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2022-12-30

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5 Electric Vehicle Stocks with the Strongest Growth Potential

2022-12-26

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2022-12-21

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2022-12-20

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However, don’t count them out just yet. Global leaders are demanding millions of EVs on the roads in an effort to reduce emissions. The U.S. wants to reduce emissions by 52%. Europe is targeting 55%. China even says it will stop releasing carbon dioxide in the next 40 years.</p><p>The International Energy Agency says we could see up to 135 million electric vehicles on the roads in the next decade. Analysts at Ernst &amp; Young say EVs could outpace combustion engines globally over the same period. Bloomberg NEF says that, by 2030, more than half of passenger cars sold in the United States will be electric, driven in part by incentives put in place by the Inflation Reduction Act.</p><p>That being said, I’d start buying beaten-down electric vehicle stocks, and related stocks, for longer-term growth.</p><table border=\"1\"><tbody><tr><td><b>ALB</b></td><td>Albemarle</td><td>$213.97</td></tr><tr><td><b>KARS</b></td><td>KraneShares Electric Vehicles and Future Mobility</td><td>$27.56</td></tr><tr><td><b>FCX</b></td><td>Freeport McMoRan</td><td>$37.74</td></tr><tr><td><b>CHPT</b></td><td>ChargePoint</td><td>$8.30</td></tr><tr><td><b>FDRV</b></td><td>Fidelity EVs and Future Transportation ETF</td><td>$14.77</td></tr></tbody></table><h2><b>Albemarle (ALB)</b></h2><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ada32e144b0fdf133c4db0d07c15bc89\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"169\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Source: tunasalmon / Shutterstock</p><p><b>Albemarle</b> (NYSE:<b>ALB</b>) is one of the top electric vehicle stocks to own heading into 2023. Not only is it ridiculously oversold, but it’s also one of the top ways to trade the lithium story.</p><p>As the world continues to deal with a tight supply-demand issue with lithium, ALB is well-positioned to capitalize. For one, the company drew about 60% of its sales from lithium in the third quarter. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWOA.U\">Two</a>, company revenues are surging along with lithium prices, which soared about 100% year-over-year.</p><p>We also have to remember the lithium story isn’t cooling off — at least not anytime soon. For an idea of just how tight the lithium situation is, Forbes.com contributor Tristan Bove says, “At current extraction rates, carmakers will need more mining to hit industry forecasts of as many as 300 million electric vehicles on the road worldwide by 2030, as will countries to meet their commitments to achieve net-zero carbon emissions.”</p><h2><b>Krane Shares Electric Vehicles and Future Mobility (KARS)</b></h2><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d10b244f7c2c0ca7c6ce0d30517da444\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"169\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Source: shutterstock.com/Nixx Photography</p><p>It’s never a good idea to put all your eggs in one basket. Instead, you want to diversity for safety, with an exchange-traded fund such as the <b>Krane Shares Electric Vehicles and Future Mobility </b>(NYSEARCA:<b>KARS</b>). With this fund, all your eggs are in different baskets: electric vehicles, autonomous driving, lithium and copper production, hydrogen fuel and semiconductors. In fact, you’re safer diversifying with an ETF like KARS, than putting all your money in a single stock like <b>Tesla</b> (NASDAQ:<b><u>TSLA</u></b>).</p><p>With an expense ratio of 0.70%, some of the KARS ETF top holdings include <b>Samsung </b>(OTCMKTS:<b><u>SSNLF</u></b>), <b>Panasonic Holdings </b>(OTCMKTS:<b>PCRFY</b>), <b>Aptiv</b> (NYSE:<b>APTV</b>), <b>Li Auto</b> (NASDAQ:<b>LI</b>), <b>BYD Co.</b> (OTCMKTS:<b>BYDDY</b>) and dozens more. Also, while the KARS ETF is down about 46% from its 2021 highs, give it time. As the EV story improves, I’d like to see the ETF again challenge its former high of $54.43.</p><h2><b>Freeport McMoRan (FCX)</b></h2><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fc75323ce7175a8de04edfd34a95fe5a\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"169\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Source: Coldmoon Photoproject/Shutterstock.com</p><p>Another key component of the electric vehicle story is copper. That’s because EVs use about two and a half times more copper than your combustion engine cars, which could help pull <b>Freeport McMoRan </b>(NYSE:<b>FCX</b>) well off recent lows.</p><p>In fact, “Between today and 2035, achieving the net-zero emissions by 2050 goals will translate into a rapid ramp-up of copper demand, increasing by more than 82 percent between 2021 and 2035,” according to S&amp;P Global analysts, as quoted by InvestingNews.com. “This ramp-up is largely driven by the required transition to clean vehicles and electrification of the economy.”</p><p>Helping, <b>ConocoPhillips</b> (NYSE:<b>COP</b>) CEO and FCX Director, Ryan Lance, just bought $988,300 worth of FCX stock at an average price of $31.88 each. Better, FCX just declared a cash dividend of $0.15 per share on FCX’s common stock, payable on Feb. 1, 2023, to shareholders of record as of Jan. 13, 2023. From a current price of $37.74, I’d like to see the FCX stock rally back to $50, especially as copper prices recover.</p><h2><b>ChargePoint (CHPT)</b></h2><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d5a0546d1b0c05feb443746b3efb8c5c\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"169\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Source: Blue Planet Studio / Shutterstock</p><p>With the electric vehicle boom set to accelerate, we’ll need a good deal of charging stations, which is great news for companies like <b>ChargePoint</b> (NYSE:<b>CHPT</b>). After all, we can’t have millions of EVs on the roads, and not have anywhere to charge them.</p><p>“With the total cumulative investment in EV charging infrastructure in the United States and Europe expected to be $60 billion by 2030 and $192 billion by 2040, ChargePoint’s established business model, comprehensive portfolio for nearly every charging scenario today, recurring revenue and growing customer base demonstrate it is well positioned to continue to lead as the electric mobility revolution accelerates,” says the company.</p><p>Helping, the Biden Administration is committed to building a national network of 500,000 EV charging stations by 2030.