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nir001

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01-14

A bullish outlook on the S&P 500 can be driven by factors such as resilient economic growth, strong corporate earnings, easing inflation, and favorable Federal Reserve policies like stable or falling interest rates. Additionally, sector leadership in technology and energy, global demand, and historical trends of recovery after corrections support a positive trajectory for the index.

01-04

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$

2024-12-03

Daily winning 😀😀

2024-11-02

$Intel(INTC)$ 🤔🤔

2024-11-02

$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ ❔️⁉️

2024-10-25

$Amazon.com(AMZN)$

2024-10-25

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$

2024-10-24

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$

2024-10-22

$Amazon.com(AMZN)$

2024-10-22

$iShares Bitcoin Trust(IBIT)$

2024-10-22

$Amazon.com(AMZN)$

2024-10-22

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$

2024-10-22

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$

2024-10-21

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$

2024-09-21

Time to buy BTC with rate cut??

@Patmos:Time to buy Bitcoins Rates in the US are going lower money is getting cheaper, Buy & don't look back

2024-09-17

😍

Tesla Set For A Breakout After A Flat Year

2024-09-05

🤑

@Samlunch:$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$

$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ I’d argue $TSLA and $PLTR are the two companies best positioned to see significant revenue gain from AI. Tesla is working on the real world physical application of AI in robotics and self driving. Palantir is one of the only legitimate software AI companies making substantial AI centric revenuetoday. When you think about what companies will actually see a material bottom line impact from AI outside of chips, these two are the two at the top of my list.

2024-07-17

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$

2023-11-29

Good point abt TSLA

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2023-03-01

Great ariticle, would you like to share it?

