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11-15 20:04

Weekly | Is the Bull Market Over?

This week, the Hong Kong stock market had a rough time, with the $HSI(HSI)$ falling for the fourth consecutive day, down by 6.28%. The index has broken out of its sideways range since October.Domestic News Last Friday after the market closed, China announced a fiscal stimulus plan, with 6 trillion yuan in new funds for debt reduction. However, there was no mention of any policy support for the real estate or consumption sectors.On Wednesday, the Ministry of Finance rolled out a "big gift" with tax cuts, including reduced deed tax, land value-added tax, and VAT. For example, the deed tax for the purchase of a family's first or second home (under 140 square meters) has been cut to 1%, down from 1-1.5% for regular homes and 3% for non-standard homes.O
Weekly | Is the Bull Market Over?

Weekly | Heavyweight Meeting Over, Where Will HSI Go?

This week, the Hong Kong stock market saw sharp swings, with the $HSI(HSI)$ rising 1.08% by the end of the week, following a series of significant events.Positive Economic Data from ChinaDomestically, there was some good news. On Tuesday, Caixin’s PMI for October came in at 52, the highest in three months, well above analysts’ expectations of 50.5. On Thursday, China’s customs data showed a 12.7% year-on-year increase in exports in October, far outpacing the expected 5% growth.Overseas Events and Market ReactionsOverseas, the US election result added to market volatility. Trump’s victory raised concerns about escalating trade tensions, causing a sharp drop in both Hong Kong and mainland stocks. However, the market rebounded on Thursday as expectati
Weekly | Heavyweight Meeting Over, Where Will HSI Go?

Weekly | HSI Volatility and Major Events Could Shape Future Trends!

This week, the Hong Kong market saw some fluctuations, with the $HSI(HSI)$ dipping slightly by 0.41%. CRIC announced that the sales of China's top 100 real estate companies reached 435.49 billion yuan in October. That’s a 7.1% year-on-year increase and a 73% jump from the previous month—marking the second-highest monthly sales this year. It’s also the first time this year that we’ve seen positive year-on-year growth in a single month!In addition, the National Bureau of Statistics released the manufacturing PMI for October, which came in at 50.1, surpassing analysts’ expectations of 49.9. This figure crosses the crucial line into expansion territory, signaling that the manufacturing sector is on the rebound. It’s the first economic data released sin
Weekly | HSI Volatility and Major Events Could Shape Future Trends!

Weekly | Is the Second Bull Market on the Horizon?

This week, the Hong Kong stock market remained stable, with the $HSI(HSI)$ declining by 1.03%.Key Economic DevelopmentsOn Monday, the PBOC authorized the National Interbank Funding Center to announce the latest Loan Prime Rates (LPR). The one-year LPR decreased to 3.10% from last month’s 3.35%, while the five-year LPR fell to 3.60% from 3.85%, marking a 25 basis point drop for both.In the same vein, the PBOC executed its first swap operations for securities, funds, and insurance companies, with an operation amounting to 50 billion yuan. This drew participation from 20 institutions, with CICC winning the bid.Additionally, the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences released a macro-financial analysis report for the third quarter, suggesti
Weekly | Is the Second Bull Market on the Horizon?

Weekly | HSI Surges, Bull Market Returning?

This week, after a strong rally, Hong Kong stocks saw a pullback, with the $HSI(HSI)$ falling 2.11% over the week.Recently, multiple ministries, including the Ministry of Finance and Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development, held press conferences to introduce growth-stabilizing policies. However, market expectations were not fully met, leading to consecutive declines in Hong Kong stocks.On Friday, the Governor of the People's Bank of China announced at the 2024 Financial Street Forum that, depending on market liquidity, there could be an additional 0.25-0.5 percentage point cut in the reserve requirement ratio (RRR) before year-end. It’s also anticipated that the Loan Prime Rate (LPR), to be announced on the 21st, will decrease by 0.2-0.25
Weekly | HSI Surges, Bull Market Returning?

Weekly | HSI Plunged: Is Bull Market Over?