</p><p>Earnings have been solid, too. Third-quarter revenue, for example, was up 93% to $125.3 million YoY. Networked charging systems revenue for the third quarter was $97.6 million, up 105% from $47.5 million YoY. Also, subscription revenue was $21.7 million, up 62% from $13.4 million YoY. For Q4 2022, CHPT expects revenue to fall in the range of $160 million to $170 million, which would be 108% above year-ago numbers.</p><h2><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FDRV\">Fidelity Electric Vehicles and Future Transportation ETF</a> (FDRV)</b></h2><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/343e8e63f6752c5ec3bc8c738d5e30c8\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"169\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Source: Virrage Images / Shutterstock.com</p><p>Another hot EV ETF to consider is the <b>Fidelity Electric Vehicles and Future Transportation ETF </b>(BATS:<b>FDRV</b>). At $14.77, with an expense ratio of 0.39%, the ETF offers exposure to companies involved in the production of electric and/or autonomous vehicles, components and technology, and other companies that are working to change the future of transportation. Some of its top holdings include <b>Nio</b> (NYSE:<b>NIO</b>), Tesla, <b>Qualcomm </b>(NASDAQ:<b>QCOM</b>), <b>Nvidia </b>(NASDAQ:<b>NVDA</b>), <b>Intel </b>(NASDAQ:<b>INTC</b>), Aptiv and <b>Garmin </b>(NYSE:<b>GRMN</b>).</p></body></html>","source":"investorplace","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>5 Electric Vehicle Stocks with the Strongest Growth Potential</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n5 Electric Vehicle Stocks with the Strongest Growth Potential\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-30 11:02 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://investorplace.com/2022/12/5-electric-vehicle-stocks-with-the-strongest-growth-potential/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Here are five of the top electric vehicle stocks to own heading into 2023.Albemarle (ALB): It is oversold with big potential in a tight lithium market.Krane Shares EVs and Future Mobility (KARS): This...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/12/5-electric-vehicle-stocks-with-the-strongest-growth-potential/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LU1861214812.USD":"Blackrock Future of Transport A2 USD","LU0097036916.USD":"贝莱德美国增长A2 USD","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK4563":"昨日强势股","LU0368265418.SGD":"Blackrock World Energy Fund A2 SGD-H","LU0689472784.USD":"安联收益及增长基金Cl AM AT Acc","BK4529":"IDC概念","LU0672654240.SGD":"FTIF - Franklin US Opportunities A Acc SGD-H1","KARS":"KraneShares Electric Vehicles and Future Mobility Index ETF","LU0198837287.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV - USA GROWTH \"P\" (USD) ACC","LU1720051017.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence AT Acc H2-SGD","BK4213":"石油与天然气的勘探与生产","LU1951198990.SGD":"Natixis Thematics AI & Robotics Fund H-R/A SGD-H","LU1861558580.USD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","LU0708995401.HKD":"FRANKLIN U.S. OPPORTUNITIES \"A\" (HKD) ACC","LU1861220033.SGD":"Blackrock Next Generation Technology A2 SGD-H","LU2125909593.SGD":"Natixis Thematics Meta R/A SGD","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","ALB":"美国雅保","LU1720051108.HKD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE \"AT\" (HKD) ACC","LU1917777945.USD":"安联专题基金Cl AT Acc","BK4575":"芯片概念","LU0128525929.USD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL \"A\" (USD) ACC","FCX":"麦克莫兰铜金","LU1974910355.USD":"Allianz Thematica Cl AMg DIS USD","LU1923622614.USD":"Natixis Thematics Meta R/A USD","LU1429558221.USD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity RA USD","LU1267930730.SGD":"富兰克林美国机遇基金AS Acc SGD (CPF)","LU1506573853.SGD":"MANULIFE GF GLOBAL EQUITY \"AA\" (SGD) INC","IE00B19Z3581.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - Value A Acc USD","LU2264538146.SGD":"Fullerton Lux Funds - Global Absolute Alpha A Acc SGD","GB00BDT5M118.USD":"天利环球扩展Alpha基金A Acc","BK4096":"电气部件与设备","BK4542":"充电桩","LU0310800379.SGD":"FTIF - Templeton Global A Acc SGD","BK4141":"半导体产品","BK4545":"锂电池","BK4503":"景林资产持仓","LU0061474960.USD":"天利环球焦点基金AU Acc","CHPT":"ChargePoint Holdings Inc.","LU0321505439.SGD":"Schroder ISF Global Dividend Maximiser A Acc SGD","LU2249611893.SGD":"BNP PARIBAS ENERGY TRANSITION \"CRH\" (SGD) ACC","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","LU2063271972.USD":"富兰克林创新领域基金","SG9999002224.SGD":"Allianz Global High Payout SGD","BK4581":"高盛持仓","FDRV":"Fidelity Electric Vehicles and Future Transportation ETF"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2022/12/5-electric-vehicle-stocks-with-the-strongest-growth-potential/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2295993916","content_text":"Here are five of the top electric vehicle stocks to own heading into 2023.Albemarle (ALB): It is oversold with big potential in a tight lithium market.Krane Shares EVs and Future Mobility (KARS): This ETF offers a smart way to diversify at low cost.Freeport McMoRan (FCX): FCX provides a solid way to trade the recovery in copper prices.ChargePoint (CHPT): We can’t have millions of EVs on the roads with no place to charge them.Fidelity EVs and Future Transportation ETF (FDRV): It is another smart ETF to diversify at low cost.Source: shutterstock.com/DigitalPenElectric vehicle stocks had a rough ride in 2022, all thanks to shortages of essential supplies, sky-high inflation, rising interest rates and issues over the pandemic. However, don’t count them out just yet. Global leaders are demanding millions of EVs on the roads in an effort to reduce emissions. The U.S. wants to reduce emissions by 52%. Europe is targeting 55%. China even says it will stop releasing carbon dioxide in the next 40 years.The International Energy Agency says we could see up to 135 million electric vehicles on the roads in the next decade. Analysts at Ernst & Young say EVs could outpace combustion engines globally over the same period. Bloomberg NEF says that, by 2030, more than half of passenger cars sold in the United States will be electric, driven in part by incentives put in place by the Inflation Reduction Act.That being said, I’d start buying beaten-down electric vehicle stocks, and related stocks, for longer-term growth.ALBAlbemarle$213.97KARSKraneShares Electric Vehicles and Future Mobility$27.56FCXFreeport McMoRan$37.74CHPTChargePoint$8.30FDRVFidelity EVs and Future Transportation ETF$14.77Albemarle (ALB)Source: tunasalmon / ShutterstockAlbemarle (NYSE:ALB) is one of the top electric vehicle stocks to own heading into 2023. Not only is it