@koolgal:🌟🌟🌟My Favourite Singapore Consumer Defensive Stock🌟🌟🌟

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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Motors(TSLA)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/362392966623440","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":101,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":351512077197544,"gmtCreate":1726856954676,"gmtModify":1726856958375,"author":{"id":"4140649950918012","authorId":"4140649950918012","name":"nir001","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4140649950918012","authorIdStr":"4140649950918012"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Time to buy BTC with rate cut??","listText":"Time to buy BTC with rate cut??","text":"Time to buy BTC with rate cut??","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/351512077197544","repostId":"351466165895464","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":351466165895464,"gmtCreate":1726849971445,"gmtModify":1726851044205,"author":{"id":"4107097862867960","authorId":"4107097862867960","name":"Patmos","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d0b2e09fdb3dc618e98d3ac304599118","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4107097862867960","authorIdStr":"4107097862867960"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Time to buy Bitcoins Rates in the US are going lower money is getting cheaper, Buy &amp; don't look back&nbsp;","listText":"Time to buy Bitcoins Rates in the US are going lower money is getting cheaper, Buy &amp; don't look back&nbsp;","text":"Time to buy Bitcoins Rates in the US are going lower money is getting cheaper, Buy & don't look back","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/351466165895464","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":91,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":350400529190976,"gmtCreate":1726574912815,"gmtModify":1726574915623,"author":{"id":"4140649950918012","authorId":"4140649950918012","name":"nir001","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4140649950918012","authorIdStr":"4140649950918012"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"😍","listText":"😍","text":"😍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/350400529190976","repostId":"2468847168","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2468847168","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1726536903,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2468847168?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2024-09-17 09:35","market":"sg","language":"en","title":"Tesla Set For A Breakout After A Flat Year","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2468847168","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Tesla's price target sits at $316, aligning with the 1.618 Fibonacci retracement level, signaling potential upside momentum.The energy storage business grew 100% YoY in Q2 2024, with projections to ex","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul style=\"\"><li><p>Tesla&#39;s price target sits at $316, aligning with the 1.618 Fibonacci retracement level, signaling potential upside momentum.</p></li><li><p>The energy storage business grew 100% YoY in Q2 2024, with projections to exceed $13 billion in revenue by 2025.</p></li><li><p>Autonomous driving market is set to grow to $2.8 trillion by 2033, with Tesla&#39;s FSD leading the charge.</p></li><li><p>Tesla&#39;s revenue grew at a 31.56% CAGR over three years, showcasing substantial expansion into new, high-growth industries.</p></li><li><p>Growing EV competition from Chinese and domestic manufacturers is intensifying, challenging Tesla’s market share and pricing power globally.</p></li></ul><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d81f82cb135227750bebbe417d974833\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"422\"/></p><p>piranka</p><p></p><h2 id=\"id_2568654027\">Investment Thesis</h2><p>Tesla&#39;s (NASDAQ:TSLA) (NEOE:TSLA:CA) outlook remains bullish due to its fundamental solid growth across all its business segments; in Q2 of 2024, Energy Storage revenues enhanced 100% YoY, recording a new high of 9.4 GWh deployed and setting the firm well on track to more than $13 billion revenue generation through 2025.</p><p>Tesla also constructs a capital-efficient business into autonomous driving and robotics at the bottom of the S-curve, underpinned by early leadership in full self-driving technology that should disrupt many industries.</p><p>Following our strong buy rating in June with a $200 price target, Tesla reached and surpassed the target, delivering a 23% return. Updated technicals demonstrate continued bullish momentum.</p><h2 id=\"id_558082997\">Tesla&#39;s Bullish Breakout: Fibonacci Levels Signal $316+ Upside</h2><p>TSLA&#39;s current price is $230, with an average price target of $316, which aligns with the 1.618 Fibonacci retracement level. This signals a potential bullish trend continuation. The optimistic price target of $368 corresponds to the 2.118 Fibonacci extension, suggesting that Tesla could experience a substantial upside if the market momentum remains strong. Conversely, the pessimistic target of $200 stands at the 0.5 Fibonacci level, which reflects a downside risk based on potential corrections or broader market downturns.</p><p>Moreover, the RSI is currently at 58.46, which indicates that Tesla is moving towards the overbought territory. The upward trend in the RSI line (after taking support near 50) suggests renewed buying interest, which means the current price action may move towards the upside for the short- to mid-term.</p><p>Further, the VPT line points to a recovery of bullish volume momentum after short-term weakness. The line stands at 4.49 billion, and the moving average of 4.42 billion supports the likelihood of a sustained price increase if the trend holds.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d94abd3edc42bdc274a5734d8ae8e0a2\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"700\"/></p><p>Yiazou (TrendSpider)</p><p></p><p>Tesla&#39;s seasonality over the past 14 years shows mixed performance. September has a low <strong>40% probability of positive returns</strong>, urging caution for investors this month. June stands out as the strongest, with a 79% chance of gains, followed by November at 71%, reflecting strong mid-year and late-year trends. Weaker months include October (36%) and August (43%), indicating more volatility or bearish tendencies. While September&#39;s outlook is cautious, TSLA tends to perform better during mid-year and late-year periods, offering stronger historical opportunities for potential gains.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4ffadaed30ce12313416d240315a1c01\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"700\"/></p><p>Yiazou (TrendSpider)</p><p></p><h2 id=\"id_1973954971\">Beyond EV, A Lead in Autonomous Driving, Robotics, and Energy Storage Market</h2><p>Tesla&#39;s market opportunity is transforming into a solid lead in autonomous driving, robotics, and energy storage. Deutsche Bank marked Tesla as a &#34;technology platform&#34; with the potential to disrupt industries. This vision is anchored in Tesla&#39;s focus on robotaxis and humanoid robots. The company aims to go beyond car manufacturing, expanding into new sectors.</p><p>The autonomous driving market is predicted to soar in developed markets. Based on an annual growth of 33%, it may exceed $2.8 trillion by 2033. Tesla&#39;s early lead comes from its advanced AI and vast driving data. Its FSD software is central to this push. As FSD&#39;s price drops and its capabilities grow, mass adoption becomes likely. This shift could cement Tesla&#39;s top-line growth and street sentiment about its dominance in autonomous technology.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9fe0b10d2b6657997085be1ef3beb465\" tg-width=\"777\" tg-height=\"557\"/></p><p>Goldman Sachs</p><p></p><p>Tesla&#39;s humanoid robot, Optimus, is in early development and performs well in repetitive or hazardous tasks. The global robotics market could surpass $375 billion by 2035. The number of US humanoid robots may hit 63 million by 2050, with a $3 trillion market shift. Tesla&#39;s expertise in AI and robotics may help the company capture a significant market share. The ongoing development of its technologies will likely derive top-line growth in a whole new segment.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/2e6a868413923ae06edd9f9f79af3029\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"617\"/></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RDDT\">Reddit</a></p><p></p><p>Similarly, Tesla&#39;s energy storage business is also bringing in substantial revenue expansion (100% YoY in Q2 2024) that could generate over $13 billion in sales by 2025. Investments in battery storage in 2024 are booming and surpass $50 billion. In Q2 2024, Tesla deployed 9.4 GWh in energy storage (more than 40GWh in 2024), setting a new record. The rising demand for energy storage stems from the shift to renewable energy. Tesla&#39;s products like the Megapack and Powerwall are key to this strategy.</p><p>Fundamentally, Energy storage is a high-margin business for Tesla that complements its EVs and strengthens its brand. As solar and wind energy become popular, reliable storage becomes more crucial. Tesla has a significant opportunity to tap into this demand, as the energy storage market had 3X YoY growth in 2023. This may create room for Tesla&#39;s top-line growth, and its focus on cost reduction and technology improvements will support its expansion.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/37b6f860736b57afa3c2e5ab35ad4f3b\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"733\"/></p><p>BloombergNEF</p><p></p><p>In addition to these opportunities, Tesla&#39;s automotive business may boom by introducing new models. It is preparing to ramp up Cybertruck production and lower-cost models by 2025. Short-term margin softness has occurred due to higher costs, restructuring, and AI investments, but these challenges are temporary. Tesla&#39;s margins may improve as it achieves cost efficiencies with innovations like the 4680 battery cell production and robotaxi initiative. Tesla&#39;s FSD software is one of the most advanced systems today, and it targets the first to hit a fully autonomous robotaxi fleet (the first mover advantage against Waymo) as the robotaxi market could surpass $10 trillion by 2030.</p><p>Beyond all this, Tesla&#39;s upcoming Q3 earnings and robotaxi event (in October 2024) are vital as the street looks for signs of recovery from its recent margin pressures. The consensus estimate for Tesla&#39;s normalized EPS is $0.63 (-5.02% YoY). The revenue estimate for Q3 2024 stands at $25.66 billion, representing a YoY growth of 9.88%.</p><p>While this is solid growth, it&#39;s slower than Tesla&#39;s history, reflecting the hit the company is taking from pricing pressures and increasing competition in the EV market. For Q4 2024, though, Tesla revenues are forecasted to grow 7.53% to $27.06 billion, promising a rebound in performance from new and refreshed models now hitting the road.</p><h2 id=\"id_600666350\">Tesla&#39;s Explosive Growth: High Volatility, Massive Potential</h2><p>Tesla&#39;s revenue growth has a 31.56% CAGR over the last 3 years. Over the past decade, the top-line CAGR was even higher at 44.29%, highlighting the company&#39;s ability to expand rapidly. However, recent revenue growth slowed to 1.37% YoY due to external pressures. These include supply chain disruptions, inflation, and increased EV competition. At the bottom line, operating income growth has been strong, with a five-year CAGR of 84.75%. Yet, in the last year, EBIT declined by 43.03% due to spending on AI, robotics, and growth initiatives. This temporary setback should reverse as these investments yield results.</p><p>Moreover, Tesla&#39;s EPS growth has followed a similar path. The company&#39;s EPS has expanded 77.89% over the last three years but reported a decline to 1.06% YoY in the trailing twelve months. The company targets long-term growth rather than short-term profits, and the boom in its EPS growth could happen when its energy storage and autonomous driving sectors start to grow. This may lead to high stock valuations and massive price changes in upcoming quarters.</p><p>Finally, Tesla&#39;s stock has a 24-month beta of 1.95, indicating it is more volatile than the market. For example, competitors like Toyota (TM), BYD (OTCPK:BYDDF), and Ferrari (RACE) have far lower betas. Tesla&#39;s high volatility owes to its high-growth expectations, but this risk is partly compensated for by Tesla&#39;s strong financial position and capacity utilization. Tesla stands at an Altman Z-Score of 10.76, a low risk of financial distress that places it in another league, relatively speaking, with other car manufacturers. By comparison, Toyota has a Z-score of only 1.67 and a BYD of 1.72, which is substantially lower.</p><h2 id=\"id_3070444994\">Downsides: Weak Earnings and Revenue Projections, Challenges Ahead, And High Valuations</h2><p>The divergence in EPS growth estimates between Q3-Q4 2024 and Q1-Q2 2025 indicates that while Tesla faced short-term headwinds, its financial performance may improve towards the end of the year. For Q4 2024, the EPS estimate rises to $0.68, reflecting only a modest YoY decline of 4.3%. There are uncertainties in Tesla&#39;s near-term outlook, particularly regarding vehicle pricing and cost inflation. Hence, these factors may affect consumer purchasing power, particularly for high-priced EVs.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/18a6dbf7dd3f31e6a344995b6ee9cf42\" tg-width=\"835\" tg-height=\"400\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p></p><p>Furthermore, Chinese and domestic EV manufacturers introduce more competitive models as competition increases in the EV market. In addition, dependency for sales on Model 3/Y and the very slow rollout of new models such as Cybertruck and the Semi further reduces the ability to exploit the EV market. This is reflected by modest Q3 and Q4 revenue growth projections.