positions or to open a new position.</li><li>The upcoming earnings report in November for its September quarter (CY22 Q3) could amplify the mispricing based on its recent historical pattern.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/912293f2bb66d41dfe829d2eea80df38\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"500\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>remco86</span></p><h2>Thesis</h2><p>Alibaba&#39;s (NYSE:BABA) stock price continues to be directed by short-term events and disjointed from business fundamentals. While its financial performances are partly to blame (although quite healthy in my view), its stock price movements have been largely dominated by news events, such as the uncertainty in the Chinese regulatory environment, the lingering COVID-19 concerns, and the China-U.S. tension. To cite a few recent examples (shown in the chart below),</p><ul><li>On May 26, after reporting its March quarter results, its stock price climbed 14.8% in one day. And shortly afterward, on June 8, the Chinese government announced the approval of a new round of video game licenses, and its stock prices increased by another 14.7%.</li><li>Then in July, it was fined by antitrust regulators for the improper reporting of previous merger deals. In particular, on July 11, its stock declined by 9.2% even though the fine amounted to only $373k.</li><li>On July 29, it was added back to the U.S. SEC&#39;s watchlist of Chinese companies that might be delisted. The news triggered an 11% decline in its stock price to close at $89 from $100 the day before.</li><li>Then finally on August 4, 2022, when it reported its June Quarter earnings, the stock prices fluctuated between a low of $95 and a high of $103 in a single day, translating into an 8.4% daily fluctuation.</li></ul><p>I am citing all these detailed events and price movements to give you a concrete feeling of its price volatility so that you can see the main thesis of this article: the mispricing of its implied volatility (&#34;IV&#34;) in the options market.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8286a0926eebed47581d1a351970528\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"424\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Author based on Yahoo! data</span></p><p>The mispricing probably is best illustrated by comparison against its U.S. counterpart: Amazon (AMZN). The price movements of AMZN in the past 6 months are shown in the bottom panel of the above chart. In contrast to BABA&#39;s frequent ~10% DAILY price volatilities, AMZN stock price has been largely range-bound between $140 and $105, translating into a fluctuation of around 16% around a mean price of $122.5 over the past few MONTHS. Yet, as you will see in a later section, the options market currently assigns an IV of about 61% for BABA for its Dec 16, 2022, option. And the IV it assigns for AMZN is about the same (a bit below 60%), accentuating the IV mispricing.</p><p>Looking forward, BABA is expected to report earnings on 11/17/2022 according to Nasdaq&#39;s schedule. Considering the IV mispricing, an option with expiry after that (say Dec 16, 2022) could either help to hedge your existing positions or to open a new position. Directly holding the shares can help you to benefit from its compressed valuation (as to be detailed in the next section immediately below). But an option play can help you to benefit from the compression in its valuation AND also the IV mispricing.</p><h2>Business outlook and growth potential</h2><p>Admittedly, BABA&#39;s earning results have been a bit choppy lately. However, in its upcoming earnings report for the September 2022 quarter, I expected a number of promising growth avenues. These catalysts should support healthy earnings growth, especially in the near- to mid-term, say in the 2025-2027 timeframe. First, I expect the Chinese economy to recover considerably once COVID-19 concerns clear up. Second, BABA is still very successful at attracting new annual active customers from the vast population of China, especially from the less developed areas. Notably, Tmall and Taobao continue to perform well. Third, on the international stage, platforms such as Lazada and AliExpress logged solid double-digit order growth rates in fiscal 2021, and I foresee such growth to continue or even accelerate in the next few years. Finally, on top of all these, its cloud segment continues to capture market share within the burgeoning global cloud niche. All told, consensus estimates project an 11.5% EPS expansion in the next five years, as you can see from the first chart below. And I tend to agree with such a projection.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac8e0cf709dcbba649e38293b6c7f3a6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"238\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Author based on Seeking Alpha data</span></p><p>In the meantime, its financial position is strong. The balance sheet is in good condition, as seen in the next chart below, providing the liquidity and financial flexibility to fuel its continued expansion. Alibaba ended the last quarter with more than $69 billion in cash as seen. In addition, merely 13.4% of the capital structure is comprised of long-term debt (compared to AMZN&#39;s 45.4%), suggesting plenty of flexibility to support growth initiatives.</p><p>Although, note that the table below made a mistake on its cash per share (probably due to confusion about its share count vs its ADR counts). With $69 billion of cash and approximately 2.6 billion ADR outstanding, the total cash per share should be about $26.5. At its current stock price of $75 as of this writing, more than 1/3 of its stock price (35.4% to be exact) is just cash.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0fcf65098fee073a34c3bc89c3f81d3f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"348\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Author based on Seeking Alpha data</span></p><h2>Volatility mispricing and option play</h2><p>As mentioned above, holding the shares directly is a bet on its compressed valuation and growth potential. And an option play can provide a couple of additional advantages, as detailed in my other articles. To recap,</p><blockquote><ul><li><i>First, compared to the buy-and-hold strategy, an option can limit your exposure in terms of the total dollar amount.</i></li><li><i>Second, it can take advantage of both the valuation mispricing AND also volatility mispricing (the buy-and-hold strategy only benefit from the former).</i></li><li><i>Third, it provides a definitive expiration date.</i></li></ul></blockquote><p>As an example, as of this writing, a BABA call option with a $75 strike price (i.e., near the money) that expires on 12/16/2022 sells at about $7.8 as you can see from the first chart below provided by OIC. So $780 would provide exposure to 100 shares, versus $7.5k if you directly own the shares.</p><p>You can also see the implied volatility is only 60.8%. Again, to me, this is an underestimate. As you can see from the second chart below, its IV has ranged from about 50% to about 100% in the past 6 months. And the current IV of 60% is close to the floor of this range. Yet, as argued earlier, recent events and price movements suggest no muting in its actual volatility. Also, as you can see from the third chart below, AMZN&#39;s current IV is close to 60% too (about 56%). However, as aforementioned, the DAILY price actions in BABA shares are nearly on the same magnitude as AMZN&#39;s <i>monthly</i> price fluctuations.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/10ec73e15ba94f68c0e834fa09585379\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"320\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>oic.ivolatility.com</span></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c3f80465a4333814ee01ef3f76d585e\" tg-width=\"520\" tg-height=\"250\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>BABA historical and implied volatility provided by IVolatility.com</span></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/08c9f56d1ece63e4bfd5535e64d93b24\" tg-width=\"520\" tg-height=\"250\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>AMZN historical and implied volatility provided by IVolatility.com</span></p><h2>Baba risks and final thoughts</h2><p>Since an option play, in a sense, is a way to limit risks already, I won&#39;t detail the specific risks surrounding BABA shares. Other SA authors have elaborated on the risks eloquently already anyway. Here, let me just repeat the risks inherent in writing options:</p><blockquote><i>Writing options can limit risks in terms of the absolute dollar amount. But it is riskier in relative terms. You can lose 100% and there is actually a good chance of that.</i></blockquote><p>To conclude, the main thesis here is built on an observation that I&#39;ve made about BABA&#39;s implied volatility being mispriced. Yes, it is definitely attractive to own the shares directly in my mind (which I do) under current conditions. The stock is priced at single-digit FWD PE with double-digit growth rates. And it has about $26.5 of cash per ADR on its ledger, more than 1/3 of its stock current price. But an option play could bring an additional catalyst to the table. The upcoming earnings report in November could amplify the mispricing, judging by the recent historical pattern of its price movements around earnings reports.</p><p><i>This article is written by </i><i>Sensor Unlimited</i><i> for reference only. Please note the risks.</i></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba Q3: Time To Consider An Option Play</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba Q3: Time To Consider An Option Play\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-15 11:30 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4546617-alibaba-q3-time-to-consider-an-option-play><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryAlibaba stock prices continue to be directed by short-term events and disjointed from business fundamentals.Such disconnection creates both challenges and opportunities for value-oriented ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4546617-alibaba-q3-time-to-consider-an-option-play\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4546617-alibaba-q3-time-to-consider-an-option-play","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2275698961","content_text":"SummaryAlibaba stock prices continue to be directed by short-term events and disjointed from business fundamentals.Such disconnection creates both challenges and opportunities for value-oriented investors.One such opportunity involves an observation that I’ve made about its implied volatility being mispriced.As such, you can consider an option play here either to hedge your existing positions or to open a new position.The upcoming earnings report in November for its September quarter (CY22 Q3) could amplify the mispricing based on its recent historical pattern.remco86ThesisAlibaba's (NYSE:BABA) stock price continues to be directed by short-term events and disjointed from business fundamentals. While its financial performances are partly to blame (although quite healthy in my view), its stock price movements have been largely dominated by news events, such as the uncertainty in the Chinese regulatory environment, the lingering COVID-19 concerns, and the China-U.S. tension. To cite a few recent examples (shown in the chart below),On May 26, after reporting its March quarter results, its stock price climbed 14.8% in one day. And shortly afterward, on June 8, the Chinese government announced the approval of a new round of video game licenses, and its stock prices increased by another 14.7%.Then in July, it was fined by antitrust regulators for the improper reporting of previous merger deals. In particular, on July 11, its stock declined by 9.2% even though the fine amounted to only $373k.On July 29, it was added back to the U.S. SEC's watchlist of Chinese companies that might be delisted. The news triggered an 11% decline in its stock price to close at $89 from $100 the day before.Then finally on August 4, 2022, when it reported its June Quarter earnings, the stock prices fluctuated between a low of $95 and a high of $103 in a single day, translating into an 8.4% daily fluctuation.I am citing all these detailed events and price movements to give you a concrete feeling of its price volatility so that you can see the main thesis of this article: the mispricing of its implied volatility (\"IV\") in the options market.Author based on Yahoo! dataThe mispricing probably is best illustrated by comparison against its U.S. counterpart: Amazon (AMZN). The price movements of AMZN in the past 6 months are shown in the bottom panel of the above chart. In contrast to BABA's frequent ~10% DAILY price volatilities, AMZN stock price has been largely range-bound between $140 and $105, translating into a fluctuation of around 16% around a mean price of $122.5 over the past few MONTHS. Yet, as you will see in a later section, the options market currently assigns an IV of about 61% for BABA for its Dec 16, 2022, option. And the IV it assigns for AMZN is about the same (a bit below 60%), accentuating the IV mispricing.Looking forward, BABA is expected to report earnings on 11/17/2022 according to Nasdaq's schedule. Considering the IV mispricing, an option with expiry after that (say Dec 16, 2022) could either help to hedge your existing positions or to open a new position. Directly holding the shares can help you to benefit from its compressed valuation (as to be detailed in the next section immediately below). But an option play can help you to benefit from the compression in its valuation AND also the IV mispricing.Business outlook and growth potentialAdmittedly, BABA's earning results have been a bit choppy lately. However, in its upcoming earnings report for the September 2022 quarter, I expected a number of promising growth avenues. These catalysts should support healthy earnings growth, especially in the near- to mid-term, say in the 2025-2027 timeframe. First, I expect the Chinese economy to recover considerably once COVID-19 concerns clear up. Second, BABA is still very successful at attracting new annual active customers from the vast population of China, especially from the less developed areas. Notably, Tmall and Taobao continue to perform well. Third, on the international stage, platforms such as Lazada and AliExpress logged solid double-digit order growth rates in fiscal 2021, and I foresee such growth to continue or even accelerate in the next few years. Finally, on top of all these, its cloud segment continues to capture market share within the burgeoning global cloud niche. All told, consensus estimates project an 11.5% EPS expansion in the next five years, as you can see from the first chart below. And I tend to agree with such a projection.Author based on Seeking Alpha dataIn the meantime, its financial position is strong. The balance sheet is in good condition, as seen in the next chart below, providing the liquidity and financial flexibility to fuel its continued expansion. Alibaba ended the last quarter with more than $69 billion in cash as seen. In addition, merely 13.4% of the capital structure is comprised of long-term debt (compared to AMZN's 45.4%), suggesting plenty of flexibility to support growth initiatives.Although, note that the table below made a mistake on its cash per share (probably due to confusion about its share count vs its ADR counts). With $69 billion of cash and approximately 2.6 billion ADR outstanding, the total cash per share should be about $26.5. At its current stock price of $75 as of this writing, more than 1/3 of its stock price (35.4% to be exact) is just cash.Author based on Seeking Alpha dataVolatility mispricing and option playAs mentioned above, holding the shares directly is a bet on its compressed valuation and growth potential. And an option play can provide a couple of additional advantages, as detailed in my other articles. To recap,First, compared to the buy-and-hold strategy, an option can limit your exposure in terms of the total dollar amount.Second, it can take advantage of both the valuation mispricing AND also volatility mispricing (the buy-and-hold strategy only benefit from the former).Third, it provides a definitive expiration date.As an example, as of this writing, a BABA call option with a $75 strike price (i.e., near the money) that expires on 12/16/2022 sells at about $7.8 as you can see from the first chart below provided by OIC. So $780 would provide exposure to 100 shares, versus $7.5k if you directly own the shares.You can also see the implied volatility is only 60.8%. Again, to me, this is an underestimate. As you can see from the second chart below, its IV has ranged from about 50% to about 100% in the past 6 months. And the current IV of 60% is close to the floor of this range. Yet, as argued earlier, recent events and price movements suggest no muting in its actual volatility. Also, as you can see from the third chart below, AMZN's current IV is close to 60% too (about 56%). However, as aforementioned, the DAILY price actions in BABA shares are nearly on the same magnitude as AMZN's monthly price fluctuations.oic.ivolatility.comBABA historical and implied volatility provided by IVolatility.comAMZN historical and implied volatility provided by IVolatility.comBaba risks and final thoughtsSince an option play, in a sense, is a way to limit risks already, I won't detail the specific risks surrounding BABA shares. Other SA authors have elaborated on the risks eloquently already anyway. Here, let me just repeat the risks inherent in writing options:Writing options can limit risks in terms of the absolute dollar amount. But it is riskier in relative terms. You can lose 100% and there is actually a good chance of that.To conclude, the main thesis here is built on an observation that I've made about BABA's implied volatility being mispriced. Yes, it is definitely attractive to own the shares directly in my mind (which I do) under current conditions. The stock is priced at single-digit FWD PE with double-digit growth rates. And it has about $26.5 of cash per ADR on its ledger, more than 1/3 of its stock current price. But an option play could bring an additional catalyst to the table. The upcoming earnings report in November could amplify the mispricing, judging by the recent historical pattern of its price movements around earnings reports.This article is written by Sensor Unlimited for reference only. Please note the risks.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BABA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":807,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9943340982,"gmtCreate":1679187748546,"gmtModify":1679187752732,"author":{"id":"4114039699852602","authorId":"4114039699852602","name":"Don 007","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/cf8491b1bcaf8eb7027783be64d82761","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4114039699852602","authorIdStr":"4114039699852602"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/UNH\">$UnitedHealth(UNH)$ &nbsp;</a>it time to consider this stock?","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/UNH\">$UnitedHealth(UNH)$ &nbsp;</a>it time to consider this stock?","text":"$UnitedHealth(UNH)$ it time to consider this stock?","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1d3036c7f63c8e528e5e1de282c0e4bb","width":"1080","height":"2287"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9943340982","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2855,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3579592180464188","authorId":"3579592180464188","name":"Omega88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af85c47a34d1bf9d2534738ed77bef05","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3579592180464188","authorIdStr":"3579592180464188"},"content":"It's relatively cheaper now, I just added some last week!","text":"It's relatively cheaper now, I just added some last week!","html":"It's relatively cheaper now, I just added some last week!"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9983219373,"gmtCreate":1666242858192,"gmtModify":1676537729000,"author":{"id":"4114039699852602","authorId":"4114039699852602","name":"Don 007","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/cf8491b1bcaf8eb7027783be64d82761","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4114039699852602","authorIdStr":"4114039699852602"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Be patience. Wait for the right entry price.","listText":"Be patience. Wait for the right entry price.","text":"Be patience. Wait for the right entry price.