ridiculously oversold, but it’s also one of the top ways to trade the lithium story.As the world continues to deal with a tight supply-demand issue with lithium, ALB is well-positioned to capitalize. For one, the company drew about 60% of its sales from lithium in the third quarter. Two, company revenues are surging along with lithium prices, which soared about 100% year-over-year.We also have to remember the lithium story isn’t cooling off — at least not anytime soon. For an idea of just how tight the lithium situation is, Forbes.com contributor Tristan Bove says, “At current extraction rates, carmakers will need more mining to hit industry forecasts of as many as 300 million electric vehicles on the road worldwide by 2030, as will countries to meet their commitments to achieve net-zero carbon emissions.”Krane Shares Electric Vehicles and Future Mobility (KARS)Source: shutterstock.com/Nixx PhotographyIt’s never a good idea to put all your eggs in one basket. Instead, you want to diversity for safety, with an exchange-traded fund such as the Krane Shares Electric Vehicles and Future Mobility (NYSEARCA:KARS). With this fund, all your eggs are in different baskets: electric vehicles, autonomous driving, lithium and copper production, hydrogen fuel and semiconductors. In fact, you’re safer diversifying with an ETF like KARS, than putting all your money in a single stock like Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA).With an expense ratio of 0.70%, some of the KARS ETF top holdings include Samsung (OTCMKTS:SSNLF), Panasonic Holdings (OTCMKTS:PCRFY), Aptiv (NYSE:APTV), Li Auto (NASDAQ:LI), BYD Co. (OTCMKTS:BYDDY) and dozens more. Also, while the KARS ETF is down about 46% from its 2021 highs, give it time. As the EV story improves, I’d like to see the ETF again challenge its former high of $54.43.Freeport McMoRan (FCX)Source: Coldmoon Photoproject/Shutterstock.comAnother key component of the electric vehicle story is copper. That’s because EVs use about two and a half times more copper than your combustion engine cars, which could help pull Freeport McMoRan (NYSE:FCX) well off recent lows.In fact, “Between today and 2035, achieving the net-zero emissions by 2050 goals will translate into a rapid ramp-up of copper demand, increasing by more than 82 percent between 2021 and 2035,” according to S&P Global analysts, as quoted by InvestingNews.com. “This ramp-up is largely driven by the required transition to clean vehicles and electrification of the economy.”Helping, ConocoPhillips (NYSE:COP) CEO and FCX Director, Ryan Lance, just bought $988,300 worth of FCX stock at an average price of $31.88 each. Better, FCX just declared a cash dividend of $0.15 per share on FCX’s common stock, payable on Feb. 1, 2023, to shareholders of record as of Jan. 13, 2023. From a current price of $37.74, I’d like to see the FCX stock rally back to $50, especially as copper prices recover.ChargePoint (CHPT)Source: Blue Planet Studio / ShutterstockWith the electric vehicle boom set to accelerate, we’ll need a good deal of charging stations, which is great news for companies like ChargePoint (NYSE:CHPT). After all, we can’t have millions of EVs on the roads, and not have anywhere to charge them.“With the total cumulative investment in EV charging infrastructure in the United States and Europe expected to be $60 billion by 2030 and $192 billion by 2040, ChargePoint’s established business model, comprehensive portfolio for nearly every charging scenario today, recurring revenue and growing customer base demonstrate it is well positioned to continue to lead as the electric mobility revolution accelerates,” says the company.Helping, the Biden Administration is committed to building a national network of 500,000 EV charging stations by 2030.Earnings have been solid, too. Third-quarter revenue, for example, was up 93% to $125.3 million YoY. Networked charging systems revenue for the third quarter was $97.6 million, up 105% from $47.5 million YoY. Also, subscription revenue was $21.7 million, up 62% from $13.4 million YoY. For Q4 2022, CHPT expects revenue to fall in the range of $160 million to $170 million, which would be 108% above year-ago numbers.Fidelity Electric Vehicles and Future Transportation ETF (FDRV)Source: Virrage Images / Shutterstock.comAnother hot EV ETF to consider is the Fidelity Electric Vehicles and Future Transportation ETF (BATS:FDRV). At $14.77, with an expense ratio of 0.39%, the ETF offers exposure to companies involved in the production of electric and/or autonomous vehicles, components and technology, and other companies that are working to change the future of transportation. Some of its top holdings include Nio (NYSE:NIO), Tesla, Qualcomm (NASDAQ:QCOM), Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA), Intel (NASDAQ:INTC), Aptiv and Garmin (NYSE:GRMN).","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":283,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9925533510,"gmtCreate":1672060781430,"gmtModify":1676538628350,"author":{"id":"4134599301952282","authorId":"4134599301952282","name":"shidawanie","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4134599301952282","authorIdStr":"4134599301952282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$ &nbsp;</a>fffhhfas","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$ &nbsp;</a>fffhhfas","text":"$Apple(AAPL)$ fffhhfas","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4ce7e0a80d1c7c1c3979d850b8ffa52c","width":"1080","height":"2090"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9925533510","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":261,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9926494012,"gmtCreate":1671597972937,"gmtModify":1676538562102,"author":{"id":"4134599301952282","authorId":"4134599301952282","name":"shidawanie","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4134599301952282","authorIdStr":"4134599301952282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Miser]&nbsp;","listText":"[Miser]&nbsp;","text":"[Miser]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9926494012","repostId":"2292337681","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2292337681","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1671584462,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2292337681?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-12-21 09:01","market":"us","language":"en","title":"These 2 Stocks Could Go to Zero","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2292337681","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The bond market has rapidly soured on both money-losing companies.