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Buy/Sell: Wall Street's Top 10 Stock Calls This Week

2023-03-28

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Here are the top 5 Buy calls and the top 5 Sell calls made by Wall Street’s best analysts during the week of March 27-March 31.<br/><br/><strong>Top 5 Buy Calls:</strong></p><p><strong>Walmart upgraded to Outperform from In Line at Evercore ISI</strong></p><p>Evercore ISI upgraded Walmart (WMT)  to Outperform from In Line with a price target of $160, up from $145. The pivot to omnichannel, divesting of non-core assets and investments in productivity have positioned the company for traffic and margin upside over the next two years, the firm tells investors in a research note. Walmart&#39;s traffic turn &#34;appears to be building&#34; with consumers across the demographic spectrum making wallet allocation choices, the firm contends.</p><p><strong>Susquehanna upgrades Roku to Positive on attractive risk/reward</strong></p><p>Susquehanna upgraded Roku (ROKU) to Positive from Neutral with a $75 price target. Despite &#34;near-term noise,&#34; the long-term connected TV opportunity remains intact and Roku will be a &#34;prime beneficiary of the secular shift of linear budgets,&#34; the firm tells investors in a research note. Susquehanna believes the scatter market likely bottomed in late Q4, with improvement building through Q1. Beyond scatter, the firm&#39;s checks indicate that the broader connected TV market is &#34;generally healthy and should see a tailwind from the upfronts.&#34; It believes Roku is beta testing opportunities to bring more third-party digital service provider buying to its demand-constrained platform, and views this as a &#34;potential source of incremental high margin revenue.&#34; Susquehanna sees an attractive risk/reward at current valuation levels.</p><p><strong>Melius starts UPS with a Buy, sees company better set up for downturn</strong></p><p>Melius Research initiated coverage of UPS (UPS) with a Buy rating and $225 two-year price target. FedEx (FDX) and UPS were natural pandemic winners, but with the pandemic tailwinds subsiding, &#34;the companies find themselves at two different points on a similar path,&#34; Melius argues. UPS management has spent the past several years minimizing cyclicality in the business and driving higher pre-tax margins, notes the firm, who adds that the focus now is to lean into the customer experience and roll out digital capabilities to drive further productivity and leverage. Changes at UPS allow for the network to flex up and down based on the environment, which &#34;should allow for margins to hold up better during a downturn than in the past,&#34; Melius contends.</p><p><strong>Lululemon upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Citi </strong></p><p>Citi upgraded Lululemon Athletica (LULU) to Buy from Neutral with a price target of $440, up from $350. The firm liked the stock going into the Q4 report and feels even better following the results and fiscal 2023 outlook. Lululemon&#39;s inventory-to-sales gap is better than expected with a pathway to further improvement, and the company is seeing no signs of a sales slowdown with Q1 trends starting stronger than expected, Citi tells investors in a research note. Further, the company&#39;s China growth is poised to &#34;rapidly accelerate&#34; in fiscal 2023 and become a much more meaningful long-term driver, says the firm. It models 20%-plus earnings growth annually through fiscal 2027 as Lululemon &#34;unlocks its global growth potential.&#34; CIti adds that shares are Lululemon are more cheaply valued than Nike (NKE).</p><p><strong>Erste Group upgrades Adobe to Buy on revenue, profit growth</strong></p><p>Erste Group upgraded Adobe (ADBE) to Buy from Hold. Adobe is again forecasting revenue and profit growth for this fiscal year and while the company has a &#34;much higher&#34; return on equity and operating margin than its peer group, the stock is valued significantly lower than the peer average, the firm tells investors.</p><p><br/><strong>Top 5 Sell Calls:</strong></p><p><strong>Foot Locker downgraded to Sell at UBS on softlines bearishness</strong></p><p>UBS downgraded Foot Locker (FL) to Sell from Neutral with a price target of $30, down from $36. The firm has become &#34;increasingly bearish&#34; on softlines stocks and reduced its calendar 2023 EPS estimates across its coverage by 10%, on average. Its 2023 EPS estimates are now 13% below consensus for the average stock in its coverage in the space, UBS noted.</p><p><strong>Caterpillar downgraded to Underperform from Neutral at Baird</strong></p><p>Baird downgraded Caterpillar (CAT) to Underperform from Neutral with a price target of $185, down from $230. The firm sees rising risks for rental and construction equipment makers. A 2024 slowdown in U.S. nonresidential construction was already on the horizon but now is increasingly likely given ongoing regional bank &#34;turmoil and their sizable participation in commercial construction lending,&#34; Baird tells investors in a research note. For equipment makers, backlogs and price/cost tailwinds are peaking, and there is potential for inventory builds in the second half of 2023 pressuring near-term valuation multiples and eventually 2024 production and earnings, contends the firm. It believes Caterpillar shares are &#34;nearing a cyclical pivot point.