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9983219373","repostId":"2276745435","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2551,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9983210743,"gmtCreate":1666242771382,"gmtModify":1676537728992,"author":{"id":"4114039699852602","authorId":"4114039699852602","name":"Don 007","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/cf8491b1bcaf8eb7027783be64d82761","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4114039699852602","authorIdStr":"4114039699852602"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wait for 175","listText":"Wait for 175","text":"Wait for 175","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9983210743","repostId":"2276745435","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2823,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9916691914,"gmtCreate":1664583335338,"gmtModify":1676537479371,"author":{"id":"4114039699852602","authorId":"4114039699852602","name":"Don 007","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/cf8491b1bcaf8eb7027783be64d82761","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4114039699852602","authorIdStr":"4114039699852602"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Where is the bottom?&nbsp;","listText":"Where is the bottom?&nbsp;","text":"Where is the bottom?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9916691914","repostId":"2272080774","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2272080774","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1664579994,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2272080774?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-01 07:19","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US STOCKS-Wall St Posts Third Straight Quarterly Loss As Inflation Weighs, Recession Looms","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2272080774","media":"Reuters","summary":"The S&P 500 closed the books on its steepest September decline in two decades on Friday, skidding ac","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The S&amp;P 500 closed the books on its steepest September decline in two decades on Friday, skidding across the finish line of a tumultuous quarter fraught with historically hot inflation, rising interest rates and recession fears.</p><p>All three major indexes veered to a sharply lower end, having quashed a brief rally early in the session.</p><p>The S&amp;P and the Dow notched their third consecutive weekly declines, and all three indexes posted their second straight monthly losses.</p><p>In the first nine months of 2022, Wall Street suffered three quarterly declines in a row, the longest losing streak for the S&amp;P and the Nasdaq since 2008 and the Dow&#39;s longest quarterly slump in seven years.</p><p>&#34;It&#39;s another ugly day to end an ugly quarter in what’s looking like a very ugly year,&#34; said Ryan Detrick, chief market strategist at Carson Group in Omaha, Nebraska. &#34;Investors will look back and realize this was the year the Fed pulled a total 180 on their views on inflation and quickly turned incredibly hawkish.&#34;</p><p>The Federal Reserve has rattled markets by engaging in its most relentless series of interest rate hikes in decades in order to rein in stubbornly high inflation, which has many market participants eyeing key economic data for signs of a looming recession.</p><p>&#34;The realization that the Fed is doing anything they can to combat 40-year-high inflation has investors worried they will push the economy over the edge and into recession,&#34; Detrick added.</p><p>The Commerce Department&#39;s personal consumption expenditures (PCE) report did little to assuage those fears, showing that while consumers continue to spend, the prices they are paying have accelerated, drifting further beyond the Fed&#39;s inflation target and all but ensuring the central bank&#39;s hawkish monetary policy will continue longer than investors had hoped.</p><p>Recession fears also echoed through dire warnings from Nike Inc and cruise operator Carnival Corp, both citing inflation-related margin pressures.</p><p>Shares of the companies tanked by 12.8% and 23.3%, respectively.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 500.1 points, or 1.71%, to 28,725.51; the S&amp;P 500    lost 54.85 points, or 1.51%, to 3,585.62; and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 161.89 points, or 1.51%, to 10,575.62.</p><p>Among the 11 major sectors of the S&amp;P 500, real estate was the sole gainer, while utilities tech suffered the largest percentage losses.</p><p>Apple Inc, Microsoft Corp, Amazon.com and Nike weighed heaviest.</p><p>Corporate earnings reports for the quarter that ends with Friday&#39;s closing bell will begin landing in a few weeks, and analyst expectations are trending downward.</p><p>Analysts now see annual S&amp;P 500 earnings growth of 4.5%, on aggregate, down from the 11.1% estimate when the quarter began.</p><p>Quarter-end fund reallocations and so-called &#34;window dressing&#34; is likely contributed to the session&#39;s volatility.</p><p>Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.45-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.38-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted no new 52-week highs and 93 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 27 new highs and 380 new lows.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 12.44 billion shares, compared with the 11.45 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US STOCKS-Wall St Posts Third Straight Quarterly Loss As Inflation Weighs, Recession Looms</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS STOCKS-Wall St Posts Third Straight Quarterly Loss As Inflation Weighs, Recession Looms\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-10-01 07:19</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>The S&amp;P 500 closed the books on its steepest September decline in two decades on Friday, skidding across the finish line of a tumultuous quarter fraught with historically hot inflation, rising interest rates and recession fears.</p><p>All three major indexes veered to a sharply lower end, having quashed a brief rally early in the session.</p><p>The S&amp;P and the Dow notched their third consecutive weekly declines, and all three indexes posted their second straight monthly losses.</p><p>In the first nine months of 2022, Wall Street suffered three quarterly declines in a row, the longest losing streak for the S&amp;P and the Nasdaq since 2008 and the Dow&#39;s longest quarterly slump in seven years.</p><p>&#34;It&#39;s another ugly day to end an ugly quarter in what’s looking like a very ugly year,&#34; said Ryan Detrick, chief market strategist at Carson Group in Omaha, Nebraska. &#34;Investors will look back and realize this was the year the Fed pulled a total 180 on their views on inflation and quickly turned incredibly hawkish.&#34;</p><p>The Federal Reserve has rattled markets by engaging in its most relentless series of interest rate hikes in decades in order to rein in stubbornly high inflation, which has many market participants eyeing key economic data for signs of a looming recession.</p><p>&#34;The realization that the Fed is doing anything they can to combat 40-year-high inflation has investors worried they will push the economy over the edge and into recession,&#34; Detrick added.</p><p>The Commerce Department&#39;s personal consumption expenditures (PCE) report did little to assuage those fears, showing that while consumers continue to spend, the prices they are paying have accelerated, drifting further beyond the Fed&#39;s inflation target and all but ensuring the central bank&#39;s hawkish monetary policy will continue longer than investors had hoped.</p><p>Recession fears also echoed through dire warnings from Nike Inc and cruise operator Carnival Corp, both citing inflation-related margin pressures.</p><p>Shares of the companies tanked by 12.8% and 23.3%, respectively.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 500.1 points, or 1.71%, to 28,725.51; the S&amp;P 500    lost 54.85 points, or 1.51%, to 3,585.62; and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 161.89 points, or 1.51%, to 10,575.62.</p><p>Among the 11 major sectors of the S&amp;P 500, real estate was the sole gainer, while utilities tech suffered the largest percentage losses.</p><p>Apple Inc, Microsoft Corp, Amazon.com and Nike weighed heaviest.</p><p>Corporate earnings reports for the quarter that ends with Friday&#39;s closing bell will begin landing in a few weeks, and analyst expectations are trending downward.</p><p>Analysts now see annual S&amp;P 500 earnings growth of 4.5%, on aggregate, down from the 11.1% estimate when the quarter began.</p><p>Quarter-end fund reallocations and so-called &#34;window dressing&#34; is likely contributed to the session&#39;s volatility.</p><p>Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.45-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.38-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted no new 52-week highs and 93 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 27 new highs and 380 new lows.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 12.44 billion shares, compared with the 11.45 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2272080774","content_text":"The S&P 500 closed the books on its steepest September decline in two decades on Friday, skidding across the finish line of a tumultuous quarter fraught with historically hot inflation, rising interest rates and recession fears.All three major indexes veered to a sharply lower end, having quashed a brief rally early in the session.The S&P and the Dow notched their third consecutive weekly declines, and all three indexes posted their second straight monthly losses.In the first nine months of 2022, Wall Street suffered three quarterly declines in a row, the longest losing streak for the S&P and the Nasdaq since 2008 and the Dow's longest quarterly slump in seven years.\"It's another ugly day to end an ugly quarter in what’s looking like a very ugly year,\" said Ryan Detrick, chief market strategist at Carson Group in Omaha, Nebraska. \"Investors will look back and realize this was the year the Fed pulled a total 180 on their views on inflation and quickly turned incredibly hawkish.\"The Federal Reserve has rattled markets by engaging in its most relentless series of interest rate hikes in decades in order to rein in stubbornly high inflation, which has many market participants eyeing key economic data for signs of a looming recession.\"The realization that the Fed is doing anything they can to combat 40-year-high inflation has investors worried they will push the economy over the edge and into recession,\" Detrick added.The Commerce Department's personal consumption expenditures (PCE) report did little to assuage those fears, showing that while consumers continue to spend, the prices they are paying have accelerated, drifting further beyond the Fed's inflation target and all but ensuring the central bank's hawkish monetary policy will continue longer than investors had hoped.Recession fears also echoed through dire warnings from Nike Inc and cruise operator Carnival Corp, both citing inflation-related margin pressures.Shares of the companies tanked by 12.8% and 23.3%, respectively.The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 500.1 points, or 1.71%, to 28,725.51; the S&P 500    lost 54.85 points, or 1.51%, to 3,585.62; and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 161.89 points, or 1.51%, to 10,575.62.Among the 11 major sectors of the S&P 500, real estate was the sole gainer, while utilities tech suffered the largest percentage losses.Apple Inc, Microsoft Corp, Amazon.com and Nike weighed heaviest.Corporate earnings reports for the quarter that ends with Friday's closing bell will begin landing in a few weeks, and analyst expectations are trending downward.Analysts now see annual S&P 500 earnings growth of 4.5%, on aggregate, down from the 11.1% estimate when the quarter began.Quarter-end fund reallocations and so-called \"window dressing\" is likely contributed to the session's volatility.Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.45-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.38-to-1 ratio favored decliners.The S&P 500 posted no new 52-week highs and 93 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 27 new highs and 380 new lows.Volume on U.S. exchanges was 12.44 billion shares, compared with the 11.45 billion average over the last 20 trading days.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":946,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9989980861,"gmtCreate":1665885693053,"gmtModify":1676537675217,"author":{"id":"4114039699852602","authorId":"4114039699852602","name":"Don 007","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/cf8491b1bcaf8eb7027783be64d82761","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4114039699852602","authorIdStr":"4114039699852602"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"One day it will shone again","listText":"One day it will shone again","text":"One day it will shone again","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9989980861","repostId":"2275698961","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2275698961","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1665804613,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2275698961?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-15 11:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alibaba Q3: Time To Consider An Option Play","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2275698961","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryAlibaba stock prices continue to be directed by short-term events and disjointed from busines","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2>Summary</h2><ul><li>Alibaba stock prices continue to be directed by short-term events and disjointed from business fundamentals.</li><li>Such disconnection creates both challenges and opportunities for value-oriented investors.</li><li>One such opportunity involves an observation that I’ve made about its implied volatility being mispriced.</li><li>As such, you can consider an option play here either to hedge your existing positions or to open a new position.</li><li>The upcoming earnings report in November for its September quarter (CY22 Q3) could amplify the mispricing based on its recent historical pattern.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/912293f2bb66d41dfe829d2eea80df38\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"500\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>remco86</span></p><h2>Thesis</h2><p>Alibaba&#39;s (NYSE:BABA) stock price continues to be directed by short-term events and disjointed from business fundamentals. While its financial performances are partly to blame (although quite healthy in my view), its stock price movements have been largely dominated by news events, such as the uncertainty in the Chinese regulatory environment, the lingering COVID-19 concerns, and the China-U.S. tension. To cite a few recent examples (shown in the chart below),</p><ul><li>On May 26, after reporting its March quarter results, its stock price climbed 14.8% in one day. And shortly afterward, on June 8, the Chinese government announced the approval of a new round of video game licenses, and its stock prices increased by another 14.7%.</li><li>Then in July, it was fined by antitrust regulators for the improper reporting of previous merger deals. In particular, on July 11, its stock declined by 9.2% even though the fine amounted to only $373k.</li><li>On July 29, it was added back to the U.S. SEC&#39;s watchlist of Chinese companies that might be delisted. The news triggered an 11% decline in its stock price to close at $89 from $100 the day before.</li><li>Then finally on August 4, 2022, when it reported its June Quarter earnings, the stock prices fluctuated between a low of $95 and a high of $103 in a single day, translating into an 8.4% daily fluctuation.</li></ul><p>I am citing all these detailed events and price movements to give you a concrete feeling of its price volatility so that you can see the main thesis of this article: the mispricing of its implied volatility (&#34;IV&#34;) in the options market.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8286a0926eebed47581d1a351970528\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"424\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Author based on Yahoo! data</span></p><p>The mispricing probably is best illustrated by comparison against its U.S. counterpart: Amazon (AMZN). The price movements of AMZN in the past 6 months are shown in the bottom panel of the above chart. In contrast to BABA&#39;s frequent ~10% DAILY price volatilities, AMZN stock price has been largely range-bound between $140 and $105, translating into a fluctuation of around 16% around a mean price of $122.5 over the past few MONTHS. Yet, as you will see in a later section, the options market currently assigns an IV of about 61% for BABA for its Dec 16, 2022, option. And the IV it assigns for AMZN is about the same (a bit below 60%), accentuating the IV mispricing.</p><p>Looking forward, BABA is expected to report earnings on 11/17/2022 according to Nasdaq&#39;s schedule. Considering the IV mispricing, an option with expiry after that (say Dec 16, 2022) could either help to hedge your existing positions or to open a new position. Directly holding the shares can help you to benefit from its compressed valuation (as to be detailed in the next section immediately below). But an option play can help you to benefit from the compression in its valuation AND also the IV mispricing.</p><h2>Business outlook and growth potential</h2><p>Admittedly, BABA&#39;s earning results have been a bit choppy lately. However, in its upcoming earnings report for the September 2022 quarter, I expected a number of promising growth avenues. These catalysts should support healthy earnings growth, especially in the near- to mid-term, say in the 2025-2027 timeframe. First, I expect the Chinese economy to recover considerably once COVID-19 concerns clear up. Second, BABA is still very successful at attracting new annual active customers from the vast population of China, especially from the less developed areas. Notably, Tmall and Taobao continue to perform well. Third, on the international stage, platforms such as Lazada and AliExpress logged solid double-digit order growth rates in fiscal 2021, and I foresee such growth to continue or even accelerate in the next few years. Finally, on top of all these, its cloud segment continues to capture market share within the burgeoning global cloud niche. All told, consensus estimates project an 11.5% EPS expansion in the next five years, as you can see from the first chart below. And I tend to agree with such a projection.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac8e0cf709dcbba649e38293b6c7f3a6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"238\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Author based on Seeking Alpha data</span></p><p>In the meantime, its financial position is strong. The balance sheet is in good condition, as seen in the next chart below, providing the liquidity and financial flexibility to fuel its continued expansion. Alibaba ended the last quarter with more than $69 billion in cash as seen. In addition, merely 13.4% of the capital structure is comprised of long-term debt (compared to AMZN&#39;s 45.4%), suggesting plenty of flexibility to support growth initiatives.</p><p>Although, note that the table below made a mistake on its cash per share (probably due to confusion about its share count vs its ADR counts). With $69 billion of cash and approximately 2.6 billion ADR outstanding, the total cash per share should be about $26.5. At its current stock price of $75 as of this writing, more than 1/3 of its stock price (35.4% to be exact) is just cash.