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Famed value investor Benjamin Graham introduced Mr. Market in his 1949 book <i>The Intelligent Investor</i>. Mr. Market, an allegory used to describe the irrational, erratic, and emotional behavior that can drive stock prices up and down, is a good lens through which to view the pandemic-era ups and downs of certain stocks.</p><p><b>Carvana</b> and <b>Coinbase</b> have never made much sense as businesses, at least to me. Carvana operates car vending machines and an online used car buying and selling platform, using billions in debt to fund expansion while losing money on every single car it sells. Coinbase charges high transaction fees on trades through its cryptocurrency exchange, a model that only works during times of extreme euphoria in the cryptocurrency markets.</p><p>The pandemic convinced Mr. Market that both of these companies were worth tens of billions of dollars. Carvana benefited from soaring demand and prices for used cars, a situation that Mr. Market seemingly believed would last forever. And Coinbase temporarily earned billions in profit as retail traders frantically traded digital tokens as cryptocurrency prices exploded, leading Mr. Market to turn a blind eye to that fact that cryptocurrency has little utility and no intrinsic value whatsoever.</p><h2>Optimism crashes into reality</h2><p>Carvana was valued at roughly $30 billion at one point in 2021. For reference, U.S. used car dealers generate around $140 billion of revenue annually, and it&#39;s not a high-margin affair. In 2021, when Carvana was seeing intense demand and growing rapidly, the company&#39;s gross margin was still just 15%.</p><p>Coinbase&#39;s market cap topped $70 billion in late 2021. As I pointed out earlier that year, Coinbase&#39;s success was extremely fragile. If cryptocurrency were to go mainstream and find real-world utility, it would kill the volatility that drives trading activity and revenue for Coinbase. If it remained a highly speculative asset class, competition would eat away at Coinbase&#39;s profit margins. And if cryptocurrency prices crashed and interest faded away, Coinbase would obviously suffer. There were no good outcomes.</p><p>For Carvana, the end of the used car boom apparently caught the company off guard. Retail unit sales tumbled in the third quarter, and more concerningly, gross profit per vehicle fell off a cliff. Carvana is overloaded with debt, and interest payments ate up nearly half of the company&#39;s depressed gross profit in the third quarter. With pricing based on supply and demand, and with Carvana&#39;s cost structure tuned for a booming market it apparently expected to never end, the company is in deep trouble.</p><p>For Coinbase, trading activity has evaporated amid plunging cryptocurrency prices and multiple frauds and scandals that have rocked the industry. Like Carvana, Coinbase has a cost problem. The company&#39;s cost structure only makes sense in a never-ending cryptocurrency bubble. The bubble has burst, and it doesn&#39;t look like it will be reinflating anytime soon.</p><h2>Don&#39;t ignore the bond market</h2><p>While Mr. Market is manic, swinging from optimism to pessimism and back again on a dime, drinking the Kool-Aid one minute and spitting it out the next, the bond market is a more serious affair. When bond investors become pessimistic about a particular company, it would be wise for stock investors to pay attention.</p><p>For both Carvana and Coinbase, bond investors are screaming at stock investors to get real:</p><ul><li>A Carvana bond issued in May that matures in 2030 is currently trading for less than 47 cents on the dollar.</li><li>A Coinbase bond issued in late 2021 that matures in 2031 is going for less than 52 cents on the dollar, despite Coinbase&#39;s balance sheet still featuring around $5 billion of cash.</li></ul><p>These prices suggest that the bond market does not expect either company to survive. Carvana is in more immediate danger -- its debt situation is untenable, and the company doesn&#39;t have the liquidity to keep going for much longer based on the rate at which it&#39;s burning cash. Carvana&#39;s free cash flow through the first nine months of 2022 was a loss of $1 billion, despite a reduction in vehicle inventories.</p><p>Coinbase has a longer runway, but its business model appears to be completely broken. The company has a bunch of cash laying around, but that cash is quickly going out the door. In just nine months, Coinbase&#39;s cash balance has declined by more than $2 billion, not counting customer deposits. With the collapse of FTX and revelations about the large-scale fraud going on at that once-mighty cryptocurrency exchange, it seems unlikely that cryptocurrency markets are going to stage a comeback anytime soon.</p><p>Miracles sometimes happen, but they&#39;re not a valid investing strategy. Get out while you still can.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>These 2 Stocks Could Go to Zero</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThese 2 Stocks Could Go to Zero\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-21 09:01 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/12/20/these-2-stocks-could-go-to-zero/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Famed value investor Benjamin Graham introduced Mr. Market in his 1949 book The Intelligent Investor. Mr. Market, an allegory used to describe the irrational, erratic, and emotional behavior that can ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/12/20/these-2-stocks-could-go-to-zero/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc.","CVNA":"Carvana Co."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/12/20/these-2-stocks-could-go-to-zero/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2292337681","content_text":"Famed value investor Benjamin Graham introduced Mr. Market in his 1949 book The Intelligent Investor. Mr. Market, an allegory used to describe the irrational, erratic, and emotional behavior that can drive stock prices up and down, is a good lens through which to view the pandemic-era ups and downs of certain stocks.Carvana and Coinbase have never made much sense as businesses, at least to me. Carvana operates car vending machines and an online used car buying and selling platform, using billions in debt to fund expansion while losing money on every single car it sells. Coinbase charges high transaction fees on trades through its cryptocurrency exchange, a model that only works during times of extreme euphoria in the cryptocurrency markets.The pandemic convinced Mr. Market that both of these companies were worth tens of billions of dollars. Carvana benefited from soaring demand and