</p><p>Tesla delivered 444K vehicles in Q2 2024, slightly below expectations, impacting the stock price. Analysts project 469K deliveries (Canaccord reduced the estimate) in Q3 2024, so its market value growth is directly tied to new models and production scaling. Thus, any continued issues in deliveries may hit the stock harder.</p><p>In terms of valuation, Tesla&#39;s P/E ratio marks a weakness in its long-term growth potential. The forward P/E ratio is 96.92, massively higher than the sector median of 15.79, representing a 514% premium. Tesla&#39;s short-term leads in the EV market justify some premium, but not to this level. Critically, the company&#39;s P/E ratio is just 15% undervalued from its five-year average of 114.1, which limits potential upside against dropping earnings in upcoming quarters.</p><p>Similarly, Tesla&#39;s price/earnings-to-growth (PEG) ratio of 8.93 is massively higher than the sector median of 1.39, reflecting the high street expectations of Tesla&#39;s bottom-line growth due to high progress in areas such as energy storage, autonomous driving, and robotics. In short, while the company&#39;s valuations may seem stretched compared to traditional automakers, they are justified as Tesla can consistently disrupt industries and generate significant growth across multiple business segments.</p><p>Finally, at the macro level, US elections and street worries about a potential full-scale war between NATO and Russia may lead to market-wide corrections. The market may perceive the war as highly probable, based on Western support for Ukraine&#39;s use of long-range missiles (after the Kursk Oblast incursion) and the dollar&#39;s de-stability (massive net interest outlays on federal debt surpassing WWII levels).</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9bc62da12d75a09be59607249bd9443b\" tg-width=\"780\" tg-height=\"684\"/></p><p>Congressional Budget Office</p><p></p><h2 id=\"id_651616612\">Takeaway</h2><p>Tesla&#39;s strong fundamentals paint a bullish outlook for the company. The energy storage business scaled 100% YoY in Q2 of 2024, and forecasts show it will reach over $13 billion in revenue by 2025. Leading in autonomous driving and robotics, aside from the developing sectors of FSD and humanoid robots, positions Tesla for tremendous expansion in the future.</p><p>Despite temporary setbacks from investment in AI and growth initiatives, Tesla&#39;s strong revenue history and expansion across diverse industries indicate long-term value and strong growth potential across its business segments.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Set For A Breakout After A Flat Year</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Set For A Breakout After A Flat Year\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-09-17 09:35 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4721268-tesla-stock-set-breakout-after-flat-year><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Tesla's price target sits at $316, aligning with the 1.618 Fibonacci retracement level, signaling potential upside momentum.The energy storage business grew 100% YoY in Q2 2024, with projections to ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4721268-tesla-stock-set-breakout-after-flat-year\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LU0820561909.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AM\" (HKD) INC","LU1914381329.SGD":"Allianz Best Styles Global Equity Cl ET Acc H2-SGD","IE00BSNM7G36.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN SYSTEMATIC GLOBAL SUSTAINABLE VALUE \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4592":"伊斯兰概念","LU0820562030.AUD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMH2\" (AUDHDG) H2 INC","SG9999015945.SGD":"LionGlobal Disruptive Innovation Fund A SGD","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","IE00BMG7P926.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - Global Infrastructure Income A Acc USD","SG9999015986.USD":"LIONGLOBAL DISRUPTIVE INNOVATION \"I\" (USD) ACC","LU1145028129.USD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AQ\" (USD) INC","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","SG9999015978.USD":"利安颠覆性创新基金A","LU0689472784.USD":"安联收益及增长基金Cl AM AT Acc","LU2023250330.USD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMG\" (USD) INC","LU2087621335.USD":"ALLSPRING GLOBAL FACTOR ENHANCED EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU2326559502.SGD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity P/A SGD-H","LU1720051017.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence AT Acc H2-SGD","LU0316494557.USD":"FRANKLIN GLOBAL FUNDAMENTAL STRATEGIES \"A\" ACC","IE00BMG7P694.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - Global Infrastructure Income A Mdis USD Plus","LU1861215975.USD":"贝莱德新一代科技基金 A2","LU0820561818.USD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金Cl AM DIS","LU1861220033.SGD":"Blackrock Next Generation Technology A2 SGD-H","LU1861558580.USD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B","BK4588":"碎股","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","LU2602419157.SGD":"HSBC ISLAMIC GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX \"AC\" (SGD) ACC","LU1551013425.SGD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS H2-SGD","BK4574":"无人驾驶","LU1629891620.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMG2\" (H2-HKD) INC","IE00BD4GTV84.USD":"LEGG MASON CLEARBRIDGEINFRASTRUCTURE VALUE \"A\" (USDHDG) ACC","LU0943347566.SGD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金AM H2-SGD","IE00BMG7P587.USD":"LEGG MASON CLEARBRIDGE GLOBAL INFRASTRUCTURE INCOM \"A\" (USD) INC","LU2357305700.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence ET H2-SGD","LU0234570918.USD":"高盛全球核心股票组合Acc Close","LU0053666078.USD":"摩根大通基金-美国股票A（离岸）美元","LU1435385759.SGD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity RA SGD-H","BK4099":"汽车制造商","LU2213496289.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AT\" (HKD) ACC","LU0082616367.USD":"摩根大通美国科技A（dist）","LU0964807845.USD":"ALLIANZ INCOME & GROWTH \"A\" (USD) INC","TSLA":"特斯拉","LU0719512351.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - US Technology A (acc) SGD","BK6522":"化石燃料股"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4721268-tesla-stock-set-breakout-after-flat-year","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2468847168","content_text":"Tesla's price target sits at $316, aligning with the 1.618 Fibonacci retracement level, signaling potential upside momentum.The energy storage business grew 100% YoY in Q2 2024, with projections to exceed $13 billion in revenue by 2025.Autonomous driving market is set to grow to $2.8 trillion by 2033, with Tesla's FSD leading the charge.Tesla's revenue grew at a 31.56% CAGR over three years, showcasing substantial expansion into new, high-growth industries.Growing EV competition from Chinese and domestic manufacturers is intensifying, challenging Tesla’s market share and pricing power globally.pirankaInvestment ThesisTesla's (NASDAQ:TSLA) (NEOE:TSLA:CA) outlook remains bullish due to its fundamental solid growth across all its business segments; in Q2 of 2024, Energy Storage revenues enhanced 100% YoY, recording a new high of 9.4 GWh deployed and setting the firm well on track to more than $13 billion revenue generation through 2025.Tesla also constructs a capital-efficient business into autonomous driving and robotics at the bottom of the S-curve, underpinned by early leadership in full self-driving technology that should disrupt many industries.Following our strong buy rating in June with a $200 price target, Tesla reached and surpassed the target, delivering a 23% return. Updated technicals demonstrate continued bullish momentum.Tesla's Bullish Breakout: Fibonacci Levels Signal $316+ UpsideTSLA's current price is $230, with an average price target of $316, which aligns with the 1.618 Fibonacci retracement level. This signals a potential bullish trend continuation. The optimistic price target of $368 corresponds to the 2.118 Fibonacci extension, suggesting that Tesla could experience a substantial upside if the market momentum remains strong. Conversely, the pessimistic target of $200 stands at the 0.5 Fibonacci level, which reflects a downside risk based on potential corrections or broader market downturns.Moreover, the RSI is currently at 58.46, which indicates that Tesla is moving towards the overbought territory. The upward trend in the RSI line (after taking support near 50) suggests renewed buying interest, which means the current price action may move towards the upside for the short- to mid-term.Further, the VPT line points to a recovery of bullish volume momentum after short-term weakness. The line stands at 4.49 billion, and the moving average of 4.42 billion supports the likelihood of a sustained price increase if the trend holds.Yiazou (TrendSpider)Tesla's seasonality over the past 14 years shows mixed performance. September has a low 40% probability of positive returns, urging caution for investors this month. June stands out as the strongest, with a 79% chance of gains, followed by November at 71%, reflecting strong mid-year and late-year trends. Weaker months include October (36%) and August (43%), indicating more volatility or bearish tendencies. While September's outlook is cautious, TSLA tends to perform better during mid-year and late-year periods, offering stronger historical opportunities for potential gains.Yiazou (TrendSpider)Beyond EV, A Lead in Autonomous Driving, Robotics, and Energy Storage MarketTesla's market opportunity is transforming into a solid lead in autonomous driving, robotics, and energy storage. Deutsche Bank marked Tesla as a \"technology platform\" with the potential to disrupt industries. This vision is anchored in Tesla's focus on robotaxis and humanoid robots. The company aims to go beyond car manufacturing, expanding into new sectors.The autonomous driving market is predicted to soar in developed markets. Based on an annual growth of 33%, it may exceed $2.8 trillion by 2033. Tesla's early lead comes from its advanced AI and vast driving data. Its FSD software is central to this push. As FSD's price drops and its capabilities grow, mass adoption becomes likely. This shift could cement Tesla's top-line growth and street sentiment about its dominance in autonomous technology.Goldman SachsTesla's humanoid robot, Optimus, is in early development and performs well in repetitive or hazardous tasks. The global robotics market could surpass $375 billion by 2035. The number of US humanoid robots may hit 63 million by 2050, with a $3 trillion market shift. Tesla's expertise in AI and robotics may help the company capture a significant market share. The ongoing development of its technologies will likely derive top-line growth in a whole new segment.RedditSimilarly, Tesla's energy storage business is also bringing in substantial revenue expansion (100% YoY in Q2 2024) that could generate over $13 billion in sales by 2025. Investments in battery storage in 2024 are booming and surpass $50 billion. In Q2 2024, Tesla deployed 9.4 GWh in energy storage (more than 40GWh in 2024), setting a new record. The rising demand for energy storage stems from the shift to renewable energy. Tesla's products like the Megapack and Powerwall are key to this strategy.Fundamentally, Energy storage is a high-margin business for Tesla that complements its EVs and strengthens its brand. As solar and wind energy become popular, reliable storage becomes more crucial. Tesla has a significant opportunity to tap into this demand, as the energy storage market had 3X YoY growth in 2023. This may create room for Tesla's top-line growth, and its focus on cost reduction and technology improvements will support its expansion.BloombergNEFIn addition to these opportunities, Tesla's automotive business may boom by introducing new models. It is preparing to ramp up Cybertruck production and lower-cost models by 2025. Short-term margin softness has occurred due to higher costs, restructuring, and AI investments, but these challenges are temporary. Tesla's margins may improve as it achieves cost efficiencies with innovations like the 4680 battery cell production and robotaxi initiative. Tesla's FSD software is one of the most advanced systems today, and it targets the first to hit a fully autonomous robotaxi fleet (the first mover advantage against Waymo) as the robotaxi market could surpass $10 trillion by 2030.Beyond all this, Tesla's upcoming Q3 earnings and robotaxi event (in October 2024) are vital as the street looks for signs of recovery from its recent margin pressures. The consensus estimate for Tesla's normalized EPS is $0.63 (-5.02% YoY). The revenue estimate for Q3 2024 stands at $25.66 billion, representing a YoY growth of 9.88%.While this is solid growth, it's slower than Tesla's history, reflecting the hit the company is taking from pricing pressures and increasing competition in the EV market. For Q4 2024, though, Tesla revenues are forecasted to grow 7.53% to $27.06 billion, promising a rebound in performance from new and refreshed models now hitting the road.Tesla's Explosive Growth: High Volatility, Massive PotentialTesla's revenue growth has a 31.56% CAGR over the last 3 years. Over the past decade, the top-line CAGR was even higher at 44.29%, highlighting the company's ability to expand rapidly. However, recent revenue growth slowed to 1.37% YoY due to external pressures. These include supply chain disruptions, inflation, and increased EV competition. At the bottom line, operating income growth has been strong, with a five-year CAGR of 84.75%. Yet, in the last year, EBIT declined by 43.03% due to spending on AI, robotics, and growth initiatives. This temporary setback should reverse as these investments yield results.Moreover, Tesla's EPS growth has followed a similar path. The company's EPS has