&#34;</p><p><strong>Medtronic assumed with a Sell, $79 price target at UBS</strong></p><p>Medtronic&#39;s (MDT) stock coverage was assumed with a Sell rating and $79 price target at UBS as part of a sector note on U.S. Medical Supplies and Devices. The firm lacks conviction that Medtronic can return to sustainable mid-single-digit top-line growth and drive consistent operating margin upside. Potential resolution of the outstanding Diabetes Warning Letter could be a positive catalyst for the stock, but UBS sees Medtronic at best stemming recent share loss in Diabetes even with new product launches.</p><p><strong>UBS bearish on  Zimmer Biomet, initiates with a Sell</strong></p><p>UBS initiated coverage of Zimmer Biomet (ZBH) with a Sell rating and $112 price target as part of a sector note on U.S. Medical Supplies and Devices. The firm models Zimmer&#39;s 2022-2027 sales CAGR at 3.5%, with Zimmer delivering sub-4% organic growth each year. While Zimmer has positive product cycles, UBS sees these as merely stemming share losses vs. driving sales gains.</p><p><strong>Citi downgrades Ollie&#39;s to Sell, sees 2023 earnings falling short</strong></p><p>Citi downgraded Ollie&#39;s Bargain Outlet (OLLI) to Sell from Neutral with a price target of $49, down from $52. Even through the company&#39;s comp sales beat in Q4, merchandise margin dollars came in weaker than expected and implied guidance, the firm tells investors in a research note. Ollie&#39;s has a difficult model to scale and its supply chain has been choppy for years, says Citi. It views the company&#39;s free cash flow as &#34;uninspiring with little improvement expected&#34; and believes &#34;several aggressive assumptions&#34; are built into its fiscal 2023 guidance, including an acceleration in new store productivity and no assumed increase in promotions. The firm does not believe 2023 &#34;will be a smooth year,&#34; and thinks Ollie&#39;s earnings are likely to fall short of plan. Citi views the company&#39;s guidance as a &#34;stretch.&#34;</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1649979459173","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Buy/Sell: Wall Street's Top 10 Stock Calls This Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBuy/Sell: Wall Street's Top 10 Stock Calls This Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-04-02 09:11 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://thefly.com/landingPageNews.php?id=3688837&headline=WMT;ROKU;UPS;LULU;ADBE;FL;CAT;MDT;ZBH;OLLI;FDX;NKE-BuySell-Wall-Streets-top--stock-calls-this-week&utm_source=https://thefly.com/&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=referral_traffic><strong>The Fly</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Wall Street experts reveal the five stocks to buy, five stocks to sell this weekWhat has Wall Street been buzzing about this week? Here are the top 5 Buy calls and the top 5 Sell calls made by Wall ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://thefly.com/landingPageNews.php?id=3688837&headline=WMT;ROKU;UPS;LULU;ADBE;FL;CAT;MDT;ZBH;OLLI;FDX;NKE-BuySell-Wall-Streets-top--stock-calls-this-week&utm_source=https://thefly.com/&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=referral_traffic\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CAT":"卡特彼勒","OLLI":"Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.","LULU":"lululemon athletica","WMT":"沃尔玛","ADBE":"Adobe","FL":"富乐客","ZBH":"齐默巴奥米特控股","UPS":"联合包裹","MDT":"美敦力","ROKU":"Roku Inc"},"source_url":"https://thefly.com/landingPageNews.php?id=3688837&headline=WMT;ROKU;UPS;LULU;ADBE;FL;CAT;MDT;ZBH;OLLI;FDX;NKE-BuySell-Wall-Streets-top--stock-calls-this-week&utm_source=https://thefly.com/&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=referral_traffic","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1128413118","content_text":"Wall Street experts reveal the five stocks to buy, five stocks to sell this weekWhat has Wall Street been buzzing about this week? Here are the top 5 Buy calls and the top 5 Sell calls made by Wall Street’s best analysts during the week of March 27-March 31.Top 5 Buy Calls:Walmart upgraded to Outperform from In Line at Evercore ISIEvercore ISI upgraded Walmart (WMT)  to Outperform from In Line with a price target of $160, up from $145. The pivot to omnichannel, divesting of non-core assets and investments in productivity have positioned the company for traffic and margin upside over the next two years, the firm tells investors in a research note. Walmart's traffic turn \"appears to be building\" with consumers across the demographic spectrum making wallet allocation choices, the firm contends.Susquehanna upgrades Roku to Positive on attractive risk/rewardSusquehanna upgraded Roku (ROKU) to Positive from Neutral with a $75 price target. Despite \"near-term noise,\" the long-term connected TV opportunity remains intact and Roku will be a \"prime beneficiary of the secular shift of linear budgets,\" the firm tells investors in a research note. Susquehanna believes the scatter market likely bottomed in late Q4, with improvement building through Q1. Beyond scatter, the firm's checks indicate that the broader connected TV market is \"generally healthy and should see a tailwind from the upfronts.