prices for used cars, a situation that Mr. Market seemingly believed would last forever. And Coinbase temporarily earned billions in profit as retail traders frantically traded digital tokens as cryptocurrency prices exploded, leading Mr. Market to turn a blind eye to that fact that cryptocurrency has little utility and no intrinsic value whatsoever.Optimism crashes into realityCarvana was valued at roughly $30 billion at one point in 2021. For reference, U.S. used car dealers generate around $140 billion of revenue annually, and it's not a high-margin affair. In 2021, when Carvana was seeing intense demand and growing rapidly, the company's gross margin was still just 15%.Coinbase's market cap topped $70 billion in late 2021. As I pointed out earlier that year, Coinbase's success was extremely fragile. If cryptocurrency were to go mainstream and find real-world utility, it would kill the volatility that drives trading activity and revenue for Coinbase. If it remained a highly speculative asset class, competition would eat away at Coinbase's profit margins. And if cryptocurrency prices crashed and interest faded away, Coinbase would obviously suffer. There were no good outcomes.For Carvana, the end of the used car boom apparently caught the company off guard. Retail unit sales tumbled in the third quarter, and more concerningly, gross profit per vehicle fell off a cliff. Carvana is overloaded with debt, and interest payments ate up nearly half of the company's depressed gross profit in the third quarter. With pricing based on supply and demand, and with Carvana's cost structure tuned for a booming market it apparently expected to never end, the company is in deep trouble.For Coinbase, trading activity has evaporated amid plunging cryptocurrency prices and multiple frauds and scandals that have rocked the industry. Like Carvana, Coinbase has a cost problem. The company's cost structure only makes sense in a never-ending cryptocurrency bubble. The bubble has burst, and it doesn't look like it will be reinflating anytime soon.Don't ignore the bond marketWhile Mr. Market is manic, swinging from optimism to pessimism and back again on a dime, drinking the Kool-Aid one minute and spitting it out the next, the bond market is a more serious affair. When bond investors become pessimistic about a particular company, it would be wise for stock investors to pay attention.For both Carvana and Coinbase, bond investors are screaming at stock investors to get real:A Carvana bond issued in May that matures in 2030 is currently trading for less than 47 cents on the dollar.A Coinbase bond issued in late 2021 that matures in 2031 is going for less than 52 cents on the dollar, despite Coinbase's balance sheet still featuring around $5 billion of cash.These prices suggest that the bond market does not expect either company to survive. Carvana is in more immediate danger -- its debt situation is untenable, and the company doesn't have the liquidity to keep going for much longer based on the rate at which it's burning cash. Carvana's free cash flow through the first nine months of 2022 was a loss of $1 billion, despite a reduction in vehicle inventories.Coinbase has a longer runway, but its business model appears to be completely broken. The company has a bunch of cash laying around, but that cash is quickly going out the door. In just nine months, Coinbase's cash balance has declined by more than $2 billion, not counting customer deposits. With the collapse of FTX and revelations about the large-scale fraud going on at that once-mighty cryptocurrency exchange, it seems unlikely that cryptocurrency markets are going to stage a comeback anytime soon.Miracles sometimes happen, but they're not a valid investing strategy. Get out while you still can.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":302,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9926625227,"gmtCreate":1671545486470,"gmtModify":1676538553064,"author":{"id":"4134599301952282","authorId":"4134599301952282","name":"shidawanie","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4134599301952282","authorIdStr":"4134599301952282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Miser]&nbsp;","listText":"[Miser]&nbsp;","text":"[Miser]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9926625227","repostId":"1102260067","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":436,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9926815605,"gmtCreate":1671507754307,"gmtModify":1676538547944,"author":{"id":"4134599301952282","authorId":"4134599301952282","name":"shidawanie","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4134599301952282","authorIdStr":"4134599301952282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$ &nbsp;</a>good","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$ &nbsp;</a>good","text":"$Apple(AAPL)$ good","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/95137ad333962c36e477e85cf11c973d","width":"1080","height":"2090"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9926815605","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":384,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9926625227,"gmtCreate":1671545486470,"gmtModify":1676538553064,"author":{"id":"4134599301952282","authorId":"4134599301952282","name":"shidawanie","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4134599301952282","authorIdStr":"4134599301952282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Miser]&nbsp;","listText":"[Miser]&nbsp;","text":"[Miser]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9926625227","repostId":"1102260067","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1102260067","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1671536331,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1102260067?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-12-20 19:38","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Sentiment Speaks: The Market Fooled You Twice. Shame On You","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1102260067","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryThis past week, the market feigned a break out.Once the market broke back below 4034SPX, it c","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2>Summary</h2><ul><li>This past week, the market feigned a break out.</li><li>Once the market broke back below 4034SPX, it confirmed our expectation for a pullback to a larger support region.</li><li>Depending upon how the market reacts in the coming week, we may have a buying opportunity with the market pointing back to 4300+.