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0fcf65098fee073a34c3bc89c3f81d3f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"348\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Author based on Seeking Alpha data</span></p><h2>Volatility mispricing and option play</h2><p>As mentioned above, holding the shares directly is a bet on its compressed valuation and growth potential. And an option play can provide a couple of additional advantages, as detailed in my other articles. To recap,</p><blockquote><ul><li><i>First, compared to the buy-and-hold strategy, an option can limit your exposure in terms of the total dollar amount.</i></li><li><i>Second, it can take advantage of both the valuation mispricing AND also volatility mispricing (the buy-and-hold strategy only benefit from the former).</i></li><li><i>Third, it provides a definitive expiration date.</i></li></ul></blockquote><p>As an example, as of this writing, a BABA call option with a $75 strike price (i.e., near the money) that expires on 12/16/2022 sells at about $7.8 as you can see from the first chart below provided by OIC. So $780 would provide exposure to 100 shares, versus $7.5k if you directly own the shares.</p><p>You can also see the implied volatility is only 60.8%. Again, to me, this is an underestimate. As you can see from the second chart below, its IV has ranged from about 50% to about 100% in the past 6 months. And the current IV of 60% is close to the floor of this range. Yet, as argued earlier, recent events and price movements suggest no muting in its actual volatility. Also, as you can see from the third chart below, AMZN&#39;s current IV is close to 60% too (about 56%). However, as aforementioned, the DAILY price actions in BABA shares are nearly on the same magnitude as AMZN&#39;s <i>monthly</i> price fluctuations.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/10ec73e15ba94f68c0e834fa09585379\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"320\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>oic.ivolatility.com</span></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c3f80465a4333814ee01ef3f76d585e\" tg-width=\"520\" tg-height=\"250\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>BABA historical and implied volatility provided by IVolatility.com</span></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/08c9f56d1ece63e4bfd5535e64d93b24\" tg-width=\"520\" tg-height=\"250\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>AMZN historical and implied volatility provided by IVolatility.com</span></p><h2>Baba risks and final thoughts</h2><p>Since an option play, in a sense, is a way to limit risks already, I won&#39;t detail the specific risks surrounding BABA shares. Other SA authors have elaborated on the risks eloquently already anyway. Here, let me just repeat the risks inherent in writing options:</p><blockquote><i>Writing options can limit risks in terms of the absolute dollar amount. But it is riskier in relative terms. You can lose 100% and there is actually a good chance of that.</i></blockquote><p>To conclude, the main thesis here is built on an observation that I&#39;ve made about BABA&#39;s implied volatility being mispriced. Yes, it is definitely attractive to own the shares directly in my mind (which I do) under current conditions. The stock is priced at single-digit FWD PE with double-digit growth rates. And it has about $26.5 of cash per ADR on its ledger, more than 1/3 of its stock current price. But an option play could bring an additional catalyst to the table. The upcoming earnings report in November could amplify the mispricing, judging by the recent historical pattern of its price movements around earnings reports.</p><p><i>This article is written by </i><i>Sensor Unlimited</i><i> for reference only. Please note the risks.</i></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba Q3: Time To Consider An Option Play</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba Q3: Time To Consider An Option Play\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-15 11:30 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4546617-alibaba-q3-time-to-consider-an-option-play><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryAlibaba stock prices continue to be directed by short-term events and disjointed from business fundamentals.Such disconnection creates both challenges and opportunities for value-oriented ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4546617-alibaba-q3-time-to-consider-an-option-play\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4546617-alibaba-q3-time-to-consider-an-option-play","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2275698961","content_text":"SummaryAlibaba stock prices continue to be directed by short-term events and disjointed from business fundamentals.Such disconnection creates both challenges and opportunities for value-oriented investors.One such opportunity involves an observation that I’ve made about its implied volatility being mispriced.As such, you can consider an option play here either to hedge your existing positions or to open a new position.The upcoming earnings report in November for its September quarter (CY22 Q3) could amplify the mispricing based on its recent historical pattern.remco86ThesisAlibaba's (NYSE:BABA) stock price continues to be directed by short-term events and disjointed from business fundamentals. While its financial performances are partly to blame (although quite healthy in my view), its stock price movements have been largely dominated by news events, such as the uncertainty in the Chinese regulatory environment, the lingering COVID-19 concerns, and the China-U.S. tension. To cite a few recent examples (shown in the chart below),On May 26, after reporting its March quarter results, its stock price climbed 14.8% in one day. And shortly afterward, on June 8, the Chinese government announced the approval of a new round of video game licenses, and its stock prices increased by another 14.7%.Then in July, it was fined by antitrust regulators for the improper reporting of previous merger deals. In particular, on July 11, its stock declined by 9.2% even though the fine amounted to only $373k.On July 29, it was added back to the U.S. SEC's watchlist of Chinese companies that might be delisted. The news triggered an 11% decline in its stock price to close at $89 from $100 the day before.Then finally on August 4, 2022, when it reported its June Quarter earnings, the stock prices fluctuated between a low of $95 and a high of $103 in a single day, translating into an 8.4% daily fluctuation.I am citing all these detailed events and price movements to give you a concrete feeling of its price volatility so that you can see the main thesis of this article: the mispricing of its implied volatility (\"IV\") in the options market.Author based on Yahoo! dataThe mispricing probably is best illustrated by comparison against its U.S. counterpart: Amazon (AMZN). The price movements of AMZN in the past 6 months are shown in the bottom panel of the above chart. In contrast to BABA's frequent ~10% DAILY price volatilities, AMZN stock price has been largely range-bound between $140 and $105, translating into a fluctuation of around 16% around a mean price of $122.5 over the past few MONTHS. Yet, as you will see in a later section, the options market currently assigns an IV of about 61% for BABA for its Dec 16, 2022, option. And the IV it assigns for AMZN is about the same (a bit below 60%), accentuating the IV mispricing.Looking forward, BABA is expected to report earnings on 11/17/2022 according to Nasdaq's schedule. Considering the IV mispricing, an option with expiry after that (say Dec 16, 2022) could either help to hedge your existing positions or to open a new position. Directly holding the shares can help you to benefit from its compressed valuation (as to be detailed in the next section immediately below). But an option play can help you to benefit from the compression in its valuation AND also the IV mispricing.Business outlook and growth potentialAdmittedly, BABA's earning results have been a bit choppy lately. However, in its upcoming earnings report for the September 2022 quarter, I expected a number of promising growth avenues. These catalysts should support healthy earnings growth, especially in the near- to mid-term, say in the 2025-2027 timeframe. First, I expect the Chinese economy to recover considerably once COVID-19 concerns clear up. Second, BABA is still very successful at attracting new annual active customers from the vast population of China, especially from the less developed areas. Notably, Tmall and Taobao continue to perform well. Third, on the international stage, platforms such as Lazada and AliExpress logged solid double-digit order growth rates in fiscal 2021, and I foresee such growth to continue or even accelerate in the next few years. Finally, on top of all these, its cloud segment continues to capture market share within the burgeoning global cloud niche. All told, consensus estimates project an 11.5% EPS expansion in the next five years, as you can see from the first chart below. And I tend to agree with such a projection.Author based on Seeking Alpha dataIn the meantime, its financial position is strong. The balance sheet is in good condition, as seen in the next chart below, providing the liquidity and financial flexibility to fuel its continued expansion. Alibaba ended the last quarter with more than $69 billion in cash as seen. In addition, merely 13.4% of the capital structure is comprised of long-term debt (compared to AMZN's 45.4%), suggesting plenty of flexibility to support growth initiatives.Although, note that the table below made a mistake on its cash per share (probably due to confusion about its share count vs its ADR counts). With $69 billion of cash and approximately 2.6 billion ADR outstanding, the total cash per share should be about $26.5. At its current stock price of $75 as of this writing, more than 1/3 of its stock price (35.4% to be exact) is just cash.Author based on Seeking Alpha dataVolatility mispricing and option playAs mentioned above, holding the shares directly is a bet on its compressed valuation and growth potential. And an option play can provide a couple of additional advantages, as detailed in my other articles. To recap,First, compared to the buy-and-hold strategy, an option can limit your exposure in terms of the total dollar amount.Second, it can take advantage of both the valuation mispricing AND also volatility mispricing (the buy-and-hold strategy only benefit from the former).Third, it provides a definitive expiration date.As an example, as of this writing, a BABA call option with a $75 strike price (i.e., near the money) that expires on 12/16/2022 sells at about $7.8 as you can see from the first chart below provided by OIC. So $780 would provide exposure to 100 shares, versus $7.5k if you directly own the shares.You can also see the implied volatility is only 60.8%. Again, to me, this is an underestimate. As you can see from the second chart below, its IV has ranged from about 50% to about 100% in the past 6 months. And the current IV of 60% is close to the floor of this range. Yet, as argued earlier, recent events and price movements suggest no muting in its actual volatility. Also, as you can see from the third chart below, AMZN's current IV is close to 60% too (about 56%). However, as aforementioned, the DAILY price actions in BABA shares are nearly on the same magnitude as AMZN's monthly price fluctuations.oic.ivolatility.comBABA historical and implied volatility provided by IVolatility.comAMZN historical and implied volatility provided by IVolatility.comBaba risks and final thoughtsSince an option play, in a sense, is a way to limit risks already, I won't detail the specific risks surrounding BABA shares. Other SA authors have elaborated on the risks eloquently already anyway. Here, let me just repeat the risks inherent in writing options:Writing options can limit risks in terms of the absolute dollar amount. But it is riskier in relative terms. You can lose 100% and there is actually a good chance of that.To conclude, the main thesis here is built on an observation that I've made about BABA's implied volatility being mispriced. Yes, it is definitely attractive to own the shares directly in my mind (which I do) under current conditions. The stock is priced at single-digit FWD PE with double-digit growth rates. And it has about $26.5 of cash per ADR on its ledger, more than 1/3 of its stock current price. But an option play could bring an additional catalyst to the table. The upcoming earnings report in November could amplify the mispricing, judging by the recent historical pattern of its price movements around earnings reports.This article is written by Sensor Unlimited for reference only. Please note the risks.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BABA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":861,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9932130529,"gmtCreate":1662889968262,"gmtModify":1676537158520,"author":{"id":"4114039699852602","authorId":"4114039699852602","name":"Don 007","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/cf8491b1bcaf8eb7027783be64d82761","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4114039699852602","authorIdStr":"4114039699852602"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Want vs need.&nbsp;","listText":"Want vs need.&nbsp;","text":"Want vs need.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9932130529","repostId":"2266965998","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":781,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3576136694569207","authorId":"3576136694569207","name":"IAS","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/933fbcc1d9c75b4ff82486f8a48a3e7c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3576136694569207","authorIdStr":"3576136694569207"},"content":"Prudent spending in such times","text":"Prudent spending in such times","html":"Prudent spending in such times"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9985542460,"gmtCreate":1667434146051,"gmtModify":1676537916478,"author":{"id":"4114039699852602","authorId":"4114039699852602","name":"Don 007","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/cf8491b1bcaf8eb7027783be64d82761","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4114039699852602","authorIdStr":"4114039699852602"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Apple will not be alone.&nbsp;","listText":"Apple will not be alone.&nbsp;","text":"Apple will not be alone.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9985542460","repostId":"1124568203","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2538,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9914312822,"gmtCreate":1665187881566,"gmtModify":1676537568909,"author":{"id":"4114039699852602","authorId":"4114039699852602","name":"Don 007","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/cf8491b1bcaf8eb7027783be64d82761","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4114039699852602","authorIdStr":"4114039699852602"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Be patient. Wait for unbelievable moment.&nbsp;","listText":"Be patient. Wait for unbelievable moment.&nbsp;","text":"Be patient. Wait for unbelievable moment.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9914312822","repostId":"2273816362","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2273816362","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1665156353,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2273816362?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-07 23:25","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is Now the Right Time to Buy Netflix Stock?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2273816362","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The leading streaming service is up 28% in the past three months.","content":"<div>\n<p>We're slightly more than nine months into 2022, and Netflix shares are down 62% for the year. For a stock that produced a remarkable return of 6,000% from the start of 2012 through the end of 2021, ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/10/07/is-now-the-right-time-to-buy-netflix-stock/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is Now the Right Time to Buy Netflix Stock?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs Now the Right Time to Buy Netflix Stock?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-07 23:25 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/10/07/is-now-the-right-time-to-buy-netflix-stock/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>We're slightly more than nine months into 2022, and Netflix shares are down 62% for the year. For a stock that produced a remarkable return of 6,000% from the start of 2012 through the end of 2021, ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/10/07/is-now-the-right-time-to-buy-netflix-stock/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NFLX":"奈飞"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/10/07/is-now-the-right-time-to-buy-netflix-stock/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2273816362","content_text":"We're slightly more than nine months into 2022, and Netflix shares are down 62% for the year. For a stock that produced a remarkable return of 6,000% from the start of 2012 through the end of 2021, this is a rude awakening.The streaming industry is becoming hyper-competitive, a fact that management can no longer ignore. What's more, Netflix itself is undergoing a major strategic shift in an effort to spur growth once again. Should investors buy the top streaming stock today? Let's take a closer look.Recent troublesNetflix has had a rough time in 2022, losing a combined 1.2 million subscribers in the first six months of the year. This is a far cry from the massive customer additions investors have become used to seeing in recent years. And unsurprisingly, revenue growth has dramatically slowed. Sales of $8 billion in the second quarter were up just 8.6% year over year, the slowest pace in at least the last nine years.I really think this shift comes down to one key factor: the intense competition for consumers' eyeballs. With a seemingly unlimited number of streaming options on the market, Netflix is no longer the only game in town -- not to mention all of the other entertainment choices people have that don't involve staring at a screen.The company is set to announce Q3 financial results on Tuesday, Oct. 18. Management expects the business to increase revenue by 4.7% year over year, and forecasts 1 million net new subscribers. A strong showing will certainly support a higher stock price.Growth outlookDespite recent headwinds, Netflix's global opportunity is still massive. There are currently roughly 800 million broadband households worldwide (excluding China, where Netflix isn't offered), a figure that can be viewed as Netflix's total addressable market. With 221 million subscribers today, there's still a large growth opportunity ahead.It's starting to look like Netflix's most mature markets, the U.S. and Canada, are saturated, as these two countries lost a combined 1.9 million members over the past two quarters. Therefore, international markets will be the key driver when it comes to attracting more customers. The Asia-Pacific region, in particular, is the fastest growing segment for Netflix, adding almost 7 million subscribers over the last four quarters.To boost the company's prospects, management earlier this year announced plans to introduce a cheaper, ad-supported subscription tier. Reed Hastings, Netflix's co-founder and co-CEO, long rejected this idea because he thought it would damage the brand and consumer experience. But with growth hitting a wall, and heightened competition in the industry, this seems like a no-brainer strategic move.The company believes that some 40 million accounts will be signed up for this option by the end of Q3 2023. But undoubtedly, some customers who pay for the ad-free version will move over to the lower-cost option, making it hard to pinpoint the incremental revenue opportunity. Partnering with tech giant Microsoft on this endeavor, Netflix will make its ad-based subscription option available in select markets starting in November.It's also worth mentioning Netflix's gaming push. While the company wants to bring more games to market in order to raise the value proposition of being a Netflix subscriber, and has purchased multiple studios to help this initiative, gaming hasn't moved the financial needle just yet.Current valuationAfter hitting an all-time high closing price of $692 last November, Netflix shares are down 67%. And as a result, the stock is currently trading hands at a price-to-earnings ratio of under 21, which is about as cheap as it has been at any point over the past decade. This simple metric signals an attractive entry price.However, looking at Netflix's earnings might not be the right approach to valuation. This is because the company spends huge amounts of cash on content -- more than $17 billion in 2021 -- rendering accounting profits essentially meaningless. Therefore, the price-to-sales (P/S) multiple might be more appropriate in this situation. Currently, the P/S ratio stands at 3.4, about half the trailing 10-year average. Again, this shows us that Netflix stock is cheap by historical measures.It certainly looks like the monster growth that investors have expecting from Netflix over the past decade is coming to an end. But that doesn't mean it's time to abandon the stock. In fact, the business, which has long been a cash-burning machine, is on the cusp of generating sustainable positive free cash flow, starting with this year. Add this to an undemanding valuation, and investors should consider buying shares in the streaming pioneer now.