\" It believes Roku is beta testing opportunities to bring more third-party digital service provider buying to its demand-constrained platform, and views this as a \"potential source of incremental high margin revenue.\" Susquehanna sees an attractive risk/reward at current valuation levels.Melius starts UPS with a Buy, sees company better set up for downturnMelius Research initiated coverage of UPS (UPS) with a Buy rating and $225 two-year price target. FedEx (FDX) and UPS were natural pandemic winners, but with the pandemic tailwinds subsiding, \"the companies find themselves at two different points on a similar path,\" Melius argues. UPS management has spent the past several years minimizing cyclicality in the business and driving higher pre-tax margins, notes the firm, who adds that the focus now is to lean into the customer experience and roll out digital capabilities to drive further productivity and leverage. Changes at UPS allow for the network to flex up and down based on the environment, which \"should allow for margins to hold up better during a downturn than in the past,\" Melius contends.Lululemon upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Citi Citi upgraded Lululemon Athletica (LULU) to Buy from Neutral with a price target of $440, up from $350. The firm liked the stock going into the Q4 report and feels even better following the results and fiscal 2023 outlook. Lululemon's inventory-to-sales gap is better than expected with a pathway to further improvement, and the company is seeing no signs of a sales slowdown with Q1 trends starting stronger than expected, Citi tells investors in a research note. Further, the company's China growth is poised to \"rapidly accelerate\" in fiscal 2023 and become a much more meaningful long-term driver, says the firm. It models 20%-plus earnings growth annually through fiscal 2027 as Lululemon \"unlocks its global growth potential.\" CIti adds that shares are Lululemon are more cheaply valued than Nike (NKE).Erste Group upgrades Adobe to Buy on revenue, profit growthErste Group upgraded Adobe (ADBE) to Buy from Hold. Adobe is again forecasting revenue and profit growth for this fiscal year and while the company has a \"much higher\" return on equity and operating margin than its peer group, the stock is valued significantly lower than the peer average, the firm tells investors.Top 5 Sell Calls:Foot Locker downgraded to Sell at UBS on softlines bearishnessUBS downgraded Foot Locker (FL) to Sell from Neutral with a price target of $30, down from $36. The firm has become \"increasingly bearish\" on softlines stocks and reduced its calendar 2023 EPS estimates across its coverage by 10%, on average. Its 2023 EPS estimates are now 13% below consensus for the average stock in its coverage in the space, UBS noted.Caterpillar downgraded to Underperform from Neutral at BairdBaird downgraded Caterpillar (CAT) to Underperform from Neutral with a price target of $185, down from $230. The firm sees rising risks for rental and construction equipment makers. A 2024 slowdown in U.S. nonresidential construction was already on the horizon but now is increasingly likely given ongoing regional bank \"turmoil and their sizable participation in commercial construction lending,\" Baird tells investors in a research note. For equipment makers, backlogs and price/cost tailwinds are peaking, and there is potential for inventory builds in the second half of 2023 pressuring near-term valuation multiples and eventually 2024 production and earnings, contends the firm. It believes Caterpillar shares are \"nearing a cyclical pivot point.\"Medtronic assumed with a Sell, $79 price target at UBSMedtronic's (MDT) stock coverage was assumed with a Sell rating and $79 price target at UBS as part of a sector note on U.S. Medical Supplies and Devices. The firm lacks conviction that Medtronic can return to sustainable mid-single-digit top-line growth and drive consistent operating margin upside. Potential resolution of the outstanding Diabetes Warning Letter could be a positive catalyst for the stock, but UBS sees Medtronic at best stemming recent share loss in Diabetes even with new product launches.UBS bearish on  Zimmer Biomet, initiates with a SellUBS initiated coverage of Zimmer Biomet (ZBH) with a Sell rating and $112 price target as part of a sector note on U.S. Medical Supplies and Devices. The firm models Zimmer's 2022-2027 sales CAGR at 3.5%, with Zimmer delivering sub-4% organic growth each year. While Zimmer has positive product cycles, UBS sees these as merely stemming share losses vs. driving sales gains.Citi downgrades Ollie's to Sell, sees 2023 earnings falling shortCiti downgraded Ollie's Bargain Outlet (OLLI) to Sell from Neutral with a price target of $49, down from $52. Even through the company's comp sales beat in Q4, merchandise margin dollars came in weaker than expected and implied guidance, the firm tells investors in a research note. Ollie's has a difficult model to scale and its supply chain has been choppy for years, says Citi. It views the company's free cash flow as \"uninspiring with little improvement expected\" and believes \"several aggressive assumptions\" are built into its fiscal 2023 guidance, including an acceleration in new store productivity and no assumed increase in promotions. The firm does not believe 2023 \"will be a smooth year,\" and thinks Ollie's earnings are likely to fall short of plan. Citi views the company's guidance as a \"stretch.