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2024-08-20

Artikel yang bagus, apakah Anda ingin membagikannya?

@KevinChenNYC:US Jackson Hole Preview: Turning Point Anticipated

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Although we believe Powell won't rule out the possibility of a 50 basis point rate cut in September, he might downplay concerns about the Fed being behind the curve or the U.S. economy deteriorating rapidly. Our base forecast remains a 25 basis point cut. We anticipate that by the end of the year, the Fed will have accumulated a 50 basis point rate cut. However, the risks to this view are becoming more one-sided, with more evident weakness in the labor market potentially challenging the Fed's employment mandate, necessitating further easing.🚶‍♂️ Step Back Before the Rate Cut: Following t","listText":"We expect Federal Reserve Chairman Powell to hint that upcoming data supports the FOMC to begin policy normalization as soon as possible, which almost solidifies the expectation of a rate cut in September. Although we believe Powell won't rule out the possibility of a 50 basis point rate cut in September, he might downplay concerns about the Fed being behind the curve or the U.S. economy deteriorating rapidly. Our base forecast remains a 25 basis point cut. We anticipate that by the end of the year, the Fed will have accumulated a 50 basis point rate cut. However, the risks to this view are becoming more one-sided, with more evident weakness in the labor market potentially challenging the Fed's employment mandate, necessitating further easing.🚶‍♂️ Step Back Before the Rate Cut: Following t","text":"We expect Federal Reserve Chairman Powell to hint that upcoming data supports the FOMC to begin policy normalization as soon as possible, which almost solidifies the expectation of a rate cut in September. Although we believe Powell won't rule out the possibility of a 50 basis point rate cut in September, he might downplay concerns about the Fed being behind the curve or the U.S. economy deteriorating rapidly. Our base forecast remains a 25 basis point cut. We anticipate that by the end of the year, the Fed will have accumulated a 50 basis point rate cut. However, the risks to this view are becoming more one-sided, with more evident weakness in the labor market potentially challenging the Fed's employment mandate, necessitating further easing.🚶‍♂️ Step Back Before the Rate Cut: Following t","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/534006758d33db3f04b18f3d5f04dd1f","width":"690","height":"518"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/340581454512168","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":206,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[],"lives":[]}