expanded 77.89% over the last three years but reported a decline to 1.06% YoY in the trailing twelve months. The company targets long-term growth rather than short-term profits, and the boom in its EPS growth could happen when its energy storage and autonomous driving sectors start to grow. This may lead to high stock valuations and massive price changes in upcoming quarters.Finally, Tesla's stock has a 24-month beta of 1.95, indicating it is more volatile than the market. For example, competitors like Toyota (TM), BYD (OTCPK:BYDDF), and Ferrari (RACE) have far lower betas. Tesla's high volatility owes to its high-growth expectations, but this risk is partly compensated for by Tesla's strong financial position and capacity utilization. Tesla stands at an Altman Z-Score of 10.76, a low risk of financial distress that places it in another league, relatively speaking, with other car manufacturers. By comparison, Toyota has a Z-score of only 1.67 and a BYD of 1.72, which is substantially lower.Downsides: Weak Earnings and Revenue Projections, Challenges Ahead, And High ValuationsThe divergence in EPS growth estimates between Q3-Q4 2024 and Q1-Q2 2025 indicates that while Tesla faced short-term headwinds, its financial performance may improve towards the end of the year. For Q4 2024, the EPS estimate rises to $0.68, reflecting only a modest YoY decline of 4.3%. There are uncertainties in Tesla's near-term outlook, particularly regarding vehicle pricing and cost inflation. Hence, these factors may affect consumer purchasing power, particularly for high-priced EVs.Seeking AlphaFurthermore, Chinese and domestic EV manufacturers introduce more competitive models as competition increases in the EV market. In addition, dependency for sales on Model 3/Y and the very slow rollout of new models such as Cybertruck and the Semi further reduces the ability to exploit the EV market. This is reflected by modest Q3 and Q4 revenue growth projections.Tesla delivered 444K vehicles in Q2 2024, slightly below expectations, impacting the stock price. Analysts project 469K deliveries (Canaccord reduced the estimate) in Q3 2024, so its market value growth is directly tied to new models and production scaling. Thus, any continued issues in deliveries may hit the stock harder.In terms of valuation, Tesla's P/E ratio marks a weakness in its long-term growth potential. The forward P/E ratio is 96.92, massively higher than the sector median of 15.79, representing a 514% premium. Tesla's short-term leads in the EV market justify some premium, but not to this level. Critically, the company's P/E ratio is just 15% undervalued from its five-year average of 114.1, which limits potential upside against dropping earnings in upcoming quarters.Similarly, Tesla's price/earnings-to-growth (PEG) ratio of 8.93 is massively higher than the sector median of 1.39, reflecting the high street expectations of Tesla's bottom-line growth due to high progress in areas such as energy storage, autonomous driving, and robotics. In short, while the company's valuations may seem stretched compared to traditional automakers, they are justified as Tesla can consistently disrupt industries and generate significant growth across multiple business segments.Finally, at the macro level, US elections and street worries about a potential full-scale war between NATO and Russia may lead to market-wide corrections. The market may perceive the war as highly probable, based on Western support for Ukraine's use of long-range missiles (after the Kursk Oblast incursion) and the dollar's de-stability (massive net interest outlays on federal debt surpassing WWII levels).Congressional Budget OfficeTakeawayTesla's strong fundamentals paint a bullish outlook for the company. The energy storage business scaled 100% YoY in Q2 of 2024, and forecasts show it will reach over $13 billion in revenue by 2025. Leading in autonomous driving and robotics, aside from the developing sectors of FSD and humanoid robots, positions Tesla for tremendous expansion in the future.Despite temporary setbacks from investment in AI and growth initiatives, Tesla's strong revenue history and expansion across diverse industries indicate long-term value and strong growth potential across its business segments.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":69,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":346149305229528,"gmtCreate":1725546289413,"gmtModify":1725546292181,"author":{"id":"4140649950918012","authorId":"4140649950918012","name":"nir001","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4140649950918012","authorIdStr":"4140649950918012"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"🤑","listText":"🤑","text":"🤑","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/346149305229528","repostId":"345960683065416","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":345960683065416,"gmtCreate":1725505400291,"gmtModify":1725506235478,"author":{"id":"3555293442593045","authorId":"3555293442593045","name":"Samlunch","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17478579b111537e74aea4d338e8aef5","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3555293442593045","authorIdStr":"3555293442593045"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>&nbsp;<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>&nbsp; I’d argue $TSLA and $PLTR are the two companies best positioned to see significant revenue gain from AI. Tesla is working on the real world physical application of AI in robotics and self driving. Palantir is one of the only legitimate software AI companies making substantial AI centric revenuetoday. When you think about what companies will actually see a material bottom line impact from AI outside of chips, these two are the two at the top of my list.","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>&nbsp;<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>&nbsp; I’d argue $TSLA and $PLTR are the two companies best positioned to see significant revenue gain from AI. Tesla is working on the real world physical application of AI in robotics and self driving. Palantir is one of the only legitimate software AI companies making substantial AI centric revenuetoday. When you think about what companies will actually see a material bottom line impact from AI outside of chips, these two are the two at the top of my list.","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ I’d argue $TSLA and $PLTR are the two companies best positioned to see significant revenue gain from AI. Tesla is working on the real world physical application of AI in robotics and self driving. Palantir is one of the only legitimate software AI companies making substantial AI centric revenuetoday. When you think about what companies will actually see a material bottom line impact from AI outside of chips, these two are the two at the top of my list.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/345960683065416","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":128,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":328466328481968,"gmtCreate":1721230791642,"gmtModify":1721230821325,"author":{"id":"4140649950918012","authorId":"4140649950918012","name":"nir001","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4140649950918012","authorIdStr":"4140649950918012"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>&nbsp;","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/328466328481968","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":192,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":246652913508648,"gmtCreate":1701239303677,"gmtModify":1701239335210,"author":{"id":"4140649950918012","authorId":"4140649950918012","name":"nir001","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4140649950918012","authorIdStr":"4140649950918012"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good point abt TSLA","listText":"Good point abt TSLA","text":"Good point abt TSLA","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/246652913508648","repostId":"2387254461","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":259,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9940073561,"gmtCreate":1677629566954,"gmtModify":1677633536955,"author":{"id":"4140649950918012","authorId":"4140649950918012","name":"nir001","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4140649950918012","authorIdStr":"4140649950918012"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9940073561","repostId":"9957161300","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9957161300,"gmtCreate":1677107764901,"gmtModify":1677107772687,"author":{"id":"3559581955535845","authorId":"3559581955535845","name":"koolgal","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c05274d88ffc0434623e57350c52c70a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3559581955535845","authorIdStr":"3559581955535845"},"themes":[],"title":"🌟🌟🌟My Favourite Singapore Consumer Defensive Stock🌟🌟🌟","htmlText":"🌈🌈🌈My&nbsp; Favourite Singapore Consumer Defensive Stock is&nbsp;<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/OV8.SI\">$SHENG SIONG GROUP LTD(OV8.SI)$ &nbsp;</a>&nbsp;With high inflation here, Sheng Siong&nbsp;&nbsp;will be resilient and impervious to economic cycles. Sheng Siong is the 3rd largest supermarket chain in Singapore with more than 65 locations and 4&nbsp;supermarkets in China with the 5th opening in 2nd quarter&nbsp;2023.&nbsp; &nbsp;Sheng Siong represents value for money to many Singaporeans especially the housewives.&nbsp; Sheng Siong's gross profit margin was 29.4% for 3Q FY 2022 compared to 29% in&nbsp; 3Q FY 2021.&nbsp; Its revenue declined by 4.2% year on year to SGD 333.5 million due to the Covid 19 measures in place&nbsp;and the closure of Jurong Fishery Port for 2 weeks in July 20","listText":"🌈🌈🌈My&nbsp; Favourite Singapore Consumer Defensive Stock is&nbsp;<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/OV8.SI\">$SHENG SIONG GROUP LTD(OV8.SI)$ &nbsp;</a>&nbsp;With high inflation here, Sheng Siong&nbsp;&nbsp;will be resilient and impervious to economic cycles. Sheng Siong is the 3rd largest supermarket chain in Singapore with more than 65 locations and 4&nbsp;supermarkets in China with the 5th opening in 2nd quarter&nbsp;2023.&nbsp; &nbsp;Sheng Siong represents value for money to many Singaporeans especially the housewives.&nbsp; Sheng Siong's gross profit margin was 29.4% for 3Q FY 2022 compared to 29% in&nbsp; 3Q FY 2021.&nbsp; Its revenue declined by 4.2% year on year to SGD 333.5 million due to the Covid 19 measures in place&nbsp;and the closure of Jurong Fishery Port for 2 weeks in July 20","text":"🌈🌈🌈My Favourite Singapore Consumer Defensive Stock is $SHENG SIONG GROUP LTD(OV8.SI)$ With high inflation here, Sheng Siong will be resilient and impervious to economic cycles. Sheng Siong is the 3rd largest supermarket chain in Singapore with more than 65 locations and 4 supermarkets in China with the 5th opening in 2nd quarter 2023. Sheng Siong represents value for money to many Singaporeans especially the housewives. Sheng Siong's gross profit margin was 29.4% for 3Q FY 2022 compared to 29% in 3Q FY 2021. Its revenue declined by 4.2% year on year to SGD 333.5 million due to the Covid 19 measures in place and the closure of Jurong Fishery Port for 2 weeks in July 20","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/2c419a8cdb4d4f8ec276838780f320ab","width":"1080","height":"2340"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9957161300","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":185,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":366333329785160,"gmtCreate":1730480598006,"gmtModify":1730480601284,"author":{"id":"4140649950918012","authorId":"4140649950918012","name":"nir001","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4140649950918012","authorIdStr":"4140649950918012"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$&nbsp;</a> ❔️⁉️","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$&nbsp;</a> ❔️⁉️","text":"$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ ❔️⁉️","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/366333329785160","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":273,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":377353234321720,"gmtCreate":1733155590067,"gmtModify":1733155596507,"author":{"id":"4140649950918012","authorId":"4140649950918012","name":"nir001","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4140649950918012","authorIdStr":"4140649950918012"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Daily winning 😀😀","listText":"Daily winning 😀😀","text":"Daily winning 😀😀","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/973008711fe251f12038cbc46c9eff03","width":"882","height":"1668"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/377353234321720","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":120,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":366478315880648,"gmtCreate":1730480659080,"gmtModify":1730480662002,"author":{"id":"4140649950918012","authorId":"4140649950918012","name":"nir001","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4140649950918012","authorIdStr":"4140649950918012"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/INTC\">$Intel(INTC)$&nbsp;</a> 🤔🤔","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/INTC\">$Intel(INTC)$&nbsp;</a> 🤔🤔","text":"$Intel(INTC)$ 🤔🤔","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/366478315880648","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":224,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":328466328481968,"gmtCreate":1721230791642,"gmtModify":1721230821325,"author":{"id":"4140649950918012","authorId":"4140649950918012","name":"nir001","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4140649950918012","authorIdStr":"4140649950918012"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>&nbsp;","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/328466328481968","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":192,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":392513128587576,"gmtCreate":1736870068830,"gmtModify":1736931273913,"author":{"id":"4140649950918012","authorId":"4140649950918012","name":"nir001","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4140649950918012","authorIdStr":"4140649950918012"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"A bullish outlook on the S&amp;P 500 can be driven by factors such as resilient economic growth, strong corporate earnings, easing inflation, and favorable Federal Reserve policies like stable or falling interest rates. Additionally, sector leadership in technology and energy, global demand, and historical trends of recovery after corrections support a positive trajectory for the index.