\"","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":286,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9941336647,"gmtCreate":1679968965690,"gmtModify":1679971527398,"author":{"id":"4141818986095712","authorId":"4141818986095712","name":"defry","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4141818986095712","authorIdStr":"4141818986095712"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Share!","listText":"Share!","text":"Share!","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0cb3ab52e73db131ecfe451c29dbb202","width":"1080","height":"2400"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9941336647","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":187,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9941523083,"gmtCreate":1680455937142,"gmtModify":1680486964094,"author":{"id":"4141818986095712","authorId":"4141818986095712","name":"defry","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4141818986095712","authorIdStr":"4141818986095712"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9941523083","repostId":"2324046254","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2324046254","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1680397376,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2324046254?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-04-02 09:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. Stocks Have Barely Budged Since Last Summer. Where Will They Go Next?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2324046254","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"The S&P 500 index has been stuck, like a dog circling its tail since September last yearWhere are st","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The S&amp;P 500 index has been stuck, like a dog circling its tail since September last year</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3c946d5de8822f4c34ae97278569449b\" alt=\"Where are stocks headed next? It might take months for investors to find out.\" title=\"Where are stocks headed next? It might take months for investors to find out.\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"487\"/><span>Where are stocks headed next? It might take months for investors to find out.</span></p><p>U.S. stocks have shrugged off a number of threats since the start of the year, powering through the worst U.S. bank failures since the 2008 financial crisis, while resisting the pull of rising short-term Treasury yields.</p><p>This helped all three main U.S. equity benchmarks finish the first quarter in the green on Friday, but that doesn&#39;t change the fact that the S&amp;P 500 index, the main U.S. equity benchmark, has barely budged since last summer.</p><p>&#34;The market has handled a lot of gut punches recently and it&#39;s still standing in this range,&#34; said JJ Kinahan, CEO of IG North America, owner of brokerage firm Tastytrade. &#34;I think that&#39;s a sign that the market is very healthy.&#34;</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 index traded at 4,110.41 on Sept. 12, 2022, according to FactSet data, just before aggressive Federal Reserve commentary on interest rates and worrisome inflation data triggered a sharp selloff. By comparison, the index finished Friday&#39;s session at 4,109.31.</p><p>Some equity analysts expect it to take months, or perhaps even longer, for U.S. stocks to break out of this range. Where they might go next also is anyone&#39;s guess.</p><p>Investors likely won&#39;t know until some of the uncertainty that has been plaguing the market over the past year clears up.</p><p>At the top of the market&#39;s wish list is more information about how the Fed&#39;s interest rate hikes are impacting the economy. This will be crucial in determining whether the central bank might need to keep raising interest rates in 2024, several analysts told MarketWatch.</p><h2>Stocks are volatile, but stuck in a circle</h2><p>The S&amp;P 500 has vacillated in a roughly 600-point range since September, but at the same time, the number of outsize swings from day-to-day has become even more pronounced, making it more difficult to ascertain the health of the market, analysts said.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 rose or fell by 1% or more in 29 trading sessions in the first quarter, including Friday, when the S&amp;P 500 closed 1.4% higher on the last session of the month and quarter, according to Dow Jones Market Data.</p><p>That&#39;s nearly double the quarterly average of just 14.9 days going back to 1928, according to Dow Jones Market Data. The S&amp;P 500 was created in 1957, and performance data taken from before then is based on a historical reconstruction of the index&#39;s performance.</p><p>Stocks also look almost placid in comparison with other assets. For example, Treasurys saw an explosion of volatility in the wake of the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank in March. The 2-year Treasury yield logged its largest monthly decline in 15 years in March as a result.