Nirtanyahu personal page - To The Moon

Nirtanyahu

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2025-04-05

People who makes this statemene r certainly not businessman but a corrupt fan of a politician... Polticaon makes million as a politician career.. What are the odds. Trump will win.

Trump Is Fighting a Trade War He Can’t Win. The Stock Market Is the Loser

2025-04-04

Good it's actually Trump vs the feds..

Fed's Powell Says Larger-Than-Expected Tariffs Likely to Boost Inflation, Slow Growth

2025-04-03

Smart move.. Power

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2025-04-02

Dnt understand why they retaliate... That will have impact on all goods n services locally.. Dumbass.. Then blame the inflation.. Wtf..

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2025-04-02

Ofc it does... See yourself the board the directors... Boooom

Grab Obtains LTA Licence to Operate Taxis in Singapore

2025-04-01

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ bearish

2025-03-26

Nah bs... It's a scaremongering tactic.. As always legacy media.

Copper Prices Hit a Record. What It Says About a Recession

2025-03-11

What landing is bs.. Awaiting for the real reset coming..

Wall Street Fears Trump Will Wreck the Soft Landing

2025-02-18

Embracing Fort KNOXX.. News...

2025-02-15

What if Crypto asic mining machine can Do #AI Baaaaaaaam.

2025-02-15

$Orchid Island Capital(ORC)$

2024-12-28

$AGNC Investment Corp(AGNC)$

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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Polticaon makes million as a politician career.. What are the odds.&nbsp; Trump will win.&nbsp;","listText":"People who makes this statemene r certainly not businessman but a corrupt fan of a&nbsp;politician... Polticaon makes million as a politician career.. What are the odds.&nbsp; Trump will win.&nbsp;","text":"People who makes this statemene r certainly not businessman but a corrupt fan of a politician... Polticaon makes million as a politician career.. What are the odds. Trump will win.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/421213706780952","repostId":"2525734974","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2525734974","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1743826500,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2525734974?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2025-04-05 12:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Trump Is Fighting a Trade War He Can’t Win. The Stock Market Is the Loser","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2525734974","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Forget economics. It’s the rules of battle investors should pay attention to now that President Donald Trump has launched a full-bore trade war against enemies and allies alike.On Friday, China announ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Forget economics. It’s the rules of battle investors should pay attention to now that President Donald Trump has launched a full-bore trade war against enemies and allies alike.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f5cbd67d757d6360790b5bf65a1435d1\" alt=\"On Friday, China announced 34% tariffs on the U.S., causing a stock market already reeling from Trump’s announcement to take another leg lower.\" title=\"On Friday, China announced 34% tariffs on the U.S., causing a stock market already reeling from Trump’s announcement to take another leg lower.\" tg-width=\"923\" tg-height=\"614\"/><span>On Friday, China announced 34% tariffs on the U.S., causing a stock market already reeling from Trump’s announcement to take another leg lower.</span></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“Liberation Day,” as Trump dubbed the announcement of broad tariffs on U.S. trading partners, was the moment skirmishes morphed into a full-blown conflict. The U.S. has set a baseline levy of 10% on all trading partners, with higher penalties on countries deemed the worst offenders by the administration. The final numbers aren’t based on tariff levels other countries have placed on the U.S., but on a formula involving Greek letters, trade balances, and lots of make-believe.</p><p>While trade wars don’t involve armies and bloodshed, some of the same rules apply—especially when it’s a war of choice. Strengths need to be assessed, allies cajoled, goals set, and preparations made. When done right, victory can be reached with relative ease and result in an increase in standing. When poorly planned, strengths turn into weakness, quick victories become battles of attrition, and unintended consequences can last for years. The worst defeats come when a country overestimates its own strength and its opponents’ weakness—think Napoleon invading Russia while engaged with the United Kingdom—and finds itself overstretched and outmatched.</p><p>A trade war isn’t much different. Targeting a country for unfair practices in a unified front with allies makes sense, and the tariffs placed on China during Trump’s first term, though imperfect, fall into that category. Liberation Day, however, was akin to launching an attack on everyone all at once. Now the U.S. is fighting a trade war on all fronts, while its opponents are only fighting the U.S. The risks far outweigh the rewards—and the risk for the stock market remains to the downside, even with the S&amp;P 500 index already down 17% from its Feb. 19 high.</p><p>“When you engage in a global fight, where the other countries are only engaged in a fight against you, it’s much more asymmetric,” writes BCA Research strategist Peter Berezin, who set a 4450 target on the S&amp;P 500 at the end of last year, the lowest on the Street.</p><p>Many observers point to the possibility of negotiations that bring the tariffs down—and end the selling—even though it’s unclear whether the president is even willing to do so. (He also posted a video on Truth Social saying he’s intentionally crashing the market.) U.S. trading partners might not want to negotiate either, particularly given how popular going up against Trump seems to be. From France’s President Emmanuel Macron, who called for suspending investment in the U.S. by European companies, to Canada’s Prime Minister Mark Carney, bashing Trump has been good politics. What’s more, negotiations won’t favor the U.S., even if Trump wants to engage, explains 22V strategist Dennis DeBusschere. “We are not geopolitical game theorists, but the design of the U.S. tariffs is so poor that it puts the U.S. in a weak negotiating position,” he writes.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The counterattacks have already started. On Friday, China announced 34% tariffs on the U.S., causing a stock market already reeling from Trump’s announcement to take another leg lower. Former allies, too, are acknowledging that what existed before has ceased to exist. Canada’s Carney, who has already matched Trump’s tariffs on cars, said 80 years of U.S. global economic leadership is over. “While this is a tragedy, it is also the new reality,” he said.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">It’s at moments like these that investors look for outside help to shore up markets. When stocks cratered due to the lockdowns imposed because of Covid-19, the Federal Reserve stepped in by cutting rates and making sure financial institutions wouldn’t face a liquidity squeeze. The ensuing rally was breathtaking and, coupled with generous spending by the federal government, prolonged. Similarly, a near bear market in 2018 caused Fed Chair Jerome Powell to blink—and set the S&amp;P 500 up for a great 2019.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The market is already pricing in more Fed cuts this year than it was just a week ago, including a 100% chance of one at the June Federal Open Market Committee meeting. If the stock market continues to fall like this, the Fed could even decide to lower interest rates before its May meeting, says James Stack, founder of InvesTech Research.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The only problem: While cuts could cause the market to bounce in the short term, it isn’t unprecedented for them to have little impact in the medium term. Stack points to the 2008-09 financial crisis, which occurred even though the Fed started lowering rates in September 2007. “If the market slides too fast, I wouldn’t rule out an emergency pre-emptive cut,” he says. “I wouldn’t count on that stabilizing the market.”</p><p>It didn’t have to be this way. While the economy wasn’t perfect, it was holding up well heading into the New Year. And Friday’s payrolls report, which showed an increase of 228,000 jobs in March, suggests that the activity is still in a good place.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Few expect it to remain there. The latest numbers don’t capture the latest tariffs—or companies’ response to them—but souring sentiment suggests that executives were locked and loaded and ready to act. On Thursday, Chrysler parent Stellantis temporarily laid off workers in U.S. plants that assemble cars from parts made in Mexico and Canada, and other car makers could follow suit.</p><p>“It’s a pity to see the administration take a perfectly good economy and hit it with a wrecking ball,” says Ed Yardeni, president of Yardeni Research.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">And what a wrecking ball it is. The moves will bring tariffs up from 2.5% at the end of 2024 to more than 20% when they go into effect. That is the highest levels since the 1930s, when the Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act helped turned a recession into the Great Depression.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The UBS economics team believes that U.S. gross domestic product could take a 1.5-to-two percentage-point hit due to U.S. tariffs, while inflation could rise to near 5%. “The magnitude of damage they could cause to the U.S. economy makes one’s rational mind regard the possibility of them sticking as low,” UBS strategist Bhanu Baweja writes of the tariffs.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">While President Donald Trump called it Liberation Day, others have dubbed it “Hibernation Day,” “Ruination Day,” or even “Obliteration Day.” We’ll just call it the next step on the way to a bear market, which is almost surely on its way. It’s already arrived for the small-cap Russell 2000 index, down 25% since hitting a 52-week high on Nov. 25, fell into one on Thursday, while theNasdaq Composite, off 22% since Dec. 16, joined it on Friday. The S&amp;P 500, at 5238, would need to drop another 3.9% to 4915 to reach the 20% decline needed to call it a bear market. At this rate, it could get there next week.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The problem with bear markets, at least the ones that aren’t immediately headed off with massive Fed action and government spending, is that they can be long and arduous. If what is happening now is like the pandemic selloff, the rebound could start in days. But the average bear market lasts nine months and can be even longer if the conditions are ripe. The S&amp;P 500, for instance, didn’t bottom until March 2003 after peaking in March 2000. “If it’s a bear market in the Russell, it will be a bear market in the other indexes,” InvestTech’s Stack says. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Other metrics, too, suggest that investors haven’t gotten risk-averse enough just yet. The S&amp;P 500, at 19.5 times 12-month forward earnings, is down three points from its February peak, but is only back to where it was in January 2024. Earnings estimates for 2025 have started coming down, but still suggest double-digit growth this year. Technical indicators, too, point to more selling to come: Twenty-seven percent of the stocks in the S&amp;P 500 continue to trade above their 200-day moving average, above the 20%-or-lower level that would signal a washout.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Options markets are getting closer to sending a buy signal, but are not quite there yet. The Cboe Volatility Index, or VIX, hit nearly 46 on Friday but is still below the 66 peak it reached during last August’s Japan-inspired selloff. Implied correlation—a measure of stocks’ propensity to trade in sync with each other—has also risen but could rise even more, suggesting that even defensive sectors like staples and healthcare, which have held up so far, could drop as well, says 22V’s DeBusschere. “It’s just safer to reduce risk and be on the sidelines,” he writes.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">In other words, it’s time for risk management, not panic. Stack, who had moved his clients into portfolios consisting heavily of cash, healthcare, dividend payers, and staples before the tariff announcement, recommends making changes if the idea of another 10% decline in the stock market makes an investor uncomfortable. “Don’t put cash under a mattress and hide,” he says. “Reduce exposure so you can sleep at night.”</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">And it will be tempting for investors, conditioned to buy the dip, to jump in at the first sign of a bounce. But unless something changes materially, investors should fight the temptation to chase the market higher. “Everyone says buy the dip, but not now,” says Bill Strazzullo, chief market strategist at Bell Curve Trading. “This isn’t the time for it.”</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">We’ll be waiting for armistice day.</p><p></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Trump Is Fighting a Trade War He Can’t Win. The Stock Market Is the Loser</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTrump Is Fighting a Trade War He Can’t Win. The Stock Market Is the Loser\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2025-04-05 12:15</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Forget economics. It’s the rules of battle investors should pay attention to now that President Donald Trump has launched a full-bore trade war against enemies and allies alike.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f5cbd67d757d6360790b5bf65a1435d1\" alt=\"On Friday, China announced 34% tariffs on the U.S., causing a stock market already reeling from Trump’s announcement to take another leg lower.\" title=\"On Friday, China announced 34% tariffs on the U.S., causing a stock market already reeling from Trump’s announcement to take another leg lower.\" tg-width=\"923\" tg-height=\"614\"/><span>On Friday, China announced 34% tariffs on the U.S., causing a stock market already reeling from Trump’s announcement to take another leg lower.</span></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“Liberation Day,” as Trump dubbed the announcement of broad tariffs on U.S. trading partners, was the moment skirmishes morphed into a full-blown conflict. The U.S. has set a baseline levy of 10% on all trading partners, with higher penalties on countries deemed the worst offenders by the administration. The final numbers aren’t based on tariff levels other countries have placed on the U.S., but on a formula involving Greek letters, trade balances, and lots of make-believe.</p><p>While trade wars don’t involve armies and bloodshed, some of the same rules apply—especially when it’s a war of choice. Strengths need to be assessed, allies cajoled, goals set, and preparations made. When done right, victory can be reached with relative ease and result in an increase in standing. When poorly planned, strengths turn into weakness, quick victories become battles of attrition, and unintended consequences can last for years. The worst defeats come when a country overestimates its own strength and its opponents’ weakness—think Napoleon invading Russia while engaged with the United Kingdom—and finds itself overstretched and outmatched.</p><p>A trade war isn’t much different. Targeting a country for unfair practices in a unified front with allies makes sense, and the tariffs placed on China during Trump’s first term, though imperfect, fall into that category. Liberation Day, however, was akin to launching an attack on everyone all at once. Now the U.S. is fighting a trade war on all fronts, while its opponents are only fighting the U.S. The risks far outweigh the rewards—and the risk for the stock market remains to the downside, even with the S&amp;P 500 index already down 17% from its Feb. 19 high.</p><p>“When you engage in a global fight, where the other countries are only engaged in a fight against you, it’s much more asymmetric,” writes BCA Research strategist Peter Berezin, who set a 4450 target on the S&amp;P 500 at the end of last year, the lowest on the Street.</p><p>Many observers point to the possibility of negotiations that bring the tariffs down—and end the selling—even though it’s unclear whether the president is even willing to do so. (He also posted a video on Truth Social saying he’s intentionally crashing the market.) U.S. trading partners might not want to negotiate either, particularly given how popular going up against Trump seems to be. From France’s President Emmanuel Macron, who called for suspending investment in the U.S. by European companies, to Canada’s Prime Minister Mark Carney, bashing Trump has been good politics. What’s more, negotiations won’t favor the U.S., even if Trump wants to engage, explains 22V strategist Dennis DeBusschere. “We are not geopolitical game theorists, but the design of the U.S. tariffs is so poor that it puts the U.S. in a weak negotiating position,” he writes.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The counterattacks have already started. On Friday, China announced 34% tariffs on the U.S., causing a stock market already reeling from Trump’s announcement to take another leg lower. Former allies, too, are acknowledging that what existed before has ceased to exist. Canada’s Carney, who has already matched Trump’s tariffs on cars, said 80 years of U.S. global economic leadership is over. “While this is a tragedy, it is also the new reality,” he said.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">It’s at moments like these that investors look for outside help to shore up markets. When stocks cratered due to the lockdowns imposed because of Covid-19, the Federal Reserve stepped in by cutting rates and making sure financial institutions wouldn’t face a liquidity squeeze. The ensuing rally was breathtaking and, coupled with generous spending by the federal government, prolonged. Similarly, a near bear market in 2018 caused Fed Chair Jerome Powell to blink—and set the S&amp;P 500 up for a great 2019.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The market is already pricing in more Fed cuts this year than it was just a week ago, including a 100% chance of one at the June Federal Open Market Committee meeting. If the stock market continues to fall like this, the Fed could even decide to lower interest rates before its May meeting, says James Stack, founder of InvesTech Research.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The only problem: While cuts could cause the market to bounce in the short term, it isn’t unprecedented for them to have little impact in the medium term. Stack points to the 2008-09 financial crisis, which occurred even though the Fed started lowering rates in September 2007. “If the market slides too fast, I wouldn’t rule out an emergency pre-emptive cut,” he says. “I wouldn’t count on that stabilizing the market.”</p><p>It didn’t have to be this way. While the economy wasn’t perfect, it was holding up well heading into the New Year. And Friday’s payrolls report, which showed an increase of 228,000 jobs in March, suggests that the activity is still in a good place.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Few expect it to remain there. The latest numbers don’t capture the latest tariffs—or companies’ response to them—but souring sentiment suggests that executives were locked and loaded and ready to act. On Thursday, Chrysler parent Stellantis temporarily laid off workers in U.S. plants that assemble cars from parts made in Mexico and Canada, and other car makers could follow suit.</p><p>“It’s a pity to see the administration take a perfectly good economy and hit it with a wrecking ball,” says Ed Yardeni, president of Yardeni Research.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">And what a wrecking ball it is. The moves will bring tariffs up from 2.5% at the end of 2024 to more than 20% when they go into effect. That is the highest levels since the 1930s, when the Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act helped turned a recession into the Great Depression.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The UBS economics team believes that U.S. gross domestic product could take a 1.5-to-two percentage-point hit due to U.S. tariffs, while inflation could rise to near 5%. “The magnitude of damage they could cause to the U.S. economy makes one’s rational mind regard the possibility of them sticking as low,” UBS strategist Bhanu Baweja writes of the tariffs.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">While President Donald Trump called it Liberation Day, others have dubbed it “Hibernation Day,” “Ruination Day,” or even “Obliteration Day.” We’ll just call it the next step on the way to a bear market, which is almost surely on its way. It’s already arrived for the small-cap Russell 2000 index, down 25% since hitting a 52-week high on Nov. 25, fell into one on Thursday, while theNasdaq Composite, off 22% since Dec. 16, joined it on Friday. The S&amp;P 500, at 5238, would need to drop another 3.9% to 4915 to reach the 20% decline needed to call it a bear market. At this rate, it could get there next week.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The problem with bear markets, at least the ones that aren’t immediately headed off with massive Fed action and government spending, is that they can be long and arduous. If what is happening now is like the pandemic selloff, the rebound could start in days. But the average bear market lasts nine months and can be even longer if the conditions are ripe. The S&amp;P 500, for instance, didn’t bottom until March 2003 after peaking in March 2000. “If it’s a bear market in the Russell, it will be a bear market in the other indexes,” InvestTech’s Stack says. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Other metrics, too, suggest that investors haven’t gotten risk-averse enough just yet. The S&amp;P 500, at 19.5 times 12-month forward earnings, is down three points from its February peak, but is only back to where it was in January 2024. Earnings estimates for 2025 have started coming down, but still suggest double-digit growth this year. Technical indicators, too, point to more selling to come: Twenty-seven percent of the stocks in the S&amp;P 500 continue to trade above their 200-day moving average, above the 20%-or-lower level that would signal a washout.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Options markets are getting closer to sending a buy signal, but are not quite there yet. The Cboe Volatility Index, or VIX, hit nearly 46 on Friday but is still below the 66 peak it reached during last August’s Japan-inspired selloff. Implied correlation—a measure of stocks’ propensity to trade in sync with each other—has also risen but could rise even more, suggesting that even defensive sectors like staples and healthcare, which have held up so far, could drop as well, says 22V’s DeBusschere. “It’s just safer to reduce risk and be on the sidelines,” he writes.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">In other words, it’s time for risk management, not panic. Stack, who had moved his clients into portfolios consisting heavily of cash, healthcare, dividend payers, and staples before the tariff announcement, recommends making changes if the idea of another 10% decline in the stock market makes an investor uncomfortable. “Don’t put cash under a mattress and hide,” he says. “Reduce exposure so you can sleep at night.”</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">And it will be tempting for investors, conditioned to buy the dip, to jump in at the first sign of a bounce. But unless something changes materially, investors should fight the temptation to chase the market higher. “Everyone says buy the dip, but not now,” says Bill Strazzullo, chief market strategist at Bell Curve Trading. “This isn’t the time for it.”</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">We’ll be waiting for armistice day.</p><p></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4581":"高盛持仓",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4504":"桥水持仓",".DJI":"道琼斯","LU1064927863.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - Europe Dynamic A (acc) SGD-H","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4099":"汽车制造商","BK4588":"碎股","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://dowjonesnews.com/newdjn/logon.aspx?AL=N","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2525734974","content_text":"Forget economics. It’s the rules of battle investors should pay attention to now that President Donald Trump has launched a full-bore trade war against enemies and allies alike.On Friday, China announced 34% tariffs on the U.S., causing a stock market already reeling from Trump’s announcement to take another leg lower.“Liberation Day,” as Trump dubbed the announcement of broad tariffs on U.S. trading partners, was the moment skirmishes morphed into a full-blown conflict. The U.S. has set a baseline levy of 10% on all trading partners, with higher penalties on countries deemed the worst offenders by the administration. The final numbers aren’t based on tariff levels other countries have placed on the U.S., but on a formula involving Greek letters, trade balances, and lots of make-believe.While trade wars don’t involve armies and bloodshed, some of the same rules apply—especially when it’s a war of choice. Strengths need to be assessed, allies cajoled, goals set, and preparations made. When done right, victory can be reached with relative ease and result in an increase in standing. When poorly planned, strengths turn into weakness, quick victories become battles of attrition, and unintended consequences can last for years. The worst defeats come when a country overestimates its own strength and its opponents’ weakness—think Napoleon invading Russia while engaged with the United Kingdom—and finds itself overstretched and outmatched.A trade war isn’t much different. Targeting a country for unfair practices in a unified front with allies makes sense, and the tariffs placed on China during Trump’s first term, though imperfect, fall into that category. Liberation Day, however, was akin to launching an attack on everyone all at once. Now the U.S. is fighting a trade war on all fronts, while its opponents are only fighting the U.S. The risks far outweigh the rewards—and the risk for the stock market remains to the downside, even with the S&P 500 index already down 17% from its Feb. 19 high.“When you engage in a global fight, where the other countries are only engaged in a fight against you, it’s much more asymmetric,” writes BCA Research strategist Peter Berezin, who set a 4450 target on the S&P 500 at the end of last year, the lowest on the Street.Many observers point to the possibility of negotiations that bring the tariffs down—and end the selling—even though it’s unclear whether the president is even willing to do so. (He also posted a video on Truth Social saying he’s intentionally crashing the market.) U.S. trading partners might not want to negotiate either, particularly given how popular going up against Trump seems to be. From France’s President Emmanuel Macron, who called for suspending investment in the U.S. by European companies, to Canada’s Prime Minister Mark Carney, bashing Trump has been good politics. What’s more, negotiations won’t favor the U.S., even if Trump wants to engage, explains 22V strategist Dennis DeBusschere. “We are not geopolitical game theorists, but the design of the U.S. tariffs is so poor that it puts the U.S. in a weak negotiating position,” he writes.The counterattacks have already started. On Friday, China announced 34% tariffs on the U.S., causing a stock market already reeling from Trump’s announcement to take another leg lower. Former allies, too, are acknowledging that what existed before has ceased to exist. Canada’s Carney, who has already matched Trump’s tariffs on cars, said 80 years of U.S. global economic leadership is over. “While this is a tragedy, it is also the new reality,” he said.It’s at moments like these that investors look for outside help to shore up markets. When stocks cratered due to the lockdowns imposed because of Covid-19, the Federal Reserve stepped in by cutting rates and making sure financial institutions wouldn’t face a liquidity squeeze. The ensuing rally was breathtaking and, coupled with generous spending by the federal government, prolonged. Similarly, a near bear market in 2018 caused Fed Chair Jerome Powell to blink—and set the S&P 500 up for a great 2019.The market is already pricing in more Fed cuts this year than it was just a week ago, including a 100% chance of one at the June Federal Open Market Committee meeting. If the stock market continues to fall like this, the Fed could even decide to lower interest rates before its May meeting, says James Stack, founder of InvesTech Research.The only problem: While cuts could cause the market to bounce in the short term, it isn’t unprecedented for them to have little impact in the medium term. Stack points to the 2008-09 financial crisis, which occurred even though the Fed started lowering rates in September 2007. “If the market slides too fast, I wouldn’t rule out an emergency pre-emptive cut,” he says. “I wouldn’t count on that stabilizing the market.”It didn’t have to be this way. While the economy wasn’t perfect, it was holding up well heading into the New Year. And Friday’s payrolls report, which showed an increase of 228,000 jobs in March, suggests that the activity is still in a good place.Few expect it to remain there. The latest numbers don’t capture the latest tariffs—or companies’ response to them—but souring sentiment suggests that executives were locked and loaded and ready to act. On Thursday, Chrysler parent Stellantis temporarily laid off workers in U.S. plants that assemble cars from parts made in Mexico and Canada, and other car makers could follow suit.