&nbsp;","listText":"A bullish outlook on the S&amp;P 500 can be driven by factors such as resilient economic growth, strong corporate earnings, easing inflation, and favorable Federal Reserve policies like stable or falling interest rates. Additionally, sector leadership in technology and energy, global demand, and historical trends of recovery after corrections support a positive trajectory for the index.&nbsp;","text":"A bullish outlook on the S&P 500 can be driven by factors such as resilient economic growth, strong corporate earnings, easing inflation, and favorable Federal Reserve policies like stable or falling interest rates. Additionally, sector leadership in technology and energy, global demand, and historical trends of recovery after corrections support a positive trajectory for the index.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/392513128587576","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":150,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":388734068031656,"gmtCreate":1735931581915,"gmtModify":1735931584569,"author":{"id":"4140649950918012","authorId":"4140649950918012","name":"nir001","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4140649950918012","authorIdStr":"4140649950918012"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>&nbsp;","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/388734068031656","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":73,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":363955835080856,"gmtCreate":1729866645233,"gmtModify":1729866890693,"author":{"id":"4140649950918012","authorId":"4140649950918012","name":"nir001","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4140649950918012","authorIdStr":"4140649950918012"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AMZN\">$Amazon.com(AMZN)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AMZN\">$Amazon.com(AMZN)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>&nbsp;","text":"$Amazon.com(AMZN)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/363955835080856","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":323,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":363848093757624,"gmtCreate":1729840435228,"gmtModify":1729840437909,"author":{"id":"4140649950918012","authorId":"4140649950918012","name":"nir001","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4140649950918012","authorIdStr":"4140649950918012"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>&nbsp;","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/363848093757624","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":277,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":363302460494032,"gmtCreate":1729723446310,"gmtModify":1729723448895,"author":{"id":"4140649950918012","authorId":"4140649950918012","name":"nir001","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4140649950918012","authorIdStr":"4140649950918012"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>&nbsp;","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/363302460494032","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":427,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":362798672343112,"gmtCreate":1729609807666,"gmtModify":1729610339668,"author":{"id":"4140649950918012","authorId":"4140649950918012","name":"nir001","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4140649950918012","authorIdStr":"4140649950918012"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AMZN\">$Amazon.com(AMZN)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AMZN\">$Amazon.com(AMZN)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>&nbsp;","text":"$Amazon.com(AMZN)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/362798672343112","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":115,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":362713923723576,"gmtCreate":1729589035238,"gmtModify":1729589036988,"author":{"id":"4140649950918012","authorId":"4140649950918012","name":"nir001","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4140649950918012","authorIdStr":"4140649950918012"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/IBIT\">$iShares Bitcoin Trust(IBIT)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/IBIT\">$iShares Bitcoin Trust(IBIT)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>&nbsp;","text":"$iShares Bitcoin 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Motors(TSLA)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/362617160953952","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":116,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":362392966623440,"gmtCreate":1729510762587,"gmtModify":1729510765308,"author":{"id":"4140649950918012","authorId":"4140649950918012","name":"nir001","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4140649950918012","authorIdStr":"4140649950918012"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>&nbsp;","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/362392966623440","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":101,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":351512077197544,"gmtCreate":1726856954676,"gmtModify":1726856958375,"author":{"id":"4140649950918012","authorId":"4140649950918012","name":"nir001","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4140649950918012","authorIdStr":"4140649950918012"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Time to buy BTC with rate cut??","listText":"Time to buy BTC with rate cut??","text":"Time to buy BTC with rate cut??","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/351512077197544","repostId":"351466165895464","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":351466165895464,"gmtCreate":1726849971445,"gmtModify":1726851044205,"author":{"id":"4107097862867960","authorId":"4107097862867960","name":"Patmos","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d0b2e09fdb3dc618e98d3ac304599118","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4107097862867960","authorIdStr":"4107097862867960"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Time to buy Bitcoins Rates in the US are going lower money is getting cheaper, Buy &amp; don't look back&nbsp;","listText":"Time to buy Bitcoins Rates in the US are going lower money is getting cheaper, Buy &amp; don't look back&nbsp;","text":"Time to buy Bitcoins Rates in the US are going lower money is getting cheaper, Buy & don't look back","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/351466165895464","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":91,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":350400529190976,"gmtCreate":1726574912815,"gmtModify":1726574915623,"author":{"id":"4140649950918012","authorId":"4140649950918012","name":"nir001","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4140649950918012","authorIdStr":"4140649950918012"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"😍","listText":"😍","text":"😍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/350400529190976","repostId":"2468847168","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2468847168","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1726536903,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2468847168?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2024-09-17 09:35","market":"sg","language":"en","title":"Tesla Set For A Breakout After A Flat Year","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2468847168","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Tesla's price target sits at $316, aligning with the 1.618 Fibonacci retracement level, signaling potential upside momentum.The energy storage business grew 100% YoY in Q2 2024, with projections to ex","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul style=\"\"><li><p>Tesla&#39;s price target sits at $316, aligning with the 1.618 Fibonacci retracement level, signaling potential upside momentum.</p></li><li><p>The energy storage business grew 100% YoY in Q2 2024, with projections to exceed $13 billion in revenue by 2025.</p></li><li><p>Autonomous driving market is set to grow to $2.8 trillion by 2033, with Tesla&#39;s FSD leading the charge.</p></li><li><p>Tesla&#39;s revenue grew at a 31.56% CAGR over three years, showcasing substantial expansion into new, high-growth industries.</p></li><li><p>Growing EV competition from Chinese and domestic manufacturers is intensifying, challenging Tesla’s market share and pricing power globally.</p></li></ul><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d81f82cb135227750bebbe417d974833\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"422\"/></p><p>piranka</p><p></p><h2 id=\"id_2568654027\">Investment Thesis</h2><p>Tesla&#39;s (NASDAQ:TSLA) (NEOE:TSLA:CA) outlook remains bullish due to its fundamental solid growth across all its business segments; in Q2 of 2024, Energy Storage revenues enhanced 100% YoY, recording a new high of 9.4 GWh deployed and setting the firm well on track to more than $13 billion revenue generation through 2025.</p><p>Tesla also constructs a capital-efficient business into autonomous driving and robotics at the bottom of the S-curve, underpinned by early leadership in full self-driving technology that should disrupt many industries.</p><p>Following our strong buy rating in June with a $200 price target, Tesla reached and surpassed the target, delivering a 23% return. Updated technicals demonstrate continued bullish momentum.</p><h2 id=\"id_558082997\">Tesla&#39;s Bullish Breakout: Fibonacci Levels Signal $316+ Upside</h2><p>TSLA&#39;s current price is $230, with an average price target of $316, which aligns with the 1.618 Fibonacci retracement level. This signals a potential bullish trend continuation. The optimistic price target of $368 corresponds to the 2.118 Fibonacci extension, suggesting that Tesla could experience a substantial upside if the market momentum remains strong. Conversely, the pessimistic target of $200 stands at the 0.5 Fibonacci level, which reflects a downside risk based on potential corrections or broader market downturns.</p><p>Moreover, the RSI is currently at 58.46, which indicates that Tesla is moving towards the overbought territory. The upward trend in the RSI line (after taking support near 50) suggests renewed buying interest, which means the current price action may move towards the upside for the short- to mid-term.</p><p>Further, the VPT line points to a recovery of bullish volume momentum after short-term weakness. The line stands at 4.49 billion, and the moving average of 4.42 billion supports the likelihood of a sustained price increase if the trend holds.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d94abd3edc42bdc274a5734d8ae8e0a2\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"700\"/></p><p>Yiazou (TrendSpider)</p><p></p><p>Tesla&#39;s seasonality over the past 14 years shows mixed performance. September has a low <strong>40% probability of positive returns</strong>, urging caution for investors this month. June stands out as the strongest, with a 79% chance of gains, followed by November at 71%, reflecting strong mid-year and late-year trends. Weaker months include October (36%) and August (43%), indicating more volatility or bearish tendencies. While September&#39;s outlook is cautious, TSLA tends to perform better during mid-year and late-year periods, offering stronger historical opportunities for potential gains.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4ffadaed30ce12313416d240315a1c01\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"700\"/></p><p>Yiazou (TrendSpider)</p><p></p><h2 id=\"id_1973954971\">Beyond EV, A Lead in Autonomous Driving, Robotics, and Energy Storage Market</h2><p>Tesla&#39;s market opportunity is transforming into a solid lead in autonomous driving, robotics, and energy storage. Deutsche Bank marked Tesla as a &#34;technology platform&#34; with the potential to disrupt industries. This vision is anchored in Tesla&#39;s focus on robotaxis and humanoid robots. The company aims to go beyond car manufacturing, expanding into new sectors.</p><p>The autonomous driving market is predicted to soar in developed markets. Based on an annual growth of 33%, it may exceed $2.8 trillion by 2033. Tesla&#39;s early lead comes from its advanced AI and vast driving data. Its FSD software is central to this push. As FSD&#39;s price drops and its capabilities grow, mass adoption becomes likely. This shift could cement Tesla&#39;s top-line growth and street sentiment about its dominance in autonomous technology.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9fe0b10d2b6657997085be1ef3beb465\" tg-width=\"777\" tg-height=\"557\"/></p><p>Goldman Sachs</p><p></p><p>Tesla&#39;s humanoid robot, Optimus, is in early development and performs well in repetitive or hazardous tasks. The global robotics market could surpass $375 billion by 2035. The number of US humanoid robots may hit 63 million by 2050, with a $3 trillion market shift. Tesla&#39;s expertise in AI and robotics may help the company capture a significant market share. The ongoing development of its technologies will likely derive top-line growth in a whole new segment.