This week, Hong Kong stocks experienced a significant downturn, with the $HSI(HSI)$ dropping by 6.53%, which has certainly dampened the spirits of restless investors.Hong Kong, A-shares DeclineOn the first day after the National Day holiday, the State Council Information Office held a press conference to discuss how to "systematically implement a package of incremental policies to solidly promote an upward economic structure and ensure continuous positive development." There was a lot of anticipation surrounding this meeting, as many hoped to hear detailed stimulus plans. However, it turned out to be merely an informational session, with no new policies announced. As a result, both Hong Kong and A-shares plummeted, marking the end of the recent bul
Weekly | HSI Plunged: Is Bull Market Over?

Weekly | Mega Rally Propels HSI Past the 20,000 Barrier!

This week, a barrage of monumental boosts shook up the Hong Kong stock market, with the $HSI(HSI)$ rocketing 13% and soaring past the 20,000-point milestone!On the news front, Tuesday witnessed a press conference hosted by the State Council Information Office, where Governor of the People's Bank of China unveiled three game-changing policies: 1.Cuts in both the required reserve ratio and policy interest rates, driving down market benchmark rates. 2.Reductions in existing mortgage rates and lowering the minimum down payment for second homes. 3.Establishment of a ¥500 billion swap facility for securities, funds, and insurance companies, alongside a ¥300 billion special re-lending program for share repurchases and increased holdings.Thursday then brou
Weekly | Mega Rally Propels HSI Past the 20,000 Barrier!

Weekly | HSI Past 18,000 Mark on Major Boost!

This week, Hong Kong stocks surged, with the $HSI(HSI)$ rising 5.12%, reclaiming the crucial 18,000-point mark!The biggest boost came from the Fed's decision to cut interest rates by 50 basis points, slightly exceeding market expectations, which triggered a rally across global markets.Domestically, the People's Bank of China did not follow suit with a rate cut, keeping the September LPR for both the 1-year and 5-year rates unchanged. While hopes for a domestic rate cut were dashed, bank stocks benefitted.Every sector saw positive returns this week, with consumer and real estate leading the charge:According to Bloomberg, to stimulate a recovery in the real estate market, policymakers are considering further relaxing purchase restrictions in first-ti
Weekly | HSI Past 18,000 Mark on Major Boost!

Weekly | Major Events Ahead, HK Stocks Might Face a Turning Point!

This week, Hong Kong stocks saw a dip followed by a rebound, with the $HSI(HSI)$ ending the week down 0.43%.Nvidia led the rallyThe rebound wasn’t easy. On Monday, the Statistics Bureau released August CPI and PPI data. CPI rose 0.6% year-on-year, missing the expected 0.7%, while PPI fell 1.8%, worse than the forecasted 1.5%.Following the data release, A-shares fell continuously, with the Shanghai Composite Index nearing 2700 points!Fortunately, on Wednesday, the US August CPI came in at a 2.5% year-on-year increase, falling for the fifth consecutive month. Markets now expect the Fed to cut rates by 25 basis points at next week’s meeting.Meanwhile, $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ CEO Jensen Huang revealed huge demand
Weekly | Major Events Ahead, HK Stocks Might Face a Turning Point!

Weekly | Bearish Tsunami Hits: HSI Slumps Sharply!

This week, Hong Kong stocks ended a four-week rebound streak, with the $HSI(HSI)$ dropping 3%!Key Drivers of the Slump- Over the weekend, the National Bureau of Statistics reported that the official manufacturing PMI for August fell to 49.1 from 49.4 in July, a larger drop than expected.- On Wednesday, Caixin released the August Caixin China Services PMI, which decreased from 52.1 in July to 51.6, showing a slower expansion rate.- Internationally, U.S. economic data came in weaker than expected. The ISM Manufacturing PMI for August was 47.2, below the forecast of 47.5 and the previous 46.8. This marks the fifth consecutive month of decline, reaching its lowest level since November last year.As a result, concerns about a U.S. economic downturn inten
Weekly | Bearish Tsunami Hits: HSI Slumps Sharply!