“It’s a pity to see the administration take a perfectly good economy and hit it with a wrecking ball,” says Ed Yardeni, president of Yardeni Research.And what a wrecking ball it is. The moves will bring tariffs up from 2.5% at the end of 2024 to more than 20% when they go into effect. That is the highest levels since the 1930s, when the Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act helped turned a recession into the Great Depression.The UBS economics team believes that U.S. gross domestic product could take a 1.5-to-two percentage-point hit due to U.S. tariffs, while inflation could rise to near 5%. “The magnitude of damage they could cause to the U.S. economy makes one’s rational mind regard the possibility of them sticking as low,” UBS strategist Bhanu Baweja writes of the tariffs.While President Donald Trump called it Liberation Day, others have dubbed it “Hibernation Day,” “Ruination Day,” or even “Obliteration Day.” We’ll just call it the next step on the way to a bear market, which is almost surely on its way. It’s already arrived for the small-cap Russell 2000 index, down 25% since hitting a 52-week high on Nov. 25, fell into one on Thursday, while theNasdaq Composite, off 22% since Dec. 16, joined it on Friday. The S&P 500, at 5238, would need to drop another 3.9% to 4915 to reach the 20% decline needed to call it a bear market. At this rate, it could get there next week.The problem with bear markets, at least the ones that aren’t immediately headed off with massive Fed action and government spending, is that they can be long and arduous. If what is happening now is like the pandemic selloff, the rebound could start in days. But the average bear market lasts nine months and can be even longer if the conditions are ripe. The S&P 500, for instance, didn’t bottom until March 2003 after peaking in March 2000. “If it’s a bear market in the Russell, it will be a bear market in the other indexes,” InvestTech’s Stack says. Other metrics, too, suggest that investors haven’t gotten risk-averse enough just yet. The S&P 500, at 19.5 times 12-month forward earnings, is down three points from its February peak, but is only back to where it was in January 2024. Earnings estimates for 2025 have started coming down, but still suggest double-digit growth this year. Technical indicators, too, point to more selling to come: Twenty-seven percent of the stocks in the S&P 500 continue to trade above their 200-day moving average, above the 20%-or-lower level that would signal a washout.Options markets are getting closer to sending a buy signal, but are not quite there yet. The Cboe Volatility Index, or VIX, hit nearly 46 on Friday but is still below the 66 peak it reached during last August’s Japan-inspired selloff. Implied correlation—a measure of stocks’ propensity to trade in sync with each other—has also risen but could rise even more, suggesting that even defensive sectors like staples and healthcare, which have held up so far, could drop as well, says 22V’s DeBusschere. “It’s just safer to reduce risk and be on the sidelines,” he writes.In other words, it’s time for risk management, not panic. Stack, who had moved his clients into portfolios consisting heavily of cash, healthcare, dividend payers, and staples before the tariff announcement, recommends making changes if the idea of another 10% decline in the stock market makes an investor uncomfortable. “Don’t put cash under a mattress and hide,” he says. “Reduce exposure so you can sleep at night.”And it will be tempting for investors, conditioned to buy the dip, to jump in at the first sign of a bounce. But unless something changes materially, investors should fight the temptation to chase the market higher. “Everyone says buy the dip, but not now,” says Bill Strazzullo, chief market strategist at Bell Curve Trading. “This isn’t the time for it.”We’ll be waiting for armistice day.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":1.1,"US10Y.BOND":0.9,"US6M.BOND":0.9,"US2Y.BOND":0.9,".DJI":1.1,"US30Y.BOND":0.9,"US3Y.BOND":0.9,"US7Y.BOND":0.9,".SPX":1.1,"US5Y.BOND":0.9,"US12M.BOND":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2051,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":420998094725480,"gmtCreate":1743781040724,"gmtModify":1743781985380,"author":{"id":"4191411889412432","authorId":"4191411889412432","name":"Nirtanyahu","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4191411889412432","authorIdStr":"4191411889412432"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good it's actually Trump vs the feds..&nbsp;","listText":"Good it's actually Trump vs the feds..&nbsp;","text":"Good it's actually Trump vs the feds..","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/420998094725480","repostId":"1197317173","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1197317173","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1032215980","head_image":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4567337cbdf294b657b1fa87c5488b48"},"pubTimestamp":1743780478,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1197317173?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2025-04-04 23:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Fed's Powell Says Larger-Than-Expected Tariffs Likely to Boost Inflation, Slow Growth","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1197317173","media":"Reuters","summary":"WASHINGTON, April 4 (Reuters) - President Donald Trump's new tariffs are \"larger than expected\" and the economic fallout including higher inflation and slower growth likely will be as well, Federal Re","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>WASHINGTON, April 4 (Reuters) - President Donald Trump&#39;s new tariffs are &#34;larger than expected,&#34; and the economic fallout including higher inflation and slower growth likely will be as well, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said on Friday, while cautioning it was still too soon to know what the right response from the central bank ought to be.</p><p>&#34;We face a highly uncertain outlook with elevated risks of both higher unemployment and higher inflation,&#34; undermining both of the Fed&#39;s mandates of 2% inflation and maximum employment, Powell told a business journalists&#39; conference in Arlington, Virginia, in remarks that pointed to difficult decisions ahead for the U.S. central bank and did nothing to staunch a global bloodletting in stock markets.</p><p>Powell spoke as equity markets from Tokyo to London to New York continued a swoon that has wiped some 10% off major U.S. stock indexes since Trump announced a raft of new tariffs on trading partners around the world on Wednesday.</p><p>Investors had looked to Powell&#39;s speech for reassurance that perhaps the Fed was poised to take supportive actions as it has in previous moments of extreme market duress, and Trump himself took to his social media platform to say now would be the &#34;perfect time&#34; for the Fed to cut interest rates.</p><p>But Powell did not address the selloff directly, instead acknowledging that the Fed faced the same uncertainty engulfing investors and company executives.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 Index was down another nearly 6%, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average 5.5% lower and the Nasdaq off 5%, ending a two-day decline that is the worst since the onset of the coronavirus pandemic in March 2020.</p><p>&#34;Powell’s comments support our view that the Fed is not poised to rush in and cut interest rates anytime soon, despite President Trump’s call right ahead of Chair Powell’s comments to do so,&#34; Nationwide Chief Economist Kathy Bostjancic said. &#34;As such, we maintain our view the Fed waits until (the fourth quarter) to cut interest rates as the acceleration in inflation in the coming months makes them hesitant to lower rates to support the slowing economy.&#34;</p><p>Powell said the Fed has time to wait for more data to decide how monetary policy should respond, but the central bank&#39;s focus will be on ensuring that inflation expectations remain anchored, particularly if Trump&#39;s import taxes touch off a more persistent jump in price pressures.</p><p>&#34;While tariffs are highly likely to generate at least a temporary rise in inflation, it is also possible that the effects could be more persistent,&#34; Powell said.</p><p>&#34;Our obligation is to keep longer-term inflation expectations well anchored and to make certain that a one-time increase in the price level does not become an ongoing inflation problem,&#34; he said.</p><p>Powell said it was not the Fed&#39;s role to comment on Trump&#39;s policies but rather to react to how they might affect an economy that he and his colleagues regarded just a few weeks ago as being in a &#34;sweet spot&#34; of falling inflation and low unemployment.</p><p>&#34;Uncertainty is high,&#34; Powell said in response to a question from the event moderators. &#34;What we&#39;ve learned is that the tariffs are higher than anticipated, higher than almost all forecasters predicted.&#34;</p><p>While it is unclear how it will play out, he said, &#34;the same is likely to be true of the economic effects, which will include higher inflation and slower growth.&#34;</p><p>Powell&#39;s comments highlighted the tension the Fed is seeing emerge between &#34;hard data&#34; that remains solid - the economy added 228,000 jobs in March with a 4.2% unemployment rate - and &#34;soft data&#34; like surveys and interviews with business contacts that point to a coming slowdown.</p><p>&#34;We are closely watching this tension between the hard and soft data. As the new policies and their likely economic effects become clearer, we will have a better sense of their implications for the economy and for monetary policy,&#34; Powell said.</p><p>&#34;We are well positioned to wait for greater clarity before considering any adjustments to our policy stance. It is too soon to say what will be the appropriate path for monetary policy.&#34;</p><h2 id=\"id_2076591641\" style=\"text-align: start;\">PUSH AND PULL</h2><p>The confounding set of risks, with prices rising even as the economy appears set to weaken, has become increasingly central to Fed commentary as the scope of Trump&#39;s tariff plans become clear and other countries respond.</p><p>China has announced retaliatory tariffs of 34% on all U.S. goods, restrictions on the export of minerals critical to the tech industry, and other measures including limits on imports of U.S.-raised chickens - a nod to Trump&#39;s support in rural, agricultural parts of the country.</p><p>Administration officials have so far downplayed the market sell-off, the worst since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, as necessary for U.S. economic gains in the future.</p><p>Retaliation by other countries like China, one of the largest U.S. trading partners and the wellspring of many trade grievances among U.S. politicians of both political parties, is one of the channels Fed officials have said could cause Trump&#39;s import taxes to lead to more persistent price pressures.</p><p>The push and pull expected between slower growth and rising prices could well keep the Fed on hold until it is clear which trend takes hold more forcefully.</p><p>Investors in contracts tied to the central bank&#39;s policy rate appear to be expecting the risks to growth will dominate.</p><p>Markets now expect four quarter-percentage-point interest rate cuts from the Fed this year versus three before Trump&#39;s announcement of tariffs that could tax imports an average of as much as 27% by some estimates, versus about 2.5% at the end of the Biden administration.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Fed's Powell Says Larger-Than-Expected Tariffs Likely to Boost Inflation, Slow Growth</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFed's Powell Says Larger-Than-Expected Tariffs Likely to Boost Inflation, Slow Growth\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1032215980\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4567337cbdf294b657b1fa87c5488b48);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2025-04-04 23:27</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>WASHINGTON, April 4 (Reuters) - President Donald Trump&#39;s new tariffs are &#34;larger than expected,&#34; and the economic fallout including higher inflation and slower growth likely will be as well, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said on Friday, while cautioning it was still too soon to know what the right response from the central bank ought to be.</p><p>&#34;We face a highly uncertain outlook with elevated risks of both higher unemployment and higher inflation,&#34; undermining both of the Fed&#39;s mandates of 2% inflation and maximum employment, Powell told a business journalists&#39; conference in Arlington, Virginia, in remarks that pointed to difficult decisions ahead for the U.S. central bank and did nothing to staunch a global bloodletting in stock markets.</p><p>Powell spoke as equity markets from Tokyo to London to New York continued a swoon that has wiped some 10% off major U.S. stock indexes since Trump announced a raft of new tariffs on trading partners around the world on Wednesday.</p><p>Investors had looked to Powell&#39;s speech for reassurance that perhaps the Fed was poised to take supportive actions as it has in previous moments of extreme market duress, and Trump himself took to his social media platform to say now would be the &#34;perfect time&#34; for the Fed to cut interest rates.</p><p>But Powell did not address the selloff directly, instead acknowledging that the Fed faced the same uncertainty engulfing investors and company executives.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 Index was down another nearly 6%, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average 5.5% lower and the Nasdaq off 5%, ending a two-day decline that is the worst since the onset of the coronavirus pandemic in March 2020.</p><p>&#34;Powell’s comments support our view that the Fed is not poised to rush in and cut interest rates anytime soon, despite President Trump’s call right ahead of Chair Powell’s comments to do so,&#34; Nationwide Chief Economist Kathy Bostjancic said. &#34;As such, we maintain our view the Fed waits until (the fourth quarter) to cut interest rates as the acceleration in inflation in the coming months makes them hesitant to lower rates to support the slowing economy.&#34;</p><p>Powell said the Fed has time to wait for more data to decide how monetary policy should respond, but the central bank&#39;s focus will be on ensuring that inflation expectations remain anchored, particularly if Trump&#39;s import taxes touch off a more persistent jump in price pressures.</p><p>&#34;While tariffs are highly likely to generate at least a temporary rise in inflation, it is also possible that the effects could be more persistent,&#34; Powell said.</p><p>&#34;Our obligation is to keep longer-term inflation expectations well anchored and to make certain that a one-time increase in the price level does not become an ongoing inflation problem,&#34; he said.</p><p>Powell said it was not the Fed&#39;s role to comment on Trump&#39;s policies but rather to react to how they might affect an economy that he and his colleagues regarded just a few weeks ago as being in a &#34;sweet spot&#34; of falling inflation and low unemployment.</p><p>&#34;Uncertainty is high,&#34; Powell said in response to a question from the event moderators. &#34;What we&#39;ve learned is that the tariffs are higher than anticipated, higher than almost all forecasters predicted.&#34;</p><p>While it is unclear how it will play out, he said, &#34;the same is likely to be true of the economic effects, which will include higher inflation and slower growth.&#34;</p><p>Powell&#39;s comments highlighted the tension the Fed is seeing emerge between &#34;hard data&#34; that remains solid - the economy added 228,000 jobs in March with a 4.2% unemployment rate - and &#34;soft data&#34; like surveys and interviews with business contacts that point to a coming slowdown.</p><p>&#34;We are closely watching this tension between the hard and soft data. As the new policies and their likely economic effects become clearer, we will have a better sense of their implications for the economy and for monetary policy,&#34; Powell said.</p><p>&#34;We are well positioned to wait for greater clarity before considering any adjustments to our policy stance. It is too soon to say what will be the appropriate path for monetary policy.&#34;</p><h2 id=\"id_2076591641\" style=\"text-align: start;\">PUSH AND PULL</h2><p>The confounding set of risks, with prices rising even as the economy appears set to weaken, has become increasingly central to Fed commentary as the scope of Trump&#39;s tariff plans become clear and other countries respond.</p><p>China has announced retaliatory tariffs of 34% on all U.S. goods, restrictions on the export of minerals critical to the tech industry, and other measures including limits on imports of U.S.-raised chickens - a nod to Trump&#39;s support in rural, agricultural parts of the country.</p><p>Administration officials have so far downplayed the market sell-off, the worst since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, as necessary for U.S. economic gains in the future.</p><p>Retaliation by other countries like China, one of the largest U.S. trading partners and the wellspring of many trade grievances among U.S. politicians of both political parties, is one of the channels Fed officials have said could cause Trump&#39;s import taxes to lead to more persistent price pressures.</p><p>The push and pull expected between slower growth and rising prices could well keep the Fed on hold until it is clear which trend takes hold more forcefully.</p><p>Investors in contracts tied to the central bank&#39;s policy rate appear to be expecting the risks to growth will dominate.</p><p>Markets now expect four quarter-percentage-point interest rate cuts from the Fed this year versus three before Trump&#39;s announcement of tariffs that could tax imports an average of as much as 27% by some estimates, versus about 2.5% at the end of the Biden administration.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-04-04/powell-signals-fed-would-respond-to-persistent-inflation-shock","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1197317173","content_text":"WASHINGTON, April 4 (Reuters) - President Donald Trump's new tariffs are \"larger than expected,\" and the economic fallout including higher inflation and slower growth likely will be as well, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said on Friday, while cautioning it was still too soon to know what the right response from the central bank ought to be.\"We face a highly uncertain outlook with elevated risks of both higher unemployment and higher inflation,\" undermining both of the Fed's mandates of 2% inflation and maximum employment, Powell told a business journalists' conference in Arlington, Virginia, in remarks that pointed to difficult decisions ahead for the U.S. central bank and did nothing to staunch a global bloodletting in stock markets.Powell spoke as equity markets from Tokyo to London to New York continued a swoon that has wiped some 10% off major U.S. stock indexes since Trump announced a raft of new tariffs on trading partners around the world on Wednesday.Investors had looked to Powell's speech for reassurance that perhaps the Fed was poised to take supportive actions as it has in previous moments of extreme market duress, and Trump himself took to his social media platform to say now would be the \"perfect time\" for the Fed to cut interest rates.But Powell did not address the selloff directly, instead acknowledging that the Fed faced the same uncertainty engulfing investors and company executives.The S&P 500 Index was down another nearly 6%, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average 5.5% lower and the Nasdaq off 5%, ending a two-day decline that is the worst since the onset of the coronavirus pandemic in March 2020.\"Powell’s comments support our view that the Fed is not poised to rush in and cut interest rates anytime soon, despite President Trump’s call right ahead of Chair Powell’s comments to do so,\" Nationwide Chief Economist Kathy Bostjancic said. \"As such, we maintain our view the Fed waits until (the fourth quarter) to cut interest rates as the acceleration in inflation in the coming months makes them hesitant to lower rates to support the slowing economy.\"Powell said the Fed has time to wait for more data to decide how monetary policy should respond, but the central bank's focus will be on ensuring that inflation expectations remain anchored, particularly if Trump's import taxes touch off a more persistent jump in price pressures.\"While tariffs are highly likely to generate at least a temporary rise in inflation, it is also possible that the effects could be more persistent,\" Powell said.\"Our obligation is to keep longer-term inflation expectations well anchored and to make certain that a one-time increase in the price level does not become an ongoing inflation problem,\" he said.Powell said it was not the Fed's role to comment on Trump's policies but rather to react to how they might affect an economy that he and his colleagues regarded just a few weeks ago as being in a \"sweet spot\" of falling inflation and low unemployment.\"Uncertainty is high,\" Powell said in response to a question from the event moderators. \"What we've learned is that the tariffs are higher than anticipated, higher than almost all forecasters predicted.\"While it is unclear how it will play out, he said, \"the same is likely to be true of the economic effects, which will include higher inflation and slower growth.\"Powell's comments highlighted the tension the Fed is seeing emerge between \"hard data\" that remains solid - the economy added 228,000 jobs in March with a 4.2% unemployment rate - and \"soft data\" like surveys and interviews with business contacts that point to a coming slowdown.\"We are closely watching this tension between the hard and soft data. As the new policies and their likely economic effects become clearer, we will have a better sense of their implications for the economy and for monetary policy,\" Powell said.\"We are well positioned to wait for greater clarity before considering any adjustments to our policy stance. It is too soon to say what will be the appropriate path for monetary policy.\"PUSH AND PULLThe confounding set of risks, with prices rising even as the economy appears set to weaken, has become increasingly central to Fed commentary as the scope of Trump's tariff plans become clear and other countries respond.China has announced retaliatory tariffs of 34% on all U.S. goods, restrictions on the export of minerals critical to the tech industry, and other measures including limits on imports of U.S.-raised chickens - a nod to Trump's support in rural, agricultural parts of the country.Administration officials have so far downplayed the market sell-off, the worst since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, as necessary for U.S. economic gains in the future.Retaliation by other countries like China, one of the largest U.S. trading partners and the wellspring of many trade grievances among U.S. politicians of both political parties, is one of the channels Fed officials have said could cause Trump's import taxes to lead to more persistent price pressures.The push and pull expected between slower growth and rising prices could well keep the Fed on hold until it is clear which trend takes hold more forcefully.Investors in contracts tied to the central bank's policy rate appear to be expecting the risks to growth will dominate.Markets now expect four quarter-percentage-point interest rate cuts from the Fed this year versus three before Trump's announcement of tariffs that could tax imports an average of as much as 27% by some estimates, versus about 2.5% at the end of the Biden administration.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":1.1,".SPX":1.1,".DJI":1.1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1678,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":420450286805216,"gmtCreate":1743679917297,"gmtModify":1743679921129,"author":{"id":"4191411889412432","authorId":"4191411889412432","name":"Nirtanyahu","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4191411889412432","authorIdStr":"4191411889412432"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Smart move.. Power","listText":"Smart move.. Power","text":"Smart move.. Power","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/420450286805216","repostId":"1106747407","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1544,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":420083925172344,"gmtCreate":1743590198821,"gmtModify":1743591919768,"author":{"id":"4191411889412432","authorId":"4191411889412432","name":"Nirtanyahu","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4191411889412432","authorIdStr":"4191411889412432"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Dnt understand why they retaliate... That will have impact on all goods n services locally.. Dumbass.. Then blame the inflation.. Wtf..&nbsp;","listText":"Dnt understand why they retaliate... That will have impact on all goods n services locally.. Dumbass.. Then blame the inflation.. Wtf..&nbsp;","text":"Dnt understand why they retaliate... That will have impact on all goods n services locally.. Dumbass.. Then blame the inflation.. Wtf..","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/420083925172344","repostId":"2524016454","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1492,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":420010151100552,"gmtCreate":1743573147309,"gmtModify":1743573151523,"author":{"id":"4191411889412432","authorId":"4191411889412432","name":"Nirtanyahu","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4191411889412432","authorIdStr":"4191411889412432"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ofc it does... See yourself&nbsp;the board the directors...&nbsp; Boooom","listText":"Ofc it does... See yourself&nbsp;the board the directors...&nbsp; Boooom","text":"Ofc it does... See yourself the board the directors... Boooom","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/420010151100552","repostId":"1173111202","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1173111202","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1743571417,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1173111202?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2025-04-02 13:23","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Grab Obtains LTA Licence to Operate Taxis in Singapore","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1173111202","media":"The Edge Singapore","summary":"The Land Transport Authority (LTA) has awarded a Street-hail Service Operator Licence (SSOL) to GrabCab, a subsidiary of Grab Rentals and sister company of GrabCar, which holds a Ride-hail Service Ope","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The Land Transport Authority (LTA) has awarded a Street-hail Service Operator Licence (SSOL) to GrabCab, a subsidiary of Grab Rentals and sister company of GrabCar, which holds a Ride-hail Service Operator Licence (RSOL) and a Car-pool Service Operator Licence (CSOL).    </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">GrabCab’s entry into the street-hail sector brings the total number of taxi operators in Singapore to six, and is expected to boost taxi supply. Under the licence, GrabCab will be allowed a three-year grace period to progressively expand their fleet to meet the minimum fleet size requirement of 800 taxis.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Valid for 10 years, the licence will commence from April 9. GrabCab will need to comply with the conditions of its licence, including meeting LTA’s safety standards and ensuring that partnership arrangements with drivers are non-exclusive in nature.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">GrabCab’s licence terms are consistent with that of other existing street-hail operators. GrabCab must ensure that its taxis are easily identifiable by street-hail customers, including having a prominent roof-top sign and a distinctive livery scheme. Its vehicle models must be approved by LTA, and must meet requirements such as having sufficient boot space to carry a folded wheelchair or luggage.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Its street-hail services must also follow the same taxi fare structure components as other street-hail operators and its fare must be prominently displayed, so that passengers are informed on the applicable fare rates.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Commenting on the matter, a Grab spokesperson says: “Grab is grateful to LTA for granting us a taxi license, which provides us the opportunity to introduce GrabCab, a taxi fleet to complement private hire cars on our platform. This enables us to address unmet consumer demand and improve ride availability, particularly during peak hours, late nights and in areas only accessible by taxis. It also positions us to better serve the anticipated growth in point-to-point rides in the coming years, while catering to consumers who prefer street-hailing.&#34;</p><p>Grab will be sponsoring the Taxi Driver’s Vocational Licence course fees for aspiring taxi drivers and six-month National Taxi Association membership fees for new members planning to join GrabCab. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">&#34;In the coming months, we will launch our 100% green GrabCab fleet, featuring popular low- and zero-emission hybrid and electric vehicles from leading manufacturers, offering consumers a greener way to travel. We will work with GrabCab drivers to uphold high service standards, and leverage our industry-leading technology to enhance safety and convenience for all,&#34; says the spokesperson, adding that some planned initiatives include deploying Internet of Things (IoT) devices to promote safe driving practices and digitalising the street-hail and relief driver matching experiences for increased convenience. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">&#34;Grab remains committed to maintaining an open and fair platform for all PHV and taxi drivers. We will continue to treat all drivers fairly, match them with optimal bookings, and empower them to maximise their productivity on our platform. This approach also ensures our marketplace remains efficient, providing consumers with a better ride-hailing experience,&#34; the group adds. </p></body></html>","source":"lsy1655096814160","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Grab Obtains LTA Licence to Operate Taxis in Singapore</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGrab Obtains LTA Licence to Operate Taxis in Singapore\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2025-04-02 13:23 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.theedgesingapore.com/news/company-news/grab-obtains-lta-licence-operate-taxis-singapore><strong>The Edge Singapore</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The Land Transport Authority (LTA) has awarded a Street-hail Service Operator Licence (SSOL) to GrabCab, a subsidiary of Grab Rentals and sister company of GrabCar, which holds a Ride-hail Service ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.theedgesingapore.com/news/company-news/grab-obtains-lta-licence-operate-taxis-singapore\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GRAB":"Grab Holdings"},"source_url":"https://www.theedgesingapore.com/news/company-news/grab-obtains-lta-licence-operate-taxis-singapore","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1173111202","content_text":"The Land Transport Authority (LTA) has awarded a Street-hail Service Operator Licence (SSOL) to GrabCab, a subsidiary of Grab Rentals and sister company of GrabCar, which holds a Ride-hail Service Operator Licence (RSOL) and a Car-pool Service Operator Licence (CSOL).    GrabCab’s entry into the street-hail sector brings the total number of taxi operators in Singapore to six, and is expected to boost taxi supply. Under the licence, GrabCab will be allowed a three-year grace period to progressively expand their fleet to meet the minimum fleet size requirement of 800 taxis.Valid for 10 years, the licence will commence from April 9. GrabCab will need to comply with the conditions of its licence, including meeting LTA’s safety standards and ensuring that partnership arrangements with drivers are non-exclusive in nature.GrabCab’s licence terms are consistent with that of other existing street-hail operators. GrabCab must ensure that its taxis are easily identifiable by street-hail customers, including having a prominent roof-top sign and a distinctive livery scheme. Its vehicle models must be approved by LTA, and must meet requirements such as having sufficient boot space to carry a folded wheelchair or luggage.Its street-hail services must also follow the same taxi fare structure components as other street-hail operators and its fare must be prominently displayed, so that passengers are informed on the applicable fare rates.Commenting on the matter, a Grab spokesperson says: “Grab is grateful to LTA for granting us a taxi license, which provides us the opportunity to introduce GrabCab, a taxi fleet to complement private hire cars on our platform. This enables us to address unmet consumer demand and improve ride availability, particularly during peak hours, late nights and in areas only accessible by taxis. It also positions us to better serve the anticipated growth in point-to-point rides in the coming years, while catering to consumers who prefer street-hailing.\"Grab will be sponsoring the Taxi Driver’s Vocational Licence course fees for aspiring taxi drivers and six-month National Taxi Association membership fees for new members planning to join GrabCab. \"In the coming months, we will launch our 100% green GrabCab fleet, featuring popular low- and zero-emission hybrid and electric vehicles from leading manufacturers, offering consumers a greener way to travel. We will work with GrabCab drivers to uphold high service standards, and leverage our industry-leading technology to enhance safety and convenience for all,\" says the spokesperson, adding that some planned initiatives include deploying Internet of Things (IoT) devices to promote safe driving practices and digitalising the street-hail and relief driver matching experiences for increased convenience. \"Grab remains committed to maintaining an open and fair platform for all PHV and taxi drivers. We will continue to treat all drivers fairly, match them with optimal bookings, and empower them to maximise their productivity on our platform. This approach also ensures our marketplace remains efficient, providing consumers with a better ride-hailing experience,\" the group adds.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GRAB":1.1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1609,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":419721422823512,"gmtCreate":1743500606434,"gmtModify":1744267233435,"author":{"id":"4191411889412432","authorId":"4191411889412432","name":"Nirtanyahu","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4191411889412432","authorIdStr":"4191411889412432"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a> bearish","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a> bearish","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ bearish","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/419721422823512","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1458,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":417798292709736,"gmtCreate":1743000973868,"gmtModify":1743000979703,"author":{"id":"4191411889412432","authorId":"4191411889412432","name":"Nirtanyahu","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4191411889412432","authorIdStr":"4191411889412432"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nah bs... It's a scaremongering tactic.. As always legacy media.&nbsp;","listText":"Nah bs... It's a scaremongering tactic.. As always legacy media.&nbsp;","text":"Nah bs... It's a scaremongering tactic.. As always legacy media.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/417798292709736","repostId":"2522802341","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2522802341","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1743000215,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2522802341?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2025-03-26 22:43","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Copper Prices Hit a Record. What It Says About a Recession","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2522802341","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Copper prices are often a good recession indicator -- but Donald Trump's tariffs mean it might be time to stop putting much stock in them.The malleable metal, used in everything from buildings to cars","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Copper prices are often a good recession indicator -- but Donald Trump&#39;s tariffs mean it might be time to stop putting much stock in them.</p><p>The malleable metal, used in everything from buildings to cars, has long been seen as a reliable barometer for how the economy is doing. High prices tend to signal that construction and manufacturing activity is picking up.</p><p>So in normal times, the recent price movements of &#34;Dr. Copper&#34; would be seen as a cause for celebration. Futures for March delivery settled at a record $5.18 a pound Tuesday, surpassing the previous all-time high set last May.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9f58374fc0ce2339fae81f3c33c19f36\" tg-width=\"583\" tg-height=\"389\"/></p><p>But this rally is all about Trump&#39;s trade policies, rather than rising demand for wires and pipes. The President has threatened 25% tariffs on copper, so traders have responded by stockpiling the metal ahead of &#34;Liberation Day&#34; -- the April 2 deadline when many of the White House&#39;s levies are expected to take effect.</p><p>Analysts don&#39;t expect the surge to last long. &#34;As this is likely to be mainly a case of pulling demand forward, the price effect can be expected to reverse at a later stage,&#34; Commerzbank&#39;s Thu Lan Nguyen wrote in a note to clients. He added that the reversal is likely to be even sharper if Trump&#39;s trade policies end up weighing on the U.S. economy.</p><p>Copper mining stocks have surged this year -- Freeport-McMoRan is up 13% in 2025, while Southern Copper Corporation has gained 12%, Rio Tinto American depositary receipts are up 6.8%, and BHP Group ADRs have climbed 2.4%.</p><p>The spike in copper prices has come at a time when investors are fretting that tariffs could spark a flare-up in inflation and drag down growth. U.S. consumer confidence plummeted to its lowest level in more than four years this month, according to data published by the Conference Board on Tuesday.</p><p>Some market participants are even starting to use the dreaded R-word. Searches for &#34;recession&#34; have hit a multiyear high on Google Trends, and the number of mentions by the press has tripled compared with January, according to The Wall Street Journal.</p><p>Surging copper prices would usually be a reason to feel a little more cheerful. But in the age of Trump 2.0, this rally probably says very little about how the economy is doing.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Copper Prices Hit a Record. What It Says About a Recession</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCopper Prices Hit a Record. What It Says About a Recession\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2025-03-26 22:43</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Copper prices are often a good recession indicator -- but Donald Trump&#39;s tariffs mean it might be time to stop putting much stock in them.</p><p>The malleable metal, used in everything from buildings to cars, has long been seen as a reliable barometer for how the economy is doing. High prices tend to signal that construction and manufacturing activity is picking up.</p><p>So in normal times, the recent price movements of &#34;Dr. Copper&#34; would be seen as a cause for celebration. Futures for March delivery settled at a record $5.18 a pound Tuesday, surpassing the previous all-time high set last May.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9f58374fc0ce2339fae81f3c33c19f36\" tg-width=\"583\" tg-height=\"389\"/></p><p>But this rally is all about Trump&#39;s trade policies, rather than rising demand for wires and pipes. The President has threatened 25% tariffs on copper, so traders have responded by stockpiling the metal ahead of &#34;Liberation Day&#34; -- the April 2 deadline when many of the White House&#39;s levies are expected to take effect.</p><p>Analysts don&#39;t expect the surge to last long. &#34;As this is likely to be mainly a case of pulling demand forward, the price effect can be expected to reverse at a later stage,&#34; Commerzbank&#39;s Thu Lan Nguyen wrote in a note to clients. He added that the reversal is likely to be even sharper if Trump&#39;s trade policies end up weighing on the U.S. economy.</p><p>Copper mining stocks have surged this year -- Freeport-McMoRan is up 13% in 2025, while Southern Copper Corporation has gained 12%, Rio Tinto American depositary receipts are up 6.8%, and BHP Group ADRs have climbed 2.4%.</p><p>The spike in copper prices has come at a time when investors are fretting that tariffs could spark a flare-up in inflation and drag down growth. U.S. consumer confidence plummeted to its lowest level in more than four years this month, according to data published by the Conference Board on Tuesday.</p><p>Some market participants are even starting to use the dreaded R-word. Searches for &#34;recession&#34; have hit a multiyear high on Google Trends, and the number of mentions by the press has tripled compared with January, according to The Wall Street Journal.</p><p>Surging copper prices would usually be a reason to feel a little more cheerful. But in the age of Trump 2.0, this rally probably says very little about how the economy is doing.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK7095":"多种金属与采矿","FCX":"麦克莫兰铜金",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","BHP":"必和必拓公司","LU0050427557.USD":"富达拉丁美洲基金","BK4168":"多种金属与采矿","LU0708994859.HKD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL \"A\" (HKD) ACC","LU0278409577.USD":"MANULIFE GLOBAL FUND-GLOBAL RESOURCES FUND \"AA\" (USD) INC","LU0788109121.HKD":"BGF WORLD MINING \"A2\" (HKDHGD) ACC","LU0132412106.USD":"abrdn SICAV I - EMERGING MARKETS EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC",".DJI":"道琼斯","RIO":"力拓",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","LU0075056555.USD":"贝莱德世界矿业基金A2","IE00B19Z3B42.SGD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - Value A Acc SGD","LU1430597077.USD":"BGF NATURAL RESOURCES \"A\" (USD) INC","BK7511":"ESG概念","LU0029864427.USD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL \"A\" (USD) INC","LU1992135399.USD":"Allianz Global Intelligent Cities AT Acc USD","IE00B7SZLL34.SGD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - Value A Acc SGD-H","LU0345780950.USD":"NINETY ONE GSF GLOBAL NATURAL RESOURCES \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU1023059493.AUD":"Blackrock World Mining A2 AUD-H","LU0654597011.USD":"BGF NATURAL RESOURCES \"A4G\" (USD) INC","LU1883866441.USD":"AMUNDI FUNDS REAL ASSETS TARGET INCOME \"A2\" (USD) ACC","RIO.AU":"力拓","BK4588":"碎股","IE0002270589.USD":"LEGG MASON CLEARBRIDGE VALUE \"A\" (USD) INC","LU0128525929.USD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL \"A\" (USD) ACC","IE00B19Z9P08.USD":"LEGG MASON CLEARBRIDGE US AGGRESSIVE GROWTH \"A\" (USD) INC","IE00B894F039.SGD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - US Aggressive Growth A Acc SGD-H","LU0300736492.USD":"FRANKLIN NATURAL RESOURCES \"A\" (USD) INC","BK4566":"资本集团","LU0612318971.USD":"BGF NATURAL RESOURCES \"A5G\" (USD) INC","LU2272731600.USD":"Allianz Global Intelligent Cities AM Dis USD","LU2237438978.USD":"Amundi Funds US Pioneer A2 (C) USD","LU1992135472.HKD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL INTELLIGENT CITIES \"AT\" (HKD) ACC","LU0300736062.USD":"FRANKLIN NATURAL RESOURCES \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4015":"铜","LU0330918003.SGD":"Blackrock World Mining A2 SGD-H","LU0345781412.USD":"NINETY ONE GSF GLOBAL NATURAL RESOURCES \"A\" (USD) INC","LU0630314457.HKD":"NINETY ONE GSF GLOBAL NATURAL RESOURCES \"A\" (HKD) ACC","IE00BZ9MQY76.HKD":"FTGF CLEARBRIDGE US AGGRESSIVE GROWTH \"A\" (HKD) ACC","LU1267930573.SGD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL \"AA\" (SGD) ACC A","LU2462611646.USD":"AMUNDI FUNDS REAL ASSETS TARGET INCOME \"A2\" (USD) INC MTI","SCCO":"南方铜业","LU0612318385.USD":"BGF NATURAL RESOURCES \"A2\" (USD) ACC","LU2498475776.HKD":"AMUNDI FUNDS REAL ASSETS TARGET INCOME \"A2\" (HKD) INC","LU2272731782.SGD":"Allianz Global Intelligent Cities AM Dis H2-SGD","LU0505663152.USD":"abrdn SICAV I - FUTURE MINERALS \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0266512127.USD":"摩根大通环球自然资源 A(acc)","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK7507":"资源股"},"source_url":"https://dowjonesnews.com/newdjn/logon.aspx?AL=N","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2522802341","content_text":"Copper prices are often a good recession indicator -- but Donald Trump's tariffs mean it might be time to stop putting much stock in them.The malleable metal, used in everything from buildings to cars, has long been seen as a reliable barometer for how the economy is doing. High prices tend to signal that construction and manufacturing activity is picking up.So in normal times, the recent price movements of \"Dr. Copper\" would be seen as a cause for celebration. Futures for March delivery settled at a record $5.18 a pound Tuesday, surpassing the previous all-time high set last May.But this rally is all about Trump's trade policies, rather than rising demand for wires and pipes. The President has threatened 25% tariffs on copper, so traders have responded by stockpiling the metal ahead of \"Liberation Day\" -- the April 2 deadline when many of the White House's levies are expected to take effect.Analysts don't expect the surge to last long. \"As this is likely to be mainly a case of pulling demand forward, the price effect can be expected to reverse at a later stage,\" Commerzbank's Thu Lan Nguyen wrote in a note to clients. He added that the reversal is likely to be even sharper if Trump's trade policies end up weighing on the U.S. economy.Copper mining stocks have surged this year -- Freeport-McMoRan is up 13% in 2025, while Southern Copper Corporation has gained 12%, Rio Tinto American depositary receipts are up 6.8%, and BHP Group ADRs have climbed 2.4%.The spike in copper prices has come at a time when investors are fretting that tariffs could spark a flare-up in inflation and drag down growth. U.S. consumer confidence plummeted to its lowest level in more than four years this month, according to data published by the Conference Board on Tuesday.Some market participants are even starting to use the dreaded R-word. Searches for \"recession\" have hit a multiyear high on Google Trends, and the number of mentions by the press has tripled compared with January, according to The Wall Street Journal.Surging copper prices would usually be a reason to feel a little more cheerful. But in the age of Trump 2.0, this rally probably says very little about how the economy is doing.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":1.1,"BHP":0.9,".DJI":1.1,"RIO":0.9,".SPX":1.1,"FCX":0.9,"RIO.AU":0.9,"SCCO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2191,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":412342975578696,"gmtCreate":1741689790995,"gmtModify":1741689794833,"author":{"id":"4191411889412432","authorId":"4191411889412432","name":"Nirtanyahu","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4191411889412432","authorIdStr":"4191411889412432"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"What landing is bs..&nbsp; Awaiting for the real reset coming..&nbsp;","listText":"What landing is bs..&nbsp; Awaiting for the real reset coming..&nbsp;","text":"What landing is bs.. Awaiting for the real reset coming..","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/412342975578696","repostId":"2518217735","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2518217735","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1741686175,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2518217735?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2025-03-11 17:42","market":"fut","language":"en","title":"Wall Street Fears Trump Will Wreck the Soft Landing","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2518217735","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"For the past year, U.S. economic policymakers have been singularly focused on achieving a so-called soft landing that brings inflation down without a recession. Now, a new team of pilots are considering a course correction that, by their own acknowledgment, might tip the economy toward a hard landing.In an interview that aired Sunday on Fox News, Trump sidestepped a question about whether a recession could lie ahead. \"There is a period of transition because what we're doing is very big,\" he said. \"What I have to do is build a strong country. You can't really watch the stock market.\". Given a chance to explain those comments later Sunday, Trump instead doubled down in remarks to reporters on Air Force One that evening. \"Tariffs are going to be the greatest thing we've ever done as a country. It's going to make our country rich again,\" he said.Business travel has also softened. \"Where there are places where people just aren't quite sure what's going to happen, companies are pulling back,","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>By Nick Timiraos</p><p>For the past year, U.S. economic policymakers have been singularly focused on achieving a so-called soft landing that brings inflation down without a recession. Now, a new team of pilots are considering a course correction that, by their own acknowledgment, might tip the economy toward a hard landing.</p><p>President Trump and his senior advisers in recent days have signaled indifference to rising risks that trade uncertainty chills private-sector investment. They have argued a &#34;detox&#34; might be needed in spending and hiring, that falling stock values aren&#39;t a big worry, and that inflation could rise in the short run.</p><p>In an interview that aired Sunday on Fox News, Trump sidestepped a question about whether a recession could lie ahead. &#34;There is a period of transition because what we&#39;re doing is very big,&#34; he said. &#34;What I have to do is build a strong country. You can&#39;t really watch the stock market.&#34;</p><p>Given a chance to explain those comments later Sunday, Trump instead doubled down in remarks to reporters on Air Force One that evening. &#34;Tariffs are going to be the greatest thing we&#39;ve ever done as a country. It&#39;s going to make our country rich again,&#34; he said.</p><p>The comments roiled stock markets on Monday. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 890 points, down 2.1%. The S&amp;P 500 fell 2.7%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq fell 4%, its largest decline since 2022. All three major indexes are now below their levels recorded on Election Day last November.</p><p>Delta Air Lines said domestic demand had softened when it slashed its first-quarter earnings and revenue guidance after markets closed on Monday. The company saw a &#34;pretty significant shift&#34; in sentiment in February, and &#34;consumer spending started to stall,&#34; said Chief Executive Ed Bastian on CNBC.</p><p>Business travel has also softened. &#34;Where there are places where people just aren&#39;t quite sure what&#39;s going to happen, companies are pulling back,&#34; he said.</p><p>In recent days, advisers including Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick have warned tariffs could create a one-time increase in prices. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent suggested the U.S. economy may need a reset following years of growth supported by federal spending and rising asset prices. &#34;We&#39;ll see whether there&#39;s pain,&#34; he said Friday on CNBC.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b59634d1c00478236e72f507cec6183e\" tg-width=\"573\" tg-height=\"466\"/></p><p>To be sure, Trump inherited an economy with steady growth and lofty stock markets but vulnerabilities from a frozen housing sector and a cooling labor market. Investors began the year indifferent to those blemishes because they expected the new administration to focus on revving up growth. Stocks soared after Trump&#39;s election in November as investors anticipated a bullish cocktail of tax cuts and deregulation, as occurred in his first year as president in 2017.</p><p>&#34;People could only see the good side of what Trump was promising to do. That has basically evaporated, and now, we&#39;re back to recession watch,&#34; said Dario Perkins, an economist at GlobalData TS Lombard in London.</p><p>Analysts saw the shift in tone from the president and his advisers in recent days as particularly portentous. The administration initially seemed to focus on talking down the risks of higher government bond yields from an uptick in inflation or by pre-emptively blaming the departing Biden administration for any growth scare.</p><p>&#34;On Friday, I would have said I thought the administration was worried about their policies really slowing down the economy, and they were trying to lay the groundwork for the narrative that they inherited a weakening economy,&#34; said Michael Strain, head of economic-policy studies at the right-leaning American Enterprise Institute.</p><p>More recent comments seem to have gone beyond that.</p><p>&#34;Now, there&#39;s almost a sense that if something goes wrong in the economy, then that&#39;s fine,&#34; said Perkins. &#34;That&#39;s making people quite nervous because if you get to the point where you are pushing the economy into a recession, there is no guarantee that that&#39;s just going to pass quickly.&#34;</p><p>Market economies tend to settle into their own equilibrium. An increase in spending and hiring sustains still more spending and hiring until some outside event -- a war, oil price shock, or large increase in borrowing costs -- knocks the economy off track, creating a negative feedback loop.</p><p>Economists at JPMorgan Chase said Monday that the risk of a recession had edged up to 40% from 30% owing to &#34;extreme U.S. policies.&#34; Goldman Sachs, which has consistently anticipated above-consensus growth in recent years, now says it expects weaker growth than the rest of Wall Street. Its economists raised their 12-month recession odds to 20% from 15%.</p><p>&#34;We still think this is more of a growth scare than a recession,&#34; said George Mateyo, chief investment officer at Key Private Bank. &#34;This is very much a man-made situation.&#34;</p><p>The administration has taken Washington and Wall Street by surprise in recent weeks with a double-barreled blitz to slash the federal workforce and to threaten huge tariffs on its largest trading partners. Trump has already imposed large tariff increases on China, hitting a range of goods such as consumer electronics and apparel that received exemptions six years ago.</p><p>&#34;The administration seems to be trying to test the boundaries of the economy&#39;s willingness to tolerate rising tariffs. And it doesn&#39;t quite know where those boundaries are,&#34; said Strain.</p><p>Difficulty forecasting potential changes to prices of imported goods means investment spending could &#34;totally stall out in the first quarter, &#34; he said.</p><p>Risks abound. For example, efforts to shrink the federal workforce without a sustained rise in joblessness could rely on the private sector to absorb those workers. But are private-sector businesses prepared to do so when they don&#39;t know by what magnitude tariffs on goods and materials that they import are set to rise? The Trump administration, in running multiple policy experiments at once, risks upending a fragile &#34;slow-to-hire, slow-to-fire&#34; equilibrium that has defined the postpandemic economy.</p><p>Strain said he was worried about the effects on consumer spending from anxious workers -- those directly employed by the federal government and millions more whose businesses rely on federal funding or contracts -- pulling back on purchases. Harvard University announced a hiring freeze on Monday.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5e3eb8632bb3829b926e35e6cccb48ef\" tg-width=\"299\" tg-height=\"372\"/></p><p>To be sure, the U.S. government has managed meaningful fiscal cutbacks in the past. The federal workforce shrunk by more than 10% between 1992 and 1998. But a steadily growing economy enabled that to occur without any meaningful disruption.</p><p>In November, the share of households who expected their financial situation would improve over the coming year reached a 4 1/2 -year high, according to a New York Fed survey of consumers. The same survey, released Monday, showed the largest monthly drop in household financial sentiment last month since 2023. Expectations regarding the perceived probability of missing a debt payment rose to the highest level since April 2020.</p><p>Some analysts cautioned that Trump&#39;s messaging may instead reflect a strategic effort to improve the country&#39;s bargaining posture with trading partners and to jawbone bond investors and the Federal Reserve to maintain a bias toward lowering rates. Already, Trump&#39;s impulsive trade and security behavior has prompted authorities in China and Europe to take steps to increase spending on economic stimulus and defense.</p><p>Analysts said the past two weeks had been helpful in resetting expectations on Wall Street by showing Trump wasn&#39;t likely to change course based on a market selloff. &#34;He is telling us, in everything he is doing, that he is not kidding around. On tariffs, he believes it in his bones,&#34; said Andy Laperriere, head of U.S. policy research at Piper Sandler.</p><p>Laperriere referred to an anecdote recounted in Bob Woodward&#39;s 2018 book about how Trump&#39;s economic team worked behind the scenes to sand off the rough edges of his more belligerent trade posture. &#34;There is no Gary Cohn to throw the Peter Navarro memo in the trash can. The people who are there are resigned to the fact that he&#39;s going to do what he wants on tariffs,&#34; he said.</p><p>Business executives have said they would be more comfortable with larger-than-anticipated tariffs if they could at least have certainty about the administration&#39;s ultimate plans.</p><p>In the interview Sunday, Trump pooh-poohed that desire for clarity by suggesting that &#34;tariffs could go up as time goes by.&#34; Pressed that his answer did little to resolve businesses&#39; anxieties, Trump responded by attacking multinational companies: &#34;For years, the big globalists have been ripping off the United States.&#34;</p><p>Laperriere said investors were right to worry that policies could veer toward chaos rather than moderation if growth does suffer. &#34;Instead of a weak economy forcing Trump to reconsider his policy agenda, it&#39;s far more likely to cause Trump to consider other policies that are disruptive to the economy,&#34; such as a more aggressive effort to challenge the Fed to cut interest rates, he said.</p><p>Because tariffs are likely to send up prices at least in the short run, officials at the Fed are likely to move more slowly to cushion the economy from potential threats to growth than they were last year, when interest rates were higher and inflation was steadily declining.