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/2e6a868413923ae06edd9f9f79af3029\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"617\"/></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RDDT\">Reddit</a></p><p></p><p>Similarly, Tesla&#39;s energy storage business is also bringing in substantial revenue expansion (100% YoY in Q2 2024) that could generate over $13 billion in sales by 2025. Investments in battery storage in 2024 are booming and surpass $50 billion. In Q2 2024, Tesla deployed 9.4 GWh in energy storage (more than 40GWh in 2024), setting a new record. The rising demand for energy storage stems from the shift to renewable energy. Tesla&#39;s products like the Megapack and Powerwall are key to this strategy.</p><p>Fundamentally, Energy storage is a high-margin business for Tesla that complements its EVs and strengthens its brand. As solar and wind energy become popular, reliable storage becomes more crucial. Tesla has a significant opportunity to tap into this demand, as the energy storage market had 3X YoY growth in 2023. This may create room for Tesla&#39;s top-line growth, and its focus on cost reduction and technology improvements will support its expansion.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/37b6f860736b57afa3c2e5ab35ad4f3b\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"733\"/></p><p>BloombergNEF</p><p></p><p>In addition to these opportunities, Tesla&#39;s automotive business may boom by introducing new models. It is preparing to ramp up Cybertruck production and lower-cost models by 2025. Short-term margin softness has occurred due to higher costs, restructuring, and AI investments, but these challenges are temporary. Tesla&#39;s margins may improve as it achieves cost efficiencies with innovations like the 4680 battery cell production and robotaxi initiative. Tesla&#39;s FSD software is one of the most advanced systems today, and it targets the first to hit a fully autonomous robotaxi fleet (the first mover advantage against Waymo) as the robotaxi market could surpass $10 trillion by 2030.</p><p>Beyond all this, Tesla&#39;s upcoming Q3 earnings and robotaxi event (in October 2024) are vital as the street looks for signs of recovery from its recent margin pressures. The consensus estimate for Tesla&#39;s normalized EPS is $0.63 (-5.02% YoY). The revenue estimate for Q3 2024 stands at $25.66 billion, representing a YoY growth of 9.88%.</p><p>While this is solid growth, it&#39;s slower than Tesla&#39;s history, reflecting the hit the company is taking from pricing pressures and increasing competition in the EV market. For Q4 2024, though, Tesla revenues are forecasted to grow 7.53% to $27.06 billion, promising a rebound in performance from new and refreshed models now hitting the road.</p><h2 id=\"id_600666350\">Tesla&#39;s Explosive Growth: High Volatility, Massive Potential</h2><p>Tesla&#39;s revenue growth has a 31.56% CAGR over the last 3 years. Over the past decade, the top-line CAGR was even higher at 44.29%, highlighting the company&#39;s ability to expand rapidly. However, recent revenue growth slowed to 1.37% YoY due to external pressures. These include supply chain disruptions, inflation, and increased EV competition. At the bottom line, operating income growth has been strong, with a five-year CAGR of 84.75%. Yet, in the last year, EBIT declined by 43.03% due to spending on AI, robotics, and growth initiatives. This temporary setback should reverse as these investments yield results.</p><p>Moreover, Tesla&#39;s EPS growth has followed a similar path. The company&#39;s EPS has expanded 77.89% over the last three years but reported a decline to 1.06% YoY in the trailing twelve months. The company targets long-term growth rather than short-term profits, and the boom in its EPS growth could happen when its energy storage and autonomous driving sectors start to grow. This may lead to high stock valuations and massive price changes in upcoming quarters.</p><p>Finally, Tesla&#39;s stock has a 24-month beta of 1.95, indicating it is more volatile than the market. For example, competitors like Toyota (TM), BYD (OTCPK:BYDDF), and Ferrari (RACE) have far lower betas. Tesla&#39;s high volatility owes to its high-growth expectations, but this risk is partly compensated for by Tesla&#39;s strong financial position and capacity utilization. Tesla stands at an Altman Z-Score of 10.76, a low risk of financial distress that places it in another league, relatively speaking, with other car manufacturers. By comparison, Toyota has a Z-score of only 1.67 and a BYD of 1.72, which is substantially lower.</p><h2 id=\"id_3070444994\">Downsides: Weak Earnings and Revenue Projections, Challenges Ahead, And High Valuations</h2><p>The divergence in EPS growth estimates between Q3-Q4 2024 and Q1-Q2 2025 indicates that while Tesla faced short-term headwinds, its financial performance may improve towards the end of the year. For Q4 2024, the EPS estimate rises to $0.68, reflecting only a modest YoY decline of 4.3%. There are uncertainties in Tesla&#39;s near-term outlook, particularly regarding vehicle pricing and cost inflation. Hence, these factors may affect consumer purchasing power, particularly for high-priced EVs.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/18a6dbf7dd3f31e6a344995b6ee9cf42\" tg-width=\"835\" tg-height=\"400\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p></p><p>Furthermore, Chinese and domestic EV manufacturers introduce more competitive models as competition increases in the EV market. In addition, dependency for sales on Model 3/Y and the very slow rollout of new models such as Cybertruck and the Semi further reduces the ability to exploit the EV market. This is reflected by modest Q3 and Q4 revenue growth projections.</p><p>Tesla delivered 444K vehicles in Q2 2024, slightly below expectations, impacting the stock price. Analysts project 469K deliveries (Canaccord reduced the estimate) in Q3 2024, so its market value growth is directly tied to new models and production scaling. Thus, any continued issues in deliveries may hit the stock harder.</p><p>In terms of valuation, Tesla&#39;s P/E ratio marks a weakness in its long-term growth potential. The forward P/E ratio is 96.92, massively higher than the sector median of 15.79, representing a 514% premium. Tesla&#39;s short-term leads in the EV market justify some premium, but not to this level. Critically, the company&#39;s P/E ratio is just 15% undervalued from its five-year average of 114.1, which limits potential upside against dropping earnings in upcoming quarters.</p><p>Similarly, Tesla&#39;s price/earnings-to-growth (PEG) ratio of 8.93 is massively higher than the sector median of 1.39, reflecting the high street expectations of Tesla&#39;s bottom-line growth due to high progress in areas such as energy storage, autonomous driving, and robotics. In short, while the company&#39;s valuations may seem stretched compared to traditional automakers, they are justified as Tesla can consistently disrupt industries and generate significant growth across multiple business segments.</p><p>Finally, at the macro level, US elections and street worries about a potential full-scale war between NATO and Russia may lead to market-wide corrections. The market may perceive the war as highly probable, based on Western support for Ukraine&#39;s use of long-range missiles (after the Kursk Oblast incursion) and the dollar&#39;s de-stability (massive net interest outlays on federal debt surpassing WWII levels).</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9bc62da12d75a09be59607249bd9443b\" tg-width=\"780\" tg-height=\"684\"/></p><p>Congressional Budget Office</p><p></p><h2 id=\"id_651616612\">Takeaway</h2><p>Tesla&#39;s strong fundamentals paint a bullish outlook for the company. The energy storage business scaled 100% YoY in Q2 of 2024, and forecasts show it will reach over $13 billion in revenue by 2025. Leading in autonomous driving and robotics, aside from the developing sectors of FSD and humanoid robots, positions Tesla for tremendous expansion in the future.</p><p>Despite temporary setbacks from investment in AI and growth initiatives, Tesla&#39;s strong revenue history and expansion across diverse industries indicate long-term value and strong growth potential across its business segments.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Set For A Breakout After A Flat Year</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Set For A Breakout After A Flat Year\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-09-17 09:35 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4721268-tesla-stock-set-breakout-after-flat-year><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Tesla's price target sits at $316, aligning with the 1.618 Fibonacci retracement level, signaling potential upside momentum.The energy storage business grew 100% YoY in Q2 2024, with projections to ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4721268-tesla-stock-set-breakout-after-flat-year\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LU0820561909.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AM\" (HKD) INC","LU1914381329.SGD":"Allianz Best Styles Global Equity Cl ET Acc H2-SGD","IE00BSNM7G36.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN SYSTEMATIC GLOBAL SUSTAINABLE VALUE \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4592":"伊斯兰概念","LU0820562030.AUD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMH2\" (AUDHDG) H2 INC","SG9999015945.SGD":"LionGlobal Disruptive Innovation Fund A SGD","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","IE00BMG7P926.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - Global Infrastructure Income A Acc USD","SG9999015986.USD":"LIONGLOBAL DISRUPTIVE INNOVATION \"I\" (USD) ACC","LU1145028129.USD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AQ\" (USD) INC","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","SG9999015978.USD":"利安颠覆性创新基金A","LU0689472784.USD":"安联收益及增长基金Cl AM AT Acc","LU2023250330.USD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMG\" (USD) INC","LU2087621335.USD":"ALLSPRING GLOBAL FACTOR ENHANCED EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU2326559502.SGD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity P/A SGD-H","LU1720051017.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence AT Acc H2-SGD","LU0316494557.USD":"FRANKLIN GLOBAL FUNDAMENTAL STRATEGIES \"A\" ACC","IE00BMG7P694.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - Global Infrastructure Income A Mdis USD Plus","LU1861215975.USD":"贝莱德新一代科技基金 A2","LU0820561818.USD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金Cl AM DIS","LU1861220033.SGD":"Blackrock Next Generation Technology A2 SGD-H","LU1861558580.USD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B","BK4588":"碎股","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","LU2602419157.SGD":"HSBC ISLAMIC GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX \"AC\" (SGD) ACC","LU1551013425.SGD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS H2-SGD","BK4574":"无人驾驶","LU1629891620.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMG2\" (H2-HKD) INC","IE00BD4GTV84.USD":"LEGG MASON CLEARBRIDGEINFRASTRUCTURE VALUE \"A\" (USDHDG) ACC","LU0943347566.SGD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金AM H2-SGD","IE00BMG7P587.USD":"LEGG MASON CLEARBRIDGE GLOBAL INFRASTRUCTURE INCOM \"A\" (USD) INC","LU2357305700.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence ET H2-SGD","LU0234570918.USD":"高盛全球核心股票组合Acc Close","LU0053666078.USD":"摩根大通基金-美国股票A（离岸）美元","LU1435385759.SGD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity RA SGD-H","BK4099":"汽车制造商","LU2213496289.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AT\" (HKD) ACC","LU0082616367.USD":"摩根大通美国科技A（dist）","LU0964807845.USD":"ALLIANZ INCOME & GROWTH \"A\" (USD) INC","TSLA":"特斯拉","LU0719512351.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - US Technology A (acc) SGD","BK6522":"化石燃料股"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4721268-tesla-stock-set-breakout-after-flat-year","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2468847168","content_text":"Tesla's price target sits at $316, aligning with the 1.618 Fibonacci retracement level, signaling potential upside momentum.The energy storage business grew 100% YoY in Q2 2024, with projections to exceed $13 billion in revenue by 2025.Autonomous driving market is set to grow to $2.8 trillion by 2033, with Tesla's FSD leading the charge.Tesla's revenue grew at a 31.56% CAGR over three years, showcasing substantial expansion into new, high-growth industries.Growing EV competition from Chinese and domestic manufacturers is intensifying, challenging Tesla’s market share and pricing power globally.pirankaInvestment ThesisTesla's (NASDAQ:TSLA) (NEOE:TSLA:CA) outlook remains bullish due to its fundamental solid growth across all its business segments; in Q2 of 2024, Energy Storage revenues enhanced 100% YoY, recording a new high of 9.4 GWh deployed and setting the firm well on track to more than $13 billion revenue generation through 2025.Tesla also constructs a capital-efficient business into autonomous driving and robotics at the bottom of the S-curve, underpinned by early leadership in full self-driving technology that should disrupt many industries.Following our strong buy rating in June with a $200 price target, Tesla reached and surpassed the target, delivering a 23% return. Updated technicals demonstrate continued bullish momentum.Tesla's Bullish Breakout: Fibonacci Levels Signal $316+ UpsideTSLA's current price is $230, with an average price target of $316, which aligns with the 1.618 Fibonacci retracement level. This signals a potential bullish trend continuation. The optimistic price target of $368 corresponds to the 2.118 Fibonacci extension, suggesting that Tesla could experience a substantial upside if the market momentum remains strong. Conversely, the pessimistic target of $200 stands at the 0.5 Fibonacci level, which reflects a downside risk based on potential corrections or broader market downturns.Moreover, the RSI is currently at 58.46, which indicates that Tesla is moving towards the overbought territory. The upward trend in the RSI line (after taking support near 