</p><p>&#34;You can&#39;t find any clues about where we&#39;re going by watching the S&amp;P 500,&#34; said John Kosar, chief market strategist at Asbury Research, in a phone interview with MarketWatch. &#34;Ten years ago, you could look at the movement of the S&amp;P 500 and a simple indicator like volume and get a back-of-the-envelope idea of how healthy the market is. But you can&#39;t do that anymore because of all this intraday volatility.&#34;</p><p>The S&amp;P 500&#39;s 7% advance in the first quarter of this year has helped to mask weakness underneath the surface. Specifically, only 33% of S&amp;P 500 companies&#39; shares have managed to outperform the index since the start of the quarter, well below the long-term average, according to figures provided to MarketWatch by analysts at UBS Group UBS.</p><h2>Mega stocks, Fed to the rescue?</h2><p>If it weren&#39;t for a flight-to-safety rally in large capitalization technology names like Apple Inc. (AAPL), Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) and Nvidia Corp. (NVDA), the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq would likely be in much worse shape.</p><p>Advancing megacap tech stocks have helped the Invesco QQQ (QQQ) Trust exchange-traded fund, which tracks the Nasdaq 100, enter a fresh bull market in the past week, as the closely watched market gauge closed more than 20% above its 52-week closing low from late December, according to FactSet data. That&#39;s helped to offset weakness in cyclical sectors like financials and real estate.</p><p>Tech behemoths have also benefited from the hype around artificial intelligence platforms like OpenAI&#39;s ChatGPT.</p><p>Confusion about the Fed&#39;s quantitative tightening efforts to reduce the size of its balance sheet also helped muddle the outlook for markets.</p><p>For example, the size of the Fed&#39;s balance sheet has increased again in recent weeks as banks have tapped the central bank&#39;s emergency lending programs in the wake of the failure of two regional banks, undoing some of the central bank&#39;s efforts to shrink its balance sheet by allowing some of its Treasury and mortgage-backed bond holdings to mature without reinvesting the proceeds.</p><p>Some analysts said this is akin to sending the market mixed signals.</p><p>&#34;It seems to be both tightening and loosening right now,&#34; said Andrew Adams, an analyst with Saut Strategy, in a recent note to clients.</p><h2>What it takes for a break out</h2><p>U.S. stocks have remained rangebound for long stretches in the past.</p><p>Beginning in late 2014, the S&amp;P 500 traded in a tight range for roughly two years. Between Jan. 1, 2015 and Nov. 9, 2016, the day after former President Donald Trump defeated Hillary Clinton to become president of the U.S., the S&amp;P 500 gained less than 100 points, according to FactSet data.</p><p>At the time, equity analysts blamed signs of softening economic activity in China and weakness in the U.S. energy industry for the market&#39;s lackluster performance.</p><p>But after once it became clear that Trump would win the White House, stocks embarked on a steady ascent as investors bet that the Republican economic agenda, which included corporate tax cuts and deregulation, would likely bolster corporate profits.</p><p>It wasn&#39;t until the fourth quarter of 2018 that stocks turned volatile once again as the S&amp;P 500 wiped out its gains from earlier in the year, before ultimately finishing 2018 with a 6.2% drop for the year, according to FactSet.</p><p>As investors brace for a flood of first-quarter corporate earnings in the coming weeks, Kinahan said he expects stocks could remain range bound for at least a few more months.</p><p>&#34;There&#39;s going to be a very cautious outlook still, which should keep us in this range,&#34; he said.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. Stocks Have Barely Budged Since Last Summer. Where Will They Go Next?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. Stocks Have Barely Budged Since Last Summer. Where Will They Go Next?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2023-04-02 09:02</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>The S&amp;P 500 index has been stuck, like a dog circling its tail since September last year</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3c946d5de8822f4c34ae97278569449b\" alt=\"Where are stocks headed next? It might take months for investors to find out.\" title=\"Where are stocks headed next? It might take months for investors to find out.\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"487\"/><span>Where are stocks headed next? It might take months for investors to find out.</span></p><p>U.S. stocks have shrugged off a number of threats since the start of the year, powering through the worst U.S. bank failures since the 2008 financial crisis, while resisting the pull of rising short-term Treasury yields.</p><p>This helped all three main U.S. equity benchmarks finish the first quarter in the green on Friday, but that doesn&#39;t change the fact that the S&amp;P 500 index, the main U.S. equity benchmark, has barely budged since last summer.</p><p>&#34;The market has handled a lot of gut punches recently and it&#39;s still standing in this range,&#34; said JJ Kinahan, CEO of IG North America, owner of brokerage firm Tastytrade. &#34;I think that&#39;s a sign that the market is very healthy.