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f7f4d757b432812facc3cab0b430019d\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"720\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Florent Molinier</span></p><p>Yet another week of head scratching was seen in the market this past week. The CPI came in lower than the prior report, and the market rallied strongly through the lower resistance region I outlined last weekend. And, it made most people uber-bullish, believing wewere heading directly to the 4300SPX region.</p><p>Yet, if you recall what I had said in my update last week, I was quite specific that any rally through resistance had to have been a 5-wave structure to tell us we were ready to attack 4300SPX. As I outlined to our members of The Market Pinball Wizard in real time, the rally only took shape as a 3-wave structure. And, as you can see from the attached chart, I maintained an expectation that the rally was a b-wave (corrective rally), with a c-wave decline yet to follow.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76dd954ab2f13ded766765786f6d0ab8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"292\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Elliottwavetrader.net</span></p><p>Within the following 15 minutes after the chart above was posted, I then provided another update to our members, noting that should we break back below 4034SPX, it makes it likely that we are heading down towards the larger degree support region I have been outlining for weeks.</p><p>Moreover, two weeks ago I outlined to our members the potential that we can again test the 4118-4154SPX region (as the futures did before the market opened this past Tuesday), and still drop down to the larger degree support region I was outlining. You see, when a bullish move fails to strike the ideal target zone (which was the 4118-4154SPX region of which we came up short in the prior rally), we often see the b-wave of the ensuing correction come back to strike it. This is exactly what we experienced this past week. And, this is why I made it quite clear that only if the rally through our lower resistance completed 5-waves up would the market tell us that we were going to rally to 4300SPX sooner than I had expected. Yet, 3-waves up is all we got, and that was confirmed by the break down below 4034SPX, as I also explained in real-time to our members.</p><p>Now, I want you to take a moment and think about the main highs and lows we have struck over the last two months. The low struck on October 13 was a spike down and strong reversal which began a two-month rally after the publishing of a CPI report that was lower than expected, which took everyone by surprise when we ended that day hugely positive. Herein the market fooled you once.</p><p>And then we struck a high and reversed strongly on a day when the CPI was lower than expected, which took everyone by surprise when we ended that day with a huge reversal, which kick-started the decline I wanted to see to our support region below. Herein the market fooled you twice. So, as the saying goes, shame on you.</p><p>Week after week, I try to outline to investors and traders that, while the substance of a news event can certainly act as a catalyst for a market move, the substance of that report will not always provide you with the correct directional cue for the eventual move in the market. The highs and lows struck in the last two months are perfect examples of this phenomena - we bottomed on a bearish report and topped on a bullish one. Yet, most will simply ignore what just happened and move on to the next set of data which they believe will move the market. But, if you are being honest with yourself, I think it’s time to consider that maybe what you are doing is not really going to help you going forward.</p><p>As one of my members commented this past week:</p><blockquote><i>&#34;I mean, bottoming on the worst inflation print and topping on the best... takes a lot of mental gymnastic to make that square without EWT&#34;</i></blockquote><p>I do love quoting these two paragraphs from Robert Prechter’s book The Socionomic Theory of Finance (which, in my humble opinion, is a must read for every single investor and trader if you want to understand how the market really works), as it quite succinctly and accurately explains how the masses approach the market so wrongly:</p><blockquote><i>“Observers’ job, as they see it, is simply to identify which external events caused whatever price changes occur. When news seems to coincide sensibly with market movement, they presume a causal relationship. When news doesn’t fit, they attempt to devise a cause-and-effect structure to make it fit. When they cannot even devise a plausible way to twist the news into justifying market action, they chalk up the market moves to “psychology,” which means that, despite a plethora of news and numerous inventive ways to interpret it, their imaginations aren’t prodigious enough to concoct a credible causal story.</i></blockquote><blockquote><i>Most of the time it is easy for observers to believe in news causality. Financial markets fluctuate constantly, and news comes out constantly, and sometimes the two elements coincide well enough to reinforce commentators’ mental bias towards mechanical cause and effect. When news and the market fail to coincide, they shrug and disregard the inconsistency. Those operating under the mechanics paradigm in finance never seem to see or care that these glaring anomalies exist.”</i></blockquote><p>As far as the market is concerned, even when we were near the highs, I outlined in my articles that I was looking for the market to retrace back to the 3723-3867SPX region. Now, many of you are going to again brush aside my view and claim that the only reason we are here is because of what Powell said during the last Fed meeting. Yet, you completely ignore the fact that the market reversed the day before Powell spoke and began the expected decline we outlined to our members. Moreover, you also ignore that the fact that the market was even positive after Mr. Powell spoke and only went negative well after he finished speaking. Therefore, if you continue to maintain your belief, then you must assume that the market is omniscient, clairvoyant or crazy. So, not only were you fooled twice, you are allowing yourself to continue to be fooled. Maybe it’s time to take off the blinders?</p><p>Many of you have commented to me in the past that you simply do not appreciate the manner in which I write my missives, as you feel it comes across as arrogant or too “all-knowing.” Well, to be honest, it really is the only way to get people to consider the truth of what I am trying to teach. Believe it or not, sometimes you have to smack people across the face in order for them to accept reality.