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NFLX":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":590,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9937472084,"gmtCreate":1663493518648,"gmtModify":1676537279105,"author":{"id":"4114039699852602","authorId":"4114039699852602","name":"Don 007","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/cf8491b1bcaf8eb7027783be64d82761","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4114039699852602","authorIdStr":"4114039699852602"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wait for good entry price","listText":"Wait for good entry price","text":"Wait for good entry price","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9937472084","repostId":"1178217025","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":869,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9938587342,"gmtCreate":1662635887786,"gmtModify":1676537106102,"author":{"id":"4114039699852602","authorId":"4114039699852602","name":"Don 007","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/cf8491b1bcaf8eb7027783be64d82761","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4114039699852602","authorIdStr":"4114039699852602"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Uncertainty market. Cash is king.&nbsp;","listText":"Uncertainty market. Cash is king.&nbsp;","text":"Uncertainty market. Cash is king.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9938587342","repostId":"1186686846","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1186686846","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1662650561,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1186686846?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-08 23:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Will September Outline A Major Bottom For SPY And U.S. Markets?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1186686846","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryThe stock market is being hit by a number of crosscurrents, some positive and some negative i","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>The stock market is being hit by a number of crosscurrents, some positive and some negative in early September.</li><li>I prefer cash and lighter market weightings until lower valuations and perhaps a deeper financial crisis reset the economy.</li><li>One possible outcome is a straight down stretch in September opens a terrific long-term buy opportunity, with stronger equity levels in 2023.</li><li>Another zigzag pattern may include stagnating price or a minor downtrend into January for market-tracking ETFs like the SPDR S&amp;P 500 product.</li></ul><p>Investor sentiment turned slightly more bullish in the middle of August as prices recovered about half of their 2022 losses through June. However, after retesting 200-day moving averages as resistance a few weeks ago, stocks have plummeted again, with the small-cap Russell2000 stocks leading the way with a -11% slide.</p><p>The <b>SPDR S&amp;P 500 Trust ETF</b>(NYSEARCA:SPY) has not fared much better, with a -9% tank over several weeks. At this stage in the chart pattern, it looks like a successful retest of the summer lows is taking shape. However, I would caution seasonal risk in the autumn months for stocks, the possibility of another spike higher in oil/gas inflation soon, and a Federal Reserve confused on whether to fight inflation or support the economy makes further equity downside something to worry about. On the bullish side of the ledger, modern record cash levels at actively-managed institutions (the early JulyBank of America fund manager survey relayed the highest cash positioning since October 2001, even greater than the 2008-09 banking crisis and 50% bear market in equity prices), and bearish sentiment indicators creeping closer to major buy territory could mean the end of intense selling is close at hand.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/39149a41797d0b18d95553fd2ad148f5\" tg-width=\"680\" tg-height=\"386\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bank of America, Global Fund Manager August Survey via Bloomberg Article</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f76cf0b717eff826a2de1735e3196f83\" tg-width=\"964\" tg-height=\"499\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>American Association of Individual Investors, August 31st, 2022 Survey</p><p>Not only are current readings of pessimism usually a bullish indicator of future price changes (because cash on the sidelines will eventually repurchase stocks), but futures trader positioning in the Commitments of Traders (COT) report may be the single best data point to land your bullish hat. In terms of sentiment, we now stand at 10-year highs for commercial longs (banks &amp; financial institutions) vs. decade record net shorts by speculators and small investors. You can review this idea below for both regular S&amp;P 500 and E-Mini futures contracts. If this was the only information available for me to make a decision, I would likely be quite bullish currently, as similar setups in the recent past have almost immediately pinpointed a major market bottom in price.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aaa5c430d25edd14952eba07fc6257e2\" tg-width=\"1209\" tg-height=\"643\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Tradingster Website, COT Report - S&amp;P 500, August 30th, 2022</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5f6f3a8e4668cd6d5ebe3f74fcad285\" tg-width=\"1101\" tg-height=\"587\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Tradingster Website, COT Report - E-Mini S&amp;P 500, August 30th, 2022</p><p><b>Crude Oil Wildcard</b></p><p>The most important economic variable that could really trip up U.S. stocks is crude oil pricing. I have been correctly bearish on the 25% drop in crude oil since the spring spike on Russia&#39;s military invasion of Ukraine. A slowing global economy with flattening demand for oil have been one reason for oil weakness. A small rise in production worldwide is another reason for the rebalance in supply/demand.</p><p>Yet, of late I am getting worried winter shortages of oil/gas for western Europe could endanger financial market stability. In addition, it is clear OPEC+ would prefer prices stick around US$100 a barrel. Just this weekend, OPEC+ made obvious its wishes for high crude oil prices to be the new reality as a 100,000 barrel per day cut in production was announced without warning. I have been analyzing if another upmove in this key ingredient for inflation and GDP output could push net energy costs and Fed tightening policy into the recession zone. Basically, crude oil back above $100 makes a &#34;soft landing&#34; scenario for the economy all but impossible.</p><p>Other U.S. supply shocks for oil could occur, like a major hurricane in the Gulf of Mexico hitting during September or October that slashes oil/gas production and refining for weeks or months. The U.S. government may be forced to cut back on Strategic Petroleum Reserve sales at the end of October, to keep inventory in place for future black swan events. And, I was thinking a nuclear-monitoring deal with Iran would be finished by late summer to open new supplies to Europe, reducing the potential for serious shortages this winter. Such has not been accomplished, despite hopes worldwide.</p><p>One final piece of the crude oil puzzle is futures trading does not show an oversized speculative bubble today, as one would expect following a rise from $20 to $120 per barrel over 24 months. In fact, commercial hedgers like oil companies and refiners are actually covering net short crude oil futures positions (in search of supply during the summer), now short the lowest number of contracts since 2016. On the flip side, small speculators are holding an almost 10-year low, net long position. This COT sentiment setup argues for higher quotes for crude oil, not lower, in the months to come.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d9b96c9d9718247beba4b5369a577c09\" tg-width=\"1210\" tg-height=\"639\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Tradingster Website, COT Report - Light Sweet Crude Oil, August 30th, 2022</p><p><b>Predictions or Lack Thereof</b></p><p>Without doubt, late 2022 trading in U.S. equities/bonds could prove epic for volatility. If you do not have the heart for wild swings, retreating to cash and gold/silver is an acceptable course of action. I would note I do not recommend a large net-short position for a variety of reasons from rising brokerage borrowing costs and truly expensive put option premiums historically (working against gains, absent a massive selloff), to the difficulty of covering bearish positions in a whipsawing marketplace. A meandering decline over the next 12-18 months is one possibility that should also discourage aggressive shorting.</p><p>I am personally modeling the timing of a tradable bottom in U.S. stocks is getting close. Yet, outlier risks from the November election cycle, ongoing investigations into former President Trump&#39;s shenanigans, Fed tightening pushing the economy into recession, China invading Taiwan, and/or a final jump in energy prices crushing consumer spending and bond market prices, could mean a wicked Wall Street price drop is coming in the weeks ahead. For market timers and risk weighting investors, holding cash in the coming days makes complete sense to me. Nevertheless, an equity market bottom in the next few weeks, with an &#34;unexpected&#34; price rise during late September and October would catch many analysts and investors off balance.</p><p>Could stocks fall off a cliff into the end of September? Absolutely, I can envision a number of scenarios shaving 5%, 10%, even 20% off the SPY $392 quote from Friday. However, I suggest smart and nimble investors be ready to buy such a waterfall (close to a crash) decline. I talked about evidence of a developing liquidity crisis weeks ago here, and the odds of one playing out in September (perhaps into early October) remain much higher than usual. I am not a fan of bonds - with CPI inflation rates around 8%, the Fed has to keep raising bank lending rates and selling part of its $9 trillion stash of U.S. bond interference since 2008 to have any credibility it is serious about fighting inflation.</p><p>I moved my 401k to all cash weeks ago, with an eye toward reentering stocks with a 20%-50% weighting in September-October. My plan is to cost-average down on any big drop in Wall Street quotes. If a bear slump does not materialize, I am OK holding abnormal levels of cash earning higher and rising interest rates, without limited downside risk.</p><p>Given today&#39;s total market capitalization to GDP remains in nosebleed territory around 150%, considerable long-term downside in stocks could materialization the rest of 2022 and all of 2023 (with a 75% average ratio vs. GDP over 50 years). If we&#39;re headed to the 60% ratio of 1990 or early 2009, sizable downside may be coming to Wall Street beyond the -20% drawdown this year. (The Fed&#39;s goal is to inflate GDP higher with money printing over time, as I have discussed many times this summer. So, stocks may hold up in price, but markedly underperform inflation like 2022 or the 1970s decade.)</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/270523ad94ed613d267b60065aa7fa1f\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>YCharts - US Stock Market Value vs. GDP, 1971-Present</p><p>I have been buying precious metals, especially gold and silver bullion through a number of related ETFs in my regular long/short brokerage account in August and early September. Silver is getting close to a record-low valuation vs. gold and in relation to financial paper money aggregates like M2 money stock or total Treasury debt. I have explained the developing bullish story for gold/silver in numerous articles since the middle of August, as a function of overly bearish sentiment and rising lease rates. I fully expect gold in particular will &#34;lead&#34; the stock market higher at some point, like it has at nearly every major bottom since the 1987 stock market crash (as a signal of improving financial system liquidity). Further declines in the S&amp;P 500 matched against flat to higher gold pricing could be one divergence to convince me turn more bullish about Wall Street&#39;s intermediate-term prospects.</p><p>For the SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF specifically, my momentum indicators are in a neutral to bearish position today<i>. On Balance Volume</i> continues to lead the market lower. In terms of oversold/overbought indicators, the <i>Average Directional Index</i>and<i>Money Flow Index</i>have yet to scream panic selling has arrived. However, if the S&amp;P 500 dives 5% over the course of a week, or 10% to 15% over several weeks, coinciding with a turn higher in gold, I could get quite bullish that another strong rebound in prices will take place. Until a bigger selloff plays out, I am more neutral with a <i>Hold</i> rating on SPY. We could see a minor upmove back to the 200-day moving average or backslide in price closer to the summer lows as a protracted, disappointing zigzag leaving traders/investors glum and unhappy into early 2023.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a9eab5c6beaa4198b8b921d7b4d33a8\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"639\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>StockCharts.com - SPY, 12 Months of Daily Values</p><p>In conclusion, there are a variety of directions the overall U.S. equity market could head into early 2023. My goal is to buy material weakness and sell into any rally beyond 5%, until the Fed is finished tightening. Ironically, the bigger the drop in September-October, the better 2023 may turn out for U.S. equity investor gains. We may need a rapid panic event to reset inflation rates at a lower tier and halt Fed tightening policy, while upgrading business income and valuation numbers into 2024.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Will September Outline A Major Bottom For SPY And U.S. Markets?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWill September Outline A Major Bottom For SPY And U.S. Markets?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-08 23:22 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4539406-will-september-outline-major-bottom-spy-us-markets><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryThe stock market is being hit by a number of crosscurrents, some positive and some negative in early September.I prefer cash and lighter market weightings until lower valuations and perhaps a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4539406-will-september-outline-major-bottom-spy-us-markets\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4539406-will-september-outline-major-bottom-spy-us-markets","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1186686846","content_text":"SummaryThe stock market is being hit by a number of crosscurrents, some positive and some negative in early September.I prefer cash and lighter market weightings until lower valuations and perhaps a deeper financial crisis reset the economy.One possible outcome is a straight down stretch in September opens a terrific long-term buy opportunity, with stronger equity levels in 2023.Another zigzag pattern may include stagnating price or a minor downtrend into January for market-tracking ETFs like the SPDR S&P 500 product.Investor sentiment turned slightly more bullish in the middle of August as prices recovered about half of their 2022 losses through June. However, after retesting 200-day moving averages as resistance a few weeks ago, stocks have plummeted again, with the small-cap Russell2000 stocks leading the way with a -11% slide.The SPDR S&P 500 Trust ETF(NYSEARCA:SPY) has not fared much better, with a -9% tank over several weeks. At this stage in the chart pattern, it looks like a successful retest of the summer lows is taking shape. However, I would caution seasonal risk in the autumn months for stocks, the possibility of another spike higher in oil/gas inflation soon, and a Federal Reserve confused on whether to fight inflation or support the economy makes further equity downside something to worry about. On the bullish side of the ledger, modern record cash levels at actively-managed institutions (the early JulyBank of America fund manager survey relayed the highest cash positioning since October 2001, even greater than the 2008-09 banking crisis and 50% bear market in equity prices), and bearish sentiment indicators creeping closer to major buy territory could mean the end of intense selling is close at hand.Bank of America, Global Fund Manager August Survey via Bloomberg ArticleAmerican Association of Individual Investors, August 31st, 2022 SurveyNot only are current readings of pessimism usually a bullish indicator of future price changes (because cash on the sidelines will eventually repurchase stocks), but futures trader positioning in the Commitments of Traders (COT) report may be the single best data point to land your bullish hat. In terms of sentiment, we now stand at 10-year highs for commercial longs (banks & financial institutions) vs. decade record net shorts by speculators and small investors. You can review this idea below for both regular S&P 500 and E-Mini futures contracts. If this was the only information available for me to make a decision, I would likely be quite bullish currently, as similar setups in the recent past have almost immediately pinpointed a major market bottom in price.Tradingster Website, COT Report - S&P 500, August 30th, 2022Tradingster Website, COT Report - E-Mini S&P 500, August 30th, 2022Crude Oil WildcardThe most important economic variable that could really trip up U.S. stocks is crude oil pricing. I have been correctly bearish on the 25% drop in crude oil since the spring spike on Russia's military invasion of Ukraine. A slowing global economy with flattening demand for oil have been one reason for oil weakness. A small rise in production worldwide is another reason for the rebalance in supply/demand.Yet, of late I am getting worried winter shortages of oil/gas for western Europe could endanger financial market stability. In addition, it is clear OPEC+ would prefer prices stick around US$100 a barrel. Just this weekend, OPEC+ made obvious its wishes for high crude oil prices to be the new reality as a 100,000 barrel per day cut in production was announced without warning. I have been analyzing if another upmove in this key ingredient for inflation and GDP output could push net energy costs and Fed tightening policy into the recession zone. Basically, crude oil back above $100 makes a \"soft landing\" scenario for the economy all but impossible.Other U.S. supply shocks for oil could occur, like a major hurricane in the Gulf of Mexico hitting during September or October that slashes oil/gas production and refining for weeks or months. The U.S. government may be forced to cut back on Strategic Petroleum Reserve sales at the end of October, to keep inventory in place for future black swan events. And, I was thinking a nuclear-monitoring deal with Iran would be finished by late summer to open new supplies to Europe, reducing the potential for serious shortages this winter. Such has not been accomplished, despite hopes worldwide.One final piece of the crude oil puzzle is futures trading does not show an oversized speculative bubble today, as one would expect following