&#34;</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 index traded at 4,110.41 on Sept. 12, 2022, according to FactSet data, just before aggressive Federal Reserve commentary on interest rates and worrisome inflation data triggered a sharp selloff. By comparison, the index finished Friday&#39;s session at 4,109.31.</p><p>Some equity analysts expect it to take months, or perhaps even longer, for U.S. stocks to break out of this range. Where they might go next also is anyone&#39;s guess.</p><p>Investors likely won&#39;t know until some of the uncertainty that has been plaguing the market over the past year clears up.</p><p>At the top of the market&#39;s wish list is more information about how the Fed&#39;s interest rate hikes are impacting the economy. This will be crucial in determining whether the central bank might need to keep raising interest rates in 2024, several analysts told MarketWatch.</p><h2>Stocks are volatile, but stuck in a circle</h2><p>The S&amp;P 500 has vacillated in a roughly 600-point range since September, but at the same time, the number of outsize swings from day-to-day has become even more pronounced, making it more difficult to ascertain the health of the market, analysts said.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 rose or fell by 1% or more in 29 trading sessions in the first quarter, including Friday, when the S&amp;P 500 closed 1.4% higher on the last session of the month and quarter, according to Dow Jones Market Data.</p><p>That&#39;s nearly double the quarterly average of just 14.9 days going back to 1928, according to Dow Jones Market Data. The S&amp;P 500 was created in 1957, and performance data taken from before then is based on a historical reconstruction of the index&#39;s performance.</p><p>Stocks also look almost placid in comparison with other assets. For example, Treasurys saw an explosion of volatility in the wake of the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank in March. The 2-year Treasury yield logged its largest monthly decline in 15 years in March as a result.</p><p>&#34;You can&#39;t find any clues about where we&#39;re going by watching the S&amp;P 500,&#34; said John Kosar, chief market strategist at Asbury Research, in a phone interview with MarketWatch. &#34;Ten years ago, you could look at the movement of the S&amp;P 500 and a simple indicator like volume and get a back-of-the-envelope idea of how healthy the market is. But you can&#39;t do that anymore because of all this intraday volatility.&#34;</p><p>The S&amp;P 500&#39;s 7% advance in the first quarter of this year has helped to mask weakness underneath the surface. Specifically, only 33% of S&amp;P 500 companies&#39; shares have managed to outperform the index since the start of the quarter, well below the long-term average, according to figures provided to MarketWatch by analysts at UBS Group UBS.</p><h2>Mega stocks, Fed to the rescue?</h2><p>If it weren&#39;t for a flight-to-safety rally in large capitalization technology names like Apple Inc. (AAPL), Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) and Nvidia Corp. (NVDA), the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq would likely be in much worse shape.</p><p>Advancing megacap tech stocks have helped the Invesco QQQ (QQQ) Trust exchange-traded fund, which tracks the Nasdaq 100, enter a fresh bull market in the past week, as the closely watched market gauge closed more than 20% above its 52-week closing low from late December, according to FactSet data. That&#39;s helped to offset weakness in cyclical sectors like financials and real estate.</p><p>Tech behemoths have also benefited from the hype around artificial intelligence platforms like OpenAI&#39;s ChatGPT.</p><p>Confusion about the Fed&#39;s quantitative tightening efforts to reduce the size of its balance sheet also helped muddle the outlook for markets.</p><p>For example, the size of the Fed&#39;s balance sheet has increased again in recent weeks as banks have tapped the central bank&#39;s emergency lending programs in the wake of the failure of two regional banks, undoing some of the central bank&#39;s efforts to shrink its balance sheet by allowing some of its Treasury and mortgage-backed bond holdings to mature without reinvesting the proceeds.</p><p>Some analysts said this is akin to sending the market mixed signals.</p><p>&#34;It seems to be both tightening and loosening right now,&#34; said Andrew Adams, an analyst with Saut Strategy, in a recent note to clients.</p><h2>What it takes for a break out</h2><p>U.S. stocks have remained rangebound for long stretches in the past.</p><p>Beginning in late 2014, the S&amp;P 500 traded in a tight range for roughly two years. Between Jan. 1, 2015 and Nov. 9, 2016, the day after former President Donald Trump defeated Hillary Clinton to become president of the U.S., the S&amp;P 500 gained less than 100 points, according to FactSet data.</p><p>At the time, equity analysts blamed signs of softening economic activity in China and weakness in the U.S. energy industry for the market&#39;s lackluster performance.</p><p>But after once it became clear that Trump would win the White House, stocks embarked on a steady ascent as investors bet that the Republican economic agenda, which included corporate tax cuts and deregulation, would likely bolster corporate profits.