50) suggests renewed buying interest, which means the current price action may move towards the upside for the short- to mid-term.Further, the VPT line points to a recovery of bullish volume momentum after short-term weakness. The line stands at 4.49 billion, and the moving average of 4.42 billion supports the likelihood of a sustained price increase if the trend holds.Yiazou (TrendSpider)Tesla's seasonality over the past 14 years shows mixed performance. September has a low 40% probability of positive returns, urging caution for investors this month. June stands out as the strongest, with a 79% chance of gains, followed by November at 71%, reflecting strong mid-year and late-year trends. Weaker months include October (36%) and August (43%), indicating more volatility or bearish tendencies. While September's outlook is cautious, TSLA tends to perform better during mid-year and late-year periods, offering stronger historical opportunities for potential gains.Yiazou (TrendSpider)Beyond EV, A Lead in Autonomous Driving, Robotics, and Energy Storage MarketTesla's market opportunity is transforming into a solid lead in autonomous driving, robotics, and energy storage. Deutsche Bank marked Tesla as a \"technology platform\" with the potential to disrupt industries. This vision is anchored in Tesla's focus on robotaxis and humanoid robots. The company aims to go beyond car manufacturing, expanding into new sectors.The autonomous driving market is predicted to soar in developed markets. Based on an annual growth of 33%, it may exceed $2.8 trillion by 2033. Tesla's early lead comes from its advanced AI and vast driving data. Its FSD software is central to this push. As FSD's price drops and its capabilities grow, mass adoption becomes likely. This shift could cement Tesla's top-line growth and street sentiment about its dominance in autonomous technology.Goldman SachsTesla's humanoid robot, Optimus, is in early development and performs well in repetitive or hazardous tasks. The global robotics market could surpass $375 billion by 2035. The number of US humanoid robots may hit 63 million by 2050, with a $3 trillion market shift. Tesla's expertise in AI and robotics may help the company capture a significant market share. The ongoing development of its technologies will likely derive top-line growth in a whole new segment.RedditSimilarly, Tesla's energy storage business is also bringing in substantial revenue expansion (100% YoY in Q2 2024) that could generate over $13 billion in sales by 2025. Investments in battery storage in 2024 are booming and surpass $50 billion. In Q2 2024, Tesla deployed 9.4 GWh in energy storage (more than 40GWh in 2024), setting a new record. The rising demand for energy storage stems from the shift to renewable energy. Tesla's products like the Megapack and Powerwall are key to this strategy.Fundamentally, Energy storage is a high-margin business for Tesla that complements its EVs and strengthens its brand. As solar and wind energy become popular, reliable storage becomes more crucial. Tesla has a significant opportunity to tap into this demand, as the energy storage market had 3X YoY growth in 2023. This may create room for Tesla's top-line growth, and its focus on cost reduction and technology improvements will support its expansion.BloombergNEFIn addition to these opportunities, Tesla's automotive business may boom by introducing new models. It is preparing to ramp up Cybertruck production and lower-cost models by 2025. Short-term margin softness has occurred due to higher costs, restructuring, and AI investments, but these challenges are temporary. Tesla's margins may improve as it achieves cost efficiencies with innovations like the 4680 battery cell production and robotaxi initiative. Tesla's FSD software is one of the most advanced systems today, and it targets the first to hit a fully autonomous robotaxi fleet (the first mover advantage against Waymo) as the robotaxi market could surpass $10 trillion by 2030.Beyond all this, Tesla's upcoming Q3 earnings and robotaxi event (in October 2024) are vital as the street looks for signs of recovery from its recent margin pressures. The consensus estimate for Tesla's normalized EPS is $0.63 (-5.02% YoY). The revenue estimate for Q3 2024 stands at $25.66 billion, representing a YoY growth of 9.88%.While this is solid growth, it's slower than Tesla's history, reflecting the hit the company is taking from pricing pressures and increasing competition in the EV market. For Q4 2024, though, Tesla revenues are forecasted to grow 7.53% to $27.06 billion, promising a rebound in performance from new and refreshed models now hitting the road.Tesla's Explosive Growth: High Volatility, Massive PotentialTesla's revenue growth has a 31.56% CAGR over the last 3 years. Over the past decade, the top-line CAGR was even higher at 44.29%, highlighting the company's ability to expand rapidly. However, recent revenue growth slowed to 1.37% YoY due to external pressures. These include supply chain disruptions, inflation, and increased EV competition. At the bottom line, operating income growth has been strong, with a five-year CAGR of 84.75%. Yet, in the last year, EBIT declined by 43.03% due to spending on AI, robotics, and growth initiatives. This temporary setback should reverse as these investments yield results.Moreover, Tesla's EPS growth has followed a similar path. The company's EPS has expanded 77.89% over the last three years but reported a decline to 1.06% YoY in the trailing twelve months. The company targets long-term growth rather than short-term profits, and the boom in its EPS growth could happen when its energy storage and autonomous driving sectors start to grow. This may lead to high stock valuations and massive price changes in upcoming quarters.Finally, Tesla's stock has a 24-month beta of 1.95, indicating it is more volatile than the market. For example, competitors like Toyota (TM), BYD (OTCPK:BYDDF), and Ferrari (RACE) have far lower betas. Tesla's high volatility owes to its high-growth expectations, but this risk is partly compensated for by Tesla's strong financial position and capacity utilization. Tesla stands at an Altman Z-Score of 10.76, a low risk of financial distress that places it in another league, relatively speaking, with other car manufacturers. By comparison, Toyota has a Z-score of only 1.67 and a BYD of 1.72, which is substantially lower.Downsides: Weak Earnings and Revenue Projections, Challenges Ahead, And High ValuationsThe divergence in EPS growth estimates between Q3-Q4 2024 and Q1-Q2 2025 indicates that while Tesla faced short-term headwinds, its financial performance may improve towards the end of the year. For Q4 2024, the EPS estimate rises to $0.68, reflecting only a modest YoY decline of 4.3%. There are uncertainties in Tesla's near-term outlook, particularly regarding vehicle pricing and cost inflation. Hence, these factors may affect consumer purchasing power, particularly for high-priced EVs.Seeking AlphaFurthermore, Chinese and domestic EV manufacturers introduce more competitive models as competition increases in the EV market. In addition, dependency for sales on Model 3/Y and the very slow rollout of new models such as Cybertruck and the Semi further reduces the ability to exploit the EV market. This is reflected by modest Q3 and Q4 revenue growth projections.Tesla delivered 444K vehicles in Q2 2024, slightly below expectations, impacting the stock price. Analysts project 469K deliveries (Canaccord reduced the estimate) in Q3 2024, so its market value growth is directly tied to new models and production scaling. Thus, any continued issues in deliveries may hit the stock harder.In terms of valuation, Tesla's P/E ratio marks a weakness in its long-term growth potential. The forward P/E ratio is 96.92, massively higher than the sector median of 15.79, representing a 514% premium. Tesla's short-term leads in the EV market justify some premium, but not to this level. Critically, the company's P/E ratio is just 15% undervalued from its five-year average of 114.1, which limits potential upside against dropping earnings in upcoming quarters.Similarly, Tesla's price/earnings-to-growth (PEG) ratio of 8.93 is massively higher than the sector median of 1.39, reflecting the high street expectations of Tesla's bottom-line growth due to high progress in areas such as energy storage, autonomous driving, and robotics. In short, while the company's valuations may seem stretched compared to traditional automakers, they are justified as Tesla can consistently disrupt industries and generate significant growth across multiple business segments.Finally, at the macro level, US elections and street worries about a potential full-scale war between NATO and Russia may lead to market-wide corrections. The market may perceive the war as highly probable, based on Western support for Ukraine's use of long-range missiles (after the Kursk Oblast incursion) and the dollar's de-stability (massive net interest outlays on federal debt surpassing WWII levels).Congressional Budget OfficeTakeawayTesla's strong fundamentals paint a bullish outlook for the company. The energy storage business scaled 100% YoY in Q2 of 2024, and forecasts show it will reach over $13 billion in revenue by 2025. Leading in autonomous driving and robotics, aside from the developing sectors of FSD and humanoid robots, positions Tesla for tremendous expansion in the future.Despite temporary setbacks from investment in AI and growth initiatives, Tesla's strong revenue history and expansion across diverse industries indicate long-term value and strong growth potential across its business segments.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":69,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":346149305229528,"gmtCreate":1725546289413,"gmtModify":1725546292181,"author":{"id":"4140649950918012","authorId":"4140649950918012","name":"nir001","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4140649950918012","authorIdStr":"4140649950918012"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"🤑","listText":"🤑","text":"🤑","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/346149305229528","repostId":"345960683065416","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":345960683065416,"gmtCreate":1725505400291,"gmtModify":1725506235478,"author":{"id":"3555293442593045","authorId":"3555293442593045","name":"Samlunch","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17478579b111537e74aea4d338e8aef5","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3555293442593045","authorIdStr":"3555293442593045"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>&nbsp;<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>&nbsp; I’d argue $TSLA and $PLTR are the two companies best positioned to see significant revenue gain from AI. Tesla is working on the real world physical application of AI in robotics and self driving. Palantir is one of the only legitimate software AI companies making substantial AI centric revenuetoday. When you think about what companies will actually see a material bottom line impact from AI outside of chips, these two are the two at the top of my list.","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>&nbsp;<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>&nbsp; I’d argue $TSLA and $PLTR are the two companies best positioned to see significant revenue gain from AI. Tesla is working on the real world physical application of AI in robotics and self driving. Palantir is one of the only legitimate software AI companies making substantial AI centric revenuetoday. When you think about what companies will actually see a material bottom line impact from AI outside of chips, these two are the two at the top of my list.","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ I’d argue $TSLA and $PLTR are the two companies best positioned to see significant revenue gain from AI. Tesla is working on the real world physical application of AI in robotics and self driving. Palantir is one of the only legitimate software AI companies making substantial AI centric revenuetoday. When you think about what companies will actually see a material bottom line impact from AI outside of chips, these two are the two at the top of my list.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/345960683065416","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":128,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":246652913508648,"gmtCreate":1701239303677,"gmtModify":1701239335210,"author":{"id":"4140649950918012","authorId":"4140649950918012","name":"nir001","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4140649950918012","authorIdStr":"4140649950918012"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good point abt TSLA","listText":"Good point abt TSLA","text":"Good point abt TSLA","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/246652913508648","repostId":"2387254461","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2387254461","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1701230512,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2387254461?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-11-29 12:01","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Don’t Back Up the Cybertruck for TSLA Stock","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2387254461","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"Tesla is officially launching its Cybertruck later this week. Wall Street things the new EV won't move the needle for TSLA stock.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><strong>Tesla’s</strong> (NASDAQ: <strong>TSLA</strong>) futuristic (a polite way of saying odd) Cybertruck will finally have its big delivery event on Thursday. And even though Tesla CEO Elon Musk said on the company’s third quarter earnings call in mid-October that there are already more than 1 million people who have orders for the quirky looking angular vehicle, the Cybertruck may not move the needle for Tesla investors anytime soon.