a rise from $20 to $120 per barrel over 24 months. In fact, commercial hedgers like oil companies and refiners are actually covering net short crude oil futures positions (in search of supply during the summer), now short the lowest number of contracts since 2016. On the flip side, small speculators are holding an almost 10-year low, net long position. This COT sentiment setup argues for higher quotes for crude oil, not lower, in the months to come.Tradingster Website, COT Report - Light Sweet Crude Oil, August 30th, 2022Predictions or Lack ThereofWithout doubt, late 2022 trading in U.S. equities/bonds could prove epic for volatility. If you do not have the heart for wild swings, retreating to cash and gold/silver is an acceptable course of action. I would note I do not recommend a large net-short position for a variety of reasons from rising brokerage borrowing costs and truly expensive put option premiums historically (working against gains, absent a massive selloff), to the difficulty of covering bearish positions in a whipsawing marketplace. A meandering decline over the next 12-18 months is one possibility that should also discourage aggressive shorting.I am personally modeling the timing of a tradable bottom in U.S. stocks is getting close. Yet, outlier risks from the November election cycle, ongoing investigations into former President Trump's shenanigans, Fed tightening pushing the economy into recession, China invading Taiwan, and/or a final jump in energy prices crushing consumer spending and bond market prices, could mean a wicked Wall Street price drop is coming in the weeks ahead. For market timers and risk weighting investors, holding cash in the coming days makes complete sense to me. Nevertheless, an equity market bottom in the next few weeks, with an \"unexpected\" price rise during late September and October would catch many analysts and investors off balance.Could stocks fall off a cliff into the end of September? Absolutely, I can envision a number of scenarios shaving 5%, 10%, even 20% off the SPY $392 quote from Friday. However, I suggest smart and nimble investors be ready to buy such a waterfall (close to a crash) decline. I talked about evidence of a developing liquidity crisis weeks ago here, and the odds of one playing out in September (perhaps into early October) remain much higher than usual. I am not a fan of bonds - with CPI inflation rates around 8%, the Fed has to keep raising bank lending rates and selling part of its $9 trillion stash of U.S. bond interference since 2008 to have any credibility it is serious about fighting inflation.I moved my 401k to all cash weeks ago, with an eye toward reentering stocks with a 20%-50% weighting in September-October. My plan is to cost-average down on any big drop in Wall Street quotes. If a bear slump does not materialize, I am OK holding abnormal levels of cash earning higher and rising interest rates, without limited downside risk.Given today's total market capitalization to GDP remains in nosebleed territory around 150%, considerable long-term downside in stocks could materialization the rest of 2022 and all of 2023 (with a 75% average ratio vs. GDP over 50 years). If we're headed to the 60% ratio of 1990 or early 2009, sizable downside may be coming to Wall Street beyond the -20% drawdown this year. (The Fed's goal is to inflate GDP higher with money printing over time, as I have discussed many times this summer. So, stocks may hold up in price, but markedly underperform inflation like 2022 or the 1970s decade.)YCharts - US Stock Market Value vs. GDP, 1971-PresentI have been buying precious metals, especially gold and silver bullion through a number of related ETFs in my regular long/short brokerage account in August and early September. Silver is getting close to a record-low valuation vs. gold and in relation to financial paper money aggregates like M2 money stock or total Treasury debt. I have explained the developing bullish story for gold/silver in numerous articles since the middle of August, as a function of overly bearish sentiment and rising lease rates. I fully expect gold in particular will \"lead\" the stock market higher at some point, like it has at nearly every major bottom since the 1987 stock market crash (as a signal of improving financial system liquidity). Further declines in the S&P 500 matched against flat to higher gold pricing could be one divergence to convince me turn more bullish about Wall Street's intermediate-term prospects.For the SPDR S&P 500 ETF specifically, my momentum indicators are in a neutral to bearish position today. On Balance Volume continues to lead the market lower. In terms of oversold/overbought indicators, the Average Directional IndexandMoney Flow Indexhave yet to scream panic selling has arrived. However, if the S&P 500 dives 5% over the course of a week, or 10% to 15% over several weeks, coinciding with a turn higher in gold, I could get quite bullish that another strong rebound in prices will take place. Until a bigger selloff plays out, I am more neutral with a Hold rating on SPY. We could see a minor upmove back to the 200-day moving average or backslide in price closer to the summer lows as a protracted, disappointing zigzag leaving traders/investors glum and unhappy into early 2023.StockCharts.com - SPY, 12 Months of Daily ValuesIn conclusion, there are a variety of directions the overall U.S. equity market could head into early 2023. My goal is to buy material weakness and sell into any rally beyond 5%, until the Fed is finished tightening. Ironically, the bigger the drop in September-October, the better 2023 may turn out for U.S. equity investor gains. We may need a rapid panic event to reset inflation rates at a lower tier and halt Fed tightening policy, while upgrading business income and valuation numbers into 2024.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":354,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9930742245,"gmtCreate":1662011002589,"gmtModify":1676536625150,"author":{"id":"4114039699852602","authorId":"4114039699852602","name":"Don 007","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/cf8491b1bcaf8eb7027783be64d82761","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4114039699852602","authorIdStr":"4114039699852602"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Waiting for the right entry price","listText":"Waiting for the right entry price","text":"Waiting for the right entry price","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9930742245","repostId":"1119571097","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1119571097","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1662003282,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1119571097?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-01 11:34","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Microsoft Is A Cash Cow Blue Chip: Here's When To Snap Up Shares","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1119571097","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryOf the largest 10 stocks in the S&P 500, there are only three that I think have valuations in","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2>Summary</h2><ul><li>Of the largest 10 stocks in the S&amp;P 500, there are only three that I think have valuations in the ballpark of being reasonable.</li><li>These three stocks are Microsoft, Google, and Berkshire Hathaway.</li><li>We dive into Microsoft, which is near where I would buy it, but not yet there.</li><li>Why Microsoft&#39;s business is such a juggernaut, and where I think you should snap up some stock in light of a tighter Fed and falling market valuations.</li></ul><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/215c81286b628ff98651c7ec2c9f62a2\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"500\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Redmond, Washington-based Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) is the second largest company by market cap in America, second only to Apple (AAPL). Microsoft has shown a unique ability to reinvent itself nearly three decades after its ubiquitous Windows software firststarted making the companybillions of dollars in annual profits. If you&#39;re a long-time Microsoft holder, you&#39;ve made a bunch of money.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75f95745bec8f20bf0b5d5ef7dd1f2b2\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"802\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>MSFTdata by YCharts</p><p>Today, Microsoft is still a great business.</p><ul><li>Millions of people use Microsoft Office on a daily basis.</li><li>The Azurecloud businesscontinues to grow massively.</li><li>And if MSFT&#39;s acquisition of Activision Blizzard (ATVI) closes, the combined company will be the third largest video game company in the world. Interestingly,Warren Buffett bet billionsof dollars this year that the deal will close.</li></ul><p>To these points, investing would be super easy if all you had to do was pick the most profitable companies and invest in them. This isn&#39;t completely wrong per se, because historically theinfamous &#34;disposition effect&#34;keeps the stocks of great companies cheaper than they should rationally be. However, since I started writing for Seeking Alpha in 2018, stock valuations have essentially done nothing but go up, forcing investors to pay more and more for each dollar of future earnings. When I started writing here, I could often write articles with titles like &#34;Back up the truck,&#34; and &#34;25% downside + 100% upside.&#34; Now all the low-hanging fruit has been picked, and the metaphorical nights are getting colder, with winter on the way.</p><p>Taking a quick glance at the top 10 holdings of the S&amp;P 500 as of July 31st (SPY) shows this.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0cde87b0c7047ebf734cb0f2fbdc6e41\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"766\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>SPY Top 10 Holdings(Etrade)</p><p>Apple is trading for 28x 2021 earnings, and analysts are projecting single-digit growth going forward. 2021 earnings were themselves pumped up by thousands of dollars in stimulus checks per household, bringing into question the company&#39;s ability to even sustain what it made in 2021. Amazon (AMZN) and Tesla (TSLA) both trade over 100x earnings, which is historically perilous to expect for companies of their size. UnitedHealth (UNH) and Johnson &amp; Johnson (JNJ) both trade for fairly high multiples as well, and are prime targets for any future healthcare reform, at the very least threatening their ability to grow earnings. And Nvidia (NVDA) is down big this year but still trades for nearly 60x earnings. NVDAhas been compared with good reasonto Cisco (CSCO) in 2000.</p><p>That leaves Microsoft, Google (GOOG) (GOOGL), and Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A) (BRK.B) MSFT has a 29x multiple on 2021 earnings but much better forward growth prospects than Apple according to analysts. Similarly, Google&#39;s multiple is pretty reasonable given its long-term growth prospects, and a substantial portion of Berkshire&#39;s value is in Apple stock, but BRK.B trades at a beautiful discount to Apple. These are the stocks that you should look to pick up in a downturn. I&#39;m comparing these stocks with 2021 earnings because I pulled them in bulk, for MSFT I&#39;ll compare with 2023 earnings below. I&#39;d be cautious about extrapolating 2021 earnings with some stocks but MSFT&#39;s earnings are stickier than most tech or consumer discretionary companies.</p><h2>Meanwhile, Back At The Farm</h2><p>Here&#39;s how Microsoft&#39;s business has been performing.</p><h3>Cloud</h3><p>Amazon has similar exposure to the cloud through AWS, but Microsoft is out-competing themand taking market share. In one of the fastest growing markets in tech, Microsoft is again showing an impressive ability to make inroads against an entrenched market leader with massive resources. Going forward, I would expect this trend to continue as Amazon is forced to grapple with the reality of running a global logistics business with1.6 million employeesand trying to defend AWS&#39;s market share– a two-front war. It&#39;s not necessarily zero-sum since the cloud market is rapidly growing, but the rest of Microsoft&#39;s business is so much more attractive than Amazon&#39;s to me and MSFT carries less downside risk and valuation risk as well. Despite a stronger dollar, Microsoft grew cloud revenueby roughly 20% over the last year. This was discussed in MSFT&#39;s most recentquarterly earnings conference call.</p><p><b>Cloud Revenue and Profit (Billions)</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b3b54d1ef611e4dbeec408676290612\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"364\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Microsoft Cloud Revenue(FY 2022 Investor Presentation)</p><h3>Office/Productivity</h3><p>Microsoft Office has followed the tech industry&#39;s grand plan of switching from mainly selling products to mainly selling subscriptions. It&#39;s been a good plan – going from a one-time sale model to a subscription model has improved Microsoft&#39;s revenue from Office dramatically. MSFT has seen good growth in this segment as well (note that they include their LinkedIn acquisition in this category as well). As with cloud computing, industry observers have called for huge growth in this market over the next 10 years as the workforce continues to become more decentralized after the initial shock of the pandemic. One area that&#39;s expected to see big growth is so-called &#34;enterprise content management,&#34; which is the management of documents, spreadsheets, contracts, and scanned images. Box (BOX) is one of the big players in this space now – I wouldn&#39;t be surprised to see Microsoft either make them a buyout offer or clone them the way they&#39;ve done, taking on Zoom (ZM) with Microsoft Teams.</p><p><b>MSFT Productivity &amp; Business Processes Revenue</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/49acb60afeb0b9cdab609c40be40d947\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"287\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Microsoft Productivity Revenue(FY 2022 Investor Presentation)</p><h3>Gaming</h3><p>Microsoft buries its gaming revenue with the legacy business from Windows and other catch-alls, but they&#39;re now making a huge push in gaming. This line of business has been more or less stagnant, but the push is intended to get the ball rolling, tying Microsoft in even deeper with the global video game market, which isexpected to grow12% or so annually over the next five years. Specifically, Microsoft is acquiring Activision Blizzard, the controversial but profitable video game company best-known for the game Call of Duty. Of course, MSFT already owns Xbox, so this is vertical integration at its finest. If you own the console, the operating system, and you own the video game company all in one, then you don&#39;t have to split the profit with anyone.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/82c30df6c2cbb5104fe71d6f1a99decd\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"301\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Microsoft Other Revenue(FY 2022 Investor Presentation)</p><p>The offer is for $95 per share, but ATVI trades for a bit less than $79 as of my writing this. Warren Buffett, one of the world&#39;s foremost merger arbitrageurs has bought billions in ATVI stock – he&#39;ll pocket $95 per share if the deal is successful. The deal is expected to closeby June of 2023 but requires antitrust approval in several countries. Merger arbitrage is not a new thing – it wasoutlined as a strategyby Benjamin Graham in his books. I believe the strategy is underused by investors. Buffett has used the merger arbs extensively over the last six decades, includingheavily in the 1980s.</p><p>If there&#39;s one trade here I would make, it would probably be to tail Buffett&#39;s judgment on ATVI. The stock price hasn&#39;t changed much since the announcement, so you&#39;re getting more or less the same deal as Buffett here.</p><h2>MSFT Valuation And Target Price</h2><p>The overall market&#39;s valuation is too high. First, earnings aren&#39;t sustainable without massive stimulus juicing the economy, and second, price-to-earnings multiples are too high compared with what you can get in cash as the Fed jacks up rates to fight inflation. I covered this extensively this week in myfirstandsecond pieceson Jackson Hole and encourage readers to review my thoughts on the macro picture.</p><p>Market-wide, stock prices have risen faster than business profits over the past few years, and Microsoft is unfortunately not an exception to this trend. However, Microsoft&#39;s valuation is better than its large S&amp;P 500 peers, and of course, Microsoft&#39;s business is better run as well. This doesn&#39;t necessarily mean you should pay 30x earnings for it because it will drag down your future annual returns, but at worst, Microsoft is on the high side of a range where you might consider the stock fairly valued.</p><p>I believe the broad stock market is overvalued by a bit less than 20% at current prices as the post-pandemic economic hangover slowly resolves. Microsoft has an excellent underlying business, but I expect the Fed and the economy to drive the stock over the next 6-12 months. Ballparking off of FY 2023 earnings estimates for MSFT of roughly $10.25 per share, and applying a 20-21x multiple, you get a target price for buying MSFT at around $205 to $215. That&#39;s around 20% lower than the current price. That&#39;s where I&#39;d buy it. But if you&#39;re OK with a 25x multiple, then MSFT is a buy at $255 or so, or only about 3% lower than the current price. If you buy now, you might get 9% annual returns, but if you can score the stock for $210, you&#39;re looking at more like 15% annually.</p><p>In any case, compared with some other popular stocks trading at 50-100x earnings that could fall 50% and not even become cheap, MSFT has a much better risk/reward. This is fairly typical for blue chip stocks, which are often good businesses trading for premium valuations, so you have to stalk them for a good chance to buy. Historically,growth stocks trade at a large valuation premiumin bull markets but trade closer to the market median in bear markets, giving justification to this approach. Since so much MSFT is held by ETF investors, the macro environment is going to dictate the valuation in the short run.</p><h2>Bottom Line</h2><p>Microsoft is a great business, but the stock is connected to the broader market which is fighting the Fed&#39;s efforts to drain excess liquidity out of the system. If you buy MSFT now, I think you&#39;re getting decent long-term compensation but likely to face some declines in the near term. For this reason, I&#39;d rate MSFT a hold and look to pick up MSFT stock about 20% lower than the current price. For a Buffett-approved trade you can do right now, look at buying ATVI and waiting for the deal to close.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Microsoft Is A Cash Cow Blue Chip: Here's When To Snap Up Shares</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMicrosoft Is A Cash Cow Blue Chip: Here's When To Snap Up Shares\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-01 11:34 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4538205-microsoft-a-cash-cow-blue-chip-time-to-snap-up-shares><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryOf the largest 10 stocks in the S&P 500, there are only three that I think have valuations in the ballpark of being reasonable.These three stocks are Microsoft, Google, and Berkshire Hathaway....