</p><p>It wasn&#39;t until the fourth quarter of 2018 that stocks turned volatile once again as the S&amp;P 500 wiped out its gains from earlier in the year, before ultimately finishing 2018 with a 6.2% drop for the year, according to FactSet.</p><p>As investors brace for a flood of first-quarter corporate earnings in the coming weeks, Kinahan said he expects stocks could remain range bound for at least a few more months.</p><p>&#34;There&#39;s going to be a very cautious outlook still, which should keep us in this range,&#34; he said.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4561":"索罗斯持仓","IE00B775SV38.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN US MULTICAP OPPORTUNITIES \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0234570918.USD":"高盛全球核心股票组合Acc Close","LU1923622614.USD":"Natixis Thematics Meta R/A USD","IE00B19Z9505.USD":"美盛-美国大盘成长股A Acc","IE00BJJMRX11.SGD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Acc SGD","LU0417517546.SGD":"Allianz US Equity Cl AT Acc SGD","LU0072462426.USD":"贝莱德全球配置 A2","BK4170":"电脑硬件、储存设备及电脑周边","IE00BJTD4V19.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN US LONG SHORT EQUITY \"A1\" (USD) ACC","BK4529":"IDC概念",".DJI":"道琼斯","LU1983260115.SGD":"Janus Henderson Horizon Global Sustainable Equity A2 SGD-H","LU0082616367.USD":"摩根大通美国科技A（dist）",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","LU0080751232.USD":"富达环球多元动力基金A","LU1803068979.SGD":"FTIF - Franklin Technology A (acc) SGD-H1","LU0061474960.USD":"天利环球焦点基金AU Acc",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","IE00BBT3K403.USD":"LEGG MASON CLEARBRIDGE TACTICAL DIVIDEND INCOME \"A(USD) ACC","BK4553":"喜马拉雅资本持仓","SG9999002232.USD":"Allianz Global High Payout USD","BK4571":"数字音乐概念","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","LU2063271972.USD":"富兰克林创新领域基金","LU0109392836.USD":"富兰克林科技股A","IE0004445015.USD":"JANUS HENDERSON BALANCED \"A2\" (USD) ACC","LU0061474705.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) GLOBAL DYNAMIC REAL RETURN \"AU\" (USD) ACC","LU0289739343.SGD":"SUSTAINABLE GLOBAL THEMATIC PORTFOLIO \"A\" (SGD) ACC","BK4525":"远程办公概念","LU0320765059.SGD":"FTIF - Franklin US Opportunities A Acc SGD","LU2326559502.SGD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity P/A SGD-H","BK4577":"网络游戏","LU0198837287.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV - USA GROWTH \"P\" (USD) ACC","LU0672654240.SGD":"FTIF - Franklin US Opportunities A Acc SGD-H1","BK4579":"人工智能","IE00BFSS8Q28.SGD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Inc SGD-H","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","LU1861215975.USD":"贝莱德新一代科技基金 A2","BK4588":"碎股","LU0786609619.USD":"高盛全球千禧一代股票组合Acc","LU0149725797.USD":"汇丰美国股市经济规模基金","IE00BKVL7J92.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - US Equity Sustainability Leaders A Acc USD","LU2125909593.SGD":"Natixis Thematics Meta R/A SGD","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","IE0009356076.USD":"JANUS HENDERSON GLOBAL TECHNOLOGY AND INNOVATION \"A2\" (USD) ACC"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2324046254","content_text":"The S&P 500 index has been stuck, like a dog circling its tail since September last yearWhere are stocks headed next? It might take months for investors to find out.U.S. stocks have shrugged off a number of threats since the start of the year, powering through the worst U.S. bank failures since the 2008 financial crisis, while resisting the pull of rising short-term Treasury yields.This helped all three main U.S. equity benchmarks finish the first quarter in the green on Friday, but that doesn't change the fact that the S&P 500 index, the main U.S. equity benchmark, has barely budged since last summer.\"The market has handled a lot of gut punches recently and it's still standing in this range,\" said JJ Kinahan, CEO of IG North America, owner of brokerage firm Tastytrade. \"I think that's a sign that the market is very healthy.\"The S&P 500 index traded at 4,110.41 on Sept. 12, 2022, according to FactSet data, just before aggressive Federal Reserve commentary on interest rates and worrisome inflation data triggered a sharp selloff. By comparison, the index finished Friday's session at 4,109.31.Some equity analysts expect it to take months, or perhaps even longer, for U.S. stocks to break out of this range. Where they might go next also is anyone's guess.Investors likely won't know until some of the uncertainty that has been plaguing the market over the past year clears up.At the top of the market's wish list is more information about how the Fed's interest rate hikes are impacting the economy. This will be crucial in determining whether the central bank might need to keep raising interest rates in 2024, several analysts told MarketWatch.Stocks are volatile, but stuck in a circleThe S&P 500 has vacillated in a roughly 600-point range since September, but at the same time, the number of outsize swings from day-to-day has become even more pronounced, making it more difficult to ascertain the health of the market, analysts said.The S&P 500 rose or fell by 1% or more in 29 trading sessions in the first quarter, including Friday, when the S&P 500 closed 1.4% higher on the last session of the month and quarter, according to Dow Jones Market Data.That's nearly double the quarterly average of just 14.9 days going back to 1928, according to Dow Jones Market Data. The S&P 500 was created in 1957, and performance data taken from before then is based on a historical reconstruction of the index's performance.Stocks also look almost placid in comparison with other assets. For example, Treasurys saw an explosion of volatility in the wake of the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank in March. The 2-year Treasury yield logged its largest monthly decline in 15 years in March as a result.