</p><p>&#34;You can&#39;t be sure that the monetary policy response is going to be forthcoming quickly enough to break that potential feedback loop. That&#39;s the worry here,&#34; said Perkins.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wall Street Fears Trump Will Wreck the Soft Landing</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWall Street Fears Trump Will Wreck the Soft Landing\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2025-03-11 17:42</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>By Nick Timiraos</p><p>For the past year, U.S. economic policymakers have been singularly focused on achieving a so-called soft landing that brings inflation down without a recession. Now, a new team of pilots are considering a course correction that, by their own acknowledgment, might tip the economy toward a hard landing.</p><p>President Trump and his senior advisers in recent days have signaled indifference to rising risks that trade uncertainty chills private-sector investment. They have argued a &#34;detox&#34; might be needed in spending and hiring, that falling stock values aren&#39;t a big worry, and that inflation could rise in the short run.</p><p>In an interview that aired Sunday on Fox News, Trump sidestepped a question about whether a recession could lie ahead. &#34;There is a period of transition because what we&#39;re doing is very big,&#34; he said. &#34;What I have to do is build a strong country. You can&#39;t really watch the stock market.&#34;</p><p>Given a chance to explain those comments later Sunday, Trump instead doubled down in remarks to reporters on Air Force One that evening. &#34;Tariffs are going to be the greatest thing we&#39;ve ever done as a country. It&#39;s going to make our country rich again,&#34; he said.</p><p>The comments roiled stock markets on Monday. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 890 points, down 2.1%. The S&amp;P 500 fell 2.7%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq fell 4%, its largest decline since 2022. All three major indexes are now below their levels recorded on Election Day last November.</p><p>Delta Air Lines said domestic demand had softened when it slashed its first-quarter earnings and revenue guidance after markets closed on Monday. The company saw a &#34;pretty significant shift&#34; in sentiment in February, and &#34;consumer spending started to stall,&#34; said Chief Executive Ed Bastian on CNBC.</p><p>Business travel has also softened. &#34;Where there are places where people just aren&#39;t quite sure what&#39;s going to happen, companies are pulling back,&#34; he said.</p><p>In recent days, advisers including Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick have warned tariffs could create a one-time increase in prices. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent suggested the U.S. economy may need a reset following years of growth supported by federal spending and rising asset prices. &#34;We&#39;ll see whether there&#39;s pain,&#34; he said Friday on CNBC.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b59634d1c00478236e72f507cec6183e\" tg-width=\"573\" tg-height=\"466\"/></p><p>To be sure, Trump inherited an economy with steady growth and lofty stock markets but vulnerabilities from a frozen housing sector and a cooling labor market. Investors began the year indifferent to those blemishes because they expected the new administration to focus on revving up growth. Stocks soared after Trump&#39;s election in November as investors anticipated a bullish cocktail of tax cuts and deregulation, as occurred in his first year as president in 2017.</p><p>&#34;People could only see the good side of what Trump was promising to do. That has basically evaporated, and now, we&#39;re back to recession watch,&#34; said Dario Perkins, an economist at GlobalData TS Lombard in London.</p><p>Analysts saw the shift in tone from the president and his advisers in recent days as particularly portentous. The administration initially seemed to focus on talking down the risks of higher government bond yields from an uptick in inflation or by pre-emptively blaming the departing Biden administration for any growth scare.</p><p>&#34;On Friday, I would have said I thought the administration was worried about their policies really slowing down the economy, and they were trying to lay the groundwork for the narrative that they inherited a weakening economy,&#34; said Michael Strain, head of economic-policy studies at the right-leaning American Enterprise Institute.</p><p>More recent comments seem to have gone beyond that.</p><p>&#34;Now, there&#39;s almost a sense that if something goes wrong in the economy, then that&#39;s fine,&#34; said Perkins. &#34;That&#39;s making people quite nervous because if you get to the point where you are pushing the economy into a recession, there is no guarantee that that&#39;s just going to pass quickly.&#34;</p><p>Market economies tend to settle into their own equilibrium. An increase in spending and hiring sustains still more spending and hiring until some outside event -- a war, oil price shock, or large increase in borrowing costs -- knocks the economy off track, creating a negative feedback loop.</p><p>Economists at JPMorgan Chase said Monday that the risk of a recession had edged up to 40% from 30% owing to &#34;extreme U.S. policies.&#34; Goldman Sachs, which has consistently anticipated above-consensus growth in recent years, now says it expects weaker growth than the rest of Wall Street. Its economists raised their 12-month recession odds to 20% from 15%.</p><p>&#34;We still think this is more of a growth scare than a recession,&#34; said George Mateyo, chief investment officer at Key Private Bank. &#34;This is very much a man-made situation.&#34;</p><p>The administration has taken Washington and Wall Street by surprise in recent weeks with a double-barreled blitz to slash the federal workforce and to threaten huge tariffs on its largest trading partners. Trump has already imposed large tariff increases on China, hitting a range of goods such as consumer electronics and apparel that received exemptions six years ago.</p><p>&#34;The administration seems to be trying to test the boundaries of the economy&#39;s willingness to tolerate rising tariffs. And it doesn&#39;t quite know where those boundaries are,&#34; said Strain.</p><p>Difficulty forecasting potential changes to prices of imported goods means investment spending could &#34;totally stall out in the first quarter, &#34; he said.</p><p>Risks abound. For example, efforts to shrink the federal workforce without a sustained rise in joblessness could rely on the private sector to absorb those workers. But are private-sector businesses prepared to do so when they don&#39;t know by what magnitude tariffs on goods and materials that they import are set to rise? The Trump administration, in running multiple policy experiments at once, risks upending a fragile &#34;slow-to-hire, slow-to-fire&#34; equilibrium that has defined the postpandemic economy.</p><p>Strain said he was worried about the effects on consumer spending from anxious workers -- those directly employed by the federal government and millions more whose businesses rely on federal funding or contracts -- pulling back on purchases. Harvard University announced a hiring freeze on Monday.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5e3eb8632bb3829b926e35e6cccb48ef\" tg-width=\"299\" tg-height=\"372\"/></p><p>To be sure, the U.S. government has managed meaningful fiscal cutbacks in the past. The federal workforce shrunk by more than 10% between 1992 and 1998. But a steadily growing economy enabled that to occur without any meaningful disruption.</p><p>In November, the share of households who expected their financial situation would improve over the coming year reached a 4 1/2 -year high, according to a New York Fed survey of consumers. The same survey, released Monday, showed the largest monthly drop in household financial sentiment last month since 2023. Expectations regarding the perceived probability of missing a debt payment rose to the highest level since April 2020.</p><p>Some analysts cautioned that Trump&#39;s messaging may instead reflect a strategic effort to improve the country&#39;s bargaining posture with trading partners and to jawbone bond investors and the Federal Reserve to maintain a bias toward lowering rates. Already, Trump&#39;s impulsive trade and security behavior has prompted authorities in China and Europe to take steps to increase spending on economic stimulus and defense.</p><p>Analysts said the past two weeks had been helpful in resetting expectations on Wall Street by showing Trump wasn&#39;t likely to change course based on a market selloff. &#34;He is telling us, in everything he is doing, that he is not kidding around. On tariffs, he believes it in his bones,&#34; said Andy Laperriere, head of U.S. policy research at Piper Sandler.</p><p>Laperriere referred to an anecdote recounted in Bob Woodward&#39;s 2018 book about how Trump&#39;s economic team worked behind the scenes to sand off the rough edges of his more belligerent trade posture. &#34;There is no Gary Cohn to throw the Peter Navarro memo in the trash can. The people who are there are resigned to the fact that he&#39;s going to do what he wants on tariffs,&#34; he said.</p><p>Business executives have said they would be more comfortable with larger-than-anticipated tariffs if they could at least have certainty about the administration&#39;s ultimate plans.</p><p>In the interview Sunday, Trump pooh-poohed that desire for clarity by suggesting that &#34;tariffs could go up as time goes by.&#34; Pressed that his answer did little to resolve businesses&#39; anxieties, Trump responded by attacking multinational companies: &#34;For years, the big globalists have been ripping off the United States.&#34;</p><p>Laperriere said investors were right to worry that policies could veer toward chaos rather than moderation if growth does suffer. &#34;Instead of a weak economy forcing Trump to reconsider his policy agenda, it&#39;s far more likely to cause Trump to consider other policies that are disruptive to the economy,&#34; such as a more aggressive effort to challenge the Fed to cut interest rates, he said.</p><p>Because tariffs are likely to send up prices at least in the short run, officials at the Fed are likely to move more slowly to cushion the economy from potential threats to growth than they were last year, when interest rates were higher and inflation was steadily declining.</p><p>&#34;You can&#39;t be sure that the monetary policy response is going to be forthcoming quickly enough to break that potential feedback loop. That&#39;s the worry here,&#34; said Perkins.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://dowjonesnews.com/newdjn/logon.aspx?AL=N","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2518217735","content_text":"By Nick TimiraosFor the past year, U.S. economic policymakers have been singularly focused on achieving a so-called soft landing that brings inflation down without a recession. Now, a new team of pilots are considering a course correction that, by their own acknowledgment, might tip the economy toward a hard landing.President Trump and his senior advisers in recent days have signaled indifference to rising risks that trade uncertainty chills private-sector investment. They have argued a \"detox\" might be needed in spending and hiring, that falling stock values aren't a big worry, and that inflation could rise in the short run.In an interview that aired Sunday on Fox News, Trump sidestepped a question about whether a recession could lie ahead. \"There is a period of transition because what we're doing is very big,\" he said. \"What I have to do is build a strong country. You can't really watch the stock market.\"Given a chance to explain those comments later Sunday, Trump instead doubled down in remarks to reporters on Air Force One that evening. \"Tariffs are going to be the greatest thing we've ever done as a country. It's going to make our country rich again,\" he said.The comments roiled stock markets on Monday. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 890 points, down 2.1%. The S&P 500 fell 2.7%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq fell 4%, its largest decline since 2022. All three major indexes are now below their levels recorded on Election Day last November.Delta Air Lines said domestic demand had softened when it slashed its first-quarter earnings and revenue guidance after markets closed on Monday. The company saw a \"pretty significant shift\" in sentiment in February, and \"consumer spending started to stall,\" said Chief Executive Ed Bastian on CNBC.Business travel has also softened. \"Where there are places where people just aren't quite sure what's going to happen, companies are pulling back,\" he said.In recent days, advisers including Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick have warned tariffs could create a one-time increase in prices. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent suggested the U.S. economy may need a reset following years of growth supported by federal spending and rising asset prices. \"We'll see whether there's pain,\" he said Friday on CNBC.To be sure, Trump inherited an economy with steady growth and lofty stock markets but vulnerabilities from a frozen housing sector and a cooling labor market. Investors began the year indifferent to those blemishes because they expected the new administration to focus on revving up growth. Stocks soared after Trump's election in November as investors anticipated a bullish cocktail of tax cuts and deregulation, as occurred in his first year as president in 2017.\"People could only see the good side of what Trump was promising to do. That has basically evaporated, and now, we're back to recession watch,\" said Dario Perkins, an economist at GlobalData TS Lombard in London.Analysts saw the shift in tone from the president and his advisers in recent days as particularly portentous. The administration initially seemed to focus on talking down the risks of higher government bond yields from an uptick in inflation or by pre-emptively blaming the departing Biden administration for any growth scare.\"On Friday, I would have said I thought the administration was worried about their policies really slowing down the economy, and they were trying to lay the groundwork for the narrative that they inherited a weakening economy,\" said Michael Strain, head of economic-policy studies at the right-leaning American Enterprise Institute.More recent comments seem to have gone beyond that.\"Now, there's almost a sense that if something goes wrong in the economy, then that's fine,\" said Perkins. \"That's making people quite nervous because if you get to the point where you are pushing the economy into a recession, there is no guarantee that that's just going to pass quickly.\"Market economies tend to settle into their own equilibrium. An increase in spending and hiring sustains still more spending and hiring until some outside event -- a war, oil price shock, or large increase in borrowing costs -- knocks the economy off track, creating a negative feedback loop.Economists at JPMorgan Chase said Monday that the risk of a recession had edged up to 40% from 30% owing to \"extreme U.S. policies.\" Goldman Sachs, which has consistently anticipated above-consensus growth in recent years, now says it expects weaker growth than the rest of Wall Street. Its economists raised their 12-month recession odds to 20% from 15%.\"We still think this is more of a growth scare than a recession,\" said George Mateyo, chief investment officer at Key Private Bank. \"This is very much a man-made situation.\"The administration has taken Washington and Wall Street by surprise in recent weeks with a double-barreled blitz to slash the federal workforce and to threaten huge tariffs on its largest trading partners. Trump has already imposed large tariff increases on China, hitting a range of goods such as consumer electronics and apparel that received exemptions six years ago.\"The administration seems to be trying to test the boundaries of the economy's willingness to tolerate rising tariffs. And it doesn't quite know where those boundaries are,\" said Strain.Difficulty forecasting potential changes to prices of imported goods means investment spending could \"totally stall out in the first quarter, \" he said.Risks abound. For example, efforts to shrink the federal workforce without a sustained rise in joblessness could rely on the private sector to absorb those workers. But are private-sector businesses prepared to do so when they don't know by what magnitude tariffs on goods and materials that they import are set to rise? The Trump administration, in running multiple policy experiments at once, risks upending a fragile \"slow-to-hire, slow-to-fire\" equilibrium that has defined the postpandemic economy.Strain said he was worried about the effects on consumer spending from anxious workers -- those directly employed by the federal government and millions more whose businesses rely on federal funding or contracts -- pulling back on purchases. Harvard University announced a hiring freeze on Monday.To be sure, the U.S. government has managed meaningful fiscal cutbacks in the past. The federal workforce shrunk by more than 10% between 1992 and 1998. But a steadily growing economy enabled that to occur without any meaningful disruption.In November, the share of households who expected their financial situation would improve over the coming year reached a 4 1/2 -year high, according to a New York Fed survey of consumers. The same survey, released Monday, showed the largest monthly drop in household financial sentiment last month since 2023. Expectations regarding the perceived probability of missing a debt payment rose to the highest level since April 2020.Some analysts cautioned that Trump's messaging may instead reflect a strategic effort to improve the country's bargaining posture with trading partners and to jawbone bond investors and the Federal Reserve to maintain a bias toward lowering rates. Already, Trump's impulsive trade and security behavior has prompted authorities in China and Europe to take steps to increase spending on economic stimulus and defense.Analysts said the past two weeks had been helpful in resetting expectations on Wall Street by showing Trump wasn't likely to change course based on a market selloff. \"He is telling us, in everything he is doing, that he is not kidding around. On tariffs, he believes it in his bones,\" said Andy Laperriere, head of U.S. policy research at Piper Sandler.Laperriere referred to an anecdote recounted in Bob Woodward's 2018 book about how Trump's economic team worked behind the scenes to sand off the rough edges of his more belligerent trade posture. \"There is no Gary Cohn to throw the Peter Navarro memo in the trash can. The people who are there are resigned to the fact that he's going to do what he wants on tariffs,\" he said.Business executives have said they would be more comfortable with larger-than-anticipated tariffs if they could at least have certainty about the administration's ultimate plans.In the interview Sunday, Trump pooh-poohed that desire for clarity by suggesting that \"tariffs could go up as time goes by.\" Pressed that his answer did little to resolve businesses' anxieties, Trump responded by attacking multinational companies: \"For years, the big globalists have been ripping off the United States.\"Laperriere said investors were right to worry that policies could veer toward chaos rather than moderation if growth does suffer. \"Instead of a weak economy forcing Trump to reconsider his policy agenda, it's far more likely to cause Trump to consider other policies that are disruptive to the economy,\" such as a more aggressive effort to challenge the Fed to cut interest rates, he said.Because tariffs are likely to send up prices at least in the short run, officials at the Fed are likely to move more slowly to cushion the economy from potential threats to growth than they were last year, when interest rates were higher and inflation was steadily declining.\"You can't be sure that the monetary policy response is going to be forthcoming quickly enough to break that potential feedback loop. That's the worry here,\" said Perkins.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"US3Y.BOND":0.77,"US10Y.BOND":0.77,"US12M.BOND":0.77,"US30Y.BOND":0.77,"US6M.BOND":0.77,"US7Y.BOND":0.77,"US5Y.BOND":0.77,".SPX":1.1,".IXIC":1.1,"US2Y.BOND":0.77,".DJI":1.1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1804,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":404720796000376,"gmtCreate":1739833137179,"gmtModify":1739841971531,"author":{"id":"4191411889412432","authorId":"4191411889412432","name":"Nirtanyahu","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4191411889412432","authorIdStr":"4191411889412432"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Embracing Fort KNOXX.. News...&nbsp;","listText":"Embracing Fort KNOXX.. News...&nbsp;","text":"Embracing Fort KNOXX.. News...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/404720796000376","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2061,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":403564136079504,"gmtCreate":1739550597319,"gmtModify":1739550809449,"author":{"id":"4191411889412432","authorId":"4191411889412432","name":"Nirtanyahu","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4191411889412432","authorIdStr":"4191411889412432"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"What if Crypto asic mining machine can Do #AI Baaaaaaaam.&nbsp;","listText":"What if Crypto asic mining machine can Do #AI Baaaaaaaam.&nbsp;","text":"What if Crypto asic mining machine can Do #AI Baaaaaaaam.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/403564136079504","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1855,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":403557131518280,"gmtCreate":1739549151671,"gmtModify":1739550093891,"author":{"id":"4191411889412432","authorId":"4191411889412432","name":"Nirtanyahu","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4191411889412432","authorIdStr":"4191411889412432"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/ORC\">$Orchid Island Capital(ORC)$ </a>&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/ORC\">$Orchid Island Capital(ORC)$ </a>&nbsp;","text":"$Orchid Island Capital(ORC)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/403557131518280","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":769,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":386401387884984,"gmtCreate":1735376918996,"gmtModify":1735378505138,"author":{"id":"4191411889412432","authorId":"4191411889412432","name":"Nirtanyahu","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4191411889412432","authorIdStr":"4191411889412432"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AGNC\">$AGNC Investment Corp(AGNC)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AGNC\">$AGNC Investment Corp(AGNC)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>&nbsp;","text":"$AGNC Investment Corp(AGNC)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/386401387884984","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":580,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":421213706780952,"gmtCreate":1743840396683,"gmtModify":1743841658902,"author":{"id":"4191411889412432","authorId":"4191411889412432","name":"Nirtanyahu","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4191411889412432","idStr":"4191411889412432"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"People who makes this statemene r certainly not businessman but a corrupt fan of a&nbsp;politician... Polticaon makes million as a politician career.. What are the odds.&nbsp; Trump will win.&nbsp;","listText":"People who makes this statemene r certainly not businessman but a corrupt fan of a&nbsp;politician... Polticaon makes million as a politician career.. What are the odds.&nbsp; Trump will win.&nbsp;","text":"People who makes this statemene r certainly not businessman but a corrupt fan of a politician... Polticaon makes million as a politician career.. What are the odds. Trump will win.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/421213706780952","repostId":"2525734974","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2525734974","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1743826500,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2525734974?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2025-04-05 12:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Trump Is Fighting a Trade War He Can’t Win. The Stock Market Is the Loser","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2525734974","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Forget economics. It’s the rules of battle investors should pay attention to now that President Donald Trump has launched a full-bore trade war against enemies and allies alike.On Friday, China announ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Forget economics. It’s the rules of battle investors should pay attention to now that President Donald Trump has launched a full-bore trade war against enemies and allies alike.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f5cbd67d757d6360790b5bf65a1435d1\" alt=\"On Friday, China announced 34% tariffs on the U.S., causing a stock market already reeling from Trump’s announcement to take another leg lower.\" title=\"On Friday, China announced 34% tariffs on the U.S., causing a stock market already reeling from Trump’s announcement to take another leg lower.\" tg-width=\"923\" tg-height=\"614\"/><span>On Friday, China announced 34% tariffs on the U.S., causing a stock market already reeling from Trump’s announcement to take another leg lower.</span></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“Liberation Day,” as Trump dubbed the announcement of broad tariffs on U.S. trading partners, was the moment skirmishes morphed into a full-blown conflict. The U.S. has set a baseline levy of 10% on all trading partners, with higher penalties on countries deemed the worst offenders by the administration. The final numbers aren’t based on tariff levels other countries have placed on the U.S., but on a formula involving Greek letters, trade balances, and lots of make-believe.</p><p>While trade wars don’t involve armies and bloodshed, some of the same rules apply—especially when it’s a war of choice. Strengths need to be assessed, allies cajoled, goals set, and preparations made. When done right, victory can be reached with relative ease and result in an increase in standing. When poorly planned, strengths turn into weakness, quick victories become battles of attrition, and unintended consequences can last for years. The worst defeats come when a country overestimates its own strength and its opponents’ weakness—think Napoleon invading Russia while engaged with the United Kingdom—and finds itself overstretched and outmatched.</p><p>A trade war isn’t much different. Targeting a country for unfair practices in a unified front with allies makes sense, and the tariffs placed on China during Trump’s first term, though imperfect, fall into that category. Liberation Day, however, was akin to launching an attack on everyone all at once. Now the U.S. is fighting a trade war on all fronts, while its opponents are only fighting the U.S. The risks far outweigh the rewards—and the risk for the stock market remains to the downside, even with the S&amp;P 500 index already down 17% from its Feb. 19 high.</p><p>“When you engage in a global fight, where the other countries are only engaged in a fight against you, it’s much more asymmetric,” writes BCA Research strategist Peter Berezin, who set a 4450 target on the S&amp;P 500 at the end of last year, the lowest on the Street.</p><p>Many observers point to the possibility of negotiations that bring the tariffs down—and end the selling—even though it’s unclear whether the president is even willing to do so. (He also posted a video on Truth Social saying he’s intentionally crashing the market.) U.S. trading partners might not want to negotiate either, particularly given how popular going up against Trump seems to be. From France’s President Emmanuel Macron, who called for suspending investment in the U.S. by European companies, to Canada’s Prime Minister Mark Carney, bashing Trump has been good politics. What’s more, negotiations won’t favor the U.S., even if Trump wants to engage, explains 22V strategist Dennis DeBusschere. “We are not geopolitical game theorists, but the design of the U.S. tariffs is so poor that it puts the U.S. in a weak negotiating position,” he writes.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The counterattacks have already started. On Friday, China announced 34% tariffs on the U.S., causing a stock market already reeling from Trump’s announcement to take another leg lower. Former allies, too, are acknowledging that what existed before has ceased to exist. Canada’s Carney, who has already matched Trump’s tariffs on cars, said 80 years of U.S. global economic leadership is over. “While this is a tragedy, it is also the new reality,” he said.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">It’s at moments like these that investors look for outside help to shore up markets. When stocks cratered due to the lockdowns imposed because of Covid-19, the Federal Reserve stepped in by cutting rates and making sure financial institutions wouldn’t face a liquidity squeeze. The ensuing rally was breathtaking and, coupled with generous spending by the federal government, prolonged. Similarly, a near bear market in 2018 caused Fed Chair Jerome Powell to blink—and set the S&amp;P 500 up for a great 2019.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The market is already pricing in more Fed cuts this year than it was just a week ago, including a 100% chance of one at the June Federal Open Market Committee meeting. If the stock market continues to fall like this, the Fed could even decide to lower interest rates before its May meeting, says James Stack, founder of InvesTech Research.