Weekly | Rate Cut Expectations Boosts HK Stocks for 4 Weeks!

This week, Hong Kong stocks extended their rebound trend, marking four consecutive weeks of gains. The $HSI(HSI)$ rose 2.14% this week, nearing the 18,000-point milestone!Key Drivers of the ReboundOn the news, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's dovish speech at the Jackson Hole conference last Friday bolstered expectations for a September rate cut, which is positive for Hong Kong stocks.Domestically, several major companies released their earnings reports this week. Meituan's results exceeded expectations, and with a $1 billion share buyback, its stock surged! However, banks reported disappointing results for the first half of the year. For example, ICBC's net profit for H1 was ¥170.5 billion, down 1.9% year-over-year. This led to a collective s
Weekly | Rate Cut Expectations Boosts HK Stocks for 4 Weeks!

Weekly | HSI Rose for 3 Consecutive Weeks!

This week, Hong Kong stocks extended their rebound, with the $HSI(HSI)$ rising 1.04%, marking three consecutive weeks of gains.Key Drivers of the Rebound- Internet Sector Stabilizes: Companies like $XIAOMI-W(01810)$ $BIDU-SW(09888)$ $KUAISHOU-W(01024)$ released their Q2 reports. Xiaomi’s car division exceeded margin expectations, causing its stock to surge. Baidu’s focus on cost-cutting led to a 5% rise in net profit, and its stock remained steady. Kuaishou’s stock dropped sharply due to slower e-commerce growth.- High Dividend Stocks Surge: Especially notable are bank stocks, which have rallied significantly.
Weekly | HSI Rose for 3 Consecutive Weeks!

Weekly | HSI Rose for 2 Weeks in a Row!

This week, Hong Kong stocks continued their rebound, with the $HSI(HSI)$ rising 1.99%.Domestic NewsDomestic news was mixed. On one hand, July's financial data fell short of expectations. New RMB loans in July were ¥260 billion, missing expectations by ¥85.9 billion. M1 growth was -6.6% year-over-year, compared to -5% previously. On the other hand, retail sales in July grew 2.7%, beating the market forecast of 2.6%!Overseas NewsIn the US, July CPI growth slowed to 2.9% year-over-year, with core CPI hitting a three-year low! US July retail sales rose 1% month-over-month, exceeding expectations and marking the highest increase in a year and a half.Strong economic data eased recession fears, boosting US and Japanese stocks. The US and Japan markets hav
Weekly | HSI Rose for 2 Weeks in a Row!

Weekly | Global Market Turmoil: HSI Steady, Major Test Ahead!

This week saw massive global stock market turmoil. Japan's market first plunged 12.4%, its worst drop since 1987, then rebounded sharply, shaking financial markets!Amidst the global stock rout, Hong Kong stocks remained calm. The $HSI(HSI)$ dropped only 1.46% on Monday but ended the week up 0.85%, breaking a three-week losing streak.The global stock market upheaval was mainly due to concerns over a U.S. economic slowdown. On Friday, the U.S. reported 114,000 new jobs for July, falling short of the 175,000 expected. The unemployment rate hit a three-year high, fueling fears of a recession!Additionally, Japan’s unexpected interest rate hike and rising tensions in the Middle East triggered a sell-off on Monday.Hong Kong stocks had been declining recen
Weekly | Global Market Turmoil: HSI Steady, Major Test Ahead!

Weekly | HSI Hit 3-Month Low Amid External Pressures!

Hong Kong stocks took another tumble this week, with $HSI(HSI)$ plunging 2.28%, hit a three-month low!On the news, overseas tech giants like $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ and $Alphabet(GOOG)$ $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ posted disappointing earnings, triggering a rout and dragging down $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ , which in turn pulled Hong Kong's tech stocks down with it.Domestically, the high-dividend stocks saw a divergence, with bellwethers like $CNOOC(00883)$ and $CHINA MOBILE(00941)$ experiencing notable corrections
Weekly | HSI Hit 3-Month Low Amid External Pressures!