\"You can't find any clues about where we're going by watching the S&P 500,\" said John Kosar, chief market strategist at Asbury Research, in a phone interview with MarketWatch. \"Ten years ago, you could look at the movement of the S&P 500 and a simple indicator like volume and get a back-of-the-envelope idea of how healthy the market is. But you can't do that anymore because of all this intraday volatility.\"The S&P 500's 7% advance in the first quarter of this year has helped to mask weakness underneath the surface. Specifically, only 33% of S&P 500 companies' shares have managed to outperform the index since the start of the quarter, well below the long-term average, according to figures provided to MarketWatch by analysts at UBS Group UBS.Mega stocks, Fed to the rescue?If it weren't for a flight-to-safety rally in large capitalization technology names like Apple Inc. (AAPL), Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) and Nvidia Corp. (NVDA), the S&P 500 and Nasdaq would likely be in much worse shape.Advancing megacap tech stocks have helped the Invesco QQQ (QQQ) Trust exchange-traded fund, which tracks the Nasdaq 100, enter a fresh bull market in the past week, as the closely watched market gauge closed more than 20% above its 52-week closing low from late December, according to FactSet data. That's helped to offset weakness in cyclical sectors like financials and real estate.Tech behemoths have also benefited from the hype around artificial intelligence platforms like OpenAI's ChatGPT.Confusion about the Fed's quantitative tightening efforts to reduce the size of its balance sheet also helped muddle the outlook for markets.For example, the size of the Fed's balance sheet has increased again in recent weeks as banks have tapped the central bank's emergency lending programs in the wake of the failure of two regional banks, undoing some of the central bank's efforts to shrink its balance sheet by allowing some of its Treasury and mortgage-backed bond holdings to mature without reinvesting the proceeds.Some analysts said this is akin to sending the market mixed signals.\"It seems to be both tightening and loosening right now,\" said Andrew Adams, an analyst with Saut Strategy, in a recent note to clients.What it takes for a break outU.S. stocks have remained rangebound for long stretches in the past.Beginning in late 2014, the S&P 500 traded in a tight range for roughly two years. Between Jan. 1, 2015 and Nov. 9, 2016, the day after former President Donald Trump defeated Hillary Clinton to become president of the U.S., the S&P 500 gained less than 100 points, according to FactSet data.At the time, equity analysts blamed signs of softening economic activity in China and weakness in the U.S. energy industry for the market's lackluster performance.But after once it became clear that Trump would win the White House, stocks embarked on a steady ascent as investors bet that the Republican economic agenda, which included corporate tax cuts and deregulation, would likely bolster corporate profits.It wasn't until the fourth quarter of 2018 that stocks turned volatile once again as the S&P 500 wiped out its gains from earlier in the year, before ultimately finishing 2018 with a 6.2% drop for the year, according to FactSet.As investors brace for a flood of first-quarter corporate earnings in the coming weeks, Kinahan said he expects stocks could remain range bound for at least a few more months.\"There's going to be a very cautious outlook still, which should keep us in this range,\" he said.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":167,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9941529712,"gmtCreate":1680455919937,"gmtModify":1680486963987,"author":{"id":"4141818986095712","authorId":"4141818986095712","name":"defry","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4141818986095712","authorIdStr":"4141818986095712"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9941529712","repostId":"1128413118","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":286,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9941336647,"gmtCreate":1679968965690,"gmtModify":1679971527398,"author":{"id":"4141818986095712","authorId":"4141818986095712","name":"defry","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4141818986095712","authorIdStr":"4141818986095712"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Share!","listText":"Share!","text":"Share!","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0cb3ab52e73db131ecfe451c29dbb202","width":"1080","height":"2400"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9941336647","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":187,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}