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The only problem: While cuts could cause the market to bounce in the short term, it isn’t unprecedented for them to have little impact in the medium term. Stack points to the 2008-09 financial crisis, which occurred even though the Fed started lowering rates in September 2007. “If the market slides too fast, I wouldn’t rule out an emergency pre-emptive cut,” he says. “I wouldn’t count on that stabilizing the market.”</p><p>It didn’t have to be this way. While the economy wasn’t perfect, it was holding up well heading into the New Year. And Friday’s payrolls report, which showed an increase of 228,000 jobs in March, suggests that the activity is still in a good place.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Few expect it to remain there. The latest numbers don’t capture the latest tariffs—or companies’ response to them—but souring sentiment suggests that executives were locked and loaded and ready to act. On Thursday, Chrysler parent Stellantis temporarily laid off workers in U.S. plants that assemble cars from parts made in Mexico and Canada, and other car makers could follow suit.</p><p>“It’s a pity to see the administration take a perfectly good economy and hit it with a wrecking ball,” says Ed Yardeni, president of Yardeni Research.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">And what a wrecking ball it is. The moves will bring tariffs up from 2.5% at the end of 2024 to more than 20% when they go into effect. That is the highest levels since the 1930s, when the Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act helped turned a recession into the Great Depression.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The UBS economics team believes that U.S. gross domestic product could take a 1.5-to-two percentage-point hit due to U.S. tariffs, while inflation could rise to near 5%. “The magnitude of damage they could cause to the U.S. economy makes one’s rational mind regard the possibility of them sticking as low,” UBS strategist Bhanu Baweja writes of the tariffs.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">While President Donald Trump called it Liberation Day, others have dubbed it “Hibernation Day,” “Ruination Day,” or even “Obliteration Day.” We’ll just call it the next step on the way to a bear market, which is almost surely on its way. It’s already arrived for the small-cap Russell 2000 index, down 25% since hitting a 52-week high on Nov. 25, fell into one on Thursday, while theNasdaq Composite, off 22% since Dec. 16, joined it on Friday. The S&amp;P 500, at 5238, would need to drop another 3.9% to 4915 to reach the 20% decline needed to call it a bear market. At this rate, it could get there next week.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The problem with bear markets, at least the ones that aren’t immediately headed off with massive Fed action and government spending, is that they can be long and arduous. If what is happening now is like the pandemic selloff, the rebound could start in days. But the average bear market lasts nine months and can be even longer if the conditions are ripe. The S&amp;P 500, for instance, didn’t bottom until March 2003 after peaking in March 2000. “If it’s a bear market in the Russell, it will be a bear market in the other indexes,” InvestTech’s Stack says. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Other metrics, too, suggest that investors haven’t gotten risk-averse enough just yet. The S&amp;P 500, at 19.5 times 12-month forward earnings, is down three points from its February peak, but is only back to where it was in January 2024. Earnings estimates for 2025 have started coming down, but still suggest double-digit growth this year. Technical indicators, too, point to more selling to come: Twenty-seven percent of the stocks in the S&amp;P 500 continue to trade above their 200-day moving average, above the 20%-or-lower level that would signal a washout.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Options markets are getting closer to sending a buy signal, but are not quite there yet. The Cboe Volatility Index, or VIX, hit nearly 46 on Friday but is still below the 66 peak it reached during last August’s Japan-inspired selloff. Implied correlation—a measure of stocks’ propensity to trade in sync with each other—has also risen but could rise even more, suggesting that even defensive sectors like staples and healthcare, which have held up so far, could drop as well, says 22V’s DeBusschere. “It’s just safer to reduce risk and be on the sidelines,” he writes.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">In other words, it’s time for risk management, not panic. Stack, who had moved his clients into portfolios consisting heavily of cash, healthcare, dividend payers, and staples before the tariff announcement, recommends making changes if the idea of another 10% decline in the stock market makes an investor uncomfortable. “Don’t put cash under a mattress and hide,” he says. “Reduce exposure so you can sleep at night.”</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">And it will be tempting for investors, conditioned to buy the dip, to jump in at the first sign of a bounce. But unless something changes materially, investors should fight the temptation to chase the market higher. “Everyone says buy the dip, but not now,” says Bill Strazzullo, chief market strategist at Bell Curve Trading. “This isn’t the time for it.”</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">We’ll be waiting for armistice day.</p><p></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Trump Is Fighting a Trade War He Can’t Win. The Stock Market Is the Loser</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTrump Is Fighting a Trade War He Can’t Win. The Stock Market Is the Loser\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2025-04-05 12:15</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Forget economics. It’s the rules of battle investors should pay attention to now that President Donald Trump has launched a full-bore trade war against enemies and allies alike.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f5cbd67d757d6360790b5bf65a1435d1\" alt=\"On Friday, China announced 34% tariffs on the U.S., causing a stock market already reeling from Trump’s announcement to take another leg lower.\" title=\"On Friday, China announced 34% tariffs on the U.S., causing a stock market already reeling from Trump’s announcement to take another leg lower.\" tg-width=\"923\" tg-height=\"614\"/><span>On Friday, China announced 34% tariffs on the U.S., causing a stock market already reeling from Trump’s announcement to take another leg lower.</span></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“Liberation Day,” as Trump dubbed the announcement of broad tariffs on U.S. trading partners, was the moment skirmishes morphed into a full-blown conflict. The U.S. has set a baseline levy of 10% on all trading partners, with higher penalties on countries deemed the worst offenders by the administration. The final numbers aren’t based on tariff levels other countries have placed on the U.S., but on a formula involving Greek letters, trade balances, and lots of make-believe.</p><p>While trade wars don’t involve armies and bloodshed, some of the same rules apply—especially when it’s a war of choice. Strengths need to be assessed, allies cajoled, goals set, and preparations made. When done right, victory can be reached with relative ease and result in an increase in standing. When poorly planned, strengths turn into weakness, quick victories become battles of attrition, and unintended consequences can last for years. The worst defeats come when a country overestimates its own strength and its opponents’ weakness—think Napoleon invading Russia while engaged with the United Kingdom—and finds itself overstretched and outmatched.</p><p>A trade war isn’t much different. Targeting a country for unfair practices in a unified front with allies makes sense, and the tariffs placed on China during Trump’s first term, though imperfect, fall into that category. Liberation Day, however, was akin to launching an attack on everyone all at once. Now the U.S. is fighting a trade war on all fronts, while its opponents are only fighting the U.S. The risks far outweigh the rewards—and the risk for the stock market remains to the downside, even with the S&amp;P 500 index already down 17% from its Feb. 19 high.</p><p>“When you engage in a global fight, where the other countries are only engaged in a fight against you, it’s much more asymmetric,” writes BCA Research strategist Peter Berezin, who set a 4450 target on the S&amp;P 500 at the end of last year, the lowest on the Street.</p><p>Many observers point to the possibility of negotiations that bring the tariffs down—and end the selling—even though it’s unclear whether the president is even willing to do so. (He also posted a video on Truth Social saying he’s intentionally crashing the market.) U.S. trading partners might not want to negotiate either, particularly given how popular going up against Trump seems to be. From France’s President Emmanuel Macron, who called for suspending investment in the U.S. by European companies, to Canada’s Prime Minister Mark Carney, bashing Trump has been good politics. What’s more, negotiations won’t favor the U.S., even if Trump wants to engage, explains 22V strategist Dennis DeBusschere. “We are not geopolitical game theorists, but the design of the U.S. tariffs is so poor that it puts the U.S. in a weak negotiating position,” he writes.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The counterattacks have already started. On Friday, China announced 34% tariffs on the U.S., causing a stock market already reeling from Trump’s announcement to take another leg lower. Former allies, too, are acknowledging that what existed before has ceased to exist. Canada’s Carney, who has already matched Trump’s tariffs on cars, said 80 years of U.S. global economic leadership is over. “While this is a tragedy, it is also the new reality,” he said.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">It’s at moments like these that investors look for outside help to shore up markets. When stocks cratered due to the lockdowns imposed because of Covid-19, the Federal Reserve stepped in by cutting rates and making sure financial institutions wouldn’t face a liquidity squeeze. The ensuing rally was breathtaking and, coupled with generous spending by the federal government, prolonged. Similarly, a near bear market in 2018 caused Fed Chair Jerome Powell to blink—and set the S&amp;P 500 up for a great 2019.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The market is already pricing in more Fed cuts this year than it was just a week ago, including a 100% chance of one at the June Federal Open Market Committee meeting. If the stock market continues to fall like this, the Fed could even decide to lower interest rates before its May meeting, says James Stack, founder of InvesTech Research.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The only problem: While cuts could cause the market to bounce in the short term, it isn’t unprecedented for them to have little impact in the medium term. Stack points to the 2008-09 financial crisis, which occurred even though the Fed started lowering rates in September 2007. “If the market slides too fast, I wouldn’t rule out an emergency pre-emptive cut,” he says. “I wouldn’t count on that stabilizing the market.”</p><p>It didn’t have to be this way. While the economy wasn’t perfect, it was holding up well heading into the New Year. And Friday’s payrolls report, which showed an increase of 228,000 jobs in March, suggests that the activity is still in a good place.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Few expect it to remain there. The latest numbers don’t capture the latest tariffs—or companies’ response to them—but souring sentiment suggests that executives were locked and loaded and ready to act. On Thursday, Chrysler parent Stellantis temporarily laid off workers in U.S. plants that assemble cars from parts made in Mexico and Canada, and other car makers could follow suit.</p><p>“It’s a pity to see the administration take a perfectly good economy and hit it with a wrecking ball,” says Ed Yardeni, president of Yardeni Research.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">And what a wrecking ball it is. The moves will bring tariffs up from 2.5% at the end of 2024 to more than 20% when they go into effect. That is the highest levels since the 1930s, when the Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act helped turned a recession into the Great Depression.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The UBS economics team believes that U.S. gross domestic product could take a 1.5-to-two percentage-point hit due to U.S. tariffs, while inflation could rise to near 5%. “The magnitude of damage they could cause to the U.S. economy makes one’s rational mind regard the possibility of them sticking as low,” UBS strategist Bhanu Baweja writes of the tariffs.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">While President Donald Trump called it Liberation Day, others have dubbed it “Hibernation Day,” “Ruination Day,” or even “Obliteration Day.” We’ll just call it the next step on the way to a bear market, which is almost surely on its way. It’s already arrived for the small-cap Russell 2000 index, down 25% since hitting a 52-week high on Nov. 25, fell into one on Thursday, while theNasdaq Composite, off 22% since Dec. 16, joined it on Friday. The S&amp;P 500, at 5238, would need to drop another 3.9% to 4915 to reach the 20% decline needed to call it a bear market. At this rate, it could get there next week.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The problem with bear markets, at least the ones that aren’t immediately headed off with massive Fed action and government spending, is that they can be long and arduous. If what is happening now is like the pandemic selloff, the rebound could start in days. But the average bear market lasts nine months and can be even longer if the conditions are ripe. The S&amp;P 500, for instance, didn’t bottom until March 2003 after peaking in March 2000. “If it’s a bear market in the Russell, it will be a bear market in the other indexes,” InvestTech’s Stack says. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Other metrics, too, suggest that investors haven’t gotten risk-averse enough just yet. The S&amp;P 500, at 19.5 times 12-month forward earnings, is down three points from its February peak, but is only back to where it was in January 2024. Earnings estimates for 2025 have started coming down, but still suggest double-digit growth this year. Technical indicators, too, point to more selling to come: Twenty-seven percent of the stocks in the S&amp;P 500 continue to trade above their 200-day moving average, above the 20%-or-lower level that would signal a washout.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Options markets are getting closer to sending a buy signal, but are not quite there yet. The Cboe Volatility Index, or VIX, hit nearly 46 on Friday but is still below the 66 peak it reached during last August’s Japan-inspired selloff. Implied correlation—a measure of stocks’ propensity to trade in sync with each other—has also risen but could rise even more, suggesting that even defensive sectors like staples and healthcare, which have held up so far, could drop as well, says 22V’s DeBusschere. “It’s just safer to reduce risk and be on the sidelines,” he writes.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">In other words, it’s time for risk management, not panic. Stack, who had moved his clients into portfolios consisting heavily of cash, healthcare, dividend payers, and staples before the tariff announcement, recommends making changes if the idea of another 10% decline in the stock market makes an investor uncomfortable. “Don’t put cash under a mattress and hide,” he says. “Reduce exposure so you can sleep at night.”</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">And it will be tempting for investors, conditioned to buy the dip, to jump in at the first sign of a bounce. But unless something changes materially, investors should fight the temptation to chase the market higher. “Everyone says buy the dip, but not now,” says Bill Strazzullo, chief market strategist at Bell Curve Trading. “This isn’t the time for it.”</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">We’ll be waiting for armistice day.</p><p></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4581":"高盛持仓",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4504":"桥水持仓",".DJI":"道琼斯","LU1064927863.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - Europe Dynamic A (acc) SGD-H","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4099":"汽车制造商","BK4588":"碎股","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://dowjonesnews.com/newdjn/logon.aspx?AL=N","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2525734974","content_text":"Forget economics. It’s the rules of battle investors should pay attention to now that President Donald Trump has launched a full-bore trade war against enemies and allies alike.On Friday, China announced 34% tariffs on the U.S., causing a stock market already reeling from Trump’s announcement to take another leg lower.“Liberation Day,” as Trump dubbed the announcement of broad tariffs on U.S. trading partners, was the moment skirmishes morphed into a full-blown conflict. The U.S. has set a baseline levy of 10% on all trading partners, with higher penalties on countries deemed the worst offenders by the administration. The final numbers aren’t based on tariff levels other countries have placed on the U.S., but on a formula involving Greek letters, trade balances, and lots of make-believe.While trade wars don’t involve armies and bloodshed, some of the same rules apply—especially when it’s a war of choice. Strengths need to be assessed, allies cajoled, goals set, and preparations made. When done right, victory can be reached with relative ease and result in an increase in standing. When poorly planned, strengths turn into weakness, quick victories become battles of attrition, and unintended consequences can last for years. The worst defeats come when a country overestimates its own strength and its opponents’ weakness—think Napoleon invading Russia while engaged with the United Kingdom—and finds itself overstretched and outmatched.A trade war isn’t much different. Targeting a country for unfair practices in a unified front with allies makes sense, and the tariffs placed on China during Trump’s first term, though imperfect, fall into that category. Liberation Day, however, was akin to launching an attack on everyone all at once. Now the U.S. is fighting a trade war on all fronts, while its opponents are only fighting the U.S. The risks far outweigh the rewards—and the risk for the stock market remains to the downside, even with the S&P 500 index already down 17% from its Feb. 19 high.“When you engage in a global fight, where the other countries are only engaged in a fight against you, it’s much more asymmetric,” writes BCA Research strategist Peter Berezin, who set a 4450 target on the S&P 500 at the end of last year, the lowest on the Street.Many observers point to the possibility of negotiations that bring the tariffs down—and end the selling—even though it’s unclear whether the president is even willing to do so. (He also posted a video on Truth Social saying he’s intentionally crashing the market.) U.S. trading partners might not want to negotiate either, particularly given how popular going up against Trump seems to be. From France’s President Emmanuel Macron, who called for suspending investment in the U.S. by European companies, to Canada’s Prime Minister Mark Carney, bashing Trump has been good politics. What’s more, negotiations won’t favor the U.S., even if Trump wants to engage, explains 22V strategist Dennis DeBusschere. “We are not geopolitical game theorists, but the design of the U.S. tariffs is so poor that it puts the U.S. in a weak negotiating position,” he writes.The counterattacks have already started. On Friday, China announced 34% tariffs on the U.S., causing a stock market already reeling from Trump’s announcement to take another leg lower. Former allies, too, are acknowledging that what existed before has ceased to exist. Canada’s Carney, who has already matched Trump’s tariffs on cars, said 80 years of U.S. global economic leadership is over. “While this is a tragedy, it is also the new reality,” he said.It’s at moments like these that investors look for outside help to shore up markets. When stocks cratered due to the lockdowns imposed because of Covid-19, the Federal Reserve stepped in by cutting rates and making sure financial institutions wouldn’t face a liquidity squeeze. The ensuing rally was breathtaking and, coupled with generous spending by the federal government, prolonged. Similarly, a near bear market in 2018 caused Fed Chair Jerome Powell to blink—and set the S&P 500 up for a great 2019.The market is already pricing in more Fed cuts this year than it was just a week ago, including a 100% chance of one at the June Federal Open Market Committee meeting. If the stock market continues to fall like this, the Fed could even decide to lower interest rates before its May meeting, says James Stack, founder of InvesTech Research.The only problem: While cuts could cause the market to bounce in the short term, it isn’t unprecedented for them to have little impact in the medium term. Stack points to the 2008-09 financial crisis, which occurred even though the Fed started lowering rates in September 2007. “If the market slides too fast, I wouldn’t rule out an emergency pre-emptive cut,” he says. “I wouldn’t count on that stabilizing the market.”It didn’t have to be this way. While the economy wasn’t perfect, it was holding up well heading into the New Year. And Friday’s payrolls report, which showed an increase of 228,000 jobs in March, suggests that the activity is still in a good place.Few expect it to remain there. The latest numbers don’t capture the latest tariffs—or companies’ response to them—but souring sentiment suggests that executives were locked and loaded and ready to act. On Thursday, Chrysler parent Stellantis temporarily laid off workers in U.S. plants that assemble cars from parts made in Mexico and Canada, and other car makers could follow suit.“It’s a pity to see the administration take a perfectly good economy and hit it with a wrecking ball,” says Ed Yardeni, president of Yardeni Research.And what a wrecking ball it is. The moves will bring tariffs up from 2.5% at the end of 2024 to more than 20% when they go into effect. That is the highest levels since the 1930s, when the Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act helped turned a recession into the Great Depression.The UBS economics team believes that U.S. gross domestic product could take a 1.5-to-two percentage-point hit due to U.S. tariffs, while inflation could rise to near 5%. “The magnitude of damage they could cause to the U.S. economy makes one’s rational mind regard the possibility of them sticking as low,” UBS strategist Bhanu Baweja writes of the tariffs.While President Donald Trump called it Liberation Day, others have dubbed it “Hibernation Day,” “Ruination Day,” or even “Obliteration Day.” We’ll just call it the next step on the way to a bear market, which is almost surely on its way. It’s already arrived for the small-cap Russell 2000 index, down 25% since hitting a 52-week high on Nov. 25, fell into one on Thursday, while theNasdaq Composite, off 22% since Dec. 16, joined it on Friday. The S&P 500, at 5238, would need to drop another 3.9% to 4915 to reach the 20% decline needed to call it a bear market. At this rate, it could get there next week.The problem with bear markets, at least the ones that aren’t immediately headed off with massive Fed action and government spending, is that they can be long and arduous. If what is happening now is like the pandemic selloff, the rebound could start in days. But the average bear market lasts nine months and can be even longer if the conditions are ripe. The S&P 500, for instance, didn’t bottom until March 2003 after peaking in March 2000. “If it’s a bear market in the Russell, it will be a bear market in the other indexes,” InvestTech’s Stack says. Other metrics, too, suggest that investors haven’t gotten risk-averse enough just yet. The S&P 500, at 19.5 times 12-month forward earnings, is down three points from its February peak, but is only back to where it was in January 2024. Earnings estimates for 2025 have started coming down, but still suggest double-digit growth this year. Technical indicators, too, point to more selling to come: Twenty-seven percent of the stocks in the S&P 500 continue to trade above their 200-day moving average, above the 20%-or-lower level that would signal a washout.Options markets are getting closer to sending a buy signal, but are not quite there yet. The Cboe Volatility Index, or VIX, hit nearly 46 on Friday but is still below the 66 peak it reached during last August’s Japan-inspired selloff. Implied correlation—a measure of stocks’ propensity to trade in sync with each other—has also risen but could rise even more, suggesting that even defensive sectors like staples and healthcare, which have held up so far, could drop as well, says 22V’s DeBusschere. “It’s just safer to reduce risk and be on the sidelines,” he writes.In other words, it’s time for risk management, not panic. Stack, who had moved his clients into portfolios consisting heavily of cash, healthcare, dividend payers, and staples before the tariff announcement, recommends making changes if the idea of another 10% decline in the stock market makes an investor uncomfortable. “Don’t put cash under a mattress and hide,” he says. “Reduce exposure so you can sleep at night.”And it will be tempting for investors, conditioned to buy the dip, to jump in at the first sign of a bounce. But unless something changes materially, investors should fight the temptation to chase the market higher. “Everyone says buy the dip, but not now,” says Bill Strazzullo, chief market strategist at Bell Curve Trading. “This isn’t the time for it.”We’ll be waiting for armistice day.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":1.1,"US10Y.BOND":0.9,"US6M.BOND":0.9,"US2Y.BOND":0.9,".DJI":1.1,"US30Y.BOND":0.9,"US3Y.BOND":0.9,"US7Y.BOND":0.9,".SPX":1.1,"US5Y.BOND":0.9,"US12M.BOND":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2051,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":420998094725480,"gmtCreate":1743781040724,"gmtModify":1743781985380,"author":{"id":"4191411889412432","authorId":"4191411889412432","name":"Nirtanyahu","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4191411889412432","idStr":"4191411889412432"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good it's actually Trump vs the feds..&nbsp;","listText":"Good it's actually Trump vs the feds..&nbsp;","text":"Good it's actually Trump vs the feds..","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/420998094725480","repostId":"1197317173","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1197317173","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1032215980","head_image":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4567337cbdf294b657b1fa87c5488b48"},"pubTimestamp":1743780478,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1197317173?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2025-04-04 23:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Fed's Powell Says Larger-Than-Expected Tariffs Likely to Boost Inflation, Slow Growth","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1197317173","media":"Reuters","summary":"WASHINGTON, April 4 (Reuters) - President Donald Trump's new tariffs are \"larger than expected\" and the economic fallout including higher inflation and slower growth likely will be as well, Federal Re","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>WASHINGTON, April 4 (Reuters) - President Donald Trump&#39;s new tariffs are &#34;larger than expected,&#34; and the economic fallout including higher inflation and slower growth likely will be as well, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said on Friday, while cautioning it was still too soon to know what the right response from the central bank ought to be.</p><p>&#34;We face a highly uncertain outlook with elevated risks of both higher unemployment and higher inflation,&#34; undermining both of the Fed&#39;s mandates of 2% inflation and maximum employment, Powell told a business journalists&#39; conference in Arlington, Virginia, in remarks that pointed to difficult decisions ahead for the U.S. central bank and did nothing to staunch a global bloodletting in stock markets.</p><p>Powell spoke as equity markets from Tokyo to London to New York continued a swoon that has wiped some 10% off major U.S. stock indexes since Trump announced a raft of new tariffs on trading partners around the world on Wednesday.</p><p>Investors had looked to Powell&#39;s speech for reassurance that perhaps the Fed was poised to take supportive actions as it has in previous moments of extreme market duress, and Trump himself took to his social media platform to say now would be the &#34;perfect time&#34; for the Fed to cut interest rates.</p><p>But Powell did not address the selloff directly, instead acknowledging that the Fed faced the same uncertainty engulfing investors and company executives.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 Index was down another nearly 6%, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average 5.5% lower and the Nasdaq off 5%, ending a two-day decline that is the worst since the onset of the coronavirus pandemic in March 2020.</p><p>&#34;Powell’s comments support our view that the Fed is not poised to rush in and cut interest rates anytime soon, despite President Trump’s call right ahead of Chair Powell’s comments to do so,&#34; Nationwide Chief Economist Kathy Bostjancic said. &#34;As such, we maintain our view the Fed waits until (the fourth quarter) to cut interest rates as the acceleration in inflation in the coming months makes them hesitant to lower rates to support the slowing economy.