Weekly | HK Stocks Crash: What's Up?

Hong Kong stocks performed poorly with the $HSI(HSI)$ falling 4.79% this week, leaving the market in a dismal state.In domestic news, the 20th Central Committee convened for its third plenary session, but market response was subdued.Internationally, last Saturday, Trump was attacked, which boosted his popularity and led markets to speculate on post-election trading under a potential Trump presidency. Trump's campaign policies suggest possible tariffs on China and increased oil production upon taking office, adversely affecting related stocks.Simultaneously, major AI players such as $ASML Holding NV(ASML)$ and $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ released earni
Weekly | HK Stocks Crash: What's Up?

Weekly | HK Stocks Surge Ahead of Key Meetings!

Hong Kong stocks showed impressive performance this week, with the $HSI(HSI)$ up 2.77%.China released CPI and PPI data: June's CPI rose 0.2% year-on-year, marking the fifth consecutive monthly increase but slightly below analyst expectations. Meanwhile, PPI fell 0.8% year-on-year, continuing its decline for the 21st consecutive month.Overseas, the United States came a heavy positive, its June CPI rose 3%, slightly lower than expected 3.1%, further decline from the previous value of 3.3%, and decreased by 0.1% month-on-month, marking the first negative change since May 2020.As a result, market expectations for a September interest rate cut have risen to 80%!In terms of sectors, real estate and healthcare led the gains this week due to their sensitiv
Weekly | HK Stocks Surge Ahead of Key Meetings!

Weekly | HSI Up 0.46% with Major Events Brewing Next Week!

Hong Kong stocks were flat this week, with the $HSI(HSI)$ up 0.46% to 17,799.6 points.Compared with A shares, Hong Kong stocks have performed brilliantly this week, among which the Shanghai Index fell 0.59% this week and the ChiNext index fell 1.65%.The reason why Hong Kong stocks are stronger than A shares is that the Hang Seng Index weighting stocks are concentrated in high dividend and Internet companies, high dividend is the strongest sector in the past two years, and the high dividend stocks represented by China Offshore Oil hit a record high this week! Coupled with $TENCENT(00700)$ $Alibaba(09988)$ and other Internet companies to increase shareholder retur
Weekly | HSI Up 0.46% with Major Events Brewing Next Week!

2024 H1: The Top 10 Most Popular HK Stocks in Tiger Community!

In the first half of 2024, Hong Kong stocks staged a remarkable turnaround, reversing the previous four consecutive years of decline. But due to macroeconomic challenges, geopolitical tensions, and high US interest rates, the $HSI(HSI)$ only managed a modest 4% gain.Despite the lackluster performance of the overall market, some sectors shined brightly, especially internet, high-dividend stocks, and overseas expansion, delivering good returns to investors.Here are the top 10 most popular Hong Kong stocks in Tiger Community in the first half of 2024:1. $XIAOMI-W(01810)$In March 2024, Xiaomi unveiled its first car, priced at a stunningly low 215,900 yuan, lower than market expectations, blowing the internet
2024 H1: The Top 10 Most Popular HK Stocks in Tiger Community!

Weekly | Southbound Funds Sweep HK Stocks!

For the week, the $HSI(HSI)$ rose and then fell, gaining a mere 0.48%.On the news, the central bank didn't cut the LPR rate this week, dashing market hopes for a rate cut.The retail sales data released on Monday showed a year-on-year growth of 3.7%, a 1.4 percentage point acceleration from last month, exceeding market expectations, but the market reaction was muted.Sector-wise, all sectors except finance declined this week, with real estate and healthcare continuing to lead the losses.Notably, southbound funds net bought HK $24.1 billion this week, and the net inflow so far this year is HK $362.1 billion, surpassing last year's total of HK$318.8 billion. Southbound funds are buying Hong Kong stocks like crazy, threatening to replace foreign capital
Weekly | Southbound Funds Sweep HK Stocks!

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