</p><p>Shares of Tesla have nearly doubled this year (despite a 20% pullback from its 52-week high) and the stock now trades at more than 60 times 2024 earnings estimates. So, the electric car giant is clearly a risky investment.</p><p>Philippe Houchois, an analyst at Jefferies, recently cut his price target on Tesla’s stock to $210 a share. That’s more than 10% below the current price.</p><p>The rationale? Houchois argues that the Cybertruck is likely to be a “niche product” and that the company would be better off focusing on ramping up production for the more mainstream Model 3 sedan and Model Y SUV.</p><p>That could help Tesla combat increased (and intense) competition from rival pure-play EV makers such as <strong>Rivian</strong> (NASDAQ: <strong>RIVN</strong>), <strong>Lucid</strong> (NASDAQ: <strong>LCID</strong>) and China’s <strong>Nio</strong> (NYSE: <strong>NIO</strong>) as well as traditional auto giants like <strong>Ford</strong> (NYSE: <strong>F</strong>), <strong>General Motors</strong> (NYSE: <strong>GM</strong>), <strong>Volkswagen</strong> (OTCMKTS: <strong>VWAPY</strong>) and <strong>Nissan</strong> (OTCMKTS: <strong>NSANY</strong>).</p><p>“With 2024 already a lost year for growth, it would help Tesla refocus on an edge that was built on simplicity, scale and speed,” Houchois wrote in a report, adding that the Cybertruck is “off-mission” for Tesla and that the company should be putting more financial resources into higher volume global segments.</p><h2 id=\"id_1938345432\">Elon Musk Cautions Cybertruck Fans</h2><p>Even Musk has conceded that investors shouldn’t get too optimistic about the Cybertruck just yet. He said during the third quarter conference call that “I just want to temper expectations for Cybertruck.”</p><p>“It’s a great product, but financially, it will take … a year to 18 months before it is a significant positive cash flow contributor. I wish there was some way for that to be different, but that’s my best guess,” he added.</p><p>Musk noted the complexity involved in manufacturing the Cybertruck and even joked that “we dug our own grave” with the vehicle.</p><p>“Cybertruck’s one of those special products that comes along only once in a long while. And special products that come along once in a long while are just incredibly difficult to bring to market to reach volume, to be prosperous,” he said.</p><p>That’s not exactly what Tesla investors want to hear. It’s increasingly looking like the Cybertruck could wind up being a vanity project for Musk that doesn’t pay any dividends for Tesla shareholders.</p><p>Some Wall Streeters already worry about the fact that Musk has so much sway over what happens at Tesla. Musk, while clearly a visionary, lacks a clear second in command that could take over… let alone rein him in.</p><p>An analyst at HSBC who has a “sell” rating on Tesla recently pointed out in a report that the company faces a “singleman” risk — namely that Musk is too prominent.</p><p>There’s also the fact that Musk has numerous other obligations competing for his attention like <strong>SpaceX</strong>, <strong>The Boring Company</strong>, <strong>Neuralink</strong> and <strong>X</strong> (formerly Twitter).</p><h2 id=\"id_1550022360\">The Bottom Line on TSLA Stock</h2><p>Even Dan Ives, an analyst at Wedbush who is one of the more bullish Tesla analysts and has praised the Cybertruck for being an innovative product, is a bit guarded about what the Cybertruck will do for the stock in the near-term.</p><p>Ives wrote in a recent report that “the ramp of production for Cybertruck will be difficult” and that “Cybertruck does not significantly move the financial needle for Tesla” in 2024.</p><p>If Tesla fans are cautious, investors should be as well. Tesla’s stock likely needs to pull back even further before its expensive shares are pricing in the possibility that the  Cybertruck won’t live up to the considerable hype. Don’t back up the Cybertruck to buy Tesla shares at these lofty levels.</p></body></html>","source":"investorplace_stock_picks","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Don’t Back Up the Cybertruck for TSLA Stock</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDon’t Back Up the Cybertruck for TSLA Stock\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-11-29 12:01 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://investorplace.com/2023/11/dont-back-up-the-cybertruck-for-tsla-stock/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Tesla’s (NASDAQ: TSLA) futuristic (a polite way of saying odd) Cybertruck will finally have its big delivery event on Thursday. And even though Tesla CEO Elon Musk said on the company’s third quarter ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2023/11/dont-back-up-the-cybertruck-for-tsla-stock/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BK4505":"高瓴资本持仓","LU2357305700.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence ET H2-SGD","BK4504":"桥水持仓","TSLQ":"Tradr 2X Short TSLA Daily ETF","BK4511":"特斯拉概念","LU0823411888.USD":"法巴消费创新基金 Cap","LU1551013342.USD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS USD","LU0208291251.USD":"FRANKLIN MUTUAL U.S. VALUE \"A\" (USD) INC","LU0708995583.HKD":"TEMPLETON CHINA \"A\" (HKD) ACC","LU0056508442.USD":"贝莱德世界科技基金A2","LU0719512351.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - US Technology A (acc) SGD","IE00BSNM7G36.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN SYSTEMATIC GLOBAL SUSTAINABLE VALUE \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0820561909.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AM\" (HKD) INC","LU2063271972.USD":"富兰克林创新领域基金","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","LU0648000940.SGD":"Natixis Harris Associates Global Equity RA SGD","IE00BWXC8680.SGD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A5\" (SGD) ACC","TSLL":"Direxion Daily TSLA Bull 2X Shares","LU0823414478.USD":"法巴经典能源转换基金","BK4555":"新能源车","LU0689472784.USD":"安联收益及增长基金Cl AM AT Acc","LU0130103400.USD":"Natixis Harris Associates Global Equity RA USD","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","LU0052750758.USD":"富兰克林中国基金A Acc","LU0320764599.SGD":"FTIF - Templeton China A Acc SGD","TSLA":"特斯拉","LU1201861165.SGD":"Natixis Harris Associates Global Equity PA SGD","BK4526":"热门中概股","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","LU1551013425.SGD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS H2-SGD","BK4574":"无人驾驶"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2023/11/dont-back-up-the-cybertruck-for-tsla-stock/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2387254461","content_text":"Tesla’s (NASDAQ: TSLA) futuristic (a polite way of saying odd) Cybertruck will finally have its big delivery event on Thursday. And even though Tesla CEO Elon Musk said on the company’s third quarter earnings call in mid-October that there are already more than 1 million people who have orders for the quirky looking angular vehicle, the Cybertruck may not move the needle for Tesla investors anytime soon.Shares of Tesla have nearly doubled this year (despite a 20% pullback from its 52-week high) and the stock now trades at more than 60 times 2024 earnings estimates. So, the electric car giant is clearly a risky investment.Philippe Houchois, an analyst at Jefferies, recently cut his price target on Tesla’s stock to $210 a share. That’s more than 10% below the current price.The rationale? Houchois argues that the Cybertruck is likely to be a “niche product” and that the company would be better off focusing on ramping up production for the more mainstream Model 3 sedan and Model Y SUV.That could help Tesla combat increased (and intense) competition from rival pure-play EV makers such as Rivian (NASDAQ: RIVN), Lucid (NASDAQ: LCID) and China’s Nio (NYSE: NIO) as well as traditional auto giants like Ford (NYSE: F), General Motors (NYSE: GM), Volkswagen (OTCMKTS: VWAPY) and Nissan (OTCMKTS: NSANY).“With 2024 already a lost year for growth, it would help Tesla refocus on an edge that was built on simplicity, scale and speed,” Houchois wrote in a report, adding that the Cybertruck is “off-mission” for Tesla and that the company should be putting more financial resources into higher volume global segments.Elon Musk Cautions Cybertruck FansEven Musk has conceded that investors shouldn’t get too optimistic about the Cybertruck just yet. He said during the third quarter conference call that “I just want to temper expectations for Cybertruck.”“It’s a great product, but financially, it will take … a year to 18 months before it is a significant positive cash flow contributor. I wish there was some way for that to be different, but that’s my best guess,” he added.Musk noted the complexity involved in manufacturing the Cybertruck and even joked that “we dug our own grave” with the vehicle.“Cybertruck’s one of those special products that comes along only once in a long while. And special products that come along once in a long while are just incredibly difficult to bring to market to reach volume, to be prosperous,” he said.That’s not exactly what Tesla investors want to hear. It’s increasingly looking like the Cybertruck could wind up being a vanity project for Musk that doesn’t pay any dividends for Tesla shareholders.Some Wall Streeters already worry about the fact that Musk has so much sway over what happens at Tesla. Musk, while clearly a visionary, lacks a clear second in command that could take over… let alone rein him in.An analyst at HSBC who has a “sell” rating on Tesla recently pointed out in a report that the company faces a “singleman” risk — namely that Musk is too prominent.There’s also the fact that Musk has numerous other obligations competing for his attention like SpaceX, The Boring Company, Neuralink and X (formerly Twitter).The Bottom Line on TSLA StockEven Dan Ives, an analyst at Wedbush who is one of the more bullish Tesla analysts and has praised the Cybertruck for being an innovative product, is a bit guarded about what the Cybertruck will do for the stock in the near-term.Ives wrote in a recent report that “the ramp of production for Cybertruck will be difficult” and that “Cybertruck does not significantly move the financial needle for Tesla” in 2024.If Tesla fans are cautious, investors should be as well. Tesla’s stock likely needs to pull back even further before its expensive shares are pricing in the possibility that the  Cybertruck won’t live up to the considerable hype. Don’t back up the Cybertruck to buy Tesla shares at these lofty levels.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":259,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9940073561,"gmtCreate":1677629566954,"gmtModify":1677633536955,"author":{"id":"4140649950918012","authorId":"4140649950918012","name":"nir001","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4140649950918012","authorIdStr":"4140649950918012"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9940073561","repostId":"9957161300","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9957161300,"gmtCreate":1677107764901,"gmtModify":1677107772687,"author":{"id":"3559581955535845","authorId":"3559581955535845","name":"koolgal","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c05274d88ffc0434623e57350c52c70a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3559581955535845","authorIdStr":"3559581955535845"},"themes":[],"title":"🌟🌟🌟My Favourite Singapore Consumer Defensive Stock🌟🌟🌟","htmlText":"🌈🌈🌈My&nbsp; Favourite Singapore Consumer Defensive Stock is&nbsp;<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/OV8.SI\">$SHENG SIONG GROUP LTD(OV8.SI)$ &nbsp;</a>&nbsp;With high inflation here, Sheng Siong&nbsp;&nbsp;will be resilient and impervious to economic cycles. Sheng Siong is the 3rd largest supermarket chain in Singapore with more than 65 locations and 4&nbsp;supermarkets in China with the 5th opening in 2nd quarter&nbsp;2023.&nbsp; &nbsp;Sheng Siong represents value for money to many Singaporeans especially the housewives.&nbsp; Sheng Siong's gross profit margin was 29.4% for 3Q FY 2022 compared to 29% in&nbsp; 3Q FY 2021.&nbsp; Its revenue declined by 4.2% year on year to SGD 333.5 million due to the Covid 19 measures in place&nbsp;and the closure of Jurong Fishery Port for 2 weeks in July 20","listText":"🌈🌈🌈My&nbsp; Favourite Singapore Consumer Defensive Stock is&nbsp;<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/OV8.SI\">$SHENG SIONG GROUP LTD(OV8.SI)$ &nbsp;</a>&nbsp;With high inflation here, Sheng Siong&nbsp;&nbsp;will be resilient and impervious to economic cycles. Sheng Siong is the 3rd largest supermarket chain in Singapore with more than 65 locations and 4&nbsp;supermarkets in China with the 5th opening in 2nd quarter&nbsp;2023.&nbsp; &nbsp;Sheng Siong represents value for money to many Singaporeans especially the housewives.&nbsp; Sheng Siong's gross profit margin was 29.4% for 3Q FY 2022 compared to 29% in&nbsp; 3Q FY 2021.&nbsp; Its revenue declined by 4.2% year on year to SGD 333.5 million due to the Covid 19 measures in place&nbsp;and the closure of Jurong Fishery Port for 2 weeks in July 20","text":"🌈🌈🌈My Favourite Singapore Consumer Defensive Stock is $SHENG SIONG GROUP LTD(OV8.SI)$ With high inflation here, Sheng Siong will be resilient and impervious to economic cycles. Sheng Siong is the 3rd largest supermarket chain in Singapore with more than 65 locations and 4 supermarkets in China with the 5th opening in 2nd quarter 2023. Sheng Siong represents value for money to many Singaporeans especially the housewives. Sheng Siong's gross profit margin was 29.4% for 3Q FY 2022 compared to 29% in 3Q FY 2021. Its revenue declined by 4.2% year on year to SGD 333.5 million due to the Covid 19 measures in place and the closure of Jurong Fishery Port for 2 weeks in July 20","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/2c419a8cdb4d4f8ec276838780f320ab","width":"1080","height":"2340"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9957161300","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":185,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}