&#34;</p><p>Powell said the Fed has time to wait for more data to decide how monetary policy should respond, but the central bank&#39;s focus will be on ensuring that inflation expectations remain anchored, particularly if Trump&#39;s import taxes touch off a more persistent jump in price pressures.</p><p>&#34;While tariffs are highly likely to generate at least a temporary rise in inflation, it is also possible that the effects could be more persistent,&#34; Powell said.</p><p>&#34;Our obligation is to keep longer-term inflation expectations well anchored and to make certain that a one-time increase in the price level does not become an ongoing inflation problem,&#34; he said.</p><p>Powell said it was not the Fed&#39;s role to comment on Trump&#39;s policies but rather to react to how they might affect an economy that he and his colleagues regarded just a few weeks ago as being in a &#34;sweet spot&#34; of falling inflation and low unemployment.</p><p>&#34;Uncertainty is high,&#34; Powell said in response to a question from the event moderators. &#34;What we&#39;ve learned is that the tariffs are higher than anticipated, higher than almost all forecasters predicted.&#34;</p><p>While it is unclear how it will play out, he said, &#34;the same is likely to be true of the economic effects, which will include higher inflation and slower growth.&#34;</p><p>Powell&#39;s comments highlighted the tension the Fed is seeing emerge between &#34;hard data&#34; that remains solid - the economy added 228,000 jobs in March with a 4.2% unemployment rate - and &#34;soft data&#34; like surveys and interviews with business contacts that point to a coming slowdown.</p><p>&#34;We are closely watching this tension between the hard and soft data. As the new policies and their likely economic effects become clearer, we will have a better sense of their implications for the economy and for monetary policy,&#34; Powell said.</p><p>&#34;We are well positioned to wait for greater clarity before considering any adjustments to our policy stance. It is too soon to say what will be the appropriate path for monetary policy.&#34;</p><h2 id=\"id_2076591641\" style=\"text-align: start;\">PUSH AND PULL</h2><p>The confounding set of risks, with prices rising even as the economy appears set to weaken, has become increasingly central to Fed commentary as the scope of Trump&#39;s tariff plans become clear and other countries respond.</p><p>China has announced retaliatory tariffs of 34% on all U.S. goods, restrictions on the export of minerals critical to the tech industry, and other measures including limits on imports of U.S.-raised chickens - a nod to Trump&#39;s support in rural, agricultural parts of the country.</p><p>Administration officials have so far downplayed the market sell-off, the worst since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, as necessary for U.S. economic gains in the future.</p><p>Retaliation by other countries like China, one of the largest U.S. trading partners and the wellspring of many trade grievances among U.S. politicians of both political parties, is one of the channels Fed officials have said could cause Trump&#39;s import taxes to lead to more persistent price pressures.</p><p>The push and pull expected between slower growth and rising prices could well keep the Fed on hold until it is clear which trend takes hold more forcefully.</p><p>Investors in contracts tied to the central bank&#39;s policy rate appear to be expecting the risks to growth will dominate.</p><p>Markets now expect four quarter-percentage-point interest rate cuts from the Fed this year versus three before Trump&#39;s announcement of tariffs that could tax imports an average of as much as 27% by some estimates, versus about 2.5% at the end of the Biden administration.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Fed's Powell Says Larger-Than-Expected Tariffs Likely to Boost Inflation, Slow Growth</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFed's Powell Says Larger-Than-Expected Tariffs Likely to Boost Inflation, Slow Growth\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1032215980\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4567337cbdf294b657b1fa87c5488b48);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2025-04-04 23:27</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>WASHINGTON, April 4 (Reuters) - President Donald Trump&#39;s new tariffs are &#34;larger than expected,&#34; and the economic fallout including higher inflation and slower growth likely will be as well, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said on Friday, while cautioning it was still too soon to know what the right response from the central bank ought to be.</p><p>&#34;We face a highly uncertain outlook with elevated risks of both higher unemployment and higher inflation,&#34; undermining both of the Fed&#39;s mandates of 2% inflation and maximum employment, Powell told a business journalists&#39; conference in Arlington, Virginia, in remarks that pointed to difficult decisions ahead for the U.S. central bank and did nothing to staunch a global bloodletting in stock markets.</p><p>Powell spoke as equity markets from Tokyo to London to New York continued a swoon that has wiped some 10% off major U.S. stock indexes since Trump announced a raft of new tariffs on trading partners around the world on Wednesday.</p><p>Investors had looked to Powell&#39;s speech for reassurance that perhaps the Fed was poised to take supportive actions as it has in previous moments of extreme market duress, and Trump himself took to his social media platform to say now would be the &#34;perfect time&#34; for the Fed to cut interest rates.</p><p>But Powell did not address the selloff directly, instead acknowledging that the Fed faced the same uncertainty engulfing investors and company executives.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 Index was down another nearly 6%, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average 5.5% lower and the Nasdaq off 5%, ending a two-day decline that is the worst since the onset of the coronavirus pandemic in March 2020.</p><p>&#34;Powell’s comments support our view that the Fed is not poised to rush in and cut interest rates anytime soon, despite President Trump’s call right ahead of Chair Powell’s comments to do so,&#34; Nationwide Chief Economist Kathy Bostjancic said. &#34;As such, we maintain our view the Fed waits until (the fourth quarter) to cut interest rates as the acceleration in inflation in the coming months makes them hesitant to lower rates to support the slowing economy.&#34;</p><p>Powell said the Fed has time to wait for more data to decide how monetary policy should respond, but the central bank&#39;s focus will be on ensuring that inflation expectations remain anchored, particularly if Trump&#39;s import taxes touch off a more persistent jump in price pressures.</p><p>&#34;While tariffs are highly likely to generate at least a temporary rise in inflation, it is also possible that the effects could be more persistent,&#34; Powell said.</p><p>&#34;Our obligation is to keep longer-term inflation expectations well anchored and to make certain that a one-time increase in the price level does not become an ongoing inflation problem,&#34; he said.</p><p>Powell said it was not the Fed&#39;s role to comment on Trump&#39;s policies but rather to react to how they might affect an economy that he and his colleagues regarded just a few weeks ago as being in a &#34;sweet spot&#34; of falling inflation and low unemployment.</p><p>&#34;Uncertainty is high,&#34; Powell said in response to a question from the event moderators. &#34;What we&#39;ve learned is that the tariffs are higher than anticipated, higher than almost all forecasters predicted.&#34;</p><p>While it is unclear how it will play out, he said, &#34;the same is likely to be true of the economic effects, which will include higher inflation and slower growth.&#34;</p><p>Powell&#39;s comments highlighted the tension the Fed is seeing emerge between &#34;hard data&#34; that remains solid - the economy added 228,000 jobs in March with a 4.2% unemployment rate - and &#34;soft data&#34; like surveys and interviews with business contacts that point to a coming slowdown.</p><p>&#34;We are closely watching this tension between the hard and soft data. As the new policies and their likely economic effects become clearer, we will have a better sense of their implications for the economy and for monetary policy,&#34; Powell said.</p><p>&#34;We are well positioned to wait for greater clarity before considering any adjustments to our policy stance. It is too soon to say what will be the appropriate path for monetary policy.&#34;</p><h2 id=\"id_2076591641\" style=\"text-align: start;\">PUSH AND PULL</h2><p>The confounding set of risks, with prices rising even as the economy appears set to weaken, has become increasingly central to Fed commentary as the scope of Trump&#39;s tariff plans become clear and other countries respond.</p><p>China has announced retaliatory tariffs of 34% on all U.S. goods, restrictions on the export of minerals critical to the tech industry, and other measures including limits on imports of U.S.-raised chickens - a nod to Trump&#39;s support in rural, agricultural parts of the country.</p><p>Administration officials have so far downplayed the market sell-off, the worst since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, as necessary for U.S. economic gains in the future.</p><p>Retaliation by other countries like China, one of the largest U.S. trading partners and the wellspring of many trade grievances among U.S. politicians of both political parties, is one of the channels Fed officials have said could cause Trump&#39;s import taxes to lead to more persistent price pressures.</p><p>The push and pull expected between slower growth and rising prices could well keep the Fed on hold until it is clear which trend takes hold more forcefully.</p><p>Investors in contracts tied to the central bank&#39;s policy rate appear to be expecting the risks to growth will dominate.</p><p>Markets now expect four quarter-percentage-point interest rate cuts from the Fed this year versus three before Trump&#39;s announcement of tariffs that could tax imports an average of as much as 27% by some estimates, versus about 2.5% at the end of the Biden administration.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-04-04/powell-signals-fed-would-respond-to-persistent-inflation-shock","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1197317173","content_text":"WASHINGTON, April 4 (Reuters) - President Donald Trump's new tariffs are \"larger than expected,\" and the economic fallout including higher inflation and slower growth likely will be as well, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said on Friday, while cautioning it was still too soon to know what the right response from the central bank ought to be.\"We face a highly uncertain outlook with elevated risks of both higher unemployment and higher inflation,\" undermining both of the Fed's mandates of 2% inflation and maximum employment, Powell told a business journalists' conference in Arlington, Virginia, in remarks that pointed to difficult decisions ahead for the U.S. central bank and did nothing to staunch a global bloodletting in stock markets.Powell spoke as equity markets from Tokyo to London to New York continued a swoon that has wiped some 10% off major U.S. stock indexes since Trump announced a raft of new tariffs on trading partners around the world on Wednesday.Investors had looked to Powell's speech for reassurance that perhaps the Fed was poised to take supportive actions as it has in previous moments of extreme market duress, and Trump himself took to his social media platform to say now would be the \"perfect time\" for the Fed to cut interest rates.But Powell did not address the selloff directly, instead acknowledging that the Fed faced the same uncertainty engulfing investors and company executives.The S&P 500 Index was down another nearly 6%, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average 5.5% lower and the Nasdaq off 5%, ending a two-day decline that is the worst since the onset of the coronavirus pandemic in March 2020.\"Powell’s comments support our view that the Fed is not poised to rush in and cut interest rates anytime soon, despite President Trump’s call right ahead of Chair Powell’s comments to do so,\" Nationwide Chief Economist Kathy Bostjancic said. \"As such, we maintain our view the Fed waits until (the fourth quarter) to cut interest rates as the acceleration in inflation in the coming months makes them hesitant to lower rates to support the slowing economy.\"Powell said the Fed has time to wait for more data to decide how monetary policy should respond, but the central bank's focus will be on ensuring that inflation expectations remain anchored, particularly if Trump's import taxes touch off a more persistent jump in price pressures.\"While tariffs are highly likely to generate at least a temporary rise in inflation, it is also possible that the effects could be more persistent,\" Powell said.\"Our obligation is to keep longer-term inflation expectations well anchored and to make certain that a one-time increase in the price level does not become an ongoing inflation problem,\" he said.Powell said it was not the Fed's role to comment on Trump's policies but rather to react to how they might affect an economy that he and his colleagues regarded just a few weeks ago as being in a \"sweet spot\" of falling inflation and low unemployment.\"Uncertainty is high,\" Powell said in response to a question from the event moderators. \"What we've learned is that the tariffs are higher than anticipated, higher than almost all forecasters predicted.\"While it is unclear how it will play out, he said, \"the same is likely to be true of the economic effects, which will include higher inflation and slower growth.\"Powell's comments highlighted the tension the Fed is seeing emerge between \"hard data\" that remains solid - the economy added 228,000 jobs in March with a 4.2% unemployment rate - and \"soft data\" like surveys and interviews with business contacts that point to a coming slowdown.\"We are closely watching this tension between the hard and soft data. As the new policies and their likely economic effects become clearer, we will have a better sense of their implications for the economy and for monetary policy,\" Powell said.\"We are well positioned to wait for greater clarity before considering any adjustments to our policy stance. It is too soon to say what will be the appropriate path for monetary policy.\"PUSH AND PULLThe confounding set of risks, with prices rising even as the economy appears set to weaken, has become increasingly central to Fed commentary as the scope of Trump's tariff plans become clear and other countries respond.China has announced retaliatory tariffs of 34% on all U.S. goods, restrictions on the export of minerals critical to the tech industry, and other measures including limits on imports of U.S.-raised chickens - a nod to Trump's support in rural, agricultural parts of the country.Administration officials have so far downplayed the market sell-off, the worst since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, as necessary for U.S. economic gains in the future.Retaliation by other countries like China, one of the largest U.S. trading partners and the wellspring of many trade grievances among U.S. politicians of both political parties, is one of the channels Fed officials have said could cause Trump's import taxes to lead to more persistent price pressures.The push and pull expected between slower growth and rising prices could well keep the Fed on hold until it is clear which trend takes hold more forcefully.Investors in contracts tied to the central bank's policy rate appear to be expecting the risks to growth will dominate.Markets now expect four quarter-percentage-point interest rate cuts from the Fed this year versus three before Trump's announcement of tariffs that could tax imports an average of as much as 27% by some estimates, versus about 2.5% at the end of the Biden administration.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":1.1,".SPX":1.1,".DJI":1.1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1678,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":419721422823512,"gmtCreate":1743500606434,"gmtModify":1744267233435,"author":{"id":"4191411889412432","authorId":"4191411889412432","name":"Nirtanyahu","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4191411889412432","idStr":"4191411889412432"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a> bearish","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a> bearish","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ bearish","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/419721422823512","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1458,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":417798292709736,"gmtCreate":1743000973868,"gmtModify":1743000979703,"author":{"id":"4191411889412432","authorId":"4191411889412432","name":"Nirtanyahu","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4191411889412432","idStr":"4191411889412432"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nah bs... It's a scaremongering tactic.. As always legacy media.&nbsp;","listText":"Nah bs... It's a scaremongering tactic.. As always legacy media.&nbsp;","text":"Nah bs... It's a scaremongering tactic.. As always legacy media.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/417798292709736","repostId":"2522802341","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2522802341","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1743000215,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2522802341?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2025-03-26 22:43","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Copper Prices Hit a Record. What It Says About a Recession","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2522802341","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Copper prices are often a good recession indicator -- but Donald Trump's tariffs mean it might be time to stop putting much stock in them.The malleable metal, used in everything from buildings to cars","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Copper prices are often a good recession indicator -- but Donald Trump&#39;s tariffs mean it might be time to stop putting much stock in them.</p><p>The malleable metal, used in everything from buildings to cars, has long been seen as a reliable barometer for how the economy is doing. High prices tend to signal that construction and manufacturing activity is picking up.</p><p>So in normal times, the recent price movements of &#34;Dr. Copper&#34; would be seen as a cause for celebration. Futures for March delivery settled at a record $5.18 a pound Tuesday, surpassing the previous all-time high set last May.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9f58374fc0ce2339fae81f3c33c19f36\" tg-width=\"583\" tg-height=\"389\"/></p><p>But this rally is all about Trump&#39;s trade policies, rather than rising demand for wires and pipes. The President has threatened 25% tariffs on copper, so traders have responded by stockpiling the metal ahead of &#34;Liberation Day&#34; -- the April 2 deadline when many of the White House&#39;s levies are expected to take effect.</p><p>Analysts don&#39;t expect the surge to last long. &#34;As this is likely to be mainly a case of pulling demand forward, the price effect can be expected to reverse at a later stage,&#34; Commerzbank&#39;s Thu Lan Nguyen wrote in a note to clients. He added that the reversal is likely to be even sharper if Trump&#39;s trade policies end up weighing on the U.S. economy.</p><p>Copper mining stocks have surged this year -- Freeport-McMoRan is up 13% in 2025, while Southern Copper Corporation has gained 12%, Rio Tinto American depositary receipts are up 6.8%, and BHP Group ADRs have climbed 2.4%.</p><p>The spike in copper prices has come at a time when investors are fretting that tariffs could spark a flare-up in inflation and drag down growth. U.S. consumer confidence plummeted to its lowest level in more than four years this month, according to data published by the Conference Board on Tuesday.</p><p>Some market participants are even starting to use the dreaded R-word. Searches for &#34;recession&#34; have hit a multiyear high on Google Trends, and the number of mentions by the press has tripled compared with January, according to The Wall Street Journal.</p><p>Surging copper prices would usually be a reason to feel a little more cheerful. But in the age of Trump 2.0, this rally probably says very little about how the economy is doing.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Copper Prices Hit a Record. What It Says About a Recession</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCopper Prices Hit a Record. What It Says About a Recession\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2025-03-26 22:43</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Copper prices are often a good recession indicator -- but Donald Trump&#39;s tariffs mean it might be time to stop putting much stock in them.</p><p>The malleable metal, used in everything from buildings to cars, has long been seen as a reliable barometer for how the economy is doing. High prices tend to signal that construction and manufacturing activity is picking up.</p><p>So in normal times, the recent price movements of &#34;Dr. Copper&#34; would be seen as a cause for celebration. Futures for March delivery settled at a record $5.18 a pound Tuesday, surpassing the previous all-time high set last May.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9f58374fc0ce2339fae81f3c33c19f36\" tg-width=\"583\" tg-height=\"389\"/></p><p>But this rally is all about Trump&#39;s trade policies, rather than rising demand for wires and pipes. The President has threatened 25% tariffs on copper, so traders have responded by stockpiling the metal ahead of &#34;Liberation Day&#34; -- the April 2 deadline when many of the White House&#39;s levies are expected to take effect.</p><p>Analysts don&#39;t expect the surge to last long. &#34;As this is likely to be mainly a case of pulling demand forward, the price effect can be expected to reverse at a later stage,&#34; Commerzbank&#39;s Thu Lan Nguyen wrote in a note to clients. He added that the reversal is likely to be even sharper if Trump&#39;s trade policies end up weighing on the U.S. economy.</p><p>Copper mining stocks have surged this year -- Freeport-McMoRan is up 13% in 2025, while Southern Copper Corporation has gained 12%, Rio Tinto American depositary receipts are up 6.8%, and BHP Group ADRs have climbed 2.4%.</p><p>The spike in copper prices has come at a time when investors are fretting that tariffs could spark a flare-up in inflation and drag down growth. U.S. consumer confidence plummeted to its lowest level in more than four years this month, according to data published by the Conference Board on Tuesday.</p><p>Some market participants are even starting to use the dreaded R-word. Searches for &#34;recession&#34; have hit a multiyear high on Google Trends, and the number of mentions by the press has tripled compared with January, according to The Wall Street Journal.</p><p>Surging copper prices would usually be a reason to feel a little more cheerful. But in the age of Trump 2.0, this rally probably says very little about how the economy is doing.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK7095":"多种金属与采矿","FCX":"麦克莫兰铜金",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","BHP":"必和必拓公司","LU0050427557.USD":"富达拉丁美洲基金","BK4168":"多种金属与采矿","LU0708994859.HKD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL \"A\" (HKD) ACC","LU0278409577.USD":"MANULIFE GLOBAL FUND-GLOBAL RESOURCES FUND \"AA\" (USD) INC","LU0788109121.HKD":"BGF WORLD MINING \"A2\" (HKDHGD) ACC","LU0132412106.USD":"abrdn SICAV I - EMERGING MARKETS EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC",".DJI":"道琼斯","RIO":"力拓",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","LU0075056555.USD":"贝莱德世界矿业基金A2","IE00B19Z3B42.SGD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - Value A Acc SGD","LU1430597077.USD":"BGF NATURAL RESOURCES \"A\" (USD) INC","BK7511":"ESG概念","LU0029864427.USD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL \"A\" (USD) INC","LU1992135399.USD":"Allianz Global Intelligent Cities AT Acc USD","IE00B7SZLL34.SGD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - Value A Acc SGD-H","LU0345780950.USD":"NINETY ONE GSF GLOBAL NATURAL RESOURCES \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU1023059493.AUD":"Blackrock World Mining A2 AUD-H","LU0654597011.USD":"BGF NATURAL RESOURCES \"A4G\" (USD) INC","LU1883866441.USD":"AMUNDI FUNDS REAL ASSETS TARGET INCOME \"A2\" (USD) ACC","RIO.AU":"力拓","BK4588":"碎股","IE0002270589.USD":"LEGG MASON CLEARBRIDGE VALUE \"A\" (USD) INC","LU0128525929.USD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL \"A\" (USD) ACC","IE00B19Z9P08.USD":"LEGG MASON CLEARBRIDGE US AGGRESSIVE GROWTH \"A\" (USD) INC","IE00B894F039.SGD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - US Aggressive Growth A Acc SGD-H","LU0300736492.USD":"FRANKLIN NATURAL RESOURCES \"A\" (USD) INC","BK4566":"资本集团","LU0612318971.USD":"BGF NATURAL RESOURCES \"A5G\" (USD) INC","LU2272731600.USD":"Allianz Global Intelligent Cities AM Dis USD","LU2237438978.USD":"Amundi Funds US Pioneer A2 (C) USD","LU1992135472.HKD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL INTELLIGENT CITIES \"AT\" (HKD) ACC","LU0300736062.USD":"FRANKLIN NATURAL RESOURCES \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4015":"铜","LU0330918003.SGD":"Blackrock World Mining A2 SGD-H","LU0345781412.USD":"NINETY ONE GSF GLOBAL NATURAL RESOURCES \"A\" (USD) INC","LU0630314457.HKD":"NINETY ONE GSF GLOBAL NATURAL RESOURCES \"A\" (HKD) ACC","IE00BZ9MQY76.HKD":"FTGF CLEARBRIDGE US AGGRESSIVE GROWTH \"A\" (HKD) ACC","LU1267930573.SGD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL \"AA\" (SGD) ACC A","LU2462611646.USD":"AMUNDI FUNDS REAL ASSETS TARGET INCOME \"A2\" (USD) INC MTI","SCCO":"南方铜业","LU0612318385.USD":"BGF NATURAL RESOURCES \"A2\" (USD) ACC","LU2498475776.HKD":"AMUNDI FUNDS REAL ASSETS TARGET INCOME \"A2\" (HKD) INC","LU2272731782.SGD":"Allianz Global Intelligent Cities AM Dis H2-SGD","LU0505663152.USD":"abrdn SICAV I - FUTURE MINERALS \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0266512127.USD":"摩根大通环球自然资源 A(acc)","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK7507":"资源股"},"source_url":"https://dowjonesnews.com/newdjn/logon.aspx?AL=N","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2522802341","content_text":"Copper prices are often a good recession indicator -- but Donald Trump's tariffs mean it might be time to stop putting much stock in them.The malleable metal, used in everything from buildings to cars, has long been seen as a reliable barometer for how the economy is doing. High prices tend to signal that construction and manufacturing activity is picking up.So in normal times, the recent price movements of \"Dr. Copper\" would be seen as a cause for celebration. Futures for March delivery settled at a record $5.18 a pound Tuesday, surpassing the previous all-time high set last May.But this rally is all about Trump's trade policies, rather than rising demand for wires and pipes. The President has threatened 25% tariffs on copper, so traders have responded by stockpiling the metal ahead of \"Liberation Day\" -- the April 2 deadline when many of the White House's levies are expected to take effect.Analysts don't expect the surge to last long. \"As this is likely to be mainly a case of pulling demand forward, the price effect can be expected to reverse at a later stage,\" Commerzbank's Thu Lan Nguyen wrote in a note to clients. He added that the reversal is likely to be even sharper if Trump's trade policies end up weighing on the U.S. economy.Copper mining stocks have surged this year -- Freeport-McMoRan is up 13% in 2025, while Southern Copper Corporation has gained 12%, Rio Tinto American depositary receipts are up 6.8%, and BHP Group ADRs have climbed 2.4%.The spike in copper prices has come at a time when investors are fretting that tariffs could spark a flare-up in inflation and drag down growth. U.S. consumer confidence plummeted to its lowest level in more than four years this month, according to data published by the Conference Board on Tuesday.Some market participants are even starting to use the dreaded R-word. Searches for \"recession\" have hit a multiyear high on Google Trends, and the number of mentions by the press has tripled compared with January, according to The Wall Street Journal.Surging copper prices would usually be a reason to feel a little more cheerful. But in the age of Trump 2.0, this rally probably says very little about how the economy is doing.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":1.1,"BHP":0.9,".DJI":1.1,"RIO":0.9,".SPX":1.1,"FCX":0.9,"RIO.AU":0.9,"SCCO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2191,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":420450286805216,"gmtCreate":1743679917297,"gmtModify":1743679921129,"author":{"id":"4191411889412432","authorId":"4191411889412432","name":"Nirtanyahu","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4191411889412432","idStr":"4191411889412432"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Smart move.. Power","listText":"Smart move.. Power","text":"Smart move.. Power","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/420450286805216","repostId":"1106747407","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1106747407","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1743679117,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1106747407?