</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4538205-microsoft-a-cash-cow-blue-chip-time-to-snap-up-shares\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MSFT":"微软"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4538205-microsoft-a-cash-cow-blue-chip-time-to-snap-up-shares","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1119571097","content_text":"SummaryOf the largest 10 stocks in the S&P 500, there are only three that I think have valuations in the ballpark of being reasonable.These three stocks are Microsoft, Google, and Berkshire Hathaway.We dive into Microsoft, which is near where I would buy it, but not yet there.Why Microsoft's business is such a juggernaut, and where I think you should snap up some stock in light of a tighter Fed and falling market valuations.Redmond, Washington-based Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) is the second largest company by market cap in America, second only to Apple (AAPL). Microsoft has shown a unique ability to reinvent itself nearly three decades after its ubiquitous Windows software firststarted making the companybillions of dollars in annual profits. If you're a long-time Microsoft holder, you've made a bunch of money.MSFTdata by YChartsToday, Microsoft is still a great business.Millions of people use Microsoft Office on a daily basis.The Azurecloud businesscontinues to grow massively.And if MSFT's acquisition of Activision Blizzard (ATVI) closes, the combined company will be the third largest video game company in the world. Interestingly,Warren Buffett bet billionsof dollars this year that the deal will close.To these points, investing would be super easy if all you had to do was pick the most profitable companies and invest in them. This isn't completely wrong per se, because historically theinfamous \"disposition effect\"keeps the stocks of great companies cheaper than they should rationally be. However, since I started writing for Seeking Alpha in 2018, stock valuations have essentially done nothing but go up, forcing investors to pay more and more for each dollar of future earnings. When I started writing here, I could often write articles with titles like \"Back up the truck,\" and \"25% downside + 100% upside.\" Now all the low-hanging fruit has been picked, and the metaphorical nights are getting colder, with winter on the way.Taking a quick glance at the top 10 holdings of the S&P 500 as of July 31st (SPY) shows this.SPY Top 10 Holdings(Etrade)Apple is trading for 28x 2021 earnings, and analysts are projecting single-digit growth going forward. 2021 earnings were themselves pumped up by thousands of dollars in stimulus checks per household, bringing into question the company's ability to even sustain what it made in 2021. Amazon (AMZN) and Tesla (TSLA) both trade over 100x earnings, which is historically perilous to expect for companies of their size. UnitedHealth (UNH) and Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) both trade for fairly high multiples as well, and are prime targets for any future healthcare reform, at the very least threatening their ability to grow earnings. And Nvidia (NVDA) is down big this year but still trades for nearly 60x earnings. NVDAhas been compared with good reasonto Cisco (CSCO) in 2000.That leaves Microsoft, Google (GOOG) (GOOGL), and Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A) (BRK.B) MSFT has a 29x multiple on 2021 earnings but much better forward growth prospects than Apple according to analysts. Similarly, Google's multiple is pretty reasonable given its long-term growth prospects, and a substantial portion of Berkshire's value is in Apple stock, but BRK.B trades at a beautiful discount to Apple. These are the stocks that you should look to pick up in a downturn. I'm comparing these stocks with 2021 earnings because I pulled them in bulk, for MSFT I'll compare with 2023 earnings below. I'd be cautious about extrapolating 2021 earnings with some stocks but MSFT's earnings are stickier than most tech or consumer discretionary companies.Meanwhile, Back At The FarmHere's how Microsoft's business has been performing.CloudAmazon has similar exposure to the cloud through AWS, but Microsoft is out-competing themand taking market share. In one of the fastest growing markets in tech, Microsoft is again showing an impressive ability to make inroads against an entrenched market leader with massive resources. Going forward, I would expect this trend to continue as Amazon is forced to grapple with the reality of running a global logistics business with1.6 million employeesand trying to defend AWS's market share– a two-front war. It's not necessarily zero-sum since the cloud market is rapidly growing, but the rest of Microsoft's business is so much more attractive than Amazon's to me and MSFT carries less downside risk and valuation risk as well. Despite a stronger dollar, Microsoft grew cloud revenueby roughly 20% over the last year. This was discussed in MSFT's most recentquarterly earnings conference call.Cloud Revenue and Profit (Billions)Microsoft Cloud Revenue(FY 2022 Investor Presentation)Office/ProductivityMicrosoft Office has followed the tech industry's grand plan of switching from mainly selling products to mainly selling subscriptions. It's been a good plan – going from a one-time sale model to a subscription model has improved Microsoft's revenue from Office dramatically. MSFT has seen good growth in this segment as well (note that they include their LinkedIn acquisition in this category as well). As with cloud computing, industry observers have called for huge growth in this market over the next 10 years as the workforce continues to become more decentralized after the initial shock of the pandemic. One area that's expected to see big growth is so-called \"enterprise content management,\" which is the management of documents, spreadsheets, contracts, and scanned images. Box (BOX) is one of the big players in this space now – I wouldn't be surprised to see Microsoft either make them a buyout offer or clone them the way they've done, taking on Zoom (ZM) with Microsoft Teams.MSFT Productivity & Business Processes RevenueMicrosoft Productivity Revenue(FY 2022 Investor Presentation)GamingMicrosoft buries its gaming revenue with the legacy business from Windows and other catch-alls, but they're now making a huge push in gaming. This line of business has been more or less stagnant, but the push is intended to get the ball rolling, tying Microsoft in even deeper with the global video game market, which isexpected to grow12% or so annually over the next five years. Specifically, Microsoft is acquiring Activision Blizzard, the controversial but profitable video game company best-known for the game Call of Duty. Of course, MSFT already owns Xbox, so this is vertical integration at its finest. If you own the console, the operating system, and you own the video game company all in one, then you don't have to split the profit with anyone.Microsoft Other Revenue(FY 2022 Investor Presentation)The offer is for $95 per share, but ATVI trades for a bit less than $79 as of my writing this. Warren Buffett, one of the world's foremost merger arbitrageurs has bought billions in ATVI stock – he'll pocket $95 per share if the deal is successful. The deal is expected to closeby June of 2023 but requires antitrust approval in several countries. Merger arbitrage is not a new thing – it wasoutlined as a strategyby Benjamin Graham in his books. I believe the strategy is underused by investors. Buffett has used the merger arbs extensively over the last six decades, includingheavily in the 1980s.If there's one trade here I would make, it would probably be to tail Buffett's judgment on ATVI. The stock price hasn't changed much since the announcement, so you're getting more or less the same deal as Buffett here.MSFT Valuation And Target PriceThe overall market's valuation is too high. First, earnings aren't sustainable without massive stimulus juicing the economy, and second, price-to-earnings multiples are too high compared with what you can get in cash as the Fed jacks up rates to fight inflation. I covered this extensively this week in myfirstandsecond pieceson Jackson Hole and encourage readers to review my thoughts on the macro picture.Market-wide, stock prices have risen faster than business profits over the past few years, and Microsoft is unfortunately not an exception to this trend. However, Microsoft's valuation is better than its large S&P 500 peers, and of course, Microsoft's business is better run as well. This doesn't necessarily mean you should pay 30x earnings for it because it will drag down your future annual returns, but at worst, Microsoft is on the high side of a range where you might consider the stock fairly valued.I believe the broad stock market is overvalued by a bit less than 20% at current prices as the post-pandemic economic hangover slowly resolves. Microsoft has an excellent underlying business, but I expect the Fed and the economy to drive the stock over the next 6-12 months. Ballparking off of FY 2023 earnings estimates for MSFT of roughly $10.25 per share, and applying a 20-21x multiple, you get a target price for buying MSFT at around $205 to $215. That's around 20% lower than the current price. That's where I'd buy it. But if you're OK with a 25x multiple, then MSFT is a buy at $255 or so, or only about 3% lower than the current price. If you buy now, you might get 9% annual returns, but if you can score the stock for $210, you're looking at more like 15% annually.In any case, compared with some other popular stocks trading at 50-100x earnings that could fall 50% and not even become cheap, MSFT has a much better risk/reward. This is fairly typical for blue chip stocks, which are often good businesses trading for premium valuations, so you have to stalk them for a good chance to buy. Historically,growth stocks trade at a large valuation premiumin bull markets but trade closer to the market median in bear markets, giving justification to this approach. Since so much MSFT is held by ETF investors, the macro environment is going to dictate the valuation in the short run.Bottom LineMicrosoft is a great business, but the stock is connected to the broader market which is fighting the Fed's efforts to drain excess liquidity out of the system. If you buy MSFT now, I think you're getting decent long-term compensation but likely to face some declines in the near term. For this reason, I'd rate MSFT a hold and look to pick up MSFT stock about 20% lower than the current price. For a Buffett-approved trade you can do right now, look at buying ATVI and waiting for the deal to close.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MSFT":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":449,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9918156668,"gmtCreate":1664339950254,"gmtModify":1676537436766,"author":{"id":"4114039699852602","authorId":"4114039699852602","name":"Don 007","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/cf8491b1bcaf8eb7027783be64d82761","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4114039699852602","authorIdStr":"4114039699852602"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I not changing my phone. Current one can meet my requirements.&nbsp;","listText":"I not changing my phone. Current one can meet my requirements.&nbsp;","text":"I not changing my phone. Current one can meet my requirements.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9918156668","repostId":"1168366695","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1168366695","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1664336485,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1168366695?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-28 11:41","market":"fut","language":"en","title":"Stock Futures Slide Amid Report Apple Is Ditching iPhone Production Boost","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1168366695","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Stock futures are setting up for a bigger Wednesday fall, after Tuesday's late fizzle from a relief ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80fafa461e3b8dcbf0a9bb245ecb4004\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"519\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Stock futures are setting up for a bigger Wednesday fall, after Tuesday&#39;s late fizzle from a relief rally, following a report that Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) ispulling back from plansto boost iPhone productionwhen an expected demand spike didn&#39;t show up.</p><p>Apple (AAPL) is telling suppliers to back off from an effort to boost assembly of iPhone 14 models by up to 6M units in the second half, Bloomberg reports, instead focusing on a flat 90M-handset forecast consistent with the prior year.</p><p>Dow Jones (DJI) futures slid about 0.55%, while S&amp;P 500 (SP500) futures dropped 0.68% and Nasdaq (COMP.IND) futures tumbled 0.93%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c8f5f5513bf918ebd23011c575e256d9\" tg-width=\"289\" tg-height=\"118\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>The 10-year Treasury yield (US10Y) has cracked the 4% barrier for the first time since 2010, while 2-year Treasury yields (US2Y) hit 4.295%.</p><p>Apple (AAPL) had boosted projections as it headed into its launch event for the iPhone 14, and suppliers had started preparing for a 7% boost to orders. But the anticipated demand hasn&#39;t materialized, and Apple is reversing course, according to the report.</p><p>The higher-priced iPhone 14 Pro models are reportedlyseeing more demandthan the lower-priced phones, and at least one supplier is shifting capacity toward the premium models in response.</p><p>Apple has confirmed it was moving iPhone productioninto India as it diversified away from China.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Stock Futures Slide Amid Report Apple Is Ditching iPhone Production Boost</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nStock Futures Slide Amid Report Apple Is Ditching iPhone Production Boost\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-28 11:41 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/news/3886588-stock-futures-slide-on-report-apple-is-ditching-iphone-production-boost><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Stock futures are setting up for a bigger Wednesday fall, after Tuesday's late fizzle from a relief rally, following a report that Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) ispulling back from plansto boost iPhone ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3886588-stock-futures-slide-on-report-apple-is-ditching-iphone-production-boost\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3886588-stock-futures-slide-on-report-apple-is-ditching-iphone-production-boost","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1168366695","content_text":"Stock futures are setting up for a bigger Wednesday fall, after Tuesday's late fizzle from a relief rally, following a report that Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) ispulling back from plansto boost iPhone productionwhen an expected demand spike didn't show up.Apple (AAPL) is telling suppliers to back off from an effort to boost assembly of iPhone 14 models by up to 6M units in the second half, Bloomberg reports, instead focusing on a flat 90M-handset forecast consistent with the prior year.Dow Jones (DJI) futures slid about 0.55%, while S&P 500 (SP500) futures dropped 0.68% and Nasdaq (COMP.IND) futures tumbled 0.93%.The 10-year Treasury yield (US10Y) has cracked the 4% barrier for the first time since 2010, while 2-year Treasury yields (US2Y) hit 4.295%.Apple (AAPL) had boosted projections as it headed into its launch event for the iPhone 14, and suppliers had started preparing for a 7% boost to orders. But the anticipated demand hasn't materialized, and Apple is reversing course, according to the report.The higher-priced iPhone 14 Pro models are reportedlyseeing more demandthan the lower-priced phones, and at least one supplier is shifting capacity toward the premium models in response.Apple has confirmed it was moving iPhone productioninto India as it diversified away from China.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ESmain":0.9,"YMmain":0.9,"NQmain":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1107,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9931231294,"gmtCreate":1662463953418,"gmtModify":1676537065654,"author":{"id":"4114039699852602","authorId":"4114039699852602","name":"Don 007","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/cf8491b1bcaf8eb7027783be64d82761","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4114039699852602","authorIdStr":"4114039699852602"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Google stock I plan to buy when below 100","listText":"Google stock I plan to buy when below 100","text":"Google stock I plan to buy when below 100","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9931231294","repostId":"1135910742","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":589,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9989989768,"gmtCreate":1665885843154,"gmtModify":1676537675264,"author":{"id":"4114039699852602","authorId":"4114039699852602","name":"Don 007","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/cf8491b1bcaf8eb7027783be64d82761","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4114039699852602","authorIdStr":"4114039699852602"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Two big giants are fighting, hence it will not aettle anytime soon.","listText":"Two big giants are fighting, hence it will not aettle anytime soon.","text":"Two big giants are fighting, hence it will not aettle anytime soon.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9989989768","repostId":"2275403939","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2275403939","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1665802807,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2275403939?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-15 11:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Down 58% to 75%, These 3 Growth Stocks Are Poised for a Comeback","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2275403939","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"They are down but certainly not out.","content":"<div>\n<p>Jeff Bezos, the founder of Amazon, started his 2000 shareholder letter with the word \"ouch.\" The company's stock had fallen more than 80% in the past year, a tough time for shareholders when the dot-...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/10/14/down-58-to-75-these-3-growth-stocks-are-poised-for/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Down 58% to 75%, These 3 Growth Stocks Are Poised for a Comeback</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDown 58% to 75%, These 3 Growth Stocks Are Poised for a Comeback\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-15 11:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/10/14/down-58-to-75-these-3-growth-stocks-are-poised-for/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Jeff Bezos, the founder of Amazon, started his 2000 shareholder letter with the word \"ouch.\" The company's stock had fallen more than 80% in the past year, a tough time for shareholders when the dot-...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/10/14/down-58-to-75-these-3-growth-stocks-are-poised-for/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPOT":"Spotify Technology S.A.","ZS":"Zscaler Inc.","PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/10/14/down-58-to-75-these-3-growth-stocks-are-poised-for/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2275403939","content_text":"Jeff Bezos, the founder of Amazon, started his 2000 shareholder letter with the word \"ouch.