</p><p>Since my goal has been and always will be to teach people how to do better in the market, this is the approach I take whether you like it or not. And, based upon the thousands of notes and comments I get from our members over the years about how we have changed their lives, I will continue to do what works. In fact, this was posted to me by one of our approximately 1000 money manager clients this past week:</p><blockquote><i>“You have no idea what your guidance has done to change lives of some who do not even know your name.”</i></blockquote><p>In the meantime, we are now well within the support region I have outlined weeks ago. And, I will be watching the market quite intently over the coming week to see if we develop the bottoming signals that I want to see. For those interested, I have outlined what I am looking for in my weekend update to the members of The Market Pinball Wizard. And, if the market provides us with those cues, then we will have a low-risk buying opportunity over the coming week or two, which we can ride to the 4300+ region in the coming months. And, the reason I say it is a low-risk buying opportunity is because the market also provides us with our stop-out point as well.</p><p>So, in summary, depending on how the market reacts over the coming week within our support region will tell us quite clearly if we are going to set up to rally to 4300+ as we move into 2023. For now, this remains my expectation. But, clearly, I will be listening to the cues offered by the market before I will act on my expectation.</p><p><i>This article is written by Avi Gilburt for reference only. Please note the risks.</i></p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha_fund","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Sentiment Speaks: The Market Fooled You Twice. Shame On You</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSentiment Speaks: The Market Fooled You Twice. Shame On You\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-20 19:38 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4565210-market-fooled-you-twice><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryThis past week, the market feigned a break out.Once the market broke back below 4034SPX, it confirmed our expectation for a pullback to a larger support region.Depending upon how the market ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4565210-market-fooled-you-twice\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4565210-market-fooled-you-twice","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1102260067","content_text":"SummaryThis past week, the market feigned a break out.Once the market broke back below 4034SPX, it confirmed our expectation for a pullback to a larger support region.Depending upon how the market reacts in the coming week, we may have a buying opportunity with the market pointing back to 4300+.Florent MolinierYet another week of head scratching was seen in the market this past week. The CPI came in lower than the prior report, and the market rallied strongly through the lower resistance region I outlined last weekend. And, it made most people uber-bullish, believing wewere heading directly to the 4300SPX region.Yet, if you recall what I had said in my update last week, I was quite specific that any rally through resistance had to have been a 5-wave structure to tell us we were ready to attack 4300SPX. As I outlined to our members of The Market Pinball Wizard in real time, the rally only took shape as a 3-wave structure. And, as you can see from the attached chart, I maintained an expectation that the rally was a b-wave (corrective rally), with a c-wave decline yet to follow.Elliottwavetrader.netWithin the following 15 minutes after the chart above was posted, I then provided another update to our members, noting that should we break back below 4034SPX, it makes it likely that we are heading down towards the larger degree support region I have been outlining for weeks.Moreover, two weeks ago I outlined to our members the potential that we can again test the 4118-4154SPX region (as the futures did before the market opened this past Tuesday), and still drop down to the larger degree support region I was outlining. You see, when a bullish move fails to strike the ideal target zone (which was the 4118-4154SPX region of which we came up short in the prior rally), we often see the b-wave of the ensuing correction come back to strike it. This is exactly what we experienced this past week. And, this is why I made it quite clear that only if the rally through our lower resistance completed 5-waves up would the market tell us that we were going to rally to 4300SPX sooner than I had expected. Yet, 3-waves up is all we got, and that was confirmed by the break down below 4034SPX, as I also explained in real-time to our members.Now, I want you to take a moment and think about the main highs and lows we have struck over the last two months. The low struck on October 13 was a spike down and strong reversal which began a two-month rally after the publishing of a CPI report that was lower than expected, which took everyone by surprise when we ended that day hugely positive. Herein the market fooled you once.And then we struck a high and reversed strongly on a day when the CPI was lower than expected, which took everyone by surprise when we ended that day with a huge reversal, which kick-started the decline I wanted to see to our support region below. Herein the market fooled you twice. So, as the saying goes, shame on you.Week after week, I try to outline to investors and traders that, while the substance of a news event can certainly act as a catalyst for a market move, the substance of that report will not always provide you with the correct directional cue for the eventual move in the market. The highs and lows struck in the last two months are perfect examples of this phenomena - we bottomed on a bearish report and topped on a bullish one. Yet, most will simply ignore what just happened and move on to the next set of data which they believe will move the market. But, if you are being honest with yourself, I think it’s time to consider that maybe what you are doing is not really going to help you going forward.As one of my members commented this past week:\"I mean, bottoming on the worst inflation print and topping on the best... takes a lot of mental gymnastic to make that square without EWT\"I do love quoting these two paragraphs from Robert Prechter’s book The Socionomic Theory of Finance (which, in my humble opinion, is a must read for every single investor and trader if you want to understand how the market really works), as it