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2025-04-03 19:18","market":"sg","language":"en","title":"Singapore Won’t Retaliate Against US Tariffs, Seeks Engagement","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1106747407","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Singapore Deputy Prime Minister Gan Kim Yong ruled out any immediate retaliation after the US imposed a 10% baseline global tariff, indicating officials will seek talks over levies which threaten to h","content":"<div>\n<p>Singapore Deputy Prime Minister Gan Kim Yong ruled out any immediate retaliation after the US imposed a 10% baseline global tariff, indicating officials will seek talks over levies which threaten to ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-04-03/singapore-won-t-retaliate-against-us-tariffs-seeks-engagement\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Singapore Won’t Retaliate Against US Tariffs, Seeks Engagement</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSingapore Won’t Retaliate Against US Tariffs, Seeks Engagement\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2025-04-03 19:18 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-04-03/singapore-won-t-retaliate-against-us-tariffs-seeks-engagement><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Singapore Deputy Prime Minister Gan Kim Yong ruled out any immediate retaliation after the US imposed a 10% baseline global tariff, indicating officials will seek talks over levies which threaten to ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-04-03/singapore-won-t-retaliate-against-us-tariffs-seeks-engagement\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"STI.SI":"富时新加坡海峡指数"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-04-03/singapore-won-t-retaliate-against-us-tariffs-seeks-engagement","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1106747407","content_text":"Singapore Deputy Prime Minister Gan Kim Yong ruled out any immediate retaliation after the US imposed a 10% baseline global tariff, indicating officials will seek talks over levies which threaten to have a “significant impact” on the city-state’s economy.“We are naturally disappointed,” Gan, who is also minister for trade and industry, told reporters on Tuesday. He cited the two nations’ traditionally close ties, and a longstanding free trade agreement with the US that has mutually benefited both sides.Under the FTA Singapore can take countermeasures, “however, we have decided not to do so” because retaliatory import duties will just add costs for Singapore, he added.Singapore will be subject to the minimum universal tariff on all exports to the US, though the city was spared the higher levies inflicted on some countries, including a total of 54% on China and 46% on Vietnam. But as an open, trade-oriented financial center, Singapore’s likely to also feel an indirect impact, particularly if other countries respond with tariffs of their own.Singapore has to be “prepared for rough waters ahead,” he said, adding the government will continue to monitor the situation, and — if necessary — “introduce more measures to help our households and our businesses.”He also said Singapore will have to reassess the outlook for the economy, which was expected to slow even before Trump inflicted the new levies. In February, the city-state forecast growth of 1%-3% this year, down from 4.4% in 2024.“I’m not saying we will definitely revise it downwards, but I think the situation has turned out to be worse” than we had expected, “and therefore it is necessary for us to revisit our assumptions,” he said.Prime Minister Lawrence Wong had already set aside nearly S$124 billion ($93 billion) in the 2025 fiscal year for everything from airport upgrades to measures to address rising living costs, including supermarket vouchers and utility rebates.Gan’s late afternoon comments came after the Monetary Authority of Singapore said it’s assessing the implications for the local economy. MAS “stands ready to curb excessive volatility” in the local currency, the central bank said.The tariffs on Southeast Asia were more “draconian” than feared, economist Tamara Mast Henderson wrote in a note for Bloomberg Economics, with Vietnam hit the hardest. “Growth in Malaysia, Thailand and Singapore – where US exports amount to 8%-12% of GDP — will also get hammered,” she wrote in a note Thursday.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"STI.SI":1.1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1544,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":420083925172344,"gmtCreate":1743590198821,"gmtModify":1743591919768,"author":{"id":"4191411889412432","authorId":"4191411889412432","name":"Nirtanyahu","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4191411889412432","idStr":"4191411889412432"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Dnt understand why they retaliate... That will have impact on all goods n services locally.. Dumbass.. Then blame the inflation.. Wtf..&nbsp;","listText":"Dnt understand why they retaliate... That will have impact on all goods n services locally.. Dumbass.. Then blame the inflation.. Wtf..&nbsp;","text":"Dnt understand why they retaliate... That will have impact on all goods n services locally.. Dumbass.. Then blame the inflation.. Wtf..","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/420083925172344","repostId":"2524016454","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2524016454","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"The most recognized names in North America, Europe and Asia rely on MT Newswires to power their applications. Better news, better service, better price.","home_visible":1,"media_name":"MT Newswires","id":"1060499803","head_image":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3002d84abbd5ace3c99397c7f95b8d4e"},"pubTimestamp":1743588821,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2524016454?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2025-04-02 18:13","market":"sg","language":"en","title":"Singapore Shares Decline as City-State Gears up for Trump's Retaliatory Tariffs; Sembcorp up 2.5%; ST Engineering down 2.6%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2524016454","media":"MT Newswires","summary":"Singapore shares declined on Wednesday as the country awaits the impact of the latest in sweeping retaliatory tariffs that US President Donald Trump is expected to impose on its global trading partners.The Straits Times Index , a key benchmark for the Singapore Exchange, ranged between 3,924.92 and 3,965.13 throughout the day. It ended the session at 3,954.21, down 14.64 points or 0.37% compared to Tuesday's close.In company news, shares of Wee Hur  were down nearly 3% at the close after the developer completed the disposal of seven purpose-built student accommodation assets to Australia's Greystar.Sembcorp Industries  was up over 2% after the company entered into a sale and purchase agreement with KPIC Netherlands, Kyuden International and Japan Bank of International Cooperation  to acquire up to 57.1% interest in Lion Power.Meanwhile, shares of Singtel  were down over 1% after its Bangkok-listed unit, Intouch Holdings  and Gulf Energy shareholders approved the resolution to amalgamat","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Singapore shares declined on Wednesday as the country awaits the impact of the latest in sweeping retaliatory tariffs that US President Donald Trump is expected to impose on its global trading partners.</p><p>The Straits Times Index (STI), a key benchmark for the Singapore Exchange, ranged between 3,924.92 and 3,965.13 throughout the day. It ended the session at 3,954.21, down 14.64 points or 0.37% compared to Tuesday&#39;s close.</p><p>In company news, shares of Wee Hur (SGX:E3B) were down nearly 3% at the close after the developer completed the disposal of seven purpose-built student accommodation assets to Australia&#39;s Greystar.</p><p>Sembcorp Industries (SGX:U96) was up over 2% after the company entered into a sale and purchase agreement with KPIC Netherlands, Kyuden International and Japan Bank of International Cooperation (JBIC) to acquire up to 57.1% interest in Lion Power.</p><p>Meanwhile, shares of Singtel (SGX:Z74) were down over 1% after its Bangkok-listed unit, Intouch Holdings (BKK:INTUCH) and Gulf Energy shareholders approved the resolution to amalgamate which was accepted by the Department of Business Development of the Ministry of Commerce.</p><p>STI fell 0.4%; Sembcorp up 2.5%; Seatrium up 1.5%; ST Engineering fell 2.6%; SingPost fell 2.4%; SIA fell 1%.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f27a1bd065e9b521a936379d34aec8a9\" tg-width=\"345\" tg-height=\"699\"/></p><p></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Singapore Shares Decline as City-State Gears up for Trump's Retaliatory Tariffs; Sembcorp up 2.5%; ST Engineering down 2.6%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSingapore Shares Decline as City-State Gears up for Trump's Retaliatory Tariffs; Sembcorp up 2.5%; ST Engineering down 2.6%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1060499803\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3002d84abbd5ace3c99397c7f95b8d4e);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">MT Newswires </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2025-04-02 18:13</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Singapore shares declined on Wednesday as the country awaits the impact of the latest in sweeping retaliatory tariffs that US President Donald Trump is expected to impose on its global trading partners.</p><p>The Straits Times Index (STI), a key benchmark for the Singapore Exchange, ranged between 3,924.92 and 3,965.13 throughout the day. It ended the session at 3,954.21, down 14.64 points or 0.37% compared to Tuesday&#39;s close.</p><p>In company news, shares of Wee Hur (SGX:E3B) were down nearly 3% at the close after the developer completed the disposal of seven purpose-built student accommodation assets to Australia&#39;s Greystar.</p><p>Sembcorp Industries (SGX:U96) was up over 2% after the company entered into a sale and purchase agreement with KPIC Netherlands, Kyuden International and Japan Bank of International Cooperation (JBIC) to acquire up to 57.1% interest in Lion Power.</p><p>Meanwhile, shares of Singtel (SGX:Z74) were down over 1% after its Bangkok-listed unit, Intouch Holdings (BKK:INTUCH) and Gulf Energy shareholders approved the resolution to amalgamate which was accepted by the Department of Business Development of the Ministry of Commerce.</p><p>STI fell 0.4%; Sembcorp up 2.5%; Seatrium up 1.5%; ST Engineering fell 2.6%; SingPost fell 2.4%; SIA fell 1%.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f27a1bd065e9b521a936379d34aec8a9\" tg-width=\"345\" tg-height=\"699\"/></p><p></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LU0348814723.USD":"ALLIANZ TOTAL RETURN ASIAN EQUITY \"A\" (USD) INC  NC","LU0630378692.HKD":"HSBC GIF ASIA PACIFIC EX JAPAN EQ HD \"AM2\" (HKD) INC","SG9999001127.SGD":"United Singapore Growth Fund SGD","LU0762542818.HKD":"HSBC GIF MANAGED SOLUTIONS ASIA FOCUSED INCOME \"AM\" (HKD) INC","BK6113":"复合型公用事业","LU1769817096.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV - GLOBAL EMERG MARKETS OPPO \"P\" (USD) INC","SG9999002414.USD":"LIONGLOBAL SINGAPORE TRUST (USD) ACC","LU0106959298.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY FUND - EMERGING MARKETS SUSTAINABLE LEADERS (USD) \"P\" (USD) ACC","SG9999002604.SGD":"LionGlobal Singapore/Malaysia SGD","LU0516422440.USD":"FULLERTON LUX FUNDS - ASIA FOCUS EQUITIES \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0572940350.SGD":"Janus Henderson Horizon Asian Dividend Income A3 SGD","IE00B12V2V27.USD":"柏瑞亚洲小盘股A(除日本)","LU0955648018.USD":"SCHRODER ISF ASIAN DIVIDEND MAX \"A\" (USD) INC MF","E3B.SI":"伟合","U96.SI":"胜科工业","LU0163747925.USD":"EASTSPRING INVESTMENTS ASIAN EQUITY A ACC","SGXZ27511609.SGD":"NIKKO AM SINGAPORE DIVIDEND EQUITY \"SGD\" (SGD) ACC","LU1282649810.SGD":"Allianz Asian Multi Income Plus Cl AMg DIS H2-SGD","LU0414403682.SGD":"Blackrock Asia Pacific Equity Income A5 SGD-H","LU1508157978.USD":"BSF BLACKROCK SYSTEMATIC ASIA PACIFIC EQUITY ABSOLUTE RETURN \"A\" (USD) ACC","SG9999000343.SGD":"Schroder Singapore Trust A Dis SGD","BK6520":"工商业服务概念","LU0235996351.USD":"UBS (LUX) KEY SELECTION SICAV - ASIAN EQUITY (USD) \"P\" (USD) ACC","LU0210637038.USD":"HSBC GIF THAI EQUITY \"AD\" INC","SGXZ43160589.SGD":"UNITED SG DYNAMIC INCOME FUND \"A\" (SGD) ACC","SG9999006266.SGD":"MANULIFE SINGAPORE EQUITY \"A\" (SGD) ACC","BK4007":"制药","LU0328353924.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV - GLOBAL EMERGING MARKETS OPPORTUNITY (USD) \"P\" (USD) ACC","SG9999002406.SGD":"利安新加坡信托基金","SG9999004220.SGD":"Nikko AM Shenton Asia Dividend Equity Fund  SGD","LU0878004406.USD":"UBS (LUX) KEY SELEC ASIA ALLOCATION OPPORTUNITY (USD) \"P\" (USD) INC","LU0878005551.USD":"UBS (LUX) KEY SELEC ASIA ALLOCATION OPPORTUNITY (USD) \"P\" (USD) ACC","LU0738912210.USD":"Blackrock Asia Pacific Equity Income A6 USD","LU0261945553.USD":"FIDELITY ASEAN \"A\" ACC","LU0979878070.USD":"FULLERTON LUX FUNDS - ASIA ABSOLUTE ALPHA \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0516422366.SGD":"Fullerton Lux Funds - Asia Focus Equities A Acc SGD","LU0882747503.HKD":"UBS (LUX) KEY SELEC ASIA ALLOCATION OPPORTUNITY (USD) \"P\" (HKD) INC","LU0532188223.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - ASEAN Equity A (acc) SGD","SG9999016042.SGD":"Schroder Singapore Trust A Acc SGD","Z74.SI":"新电信","SG9999001135.SGD":"United ASEAN Fund SGD","LU0572939691.SGD":"Janus Henderson Horizon Asian Dividend Income A2 SGD","LU0762541174.USD":"HSBC GIF MANAGED SOLUTIONS ASIA FOCUSED INCOME \"AM2\" (USD) INC","STI.SI":"富时新加坡海峡指数","LU0831093199.SGD":"HSBC GIF MANAGED SOLUTIONS ASIA FOCUSED INCOME \"AM3\" (SGDHDG) INC","LU0251143029.SGD":"Fidelity ASEAN A-SGD","SG9999014492.USD":"NIKKO AM ASEAN EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK6500":"公用股","LU0488056044.USD":"Allianz Asian Multi Income Plus Cl AM DIS USD","LU0918141887.USD":"安联亚洲实际收益股票基金"},"source_url":"https://www.mtnewswires.com/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2524016454","content_text":"Singapore shares declined on Wednesday as the country awaits the impact of the latest in sweeping retaliatory tariffs that US President Donald Trump is expected to impose on its global trading partners.The Straits Times Index (STI), a key benchmark for the Singapore Exchange, ranged between 3,924.92 and 3,965.13 throughout the day. It ended the session at 3,954.21, down 14.64 points or 0.37% compared to Tuesday's close.In company news, shares of Wee Hur (SGX:E3B) were down nearly 3% at the close after the developer completed the disposal of seven purpose-built student accommodation assets to Australia's Greystar.Sembcorp Industries (SGX:U96) was up over 2% after the company entered into a sale and purchase agreement with KPIC Netherlands, Kyuden International and Japan Bank of International Cooperation (JBIC) to acquire up to 57.1% interest in Lion Power.Meanwhile, shares of Singtel (SGX:Z74) were down over 1% after its Bangkok-listed unit, Intouch Holdings (BKK:INTUCH) and Gulf Energy shareholders approved the resolution to amalgamate which was accepted by the Department of Business Development of the Ministry of Commerce.STI fell 0.4%; Sembcorp up 2.5%; Seatrium up 1.5%; ST Engineering fell 2.6%; SingPost fell 2.4%; SIA fell 1%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"Z74.SI":1.1,"E3B.SI":0.9,"U96.SI":0.9,"STI.SI":0.74}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1492,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":420010151100552,"gmtCreate":1743573147309,"gmtModify":1743573151523,"author":{"id":"4191411889412432","authorId":"4191411889412432","name":"Nirtanyahu","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4191411889412432","idStr":"4191411889412432"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ofc it does... See yourself&nbsp;the board the directors...&nbsp; Boooom","listText":"Ofc it does... See yourself&nbsp;the board the directors...&nbsp; Boooom","text":"Ofc it does... See yourself the board the directors... Boooom","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/420010151100552","repostId":"1173111202","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1173111202","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1743571417,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1173111202?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2025-04-02 13:23","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Grab Obtains LTA Licence to Operate Taxis in Singapore","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1173111202","media":"The Edge Singapore","summary":"The Land Transport Authority (LTA) has awarded a Street-hail Service Operator Licence (SSOL) to GrabCab, a subsidiary of Grab Rentals and sister company of GrabCar, which holds a Ride-hail Service Ope","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The Land Transport Authority (LTA) has awarded a Street-hail Service Operator Licence (SSOL) to GrabCab, a subsidiary of Grab Rentals and sister company of GrabCar, which holds a Ride-hail Service Operator Licence (RSOL) and a Car-pool Service Operator Licence (CSOL).    </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">GrabCab’s entry into the street-hail sector brings the total number of taxi operators in Singapore to six, and is expected to boost taxi supply. Under the licence, GrabCab will be allowed a three-year grace period to progressively expand their fleet to meet the minimum fleet size requirement of 800 taxis.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Valid for 10 years, the licence will commence from April 9. GrabCab will need to comply with the conditions of its licence, including meeting LTA’s safety standards and ensuring that partnership arrangements with drivers are non-exclusive in nature.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">GrabCab’s licence terms are consistent with that of other existing street-hail operators. GrabCab must ensure that its taxis are easily identifiable by street-hail customers, including having a prominent roof-top sign and a distinctive livery scheme. Its vehicle models must be approved by LTA, and must meet requirements such as having sufficient boot space to carry a folded wheelchair or luggage.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Its street-hail services must also follow the same taxi fare structure components as other street-hail operators and its fare must be prominently displayed, so that passengers are informed on the applicable fare rates.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Commenting on the matter, a Grab spokesperson says: “Grab is grateful to LTA for granting us a taxi license, which provides us the opportunity to introduce GrabCab, a taxi fleet to complement private hire cars on our platform. This enables us to address unmet consumer demand and improve ride availability, particularly during peak hours, late nights and in areas only accessible by taxis. It also positions us to better serve the anticipated growth in point-to-point rides in the coming years, while catering to consumers who prefer street-hailing.&#34;</p><p>Grab will be sponsoring the Taxi Driver’s Vocational Licence course fees for aspiring taxi drivers and six-month National Taxi Association membership fees for new members planning to join GrabCab. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">&#34;In the coming months, we will launch our 100% green GrabCab fleet, featuring popular low- and zero-emission hybrid and electric vehicles from leading manufacturers, offering consumers a greener way to travel. We will work with GrabCab drivers to uphold high service standards, and leverage our industry-leading technology to enhance safety and convenience for all,&#34; says the spokesperson, adding that some planned initiatives include deploying Internet of Things (IoT) devices to promote safe driving practices and digitalising the street-hail and relief driver matching experiences for increased convenience. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">&#34;Grab remains committed to maintaining an open and fair platform for all PHV and taxi drivers. We will continue to treat all drivers fairly, match them with optimal bookings, and empower them to maximise their productivity on our platform. This approach also ensures our marketplace remains efficient, providing consumers with a better ride-hailing experience,&#34; the group adds. </p></body></html>","source":"lsy1655096814160","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Grab Obtains LTA Licence to Operate Taxis in Singapore</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGrab Obtains LTA Licence to Operate Taxis in Singapore\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2025-04-02 13:23 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.theedgesingapore.com/news/company-news/grab-obtains-lta-licence-operate-taxis-singapore><strong>The Edge Singapore</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The Land Transport Authority (LTA) has awarded a Street-hail Service Operator Licence (SSOL) to GrabCab, a subsidiary of Grab Rentals and sister company of GrabCar, which holds a Ride-hail Service ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.theedgesingapore.com/news/company-news/grab-obtains-lta-licence-operate-taxis-singapore\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GRAB":"Grab Holdings"},"source_url":"https://www.theedgesingapore.com/news/company-news/grab-obtains-lta-licence-operate-taxis-singapore","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1173111202","content_text":"The Land Transport Authority (LTA) has awarded a Street-hail Service Operator Licence (SSOL) to GrabCab, a subsidiary of Grab Rentals and sister company of GrabCar, which holds a Ride-hail Service Operator Licence (RSOL) and a Car-pool Service Operator Licence (CSOL).    GrabCab’s entry into the street-hail sector brings the total number of taxi operators in Singapore to six, and is expected to boost taxi supply. Under the licence, GrabCab will be allowed a three-year grace period to progressively expand their fleet to meet the minimum fleet size requirement of 800 taxis.Valid for 10 years, the licence will commence from April 9. GrabCab will need to comply with the conditions of its licence, including meeting LTA’s safety standards and ensuring that partnership arrangements with drivers are non-exclusive in nature.GrabCab’s licence terms are consistent with that of other existing street-hail operators. GrabCab must ensure that its taxis are easily identifiable by street-hail customers, including having a prominent roof-top sign and a distinctive livery scheme. Its vehicle models must be approved by LTA, and must meet requirements such as having sufficient boot space to carry a folded wheelchair or luggage.Its street-hail services must also follow the same taxi fare structure components as other street-hail operators and its fare must be prominently displayed, so that passengers are informed on the applicable fare rates.Commenting on the matter, a Grab spokesperson says: “Grab is grateful to LTA for granting us a taxi license, which provides us the opportunity to introduce GrabCab, a taxi fleet to complement private hire cars on our platform. This enables us to address unmet consumer demand and improve ride availability, particularly during peak hours, late nights and in areas only accessible by taxis. It also positions us to better serve the anticipated growth in point-to-point rides in the coming years, while catering to consumers who prefer street-hailing.\"Grab will be sponsoring the Taxi Driver’s Vocational Licence course fees for aspiring taxi drivers and six-month National Taxi Association membership fees for new members planning to join GrabCab. \"In the coming months, we will launch our 100% green GrabCab fleet, featuring popular low- and zero-emission hybrid and electric vehicles from leading manufacturers, offering consumers a greener way to travel. We will work with GrabCab drivers to uphold high service standards, and leverage our industry-leading technology to enhance safety and convenience for all,\" says the spokesperson, adding that some planned initiatives include deploying Internet of Things (IoT) devices to promote safe driving practices and digitalising the street-hail and relief driver matching experiences for increased convenience. \"Grab remains committed to maintaining an open and fair platform for all PHV and taxi drivers. We will continue to treat all drivers fairly, match them with optimal bookings, and empower them to maximise their productivity on our platform. This approach also ensures our marketplace remains efficient, providing consumers with a better ride-hailing experience,\" the group adds.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GRAB":1.1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1609,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":412342975578696,"gmtCreate":1741689790995,"gmtModify":1741689794833,"author":{"id":"4191411889412432","authorId":"4191411889412432","name":"Nirtanyahu","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4191411889412432","idStr":"4191411889412432"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"What landing is bs..&nbsp; Awaiting for the real reset coming..&nbsp;","listText":"What landing is bs..&nbsp; Awaiting for the real reset coming..&nbsp;","text":"What landing is bs.. Awaiting for the real reset coming..","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/412342975578696","repostId":"2518217735","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2518217735","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1741686175,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2518217735?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2025-03-11 17:42","market":"fut","language":"en","title":"Wall Street Fears Trump Will Wreck the Soft Landing","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2518217735","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"For the past year, U.S. economic policymakers have been singularly focused on achieving a so-called soft landing that brings inflation down without a recession. Now, a new team of pilots are considering a course correction that, by their own acknowledgment, might tip the economy toward a hard landing.In an interview that aired Sunday on Fox News, Trump sidestepped a question about whether a recession could lie ahead. \"There is a period of transition because what we're doing is very big,\" he said. \"What I have to do is build a strong country. You can't really watch the stock market.\". Given a chance to explain those comments later Sunday, Trump instead doubled down in remarks to reporters on Air Force One that evening. \"Tariffs are going to be the greatest thing we've ever done as a country. It's going to make our country rich again,\" he said.Business travel has also softened. \"Where there are places where people just aren't quite sure what's going to happen, companies are pulling back,","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>By Nick Timiraos</p><p>For the past year, U.S. economic policymakers have been singularly focused on achieving a so-called soft landing that brings inflation down without a recession. Now, a new team of pilots are considering a course correction that, by their own acknowledgment, might tip the economy toward a hard landing.</p><p>President Trump and his senior advisers in recent days have signaled indifference to rising risks that trade uncertainty chills private-sector investment. They have argued a &#34;detox&#34; might be needed in spending and hiring, that falling stock values aren&#39;t a big worry, and that inflation could rise in the short run.</p><p>In an interview that aired Sunday on Fox News, Trump sidestepped a question about whether a recession could lie ahead. &#34;There is a period of transition because what we&#39;re doing is very big,&#34; he said. &#34;What I have to do is build a strong country. You can&#39;t really watch the stock market.&#34;</p><p>Given a chance to explain those comments later Sunday, Trump instead doubled down in remarks to reporters on Air Force One that evening. &#34;Tariffs are going to be the greatest thing we&#39;ve ever done as a country. It&#39;s going to make our country rich again,&#34; he said.</p><p>The comments roiled stock markets on Monday. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 890 points, down 2.1%. The S&amp;P 500 fell 2.7%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq fell 4%, its largest decline since 2022. All three major indexes are now below their levels recorded on Election Day last November.</p><p>Delta Air Lines said domestic demand had softened when it slashed its first-quarter earnings and revenue guidance after markets closed on Monday. The company saw a &#34;pretty significant shift&#34; in sentiment in February, and &#34;consumer spending started to stall,&#34; said Chief Executive Ed Bastian on CNBC.</p><p>Business travel has also softened. &#34;Where there are places where people just aren&#39;t quite sure what&#39;s going to happen, companies are pulling back,&#34; he said.</p><p>In recent days, advisers including Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick have warned tariffs could create a one-time increase in prices. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent suggested the U.S. economy may need a reset following years of growth supported by federal spending and rising asset prices. &#34;We&#39;ll see whether there&#39;s pain,&#34; he said Friday on CNBC.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b59634d1c00478236e72f507cec6183e\" tg-width=\"573\" tg-height=\"466\"/></p><p>To be sure, Trump inherited an economy with steady growth and lofty stock markets but vulnerabilities from a frozen housing sector and a cooling labor market. Investors began the year indifferent to those blemishes because they expected the new administration to focus on revving up growth. Stocks soared after Trump&#39;s election in November as investors anticipated a bullish cocktail of tax cuts and deregulation, as occurred in his first year as president in 2017.