\" The company's stock had fallen more than 80% in the past year, a tough time for shareholders when the dot-com bubble had burst, and Wall Street was selling everything out of fear. But Amazon's business was growing despite the disappointing investment returns. Today, Amazon is one of the world's largest companies, which means that 2000 was a wonderful time to buy shares.Sound familiar? Just over two decades later, the stock market is again in a tumultuous spot. Growth stocks are again taking it on the chin, including Palantir Technologies, Zscaler, and Spotify Technology, down 75%, 58%, and 74% from their respective highs. Despite these steep declines, each stock could make a strong comeback and reward long-term investors. Here is what you need to know.Building a new world on top of dataJustin Pope (Palantir Technologies): Almost everything you do in life today creates a digital record, and understanding and leveraging this data better than others can drive success in both public and private organizations. Palantir makes custom software solutions for its customers using its proprietary platforms: Gotham specializes in government applications, and Foundry in commercial projects. For example, Palantir helped determine which areas needed the most assistance during Hurricane Sandy in 2012 using GPS data, photos, damage reports, and census/demographics records.Palantir's relationship with the government remains strong today. It works with various departments, announcing new contracts from the Army and Department of Homeland Security totaling over $200 million just in the past couple of months. This close relationship also makes Palantir reliant on the government, which accounted for 57% of revenue over the first six months of 2022. Palantir must grow its private sector business, and it's doing that -- U.S. commercial revenue grew 120% year over year in the second quarter of this year.The company is now doing more than $1.7 billion in revenue and converting 15% of that into free cash flow. Palantir uses stock-based compensation to pay its employees, which is a non-cash expense. So while cash profits are positive, the bottom line (net income) is negative $539 million over the past four quarters. Positive free cash flow adds to a balance sheet with $2.4 billion in cash against zero debt. Investors will want to see net income trend toward a positive figure; look for revenue to grow faster than stock-based compensation over the coming years.This bear market has hammered Palantir's valuation. The stock's price-to-sales ratio (P/S) was more than 40 last year but has fallen to just 9. The company's long relationship with the U.S. government and strong commercial growth underlines the value Palantir's platform creates. The company still has just 304 customers, so there's plenty of room for long-term growth. Palantir could eventually be a very large and influential company if data continues to become a critical asset for organizations worldwide. In that case, investors might look back on 2022 fondly as an opportunity to buy low.The zero-trust company that deserves your full confidenceWill Healy (Zscaler): The rise of the cloud changed the nature of cybersecurity. Previous models built trust via IP addresses. However, with increasing numbers of devices and more interactions, securing networks from continuously changing locations demands a different solution.Hence, companies increasingly turn to zero-trust security solutions like the ones offered by Zscaler. Zero-trust treats every user as a threat and uses \"context-based identity\" (job responsibilities, location, etc.) and policy enforcement to determine access. Also, since users access resources and apps rather than networks, Zscaler's software can prevent and mitigate security breaches.Zscaler also stands out by operating as an edge computing solution. With 150 data centers worldwide, it reduces the lag time for clients. Its approach led to Gartner naming it a leader in the 2022 Gartner Magic Quadrant for Security Service Edge. Additionally, it claims almost 2,100 customers with over $100,000 in annual recurring revenue, including 40% of the Fortune 500.Those numbers should continue to increase. Allied Market Research predicts the industry will grow at a compound annual growth rate of 19% through 2031, taking the market size to $126 billion. Thus, it may pleasantly surprise investors that in fiscal 2022 (which ended July 31), Zscaler generated $1.1 billion in revenue, rising 61% year over year. Due to the constant need for cybersecurity, recession threats are unlikely to slow company growth significantly, keeping revenue growth at an elevated level.Moreover, Zscaler turned a non-GAAP profit for fiscal 2022 of $101 million, rising 34%. The rapid increases in costs and expenses, foreign currency losses, and revaluations of derivative investments reduced earnings.Those fast-rising costs and expenses may also have caught Zscaler up in the bear market. The cybersecurity stock now sells at about a 60% discount to its all-time high in November. Additionally, given the current bear market, the price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 19 may seem intolerably high.However, those challenges should not alter the likely growth in the zero-trust security industry. Given its competitive advantages and rapid revenue growth, Zscaler looks like a screaming buy despite its elevated valuation.By one measure, Spotify stock has never been cheaperJake Lerch (Spotify Technology): Like many so-called \"stay-at-home\" stocks, Spotify shares skyrocketed during the height of the COVID-19 pandemic. If you'd invested $10,000 in Spotify stock in March 2020, it would have grown to more than $23,000 in March 2021. However, the last 18 months have not been kind to Spotify.And while the damage to its stock price is undeniable, the company's fundamentals remain untouched. In fact, they've improved.User growth is accelerating. In its most recent quarter (the three months ending on June 30, 2022), Spotify reported 433 monthly active users -- 5 million more than the company had projected.Both premium (i.e., subscription) and ad-supported revenue have surged. Premium revenue increased 22% year over year to 2.5 billion euros, while ad-supported revenue jumped 31% to 360 million euros. Spotify's ad-supported revenue now stands at 13% of overall revenue, the highest percentage in the company's history.Meanwhile, Spotify's valuation looks more sensible than ever. Its current price-to-sales ratio of 1.3 is an all-time low for the company -- and far below its lifetime average of 4.3. SPOT PS Ratio data by YChartsOf course, broader economic conditions are not great. Interest rates are rising and economic growth appears to be slowing. However, for long-term investors, economic slowdowns can present opportunities to build positions in the companies that will benefit when the inevitable turnaround arrives. To my eyes, Spotify -- a stock with strong fundamentals and its lowest valuation in years -- looks poised for a comeback.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PLTR":0.9,"ZS":0.9,"SPOT":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1235,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9933969885,"gmtCreate":1662200243348,"gmtModify":1676537017528,"author":{"id":"4114039699852602","authorId":"4114039699852602","name":"Don 007","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/cf8491b1bcaf8eb7027783be64d82761","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4114039699852602","authorIdStr":"4114039699852602"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"No more global supply chain in years to come.&nbsp;","listText":"No more global supply chain in years to come.&nbsp;","text":"No more global supply chain in years to come.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9933969885","repostId":"1162611714","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1162611714","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1662173403,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1162611714?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-03 10:50","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nvidia: Problems Keep Accumulating","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1162611714","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryNvidia stock crashes as much as 12% after the semi company disclosed that the U.S. government","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Nvidia stock crashes as much as 12% after the semi company disclosed that the U.S. government ordered a restriction on a selected portfolio of high-margin.</li><li>Nvidia has estimated the impact of the export restriction at $400 million in potential sales for its third fiscal quarter.</li><li>Although Nvidia stock is down almost 60% from all time highs, the valuation is still very expensive.</li><li>Personally, I would not buy Nvidia at a valuation above 30x EV/EBIT and/or 10x EV/Sales, which are still very proud multiples.</li><li>Accordingly, I see 20 - 30 percent more downside before the risk/reward for investors becomes justified.</li></ul><p><b>Thesis</b></p><p>Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) stock crashed 7.5% -- and intermittently more than 12% -- after the semi company disclosed that the US government ordered a restriction on a selected portfolio of high-margin AI chips to China. The announcement comes after Nvidia has already warned a slowing business environment for its chips with regards to both the company&#39;s gaming and data-center segment.</p><p>In my opinion, Nvidia stock has for a long time been overhyped and overvalued. And although NVDA stock is down approximately 60% from all time highs, I argue there is still some excess valuation premium that need to be corrected in order for investors to enjoy an attractive risk/reward.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/335faef0155694363b3fd84ee60b483c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"222\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p><b>U.S. Government Restricts Chip Sales </b></p><p>The filing</p><p>On August 31, Nvidia filed a disclosure with the Securities and Exchange Commission saying that the company has been notified about an export restriction of certain AI chips to China and Russia.</p><blockquote>...<i>the U.S. government informed NVIDIA Corporation that the USG has imposed a new license requirement, effective immediately, for any future export to China (including Hong Kong) and Russia of the Company’s A100 and forthcoming H100 integrated circuits.</i></blockquote><p>The restriction specifically names Nvidia A100 and H100 chips, but also extends to any chips that may match the technology.</p><blockquote><i>The license requirement also includes any future NVIDIA integrated circuit achieving both peak performance and chip-to-chip I/O performance equal to or greater than thresholds that are roughly equivalent to the A100, as well as any system that includes those circuits.</i></blockquote><p><b>What&#39;s The Impact</b></p><p>Nvidia has estimated the impact of the export restriction at $400 million in potential sales for its third fiscal quarter. Accordingly, the impact could be expanded to about $1.6 billion annually. If we apply Nvidia&#39;s 26% net income margin, and further apply the stock&#39;s currentx81 one-ear forward P/E multiple, the impact on valuation loss could be estimated at about $33.7 billion of equity value.</p><p><b>Investor Implication</b></p><p>The export restriction highlights a risk that the market arguably has ignored so far: the possibility that Nvidia&#39;s leading chip technology becomes an instrument of politics. In the filing, Nvidia cited <i>&#39;the risk that the covered products may be used in, or diverted to, a military end use or military end user&#39;</i> as the main reason for the export restrictions. But arguably, this step is just the latest episode in the technology war.</p><p>Arguably, the selected restriction of Nvidia&#39;s &#39;A100 and H100&#39; exports could only be the first wave of regulations to hit the US Semi industry.</p><p>Moreover, even if the US government does not extend restrictions to more of Nvidia&#39;s chips, it is highly likely that Nvidia will lose market share in China regardless. Investors should consider that the Chinese government will take restrictions of chips exports as a warning signal; and the response is that China will push to &#39;replace&#39; exposure to the US&#39; chip industry.</p><p><b>Still Very Stretched Valuation</b></p><p>Although Nvidia stock is down almost 60% from all time highs, the valuation is still very expensive. Investors should consider that Nvidia&#39;s one-year forward GAAP P/E of 81x implies a 270% premium to the U.S. technology sector. Nvidia&#39;s P/B of 15.8x and P/S of 13.9x imply a 290% and 395% premium respectively. Given a slowing business cycle for semiconductors, paired with fading investor confidence in US growth stocks, these multiples are highly vulnerable to a valuation contraction.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6bdd4fc38ae5ce4b33d86923f5c92d92\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"563\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p>Paying too much for a &#39;hyped&#39; investment can be very dangerous. Arguably, Cisco&#39;s (CSCO) growth story and equity performance in the early 2000 is very similar to the current situation surrounding Nvidia, from my viewpoint.</p><p>In the late 90s and early 2000, Cisco stock boomed from $5/share to about $80/share (stock-split adjusted). Investors were excited buying into the company&#39;s growth story that was driven by the World Wide Web adoption. Valuation did not matter, until it suddenly did. Then, in less than 24 months, Cisco stock lost almost 90% of its value. Interestingly, little changed for Cisco&#39;s fundamentals. In fact, the bull thesis of the World Wide Web taking over the world was correct. But investors simply paid way too much. Today, more than 20 years later, Cisco stock still trades approximately 50% below the stock&#39;s all time high.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/358a1da47ae3281430fa38ffff19aed5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"196\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p><b>Conclusion</b></p><p>No doubt, Nvidia is a great business. But the company&#39;s stock is dangerous. After a weak June quarter, driven amongst others by a slowing semi demand in the gaming and data-center vertical, now investors must also price the negativity of heightened regulatory risk.</p><p>Personally, I would not buy Nvidia at a valuation above 30x EV/EBIT and/or 10x EV/Sales, which are still very proud multiples. Accordingly, I see 20 - 30 percent more downside before the risk/reward for investors becomes <i>justified</i>(but arguably still not attractive given the regulatory risk and slowing business cycle). Sell.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nvidia: Problems Keep Accumulating</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNvidia: Problems Keep Accumulating\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-03 10:50 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4538666-nvidia-problems-keep-accumulating><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryNvidia stock crashes as much as 12% after the semi company disclosed that the U.S. government ordered a restriction on a selected portfolio of high-margin.Nvidia has estimated the impact of the...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4538666-nvidia-problems-keep-accumulating\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4538666-nvidia-problems-keep-accumulating","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1162611714","content_text":"SummaryNvidia stock crashes as much as 12% after the semi company disclosed that the U.S. government ordered a restriction on a selected portfolio of high-margin.Nvidia has estimated the impact of the export restriction at $400 million in potential sales for its third fiscal quarter.Although Nvidia stock is down almost 60% from all time highs, the valuation is still very expensive.Personally, I would not buy Nvidia at a valuation above 30x EV/EBIT and/or 10x EV/Sales, which are still very proud multiples.Accordingly, I see 20 - 30 percent more downside before the risk/reward for investors becomes justified.ThesisNvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) stock crashed 7.5% -- and intermittently more than 12% -- after the semi company disclosed that the US government ordered a restriction on a selected portfolio of high-margin AI chips to China. The announcement comes after Nvidia has already warned a slowing business environment for its chips with regards to both the company's gaming and data-center segment.In my opinion, Nvidia stock has for a long time been overhyped and overvalued. And although NVDA stock is down approximately 60% from all time highs, I argue there is still some excess valuation premium that need to be corrected in order for investors to enjoy an attractive risk/reward.Seeking AlphaU.S. Government Restricts Chip Sales The filingOn August 31, Nvidia filed a disclosure with the Securities and Exchange Commission saying that the company has been notified about an export restriction of certain AI chips to China and Russia....the U.S. government informed NVIDIA Corporation that the USG has imposed a new license requirement, effective immediately, for any future export to China (including Hong Kong) and Russia of the Company’s A100 and forthcoming H100 integrated circuits.The restriction specifically names Nvidia A100 and H100 chips, but also extends to any chips that may match the technology.The license requirement also includes any future NVIDIA integrated circuit achieving both peak performance and chip-to-chip I/O performance equal to or greater than thresholds that are roughly equivalent to the A100, as well as any system that includes those circuits.What's The ImpactNvidia has estimated the impact of the export restriction at $400 million in potential sales for its third fiscal quarter. Accordingly, the impact could be expanded to about $1.6 billion annually. If we apply Nvidia's 26% net income margin, and further apply the stock's currentx81 one-ear forward P/E multiple, the impact on valuation loss could be estimated at about $33.7 billion of equity value.Investor ImplicationThe export restriction highlights a risk that the market arguably has ignored so far: the possibility that Nvidia's leading chip technology becomes an instrument of politics. In the filing, Nvidia cited 'the risk that the covered products may be used in, or diverted to, a military end use or military end user' as the main reason for the export restrictions. But arguably, this step is just the latest episode in the technology war.Arguably, the selected restriction of Nvidia's 'A100 and H100' exports could only be the first wave of regulations to hit the US Semi industry.Moreover, even if the US government does not extend restrictions to more of Nvidia's chips, it is highly likely that Nvidia will lose market share in China regardless. Investors should consider that the Chinese government will take restrictions of chips exports as a warning signal; and the response is that China will push to 'replace' exposure to the US' chip industry.Still Very Stretched ValuationAlthough Nvidia stock is down almost 60% from all time highs, the valuation is still very expensive. Investors should consider that Nvidia's one-year forward GAAP P/E of 81x implies a 270% premium to the U.S. technology sector. Nvidia's P/B of 15.8x and P/S of 13.9x imply a 290% and 395% premium respectively. Given a slowing business cycle for semiconductors, paired with fading investor confidence in US growth stocks, these multiples are highly vulnerable to a valuation contraction.Seeking AlphaPaying too much for a 'hyped' investment can be very dangerous. Arguably, Cisco's (CSCO) growth story and equity performance in the early 2000 is very similar to the current situation surrounding Nvidia, from my viewpoint.In the late 90s and early 2000, Cisco stock boomed from $5/share to about $80/share (stock-split adjusted). Investors were excited buying into the company's growth story that was driven by the World Wide Web adoption. Valuation did not matter, until it suddenly did. Then, in less than 24 months, Cisco stock lost almost 90% of its value. Interestingly, little changed for Cisco's fundamentals. In fact, the bull thesis of the World Wide Web taking over the world was correct. But investors simply paid way too much. Today, more than 20 years later, Cisco stock still trades approximately 50% below the stock's all time high.Seeking AlphaConclusionNo doubt, Nvidia is a great business. But the company's stock is dangerous. After a weak June quarter, driven amongst others by a slowing semi demand in the gaming and data-center vertical, now investors must also price the negativity of heightened regulatory risk.Personally, I would not buy Nvidia at a valuation above 30x EV/EBIT and/or 10x EV/Sales, which are still very proud multiples. Accordingly, I see 20 - 30 percent more downside before the risk/reward for investors becomes justified(but arguably still not attractive given the regulatory risk and slowing business cycle). Sell.