quite succinctly and accurately explains how the masses approach the market so wrongly:“Observers’ job, as they see it, is simply to identify which external events caused whatever price changes occur. When news seems to coincide sensibly with market movement, they presume a causal relationship. When news doesn’t fit, they attempt to devise a cause-and-effect structure to make it fit. When they cannot even devise a plausible way to twist the news into justifying market action, they chalk up the market moves to “psychology,” which means that, despite a plethora of news and numerous inventive ways to interpret it, their imaginations aren’t prodigious enough to concoct a credible causal story.Most of the time it is easy for observers to believe in news causality. Financial markets fluctuate constantly, and news comes out constantly, and sometimes the two elements coincide well enough to reinforce commentators’ mental bias towards mechanical cause and effect. When news and the market fail to coincide, they shrug and disregard the inconsistency. Those operating under the mechanics paradigm in finance never seem to see or care that these glaring anomalies exist.”As far as the market is concerned, even when we were near the highs, I outlined in my articles that I was looking for the market to retrace back to the 3723-3867SPX region. Now, many of you are going to again brush aside my view and claim that the only reason we are here is because of what Powell said during the last Fed meeting. Yet, you completely ignore the fact that the market reversed the day before Powell spoke and began the expected decline we outlined to our members. Moreover, you also ignore that the fact that the market was even positive after Mr. Powell spoke and only went negative well after he finished speaking. Therefore, if you continue to maintain your belief, then you must assume that the market is omniscient, clairvoyant or crazy. So, not only were you fooled twice, you are allowing yourself to continue to be fooled. Maybe it’s time to take off the blinders?Many of you have commented to me in the past that you simply do not appreciate the manner in which I write my missives, as you feel it comes across as arrogant or too “all-knowing.” Well, to be honest, it really is the only way to get people to consider the truth of what I am trying to teach. Believe it or not, sometimes you have to smack people across the face in order for them to accept reality.Since my goal has been and always will be to teach people how to do better in the market, this is the approach I take whether you like it or not. And, based upon the thousands of notes and comments I get from our members over the years about how we have changed their lives, I will continue to do what works. In fact, this was posted to me by one of our approximately 1000 money manager clients this past week:“You have no idea what your guidance has done to change lives of some who do not even know your name.”In the meantime, we are now well within the support region I have outlined weeks ago. And, I will be watching the market quite intently over the coming week to see if we develop the bottoming signals that I want to see. For those interested, I have outlined what I am looking for in my weekend update to the members of The Market Pinball Wizard. And, if the market provides us with those cues, then we will have a low-risk buying opportunity over the coming week or two, which we can ride to the 4300+ region in the coming months. And, the reason I say it is a low-risk buying opportunity is because the market also provides us with our stop-out point as well.So, in summary, depending on how the market reacts over the coming week within our support region will tell us quite clearly if we are going to set up to rally to 4300+ as we move into 2023. For now, this remains my expectation. But, clearly, I will be listening to the cues offered by the market before I will act on my expectation.This article is written by Avi Gilburt for reference only. Please note the risks.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":436,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9927925318,"gmtCreate":1672375558934,"gmtModify":1676538681420,"author":{"id":"4134599301952282","authorId":"4134599301952282","name":"shidawanie","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4134599301952282","authorIdStr":"4134599301952282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hjhh","listText":"Hjhh","text":"Hjhh","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9927925318","repostId":"2295993916","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":283,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9925533510,"gmtCreate":1672060781430,"gmtModify":1676538628350,"author":{"id":"4134599301952282","authorId":"4134599301952282","name":"shidawanie","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4134599301952282","authorIdStr":"4134599301952282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$ &nbsp;</a>fffhhfas","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$ &nbsp;</a>fffhhfas","text":"$Apple(AAPL)$ fffhhfas","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4ce7e0a80d1c7c1c3979d850b8ffa52c","width":"1080","height":"2090"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9925533510","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":261,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9926494012,"gmtCreate":1671597972937,"gmtModify":1676538562102,"author":{"id":"4134599301952282","authorId":"4134599301952282","name":"shidawanie","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4134599301952282","authorIdStr":"4134599301952282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Miser]&nbsp;","listText":"[Miser]&nbsp;","text":"[Miser]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9926494012","repostId":"2292337681","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":302,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9926815605,"gmtCreate":1671507754307,"gmtModify":1676538547944,"author":{"id":"4134599301952282","authorId":"4134599301952282","name":"shidawanie","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4134599301952282","authorIdStr":"4134599301952282"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$ &nbsp;</a>good","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$ &nbsp;</a>good","text":"$Apple(AAPL)$ good","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/95137ad333962c36e477e85cf11c973d","width":"1080","height":"2090"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9926815605","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":384,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}