</p><p>&#34;People could only see the good side of what Trump was promising to do. That has basically evaporated, and now, we&#39;re back to recession watch,&#34; said Dario Perkins, an economist at GlobalData TS Lombard in London.</p><p>Analysts saw the shift in tone from the president and his advisers in recent days as particularly portentous. The administration initially seemed to focus on talking down the risks of higher government bond yields from an uptick in inflation or by pre-emptively blaming the departing Biden administration for any growth scare.</p><p>&#34;On Friday, I would have said I thought the administration was worried about their policies really slowing down the economy, and they were trying to lay the groundwork for the narrative that they inherited a weakening economy,&#34; said Michael Strain, head of economic-policy studies at the right-leaning American Enterprise Institute.</p><p>More recent comments seem to have gone beyond that.</p><p>&#34;Now, there&#39;s almost a sense that if something goes wrong in the economy, then that&#39;s fine,&#34; said Perkins. &#34;That&#39;s making people quite nervous because if you get to the point where you are pushing the economy into a recession, there is no guarantee that that&#39;s just going to pass quickly.&#34;</p><p>Market economies tend to settle into their own equilibrium. An increase in spending and hiring sustains still more spending and hiring until some outside event -- a war, oil price shock, or large increase in borrowing costs -- knocks the economy off track, creating a negative feedback loop.</p><p>Economists at JPMorgan Chase said Monday that the risk of a recession had edged up to 40% from 30% owing to &#34;extreme U.S. policies.&#34; Goldman Sachs, which has consistently anticipated above-consensus growth in recent years, now says it expects weaker growth than the rest of Wall Street. Its economists raised their 12-month recession odds to 20% from 15%.</p><p>&#34;We still think this is more of a growth scare than a recession,&#34; said George Mateyo, chief investment officer at Key Private Bank. &#34;This is very much a man-made situation.&#34;</p><p>The administration has taken Washington and Wall Street by surprise in recent weeks with a double-barreled blitz to slash the federal workforce and to threaten huge tariffs on its largest trading partners. Trump has already imposed large tariff increases on China, hitting a range of goods such as consumer electronics and apparel that received exemptions six years ago.</p><p>&#34;The administration seems to be trying to test the boundaries of the economy&#39;s willingness to tolerate rising tariffs. And it doesn&#39;t quite know where those boundaries are,&#34; said Strain.</p><p>Difficulty forecasting potential changes to prices of imported goods means investment spending could &#34;totally stall out in the first quarter, &#34; he said.</p><p>Risks abound. For example, efforts to shrink the federal workforce without a sustained rise in joblessness could rely on the private sector to absorb those workers. But are private-sector businesses prepared to do so when they don&#39;t know by what magnitude tariffs on goods and materials that they import are set to rise? The Trump administration, in running multiple policy experiments at once, risks upending a fragile &#34;slow-to-hire, slow-to-fire&#34; equilibrium that has defined the postpandemic economy.</p><p>Strain said he was worried about the effects on consumer spending from anxious workers -- those directly employed by the federal government and millions more whose businesses rely on federal funding or contracts -- pulling back on purchases. Harvard University announced a hiring freeze on Monday.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5e3eb8632bb3829b926e35e6cccb48ef\" tg-width=\"299\" tg-height=\"372\"/></p><p>To be sure, the U.S. government has managed meaningful fiscal cutbacks in the past. The federal workforce shrunk by more than 10% between 1992 and 1998. But a steadily growing economy enabled that to occur without any meaningful disruption.</p><p>In November, the share of households who expected their financial situation would improve over the coming year reached a 4 1/2 -year high, according to a New York Fed survey of consumers. The same survey, released Monday, showed the largest monthly drop in household financial sentiment last month since 2023. Expectations regarding the perceived probability of missing a debt payment rose to the highest level since April 2020.</p><p>Some analysts cautioned that Trump&#39;s messaging may instead reflect a strategic effort to improve the country&#39;s bargaining posture with trading partners and to jawbone bond investors and the Federal Reserve to maintain a bias toward lowering rates. Already, Trump&#39;s impulsive trade and security behavior has prompted authorities in China and Europe to take steps to increase spending on economic stimulus and defense.</p><p>Analysts said the past two weeks had been helpful in resetting expectations on Wall Street by showing Trump wasn&#39;t likely to change course based on a market selloff. &#34;He is telling us, in everything he is doing, that he is not kidding around. On tariffs, he believes it in his bones,&#34; said Andy Laperriere, head of U.S. policy research at Piper Sandler.</p><p>Laperriere referred to an anecdote recounted in Bob Woodward&#39;s 2018 book about how Trump&#39;s economic team worked behind the scenes to sand off the rough edges of his more belligerent trade posture. &#34;There is no Gary Cohn to throw the Peter Navarro memo in the trash can. The people who are there are resigned to the fact that he&#39;s going to do what he wants on tariffs,&#34; he said.</p><p>Business executives have said they would be more comfortable with larger-than-anticipated tariffs if they could at least have certainty about the administration&#39;s ultimate plans.</p><p>In the interview Sunday, Trump pooh-poohed that desire for clarity by suggesting that &#34;tariffs could go up as time goes by.&#34; Pressed that his answer did little to resolve businesses&#39; anxieties, Trump responded by attacking multinational companies: &#34;For years, the big globalists have been ripping off the United States.&#34;</p><p>Laperriere said investors were right to worry that policies could veer toward chaos rather than moderation if growth does suffer. &#34;Instead of a weak economy forcing Trump to reconsider his policy agenda, it&#39;s far more likely to cause Trump to consider other policies that are disruptive to the economy,&#34; such as a more aggressive effort to challenge the Fed to cut interest rates, he said.</p><p>Because tariffs are likely to send up prices at least in the short run, officials at the Fed are likely to move more slowly to cushion the economy from potential threats to growth than they were last year, when interest rates were higher and inflation was steadily declining.</p><p>&#34;You can&#39;t be sure that the monetary policy response is going to be forthcoming quickly enough to break that potential feedback loop. That&#39;s the worry here,&#34; said Perkins.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wall Street Fears Trump Will Wreck the Soft Landing</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWall Street Fears Trump Will Wreck the Soft Landing\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2025-03-11 17:42</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>By Nick Timiraos</p><p>For the past year, U.S. economic policymakers have been singularly focused on achieving a so-called soft landing that brings inflation down without a recession. Now, a new team of pilots are considering a course correction that, by their own acknowledgment, might tip the economy toward a hard landing.</p><p>President Trump and his senior advisers in recent days have signaled indifference to rising risks that trade uncertainty chills private-sector investment. They have argued a &#34;detox&#34; might be needed in spending and hiring, that falling stock values aren&#39;t a big worry, and that inflation could rise in the short run.</p><p>In an interview that aired Sunday on Fox News, Trump sidestepped a question about whether a recession could lie ahead. &#34;There is a period of transition because what we&#39;re doing is very big,&#34; he said. &#34;What I have to do is build a strong country. You can&#39;t really watch the stock market.&#34;</p><p>Given a chance to explain those comments later Sunday, Trump instead doubled down in remarks to reporters on Air Force One that evening. &#34;Tariffs are going to be the greatest thing we&#39;ve ever done as a country. It&#39;s going to make our country rich again,&#34; he said.</p><p>The comments roiled stock markets on Monday. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 890 points, down 2.1%. The S&amp;P 500 fell 2.7%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq fell 4%, its largest decline since 2022. All three major indexes are now below their levels recorded on Election Day last November.</p><p>Delta Air Lines said domestic demand had softened when it slashed its first-quarter earnings and revenue guidance after markets closed on Monday. The company saw a &#34;pretty significant shift&#34; in sentiment in February, and &#34;consumer spending started to stall,&#34; said Chief Executive Ed Bastian on CNBC.</p><p>Business travel has also softened. &#34;Where there are places where people just aren&#39;t quite sure what&#39;s going to happen, companies are pulling back,&#34; he said.</p><p>In recent days, advisers including Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick have warned tariffs could create a one-time increase in prices. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent suggested the U.S. economy may need a reset following years of growth supported by federal spending and rising asset prices. &#34;We&#39;ll see whether there&#39;s pain,&#34; he said Friday on CNBC.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b59634d1c00478236e72f507cec6183e\" tg-width=\"573\" tg-height=\"466\"/></p><p>To be sure, Trump inherited an economy with steady growth and lofty stock markets but vulnerabilities from a frozen housing sector and a cooling labor market. Investors began the year indifferent to those blemishes because they expected the new administration to focus on revving up growth. Stocks soared after Trump&#39;s election in November as investors anticipated a bullish cocktail of tax cuts and deregulation, as occurred in his first year as president in 2017.</p><p>&#34;People could only see the good side of what Trump was promising to do. That has basically evaporated, and now, we&#39;re back to recession watch,&#34; said Dario Perkins, an economist at GlobalData TS Lombard in London.</p><p>Analysts saw the shift in tone from the president and his advisers in recent days as particularly portentous. The administration initially seemed to focus on talking down the risks of higher government bond yields from an uptick in inflation or by pre-emptively blaming the departing Biden administration for any growth scare.</p><p>&#34;On Friday, I would have said I thought the administration was worried about their policies really slowing down the economy, and they were trying to lay the groundwork for the narrative that they inherited a weakening economy,&#34; said Michael Strain, head of economic-policy studies at the right-leaning American Enterprise Institute.</p><p>More recent comments seem to have gone beyond that.</p><p>&#34;Now, there&#39;s almost a sense that if something goes wrong in the economy, then that&#39;s fine,&#34; said Perkins. &#34;That&#39;s making people quite nervous because if you get to the point where you are pushing the economy into a recession, there is no guarantee that that&#39;s just going to pass quickly.&#34;</p><p>Market economies tend to settle into their own equilibrium. An increase in spending and hiring sustains still more spending and hiring until some outside event -- a war, oil price shock, or large increase in borrowing costs -- knocks the economy off track, creating a negative feedback loop.</p><p>Economists at JPMorgan Chase said Monday that the risk of a recession had edged up to 40% from 30% owing to &#34;extreme U.S. policies.&#34; Goldman Sachs, which has consistently anticipated above-consensus growth in recent years, now says it expects weaker growth than the rest of Wall Street. Its economists raised their 12-month recession odds to 20% from 15%.</p><p>&#34;We still think this is more of a growth scare than a recession,&#34; said George Mateyo, chief investment officer at Key Private Bank. &#34;This is very much a man-made situation.&#34;</p><p>The administration has taken Washington and Wall Street by surprise in recent weeks with a double-barreled blitz to slash the federal workforce and to threaten huge tariffs on its largest trading partners. Trump has already imposed large tariff increases on China, hitting a range of goods such as consumer electronics and apparel that received exemptions six years ago.</p><p>&#34;The administration seems to be trying to test the boundaries of the economy&#39;s willingness to tolerate rising tariffs. And it doesn&#39;t quite know where those boundaries are,&#34; said Strain.</p><p>Difficulty forecasting potential changes to prices of imported goods means investment spending could &#34;totally stall out in the first quarter, &#34; he said.</p><p>Risks abound. For example, efforts to shrink the federal workforce without a sustained rise in joblessness could rely on the private sector to absorb those workers. But are private-sector businesses prepared to do so when they don&#39;t know by what magnitude tariffs on goods and materials that they import are set to rise? The Trump administration, in running multiple policy experiments at once, risks upending a fragile &#34;slow-to-hire, slow-to-fire&#34; equilibrium that has defined the postpandemic economy.</p><p>Strain said he was worried about the effects on consumer spending from anxious workers -- those directly employed by the federal government and millions more whose businesses rely on federal funding or contracts -- pulling back on purchases. Harvard University announced a hiring freeze on Monday.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5e3eb8632bb3829b926e35e6cccb48ef\" tg-width=\"299\" tg-height=\"372\"/></p><p>To be sure, the U.S. government has managed meaningful fiscal cutbacks in the past. The federal workforce shrunk by more than 10% between 1992 and 1998. But a steadily growing economy enabled that to occur without any meaningful disruption.</p><p>In November, the share of households who expected their financial situation would improve over the coming year reached a 4 1/2 -year high, according to a New York Fed survey of consumers. The same survey, released Monday, showed the largest monthly drop in household financial sentiment last month since 2023. Expectations regarding the perceived probability of missing a debt payment rose to the highest level since April 2020.</p><p>Some analysts cautioned that Trump&#39;s messaging may instead reflect a strategic effort to improve the country&#39;s bargaining posture with trading partners and to jawbone bond investors and the Federal Reserve to maintain a bias toward lowering rates. Already, Trump&#39;s impulsive trade and security behavior has prompted authorities in China and Europe to take steps to increase spending on economic stimulus and defense.</p><p>Analysts said the past two weeks had been helpful in resetting expectations on Wall Street by showing Trump wasn&#39;t likely to change course based on a market selloff. &#34;He is telling us, in everything he is doing, that he is not kidding around. On tariffs, he believes it in his bones,&#34; said Andy Laperriere, head of U.S. policy research at Piper Sandler.</p><p>Laperriere referred to an anecdote recounted in Bob Woodward&#39;s 2018 book about how Trump&#39;s economic team worked behind the scenes to sand off the rough edges of his more belligerent trade posture. &#34;There is no Gary Cohn to throw the Peter Navarro memo in the trash can. The people who are there are resigned to the fact that he&#39;s going to do what he wants on tariffs,&#34; he said.</p><p>Business executives have said they would be more comfortable with larger-than-anticipated tariffs if they could at least have certainty about the administration&#39;s ultimate plans.</p><p>In the interview Sunday, Trump pooh-poohed that desire for clarity by suggesting that &#34;tariffs could go up as time goes by.&#34; Pressed that his answer did little to resolve businesses&#39; anxieties, Trump responded by attacking multinational companies: &#34;For years, the big globalists have been ripping off the United States.&#34;</p><p>Laperriere said investors were right to worry that policies could veer toward chaos rather than moderation if growth does suffer. &#34;Instead of a weak economy forcing Trump to reconsider his policy agenda, it&#39;s far more likely to cause Trump to consider other policies that are disruptive to the economy,&#34; such as a more aggressive effort to challenge the Fed to cut interest rates, he said.</p><p>Because tariffs are likely to send up prices at least in the short run, officials at the Fed are likely to move more slowly to cushion the economy from potential threats to growth than they were last year, when interest rates were higher and inflation was steadily declining.</p><p>&#34;You can&#39;t be sure that the monetary policy response is going to be forthcoming quickly enough to break that potential feedback loop. That&#39;s the worry here,&#34; said Perkins.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://dowjonesnews.com/newdjn/logon.aspx?AL=N","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2518217735","content_text":"By Nick TimiraosFor the past year, U.S. economic policymakers have been singularly focused on achieving a so-called soft landing that brings inflation down without a recession. Now, a new team of pilots are considering a course correction that, by their own acknowledgment, might tip the economy toward a hard landing.President Trump and his senior advisers in recent days have signaled indifference to rising risks that trade uncertainty chills private-sector investment. They have argued a \"detox\" might be needed in spending and hiring, that falling stock values aren't a big worry, and that inflation could rise in the short run.In an interview that aired Sunday on Fox News, Trump sidestepped a question about whether a recession could lie ahead. \"There is a period of transition because what we're doing is very big,\" he said. \"What I have to do is build a strong country. You can't really watch the stock market.\"Given a chance to explain those comments later Sunday, Trump instead doubled down in remarks to reporters on Air Force One that evening. \"Tariffs are going to be the greatest thing we've ever done as a country. It's going to make our country rich again,\" he said.The comments roiled stock markets on Monday. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 890 points, down 2.1%. The S&P 500 fell 2.7%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq fell 4%, its largest decline since 2022. All three major indexes are now below their levels recorded on Election Day last November.Delta Air Lines said domestic demand had softened when it slashed its first-quarter earnings and revenue guidance after markets closed on Monday. The company saw a \"pretty significant shift\" in sentiment in February, and \"consumer spending started to stall,\" said Chief Executive Ed Bastian on CNBC.Business travel has also softened. \"Where there are places where people just aren't quite sure what's going to happen, companies are pulling back,\" he said.In recent days, advisers including Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick have warned tariffs could create a one-time increase in prices. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent suggested the U.S. economy may need a reset following years of growth supported by federal spending and rising asset prices. \"We'll see whether there's pain,\" he said Friday on CNBC.To be sure, Trump inherited an economy with steady growth and lofty stock markets but vulnerabilities from a frozen housing sector and a cooling labor market. Investors began the year indifferent to those blemishes because they expected the new administration to focus on revving up growth. Stocks soared after Trump's election in November as investors anticipated a bullish cocktail of tax cuts and deregulation, as occurred in his first year as president in 2017.\"People could only see the good side of what Trump was promising to do. That has basically evaporated, and now, we're back to recession watch,\" said Dario Perkins, an economist at GlobalData TS Lombard in London.Analysts saw the shift in tone from the president and his advisers in recent days as particularly portentous. The administration initially seemed to focus on talking down the risks of higher government bond yields from an uptick in inflation or by pre-emptively blaming the departing Biden administration for any growth scare.\"On Friday, I would have said I thought the administration was worried about their policies really slowing down the economy, and they were trying to lay the groundwork for the narrative that they inherited a weakening economy,\" said Michael Strain, head of economic-policy studies at the right-leaning American Enterprise Institute.More recent comments seem to have gone beyond that.\"Now, there's almost a sense that if something goes wrong in the economy, then that's fine,\" said Perkins. \"That's making people quite nervous because if you get to the point where you are pushing the economy into a recession, there is no guarantee that that's just going to pass quickly.\"Market economies tend to settle into their own equilibrium. An increase in spending and hiring sustains still more spending and hiring until some outside event -- a war, oil price shock, or large increase in borrowing costs -- knocks the economy off track, creating a negative feedback loop.Economists at JPMorgan Chase said Monday that the risk of a recession had edged up to 40% from 30% owing to \"extreme U.S. policies.\" Goldman Sachs, which has consistently anticipated above-consensus growth in recent years, now says it expects weaker growth than the rest of Wall Street. Its economists raised their 12-month recession odds to 20% from 15%.\"We still think this is more of a growth scare than a recession,\" said George Mateyo, chief investment officer at Key Private Bank. \"This is very much a man-made situation.\"The administration has taken Washington and Wall Street by surprise in recent weeks with a double-barreled blitz to slash the federal workforce and to threaten huge tariffs on its largest trading partners. Trump has already imposed large tariff increases on China, hitting a range of goods such as consumer electronics and apparel that received exemptions six years ago.\"The administration seems to be trying to test the boundaries of the economy's willingness to tolerate rising tariffs. And it doesn't quite know where those boundaries are,\" said Strain.Difficulty forecasting potential changes to prices of imported goods means investment spending could \"totally stall out in the first quarter, \" he said.Risks abound. For example, efforts to shrink the federal workforce without a sustained rise in joblessness could rely on the private sector to absorb those workers. But are private-sector businesses prepared to do so when they don't know by what magnitude tariffs on goods and materials that they import are set to rise? The Trump administration, in running multiple policy experiments at once, risks upending a fragile \"slow-to-hire, slow-to-fire\" equilibrium that has defined the postpandemic economy.Strain said he was worried about the effects on consumer spending from anxious workers -- those directly employed by the federal government and millions more whose businesses rely on federal funding or contracts -- pulling back on purchases. Harvard University announced a hiring freeze on Monday.To be sure, the U.S. government has managed meaningful fiscal cutbacks in the past. The federal workforce shrunk by more than 10% between 1992 and 1998. But a steadily growing economy enabled that to occur without any meaningful disruption.In November, the share of households who expected their financial situation would improve over the coming year reached a 4 1/2 -year high, according to a New York Fed survey of consumers. The same survey, released Monday, showed the largest monthly drop in household financial sentiment last month since 2023. Expectations regarding the perceived probability of missing a debt payment rose to the highest level since April 2020.Some analysts cautioned that Trump's messaging may instead reflect a strategic effort to improve the country's bargaining posture with trading partners and to jawbone bond investors and the Federal Reserve to maintain a bias toward lowering rates. Already, Trump's impulsive trade and security behavior has prompted authorities in China and Europe to take steps to increase spending on economic stimulus and defense.Analysts said the past two weeks had been helpful in resetting expectations on Wall Street by showing Trump wasn't likely to change course based on a market selloff. \"He is telling us, in everything he is doing, that he is not kidding around. On tariffs, he believes it in his bones,\" said Andy Laperriere, head of U.S. policy research at Piper Sandler.Laperriere referred to an anecdote recounted in Bob Woodward's 2018 book about how Trump's economic team worked behind the scenes to sand off the rough edges of his more belligerent trade posture. \"There is no Gary Cohn to throw the Peter Navarro memo in the trash can. The people who are there are resigned to the fact that he's going to do what he wants on tariffs,\" he said.Business executives have said they would be more comfortable with larger-than-anticipated tariffs if they could at least have certainty about the administration's ultimate plans.In the interview Sunday, Trump pooh-poohed that desire for clarity by suggesting that \"tariffs could go up as time goes by.\" Pressed that his answer did little to resolve businesses' anxieties, Trump responded by attacking multinational companies: \"For years, the big globalists have been ripping off the United States.\"Laperriere said investors were right to worry that policies could veer toward chaos rather than moderation if growth does suffer. \"Instead of a weak economy forcing Trump to reconsider his policy agenda, it's far more likely to cause Trump to consider other policies that are disruptive to the economy,\" such as a more aggressive effort to challenge the Fed to cut interest rates, he said.Because tariffs are likely to send up prices at least in the short run, officials at the Fed are likely to move more slowly to cushion the economy from potential threats to growth than they were last year, when interest rates were higher and inflation was steadily declining.\"You can't be sure that the monetary policy response is going to be forthcoming quickly enough to break that potential feedback loop. That's the worry here,\" said Perkins.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"US3Y.BOND":0.77,"US10Y.BOND":0.77,"US12M.BOND":0.77,"US30Y.BOND":0.77,"US6M.BOND":0.77,"US7Y.BOND":0.77,"US5Y.BOND":0.77,".SPX":1.1,".IXIC":1.1,"US2Y.BOND":0.77,".DJI":1.1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1804,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":404720796000376,"gmtCreate":1739833137179,"gmtModify":1739841971531,"author":{"id":"4191411889412432","authorId":"4191411889412432","name":"Nirtanyahu","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4191411889412432","idStr":"4191411889412432"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Embracing Fort KNOXX.. News...&nbsp;","listText":"Embracing Fort KNOXX.. News...&nbsp;","text":"Embracing Fort KNOXX.. News...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/404720796000376","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2061,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":403564136079504,"gmtCreate":1739550597319,"gmtModify":1739550809449,"author":{"id":"4191411889412432","authorId":"4191411889412432","name":"Nirtanyahu","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4191411889412432","idStr":"4191411889412432"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"What if Crypto asic mining machine can Do #AI Baaaaaaaam.&nbsp;","listText":"What if Crypto asic mining machine can Do #AI Baaaaaaaam.&nbsp;","text":"What if Crypto asic mining machine can Do #AI Baaaaaaaam.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/403564136079504","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1855,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":403557131518280,"gmtCreate":1739549151671,"gmtModify":1739550093891,"author":{"id":"4191411889412432","authorId":"4191411889412432","name":"Nirtanyahu","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4191411889412432","idStr":"4191411889412432"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/ORC\">$Orchid Island Capital(ORC)$ </a>&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/ORC\">$Orchid Island Capital(ORC)$ </a>&nbsp;","text":"$Orchid Island Capital(ORC)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/403557131518280","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":769,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":386401387884984,"gmtCreate":1735376918996,"gmtModify":1735378505138,"author":{"id":"4191411889412432","authorId":"4191411889412432","name":"Nirtanyahu","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4191411889412432","idStr":"4191411889412432"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AGNC\">$AGNC Investment Corp(AGNC)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AGNC\">$AGNC Investment Corp(AGNC)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>&nbsp;","text":"$AGNC Investment Corp(AGNC)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/386401387884984","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":580,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}