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NVDA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1066,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9989850385,"gmtCreate":1665972783847,"gmtModify":1676537685387,"author":{"id":"4114039699852602","authorId":"4114039699852602","name":"Don 007","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/cf8491b1bcaf8eb7027783be64d82761","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4114039699852602","authorIdStr":"4114039699852602"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"The price is&nbsp;still too high","listText":"The price is&nbsp;still too high","text":"The price is still too high","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9989850385","repostId":"2275997619","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2698,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9914315321,"gmtCreate":1665188003863,"gmtModify":1676537568931,"author":{"id":"4114039699852602","authorId":"4114039699852602","name":"Don 007","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/cf8491b1bcaf8eb7027783be64d82761","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4114039699852602","authorIdStr":"4114039699852602"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Interest rise, stock market down. When will this come to a turning point.&nbsp;","listText":"Interest rise, stock market down. When will this come to a turning point.&nbsp;","text":"Interest rise, stock market down. When will this come to a turning point.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9914315321","repostId":"1195734170","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1195734170","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1665156618,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1195734170?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-07 23:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Fed’s Williams Sees Rates Heading to Around 4.5% to Cool Prices","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1195734170","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Fed focused on reducing inflation to 2%, Williams saysAcknowledges international spillovers but says","content":"<div>\n<p>Fed focused on reducing inflation to 2%, Williams saysAcknowledges international spillovers but says Fed focus is USJohn WilliamsPhotographer: Andrew Harrer/BloombergFederal Reserve Bank of New York ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-10-07/fed-s-williams-sees-rates-heading-to-around-4-5-over-time\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Fed’s Williams Sees Rates Heading to Around 4.5% to Cool Prices</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFed’s Williams Sees Rates Heading to Around 4.5% to Cool Prices\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-07 23:30 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-10-07/fed-s-williams-sees-rates-heading-to-around-4-5-over-time><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Fed focused on reducing inflation to 2%, Williams saysAcknowledges international spillovers but says Fed focus is USJohn WilliamsPhotographer: Andrew Harrer/BloombergFederal Reserve Bank of New York ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-10-07/fed-s-williams-sees-rates-heading-to-around-4-5-over-time\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-10-07/fed-s-williams-sees-rates-heading-to-around-4-5-over-time","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1195734170","content_text":"Fed focused on reducing inflation to 2%, Williams saysAcknowledges international spillovers but says Fed focus is USJohn WilliamsPhotographer: Andrew Harrer/BloombergFederal Reserve Bank of New York President John Williams said interest rates need to rise to around 4.5% over time but the pace and ultimate peak of the tightening campaign will hinge on how the economy performs.“The timing of that and how high do we have to raise interest rates is going to depend on the data,” Williams said Friday during a moderated discussion organized by SUNY Buffalo in western New York. “Right now the focus is getting inflation back down to 2%.”Williams is vice chair of the rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee and a key member of Chair Jerome Powell’s leadership team. His remarks follow a string of hawkish comments from other policymakers that has hardened bets that they will forge ahead with its aggressive tightening campaign to curb the hottest inflation in nearly 40 years.Fed officials are raising interest rates at the fastest clip since the 1980s as they aim to squash the hottest inflation in a generation. Policymakers are anticipated to raise their benchmark rate by 75 basis points in early November for a fourth straight meeting following data Friday showing unemployment unexpectedly returned to a historic low of 3.5%.That would bring the Fed’s main rate to a range of 3.75% to 4%. Median projections from Fed officials show they expect rates to rise to 4.4% by the end of this year and 4.6% in 2023. The US central bank is hoping higher borrowing costs will cool spending and reduce demand for workers, in turn slowing the growth of prices and wages.Officials say they will incorporate a range of economic data at their next meeting on Nov. 1-2, including an update on consumer prices coming next week.The Fed’s swift action, which has lifted rates by three percentage points since March, has roiled global financial markets and sent the dollar surging in value against other currencies.Williams acknowledged that the Fed’s actions had international consequences and said he was in contact with his counterparts at foreign central banks, who also face high inflation. But he stressed that the Fed’s focus was its domestic goal to restore price stability.“We’re all working on our own to make the decisions to bring the economy back into balance,” he said.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":579,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9918141331,"gmtCreate":1664342238924,"gmtModify":1676537437168,"author":{"id":"4114039699852602","authorId":"4114039699852602","name":"Don 007","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/cf8491b1bcaf8eb7027783be64d82761","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4114039699852602","authorIdStr":"4114039699852602"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Can it be worst then now.","listText":"Can it be worst then now.","text":"Can it be worst then now.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9918141331","repostId":"1185646921","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1185646921","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1664352593,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1185646921?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-28 16:09","market":"other","language":"en","title":"Option Movers｜Mega-Cap Stocks Like Tesla and Meta Stop Bleeding; This Bond ETF Shows a Bear Market Since 1946 Is Coming","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1185646921","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Wall Street sank deeper into a bear market on Tuesday(Sep.27), with the S&P 500 recording its lowest","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Wall Street sank deeper into a bear market on Tuesday(Sep.27), with the S&amp;P 500 recording its lowest close in almost two-years as Federal Reserve policymakers showed an appetite for more interest rate hikes, even at the risk of throwing the economy into a downturn.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.43% to end at 29,134.99 points, while the S&amp;P 500 lost 0.21% to 3,647.29.The Nasdaq Composite climbed 0.25% to 10,829.50.</p><h2>Options Broad View</h2><p>A total volume of 36,200,473 contracts were traded on Tuesday, down 4.08% from the previous day. Call options account for49% of total options trades.</p><p>There are 9.17 million <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust</a></b> options traded on Tuesday. Call options account for 41% in overall option trades. Particularly high volume was seen for the $360 strike put option expiring September 28, with 262,506 contracts trading on Tuesday.</p><h2>Top 10 Option Volumes</h2><p><b>Top 10:SPY, QQQ,TSLA,IWM,AAPL, VIX, LQD, AMZN, HYG, TQQQ</b></p><p>Options related to equity index ETFs are still top choices for investors, with 2.6 million <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QQQ\">Invesco QQQ Trust</a></b> options contracts trading on Tuesday. Call options account for 45% in overall option trades. Total trading volume for <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust</a></b> rose 0.88% while <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QQQ\">Invesco QQQ Trust</a></b>’s trading volume slid 15.03%, respectively, from the previous day.</p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla Motors</a></b> rose 2.51% on Tuesday as it was expecting a “very high volume” of vehicle deliveries during the end of the quarter, and it is asking all employees to help – even those outside of the sale and delivery organization.</p><p>There are 1,630,000 option contracts traded on Tuesday. Call options account for 53% of overall option trades. Particularly high volume was seen for the $285 strike call option expiring September 30, with 88,071 contracts trading on Tuesday.</p><h2><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f1f60815616a3d013afe8cba8bf89b9\" tg-width=\"467\" tg-height=\"929\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Tiger Trade APP</span></p>Unusual Options Activity</h2><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/07572182a26c8057619ff1359b959043\" tg-width=\"933\" tg-height=\"348\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Market Chameleon</span></p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/META\">Meta Platforms, Inc.</a></b> slid 1.44% on Tuesday, RBC Capital Markets said the concerns over its Reels video product have reached a &#34;fever pitch&#34; and shares are still &#34;attractive on a risk-reward basis. It had an outperform rating and a $190 price target on Meta Platforms (META) shares.</p><p>There are 383,200 option contracts traded on Tuesday. Call options account for 70% of overall option trades. Particularly high volume was seen for the $138 strike call option expiring September 30, with 7,421 contracts trading on Tuesday.</p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TLT\">iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF</a></b> slid 2.63% on Tuesday, global bonds are now in their first bear market in 76 years, after having dropped 20% from their peaks, according to Deutsche Bank research dating back to 1786. The last time global bonds fared so poorly was in 1946, the year that the first session of the United Nations was held in London after the end of World War II.</p><p>There are 331,200 option contracts traded on Tuesday. Call options account for 69% of overall option trades. Particularly high volume was seen for the $105 strike call option expiring September 30, with 15,171 contracts trading on Tuesday.</p><h2>TOP Bullish &amp; Bearish Single Stocks</h2><p>This report shows stocks with the highest volume of bullish and bearish activity by option delta volume, which converts option volume to an equivalent stock volume (bought or sold).</p><p>If we take the total positive option delta volume and subtract the total negative option delta volume, we will get the net imbalance. If the net imbalance is positive, there is more bullish pressure. If the net is negative, there is more bearish pressure.</p><p><b>Top 10 bullish stocks: FXI, SPY, IWM, QQQ, ASHR, XLE, XLU, TLT, GLD, MFA</b></p><p><b>Top 10 bearish stocks: IPOF, TSLA, SAVE, NLY, GM, PBR, SNAP, PLTR, AAPL, SOFI</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f48c3d22631eb2dd753aa97670f6bc6\" tg-width=\"553\" tg-height=\"274\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Market Chameleon</span></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Option Movers｜Mega-Cap Stocks Like Tesla and Meta Stop Bleeding; This Bond ETF Shows a Bear Market Since 1946 Is Coming</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOption Movers｜Mega-Cap Stocks Like Tesla and Meta Stop Bleeding; This Bond ETF Shows a Bear Market Since 1946 Is Coming\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-09-28 16:09</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Wall Street sank deeper into a bear market on Tuesday(Sep.27), with the S&amp;P 500 recording its lowest close in almost two-years as Federal Reserve policymakers showed an appetite for more interest rate hikes, even at the risk of throwing the economy into a downturn.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.43% to end at 29,134.99 points, while the S&amp;P 500 lost 0.21% to 3,647.29.The Nasdaq Composite climbed 0.25% to 10,829.50.</p><h2>Options Broad View</h2><p>A total volume of 36,200,473 contracts were traded on Tuesday, down 4.08% from the previous day. Call options account for49% of total options trades.</p><p>There are 9.17 million <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust</a></b> options traded on Tuesday. Call options account for 41% in overall option trades. Particularly high volume was seen for the $360 strike put option expiring September 28, with 262,506 contracts trading on Tuesday.</p><h2>Top 10 Option Volumes</h2><p><b>Top 10:SPY, QQQ,TSLA,IWM,AAPL, VIX, LQD, AMZN, HYG, TQQQ</b></p><p>Options related to equity index ETFs are still top choices for investors, with 2.6 million <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QQQ\">Invesco QQQ Trust</a></b> options contracts trading on Tuesday. Call options account for 45% in overall option trades. Total trading volume for <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust</a></b> rose 0.88% while <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QQQ\">Invesco QQQ Trust</a></b>’s trading volume slid 15.03%, respectively, from the previous day.</p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla Motors</a></b> rose 2.51% on Tuesday as it was expecting a “very high volume” of vehicle deliveries during the end of the quarter, and it is asking all employees to help – even those outside of the sale and delivery organization.</p><p>There are 1,630,000 option contracts traded on Tuesday. Call options account for 53% of overall option trades. Particularly high volume was seen for the $285 strike call option expiring September 30, with 88,071 contracts trading on Tuesday.</p><h2><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f1f60815616a3d013afe8cba8bf89b9\" tg-width=\"467\" tg-height=\"929\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Tiger Trade APP</span></p>Unusual Options Activity</h2><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/07572182a26c8057619ff1359b959043\" tg-width=\"933\" tg-height=\"348\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Market Chameleon</span></p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/META\">Meta Platforms, Inc.</a></b> slid 1.44% on Tuesday, RBC Capital Markets said the concerns over its Reels video product have reached a &#34;fever pitch&#34; and shares are still &#34;attractive on a risk-reward basis. It had an outperform rating and a $190 price target on Meta Platforms (META) shares.</p><p>There are 383,200 option contracts traded on Tuesday. Call options account for 70% of overall option trades. Particularly high volume was seen for the $138 strike call option expiring September 30, with 7,421 contracts trading on Tuesday.</p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TLT\">iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF</a></b> slid 2.63% on Tuesday, global bonds are now in their first bear market in 76 years, after having dropped 20% from their peaks, according to Deutsche Bank research dating back to 1786. The last time global bonds fared so poorly was in 1946, the year that the first session of the United Nations was held in London after the end of World War II.</p><p>There are 331,200 option contracts traded on Tuesday. Call options account for 69% of overall option trades. Particularly high volume was seen for the $105 strike call option expiring September 30, with 15,171 contracts trading on Tuesday.</p><h2>TOP Bullish &amp; Bearish Single Stocks</h2><p>This report shows stocks with the highest volume of bullish and bearish activity by option delta volume, which converts option volume to an equivalent stock volume (bought or sold).</p><p>If we take the total positive option delta volume and subtract the total negative option delta volume, we will get the net imbalance. If the net imbalance is positive, there is more bullish pressure. If the net is negative, there is more bearish pressure.</p><p><b>Top 10 bullish stocks: FXI, SPY, IWM, QQQ, ASHR, XLE, XLU, TLT, GLD, MFA</b></p><p><b>Top 10 bearish stocks: IPOF, TSLA, SAVE, NLY, GM, PBR, SNAP, PLTR, AAPL, SOFI</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f48c3d22631eb2dd753aa97670f6bc6\" tg-width=\"553\" tg-height=\"274\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Market Chameleon</span></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉","TLT":"20+年以上美国国债ETF-iShares","META":"Meta Platforms, Inc."},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1185646921","content_text":"Wall Street sank deeper into a bear market on Tuesday(Sep.27), with the S&P 500 recording its lowest close in almost two-years as Federal Reserve policymakers showed an appetite for more interest rate hikes, even at the risk of throwing the economy into a downturn.The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.43% to end at 29,134.99 points, while the S&P 500 lost 0.21% to 3,647.29.The Nasdaq Composite climbed 0.25% to 10,829.50.Options Broad ViewA total volume of 36,200,473 contracts were traded on Tuesday, down 4.08% from the previous day. Call options account for49% of total options trades.There are 9.17 million SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust options traded on Tuesday. Call options account for 41% in overall option trades. Particularly high volume was seen for the $360 strike put option expiring September 28, with 262,506 contracts trading on Tuesday.Top 10 Option VolumesTop 10:SPY, QQQ,TSLA,IWM,AAPL, VIX, LQD, AMZN, HYG, TQQQOptions related to equity index ETFs are still top choices for investors, with 2.6 million Invesco QQQ Trust options contracts trading on Tuesday. Call options account for 45% in overall option trades. Total trading volume for SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust rose 0.88% while Invesco QQQ Trust’s trading volume slid 15.03%, respectively, from the previous day.Tesla Motors rose 2.51% on Tuesday as it was expecting a “very high volume” of vehicle deliveries during the end of the quarter, and it is asking all employees to help – even those outside of the sale and delivery organization.There are 1,630,000 option contracts traded on Tuesday. Call options account for 53% of overall option trades. Particularly high volume was seen for the $285 strike call option expiring September 30, with 88,071 contracts trading on Tuesday.Source: Tiger Trade APPUnusual Options ActivitySource: Market ChameleonMeta Platforms, Inc. slid 1.44% on Tuesday, RBC Capital Markets said the concerns over its Reels video product have reached a \"fever pitch\" and shares are still \"attractive on a risk-reward basis. It had an outperform rating and a $190 price target on Meta Platforms (META) shares.There are 383,200 option contracts traded on Tuesday. Call options account for 70% of overall option trades. Particularly high volume was seen for the $138 strike call option expiring September 30, with 7,421 contracts trading on Tuesday.iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF slid 2.63% on Tuesday, global bonds are now in their first bear market in 76 years, after having dropped 20% from their peaks, according to Deutsche Bank research dating back to 1786. The last time global bonds fared so poorly was in 1946, the year that the first session of the United Nations was held in London after the end of World War II.There are 331,200 option contracts traded on Tuesday. Call options account for 69% of overall option trades. Particularly high volume was seen for the $105 strike call option expiring September 30, with 15,171 contracts trading on Tuesday.TOP Bullish & Bearish Single StocksThis report shows stocks with the highest volume of bullish and bearish activity by option delta volume, which converts option volume to an equivalent stock volume (bought or sold).If we take the total positive option delta volume and subtract the total negative option delta volume, we will get the net imbalance. If the net imbalance is positive, there is more bullish pressure. If the net is negative, there is more bearish pressure.Top 10 bullish stocks: FXI, SPY, IWM, QQQ, ASHR, XLE, XLU, TLT, GLD, MFATop 10 bearish stocks: IPOF, TSLA, SAVE, NLY, GM, PBR, SNAP, PLTR, AAPL, SOFISource: Market Chameleon","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9,"TLT":0.9,"META":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":834,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}